a natural rate model of frictional and long term unemployment a simple labor market with spatial separation and markov production shocks is presented in the stationary equilibrium some workers are frictionally unemployed and others are long term unemployed the amounts of frictional and long term unemployment at each location depend on its recent history of productivity shocks producing a local hysteresis effect changes in the parameters affect the equilibrium aggregate amounts of frictional and long term unemployment differently in particular economies with larger moving costs will have more long term and total unemployment but less frictional unemployment this finding is broadly consistent with recently reported stylized facts

does product market competition increase strike activity evidence from the uk although many studies have examined the effect of labour market characteristics macroeconomic fluctuations and workplace level factors on strike activity much less is known about industry level determinants of industrial conflict and in particular the role of product market competition i examine the effect of competition on strike activity using evidence from a natural experiment of policy reform the introduction of cartel legislation in the uk in the late 1950s my econometric analysis which takes advantage of the fact that different industries were affected to varying degrees by cartel policy establishes that both the number of strikes and the number of working days lost as a result of strikes increased significantly when competition intensified after the abolition of cartels i propose an interpretation of these results with reference to theoretical models of bargaining with asymmetric information

imperfect information and strikes an analysis of canadian experience 1967 82 to test their hypothesis that the propensity to strike is affected less by the actual balance of bargaining power than by the parties uncertainty about their relative power the authors perform a probit analysis of data on 1 871 collective agreements negotiated in the canadian manufacturing sector between 1967 and 1982 they find consistent with their hypothesis that some characteristics of individual bargaining units the relevant industries and the economy as a whole that affect both the quantity and reliability of information needed to assess relative bargaining power do have significant value in predicting strike incidence across industries and over time

working time accounts and turnover working time account is a tool that allows firms to smooth their demand for hours employed descriptive literature suggests that working time accounts can reduce layoffs and inhibit increases in unemployment during recessions in a model of optimal labour demand i show that working time account does not necessarily guarantee fewer layoffs at the firm level layoffs may fall or rise depending on whether the firm meets an economic downturn with a surplus or a deficit of hours and on how productive the firm is on aggregate and in expected terms however working time account reduces job destruction

employment rents and the incidence of strikes a new measure of labor market tightness on workers behavior the employment rent is modeled as a determinant of workplace conflict an empirical estimate of the employment rent workers expected cost of job loss is calculated it is argued that the cost of job loss affects strike incidence this relationship is tested by estimating an econometric model of strike incidence for the united states from 1955 to 1983 the cost of job loss is shown to explain a large percentage of the variation in strike incidence the cost of job loss is a far superior explanatory variable than the unemployment rate which is commonly used in strike models copyright 1987 by mit press

incentives pay and performance a study of australian employees the paper analyses the determinants of self reported work effort using a 1988 survery of australian employees while controlling for the endogeneity of the firm s choice of incentives and pay it is found that direct incentive schemes have predicted effects and the efficiency wage hypothesis is supported pay and work effort are positively correlated two efficiency wage models are tested akerlof s gift exchange model and work discipline arguments regarding monitoring difficulties and threats of dismissal the latter argument is broadly consistent with the data

duopolistic vertical restraints abstract in an industry where competition exists at the wholesale level vertical restraints are not necessarily desirable from the standpoint of the manufacturers when vertical restraints are employed it is never in the form of retail price maintenance but rather in the form of franchise fee pricing when the products produced by the manufacturers are only slightly differentiated the producers may benefit from the double marginalization that arises with linear pricing such double marginalization results in higher retail prices which relieve competitive pressures

resale price maintenance and collusion the article revisits the conventional wisdom according to which vertical restrictions on retail prices help upstream firms to collude we analyze the scope for collusion with and without resale price maintenance rpm when retailers observe local shocks on demand or retail costs in the absence of rpm retail prices react to retailers information and deviations from collusive behavior are thus difficult to detect by eliminating retail price flexibility rpm facilitates the detection of deviations but reduces profits and thus increases the short run gains from a deviation overall rpm can facilitate collusion and reduce total welfare when firms adopt it

the role of exclusive territories in producers competition reprinted in cartels stephen salant ed the international library of critical writings in economics edward elgar reference collections

global equity and environmental crisis an argument for reducing working hours in the north abstract is an improvement in the distribution of income between north and south compatible with environmental reconstruction to date economic growth rather than redistribution has been the dominant strategy for redressing global inequality but environmental constraints on growth at least in the north may prove desirable this paper argues that one strategy for reconciling these two goals is for the north to take productivity increases in the form of leisure time rather than increased output it discusses the feasibility of such an approach

coexistence of strategic vertical separation and integration abstract this paper gives conditions under which vertical separation is chosen by some upstream firms while vertical integration is chosen by others in the equilibrium of a symmetric model a vertically separating firm trades off fixed contracting costs against the strategic benefit of writing a two part tariff exclusive dealing contract with its retailer coexistence emerges when more than two vertical cournot oligopolists supply close substitutes when vertical integration and separation coexist welfare could be improved by reducing the number of vertically separating firms the scope for coexistence diminishes when assumptions on contract observability and commitment are relaxed

the hartz reforms the german miracle and labor reallocation abstract we analyse the recent history of unemployment and labor reallocation in the german economy using a variant of lucas and prescott s 1974 reallocation model modified to include unemployment benefits rest unemployment and aggregate shocks we focus on the implied effects of the hartz reforms and the great recession in the model and compare them with the corresponding movements in german data we find that the model s qualitative predictions for reallocation and unemployment correspond well with the observations when we calibrate the model to assess its quantitative performance however we find that it significantly overestimates the changes of both reallocation and unemployment since the introduction of the hartz reforms

effect of strike activity on firm value the article examines the stock market s reaction to labor management problems and employee strikes a discussion is presented about various categories of strike costs and cumulative abnormal return

transitions in the german labor market structure and crisis abstract since the so called hartz iv reforms around 2005 and during the global crisis of 2008 2009 the german labor market featured mainly declining unemployment rates we develop a search and matching model with heterogeneous skills to explore the role of structural and cyclical policies for this performance calibrating unemployment benefits to approximate legislation before and after the reforms we find a large reduction in unemployment and its duration with the transition concluding after about three years during the crisis the extended use of short time labor subsidies that prevent jobs from being destroyed is likely to have prevented strong increases in unemployment

business ascendancy and economic impasse a structural retrospective on conservative economics 1979 87 conservatives have been waging economic revolution since the late carter years have they succeeded some argue in the affirmative pointing to lower rates of inflation and the long expansion since early 1983 insisting that the fundamentals are sound others argue in the negative emphasizing the huge twin trade and federal budget deficits and the financial fragility underscored by the october 1987 stock market crash warning that the party s over both sides of this argument concentrate primarily on short term phenomena in the 1980s neither pays much attention to the experience of the conservative regime since 1979 in long term historical perspective ronald reagan and the early architects of conservative economic policy made no such mistake they sought their place in the history books as institutional innovators not economic tinkerers in this light scrutiny of the usual cyclical macroeconomic indicators may miss far reaching changes in economic structure which promise a sustained economic expansion in years to come the budget and trade imbalances of the late 1980s for example may reflect nothing more than the growing pains of a new economic order whose long run prospects are as bright as the reagan administration promised had the economic record of the new deal been evaluated in the eighth year of roosevelt s presidency one may doubt that we would have found in the standard economic aggregates signs of the profound institutional changes which were to provide the foundations for the long postwar boom

sectoral shifts and cyclical unemployment a substantial fraction of cyclical unemployment is better characterized as fluctuations of the frictional or natural rate than as deviations from some relatively stable natural rate shifts of employment demand between sectors of the economy necessitate continuous labor reallocation since it takes time for workers to find new jobs some unemployment is unavoidable this paper presents evidence that most of the unemployment fluctuations of the seventies unlike those in the sixties were induced by unusual structural shifts within the u s economy simple time series models of layoffs and unemployment are constructed that include a measure of structural shifts within the labor market these models are estimated and a derived natural rate series is constructed

vertical control and price versus nonprice competition this paper considers a manufacturer distributing a product through retailers who compete in price and service which reduces the time it takes to purchase a good the mix of these instruments that maximizes collective profit is determined by the tastes of consumers on the product margin whereas decentralized retailers consider as well the tastes of consumers on the interretailer margins given search or travel costs consumers with low time costs are overrepresented on the interretailer margins in considering customers on the wrong margin retailers are therefore biased toward price competition this distortion that can be corrected with vertical restraints

vertical restraints and producers competition this paper examines the rationale for vertical restraints it shows that there are important circumstances under which these restrictions have significant anti competitive effects the paper focuses on the consequences of exclusive territorial arrangements among the retailers of two products which are imperfect substitutes such arrangements are shown to increase consumer prices under plausible conditions the increase in consumer prices is sufficiently large to more than offset the deleterious effects from double marginalization resulting from reduced competition among retailers the imposition of exclusivity provisions is may be part of a nash equilibrium among producers these results hold whether there are or are not franchise fees this abstract was borrowed from another version of this item this abstract was borrowed from another version of this item this abstract was borrowed from another version of this item this abstract was borrowed from another version of this item this abstract was borrowed from another version of this item

resale price maintenance and restrictions on dominant firm and industry wide adoption abstract we consider a model in which firms use resale price maintenance rpm to dampen competition we find that even though the motive for using rpm is thus anti competitive market forces may limit the overall adverse impact on consumers indeed we find that when there are a large number of firms in the market consumer welfare under a laissez faire policy might be as high or almost as high as it would be under an alternative policy in which rpm is banned government interventions that put an upper limit on the extent of industry wide adoption of rpm can have adverse welfare effects in the model we further show that proposed guidelines in the united states and europe may come close to minimizing welfare

the extent and cyclicality of career changes evidence for the u k using quarterly data for the u k from 1993 through 2012 we document that the extent of worker reallocation across occupations or industries a career change in the parlance of this paper is high and procyclical this holds true after controlling for workers previous labour market status and for changes in the composition of who gets hired over the business cycle our evidence suggests that a large part of this reallocation reflect excess churning in the labour market we also find that the majority of career changes come with wage increases during the economic expansion wage increases were typically larger for those who change careers than for those who do not during the recession this is not true for career changers who were hired from unemployment our evidence suggests that understanding career changes over the business cycle is important for explaining labour market flows and the cyclicality of wage growth

taking stock collective bargaining at the turn of the century examining data from two national surveys of matched pairs of union and management lead negotiators the authors evaluate the current state of practice in labor relations and test several propositions related to the transformation of american industrial relations they find that 30 40 of the parties reported that they had introduced negotiated workplace level innovations or engaged in strategic level interactions both important aspects of transformation also nearly half of the parties reported experience with use of interest based bargaining practices at the same time relatively few parties reported relationships that were improving and views on the extent of change differed between labor and management thus there is an identifiable path supporting the transformation process but only a minority of bargaining relationships are moving down that path

entry deterrence by non horizontal merger we study when and how pure non horizontal mergers whether cross product or vertical can deter new entry organizational mergers implicitly commit firms to more aggressive price competition because heightened competition deters entry mergers can occur in equilibrium even when absent entry considerations they do not we show that in order to prevent a flood of entrants mergers arise even when a marginal merger costs incumbent firms more than does a marginal entrant

bargaining theory inflation and cyclical strike activity in manufacturing this paper presents a theoretical and empirical analysis of cyclical movements in strike activity the first part of the paper develops a bargaining model that demonstrates the crucial role of limi

do welfare benefits cause the welfare caseload analyses of the welfare system generally examine one of five competing models 1 the work disincentive model 2 the human capital model 3 the macroeconomic model 4 the public choice model or 5 the cost of job loss model this paper employs the granger causality concept and the multiple rank f statistic to test the implications of all five of these models simultaneously the results offer modest support to all but the macroeconomic model the relationships among welfare benefits caseloads and labor market conditions appear to be too complex to be fully captured by a single model

the specification of econometric strike models a varma approach in the case of macro econometric strike models classical regression techniques do not deal with important specification issues 1 the question of causality between strikes and other variables 2 the choice of appropriate lag structures and 3 omitted variable bias moreover since rational bargainers would tend to avoid previous bargaining mistakes the determinants of strike activity in a given period may not apply in subsequent periods this study attempts to model post war us strike behaviour beacuse of the spurious regression problems vector autoregressive moving average varma techniques are preferred to standard regression methods for the early post war period strikes are successfully modelled in terms of unemployment and wage and price inflation there is no feedback from strikes to the other variables contrary to the predominant view that us strikes are more frequent when real wage increases are small increasing rates of wage change both real and nominal lead to more strikes for t

an economic theory of vertical restraints vertical restraints imposed by manufacturers on the prices locations and sales of retail firms represent a puzzling departure from the simple price mediated exchange of conventional markets in this article we analyze the theoretical basis for these restraints in a setting where retailers inform consumers and are imperfectly competitive and where a manufacturer has some monopoly power we identify three potential externalities affecting retailers decisions these externalities lead to the failure of simple uniform price contracts to coordinate the incentives of retailers with the objective of maximizing combined manufacturer and retailer profits we identify the packages of vertical restraints that are minimally sufficient under various conditions to neutralize the externalities and to achieve the joint profit maximum

the competition effects of industry wide vertical price fixing in bilateral oligopoly this paper examines the competition and welfare effects of vertical price fixing through industry wide resale price maintenance rpm arrangements such as those benefiting from exemption from a general prohibition against rpm a bilateral oligopoly framework is employed incorporating differentiation between manufacturer products and between retailer services transactions between the stages involve prices being determined through bargaining we do not find rpm to be universally undesirable however where retailer power is strong the social effects of rpm are likely to be adverse since the practice can assist in coordinating final price levels and prevent socially desirable countervailing power arising

effects of union organization on strike incidence in eu companies the author reinvestigates the relationship between the organizational power of trade unions and strikes based on data from the european company survey 2009 ecs 2009 and the institutional characteristics of trade unions wage setting state intervention and social pacts ictwss database which include more than 5 000 firms across all 27 european union eu member states he shows that the incidence of strikes is higher in companies for which workplace union membership is high the number of workplace unions is high and unions dominate establishment level works councils these factors interact to affect strike incidence in addition the company level effects of union organization on strike incidence vary across countries these country differences can partially be explained by differences in national trade union systems such as decentralization and membership density

work rest and search unemployment turnover and the cycle this paper presents a model that generates procyclical search procyclical labor productivity and countercyclical unemployment broadly consistent with the actual behavior of these time series concretely the model introduces an aggregate shock into the sectoral demand shift model of the type analyzed by lucas and prescott if aggregate shocks operate multiplicatively and are autocorrelated the payoff to unemployed search can be procyclical to an extent large enough to offset the productive losses associated with search that also are procyclical

incomes policies inflation and strikes in nigeria 1950 1985 an empirical investigation the effects of incomes policies and inflation on the incidence of strikes in nigeria for the 1950 1985 period are examined studies have analysed extensively the determinants of strike activity in developed countries however relatively little empirical analysis of strike determinants in less developed countries exists an attempt is made to fill this gap by including key economic organizational and institutional variables into a model that is capable of predicting the variations in strikes in nigeria a developing country with a growing unionized sector the estimated results of the model show that strikes in nigeria are positively influenced by the level of inflation the level of union membership incomes policies and time trend

longitudinal analysis of strike activity this article presents an empirical study of strike activity in a panel of contract negotiations for some 250 firm and union pairs evidence is presented on two sources of variation in dispute rates changes in the characteristics of the collective bargaining agreement that affect subsequent strike outcomes and the effects of lagged strikes on the incidence and duration of subsequent disputes strike probabilities are significantly affected by the duration and expiration month of the previous agreement dispute rates are also increased by the occurrence of a short strike during the previous negotiations and reduced by the occurrence of a long strike

the revenge of homo economicus contested exchange and the revival of political economy recent developments in microeconomic theory have shown that the self interested behavior underlying neoclassical theory is artificially truncated it depicts a charmingly victorian but utopian world in which conflicts abound but a handshake is a handshake but a handshake is not always a handshake studies of principal agent analysis the economics of information radical political economy mechanism design and transactions cost economics have all focused on the difficulties involved in policing and enforcing the actual process of market exchange abandoning the victorian world of neoclassical theory will redirect economists to an older conception of their profession what once was called political economy by taking optimizing more seriously post walrasian economics has inspired a revolution in economic thought fostering both new theoretical departures and alternative conceptions of the capitalist economy we will offer our own interpretation of this literature focusing on the widely recognized fact that the terms arising from exchange are not generally enforceable at zero cost to the exchanging parties where some aspect of the good or service supplied is both valuable to the buyer and costly to provide the absence of third party enforcement of claims gives rise to endogenous enforcement strategies we refer to this relationship as a contested exchange because unlike the transactions of walrasian economics the benefit the parties derive from the transaction depends on their own capacities to enforce competing claims

the effect of labour relations legislation on strike incidence the impact on strike incidence of nine labour relations policy variables representing legislation in eleven canadian jurisdictions is estimated using logit analysis of 3 347 individual collective agreements mandatory strike votes compulsory dues check off and compulsory conciliation boards are associated with significantly lower strike probabilities prohibition of replacement workers and employer initiated strike votes are associated with significantly higher strike probabilities no significant association was found between strike incidence and the length of cooling off period following conciliation and negotiated or automatic reopeners policy impacts are interpreted in a framework emphasizing the influence of asymmetric inforrnation and joint costs on strikes

collective bargaining in small firms preliminary evidence of fundamental change this analysis of 481 negotiations in michigan over the period 1987 91 suggests that fundamental changes may have occurred recently in collective bargaining in small firms only 33 of the negotiations conformed to the traditional model of arm s length collective bargaining the balance involved either highly contentious or highly cooperative relations further in only one sixth 17 of the cases was the contract settled within one week before or after the contract expiration delays were more common and longer in negotiations in which settlements were implemented unilaterally by management over labor s objections than in cases involving strikes concessions figured prominently in the majority of the negotiations in the sample with a shift from wage to benefit concessions occurring during the period examined

the worker discipline effect a disaggregative analysis the authors test for the presence of a worker discipline effect wherein macroeconomic conditions influence worker effort and examine interindustry variation in its strength an employment function analysis is first used to find evidence of a worker discipline effect in the majority of u s three digit manufacturing industries a factor analysis of industry firm and labor market characteristics is then used to identify several underlying factors by which industries can be distinguished the authors find that the strength of the worker discipline effect is positively and significantly correlated with the degree to which industries have secondary characteristics copyright 1990 by mit press

the determinants of strikes in the united states 1900 1977 this study aims to assess the recent debate that has emerged in the literature over the economic and organizational political models of strikes and to propose and test a synthesis of those models as an explanation for the pattern of strike activity in the united states since 1900 the paper begins with a review of strike activity in the post 1900 period and then develops a conceptual framework incorporating six factors the size of union membership economic conditions political events institutional arrangements psychological variables and the extent of rival unionism to explain this historical pattern the second part of the paper contains a regression analysis of strike activity over the 1900 1977 period the regression results show that both the economic factors of unemployment and inflation and various noneconomic factors such as changes in union membership the outbreak of world war ii and enactment of new deal legislation are significant in explaining variations in strike activity during t