measuring the efficiency of energy intensive industries across european countries abstract this study evaluates the energy efficiency trends of five energy intensive industries in 23 european union eu countries over the period 2000 2009 in particular the performance of the construction electricity manufacturing mining and quarrying and transport sectors is examined the analysis is based on data envelopment analysis dea combined with the malmquist productivity index mpi which allows for distinctions between efficiency and technology changes over time at the second stage of the analysis cross classified multilevel modelling is applied to analyse the main drivers behind efficiency performance using a number of sector and country characteristics based on dea results an overall improvement in efficiency is observed in all sectors over the period the decomposition of the mpi indicates that technology change is primarily responsible for the improvements achieved in most sectors the results obtained by the cross classified model show among other things that the high electricity prices energy taxes and market share of the largest generator in the electricity market have a negative effect on industrial energy efficiency

have regulatory reforms improved the efficiency levels of the japanese electricity distribution sector a cost metafrontier based analysis abstract in order to identify the kinds of impacts that japanese regulatory reforms in the electric power industry have had on the efficiency levels of the electrical distribution sector the present study assembles a dataset which spans both pre and post regulation periods further to make the estimated efficiency scores from the two sub periods comparable the study applies metafrontier frameworks proposed by o donnell et al 2008 and huang et al 2014 to the cost function in the longitudinal setting estimates from both methods show that the average efficiency score of the electrical distribution sector during the whole sample period is relatively low further findings also demonstrate that the efficiency levels after the regulatory reforms are lower than those before the regulatory reforms to this surprising and unexpected phenomenon we argue that cross subsidization may be one reason for this kind of changing pattern in efficiency levels in order to deal with the relatively low efficiency problem we also suggest that japanese regulators should introduce more incentive based regulatory tools to replace the current rate of return regulation

unobserved heterogeneity in stochastic cost frontier models this paper applies a number of stochastic cost frontier models to a panel data set and compares their ability to distinguish unobserved heterogeneity from inefficiency variation among firms the main focus is on greene s 2005 panel data model that incorporates firm specific effects in a stochastic frontier framework in cases where the unobserved heterogeneity is correlated with explanatory variables while the random effects estimators can be biased the fixed effects model may overestimate inefficiency in line with mundlak a simple method is proposed to include such correlations in random effects specification the sample includes 36 swiss nursing homes operating from 1993 to 2001 the results suggest that the proposed specification can avoid the inconsistency problem while keeping the inefficiency estimates unaffected

building criminal capital behind bars peer effects in juvenile corrections this paper analyzes the influence that juvenile offenders serving time in the same correctional facility have on each other s subsequent criminal behavior the analysis is based on data on over 8 000 individuals serving time in 169 juvenile correctional facilities during a two year period in florida these data provide a complete record of past crimes facility assignments and arrests and adjudications in the year following release for each individual to control for the non random assignment to facilities we include facility fixed effects thereby estimating peer effects using only within facility variation over time we find strong evidence of peer effects for various categories of theft burglary and felony drug and weapon crimes the influence of peers primarily affects individuals who already have some experience in a particular crime category we also find evidence that peer effects are stronger in smaller facilities and that the predominant types of peer effects differ in residential versus non residential facilities effects in the latter are consistent with network formation among youth serving time close to home

scale economies and optimal size in the swiss gas distribution sector this paper studies the cost structure of swiss gas distribution utilities several econometric models are applied to a panel of 26 companies over 1996 2000 our main objective is to estimate the optimal size and scale economies of the industry and to study their possible variation with respect to network characteristics the results indicate the presence of unexploited scale economies however very large companies in the sample and companies with a disproportionate mixture of output and density present an exception furthermore the estimated optimal size for majority of companies in the sample has shown a value far greater than the actual size suggesting remarkable efficiency gains by reorganization of the industry the results also highlight the effect of customer density on optimal size networks with higher density or greater complexity have a lower optimal size

social networks and technology adoption in northern mozambique despite their potentially strong impact on poverty agricultural innovations are often adopted slowly using a unique household dataset on sunflower adoption in mozambique we analyse whether and how individual adoption decisions depend upon the choices of others in the same social networks since farmers anticipate that they will share information with others we expect farmers to be more likely to adopt when they know many other adopters dynamic considerations however suggest that farmers who know many adopters might strategically delay adoption to free ride on the information gathered by others we present empirical evidence that shows that the relationship between the probability of adoption and the number of known adopters is shaped as an inverse u in line with information sharing the network effect is stronger for farmers who report discussing agriculture with others the data contains information which is needed to ameliorate the identification issues that commonly arise in this context in particular social networks are precisely identified and in addition we can control for village heterogeneity and endogenous group formation

examining the cost efficiency of chinese hydroelectric companies using a finite mixture model this paper evaluates the operational activities of chinese hydroelectric power companies over the period 2000 2010 using a finite mixture model that controls for unobserved heterogeneity in so doing a stochastic frontier latent class model which allows for the existence of different technologies is adopted to estimate cost frontiers this procedure not only enables us to identify different groups among the hydro power companies analysed but also permits the analysis of their cost efficiency the main result is that three groups are identified in the sample each equipped with different technologies suggesting that distinct business strategies need to be adapted to the characteristics of china s hydro power companies some managerial implications are developed

the value of connections evidence from the italian american mafia using declassified federal bureau of narcotics records on 800 us mafia members active in the 1950s and 1960s and on their connections within the organized crime network i estimate network effects on gangsters economic status lacking information on criminal proceeds i measure economic status exploiting detailed information about their place of residence housing values are reconstructed using current deflated transactions recorded on zillow com i deal with the potential reverse causality between the economic status and the gangster s position in the network exploiting exogenous exposure to potential pre immigration connections in the absence of pre immigration data i use the informational content of surnames called isonomy to measure the place of origin the instrument is valid as long as conditional on the characteristics of the gangsters including the region of birth and a rich set of controls about the gangsters legal and illegal activities such exposure influences the gangsters importance inside the network called centrality but not the preference for specific housing needs a standard deviation increase in closeness centrality increases economic status by between one forth ols and one standard deviation 2sls

technical change and efficiency measures the post privatisation in the gas distribution sector in argentina abstract in this paper we use a stochastic frontier approach to analyse the technical change in the post privatisation period in the gas distribution sector in argentina we found that there is both a catching up effect and a shift in the frontier which shows that the sector as a whole improved its efficiency in the reviewed period moreover this phenomenon holds not only for the average but also for every firm in the sample

progress in behavioral game theory i s game theory meant to describe actual choices by people and institutions or not it is remarkable how much game theory has been done while largely ignoring this question the seminal book by von neumann and morgenstern the theory of games and economic behavior was clearly about how rational players would play against others they knew were rational in more recent work game theorists are not always explicit about what they aim to describe or advise at one extreme highly mathematical analyses have proposed rationality requirements that people and firms are probably not smart enough to satisfy in everyday decisions at the other extreme adaptive and evolutionary approaches use very simple modelsmostly developed to describe nonhuman animals in which players may not realize they are playing a game at all when game theory does aim to describe behavior it often proceeds with a disturbingly low ratio of careful observation to theorizing this paper describes an approach called behavioral game theory which aims to describe actual behavior is driven by empirical observation mostly experiments and charts a middle course between over rational equilibrium analyses and under rational adaptive analyses the recipe for behavioral game theory i will describe has three steps start with a game or naturally occurring situation in which standard game theory makes a bold prediction based on one or two crucial principles if behavior differs from interested readers familiar with game theory should read crawford 1997 whose approach is more eclectic than mine he concludes p 236 that most strategic behavior can be understood via a synthesis that combines elements from each of the leading theoretical frameworks traditional game theory evolutionary game theory and adaptive learning with a modicum of empirical information about behavior behavioral game theory adds psychological interpretations to this synthesis

an examination of the equilibrium specification and structure of production for canadian telecommunications multiple output models of canadian telecommunications production are estimated under different production equilibria a specification test is conducted between the short and long run equilibrium models and the long run equilibrium is rejected in order to capture the nature of the disequilibrium a dynamic cost of adjustment model is estimated for bell canada there are significant adjustment costs and it is estimated that for 1 00 of marginal capital costs the carrier must incur an additional cost of 0 30 to install the new capital into the production process

cost structure and productivity growth in european railway systems the purpose of this paper is threefold first to empirically investigate the coststructure of the railway systems in ten european countries belgium denmark france germany greece italy luxembourg the netherlands portugal and the united kingdom of the european union second to provide measures of economies diseconomies of scale and fully investigate the manner by which economies of scale have affected the cost structure of the system and have been affected by the growth in input prices and technology and third to measure economic efficiency and identify its sources in achieving this purpose the translog technology has been used and the translog model was estimated using time series data covering the period 1969 1993 zellner s iterative method was used in estimating the translog model

economies of scale in the korean district heating system a variable cost function approach this paper aims to investigate the cost efficiency of south korea s district heating dh system by using a variable cost function and cost share equation we employ a seemingly unrelated regression model with quarterly time series data from the korea district heating corporation kdhc a public utility that covers about 59 of the dh system market in south korea over the 1987 2011 period the explanatory variables are price of labor price of material capital cost and production level the results indicate that economies of scale are present and statistically significant thus expansion of its dh business would allow kdhc to obtain substantial economies of scale according to our forecasts vis a vis scale economies the kdhc will enjoy cost efficiency for some time yet to ensure a socially efficient supply of dh it is recommended that the kdhc expand its business proactively with regard to informing policy or regulations our empirical results could play a significant role in decision making processes

productivity growth and incentive regulation in austria s gas distribution abstract the projected rate of productivity growth is the critical determinant of the price cap in incentive regulation however the regulatory authorities generally lack sophisticated industry tfp studies to set an optimal cap we thus estimate productivity growth in the austrian gas distribution sector in a translog cost function framework a key feature is our unique panel database on costs and outputs of regulated utilities for the period 2002 2013 covering six years prior and during incentive regulation as introduced in 2008 we find a modest tfp growth rate in the early sample years followed by a decline to zero or even slightly negative rates in recent years we also find a significant potential for returns to scale which is left unexploited indicating that utilities could significantly save on costs by merging as essential investments have already been undertaken in the past opportunities for technological progress seem to be limited in recent years

on the measurement of capacity utilization capacity utilization is usually defined as the ratio of actual output to the output corresponding to 1 the minimum point on the short run average total cost curve and 2 the point of tangency between the long run average total cost and short run average total cost curves in practice however capacity utilization is often measured as the ratio of actual to the maximum potential output consistent with a given capital stock this paper demonstrates how to estimate the theoretical measures of capacity utilization and examines the correlation between three measures of capacity utilization and the mcgraw hill estimates of capacity utilization using data from a sample of u s privately owned electric utilities for 1961 83 copyright 1989 by blackwell publishing ltd

credibly identifying social effects accounting for network formation and measurement error understanding whether and how connections between agents networks such as declared friendships in classrooms transactions between firms and extended family connections influence their socio economic outcomes has been a growing area of research within economics early methods developed to identify these social effects assumed that networks had formed exogenously and were perfectly observed both of which are unlikely to hold in practice a more recent literature both within economics and in other disciplines develops methods that relax these assumptions this paper reviews that literature it starts by providing a general econometric framework for linear models of social effects and illustrates how network endogeneity and missing data on the network complicate identification of social effects thereafter it discusses methods for overcoming the problems caused by endogenous formation of networks finally it outlines the stark consequences of missing data on measures of the network and regression parameters before describing potential solutions

peers at work we study peer effects in the workplace specifically we investigate whether how and why the productivity of a worker depends on the productivity of coworkers in the same team using high frequency data on worker productivity from a large supermarket chain we find strong evidence of positive productiv ity spillovers from the introduction of highly productive personnel into a shift worker effort is positively related to the productivity of workers who see him but not workers who do not see him additionally workers respond more to the presence of coworkers with whom they frequently interact we conclude that social pressure can partially internalize free riding externalities that are built into many workplaces jel j24 l81 m54

efficiency and performance in gas distribution evidence from brazil this article analyses the current state of the gas distribution industry in brazil by identifying the main factors that determine its efficiency in order to test the performance of the industry we have calculated the firms technical efficiency during the period 2001 2009 we analyse whether some economic and technological factors as consumer density load factor or regulation among others have affected the performance of this industry we show that companies serving markets with different customer characteristics diversification have reached higher levels of efficiency and evolved faster moreover the private ownership and price cap regulation are more efficient in relation to public ownership and cost of service regulation these findings are important to support the improvement of the regulation of gas distribution in the brazilian states

peer effects and social networks in education this paper studies whether structural properties of friendship networks affect individual outcomes in education we first develop a model that shows that at the nash equilibrium the outcome of each individual embedded in a network is proportional to her katz bonacich centrality measure this measure takes into account both direct and indirect friends of each individual but puts less weight to her distant friends we then bring the model to the data by using a very detailed dataset of adolescent friendship networks we show that after controlling for observable individual characteristics and unobservable network specific factors the individual s position in a network as measured by her katz bonacich centrality is a key determinant of her level of activity a standard deviation increase in the katz bonacich centrality increases the pupil school performance by more than 7 percent of one standard deviation

crime and social interactions the high variance of crime rates across time and space is one of the oldest puzzles in the social sciences this variance appears too high to be explained by changes in the exogenous costs and benefits of crime we present a model where social interactions create enough covariance across individuals to explain the high cross city variance of crime rates this model provides an index of social interactions which suggests that the amount of social interactions is highest in petty crimes moderate in more serious crimes and almost negligible in murder and rape

on the evolution of attitudes towards risk in winner take all games abstract a long standing conjecture is that winner take all games such as patent races lead to the survival of risk takers and the extinction of risk averters in many species a winner take all game determines the males right to reproduce and the same argument suggests that males will evolve to be risk takers psychological and sociological evidence buttresses the argument that males are more risk taking than females using an evolutionary model of preference formation we investigate to what extent evolution leads to risk taking in winner take all environments journal of economic literature classification numbers c7 d8

productivity change technical progress and relative efficiency change in the public accounting industry we present evidence on components of productivity change in the public accounting industry toward the end of the 20th century using revenue and human resource data from 64 of the 100 largest public accounting firms in the united states for the 1995 1999 period we analyze productivity change technical progress and relative efficiency change over time the average public accounting firm experienced a productivity growth of 9 5 between 1995 and 1999 we find support for the hypothesis that technical progress rather than an improvement in relative efficiency was the reason for this productivity growth firms that were early movers into management advisory services mas and those that emphasized growth in mas over growth in the traditional audit and tax services enjoyed significantly higher productivity growth than their peers these firms also contributed significantly more to the industry s technical progress

estimation of input distance functions a system approach this article offers a methodology to address the endogeneity of inputs in the input distance function idf formulation of the production processes we propose to tackle endogenous input ratios appearing in the normalized idf by considering a flexible simultaneous system of the idf and the first order conditions from the firm s cost minimization problem our model can accommodate both technical and input allocative inefficiencies amongst firms we also present the algorithm for quantifying the cost of allocative inefficiency we showcase our cost system based model by applying it to study the production of norwegian dairy farms during the 1991 2008 period among other things we find both an economically and statistically significant improvement in the levels of technical efficiency among dairy farms associated with the 1997 quota scheme change which a more conventional single equation stochastic frontier model appears to be unable to detect

are combination gas and electric utilities multiproduct natural monopolies gas and electric services are provided in some locations by a single firm in others by two firms the loss of competition inherent in single firm provision can be justified by the presence of both economies of scope and product specific economies of scale for each output in multiproduct production the estimation of a multiproduct hybrid translog cost function shows no evidence of such economies at the mean combination utility output vector copyright 1987 by mit press

kinship and financial networks formal financial access and risk reduction kinship networks are beneficial for smoothing consumption and investment but the channels are not well understood we study the financing devices used for consumption and investment by thai households households that are connected to banks achieve significantly better consumption smoothing than unconnected households indirect connections via inter household borrowing are as effective as direct borrowing investment appears to be facilitated by kinship households with kin in the village display reduced sensitivity of investment to income while connections to banks do not significantly reduce sensitivity kin may act as implicit collateral permitting borrowing that would violate repayment constraints in its absence

shadow economies size causes and consequences using various methods the size of the shadow economy in 76 developing transition and oecd countries is estimated average size varies from 12 percent of gdp for oecd countries to 23 percent for transition countries and 39 percent for developing countries increasing taxation and social security contributions combined with rising state regulations are driving forces for the increase of the shadow economy especially in oecd countries according to some findings corruption has a positive impact on the size of the shadow economy and a growing shadow economy has a negative effect on official gdp growth

does society benefit from investor overconfidence in the ability of financial market experts abstract this paper develops a securities market model in which participants beliefs diverge and prices are monotonic in beliefs relative to rational expectations i e correct and unanimous beliefs overconfidence among uninformed traders about the precision of experts information leads to pareto superior equilibria efficiency enhancing departures from rational expectations occur over a dense subset of parameter space but only for one configuration of beliefs uninformed traders must be more confident than informed experts overconfidence in the form of excessive trust in the predictive ability of experts sets off a virtuous cycle of increased trading that improves liquidity and reduces transaction costs for everyone

an econometric model of housing price permanent income tenure choice and housing demand abstract this paper addresses the determination of housing price permanent income tenure choice and housing demand full housing demand elasticities incorporate the interactive effects among the four stages of the model price and income have major effects in the tenure choice equation sociodemographic variables such as age have complex effects that may be lost in simpler forms of estimation

the illusion of sustainability this brief summarizes the results of a gender impact evaluation study entitled the illusion of sustainability conducted during the time period 1998 to 2001 in kenya the study observed that deworming is a public good since much of its social benefit comes through reduced disease transmission people were less likely to take deworming if their direct first order or indirect second order social contacts were exposed to deworming the introduction of a small fee for deworming drugs led to an 80 percent reduction in treatment rates take up was not sensitive to the exact price level suggesting that it is particularly counter productive to charge small positive prices for the treatment of infectious diseases an intensive school health education had no impact on worm prevention funding for the study derived from world bank nih fogarty international center berkeley center for health research

an analysis of cost efficiency in swiss multi utilities this study presents an empirical analysis of the cost efficiency of a sample of swiss multi utilities operating in the distribution of electricity natural gas and water the multi utilities that operate in different sectors are characterized by a strong unobserved heterogeneity therefore the measurement of their performance poses an important challenge for the regulators the purpose of this paper is to study the potential advantages of recently developed panel data stochastic frontier models in the measurement of the level of efficiency for multi utility companies these models are estimated for a sample of 34 multi output utilities operating from 1997 to 2005 the alternative models are compared regarding the cost function slopes and inefficiency estimates for the inefficiency estimates the correlation between different models and the effect of econometric specification have been analyzed the results suggest that the inefficiency estimates are substantially lower when the unobserved firm specific effects are taken into account

organised crime institutions and political quality empirical evidence from italian municipalities this article assesses how legal institutions affect the influence of politically active criminal organisations on the human capital of elected politicians using data from over 1 500 southern italian municipalities in the period 1985 2011 it exploits municipal government dissolutions imposed by the national government for presumed mafia infiltration as a source of exogenous variation in the presence of politically active criminal organisations the results support theoretical predictions that the average education level of local politicians significantly increases when active mafia infiltration of local politics is remedied through the implementation of a stricter legal institutional framework

a theory of yardstick competition in the typical regulatory scheme a franchised monopoly has little incentive to reduce costs this article proposes a mechanism in which the price the regulatedfirm receives depends on the costs of identical firms in equilibrium each firm chooses a socially efficient level of cost reduction the mechanism generalizes to cover heterogeneous firms with observable differences medicare s prospective reimbursement of hospitals by using diagnostically related groups is a scheme very similar to the one outlined here

scale economies and inefficiency of u s dairy farms this study employs data drawn from the 2000 agricultural resource management survey a u s department of agriculture sponsored farmers survey the article estimates returns to scale relationships across dairy farms of different sizes and across different regions incorporating variables hypothesized to influence farm performance results point to significant scale economies in u s dairy farms and underscore the importance of taking account of inefficiency when estimating scale economies contrary to previous research the preferred cost function specification does not show a region of decreasing returns to scale this finding helps explain why the average size of dairy farms has been increasing

cost efficiency of electric grid utilities in china a comparison of estimates from sfa mle sfa bayes and stoned cnls with the purpose of estimating the range of cost efficiency levels of the power grid sector in china we assembled a data set including 23 provincial power grid companies spanning from 2005 to 2009 and conducted an empirical study based on the sfa mle sfa bayes and stoned cnls methodologies empirical results show that the average values of efficiency from different models vary from 0 85 to 0 92 depending especially on the assumptions underlying inefficiency content further results demonstrate that there is exogenous technical progress during the sample period and per capita gdp of the province is negatively related to the costs of the electric grid company located in the corresponding province we hope this empirical study will contribute to the debate on an efficiency based regulation scheme which was introduced to the chinese electric grid sector on a pilot base in 2014

input substitution economies of scale and productivity growth in the us upholstered furniture industry cost factor demand and productivity growth are considered in the upholstered furniture industry over 1958 87 factors are divided into labour capital and materials it is found that all inputs are substitutes in production although substitution elasticities are small factor demand is price inelastic for all inputs the industry operates around minimum average cost productivity growth is small but significant the results indicate that labour will continue to be important in the industry however regional comparative advantage is not related to labour alone the results suggest that policies to attract or retain the industry must consider the low degree of factor substitution

network effects and welfare cultures we empirically examine the role of social networks in welfare participation using data on language spoken at home to better infer networks within an area our empirical strategy asks whether being surrounded by others who speak the same language increases welfare use more for those from high welfare using language groups this methodology allows us to include local area and language group fixed effects and to control for the direct effect of being surrounded by one s language group these controls eliminate many of the problems in previous studies the results strongly confirm the importance of networks in welfare participation

the role of information and social interactions in retirement plan decisions evidence from a randomized experiment this paper analyzes a randomized experiment to shed light on the role of information and social interactions in employees decisions to enroll in a tax deferred account tda retirement plan within a large university the experiment encouraged a random sample of employees in a subset of departments to attend a benee ts information fair organized by the university by promising a monetary reward for attendance the experiment multiplied by more than e ve the attendance rate of these treated individuals relative to controls and tripled that of untreated individuals within departments where some individuals were treated tda enrollment e ve and eleven months after the fair was signie cantly higher in departments where some individuals were treated than in departments where nobody was treated however the effect on tda enrollment is almost as large for individuals in treated departments who did not receive the encouragement as for those who did we provide three interpretations differential treatment effects social network effects and motivational reward effects to account for these results

trust and social collateral this paper builds a theory of trust based on informal contract enforcement in social networks in our model network connections between individuals can be used as social collateral to secure informal borrowing we define network based trust as the largest amount one agent can borrow from another agent and derive a reduced form expression for this quantity which we then use in three applications 1 we predict that dense networks generate bonding social capital that allows transacting valuable assets whereas loose networks create bridging social capital that improves access to cheap favors such as information 2 for job recommendation networks we show that strong ties between employers and trusted recommenders reduce asymmetric information about the quality of job candidates 3 using data from peru we show empirically that network based trust predicts informal borrowing and we structurally estimate and test our model

observed and unobserved heterogeneity in stochastic frontier models an application to the electricity distribution industry in this study we combine different possibilities to model firm level heterogeneity in stochastic frontier analysis we show that both observed and unobserved heterogeneities cause serious biases in inefficiency results modelling observed and unobserved heterogeneities treat individual firms in different ways and even though the expected mean inefficiency scores in both cases diminish the firm level efficiency rank orders turn out to be very different the best fit with the data is obtained by modelling unobserved heterogeneity through randomizing frontier parameters and at the same time explicitly modelling the observed heterogeneity into the inefficiency distribution these results are obtained by using data from finnish electricity distribution utilities and the results are relevant in relation to electricity distribution pricing and regulation

estimation of cost effectiveness of the finnish electricity distribution utilities abstract this paper examines the cost effectiveness of finnish electricity distribution utilities we estimate several panel data stochastic frontier specifications using both cobb douglas and translog model specifications the conventional models are extended in order to model observed heterogeneity explicitly in the cost frontier models the true fixed effects model has been used as a representative of the models which account for unobserved heterogeneity and extended conventional random effect models have been used in analysing the impact of observed heterogeneity a comparison between the conventional random effects model and models where heterogeneity component is entered either into the mean or into the variance of the inefficiency term shows that relative efficiency scores diminish when heterogeneity is added to the analysis the true fixed effects model on the other hand gives clearly smaller inefficiency scores than random effects models in the paper we also show that the relative inefficiency scores and rankings are not sensitive to the cost function specification our analysis points out the importance of the efficient use of the existing distribution network the economies of scale results suggest that firms could reduce their operating costs by using networks more efficiently according to our results average size firms which have high load factors are the most efficient ones all firms have unused capacities so that they can improve cost effectiveness rather by increasing the average distributed volumes than by mergers

the social organization of conspiracy illegal networks in the heavy electrical equipment industry we analyze the social organization of three well known price fixing conspiracies in the heavy electrical equipment industry although aspects of collusion have been studied by industrial organization economists and organizational criminologists the organization of conspiracies has remained virtually unexplored using archival data we reconstruct the actual communication networks involved in conspiracies in switchgear transformers and turbines we find that the structure of illegal networks is driven primarily by the need to maximize concealment rather than the need to maximize efficiency however network structure is also contingent on information processing requirements imposed by product and market characteristics our individual level model predicts verdict guilt or innocence sentence and fine as functions of personal centrality in the illegal network network structure management level and company size people of the same trade seldom meet together but the conversation ends in a conspiracy against the public or in some diversion to raise prices

family ties and socio economic outcomes in high vs low income countries abstractalesina and giuliano illustrate that strong family ties lead to lower geographical mobility and reduced labour force participation of young and female individuals we extend their analysis by arguing that the effect of strong family ties on economic outcomes depends on a country s level of economic and institutional development this cross country heterogeneity arises because strong family ties not only foster traditional family values which have disruptive effects on economic outcomes but also provide economically valuable social networks especially in societies characterised by weak institutions and limited market access empirical evidence using the european and world value surveys evs wvs are supportive of our theoretical argument

family networks and school enrolment evidence from a randomized social experiment we present evidence on whether and how a household s behavior is influenced by the presence and characteristics of its extended family using data from the progresa program in mexico we exploit information on the paternal and maternal surnames of heads and spouses in conjunction with the spanish naming convention to identify the inter and intra generational family links of each household to others in the same village we then exploit the randomized research design of the progresa evaluation data to identify whether the treatment effects of progresa transfers on secondary school enrolment vary according to the characteristics of extended family we find progresa only raises secondary enrolment among households that are embedded in a family network eligible but isolated households do not respond the mechanism through which the extended family influences household schooling choices is the redistribution of resources within the family network from eligibles that receive de facto unconditional cash transfers from progresa towards eligibles on the margin of enrolling children into secondary school

cost efficiency in the swiss gas distribution sector this paper studies the cost structure of gas distribution utilities in switzerland three stochastic frontier models are applied to a panel of 26 companies operating from 1996 to 2000 efficiency is assumed to be constant over time the analysis highlights the importance of output characteristics such as customer density and network size the results suggest that the utilities could slightly reduce their operating costs by improving efficiency there is no evidence of significant unexploited scale economies however our analysis indicates that the estimates of scale economies could be sensitive to the assumptions regarding the variation of output with output characteristics

a goal programming constrained regression review of the bell system breakup the recently implemented court decision to break up bell american telephone telegraph co to accord with u s anti trust laws represents a highly significant policy decision which is proving to be influential in other countries as well as the u s the telecommunication industry is of such size and importance that even relatively small economies that might be lost with bell s breakup as a natural monopoly could involve substantial welfare losses to consumers and producers studies commissioned by the u s justice department that approached this topic by econometric methods reported that the evidence failed to support the contention that bell was a natural monopoly here a goal programming constrained regression as developed in the management science literature uses the same functional form and the same data but nevertheless reverses the main findings of the econometric studies in every one of the 20 years covered this kind of difference in results obtained by two different methods of analysis poi

arrogance can be a virtue overconfidence information acquisition and market efficiency abstract in behavioral finance overconfidence has been established as a prevalent psychological bias which can make markets less efficient by creating mispricing in the form of excess volatility and return predictability in this paper we develop a model in which overconfidence causes investors to overinvest in information acquisition when this information could improve market efficiency by driving prices closer to true values we study the impact of overconfidence on mispricing and information acquisition comparing their net effect on prices we derive several novel implications first overconfidence generally improves market pricing provided the level of overconfidence is not too high pricing can also improve even when overconfidence is arbitrarily high depending on the amount of private information acquired relative to publicly available information

poor institutions rich mines resource curse in the origins of the sicilian mafia with weak law enforcement institutions a positive shock to the value of natural resources may increase demand for private protection and opportunities for rent appropriation through extortion favouring the emergence of mafia type organisations we test this hypothesis by investigating the emergence of the mafia in twentieth century sicily where a severe lack of state property rights enforcement coincided with a steep rise in international demand for sulphur sicily s most valuable export commodity using historical data on the early incidence of mafia activity and on the distribution of sulphur reserves we document that the mafia was more present in municipalities with greater sulphur availability

a general index of technical change this paper outlines a procedure for estimating a general index of technical change within the context of a quite general production technology specifically when panel data are available for firms in an industry time specific dummies can be combined in a nonlinear estimation procedure to yield a general index of technical change that may be both nonneutral and scale augmenting this approach offers numerous advantages over the traditional time trend representation of technical change for example the general index can serve as the basis for analysis of the determinants of technical change results for a sample of 30 electric utilities over the period 1951 78 show that the productivity decline of the 1970s can be attributed primarily to sulphur oxide restrictions and secularly declining capacity utilization due to rapidly increasing peak load demands

clean money dirty system connected landowners capture beneficial land rezoning we use a unique regulatory event that occurred in queensland australia from 2007 to 2012 to examine the predictive power of landowner relationship networks and lobbying behaviour on successfully gaining value enhancing rezoning a state authority the urban land development authority ulda took planning control away from local councils in selected areas in order to increase the speed and scale of development in those areas in the process increasing land values using micro level relationship data from multiple sources we compare the relationship network characteristics of landowners of comparable sites inside and outside the ulda areas finding that connected landowners owned 75 of land inside the rezoned areas and only 12 outside capturing 410 million in land value gains out of the total 710 million from rezoning we also find that engaging a professional lobbyist is a substitute for having one s own connections scaling up from our sample of six rezoned areas to the hundreds of rezoning decisions across queensland and australia in the last few decades suggests that many billions of dollars of economic rent are being regularly transferred from the general population to connected landowners through political rezoning decisions

how to organize crime in criminal organizations diffusing information widely throughout the organization might lead to greater internal efficiency in particular since these organizations are self sustaining through enhancing trust however this may come at the cost of leaving the organization more vulnerable to external threats such as law enforcement we consider the implications of this trade off and characterize the optimal information structure rationalizing both hierarchical structures and organization in cells then we focus on the role of the external authority characterize optimal detection strategies and discuss the implications of different forms of enforcement on the internal structure of the organization and policy finally we discuss a number of applications and extensions in this paper we study the interplay between trust within an illegal organization and its vulnerability to the authorities illegal organizations function more effectively when the people who constitute them trust each other we argue that information sharing is an important factor in building internal trust and cohesion but that can leave the organization vulnerable understanding how this trade off affects an organization s information structure and productivity can allow us to assess detection policies designed to destabilize such organizations since 9 11 the u s congress has passed a 400 billion annual budget for the war on terror new domestic institutions have been created or enhanced among many others the counterterrorism section at the u s department of justice s criminal division international intelligence cooperation has been strengthened and new protocols and controversial legal tools such as the patriot act have been developed however these new agencies and institutions face the same basic questions that have challenged the prosecutors fighting organized crime in italy south america and eastern asia as well as authorities fighting terrorism all over the world now and in the past how can we learn about the internal structure of criminal organizations how should we go about investigating a criminal organization in order to break its internal cohesion how does a criminal organization react to investigation policies we highlight the fact that simply understanding the information links within an organization gives us insight into addressing these questions the anecdotal evidence suggests that there is a wide heterogeneity across the information structures of different criminal organizations the most credited theory about the mafia developed in the early 1990 s has identified the so called cupola as the highest level of the organization supposedly consisting of agents who hold large amounts of information about the organization itself and carry out the enforcement needed for the organization to function 2 these crucial agents are shielded from the authorities since they are typically not directly involved in criminal activities this theory suggests a centralized information and enforcement structure 1 previous drafts have circulated under the titles power and organizational structure under an external threat

price cost margins exports and productivity growth with an application to canadian industries a model is estimated for oligopolistic industries producing multiple outputs in short run equilibrium outputs are sold domestically and exported while capital is treated as a quasi fixed factor the model is applied to the canadian non electrical machinery electrical products and chemical products industries the results show that there is significant oligopoly power in each of the industries and that the degree of this power differs between the domestic and export markets total factor productivity is decomposed price cost margins exert little influence but the rate of technological change returns to scale and the rate of capital adjustment determine productivity growth

the measurement and sources of technical inefficiency in the indonesian weaving industry production function models are estimated with a time series of cross section data on indonesian weaving establishments the sources of technical inefficiency are investigated three firm attributes are identified as being potentially related to firm efhciency tbey are firm ownership age and size the importance of these attributes as sources of inefficiency in the indonesian weaving industry is investigated and the implications of the find ings discussed

satisficing and un bounded rationality a formal definition and its experimental validity abstract based on exogenously given or idiosyncratically expected scenarios satisficing is formally defined and shown to include rationality as an unlikely border case our approach suggests new ways of defining risk attitudes and has been applied to risky choice problems and stochastic market games contrary to revealed preferences where one infers goals from observed choices the experimental tests do not only elicit choice behavior but also aspirations and if necessary idiosyncratic expectations

cost structure and capacity in the norwegian pelagic fisheries the parameters of the short run cost function are estimated for three vessel types taking part in the norwegian pelagic fisheries purse seine vessels trawlers and coastal vessels the generalized translog functional form is used estimates of returns to scale are calculated and the results indicate that there are substantial economies of scale in all vessel classes it is further investigated whether excess capacity varies with vessel size and age the analysis suggests increased quotas per vessel to avoid rent dissipation with the total allowable catch given the number of participating vessels must be reduced

networks in the modern economy mexican migrants in the u s labor market this paper attempts to identify job networks among mexican migrants in the u s labor market the empirical analysis uses data on migration patterns and labor market outcomes based on a sample of individuals belonging to multiple origin communities in mexico over a long period of time each community s network is measured by the proportion of the sampled individuals who are located at the destination the united states in any year we verify that the same individual is more likely to be employed and to hold a higher paying nonagricultural job when his network is exogenously larger by including individual fixed effects in the employment and occupation regressions and by using rainfall in the origin community as an instrument for the size of the network at the destination

substitution possibilities for unpriced natural resources restricted cost functions for the canadian metal mining industry a bstract the effects of resource depletion on economic growth depend critically on the elasticities of substitution between non renewable natural resources and reproducible inputs estimation of the elasticities of substitution for natural resources has been hindered by the absence of data on their prices which results from the prevalence of vertical integration in natural resource industries in this paper we use the theory of restricted cost functions to develop a general procedure for estimating substitution possibilities for unpriced inputs estimation of the model with data for the canadian metal mining industry indicates that the elasticities of substitution for the natural resource metallic ore are equal to unity

economic efficiency and frontier techniques abstract most of the literature related to the measurement of economic efficiency has based its analysis either on parametric or on non parametric frontier methods the choice of estimation method has been an issue of debate with some researchers preferring the parametric and others the non parametric approach the aim of this paper is to provide a critical and detailed review of both core frontier methods in our opinion no approach is strictly preferable to any other moreover a careful consideration of their main advantages and disadvantages of the data set utilized and of the intrinsic characteristics of the framework under analysis will help us in the correct implementation of these techniques recent developments in frontier techniques and economic efficiency measurement such as bayesian techniques bootstrapping duality theory and the analysis of sampling asymptotic properties are also considered in this paper

informed speculation with imperfect competition competitive rational expectations models have the unsatisfactory property dubbed the schizophrenia problem by hellwig that each trader takes the equilibrium price as given despite the fact that he influences that price an examination of information aggregation in a non competitive rational expectations model using a nash equilibrium in demand functions shows that the schizophrenia problem is avoided by having each trader take into account the effect his demand has on the equilibrium price given a distribution of private information across traders prices reveal less information than in the competition equilibrium and prices no longer become fully informative in the limit as noise trading vanishes or as traders become risk neutral with small traders the model may become one of monopolistic competition not perfect competition in contrast to the competitive model a reasonable model of endogenous acquisition of costly private information is obtained even when traders are risk neutral

the impact of environmental regulations on industry productivity direct and indirect effects abstract the paper develops an approach to measuring the impact of environmental regulations on total factor productivity growth which is less restrictive than a simple growth accounting approach environmental regulations have a direct impact on productivity growth due to the diversion of resources toward required abatement capital there can be a further indirect effect however as conventional inputs and production processes are changed in response to requirements to purchase abatement capital we estimate this indirect effect using a flexible functional form cost function total factor productivity and the direct and indirect productivity effects of environmental regulations are presented for five polluting industries we find that the indirect effect can be either positive or negative and in all industries is energy using the net impact of environmental regulations on total factor productivity growth is fairly small given that these are the most polluting industries they account for about 10 30 of the productivity decline of the 1970s in these industries

capacity utilization and its determinants for a container shipping line theory and evidence under utilization of fleet capacity appears to be a long lasting issue in the container shipping industry also there are some difficulties unsolved while measuring the ratio of capacity utilization cu of a container shipping line from the perspective of an engineering approach the slots capacity installed is the most popular way to represent the capacity output since the slots capacity installed lacks theoretical support this study adopts an economics model to find the capacity output of a shipping line further the derived cu ratio identifies the realized utilization of fleet capacity for a shipping line focused on the three largest container shipping lines in taiwan this article shows that their fleet capacity are totally under utilized and the movement patterns of cu ratios are approximately identical in addition the variations of cu ratios also suggest that the enactment of ocean shipping reform act has contributed a positive effect on the capacity utilization of a container shipping line