adaptive versus rational expectations and the fisher effect substantial controversy remains over the causes of interest rate fluctuations this controversy frequently focuses on the role of expected inflation the theoretical determinats of the nominal rate are examined usig the is lm as model and it is shown that the augmented fisher equation is sensitive to the expectations generating mechanism the model assumes that the nominal rate ceteris paribuschanges one for one with expected inflation the total impact however may take any value from zero to one the empirical analysis sequentially estimates reduced form equations based on adaptive and rational expectations the results confirm prior findings that nominal rates do not adjust one for one with inflation the results also yield some insight on the applicability of the assumption of rational versus adaptive expectations

the nonlinear time series properties of unemployment rates some further evidence the time series properties of unemployment rates for germany japan the uk and the us are re examined evidence of nonlinear structure in the residuals of the most parsimonious linear arma models is reported for all countries except japan modelling this nonlinearity using setar models suggests strong asymmetry in unemployment dynamics and the presence of a possible limit cycle for the uk however residual diagnostics for these models indicate remaining structure alternative tar models conditioned on past growth rates of industrial production yield substantial reductions in residual variance over both linear and setar counterparts iid residuals in all cases other than the us and threshold values at or very near zero clearly identifying the asymmetric behaviour of unemployment during expansionary and contractionary phases of the business cycle

patent length and the rate of innovation this paper models the effect of patent length on the rate of innovation and consumer welfare the authors find that the patent length that maximizes the rate of innovation exceeds that which maximizes consumer welfare they show a countervailing effect of patent length upon the size and frequency of innovation longer patents increase the size but decrease the frequency of innovation the patent lengths that maximize the rate of innovation and welfare represent balance points between size and frequency the divergence of the welfare maximizing and rate of innovation maximizing patent lengths has important policy implications that the authors briefly explore copyright 1996 by economics department of the university of pennsylvania and the osaka university institute of social and economic research association

from malthusian stagnation to modern growth this paper investigates the historical evolution of the relationship among population growth technological change and standard of living the analysis focuses on two most important differences among the malthusian regime post malthusian regime and modern growth regime these were the behavior of income per capita and the relationship between the level of income per capita and the population growth rate the modern growth regime is characterized by steady growth in both income per capita and the level of technology in the malthusian regime technological progress and population growth was glacial by modern standards and income per capita was fairly constant in contrast to the modern growth regime the relationship between per capita income and population growth in the malthusian regime was positive post malthusian regime shared one characteristic with each of the two regimes in addition this paper developed and described an endogenous growth model consistent with the above mentioned transition process

threshold effects in the patent growth relationship a pstr approach for 60 developed and developing countries this study analyzes whether there is a threshold effect in the innovation growth relationship using data from the period 2008 2017 we perform an analysis using 60 countries in the whole sample an

threshold nonlinearities in unemployment rates further evidence for the uk and g3 economies the paper appraises the in sample and out of sample adequacy of linear ar and nonlinear setar models of unemployment rates for germany japan the uk and the us tests are reported for the presence and specification of threshold nonlinearities setar model estimates limiting dynamic properties and residual diagnostics and out of sample forecasting performance in sample threshold non linearities are confirmed to be strongly present for the uk us and germany and more marginally so for japan out of sample excepting japan setar models provide superior onestep ahead forecast on rmse grounds most notably for the us final tests indicate that these models exhibit predictive accuracy in the sense of parameter and residual variance stability implying the potential for exploitation of such nonlinearity in official forecasting

inflationary expectations with heterogeneous information generational expectations this paper proposes a modified theory of expectation formation the hypothesis of generational expectations ge unlike the widely accepted hypothesis of rational expectations assumes that agents from their inflationary expectations using the most economical information set their personal experience with inflation the ge hypothesis incorporates the realistic assumptions of heterogenous information sets and bounded rationality several alternative expectational hypotheses are compared in terms of properties of inflation forecasts and estimates of a version of natural rate aggregate supply functions and age group specific phillips curves it is shown that ge performs just as well or even better than other methods

the rise of europe atlantic trade institutional change and economic growth the rise of western europe after 1500 is due largely to growth in countries with access to the atlantic ocean and with substantial trade with the new world africa and asia via the atlantic this trade and the associatedcolonialism affected europe not only directly but also indirectly by inducing institutional change where initial political institutions those established before 1500 placed significant checks on the monarchy the growth of atlantic trade strengthened merchant groups by constraining the power of the monarchy and helped merchants obtain changes in institutions to protect property rights these changes were central to subsequent economic growth

adopting a new religion the case of protestantism in 16th century germany using a dataset of territories and cities of the holy roman empire in the sixteenth century this article investigates the determinants of adoption and diffusion of protestantism as a state religion a territory s distance to wittenberg the city where martin luther taught is a major determinant of adoption this finding is consistent with a theory of strategic neighbourhood interactions introducing the reformation was a risky enterprise for territorial lords and had higher prospects of success if powerful neighbouring states committed to the new faith the actual spatial and temporal patterns of expansion of protestantism are analysed in a panel dataset

the fisher hypothesis a critique of recent results and some new evidence the fisher hypothesis 5 that nominal interest rates should respond point for point to changes in the expected inflation rate while theoretically appealing has had limited success in explaining actual interest rate movements most empirical work has shown that net after tax nominal interest rates are not as sensitive to changes in expected inflation as the hypothesis suggests they should be more troublesome still are the results of two recent studies carmichael and stebbing 3 4 hereafter cs and amsler 1 turn the fisher hypothesis on its head by demonstrating that net nominal yields on financial assets do not respond at all to changes in the expected inflation rate rather the net real yield on these assets falls point for point with increases in the expected inflation rate

medieval universities legal institutions and the commercial revolution we present new data documenting medieval europe s commercial revolution using information on the establishment of markets in germany we use these data to test whether medieval universities played a causal role in expanding economic activity examining the foundation of germany s first universities after 1386 following the papal schism we find that the trend rate of market establishment breaks upward in 1386 and that this break is greatest where the distance to a university shrank most there is no differential pre 1386 trend associated with the reduction in distance to a university and there is no break in trend in 1386 where university proximity did not change these results are robust to estimating a variety of specifications that address concerns about the endogeneity of university location universities provided training in newly rediscovered roman and canon law students with legal training served in positions that reduced the uncertainty of trade in the middle ages we argue that training in the law and the consequent development of legal and administrative institutions was an important channel linking universities and greater economic activity in medieval germany

princes and merchants european city growth before the industrial revolution as measured by the pace of city growth in western europe from 1000 to 1800 absolutist monarchs stunted the growth of commerce and industry a region ruled by an absolutist prince saw its total urban population shrink by one hundred thousand people per century relative to a region without absolutist government this might be explained by higher rates of taxation under revenue maximizing absolutist governments than under nonabsolutist governments which care more about general economic prosperity and less about state revenue

determinants of patent rights a cross national study abstract this paper presents an index of patent rights for 110 countries for the period 1960 1990 the index is used to examine what factors or characteristics of economies determine how strongly patent rights will be protected the evidence does indicate that more developed economies tend to provide stronger protection but the underlying factors which influence patent protection levels are the country s level of research and development r d activity market environment and international integration which are correlated with its level of development the results qualify however that r d activity influences patent protection levels after a nation s research sector reaches a critical size an implication of this is that to raise patent protection levels in weakly protecting countries it is important to foster a significant research base in those countries and thereby create incentives for protecting patent rights

das human kapital a theory of the demise of the class structure this paper suggests that the demise of the capitalists workers class structure was a socio economic transformation orchestrated by the capitalists in reaction to the increasing importance of human capital in sustaining their profit rates physical capital accumulation in the process of industrialization enhanced the importance of human capital in production and generated incentives for capitalists to support the provision of public education for the masses triggering the demise of the existing class structure the implications of the theory are consistent with the voting patterns on england s education reform of 1902

intellectual property rights licensing and innovation in an endogenous product cycle model abstract we develop a dynamic general equilibrium model of the product cycle to study the effects of stronger intellectual property rights iprs in the south on the incentives of firms in the north to innovate and to license advanced technologies innovation and licensing are random processes requiring resources stronger iprs increase the licensor s share of rents and reduce the costs of licensing contracts thus the returns to both licensing and innovation would rise while additional resources would be available for r d in consequence innovation and technology transfer would rise however the effect of stronger iprs on relative wages between regions is ambiguous

innovation intellectual property rights and economic development a unified empirical investigation two important strands of literature investigate the way the effect of intellectual property rights ipr on innovation depends on either the initial ipr level or the level of economic development we expand on this by studying their joint effect in a single unified empirical framework we find that the effect of ipr on innovation is more complex than previously thought displaying important nonlinearities depending on the initial levels of both ipr and per capita gdp the policy implications of this are examined and include the conclusion that a single global level of ipr is in general sub optimal

do national patent laws stimulate domestic innovation in a global patenting environment a cross country analysis of pharmaceutical patent protection 1978 2002 this paper evaluates the effects of patent protection on phar maceutical innovations for 26 countries that established pharmaceutical patent laws during 1978 2002 controlling for country characteristics through matched sampling techniques to establish two proper comparison sets among 92 sampled countries and through country pair fixed effects regressions this study yields robust results national patent protection alone does not stimulate domestic innovation as estimated by changes in citation weighted u s patent awards domestic r d and pharmaceutical industry exports however domestic innovation accelerates in countries with higher levels of economic development educational attainment and economic freedom additionally there appears to be an optimal level of intellectual property rights regulation above which further enhancement reduces innovative activities

interest rates and inflationary expectations abstract the relationship between inflation and the rate of interest for the united states is examined within a dynamic specification framework which yields direct estimates of the long run as distinct from the short run coefficients the fisher hypothesis as a long run proposition is supported by the data the results are shown to be robust with respect to the choice of the interest rate

welfare effects of global patent protection this paper uses a simple model of invention and patent protection to examine the welfare effects of extending patent protection from the country where invention takes place to another country that is only a consumer of invented products it is shown that while the welfare of the inventing country certainly rises with the extension of patent protection that of the other country probably falls and may well fall by more than the increase in welfare of the inventing country in particular as patent protection is extended to a larger and larger portion of the world the effect on the welfare of the world as a whole of extending it to the rest of the world becomes negative

the empire is dead long live the empire long run persistence of trust and corruption in the bureaucracy we hypothesise that the habsburg empire with its well respected administration increased citizens trust in local public services in several eastern european countries communities on both sides of the long gone habsburg border have shared common formal institutions for a century now we use a border specification and a two dimensional geographic regression discontinuity design to identify from individuals living within a restricted band around the former border we find that historical habsburg affiliation increases current trust and reduces corruption in courts and police falsification tests of spuriously moved borders geographic and pre existing differences and interpersonal trust corroborate a genuine habsburg effect

international patent protection 1960 2005 abstract this note provides an update to the index of patent protection published in this journal in 1997 the original paper presented the index for 1960 1990 for 110 countries the index has now been updated to 2005 and extended to 122 countries the adoption of stronger patent laws and the composition of patent rights vary across countries by level of economic development

testing nonlinearities in economic growth in the oecd countries an evidence from setar and star models this study estimates the self exciting threshold autoregressive setar and smooth transition autoregressive star models and examines the nonlinear and regime switching dynamics of economic growth for a set of 10 oecd countries the null of linearity in setar model is tested using the recursive polynomial f test of tsay and the bootstrap based supremum average and exponential average lagrange multiplier lm tests of hansen the f test of tsay rejects the null of linearity for all the countries except spain and switzerland the setar model of hansen reinforces the evidence and suggests the rejection of linear model the star model rejects the null of linearity against star nonlinearity for all the countries except denmark and switzerland the sequential f tests for the conditional nulls suggest the lstar nonlinearity for australia belgium france sweden and uk and the estar nonlinearity for canada spain and the usa

characterizing nonlinearities in business cycles using smooth transition autoregressive models during the past few years investigators have found evidence indicating that various time series representing business cycles such as production and unemployment may be nonlinear in this paper it is assumed that if the time series is nonlinear then it can be adequately described by a smooth transition autoregressive star model the paper describes the application of these models to quarterly logarithmic production indices for 13 countries and europe tests reject linearity for most of these series and estimated star models indicate that the nonlinearity is needed mainly to describe the responses of production to large negative shocks such as oil price shocks

religion and economy religion has a two way interaction with political economy with religion viewed as a dependent variable a central question is how economic development and political institutions affect religious participation and beliefs with religion viewed as an independent variable a key issue is how religiosity affects individual characteristics such as work ethic honesty and thrift and thereby influences economic performance in this paper we sketch previous studies of this two way interaction but focus on our ongoing quantitative research with international data

history lessons institutions factor endowments and paths of development in the new world the explanations offered for the contrasting records of long run growth and development among the societies of north and south america most often focus on institutions the traditional explanations for the sources of these differences in institutions typically highlight the significance of national heritage or religion we in contrast argue that a hemispheric perspective across the wide range of colonies established in the new world by the europeans suggests that although there were many influences factor endowments or initial conditions had profound and enduring effects on the long run paths of institutional and economic development followed by the respective economies

intellectual property protection and innovation an inverted u relationship abstract this paper shows in an endogenous growth model without scale effects that the relationship between intellectual property protection and innovation can be inverted u shaped the inverted u relationship emerges from an interaction between learning driven and r d driven technological advances

research expenditures and the discovery of new drugs this paper examines technical change in the ethical pharmaceutical industry a poisson specification is used to estimate a productivity relationship between research expenditures and drug discoveries thus taking into account the integer nature of the data the result s of estimations using panel data indicate that there is a positive c orrelation between a firm s research and development intensity and it s probability of discovering a new drug firm size however does not significantly affect the marginal productivity of research expenditu res finally the estimates show that an increase in regulatory strin gency decreases the expected number of new drug discoveries copyright 1987 by blackwell publishing ltd

patents vs publications and r d three sides of the same coin panel smooth transition regression pstr for oecd and brics countries abstractthe paper aims to define the optimal thresholds of publications and research and development r d expenditure and to investigate their impacts on patenting in oecd and brics countries to

incentives predestination and free will i introduction max weber s 1930 the protestant ethic and the spirit of capitalism argues that the protestant reformation set the stage for post medieval economic growth using an occupational study of germans from 1895 weber shows that protestants dominate the mercantile or capitalist occupations in that country at that time period weber also argues that between 1600 and 1900 protestant countries advanced faster than their catholic neighbors and that this was the result of calvin s urging acceptance of material success and the dogma of predestination 1 an ocean of work beginning with rachfahl 1909 and sombart 1913 has since attacked weber s theological generalizations see giddens 1992 for a review tawney 1926 and robertson 1933 argue weber s causal interpretation is wrong and that economic growth laid the framework for protestantism not protestantism for economic growth samuelsson 1961 disputes the very correlation between protestantism and economic success which is the basis of the weberian hypothesis the correlation between protestantism and economic success is certainly weaker than weber suggests even in the german data that weber himself uses furthermore more modem data tends to find only a modest link between protestantism and economic success as in winter 1974 and tomes 1994 2 however for centuries there were gaps in economic success between protestant and catholic nations and new findings on early modem data tend to confirm differences between protestants and catholics at least within the u s as weber s arch critic samuelsson himself writes there is some truth in the contention that the protestant countries and especially those adhering to the reformed church were particularly vigorous economically given that there was some correlation between protestantism and economic success before the mid to late 20th century the question then becomes why this correlation existed some elements of protestant theology clearly encourage capitalism usury doctrines became less rigid under calvinism nelson 1972 avarice was de emphasized as a sin weber claims that luther s concept of a calling includes worldly success and that this is a prominent difference with catholic doctrine although this theological claim has been subject to much debate e g sombart 1915 there still appears to be some basic truth to this point one of the largest theological gaps between the denominations is that calvinism accepts the dogma of predestination while catholicism argues for a dogma of free will 3 for the purposes of this paper we will follow weber and accept broad brush definitions of doctrine rather than getting mired in the more subtle features of the two doctrines under predestination a spiritual elite is preordained before the beginning of time and will receive eternal life 4 under free will it is only through a lifetime of good actions that individuals are accepted into heaven 5 weber argues that predestination creates a more lasting basis for economic growth than the dogma of free will in this paper we present a model that formally treats weber s claim under particular circumstances and show how predestination could create the correlation between protestantism and growth that existed in the pre modern era our model also suggests conditions under which a more successful society would favor the doctrine of predestination which can be seen as a formalization of tawney s and robertson s view that economic growth created the reformation in this essay both free will and predestination create incentives which spur good behavior 6 under the doctrine of free will good behavior is motivated by an increased probability of getting into heaven under the doctrine of predestination this incentive is irrelevant because individual actions do not determine spiritual outcomes instead an individual s actions are motivated by a desire to receive positive behavior from others by convincing them that he is part of the spiritual elite

the north s intellectual property rights standard for the south abstract we build a multi sectoral north south trade model to analyze international intellectual property rights ipr protection by comparing the nash equilibrium ipr protection standard of the south the developing countries with that of the north the developed countries we find that the former is naturally weaker than the latter moreover we show that both regions can gain from an agreement that requires the south to harmonize its ipr standards with those of the north and the north to liberalize its traditional goods market this demonstrates the merits of multi sectoral negotiations in the gatt wto

patent rights and innovative activity evidence from national and firm level data global standards of patent protection have been strengthened and harmonized in recent years despite the heated policy debates and theoretical controversies empirical studies of the consequences for innovative activity are scant this paper contributes to the debate by providing an empirical analysis of the effects of patent strength on different aspects of innovative activity namely firm level research and development r d domestic patenting and foreign patenting the analysis employs an updated index of patent rights the results show the complexity of evaluating the effects of patent reform on innovative activity since the effects vary nonlinearly depending on the initial level of patent strength and vary by a country s level of economic development overall for developing economies patent strength negatively affects domestic patent filings and insignificantly affects r d and foreign patent filings for developed economies patent strength positively affects r d and domestic patent filings and negatively affects foreign patent filings after some critical level of patent protection is reached journal of international business studies 2007 38 878 900 doi 10 1057 palgrave jibs 8400306

early literacy achievements population density and the transition to modern growth the transition from economic stagnation to sustained growth is often modeled thanks to population induced productivity improvements which are assumed rather than derived from primary assumptions in this paper the effect of population on productivity is derived from optimal behavior more precisely both the number and location of education facilities are chosen optimally by municipalities individuals determine their education investment depending on the distance to the nearest school and also on technical progress and longevity in this setting higher population density enables the set up costs of additional schools to be covered opening the possibility to reach higher educational levels using counterfactual experiments we find that one third of the rise in literacy can be directly attributed to the effect of density and one sixth is linked to higher longevity moreover the effect of population density in the model is consistent with the available evidence for england where it is shown that schools were established at a high rate over the period 1540 1620

threshold nonlinearities in output some international evidence the empirical adequacy of linear ar and nonlinear setar models of trend stationary and difference stationary representations of output for canada germany japan the uk and the us are appraised test results suggest the presence of linear model residual structure of some form for all series and nonlinearities of specifically threshold form in trend stationary data for canada germany japan and the us and difference stationary data for germany japan and the us with the exception of canada estimated threshold nonlinear models imply asymmetric dynamics are able to account for all nonlinear structure in the data on the basis of bds statistics and provide sizeable reductions in residual variance in several cases most notably for germany

why did the netherlands develop so early the legacy of the brethren of the common life this research establishes a link between the brethren of the common life bcl a religious community founded by geert groote in deventer in the late fourteenth century and the early economic development of the netherlands the bcl stimulated human capital accumulation the historical analyses show that the bcl contributed to the high rates of literacy to the high level of book production and to city growth in the netherlands these findings are supported by a set of ols regressions and further corroborated by 2sls estimates that use distance from deventer as an instrument for the presence of the bcl

appropriate intellectual property protection and economic growth in countries at different levels of development this paper examines how the role of patents and utility models in innovation and economic growth varies by level of economic development using a panel dataset of over 70 countries we find that patent protection is an important determinant of innovation and that patentable innovations contribute to economic growth in developed countries but not in developing instead in developing economies a minor form of intellectual property rights iprs namely utility models is conducive to innovation and growth controlling for other factors using korean firm level data as a case study we find that utility model innovations contribute to firm performance when firms are technologically lagging and that those minor innovations can be a learning device and thus a stepping stone for developing more patentable inventions later on upon reaching higher levels of technological capabilities firms become more reliant upon patents and less on utility models thus the lesson here is that patent protection enhances innovation and economic growth in countries where the capacity to conduct innovative research exists where this capacity is weaker a system that provides incentives to conduct minor incremental inventions is more conducive to growth the significance of this paper is to emphasize the importance not just of the strength of iprs but of the appropriate type of iprs for economic development

was weber wrong a human capital theory of protestant economic history max weber attributed the higher economic prosperity of protestant regions to a protestant work ethic we provide an alternative theory protestant economies prospered because instruction in reading the bible generated the human capital crucial to economic prosperity we test the theory using county level data from late nineteenth century prussia exploiting the initial concentric dispersion of the reformation to use distance to wittenberg as an instrument for protestantism we find that protestantism indeed led to higher economic prosperity but also to better education our results are consistent with protestants higher literacy accounting for most of the gap in economic prosperity

the patent paradox revisited an empirical study of patenting in the u s semiconductor industry 1979 1995 we examine the patenting behavior of firms in an industry characterized by rapid technological change and cumulative innovation recent survey evidence suggests that semiconductor firms do not rely heavily on patents to appropriate returns to r d yet the propensity of semiconductor firms to patent has risen dramatically since the mid1980s we explore this apparent paradox by conducting interviews with industry representatives and analyzing the patenting behavior of 95 u s semiconductor firms during 1979 1995 the results suggest that the 1980s strengthening of u s patent rights spawned patent portfolio races among capital intensive firms but it also facilitated entry by specialized design firms

150 years of patent protection this paper examines three sets of explanations for variations in the strength of patent protection across sixty countries and a 150 year period wealthier nations are more likely to have patent systems to allow patentees a longer time to put their patents into practice and to ratify treaties assuring equal treatment of other nations but they are also likely to charge higher fees and limit patent protection in some important ways countries with democratic political institutions are consistently more likely to have patent protection appear to be determined by historical factors the origin of a country s commercial law appears particularly important in explaining the presence of restrictions on patentees privileges and discriminatory provisions against foreign patentees this abstract was borrowed from another version of this item

which countries have state religions among 188 countries 72 had no state religion in 2000 1970 and 1900 58 had a state religion throughout and 58 had 1 or 2 transitions we use a hotelling spatial competition model to analyze the likelihood that the religion market would be monopolized similar forces influence a government s decision to establish a state religion consistent with the model the probability of state religion in 1970 and 2000 is increasing with the adherence rate to the main religion has a nonlinear relation with population and has little relation with per capita gdp the probability of state religion decreases sharply under communism but lagged communism has only a weak effect with costly adjustment for institutions the probability of state religion in 1970 or 2000 depends substantially on the status in 1900 this persistence is much stronger for countries with no major regime change than for countries with such a change

how trade related are intellectual property rights abstract there is little empirical evidence about whether differing international levels of patent protection influence trade flows if a nation strengthens its patent laws it could experience higher or lower imports we specify an empirical model in which deviations of bilateral sectoral imports from anticipated levels are related to income trade barriers and patent laws patent regulations in the importing country are corrected for endogeneity through the use of instrumental variables the results of the final equations indicate that increasing patent protection has a positive impact on bilateral manufacturing imports into both small and large developing economies

how broad should the scope of patent protection be i explore the trade off between a patent s length that is its lifetime and its width that is its scope of coverage a wider patent generally reduces the distortion of consumers choices between the patented brand of the product and unpatented lower priced varieties sold by competitors but also permits higher prices which increase relative to profits the deadweight losses from consumers switching consumption out of the product class i show under what conditions infinitely lived but very narrowly focused patents are the socially efficient way to reward innovation and under what conditions very short lived but very broad patents are optimal

novelty and disclosure in patent law the stringency of the novelty requirement in patent law affects the pace of innovation because it affects the amount of technical information that is disclosed among firms it also affects ex ante profitability of research we compare weak and strong novelty requirements from the standpoint of social efficiency we ask how our answer depends on the rule that determines which firm gets a patent when two firms have patents pending on the same technology the possible rules are first to invent which applies in the u s and first to file which applies everywhere else

examining the differences in the impact of climate change on innovation between developed and developing countries evidence from a panel system gmm analysis this article aims to explore the dynamic relationship between innovation and climate changes for a sample of 60 countries we performed an aggregated analysis in which we use the whole sample 60 c

monetary deregulation and inverting the inverted fisher effect abstract we find evidence that deregulation allowing interest payments on checkable deposits decreased increased the sensitivity of the real nominal rate of interest to expected inflation our results provide further confirmation of the inverted fisher effect

business enterprise r d technological change and intellectual property protection abstract very little empirical evidence exists on the relationship between intellectual property rights and innovation existing studies tend to be indirect and do not consider the influence of iprs on innovation per se nor do they adequately allow for the endogeneity of iprs correcting for these omissions we show that the strength of intellectual property protection has a strong positive influence on innovation

international protection of intellectual property we study the incentives that governments have to protect intellectual property in a trading world economy we consider a world economy with ongoing innovation in two countries that differ in market size and in their capacities for innovation after describing the determination of national patent policies in a non cooperative regime of patent protection we ask why is intellectual property better protected in the north than in the south we also study international patent agreements by deriving the properties of an efficient global regime of patent protection and asking whether harmonization of patent policies is necessary or sufficient for global efficiency jel o34 f13 during the 1980 s and early 1990 s the united states and several european countries expressed strong dissatisfaction with what they deemed to be inadequate protection of intellectual property in many developing countries the developed countries made the upgrading of intellectual property rights iprs one of their highest priorities for the uruguay round of trade talks their efforts bore fruit in the agreement on traderelated aspects of intellectual property rights trips which was approved as part of the final act of the uruguay round trips establishes minimum standards of protection for several categories of intellectual property for example in the area of new technology it essentially harmonizes

the mission human capital transmission economic persistence and culture in south america this article examines the long term consequences of a historical human capital intervention the jesuit order founded religious missions in 1609 among the guarani in modern day argentina brazil and paraguay before their expulsion in 1767 missionaries instructed indigenous inhabitants in reading writing and various crafts using archival records as well as data at the individual and municipal level i show that in areas of former jesuit presence within the guarani area educational attainment was higher and remains so by 10 15 250 years later these educational differences have also translated into incomes that are 10 higher today the identification of the positive effect of the guarani jesuit missions emerges after comparing them with abandoned jesuit missions and neighboring franciscan guarani missions the enduring effects observed are consistent with transmission mechanisms of structural transformation occupational specialization and technology adoption in agriculture

from farmers to merchants conversions and diaspora human capital and jewish history from the end of the second century ce judaism enforced a religious norm requiring fathers to educate their sons we present evidence supporting our thesis that this change had a major influence on jewish economic and demographic history first the high individual and community cost of educating children in subsistence farming economies 2nd to 7th centuries prompted voluntary conversions of jews that account for a share of the reduction from 4 5 to 1 2 million second the jewish farmers who invested in education gained the comparative advantage and incentive to enter skilled occupations during the urbanization in the abbasid empire in the near east 8th and 9th centuries and they did select themselves into these occupations third as merchants the jews invested even more in education a precondition for the mailing network and common court system that endowed them with trading skills demanded all over the world fourth the jews generated a voluntary diaspora within the muslim empire and later to western europe fifth the majority of world jewry lived in the near east when the mongol invasions in the 1250s brought this region back to a subsistence farming economy in which many jews found it difficult to enforce the religious norm and hence converted as it had happened centuries earlier jel j1 j2 n3 o1 z12 z13

evidence of the fisher effect from u k indexed bonds newly available data from the u k market for indexed securities are used to test the fisher hypothesis for monthly observations of interest rates at 14 maturities the hypothesis that the after tax nominal interest rate is a constant plus anticipated inflation proves to be a reasonable approximation of reality for longer maturities the coefficients on the expected rate of inflation are approximately equal to one the mundell tobin effect is in evidence for shorter maturities the inverted fisher effect is in evidence for shorter maturities the inverted fisher effect is decisively rejected the evidence suggests that past difficulties encountered in trying to prove the fisher effect have been due to the lack of a direct measure of inflation expectations and real interest rates copyright 1992 by mit press

licensing versus direct investment implications for economic growth we develop a symmetric two country model of foreign direct investment fdi that captures the internalization decision and its implications for both the rate and magnitude of innovations when mode choice licensing versus fdi is fixed a subsidy to multinational production increases the rate but decreases the size of innovations when mode can switch the rate and size of innovations both increase provided the subsidy is not too large although innovation size decreases for industries where firms already were choosing fdi innovation size increases for industries where firms switch from licensing to fdi because multinationals choose larger innovations than licensors 2002 elsevier science b v all rights reserved