who would be left behind by enhanced private school choice abstract debate over school choice is central to many discussions of public elementary and secondary educational reform the debate has largely focused on conceptual arguments rather than careful empirical research that attempts to sort out competing claims an important unresolved issue is the question of cream skimming who will move and who will be left behind as a result of enhanced school choice this paper uses data from the national educational longitudinal survey nels 88 to estimate a model of public private school choice which is used to simulate who would likely leave public schools as a result of enhanced private school choice building upon the work of k train et al 1987 the review of economics and statistics 69 383 391 we employ a probit model with latent explanatory variables to account for the unobserved attitudes of parents and their children regarding education the model allows us to consider such latent interests in education as well as the academic and socioeconomic characteristics of those students who would likely switch to private schools our findings indicate that concerns about bright flight or academic cream skimming in response to increased school choice appear to be overstated however we estimate that there would be substantially more economic and racial segregation of students as movers tend to be white and have higher incomes than those who are left behind

a natural rate model of frictional and long term unemployment a simple labor market with spatial separation and markov production shocks is presented in the stationary equilibrium some workers are frictionally unemployed and others are long term unemployed the amounts of frictional and long term unemployment at each location depend on its recent history of productivity shocks producing a local hysteresis effect changes in the parameters affect the equilibrium aggregate amounts of frictional and long term unemployment differently in particular economies with larger moving costs will have more long term and total unemployment but less frictional unemployment this finding is broadly consistent with recently reported stylized facts

uncertainty and sustainability in the management of rangelands abstract we analyze a dynamic and stochastic ecological economic model of grazing management in semi arid rangelands the ecosystem is driven by stochastic precipitation a risk averse farmer chooses a grazing management strategy under uncertainty such as to maximize expected utility from farming income grazing management strategies are rules about which share of the rangeland is given rest depending on the actual rainfall in that year in a first step we determine a myopic farmer s optimal grazing management strategy and show that a risk averse farmer chooses a strategy such as to obtain insurance from the ecosystem the optimal strategy reduces income variability but yields less mean income than possible in a second step we analyze the long run ecological and economic impact of different strategies we conclude that a myopic farmer if he is sufficiently risk averse will choose a sustainable grazing management strategy even if he does not take into account long term ecological and economic benefits of conservative strategies

state abortion legislation as a public good before and after roe v wade utilization of a theoretical model of the public demand for abortion legislation suggests that should the 1973 roe vs wade ruling be overturned the availability of abortion in the us would not be as limited as it was before this landmark decision the model conceptualized public demand for abortion as a combination of 2 factors 1 external demand measured by voter preference and reflecting the external costs or benefits conferred on the public by the relative availability of abortion and 2 private demand based on the direct effect of abortion access by women of childbearing age the type of abortion legislation in each state prior to roe vs wade prohibited except to save the mothers life or in cases of rape restricted to specific situations such as preserving the mothers health and unrestricted was used as an indicator of public sentiment toward abortion among the factors considered to correlate with sentiment toward abortion availability were income education marital status race and religious affiliation the model predicts that 20 states compared to 30 in 1970 would prohibit abortion and 8 compared to 4 in 1970 would place no restrictions on abortion if each state were to select its own abortion policy omission of the private demand component from the model resulted in even less restrictive access to abortion 11 states with an abortion ban and 11 with unrestricted access these findings are consistent with the national opinion polls indicating support for less restrictive abortion legislation

buying their votes a study of local tax price discrimination i introduction financial support for public schools in developed countries has recently been declining as governments face increasing pressure to balance their budgets by reducing expenditures on public services public school revenues may be particularly vulnerable in countries where elderly residents will compose a rising share of the population while the percent of united states residents over the age of 65 was 12 4 in 2000 the u s census bureau 2008 predicts this will rise to 16 3 by 2020 and 20 7 by 2050 recent growth in the upper middle aged population ages 55 64 has occurred throughout the united states and if current trends continue communities with the largest growth in the elderly share ages 65 and over over the next 30 years will experience this growth primarily due to aging in place rather than residential migration frey 2007 the typical school district will thus have an increasing share of adults who do not consume public schooling services this trend could have two important implications for school districts 1 decreased political support for school expenditures and 2 a greater tax base per student due to a reduction in the relative size of the school aged population if the former effect dominates the latter then local district revenues per student will decline this dynamic would be consistent with prior u s trends figlio and fletcher 2012 find that most of the within metropolitan area variation in suburbs age distributions in 1980 and 1990 can be traced back to these suburbs age distributions when adults settled there in earlier decades those authors simulate the shares of elderly adults residing in various suburbs based on the aging in place of early residents and their simulated elderly shares are negatively correlated with suburban school expenditures state or federal governments could potentially alter this dynamic by subsidizing local property tax reductions that are targeted toward elderly homeowners elderly homeowners receiving these reductions might support higher levels of local public school spending because they can maintain high property values at a relatively low cost in other words elderly homeowners preferred level of local tax revenues may be sensitive to their marginal local tax price the change in their tax payments required to increase local school district revenues by one dollar by influencing elderly homeowners preferred local tax rates targeted tax price reductions may shift the identity of the local median voter and thus moderate how changes in demographics affect local public revenue this article is the first to empirically examine whether targeted tax price reductions moderate the impact of age demographics on local government revenues prior studies examined how the aging in place of local populations affects public school revenues figlio and fletcher 2012 harris evans and schwab 2001 ladd and murray 2001 and this article tests whether there is important within sample heterogeneity in these effects using similar methods as these prior studies the empirical models below isolate the exogenous component of changes in local age demographics by using lagged population shares as instrumental variables predicting future age demographics to test for heterogeneous effects i assembled a longitudinal data set concerning states property tax reduction policies for elderly homeowners the results confirm earlier studies findings that exogenous increases in the fraction of elderly residents ages 65 and over on average decrease tax revenues in u s school districts however state financed reductions in elderly homeowners marginal local tax prices significantly reduce the negative effect of the local elderly population share this negative effect is only large in communities not offering any targeted local tax price reductions to elderly homeowners significant differences in the effects of the elderly share across state policy regimes are robust to several alternative empirical specifications including comparisons of school districts that are located near each other on opposite sides of state borders

bureaucracy and the divisibility of local public output further econometric evidence based on the theory of bureaucracy in contrast to the median voter model expenditure functions are estimated for various municipal services provided by some smsa cities various econometric measures and diagnostics are applied to the sample data to test for the incidence of multicollinearity heteroscedasticity and influential observations the test results indicate the absence of any econometric problems and the empirical results can be taken as statistically meaningful and to a large extent precise over the range of smsa cities included in the estimated model the presented econometric evidence points out that in these communities the municipal services are private in nature and there exist no economies of scale in the provision of these services although these services reveal no pure publicness or quasi publicness they are provided by local governments through a collective choice mechanism perhaps due to the inherent problems associated with their provision such as the cities lack of knowledge of individuals preferences and tastes and the anticipated potential free rider problem

utility profits fiscal illusion and local public expenditures the main purpose of this paper has been to examine theoretically and empirically the effects of internal subsidization by municipal utilities on local public expenditures and tax burdens the hypothesis was deduced that internal subsidization severs the link between public benefits received and taxes paid creating a fiscal illusion that induces consumer taxpayers to underestimate the actual cost of government this in turn would lead to larger expenditure levels than would otherwise be forthcoming this hypothesis was tested statistically with a sample of fifty two municipalities in the state of new york which use utility profits to subsidize the general fund and sixty four other municipalities which do not a reduced form public expenditure model was estimated which included a dummy variable to check for any differences in expenditures ceteris paribus between the subsidy cities and others it was found that subsidy cities had larger expenditure levels all other things equal which adds support for the main hypothesis it was also found that while it is possible that utility profits may be substituted for other local revenue sources in the sample of new york municipalities studied internal subsidization is likely to have stimulated expenditures leading to an increase in local tax collections this result adds further support for the main hypothesis

budgetgames and the private and social demand for mixed public goods we have indicated how budgetgames played by a representative sample of voters can be used to estimate the marginal social demand for mixed public goods a model has been developed that enables us to distinguish between private and social demand considerations of the players information on marginal social demand is obtained by comparing the actual outcome of the game with a simulated game solution based on the optimization of private benefits only this optimization problem is shown to be approximately equivalent to a linear programming problem in which each respondent minimizes the loss of subsidies on his consumption of the mixed public goods considered empirical results show the largest marginal social demand for public services for the elderly followed by mental health care primary and secondary education and higher education a negative marginal social demand is expressed for in patient health care police and justice outpatient health care and culture and recreation the latter service having the smallest social demand an unexpected result is the relatively large marginal social demand for higher education although this service is severly cut in the actual game this outcome mainly derives from small private benefits to the average voter therefore the usual interpretation of budgetgames that identifies heavy budget cuts with small social demand underestimates the social demand for higher education the reverse is true for general in patient health care although this service is moderately cut in the actual game this result mainly derives from the large private benefits to the average voter in this case the usual interpretation of the game overestimates social demand we have also studied the dependence of the marginal social demand pattern on the political orientation of the voters apart from typical pure or almost pure public goods such as defence general government and police and justice services clearly favoured by right wing voters we find no strong dependence on political orientation

congestion function specification and the publicness of local public goods abstract this paper is about the measurement of congestion within the median voter demand framework the model of congestion traditionally used in the literature and four others are compared and tested in a median voter framework the results show that a more flexible functional form which imposes fewer a priori restrictions on the data does at least as good a job of explaining variations in local government expenditures furthermore it is shown that measured publicness of local public goods depends entirely on the a priori restrictions imposed on the congestion function

a study of the impact of sectoral shifts on aggregate unemployment in canada the recent trend in macro economic literature has been to explain cycles in aggregate output and employment in terms of unexpected nominal shocks only in these models the natural rate of unemployment is constant this paper diverges from this approach and following a recent paper by david lilien 1982 considers the impact of real as well as nominal variables the main findings are 1 a significant part of the fluctuations in the canadian unemployment over the 1957 83 period was caused by real shocks to the economy and 2 most of the transmission of the business cycle from the united states to canada is effected through real variables as well une etude de limpact de deplacements sectoriels sur le niveau de ch6mage agrege au canada dans la litterature macroeconomique recente on a eu tendance a expliquer les cycles dans le niveau de la production et de l emploi a peu pres strictement en termes de chocs nominaux non anticipes dans ces modeles le taux de ch6mage naturel est constant ce memoire prend des distances par rapport a cette approche et suit pluto t la direction suggeree par un memoire recent de david lilien qui considere l impact des variables reelles tout autant que celui des variables nominales les resultats principaux sont 1 une portion significative des fluctuations dans le niveau du chomage canadien entre 1957 et 1983 a et causee par des chocs reels subis par l economie 2 le gros de h1 transmission du cycle economique des etats unis vers le canada se fait par le truchement des variables reelles

on the measurement of congestion in the provision of local public goods abstract this paper contends that a measurement problem the zoo effect has led to upwardly biased estimates of the degree to which local public goods are subject to congestion the suggestion is that the observed positive correlation between public expenditure and population size reflects in large measure the wider range of services provided in more populous jurisdictions not simply a high propensity of these goods to become congested

modelling land use deforestation and policy a hybrid optimisation heterogeneous agent model with application to the bolivian amazon abstract we introduce a hybrid simulation model simpachamama designed to explore the complex socio environmental trade offs of alternative policy bundles and policy sequencing options for stemming deforestation and reducing poverty in tropical countries designed and calibrated to the initial conditions of a small forest village in rural bolivia the model consists of a an optimising agricultural household module of heterogeneous agents that make individually optimal land use decisions based on factor endowments and market conditions b an encompassing general equilibrium shell module that endogenously determines wages and links the agricultural labour market and rural urban migration rates and c a novel user controlled policy maker module that allows the user to make real time choices over a variety of public and environmental policies that in turn impact land use welfare and migration over a 20 year simulation period the results highlight trade offs between reductions in deforestation and improvements in household welfare that can only be overcome either when international redd payments are offered or when decentralized deforestation taxes are implemented the sequencing of policies plays a critical role in the determination of these results

cost sharing versus block funding in a federal system a demand systems approach this paper employs a maximizing framework consistent with the axioms of consumer preference to analyze local government s choice of spending on different social services within this framework it is possible to include both block funding and cost sharing intergovernment transfer schemes canada s movement to block funding from the cost sharing method of financing provincial expenditures on hospitals medical care and post secondary education is analyzed the results indicate that the provincial governments actions are generally consistent with a significant maximizing model of consumer behavior and that the change to block funding had a significant impact on real provincial funding of some previously cost shared social services

rational voting applied to choice of taxes fulton county atlanta georgia conducted a referendum on a local option sales tax the referendum offered voters an opportunity to substitute a 1 sales tax for an equal amount of property taxes the precinct level voting patterns of the referendum are analyzed using a rational voter framework the regression results generally support the implication of the model

sectoral shifts and cyclical unemployment a substantial fraction of cyclical unemployment is better characterized as fluctuations of the frictional or natural rate than as deviations from some relatively stable natural rate shifts of employment demand between sectors of the economy necessitate continuous labor reallocation since it takes time for workers to find new jobs some unemployment is unavoidable this paper presents evidence that most of the unemployment fluctuations of the seventies unlike those in the sixties were induced by unusual structural shifts within the u s economy simple time series models of layoffs and unemployment are constructed that include a measure of structural shifts within the labor market these models are estimated and a derived natural rate series is constructed

demographic change intergenerational linkages and public education in this brief paper i explore several issues related to u s demographic change and the political economy of public education i describe the existing empirical evidence that suggests that older and childless voters are less likely to support public school spending than younger voters with children i then note several unresolved issues about the degree to which rational self interest should lead older voters to vote for low levels of public school spending excerpt

heterogeneity of preferences for local public goods the case of private expenditure on public education abstract revealed preference techniques are used to investigate the degree of heterogeneity of local public good preferences by testing the hypothesis that demographic characteristics are correlated with preferences for expenditure on public education the test relies on a goodness of fit index which is on an estimation of wasted consumer expenditure we use bootstrap techniques to estimate the distribution of the test statistic preference heterogeneity is found to be common however democrat protestant households are found to have similar tastes and to a lesser extent so are households with school age children where at least one other trait is held in common republicans exhibit the greatest degree of preference heterogeneity

the causes of government expenditure growth a survey of the u s evidence abstract the growth of government budgets can be broken down into a institutional and institutional components the former component the familiar substitution income and population public goods tax sharing effects is estimated to contribute about two fifths of the growth of u s government spending the latter component rent seeking political redistributions bureaucracy and perceptual informational impedimentia is important too but an exact imputation cannot be asserted given the state of the art in empirical public choice theory the cross effects on spending of the growth of regulation and tax preferences or tax expenditures though interesting is not pursued

network economics and the environment insights and perspectives local interactions and network structures appear to be a prominent feature of many environmental problems this paper discusses a wide range of issues and potential areas of application including the role of relational networks in the pattern of adoption of green technologies common pool resource problems characterized by a multiplicity of sources the role of social networks in multi level environmental governance infrastructural networks in the access to and use of natural resources such as oil and natural gas the use of networks to describe the internal structure of inter country relations in international agreements and the formation of bilateral links in the process of building up an environmental coalition for each of these areas we examine why and how network economics would be an effective conceptual and analytical tool and discuss the main insights that we can foresee

the canadian real wage phillips curve a sectoral shift interpretation post world war two data in canada is found to be consistent with the hypothesis that nominal wages prices and real wages are integrated of order two while the unemployment rate is integrated of order one when considering bivariate statistical relationships it is found that solid evidence for co integration exists only between the rate of change of real wages and the level of the unemployment rate that is the data are consistent with a real phillips curve interpretation it is argued that this finding can be explained by the sectoral reallocation view of unemployment

contagious development neighbor interactions in deforestation article i nfo we estimate neighbor interactions in deforestation in costa rica to address simultaneity and the presence of spatially correlated unobservables we measure for neighbors deforestation using the slopes of neighbors and neighbors neighbors parcels we find that neighboring deforestation significantly raises the probability of deforestation policies for agricultural development or forest conservation in one area will affect deforestation rates in non targeted neighboring areas correct estimation of the interaction reverses the naive estimate s prediction of multiple equilibria

public goods an exercise in calibration this paper considers a measure of the publicness of goods and services implicit in responses that individuals make when asked about public sector spending at the limit all consumers consume equal amounts of a public good thus any differences between an individual s self interest preferences and public interest preferences cannot be based on differential provision but only on differences in the individual s public and self interest utility functions if we rule out the latter self interest and public interest preferences for a pure public good are identical using sample survey data it is possible to calibrate the public good content of different public goods

property taxes tax cost illusion and desired education expenditures the extensive tax cost illusion found in the marshall survey is interesting both in terms of its magnitude and the direction of its impact counter to the common view that tax illusion will result in higher expenditures there appears to be at least one case where the overestimation of tax cost has the potential of leading to lower expenditure levels

fiscal incidence at the local level this paper represents an attempt to make aaron and mcguire s 1 approach to incidence operational 2 the tax paid by any individual is interpreted by aaron and mcguire as the sum of two components the first is a lindahl tax equal to the individual s marginal rate of substitution between the public good and income times the amount of the public good provided the second component is a negative or positive transfer equal to the lindahl tax minus the tax the individual has actually paid this second component is used to measure the incidence or redistributional impact of a particular budget program empirically aaron and mcguire found that the computation of lindahl taxes is highly sensitive to the choice of individual utility functions under certain assumptions that sensitivity is reflected in the value of a coefficient related to the marginal rate of substitution between the public good and income maital 16 later on used three separate identical estimates of this coefficient to reduce the ambiguity in the computation of lindahl taxes this paper offers an alternative computational approach to aaron and mcguire s the key information on lindahl tax prices or marginal rates of substitution is obtained from individual demand curves for public goods which are estimated using the median voter model see 5 an advantage of this approach over aaron and mcguire s is that it does not assume separability of the public good and income in taxpayers preferences the present approach also permits the study of the incidence of a budget policy on groups defined by socio demographic characteristics other than income on the other hand and because of empirical reasons which will become apparent below the present approach is useful for the study of incidence at the local level only section 1 of the paper restates the measure for the simultaneous incidence of taxes and one public good henceforth called fiscal incidence in the context of a formalized political process this section also discusses some of the theoretical difficulties involved in extending the case with one public good to the multi

a note on the publicness of local goods evidence from new york state municipalities for more than a decade now the non publicness of goods provided by local governments has been an accepted result in the median voter demand literature mcmillan wilson and arthur 1981 found that publicness was exhausted in ontario towns of more than 10 000 inhabitants but that there were still unexploited economies to collective provision in smaller towns using the original bergstrom and goodman 1973 model and new york state data i find that there is even less evidence of publicness in small towns than in large ones my results call into question the mcmillan wilson and arthur hypothesis une note sur le degre de materialite publique d usage des biens locaux le cas des municipalites de b etat de new york depuis plus d une decennie l un des resultats de la litterature specialisee analysant le comportement de demande du voteur median a ete que les biens fournis par les gouvernements locaux n etaient pas des biens publics mcmillan wilson et arthur 1981 ont montre que le degre de materialite publique d usage etait limite dans le cas des villes de plus de 10 000 habitants en ontario mais qu il existait des economies inexploitees emanant de la fourniture publique dans le cas des plus petites villes a partir du modele de bergstrom et goodman 1973 et de donnees pour l etat de new york l auteur en arrive a la conclusion qu il y a encore moins de materialite publique d usage dans les petites villes que dans les grandes ces resultats remettent en question l hypothese mcmillan wilson et arthur in contrast to the strict samuelsonian dichotomy of pure public and pure private goods the tiebout 1956 and buchanan 1965 models plot goods along a continuum of congestability goods provided by local governments or collectively purveyed and consumed in clubs are described as lying somewhere between the two polar cases the median voter demand model as developed by borcherding and deacon i would like to thank wallace oates william oakland suk kang and an anonymous referee for helpful comments on earlier drafts of this paper they are of course exonerated from association with such errors as may still remain canadian journal of economics revue canadienne d economique xix no 3 august aout 1986 printed in canada imprime au canada 0008 4085 86 568 573 1 50 canadian economics association this content downloaded from 157 55 39 102 on mon 03 oct 2016 05 08 06 utc all use subject to http about jstor org terms publicness of local goods 569 1972 and bergstrom and goodman 1973 incorporates this hypothesis observed levels of local public expenditures are said to reflect the preference of the median voter however the empirical models also include a congestion function intended to reflect the effect of collective consumption on individual enjoyment the function used in the literature is of the form

bureaucracy monopoly and competition a critical analysis of the budget maximizing model of bureaucracy niskanen has argued that if government bureaus act so as to maximize their budgets they will always produce an output greater than a private industry resulting in efficiency losses to society since the budget maximizing model relates to a number of intersecting areas of organizational analysis from several disciplines it is important to note the limitations of the model first niskanen s result is only true for a bureau which can exercise perfect price discrimination in its relationship with its financial sponsor where this is not the case the bureau may produce less than a private industry second further variation is introduced by examining the effects on a bureau of specialized resources public goods competition and low productivity a bureau which would otherwise produce an output in excess of the competitive level will when any of these factors are present produce an output closer to the competitive output these results may also have significant policy implications since major industrial countries are favoring policies to return some governmental activities to the private sector

climate change costs more than we think because people adapt less than we assume abstract human behaviour is commonly optimised in economic models of adaptation to climate change these models assume that people work to maximise profit subject to financial and technological limitations in effect these models simulate adaptive potential in reality adaptation falls short of this potential this shortfall is conceptualised as the adaptation deficit and it has been causing increasing concern this study demonstrates the impacts of the ways by which people s real world adaptive behaviours depart from those assumed under pure optimisation these departures known as adaptation constraints are formalised as numerical preference functions based on an empirical case study in new zealand and they are used to constrain an agent based model of climate change adaptation we show that these empirically specified adaptation constraints reduce profits relative to an optimised specification by roughly one third this demonstrates that unconstrained economic models are likely to significantly underestimate the costs of adaptation to climate change the benefits of reducing greenhouse gas emissions and the residual loss and damage that climate change will cause

urban safety in vancouver allocation and production of a congestible public good this paper is a simultaneous exploration of the within city production of safety with the endogenous allocation of public inputs police three issues are central one is an examination of the local government allocation function second is that safety is specified as a congestible public service consistent with club theory finally the model is estimated using a survey measure of crime these innovations are due to a unique data set containing observations by neighborhoods in the city of vancouver the results are crucial for illustrating crime deterrence as well as the local public good nature of safety

bureaucracy and the publicness of local public goods a reply to gonzalez folsom and mehay readers of the literature on bureaucracy will recall that three years ago gonzalez and mehay 1985 published an empirical piece utilizing a slack maximizing model of bureaucratic behavior which concluded that local public goods are really private goods my own article wyckoff 1988a reached the same conclusion using theoretical means the effect of bureaucracy i argued is to bias our results toward the conclusion that local public goods are public in nature so the empirical results showing the opposite cannot be blamed on bureaucracy now in a surprising comment on my paper gonzalez folsom and mehay 1988 gfm assert that i made methodological errors in the process of establishing my result not content with my agreement with their conclusions gfm demand that i reach these results using their methodology gfm insist that i ignore four special cases in my paper each one of these special cases is discussed below in general i find little merit in their arguments each special case is either obviously unrealistic or relates to a question completely different from those discussed in my paper first of all gfm argue that i fail to note that the voter s tax share t is likely to vary with city population n when this correlation is incorporated into my model they say the reverse of my results could occur but there is a fundamental error in allowing t to vary with n the issue in this paper is not whether large cities spend more than small cities nobody disputes this but whether local public goods are public goods or not what we want to know is whether two people can enjoy a public service just as easily as one by including tax considerations in the calculations as they have done gfm confuse crowding effects with changes in spending caused by changes in tax burdens when t is allowed to vary with n we no longer have a measure of the crowding parameter but a composite which cannot answer the question we originally asked an analogy may help clarify gfm s error gfm s approach is equivalent to suggesting that since wealthy people have larger homes and hence larger tax

the publicness of local public goods evidence from ontario municipalities recent studies of local public good provision report publicness parameter estimates of about one indicating private good characteristics this empirical investigation of a wider range of communities obtains parameter estimates of significantly less than one indicating a high degree of publicness exists in smaller municipalities and within the service areas of individual public facilities comprising the supply network in larger centres it is argued that the observed values of the publicness parameters have no normative significance as to the merits of public versus private provision la materialite publique d usage des biens publics locaux resultats d une etude de municipalites ontariennes les etudes recentes sur l approvisionnement de biens publics locaux indiquent des coefficients de materialite publique d usage autour de l unite c est a dire que les biens publics locaux ont de fortes caracteristiques semblables aux biens prives ce memoire presente les resultats d un enquete empirique d un large eventail de communaut6s locales et en arrive a des valeurs pour le coefficient de materialite publique d usage qui sont bien moins que l unite et qui donc indiquent un haut degre de materialite publique d usage dans les petites municipalites mais aussi dans les zones de service d infrastructures particulieres parc bibliotheque poste de pompier etc qui forment le reseau d approvisionnement de biens publics dans les grands centres les auteurs suggerent que les valeurs observees de ces coefficients de materialite publique d usage n ont aucune portee normative et donc ne sauraient arbitrer les merites relatifs d un approvisionnement prive ou public de certains biens

the nonexcludable publicness of primary and secondary public education abstract existing theoretical models of education as with most practical applications of public good theory suggest some form of joint public private financing empirical work has only rarely addressed these theoretical considerations employing individual level observations we model and estimate the private and social demands for public education in a community an ordered probit model with known thresholds is used to obtain unique parameter estimates the individual private and social demands are then employed to construct a measure of the publicness of education at various quantities

voluntary income redistribution with migration abstract this paper examines theoretically the welfare magnet problem brought about by income redistribution in a small area where disparities across jurisdictions in transfer policies may induce both recipient and resource migration we show that the level of redistribution determined by majority rule may either rise or decline as household mobility increases and that this level will be either higher or lower than the efficient level to an extent that depends on local market conditions the social value of migrants and the mobility of both the rich and the poor in particular an economy may benefit from the immigration of transfer recipients we also derive the form of an efficient community specific subsidy to transfers which in some cases will be negative

accounting for unemployment a labour market perspective i examine whether prolonged high unemployment in canada can be attributed to various structural causes rather than to demand deficiency as found by macro econometric models the answer is largely negative neither the dispersion of sectoral growth rates nor excessive and rigid real wages can convincingly account for most unemployment contentions to the contrary are based upon inappropriately partial analyses enduring shifts in industrial structure have if anything been declining labour mobility is high much unemployment lasts too long to be frictional fuller quantitative understanding of the nature of unemployment can be achieved only in a more general framework

bureaucracy and the divisibility of local public output the empirical results of this paper are derived from a monopoly view of local government decisionmaking in contrast to the competitive view offered by earlier researchers that our results are similar to earlier findings lends additional support to the conclusion that local output is largely private in nature other than park and recreation services there appear to be no economies in consumption for local services nor any economies of density larger cities do not appear to be more efficient than smaller cities 10 of course this result holds only for the sample of cities used here and does not rule out scale economies for communities smaller than those in our sample i e below 25 000 population

the impact of congestion on local public good production abstract this paper models local public goods production where allocation of the publicly provided input occurs simultaneously with production of the final service output the framework models local public goods as developed in club theory where congestion is an increasing function of population central to identification of the model is that the quantities of the input police are differentiated from the produced output safety estimation is across neighborhoods within a single city the results show there is a very low elasticity of congestion on average but safety in some neighborhoods in more congested than private goods

selfishness versus public regardingness in voting behavior abstract the selfishness hypothesis in voting behavior is formalized and tested for the first time individual net benefits from a bond proposal computed using the median voter model are used to explain voting behavior it was found that taxpayers in general voted according to their self interest as defined by net benefits however high income groups voted in favor of proposals that would have redistributed income to the poor their behavior is consistent with either the public regardingness hypothesis or with an extension of the selfishness hypothesis which includes real estate speculation

beliefs and errors in voting choices a restatement of the theory of fiscal illusion this paper reformulates the theory of fiscal illusion to make it more compatible with the median voter model of collective choice it emphasizes the requirement that misperceptions about marginal tax costs and benefits must be permanent to have any significant effect on the level of public expenditures the lancaster becker model of consumer demand is then used to demonstrate the peculiar effects of permanent misperceptions on consumer demand it can be shown for example that other things being the same a republican who underestimates continuously the marginal benefits of public activities may demand more public goods than a democrat who overestimates those same benefits in a permanent fashion

agent based spatial models applied to agriculture a simulation tool for technology diffusion resource use changes and policy analysis abstract this paper presents a spatial multi agent programming model which has been developed for assessing policy options in the diffusion of innovations and resource use changes unlike conventional simulation tools used in agricultural economics the model class described here applies a multi agent cellular automata ca approach by using heterogeneous farm household models and capturing their social and spatial interactions explicitly the individual choice of the farm household among available production consumption investment and marketing alternatives is represented in recursive linear programming models adoption constraints are introduced in form of network threshold values that reflect the cumulative effects of experience and observation of peers experiences the model s economic and hydrologic components are tightly connected into a spatial framework the integration of economic and hydrologic processes facilitates the consideration of feedback effects in the use of water for irrigation the simulation runs of the model are carried out with an empirical data set which has been derived from various data sources on an agricultural region in chile simulation results show that agent based spatial modelling constitutes a powerful approach to better understanding processes of innovation and resource use change

can intensification of cattle ranching reduce deforestation in the amazon insights from an agent based social ecological model abstract deforestation in the amazon with its vast consequences for the ecosystem and climate is largely related to subsequent land use for cattle ranching in addition to conservation policies proposals to reduce deforestation include measures to intensify cattle ranching however the effects of land use intensification on deforestation are debated in the literature this paper introduces the abacra model a stylized agent based model to study the interplay of deforestation and the intensification of cattle ranching in the brazilian amazon the model combines social learning and ecological processes with market dynamics in the model agents adopt either an extensive or semi intensive strategy of cattle ranching based on the success of their neighbors they earn their income by selling cattle on a stylized market we present a comprehensive analysis of the model with statistical methods and find that it produces highly non linear transient outcomes in dependence on key parameters like the rate of social interaction and elasticity of the cattle price we show that under many environmental and economic conditions intensification does not reduce deforestation rates and sometimes even has a detrimental effect on deforestation anti deforestation policies incentivizing fast intensification can only lower deforestation rates under conditions in which the local cattle market saturates

voting when money and morals conflict an experimental test of expressive voting abstract moral considerations may matter much in voting because the costs of expressing support for a morally worthy cause may be low in a referendum these costs depend on whether a voter expects to affect the outcome of the referendum to test the low cost theory of expressive voting we experimentally investigate a proposal to tax everyone and to donate tax revenues the analysis of expectations and voting decisions shows that the low cost theory fails to explain voting decisions instead we find that voters tend to approve of the proposal if they expect others to approve too

on measuring congestion of local public goods abstract using data for fire protection services this brief paper provides empirical evidence in large part demonstrating the existence of the zoo effect identified by oates the zoo effect implies an upward bias in the measurement of congestion in local public good provision resulting from the lack of a range or quality of service measure the introduction of a quality measure is found to reduce estimates of the degree of congestion in fire protection services

an examination of preferences for local public sector outputs relatively unique data on the costs of public services for local governments in victoria australia are used to estimate a system of demand equations and to test alternative specifications of the underlying preferences using a translog model symmetry conditions are rejected so the data are not consistent with constrained utility maximization a nonparametric test confirms that result conditional on symmetry tests reject homogeneity and the additivity of preferences and also the separability of personal and property services copyright 1988 by mit press

per capita public expenditures and population size a non parametric analysis using french data based on the median voter model we specify a flexible general framework of the effect of municipality size on per capita public expenditures previous literature has recognized that municipality size should have a non linear effect on the quality of public goods provision and to this end different papers have applied a range of alternative parametric specifications using a very large sample of french communes we are able to estimate the effect of municipality size semi parametrically in contrast with the parametric specifications we find evidence of the u shaped relationship between per capita public expenditures and population which is predicted by theory

local public goods and private suppliers musical suburbs replayed abstract this paper deals with the existence of private market suppliers in a standard local public goods model the result of this modification can be a cycling process instigated by rich households rather than poor households the theoretical model provides empirical implications for capitalization studies and policy implications for the provision and financing of local public goods including education