gasoline demand in europe new insights abstract this study utilizes a panel data set from 14 european countries over the period 1990 2004 to estimate a dynamic model specification for gasoline demand previous studies estimating gasoline consumption per total passenger cars ignore the recent increase in the number of diesel cars in most european countries leading to biased elasticity estimates we apply several common dynamic panel estimators to our small sample results show that specifications neglecting the share of diesel cars overestimate short run income price and car ownership elasticities it appears that the results of standard pooled estimators are more reliable than common iv gmm estimators applied to our small data set

gasoline price volatility and the elasticity of demand for gasoline abstract we examine how gasoline price volatility impacts consumers price elasticity of demand for gasoline results show that volatility in prices decreases consumer demand for gasoline in the intermediate run we also find that consumers appear to be less elastic in response to changes in gasoline price when gasoline price volatility is medium or high compared to when it is low moreover we find that when we control for variance in our econometric model gasoline price elasticity of demand is lower in magnitude in the long run

decentralization and corruption evidence from u s federal transfer programs while some recent evidence suggests that more decentralization is associated with reduced corruption no empirical work has examined whether different types of decentraliz ation have differential effects on corruption the theoretical literature has emphasized that expenditure decentralization will only be effective if accompanied by the devolution of rev enue generation to local governments in this paper we examine this hypothesis empirically by studying the mismatch between revenue generation and expenditure in u s states larger federal transfers are associated with higher rates of conviction for abuse of public office supporting the theory that soft budget constraints created by federal transfers are potentially problematic

how effective are policies to reduce gasoline consumption evaluating a set of measures in spain abstract using a panel of 48 provinces for four years we empirically analyze a series of temporary and permanent policies aimed at curbing fuel consumption implemented in spain between march and june 2011 the first policy was a reduction in the speed limit in highways the second policy was an increase in the biofuel content of fuels used in the transport sector the third measure was a decrease of 5 in commuting and regional train fares that resulted in two major metropolitan areas reducing their overall fare for public transit the results indicate that the speed limit reduction in highways lowered gasoline consumption by 2 to 3 while an increase in the biofuel content of gasoline increased this consumption this last result is consistent with experimental evidence that indicates that mileage per liter falls with an increase in the biofuel content in gasolines as for the reduction in transit fares we do not find a significant effect for this policy however in specifications including the urban transit fare for the major cities in each province the estimated cross price elasticity of the demand for gasoline used as a proxy for car use with respect to the price of transit is within the range reported in the literature this is important since one of the main efficiency justifications for subsidizing public transit rests on the positive value of this parameter and most of the estimates reported in the literature are quite dated

inventory behavior with permanent sales shocks abstract empirically adf tests fail to reject the null hypothesis that sales are i 1 we build a model of inventory behavior that incorporates permanent sales shocks analytically the model with i 1 sales implies that the variance ratio of log production to log sales is one in the long run regardless of the strength of production smoothing stockout avoidance or cost shocks but that at business cycle horizons the conditional variance ratio conditional on past production and sales is greater than one we explain analytically using our model and intuitively four traditional inventory puzzles and three puzzles about inventories and monetary policy

demand for gasoline in kuwait an empirical analysis using cointegration techniques abstract this paper estimates the demand for gasoline in kuwait for the period 1970 1989 using a cointegration and error correction model ecm it is found that gasoline demand is inelastic with respect to price in the short and long run and while it is elastic in the long run gasoline demand is inelastic with respect to income in the short run this suggests that gasoline demand response to income changes is higher in the long run than in the short run furthermore gasoline consumption adjusts towards its long run level with about 52 of the adjustment occurring in the first year

a cointegration analysis of gasoline demand in the united states time series estimation of gasoline demand elasticities often does not take into account the possibility of nonstationarity in the underlying data which may render the parameter estimates spurious studies have shown that the time trending variables used to explain gasoline demand could be difference stationary and therefore may require cointegration analysis to assess the relationship among the trending variables in this work we use the cointegration technique to derive long run and short run demand elasticities of noncommercial gasoline consumption using time series data for the usa from 1949 to 2004 we also attempt to incorporate the presence of a structural break in the data generation process of the time trending variables our results show that the consumption of gasoline and lifetime income have a long term stable relationship after the second oil shock of 1978 prior to the first oil shock of 1973 no such long run relationship could be established through cointegration

a study of petrol consumption using spanish panel data methods are proposed for the estimation of equations for consumption categories subject to non participation and other types of censoring using an unbalanced panel data set on petrol expenditures from the spanish continuous family expenditure survey the use of panel data allows one to deal with two issues that pose econometric problems when dealing with individual budget data on one hand unobserved time invariant heterogeneity is controlled for on the other hand the problem of censoring in the dependent variable is addressed and the measurement error induced by infrequent purchases is corrected results suggest the use of probabilities of purchase estimated from the temporal pattern of expenditure records in order to carry out this correction the estimated demand system is subsequently used to simulate the effects of changes in the taxation of petrol

energy demand in ghana a disaggregated analysis this paper presents a comprehensive analysis of energy demand in ghana by estimating demand functions for key disaggregated energy components including gasoline diesel liquefied petroleum gas lpg kerosene biomass residual fuel oil rfo and electricity our results show that energy prices income urbanization and economic structure are significant demand drivers of the different energy types in ghana with varying estimated elasticities further there is evidence of high degree of inter fuel substitution in energy demand in ghana particularly from gasoline diesel and kerosene towards lpg consumption we recommend among different policy options a customization of energy price subsidization policies especially on lpg to reduce the unintended beneficiary dilemma or spillover effect of current government policy other policies such as intensification of energy conservation programs and market entry of independent power trading companies to enhance energy service delivery through competition are also discussed

an empirical analysis of energy demand in namibia abstract using a unique database of end user local energy data and the recently developed autoregressive distributed lag ardl bounds testing approach to cointegration we estimate the long run elasticities of the namibian energy demand function at both aggregated level and by type of energy electricity petrol and diesel for the period 1980 2002 our main results show that energy consumption responds positively to changes in gdp and negatively to changes in energy price and air temperature the differences in price elasticities across fuels uncovered by this study have significant implications for energy taxation by namibian policy makers we do not find any significant cross price elasticities between different fuel types

the demand for road diesel in canada abstract in this paper we estimate the demand for road diesel in canada using aggregate annual data for the period 1986 2008 using a partial adjustment model pam we find short and long run price elasticities of 0 43 and 0 8 respectively however using cointegration techniques we obtain price elasticities that are 30 to 50 lower the short run elasticity with respect to gdp per capita is evaluated at 0 5 with the pam and 1 55 with cointegration in the long run both estimation techniques indicate an income elasticity around 0 9 our results underline the importance of controlling for the expansion of the primary sector which has been characterizing the canadian economy in the 2000s

the demand for gasoline in south africa an empirical analysis using co integration techniques abstract using the recently developed autoregressive distributed lag ardl bound testing approach to co integration suggested by pesaran et al pesaran m h shin y smith r j bounds testing approaches to the analysis of level relationships journal of applied econometrics 2001 16 3 289 326 we empirically analyzed the long run relationship among the variables in the aggregate gasoline demand function over the period 1978 2005 our study confirms the existence of a co integrating relationship the estimated price and income elasticities of 0 47 and 0 36 imply that gasoline demand in south africa is price and income inelastic

the demand for transport fuels in turkey abstract in this paper we estimate the demand for transport fuels in turkey specifically using four different models namely a partial adjustment model a distributed lag model an autoregressive distributed lag model and an error correction model we estimate gasoline and diesel demand functions with quarterly data covering the period 2003 q1 2014 q3 we find a stable long run relationship only for diesel demand income and price our results imply that gasoline demand does not respond to income and price in the long run reflecting a shift from gasoline towards diesel induced by differential tax policies furthermore we find that transport fuel demand is price inelastic making tax on fuel a perfect tool for raising budget revenues in addition our results suggest that fuel demand responds to negative and positive price changes symmetrically

short and long run elasticities of gasoline demand in india an empirical analysis using cointegration techniques abstract in developing countries like india consumption of petroleum products has implications on its balance of payments economic growth and fiscal deficit gasoline is one of the prime petroleum products in this paper the relationship between gasoline demand national income and price of gasoline is empirically examined using cointegration and error correction techniques the time frame of the analysis is from 1972 1973 to 1993 1994 it has been found that gasoline demand is likely to increase significantly for a given increase in the gross domestic product the increase will be larger in the long run 2 682 than in the short run 1 178 gasoline demand is relatively inelastic to price changes both in the long and short terms the error correction model has shown that gasoline demand adjusts to their respective long run equilibrium at a relatively slow rate with about 28 of adjustment taking place in the first year

price and advertising effectiveness over the business cycle abstract firms are under increasing pressure to justify their marketing expenditures this evolution toward greater accountability is reinforced in harsh economic times when marketing budgets are among the first to be reconsidered to make such decisions managers must know whether and to what extent marketing s effectiveness varies with the economic tide however surprisingly little research addresses this issue therefore the authors conduct a systematic investigation of the business cycle s impact on the effectiveness of two important marketing instruments price and advertising to do so they estimate time varying short and long term advertising and price elasticities for 150 brands across 36 consumer packaged goods categories using 18 years of monthly u k data from 1993 to 2010 the long term price sensitivity tends to decrease during economic expansions whereas long term advertising elasticities increase during contractions the long term own and cross price elasticities increase moreover

analysing gasoline demand elasticities a survey this paper is a survey of studies on gasoline demand although there are very many dxerent studies in this eld which sometimes appear to arrive at contradictory results we find that with proper stratification of studies by model and data type much of the contict turns to consensus in this survey we classtfy studies by data type and by ten d erent categories of model and with the exception of estimates on seasonal data which tend to be unstable and of certain inappropriate model formulations we find a fair degree of agreement concerning average short run and even long run income and price elasticities

household gasoline demand in the united states supported by the mit center for energy and environmental policy research the u s dept of energy and the national science foundation

gasoline demand and car choice estimating gasoline demand using household information in recent years calls for carbon taxes as a policy tool to combat global warming have kept a discussion of the price and income elasticities of gasoline demand alive to date gasoline demand elasticity estimates are almost exclusively based on aggregate data that are subject to aggregation problems and make distributional concerns impossible to address by using household level data from the panel study of income dynamics psid and imputed fuel efficiency measures and gasoline prices i estimate household demand for gasoline and the corresponding price and income demand elasticities an attempt is made to include data on the car stock in the estimation since car portfolio and gasoline demand decisions are closely related empirical results from a selection corrected gasoline demand regression suggest low short run price and income elasticities and clear differences in gasoline demand across the population these results suggest that a gasoline tax is not likely to result in large decreases in gasoline consumption while potentially imposing hardship on identifiable segments of the population

evaluating a seasonal fuel tax in a mass tourism destination a case study for the balearic islands abstract this paper estimates the monthly aggregate demand for diesel oil and gasoline in a mass tourism region characterized for a high level of seasonality using time series models price elasticities are estimated with special emphasis in evaluating differences between seasons in order to assess the consequences of a fuel tax applied exclusively during the high season using the case study of the balearic islands spain from january 1999 to december 2010 results from a partial adjustment model show a relatively low price elasticity evidencing how the internalizing mechanism that could be argued for introducing the tax in order to reduce transport externalities does not work additionally no statistical differences have been found between seasons for both fuels invalidating the argument that tourism activity reacts differently to host activity

elasticities of transport fuels at times of economic crisis an empirical analysis for spain abstract this paper provides an updated calculation of the price and income responsiveness of spanish consumers of transport fuels with an explicit exploration of the effects of the recent economic crisis we examine separate gasoline and diesel demand models using a set of estimators on a panel of 16 spanish regions over the period 1999 2015 the paper confirms the persistence of low own price elasticities both for diesel and gasoline in the short and long runs it also shows that the crisis of 2008 2013 slightly increased the price elasticity of demand for transport fuels with a higher effect on diesel than on gasoline by contrary the crisis slightly reduced the income elasticity of transport fuel demand given the intensity and length of the economic recession in spain the results of this paper may be useful to anticipate the effects of domestic public policies that impact transport fuel prices as well as to advance some of the potential consequences of crises elsewhere

gasoline demand in the oecd an application of pooling and testing procedures abstract this study utilizes a pooled inter country data set finding the long run price elasticity falls in the range 0 55 to 0 9 depending on the choice of pooled estimators the estimators included the ols within and between country estimators plus five feasible gls estimators even allowing for a ten year distributed lag on price to reflect changes in auto efficiency characteristics the within country estimator yields appreciably more inelastic estimates than did the o s estimator which was heavily influenced by the between or inter country variation this difference raises intriguing questions for future research

road transport energy demand in australia a cointegration approach abstract a cointegration framework is used to examine the short run and long run characteristics of energy demand in the australian road transport sector a lagged endogenous equation based on a partial adjustment process is proposed and estimated results indicate that energy demand output and real energy prices are integrated of order 1 and cointegrated the long run output and price elasticities of energy demand are estimated to be 0 52 and 0 12 respectively causality tests ervealed a bidirectional causality path between output and energy demand and a unidirectional path from energy consumption to prices no other causality paths between output prices and energy demand are detected the short run output elasticity of energy demand is estimated to be 0 25 based on an error correction model the short run price elasticity is found to be insignificant the inertia parameter is 0 48 corresponding to 95 of the demand adjustment occurring after five periods the results are compared with previous findings and the variations are partially attributed to the structural changes in the road transport sector in the 1980s some of which are discussed

measuring global gasoline and diesel price and income elasticities abstract price and income elasticities of transport fuel demand have numerous applications they help forecast increases in fuel consumption as countries get richer they help develop appropriate tax policies to curtail consumption help determine how the transport fuel mix might evolve and show the price response to a fuel disruption given their usefulness it is understandable why hundreds of studies have focused on measuring such elasticities for gasoline and diesel fuel consumption in this paper i focus my attention on price and income elasticities in the existing studies to see what can be learned from them i summarize the elasticities from these historical studies i use statistical analysis to investigate whether income and price elasticities seem to be constant across countries with different incomes and prices although income and price elasticities for gasoline and diesel fuel are not found to be the same at high and low incomes and at high and low prices patterns emerge that allow me to develop suggested price and income elasticities for gasoline and diesel demand for over one hundred countries i adjust these elasticities for recent fuel mix policies and suggest an agenda of future research topics

demand for oil products in the gcc countries abstract the purpose of this study is to estimate the price and income elasticities of oil products demand in the gcc countries annual data spanning the period 1970 1991 were fitted to a partial adjustment model to obtain the estimates the main finding of the study is that both price and income are relatively inelastic in the short run and there has been a great variation in these elasticities among fuels and cross country

price and income elasticities of demand for passenger transport fuels in spain implications for public policies abstract the significant increase in passenger transport activity cars experienced by spain and its associated increase in energy consumption have several associated negative aspects including a greater dependence on foreign energy sources and higher ghg emissions therefore reducing the level of transport activity would bring important socioeconomic and environmental benefits the aim of this paper which focuses on energy consumption in the passenger transport is fourfold 1 to provide a diagnostic of energy consumption in the spanish passenger transport system and the related problems 2 to develop a model to calculate price and income elasticities of demand for transport fuel 3 to apply this model to the spanish passenger transport sector 4 to infer policy recommendations derived from the results of the diagnostic and the model it is claimed that in view of those low price elasticities and high income elasticities and if a reduction in the scale of transport activity is deemed socially desirable a combination of instruments is necessary fuel taxes play an important role within this combination apart from their long term effects the low price elasticity of demand for transport fuel would allow the collection of a significant amount of revenues which could eventually be earmarked to encourage reductions in private transport demand and modal shifts with other instruments

motor fuel prices in turkey the world s most expensive motor fuel gasoline diesel and lpg is sold most likely in the republic of turkey this paper investigates the key issues related to the motor fuel prices in turkey first of all the paper analyses the main reason behind high prices namely motor fuel taxes in turkey then it estimates the elasticity of motor fuel demand in turkey using an econometric analysis the findings indicate that motor fuel demand in turkey is quite inelastic and therefore not responsive to price increases caused by an increase in either pre tax prices or taxes therefore fuel market in turkey is open to opportunistic behaviour by firms through excessive profits and the government through excessive taxes besides the paper focuses on the impact of high motor fuel prices on road transport associated activities including the pattern of passenger transportation motorization rate fuel use total kilometers travelled and co2 emissions from road transportation the impact of motor fuel prices on income distribution in turkey and turkish public opinion about high motor fuel prices are also among the subjects investigated in the course of the study