location and the multinational enterprise john dunning s thoughts on receiving the journal of international business studies 2008 decade award a retrospective by john h dunning on location and the mne written in the form of responses to questions posed by rajneesh narula in an interview recorded at the university of reading which was shown at the jibs decade award session at the aib annual meetings in milan june 2008

some macro data on the regionalisation globalisation debate a comment on the rugman verbeke analysis this paper critiques an earlier contribution by rugman and verbeke 2004 and it does so by considering the global distribution of foreign direct investment fdi it also adds several new dimensions to the regionalisation globalisation debate noticeably by i the incorporation of inward multinational enterprise mne activity ii evaluating changes in the geography of fdi between 1990 and 2003 and iii the introduction of the concept of revealed investment comparative advantage rica of countries and regions while broadly supporting the findings of rugman and verbeke our paper shows that much of the explanation for the regional concentration of fdi and mne activity reflects that of the gross domestic product gdp and trade of the countries concerned rather than any distinctive strategy on the part of investing firms

why and how fdi stocks are a biased measure of mne affiliate activity many international business ib studies have used foreign direct investment fdi stocks to measure the aggregate value adding activity of multinational enterprises mne affiliates in host countries we argue that fdi stocks are a biased measure of that activity because the degree to which they overestimate or underestimate affiliate activity varies systematically with host country characteristics first most fdi into countries that serve as tax havens generate no actual productive activity thus fdi stocks in such countries overestimate affiliate activity second fdi stocks do not include locally raised external funds funds widely used in countries with well developed financial markets or volatile exchange rates resulting in an underestimation of affiliate activity in such countries finally the extent to which fdi translates into affiliate activity increases with affiliate labor productivity so in countries where labor is more productive fdi stocks also result in an underestimation of affiliate activity we test these hypotheses by first regressing affiliate value added and affiliate sales on fdi stocks to calculate a country specific mismatch and then by regressing this mismatch on a host country s tax haven status level of financial market development exchange rate volatility and affiliate labor productivity all hypotheses are supported implying that fdi stocks are a biased measure of mne affiliate activity and hence that the results of fdi data based studies of such activity need to be reconsidered

liabilities of regional foreignness and the use of firm level versus country level data a response to dunning et al 2007 we are pleased that dunning et al have provided macro country level data demonstrating the increased internationalization of many nations over the past decade we also appreciate their findings lending support to our perspective on the regional nature of world business our work was based solely on micro firm level data both country level data and firm level data have methodological problems which we attempt to reconcile in this commentary we also address the broader conceptual issues of how to interpret country level vs firm level data

liability of country foreignness and liability of regional foreignness their effects on geographic diversification and firm performance the costs of inter and intra regional diversification have been widely discussed in the existing international business literature but the findings are mixed explanations for the mixed findings have important managerial implications because business managers have to estimate accurately the costs of doing business within and across regions before they make their internationalization decisions to explain the existing mixed findings this study differentiates between liabilities of foreignness at the country and regional levels and explores the joint effects of liability of country foreignness lcf and liability of regional foreignness lrf on the performance of internationalizing firms using data from 167 canadian firms we find that lcf may not necessarily be negatively correlated with intra regional diversification but lrf is positively correlated with inter regional diversification lcf moderates the relationship between lrf and inter regional diversification and also mediates the relationship between intra regional diversification and firm performance lrf mediates the relationship between inter regional diversification and firm performance missing one or more of these variables may result in different cost estimates identification of the relationships between these variables helps to improve the accuracy of estimating the costs of doing business aboard

is consumption too smooth long memory and the deaton paradox under common arima representations of income the permanent income hypothesis predicts that the volatility of consumption should be larger than the volatility of unanticipated shocks to income this prediction is not supported by the data the authors examine whether this apparent excess smoothness of consumption is the result of the arima representation s implicit restrictions on low frequency dynamics by using a generalized long memory stochastic representation the authors construct confidence intervals for the long run impulse response of income in the absence of such low frequency restrictions these intervals are quite wide and include regions in which excess smoothness vanishes copyright 1991 by mit press

reassessing home regionalisation alan rugman and co authors argue that globalisation and with it global strategy is a myth this contention rests on a taxonomy of the world s largest firms based on their sales showing an overwhelming share of home regional firms we question the rationales underpinning their classification scheme when retesting the data using different schema we find that the original results are far from robust with a significant share of firms attaining bi regional or global status further longitudinal analysis shows that large firms increasingly are extending their sales beyond the home region our results defy regionalisation theory in its current form and we call for refinements through further research

costly portfolio adjustment and the short run demand for money in many empirical studies the short run demand for money includes a lagged dependent variable this is usually attributed to some cost of adjusting money balances toward their desired level this short run money demand equation is sometimes used as a structural equation in models in which market clearing is also assumed in the sense that money supply equals short run money demand in this paper a theoretical counterexample demonstrates that this use of a short run money demand equation is not generally valid this finding challenges the usual interpretation of the lagged dependent variable

a perspective on regional and global strategies of multinational enterprises multinational enterprises mnes are the key drivers of globalization as they foster increased economic interdependence among national markets the ultimate test to assess whether these mnes are global themselves is their actual penetration level of markets across the globe especially in the broad triad markets of nafta the european union and asia yet data on the activities of the 500 largest mnes reveal that very few are successful globally for 320 of the 380 firms for which geographic sales data are available an average of 80 3 of total sales are in their home region of the triad this means that many of the world s largest firms are not global but regionally based in terms of breadth and depth of market coverage globalization in terms of a balanced geographic distribution of sales across the triad thus reflects a special and rather unusual outcome of doing international business ib the regional concentration of sales has important implications for various strands of mainstream ib research as well as for the broader managerial debate on the design of optimal strategies and governance structures for mnes journal of international business studies 2004 35 3 18 doi 10 1057 palgrave jibs 8400073

the globalization of swedish mnes empirical evidence and theoretical explanations we define globalization as the geographical dispersion of multinational enterprises mnes value chain in combination with increased inter regional coordination and use detailed firm level data to show that 12 of sweden s 17 largest manufacturing companies indeed are global by developing a globalization process model we theoretically argue in contrast to much of the existing literature that globalization may evolve to a more general phenomenon the globalization process is tortuous as mnes have to develop dynamic capabilities which make them gradually more competitive and able to cope with varying institutional contexts empirical testing on globalization of mnes originating from other home countries is suggested

the permanent income hypothesis estimation and testing by instrumental variables the permanent income hypothesis with rational expectation is restated estimated and tested by an instrumental variables technique on the postwar u s aggregate time series data the hypothesis is accepted on a consumption series which includes service flows from consumer durables if the consumption series is the one in the national income and product accounts the hypothesis is decisively rejected an explanation is suggested to reconcile the conflicting test results

bond and stock returns in a simple exchange model this paper studies asset pricing in a general equilibrium representative agent exchange model the assumptions of isoelastic period utility and lognormal endowment allow the derivation of closed form solutions for asset returns without restricting the serial correlation of the log endowment risk premiums on stocks and real bonds are found to be simple functions of relative risk aversion the variance of the log endowment innovation and the weights in the moving average representation of the log endowment the paper analyzes the sign of term premiums the size of the equity premium and the effect of taste shocks on asset prices

location and the multinational enterprise a neglected factor this article first traces the changing world economic scenario for international business over the past two decades and then goes on to examine its implications for the location of foreign direct investment and multinational enterprise activity it suggests that many of the explanations of the 1970s and early 1980s need to be modified as firm specific assets have become mobile across natural boundaries a final section of the article examines the dynamic interface between the value added activities of multinational enterprises in different locations

home region focus and performance of family firms the role of family vs non family leaders do family firms benefit more from a regional or a global geographic scope we suggest it depends on their family leadership type family vs non family leadership we offer a nuanced view of agency and stewardship theories to hypothesize that family leaders are most beneficial when pursuing a regional strategy i e high home region focus hrf whereas non family leaders are more advantageous when pursing a global strategy i e low hrf utilizing a sample of 202 western european firms from 1996 to 2006 we find support for this central hypothesis thus family leadership influences the degree to which family firms benefit from hrf

stability and competitive equilibrium in trading networks we introduce a model in which agents in a network can trade via bilateral contracts we find that when continuous transfers are allowed and utilities are quasi linear the full substitutability of preferences is sufficient to guarantee the existence of stable outcomes for any underlying network structure furthermore the set of stable outcomes is essentially equivalent to the set of competitive equilibria and all stable outcomes are in the core and are efficient by contrast for any domain of preferences strictly larger than that of full substitutability the existence of stable outcomes and competitive equilibria cannot be guaranteed

measuring the degree of internationalization of a firm in spite of both positivistic and instrumental research the reliability of measuring the degree of internationalization of a firm remains speculative we collected data on nine attributes of seventy four american manufacturing mncs alpha factor and frequency analyses revealed a linear combination of five variables with a reliability coefficient of 79 as a measure of the degree of internationalization of a firm we discuss the statistical and conceptual properties of the scale and their implications for content and construct validity

expanding rtas trade flows and the multinational enterprise we test the relationship between the size of regional trade agreements rtas and openness by using a gravity equation with multilateral trade factors our sample includes 11 rtas seven with constant membership and four with expanding membership regional trade bias declines with the size of the club three of the four expanding rtas have already surpassed their optimal size we also explore the link between openness of the rta and the geographic strategy of the multinational enterprise we find strong evidence in favor of the regionalization strategy which has been enhanced by the presence of rtas

incomplete intertemporal consumption smoothing and incomplete risk sharing this paper develops a method to estimate jointly the degree of intertemporal consumption smoothing and the degree of inter regional risk sharing the empirical results for the u s states and oecd and eu countries suggest that i regardless of the assumption on the degree of intertemporal consumption smoothing the degree of risk sharing within a country is larger than across countries ii the degree of intertemporal consumption smoothing within a country is also larger than across countries and iii the difference between the degree of intertemporal consumption smoothing within u s states and across oecd and eu countries is as large as the difference between the degree of risk sharing contrary to the findings of some past studies

trends random walks and tests of the permanent income hypothesis abstract recent studies find that consumption is excessively sensitive to income these studies assume that income is stationary around a deterministic trend the data however do not reject the hypothesis that disposable personal income is a random walk with drift if income is indeed a random walk then the standard testing procedure is greatly biased toward finding excess sensitivity moreover if income follows either a more general non stationary process or a borderline stationary process this procedure is also seriously biased

permanent income in general equilibrium abstract this paper reviews recent tests of the permanent income hypothesis this literature suggests that consumption is too sensitive to current income relative to the predictions of the usual partial equilibrium model it is then argued that in general equilibrium attempts to move along a consumption possibilities frontier exhibiting diminishing returns would naturally give rise to endogenous changes in interest rates creating a link between consumption and current income a fully specified general equilibrium example is introduced which does indeed exhibit the same excess sensitivity reported in the literature for precisely this reason

regional and global strategies of mnes revisiting rugman verbeke 2004 we describe the extent to which the world s largest companies in terms of revenues achieve sales around the globe and have been able to penetrate markets outside of their home region we try to answer the following question has there been a recent increase in the world s largest firms achieving a global sales orientation meaning a balanced global distribution of sales rugman verbeke 2004 found that few of the 2002 fortune global 500 fortune magazine 2002 firms accounting for over 90 of the world s stock of fdi actually had a global sales orientation a majority of multinational enterprises mnes were home region oriented suggesting that much work on corporate globalization was normative rather than accurately describing reality we present the equivalent data for the 2017 fortune global 500 fortune magazine 2017 list our data confirm that many large firms are still home region oriented but to a lesser extent than before with 36 mnes up from only nine in the 2002 list now having widely distributed sales across the world s core economic regions the question arises whether this relative increase in the number of mnes with a global sales orientation holds any normative value for the firms that presently do not have such a sales distribution

the sensitivity of consumption to transitory income estimates from panel data on households we investigate the stochastic relation between income and consumption specifically consumption of food within a panel of about 2 000 households our major findings are 1 consumption responds much more strongly to permanent than to transitory movements of income 2 the response to transitory income is nonetheless clearly positive 3 a simple test independent of our model of consumption rejects a central implication of the pure life cycle permanent income hypothesis the observed covariation of income and consumption is compatible with pure life cycle permanent income behavior on the part of80 percent of families and simple proportionality of consumption and income among the remaining 20 percent as a general matter our findings support the view that families respond differently to different sources of income variations in particular temporary income tax policies have smaller effects on consumption than do other more permanent changes in income of the same magnitude this abstract was borrowed from another version of this item

a strategic model of social and economic networks we study the stability and efficiency of social and economic networks when self interested individuals can form or sever links first for two stylized models we characterize the stable and efficient networks there does not always exist a stable network that is efficient next we show that this tension persists generally to assure that there exists a stable network that is efficient one is forced to allocate resources to nodes that are not responsible for any of the production we characterize one such allocation rule the equal split rule and another rule that arises naturally from bargaining of the players

globalization and location choice an analysis of us multinational firms in 1980 and 2000 in this paper we examine foreign location choices of the top 100 us multinational corporations mncs in 1980 and 2000 we first ask whether there has been a change in mnc foreign location choice in this two decade period second we explore the underlying reasons of location change by focusing on country level factors accounting for firm industry and regional level explanations our findings suggest first that the extent of mncs activities around the globe is more extensive than assumed by regionalists arguments and well beyond ohmae s triad but still less widespread than claimed by the globalists the two main traditions within the globalization regionalization debate second we uncover an interesting de location pattern in this period third we develop an integrative framework where both economic and institutional cultural arguments are shown to influence mncs foreign location choice in different ways we conclude with a discussion of our findings and provide suggestions for future research

the regional dimension of mnes foreign subsidiary localization this paper examines the regional effect of mnes foreign subsidiary localization we hypothesize that the number of subsequent foreign subsidiaries in a country is in part determined by a firm s prior foreign subsidiary activity at the regional level we test our hypotheses using data on 1076 japanese mnes that created 3466 foreign subsidiaries 1837 wholly owned fdis and 1629 joint ventures over the period 1996 2001 we use a multilevel negative binomial approach with three levels of analysis localization decisions in a country 49 countries in a region six regions and at the headquarters level in this way we test the regional effects controlling for country and corporate dimensions we also run separate models to differentiate wholly owned and joint venture localization decisions our results strongly support the semi globalization perspective in that the regional level effects are significant and different from the country level effects for all foreign subsidiaries for wholly owned subsidiaries and for jointly owned subsidiaries japanese mnes adopt a regional perspective that complements their decisions at the country and firm levels they seek regional agglomeration benefits and make arbitrage decisions between countries in the same region

systemic risk in financial systems we consider default by firms that are part of a single clearing mechanism the obligations of all firms within the system are determined simultaneously in a fashion consistent with the priority of debt claims and the limited liability of equity we first show via a fixed point argument that there always exists a clearing payment vector that clears the obligations of the members of the clearing system under mild regularity conditions this clearing vector is unique next we develop an algorithm that both clears the financial system in a computationally efficient fashion and provides information on the systemic risk faced by the individual system firms finally we produce qualitative comparative statics for financial systems these comparative statics imply that in contrast to single firm results even unsystematic nondissipative shocks to the system will lower the total value of the system and may lower the value of the equity of some of the individual system firms

incentivizing resilience in financial networks when banks extend loans to each other they generate a negative externality in the form of systemic risk they create a network of interbank exposures by which they expose other banks to potential insolvency cascades in this paper we show how a regulator can use information about the financial network to devise a transaction specific tax based on a network centrality measure that captures systemic importance since different transactions have different impact on creating systemic risk they are taxed differently we call this tax a systemic risk tax srt we use an equilibrium concept inspired by the matching markets literature to show analytically that this srt induces a unique equilibrium matching of lenders and borrowers that is systemic risk efficient i e it minimizes systemic risk given a certain transaction volume on the other hand we show that without this srt multiple equilibrium matchings exist which are generally inefficient this allows the regulator to effectively stimulate a rewiring of the equilibrium interbank network so as to make it more resilient to insolvency cascades without sacrificing transaction volume moreover we show that a standard financial transaction tax e g a tobin like tax has no impact on reshaping the equilibrium financial network because it taxes all transactions indiscriminately a tobin like tax is indeed shown to have a limited effect on reducing systemic risk while it decreases transaction volume

consumption and aggregate constraints evidence from u s states and canadian provinces state level consumption exhibits excess sensitivity to lagged income to the same extent as u s aggregate data but state specific idiosyncratic consumption exhibits substantially less sensitivity to lagged state specific income a result that also holds for canadian provinces we propose the following interpretation borrowing and lending in response to changes in consumer demand are easier for individual u s states than for the united states as a whole and therefore the measured deviation from the benchmark permanent income hypothesis model is smaller however lagged state specific variables help predict state specific consumption suggesting that the pih model still requires qualification

location and the multinational enterprise in the early development of the international business field the focus of attention moved from the country level to the firm level and interest in location issues declined more recently firm based research has itself become increasingly concerned with the study of firm location interactions when examining two way knowledge flows or spillovers between multinational enterprises mnes and other actors in specific locations the diversity or heterogeneity of firms matters as does the diversity of locational environments the localization of knowledge sources depends on mne group level strategies for growth and organizational decentralization on subsidiary level evolution towards local competence creating efforts and on the development of suitable business networks within locations mnes now have a greater potential to benefit from a synergistic locational portfolio of complementary sources of knowledge the locational composition of the international network for knowledge sourcing of a given mne depends upon the extent of institutional compatibility between the locations in which the mne is active this compatibility between locations in turn affects the capacity of the mne to become an insider in local business systems and to influence the local institutional environment

alliances in international governmental organizations regional trade agreement formation and multinational enterprise regionalization strategy abstract drawing from political science alliance theories we explain why countries are likely to enter regional trade agreements we argue that the probability that this will happen is higher if the countries are allies in the same international governmental organizations igos as such alliances can help build trust and reduce political risk our results show that igo scope and also partner reliability and influence in the igo network play important roles our findings provide guidance to multinational enterprises in formulating regionalization strategies

the deaton paradox in a long memory context with structural breaks this article contributes to the permanent income hypothesis pih and excess consumption smoothness debate in the context of fractional integration we show that the excess consumption smoothness result is a consequence of the quarterly data frequency commonly employed in the empirical work in fact the i 1 hypothesis is rejected for the income process with monthly data in favour of a fractional integration order lower than 1 moreover if a structural break is taken into account we observe a substantial reduction in the degree of consumption smoothness especially after the break found in 1975

real business cycles in this paper we demonstrate how certain very ordinary economic principles lead maximizing individuals to choose consumption production plans that display many of the characteristics commonly associated with business cycles our explanation is entirely consistent with i rational expectations ii complete current information iii stable preferences iv no technological change v no long lived commodities vi no frictions or adjustment costs vii no government viii no money and ix no serial dependence in the stochastic elements of the environment we also provide a completely worked out example of the type of artificial economy we have in mind the time series properties of the example exhibit some major features of observed business cycles although this type of model may not be capable of explaining all of the regularities in actual business cycles we believe that it provides a useful well defined benchmark for assessing the relative importance of factors e g monetary disturbances

the formation of financial networks modern banking systems are highly interconnected despite various benefits linkages between banks carry the risk of contagion in this article i investigate whether banks can commit ex ante to mutually insure each other when there is contagion risk in the financial system i model banks decisions to share this risk through bilateral agreements a financial network that allows losses to be shared among various counterparties arises endogenously i characterize the probability of systemic risk defined as the event that contagion occurs conditional on one bank failing in equilibrium interbank networks i show that there exist equilibria in which contagion does not occur

tax rate uncertainty and the sensitivity of consumption to income in an overlapping generations model abstract a well documented feature of u s data is that the aggregate consumption is a smoother process than income an overlapping generations model with a time nonseparable utility function is developed to characterize the effect of income tax uncertainty on the degree of consumption smoothness the model predicts that an increased tax uncertainty combined with tax financed production externality makes the aggregate consumption smoother for a plausible range of intertemporal substitution in consumption a calibration experiment indicates that the observed long term smoothness of aggregate consumption is consistent with the model s predicted consumption process