legislative district configurations and fiscal policy in american states in accordance with the median voter theorem the median legislator is decisive in representative democracy if the preferences of the median legislator differ from the preferences of the median voter in the polity fiscal policy choices will predictably diverge from those favored by the median voter this paper seeks to identify the median district and therein the preferences driving the median legislator in american state legislatures using economic characteristics of constituents we find substantial differences between the median district and the statewide median as the income of the median district rises above the median income of the polity government expenditures increase in addition the degree to which income is skewed across legislative districts affects spending for redistribution programs finally we find that direct democracy procedures which allow the statewide median voter to check legislative decisions limit the impact of differences between the district and polity medians

the futile quest for a grand explanation of long run government expenditure this paper carries out a critical reappraisal of the two contending theories purporting to explain long run government spending wagner s law and different variants of the ratchet effect we analyze data spanning from the early 19 th century until the present day in sweden and the united kingdom hence in contrast to previous studies we evaluate the validity of wagner s law and the ratchet effect hypothesis over a very long time period starting at the beginning of industrialization cointegration analysis is used to investigate the long run relationships between government expenditure and gdp focusing on sub periods and structural breaks moreover we test the ratchet effect hypothesis by estimating models which allow for asymmetric adjustment according to our main results wagner s law does not hold in the long run although the data are consistent with wagner s law between roughly 1860 and the mid 1970s this can be traced to the formation of the modern public sector including the introduction of public education health care and so forth yet wagner s law did not hold during the initial industrialization phase before 1860 and in recent periods gdp only affects the government spending share when we control for population age structure finally we find some evidence of asymmetric adjustment in the uk particularly in the post wwii period however the ratchet effect is not a general cause of the growth of government spending

wagner s hypothesis evidence from kuwait using cointegration tests this paper investigates the relationship between public expenditure and a number of socioeconomic variables including the level of income in kuwait a general form of the public expenditure function is formulated and recent developments in time series econometrics including unit roots and cointegration tests and an error correction model are used given the characteristics of the economy alternative measures for each variables are used the analysis in the paper is based on time series data covering the period from 1969 70 to 1994 95 in general the findings lend little support to the existence of long run equilibrium relationship between public expenditure and the socioeconomic variables and the evidence does not lend support to the validity of wagner s law in kuwait

an empirical re examination of wagner s law abstract it is argued in this paper that for a more meaningful test of wagner s law allowance must be made in regard to prevalence of peace and stability using six different versions and employing both nominal and real data from ten states of the united states wagner s law is vindicated

a test of the wagner s hypothesis for the fiji islands in this article we examine wagner s law for fiji for the period 1970 to 2002 using the johansen 1988 test for cointegration we find one cointegration relationship between national output and government expenditure using five different long run estimators we find robust results on the impact of national income on government expenditure the elasticity ranges from 1 36 to 1 44 implying that a 1 increase in income leads to a 1 36 1 44 increase in government expenditure moreover we find that in the long run national income granger causes government expenditure while these results are consistent with wagner s law we warn policy makers that because fiji s total debt stands at around 69 of gdp in future the bulk of expenditure will go towards debt financing at the expense of productive sectors

causality between public expenditure and national income this paper deploys the granger method to determine the directions and patterns of causality between national income and total as well as various components of public expenditure empirical results based on the data for india 1950 81 suggest that while at the disaggregate level the causal process is rather diverse it is essentially feed back type at the aggregate level it neither confirms the wagnerian income public expenditure nor the keynesian public expenditure national income view the paper recommends that two variables be treated as jointly dependent in both the public finance and macroeconometric studies

ideology and the growth of government abstract we analyze the impact of ideology on the size of government in a simple model the government sets redistribution and provision of public services according to the preferences of the median voter ideology is defined in terms of preferences for public services and the impact of ideology on the size of government is shown to increase with mean income this idea is tested using measures of ideology based on party manifestos we show that the interaction of ideology and mean income has a major role in explaining the increase and divergence in government size observed across oecd countries

political and institutional determinants of fiscal policy in the european community in recent theoretical and empirical research the variation in political and institutional arrangements which may affect the process of national policy formation is examined in order to explain cross country differences with respect to fiscal policies pursued in this paper we build upon this literature and examine whether and how cross country differences in debt accumulation and public sector size of member countries of the european community during the 1980s can be explained we conclude that the growth of government debt is positively related to the frequency of government changes and negatively to sound budgetary procedures in countries with left wing governments the growth of the share of government spending in total output generally tends to be higher

openness external risk and volatility implications for the compensation hypothesis a central assumption in the globalization literature is that economic openness generates economic insecurity and volatility based on this assumption schol ars of international political economy have proposed the compensation hypothesis which claims that globalization bolsters rather than undermines the welfare state by increasing public demand for social protection against externally generated eco nomic instability the openness volatility link is dubious however on both theoret ical and empirical grounds in this study i revisit the volatility assumption focusing on a crucial difference between openness and external risk in their effect on volatil ity my statistical analysis of a panel data set from 175 countries 1950 2002 finds a consistent effect of external risk on volatility of the major economic aggregates but a largely insignificant effect of openness these findings suggest that economic volatility may be a mistaken link in explaining the openness spending nexus calling for further research on the causal mechanisms linking the two the general growth of government in the post world war ii era is one of the most important empirical regularities in political science measured by general govern ment consumption or sectoral expenditures government size grew dramatically during most of the postwar period intrigued by this phenomenal government growth political scientists offered numerous accounts some viewing this growth as a corollary of economic phenomena such as modernization industrialization income distribution or fiscal illusion and others attributing government growth to political causes such as bureaucratization interest group politics and electoral competition 1

tax competition among u s states racing to the bottom or riding on a seesaw abstract dramatic declines in capital tax rates among u s states and european countries have been linked by many commentators to tax competition an inevitable race to the bottom and underprovision of local public goods this paper analyzes the reaction of capital tax policy in a given u s state to changes in capital tax policy by other states our study is undertaken with a novel panel data set covering the 48 contiguous u s states for the period 1965 to 2006 and is guided by the theory of strategic tax competition the latter suggests that capital tax policy is a function of foreign out of state tax policy preferences for government services and home state and foreign state economic and demographic conditions the slope of the reaction function the equilibrium response of home state to foreign state tax policy is negative contrary to casual evidence and many prior empirical studies of fiscal reaction functions this result which stands in contrast to most published findings is due to two critical elements that allow for delayed responses to foreign tax changes and responses to aggregate shocks omitting either of these elements leads to a misspecified model and a positively sloped reaction function our results suggest that the secular decline in capital tax rates at least among u s states reflects synchronous responses among states to common shocks rather than competitive responses to foreign state tax policy while striking given prior empirical findings these results are fully consistent with the implications of the theoretical model developed in this paper and presented elsewhere in the literature rather than racing to the bottom our findings suggest that states are riding on a seesaw consequently tax competition may lead to an increase in the provision of local public goods and policies aimed at restricting tax competition to stem the tide of declining capital taxation are likely to be ineffective

the groves scheme profit sharing and moral hazard considered in this paper is the problem of intrafirm resource allocation two incentive schemes the groves scheme and profit sharing have been presented in the literature as ways of dealing with this problem under conditions of asymmetric information in the absence of effort aversion by division managers it has been shown that truth telling forms a dominant strategy equilibrium using the groves scheme and a nash equilibrium using profit sharing the analysis in this paper allows for the problem of moral hazard effort aversion as well as the problem of asymmetric information it is shown that for a deterministic case in which the headquarters seeks to maximize a measure of total profits gross of divisional rewards a reinterpreted groves scheme will yield a dominant equilibrium at this equilibrium the headquarters implicitly considers the division managers effort levels as a cost to the firm it is also shown that in the presence of moral hazard profit sharing will not generally yield a nash equilibrium furthermore profit sharing may encourage the transmission of misinformation by a division manager so as to change the division s capital allocation and reduce the effort level subsequently selected by the manager

estimating the permanent income elasticity of government expenditures evidence on wagner s law based on oil price shocks this paper provides instrumental variable estimates of the permanent income elasticity of government expenditures it uses annual variation in the international oil price weighted with countries average oil net export gdp shares as a plausibly exogenous source of within country variation in countries permanent income the short run estimates of the permanent income elasticity are robust across alternative specifications and are below one the estimated elasticity coefficients range between 0 3 and 0 6 and have standard errors of 0 1 and 0 4 respectively point estimates of long run elasticities are somewhat larger but still smaller than unity the investment component of government spending is found to be more elastic than the consumption component whereas elasticity differences between rich and poor countries are insignificant

a disequilibrium model of public spending abstract this paper proposes a disequilibrium model of public spending empirical results show that public spending is constrained by the supply side for low per capita income countries and the demand side forhigh income countries

filling the poverty gap multiple transfer program participation ata from the 1979 income survey development program are used to describe multiple transfer program participation and its effect on the poverty rate and the poverty gap of 87 1 million u s families and unrelated individuals 40 percent received some government transfer in april 1979 further more than 80 percent of pretransfer poor families received some transfer the benefits received by the elderly succeeded in reducing their poverty rate from 68 to 10 percent and reducing their poverty gap by 96 percent in contrast government transfers reduced the poverty rate for single parent families from a pretransfer rate of 48 percent to a posttransfer rate of 30 percent an examination of target efficiency indicates that 82 percent of all income conditioned transfers go to the pretransfer poor

an econometric test of wagner s law for six countries based on cointegration and error correction modelling techniques the present study empirically examined five different versions of wagner s law by employing annual time series data on six countries over the period 1951 1996 three countries are part of the emerging industrialized countries of asia south korea taiwan thailand and three are industrialized countries japan usa and the united kingdom the analysis is an advance over previous work in two ways first the stationarity propertities of the data and the order of integration of the data are empirically investigated using the augmented dickey fuller adf and the kwiatkowski et al journal of econometrics 1 1992 kpss tests and second the hypothesis of a long run relationship between income and government spending is tested using bivariate cointegrated systems and employing the methodology of cointegration analysis as suggested by johansen journal of economic dynamics and control 12 1988 and johansen and juselius oxford bulletin of economics and statistics 52 1990 the results indicate that

the aging population and the size of the welfare state is there a puzzle abstract razin sadka and swagel razin asaf efraim sadka and phillip swagel 2002 the aging population and the size of the welfare state the journal of political economy vol 110 no 4 pp 900 918 unveil a puzzling fact the welfare state appears to be shrinking even as the dependency ratio rises while they formulate an elegant political economy model to explain the coexistence of an aging population and declining transfers the resolution of the puzzle turns out to be much simpler labor tax rates and per capita transfers are negatively correlated with the dependency ratio in advanced economies only because this measure includes children as well as retirees both labor tax rates and per capita transfers in advanced economies are in fact historically positively correlated with the ratio of retirees to the working age population and negatively correlated with the ratio of children to the working age population increasing the number of retirees shifts preferences toward higher taxes and transfers by increasing the fraction of the population that receives transfers in contrast workers with more children prefer to spend more of their lifetime income while raising dependents so they prefer smaller public pension systems these results suggest that fiscal leakage from workers to retirees is not required to explain the broad trends in the transfer policies of advanced economies

an investigation of the public deficts and government spending relationship evidence for greece this paper tests the validity of the buchanan wagner hypothesis for greece that increases in public spending are the result of the tolerance of large deficits over the period 1961 1994 to test this hypothesis three unit root pretests the dickey fuller phillips perron and kwiatkowski et al and maximum likelihood estimation techniques of cointegrating vectors and a vector error correction model are employed a long run relationship is found to exist among government spending deficit income wages and adult population and the importance of short run deviations are presented the empirical evidence suggests that buchanan and wagner hypothesis seems to find support for greece in the long run and the short run further productivity in the public sector is lower than in the private sector and the growth of income is not an important determinant of the increase in the relative size of public spending

asymmetries in the conditional relation of government expenditure and economic growth previous studies on the relationship between government expenditure and economic growth have invariably aggregated periods of strong and weak gdp growth and reported a single government expenditure response coefficient estimate we argue that traditional test specifications of this relationship suffer from aggregation or omitted variables biases by failing to distinguish between diverse economic growth experiences and their impact on government expenditure we reexamine the evidence concerning wagner s law using a proposed conditional test specification that is capable of a separating periods of strong and weak economic growth b accommodating possible asymmetries in the marginal responses of government expenditure to variations in economic growth and c distinguishing between positive and negative asymmetries in such responses we present evidence showing that a the majority of government expenditure responses tend to occur during periods of an economic slowdown characterized by gdp growth t

explaining service price differences in international comparisons this paper reexamines observed international differences in the price of services and the positive correlation of these with per capita gdp differences using a general trade model with a nontraced sector the authors find that differences in countries factor endowments populations trade policies and trade balances will have ambiguous and sometimes opposite effects on their service prices and real incomes estimating the service price equation using recent data suggests that larger endowments of agricultural land minerals and capital larger trade deficits and higher prices for tradables increase service prices conversely larger populations and labor forces reduce service prices copyright 1991 by american economic association

wagner s hypothesis in time series and cross section perspectives evidence from real data for 115 countries internationally comparable data on income and government expenditure for 115 countries covering the period 1950 80 are used to assess the validity of wagner s hypothesis individual country time series data and several intercountry cross sections are studied besides a tremendous diversity in the position for various countries the results indicate that while there is support for the hypothesis in some time series data sets such support is lacking in most cross section estimates much of the support for the hypothesis reported in many earlier studies therefore was probably due to either use of limited samples or inadequate data comparability across the observations studied copyright 1987 by mit press

a bound testing analysis of wagner s law in nigeria 1970 2006 this study tests wagner s law the tendency for government activities to expand along with economic expansion for nigeria using annual time series data between 1970 and 2006 it adopts the bounds test approach proposed by pesaran et al 2001 based on unrestricted error correction model uecm and toda and yamamoto s 1995 granger noncausality tests empirical results from the bounds test indicate that there exists no long run relationship between government expenditure and output in nigeria in addition toda and yamamoto s 1995 causality test results show that wagner s law does not hold for more than the period being tested rather we found a weak empirical support in the proposition by keynes that public expenditure is an exogenous factor and a policy instrument for increasing national income

do more open economies have bigger governments another look abstract we reconsider the evidence of a positive relationship between openness and the size of government recently established by rodrik rodrik d 1998 why do more open economies have bigger governments journal of political economy 106 997 1032 and others while the existing literature focuses on expenditure based measures of government we consider non budgetary measures such as government ownership of enterprises price controls asset expropriation each of these may have little impact on government expenditures yet can make the role of government sizable we demonstrate that the scope of government is much larger in less open economies when considering non budgetary measures additionally we show that higher levels of non budgetary government are positively correlated with trade barriers finally we provide further evidence on the hypothesis that larger governments provide social insurance in open economies subject to terms of trade shocks although we find that greater terms of trade risk is weakly associated with larger government in all forms these interventions include price controls and greater risk of asset expropriation which are hard to reconcile with a pure insurance motive

modelling economic circuit flows in a social accounting matrix framework an application to portugal aggregated social accounting matrices sams will be built for the portuguese economy in 1997 1998 and 1999 based on the country s national accounts statistics the sams will be shown as a working instrument for quantifying the flows in the economic circuit and for simulating the effects resulting from changes in such flows the economic flows associated with the government subsectors will be emphasized whilst accounting and fixed price multipliers will be calculated to facilitate the study of the effects resulting from changes in the government s expenditure which will also be subjected to a test on their veracity

insurance premium allocation and loss prevention in a large firm a principal agent analysis abstract faced with increased insurance costs large firms are turning to a more systematic allocation of premium costs to subsidiaries an approach which capitalizes on economies of scale in a corporate wide management of aggregated risks risk pooled across divisions as well as subsidiaries such practice however raises a number of problems i what part of the aggregate risk should the firm self insure ii how should premium costs be allocated between subsidiaries iii how much effort should subsidiaries invest in loss prevention programs and how should they manage claims i e co insure themselves iv how can the parent firm induce managers of subsidiaries to control subsidiaries risk thereby reducing future premium payments and moral hazard or what premium incentive scheme can the firm devise to penalize or compensate subsidiaries investing less than an optimal effort in loss prevention to deal with these problems a conceptual framework based on a principal agents analysis and the definition of a liability account for each subsidiary is developed which is used to reduce the problems of moral hazard due to a less than perfect or indirect monitoring system specifically assumption regarding the premium allocation incentive scheme are made and explicit solutions are obtained for the control of subsidiaries loss prevention effort allocation

the curious attraction of wagner s law wagner s law of increasing state activity has recently been subjected to intensive use of recondite econometric testing procedures an examination of the relevant articles reveals ignorance both of wagner s definition of state activity and of his insistence that he was not engaged in prediction consequently the omission of public enterprises contained in wagner s definition leads to a model misspecification and the object of testing his hypothesiss remains obscure

comparing evidence on wagner s hypothesis from conventional and real data abstract conventional and internationally comparable data for 34 countries are utilized to assess the relationship between general government expenditure and income while the conventional data can be deemed as mildly supportive of wagner s hypothesis evidence from the icp data suggests a decline in the share of general government as income per capita rises

wagner s law revisited cointegration and causality tests for new zealand wagner s law states that the share of government expenditure in gross national product gnp will increase with economic development many associated empirical studies substitute gnp with gross domestic product gdp this article presents an empirical investigation into the validity of wagner s law for new zealand over the period 1960 to 2007 and compares the results obtained using these two measures of output application of the autoregressive distributed lag ardl bounds test suggests a cointegrating relationship between either output measure and the share of government spending and further application of general to specific gets engle and granger eg phillip hansen s fully modified ordinary least squares fmols and johansen s time series techniques illustrate statistical robustness and an income elasticity between 0 56 and 0 84 the results suggest that output measures granger cause the share of government expenditure in the long run thereby providing support for wagner s law and these resul

taxation aggregate activity and economic growth cross country evidence on some supply side hypotheses data from sixty three countries are used to examine the impact of average and marginal tax rates on the level and growth of economic activity apparent negative effects of tax rates on growth disappear upon controlling for 1 potential endogeneity of average tax rates to per capita income and 2 the relation between economic growth and per capita income however controlling for average tax rates increases in marginal tax rates have negative effects on the level of economic activity this evidence supports the hypothesis that reductions in the progressivity of tax rates induce a parallel shift upward in the growth path

the determination of unemployment benefits while much empirical research exists on labor market consequences of unemployment benefits there is remarkably little evidence on the forces determining benefits we present a simple model where workers desire insurance against unemployment risk and benefits increase the unemployment rate we then conduct one of the first empirical analyses of the determinants of the parameters of the benefit system using data for developed countries for 1971 89 controlling for year and country fixed effects and the government s political color we find evidence that the level of benefits falls when the unemployment rate is high this is consistent with wright s tax effect

economic growth and government expenditure evidence from a new test specification a new test specification of wagner s law of public expenditure has been formulated the aim is to disentangle the effects of accelerating and decelerating economic growth on growth in government expenditure two alternative proxies for the state of the economy are experimented with the first defines the current state of the economy by relating it to its historical mean growth rate while the second defines it relative to a pooled time series cross sectional mean growth rate this distinction is then explicitly incorporated into an error correction model that parameterizes the bivariate relation between government expenditure and economic growth for alternative oecd country groupings the results suggest that government expenditure increases less than proportionately with accelerating economic growth and decreases more than proportionately with decelerating economic growth there is only a limited support for wagner s law

wagner s law versus displacement effect abstractthe public sector has grown dramatically over the past few centuries in many developed countries in this article we use wavelet methods to distinguish between two leading explanations for this growth wagner s law and the displacement effect in doing so we use the long term data of 10 oecd countries for a maximum time span of 1800 2009 we find that the validity of wagner s law is likely to vary strongly over time for each country a roughly similar feature in most of the countries is that the law is less valid in the earliest stage of economic development as well as in the advanced stages with the validity tending to follow an inverted u shaped pattern with economic development further our results indicate that the long run growth of government size cannot be adequately explained by wagner s law on the other hand the displacement effect appears to account for the bulk of the growth in most of the countries

testing wagner versus keynes using disaggregated public expenditure data for canada this paper attempts to test wagnerian versus keynesian hypotheses by examining the relationship between national income and total public expenditure as well as its various components for canada during the period 1950 1995 engle and granger s two step cointegration and error correction techniques are employed to test these two hypotheses the results of this study support both the hypotheses when tested with broader aggregate expenditure data i e total government current expenditure ce and total current expenditures on goods and services cegs although the results of this study do not support the existence of any long run relationship between gdp and the disaggregated public expenditure variables they do support the existence of short run causation implying that national income may be causing or caused by a component of the total government current expenditure in the short run

federal legislative activism in australia a new approach to testing wagner s law this paper considers the relationship between government growth and real gdp per capita by developing models of federal legislative output in australia since 1901 growth in legislation is found to be negatively related to growth in real income per capita in the short run implying that legislation responds to temporary economic shocks but without a robust long run relationship with the level of income the growth in the number of pages of legislation enacted and legislative complexity also show a negative short run relationship with growth in real national income per capita and a positive long run relationship with the level of income

the growth of government in italy evidence from 1861 to 1979 that the public sector has grown both in absolute terms and relative to the rest of the economy is an undisputable fact that both growth rates have accelerated in recent history is also an unchallenged fact more cautious must we be about why these trends have occurred and are persisting we have tested three partially competing theories of government growth using italian annual data from 1861 to 1979 and assessed that the redistribution model explains the facts better than either the public goods model or the specialized interest hypothesis although the latter tells the most convincing story about the causes underlying transfers to firms we have also tried to discriminate between two competing views of a politician the value free intermediary found in the median voter literature and the entrepreneur emphasized in the theory of agency costs the bits of evidence we gathered are more consistent with a politician entrepreneur than a politician intermediary

did fiscal institutions affect wagner s law in italy during 1951 2009 period an empirical analysis in this article we test wagner s assumption of the one sided directional flow moving from economic growth to public spending in italy for the 1951 2009 period we pay particular attention to the impact of certain regime shifts related to changes in italian budget regulations and procedures and the relevance of fiscal institutions to the fiscal performance equation i e the public spending national income nexus the error correction model is estimated to measure short run dynamic effects and the long run equilibrium between the two time series the empirical evidence suggests that wagner s law is supported in regard to policy implications we find that public spending reacted less to positive changes in economic growth when the strengthening of the ministry of finance occurred in 1997 ciampi s reform some sensitivity analyses confirm our empirical evidence

a causal relationship between government spending and economic development an empirical examination of the greek economy during the past few years in many countries both developed and developing there has been a tendency to increase government spending this article intends to examine this tendency of the public sector as well as the existing relationship between the extent of government spending and economic development the data used cover a time period between 1960 and 2001 an effort is made to determine causal relationships between spending and economic development through the use of wagner s theory

asymmetric information incentives and intrafirm resource allocation this paper considers the question how should a firm allocate a resource among divisions when the productivity of the resource in each division is known only to the division manager obviously if the divisions as represented by their managers are indifferent among various allocations of the resource the headquarters can simply request the division managers to reveal their private information on productivity knowing that the managers have no incentive to lie the resource allocation problem can then be solved under complete or at least symmetric information this aspect is a flaw in much of the recent literature on this topic i e there is nothing in the models considered which makes divisions prefer one allocation over another thus although in some cases elaborate allocation schemes are proposed and analyzed they are really unnecessary in the model we develop a division can produce the same output with less managerial effort if it is allocated more resources and effort is costly to the manager we further assume that this effort is unobservable by the headquarters so that it cannot infer divisional productivity from data on divisional output and managerial effort given these assumptions we seek an optimal resource allocation process our results show that certain types of transfer pricing schemes are optimal in particular if there are no potentially binding capacity constraints on production of the resource then an optimal process is for each division to choose a transfer price from a schedule announced by the headquarters division managers receive a fixed compensation minus the cost of the resource allocated to them at the chosen transfer price resources are allocated on the basis of the chosen transfer prices if there is a potentially binding constraint on resource production a somewhat more complicated but similar scheme is required

testing the buchanan wagner hypothesis european evidence from panel unit root and cointegration tests according to the buchanan wagnerhypothesis public deficits reduce theperceived price of public goods to thecurrent generation of voters who in turn increase the demands for such socialservices several recent studies haveattempted to test this proposition in thispaper we apply modern time seriestechniques organized around panel unit rootand panel cointegration to draw sharperconclusions from the short time series thatare typically available we find that thereis a long run positive relationship betweengovernment spending and government deficitsfor each country individually as well asfor the panel as a whole this providessupport for the bw hypothesis we alsoanalyze the implications for the relativeproductivity performance of the public andprivate sector the existence of scaleeconomies in the provision of publicservices as well as the extent of crowdingout effects

optimal transfer pricing schemes for work averse division managers with private information abstract this paper models a decentralized firm under information asymmetry and effort disutility on the part of managers we assume that managers choose efforts before observing some private information however after the effort choice managers receive private information on their cost parameters which they report to the headquarters there exist many situations in which managers need to take efforts before obtaining private information for example the regular maintenance effort on the machine the effort on rd 2 under certain demand conditions managers cannot receive any information rent benefit for their private information even if they have the option to renege on the contract after obtaining their private information

testing wagner s law using disaggregated public expenditure data in the case of greece 1958 93 the factors that have influenced the growth of public expenditures have been the subject of extensive theoretical and empirical research the validity of wagner s law in the case of greece is tested using disaggregated public expenditure data for the period 1958 93 the methodology employed is that of cointegration and the related notion of error correction results reported here suggest that in the case of greece only the growth of defence expenditure may be explained in terms of wagner s law

keynes versus wagner public expenditure and national income for three african countries the public expenditure income hypothesis has long been debated in economics following keynes public expenditure is seen as an exogenous factor to be used as a policy instrument to influence growth on the other hand wagner argues that expenditure is an endogenous factor or an outcome not a cause of growth in national income the purpose of this paper is to apply both the granger and holmes hutton statistical procedures to test the income expenditure hypothesis for three african countries ghana kenya and south africa we find that the hypothesis of public expenditure causing national income is not supported by the data for these african countries

short and long term relation between economic development and government spending the role of quality of institutions abstractthis paper tests the wagner s assumption of the one sided directional flow moving from economic growth to public spending considering an international database over the 1996 2012 period by

openness government size and the terms of trade this paper investigates the relationship between trade openness and the size ofngovernments both theoretically and empirically we argue that openness can increase the size of governments through two channels 1 a terms of trade externality whereby trade lowers the domestic cost of taxation and 2 the demand for insurance whereby trade raises risk and public transfers we provide a unified framework for studying and testing these two mechanisms our main theoretical prediction is that the relative strength of the two explanations depends on a key parameter namely the elasticity of substitution between domestic and foreign goods moreover while the first mechanism is inefficient from the standpoint of world welfare the second is instead optimal in the empirical part of the paper we provide new evidence on the positive association between openness and government size and we explore its determinants consistently with the terms of trade externality channel we show that the correlation is contingent on a low elasticity of substitution between domestic and foreign goods our findings raise warnings that globalization may have led to inefficiently large governments

cointegration and wagner s hypothesis time series evidence for canada it is argued that wagner s hypothesis is essentially a proposition about the secular comovement of income growth and public spending using the engle and granger cointegration tests and time series data from canada the long run validity of wagner s hypothesis is maintained

ease vs noise long run changes in the value of transport dis amenities for a complete cost benefit analysis of durable infrastructures it is important to understand how the value of non market goods such as transit time and environmental quality changes as incomes rise in the long run we use difference in differences and spatial differencing to estimate the land price capitalization effects of metro rail in berlin germany today and a century ago over this period the negative implicit hedonic price of rail noise tripled our results imply income elasticities of the value of noise reduction and transport access of 2 2 and 1 4 substantially exceeding cross sectional contingent valuation estimates

the size and composition of government expenditure abstract this paper tests several leading hypotheses on determinants of government expenditure the purpose is to avoid omitted variables bias by testing the prominent theories in a comprehensive specification to identify persistent puzzles for the current set of theories and to explore those puzzles in greater depth by looking at the composition of government expenditure and the level of government at which it takes place as well as its magnitude using government financial statistics data from the imf covering over 100 countries from 1970 2000 i look at cross sectional and inter temporal variation in government expenditure and both individual categories of expenditure such as defense education health care and different levels of government central and local among other results i find a new explanation for wagner s law widespread evidence that preference heterogeneity leads to decentralization rather than outright decreases in expenditures that a great deal of the expenditure associated with increased trade openness is not in categories that explicitly insure for risk and evidence that both political access and income inequality affect the extent of social insurance

level of aggregation variable elasticity and wagner s law abstract this paper contends that income elasticities of all types of u s government expenditures but one are constant and less than unity the u s non defense government expenditure is the only one that supports wagner s law as it suggests this expenditure grows faster than income

a logistic growth theory of public expenditures a study of five countries over 100 years this paper offers a new theory and empirical testing of long term trends of public expenditures for five countries while wagner s law would imply an exponential growth process of the ratio between public expenditures and national income g y the law should be rejected both on theoretical and empirical grounds because it disregards the role of ever increasing distortionary taxation however under some conditions the combination of wagner s law and the pigou s conjecture that the excess burden of taxation constrains the growth of public expenditures can be captured by a non linear first order differential equation the equation is the verhulst s logistic originally invented to model malthusian predictions on population growth the integration of a verhulst equation generates an s shaped curve this analytical framework combines intuitions from a welfare economics and a public choice perspective and potentially offers a new research strategy on the dynamics of government expenditures we offer preliminary econometric estimates on long run trends around 1870 1990 of g y in u s u k france germany italy these estimates confirm a pattern of similar trajectories in spite of different national parameters and suggest that the logistic view of growth of government is consistent with observed data

public expenditure and economic growth in the gulf cooperation council countries this article uses a dynamic model calibrated to the gulf cooperation council gcc countries data to examine the nature of the relationship between government expenditure and economic growth the article finds that national income is a predictive factor of the expanding role of government as postulated by wagner empirical investigations do not support the hypothesis of public expenditure causing national income as proposed by the keynesian theory

public expenditure growth in greece and portugal wagner s law and beyond in the tradition of wagner s law this study examines the relationship between aggregate income and public expenditures in greece and portugal during the years 1958 85 unlike more conventional specifications our analysis focuses on the movement of different componenets of public expenditures permanent income relative prices stabilization policy and socio political factors emerge as thomain determinants of public expenditures while the results reveal significant difference in responses to these determinants across components of expenditures and between the two countries

the distribution and anti poverty effectiveness of u s transfers 1992 in 1992 federal state and local governments spent almost 1 3 trillion for social welfare programs this paper examines program participation and the anti poverty effectiveness of nine selected social welfare programs the results suggest that the benefits from these programs are fairly well targeted with the elderly disabled and those with poor labor market prospects receiving most of the benefits

tax and spend or spend and tax empirical evidence from greece spain portugal and ireland the paper examines empirically the relationship between government revenues and expenditures in four european countries greece spain ireland and portugal in relative terms all four may be considered as the poorest members of the european union yet they present a fairly diverse picture as far as their macroeconomic performance and fiscal position is concerned the empirical findings from cointegration and causality tests that are reported here indicate that in the case of greece and ireland tax and spending decisions are taken simultaneously by the fiscal authority the tax and spend hypothesis is supported in the case of spain while absence of any causal ordering between government expenditure and tax revenues has been established for portugal

bicameral legislatures and fiscal policy john stuart mill s observation in the mid 19th century is clearly outdated the two chamber question receives scant attention in modern political economy the absence of continued debate might simply reflect a general satisfaction with the dual chambered structure as a desirable democratic institution most developed democracies and all but one of the american states have adopted a bicameral legislative structure in this paper we stress the many variations in bicameralism even among the american states and the effects these variations have on policy making and fiscal outcomes put simply bicameralism is not an all or none institution instead bicameralism is a variable institution that alters the identity of the median legislator within each chamber and determines the similarity of the dominant coalitions between the two chambers in this perspective the impact of bicameralism on policy comes principally from the different bases of representation across the two chambers moreover the analysis stresses that the degree of bicameralism changes regularly as a consequence of the redistricting process the remainder of the paper is organized as follows section 2 reviews the main conceptual arguments underlying the function of a bicameral organization section 3 examines implications for fiscal policy using data from the american states we develop several measures of bicameralism using detailed constituency data on economic and demographic characteristics at the level of state legislative districts we then use these measures to examine the effect of interdistrict constituent homogeneity on total state government spending as well as on the major com

world product and income international comparisons of real gross product the volume reports on the third phase of the united nations international comparison project icp the main results provide comparisons of real gross domestic product gdp per capita for thirty four countries in 1975 quantity and price comparisons are given also for personal consumption capital formation and public consumption and further subdivisions of final expenditures on gdp are estimated

government expenditure and economic growth evidence from g7 countries this paper examines wagner s law of public expenditure which emphasizes economic growth as the fundamental determinant of public sector growth using time series data drawn from the g7 industrialized countries over the sample period 1960 1993 it presents evidence on both the short and long run effects of growth in national income on government expenditure by resorting to recent developments in the theory of cointegrated processes an attempt is also made in this study to examine if wagner s law holds between certain key components of government expenditure and income