the market value of reducing cancer risk hedonic housing prices with changing information 1 introduction market evidence on the value of a statistical life invariably consists of cross sectional evidence on risks and prices or wages at a point in time if information about the level of risk changes over time and people incorporate this information in a rational manner there will be a corresponding price response on the basis of these temporal changes one can estimate the market price risk tradeoff eliminating many confounding time invariant effects that cannot be controlled for using cross sectional data this paper examines the market response to the release of government information about the level of risk at hazardous waste sites and provides insight into the rationality of this response studies based on experimental evidence and survey data often find that individual beliefs may deviate from objective risk levels 1 people often overestimate highly publicized risks and mortality risks in the case of hazardous waste risks bias in risk beliefs often leads to considerable public reaction and pressure for site cleanups which may be an inefficient outcome by using market data one can examine whether this intense public reaction carries over to contexts in which private money is at stake government agencies frequently use information provision as a regulatory device particularly since the advent of the right to know movement of the 1980s examples of information provision efforts include the food and drug administration s requirement that many prescription drugs indude information inserts the department of housing and urban development s requirement that sellers of houses built before 1950 inform buyers about the presence of lead based paints and the environmental protection agency s epa requirement that manufacturing facilities report their annual releases of chemicals above a threshold amount for a list of over 600 substances such regulations imply a belief that citizens can learn from information about risk and rationally adjust their prior beliefs towards the objective risk level in light of the information this article provides market evidence to bolster the results of some survey studies of information transfer that suggest that individuals revise their risk beliefs in response to new information 2 the u s federal policy dealing with hazardous waste sites is known as the superfund program the most hazardous sites are targeted for cleanup and placed on a government priority roster called the national priorities list npl extension of the classic theory of compensating differentials to the housing market implies that environmental disamenities such as hazardous waste sites will reduce housing prices rosen 1974 the negative impact of hazardous waste sites on the housing prices of nearby residences is well documented for example in a previous study gayer hamilton and viscusi 2000 we used an analysis that focused on the sale of 16 928 houses from 1988 to 1993 that surround superfund sites in greater grand rapids michigan we found that before the epa released its risk report a reduction in the cancer risk from neighborhood superfund sites by the mean level of risk would increase the average value of a house by 238 in 1996 dollars 3 to estimate this willingness of residents to pay to avoid cancer risks before the release of the epa s risk report we assumed that residents prior beliefs were equal to the objectively measured risks suggested by the report thus this analysis was based on the very strong informational assumption that residents could in effect predict the results of the epa s site specific risk assessments before the release of the report the price risk tradeoff implied a value of a statistical cancer case of 51 million once the epa released its risk information the implied value of a statistical cancer case was 4 million these results suggest that after the release of the epa s risk report revealed preferences for avoiding superfund risks were consistent with surveys of the value of a statistical life in the labor market

a review of wta wtp studies abstract willingness to accept wta is usually substantially higher than willingness to pay wtp these constructs have been studied for roughly 30 years and with a wide variety of goods this paper reviews those studies we find that the less the good is like an ordinary market good the higher is the ratio the ratio is highest for non market goods next highest for ordinary private goods and lowest for experiments involving forms of money a generalization of this pattern holds even when we account for differences in survey design ordinary goods have lower ratios than non ordinary ones we also find that ratios in real experiments are not significantly different from hypothetical experiments and that incentive compatible elicitation yields higher ratios

marching to the beat of the drum the impact of the pace of life in us cities on entrepreneurial work effort founders face a variety of challenges while working to establish a viable start up in order to successfully overcome the many pressures that they face founders must make difficult choices about how to allocate their time and how much effort to exert in their ventures these founders are also embedded in a broader social context and their efforts are influenced by external conditions in this study we examine one particular social condition pace of life and its relationship on entrepreneurial work effort we argue that the pace of life in the region where founders launch and run their ventures affects their work effort over and above other individual and firm level characteristics we also argue that this direct relationship can strengthen or weaken depending on founding team size or entrepreneurial experience our longitudinal analyses of nearly 2600 us new ventures from 2004 to 2011 support our arguments our work advances prior research on the determinants of entrepreneurial work effort enhances the literature on social norms and entrepreneurial action and provides additional insights into the multilevel influences of entrepreneurial activity while entrepreneurs are commonly perceived as non conformists who march to the beat of their own drum we find evidence suggesting that regional pace of life actually sets the tempo for business owners and influences the amount of effort that they allocate to their ventures

attitudes toward risk and the risk return paradox prospect theory explanations this study attempted to explain bowman s risk return paradox in terms of recent research in behavioral decision theory and prospect theory the research emphasized the role of reference or target

development and application of a cost benefit framework for energy reliability using probabilistic methods in network planning and regulation to enhance social welfare the n 1 rule although electricity is crucial to many activities in developed societies guaranteeing a maximum reliability of supply to end users is extremely costly this situation gives rise to a trade off between the costs and benefits of reliability the dutch government has responded to this trade off by changing the rule stipulating that electricity networks must be able to maintain supply even if one component fails known as the n 1 rule even in maintenance situations this rule was changed by adding the phrase unless the costs exceed the benefits we have developed a cost benefit framework for the implementation and application of this new rule the framework requires input on failure probability the cost of supply interruptions to end users and the cost of investments a case study of the dutch grid shows that the method is indeed practicable and that it is highly unlikely that n 1 during maintenance will enhance welfare in the netherlands therefore including the limitation unless the costs exceed the benefits in the rule has been a sensible policy for the netherlands and would also be a sensible policy for other countries

focusing and framing of risky alternatives abstract this paper develops a theory of focusing and framing in an intertemporal context with risky choices we provide a selection criterion between existing theories of focusing by allowing a decision maker to choose her frame such that her attention is either drawn to salient events associated with an option or to the expected utilities an option yields in different time periods our key assumption is that a decision maker can choose her frame in a self serving manner we predict that the selected frame induces overoptimistic actions in the sense that subjects underrate downside risk but overrate upside risk and accordingly reveal overoptimistic choices hence our theory can explain phenomena such as excessive harmful consumption smoking unhealthy diet and risky investments entrepreneurship lotteries gambling in one coherent framework notably overoptimistic actions are not universal but have plausible limits we characterize under which situations overoptimistic actions are most likely to occur and under which circumstances choices should be rational or even pessimistic

entrepreneurs perceived chances for success abstract entrepreneurs involved in planning or starting firms must engage in a continuing process of appraising prospects for success these assessments presumably bear upon the preparations they make as well as at some later point whether they decide to make major changes or even to discontinue the business in this study data from 2994 entrepreneurs who had recently become business owners were analyzed to determine their perceived changes of success although previous evidence on business survival led to the hypothesis that the entrepreneurs would only be cautiously optimistic this was not the case they perceived their prospects as very favorable with 81 seeing odds of 7 out of 10 or better and a remarkable 33 seeing odds of success of 10 out of 10 in considering the prospects for other businesses like their own they perceived odds which were significantly lower but still moderately favorable based upon previous research on factors associated with new business success it was hypothesized that those who were more likely to succeed based upon their personal backgrounds and the nature of their new firms would be more optimistic however this was not the case those who were poorly prepared were just as optimistic as those who were well prepared at this point shortly after having become business owners the assessment by entrepreneurs of their own likelihood of success was dramatically detached from past macro statistics from perceived prospects for peer businesses and from characteristics typically associated with higher performing new firms the psychological literature on post decisional bolstering suggests that decision makers in many settings tend to bolster or exaggerate the attractiveness of an option after it has been chosen this coupled with the tendency of entrepreneurs to believe that they can control their own destinies implies that the extreme optimism observed here is probably a typical occurrence for entrepreneurs the findings suggest that it is probably natural to experience feelings of entrepreneurial euphoria when first becoming a business owner with the available evidence it is difficult to judge whether this leads to inadequate preparations or an inability to diagnose problems and make adjustments after the business is started this extreme optimism probably does contribute to the heavy personal commitments observed here in which the median entrepreneur devoted more than 60 hours per week to the business the entrepreneur would seem well advised to form relationships with outsiders such as board members and professional advisors who can be objective and detached in diagnosing problems and assessing objectively the prospects for the business in its current form

identifying the impacts of rail transit stations on residential property values abstract prior studies that have empirically investigated the impact of rail station proximity on property values have not fully investigated the factors that may account for this relationship stations may raise the value of nearby properties by reducing commuting costs or by attracting retail activity to the neighborhood possibly countering these positive effects are negative externalities emitted by stations and the access to neighborhoods that stations provide to criminals this paper sorts out these effects by presenting the results from estimating a hedonic price model and auxiliary models for neighborhood crime and retail activity results show that all four effects play a role in defining the relationship between property values and rail stations but the relative importance of these effects varies with distance from downtown and the median income of the neighborhood

serial nonparticipation in repeated discrete choice models we consider alternative econometric strategies for addressing serial nonparticipation that is repeated choice of the same alternative or same type of alternative across a series of choice occasions in data typically analyzed within the repeated discrete choice framework single and double hurdle variants of the repeated discrete choice model are developed and applied to choice experiment and multisite seasonal recreation demand data our results suggest that hurdle models can generate significant improvements in statistical fit and qualitatively different policy implications particularly in choice experiment applications where the proper treatment of serial nonparticipation is relatively more ambiguous

the tortoise versus the hare progress and business viability differences between conventional and leisure based founders social science researchers have long pursued answers to the puzzle of why some people achieve certain milestones more quickly than others and whether rate of progress matters for long run outcomes this tortoise versus hare puzzle raises the question of whether speed is a valid indicator of viability in an undertaking are those with slower rates of progress any less off in terms of long run achievement when compared to their faster counterparts we investigate this tortoise and hare puzzle in the context of business formation an activity pursued by millions in the united states our analysis of a nationally representative survey of u s business founders revealed that leisure based founders were slower to make progress initially but after a certain time threshold their progress was no different than other conventional types of founders more importantly leisure based founders showed more favorable initial economic and non economic outcomes as these founders were more likely to consistently report early sales and profitability and were more committed to investing time into their ventures our study findings have both theoretical and practical implications for the evaluation of venture performance when the rate of progress is considered to be a leading indicator of new business viability

managing electricity procurement cost and risk by a local distribution company abstract a local electricity distribution company ldc can satisfy some of its future electricity requirements through self generation and volatile spot markets and the remainder through fixed price forward contracts that will reduce its exposure to the inherent risk of spot price volatility a theoretical framework is developed for determining the forward contract purchase that minimizes the ldcs expected procurement cost subject to a cost exposure constraint the answers to the questions of what to buy and how to buy are illustrated using an example of a hypothetical ldc that is based on a municipal utility in florida it is shown that the ldcs procurement decision is consistent with least cost procurement subject to a cost exposure constraint and that an internet based multi round auction can produce competitive price quotes for its desired forward purchase

uncovering context induced status quo effects in choice experiments abstract in this study five design dimensions are varied systematically investigating context induced status quo effects in choice experiments additionally two structural complexity measures entropy and the number of attribute level changes are used to capture status quo effects from the similarity between alternatives and the number of trade offs a crucial finding is that the frequency of status quo choices is negatively associated with the number of alternatives indicating preference matching effects by contrast the probability of choosing the status quo increases with a higher number of choice tasks a wider level range and the similarity between alternatives status quo choices are further affected by the current environmental situation perceived by respondents we also find that marginal and non marginal welfare estimates are significantly affected by the choice design one key finding is that the most used choice task format in environmental economics i e two hypothetical and a status quo alternative is likely to increase the propensity to choose the status quo option

habit formation in consumer preferences evidence from panel data this paper tests for the presence of habit formation using household data a simple model of habit formation implies a condition relating the strength of habits to the evolution of consumption over time when the condition is estimated with food consumption data from the panel study on income dynamics the results yield no evidence of habit formation at the annual frequency this finding is robust to a number of changes in the specification it also holds for several proxies for nondurables and services consumption created by combining psid variables with weights estimated from consumer expenditure survey data

investment and the current account in the short run and the long run theoretical models of the relationship between investment and the current account impose restrictions on the joint dynamic behavior of these variables these restrictions come in two forms one imposes causal orderings on investment and the current account the other restriction concerns the permanent responses of these variables to different shocks we use these restrictions to identify empirically structural shocks from vector autoregressions of investment and the current account for canada under certain identifications our results support the implications of the intertemporal small open economy model however these results are sensitive to perturbations of the identifications

are entrepreneurs decisions more biased an experimental investigation of the susceptibility to status quo bias abstract entrepreneurship research has demonstrated that entrepreneurs are more susceptible to certain cognitive biases than are selected other individuals we investigate whether this finding holds for the status quo bias not yet investigated in the entrepreneurship literature the status quo bias is defined as the tendency to select a previously chosen alternative disproportionately often we compare entrepreneurs decisions with those of students and bankers in an experimental study we find that entrepreneurs are as affected by the status quo as students but less affected than bankers accounting for differences in experience and types of decision scenarios we have indirect evidence for a consistency of entrepreneurs decisions with what would be expected from a stereotypical schumpeterian entrepreneur being more open to new options than other individuals are however since entrepreneurs are frequently influenced by the status quo we discuss the pros and cons of such behavior

holding on for too long an experimental study on inertia in entrepreneurs and non entrepreneurs disinvestment choices abstract disinvestment in the sense of project termination and liquidation of assets including the cession of a venture is an important realm of entrepreneurial decision making this study presents the results of an experimental investigation modeling the choice to disinvest as a dynamic problem of optimal stopping in which the patterns of decisions are analyzed with entrepreneurs and non entrepreneurs our experimental results reject the standard net present value approach as an account of observed behavior instead most individuals seem to understand the value of waiting their choices are weakly related to the disinvestment triggers derived from a formal optimal stopping benchmark consistent with real options reasoning we also observe a pronounced psychological inertia i e most individuals hold on to a losing project for even longer than real options reasoning would predict the study provides evidence for entrepreneurs and non entrepreneurs being quite similar in their behavior

uptake and usage of cost reflective electricity pricing insights from psychology and behavioural economics abstract the australian electricity industry like many other countries globally is currently facing the complex challenge of reforming electricity tariffs momentum is growing for transitioning residential consumers toward more cost reflective pricing that better reflects the true costs of generation and supply and sends a price signal that presumably incentivises reduced consumption during peak periods under such tariffs customers pay more for electricity used during times of peak demand unlike traditional flat rate tariffs where the price remains stable regardless of time or demand pilot trials indicate that cost reflective tariffs might succeed in reducing peak demand but often only for a small minority of customers such that population wide demand response is minimal or insignificant in this paper we apply insights from psychology and behavioural economics to identify how cost reflective pricing can be designed depicted and delivered to enhance customer uptake and optimal usage thereby facilitating appropriate demand response for a larger cross section of the population by carefully considering the likely impact of relevant cognitive biases and psychological factors which routinely shape human decision making and behaviour we are able to propose practical strategies that industry can adopt to maximise the prospect of cost reflective pricing achieving significant population level peak demand reductions while providing shared benefits for customers retailers networks and regulators alike

household energy use applying behavioural economics to understand consumer decision making and behaviour household energy conservation has emerged as a major challenge and opportunity for researchers practitioners and policymakers consumers also seem to be gaining greater awareness of the value and need for sustainable energy practices particularly amid growing public concerns over greenhouse gas emissions and climate change yet even with adequate knowledge of how to save energy and a professed desire to do so many consumers still fail to take noticeable steps towards energy efficiency and conservation there is often a sizeable discrepancy between peoples self reported knowledge values attitudes and intentions and their observable behaviour examples include the well known knowledge action gap and value action gap but neither is household energy consumption driven primarily by financial incentives and the rational pursuit of material interests in fact people sometimes respond in unexpected and undesirable ways to rewards and sanctions intended to shift consumers cost benefit calculus in favour of sustainable behaviours why is this so why is household energy consumption and conservation difficult to predict from either core values or material interests by drawing on critical insights from behavioural economics and psychology we illuminate the key cognitive biases and motivational factors that may explain why energy related behaviour so often fails to align with either the personal values or material interests of consumers understanding these psychological phenomena can make household and community responses to public policy interventions less surprising and in parallel can help us design more cost effective and mass scalable behavioural solutions to encourage renewable and sustainable energy use among consumers

understanding household energy use decision making and behaviour in guinea conakry by applying behavioural economics abstract for decades generalized frauds have left the electrical sector of guinea with an entirely defective financial scheme as a developing nation guinea s electricity consumption has been relatively low for a long time although it has been increasing recently due to increasing power generation the growth in power capacity is due to the construction of two new dams kaleta dam 240 mw which is already operational and souapiti dam 550 mw which is still under construction taking into account that the country has so far been without electricity there is a need to assess and predict consumer behaviour before the full completion of these projects the aim of this study is to make the household and community reactions to public policy interventions less surprising however even sufficient knowledge of how to conserve energy and a stated desire to do so many consumers still fail to take perceptible measures to increase energy efficiency and conservation why is this so by focusing on crucial insights from behavioural economics and psychology we highlight the incentive factors the basic cognitive biases and the psychological phenomena that cause this disconnect understanding these factors can help us to design sustainable energy use among consumers in guinea conakry

looming stations valuing transport innovations in historical context we investigate the impact of transport innovations on the productivity of urban locations in 1890 1936 berlin germany we find an increase in land value of up to 2 5 per 100 m decline in distance to urban railway station

residential willingness to pay for deep decarbonization of electricity supply contingent valuation evidence from hong kong abstract motivated by the government s proposed target of reducing co2 emissions by 30 of the 2005 level in the year 2020 we estimate the residential willingness to pay wtp for deep decarbonization of hong kong s electricity supply which is heavily dependent on coal fired generation our contingent valuation survey conducted in 2016 of 1460 households yields dichotomous choice data based on the respondents answers to a series of closed ended questions such data are less susceptible to the strategic bias that often plagues self stated wtp data obtained by direct elicitation via open ended questions using binary choice models we find that average wtp is 48 51 relative to current bills if the decarbonization target is achieved via natural gas generation and renewable energy however estimated wtp declines to 32 42 when decarbonization entails additional nuclear imports from china as the projected bill increase caused by the target s implementation is 40 our wtp estimates support the government s fuel mix policy of using natural gas and renewable energy to displace hong kong s coal generation

does the law of one price hold for hedonic prices hedonic prices of locational attributes in urban land markets are determined by a process of spatial arbitrage that is similar to that which underpins the law of one price if hedonic prices deviat

international capital mobility amongst the major industrialised countries too little or too much this paper examines capital flows among the major industrialized countries with a view to assessing m feldstein and c horioka s 1980 claim that international capital mobility is limited it argues that saving investment correlation tests are inherently flawed and proposes an alternative methodology for testing the degree of international capital mobility it finds that capital flows have been excessive in the sense that they are driven by speculative forces rather than by economic fundamentals copyright 1995 by royal economic society

residential implementation of critical peak pricing of electricity this paper investigates how critical peak pricing cpp affects households with different usage and income levels with the goalof informing policy makers who are considering the implementation of cpptariffs in the residential sector using a subset of data from thecalifornia statewide pricing pilot of 2003 2004 average load changeduring summer events annual percent bill change and post experimentsatisfaction ratings are calculated across six customer segments categorized by historical usage and income levels findings show thathigh use customers respond significantly more in kw reduction than dolow use customers while low use customers save significantly more inpercentage reduction of annual electricity bills than do high usecustomers results that challenge the strategy of targeting only high usecustomers for cpp tariffs across income levels average load and billchanges were statistically indistinguishable as were satisfaction ratesresults that are compatible with a strategy of full scale implementationof cpp rates in the residential sector finally the high use customersearning less than 50 000 annually were the most likely of the groups tosee bill increases about 5 percent saw bill increases of 10 percent ormore suggesting that any residential cpp implementation might considertargeting this customer group for increased energy efficiencyefforts

a micro econometric analysis of risk aversion and the decision to self insure this study estimates a von neumann morgenstern utility function using market data and micro econometric methods we investigate the decision whether to purchase insurance against the risk of telephone line trouble in the home using the choices of approximately 10 000 residential customers we determine the shape of the utility function and the degree of risk aversion we find that risk aversion varies systematically in the population and varies with the level of income and that the observed choice behavior is consistent with expected utility maximization we are unable to detect the presence of ambiguity effects or over weighting of low probability events

consumer rationality and the status quo received microeconomic theory presumes rational consumers maximize utility over all commodity bundles recent analysis however suggests that a consumer s status quo may limit economic rationality bias consumer decisions and induce serious errors in survey based valuations of public and private goods using regression and choice theoretic frameworks we investigate the existence of status quo effects in the consumer valuation of a particular unpriced product the reliability of residential electrical service such valuations have become important in electric utility resource planning and rate making we find substantial status quo effects which must be addressed in welfare comparisons regarding electric service reliability

habit formation and the present value model of the current account yet another suspect abstract in a recent paper gruber gruber j w 2004 a present value test of habits and the current account journal of monetary economics 51 1495 1507 claims that habit formation in consumption plays an important role in current account fluctuations in selected developed countries extending the present value model of the current account pvm with consumption habits in this paper however i show that the habit forming pvm is observationally equivalent to the pvm augmented with persistent transitory consumption which is induced by world real interest rate shocks based on a small open economy real business cycle soe rbc model endowed with consumption habits as well as persistent world real interest rate shocks this paper resolves the inherent identification problem of the habit forming pvm by bayesian methods to seek effects of habit formation on current account fluctuations in typical small open economies canada and the united kingdom results reveal no clear evidence that habit formation plays a crucial role in current account fluctuations

robustness information processing constraints and the current account in small open economies article i nfo in this paper we examine the effects of two types of induced uncertainty model uncertainty due to robust ness rb and state uncertainty due to finite information processing capacity called rational inattention or ri on consumption and the current account we show that the combination of rb and ri improves the model s predictions for i the contemporaneous correlation between the current account and income and ii the volatility and persistence of the current account in small open emerging and developed economies in addition we show that the two informational frictions improve the model s ability to match the impulse response of consumption to income and the relative volatility of consumption to income growth

regret in repeat purchase versus switching decisions the attenuating role of decision justifiability the decision making literature has consistently reported that decisions to maintain the status quo tend to be regretted less than decisions to change it we examine the consequences of repeat purchasing maintaining the status quo versus switching in the context of information regarding the reason for the decision e g prior consumption episode brand history and we argue that there are situations in which repeat purchasing may cause as much or even more regret than switching we contend that this effect depends on whether or not there is a justifiable basis for the decision in a series of four studies we show that if there is sufficient motivation to warrant a switch consumers will feel less regret in the face of a subsequent negative outcome realized via a switch than in one realized via a repeat purchase our results imply that feelings of regret are mitigated when the consumer reflects and concludes that the decision was appropriate under the circumstances

valuing rail access using transport innovations this paper uses a powerful empirical method to evaluate the benefits of rail access to consumers we study the effects on house prices of a transport innovation that altered the distance to the nearest station for some households but left others unaffected the transport innovation we study is the construction of new stations in london in the late 1990s using this innovation we implement a quasi experimental approach that allows us to avoid the biases inherent in cross sectional valuation work our evidence on distance station effects on local prices identified through distance changes induced by the transport innovation suggests that households value rail access and that these valuations are large compared to the valuations of other local amenities

new firms societal contribution versus survival potential abstract new business firms are now considered a major source of new jobs economic growth technical innovation and economic flexibility they may provide a major strategic advantage for the united states in world competition a more complete precise understanding of the dynamics of new firm development their societal contributions and factors affecting their survival has considerable policy and managerial significance a study of new firm contributions and survival was completed to determine whether the same factors would account for both they do not the research began with a substantial body of descriptive information on 551 new firms initiated in minnesota between 1978 and 1984 the initial data were collected in the summer of 1984 a one year follow up was completed in 1985 to determine new firm survival the sample was representative of all major industry sectors and all regions of the state about 60 were located in the minneapolis st paul urban area attempts to predict current 1984 contributions indicated that age was not a significant factor older new firms did not contribute more than younger new firms the developmental pattern primarily the average annual growth rate was highly related to sales or jobs provided in 1984 next most significant was the industry of the new firm manufacturing distributive services and business producer service new firms provided more significant contributions the one year follow up was able to determine the survival status of 548 of the 551 firms slightly less than 10 48 had not survived major factors related to survival appeared to be age high death rates at 2 3 years and attention to financial matters

networking and growth of young technology intensive ventures in china abstract more often than not new ventures lack established products known technologies longstanding customer relations experienced managerial teams sufficient capital and strong reputations almost by definition small new firms lack the resources of many larger established firms the task of an infant firm and a measure of its success is to make a transition from being resource weak to being resource strong how can resources that are critical for profitable growth be acquired for the resource weak new venture researchers have found that entrepreneurs can gain access to valuable resources and they can seek to achieve competitive advantage through networking activities forming and utilizing available relationships with external organizations can allow entrepreneurs to build credibility gain advice financing and customer access build a positive image and obtain resources at below market prices and obtain channel access information and innovations business relationships with other organizations allow an entrepreneur to achieve desired business results through asset parsimony a favorable view toward networking for new ventures leaves a number of unanswered questions however relevant research questions might include who should the entrepreneur seek as a business partner are all inter organizational relationships equal or are some types more valuable to new ventures than other relationships do firms relying on high levels of networking activities actually outperform firms that less actively seek resources through external organizational relationships the present study provides a specific understanding of the concept of networking for entrepreneurs we propose that networking can be understood in terms of range the number of external relationships to obtain resources and of intensity the frequency of contact of and amount of resource obtained from these relationships this research project evaluates the range and intensity of networking among high growth and low growth entrepreneurial ventures extensive interviewing with managers of six young technology oriented firms in the people s republic of china prc affirmed the importance of entrepreneurial networking managers in the three high growth firms reported greater range and intensity of business networking than did managers of three low growth firms matched by industry and age moreover the relationship between networking activities and growth transcended the stage of firm development where networking range and intensity are deemed important in the growth process new venture success may call for entrepreneurs to reach out deliberately to external organizations to capture needed resources to a certain extent such networking activities run counter to important entrepreneurial motivations of independence and autonomy the concept of networking and the results of this study imply that entrepreneurs need to combine the spirit of independence with the reality of resource dependence and they need to balance personal autonomy with strategic business relationships this study also contributes to the understanding of entrepreneurship in our increasingly global economy particularly in the prc business relationships between the united states and the prc have been expanding rapidly in the last decade many foreign businesses seek license agreements joint venture partners equity participation or channel relationships with young ventures in that country do the same rules of networking apply in the prc as the literature suggests apply in the united states new ventures in this study were found to engage in processes of networking activities consistent with those in the west although networking activities may have different cultural roots firm success appeared influenced by the same principles of networking

market potential in british regions 1871 1931 crafts n 2005 market potential in british regions 1871 1931 regional studies 39 1159 1166 this paper constructs measures of market potential for british regions based on the spatial distribution of gross domestic product and its accessibility the results show that the north scotland and wales were much less peripheral before the first world war than in 1985 the main reason for the deterioration in their position was changing transport costs associated with the demise of coastal shipping and the rise of road haulage the implications of technological progress in transportation for relative market potential over the long run have gone unremarked but should not be forgotten as globalization forges ahead

desperate housewives communication difficulties and the dynamics of marital un happiness this paper develops a model of marital dissolution based on communication difficulties the quality of a marriage depends on the proximity of an action to a target the target is unknown and must be learned over time each individual receives private signals about the target and can communicate them only imperfectly to his or her spouse because of imperfect communication spouses may hold different beliefs about the optimal action the action actually chosen is a compromise of the spouses distinct beliefs if a couple s beliefs diverge too widely one or both of them may prefer to dissolve the marriage the paper explores how poor communication contributes to marital unhappiness as well as its implications for the dynamics of divorce risk the welfare properties of divorce decisions and the role of counseling when the distribution of decision making power in the household favors men wives but not husbands can find themselves trapped for prolonged periods in a marriage that leaves them as unhappy as it is possible to be without seeking relief through divorce

aspirations market offerings and the pursuit of entrepreneurial opportunities abstract in this paper we focus on two core questions 1 why do some people seek entrepreneurial opportunities 2 under what conditions is the pursuit of entrepreneurial opportunity most likely we attempt to answer these questions by creating a theoretical framework that considers the interaction between an individual s level of aspiration and their appraised value in the labor market we propose that when there is disequilibrium between the aspiration vector av of an individual and the perceived valuation of the market offering vector p mov an individual tends to pursue entrepreneurial opportunities in addition when hiring officers hr directors or other relevant parties involved in the hiring decision are biased or when existing organizations have limitations in reflecting an individual s av prospective entrepreneurs begin searching for new opportunities in society finally and in our view most crucially we consider the interaction between an individual s subjective consideration and his perceived assessment by the labor market a novel approach which we hope takes into account the complexity and richness of entrepreneurship we offer seven specific propositions that derive from the disequilibrium predicted by our framework

toward a theory of affordable loss although dozens of empirical studies have been published on effectuation as a whole much work remains to be done on elaborating each principle in more depth based on an exploratory study of seven ventures from the caribbean island of curacao this paper develops an elaborated process model of the affordable loss heuristic in effectuation the model breaks affordable loss into two components ability and willingness and connects these to the concept of loss aversion from prospect theory furthermore these components are encapsulated in a process involving identity affect and resourcefulness leading to the entry stage entrepreneurial investment decision

the value of continuous power supply for flemish households abstract this paper estimates the willingness to pay accept wtp wta of flemish households for continuous power supply based on a stated preference approach the data were collected via a choice experiment and were then used to estimate a main effects conditional logit model and a random parameter logit model with interaction effects and correlated preferences power outages are characterized by 6 attributes annual frequency duration peak or off peak announced or unannounced winter or summer and invoice impact all estimates have the expected sign the results are used to assess the marginal wtp wta for each of these attributes overall the outcome suggests that flemish households have heterogeneous preferences regarding power outage attributes and that due to a status quo bias only a relatively small share of them is willing to switch to a lower reliability level if this would be compensated by a bill discount

probabilistic dominance and status quo bias abstract decision makers have a strong tendency to retain the current state of affairs this well documented phenomenon is termed status quo bias we present the probabilistic dominance approach to status quo bias an alternative is considered acceptable to replace the status quo only if the chances of a subjectively severe loss relative to the status quo are not too high probabilistic dominance is applied and behaviorally characterized in a choice model that allows for a range of status quo biases general enough to accommodate unanimity but also standard expected utility maximization we present a comparative notion of revealing more bias towards the status quo and study its implications to the probabilistic dominance model of choice lastly the model is applied to the endowment effect phenomenon and to a problem of international portfolio choice when investors are home biased

a present value test of habits and the current account abstract forecasts derived from standard intertemporal current account ica models generally fail to match the volatility of actual current accounts this paper offers a solution to the excess volatility problem of standard ica models by incorporating consumption habits into the standard model the model as developed in the paper shows that significant habit formation implies increased current account volatility as sluggishness is introduced into the consumption adjustment process that follows income shocks a theory consistent measure of the degree of habit formation is estimated using gmm the estimated habit parameter is found to be statistically significant in six of eight quarterly samples

energy saving in italy in the late 1990s which role for non monetary motivations abstract the paper studies the relationship between energy saving behaviour monetary drivers and non monetary motivations in italy in a period the end of the 1990s when the energy industry was not yet liberalized there were no energy saving incentive schemes and the environmental sensitivity and information were lower we consider as dependent variable the frequency with which individuals switch the light off when leaving a room as monetary drivers income and perceived energy costs while non monetary motives in our model are measured by proxies of pro environmental attitudes environmental information social pressure and pro social behaviours the analysis is based on probit and logit models estimated on a sample from the multipurpose household survey dataset conducted by the italian statistical office we find that individuals who were less concerned about environmental issues were also more attentive in energy saving behaviour suggesting together with results about income and perceived energy costs that monetary motivations were primary in driving this energy saving behaviour such findings are robust to the inclusion of variables accounting for pro social behaviours altruism by individuals who claim to be more concerned about broad environmental externalities may have adversely affected their propensity to optimize energy consumption

rational entry into risky markets with negative expected returns the role of biased misestimation of profit potential abstract we extend the theory of negative long run profits in risky industries by incorporating a negatively skewed profit distribution rational behavior with incomplete information is introduced by allowing economic agents to know the median rather than the mean rate of return we compare this to the case involving postdecision bolstering where entrants choose to discount available information on the industry profit distribution monte carlo experiments are tailored to the experience of the u s home building industry

characteristics of opportunities search of entrepreneurs versus executives sources interests general alertness abstract a recent article by low and macmillan 1988 suggests that at the current stage of entrepreneurship research empirical studies that are not theory driven and do not test hypotheses are no longer acceptable p 155 this paper is written in the spirit of this directive it starts with an explicit theory of entrepreneurship developed by israel kirzner and tests three hypotheses derived from the theory the theoretical thrust of the paper emphasizes the role of information and information seeking behavior as a central element of entrepreneurial behavior entrepreneurship is based on discovering of opportunities and resources to exploit them our interpretation of kirzner s theoretical works leads to the formation of hypotheses regarding the differences that should exist in the way entrepreneurs as opposed to managers seek this information these concern 1 differences in the manner in which entrepreneurs and corporate managers expose themselves to information 2 differences in the sources of information used and 3 differences in evaluating information cues in addition we test the hypotheses that success and experience will erode the above differences between entrepreneurs and corporate managers our sample involved 51 founders of companies in new jersey and 36 executives of a very large financial company a questionnaire was used to gather the data and scales were formed using principal component factor analysis with a varimax rotation differences were tested using univariate and multivariate statistical methods significant differences were found in five of the nine factors examined entrepreneurs spent significantly more time searching for information in their off hours and through nonverbal scanning they employed different sources than executives and paid special attention to risk cues about new opportunities executives on the other hand tended to focus on the economics of the opportunity these results are only partially consistent with a previous study comparing entrepreneurs and small companies managers suggesting a contextual contingency to the behaviors under study the most persistent finding was regarding the time and volume of search for information reinforcing the idea developed in the recent network theory of entrepreneurship that entrepreneurs are avid information gatherers and opportunistic learners but not necessarily or not uniquely in a verbal social networking manner finally with success and experience the differences become smaller it seems that success and experience reduce the need or desire of entrepreneurs to search for new opportunities no such effect was found with our executive sample

modern theories of entrepreneurial behavior a comparison and appraisal this paper compares and appraises three principal contemporary theories of entrepreneurial decision making neoclassical austrian and behavioral we employ theory appraisal criteria made available in fritz machlup s 1967 celebrated article on alternative theories of the firm the paper considers theories that treat sequences of behavior by which individual entrepreneurs reach decisions on two levels the discovery of profit opportunities and their exploitation we also consider how each theory characterizes the entrepreneur s decision making process by contrast with the posited behavior of other economic agents austrian theory is suited to explaining novel adventurous behavior at the discovery stage the algorithm for opportunity exploitation in both the neoclassical and austrian approaches is a single repertoire optimization rule neoclassical theory is situated in frictionless atomistic walrasian markets and emphasizes mathematical tractability austrian and behavioral theories conceive entrepreneurial acts taking place in market processes understood as complex institutional phenomena there are strong theoretical complementarities between austrian and behavioral approaches both approaches value descriptive accuracy though the behavioralists place more weight on operational tractability austrians and behavioralists share an interest in heuristics they emphasize the role of prior micro level knowledge at the discovery stage therefore more collaborative research in future between austrians and behavioralists should prove fruitful

production growth and business cycles ii new directions abstract this paper outlines new directions for investigations of real business cycle models consideration of stochastic growth of exogenous and endogenous forms analysis of suboptimal outcomes arising due to externalities of distorting taxes and implications of labor market heterogeneity

intuitive optimizing experimental findings on time allocation decisions with newly formed ventures abstract this paper offers a theoretical and an experimental analysis of decision making in an entrepreneurial context we investigate how individuals distribute their time between leisure and working activities and how they divide their working time between their newly formed venture and a wage job two questionnaire experiments with business and economics students are utilized to test benchmark predictions from an economic model which we complement with predictions based on behavioral decision theory differences between economic predictions and behaviors are found to be dependent on whether the venture dominates the wage job the wage job dominates the venture or none dominates the other implications for entrepreneurial behavior are derived for these three scenarios

rational choice with status quo bias abstract motivated by the empirical findings concerning the importance of one s current situation on her choice behavior the main objective of this paper is to propose a rational choice theory that allows for the presence of a status quo bias and that incorporates the standard choice theory as a special case we follow a revealed preference approach and obtain two nested models of rational choice that allow phenomena like the status quo bias and the endowment effect and that are applicable in any choice situation to which the standard static choice model applies

business cycle implications of internal consumption habit for new keynesian models we study the implications of internal consumption habit for new keynesian dynamic stochastic general equilibrium nkdsge models bayesian monte carlo methods are employed to evaluate nkdsge model fit simulation experiments show that internal consumption habit often improves the ability of nkdsge models to match the spectra of output and consumption growth nonetheless thefit of nkdsge models with internal consumption habit is susceptible to the sources of nominal rigidity to spectra identified by permanent productivity shocks to the choice of monetary policy rule and to the frequencies used for evaluation these vulnerabilities indicate that the specification of nkdsge models is fragile

being in someone else s shoes the role of gender in nascent entrepreneurship several studies have shown the existence of significant differences in the rate of new business creation between men and women specifically it has been shown that women are much less likely to be involved in entrepreneurship than men worldwide it is not yet understood however if such differences are the result of personal characteristics of the individual and of her economic environment or are instead the result of universal and perhaps evolutionary phenomena our empirical analysis is conducted using representative samples of population for 37 countries and a special form of bootstrapping that allows us to equalize individuals conditions and as a result analyze the choices of men and women put in identical economic environments and socio economic circumstances

can world real interest rates explain business cycles in a small open economy abstract while the world real interest rate is potentially an important mechanism for transmitting international shocks to small open economies much of the recent quantitative research that studies this mechanism concludes that it has little effect on output investment and net exports we re examine the importance of world real interest rate shocks using an approach that reverses the standard real business cycle methodology we begin with a small open economy business cycle model but rather than specifying the stochastic processes for the shocks and then solving and simulating the model to evaluate how well these shocks explain business cycles we use the model to back out the shocks that are consistent with the model s observable endogenous variables then we use variance decompositions to examine the importance of each shock we apply this methodology to canada and find that world real interest rate shocks can play an important role in explaining the cyclical variation in a small open economy in particular they can explain up to one third of the fluctuations in output and more than half of the fluctuations in net exports and net foreign assets

status quo bias multiple priors and uncertainty aversion motivated by the extensive evidence about the relevance of status quo bias both in experiments and in real markets we study this phenomenon from a decision theoretic prospective focusing on the case of preferences under uncertainty we develop an axiomatic framework that takes as a primitive the preferences of an agent for each possible status quo option and provide a characterization according to which the agent considers a full dimensional set of possible priors and abandons her status quo option only if she finds an alternative that returns a higher expected utility for each of these priors we then show that in this framework the very presence of a status quo induces the agent to be more uncertainty averse than she would be without a status quo option

response bias in a conjoint analysis of power outages abstract a methodology is proposed for estimating status quo effects resistance to change and loss aversion willingness to pay is less than willingness to accept from consumer survey data conjoint data on israeli households attitudes to electricity outages reveal that both of these effects are pronounced and that they depend on the interviewees characteristics ordered conditional logit estimation indicates that while the estimates are rank sensitive the suggested methodology continues to be applicable finally the conjoint estimates are compared with those obtained by applying the method of contingent valuation

does uncertainty cause inertia in decision making an experimental study of the role of regret aversion and indecisiveness previous research has shown that individual decision making is often characterized by inertia that is a tendency for decision makers to choose options that maintain the status quo in this study i conduct a laboratory experiment to investigate two potential determinants of inertia in uncertain environments i regret aversion and ii ambiguity driven indecisiveness i use a between subjects design with varying conditions to identify the effects of these two mechanisms on choice behavior in each condition participants choose between two simple real gambles one of which is the status quo option the findings indicate that regret aversion and ambiguity driven indecisiveness are equally important determinants of inertia which in turn plays a major role in individual decision making

property rights and choice the case of the fishery formal property rights are typically established after considerable waste has occurred despite the effectiveness of such schemes in addressing the inefficiencies of common pool resources adoption can be contentious because of the assignment of wealth and political influence that accompany the transition to exclusive property rights this paper studies how the early involvement of harvesters in policy implementation designed to address the commons inefficiency may foster perceived legitimacy and lessen political opposition to the establishment of individual property rights we demonstrate that it is optimal for a manager facing industry strife and reform delay to allow firms to self select into the property rights regime the strategic interaction of harvesters leads to an equilibrium characterized by the global adoption of property rights thus by providing harvesters with a choice between management systems policy makers can reduce the transaction costs associated with the need to create political consensus while ensuring an outcome similar to the top down implementation of market based management evidence is provided from a recent policy change in maryland fisheries in which the provision of a choice resulted in the overwhelming adoption of individual transferable quotas and the end of the race to fish

current account dynamics under information rigidity and imperfect capital mobility abstract the current account in developed countries is highly persistent and volatile in comparison to their output growth the standard intertemporal current account model with rational expectations re fails to explain the observed current account and consumption dynamics the re model extended with imperfect capital mobility by shibata and shintani 1998 can account for the consumption dynamics but only at the cost of the explanatory power for the volatility of the current account this paper replaces re in the intertemporal current account model with sticky information si in which consumers are inattentive to shocks to their income the si model can better explain a persistent and volatile current account than the re model but it overpredicts the persistence of changes in consumption the si model extended with imperfect capital mobility explains both the current account and consumption provided that sufficiently high degrees of information rigidity and imperfect capital mobility are considered

short selling and the wta wtp gap abstract the experimental results of the current paper reveal positive relations between short selling bidding prices and the wta wtp gap this result may be explained by the status quo bias

small business owner managers perceptions of business ethics and csr related concepts recent academic articles point to an increased vagueness and overlap in concepts related to business ethics and corporate responsibility further the perception of these notions can differ in the small business world from the original academic definitions this article focuses on the cognition of small business owner managers given the impact of small business owner managers on their ventures corporate responsibility and ethical issues can take a different route in smes the small business owner manager is able to shape the corporate culture and to enact values other than profit adopting a cognitive perspective we have identified how the small business owner manager makes sense of notions linked to corporate social responsibility csr and business ethics the concept of sensemaking has recently been applied to csr basu and pallazzo 2008 cramer et al 2006 applying a cognitive perspective to small business owners may help in explaining specific phenomena found within small business ownership for this research the repertory grid technique rgt is used a method that has not previously been widely applied in the business and society field

valuing energy policy attributes for environmental management choice experiment evidence from a research institution abstract many governments firms institutions and individuals have become increasingly cognizant of their impact on the environment most notably with respect to global climate change coupled with the possibility of future regulations aimed at curbing greenhouse gas emissions firms and institutions have begun to critically evaluate their own carbon footprint this paper examines the preferences of stakeholders within a large academic institution for attributes of alternative greenhouse gas ghg reduction strategies the attributes considered by constituents include the fuel portfolio mix effort for conserving energy use carbon emissions reduction timeframe for emissions reduction to be achieved and cost we use a choice experiment technique that enables the examination of greenhouse gas reduction program attribute preferences across three constituent groups the results show that each of the constituent groups have a positive wtp for carbon emissions reductions and prefer investments in reductions in the shorter rather than longer term the results also suggest differences between the constituent groups in their wtp for types of fuels in the fuel portfolio finally we use the results to examine the welfare implications of different combinations of the policy attributes that coincide with alternative ghg program strategies

interest rates exchange rates and present value models of the current account this paper develops a testable intertemporal model of the current account that allows for variable interest rates and exchange rates these additional variables are channels through which external shocks may influence the domestic current account the restrictions from the theoretical model are subjected to present value tests using quarterly data from three small open economies the paper finds that including the interest rate and exchange rate improves the fit of the intertemporal model over what was found in previous studies the model predictions better replicate the volatility of current account data and better explain historical episodes of current account imbalance

choice under uncertainty problems solved and unsolved ffifteen years ago the theory of choice under uncertainty could be considered one of the success stories of economic analysis it rested on solid axiomatic foundations it had seen important breakthroughs in the analytics of risk risk aversion and their applications to economic issues and it stood ready to provide the theoretical underpinnings for the newly emerging information revolution in economics 1 today choice under uncertainty is a field in flux the standard theory is being challenged on several grounds from both within and outside economics the nature of these challenges and of our profession s responses to them is the topic of this paper

distinguishing the effect of overconfidence from rational best response on information aggregation this article studies the causal effect of individuals overconfidence and bounded rationality on information aggregation by using a new multiperiod game in which agents are rewarded for submitting accurate estimates of an unknown asset s value based on i their private information and ii others past estimates by carrying out laboratory sessions of this game in which subjects overconfidence is a treatment variable i find that overconfidence affects the information aggregation process by increasing the dispersion of estimates and decreasing the rate of estimates convergence however even when subjects are not overconfident qualitatively similar deviations from the fully rational model predictions are observed i show that this can be explained by subjects strategic response to errors the author 2008 published by oxford university press on behalf of the society for financial studies all rights reserved for permissions please email journals permissions oxfordjournals org oxford university press

despairing over disparities explaining the difference between willingness to pay and willingness to accept this paper examines the three major explanations for the disparity between willingness to pay wtp and willingness to accept wta observed in contingent value surveys and laboratory experiments a belief that the results must be biased in some fashion hanemann s 1991 substitutes hypothesis and the loss aversion model proposed by tversky and kahneman 1991 starting from the assumption that individuals make utility maximizing choices we develop structural equations that yield parametric tests of the hypotheses within a single non experimental framework the approach is flexible enough to incorporate a variety of functional form and distributional assumptions and can be applied to either data from either open ended bids or dichotomous choice questions the usefulness of the approach is demonstrated using data from a survey that asked both wtp and wta questions the results provide weak support for loss aversion

random coefficient models for stated preference surveys abstract this paper combines the use of random coefficient discrete choice models that allow for correlated errors in the form of unobserved preference heterogeneity with an investigation of the reliability and usefulness of rankings data for the data we examine we find significant unobserved preference heterogeneity in the rankings which violates the underlying assumptions of the rank ordered logit model further directly modeling unobserved preference heterogeneity results in significant improvement in the precision of the parameter estimates and in estimated willingness to pay wtp the reliability and usefulness of rankings data should be re examined with econometric models not subject to the independence of irrelevant alternatives iia

explaining the formation of international new ventures the limits of theories from international business research abstract international new ventures invs represent a growing and important type of start up an inv is defined as a business organization that from inception seeks to derive significant competitive advantage from the use of resources and the sale of outputs in multiple countries oviatt and mcdougall 1994 their increasing prevalence and important role in international competition indicates a need for greater understanding of these new ventures oviatt and mcdougall 1994 logitech as described in a case study by alahuhta 1990 is a vivid example of an inv its founders were from two different countries and had a global vision for the company from its inception the venture which produces peripheral devices for personal computers established headquarters in both switzerland and the u s manufacturing and r d were split between the u s and switzerland and then quickly spread to taiwan and ireland the venture s first commercial contract was with a japanese company using 24 case studies of invs we found that their formation process is not explained by existing theories from the field of international business specifically neither monopolistic advantage theory product cycle theory stage theory of internationalization oligopolistic reaction theory nor internalization theory can explain the formation process of invs these theories fail because they assume that firms become international long after they have been formed and they therefore highlight large mature firms they also focus too much on the firm level and largely ignore the individual and small group level of analysis i e the entrepreneur and his or her network of business alliances we propose that an explanation for the formation process of invs must answer three questions 1 who are the founders of invs 2 why do these entrepreneurs choose to compete internationally rather than just in their home countries and 3 what form do their international business activities take who are the founders of invs we argue that founders of invs are individuals who see opportunities from establishing ventures that operate across national borders they are alert to the possibilities of combining resources from different national markets because of the competencies networks knowledge and background that they have developed from their earlier activities following the logic of the resource based view of the firm we argue that the possession of these competencies is not matched by other entrepreneurs only the entrepreneur possessing these competencies is able to combine a particular set of resources across national borders and form a given inv why do these entrepreneurs choose to compete internationally rather than just in their home countries the founders of invs recognize they must create international business competencies from the time of venture formation otherwise the venture may become path dependent on the development of domestic competencies and the entrepreneur will find it difficult to change strategic direction when international expansion eventually becomes necessary as the founder of one inv explained the advantage of starting internationally is that you establish an international spirit from the very beginning mamis 1989 38 what form do their international business activities take founders of invs prefer to use hybrid structures i e strategic alliances and networks for their international activities as a way to overcome the usual poverty of resources at the time of start up this study has important implications for the practice of management in financing decisions relating to invs venture capitalists and other venture financiers should look for entrepreneurs who have a global vision international business competence and an established international network when entrepreneurs start invs they should create hybrid structures to preserve scarce resources finally given the path dependence of competence development founders of new ventures should consider whether establishing a domestic new venture with plans to later internationalize will be as successful a strategy as establishing a new venture that is international from inception

habit formation in consumption a meta analysis abstract we examine 597 estimates of habit formation reported in 81 published studies the mean reported strength of habit formation equals 0 4 but the estimates vary widely both within and across studies we use bayesian and frequentist model averaging to assign a pattern to this variance while taking into account model uncertainty studies employing macro data report consistently larger estimates than micro studies 0 6 vs 0 1 on average the difference remains 0 5 when we control for 30 factors that reflect the context in which researchers obtain their estimates such as data frequency geographical coverage variable definition estimation approach and publication characteristics we also find that evidence for habits strengthens when researchers use lower data frequencies employ log linear approximation of the euler equation and utilize open economy dsge models moreover estimates of habits differ systematically across countries

international issues in entrepreneurship in recent decades there has been a substantial increase in private and public investment in entrepreneurship this trend has important managerial financial and public policy implications there is also considerable interest in understanding the financial practices of early stage companies the recent global resurgence of leveraged buyouts and the concomitant rise of private equity markets have also heightened interest in entrepreneurship e g cumming et al 2007 in this essay we provide focused summaries of the papers in this special issue which address these issues

testing a present value model of the current account evidence from us and canadian time series abstract this paper presents a simple model of current account determination based upon the permanent income hypothesis of private consumption behavior under rational expectations the model employs a representative national agent who is forward looking and can borrow and lend at a constant world interest rate a present value relationship for the current account is derived and its implications are tested on post war data for the united states and canada testing is done using the framework developed by campbell and shiller 1987 which allows the forcing variables in the model to be difference rather than trend stationary our empirical results indicate the most stringent restrictions of the present value model are strongly rejected by the us and canadian data however less formal procedures suggest the consumption smoothing model has some ability to track the dynamic behavior of the us current account jel f32

strategic rate making in the context of dynamic ramsey pricing as a result of the public utilitie regulatory policies act of 1978 purpa state public utility commissions have begun to implement cost based rate setting procedures in order to rationalize energy choices made by utilities and utility customers this rationalization had been necessary in view of the increased competition characterizing the eletric utility industry taking these regulatory and competitive change as a point of departure we develop and implement an electricity rate setting model which is cost based which explicitly accounts for static and dynamic competitive pressures and which is welfare maximizing the model extends standard ramsey methods to include bothshort run andlong run price responses in the inverse elasticity rule we use the estimated model to evalute and design alternative rates our analysis takes a distincly strategic approach explicitly addressing competition from other fuels and the possibility of competitive bypass

the terms of trade productivity growth and the current account abstract this paper extends the analytical framework provided by glick and rogoff 1995 journal of monetary economics 35 159 192 to an economy with traded and nontraded goods and it analyzes the impact of country specific and global productivity shocks on the current account and investment each of these disturbances have different implications for the current account and investment that are largely consistent with the empirical results first the current account responds more than investment to country specific traded productivity growth second global traded productivity and country specific nontraded productivity growth have no effect on the current account but they have a significant impact on investment third the global component of nontraded productivity is negligible and has no significant impact on either the current account or investment in addition the response of the current account and investment to relative prices the terms of trade and exchange rate are insignificant this paper also discusses the potential reasons for it

managing water supply shortage interruption vs pricing abstract supply shortage is a common problem faced by a consumer solutions for allocating the limited supply include rationing queuing interruption and pricing while previous research has examined the welfare losses generated by each solution there is little evidence on their relative magnitudes within a common framework the objective of this paper is tospecify a model of consumer behaviour under service interruption to estimate the exact welfare loss of service interruption the same model is used to estimate the loss of a price increase intended to resolve a supply shortage using water consumption data collected for hong kong we find that relative to pricing service interruption is inefficient for water shortage management

present value tests of an intertemporal model of the current account abstract this paper first demonstrates that in a simple intertemporal open economy model the current account is equal to the expected decline of the present discounted value of net output of a country net output is defined as gross domestic product less the sum of investment plus government spending it then uses econometric methods for present value models to analyze the current account for four countries in two of these countries the model does a satisfactory job of explaining the current account

a canonical model of choice with initial endowments we use the revealed preference method to derive a model of individual decision making when the endowment of an agent provides a reference point that may influence her choices this model generalizes the classical rational choice model which views choice as a consequence of utility maximization instead our model sees choice as arising from psychologically constrained utility maximization where the constraints are induced by one s initial endowment in particular this model produces status quo bias as a natural consequence but not necessarily the endowment effect a range of economic applications identify the predictive and explanatory strength of the model in particular we demonstrate that the status quo bias phenomenon reduces the size of the substitution effect in problems of consumption choice

a new meta analysis on the wtp wta disparity abstract this study reports a new meta analysis of papers that elicit willingness to pay wtp and willingness to accept compensation wta measures of value for the same good we investigate the effects of type of good and several survey design features on the wtp wta disparity measured as the logarithm of the ratio of mean wta to mean wtp confirming horowitz and mcconnell s 2002 pioneering meta analysis we find the disparity is smaller for ordinary private goods than for public and non market goods that it is not solely an artifact of using hypothetical transactions or other weak experimental or survey methods and that it is smaller for studies using student subjects in addition we find that the disparity is smaller when subjects have experience valuing the good in real markets or through repeated experimental trials in contrast to horowitz and mcconnell we find the disparity is significantly smaller in studies using incentive compatible elicitation mechanisms the disparity is smaller in more recent studies an effect that is attributable only in part to changes in study characteristics

explaining the energy efficiency gap expected utility theory versus cumulative prospect theory abstract energy efficiency is one of the key factors in mitigating the impact of climate change and preserving non renewable resources although environmental and economic justifications for energy efficiency investments are compelling there is a gap between the observable and some notion of optimized energy consumption the so called energy efficiency gap behavioral biases in individual decision making have been resonated by environmental research to explain this gap to analyze the influence of behavioral biases on decisions upon energy efficiency investments quantitatively we compare expected utility theory with cumulative prospect theory on basis of a real world example we illustrate how the extent of the gap is influenced by behavioral biases such as loss aversion probability weighting and framing our findings indicate that cumulative prospect theory offers possible explanations for many barriers discussed in literature for example the size of the gap rises with increased risk and investment costs because behavioral biases are systematic and pervasive our insights constitute a valuable quantitative basis for environmental policy measures such as customer focused and quantitatively backed public awareness campaigns financial incentives or energy savings insurances in this vein this paper may contribute to an accelerated adaption of energy efficiency measures by the broader public

who invests in renewable electricity production empirical evidence and suggestions for further research transforming energy systems to fulfill the needs of a low carbon economy requires large investments in renewable electricity production res e recent literature underlines the need to take a closer look at the composition of the res e investor group in order to understand the motives and investment processes of different types of investors however existing energy policies generally consider res e investments made on a regional or national level and target investors who evaluate their res e investments according to least cost high profit criteria we present empirical evidence to show that res e investments are made by a heterogeneous group of investors that a variety of investors exist and that their formation varies among the different types of renewable sources this has direct implications for our understanding of the investment process in res e and for the study of motives and driving forces of res e investors we introduce a multi dimensional framework for analyzing differences between categories of investors which not only considers to the standard economic dimension which is predominant in the contemporary energy literature but also considers the entrepreneurship innovation adoption and institutional dimensions the framework emphasizes the influence of four main investor related factors on the investment process which should be studied in future research motives background resources and personal characteristics