benefit entitlement and unemployment duration the role of policy endogeneity abstract the potential duration of benefits is generally viewed as an important determinant of unemployment duration this paper evaluates a unique policy change that prolonged entitlement to regular unemployment benefits from 30 weeks to a maximum of 209 weeks for elderly individuals in certain regions of austria in the evaluation we explicitly account for the fact that the program was an endogenous policy response to deteriorating labor market conditions for older workers in certain regions and sectors the main results are i rebp reduced the transition rate to jobs by 17 ii accounting for endogenous policy adoption is important and quantitatively significant

extended benefits and the duration of ui spells evidence from the new jersey extended benefit program abstract this paper examines the impact on the duration of unemployment insurance receipt of a politically motivated program that offered 13 weeks of extended benefits for 6 months in 1996 using state level data and individual administrative records from before during and after the program we find that it raised the fraction of claimants who exhausted their regular benefits by 1 3 percentage points had the program run long enough to affect claimants from the first day of their spell the fraction exhausting would have risen by 7 percentage points and the average recipient would have collected regular benefits for one extra week

nonstationarity in job search theory generally structural job search models are taken to be stationary in this paper models are examined in which every exogenous variable can cause nonstationarity for instance because its value is dependent on unemployment duration a general differential equation that describes the evolution of the reservation wage over time is derived as an empirical illustration a nonstationary structural model is estimated that focuses on the consequences of a downward shift in the level of benefits it appears that the elasticity of duration with respect to the level of benefits after the shift is much larger than the elasticity with respect to the level before the shift this paper examines the movement of a job seeking individual s reservation wage over time in a general nonstationary job search model also results concerning comparative dynamics of the reservation wage and the distribution of the duration of unemployment are derived as an empirical illustration a nonstationary structural model is estimated the nonstationarity originates from the decrease in the level of benefits when unemployment duration equals two years from the results some detailed policy recommendations can be deduced as one is able to distinguish the effect of a change in the level of benefits in the first two years of unemployment from the effect of a change in the level after that period recently the use of job search models for the analysis of unemployment duration has become widespread the reduced form approach in empirical studies see e g lancaster 1979 in which only the hazard of the duration distribution is estimated is gradually being replaced by a more structural approach the latter way of modelling is characterized by the explicit use in empirical analysis of the reservation wage equation as stated by the theory e g yoon 1981 lancaster and chesher 1983 lynch 1983 narendranathan and nickell 1985 and van den berg 1988 use the complete theoretical framework of job search theory to make inferences about search behaviour however the structural models used in these studies are stationary this implies that variables like unemployment benefits or the rate of arrival of job offers are assumed to be constant over the spell of unemployment which is often at variance with reality what is more various reduced form empirical studies indicate a significant durationdependence of the re employment probability which is generally interpreted as evidence in favour of the presence of nonstationarity see e g blau and robins 1986 kooreman and ridder 1983 lancaster 1979 and narendranathan nickell and stern 1985 consequently there is a need to model reservation wage movements over time based on a nonstationary theoretical framework

the effect of unemployment compensation on unemployment duration in germany in west germany during the 1980s law changes cut the level of unemployment compensation for the unemployed without children and extended the duration of unemployment insurance for unemployed aged over 41 analysis of these changes using the german socioeconomic panel shows that transitions from unemployment for those under 49 were particularly responsive to extensions of unemployment insurance the implied elasticity for escapes of men to employment is similar to estimates for men in the united states suggesting that differences in the potential duration of unemployment insurance only partially explain the difference in spell lengths between germany and the united states

an experimental examination of competitor based price matching guarantees we use experimental methods to demonstrate the anti competitive potential of price matching guarantees in both symmetric and asymmetric cost duopolies our findings establish that when costs are symmetric price matching guarantees significantly increase market prices in markets with cost asymmetries guaranteed prices remain high relative to prices without the use of guarantees but the overall ability of price guarantees to act as a collusion facilitating device becomes contingent on the relative cost difference lesser use of guarantees combined with lower average prices and slower convergence to the collusive level suggest that the mere presence of cost asymmetries may curtail collusive behavior

price discrimination through offers to match price in this paper a firm discriminates between two classes of customer who have a different cost of information by coupling a list price with an offer to match the pr ice of any other shop if the list price elsewhere is lower the firm will be successful in discrimination the list price of each firm is increasing in the number of sellers and the total sales are decreasi ng in the number of sellers furthermore if sellers coordinate they discriminate more efficaciously and increase their profits by increa sing their total sales copyright 1987 by the university of chicago

facilitating practices the effects of advance notice and best price policies even if firms in a market choose discount prices noncooperatively the use of most favored customer and meet or release contracts enables those firms to adopt quantity choice strategies consequently there can be a range of list prices that are impervious to unilateral nonselective discounts but this range does not include prices above the level determined in a cournot equilibrium the practice of advance public notification of list price increases can facilitate the establishment of such supracompetitive list prices as was argued in the recent ftc ethyl case the possibility of offering discounts selectively results in a much more competitive situation

guaranteed lowest prices do they facilitate collusion abstract the effects of a policy guaranteeing lowest price are analyzed in a two stage game where firms first decide whether to adopt such a policy and then choose prices symmetric and asymmetric games are solved to examine the extent to which prices can rise to collusive levels

price matching policy and the principle of minimum differentiation this paper shows that if duopolists are allowed to choose their product locations a price matching policy and their prices sequentially and independently both tacit collusion and minimum differentiation occur copyright 1995 by blackwell publishing ltd

natural vs anthropogenic risk reduction facing invasion risks involving multi stable outcomes abstract natural resources important to economic systems are managed in the presence of event uncertainty marking the transition from a more desirable ex ante state to a less desirable ex post state the risks of this transition are endogenous and depend on state of the natural resource system and human behavior in designing least cost policies of risk reduction policy makers should consider the optimal mix of natural and human risk reduction decisions about the best risk reduction mix matter most for systems vulnerable to ex post multi stability in which the natural resource system has the potential to begin in one of multiple locally optimal basins of attraction this is because ex ante decisions can affect the initial conditions for the ex post system thereby determining the ex post basin of attraction and the optimal ex post state in this paper we find that an ex ante system that is convex and uniquely stable without risk may become non convex and multi stable in the presence of endogenous risks and ex post multi stability this result arises because ex post non convexities and the uncertainties associated with the invasion and its magnitude can create ex ante non convexities that generate multiple optimality candidates

price matching guarantees are price matching guarantees anticompetitive we examine the incentives for price matching guarantees in markets where information about prices is costly the conventional explanation of price matching as facilitating cartel pricing finds some theoretical support but our model provides an additional explanation a price matching guarantee may be a credible and easily understood means of communicating to uninformed consumers that a firm is low priced the credibility of the signal is assured by the behavior of informed consumers we contrast the testable implications of our model with those arising from two theories of price matching as anticompetitive and show that available evidence supports the signalling theory

contractible contracts in common agency problems this article analyses contractual situations between many principals and many agents the agents have private information and the principals take actions principals have the ability to contract not only on the reports of the agents but also on the contracts offered by other principals contracts are required to be representable in a formal language the main result of the article is a characterization of the allocations that can be implemented as equilibria in our contracting game we then restrict attention to exclusive contracting environments in which the agent may select the contract of at most one principal in this setting our characterization result implies that principals can collude to implement the monopolist outcome finally in general equilibrium contracts turn out to be incomplete that is a contract will restrict the action space of a principal but will not necessarily determine a single action

on the incidence and variety of low price guarantees abstract this paper provides evidence of the incidence and variety of low price guarantees promises to match or beat a rival s price using data obtained from newspaper advertisements in 37 metropolitan areas in the united states we have a total of 515 low price guarantees in our sample we document their features and we infer firms motives and effects from these features the evidence suggests that the majority of low price guarantees are not consistent with their use as a facilitating device because they tend to apply only to rival firms advertised prices or they are associated with high hassle costs the evidence also suggests that price beating and price matching guarantees differ significantly in their features the former are associated with higher hassle costs apply disproportionately to rival firms advertised prices and are more likely to allow postsale search than are price matching guarantees

the effects of extended unemployment insurance over the business cycle evidence from regression discontinuity estimates over 20 years one goal of extending the duration of unemployment insurance ui in recessions is to increase ui coverage in the face of longer unemployment spells although it is a common concern that such extensions may themselves raise nonemployment durations it is not known how recessions would affect the magnitude of this moral hazard to obtain causal estimates of the differential effects of ui in booms and recessions this article exploits the fact that in germany potential ui benefit duration is a function of exact age which is itself invariant over the business cycle we implement a regression discontinuity design separately for 20 years and correlate our estimates with measures of the business cycle we find that the nonemployment effects of a month of additional ui benefits are at best somewhat declining in recessions yet the ui exhaustion rate and therefore the additional coverage provided by ui extensions rises substantially during a downturn the ratio of these two effects represents the nonemployment response of workers weighted by the probability of being affected by ui extensions hence our results imply that the effective moral hazard effect of ui extensions is significantly lower in recessions than in booms using a model of job search with liquidity constraints we also find that in the absence of market wide effects the net social benefits from ui extensions can be expressed either directly in terms of the exhaustion rate and the nonemployment effect of ui durations or as a declining function of our measure of effective moral hazard copyright 2012 oxford university press

dynamic duopoly with best price clauses this article investigates best price clauses as a strategic devise to facilitate collusion in a dynamic duopoly game best price clauses guarantee rebates on the purchase price if a customer finds a better price after his purchase two different price clauses are distinguished most favored customer and meet or release i examine the collusive potential of both clauses in a finite horizon duopoly model with homogeneous durable goods in each period new consumers enter the market i show that in this context meet or release clauses have a greater anticompetitive potential than most favored customer clauses

automated pricing rules in electronic posted offer markets i introduction electronic commerce affords the opportunity to automate the process by which buyers and sellers engage in an exchange at a mutually agreeable price for example buyers on the internet can use software agents to automate the gathering of information on price and other product attributes in online retail markets that are traditionally organized as posted offer markets 1 this technology obviously reduces the consumer transaction costs of comparing prices which presumably would induce stronger competition among sellers however as hal varian remarked in the e commerce magazine wired everybody thinks more information is better for consumers that s not necessarily true bayers 2000 215 the same technology that reduces consumer transaction costs can be employed by sellers to automate the monitoring of rivals prices which might mitigate or even overwhelm the procompetitive effect of reduced consumer search costs in addition electronic markets grant more than just ideal information on competitors pr ices with electronic commerce a seller can commit to implementing an automated algorithm that could possibly sustain tacitly collusive prices in this article we study the supply side effects of three automated pricing algorithms that use price information as an input that could be retrieved from consumer price gathering technology in an electronic market two of the three algorithms that we study have the theoretical potential to facilitate collusion low price matching and a trigger strategy the third and presumably more competitive algorithm which we refer to as undercutting is drawn from the common retail practice of beating competitors prices using the experimental method this article explores how sellers deploy these three automated pricing algorithms in electronic markets more specifically we ask 1 do sellers prefer to set their price manually or to adopt automated algorithms that adjust price more frequently 2 are markets with automated pricing algorithms more competitive or less competitive than markets with manually posted prices 3 does increased commitment to an automated pricing mechanism facilitate tacit collusion to study the impact of automated pricing on seller behavior we base our work on the model of price dispersion in retail markets by varian 1980 thus our article also explores how well a theory of mixed strategy pricing organizes the behavior of sellers in a market with a nearly continuous stream of differentially informed fully revealing customers 2 as a preview of the results we find that 1 sellers employ automated pricing algorithms more often than they manually set their own price 2a automated undercutting leads to prices similar to the game theoretic prediction 2b automated low price matching generates prices significantly higher than the game theoretic prediction 2c automated trigger pricing results in market prices below the game theoretic prediction and 3 greater commitment to automated low price matching shifts prices closer to the joint profit maximizing outcome the structure of the article is as follows section ii presents the three automated pricing algorithms we consider the experimental design and procedures are in section iii section iv presents and discusses our results and section v briefly concludes ii automated pricing algorithms the market environment is motivated by the model of sales in varian 1980 3 in this model there are n sellers that supply buyers who each desire to purchase at most one unit of a homogeneous product each seller has a commonly known constant marginal cost c of supplying a unit to a buyer and posts a price p which the buyer can accept or reject the private value v for each nonstrategic buyer is assumed to be a random variable drawn independently from a known uniform distribution with a support v v buyers differ based on the number of firms from which price quotes are received prior to making a purchasing decision

benefit duration unemployment duration and job match quality a regression discontinuity approach summary we use a sharp discontinuity in the maximum duration of benefit entitlement to identify the effect of extended benefit duration on unemployment duration and post unemployment outcomes employment stability and re employment wages we address dynamic selection which may arise even under an initially random assignment to treatment estimating a bivariate discrete time hazard model jointly with a wage equation and correlated unobservables owing to the non stationarity of job search behavior we find heterogeneous effects of extended benefit duration on the re employment hazard and on job match quality our results suggest that the unemployed who find a job close to and after benefit exhaustion experience less stable employment patterns and receive lower re employment wages compared to their counterparts who receive extended benefits and exit unemployment in the same period these results are found to be significant for men but not for women copyright 2012 john wiley sons ltd

linear inequality methods to enforce partnerships under uncertainty an overview we review different generic conditions on stochastic outcome functions to enforce either efficient or nearly efficient partnerships their logical relationship is explored two kinds of conditions are considered however the property for an action profile to be compatible plays a crucial role in both kinds also two kinds of enforcement mechanisms are considered enforcement through utility transfers and enforcement through repetition

moral hazard vs liquidity and optimal unemployment insurance this paper presents new evidence on why unemployment insurance ui benefits affect search behavior and develops a simple method of calculating the welfare gains from ui using this evidence i show that 60 percent of the increase in unemployment durations caused by ui benefits is due to a liquidity effect rather than distortions on marginal incentives to search moral hazard by combining two empirical strategies first i find that increases in benefits have much larger effects on durations for liquidity constrained households second lump sum severance payments increase durations substantially among constrained households i derive a formula for the optimal benefit level that depends only on the reduced form liquidity and moral hazard elasticities the formula implies that the optimal ui benefit level exceeds 50 percent of the wage the exact identification approach to welfare analysis proposed here yields robust optimal policy results because it does not require structural estimation of primitives

reservation wages and unemployment insurance this paper argues that a risk averse worker s after tax reservation wage encodes all the relevant information about her welfare this insight leads to a novel test for the optimality of unemployment insurance based on the responsiveness of reservation wages to unemployment benefits some existing estimates imply significant gains to raising the current level of unemployment benefits in the united states but highlight the need for more research on the determinants of reservation wages our approach complements those based on baily s 1978 test

the spike at benefit exhaustion leaving the unemployment system or starting a new job in this paper we review the literature on the spike in unemployment exit rates around benefit exhaustion and present new evidence based on administrative data for a large sample of job losers in austria we find that the way unemployment spells are measured has a large effect on the magnitude of the spike at exhaustion both in existing studies and in our austrian data spikes are typically much smaller when spell length is defined by the time to next job than when it is defined by the time spent on the unemployment system in austria the exit rate from registered unemployment rises by over 200 at the expiration of benefits while the hazard rate of re employment rises by only 20 the difference between the two measures arises because many individuals leave the unemployment register immediately after their benefits expire without returning to work the modest spike in re employment rates implies that most job seekers do not wait until their ui benefits are exhausted to return to work fewer than 1 of jobless spells have an ending date that is manipulated to coincide with the expiration of ui benefits this abstract was borrowed from another version of this item

relationship lending under asymmetric information a case of blocked entry abstract a national bank with a low cost of capital can choose to enter a two period credit market and compete with incumbent banks to supply relationship loans to de novo entrepreneurs under short term contracting the terms on loan contracts are determined by market competition in the current period in this setting we find that the second period competitive pressure the national bank exerts on the incumbent banks turns out to give the incumbent banks a first period advantage when trying to attract new clients as a result the low cost bank may be blocked from entering the market

unemployment durations and extended unemployment benefits in local labor markets many empirical studies have confirmed the theoretical prediction that longer term unemployment insurance ui entitlement leads to longer unemployment duration most of those studies have examined

the kinked demand curve a game theoretic approach in a simple model of duopoly firms price moves are modelled as an extensive form game where firms can respond to undercutting without delay when firms are not too dissimilar kinked demand strategies enforcing an arbitrary price may be nash equilibria however these strategies are dominated and perfect equilibrium is unique at the minimum optimal common price rather than implying price rigidity kinked demand strategies are a device for ensuring compliance with a collusive price leadership

on the use of low price guarantees to discourage price cutting abstract this paper formulates a novel test to assess whether and to what extent firms might be using low price guarantees to discourage their rivals from cutting prices the test is based on a comparison of paired observations of advertised prices that are set by competing firms at the same point in time on similar items where one price is set by a firm that has a low price guarantee and the other by a firm that does not have a low price guarantee using data on retail tire prices we find that the majority of paired observations involving firms that have price matching guarantees are consistent with what one would expect if firms were using them to discourage price cutting whereas the majority of paired observations involving firms that have price beating guarantees are not this suggests that price matching and price beating guarantees may be serving different purposes the evidence also suggests that guarantees that apply to advertised prices only may be serving different purposes than guarantees that apply to both advertised and selling prices

experimental duopolies under price guarantees in a symmetric differentiated experimental duopoly we test the ability of price guarantees pgs to raise prices above the competitive levels different types of pgs aggressive and soft price beating and price matching are implemented either as an exogenously imposed market rule or as a business strategy our results show that pgs may lead close to the collusive outcome depending on whether the interaction between duopolists is repeated and provided that the guarantee is not of the aggressive price beating type

job search and savings wealth effects and duration dependence this article studies a risk averse worker s optimal savings and job search behavior as she moves back and forth between employment and unemployment we show that job search effort is negatively related to wealth under the assumption of additively separable utility consequently job search exhibits positive unemployment duration dependence because wealth is drawn down to smooth consumption as the spell progresses finally given optimal search savings still provide imperfect insurance against income fluctuations precautionary savings are built up during employment spells and run down during unemployment spells but the consumption path will not be perfectly smooth over states

matching own prices rivals prices or both many retailers promise that they will not be undersold by rivals and extend their promise to include their own future prices that is many retailers combine elements of both price matching guarantees and retroactive most favored customer clauses this is puzzling because the extant literature has shown that each practice independently has the potential to facilitate supracompetitive prices and thus one might think the two practices are substitutes in this paper we show that price matching guarantees and most favored customer clauses complement each other when offered unilaterally by a single firm and can lead to higher prices than either one could have facilitated by itself

optimal unemployment insurance this paper considers the design of an optimal unemployment insurance system the problem is modeled as a repeated principalagent problem involving a risk averse agent the unemployed worker and a risk neutral principal which cannot monitor the agent s search effort the optimal long term contract subject to the associated incentive constraints is characterized this contract involves a replacement ratio that decreases throughout the unemployment spell and a wage tax after reemployment that under some mild regularity conditions increases with the lenght of the unemployment spell some numerical results are presented that suggest that the gains from switching to this optimal unemployment insurance scheme could be quite large the performance of this optimal contract is also compared to alternative liquidity provision mechanisms

general equilibrium concepts under imperfect competition a cournotian approach in a pure exchange economy we propose a general equilibrium concept under imperfect competition the cournotian monopolistic competition equilibrium and compare it to the cournot walras and the monopolistic competition concepts the advantage of the proposed concept is to require less computational ability from the agents the comparison is made first through a simple example then through a mon abstract concept the p equilibrium based on a general notion of price coordination c 1997 academic press

research note price matching guarantees retail competition and product line assortment price matching guarantees pmgs are offers to match a competitor s price on a specific item such guarantees are extremely common in u s retail practice and their impact has been studied in several published papers the existing analytic literature models each retailer as a single product seller most work assumes that each retailer s product is identical with or completely substitutable for the competitor s product in reality competing retailers often sell multiple products and these products do not always overlap or may overlap partially but not totally furthermore retailers that offer pmgs routinely exclude certain offerings from pmg coverage this raises the interesting question of how product variety and product stocking factors affect retailer decisions about offering pmgs in this paper we simultaneously consider three factors of retailing importance that imply results consistent with pmg use and nonuse the ability to choose to stock the same product as or a product differentiated from a competitor s offering the possibility of shelf space limitations on the ability to stock complete variety and the category demand enhancing effect of variety these are sensible and realistic descriptive factors shaping retailers product and pricing decisions and because they have not been considered jointly in the prior literature on pmgs their joint consideration helps to expand our understanding of the drivers of pmg implementation and impact in the presence of these three factors we examine retailers decisions about whether to offer a pmg what product s to stock and how to price the product s stocked our results show that shelf space limitations have an important influence on pmg provision in particular when retailers are shelf space constrained and product substitutability in the category is sufficiently large choosing to use pmgs which by definition also requires stocking identical products is strictly less profitable than enduring bertrand price competition but enjoying retail product differentiation the result that pmgs can be profit reducing relative to head to head retail competition is a novel one driven in our model by the opportunity costs of stocking identical products i e the inability to benefit from the demand enhancing effects of variety and the differential small or large between bertrand pricing and pmg pricing levels we further show that under asymmetric shelf space availability either product variety will be severely limited or retailers will offer a different array of products weak substitution between products leads to the latter with pricing between the differentiated products bertrand and monopoly levels strong substitution leads to the former with pricing at the monopoly level our results also show that with unlimited shelf space both competing retailers offer pmgs stock the entire available product line and enjoy monopoly pricing given our focus on product variety issues we also relate our results to the literature on branded variants our results demonstrate that the nature of product variety the availability of retail shelf space and the category demand enhancing effect of variety are key market characteristics that jointly and strongly affect the optimality of pmgs and the resulting pricing and profitability characteristics of the market

optimal state contingent unemployment insurance since the probability of finding a job is aected not only by individual eort but also by the aggregate state of the economy designing unemployment insurance payments conditional on the business cycle could be valuable this paper answers a fundamental question related to this issue how should the payments vary with the aggregate state of the economy

two questions about european unemployment a general equilibrium search model makes layoff costs affect the aggregate unemployment rate in ways that depend on equilibrium proportions of frictional and structural unemployment that in turn depend on the generosity of government unemployment benefits and skill losses among newly displaced workers the model explains how before the 1970s lower flows into unemployment gave europe lower unemployment rates than the united states and also how after 1980 higher durations have kept unemployment rates in europe persistently higher than in the united states these outcomes arise from the way europe s higher firing costs and more generous unemployment compensation make its unemployment rate respond to bigger skill losses among newly displaced workers those bigger skill losses also explain why u s workers have experienced more earnings volatility since 1980 and why especially among older workers hazard rates of gaining employment in europe now fall sharply with increases in the duration of unemployment

do low price guarantees guarantee low prices evidence from competition between amazon and big box stores it has long been understood in theory that price match guarantees can be anticompetitive but to date scant empirical evidence is available outside of some narrow markets this paper broadens the scope of empirical analysis studying a wide range of products sold on a national online market using an algorithm that extracts data from charts i obtain a novel source of data from online price trackers i examine prices of goods sold on amazon before and after two big box stores target and best buy announced a guarantee to match amazon s prices employing both difference in difference and regression discontinuity approaches i robustly estimate a positive causal effect of six percentage points the effect was heterogeneous with larger price increases for initially lower priced items my results support anticompetitive theories which predict price increases for amazon a firm that did not adopt the guarantee and are consistent with plausible mechanisms for the heterogeneous impact

the wealth of the unemployed many studies have investigated the adequacy of unemployment insurance ui benefits as a form of income replacement but few have looked at other resources with which the unemployed can finance their unemployment spells this paper focuses on one form of resources own wealth holdings the author finds that the median worker s financial assets can cover roughly two thirds of the income loss from an unemployment spell wealth holdings vary tremendously however and almost one third of workers are unable to replace even 10 of their income loss moreover predicted wealth holdings decline precipitously with realized unemployment durations both absolutely and especially relative to actual income loss this finding together with the finding that individuals who are eligible for more generous ui draw down their wealth more slowly than do others during unemployment spells suggests that ui benefit adequacy could be increased if the benefits were targeted to those with longer unemployment spells

on optimal unemployment compensation abstract the design of an optimal unemployment compensation scheme is analyzed using a dynamic principal agent relationship between a risk neutral planner the principal and risk averse workers the agents where the planner s inability to observe workers job search efforts creates a moral hazard problem to design an implementable scheme we require that each agent is guaranteed a minimum level of expected discounted utility regardless of his past history in contrast with previous studies we find that the optimal contract is quite close to actual unemployment compensation schemes both qualitatively and quantitatively

unemployment insurance benefit levels and consumption changes abstract we use a canadian survey of the unemployed to examine how household expenditures after a job loss respond to the level of income replacement provided by ui we isolate a liquidity constraint or transitory income effect from the permanent income shock of job loss and from the costs of working we find significant effects of varying the replacement ratio among the third of the sample who did not have assets at the job loss we conclude that the consumption smoothing benefit of ui is concentrated wholly on a sub group of the unemployed

cash on hand and competing models of intertemporal behavior new evidence from the labor market this paper presents new tests of the permanent income hypothesis and other widely used models of household behavior using data from the labor market we estimate the excess sensitivity of job search behavior to cash on hand using sharp discontinuities in eligibility for severance pay and extended unemployment insurance ui benefits in austria analyzing data for over one half million job losers we obtain three empirical results 1 a lump sum severance payment equal to two months of earnings reduces the job finding rate by 8 12 on average 2 an extension of the potential duration of ui benefits from 20 weeks to 30 weeks similarly lowers job finding rates in the first 20 weeks of search by 5 9 and 3 increases in the duration of search induced by the two programs have little or no effect on subsequent job match quality using a search theoretic model we show that estimates of the relative effect of severance pay and extended benefits can be used to calibrate and test a wide set of intertemporal models our estimates of this ratio are inconsistent with the predictions of a simple permanent income model as well as naive rule of thumb behavior the representative job searcher in our data is 70 of the way between the permanent income benchmark and credit constrained behavior in terms of sensitivity to cash on hand