savings and loan and finance industry pac contributions to incumbent members of the house banking committee this paper examines the relationship between campaign contributions from savings and loan and finance industry pacs and membership on the house banking committee the distinguishing features of this paper are that we focus on campaign contributions at an industry level and we use regression analysis to determine whether membership on the house banking committee the committee with oversight responsibility for the savings and loan industry influences the level of contributions received by an individual legislator we find that members of the house banking committee do receive significantly greater contributions from the savings and loan and finance pacs than do other members of congress and that being chairman of the house banking committee also pays a dividend

management turnover and product market competition empirical evidence from the u s newspaper industry we examine the relationship between management turnover and market structure for newspapers in 50 large cities from 1950 to 1993 we find that competitive markets display greater turnover rates than monopolistic markets and that turnover rates are increasing in the degree to which a newspaper trails its competition in market share we find no evidence that the turnover performance relationship varies with market structure we discuss the implications of these findings for theories concerning competition and managerial employment contracting the results appear most consistent with the hypothesis that the greater likelihood of liquidation in competitive markets leads to elevated turnover rates copyright 2000 by university of chicago press

partial market value accounting bank capital volatility and bank risk abstract this paper presents evidence on the costs and benefits for the u s banking system of a partial version of market value accounting in which only securities are marked to market because accounting for liabilities is unchanged this accounting system has the same potential for misvaluing bank capital as historical cost accounting evidence from bank failure prediction models indicates the new system will not reduce bank failure rates other evidence indicates that net benefits will be small in absolute value and of uncertain sign

maternal education home environments and the development of children and adolescents we study the intergenerational effects of maternal education on children s cognitive achievement behavioral problems grade repetition and obesity we address endogeneity of maternal schooling by instrumenting with variation in schooling costs when the mother grew up using matched data from the female participants of the national longitudinal survey of youth 1979 nlsy79 and their children we can control for mother s ability and family background factors our results show substantial intergenerational returns to education for children aged 7 8 for example our iv results indicate that an additional year of mother s schooling increases the child s performance on a standardized math test by almost 0 1 of a standard deviation and reduces the incidence of behavioral problems our data set allows us to study a large array of channels which may transmit the effect of maternal education to the child including family environment and parental investments at different ages of the child we find that income effects delayed childbearing and assortative mating are likely to be important and we show that maternal education leads to substantial differences in maternal labor supply we investigate heterogeneity in returns and we present results focusing both on very early stages in the child s life as well as adolescent outcomes we present a falsification exercise to support the validity of our instruments and our results are found to be robust in a sensitivity analysis we discuss policy implications and relate our findings to intergenerational mobility

the impact of parental income on early schooling transitions a re examination using data over three generations abstract this paper applies new semi parametric techniques to estimate the effects of parental income on the probability of being held back in elementary school in france we use information on grandparents past socioeconomic status and parents education level to separate the parental income effects from the effects of the unmeasured determinants of children s performance at school that are correlated with parental income when considering the probability of being held back in elementary school we find that the effects of parental poverty are much larger than the effects of a child s sex or age age within his her class or of the parents education level our findings suggest that policy decisions that increase income transfers to relatively poor families have a potentially very large impact on children s early performance at school

deposit insurance reform what are the issues and what needs to be fixed abstract the current problems in the commercial banking industry have led to widespread calls for reform of the deposit insurance contract on the grounds that it promotes moral hazard we review the empirical evidence for the significance of moral hazard as an important cause of the present crisis we then evaluate various reform proposals grouped into two broad classes proposals that seek to impose greater discipline on bank stockholders and proposals to increase the disciplinary role of bank debtholders finally we identify some issues that have received inadequate attention in the literature on bank regulation

accounting window dressing and template regulation a case study of the australian credit union industry this article documents the response of cooperative institutions that were required to adhere to new capital adequacy regulations traditionally geared for profit maximising organisations using data from the australian credit union industry we demonstrate that the cooperative philosophy and internal corporate governance structure of cooperatives will lead management to increase capital adequacy ratios through the application of accounting window dressing techniques this is opposite to the intended purpose of template regulation aimed at efficiently increasing operating margins and lowering risk our results raise several debatable issues regarding the ethics of accounting management and the imposition of one shoe fits all external regulation

openness and wage inequality in developing countries the latin american challenge to east asian conventional wisdom the experience of east asia in the 1960s and 1970s supports the theory that greater openness to trade tends to narrow the wage gap between skilled and unskilled workers in developing countries in latin america since the mid 1980s however increased openness has widened wage differentials this conflict of evidence is probably not the result of differences between east asia and latin america instead the conflict is probably the result of differences between the 1960s and the 1980s specifically the entry of china into the world market and perhaps the advent of new technology biased against unskilled workers

demand for education and labor market outcomes lessons from the abolition of compulsory conscription in france before 1997 education was a way for young french men to avoid military service in the army after the abolition of compulsory conscription in 1997 this incentive to stay on in education disappeared we show that the decrease in the benefit of pursuing education for men was followed by a fall in their educational achievement relative to women and by a decrease in their relative entry wages these results suggest that high school dropout rates could be reduced by policies increasing the immediate benefits of pursuing education and that it would yield a substantial improvement in early labor market outcomes

going to college to avoid the draft the unintended legacy of the vietnam war between 1965 and 1975 the enrollment rate of college age men in the united states rose and then fell abruptly many contemporary observers e g james davis and kenneth dolbeare 1968 attributed the surge in college attendance to draft avoidance behavior under a policy first introduced in the korean war the selective service issued college deferments to enrolled men that delayed their eligibility for conscription these deferments provided a strong incentive to remain in school for men who wanted to avoid the draft for example the college entry rate of young men rose from 54 percent in 1963 to 62 percent in 1968 the peak year of the draft moreover both the college entry rate and the number of inductions dropped sharply between 1968 and 1973 as the draft was being phased out although these parallel trends are suggestive they do not necessarily prove that draft avoidance raised the education of men who were at risk of service during the vietnam war such an inference requires an explicit specification of the counterfactual what would have happened to schooling outcomes in the absence of the draft in this paper we use trends in enrollment and completed schooling of men relative to those of women to measure the effects of draftavoidance behavior during the vietnam war our maintained hypothesis is that in the absence of gender specific factors such as the draft the relative schooling outcomes of men and women from the same cohort would follow a smooth trend in light of the sharp discontinuity in military induction rates between 1965 and 1970 we look for similar patterns in the relative enrollment rate of men and in the relative college graduation rate of men from cohorts that were at risk of induction during this period

a study of the corporate governance of thrifts we study corporate governance within the thrift industry during a period of industry distress and legally mandated regulatory vigilance we find evidence consistent with the office of thrift supervision displacing the disciplinary role of takeovers in the market for thrift control poorer prior thrift performance is associated with a greater likelihood of censure while better prior performance is associated with a greater likelihood of acquisition for thrifts that are not censured or acquired there is no relationship between current performance and managerial turnover replacement due to retirement rather than board discipline explains most of these turnovers this result is consistent with the notion that regulation may deter board disciplinary behavior also suggested by kole and lehr journal of financial economics 52 1999 79

impact of a tertiary eligibility threshold on tertiary education and earnings a discontinuity approach this study uses a discontinuity in the swedish tertiary eligibility requirement to estimate the probability of enrolling in tertiary education and the payoff thereof regression discontinuity results show that achieving tertiary eligibility in upper secondary education increases the probability of enrolling in tertiary education by around 10 15 and 7 percentage points for students who enrolled on an academic and vocational track respectively for academic students this implies 5 higher earnings for men while for women it increases the probability of having positive incomes by 2 thus academic students at the margin of tertiary education receive a substantial tertiary education payoff jel i21 i26 i28

governance form and organizational adaptation lessons from the savings and loan industry in the 1980s this paper explores how governance form affects the organizational capacity for adaptation we make a general case about the importance of governance in adaptation and we identify three mechanisms through which governance form may affect organizations ability to manage the competency and failure traps that often frustrate the process we look for evidence of these mechanisms through a study of the u s savings and loan s l industry in the 1980s this is an apt context because s ls were confronted by severe environmental changes that suggested a need for change of a relatively radical sort during this decade and because the industry contains a mix of governance forms stock form firms and mutual associations we examine whether mutuals and stocks differed in their propensity to move away from their traditional business and mission of residential mortgage lending in response to the challenges of the 1980s we also consider whether stocks and mutuals differed in their performance outcomes during this decade results indicate that mutuals were slightly less prone toward change but were in no sense inertial they also show that mutuals performed better overall and appeared to change more successfully than did stock firms the overall pattern of results suggests that mutual governance was a resource that allowed s ls to better balance exploration and exploitation in the face of a changing and ambiguous environment we consider the broader implications of these findings for research on organizational adaptation governance form and governance more generally

human capital versus sorting the effects of compulsory attendance laws under the educational sorting hypothesis a state compulsory school attendance law will increase the educational attainment of high ability workers who are not directly affected hy the law under the human capital hypothesis such laws affect only those individuals whose hehavior is directly constrained we find that compulsory attendance laws do increase enrollment rates in age groups they do not affect directly thus our results contradict the human capital hypothesis and are consistent with the sorting hypothesis i introduction the last decade has seen considerable debate between supporters of the human capital and sorting models of education the former assert that the effect of education on wages reflects increased productivity the latter maintain that it reflects at least in part correlation between education and unobserved ability workers use education to signal their ability while employers use education to screen workers despite the importance of the debate no fully convincing tests of the hypotheses have been developed in fact many members of the profession maintain at least privately that these hypotheses cannot be tested against each other and that the debate must therefore be relegated to the realm of ideology in this paper we show that the models can be tested against each other by examining the effects of state compulsory school attendance laws we show that under the human capital hypotheis such laws will affect the educational attainment only of those who in the absence of the law would have left school prior to the minimum school leaving age on the other hand under the sorting hypothesis the effects of the law will percolate through the system increasing educational attainment even among workers not directly constrained by the law our results are consistent with the predictions of the sorting model

organizational form and risk taking in the savings and loan industry abstract i hypothesize that risk taking is greater in stock thrifts than in mutual thrifts because the residual and fixed claims are separable i find that stock thrifts exhibit greater profit variability during the 1982 1988 period and that conversions from mutual to stock ownership are associated with increased investment in risky assets and increased profit variability these findings illustrate the relation between the structure of residual claims incentives and firm performance as well as the unintended consequences resulting from changes in thrift regulations

the intergenerational effects of compulsory schooling this article attempts to improve our understanding of the causal processes that contribute to intergenerational immobility by exploiting historical changes in compulsory schooling laws that affected the educational attainment of parents without affecting their innate abilities or endowments we examine the influence of parental compulsory schooling on children s grade for age using the 1960 1970 and 1980 u s censuses our estimates indicate that a 1 year increase in the education of either parent reduces the probability that a child repeats a grade by between 2 and 4 percentage points

modeling the dynamics of strategic fit a normative approach to strategic change this study develops and tests a dynamic perspective on strategic fit drawing from contingency and resource based arguments in the strategy and organizational theory literatures we propose a distinctive analytical approach to identify environmental and organizational contingencies that should predict changes in a firm s strategy and the performance implications of such changes we test our model using extensive longitudinal data from over 4000 u s savings and loan institutions during a period when many s ls considered changing strategic direction the findings support our model of dynamic strategic fit specifically we find that 1 the timing direction and magnitude of strategic changes can be logically predicted based on differences in specific environmental forces and organizational resources and 2 organizations that deviated from our model s prediction of dynamic strategic fit i e changed more or changed less than our model prescribed experienced negative performance consequences we conclude by discussing the implications of our approach and findings for future research on strategic fit and strategic change copyright 2000 john wiley sons ltd

new ways of looking at old issues inequality and growth abstract the paper uses new cross country data on income and asset land distribution to show that i there is a strong negative relationship between initial inequality in the asset distribution and long term growth ii inequality reduces income growth for the poor but not for the rich and iii available longitudinal data provide little support for the kuznets hypothesis policies that increase aggregate investment and facilitate acquisition of assets by the poor might thus be doubly beneficial for growth and poverty reduction

the s l debacle public policy lessons for bank and thrift regulation this book describes the period of failures of savings and loan associations and sets out a program of policies to prevent future debacles it explains the regulatory actions and inactions that created the incentives for large numbers of thrifts to make excessively risky and ill conceived and in some cases fraudulent and criminal investments it describes the failure of the accounting system to provide adequate information to regulators and in many cases even to the managers of the thrifts themselves concerning the health and riskiness of individual thrifts it also discusses how the regulatory system that had been conceived in an earlier and highly regulated era was overwhelmed in the deregulated environment of the early 1980s it shows how the reforms that were made in response to the growing crisis were too little and too late and finally it offers a set of policy reforms that could prevent future crises in the savings and loan industry this work should be of interest to political and financial economists

intergenerational transmission of education and mediating channels evidence from a compulsory schooling reform in germany in this paper i estimate the causal effect that an additional year of schooling for parents has on their children s education by exploiting a compulsory schooling reform that was implemented in all west german states between 1946 and 1969 although previous research indicates that the reform had no effect on earnings i find that an additional year of schooling for women strongly affects the education of their sons there is no effect for the other parent child gender pairs i investigate numerous channels that might mediate the positive effect of the education of mothers most importantly i find that individuals with more schooling value their children s educational success as more important

early late or never when does parental education impact child outcomes we estimate the causal effect of parents education on their children s education and examine the timing of the impact we identify the causal effect by exploiting the exogenous shift in parents education levels induced by the 1972 minimum school leaving age reform in england increasing parental education has a positive causal effect on children s outcomes that is evident in preschool assessments at age 4 and continues to be visible up to and including high stakes examinations taken at age 16 children of parents affected by the reform attain results around 0 1 standard deviations higher than those whose parents were not impacted

mother s education and the intergenerational transmission of human capital evidence from college openings we examine the effect of maternal education on birth outcomes using vital statistics natality data from 1970 to 1999 we also assess the importance of four channels through which maternal education may improve birth outcomes use of prenatal care smoking marriage and fertility in an effort to account for the endogeneity of education attainment we use data about the availability of colleges in the womans country in her 17th year as an instrument for maternal education we find that higher maternal education improves infant health as measured by birth weight and gestational age it also increases the probability that a new mother is married reduces parity increases use of prenatal care and reduces smoking suggesting that may be important pathways for the ultimate effect on health our results add to the growing body of literature which suggests that estimates of the returns to education which focus only on increases in wages understate the total return

the productivity of financial intermediation and the technology of financial product management financial intermediaries banks thrifts and life insurance companies have experienced low productivity over the last decade or two low productivity has manifested itself as a declining market share of their products relative to capital market assets in some cases low productivity caused a failure to meet contractual obligations embodied in their financial products these failures resulted in customer losses and or taxpayer losses when failed intermediaries were guaranteed by government agencies this productivity problem has been analyzed mostly from an economic science perspective by r c merton merton r c 1990 the financial system and economic performance j fin serv res 263 300 and z bodie bodie z 1990 pension funds and financial innovation finan mgmt autumn the focus of the economic analysis is the improvement of regulatory measures for intermediaries whose financial products are guaranteed by government agencies in this paper we take a management science perspective by

income inequality education expenditures and growth abstract recent studies have reported a negative association between income inequality and economic growth if true what accounts for this finding what are possible transition mechanisms that might link the two this paper explores one such mechanism income inequality raises expenditures for public education as a fraction of gross domestic product gdp although public education expenditures are positively associated with future economic growth the contemporaneous effect upon growth is negative given this cost upon current growth these findings may help to explain the lack of a large positive effect from the growth of human capital upon economic growth as reported in the literature

three paradigms for the role of capitalization requirements in insured financial institutions standard models for deposit insurance strike analogies to more familiar financial contracts and conceive of risk as exogenous the oldest model of deposit insurance likens it to passively underwriting casualty insurance a more sophisticated but still bilateral model likens deposit insurance to writing a passive put option on the enterprise whose funding is insured delays in acknowledging the wreck of the s l industry and its federal insurer fslic discredit these models as guides to managing a deposit insurance fund deposit insurance is better interpreted as a trilateral performance bond that enhances the credit of an insured institution this interpretation endogenizes risk emphasizes incentive conflict and underscores the need to optimize loss control activity the bonding model clarifies that a subset of the monitoring and disciplinary activities traditionally undertaken by government officials can usefully be privatized

why the apple doesn t fall far understanding intergenerational transmission of human capital parents with higher education levels have children with higher education levels however is this because parental education actually changes the outcomes of children suggesting an important spillover of education policies or is it merely that more able individuals who have higher education also have more able children this paper proposes to answer this question with a unique dataset from norway using the reform of the education system that was implemented in different municipalities at different times in the 1960s as an instrument for parental education we find little evidence of a causal relationship between parents education and children s education despite significant ols relationships we find 2sls estimates that are consistently lower than the ols estimates with the only statistically significant effect being a positive relationship between mother s education and son s education these findings suggest that the high correlations between parents and children s education are due primarily to family characteristics and inherited ability and not education spillovers

bankruptcy priority for bank deposits a contract theoretic explanation over the past decade several countries including the us have introduced or redesigned legislation that confers priority in bankruptcy upon all or some bank deposits we argue that in the presence of contracting costs such rules can increase efficiency we first show in a private information model that a borrower can reduce overall costs of finance by letting informationally heterogeneous lenders choose between junior and senior debt in particular we find that debt priorities reduce socially wasteful information gathering by investors we then argue why particularly in banking legal standardization of debt priorities may be superior to bilateral private arrangements article published by oxford university press on behalf of the society for financial studies in its journal the review of financial studies

debt priority structure market discipline and bank conduct we examine how debt priority structure affects bank funding costs and soundness leveraging an unexplored natural experiment that changes the priority of claims on banks assets we document asymmetric effects that are consistent with changes in monitoring intensity by various creditors depending on whether creditors move up or down the priority ladder the enactment of depositor preference laws which confer priority on depositors reduces deposit rates but increases non deposit rates importantly subordinating non depositor claims reduces bank risk taking consistent with market discipline this insight highlights a role for debt priority structure in the regulatory framework

the impact of labor market regulations the authors investigate the impact of labor market regulations in settings where compliance is incomplete they review some stylized facts about labor market behavior present an analytical model that may explain such behavior and provide a checklist for assessing the distortionary impact of a regulation such as the minimum wage they take as their starting point the limited evidence about the distortionary effects of such regulations and argue that there may be natural limits on the efficiency losses engendered by labor market regulations first the regulations may not be binding at market equilibrium for example minimum wages may be set so low that they are ineffective second even if they are binding the relevant elasticities of supply and demand may be so low that the regulations have little impact on efficiency third even if the regulations are binding and elasticities are sizable compliance may be low the authors argue that the likelihood of compliance will be greatest when the regulations are binding and the relevant elasticities are sizable that is if the distortionary costs of regulations are not rendered insignificant by the first two reasons then the returns to noncompliance will be high and other things being equal employers will evade or avoid the regulations thereby minimizing the imact on efficiency the argument rests on profit maximization subject to a hard budget constraint public enterprises which are not concerned only with profit maximization and often have softer budget constraints than the private sector may be more willing to conform to profit reducing regulations but in this case the authors argue that compliance may reduce already existing efficiency losses

the economic case for international labour standards this paper explores the economic case for international labour standards granting workers rights of free association and collective bargaining confers both static and dynamic economic efficiencies static efficiencies refer to one time gains from improvements in economic practice dynamic efficiencies refer to gains from improvements to the growth path resulting from a shift away from a low road development path to a high road path these efficiencies raise wages employment and output in developing countries and they can also benefit workers in developed countries labour standards are an institutional mechanism for raising the quality of growth in both developing and developed countries in this sense they are a win win institution

vive la revolution long term educational returns of 1968 to the angry students the famous events of may 1968 starting with student riots threw france into a state of turmoil as a result normal examination procedures were abandoned and the pass rate for various qualifications increased enormously the lowering of thresholds at critical stages of the education system enabled a proportion of students to pursue more years of higher education than would otherwise have been possible for those on the margin of passing their examinations additional years of higher education increased future wages and occupational levels interestingly the effect is also transmitted across generations and is reflected in the educational performance of children

does compulsory school attendance affect schooling and earnings we establish that season of birth is related to educational attainment because of school start age policy and compulsory school attendance laws individuals born in the beginning of the year start school at an older age and can therefore drop out after completing less schooling than individuals born near the end of the year roughly 25 percent of potential dropouts remain in school because of compulsory schooling laws we estimate the impact of compulsory schooling on earnings by using quarter of birth as an instrument for education the instrumental variables estimate of the return to education is close to the ordinary least squares estimate suggesting that there is little bias in conventional estimates every developed country in the world has a compulsory schooling requirement yet little is known about the effect these laws have on educational attainment and earnings 1 this paper exploits an unusual natural experiment to estimate the impact of compulsory schooling laws in the united states the experiment stems from the fact that children born in different months of the year start school at different ages while compulsory schooling laws generally require students to remain in school until their sixteenth or seventeenth birthday in effect the interaction of school entry requirements and compulsory schooling laws compel students born

the effect on income distribution of development the growth rate and economic strategy abstract an analysis of cross section and time series data for 83 countries confirms some and contradicts other work on income distribution new findings include a dualistic socio political system is highly unfavorable for equality neither the extent of government intervention in the economy nor the rate of manufactured exports are systematically related to income distribution the analysis confirms that there is no systematic relationship between equality and the rate of economic growth educational participation and a reduction in the share of primary exports in gdp are both favorable for equality there is some support for the kuznets hypothesis that inequality increases as per capita income rises to about 400 and then declines with further income increase but the empirical support is not strong and may be weakening over time these findings lead to more optimistic conclusions then other work that rapid growth in a mixed economy is quite consistent with unchanged or even improved income distribution even at early stages of development

deregulation and the adaptation of governance structure the case of the u s airline industry deregulation provides a natural experiment for examining how governance adapts to structural changes in the business environment we investigate the evolution of governance structure characterized by ownership concentration compensation policy and board composition in the u s airline industry during a 22 year period surrounding the airline deregulation act of 1978 consistent with theory we nd that after deregulation i equity ownership is more concentrated ii ceo pay increases iii stock option grants to ceos increase and iv board size decreases airlines governance structures gravitate toward the system of governance mechanisms used by unregulated rms the adaptation process is gradual however suggesting that it is costly to alter organizational capital we also present evidence on the relation between governance structure and rm survival 1999 elsevier science s a all rights reserved jel classixcation g32 g38 j33 l93

bank regulation and the credit crunch abstract this study investigates the direct link between regulatory enforcement actions and the shrinkage of bank loans to sectors likely to be bank dependent we partition the shrinkage due to loan supply into the component due to explicit regulatory enforcement actions and that due to a voluntary response by bank management to low capital to asset ratios we find that banks with formal actions shrink at a significantly faster rate than those without even after controlling for differences in capital to asset ratios furthermore much of the reduced lending has been in categories containing primarily loans to bank dependent borrowers

education earnings and the canadian g i bill canadian second world war veterans benefited from an extensive educational pro gram similar to the u s g i bill because of differences in military enlistment rates how ever a much lower fraction of quebec men were eligible for these benefits than men from other provinces building on this fact we analyse inter cohort patterns of education and earnings for english speaking men from ontario using french speaking men from quebec as a control group we find that the instrumental variables estimates of the return to school ing are typically as big or bigger than the corresponding ols estimates jel classification j24 i21

is there a social kuznets curve the influence of labour standards on inequality abstract this study empirically investigates the impact of core labour standards on income inequality for a range of 90 countries from 1990 2000 a synthetic index of labour standards is computed by means of a multiple correspondence analysis and no significant correlation is found with the gini index one of the reasons pointed out is that the effective implementation of core labour standards depends on the quality of the country s political and legal systems using instrumental variables in a tsls model we found an inverse u shaped curve between the new endogenous index of core labour standards and income inequality

the compelling effects of compulsory schooling evidence from canada abstract compulsory school laws have existed for more than a hundred years and policies to mandate further education continue to be discussed the implications of these laws however are not well understood historical changes to compulsory schooling in canada permit an examination of their effects on would be dropouts under very different circumstances than those during changes in other countries mandating education substantially increased adult income and substantially decreased the likelihood of being below the low income cut off unemployed and in a manual occupation these findings suggest significant gains from this legislation which seem unlikely offset by the costs incurred while having to remain in school jel classification i20 i28

forbearance and prompt corrective action this article investigates whether a bank regulator should terminate problem banks promptly or exercise forbearance we construct a dynamic model economy in which entrepreneurs pledge collateral borrow from banks and invest in long term projects we assume that collateral value has aggregate risk over time that in any period entrepreneurs can abscond with the projects but lose the collateral and that depositors can withdraw deposits we show that optimal regulation exhibits forbearance if the ex ante probability of collapse in collateral value is sufficiently low but exhibits prompt termination of problem banks if this probability is sufficiently high copyright 2007 the ohio state university

equalization or selection reassessing the meritocratic power of a college degree in intergenerational income mobility intergenerational mobility is higher among college graduates than among people with lower levels of education in light of this finding researchers have characterized a college degree as a great e

asset returns and economic disasters evidence from the s l crisis abstract this paper shows that depositors lost confidence in fslic during the two years prior to passage of firrea legislation which recapitalized the deposit insurance fund in 1989 during this period promised returns on retail cds reflected the expected loss and return standard deviation on these securities in the absence of government insurance cross sectional analysis is used to estimate both the probability and the conditional price of risk associated with fslic default the results suggest that increased uncertainty about both output and inflation in this disaster scenario drove the price of fslic default risk to extremely high levels the results also indicate that the market for retail deposits is characterized by less than perfect arbitrage across geographical regions

does education raise productivity or just reflect it education has an important effect on wages but it not clear whether this is because education raises productivity or because education is simply a signal of ability we implement a number of existing tests for discriminating between these two explanations and find that they do not support the signalling hypothesis however we have severe reservations about these results and we propose an alternative test based on changes in education incentives caused by changes in the minimum school leaving age in the 1970s using this idea we find that uk data appear to strongly support the human capital explanation an important issue in the economics of education is that an individual s education has an effect on wages paid in the labour market for example blundell et al 2003 uses detailed education and subsequent earnings information for a cohort of male individuals born in 1958 to estimate that the returns to a uk degree typically of 3 year duration relative to graduating from high school at 18 with 2 a level qualifications a necessary but not sufficient condition for admission to university is a 24 wage premium human capital explanations pioneered by becker 1962 and schultz 1963 suggest that the correlation between education and wages is due to education enhancing productivity however earnings may rise in response to education not because of any effect on productivity but simply because education may act as a signal of productivity employers believing that education is correlated with productivity will screen workers for their education and pay higher wages to the more educated the employers beliefs will be confirmed by their experience if it is the case that high productivity individuals signal this by choosing high levels of education it will be optimal for individuals to behave in this way if the cost of acquiring education is less for high productivity individuals than it is for low productivity individuals thus under reasonable conditions the market will be characterised by a separating equilibrium where higher productivity individuals choose higher levels of education than lower productivity workers and earn correspondingly higher wages the theory is largely due to spence 1973 1979 and the subsequent empirical literature was reviewed by groot and oosterbeek 1994 riley 2001 provides an excellent modern survey chevalier harmon and walker are fellows of iza in bonn and are affiliated with the institute for the study of social change issc in dublin this paper is part of the issc policy evaluation programme chevalier and walker are also affiliated with the centre for the economics of education at the london school of economics lse the support of all of these bodies for facilitating our collaboration is acknowledged harmon is grateful to university college london for their hospitality during his nuffield foundation new career development fellowship in the social sciences comments from steve machin and three anonymous referees greatly improved the exposition of this paper we are also grateful to richard blundell and to seminar participants at the lse and the tinbergen institute in amsterdam for their comments and to vincent o sullivan for excellent research assistance the usual disclaimer applies

who bears interest rate risk we study the allocation of interest rate risk within the european banking sector using novel data banks exposure to interest rate risk is small on aggregate but heterogeneous in the cross section contrary to conventional wisdom net worth is increasing in interest rates for approximately half of the institutions in our sample cross sectional variation in banks exposures is driven by cross country differences in loan rate fixation conventions for mortgages banks use derivatives to partially hedge on balance sheet exposures residual exposures imply that changes in interest rates have redistributive effects within the banking sector received october 31 2017 editorial decision august 30 2018 by editor philip strahan authors have furnished an internet appendix which is available on the oxford university press web site next to the link to the final published paper online

the kuznets process and the inequality development relationship abstract in his classic paper on economic growth and income inequality kuznets discussed the process of population shift from traditional to modern activities as the basis for a theory of distributional change during the course of development in this paper we present a formalization of the kuznets process conduct a general analysis of distributional change under this process and derive the functional forms of and conditions for a turning point in the inequality development relationship for six commonly used indices of inequality the functional form appropriate to each index is then estimated using cross section data on 60 developing and developed countries finally some extensions to the initial formalization of the kuznets process are considered

income distribution development and foreign trade a cross sectional analysis abstract this paper analyses cross sectional evidence on income inequality in developing countries within a consistent theoretical framework where the major explanatory variables are factor endowments their ownership structure and foreign trade distortions the resulting explanation of cross country differences in income distribution is considerably better than what is found in the existing literature endowments in mineral resources land concentration in agricultural exports trade protection and secondary schooling are shown to be major determinants of differences in income inequality across developing countries

educational reform ability and family background in this paper we evaluate the impact of a major school reform that took place in the 1950s in sweden on educational attainment and earnings the reform which has many common elements with reforms in other european countries including the uk consisted of increasing compulsor schooling imposing a national curriculum and abolishing selection by ability into academic and non academic streams at the age of 12 comprehensive school reform our data combines survey data with administrative sources we find that the reform increased both the educational attainment and the earnings of children whose fathers had just compulsory education however the earnings of those with educated parents declined possibly because of a dilution of quality at the top end of the education levels the overall effect of the reform was however positive

the kuznets curve a reassessment abstract this paper revisits the kuznets hypothesis an extensive data set containing the most recent estimates of income distribution is utilized to test the kuznets hypothesis in addition the data comparability problem with respect to income distribution data when conducting econometric analysis is addressed the results indicate that the data comparability problem is not severe enough to nullify the estimates obtained from pooled regressions the kuznets hypothesis holds for this data set

the politics of bank failures evidence from emerging markets this paper studies large private banks in 21 major emerging markets in the 1990s it first demonstrates that bank failures are very common in these countries about 25 percent of these banks failed during the seven year sample period the paper also shows that political concerns play a significant role in delaying government interventions to failing banks failing banks are much less likely to be taken over by the government or to lose their licenses before elections than after this result is robust to controlling for macroeconomic and bank specific factors a new party in power early elections outstanding loans from the imf as well as country specific time independent factors this finding implies that much of the within country clustering in emerging market bank failures is directly due to political concerns

bank runs deposit insurance and capital requirements diamond and dybvig provide a model of intermediation in which deposit insurance can avoid socially undesirable bank runs we extend the diamond dybvig model to evaluate the costs and benefits of deposit insurance in the presence of moral hazard by banks and monitoring by depositors we find that complete deposit insurance alone will not support the first best outcome depositors will not have adequate incentives for monitoring and banks will invest in excessively risky projects however an additional capital requirement for banks can restore the first best allocation

the intergenerational effects of parental higher education evidence from changes in university accessibility abstract we examine the causal relationship between the educational attainment of parents and that of their children using quasi experimental variation from changes in parents access to university generated by the geographical expansion of the finnish university system between the late 1950s and early 1970s our results suggest that for the children of parents affected by the changes in university accessibility there is a strong positive spillover effect of around 0 5 from parent s to child s attained years of education our analyses using alternative parental and child outcomes suggest that the effect of parental education is partly driven by assortative mating and may also be related to children s improved school performance

education and household welfare abstractusing census data from nepal we examine how the partial derivatives of predicted household welfare vary with parental education we focus on fertility child survival schooling and child labor female education is not as strongly associated with beneficial outcomes as is often assumed male education often matters more and part of the association between female education and welfare is driven by marriage market matching with more educated men controlling for the average education of parental cohorts does not change this finding but when we use educational rank to proxy for unobserved ability and family background the positive association between female education and beneficial outcomes becomes weaker or is reversed for women the association between educational rank and outcomes is strong women who obtain more schooling than their peers in school have fewer children and educate them better in contrast for men the statistical association between education and household welfare remains str

on the international harmonization of bank regulation this paper offers a three way typology of bank regulation and examines the question of international harmonization for each category for economic regulation the danger is that harmonization could support and preserve domestic protectionist regulatory regimes but it could instead be a beneficial guise for lowering protectionist barriers the latter efforts should be encouraged for prudential regulation national regulation should be adequate to handle the extra stresses of international banking harmonization efforts e g the basle accord may offer only modest help but the accord may offer indirect help by limiting national governments competitive efforts implicitly to subsidize their banks risk taking activities finally for information regulation national regulation appears to be adequate and international harmonization does not appear to be necessary copyright 1994 by oxford university press

do federal home loan bank membership and advances increase bank risk taking since the early 1990s commercial banks have turned to federal home loan bank fhlbank advances to plug the gap between loan and deposit growth is this trend worrisome on the one hand advances implicitly encourage risk by insulating borrowers from market discipline on the other advances give borrowers greater flexibility to managing interest rate and liquidity risk and access to fhlbank funding encourages members to reshape their balance sheets in ways that could lower credit risk using quarterly financial and supervisory data for banks from 1992 to 2005 we assess the effect of fhlbank membership and advances on risk the evidence suggests liquidity and leverage risks rose modestly but interest rate risk declined somewhat credit risk and overall failure risk were largely unaffected although the evidence suggest fhlbank membership and advances have had at best only a modest impact on bank risk we caution that our sample period constitutes one observation and that moral hazard could be pronounced if leverage ratios revert to historical norms

core labor standards and development impact on long term income summary the paper focuses on the impact of international core labor standards on long term per capita income in order to do that it is necessary to build a new synthetic indicator of labor standards using multiple correspondence analysis measuring the four core labor standards recognized by ilo we propose an estimation of the steady state per capita income for a large panel of countries 104 and then that of developing countries the two stage least square method is used to correct potential problems of endogeneity the findings show that by and large countries with higher labor standards have a higher steady state level 2007 elsevier ltd all rights reserved

alternative mechanisms for corporate control we examine performance and management characteristics of fortune 500 firms experiencing one of three types of control change internally precipitated management turnover hostile takeover and friendly takeover we find that firms experiencing internally precipitated management turnover perform poorly relative to other firms in their industries but are not concentrated in poorly performing industries in contrast targets of hostile takeovers are concentrated in troubled industries there is also weaker evidence that hostile takeover targets underperform their industry peers we interpret this evidence as consistent with the idea that the board of directors is capable of firing managers whose leadership leads to poor performance relative to industry but that an external challenge in the form of a hostile takeover is often required when the whole industry is in decline the evidence also indicates that firms run by a member of the founding family are less likely to experience either internally precipitated top management turnover or a hostile takeover on the other hand firms whose top management team is dominated by a single relatively young top executive while lacking in internal discipline are more likely to experience a hostile takeover this abstract was borrowed from another version of this item this abstract was borrowed from another version of this item

too many to fail evidence of regulatory forbearance when the banking sector is weak this paper studies bank failures in 21 emerging market countries in the 1990s by using a competing risk hazard model for bank survival we show that a government is less likely to take over or close a failing bank if the banking system is weak this too many to fail effect is robust to controlling for macroeconomic factors financial crises the too big to fail effect domestic financial development and concerns due to systemic risk and information spillovers the paper also shows that the too many to fail effect is stronger for larger banks and when there is a large government budget deficit

regulatory incentives and the thrift crisis dividends mutual to stock conversions and financial distress during the 1980s insolvency of individual thrifts and the thrift deposit insurer created severe incentive problems lacking cash to close insolvent thrifts regulators induced nearly 10 billion of private capital to flow into the industry through mutual to stock conversions we test a theory of how regulators encouraged capitalimpaired mutual thrifts to convert by permitting them to pay dividends rather than rebuild capital we estimate the costs of this policy and interpret the 1991 federal deposit insurance corporation improvement act as requiring regulators to impose restraints on depository institutions parallel to debt covenants that prevent capital distributions by nonfinancial firms experiencing distress