energy consumption and sustainable economic welfare in g7 countries a comparison with the conventional nexus abstract this is an empirical study on the causal relationship between sustainable economic welfare growth and energy consumption for canada france germany italy japan uk and the usa using a multivariate panel framework with variables such as employment capital energy consumption and r d the short and long run relationships are compared with those produced from the commonly known so far energy gdp gross domestic product growth relationship results mainly show that in the long run g7 economies can reduce energy consumption without compromising sustainable economic welfare in the short run though both gdp and economic welfare are very much dependent on energy consumption for their materialization of growth sustainable or not the current paper follows the tendency of new economics that shift their focus therein and propagate the use of sustainable welfare in place of the criticized gdp the calculation of the index for sustainable economic welfare isew reveals that uk closely followed by usa have the largest gap on average 52 and 50 respectively between their gdp and sustainable economic welfare japan is experiencing a steadily widening gap while canada is the most sustainable country among g7

the effect of deregulation on us fossil fuel substitution in the generation of electricity abstract fossil fuels produce the majority of electricity in the us with coal being by far the most popular fuel used in the past regulation in the natural gas market in the form of well head price controls and under the boiler fuel use restrictions distorted fuel use away from natural gas more recently with deregulation in the natural gas industry these restrictions have been repealed which has changed fuel use patterns to measure the short run fuel use response from regulatory and other market changes we estimate interfuel substitution using two flexible functional forms the translog and the logit on monthly data from 1991 to 1993 in both models we find coal demand has the least elastic price response while gas and oil demand have the highest both models also suggest there is substitution across fuels in the short run but the patterns and magnitudes vary from comparisons with earlier studies fuel use price response is also found to vary across market conditions and regulatory regime

the hidden persuaders institutions and individuals in economic theory in his classic book the hidden persuaders vance packard claimed that large corporations manipulated consumers using advertising techniques john kenneth galbraith and others have repeated a similar view against this gary becker and george stigler have claimed that advertising is essentially informative rather than manipulative in contrast it is argued here that both of these opposed accounts of human agency neglect the more subtle and undesigned processes by which institutions bear upon and mould individuals this paper proposes a concept of reconstitutive downward causation in which institutions act upon individual habits and dispositions the mechanisms involved do not fall foul of past critiques of holism or methodological collectivism this argument involves a rehabilitation of the concept of habit in social science with far reaching implications

separability functional form and regulatory policy in models of interfuel substitution abstract counter intuitive results such as positive own price elasticities have been found in some studies of interfuel substitution this paper examines three possible reasons for this problem first including energy materials in petroleum and coal aggregates is found to contribute to incorrect signs second the mathematical properties of the translog function contribute to concavity violations in contrast the linear logit model of cost shares is found to provide more sensible estimates of own price elasticities across alternative model specifications finally natural gas curtailment policies and environmental regulations are found to be significant factors influencing us industrial fuel demand although omission of these factors does not directly contribute to curvature violations

measurement of social well being alternatives to gross domestic product abstract gross domestic product gdp is widely acknowledged to be a poor measure of social well being this paper surveys several substitutes for and modifications of gdp which have been offered as measures of society s welfare the index of sustainable economic welfare a measure endorsed by many ecological economists is found to possess a variety of virtues but also several imperfections the search for a social welfare measure has not yet ended

exploring the effects of racial preferences on urban housing markets social segregation of residential areas is a fact of life in urban america and its most vivid manifestation is racial segregation extreme patterns of segregation have changed very little in the postwar period for example the index of segregation computed by the taeubers declined only slightly from 85 2 in 1940 to 80 0 in 1970 moreover there continues to be convincing evidence of widespread discrimination against blacks in urban housing markets strongly affecting the availability of housing to them 2 economists have devoted a good deal of thought to the consequences of racial prejudice and discrimination and at least three types of market inefficiencies have been identified first some households pay higher prices per unit of housing service than they would in the absence of prejudice and these higher prices are not necessarily offset in the aggregate by lower prices elsewhere second because of the location attributes associated with dwellings and the limited range over which units can be economically modified prejudice causes some mismatch between desired attributes and those purchased the high incidence of dwelling deficiencies in units occupied by blacks compared to whites in the same economic circumstances is one indication of this phenomenon 3 third premature depreciation and abandonment of some housing results from neighborhood succession patterns

valuation and management of wetland ecosystems we recently completed a study of wetland values in coastal louisiana that employed both willingness to pay and energy analysis based methodologies and were able to bracket a range of values within which we feel fairly confident the true value lies however a large amount of uncertainty remains our current estimates of the total prsent value of an average acre of natural wetlands in louisiana are us 2429 6400 per acre assuming an 8 discount rate to 8977 17000 per acre assuming a 3 discount rate at the lowest value the current annual rate of loss of louisiana wetlands 50 sq miles per year is worth about 77 million at the largest value it is worth about 544 million in this paper we a discuss the fundamental theoretical and practical problems underlying natural resources valuation b summarize our methods and findings for louisiana wetlands and c elaborate on some of the more recalcitrant problems attending applied natural resource valuation including discounting and dealing with uncertainty and imprecision the discount rate makes more difference in the final result than any other one factor and yet there is much disagreement about the appropriate approach to discounting natural resources we discuss the discounting problem as applied to natural resources and argue for lower discount rates for valuing renewable natural resources than apply for other aspects of the economy it now seems clear that no reasonable amount of effort will produce very precise estimates of wetland values and we suspect this is also the case for several other classes of natural resources we elaborate a wetlands asurance bonding system to address these problems

measuring sustainable welfare a new approach to the isew abstract sustainability and welfare assessment is a contemporary theme of major scientific and policy relevance requiring the consideration of multiple dimensions and diverse perspectives the economic approach to sustainability and welfare assessment has frequently relied on alternatives or adjustments to gdp widely used as an indicator of macroeconomic performance several authors have proposed alternative indicators such as the isew which intend to measure sustainability and economic welfare in a way that avoids the limitations of gdp namely accounting for the value of externalities the distribution of income and natural resources depletion since daly and cobb 1989 there have been proposed improvements to the isew however its aptitude to represent a sound alternative to gdp is still the subject of scientific debate this paper presents a new approach to the isew named modified isew including new components and methodological changes for the estimation of the index these have the purpose of avoiding some of the index shortcomings and allow for a direct comparison with the gdp which are advantages over previous studies an application is developed for the us case taking advantage of wide data availability and the possibility of comparing the results with previous works the results obtained provide a clearer picture of the success or failure of environmental and social policies namely by avoiding the tampering effect resulting from the cumulative accounting of environmental externalities this work also emphasizes the inadequacy of gdp as a welfare indicator as well as the need to develop and adopt alternative indicators

a critique of the perceived solid conceptual foundations of isew gpi irving fisher s cognisance of human health capital in net psychic income abstract this paper puts forward a political economy critique of the perceived solid conceptual foundations of sustainable well being indicators swbis such as isew and gpi a particular version of entropic net psychic income has been implanted as the main conceptual basis for these aggregated measures of sustainable economic welfare however a well known limitation of swbis is that they do not prudently factor in measures of investment and depreciation of human health capital yet this is a critical aspect of sustainable well being it is argued that under fisher s psychic income framework the heart of the indicator is a theory that specifies accounting for some sort of change in the human psyche i e the stock or fund of human health capital advocates of swbis cannot adequately account for the degree of human health or knowledge because this is not their reference point personal consumption expenditures is their reference point political economy seeks to avoid abstracting from the whole reality recognising that endogenous processes of human health capital formation are overdetermined this paper thus argues that there is a significant conceptual shortcoming in isew and gpi which if left unattended will undermine the measure of theoretical legitimacy and empirical efficacy

barriers and opportunities for alternative measures of economic welfare this paper explores a number of barriers and opportunities facing alternative measures of economic welfare by conducting semi structured in depth interviews with potential users in both belgium and germany the barriers that they identified are grouped into three categories context factors are embedded in the policy context and agendas that shape the environment in which an indicator percolates indicator factors depend on specific characteristics of the indicators while user factors relate to the level of experience and expertise of the users of indicators and the institutional culture in which they operate drawing on the different barriers that are reported we identify four opportunities to increase the policy value of alternative measures of economic welfare harmonizing and updating the methodological framework extending macroeconomic models to include a wider range of welfare related items improving the communication around these indicators and promoting indicator and researcher entrepreneurship these opportunities should be regarded as recommendations to the scientific community that works on these alternative measures the process of overcoming the different barriers listed in this paper should not be insurmountable as there is clear international public support for using health social and environmental statistics as well as economic statistics to measure societal progress and human well being

accounting for the value of ecosystem services abstract a value of ecosystem services ves may be calculated by multiplying a set of ecosystem services by a set of corresponding shadow prices this paper examines the role of the ves concept in measuring trends in human well being under conventional arguments from applied welfare economics standard measures of market consumption may be extended to include the value of direct environmental services which affect welfare in ways that are not mediated by the consumption of purchased goods the ves concept does not capture values such as ecological sustainability and distributional fairness that are not reducible to individual welfare and its operationalization is constrained by the well known limitations of nonmarket valuation methods nonetheless attempts to calculate the value of environmental services can provide insights into the tradeoffs between market activity and environmental quality that are implicit in the process of economic growth such efforts can promote informed debate concerning the achievement of sustainable development

a regional linear logit fuel demand model for electric utilities we investigate a short term forecasting and simulation model of utility fuel demand based on the linear logit model the forecasting properties of the model are surprisingly good for such a simple econometric model of factor demand the model ignores the distinctive characteristics of electric utilities load curves wheeling etc yet produces remarkably good forecasts at both the national and regional levels because the model is based on neoclassical theory it can be used for simulations making it more useful and less ad hoc than a pure forecasting model

a framework for the practical application of the concepts of critical natural capital and strong sustainability this paper develops a methodology for identifying that natural capital called critical natural capital cnc the maintenance of which is essential for environmental sustainability by consideration of the characteristics of natural capital of the environmental functions that these characteristics enable natural capital to perform and of the importance of these functions to humans and the biosphere it shows how sustainability standards in respect of these environmental functions may be derived the difference between the current situation and these standards is termed the sustainability gap the methodology that emerges from bringing these ideas together into a single analytical framework enables policy makers to identify the extent of current unsustainability the principal causes of it the elements and processes of natural capital the cnc which need to be maintained or restored to close the sustainability gap and the costs of so doing the framework should therefore be of use in identifying priorities and policies for moving towards environmental sustainability

the index of sustainable economic welfare isew as an alternative to gdp in measuring economic welfare the results of the austrian revised isew calculation 1955 1992 abstract although the inadequacy of gdp to measure economic welfare is widely accepted theoretically it is still used as the key indicator for economic policy this article s aim therefore is to give some empirical evidence to the theoretical critique economic welfare or at least its change over time is estimated by the index of sustainable economic welfare isew which takes account of gdp unpaid household labor social costs environmental damage and income distribution the concept of the isew which was originally developed by herman daly and john cobb is entirely reformulated with special regard to questions of inner consistency and clarity in structure as an illustration the methods of the calculation in the austria case study and its results are presented the main result is that gdp and economic welfare as measured by the isew differ significantly up until the 1970s gdp only slightly overestimated the growth of economic welfare but since then it has been completely misleading while gdp continues to rise sustainable economic welfare has been stagnating since the middle of the 1980s the main causes have been growing future welfare reductions increasing income inequality and a stagnation in the value of unpaid household labor as gdp neglects those aspects it systematically misinterprets economic welfare however the isew does not intend to simply replace gdp as a unique welfare measure but should form part of a more holistic social reporting system

diminishing and negative welfare returns of economic growth an index of sustainable economic welfare isew for thailand thailand has achieved remarkable levels of economic growth over the last three decades this sustained economic growth has played a major role in reducing absolute poverty levels from nearly one third of the population in 1975 to presently less than 10 thus increasing the welfare of many thais this performance ranks thailand as one of the world s most successful economies during this period however an increasing number of studies have begun to find that at a certain point achieving economic growth stops improving welfare and actually begins to diminish it due to the hidden and traditionally unreported costs of associated with this growth with one exception these new studies have focussed on high income countries this study will estimate an index of sustainable economic welfare isew for a developing country thailand over a 25 year period 1975 1999 this paper concludes that even low middle income countries are beginning to approach the point in which economic growth produces both diminishing and at times negative welfare returns as the costs of achieving economic growth begin to outweigh the benefits these results are important for policy makers and highlight the importance of implementing alternative welfare enhancing interventions that must be considered in place of simply achieving economic growth the emphasis of this paper is not on the methodology of estimating the isew for thailand but rather on the policy implications for developing countries of diminishing and negative welfare returns brought about through the achievement of economic growth

the sustainable welfare index towards a threshold effect for italy abstract gdp as a key parameter for macro economic policy has long been criticized one of the better known monetary alternatives to gdp is the isew a synthetic proxy of sustainable welfare theoretical and methodological limitations of this indicator have been identified and several refinements or extensions proposed gpi for example building on these approaches this article presents a new composite flow oriented indicator directly comparable with gdp the proposed sustainable welfare index swi is calculated for the italian case over the 1960 2014 period the estimate of swi over an extended period of fifty four years provides evidence for a previously undetected threshold effect in italy by means of a flow oriented indicator unlike gdp swi per capita stops increasing in 1991 empirical results show that the level of sustainable welfare in italy stops growing mainly because of a rise in income inequality a decline in non paid domestic work and a worsening of the net fixed capital formation and net international investment position

on the life cycle metaphor where ecology and economics diverge abstract there is an attractive analogy between nature and industry based on the similarity of natural functions and certain industrial activities for instance animals ingest eat and digest food finally there are metabolic wastes firms are analogous to organisms in several respects insofar as they consume material resources process digest them and produce output products and excrete wastes firms like organisms also compete with each other for resources curiously enough one of the apparent differences between natural and man made systems is actually not one like the industrial system the natural system does not recycle everything however there are at least four real and important differences between the biosphere ecology and the technosphere economy first there is no primary producer in the economic system analogous to what photosynthesizers play in the biosphere inputs to the economy are mostly natural resources capital services and labor second in the economic system output is a heterogeneous mix of manufactured products and services labor in economics is an input but not an output the economic system recycles much less than the ecological system but utilizes a far greater suite of elements in the biosphere there are no products as such growth is tantamount to accumulation of embodied solar exergy in the form of cellulose sugars lipids and proteins the biosphere produces only wastes and more of itself plus dead matter third in the biosphere there are no markets there is no medium of exchange like money and there is nothing analogous to paid labor exchanges are involuntary i e by predation parasitism or theft fourth evolution in nature is driven by differentiation by random mutations of the genome and darwinian selection based on reproductive success in economics differentiation is based on discovery invention and innovation by intelligent economic agents and selection is based on competition at the individual or firm level either way the economic system is not closely analogous to an ecosystem attempts to use ecological concepts in an economic context are often misleading and unjustified the paper discusses the implications of the eco eco mismatch for resource accounting and life cycle analysis

unconventional energy taxation and interstate welfare an analysis of pennsylvania s severance tax policy abstract natural gas production from unconventional sources has increased over the past decade a significant portion of this increase has come from output in the marcellus region of pennsylvania this output has altered gas markets and repositioned pennsylvania as a major gas exporter it has also put pennsylvania at odds with other states as it is one of a few without a formal severance tax on extractive resources in this paper we combine results from a structural demand model with a two sector trade model to analyze the interstate welfare impacts of pennsylvania s current severance tax proposal our results demonstrate that most of the welfare losses from this proposed policy are likely to be shifted to residents in other states we also demonstrate how fluctuations in gas prices can substantially reduce tax revenue these findings have important implications for both pennsylvania and u s energy policy given the significant rise in energy production from new sources throughout the u s

the genuine progress indicator methodological developments and results from australia abstract this paper is a contribution to the continuing development of the methods and results for the index of sustainable economic welfare also known as the genuine progress indicator gpi it attempts a more systematic approach to some of the components of the gpi it includes a more careful specification of types of capital and more plausible methods of estimating the costs of depletion of non renewable resources and environmental damage due to ozone depletion in addition the paper attempts a more comprehensive treatment of the value of time including the costs of unemployment and overwork results of the gpi calculations for australia over the period 1950 1996 are presented and analysed

a dynamic analysis of interfuel substitution for swedish heating plants abstract this paper estimates a dynamic model of interfuel substitution for swedish heating plants we use the cost share linear logit model developed by considine and mount considine t j mount t d 1984 the use of linear logit models for dynamic input demand systems review of economics and statistics 66 434 443 all estimated own price elasticities are negative and all cross price elasticities are positive the estimated dynamic adjustment rate parameter is small however increasing with the size of the plant and time indicating fast adjustments in the fuel mix when changing relative fuel prices the estimated model is used to illustrate the effects of two different policy changes

a theoretical foundation to support the index of sustainable economic welfare isew genuine progress indicator gpi and other related indexes abstract for some time now ecological economists have been putting forward a threshold hypothesis the notion that when macroeconomic systems expand beyond a certain size the additional cost of growth exceeds the flow of additional benefits in order to support their belief ecological economists have developed a number of similar indexes to measure and compare the benefits and costs of growth e g the index of sustainable economic welfare isew and the genuine progress indicator gpi in virtually every instance where an index of this type has been calculated for a particular country the movement of the index appears to reinforce the existence of the threshold hypothesis of late a number of observers have cast doubt over the validity of these alternative indexes one of the concerns commonly expressed is the supposed lack of a theoretical foundation to support the isew the gpi and other related indexes by adopting a concept of income and capital outlined by fisher nature of capital and income a m kelly new york 1906 this paper demonstrates that these alternative indexes are theoretically sound but in order to be broadly accepted require the continuous development of more robust valuation methods

assessment of initial emission allowance allocation methods in the korean electricity market abstract korea will introduce an emission trading policy from 2015 the rules for the initial allocation of emission allowances have not been decided yet this paper assesses the effect of various initial emission allowance allocation methods of the korean electricity market this study employs the mixed complementarity problem which is able to incorporate operation investment and emission trade decisions in the deregulated electricity market in order to provide more realistic results in particular the allocation rules to existing plants and new entrants are modeled separately in this study the model quantifies the impacts of different allocation rules on emissions capacity mix emission allowance prices electricity prices and social welfare we examine typical allocation rules such as auction to all power plants best available technology bat benchmark to all power plants fuel specific benchmark to existing power plants along with bat benchmark to new entrants and fuel specific benchmark to all power plants we find that giving free allocations to new power plants prompts more new investment and this raises overall social welfare even though the direct cost of achieving the emission reduction target rises while the auction is the most powerful policy to reduce emissions in the electricity sector giving away permits to all power plants based on a fuel specific benchmark encourages investment increases output and leads to a greater level of welfare from an imperfectly competitive industry

fossil fuel producing economies have greater potential for industrial interfuel substitution abstract this study analyzes industrial interfuel substitution in an international context using a large unbalanced panel dataset of 63 countries we find that compared to other countries fossil fuel producing economies have higher short term interfuel substitution elasticities this difference increases further in the long run as fossil fuel producing countries have a considerably longer adjustment of their fuel using capital stock these results imply lower economic cost for policies aimed at climate abatement and more efficient utilization of energy resources in energy intensive economies

racial prejudice and residential segregation the yinger model revisited abstract yinger s model of racial prejudice in the housing market is the first rigorous alternative to bailey s early work it is important both because his specification of racial prejudice is intuitively plausible and because it has been adopted in much empirical work but never before been subjected to rigorous theoretical examination however his derivation of equilibrium conditions rests in part on inappropriate analyses that significantly affect his conclusions this paper derives what i regard as the appropriate equilibrium conditions yinger s original finding that the white community has strong incentives to foster seller discrimination against blacks remains strongly supported

the role of energy conservation and natural gas prices in the costs of achieving california s renewable energy goals abstract this paper develops an econometric forecasting system of energy demand coupled with engineering economic models of energy supply the framework is used to quantify the energy and environmental impacts of renewable and natural gas based electricity power generation in california considering the role of on going energy conservation efforts and incorporating different natural gas price scenarios over the forecast horizon 2011 2035 the results indicate that relative to a business as usual scenario of continuing to rely on imported electricity to meet future demand california s renewable portfolio standard rps of 33 renewables by 2020 will increase electricity rates by over 10 however the rps will also provide substantial annual savings in carbon dioxide emissions equal to 40 million metric tons in 2020 continuing non price induced energy conservation at the historical rate will only result in a marginal reduction in electricity rates although lower electricity use means that substantial savings are nonetheless achieved in electricity expenditures in addition continuing trend energy conservation leads to substantial savings in carbon dioxide emissions like the rps developing domestic natural gas generation also leads to rate increases and reductions in carbon dioxide emissions relative to the baseline however these impacts are minor compared to the rps scenario

multicrop production models with multinomial logit acreage shares the main objective of this paper is to show that the multinomial logit mnl framework can be used for deriving simple acreage share models more specifically we show that mnl acreage choice models can be defined as parts of consistent multicrop models when coupled with suitably designed crop production models e g a specific parameterization of the standard quadratic yield function the parameters of these multicrop models are easily interpreted and estimated although mnl acreage choice models are usually derived by aggregating crop choices defined at the plot level we show that these models can also be derived by considering a profit maximisation problem at the farm level this provides a simple theoretical background for the standard mnl acreage share model as well as for simple extensions of these models the nested mnl acreage share models an empirical application on french farm level data over the period 1996 2007 investigates the empirical performances of the multicrop econometric models based on the proposed mnl framework for modelling acreage choices

has australia surpassed its optimal macroeconomic scale finding out with the aid of benefit and cost accounts and a sustainable net benefit index abstract the sustainable economic welfare of a nation depends largely on the sustainable net benefits the macroeconomy confers to its citizens for this reason an optimal macroeconomic scale can be considered one where the physical scale of the macroeconomy and the qualitative nature of the stock of wealth it comprises maximises a nation s sustainable net benefits the corollary of this definition is thus the physical scale of the macroeconomy should grow only if in the process the sustainable net benefits of a nation increase it should cease to grow once sustainable net benefits are maximised whilst it is one thing to promote an optimal macroeconomic scale it is another entirely to gain an appreciation of the sustainable net benefits yielded by the macroeconomy gaining such an appreciation constitutes the central aim of this paper with the assistance of two separate benefit and cost accounts to replace gross domestic product gdp a sustainable net benefit index is constructed for australia for the period 1966 1967 to 1994 1995 the index particularly at the per capita level indicates that economic welfare in australia is declining i e the average australian is getting poorer despite per capita real gdp increasing the index therefore suggests that the scale of the australian macroeconomy has probably well exceeded the optimum

toward a new welfare economics for sustainability the debate over various definitions of sustainability has for the most part been conducted within the framework of traditional welfare economics discussion has centered on technical issues imbedded within the functional forms of various optimization models especially the coefficient of the elasticity of substitution and the social discount rate two more basic problems are 1 intractable theoretical difficulties within welfare economics call into question the results of traditional models of sustainability regarding intergenerational welfare and 2 equating per capita consumption with welfare contradicts empirical evidence suggesting that the link between happiness and wealth income is relatively weak alternative approaches to measuring well being are being developed and these have great potential to move the sustainability debate forward

applying theil s multinomial extension of the linear logit model to meat expenditure data one of the chief drawbacks of the multinomial extension of the linear logit model is that after the standard linearization the parameters which are directly estimated have no obvious economic meaning this paper presents alternative transformations which facilitate interpretation in one linearization the estimated coefficients will be elasticities at a selected data point such as the mean in another form the coefficients will be slutsky parameters the latter version is chosen for an empirical analysis of the demand for meat in great britain a number of issues concerning the model s error structure and dynamic specification are discussed

the use of linear logit models for dynamic input demand systems this paper demonstrates that a linear logit model with appropriate constraints can be used to specify a system of cost share equations that satisfy neoclassical economic conditions unlike many other flexible functional forms the logistic function is particularly well suited for incorporating dynamic adjustment mechanisms the empirical results suggest that the use of static models overstates short run own price elasticities and understates the corresponding long run price effects

using the fisherian concept of income to guide a nation s transition to a steady state economy abstract many ecological economists have long been advocating that industrialised nations should abandon their growth predilection and initiate the transition to a steady state economy to demonstrate how a nation s transition to a steady state economy might be usefully guided fisherian national income one of the best known indicators of sustainable economic welfare is calculated for australia for the period 1967 1997 also calculated for the study period is the changing physical scale of the australian economy by juxtaposing per capita fisherian income and the growth of the australian economy it is shown that australia surpassed its optimal macroeconomic scale in the mid 1970s while around this time australia began a transition to a lower rate of growth that arrested the steep decline in per capita fisherian income australia had reverted back to a high growth policy by the end of the study period it chose not to continue the deceleration towards a steady state economy a policy stance that is likely to be detrimental to the sustainable economic welfare enjoyed by the average australian

singularity and autoregressive disturbances in linear logit models the implications of including autoregressive disturbances in linear logit models of demand systems are explored it is argued that the normality assumption of the error terms is more appropriate in the linear logit model than in a share equation model with additive disturbances commonly found in the literature autoregressive disturbances and their implications for model estimation are discussed in that context both theoretical arguments and empirical evidence are presented in favor of the logit specification given the presence of serial correlation

economic and ecological concepts for valuing ecosystem services abstract the purpose of this special issue is to elucidate concepts of value and methods of valuation that will assist in guiding human decisions vis a vis ecosystems the concept of ecosystem service value can be a useful guide when distinguishing and measuring where trade offs between society and the rest of nature are possible and where they can be made to enhance human welfare in a sustainable manner while win win opportunities for human activities within the environment may exist they also appear to be increasingly scarce in a full global ecological economic system this makes valuation all the more essential for guiding future human activity this paper provides some history background and context for many of the issues addressed by the remaining papers in this special issue its purpose is to place both economic and ecological meanings of value and their respective valuation methods in a comparative context highlighting strengths weakness and addressing questions that arise from their integration

urban housing with discrete structures abstract competitive equilibrium in an urban housing model with structures that cannot be readily aggregated or subdivided is analyzed in this paper the price and quantity of services forthcoming from each dwelling occupied by a household is determined by the equality of competitive supply and demand a stack algorithm is then developed to ensure households are assigned to dwellings so that they would not prefer to live in any other dwelling with an equilibrium price less than the one they would pay if they lived there using the urban institute housing model as an example the results of this algorithm are compared with those of the algorithm developed by de leeuw and struyk d s the stack algorithm yields greater price discounting of existing dwellings below the price of a new dwelling than does the d s algorithm and thus a greater potential for housing prices to be increased by a demand subsidy such as a housing allowance

measuring the consumer welfare effects of carbon penalties theory and applications to household energy demand abstract this study implements a money metric approximation to the hicksian equivalent variation hev based on observable demand functions this approach is a less restrictive approximation to the hev than the marshallian consumer surplus mcs in situations where mcs is misleading this study also implements a generalized logit demand system that conforms better to the theory of consumer behaviour than standard flexible functional forms eg translog the almost ideal demand system aids generalized leontief and minflex laurent models the generalized logit model was estimated using new york state level and company level data on residential consumption of electricity natural gas and fuel oil the demand model and money metric were combined to measure the consumer welfare effects of carbon penalties on electricity and fuels while the application is specific the generalized logit model of demand and the money metric measure of welfare change can encompass a wider range of applications than conventional methods of analysis

comprehensive versus inclusive wealth accounting and the assessment of sustainable development an empirical comparison abstract this paper compares alternative wealth estimates reported by the world bank and in the inclusive wealth reports although theoretical limitations and shortcomings are widely acknowledged in the literature the extent to which the alternative approaches to wealth accounting matter empirically is not well known comparing the alternative data in levels shares growth rates and monetary sustainability indices derived from them major differences emerge between oecd and non oecd countries for the former the alternative wealth estimates seem complementary but only if a key assumption made in the derivation of inclusive wealth is violated for the latter the data seem much less useful for example depending on which data source is used for the group of low income countries the share of natural capital in total wealth is either 36 8 or 60 4 suggesting that extreme care must be taken if the composition of wealth were to be used to inform policy making neither wealth data set provides a definite guide to economic sustainability but a combination of indices derived from both might be useful in a holistic assessment of sustainability

fuel switching and climate and energy policies in the european power generation sector a generalized leontief model abstract the purpose of this paper is to analyze a the role and the nature of price induced switching behavior between fossil fuels i e coal oil and natural gas in the western european power sector as well as b the fuel choice impacts of a number of public policies implemented in this sector during the last 20 years the analysis is conducted within a generalized leontief cost function framework and employs pooled data across eight countries over the time period 1978 2004 we present short run own and cross price elasticities of fossil fuel demand and assess the impacts of a set of government policies implemented over this time period the empirical results show evidence of notable short run interfuel substitution between oil and gas and particularly in countries where fossil fuels are used extensively for both base and peak load purposes these findings support the notion that ex post fossil fuel substitution takes place in dual and multi fired plants by switching load between different single fuel fired plants as well as through the conversion of power plants to be able to burn alternate fuels the results also illustrate that different public policies i e removal of coal subsidies electricity market liberalization etc have had profound impacts on fossil fuel choices and have in particular favored power generation gas use at the expense of coal finally the paper makes use of the empirical results to simulate the fuel switching impacts of different carbon prices within the european emissions trading scheme eu ets

a pooled dynamic analysis of interfuel substitution in industrial energy demand by the g 7 countries a dynamic version of considine s 1990 linear logit model is used to obtain theoretically consistent estimates of long run price elasticities from pooled intercountry data on industrial energy consumption this model also provides a rare direct estimate of the important rate of dynamic adjustment revealing a median lag of ten years the long run demands for oil and coal are the most elastic and the strongest channels for interfuel substitution are between oil and natural gas with no significant evidence of complementarity between fuels

the cost of solar centric renewable portfolio standards and reducing coal power generation using arizona as a case study abstract this paper develops an econometric forecasting system of energy demand coupled with engineering economic models of energy supply the framework is used to quantify the impact of a state level renewable portfolio standard rps achieved predominately with solar generation we perform the analysis using arizona s rps as a case study over the period 2012 2035 we find if arizona implements its rps when supplying future electricity demand there will be an increase in electricity rates relative to a business as usual scenario of reliance on gas fired generation extending the current regime of tax credits greatly reduces this increase at the taxpayers expense we find that by 2025 arizona s rps will implicitly abate carbon dioxide emissions at a cost between 58 and 82 per metric ton and by 2035 abatement costs are between 22 and 69 per metric ton depending on the future evolution of nature gas prices the rps always leads to a negative impact on social welfare under low gas prices but after 2029 the welfare impact is positive under high gas prices in contrast phasing out arizona s existing coal fired generation always has positive welfare impacts

dynamic interfeed substitution implications for incorporating ethanol byproducts into feedlot rations abstractthis study examines interfeed substitution with a focus on the relationship between distiller s dried grain with solubles ddgs and traditional feed grains the dynamic linear logit model is used for the empirical analysis of interfeed substitution the estimation results reveal that an increase in livestock and poultry outputs reduces the relative shares of corn and soybean meal to ddgs the estimated adjustment rate indicates that the demand for feed grains is responsive in the short run with about 37 of the long run response this study also finds that the demand for corn and soybean meal remains inelastic even in the long run showing the possibilities that livestock and poultry producers face high feed costs in response to an increase in the prices of corn and soybean meal the pressures on feed costs can be alleviated by the substitutable relationship between ddgs and corn but the substitution of ddgs for corn has a potential to provide livestock and poultry with different nutritional con

reviving veblenian economic psychology thorstein veblen s seminal paper why is economics not an evolutionary science 1898 is well known for its critique of rational economic man however rather than just criticize this model veblen developed an alternative evolutionary informed approach to understanding human nature based partly on the ideas of charles sanders peirce william james and later william mcdougall the aim of this paper is to show how recent results from a number of cognitive disciplines are beginning to reaffirm many of veblen s core psychological assumptions the paper argues that an active multimodular and hierarchical approach to the mind can help provide a more integrative framework in which to examine economic behavior copyright 1998 by oxford university press

estimating telephone usage elasticities a shares equation system approach a model of the demand for long distance telephone usage is presented where own price and cross price elasticities for time of day tod usage are estimated using customer specific information in particular a customer choice model is estimated to predict individual customer budget shares for tod usage conditioned on prices expenditures bills and socio economic characteristics a logistic functional form in the budget shares is assumed for estimation which leads to the multinomial logit model specification in a probabilistic context from this specification elasticities can be derived that are theoretically consistent with a demand system the model is estimated using data from southwestern bell telephone company the model s parameter estimates can be used to derive customer specific price elasticities which can predict customers telephone usage shifts between rate periods due to tariff changes understanding how customers usage shifts when prices change in valuable information for market and netw

a conceptual exploration and critical inquiry into the theoretical foundation s of economic welfare measures abstract economic welfare measures ewm such as the isew and the gpi are often argued to lack a sound theoretical foundation however we observe that the initial ewm were jointly inspired by hicksian and fisherian income welfare s experiential nature is fisherian inspired whereas seeing the consumption of community capital e g the ecosystem as a cost is hicksian inspired as most scholars do not recognize this double theoretical foundation two distinct welfare interpretations with different time and boundary dimensions are often conflated ewm can be seen as either capturing the benefits and costs experienced or as reflecting the benefits and costs of present economic activities bcpa the former interpretation excludes future costs costs shifted abroad and capital changes as they are not experienced in the present while the latter includes them recent developments reveal that ewm are converging toward the ex post established experiential fisherian foundation formulated by lawn 2003 yet this is not the only way forward as the bcpa view offers an alternative to account for for instance the costs of present activities shifted abroad or to the future whether they are experienced or not to avoid inconsistencies ewm s standardization would greatly benefit from making explicit in future studies which interpretation is taken

estimates of the genuine progress indicator gpi for oregon from 1960 2010 and recommendations for a comprehensive shareholder s report abstract the genuine progress indicator gpi is a significantly more comprehensive approach to assessing economic progress than conventional measures such as gross domestic product gdp we estimated the gpi for the state of oregon from 1960 2010 we found that it tracked the gross state product gsp for the period 1970 2000 but began to diverge and flatten out in 2000 the major reasons for this divergence were increasing inequality loss of farmland and decreasing personal consumption expenditures as a fraction of gsp oregon gpi per capita leveled off in 2000 while the us gpi capita leveled off in 1975 the gpi is not the perfect indicator of economic and social well being but it is a better approximation than gdp as more states and countries begin to recognize the inappropriateness of gdp as a policy goal we can expect to see much more emphasis on and use of alternative indicators like gpi we recommend extending these indicators to include a comprehensive shareholder s report that reflects all the state s capital assets including built human social and natural capital

limits to the growth paradigm abstract this paper is a synthesis of several current controversies it makes four broad claims 1 that economic growth as conventionally measured is not and never has been the most important contributor to increasing human welfare 2 that technological progress has always been the primary source of both growth and welfare considered separately 3 that trade was at best a minor contributor to growth in the past and is probably now contributing negatively to both national wealth and equity hence to welfare in western europe and north america and 4 that both growth of gdp and trade are increasingly incompatible with environmental protection in fact while increasing prosperity breeds environmental sensitivity many of the processes by which it is achieved are environmentally destructive the paper assembles and presents some of the key arguments and evidence

a summary of isew and gpi studies at multiple scales and new estimates for baltimore city baltimore county and the state of maryland this paper 1 summarizes a number of previous index of sustainable economic welfare isew and genuine progress indicator gpi studies at various scales 2 estimates the gpi for baltimore baltimore county and the state of maryland and 3 compares these results with previous and parallel studies gpi incorporates environmental social and economic information into a single metric to represent economic well being at all three scales gpi was found to grow at a slower rate than the conventional economic measure of gross domestic product gdp while at the us national scale gpi has been relatively flat since 1975 state level results match an independently calculated maryland gpi confirming that gpi methods are robust and reproducible in addition the state of maryland has recently made gpi one of their official state statistics reported annually state level gpi results were also compared with studies for the states of ohio and vermont to explore regional differences we recommend that the gpi research community develop consensus on a standardized measurement approach and seek common ground for advancing the use of improved indicators and accounting systems in official policy settings

economic growth quality environmental sustainability and social welfare in china provincial assessment based on genuine progress indicator gpi abstract in order to devise scientific and sustainable development strategy it is vital to assess the quality of economic growth as a useful complement to traditional economic indicators gpi s most reputed virtue is its great improvement in evaluating environmental and social costs in this paper we estimate the gpi for all 31 provinces in mainland china from 1997 to 2016 gpi estimation is highly sensitive to income inequality climate change damage and depletion of non renewables we address contestable methodological assumptions associated with the three items which have been usually ignored in empirical studies we use the atkinson index in place of the gini index as a measure of income inequality we avoid the problematic duplicated counting of climate change damage and the unjustified cost escalation factor in depletion of non renewables our results show that first gpi per capita has recently declined in some provinces unveiling a threat to social welfare and sustainability second the relative threshold effect the progress of social welfare promotion is slower than the expansion of economic scale has been found in many provinces third resource consumption and environmental pollution especially water pollution and carbon emissions would generate substantial welfare losses

the failure of the isew and gpi to fully account for changes in human health capital a methodological shortcoming not a theoretical weakness abstract andrew brennan ecological economics 2013 this issue has argued that the index of sustainable economic welfare isew and genuine progress indicator gpi are theoretically flawed because as indicators designed to capture the net psychic income generated by economic activity they fail to incorporate net changes in human health capital to a lesser extent brennan is also critical of the fact that the isew and gpi are unable to reflect both economic welfare and sustainability whilst i m happy to concede that the two indicators fail to fully account for changes in human health capital it is my contention that this failure represents at most a methodological shortcoming it does not amount to a theoretical weakness despite brennan s best efforts the isew and gpi remain soundly based on irving fisher s distinction between income and capital indeed brennan s suggested modifications to the isew and gpi do nothing but conflate income and capital which if taken on board would lead to misleading indicators of total economic welfare as for not reflecting both economic welfare and sustainability i have long argued that the isew and gpi merely reflect the former and need to be supplemented by biophysical indicators to determine whether the economic welfare being enjoyed by a nation is sustainable the fact that the isew and gpi only reflect economic welfare is not a weakness since no indicator can or should attempt to reflect both conditions the use of strong sustainability approaches to calculate the environment costs incorporated in the isew and gpi is not an exercise designed to measure sustainability it is an exercise in good economic accounting

dynamic translog and linear logit models a factor demand analysis of interfuel substitution in us industrial energy demand abstract we compare and contrast two popular dynamic flexible functional forms for cost functions the translog and the logit j bus econ stat 8 1990 347 353 using data on us industrial energy demand from 1960 to 1992 which has been analysed by previous studies energy econ 11 1989 89 94 appl econ 21 1989 931 945 j bus econ stat 13 1995 459 465 we show the crucial role played by different dynamic formulations of the translog in this analysis of factor demands with respect to rates of dynamic adjustment and substitution possibilities we conclude that the poor performance of the dynamic translog relative to the dynamic logit cannot be explained solely by dynamic model mis specification or the inclusion of price unresponsive non energy fuel use data our most robust empirical result is that coal and oil are substitutes

a review of limitations of gdp and alternative indices to monitor human wellbeing and to manage eco system functionality abstract the misuse of gross domestic product as a measure of public wellbeing results from the idea that economic growth is always synonymous with enhanced quality of life disregarding the fact that the economy profits from natural social and human capital in order to monitor progress towards sustainability and increased well being governments working closely with scientists developed new metrics that go further than income and material wealth there are several candidates for revisions of the gross domestic product based on a comprehensive literature review this paper identified several possible indicators that intend to adjust supplement or substitute for gross domestic product two main approaches were identified the first uses gross domestic product as foundation to build a complete index and includes proposals to greening gross domestic product socializing the indices and including it in a more comprehensive index the second approach relates to efforts to redefine the indicators with the use of environmentally oriented indicators and socially oriented measures challenges to measure development welfare and wellbeing are discussed to provide a wide angle view of efforts to develop measures of social economic ecological status and progress beyond the current very narrow gross domestic product it was recognized an urgent need for guidance for the development of governance regimes designed to change from short term decision making processes to those which support the multi decade planning and implementation processes that are needed to guide the transition to post fossil carbon societies this comprehensive review covers a wide range of topics from problems of gdp to challenges and thoughts about indicators the review shows that if mankind is concerned with the sustainable development of the planet as a whole then progress indicators measured only in monetary or social terms are limited and restricted to the weak or the medium sustainability model and must be complemented by biophysical indicators it is time to change the global knowledge of what progress really is changing the discussion from growth to sustainable development and human well being

the translog production function and variable returns to scale this paper examines existing methods of estimating the translog production function and provides a general framework that allows for variable returns to scale the model is based on the inverse input demand function and embeds a nonhomothetic production technology previous estimation methods are valid only for homogeneous technologies with fixed scale effects estimation results for u s manufacturing show that neither homotheticity and homogeneity nor constant returns to scale is a proper characterization of the underlying structure of production thereby vindicating the empirical relevance of the inverse demand framework that entails a nonhomothetic technology copyright 1992 by mit press

on the methodology of isew gpi and related measures some constructive suggestions and some doubt on the threshold hypothesis existing country studies of the index of sustainable economic welfare isew the genuine progress indicator gpi and related measures while sharing the same basic methodological approach differ with respect to the valuation of important items this paper provides a critical but constructive discussion of the various methods used for the valuation of non renewable resource depletion and long term environmental damage and for the weighting of consumption expenditures for income inequalities several recommendations are given on how to improve the methodology for future updates of existing studies or for the construction of new measures sensitivity analysis shows that if these recommendations are followed for the valuation of resource depletion and long term environmental damage then the so called threshold hypothesis which seems to have gained empirical support from all studies undertaken so far fails to materialise this suggests that as far as factors related to the environment are concerned the widening gap between isew and gpi on the one hand and gross national product gnp on the other might be an artefact of highly contestable methodological assumptions 2000 elsevier science b v all rights reserved

how do banks adjust to changing input prices a dynamic analysis of u s commercial banks before and after the crisis abstract the 2000 2013 period was characterized by substantial regulatory monetary and technological change especially after the onset of the global financial crisis this study assesses the total impact of these policy shifts and technological changes on u s commercial banks short run and long run substitution elasticities an endogenous break test divides the sample into a pre crisis period and a post crisis period during the former period banks inputs tend to be inelastic substitutes after the onset of the crisis particularly the long run substitutability of most input factors decreases to even lower levels due to changes in both cost technology and economic conditions at the same time banks response to input price changes becomes more sluggish hence especially after the onset of the crisis banks have little flexibility regarding input factor usage and are thus sensitive to input price changes from a cost perspective

estimates of the genuine progress indicator gpi for vermont chittenden county and burlington from 1950 to 2000 the genuine progress indicator gpi a version of the index of sustainable economic welfare isew is a significantly more comprehensive approach to assessing economic progress than conventional measures like gross domestic product gdp gpi adjusts for income distribution effects the value of household and volunteer work costs of mobility and pollution and the depletion of social and natural capital isew or gpi have been estimated for several countries around the world and a few canadian provinces but we report here on the first multi scale application at the city county and state levels in vermont usa we show that it is feasible to apply the gpi approach at these smaller scales and to compare across scales and with the national average data limitations and problems still exist but potential solutions to these problems also exist all three vermont scales had significantly higher gpi per capita since 1980 than the national average indicating the major differences that can exist within countries the gpi per capita for all vermont scales was similar to the national average in the 1950 1980 period but more than twice the national average by 2000 the main factors explaining this difference had to do with vermont s much better environmental performance than the national average in the post 1980 period d 2004 elsevier b v all rights reserved

proposed changes to the index of sustainable economic welfare an application to belgium abstract this paper presents the results of a belgian case study on the index of sustainable economic welfare isew the index is first compiled using the standard methodology applied in other international studies owing to the short period in which belgium s traditional isew has recently declined it is not possible to draw any solid conclusion regarding max neef s threshold hypothesis after a brief review of the criticism that the isew has attracted over the years the paper then explains and discusses the rationale for omitting the net capital growth and change in net international investment position items it is argued that these items do not comply with the theoretical foundation underpinning the isew the paper also puts forward new valuation methods for several items within the index the escalation factor in the valuation of natural capital depletion is dropped long term environmental damage is valued using a stock based approach and considerably more government expenditures are considered to be non defensive the results of the revised isew show significant improvements in sustainable economic welfare over the entire study period these findings are not in line with the threshold hypothesis finally the paper offers some guidelines for communicating about the isew namely that a all methodological assumptions should be made explicit and b all raw unadjusted data used should be included in any final isew report so as to enable the reader to make his or her own assessment about the assumptions the researcher has employed