changes in human capital and earnings inequality recent evidence from brazil 1 abstract this paper estimates changes in the rates of return to human capital across the earnings distribution using data from over a 10 year period for brazil it uses these estimates to simulate the separate impacts of changes in returns to skills and changes in the supply of skills on earnings inequality evidence points strongly to growing inequality in rates of return to education in brazil this finding suggests that recent macroeconomic and trade reforms have been of most benefit to the skilled rather than the unskilled supporting evidence points to an improved competitiveness in the labour market with workers increasingly rewarded for productivity however although increases in returns to education are more pronounced at the top of the earnings distribution this did not in practice led to increased inequality this is because levels of education and other labour market rewarded endowments have increased and offset the rate of return effect appropriate education policy is therefore an essentia

watchdogs of the invisible hand ngo monitoring and industry equilibrium globalization has been accompanied by rising pressure from advocacy non governmental organizations ngos on multinational firms to act in socially responsible manner we analyze how ngo pressure interacts with industry structure using a simple model of ngo firm interaction embedded in an industry environment with endogenous markups and entry we explain three key empirical patterns in developing country industries under activist pressure the degree of exit under more intense activist pressure the differential response of industries to ngo activism and the general rise of ngo activism following globalization

implications of ethnic diversity ethnically differentiated societies are often regarded as dysfunctional with poor economic performance and a high risk of violent civil conflict the author distinguishes between dominance in which one group constitutes a majority and fractionalization in which there are many small groups in terms of overall economic performance the research shows that both theoretically and empirically fractionalization is normally unproblematic in democracies although it can be damaging in dictatorships in terms of the risk of civil war the author shows that both theoretically and empirically fractionalization actually makes societies safer while dominance increases the risk of conflict a policy implication is that fractionalized societies are viable and secession should be discouraged

trade liberalization and wage inequality abstract this paper studies empirically the link between trade liberalization and wage inequality in chile within the context of the heckscher ohlin samuelson hos model we use cointegration techniques to estimate the long run relationship between the skill premium in chile and product prices openness and factor endowments we find that the fall in the relative price of labor intensive goods helps explaining the increase in wage inequality in chile during the last two decades the increase in proportion of the labor force with college degree on the other hand tends to reduce wage inequality in chile openness measured as the volume of trade over gdp widens the wage gap between skilled and unskilled labor we offer some hypothesis on the elements that are behind this positive relationship between wage openness and inequality but no empirical work is done this area may be an interesting subject of research

group loyalty and the taste for redistribution interpersonal preferences preferences that depend on the characteristics of others are typically hard to infer from observable individual behavior as an alternative approach this paper uses survey data to investigate interpersonal preferences i show that self reported attitudes toward welfare spending are determined not only by financial self interest but also by interpersonal preferences these interpersonal preferences are characterized by a negative exposure effect individuals decrease their support for welfare as the welfare recipiency rate in their community rises and racial group loyalty individuals increase their support for welfare spending as the share of local recipients from their own racial group rises these findings help to explain why levels of welfare benefits are relatively low in racially heterogeneous states

china s economic and trade development imbalance to equilibrium the rapid pace of china s economic and trade development has been considered as a great success since the entry of wto in 2001 most recently china has succeeded in coping with the global financial crisis and achieved a rapid v shaped recovery which rebounded to two digit growth rate and lead to strengthening its international status nevertheless china has exposed many potential problems in face of the financial crisis which due to international and domestic unbalanced features of china s economic operation system the pattern of china manufacturing and world consuming is a game with no winners while the investment leaded economic development mode achieves high growth rate but without enriches its own residents the current imbalanced economic development mode cannot be sustained and shall be changed in the future which is not only the consensus of economists at home and abroad but also a striving goal for the chinese government for its 12th five year plan however china will face great and formidable challenges by changing the economic development mode to achieve an equilibrium state

the income inequality nexus in a developed country small scale regional evidence from austria abstractthe income inequality nexus in a developed country small scale regional evidence from austria regional studies this paper analyses the relationship between regional inequality and average income in a small scale framework for austria the empirical findings are based on a novel inequality database generated from individual wage tax information at the municipality level this study researches the magnitude of regional spillovers of income and inequality using spatial econometric methods the results show a pronounced positive relation between regional income levels and inequality where especially high income municipalities exhibit a large spread in the income distribution furthermore it shows that higher levels of inequality are associated with income gains at the top of the distribution

who wants to globalize consumer tastes and labor markets in a theory of trade policy beliefs although the allure of consumption is the engine of globalization political economists have tended to ignore varying consumer tastes as a potential source of beliefs about trade policy this article develops a theory of trade policy preferences that adds the notion of varying consumer tastes to the standard labor market application of the heckscher ohlin trade model the theory which can explain trade preferences both across individuals and countries is supported by an empirical analysis of survey data from 41 nations heavy consumers of exportables are found to be more protectionist than heavy consumers of imports and import competing goods moreover citizens in countries with expensive tradable goods see trade liberalization as a remedy to the rents they pay for protectionism other findings also support the more conventional labor market side of the heckscher ohlin model

how does globalisation affect regional inequality within a developing country evidence from china developing countries are increasingly concerned about effects of globalisation on regional inequality this paper develops an empirical method for decomposing the contributions of two major driving forces of globalisation foreign trade and foreign direct investment fdi on regional inequality and applies it to china even after controlling for many other factors globalisation is still found to be an important factor contributing to the widening regional inequality the paper ends by investigating the role of factor market segmentations in aggravating the distributional effect of changing regional comparative advantages in the process of globalisation

trade liberalization and the skill premium in developing economies empirical evidence shows that while the skill premium narrowed in some developing countries following trade liberalization it widened in others or even exhibited non monotonic behavior this paper studies a simple dynamic general equilibrium trade model in which differences in initial conditions across developing countries play a key role in explaining the variety of skill premium behaviors differences in initial conditions in terms of skilled labor and physical capital emerge in the model due to differences in trade policies the model can generate non monotonic behavior for the skill premium following trade liberalization

the impacts of trade on the brazilian labor market a cge model approach abstract the paper assesses the impacts of trade liberalization on macroeconomic variables and labor market indicators in brazil the discussion comes out of an earlier debate on the role of trade liberalization in shaping labor market outcomes in the well known heckscher ohlin and stolper samuelson hos theorems to address these issues we use a computable general equilibrium cge modeling approach to model the patterns of export growth by sector and their effects on macroeconomic and labor market indicators overall our results show that trade liberalization contributes to improve economic welfare by means of greater output lower domestic prices and higher labor demand the benefits of this economic improvement tend however to be appropriated by the most skilled workers in the most trade oriented sectors contradicting the predictions of the hos theorems

skilled immigration and innovation evidence from enrolment fluctuations in us doctoral programmes we study the contribution of foreign science and engineering talent to the creation of new knowledge in the u s economy using panel data on 2300 science and engineering s e departments at 100 large american universities from 1973 to 1998 we use macroeconomic shocks and policy changes in source countries that differentially affect enrollments across fields and universities to isolate exogenous variation in the supply of students at specific departments both foreign and domestic graduate students are central inputs into knowledge creation and the marginal foreign student contributes more to the production of scientific publications and citations a 10 decrease in the foreign share of doctoral students lowers s e research output at u s universities by 5 6 a theoretical model of university admissions and scholarships helps us infer the productivity effects of student quality and econometric results indicate that any visa restrictions limiting entry of highquality foreign students is most costly for u s innovation increased diversity appears to be the primary mechanism by which foreign students improve research outcomes the impact of more restrictive immigration policies depends on how they affect the quality margin and diversity of incoming foreigners

trade liberalization and rising wage inequality in latin america reconciliation with hos theory abstract the paper puts forward the hypothesis that the transitory effects of trade liberalization on wage inequality can differ from the long run outcome in cases where the hos theory predicts a decline in wage inequality in the long run a temporary rise can nevertheless occur due to i the asymmetries in the speed of contraction in the import sector and expansion in other sectors and ii the capital skill complementarity in production the asymmetric contraction and expansion causes a transitory capital accumulation that boosts the relative and the real wage of skilled labor due to capital skill complementarity although the long run hos fundamentals are therefore dominated in the short run by the transient effects arising due to capital skill complementarity the observed rise in wage inequality is nonetheless consistent with the hos theory appropriately extended to a dynamic setting

globalization and rural poverty as is common in most contentious public debates different people mean different things by globalization some interpret it to mean the global reach of new technology and capital movements some refer to outsourcing by domestic companies in rich countries others protest against the tentacles of corporate capitalism or us hegemony economic military or cultural in this chapter i shall limit myself to interpreting globalization simply as openness to foreign trade and long term capital flows i shall ignore here the important issues arising from the devastation caused to fragile economies by billions of dollars of volatile short term capital stampeding around the globe in herd like movements or the substantial poverty reducing potential of international unskilled labour flows from poor to rich countries even if allowed in temporary and regulated doses

openness and wage inequality in developing countries the latin american challenge to east asian conventional wisdom the experience of east asia in the 1960s and 1970s supports the theory that greater openness to trade tends to narrow the wage gap between skilled and unskilled workers in developing countries in latin america since the mid 1980s however increased openness has widened wage differentials this conflict of evidence is probably not the result of differences between east asia and latin america instead the conflict is probably the result of differences between the 1960s and the 1980s specifically the entry of china into the world market and perhaps the advent of new technology biased against unskilled workers

globalisation and unequalisation what can be learned from value chain analysis although many have gained from the process of globalisation there remains a stubbornly large number of people living in absolute poverty and a rise in inequality within and between countries the issue is thus not whether to participate in the global economy but how to do so in a manner which provides for sustainable and equitable income growth this study shows how value chain analysis can be used to chart the growing disjuncture between global economic activity and global income distribution and to provide causal explanations for this outcome in so doing value chain analysis provides valuable insights into policy formulation and implementation

a theory of racial diversity segregation and productivity abstract empirical evidence illustrates that diversity generates both economic costs and benefits this paper develops a theoretical model that accounts for the positive and deleterious effects of heterogeneity first an expanded solow growth model demonstrates that the direct effects of diversity can be positive or negative and depend upon the size of fixed parameter values second diversity also influences individuals location decisions segregation variation of diversity across regions always reduces national output per worker so if diversity induces integration it indirectly augments productivity as well finally political policies aimed at reducing interaction costs across groups may actually reduce aggregate output per worker by encouraging segregation

productivity shocks and employment evidence from us industrial data abstract this paper examines the effects of productivity shocks on us employment we find strong evidence supporting the presence of capitalization effects following technology shocks our findings provide empirical verification for a growing theoretical literature on business cycle employment interactions

global inequality and international trade the paper analyses the effect of widespread trade liberalisation on global income inequality the analysis of the trend in global inequality during 1981 97 presented in the first part of the paper shows that the apparent growth of income inequality among countries conceals a process of convergence some developing countries achieved significantly faster economic growth than the advanced industrialised countries and though small in number they actually account for a majority of the population of the developing world thus international inequality i e the inequality of distribution of per capita incomes among the world s population in fact declined even though the inter country income inequality increased the analysis in the second part of the paper shows i that while improved trade performance did have a stimulating effect on growth performance of countries trade liberalisation had extremely varied effects on trade performance across countries and ii that the distribution of benefits and costs of trade liberalisation across countries has been such as to reduce international inequality without affecting inter country inequality copyright 2004 oxford university press

trade reform and poverty the case of mexico we use a two step computationally simple procedure to analyse the effects of mexico s s potential unilateral tariff liberalisation on real incomes first we use the cge model provided by the global trade analysis project gtap as the new price generator second we apply the price changes to mexican household data in order to assess the effects of the policy simulation on poverty and income distribution although mexico widely liberalised most of its imports by the mid 90s one salient feature is its membership in the north american free trade agreement nafta with canada and united states by choosing gtap as the price generator we are able to model the differential tariff structure even starting with a low level of tariff protection simulation results show that the impact of tariff reform on welfare will be positive in general for all expenditure deciles we find that when we assume non homothetic individual preferences trade liberalisation benefits people in the poorer deciles more than those in the richer ones

changing labor market conditions and economic development in hong kong the republic of korea singapore and taiwan china in the newly industrializing economies nies of hong kong the republic of korea singapore and taiwan china the entire working population has benefited from labor market institutions the east asian nies attained and maintained generally full employment improved their job mixes raised real earnings and lowered their rates of poverty this article reaches two principal conclusions first labor market conditions continued to improve in all four economies in the 1980s at rates remarkably similar to their rates of aggregate economic growth second labor market repression was not a major factor in the growth experiences of these economies in the 1980s it thus appears that labor market repression is neither necessary nor desirable for outward oriented economic development

industrialisation and the factor content of latin american exports of manufactures this article shows that latin american exports of manufactures that grow consistently over time arise from both traditional as well as policy induced sources of comparative advantage case studies for argentina colombia and venezuela show that manufactures originally developed for the domestic market were exported with consistent growth rates and came to represent an important proportion of total manufacturing exports the study also shows that inter country differences in the factor content of these exports reflect both differences in original resource endowments as well as the effects of industrialisation policy

resource shocks and human capital stocks brain drain or brain gain abstract based on the paradox of plenty resource abundant countries tend to be vulnerable for lower economic prosperity along with instable political institutions as well as corruption this paper sheds light on the relationship between resource abundance and the selectivity of migration first i combine a dutch disease model with a roy borjas model in order to elaborate on the relationship between resource shocks and migrant selectivity theoretically thereby i predict that resource booms give rise to brain drain effects which are mediated through distributional effects under certain conditions second i provide empirical evidence for the effect of resource shocks on migrant selectivity based on a structural equation model in order to disentangle effects on income inequality and migrant selectivity the results show that resource shocks especially oil booms strengthen brain drain effects in a sample with 116 source and 23 destination countries between 1910 and 2009

trade liberalisation and poverty what are the links this paper asks whether a developing country s own trade liberalisation could translate into increased poverty and what information would be required to identify whether it will do so it plots the channels through which such effects might operate identifying the static effects via four broad groups of institutions households distribution channels factor markets and government and the dynamic issues of volatility long term economic growth and short term adjustment stresses an increase in the price of something a household sells labour good service increases its welfare thus the paper first explores the likely effects of trade liberalisation on the prices of goods and services taking into account the distribution sector also critical is whether trade reform creates or destroys markets trade reform is also likely to affects factor prices of which the wages of the unskilled is the most important for poverty purposes if reform boosts the demand for labour intensive products it boosts the demand for labour and wages and or employment will increase however not all developing countries are relatively abundant in unskilled labour and trade can boost demand for semi skilled rather than unskilled labour hence poverty alleviation is not guaranteed trade reform can affect tariff revenue but much less frequently and adversely than is popularly imagined even if it does it is a political decision not a law of nature that the poor should suffer the resulting new taxes or cuts in government expenditure opening up the economy can reduce risk and variability because world markets are usually more stable than domestic ones but sometimes it will increase them because stabilisation schemes are undermined or because residents switch to riskier activities the non poor can generally tide themselves over adjustment shocks from a liberalisation so public policy should focus on whether the initially poor and near temporary setbacks the key to sustained poverty alleviation is economic growth there is little reason to fear that growth will not boost the incomes of the poor similarly while the argument that openness stimulates long run growth has still not been completely proven there is every presumption that it will

cities and cultures we investigate whether cultural diversity across us cities measured as the variety of native languages spoken by city residents is associated with any effect on their productivity diversity of cultures may imply diversity of production skills of abilities and of occupations that enhances the productive performance of a city on the other hand transaction costs and frictions across groups may hurt productivity similarly diversity in available goods and services can increase utility but distaste for or hostility to different cultural groups may decrease it using census data from 1970 to 1990 we find that wages and employment density of us born workers were systematically higher ceteris paribus in cities with richer linguistic diversity these positive correlations reveal a net positive effect of diversity on productivity that survives robustness checks and instrumental variable estimation this effect is found to be stronger for highly educated workers and for white workers we also show that better assimilated non native speakers i e those who speak english well and have been in the us for more than five years are most beneficial to the productivity of us born workers

trade and wage inequality local versus global comparative advantages this paper shows that disentangling the local and global dimensions of trade can be crucial to get a better understanding of the trade impact on wage inequality in particular it allows us to reconcile the empirical evidence with the heckscher ohlin samuelson predictions our focus here is on italy as for local trade within its own cone of diversification italy is specialised in the production of unskill intensive goods while for global trade with respect to the other cone of diversification it is mainly specialised in the production of skill intensive goods on the evidence of these specialisation patterns we point out that the local trade has a strong impact on wage inequality in particular in line with the heckscher ohlin samuelson predictions the local export performance reduces wage inequality as it favours blue collar workers as for global trade it affects and increases wage inequality through the export channel again consistent with the heckscher ohlin samuelson predictions

does foreign direct investment affect wage inequality an empirical investigation we use a panel of more than 100 countries for the period 1980 2002 to analyse the relationship between inward foreign direct investment fdi and wage inequality we particularly check whether this relationship is nonlinear in line with a theoretical discussion we find that the effect of fdi differs according to the level of development we depict two different patterns one for oecd developed and one for non oecd developing countries results suggest the presence of a nonlinear effect in developing countries wage inequality increases with fdi inward stock with such effect diminishing with further increases in fdi for developed countries wage inequality decreases with fdi inward stock and there is no robust evidence to show that this effect is nonlinear

time series evidence on the sources of trends in wage inequality changes in wage inequality have long been a concern of labor economists and public policymakers when the wage premium for college graduates fell during the first half of the 1970 s many researchers blamed the decline on the increase in the relative supply of college graduates when the college wage premium increased dramatically during the 1980 s researchers offered a variety of explanations such as skill biased technological change and the internationalization of the u s economy in this paper we use time series analysis to evaluate the most common explanations given for the trends in wage inequality using cointegration techniques we evaluate the link between the trends in the candidate explanatory variables and wage inequality we show that the only variable that consistently shares the same long run trend with our wage inequality series is the durablegoods trade deficit as a percentage of gdp this variable not only follows the same trend as wage inequality during most of the 1980 s but also for the period from 1949 to 1979 no other single explanation shows the same long run consistency i an analysis of trends in wage inequality

trade liberalization technology relative factor supplies and the relative wage evidence from the south there is much controversy about the role that trade liberalization technological change and relative factor supplies have played in bringing about changes in the relative wage of the unskilled workers much of the empirical work on this issue has focused on the industrial countries and paid little attention to developing countries to fill this gap this study develops a special data set to examine the relative wage behaviour of a large number of developing countries an empirical model based on the theory is used to test different explanations of the relative wage change as predicted by the technology explanation the empirical analysis in the study finds a significant negative link between the relative wage of unskilled workers and the technology index the analysis however does not find a significant role for labour supplies or trade liberalization in determining the relative wage of unskilled skilled workers

racial diversity and macroeconomic productivity across us states and cities sparber c racial diversity and macroeconomic productivity across us states and cities regional studies racial diversity in the usa continues to rise past analyses have argued that diversity can have both positive and negative consequences the overall macroeconomic effects of diversity within the usa require further examination this paper exploits variation across us regions from 1980 to 2000 to determine whether racial heterogeneity creates gains or losses for states and cities fixed effects analysis indicates that diversity enhances the productivity of cities evidence at the state level is more ambiguous as significant results only appear in random effects specifications sparber c la diversite ethnique et la productivite macroeconomique a travers les etats et les grandes villes aux e u regional studies aux etats unis la diversite ethnique est toujours a la hausse des etudes anterieures ont cherche a affirmer que les consequences de la diversite ethnique peuvent s averer a la fois positives

an economic approach to social capital a standard optimal investment model can be used to analyse an individual s decision to accumulate social capital we analyse six facts that support the predictions of this individual based approach 1 social capital first rises and then falls with age 2 social capital declines with expected mobility 3 social capital rises in occupations with greater returns to social skills 4 social capital is higher among homeowners 5 social connections fall sharply with physical distance 6 people who invest in human capital also invest in social capital we fail to find robust evidence that social capital investments fall with the value of time or that geographic religious groups generate social capital complementarities

trade openness and wage inequality evidence for malaysia this article examines the impact of trade openness on wage inequality in malaysia during the period 1984 1997 malaysia has operated a very open trade regime since the 1960s and has pursued aggressive import substitution and export supporting policies this development strategy is very different to that adopted in many other emerging economies where trade liberalisation has been associated with greater wage inequality the aim of the present study is to examine whether malaysia s more open approach to international trade has had a similar effect on wage inequality the results suggest in fact that this is not the case

trade technology and employment in south africa abstract south africa has become increasingly integrated with the global economy since the early 1990s and particularly after the ending of apartheid however this has not been associated with increased employment and high levels of unemployment are a major economic and social problem the paper considers the impact of trade and technological change on both the level and skill composition of manufacturing employment first a chenery type decomposition analysis of employment change is carried out and then labour demand functions are estimated econometrically both trade and technology are found to have had a negative impact on employment but these are only partial explanations of the low rate of employment growth

computerisation and wage dispersion an analytical reinterpretation the rich countries have recently seen a dramatic rise in income inequality all the more surprising because the long term trend had been toward equality this paper examines one of the leading explanations computerisation in the workplace i offer a theory of computers impact on white collar work which goes far toward explaining the timing form and locus of recent labour market changes the theory looks at the bureaucratic and organisational applications of computers that have been first largest and most influential they have two effects on firms demand for labour at different skill levels

inequality and democracy why inequality harms consolidation but does not affect democratization under what conditions do democracies emerge and consolidate recent theories suggest that inequality is among the leading determinants of both democratization and consolidation by contrast this article argues that inequality harms consolidation but has no net effect on democratization the author shows that the existing theories that link inequality to democratization suffer from serious limitations 1 they are useful only for understanding transitions from below and thus do not apply to many other transitions that is those from above 2 even for democratization from below their predictions are unlikely to hold since inequality actually has two opposite effects and 3 they ignore collective action problems which reduces their explanatory power however these objections do not affect the relationship between inequality and consolidation in particular while inequality has two opposite effects on the probability of transition to democracy it unambiguously increases the probability of transition away from democracy this article conducts the most comprehensive empirical test to date of the relationship between inequality and democracy it finds no support for the main democratization theories contrary to what they predict estimation suggests neither a monotonic negative nor an inverted u shaped relationship yet inequality increases the probability of backsliding from democracy to dictatorship

financial development and economic growth evidence from panel unit root and cointegration tests abstract in this paper we investigate the long run relationship between financial depth and economic growth trying to utilize the data in the most efficient manner via panel unit root tests and panel cointegration analysis in addition we use threshold cointegration tests and dynamic panel data estimation for a panel based vector error correction model the long run relationship is estimated using fully modified ols for 10 developing countries the empirical results provide clear support for the hypothesis that there is a single equilibrium relation between financial depth growth and ancillary variables and that the only cointegrating relation implies unidirectional causality from financial depth to growth

the impact of china on latin america and the caribbean summary the rapid growth of china and its increased integration with the global economy is having both direct and indirect effects on the latin american and caribbean region the paper focuses on the impacts of china on latin american trade and foreign direct investment flows it identifies the main channels through which china s growth is affecting the region and undertakes a preliminary analysis of the impacts on development it is shown that there are winners and losers in the region both at the country and sector level

economic integration and political disintegration in a world of trade restrictions large countries enjoy economic benefits because political boundaries determine the size of the market under free trade and global markets even relatively small cultural linguistic or ethnic groups can benefit from forming small homogeneous political jurisdictions this paper provides a formal model of the relationship between openness and the equilibrium number and size of countries and successfully tests two implications of the model firstly the economic benefits of country size are mediated by the degree of openness to trade secondly the history of nation state creations and secessions is influenced by the trade regime

abertura comercial dotacao de fatores produtivos e a desigualdade de rendimentos no brasil 1990 1998 this work studies the empirical relations between the endowment of production factors commercial opening and personal income in the brazilian states in the period between and 1998 using given in panel it tests the hypothesis of that regions or states with bigger per

ethnic diversity and employment growth in english cities there are many reasons why cities with diverse populations may grow faster ethnic diversity might attract human capital tourists or firms increase productivity through diverse approaches to problem solving or ethnic minority entrepreneurship yet there are also reasons to believe that diversity could be harmful by leading to sub optimal provision of public goods or reducing trust or social capital or it may be irrelevant being merely a proxy for class a number of studies have shown both positive and negative relationships between diversity and growth using a range of different measures for diversity this paper asks two questions have more diverse english cities grown faster and does measurement matter is it important to have a multinational population or an ethnically diverse one to answer these questions in this paper a range of models are estimated for employment growth for 53 english cities between 1981 and 2001 the evidence suggests that cities with a high proportion of their populati

manufactured exports of developing countries and their terms of trade since 1965 abstract during the last 40 years since the prebisch singer terms of trade deterioration hypothesis was first proposed the commodity composition of exports of developing countries has undergone a major change in the direction of dominance of manufactures in their nonfuel exports with strong growth in the volume of their manufactured exports but this did not allow developing countries to escape unequal exchange relations with the industrial countries their barter terms of trade in manufactures showed signs of weakness rather than improvement and clearly failed to reflect the respective productivity trends leading to deterioration in factoral terms of trade

free trade and income redistribution in a three factor model of the u s economy the move toward free trade promises to alter the distribution of income in the u s labor groups generally do not favor the move toward free trade which can be characterized by the continuing decline in the price of manufactured goods relative to business services the present study predicts that unskilled labor in the u s will lose under a program of free trade using a general equilibrium model of production factor shares industry shares and estimates of substitution for skilled labor unskilled labor and capital are used to examine comparative statics the interplay of factor intensity and factor substitution in the three factor production structure has proven a considerable analytical challenge building on the textbook production model with two factors the third productive factor allows technical complementarity and creates a more complex pattern of factor intensity both factor intensity and factor substitution affect the qualitative nature of the comparative statics little is known about the model s quantitative properties a 3 x 3 model with outputs of the three major sectors agriculture manufacturing services is specified and a 3 x 2 model without agriculture is also examined factor substitution is estimated with production function across states skilled labor separated by various census categories cannot be aggregated with unskilled labor in any sector and constant returns to scale cannot be rejected as a null hypothesis additionally the three inputs capital labor skilled labor are all technical substitutes comparative static results follow a pattern suggested by factor intensity changing prices of goods generally have elastic effects on factor prices stolper samuelson results in other words have a quantitative weight price changes due to a program of free trade will significantly affect income distribution similarly rybczynski type results are quantitatively significant in that factor endowment changes have elastic effects on outputs the implication is that output patterns will differ significantly across freely trading partners elasticities of factor prices with respect to endowment changes on the other hand are very inelastic this inelasticity suggests that there would only be small long run effects of international migration capital flows or endowment differences on the international pattern of factor income this inelasticity is called near factor price equalization nfpe under nfpe freely trading countries will experience a vector of factor prices nearly equal to each other nfpe suggests that the qualitative effects of changing or different factor endowments

work contracts and earnings inequality the case of chile great social inequality has been one of the worrisome features of economic development in latin america this study focuses on chile one of latin america s fastest growing economies with one of the highest levels of income inequality during the 1990s using micro level data from the 1994 and 2000 encuestas de caracterizacion socio economica this article examines the role of work contracts in explaining male and female earnings and earnings inequality among wage and salary workers over the second half of the 1990s the analysis distinguishes between wage and salary work without a work contract referred to as informal work and wage and salary work with a work contract within the latter group the study further differentiates by the type of work contract held such as permanent and a variety of contingent work contracts the findings reveal that the majority of employees in informal and contingent wage and salary work arrangements earned significantly less than their permanent counterparts additiona

south south trade and skill premia contrary to the predictions of the 2 2 2 heckscher ohlin model empirical evidence shows that the skill premium increased in some developing countries and decreased in others after trade liberalisation this paper attempts to reconcile the empirical evidence with the theoretical predictions by introducing a model where south south trade can produce the observed patterns of skill premia in the south in this context south south trade expands the import range of the country that reduces the tariff this increases the demand for and the cost of skilled workers in the other country this also leads the country that reduces the tariff to expand its export range and reduce its import range therefore the country that reduces the tariff experiences an increase in its export range which leads to an increase in the skill premium as the impact on the import range is ambiguous it is possible that the other country experiences a decline in the skill premium thus trade liberalisation between southern countries can cause an increase in the skill premium in one and a decrease in the skill premium in another

trade liberalisation in brazil creating or exporting jobs using the growth accounting and factor content approaches this article looks at the impact of trade liberalisation on the structure and level of employment in brazil over the 1990 97 period the results support the argument that trade liberalisation in developing countries have a negative short term impact on employment relatively small in brazil s case which tends to be outweighed in the long run by a more labour intensive output mix

on the impact of financial development on income distribution time series evidence financial market development is said to have equalizing or unequalizing effects on income distribution previous research used cross sectional and panel data and provided mixed results suspecting that they suffer from aggregation bias we adhere to time series data and error correction modeling technique and address the issue one more time in each of the 17 countries for which we have time series data in 10 counties short run effects of financial market development on income distribution were found to be equalizing in five countries the effects were unequalizing however the equalizing effects lasted into the long run only in three countries of denmark kenya and turkey

is there a social kuznets curve the influence of labour standards on inequality abstract this study empirically investigates the impact of core labour standards on income inequality for a range of 90 countries from 1990 2000 a synthetic index of labour standards is computed by means of a multiple correspondence analysis and no significant correlation is found with the gini index one of the reasons pointed out is that the effective implementation of core labour standards depends on the quality of the country s political and legal systems using instrumental variables in a tsls model we found an inverse u shaped curve between the new endogenous index of core labour standards and income inequality

cultural diversity and economic growth evidence from the us during the age of mass migration we exploit the large inflow of immigrants to the us during the 1870 1920 period to examine the effects that within county changes in the cultural composition of the us population had on output growth we construct measures of fractionalization and polarization to distinguish between the different effects of cultural diversity our main finding is that increases in cultural fractionalization significantly increased output while increases in cultural polarization significantly decreased output we address the issue of identifying the causal effects of cultural diversity by using the supply push component of immigrant inflows as an instrumental variable

globalization and the gender wage gap there are several theoretical reasons why globalization will have a narrowing as well as widening effect on the gender wage gap but little is known about the actual impact except for a number of country studies the author provides a cross country study of the impact of globalization on the occupational gender wage gap based on the rarely used but most far ranging survey of wages around the world the international labour organization s october inquiry this annual survey was started in 1924 and contains a wealth of information on wages and the gender wage gap for the period 1983 99 there is information on the gender wage gap in 161 narrowly defined occupations in more than 80 countries around the world the author finds the following i the occupational gender wage gap appears to be narrowing with increases in gdp per capita ii there is a significantly narrowing impact of trade and foreign direct investment fdi net inflows on the occupational gender wage gap for low skill occupations both in poorer and richer countries and for high skill occupations in richer countries iii there is no evidence of a narrowing impact of trade but there is evidence of a widening impact of fdi net inflows on the high skill occupational gender wage gap in poorer countries iv wage setting institutions have a strong impact on the occupational gender wage gap in richer countries

export processing zones in the dominican republic transforming manufactures into commodities this paper examines the performance of export processing zones in the dominican republic it shows that in specializing in unskilled labor intensive export processing in the context of competitive devaluations between central american countries the dominican republic has experienced immiserizing employment growth in these circumstances the export of labor intensive manufactures is akin to that of primary commodities exporting countries which rely on unskilled labor and which fail to make the transition to higher value added production exports are thus likely to experience declining terms of trade the conclusions of this case study are considered to have wider relevance to world bank and international monetary fund inspired structural adjustment programs in the region

when the levee breaks black migration and economic development in the american south abstract in the american south postbellum economic development may have been restricted in part by white landowners access to low wage black labor this paper examines the impact of the great mississippi flood of 1927 on black out migration and subsequent agricultural development flooded counties experienced an immediate and persistent out migration of black population over time landowners in flooded counties modernized agricultural production and increased its capital intensity relative to landowners in nearby similar non flooded counties landowners resisted black out migration however benefiting from the status quo system of labor intensive agricultural production jel j15 j43 n32 n52 n92 q54 r23

racial diversity and aggregate productivity in u s industries 1980 2000 author affiliation chad sparber department of economics colgate university 13 oak drive hamilton ny 13346 usa csparber mail colgate edu acknowledgment i would like to acknowledge the guidance and advice from the faculty and graduate students of the university of california davis i especially thank giovanni peri hilary w hoynes alan m taylor florence bouvet and ahmed s rahman three anonymous referees rukmani gounder margriet caswell and the attendees of the western economics association international conference in san francisco provided helpful comments and suggestions as did takao kato robert w turner and faculty members of colgate university and san diego state university a fellowship from the university of california office of the president provided support for this research 1 introductionthe united states grew increasingly diverse between 1980 and 2000 as whites declined from 83 to 73 of the labor force many states are reconsidering their affirmative action policies while the federal government reevaluates immigration and citizenship statutes unfortunately we do not yet fully understand the aggregate effects of diversity international empirical analyses often argue that racial or ethnic heterogeneity hinders macroeconomic growth and development by fostering conflict corruption political instability and competitive rent seeking many top u s business executives reject these views however and claim that individuals from varied backgrounds bring unique approaches to problem solving and complement each other in production several academic analyses echo these sentiments this paper adds to the debate on the costs and benefits of diversity by building upon the traditional economic growth and development framework to measure racial diversity s net effect on productivity within sectors of the united states my methodology advances the existing literature by addressing two limitations of prior studies first although cross country evidence for the costs of diversity is clear the united states may be especially effective in managing diversity this paper determines whether the u s experience differs from international accounts second typical international growth analyses measure aggregate outcomes for countries but fail to address differences in marginal effects that could exist across sectors of the economy i depart from this strategy by analyzing industrial performance across u s states to begin i measure racial diversity by using decennial census data from the integrated public use microdata series ipums 1 to construct fractionalization indices for state industry cells between 1980 and 2000 i then employ two stage weighted least squares regressions with fixed effects to estimate diversity s industry specific influence on average wages paid to workers a proxy for labor productivity in the absence of observed output per worker measures unqualified statements regarding the costs and merits of diversity are unwarranted as racial heterogeneity increases productivity within most but not all u s industries these results are robust to methodologies controlling for individual level heterogeneity state specific trends industry specific trends and supply factors prior academic research anecdotes from political events and the sector specific coefficients in this paper provide intuition about the industrial characteristics that determine whether diversity leads to economic gains or losses i use the u s department of labor s o net consortium data2 to show that industries heavily reliant upon creative decision making problem solving and customer service benefit from diversity in contrast sectors characterized by high levels of group work or teamwork experience losses which suggests that heterogeneity encumbers common action the results therefore reconcile competing literatures by recognizing both the costs and the benefits of diversity

the effect of outward processing trade on wage inequality the hong kong case abstract this study uses time series analysis to investigate the impact of hong kong s increased outward processing trade with the chinese mainland on wage inequality we found a significant positive association between outward processing trade and the wage premium of university graduates over primary school graduates and that over secondary school graduates moreover a standard test showed one way causality from outward processing trade to the widening of skill wage gap furthermore the increase of outward processing trade is found to both increase the pay for well educated people and decrease the pay for less well educated people thereby widening the wage gap

the globalization of product markets and immiserizing growth lessons from the south african furniture industry the central issue addressed in this paper is whether some developing countries will find it difficult to compete effectively in global product markets and will therefore be locked into processes of immiserizing growth it focuses on the role of south african producers in the global furniture value chain analyzing the factors affecting firm upgrading particularly the role of global buyers the paper observes a global industry characterized by increased competition and falling unit prices with local firms dependent on a falling exchange rate it concludes with implications for policy and future research including generalizing the findings to other sectors and countries

the demonstration effect of transactions between strangers on those between acquaintances evidence from land rentals in rural china over the last decade introducing outer village lessees has been an important approach to increasing the marketization of land rentals in rural china however with large numbers of informal featur

on the demand for grandchildren tied transfers and the demonstration effect it is argued that parents provide help with housing downpayments in order to encourage the production of grandchildren and that such a subsidization emanates from the bdemonstration effect q a child s propensity to furnish parents with attention and care can be conditioned by parental example parents who desire such transfers in the future have an incentive to make transfers to their own parents in order to instill appropriate preferences in their children this generates a derived demand for grandchildren since potential grandparents will be treated better by their adult children if the latter have their own children to whom to demonstrate the appropriate behavior empirical work indicates behavior consistent with subsidization of the production of grandchildren and the demonstration effect

economic integration across latin america evidence from labor markets 1990 2013 combining macroeconomic and microeconomic data and three indicators of international market integration this paper assesses the degree to which latin american labor markets are integrated the results suggest that relative to east asia latin american labor markets are somewhat more integrated but considerable differences across countries persist in addition the evidence indicates that the degree of labor market integration across latin american borders is significantly less than that of labor markets within mexico and within the united states in two of the three indicators these differences may suggest opportunities for efficiency gains from further labor market integration

a picture of wage inequality and the allocation of labor through a period of trade liberalization the case of brazil this paper constructs a picture of the labor market impact of trade liberalization in brazil we examine the level and dispersion of wages the skilled wage premium and employment composition before and after trade liberalization after trade reform there was a rise in the returns to college education which since the share of college workers also rose is attributable to rising demand this change did not increase overall wage dispersion because of the small share of college educated workers and because of decreasing returns to intermediate levels of education

foreign direct investment and the relative wage in a developing economy abstract this paper examines the issue of the effect of foreign direct investment on the relative wage in the context of a developing economy recognizing that competing domestic entrepreneurs are potentially skilled workers foreign investment in skilled labor intensive sectors is shown to lower the relative wage moreover a general lump sum subsidy to foreign and domestic firms is shown to lower aggregate welfare whereas a discriminatory subsidy only to foreign firms may raise welfare

the contractual nature of the firm for their helpful comments i am grateful to armen a alchian yoram barzel keith leffler john s mcgee and dean worcester 1 ronald h coase the nature of the firm 4 economica 386 1937 the paper however was written several years earlier see note 3 infra 2 the social sciences citation index provides the following information breaking down the period of 1966 80 into three five year periods the total citations of coase s firm paper for each subperiod are 1966 70 17 citations 1971 75 47 citations and 1976 80 105 citations

channels and policy debate in the globalization inequality poverty nexus the process of globalization has led to a much greater integration of the world economy the flows of trade capital labour technology and information across national borders have accelerated since the 1980s and created an environment conducive to faster economic growth and transmission of knowledge it is evident that the forces of globalization provide a strong potential for a major reduction in poverty in the developing world however for a number of reasons brought out in this chapter the positive impact of globalization on poverty alleviation worldwide has not been as substantial as one might have expected in this chapter we explore structural factors and policies within the world economy and national economies that impede the full transmission of the benefits of the various channels of globalization to poverty reduction

do landlord tenant relationships influence rental contracts for farmland or the cash rental rate a considerable portion of north america s farmland is rented out by nonfarmer landlords our survey of farmers in southern ontario canada provides a refined understanding of who these landlords are and whether variations in landlord tenant relationships influence rental contract choice and or the magnitude of cash rent we find that crop share arrangements are more likely to emerge among family relations however we do not find strong evidence that family relations explain variation in the magnitude of cash rental rates

calm after the storms after rising during most but not all ofthe 1960 85 period inequality in chile seems to have stabilized since around 1987 following the stormy period of economic and political reforms of the 197

globalisation history and development a tale of two centuries this paper situates globalisation in historical perspective to analyse its implications for development it sketches a picture of globalisation during the late nineteenth and twentieth centuries a comparison of these two epochs reveals striking parallels unexpected similarities and important differences it shows that globalisation did not lead to rapid growth and economic convergence in the world either then or now indeed growth slowed down and income levels diverged while the gap between the industrialised and developing countries widened in both epochs the story of globalisation it turns out does not conform to the fairy tale about convergence and development

globalization and the decline of the welfare state in less developed countries why have trends in government welfare spending in developing countries diverged from those in developed countries i address this question by investigating the effects of capital and trade flows on government welfare spending in fifty three developing countries using an original measure of labor power in developing countries i test the links between international markets labor s political strength and the welfare state i argue that labor s collective action problems caused by large populations of low skilled and surplus workers offset labor s potential political gains from globalization i show that when the proportion of low skilled workers in a nation is high globalization will lead to a decline in welfare spending most significantly the results suggest that in nations where labor market institutions are not yet well developed government social welfare spending is constrained by international market forces

economic policy changes and wage differentials in latin america abstract this article presents estimates of the impact of changes in liberalization policies on wage differentials by schooling level using a new high quality data set for 18 latin american countries for 1977 98 the method controls for all fixed and time varying country characteristics some of which may affect the policies themselves the results indicate that liberalizing policy changes overall have had a short run disequalizing effect of expanding wage differentials although this effect tends to fade away over time this disequalizing effect is due to the strong impact of domestic financial market reform capital account liberalization and tax reform however privatization contributed to narrowing wage differentials and increasing trade openness had no significant effect on wage differentials technological progress rather than trade flows appears to be a channel through which policy changes are affecting inequality

the personal and the factor distributions of income in a cross section of countries abstract the shares of capital and labour in national income vary substantially both over time and across countries this paper shows that the factor distribution of income is an essential determinant of the personal distribution of income we use cross country and panel data for a group of developed and developing countries to show that a larger labour share is associated with a lower gini coefficient of personal incomes this effect is not only statistically significant but also economically important an increase in the labour share in mexico to that observed in the us would reduce the gini coefficient of the former by between two and five points

globalization and upgrading what can and cannot be learnt from international trade statistics in the wood furniture sector the measurement of innovation is a complex and ambiguous challenge two broad families of measures have been used those focusing on inputs and those focusing on outputs each has its strengths and weaknesses but neither is able to capture the growing importance of product innovation adequately in this paper we attempt to throw more light on the measurement of product innovation through the complementary use of data on unit price and market share the analysis is distinctive through its exclusive use of trade data these measures are applied to the global furniture industry through an analysis of imports into the eu between 1989 and 2001

revisiting the revisited terms of trade will china make a difference in challenging the conventional wisdom at the time singer and prebisch posited a number of explanations for declining terms of trade of developing economies including both country and product specific factors over the past decade we have begun to witness a simultaneous process of price differentiation within commodities with the prices of some commodities increasing and within manufacturing with the price of many manufactures falling these price changes may reverse the decline in the terms of trade of commodity producers the entry of china into the global market has played an important role in this augmenting the demand for many hard commodities its role as an exporter of manufactures coupled with concentration in global buying may undermine the prices of many manufactures

a disaggregated analysis of eu imports the implications for the study of patterns of trade and technology this paper examines trends in the unit prices of manufactured imports into the european union eu in the period 1988 2002 this is undertaken at a high level of disaggregation and it is this decomposition which we believe has important implications both for a range of bodies of economic analysis and for policy the analyses undertaken in this paper confirm that disaggregation matters in helping to identify unit price trends we have also shown that unit price trends vary with the type of economy exporting into europe and the type of product being exported and that these results are robust at high levels of disaggregation