measuring returns to scale in dea models when the firm is regulated in the standard framework of data envelopment analysis dea models the returns to scale are fully characterized using the multiplier on the convexity constraint of inefficient decision making units dmu using the projection of the input output vector on the frontier in this note we investigate how the returns to scale measurements in dea models are affected by the presence of regulatory constraints these additional constraints change the role played by the convexity constraint in order to avoid biased estimation of the returns to scale we show that the interaction between the regulatory and the convexity constraints has to be taken into account

a note on the malmquist productivity index in recent years the malmquist index has gained in popularity as a measure of productivity change we demonstrate that in the presence of non constant returns to scale the malmquist productivity index does not accurately measure productivity change the bias is systematic and depends on the magnitude of scale economies

imports and the supply of winter tomatoes an application of rational expectations a model of the florida tomato industry is formulated under the hypothesis that growers make production decisions as rational economic agents this assumption implies that anticipated mexican tomato imports as well as other economic variables are taken into account when the planting decision is made maximum likelihood estimation methods are used to solve the simultaneous equations model and the implications of the model s reduced form are analyzed the empirical findings are consistent with the rational expectations hypothesis that producers respond to market information in its entirety when making acreage decisions key vwords expectations imports mexico rational expectations supply response tomatoes florida produces about 90 of u s tomatoes harvested for fresh use during the november to mid june season since the cuban trade embargo of february 1962 mexico has become the major foreign supplier of fresh winter tomatoes the total fresh winter tomato market in the united states has been almost equally shared by florida and mexico in recent years the rivalry for this market reached the point in 1978 that florida growers charged that mexican producers were dumping their product on the u s market schmitz firch hillman many florida growers suggest that unless mexican tomato imports are limited the florida tomato industry will effectively disappear primary attention in this paper is focused on domestic tomato acreage allocations in light of the mexican influence on the winter tomato market the paper does not attempt to evaluate the welfare effects of mexican imports on the florida tomato industry in addition to the emphasis on acreage response the domestic quantity and price effects are also considered most efforts to explain acreage devoted to agricultural crops have utilized some variant of a cobweb model because the ultimate price of the crop cannot be ascertained until the completion of the production cycle nevertheless if the supply and demand framework is truly representative of the way the market works an alternative to lagged price for representing the anticipated price for the crop is the price prediction of the supply and demand model itself thus acreage would be dependent on the expected price of the crop and expected price would result from the solution of the supply and demand model for price on the basis of information available at planting time the underlying hypothesis is that producers are acting in accordance with the information available to them at planting time and in a way represented by the interaction in the supply and demand model viewed in this way planted acreage decisions would be based on such factors as anticipated mexican imports and their attendant effect on the price of tomatoes one distinction between this and the traditional cobweb framework is that in the latter case lagged imports may influence planted acreage via their effect on lagged prices but any impact expected imports might have on current price is ignored in the acreage

has china s fast industrial growth been efficient an industry level investigation with a newly constructed data set we adopt contemporaneous nonradial and variable returns to scale assumptions in a data envelopment analysis dea exercise to address the inefficiency problem in chinese industries in different policy regimes using a newly constructed data set for 24 chinese manufacturing industries in 1952 2008 while confirming that the central planning period was indeed a graveyard for productivity that entailed severe technical regress and efficiency losses we do not find a steady improvement in efficiency during the reform period despite strong technical progress we argue that the resurgent prominence of the government and the state sector since the late 1990s especially following china s world trade organization accession has obstructed the efficiency improvement

the human capital effect of general education development certificates on low income women this study examines the impacts of the general equivalency diploma ged certificate and other secondary and post secondary credentials on labor market outcomes for women it uses data from the nlsy mother and children file and the washington state family income study fis correcting for sample selection and endogeneity bias of welfare recipiency we find that one cannot distinguish between secondary dropouts ged recipients and secondary graduates in hours of work results on hourly wage rates are mixed for the fis sample ged recipients secondary graduates and secondary dropouts earn the same wage for the nlsy ged recipients fare better than dropouts but worse than secondary graduates job experience explains the wage gap between ged recipients and graduates but its explanatory power is dominated by controlling for years of education or afqt differences in years of education and afqt scores are responsible for the observed wage differences among ged recipients secondary graduates and secondary dropouts

the effects of commodity price stabilization programs in this paper the authors analyze the effects of commodity programs in which the government attempts to support and stabilize price through open market purchases and sales specifically they as sess the effects of such programs on the u s soybean market using a rational expectations model that allows for private storage expected price responsive production and arbitrary support and release price s a salient feature of the model is that private storage and product ion behavior adjusts to changes in government policy stochastic simu lations of the market model demonstrate that price stabilization prog rams can reduce long run market price and destabilize producer revenu e copyright 1988 by american economic association

labor market returns to the ged using regression discontinuity analysis we evaluate returns to general educational development ged certification for high school dropouts using state administrative data we apply a fuzzy regression discontinuity method to account for test takers retaking the test for women we find that ged certification has no statistically significant effect on either employment or earnings for men we find a significant increase in earnings in the second year after taking the test but no impact in subsequent years ged certification increases postsecondary school enrollment by 4 8 percentage points our results differ from regression discontinuity approaches that fail to account for test retaking

estimating the labor market signaling value of the ged this paper tests the labor market signaling hypothesis for the general educational development ged equivalency credential using a unique data set containing ged test scores and social security administration ssa earnings data we exploit variation in ged status generated by differential state ged passing standards to identify the signaling value of the ged net of human capital effects our results indicate that the ged signal increases the earnings of young white dropouts by 10 to 19 percent we find no statistically significant effects for minority dropouts

efficiency and productivity in the operational units of the armed forces a norwegian example hanson torbjorn efficiency and productivity in the operational units of the armed forces a norwegian example international journal of production economics 2016 volum 179 s 12 23

malmquist indices of productivity growth during the deregulation of norwegian banking 1980 89 productivity growth during the deregulation of the norwegian banking industry is studied within the framework of data envelopment analysis which explicitly allows for multiple outputs introducing malmquist indices for productivity growth total growth can be decomposed into frontier growth and change in each bank s distance to the frontier both the total growth index and its components can be consistently chained over time we find productivity regress at the average bank prior to the deregulation but rapid growth when deregulation took place deregulation also led to less dispersion of productivity levels within the industry

the value of school facility investments evidence from a dynamic regression discontinuity design author s cellini stephanie riegg ferreira fernando rothstein jesse abstract despite extensive public infrastructure spending surprisingly little is known about its economic return in this paper we estimate the value of school facility investments using housing markets standard models of local public goods imply that school districts should spend up to the point where marginal increases would have zero effect on local housing prices our research design isolates exogenous variation in investments by comparing school districts where referenda on bond issues targeted to fund capital expenditures passed and failed by narrow margins we extend this traditional regression discontinuity approach to identify the dynamic treatment effects of bond authorization on local housing prices student achievement and district composition our results indicate that california school districts underinvest in school facilities passing a referendum causes immediate sizable increases in home prices implying a willingness to pay on the part of marginal homebuyers of 1 50 or more for each 1 of capital spending these effects do not appear to be driven by changes in the income or racial composition of homeowners and the impact on test scores appears to explain only a small portion of the total housing price effect c 2010 by the president and fellows of harvard college and the massachusetts institute of technology

the generalized malmquist index and capacity utilization change an application to the italian manufacturing 1989 1994 several indices of plant capacity utilization based on the concept of best practice frontier have been proposed in the literature fare et al 1992 de borger and kerstens 1998 this paper suggests an alternative measure of capacity utilization change based on generalized malmquist index proposed by grifell tatje and lovell in 1998 the advantage of this specification is that it allows the measurement of productivity growth ignoring the nature of scale economies afterwards this index is used to measure capacity change of a panel of italian firms over the period 1989 94 using data envelopment analysis and then its abilities of explaining the short run movements of output are assessed

bias corrected estimates of ged returns using three sources of data this article examines the direct economic return to general educational development ged certification for both native and immigrant high school dropouts one data source the current population survey cps is plagued by nonresponse and allocation bias from the hot deck procedure that biases the estimated return to the ged upward correcting for allocation bias and ability bias there is no direct economic return to ged certification an apparent return to ged certification with age found in the raw cps data is due to dropouts becoming more skilled over time these results apply to both native born and immigrant populations

does the g e d improve earnings estimates from a sample of both successful and unsuccessful g e d candidates the author uses a unique data set constructed from florida general education development certificate ged and unemployment insurance ui administrative records to estimate the relative earnings of two groups of male high school dropouts who took the ged exams in 1995 those who passed the exams obtaining the credential and those who failed the exams estimates from several different specifications all show greater mean quarterly earnings growth among those who obtained a ged than among unsuccessful candidates the advantage was small in dollar terms only about 1 400 annually six years after the exams but given the very low initial earnings of these school dropouts it was large in relative terms growing from zero immediately after the 1995 exams to 13 20 six years later most of these gains appear to reflect not differential wage growth between the two groups but a differential rate of movement from non employment to employment

total factor productivity growth in agriculture a malmquist index analysis of 93 countries 1980 2000 in this paper we examine levels and trends in agricultural output and productivity in 93 developed and developing countries that account for a major portion of the world population and agricultural output we make use of data drawn from the food and agriculture organization of the united nations and our study covers the period 1980 2000 due to the non availability of reliable input price data the study uses data envelopment analysis dea to derive malmquist productivity indexes the study examines trends in agricultural productivity over the period issues of catch up and convergence or in some cases possible divergence in productivity in agriculture are examined within a global framework the paper also derives the shadow prices and value shares that are implicit in the dea based malmquist productivity indices and examines the plausibility of their levels and trends over the study period

total factor productivity growth technological progress and technical efficiency change dimensions of productivity change in yugoslavia 1965 1978 this article total factor productivity growth technological progress and technical efficiency change dimensions of productivity change in yugoslavia 1965 78 was reprinted with permission from the december 1982 issue of the economic journal this article proposes a methodology that decomposes total factor productivity change into two distinct elements technological progress and changes in technical efficiency technological progress is defined as the change in the best practice production frontier all other productivity change is attributed to technical efficiency change the article provides a theoretical framework for decomposing total factor productivity growth as well as a specification and estimation of the deterministic frontier production function it employs a programming technique to estimate a flexible functional form of the production frontier the paper then applies this technique to empirical data from yugoslavia of the period from 1965 to 1978 it concludes that for yugoslavia improvements to technical efficiency comprise the dominant contribution to total factor productivity change this agrees with accumulating evidence that in many developing economies productivity gain due to technological mastery of imported technology is substantial

regional r d efficiency in korea from static and dynamic perspectives han u asmild m and kunc m regional r d efficiency in korea from static and dynamic perspectives regional studies research and development r d efficiency has gained great attention in regional innovation research this study examines the r d efficiency patterns of 15 korean regions for 2005 09 it employs data envelopment analysis to identify the regions r d performances relative to the best practices from the static perspective and the malmquist productivity index to evaluate their changes in performance within a given timeframe providing a dynamic perspective the results classify the korean regions into deteriorating lagging and improving groups and indicate that most regions suffer from declining r d productivity over time because of their inability to catch up with the best practices

disequilibrium market analysis an application to the u s fed beef sector in this paper current theory and estimation procedures are applied in an analysis of disequilibrium price behavior in the u s fed beef sector although tests of equilibrium versus disequilibrium hypotheses are not well developed results indicate the possible presence of disequilibrium prices in the market for fed beef at least the hypothesis of significant disequilibrium could not be rejected

dea environmental assessment in time horizon radial approach for malmquist index measurement on petroleum companies abstract the climate change and various pollutions have been influencing our societies and economies the environmental assessment to be discussed in this study is increasingly important because it serves as an initial step toward pollution prevention corporate leaders policy makers researchers and individuals who are interested in environmental protection have been paying attention to the assessment so that they can prepare policy suggestions on the global warming and climate change as a methodology for the assessment this study proposes a use of data environment analysis dea in a time horizon most of data sets on the climate change are sampled in a time series where the performance of organizations fluctuates every moment in applying the dea environmental assessment to such a data set it is necessary for us to classify outputs into desirable e g oil production and undesirable e g co 2 emission categories because all organizations usually produce not only desirable but also undesirable outputs as a result of their economic activities to unify the two different types of outputs this study incorporates the concept of natural and managerial disposability into the computational framework of dea and extends them into a time horizon for the research purpose this study incorporates malmquist index into the proposed dea environmental assessment to examine an occurrence of a frontier shift among multiple periods the frontier shift indicates a technology progress and or managerial innovation during an observed period the index is further separated into four subcomponents in a time horizon these subcomponents are differently expressed under the natural and managerial disposability thus eight different subcomponents on the malmquist index are proposed to measure the frontier shift as an application this study uses the proposed dea approach to examine whether the frontier shift due to technology progress occurs or not in the petroleum industry from 2005 to 2009 our empirical study finds that the industry has not exhibited any major frontier shift under natural disposability but showing a considerable frontier shift under managerial disposability in other words the petroleum firms have improved their environmental performance by eco technology to reduce an amount of co 2 emission during the observed annual periods

endogenous output in an aggregate model of the labor market a common feature to most aggregative studies of the labor market is a marginal productivity expression in which the quantity of labor appears on the left hand side of the equation and the right hand side includes the real wage and output a number of researchers have cautioned that if the output variable is treated as exogenous serious econometric difficulties may result however the assumption that output is exogenous has not been tested in this paper we estimate an equilibrium model of the labor market and use it to test the assumption of output exogeneity we find that the assumption that output is exogenous cannot be rejected by the data

is there a slowdown in agricultural productivity growth in south america this article estimates agricultural productivity growth in 10 south american countries in 1969 2009 with the objective of investigating if the slowdown being measured in other countries is present in the region results show that productivity growth accounts for half of the three fold increase in agricultural output during this period and that performance is sensitive to r d investments in the sector the slowdown found for the 1990s to 2000s in the u s and some european economies does not seem to be present yet in south america the region s total factor productivity tfp growth rate increased steadily from 1 07 during the 1970s to 2 29 during the 2000s given lags in adoption and the adaptive nature of innovations in these economies we have yet to see the potential effects in south american agriculture of decreases in r d in advanced economies

a multimarket bounded price variation model under rational expectations corn and soybeans in the united states the bounded prices model under rational expectations is extended to a multimarket setting because the resulting rational expectations model is highly nonlinear fair and taylor s iterative procedure is employed in conjunction with the multimarket framework to obtain maximum likelihood estimates of a supply demand model for corn and soybeans the estimated model is then used to simulate the market equilibrium effects associated with removing price support and acreage set aside programs over the sample period among other things the results reveal that acreage set asides have dominated the induced supply effects of price support programs for corn

technological change and efficiency in the presence of quasi fixed inputs a dea application to the hospital sector abstract quasi fixed inputs are present in virtually all sectors of the economy and cannot be adjusted to their optimal value even in the long run this constraint must be incorporated in models to correctly measure efficiency and technological change assuming that all inputs can be freely and instantly set to their optimal level overestimates firms sectors countries capacity to adjust biases results and weakens dea method as a working tools for managers we propose a modified dea approach introducing quasi fixed inputs and apply the method to hospital emergency services in montreal to show that such limitations can be lifted

financial analysis of civil reserve air fleet participants using data envelopment analysis abstract the united states department of defense s civil reserve air fleet craf consists of commercial air carriers which have agreed to augment the air force s air mobility and transport capabilities in times of national emergency craf is expected to play a much more important national defense role in the future since the air force has reduced its airlift capacity in response to the drawdown of forces initiated after the collapse of the soviet union and the corresponding budget reductions in order for the air force to rely on the craf participants responding when needed it is important that the participants be financially healthy in the past the air force has lost craf participants braniff airlines eastern airlines and pan am airlines due to bankruptcy and liquidation this research assesses the financial stability of craf participants using data envelopment analysis complemented by ratio analysis

effects of exchange rate changes on u s agriculture a dynamic analysis an econometric model of the wheat corn and soybean markets is used to examine the dynamic effects of exchange rate fluctuation on u s commodity markets exports and agricultural prices are found to be sensitive to movements in the exchange rate while domestic factors such as disappearance and inventories are less sensitive but still responsive dramatic short run adjustments in prices and exports are followed by less dramatic but significant longer run adjustments thus the hypothesis of elastic response to the exchange rate seems particularly relevant for the short run

development and application of the hicks moorsteen productivity index for the total factor productivity assessment of wastewater treatment plants abstract the assessment of the productivity change in wastewater treatment plants is essential to improve performance and reduce operational costs several indices are available to compute unit productivity however some assessments are more reliable than others in the absence of price data the malmquist productivity index is the most commonly applied but it does not maintain total factor productivity properties under variable returns to scale technology hence malmquist productivity index is not a suitable index to compute total factor productivity change in wastewater treatment plants the present study served to overcome such limitations by calculating for the first time total factor productivity changes in a sample of 204 spanish wastewater treatment plants using the hicks moorsteen productivity index it is a multiplicatively complete index which can be decomposed as several sub indices representing technical and efficiency changes therefore this study also investigated the drivers of total factor productivity change in wastewater treatment plants results showed a 5 4 total factor productivity decline per year from 2003 to 2008 in the plants analysed the primary driver in the reduction was efficiency change alternatively technical change improved during the five years of study the results of this study provide support for policymakers and managers in decision making processes and contribute to the improvement of technical and economic wastewater treatment plants performance in addition it is evidenced that wastewater treatment plants current dependence on external energy sources should be reduced to improve productivity and reduce costs to citizens who pay for wastewater treatment services

malmquist type indices in the presence of negative data an application to bank branches in this paper we develop an index and an indicator of productivity change that can be used with negative data for that purpose the range directional model rdm a particular case of the directional distance function is used for computing efficiency in the presence of negative data we use rdm efficiency measures to arrive at a malmquist type index which can reflect productivity change and we use rdm inefficiency measures to arrive at a luenberger productivity indicator and relate the two the productivity index and indicator are developed relative to a fixed meta technology and so they are referred to as a meta malmquist index and meta luenberger indicator we also address the fact that vrs technologies are used for computing the productivity index and indicator a requirement under negative data which raises issues relating to the interpretability of the index we illustrate how the meta malmquist index can be used not only for comparing the performance of a unit in two time periods but also for comparing the performance of two different units at the same or different time periods the proposed approach is then applied to a sample of bank branches where negative data were involved the paper shows how the approach yields information from a variety of perspectives on performance which management can use

productivity growth technical progress and efficiency change in industrialized countries this paper analyzes productivity growth in 17 oecd countries over the period 1979 1988 a nonparametric programming method activity analysis is used to compute malmquist productivity indexes these are decomposed into two component measures namely technical change and efficiency change we find that u s productivity growth is slightly higher than average all of which is due to technical change japan s productivity growth is the highest in the sample with almost half due to efficiency change jel c43 d24 in this paper we apply recently developed

uniform and non uniform second best input taxes we investigate second best input based taxes foragricultural nonpoint pollution control when marketprices are endogenous and production isheterogeneous theoretically we derive the optimalforms of taxes which take account of heterogeneity non uniform taxes and a tax which does not auniform tax empirically we use a multi factor market equilibrium simulation model to determineoptimal tax rates and associated equity effects particularly differences in landowner gains lossesacross a heterogeneous region when market prices areendogenous second best tax policies result inpecuniary externalities that affect existingenvironmental externalities in particular thepecuniary externalities amplify the effect of producerheterogeneity on determination of sub regionaldifferences in tax rates and returns to land particularly for the uniform policy with endogenousprices the uniform tax rate is considerably higherthan any of the non uniform rates and ironically thenon uniform taxes result in less dispersion oflandowner gains across sub regions than the uniformtax

measuring technical efficiency and productivity growth a comparison of sfa and dea on norwegian grain production data this article compares data envelopment analysis and stochastic frontier analysis to assess efficiency and productivity growth of norwegian grain producers previous studies have dealt with either one of them and less of both for the assessment of productivity growth or regress malmquist productivity indices are derived from both approaches the data cover a 10 year period we find consistency between the approaches to the extent that 1 there are potentials for efficiency improvements but the magnitudes depends on the model applied and by segmentation of the data set 2 there has been a productivity improvement in the sector on average in the interval 30 38 in the period studied and 3 technical change has had the greatest impact on productivity indicating that producers have a tendency to catch up with the front runners in general policy makers are warned not to be indifferent with respect to the approach used for efficiency and productivity measurement as these may give different results

unemployment disequilibrium and the short run phillips curve an econometric approach the paper specifies a disequilibrium model for the aggregate labour market consisting of demand and supply functions for labour an adjustment equation for wages as well as for prices a transactions equation and finally an equation that relates measured unemployment to vacancies and to excess demand the model has a more sophisticated treatment of dynamics than earlier disequilibrium models the parameter estimates and the goodness of fit are satisfactory and the model s implications for the behaviour of several important variables are sensible in particular excess demand estimates computed in various ways are reasonable

price and quantity controlled agricultural markets and disequilibrium econometrics a survey abstract this survey reviews the literature on estimating single markets in disequilibrium in the presence of regulated price and or quantity controls e g minimum price regimes and or marketing quotas most of the literature is found to describe pure econometric technique with only a few applications having emerged to date various reasons for the broad non acceptance of this literature are offered including a perceived lack of realism proposals to close this econometric theory application gap are put forward including the use of effective demand concepts in specifying demand and supply functions synthesizing some closely related literature on agricultural price quantity controls with disequilibrium econometrics i e endogenous government policy and the effects controls have on yield uncertainty and price risk and outlining more applicable econometric technique extensions