the relative unimportance of a nonmarket willingness to pay for timber harvesting abstract the magnitude of a nonmarket willingness to pay for logging of native forests in southeastern australia is estimated using the contingent valuation method this willingness to pay is apparently motivated by both the monetary and social costs of unemployment and a nonmarket intrinsic production value we speculate that this nonmarket value for production may arise where a traditional land use is involved willingness to pay for intrinsic production value is small 4 in comparison to the nonmarket economic value of reserving the same forests in national parks whilst this result may not be transferable to resource allocation issues which involve significant traditional land use it does suggest that neglect of such a willingness to pay has not significantly prejudiced the results of past benefit cost analyses related to the preservation of natural environments

black white differences in schooling investment and human capital production in segregated schools the lower level of school quality available for blacks relative to whites in the segregated era is frequently cited as a primary cause for the currently observed gap in black white average wages the inferior education provided to black children is argued to have caused lower levels of human capital production in black schools than white schools the gap in black white wages can be traced to this gap in human capital similarly the convergence in black and white average wages during the 1960 s and 1970 s may be explained by the steady convergence in black and white school quality and attendance which began in the 1940 s this abstract was borrowed from another version of this item

local acceptance and heterogeneous externalities of biorefineries biofuels can potentially reduce lifecycle greenhouse gas emissions from energy use and help address the climate change problem however the siting and operation of a biofuel production facility can impact the members of the host community both positively e g local jobs and income and negatively e g pollution and noise such ambivalent and heterogeneous external impacts result in either local support or opposition to the facility which in turn becomes a key factor affecting biorefinery location decisions and subsequent success of biorefineries while a number of prior studies have analyzed economic and environmental impacts of biofuels systematic analysis of local acceptability of biofuel production facilities is lacking our study explores factors that influence community attitudes towards biofuel facilities we assess the strength of acceptability or opposition by estimating the local community s willingness to pay wtp either to support or to oppose a proposed biorefinery we posit that such wtp estimates provide a more comprehensive measure of local acceptability results also suggest that county level socio economic characteristics significantly influence these attitudes and wtp

estimation using contingent valuation data from a dichotomous choice with follow up questionnaire reply abstract our original article proposed that the two yes no willingness to pay wtp responses produced by this survey format should be viewed as a pair of jointly distributed correlated discrete random variables the comparison model the conventional approach to estimation using these types of data contained a programming error correction alters the results from the comparison model but our original claim that estimation by conventional methods can produce misleading inferences if ours is the appropriate specification still stands this is especially true if negative wtp is precluded when e wtp is calculated

do new york dairy farmers maximize profits or minimize costs the weak axiom of profit maximization and weak axiom of cost minimization were used to determine whether each of forty nine new york dairy farms displayed behavior consistent with profit maximization or cost minimization these were tested for each farm across eleven years of data correcting for technological change using previously estimated nonparametric malmquist productivity indices the results indicate that some were moderately successful in maximizing profits but more came closer to minimizing costs over half of the observations were within 10 of minimum costs

a framework for scaling and framing policy problems in sustainability abstract it is argued that a necessary but lacking component of our approach in seeking policy responses to sustainability issues is some repeatable means whereby the relative magnitude and characteristics of these various policy problems faced in a given context can be analysed and described to this end a simple and tentative framework is constructed based on the definition of the key attributes which shape policy problems pertaining to environmental change these are spatial scale of cause and effect magnitude timing and longevity of possible impacts reversibility mensurability complexity and connectivity nature of cause s relevance to the given polity tractability availability and acceptability of means public concern and existence of goals these attributes inform a general taxonomy of micro meso and macro problems the attributes and the taxonomy are described with supporting examples to illustrate possible application of the framework it is discussed briefly in the contexts of operationalising the precautionary principle and policy instrument choice it is concluded that the framework can help focus debate and operationalise vague principles introduce relativity into the notion of sustainability and make policy choice more efficient

estimating willingness to pay for renewable energy in south korea using the contingent valuation method the importance of renewable energy as a response to climate change is universally acknowledged however its successful implementation requires public approval and cooperation this study aims to identify the level of renewable energy acceptance in korea by estimating korean consumers additional willingness to pay wtp using the contingent valuation cv method which is the most widely used to analyze consumer preferences the estimation results indicate that korean consumers are willing to pay an additional usd 3 21 per month for electricity generated with renewable energy however wtp in korea is low relative to other advanced nations indicating that these values could be influenced through policies aimed at improving knowledge and acceptance of renewable energy sources among korean consumers

race and human capital while human capital has been used with some success to analyze recent changes in racial income differences scholars have repeatedly pointed to a major empirical problem that appears to severely limit the historical relevanlce and scope of skill based theories as applied to racial questions the challenge they raise is legitimate put simply if measured skill disparities between the races narrowed throughout the twentieth century why did income ratios first begin to converge in the 1960 s in this paper i address this question relying on some unexploited census data by race on education literacy occupations and income using these data that begin with the 1890 census i present new estimates of agespecific relative income positions of black men for all postslavery birth cohorts in addition to reconciling the apparently inconsistent skill and income series these income ratios offer a very different historical record than many economists believe to have been the case to cite a prominent example gunnar myrdal s classic work 1944 saw the economic position of his contemporary black america not only as dismal but made even more so by its sense of hopelessness given the absence of any hint of progress or change while myrdal s pessimism is understandable it appears that even in his day seeds had long been sown that were already permanently altering and improving the relative economic status of black men

preservation or use a contingent valuation study of wilderness designation in utah evidence of strong opposition to wilderness proposals in utah suggested that the non market value of retaining those areas in multiple use management might be significant a contingent value analysis of both supporters and opponents of the two major proposals for wilderness designation in utah indicated that there existed significant non market willingness to pay on the part of opponents and that standard contingent valuation practice which does not explicitly consider these values could lead to a mis estimation of aggregate willingness to pay

sensitivity of willingness to pay estimates to bid design in dichotomous choice contingent valuation models this paper addresses the sensitivity of dichotomous choice contingent valuation method dc cvm based mean willingness to pay wtp estimates to the dc cvm sample design and to alternative measures of wtp this issue is examined both analytically and empirically the analysis of ten different dc cvm data sets revealed a sensitivity in estimated mean wtp to the sample design and to the measure chosen to calculate mean wtp

respondent experience and contingent valuation of environmental goods abstract respondent experience i e a respondent s information set has long been suspected to influence contingent valuation estimates of environmental values we assess the influence of experience by explicitly modeling the relationship between respondent experience and both fitted individual resource values and the conditional variance of these estimated values using three different joint specifications for experience and wtp normal censored normal poisson censored normal and zero inflated poisson censored normal we find discrete jumps in resource values as experience increases from zero and that more experienced respondents have smaller conditional variances simulation of arbitrary levels of experience allows standardization of the amount of information when developing welfare estimates

on nonparametric supply response analysis in this paper we explore the usefulness of nonparametric methods in the investigation of production behavior and the estimation of price elasticities of output supply and input demand functions the approach can handle the situation where some data points are not consistent with production theory the method is illustrated by estimating supply demand elasticities of outputs and inputs in u s agriculture

washington biofuel feedstock crop supply under output price and quantity uncertainty abstract subsidized development of an in state biofuels industry has received some political support in the state of washington usa utilizing in state feedstock supplies could be an efficient way to stimulate biofuel industries and the local economy in this paper we estimate supply under output price and quantity uncertainty for major biofuel feedstock crops in washington farmers are expected to be risk averse and maximize the utility of profit and uncertainty we estimate very large washington price elasticities for corn and sugar beets but a small price elasticity for a third potential feedstock canola even with the large price elasticities for two potential feedstocks their current and historical production levels in the state are so low that unrealistically large incentives would likely be needed to obtain sufficient feedstock supply for a washington biofuel industry based on our examination of state and regional data we find low likelihood that a washington biofuels industry will develop in the near future primarily using within state biofuel feedstock crops

valuation of natural resource improvements in the adirondacks for 20 years acid rain in the adirondack park has been a central issue in the debate about clean air regulation based on a contingent valuation survey of new york residents our study quantifies the total economic value of expected ecological improvements in the park from forthcoming policies our preferred estimates of the mean household willingness to pay range from 48 to 107 annually which imply total statewide benefits ranging from 336 million to 749 million annually alternative assumptions about ecological changes yield benefits up to 1 1 billion the instrument passes external scope sensitivity to bid and sample selection tests

generalized additive models for nonmarket valuation via revealed or stated preference methods single site recreation demand and dichotomous choice contingent valuation analyses are typically conducted by implementing models containing strong parametric assumptions which are rarely underpinned by theoretical arguments this work illustrates how these assumptions can be relaxed and the estimation conducted semiparametrically by using generalized additive models gams this approach directly estimates the degree of the variables nonlinearities from the data thereby avoiding subjective choices on the smoothing parameters and offering many advantages when compared to the conventional modeling techniques that dominate the environmental economics literature additionally this paper illustrates how gams can be specified to construct theoretically consistent willingness to pay measures jel c14 q51

a randomized response approach to dichotomous choice contingent valuation in this paper we combine dichotomous choice contingent valuation dc cv with the randomized response rr method for asking sensitive survey questions rr increases respondents anonymity by allowing them to answer a sensitive question without revealing with certainty their true response we combine rr with dc cv to test for response effects in the valuation of a public good in a setting of expected social pressure while there are practical implementation issues our findings suggest that the rr technique is a useful tool for exploring social context effects rather than generalize from our pre test results we instead emphasize the development of the experimental technique

the labor market effects of sex and race discrimination laws westudytheeffectsofstatesexandracediscriminationlawsthatwerepassedprior to federal antidiscrimination legislation state sex discrimination laws targeted discrimination in pay only because an equal pay constraint raises the relative price of female labor we would expect the relative employment of females to decline we find robust evidence that state equal pay laws for women reduced relative employment of both black women and white women we also find some evidence of positive effects of race discrimination laws on earnings of blacks relative to whites although no evidence of employment effects jel j15 j16 j18 j23 i introduction public policies to narrow the gaps in labor market outcomes between men and women and between whites and minorities have a long and controversial history two pieces of federal legislation stand out as perhaps the most significant such policies the first was the equal pay act of 1963 which requires equal pay for equal work noting some exceptions but explicitly prohibiting a worker s sex as one of them the second was title vii of the civilrightsactof1964 makingitillegaltodiscriminate in hiring discharge compensation and so on on the basis of race color religion sex or national origin two other important landmarks in the evolution of these policies at the federal level were amendments to title vii embodied in the equal employment opportunity act eeoa of 1972 which expanded coverage and increased the enforcement powers of the equal employment opportunity commission eeoc and executive orders 10925 1961 11246 1965 and 11375 1967 which laid the groundwork for affirmative action although the phrase has its origins in title vii 1

the labor market impact of state level anti discrimination laws 1940 1960 by the time congress passed the 1964 civil rights act 98 of non southern blacks 40 of all blacks already resided in states with fair employment laws prohibiting labor market discrimination using census data from the integrated public use microdata series the author assesses the impact of fair employment legislation on black workers relative income unemployment labor force participation migration and occupational and industrial distributions in general the fair employment laws adopted in the 1940s appear to have had larger effects than those adopted in the 1950s and the laws had considerably smaller effects on the labor market outcomes of black men than on those of black women

how reliable is duality theory in empirical work the neoclassical theory of production establishes a dual relationship between the profit value function of a competitive firm and its underlying production technology this relationship commonly referred to as duality theory has been widely used in empirical work to estimate production parameters such as elasticities and returns to scale we generate a pseudo dataset by monte carlo simulations which starting from known production parameters yield a dataset with the main characteristics of u s agriculture in terms of unobserved firm heterogeneity decisions under uncertainty unexpected production and price shocks endogenous prices output and input aggregation measurement error in variables and omitted variables production parameters are not precisely recovered when performing econometric estimation based on the duality approach and the elasticity estimates are inaccurate deviations of own and cross price elasticities from initial median values given our parameter calibration range between 6 and 690 with an average of 90 also own price elasticities are as imprecisely recovered as cross price elasticities sensitivity analysis shows that results still hold for different sources and levels of noise and sample size used in estimation

a new paradigm for valuing non market goods using referendum data maximum likelihood estimation by censored logistic regression abstract this paper challenges the w m hanemann amer j agr econom 66 332 341 1984 and c sellar j p chavas and j r stoll j environ econom management 13 382 390 1986 utilizations of logit models to estimate the value of non market resources from referendum survey data these data are more informative than conventional choice data the random utility interpretation of logit models is therefore too restrictive bypassing the utility function entirely it will be shown that parameters and standard errors for utility theoretic inverse hicksian demand functions can be extracted directly and much more simply estimated demand functions need not be limited to those corresponding to the linear in parameters utility difference specifications which can be handled by packaged logit programs

validation of empirical measures of welfare change a comparison of nonmarket techniques since the passing of the flood control act of 1936 the attention of many resource economists has been directed towards measuring the benefits and costs of alternative uses of natural resources increasingly it has been recognized that the value of some of these uses is not explicitly determined through market transactions this has led to the focus of much attention upon the development of nonmarket methods to estimate the value of these uses in the 1940s the groundwork for the travel cost method was established by hotelling prewitt 1949 following this in the 1960s davis initiated the basic foundation for bidding methods davis 1963 which were later to be subsumed under the heading of contingent valuation methods brookshire randall and stoll 1980 schulze d arge and brookshire 1981 thayer 1981 both of these methods will be further discussed below in addition to these two methods a third approach the unit day value method has been recognized as acceptable but not preferred for the valuation of recreational uses of water and related land resources dwyer kelley and bowes 1977 u s water resources council 1979 given the existence of alternative methods of estimating the value of resource uses several obvious questions arise one of the first of these is under what circumstances is each method most appropriate existing literature has focussed sufficiently on this question and pointed out limitations of each especially the travel cost method and unit day value methods brookshire ives and schulze 1976 dwyer kelly and bowes 1977 freeman 1979 mcconnell 1975 randall ives and eastman 1977 schulze d arge and brook

farm level nonparametric analysis of cost minimization and profit maximization behavior abstract this study investigates non parametrically the optimizing behavior of a sample of 289 kansas farms under profit maximization and cost minimization hypotheses the study uses both deterministic and stochastic non parametric tests the deterministic results do not support strict adherence to either optimization hypothesis the stochastic tests suggest that all 289 farms fail the profit maximization hypothesis whereas 171 farms failed the cost minimization hypothesis allowing for non regressive technical change does not alter the basic results 276 farms violate the profit maximization hypothesis and 138 violate the cost minimization hypothesis the evidence against cost minimization behavior seems to be far less substantial than that against profit maximization behavior

geographic aggregation and induced innovation in american agriculture the induced innovation hypothesis is tested for the usa and western regions using cointegration procedures an error correction model separates short run and long run effects of relative price changes a significant difference in the elasticities of factor substitution along the isoquant and the innovation possibility curve implies induced innovation the estimated results support the hypothesis for washington the pacific northwest and the western region but not for the nation corroborative tests of weak exogeneity fail to support the hypothesis in any of the geographic units changes in output level and research investment do not significantly bias agricultural technology in the usa

alternative approaches for incorporating respondent uncertainty when estimating willingness to pay the case of the mexican spotted owl abstract this paper explores the sources and patterns of respondents uncertainty regarding their willingness to pay wtp and presents alternative approaches for incorporating this uncertainty into estimation of the logit model recently proposed approaches are compared to methods proposed in this paper which allows for incorporation of uncertainty regarding both yes and no responses these approaches are evaluated by comparing the goodness of fit and variability of mean wtp extreme recoding of uncertain yes responses as no responses reduces the logit goodness of fit and the precision of the wtp estimate incorporating the degree of uncertainty of yes responses results in the highest goodness of fit and the smallest variability of mean wtp among the various models addressing uncertainty a regression model is used to determine the significant determinants of respondent uncertainty

decomposing wage residuals unmeasured skill or statistical artifact the decomposition of wage residuals into standard deviation and percentile ranks can be misleading because the two measures are not necessarily independent with rising wage inequality the mean percentile rank of low wage groups will rise simply because more dispersed distributions have thicker tails this interpretation is consistent with the observed stability of gender and racial wage gaps in contrast the unmeasured skill interpretation of wage residuals would predict widening wage gaps in the face of rising wage inequality unless one posits an increase in the level of unobserved skill for women and blacks

use of dichotomous choice nonmarket methods to value the whooping crane resource market prices for endangered wildlife species rarely exist when prices do exist they arc not likely to reflect accurately individual preferences both consumptive uses such as hunting fishing and trapping boyle and bishop 1985 stou and johnson brookshire eubanks and randall and more esoteric benefits such as viewing and existence values must be considered this article is addressed to the valuation of whooping cranes grus americana a prominent endangered species the purpose of this article is to present a methodology for estimating nonconsumptive benefits associated with the existence of an endangered species a dichotomous choice form of contingent valuation is applied to quantify individuals economic surplus associated with preservation of the whooping crane resource specific issues and limitations of the empirical approach are discussed some of which have been previously examined by bishop and heberlein 1979 and hanemann the present paper expands upon earlier work in several ways fit in addition to discussing the above issues a unique application of the approach to an endangered species is presented second three model specifications are examined two of which arc consistent with utility theory and one which is not hanemann ti again following hanemann economic surplus is estimated at the sample median as well as the mean the dii cussion of the last two issues sheds sit on their implications for estimation of economic surplus throughout the article the suitability of alternative estimation techniques for dichom mous choice or referendum style data is examined the methodological and empirical results are relevant to a number of cumnt issues regarding model specification choice of binary response model and choice of estimator for equivalent surplus hanemann boyle and bishop 1984 sellar chavas and stoll

prioritizing payment for environmental services using nonmarket benefits and costs for optimal selection abstract this article provides a practical applied analysis of optimal targeting in agricultural land preservation comparing the performance of four alternative targeting strategies nonmarket benefit data and hedonic cost estimates are used for parcels in sussex county delaware the results show that branch and bound optimization opt does not significantly outperform the much simpler benefit cost ratio targeting bcrt however significant losses of potential net benefits occur when applied methods overlook either benefits or costs in this application benefit targeting bt and cost targeting ct significantly underperform both opt and bcrt with bt underperforming all other methods

explaining the racial unemployment gap race region and the employment status of men 1940 although the substantial and persistent gap between the unemployment rates of african americans and whites in the united states first emerged in aggregate statistics covering the 1940s and 1950s disaggregation reveals that the gap already existed in urban areas before 1940 using individual level data on male workers from the 1940 census the author analyzes the causes of the unemployment gap he finds that racial differences in measured human capital and other characteristics can explain all of the racial gap in the south but less than half of the gap in the north this result contrasts with results from studies of wages which have found a larger racial residual in the south than in the north

the contingent valuation debate why economists should care t he contingent valuation method involves the use of sample surveys questionnaires to elicit the willingness of respondents to pay for generally hypothetical projects or programs the name of the method refers to the fact that the values revealed by respondents are contingent upon the constructed or simulated market presented in the survey a spirited and occasionally mean spirited battle over such methods is currently being waged involving competing factions within the federal government economists and lawyers representing business and environmental groups and interested academics as well at issue is a seemingly quite specific question should environmental regulations currently under development at both the department of the interior and the department of commerce sanction the use of the contingent valuation method in estimating the damage done by spills of oil chemicals or other substances covered by federal law more generally the debate raises broad questions about what economists have to say about the values that individuals place on public or private goods the two papers that follow this one make cases for and against the use of the contingent valuation method my aim here is to provide an overview of the technique and the debate surrounding it i also want to suggest why this debate should matter to economists both professionally and in their roles as citizens and consumers

flexible functional form estimation of willingness to pay using dichotomous choice data abstract this paper introduces fully flexible semi nonparametric methods for calculating willingness to pay wtp bounded between zero and the respondent s income for dichotomous choice contingent valuation a method to estimate median wtp using fully flexible functional forms is also presented finally the numerical illustration demonstrates the importance of considering jensen s inequality in calculating wtp with nonlinear models

difficulties in valuing street light improvement trust surprise and bound effects previous empirical research has demonstrated an internal inconsistency that may occur in response strategies between the first and second valuations made to closed ended contingent valuation questions one possible explanation for this bound effect is the surprise of being asked the second valuation question which may be enhanced where there is a lack of trust this paper considers the use of closed ended contingent valuation to estimate non market benefits for an improved street lighting scheme where there is a lack of trust in the agency responsible for provision the results provide confirmation that surprise is an important determinant of bound effects however efforts to reduce such bias using a prior statement of the bid range were found to be ineffective in increasing trust and reducing surprise given the importance of this area of research directions for future research are considered

testing expected utility maximization under price and quantity risk with a heterogeneous panel refutable implications based on the curvature properties of the indirect utility function for the competitive firm operating under uncertainty are extended to the case of both price and quantity uncertainty using unit roots and cointegration tests for heterogeneous panels a model of us agricultural production is developed based on the time series properties of a panel of state level data most refutable hypotheses under output price and output quantity risk are not rejected but symmetry conditions implied by a twice continuously differentiable indirect utility function are rejected the same test conclusions are obtained from a traditional model that presumes stationarity in all variables

increasing wage dispersion and the changes in relative employment and wages in mexico s urban informal sector 1987 1993 this study analyses the role of changes in informal formal relative employment wage levels and wage inequality in explaining increasing wage dispersion in mexico during the 1987 1993 period from 1987 to 1993 the variance of the log of hourly wages for mexican workers increased by more than 50 per cent using data from the encuesta nacional de empleo urbano we find that this increase in the overall wage dispersion was mainly driven by increasing wage dispersion in the formal sector coupled with a faster growth in formal sector employment as a percentage of total employment however compression in the distribution of wages within the informal sector contributed to substantially slowdown the increasing overall wage inequality about 60 per cent of the 1987 1993 4 65 percentage point reduction in the informal sector share of total employment is explained by changes in the structure that determines sectoral employment the rest is explained by changes in the composition of the labour force particularly in

success in maximizing profits and reasons for profit deviation on dairy farms the weak axiom of profit maximization wapm was used to test how successful each of 70 individual new york state dairy farms was in maximizing profits using nine years of data the netput vectors were corrected for technological change using nonparametric indices that do not require the assumption of profit maximization nor any functional form for the underlying technology these technology indices are consistent with the nonparametric assumptions used in the wapm tests the average negative wapm deviation over the 70 farms was 0 20 indicating that on average these farms could have selected available netput vectors that would have increased profits by 20 of total receipts a tobit regression showed that the available characteristics on these farms explained very little of the variability in their abilities to select the best netput vectors yet increased age and additional education increased the ability to select the best netput vector

referendum design and contingent valuation the noaa panel s no vote recommendation this paper considers the effects for offering a would not vote option in contingent valuation cv questions framed using the referendum format this approach arises from a suggestion made by the national oceanic and atmospheric administration s noaa panel on contingent valuation the noaa panel was asked to evaluate the use of this method for estimating the economic value of nonmarketed environmental resources in the context of natural resource damage assessments this test used the cv questionnaire developed for the study of the exxon valdez oil spill conducted by the state of alaska with in person interviews the findings suggest that when those selecting the would not vote response are treated as having voted against the program a conservative coding offering this option does not alter 1 the distribution of for and against responses 2 the estimates of willingness to pay derived from these choices or 3 the construct validity of the results

spike models in contingent valuation spike models allow for a nonzero probability of zero willingness to pay in referendum style contingent valuation experiments they include many of the often used models as special cases and allow various analyses that are not possible in standard applications in this paper the economic rationale for the spike models and their estimation techniques are discussed and empirical illustrations are provided one study suggests that mean willingness to pay is zero and both studies strongly suggest that median wtp is zero these results have some bearing on the continuing debate of the incentive properties of hypothetical surveys and the construction of scenarios in contingent valuation experiments

allowing for zeros in dichotomous choice contingent valuation models dichotomous choice contingent valuation data are modeled using a mixture distribution the standard parametric survival model is modified such that respondents in the lowest willingness to pay category may have either zero willingness to pay or a small positive willingness to pay in comparison to the standard model the mixture model leads to a dramatic reduction in estimates of mean willingness to pay covariates such as income are found to be more significant in determining the positive portion of the distribution of willingness to pay

estimating the adoption of bt eggplant in india who benefits from public private partnership the study analyzes ex ante the adoption of insect resistant bt eggplant technology in india farmers willingness to pay wtp is estimated using the contingent valuation method given the economic importance of insect pests in eggplant cultivation the average wtp for bt hybrids is more than four times the current price of conventional hybrid seeds since the private innovating firm has also shared its technology with the public sector proprietary hybrids will likely get competition through public open pollinated bt varieties after a small time lag this will reduce farmers wtp for bt hybrids by about 35 thus decreasing the scope for corporate pricing policies nonetheless ample private profit potential remains analysis of factors influencing farmers adoption decisions demonstrates that public bt varieties will particularly improve technology access for resource poor eggplant producers the results suggest that public private partnership can be beneficial for all parties involved 2006 published by elsevier ltd

negative values in vickrey auctions some people assign negative values for new products sold on laboratory auction blocks i e irradiated meat we explore bidding behavior in two vickrey auctions when people have positive and negative induced values for the good aggregate bidding in the second price auction is precise but biased highest value positive bidders tend to overstate benefits whereas lowest negative bidders understate losses in contrast bidding behavior in the random nth price auction is demand revealing irrespective of induced value but it is imprecise examining on and off margin bidding behavior we cannot conclude that any segments of demand are significantly different than the demand revealing regression line

testing willingness to pay models of discrete choice contingent valuation survey data this paper considers models of willingness to pay wtp based on dichotomous choice contingent valuation survey data and examines the effect of the survey design on tests of goodness of fit simulations show that eliciting single binary responses result in tests that have low power in detecting departures from the maintained distribution of wtp unless the sample size is truly large the power of the tests improves if a follow up question and a moderate number of sets of bid values are used and if the bids are not placed on the extreme tails of the wtp distribution

parametric and semi nonparametric estimation of willingness to pay in the dichotomous choice contingent valuation framework standard procedures for extractingwillingness to pay wtp from dichotomouschoice cv questionnaires rely heavily uponparametric assumptions regarding thedistribution and form of wtp in the sampledpopulation however theory provides littleguidance regarding which parametricspecification to use and the resulting wtpestimates can be sensitive to the selectionsmade here we compare and contrast severalparametric and semi nonparametric estimatorsthat have been proposed in the literature examining the sensitivity of the resulting wtpestimates to the underlying distribution ofpreferences and the estimation procedureemployed

the impact of the great migration on mortality of african americans evidence from the deep south the great migration the massive migration of african americans out of the rural south to largely urban locations in the north midwest and west was a landmark event in u s our paper shows that this migration increased mortality of african americans born in the early twentieth century south this inference comes from an analysis that uses proximity of birthplace to railroad lines as an instrument for migration

addressing negative willingness to pay in dichotomous choice contingent valuation this paper has four purposes first we outline the controversy surroundingthe issue of negative willingness to pay wtp in contingent valuation cv studies second we use monte carlo simulation to examine theperformance of alternative distributionalassumptions in estimating wtp in the presenceof varying proportions of the populationholding negative wtp values we focus ondichotomous choice cv dc cv where negativewtp values may be especially difficult todetect third we extend the simulation toinvestigate the performance of the mixturemodels that have recently been proposed forhandling identifying non positive wtp values fourth we extend the simulation to investigatethe performance of the nonparametric lowerbound turnbull approach results indicate thatthe relative performance of the dc cv modelingalternatives evaluated here which assumepositive wtp varies across the simulationsetting e g proportion of negative wtp butnone can be said to reasonably solve theproblem ex post this underscores theimportance of ex ante efforts to identify ifnegative wtp is likely to be prominent in agiven valuation setting in such cases appropriately handling negative wtp must beaddressed through ex ante survey design andmodeling choices that allow negative wtp

efficient estimation methods for closed ended contingent valuation surveys closed ended contingent valuation surveys can be very useful in the evaluation of nonmarket resources respondents merely state whether they would accept or reject a hypothetical threshold amount either as payment for giving up access to the resource or as a fee for its use the authors develop a maximum likelihood procedure which exploits the variation in the threshold values to allow direct and separate point estimates of regression like slope coefficients and error standard deviations without truncation bias their illustration uses data from a survey of recreational fisherman to examine factors which influence individuals willingness to pay copyright 1987 by mit press

a conjoint model of quantity discounts quantity discount pricing is a common practice used by business to business and business to consumer companies a key characteristic of quantity discount pricing is that the marginal price declines with higher purchase quantities in this paper we propose a choice based conjoint model for estimating consumer level willingness to pay wtp for varying quantities of a product and for designing optimal quantity discount pricing schemes our model can handle large quantity values and produces wtp estimates that are positive and increasing in quantity at a diminishing rate in particular we propose a tractable wtp function that depends on both product attributes and product quantity and that captures diminishing marginal wtp we show how such a function embeds standard wtp functions in the quantity discount literature as special cases we also demonstrate how to use the model to estimate the consumer value potential which is the product of the premium a consumer is willing to pay and her volume potential finally we propose a parsimonious experimental design approach for implementation we illustrate the model using data from a conjoint study of online movie rental services the empirical results show that the proposed model has good fit and predictive validity in addition we find that marginal wtp in this category decays rapidly with quantity we also find that the standard choice based conjoint model results in anomalous wtp distributions with negative wtp values and nondiminishing marginal willingness to pay curves finally we identify four segments of consumers that differ in terms of magnitude of wtp and volume potential and we derive optimal quantity discount schemes for a monopolist and a new entrant in a competitive market

nonparticipation or misspecification the impacts of nonparticipation on dichotomous choice contingent valuation dichotomous choice or referendum contingent valuation surveys have become the predominate choice for valuing goods and services otherwise not valued in a standard market nonmarket goods and services a number of researchers have recently recommended that dichotomous choice contingent valuation studies include a follow up question to all no responses to determine whether the no response is a result of unwillingness to pay or nonparticipation if the goal of the study is to investigate the impact of covariates on either mean willingness to pay or the probability of nonparticipation simple identification of indifferent individuals will not suffice a simulation study shows that existing econometric models designed to account for nonparticipation are extremely sensitive to misspecification bias accurate identification of the probability of nonparticipation is hampered by potential misspecification of the distribution of willingness to pay

the emergence persistence and recent widening of the racial unemployment gap census data show that the ratio of black to white unemployment rates currently in excess of 2 1 was small or nonexistent before 1940 widened dramatically during the 1940s and 1950s and widened again in the 1980s the authors decompose changes in the unemployment gap over the years 1880 1990 to identify the separate contributions of changes in observable worker characteristics and shifts in labor demand nearly all of the widening of the gap during the 1940s and 1950s can be attributed to regional shifts of workers and declining demand in markets where black workers were concentrated after 1970 improvements in the relative educational status of black workers would have narrowed the unemployment gap slightly but demand shifts adverse to black workers more than canceled out these gains

modelling willingness to pay responses from dichotomous choice contingent valuation surveys with zero observations modelling household behaviour with the data from dichotomous choice contingent valuation dccv surveys is often complicated by zero willingness to pay wtp responses in the sample to deal with the zero responses a two equation model is considered which incorporates a two level decision structure a decision on whether to participate in having wtp and a decision on the wtp amount conditional on deciding to participate and two separate stochastic processes that determine the probability and conditional level of wtp are featured the model is empirically applied to household survey data in which the dccv questions concerned the benefits of air quality improvement in korea to put the issue of the two equation model in perspective this paper also experiments with economic and econometric specifications utility theoretic restriction and heteroscedasticity it is shown how failure to allow for the restriction distorts aggregate benefit estimates and the existence of heteroscedasticity in error term is

explaining black white wage convergence 1940 1950 during the 1940s racial differences in wages narrowed at an unusually rapid pace using a decomposition technique different from that of previous studies the author shows that wage compression be

inference and optimal design for a welfare measure in dichotomous choice contingent valuation this paper considers the use of contingent valuation to estimate non market benefits from separately valued nested goods survey respondents were asked referendum wtp questions regarding either a scheme to protect the whole area of a wetland or a

determinants of visitors willingness to pay for the national marine park of zakynthos greece abstract we examined the influence of visitors profile information sources environmental dispositions and visit evaluation on visitors willingness to pay wtp for the national marine park of zakynthos regarding wtp amounts pledged parameters of visit evaluation were the most significant predictors the estimated annual revenue that could be gained could cover the operating costs of the protected area management body visitor and visit characteristics were not significant determinants of visitor responses to the payment principle question while they explained a relatively small amount of variation in the wtp amount multiple regression model nationality was not a significant predictor of wtp all the same greek visitors showed more signs of pro environmental attitudes than foreign ones non use values dominated over use values and higher wtp amounts were associated with bequest value an alternative classification of the valuation system alleged to justify wtp is proposed where option value could be arranged together with use value components under the assumption that future use could still be regarded as another form of use value moreover existence and bequest values could be approached separately under the hypothesis that the former is expected to be associated with relatively lower wtp amounts pledged while the latter is expected to lead to relatively higher wtp amounts our study adds to the complexity and context dependency of wtp determinants park managers are suggested to organize environmental education programs that could decrease visitors consensus estimation error and act as a feedback through word of mouth information gained by friends and relatives

bias in discrete response contingent valuation abstract the empirical literature on discrete response contingent valuation has found that seemingly innocuous changes in the statistical models estimated result in significantly different point estimates of willingness to pay this paper hypothesizes and tests several potential explanations for these results first it investigates and compares the biases inherent in single bounded and double bounded maximum likelihood estimation procedures and examines how they react to various bid designs and sample sizes then it examines the presence and identification of outliers in binary choice data and how these outliers influence estimation finally it presents an alternative approach to addressing the issue of outliers which explicitly acknowledges the possibility of upwardly biased response probabilities

profit maximization returns to scale and measurement error a nonparametric analysis of agricultural production behavior was conducted for each of the contiguous forty eight states for the period 1956 82 under the joint hypothesis of profit maximization convex technology and nonregressive technical change tests were conducted in each state for profit maximization and for constant returns to scale although considerable variability was observed among states measurement errors of magnitudes common in secondary data yielded test results fully consistent with the profit maximization hypothesis in all states with complete output and input data copyright 1992 by mit press

school quality and black white relative earnings a direct assessment the wage differential between black and white men fell from 40 percent in 1960 to 25 percent in 1980 it has been argued that this convergence reflects improvements in the relative quality of black schools to test this hypothesis we assembled data on pupil teacher ratios annual teacher pay and term length for black and white schools in the eighteen segregated states from 1915 to 1966 these data are linked to estimated returns to education for southern born men from different cohorts and states in 1960 1970 and 1980 improvements in the relative quality of black schools explain 20 percent of the narrowing of the black white earnings gap between 1960 and 1980

referendum models and economic values theoretical intuitive and practical bounds on willingness to pay innovations in the estimation of referendum type contingent valuation models have led to willingness to pay wtp measures inconsistent with consumer preferences and unbounded from above or below we propose a set of criteria which guarantee a bounded measure of wtp the criteria reject the traditional random utility model with unrestricted error terms in favor of the random wtp model with bounds on wtp once wtp is bounded by zero and income the form of the distribution is less consequential a new model for wtp is developed based on the beta distribution and is compared to previously estimated models

the value of household water service quality in lahore pakistan most existing literature focuses on the benefits of establishing basic drinking water access for unserved populations the extensive water supply margin in contrast this article examines the intensive margin the benefits of improving water service to under served households a growing population in developing country cities we use contingent valuation to estimate willingness to pay wtp for improved piped water quality and reductions in supply interruptions among a sample of 193 households in lahore pakistan the distribution of wtp is described using parametric and non parametric models results indicate that households in lahore are willing to pay about 7 50 to 9 per month for piped water supply that is clean and drinkable directly from the tap comparable to the monthly cost of in home water treatment and about three to four times the average monthly water bill for sample households using piped water estimates of wtp for reducing supply interruptions are both smaller and more difficult to interpret since a significant fraction of the estimated wtp distribution for supply improvements is negative all of our wtp estimates are well below 4 of monthly household income the world bank s benchmark upper bound for affordable water service

comparing benefit estimates from travel cost and contingent valuation using confidence intervals for hicksian welfare measures an approach to determining whether benefit estimates derived from the travel cost method and contingent valuation method are statistically different is presented unlike past comparisons compensating variation is estimated for both methods benefit comparisons are made more rigorous by use of confidence intervals which are developed using the same krinsky and robb simulation technique for both valution mothods the techniques are applied to deer hunting in california while point estimates of benefits from both truncated and untruncated adjusted travel cost methods are lower than the contingent valuation method the confidence intervals on the untruncated travel cost method do overlap the contingent valution method benefit estimates

feasible estimation of firm specific allocative inefficiency through bayesian numerical methods both the theoretical and empirical literature on the estimation of allocative and technical inefficiency has grown enormously to minimize aggregation bias ideally one should estimate firm and input specific parameters describing allocative inefficiency however identifying these parameters has often proven difficult for a panel of chilean hydroelectric power plants we obtain a full set of such parameters using gibbs sampling which draws sequentially from conditional generalized method of moments gmm estimates obtained via instrumental variables estimation we find an economically significant range of firm specific efficiency estimates with differing degrees of precision the standard gmm approach estimates virtually no allocative inefficiency for industry wide parameters copyright 2009 john wiley sons ltd

statistical approaches to the fat tail problem for dichotomous choice contingent valuation if a cumulative density function esti mated from dichotomous choice data has an unre alistically fat right hand tail mean willingness to pay wtp will be overestimated truncating the range of integration results in a lower bound esti mate of the true mean wtp a normalization pro cedure proposed by boyle welsh and bishop 1988 unnecessarily depresses the estimate further a new statistical approach is presented that allows a best guess estimate of mean wtp because this estimate involves extrapolation beyond the range of the data it tends to be highly variable jel q21

did the swedish tobacco monopoly set monopoly prices empirical evidence is scarce on whether firms set profit maximizing prices as these typically depend delicately on details of difficult to observe strategic interactions to avoid this problem this paper provides a detailed case study of the swedish tobacco monopoly s pricing with data from 1916 to 1959 prices are found to be below those that maximize the expected net present value of profits however the difference between actual and optimal price diminishes over time and towards the end of the period the two are almost indistinguishable the net present value of actual profits is approximately 60 of what could have been obtained overall the pricing patterns appear more consistent with the firm learning about demand conditions than being the result of maximization of something other than profits

eliciting public preference for nuclear energy against the backdrop of global warming one of the most important issues related to sustainability is to reduce the use of fossil fuels due to the reduction in greenhouse gases ghg emission nuclear power results in low carbon emissions and is thus important to mitigating the adverse effects of global warming and climate change however the downside of nuclear power cannot be overlooked and consequently nuclear power is a controversial issue in many countries around the world thus an important question concerns how people should support nuclear power do the climate and energy security benefits of nuclear power outweigh its risks and costs therefore we use a modified double bounded contingent valuation model to explore the attitudes and the willingness to pay wtp of a country in order to demonstrate its implications for policy we confirm that supporters and opponents of nuclear power are balanced both in terms of their numbers and in terms of their wtp the policy implication is that people do not support any dramatic increase or reduction in nuclear power and that nuclear power should still be an important means of generating electricity in taiwan the current share of nuclear power in electricity generation of 20 should be maintained in the near future

aggregation of data and profit maximization in mexican agriculture nonparametric support for two important hypotheses relevant to econometric model specification is examined results of various nonparametric tests for behavioural objective and aggregation level of mexican agricultural production data are reported the evidence does not refute the hypothesis that producers behave collectively as though they are a price taking profit maximizing firm the empirical results also support exhaustive aggregation of input categories aggregation possibilities among outputs are fewer and are highly sensitive to the rejection criterion