wind energy in malaysia past present and future in recent years the malaysian government has attempted to develop renewable energy re through newly introduced regulatory supports after 30 years of failure to achieve a greater than one percent non hydroelectric re share in the total power mix the government is currently assessing the onshore wind energy potential in malaysia to determine the possibility of including wind energy in its fit scheme however wind energy development in this low energy location is not as straightforward as it would seem many previous wind studies in malaysia have relied on poor data and simplistic or inadequate methodologies resulting in grossly inaccurate estimates of wind potential moreover two wind turbine generator demonstration projects executed by the government have failed however above all the greatest factor impairing the progress of re development in malaysia is the weak and uncertain political support of these efforts this lack of robust support is particularly true where fossil fuels are still heavily subsidised amid the subsidy reform in 2013 a review of global wind energy development shows that successful projects depend heavily on a sound and robust regulatory framework supported by strong and consistent political will this dependence is not observed in malaysia where the government continues to subsidise private independent fossil fuel power producers but levies taxes on electricity consumers to fund re development these levies do not effectively support re development given the magnitude of the re fund compared to fossil fuel subsidies in the absence of strong and sincere political will the progress of re development in malaysia has been notably slow as a result the prospect of wind energy development in malaysia currently remains vague this paper discusses the above issues in detail and recommends selected regulatory mechanisms based on the global experience of supporting re development in malaysia

interrupted work careers depreciation and restoration of human capital the quantitative effects and even the existence of a human capital depreciation phenomenon have been a subject of controversy in the recent literature prior work however was largely cross sectional and the longitudinal dimension if any was retrospective using longitudinal panel data on married women in nls we have now established that real wages at reentry are indeed lower than at the point of labor force withdrawal and the decline in wages is greater the longer the interruption another striking finding is a relatively rapid growth in wages after the return to work this rapid growth appears to reflect the restoration or repair of previously eroded human capital the phenomenon of depreciation and restoration is also visible in data for immigrants to the united states however while immigrants eventually catch up with and often surpass natives returnees from the nonmarket do not fully restore their earnings potential

determinants of female administrative support personnel compensation at a large public university compared with research on faculty salaries and executive compensations very little is known about the earnings of administrative office support personnel this paper constructed and estimated the total compensation variant of a modified human capital earnings model using a 1989 90 fiscal year microdata sample consisting of about 300 all female office workers administrative secretaries regular secretaries and clerks at a large public university the total compensation consisting of wages plus actual dollar costs of five employer paid health life accident longevity sick leave vacation and pension benefit plans specification fitted the data reasonably well the pattern of estimated differential returns to specific human capital attributes within administrative support occupations tends to be significant and is consistent with the skill atrophy prediction of the human capital theory implications of the findings for secretarial productivity career choice decisions and opportunities for advancemen

review on malaysia s national energy developments key policies agencies programmes and international involvements this paper aims to present a review on malaysia s national energy developments by looking at various angles in terms of renewable energy and energy efficiency energy demand and consumption by sectors are presented as well as the fuel mix in electricity generation key energy policies implemented from the incorporation of malaysia s national oil company petronas in 1974 until the national green technology policy 2009 and a future policy will be addressed the roles of key players as well as important agencies in energy development are briefly presented key programmes in energy development such as malaysian industrial energy efficiency improvement project small renewable energy power programme and building energy efficiency programme are discussed as well as successful initiatives from the programmes malaysia s international involvements towards reduction of greenhouse gas emissions and carbon emissions especially montreal protocol and kyoto protocol are highlighted as a conclusion malaysia is aware of its role in formulating its national energy development policies sensitive towards the country s development towards the environment and utilization of energy resources as well as conscientious and responsive towards the call for sustainable development in promoting renewable energy and energy efficiency

a comment on why did child support award levels decline from 1978 to 1985 by philip k robins between 1978 and 1985 the mean real value of child support payments due declined 25 percent in this journal philip robins argued most of this decline was the result of an increase in the ratio of female to male earnings but we argue his conclusion is based upon an inappropriate use of decomposition analysis we show child support due declined largely as a result of a secular decline in the real value of new awards which have fallen almost three percent per year since 1961 and we investigate why new awards declined our findings have implications for reforms contained in the family support act of 1988

the labor force participation behavior of married women under conditions of constraints on borrowing this paper investigates the effect of a borrowing constraint on the labor force participation of married women the model developed here relaxes the assumption of perfect markets found in standard life cycle models we find evidence that married women s work in the market is positively related to the existence and extent of family borrowing restrictions we suggest that the failure to account for this constant in family borrowing may be the reason for the unexpected positive sign in most empirical studies of the effect of family assets on a wife s work

the added worker effect the term added worker effect usually refers to a temporary increase in the labor supply of married women whose husbands have become unemployed this paper presents a new approach to the empirical study of the added worker effect which emphasizes the role of employment uncertainty and credit constraints in generating short run participation and employment patterns the estimates are based on employment transition probabilities rather than static measures of labor supply and are used in a dynamic simulation of changes in the employment and participation rates of wives following an exogenous increase in unemployment among their husbands the results show a small but significant added worker effect at least for white families and suggest that the apparent disagreement among previous studies may stem from different approaches to measuring responses to a transitory event such as an unemployment spell

the impact of legislation on divorce a hazard function approach the paper examines the impact of the introduction of no fault divorce legislation in australia the approach used is rather novel a hazard model of the divorce rate is estimated with the role of legislation captured via a time varying covariate the paper concludes that contrary to us empirical evidence no fault divorce legislation appears to have had a positive impact upon the divorce rate in australia

international coordination in the design of macroeconomic policy rules abstract the paper examines international issues that arise in the design and evaluation of macroeconomic policy rules it begins with a theoretical investigation of the effects of fiscal and monetary policy in a two country rational expectations model with staggered wage and price setting and with perfect capital mobility the results indicate that with the appropriate choice of policies and with flexible exchange rates demand shocks need not give rise to international externalities or coordination issues price shocks however do create an externality and this is the focus of the empirical part of the paper using a simple seven country model consisting of canada france germany italy japan the united kingdom and the united states optimal cooperative and non cooperative nash policy rules to minimize the variance of output and inflation in each country are calculated the cooperative policies are computed using standard dynamic stochastic programming techniques and the non cooperative policies are computed using an algorithm developed by finn kydland the central result is that the cooperative policy rules for these countries are more accommodative to inflation than the non cooperative policy rules

incentive effects of the u s welfare system a review the author would like to acknowledge support for prior work on this topic from the u s department of health and human services and helpful comments from three anonymous referees rebecca blank howard chernick john fitzgerald irwin garfinkel peter gottschalk edward gramlich david greenberg judith gueron james heckman v joseph hotz robert hutchens michael keane frank levy larry mead michael murray robert plotnick anuradha rangarajan philip robins howard rolston jeffrey smith and daniel weinberg all opinions and errors are those of the author alone

an economic model of cohabitation and divorce abstract the positive correlation between the rates of cohabitation and divorce has long been established this paper seeks to determine the direction of causation between these two variables a simultaneous equations model is specified with cohabitation and divorce rates as endogenous variables and using data aggregated to the state level for 1990 this procedure suggests that the divorce rate is a significant factor in explaining variations across states in the cohabitation rate and that the divorce rate is itself influenced by cohabitation behavior this finding strengthens the results put forth by various economic and sociological single equation studies this synthesis of information and data provided by sociologists with economic theory and methodology suggests further research in modelling demographic variables as joint outcomes of the same process

married womens tastes and the decision to participate in the labour market results from a fixed effects model in the paper we report estimates from two logit models of women s labour force participation a model with out fixed effects estimated from cross sectional data indicates a significant postive relation between work experience and particiption we ask whether the relation is due to a causal influence extered by the former variable on the latter or to a common underlying variable taste for market attachement to answer this question we present results from a fixed effects model estimated from panel data in this model the estimated coefficients of experience are insignificant suggestion that a taste for market attachement underlies both experience and participation is the presence of preschool children

an empirical model of labor supply in a life cycle setting this paper formulates and estimates a structural intertemporal model of labor supply using theoretical characterizations derived from an economic model of lifetime behavior a two step empirical analysis yields estimates of intertemporal and uncompensated substitution effects which provide the information needed to predict the response of hours of work to life cycle wage growth and shifts in the lifetime wage path

some direct evidence on the importance of borrowing constraints to the labor force participation of married women this paper examines the link between credit availability and the labor supply decisions of married women in particular it uses data from the survey of consumer finances to test the role of some direct measures of borrowing constraints in a standard labor force participation equation although imperfect capital markets may alter the options available to households in a life cycle context the results suggest that borrowing constraints are of little importance to the labor force participation decisions of married women

sex related wage differentials and women s interrupted labor careers the chicken or the egg wage differentials between men and women are often attributed to differences in on the job training the lower investment of women being explained by their plans to interrupt their careers for family reasons career interruptions however are often explained by low wages to trace this interrelationship i adopt a simultaneous equations approach trying to explain wages planned separations on the job training and the skill intensity of the job simultaneously skill intensity is found to be a key variable in the explanation of the wage differential traditional theory is hard pressed to explain the sex related differences in this variable

the excess sensitivity of layoffs and quits to demand excessive layoffs in bad times and excessive quits in good times both stem from the same weakness in practical employment arrangements the specific nature of worker firm relations creates a situat

domestic violence and divorce law when divorce threats become credible the cost of divorce influences the bargaining position of spouses and thus their behavior within the marriage this study takes advantage of a major and unexpected reduction in divorce costs in spain to estimate the causal effects on domestic violence results suggest a 30 decline in spousal conflict as a consequence of the reform spousal violence is found to have decreased among couples who remained married after the modification in the law which suggests an important role for changes in bargaining within the marriage when divorce becomes a more credible cheaper option

international policy coordination in interdependent monetary economies abstract an optimising equilibrium model of two interdependent monetary economies with no other assets except cash perfect foresight flexible exchange rates and imperfect substitution between home and foreign goods is analysed both non cooperative and cooperative market oriented outcomes are time inconsistent since each government has an incentive to renege and levy a surprise inflation tax international policy coordination without pre commitment can be counterproductive even though there are no tax distortions and the provision of public goods is optimal since it exacerbates the credibility problems perceived by the private sectors and therefore leads to a too low level of real money balances and excessive inflation

high school graduation performance and wages using data from the panel study of income dynamics and a proprietary sample of semiskilled production workers this paper investigates the reasons for the discontinuous increase in wages associated with graduation from high school i find a discontinuous decrease in workers propensities to quit or be absent however i do not find that high school graduates have a comparative advantage in production jobs requiring more training nor in either sample is there a discontinuous increase in required training associated with the jobs held by high school graduates the wage premium associated with graduation from high school appears to be procyclical falling during slumps periods in which employers are likely to be hoarding labor and in which quits and absences are least important to firms there is also some evidence suggesting that prior quits have a larger effect on the wages of high school graduates than on the wages of high school dropouts

sin city why is the divorce rate higher in urban areas divorce rates are higher in cities based on danish register data this paper shows that of the marriages formed in the city those couples who remain in the city have a 23 higher divorce rate than those who move out in this paper we test whether this observation is due to sorting of more stable marriages into rural areas or if there exists a causal effect of living in urban areas on marriage instability our identification strategy supplements the timing of events approach with an instrumental variable our findings suggest that the effect of living in an urban area on the divorce risks drops substantially and loses statistical significance once we address sorting keywords divorce search mobility city keywords j12 j64

international interdependencies in fiscal stabilization policies abstract trade links imply that business cycle fluctuations are transmitted among trade partners to the extent that fiscal policy can mitigate business cycle fluctuations international interdependencies in stabilization policies arise we analyse in a two country general equilibrium model the role of fiscal policy in mitigating risk or providing implicit insurance in the presence of capital market imperfections and adjustment failures rigid wages it is shown that there is a welfare case for an active stabilization policy and that it is larger in the presence of adjustment failures rigid wages non cooperative policy decisions imply inefficiencies in fiscal stabilization policies which in the case of flexible wages may imply too much stabilization whereas stabilization is always insufficient in the case of rigid wages

part time work and returning to work after the birth of the first child 1990 part time work and returning to work after the birth of the first child applied economics vol 22 no 9 pp 1137 1148

malaysia energy strategy towards sustainability a panoramic overview of the benefits and challenges sustainable energy supply is essential for actualizing malaysia s vision to become a high income country the current power production and demand trends show that malaysia has a reserve margin that will only last for the next few years this calls for further investment research and development in the country s power sector in order to meet the ever increasing energy demand the government s diversification policy and power sector expansion plan emphasizes on the incorporation of renewable energy sources ress and other less co2 emitting sources like nuclear into the national energy mix however the environmental ramifications of this policy should be part of any future expansion plan of national grid this paper presents a panoramic overview of the malaysian energy sector the energy policy revolution and the power sector expansion strategy towards secure sustainability we want to bring into focus the benefits and challenges of malaysia s power sector expansion plan with the aim of stimulating further discussion and research on the environmental ramifications of the plan

labour force participation timing and persistence this paper examines the relative importance of timing and persistence elements in explaining cyclical fluctuations in labour supply data from the natural experiment provided by world war ii and cross sectional data on american local labour markets as well as aggregate time series data are used in the empirical work we find little evidence that timing effects play an important role in labour market dynamics the evidence suggests that views emphasizing persistence are more accurate and that previous employment tends to raise the probability of subsequent employment much of the development of applied economic theory within the past 25 years has emphasized the importance of viewing economic decisions in a life cycle context consumption decisions are today frequently viewed as being determined by wealth or permanent income the human capital revolution has brought life cycle considerations to the forefront of modern labour economics while the life cycle dynamics of labour force participation decisions have important implications for macroeconomic theory and policy they have received relatively little empirical attention with the notable exceptions of lucas and rapping 1969 and hall 1980 none of the large body of work on cyclical fluctuations in employment has explicitly relied on a dynamic model of labour supply this paper uses several types of data to examine two elements of participation dynamics the first is the aspect of timing which is implicit in the work of lucas and rapping and in mincer s 1966 early discussion of hidden unemployment the timing argument which is presented most explicitly in ghez and becker 1975 holds that leisure is easily substitutable across periods hence relatively small transitory movements in the perceived real wage or real rate of return can have large effects on the path of labour supply as individuals time their participation to coincide with periods of high transitory wages on the other hand permanent changes because they do not affect the timing decision are expected to have a much smaller effect on participation it is this view of labour supply which underlies new classical macroeconomic models the dependence is made explicit in lucas 1975 who claims that what we do know indicates that leisure in one period is an excellent substitute for leisure in other nearby periods the ability of classical macroeconomic models to explain fluctuations in employment depends on the presence of strong intertemporal substitution effects unless

married women in part time employment this research deals with three aspects of the part time employment pattern of working wives 1 the wives characteristics 2 the level and structure of their earnings in part time jobs and 3 the duration of their employment when part time jobs are available to them this study improves upon previous research by using multivariate analysis to determine if the variation in the incidence of part time work consistently found in other studies persists when earnings potential fertility family income and other factors that may vary by age or race are held constant it differs further by including a data source that contains direct measures of market wages and experience for a large sample of married working women the authors find that husband s income family size and the wife s health race and previous work experience are among the variables that influence the probability that the wife works part time they also find that the level of wages and returns to some investments in human capital are rela

a review on sustainable power generation in malaysia to 2030 historical perspective current assessment and future strategies abstract this review focuses on energy for grid connected electricity generation for west peninsular malaysia a historical perspective of malaysia s energy policies and energy related initiatives is first provided which sets the scene for an assessment of current situation in the country we recommend a number of sustainable options for addressing the projected energy deficits in malaysia up to year 2030 besides meeting the drive for low carbon systems and technologies the latter is in direct response to an announcement by the prime minister of malaysia on a conditional voluntary target of 40 reduction in the emissions intensity per unit of gdp by 2020 from a 2005 baseline at the cop15 meeting in copenhagen alternative strategies are suggested that promote enhanced roles for renewable energy re as well as energy efficiency and conservation ee c practices based on a review of past and present policies and current developments a greater contribution of re from biomass biogas hydroelectric power and solar photovoltaic is proposed compared to the present less than 1 in concert with continuous more widespread adoption of ee c initiatives strategies are also advocated to improve coal supply reliability and security on top of these measures the malaysian government is urged to moderate energy subsidies while enforcing a common energy regulatory framework that involve all relevant agencies and parties

yours mine and ours do divorce laws affect the intertemporal behavior of married couples divorce laws establish spouses individual property rights over household resources and determine when divorce is allowed this paper examines how such laws inuence the intertemporal behavior and the welfare of u s married couples i build a model of household choice about consumption labor supply and divorce under multiple divorce law regimes and i estimate it using exogenous variation in u s divorce laws from the 1970s to the 1990s couples responded to equal division of property and unilateral divorce by increasing tangible assets up to 19 which suggests the presence of a strong income eect for the primary earner and by reducing female employment by over 5 percentage points because the threat of divorce granted additional bargaining power to married woman the bargaining weight of women implied by these responses in the model corresponds to a third of the weight of men this indicates that equal division of assets beneted women when it was

accumulation and growth in a two country model a simulation approach abstract this paper analyzes saving and capital accumulation in a two good growth model of two market economies in which economic agents optimize with perfect foresight the goal is to present a model in which short run dynamics and the steady state are soundly integrated we stress the importance of asset markets as the linkage that transmits disturbances both internationally and intertemporally while many components of the model described below can be found in the literature on optimal consumption investment and international growth models we provide a consistent synthesis our framework permits the analysis of structural adjustment in the global economy and the dynamic effects of a wide range of public policies

changing the rules midway the impact of granting alimony rights on existing and newly formed partnerships this article analyses the effect of a reform granting alimony rights to cohabiting couples in canada a collective household model with a matching framework predicts that changes in alimony laws would affect existing couples and couples to be differently for existing couples it benefits the intended beneficiary but for couples not yet formed it generates offsetting intra household transfers and lower intra marital allocations for the beneficiary our empirical analyses confirm these predictions among couples united before the reform obtaining the right to petition for alimony led women to lower their labour force participation but not among newly formed cohabiting couples

taxes and transfers their effects on the decision to end a marriage abstract the transfer system typically has large marriage disincentives while the income tax system is likely to subsidize marriage for many low income families in other words the tax system may offset an increase in transfer benefits associated with marital separation the interaction of the transfer system with the income tax system has largely been overlooked the income tax system has become more relevant for low income families with the recent expansion of the earned income tax credit which filers may be eligible for even if their tax liability is zero this paper uses family level measures of the change in transfer benefits and tax liability associated with a change in family structure to consider the effect of these financial incentives on separation decisions

female labor supply and divorce new evidence from ireland if participation in the labor market helps to secure women s outside options in the case of divorce separation an increase in the perceived risk of marital dissolution may accelerate the increase in female labor supply this simple prediction has been tested in the literature using time and or spatial variation in divorce legislation e g across us states leading to mixed results in this paper we suggest testing this hypothesis by exploiting a more radical policy change i e the legalization of divorce in ireland the right to divorce was introduced in 1996 followed by an acceleration of marriage breakdown rates we use this fundamental change in the irish society as a natural experiment we follow a difference in difference approach using families for whom the dissolution risk is small as a control group our results suggest that the legalization of divorce contributed to a significant increase in female labor supply mostly at the extensive margin results are not driven by selection and are robust to several specification checks including the introduction of household fixed effects and an improved match between control and treatment groups using propensity score reweighting

divorce law reforms and divorce rates in the usa an interactive fixed effects approach this paper estimates the eects of unilateral divorce laws on divorce rates from a panel of state level divorce rates we use the interactive xed eects model to address the issue of endogeneity due to the association between cross state unobserved heterogeneity and divorce law reforms we document that earlier studies in the literature do not fully control for unobserved heterogeneity and result in mixed empirical evidence on the eects of divorce law reforms our results while reconciling these conicting results suggest that divorce law reforms have positive eects on divorce rates but the magnitude and duration of the eects

the role of part time work in women s labor market choices over time at any point in time over the last decade approximately 37 percent of nonelderly adult women were not employed while 18 percent worked part time and 45 percent worked full time while much research has explored the static labor market participation and hours decisions of women 1 there has been almost no exploration of how the pattern of labor market involvement varies among individual women over time is there one group of women who always work full time and another that is always out of the labor market or do most individual women move between different levels of labor market involvement over time part time work may be particularly important in labor market dynamics it has been suggested that part time work provides a bridge or a stepping stone into fulltime employment for women who have been absent from the labor market yet knowing little about the dynamics of individual labor supply we do not know if most part timers are in that state transitionally or if they are permanently involved in part time work this paper focuses on labor market changes over a nine year period among a sample of adult women the questions it addresses are 1 what are the patterns of labor market involvement that we find among individual women over time 2 what role does part time work play in the dynamic patterns of women s labor market involvement and is there evidence that part time work is a more transitional category than full time work or nonwork 3 what factors induce women to move between part time work full time work and nonwork

coordination of optimal taxation in a two country equilibrium model abstract the optimal determination of distortionary taxes on labour income in order to finance the provision of publicly provided private goods is considered within the context of a static two country equilibrium model it is shown that with cobb douglas utility functions the lack of international coordination of optimal taxation leads to excessive supplies of publicly provided private goods

why are more women working in britain in britain female labor force participation rose steadily from the second world war to 1977 to explain this we estimate a pooled time series cross section supply function for single year age groups of women the life cycle pattern is explained quite well by the presence of children at a second stage we try to explain the rising level of the cohort intercepts estimated at the first stage real wage growth may be an explanatory factor as cross section evidence suggests it should be finally we point to the 15 rise in the relative pay of women in the mid 1970s caused by the equal pay act this did not cause the expected decline in the relative demand for female employees

marital division of labor with risk of divorce the role of voice enforcement of contracts it is assumed that emotional ties can be relied on to enforce implicit marital contracts by voice therefore in the present model divorce has economic consequences not only because the economies of scale from living together are destroyed but also because the scope for such voice enforcement is weakened moreover perhaps surprisingly i find that it is ambiguous how an increase in the probability of divorce influences predivorce allocation of time even when preferences are assumed to be homothetic

pension coverage and borrowing constraints using data from the 1983 survey of consumer finances and taking a measure of borrowing constraint status as an indication of a worker s discount rate we find evidence that borrowing constrained workers are less likely to be covered by a pension plan and that the borrowing constraint effect is significant only for defined benefit plans this paper examines the extent to which differences in workers rates of time preferences can explain pension coverage outcomes we argue that workers with a high rate of time preference will avoid jobs with pensions because pension saving cannot be costlessly borrowed against and they will be more reluctant to join a defined benefit than a defined contribution plan because defined benefit plans offer less flexibility in choosing a pension saving rate the existing empirical literature on pension coverage emphasizes the role of taxes incentives administrative costs and employee perceptions of default and nonportability risks 1 this study concentrates on how the ability to borrow against pension contributions affects worker pension demand

optimal fiscal policy in open economies with labour market distortions abstract we set up a general equilibrium model with unemployment owing to distortions in the labour market it is shown that a public expansion financed by a distortionary income tax may give rise to a decrease in unemployment even if public goods are pure waste such an expansion may give rise to an increase in welfare if it is associated with a decrease in unemployment since part of the gain from a fiscal expansion is achieved at the expense of welfare in other countries non cooperative policies tend to be too expansionary

the sensitivity of labor supply parameter estimates to unobserved individual effects fixed and random effects estimates in a nonlinear model using panel data life cycle models of labor supply predict the presence of an unobserved individual effect in the labor supply equation that is correlated with observed explanatory variables leading to an omitted variables bias in the cross section i examine the sensitivity of parameter estimates to the presence of these effects using fixed and random effect tobit models the estimated effects of children are too large in the cross section the estimated intertemporal substitution elasticity ranges from 1 1 to 1 7 the results are similar for fixed and random effects models and for models using different specifications of the dependent variable

marriage and divorce informational constraints and private contracting the relationship between divorce rates in the united states and laws regulating divorce are analyzed using data from a special current population survey undertaken in 1979 with particular reference to the adoption by many states of no fault divorce laws the author utilizes a contract theoretic framework to examine the impact of both legal and informational constraints on several aspects of the marriage relationship 1 the probability of divorce 2 compensation at divorce i e the terms of the divorce settlement 3 the probability of entering marriage and 4 incentives for investment in marriage specific capital two different models are developed the first assumes that ex post information about the value of each spouses opportunites at divorce is symmetric and that since divorce would only occur if the joint benefits outweigh the joint costs the law has no effect on the divorce rate the second model asserts that the existence of asymmetric information results in a fixed wage marriage contract and that divorce would be higher in states that allow unilateral divorce the evidence supports the first of these hypotheses excerpt

canadian contributions to family economics canadian scholars have made substantial contributions to the relatively new field of family economics these include new models of how men and women match in marriage markets and of how decisions are made in multi person households several were early contributors to the literature on married women s labour supply and labour supply in a family context and helped to develop empirical methods in this area a particular focus has been on the impacts of policy relevant parameters such childcare costs on family labour supply and child well being new work on child development the impact of early life conditions and the processes of intergenerational transmission also highlight the importance of family context in determining economic well being

openness government size and the terms of trade this paper investigates the relationship between trade openness and the size ofngovernments both theoretically and empirically we argue that openness can increase the size of governments through two channels 1 a terms of trade externality whereby trade lowers the domestic cost of taxation and 2 the demand for insurance whereby trade raises risk and public transfers we provide a unified framework for studying and testing these two mechanisms our main theoretical prediction is that the relative strength of the two explanations depends on a key parameter namely the elasticity of substitution between domestic and foreign goods moreover while the first mechanism is inefficient from the standpoint of world welfare the second is instead optimal in the empirical part of the paper we provide new evidence on the positive association between openness and government size and we explore its determinants consistently with the terms of trade externality channel we show that the correlation is contingent on a low elasticity of substitution between domestic and foreign goods our findings raise warnings that globalization may have led to inefficiently large governments

social assistance and conjugal union dissolution in canada a dynamic analysis using statistics canadas general social survey on family and friends carried out in 1990 we piece together the matrimonial and conjugal life history of a large sample of canadian men and women we then estimate duration models coxs proportional hazard models describing the evolutionary laws of marriages and unions which depend on various economic or socio demographic explanatory variables the empirical modelling focuses primarily on estimating the impact of couples earned incomes and of provincial welfare programs on the dissolution rate of first marriages and unions we find that welfare benefits do not have an impact on the hazard of union dissolution and that earned incomes have a positive effect on conjugal stability excerpt summary in fre

labor supply and marital separation panel data are used to estimate the effect of marital separation on labor supply female labor supply increases substantially and male labor supply declines marginally lending support to the theory of specialization within the household the most interesting finding is that women began to increase their labor supply well before the actualsplit occurs suggesting either that shocks to labor supply change divorce probabilities or that women with a higher likelihood of divorcework more this argument is pursued by constructing and estimating a simultaneous model of labor supply and divorce risk copyright 1986 by american economic association

profiles of fertility labour supply and wages of married women a complete life cycle model of all the major economic and demographic events in the postwar united states period the trends in fertility and female labour supply stand out as among the most dramatic fertility rates after their depression lows rose unexpectedly after world war ii far more than was anticipated as an adjustment to the war and continued to rise until the late 1950 s and early 1960 s when they again took an unexpected turn downward all the way to today s historical lows female labour force participation rates continuing their historical climb grew throughout the postwar period at an increasing pace by 4 percentage points during the 1950 s by 5 percentage points during the 1960 s and by 8 percentage points during the 1970 s these two trends are of course closely related for most married women have traditionally spent at least some minimal time out of the labour force while caring for their own children thus for example the slower growth rate of labour force participation rates in the 1950 s is probably connected with the higher fertility rates in that period in this paper a complete model of female labour supply and fertility choice is constructed and estimated the model is more complete than previous models in several respects first labour supply and fertility decisions are modelled as completely joint in the same sense as the consumption of two goods is joint second both are modelled as life cycle decisions that is as decisions regarding sequences of labour supply and fertility events rather than levels of the same hence the timing of both is important third the life cycle path of wage rates is made endogenous to the model given a wage function showing the effect of work experience on future wages the path of wages is determined automatically by the chosen path of labour supply which in turn is related to fertility decisions that require some period of non work econometrically the three profiles for labour supply fertility and wages are estimated with a full information maximum likelihood technique that solves several econometric problems such as the problem of heterogeneity of tastes the selectivity problem of missing wage rates for non workers and the problem of simultaneous equations bias the value of constructing a complete model is best seen by briefly reviewing past work in this area the modern literature in the area is based upon the work of becker

the economics of the marriage contract theories and evidence abstract we analyze the role of the marriage contract we first formalize three prominent hypotheses on why people marry marriage provides an exogenous payoff to married partners it serves as a commitment device and it serves as a signaling device for each theory we analyze how a reduction in the costs of divorce affects the propensity to divorce for couples at any given duration of marriage we then use individual marriage and divorce certificate data from the united states to bring these alternative views of the marriage contract to bear on the data we exploit variations in the timing of the adoption of unilateral divorce laws across states to proxy a one off and permanent reduction in divorce costs the results suggest that the dominant reason that couples enter into a marriage contract is that it serves as a commitment device

unilateral divorce versus child custody and child support in the u s this paper explores the response of the divorce rate to law reforms introducing unilateral divorce after controlling for law reforms concerning the aftermath of divorce which are omitted from most previous studies we introduce two main policy changes that have swept the us since the late 1970s the approval of the joint custody regime and the child support enforcement program because those reforms affect divorce decisions by counteracting the reallocation of property rights generated by the unilateral divorce procedure and by increasing the expected financial costs of divorce it is arguable that their omissions might obscure the impact of unilateral divorce reforms on divorce rates after allowing for changes in laws concerning the aftermath of divorce we find that the positive impact of unilateral divorce reforms on divorce rates does not vanish over time suggesting that the coase theorem may not apply to changes in divorce laws supplemental analysis developed to examine the frequency of permanent shocks in us divorce rates indicates that the positive permanent changes in divorce rates can be associated with the implementation of unilateral divorce reforms and that the negative permanent changes can be related to the law reforms concerning living arrangements in the aftermath of divorce this seems to confirm the important role of these policies in the evolution of divorce rates

female earnings and the divorce rate a simultaneous equations model economists have contributed a great deal of research both theoretical and empirical to the study of marital formation and dissolution many empirical examinations of marriage and divorce rates exist based on becker s seminal contributions to the literature all of these divorce studies are single equation models with female earnings assumed exogenous as discussed by becker 1981 however causality may run in the opposite direction as well the divorce rate may influence female earnings this paper estimates a simultaneous equations model in which divorce rates and female earnings are the jointly endogenous variables data are by state for 1960 1970 1980 and 1990 the state wide divorce rate equation is an extension of waters and ressler 1999 and the specification of a state wide earnings equation follows standard human capital theory the specification of joint endogeneity between female earnings and the divorce rate allows valid inferences to be made regarding the effect of female earnings on

the public sector and international integration abstract how does international integration affect public sector activities optimal public sector activities are shown to depend positively on a gains from trade effect and ambiguously on the standard distortion effect the bias in non cooperative policies may be strengthened by integration