post reform forestland markets in china land markets developed rapidly in china after agricultural land tenure reforms but not after forest reforms we surveyed farmers in three provinces to examine the post reform forestland markets and options to strengthen them using household choice experiments we estimate land market demand and supply under alternative contractual arrangements our findings are consistent with the currently thin markets but also suggest that alternative institutional and contractual conditions could support broader participation in land markets strengthening property rights on forestland emerges as an especially effective possible policy instrument we illustrate its predicted effects on equilibrium rental rates and market participation

urban land supply natural and contrived restrictions abstract both large bodies of water and local governments restrict the supply of urban land in this paper we measure water s restriction on supply and test its effect on land price we then extend hamilton s and fischel s pioneering work on governmental restriction providing an improved test of the monopoly zoning hypothesis that such restriction further affects land price regression analysis of data from 45 urban areas suggests that the two restrictions combine to explain 40 of typical interurban price differentials

china s uneven progress against poverty while the incidence of extreme poverty in china fell dramatically over 1980 2001 progress was uneven over time and across provinces rural areas accounted for the bulk of the gains to the poor though migration to urban areas helped the pattern of growth mattered rural economic growth was far more important to national poverty reduction than urban economic growth agriculture played a far more important role than the secondary or tertiary sources of gross domestic product gdp rising inequality within the rural sector greatly slowed poverty reduction provinces starting with relatively high inequality saw slower progress against poverty due both to lower growth and a lower growth elasticity of poverty reduction taxation of farmers and inflation hurt the poor external trade had little short term impact

rural urban disparity and sectoral labour allocation in china this study examines china s rural urban segmentation and its causes in the context of economic reforms household survey and aggregate data indicate a v shaped process in which rural urban consumption and income differentials decreased between 1978 and 1985 but then have continually increased to historically high levels this sectoral division is consistent with production function estimates based on provincial data that reveal higher labour productivity in urban state owned industries than in rural industries and agriculture to explain the v shaped change we argue that the precedent of successful rural reforms raised farmers relative earnings but the remaining obstacles to an efficient sectoral allocation of labour have prevented china from eliminating dualism recent financial policies consisting of urban price subsidies and increased investment credits have also had influential distribution effects that are biased against the rural sector

the rapid rise of cross regional agricultural mechanization services in china although adam smith 1776 and alfred marshall 1920 emphasized the gains from specialization that arise from the division of labor their focus was on the manufacturing sector both saw farming as being on too small a scale and bereft of economies of scale with a market that was too small and local with too sharp a seasonality and too quick a succession of tasks to support either the development of a division of labor over the tasks of a cropping season or of mechanization smith and marshall s vision of farming and its implications for division of labor and mechanization was manifest again in the 1950s to the present in asia ruttan 2001 puts forward nearly the same ideas and terms as smith and marshall but for contemporary small rice farms in asia he emphasizes that the use of machines for the series of short tasks performed on tiny farms would imply costly investment in specialized machines that small farmers would be loath to make and even if these farmers mechanized ruttan posited that it would not induce a segmented and specialized farm labor market as again the critical mass of demand for each segment would not be present otsuka 2012 goes further along these lines to note that only on larger farms would the mechanization investment

effects of agricultural market policy on crop production in china this paper investigates the effects of chinese market policy on crop production in the reform process after a brief review of the policy changes due to the reform the theoretical significance of chinese market policies for crop production is demonstrated diagrammatically it is shown that under the current market system the production of main crops is significantly influenced by both market and quota prices while relatively high quota reduces the influence of market prices on production relative price changes between competing crops will lead to shifting farmers cultivation preferences if inputs are constant empirical analysis based on cross section data for the period 1985 1997 from the province of zhejiang confirms these hypotheses the effects of policy variables however prove to be crop specific if the potential of crop production in china is to be better used an even more market oriented agricultural policy is required

the household responsibility system reform in china a peasant s institutional choice since 1978 the chinese government has implemented a series of major reforms including diversification of the rural economy production specialization crop selection in accordance with regional comparative advantage expansion of free markets and a marked rise in state procurement prices these reforms have brought about dramatic changes in china s rural areas however the most important change was the emergence and eventual prevalence of the household responsibility system hrs which restores the individual household and replaces the production team system as the unit of production and accounting in rural areas after the chaos of the cultural revolution china s moderate leaders started to reconsider china s rural policies although the government admitted that solving the labor management problems within production teams was the key to improving productivity and recommended measures to relate rewards to performance more closely the hrs was considered the reverse of the socialist principle of collective farming and was prohibited editorial board of china agriculture yearbook 1980 p 58 the official position at that time maintained that the production team was to remain the basic unit of production and accounting nevertheless toward the end of 1978 first secretly and later with the blessing of local authorities a small number of production teams in anhui province which was frequently victimized by flood and drought began to experiment with contracting land other resources and output quotas to individual households

social polarisation in global cities theory and evidence this paper examines the debate over social polarisation in global cities it focuses on the claims made by sassen that the processes of economic change in such cities are leading to a growing polar

the impact of china s economic reforms on agricultural productivity growth this paper presents a method for assessing the relative importance of price increases and strengthened individual incentives due to the introduction of the responsibility system for the post 1978 increase in china s agricultural productivity data on post 1978 chinese agricultural performance suggest that a little over three quarters of the measured productivity increase is due to payment system changes and the remainder to price increases we also use our method to calculate incentive indices giving an estimate of the fraction of their marginal product that peasants received under the pre 1978 regime

social polarisation economic restructuring and welfare state regimes the central argument of this paper is that it is misconceived to view social polarisation of occupational structure and incomes in global cities as either inevitable or as a direct product of econo

the household responsibility system reform and the adoption of hybrid rice in china abstract this paper studies the diffusion of hybrid rice before and after the recent institutional change from the collective team system to the household based farming system in rural china a simple model which treats the adoption of hybrid rice as a portfolio selection problem is presented the model is tested against time series cross county data collected from hunan province in south china the empirical evidence suggests that 1 adoption behavior in the collective system was not consistent with the predictions of the theoretical model this evidence indicates the existence of administrative intervention in influencing production decisions in the collective system 2 there was a significant change in the structure of the adoption function following the transition from the collective system to the household based system and 3 adoption behavior in the household system is consistent with the predictions of the theoretical model

social inequalities in reforming state socialism between redistribution and markets in china this article extends market transition theory to an analysis of inequality under the conditions of partial reform in china logit regression analysis indicates cadres officials have no greater odds than other households of being among the privileged or avoiding poverty entrepreneurs andformer team cadres however are advantaged despite the rise of a hybrid elite of entrepreneurs who are currently cadres that capitalizes on redistributive power to gain competitive advantage in the marketplace increases in income inequality are modest when market reform stimulates improved economic performance the poor appear to benefit and experience comparable improvements in household income as a result there is only a slight increase in inequality at least in the early stages of market reform the empirical analysis is based on survey data collected in rural china in 1985

irrigation agricultural performance and poverty reduction in china the overall goal of our paper is to understand the impact that irrigation in china has had on grain production and incomes in general and income and poverty alleviation in poor areas in particular the paper seeks to meet three objectives first we describe the relationship among irrigation status yields and household crop revenue second we seek to understand the magnitude and nature of the effect that irrigation has on yields and crop revenue finally we seek to understand the impact that irrigation has on incomes in poor areas our analysis shows that irrigation contributes to increases in yields for almost all crops and in income for farmers in all areas the importance of crop income in poor areas and the strong relationship between crop revenue and irrigation provides evidence of the importance of irrigation in past and future poverty alleviation in china we also show that in the majority of the villages that invested in new irrigation returns are positive even after accounting for increases in capital and production costs 2005 elsevier ltd all rights reserved

plan and market in china s agricultural commerce this article examines interactions between markets and state commercial planning in the context of china s agricultural sector it begins with a discussion of recent trends in agricultural planning and commerce in china and then presents a theoretical model that analyzes the way that a mixed commercial system of the sort observed in china functions the theoretical analysis suggests that a mixed system is sustainable and can have desirable efficiency and distributional effects markets however limit the range of sustainable plans and in the presence of markets state planning may no longer directly influence production and consumption behavior

poverty reduction through land transfers the world bank s titling reforms and the making of subsistence agriculture abstract the world bank emphasizes land reform as a key pro poor intervention expecting the transfer of land to the rural poor to trigger a straight transition from poverty and subsistence to entrepreneurial and commercial smallholder farming this article asks how and why world bank prescriptions change in response to developments on the ground that contradict initial expectations to show that the transition to commercialization is hardly a straight one as it involves contradictory elements it builds on an analysis of close to twenty years of world bank reports on land reform in four post communist countries to show how and why the transfer of land and commercialization end up contradicting rather than mutually supporting each other the analysis shows that as a result of this contradiction wb inspired policies prioritize commercialization over poverty reduction and their underlying understanding of poverty has changed from poverty as lack of farmland to poverty as lack of alternatives to farming for the world bank the problem in these countries is not so much the failure of having pro poor results but the decreasing control over smallholders perceived to have responded to insufficient reforms by withdrawing from markets into subsistence yet the analysis further suggests that even though presently seen as a sign of underdevelopment the subsistence capacity of local populations following land transfers was in earlier reports encouraged as it was believed to have the effect of supporting the commercialization of the sector and relieving welfare systems this aspect of reforms is now relatively rarely mentioned and subsistence is assumed to be an effect of anything but reforms cast instead as a sign of insufficient market creation

marketing reforms market development and agricultural production in china abstract chinese agricultural reforms have consisted of two transitional stages initially decollectivization in the late 1970s followed by market liberalization in the mid 1980s while much research has been conducted on the initial stage of increasing the incentives for farmers in collective cultivation little quantitative evidence exists on how marketing reforms and the development of rural markets has affected agricultural production decisions using more accurate and disaggregated measures of the reform and market development components of liberalization than previous research this study examined the effects of these liberalization policies on the agricultural production decisions in shaanxi province procurement quota levels were found to be positively associated with the area planted to grain crops thus quotas represent an effective way of increasing grain production and thereby also a means of achieving food self sufficiency which remains an important policy objective for the chinese government the involvement of state grain stations in free market grain trade and the expansion of rural markets has increased the area planted to the two potential cash crops soybeans and wheat and reduced the sown area of the subsistence crop corn reflecting the reduced need to plant corn as a self insurance mechanism for smoothing consumption an increase in procurement quotas increases fertilizer use on grain crops due to the policy of linking quotas to access to below market priced fertilizer but decreases the use of labor which shifts to other more profitable enterprises market development has increased these off farm employment opportunities and the earnings associated with them thereby promoting the shift of labor out of crop production and increased the use of fertilizer which has also become more available

post industrialisation job opportunities and ethnocentrism a comparison of twenty two dutch urban economies this article assesses the consequences of the transition to a post industrial urban economy for labour demand and ethnocentrism in the 22 dutch urban agglomerations using municipal level data as well as surveys it is shown that the labour market of the least post industrial cities yields low labour demand for lower educated urbanites upgrading professionalisation thesis while the labour market of the most post industrial cities yields high labour demand for lower educated urbanites polarisation thesis it is furthermore found that lower educated natives in the former are more ethnocentric than in the latter however contrary to what is often claimed in urban studies and the social sciences at large this proves not to be driven by job scarcity in the least post industrial cities the article concludes with suggestions on what might be responsible for this finding

growth in china s grain production 1978 1997 a disaggregate analysis abstract this paper analyzes china s grain production during 1978 97 using disaggregate approach to explore disparities in growth patterns of respective crops the study reveals that during this period almost all the increased output can be attributed to the growth of rice wheat and corn the contribution of other crops as a whole was almost negligible the disparities in growth patterns were partly the result of crop adjustments induced by changes in food demand and dominated by substitutions of high yield crops for low yield crops in this process the adoption of new technologies played an important role varying opportunity costs of grain production in different areas also affected growth patterns of respective crops the trend in china s grain production in the past two decades suggests that the adherence to grain self sufficiency has become not only increasingly costly but also unnecessary

foreign direct investment and international migration to dutch cities this article assesses separately the push pull factor explanations in sassen s theory on migration from newly industrialising countries to cities in oecd countries the push factor explanation argues that foreign direct investments spawn migration flows to the country from which these investments stem the pull factor explanation revolves around demand for low skilled workers in cities due to the clustering of advanced producer services it is found that dutch investment flows indeed function as a push factor for migration to dutch cities but that the local settlement of immigrants is not related to the clustering of advanced producer services

public investment and regional inequality in rural china this paper develops a method for decomposing the contributions of various types of public investment to regional inequality and applies the method to rural china public investments are found to have contributed to production growth in both the agricultural and rural non agricultural sectors but their contributions to regional inequality have differed by type of investment and the region in which they are made all types of investment in the least developed western region reduce regional inequality whereas additional investments in the coastal and central regions worsen regional inequality investments in rural education and agricultural r d in the western region have the largest and most favorable impacts on reducing regional inequality

rural reforms and agricultural growth in china this paper employs province level panel data to assess the contributions of decollectivization price adjustments and other reforms to china s agricultural growth in the reform period decollectivization is found to improve total factor productivity and to account for about half of the output growth during 1978 84 the adjustment in state procurement prices also contributed positively to output growth its impact came mainly from the responses in input use the effect of other market related reforms on productivity and output growth was very small reasons for slowdown in agricultural growth after 1984 are also analyzed copyright 1992 by american economic association

the rise of anti foreigner sentiment in european societies 1988 2000 the study examines change over time in sentiments toward out group populations in european societies for this purpose data were compiled from four waves of the eurobarometer surveys for 12 countries that provided detailed and comparable information on attitudes toward foreigners between 1988 and 2000 a series of multilevel hierarchical linear models were estimated to examine change in the effects of individual and country level sources of threat on anti foreigner sentiment the analysis shows a substantial rise in antiforeigner sentiment between 1988 and 2000 in all 12 countries the rise in anti foreigner sentiment was steep in the early period between 1988 and 1994 then leveled off after that although anti foreigner sentiment tends to be more pronounced in places with a large proportion of foreign populations and where economic conditions are less prosperous the effects of both factors on anti foreigner sentiment have not changed over time the analysis also shows that anti foreigner sentiment i

cultural amenities and unemployment in dutch cities disentangling a consumerist and productivist explanation for less educated urbanites varying unemployment levels across urban economies previous studies on the advanced economies have shown that unemployment levels of the less educated are low in cities with high employment shares in the advanced producer services scholars have consistently interpreted this finding according to sassen s polarisation thesis this article confronts this production based interpretation with a competing consumption based explanation which focuses on the role of cultural amenities analysing data on 22 dutch metropolitan agglomerations between 1996 and 2008 it is shown that in line with consumerists notions of richard florida advanced producer services settle in cities that are rich in cultural amenities instead of the other way around as classical labour follows capital explanations imply yet only advanced producer services prove to reduce the unemployment levels of the less educated meaning that the polarisation thesis and not the theory on cultural amenities is a valid explanation for the low level of unemployment in post industrial cities

the first shall be last entrepreneurship and communist cadres in the transition from socialism this article reviews the sociological literature on the transition from socialism to capitalism it distinguishes between the erosion and transition phases and between traditional and corporate segments in the emerging private sector panel survey data from hungary show that during the transition ex communist cadres maintain their advantageous position and do especially well in the more dynamic corporate segment they are successful because human capital is important in both capitalism and socialism and because the cadres are able to convert past political power to economic advantage contrary to the findings of studies based only on agriculture the transition increases income inequalities

estimation and recent behavior of urban population and employment density gradients abstract the monocentric model of urban structure predicts that urban population density declines with distance from the central business district using the negative exponential function to approximate the decline mills e s mills studies in the structure of the urban economy johns hopkins press baltimore md 1972 estimated population and employment density gradients from 1948 to 1963 for a sample of 18 smsas this paper updates mills estimates and examines recent patterns in population and employment suburbanization the updated series estimated here is obtained using a corrected version of mills method the original procedure incorporated a bias which mills noted and later corrected e mills and k ohta in asia s new giant patrick and rosovsky eds the brookings institution washington d c 1976 the comparability of the series begun by mills and extended here is not interrupted however because as mills suspected the bias is indeed small provided smsa data are used on the other hand urbanized area definitions of metropolitan areas cause the original and corrected versions to yield significantly different results this finding has implications for the appropriate choice of data for urban studies

unravelling the global city debate on social inequality a firm level analysis of wage inequality in amsterdam and rotterdam in this article an assessment is made of the consequences of globalisation for urban wage inequality using data on employers in the dutch cities of amsterdam and rotterdam it is shown that simpl

a century long perspective on agricultural development this article strategically surveys the past century s literature on agricultural development we organize the discussion around three grand themes that reveal the richness of agricultural development as an intellectual endeavor first we explore the role of agriculture in the broader development process from a macroeconomic and political economy perspective we then examine the role of technological and institutional change in successful agricultural development finally the focus turns to a microeconomic perspective on agricultural household decision making and the problems of imperfect and missing markets asymmetric information and transactions costs that lead to widespread apparent inefficiency and disequilibrium

china s agriculture drivers of change and implications for china and the rest of world the overall goal of this article is to identify major changes in china s agriculture food economy and their implications for both china itself and more importantly to the rest of world china has become one of the fastest growing economies in the world since late 1970s gdp grew at about 10 annually in the past 30 years china s experience shows the importance of both domestic and external policies in achieving sustainable growth the results from this study provide significant policy implications to many countries that are currently china s major trade partners or those seeking greater economic and trade relations with china the main conclusions on the implications of china s rapid economic growth are that china s growth will provide more opportunities than challenges to the rest of the world on average overall the rest of the world will gain from china s economic expansion though this general conclusion may not hold for some countries

poverty and land redistribution abstract despite a theoretical literature that promises that land transfers will have large impacts on the well being of poor households well identified empirical evidence on the efficacy of land redistribution is scarce in an effort to fill this gap this paper examines south africa s land redistribution for agricultural development lrad program we exploit features of lrad program implementation to extract exogenous variation in whether and for how long applicant households enjoyed land transfers binary treatment estimates which compare treated with untreated households show that beneficiary households on average experienced a 25 increase in per capita consumption our preferred continuous treatment estimates which analyze only the subset of treated households identify the impact time path of land transfers on consumption these estimates show that living standards initially drop and then after 3 4 years rise to 150 of their pre transfer level these results are statistically significant and robust to a statistically more conservative identification strategy

the energy implications of city size and density abstract this paper develops a new open city urban simulation model capable of showing the urban form and energy consumption effects of variation in city size the model is able to consider city size differences caused by wage and amenity differentials both with and without housing and land use regulation the surprising conclusion is that per capita energy use is relatively invariant to city size when growth is driven by wages but falls modestly with growth induced by rising amenity common land use policies specifically density limits and greenbelts can positively or negatively affect both city welfare and energy use

are there lessons for africa from china s success against poverty at the outset of china s reform period the country had a far higher poverty rate than for africa as a whole within five years that was no longer true this paper tries to explain how china escaped from a situation in which extreme poverty persisted due to failed and unpopular policies while acknowledging that africa faces constraints that china did not and that context matters two lessons stand out the first is the importance of productivity growth in smallholder agriculture which will require both market based incentives and public support the second is the role played by strong leadership and a capable public administration at all levels of government

gradualism versus big bang speed and sustainability of reforms a beneficial reform may be blocked by a majority if it is implemented by a big bang but the same reform may succeed with an optimally designed gradualist approach a gradualist approach can sometimes split opposition force and is in this sense more politically sustainable on the other hand if both approaches are politically preferred to no reform a big bang is often preferred to gradualism in terms of both political support as well as economic efficiency

reforms investment and poverty in rural china shenggen faninternational food policy research institute and institute of agriculturaleconomics of the chinese academy of agricultural scienceslinxiu zhangcenter for chinese agricultural policy of the chinese academy of sciencesxiaobo zhanginternational food policy research institutei introductionchina is one of the few countries in the developing world that has madeprogress in reducing its total number of poor over the past 25 years

control in a dynamic village economy the reforms and unbalanced development in china s rural economy abstract a dynamic control framework is used to model the chinese village economy in order to explain the rural sector s unbalanced growth in the post reform period village leaders are assumed to maximize a multi attribute utility function by manipulating local policy instruments subject to the structural relationships in the economy the model s parameters are estimated econometrically using a data set from forty villages in eastern china the empirical results identify important linkages between agriculture and rural industry in village economies unbalanced growth can partially be explained by the way economic incentives induce individuals in rural areas to move resources toward the rural industrial sector and away from agriculture

bridging the gap between partial and total factor productivity measures using directional distance functions technical dependencies as well as data constraints limit our ability to allocate inputs across sectors and hence our ability to measure sectoral productivity we adapt a directional measure of efficiency to the measurement of sector specific productivity that does not require allocating all inputs across sectors applied to the agricultural sector of a group of countries the results show important differences in livestock and crops productivity growth commonly used partial factor productivity measures for livestock and crops tend to overestimate productivity growth in most developing countries while underestimating it in european countries

empowerment and efficiency tenancy reform in west bengal the paper analyzes the effect of agricultural tenancy laws offering security of tenure to tenants and regulating the share of output that is paid as rent on farm productivity theoretically the net impact of tenancy reform is shown to be a combination of two effects a bargaining power effect and a security of tenure effect analysis of evidence on how contracts and productivity changed after a tenancy reform program was implemented in the indian state of west bengal in the late 1970s suggests that tenancy reform had a positive effect on agricultural productivity there

education and allocative efficiency household income growth during rural reforms in china this paper studies the contribution of schooling to rural income in china during factor market liberalization between 1986 and 1995 the relaxation of controls permitted farm households to reallocate productive inputs from agriculture to nonagricultural activities it is hypothesized that education facilitates this adjustment panel data from sichuan province suggest that schooling enhanced the ability of farmers to devote labor and capital to nonfarm production given the evidence that less than optimum levels of these inputs were allocated to nonagricultural uses during the transition the expansion of nonfarm activities contributed significantly to household income growth

responsiveness flexibility and market liberalization in china s agriculture been at most only limited gains from market liberalization if one were to take the findings of this admittedly scant literature seriously it would appear as if there is at most only a relatively small impact from market reforms in china we believe there are three possible but only one plausible explanations for the findings first if market liberalization actually contributes little to no growth or increases in output or incomes this would of course in part explain why economies that lead reform with market liberalization do not experience significant gains theory and the experiences of other economies in other settings however would argue against such an interpretation second it could be that china s agricultural market liberalization has just proceeded so slowly that it is still too early for output to have been positively affected by market liberalization however as seen above the record on the market expansion and the observations of many researchers would not support this view

collective agricultural production a solution for transition economies abstract the paper examines theoretical reasons and provides examples for productivity differences between agricultural service cooperatives and collectives service cooperatives can utilize economies of scale enhance competitiveness and provide technical information advantages that often outweighed problems of free riding low investment and excessive political intervention agricultural collectives while not adding substantial advantages are in addition associated with problems of supervision and effort supply tendencies to substitute casual workers or mechanization for regular members and low investment incentives while collective forms of organization in transition economies respond to high risk and market imperfections they do so inefficiently policies that create conditions for service cooperatives to compete may lead to large productivity gains