dividend taxes corporate investment and q abstract taxes on corporate distributions have traditionally been regarded as a double tax on corporate income this view implies that while the total effective tax rate on corporate source income affects real economic decisions the distribution of this tax burden between the shareholders and the corporation is irrelevant recent research has suggested an alternative to this traditional view one explanation of why firms in the united states pay dividends in spite of the heavy tax liabilities associated with this form of distribution is that the stock market capitalizes the tax payments associated with corporate distributions this capitalization leaves investors indifferent at the margin between a corporation s decision to pay out dividends or to retain earnings this alternative view holds that while changes in the dividend tax rate will affect shareholder wealth they will have no impact on corporate investment decisions this paper develops econometric tests which distinguish between these two views of dividend taxation by extending tobin s q theory of investment to incorporate taxes at both the corporate and personal levels the implications of each view for corporate investment decisions can be derived the competing views may be tested by comparing the performance of investment equations estimated under each theory s predictions british time series data are particularly appropriate for testing hypotheses about dividend taxes because of the substantial postwar variation in effective tax rates on corporate distributions the econometric results suggest that dividend taxes have important effects on investment decisions

smuggling and price disparity abstract this paper proposes a model of smuggling consistent with the coexistence of smuggling legal trade and price disparity defined as a domestic price which exceeds is less than the return from legal export import these phenomena have been found to characterize indonesian smuggling a framework is presented in which legal trade is used to cloak smuggling activity with the implication that the greater the volume of legal trade the less the costs of smuggling this model is then used to explain the observation noted above and to show that smuggling may be welfare increasing vis a vis the non smuggling situation and that even if the suppression of smuggling is costless tax revenue maximization may require a positive level of smuggling in addition the model is applied to coffee and rubber exports from indonesia

a survey of agricultural household models recent findings and policy implications semicommercial farms that produce multiple crops make up a large part of the agricultural sector in developing economies these farms or agricultural households combine two fundamental units of microeconomic analysis the household and the firm traditional economic theory has dealt with these units seperately but in developing economies in which peasant farms dominate their interdependence is of crucial importance researchers have developed models of agricultural households that combine producer and consumer behavior in a theoretically consistent fashion recent empirical applications of these models have extended them and expanded the range of policy issues which can be investigated using this general framework this article reports the results of empirical applications of this model in india indonesia japan the republic of korea malaysia nigeria senegal sierra leone taiwan and thailand it provides a comparative analysis of the policy implications of the approach for such matters as the welfare of farm households the size of marketed surplus the demand for nonagricultural goods and services and for hired labor and the availability of budget revenues and foreign exchange

agricultural household models extensions applications and policy this book presents the basic model of an agricultural household that underlies most of the case studies undertaken so far the model assumes that households are price takers and is therefore recursive the decisions modeled include those affecting production and the demand for inputs and those affecting consumption and the supply of labor comparative results on selected elasticities are presented for a number of economies the empirical significance of the approach is demonstrated in a comparison of models that treat production and consumption decisions separately and those in which the decisionmaking process is recursive the book summarizes the implications of agricultural pricing policy for the welfare of farm households marketed surplus the demand for nonagricultural goods and services the rural labor market budget revenues and foreign exchange earnings in addition it is shown that the basic model can be extended in order to explore the effects of government policy on crop composition nutritional status health saving and investment and to provide a more comprehensive analysis of the effects on budget revenues and foreign exchange earnings methodological topics primarily the data requirements of the basic model and its extensions along with aggregation market interaction uncertainty and market imperfections are discussed the most important methodological issues the question of the recursive property of these models is also discussed

on the design of a neutral business tax under uncertainty this paper extends the results of boadway and bruce journal of public economics 1984 24 231 239 and fane journal of public economics 1987 33 95 105 to describe a tax on business profits which is neutral with respect to investment and wind up decisions and default outcomes under uncertainty and bankruptcy risk the tax base allows deductions for depreciation and the cost of finance but requires knowledge of neither true economic depreciation nor the firm s required rate of return we show that the tax must treat taxable profits and losses symmetrically and that the tax rate must be a known constant even in the special case when the tax base coincides with the economic rent earned in each period

estimating a non minimum cost function for hospitals hospital costs have been rigorously scrutinized by economists and health policy experts for several decades despite the large volume of research two related problems persist first although theoretical models of hospital behavior such as 9 and 10 suggest systematic deviations from cost minimization there has been little attention given to modelling and measuring this inefficiency second because cost minimization is a questionable maintained hypothesis most hospital cost research has not used cost functions that are dual to production technology consequently the technological concepts of scale and factor substitution are obscured we address these twin problems by developing and estimating a long run cost function that allows for systematic allocative inefficiency the parameter estimates we present also provide information on the traditional production concepts of scale and factor substitution as well as information on the size and source of allocative inefficiency in u s hospitals hospital services clearly comprise a large industry short term hospital expenditures were 120 billion in 1984 for example the u s short term hospital sector has increased in relative size by a factor of 2 5 since 1960 so that short term hospital expenditures are now about 3 6 percent of the gnp in the united states while industry size alone probably justifies an empirical investigation into the production technology for hospital services we are also motivated by the relevance of our findings to several health policy issues measures of scale economies are crucial in forming public policies concerning entry exit and mergers in the hospital industry yet most studies have not actually estimated the technological concept of scale elasticities of factor substitution are also technological and economic concepts that should be of interest to health policy makers these measures indicate the extent to which cost increases can be avoided by substituting away from the factor whose price has increased hospital cost estimates that do not include factor

the effect of oil price volatility on strategic investment in this paper we investigate how oil price volatility affects the strategic investment decisions of a large panel of us firms this paper uses key insights from the real options literature to develop a model of a company s strategic investment and shows how changes in oil price volatility can impact strategic investment decisions the model is estimated using recently developed generalized method of moment estimation techniques for panel data sets empirical results are presented to show that there is a u shaped relationship between oil price volatility and firm investment this is consistent with the predictions from the strategic growth options literature the results should be useful to decision makers investors managers policy makers and others who need to make strategic investment decisions in an uncertain world

corporate finance side of the q theory of investment abstract this paper presents a model of a firm under uncertainty in which the financial and investment decisions are simultaneously determined if profits are small relative to investment the firm finances a constant fraction of incremental investment by debt and the rest by retentions if profits are large relative to investment a constant fraction of marginal finance comes from debt and the rest from new shares in these two financing regimes a one to one relationship between optimal investment and q can be derived no such relation exists in the third and intermediate regime in which incremental investment is entirely debt financed

pre recession efficiencies and input allocation decisions of agricultural and critically insolvent banks abstractthe late 2000s economic recession is considered the longest economic downturn since the 1930s great depression declining real estate values ignited an increase in loan defaults and mortgage foreclosures that led to a surge of bank failures at a rate not experienced by the u s banking industry since the 1980s a total of 509 bank failures were recorded by the fdic from january 2007 december 2014 with nearly 60 of these failures occurring in 2009 and 2010 in contrast there were only 24 bank failures in the u s during the 7 year period prior to 2007 this study analyzed certain components of operating decisions made by banks that either survived or became critically insolvent during the late 2000s financial crisis using an input distance stochastic frontier function to estimate the technical efficiency te and allocative efficiency ae between agricultural banks and non agricultural banks this efficiency analysis was applied to a 7 year pre recession period and is designed to final out any

the effects of management decisions on agricultural bank failures the assertion that local economic conditions have been responsible for the failures of large numbers of agricultural banks is investigated by pairing solvent and failed banks within rural counties and examining whether balance sheet items alone explain differences in the probability of failure for the two groups of banks estimation of a probit model indicates that higher ratios of loans to assets and agricultural to total loans were associated with higher probabilities of failure banks with higher capital ratios and those affiliated with multibank holding companies had lower probabilities of failure

a stochastic frontier analysis of financing constraints on investment is shown that investment under financing constraints can be modeled as a one sided deviation from a frictionless investment level and that effects of financing constraints can be identified and quantified by imposing a distributional assumption on the effects panel data on taiwanese manufacturing firms between 1989 and 1996 are used in the estimation it is found that 1 some of the sorting criteria used in the literature do not have significant and monotonic relationships with the degrees of financing constraint resulting in problematic sample separations and 2 the effects of financial liberalization in taiwan are such that the investment efficiency improved over time for a typical firm and the improvement was particularly large for smaller firms

are scale economies in banking elusive or illusive evidence obtained by incorporating capital structure and risk taking into models of bank production abstract this paper explores how to incorporate banks capital structure and risk taking into models of production in doing so the paper bridges the gulf between 1 the banking literature that studies moral hazard effects of bank regulation without considering the underlying microeconomics of production and 2 the literature that uses dual profit and cost functions to study the microeconomics of bank production without explicitly considering how banks production decisions influence their riskiness various production models that differ in how they account for capital structure and in the objectives they impute to bank managers cost minimization versus value maximization are estimated using u s data on highest level bank holding companies modeling the bank s objective as value maximization conveniently incorporates both market priced risk and expected cash flow into managers ranking and choice of production plans estimated scale economies are found to depend critically on how banks capital structure and risk taking are modeled in particular when equity capital in addition to debt is included in the production model and cost is computed from the value maximizing expansion path rather than the cost minimizing path banks are found to have large scale economies that increase with size moreover better diversification is associated with larger scale economies while increased risk taking and inefficient risk taking are associated with smaller scale economies

modeling the impact of agricultural growth and government policy on income distribution in india this article uses a limited general equilibrium model to investigate the growth and equity effects of a variety of economic and technical changes and selected agricultural policies in india it explores how changes in food prices rural wages and farm profits associated with the green revolution period affected income distribution between net buyers and sellers of food the model shows that income gains from the green revolution initially accrued to the wealthier rural groups but that after 1972 73 they were transferred to urban consumers and that by 1980 81 the per capita incomes of poor and wealthier rural groups alike were barely above their respective 1960 61 levels the model is also used in counterfactual analysis of the impact of changes in technological demographic investment taxation and income redistribution variables its findings indicate the importance of trade policies for the nature of the equity outcomes from agricultural growth and suggest that a reduction in population growth and an increase in nonagricultural employment and income are required to convert agricultural growth into reduced rural poverty

taxes firm financial policy and the cost of capital an empirical analysis abstract this paper develops a theoretical model of firm behavior consistent with the maximization of shareholder utility and derives empirically testable implications of different theories of equity finance using data on firm earnings and previous investment and financial behavior we assess whether firms treat new share issues as a more expensive source of finance than retentions and whether such behavior varies across firms according to the composition of their shareholders our results support the hypothesis that firms perceive a higher cost of capital when issuing new shares and that the cost of capital varies significantly across firms having different estimated tax clienteles as theory would predict

conditional investment cash flow sensitivities and financing constraints we study the sensitivity of investment to cash flow conditional on measures of q in an adjustment costs framework with costly external finance we present a benchmark model in which this conditional investment cash flow sensitivity increases monotonically with the cost premium for external finance for firms in a financially constrained regime using simulated data we show that this pattern is found in linear regressions that relate investment rates to measures of both cash flow and average q we also derive a structural equation for investment from the first order conditions of our model and show that this can be estimated directly

the philippines roll on roll off policy and its impact on household income abstractour paper captures the immediate impact of the roll on roll off policy that offered an alternative system of inter island transfer within the philippines it provides evidence on the effect

dollars for sale exchange rate policy and inflation in africa abstract in africa the government is often the main provider of foreign exchange acquired through aid or via a nationalized mining sector although a parallel market is also usually active a policy of indexing the official exchange rate on the parallel one is destabilizing while a nominal anchor policy has the opposite effect using the case of nigeria these stylized facts are interpreted in the light of an analytical model with rational expectations the case of guinea is also presented as an example of where the nominal anchor policy has succeeded

allocative inefficiency and its cost the case of spanish public hospitals in this paper we present a new empirical model based on an input distance function from which estimates of allocative inefficiency and its cost can be obtained the model avoids the greene problem which refers to the difficulty in practice of using a cost system to separate economic inefficiency into its technical and allocative components we also develop a procedure to calculate the cost of allocative inefficiency using a panel of spanish public hospitals to apply our methodology we find evidence of systematic allocative inefficiency in the employment of variable inputs since inputs are generally poor substitutes the cost of this allocative inefficiency is high

equity compensation and the sensitivity of research and development to financial market frictions abstract when financial market frictions exist executives may have to decide which investment activities to reduce when internal funds decrease expenditures on research and development r d may be particularly vulnerable because of the long term nature of innovative activity we find that equity compensation is associated with lower levels of firm r d expenditures rewarding executives to incur more risk has little effect on r d expenditures but rewarding executives for higher returns reduces r d expenditures and makes r d expenditures more sensitive to financial market frictions in contrast cash compensation reduces the sensitivity of r d expenditures to financial market frictions

measuring and decomposing productivity change measuring productivity change with malmquist indices has become common practice because they are easily computed using nonparametric programming techniques and can be readily decomposed into technical and efficiency change however this approach is nonstochastic and requires a constant returns to scale assumption to construct the reference technology we propose estimating productivity change using a stochastic input distance frontier imposing no restrictions on returns to scale we derive the analogous decomposition of productivity change and develop a generalized method of moments strategy in which outputs or inputs may be endogenous we compare two methods in an application to electric utilities

tobin s q investment and the endogenous adjustment of financial structure abstract should q theory be modified to take account of financial structure this paper analyzes a general equilibrium q model where financial structure affects firm value agency costs and taxes combine to yield an interior solution for the endogenous debt equity ratio although q is still a sufficient statistic for investment the endogenous adjustment of financial structure alters the relation between the interest rate and investment in this model an increase in the corporate tax rate could either raise or lower the steady state capital stock furthermore both q and investment could jump in opposite directions to that of their steady state values

general equilibrium with parallel markets for goods and foreign exchange theory and application to ghana abstract this paper presents a simple model of a distorted economy with parallel markets which is motivated by the ghanaian experience the model has simultaneous illegal trade in goods and foreign exchange markets its general equilibrium determines the black market foreign exchange rate and the price of consumer goods after determining some comparative statics the predictions are tested on ghanaian monthly data from 1982 1983 the empirical results are shown to be consistent with those from the theoretical model

the allocative efficiency measure by means of a distance function the case of spanish public railways abstract this paper is an empirical application of the distance function to study the allocative efficiency of a regulated railway spanish firm renfe where the cost minimising hypothesis may be questioned besides and in contrast with other studies we include the possibility of the presence of persistent allocative inefficiency to achieve these aims we have estimated a system of equations for the inputs distance function and cost shares using annual data over the period 1955 95 using this procedure we have checked the presence of persistent allocative inefficiency in particular a systematic overutilisation of labour and underutilisation of capital moreover we have found some empirical evidence that since 1984 management contracts have improved the input allocation in spanish railways

terms of trade fluctuations and stabilization of producer prices by compensatory taxation abstract a small general equilibrium model is presented which highlights the role of the real exchange rate in the south in determining the terms of trade between the south and the north the dynamics of the model may generate terms of trade instability for some values of the parameters of the system compensatory taxation of export earnings by a stabilization fund in the south is shown to increase the likelihood of instability

taxation corporate financial policy and the cost of capital the cost of capital plays an important role in the allocation of resources among competing uses in a decentralized market system the purpose of this paper is to organize and present what is known and what is hypothesized about the effects of taxation on the incentive to invest via the cost of capital taking full account of important issues that arise independently from the question of taxation included in the analysis is a discussion of empirical findings about the interaction of inflation and taxation in influencing the incentive to invest and a treatment of taxation and uncertainty this abstract was borrowed from another version of this item

an empirical structural model of aggregate demand abstract this paper estimates a structural model of aggregate demand it attempts to avoid two of the shortcomings of most existing macroeconometric models the structure of the model is specified so as to be approximately policy invariant to eliminate the pretesting from which most published estimated models suffer all regression run are reported as the model contains consumption investment and money demand functions close in specification to existing ones it should help the reader judge the reliability of existing estimated functions the estimated model shows a relatively small direct dependence of aggregate demand on the past a much larger dependence on the anticipated future

corporate governance and innovation we use tobin s q models of investments to estimate the relationship between corporate governance and the level of innovative activity simple ordinary least squares ols models suggest that poor governance reduces innovative activity however ols results are sensitive to controlling for serial correlation unobserved effects or using instrumental variables to control simultaneity controlling for these effects substantially reduces or eliminates the relationship between governance and innovative activity

smuggling and supply response coffee in ethiopia abstract during the 1980s substantial smuggling of coffee has been taking place in ethiopia the recent devaluation has raised hopes that substantial quantities of coffee will flow back to the official channels in this study data on the incentives to supply to the different channels are collated a model of official supplies is formulated which nests an empirical test between the smuggling models by bhagwati and hansen 1973 and by pitt 1981 the econometric results favor the latter and show a small but significant effect of the premium in the black market and a positive total supply response relative to the main competing crop chat the results imply that the increases in export earnings from the devaluation will be quite limited

monopolistic competition and the q theory of investment abstract in this paper we analyse the implications for q models of investment of replacing the assumption of perfect competition in the output market with the assumption of monopolistic competition the structural investment equation that can be derived in this case has a richer dynamic structure than the conventional one and it contains in addition to present and future q output as an explanatory variable in the applied section we discuss the extent to which monopolistic competition helps in providing a remedy for the empirical weaknesses of q models the estimates are obtained using aggregate data for u k industrial and commercial companies for the period 1951 1979

separating the likelihood and timing of bank failure abstract we use a split population survival time model to separate the determinants of bank failure from the factors influencing the survival time of failing banks basic indicators of a bank s condition such as capital troubled assets and net income are important in explaining the timing of bank failure however many of the other variables typically included in bank failure models such as measures of bank liquidity are not associated with the time to failure the results also suggest that the closure of large banks is not delayed relative to the closure of small banks

the relative efficiency of public and private firms in a regulated environment the case of u s electric utilities abstract the relative efficiency of privately owned and publicly owned electric utilities is investigated using theoretical and econometric models that allow for the effects of both ownership type and regulation the estimation results indicate that the two types of firms are equally cost inefficient in the united states the average effect of inefficiency is to increase the cost of production by 2 4 percent holding output constant inefficiency increases the average quantities demanded of capital and labor and decreases the average quantity demanded of fuel