a dynamic approach to the environmental kuznets curve hypothesis abstract the environmental kuznets curve ekc hypothesis states that pollution levels increase as a country develops but begin to decrease as rising incomes pass beyond a turning point in ekc analyses the relationship between environmental degradation and income is usually expressed as a quadratic function with the turning point occurring at a maximum pollution level other explanatory variables have been included in these models but income regularly has had the most significant effect on indicators of environmental quality one variable consistently omitted in these relationships is the price of energy this paper analyzes previous models to illustrate the importance of prices in these models and then includes prices in an econometric ekc framework testing energy income and co2 income relationships these long run price income models find that income is no longer the most relevant indicator of environmental quality or energy demand indeed we find no significant evidence for the existence of an ekc within the range of current incomes for energy in the presence of price and trade variables

unions employment and the inflation tax the main purpose of this paper is to analyse the possible effects of an inflation tax or tax based incomes policy on the employment level in an economy in which trade unions play a central role in wage setting a tax based incomes policy tip has long been advocated in the united states as a means of curbing inflation without disastrous short run consequences for employment advocates of tip see it as an additional force working by incentive rather than regulation which helps to keep down inflationary wage bargains this increases the scope of demand management for maintaining high levels of employment in a relatively non inflationary way however it was not envisaged that tip could have any permanent effect on the long run equilibrium level of employment implicit in this view is the assumption that long run equilibrium employment is determined by a competitive market in the usual walrasian manner furthermore since in such a long run equilibrium the rate of inflation is uniquely determined by the rate of monetary expansion tip has no long run value in curbing inflation either thus the only role possible for tip is as a temporary measure which eases the transition from a short run temporary equilibrium characterised by too much inflation and too little employment to the long run equilibrium characterised by full employment and moderate inflation more recently in britain it has been argued that the scope of an instrument which taxes excessive wage increases is greater than was originally conceived in a series of papers professor layard has put forward the original and provocative idea that british policy makers adopt a form of tip on a permanent basis as this will have a permanent effect on long run employment according to this view even if a temporary incomes policy succeeded in reducing inflation to a constant and moderate level without unemployment being too far above its long run value the amount of unemployment in the long run would be unacceptably high furthermore a permanent tip in some form is the only way to reduce this high long run equilibrium unemployment as layard i982 puts it only a permanent incomes policy can substantially reduce the non inflationary level of unemployment 2 the idea of a permanent tip may seem a somewhat startling and radical proposal to some economists the claim that such a policy can actually increase long run employment even though it obviously adds to employers costs may seem

asymmetry in retail wholesale and shipping point pricing for fresh vegetables the linkage among retail wholesale and shipping point prices for a select group of fresh vegetables is measured using wolffram s asymmetry model procedures for dealing with discontinuous time series are shown and granger s causality test is used to show the direction of the price linkage wholesale prices are shown to lead both retail and shipping point prices asymmetry in the retail wholesale response indicates that wholesale price decreases are reflected at the retail more so than are wholesale price increases wholesale price decreases are more fully passed through to the shipping point relative to wholesale increases

tradeable permits missing markets and technology this paper examines the effects of missing markets heterogeneous pollutants and the pollution technology of firms on the efficacy of transferable pollution permits under the assumption of perfect competition in all markets we show that if firms can substitute among pollutants then setting the optimal number of permits for only one pollutant will not in general lead to an efficient outcome the degree of the inefficiency will depend on the information set available to the regulator and the substitutability among pollutants by firms when establishing transferable pollution rights regulators should therefore consider the technology of firms if firms discharge pollutants in the same fixed proportions then the regulator need only set a market for one of the pollutants to ensure an efficient outcome where firms can substitute among pollutants however establishing a market for only one pollutant provides an incentive for firms to substitute to unregulated ones this is an important policy issue as substitutability among pollutants within and across production processes may dampen the dynamic advantages of a tradeable permit policy

theoretical approaches to monetary disinflation abstract during the 1980s many countries adopted tight monetary policies to reduce high inflation rates which were the legacy of the 1970s as inflation threatens to rise at the beginning of this decade this paper provides a survey of the 1980s literature which sought to provide theoretical understandings of how monetary disinflation is achieved four models are presented monetarist neo keynesian new classical and post keynesian each model s explanation of the recession which accompanies the monetary disinflation is outlined as well as possible policy measures to reduce the extent of the recession and to hasten the return to full employment

industrial pollution in economic development the environmental kuznets curve revisited abstract using new international data this paper tests the environmental kuznets curve ekc hypothesis for industrial water pollution we measure the effect of income growth on three determinants of pollution the share of industry in national output the share of polluting sectors in industrial output and end of pipe eop pollution intensities per unit of output in the polluting sectors we find that the industry share of national output follows a kuznets type trajectory but the other two determinants do not when combined our results imply rejection of the ekc hypothesis for industrial water pollution it rises rapidly through middle income status and remains roughly constant thereafter

the determinants of equilibrium unemployment in britain a lot of energy is currently being expended in trying to understand what has been happening to unemployment in britain and the rest of the developed world in this paper we look at this question in the british context by trying to confront some possible explanations with the data since the data we use are quarterly over rather a short period we are setting the explanations a very hard test most explanations tend to be rather casual and the theories underpinning them ill developed thus for example the so called real wage argument is based on the idea that real wages affect labour demand and that the equilibrium real wage bears some relatively stable relationship to output per head but how stable is not clear thus whether or not we can expect a well defined stable ceteris paribus dynamic relationship between real product wages as a proportion of output per head and unemployment is equally unclear so if such a relationship does not show up in a quarterly regression model this may not be that serious for the theory nevertheless we must look for the relationship for how else are we ever to discriminate between a plethora of conflicting views the primary emphasis in this paper is on the secular factors affecting unemployment rather than the cyclical variables consequently we shall not be concerned with developing a coherent theory of cyclical fluctuations and in the empirical work we shall control for the cycle simply by making use of those exogenous or predetermined variables which other work in this field suggests are important 2 the remainder of the paper is set out as follows the next section is concerned with specifying a model which generates a definition of equilibrium unemployment the outline of this model is a pair of equations determining the flows into and out of unemployment and these are specified in section ii which looks closely at the possible variables involved section iii then deals with the results and presents some general conclusions

the environmental kuznets curve and flow versus stock pollution the neglect of future damages in this paper we offer a possible explanation for the empirical finding that the pollution income relationship pir for flow pollutants is an environmental kuznets curve ekc i e inverted u shaped but that the pir for stock pollutants is monotonically rising we analyse an overlapping generations model with two pollutants the flow pollutant causes immediate damages but the stock pollutant harms the environment only in the future hence a succession of myopic governments lets stock pollution grow with income in contrast the flow pollutant follows an ekc whose downturn might be caused by the neglect of future damages and by ever rising stock pollution without the stock pollutant the pir for the flow pollutant can increase monotonically we also show that the turning point of the ekc for the flow pollutant lies at lower levels of income and of flow pollution if stock pollution is high and harmful this casts doubts on most empirical ekc studies because they assume that the turning point occurs at the same income level in all countries however it is consistent with recent empirical findings that the income level at the turning point of the ekc varies across countries

market integration and price transmission in consumer markets of developing countries abstract world prices for agricultural commodities surged in 2006 08 and then again in 2011 12 in many developing countries consumer prices for staple foods such as bread and rice mirrored these movements this paper examines whether prices in urban consumer markets within developing countries are co integrated with prices in world agricultural commodity markets using a single equation error correction model we examine the response of consumer prices for wheat rice maize and sorghum to changes in world market prices and exchange rates in urban centers of the developing world analyzing over 60 country commodity pairings we find that developing countries consumer markets are co integrated with world markets yet we also find that the transmission of changes in both world prices and real exchange rates to domestic consumer prices is not high and that the movement of domestic consumer prices to new equilibrium with world prices after a shock to the latter is relatively slow

is incomes policy the answer to unemployment in western europe unemployment has remained obstinately high ever since 1975 what has prevented governments from reducing it the answer is simple if unemployment were reduced by normal methods inflation would rise it follows that the only way to cut the long run level of unemployment is to find some other way of controlling inflation no such device will be costless but if we could find any method that was less costly than unemployment we ought to adopt it maurice chevalier was asked in later life what he thought of old age it s not so bad he replied when you consider the alternative that was a true economist talking and it is also the spirit in which i shall approach the unhappy choices open to us my argument will proceed roughly as follows first imagine that a costless incomes policy is available then most people would probably agree that if inflation was too high a temporary incomes policy would be a good idea in order to get inflation down but what then when it was down we would still be left with far too high an unemployment rate only a permanent incomes policy can substantially reduce the non inflationary level of unemployment however against these benefits have to be set the costs of an incomes policy a conventional incomes policy which permanently suspended collective bargaining would be out of the question in a free society so we have to have an incomes policy that works by incentive rather than by regulation the best thing would be a tax on wage increases levied on employers and proportional to wage increases above a prescribed norm i shall spend some time discussing this tax using various different models of wage setting to explain how it would have its effect and finally i shall try producing a first draft of the operator s manual

political and economic inequality and the environment abstract this paper analyzes and tests the hypothesis that political and economic equality result in lower levels of environmental degradation based on formal statements of the argument put forward by boyce r 1994 ecological economics 11 169 178 i show that equality may or may not be necessary to minimize degradation under some plausible conditions greater inequality may even be conducive to lower degradation actual results depend primarily on the intersection between the distribution of preferences across groups and the institutional rules two cross national empirical tests tend to support the contention that distributional issues do not systematically explain variations in environmental quality the results reinforce the conclusion that assumptions about the structure of preferences and workings of social choice institutions ignore complex interactions which influence the relationship between degradation and equality

price transmission across the u s food distribution system price transmission models are estimated using recursive methods across 100 food commodities from the individual commodities short and long run price transmission coefficients are estimated for rising and falling prices these coefficients are classified into five commodity categories and expressed as one vector while coding for causality market levels rising falling prices short and long run and time period then the impact of each variable is estimated and inferences are drawn about the degree of price transmission results show that price linkages are strong but slightly declining over time with some evidence of asymmetric behavior long run rising prices are passed through more than long run falling prices except for fruits and vegetables

on environmental kuznets curves arising from stock externalities abstract we develop a stock externality model in an optimal growth framework and examine the relationship between economic growth and the environment we find that as incomes rise over the growth path both the marginal benefits of pollution control and the marginal costs of pollution control rise if at a given income level the marginal benefits rise more than the marginal costs the emissions income relationship has a negative slope at that income level and vice versa we are thus able to generate examples of emissions income relationships of varying shapes by varying pollution specific parameters which determine marginal costs and benefits such as the convexity of the cost function the rate of decay of the stock of pollution and the share of consumption in the composite good an inverted u shape relationship an environmental kuznets curve requires only minimal assumptions a convex cost function and that environmental quality is a normal good imply an inverted u shape relationship for an open set of parameters we also examine how environment income relationship varies according to what measure is used for the environment emissions stock of pollution or emissions control

price cycles and asymmetric price transmission in the u s pork market economists have proposed several plausible explanations for observed price transmission asymmetries in commodity markets unfortunately the econometric methods commonly used in such studies cannot empirically distinguish pricing behavior under the competing theories we argue that the theories may be classified by firm responses to high and low frequency price cycles and use engle s band spectrum regression to test the symmetry of high and low frequency cycles in weekly pork prices the findings indicate that changes in wholesale prices are asymmetrically transmitted to retail prices in relatively low frequency cycles which does not support search costs and other high frequency explanations conversely wholesale pork prices asymmetrically adjust to changes in farm prices at all frequencies copyright 2001 oxford university press

how does a shorter supply chain affect pricing of fresh food evidence from a natural experiment the market for fresh food is often characterized by a large number of intermediaries delivering the product from the farmer to the retailer the existence of these intermediaries especially the informal ones is often claimed to introduce market frictions that push fresh food prices up we test the hypothesis that scaling down these frictions reduces the level of prices our data come from a policy reform in turkey concerning the supply chain regulations in the market for fresh fruits and vegetables starting from january 1st 2012 a new law is enacted i to remove informal intermediaries ii to reduce the farmers cost of access to formal intermediaries such as wholesale market places and iii to provide the farmers with the option to directly sell their products to retailers bypassing the wholesale intermediaries this policy reform resembles a natural experiment that exogenously reduces the supply chain barriers in the market for fresh fruits and vegetables using quasi experimental methods we show that the policy reform has strikingly reduced the prices in the wholesale market we also provide some rough evidence that there is no price effect in the retail market which suggests that part of the wholesale markups may have been transferred to the retailers taken at face value these results provide some hints that consumers have not received any direct benefits from the reform ignoring the general equilibrium effects

neoclassical growth the j curve for abatement and the inverted u curve for pollution abstract this paper reexamines the neoclassical environmental growth model of forster to gain insights into the dynamic relationships among pollution abatement effort and economic development whereas the model has heretofore been used to examine steady state levels of capital consumption and environmental quality it also provides a theoretical basis for recent empirical research on j curves for abatement effort and inverted u curves for pollution

stoking the fires co2 emissions and economic growth abstract we examine the relationship between economic development and carbon dioxide emissions a greenhouse gas central to global warming predictions estimates derived from global panel data suggest a diminishing marginal propensity to emit mpe carbon dioxide as gdp per capita rises despite this global carbon dioxide emissions growth will continue at 1 8 percent per annum for the foreseeable future a result that is not sensitive to average output growth instead emissions growth continues because output and population will grow most rapidly in lower income nations with high mpes this latter feature emphasizes the distributional consequences of policies to reduce emissions

classical unemployment accommodation policies and the adjustment of real wages a model of wage formation and stabilization policy in economies with strong trade unions is developed the analysis provides a theoretical underpinning for the assertion that accommodation policies may cause wage inflation and ultimately reduce employment various methods of accomplishing a real wage adjustment are discussed i a policy of complete nonaccommodation 2 continued accommodation policies but with lower employment targets 3 social contracts and 4 tax based incomes policies tip

work sharing employment and wages the paper analyzes the effects of a reduction in working time on wages and employment with a monopoly union in general it is not clear in which directions these variables move but if employment and working time are perfect substitutes the effects are related to how working time has been determined initially the wage increases if initial working time is smaller than or equal to the trade union optimum whereas the result is unclear when it is larger in this case it is never optimal for a trade union to reduce both the wage and working time in response to a recessionary supply shock the analysis may help to explain varying attitudes towards work sharing in different countries

nonhomothetic growth models for the environmental kuznets curve we show the role of the elasticity of substitution between general consumption and the environment in environmental degradation specifically our numerical experiments demonstrate for a wide range of models exponential utility generates the environmental kuznets curve without adding any special assumptions with exponential utility the elasticity of substitution and hence the substitution effect between consumption and the environment are both decreasing in income hence when income is low society the government readily gives up environmental quality in return for more consumption but it does not want to substitute consumption for the environment anymore once it becomes wealthy enough

determinants of co2 emissions in a small open economy abstract the aim of the paper is to explore the relationship between economic development and carbon dioxide co2 emissions for a small open and industrialized country austria we test whether an environmental kuznets curve relationship also holds for a single country rather than concentrating on panel or cross section data for a set of countries a cubic i e n shaped relationship between gdp and co2 emissions is found to fit the data most appropriately for the period 1960 1999 and a structural break is identified in the mid seventies due to the oil price shock furthermore two variables are additionally significant import shares reflecting the well known pollution haven hypothesis and the share of the tertiary service sector of total production gdp accounting for structural changes in the economy emission projections derived from this single country specification support the widely held opinion that significant policy changes are asked for when implementing the kyoto protocol in order to bring about a downturn in future carbon emissions

transboundary externalities in the environmental transition hypothesis the environmental kuznets curve ekc is a hypothesis which implies that it is possible to grow out of environmental degradation most theoretical models of the ekc relation have not accounted for transboundary and intergenerational externalities nor have empirical studies provided evidence that validates an inverted u shaped relation between environmental degradation and economic growth for pollution problems where the effects are far displaced or are long delayed

prices rise faster than they fall output prices tend to respond faster to input increases than to decreases this tendency is found in more than two of every three markets examined it is found as frequently in producer goods markets as in consumer goods markets in both kinds of markets the asymmetric response to cost shocks is substantial and durable on average the immediate response to a positive cost shock is at least twice the response to a negative shock and that difference is sustained for at least five to eight months unlike past studies which documented similar asymmetries in selected markets gasoline agricultural products etc this one uses large samples of diverse products 77 consumer and 165 producer goods accordingly the results suggest a gap in an essential part of economic theory as a start on filling this gap the study finds no asymmetry in the resonse of an individual decision maker a supermarket chain to its costs but it finds above average asymmetry where a cost shock is filtered through a fragmented w

spatial equilibrium and price transmission between southern african maize markets connected by informal trade policies regulating the international grain trade in southern africa sa are motivated by uncertainty regarding private sector performance and in turn private sector performance is generally constrained by the policy environment we study spatial price transmission between sa maize markets where trade is dominated by informal product flows this provides an opportunity to study private sector market performance in a largely unregulated market environment contrary to some existing evidence on the performance of sa grain markets connected by formal trade we find that informally trading markets work quite well long run price equilibrium is consistent with competitive trade price transmission is rapid and potential trade constraints have no disruptive impact on long run relationships nevertheless we do find evidence of occasionally high transfer costs that may impede informal trade flows the conclusion is that a policy focus on encouraging informal trade and lowering informal trade costs would lead to improved market performance

global observation of ekc hypothesis for co2 sox and nox emission a policy understanding for climate change mitigation in bangladesh abstract environmental kuznets curve ekc hypothesis is critical to understanding the developmental path of a nation in relation to its environment how the effects of economic development processes dictate environmental changes can be found through the study of ekc to understand the ekc phenomena for climate change this study was undertaken by reviewing the available literature as co2 sox and nox are the significant greenhouse gases ghg responsible for global warming thus leading to climate change the study focused on those ghgs for ekc consideration with an understanding of the different ekc trajectories an attempt was made to determine the implications for the economic development of bangladesh in regards to the ekc it was shown that ekc for co2 was following a monotonous straight line in most cases sox were shown to follow the full trajectory of the ekc in most situations and nox was shown the hope only for the developed countries getting the low income turning point the type of economic policy that bangladesh should follow in regards to the discussed pollutants and sources is also revealed from these discussions contributions to policy stimulation in bangladesh are likely to be made

the determinants of atmospheric so2 concentrations reconsidering the environmental kuznets curve this analysis explores the effects of income and the spatial intensity of economic activity on the atmospheric concentration of sulfur dioxide the results indicate that there is a u shaped relation between income and atmospheric concentration of so2 and an inverted u shaped relation between the spatial intensity of economic activity and so2 concentrations these results suggest that the spatial intensity of economic activity rather than income provides the impetus for policies and technologies that reduce so2 emissions based on this result the atmospheric concentration of so2 in developing nations may decline faster than indicated by previous analyses the potential for this decline depends on the rate at which income grows relative to population the trade off between the effects of income gains and the spatial intensity of economic activity on the atmospheric concentration of so2 is consistent with the notion that some environmental problems can be ameliorated by slowing population growth and increasing income levels

asymmetry in farm retail price transmission for major dairy products an econometric model is used to estimate the net relationship between changes in the farm level price of milk and changes in the retail prices of four major dairy products fluid milk butter cheese and ice cream results indicate that the farm retail price transmission process in the dairy sector is asymmetric retail dairy product prices adjust more rapidly and more fully to increases in the farm price of milk than to decreases the role in pricing asymmetry of retail demand versus farm supply shifts is tested via a chow type test asymmetry is tested using the houck procedure for estimating nonreversible functions

is there an environmental kuznets curve for deforestation abstract this paper examines the relationship between deforestation and gross domestic product gdp per capita in particular whether an inverted u relationship indicative of worsening then improving deforestation exists between them we note that previous work has used models with restrictive assumptions and recommend a more flexible random coefficients specification which allows for a greater degree of cross country heterogeneity empirical results using data for 76 developing countries between 1961 1992 suggest that the inverted u shaped relationship observed in other studies does not appear to be an empirical regularity with our less restrictive specification statistical tests indicate that this specification is supported by the data we argue that such results are not surprising in view of the wide diversity of physical and social characteristics that exist across countries

real wage determination and labour market policies the swedish experience it is a common view that labor market programs reduce unemployment and restrain wages by increasing the competition for jobs the swedish case is often advanced as a blueprint to follow this article questions the conventional wisdom on the swedish labor market policies it finds empirical evidence in favor of the hypothesis that job creation and training programs weaken the incentives for wage restraint as a consequence it appears likely that labor market programs have strong crowding out effects on regular employment copyright 1991 by royal economic society

economic growth and atmospheric pollution in spain discussing the environmental kuznets curve hypothesis abstract the environmental kuznets curve ekc hypothesis posits an inverted u relationship between environmental pressure and per capita income recent research has examined this hypothesis for different pollutants in different countries despite certain empirical evidence showing that some specific environmental pressures have diminished in developed countries the hypothesis could not be generalized to the global relationship between economy and environment at all in this article we contribute to this debate analyzing the trends of annual emission flux of six atmospheric pollutants in spain the study presents evidence that there is not any correlation between higher income level and smaller emissions except for so2 whose evolution might be compatible with the ekc hypothesis the authors argue that the relationship between income level and diverse types of emissions depends on many factors thus it cannot be thought that economic growth by itself will solve environmental problems

the impact of employment tax cuts on unemployment and wages the role of unemployment benefits and tax structure abstract i model and simulate the effects of employment tax cuts on unemployment and wages in four equilibrium models competitive union bargaining search and efficiency wages i find that if the ratio of unemployment compensation to wages is fixed the effect of the tax cut is mainly on wages but if income out of work is fixed in real terms there are substantial employment effects when wages are determined by bargaining revenueneutral reforms that make the tax more progressive also reduce unemployment thus policy towards unemployment compensation and tax structure are key influences on the effect of taxes on unemployment

minimum wages and the demand for labor i formulate measures of the effective minimum wage based on broad definitions of the labor costs that face employers and use these measures in reestimating some simple equations relating the relative employment of youths and adults to the u s minimum wage using aggregate data for 1954 78 i then ground the model more closely in the theory of factor demand first by adding the relative wages of youths and adults to the equation describing their relative employment and then by specifying a complete system of demand equations for these two types of labor teen employment responds quite robustly to changes in the effective minimum in these specifications with an elasticity of 0 1 a translog cost function defined over young workers adults and capital shows that the effective minimum wage reduces employers ability to substitute other factors for young workers using both sets of results i find that a subminimum wage for youths would have increased their employment with at most a small loss of jobs among adults this abstract was borrowed from another version of this item

are there limits to growth a simple theoretical model of pollution is developed that generates an inverted u shape relationship between per capita income and environmental quality this model is then used to study long run growth the same inverted u shape is shown to appear in time series and the prospects for sustained growth are shown to hinge on whether increasingly strict environmental regulation is compatible with a constant rate of return on capital implementation is also studied tax and voucher schemes are shown to have an advantage over direct regulation because they provide the correct incentives for capital accumulation copyright 1998 by economics department of the university of pennsylvania and the osaka university institute of social and economic research association

carbon intensity and economic development 1962 1991 a brief exploration of the environmental kuznets curve the relationship between national carbon dioxide emissions intensity co2 emitted per unit of gross domestic product and level of economic development has changed from essentially linear in 1962 to strongly curvilinear in 1991 the inverted u curve reached statistical significance briefly in the early 1970s and increasingly since 1982 this is the result not of groups of countries passing through stages of development but of efficiency improvements in a small number of wealthy countries combined with worse performance in poor and middle income countries the curvilinear relation is deepening and is likely to persist due to constraints on poorer countries in the world economy

five facts about prices a reevaluation of menu cost models are price decreases 3 the frequency of price increases covaries strongly with inflation whereas the frequency of price decreases and the size of price increases and price decreases do not 4 the frequency of price change is highly seasonal it is highest in the first quarter and then declines 5 we find no evidence of upwardsloping hazard functions of price changes for individual products we show that the first second and third facts are consistent with a benchmark menu cost model whereas the fourth and fifth facts are not

economic models for the environmental kuznets curve a survey abstract the environmental kuznets curve ekc refers to an inverted u shaped relationship between some pollutant level and per capita income i e the environmental quality deteriorates at early stages of economic growth and subsequently improves at a later stage since the early 1990s a considerable number of empirical studies have been conducted on the ekc and although there is no conclusive proof it has been recognized that the ekc emerges as an empirical regularity however some recent studies cast doubt on the concept and methodology of empirical results and evidence of the existence of the ekc has been questioned in fact how economic growth affects the environmental quality i e the shape of the ekc is still controversial in order to identify the actual relationship between the environmental quality and economic growth it is essential to develop economic models from various points of view this paper overviews the current stage of theoretical models that explain such relationship

is the optimal labor income tax progressive in a unionized economy this paper concerns optimal nonlinear labor income taxation in an economy with union wage setting and endogenous hours of work the purpose is to study the determinants of tax progression we show that the optimal degree of progression of the labor income tax depends on the extent to which the government can influence the wage rate via tax policy as well as on its ability to redistribute income across individuals in addition the argument for progressive labor income taxation depends on whether hours of work are chosen by the employed themselves or the union

carbon dioxide emissions and economic growth an assessment based on production and consumption emission inventories working with a new dataset on comparable global co2 production and consumption inventories spanning the 1997 2011 period we investigate the relationship between real gross domestic product gdp per capita and co2 emissions per capita associated with both production and consumption activities by including linkages between production based emissions in one country and final consumption in another via cross border value chains we focus on the entire carbon chain we estimate polynomial and threshold models accounting for reverse causality and identification problems we find that the income elasticity for both inventories is regime dependent and reflects small carbon efficiency gains from economic development carbon footprints show larger income elasticities while national policy instruments targeting production can clearly be circumvented by carbon embodied in intermediate trade this implies problems of environmental sustainability that may require consumption based policy instruments

taxes subsidies and equilibrium unemployment this paper considers the effects of wage taxes employment subsidies and unemployment benefits in a simple model of equilibrium search unemployment is determined by the equality of job matchings and job separations job vacancies are determined by a zero profit condition and wages by a nash bargain between the meeting firm and worker i show that marginal wage taxes influence the firm s and worker s equilibrium sharing rule whereas employment subsidies and unemployment benefits influence only the surplus shared hence tax financed subsidies reduce wages and raise employment and vacancies whereas tax financed unemployment benefits raise wages and reduce employment and vacancies in this paper we consider the effects of wage taxes employment subsidies and unemployment benefits on equilibrium search unemployment in a model where wages are determined competitively by the meeting firm and worker discussions about the desirability of taxes and subsidies and their effect on employment and wages abound in the labour economics literature yet the only tax or subsidy that has been systematically discussed in a competitive search framework is a lump sum unemployment benefit the reason for this might be that the structure of the model is such that it is ideally suited to the study of unemployment benefits whereas traditional supply and demand analysis could arguably cope with other kinds of taxes this might be true in some cases but if it is at all appropriate to think of equilibrium unemployment as coming out of an essentially competitive framework when the process which brings together jobs and workers is characterized by frictions traditional supply and demand analysis may not be rich enough to give us all the answers we need 1 the model of this paper is a simple equilibrium model with endogenous unemployment supply of jobs i e demand for labour and real wages unemployment exists because unemployed workers and unfilled jobs cannot find each other instantaneously in the interval of time required to match all workers and jobs some existing job worker pairs break up providing a new flow into unemployment thus unemployment can never be eliminated in equilibrium flows into and flows out of unemployment are equal wages are set endogenously by generalized nash bargains between the individual firm and worker the equilibrium wage rate is shown to depend on all the parameters of the model and to be determined simultaneously with equilibrium unemployment the driving force in the model which provides the link between wages and unemployment is the rate of job vacancies the total number of jobs is determined by zero profit conditions because of constant returns to scale the number of jobs taken up each period depends positively on the number of job vacancies because a typical unemployed worker will have a better chance of locating a job when there are more vacancies if the real wage rate falls the expected profits from a job rise firms open up more vacancies to take advantage of this and so more jobs are taken up but as vacancies rise and

good jobs bad jobs and redistribution we analyse the question of optimal taxation in a dual economy when the policy maker is concerned about the distribution of labour income income inequality is caused by the presence of sunk capital investments which creates a good jobs sector due to the capture of quasi rents by trade unions with strong unions and high planner preference for income equality the optimal policy is a combination of investment subsidies and progressive income taxation if unions are weaker the policy maker may instead choose to tax investment

corruption and the environmental kuznets curve empirical evidence for sulfur abstract we investigate how corruption influences the income level at the turning point of the relationship between sulfur emissions and income using a wide cross national panel of countries at different levels of development and with different degrees of corruption our results support the environmental kuznets curve hypothesis for sulfur we find evidence that the higher the country s degree of corruption the higher the per capita income at the turning point suggesting different income pollution paths across countries due to corruption we build upon a new specification for the ekc developed by bradford et al 2005 that avoids using nonlinear transformations of potentially nonstationary regressors in panel estimation also we account for the indirect impact of corruption on emissions through its impact on per capita income our main findings remain unchanged when we investigate additional heterogeneity allowing for different income slopes across richer and poorer countries

causes of the current stagflation since 1975 labour slack has been unusually high in the oecd countries and yet inflation has not diminished the less favourable mix of unemployment and rate of change of inflation which we call stagflation is explained by a fall in the feasible rate of growth of real wages unmatched by a reduction in the constant term in phillips curve to investigate this mechanism conventional wage and price equations are estimated for 19 countries and then used for simulation stagflation has been caused in roughly equal amounts by rising relative import prices and by the fall in the rate of productivity growth in the basic model the phillips curve is assumed not to adapt to falls in feasible real wage growth but in a final section an adaptive wage equation is estimated which confirms that the process of adaptation is slow

shortening food supply chains a means for maintaining agriculture close to urban areas the case of the french metropolitan area of paris the development of short supply food chains ssfcs is a noteworthy phenomenon in europe this paper questions whether these ssfc contribute or not to the preservation and or development of urban agriculture in the ile de france region paris and surrounding areas where agriculture still represents a major land use activity more than 50 based on documentary and empirical research the analysis shows that a quarter of farms are involved in ssfc in this region taking different forms these ssfc initiatives are for the majority very recent they often develop in the frame of hybrid forms of farming even though the contribution of ssfc in the total food supply of the parisian region is poorly informed and probably very small the recent interest of consumers inhabitants and territorial stakeholders in organic and or local food is real and has encouraged various types of incentives and commitments the development of ssfc in the paris region nevertheless faces numerous obstacles such as the scarcity of land and labour and the environmental impacts that still remain controversial promoting the role of ssfcs in the preservation of a sustainable urban agriculture requires access to more statistical and comparative data which are currently unavailable

food scare crises and developing countries the impact of avian influenza on vertical price transmission in the egyptian poultry sector abstract a bivariate smooth transition vector error correction model is applied to monthly poultry price data to analyze the effects that avian influenza has had on price transmission along the egyptian poultry marketing chain in order to reflect consumer awareness of the crisis an avian influenza food scare information index is developed and used within the model as a transition variable our results suggest that price adjustments to deviations from the market equilibrium parity depend on the magnitude of the avian influenza crisis further these adjustments are found to have very different implications for market equilibrium during the crisis retailers use their market power to increase marketing margins in contrast wholesaler margins are found to decline results also suggest that food safety information indices contribute to understanding the economic effects of food scare crises in developing countries

air quality and economic growth an empirical study abstract in the present empirical study we have observed an inverse and sometimes u shaped relationship between environmental degradation and per capita real income as opposed to the inverted u shaped environmental kuznets curve ekc found in many earlier studies it was felt that a possible explanation of the observed pattern of relationship might be sought in the dynamics of the process of economic growth experienced by the countries concerned thus e g economic development may strengthen the market mechanism as a result of which the economy may gradually shift from non market to marketed energy resources that are less polluting this phenomenon may show up in the form of an inverse relationship as mentioned above also due to the global technical progress the production techniques available to the countries all over the world are becoming more and more capital intensive and at the same time less polluting this may mean that given the income level the pollution level decreases as the capital intensity of an economy rises in the present study it is indeed observed that as capital intensity increases the level of suspended particulate matter spm in the atmosphere decreases per capita real income is also found to be inversely related to spm partially but the interaction effect of per capita income and capital intensity on spm is observed to be positive this suggests that given the level of per capita income capital intensity a more capital intensive production technique a higher per capita income level would cause less pollution for spm a surprising result is also obtained i e a u turn is observed at a very high level of per capita real income i e us 12 500 at 1985 us prices this is possibly indicative of the fact that there are technological limits to industrial pollution control such that beyond a threshold level of income further rise in income cannot be achieved without environmental degradation

the environmental consequences of trade evidence from subnational trade flows abstract the debate over the environmental consequences of free trade is not only quite heated but also entails significant policy ramifications recently cross sectional analysis at the country level has made use of exogenous determinants of trade to identify the causal effect of trade on the environment finding moderate evidence of a beneficial impact of expanded trade on environmental quality given the stakes involved we revisit this finding using subnational data on trade flows across us states and several measures of pollution not only does the analysis shed further light on the debate at the international level but also addresses a heretofore unexamined question does greater inter regional commerce at the subnational level harm the environment our findings are striking providing further evidence against a negative environmental impact of trade for the majority of measures analyzed however several sources of heterogeneity arise that are noteworthy

local impacts of a global crisis food price transmission consumer welfare and poverty in ghana abstract this paper takes a local perspective on global food price shocks by analyzing food price transmission between regional markets in ghana it also assesses the impacts of food price increases on various household groups taking the 2007 2008 global food crisis as an example we show that prices for domestic grain products are highly correlated with world market prices this is true both for products for which ghana is highly import dependent e g rice and the products for which ghana is self sufficient e g maize the econometric results also show that price transmission is high between regional producer markets and markets located in the country s largest cities and the distance between producer and consumer markets and the size of consumer markets matter in explaining the price transmission the welfare analysis for households as consumers shows that the effect of world food prices appears relatively modest for the country as a whole due to relatively diverse consumption patterns within country however the national average hides important regional differences both between regions and within different income groups we find that the poorest of the poor particularly those living in the urban areas are hardest hit by high food prices the negative effect of the food crisis is particularly strong in northern ghana the main explanations for this regional variation in the price effect is the different consumption patterns and much lower per capita income levels in the north of ghana compared to other regions in the country

municipal waste kuznets curves evidence on socio economic drivers and policy effectiveness from the eu waste generation and waste disposal are becoming increasingly prominent in the environmental arena from a policy perspective and in the context of delinking analysis in general waste generation is still increasing proportionally with income and economic and environmental costs associated to landfilling are also increasing this paper provides a comprehensive analysis of waste generation incineration and landfill dynamics based on panel data for the eu25 to assess the effects of different drivers economic structural policy and the eventual differences between western and eastern eu countries we show that for waste generation there is still no waste kuznets curve wkc trend although elasticity to income drivers appears lower than in the past landfill and other policy effects do not seem to provide backward incentives for waste prevention and in terms of landfill and incineration as expected they are respectively decreasing and increasing with policy acting as a strong driver eastern countries appear to be performing generally quite well thus benefiting from eu membership and related policies in terms of environmental performance we can conclude that although absolute delinking is far from being achieved for waste generation there are some first positive signs of an increasing relative delinking for waste generation and robust landfill diversion and varying evidence of a significant role of the eu waste policies implemented in the late 1990s and early 2000s our evidence suggests that if while landfill diversion is currently associated to a delinking partly explained by eu policies waste prevention must be the next objective of waste regulation efforts

optimal management of environmental externalities with time lags and uncertainty many environmental externalities occur with time lags that can range from a few days to several centuries in length and many of these externalities are also subject to uncertainty in this paper we examine the key features of an optimal policy to manage environmental externalities that are both lagged and stochastic we develop a two period two polluter model and obtain closed form solutions for optimal emissions levels under different combinations of damage functions and stochastic processes these solutions show that it is not obvious whether greater control should be exerted on polluters that generate externalities with longer lags or on polluters that generate externalities with shorter lags we find that the optimal ranking of polluters with respect to the length of the time lag associated with their externality will depend on a the discount rate b conditional expectations of future states of the polluted resource c persistence of the pollutant and d initial conditions

a model of imperfect competition with keynesian features the recent literature on the reappraisal of keynes has viewed keynesian equilibria as arising when prices are fixed and effective demands and supplies are equilibrated through the adjustment of quantities one problem with this approach is that it lacks a theory of price determination in particular of why prices are fixed in the present paper we show that a number of keynesian features arise in a model in which prices are fully flexible but where agents have some monopoly power one advantage of this approach is that it provides a theory of the determination of both prices and quantities

a dynamic model of the environmental kuznets curve turning point and public policy we set up a simple dynamic macroeconomic model with i polluting consumption and a preference for a clean environment ii increasing returns in abatement giving rise to an ekc and iii sustained growth resulting from a linear final output technology there are two sorts of market failures caused by external effects associated with consumption and environmental effort the model is employed to investigate the determinants of the turning point and the cost effectiveness of different public policies aimed at a reduction of the environmental burden moreover the model offers a potential explanation of an n shaped pollution income relation it is shown that the model is compatible with most empirical regularities on economic growth and the environment

an estimate of the age distribution s effect on carbon dioxide emissions i introduction we exploit temporal and geographic demographic variation to estimate the relationship between a population s age distribution and carbon dioxide c o sub 2 emissions in a panel of 46 countries from 1990 to 2006 to reduce potential omitted variable bias we instrument for the age distribution with lagged birth rates and control for total population and total gross domestic product gdp a higher share of prime working age 35 49 individuals within a country leads to higher c o sub 2 emissions while younger and older populations have lower c o sub 2 emissions according to our results emissions of c o sub 2 account for about half of the radiative forcing from anthropogenic sources that are considered the primary contributors to global warming the intergovernmental panel on climate change 2007 predicts increases in average surface temperatures in the range of 1 1 6 4 degrees c 2 11 5 degrees f by the end of the century climate change has created the threat of substantial environmental damage with the possibility of catastrophic consequences for many throughout the world as a result both academics and policy makers are interested in c o sub 2 emissions the literature aimed at explaining c o sub 2 emissions usually focuses on the size and affluence of the population this approach can be traced back to the seminal work by ehrlich and holdren 1971 the biologist and physicist who argued that population size has a disproportionate impact on the environment the impact is generally assumed to depend upon technology leading to the well known ipat identity or kaya identity for c o sub 2 emissions i p x a x t where i is environmental impact p is population size a is affluence gdp per capita and t is a technology index more recent literature has focused on models of the technology index and how the index changes over time e g due to improvements in abatement technology the widely cited intergovernmental panel on climate change studies use several variations of the ipat model to produce regional emissions forecasts which are then aggregated to the global level structural studies by economists e g nordhaus 2009 have also attempted to forecast global c o sub 2 emissions using estimates of gdp from production functions and world population size although these studies have frequently used geographic density of the population as well as its size as explanatory variables and have allowed for nonlinearity in size most have ignored the age distribution within the population 1 a few papers have begun to address this potential oversight by explicitly including the age distribution in studies of c o sub 2 emissions dalton et al 2008 build a structural overlapping generations model to forecast u s c o sub 2 emissions 2 in their model simulations population aging has a big effect on future emissions our empirical findings support dalton et al 2008 but our approach is most closely related to cole and neumayer 2004 3 cole and neumayer 2004 also use a cross country panel to estimate the effect of demographic change on c o sub 2 emissions in an ipat type regression model while cole and neumayer 2004 include age group shares as controls the groups younger than 15 15 64 and 65 are too wide to capture the effect we posit and they do not instrument for the age distribution as we do cole and neumayer 2004 mainly focus on changes in total population whereas we are interested in the age distribution effect for a given population size our ordinary least square ols estimates indicate that a country s level of c o sub 2 emissions depends on its age distribution in addition to population size the regressions include total gdp and a full set of time and country dummies as controls we use the fraction of the population aged 35 49 or working share as the main explanatory variable changes in the working share across time not common to all countries and independent of gdp and total population provide the variation used to estimate the age distribution s effect

income inequality and pollution a reassessment of the environmental kuznets curve abstract improvements in some measures of air and water quality can accompany rising per capita income as illustrated by the so called environmental kuznets curve for pollution variables which show such a relationship we hypothesize that a more equitable distribution of power contributes to these outcomes by enhancing the influence on policy of those who bear the costs of pollution relative to the influence of those who benefit from pollution generating activities an empirical analysis of international variations in seven indicators of air and water quality supports this hypothesis literacy political rights and civil liberties are found to have particularly strong effects on environmental quality in low income countries

ekc type transitions and environmental policy under pollutant uncertainty and cost irreversibility abstract previous studies have suggested that some pollutant levels first increases due to the economic growth and then start decreasing the pattern being called the environmental kuznets curve ekc we examine ekc type transitions of pollutant levels not with respect to economic growth but more generally in time assuming that each policy maker optimally executes the two switching options of regulation and unregulation for pollution the switching dynamics of environmental policy can be described by an alternating renewal process it is shown that the double laplace transform of transition density of a pollutant level can be obtained by a novel application of renewal theory the expected level of overall pollutants is then calculated numerically and found to exhibit either a shaped or an n shaped pattern in time our results present a simple explanation for the ekc type transitions of pollutant levels within a real options framework

the environmental kuznets curve does one size fit all abstract this paper uses a new panel data set on state level sulfur dioxide and nitrogen oxide emissions from 1929 1994 to test the appropriateness of the one size fits all reduced form regression approach commonly used in the environmental kuznets curve literature empirical results provide initial evidence that an inverted u shape characterizes the relationship between per capita emissions and per capita incomes at the state level parameter estimates suggest however that previous studies which restrict cross sections to undergo identical experiences over time may be presenting statistically biased results

an overlapping generations model of growth and the environment this article analyzes the potential conflict between economic growth and the maintenance of environmental quality in an overlapping generations model short lived individuals make decisions which have long lasting effects on both factor productivity and the environment the model provides a theoretical explanation of observed correlations between environmental quality and income whereby economic growth is associated first with declines then improvements in environmental quality it suggests circumstances in which multiple pareto ranked steady state equilibria may arise and in which sustained growth of both capital and environmental quality may occur overmaintenance of the environment analogous to dynamically inefficient overaccumulation of capital may emerge copyright 1994 by royal economic society

three theorems on inflation taxes and marginal employment subsidies most western nations are now experiencing high levels of unemployment traditional economic policies have apparently either helped to produce this or have not been able to eliminate the problem thus some economists have tried to suggest new ways in which governments might intervene in the labour market to raise the equilibrium level of employment two of the most widely known schemes are i taxes on inflation and ii marginal employment subsidies this paper examines the microeconomic effects of these policies one of the most fundamental points in the paper is that of the formal similarity between an inflation tax and a subsidy on marginal employment both work to raise the long run level of employment by changing the cost of adjusting from one short run equilibrium to another an inflation tax imposes a fine on firms or workers when wage rates rise too fast its aim is to reduce wages and so raise employment a marginal employment subsidy is designed to reward firms or workers when employment rises quickly its purpose too is to increase the level at which employment will be in equilibrium technically then these are both examples of the same sort of analytical problem each one requires that the relevant decision maker bear in mind that his life time utility depends on how quickly he alters his present behaviour each in other words is a problem in the calculus of variations not one in simple calculus there is now quite a large literature on the case for an inflation tax although it dates back at least twenty years the idea has become topical because of the work of richard jackman and richard layard most notably in layard

is there an environmental kuznets curve for sulfur abstract most existing estimates of the environmental kuznets curve ekc for sulfur which use samples of mainly high income countries indicate a maximum emissions turning point at middle to lower high income levels of gdp per capita we use a larger and more globally representative sample than previous sulfur ekc studies we find that sulfur emissions per capita are a monotonic function of income per capita when we use a global sample and an inverted u shape function of income when we use a sample of high income countries a model estimated in first differences results in a monotonic ekc when estimated with both high income and global samples reductions in emissions are time related rather than income related

wage setting and the tax system theory and evidence for the united kingdom abstract this paper analyses the effects of a non linear tax system on wage bargaining the main conclusions are an increase in the marginal income or payroll tax rate reduces the pre tax wage in the isoelastic case an increase in the average tax rate increases the pre tax wage by more than the tax increase and a measure of the progressivity of the tax system residual income progression is a sufficient measure of the effect of the tax system on wage pressure empirical evidence is presented to support these propositions and the predictions of the model regarding the effect of recent changes to the u k tax system on the distribution of earnings discussed

unionized contracts with fixed wage rates and state contingent employment levels a union sets a state independent wage the firm sets employment along the state contingent demand for labor curve the union s maximand is the welfare of its cu rrent members however it sets a wage at which outsiders are recruit ed in good states so as to protect insiders employment prospects in bad states if these newly recruited workers join the union there m ay exist an equilibrium membership comparative statics results are o btained for government policy measures copyright 1988 by the london school of economics and political science

preferences technology and the environment understanding the environmental kuznets curve hypothesis we derive a simple expression for the income pollution path using the standard static model of the environmental kuznets curve ekc this expression makes it straightforward to identify the general characteristics of utility and pollution functions that lead to such a curve we show that suitable preferences can always lead to an ekc while there is no technology that yields an ekc for all types of preferences and we derive a sufficient condition for technology that leads to an ekc for almost all types of preferences our results hold for a model with multiple goods with different pollution intensities and for a production economy with nonconstant relative price of consumption and environmental effort we derive our results without assuming specific functional forms and we encompass several other models as special cases