long term intergenerational persistence of human capital an empirical analysis of four generations most previous studies of intergenerational transmission of human capital are restricted to two generations how parents influence their children in this study we use a swedish data set that links individual measures of lifetime earnings for three generations and data on educational attainment for four generations we find that estimates obtained from data on two generations severely underestimate long run intergenerational persistence in both labor earnings and educational attainments long run social mobility is hence much lower than previously thought we attribute this additional persistence to dynastic human capital the influence on human capital of more distant family members than parents

spinoffs and wealth transfers the marriott case abstract this paper examines changes in bondholder and shareholder wealth resulting from the 1993 marriott spinoff it documents a wealth transfer from bondholders to shareholders and a decline in the total value of the firm following the spinoff announcement subsequent modifications to the spinoff plan reduced the bondholders loss but the value of marriott s notes and debentures remained 194 6 million below their pre announcement level on the distribution date industry adjusted shareholder gains during the same period were only 80 6 million transaction costs and inefficiencies resulting from the spinoff explain much of the decline in the total value of the firm

language and the earnings of immigrants several studies most of them employing straightforward regression analysis have concluded that immigrants proficiency in the language of their adopted country is correlated with their productivity as measured by earnings two weaknesses of these studies are potential unobserved heterogeneity which could result in over estimated effects if overall ability is linked with language acquisition and potential measurement error in the language proficiency measures which would probably result in under estimation of language effects the present study which uses panel data for a 10 year period in germany yields evidence that the latter bias tends to be much larger than the former implying that language proficiency is far more important than suggested by the existing literature

determinants of donations in private nonprofit markets abstract we estimate the responsiveness of donations to a number of economic variables including price advertising and the availability of revenue from such other sources as government grants and program service sales utilizing a set of irs data on individual nonprofit organizations in each of seven industries including hospitals and higher education for the years 1982 1994 we find distinct overall patterns as well as notable variation across industries a nonprofit organization s fundraising expenditures are estimated to exert two countervailing effects on donations the direct advertising and information effect augments donations while the indirect effect on the price of donating has a negative effect we do not find evidence that fundraising is carried to the profit maximizing levels in some industries fundraising is substantially short of that level while in other industries it is excessive implying that the marginal return to fundraising is exceeded by the cost focusing on whether revenue from other sources affects donations to a nonprofit organization we find evidence that revenue from either government grants or from the organization s own program sales activity generally does not crowd out private donations to the contrary in most industries there are significant positive effects

social class family background and intergenerational mobility abstract this research examines the various approaches taken by economists and sociologists for analyzing intergenerational mobility social mobility models based on social classes arising from an occupational classification scheme are analysed a test for the statistical validity of classification schemes is proposed and tested using danish sample survey data that was first collected in 1976 and augmented in 2000 this is referred to as a homogeneity test and is a likelihood ratio test of a set of linear restrictions which define social classes for denmark it is shown that this test fails for an erikson goldthorpe classification system raising doubts about the statistical validity of occupational classification systems in general we also estimate regression models of occupational earnings household earnings and educational attainment using family background variables as covariates controlling for unobservables measurement error and simultaneous equation bias in these models homogeneity tests are also rejected we conclude from these results that the individual s family background has a small but significant impact on lifetime chances which is not captured by the erikson goldthorpe classification scheme

intergenerational economic mobility in the united states 1940 to 2000 we estimate trends in intergenerational economic mobility by matching men in the census to synthetic parents in the prior generation we find that mobility increased from 1950 to 1980 but has declined sharply since 1980 while our estimator places greater weight on location effects than the standard intergenerational coefficient the size of the bias appears to be small our preferred results suggest that earnings are regressing to the mean more slowly now than at any time since world war ii causing economic differences between families to become more persistent however current rates of positional mobility appear historically normal

early decision and financial aid competition among need blind colleges and universities abstract this paper presents a stylized theoretical model of competition among need blind colleges and universities that implement early decision admissions under need blind admissions an applicant s financial aid status cannot affect their likelihood of admission in the model a need blind school can use early decision admissions as a screening mechanism to indirectly identify a student s ability to pay while superficially maintaining a need blind policy as a result in equilibrium non financial aid students are more likely to be admitted than financial aid students of comparable quality

correlations of brothers earnings and intergenerational transmission correlations between parent and child earnings reflect intergenerational mobility and more broadly correlations between siblings earnings reflect shared community and family background these earnings relationships capture important aspects of relations in socioeconomic status more generally we estimate intergenerational transmission and sibling correlations of life cycle earnings jointly within a unified framework that nests previous models using data on the danish population of father first son second son triads we find that intergenerational effects account for on average 72 percent of sibling correlations this share is higher than all previous studies because we allow for heterogeneous intergenerational transmission between families sibling correlations exhibit a u shape over the working life consistent with differences in human capital investments between families

public versus private investment in human capital endogenous growth and income inequality in this paper we present an overlapping generations model with heterogeneous agents in which human capital investment through formal schooling is the engine of growth we use simple functional forms for preferences technologies and income distribution to highlight the distinction between economies with public education and those with private education we find that income inequality declines more quickly under public education on the other hand private education yields greater per capita incomes unless the initial income inequality is sufficiently high we also find that societies will choose public education if a majority of agents have incomes below average

the intergenerational earnings and income mobility of canadian men evidence from longitudinal income tax data our objective is to obtain an accurate estimate of the degree of intergenerational income mobility in canada we use income tax information on about 400 000 father son pairs and find intergenerational earnings elasticities to be about 0 2 earnings mobility tends to be slightly greater than income mobility but nonparametric techniques uncover significant nonlinearities in both of these relationships intergenerational earnings mobility is greater at the lower end of the income distribution than at the upper end and displays an inverted v shape elsewhere intergenerational income mobility follows roughly the same pattern but is much lower at the very top of the income distribution

intergenerational linkages in consumption behavior consumption is partly a social activity yet most studies of consumer behavior treat households in isolation we investigate familial relationships in consumption patterns using a sample of parents and their children from the panel study of income dynamics we nd a positive and statistically signi cant parent speci c eect on children s consumption even after controlling for the eect of parental income and we nd similar eects for sibling pairs child consumption responds negatively to large post retirement shortfalls in consumption of the parents this behavior holds up even after allowing for the possibility of smaller parent to child transfers made necessary by the parental consumption shortfalls these results suggest that although income is an important source of the intergenerational correlation parental choices and experiences also aect consumption behavior of the children

estimation of sons intergenerational earnings mobility in the presence of censoring based on intergenerational data from the panel study of income dynamics i provide estimates of income mobility across generations for men special attention is paid to issues of censoring caused by a son s unemployment employing non parametric bounds estimates i illustrate that previous income mobility estimates rely heavily on unjustified assumptions of exogenous selection assuming a son s potential income is instead a function of his reason for unemployment and work history i re estimate mobility allowing for sampling variability the range of feasible slopes consistent with these modified bounds restrictions is 0 27 to 0 55 copyright 2002 john wiley sons ltd

birth order schooling and earnings birth order effects are posited by many to affect earnings and schooling we show how such effects can be interpreted to shift either the earnings possibility frontier for siblings or parental preferences we find empirical evidence for birth order effects on age adjusted schooling and on earnings for young u s adults though the latter is not robust for all specifications the examination of intrahousehold allocations suggests that these birth order differences occur despite parental preferences or prices by birth order favoring later borns apparently because of stronger endowment effects that favor firstborns

changes in the u s wage structure 1963 1987 application of quantile regression the 1980 s witnessed rapid changes in the structure of wages in the united states in this study recently developed techniques for quantile regression are applied to every march current population survey since 1964 and changes in the return to schooling and experience at different points of the wage distribution are examined the quantile regression technique parsimoniously describes the entire conditional wage distribution this conditional distribution is used to examine changes in within group wage inequality as measured by the difference between conditional quantiles two linear models are considered a simple one group model and a 16 group model the results suggest that the returns to schooling and experience differ across quantiles of the wage distribution but their patterns of change are similar significant differences in wage inequality are also found across the various skill groups the paper also presents a new imputation method for cps data

slipping into and out of poverty the dynamics of spells this paper examines the dynamics of poverty previous analyses have examined either fluctuations in the male heads earnings or the frequency of poverty periods over a fixed time frame our approach depends on a definition of spells of poverty using this methodology we find that the majority of poor persons at any time are in the midst of a rather long spell of poverty the methodology also allows us to estimate that less than 40 percent of poverty spells begin because of a drop in the heads earnings while 60 percent of the spells end when the heads earnings increase thus researchers must focus on household formation decisions and on the behavior of secondary family members there has been a dramatic resurgence recently of discussion of the underclass the discussion is reminiscent of debates about poverty during the 1960s when the notions of a culture of poverty particularly as popularized by michael harrington s other america 1962 dominated both intellectual and policy thinking the idea of an underclass seems inconsistent however with much of the research on the dynamics of poverty during the 1970s that research using new longitudinal data seemed to show that the bulk of the poor were poor for only a few years the research also showed that the poor were a very heterogeneous group including a small minority of persistently poor the persistence of poverty is of interest both for understanding the phenomenon and for developing policy claims about dependency and separate life styles among the poor rest on assumptions about the long term nature of poverty questions

trends in intergenerational income mobility previous studies of recent u s trends in intergenerational income mobility have produced widely varying results partly because of large sampling errors by making more efficient use of the available information in the panel study of income dynamics we generate more reliable estimates of the recent time series variation in intergenerational mobility our results which pertain to the cohorts born between 1952 and 1975 do not reveal major changes in intergenerational mobility

centralization fiscal federalism and private school attendance a cge model is used to analyze the impact of public school financing on private school attendance the common perception that public school finance centralization will necessarily lead to greater private school attendance is not correct in such a model even when that centralization involves an extreme equalization as in california furthermore if centralization is less dramatic as in most states declines in private school attendance are even more pronounced this weakens the speculation that low exit rates to private schools in centralizing states imply that general public school quality does not drop as a result of such centralization

the determinants of earnings a behavioral approach we survey the determinants of earnings and propose a framework for understanding labor market success we suggest that the advantages of the children of successful parents go considerably beyond the benefits of superior education the inheritance of wealth or the genetic inheritance of cognitive ability we suggest that noncognitive personality variables such as attitudes towards risk ability to adapt to new economic conditions hard work and the rate of time preference affect both earning and the transmission of economic status across generations

wealth inequality and intergenerational links previous work has had difficulty generating household saving behaviour that makes the distribution of wealth much more concentrated than that of labour earnings and that makes the richest households hold onto large amounts of wealth even during very old age i construct a quantitative general equilibrium overlapping generations model in which parents and children are linked by accidental and voluntary bequests and by earnings ability i show that voluntary bequests can explain the emergence of large estates while accidental bequests alone cannot and that adding earnings persistence within families increases wealth concentration even more i also show that the introduction of a bequest motive generates lifetime savings profiles more consistent with the data

biases in standard measures of intergenerational income dependence abstract estimates of the most common mobility measure the intergenerational elasticity can be severely biased if snapshots are used to approximate lifetime income however little is known about biases in other popular dependence measures using long swedish income series we provide such evidence for log linear and rank correlations and rank based transition probabilities attenuation bias is considerably weaker in rank based measures life cycle bias is strongest in the elasticity moderate in log linear correlations and small in rank based measures however there are important exceptions persistence in the tails of the distribution is considerably higher and long distance downward mobility lower than estimates from short run income suggest

is it inefficient investment that causes the diversification discount diversified conglomerates are valued less than matched portfolios of pure play firms recent studies find that this diversification discount results from conglomerates inefficient allocation of capital expenditures across divisions much of this work uses tobin s q as a proxy for investment opportunities therefore hypothesizing that q is a good proxy this paper treats measurement error in q using a measurement error consistent estimator on the sorts regressions in the literature i find no evidence of inefficient allocation of investment the results in the literature appear to be artifacts of measurement error and of the correlation between investment opportunities and liquidity diversif ied conglomerates appear to trade at a discount relative to matched portfolios of pure play firms studies documenting this stylized fact include lang and stulz 1994 berger and ofek 1995 comment and jarrell 1995 and servaes 1996 recent empirical work has sought to find the source of this diversification discount building on the theoretical work in milgrom and roberts 1990 stein 1997 and scharfstein and stein 2000 on the inefficiency of internal capital markets this literature has asked specifically whether diversified firms allocate their capital expenditures inefficiently across divisions the canonical answer has been yes and has been supported by two types of evidence first studies such as lamont 1997 shin and stulz 1998 shin and park 1998 and rajan servaes and zingales 2000 all find that internal capital markets in conglomerates transfer funds across divisions in a suboptimal manner second studies such as berger and ofek and scharfstein 1998 provide evidence suggesting that the divisions of conglomerates do not respond adequately to investment opportunities in comparison to single segment firms however these findings about divisional investment may be an artifact of measurement error most of these studies rely on tobin s q the market value of the capital stock divided by its replacement value as a proxy for investment opportunities and tobin s q is likely to be a poor proxy shin and stulz

education and ethnicity in canada an intergenerational perspective ethnic and intergenerational aspects of human capital investment are explored levels of and cross sectional returns to education across ethnic groups in canada are estimated and large differences observed for men a positive correlation exists between ethnic group average years of education and its return we also find large negative correlations between ethnic group average educational outcomes and the previous generation s fertility suggesting a role for home production as a complement to formal education and supporting models of child quantity quality trade offs very slow intergenerational convergence in ethnic group level educational and labor market outcomes is also observed

birth order family size and achievement family structure and wage determination do birth order and the size of one s childhood family influence environment thereby potentially affecting future achievement this article investigates the hypothesis that they do presenting two major empirical findings first neither birth order nor childhood family size significantly influences the level or growth rate of wages a result that is consistent with previous research second family size is both a statistically and economically significant determinant of women s employment status women from small families work less than women from large families when they are young and more than women from large families when they are more mature

intergenerational income mobility in permanent and separated families abstract we focus on the father definition in studies of intergenerational income mobility the association between sons income and their biological fathers income is weaker the less they lived together we also find weaker associations for nonbiological fathers than for biological

pay as you go social security and the distribution of altruistic transfers this paper studies the impact of an unfunded social security system on the distribution of altruistic transfers in a framework where savings are due to both life cycle and random altruistic motivations we show that the effect of social security on the distribution of these transfers depends crucially on the strength of the bequest motive in explaining savings behaviour we measure this strength by the expected weight that individuals attach to the utility of future generations on the one hand if the bequest motive is strong then an increase in the social security tax raises the bequests left by altruistic parents on the other hand when the importance of altruism in motivating savings is sufficiently low the increase in the social security tax could result in a reduction of the bequests left by altruistic parents under some conditions on the attitude of individuals toward risk and on the relative returns associated with private saving and social security some implications concerning the transitional effects of introducing an unfunded social security scheme are also discussed

does education expansion increase intergenerational mobility education expansion may lead to over education where the social connections of parents may exert more significant influence on the return to education of children with the assumption of a positive correlation between return on human capital and parental income in the presence of over education we show that i the expansion of education may cause horizontal inequity in education opportunities and inefficiency in human capital accumulation ii the positive correlation between return on human capital and parental income causes a more persistent intergenerational immobility iii an expansion of education especially higher education leads to more persistent intergenerational immobility

intergenerational correlations in labor market status a comparison of the united states and germany this paper uses data from the panel study of income dynamics and the german socioeconomic panel to calculate comparable measures of the intergenerational correlations of earnings hours and education in the us and germany the results indicate that there is remarkable similarity across the two countries in the correlations of earnings and of annual work hours of fathers and sons all of the correlations which involve women appear to be weaker in germany than the us perhaps due to the greater integration of women in the us into the labor market they find weak correlations in earnings and work hours for parent child pairs of different sexes in both countries they also find that intergenerational correlations in educational attainment are considerably stronger in the us authors

returns to education a further international update and implications this paper updates evidence on the returns to investment in education by adding estimates for new countries and refining existing estimates to bring the total number of country cases to over 60 the new cross country evidence confirms and reinforces earlier patterns namely that returns are highest for primary education the general curricula the education of women and countries with the lowest per capita income the findings have important implications for directing future investment in education which for efficiency and equity purposes should concentrate on these priority areas

birth order and the intrahousehold allocation of time and education this paper develops a model of intrahousehold allocation with endogenous fertility which captures the relationship between birth order and investment in children it shows that a birth order effect in intrahouse hold allocation can arise even without assumptions about parental preferences for specific birth orders of children or genetic endowments varying by birth order the important contribution is that fertility is treated as endogenous a possibility that other models of intrahousehold allocation have ignored the implications of the model are that children with higher birth orders that is who are born later have an advantage over siblings with lower birth orders and that parents who are inequality averse will not have more than one child the model furthermore shows that not taking account of the endogeneity of fertility when analyzing intrahousehold allocation may seriously bias the results the effects of a child s birth order on its human capital accumulation are analyzed using a longitudinal

income inequality in the united states 1913 1998 this paper presents new homogeneous series on top shares of income and wages from 1913 to 1998 in the united states using individual tax returns data top income and wages shares display a u shaped pattern over the century our series suggest that the large shocks that capital owners experienced during the great depression and world war ii have had a permanent effect on top capital incomes we argue that steep progressive income and estate taxation may have prevented large fortunes from fully recovering from these shocks top wage shares were flat before world war ii dropped precipitously during the war and did not start to recover before the late 1960s but are now higher than before world war ii as a result the working rich have replaced the rentiers at the top of the income distribution

the intergenerational persistence of lifetime earnings abstract this paper proposes a new method for estimating the intergenerational persistence of lifetime earnings from data that contain only short sections of individual earnings histories the approach infers lifetime earnings persistence from the persistence of short earnings averages together with information about the stochastic process governing individual earnings i find that lifetime earnings are substantially more persistent than previous estimates based on short panel data suggest about 54 of lifetime earnings differences between fathers persist into their sons generation this persistence estimate exceeds previous estimates based on five year earnings averages by one third these findings are robust against alternative assumptions about the data generating process for earnings

intergenerational income mobility in the united states social scientists and policy analysts have long expressed concern about the extent of intergenerational income mobility in the united states but remarkably little empirical evidence is available the few existing estimates of the intergenerational correlation in income have been biased downward by measurement error unrepresentative samples or both new estimates based on intergenerational data from the panel study of income dynamics imply that the intergenerational correlation in long run income is at least 0 4 indicating dramatically less mobility than suggested by earlier research copyright 1992 by american economic association

intergenerational earnings mobility in norway levels and trends using longitudinal data for norwegian children born in 1950 1955 1960 and 1965 we find a relatively high degree of earnings mobility there is no tendency toward decreasing mobility over the cohorts conditioning on the position in the earnings distribution the analysis indicates quite high mobility in the middle of the distribution and somewhat more persistence at the top and bottom this approach also reveals increased mobility over time for sons but a less clear picture for daughters

regression toward mediocrity in economic stature this paper provides estimates of the correlation in lifetime earnings between fathers and sons intergenerational data from the national longitudinal survey are used earlier studies conducted for the united states report elasticities of children s earnings with respect to parent s earnings of 0 2 or less suggesting extensive integenerational mobility these estimates however are biased downward by error contaminated measures of lifetime economic status estimates presented in this paper correct for the problem of measurement error and find the intergenerational correlation in income to be on the order of 0 4 this suggests considerably less intergenerational mobility than previously believed jel j62

educational vouchers and cream skimming educational vouchers and cream skimming epple and romano 1998 show equilibrium provision of education by public and private schools has the latter skim off the wealthiest and most able students and universal vouchers lead to further cream skimming here we study voucher design that injects private school competition and increases technical efficiencies without cream skimming conditioning vouchers on student ability without restriction on participating schools policies fails to affect significantly cream skimming however by adding restrictions like tuition constraints such vouchers can reap the benefits of school competition without increased stratification this is accomplished while allowing voluntary participation in the voucher system and without tax increases

education returns across quantiles of the wage function alternative explanations for returns to education by race in south america private wage returns to schooling in south africa in 1993 are twice as high for nonwhites as for whites and substantially higher at advanced levels of schooling for both races to explore how these returns might be expected to change as the proportion of africans with secondary and higher education increases quantile regressions for the wage function are estimated for african males and white males if the residuals based on a standard wage function specification are interpreted as omitted ability and it is assumed that ability increases decreases returns to schooling then we expect quantile returns to increase decrease at higher quantiles this is not observed for africans at the higher and secondary school level but is evident among whites at higher educational levels the opposite pattern of differential returns favoring the least able i e lowest deciles is reported for the lower tail of the educational distribution that is for africans at the level of primary school and for whites at secondary school authors

information asymmetry valuation and the corporate spin off decision we empirically analyze the information hypothesis that the separation of a rm s divisions into independently traded units through a spin o enhances value because it mitigates information asymmetry about the rm consistent with this hypothesis we nd that rms that engage in spin o s have higher levels of information asymmetry compared to their industry and size matched counterparts and the information problems decrease signi cantly after the spin o the gains around spin o s are positively related to the degree of information asymmetry and this relation is more pronounced for rms with fewer negative synergies between divisions finally rms with higher growth opportunities and rms in need of external capital show a higher propensity to engage in spin o s they also raise more capital following a spin o which is consistent with the view that

intergenerational top income mobility in sweden capitalist dynasties in the land of equal opportunity this paper presents new evidence on intergenerational mobility at the top of the income and earnings distributions using a large dataset of matched father son pairs in sweden we find that intergenerational transmission is very strong at the top more so for income than for earnings at the extreme top top 0 1 income transmission is remarkable with an intergenerational elasticity of approximately 0 9 we also study potential transmission mechanisms and find that iq non cognitive skills and education of the sons are all unlikely channels in explaining the strong transmission within the top percentile increases in the income of the fathers if they are related at all are negatively associated with these variables wealth on the other hand has a significantly positive association our results suggest that sweden known for having relatively high intergenerational mobility in general is a society in which transmission remains strong at the very top of the distribution and wealth is the most likely channel

fortunate sons new estimates of intergenerational mobility in the united states using social security earnings data previous studies relying on short term averages of fathers earnings have estimated the intergenerational elasticity ige in earnings to be approximately 0 4 due to persistent transitory fluctuations these estimates have been biased down by approximately 30 or more using administrative data containing the earnings histories of parents and children the ige is estimated to be around 0 6 this suggests that the united states is substantially less mobile than previous research indicated estimates of intergenerational mobility are significantly lower for families with little or no wealth offering empirical support for theoretical models that predict differences due to borrowing constraints

brother can you spare a dime peer pressure in charitable solicitation abstract while the effects of peer pressure in charitable giving have been of considerable interest to social scientists there is little empirical evidence on the magnitude of these effects a correlation between giving or volunteering by one s peers and one s own giving can be driven by self selection into groups common shocks that inspire both the solicitor to ask and the individual to give or social influence using data from a university this paper analyzes whether alumni are more likely to give and give larger amounts when they are solicited by someone with whom they have social ties freshman year roommate assignments and the structure of the university s giving campaigns are used to overcome problems of selection and common shocks social ties play a strong causal role in the decision to donate and the average gift size additionally a solicitor s request is much more effective if he or she shares characteristics such as race with the alumnus being solicited

economic and mechanical models of intergenerational transmission the author critically examines gary beckers attempt to integrate the theory of income distribution intragenerational differences with the theory of mobility intergenerational differences in an economic model of the family he assesses beckers claims of distinctiveness integration explanatory power and surprise and arrives at a rather skeptical view of the contribution that the core of microeconomics has made to this study of the family a reply by becker is included pp 514 8 excerpt

do birth order and family size matter for intergenerational income mobility evidence from sweden previous studies of intergenerational income mobility have not considered potential birth order or family size effects in the estimated income elasticity this article uses a large sample of individuals born between 1962 and 1964 income elasticities with respect to parents incomes are estimated for individuals with different birth order positions and family sizes results based on labour income and total income for sons and daughters are reported separately the elasticity tends to decrease with family size as well as with birth order for a given family size especially in the labour income analysis of fathers and sons

does parents money matter abstract this paper asks whether parents income per se has a positive impact on children s abilities previous research has established that income is positively correlated across generations this does not prove that parents money matters however since income is presumably correlated with ability this paper estimates the impact of parents income by focusing on income variation due to factors union industry and job loss that arguably represent luck i find that changes in parents income due to luck have a negligible impact on children s human capital for most families although parents money does matter for families whose father has low education

the role of the urban non urban cost of living difference in measured intergenerational earnings mobility abstract in light of a substantial compensating urban non urban wage gap a documented strong intergenerational persistence of urbanicity could produce a higher intergenerational association in nominal than in real earnings controlling interarea cost of living differences i find that the estimated elasticity for real earnings is less to a statistically significant degree

how important is human capital a quantitative theory assessment of world income inequality we develop a quantitative theory of human capital investment in order to evaluate the magnitude of cross country dierences in total factor productivity tfp that explains the variation in per capita incomes across countries we build a heterogeneousagent economy with cross sectional variation in ability schooling and expenditures on schooling quality in our theory the parameters governing human capital production and random ability process have important implications for a set of cross sectional statistics mincer return variance of earnings variance of schooling and intergenerational correlation of earnings these restrictions of the theory and u s household data are used to pin down the key parameters driving the quantitative implications of the theory our main finding is that human capital accumulation strongly amplifies tfp dierences across countries in particular we find an elasticity of output per worker with respect to tfp of 2 8 a 3 fold dierence in tfp explains a 20 fold dierence in output per worker we argue that the cross country dierences in human capital implied by the theory are consistent with a wide array of evidence including earnings of immigrants in the united states average mincer returns across countries and the relationship between average years of schooling and per capita income across countries the theory implies that using mincer returns to measure human capital understates dierences across countries by a factor of 2

family background and economic status in finland the importance of family background for economic outcomes is analyzed using a finnish data set the estimates for intergenerational and sibling correlations in earnings are comparatively low by estimating the magnitude of family influence conditional on parental earnings children with poor parents are found to have lower intergenerational elasticities while the sibling resemblance is higher children with rich parents have higher intergenerational elasticities and the sibling resemblance is also higher except for daughters the results also indicate that the largest share of the intergenerational correlation is transmitted through observed characteristics such as education and in particular occupation jel classification d1 d3 j6

education choice endogenous growth and income distribution this paper studies an economy where parents can choose between public or private schools and can vote on taxes used to fund public schools the model is calibrated to us data and studied using simulations a bimodal income distribution emerges where public education students converge to a low income equilibrium while private education students experience endogenous growth with higher incomes however public education students experience long run growth through a spillover from private education students possible problems with the existence of a private alternative to pubic education such as the emergence of a education based class structure are identified

spin offs divestitures and conglomerate investment we examine whether spin offs or divestitures cause improvements in conglomerate investment efficiency at issue are endogeneity of these restructuring decisions and correct measurement of investment efficiency endogeneity is a problem because the factors that induce firms to spin off or divest divisions may also improve investment efficiency measurement error is a problem because efficiency measures employ tobin s q as a noisy proxy for investment opportunities we find important differences between firms that divest or spin off and a control sample after accounting for these differences and for measurement error in q we find no evidence of improvements in investment efficiency

does money matter for intergenerational income transmission the intergenerational income elasticity iie is a crucial measure of income mobility in this article we develop a structural model to examine the channels through which this elasticity operates using data from the panel study of income dynamics we separately identify the human capital and the financial components the human capital component examines the transmission of human capital independent of financial investments whereas the financial component examines the impact of income that is uncorrelated with human capital that is exogenous income using a two stage framework we show that the iie operates through both channels moreover our estimates show that the financial component may have a larger effect than previously estimated plausibly attributing to 36 of intergenerational income transmission indeed this result holds even when the financial component is defined in an incredibly narrow manner this suggests that cash payments could promote intergenerational mobility

intergenerational persistence of earnings the role of early and college education recent empirical evidence from the united states indicates a high degree of persistence in earnings across generations designing effective public policies to increase social mobility requires identifying and measuring the major sources of persistence and inequality in earnings we provide a quantitative model of intergenerational human capital transmission that focuses on three sources innate ability early education and college education we find that approximately one half of the intergenerational correlation in earnings is accounted for by parental investment in education in particular early education we show that these results have important implications for education policy

divisional diversity and the conglomerate discount evidence from spinoffs abstract existing literature argues that disparity in investment opportunities within diversified firms can erode firm value we investigate the diversity cost hypothesis of spinoffs by using post spinoff data to 1 reconstruct the diversified firm after the spinoff and assess the aggregate improvement in value and 2 relate any value improvements to changes in diversity we find that improvements in aggregate value depend significantly on changes in both a direct measure of diversity and measures based on industry proxies we conclude that diversification discounts at least partially reflect a value loss due to the diversified nature of the firm itself rather than selection bias or measurement error

charity donations in the uk new evidence based on panel data abstract this paper presents a set of panel data estimates for 159 of the most prominent uk charities for the period 1983 1990 in evaluating alternative specifications we settle on a fixed effects estimation social welfare charities are shown to fund raise short of the point at which net revenues are maximized whereas health and overseas charities are found to net revenue maximize religious charities maximize total revenues estimates of price and fund raising elasticities are presented for charities overall and for four cohorts for alternative income sources no evidence of crowding out is found

has regulation of charitable foundations thrown the baby out with the bath water abstract regulations to curb tax avoidance and evasion through charitable foundations have been in place since the tax reform act of 1969 newly compiled longitudinal data makes it possible to estimate the effects of these regulations by comparing affected and unaffected foundations before and after the reform donations and entry dropped precipitously proxy variables suggest significant deterrence of abuses but half of the decline in donations can be explained by the increased cost of running a foundation the results highlight the potential for large reductions in the benefits of regulation when the cost of compliance affects externality producing actions such as charitable giving

dynamic income progressive taxes and the timing of charitable contributions using an econometric model of charitable giving and a 10 year panel of tax return data i find that previous studies have underestimated the effects of permanent income and overestimated the effects of permanent changes in tax prices the significant statutory tax changes that occurred during the 1980s especially in 1986 serve to identify the key model parameters my results imply that people smooth their giving when transitory income changes but also time their giving to exploit transitory changes in tax prices the results also raise questions about how effectively the tax incentives permanently influence the level rather than just the timing of charitable giving by individuals

optimal tax treatment of private contributions for public goods with and without warm glow preferences abstract tax favored contributions for financing some public goods may be a useful part of optimal nonlinear income tax and expenditure policy there are two sides to the potential gain from subsidized donations first for a given level of public good provision higher private donations from high earners than low earners eases the incentive compatibility constraint for donors and so can raise social welfare this follows since considering a lower paid job includes a perception of a drop in public good provision second private donation reduces consumption easing the resource constraint this paper explores optimal policy using first a model with standard preferences and then a model with a warm glow of giving in addition to showing the conditions for the level of public goods the paper considers the pattern of optimal subsidization across earnings levels analysis of optimal taxation with warm glow preferences is sensitive to the choice of preferences that are relevant for a social welfare evaluation after considering optimal rules with formulations of social welfare which do and do not include warm glow utility the paper considers the choice of normative criterion like the earlier literature this paper assumes that organizing private donations is costless while tax collection has a deadweight burden since private charitable fundraising is very far from costless the paper is an exploration of economic mechanisms not a direct guide to policy

family economics and macro behavior in this 1987 presidential address to the american economic association the author explores the contributions of the field of family economics to macroeconomic analysis the focus is on family behavior as an active endogenous factor that both affects and is affected by the evolution of the economy much of the time is spent on long term economic growth although i also discuss short and long cycles in economic activity and the interaction between overlapping generations through social security transmission of inequality and in other ways many conclusions in these and presumably other macro areas change radically when family choices get the attention they deserve excerpt

unobservable family and individual contributions to the distributions of income and wealth this paper uses combinations of full brothers half brothers and fathers and sons to measure the effect of common family background on a household s income and wealth while the data are drawn from a nineteenth century population the intraclass correlation for income ranges from 13 to 18 which is similar to that found in modern samples intraclass correlations for wealth are significantly higher 18 35 than are those for income intraclass correlations of half brothers compared to those for full brothers suggest that fathers play a dominant role in the transmission of the common family effect when unobserved background is decomposed into individual and family effects the individual effect dominates the family effect for income while the family effect dominates the individual effect for wealth

catching up the educational mobility of migrants and natives children in europe migrants into european countries are often less educated than european natives we analyse whether migrants children are more or less likely than natives children to achieve upward educational mobility across generations and study differences in the factors which contribute to differences in mobility for the two groups we find that migrants descendants are more often upwardly mobile and less often downwardly mobile than their native peers in the majority of countries studied and show that the main factor contributing to these patterns is the education level of parents although a lower parental education means that their children are less likely to access the same amount of human social and financial capital as children of more highly educated parents migrants descendants over the last two generations were able to make significant progress in reducing education gaps with natives

parental wealth and adult children s welfare in marriage abstract many studies find that parental resources importantly determine children s human capital schooling returns and earnings the collective household approach suggests that in addition parental resources of marital partners may importantly affect resource distributions within marriage this paper presents empirical results consistent with this framework they suggest that parental wealth continues to play roles in augmenting welfare of children into adulthood beyond provision of human capital in early life cycle stages or direct financial aid during adulthood and that actual transfers from parents to adult children do not fully measure influences of parental wealth on behaviors and welfare of adult children

intergenerational mobility in britain in this paper we use longitudinal data on children and their parents to assess the extent of intergenerational mobility in britain based on data from the national child development survey a cohort of all individuals born in a week of march 1958 we find that the extent of intergenerational mobility is limited we report an intergenerational correlation of the order 40 to 60 for fathers and sons and 45 to 70 for fathers and daughters in terms of labour market earnings and years of schooling an examination of quartile transition matrices between parental and child earnings outcomes reveals a similar pattern finally it seems on the basis of these transition matrices that there is an important asymmetry in intergenerational earnings mobility with upward mobility from the bottom of the earnings distribution being more likely than downward mobility from the top

voting education and the great gatsby curve abstract high inequality goes hand in hand with low intergenerational earnings mobility across countries little is known about why the us is characterized by high inequality and low mobility while the opposite tends to hold for scandinavian countries in an overlapping generations model calibrated to the us education policies are endogenized via probabilistic voting by exploiting cross country variation in the bias in voter turnout towards the educated and elderly the model replicates the negative relation between inequality and public education expenditures and accounts for more than a quarter of the variation in inequality and mobility for the us i find that compulsory voting could foster mobility whereas inequality would be hardly affected

another problem in the estimation of intergenerational income mobility abstract the current econometric model of intergenerational income mobility is premised on a simplified notion of permanent income analytical results and empirical evidence suggest that estimates are not robust to failure of this assumption

more equal but less mobile education financing and intergenerational mobility in italy and in the us a centralised and egalitarian school system reduces the cost of education for poor families and so it should reduce income inequality and make intergenerational mobility easier in this paper we provide evidence that italy compared to the usa displays less income inequality as expected given the type of school system but also less intergenera tional upward mobility between occupations and between education levels we explore some of the reasons which can explain this puzzling result and conclude that in a world in which family background is important for labor market success a centralised and egalitarian tertiary education does not necessarily help poor children and may take away from them a fundamental tool to prove their talent and to compete with rich children 1999 elsevier science s a all rights reserved

earnings mobility in times of growth and decline argentina from 1996 to 2003 summary in recent years argentina s economy has experienced both rapid growth and severe decline in this paper we use a series of one year long panels to study who gained the most in pesos when the economy grew and who lost the most in pesos when the economy contracted various considerations led us to expect that mobility would be divergent that is that the individuals who started with the highest initial earnings would enjoy the largest earnings gains in pesos contrary to expectations and for a wide range of specifications mobility is found to be mostly convergent sometimes neutral and never divergent

snapshots versus movies empirical studies of the intergenerational inheritance of economic status should use observations on complete lifetime status profiles of parents and children to be consistent with underlying theory but they cannot only snapshots rather than movies on status are currently available in samples estimates of the degree of intergenerational inheritance may therefore be subject to lifecycle biases the paper investigates these in the context of a lifecycle earnings model and shows that these biases may be large that their direction varies and that correction methods suggested hitherto have questionable reliability until more complete data sets become available researchers should be more temperate in the conclusions they draw

progressive taxation in a dynastic model of human capital abstract we develop a quantitative theory of economic inequality to investigate the effects of replacing the current u s progressive income tax system with a proportional one the cross sectional implications of the theory are used to discipline the assessment of the effects of tax policy and circumvent the lack of conclusive micro evidence on the parameterization of the human capital production technology we find that the elimination of progressive taxation increases steady state level of output by 12 6 capital by 21 8 and consumption by 13 2 moreover it increases economic inequality and its persistence across generations

intergenerational mobility among the rich and poor results frm the national child development survey using data from the uk national child development survey we look at the relationship between sons and fathers and their position in the population income distribution particular attention is paid to those who start or end up near the top or bottom of the distribution people at these extreme ends of the distribution are found to be particularly subject to immobility across the generations among those whose fathers are at the bottom of the distribution a clear positive relationship between test scores at age seven and likelihood of moving up the distribution appears evident copyright 1996 by oxford university press

factors affecting the transmission of earnings across generations a quantile regression approach in this paper we estimate intergenerational earnings mobility models using quantile regressions quantile regression is a less restrictive estimation approach than more commonly used methods such as ordinary least squares and instrumental variables which only estimate the mean effects of intergenerational earnings correlation further we investigate the role of education as an intergenerational transmission mechanism for earnings we find that the intergenerational earnings correlation is greater at the bottom of the son s conditional earnings distribution than at the top and that controlling for son s education reduces the intergenerational earnings correlation we also find that education is relatively more valuable at the bottom of the conditional earnings distribution and thus tends to compress the distribution

are internal capital markets efficient using segment information from compustat we find that the investment by a segment of a diversified firm depends on the cash flow of the firm s other segments but significantly less than it depends on its own cash flow the investment by segments of highly diversified firms is less sensitive to their cash flow than the investment of comparable single segment firms the sensitivity of a segment s investment to the cash flow of other segments does not depend on whether its investment opportunities are better than those of the firm s other segments

intergenerational income mobility among daughters new evidence on daughters intergenerational mobility in a framework that encompasses women not in the labor force using broader measures of economic status than just the women s own earnings is presented and the role of husbands earnings is highlighted a parallel analysis of sons mobility is performed intergenerational transmission of income status may be weaker for daughters than for sons but is still quite substantial assortative mating is an important element in the intergenerational transmission process

house price growth when children are teenagers a path to higher earnings abstract this paper examines whether rising house prices immediately prior to children entering college have an impact on their earnings as adults higher house prices provide homeowners with additional funding to invest in their children s human capital but also raise housing costs the results show that a 1 percentage point increase in house prices when children are 17 years old results in roughly 0 9 percent higher annual income for the children of homeowners and 1 5 percent lower annual income for the children of renters house price appreciation at age 17 also leads to higher college enrollment rates at age 19 and an increased likelihood of attendance at higher ranked post secondary institutions for children of homeowners as well as lower college enrollment rates for children of renters

the more the merrier the effect of family size and birth order on children s education there is an extensive theoretical literature that postulates a tradeoff between child quantity and quality within a family however there is little causal evidence that speaks to this theory using a rich dataset on the entire population of norway over an extended period of time we examine the effects of family size and birth order on the educational attainment of children while we find a negative correlation between family size and children s education when we include indicators for birth order and or use twin births as an instrument family size effects become negligible in addition birth order has a significant and large negative effect on children s education we also study adult earnings employment and teenage childbearing and find strong evidence for birth order effects with these outcomes particularly among women these findings suggest the need to revisit economic models of fertility and child production focusing not only on differences across families but differences within families as well

intergenerational mobility and the process of development this paper offers an explanation for some evidence that intergenerational earnings mobility is higher in more developed economies and that mobility is positively correlated with wage equality in the model mobility promotes economic growth via its effect on the accumulation and allocation of human capital growth influences mobility via its effect on incentives to acquire education and its effect on liquidity constraints upon such acquisition in the process of development mobility increases and the distribution of education becomes better correlated with ability redistributive policy has a negative effect on growth in developed economies and a positive effect in developing economies

the trade off between child quantity and quality an empirical investigation of trade offs between number of children and their scholastic performance confirms that family size directly affects children s achievement though parents show no favori

intergenerational health mobility an empirical approach based on the echp despite the importance of the study of health mobility few attempts have been made to measure intergenerational mobility not only in the european union but also in other countries such as united states this article is focused on the study of intergenerational health mobility using data from the european community household panel echp in particular the relationships between self assessed health of parents and their sons are analysed the evidence obtained suggests that in spain sons reported health depends significantly on the self assessed health of their fathers

the political economy of intergenerational income mobility the intergenerational elasticity of income is considered one of the best measures of the degree to which a society gives equal opportunity to its members while much research has been devoted to measuring this reduced form parameter less is known about its underlying structural determinants using a model with exogenous talent endowments endogenous parental investment in children and endogenous redistributive institutions we identify the structural parameters that govern the intergenerational elasticity of income the model clarifies how the interaction between private and collective decisions determines the equilibrium level of social mobility two societies with similar economic and biological fundamentals may have vastly different degrees of intergenerational mobility depending on their political institutions we offer empirical evidence in line with the predictions of the model we conclude that international comparisons of intergenerational elasticity of income are not particularly informative about fairness without taking into account differences in politico economic institutions jel e24 j62 j68 p16