consistent voting rules for competitive local public goods economies abstract we establish the existence of a voting market equilibrium for a large class of local public goods economies where faced with prices of the private goods and with the public goods produced by the local governments each firm maximizes its profits and each individual maximizes his utility subject to his budget constraint in addition each local government taking the prices of private goods as given i has a balanced budget and ii chooses its production of public goods in such a way that no group that contains more than q q 1 of its residents where q denotes the number of public goods produced will unanimously prefer another affordable vector of public goods

collateral heterogeneity in risk attitude and the credit market equilibrium abstract this paper examines the argument that the availability of collateral rules out credit rationing a model of the credit market with ex ante asymmetric information and heterogeneous entrepreneurs attitudes toward risk is set up it is shown that due to the interplay between project choice and entrepreneurs preferences using collateral as a signal to screen safer projects may prove impossible instead a partially separating two contract equilibrium with rationing at one contract emerges contrary to previous theoretical research and consistently with conventional wisdom and systematic evidence the use of collateral is never negatively correlated with project risk

illusion of expertise in portfolio decisions an experimental approach this paper investigates egocentric biases in financial decisions subjects first design a portfolio whereby each combination of assets yields the same expected return and variance of returns they are then confronted with two alternative portfolios the average portfolio and the portfolio of one s selected expert illusion of expertise prevails if one nevertheless prefers the own portfolio using the random price mechanism reveals that most subjects prefer their own portfolio to the average or the expert s portfolio illusion of expertise is shown to be stable individually over alternatives and for both elicitation methods willingness to pay and to accept

skill diversity of cities and entrepreneurship this paper analyses the effect of city skill diversity on local entrepreneurship it proposes a mechanism based framework to study the precise channels through which skill diversity contributes to

sorting equilibrium in a multi jurisdiction model abstract this paper analyzes a general model of an economy with heterogeneous individuals choosing among two jurisdictions such as towns or political parties each jurisdiction is described by its constitution where a constitution is defined as a mapping from all possible population partitions into the possibly multidimensional policy space this study is the first to establish sufficient conditions for existence of sorting equilibria in a two jurisdiction model for a policy space of an arbitrary dimension

compact cities and economic productivity in mexico this paper examines the contingent nature of agglomeration economies existing empirical evidence that compact cities are more productive is mostly from countries and regions with highly productive

discussion of a laboratory investigation of the moral hazard problem in an agency relationship the first question concerned the assumption of risk neutrality of both the principals and agents in the models specifically given this assumption it was not clear what element s in the modeling or experimental design precluded the principal s from simply selling or renting the firm to the agent s more important the risk neutrality assumption has a direct effect on the predictions of the models the experimental results and their interpretation finally it was suggested that new experimental techniques such as those developed by berg et al forthcoming might be used to induce specific risk preferences given a particular model to be tested and its attendant experimental design although these techniques have not been fully tested using them may reduce the need to make assumptions about subjects risk preferences and thereby overcome the kinds of questions raised on this issue a second issue dealt with why the experimental study of the moral hazard problem in the principal agent relationship was carried out in a market setting with several principals and agents rather than following

geography industrial organization and agglomeration this paper makes two contributions to the empirical literature on agglomeration economies first the paper uses a unique and rich database in conjunction with mapping software to measure the geographic extent of agglomerative externalities previous papers have been forced to assume that agglomeration economies are club goods that operate at a metropolitan scale second the paper tests for the existence of organizational agglomeration economies of the kind studied qualitatively by saxenian 1994 this is a potentially important source of increasing returns that previous empirical work has not considered results indicate that localization economies attenuate rapidly and that industrial organization affects the benefits of agglomeration

urban development in the united states 1690 1990 the united states transformed itself from a rural to an urban society over the last three cen turies after a century of unremarkable growth the pace of urbanization was historically un precedented between the nineteenth and the early twentieth centuries in the twentieth century the urban population continued to increase but in a much more dispersed manner as the sub urban population increased throughout these developments cities also exhibited considerable variation in their population sizes this paper finds that the pace and pattern of u s urban development are explained by changes in regional comparative advantage and in economies in transportation and local public goods which in turn were determined by the changes in the economic structures of cities this paper also finds that cities varied considerably in size because the larger cities reduced market transaction costs associated with coordinating greater geograph ic division of labor

economic growth in a cross section of cities abstract we examine the relationship between urban characteristics in 1960 and urban growth between 1960 and 1990 income and population growth move together and both types of growth are 1 positively related to initial schooling 2 negatively related to initial unemployment and 3 negatively related to the initial share of employment in manufacturing racial composition and segregation are uncorrelated with urban growth across all cities but in cities with large nonwhite communities segregation is positively correlated with population growth government expenditures except for sanitation are uncorrelated with growth government debt is positively correlated with later growth

search sorting and urban agglomeration studies have suggested that urban agglomeration enhances productivity by facilitating the firm worker matching process this article develops a model that formalizes this notion and demonstrates that when firm capital and worker skill are complementary in production urban agglomeration will tend to generate more efficient yet segregated matches as a result not only will local market size be positively associated with average productivity it will also generate greater between skill group wage inequality and a higher expected return to skill acquisition recent data from the counties and metropolitan areas of the united states is consistent with each of these implications

forward induction in the battle of the sexes games this paper provides experimental evidence on forward induction as a refinement criterion in the basic extensive form one of the two players chooses to play a battle of the sexes game or to receive a certain payoff according to forward induction choosing to play the game is a signal about intended action though the presence of the outside option changes play we find only limited support for the forward induction hypothesis the effects of the outside option also reflect the creation of a focal point through the asymmetry created by offering the outside option to one of the two players jel c72

valuing environmental commodities some recent experiments a general model of consumer behavior is proposed to assess six recent experiments that have attempted to reveal preferences for environmental goals each experiment used a mix of both the techniques and the theory of demand for non market commodities and each was designed to estimate a non market attitude associated with the environment and to analyze potential biases in the techniques the six cases show some consistency in results the linkage within the contingent market between the environmental attribute institutional setting and the bidding instrument must be realistic and accepted by the respondent to avoid biased results possibly the most important result is the replication of results using a traditional property value study and a contingent bidding approach all evidence obtained to date suggests that hedonic studies of property values or wages travel costs and survey techniques all yield values well one order of magnitude in accuracy 41 references 2 tables

fdi and industrial restructuring in post wto greater prd implications on regional growth in china this paper aims at studying the investment flows in the greater pearl river delta region hong kong prd in china and its impacts on industrial restructuring at the firm level using a business survey with the hong kong prd entity acted as a core periphery economy the critical effects of gravity distance on transaction costs in the determination of investment flows are examined statistically by a gravity model by incorporating a hypothetical infrastructural construction project survey findings show that the evolution of the cross border operations at the main core has directed the outward fdi flows and the subsequent industrial structural adjustments of the core periphery economy this paper has presented a typical illustrative case for further studies of investment flows and its impacts upon industrial adjustments and performance in other regions in china especially after the wto accession its implication on regional economic growth is also discussed

productivity gains from geographic concentration of human capital evidence from the cities abstract based on recent theoretical developments the argument is made that the average level of human capital is a local public good cities with higher average levels of human capital should therefore have higher wages and higher land rents after conditioning on the characteristics of individual workers and dwellings this prediction is supported by data for standard metropolitan statistical areas smsas in the united states where the smsa average levels of formal education and work experience are used as proxies for the average level of human capital the alternative explanations of omitted smsa variables and self selection are evaluated an estimate of the effect of an additional year of average education on total factor productivity is computed

dynamic legislative policy making abstract we prove existence of stationary markov perfect equilibria in an infinite horizon model of legislative policy making in which the policy outcome in one period determines the status quo for the next we allow for a multidimensional policy space and arbitrary smooth stage utilities and we assume preferences and the status quo are subject to arbitrarily small shocks we prove that equilibrium continuation values are differentiable and that proposal strategies are continuous almost everywhere we establish upper hemicontinuity of the equilibrium correspondence and we provide weak conditions under which each equilibrium of our model determines an aperiodic transition probability over policies we establish a convergence theorem giving conditions under which the invariant distributions generated by stationary equilibria must be close to the core in a canonical spatial model finally we extend the analysis to sequential move stochastic games and to a version of the model in which the proposer and voting rule are determined by play of a finite perfect information game

retail agglomeration and competition externalities evidence from openings and closings of multiline department stores in the u s from the perspective of an existing retailer the optimal size of a cluster of retail activity represents a trade off between the marginal increases in consumer attraction from another store agains

the dynamics of agglomeration externalities along the life cycle of industries neffke f henning m boschma r lundquist k j and olander l o the dynamics of agglomeration externalities along the life cycle of industries regional studies this paper investigates the changing roles of agglomeration externalities along the industry life cycle it is argued that industries have different agglomeration needs in different stages of their life cycles because their mode of competition innovation intensity and learning opportunities change over time for twelve swedish manufacturing industries it is determined for each year between 1974 and 2004 whether the industry is in a young intermediate or mature stage whereas marshall arrow romer mar externalities steadily increase with the maturity of industries the effects of local diversity jacobs externalities are positive for young industries but decline and even become negative for more mature industries neffke f henning m boschma r lundquist k j et olander l o la dynamique des effets externes d agglomeration tout

estimating dynamic localization economies the inadvertent success of the specialization index and the location quotient estimating dynamic localization economies the inadvertent success of the specialization index and the location quotient regional studies after addressing definitional issues on the concepts of c

commodity variety and seaport performance ducruet c koster h r a and van der beek d j commodity variety and seaport performance regional studies seaports are key locations within value chains and production networks port policies of national and local governments seek higher rents through strategies of specialization or diversification elaborating on longstanding research about urban and regional development this paper proposes an empirical investigation of the interplay between traffic variety and port performance the analysis of traffic data per commodity for 330 european ports highlights the influence of multiple factors such as location function and local context together with the specificity of some commodities regarding port evolution the demonstrated importance of territorial factors provides a good complement to the existing literature mostly focused on global networks and economic players ducruet c koster h r a et van der beek d j l eventail des produits et la performance des ports maritimes regional studies le

measuring and explaining the impact of productive efficiency on economic development a limitation of most empirical cross country studies that focus on determinants of gross domestic product gdp is that they fail to distinguish explicitly between inputs used in production and conditions that facilitate production for example physical capital human capital and labor are production inputs whereas the quality of institutions macroeconomic stability and market quality are conditions that facilitate production this article takes this distinction seriously and uses a stochastic frontier approach to study factors affecting economic performance a panel data set of 71 countries for the 1980 98 periods is used to estimate a production frontier with physical capital human capital and labor as inputs the article also analyzes what drives productive efficiency using the institutional framework macroeconomic stability market quality and urbanization as possible explanatory factors urbanization turns out to be an important determinant with the rule of law inflation rate and market quality also affecting productive efficiency

eliciting subjective probabilities with binary lotteries abstract we evaluate a binary lottery procedure for inducing risk neutral behavior in a subjective belief elicitation task prior research has shown this procedure to robustly induce risk neutrality when subjects are given a single risk task defined over objective probabilities drawing a sample from the same subject population we find evidence that the binary lottery procedure also induces linear utility in a subjective probability elicitation task using the quadratic scoring rule we also show that the binary lottery procedure can induce direct revelation of subjective probabilities in subjects with popular non expected utility preference representations that satisfy weak conditions

cities and cultures we investigate whether cultural diversity across us cities measured as the variety of native languages spoken by city residents is associated with any effect on their productivity diversity of cultures may imply diversity of production skills of abilities and of occupations that enhances the productive performance of a city on the other hand transaction costs and frictions across groups may hurt productivity similarly diversity in available goods and services can increase utility but distaste for or hostility to different cultural groups may decrease it using census data from 1970 to 1990 we find that wages and employment density of us born workers were systematically higher ceteris paribus in cities with richer linguistic diversity these positive correlations reveal a net positive effect of diversity on productivity that survives robustness checks and instrumental variable estimation this effect is found to be stronger for highly educated workers and for white workers we also show that better assimilated non native speakers i e those who speak english well and have been in the us for more than five years are most beneficial to the productivity of us born workers

overconfidence in forecasts of own performance an experimental study systematic overconfidence by individuals regarding their abilities and prospects could have important economic consequences but overconfidence has received little direct testing within economics we use experiments to test for overconfidence in people s forecasts of their absolute or relative performance in two unfamiliar tasks given their chosen effort participants have incentives to forecast accurately with opportunities for feedback learning and revision forecasts are evaluated at aggregate and individual levels we find zero mean error or underconfidence far more prevalent than overconfidence underconfidence is greatest in forecasts of absolute rather than relative performance and among those using greater effort quantity or quality

experimental economics accounting and society in memory of john dickhaut abstract this volume consists of papers presented at a conference in memory of john dickhaut the conference sponsored by the economic science institute at chapman university focused on four areas of john s research interests during his career accounting and society methodology in experimental economics neural economics and trust and reciprocity all of the papers make novel interesting contributions to the study of human behavior in economic institutions and should interest readers in a range of fields including accounting anthropology economics finance neurology and psychology

the missing piece in policy analysis social security reform this lecture discusses the economic losses that result from an unfunded social security retirement system and the potential gain from shifting to a funded system the social security payroll tax distorts labor supply and the form in which compensation is paid although each individual s benefits are linked to that individual s previous payroll tax payments the low equilibrium rate of return inherent in an unfunded system implies a net payroll tax that causes distortions the resulting deadweight loss is 1 of each year s gdp in perpetuity an amount equal to 20 of payroll tax revenue and a 50 increase in deadweight loss of the personal income tax also there is the loss of investment income resulting from forcing employees to accept the low implicit return of an unfunded program rather than the much higher return paid on private saving or in a funded social security program the present value of the annual losses from using an unfunded system exceeds the benefit to those who received windfall transfers when the program began and when it expanded shifting to a funded program cannot reverse the crowding out of capital that has already occurred recognizing the existing unfunded obligation only makes that piece of the national debt explicit but shifting to a funded program limits crowding out of capital formation to the amount that already occurred future increases in annual saving that result from economic growth are able to earn the higher rate of return on real capital the present value of these gains is equivalent to a perpetuity of more than 2 of gdp a year the combi nation of improved labor market incentives and higher real return on saving has a net present value gain of more than 15 trillion an amount equivalent to three percent of each future year s gdp forever this abstract was borrowed from another version of this item

regional productivity variation and the impact of public capital stock an analysis with spatial interaction with reference to spain in this article we examine whether variations in the level of public capital across spain s provinces affected productivity levels over the period 1996 to 2005 the analysis is motivated by contemporary urban economics theory involving a production function for the competitive sector of the economy industry which includes the level of composite services derived from service firms under monopolistic competition the outcome is potentially increasing returns to scale resulting from pecuniary externalities deriving from internal increasing returns in the monopolistic competition sector we extend the production function by also making log labour efficiency a function of log total public capital stock and log human capital stock leading to a simple and empirically tractable reduced form linking productivity level to density of employment human capital and public capital stock the model is further extended to include technological externalities or spillovers across provinces using panel data

voting with ballots and feet existence of equilibrium in a local public good economy abstract this paper proves a general existence theorem for equilibrium in a local public good economy with free mobility by extending greenberg and shitovitz s j econ theory46 1988 223 236 approach each jurisdiction s collective choice rule is the d majority voting rule proposed by greenberg econometrica47 1979 627 636 spillover effects of local public goods externalities due to the population distribution and snob effects are all allowed we need transitivity and completeness of preferences these assumptions are not used by greenberg and shitovitz because they do not permit consumers to move free mobility of consumers causes disconnections in consumption sets a problem addressed here journal of economic literatureclassification numbers c62 d72 h72 r13

agglomeration and trade some additional perspectives the form of agglomeration economies those internal to the firm as well as those external to it is reviewed consideration is next given to recent changes in the regional state economies of the us midwest as part of an effort to explore the evolving nature of agglomeration economies particular attention is paid to the changing relationship between the establishment and the firm and to radical developments that have affected the transportation sector the impact of these changes on the nature of interstate trade and on the structure of the metropolitan economy are then examined there follows a discussion of how agglomeration economies are being supplemented and perhaps replaced by less spatially constrained advantages finally certain of the more important implications of these various trends are discussed

did regional economic diversity influence the effects of the great recession using data for u s counties from 2005 to 2012 we test whether higher levels of economic diversity mediated the effects of the great recession via four measures of stability spatial spillover effects are modeled by the use of the spatial durbin estimator with heteroscedastic errors the data generally support the central hypothesis that higher levels of diversity within a county are associated with enhanced employment stability across all counties as well as subsets of metro and nonmetro counties results for wage stability however appear to contradict our other findings we suggest that underlying labor elasticities can bridge these apparent contradictory results jel r11 r12 o47

optimum product variety in urban areas abstract a monopolistically competitive industry in which firms produce differentiated products subject to increasing returns to scale technology is superimposed on a monocentric residential land use model the main result is the demonstration that given an isoelastic demand structure the market equilibrium will correspond to a first best optimum if firms own shares in land rents and population is set optimally this result contrasts with existing literature on monopolistic competition and product diversity in which it is contended that the market equilibrium is a second best optimum if firms do not own shares in land rents a corrective subsidy paid to firms and financed out of a tax on differential land rents will result in replication of the planning solution

purification of bayes nash equilibrium with correlated types and interdependent payoffs abstract we establish purification results for bayes nash equilibrium in a large class of bayesian games with finite sets of pure actions we allow for correlated types and interdependent payoffs and for type dependent feasible action sets the latter feature allows us to prove existence and purification results for pure bayes nash equilibria in undominated strategies we give applications to auctions global games and voting to illustrate the usefulness of our results

carrot or stick contract frame and use of decision influencing information in a principal agent setting a fundamental management accounting issue is how to incorporate decision influencing information e g an ex post state signal into employment contracts our experiment examines the effects of contract framing on such information use in a principal agent setting in each of 40 rounds participants as employer and worker negotiate a contract that specifies pay depending on an ex post state signal state signal pay is framed as either a bonus or a penalty over two groups the results show that the bonus frame facilitates information use because of worker loss aversion although both groups initially underweigh the state signal the bonus group quickly converges toward the optimal weight whereas the penalty group persistently underweighs the state signal

agglomeration opportunism and the organization of production abstract recent economic analysis of outsourcing has emphasized its international dimension in contrast this paper focuses on local outsourcing the paper specifies and solves a model where the organization of production vertically integrated or not and the location of production agglomerated or not are jointly determined the paper shows that agglomeration reduces opportunism a thick market effect and so serves as a substitute for integration this force will lead firms to agglomerate the paper also shows that the normative properties of equilibrium with local outsourcing are not as clear cut as for international outsourcing since local agglomeration is achieved at the cost of congestion local markets may be too thick which would not be the case for an increase in the thickness of a world market finally the many changes in economic and social circumstance that have been labeled globalization do not impact only vertically integrated firms they also impact cities and industry clusters to the extent that agglomeration is a substitute for vertical integration

the nature of credit market failure abstract hidden knowledge gives rise to over lending if as evidence suggests the returns distributions preferred by borrowers are also favoured by lenders even the stiglitz weiss model yields over lending when entrepreneurs are sufficiently risk averse

inducing risk neutral preferences with binary lotteries a reconsideration abstract we evaluate the binary lottery procedure for inducing risk neutral behavior we strip the experimental implementation down to bare bones taking care to avoid any potentially confounding assumptions about behavior having to be made in particular our evaluation does not rely on the assumed validity of any strategic equilibrium behavior or even the customary independence axiom we show that subjects sampled from our population are generally risk averse when lotteries are defined over monetary outcomes and that the binary lottery procedure does indeed induce a statistically significant shift toward risk neutrality this striking result generalizes to the case in which subjects make several lottery choices and one is selected for payment

a comparison of models describing the impact of moral decision making on investment decisions as moral decision making in financial markets incorporates moral considerations into investment decisions some rational decision theorists argue that moral considerations would introduce inefficiency to investment decisions however market demand for socially responsible investment is increasing suggesting that investment decisions are influenced by both financial and moral considerations several models can be applied to explain moral behavior we test the suitability of a multiple attribute utility theory maut b theory of planned behavior and c issue contingent model of ethical decision making in organizations in an experimental setting 141 participants traded company shares in a computerized asset market over 12 periods companies varied in morality i e treatment of employees and in profitability i e expected dividends per share participants bids and asks for shares were recorded results indicate that moral considerations influence investment decisions controlling for profit differences between the three models are discussed

experimental evidence on the evolution of the meaning of messages in sender receiver games an experiment this paper experimentally investigates the evolution of message meanings when talk is cheap we consider communication between a privately informed sender and a receiver when the sender s message does not affect payoffs directly sender receiver games introduced by jerry green and nancy stokey 1980 and vincent p crawford and joel sobel 1982 provide the simplest stylized environment in which communication is essential communication is the only way to link the receiver s action to the sender s private information in addition sender receiver games have been widely used to study communication in accounting economics finance and political science intuition strongly suggests that effective communication will evolve when the players interests are closely aligned however there is always a nash equilibrium in which the sender randomizes uniformly across all messages such babbling equilibria are proper roger b myerson 1978 blume 1994 and even strategic stability elon kohlberg and jeanfrancois mertens 1986 does not rule out uninformative equilibria in general in response a literature developed that formulates equilibrium selection criteria by appealing to the existence of a commonly understood language matthew rabin 1990 steven a matthews et al 1991 joseph farrell 1993 that can be used to formulate credible deviations from equilibrium unfortunately the selection criteria from this literature are frequently strong enough to remove all equilibria from consideration in addition these arguments are vulnerable to stiglitz s observation in koo cho and david m kreps 1987 that successful deviations from equilibrium may induce further deviations which in turn may undermine the credibility of the original deviations both problems can be avoided by a dynamic approach as in rabin and sobel 1996 we also adopt a dynamic perspective but do not require messages to have a priori meanings instead distinct meanings may emerge endogenously this is important for communication across cultures and for language change 2 we are guided by recent results of blume department of economics university of iowa iowa city ia 52242 dejong department of accounting university of iowa iowa city ia 52242 kim department of economics sung kyun kwan university seoul 110 745 korea sprinkle department of accounting university of wisconsin madison wi 53706 we thank joyce berg vince crawford robert forsythe joel horowitz deirdre mccloskey forrest nelson larry samuelson gene savin joel sobel and especially two anonymous referees for their advice and suggestions we benefitted from comments and discussions resulting from presentations at the 1994 summer meetings of the econometric society the 1996 social learning workshop at suny stony brook the io me gt workshop at the university of iowa the university of bonn the university of bielefeld the center for economic research at tilburg university ohio state university seoul national university and texas a m university we are grateful for financial support from the college of business administration at the university of iowa the ira b mcgladrey institute and the national science foundation

economic growth size of the agricultural sector and urbanization in africa this paper uses variations in international commodity prices and rainfall to construct instrumental variables estimates of the within country effect that changes in the size of the agricultural sector and gdp per capita growth have on the urbanization rate for a panel of 41 african countries during the period 1960 2007 the paper s three main findings are that i decreases in the share of agricultural value added lead to a significant increase in the urbanization rate ii conditional on changes in the share of agricultural value added gdp per capita growth does not significantly affect the urbanization rate iii increases in the urbanization rate had a significant negative average effect on gdp per capita growth

technological specialization and variety in urban invention o huallachain b and lee d s technological specialization and variety in urban invention regional studies urban economic theory distinguishes between knowledge spillovers that occur within specializations and those that cross technologies empirical analysis has sought to gauge their relative strength but the results are inconclusive metropolitan specialization and variety at different aggregation levels of a us patent classification system are assessed using theil s relative entropy index the results show that specialization and variety are not competing features of urban technological structure cities can have both the invention rate positively associates with specialization in diverse technologies the cross fertilization of ideas among skilled professionals with different expertise and the interaction between specialists of narrow fields of knowledge are both important in technological advance the most inventive cities have deep specializations in different technologies the results also sho

incentives and compensation schemes an experimental study when the performances of agents are correlated because of a common random component contracts that use information on both the relative and absolute performances of agents theoretically outperform rank order tournaments and piece rate schemes although the theoretical advantage of such contracts has long been noticed in the literature the empirical papers that study this question have produced mixed results using a controlled laboratory experiment we shed light on the performance of these contracts we focus on the simplest version of such a contract the relative piece rate rpr and compare its performance with that of the tournament and piece rate schemes we find that when the rprs are imposed on the agents they exert higher effort levels and give the principal weakly higher profits than the tournament and piece rate contracts second we find that agents have little aversion to self select into the rpr scheme when other alternatives are available in our paper we fix the environment agents face and vary only their wage scheme our results support the theoretical predictions and suggest that principals can benefit from using rpr schemes in places where the piece rate and tournament contracts would otherwise be used

credit market efficiency and tax policy in the presence of screening costs after establishing the existence of capital market equilibrium in the presence of asymmetric information and screening costs this paper examines tax policies designed to correct the attendant externalities when projects differ in expected returns it is shown to be ambiguous whether costly private screening weakens or strengthens the case for an interest income tax however when projects differ only in riskiness as in the model of stiglitz and weiss screening opportunities cause the efficiency case for tax intervention to disappear

behavioral and welfare effects of tournaments and fixed performance contracts some experimental evidence using experimental economics we compare the efficiency and welfare effects of tournaments and fixed performance contracts our subjects agents were generally better off under fixed performance contracts but the advantage of the fixed performance contract disappears if the relative magnitude of the standard deviation of the common shock exceeds a critical value efficiency wise agents tend to exert higher effort under fixed performance contracts on average additionally an increase in the common shock standard deviation appeared to be associated with lower effort under tournaments our results shed light on the potential impact of legislative proposals to ban tournament contracts

the distinctive city divergent patterns in growth hierarchy and specialisation with accelerated world market integration cities compete with each other cities as sites of production and consumption targeting firms and households as semi autonomous location decision makers distinction may be sought in productive structure consumption and identity in this paper contradictory trends towards homogenisation and distinctiveness are theorised studying the occupational structure of 50 large us metropolitan areas it is found that distinctiveness has been increasing in economic base occupations though some heavily blue collar cities edge is eroding employment in consumption activities has been growing faster than in the economic base and cities are becoming more alike in consumption structure it is concluded that the search for niches in exporting sectors and related occupational mix is key to urban resurgence

taxes and agglomeration economies how are they related to nonprofit firm location author affiliation teresa d harrison department of economics drexel university 3141 chestnut street philadelphia pa 19104 usa tharrison drexel edu1 introductionnonprofits are an ever increasing component of the u s economy from 1997 2001 employment growth in the nonprofit sector averaged 2 5 outpacing both the business 1 8 and the government sectors 1 6 moore 2004 much of this growth stems from new nonprofits yet few studies have investigated possible determinants of nonprofit entry and location decisions most of these studies focus on demand side factors wolch and geiger 1983 downes and greenstein 1996 bielefeld murdoch and waddell 1997 for example downes and greenstein 1996 focus on demographic and religious characteristics of the surrounding community and its relation to private school location in this paper i use firm level data and focus on potentially important supply side variables tax rates and agglomeration economies most nonprofits are exempt from corporate sales and property taxes hansmann 1987 and gulley and santerre 1993 find evidence that higher corporate property and sales taxes are positively related to nonprofit market share however market share measures obfuscate the dynamics of the industry in terms of entry and exit rates if market share for nonprofits increases in response to higher tax rates this could be because new nonprofits are entering or because for profits are leaving the industry identifying these two cases is impossible with market share data using nonprofit tax return data i examine the relation between these tax exemptions and state county location decisions of new nonprofits to my knowledge this is the first paper to study these interactions at the individual firm level nonprofits also receive tax favored status due to the individual tax deduction on charitable contributions gentry and penrod 1998 employees of and donors to the nonprofits will be affected by the individual tax rates this in turn alters the costs to the nonprofit of location in a high or low tax area unlike previous studies i therefore investigate the relation between individual marginal tax rates and nonprofit location another potential supply side determinant of firm location decisions is the existing firm concentration in the area the potential economies of scale generated by proximity to other firms have been extensively examined in for profit industries 1 previous studies have generally found a positive relation between agglomeration and location carlton 1983 bartik 1985 woodward 1992 gius and frese 2002 rosenthal and strange 2003 to my knowledge bielefeld et al 2004 is the only study that examines nonprofit agglomeration finding evidence of agglomeration in dallas texas this warrants additional examination because nonprofit output is generally service driven and less mobile thus agglomeration implies greater direct competition making market saturation a larger issue in the nonprofit market using a nationwide dataset i examine how location and existing firm concentration are related and explore the potential presence of market saturation i also investigate possible differences between inter and intra industry agglomeration my results provide new insight into nonprofit firm behavior in most cases higher tax rates are associated with new firm location but the results for corporate and property taxes vary across the sample years i find that individual tax rates are an important consideration for nonprofits and are positively correlated to location my analysis also contributes to the literature by examining how the sensitivity to tax rates varies according to the sources of revenues for the institution firms that depend highly on individual donations are more likely to locate in high individual tax states while nonprofits with large mission related revenues are more sensitive to the property tax rate

classic or new monopsony searching for evidence in nursing labor markets the market for registered nurses rns is often offered as an example of classic monopsony while a new monopsony literature emphasizes that firm labor supply is upward sloping independent of market structure using data from multiple sources we explore the relationship between nursing wages in hospitals and measures of classic and new monopsony wage level analysis fails to provide support for classic monopsony the relative wages of rns in 240 u s labor markets being largely uncorrelated with hospital system concentration longitudinal analysis shows nursing wages declining with increases in hospital concentration we interpret these results as providing support for classic monopsony effects in the short run but question whether wage effects are sustained in the long run no relationship is found between nursing wages and a new monopsony measure of mobility but support for new monopsony is found for women elsewhere in the labor market rns display greater interemployer mobility than do women or men in general two conclusions follow first upward sloping labor supply need not imply monopsonistic outcomes second absent more compelling evidence nursing should not be held up as a prototypical example of monopsony classic or new

the impact of perceived environmental uncertainty and perceived agent effectiveness on the composition of compensation contracts recently a stream of theoretical development concerning the design of optimal compensation plans has emerged in the marketing literature little empirical work has been done so far to validate the theoretical predictions the findings from the few field studies are equivocal and conflicting which we ascribe to failure to account for the major assumptions underlying the theoretical predictions we argue that in order to enhance the rigor of theory testing the field studies must be complemented by laboratory experiments where the conditions stipulated by the assumptions of the theory can be systematically imposed and or relaxed this should help in the reconciliation of the differences found in the field studies the experiment reported in this paper is a first step towards filling this void in the empirical research in this area here we assess the impact of perceived environmental uncertainty and perceived agent effectiveness on the magnitude total pay and composition salary incentive mix of employment compensation the hypotheses stem from propositions analytically derived by basu lal srinivasan and staelin 1985 and lal and srinivasan 1988 the insurance industry middle management compensation problem served as the experimental context the results of the experiment ratified the hypothesis that an increase in perceived agent effectiveness leads to award of compensation contracts of larger total expected value and a larger proportion of performance contingent pay however the hypothesis that an increase in perceived environmental uncertainty prompts the principal to award compensation contracts of smaller total expected value and a smaller proportion of performance contingent pay was rejected we discuss possible alternative explanations for the conflicting results associated with the uncertainty variable and identify future research opportunities in this area

controlling preferences for lotteries on units of experimental exchange in an experimental setting when outcomes are stochastically related to actions predictions of equilibrium behavior depend not only on the participants preference orderings of outcomes but also on their orderings of lotteries on outcomes as well we introduce and test a reward structure that can be utilized in any experimental setting to allow the experimenter to decree beforehand the subjects preferences for lotteries on experimental outcomes we show analytically that the proposed reward structure can induce subjects to behave as if they have the decreed preference function defined on experimental outcomes empirical tests using two different choice settings provide evidence to support this ability to control preferences

economic transition dynamic externalities and city industry growth in china using data on two digit manufacturing industries for prefecture level cities during the period of 2000 05 this study found a significant non linear relationship between dynamic externalities and city industry growth industrial specialisation and local competition may help city industry growth but may harm growth when they exceed a certain level diversity helps industry growth but only when it reaches a certain level liberalised globalised and locally protected industries are more likely to benefit from dynamic externalities industries located in cities with greater authorities are also found to grow faster the empirical findings indicate that economic transition has created conditions to allow a larger role of dynamic externalities in stimulating city industry growth

an experimental test for risk aversion abstract this paper evaluates an experimental method to measure attitudes to risk in individual subjects the method is applied to study the degree of risk aversion of 46 subjects the results lead us to reject a working hypothesis of risk neutrality for such experimental subjects

efficiency of experimental security markets with insider information an application of rational expectations models the study reports on the ability of competing models of market information integration and dissemination to explain the behavior of simple laboratory markets for a one priced security returns to the security depended upon a randomly drawn state of nature some agents insiders whose identity was unknown to other agents knew the state before the markets opened with replication of market conditions the predictions of a fully revealing rational expectations model are relatively accurate prices adjusted immediately to near rational expectations prices profits of insiders were virtually indistinguishable from non insiders and efficiency levels converged to near 100 percent

competition among institutions abstract economic theory offers two different approaches to the analysis of group formation and the role of institutions general equilibrium approach explores the influence of the economic environment on formation of coalitions game theory explores the influence of institutional rules on equilibrium outcomes we introduce an integrative approach an institution s policy depends on its membership while its membership depends on the policies of all the institutions we present three distinct mathematical approaches to these models highlighting the algebraic nature of the question of existence of equilibrium our apparatus cover many economic and political environments including cases with multiple dimensions and multiple institutions journal of economic literature classification numbers c62 d50 d71 d72 h11 h40 r13 r53

noisy stochastic games this paper establishes existence of a stationary markov perfect equilibrium in general stochastic games with noise a component of the state that is nonatomically distributed and not directly affected by the previous period s state and actions noise may be simply a payoff irrelevant public randomization device delivering known results on the existence of correlated equilibrium as a special case more generally noise can take the form of shocks that enter into players stage payoffs and the transition probability on states the existence result is applied to a model of industry dynamics and to a model of dynamic electoral competition

clustering of economic activities in polycentric urban regions the case of the randstad local contexts are becoming more important as the impact of the process of globalisation on the spatial distribution of economic activities seems to generate not so much processes of homogenisation as of heterogenisation between regions in advanced economies the combination of specialisation and spatial concentration of economic activity in advanced economies has attracted much attention from economists and geographers here we explore at what level of spatial aggregation contemporary tendencies of clustering of economic activities articulate themselves within the archetypal polycentric urban region of the dutch randstad to examine this question we look at profiles of business start ups in the individual cities of the randstad our focus is on business start ups as they respond most directly to the changes taking place in the economic environment and especially those regarding the supply of labour our findings point to the direction of cluster formation at a supraurban level the profiles of business

consumer s surplus without apology the purpose of this paper is to settle the controversy surrounding consumer s surplus and by so doing to validate its use as a tool of welfare economics i will show that observed consumer s surplus can be rigorously utilized to estimate the unobservable compensating and equivalent variations the correct theoretical measures of the welfare impact of changes in prices and income on an individual i derive precise upper and lower bounds on the percentage errors of approximating the compensating and equivalent variations with consumer s surplus these bounds can be explicitly calculated from observable demand data and it is clear that in most applications the error of approximation will be very small in fact the error will often be overshadowed by the errors involved in estimating the demand curve the results in no way depend upon arguments about the constancy of the marginal utility of income consequently this paper supplies specific empirical criteria which can replace the apologetic caveats frequently employed by those who presently apply consumer s surplus moreover the results imply that consumer s surplus is usually a very good approximation to the appropriate welfare measures to preview below i establish the validity of these rules of thumb for a

experimental development of sealed bid auction theory calibrating controls for risk aversion we offer a brief survey of bidding theory in high price auctions of experimental studies of behavior in such auctions and of the interplay between the design and results of the experiments and efforts to further develop the theory two new series of experiments are reported the first applies a convex transformation of payoffs in an attempt to induce a lowering of subject bids as if the bidders had become less risk averse the second applies a method for inducing any prespecified utility function for risky choices on an individual we use it to induce as if risk neutral behavior both series use baseline control to calibrate the hypothesized effect of the procedures on riskaverse behavior

agglomeration economies in urban manufacturing industries a case of japanese cities abstract the effects of urban agglomeration economies on productivities in two digit manufacturing industries is estimated using the cross section data of japanese cities in 1979 urbanization and localization economies which are major forms of urban agglomeration economies are explicitly separated the estimates of these economies vary considerably among industries light industries receive more productive advantages from urbanization economies than from localization economies but heavy industries experience these economies more from localization economies than from urbanization economies

overconfidence and excess entry an experimental approach psychological studies show that most people are overconfident about their own relative abilities and unreasonably optimistic about their futures e g shelly e taylor and j d brown 1988 neil d weinstein 1980 when assessing their position in a distribution of peers on almost any positive trait like driving ability ola svenson 1981 income prospects or longevity a vast majority of people say they are above the average although of course only half can be if the trait is symmetrically distributed this paper explores whether optimistic biases could plausibly and predictably influence economic behavior in one particular setting entry into competitive games or markets many empirical studies show that most new businesses fail within a few years for example using plant level data from the u s census of manufacturers spanning 1963 1982 timothy dunne et al 1988 estimated that 61 5 percent of all entrants exited within five years and 79 6 percent exited within 10 years most of these exits are failures see also dunne et al 1989a 1989b d shapiro and r s khemani 1987

smart cafe cities testing human capital externalities in the boston metropolitan area abstract existing studies have explored only one or in some cases two mechanisms by which human capital externalities percolate at the macrogeographic levels this study however uses the 1990 massachusetts census data to test four mechanisms at the microgeographic levels in the boston metropolitan area labor market we propose that individual workers can learn from their occupational and industrial peers in the same local labor market through four channels depth of human capital stock marshallian labor market externalities jacobs labor market externalities and thickness of the local labor market we find that all types of human capital externalities are significant across census blocks different types of externalities attenuate at different speeds over distances for example the effect of human capital depth decays rapidly beyond three miles away from block centroids we conclude that knowledge spillovers are very localized within a microgeographic scope in cities that we call smart cafe cities

incompatibility of usual conditions for equilibrium existence in continuum economies without ordered preferences abstract in recent years attempts were made to extend the equilibrium existence results of gale and mas colell 1975 j math econ 2 9 15 and shafer and sonnenschein 1975 j math econ 2 345 348 to continuum economies here it is shown that the usual conditions used for these attempts force the preferred to correspondence to be empty valued almost everywhere on the nonatomic part of the measure space of agents several published continuum extensions of the existence results of shafer and sonnenschein are thus rendered pointless journal of economic literature classification number c72

is specialization good for regional economic development kemeny t and storper m is specialization good for regional economic development regional studies debates about urban growth and change often centre on specialization however arguments linking specialization to metropolitan economic development contain diverse and sometimes conflicting claims is it better to be highly specialized or diversified does specialization refer to the absolute or relative scale of an activity in a region does specialization have static or evolutionary effects this paper investigates these questions in theoretical and empirical terms by analysing local agglomerations over time it is found that growing absolute specialization is positively linked to wages while changes in relative concentration are not significantly associated with wage dynamics

on the irrelevance of risk attitudes in repeated two outcome games abstract we study equilibrium and maximin play in supergames consisting of the sequential play of a finite collection of stage games where each stage game has two outcomes for each player we show that for two player supergames in which each stage game is strictly competitive in any nash equilibrium of the supergame play at each stage is a nash equilibrium of the stage game provided preferences over certain supergame outcomes satisfy a natural monotonicity condition in particular equilibrium play does not depend on risk attitudes we establish an invariance result for games with more than two players when the solution concept is subgame perfection journal of economic literature classification numbers c72 c9

preference reversals the impact of truth revealing monetary incentives researchers vigorously debate the impact of incentives in preference reversal experiments do incentives alter behavior and generate economically consistent choices lichtenstein and slovic 1971 document inconsistencies reversals in revealed preference in gamble pairs across paired choice and individual pricing tasks the observed pattern is inconsistent with stable underlying preferences expressed with simple errors lichtenstein and slovic 1973 and grether and plott 1979 introduce incentives but aggregate reversal rates change little these results fostered numerous replications and assertions that models of non stable preferences are required to explain reversals contrary to this research we find that incentives can generate more economically consistent behavior our reevaluation of existing experimental data shows that incentives have a clear impact by better aligning aggregate choices and prices the effect is sufficiently large that with truth revealing incentives a stable preferences with error model not only explains behavior but fits the data as well as any model possibly could

spatial competition with three firms an experimental study the paper reports the results of an experimental study of the three firm location problem we compare the subjects behavior in the experiments with the symmetric mixed strategy nash equilibrium calculated by shaked 1982 overall the findings are consistent with the equilibrium prediction however the subjects locations were significantly more dispersed than predicted by the theory three alternative explanations of this phenomenon inexperience approximate equilibrium behavior and risk aversion are suggested and evaluated for their predictive power special attention is paid to risk aversion

high stakes behavior with low payoffs inducing preferences with holt laury gambles abstract kahneman and tversky 1979 argued that risky decisions in high stakes environments can be informed using questionnaires with hypothetical choices yet results by holt and laury 2002 suggest that questionnaire responses and decisions in hypothetical and low monetary payoff environments do not well predict decisions in higher monetary payoff environments this raises the question of whether investigating decision making in high stakes environments requires using high stakes here we show that one can induce preferences using the binary lottery reward technique e g berg et al 1986 in order to study high stakes decision making using low stakes in particular we induce preferences such that decisions in a low stakes environment reflect well the choices made in the high stakes environment of holt and laury 2002 this finding is of interest to anyone interested in studying high stakes decision behavior without paying high stakes

sectoral shares specialisation and metropolitan wages in the united states 1969 96 we investigate the effect of specialisation upon the level of metropolitan wage per worker specialisation is measured by the share of metropolitan earnings in each of five traded goods and services sectors sectoral specialisations are assumed to be determinants of location specific productivity which in turn is treated as a term in a metropolitan production function panel data are used for estimating that production function for 313 metropolitan areas in the us over the long period 1969 96 and two shorter periods we find that some specialisations raise average metropolitan wages some lower it and some have no effect and that the effects of specialisation differ by time period

extremal choice equilibrium with applications to large games stochastic games endogenous institutions abstract we prove existence and purification results for strategic environments possessing a product structure that includes classes of large games stochastic games and models of endogenous institutions applied to large games the results yield existence of pure strategy equilibria allowing for infinite dimensional externalities applied to stochastic games the results yield existence of stationary markov perfect equilibria with extremal payoffs which in turn yields existence of pure strategy stationary markov perfect equilibria for games with sequential moves applied to the model of institutions we obtain equilibrium existence with general group decision correspondences

risk aversion and rent seeking an extension and some experimental evidence theoretical investigations indicate that the risk attitudes of individuals will effect the amount of rent that can be assumed to be dissipated by rent seeking activities following this line of investigation we extend hillman and katz s work to a small numbers case and demonstrate that the degree to which a monopoly rent is dissipated is dependent upon the structure of the risk attitudes of two risk averse individuals

urban diversity and economic growth at the risk of some simplification it is possible to identify four periods of intense study of cities by economists each of these has led to an increased understanding of the economics of urban areas and the unique role played by cities in the modem economy the first of these periods occurred in the decade after world war i only about ten years after the truck revolutionized the transport of goods within urban areas this period included the first systematic empirical analysis of the forces affecting the location of firms and households within cities robert murray haig 1926 and a number of other microeconomists at columbia analyzed the spatial pattems of manufacturing activity in lower manhattan and in the rest of new york city haig jmd his colleagues devoted considerable attention to where things belong in an urban area p 402 providing the first systematic economic analysis of urban spatial structure for example they analyzed the garment industry concluding that it was destined by nature to disperse north of 14th street and predicting that it would follow the estabhshed spatial pattem of the cooperage barrelmaking industry standardization in size and quality of barrels had meant that identical barrels could be made throughout the new york metropolitan area even in new jersey and the introduction of the truck meant that they could be transported cheaply throughout the region and exported the second of these periods though not in chronological order began in the mid 1960s it formalized many of the insights about location incentives within urban areas which had been uncovered a half century before mixed them with the logic of heinrich von thunen s 1826 ancient theories about agricultural crops and land values and applied them to the hotisehold sector the works of william alonso 1964

the play out effect and preference reversals evidence for noisy maximization abstract in this paper we document a play out effect in preference reversal experiments we compare data where preferences are elicited using 1 purely hypothetical gambles 2 played out but unpaid gambles and 3 played out gambles with truth revealing monetary payments we ask whether a model of stable preferences with random errors e g expected utility with errors can explain the data the model is strongly rejected in data collected using purely hypothetical gambles however simply playing out the gambles even in the absence of payments shifts the data pattern so that noisy maximization is no longer rejected inducing risk preferences using a lottery procedure using monetary incentives or both shift the data pattern further so that noisy maximization achieves the best possible fit to the aggregate data no model could fit the data better we argue that play out shifts the response pattern by inducing value because subjects can use outcomes to keep score induction or monetary payments create stronger induced values shifting the pattern further

willingness to pay and compensation demanded experimental evidence of an unexpected disparity in measures of value aside from possible income effects measures of the maximum amounts people will pay to avoid a loss and the minimum compensation necessary for them to accept it are generally assumed to be equivalent unexpectedly wide variations between these sums however have been noted in survey responses to hypothetical options this paper reports the results of a series of experiments that confronted people with actual money payments and cash compensations the results indicate that the compensation measure of value seems to exceed significantly the willingness to pay measure which would appear to call into some question various rules of entitlement damage assessments and interpretations of indifference curves

does government performance matter the effects of local government on urban outcomes in england this paper applies an extensive literature that argues that political leadership and local government activity enhance urban performance using the state of the cities database of 56 primary urban areas in england it tests for the impact of consolidated governance political stability planning performance average service performance local government capacity and planning development expenditure on jobs and population growth from 1995 to 2005 the regression analysis finds that the competence of service delivery is weakly associated with full time jobs growth and that a consolidated governance structure is weakly associated with greater population growth none of the other tests is statistically significant overall the findings place doubt on the salience of the political determinants of economic performance in english cities for the period in question

accounting for risk aversion in repeated prisoners dilemma games an experimental test we apply experimental methods to study the role of risk aversion on players behavior in repeated prisoners dilemma games faced with quantitatively equal discount factors the most risk averse players will choose nash strategies more often in the presence of uncertainty than when future profits are discounted in a deterministic way overall we find that risk aversion relates negatively with the frequency of collusive outcomes

manufacturing productivity and city size in canada 1975 and 1985 does population matter this paper analyses the relationship between manufacturing productivity and city size based on canadian data for 1975 and 1985 the results differ in some respects from those of us studies in particular in canada city size appears to have a weaker impact on manufacturing productivity and an impact which is diminishing over time these findings may be a consequence of several differences in the characteristics of canadian and us firms as well as differences between the two urban systems urbanisation economies in canada may also have been weakened by regional development policies there are at the same time some striking similarities in the industries which show positive urbanisation economies in the us and canada there is also a tendency in canada for both industries with smaller firms and industries with higher rates of domestic ownership to exhibit greater urbanisation economies

multilevel approaches and the firm agglomeration ambiguity in economic growth studies empirical studies in spatial economics have shown that agglomeration economies may be a source of the uneven distribution of economic activities and economic growth across cities and regions both localization and urbanization economies are hypothesized to foster agglomeration and growth but recent meta analyses of this burgeoning body of empirical research show that the results are ambiguous recent overviews show that this ambiguity is fuelled by measurement issues and heterogeneity in terms of scale of time and space aggregation growth definitions and the functional form of the models applied alternatively in this paper we argue that ambiguity may be due to a lack of research on firm level performance in agglomerations this research is necessary because the theories that underlie agglomeration economies are microeconomic in nature hierarchical or multilevel modeling which allows micro levels and macro levels to be modeled simultaneously is becoming an increasingly common practice in the social sciences as illustrated by detailed dutch data on firm level productivity employment growth and firm survival we argue that these approaches are also suitable for reducing the ambiguity surrounding the agglomeration firm performance relationship and for addressing spatial sectoral and cross level heterogeneity