stock price reactions as surrogates for the net cash flow effects of corporate policy decisions abstract this paper adopts a rational market structure to examine the link between the cash flow effects of management policy decisions and the resulting stock price reactions the focus is on testing cross sectional associations between cash flow effects and the underlying characteristics of affected firms we find that it is not possible to infer the sign of association between the stock price reaction and any characteristics of the firm that are observable before management announces its decision our methodological suggestions involve exploiting either a priori assumptions or sample information about the probability distribution of unobservable decision variables underlying the management decision process

rural urban poverty differences in transition countries summary this paper uses new poverty data based on household level surveys to analyze changes in rural poverty and rural urban poverty differences in 23 transition countries of central and eastern europe and the former soviet union the paper presents a series of hypotheses to explain differences across countries and changes over time

competition and corporate performance are people right to think that competition improves corporate performance my investigations indicate first that there are some theoretical reasons for believing this hypothesis to be correct but they are not overwhelming furthermore the existing empirical evidence on this question is weak however the results reported here based on an analysis of around 670 u k companies do provide some support for this view most important i present evidence that competition as measured by increased numbers of competitors or by lower levels of rents is associated with a significantly higher rate of total factor productivity growth

market share market value and innovation in a panel of british manufacturing firms this paper examines the empirical relationship between technological innovations market share and stock market value new developments in the estimation of dynamic count data models are used to control for unobserved firm specific heterogeneity we find a robust and positive effect of market share on observable headcounts of innovations and patents although increased product market competition in the industry tends to stimulate innovative activity furthermore the impact of innovation on market value is larger for firms with higher market shares we argue that our results are consistent with models where high market share firms have incentives to pre emptively innovate

extrinsic versus intrinsic problems of agricultural cooperation anti incentivism in tanzania and china peasant willingness to engage in collective farming and the efficiency of collective farms once established may be preconditioned on local self determination participatory control discriminating work incentives and external manoeuvrability in the absence of such preconditions whether or not there exist economies of scale sufficient to offset effectively minimised incentive problems cannot be determined anti incentivism bureaucratic controls and extractive external environments are identified as factors inhibiting successful collective farming in both tanzania and china explanations of these tendencies in the two countries are sought in their political economies and ideological structures

shills and snipes online auctions with a fixed end time often experience a sharp increase in bidding towards the end despite using a proxy bidding format we provide a novel explanation of this phenomenon under private values we study a correlated private values environment in which the seller bids in her own auction shill bidding bidders selected randomly from some large set arrive randomly in an auction then decide when to bid possibly multiple times over a continuous time interval a submitted bid arrives over a continuous time interval according to some stochastic distribution the auction is a continuous time game where the set of players is not commonly known a natural setting for online auctions we show that there is a late bidding equilibrium in which bids are delayed to the latest instance involving no sacrifice of probability of bid arrival but shill bids fail to arrive with positive probability and in this sense optimal late bidding serves to snipe the shill bids we show conditions under which the equilibrium outcome is unique our results suggest that under private values the case against shill bidding might be weak

livelihoods and farm efficiency in rural georgia this study contributes to the literature on the role of livelihood strategies in rural growth and poverty reduction it distinguishes between livelihood diversity strategies that contribute to sustainable growth in household incomes and those that mainly have a coping function it suggests that typically the contribution of livelihood diversity to growing household income is through relaxing dependence on credit for access to capital in this scenario livelihood diversity would lead to higher technical efficiency in agriculture via investment and thereby to higher household incomes survey data from georgia are introduced and used to test these hypotheses using a bayesian stochastic frontier approach the findings are relevant to defining more clearly the scope and aims of policies to stimulate the rural non farm economy in developing and transition countries

transition and integration in europe implications for agricultural and food markets policy and trade agreements several central and eastern european countries are on their way to becoming members of the european union agriculture and agricultural policy is an important issue in eu enlargement this paper reviews the changes that have occurred in the agricultural and food sector of the ceecs and draws implications for the impact of eu enlargement on agri food markets and policy first those countries which have reformed most rapidly and most thoroughly are now doing best and their reform efforts have resulted in significant recovery and efficiency improvements second the impact of eastern enlargement will be less dramatic than initially feared although some uncertainty remains the possibility that the accession of the ceecs into the cap will cause a conflict with wto commitments has been reduced but cannot be excluded for some specific commodities depending on the ceec supply evolution however the likelihood of a wto conflict and the impact on the cap will depend more on the outcome of the negotiations in the wto millennium round than on enlargement similarly the impact of enlargement on the eu budget depends mostly on the political decision on the allocation of direct payments to ceec farmers and or of the extent of structural funds for ceecs

collusion in second price auctions with heterogeneous bidders abstract we show that efficient collusion by any subset of bidders in second price private value auctions is possible even when the bidders are heterogeneous an important property of efficient collusion is that a bidder s net payoff from participating in collusion is independent of her valuation we show that the cooperative game whose characteristic function evaluated at a coalition is the ex ante collusive surplus of that coalition has a nonempty core a feature of more technical interest is the mechanism characterization when the private information of agents does not enter in a linear or even piecewise linear manner

resource allocation and use under collective rights and labour management in peruvian coastal agriculture a critical issue in the evaluation of labour management as a development policy is its impact on production in an effort to contribute to that evaluation and to the economics of labour management this study analyses production data collected from cooperative firms established by the peruvian agrarian reform the data present an unusual opportunity for careful microeconomic analysis of the reform itself as well as an opportunity to confront and refine existing propositions about the effects of the collective property rights of labour management on production property rights may affect production because of their effort on incentives for conventional resource allocation decisions they may also affect intrafirm principal agent decisions which determine the intensity with which given resources are utilised beginning with ward s i 958 paper a number of theoretical studies have compared labour managed and capitalist resource allocation and an approximate consensus has emerged about conditions under which differences occur in this study measures of the allocative behaviour of peruvian firms are estimated and compared with the theoretically expected behaviour of both capitalist and peasant agricultural producers the impact of collective ownership on the intensity of resource utilisation i e technical efficiency of the observable production function arouses greater theoretical dispute than the resource allocation question a collective assignment of property rights may weaken supervisory authority which can control free rider externality problems within the production process on the other hand participation of labour in management may foster cooperative attitudes and other social control devices which can fulfill the same functions as hierarchical supervision existing literature offers the competing hypotheses that labour management leads either to a breakdown in intrafirm coordination and the observable technical efficiency of production as jensen and meckling i 979 claim or to an improvement as vanek i 969 claims the results of the present paper do not unequivocably support either view instead they portray a diversity in labour managed production performance and suggest the importance of policy and institutional factors which condition the impact of labour management on production the results also provide a

when does cheating on mail in bids pay a guide for the dishonest auctioneer abstract in english auctions an auctioneer sometimes receives second price bids from bidders who cannot attend the auction these bids are referred to as mail in bids left bids or bookbids and are commonly handled by an auctioneer s assistant in this paper i consider auctions where there is one bid left with the auctioneer in an english auction with no reserve the auctioneer can increase his revenue by cheating at least partially through phantom bids or large bidding increments on the bookbid when the bookbidder s valuation is more likely to be the highest than the second highest among all valuations this is true even if in equilibrium this cheating is perfectly anticipated this implies that the acquisition of a good reputation is not a sufficient incentive for honest auctioneer behavior

the shill bidding effect versus the linkage principle abstract the analysis of second price auctions with externalities is utterly modified if the seller is unable to commit not to participate in the mechanism for the general symmetric model introduced by milgrom and weber p milgrom r weber a theory of auctions and competitive bidding econometrica 50 1982 1089 1122 we characterize the full set of separating equilibria that are symmetric among buyers and with a strategic seller being able to bid in the same way as any buyer through a so called shill bidding activity the revenue ranking between first and second price auctions is different from the one arising in milgrom and weber the benefits from the highlighted linkage principle are counterbalanced by the shill bidding effect

on nonparametric supply response analysis in this paper we explore the usefulness of nonparametric methods in the investigation of production behavior and the estimation of price elasticities of output supply and input demand functions the approach can handle the situation where some data points are not consistent with production theory the method is illustrated by estimating supply demand elasticities of outputs and inputs in u s agriculture

optimal bidding in auctions from a game theory perspective abstract the game theoretic perspective in auction bidding has provided a powerful normative framework for the analysis of auctions and it has generated an impressive volume of research contributions tracing this research we review key recent advances which have greatly expanded our understanding of the operation of auctions and produced a more accurate analysis of mechanism design and optimal bidding we follow various experimental studies which have shown that the predictive power of auction theory remains in many cases limited for this reason we concentrate on research themes which enhance the applicability of auction theory leading to more realistic descriptions of bidding behaviors we identify important innovations which expand the environment of auction bidding and carry us beyond rational decision making we conclude providing directions of future research and discussing their implications

spatial allocation and the shadow pricing of product characteristics abstract the paper considers an industry transforming primary commodities farm products into processed commodities food products it focuses on the allocation of embedded characteristics carbohydrate protein etc both across space and among commodities the approach generates a spatial competitive market equilibrium of production consumption transformation and trade for both primary and processed commodities along with the spatial distribution of shadow prices for the product characteristics the model provides a basis for analyzing the allocation and pricing of agricultural products food products and characteristics in spatial markets the empirical usefulness of the model is illustrated in the context of regional resource allocation in the u s dairy sector

the effect of shill bidding upon prices experimental evidence this paper explores through a series of experiments the effect of shill bidding upon revenues and prices in auctions we study the practice of shill bidding in a common value framework our findings are consistent with the prediction that if bidders are aware of the possibility of seller participation in an auction profits will be reduced on average we also study factors that affect bidder and seller participation decisions shill bidding can alleviate the problem of the winner s curse by lowering the price and it can thus provide benefits to bidders

evidence on the effect of bond covenants and management compensation contracts on the choice of accounting techniques the case of the depreciation switch back abstract provisions of bond indenture agreements and management compensation contracts are examined to derive testable implications concerning management s incentives to choose among alternative accounting techniques the hypotheses are subjected to empirical examination by investigating the voluntary change from accelerated to straight line depreciation for financial reporting purposes only the methodology utilized incorporates an expectations model of accounting earnings in an attempt to separate out of the effects of earnings announcements from accounting change announcements which are often concurrent the evidence from both price and non price data is not consistent with the general hypothesis that bond covenants and management compensation contracts are important determinants of the decision to change depreciation techniques five potential explanations for the results are offered

farm strategy self selection and productivity can small farming groups offer production benefits to farmers in post socialist romania abstract this paper addresses two questions why are romanian farmers continuing to place land in cooperative forms of farming when theory suggests that private farming is more productive and are there efficiency gains to be had from cooperative farming endeavors results from an econometric selection model suggest that smaller endogenously developed farming cooperatives such as family societies provide benefits over private farming strategies under certain conditions this paper questions the wholesale rejection of cooperation around production and challenges policy to move away from the typically dichotomized presentation of agrarian structure as being a trade off between private small scale farming and large scale collective farming

relation between market model prediction errors and omitted variables a methodological note a number of accounting studies have examined market model prediction errors to evaluate the share price effects of various events such as voluntary or mandatory accounting changes a common approach is to examine the prediction errors around the event date of a portfolio of potentially affected firms this approach has been extended recently through the use of cross sectional regressions e g leftwich 1981 holthausen 1981 collins rozeff and dhaliwal 1981 sepe 1982 and chow 1983 in which prediction errors or raw returns are regressed on firm specific variables such as size the purpose of this paper is to examine the implications of some recent findings in finance for the various finance based empirical accounting studies in general two types of omitted variables from the standard capital assets pricing model have been identified first several studies have reported that certain firm specific variables such as size banz 1981 and reinganum 1981 earnings yield basu 1975 1983 and dividend payout ratio litzenberger and ramaswamy 1979 may be omitted variables from the standard capm in addition other studies have found some special time series characteristics of stock returns such

global land investments in the bio economy evidence and policy implications for countries dependent on agriculture the recent wave of investor interest in farmland could in principle help set in motion a virtuous cycle of economic growth and poverty reduction a large literature documenting failure of such investments documents the risks involved to appreciate associated opportunities and challenges we review past experience quantify country level potential for area expansion versus intensification and identify determinants of countries attractiveness for investors in the initial stages of the land rush the fact that weak land governance seems to increase rather than reduce land demand justifies an emphasis on improving institutions transparency and accountability while at the same time providing concrete suggestions for policy and research

the impact of discrete bidding and bidder aggressiveness on sellers strategies in open english auctions reserves and covert shilling in practice the rules in most open english auctions require participants to raise bids by a sizeable discrete amount furthermore some bidders are typically more aggressive in seeking to become the current bidder during competitive bidding most auction theory however has assumed bidders can place any tiny continuous bid increase and recommend as optimal the tiniest possible increase this article examines how incorporating discrete bidding and bidder aggressiveness affect optimal strategies for an important decision for auction sellers which is setting the lowest acceptable bid at which to sell the property we investigate two alternative methods sellers often use to enforce this decision these are setting an irrevocable reserve before the auction and covert shilling where the seller or confederates pose as bona fide bidders and raise bona fide bids unsuspected by bidders these optimal strategies interest auction participants especially sellers who must recognize the bidding rules and bidder aggressiveness they will encounter in actual auctions we also examine how these strategies change with the auction context such as the number of bidders and how they differ from corresponding strategies already identified for continuous bidding our model examines open english auctions where bidders have independent private valuations we find that discrete bidding does affect these strategies as does the aggressiveness of the bidder with the highest valuation relative to the average aggressiveness of all other remaining bidders we identify the seller s optimal discrete reserve and show that if the highest valuator is relatively more less aggressive this increases decreases from the optimal continuous reserve and also increases decreases as the number of bidders increases with continuous bidding by contrast this reserve is invariant to the number of bidders as this bidder becomes relatively more aggressive for a given number of bidders the optimal discrete reserve increases while as he or she becomes less aggressive the seller s expected auction utility increases which increases the set of auctions where discrete bidding generates higher seller welfare than continuous we propose a covert shilling model that requires shilling sellers and any confederates and auctioneers to outwardly act no differently than with reserves to avoid detection we identify cases where the seller optimally shills once the bona fide bidding has stopped and identify the corresponding optimal point to stop shilling and accept the next bona fide bid if offered this stopping point does not depend on where bona fide bidding stops or aggressiveness or the number of bidders or on whether shill bids alternate with bona fide bids or are consecutively entered we also find that the optimal lowest acceptable bid with shilling can be higher lower than that with reserves if the highest valuator is sufficiently unaggressive aggressive by comparison in continuous bidding shilling and reserves yield identical lowest acceptable bids sometimes the seller using a shilling strategy optimally should not shill at all and instead accept the bid where bona fide bidding stops this can occur when that bid or the number of bidders is sufficiently high or when the highest valuator is as or less aggressive than other bidders optimal shilling can be as practical to implement as reserves because it does not require sellers to have any information beyond that needed in a reserve auction if sellers shill optimally they can never be worse off compared to using a reserve and can be better off shilling can make bidders worse off but can also make them better off when the seller using a shilling strategy optimally accepts bids below the optimal reserve in these latter cases shilling pareto dominates reserves ex ante we provide numerical examples to illustrate these results we discuss how our results might be affected if shilling is not covert or bidders valuations have a common value component rather than being independent or by the rules used in many discrete bid internet auctions

the impact of china s economic reforms on agricultural productivity growth this paper presents a method for assessing the relative importance of price increases and strengthened individual incentives due to the introduction of the responsibility system for the post 1978 increase in china s agricultural productivity data on post 1978 chinese agricultural performance suggest that a little over three quarters of the measured productivity increase is due to payment system changes and the remainder to price increases we also use our method to calculate incentive indices giving an estimate of the fraction of their marginal product that peasants received under the pre 1978 regime

production organization and efficiency during transition an empirical analysis of east german agriculture enterprise restructuring is expected to improve efficiency in transition economies with data from former east germany we compare the efficiency of family farms and partnerships with large scale successor organizations of the collective and state farms lsos using parametric and nonparametric techniques we show that lsos display lower technical efficiency than do family farms and partnerships but that this difference is small and declining during transition mainly as a result of structural changes in agriculture family farms are not as scale efficient as partnerships and lsos and partnerships are superior to all other organizational forms

upping the ante how to design efficient auctions with entry of primary importance in auction design is the set of strategies available to the seller at the auction stage we first formalize hold up regarding entry costs that preys on second price auctions when the seller may engage in a costly shill bidding activity we derive the optimal reserve and show how shill bidding can make posted prices outperforming auctions second we advocate for a new regulation where shills would be banned but with the possibility of canceling sales ex post which offers some valuable flexibility the english auction with jump bids implements then the first best in general environments

cross sectional association between abnormal returns and firm specific variables abstract abnormal returns market model prediction errors are the subject of many event studies in accounting and finance literature conditional on the event of interest researchers have recently used cross sectional regressions to examine relations between abnormal returns and firm specific variables this paper demostrates that non constant variences and covariances in market model residuals across firms introduced bias in the estimated slope coefficients of the independent variables i e the expected signs of the estimated slope coefficients can be predicted a priori a method is develope to removed the bias in the estimated slope coefficiets and is found to be effective this method explicitly takes the dependence among abnormal returns across firms into account methods that assume abnormal returns across firms to be independent do not control for such bias

on cross sectional analysis in accounting research abstract this paper examines cross sectional analysis procedures common to many market based accounting research papers both the economic and econometric properties of levels and returns studies are discussed topics covered include the relations between the accounting studies and cash flow valuation models the role of expectations of accounting variables deflators spurious inference risk adjustment and its relation to growth size and leverage residual dependence dependence among explanatory variables and the effect of scale differences across firms major conclusions are that market value is the correct deflator in returns studies and that levels and returns studies are economically but not econometrically equivalent

the performance of private and cooperative socialist organization postwar yugoslav agriculture socialist enterprises in yugoslav agriculture show higher levels of productivity than private producers the author examines the sources of these differences with total factor productivity estimates based on sectoral aggregate cobb douglas production functions which permit separation of environmental policy and organizational effects the results support the following conclusions cooperative socialist enterprises are not inherently inefficient and can even outperform private producers both types of producers were responding to their environment and their differential rates of technological change reflect the different constraints they faced and socialist enterprises exhibited technology adoption behavior similar to nonsocialist enterprises elsewhere copyright 1987 by mit press

effort technology and the efficiency of agricultural cooperatives abstract the inefficiency of cooperative agriculture relative to private farms is often attributed to difficulties in monitoring or poor incentives we develop a model to show that in technologies with numerous sequential steps even small shortfalls in worker effort can result in large output declines using data on cooperative and private farms in el salvador we find greater shortfalls in efficiency between cooperatives and private farms as well as among cooperatives for coffee a crop requiring numerous steps in its cultivation than for maize and sugar which require fewer steps thus the undersupply of effort in cooperatives may be less than differences in productivity suggest and cooperative agriculture is most likely to be successful where production does not involve many sequential steps

is private farming more efficient than socialized agriculture this paper examines the technical efficiency of state and private farms in poland for the period 1960 74 we find that the average technical efficiency of the two types of farms does not differ although the dispersion of efficiency levels is greater among state farms than among private ones we do find clear evidence of allocative inefficiency with state farms oversupplied with fertilizer and machinery

aggregating capacity limiting separable inputs 1 introduction in many empirical studies on productivity researchers frequently need to use data on capital goods in their analyses unfortunately capital goods are extremely heterogeneous and data on them are difficult to capture in a single measure there are many different types and vintages of capital goods in the same firm it is very difficult to gather all information on all capital goods in practice capital goods are aggregated into one input named capital recent studies that aggregate capital goods are fare grosskopf and tyteca 1996 who used the installed generating capacity as capital acemoglu and zilibotti 2001 who applied the perpetual inventory method to recover capital from investment mathijs and swinnen 2001 who adopted the deflated book value of fixed assets as capital and taymaz and saatci 1997 who used the depreciation allowance as capital though each method has its merits there may be information loss during the process of aggregating capital goods five possible types of errors during the aggregation process are identified here they are i error of separability there is a close relation between input aggregation and separability when different capital goods are separable from other inputs it is possible to find an aggregate of capital goods without information loss in this case there is no error of separability if capital goods are not separable from other inputs however and we aggregate them then actually we are approximating the production function by a separable function mak 1988 noted that the success of approximating a nonseparable function depends on whether that function is close enough to a separable function thus when the technology is not separable the error of separability occurs when the production function is not close to a separable function the error of separability is even larger ii error of formula suppose the production function is approximated by a separable function then there is a way to aggregate capital goods if the formula we use to aggregate capital goods cannot give us an aggregation consistent with that separable function then we face the error of formula iii error of measuring opportunity costs some measures of capital require information about prices of capital goods in economic theories all prices of inputs are the opportunity costs of using those respective inputs if the prices used do not reflect opportunity costs then this error occurs iv error of the deflator when we need to add up capital goods bought in different periods by using price information we have to deflate the values if an inappropriate deflator is chosen then there is an error of the deflator v error of accounting practices information reported by firms follows bookkeeping rules the value of fixed assets for example may not be the same as the concept of capital in economics thus investment and fixed assets may be biased this problem is larger when firms in different industries or countries are compared whether or not there is the error of separability depends on the structure of the technology it is beyond the control of researchers though we must cope with the error of separability what we can do is to avoid the other four errors in this paper i link the literature on separability with that on maximum capacity in favor of using the output capacity of plants to aggregate heterogeneous capital goods we find that when some inputs are separable in the production function their maximum capacity can be used as an aggregate measure for them this aggregate measure is economically meaningful and empirically tractable this paper is organized as follows section 2 discusses the properties of capacity limiting inputs section 3 relates capacity limiting inputs to separability section 4 comments on some applications of aggregating captial goods section 5 concludes the paper

an alternating recognition model of english auctions we present an alternative abstraction of an english oral ascending auction to the standard in milgrom and weber 1982 that accords more closely with practices in some auction markets in particular the assumptions that exits are irrevocable and necessarily public are dropped making endogenous the decision to compete silently and privately or openly in the model the price rises in a stylization of an auctioneer alternately recognizing two bidders who affirm willingness to pay the current price the auctioneer pays attention to other bidders only when a recognized bidder exits such exits may be temporary although we construct an equilibrium in which there is no benefit to exit and reentry the number of public exits is stochastic frequently a losing bidder will remain silent giving no indication of his willingness to pay and hence yielding no useful inference about his private information thus the source of the expected revenue advantage of english auctions over second price auctions is only stochastically available moreover when public exits are incomplete the ordinal rank of the bidder whose private information can be inferred is unknown making that information less valuable consequently the simpler formula for expected revenue in second price auctions may be the preferred approximation for english auctions

mandated accounting changes and debt covenants the case of oil and gas accounting abstract the relationships among mandated accounting changes bond covenants and security prices has been the focus of several studies these studies have provided mixed evidence on the existence of a bond covenant effect on security prices this paper suggests that inconclusive prior results are a consequence of inappropriately measuring the default risk of debt using an option pricing framework it is shown that the debt to equity alone is not an adequate measure of default risk in particular both the debt to equity ratio and the total risk of the firm are necessary to adequately model the bond covenant effects of an accounting change these theoretical propositions are supported by the empirical analysis of the security market reaction to changes in oil and gas accounting

optimal reservation prices in auctions the risk neutral independent private values ipv auction model produces curious results regarding the use of reservation prices no matter how many bidders the seller should announce a fixed reservation price above his true value this is notable since the seller gains by adopting an inefficient institution and puzzling because it conflicts with common practice the authors relax the ipv assumption characterize optimal reservation prices in a richer class of auctions and show that when information is correlated the seller s optimal reservation price converges to his true value often monotonically and rapidly as the number of bidders grows copyright 1996 by royal economic society

technical and scale efficiency of crop and livestock farms in poland does specialization matter l efficacite technique et d echelle des exploitations agricoles polonaises est calculee par la methode data envelopment analysis l etude porte sur les differences selon l orientation productive en grandes cultures ou elevage a deux dates de la transition en 1996 et en 2000 l article examine de plus la variabilite statistique des resultats d efficacite ceux ci sont revus a la lumiere des intervalles de confiance construits gr ce au bootstrapping en moyenne les exploitations d elevage ont une efficacite technique et d echelle superieure aux exploitations de grandes cultures l efficacite d echelle est toutefois tres elevee pour les deux orientations l inefficacite technique semble donc due principalement a une inefficacite technique pure c est a dire a une gestion inefficace la faible education des agriculteurs en est une raison majeure en 2000 64 des exploitations d elevage et 86 des exploitations de grandes cultures presentaient des retours d echelle croissants ce resultat suggere des recommandations politiques afin de supprimer les incitations a garder une structure operationnelle fragmentee et de stimuler le marche de la terre il s agit en particulier d ameliorer la legislation concernant la location des terres et de modifier le systeme de retraite agricole

rural reforms and agricultural growth in china this paper employs province level panel data to assess the contributions of decollectivization price adjustments and other reforms to china s agricultural growth in the reform period decollectivization is found to improve total factor productivity and to account for about half of the output growth during 1978 84 the adjustment in state procurement prices also contributed positively to output growth its impact came mainly from the responses in input use the effect of other market related reforms on productivity and output growth was very small reasons for slowdown in agricultural growth after 1984 are also analyzed copyright 1992 by american economic association

a within farm efficiency comparison of silvopasture systems with conventional pasture and forestry in northeast argentina agroforestry which has multiple inputs and outputs would benefit from scrutiny of economic efficiency because levels of adoption have not met expectations previous literature estimated the efficiency of agricultural systems using data envelopment analysis however the vast variability between farms makes comparing systems difficult this study uses paired within farm comparisons of silvopasture a combination of planted trees and pasture to conventional cattle ranching and plantation forestry to evaluate the relative technical efficiency silvopasture proves to be more efficient than conventional cattle ranching forestry demonstrated increasing returns to scale cattle raising demonstrated decreasing returns to scale for large scale farmers and silvopasture was intermediate jel d24 o13

evidence of the impact of mandatory changes in accounting principles on corporate loan agreements abstract the theory in this paper predicts that mandatory changes in accounting princples can affect the measurement rules defined in restrictive covenants in firms lending agreements consequently those mandatory changes can have an impact on the value of a firm s equity even if the changes appear to be merely cosmetic this contracting cost theory is tested by examining of both event related and cross sectional abnormal performance of the equity of a sample of firms when the accounting princples board changes accounting princples for business combinations the theory provides at best in incomplete explanation of the observed abnormal performance

accounting for innovation and measuring innovativeness an illustrative framework and an application the purpose of this paper is to propose and illustrate an accounting framework for innovation we characterize the intensity of innovation by a sales weighted measure of innovation the share of sales in innovative products but other output indicators of innovation could be considered as well comparing statistics on the share of innovative sales across countries industries or firms measures but does not explain the intercountry interindustry or interfirm differences in innovation intensity to have a more meaningful basis of comparison we need a model if an exact model of innovation in its various dimensions existed and if we knew it we would be able to understand fully why innovation differs among countries industries or firms of course such a model does not exist nevertheless it is worth trying to account for innovation differences if only very roughly in such an endeavor what remains to be explained is as important to consider as what can be explained because it reflects the extent of innovative ability or capacity or innovativeness to motivate our approach better and make it more explicit we find it appealing to draw a comparison with the standard framework for growth accounting and the underlying model of a production function production output is viewed as resulting from a process of transformation of inputs into output that can be represented and analyzed in terms of a production function based on the production function an accounting framework can be constructed in which changes in output between periods years decades or differences between spatial units firms industries countries are ascribed to changes or differences in the inputs and in a residual that is known as total factor or multifactor productivity tfp or mfp or simply productivity likewise innovation output can be viewed as resulting from innovation inputs such as r d efforts and other contextual determinants such as the pressure of competition this linkage can be represented in terms of an innovation function and an innovation accounting framework on the basis of which changes in innovation output between periods or differences between spatial units can be ascribed to changes or differences in the factors of innovation and in a residual that we call innovativeness or the unexplained ability to turn innovation inputs into innovation output innovativeness is thus to innovation what tfp is to production innovativeness is conditional on a model of an innovation function and a set of factors of innovation just as tfp is conditional on an assumed specification of the production function and measured factors of production both correspond to omitted factors of performance such as technological organizational cultural or environmental factors and to other sources of misspecification errors although tfp is commonly interpreted as being mainly an indicator of technology the produc

the 1993 tax rate increase and deferred tax adjustments a test of functional fixation this paper uses a sample of 158 deferred tax adjustments resulting from the omnibus budget reconciliation act of 1993 obra to explore the magnitude and nature of analysts and investors functional fixation on reported accounting numbers the 1993 obra passed on august 10 of 1993 included a provision that raised the corporate tax rate from 34 to 35 gaap requires companies to adjust their deferred tax assets and liabilities to recognize the income effects of tax changes in the period of the tax change sfas no 109 1992 in this case the effects of the tax rate increase on deferred taxes would be included in the income tax expense component of 1993 third quarter earnings 1

bidding in private value auctions with uncertain values abstract auctions are often used to sell idiosyncratic goods difficult for potential bidders to value ex ante laboratory auctions with uncertainty over final values in this experiment resulted in 18 and 27 of bids above the expected value of the item in private value first price and english auctions respectively risk seeking preferences as measured on an individual decision task cannot explain overbidding and the first price auction results suggest that risk aversion may not be a good explanation for bidding behavior observed with certain values several candidate explanations fail to explain overbidding rather it appears to stem from some bidders who are prone to overbidding relative to first price auctions the size and frequency of overbids are significantly larger in english auctions while more english auctions are won by overbidders differences between the formats appear to be driven by the dynamic nature of english auctions which is consistent with popular notions of auction fever

collectivization and china s agricultural crisis in 1959 1961 the agricultural crisis in china in 1959 61 after the initial success of the collectivization movement resulted in 30 million extra deaths in this paper a game theory hypothesis proposes the main cause of this catastrophe i argue that because of the difficulty in supervising agricultural work the success of an agricultural collective depends on a self enforcing contract in which each one promises to discipline oneself a self enforcing contract however can be sustained only in a repeated game in the fall of 1958 the right to withdraw from a collective was deprived the nature of the collectivization was thus changed from a repeated game to a one time game as a result the self enforcing contract could not be sustained and agricultural productivity collapsed the empirical evidence is consistent with this hypothesis

the economics of agricultural decollectivization in east central europe and the former soviet union 1989 include both the privatization of agricultural production assets and the restructuring of state and collective farms farm restructuring and more specifically the breakup of large scale agricultural production units into individually operated farms a process we define as decollectivization differ considerably for the various ece and fsu countries differences in decollectivization can be observed across countries between regions within a country and over time we argue that these differences are not random this article identifies the factors that affect the decollectivization process and shows how they are consistent with empirically observed differences in agricultural decollectivization in ece and fsu countries the decollectivization process is a consequence of the decision of collective farm members to leave the collective production framework and start up individual farms factors affecting this decision are the expected productivity and profitability of individual farming relative to collective farming and the costs for individuals to leave the collective farm and start up an individual farm these costs are affected by land reform privatization and decollectivization regulations the relative productivity of individual versus collective farming depends on the distribution of collective farmers productivity the prereform average collective farm productivity and the advantages and disadvantages of individual farming compared to collective farming the literature on decollectivization identifies both advantages and disadvantages in collective production some of which would not extend beyond the transition period disadvantages include high transaction costs associated with the monitoring of labor and inefficiencies due to the right of

efficiency in social versus private agricultural production the case of yugoslavia this paper extends the work of michael l boyd 1987 by examining the question of efficiency in yugoslavian agricultural production using the stochastic production frontier the authors fin d the private sector produces with higher output efficiency than the social sector next they examine regional efficiency differences the authors findings reinforce earlier analysis of the economic impact of regional development policy pursued in yugoslavia less developed republics appeared unable to utilize efficiently the large volume of investment resources allocated from the more developed republics via the central government copyright 1993 by mit press

an approach to statistical inference in cross sectional models with security abnormal returns as dependent variable several recent event studies test hypotheses about the association between event related abnormal security returns and firm characteristics using a three step procedure first forecast model parameters are estimated usually parameters of a market model second prediction errors or residuals are computed over an event period third prediction errors are regressed cross sectionally on firm characteristics hypothesized to influence the impact of the event on share values results of these regressions are used to draw inferences about the relation between abnormal returns and firm characteristics researchers who employ three step procedures acknowledge that crosssectional ols regressions lead to valid inferences if the disturbances are iid normal in cross section see for example leftwich 1981 p 23 and lustgarten 1982 p 138 while sufficient assumptions to draw valid inferences from ols regressions are clear these assumptions are violated if there is cross correlation and cross sectional heteroscedasticity in the firm return processes from which the prediction errors are estimated assumptions about the processes generating these prediction

success and failure of reform insights from the transition of agriculture this paper analyzes the linkages between the reform strategies in transition countries and economic performance the authors focus on agriculture because of the sharpness of the policy changes fundamental differences among countries and relative simplicity of agricultural relationships the authors document post reform performance in the transition countries of asia and europe the authors show how a pricing reform and subsidy reductions b land rights reform and policies that affect farm restructuring and c the presence institutions that facilitate exchange either markets or market substitutes affect output and productivity the paper ends with general lessons on reforms and transition

land market imperfections and agricultural policy impacts in the new eu member states a partial equilibrium analysis this article analyses how transaction costs and imperfect competition in the land market affect the welfare effects of agricultural subsidies in the new eastern member states of the european union benefits of land subsidies end up with landowners in new eastern member states also with imperfections in the new eastern member states land markets with unequal access to subsidies small tenant farmers may even lose out from the subsidies decoupling of payments shifts policy rents to farmers but constrains productivity enhancing restructuring using reserve entitlements to mitigate this effect reduces the intended benefits on distortions and target efficiency

transition and agricultural labor reforms have strongly affected agricultural employment in transition countries but in remarkably different ways we present a theoretical model and an empirical analysis to explain differences in labor adjustment during transition we show that the differences are due to a combination of variations in initial conditions and differences in reform policies and effects the removal of price distortions and subsidies caused wage and price adjustments during transition and a reduction in labor demand in agriculture surplus labor outflow from agriculture was further stimulated by the privatization of the farm assets as they improve incentives and remove constraints for optimal factor allocation and structural adjustment the shift to individual farms which was especially strong in labor intensive production systems with low labor productivity in agriculture has reduced the outflow of labor from agriculture by improving farm governance and labor efficiency although this effect was mitigated by losses in scale economies due to disruptions and market imperfections in transition in general labor outflow was considerably lower on individual farms than on corporate farms due to a combination of factors related to human capital access to finance and physical capital in the last section of the article we present a general framework for understanding labor adjustments in transition countries specifically we show that there are several patterns of labor transition in one pattern followed by e g the czech republic and hungary there is initially a strong survival of the restructured large scale corporate farms that have laid off many workers in the second phase of transition gradually the importance of individual farms increases in other countries such as romania the opposite has happened in these countries there is an immediate strong shift to individual farms while labor use increases on average in agriculture after this initial phase the shift to individual farms continues albeit more slowly and labor use in agriculture starts to decline finally our analysis shows that in countries such as russia and ukraine much of the surplus labor is still employed by little reformed former collective and state farms major adjustments await more progress in agricultural and general reforms

a penny for your quotes patent citations and the value of innovations the use ofpatents in economic research has been seriously hindered by the fact that patents vary enormously in their importance or value and hence simple patent counts cannot be informative about innovative output the purpose of this article is to put forward patent counts weighted by citations as indicators of the value of innovations thereby overcoming the limitations of simple counts the empirical analysis of a particular innovation computed tomography scanners indeed shows a close association between citation based patent indices and independent measures of the social value of innovations in that field moreover the weighting scheme appears to be nonlinear increasing in the number of citations implying that the informational content of citations rises at the margin as in previous studies simple patent counts are found to be highly correlated with contemporaneous rd however here the association is within afield over time rather than cross sectional

reforms globalization and endogenous agricultural structures in this paper i draw lessons from two quasi natural experiments the transition process in former communist countries and the rapid globalization of food chains on the optimality of farms and agricultural structures more generally i argue that a the farm structures that have emerged from the transition process are much more diverse than expected ex ante b this diversity is to an important extent determined by economic mechanisms which are influenced by initial conditions eg technology and reform policies c non traditional farm structures have played an important role during transition since they were optimal to address the specific institutional and structural constraints imposed by the transition process d there is more diversity than often argued in the farms that are integrated in global food chains e endogenous institutional contracting innovations in food chains may lock existing farm structures in a long run institutional framework and f indicators based on farm structures are not a good measure of welfare effects of the globalization of food chains

event study methodologies and the size effect abstract this study of 862 press recommendations demonstrates that the size effect can distort longer term performance measures and hence event studies relative to similar sized companies post publication performance is neutral however market adjustments the capm and market model with equally or capitalization weighted indexes all produce biased results event studies are most exposed to such bias when the measurement interval is long event securities differ systematically in size or weighting from the index constituents the size effect is large and or volatile and when capm type methodologies are used these distortions are avoided by explicitly controlling for size

effects of early bond refundings abstract this paper examines bond for bond refundings and their effects on stock returns refundings can affect the reported income cash flows including taxes dividend constraints and financial ratios of firms for a sample of 36 nyse and ase firms that performed refundings between 1971 and 1980 stock returns were significantly higher than predicted only around the release of the quarterly earnings announcement that included the refunding s effects while the refundings were found to have many characteristics that were hypothesized to benefit shareholders only the change in earnings per share was found to be associated with the prediction errors further there appears to be no refunding related information released in the quarterly earnings announcement except for the refunding gain these results imply that a portfolio of refunding firms can be created in advance of the quarterly earnings announcement that will generate abnormal returns around the earnings announcement because trading rules are inconsistent with the concept of an efficient capital market these results constitute an anomaly

phantom bidding against heterogeneous bidders abstract if ipv bidders are distributionally heterogeneous then a revenue maximizing english auctioneer will in general find it optimal to use a non constant reserve price that is a function of the observed bid sequence an example is provided

exploring the cross country gap in patenting a stochastic frontier approach abstract this paper benchmarks the patent activities of a sample of oecd countries against the world frontier and explores the sources of the cross country differences in patenting regarded as a proxy for innovation a patent production frontier is estimated for a panel of 21 oecd countries over the 1990 2002 period using stochastic frontier analysis patenting performance for each country is decomposed into basic patenting capacity and patenting efficiency the gap between europe and the world leaders in terms of basic patenting capacity remains substantial with little sign of convergence over the sample period in terms of patenting efficiency japan germany and italy have improved their relative position in recent years the gap in patenting performance between the uk and the world frontier is due to relative underperformance in both patenting capacity and efficiency in patent production institutional factors are found to be significantly associated with the patenting efficiency of an economy

behavioural and material determinants of production relations in agriculture in this essay we develop a framework for analysing the major institutions governing the production and exchange of output and the primary factors of production in rural areas the analysis incorporates general considerations of risk and information constraints jointly with the principal material attributes of agriculture and of agricultural production factors the framework is used to analyse barriers to the existence of the major intertemporal and factor markets it is applied specifically to land scarce environments for which it provides an internally consistent explanation for many of the well documented institutional features of such settings in addition the analysis provides new implications for among other phenomena the inter relationships among ownership holdings operational scale family size and factor productivity for the scarcity of animal rental markets and use of animals as collateral for the renting out of land by small landowners and for the existence of plantations for certain crops

institutional reform and labor reallocation during transition theory evidence from polish agriculture abstract reallocation of agricultural labor during transition differs widely between regions and countries our analysis shows that agricultural labor reallocation in poland is determined by a the dramatic adjustment of prices and production costs caused by price liberalization and subsidy cuts b regional differences in farm organization and the impact of institutional reforms on these organizations c structural problems constraining intersectoral mobility the latter limit the benefits from the institutional reforms long term efficiency gains and sustainable rural development are conditional upon reducing such structural constraints and improving the functioning of the labor market

the determinants of the cost efficiency of electric generating plants a stochastic frontier approach this article provides a detailed analysis of generation plant operating cost efficiency over the period 1988 1997 i estimate a stochastic frontier cost function together with a model of plant inefficiencies to measure the operating efficiencies of individual plants and identify factors that are associated with variations in plant efficiencies i find evidence that plant efficiencies are associated with capacity utilization of the plant the number of plants under utility management and ownership form i also find that regulatory restructuring activity in certain states is associated with improvements in plant operating performance the purpose of this article is to provide a detailed analysis of the operating cost efficiencies of electricity generating plants over the period 1988 1997 i estimate the operating efficiencies of fossil fueled steam generating plants and examine factors that influence plant operating performance i use the estimation procedure of battese and coelli 1995 to simultaneously estimate a stochastic frontier cost function and a function relating plant efficiency levels to plant specific factors and other explanatory variables a comprehensive data set allows me to investigate the influence of capacity utilization ownership form and utility experience on plant efficiency levels since significant regulatory change in the electricity industry had begun during this time period i also investigate the impact of state level regulatory change on plant operating efficiency a number of authors have analyzed the efficiencies of electricity generating plants relative to a best practice frontier including kopp and smith 1980 schmidt and lovell 1979 stevenson 1980 cote 1989 reifschneider and stevenson 1991 hammond 1992 pollitt 1995 and fire grosskopf and logan 1983 1985 these studies find considerable evidence of inefficiency in electricity generation during the 1960s and 1970s the present study provides more recent information regarding generating plant efficiencies during a period of significant regulatory and structural change studies investigating the determinants of power plant departures from the frontier have focused primarily on the effects of ownership mode pollitt 1995 provides a comprehensive review of these studies reifschneider and stevenson 1991 examine the impact on cost efficiency of a number of variables including the capacity utilization of the firm s generating facilities more recently knittel 2001 examines the impact of incentive regulation on plant efficiency levels steiner

the economic determinants of the market reaction to proposed mandatory accounting changes in the oil and gas industry a cross sectional analysis abstract this paper examines the economic reasons for the observed negative abnormal common stock performance of firms whose reported earnings and stockholders equity were negatively affected by the proposed elimination of full cost accounting in the oil and gas industry four explanations of the market effects of this mandatory accounting change are examined 1 naive investor theory 2 modified naive investor theory 3 contracting cost theory and 4 estimation risk theory these hypotheses are developed in detail and used to generate variables for a cross sectional model which explains observed return behavior the effect of the accounting change on total stockholder s equity the existence of financial contracts denominated in terms of accounting numbers and to a lesser extent firm size are shown to be important explanatory variables the importance of these variables is consistent with both the contracting cost and estimation risk theories

does it pay to change your company s name a stock market perspective a company s name is commonly considered to be an integral part of its image just like the quality of its products or the quality of its technical services changing a company s name is a major policy decision contemplated by many firms and actually implemented by some each year this paper attempts to examine albeit indirectly whether a name change can improve the profit performance of a firm and what type of firm is more likely to succeed in doing so we use the event study methodology developed in finance to examine the above questions with respect to 58 corporations that changed their names in 1981 1985 our findings are that for most of the firms name changes are associated with improved performance and that the greatest improvement tends to occur in firms that produce industrial goods and whose performance prior to the change was relatively poor evidence that industrial good producers are also heavy users of corporate advertising lends further credence to this finding our findings do not support however the contention that the new name per se will enhance demand for the firm s products rather it seems that the act of a name change serves as a signal that other measures to improve performance such as changes in product offerings and organizational changes will be seriously and successfully undertaken the rationale behind why such a signal is sent and why it is believed is discussed

trading off volatility and distortions food policy during price spikes this paper analyses the trade off between price distortions and reduced volatility when governments intervened in agricultural and food markets during the recent food price spikes we develop a model to derive how much distortions a government would introduce when it cares about price stability in a situation with limited policy options we show that there is a trade off and identify the optimal combination of distortions and stability for given international price shocks and interest groups preferences for stability we compare these theoretical findings with empirical indicators on actual government interventions in staple food markets we find that several countries have been able to reduce short run price volatility in the domestic markets while at the same time allowing structural medium and long term price changes to pass through to producers and consumers however this is not the general case for many countries even when explicitly taking into account the trade off and the benefits of reducing volatility government policies appear far removed from the optimal trade off and there appears to be much room for policy improvement

collective agricultural production a solution for transition economies abstract the paper examines theoretical reasons and provides examples for productivity differences between agricultural service cooperatives and collectives service cooperatives can utilize economies of scale enhance competitiveness and provide technical information advantages that often outweighed problems of free riding low investment and excessive political intervention agricultural collectives while not adding substantial advantages are in addition associated with problems of supervision and effort supply tendencies to substitute casual workers or mechanization for regular members and low investment incentives while collective forms of organization in transition economies respond to high risk and market imperfections they do so inefficiently policies that create conditions for service cooperatives to compete may lead to large productivity gains

relative efficiency of r d activities a cross country study accounting for environmental factors in the dea approach abstract this paper applies the production framework associated with the data envelopment analysis dea method to evaluate the relative efficiency of r d activities across countries r d capital stocks and manpower are treated as inputs while patents and academic publications are considered as outputs a three stage approach which involves using dea for evaluating efficiency and using tobit regressions for controlling the external environment is applied to 30 countries in recent years the results show that less than one half of the countries are fully efficient in r d activities and that more than two thirds are at the stage of increasing returns to scale most countries have a more significant advantage in producing sci cum ei publications than in generating patents

determinants of technical efficiency of crop and livestock farms in poland la pologne est l un des pays d europe de l est candidats a une accession a l union europeenne qui rencontre de graves problemes de restructuration agricole l article etudie l efficacite technique en 2000 d exploitations agricoles individuelles polonaises specialisees en elevage et en grandes cultures l efficacite est estimee par la methode de frontiere stochastique et sa variabilite statistique evaluee par la construction d intervalles de confiance l article examine egalement les determinants de l efficacite les resultats obtenus pas la methode de frontiere stochastique sont compares avec ceux obtenus par la methode de data envelopment analysis dea en moyenne l efficacite technique des exploitations d elevage est superieure a celle des exploitations de grandes cultures pour les deux specialisations la relation entre l efficacite et la taille des exploitations est positive les grandes exploitations sont les plus efficaces les resultats obtenus par la methode de frontiere stochastique sont generalement confirmes par la methode dea la qualite de la terre et le degre d integration dans les marches d aval sont d importants determinants de l efficacite la faible education est un obstacle majeur a l efficacite en particulier pour les exploitations de grandes cultures de plus celles ci utilisent beaucoup les marches de facteurs terre et travail alors que les exploitations d elevage utilisent plutot leurs propres terres et le travail familial