the locational determinants of direct investments among industrialized countries abstract market size and growth rate as well as tariff barriers have already been shown to influence u s direct investments in the eec the present paper enlarges the field of observation to all bilateral flows of direct investments among six industrialized countries the united states germany france the united kingdom the netherlands and belgium over the years 1969 1982 it also tests the impact of two other would be locational determinants of foreign direct investments namely unit labour costs and export flows moreover a new and alternative specification is put forward and tested which assumes that in the investment decision process foreign locations are in competition not only with each other but also with the home country of the investor

exchange rate exchange rate volatility and foreign direct investment in the light of the importance of foreign direct investment fdi for the promotion of economic development this paper examines the impact of the changes in the real exchange rate and its volatility on fdi examining japan s fdi by industries we found that the depreciation of the currency of the host country attracted fdi while the high volatility of the exchange rate discouraged fdi our results suggest the need to avoid over valuation of the exchange rate and to maintain stable but flexible exchange rate in order to attract fdi

evaluating echelon stock r nq policies in serial production inventory systems with stochastic demand this paper studies echelon stock r nq policies in serial production inventory systems with stochastic demand we provide a recursive procedure to compute the steady state echelon inventory levels of the systems which can be used to evaluate the long run average holding and backorder costs as well as other performance measures the procedure is based upon an observation of a relationship between the inventory status of adjacent stages in a serial system we also device exact formulas for replenishment frequencies and setup costs our results apply to both continuous review systems with compound poisson demand and periodic review systems with independent identically distributed demands a preliminary numerical study was conducted to explore the cost effectiveness of echelon stock r nq policies for two stage systems with simple poisson demand we compared among the minimum costs of echelon stock r nq policies a lower bound on the minimum achievable costs and the minimum costs of installation stock r nq policies finally we present a modification of an existing approximate evaluation procedure

the impact of banking deregulation on inbound foreign direct investment transaction level evidence from the united states abstract we evaluate the effects of state level banking deregulation that resulted in improved access to cheaper local finance on foreign firms investing in the u s we provide direct micro level evidence from u s inbound foreign direct investment transactions showing that interstate banking but not intrastate branching deregulation increased the number of transactions reduced the average transaction value and boosted overall investment by foreign multinationals we also show that lower cost of local credit and greater local bank competition in each state following the interstate banking deregulation are potential mechanisms that stimulated fdi activity finally we demonstrate that after the adoption of the interstate banking deregulation both the number and the average value of transactions increased in industries that are more dependent on external finance relative to industries that are less dependent

optimal policies and approximations for a serial multiechelon inventory system with time correlated demand since clark and scarf s pioneering work most advances in multiechelon inventory systems have been based on demand processes that are time independent this paper revisits the serial multiechelon inventory system of clark and scarf and develops three key results first we provide a simple lower bound approximation to the optimal echelon inventory levels and an upper bound to the total system cost for the basic model of clark and scarf second we show that the structure of the optimal stocking policy of clark and scarf holds under time correlated demand processes using a martingale model of forecast evolution third we extend the approximation to the time correlated demand process and study in particular for an autoregressive demand model the impact of lead times and autocorrelation on the performance of the serial inventory system

exchange rate and chinese outward fdi abstractdid the exchange rate er regime change that was announced by the chinese government in 2005 lead to an increased sensitivity of chinese multinational companies mncs to er fluctuations to answer this question our article considers the effect of er level volatility and expectation on the chinese outward foreign direct investment ofdi activities in 119 countries for a period of 2003 2013 we find striking evidence that chinese renminbi appreciation has a negative impact on chinese outward fdi flows and both higher er volatility and expected depreciation encourage chinese outward fdi flows we introduce two complementary effects that explain these findings repatriation effect and mercantilist effect in view of the recent debate about the growing importance of chinese renminbi in the international transactions we believe that our research results shed light on the possible impact of er policies on chinese mncs behaviour and global fdi distribution

near optimal r q policies for a two stage serial inventory system with poisson demand we consider a two stage serial inventory system whose cost structure exhibits economies of scale in both stages in the system stage 1 faces poisson demand and replenishes its inventory from stage 2 and the latter stage in turn orders from an outside supplier with unlimited stock each shipment either to stage 2 or to stage 1 incurs a fixed setup cost we derive important properties for a given echelon stock r q policy for an approximation of the problem where all states are continuous based on these properties we design a simple heuristic algorithm that can be used to find a near optimal r q policy for the original problem numerical examples are given to demonstrate the effectiveness of the algorithm

exchange rates and fdi goods versus capital market frictions changes in exchange rates affect countries through their impact on cross border activities such as trade and foreign direct investment fdi with increasing activities of multinational firms the fdi channel is likely to gain in importance economic theory provides two main explanations why changes in exchange rates can affect fdi according to the first explanation fdi reacts to exchange rate changes if there are information frictions on capital markets and if investment depends on firms net worth capital market friction hypothesis according to the second explanation fdi reacts to exchange rate changes if output and factor markets are segmented and if firm specific assets are important goods market friction hypothesis we provide a unified theoretical framework of these two explanations we analyse the implications of the model empirically using a dataset based on detailed german firm level data we find greater support for the goods market than for the capital market friction hypothesis

foreign direct investment and factor demand elasticities abstract this paper argues that the liberalisation of foreign direct investment fdi has made labour costs more important to domestic investment and long run labour demand it provides evidence from british and german data that is consistent with this view first high unit labour costs increase fdi outflows and lower fdi inflows second the effect of unit labour costs on domestic manufacturing investment was more negative in the high fdi 1980s than in the low fdi 1970s and this change was concentrated in high fdi industries the estimates suggest that the long run labour demand elasticity may have risen substantially

94 effective policies for a two stage serial inventory system with stochastic demand a two stage inventory system is considered where poisson demand occurs at stage 1 and stage 1 replenishes its inventory from stage 2 which in turn orders from an outside supplier with unlimited stock each shipment either to stage 2 or to stage 1 incurs a fixed setup cost under the assumption that the supply leadtime at stage 2 is zero we characterize a simple heuristic policy whose long run average cost is guaranteed to be within 6 of optimality i e a 94 effective policy the paper also provides heuristic policies for more general inventory systems and reports computational results

the effects of wrongful discharge protection on foreign multinationals evidence from transaction level data using detailed micro level data from 1977 to 1994 we analyze the impact of employment protection measures adopted across us states on the number and the value of new inbound foreign direct investment fdi transactions completed by foreign owned companies our findings point to a robust negative association between the implementation of employment protection laws and both the extensive and the intensive margins of fdi in the us when states adopt regulations that increase employers firing costs fdi transactions by foreign multinational companies become less frequent and decrease in value with stronger negative impacts in more labour intensive industries there is also some evidence of diversion and spillover effects from the adoption of these measures by neighbouring states

lower bounds for multi echelon stochastic inventory systems we establish lower bounds on the minimum cost of managing certain production distribution networks with setup costs at all stages and stochastic demands these networks include serial assembly and one warehouse multi retailer systems we obtain the bounds through novel cost allocation schemes we evaluate the bounds performance for one warehouse multi retailer systems by comparing them with simple heuristic policies the bounds are quite tight for systems with a small number of retailers we also present simplified proof of known optimality results for serial and assembly systems

the trap of continual ownership change in international equity joint ventures this article examines how multiple ownership changes unfold in international equity joint venture iejv evolution and how such repeated changes impact short term performance and long term survival by theorizing a new concept the trap of continual change in the iejv context we challenge the adaptive viewpoint assumed in alliance dynamics research we propose that partners sometimes respond to an initial dissatisfaction with the venture result with a dysfunctional repetition of rearranging the ownership control structure this continual change locks the organization into bad choices and sends it into a downward spiral acknowledging the mixed motive nature of inter partner relationships we incorporate cooperative versus competitive dynamics manifested in shared control arrangements we propose that shared ownership control lends stability to the iejv until the initial iejv agreement is renegotiated this stability is a result of the cooperative forces of mutual interdependence and mutual forbearance between the partners however when the power balance breaks down the potential for inter partner conflict increases when the ownership control structure of the iejv is restructured especially multiple times shared control arrangements become increasingly unstable as behavioral cultural and managerial differences are amplified

troubled banks impaired foreign direct investment the role of relative access to credit during the 1980 s theories were developed to explain the striking correlation between real exchange rates and foreign direct investment fdi however this relationship broke down for japanese fdi in the 1990 s as the real exchange rate appreciated while fdi plummeted we propose the relative access to credit hypothesis and show that unequal access to credit by japanese firms contributes to the explanation of declining japanese fdi using bank level and firm level data sets we find that financial difficulties at banks were economically and statistically important in reducing the number of fdi projects by japanese firms into the united states jel g21 f36

newsvendor bounds and heuristic for optimal policies in serial supply chains we consider the classicn stage serial supply systems with linear costs and stationary random demands there are deterministic transportation leadtimes between stages and unsatisfied demands are backlogged the optimal inventory policy for this system is known to be an echelon base stock policy which can be computed through minimizingn nested convex functions recursively to identify the key determinants of the optimal policy we develop a simple and surprisingly good heuristic this method minimizes 2 n separate newsvendor type cost functions each of which uses the original problem data only these functions are lower and upper bounds for the echelon cost functions their minimizers form bounds for the optimal echelon base stock levels the heuristic is the simple average of the solution bounds in extensive numerical experiments the average relative error of the heuristic is 0 24 with the maximum error less than 1 5 the bounds and the heuristic which can be easily obtained by simple spreadsheet calculations enhance the accessibility and implementability of the multiechelon inventory theory more importantly the closed form expressions provide an analytical tool for us to gain insights into issues such as system bottlenecks effects of system parameters and coordination mechanisms in decentralized systems

batch size and stocking levels in multi echelon repairable systems in multi echelon repairable inventory systems with high set up cost for order and or high demand rates the use of batch ordering may be more cost effective than the common s 1 s ordering policy this paper addresses the issue of determining the optimal order batch size and stocking levels at the stocking locations in such a system a power approximation is used to estimate the total system stock and backorder levels from which the optimal batch size can be readily determined a search routine involving one pass searches are then followed to obtain the stocking levels at the depot and the local sites of the system this procedure has been evaluated using 900 test cases and has been found to be very effective the power approximation approach also results in a simple analytical relationship to test whether or not s 1 s is an optimal ordering policy for repairable items in a multi echelon environment

98 effective integer ratio lot sizing for one warehouse multi retailer systems a warehouse supplies n retailers constant external demand occurs at each retailer and shortages are not allowed there are linear holding costs and fixed costs for ordering at the warehouse and at each retailer the goal is to minimize the long run average cost over an infinite time horizon we define a new class of policies for this problem whose simple structure facilitates both computation and implementation the cost of a policy that is optimal within this class is shown to be within 2 of the cost of an optimal policy for the original problem in the worst case such a policy can be computed in on log n time

the effects of real wages and labor productivity on foreign direct investment the volume of foreign direct investment fdi both into and out of the united states has grown rapidly in the past several decades theoretically labor costs in both source and host countries could be important determinants of these flows but thus far no consistently significant effects have been reported for fdi flows between the u s and other industrialized countries in this paper i estimate equations for u s fdi flows to and from five other industrialized countries the explanatory variables include both source and host country real wages and labor productivity but to put my work in perspective i shall first in section ii discuss recent literature in the area then section iii briefly discusses a theoretical model to highlight the possible effects of the labor variables the empirical procedure and results are presented in section iv and a summary in section v

modified echelon r q policies with guaranteed performance bounds for stochastic serial inventory systems we consider the classic continuous review nstage serial inventory system with a homogeneous poisson demand arrival process at the most downstream stage stage 1 any shipment to each stage regardless of its size incurs a positive fixed setup cost and takes a positive constant lead time the optimal policy for this system under the long run average cost criterion is unknown finding a good worst case performance guarantee remains an open problem we tackle this problem by introducing a class of modified echelon r q policies that do not require qi 1 qi to be a positive integer stage i 1 ships to stage i based on its observation of the echelon inventory position at stage i if it is at or below ri and stage i 1 has positive on hand inventory then a shipment is sent to stage i to raise its echelon inventory position to ri qias close as possible we construct a heuristic policy within this class of policies which has the following features first it has provably primitive dependent performance bounds in a two stage system the performance of the heuristic policy is guaranteed to be within 1 k1 k2 times the optimal cost where k1 is the downstream fixed cost and k2 is the upstream fixed cost we also provide an alternative performance bound which depends on efficiently computable optimal r q solutions to n single stage systems but tends to be tighter second the heuristic is simple it is efficiently computable and it performs well numerically it is even likely to outperform the optimal integer ratio echelon r q policies when k1 is dominated by k2 third the heuristic is asymptotically optimal when we take some dominant relationships between the setup or holding cost primitives at an upstream stage and its immediate downstream stage to the extreme for example when h2 h1 0 where h1 is the downstream holding cost parameter and h2 is the upstream holding cost parameter

optimal policies for multi echelon inventory problems with batch ordering in many production distribution systems materials flow from one stage to another in fixed lot sizes for example a retailer orders a full truckload from a manufacturer to qualify for a quantity discount a factory has a material handling system that moves full containers of parts from one production stage to the next in this paper we derive optimal policies for multi stage serial and assembly systems where materials flow in fixed batches the optimal policies have a simple structure and their parameters can be easily determined this research extends the multi echelon inventory theory in several ways it generalizes the clark scarf model by allowing batch transfers of inventories rosling 1989 shows that assembly systems can be interpreted as serial systems under the assumption that there are no setup costs we show that the series interpretation still holds when materials flow in fixed batches which satisfy a certain regularity condition finally veinott 1965 identifies an optimal policy for a single location inventory system with batch ordering this paper generalizes his result to multi echelon settings

volatility employment and the patterns of fdi in emerging markets abstract the purpose of this paper is to explore the implications of the deepening presence of multinationals in emerging markets on the cost of macroeconomic volatility there we find that macroeconomic volatility has a potentially large impact on employment and investment decisions of multinationals producing intermediate inputs in developing countries this is the case even for risk neutral multinationals as their profit function is non linear due to price and productivity effects for industries with costly capacity the multinationals would tend to invest in the more stable emerging market s higher volatility of productivity shocks in an emerging market producing the intermediate inputs reduces the multinationals expected profits high enough instability in such a market would induce the multinationals to diversify intermediate input production investing in several emerging markets this effect is stronger in lower margin industries we identify circumstances where this diversification is costly to emerging markets such a diversification increases the responsiveness of the multinationals employment in each country to productivity shocks channeling the average employment from the more to the less volatile location and reducing the multinationals total expected employment in emerging markets

explaining deindustrialization globalization failure or success although sociologists have expressed growing interest in globalization they have devoted little sustained empirical attention to the many claims made in its name i focus on the link that has been drawn between globalization and the deindustrialization of the advanced industrial societies to examine this i employ a pooled time series of cross sections data set that combines observations on 18 oecd nations across the 1968 1992 period fixed effects regression models that control for unmeasured country specific effects reveal support for arguments that implicate foreign direct investment and north south trade in the declining percentage of the labor force employed in manufacturing in the oecd countries regression results also show that deindustrialization across this period is largely explained by a model that combines an attention to the post golden age troubles of northern manufacturing with classic generalizations of the process of development interpretation of the empirical findings is tempered by an exercise in counterfactual history which reveals that deindustrialization would have been considerable in these countries even if the upswings in direct investment and southern imports had not occurred or if the performance of the manufacturing sector had been stronger

foreign direct investment in the uk evidence from a disaggregated panel of the uk food sector most empirical studies of foreign direct investment fdi typically use either a cross sectional capturing ownership specific and industry determinants or time series capturing the determinants of fdi over time approach panel data techniques however have the advantage of combining both aspects of the data using disaggregated panel data for the uk food sector a leading recipient of fdi in the uk the results in this paper highlight the predominance of ownership specific and industry characteristics in determining the presence of foreign owned firms in this sector while macro economic factors have a more marginal effect

greenfield versus merger acquisition fdi same wine different bottles relying on a large foreign direct investment fdi transaction level dataset unique both in terms of disaggregation and time and country coverage this paper examines patterns in greenfield gf versus merger acquisition ma investment although both are found to seek out large markets with low international barriers important differences emerge ma is more affected by geographic and cultural barriers and exhibits opportunistic behaviours as it is more sensitive to short run changes such as a currency crisis on the other hand gf is relatively driven by long run factors such as origincountry technological and institutional development or comparative advantage these empirical facts are consistent with the conceptual distinction made between these two modes i e ma involves transfer of ownership for integration or arbitrage reasons while gf relies on firms own capacities which are linked to the origin countries attributes they also suggest that gf and ma are likely to respond differently to policies intended to attract fdi

coordination mechanisms in decentralized serial inventory systems with batch ordering this paper studies a periodic review serial supply chain in which materials are ordered and shipped according to r nq policies three information scenarios are considered depending on the level of information available echelon local and quasilocal in the echelon scenario each stage can access the inventory and cost information within its echelon comprising the stage itself and all downstream stages in the local scenario each stage only accesses its own local information finally in the quasilocal scenario each stage knows its local information plus the actual customer demands we propose coordination schemes that regulate the stages to achieve the supply chain s optimal cost under each information setting all these coordination schemes fit comfortably within an emerging practice called supply chain finance which includes the organization and technology needed to implement them

the impact of exchange rate deviations from relative ppp equilibrium on the u s demand for foreign equities abstract applying fixed effects panel data this study investigates the impact of u s dollar exchange rate movements during different exchange rate states overvaluation and undervaluation on the monthly real gross and real net purchases of foreign equities by u s residents over the post plaza accord period the foreign equities come from 22 developed and 25 developing countries previous research has posited two alternative hypotheses regarding the relationship between exchange rates and foreign investment these are the wealth effect and the profit oriented effect the evidence herein suggests that these two hypotheses coexist we find robust evidence for a negative relationship between the exchange rate movements of an undervalued u s dollar and the demand for foreign equities for developed countries the wealth effect dominates the profit oriented effect when the u s dollar is overvalued while for developing countries the profit oriented effect dominates the wealth effect the results emphasize the importance of considering exchange rate states derived from a relative ppp equilibrium when analyzing u s allocations to foreign equities the findings with respect to the macroeconomic control variables are mainly in agreement with the predictions of international financial theory some of the results however disappear or become inconclusive for the period after the bankruptcy of lehman brothers this may be explained by the increased uncertainty in international financial markets following this unprecedented event the findings are robust with respect to different constructed equilibrium exchange rates

a simple and flexible dynamic approach to foreign direct investment growth the canada united states relationship in the context of free trade in the post war period the world economy has seen the rise and expansion of regional trading blocs and regional economic integration 1 the prime example has been the evolution of the european union since the early 1950s also significant has been the creation of the asia pacific economic cooperation area in 1989 and development of the north american free trade area dating also from 1989 this paper will focus on the canada united states relationship while the intentions of the partners to a free trade agreement are clear in the case of trade the effect on foreign direct investment fdi is ambiguous the question this paper addresses is that of how the north american free trade agreements have affected us foreign investment behaviour in canada

real exchange rate risk expectations and the level of direct investment four models of direct investment are analyzed assuming various relationships between foreign and domestic production the direct effect of risk adjusted expected real foreign currency appreciation is to lower foreign capital cost thus stimulating direct investment however when costs of other inputs are also affected induced productivity changes or output price changes may offset the direct effect reducing direct investment pooled estimation results for u s annual bilateral direct investment flows to five industrialized countries show significant reductions associated with expected appreciation of real foreign currency and significant increases associated with risk these results are consistent with the model where in response to risk the multinational firm reduces exports to the foreign country but offsets this somewhat by increasing foreign capital input and production

on strategic vertical foreign investment we investigate the strategic incentives for vertical foreign direct investment by oligopolistic firms under exchange rate uncertainty domestic final good firms meet their input requirements either by investing abroad and producing directly through a subsidiary intra firm trade or by buying from an oligopolistic market abroad inter firm trade firms undertaking vertical investment can bid up the input price faced by their rivals through strategic purchase we demonstrate the possibility of vertical foreclosure multiple equilibria complementarity and bunching of investment decisions increase in the variability of exchange rate has positive effects on foreign direct investment and trade in the intermediate good an appreciation of investor s currency has similar effects

the process of direct foreign investment a considerable amount of the economic literature concerning direct foreign investment dfi has been devoted to the question of why firms choose to become multinational this question has occupied both theorists of multinational enterprises mne s 1 6 7 9 11 and those who have done statistical studies of mne s 2 3 8 certainly a firm s decision to invest directly abroad rather than export goods produced at a single location is a central question in the analysis of mne s as the number of mne s continues to rise though it becomes increasingly useful to investigate the behavior of firms that are already multinational is it true for example that the factors that initially make a firm more likely to become a multinational also cause the firm to increase the size of its foreign investment kogut has argued that t here is a fallacy of explanation of genesis in failing to distinguish between the initial investment decision and the subsequent incremental investment flows 10 38 he argues that dfi should be analyzed as a flow and that the mne engages in this flow of foreign investment in order to capitalize on the flexibility inherent in the firm s multinationality thus dfi should be studied as a process and not as a onetime decision this paper formally develops this idea in the context of a model of international trade developed by helpman that incorporates mne s 6 the rest of this paper is organized as follows section ii contains a brief summary of the model that helpman has developed as an extension of helpman the model is used to develop the distinction between the decision to become multinational and the decision to add incremental flows to the direct foreign investment section iii discusses a method for testing whether there is a distinction between the decision to become a multinational and the decision to continue flows of incremental investment section iv presents the results of such a test using a sample of u s multinational firms conclusions are presented in section v

determinants of foreign direct investment a tale of nine theoretical models abstract this paper presents a review of nine theoretical models of foreign direct investment fdi discussed are early studies of determinants of fdi 1 as well as determinants of fdi based on the neoclassical trade theory 2 ownership advantages 3 aggregate variables 4 the ownership location and internalization advantage framework 5 horizontal and vertical fdi models 6 the knowledge capital model 7 diversified fdi and risk diversification models 8 and policy variables 9 from each of the nine theories the relevant determinants of fdi are derived empirical studies indicate the importance of these determinants in the real world the paper shows that there is not one single theory of fdi but a variety of theoretical models attempting to explain fdi and the location decision of multinational firms therefore any analysis of determinants of fdi should not be based on a single theoretical model instead fdi should be explained more broadly by a combination of factors from a variety of theoretical models such as ownership advantages or agglomeration economics market size and characteristics cost factors transport costs protection risk factors and policy variables

exact and approximate evaluation of batch ordering policies for two level inventory systems we consider a two level inventory system with one warehouse and n identical retailers lead times transportation times are constant and the retailers face independent poisson demand in a previous paper we derived a recursive procedure for determining the policy costs for an average item in case of one for one replenishment policies in this paper we show how these results can be used for the exact or approximate evaluation of more general policies where both the retailers and the warehouse order in batches we compare our methods to the method recently suggested by a svoronos and p zipkin

exchange rates and competition for fdi in asia this paper argues that relative exchange rates between the host countries of foreign direct investment affect their competition for fdi specifically if the host country currency appreciates against the source country s currency more than that of its rival fdi inflows of the host country will decrease while fdi inflows increase in the rival country using the data of japanese fdi in nine asian manufacturing sectors from 1981 to 2002 the paper examines the hypothesis in the context of the competition between china and asean 4 indonesia malaysia the philippines and thailand empirical results show that the relative exchange rate is a statistically significant factor that determines the relative inflows of japanese fdi for manufacturing as a whole and for such sub sectors as textiles food electronics transportation equipment and others exchange rate policies of china and asean 4 played a critical role in dynamically reshaping the geographic distribution of japanese fdi in asia

is aquaculture pro poor empirical evidence of impacts on fish consumption in bangladesh summary aquaculture is widely held to contribute to poverty reduction and food security in the global south but robust evidence is limited using nationally representative data from bangladesh this study analyses changes in fish consumption from 2000 to 2010 rapid expansion of commercial aquaculture pegged down fish prices resulting in increased fish consumption by extreme poor and moderate poor consumers and those in rural areas these outcomes are closely linked to the pro poor nature of national economic growth during this period these findings contribute to a broadening of the debate on whether the growth of aquaculture in bangladesh has been pro poor