do payday loans cause bankruptcy abstractpayday loans are used by millions of americans every year despite their annualized interest rates of several hundred percent we provide new evidence on the consequences of payday borrowing and the determinants of personal bankruptcy using an administrative panel data set of loan records in a regression discontinuity design we estimate that payday loans increase personal bankruptcy rates by a factor of two we assess possible mechanisms and find the most support for a novel one payday loan access appears to induce bankruptcy filings by worsening the cash flow position of the household

the impact of usury ceilings on consumer credit usury regulation is a topic with a long history of discussion nevertheless the debate over the merits of usury regulation continues to the present day in the early part of the 1980s the rapid rise in nominal interest rates swung the debate in favor of the opponents of usury ceilings during this period a quarter of the states enacted legislation which largely eliminated their usury ceilings on consumer credit however with the return of lower interest rates in the middle part of the decade the argument for low usury ceilings gained increasing support and as a result several states lowered their usury ceilings on some types of credit the first formal economic model of the impact of usury ceilings was outlined by blitz and long 8 their insightful analysis has led researchers to focus on two hypotheses concerning the impact of usury ceilings on consumer credit hypothesis 1 usury ceilings reduce the quantity of credit obtained by high risk borrowers

farm household production efficiency evidence from the gambia this article investigates the economic efficiency of farm households with an application to the gambia the efficiency analysis is conducted not at the farm level but at the household level thus capturing the importance of off farm activities output based measures of technical allocative and scale efficiency are generated using nonparametric measurements an econometric analysis of factors affecting the efficiency indexes is then conducted using a tobit model technical efficiency is fairly high indicating that access to technology is not a severe constraint for most farm households the cost of scale inefficiency is modest allocative inefficiency by contrast is found to be important for the majority of farm households on the basis of the tobit results imperfections in markets for financial capital and nonfarm employment contribute to significant allocative inefficiency

the effect of the sloping land conversion programme on farm household productivity in rural china abstractthe objective of this paper is to examine the treatment effect on farm household productivity induced by the sloping land conversion program using large balanced household level data from five provinces during 1996 2010 this study shows that the slcp significantly improved the productivity of participants during the first round of funding of the programme until 2008 while the effects decreased gradually in the second round with most years not showing significant differences moreover it is found that there are heterogeneous effects on farm household productivity between the south and north as well as between poor and rich regions

payday loans and credit cards new liquidity and credit scoring puzzles using a unique dataset matched at the individual level from two administrative sources we examine household choices between liabilities and assess the informational content of prime and subprime credit scores in the consumer credit market first more specifically we assess consumers effectiveness at prioritizing use of their lowest cost credit option we find that most borrowers from one payday lender who also have a credit card from a major credit card issuer have substantial credit card liquidity on the days they take out their payday loans this is costly because payday loans have annualized interest rates of at least several hundred percent though perhaps partly explained by the fact that borrowers have experienced substantial declines in credit card liquidity in the year leading up to the payday loan second we show that fico scores and teletrack scores have independent information and are specialized for the types of lending where they are used teletrack scores have eight times the predictive power for payday loan default as fico scores we also show that prime lenders should value information about their borrowers subprime activity taking out a payday loan predicts nearly a doubling in the probability of serious credit card delinquency over the next year this abstract was borrowed from another version of this item

getting agriculture moving do markets provide the right signals abstract political discrimination has often pushed the domestic value of agriculture in developing countries below its value in markets at the border this paper seeks to explain the reasons why border prices themselves undervalue the linkages that agriculture has to economic growth in the early stages of development if agriculture is critically important to stimulating and sustaining rapid economic growth those countries that fail to correct this discrimination exact a heavy toll in economic performance furthermore the poorest countries will suffer the most agricultural development and development of the non agricultural economy are closely linked the traditional market mediated linkages form the core of economic analysis of the role of agriculture in economic development providing labour for an industrial work force food for an expanding population with higher incomes savings for industrial investments markets for industrial output export earnings to pay for imported capital goods and raw materials for agro processing industries a second category of linkages is not well mediated by market forces even when markets are working well the impact of agricultural growth on the rest of the economy through non market linkages can be traced using a simple growth accounting framework that examines contributions to the labour force capital investment and the productivity with which these two physical factors are utilised several linkages stand out as likely to be important and potentially measurable because they draw on the efficiency of decision making in rural households the low opportunity cost of their labour resources the opportunity for farm investment without financial intermediaries the potential to earn high rates of return on public investments that correct for urban bias the contribution of food price stability to increased efficiency in investment decisions and the impact of growth in food production on widespread improvement in nutrient intake and labour productivity each of these factors alone as public investment and favourable policy stimulate growth in the agricultural sector should cause an increase in the efficiency of resource allocation and thus higher total factor productivity several of these mechanisms will also serve to speed factor accumulation by increasing the savings rate or improving factor mobility

rural infrastructure transactions costs and market participation in kenya abstract we develop a conceptual framework for quantifying fixed transactions costs facing semisubsistence households using household survey data from a sample of 324 kenyan maize farmers we jointly estimate household supply and demand schedules and transactions costs econometric results indicate that on average the ad valorem tax equivalent of fixed transactions costs for households in our sample is 15 additional analysis indicates that economic isolation is positively associated with the size of transactions costs to the best of our knowledge ours are the first empirical estimates of the magnitude of fixed transactions costs for agricultural households in developing countries

consumer rationality and credit cards borrowing on credit cards at high interest rates might appear irrational however even low transactions costs can make credit cards attractive relative to bank loans credit cards also provide liquidity services by allowing consumers to avoid some of the opportunity costs of holding money the effect of alternative interest rates on the demand for card debits can explain why credit card interest rates only partially reflect changes in the cost of funds credit card interest rates that are inflexible relative to the cost of funds are not inconsistent with a competitive equilibrium that yields zero profits for the marginal entrant

food security strategies under extremely adverse conditions the determinants of household income and consumption in rural mozambique abstract this paper uses household survey data from war torn northern mozambique to examine the factors associated with higher incomes and improved rural household food security incomes and calorie consumption were found to be low and variable in each district and both are highly correlated with land holdings the central role of land holdings is largely a result of serious market failure food market participation rates and the proportion of net buyers are lower than in other sub saharan africa ssa research purchased food as a percentage of total caloric intake and off farm income as a percentage of total income are both very low by ssa standards in short surveyed smallholders have adopted a strategy of marked reliance on farm based own production to ensure their survival it is suggested that land holdings will continue to be key determinants of household income and consumption for the foreseeable future broad based rural development efforts possibly organized around existing cotton growing enterprises may offer one way out of the poverty trap for smallholders

do consumers need more protection from small dollar lenders historical evidence and a roadmap for future research we summarize the current debate surrounding four small dollar credit products pawn loans vehicle title loans payday loans and cash installment loans from finance companies we review the contributions of scholars that inform this debate we underscore that users of these products fit the description of those whom consumer credit models predict benefit from these products many studies find that on average consumer use of small dollar credit products is at worst innocuous there are however findings of heterogeneity in borrowers experiences the disagreements surrounding these credit products and the difficulty in crafting the proper policy response stems from this heterogeneity jel d18 g23

the real costs of credit access evidence from the payday lending market using geographic differences in the availability of payday loans i estimate the real effects of credit access among low income households payday loans are small high interest rate loans that constitute the marginal source of credit for many high risk borrowers i find no evidence that payday loans alleviate economic hardship to the contrary loan access leads to increased difficulty paying mortgage rent and utilities bills the empirical design isolates variation in loan access that is uninfluenced by lenders location decisions and state regulatory decisions two factors that might otherwise correlate with economic hardship measures further analysis of differences in loan availability over time and across income groups rules out a number of alternative explanations for the estimated effects counter to the view that improving credit access facilitates important expenditures the results suggest that for some low income households the debt service burden imposed by borrowing inhibits their ability to pay important bills copyright 2011 oxford university press

expanding credit access using randomized supply decisions to estimate the impacts expanding access to commercial credit is a key ingredient of financial development strategies there is less consensus on whether expanding access to consumer credit helps borrowers particularly when loans are extended at high interest rates popular skepticism about unproductive usurious lending is fueled by research highlighting behavioral biases that may induce overborrowing we estimate the impacts of expanding access to consumer credit at a 200 annual percentage rate apr using a field experiment and follow up data collection the randomly assigned marginal loans produced significant net benefits for borrowers across a wide range of outcomes there is also some evidence that the loans were profitable the author 2009 published by oxford university press on behalf of the society for financial studies all rights reserved for permissions please e mail journals permissions oxfordjournals org oxford university press

rural nonfarm income and its impact on agriculture evidence from albania using data from the 2005 albania living standards measurement study alsms05 survey this article analyzes the overall impact of household nonfarm income generating activities riga on agricultural expenditures as well as technical efficiency of rural farm households we also differentiate the impact for subsistence and commercial farmers who are in the top 25 of the distribution of value of annual agricultural sales our results show that on the whole albanian rural households utilize their nonfarm earnings not to invest in time saving efficiency increasing technologies but to move out of crop production we derive similar findings when we try to estimate the same relation separately for commercial and subsistence farmers however for commercial farmers we find a positive impact of household nonfarm earnings on livestock expenditures

a virtuous circle model of rural urban development evidence from a kenyan small town and its hinterland using data from kenya this article explores several propositions of a virtuous circle model of rural urban development to determine when the model might operate within a local economy it is shown that the cycle of reinforcing linkages hinges on a vigorous export base external demand is only effective when farmers are connected to markets small towns help raise agricultural productivity by allowing farmers to spread risk by diversifying incomes vibrant agriculture spurs the proliferation of local non farm activities which in turn create demand for farm produce though not necessarily from the same area and finally the virtuous circle model can be undermined by inappropriate macroeconomic policies

the scramble in africa reorienting rural livelihoods abstract structural adjustment and market liberalization policies of the past 15 years have accelerated deagrarianization in sub saharan africa peasant producers have veered away from production of traditional export crops and commercial staple foods in rural areas remote from roads and urban markets nonagricultural income diversification has been substituted in the search for much needed cash earnings citing recent village survey evidence this paper argues that the economic restructuring of african smallholders work lives has been accompanied by deep rooted social change divisions of labor and decision making power within peasant households have altered and wealth differentiation between households has deepened depeasantization of the countryside is currently taking place as rural household members of both genders scramble for viable livelihoods

rural livelihood diversification in sub saharan africa a literature review abstractthis article provides a comprehensive review of the literature on the nature and evolution of rural livelihood diversification in sub saharan africa and the situation regarding smallholders it reveals mixed findings about the causes and consequences of livelihood diversification on rural smallholders adopting this strategy a lot of evidence from the literature suggests that it is relatively better off smallholders with sufficient assets who achieve successful livelihood diversification mainly by exploiting opportunities and synergies between farm and nonfarm activities because of asset constraints increase in incomes and wealth based on livelihood diversification has not yet benefitted the large majority of smallholders

effects of household size and composition on consumption in rural households in matabeleland south zimbabwe abstract this study using a survey of rural households in zimbabwe in 1990 91 focuses on the effects of changing household composition on patterns of expenditures and provides estimates of the cost of a child as well as of family members in other age groups in addition to age differences in the size and direction of responses to changing family composition the paper highlights significant differences across product groups these effects are more muted in larger households

the importance of household asset diversity for livelihood diversity and welfare among small farm colonists in the amazon taking a small farm colony on the amazon frontier as a case study this article examines the relationships among household assets livelihood diversity and welfare the findings show that 1 few

rural nonfarm employment and incomes in the himalayas abstract nonfarm activities generate on average about 60 of rural households incomes in the himalayas this article analyzes the determinants of participation in nonfarm activities and of nonfarm incomes across rural households a unique data set collected in the himalayan region of india allows us to deal with the heterogeneity of rural nonfarm activities by using aggregations into categories that are useful both analytically and for policy purposes we conduct an empirical inquiry that reveals that education plays a major role in accessing more remunerative nonfarm employment other household assets and characteristics such as land social status and geographical location also play a role

the rural non farm economy prospects for growth and poverty reduction summary policy makers have high expectations for the rural non farm economy rnfe given high income shares growing employment and frequently low capital requirements they see the rnfe as a potential pathway out of poverty for their rural poor yet available evidence suggests that pro poor rural non farm growth does not occur automatically for the poor to benefit from rural non farm growth policy makers must stimulate buoyant rural economies with robust non farm income growth not simply low productivity employment moreover the poor must gain access to growing market niches fluid labor markets provide one important bridge linking the rural poor to growing non farm opportunities

currency crises and institutions abstract this study furthers recent literature on currency crises and institutions the main objective is to re evaluate the causes of currency crises by focusing on the role played by a broader array of institutional factors and crisis episodes than have previously been considered while at the same time controlling for economic factors our dataset consists of over 30 countries covering 13 institutional factors for the period 1984 2002 two questions are addressed they are 1 what mix of institutions may contribute to or set the stage for a currency crisis and 2 what mix of institutions may affect the depth of currency crises as measured by a decline in output our findings reveal that institutional as well as economic factors affect the probability of currency crises and that worse institutions are associated with bigger contractions in output during the crisis in general our strongest results regarding institutions show that corruption a de facto fixed exchange rate regime weak government stability and weak law and order increase the probability of a currency crisis we find mixed evidence that deposit insurance the removal of capital controls a lack of central bank independence financial liberalization and civil law increase the chance of crisis we find a similar set of factors worsens the contraction in output during a crisis except for deposit insurance which we find moderates the contraction in output

why poor people get rich kenya 1960 1979 abstract this paper challenges the conventional model underlying much thinking on kenya which has stressed the extant inequality of assets including human capital and the presumed weakness of intersectoral links owing to structural rigidities in the system on the basis of recent survey data the authors test their hypothesis that the pattern of growth and distribution in the kenyan smallholder sector is best understood rather as being the outcome of the complex interaction of rural factor market failure and urban labour market participation the sources of growth may be distinguished as improved resource allocation capital formation and innovation so that the transmission mechanisms from factor market malfunctioning and urban employment onto growth and distribution must be via these three components the arguments which follow question the orthodox views on such phenomena as urban bias trickle down growth the functions of urban rural remittances and the need for land reform

non farm income and inequality in rural pakistan a decomposition analysis this article uses three year panel data to analyse the impact of non farm income on income inequality in rural pakistan after pinpointing the importance of rural non farm income for the poor the article decomposes total rural income among five sources non farm agricultural livestock rental and transfer this decomposition shows that non farm income represents an inequality decreasing source of income the study then decomposes the sources of non farm income this analysis reveals that while non farm unskilled labour income has an equalising effect on income distribution non farm government income has a disequalising effect

agriculture and economic growth in ethiopia growth multipliers from a four sector simulation model abstract agriculture accounts for over half of ethiopian gdp yet the case for agriculture as a focus of economic growth strategies must rely on identifying a set of intersectoral linkages through which agricultural growth contributes to the growth of non agriculture in the ethiopian economy this article develops a four sector numerical simulation model of economic growth in ethiopia which permits the calculation of macroeconomic growth multipliers resulting from income shocks to agriculture services modern industry and traditional industry the resulting growth multipliers are 1 54 for agriculture 1 80 for services 1 34 for modern industry and 1 22 for traditional industry these results depict an economy in which intersectoral linkages operate on a highly uneven basis these limits are reflected in the wide disparity between sectoral growth multipliers and by substantial differences in the patterns of their decomposition the policy relevance of these findings relate in part to the distributional implications of growth in particular sectors poverty in ethiopia is disproportionately rural an income shock to agriculture is clearly the most progressive choice indicating the need to highlight agricultural development in growth strategies for ethiopia yet the simulation results further indicate that doing so imposes relatively little trade off against total benefit while a 1 service sector income shock generates 0 80 in indirect benefits a 1 agricultural income shock still generates 0 54 in indirect gains a somewhat smaller benefit but one likely to make the greatest possible impact on poverty reduction

wealthier is healthier we estimate the effect of income on health using cross country timeseries data on health infant and child mortality and life expectancy and income per capita we use instrumental variables estimates using exogenous determinants of income growth to identify the pure income effect on health isolated from reverse causation or incidental association the long run income elasticity of infant and child mortality in developing countries lies between 0 2 and 0 4 using these estimates we calculate that over a half a million child deaths in the developing world in 1990 alone can be attributed to the poor economic performance in the 1980s

linkages between the farm and nonfarm sectors at the household level in rural ghana a consistent stochastic distance function approach this article explores the effects within households of an expanding rural nonfarm rnf sector in ghana we ask whether the growing rnf sector allows for economies of diversification within farms how it affects household input demands and whether it has measurable effects in overall household production efficiency we explore the intrahousehold linkages between agricultural and rnf activities first assuming perfectly competitive input and output markets and then with market failures in particular missing labor and credit markets we then measure these linkages using a household level input distance function finding high levels of inefficiency in ghanaian farms also there are cost complementarities between the rnf sector and the agricultural sector particularly with food crops in which the poorest tend to specialize the expansion of the rnf sector increases demand for most inputs including agricultural land finally we show that smaller farms tend to be more efficient and that rnf output is helping the farm household to become more efficient but the latter result is not robust

payday loan choices and consequences high cost consumer credit has proliferated in the past two decades raising regulatory scrutiny we match administrative data from a payday lender with nationally representative credit bureau files to examine the choices of payday loan applicants and assess whether payday loans help or harm borrowers we find consumers apply for payday loans when they have limited access to mainstream credit in addition the weakness of payday applicants credit histories is severe and longstanding based on regression discontinuity estimates we show that the effects of payday borrowing on credit scores and other measures of financial well being are close to zero we test the robustness of these null effects to many factors including features of the local market structure

determinants and effects of income diversification amongst farm households in burkina faso using four years of household data from three agroecological zones in burkina faso sahelian sudanian and guinean the article examines the determinants and effects of household income diversification harvest shortfalls and terms of trade are found to drive diversification but land constraints do not income diversification is associated with higher incomes and food consumption and more stable income and consumption over years

costly information acquisition experimental analysis of a boundedly rational model the directed cognition model assumes that agents use partially myopic option value calculations to select their next cognitive operation the current paper tests this model by studying information acquisition in two experiments in the first experiment information acquisition has an explicit financial cost in the second experiment information acquisition is costly because time is scarce the directed cognition model successfully predicts aggregate information acquisition patterns in these experiments when the directed cognition model and the fully rational model make demonstrably different predictions the directed cognition model better matches the laboratory evidence jel d83

what do high interest borrowers do with their tax rebate building on prior literature that constrained individuals consume the most out of a tax rebate we study the tradeoffs high interest borrowers face when they received their 2008 tax stimulus checks we find a persistent decline in payday borrowing in the pay cycles that follow the receipt of the tax rebate the reduction in borrowing is a significant fraction of the mean outstanding loan 12 and appears fairly persistent over the time but is moderate in dollar magnitude about 35 relative to the size of the rebate check 600 per person in trying to reconcile this finding with the cost of not retiring expensive payday debt we find substantial heterogeneity across borrowers among individuals that we classify as temptation spenders e g those that use 400 apr loans to buy electronic goods or go on vacation we find no reduction in payday borrowing after the tax rebate is issued but this group represents only a small fraction of payday borrowers a second group for which we find no debt retirement post check is the set of borrowers that appear to use what should be short term payday loans as a long term financing solution we infer that the marginal use of the tax rebate for this group was to deal with regular monthly obligations such as paying down late utility bills or making rent payments

political feasibility of structural adjustment in africa an application of sam mixed multipliers abstract the implementation of structural adjustment programs saps has often been undermined by opposition from politically powerful groups who are favored by existing policies to assess the political sustainability of saps this paper uses social accounting matrices for three african countries to model the income effects of stylized saps on different socioeconomic groups the analysis reveals wide variation in the likelihood for typical saps to be acceptable to political elites while generating growth in the rest of the economy the presence of a rural elite or strong farm nonfarm linkages can enhance the political sustainability of saps

district level economic linkages in kenya evidence based on a small regional social accounting matrix abstract this paper explores the nature and extent of the economic linkages in a small regional economy defined by a market center and its hinterland in kenya the analysis is based on a set of income and employment multipliers derived from a social accounting matrix estimated for the region issues considered include the impact of production activities on regional value added and employment the influence of sectoral production on the level of household income and the impact of household expenditure on regional value added and the relative significance of production and consumption linkages in terms of stimulating aggregate income the above questions are examined under the assumption of complete excess capacity in regional production and under the assumption of supply constraints in agriculture the usefulness of the analysis for district level economic planning is demonstrated

understanding the role of rural non farm enterprises in africa s economic transformation evidence from tanzania tanzania s recent growth boom has been accompanied by a threefold increase in the share of the rural labour force working in nonfarm employment although households with nonfarm enterprises are les

the rural non farm sector issues and evidence from developing countries abstract the rural non farm sector has traditionally been viewed as a low productivity sector which produces low quality goods it is often expected to wither away as a country develops recent years have seen a shift away from this position towards recognition that the rural non farm sector can and often does contribute to economic growth rural employment poverty reduction and a more spatially balanced population distribution this paper reviews the literature on the conceptual and empirical underpinnings of this more recent perspective focussing on the experience in developing countries the paper documents the size and heterogeneity of the sector pointing to evidence that in many countries the sector is expanding rather than declining the issues associated with measuring the sector s economic contribution are discussed followed by empirical assessments for several countries and regions the distributional impact of non farm earnings is examined and it is found that a pro poor impact while by no means inevitable can be considerable the sector s trajectory over time in different settings is reviewed and the scope for and experience of various policy interventions is discussed

agricultural tradables and economic recovery in uganda the limitations of structural adjustment in practice abstract uganda s economic reform program has been widely regarded as a success story for structural adjustment nevertheless a large trade deficit persists shored up by inflows of aid and private remittances the poor performance of the agricultural tradables sector is presented as the key explanation for this trade imbalance two main reasons for this poor performance are found to be the failure to liberalize producer prices quickly and the failure to overcome early institutional resistance to reforms of marketing arrangements uganda s recovery is therefore much less impressive than it appears and the sustainability of the now heavily aid dependent economy must remain in serious doubt

women and structural transformation development is at a relatively early stage 2 analysis of women s role as economic actors as distinct from being part of the labor force in general is still rudimentary 3 the extent to which and the conditions under which gender may influence a variety of economic outcomes are not well researched the nature and the extent of segmentation of economic activity between males and females and their changing roles in different socioeconomic settings and during the course of economic development are inadequately investigated in economic literature 4 consequently whether the efficiency and welfare losses from women s low participation in economic activity are significant in static and dynamic contexts is inadequately articulated much of the research on women in developed countries has been in a comparative static context 5 the changes in incomes technology demography and tastes with regard to women s roles however are not only much more rapid but also simultaneous in developing countries making research in a comparative static context of relatively little value the implications of the dynamic factors are analytically complex to handle but are critical for public policy even where policy implications are obvious from the existing limited research however these have not always been effectively incorporated by governments in their actions this article first summarizes the major themes of the various types

wildlife conservation in zambia impacts on rural household welfare summary we investigate the impact of wildlife conservation policies in zambia on household welfare in game management areas gmas which are buffer zones around national parks analysis of data from a nationwide survey of rural households shows that gmas are positively associated with household income and crop damage from wildlife conflicts gains and damages were greatest among households in gmas with greater wildlife diversity with net gains relatively greater for wealthier households households in prime well stocked gmas were more likely to participate in off farm wage and self employment compared to other rural households but they were also more likely to suffer crop losses related to wildlife conflicts the findings suggest that wildlife conservation and tourism development can contribute to pro poor development but may be sustainable only if human wildlife conflicts are minimized or compensated

adaptation to land constraints is africa different since the seminal works of malthus and boserup scientists have long debated the impact of population growth and land constraints on the wellbeing of rural people today these concerns are particularly relevant to africa with its rapid population growth very small farms and chronic food insecurity in this paper we examine adaptation to falling land labor ratios using a comprehensive theoretical framework in which households faced with binding land constraints can respond in three ways intensifying agricultural production diversifying out of agriculture and reducing fertility rates using cross country data and drawing upon the existing literature we reach three conclusions first population density is associated with reduced fallows and more intensive use of land but not fertilizer use or irrigation indicating major challenges in achieving sustainable intensification or agricultural productivity growth second there is little evidence of successful non farm diversification in response to land pressures in africa from domestic or international income sources third rural africans in land constrained countries desire smaller families but have thus far benefited little from family planning policies these findings underscore the need for a coordinated multi sectoral approach to sustainably reduce poverty in the region

an exegesis on currency and banking crises abstract this paper reviews the literature on currency and banking crises currency and banking crises are characterized according to some standards in the literature and their historical record summarized the development of the literature from first through fourth generation or so called institutional models is reviewed a digression on institutions is provided along with some sidebars on the development of the literature on institutions as it relates to economic growth the empirical research on third generation or twin crises models and on institutional models of currency and banking crises which are so far scarce is covered too a summary of the main policy issues for dealing with financial crises is presented the paper closes with an emphasis on institutions and a call for more research directed at institutions and their role in the financial system

pawnbroking in america the economics of a forgotten credit market this paper surveys the role of pawnbroking in u s credit markets among the findings are pawnshops provide very small secured loans to millions of low income americans excluded from bank and finance company credit most states regulate pawnshop finance charges with the majority setting ceilings between 36 and 240 percent apr over the past century pawnbroking has grown dramatically in the southern and central mountain states while shrinking in the northeast this article offers explanations for these trends as well as for the recent nationwide boom in the industry copyright 1991 by ohio state university press

creating an enabling environment policy conditions for less favored areas abstract within the rural areas those with a low productive potential usually home to poor agricultural households with limited access to assets are often the core of rural poverty and under constant threat of resource degradation there is ample evidence that neither trickle down effects in high potential areas nor structural adjustment measures have generated much poverty reduction in these less favored areas lfas often due a lack of attention to the development of factor and commodity markets sustainable and pro poor development of lfas therefore poses formidable challenges and requires special measures to achieve an enabling institutional and policy environment it needs to be based on viable sources of growth that imply considerable investments in physical and human capital and appropriate technology recognize positive externalities and add equity and natural resource management concerns in a context of heterogeneity to establish policy conditions that favor such development the role of and experience with major policy interventions incentives and institutions relevant to lfas is reviewed and an attempt is made to generalize these findings to this effect the different interventions are grouped into three broad categories viz price and market policies public services and investment and institutions and governance while countries should adopt the relevant market and trade policies the case is made for greater awareness of the adverse impact these policies can have in lfas and on their poor and complementary policies and investments need to be put in place to buffer or offset adverse outcomes key complementary interventions include public investments in infrastructure human capital and technology to enhance the competitiveness of lfas and policies to improve their market access there is also need for appropriate phasing of policy and market reforms to give people time to adjust and effective safety nets to cushion loss of livelihood options

do liquidity constraints and interest rates matter for consumer behavior evidence from credit card data this paper utilizes a unique new dataset of credit card accounts to analyze how people respond to changes in credit supply the data consist of a panel of thousands of individual credit card accounts from several different card issuers with associated credit bureau data we estimate both marginal propensities to consume mpcs out of liquidity and interest rate elasticities we also evaluate the ability of different models of consumption to rationalize our results distinguishing the permanent income hypothesis pih liquidity constraints precautionary saving and behavioral models we find that increases in credit limits generate an immediate and significant rise in debt counter to the pih the average mpc out of liquidity ddebt dlimit ranges between 10 14 the mpc is much larger for people starting near their limits consistent with binding liquidity constraints however the mpc is significant even for people starting well below their limit we show this response is consistent with buffer stock models of precautionary saving nonetheless there are other results that conventional models cannot easily explain e g why so many people are borrowing on their credit cards and simultaneously holding low yielding assets unlike most other studies we also find strong effects from changes in account specific interest rates the long run elasticity of debt to the interest rate is approximately 1 3 less than half of this elasticity represents balance shifting across cards with most reflecting net changes in total borrowing the elasticity is larger for decreases in interest rates than for increases which can explain the widespread use of temporary promotional rates the elasticity is smaller for people starting near their credit limits again consistent with liquidity constraints

beyond export led growth abstract in light of the adverse conditions in the current international economic environment this paper reassesses the feasibility of continuing to rely on manufacturing export led growth as the major development dynamic for most ldcs during the next decade this paper argues that after the initial stages of industrial development the emphasis in policy toward agriculture should shift from surplus extraction to surplus creation and to the generation of demand linkages with the rest of the economy the author compares the relative merits of two alternative open development strategies export led industrialization and agricultural demand led industrialization adli by means of several simulation experiments the experiments are performed with a computable general equilibrium model of a small low income semi industrial open economy which is a stylization of south korea of 1963 they are carried out in an international environment assumed to represent the next decade based on a rate of growth of international demand for imports of about half the 1960 1973 rate the results support the adli approach on all counts

institutions for financial development what are they and where do they come from abstract among the fundamental causes of long run economic performance differences in institutions have received considerable attention in recent years at the same time a large body of theoretical and empirical work shows that financial development can have a big effect on economic performance this raises the more fundamental question as to why some countries have developed financial markets while others do not this paper reviews the theoretical and empirical research on this issue and shows that one of the channels whereby better institutions may have an effect on economic development is through the consolidation of larger and better financial markets an issue that is left aside in this paper relates to what regulations and policies lead to better functioning capital markets at some level one can think of regulations and policies as particular types of institutions nonetheless institutional problems are deeper causes leading to poor economic performance bad policies might simply be part of the channels through which they influence performance thus addressing the question of what determines the emergence of good institutions i e institutions that promote financial development seems particularly important recent research providing some answers to this question is also reviewed

determinants of nonfarm earnings of farm based husbands and wives in northern ghana the nonfarm work participation decisions of married men and women in rural northern ghana were jointly and separately estimated for married couples through a bivariate probit using recent survey data selectivity bias was corrected for in estimating wage offer and labor supply equations using heckman s procedure education experience infrastructure distance to the capital and population density as well as interactions between education and infrastructure and between education and distance to the city were found to be significantly related to the probability of nonfarm labor market participation wages and the amount of nonfarm labor performed with significant differences by gender

links between nonfarm income and farm investment in african households adding the capital market perspective farm household surveys in the 1970s and 1980s showed that nonfarm activities provide an important share of household income contrasting with the conventional image of rural african households as deriving their food entitlement almost exclusively from the land e g matlon collier and lal low reardon et al haggblade hazell and brown much of the literature on nonfarm income has concentrated

impact of global cotton markets on rural poverty in benin world cotton prices fell by about 40 over 2001 2002 focusing attention on the effect of subsidies for cotton growers in depressing world prices this paper combines farm survey data from benin with assumptions about the decline in farm level prices to estimate the direct and indirect effects of cotton price reductions on rural income and poverty in benin the results indicate that there is a strong link between cotton prices and rural welfare in benin a 40 reduction in farm level prices of cotton results in an increase in rural poverty of 8 points in the short run and 6 7 points in the long run under the assumptions of the partial input output model we estimate the multiplier to be in the range of 2 96 meaning that 1 us of reduced income by cotton growers results in a contraction of 2 96 us in overall income finally econometric analysis of the determinants of the demand for hired agricultural labor suggests that falling cotton prices will not greatly reduce labor demand since the labor intensity of cotton is similar to that of competing crops in benin overall the study demonstrates the impact of changes in world cotton prices on rural poverty in benin thus highlighting the likely negative effects of cotton subsidies in the united states and elsewhere on benin farmers

the red and the black mental accounting of savings and debt in the standard economic account of consumer behavior the cost of a purchase takes the form of a reduction in future utility when expenditures that otherwise could have been made are forgone the reality of consumer hedonics is different when people make purchases they often experience an immediate pain of paying which can undermine the pleasure derived from consumption the ticking of the taxi meter for example reduces one s pleasure from the ride we propose a double entry mental accounting theory that describes the nature of these reciprocal interactions between the pleasure of consumption and the pain of paying and draws out their implications for consumer behavior and hedonics a central assumption of the model which we call prospective accounting is that consumption that has already been paid for can be enjoyed as if it were free and that the pain associated with payments made prior to consumption but not after is buffered by thoughts of the benefits that the payments will finance another important concept is coupling which refers to the degree to which consumption calls to mind thoughts of payment and vice versa some financing methods such as credit cards tend to weaken coupling whereas others such as cash payment produce tight coupling our model makes a variety of predictions that are at variance with economic formulations contrary to the standard prediction that people will finance purchases to minimize the present value of payments our model predicts strong debt aversion that they should prefer to prepay for consumption or to get paid for work after it is performed such pay before sequences confer hedonic benefits because consumption can be enjoyed without thinking about the need to pay for it in the future likewise when paying beforehand the pain of paying is mitigated by thoughts of future consumption benefits contrary to the economic prediction that consumers should prefer to pay at the margin for what they consume our model predicts that consumers will find it less painful to pay for and hence will prefer flat rate pricing schemes such as unlimited internet access at a fixed monthly price even if it involves paying more for the same usage other predictions concern spending patterns with cash charge or credit cards and preferences for the earmarking of purchases we test these predictions in a series of surveys and in a conjoint like analysis that pitted our double entry mental accounting model against a standard discounting formulation and another benchmark that did not incorporate hedonic interactions between consumption and payments our model provides a better fit of the data for 60 of the subjects the discounting formulation provides a better fit for only 29 of the subjects even when allowing for positive and negative discount rates the pain of paying we argue plays an important role in consumer self regulation but is hedonically costly from a hedonic perspective the ideal situation is one in which payments are tightly coupled to consumption so that paying evokes thoughts about the benefits being financed but consumption is decoupled from payments so that consumption does not evoke thoughts about payment from an efficiency perspective however it is important for consumers to be aware of what they are paying for consumption this creates a tension between hedonic efficiency and what we call decision efficiency various institutional arrangements such as financing of public parks through taxes or usage fees play into this tradeoff a producer developing a pricing structure for their product or service should be aware of these two conflicting objectives and should try to devise a structure that reconciles them

promoting intersectoral growth linkages in rural africa through agricultural technology and policy reform this paper addresses how increased rural incomes in select african cases are spent on consumption items the implications of these patterns for stimulating rural growth and areas of intervention necessary to sustain demand led growth from improved agricultural technology and economic reforms the country studies utilize panel data collected by the international food policy research institute ifpri in collaboration with african institutions and re

exchange asymmetries incorrectly interpreted as evidence of endowment effect theory and prospect theory systematic asymmetries in exchange behavior have been widely interpreted as support for endowment effect theory an application of prospect theory positing that loss aversion and utility function kinks set by entitlements explain observed asymmetries we experimentally test an alternative explanation namely that asymmetries are explained by classical preference theories finding influence through the experimental procedures typically used contrary to the predictions of endowment effect theory we observe no asymmetries when we modify procedures to remove the influence of classical preference theories when we return to traditional type procedures however the asymmetries reappear the results support explanations based in classical preference theories and reject endowment effect theory

small enterprise employment growth in rural africa become increasingly recognized earlier empirical studies have indicated that they provide 20 to 45 of full time employment and 30 to 50 of rural household income chuta and liedholm haggblade hazell and brown this is also reflected in the agricultural growth linkage literature e g haggblade and hazell where rural enterprise growth is typically a demand driven spinoff of agricultural growth as well as in the rural household studies that have

deagrarianization and rural employment in sub saharan africa a sectoral perspective abstract sub saharan africa is steadily becoming less rural in character for decades development thinking has prescribed industrialization as the virtuous path leading away from economic dependence on agriculture but africa s industrial record has been plagued with underperformance an alternative perspective centered on the process of deagrarianization and attendant rural employment generation may offer more explanatory power and policy direction this paper outlines key theoretical components and practical concerns of a deagrarianization approach the nature and incidence of deagrarianization in sub saharan africa is contrasted with that experienced in developed industrial countries conceptual approaches dealing with rural non agricultural employment are identified within different social science disciplines through a thematic review of the literature the conclusion highlights the need for more focused study of the deagrarianization process and rural service sector development

how payday credit access affects overdrafts and other outcomes despite a dozen studies the welfare effects of payday credit are still debatable we contribute new evidence to the debate by studying how payday credit access affects bank overdrafts such as returned checks bankruptcy and household complaints against lenders and debt collectors we find some evidence that chapter 13 bankruptcy rates decrease after payday credit bans but where we find that we also find that complaints against lenders and debt collectors increase the welfare implications of these offsetting movements are unclear our most robust finding is that returned check numbers and overdraft fee income at banks increase after payday credit bans bouncing a check may cost more than a payday loan so this finding suggests that payday credit access helps households avoid costlier alternatives while our findings obviously do not settle the welfare debate over payday lending we hope they resolve it to some extent it by illuminating how households rearrange their financial affairs when payday loan supply changes

income portfolios in rural ethiopia and tanzania choices and constraints the article analyses the different income portfolios of households using survey data from rural ethiopia and rural tanzania it suggests that the different portfolios held by households cannot be e

farm nonfarm linkages in rural sub saharan africa this paper is an accumulation over the past 25 years of a body of detailed work examining the structure of africa s rural nonfarm economy first it systematically reviews empirical evidence on the nature and magnitude of the african rural nonfarm economy it then explores differences across locality and size across countries and over time in an effort to assess likely patterns of growth a subsequent review of key production and consumption parameters allows an estimate of the magnitude of the agricultural growth multipliers in africa the paper concludes with a brief discussion of policies and programs that will be necessary if farm nonfarm growth linkages are to achieve their full potential

rationality in psychology and economics the task i shall undertake here is to compare and contrast the concepts of rationality that are prevalent in psychology and economics respectively economics has almost uniformly treated human behavior as rational psychology on the other hand has always been concerned with both the irrational and the rational aspects of behavior in this paper irrationality will be mentioned only obliquely my concern is with rationality economics sometimes uses the term irrationality rather broadly e g becker 1962 and the term rationality correspondingly narrowly so as to exclude from the domain of the rational many phenomena that psychology would include in it for my purposes of comparison i will have to use the broader conception of psychology one point should be set immediately outside dispute everyone agrees that people have reasons for what they do they have motivations and they use reason well or badly to respond to these motivations and reach their goals even much or most of the behavior that is called abnormal involves the exercise of thought and reason freud was most insistent that there is method in madness that neuroses and psychoses were patients solutions not very satisfactory solutions in the long run for the problems that troubled them the assumption that actors maximize subjective expected utility economic rationality supplies only a small part of the premises in economic reasoning and that often not the essential part the remainder of the premises are auxiliary empirical assumptions about actors utilities beliefs expectations and the like making these assumptions correctly requires an empirically founded theory of choice that specifies what information decision makers use and how they actually process it this behavioral empirical base is largely lacking in contemporary economic analysis and supplying it is essential for enhancing the explanatory and predictive power of economics

rural nonfarm employment and farming household level linkages this article introduces the articles in agricultural economics vol 40 no 2 march 2009 first we introduce their objectives in a brief review of existing literature on developing country trends in rural income diversification in particular rural nonfarm employment rnfe and its impact on farm technology choice in crops and livestock and thus on agricultural modernization and diversification then we preview the key points of the articles which use distinctive primary datasets from albania bulgaria china india mexico nigeria the philippines senegal and vietnam to document the impacts of rnfe and their implications for farm technology and farm activity

restoring rational choice the challenge of consumer financial regulation abstract this lecture considers the case for consumer financial regulation in an environment where many households lack the knowledge to manage their financial affairs effectively the lecture argu

local government fiscal reform in developing countries lessons from kenya abstract local government fiscal reform is emerging clearly as a major development issue of the 1990s as central governments of developing countries cut back their budget growth in response to economic reality and donor pressure many are attempting to tap the underutilized potential of local authorities to help meet rising service demands drawing on a case study of the local finance system in kenya and that country s attempts at reform the challenging economic institutional and political issues that must often be confronted in such reform efforts are highlighted

agricultural technology and farm nonfarm growth linkages abstract agricultural growth stimulates rural nonfarm activity by boosting demand for production inputs and consumer goods but different kinds of agricultural technology promote different patterns of nonfarm linkages to explore how key features of agricultural technology affect growth in the rural nonfarm economy this paper reviews an array of cross section and time series evidence bearing on the dynamics of the rural nonfarm economy then using consumption and production parameters associated with different agricultural technologies it introduces a simple model which isolates the effects of different technologies on nonfarm growth linkages

rational choice the contrast between economics and psychology rational choice the published record of a conference on economics and psychology frames the issues as a contest between economic theory and the falsifying evidence from psychology according to a third perspective that of experimental economics most standard theory provides a correct first approximation in predicting motivated behavior in laboratory experimental markets but the theory is incomplete particularly in articulating convergence processes in time and in ignoring decision cost this view has roots in the work of herbert simon and sidney siegel but it is not plainly represented in contemporary research in economic pyschology