restaurant prices and the minimum wage in this paper we examine the effect of the minimum wage on restaurant prices we contribute both to the study of economic impact of the minimum wage and to the study of microeconomic patterns of price stickiness for this purpose we use a unique data set of individual price quotes collected to calculate the consumer price index in france and we estimate a price rigidity model based on a flexible s s rule we find a positive and significant impact of the minimum wage on prices the effect of the minimum wage on prices is however very protracted a change in the minimum wage takes more than a year to fully pass through to retail prices

entrepreneurship and income inequality in southern ethiopia this article uses inequality decomposition techniques in order to analyze the consequences of entrepreneurial activities to household income inequality in southern ethiopia a uniform increase in entrepreneurial income reduces per capita household income inequality this implies that encouraging rural entrepreneurship may be favorable for both income growth and income distribution such policies could be particularly successful if directed at the low income low wealth and relatively uneducated segments of the society

menu costs at work restaurant prices and the introduction of the euro restaurant prices in the euro area increased dramatically after the introduction of the euro we argue that this increase can be explained by a common model of menu cost pricing extended to include the state dependent decision of firms on when to adopt the new currency two mechanisms drive this result first firms concentrate otherwise staggered price increases around the changeover second before the adoption of the euro prices do not reflect the marginal cost increases expected to occur after the changeover this horizon effect disappears as soon as the new currency is adopted causing a jump in the optimal price

credit market constraints consumption smoothing and the accumulation of durable production assets in low income countries investments in bullocks in india in this paper we formulate and estimate a finite horizon structural dynamic model of agricultural investment behavior that incorporates the major features of low income agricultural environments income uncertainty constraints on borrowing and rental markets and the use of investment assets to generate income and smooth consumption the model is fit to longitudinal indian household data on farm profits bullock stocks and pump sets the estimated structural parameters are used to assess the effects on the life cycle accumulation of bullocks agricultural profits and welfare associated with complete markets and bullock liquidity and with second best policies that provide assured sources of income to farmers and weather insurance

non farm income household welfare and sustainable land management in a less favoured area in the ethiopian highlands a bio economic model has been calibrated to the socio economic and biophysical characteristics of a less favoured area in the ethiopian highlands land degradation population growth stagnant technology and drought necessitates development of non farm employment opportunities in the area the model has been used to assess the impact of improved access to non farm income on household welfare agricultural production conservation investments and land degradation in the form of soil erosion the model simulations indicate that access to low wage off farm income is restricted by lack of employment opportunities since households otherwise would have engaged in more off farm wage employment than observed the simulations show that better unconstrained access to low wage non farm income has a substantial positive effect on household income total agricultural production crop and livestock production and farm inputs used are reduced when access to non farm employment is improved and thus increases the need to import food to the area access to non farm income reduces farm households incentives to invest in conservation and this leads to more overall soil erosion and more rapid land degradation even though intensity of production is reduced special policies are therefore needed to ensure land conservation and to sustain local food production

volatility agricultural risk and household poverty micro evidence from randomized control trials households in developing countries are often highly exposed to risk and despite households risk strategies negative shocks often result in substantial welfare losses given the possibility that weather risks in particular might be further increasing there is renewed policy attention on improving households risk management strategies this article provides an overview of insights learned from recent randomized control trials on predictions coming out of the theoretical literature on households ex ante risk management it reveals new puzzles and questions regarding households inter temporal decision making under risk and draws lessons for effective policy design

the perceived returns to education and the demand for schooling economists emphasize the link between market returns to education and investments in schooling though many studies estimate these returns with earnings data it is the perceived returns that affect schooling decisions and these perceptions may be inaccurate using survey data for eighth grade boys in the dominican republic we find that the perceived returns to secondary school are extremely low despite high measured returns students at randomly selected schools given information on the higher measured returns completed on average 0 20 0 35 more years of school over the next four years than those who were not

non agricultural earnings in peri urban areas of tanzania evidence from household survey data abstract this study draws on purposive survey data of approximately 600 households in peri urban tanzania to describe the degree and nature of non farm diversification in these settings with the exception of relatively dynamic cities such as dar es salaam and arusha overall non farm incomes shares are not unambiguously higher than in rural areas as a whole non farm income shares rise sharply and monotonically with quintiles defined in terms of per capita food consumption in that sense the sector appears to offer an important route out of poverty the evidence suggests that education and access to infrastructure are important determinants of non farm incomes in peri urban areas women appear to be poorly placed vis a vis the non farm sector even after controlling for education age and other characteristics kinship and tribal affinities and time devoted to communal activities appear to deter entrepreneurial activity and non farm employment but trust in officials and public servants and strong heterogeneous village associations are important in stimulating non farm activity

employment dynamics in the rural nonfarm sector in ethiopia do the poor have time on their side abstract we study rural employment transitions in ethiopia between farming and both low and high return nonfarm employment we find that initial asset holdings and access to saving and credit are important factors for transition into high return rural nonfarm employment and that households participation in high return rural nonfarm activities is robust to their experience of health shocks however shocks that affect their wealth or liquidity may trigger descents into low return nonfarm employment on the other hand shocks that reduce agricultural income motivate transitions into high return rural nonfarm employment

diversification and livelihood sustainability in a semi arid environment a case study from southern ethiopia abstract this paper examines the recently growing adoption of non pastoral livelihood strategies among the borana pastoralists in southern ethiopia a large portion of the current non pastoral participation is in petty and natural resource based activities pastoral and crop production functions are estimated using the cobb douglas model to analyse the economic rationale behind the growing pastoralist shift to cultivation and other non pastoral activities the low marginal return to labour in traditional pastoralism suggests the existence of surplus labour that can gainfully be transferred to non pastoral activities an examination of the pastoralist activity choices reveals that the younger households with literacy and more exposure to the exchange system display a more diversified income portfolio preference the findings underscore the importance of human capital investment and related support services for improving the pastoralist capacity to manage risk through welfare enhancing diversified income po

on the impossibility of a stable and low gdp elasticity of money demand the arithmetic of aggregation replication and income growth this paper shows the aggregate income gdp elasticity of money demand depends on the elasticity at the individual level and on population growth as money regressions are usually formulated using us post ww ii data a low and stable aggregate income elasticity implies a negative and unstable elasticity at the individual level likewise positing a stable and non unitary individual income elasticity implies wide variation in the conventional gdp elasticity over time it has been possible to ignore these issues in empirical work due to collinearity between regressors and population even for differenced data measuring money and income on a per household basis is a simple way to avoid these problems and to distinguish income from mere replication effects

poverty traps and index based risk transfer products summary a growing literature suggests that in low income countries households with few assets can be trapped in chronic poverty this article reviews relevant threads of the poverty traps literature to motivate a description of the opportunities presented by innovative index based risk transfer products these products can be used to address some insurance and credit market failures that contribute to the persistence of poverty among households in low income countries applications are considered at the micro meso and macro levels 2008 elsevier ltd all rights reserved

the economics of poverty traps and persistent poverty an asset based approach abstract longitudinal data on household living standards open the way to a deeper analysis of the nature and extent of poverty while a number of studies have exploited this type of data to distinguish transitory from more chronic forms of income or expenditure poverty this paper develops an asset based approach to poverty analysis that makes it possible to distinguish deep rooted persistent structural poverty from poverty that passes naturally with time due to systemic growth processes drawing on the economic theory of poverty traps and bifurcated accumulation strategies this paper briefly discusses some feasible estimation strategies for empirically identifying poverty traps and long term persistent structural poverty as well as relevant extensions of the popular foster greer thorbecke class of poverty measures the paper closes with reflections on how asset based poverty can be used to underwrite the design of persistent poverty reduction strategies

credit as insurance in agrarian economies abstract this paper examines consumption credit as an insurance mechanism in agrarian economies it explains the more rapid adoption of new technology in the green revolution by large farmers who had greater access to consumption credit the paper also demonstrates how the emergence and expansion of consumption credit markets by mitigating the need for hoarding in order to meet consumption contingencies enhances growth by encouraging investment

optimal price setting during a currency changeover theory and evidence from french restaurants this article studies firms price setting decision during a currency changeover buyers difficulties with the new nominal price level may create incentives to raise prices temporarily but doing so comes at the risk of damaging a seller s standing as a fair retailer we model firms trade off and study conditions under which increasing or decreasing prices is optimal a difference in differences analysis based on micro data of french restaurants strongly supports the model s predictions prices during the 2002 changeover in the european monetary union were less likely to rise in larger restaurants nontourist restaurants and when prices were advertised

costs and benefits of livestock systems and the role of market and nonmarket relationships in developing countries livestock are kept not only for their physical products but also for insurance financing and to display status though this range of purposes is acknowledged livestock policies nevertheless often emphasize physical production a limited perspective that hampers the formulation and implementation of effective livestock policies this article presents a comprehensive appraisal of costs and benefits of livestock systems that takes into account the institutional environment of livestock keepers indicators are developed that capture quantify and organize not only the benefits resulting from the physical production but also those from the intangible functions the method is illustrated by an analysis of cattle in the western province of zambia the results indicate that the perspective on livestock systems developed more closely reflects the observed decisions of the livestock keepers

in search of a euro effect big lessons from a big mac meal we investigate whether the adoption of the euro was accompanied by an increase in prices in member countries and whether it promoted goods market arbitrage in the form of faster convergence to a common price by comparing the experience of eurozone countries to non euro european countries in a difference in differences specification we net out effects on prices unrelated to the euro we conclude that a there is no evidence of significant price increases associated with the adoption of the euro even for food items and b there is little systematic evidence of a significant improvement in goods market integration following the euro s introduction

the dynamics of livelihood diversification in post famine ethiopia abstract based on data for almost 300 households this paper explores associations among income diversification household perceptions of livelihood risks and changes in consumption outcomes across two points in time in post famine ethiopia four key questions are addressed i to what extent did households emerging from the famine period with relatively higher income and calorie consumption levels also have a more diversified income base ii was higher income diversification in 1989 associated with higher income and consumption levels by 1994 iii which households increased their share of income from non cropping activities most during the inter survey years and iv did household heads perceive a lack of non farm income activities to be an important risk factor in famine vulnerability we find that wealthier households tended to have more diversified income streams those initially more diversified subsequently experienced a relatively greater increase in both income and calorie intake households with a greater concentration of assets were more likely to fall in their relative outcome ranking as were female headed households and initially less diversified households subsequently realized greater gains in income diversification we also find suggestive evidence that personal perceptions of risk factors guided subsequent diversification decisions

risk crop choice and savings evidence from tanzania rural households engaged in agricultural activities face considerable risks in their income process these income risks are especially important if they result in consumption fluctuations this is likely if insurance and credit markets are absent one possible strategy for household is to take up low risk activities even if they imply lower returns such response cannot be viewed independently from the other options available to households to reduce consumption fluctuations this paper focuses on the importance of liquid asset formation for risk taking behaviour by households an intertemporal model of consumption under liquidity constraints is developed in which households can choose between income activities with different returns and riskiness it shows that if liquid asset holdings are large providing a buffer for consumption shortfalls then households will be more willing to take up high risk activities evidence based on survey data from shinyanga district tanzania is presented consistent with this prediction this abstract was borrowed from another version of this item

rural livelihood diversification in sub saharan africa a literature review abstractthis article provides a comprehensive review of the literature on the nature and evolution of rural livelihood diversification in sub saharan africa and the situation regarding smallholders it reveals mixed findings about the causes and consequences of livelihood diversification on rural smallholders adopting this strategy a lot of evidence from the literature suggests that it is relatively better off smallholders with sufficient assets who achieve successful livelihood diversification mainly by exploiting opportunities and synergies between farm and nonfarm activities because of asset constraints increase in incomes and wealth based on livelihood diversification has not yet benefitted the large majority of smallholders

few opportunities much desperation the dichotomy of non agricultural activities and inequality in western kenya summary using data from western kenya we confirm the existence of a dichotomous non agricultural sector the poverty and inequality implications of the differently motivated diversification strategies only partly correspond to expected patterns while high return activities are indeed confined to richer households low return activities constitute an important income source for households across the entire income distribution finally we examine the wider implications of our findings for rural livelihoods we find that only engagement in high return non agricultural activities is significantly associated with increased agricultural productivity it seems that such high return activities play a key role in triggering cumulative effects of relative livelihood success

heterogeneity in consumer price stickiness we examine heterogeneity in price stickiness using a large original set of individual price data collected at the retail level for the computation of the french consumer price index for that purpose we estimate at a very high level of disaggregation a piecewise constant hazard model as well as competing risks duration models that distinguish between price increases price decreases and product replacements the main findings are the following a at the product outlet type level the baseline hazard function of a price spell is nondecreasing b cross product and cross outlet type heterogeneity is pervasive both in the shape and the level of the hazard function as well as in the impact of covariates c there is strong evidence of state dependence especially for price increases d there is an asymmetry because determinants of price increases differ from those of price decreases

rural nonfarm employment and incomes in the himalayas abstract nonfarm activities generate on average about 60 of rural households incomes in the himalayas this article analyzes the determinants of participation in nonfarm activities and of nonfarm incomes across rural households a unique data set collected in the himalayan region of india allows us to deal with the heterogeneity of rural nonfarm activities by using aggregations into categories that are useful both analytically and for policy purposes we conduct an empirical inquiry that reveals that education plays a major role in accessing more remunerative nonfarm employment other household assets and characteristics such as land social status and geographical location also play a role

the demand for m1 in the u s a 1960 1988 estimated u s m1 demand functions appear unstable regularly breaking down over 1960 1988 e g missing money great velocity decline m1 explosion we propose a money demand function whose arguments include inflation real income long term bond yield and risk t bill interest rates and learning curve weighted yields on newly introduced instruments in m1 and non transactions m2 the model is estimated in dynamic error correction form it is constant and with an equation standard error of 0 4 variance dominates most previous models estimating alternative specifications explains earlier breakdowns showing the model s distinctive features to be important in accounting for the data

the euro changeover and its effects on price transparency and inflation despite the expectations of economists that the euro changeover would have no effect on prices european consumers perceived the opposite to shed some light on this puzzle we develop a model of imperfect information in which cheaper goods experience higher price growth after the changeover retailers aware of consumers difficulties in adopting the new currency use currency changeovers to increase profits by increasing prices the lower the price transparency after the changeover the higher the euro related inflation using data on inflation eurostat and price levels economist intelligence unit we show that although the euro changeover did not significantly increase inflation it nevertheless had a distortionary effect on prices after the changeover cheaper goods had higher inflation and this effect was stronger in countries in which people found dealing with the new currency problematic

income smoothing and consumption smoothing one way that risk averse households protect consumption levels is to borrow and use insurance mechanisms another way common in low income economies is to diversify economic activities and make conservative production and employment choices households thus tend toward limiting exposure only to shocks that can be handled with available credit and insurance typically both types of mechanisms are studied independently but much more can be learned by studying them together first we obtain a more complete picture of risks costs and insurance possibilities second it opens the way to considering biases in standard tests of credit and insurance

the effect of specialty coffee certification on household livelihood strategies and specialisation abstract farm certification is rapidly becoming a sine qua non for access to specialty coffee markets at the centre of these changes are smallholder coffee producers responsible for 80 of global coffee production although rural households are known to depend on more than agricultural production alone the literature on specialty coffee and certification has rather narrowly focused on coffee income and production in this study broader impacts are explicitly taken into account household income was decomposed into categories corresponding to specific income generating activities and coffee income was broken down into price yield and area effects results show that coffee certification encourages farmers to specialise in coffee production increasing coffee income but not total household income at least not in the short run the time and effort required to attain the higher coffee income offered by certified production means farmers have to give up other activities this substitution effect cancels out the income effect such that there is no increase in total household income the lack of an effect on total household income suggests the return to the additional labour effort required for certified coffee production is not higher than in other activities questioning the benefits of certification for small scale producers

credit constraints and agricultural productivity evidence from rural rwanda while potentially negative impacts of credit constraints on economic development have long been discussed conceptually empirical evidence for africa remains limited we use a direct elicitation approach on a national sample of rwandan rural households to empirically assess the extent and nature of credit rationing in the semi formal sector and its impact using an endogenous switching model elimination of all constraints could increase output by some 17 per cent implications for policy and research are spelled out

the behavior of money demand in the 1980s existing money demand functions did not predict the strength in m1 in the 1980s this strength derived from the combination of a change in the character of m 1 due to elnancial deregulation and the sharp fall in market rates that began in 1982 the public s m2 demand function however remains unaffected by the forces that altered the m1 demand function the character of the public s m 1 demand function changed with the legalization nationwide in january 1981 of the checkable deposits known as nows because nows pay explicit interest they are used by the public as an instrument for saving as well as for effecting transactions mehra 1986 the addition of nows to m1 therefore caused m1 to become more highly substitutible with the savings instruments included in the non ml component of m2 that is savings deposits small time deposits money market deposit accounts mmdas and money market mutual funds of noninstitutional investors mmmfs furthermore financial institutions move the rate paid on nows only sluggishly in response to changes in market rates in contrast the rates paid on small time deposits mmdas and mmmfs move promptly in response to changes in market rates consequently when market rates fell beginning in late summer 1982 the differential between the rates paid on the non ml components of m2 and on nows fell sharply the public then substituted out of the non ml components of m2 and into the nows in m1 these substitutions increased m1 de

wealth weather risk and the composition and profitability of agricultural investments despite the growing evidence that farmers in low income environments are risk averse there has been little empirical evidence on the importance of risk in shaping the actual allocation of production resources among farmers differentiated by wealth the authors use panel data on investments in rural india to examine how the composition of productive and nonproductive asset holdings varies across farmers with different levels of total wealth and across farmers facing different degrees of weather risk income variability is a prominent feature of the experience of rural agents in low income countries the authors report evidence based on measures of rainfall variability that the agricultural investment portfolio behavior of farmers in such settings reflects risk aversion due evidently to limitations on consumption soothing mechanisms such as crop insurance or credit markets the authors results suggest that uninsured weather risk is a significant cause of lower efficiency and lower average incomes a one standard deviation decrease in weather risk measured by the standard deviation of the timing of the rainy season would raise average profits by up to 35 percent among farmers in the lowest wealth quartile moreover rainfall variability induces a more unequal distribution of average incomes for a given distribution of wealth wealthier farmers are willing to absorb significant risk without giving up profits to reduce production risk smaller farmers have to invest their limited wealth in ways that reduce their exposure to risk at the cost of lower profit rates the authors found that at high levels of rainfall variability differences in rates of profit per unit of agricultural assets were similar across classes of wealth but over the sample range of rainfall variability these rates of profit were always higher for the poorer farmers than for the wealthier ones suggesting that the disadvantages of small farmers in risk diffusion are more than offset by their labor cost advantage

determinants and effects of income diversification amongst farm households in burkina faso using four years of household data from three agroecological zones in burkina faso sahelian sudanian and guinean the article examines the determinants and effects of household income diversification harvest shortfalls and terms of trade are found to drive diversification but land constraints do not income diversification is associated with higher incomes and food consumption and more stable income and consumption over years

insurance credit and technology adoption field experimental evidence from malawi this brief summarizes the insurance credit and technology adoption field experimental evidence from malawi the farmers were offered loans for the november 2006 planting season does production risk suppress the demand for credit the author implemented a randomized field experiment to ask whether provision of insurance against a major source of production risk induces farmers to take out loans to adopt a new crop technology the study sample was composed of roughly 800 maize and groundnut farmers in malawi where by far the dominant source of production risk is the level of rainfall the author randomly selected half of the farmers to be offered credit to purchase high yielding hybrid maize and groundnut seeds for planting in the november 2006 crop season the other half of farmers were offered a similar credit package but were also required to purchase at actuarially fair rates a weather insurance policy that partially or fully forgave the loan in the event of poor rainfall surprisingly take up was lower by 13 percentage points among farmers offered insurance with the loan take up was 33 0 percent for farmers who were offered the uninsured loan there is suggestive evidence that reduced take up of the insured loan was due to farmers already having implicit insurance from the limited liability clause in the loan contract insured loan take up was positively correlated with farmer education income and wealth which may proxy for the individual s default costs by contrast take up of the uninsured loan was uncorrelated with these farmer characteristics

determinants of income diversification amongst rural households in southern mali abstract household level panel data from a representative sample of rural households in southern mali describing the different sources of household income are used to examine the determinants of income diversification a conditional fixed effects logit model is employed in the analysis to control for household specific effects we find evidence that poorer households have fewer opportunities in non cropping activities such as livestock rearing and non farm work and hence less diversified incomes this appears to reflect their relative lack of capital which makes it difficult for them to diversify away from subsistence agriculture the results also indicate that households in remote areas are less likely to participate in the non cropping sector than their counterparts closer to local markets while households with educated heads are more likely to participate in the non farm sector than those with illiterate heads the significance of entry constraints in explaining portfolio diversification suggests that the role of government in making assets as well as improved infrastructure available to poorer households is still essential in promoting income diversification

impact of sms based agricultural information on indian farmers this study estimates the benefits that indian farmers derive from market and weather information delivered to their mobile phones by a commercial service called reuters market light rml we conduct a controlled randomized experiment in 100 villages of maharashtra treated farmers associate rml information with a number of decisions they have made and we find some evidence that treatment affected spatial arbitrage and crop grading but the magnitude of these effects is small we find no statistically significant average effect of treatment on the price received by farmers crop value added crop losses resulting from rainstorms or the likelihood of changing crop varieties and cultivation practices although disappointing these results are in line with the market take up rate of the rml service in the study districts which shows small numbers of clients in aggregate and a relative stagnation in take up over the study period jel codes o13 q11 q13 the purpose of this study is to ascertain whether agricultural information distributed through mobile phones generates economic benefits to farmers we implement a randomized controlled trial of a commercial service entitled reuters market light rml offered by the largest and best established private provider of agricultural price information in india at the time of the experiment operating in maharashtra and other indian states rml distributes price weather and crop advisory information through sms messages we offered a one year free subscription to rml to a random sample of farmers to test whether they obtain higher prices for their agricultural output

growth and risk methodology and micro evidence how exposure to risk affects economic growth is a key issue in development this article quantifies both the ex ante and ex post effects of risk using long running panel data for rural households in zimbabwe it proposes a simulation based econometric methodology to estimate the structural form of a micro model of household investment decisions under risk the key finding is that risk substantially reduces growth in this particular setting the mean capital stock in the sample is in expectation 46 percent lower than in the absence of risk about two thirds of the impact of risk is due to the ex ante effect that is the behavioral response to risk which is usually not taken into account in policy design these results suggest that policy interventions that reduce exposure to shocks or that help households manage risk could be much more effective than is commonly thought

market imperfections liquidity and farm household labor allocation the case of rural south africa asset endowments and market imperfections shape households labor allocation decisions and lead to different production regimes within rural farm households in south africa this article uses a farm household model to explain the presence of three main household groups determined on the basis of the labor regime adopted small peasants working both on and off farm self cultivators autarkic in labor and hiring in households a partial generalized ordered logit is used to test the main predictions of the model and a brant test on threshold constancy is performed to identify the household specific factors affecting labor market participation the results show that liquidity constraints and market imperfections matter in the choice of the labor strategy adopted liquidity constrained households are more likely to sell labor off farm while access to information facilitates the hiring in of workers

livelihood strategies and dynamics in rural cambodia summary this paper addresses one of the major challenges in rural livelihood analysis to quantitatively examine the dynamics of household livelihood strategies it investigates the interactions between livelihood assets activities and outcomes and captures the dynamics of long term changes and their underlying factors the study aims to identify the classification of rural livelihood strategies their transitions and factors influencing these processes and changes we employ the dynamic livelihood strategy framework and use panel data for 2008 and 2012 covering 464 households in 15 villages in cambodia for latent class cluster analysis and regression estimation in this paper livelihood strategies are quantified based on allocation of available resources which overcomes the limitations of income based analysis our study identifies five household livelihood strategies pursued in the study areas and the results show that over 70 of households change livelihood strategies over time in response to evolving pressures incentives and opportunities the study identifies covariates that shape the choices of livelihood strategies and affects the households access to more remunerative strategies such as education ownership of physical assets and access to infrastructure these findings suggest policy implications for improving the range of livelihood choices available to lower income groups to move out of poverty trap

nonfarm employment and rural welfare evidence from the himalayas the potential importance of nonfarm employment for the welfare of rural households has long been recognized but whether the nonfarm sector offers prospects for improving the welfare of the rural poor remains a contentious issue we examine distributional and well being effects of nonfarm employment of rural households in the himalayas we account for heterogeneity of nonfarm employment and estimate a system of structural equations to better understand the causal linkages between nonfarm employment and household well being the results confirm that disaggregating nonfarm employment activities matters for understanding the relationship between nonfarm employment and rural welfare while low return nonfarm employment is associated with lower income inequality high return nonfarm activities have a disequalizing effect on the distribution of household incomes we also find that the ability to engage in high return nonfarm activities is associated with higher economic well being poor households on the other hand tend to rely on low return activities that do not contribute to improved well being

income portfolios in rural ethiopia and tanzania choices and constraints the article analyses the different income portfolios of households using survey data from rural ethiopia and rural tanzania it suggests that the different portfolios held by households cannot be e

persistent poverty in north east ghana abstract this paper explores local poverty and wealth inequality in the upper east region of northern ghana in the period from 1975 89 land was not scarce and the social management of household membership and household labour were critical to household security but this social management was not independent of wealth status there was a virtuous circle between wealth and household labour supply and a vicious circle between poverty and small household size poverty traps existed so that those with too little labour and too little wealth engaged in strategies which entrenched them in poverty

farm nonfarm linkages in rural sub saharan africa this paper is an accumulation over the past 25 years of a body of detailed work examining the structure of africa s rural nonfarm economy first it systematically reviews empirical evidence on the nature and magnitude of the african rural nonfarm economy it then explores differences across locality and size across countries and over time in an effort to assess likely patterns of growth a subsequent review of key production and consumption parameters allows an estimate of the magnitude of the agricultural growth multipliers in africa the paper concludes with a brief discussion of policies and programs that will be necessary if farm nonfarm growth linkages are to achieve their full potential

vulnerability seasonality and poverty in ethiopia most studies examining the dynamics of welfare have found large fluctuations in consumption over relatively short periods suggesting substantial short run movements in and out of poverty the consequence is that cross section poverty research may not be able to identify the poor in this study we explore this short run variability further we use a data set on a panel of 1450 households in different communities in rural ethiopia surveyed thrice over 18 months on average year to year poverty is very similar however we find high variability in consumption and poverty over the seasons and year by year econometric analysis suggests that consumption is affected by idiosyncratic and common shocks including rainfall and household specific crop failure while households respond to seasonal incentives related to changing labour demand and prices the results imply that a larger number of households are vulnerable to shocks than implied by the standard poverty statistics while some of the non poor in the

smuggling and supply response coffee in ethiopia abstract during the 1980s substantial smuggling of coffee has been taking place in ethiopia the recent devaluation has raised hopes that substantial quantities of coffee will flow back to the official channels in this study data on the incentives to supply to the different channels are collated a model of official supplies is formulated which nests an empirical test between the smuggling models by bhagwati and hansen 1973 and by pitt 1981 the econometric results favor the latter and show a small but significant effect of the premium in the black market and a positive total supply response relative to the main competing crop chat the results imply that the increases in export earnings from the devaluation will be quite limited

the effects of risk and shocks on non farm enterprise development in rural ethiopia summary this paper assesses the impact of risk and shocks on non farm enterprise development in rural ethiopia using a matched household enterprise community dataset augmented with precipitation based measures of risk the likelihood of running a non farm firm and the returns to running such firms co vary with agricultural productivity shocks diversification into non farm activities thus provides limited protection against fluctuations in agricultural performance this may explain why ex ante risk has no impact on the likelihood of running a non farm firm it nonetheless hampers non farm enterprise development by repressing investment and inducing sorting into less capital intensive activities

economic reform growth and the poor evidence from rural ethiopia abstract a new decomposition of poverty changes is developed to analyse the determinants of poverty changes during a period of economic reform 1989 1995 in villages in ethiopia poverty fell substantially but with diverse experiences across villages shocks mattered but the main factors driving consumption changes were relative prices changes resulting in changes in the returns to land labour human capital and location the experience of the poor is mixed one group of the poor in 1989 with relatively good land and location outperformed all other households while another group with much poorer endowments and location experienced virtually unchanged and persistent poverty

moving out of poverty in tanzania evidence from kagera abstract this paper uses linked qualitative and quantitative data to explore the growth trajectories of matched households in the kagera region of tanzania finding that agriculture and trade provided the two main routes out of poverty the interplay between initial conditions shocks networks and experiences of life beyond their village determine whether a person moves out of poverty in the following decade

investment and abandonment behavior of rural households an empirical investigation this article uses models of irreversible investment under uncertainty to examine the investment and abandonment behavior of poor rural households it considers the decision of ugandan coffee farming households to invest in or abandon coffee trees the observed levels of investment and abandonment are found to be consistent with models of investment that allow for irreversibility uncertainty fixed costs and liquidity constraints the findings highlight the importance of addressing volatility irreversibility fixed costs and liquidity constraints in order to increase households responsiveness to changes in the fundamentals and to enable households to recover from shocks to their capital stock

sri lanka can conditional cash transfer programs serve as safety nets in keeping children at school and from working when exposed to shocks this brief summarizes the results of a gender impact evaluation study can conditional cash transfer cct programs serve as safety nets in keeping children at school and from working when exposed to shocks conducted the program started in 1997 and still exists today in sri lanka the study observed that income shocks on poor households are known to induce parents to take their children out of school and send them to work when other risk coping instruments are insufficient cct programs where the condition is on school attendance have been shown to be effective in increasing educational achievements and reducing child work shocks are highly prevalent and children have irregular periods of school enrollment children who are taken out of school are less likely to re enroll