who would be left behind by enhanced private school choice abstract debate over school choice is central to many discussions of public elementary and secondary educational reform the debate has largely focused on conceptual arguments rather than careful empirical research that attempts to sort out competing claims an important unresolved issue is the question of cream skimming who will move and who will be left behind as a result of enhanced school choice this paper uses data from the national educational longitudinal survey nels 88 to estimate a model of public private school choice which is used to simulate who would likely leave public schools as a result of enhanced private school choice building upon the work of k train et al 1987 the review of economics and statistics 69 383 391 we employ a probit model with latent explanatory variables to account for the unobserved attitudes of parents and their children regarding education the model allows us to consider such latent interests in education as well as the academic and socioeconomic characteristics of those students who would likely switch to private schools our findings indicate that concerns about bright flight or academic cream skimming in response to increased school choice appear to be overstated however we estimate that there would be substantially more economic and racial segregation of students as movers tend to be white and have higher incomes than those who are left behind

a probit latent variable model of nutrition information and dietary fiber intake nutrition information and intake data for a sample of u s household meal planners are used to estimate the effects of fiber specific information on dietary fiber intake the information variables are measured using survey questions on fiber content of foods attitude toward consuming fiber rich foods and awareness of fiber health links the evidence confirms the influence of nutrition information on fiber intake household income meal planner age smoking status vegetarian status race and ethnicity are major determinants of both information and intake education exerts a sizable intake effect by enhancing the information level direct and indirect effects of exogenous variables are reported

the relationship between gdp and electricity consumption in 10 asian countries the purpose of this study is to estimate the relationships between gdp and electricity consumption in 10 newly industrializing and developing asian countries using both single data sets and panel data procedures the empirical results from single data set indicate that the causality directions in the 10 asian countries are mixed while there is a uni directional short run causality running from economic growth to electricity consumption and a bi directional long run causality between electricity consumption and economic growth if the panel data procedure is implemented these empirical findings imply that electricity conservation policies through both rationalizing the electricity supply efficiency improvement to avoid the wastage of electricity and managing demand side to reduce the electricity consumption without affecting the end user benefits could be initiated without adverse effect on economic growth the findings on the long run relationship indicate that a sufficiently large supply of electricity can ensure that a higher level of economic growth

optimal taxation in models of endogenous growth we study the problem of optimal taxation in three infinite horizon representative agent endogenous growth models the first model is a convex model in which physical and human capital are perfectly symmetric our second model incorporates elastic labor supply through a lucas style technology analysis of these two models points out the danger of assuming that government expenditures are exogenous in our third model we include government expenditures as a productive input in capital formation showing that the limiting tax rate on capital is no longer zero in numerical simulations we find similar effects on growth and welfare in all three models

future demand scenarios of bangladesh power sector abstract data on the future electricity demand is an essential requirement for planning the expansion of a power system the purpose of this study is to provide a general overview of electricity consumption in bangladesh forecast sector wise electricity demand up to 2035 considering the base year 2005 and compare the results with official projections the long range energy alternative planning leap model with three scenarios namely low gross domestic product gdp growth average gdp growth and high gdp growth is applied in this study in the low to high gdp growth scenarios the extent of industrial restructuring and technical advancement is gradually increased the findings have significant implications with respect to energy conservation and economic development the study also compares the projected per capita electricity consumption in bangladesh with the historical growth in several other developing countries such an evaluation can create awareness among the planners of power system expansion in bangladesh to meet the high future demand

regime switching effect of financial development on energy intensity evidence from markov switching vector error correction model abstract studies that deal with financial development and energy intensity usually show the single effect of one variable on another or the causality running between them during the whole sample period but this study is an attempt to explore the regime switching effect of financial development on energy intensity in different periods within the sample using yearly data from 1972 to 2017 in case of bangladesh a markov switching vector error correction model is applied to carry out the study and the results reveal a two regime switching nature of the effect of financial development on energy intensity financial development plays a stimulating role in regime 1 where it plays an inhibiting role in regime 2 to influence energy intensity the duration of regime 1 is longer than that of regime 2 specifying that the promoting effect of financial development on energy intensity is more enduring than the inhibiting effect in bangladesh the results have important policy implications to formulate energy policy and to maintain a balance between financial development and energy intensity in bangladesh and other emerging nations

real time pricing when some consumers resist in saving electricity successful real time electricity pricing depends firstly upon consumers willingness to subscribe to such terms and secondly on their ability to curb consumption levels the present paper addresses both issues by considering consumers differentiated by their electricity saving costs half of whom resist saving electricity we demonstrate that when consumers are free to adopt real time prices producers prefer charging inefficient prices and in so doing discriminate against that portion of the consumer population which faces no saving costs we also find that efficient marginal cost pricing is feasible but is incompatible with mass adoption of real time prices

the impact of electricity supply on economic growth in sri lanka abstract yang energy econ 22 2000 309 has found a bi directional causal relationship between gross domestic product and electricity consumption in taiwan roc this study applies yang s model to examine the impact of electricity supply on economic growth in sri lanka morimoto and hope an extended cba model of hydro projects in sri lanka 2001 have found that the expected increase in economic output due to increased electricity supply parameter eo plays a crucial role in their cost benefit analysis model this study shows that the application of yang s regression analysis is one possible approach to estimate a better range for the parameter eo the estimated figure is that an extra output of rs 88 000 137 000 us1120 1740 for every 1 mw h increase in electricity supply

are income and consumption taxes ever really equivalent evidence from a real effort experiment with real goods abstract the public finance literature demonstrates the equivalence between consumption and labor income wage taxes we introduce an experimental paradigm in which individuals make real labor leisure choices and spend their earned income on real goods we use this paradigm to test whether a labor income tax and an equivalent consumption tax lead to identical labor leisure allocations despite controlling for subjects work ability and inherent labor leisure preferences and disallowing saving subjects reduce their labor supply significantly more in response to an income tax than to an equivalent consumption tax we discuss the economic implications of a policy shift to a consumption tax

uptake and usage of cost reflective electricity pricing insights from psychology and behavioural economics abstract the australian electricity industry like many other countries globally is currently facing the complex challenge of reforming electricity tariffs momentum is growing for transitioning residential consumers toward more cost reflective pricing that better reflects the true costs of generation and supply and sends a price signal that presumably incentivises reduced consumption during peak periods under such tariffs customers pay more for electricity used during times of peak demand unlike traditional flat rate tariffs where the price remains stable regardless of time or demand pilot trials indicate that cost reflective tariffs might succeed in reducing peak demand but often only for a small minority of customers such that population wide demand response is minimal or insignificant in this paper we apply insights from psychology and behavioural economics to identify how cost reflective pricing can be designed depicted and delivered to enhance customer uptake and optimal usage thereby facilitating appropriate demand response for a larger cross section of the population by carefully considering the likely impact of relevant cognitive biases and psychological factors which routinely shape human decision making and behaviour we are able to propose practical strategies that industry can adopt to maximise the prospect of cost reflective pricing achieving significant population level peak demand reductions while providing shared benefits for customers retailers networks and regulators alike

energy scarcity and potential of renewable energy in bangladesh abstract energy is one of the indispensable inputs for the survival of human being in the earth bangladesh has the very inadequate amount of indigenous non renewable energy resources even which is being diminished rapidly to increase the electricity generation although the installed electricity generation capacity has been increased to 10 709 mw still the amount is insufficient to meet the demand of the country in addition to this the insufficient power generation hinders the socio economic and industrial development this current problem in power generation of bangladesh can be removed by incorporating renewable energy into electricity generation recently utilization of renewable energy and renewable energy technologies rets is getting momentum in the country to achieve not only energy security but also to reduce environmental pollution and to limit the imminent depletion of the non renewable energy resources overall bangladesh has the vast potential of biomass solar hydro wind and tidal powers this paper outlines the present energy scenario of the country following this the potential of available renewable energy resources is also reviewed and presented in this paper

exploring the depth of energy penetration in economic advancement perspective of bangladesh abstract developing countries consume a tiny share of world commercial energy this tempts policymakers in developing countries to sort out ways to increase commercial energy demand so that their invaluable resources are best utilized country like bangladesh may fall in trap if quickly declining and immensely valuable energy is wasted in unsustainable growth this urges for better use of its scarce resources for sustainable growth in this paper we aim to identify how energy consumption in bangladesh is related to various growth indicators like national income financial development industrialization and urbanization in the long run in search of a right path for sustainable development in this study we try to assess the relationship among energy consumption financial development economic growth industrialization and urbanization from 1980 to 2010 a number of cointegration techniques are employed to examine whether there is a long run relationship besides these we also employed augmented granger causality test to examine the causality if presents this study finds that financial development economic growth industrialization and urbanization have positive impact on energy consumption in short run but industrialization has no impact in the long run our causality test ensures that the above mentioned variables granger cause energy consumption for sustainable growth industrialization should be given priority as future consumption of energy in industrial sector will be greater than any other sector this future demand can only be fulfilled by injecting more and more renewable energy through solar wind and other technology as nonrenewable energy are declining quickly

causality relationship between electricity consumption and gdp in bangladesh in this paper we examine the causal relationship between the per capita electricity consumption and the per capita gdp for bangladesh using cointegration and vector error correction model our results show that there is unidirectional causality from per capita gdp to per capita electricity consumption however the per capita electricity consumption does not cause per capita gdp in case of bangladesh the finding has significant implications from the point of view of energy conservation emission reduction and economic development

commercial industrial customer response to time of use electricity prices some experimental results this article analyzes a time of use pricing experiment involving over 700 small and medium size commercial industrial firms two basic rate structures were implemented one with time varying demand kw charges and a flat energy kwh charge and the other with time varying energy charges and a flat kw charge a small but statistically significant elasticity of substitution between peak and offpeak kwh consumption is estimated for the summer season in the overall sample for firms facing the time of use demand rate a substantially larger response is estimated in the summer season for the subgroup of large firms in the experiment that faced a time of use demand rate and this response translates into a welfare gain that in just the first year more than offsets the additional metering costs involved under mandatory implementation

drivers barriers and strategies for implementation of renewable energy technologies in rural areas in bangladesh an innovation system analysis abstract bangladesh has good potential for harnessing renewable energy sources such as solar biomass wind and mini hydropower the country has been experiencing a gradual shift towards exploring renewable energy resources as a driving force for rural development a few public sector and non government organizations have started to develop renewable energy technology ret projects in rural areas the lessons learnt from different demonstrations of ret projects reveal that with careful forward planning renewable energy can provide far reaching economic environmental and social benefits to people living in remote rural areas in bangladesh this paper identifies some of the barriers that need to be overcome for the successful development of renewable energy technology sector and betterment of rural livelihoods it does so through a critical review of policy and institutional settings as well as present status and lessons learnt from pilot demonstration of a number of ret projects undertaken by different organizations the study highlights policy implications of the review with the aim of supporting decision makers in formulating renewable energy policies and future plans for bangladesh

welfare and optimum dynamic taxation of consumption and income abstract this paper estimates that the us could attain large welfare gains by implementing an optimal ramsey tax policy that taxes consumption and income it is also found that the welfare implications associated with taxing consumption are quantitatively more important than those associated with dynamically taxing income indeed replacing income taxes with a constant consumption tax leads to a welfare gain that is only slightly lower than that attained by a dynamic policy that taxes consumption and income in computing these welfare gains careful attention is given to the dynamic path of tax rates and the transitional dynamics associated with how the economy responds to a new tax policy

electricity consumption and economic growth in china abstract this paper applies the error correction model to examine the causal relationship between electricity consumption and real gdp for china during 1971 2000 our estimation results indicate that real gdp and electricity consumption for china are cointegrated and there is unidirectional granger causality running from electricity consumption to real gdp but not vice versa in order to overcome the constraints on electricity consumption the chinese government has to speed up the nation wide interconnection of power networks to upgrade urban and rural distribution grids and to accelerate rural electrification

tax analysis in a real business cycle model on measuring harberger triangles and okun gaps abstract a tax distorted real business cycle model is parameterized calibrated and solved numerically in an attempt to measure the size of harberger triangles relative to okun gaps in particular the model constructed is used to study quantitatively the impact of various distortional government tax and subsidy schemes it is shown that the government can use tax policy to stabilize cyclical fluctuations and this is done for the economy being studied the benefits of implementing such a stabilization policy are calculated and compared with the size of the welfare gains realized from reducing various tax distortions

impacts of co2 emission constraints on technology selection and energy resources for power generation in bangladesh abstract this paper examines the impacts of co 2 emission reduction target and carbon tax on future technologies selection and energy use in bangladesh power sector during 2005 2035 the analyses are based on a long term energy system model of bangladesh using the markal framework the analysis shows that bangladesh will not be able to meet the future energy demand without importing energy however alternative policies on co 2 emission constraints reduce the burden of imported fuel improve energy security and reduce environmental impacts the results show that the introduction of the co 2 emission reduction targets and carbon taxes directly affect the shift of technologies from high carbon content fossil based to low carbon content fossil based and clean renewable energy based technologies compared to the base scenario with the cumulative co 2 emission reduction target of 10 20 and carbon tax of 2500 taka ton the cumulative net energy imports during 2005 2035 would be reduced in the range of 39 65 and 37 respectively compared to the base scenario emission level the total primary energy requirement would be reduced in the range of 4 5 22 3 in the co 2 emission reduction targets and carbon tax 2500 taka ton scenarios and the primary energy supply system would be diversified compared to the base scenario

turkey s short term gross annual electricity demand forecast by fuzzy logic approach abstract this paper aims to forecast turkey s short term gross annual electricity demand by applying fuzzy logic methodology while general information on economical political and electricity market conditions of the country is also given unlike most of the other forecast models about turkey s electricity demand which usually uses more than one parameter gross domestic product gdp based on purchasing power parity was the only parameter used in the model proposed model made good predictions and captured the system dynamic behavior covering the years of 1970 2014 the model yielded average absolute relative errors of 3 9 furthermore the model estimates a 4 5 decrease in electricity demand of turkey in 2009 and the electricity demand growth rates are projected to be about 4 between 2010 and 2014 it is concluded that forecasting the turkey s short term gross electricity demand with the country s economic performance will provide more reliable projections forecasting the annual electricity consumption of a country could be made by any designer with the help of the fuzzy logic procedure described in this paper the advantage of this model lies on the ability to mimic the human thinking and reasoning

modelling and forecasting the demand for natural gas in pakistan abstract this study examines both the short and long term dynamics of natural gas consumption in pakistan through an econometric model sector specific income price and cross price elasticities of natural gas demand are estimated over the period 1978 2011 the estimated income elasticities indicate that real gdp per capita exerts a larger impact on gas consumption as compared to its price the price and cross price elasticities are relatively low indicating consumers indifference in pakistan towards price escalation they neither decrease gas consumption nor try to explore less expensive substitutes for natural gas a validation of the estimated demand equations is performed showing high degree of accuracy through tracking the historical data in order to determine the future outlook of natural gas demand sectoral equations are simulated as baseline both moderate and extreme demand scenarios are projected for the period 2012 2020 ex post simulation resulting through baseline scenario suggests that the power sector is more likely to occupy top position in terms of natural gas consumption it is expected that the natural gas consumption would reach 734 062 mmcft by 2020 followed by the transport sector 238 943 mmcft industrial sector 541 869 mmcft residential sector 304 821 mmcft and the commercial sector 72 784 mmcft furthermore simulation results based on moderate and extreme scenarios reveal that a deliberate increase in natural gas prices reduces per capita natural gas consumption significantly over the forecast time horizon 2012 2020 the findings of this study have significant implications with respect to energy conservation and economic development particularly price and income elasticities have practical relevance for appropriate pricing and income policies additionally forecast results can provide useful support for designing an appropriate infrastructure and investment plan with reference to gas market in future

incorporating life cycle external cost in optimization of the electricity generation mix the present work aims to examine the strategic decision of future electricity generation mix considering together with all other factors the effect of the external cost associated with the available power generation technology options not only during their operation but also during their whole life cycle the analysis has been performed by integrating the life cycle assessment concept into a linear programming model for the yearly decisions on which option should be used to minimize the electricity generation cost the model has been applied for the case of greece for the years 2012 2050 and has led to several interesting results firstly most of the new generating capacity should be renewable mostly biomass and wind while natural gas is usually the only conventional fuel technology chosen if externalities are considered wind energy increases its share and hydro power replaces significant amounts of biomass generated energy furthermore a sensitivity analysis has been performed one of the most important findings is that natural gas increases its contribution when externalities are increased summing up external cost has been found to be a significant percentage of the total electricity generation cost for some energy sources therefore significantly changing the ranking order of cost competitiveness for the energy sources examined

supply side economics and endogenous growth abstract in a simple convex model of endogenous growth the expansionary effects of a deficit financed tax cut are often strong enough to allow the government debt to be paid off in the long run without the need for subsequent tax increases a permanent and substantial reduction in marginal rates of income taxation can provide for both vigorous real economic growth and long run government budget balance

anticipated vs actual synergy in merger partner selection and post merger innovation past research has primarily focused on what happens after a merger this research attempts to determine whether anticipated benefits from the merger actually accrue we characterize the effects of observed variables on whether pairs of firms merge vis a vis roommate matching and then link these factors to post merger innovation i e number of patents we jointly estimate the two models using markov chain monte carlo methods with a unique panel data set of 1 979 mergers between 4 444 firms across industries and countries from 1992 to 2008 we find that similarity in national culture and technical knowledge has a positive effect on partner selection and post merger innovation anticipated synergy from subindustry similarity however is not realized in post merger innovation furthermore some key synergy sources are unanticipated when selecting a merger partner for example financial synergy from higher total assets and complementarity in total assets and debt leverage as well as knowledge synergy fr

investment credit and child labour it is generally assumed that credit has a positive effect on children s schooling among poor households this article shows that need not be the case when households obtain credit for investment purposes in fact investment loans may not have any effect on the likelihood of schooling for children who work in their family business our estimates confirm that this is the case credit used to finance investments has no effect on the odds of schooling for employed children this may be because investment loans increase children s labour productivity which in turn increases the opportunity cost of schooling the results of this study suggest that improving access to credit may not by itself constitute a solution to the problem of child labour in developing countries

swedish tax rates labor supply and tax revenues effective marginal tax rates on labor income for the representative swede have increased from roughly 50 percent in 1959 to 80 percent today the effects of this increase in the level of taxation are examined using a two sector model parameterized to correspond to the swedish economy the model contains a single household which allocates labor to either taxed essentially market or untaxed largely household uses the estimated long run effects are sufficient to explain up to 75 percent of the recent decline in the measured growth rate of the swedish gnp calculations of total tax revenues are also derived from the model these peak when the tax rate is approximately 70 percent indicating that sweden is presently on the downward sloping portion of its laffer curve

environmental regulation of households an empirical review of economic and psychological factors abstract the literature on sustainable consumption and environmental regulation of household behavior is dominated by conceptual and normative approaches as a result many suggestions lack a firm empirical basis to overcome this deficiency econometric studies in three areas of environmentally relevant activities of households are reviewed residential use of energy generation of solid waste and recycling and residential use of water next to price and income elasticities attention is devoted to individual socio economic features and psychological factors such as attitudes knowledge perceptions and values potential psychological determinants and related insights are further examined by discussing a range of representative and illustrative statistical psychological studies of environmental behavior one important general finding is that there are very few empirical studies that systematically combine socio economic and psychological determinants a range of insights for environmental policy is derived and research recommendations are offered

consumer attitudes and voluntary rate schedules for public utilities attitudes enter as latent explanatory variables in a model of consumers choice among optional rate schedules offered by a public utility a consistent estimator of the choice model is described that utilizes the distribution of the latent attitude variables conditional on manifest indicator variables the model is applied to households choice between time of use and non time differentiated rates for electricity to determine the impact of attitudes about energy conservation copyright 1987 by mit press

electricity consumption and economic growth in india abstract this paper tries to examine the granger causality between electricity consumption per capita and gross domestic product gdp per capita for india using annual data covering the period 1950 51 to 1996 97 phillips perron tests reveal that both the series after logarithmic transformation are non stationary and individually integrated of order one this study finds the absence of long run equilibrium relationship among the variables but there exists unidirectional granger causality running from economic growth to electricity consumption without any feedback effect so electricity conservation policies can be initiated without deteriorating economic side effects

the welfare cost of factor taxation in a perfect foresight model this paper examines the marginal efficiency cost of various factor taxes in a dynamic general equilibrium model the au thor solves for the excess burden of anticipated and unanticipated t emporary and permanent tax policies using a range of estimates for taste and technology parameters he finds excess burdens larger than those indicated by previous studies that use static models these exc ess burdens are sensitive to parameter values and timing however th e rankings of alternative tax policies turn out to be insensitive to structural parameter values copyright 1987 by university of chicago press

how do industrialization and trade openness influence energy intensity evidence from a path model in case of bangladesh abstract nowadays multifaceted interdependence between macroeconomic variables results in an extended list of factors that have diverse impacts on energy intensity thus sustaining energy intensity at a desired level demands advanced studies to investigate the multifarious influences of its factors and ensure proactive measures to deal with them this paper aims to set up a path model to analyze the direct and indirect impacts of industrialization and trade openness on energy intensity in bangladesh the results corroborate that industrialization has a direct positive influence on energy intensity where trade openness shows a direct negative effect on it and both industrialization and trade openness have negative indirect impact on energy intensity through technological innovation and economic growth respectively in case of individual total impacts only industrialization affects energy intensity positively where trade openness technological innovation and economic growth negatively do based on the empirical results some policy implications regarding energy intensity and effects of its factors on it are also presented

a monte carlo based decision support tool for assessing generation portfolios in future carbon constrained electricity industries abstract this paper presents a novel decision support tool for assessing future generation portfolios in an increasingly uncertain electricity industry the tool combines optimal generation mix concepts with monte carlo simulation and portfolio analysis techniques to determine expected overall industry costs associated cost uncertainty and expected co 2 emissions for different generation portfolio mixes the tool can incorporate complex and correlated probability distributions for estimated future fossil fuel costs carbon prices plant investment costs and demand including price elasticity impacts the intent of this tool is to facilitate risk weighted generation investment and associated policy decision making given uncertainties facing the electricity industry applications of this tool are demonstrated through a case study of an electricity industry with coal ccgt and ocgt facing future uncertainties results highlight some significant generation investment challenges including the impacts of uncertain and correlated carbon and fossil fuel prices the role of future demand changes in response to electricity prices and the impact of construction cost uncertainties on capital intensive generation the tool can incorporate virtually any type of input probability distribution and support sophisticated risk assessments of different portfolios including downside economic risks it can also assess portfolios against multi criterion objectives such as greenhouse emissions as well as overall industry costs

consumption taxes and redistribution this study considers replacing the current us tax system with only aflat tax con sumption tax showing in contrast to the literature that such a reform leads to a decline in inequality and increase in welfare for the welfare poor the results are obtained from a simple model that identifies the main channels through which the reform affects the economy it is shown also that these novel results depend on the distribution of wealth and earnings and that they hold for the relevant

rainfall uncertainty and occupational choice in agricultural households of rural nepal abstract although agriculture is the main occupation in rural nepal evidence suggests that households strive to diversify their sources of income this paper investigates why this is the case using household data from the world bank and information on rainfall for the various rural districts of nepal we find that occupational choice is highly correlated to the uncertainty associated with historical rainfall patterns where the head is employed in agriculture other family members are less likely to choose agriculture as an occupation in districts where rain is more uncertain estimates indicate that for a 1 per cent increase in the coefficient of variation of rain there is a 0 61 per cent decrease in the probability of choosing the same occupation as the household head where the head is classified as self employed in agriculture the negative effect of rainfall uncertainty on occupational choice is less evident in households that have access to credit and in households with relatively high levels of

salt or sludge exploring preferences for potable water sources decision makers often use information about public preferences to guide public policy several disciplines gather information on preferences through surveys by asking respondents to make hypothetical choices over potential policies however the context of the choice question differs between approaches with some failing to make the full consequences of the respondent s choice explicit in the question in this study we investigate whether question context matters by exploring whether economic and psychology approaches yield a similar understanding of community preferences towards a large scale recycled wastewater scheme we find that stated preferences differ depending on whether the preference question is contextualised using economic incentives the findings provide insight into the implications of inappropriately contextualised preference questions methodological considerations in attitude identification and estimation and the diversity of values and public attitudes towards recycled wastewater

consumption vs wage taxation and the capital levy abstract based on a representative consumer framework it has been argued that wage taxation is inferior to consumption taxation this note shows that the opposite result may emerge in a model where households are heterogeneous and where a uniform poll tax or subsidy is available

consumer demand for time of use electricity tariffs a systematized review of the empirical evidence abstract time of use tou tariffs if widely adopted could help make electricity more secure clean and affordable however quite little is known about whether consumers will switch to a tou tariff or what might increase uptake if switching rates are lower than required this paper presents the results of a systematized review and meta analysis combining the results of 66 measures of uptake to a variety of tou tariffs across 27 studies conducted in six countries it provides the first robust estimate of consumer demand and correlates of demand for tou tariffs that is not based on the results from just a single study or tariff four main conclusions emerge first if consumers are left to opt in to tou tariffs uptake could be as low as 1 unless efforts are made to close the intention action gap otherwise enrolment could reach 43 second if enrolment is opt out uptake could approach 100 third whilst national surveys indicate the potential appetite for tou tariffs in a population they are insufficient for predicting future tou tariff adoption rates the median proportion of domestic energy bill payers who say they would be willing to switch to a tou tariff in national surveys is five times higher than the median enrolment rate to tou tariffs offered by utilities fourth real time pricing tariffs in which the price of electricity varies freely throughout the day are less popular than static tou tariffs which have fixed peak and off peak rates this paper discusses the limitations of opt out enrolment for tou tariffs and presents results suggesting that small upfront payments bill protection and automation are promising alternative methods of increasing opt in enrolment policymakers and researchers should now consider how recruitment will be performed weighing up the benefits to society as a whole against the distributional impacts for individuals and groups