tell me something i don t already know informedness and the impact of information programs we document how imperfect information generates heterogeneous effects in information treatments with personalized high frequency feedback and peer comparisons in our field experiment in retail electricity we find that high and low energy users symmetrically underestimate and overestimate their relative energy use pre treatment responses to personalized feedback however are asymmetric households that overestimate their relative use and low users both respond by consuming more these boomerang effects provide evidence that peer comparison information programs even those coupled with normative comparisons are not guaranteed to lead to increases in prosocial behavior jel codes c93 d12 d83 l94 q41

perceived price in residential water demand evidence from a natural experiment abstract under complicated billing structures the price to which consumers respond remains inconclusive in this paper i exploit a quasi experiment to estimate a causal effect of price for residential water customers during the introduction of increasing block rates for a north carolina utility perceived price is identified through a billing anomaly in which changes in marginal and average prices move in opposite directions empirical results contribute evidence that residential water customers respond to average price average price elasticity estimates vary from 0 43 to 1 14 across the distribution of consumption in triple difference models with an estimate of 0 31 in the tightest bandwidth of regression discontinuity specifications

e ztax tax salience and tax rates this paper examines whether the salience of a tax system affects equilibrium tax rates i analyze how tolls change after toll facilities adopt electronic toll collection etc drivers are substantially less aware of tolls paid electronically i estimate that in steady state tolls are 20 to 40 percent higher than they would have been without etc consistent with a salience based explanation for this toll increase i find that under etc driving becomes less elastic with respect to the toll and toll setting becomes less sensitive to the electoral calendar alternative explanations appear unlikely to be able to explain the findings

social norms and energy conservation beyond the us abstract the seminal studies by allcott and mullainathan 2010 allcott 2011 and allcott and rogers 2014 show that social comparison based home energy reports her are a cost effective climate policy intervention in the us our paper demonstrates the context dependency of this result in most industrialized countries average electricity consumption and carbon intensity are well below us levels consequently her interventions can only become cost effective if treatment effect sizes are substantially higher for germany we provide evidence from a large scale randomized controlled trial that effect sizes are in fact considerably lower than in the us we conclude by illustrating that targeting highly responsive subgroups is crucial to reach cost effectiveness and by identifying the few countries in which her are promising policy instruments

automatic bill payment and salience effects evidence from electricity consumption abstract the introduction of automatic bill payment abp programs in 2005 eliminated the need for consumers to view recurring bills if those enrolled in abp programs offered by utilities and other service providers forgo inspection of their recurring bills then price salience declines prices perceived by boundedly rational agents fall and consumption increases this paper considers the impact of such programs on consumer demand and welfare and empirically tests whether enrollment in such programs increases demand results show abp enrollment increases residential electricity consumption by 4 0 and commercial electricity consumption by as much as 8 1 enrollment in programs designed to smooth seasonal variation in monthly utility bills of low income customers results in 6 7 greater electricity use

demand side management policies for residential water use who bears the conservation burden to assess the potential for urban demand side management dsm policies as a water resource management tool we analyze the extent to which price and alternative policy instruments such as use and quantity restrictions and subsidies for water efficient technologies reduce residential demand and their distributional implications by type of household using detailed household level panel data for two california communities the results suggest that the ultimate effects of dsm policies in terms of the reduction in aggregate demand and distribution of water savings among household classes depend both on the policy instrument selected and the composition of aggregate demand

incentives to water conservation under scarcity comparing price and reward effects through stated preferences abstract focusing on two different european institutional contexts a stated preference approach is adopted to elicit the willingness to save water under three alternative incentive policies a water price increase monetary reward and symbolic prize in addition two water scarcity scenarios a critical and a regular scenario are devised to analyze how information on water scarcity moderates the effect of incentives empirical results show that users become sensitive to monetary incentives while they remain insensitive to non monetary ones when water is scarce batteries of pre tests on the sample and robustness checks on the results strengthen the reliability of our findings and partially circumvent concerns related to the use of a stated preference approach the study adds to the literature on the efficacy of economic incentives in the water sector and the role of local factors in explaining water users response

unemployment insurance and precautionary saving abstract models of precautionary saving imply that households will hold more assets when faced with greater income uncertainty however previous empirical studies of income uncertainty have produced somewhat mixed support for the precautionary saving hypothesis in this paper we note that differences in the state contingent income stream available to workers through the unemployment insurance ui program provides an excellent source of variation for testing the presence of a precautionary savings motive simulations of a stochastic life cycle model suggest that a ui system similar to the type currently in place in the u s can lead to a significant reduction in the assets accumulated by a median worker moreover there is considerable variation in the ui benefit schedules for workers living in different states in the u s which provides an exogenous source of variation for empirically testing the precautionary saving hypothesis we carry out this test using data on expected ui benefit replacement rates and financial assets held by households in the survey of income and program participation our empirical results are consistent with the predictions of the model and suggest that reducing the ui benefit replacement rate by 50 percent would increase gross financial asset holdings by 14 percent or 241 for the average worker we also find empirical evidence that this crowd out effect of ui on household saving is stronger for those facing higher unemployment risk and weaker for older workers both of which are implications from our precautionary saving model

measuring welfare effects of product contamination with consumer uncertainty abstract a methodology is developed for measuring consumer welfare loss from market demand due to contamination when information is imperfect comparison of behavior before and after awareness permits calculation of the cost of ignorance which occurs when news of contamination is withheld or undiscovered for a time as well as when excessive reporting and exaggeration cause overreaction avoidance costs are also calculated for consumers who consume less than they would with perfect information due to risk aversion the methodology is applied to analyzing the heptachlor crisis which reduced milk consumption in hawaii by over 80

the short run and long run effects of behavioral interventions experimental evidence from energy conservation we document three remarkable features of the opower program in which social comparison based home energy reports are repeatedly mailed to more than six million households nationwide first initial reports cause high frequency action and backsliding but these cycles attenuate over time second if reports are discontinued after two years effects are relatively persistent decaying at 10 20 percent per year third consumers are slow to habituate they continue to respond to repeated treatment even after two years we show that the previous conservative assumptions about post intervention persistence had dramatically understated cost effectiveness and illustrate how empirical estimates can optimize program design jel d12 d83 l94 q41

a discrete continuous choice approach to residential water demand under block rate pricing reply waldman is quite correct in noting that the microeconomic theory of block rate pricing in hewitt and hanemann hh 1995 is given for the general case of a k block rate structure whereas the econometric theory is largely confined to the case of exactly two blocks the extension in waldman to the more general case of k blocks is correct although the extension itself could be even more general if it addressed the nonnegativity of demand as is demonstrated below that no apparent attention was paid to the nonnegativity of demand in hh may be attributed to the fact that the need to do so was negated by a fortuitous assumption in the earlier work although that assumption that the errors are multiplicative and lognormally distributed was only maintained and not tested in hh i now estimate two models with the more common assumptions of linear demand and additive and normally distributed errors both with and without a modification for

estimates from a consumer demand system implications for the incidence of environmental taxes abstract most studies suggest that environmental taxes are regressive making them less attractive policy options we consider the distributional effects of a gasoline tax increase using four incidence measures and under three scenarios for gas tax revenue use to incorporate behavioral responses we use consumer expenditure survey data to estimate a consumer demand system that includes gasoline other goods and leisure our estimates confirm that when revenues are not recycled a gasoline tax is regressive use of incidence measures that ignore demand responses however will substantially overstate this regressivity in contrast the differences between the equivalent variation and easier to implement consumer surplus measures are relatively small in addition our results suggest that using the additional gas tax revenue to fund labor tax cuts makes the policy substantially less regressive while using the revenue to fund lump sum transfers actually makes it progressive

exact consumer s surplus and deadweight loss consumer s surplus is a widely used tool in applied welfare economics both economic theorists and cost benefit analysis often use consumer s surplus despite its somewhat dubious reputation the basic idea is to evaluate the value to a consumer or his willingness to pay for a change in price of a good from say pricep to pricep because price changes affect consumer welfare an evaluation of this effect is often a key input to public policy decisions yet consumer s surplus is probably the most controversial of widely used economic concepts both paul samuelson and ian little conclude that the economics profession would be better off without it it is my feeling of the situation that substantial agreement exists on the correct quantities to be measured the amount the consumer would pay or would need to be paid to be just as well off after the price change as he was before the price change the quantities correspond to john hicks compensating variation measures an alternative measure which takes ex post price change utility as the basis of comparison is hicks equivalent variation the controversy arises in the measurement of these quantities the usual measurement procedure is to use the area to the left of the marshallian market demand curve between two price levels jules dupuit originated this measure of welfare change and alfred marshall and hicks derived appropriate conditions for its use the primary condition for the area to the left of the demand curve to correspond to the compensating variation is to have constant marginal utility of income marshall gave this condition and if it holds the same quantity will be derived as the area to the left of the compensated hicksian demand curve this area to the left of the compensated demand curve is exactly what the compensating variation and equivalent variation measure thus the constant marginal utility of income is a sufficient condition for marshallian consumer s surplus to be equal to hicks consumer s surplus in this case arnold harberger s plea to use the welfare triangle as one half times the product of the price change times the quantity change to measure deadweight loss corresponds to the correct theoretical amount of welfare change in a recent paper robert willig derives bounds for the percentage difference between the correct measure of either the compensating or equivalent variation and the marshallian measure derived form the market demand curve his bounds which depend on the income elasticity of demand for the single good in the region of price change being considered as well as the proportion of the consumer s income spent on the good demonstrate that the marshallian consumer s surplus is often a good approximation to hicks consumer s surplus the fact that the proportion of the consumer s income spent matters as well as the income elasticity was first pointed out by harold hotelling willig contends that the approximation error will be less than the errors involved in estimating the demand curve thus he hopes to remove the need for apology that applied economists often need to give to theorists who remark on the inappropriateness of using marshallian consumer s surplus to measure welfare change however in this paper i show that for the case primarily considered by willig of a single price change which is also the situation in which consumer s surplus is often used in applied work no approximation is necessary professor of economics massachusetts institute of technology and research associate national bureau of economic research i would like to thank peter diamond erwin diewert daniel mcfadden robert merton robert solow hal varian joel yellin and the referees for help and comments research support from the national science foundation is acknowledged the reason that we still have two rather than one of samuelson s six measures of consumer s surplus arises from an index number problem of the correct basis for the welfare comparison i will give both measures but plan to concentrate on the compensating variation

an equilibrium analysis of optimal unemployment insurance and taxation a two person two period general equilibrium model with uncertainty about second period labor productivity is developed the model is used to consider potential welfare pareto gains from both a stylized unemployment insurance system and from a negative income tax system welfare gains are possible if individuals are sufficiently homogeneous when both programs are operated simultaneously complete insurance is always feasible but is optimal only if the labor supply curve is negatively sloped

the effect of information on product quality evidence from restaurant hygiene grade cards this study examines the effect of an increase in product quality information to consumers on e rms choices of product quality in 1998 los angeles county introduced hygiene quality grade cards to be displayed in restaurant windows we show that the grade cards cause i restaurant health inspection scores to increase ii consumer demand to become sensitive to changes in restaurants hygiene quality and iii the number of foodborne illness hospitalizations to decrease we also provide evidence that this improvement in health outcomes is not fully explained by consumers substituting from poor hygiene restaurants to good hygiene restaurants these results imply that the grade cards cause restaurants to make hygiene quality improvements

the japanese export insurance arrangements promotion or subsidisation japan has promoted its exports by reducing the risks accompanying overseas sales through short term facilities for exporters short term export insurance schemes operated in line with rules on minimum premia are not prohibited according to current international trade rules the insured amount of underwriting has however grown steadily and the balance of accounts of export insurance has deteriorated over a sustained long term period the japanese government has supported the system by reinforcing its financial base in the 1980s and 1990s the amount of claims was almost three times higher than premium incomes although the japanese government may have subsidised exporters through the export insurance system such subsidisation is notionally at least in accordance with the current regulations of the global trading system the multilateral trading system has included export insurances at premium rates inadequate for covering the long term operating costs and losses of the programmes in the list of export subsidies the current members of the wto are obliged to abide by the agreement on subsidies and countervailing measures which comprises the illustrative list of export subsidies however the agreement also stipulates that export insurances consistent with the interest rate provisions of the oecd arrangement should not be considered as an export subsidy therefore provision of export insurances not prohibited by the wto regulations may be considered by developing countries undergoing trade deficits as a means of export promotion japan has done similarly for the past half century

smart meter devices and the effect of feedback on residential electricity consumption evidence from a natural experiment in northern ireland abstract using a unique set of data and exploiting a large scale natural experiment we estimate the effect of real time usage information on residential electricity consumption in northern ireland starting in april 2002 the utility replaced prepayment meters with advanced meters that allow the consumer to track usage in real time we rely on this event account for the endogeneity of price and payment plan with consumption through a plan selection correction term and find that the provision of information is associated with a decline in electricity consumption of 11 17 we find that the reduction is robust to different specifications selection bias correction methods and subsamples of the original data the advanced metering program delivers reasonably cost effective reductions in carbon dioxide emissions even under the most conservative usage reduction scenarios

shrouded attributes consumer myopia and information suppression in competitive markets bayesian consumers infer that hidden add on prices e g the cost of ink for a printer are likely to be high prices if consumers are bayesian firms will not shroud information in equilibrium however shrouding may occur in an economy with some myopic or unaware consumers such shrouding creates an inefficiency which firms may have an incentive to eliminate by educating their competitors customers however if add ons have close substitutes a curse of debiasing arises and firms will not be able to profitably debias consumers by unshrouding add ons in equilibrium two kinds of exploitation coexist optimizing firms exploit myopic consumers through marketing schemes that shroud high priced add ons in turn sophisticated consumers exploit these marketing schemes it is not possible to profitably drive away the business of sophisticates it is also not possible to profitably lure either myopes or sophisticates to nonexploitative firms we show that informational shrouding flourishes even in highly competitive markets even in markets with costless advertising and even when the shrouding generates allocational inefficiencies

the value of scarce water measuring the inefficiency of municipal regulations abstract rather than allowing urban water prices to reflect scarcity rents during periods of drought induced excess demand policy makers have mandated command and control approaches primarily rationing the use of water outdoors while such policies are ubiquitous and likely inefficient economists have not had access to sufficient data to estimate their economic impact using unique panel data on residential end uses of water in 11 north american cities we examine the welfare implications of urban water rationing in response to drought using estimates of expected marginal prices that vary both across and within markets we estimate price elasticities specific to indoor and outdoor water use our results suggest that current policies do target water uses that households themselves are most willing to forgo nevertheless we find that rationing outdoor water in cities has costly welfare implications primarily due to household heterogeneity in willingness to pay for scarce water we find that replacing rationing policies with a market clearing drought price would result in welfare gains of more than 29 of what households in the sample spend each year on water

the role of unemployment insurance in an economy with liquidity constraints and moral hazard the potential welfare benefits of unemployment insurance along with the optimal replacement ratio are studied using a quantitative dynamic general equilibrium model to provide a role for unemployment insurance agents in our economy face exogenous idiosyncratic employment shocks and are unable to borrow or insure themselves through private markets in the absence of moral hazard replacement ratios as high as 65 are optimal and the welfare benefits of unemployment insurance are quite large however if there is moral hazard and the replacement ratio is not set optimally but is instead set to an empirically plausible value the economy can be much worse off than it would be without unemployment insurance

measuring price elasticities for residential water demand with limited information this paper exploits the seasonal and annual changes in marginal prices for water to estimate the price elasticity of demand by residential households for water it uses the changes in distributions of water used at the census block group levels in response to changes in marginal prices of water for matched months across years this strategy reduces the interaction effects of outdoor use and demographic factors in determining responsiveness to price by comparing years that vary in overall water availability the framework can recover measures of how responses to price vary with season and drought conditions the application is the urban phoenix metropolitan area jel h42 q25

drawbacks for indirect exporters and monopoly power abstract the paper presents different methods for extending export drawback schemes to indirect exporters i e firms that sell inputs to exporters we review the schemes to extend export drawbacks to indirect exporters that have been adopted in chile korea and colombia to compare them we consider a market structure where the indirect exporter is a monopolist we assume he must charge a linear price because of potential for a resale market for the input we find that the korean scheme is reasonably efficient the colombian scheme excludes small exporters and promotes vertical integration artificially the chilean scheme allows the input monopolist to charge a fixed fee to the final exporters leading to unexpected results if the optimal pricing policy is of a certain type national welfare rises but input prices do not fall and no previously inactive firm enters the export business if the optimal pricing policy is of the other possible type the input price may rise or fall depending of the shape of the demand curve if the input price rises enough national welfare would fall we suggest an alternative scheme based on the colombian one that should do better than the korean and chilean schemes

the residential water demand effect of increasing block rate water budgets we investigate the effect of introducing a fiscally neutral increasing block rate water budget price structure on residential water demand we estimate that demand was reduced by around 17 although the reduction was achieved gradually over more than three years as intermediate steps we derive estimates of price and income elasticities that rely only on longitudinal variability we investigate how different subpopulations responded to the pricing change and find evidence that marginal rather than average prices may be driving consumption we also derive alternative rate structures that might have been implemented and assess their estimated demand effects

knowledge is less power experimental evidence from residential energy use abstract imperfect information about product attributes inhibits efficiency in many choice settings but can be overcome by providing simple low cost information we use a randomized control trial to test the effect of high frequency information about residential electricity usage on the price elasticity of demand informed households are three standard deviations more responsive to temporary price increases an effect that is not attributable to price salience conservation extends beyond pricing events in the short and medium run providing evidence of habit formation and implying that the intervention leads to greenhouse gas abatement survey evidence suggests that information facilitates learning jel d12 d83 l11 l94 q41 q54

cellular service demand biased beliefs learning and bill shock by april 2013 the fcc s recent bill shock agreement with cellular carriers requires consumers be notied when exceeding usage allowances will the agreement help or hurt consumers to answer this question we estimate a model of consumer plan choice usage and learning using a panel of cellular bills our model predicts that the agreement will lower average consumer welfare by 2 per year because rms will respond by raising monthly fees our approach is based on novel evidence that consumers are inattentive to past usage meaning that bill shock alerts are informative and advances structural modeling of demand in situations where multipart taris induce marginal price uncertainty additionally our model estimates show that an

mechanism experiments and policy evaluations randomized controlled trials are increasingly used to evaluate policies how can we make these experiments as useful as possible for policy purposes we argue greater use should be made of experiments that identify the behavioral mechanisms that are central to clearly specified policy questions what we call mechanism experiments these types of experiments can be of great policy value even if the intervention that is tested or its setting does not correspond exactly to any realistic policy option

perception of price when price information is costly evidence from residential electricity demand a bstract residential electricity consumption is an example of a good for which it is costly to determine marginal price since price changes with the quantity purchased according to multistep block rate schedules this paper investigates the effect of the price information problem on consumers price perceptions an alternative hypothesis of average price perception is tested against the marginal price postulate which assumes wellinformed consumers the model which includes a price perception variable allows the estimation of the price to which consumers actually respond the empirical results support the hypothesis that consumers respond to average price perceived from the electricity bill

revealed preference rational inattention and costly information acquisition we develop a revealed preference test for optimal acquisition of costly information the test encompasses models of rational inattention sequential signal processing and search we provide limits on the extent to which attention costs can be recovered from choice data we experimentally elicit state dependent stochastic choice data of the form the tests require in simple cases tests con rm that subjects adjust their attention in response to incentives as the theory dictates

consumer inattention and bill shock regulation for many goods and services such as electricity health care cellular phone service debit card transactions or those sold with loyalty discounts the price of the next unit of service depends on past usage as a result consumers who are inattentive to their past usage but are aware of contract terms may remain uncertain about the price of the next unit i develop a model of inattentive consumption derive equilibrium pricing when consumers are inattentive and evaluate bill shock regulation requiring firms to disclose information that substitutes for attention when inattentive consumers are sophisticated but heterogeneous in their expected demand bill shock regulation reduces social welfare in fairly competitive markets which may be the effect of the federal communication commission s recent bill shock agreement if some consumers are attentive while others naively fail to anticipate their own inattention however then bill shock regulation increases social welfare and can benefit consumers hence requiring zero balance alerts in addition to the federal reserve s new opt in rule for debit card overdraft protection may benefit consumers

the persistence of treatment effects with norm based policy instruments evidence from a randomized environmental policy experiment during a 1977 fireside chat president jimmy carter famously appealed to american hom eowners to set their thermostats at 65 degrees to help conserve supplies of natural gas and fuel oil norm based strategies are commonly used to influence a range of private behaviors with public consequences including alcohol and drug use gambling and resource consump tion in the last decade these strategies increas ingly emphasize the use of social comparisons to motivate behavioral changes efforts to use such comparisons build upon leon festinger s 1954 social comparison theory which posits that individuals validate the appropriateness of an action or thought through comparison to others a subsequent literature in social psychol ogy argues that strategies based on this theory provide an effective means to promote environ mental conservation see e g tim kurz ngaire donaghue and ian walker 2005 p wesley schultz et al 2007 noah j goldstein robert b cialdini and vladas griskevicius 2008 jessica m nolan et al 2008 in this literature the work by schultz et al 2007 has proven most influential and forms the basis of opower s well cited social comparison approach for

rational inattention and energy efficiency abstractthis paper argues that it will often be rational for consumers to pay limited attention to energy efficiency when choosing among energy consuming durable goods like automobiles or home appliances the reason is that the proper valuation of energy efficiency requires time and effort but differences in efficiency across products will rarely be pivotal to choice when consumers have strong preferences regarding other product attributes the paper first explains why proper valuation of efficiency is difficult even in the presence of government energy labels it next develops a model that shows how to value additional information about energy efficiency in a discrete choice context it then uses data on automobiles to show that consumers experience only small welfare losses when forced to choose a car without detailed information about fuel costs finally the paper discusses the implications of rational inattention for both economic research and public policy

the redistributive roles of unemployment insurance and the dynamics of voting abstract public unemployment insurance is analyzed as the majority voting equilibrium policy of a dynamic stochastic economy abstracting from incentive effects we focus on redistribution some results are because of the distribution of heterogeneous employment opportunities public insurance may be democratically chosen even if complete private markets exist and because of the dynamics even when agents are intrinsically homogeneous the equilibrium benefit level or duration benefit schedule deviates from what has been described as optimal in the literature the effects of differences in the average frequency or duration of unemployment on equilibrium taxes and benefits are investigated with some unanticipated results

elasticities in aids models in the literature a variety of approaches have been used to calculate demand elasticities in almost ideal demand system aids models of demand it is common to estimate the linear approximate almost ideal demand system la aids instead of the aids when the la aids is estimated all of the previously reported approaches to compute elasticities are theoretically incorrect this paper presents correct formulas for la aids elasticities and illustrates the potential errors from using incorrect computing the almost ideal demand system aids of deaton and muellbauer 1980a b has become popular in recent years anderson and blundell blanciforti and green 1983a b blanciforti green and king chalfant eales and unnevehr fujii khaled and mak fulponi heien and willett murray parsons ray a variety of approaches to computing elasticities has been used and some of the approaches may lead to significant errors this paper clarifies the differences between alternative approaches to estimating demand elasticities in aids models

measuring the dynamic efficiency costs of regulators preferences municipal water utilities in the arid west evidence suggests that municipal water utility administrators in the western us price water significantly below its marginal cost and in so doing inefficiently exploit aquifer stocks and induce social surplus losses this paper empirically identifies the objective function of those managers measures the deadweight losses resulting from their price discounting decisions and recovers the efficient water pricing policy function from counterfactual experiments in doing so the estimation uses a continuous butconstrained control version of a nested fixed point algorithm in order to measure the important intertemporal consequences of groundwater pricing decisions

dynamic salience with intermittent billing evidence from smart electricity meters abstract digital tracking and the proliferation of automated payments have made intermittent billing more commonplace and the frequency at which consumers receive price quantity or total expenditure signals may distort their choices while this category of goods has expanded from household utilities toll road access and software downloads to standard consumption goods paid by credit card or other bill me later type systems we know surprisingly little about how these payment patterns affect decisions this paper exploits hourly household electricity consumption data collected by smart electricity meters to examine dynamic consumer behavior under intermittent expenditure signals households reduce consumption by 0 6 1 following receipt of an electricity bill but the response varies considerably by household type and season our results also suggest that spending reminders can reduce peak demand particularly during summer months we discuss the implications for energy policy when intermittent billing combined with inattention induces consumption cycles

do residential water demand side management policies measure up an analysis of eight california water agencies abstract to assess the potential of price and alternative demand side management dsm policies as an urban water resource management tool an econometric model of residential demand is formulated and estimated this econometric model incorporates alternative dsm policy instruments such as water allocations use restrictions public education and increasing block pricing schedules the analysis relies on cross sectional monthly time series data for eight water agencies in california representing 24 of the state s population 7 1 million people results suggest that both price and alternative dsm policies were effective in reducing demand however the magnitude of the reduction in demand varied among policy instruments

goal setting and energy conservation abstract this paper develops a theoretical model of consumer demand for an energy conservation program that involves non binding self set goals we present evidence from a northern illinois goal setting program aimed at reducing residential electricity consumption which is difficult to reconcile with standard preferences and is broadly consistent with a model of present biased consumers with reference dependent preferences we find that the need for commitment is correlated with program adoption higher pre adoption consumption and lower responsiveness to goals consumers choosing realistic goals persistently save substantially more achieving savings of nearly 11 than those choosing very low or unrealistically high goals

energy conservation nudges and environmentalist ideology evidence from a randomized residential electricity field experiment nudges are being widely promoted to encourage energy conservation we show that while the electricity conservation nudge of providing feedback to households on own and peers home electricity usage works with liberals it can backfire with conservatives our regression estimates predict that a democratic household that pays for electricity from renewable sources that donates to environmental groups and that lives in a liberal neighborhood reduces its consumption by 3 percent in response to this nudge a republican household that does not pay for electricity from renewable sources and that does not donate to environmental groups increases its consumption by 1 percent

information provision and consumer behavior a natural experiment in billing frequency abstract in this study i estimate a causal effect of increased billing frequency on consumer behavior i exploit a natural experiment in which residential water customers switched exogenously from bimonthly to monthly billing customers increase consumption by 3 5 5 in response to more frequent information this result is reconciled in models of price and quantity uncertainty where increases in billing frequency reduce the distortion in consumer perceptions using treatment effects as sufficient statistics i calculate consumer welfare gains equivalent to 0 5 1 of annual water expenditures heterogeneous treatment effects suggest increases in outdoor water use

consumers perceptions and misperceptions of energy costs this paper presents three initial stylized facts from the vehicle ownership and alternatives survey voas a nationally representative survey that elicits consumers beliefs about gasoline prices and the relative energy costs of autos with different fuel economy ratings first american consumers devote little attention to fuel costs when purchasing autos second consistent with a cognitive bias called mpg illusion consumers underestimate the fuel cost differences between low mpg vehicles and overestimate the differences between high mpg vehicles third americans mean and median expected future gas prices were above current prices and predictions of the futures market at the time of the survey although it is often argued that misperceived energy costs justify policies to encourage the sale of energy efficient durable goods these results show that misperceptions and expectations that differ from market information could either increase or decrease energy efficiency

an equilibrium analysis of fiscal policy with uncertainty and incomplete markets insurance aspects of tax policies are studied in a simple intertemporal general equilibrium model in which agents are uncertain about both the future wage rates and the rate of return on capital taxation and lump sum subsidy policies generally reduce employment output and the capital stock but nonetheless they can be structured to provide pareto improvements on the incomplete market equilibrium these policies provide insurance against individual shocks not aggregate shocks examples of welfare maximizing tax schemes are provided using a simple computable general equilibrium model copyright 1993 by economics department of the university of pennsylvania and the osaka university institute of social and economic research association

testing the behavior of rationally inattentive consumers in a residential water market abstract rationally inattentive consumers tend to apply simplified heuristics when making decisions we test the hypothesis of rational inattention in the context of residential water usage where water bills typically account for a small fraction of household expenditures and only attract casual attention we begin by rigorously testing whether or not residential water customers exhibit evidence of rational inattention we then propose a heuristic water demand model to explore the decision making of rationally inattentive consumers and validate the model by comparing the model with the discrete continuous choice model on attentive and fully informed decision makers in out of sample predictions