optimal interest rate rules asset prices and credit frictions we study optimal taylor type interest rate rules in an economy with credit market imperfections our analysis builds on the agency cost framework of carlstrom and fuerst 1997 agency costs net worth and business fluctuations a computable general equilibrium analysis american economic review 87 893 910 which we extend in two directions first we embed monopolistic competition and sticky prices second we modify the stochastic structure of the model in order to generate a countercyclical premium on external finance this is achieved by linking the mean distribution of investment opportunities faced by entrepreneurs to aggregate total factor productivity we model monetary policy in terms of simple welfare maximizing interest rate rules we find that monetary policy should respond to increases in asset prices by lowering interest rates however when monetary policy responds strongly to inflation the marginal welfare gain of responding to asset prices vanishes within the class of linear interest rate rules that we analyze a strong anti inflationary stance always attains the highest level of welfare

restriction of variance interaction effects and their importance for international business research a recent journal of international business studies editorial on interaction effects within and across levels highlighted the importance of and difficulty associated with justifying and reporting of such interaction effects the purpose of this editorial is to describe a type of interaction hypothesis that is very common in international business ib research the restricted variance rv hypothesis specifically we describe the nature of an rv interaction and its evidentiary requirements we also offer several ib examples involving interactions that could have been supported with rv arguments our hope is that ib researchers can use this paper to bolster their arguments for interaction hypotheses by explaining them in terms of rv

money interest rates and exchange rates with endogenously segmented markets we analyze the effects of money injections on interest rates and exchange rates when agents must pay a baumol tobin style fixed cost to exchange bonds and money asset markets are endogenously segmented because this fixed cost leads agents to trade bonds and money infrequently when the government injects money through an open market operation only those agents that are currently trading absorb these injections through their impact on these agents consumption these money injections affect real interest rates and real exchange rates the model generates the observed negative relation between expected inflation and real interest rates as well as persistent liquidity effects in interest rates and volatile and persistent exchange rates

the international penetration of ibusiness firms network effects liabilities of outsidership and country clout the burgeoning of ibusiness firms in the modern digital economy challenges the received internationalization theory given that ibusinesses such as social networking sites create value by providing a digital platform for users to interact with one another we employ a user network perspective and externalization logic suggesting that ibusinesses internationalization process depends critically on users collective interactions instead of being solely driven by firms market commitments as noted by the uppsala model however ibusinesses may suffer from liabilities of outsidership due to the boundedness of international network effects drawing on social network theory we demonstrate that such liabilities can be mitigated by first diffusing the ibusiness platform in countries with higher clout our analysis using a unique dataset of mobile ibusiness platforms finds empirical support for the hypotheses we discuss theoretical implications for the network approach of the uppsala model in the digital era

different shades of green global oil and gas companies and renewable energy abstract the long term energy transition from fossil fuels to renewable energy raises critical questions about the future of oil and gas firms this study asks why some oil and gas firms are committed to renewable energy while others continue to maintain a distinct fossil fuels focus with little or no investment in renewable energy the analysis reveals that there is a wide range in the degree to which oil and gas firms have invested in renewable energy some firms have no investments and others have investments in multiple renewable energy technologies across many countries we examine a combination of country based institutional factors and firm based knowledge and experience factors that could impact oil and gas firms decisions to invest in renewable energy activity regulative and normative pressures impacted renewable energy investments as did environmental citizenship and the degree of internationalization the study s integration of country level factors with firm level experiences provides insights into how firms are dealing with the energy transition by examining areas such as sustainability and regulatory policy the paper sheds light on the ways in which scholars can tap into measures and methods that can extend traditional ib research

vertical externalities in cigarette taxation do tax revenues go up in smoke abstract in federal systems where tax bases are joint property the tax policy of one level of government affects the tax base of the other this paper examines the interdependence of us federal and state cigarette tax rates our results suggest that states may reduce their cigarette tax rate by as much as 48 cents per dollar increase in the federal tax rate thus a federal tax hike may reduce the amount of generated state tax revenues both directly the overall tax rate rises and the state tax base declines and indirectly the state tax rate declines

monetary policy and exchange rate volatility in a small open economy we lay out a small open economy version of the calvo sticky price model and show how the equilibrium dynamics can be reduced to a simple representation in domestic inflation and the output gap we use the resulting framework to analyse the macroeconomic implications of three alternative rulebased policy regimes for the small open economy domestic inflation and cpi based taylor rules and an exchange rate peg we show that a key difference among these regimes lies in the relative amount of exchange rate volatility that they entail we also discuss a special case for which domestic inflation targeting constitutes the optimal policy and where a simple second order approximation to the utility of the representative consumer can be derived and used to evaluate the welfare losses associated with the suboptimal rules

stock market conditions and monetary policy in a dsge model for the u s abstract this paper investigates the interactions between stock market fluctuations and monetary policy within a dsge model for the u s economy first we design a framework in which fluctuations in households financial wealth are allowed but not necessarily required to exert an impact on current consumption this is due to the interaction in the financial markets of long time traders holding wealth accumulated over time with newcomers holding no wealth at all importantly we introduce nominal wage stickiness to induce pro cyclicality in real dividends additional nominal and real frictions are modeled to capture the pervasive macroeconomic persistence of the observables employed to estimate our model we fit our model to post wwii u s data and report three main results first the data strongly support a significant role of stock prices in affecting real activity and the business cycle second our estimates also identify a significant and counteractive response of the fed to stock price fluctuations third we derive from our model a microfounded measure of financial slack the stock price gap which we then contrast to alternative ones currently used in empirical studies to assess the properties of the latter to capture the dynamic and cyclical implications of our dsge model the behavior of our stock price gap is consistent with the episodes of stock market booms and busts occurred in the post wwii as reported by independent analyses and closely correlates with the current financial meltdown typically employed proxies of financial slack such as detrended log indexes or growth rates show limited capabilities of capturing the implications of our model consistent index of financial stress cyclical properties of the model as well as counterfactuals regarding shocks to our measure of financial slackness and monetary policy shocks are also proposed

openness imperfect exchange rate pass through and monetary policy abstract this paper analyses the implications of imperfect exchange rate pass through for optimal monetary policy in a linearised open economy dynamic general equilibrium model calibrated to euro area data imperfect exchange rate pass through is modelled by assuming sticky import price behaviour the degree of domestic and import price stickiness is estimated by reproducing the empirical identified impulse response of a monetary policy and exchange rate shock conditional on the response of output net trade and the exchange rate it is shown that a central bank that wants to minimise the resource costs of staggered price setting will aim at minimising a weighted average of domestic and import price inflation

effects of local legitimacy on certification decisions to global and national csr standards by multinational subsidiaries and domestic firms we explore the impact of local legitimacy on the imitation of certification by subsidiaries of foreign multinational enterprises and domestic firms we propose that mne multinational enterprise subsidiaries and domestic firms differ in their propensity to imitate geographically proximate firms when deciding whether to adopt national vs global csr corporate social responsibility certifications for two reasons first there are differences in the legitimacy they can expect to gain in different communities from adopting these certifications second there are differences in their knowledge about the local legitimacy of these certifications we test our hypotheses by studying the decisions of automotive suppliers in mexico to certify either to iso 14001 a global certification or to clean industry a national certification we find that geography matters mne subsidiaries imitate national certifications by geographically proximate firms to overcome a liability of foreignness while domestic firms imitate global certifications by proximate firms to overcome the disadvantages of localness we explore the implications of our findings for institutional theory and future research

optimal monetary policy and financial stability in a non ricardian economy this paper develops a model with discontinuous asset market participation in which all agents are infinitely lived and non ricardian and where heterogeneity among market participants implies financial wealth effects on aggregate consumption derivation of a welfare based loss function shows that financial stability arises as an additional and independent target besides infl ation and output stability evaluation of optimal policy under discretion and commitment reveals that price stability may no longer be optimal even absent inefficient supply shocks some fluctuations in output and infl ation are optimal as long as they reduce financial instability ignoring the heterogeneity among market participants in this economy may lead monetary policy to induce substantially higher welfare losses

the power of forward guidance revisited in recent years central banks have increasingly turned to forward guidance as a central tool of monetary policy especially as interest rates around the world have hit the zero lower bound standard monetary models imply that far future forward guidance is extremely powerful promises about far future interest rates have huge effects on current economic outcomes and these effects grow with the horizon of the forward guidance we show that the power of forward guidance is highly sensitive to the assumption of complete markets if agents face uninsurable income risk and borrowing constraints a precautionary savings effect tempers their responses to changes in future interest rates as a consequence forward guidance has substantially less power to stimulate the economy in addition we show that the business cycle dynamics of our incomplete markets model differ substantially from its complete market counterpart this contrasts with the well known results of krusell and smith 1998 we present approximate representations that can easily be incorporated into standard business cycle models

interest rates and inflation a consensus has emerged among practitioners that the instrument of monetary policy ought to be the short term interest rate that policy should be focused on the control of inflation and that inflation can be reduced by increasing short term interest rates at the center of this consensus is a rejection of the quantity theory such a rejection is a difficult step to take given the mass of evidence linking money growth inflation and interest rates increases in average rates of money growth are associated with equal increases in average inflation rates and interest rates these observations need not rule out a constructive role for the use of short term interest rates as a monetary instrument one possibility is that increasing short term rates in the face of increases in inflation is just an indirect way of reducing money growth sell bonds and take money out of the system another possibility is that while control of monetary aggregates is the key to low long run average inflation rates an interest rate policy can improve the short run behavior of interest rates and prices the shortrun connections among money growth inflation and interest rates are very unreliable so there is much room for improvement these possibilities are surely worth exploring but doing so requires new theory the analysis needed to reconcile interest rate policies with the evidence on which the quantity theory of money is grounded cannot be found in old textbook diagrams

the new open economy macroeconomics of government debt in this paper we introduce an overlapping generations structure of the blanchard type in a new open economy macroeconomics model this allows us to study a wider range ofscal shocks compared to the traditional mundell fleming and to the baseline redux models one important policy implication of our model is that the tax cut imple mented in the us in 2001 might have contributed to the appreciation of the dollar vis a vis the euro in contrast the imposition ofscal constraint such as the golden rule proposed by the uk government can have opposite exchange rate e ects

explaining interaction effects within and across levels of analysis many manuscripts submitted to the journal of international business studies propose an interaction effect in their models in an effort to explain the complexity and contingency of relationships across borders in this article we provide guidance on how best to explain the interaction effects theoretically within and across levels of analysis first in the case of interactions within the same level of analysis we suggest that authors provide an explanation of the mechanisms that link the main independent variable to the dependent variable and then explain how the interaction variable modifies these mechanisms moreover to ensure that the arguments are theoretically complete we suggest that authors theoretically rule out the potential reverse interaction effect between the main variable and moderating variable second in the case of interactions across levels of analysis we suggest that authors identify the cross level nature of the moderating relationships specify the level of analysis of the main relationship and the nested nature of the cross level influences and theoretically explain these cross level influences additionally we suggest that authors pay particular attention to nesting in order to theoretically rule out reverse interactions

learning monetary policy and asset prices this working paper should not be reported as representing the view s of the imf the views expressed in this working paper are those of the author s and do not necessarily represent those of the imf or imf policy working papers describe research in progress by the author s and are published to elicit comments and to further debate

substitutes or complements a configurational examination of corporate governance mechanisms we conduct an exploratory qualitative comparative case analysis of the s p 1500 firms with the aim of elaborating theory on how corporate governance mechanisms work together effectively to do so we integrate extant theory and research to specify the bundle of mechanisms that operate to mitigate the agency problem among publicly traded corporations and review what previous research has said about how these mechanisms combine we then use the fuzzy set approach to qualitative comparitive analysis qca to explore the combinations of governance mechanisms that exist among the s p 1500 firms that achieve high and not high profitability our findings suggest that high profits result when ceo incentive alignment and monitoring mechanisms work together as complements rather than as substitutes furthermore they show that high profits are obtained when both internal and external monitoring mechanisms are present at the same time however monitoring mechanisms evidently combine in complex ways such that the

the credibility revolution in empirical economics how better research design is taking the con out of econometrics since edward leamer s memorable 1983 paper let s take the con out of econometrics empirical microeconomics has experienced a credibility revolution while leamer s suggested remedy sensitivity analysis has played a role in this we argue that the primary engine driving improvement has been a focus on the quality of empirical research designs the advantages of a good research design are perhaps most easily apparent in research using random assignment we begin with an overview of leamer s 1983 critique and his proposed remedies we then turn to the key factors we see contributing to improved empirical work including the availability of more and better data along with advances in theoretical econometric understanding but especially the fact that research design has moved front and center in much of empirical micro we offer a brief digression into macroeconomics and industrial organization where progress by our lights is less dramatic although there is work in both fields that we find encouraging finally we discuss the view that the design pendulum has swung too far critics of design driven studies argue that in pursuit of clean and credible research designs researchers seek good answers instead of good questions we briefly respond to this concern which worries us little

the tortuous evolution of the role of culture in ib research what we know what we don t know and where we are headed this paper takes stock of the literature on culture in international business by looking back in terms of evaluating what we know and what we do not know and looking forward by identifying emerging trends and outlining avenues for future research unresolved issues gaps and limitations include 1 narrow conceptualization of culture and fragmented approach to the study of culture 2 failure to adopt a multilevel approach and insufficient attention to level of analysis 3 insufficient attention to context and process 4 failure to adopt a more dynamic view of culture 5 tendency to equate country with culture and failure to explore other national differentiators and 6 western centric approach to the study of culture suggestions on redressing the unresolved issues include 1 broadening the definition of culture and transcending the values based approach to include schemas norms and memes 2 paying more attention to process context by exploring the situation dependent and dynamic nature of culture and 3 entertaining alternative research designs methods such as emic approaches qualitative methods experimental designs neuroscience based methods and replication studies while these may represent a major departure from methodologies popular in our field their use can hopefully help us overcome the fragmented discipline based approach which has contributed to the persistent problems that have plagued the study of culture in ib in the past

fifty years of methodological trends in jibs why future ib research needs more triangulation we analyze methodological trends in empirical research in jibs from 1970 2019 our results point to the prevalence of the following patterns there has been an increase in the use of 1 large scale longitudinal cross national datasets 2 complex analytical techniques including the incorporation of multiple analytical techniques within the same study but 3 a decline in the diversity of methods in use we relate these trends to the underlying social technical and communicative conventions in the journal during the 50 year period the observed patterns are consistent with theory that posits scientific fields entrench a dominant paradigm over time resulting in a restricted set of methodological options being selected such restrictions jeopardize the quality of research because the study of any phenomenon requires the use of multiple methodological procedures to avoid the systematic biases errors omissions and limitations introduced by any single option therefore we propose the use of triangulation as a strategy for building methodological alternatives into research designs institutionalization of this principle in the field of international business has the potential to enhance both the rigor and scope of inquiry of future research

formal and informal institutional legacies and inward foreign direct investment into firms evidence from china this paper explores the influence of informal institutional legacy on contemporary foreign direct investment fdi this study is situated in the context of china s treaty port era 1842 1943 hypotheses are posited and tested related to how the treaty port policies and overseas chinese communities of cities established during that period created formal and informal institutional legacies that positively influence the likelihood and volume of contemporary inward fdi firms receive this research suggests that despite and because of the cultural revolution s traumatic shock informal institutions helped formal institutions morph into informal rules and thus created a lingering legacy effect drawing on a longitudinal sample of chinese firms data and historical materials that provide information about treaty ports and overseas chinese communities this study finds supporting evidence that informal institutional legacy is important for contemporary fdi and brings history back into the international business literature this study provides practical implications by suggesting that given the increasing turbulence and uncertainties in emerging markets and transnational economies building and maintaining connections with transnational community actors of these countries could take advantage of the informal institutions to mitigate risks and sustain international business activities international investors could also benefit by investing in locales with rich transnational community connections

a new approach to data access and research transparency dart recent debates on transparency and replicability suggest that jibs needs to update its approach on data access and research transparency dart we propose a series of initiatives knowing well that there is a balance to be struck there are clear benefits on the one hand chief among these the potential for learning and knowledge accumulation and equally manifest challenges on the other the imperative to respect privacy confidentiality and intellectual property rights without addressing these challenges will there be the high quality data on which the benefits depend we present access and transparency objectives and set out how an actionable and effective approach towards dart will be implemented but also address ethical legal and organizational challenges of concern to us as a scholarly community

unraveling the mne wage premium whereas ib has extensively studied mnes generic positive impact on host economies but rarely on employee wages economics research has only shown an overall mne wage premium we unravel this premium considering multiple levels of analysis and accounting for host country contextual contingencies to unveil mnes different positive or negative distributional effects using unique micro level data from over 40 000 employees in 13 countries we examine mnes distributional effects for employees gender experience and immigrant status the influence of host country property rights protection and labor regulation and interplays with region and industry effects mnes distributional effects show marked differences that largely depend on the host country context and that are positive for experienced and foreign born employees in developed countries but negative for females working in developing countries whereas in developed countries the gender wage gap is smaller in mnes than in domestic firms as hypothesized we find evidence of a larger wage gap in developing countries the analysis also reveals that the higher host countries level of property rights protection the lower the mne wage premium our study points at the need to reassess statements about the generic positive impact of mnes in host countries particularly in developing countries and discusses further research implications

inflation targeting some extensions previous analyses of the implementation of inflation targeting are extended to monetary policy responses to different shocks consequences of model uncertainty and effects of interest rate smoothing and stabilization model uncertainty output stabilization and interest rate stabilization or smoothing all call for a more gradual adjustment of the conditional inflation forecast toward the inflation target the conditional inflation forecast is the natural intermediate target during inflation targeting the optimal way of reacting to shocks is hence to check how they affect the inflation forecast and then take the appropriate action jel classification e42 e52 e58

optimal monetary policy with capital and a financial accelerator abstract whether there is a trade off between price and financial stability is an open question this paper characterises optimal monetary policy analytically in a new keynesian economy with capital and a financial accelerator in addition to stabilising inflation there is an incentive to smooth volatility in the net worth of borrowers and this presents a trade off for monetary policy this trade off can be eliminated if policymakers can additionally choose an optimal transfer to borrowers enriching the model with fire sales and countercyclical bankruptcy costs there is also an incentive to smooth volatility in default and the capital stock an optimal transfer to borrowers is not sufficient to eliminate the trade off in that case with fewer instruments than targets optimal transfers are state contingent and countercyclical while monetary policy stabilises inflation

are all economic facts greatly exaggerated theory competition and selectivity there is growing concern and mounting evidence of selectivity in empirical economics most empirical economic literatures have a truncated distribution of results the aim of this paper is to explore the link between publication selectivity and theory contests this link is confirmed through the analysis of 87 distinct empirical economics literatures involving more than three and a half thousand separate empirical studies using objective measures of both selectivity and contests our meta meta analysis shows that publication selection is widespread but not universal it distorts scientific inference with potentially adverse effects on policy making but competition and debate between rival theories reduces this selectivity and thereby improves economic inference

does social trust affect international contracting evidence from foreign bond covenants abstract building on rational choice institutionalism theory and williamson s j econ lit 38 3 595 613 2000 four level social analysis framework we investigate the influence of the informal institution of social trust on debt contract design in an international setting using a sample of non u s firms that issue bonds in the u s debt market we find that yankee bond creditors impose fewer covenants on bond issuers domiciled in countries with a high degree of social trust we further show that the inverse relationship between debt covenants and the informal institution of social trust is more pronounced for firms from countries with weak formal institutions as well as for firms with poor corporate governance and greater information opacity these findings are robust to endogeneity tests within country analysis various empirical models and measures of trust and alternative hypotheses we also show that while a lower level of informal social trust is associated with higher borrowing costs this relationship weakens when formal covenants are added to the debt contract i e a substitution effect our paper contributes to the international business literature by providing new insights into the role of informal institutions social trust in cross border debt contracting

should central banks respond to movements in asset prices in recent decades asset booms and busts have been important factors in macroeconomic fluctuations in both industrial and developing countries in light of this experience how if at all should central bankers respond to asset price volatility we have addressed this issue in previous work bernanke and gertler 1999 the context of our earlier study was the relatively new but increasingly popular monetary policy framework known as inflation targeting see e g bernanke and frederic mishkin 1997 in an inflation targeting framework publicly announced medium term inflation targets provide a nominal anchor for monetary policy while allowing the central bank some flexibility to help stabilize the real economy in the short run the inflation targeting approach gives a specific answer to the question of how central bankers should respond to asset prices changes in asset prices should affect monetary policy only to the extent that they affect the central bank s forecast of inflation to a first approximation once the predictive content of asset prices for inflation has been accounted for there should be no additional response of monetary policy to assetprice fluctuations in use now for about a decade inflationtargeting has generally performed well in practice however so far this approach has not often been stress tested by large swings in asset prices our earlier research employed simulations of a small calibrated macroeconomic model to examine how an inflation targeting policy defined as one in which the central bank s instrument interest rate responds primarily to changes in expected inflation might fare in the face of a boom and bust cycle in asset prices we found that an aggressive inflationtargeting policy rule in our simulations one in which the coefficient relating the instrument interest rate to expected inflation is 2 0 substantially stabilizes both output and inflation in scenarios in which a bubble in stock prices develops and then collapses as well as in scenarios in which technology shocks drive stock prices intuitively inflation targeting central banks automatically accommodate productivity gains that lift stock prices while offsetting purely speculative increases or decreases in stock values whose primary effects are through aggregate demand conditional on a strong policy response to expected inflation we found little if any additional gains from allowing an independent response of central bank policy to the level of asset prices in our view there are good reasons outside of our formal model to worry about attempts by central banks to influence asset prices including the fact that as history has shown the effects of such attempts on market psychology are dangerously unpredictable hence we concluded that inflationtargeting central banks need not respond to asset prices except insofar as they affect the inflation forecast in the spirit of recent work on robust control the exercises in our earlier paper analyzed the performance of policy rules in worst case discussants robert shiller yale university glenn rudebusch federal reserve bank of san francisco kenneth rogoff harvard university

the standard error of regressions statistical significance as used in economics has weak theoretical justification in particular it merges statistical and substantive significance the 182 papers using regression analysis in the american economic review in the 1980s were tested against 19 criteria for the accepted use of statistical significance most some three quarters of the papers did poorly likewise textbooks in econometrics do not distinguish statistical and economic significance statistical significance should not be the focus of empirical economics

chinese multinationals fast internationalization financial performance advantage in one region disadvantage in another our study reveals the financial performance implications of the speed at which chinese multinational enterprises cmnes expand into intra regional versus inter regional host countries in doing so we propose a framework that integrates internationalization speed and home regionalization literatures using data from 767 publicly listed cmnes from the years 2002 to 2014 we discover that the faster the intra regional internationalization the better the firm s financial performance whereas faster inter regional internationalization demonstrates a poorer financial performance we also find that fast mover cmnes technological and marketing resources are valuable in intra regional host countries but vulnerable in inter regional host countries we discuss the implications of these findings for studies of the uppsala internationalization process model and regional mnes

a structural decomposition of the u s trade balance productivity demographics and fiscal policy abstract the us external deficits have been the most striking manifestation of global imbalances this paper investigates the contribution of productivity growth demographics and fiscal policy in accounting for the evolution of the us external imbalances against industrialized countries during the last three decades productivity growth plays a dominant role demographics explain a non negligible and nearly permanent component of the us trade deficit furthermore the international demographic transition is crucial for large us external imbalances to be consistent with the persistent decline of world real interest rates observed in the data fiscal policy is of minor importance

asset market participation monetary policy rules and the great inflation this paper argues that limited asset market participation is crucial in explaining u s macroeconomic performance and monetary policy before the 1980s and their changes thereafter in an otherwise conventional sticky price model standard aggregate demand logic is inverted at low enough asset market participation interest rate increases become expansionary passive monetary policy ensures equilibrium determinacy and maximizes welfare this suggests that federal reserve policy in the pre volcker era was better than conventional wisdom implies we provide empirical evidence consistent with this hypothesis and study the relative merits of changes in structure and shocks for reproducing the conquest of the great inflation and the great moderation

integration oriented strategies host market corruption and the likelihood of foreign subsidiary exit from emerging markets extant research has found that more pronounced levels of corruption in foreign host emerging markets increase the likelihood that subsidiaries established by multinational enterprises mnes from developed countries will exit we synthesize insights from the organizational perspective of corruption and the integration responsiveness paradigm to propose that integration oriented strategies will weaken the positive relationship between corruption and the likelihood of exit at high levels of host market corruption we develop and test hypotheses pertaining to the main effect of corruption on the likelihood of subsidiary exit as well as the moderating impacts of a firm s equity ownership strategy and its expatriate staffing strategy upon this relationship we theorize that uncertainty operates as the mechanism that underpins the corruption market exit relationship and that an mne s strategic choices with respect to its subsidiary investments contribute to reducing this uncertainty we find that an increase in the foreign investing mne s equity ownership share negatively moderates the positive relationship between corruption and the likelihood that foreign subsidiaries established by developed market mnes will exit host emerging markets when corruption is high however the marginal effects results do not support the expatriate staffing strategy hypothesis our work provides guidance to developed country mnes that seek insights with respect to the utility of strategies that might be implemented in host emerging markets characterized by more pronounced levels of corruption

monetary policy and stock prices in an open economy this paper studies monetary policy in a two country perpetual youth model where agents can invest their wealth in both stock and bond markets in our economy the foreign country is financially dominant in the sense that it hosts the only active equity market where all agents also residents of the home country can trade stocks of listed foreign firms we show that contrary to what happens in a closed economy the central bank in the economy endowed with an active stock market should grant a dedicated response to movements in stock prices driven only by local productivity shocks moreover we show that the other central bank should also optimally respond to stock price movements in the other economy as they affect the budget constraint of domestic residents optimal monetary policy pursuing price stability requires dedicated response to stock price dynamics driven by productivity shocks in addition to what implied by the simple existence of the terms of trade channel of policy transmission determinacy of rational expectations equilibria and approximation of the optimal policy by simple monetary rules are also investigated

choosing an appropriate alliance governance mode the role of institutional cultural and geographical distance in international research development r d collaborations we identify a variety of r d alliance modes in a knowledge intensive industry e g pharmaceuticals and classify them into four ordered categories which go beyond the traditional binary equity vs non equity alliance classification this enriches our understanding of alliance governance structures and broadens the application of alliance modes in what is today a more complicated international r d collaboration setting we then explore national industry and firm factors that determine the selection of an appropriate r d alliance governance mode using a sample of 237 international alliance deals the likelihood of using a more integrated alliance governance mode decreases as the difference or distance between nations of the partner firms increases in terms of human capital and cultural distance on the other hand a greater geographic and institutional difference is positively associated with the selection of more integrated alliance governance modes furthermore firms in the research stage are more likely to use a more integrated governance mode as opposed to firms in the development stage these findings advance research on alliance governance structure they reveal the factors affecting the r d alliance governance mode choice

the savers spenders theory of fiscal policy the macroeconomic analysis of fiscal policy is usually based on one of two canonical models the barro ramsey model of infinitely lived families or the diamond samuelson model of overlapping generations this paper argues that neither model is satisfactory and suggests an alternative in the proposed model some consumers plan ahead for themselves and their descendants while others live paycheck to paycheck this model is easier to reconcile with the essential facts about consumer behavior and wealth accumulation and it yields some new and surprising conclusions about fiscal policy

limited asset markets participation monetary policy and inverted aggregate demand logic abstract this paper incorporates limited asset markets participation in dynamic general equilibrium and develops a simple analytical framework for monetary policy analysis aggregate dynamics and stability properties of an otherwise standard business cycle model depend nonlinearly on the degree of asset market participation while moderate participation rates strengthen the role of monetary policy low enough participation causes an inversion of results dictated by conventional wisdom the slope of the is curve changes sign the taylor principle is inverted optimal welfare maximizing discretionary monetary policy requires a passive policy rule and the effects and propagation of shocks are changed however a targeting rule implementing optimal policy under commitment delivers equilibrium determinacy regardless of the degree of asset market participation our results may justify fed s behavior during the great inflation period

the new keynesian cross abstract the new keynesian nk cross is a graphical and analytical apparatus for heterogeneous agent hank models expressing key aggregate demand objects mpc and multipliers as functions of heterogeneity parameters it affords analytical insights into monetary fiscal and forward guidance multipliers and replicates the aggregate implications of quantitative hank the key parameter the constrained agents income elasticity to aggregate income depends on fiscal redistribution when it is larger smaller than one the effects of policies and shocks are amplified dampened with uninsurable idiosyncratic uncertainty this translates intertemporally through compounding discounting in the aggregate euler equation into further amplification dampening of future shocks

do managers behave the way theory suggests a choice theoretic examination of foreign direct investment location decision making many empirical examinations of foreign direct investment location choice have relied on the use of secondary data and surveys on the choices made by firms about the form and location of overseas investment these studies have two inherent and related problems first they rely solely on the location choices made by different firms and assume that the domains of possible options considered were the same second there is an assumption about the rules used by firms to make these decisions yet the decisions are made by boundedly rational managers after reviewing the literature this study examines managers choices about foreign investment location through the use of structured experimentation the results show that in creating sets of investments to consider managers appear to follow fairly rational rules however the choice of actual investments appears less aligned to traditional models

a modest proposal how we might change the process and product of managerial research the article focuses on possible changes in the discipline of management science and how the methodology and presentation of its research might be improved the main goals of management science sch

partnering with leviathan the politics of innovation in foreign host state joint ventures forming international joint ventures ijvs with political institutions in emerging economies involves both benefits and risks for multinational enterprises mnes while political partners can provide ijvs with various resources their political status equips them with a strong position to appropriate rents in ijvs we address this tension by examining how host state ownership affects both innovation inputs and outputs in china based ijvs over 2008 2013 despite the potential government opportunism we find more r d investment innovation inputs made in ijvs with state partners than in those with private ones thus r d investment can be politically motivated and symbolically managed to ensure continued resource exchanges with the host state this political pressure is mitigated when foreign parents directly transfer home country based technology to ijvs when the host market dependence of ijv is weak and when ijvs are located in a deregulated region moreover we find foreign host state jvs deliver fewer innovation outputs measured by patent data than foreign private jvs which implies the failure of state partners to adequately absorb foreign technologies these findings highlight both the state partners powerfulness to boost ijv innovation investment and their limits in shaping ijv innovation outcomes and bear rich implications for the management of mne host government relationships

government debt in an overlapping generations model with bequests and gifts in 1974 robert barro argued that if individuals in successive generations were linked by bequests changes in the stock of government debt or in social security programs would have no effect on the steady state capital stock barro assumed that individuals held static expectations and that the size of the population was constant martin feldstein 1974 1977 had concluded that social security would reduce the capital labor ratio in models that did not admit a bequest motive and in his 1976 comment on barro argued that the introduction of government debt or social security into a perfect foresight dynamic growth model with bequests would still reduce the capital labor ratio barro replied that feldstein s criticisms were invalid if the steady state capital labor ratio were smaller than the golden rule level but would be correct if the opposite were true barro did suggest however that the latter possibility with overaccumulation of capital might be ruled out in his model as it was in miguel sidrauski 1967 but he was unable to demonstrate that the required behavior would be consistent with utility maximization by finite lived individuals 1976 p 345 although recent work by willem buiter 1979 jeffrey carmichael 1979 1982 truman bewley 1981 a b and others has helped to elucidate the nature of overlapping generations models with bequests and gifts and the issues in the barro feldstein debate they remain far from clear the purpose of this paper is to shed a little more light on the subject in what follows i contend that some of the authors cited above either have specified the individual s optimization problem in an asymmetric way or have failed to impose necessary conditions for a sensible optimization problem or both there is a natural specification of the barro model 1 that emphasizes the similarity between this model and optimal growth models see for example david cass 1965 peter diamond 1973 here in steady state equilibrium the aftertax interest rate r must equal the rate at which individuals discount the utility of their heirs p r p has become known as the modified golden rule and a meaningful individual optimization problem requires that p exceed n the natural growth rate of the economy my results confirm barro s hunch about his model in a barro model r must exceed n much of the barro feldstein 1976 interchange which assumed that r could have any relation to n is wrong headed barro and feldstein reach different conclusions about the effects of government debt and social security because they assume different individual utility functions also my results contrast sharply with those of buiter and carmichael for example carmichael concluded that with intergenerational transfers from parents to children bequests r must exceed n but with transfers in the opposite direction n must exceed r 1982 pp 205 06 indeed i believe that the buiter carmichael representation of the barro model is logically faulty see section ii in section i i outline an overlapping generations model with gifts and bequests and derive its steady state properties in the next section i discuss the shortand long run effects of introducing government debt into the model and contrast my results with those

the impact of climate risk on firm performance and financing choices an international comparison increasingly adverse climatic conditions have created greater systematic risk for companies throughout the global economy few studies have directly examined the consequences of climate related risk on financing choices by publicly listed firms across the globe we attempt to do so using the global climate risk index compiled and published by germanwatch kreft eckstein 2014 which captures at the country level the extent of losses from extreme weather events as expected we find the likelihood of loss from major storms flooding heat waves etc to be associated with lower and more volatile earnings and cash flows consistent with policies that attempt to moderate such effects we show that firms located in countries characterized by more severe weather are likelier to hold more cash so as to build financial slack and thereby organizational resilience to climatic threats those firms also tend to have less short term debt but more long term debt and to be less likely to distribute cash dividends in addition we find that certain industries are less vulnerable to extreme weather and so face less climate related risk our results are robust to using an instrumental variable approach a propensity score matched sample and path analysis and remain unchanged when we consider an alternative measure of climate risk finally our conclusions are invariant to the timing of financial crises that can affect different countries at different times

what s in a p reassessing best practices for conducting and reporting hypothesis testing research social science research has recently been subject to considerable criticism regarding the validity and power of empirical tests published in leading journals and business scholarship is no exception transparency and replicability of empirical findings are essential to build a cumulative body of scholarly knowledge yet current practices are under increased scrutiny to achieve these objectives jibs is therefore discussing and revising its editorial practices to enhance the validity of empirical research in this editorial we reflect on best practices with respect to conducting reporting and discussing the results of quantitative hypothesis testing research and we develop guidelines for authors to enhance the rigor of their empirical work this will not only help readers to assess empirical evidence comprehensively but also enable subsequent research to build a cumulative body of empirical knowledge

conceptualizing and measuring distance in international business research recurring questions and best practice guidelines distance is a central concept in international business research yet there is debate about the construct as well as its operationalization in this editorial we address three of the most important recurring questions posed by authors editors and reviewers by examining the theory methods and data of distance research we discuss 1 how to theorize on distance and 2 what method and 3 what data to use when constructing a distance index we develop practical recommendations grounded in theory illustrating and supporting them by calculating cross country distance indices for all available country pairs and two of the most used distance indices cultural and institutional we show that whereas a specific method to calculate distance may matter to some extent the choice for a specific cultural or institutional framework to measure cultural or institutional distance has a major impact on country pair distances overall this editorial highlights the importance of matching data and method to the theoretical argument

multilevel models in international business research multiple level or mixed linear modeling mlm can simultaneously test hypotheses at several levels of analysis usually two or three or control for confounding effects at one level while testing hypotheses at others advances in multi level modeling allow increased precision in quantitative international business ib research and open up new methodological and conceptual possibilities however they create new challenges and they are still not frequently used in ib research in this editorial we outline some key methodological issues for the uses of mlm in ib including criteria sample size and measure equivalence issues we then examine promising directions for future multilevel ib research considering comparative opportunities at nation multiple nation cluster and within nation region levels including large multilevel databases we also consider its promise for mne research about semi globalization interorganizational effects across nations clusters within nations and teams and subsidiaries within mnes

limits to international entry mode learning in smes despite extensive research the literature is unclear about the circumstances under which a firm learns from its past foreign entry modes and how this experiential learning is related to future mode choices building on the internationalization process ip model and the idea that some experiential learning is location bound while other learning is non location bound we develop and test theory to explain how experiential learning about foreign operation modes and markets impact future mode choices in new foreign markets overall we argue that mode based experiential learning is limited through the repeated use of a specific operation mode firms develop routines and processes that are non location bound and can be replicated in new foreign markets leading to the use of this same mode type in new locations but when complemented by experiential learning about a target market region firms opt for operation modes with greater commitment in new foreign markets drawing on a sample of german smes and examining four different types of entry modes we find some support however we also identify a number of notable exceptions to our theory in this way we help provide unique new insights informing future ip model experiential learning and international entry mode research

from the editors endogeneity in international business research this essay builds on the exposition by thomas et al and focuses on analyzing cause and effect in international business research we attempt to explain how endogeneity problems occur and why they are so prevalent in international business research in a non technical fashion we then discuss the importance of explicitly identifying how the chosen research design best approximates a randomized controlled experiment finally we provide some guidelines on achieving this goal and emphasize the practices that seem most relevant to jibs reviewers in evaluating high quality international business research

from the editors experimental designs in international business research the question that motivated this editorial was where are the ib experiments the short answer is that experiments are largely absent from the ib literature and we argue that they shouldn t be experimental methods offer the opportunity to significantly improve the evidence for the causal relationships in international business research in a variety of ways in this article we highlight the value and limitations of experiments in ib research and explain the basic tenets of experimental design and thinking with the goal of encouraging the submission of more papers with an experimental design to jibs

productivity shocks stabilization policies and the dynamics of net foreign assets in this paper we investigate the role of macroeconomic stabilization policies for the international transmission of productivity shocks and their eects on the external sector we develop a two country stochastic dynamic new keynesian perpetual youth model of the business cycle with incomplete international nancial markets our olg structure implies stationary net foreign asset dynamics and allows for a thorough analysis of the interaction of monetary policy with non balanced budget scal policy we derive the dynamic and cyclical properties of scal decit feedback rules and their implications for net foreign assets dynamics our results imply that the degree of scal discipline i e the extent to which the scal rule responds to debt dynamics is crucial for the dynamics of net foreign assets we show that under a counter cyclical scal rule with low

financial stability under model uncertainty abstract this paper studies how asset price model misspecification affects the conduct of monetary policy under commitment in a new keynesian model using robust control techniques we find that monetary policy reacts aggressively to both asset price and inflation shocks to guard herself against worst case outcome