the pricing of currency risk in japan abstract previous work on the pricing of exchange rate risk has primarily focused on us firms and surprisingly found stock returns were not significantly affected by exchange rate fluctuations in this paper we conduct an in depth investigation that examines whether exchange rate risk is priced in the equity market of japan using an intertemporal asset pricing testing procedure that allows risk premia to change through time in response to changes in macroeconomic conditions our multiperiod asset pricing tests show that the foreign exchange rate risk premium is a significant component of japanese stock returns specifically the results suggest that currency risk exposure commands a significant risk premium for multinationals and high exporting japanese firms the currency risk factor is found to be less influential in explaining the behavior of average returns for low exporting and domestic firms however it is shown to exhibit large return volatility that is likely to be perceived by investors who wish to control portfolio risk as an important underlying source of risk furthermore japanese stock returns are found to be related to the relative distress and size factors above and beyond the covariation explained by the currency risk factor

do greens drive hummers or hybrids environmental ideology as a determinant of consumer choice this paper uses several california data sets to test for differences in consumption patterns between greens and browns a person s environmentalism is rarely observed in consumer data sets in california a community s share of green party registered voters is a viable proxy for community environmentalism environmentalists are more likely to commute by public transit purchase hybrid vehicles and consume less gasoline than non environmentalists

are policy incentives for solar power effective evidence from residential installations in the northeast abstract state incentives for solar power have grown significantly in the past several years this paper examines the effectiveness of policy incentives to increase residential solar photovoltaic pv capacity we use county level panel data and control for demographic characteristics solar resources and pro environmental preferences results show that among financial incentives rebates have the most impact with an additional 1 per watt rebate increasing annual pv capacity additions by close to 50 factors that affect financial returns to solar pv such as electricity price and solar insolation are also found to be significant results also point to a significant positive relationship between hybrid vehicle sales and residential pv capacity growth indicating the importance of pro environmental preferences as a predictor of solar pv demand back of the envelope calculations suggest that the cost of carbon mitigation through rebates is around 184 per ton of co2

getting ahead of the joneses when equality increases conspicuous consumption among bottom tier consumers it is widely believed that increasing the equality of material possessions or income in a social group should lead people at the bottom of the distribution to consume less and save more however this prediction and its causal mechanism have never been studied experimentally five studies show that greater equality increases the satisfaction of those in the lowest tier of the distribution because it reduces the possession gap between what they have and what others have however greater equality also increases the position gains derived from status enhancing consumption since it allows low tier consumers to get ahead of the higher proportion of consumers clustered in the middle tiers as a result greater equality reduces consumption when consumers focus on the narrower possession gap but it increases consumption when they focus on the greater position gains i e when consumption is conspicuous social competition goals are primed and the environment is competitive

soak up the sun impact of solar energy systems on residential home values in arizona abstract recent increase of installations of solar energy systems on residential properties begs the question of whether such investments are being recognized by the market studies that estimate the impact of solar technologies on home values have been scarce using transaction and valuation data for a sample of residential properties in arizona and matching methodology results show that solar photovoltaics installation indeed has positive impacts on both house value and transaction prices this is the first empirical study conducted in arizona a state of crucial importance for solar energy development with its abundant solar resources in particular properties with electricity generating solar panels enjoy an average premium of approximately 45 000 15 of medium home value and transaction price premium of 28 000 17 of medium home sales price we do not find a statistically significant premium on homes with solar water heaters alone

explaining fashion cycles imitators chasing innovators in product space abstract this paper considers the problem of a fashion trend setter confronting an imitator who can produce the same product at lower cost a one dimensional product space is considered which is an abstraction of the key attribute of some consumer good three broad strategies can be optimal for the fashion leader 1 never innovate which milk profits from the initially advantageous position but ultimately concede the market without a fight 2 innovate once but only once which just temporarily defers conceding the market 3 cycle infinitely around product space never letting the imitator catch up and capture the market sometimes the cycles start immediately sometimes the innovator should wait for a time before beginning the cycles the optimal solution exhibits strong state dependency with so called skiba curves separating regions in state space where various of these strategies are optimal there are even instances of intersecting skiba curves in most cases analytical expressions can be stated that characterize these skiba curves

on production efficiency in federal systems abstract this paper emphasises the role of the allocation of rents between the levels of government within a federal economy in the achievement of production efficiency it is shown that in a federal economy in the absence of vertical transfers production efficiency dictates rents should be allocated to the upper federal level of government

firm valuation earnings expectations and the exchange rate exposure effect consistent with previous research we fail to find a significant correlation between the abnormal returns of our sample firms with international activities and changes in the dollar we investigate the possibility that this failure is due to mispricing lagged changes in the dollar are a significant variable in explaining current abnormal returns of our sample firms suggesting that mispricing does occur a simple trading strategy based upon these results generates significant abnormal returns corroborating evidence from returns around earnings announcements as well as errors in analysts forecasts of earnings is also provided it is a widely held view that exchange rate movement should affect the value of a firm standard economic analysis implies that the profitability and value of most u s firms with foreign sales or operations abroad should increase decrease with an unexpected depreciation appreciation of the dollar as expected foreign currency cash flows translate into larger smaller u s

street crime and street culture a model shows how reputation concerns can support widespread street crime a street culture where the direct incentives for such behavior are weak there are social benefits to street reputations but those benefits are dominated when reputation concerns draw into crime those who obtain no direct gain from it the model matches facts about violent crime that a standard model cannot easily explain including low monetary returns disproportionate victimization of the young and poor and high variance in rates across small distances the model generates novel implications for policy and social science including a negative effect of social capital

predicting consumer demand responses to carbon labels abstract providing carbon footprint labels for all food products is a daunting and potentially infeasible project knowing how consumers substitute away from high carbon goods and what they choose as substitutes is essential for understanding which goods are likely to result in meaningful reductions in carbon emissions this paper proposes a model to systematically estimate how consumers will respond to information from a carbon footprint label our model uses consumers value of their individual carbon footprint with own and cross price elasticities of demand data on carbon emissions from life cycle analysis to simulate shifts in consumer demand for 42 food products and a non food composite and subsequent changes in carbon emissions from different labeling schemes our simulation results have several findings including 1 carbon labels can reduce emissions but labeling only some items could lead to perverse impacts where consumers substitute away from labeled goods to unlabeled goods with a higher carbon footprint 2 carbon labels can inform consumers such that their previous beliefs about carbon footprints matter and 3 carbon labels on alcohol and meat would achieve the largest decreases in carbon emissions among the 42 food products studied

adverse selection without single crossing monotone solutions abstract the single crossing assumption simplifies the analysis of screening models as local incentive compatibility becomes sufficient for global incentive compatibility if single crossing is violated global incentive compatibility constraints have to be taken into account this paper studies monotone solutions in a screening model that allows a one time violation of single crossing the results show that local and non local incentive constraints distort the solution in opposite directions therefore the optimal decision might involve distortions above as well as below the first best decision furthermore the well known no distortion at the top property does not necessarily hold the results show that the decision can even be distorted above first best for all types sufficient conditions for existence strict monotonicity and continuity of the solution are presented a new necessary condition satisfied by such solutions is found an algorithm based on this condition can calculate continuous and strictly monotone solutions

the relevance of attitudinal factors for the acceptance of energy policy measures a micro econometric analysis abstract this paper empirically examines the individual support of the german energy transition in total and especially of six single energy policy measures which are components of the energy transition our micro econometric analysis with binary and ordered probit models on the basis of data from a broad survey of citizens reveals the important role of several attitudinal factors with respect to our indicators for perceived personal costs of the energy transition the estimation results point to a weak evidence for economic self interest due to some negative correlations between expected energy price increases due to the energy transition and the support of single energy policy measures interestingly however the concern that the energy transition alone causes strong energy price increases is not shared by the majority of the respondents the estimation results also suggest that the support of several energy policy measures is strongly correlated with environmental values however the most important attitudinal factor is obviously political identification the econometric analysis suggests that an overall left green policy identification is positively correlated with the support of the energy transition in total and an identification with ecological policy is positively correlated with the acceptance of several single energy policy measures the econometric analysis especially supports the more sophisticated categorization of political orientation since for example a liberal conservative policy orientation is not significantly correlated with the support of the energy transition in total

macroeconomic implications of conspicuous consumption a sombartian dynamic model this chapter presents a dynamic general equilibrium model in which consumers have status preference i investigate the manner in which capital accumulation is impeded by conspicuous consumption a la corneo and jeanne j public econ 66 55 71 1997a following the literature social norms are given as either bandwagon type or snob type i then show that when the economy is characterized by a bandwagon type social norm capital accumulation exhibits interesting patterns those patterns include for example an oscillating convergence path the rise of the economy feeds its decay through conspicuous consumption and that decay suppresses conspicuous consumption and engenders prosperity as predicted by sombart liebe luxus und kapitalismus reprinted 1967 deutscher taschenbuch verlag munchen 1912

exchange rates and firms liquidity evidence from adrs abstract exchange rate changes can in principle affect a firm s value by affecting the firm s earnings or its cost of funds existing studies using monthly data over long sample periods find little or no impact of changes in exchange rates on a firm s valuation we examine a different potential path for exchange rate effects namely the effect of exchange rate variability on a stock s liquidity using transactions data we examine the microstructure characteristics of united kingdom and mexican american depositary receipts adrs around two major exchange rate crises the pound sterling withdrawal from the european exchange rate mechanism in september 1992 and the mexican devaluation of december 1994 we conclude that these events of exchange rate turbulence had little or no effect on the trading costs of adrs in the united states the results suggest that the impact of exchange rate volatility on market liquidity is not a conduit by which stock values are affected

optimal income tax in the presence of status effects abstract the existence of distortions from individuals competing to attain social status by using consumption signals justifies some measure of income tax as a counter acting distortion the question posed here is whether it also constitutes a reason for a more progressive income tax schedule the answer is found to be broadly negative if progressiveness is interpreted as a more convex tax schedule unless the rich are more concerned with status seeking than the poor on the other hand status seeking makes the optimal tax schedule steeper so that redistribution is increased essentially the analysis of status seeking based on a signaling approach confirms and strengthens the existing view of an optimal tax schedule and can be incorporated into the diamond american economic review 88 1998 83 95 approach

capital taxation and production efficiency in an open economy we attempt to clarify the role of the production efficiency theorem in international capital taxation it is shown that a direct open economy analogue to the production efficiency theorem arises not in the small country case but in the more general setting of tax competition between a finite number of identical jurisdictions

waves in consumption with interdependence among consumers this paper presents a model to analyze the development of consumption patterns when there are social interactions among consumers in particular a consumer in this model recognizes three reference groups a peer group of similar consumers with whom the consumer wishes to share consumption activities a distinction group from which the consumer wishes to distinguish him or herself and an aspiration group to which the consumer does not belong but wishes that he she did and with whom the consumer would like to share consumption activities the interplay of aspiration and distinction can lead to waves in consumption these can happen when for example the avant garde consumption of up market pioneers is copied by other types of consumer as the latter aspire to emulate the former the former in turn seek to distinguish themselves from these unwelcome companions by varying their consumption in consequence a particular consumption activity may start up market an then gradually proceed down the social spectrum more complex patterns with continuing cycles in consumption can also be found the paper argues that this model is not only applicable to the consumption behaviour of an elite or would be elite but is relevant in a wide range of consumption settings

is energy efficiency capitalized into home prices evidence from three u s cities abstract we test for evidence that energy efficiency features are capitalized into home prices in three u s metropolitan areas using hedonic regressions and multiple matching procedures we find that energy star certification is associated with higher sales prices in two of the markets the research triangle region of north carolina and portland oregon we find that local green certifications in portland and in austin texas are also associated with higher prices and that the estimated price impacts are larger than those from energy star matching on observables proves to be important in some cases reducing the estimated impacts compared with models without matching we calculate the implied energy savings from the estimated premiums and find that in the research triangle market the energy star premiums approximately equal the savings that program is designed to achieve but in portland the premiums are slightly greater than the program s savings due to low energy costs in the region

exchange rate exposure and industry characteristics evidence from canada japan and the usa abstract this paper examines industry level exchange rate exposures for canada japan and the usa measuring exposure by adding the change in the exchange rate to the domestic market model of industry portfolio returns some industries in all three countries display significant exposures moreover for each country the exchange rate is important for explaining industry returns at the economy wide level to explore whether exchange rate exposures are systematically linked to the activities of the industries we model exposure as a function of industry characteristics for all three countries the relation between exposure and industry characteristics is broadly consistent with economic theory jel f3

simple rules for the optimal taxation of international capital income in this paper we reconcile and extend previous results on the collectively optimal taxation of international investment income the weighted average rule of horst 1980 for example is shown to rest on unattractive assumptions on the set of instruments available ruling out any need for distorting taxes the principal contribution is to establish a new and strikingly simple weighted average rule encompassing the other key result in this area for the general case in which lump sum taxes are unavailable the ability to tax pure profits is perhaps restricted and distorting taxes on both domestic and border crossing capital income are optimally deployed

promoting clean energy investment an empirical analysis of property assessed clean energy abstract from 2008 to 2010 a handful of property assessed clean energy pace programs offered property secured loans to homeowners for residential clean energy investments this analysis uses difference in differences models and synthetic counterfactual models to estimate the effect of three california pace programs on residential photovoltaic installations while pace programs do not offer superior terms to other solar financing options we find that pace financing increases solar installations by approximately 3 8 watts per owner occupied household per quarter a 108 increase over the mean watts per owner occupied household

pecuniary emulation inequality and growth abstract we study a two class growth model in which agents care about both consumption and the social perception of their wealth rank the latter determines the social status enjoyed by agents social perceptions are based upon noisy signals of wealth and in equilibrium there is incomplete separation of classes the steady growth rate of the economy increases with the full information status differential between classes and contrary to the growth model without status it is affected by the initial level of wealth inequality both too much equality and too much inequality are detrimental to economic growth

carbon geography the political economy of congressional support for legislation intended to mitigate greenhouse gas production over the last 5 years the u s congress has voted on several pieces of legislation intended to sharply reduce the nation s greenhouse gas emissions given that climate change is a world public bad standard economic logic would predict that the united states would free ride and wait for other nations to reduce their emissions within the congress there are clear patterns to who votes in favor of mitigating greenhouse gas emissions this paper presents a political economy analysis of the determinants of pro green votes on such legislation conservatives consistently vote against such legislation controlling for a representative s ideology representatives from richer districts and districts with a lower per capita carbon dioxide footprint are more likely to vote in favor of climate change mitigation legislation representatives from districts where industrial emissions represent a larger share of greenhouse gas emissions are more likely to vote no jel q54 q58 r50

depreciation of housing capital maintenance and house price inflation estimates from a repeat sales model abstract the rate at which physical capital depreciates is fundamental to investment in the economy nevertheless although housing capital accounts for one third of the total capital stock the rate at which housing capital depreciates has only rarely been directly estimated in part because prior studies do not control for maintenance for that same reason widely publicized measures of house price appreciation overstate the capital gain from homeownership using data from the american housing survey we examine these issues over the 1983 to 2001 period results indicate that gross of maintenance housing depreciates at roughly 2 5 percent per year while net of maintenance housing depreciates at approximately 2 percent per year moreover although the typical home appreciated at an annual real rate of roughly 0 75 percent after allowing for depreciation and maintenance the average homeowner experienced little capital gain

what s in a sign trademark law and economic theory the aim of this paper is to summarize the extant theory as it relates to the economics of trademark and to give some suggestions for further research with reference to distinct streams of literature the proposed line of study inevitably looks at the complex relationship between signs and economics copyright 2006 the authors journal compilation 2006 blackwell publishing ltd

hedonic pricing with redevelopment options a new approach to estimating depreciation effects abstract the standard hedonic model of durable assets is a special case of a more general model that contains two additive terms 1 use value of the existing hedonic vector and 2 the value of the option to reconfigure hedonic characteristics one empirical implication is that the two parts of value are related e g use value increases with interior area whereas option value decreases with intensity the ratio of structure value divided by land value increases in building age reduce use value but increase option value data from greenwich connecticut indicate that intensity has the expected negative effect coefficients on building age are shown to be better measures of depreciation when intensity variables are included in the regression

conspicuous consumption and race evidence from south africa abstract a century ago thorstein veblen introduced socially contingent consumption into the economic literature this paper complements the scarce empirical literature by testing his conjecture on south african household data and finds that black and coloured households spend relatively more on visible consumption than comparable white households following the approach of charles et al 2009 this paper explores whether the differences in visible expenditures can be explained with a signaling model of status seeking moreover it is assessed to which extent positional concerns motivate conspicuous consumption although the socially contingent share in visible consumption increases with income different incentives to consume conspicuously seem to explain that at every level of income black households spend relatively more on visible consumption than comparable white households in contrast to the findings of charles et al 2009 where differential spending on conspicuous consumption can be found also within each group separately the model s core hypothesis fails to hold within the group of white south africans

optimal pricing of a conspicuous product during a recession that freezes capital markets abstract this paper considers the problem of how to price a conspicuous product when the economy is in a recession that disrupts capital markets a conspicuous product in this context is a luxury good for which demand is increasing in brand image brand image here means the ability of a consumer to impress observers by conspicuously displaying consumption of the good brand image is built up when the good is priced high enough to make it exclusive and eroded if the good is discounted recession is modeled as having two effects it reduces demand and it freezes capital markets so borrowing is not possible in pricing the conspicuous product the firm faces the following trade off reducing price helps maintain sales volume and cash flow in the face of reduced demand but it also damages brand image and thus long term demand the paper analyzes the firm s pricing policy facing scenarios of mild intermediate and severe recessions while taking the threat of bankruptcy into account for an intermediate recession the optimal solution is history dependent the results have implications for policy interventions in capital markets and for timing of mergers and acquisitions

doing well by doing good green office buildings this paper provides the first credible evidence on the economic value of the certification of green buildings in the commercial sector value derived from impersonal market transactions rather than engineering estimates we match publicly available information on the addresses of energy star and leed rated office buildings to a commercial data source detailing the characteristics of u s office buildings and their rental rates we analyze the micro data on 694 certified green buildings and on 7489 other office buildings located within a quarter mile of the certified buildings we find systematic evidence that rents for green offices are about two percent higher than rents for comparable buildings located nearby effective rents i e rents adjusted for the occupancy levels in office buildings are about six percent higher in green buildings than in comparable office buildings nearby at prevailing capitalization rates conversion of the average non green building to an equivalent green building would add more than 5 million in market value these results are robust to the statistical models employed

factor endowments and welfare levels in an asymmetric tax competition game abstract this paper addresses capital tax competition among an arbitrary number of countries countries are asymmetric not only in their population endowment but also in their capital endowment per inhabitant national governments tax capital and labor in order to finance a fixed public budget asymmetric capital taxation arises at equilibrium leading to a distortion on the international capital market we fully characterize how equilibrium taxes and welfare levels depend upon countries population and capital endowments we compare it to the autarky situation and show that fiscal competition erodes some but not all of the gains from capital markets liberalization

u k and u s trading of british cross listed stocks an intraday analysis of market integration this article analyzes intraday patterns for u k and u s trading of british cross listed stocks for each market the intraday patterns for these stocks closely resemble those of otherwise similar non cross listed stocks there is a 2 hour period each day when cross listed stocks are traded both in new york and in london this overlap is characterized by concentrated trading as private information originating in new york gets incorporated into prices in both markets cross border competition for order flow tends to reduce already declining spreads in london by contrast new york specialists maintain high spreads during the overlap overall the evidence indicates that order flow for cross listed securities is segmented article published by oxford university press on behalf of the society for financial studies in its journal the review of financial studies

residence and source based capital taxation in open economies with infinitely lived consumers abstract in this paper we investigate tax competition in a neoclassical growth model where each country may use both residence and source based capital taxes we show that both types of capital taxes are zero at any interior steady state just as in a closed economy for symmetric countries and even for countries that differ only with respect to size and productivity we prove analytically and verify numerically that the open economy policies coincide exactly with the closed economy policies in all time periods for countries that are asymmetric in other dimensions we find that source based taxes are used to manipulate the intertemporal terms of trade in the short run either way the fiscal externalities of source based taxes vanish once residence based taxes are allowed

on limiting the market for status signals abstract in many societies individuals care how others view them in their efforts to impress such individuals engage in consumption signals which attempt to establish higher levels of status than their true status type this leads to an inefficiency which offers the possibility of a pareto improving tax policy the impacts of tax policy and benefits on the signalling equilibrium are considered

pricing of conspicuous goods a competitive analysis of social effects abstract social needs play an important role in the purchase of conspicuous goods in this article the authors extend traditional economic models to accommodate social needs such as desire for uniqueness and conformism and examine their implications for pricing conspicuous goods first in the context of a duopoly the authors identify the conditions under which the desire for uniqueness can increase demand among some consumers as the price of a product increases second the authors show that though the desire for uniqueness leads to higher prices and firm profits a desire for conformity leads to lower prices and profits third the authors find that consumers purchase high quality products not because of their desire for uniqueness but despite it finally marketers of conspicuous goods may find it beneficial not to emphasize the functional differences among their products when the need for uniqueness is high in a laboratory test the authors find support for the claim that demand for a product amo

social limits to redistribution in many countries equality of political rights including the right to vote over taxes and transfers goes along with substantial inequality of economic conditions this observation lies at the root of one fundamental issue in political economy one about the factors that limit the extent of redistribution in democracies the conventional economic wisdom on this issue can roughly be summarized by two arguments firstly redistributive taxation may be limited by various kinds of incentive costs of taxation as e g in james a mirrlees 1971 kevin w s roberts 1977 dennis n epple and thomas romer 1991 and thomas piketty 1995 secondly redistribution may be dampened by the lobbying activity of high income groups and by various imperfections inherent to the political process that determines the tax system as e g in gary s becker 1983 and john e roemer 1995 while both arguments offer illuminating insights into the phenomenon of redistribution they are also based on a very crude description of human behavior one which ignores social motivations of action both in the economic and the political sphere the present paper develops an explanation that takes such motivations into account specifically it shows that limits to redistribution may arise when economic inequality has an informational value for social decisions our approach is based upon the following observation many goods and decisions that heavily affect an individual s quality of life are not allocated or made through markets but through social interactions thomas scitovsky 1976 for instance although people have strong preferences over how they are treated by others and over whom they mate with these things are not the object of market transactions a number of sources of satisfaction like conversation dinners and parties playing with others and being observed and admired are nonmarket goods for which a keen social competition between individuals often develops as shown by harold cole et al 1992 the existence of social rather than market competition for some goods can endogenously generate a concern for relative position in the income distribution when information about relative income is private individuals become interested in the observable consumption differentials between them and their social competitors since consumption differentials are influenced by redistributive taxation the political attitudes of people toward redistribution will be shaped by its expected impact on social competition in some identifiable environments this concern for social success may be the crucial factor that limits the extent of redistribution desired by a majority of voters specifically while the middle class may obtain economic benefits from a large amount of redistributive taxation it may oppose an equalization of living standards since this would harm its social success the fear of losing social status in favor of the poor induces the middle class to enter a political alliance with the rich which supports conservative taxation programs in the sociological literature scholars of voting behavior have often suggested that the need for social recognition plays a crucial role in shaping political attitudes seymour m lipset 1967 pointed out that white collar workers tend to be socially valued similarly as those higher in the system and although their income may be only slightly larger than that of manual workers white collars are much more likely to corneo department of economics university of osnabruck rolandstrasse 8 d 49069 osnabruck germany cesifo munich and cepr london gruner department of economics university of mannheim d 68131 mannheim germany iza bonn and cepr london we would like to thank emmanuelle auriol dieter bos peter funk mike hout olivier jeanne peter jonas georg noldeke thomas piketty regis renault john roemer jens weidmann and three anonymous referees for insightful comments and suggestions we have also benefited from the comments of participants at workshops and conferences in barcelona bonn davis jena maastricht magdeburg mannheim montreal munich rotterdam silvaplana tel aviv tilburg toulouse and warwick at which we presented earlier versions of this work financial support from the deutsche forschungsgemeinschaft sfb 303 at the university of bonn is gratefully acknowledged

political orientation environmental values and climate change beliefs and attitudes an empirical cross country analysis abstract based on unique data from representative computer based surveys among more than 3400 citizens this paper empirically examines the determinants of several climate change beliefs and attitudes in three countries which are key players in international climate policy namely the usa germany as the largest country in the european union and china our econometric analysis implies that political orientation in the usa is by far more relevant for general climate change beliefs and beliefs in anthropogenic climate change than in germany and china furthermore us and german citizens with a conservative but not green identification significantly less often support publicly financed climate policy while us and german respondents with a social green identification and chinese respondents belonging to the communist party have a significantly higher willingness to pay a price premium for climate friendly products however our econometric analysis overall reveals that environmental values which are measured by a new ecological paradigm nep scale are the major factors for climate change beliefs and attitudes in all three countries and thus play an even more dominant role than political orientation in addition environmental values weaken the differences in several climate change beliefs and attitudes between a right wing and a left wing identification these interaction effects between political orientation and the nep scale are especially strong in the usa only relevant for the support of publicly financed climate policy in germany and negligible in china our estimation results suggest alternative strategies such as specific communication campaigns in order to reduce the climate change skepticism in conservative and right wing circles in the usa and to increase the support of climate policies among such population groups

the price of innovation an analysis of the marginal cost of green buildings abstract energy efficiency plays an important role in reducing the carbon externality from buildings but economic analyses of more efficient green building have thus far ignored input costs this paper finds that the average marginal cost of green labeled construction projects is smaller than the value premiums documented in the literature however design fees representing just a fraction of development costs but paid largely up front are significantly higher for green construction projects these projects also take longer to complete the results provide some insight into the market barriers and market failures that may explain the relatively slow adoption of otherwise economically rational green construction practices

a financial model of foreign exchange exposure the paper describes a model of foreign exchange exposure this is defined as the sensitivity of a specific investment s value in reference currency to changes in exchange rate forecasts this sensitivity may result because some share of the investment cash flows are denominated in foreign currency alternatively a share of cash flows denominated in reference currency which are affected by future exchange rates can also generate sensitivity

the value of environmental status signaling how much are consumers willing to pay to signal their environmental consciousness we identify the signaling value of an environmental public good by focusing on hybrid cars and exploiting the physical uniqueness of the toyota prius relative to hybrids that look identical to their non hybrid counterparts we deploy a quasi experimental hedonic model to estimate this willingness to pay we find that controlling for observable and unobservable factors the prius commands an environmental signaling value of 587 or 4 5 of its value our research provides lessons for economists and policymakers and contributes to the literature on identifying signaling values

conservation from voluntary restraint to a voluntary price premium this paper investigates how concern for the environment translates into predictable patterns of consumer behavior two types of behavior are considered first individuals who care about environmental quality may voluntarily restrain their consumption of goods and services that generate a negative externality second individuals may choose to pay a price premium for goods and services that are more environmentally benign a theoretical model identifies a symmetry between such voluntary restraint and a voluntary price premium that mirrors the symmetry between environmental policies based on either quantities quotas or prices taxes we test predictions of the model in an empirical study of household electricity consumption with introduction of a price premium green electricity program we find evidence of voluntary restraint and its relation to a voluntary price premium the empirical results are consistent with the theoretical model of voluntary conservation

heterogeneous preferences and the individual change to alternative electricity contracts abstract based on data from a large scale computer based survey among more than 3700 citizens in germany this paper empirically disentangles the determinants of the general change of electricity contracts and the specific change from any green or non green to current green electricity contracts within the last ten years our econometric analysis reveals a strong relevance of behavioral factors and individual values and norms for example patience which was measured by an incentivized experiment included in the survey has a significantly positive effect on both general switches to alternative electricity contracts and specific switches to green electricity contracts furthermore trust and less robust social preferences also measured by an incentivized experiment have additional significantly positive effects on the specific change to green electricity contracts our estimation results also imply an important role of political identification i e an ecological policy orientation is strongly significantly positively correlated with the change to green electricity contracts furthermore several household specific factors like relocation decisions as well as socio demographic and socio economic variables like household income are also relevant the empirical analysis thus provides new explanation patterns for the phenomenon that relatively few households regularly change their electricity contracts and specifically switch to green electricity contracts although they have high stated preferences for such changes our insights suggest several directions for policy and electricity suppliers to increase these switching rates for example the high importance of trust for the change to green electricity contracts suggests transparency initiatives of electricity suppliers to decrease concerns against renewable energies

promotions and product pricing parsimony versus veblenesque demand the veracity of the parsimonious law of demand has long been challenged by analyses of the veblen effect and prestige pricing backward bending demand curves often attend discussions of conspicuous consumption probing the sociological and psychological intricacies of potential consumer interdependencies scholars in economics and marketing have overlooked mundane product promotions for a monopolistic firm we formalize the relationship between the optimal price quantity combination and the thoroughness of product promotions iterating toward the profit maximizing thoroughness of product promotion gives rise to a backward bending price quantity locus challenges to the law of demand that ignore product promotions are thereby undercut

if you tourist behave irrationally i ll find you abstract when departures from rational behavior can potentially be expected modeling should allow for their identification and their quantification in this regard prices in tourism might have effects that may not be as apparent as economic theory predicts this article incorporates the sticker shock formulation into the mixed logit model without imposing consistency with consumer theory to accommodate any possible positive or negative price effects by allowing the parameters of price and sticker shock term to take any value negative or positive we detect abnormal behaviors in the tourist demand not only is the negative relationship between price and demand inverted for some people but also some tourists might be willing to accept higher than expected prices the non well behaved groups shares are estimated

contests for ranks experimental evidence we use experiments to analyze multiple dimensions of the relationship between rank incentives and individual performance in our experiment i rank is defined as subjects relative position in their group based on their performance in a real effort task and ii subjects earnings are independent of their performance we find that any rank incentive improves mean performance than no rank incentive and this result is independent of the group size in the large group the mean performance increases strictly in all except at the highest rank incentive but in the small group the mean performance increases weakly in rank incentives finally the mean performance is significantly higher in the large than in the small group because of a higher prestige effect in additional treatments in which we do not reveal the identity of the statusprize winners we find that average performance is identical to that in the baseline treatment without any status prizes the last result signifies the important role that public revelation plays to enhance the strength of status the results are important for managerial practices

conservation spillovers the effect of rooftop solar on climate change beliefs biased beliefs about climate change may lead to under regulation of emissions we study a new channel by which the public form beliefs about climate change visible mitigation actions by exploiting the rapid growth of rooftop solar panels a large survey and differences in incentives to install solar we find that visible mitigation actions have a positive impact on belief in basic climate science however we also find that higher solar penetration reduces concern about the impacts of climate change which may dampen demand for additional mitigation policy and individual abatement effort our results suggest that government policies that incentivize technology adoption can have subtle but important spillover effects on beliefs and other behaviors

understanding the solar home price premium electricity generation and green social status this study uses a large sample of homes in the san diego area and sacramento california area to provide some of the first capitalization estimates of the sales value of homes with solar panels relative to comparable homes without solar panels although the residential solar home market continues to grow there is little direct evidence on the market capitalization effect using both hedonics and a repeat sales index approach we find that solar panels are capitalized at roughly a 3 5 premium this premium is larger in communities with a greater share of college graduates and of registered prius hybrid vehicles

social equity issues in the distribution of feed in tariff policy benefits a cross sectional analysis from england and wales using spatial census and policy data abstract the feed in tariff has become a popular policy instrument globally for deploying clean energy often involving substantial public spending commitments yet relatively little attention has been paid to how payments made under this policy type get distributed across socioeconomic groups this paper links information on individual domestic photovoltaic pv installations registered under the feed in tariff for england and wales to spatially organised census data this makes it possible to observe which socioeconomic groups are benefitting most and least under the policy comparing the observed benefit distribution to a counterfactual distribution of perfect equality a moderate to high level of inequality is found cross sectional regressions suggest that settlement density home ownership status physical dwelling type local information spillovers and household social class shaped this outcome greater sensitivity to these factors in policy design could improve distributional outcomes under feed in tariff policies in england and wales and beyond

energy sprawl land taking and distributed generation towards a multi layered density the transition from fossil fuels to renewable resources is highly desirable to reduce air pollution and improve energy efficiency and security many observers are concerned however that the diffusion of systems based on renewable resources may give rise to energy sprawl i e an increasing occupation of available land to build new energy facilities of this kind these critics foresee a transition from the traditional fossil fuel systems towards a renewable resource system likewise based on large power stations and extensive energy grids a different approach can be taken to reduce the risk of energy sprawl and this will happen if the focus is as much on renewable sources as on the introduction of distributed renewable energy systems based on micro plants photovoltaic panels on the roofs of buildings micro wind turbines etc and on multiple micro grids policy makers could foster local energy enterprises by introducing new enabling rules making more room for contractual communities simplifying the compliance process proposing monetary incentives and tax cuts we conclude that the diffusion of innovation in this field will lead not to an energy sprawl but to a new energy system characterized by a multi layered density a combination of technology organization and physical development

exchange rate variability and the riskiness of u s multinational firms evidence from the breakdown of the bretton woods system abstract we examine the relation between exchange rate variability and stock return volatility for u s multinational firms and decompose this relation into components of systematic and diversifiable risk focusing on two five year periods around the 1973 switch from fixed to floating exchange rates we find a significant increase in volatility of monthly stock returns corresponding to the period of increased exchange rate variability even relative to the increase in stock return volatility for three control samples in conjunction with this increase in total volatility there is also an increase in market risk beta for multinational firms

multi period pricing in the presence of competition and social influence abstract this paper examines single and dynamic pricing policies of two competing firms over two periods in the presence of social influence assuming two firms adopt the same pricing policy we find that under either pricing policy firm profits always decrease with the degree of social influence firms prefer dynamic pricing policy when social influence is either relatively weak or sufficiently strong for firms under dynamic pricing policy to set zero prices in the first period otherwise single pricing policy is more preferable the conclusions are similar when the market size varies over periods except that dynamic pricing policy is always more profitable if the market size in period 2 is sufficiently large we have further compared the two pricing policies with posted pricing policy the results show that dynamic pricing policy dominates when social influence is relatively weak while posted pricing policy dominates when social influence is sufficiently strong because of the synergy between social influence and the reference price effect finally when each firm freely chooses either single or dynamic pricing policy we find that if the degree of social influence is relatively small two asymmetric equilibria exist where two firms adopt different pricing policies if the degree of social influence is very large however the unique equilibrium is both firms adopting dynamic pricing policy these findings provide important implications for firms to make more informed pricing decisions in an increasingly competitive environment with strong social influence

the exchange rate exposure of u s multinationals this article examines the exposure of u s multinationals to foreign currency risk evidence is presented that the relationship between stock returns and exchange rates differs systematically across multinationals given these results the study focuses on the determinants of exchange rate exposure the comovements between stock returns and the value of the dollar is found to be positively related to the percentage of foreign operations of u s multinationals copyright 1990 by the university of chicago

modelling inbound international tourism demand in small pacific island countries abstractin this study we estimate inbound international tourism demand models at the individual source market destination and overall destination levels for fiji cook islands tonga and vanuatu f

prosperity and depression prosperity and depression are relative concepts today both france and japan are depressed relative to the united states equivalently the united states is prosperous relative to these countries i say these countries are depressed relative to the united states because their output per working age person is 30 percent less than the u s level an interesting and important policy question is why are these countries depressed the answers for these two countries turn out to be very different the united states is prosperous relative to france because the u s intratemporal tax wedge that distorts the trade off between consumption and leisure is much smaller than the french wedge i will show that if france modified its intratemporal tax wedge so that its value was the same as the u s value french welfare in consumption equivalents would increase by 19 percent consumption would have to increase by 19 percent now and in all future periods to achieve as large a welfare gain as that resulting from this tax reform the united states is prosperous relative to japan because production efficiency is higher in the united states in the united states total factor productivity is approximately 20 percent higher than in japan if japan suddenly became as efficient in production as the united states its welfare gain in consumption equivalents would be 39 percent equally interesting and important are big changes over time in relative output per working age person across countries why are new zealand s and switzerland s economies depressed by over 30 percent relative to their 1970 trend corrected levels both of these countries have small populations but depressions are not restricted to small countries japan with its 125 million people is now depressed by 20 percent relative to its 1991 trend corrected level on the prosperity side why are ireland and south korea so prosperous now relative to their 1970 trend corrected levels this lecture is concerned primarily with big international differences among relatively rich industrial countries and changes in these differences over time the countries that receive primary attention all have market economies and healthy well educated populations in the countries considered the variations in aggregate output per working age person are large and reasonably good measures of the factor inputs are available this permits in many cases the identification of the change in policy or the difference in policy that gave rise to prosperity or depression this is in contrast to business cycle theory which provides little guidance to policy except for the important policy implication that a stabilization effort will have either no effect or a perverse effect the output variations studied and analyzed in this lecture are big an order of magnitude larger than the much studied business cycle fluctuations the variations studied however are an order of magnitude smaller than the muchstudied differences between the richest and poorest countries surprisingly only recently have depressions been systematically studied from the perspective of growth theory which is the theory used university of minnesota and federal reserve bank of minneapolis i thank my colleagues at the university of minnesota and the federal reserve bank of minneapolis for helpful discussions and comments in particular i thank tim kehoe ellen mcgrattan and nancy stokey for their help i also thank martin weale and franck portier for providing some british and french tax information used in this lecture thanks also go to sami alpanda and james macgee for research assistance and helpful discussions this lecture draws heavily on collaborative research with fumio hayashi i thank the economic and social research institute cabinet office government of japan and the u s national science foundation for financial support the views expressed herein are those of the author and not necessarily those of the federal reserve bank of minneapolis or the federal reserve system

exposure to exchange rate movements abstract this paper suggests an approach to measuring a firm s exposure which depends on the stochastic relationship between the firm s real rate of return and exchange rate movements using a simplified two country model exposure is shown to depend on the extent to which individual asset prices adjust with exchange rates the distribution of such adjustments between countries and the relationship between domestic inflation and exchange rate movements while the distribution of real and nominal positions across countries is also a determinant of exposure it is shown that purely domestic firms no foreign assets or liabilities will typically be exposed

conspicuous conservation the prius halo and willingness to pay for environmental bona fides abstract this paper develops a theory of conspicuous conservation a phenomenon related to conspicuous consumption in which individuals seek status through displays of austerity amid growing concern about environmental protection we identify a statistically and economically significant conspicuous conservation effect in vehicle purchase decisions and estimate a mean willingness to pay for the green signal provided by the distinctively designed toyota prius in the range of 430 4200 depending upon the owner s location results are related to the growing literature on green markets and suggest that policy should target less conspicuous conservation investments that will be under provided relative to those that confer a status benefit

social status entry and predation the case of british shipping cartels 1879 1929 the authors incorporate social status and regional affiliation two variables of central sociological interest into an economic analysis of entry and predation they build on scott morton s 1997 examination of entry and predation in the merchant shipping industry and examine whether the social status of an entrant owner impacts on the predation behavior of the incumbent cartels they find that high social status entrants are significantly less likely 40 to be preyed upon than the low social status entrants they discuss several interpretations of this result subsequent analysis supports the hypothesis that cartel members use social status as an indicator of an entrant s propensity to be a cooperative cartel participant

should capital income be taxed in the steady state this paper provides a new economic interpretation of the well known dynamic optimal taxation principle that capital income should not be taxed in the steady state we show that the result is related to the minimization of distortions at the intratemporal margin when every factor of production can be taxed at the optimal rate capital income should not be taxed in the steady state but when there are restrictions on the taxation of production factors the tax rate on capital income in the steady state is different from zero

conspicuous consumption snobbism and conformism abstract we develop a model in which consumers purchase a conspicuous good in order to signal high income and thereby achieve greater social status in equilibrium the signalling value of conspicuous consumption depends in an identifiable way on the number of consumers and consumer behaviour is characterized by either snobbism or conformism the market demand curve for the conspicuous good may exhibit a positive slope if consumers are conformist we derive some unconventional policy implications concerning the taxation of luxuries and the voluntary provision of public goods

optimal taxation of capital income in general equilibrium with infinite lives this paper analyzes the optimal tax on capital income in general equilibrium models of the second best agents have infinite lives and utility functions which are extensions from the koopmans form the population is heterogeneous the important property of the models is the equality between the social and the private discount rates in the long run i find that the optimal tax rate is zero in the long run for a special case of additively separable utility functions i then determine the tax rates along the dynamic path and conditions that are sufficient for the local stability of the steady state

saving power to conserve your reputation the effectiveness of private versus public information environmental damage is often an unseen byproduct of other activities disclosing environmental impact privately to consumers can reduce the costs and or increase the moral benefits of conservation behaviors while publicly disclosing such information can provide an additional motivation for conservation cultivating a green reputation in a unique field experiment in the residence halls at the university of california los angeles we test the efficacy of detailed private and public information on electricity conservation private information was given through real time appliance level feedback and social norms over usage and public information was given through a publicly visible conservation rating our analysis is based on 7 120 daily observations about energy use from heating and cooling lights and plug load for 66 rooms collected over an academic year our results suggest that while private information alone was ineffective public information combined with private information motivated a 20 percent reduction in electricity consumption achieved through lower use of heating and cooling public information was particularly effective for above median energy users

international tax competition and gains from tax harmonization abstract in a world economy there are two types of distortions which can be caused by capital income taxation in addition to the standard closed economy wedge between the consumer saver marginal intertemporal rate of substitution and the producer investor marginal productivity of capital i international differences in intertemporal marginal rates of substitution implying an inefficient allocation of world savings across countries and ii international differences in the marginal productivity of capital implying an inefficient allocation of world investment across countries the paper focuses on the structure of taxation for countries which are engaged in tax competition and on potential gains from a tax harmonization we show that if the competing countries are sufficiently coordinated with the rest of the world then tax competition leads each country to apply the residence principle of taxation and there are no gains from tax harmonization if however there is not sufficient coordination then tax competition leads to low capital income taxes and the tax burden falls on the internationally immobile factors the outcome is nevertheless still efficient relative to the available constrained set of tax instruments

the taxation of financial capital under asymmetric information and the tax competition paradox information sharing between governments is examined in an optimal taxation framework we introduce a taxonomy of alternative systems of international capital income taxation and characterize the choice of tax rates and information exchange the model reproduces the conclusion found in earlier literature that integration of international caopital markets may lead to the under provision of publicly provided goods however in contrast to previous results in the literature under provision occurs due to inefficiently coordinated expectations we show that there exists a second equilibrium with an efficient level of public good provision as well as complete and voluntary information exchange between national tax authorities

veblen effects in a theory of conspicuous consumption the authors examine conditions under which veblen effects arise from the desire to achieve social status by signaling wealth through conspicuous consumption while veblen effects cannot ordinarily arise when preferences satisfy a single crossing property they may emerge when this property fails in that case budget brands are priced at marginal cost while luxury brands though not intrinsically superior are sold at higher prices to consumers seeking to advertise wealth luxury brands earn strictly positive profits under conditions that would with standard formulations of preferences yield marginal cost pricing the authors explore factors that induce veblen effects and they investigate policy implications copyright 1996 by american economic association

status effects and negative utility growth this paper explains the observed stagnation of happiness measures through a growth model in which agents care about conspicuous consumption normal goods confer direct utility while status goods confer utility only at the expense of others firms can improve the quality of both goods through r d the nash equilibrium of the consumer game results in the share of expenditure on status goods increasing with the number of times the status good has been improved as the economy grows resources for innovation are transferred entirely to status good r d the resulting long run rate of utility growth is negative

taxation of investment and savings in a world economy the equilibrium of capital and equilibrium market prices are derived for a world economy with a unified securities market mobile capital no uncertainty and varying tax rates on different sources of income in each country the paper then characterizes optimal tax rates for a small country in this setting focusing on the peculiar incentives created when the before tax rate of return differs among securities due to differences in their typical tax treatment copyright 1986 by american economic association

why do people care about social status abstract this paper shows that complementary interaction can induce people to care about social status because it serves as a signal of non observable abilities there is a unique separating equilibrium in which everyone cares about social status in this equilibrium a person s social status perfectly reveals his abilities and everyone matches with a person of like ability the analysis shows that people s instrumental concern for social status has important welfare and policy implications indeed peoples efforts to keep up with the joneses may be welfare enhancing