the political economy of regulations and trade wine trade 1860 1970 dramatic changes in the 1860 1970 wine trade provide insights on the political economy of regulations and policy instrument choice and trade an invasion of phylloxera in the 1870s turned france from the world s leading exporter to a massive importer of wine and grapes when french production recovered a combination of tariffs safety regulations and quality standards were introduced to protect its french producers causing dramatic changes in global wine and grape production and trade including in spain italy turkey greece algeria tunisia and morocco changes in wine regulations were caused by relative income and loss aversion factors in political economy tariffs were the preferred policy instruments as they directly restrict imports bring in revenues have low transaction costs and are preferred political instruments when there are information imperfections safety regulations and quality standards including labelling and input prohibitions reduce asymmetric information for consumers or undesirable externalities and simultaneously protected domestic producers regulations were often targeted at imported products wine and raisins when tariffs were ineffective or constrained by institutions such as on colonial wine hence tariffs and quality regulations were jointly used in wine policy both as complements and as substitutes in policy design

persistent trade effects of large exchange rate shocks this paper presents a theoretical basis for the argument that large exchange rate shocks such as the 1980s dollar cycle may have persistent effects on trade flows and the equilibrium exchange rate itself we begin with a partial equilibrium model in which large exchange rate fluctuations lead to entry or exit decisions that are not reversed when the currency returns to its previous level then we develop a simple model of the feedback from hysteresis in trade to the exchange rate itself here we see that a large capital inflow which leads to an initial appreciation can result in a persistent reduction in the exchange rate consistent with trade balance

some dynamic aspects of food standards food standards have existed since the beginning of trade and exchange but have increased and expanded in recent years affecting global and local value chains this has triggered vigorous debates on the impacts on trade and development standards may simultaneously enhance economic efficiency and redistribute rents complicating policy analysis and implying that the economics and the politics of standards are often hard to separate while substantial research has contributed important insights dynamic aspects of standards have not received much attention i present a framework to illustrate some dynamic economic and political aspects of standards in closed and open economies this framework integrates changes over time in preferences implementation costs and protectionist pressures as determinants of standards and suggests explanations for persistent differences in food standards across countries hysteresis in standards can persist due to protectionist motives even if the initial standards were not introduced for protectionist reasons i use some historical cases to document both the persistence and adjustment of standards over time and with international integration

he came he saw and he waited an empirical analysis of inertia in technology adoption the innovation adoption literature has focused primarily on a producer s decision of whether and how much to adopt an equally pertinent question is when to adopt because in the case of new techno

economics and politics of food standards trade and development standards have played an important role in food trade for a very long time their rapid growth in recent years has triggered vigorous debates on their impacts on international trade and development with many arguing that standards are non tariff barriers to trade and that standards are marginalizing the poor i present conceptual frameworks and review empirical evidence on the equity and efficiency effects and the political economy of standards models which incorporate essential aspects of standards yield complex theoretical results and nuanced conclusions careful empirical analyses support such nuanced arguments and find complex effects for trade standards can create welfare gains but also involve rent redistribution which induces lobbying by interest groups to set the standards at their preferred level this makes it difficult to distinguish socially desirable standards from those resulting from political rent seeking for development it is crucial to explicitly account for a the endogeneity of the institutional organization of value chains and b both smallholder contracting and employment creation on large scale farms when considering the impact of standards on development and poverty

economies of scale household size and the demand for food household scale economies are plausibly attributed to shared household public goods that make larger households better off at the same level of per capita resources larger households should therefore have higher per capita consumption of private goods such as food provided that they do not substitute too much toward the effectively cheaper public goods the evidence shows exactly the opposite data from rich and poor countries indicate that at constant per capita total expenditure the per capita demand for food decreases with household size and that it does so most in the poorest countries where substitution should be the least

nonparametric regression techniques in economics this introduction to nonparametric regression emphasizes techniques that might be most accessible and useful to the applied economist the paper begins with a brief overview of the class of models under study and central theoretical issues such as the curse of dimensionality the bias variance trade off and rates of convergence the paper then focuses on kernel and nonparametric least squares estimation of the nonparametric regression model and optimal differencing estimation of the partial linear model constrained estimation and hypothesis testing is also discussed empirical examples include returns to scale in electricity distribution and hedonic pricing of housing attributes

trade standards and poverty evidence from senegal summary in the debate on trade and poverty it is argued that standards act as trade barriers and cause marginalization of the poor this paper quantifies income and poverty effects of high standards trade and integrates labor market effects by using company and household survey data from the vegetable export chain in senegal we find that exports grew sharply despite increasing standards contributing importantly to rural incomes and poverty reduction tightening standards induced a shift from smallholder contract farming to integrated estate production altering the mechanism through which poor households benefit through labor markets instead of product markets

when are private standards more stringent than public standards retailers private standards are increasingly important for addressing consumer concerns about safety quality and social and environmental issues empirical evidence shows that these private standards are frequently more stringent than their public counterparts this article develops a political economy model that helps explain this stylized fact we show that if producers exercise their political power to persuade the government to impose a lower public standard retailers may apply their market power to install a private standard at a higher level than the public one depending on several factors

measurement error in recall surveys and the relationship between household size and food demand variation in household survey design and implementation is used to obtain evidence of nonrandom measurement error in recall surveys of household expenditure these surveys which are used especially in developing countries appear to have measurement errors in food expenditures and in food budget shares that are correlated with household size these correlated errors may be part of the explanation for a puzzling pattern of falling food demand with rising household size in poorer countries

the social performance and distributional consequences of contract farming an equilibrium analysis of the arachide de bouche program in senegal abstract this paper is an empirical analysis of the impact of a contract farming program in senegal we examine the access of poorer community members to contracts and the effect of the program on the income of participants the program performs very well on both counts participants and nonparticipants are indistinguishable by wealth measures and farmers increase their income substantially by participating in the program we attribute the former to the program s mobilization of local information through its use of village intermediaries permitting the substitution of social collateral for physical collateral and making the program more accessible to the poor

the second engel law is it a paradox abstract the second engel law says that the engel curve for food moves out as family size increases thus showing a decrease in welfare what is puzzling though is that this regularity does not hold for equivalent income functions expressed in per capita terms deaton and paxon 1998 economies of scale household size and the demand for food journal of political economy 106 5 897 930 show that holding per capita total household expenditure constant per capita expenditure on food falls with the number of heads deaton and paxson s empirical evidence from developed and less developed countries seems to invalidate the claim of the second engel s law the main objective of this paper is to understand such paradoxical relationship between food consumption and household size our nonparametric empirical evidence drawn from the colombian 1985 urban survey shows that the food share is negatively related to total household per capita expenditure in line with deaton and paxson s claim but equivalent incomes shift to the right as theory predicts the regularity of our nonparametric results is an indication of a problem in the parametric specification of the engel curve modified by family size in fact using also the surveys of italy nepal djibouti and bangladesh we show that a theoretically plausible modified engel curve is coherent with the claim of the second engel law and explains deaton and paxson s paradox

the impact of rules of origin on trade flows a great deal of post war trade liberalization resulted from regional preferential trade agreements preferential trade agreements cut tariffs on goods originating only in those nations that have signed the agreement therefore they need rules of origin to determine which goods benefit from the tariff cut rules of origin have long been ignored for two good reasons they are dauntingly complex and at first sight appear mind numbingly dull the third standard reason for ignoring them the assertion that they do not matter much turns out to be wrong we show that rules of origin are important barriers to trade moreover such rules are emerging as an important trade issue for three additional reasons first preferential trade deals are proliferating worldwide second the global fragmentation of production implies complex international supply chains which are particularly constrained and distorted by rules of origin third the extent to which regionalism challenges the wto based trading system depends in part on incompatibilities and rigidities built into rules of origin our empirical results exploit a natural experiment that was created by technical changes to europe s lattice of rules of origin roos in 1997 this change known as diagonal cumulation relaxed the restrictiveness of rules of origin on trade among the eu s free trade agreement fta partners without changing the degree of tariff preference our analysis allows us to establish a lower bound and upper bound estimate of trade impact of roos reduced trade among the eu s trade partners the lower bound we find is something like 10 while the upper bound is around 70 the second part of the paper draws the policy lessons that arise from considering the implications of our empirical findings the most direct lessons are for fta writers we argue that europe s implementation of cumulation is a good way of reducing the welfare reducing impact of overlapping rules of origin without gutting their fraud fighting ability we also suggest a three part procedure for establishing a more multilateral framework for rules of origin which would be more transparent flexible administratively feasible and negotiable patricia augier michael gasiorek and charles lai tong

sustainability standards gender and nutrition among smallholder farmers in uganda abstractsustainability standards are gaining in importance in global markets for high value foods while previous research has shown that participating farmers in developing countries may benefit through income gains nutrition impacts have hardly been analysed we use survey data from smallholder coffee farmers in uganda certified under fairtrade organic and utz to analyse impacts on food security and dietary quality estimates of instrumental variable models and simultaneous equation systems show that certification increases calorie and micronutrient consumption mainly through higher incomes and improved gender equity in certified households women have greater control of coffee production and monetary revenues from sales

various concepts of hysteresis applied in economics different types of hysteresis are applied in order to describe persistence phenomena in micro and macroeconomics on the microeconomic level sunk adjustment costs generate genuine hysteresis where temporary exogenous shocks lead to switches between different branches of an entire input output relation i e multibranch non linearity the shape of the hysteresis loop changes when an adequate aggregation towards a macroeconomic relation is conducted over heterogeneous micro elements hysteresis relations are based on a local structural instability in the case of a branch to branch transition however the persistence characteristics of first order difference differential equations with unit zero roots which are based on a global indifference instability are in economics commonly labelled as hysteresis as well jel classification c62

household economies of scale in consumption theory and evidence household economies of scale arising from the existence of househo ld public goods increasing returns in household production and or bulk discounts are incorporated into a utility theoretic model of household demands individuals are assumed to be identical and symmetrically treated within households economies of scale parameters for five goods are estimated using the quadratic expenditu re system and data from the u s consumer expenditure survey on expenditures by all adult households results suggest the existence o f significant economies of scale in the consumption of all of the included goods with economies being especially pronounced in the consumption of shelter copyright 1988 by the econometric society

a unified approach to incorporating demographic or other effects into demand systems a general method of introducing demographic effects into any demand system using modifying functions is described which permits complicated interactions of demographic variables with prices and expeditures theorems give properties the modifying functions must have to ensure integrability of the resulting system demand equations of the new system are given explicitly as functions of the original demand equations and the modifying functions the procedure is interpreted as altering a households technology and is shown to encompass adult equivalent scales and related methods examples of modifying functions are derived and applications of the technique to uses other than demographic variation are considered excerpt

food standards certification and poverty among coffee farmers in uganda summary voluntary standards are gaining in importance in global markets for high value foods we analyze and compare impacts of three sustainability oriented standards fairtrade organic and utz on the livelihoods of smallholder coffee farmers in uganda using survey data and propensity score matching with multiple treatments we find that fairtrade certification increases household living standards by 30 and reduces the prevalence and depth of poverty for the other two certification schemes no significant impacts are found several factors that can explain differential impacts are discussed overly general statements about the effects of sustainability standards on smallholder livelihoods may be misleading

agrifood industry transformation and small farmers in developing countries summary this article introduces this special issue on the rapid transformation of the agrifood industry in developing countries and its effects on small farmers we review the literature from the late 1980s to the present and find evidence first of food processing then retail transformation and mixed evidence of impacts on small farmers both inclusion particularly with resource providing contracts and exclusion sometimes from scale constraint sometimes from inadequate non land assets the special issue papers contribute to the debate by confirming the mix of cases of inclusion and exclusion the cases are main in horticulture and dairy key hopes for smallholder development

performance evaluation of portfolio insurance strategies using stochastic dominance criteria abstract this paper evaluates the performance of the stop loss synthetic put and constant proportion portfolio insurance techniques based on a block bootstrap simulation we consider not only traditional performance measures but also some recently developed measures that capture the non normality of the return distribution value at risk expected shortfall and the omega measure we compare them to the more comprehensive stochastic dominance criteria the impact of changing the rebalancing frequency and level of capital protection is examined we find that even though a buy and hold strategy generates higher average excess returns it does not stochastically dominate the portfolio insurance strategies nor vice versa our results indicate that a 100 floor value should be preferred to lower floor values and that daily rebalanced synthetic put and cppi strategies dominate their counterparts with less frequent rebalancing

what is the income cost of a child exact equivalence scales for canadian two parent families this note asks how much income does it take to preserve the prechild standard of living for all members of the postchild household equivalence scales for canadian two parent families are estimated using a complete demand system approach and imposing the condition of equiva lence scale exactness independent of a base blackorby and donaldson 1993 lewbel 1989 this approach has several advantages 1 it is formally grounded in economic theory 2 the income required for children can be estimated without ignoring the well being of the children themselves 3 the estimates obtained appear reasonable relative to others currently available in the literature

nonprofits and public good provision a contest based on compromises abstract two competing nonprofits with ideologically distinct missions compete for donor funding to provide an indivisible public good in a population with heterogeneous preferences this paper examines the extent to which average public values are undermined and nonprofits ideology compromised in a contractual game in which the right to provide the public good is the outcome of competition between nonprofits we also scrutinize the roles of i cooperative versus competitive contracting ii multiple public goods iii enforceability of actions and iv observability of nonprofit costs in determining the equilibrium terms of the contract in each case the intensity of the ideological divide between the donor and the nonprofits jointly impact the degree to which compromises are made in terms of both the public s and nonprofit s missions and the ability on the part of the donor to reap double cost saving and strategic financial gains

a positive theory of agricultural protection the present paper analyses the political economy of agricultural protection in a general equilibrium framework rational politicians offer protectionist policies in return for political support from their constituency individuals in the economy have different factor endowments politicians exploit these differences in establishing redistributive policies when maximizing political support changes in economic variables such as the urban rural income gap capital intensity the share of agriculture in total output and total employment and the share of food in consumer expenditures affect the political equilibrium policy the analysis concludes that the observed correlation between economic development and agricultural protection is caused by a multiplicity of factors

goodwill bazaar ngo competition and giving to development this paper builds a model of competition through fundraising between horizontally differentiated ngos ngos allocate their time resource between working on the project and fundraising which attracts private donations if the market size is fixed the fundraising levels increase with the number of ngos and the free entry equilibrium number of ngos can be larger or smaller than the socially optimal number depending on the efficiency of the fundraising technology if the market size is endogenous and ngos cooperate in attracting new donors fundraising levels decrease with the number of ngos and the free entry equilibrium number of ngos is smaller than the one that maximizes the welfare of donors and beneficiaries if ngos can divert funds for private use multiple equilibria with high diversion and no diversion of funds appear

trading off volatility and distortions food policy during price spikes this paper analyses the trade off between price distortions and reduced volatility when governments intervened in agricultural and food markets during the recent food price spikes we develop a model to derive how much distortions a government would introduce when it cares about price stability in a situation with limited policy options we show that there is a trade off and identify the optimal combination of distortions and stability for given international price shocks and interest groups preferences for stability we compare these theoretical findings with empirical indicators on actual government interventions in staple food markets we find that several countries have been able to reduce short run price volatility in the domestic markets while at the same time allowing structural medium and long term price changes to pass through to producers and consumers however this is not the general case for many countries even when explicitly taking into account the trade off and the benefits of reducing volatility government policies appear far removed from the optimal trade off and there appears to be much room for policy improvement

political economy of the media and consumer perceptions of biotechnology although households are flooded with information through dozens of tv channels plenty of newspapers journals and radio the public is said to be poorly informed on many important issues for example european consumers oppose genetically modified gm foods despite scientists and official institutions claiming those products are safe these reactions are blamed on consumers being poorly informed there is an extensive literature on imperfect information see akerlof stiglitz an important implicit assumption in this literature is that such information problems may be solved by providing more information the problem is that information provision is assumed to be neutral however in reality most information is not provided by institutions whose objective is to foster the public good but by organizations who have an internal incentive to select certain information and certain forms of information over other information it is either provided by private sources with their own profitmaximizing objectives or by public sources that may have the formal goal of providing objective information but administrators and governments may have incentives to bias the information this issue is particularly relevant for consumers risk perceptions about gm foods over 90 of consumers receive information about food and biotechnology primarily through the popular press and television hoban and kendall extensive media coverage of possible risks can lead to decreased demand for example johnson shows how media coverage of product contamination by

food safety issues and fresh food product exports from ldcs fresh food products have a high income elasticity of demand and few traditional trade barriers in high income markets as such they represent an important opportunity for less developed country ldc exporters fresh food product exports account for half of all food and agricultural exports from ldcs to high income countries but these products may be subject to greater food safety risks and potential trade barriers arising from sanitary regulation this paper reviews the challenges and issues facing ldcs in meeting food safety standards for export these issues include a the importance of fresh food product trade by region and the kinds of issues that arise from those products b the role of farm to table approaches and hazard analysis critical control points haccp in ensuring safety c the role of the public sector in ldcs in facilitating trade d the potential role of the sps agreement in resolving disputes and determining equivalency of standards between high and low income countries