young in class implications for inattentive hyperactive behaviour of canadian boys and girls using data from the statistics canada national longitudinal survey of children and youth nlscy this paper investigates the impact of school entry age on inattentive hyperactive behaviours we employ both an across provinces and time difference in differences approach and a within province regression discontinuity design we find that being young in class causes greater inattentive hyperactive behaviour exacerbating any inattentive hyperactive behaviour exhibited prior to school entry these results also hold in sibling fixed effect models we do not find gender differences in the effects although since boys are more likely to be inattentive hyperactive at school entry they are more affected these effects persist into early adolescence

child care policy and the labor supply of mothers with young children a natural experiment from canada in 1997 the provincial government of quebec the second most populous province in canada initiated a new child care policy licensed child care service providers began offering day care spaces at the reduced fee of 5 00 per day per child for children aged 4 by 2000 the policy applied to all children not in kindergarten using annual data 1993 2002 drawn from statistics canada s survey of labour and income dynamics the results show that the policy had a large and statistically significant impact on the labor supply of mothers with preschool children

the role of information on retirement planning evidence from a field study i introduction modern financial planning is dominated by discussions of one topic retirement savings retirement planning behaviors are widely studied yet population data show perplexing patterns of savings especially among households who reasonably should expect to live long and healthy lives after separating from the workforce savings choices are increasingly focused on the decisions of individuals rather than on public plans or employer mandated pensions poterba 2014 however policymakers attempts to stimulate more individual level savings have not shown strong effects duflo et al 2007 one problem appears to be related to people failing to fully plan ahead for retirement and neglecting longer run financial management in general ameriks caplin and leahy 2003 according to the employee benefit research institute 2015 more than one in four workers have less than 1 000 in retirement savings fewer employees today have access to defined benefit pensions than they did in the past and instead rely on employer based 401 k savings accounts and nonemployer based individual retirement accounts iras munnell 2006 however participation rates remain low 43 of private sector workers of age 25 64 take part in retirement savings programs calabrese 2011 even among active savers there are concerns about how well people are able to manage their retirement accounts in ways that reflect optimal planning horizons several policies have been designed to increase participation in retirement plans first firm level programs requiring employees to opt out vs opt in to a 401 k plan have increased participation in retirement savings plans madrian and shea 2001 however as choi laibson and madrian 2011 highlight because individuals have heterogeneous savings preferences these default options may be costly to individuals as some might save more in the absence of the default and others might prefer to save less second government designed tax breaks for individuals investing in retirement accounts and increases in maximum income deferral limits for these accounts could increase retirement savings however income tax deductions and credits can be costly tax expenditures and individuals especially lower and middle income savers may not respond to these incentives engen gale and scholz 1996 third firms can try to help people better understand their savings options and make plans for retirement effectively lowering the costs of information with workshops and or counseling retirement planning requires information in order to form expectations about lifetime income years of work expected investment returns adjusted for risk and consumption levels in retirement people who lack information about these issues may fail to make a plan or proceed to design a plan based on incomplete information educational programs targeted to workers hold promise to help people recalibrate their expectations and shift their savings behavior well targeted financial education might facilitate people to pursue their individual retirement saving preferences in ways that default rules or incentives alone cannot this article studies the effect of financial education on retirement savings offered to employees in an online format online information offers several advantages over traditional seminars for example online courses can be delivered to a large audience and at a lower cost per participant than classroom delivery it also poses relatively low marginal costs to the employee because of the flexibility and convenience of the mode of delivery it may serve employees who would not attend in person sessions while participants in online education do not benefit from group interactions online delivery provides participants privacy to explore financial issues that they might shy away from in more public settings several studies document that employer based education is associated with improvements in employees financial knowledge clark and d ambrosio 2002 holland goodman and stich 2008 skimmyhorn forthcoming

uk state pension deferral incentives and sustainability pay as you go state pension schemes such as that operated in the united kingdom face growing pressures from the rising old age dependency ratio and improvements to life expectancies alongside comp

pension plan characteristics and framing effects in employee savings behavior abstract defined contribution pensions in many postsecondary institutions are funded by a combination of an employer premium and a mandatory employee premium individuals can also contribute to a supplemental savings account holding constant total compensation standard reasoning suggests that supplemental savings should depend negatively on the sum of the employer and employee pension contributions contrarily we find that the supplementary savings of professors are significantly more sensitive to employee contributions than to employer contributions this asymmetry is consistent with different marginal propensities to save out of the salary and pension components of compensation nevertheless impacts on lifetime utility are relatively modest

aging population retirement and risk taking the increase in life expectancy spells disaster at retirement one can solve this problem by investing in the maximum geometric mean mgm portfolio which is empirically composed from equity for a t 30 year horizon or more the mgm portfolio dominates other investment strategies by almost first degree stochastic dominance the mgm portfolio also maximizes the expected value of the commonly employed preferences and prospect theory value function for various loss aversion parameters and various reference points for t 10 life cycle funds would increase virtually all investors welfare by shifting to the mgm portfolio so long as the investment horizon is at least 10 years this paper was accepted by amit seru finance

demographic changes financial markets and the economy using a large sample of countries and 60 years of data the authors found a strong and intuitive link between demographic transitions and both gdp growth and capital market returns unlike previous researchers who used ad hoc and restrictive demographic variables the authors imposed a smooth and parsimonious polynomial curve across all age groups they also performed robustness checks and produced forecasts for the coming decade with all the necessary caveats view a webinar of this article

evaluating the effects of childcare policies on children s cognitive development and maternal labor supply to explore the role of childcare policies in the development of early cognitive skills this paper jointly estimates a cognitive achievement production function and a dynamic discrete choice model of maternal labor supply and childcare decisions using counter actuals from the model i investigate how the designs of two childcare programs head start and childcare subsidies affect the formation of cognitive skills through maternal work and childcare decisions the results suggest large impacts on cognitive skills from expanding head start to current noneligibles and negligible impacts of subsidies on cognitive skills of current eligibles abstract from author

increasing earnings inequality and the gender pay gap in canada prospects for convergence this paper retraces the evolution of canadian women s labour force participation and of the gender earnings ratio across the generations to understand better the prospects for gender convergence in pay using data from the public use labour force surveys lfs and administrative annual earnings data from the longitudinal worker files lwf the paper assesses the role of increasing top earnings inequality in the persistence of the gender pay gap having identified a growing role for the under representation of women among top earners the paper then performs an evaluation and critical analysis of existing gender equality policies centred on horizontal occupational gender segregation and discusses alternative policies for the future

managing local commons theoretical issues in incentive design local commons encompass a wide range of resources whose shared feature is the need for some form of collective management in what follows we shall be concerned mainly with the problems of implementing a collective management plan whatever the mechanisms invoked many recent contributions to the literature have stressed that relatively informal collective management of common property resources can in the right circumstances avoid the severe resource degradation predicted by the tragedy of the commons nevertheless both empirical and theoretical arguments suggest that cooperative behavior may be only partial and the incentives of short term self interest only partially held in check under what circumstances then can more formal implementation mechanisms make good the deficiency and given that formal incentives are typically stronger than informal ones are there any reasons why informal incentives might nevertheless sometimes be preferred

effect of lengthening the school day on mother s labor supply this article examines how a policy oriented toward a specific group within the population can have collateral effects on the economic decisions of other groups in 1996 the chilean government approved the extension of the school day from half to full day school this article exploits the quasi experimental nature of the reform s implementation by time municipality and age targeting of the program in order to examine how the maternal labor supply is affected by the childcare subsidy implicit in the lengthening of the school day using data from the chilean socioeconomic household survey and administrative data from the ministry of education for 1990 2011 the authors estimate that on average there is a 5 percent increase in labor participation and employment rates of single mothers with eligible children between 8 and 13 years old with no younger children who are the group that would be mainly affected by the policy no significant labor supply responses are detected among others mothers with eligible children

money for nothing universal child care and maternal employment abstract the strong correlation between child care and maternal employment rates has led previous research to conclude that affordable and readily available child care is a driving force both of cross country differences in maternal employment and of its rapid growth over the last decades we analyze a staged expansion of subsidized child care in norway our precise and robust difference in differences estimates reveal that there is little if any causal effect of subsidized child care on maternal employment despite a strong correlation instead of increasing mothers labor supply the new subsidized child care mostly crowds out informal child care arrangements suggesting a significant net cost of the child care subsidies

do retirement savings increase in response to information about retirement and expected pensions how can retirement savings be increased we explore a unique policy change in the context of the german pension system to study this question as of 2005 with a phase in period between 2002 and 2004 the german pension administration started to send out annual letters providing detailed and comprehensible information about the pension system and individual expected public pension payments this reform did not change the level of pensions but only provided information to individuals about their expected pension payments using german tax return data we exploit an age discontinuity to identify the effect of these letters on the behavior of individuals we find an increase in tax deductible private retirement savings and provide evidence that this is not due to a crowding out of other forms of savings we also show that labor earnings i e the most direct way to increase public pensions increase after receiving the letter

a bio economic model of community incentives for wildlife management under campfire this paper formulates a bio economic model to analyze community incentives for wildlife management under benefit sharing programs like the communal areas management programme for indigenous resources campfire in zimbabwe three agents influence the wildlife stock a parks agency determines hunting quotas outside poachers hunt illegally and a local community may choose to protect wildlife by discouraging poaching wildlife generates revenues from hunting licenses and tourism it also intrudes on local agriculture we consider two benefit sharing regimes shares of wildlife tourism rents and shares of hunting licenses resource sharing does not necessarily improve community welfare or incentives for wildlife conservation results depend on the exact design of the benefit shares the size of the benefits compared with agricultural losses and the way in which the parks agency manages hunting quotas

reprint of do retirement savings increase in response to information about retirement and expected pensions abstract how can retirement savings be increased we explore a unique policy change in the context of the german pension system to study this question as of 2005 with a phase in period between 2002 and 2004 the german pension administration started to send out annual letters providing detailed and comprehensible information about the pension system and individual expected public pension payments this reform did not change the level of pensions but only provided information to individuals about their expected pension payments using german tax return data we exploit an age discontinuity to identify the effect of these letters on the behavior of individuals we find an increase in tax deductible private retirement savings and provide evidence that this is not due to a crowding out of other forms of savings we also show that labor earnings i e the most direct way to increase public pensions increase after receiving the letter

the impact of child care costs on the labour supply of married mothers evidence from canada this paper provides estimates for canada of the impact of childcare costs on the labor supply of married mothers this is done by linking two microdata sources the 1988 canadian national child care survey and the 1988 labour market activity survey the key results show that the market wage and childcare costs have respectively a significant positive and negative impact on both hours of work and the labor force participation decision by married mothers the childcare cost elasticities for labor force participation and hours of work are reported to be 0 38 and 0 32 respectively

retirement security in an aging population abstract elderly individuals exhibit wide disparities in their sources of income for those in the bottom half of the income distribution social security is the most important source of support program changes would directly affect their well being income from private pensions assets and earnings are relatively more important for higher income elderly individuals who have more diverse income sources the trend from private sector defined benefit to defined contribution pension plans has shifted responsibility for retirement security to individuals a significant subset of the population is unlikely to be able to sustain their standard of living in retirement without higher pre retirement saving

the quantitative role of child care for female labor force participation and fertility consistent with facts for a cross section of oecd countries i document that the labor force participation rate of west german mothers with children aged zero to two exceeds the corresponding child care enrollment rate whereas the opposite is true for mothers with children aged three to mandatory school age i develop a life cycle model that explicitly accounts for this age dependent relationship through various types of non paid and paid child care the calibrated version of the model is used to evaluate two policy reforms concerning the supply of subsidized child care for children aged zero to two these counterfactual policy experiments suggest that the lack of subsidized child care constitutes indeed for some females a barrier to participate in the labor market and depresses fertility

are americans saving optimally for retirement we solve each household s optimal saving decisions using a life cycle model that incorporates uncertain lifetimes uninsurable earnings and medical expenses progressive taxation government transfers and pension and social security benefits with optimal decision rules we compare household by household wealth predictions from the life cycle model using a nationally representative sample we find making use of household specific earnings histories that the model accounts for more than 80 percent of the 1992 cross sectional variation in wealth fewer than 20 percent of households have less wealth than their optimal targets and the wealth deficit of those who are undersaving is generally small

joint labor supply and childcare choice decisions of married mothers this paper examines the impact of childcare prices and wage rates on the joint employment and childcare mode center sitter relative and husband choice decisions of married mothers by estimating both a mixed logit and universal logit choice model data are drawn from the 1988 canadian national child care survey and the 1988 labour market activity survey the estimation results show that wages have a positive impact on the probability of choosing any of the working states and that childcare prices for center sitter and relative care reduce the probability of working and using each respective mode of care sensitivity analyses reveal that the wage elasticity for employment is fairly robust across model specifications while the own price elasticity of childcare is sensitive to model specification differing identifying assumptions in the estimation of childcare price equations and sample selection the simulation results show that differences exist in the degree to which government subsidies in the form of wage subsidies targeted childcare subsidies or unconditional childcare subsidies impact on labor supply decisions and decisions to substitute across different modes of care by those mothers already in the labor market

the economic importance of financial literacy theory and evidence this paper undertakes an assessment of a rapidly growing body of economic research on financial literacy we start with an overview of theoretical research which casts financial knowledge as a form of investment in human capital endogenizing financial knowledge has important implications for welfare as well as policies intended to enhance levels of financial knowledge in the larger population next we draw on recent surveys to establish how much or how little people know and identify the least financially savvy population subgroups this is followed by an examination of the impact of financial literacy on economic decision making in the united states and elsewhere while the literature is still young conclusions may be drawn about the effects and consequences of financial illiteracy and what works to remedy these gaps a final section offers thoughts on what remains to be learned if researchers are to better inform theoretical and empirical models as well as public policy jel a20 d14 g11 i20 j26

correction the composition and drawdown of wealth in retirement in extending our research on issues related to those in this paper we have discovered an error in our calculations of the expected present discounted value of life contingent payout streams in our paper the composition and drawdown of wealth in retirement published in the fall 2011 issue of this journal this error affected entries in tables 1 and 2 of the paper and the associated discussion the error overstated the wealth equivalent value of both social security and defi ned benefi t pensions the corrected values shown in the tables below indicate that the average capitalized value of social security for all retirementage households is 204 264 rather than 341 556 the mean capitalized value of defi ned benefi t pension payouts is 99 147 taken together social security and defi ned benefi t pension wealth represent 34 9 percent of the mean value of household wealth not 46 percent as initially reported the share of home equity which was previously reported as 16 8 percent correspondingly rises to 20 2 percent and

defined contribution plans defined benefit plans and the accumulation of retirement wealth abstract the private pension structure in the united states once dominated by defined benefit db plans is currently divided between defined contribution dc and db plans wealth accumulation in dc plans depends on a participant s contribution behavior and on financial market returns while accumulation in db plans is sensitive to a participant s labor market experience and to plan parameters this paper simulates the distribution of retirement wealth under representative db and dc plans it uses data from the health and retirement study hrs to explore how asset returns earnings histories and retirement plan characteristics contribute to the variation in retirement wealth outcomes we simulate dc plan accumulation by randomly assigning individuals a share of wages that they and their employer contribute to the plan we consider several possible asset allocation strategies with asset returns drawn from the historical return distribution our db plan simulations draw earnings histories from the hrs and randomly assign each individual a pension plan drawn from a sample of large private and public defined benefit plans the simulations yield distributions of both dc and db wealth at retirement average retirement wealth accruals under current dc plans exceed average accruals under private sector db plans although dc plans are also more likely to generate very low retirement wealth outcomes the comparison of current dc plans with more generous public sector db plans is less definitive because public sector db plans are more generous on average than their private sector db counterparts

children of a policy revolution the introduction of universal child care and its effect on fertility what role does affordable and widely available public child care play for fertility we exploit a major german reform generating large temporal and spatial variation in child care coverage for children under the age of three our precise and robust estimates on birth register data reveal that increases in public child care have significant positive effects on fertility the fertility effects are more pronounced at the intensive than at the extensive margin and are not driven by changes in the timing of births or selective migration our findings inform policy makers concerned about low fertility by suggesting that universal early child care holds the promise of being an effective means of increasing birth rates

trade policy and ecology trade sanctions on product exports are often used as measures for conservation of stocks of living resources two opposing approaches are investigated the harvest approach argues that sanctions reduce the harvest and thus protects the stock it is shown that this does not consider the long run effects nor the effects of sanctions on the management system the investment approach argues that increased price protects the stock making the species a profitable investment it is shown that this approach does not consider the asset effects of price changes and that the sanctions usually increase the stock in an one species analysis if the wildlife competes for land the conclusions may be different but still sanctions usually works if the manager has a joint management of several species the stock effects of sanctions are ambiguous depending on both the species interaction and the profitability of the harvesting from each of them in this case it is not possible to use intuitive reasoning sanctions give distortions to all stocks simultaneously the threat of extinction depends crucially on the unit cost in harvesting of depleted stocks the paper concludes that trade policy is a too general measure for the management of living resources and may implicate important economic distortions to the ecological system

empirical age earnings profiles the human capital earnings function in which earnings are expressed as a quadratic in potential experience is probably the most widely accepted empirical specification in economics in spite of its widespread acceptance the human capital earnings function provides a very poor approximation of the true empirical relationship between earnings and experience the standard formulation understates early career earnings growth by about 30 50 and overstates midcareer growth by 20 50 however simple alternative specifications that fit the data are available

regulating endangered species endangered species timothy swanson one important issue at the earth summit in rio de janeiro was the preservation of diverse biological resources or biodiversity to date the regulation of endangered species has been based on the premise that over exploitation is the principal problem this diagnosis has led to a wide range of attempts to destroy demand for wildlife by means of bans on trade and consumption of the products of endangered species this approach misses the fundamental cause of the problem terrestrial species compete for land land use primarily reflects human decisions about its allocation even over exploitation is the result of human allocation decisions species that are overexploited are those for which society chooses not to invest in their management species that survive are thus those in which humans chose to invest whilst extinction should be interpreted as disinvestment in species or their ancillary resources habitat management trade bans do not address this fundamental cause of extinction the paper sets out how demand should be constructively managed to encourage continuing investment in endangered species

on the asset allocation of a default pension fund we characterize the optimal default fund in a dened contribution dc pension plan using detailed data on individuals and their holdings inside and outside the pension system we nd substantial heterogeneity among default investors in terms of labor income nancial wealth and stock market participation we build a life cycle consumption savings model incorporating a dc pension account and realistic investor heterogeneity we examine the optimal asset allocation for dierent realized equity returns and investors and compare it with age based investing the optimal asset allocation leads to less inequality in pensions while it moderates the risks through active rebalancing

the growing gap in life expectancy using the future elderly model to estimate implications for social security and medicare across the industrialized world health and mortality gradients by education and income have generally been steepening crimmins and saito 2001 meara richards and cutler 2008 goldman and smith 2011 the leading explanations for the increased gaps in life expectancy involve differential trends in smoking diet and exercise stress chronic disease management and access to health care less well known however is the impact these trends will have on public programs and their progressivity especially social security and medicare to fill this gap this paper uses the future elderly model fem a microsimulation model of health and economic outcomes for older americans to estimate the effects of steeper mortality gradients on the progressivity of social security and medicare benefits

wage declines among older men we examine the evidence on whether real wages decline with age among older men while the general human capital model of wage growth over the life cycle predicts that wages will fall as workers approach the end of their career alternative models of wage growth do not predict these wage declines we find that in longitudinal estimates of age wage profiles wage declines only set in for workers in their 60s furthermore these longitudinal declines are at least partly due to interactions with the social security system the earnings cap or other effects of social security appear to lead some workers to choose jobs and job characteristics associated with lower wages copyright 1996 by mit press

back to work parental benefits and mothers labor market outcomes in the medium run the authors estimate policy impacts of a generous parental benefit in germany by using a natural experiment and german census data they estimate policy effects for the short run first two years a

healthy bodies and thick wallets the dual relation between health and economic status there is abundant evidence of a quantitatively large association between many measures of economic status including income and wealth and a variety of health outcomes such as mortality or morbidity however considerable and often heated debate remains especially across disciplines about the direction of causation and about why the association arises although medical scientists are often convinced that the dominant if not exclusive pathway is that variation in socioeconomic status produces health disparities they are increasingly debating among themselves about why low economic status might lead to poor health at least for modern industrial countries 1 the old standby arguments the less well to do have access to less or lower quality medical care or a stronger pattern of deleterious personal behaviors have been rejected as insufficient instead a series of intriguing competing theories have arisen that emphasize long term impacts of early childhood or even inter uterine environmental factors the cumulative effects of prolonged exposures to individual stressful events or reactions to macro societal factors such as rising levels of income inequality a common link is that each theory attempts to document the physiological processes through which low economic status leads to poorer health while these scientific questions are extremely important this research has taken place with little input from economists economists are now making contributions about the alternative pathway the impact poor health may have on economic resources poor health may restrict a family s capacity to earn income or to accumulate assets by limiting work or by raising medical expenses at a minimum this work should provide a caution against exaggerating the magnitude of causation from economic status to health outcomes but the potential contribution runs deeper as people age the evolving variation in individual health outcomes may offer additional statistical information to estimate parameters of household savings and consumption behavior that so far have proven to be somewhat elusive thus incorporating health uncertainty and risk into economic models should eventually enrich our understanding of basic tenets of household behavior the first section of this paper documents the size of the association between health and one prominent economic status measure household wealth section two deals with how health influences economic status by sketching out reasons why health may alter household savings and eventually wealth and then providing estimates of the empirical magnitude of these effects section three shifts attention to the alternative pathway the links between economic status and health and summarizes 2major controversies and evidence surrounding these issues

canadian contributions to family economics canadian scholars have made substantial contributions to the relatively new field of family economics these include new models of how men and women match in marriage markets and of how decisions are made in multi person households several were early contributors to the literature on married women s labour supply and labour supply in a family context and helped to develop empirical methods in this area a particular focus has been on the impacts of policy relevant parameters such childcare costs on family labour supply and child well being new work on child development the impact of early life conditions and the processes of intergenerational transmission also highlight the importance of family context in determining economic well being

sorting through affirmative action three field experiments in colombia the use of affirmative action policies to promote female employment remains debated do affirmative action policies attract female applicants and does that come at the expense of deterring highly

capital and wealth in the twenty first century abstract in capital in the twenty first century thomas piketty uses the market value of tradable assets to measure both productive capital and wealth as a measure of wealth this is problematic because it ignores the value of human capital and transfer wealth which have grown enormously over the last 300 years thus the constancy of the wealth income ratio as portrayed in his data is an illusion further the types of wealth that he does not measure are more equally distributed than tradable assets the approach also incorrectly identifies capital gains due to reduced discount rates as increases in the capital stock

child care costs and the employment decision of women canadian evidence the authors estimate the joint decision for women with preschool children to engage in paid employment and to purchase market forms of child care the results confirm those found in most u s studies indicating that child care costs exert a significant negative effect on the labor supply of women with children and on their decision to purchase child care as well the expected wage of the mother exerts a significant positive impact on both the decision to purchase market forms of child care and the decision to engage in paid unemployment

aging pension reform and capital flows a multi country simulation model we present a quantitative analysis of the effects of population aging and pension reform on international capital markets first demographic change alters the time path of aggregate savings within each country second this process may be amplified when a pension reform shifts old age provision towards more pre funding third while the patterns of population aging are similar in most countries timing and initial conditions differ substantially hence to the extent that capital is internationally mobile population aging will induce capital flows between countries all three effects influence the rate of return to capital and interact with the demand for capital in production and with labor supply in order to quantify these effects we develop a computational general equilibrium model we feed this multi country overlapping generations model with detailed long term demographic projections for seven world regions our simulations indicate that capital flows from fast aging regions to the rest of the world will initially be substantial but that trends are reversed when households decumulate savings we also conclude that closed economy models of pension reform miss quantitatively important effects of international capital mobility this version 25 august 2004

the determinants of the macroeconomic implications of aging abstract the aging of the us population undoubtedly will be associated with macroeconomic changes in particular some combination of lower consumption growth and increased labor input will ultimat

public child care and mothers labor supply evidence from two quasi experiments abstract public child care is expected to assist families in reconciling work with family life yet empirical evidence for the relevance of public child care to maternal employment is inconclusive we exploit the introduction of a legal claim to a place in kindergarten in germany which was contingent on day of birth cut off dates and resulted in a marked increase in kindergarten attendance of three year olds in the following years instrumental variable and difference in differences estimations on two individual level data sets yield positive effects of public child care on maternal employment a set of placebo treatment tests corroborate the validity of our identification strategies

behavioral economics and public policy a pragmatic perspective the debate about behavioral economics the incorporation of insights from psychology into economics is often framed as a question about the foundational assumptions of economic models this paper presents a more pragmatic perspective on behavioral economics that focuses on its value for improving empirical predictions and policy decisions i discuss three ways in which behavioral economics can contribute to public policy by oering new policy tools improving predictions about the eects

employment and child care choices in canada and the united states in this paper we examine employment and child care choices of two parent families with young children in the united states and canada using a pooled data set based on recent national surveys in each country we find that the employment and child care choices of canadian families are similar to those of u s families estimates of a model of employment and child care choices indicate significant effects of child care subsidies child care prices and wage rates on employment and child care choices however none of these factors helps to explain the differences in employment and child care choices between the two countries ce memoire examine le choix de l emploi et du soin des enfants dans les familles ou il y deux parents aux etats unis et au canada en utilisant des donnees d etudes recentes dans les deux pays il appert que les choix des familles canadiennes sont semblables a ceux des familles americaines les calibrations d un modele de ces choix montrent les effets significatifs des subventions au soin des enfants du prix des soins des enfants et des taux de salaires sur ces choix cependant aucun de ces facteurs n explique les diffrences dans les patterns de choix entre les deux pays

early kindergarten maternal labor supply and children s outcomes evidence from italy abstract we analyze a reform that introduced early access to subsidized childcare for 2 year old children in italy exploring the effects on several measures of maternal labor supply and on children s cognitive outcomes our identification strategy exploits discontinuities in the eligibility rules and the staggered implementation of the reform we find that the policy increased mothers participation in the labor market and lowered the reservation wage of the unemployed thus increasing their likelihood of finding a job at the same time the newly introduced childcare arrangement did not affect children s cognitive development irrespective of their family background

childcare effects on maternal employment evidence from chile abstract using a randomized experiment this study examines whether offering afterschool care for children aged between 6 and 13 has an impact on labor market outcomes for women in chile the results show that program participation increases employment by 5 and labor force participation by 7 while the intervention also generates substantial childcare substitution the results also suggest that the provision of afterschool care for older children triggers the use of free daycare for young ineligible children

optimal defaults and active decisions defaults often have a large influence on consumer decisions we identify an overlooked but practical alternative to defaults requiring individuals to make an explicit choice for themselves we study such active decisions in the context of 401 k saving we find that compelling new hires to make active decisions about 401 k enrollment raises the initial fraction that enroll by 28 percentage points relative to a standard opt in enrollment procedure producing a savings distribution three months after hire that would take 30 months to achieve under standard enrollment we also present a model of 401 k enrollment and derive conditions under which the optimal enrollment regime is automatic enrollment i e default enrollment standard enrollment i e default non enrollment or active decisions i e no default and compulsory choice active decisions are optimal when consumers have a strong propensity to procrastinate and savings preferences are highly heterogeneous financial illiteracy however favors default enrollment over active decision enrollment

restoring rational choice the challenge of consumer financial regulation abstract this lecture considers the case for consumer financial regulation in an environment where many households lack the knowledge to manage their financial affairs effectively the lecture argu

the composition and drawdown of wealth in retirement as the baby boomers approach and enter their retirement years the accumulation phase of their life cycle is nearly over thus the focus of many researchers financial services firms and public policymakers concerned with retirement saving is shifting from the accumulation of resources while working to the drawdown of resources during retirement retired households are dependent on the annuitized income streams that they have built up during their working careers and on the wealth that they have accumulated in other forms the two most common annuitized income streams are social security benefits and the payments from defined benefit pension plans these payout streams provide income for life and thus provide some protection against falling into poverty if one lives an especially long life the three most common sources of accumulated wealth are equity in an owner occupied home financial assets such as bonds and stocks and financial assets held in a personal retirement account such as an individual retirement arrangement or a 401 k plan throughout our analysis we will define retirement age households as those headed by someone between the ages of 65 and 69 in 2008 just over 80 percent of these households had some equity in their home or another property while 52 percent had assets in personal retirement accounts a much higher fraction 87 percent had some financial assets outside their retirement accounts but for many households the amount of such assets was relatively modest only 45 percent had more than 20 000 in non retirement account financial assets the median financial asset holding for this group including holdings in personal retirement accounts is 52 000 in short many households have small enough amounts of accumulated wealth that they will depend heavily on the life contingent payout streams offered by social security and if they have one a defined benefit pension this paper presents evidence on the resources available to households as they enter retirement it draws heavily on data collected by the health and retirement study which we sometimes refer to as the hrs we calculate the potential additional annuity income that households could purchase given their holdings of non annuitized financial assets at the start of retirement even if households used all of their financial assets inside and outside personal retirement accounts to purchase a life annuity only 47 percent of households between the ages of 65 and 69 in 2008 could increase their life contingent income by more than 5 000 per year at the upper end of the wealth distribution however a substantial number of households could make large annuity purchases we also consider the role of housing equity in the portfolios of retirement age households and explore the extent to which households draw down housing equity and financial assets as they age we find that many households appear to treat housing equity and non annuitized financial assets as precautionary savings tending to draw them down only when they experience a shock such as the death of a spouse or a period of substantial medical outlays because home equity is often conserved until very late in life for many households it may provide some insurance against the risk of living longer than expected a brief conclusion summarizes our findings and indicates how they bear on a number of policy issues such as the role for annuity defaults in retirement saving plans

tax uncertainty and retirement savings diversification abstract we investigate the optimal savings decisions for investors with access to pre tax traditional and post tax roth versions of tax advantaged retirement accounts the model features a progressive tax schedule and uncertainty over future tax rates traditional accounts are valuable for hedging retirement account performance and managing current income near tax bracket cutoffs whereas roth accounts allow investors to mitigate uncertainty over future tax schedules the optimal asset location policy for most households involves diversifying between traditional and roth vehicles contrary to conventional advice the substantial economic benefits from roth investments are not limited to investors with low current income

new estimates of labour supply elasticities for married women in canada 1996 2005 in this article we estimate income and substitution labour supply and participation elasticities for canadian married women using data from the survey of labour and income dynamics 1996 2005 we use the canadian tax and credit simulator ctacs and detailed information on the structure of income at the household level to compute the marginal tax rates faced by each individual we then use these marginal tax rates to compute net own wage spouse wage and nonlabour income we show how the magnitude of the estimated elasticities varies depending on whether net or gross wages and income are used in the estimation procedure and quantify biases caused by using average tax rates instead of marginal tax rates finally because marginal tax rates vary significantly over the sample we use quantile regressions to compare elasticities at different points of the hours distribution overall our results show that public policies now have on average less scope for influencing hours of work than 10 years ago howev

the educational and labor market returns to preschool attendance in austria preschool attendance is widely recognized as a key ingredient for later socioeconomic success mothers labor market participation and leveling the playing field for children from disadvantaged backgrounds however the empirical evidence for these claims is still relatively scarce particularly in europe using data from the 2011 austrian european union statistics of income and living conditions eu silc we contribute to this literature by studying the effects of having attended preschool for the adult austrian population we find strong and positive effects of preschool attendance on later educational attainment the probability of working full time hourly wages and the probability that the mother is in the labor market full time workers at the bottom and the top of the distribution benefit less than those in the middle women in particular benefit more in terms of years of schooling and the probability of working full time other disadvantaged groups second generation migrants people with less educated parents also often benefit more in terms of education and work

public schooling for young children and maternal labor supply as policy makers have sought to reduce the welfare rolls by increasing labor supply among single mothers much attention has been given to the possible role of expanded child care subsidies including direct provision of public preschool at the same time public interest in child care subsidies for two parent households is high for example former vice president gore not long ago proposed to make high quality pre school fully available to every family for every child in every community in america albert gore 1999 in this paper i use 1980 census data to estimate the effect of public school enrollment for a woman s five year old on measures of labor supply and public assistance receipt this approach has two advantages first i am able to estimate the effect of a large implicit child care subsidy 1 second because public kindergarten is universally available to all age eligible children where it is provided selection problems related to means testing do not arise a difficulty with public school enrollment arises because parents may choose to hold their children back a year or enroll them in private school i deal with this issue by using five yearold s quarter of birth qob variables as instruments for public school enrollment status this strategy works because parents ability to enroll a child in public kindergarten in the academic year when the child turns five typically depends on the calendar date of the child s birth 2 in most states children born in the second quarter april 1 june 30 of 1974 will have been eligible to start kindergarten in the fall of 1979 while children born in the first quarter january 1march 31 of 1975 generally will not eligibility for children born between july 1 and december 31 1974 depends on the rules where they live 3

the effect of universal child benefits on labour supply using a difference in differences estimator i find the canadian universal child care benefit has significant negative income effects on the labour supply of married individuals the likelihood of lower educated mothers to participate in the labour force is reduced 3 2 percentage points when receiving the benefit median hours worked per week among lower educated mothers is reduced by 1 9 hours the effects on higher educated mothers are substantial with median hours worked among higher educated mothers reduced by nearly one hour per week for men the evidence suggests small but significant income effects on labour supply consistent with the literature on labour supply elasticities

retirement financing an optimal reform approach we study policy reforms aimed at overhauling retirement financing we develop a novel approach by considering optimal reforms policy reforms that minimize the cost for the government while respecting the distribution of welfare in the economy our model is an olg model with life cycle features and bequest motives where individuals are heterogeneous in their earning ability and mortality theoretically we show that due to the negative correlation between earnings ability and mortality postretirement distortions to saving decisions are a robust feature of any optimal policy we then use this framework to quantitatively analyze optimal reforms our quantitative exercise shows that an optimal reform relative to the status quo must have three key features first post retirement assets must be subsidized while bequests must be taxed on average optimal marginal subsidies on assets for individuals above age 65 is 3 2 percent while optimal marginal tax on their bequest is 60 percent second pre retirement transfers must increase while social security benefits must become less generous in the aggregate and more progressive towards low income groups finally earnings tax reform does not contribute to optimal reforms i e optimal marginal taxes on earnings remain very close to the status quo the optimal policies reduce the present discounted value of net tax and transfers to each generation by 15 percent

welfare the earned income tax credit and the labor supply of single mothers during 1984 1996 welfare and tax policy were changed to encourage work by single mothers the earned income tax credit was expanded welfare benets were cut welfare time limits were added and welfare cases were terminated medicaid for the working poor was expanded as were training programs and child care during this same time period there were unprecedented increases in the employment and hours of single mothers we show that a large share of the increase in work by single mothers can be attributed to the eitc and other tax changes with smaller shares for welfare benet cuts welfare waivers training programs and child care programs