estimating residential demand for electricity in greece abstract this paper examines the residential demand for electricity in greece the issues of structural stability price and income sensitivity of both long and short run residential demand for electricity in greece were examined employing monthly data over the period 1986 1999 the long run residential demand for electricity is estimated taking into account changes in weather conditions weighted by the size of the population employing multivariate framework analysis a long run residential demand function for electricity sensitive to real income price level and weather conditions is found to exist and the importance of short run deviations is presented using vector error correction model vecm estimation the empirical evidence suggests the presence of a stable residential demand for electricity in greece both in the long and short run periods and the policy implications of such a relationship are presented

joint estimation of household and heat pump electricity demand statistical methods are applied to analyze metered heat pump and total household loads for residential dwellings the metered loads are combined with other information about the household to study usage patterns equipment energy use is a function of various determining factors and statistical methods are appropriate to reveal the underlying functional relationships a consequence of this approach is that extensive information on households should be gathered whenever metering studies are performed in order to facilitate econometric analysis of the data

electricity demand estimates under increasing block rates using price variables calculated at observed consumption levels this study finds significant bias in ordinary least squares estimates of price elasticities of electricity demand the bias is most severe for specifications using observed average price the finding is important for future econometric work since this type of rate structure is becoming more common the evidence indicates that inappropriate use of ordinary least squares ols overestimates that rate structure premium effect on demand and may underestimate the marginal price elasticity the use of an instrumental variables technique applied to actual rate schedules proves consistent parameter estimates regardless of the rate structure 20 references 3 tables

the impact of the u s employment report on exchange rates abstract the impact of the u s employment report and analyst forecasts of that report s major statistics on pound dollar yen dollar and euro dollar exchange rates are explored while the nonfarm payroll employment figure has the greatest impact we find that the exchange rates also react to the announced revision to last month s payroll figure and to the unemployment rate in all three markets the exchange rate response to the payroll employment figure is strongly conditioned on pre release analyst uncertainty the median analyst forecast from bloomberg anticipates over 80 of the monthly variation in the payroll figure and is basically unbiased the markets appear to respond to these analyst forecasts prior to the government release analyst forecast dispersion tends to increase following large forecast errors indicating that when the announced figure is far from what analysts expected they tend to disagree on the implications for future payroll levels

on the specification of price in studies of consumer demand under block price scheduling using a new model formulation and data from a sample of colorado utilities we investigated the price specification controversy marginal price versus average revenue when estimating residential water demand the improved statistical fit using average

implicit contracts moral hazard and unemployment this paper considers a firm whose marginal revenue product of labor is a random variable we derive the form of an optimal long term contract between workers and the firm under the assumption that labor s marginal product is observed by the firm but not by the workers we show that the existence of asymmetric information causes unemployment to be greater than in a situation where information about labor s marginal product is public or where employment is determined in spot markets in particular unemployment can occur when the marginal product of labor exceeds the reservation wage

nash equilibrium efficiency wage distributions this paper extends the shirking model of efficiency wages by introducing worker heterogeneity with respect to the disutility of effort heterogeneity leads to a problem of adverse selection in addition to the moral hazard problem that is present in the original model as a result of adverse selection an equilibrium in which all firms offer the same efficiency wage cannot exist rather a continuously differentiable distribution of wages will be offered in equilibrium we demonstrate this equilibrium by construction and derive it explicitly in the case of a uniform distribution of the effort aversion parameter

optimal departures from marginal cost pricing focuses on departures from marginal cost pricing optimal allocation or resources level of tax revenue that will be collected by the government theorems developed for resource allocation ebsco

dynamic demand for residential electricity in taiwan under seasonality and increasing block pricing abstract this paper studies the dynamic demand for residential electricity in taiwan employing a monthly panel data set composed of 19 counties and spanning the period from 2007 01 to 2013 12 the partial adjustment model used addresses the endogeneity of the electricity price that results from the increasing block pricing the estimated results show that there is a significant seasonal difference in the demand for electricity between the summer and non summer periods both the adjustment speed and own price elasticity during the summer months are found to be lower than those in the non summer months due to the hot weather in summer it is easier for consumers to adjust their electricity consumption in response to the changes in electricity pricing during the non summer time the estimated inelastic short run and long run income effects show that electricity is a necessity for consumers moreover the controversial electricity conservation policies are found to be ineffective measures for reducing electricity consumption in taiwan

oligopsony and the distribution of wages we propose a simple model of wage dispersion arising from oligopsonistic competition in the labor market our model has workers who are equally able but who have heterogeneous preferences for non wage characteristics while employers have heterogeneous productivity characteristics we completely and explicitly solve for the equilibrium wage distribution and show that inside and outside forces interact in wage determination this interaction generates spillover effects of minimum wages in a manner which is consistent with the empirical evidence

lifeline electricity rates as an income transfer device the lifeline electricity rates are presumed to be inefficient because they violate optimal pricing principles but they may also be an ineffective and inequitable way to transfer assistance to low income households evidence is presented to challenge the assumption that simple demand changes will permit high consuming households to subsidize low income users social security food stamps and other social programs are better alternatives to a general income transfer 7 references 2 tables dck

a new stepwise power tariff model and its application for residential consumers in regulated electricity markets stepwise power tariff spt which has been put into practice is a crucial way for energy saving and environment protecting in this paper a new optimal model of spt based on residential demand response model is presented the optimal decision is proposed to restrain high electricity consumption as well as safeguard benefits of both supply and demand sides as a result the objective is designed to minimize electricity consumption and constraints are taken into consideration thoroughly including acceptable index of consumers average price sales profit of power providers and basic electricity demand which serves as a foundation for smooth implement of spt to solve the constrained optimal problem genetic algorithm ga is employed the effectiveness of the model and algorithm is investigated and demonstrated based on real data of 300 residents by a numerical example the study shows that the method can reduce power consumption obviously with little sacrifice of the benefits of consumers and power providers

a discrete continuous choice approach to residential water demand under block rate pricing reply waldman is quite correct in noting that the microeconomic theory of block rate pricing in hewitt and hanemann hh 1995 is given for the general case of a k block rate structure whereas the econometric theory is largely confined to the case of exactly two blocks the extension in waldman to the more general case of k blocks is correct although the extension itself could be even more general if it addressed the nonnegativity of demand as is demonstrated below that no apparent attention was paid to the nonnegativity of demand in hh may be attributed to the fact that the need to do so was negated by a fortuitous assumption in the earlier work although that assumption that the errors are multiplicative and lognormally distributed was only maintained and not tested in hh i now estimate two models with the more common assumptions of linear demand and additive and normally distributed errors both with and without a modification for

the short run dynamics of the price adjustment to new information we examine how prices in interest rate and foreign exchange futures markets adjust to the new information contained in scheduled macroeconomic news releases in the very short run using 10 second returns and tick by tick data we find that prices adjust in a series of numerous small but rapid price changes that begin within 10 seconds of the news release and are basically completed within 40 seconds of the release there is some evidence that prices overreact in the first 40 seconds but that this is corrected in the second or third minute after the release while volatility tends to be higher than normal just before the news release there is no evidence of information leakage in our analysis we correct for the biases created by bid ask spreads and tick by tick data

a national micro data based model of residential electricity demand new evidence on seasonal variation building on earlier estimates of electricity demand the author estimates elasticities by month to determine differences between heating and cooling seasons he develops a three equation model of residential electricity demand that includes all the main components of economic theory the model generates seasonal elasticity estimates that generally support economic theory based on the model using a national current household data set monthly division the evidence indicates there is a seasonal pattern for price elasticity of demand while less pronounced there also appears to be seasonal patterns for cross price elasticity of alternative fuels for the elasticity of appliance stock index and for an intensity of use variable

domestic fuel expenditure an analysis of three national surveys abstract this paper analyses the fuel expenditure data in three surveys looking particularly at the importance of household income multivariate data analysis techniques show that household size the size and type of accomodation and the presence of central heating are more direct influences on fuel expenditure than income changes in income have little independent effect on fuel expenditure once the size of the house size of household and heating system are determined

seasonal variation in residential electricity demand evidence from survey data in this paper we estimate twelve monthly electricity demand equations for households using a detailed microdata set the microdata are based largely on a detailed 1975 survey of us households and incude variables enabling us to measure block price schedules family income socio demographic variables appliance stocks housing characteristics and heating and cooling degree days of single family units we find that price elasticities are higher in absolute value during peak periods of demand income elasticity estimates show no discernible seasonal pattern our disaggregated data also allow us to estimate the seasonal usage patterns of several electricity using appliances the estimates follow expected patterns

specification of block rate price variables in demand models using a new model formulation and data from a sample of colorado utilities we investigated the price specification controversy marginal price versus average revenue when estimating residential water demand the improved statistical fit using average

evaluating the influence of increasing block tariffs in residential gas sector using agent based computational economics abstract designing a desirable increasing block tariff for the residential gas retail market has been a challenging task for regulated utilities especially in china to deal with such problems in this paper we establish an agent based computational economics system to provide a formal evaluation of the direct and indirect influences of several issued increasing block tariffs in the residential gas market moreover a comprehensive demand response behaviour model has been improved in term of price elasticity while still coping with income levels and complex social environment we also compute and compare the outcomes of several increasing block tariffs with the initial flat tariff by running the system on a test case using real world data from a middle scale gas retail market in wuhan the results indicate that there is an appropriate increasing block gas tariff scheme that has greater ability to improve social equity while still ensuring operator revenue and promoting gas conservation in order to offset the limitations of the proposed increasing block tariffs the regulator should adopt some complementary measures such as applying appropriate policies targeting the intended consumers and allowing large families to obtain extra allowance of volume

inflation and unemployment the world economy today is vastly different from the 1930s when seymour harris the chairman of this meeting infected me with his boundless enthusiasm for economics and his steadfast confidence in its capacity for good works economics is very different too both the science and its subject have changed and for the better since world war ii but there are some notable constants unemployment and inflation still preoccupy and perplex economists statesmen journalists housewives and everyone else the connection between them is the principal domestic economic burden of presidents and prime ministers and the major area of controversy and ignorance in macroeconomics i have chosen to review economic thought on this topic on this occasion partly because of its inevitable timeliness partly because of a personal interest reaching back to my first published work in 1941

equilibrium price distributions equilibrium price distributions for a homogeneous product consistent with individual incentives are investigated they arise in informationally imperfect markets in which the only primitive datum is the distribution of search costs it is shown that single multi and continuous price distributions are all viable long run phenomena depending on the nature of search costs a method for computing equilibrium price distributions is also provided jevons law of one price has long been an accepted dictum in economic theory in a classroom presentation it still serves sometimes implicitly as a major premise in many micro models of market interaction much of the descriptive theory as well as welfare analysis hinges on this assumption yet one s day to day experience reveals that price differentials are a viable phenomenon and that looking for lower prices may very well be a rewarding activity the prospects of eventually hitting a bargain and the resulting price reduction would more than compensate for the cost incurred during the search process moreover the existence of price dispersions appear to be an empirically stable phenomenon snapshots of markets for relatively homogeneous products reveal substantial and recurring price differentials stigler 1961 and pratt wise and zeckhauser 1979 for example report some evidence supporting this claim an important article by stigler 1961 focused economists attention on the crucial role played by the informational structure of markets it gave rise to the study of the

explanations of unemployment economists commonly distinguish between two sorts of unemployment roughly speak ing the involuntarily unemployed workers are unwillingly out of work i e they feel that they would be better off with jobs on the other hand the voluntarily unemployed workers prefer to be out of work for any of a wide variety of reasons e g because they are searching or training for a job or because they choose leisure over work

wage premiums and profit maximization in efficiency wage models abstract the standard shirking model of efficiency wages is essentially a continuous time repeated prisoners dilemma game thus to sustain an equilibrium with employment requires sufficient gains from future co operation each division of these gains corresponds to some equilibrium efficiency wages correspond to employees receiving the gains bonds allow firms to receive them in markets well informed about agents pasts employment is independent of the distribution of gains but in anonymous markets with more workers than jobs employment is highest in efficiency wage equilibria efficiency wages thus arise naturally as the unique efficient equilibrium without recourse to assumptions that limit bonding

energy demand with declining rate schedules an econometric model for the u s commercial sector we specify and estimate a model of the demand for electricity and natural gas in commercial buildings using data from the commercial building energy consumption survey although not observed declining rate schedules are approximated by a downward sloping function fitted to billing data for individual survey units marginal prices rates temperature variables and a large number of building characteristics are incorporated into the model as explanatory variables demand and rate schedule equations constitute a simultaneous system with prices and quantities jointly determined the effects on price elasticities of using endogenous marginal rather than exogenous average prices are estimated to be quite large

raiding opportunities and unemployment this article studies the impact of raiding opportunities in a labor market in which worker abilities differ recruiting firms can either raid an elsewhere employed worker of known ability by bidding up his wage or go through costly search to find a good worker among the unemployed in equilibrium all types of workers experience unemployment high ability workers involuntarily the raiding opportunities give rise to involuntary unemployment without changing the basic properties of the competitive model and thus suggest new implications of various institutional parameters on unemployment in particular unemployment compensation minimum wages wage taxation and search requirements

did henry ford pay efficiency wages we examine henry ford s introduction of the five dollar day in 1914 in an effort to evaluate the relevance of efficiency wage theories of wage and employment determination we conclude that the ford experience strongly supports the relevance of these theories ford s decision to increase wages dramatically is most plausibly the consequence of labor problems of the kind efficiency wage theorists stress the structure of the five dollar day program is consistent with the predictions of efficiency wage theories there is vivid evidence that the introduction of the five dollar day resulted in substantial queues for ford jobs significant increases in ford productivity and profits accompanied the new regime

electricity demand in multi family renter occupied residences this paper focuses on multi family renter occupied housing where the landlord provides major appliances a large residential sector that has not received widespread attention in the literature experimental data are used from a test where one group of households was billed directly for the electricity they consumed while a control group had unlimited electric service included as part of the monthly rent the empirical analysis yields short run demand estimates that satisfy to a remarkable extent the ceteris paribus assumptions of demand analysis this is the case for two reasons 1 the households did not individually execute the appliance choice decision at various unknown times in the past and 2 the stock of appliances upon which the derived short run demand is conditional is identical for all households in the sample a second important feature is emphasis on functional form examined in some detail is the question of the appropriate functional form for residential electricity demand finally empirical results of the analysis are used to investigate the cost effectiveness and welfare effects of installing submeters in existing multi family residences

insiders and outsiders in wage determination a firm starts with a group of insiders or seasoned workers there is also a large pool of outsiders who are initially less productive but are transformed into insiders after one period of employment the firm gains from having a large pool of insiders some of whom may be laid off in bad years insiders gain from keeping their numbers small if the insiders set their wage unilaterally they will choose a path that in this extreme case prevents employment of outsiders even if future employment prospects are good if the wage path is set by bilateral bargaining the extra advantage to the firm permits employment of some outsiders in some situations

residential energy use abstract the energy information administration recently published data they collected from the national interim energy consumption survey niecs niecs includes detailed information on 4081 individual households demographic characteristics energy related features of the structure heating equipment and appliances therein recent conservation actions taken by the household and fuel consumption and costs for the april 1978 march 1979 one year period this data set provides a new and valuable resource for analysis we summarized and analysed the niecs data on household energy consumption total energy use electricity use and use of the primary space heating fuel the regression equations constructed explain roughly half the variation in energy use among households these equations contain 10 or fewer independent variables the most important of which are fuel price year house was built floor area and heating degree days

efficiency wages and wage dispersion the efficiency wage hypothesis has normally been used to generate an equilibrium level of unemployment the authors use it instead to generate an equilibrium wage distribution this paper starts by generalizing the previous work of r m solow in this area they then use their results on effort wage elasticities to derive a model of wage dispersion the wage rate is shown to be an increasing function of the damage potential of workers that is workers with the highest damage potential receive the highest wage the analysis of the equilibrium of the wage distribution provides interesting qualitative insights into the nature of actual wage differentials copyright 1991 by the london school of economics and political science

unemployment and the efficiency wage hypothesis there has been much recent discussion of the reasons why prices in certain markets and in particular in labour markets may not adjust to eliminate excess supply the absence of speedy adjustment of prices is an essential feature of the recent models of disequilibrium macroeconomics but for the most part no explanation for this absence is provided from within those models one explanation that has been around in the literature for some time and has been receiving increasing attention recently is the efficiency wage hypothesis initially applied to developing economies see leibenstein i957 it has more recently been adapted to developed economies by weiss i 980 and used in the context of a keynesian macroeconomic model by hart i 980 similar concepts have been applied to the credit market by stiglitz and weiss i98i the purpose of the present paper is to explore further the conditions under which the notion of an efficiency wage is applicable and can provide an explanation of involuntary unemployment the essential feature of the efficiency wage hypothesis is that the productivity of a firm s employees increases as their wage is increased at least over an economically relevant part of its range if the wage paid by the firm is denoted by w the number of employees by l and the productivity of each employee by p w where p w o then the effective labour force of the firm e can be represented by

why not cut pay abstract i interviewed over 300 business people labor leaders business consultants and counselors of unemployed people all in the northeast of the united states during the recession of the early 1990 s in order to learn why wages and salaries declined in only a few firms employers were reluctant to cut pay because they believed doing so would hurt employee morale leading to lower productivity and current or future difficulties with hiring and retention it was thought that these effects would in the end cost more than the savings from lower pay there were few indications that unemployed people had excessive wage expectations on the contrary many unemployed were too flexible and found themselves rejected by firms as overqualified in most companies pay cuts were not a useful alternative to layoffs because pay cuts would not make it worthwhile to retain many employees and because layoffs harmed morale less than would pay cuts the findings support none of the theories of wage rigidity except those of solow and akerlof that emphasize morale

appliance specific electricity consumption in slovene households abstract on the basis of a national household survey carried out in 1983 this study presents estimates of electricity use per appliance our estimates of electricity use for space heating water heating and cooking are considerably lower than the engineering estimates the estimates for other electricity using appliances broadly conform with engineering estimates our low estimate of the short run income elasticity is in close agreement with other studies

residential demand for fuelwood this is the first national microbased study of residential demand for wood as fuel the data are from the us department of energy residential energy consumption survey the model employs a somewhat unique interaction dummy for price that allows the simultaneity problem to be adjusted for in a 2sls format and then the interaction term to be calculated and entered in the second stage results are compared with elasticity estimates derived from the same data set for the four other main residential fuels wood has a price elasticity of 0 421 for main users

the short run residential demand for electricity the model of short run residential demand for electricity combines price schedule information obtained from the federal energy regulatory commission with household specific data from the 1972 73 consumer expenditure survey to determine the household s level of electricity consumption and relate it to the household s demographic profile and appliance stock the overall short run price elasticity estimate of 0 550 supports existing findings that short run residential electricity demand is price inelastic however the variation in elasticities across end use categories suggests that the overall response is made up of a complex set of responses that vary substantially and significantly across appliances this implies that it may be more efficient to tailor conservation policies to the stock configuration of the population 17 references 6 tables

testing for time variation in an unobserved components model for the u s economy abstract this paper analyzes the amount of time variation in the parameters of a reduced form empirical macroeconomic model for the u s economy we decompose output inflation and unemployment in their stochastic trend and business cycle gap components with the latter linked through the phillips curve and okun s law a novel bayesian model selection procedure is used to test which parameters vary over time and which components exhibit stochastic volatility using data from 1959q2 to 2014q3 we find substantial time variation in okun s law while the phillips curve slope appears to be stable stochastic volatility is found to be important for cyclical shocks to the economy while the volatility of permanent shocks remains stable

comparing residential water demand estimates under decreasing and increasing block rates using household data using a new model formulation and data from a sample of colorado utilities we investigated the price specification controversy marginal price versus average revenue when estimating residential water demand the improved statistical fit using average

lifeline electricity rates as an income transfer device comment the authors question the supporting evidence given in an earlier paper by burgess and paglin eapa 7 4039 they suggest using the national interim energy consumption survey niecs as an alternative base and present a new set of equations to validate the income elasticity of demand in the justification of lifeline rates burgess and paglin reply noting that garbacz s study raises questions about a national requirement for lifeline rates 4 references 5 tables dck

the existence of equilibrium in discontinuous economic games i theory the article presents information about the existence of equilibrium in discontinuous economic games in this paper and its sequel presents study the existence of nash equilibrium in games where agents payoff functions are discontinuous the enquiry is motivated by a number of recent studies that have uncovered serious existence problems in seemingly innocuous economic games in the sequel to this paper authors have explained the utility function in the economic games referred to earlier are neither continuous nor quasi concave however they demonstrate that the payoff functions in mildly modified versions of these constructs exhibit two weaker forms of continuity which together with the requirement of quasi concavity suffice for the existence of an equilibrium from this one may conclude that at least in the modified versions of these models discontinuities in the payoff functions are not the real source of the problem rather it is the failure of the payoff functions to the quasi concave which is responsible for the non existence of equilibrium these observations bear on the existence of nash equilibrium in pure strategies

job security work incentives and unemployment this paper analyzes how firms can use job security as an incentive mechanism the author examines how macroeconomic job security measured by the reemployment probability may affect productivity differently from microeconomic job security measured by the probability of being retained the authors describe the circumstances under which job security stimulates work effort then incumbent workers insiders may have an opportunity to raise their wages above the market clearing level without being replaced by unemployed workers outsiders in this context involuntary unemployment can arise copyright 1988 by the editors of the scandinavian journal of economics

residential energy demand additional empirical evidence by minority household type abstract in a number of recent studies household level data for specific urban areas or national household level micro data have been used to estimate price and income elasticities of energy demand none of this literature however provides us with elasticity estimates by minority majority household type the main focus of this paper is to measure the responsiveness of the quantity of electricity and total energy demanded for black hispanis and majority households to price and income price and income elasticities are compared among these groups over the short and long term a variable elasticity demand model is estimated the elasticities are allowed to vary with respect to non price and income variables the price elasticities of demand vary with heating and cooling degree days and the income elasticities with the number of household members mean estimates were calculated over the respective samples findings indicate that demand for electricity is relatively price inelastic irrespective of household group however blacks are more sensitive to variations in the short run to price than hispanic and majority households in the long run blacks are also more sensitive to price changes but the magnitude of the response to price changes in the long run relative to the short run is larger for hispanics and majority households respectively than for blacks

business cycles with worker moral hazard we consider an economy with unemployment where firms pay efficiency wages due to effort enforcement problems and face output prices that vary cyclically between a high and a low level ph and pl we show that for a range of pl ph 1 employment and the wage will be cylically rigid and that this range is greater the shorter h periods are for lower pl ph employment will vary procyclically but then also the wage and more so the more employment varies this implies a limited role for efficiency wage theory in explaining employment variations over the business cycle but a greater role for explaining productivity fluctuations according to okun s law

residential electricity consumption in seattle abstract recent empirical research for different regions of the united states indicates that residential electricity may be an inferior good whose consumption is negatively correlated with income that is a provocative result that runs counter to what many earlier econometric studies indicate given that it makes sense to examine how electricity consumption behaves in different regional service areas even if residential electricity is an inferior good whose usage declines as income rises there is no guarantee that this will be the case across all service areas this study examines residential electricity consumption for seattle washington the largest metropolitan economy in the northwestern region of the united states results from a dynamic error correction modeling approach indicate that residential electricity consumption reacts in statistically significant manners to changes in real price real income and cold weather in the short run residential electricity is a normal good in this metropolitan economy in the long run residential electricity appears to be an inferior good in seattle all else equal whenever real per capita income growth exceeds 1 2 per capita residential electricity usage declines in seattle

the exchange rate effects of macro news after the global financial crisis abstract we explore whether the exchange rate effects of macro news are time and state dependent by analyzing and comparing the relative influence of us and japanese macro news on the jpy usd rate before during and after the global financial crisis a comprehensive set totaling 40 time stamped us and japanese news variables and preceding survey expectations along with 5 min indicative jpy usd quotes spanning the 1 january 1999 to 31 august 2016 period facilitate our analysis our results suggest that while us macro news are now more important than before the crisis the influence of japanese macro news has waned to the point of near irrelevance these findings are of particular importance to exchange rate modeling of the new era

occupational self selection in a labor market with moral hazard abstract this paper studies the determinants and implications of self selection when firms imperfectly observe worker effort the effects of the resulting moral hazard problem on the self selection mechanism are analyzed in a model in which workers simultaneously choose an employment sector and an effort level the implications of the model reveal that in the presence of moral hazard workers effort decisions become an additional mechanism determining the pattern of selection into sectors workers sector specific endowments impact sectoral allocation through their effect on workers comparative advantage as well as their effect on workers shirking propensity the model is then used in an empirical application that analyzes workers self selection into white collar and blue collar occupations the estimation results based on data from the national longitudinal survey of youth suggest that workers occupational self selection leads to higher wages and lower dismissal rates in both occupations compared to an economy in which workers are randomly assigned to each occupation the difference in dismissal rates between the two occupations is driven by the higher expected productivity in the white collar sector the positive effects of occupational sorting diminish as the labor market becomes increasingly characterized by moral hazard results also suggest that human capital investments in skills that are most relevant to blue collar jobs may generate higher wages and lower dismissal rates in both white collar and blue collar occupations

residential demand for electricity under inverted block rates evidence from a controlled experiment block rate structures are used extensively in public utility pricing including residential electricity estimating price elasticities in this context is complicated by the resulting nonlinearity of the consumer s budget constraint this article estimates the demand for electricity under inverted block rates using data from a residential rate experiment the study provides an opportunity to obtain short run price elasticities in an experimental setting and to compare alternative estimators developed for nonlinear budget constraints elasticities of demand with respect to individual components of the block rate are developed using a modification of the structural maximum likelihood estimator

an engineering econometric analysis of seasonal energy demand and conservation in the pacific northwest this article estimates a new model of residential electricity demand it differs from previous work in two ways first we use individual monthly billing data in a pooled time series cross section framework second we use an engineering thermal load technique to model the household space heating technology we estimate the model using data from the pacific northwest and use the results to analyze three conservation measures a price increase a reduction in thermostat settings and improvement of insulation levels we find average rates of return for insulation upgrades of 4 9 for ceilings and 8 3 for walls

comparative statics in dynamic programming models with an application to job search abstract this paper presents a technique for qualitative comparative statics analysis in dynamic programming models let the value function be the fixed point of a contraction mapping which depends differentiably on some exogenous parameter ten the derivative of with respect to exists and is also the fixed point of a contraction mapping since this derivative is the fixed point of a contraction mapping its qualitative properties can be investigated using mathematical induction this comparative statics methodology is illustrated with an application to a model of job search

short run residential demand for fuels a disaggregated approach a disaggregated model of residential energy demand is specified and then used to examine the data and econometric techniques available to estimate such a model inconsistencies in the currently popular random effects model and weighted least squares generate inconsistent parameter estimates for short run modeling some of the currently available pooled data is of poor quality the principal data series of concern are the appliance stock series but current research is attempting to improve aggregate data while the disaggregated elasticities reported can only be considered tentative the approach combined with better data and econometric techniques will produce an important policy tool the regression results are summarized in two tables in the appendix 42 references 5 tables

instrumental variables approach to rural water service demand interest in empirical studies of the demand for goods sold through discrete pricing structures has grown since nordin suggested a modification of taylor s demand model 24 29 the bulk of early empirical research centered on residential electricity demand however econometric studies of water demand have proliferated in recent years some articles have been concerned in part with the proper theoretical specification of demand equations incorporating block rate pricing schedules taylor specified price as being composed of the marginal price associated with the block in which consumption occurs and an average price 29 nordin modified taylor s specification by demonstrating utility maximizing consumers with perfect information respond to marginal price along with a lump sum income effect associated with intramarginal prices and price schedule breakpoints 24 there is a potential problem in the estimation of demand for goods sold through block rate pricing schemes because of the possibility of correlation between price variables and the error structure 29 there are then two issues associated with the study of demand for goods sold under discrete pricing mechanisms the first issue is whether if consumers are aware of block pricing structures and respond to marginal price and the lump sum income change or rate premium or are aware of only total spending and total consumption and respond to an average price 11 5 9 26 the second issue is the choice of estimating technique 4 14 20 31 25 these two issues are not unrelated since empirical validation of consumer behavior

alternative theories of wage dispersion abstract we analyze labor market models where the law of one price fails i e models with equilibrium wage dispersion we begin considering ex ante heterogeneous workers but highlight a problem with this approach if search is costly the market shuts down we then assume homogeneous workers but ex post heterogeneous matches this model is robust to search costs and delivers equilibrium wage dispersion however we prove that the law of two prices holds equilibrium implies at most two wages we explore other models including one combining ex ante and ex post heterogeneity which is robust and delivers more realistic wage dispersion

evidence on the specification of price in the study of domestic water demand the development of lakefront property in northern wisconsin has prompted in several towns minimum frontage zoning stricter than the state standard such zoning generates an economic loss by constraining development development effect and an economic

the firm as a community explaining asymmetric behavior and downward rigidity of wages abstract this paper models the firm as a community a la akerlof akerlof g a 1980 a theory of social custom of which unemployment may be one consequence quarterly journal of economics 94 749 775 to account for asymmetric behavior and in particular downward rigidity of wages it is shown that through social interaction among workers in the firm community wage cuts can give rise to a large discontinuous fall in labor productivity known as catastrophe furthermore this large fall in labor productivity will persist or display inertia known as hysteresis even if the wages are restored to the pre cut level and beyond our catastrophe hysteresis finding with respect to wage cuts can rationalize the downward rigidity of wage behavior and is consistent with the interview evidence of fragile worker morale emphasized by bewley bewley t f 1999 why wages don t fall during a recession harvard university press cambridge and others in explaining why employers are sensitive to and refrain from cutting worker pay

consumer responses to time varying prices for electricity abstract we report new experimental evidence of the household response to weekday differentials in peak and off peak electricity prices the data come from auckland new zealand where peak residential electricity consumption occurs in winter for heating peak off peak price differentials ranged over four randomly selected groups from 1 0 to 3 5 on average there was no response except in winter in winter participant households reduced electricity consumption by at least 10 took advantage of lower off peak prices but did not respond to the peak price differentials response varied with house and household size time spent away from home and whether water was heated with electricity

equilibrium long term labor contracts the paper presents a labor market equilibrium analysis of implicit contract theory a two period single good model is used to propose consistent notions of labor market equilibrium for long term employment contracts both when labor is specialized and cannot move in the second period and when there is free mobility without costs the result that long term contracts emerge in equilibrium even without mobility costs is novel and contrary to common beliefs the main features of equilibrium are that risk neutral firms will insure risk averse workers against downside risk yielding downward rigid wages wages are not fully rigid as in earlier work on contract theory because workers may quit and wages have to be bid up to retain them the firm gets its return of the insurance deal by paying less than marginal product in the first period the resulting equilibrium is second best and lies between productive efficiency and full insurance workers gain from long term contracts in comparison to spot markets whereas owners may not in the model with specialized skills there exist transfer payments such that both parties are better off within an equilibrium with long term contracts

residential demand for liquid petroleum gas abstract this is the first micro based study of residential demand for liquid petroleum gas lpg the data are from doe s residential energy consumption survey results are compared with elasticity estimates derived from the same data set for the three other main residential fuels lpg has a price elasticity for space and water heating combined of 1 3 income elasticity is 0 207

wage differentials employer size and unemployment the unique equilibrium solution to a game in which a continuum of individual employers choose permanent wage offers and a continuum of workers search by sequentially sampling from the set of offers is characterized wage dispersion is a robust outcome provided that workers search while employed as well as when unemployed the unique nondegenerate equilibrium distribution of wage offers is constructed for three cases 1 identical workers and employers 2 identical employers and an atomless distribution of worker supply prices and 3 identical workers and an atomless distribution of job productivities copyright 1998 by economics department of the university of pennsylvania and the osaka university institute of social and economic research association

average and marginal price changes and the demand for electricity an econometric study the empirical literature on the demand for electricity has hitherto failed to adequately deal with increasing block pricing while it is desirable in principle to include the entire price schedule in the demand function the convention has been to include as an argument either an average or a marginal price yet use of either to the exclusion of the other one leads inter alia to biased estimates of own price elasticity with this in mind a residential demand function is estimated employing both average and marginal price while a number of interesting results emerge it is significant that the coefficient on marginal price is right that is the expected inverse relationship between the quantity of electricity demanded and the marginal price it obtains on the other hand the positive sign on average price is troubling because average price is in this case exactly the same concept as the intra marginal payment a change in average price is exactly the same concept as a change in real income t

asymmetries and rigidities in wage adjustments by firms the authors use micro data from a survey of firms to test for labor market rigidities and asymmetries in response to demand shifts they analyze wage and employment adjustments to positive and negative shifts as measured by real sales growth the results show that wage adjustments are fairly small compared with employment adjustments they are also asymmetric with significant adjustments in response to positive shifts but not negative shifts these asymmetries are no more pronounced in large firms manufacturing heavily union or highly skilled industries than in other firms or industries in contrast employment adjustments show no consistent pattern of asymmetry copyright 1993 by mit press

the demand for electricity and natural gas in the northeastern united states the demand for natural gas and electricity for the residential commercial and industrial sectors was estimated using a combination of the error components model and seemingly unrelated regressions the estimated demand models showed both natural gas and electricity to be price elastic in the long run and price inelastic in the short run in all sectors except the commercial sector in which electricity demand is unresponsive to its own price natural gas had negligible income elasticities in the residential and commercial sectors and a long run income elasticity of 2 86 in the industrial sector electricity had an insignificant income effect in all sectors but the industrial where its long run elasticity was unitary only in the residential demand for natural gas is the cross price elasticity substantial with the price of electricity having a long run cross elasticity of 1 70 fuel oil prices generally had a negative impact probably indicating a large income effect the elasticities of adjustment were higher for natural gas than electricity indicating a faster adjustment to change either in response to greater instability in energy availability or reflecting more alternative fuels or both 16 references 4 tables