nonconvexities in the production of timber biodiversity and carbon sequestration abstract fixed logging costs and administrative constraints on logging regulations can create nonconvexities in forestry production sets that include timber and nontimber products managing forests to produce multiple values at a landscape level through the aggregation of stands that are completely or partially specialized in the production of timber or nontimber products can consequently be superior to management systems that treat all stands uniformly even when all stands are identical both fixed costs and administrative constraints are empirically important sources of nonconvexity in tropical rainforests the former is more important when the nontimber product is carbon sequestration while the latter is more important when the nontimber product is biodiversity protection uniform management appears to be superior for the joint production of timber and carbon sequestration while specialized management might often be superior for the joint production of timber and biodiversity at least at low discount rates

state versus federal environmental regulation in a non cooperative monopoly screening model abstract a multiple principal monopoly screening model is presented in which two regulators act as rivals when setting a menu of contracts composed of a two part pricing scheme and design standard state and federal environmental regulation are modeled we show that the firm prefers federal environmental regulation because the design standards are more stringent this preference for stricter control occurs because higher standards generate higher information rents for the firm

transfers to sustain dynamic core theoretic cooperation in international stock pollutant control international environmental agreements aiming at correcting negative externalities generated by transboundary pollution are difficult to achieve for many reasons important obstacles arise from asymmetry in costs and benefits and instability may occur due to the fact that coalitions of countries may attempt to do better for themselves outside of any proposed agreement in a static context it has already been shown that it is possible to achieve stability in the sense of the core of a co operative game by means of appropriately defined transfers between the countries involved however the transboundary pollution problems that are most important are caused by accumulated pollutants so that a dynamic analysis is required this paper provides a transfer scheme that yields a core property in a dynamic context the possibility of computing such transfers numerically is discussed

policy adoption rules and global warming although there is widespread agreement about the dangers of global warming and the resulting need to cut down emissions there does not seem to be general agreement about the exact form the policy should take or the timing of its adoption failure to adopt and implement policies against global warming reflects the complexity of the problem the uncertainties of climate change and the cost of policy adoption issues associated with the interactions between uncertainties and irreversibilities in determining the timing of policy adoption are analyzed by using the methodology of optimal stopping rules optimal policy functions are derived for cooperative and noncooperative solutions with differential game representation issues associated with the empirical application of the optimal policy rules are also considered

a dynamic analysis of the marketable permits approach to global warming policy a comparison of spatial and temporal flexibility abstract this paper presents a generalized dynamic model of greenhouse gas emissions trading under constraints on the volume of transactions an empirical version of the model is used to evaluate potentially cost saving flexibility mechanisms joint implementation and clean development mechanism and potentially cost adding restrictions supplementarity of the kyoto protocol the results indicate the greatest gains would stem from extending permit trading spatially among industrialized nations although sizable gains would also emanate from the inclusion of developing countries gains from intertemporal trading banking and borrowing are meager restrictions on the volume of permit purchases have by far the most costly effect when developing countries are incorporated into trading sensitivity tests with respect to differential discount rates across countries and technological change indicate the results are robust

reevaluation and renegotiation of climate change coalitions a sequential closed loop game approach abstract major international environmental problems can be characterized as stock externality phenomena long term international environmental coalitions are subject to unexpected shocks certain shocks might have strong impacts on regional environmental policies and their commitments to the coalition the open loop solutions in optimal control problems and differential games cannot capture regions reactions to those shocks in this paper we develop a feasible modeling approach that uses the closed loop strategies to study the issues of reevaluation and renegotiation of climate change coalitions for the purpose we design an algorithm that decomposes a closed loop strategy into a sequence of open loop equilibria and implement the algorithm in the rice model am econ rev 86 1996 741 an integrated assessment model of climate change and economies we analyze policy and methodological implications of the closed loop strategies through simulations of the rice model

the impact of a carbon tax on the susquehanna river basin economy abstract this paper presents the first study of the economic impacts of a carbon tax on an environmentally delineated sub national area the study is based on a 32 sector computable general equilibrium model of the susquehanna river basin srb of the us a special feature of the analysis is that it incorporates changes in prices of traded goods facing the focal region as a result of the imposition of a tax imposed globally the results show that a tax of 16 96 per ton of carbon could have rather negligible negative impacts on the srb economy as a whole but that the negative impacts on its energy industries could be sizeable also several sensitivity tests on closure rules and key parameter values indicate that the results are rather robust

global warming economics in the long run a conceptual framework economic models of climate change typically analyze its short run effects for example up to the year 2100 or for a doubling of atmospheric co2 this is a potentially serious shortcoming since under a business as usual scenario atmospheric co2 concentrations could more than quadruple we introduce a framework that endogenously accounts for long run climate change and examine the implications of alternative mitigation strategies one in which the rates of annual emissions are reduced and one that places absolute limits on the total amount of carbon released we discuss alternative valuation frameworks drawing on the debate surrounding the stern review

welfare specifications and optimal control of climate change an application of fund the sensitivity of the optimal control of carbon dioxide emissions to the specification of the social welfare function is systematically explored using the fund model increasing risk aversion emphasises climate change damages relative to emission reduction costs but at the same time increases the discount rate of consumption without international co operation the discount rate effect dominates so that optimal control decreases with increasing risk aversion with international co operation optimal control first increases then decreases with increasing risk aversion since climate change falls heaviest on the poor optimal control increases with increasing inequity aversion full fledged intergenerational welfare functions on the one hand emphasise climate change damages but on the other hand place more weight on current poorer generations in fund the two tendencies almost cancel

spatial distribution of species populations relative economic values and the optimal size and number of reserves we examine the tradeoff between the number and average size of nature reserves when the costs of enforcing reserve boundaries are negligible we find analytically that the relative price of biodiversity has a positive impact on the optimal total reserved area but an ambiguous impact on the optimal number of reserves simulation modeling of floral diversity in a tropical timber concession reveals that the resolution of this ambiguity depends on spatial distributions of the populations of tree species whether or not they are spatially aggregated clumped the impact of biodiversity price on optimal reserve number remains analytically ambiguous when enforcement costs are not negligible multiple reserves being economically superior to a single reserve now requires in addition to aggregation a biodiversity price that is sufficiently high to offset the effects of enforcement costs most of our simulation scenarios generate threshold biodiversity prices that do not exceed a leading estimate of the marginal value of a higher plant species in the bioprospecting literature several smaller reserves evidently can be economically superior to a single larger one even in the presence of enforcement costs

the economic psychology of stock market bubbles in china the chinese stock markets were extremely volatile during the period 2005 08 the shanghai stock exchange sse composite index increased more than sixfold from 1 012 in 2005 to 6 124 by the end of 2007 it then declined continuously to reach a low of 1 929 on 17 september 2008 or a drop of 70 per cent from its peak in less than 10 months although the market downturn may have been affected by the financial crisis in the united states and the rest of the world the extreme fluctuations of stock prices signify a big market bubble and the burst of that bubble must be explained by intrinsic characteristics or the economic psychology of chinese investors based on a detailed market data analysis this paper attributes the development of the stock market bubble to three key psychological factors greed envy and speculation and the burst of the bubble to three contrasting factors fear lack of confidence and disappointment it concludes that only after chinese companies become really commercialised and profitable and investors become rational can the stock markets become stable without extreme volatility as seen in the past government policies can play a role in soothing market volatility detrimental to shareholders and the wider economy but investors should not depend on government for making their own investment decisions journal compilation 2009 blackwell publishing ltd

housing development and urbanisation in china rapid urbanisation and rising income have led to a strong demand for housing in urban china however housing development has been distorted by speculation income inequality and lack of government support for low cost houses in recent years house prices become so high making the vast majority of urban residents unable to afford whereas rich families are able to buy many and leave them vacant income inequality is a major cause for rising house prices which in turn exaggerates income inequality further this vicious relationship has caused social tension between the rich and the poor and unhappiness among the middle and low income groups this paper discusses the factors responsible for the housing bubble in china and recommends appropriate policies to resolve this problem

policy relevant nonconvexities in the production of multiple forest benefits abstract this paper challenges common assumptions about convexity in forest rotation models which optimize timber plus nontimber benefits if a local optimum occurs earlier than the globally optimal age policy based on marginal incentives may achieve suboptimal results policy relevant nonconvexities are more likely if i nontimber benefits dominate for young stands while the optimal age depends primarily on timber benefits or ii nontimber benefits dominate for mature stands and also determine the optimal age nonconvexities may create either temporary or persistent difficulties policymakers may improve efficiency by exploiting the relationship between the timber only optimum and the global optimum

spatial interactions in multiple use forestry and substitution and wealth effects for the single stand abstract forestry models often ignore spatial relationships between forest stands this paper isolates the effects of stand interactions in multiple use forestry through a straightforward extension of the single stand model effects of stand interactions decompose into wealth and substitution effects and may cause time varying patterns of resource use for a forest stand simulations illustrate that a stand s role even in steady state may alternate an emphasis on timber with an emphasis on nontimber optimal management plans differ substantially depending on whether the manager values nonmarket goods from neighboring stands the model offers insights for improving heuristic forest level optimization models in current usage

magnitude and direction of technological transfers for mitigating ghg emissions this paper discusses the issues of technological transfers aimed at reducing ghg mitigation costs under various assumptions in a new version of rice model we introduce technological transfer mechanism that donors monetary transfers go to recipients ghg mitigation through such transfer mechanism we examine the relationships between magnitude direction of transfers and choice of social welfare weights in the model our simulations show that different social welfare weights may lead to significant shifts on magnitudes even directions of technological transfers the results suggest that proposing policies of technological transfers should be mindful of distributional aspects and modeling assumptions

monopoly provision of product quality and warranties an exploration in the theory of multi dimensional screening we address the monopoly problem of designing and pricing a product line of goods distinguished by different quality and warranty levels consumers vary in their evaluations of these attributes so that the problem is one of screening it is sufficiently complex that the local approach commonly used does not work instead we use new techniques for dealing with incentive constraints between nonadjacent consumer types these techniques allow us to characterize optimal allocations that may not be monotonic in particular although the more eager types of buyer do pay higher prices and yield the monopoly higher profit they may receive lower quality or lower warranty coverage we find preference restrictions that restore monotonicity concave risk tolerance implies that warranty coverage increases in type and constant absolute risk aversion implies that quality increases in type

hot air in kyoto cold air in the hague the failure of global climate negotiations abstract why did the climate negotiations in the hague fail our contribution is to argue that the conflict between the european union eu and the united states us stems mainly from disagreement on the cost issue we argue that the three main concerns promoted by the eu in the hague first a 50 national emission ceiling the supplementarity principle second the use of carbon sinks and third an international market control system these issues can be solved by removing all restrictions on free greenhouse gas ghg trade and by establishing the world trade organization as an international authority the us will face considerably higher costs than foreseen at the negotiations in kyoto and will have strong incentives to free ride our main hypothesis is that the eu proposal on supplementarity made the us turn to free riding thus to make the us stay in an international ghg emission trading scheme the eu must reconsider and acknowledge us claims for cheaper reduction options and the right to trade hot air this point is important if the us does not participate the increase in emissions will be much higher than the emission reduction following the eu supplementarity proposal

a general equilibrium analysis of climate change impacts on tourism this paper studies the economic implications of climate change induced variations in tourism demand using a world cge model the model is first re calibrated at some future years obtaining hypothetical benchmark equilibria which are subsequently perturbed by shocks simulating the effects of climate change we portray the impact of climate change on tourism by means of two sets of shocks occurring simultaneously the first set of shocks translate predicted variations in tourist flows into changes of consumption preferences for domestically produced goods the second set reallocate income across world regions simulating the effect of higher or lower tourists expenditure our analysis highlights that variations in tourist flows will affect regional economies in a way that is directly related to the sign and magnitude of flow variations at a global scale climate change will ultimately lead to a welfare loss unevenly spread across regions 2005 elsevier ltd all rights reserved

free riding carbon treaties and trade wars the role of domestic environmental policies this paper uses a calibrated general equilibrium model of north south trade with carbon emissions to explore the strategic open economy implications of price and quantity based instruments for co2 emission reduction we compute non cooperative environmental and trade policy equilibria and nash bargaining outcomes in environmental policies with side payments of cash results show that quotas can lead to higher internalization levels in a non cooperative zero tariff equilibrium in comparison with emission fees if tariffs are also chosen non cooperatively the form of policy instrument used affects equilibrium tariffs with quotas leading to lower trade barriers particularly under a regional carbon treaty

optimal environmental regulation under asymmetric information abstract a market model of environmental regulation with interdependent production and pollution abatement costs and heterogeneous firms is developed firms have private information about costs which have a quadratic form firms pursue bayes nash strategies in communication with the regulator the full information optimum cannot be attained unless gains from trade in the product market net of external damages exceed the information rents earned by firms aggregate output and externality levels are lower at the regulated equilibrium than at the full information social optimum

incentive compatible regulation of a foreign owned subsidiary abstract transfer prices are administered charges for intra firm transfers of factors of production for a multinational firm transfer prices for international transfers provide the means to redistribute costs and increase global profits given variations in national tax and profit repatriation policies local regulation of a subsidiary may thus be necessary to limit the welfare costs of strategic transfer pricing prusa journal of international economics 1990 28 155 172 characterizes the welfare maximizing regulations for a monopoly subsidiary that induce the firm to report transfer prices truthfully we show however that it can be more efficient to implement regulations that encourage the firm to misrepresent its true transfer costs

regulation of prices and pollution under incomplete information abstract regulation of prices and pollution for a monopolist with private information is considered with a focus on the relative efficiency of standard setting and emissions taxation approaches to pollution control with incomplete information emissions taxation is a dominated regulatory instrument for abatement purposes because it generates information costs that can be avoided when an abatement standard and prices are set by the regulator an emissions tax has value however as a means of reducing those information costs but its use for this purpose may increase pollution

the political economy of global carbon emissions reductions abstract the discussion about what reductions in greenhouse gas emissions are required and how the emissions rights might be distributed globally has fostered the belief that there is a fundamental conflict between the rich nations of the north and the poor but populous nations of the south the argument is that grandfathering the rights will only reinforce existing global inequalities while per capita distribution of the rights would lead to such huge transfers of wealth to the south as to be unacceptable to the north however a very simple general equilibrium model highlighting key elements of the global economy shows that this perception is incorrect under a plausible interpretation of the goal of the united nations framework convention on climate change to avoid dangerous anthropogenic interference with the climate system instead of using an economic damage function to determine the optimal level of emissions reductions the model s utility functions are calibrated to reflect scientific understanding of what would be required to stabilize the atmosphere at safe concentrations of greenhouse gases among policy options that would accomplish this the united states has a preference for grandfathering the allocation of emissions rights over a per capita allocation but this preference is not strong and could be offset by other geopolitical considerations

optimal climate policy is a utopia from quantitative to qualitative cost benefit analysis abstract the dominance of quantitative cost benefit analysis cba and optimality concepts in the economic analysis of climate policy is criticised among others it is argued to be based in a misplaced interpretation of policy for a complex climate economy system as being analogous to individual inter temporal welfare optimisation the transfer of quantitative cba and optimality concepts reflects an overly ambitious approach that does more harm than good an alternative approach is to focus the attention on extreme events structural change and complexity it is argued that a qualitative rather than a quantitative cba that takes account of these aspects can support the adoption of a minimax regret approach or precautionary principle in climate policy this means implement stringent ghg reduction policies as soon as possible

equitable cost benefit analysis of climate change greenhouse gas emissions and vulnerability to climate change show a strong negative correlation this is the moral issue at the heart of the climate problem however little attention has been paid to this in the literature see banuri et al 1996 for an overview the literature on equity issues in climate change is largely confined to the distribution of emissions reduction targets this literature takes the need to reduce greenhouse gas emissions for granted and takes a parametric approach to the required reductions on the other hand the literature that tries to derive how much emissions abatement is desirable largely ducks the equity issue this paper is an attempt to combine the two problems

differences and similarities between ecological and economic models for biodiversity conservation abstract in this paper we investigate an important obstacle which substantially complicates co operation between ecologists and economists but which has received little attention so far differences between the modelling approaches in economics and ecology to understand these differences 60 models addressing issues relevant to biodiversity conservation have been selected randomly from eight international economic and ecological journals the models have been compared according to a number of criteria including the models level of generality the mathematical techniques employed for formulation and solution of the models the level of complexity and the way time space and uncertainty are taken into account the economic models sampled are formulated and analysed analytically tend to be relatively simple and are mostly used to investigate general questions furthermore they often ignore space dynamics and uncertainty although some ecological models have similar properties there is also a substantial number of another type of ecological models that are relatively complex and analysed by simulation these models tend to be rather specific and often explicitly consider dynamics space and uncertainty the integrated ecological economic models are observed to lie in the middle between ecological and economic models an unexpected result is that they are not more complex than ecological and economic models as one could have expected from a simple merger of models from both disciplines but have an intermediate complexity

reputation and the control of pollution this paper investigates the effectiveness of reputation in inducing a polluting firm to self regulate its emissions when consumers have imperfect information in particular we ask to what extent must consumers reward and punish the firm before it chooses self regulation as its dominant strategy we find that if payoffs in the stage game are such that both the consumer and the polluting firm have beliefs that are consistent with each others behaviors then the firm has a positive probability of playing clean in each period of a finite game further we find that a weak reward punishment scheme may have an adverse effect on the environment and that there are both environmental and welfare gains associated with strengthening the scheme

rent capture and the feasibility of tropical forest management hyde amacher and magrath 1996 imply that deforestation and timber rents logging revenue minus logging costs other than timber fees are not subjects that justify policymakers attention arguing that market responses limit the scope of deforestation

a strategic analysis of global warming theory and some numbers we model the global warming process as a dynamic commons game in which the players are countries their actions at each date produce emissions of greenhouse gases and the state variable is the current stock of greenhouse gases the theoretical analysis is complemented by a calibration exercise the first set of results establishes theoretically and then with illustrative numbers the over emissions due to a tragedy of the commons the power of simple sanctions to lower emissions and increase welfare is then examined as is the effect of cost asymmetry finally a complete theoretical charactrization is provided for the best equilibrium and it is shown that it has a very simple structure it involves a constant emission rate through time

cooperation and subgame perfect equilibria in global pollution problems with critical threshold the paper examines the issue of international pollution control under a dynamic framework involving heterogeneous countries and a critical threshold we propose an appealing specification for this type of problem and its novelty is illustrated by the fact that countries use linear strategies in equilibrium although their utility and damage functions are highly convex the stock of pollution under cooperation is always lower surprisingly emissions are always higher in distant periods under the cooperative scenario and we show through examples that this is a significant finding rather than some marginal effect it is also shown that the efficient allocation of pollution abatement is driven only by the respective technologies of the countries finally a dynamic transfer scheme allowing to implement the cooperative solution is proposed

noncooperative regulation of a nonlocalized externality with a nonlocalized pollution externality different groups bear the costs and benefits of abatement in the case of acid rain these groups are respectively consumers in the midwest and pollutees in the northeast these groups have conflicting interests that are represented respectively by a public utilities commission and an environmental regulator we analyze a model in which the environmental protection agency acting as a von stackelberg leader regulates pollution and the public utility commission regulates the price for a monopolist that has private information about the effectiveness of its abatement alternatives we characterize a noncooperative equilibrium and compare it with a cooperative equilibrium a nonlocalized pollution externality poses special regulatory problems when the benefits and the costs of abatement are borne by distinct groups whose interests are represented by different regulatory agencies a relevant example is acid rain which is believed to be caused in part by coal fired electricity generating plants these emit sulfur dioxide and nitrogen oxide which upon contact with moisture in the atmosphere form acid that falls with rain measures to reduce these emissions are of concern to the residents of the states in which the coal fired generating plants are located because abatement costs increase the prices they pay for electricity a number of plans have been proposed for distributing those costs more broadly but the costs of reducing the emissions of generating plants located in ohio will likely be borne in large part by ohio consumers and utilities while the benefits from abatement will largely be realized by the residents of the northeast and canada the control of a nonlocalized externality such as acid rain raises the issue of the relationship between the environmental regulator the environmental protection agency epa and the public utility commission the former is responsible for achieving an acceptable balance between the damage from pollution and the cost of abatement the latter is responsible for pricing electricity on the basis of the costs of production and pollution control one possibility is that cooperation between the two regulators leads to the joint regulation of emissions and prices cooperation would internalize the conflicting interests and mandates of the regulators but the distributive consequences of the regulatory alternatives inhibit cooperation the public utility commission for example has an interest in avoiding abate

computing business as usual with a representative agent and a pollution externality abstract computing the no policy equilibrium business as usual in a representative agent ra model is complicated by the presence of a pollution externality since simple optimization internalizes the pollution cost many researchers use ad hoc methods but there is no way to know how reliable these are a solution is presented in which the ra model is divided into n identical components each identified with its own sub agent sub agents play a dynamic game leading to a nash equilibrium for sufficiently large n this approach keeps most of the pollution cost external and in the limit it is equivalent to a myopic firms model in which the entire cost is external this approach has the advantage of theoretical consistency and empirical applications indicate that it is easily implemented

ecosystem services as substitute inputs basic results and important implications for conservation policy abstract in recent decades conservation advocates have often emphasized the contributions of ecosystem services to the production of other products a demonstration of the value of ecosystems as inputs into production would motivate their conservation such arguments often offer the observation that ecosystem services can substitute for purchased inputs and thus reduce costs if this is true however it has another important implication a producer who is preserving local ecosystems so as to maximize her own profit will produce less output if she further increases her reliance on ecosystem services this may induce leakage by which one producer s greater reliance on ecosystem services indirectly motivates others to preserve fewer natural ecosystems i demonstrate this result in a simple but canonical model and calibrate my findings to a celebrated example to show they could be quantitatively significant my results suggest another reason that appeals to ecosystem services as a motivation for conservation should be made with care at the most basic level they emphasize the importance of being clear about what we mean by conservation do we want to save some diversity in many places or nearly all indigenous diversity in a few places

efficient multiple use forestry may require land use specialization considered at the landscape scale economically efficient multiple use of forests may require land use specialization if managers attempt to satisfy legitimate multiple use demands from society by managing all lands for all outputs both commodity and amenity values of the forest may be inappropriately supplied and management inputs may be inefficiently deployed these results run counter to some of the prescriptions called new forestry

the production of eco labels eco labeling is a market based technique for conveying information about consumers demands for environmental protection most criticisms of eco labeling have concentrated on demand side issues the potential for firms or countries to use eco labels to manipulate market power and the difficulty of creating credible labels in this paper we argue that fundamental problems also arise on the production side specifically we argue that both increasing returns to scale and complexities in production imply that it will be possible to market only a small percentage of environmental attributes through the use of eco labels we present evidence for our hypotheses from a detailed survey of 100 randomly selected consumer products

technological learning in energy environment economy modelling a survey abstract this paper aims at providing an overview and a critical analysis of the technological learning concept and its incorporation in energy environment economy models a special emphasis is put on surveying and discussing through the so called learning curve both studies estimating learning rates in the energy field and studies incorporating endogenous technological learning in bottom up and top down models the survey of learning rate estimations gives special attention to interpreting and explaining the sources of variability of estimated rates which is shown to be mainly inherent in r d expenditures the problem of omitted variable bias the endogeneity relationship and the role of spillovers large scale models survey show that despite some methodological and computational complexity related to the non linearity and the non convexity associated with the learning curve incorporation results of the numerous modelling experiments give several new insights with regard to the analysis of the prospects of specific technological options and their cost decrease potential bottom up models and with regard to the analysis of strategic considerations especially inherent in the innovation and energy diffusion process in particular the energy sector s endogenous responses to environment policy instruments top down models

recent progress of cooperation on climate mitigation a bibliometric analysis abstract effective international cooperation is an important measure to mitigate climate change the purpose of this study is to clarify the research progress in the field of cooperation on emission reduction identify the influential authors and articles and reveal the main research topics based on the bibliometric method and the web of science database this study analyzes the literature in the field of cooperation on emission reduction the results show that the publications in this field have increased significantly over the past decade with the usa and china are the most influential countries keyword co occurrence and frequency analysis show that the most important research topics are as follows burden sharing and equity the stability of the climate coalition and international environmental agreements technology transfer and climate finance the linkage of carbon markets and the response to noncooperation behavior the main methods involved are game theory model integrated assessment models and computable general equilibrium model equitable distribution of mitigation responsibilities is the basis for cooperation on carbon reduction specific rulebooks for carbon market linkage is the key to its successful implementation this study helps researchers to clarify the current research status in the field of cooperation on emission reduction and provide valuable information for future research

game theoretic models for climate change negotiations abstract negotiations to reduce greenhouse gas accumulation in the atmosphere are modeled as extensive games of perfect information various solution concepts such as nash equilibrium reaction function equilibrium correlated equilibrium and bargaining solutions are applied analyzed and computed special reduction techniques are used when the size of the game tree becomes excessive a new solution concept the tree correlated equilibrium is also introduced main features of an excel add in designed to compute various solutions are briefly described and a sample policy analysis for a special negotiating scenario is discussed

international emissions trading with endogenous allowance choices abstract this paper compares endogenous choices of tradable and non tradable emission allowances by non cooperative countries i find that the cost savings of trading do not necessarily lead to less pollution in particular environmentally more concerned countries usually choose less allowances if these are tradable but this may be offset by the choice of more allowances on the side of environmentally less concerned countries moreover if the establishment of a trading system requires the unanimous approval of all countries there may be no agreement on trading even if it were to lead to less pollution overall conversely a trading system may find unanimous approval even if it induces more pollution

targeting incentives to reduce habitat fragmentation the fragmentation of wildlife habitat has long been recognized as a principal threat to terrestrial biodiversity in this paper we develop a theoretical model to analyze the spatial targeting of incentives for the restoration of forested landscapes when land quality is spatially heterogeneous and wildlife habitat can be enhanced by reducing fragmentation we consider a regulator who uses subsidies to encourage the conversion of private agricultural land to forest on a pre defined set of landscapes the regulator can observe land use choices but not the opportunity costs on individual land parcels the important insight to emerge from the theoretical analysis is that solutions at or near corners are a strong possibility on each landscape either none or all of the agricultural land should be converted to forest corner solutions are directly linked to the spatial process determining habitat benefits to verify the theoretical insight we present a simulation of the effects of incentive based policies on the spatial distribution of forests in south carolina the empirical methodology integrates an econometric model of land use change with gis based landscape simulations the empirical findings strongly support our conjecture regarding corner solutions and the optimal targeting policy is shown to produce substantial welfare gains over a spatially uniform incentive

the effects of ageing and an environmental trust fund in an overlapping generations model on carbon emission reductions most currently employed integrated assessment models for climate change are of a dynastic nature they employ the ramsey rule linking the interest rate economic growth and the rate of pure time preference this paper argues that although a dynastic framework might be convenient for economic analysis it is restrictive and can be misleading overlapping generations models which do not employ the ramsey rule are more flexible and may give results different from those derived from dynastic models with the integrated assessment model alice 2 0 it is shown how various assumptions on demographic change and public institutions can affect the interest rate thereby influencing the efficient greenhouse gas emission reductions it is concluded that dynastic integrated assessment models are in many respects inappropriate for providing policy makers with quantitative figures about the costs of carbon dioxide emissions and their desirable reduction levels 2001 elsevier science b v all rights reserved

economic growth and greenhouse gas emissions abstract recent empirical research has examined the relationship between certain indicators of environmental degradation and income concluding that in some cases an inverted u shaped relationship which has been called an environmental kuznets curve ekc exists between these variables unfortunately this inverted u shaped relationship does not hold for greenhouse gas emissions one explanation of the absence of ekc like behavior in greenhouse gas emissions is that greenhouse gases are special pollutants that create global not local disutility but the international nature of global warming is not the only reason that prevents de linking greenhouse gas emissions from economic growth the intergenerational nature of the negative impact of greenhouse gas emissions may have also been an important factor preventing the implementation of greenhouse gas abatement measures in the past in this paper we explore the effect that the presence of intergenerational spillovers has on the emissions income relationship we use a numerically calibrated overlapping generations model of climate economy interactions we conclude that 1 the intertemporal responsibility of the regulatory agency 2 the institutional capacity to make intergenerational transfers and 3 the presence of intergenerationally lagged impact of emissions constitute important determinants of the relationship between economic growth and greenhouse gas emissions

environmental efficiency and labour productivity trade off or joint dynamics a theoretical investigation and empirical evidence from italy using namea in this paper we test an adapted ekc hypothesis to verify the relationship between environmental efficiency namely emissions per unit of value added and labour productivity value added per employee we exploit namea data on italy for 29 sector branches and 6 categories of air emissions for the period 1991 2001 we employ data on capital stock and trade openness to test the robustness of our results on the basis of the theoretical and empirical analyses focusing on innovation firm performances and environmental externalities we would expect a positive correlation between environmental efficiency and labour productivity a negative correlation between the emissions intensity of value added and labour productivity which departs from the conventional mainstream view the hypothesis tested is a critical one within the longstanding debate on the potential trade off or complementarity between environmental preservation and economic performance which is strictly associated with the role of technological innovation we find that for most air emission categories there is a positive relationship between labour productivity and environmental efficiency labour productivity dynamics then seem to be complementary to a decreasing emissions intensity in the production process taking a disaggregate sector perspective we show that the macro aggregate evidence is driven by sector dynamics in a non homogenous way across pollutants services tend always to show a complementary relationship while industry seems to be associated with inverted u shape dynamics for greenhouse gases and nitrogen oxides this is in line with our expectations in any case ekc shapes appear to drive such productivity links towards complementarity the extent to which this evidence derives from endogenous market forces industrial and structural change and policy effects is discussed by taking an evolutionary perspective to innovation and by referring to impure public goods arguments

optimal design of forest taxation with multiple use characteristics of forest stands the paper studies optimal forest taxation under uncertainty about future timber price when private forest owners value amenity services of forest stands and forest stands have public goods characteristics it is assumed that preferences of forest owners can be described by a quasi linear intertemporal utility function which reflects risk aversion in terms of consumption and constant marginal utility in terms of amenity services the comparative statics of current and future harvesting in terms of timber price risk site productivity tax and yield tax are first developed it is shown that given the optimal site productivity tax which is independent of the timber harvested and thus non distortionary it is desirable to introduce the yield tax at the margin it both corrects externality due to the public goods characteristic of forest stands and serves as a social insurance device the optimal yield tax is less than 100 and depends on the social value of forest stands timber price risk and properties of compensated timber supply in the general case the inverse elasticity rule according to which the optimal yield tax is negatively related to the size of the substitution effects may not hold under certainty the desirability of the yield tax given the optimal site productivity tax depends only on the existence of public goods characteristic and is thus a pure pigouvian tax

climate clubs overcoming free riding in international climate policy notwithstanding great progress in scientific and economic under standing of climate change it has proven difficult to forge inter national agreements because of free riding as seen in the defunct kyoto protocol this study examines the club as a model for international climate policy based on economic theory and empirical modeling it finds that without sanctions against non participants there are no stable coalitions other than those with minimal abatement by contrast a regime with small trade penalties on non participants a climate club can induce a large stable coalition with high levels of abatement jel q54 q58 k32 k33

are housing prices improving gdp or vice versa a cross regional study of china this study applies the bootstrap panel granger causality test to examine the relationship between housing prices hps and gdp across provinces in china empirical results show that hps granger cau

cooperation on climate change mitigation abstract we analyze conditions under which it is possible to achieve efficient mitigation of greenhouse gas emissions with a self enforcing international agreement in which all countries find it in their self interest to abide by the agreement we model the choice of emissions by countries as a dynamic game we use a two part punishment scheme for deviations from an agreement that is renegotiation proof and show when this scheme supports the efficient outcome as a subgame perfect equilibrium using numerical examples we show that an efficient subgame perfect equilibrium exists for a range of reasonable parameter values the existence of such equilibrium may be non monotonic in the discount rate and the ratio of slope of marginal abatement cost and marginal damages

descriptive prescriptive and second best approaches to the control of global greenhouse gas emissions a prescriptive second best approach is developed for determining the control of greenhouse gas emissions in an inter temporal multi region model of the world concerns about inter and intra generational equity are reflected in the rate of time preference and regional weights of a social welfare function choices are narrowed down by the ethical principle of anonymity a third dimension of equity inequality aversion is subject to greater variation the aggressiveness of recommended abatement can be made to bracket results for a common descriptive model by the choice of inequality aversion in this manner the perception of a sharp dichotomy between descriptive and prescriptive approaches is moderated

dicer a tool for analyzing climate policies abstract modeling the economy and the planet s climate involves a great number of variables and parameters some of them very uncertain given the current stage of knowledge regarding technology and the science of climate the dicer model or dice regional is a recently constructed integrated assessment model iam based on the structure of the dice family of models which was developed as an instrument for the analysis of uncertainties in climate policy this paper aims to describe the basic version of dicer on which future developments addressing uncertainty in climate policy analysis will be based our results suggest a few interesting conclusions when compared to other iams i under a plausible set of assumptions and parameters dicer indicates that an optimal global climate policy would imply higher costs of climate change in the short run but a faster and more expensive decarbonization process in all regions resulting in a faster stabilization of the climate ii lower peak temperatures that occur earlier in time iii considerable sensitivity of results to key parameters such as climate sensitivity but lower than expected sensitivity to the social discount rate

faraway so close coupled climate and economic dynamics in an agent based integrated assessment model abstract in this work we develop an agent based model that offers an alternative to standard computable general equilibrium integrated assessment models iams the dystopian schumpeter meeting keynes dsk model is composed of heterogeneous firms belonging to capital good consumption good and energy sectors production and energy generation lead to greenhouse gas emissions which affect temperature dynamics climate damages are modelled at the individual level as stochastic shocks hitting workers labour productivity energy efficiency capital stock and inventories of firms in that aggregate damages emerge from the aggregation of losses suffered by heterogeneous interacting and boundedly rational agents the model is run focusing on a business as usual carbon intensive scenario consistent with a representative concentration pathway 8 5 we find that the dsk model is able to account for a wide ensemble of micro and macro empirical regularities concerning both economic and climate dynamics simulation experiments show a substantial lack of isomorphism between the effects of micro and macro level shocks as it is typical in complex system models in particular different types of shocks have heterogeneous impact on output growth unemployment rate and the likelihood of economic crises pointing to the importance of the different economic channel affected by the shock overall we report much larger climate damages than those projected by standard iams under comparable scenarios suggesting possible shifts in the growth dynamics from a self sustained pattern to stagnation and high volatility and the need of urgent policy interventions

optimal dynamic carbon taxes in a climate economy model with distortionary fiscal policy how should carbon be taxed as a part of fiscal policy the literature on optimal carbon pricing often abstracts from other taxes however when governments raise revenues with distortionary taxes carbon levies have fiscal impacts while they raise revenues directly they may shrink the bases of other taxes e g by decreasing employment this article theoretically characterizes and then quantifies optimal carbon taxes in a dynamic general equilibrium climate economy model with distortionary fiscal policy first this article establishes a novel theoretical relationship between the optimal taxation of carbon and of capital income this link arises because carbon emissions destroy natural capital they accumulate in the atmosphere and decrease future output consequently this article shows how the standard logic against capital income taxes extends to distortions on environmental capital investments second this article characterizes optimal climate policy in sub optimal fiscal settings where income taxes are constrained to remain at their observed levels third this article presents a detailed calibration that builds on the seminal dice approach but adds features essential for a setting with distortionary taxes such as a differentiation between climate change production impacts e g on agriculture and direct utility impacts e g on biodiversity existence value the central quantitative finding is that optimal carbon tax schedules are 8 24 lower when there are distortionary taxes compared to the setting with lump sum taxes considered in the literature

decomposing the integrated assessment of climate change abstract we present a decomposition approach for integrated assessment modeling of climate policy based on a linear approximation of the climate system in our formulation the economic and natural science components are processed independently on different time scales turnpike properties of the ramsey growth model can be exploited to provide a precise representation of post terminal emissions and to reduce the economic horizon required to accurately approximate transition paths germaine to the economic assessment of climate policies our decomposition accommodates formulation of the economic model in a complementarity format and thereby provides a means of incorporating second best effects that are not easily represented in an optimization model

when managers cover their posteriors making the decisions the market wants to see the stock market has opinions as to what choices firms should make we show that concern for current share prices may lead managers to make these choices rather than those suggested by their own superior information even when arbitrarily many privately informed firms have to make a similar decision the market s prejudices may still prevail we compare the distortions that arise from share price maximization with those due to herd behavior among profit maximizing firms and show that the former results in strictly less efficient use of information

international and intergenerational environmental externalities we examine a world in which policymakers actions in a given country at a given time have long lived effects on a common resource the global environment we consider the first best in which long lived planners behave cooperatively then examine the allocation of resources when there is non cooperation across countries across time or both finally we analyze the dynamic behavior of the economy along balanced growth paths it is found that while long lived international institutions are necessary to internalize all externalities cooperation at a point in time may be harmful to future generations

review on integrated strategies for energy policy planning and evaluation of ghg mitigation alternatives abstract this review paper is devoted to elaborating the status of different energy policy planning studies and the evaluation of various ghg mitigation studies it includes some of the major developments in global energy scenario status of green house gas ghg emissions issues in the implementation of kyoto protocol and ghg mitigation clean development mechanism cdm and energy scenario especially pertaining to the residential industrial and commercial energy sector in the initial sections the later part of this paper highlights the salient contributions in various literatures pertaining to energy demand forecasting in residential commercial and industrial sector ghg estimation methodologies and ghg mitigation studies in various sectors the success and difficulties in implementing various policy planning practices were also discussed in the paper most of the prominent literature in the area of energy demand and consumption analysis towards effective implementation of ghg mitigation is described in the end a comprehensive comments and recommendations based on the study were furnished

choosing a monetary value of greenhouse gases in assessment tools a comprehensive review there is a societal need for using monetary estimates of social impacts of co2 and other greenhouse gases in different assessment tools such as cost benefit analysis and life cycle assessment a number of estimates are available in the literature since these differ by several orders of magnitude there is ambiguity and confusion about which to use this review aims to give some guidance on this issue the variation in carbon value estimates depends on several uncertain aspects which will remain uncertain including climate sensitivity assumptions about future emissions and decision makers ethical standpoints hence there is no single correct monetary value for co2 it will depend on the ethical standpoint of the user due to this estimates of social costs of co2 emissions cannot be used for calculating an optimal emission level although they can inform such assessments it is suggested that marginal abatement cost values are used for emissions capped by binding targets in short term assessments and that social cost of carbon values should be used for all other emissions benchmark principles for choosing a monetary carbon value are suggested along with associated estimates depending on the choices made with regard to ethical standpoints and assumptions about future emissions and climate sensitivity estimates can be significantly higher than the ones typically used in assessment tools today the estimates need continuous updating and there is need for better understanding and communication around the limitations and uncertainties involved

spatial and temporal efficiency in climate policy applications of fund fund is an integrated assessment model of the interactions between climate and economy nine world regions emit greenhouse gases and suffer damages from climate change a number of greenhouse gas emission reduction policies are compared including optimal and cost effective strategies strategies with early and late abatement and strategies with and without international co operation the analyses confirm that co operation matters resulting in substantially lower costs or higher welfare the real commitments of policy targets based on an absolute level e g 1990 emissions are hard to estimate because of the uncertainties in the baseline postponing action conflicts with minimising costs and maximising welfare but so does sharp emission reduction at the short term as proposed in the kyoto protocol

the economic effects of climate change greenhouse gas emissions are fundamental both to the world s energy system and to its food production the production of co2 the predominant gas implicated in climate change is intrinsic to fossil fuel combustion specifically thermal energy is generated by breaking the chemical bonds in the carbohydrates oil coal and natural gas and oxidizing the components to co2 and h2o one cannot have cheap energy without carbon dioxide emissions similarly methane ch4 emissions an important greenhouse gas in its own right are necessary to prevent the build up of hydrogen in anaerobic digestion and decomposition one cannot have beef mutton dairy or rice without methane emissions climate change is the mother of all externalities larger more complex and more uncertain than any other environmental problem the sources of greenhouse gas emissions are more diffuse than any other environmental problem every company every farm every household emits some greenhouse gases the effects are similarly pervasive weather affects agriculture energy use health and many aspects of nature which in turn affects everything and everyone the causes and consequences of climate change are very diverse and those in low income countries who contribute least to climate change are most vulnerable to its effects climate change is also a long term problem some greenhouse gases have an atmospheric life time measured in tens of thousands of years the quantities of emissions involved are enormous in 2000 carbon dioxide emissions alone and excluding land use change were 24 billion metric tons of carbon dioxide tco2

balancing contemporary fairness and historical justice a quasi equitable proposal for ghg mitigations abstract in this paper we analyze the impasse caused by polarizing positions of the united states and china in international negotiations on carbon mitigation by incorporating the bern carbon cycle module into the rice model developed by nordhaus and yang 1996 we set up a framework for tracking regional contributions to carbon concentration and to global climate change our proposal labeled the color preservation principle uses regional contribution share to global carbon concentration as the criterion for international cooperation through simulations in rice model with bern module rice b we examine the rationales of the arguments made by the united states and china we conclude that both countries standpoints are severely flawed to facilitate the global cooperation on carbon mitigations major concessions are needed from the two top carbon emitters

evaluating projects and assessing sustainable development in imperfect economies we are interested in three related questions 1 how should accounting prices be estimated 2 how should we evaluate policy change in an imperfect economy 3 how can we check whether intergenerational well being will be sustained along a projected economic programme we do not presume that the economy is convex nor do we assume that the government optimizes on behalf of its citizens we show that the same set of accounting prices should be used both for policy evaluation and for assessing whether or not intergenerational welfare along a given economic path will be sustained we also show that a comprehensive measure of wealth computed in terms of the accounting prices can be used as an index for problems 2 and 3 above the remainder of the paper is concerned with rules for estimating the accounting prices of several specific environmental natural resources transacted in a few well known economic institutions

targets for global climate policy an overview a survey of the economic impact of climate change and the marginal damage costs shows that carbon dioxide emissions are a negative externality the estimated pigou tax and its growth rate are too low to justify the climate policy targets set by political leaders a lower discount rate or greater concern for the global distribution of income would justify more stringent climate policy but would imply an overhaul of other public policies catastrophic risk justifies more stringent climate policy but only to a limited extent

specifications of social welfare in economic studies of climate policy overview of criteria and related policy insights an important assumption in economic studies of climate policy is the social welfare function this paper shows that applying distinct decision or social welfare criteria can result in different optimal policies of climate control notably if climate change impacts are uncertain first decision criteria in current climate economic studies are reviewed next the most important alternatives are discussed including their mathematical formalization and incorporation in economy climate models most of these alternative criteria suggest more stringent climate policies to be optimal than the standard discounted utilitarianism approach however several important welfare criteria have not or hardly seen any application in the economic analysis of climate policy we conclude that there is clear need for systematic research on this theme for which the current review provides a solid basis

unraveling effects of coal output cut policy on air pollution abatement in china using a cge model abstract recently frequent hazy weather in china caused by pm2 5 is mainly attributed to irrational energy consumption structure so the policies cutting coal output and promoting electric power substitution were initiated facing some resistance in the policy implementation what the proper target of cutting coal output is or whether there is a need to cut electricity prices for electric power substitution are still unknown or debatable to exploring this knowledge gap this paper set the eight action plan policy scenarios in which the coal output cut is set from 3 to 10 respectively further in order to observe whether the policy of cutting electric price will reduce the negative effects of action plan policy scenarios the eight enhanced action plan policy scenarios were also set in which the coal output cut is set from 3 to 10 respectively with the hypothetical electric price cut 3 by using the developed computable general equilibrium cge model the policy scenarios are simulated and the economic and environmental effects are tested the results showed that first in most policy scenarios the environmental and economic effects were changing synchronously in inverted u shapes but the policy to cut coal output would lead to positive environmental effects and negative economic effects second cutting electricity price could contribute to promoting electricity substitution though it couldn t be conducive to improving the electricity structure third the reduction of electricity price could also help to reduce the resistance in policy implementation consequently for optimal environmental effects and economic resistance it is recommended to set the policy target of cutting coal output as 6 while the moderate reduction of electricity price is needed and set as 3

timber harvest adjacency economies hunting species protection and old growth value seeking the dynamic optimum abstract forests have the potential to provide ecosystem services timber mature growth aesthetics and wildlife and endangered species protection forest managers are faced with complex ecosystem management decisions due to competing and complementary social values and differential interactions of these social values with timber production as a result management strategies can have dramatic aggregate and intertemporal welfare implications this paper portrays the trade offs and externalities in choosing or changing the forest management objective and the resulting rankings of management policies in addition the paper analyzes the role of economies of scale in harvest area where larger harvest areas generate average cost savings in harvesting and reseeding thereby promoting more intensive harvesting at the expense of environmental benefits

a hotelling model with a ceiling on the stock of pollution abstract environmental agreements such as the kyoto protocol aim to stabilize the amount of carbon in the atmosphere which is mainly caused by the burning of nonrenewable resources such as coal we characterize the solution to the textbook hotelling model when there is a ceiling on the stock of emissions we consider both increasing and decreasing demand for energy we show that when the ceiling is binding both the low cost nonrenewable resource and the high cost renewable resource may be used jointly a key implication is that if energy demand were to decline in the long run we may supplement energy supply through clean renewables to meet the environmental standard but then revert back to using only dirty fossil fuels in the future when the ceiling has become non binding that is the much heralded societal transition to clean energy resources may be short lived

does distribution matter efficiency equity and flexibility in greenhouse gas abatement this paper analyses banking and borrowing ofcarbon emission rights within the framework ofa simple integrated assessment model breaking the world economy in just two regionsit will be shown 1 increasing intertemporal flexibility in greenhouse gasabatement through banking and borrowing ofcarbon emission permits has a positive effecton welfare for regions with a poor endowment incarbon emission rights but negatively affectsrich endowed regions 2 intergenerationalfairness advocates intertemporal flexibility ingreenhouse gas abatement irrespectively of theinitial allocation of carbon rights 3 optimal carbon accumulation is not independentof the initial allocation of carbon rights different initial sharing rules clearlyinfluence the development of atmospheric carbonconcentration

a regional dynamic general equilibrium model of alternative climate change strategies outcomes and noncooperative equilibria this study finds that cooperative policies show much higher levels of emissions reductions than do noncooperative strategies that there are substantial differences in the levels of controls in both the cooperative and the noncooperative policies among different countries and that high income countries may be the major losers from cooperation jel h41 q4 q2 q20

a review of the stern review on the economics of climate change how much and how fast should we react to the threat of global warming the stern review argues that the damages from climate change are large and that nations should undertake sharp and immediate reductions in greenhouse gas emissions an examination of the review s radical revision of the economics of climate change finds however that it depends decisively on the assumption of a near zero time discount rate combined with a specific utility function the review s unambiguous conclusions about the need for extreme immediate action will not survive the substitution of assumptions that are consistent with today s marketplace real interest rates and savings rates

robust tests of forward exchange market efficiency with empirical evidence from the 1920s summary this paper provides a robust statistical approach to testing the unbiasedness hypothesis in forward exchange market efficiency studies the methods we use allow us to work explicitly with levels rather than differenced data they are statistically robust to data distributions with heavy tails and they can be applied to data sets where the frequency of observation and the futures maturity do not coincide in addition our methods allow for stochastic trend non stationarity and general forms of serial dependence the methods are applied to daily data of spot exchange rates and forward exchange rates during the 1920s which marked the first episode of a broadly general floating exchange rate system the tail behaviour of the data is analysed using an adaptive data based method for estimating the tail slope of the density the results confirm the need for the use of robust regression methods we find cointegration between the forward rate and spot rate for the four currencies we consider the belgian and french francs the italian lira and the us dollar all measured against the british pound we find support for a stationary risk premium in the case of the belgian franc the italian lira and the us dollar and we find support for the simple market efficiency hypothesis where the forward rate is an unbiased predictor of the future spot rate and there is a zero mean risk premium in the case of the us dollar

integrating economic analysis and the science of climate instability abstract scientific understanding of climate change and climate instability has undergone a revolution in the past decade with the discovery of numerous past climate transitions so rapid and so unlike the expectation of smooth climate changes that they would have previously been unbelievable to the scientific community models commonly used by economists to assess the wisdom of adapting to human induced climate change rather than averting it lack the ability to incorporate this new scientific knowledge here we identify and explain the nature of recent scientific advances and describe the key ways in which failure to reflect new knowledge in economic analysis skews the results of that analysis this includes the understanding that economic optimization models reliant on convexity are inherently unable to determine an optimal policy solution it is incumbent on economists to understand and to incorporate the new science in their models and on climatologists and other scientists to understand the basis of economic models so that they can assist in this essential effort

regulating a monopolist with unknown costs we consider the problem of how to regulate a monopolistic firm whose costs are unknown to the regulator the regulator s objective is to maximize a linear social welfare function of the consumers surplus and the firm s profit in the optimal regulatory policy prices and subsidies are designed as functions of the firm s cost report so that expected social welfare is maximized subject to the constraints that the firm has nonnegative profit and has no incentive to misrepresent its costs we explicitly derive the optimal policy and analyze its properties in their classic papers dupuit 2 and hotelling 5 considered pricing policies for a bridge that had a fixed cost of construction and zero marginal cost they demonstrated that the pricing policy that maximizes consumer well being is to set price equal to marginal cost and to provide a subsidy to the supplier equal to the fixed cost so that a firm would be willing to provide the bridge this first best solution is based on a number of informational assumptions first the demand function is assumed to be known to both the regulator and to the firm while the assumption of complete information may be too strong the assumption that information about demand is as available to the regulator as it is to the firm does not seem unnatural a second informational assumption is that the regulator has complete information about the cost of the firm or at least has the same information about cost as does the firm this assumption is unlikely to be met in reality since the firm would be expected to have better information about costs than would the regulator as weitzman has stated an essential feature of the regulatory environment i am trying to describe is uncertainty about the exact specification of each firm s cost function in most cases even the managers and engineers most closely associated with production will be unable to precisely specify beforehand the cheapest way to generate various hypothetical output levels because they are yet removed from the production process the regulators are likely to be vaguer still about a firm s cost function 12 p 684 as this observation suggests it is natural to expect that a firm would have better information regarding its costs than would a regulator the purpose of this paper is to develop an optimal regulatory policy for the case in which the regulator does not know the costs of the firm one strategy that a regulator could use in the absence of full information about costs is to give the firm the title to the total social surplus and to delegate the pricing decision to the firm in pursuing its own interests which would then be to maximize the total social surplus the firm would adopt the same marginal cost pricing strategy that the regulator would have imposed if the regulator had

opportunity cost estimation of ecosystem services land use changes rank among the most significant drivers of change in ecosystem services worldwide the enhancement of important services such as biodiversity and carbon sequestration requires modifications in land use that can lead to the decline in other ecosystems services targeting the most suitable areas for particular land uses based on comparative advantages requires opportunity cost information across large regions this is a demanding task because the input output relations are ill defined and determined by spatially heterogeneous operational and environmental conditions to address this methodological challenge this paper presents a two stage semiparametric technique that enables multi dimensional production possibility frontiers to be estimated from data provided by biophysical models specific advantages of the proposed frontier approach are its flexibility with regard to assumptions on the convexity of the production possibility set and its freedom from any separability assumptions for the input output space and the space of the heterogeneous background variables the method is illustrated for a case study of 18 central and eastern european countries results show that opportunity costs of changes in ecosystem services provision differ substantially between regions those areas having already relatively high levels of carbon sequestration have a comparative advantage in sequestering carbon opportunity costs of biodiversity are generally positively related with the level of biodiversity up to a turning point after which they are negatively related to illustrate the policy consequences of the observed economies and diseconomies of scope we compare two management regimes to illustrate the potential gains from smart land management

estimating the benefits of adaptation to extreme climate events focusing on nonmarket damages abstract this paper provides a first approach on how to evaluate nonmarket damages from extreme climate events in monetary units by applying a computable general equilibrium cge approach we develop a static cge model which zooms into one single period of a standard auerbach kotlikoff model while we observe private and instantaneous adaptation in reaction to price changes we explicitly model public adaptation funded by taxing either labor or capital we apply our model to heat waves in switzerland and are able to show that heat waves affect cohorts utility in an unadapted economy in substantially different ways while young and less vulnerable cohorts profit in welfare terms and because of inheritance from heat waves vulnerable but surviving cohorts welfare decreases substantially thus without adaptation vulnerable cohorts are worse off and might have even fewer possibilities to invest in private adaptation in the long run overall we show that with adaptation the negative impact of a 2003 like heat wave on output can be reduced from about 0 5 of gdp to 0 04 of gdp additionally equivalent variation is reduced from about 1 to 0 18