infrastructure investment the cost of capital and regulation an assessment the paper considers the role of infrastructure in improving economic performance and its compar ative neglect relative to traditional macroeconomic and microeconomic policies it explains why infrastructure matters why britain s infrastructure performance has been poor and summarizes the scale of the challenge for the coming decade privatization liberalization and competition have focused on monopoly market failure and private incentives but they have neglected the time inconsistency problem which confronts investors in networks with high fixed and sunk costs the failure to commit which has characterized british approaches to infrastructure has been partially addressed through the creation of regulated asset bases rabs backed up by the duty on regulators to ensure that functions can be financed the paper considers how the rabs can be developed to provide credible long term contracts over a wide range of activities and how the financial regu latory regime can complement this commitment notably through the split cost of capital and the indexation of the cost of debt approaches the paper concludes by setting out the building blocks of a credible regulatory framework for infrastructure together with the impacts on reducing the cost of capital the role of the state in reinforcing this commitment and the associated institutions are also set out

share contracts and their rationale lessons from marine fishing most of the existing literature on share contracts is based explicitly or implicitly on agriculture a sector in which share contracts are seldom dominant and apparently on the decline moreover since agricultural activities have some rather special characteristics the purpose of the present article is to analyse contractual choice and especially the choice of share contracts in a sector in which share contracts are dominant namely fishing in the process of explaining the dominance of share contracts in fishing the article also explains a some heretofore neglected features of these share contracts such as the way in which shares are calculated and the treatment of repair and maintenance expenditures b the nature and extent of interlinked transactions c the exceptional cases where share contracts are not used and d the relevance of varying environmental conditions and especially those of poor developing countries to the nature of contracts in fishing and to the differences therein between

seasonality differential access and interlinking of labour and credit this article explains the interlinking of rural labour and credit transactions in terms of differential access to credit markets and seasonality a model is developed which incorporates not only seasonality and differential access but also several other explanations for interlinking suggested in the literature moreover it allows one to test the sensitivity of the results to differing powers on the part of landowners relative to working households

a framework for the analysis of evolving patron client ties in agrarian economies abstract this paper looks systematically at the various factors that can account for the disappearance or the transformation of the institution of patronage that used to structure labor and other relationships in many agrarian societies of the past it is an attempt to offer a unifying framework capable of guiding one s attention to the relevant variables and to the way they interact in this process the rather simplistic view according to which there is a unique linear path through which patronage evolves is called into question and a number of different scenarios are instead presented these alternatives are illustrated with reference to asia

agent compensation and the limits of bonding agents in positions of trust may engage in malfeasance which is difficult to detect this paper develops a model in which employers seek to control malfeasance by paying wages contingent on imperfect monitoring and agents may be required to pay entry fees or post bonds we conclude that entry fees which exceed agents assets are ineffective in controlling malfeasance as a result conditions exist in which it is optimal to pay agents more than their opportunity cost such conditions lead to an excess supply of applicants and allow employers to engage in discrimination at zero cost to themselves

a limited dependent analysis of the choice of regular labour contract in seasonal agriculture the paper examines both theoretically and empirically the factors determining the demand for regular labour in seasonal agriculture in an implicit contract framework it is argued that there are hoarding costs of regular labour in the slack period when there is not much work to be done consequently the number of regular labour employed is constrained by the hoarding cost where larger employment intensive farms tend to hire more regular labour evidence from the icrisat villages in india too show that though the marginal costs of regular labour are zero there are significant hoarding costs of regular labour among small farms so that larger farmers are the major demanders of regular labour estimates of the double hurdle model jointly determining the probability of hiring regular labour and demand for regular labour hours if a regular labour is hired are shown to be an improvement over univariate tobit estimates of the demand for regular labour hours only

ex ante and ex post labor supply response to risk in a low income area abstract this paper tests for ex ante and ex post labor supply responses to weather risk for rural indian farm households the analysis uses panel data on 2115 households spanning 13 states in rural india merged with a 22 year series of district level rainfall data ex ante households facing riskier distributions of rainfall are more likely to participate in the labor market ex post unexpectedly bad weather and low rainfall increase labor force participation

the liquidity effect and money demand abstract i suggest a liquidity effect model in which financial intermediation costs are determined by aggregate economic activity an expansionary monetary shock leads to a persistent contraction in the loan deposit rate spread a persistent liquidity effect and a persistent real expansion a feature of this expansion is that nominal prices respond sluggishly to monetary shocks as an equilibrium outcome

bank capital and the macroeconomy policy considerations we develop a macroeconomic model in which the balance sheet liquidity condition of financial institutions plays an important role in the determination of asset prices and economic activity the financial intermediaries in our model are required to make investment commitments before a complete resolution of idiosyncratic funding risk that can be addressed only by costly refinancing forcing them to behave in a risk averse manner the model shows that the balance sheet condition of intermediaries can drive asset values away from their fundamentals causing aggregate investment and output to respond to shocks to intermediaries we use this model to evaluate several public policies designed to address balance sheet problems at financial institutions with regard to short run policies we find that capital injections conditioned upon voluntary recapitalization can be a more effective tool than direct lending asset purchases with regard to long run policies we demonstrate that higher capital requirements can have sizable short run effects on economic activity and that a long transition period helps avoid undesirable side effects finally we show that the mariginal effects of policies can be larger during crises because of the nonlinear interactions between some financial frictions and policy actions

labor tying in a poor agrarian economy a theoretical and empirical analysis in this paper we show how tied labor contrary to its common characterization as a feudal relic and as a symptom of economic stagnation may actually be strengthened by capitalist agricultural development we construct a simple two period theoretical model of a two tiered labor market to show how the proportional importance of voluntary labor tying contracts may increase with yield increasing improvements and with a tightening of the labor market we then provide in support of these hypotheses some general historical as well as more detailed econometric evidence from a variety of cross sectional data in rural india

bargaining power and enforcement in credit markets abstract in a credit market with enforcement constraints we study the effects of a change in the outside options of a potential defaulter on the terms of the credit contract as well as on borrower payoffs the results crucially depend on the allocation of bargaining power between the borrower and the lender we prove that there is a crucial threshold of relative weights such that if the borrower has power that exceeds this threshold her expected utility must go up whenever her outside options come down but if the borrower has less power than this threshold her expected payoff must come down with her outside options in the former case a deterioration in outside options brought about say by better enforcement must create a lorenz improvement in state contingent consumption in particular borrower consumption rises in all bad states in which loans are taken in the latter case in contrast the borrower s consumption must decline at least for all the bad states these disparate findings within a single model permit us to interpret existing literature on credit markets in a unified way

efficiency and equity tradeoffs incentive compatible contracts revisited abstract while the efficiency of certain contractual choices has been well established less attention has been given to the distributional outcomes of contracting in natural resource based industries data from a case study of seed gatherers in honduras demonstrates that workers paid under a relative payment system receive an earnings premium of about 25 of which 40 cannot be explained by observed differences in worker productivity a theoretical agency model is outlined in the appendix to explain why workers under tournaments necessarily enjoy a higher return than those under piece rates implying a more skewed income distribution as suggested in the efficiency wage literature

consumption efficiency and surplus labour abstract if 1 there is a long term relationship between consumption and labour efficiency 2 long employment contracts are possible and 3 production is seasonal a trade off emerges between positive effects of permanent contracts on productivity and the costly seasonal idleness of permanent labour possible outcomes include 1 co existence of casual and permanent contracts with number of workers affecting proportion of permanent to temporary employees but not output classical disguised unemployment 2 exclusively casual employment with output negatively related to workforce leibenstein mazumdar surplus labour and 3 permanent contracts only with open unemployment and a positive relationship between number employed and output the mirrlees bliss stern stiglitz solution conditions are derived for each solution

precautionary reserves and the interbank market large excess reserve balances are held by banks in the u s despite the ability of large banks to closely target end of day balances close to zero we show that the friction faced by small banks to participate in the fed funds market leads to all banks holding precautionary reserves the precautionary motive for reserves can explain that small banks hold relatively large amounts of excess reserves overnight while at the same time lending large amounts to large banks small banks are large net lenders despite their reluctance to lend as large of a percentage of available balances during the day as large banks we also explain an increase in the volatility of the fed funds rate late in the day

self employment and self selection in developing country labor markets labor markets in less developed countries ldcs have traditionally been characterized as non competitive this view is expressed in well known models in the development economics literature for example the labor surplus model of lewis 16 asserts that labor in rural areas of ldcs in early stages of development is so abundant that if the wage rate were determined competitively it would be below the subsistence level hence institutions are assumed to arise to determine the wage rate non competitively and to provide the resulting excess supply of labor to agriculture with a subsistence level of living the harristodaro 11 model of rural urban migration asserts that labor unions minimum wage laws public sector hiring practices and other institutional factors tend to keep formal sector wages in urban areas above labor market clearing levels the resulting excess supply of labor in urban areas is assumed to survive at a subsistence level by becoming selfemployed in the low productivity informal sector recent empirical studies provide little support for the non competitive view of ldc labor markets evidence from india thailand malaysia kenya and guatemala suggests that labor markets are much less imperfect than often assumed an important empirical finding in several of these studies is that self employed workers appear to have higher earnings than their wage employee counterparts in urban areas 2 this fact is inconsistent with the notion that self employment is typically a low productivity occupation engaged in by individuals who are searching for scarce well paying formal sector jobs the purpose of this study is to analyze and estimate a model of individual choice between wage and self employment in the ldc context the model incorporates a production function in the self employment sector that includes managerial ability as an input analysis of the influence of managerial ability on the choice of self employment leads to a theory that can explain the observed pattern of earnings of the urban self employed compared to wage employees implications of the model for estimation of production function

implications of agency theory for optimal land tenure contracts explores landowner tenant contracts in land tenure in agriculture inefficiency of share tenancy relative to owner cultivation introduction of principal agent models influence of monitoring in studying optimal landowner tenant risk sharing need to study adequate tenant incentives this abstract was borrowed from another version of this item

uk transport policy 1997 2001 the 1997 government announced policies and changes in administration but the statistics show that little else was achieved road traffic growth was temporarily tamed by an increase in the price of fuel which integrated policies on transport environment and land use this was not sustained so there will be more congestion and more road capacity must be provided a coherent policy on charges was absent though congestion charging will help if eventually implemented little freight was transferred to rail neither integration nor social inclusion was improved london became less integrated and policy on the underground was a failure administration of the railways remains confused there are doubts about the technical managerial and financial feasibility of the expansion envisaged the bus was given inadequate attention the treasury dominates through the public spending control process which fetters local authorities and impedes infrastructure investment proven borrowing mechanisms offer alternatives for locally accountable capital financing copyright 2002 oxford university press

east west joint ventures and buyback contracts abstract contractual joint ventures cjvs and the buyback form of countertrade are popular methods that socialist countries use to attract foreign investment in this paper we explore some reasons why this is so and also explain two predominant characteristics of these contracts the existence of sharing rules and minimum standard requirements on inputs the model stresses the incentive problems involved when a socialist host country which does not allow foreign direct investment uses a cjv to obtain the fruits of some knowledge based production process from a multinational enterprise

shirking and the choice of technology a theory of production inefficiency with an empirical application abstract we develop a model of shirking and technology choice and show that organizations exercising less effective direct control over shirking adopt technologies that underutilize the workforce to a greater degree relative to neoclassical counterparts in order to control shirking indirectly thus technical inefficiency arises endogenously as a rational response to allocative inefficiency caused by shirking an empirical analysis of data from a sample of collective and private farms operating in jewish palestine reveals the presence of shirking and supports the prediction that farms with less effective direct control over shirking exhibit greater labor hoarding as a manifestation of technical inefficiency

uncertain liquidity and interbank contracting we study a version of the diamond and dybvig journal of political economy 1983 91 401 419 model where banks would like to obtain insurance against shocks on returns on liquid assets through an interbank borrowing and lending program we show that if investments in liquid assets and their realized returns are private information to individual banks the first best allocation is not incentive compatible we then characterize the second best interbank contract

interlocking transactions obstacles precursors or instruments of agrarian capitalism abstract rural labor arrangements often change rapidly and in ways that prevailing theories cannot explain explicit understanding of the exercise of power in rural society sheds considerable light on how and why rural labor arrangements change in the course of economic development this paper shows how different labor tying arrangements embody exclusionary mechanisms that can serve as instruments of both labor management and social control macro political and economic conditions shape the ways in which these mechanisms operate and are in turn influenced by them viewing labor arrangements in this way helps resolve problems confronted by the prevailing theories and allows for a broader understanding of dynamic processes

targeting child labor in debt bondage despite recent multilateral efforts to single out child labor in debt bondage as one of the worst forms of child labor several important questions have yet to be addressed how pervasive is the phenomenon are there systematic correlations between the incidence of children in debt bondage and the economic legislative and financial development indicators of the economy how does an understanding of these correlates affect the way national and international policy measures aimed at targeting this form of child labor are perceived this article addresses each of these questions the empirical findings suggest strong correlation between the likelihood of the incidence of child labor in debt bondage with the stage of development of an economy the stage of financial development and enforcement of core labor rights building on this evidence the article presents a theoretical model that highlights the drawbacks and merits of a number of policies aimed at putting checks on child labor in debt bondage

recruitment restrictions and labor markets evidence from the postbellum u s south this article studies the effect of recruitment restrictions on mobility and wages in the postbellum u s south i estimate the effects of criminal fines charged for enticement recruiting workers already under contract on sharecropper mobility tenancy choice and agricultural wages i find that a 13 10 increase in the enticement fine lowered the probability of a move by black sharecroppers by 12 daily wages by 1 cent 1 and the returns to experience for blacks by 0 6 per year these results are consistent with an on the job search model where the enticement fine raises the cost of recruiting an employed worker

the term structure of investment and the banks insurance function abstract the article re examines the proposition first formulated rigorously by bryant a model of reserves bank runs and deposit insurance journal of banking and finance 4 335 344 1980 and diamond and dybvig bank runs deposit insurance and liquidity journal of political economy 91 401 419 1983 that in a production economy with stochastic liquidity shocks to the household sector banks serve to provide optimal intertemporal insurance to consumers the paper argues that in order to understand the moral hazard problems inherent in this insurance problem it is too narrow to consider solely the role of banks as providers of liquidity the paper develops a model with several investment opportunities in which banks have the additional function of asset diversification this pooling of intermediation functions is shown to reduce the moral hazard problem thereby enhancing the stability of depository contracts and increasing the scope of the banks insurance function

oligopsonistic landlords segmented labor markets and the persistence of tied labor contracts this article examines contractual labor arrangements in agrarian economies that persist as a consequence of market power on the part of landlords faced with output uncertainty we show that a segmented labor market characterized by tied labor contracts and involuntary unemployment in the lean season are optimal as compared to a labor hiring arrangement that guarantees full employment of labor in both seasons government intervention in the form of a specific subsidy targeted toward the hiring of permanent laborers may raise the welfare of all laborers while a specific subsidy directed toward the hiring of casual laborers or the institution of relief programs that absorb the rural unemployed in the lean season leads to the casual laborers in the economy being worse off copyright 2002 oxford university press

permanent labour and land tenancy contracts in agrarian economies an integrated analysis extending the existing models of land and labour contracts this study attempts to build a general model of long term agrarian contracts the model implies that where tenancy is an available option the fixed wage permanent labour contract will not be chosen if it is chosen under institutional constraints on tenancy contracts resulting resource allocations will be inefficient empirical relevance of the model is tested on data from the philippines

targeting child labor in debt bondage evidence theory and policy implications despite recent multilateral efforts to single out child labor in debt bondage as one of the worst forms of child labor several important questions have yet to be addressed how pervasive is the phenomenon are there systematic correlations between the incidence of children in debt bondage and the economic legislative and financial development indicators of the economy how does an understanding of these correlates affect the way national and international policy measures aimed at targeting this form of child labor are perceived this article addresses each of these questions the empirical findings suggest strong correlation between the likelihood of the incidence of child labor in debt bondage with the stage of development of an economy the stage of financial development and enforcement of core labor rights building on this evidence the article presents a theoretical model that highlights the drawbacks and merits of a number of policies aimed at putting checks on child labor in debt bondage

financial intermediation business failures and real business cycles in this paper a general equilibrium business cycle model is construct ed that when subjected to real disturbances mimics observed qualita tive comovements among real output money business failures risk pr emia intermediary loans and prices in contrast monetary disturban ces generate cycles that have several inconsistencies with empirical evidence thus providing support for real business cycle theory at th e expense of monetary theories of the business cycle financial inter mediation arises endogenously in the model and intermediation matters for business cycle behavior a credit supply mechanism acts in tande m with an intertemporal substitution effect in propagating stochastic disturbances copyright 1987 by university of chicago press

rural labor legislation and permanent agricultural employment in northeastern brazil abstract permanent annual or longer term agricultural employment declined relative to temporary daily weekly or seasonal employment during the 1960s in a sugar cane producing region in northeastern brazil but increased rapidly during the 1970s predictions from economic theory are combined with observations about the economic forces at work during the period to argue that in the absence of government intervention permanent employment would likely have risen during both decades the argument renders the introduction of the brazilian rural labor statute rls of 1963 a strong candidate explanation for the decline of permanent employment in the 1960s the rls s employment stability provision which required employers to make severance payments to workers with at least one year tenure dismissed without just cause not only increased the expected cost of permanent contracts but also changed the very nature of permanent employment prior to the legislation employers induced permanent workers to be subject to them by giving them premium wage and benefits packages and threatening to dismiss them if caught shirking in subjection severance pay provisions made such threats incredible the elimination of farmers ability to derive subjection benefits from permanent employees reduced even further the incentive to hire workers under permanent contracts

income smoothing and consumption smoothing one way that risk averse households protect consumption levels is to borrow and use insurance mechanisms another way common in low income economies is to diversify economic activities and make conservative production and employment choices households thus tend toward limiting exposure only to shocks that can be handled with available credit and insurance typically both types of mechanisms are studied independently but much more can be learned by studying them together first we obtain a more complete picture of risks costs and insurance possibilities second it opens the way to considering biases in standard tests of credit and insurance

the federal funds market excess reserves and unconventional monetary policy abstract following the bankruptcy of lehman brothers interbank borrowing and lending dropped whereas reserve holdings of depository institutions skyrocketed as the fed injected liquidity into the u s banking sector this paper introduces bank liquidity risk and limited market participation into a real business cycle model with ex ante identical financial intermediaries and shows in an analytically tractable way how interbank trade and excess reserves emerge in general equilibrium investigating the role of the federal funds market and unconventional monetary policy for the propagation of aggregate real and financial shocks i find that federal funds market participation is irrelevant in response to standard supply and demand shocks whereas it matters for uncertainty shocks i e mean preserving spreads in the cross section of liquidity risk liquidity injections by the central bank can absorb the effects of financial shocks on the real economy although excess reserves might increase and federal funds might be crowded out as a side effect

the effects of shifts in monetary policy and reserve accounting regimes on bank reserve management behavior in the federal funds market abstract this paper looks at the effects on fed fund rates and fed fund purchasing behavior of large banks resulting from i the 1982 regime switch from non borrowed to borrowed reserve targeting by the fed and ii the 1984 switch from lagged to almost contemporaneous reserve accounting cra whether we analyse changes in the interest rate or quantity dimensions the shift in monetary policy targets appeared to have had a more profound effect on the market for bank reserves than the shift in reserve accounting regime these results therefore tend to support the contention that a shift to cra by itself will have little effect on bank reserve management behavior unless combined with its logical counterpart a total reserves target

the effectiveness of quantitative easing evidence from japan abstract this study contributes to current research on quantitative easing we provide a novel analysis of the quantitative easing effectiveness as an unconventional monetary policy tool in japan over the last two decades the paper advances current research on quantitative easing by exploring quantitative easing through the prism of the monetary transmission mechanism we examine the response of japanese regional banks to the quantitative easing operations conducted by the bank of japan from the early 2000s till 2015 the analysis is performed within the framework of the bank lending channel under the unconventional monetary policy strategies we find that small sized regional banks underline the significant positive effect of quantitative easing on gross domestic product and inflation that works through the securities holdings and leverage preferences monetary authorities should pay particular attention to policies for such banks and banks with a high level of non performing loans deposit growth after a quantitative easing shock is only present in large sized banks with low npls holdings

does firm ownership structure matter evidence from sugar mills in india abstract this paper examines the effect of firm ownership structure on firm behavior and the economic outcomes of upstream suppliers by comparing privately owned sugar mills to cooperatives and public mills in india in this setting government support for cooperative and public mills allows meaningful variation in ownership structure to be observed while the command area zoning system whereby mills are given monopsony power to operate within an assigned area helps tackle the identification challenge the borders of command areas allow for a geographic regression discontinuity design where underlying soil weather and institutional characteristics are exactly the same but ownership structure changes across boundaries using satellite images overlaid on digital maps to measure sugarcane grown along the borders as well as a survey to determine the effects of crop choices on farmer welfare i find that private mills encourage sugarcane production greater cane cultivation is tied to better credit provided by private mills and it results in higher income and consumption for farmers

developing transport infrastructure for the low carbon society for the uk and other advanced economies the transition to a genuinely low carbon society is a major undertaking within transport changes to vehicle and aircraft technology are likely to be the key drivers of this change underpinned by a more consistent and comprehensive approach to carbon pricing infrastructure investment is likely to be needed to cater for travel growth but this should be on the basis that improvements in carbon efficiency outweigh the upward pressure of growth on emissions a radical shift in the power supply for road transport to support electric vehicles could also have significant infrastructure requirements and there will be potentially significant soft investment requirements associated with improved traffic management travel information systems and road pricing road pricing and an extension of carbon pricing particularly to aviation create income flows which may help to fund transport infrastructure development in a world of constrained public finances

financial intermediation and macroeconomic analysis a macroeconomic framework in which fi nancial intermediation matters for the allocation of resources allocation of resources in this paper i fi rst discuss why neither standard macroeconomic models that in this paper i fi rst discuss why neither standard macroeconomic models that abstract from fi nancial intermediation nor traditional models of the bank lending abstract from fi nancial intermediation nor traditional models of the bank lending channel are adequate as a basis for understanding the recent crisis i argue that channel are adequate as a basis for understanding the recent crisis i argue that instead we need models in which intermediation plays a crucial role but in which instead we need models in which intermediation plays a crucial role but in which intermediation is modeled in a way that better conforms to current institutional intermediation is modeled in a way that better conforms to current institutional realities in particular we need models that recognize that a market based fi nan realities in particular we need models that recognize that a market based fi nan cial system one in which intermediaries fund themselves by selling securities in cial system one in which intermediaries fund themselves by selling securities in competitive markets rather than collecting deposits subject to reserve require competitive markets rather than collecting deposits subject to reserve require ments is not the same as a frictionless system ments is not the same as a frictionless system i then sketch the basic elements of an approach that allows fi nancial inter i then sketch the basic elements of an approach that allows fi nancial inter mediation and credit frictions to be integrated into macroeconomic analysis in a mediation and credit frictions to be integrated into macroeconomic analysis in a straightforward way i show how the model can be used to analyze the macroeco straightforward way i show how the model can be used to analyze the macroeco nomic consequences of the recent fi nancial crisis and conclude with a discussion of nomic consequences of the recent fi nancial crisis and conclude with a discussion of some implications of the model for the conduct of monetary policy some implications of the model for the conduct of monetary policy

wage determination in agricultural labour markets under monopsonist labour tying arrangements there is need for a study of wage formation in agricultural labour markets which can simultaneously explain the existence of involuntary unemployment on the one hand and responsiveness to market forces on the other this paper offers an analysis and empirical study of wage determination in a typical rural agricultural setting and finds that based on the notion of efficiency wages a two tier situation explains why rural wage rates are known to vary widely among workers and across regions

does supervision matter some hypothesis tests using indian farm level data abstract a model is developed and estimated to test for heterogeneity of family and hired labor in agricultural production and to estimate the impact of employer supervision on the productivity of hired labor plot level data are used from a rice growing village in semi arid tropical india the hypothesis that family and hired labor are homogeneous inputs was rejected results indicate that family member supervision is required to increase hired labor productivity output loss attributable to operating at reduced supervision intensity was greater than 10 on over 40 of the plots

an oligopsonistic model of wage determination in agrarian societies the theory of rural wages in less developed countries is itself only partially developed three major explanations have been put forward but none of these can account for observed variations in nominal wages over time over regions and across individuals it is therefore time to take a fresh look at the problem and to develop new models which are more in accord with the data this task is undertaken in section ii where a model of heterogeneous labour is used to analyse rural labour markets and explain the wage payments system section i contains a brief summary of existing theory and its deficiencies in order to derive the main properties of the model quickly formal proofs of assertions are relegated to the technical appendix and most of the discussion of the assumptions and detailed explanations are left to section iii this section also contains general conclusions as well as a discussion of some of the more controversial issues

contract duration and investment incentives evidence from land tenancy agreements this paper analyzes the empirical determinants of contract length a key and yet neglected dimension of contractual structure i estimate contract length and contract type jointly using original data on tenancy agreements signed between 1870 and 1880 in the district of siracusa italy the findings indicate that the choice of contract length is driven by the need to provide incentives for nonobservable investment taking into account transaction costs and imperfections in the credit markets that make incentive provision costly the results also illustrate that because both length and the compensation scheme are used to provide incentives within the same contract joint analysis is important for a correct interpretation of the evidence jel d82 o12 q15

wage homestead tenancies technological dualism and tenant household size a widespread but little studied tenancy in the developing world entails the exchange of labor for access to a homestead and a wage this paper models two distinguishing features of this tenancy technological dualism between the landlord s and tenants plot and landlord preferences over tenant household size when wages are time denominated moral hazard may provide incentive for landlords to resist innovation on the homestead landlords are shown to prefer larger tenant households under a time wage than under piece rate i argue that landlord preferences over tenant household size may have important effects that are ignored in the literature

is profit sharing a cure for unemployment in less developed countries abstract the effects of introducing profit sharing in modern sectors in ldcs are discussed within a dual model with endogenous wages and internal migration profit sharing does not have a direct job creation effect as long as firms set the pay parameters yet the new system may have long run effects on employment allocation under some circumstances profit sharing may in fact destabilize short run employment such that jobs last for a shorter duration modern sector wages are then raised to discipline workers and urban unemployment goes up arguments are also given for the hypothesis that profit sharing stabilizes short run employment with the opposite results

liquidity provision banking and the allocation of interest rate risk abstract the paper studies the efficient allocation of technology induced interest rate risk and the implications of such risk for efficient liquidity provision complete immunization against interest rate risk is shown to be undesirable as it precludes the exploitation of favourable reinvestment opportunities under the assumptions of diamond dybvig 1983 interest induced valuation risks of long term assets should be born by early withdrawers reinvestment opportunity risks of short term assets by late withdrawers efficient liquidity provision thus entails no shifting of interest rate risk in the absence of additional moral hazard second best allocations can be implemented through unregulated competition among banks

formal and informal institutions in the labor market with applications to the construction sector in egypt abstract urban labor markets that are characterized by the absence or ineffectiveness of regulation by legal and bureaucratic institutions can nonetheless be subject to powerful institutional forces based on customary norms group cohesion kinship and social networks using insights derived from the new institutional economics this argument is illustrated with three examples from the construction labor market in egypt where formal and informal institutions performing similar functions are contrasted in each case the informal institution is found to be significantly more important in shaping labor market relations

information and the operation of markets tests based on a general equilibrium model of land leasing in india abstract this paper develops an estimable general equilibrium model of land leasing to test the extent to which information is commonly held in a village and whether village markets are efficient information regarding the relative farming skill of households is found to be widespread but the assumption of perfectly efficient markets within the village is rejected these results have ramifications for the estimation of agricultural household models and for our understanding of rural institutions the model is derived from the primitives of the production technology the extent of information and the distributions of assets and several household unobservables simultaneity and selection issues are dealt with explicitly in a two stage maximum likelihood estimation procedure using panel data from india

an analysis of declining incidence of regular labour contracts in rural india evidence obtained from the icrisat villages in india suggests that the decline of regular contracts has been accompanied by the growth in real wages and casualisation of the rural labour force in view of this evidence the article examines the causes of the declining incidence of regular contracts in rural india we argue that this has been caused by the leftward shift in the regular labour supply curve due to improved employment and credit opportunities and not an upward movement of the labour demand curve as manifested by the increase in real wages over the years

attaching workers through in kind payments theory and evidence from russia external shocks may cause a decline in the productivity of fixed capital in certain regions of an economy exogenous obstacles to migration make it hard for workers in those regions to reallocate to more prosperous regions in addition firms may devise attachment strategies to keep workers from moving out of a local labor market when workers are compensated in kind they find it difficult to raise the cash needed for migration this endogenous obstacle to migration has not yet been considered in the literature the article shows that the feasibility of attachment depends on the inherited structure of local labor markets attachment can exist in equilibrium only if the labor market is sufficiently concentrated attachment is beneficial for both employers and employees but hurts the unemployed and the self employed an analysis of matched household firm data from the russian federation corroborates the theory

casual and regular contracts workers self selection in the rural labour markets in india the article examines workers choice between casual and regular contracts it departs from existing theories in that in addition to wage considerations it highlights the significance of time and credit constraints results obtained from the icrisat villages in india suggest that risk averse landless labourers ought to prefer casual to regular contracts because earnings from casual contracts are higher however this argument gets strongly modified once we consider that a large part of regular wages are received in advance and that the comparative attractiveness of regular contracts depends crucially on whether labourers have access to credit and other jobs

market power and rents in global supply chains market power and competition policy in food supply chains has emerged as an important economic issue in economics and a highly sensitive item on the policy agenda consolidation is taking place in the food industry both in high income countries and in emerging economies but the impact of concentration in global food chains on efficiency and rent distribution is more nuanced and complex than often claimed we review the literature and extend it by developing a model which explicitly takes into account market imperfections and contract enforcement problems in supply chains increased competition benefits farms by improving contract conditions but contract enforcement becomes more complicated

understanding the accumulation of bank and thrift reserves during the u s financial crisis abstract the level of aggregate excess reserves held by u s depository institutions increased significantly at the peak of the 2007 2009 financial crisis although the amount of aggregate reserves is determined almost entirely by the policy initiatives of the central bank that act on the asset side of its balance sheet the motivations of individual banks in accumulating reserves differ and respond to the impact of changes in the economic environment on individual institutions we undertake a systematic analysis of this massive accumulation of excess reserves using bank level data for more than 7000 commercial banks and almost 1000 savings institutions during the u s financial crisis we propose a testable stochastic model of reserves determination when interest is paid on reserves which we estimate using bank level data and censored regression methods we find evidence primarily of a precautionary motive for reserves accumulation with some notable heterogeneity in the response of reserves accumulation to external and internal factors of the largest banks compared with smaller banks we combine propensity score matching and a difference in differences approach to determine whether the beneficiaries of the capital purchase program of the troubled asset relief program accumulated less cash including reserves than non beneficiaries contrary to anecdotal evidence we find that banks that participated in the program accumulated less cash including reserves than nonparticipants in the initial quarters after the capital injection

income guarantees and borrowing in risky environments evidence from india s rural employment guarantee scheme this paper investigates the effects of an income guarantee on borrowing in a risky setting with marked seasonality a three season infinite horizon model is developed in which the aims of smoothing consumption and maintaining creditworthiness are somewhat opposed and the seasonal timing of transfers matters if borrowing does not affect production then larger transfers concentrated in the lean season may well lead to a contraction of the total amount borrowed over the whole annual cycle if borrowing also finances working capital then larger transfers make riskier positions attractive and investment in working capital and total borrowing may both increase these insights are tested in the context of india s national rural employment guarantee scheme as implemented in upland odisha the potential endogeneity of participation is addressed by using the female reservation for local elections as an instrument each day s work reduces the estimated level of borrowing in the lean season by about the regulated wage in contrast the estimated effect on borrowing in the cultivation season by households owning at least the median holding is to increase it by about one and a half times the wage but there is no significant effect for households owning less

rural labor and credit markets this paper studies changes over time in the incidence of labor tying the existing literature is successful in explaining the emergence of this institution but contains the counterfactual implication that there should be an increasing trend in labor tying however previous contributions have so far implicitly assumed that there are no consumption credit markets available to workers i show that taking account of borrowing opportunities leads to new predictions about the evolution of permanent labor in particular declines in borrowing costs associated to efficiency gains in the financial sector lead to a fall in the fraction of rural workers who are tied in addition if consumption credit markets are operating a fall in the size of the rural population will cause under certain conditions a decline in the percentage of permanent workers these predictions are consistent with the observed trends in developing countries hence this paper complements previous theoretical work on labor tying with its addition the theory now explains the emergence persistence and final demise of this institution 1997 elsevier science b v

preference heterogeneity power and intrahousehold decision making in rural malaysia abstract this paper examines conjugal household responsibilities roles preference heterogeneity and intrahousehold power relations in rural malay families its three major contributions are to provide an effective initial indicator of separate spheres within the family develop and implement a method for measuring the extent of conjugal preference heterogeneity and illustrate the value of combining this direct measure of preference heterogeneity with a measure of power in estimating household expenditure patterns for three major items food schooling and housing improvement these three measurement innovations applied to the rural malaysia context demonstrate the potential for more direct efforts to model and measure intrahousehold decisions

the effectiveness of non standard monetary policy in addressing liquidity risk during the financial crisis the experiences of the federal reserve and the european central bank abstract a number of studies sought to measure the effects of non standard policy on bank funding markets this paper carries those estimates a step further by looking at the effects of bank funding market stress on the volume of bank lending by separately modeling loan supply and demand we determine how non standard central bank measures affected bank lending by reducing stress in bank funding markets our results suggest that non standard policy measures lowered bank funding volatility in the us and the euro area lower bank funding volatility in turn increased loan supply in both regions contributing to sustained lending activity

the u s money market and the term auction facility in the financial crisis of 2007 2009 abstract the interbank money market in the united states and europe became turbulent during the financial crisis of 2007 2009 with the counterparty default risk premiums and liquidity premiums of short term financing among major financial institutions rising sharply to unprecedented levels using various measures of macroeconomic and financial risks i find that the surges in counterparty risk premiums were predominantly driven by heightened uncertainties about the macroeconomy and financial market as well as underlying mortgage default risks the new liquidity facility that the federal reserve established the term auction facility significantly relieved the strains in the money market primarily through lowering banks liquidity concerns its effect on the counterparty risk premiums however has been quite limited

attached farm labor limited horizons and servility abstract two facets of attached farm labor arrangements the servility often required of attached laborers and employers interest in maintaining such workers limited horizons are described and incorporated into an otherwise standard model of attached and temporary agricultural employment substantially modifying the model s predictions the dependence of workers preferences on reference group behavior which underlies employers interest in limiting horizons may enable employers to drive even freely mobile workers wellbeing below competitive levels may imply that abolishing servility arrangements would benefit all workers gives rise to multiple equilibria in community layout and culture and sheds light on some characteristics of agrarian revolts

a computational model of banks optimal reserve management policy abstract this paper uses numerical methods to model the demand for excess reserves by a representative bank in a framework that includes many realistic features of the current reserve market structure in the united states in particular the model incorporates a 14 day maintenance period and an accurate representation of carryover provisions we use the model to evaluate the effect of various changes to the operating environment increased uncertainty modified penalties and changes to policy paying interest on reserves

coercive contract enforcement law and the labor market in 19th century industrial britain british master and servant law made employee contract breach a criminal offense until 1875 we develop a contracting model generating equilibrium contract breach and prosecutions then exploit exogenous changes in output prices to examine the effects of labor demand shocks on prosecutions positive shocks in the textile iron and coal industries increased prosecutions following the abolition of criminal sanctions wages differentially rose in counties that had experienced more prosecutions and wages responded more to labor demand shocks coercive contract enforcement was applied in industrial britain restricted mobility allowed workers to commit to risk sharing contracts with lower but less volatile wages

risk coping and starvation in rural china we use a 3 year panel from two poor provinces in southern china to examine the nature of risks to which rural households are exposed and their ability to insure calorie consumption and spending of total consumption against idiosyncratic shocks to their income we find that idiosyncratic risks are indeed the main source of income variation in the sample consumption is better insured than total spending unlike total spending where full insurance is rejected in most cases calorie intake is completely insured for both land rich and land poor households in both provinces access to even modest amounts of land significantly enhances households ability to guard against total spending land rich households are much better insured against total spending than land poor households the results are robust across model specifications although generalized method of moments gmm estimations increase the magnitude of difference in total spending between the land rich and the land poor policies targeting poverty red

a simple test of the nutrition based efficiency wage model abstract in the nutrition based efficiency wage model wages in labor markets in developing countries are rigid because lowering them would reduce worker productivity and increase the cost per efficiency unit i evaluate this claim using data from rural india i find that contrary to what has been assumed in these models a wage cut should lower the cost per efficiency unit of labor

the growing reluctance to borrow at the discount window an empirical investigation federal reserve regulation a imposes formal guidelines on borrowing from the discount window and ensures that the facility is used for appropriate purposes in a way this regulation imposes a nonprice mechanism that compels depository institutions to be more prudent in exercising their borrowing privileges in the 1980s however banks became increasingly more reluctant to borrow adjustment credit from the discount window this behavior is puzzling because discount window guidelines have not changed this paper investigates the reasons behind the weakened demand for borrowed reserves our empirical findings suggest that the growing reluctance to borrow stems from the deteriorating financial position of banks during this period in particular banks avoided the discount window because they feared that market participants might have interpreted their visits as a signal of serious funding difficulties

the economy of high wages an agency problem latitude with respect to the effort they supply and monitoring of effort and output is costly in this paper we examine the agency problem that arises in these circumstances the agent employee is assumed to maximize expected utility which depends on wages and effort a bad we assume that output is a deterministic function of effort that either effort or output can be accurately monitored and that monitoring is costly the firm s problem is to select a level of monitoring and a compensation package that will minimize the cost of obtaining a desired level of effort given the cost of monitoring the agent s preferences and the agent s opportunity cost of accepting employment with the firm his labour supply constraint the firm chooses a compensation scheme from the set in which compensation is contingent on effort if the agent is monitored and is equal to a standard

productivity and distribution under cropsharing tenancy abstract this paper develops a model of sharecropping assuming tenant autonomy competitive behavior of landlords and laborers and endogenously determined wage and share rental rates the coexistence of wage labor and sharecropping is explained in terms of their incentive labor process and risk sharing characteristics sharecropping serves as a surrogate for the direct supervision of the labor process its incidence is shown to rise in the presence of unemployment at a subsistence wage the model implies that the abolition of tenancy will raise output raise labor income and reduce land income

attaching workers through in kind payments external shocks may cause a decline in the productivity of fixed capital in certain regions of an economy exogenous obstacles to migration make it hard for workers in those regions to reallocate t

the value of relationships evidence from a supply shock to kenyan rose exports this paper provides evidence on the importance of reputation in the context of the kenyan rose export sector a model of reputation and relational contracting is developed and tested a seller s reputation is defined by buyer s beliefs about seller s reliability we show that i due to lack of enforcement the volume of trade is constrained by the value of the relationship ii the value of the relationship increases with the age of the relationship and iii during an exogenous negative supply shock deliveries are an inverted u shaped function of relationship s age models exclusively focusing on enforcement or insurance considerations cannot account for the evidence jel d86 f14 l14 o13 o19 q17 imperfect contract enforcement is a pervasive feature of real life commercial transactions in the absence of formal contract enforcement trading parties rely on informal mechanisms to guarantee contractual performance e g johnson mcmillan and woodruff 2002 greif 2005 fafchamps 2010 among those mechanisms long term relationships based on trust or reputation are perhaps the most widely studied and have received substantial theoretical attention the theoretical literature has developed a variety of models that capture salient features of real life relationships e g enforcement problems e g macleod and malcomson 1989 baker gibbons and murphy 1994 baker gibbons and murphy 2002 levin

interbank lending and systemic risk systemic risk refers to the propagation of a bank s economic distress to other economic agents linked to that bank through financial transactions banking authorities often prevent systemic risk through an implicit insurance of interbank claims or by reducing interbank transactions and centralizing banks liquidity management this paper investigates whether the flexability afforded by decentralized bank interactions can be preserved while protecting the central banks from the necessity of conducting undesired rescue operations it develops a model in which decentralized interbank leading is motivated by peer monitoring in this context the paper derives the optimal prudential rules and in particular looks at the impact of interbank monitoring on the solvency and liquidity ratios of borrowing and lending banks last it provides conditions which a too big to fail policy is or is not justified and studies the possibility of propagation of a bank s liquidity shock throughout the financial system copyright 1996 by ohio state university press

reputational consequences of labor coercion evidence from assam s tea plantations the right to coerce an employee is seen as advantageous to employers however if coercion gives employers a bad reputation workers may be harder to recruit we study a unique setting in assam s tea plantations in the 19th century where migrant workers were recruited under two different indentured contracts one of which was more coercive and gained notoriety in the national press and policy circles using newly collected panel data on annual migration flows to seven districts over the period 1883 1900 we find that the response of migration to increased demand for labor proxied by a rising tea price was lower for the contract that had a bad reputation workers migrated under the more coercive contract only when uninformed or misled about the terms of their employment we identify the effect of information flow by distinguishing between recruiters with and without social connections with the workers

minimum wage legislation in a dual labor market the paper studies the equilibrium effects of minimum wage legislation in an economy with coexisting primary and secondary labor markets owing to difficulties in monitoring relative wages and the threat of job loss play a functional role in eliciting effort from primary sector workers minimum wage laws hence affect the primary wage and employment level even if the law only binds in the secondary labor market furthermore interaction between the two sectors can also alter the secondary outcome relative to the standard analysis and has implications for participation decisions and for the level of unemployment

factor markets and resource allocation in colonial punjab it is often argued that agricultural factor markets in colonial india were underdeveloped leading to inefficient resource use and slow agricultural development however there is little econometric evidence on these issues this article outlines a model which incorporates the factor market imperfections discussed in the literature and tests the model against data from the punjab there is in the statistical sense evidence of resource misallocation however these effects are too small to be of much economic significance

roads a utility in need of a strategy british roads are under supplied and irrationally priced estimates of the rate of economic return to investment are high there is no mechanism for consumer protection and current attempts to record and publish the level of service are inadequate this will persist until there is fundamental reform of the governance and possibly ownership of the major road network the paper argues that the uk regulated utility model offers valuable insights other candidates are discussed for reform of corporate governance accountability charging and funding a reformed charging regime designed to deal with road congestion and other externalities would also help with the carbon emission problem the paper discusses the division between central government new bodies to own and regulate the assets and local authorities even in the absence of direct user charging in the short term there is a case for change to enhance the accountability of the national roads infrastructure provider to its customers language en

an inquiry into quasi credit contracts the role of reciprocal credit and interlinked deals in small scale fishing communities in agrarian village societies beset with many hazards and uncertainties people evolve various means of coping with risk what is perhaps less known is that credit transactions can sometimes serve the function of reducing risk in such societies this article is concerned with examining several insurance motivated credit arrangements in small scale fishing communities a hunger insurance mechanism of reciprocal credit and a system of interlinked contracts aimed at insuring against risks in the spheres of labour and marketing relations will be extensively dealt with moreover the concept of triadic relationships will be shown to have special relevance in the case of traditional insurance arrangements aiming at controlling problems of moral hazard

exploitation alternatives and socialism how can one understand the formation of inequality strata and classes and perhaps exploitation in socialist society among marxists there is no widely accepted materialist theory of the development of classes and inequality under socialism perhaps more noticeably there is no widely accepted theory of the political behaviour of socialist states indeed the response of many or most marxists to wars between socialist states for example is that at least one of the countries involved is not socialist this argument is tautological and not scientific since two socialist countries could never fight each other therefore the major premise that they are both socialist must be false the example of wars between socialist countries is given to point out the nature of a crisis in marxian theory that theory formulated in the late nineteenth century to explain the development of nineteenth century capitalism does not seem useful when applied to late twentieth century socialism and capitalism perhaps marxists cannot for instance agree on the nature of soviet society is it socialist capitalist state capitalist or transitional what definitions might one give to decide taking a cue from the marxian approach to capitalism one might seek to define a notion of exploitation relevant to socialist society from such a beginning could follow a theory of class and finally a political theory of socialist society as corollary to the theory of class this paper is an attempt to approach this set of problems in the way indicated by proposing a general theory of exploitation of which socialist exploitation will be a special case the task of providing a tlheory of exploitation relevant to socialist economies has much in common with the problem marx faced in providing a theory of exploitation for capitalist economies the economic problem for marx was to explain how the gross inequities of capitalism could be reproduced in an economy characterised by voluntary exchange in feudal and slave economies there was no mystery to the locus of surplus appropriation since the institution of labour exchange was coercive one could clearly speak of serf and slave labour as being forcibly expropriated due to those social relations under capitalism where the institution for labour exchange is noncoercive how could one speak of exploitation or expropriation of any commodity including labour power marx s effort was to re solve this paradox by providing a theory of value which claimed that despite the non coerciveness of the institution of labour exchange that exchange was exploitative thus he claimed that exploitation was a phenomenon which was robust when one

monopsony power in migrant labor markets evidence from the united arab emirates by exploiting a reform in the united arab emirates that relaxed restrictions on employer transitions we provide new estimates of the monopsony power of firms over migrant workers our results show that the reform increased incumbent migrants earnings and firm retention this occurs despite an increase in employer transitions and is driven by a fall in country exits while the outcomes of incumbents improved the reform decreased demand for new migrants and lowered their earnings these results are consistent with a model of monopsony in which firms face upward sloping labor supply curves for both new recruits in source countries and incumbent migrants