telecommunications in greece a study of production structure and natural monopoly issue until recently telecoms were everywhere large monopolies basically because their production was believed to have many natural monopoly attributes now new forces originated in technological evolution have set in to transform the monopoly regime but did natural monopoly attributes really exist the empirical evidence under consideration concerns hellenic telecom a complete study of the industry s production structure and a natural monopoly test are offered test s results are important for policy formation regarding market s degree of liberalization in greece given also the resemblance of current technology in different countries it is possible to claim a more general validity of the obtained results on production technology beyond the specific case studied

equilibrium price dispersion with heterogeneous searchers abstract firms simultaneously set prices in a homogeneous product market where uninformed consumers search for price information some uninformed consumers are local searchers who visit only one seller whereas others search sequentially with an optimal reservation price equilibrium prices may follow a mixture distribution with clusters of high and low prices separated by a zero density gap when the exogenous reservation price of local searchers depart from that of the optimizing sequential searchers by a relatively small amount the presence of local searchers either has no effect on market outcomes or benefits all consumers a reduction in search cost sometimes leads to higher equilibrium prices

efficiency in the factoring industry the efficiency and productivity in the italian factoring industry between 1993 and 1997 is investigated using dea the factoring industry is an important part of many financial systems and it has established itself as a major source of finance and credit management for a growing number of companies however as far as the authors are aware no studies have applied frontier methodologies to examine the efficiency and productivity of this industry this paper focuses on the italian market the second largest in the world after the uk the results suggest that there are substantial cost savings to be had in the italian factoring industry the mean cost inefficiency in the italian factoring industry over the period 1993 1997 ranged between 14 and 22 these inefficiencies are mainly generated by allocative rather than technical inefficiencies scale and technical inefficiencies seem to be similar in magnitude and the supposed importance of the latter typically found in the banking efficiency literature are n

political cycles in oecd economies this paper studies whether the dynamic behaviour of gnp growth unemployment and inflation is systematically affected by the timing of elections and of changes of governments the sample include the last three decades in 18 oecd economies we explicitly test the implication of several models of political cycles both of the opportunistic and of the partisan type also we confront the implication of recent rational models with more traditional approaches our results can be summarized as follows a the political business cycle hypothesis as formulated in nordhaus 1975 on output and unemployment is generally rejected by the data b inflation tends to increase immediately after elections perhaps as a result of pre electoral expansionary monetary and fiscal policies c we find evidence of temporary partisan differences in output and unemployment and of long run partisan differences in the inflation rate as implied by the rational partisan theory by alesina 1987 d we find virtually no evidence of permanent partisan differences in output growth and unemployment

regulation and efficiency in transition the case of telecommunications in italy abstract in regulating the telecommunications industry the separation between network and retail functions which is designed to countervail the market power of incumbent operators is a relevant issue despite its importance little empirical research has addressed the effects of such a separation accordingly this paper provides insights into the consequences of the italian communications regulatory authority s agcom decision to impose this type of separation on the incumbent telecommunications operator telecom italia in particular the studied separation is between the firm s network related functions and those used for provision of its communication services the present research finds that the type of separation implemented by agcom allows a provider to maintain the advantages of operational scale in its network structure without dampening competition in the existing market for communications services the study also offers further empirical evidence on the advantages of a composite vs translog function in analyzing the multiproduct cost structure of a telecommunications operator

a comparative study of efficiency in european banking this paper investigates whether there has been an improvement in and convergence of productive efficiency across european banking markets since the creation of the single internal market using efficiency measures derived from dea estimation the determinants of european bank efficiency are evaluated using the tobit regression model approach the established literature on modelling the determinants of bank efficiency is then extended by recognizing the problem of the inherent dependency of dea efficiency scores when used in regression analysis to overcome the dependency problem a bootstrapping technique is applied overall the results suggest that since the eu s single market programme there has been a small improvement in bank efficiency levels although there is little evidence to suggest that these have converged the results also suggest that inference on the determinants of bank efficiency drawn from non bootstrapped regression analysis may be biased and misleading

a test for subadditivity of the cost function with an application to the bell system stable url http links jstor org sici sici 0002 8282 28198409 2974 3a4 3c615 3aatfsot 3e2 0 co 3b2 rthe american economic review is currently published by american economic association your use of the jstor archive indicates your acceptance of jstor s terms and conditions of use available athttp www jstor org about terms html jstor s terms and conditions of use provides in part that unless you have obtainedprior permission you may not download an entire issue of a journal or multiple copies of articles and you may use content inthe jstor archive only for your personal non commercial use please contact the publisher regarding any further use of this work publisher contact information may be obtained athttp www jstor org journals aea html each copy of any part of a jstor transmission must contain the same copyright notice that appears on the screen or printedpage of such transmission the jstor archive is a trusted digital repository providing for long term preservation and access to leading academicjournals and scholarly literature from around the world the archive is supported by libraries scholarly societies publishers and foundations it is an initiative of jstor a not for profit organization with a mission to help the scholarly community takeadvantage of advances in technology for more information regarding jstor please contact support jstor org http www jstor orgmon jul 2 16 52 19 2007

information gatekeepers on the internet and the competitiveness of homogeneous product markets we examine the equilibrium interaction between a market for price information controlled by a gatekeeper and the homogenous product market it serves the gatekeeper charges fees to firms that advertise prices on its internet site and to consumers who access the list of advertised prices gatekeeper profits are maximized in an equilibrium where a the product market exhibits price dispersion b access fees are sufficiently low that all consumers subscribe c advertising fees exceed socially optimal levels thus inducing partial firm participation and d advertised prices are below unadvertised prices introducing the market for information has ambiguous social welfare effects

macroeconomic policy in a two party system as a repeated game this paper considers the interaction of two parties with different objectives concerning inflation and unemployment and rational and forward looking wage setters if discretionary policies are followed an economic cycle related to the political cycle results in equilibrium this cycle is significantly different from the traditional political business cycle reputational mechanisms due to the repeated interaction of the two parties and the public or commitments to a common policy rule can improve upon the discretionary outcome by reducing or eliminating the magnitude of the economic fluctuations

evaluation of salesforce size and productivity through efficient frontier benchmarking the efficient operation of a salesforce is a critical element in the profitability of many firms three factors play key roles the salesforce s size its allocation and its productivity this gives rise to the following questions can salesforce performance be improved by 1 hiring more salespeople 2 allocating them more effectively to the various sales districts and or 3 improving salesperson productivity through better calling patterns in terms of consumers and product line items the practice of most firms and the methodology used in most of the academic literature to address salesforce design and productivity questions is a bottom up approach this approach starts with assessments by each salesperson of the sales and effort corresponding to each customer and prospect in their territory these assessments are then aggregated to the territory district and national levels this paper takes an alternative top down approach it is based on an estimated relationship between district level sales and salesforce size effort and other variables this more macro level decision tool can be used by management in parallel to and as an objective check of the more conventional and more subjective bottom up approach we develop an efficient frontier methodology which allows us to estimate how total district sales respond to salesforce size district potential and competitive activity in the firm s best performing districts the methodology utilized is based on data envelopment analysis dea and yields a benchmark measure of each district s efficient frontier sales sales assuming the district s salesforce allocates its effort as done in the best performing districts based on the estimated response function we discuss the three potential sources of increased profitability closing the inefficiency gap of each of the lower performing districts optimally reallocating the current salesforce to the various districts and changing the current size of the salesforce to its optimal level the inefficiency gap issue is addressed through comparison of the parameter estimates for the best districts obtained through our methodology with those of an average district sales response function obtained using regression analysis this comparison points to an important methodological finding the use of multiple estimation results may lead to an improved understanding of the phenomenon being studied in our case the identification of the likely causes of district productivity inefficiencies the latter two sources of increased profitability salesforce reallocation and changes in the current salesforce size are addressed analytically given the district level efficient frontier sales response function the proposed top down procedure using the efficient frontier methodology and the insights it provides are examined by evaluating the operations of two different salesforces one selling manufacturing equipment and the other business equipment in both cases regression based analysis would have resulted in a declaration that the status quo was close to optimal while the frontier based analysis pointed out that strong gains were possible in certain districts in particular for both firms the greatest increases in profit are obtained through improved salesforce efficiency in the lower performing districts not through salesforce size or district allocation adjustments at the more micro level a comparison of the frontier and regression parameters made it possible to identify which specific changes in the daily operations of the salesforces would allow the realization of these potential productivity gains in our two cases this could be obtained through more emphasis on pursuing prospective accounts

some models for estimating technical and scale inefficiencies in data envelopment analysis in management contexts mathematical programming is usually used to evaluate a collection of possible alternative courses of action en route to selecting one which is best in this capacity mathematical programming serves as a planning aid to management data envelopment analysis reverses this role and employs mathematical programming to obtain ex post facto evaluations of the relative efficiency of management accomplishments however they may have been planned or executed mathematical programming is thereby extended for use as a tool for control and evaluation of past accomplishments as well as a tool to aid in planning future activities the ccr ratio form introduced by charnes cooper and rhodes as part of their data envelopment analysis approach comprehends both technical and scale inefficiencies via the optimal value of the ratio form as obtained directly from the data without requiring a priori specification of weights and or explicit delineation of assumed functional forms of relations between inputs and outputs a separation into technical and scale efficiencies is accomplished by the methods developed in this paper without altering the latter conditions for use of dea directly on observational data technical inefficiencies are identified with failures to achieve best possible output levels and or usage of excessive amounts of inputs methods for identifying and correcting the magnitudes of these inefficiencies as supplied in prior work are illustrated in the present paper a new separate variable is introduced which makes it possible to determine whether operations were conducted in regions of increasing constant or decreasing returns to scale in multiple input and multiple output situations the results are discussed and related not only to classical single output economics but also to more modern versions of economics which are identified with contestable market theories

theory and evidence on pricing by asymmetric oligopolies we present an analysis of markets with many asymmetrically positioned retailers that compete for the business of both informed and uninformed customers for a homogenous good such as software music book or a brand name appliance we show that two forms of asymmetry one related to loyal segment sizes of retailers and one related to the positioning of firms completely explain the observed price dispersion in such markets and the multitude of asymmetrical strategies adopted by retailers the stochastic dominance of empirical mixed strategy measures is used to test the theory with data on 968 books from 10 online retailers

x efficiency in emerging competitive markets the case of u s telecommunications abstract whether or not the progressive introduction of competition in the u s telecommunications industry has induced firm level efficiencies is studied in this paper two sets of performance measures are computed for local operating companies using data envelopment analysis for the years 1973 1978 1981 1984 and 1987 the first set measures whether firms are able to augment output values the second set measures whether firms conserve resources or inputs both sets of measures improve between 1973 and 1987 the output value augmentation measures initially rise steeply and then plateau while the input conservation measures rise more steadily these indicate that firms have benefited from incumbency positions in early exploitation of opening markets but increasing pressures have induced firms to continuously strive towards frugality in resource consumption

unemployment and inflation consequences of unexpected election results the empirical evidence toward rational partisan theory of business cycles is mixed and thus inconclusive this is due to the enormous heterogeneity of the existing empirical studies only a few of these test explicitly for the central theoretical innovation that post electoral blips in economic activity depend on the degree of the electoral surprise using polling data we present empirical evidence in favor of rational partisan theory for a panel of oecd countries

an examination of the equilibrium specification and structure of production for canadian telecommunications multiple output models of canadian telecommunications production are estimated under different production equilibria a specification test is conducted between the short and long run equilibrium models and the long run equilibrium is rejected in order to capture the nature of the disequilibrium a dynamic cost of adjustment model is estimated for bell canada there are significant adjustment costs and it is estimated that for 1 00 of marginal capital costs the carrier must incur an additional cost of 0 30 to install the new capital into the production process

economies of scale in the korean district heating system a variable cost function approach this paper aims to investigate the cost efficiency of south korea s district heating dh system by using a variable cost function and cost share equation we employ a seemingly unrelated regression model with quarterly time series data from the korea district heating corporation kdhc a public utility that covers about 59 of the dh system market in south korea over the 1987 2011 period the explanatory variables are price of labor price of material capital cost and production level the results indicate that economies of scale are present and statistically significant thus expansion of its dh business would allow kdhc to obtain substantial economies of scale according to our forecasts vis a vis scale economies the kdhc will enjoy cost efficiency for some time yet to ensure a socially efficient supply of dh it is recommended that the kdhc expand its business proactively with regard to informing policy or regulations our empirical results could play a significant role in decision making processes

multiattribute elicitation of wilderness preservation benefits a constructive approach abstract this paper contributes to the development of a constructive approach to evaluating environmental resources using a version of multiattribute value elicitation in a group setting section 1 discusses the assumptions and practices of group multiattribute elicitation for public policy decisions the good of interest is a potential doubling of designated wilderness areas in british columbia two groups totalling 28 subjects participated in intensive half day workshops in which they provided judgments regarding the amounts of tax revenues from forest industry activities each thought provincial residents should forego to achieve specified increases in wilderness preservation subjects were asked to consider direct and passive use values spiritual values and ecological service values subjects were also asked to consider separately the interests of the current generation and future generations of residents and to provide judgments regarding the marginal benefits of increasing preservation an initial aggregated valuation question was followed by five more disaggregated questions subjects then compared and reconciled their value judgments for the aggregated and disaggregated questions the results are generally comparable to those of a contingent valuation referendum based survey for the same valuation issues

a theory of ambiguity credibility and inflation under discretion and asymmetric information this paper develops a positive theory of credibility ambiguity and inflation under discretion and asymmetric information the monetary policymaker maximizes his own politically motivated objective function that is positively related to economic stimulation through monetary surprises and negatively related to monetary growth the relative importance he assigns to each target shifts stochastically through time his current preference trade off is known to him but not to the public when choosing the state contingent path of money growth for the present and the future the policymaker compares the benefits from current stimulation with the costs associated with higher future inflation expectations current monetary growth conveys information to the public about future money growth because there is persistence in the policymaker s objectives although expectations are rational information is imperfect because monetary control procedures are imprecise as a result the public cannot correctly distinguish persistent changes of emphasis on different policy objectives from transitory monetary control errors the public becomes aware of changes gradually by observing past monetary growth credibility is defined in terms of the speed with which the public recognizes changes in the objectives of the policymaker credibility is lower the noisier monetary control and the more stable the objectives of the policymaker looser monetary control and a higher degree of time preference on the part of the policymaker induce him to produce higher and more variable monetary growth when the policymaker is free to determine the accuracy of monetary control he does not always choose the most effective control available in spite of the fact that monetary surprises always have an expected value of zero the reason is that ambiguous control procedures enable the policymaker to generate positive surprises when he cares more than on average about economic stimulation he leaves the inevitable negative surprises for periods in which he cares more about inflation prevention this result provides an explanation for the fed s preference for ambiguity recently documented by goodfriend 1986 the policymaker is more likely to pick more ambiguous control procedures the more uncertain his objectives and the higher his time preference the paper also provides a theoretical underpinning for the well documented crosscountry positive correlation between the level and the variability of inflation

discourse based valuation of ecosystem services establishing fair outcomes through group deliberation discourse based methods involving small groups of citizens have yet to be thoroughly engaged in the practice of ecosystem valuation this remains true despite the fact that many ecosystem goods and services such as clean air biodiversity and unpolluted lakes and rivers are considered to be public goods the conventional application of ecosystem valuation relies heavily on methodologies such as contingent valuation in which individuals are asked to express the value they attach to ecosystem goods and services in social isolation the difference between the public nature of ecosystem services and their valuation through individual expression has thus recently led to calls for more deliberative forms of environmental valuation because the allocation of ecosystem services directly affects many people and raises normative questions about social equity it is argued that carefully designed discursive methods will help ensure the achievement of social equity goals in this paper we examine the theoretical and normative assumptions that rest beneath the proposed turn towards discourse based methods and identify procedures for testing their application in the field 2002 elsevier science b v all rights reserved

wage inflation electoral uncertainty and the exchange rate regime theory and uk evidence the authors extend the rational partisan model of inflation to allow for the effects of unemployment persistence on the dynamics of inflation the authors combine this model with the exchange rate regime model of inflation and examine the experience of the united kingdom outside the fixed exchange rate regime of bretton woods persistently high inflation can be attributed to the failure of political parties to precommit to price stability in the light of unemployment persistence election times are associated with higher inflation with the exception of the thatcher period there is no evidence that the labour party is in general more tolerant to inflation than the conservatives copyright 1992 by royal economic society

access costs and entry in the local telecommunications network a case for de averaged rates abstract the telecommunications bill passed by congress in february 1996 means that the present method of covering the cost of customer access to the local telecommunications network through non cost based access charges cannot be sustained over the long run however there is a belief that cost based rates at the local level would be prohibitively high and would threaten universal service objectives major tasks facing the federal communications commission and state regulators will be determining what the terms and charges for interconnection should be and who will bear the costs associated with universal service this work estimates a generalized translog cost function of access costs at the local level in order to address these issues the results of this study are that there are economies of scale in the provision of access to the local network and that these costs differ by geographical location one of the important findings of this study is that contrary to popular belief cost based rates at the local level would not be prohibitively high and would not threaten universal service objectives however given the existence of economies of scale pro competitive regulatory controls will be required that will restrain dominant carriers from abusing their market power and network owners from squeezing out new entrants

modelling cost structure the bell system revisited this paper analyses a recent public policy decision and the crucial role played by the choice of the functional form the break up of the bell system is indeed a classic case of anti trust settlement and constitutes one of the most prominent and controversial applications of microeconomics to public policy it is argued that demanding multi output cost properties such as economies of scope for this is the considerable robustness problem displayed by the tranlog cost functional form the reason for this is the considerable able to robustness problem displayed by the translog cost function which is the source underlying many of the expert disagreements it is suggested that the non robustness is due to what ils termed the flip flop property and it is shown that the available empirical evidence from the pre divestiture bell system supports this argument to obtain robust results we propose that the analysis is constrained to the proper region of the cost function we propose that the analysis is con

the dominance of inefficiencies over scale and product mix economies in banking abstract this study measures and analyzes inefficiencies for all u s banks in 1984 inefficiencies are measured relative to a thick frontier cost function and are found to dominate measured scale and product mix economies most inefficiencies are operational in nature involving the overuse of physical inputs rather than financial involving overpayment of interest also technical inefficiencies proportionate overuse of all inputs dominate allocative inefficiencies improper mix of inputs these results suggest that competitive pressures in banking from deregulation will be focused primarily on banks that do not control costs rather than on those of a particular size or product mix

resource compensation and negotiation support in an aboriginal context using community based multi attribute analysis to evaluate non market losses abstract compensation for losses of non market values experienced by aboriginal peoples due to adverse impacts on their land or resource base caused by others is an important issue for law and social justice yet the standard methods of economic valuation as a basis for determining compensation are not always suited to addressing the diverse values of aboriginal people this paper discusses an approach to valuation that employs concepts and methods of decision analysis informed by behavioral decision research in an applied context it uses a multi attribute value assessment as a basis for characterizing the relative significance of resource damages that affect deeply held complex intangible values we draw on the experience of conducting analyses for three metis settlements in alberta canada to illustrate the approach using a case study interpretations of the results as a basis for negotiation regarding compensation are examined

a critical review of multi criteria decision making methods with special reference to forest management and planning abstract this paper provides a review of research contributions on forest management and planning using multi criteria decision making mcdm based on an exhaustive literature survey the review primarily focuses on the application aspects highlighting theoretical underpinnings and controversies it also examines the nature of the problems addressed and incorporation of risk into forest management and planning decision making the mcdm techniques covered in this review belong to several schools of thought for each technique a variety of empirical applications including recent studies has been reviewed more than 60 individual studies were reviewed and classified by the method used country of origin number and type of criteria and options evaluated the review serves as a guide to those interested in how to use a particular mcdm approach based on the review some recent trends and future research directions are also highlighted

price cap regulation incentives and quality the case of brazilian telecommunications abstract this paper reviews the incentive properties of yardstick schemes with special reference to quality performance and to the economic foundations and practical applications of data envelopment analysis dea the core of the paper is related to the construction of synthetic relative efficiency scores for quality which were obtained for brazilian local telephony over the period 1998 2002 the telecommunications industry in brazil has been characterized by the recent implementation of price cap regulation the evidence indicates substantial quality underperformance with some improvements towards the end of the period the efficiency scores obtained based on the flexible dea approach suggest that adjustment factors should be used in the productivity offset of the price cap rule so as to provide premiums for superior quality performance in terms of lower x factors the dea based yardstick procedure can provide a practical alternative to monitoring a series of specific quality indicators in terms of a set of penalties for underperformance the composite quality indicators do not rule out the identification of optimal adjustments recommended for individual indicators

equilibrium political budget cycles political business cycle theories generally rely on nominal rigidities and voter myopia this paper offers an equilibrium theory that preserves some basic insights from earlier models though with significant refinements the political budget cycle emphasized here is in fiscal policy rather than output and inflation it arises via a multidimensional signal process one can consider the welfare implications of proposals to mitigate the cycle and the effects of altering the electoral structure copyright 1990 by american economic association

estimating most productive scale size using data envelopment analysis abstract the relation between the most productive scale size mpss for paparticular input and output mixes and returns to scale for multiple inputs multiple outputs situations is explicitly developed this relation is then employed to extend the applications of data envelopment analysis dea introduced by charnes cooper and rhodes ccr to the estimation of most productive scale sizes for convex production possibility sets it is then shown that in addition to productive inefficiencies at the actual scale size the ccr efficiency measure also reflects any inefficiencies due to divergence from the most productive scale size two illustrations of the practical applications of these results to the estimation of most productive scale sizes and returns to scale for hospitals and stem electric generation plants are also provided emphasize the advantage of this method in examining specific segments of the efficient production surface

technical efficiency and economies of scale in state owned enterprises the hellenic telecommunications organisation abstract in this paper we propose methodologies for assessing the relative efficiency of state owned enterprises that operate under monopolistic conditions irrespective of the ownership structure private or public monopolistic operation is often given unclear conflicting operating objectives by their principals or regulators and thus efficiency should be assessed using alternative objectives such as cost production and revenue on the methodological side the paper employs parametric functional forms using ordinary least squares and goal programming methods of estimation a secondary estimation stage was also pursued with the input output variables of the models being corrected for technical inefficiency the methodology was applied to examine the technical efficiency and economies of scale of the hellenic telecommunications organisation over the period 1971 1993

oligopolistic pricing with heterogeneous consumer search abstract a finite number of identical stores sell a homogeneous good to consumers with heterogeneous search costs who search sequentially with perfect recall and without replacement consumers search rules are optimal with respect to the stores pricing strategies and consumers must visit a store to obtain information about its actual price a symmetric nash equilibrium sne always exists the model exhibits a variety of equilibrium behaviors between monopoly pricing and marginal cost pricing the competitiveness of a market depends crucially on the shape of the search cost distribution moreso than on the number of competing firms

bringing stakeholder values into environmental policy choices a community based estuary case study this paper discusses a methodology for joining deliberation and analysis using the case study example of a national estuary program planning effort in tillamook bay or usa we describe the development of a community based evaluation tool that links actions proposed by technical experts e g biologists ecologists engineers to restore functioning of the tillamook bay estuary with the values and concerns expressed by community residents this task required the explicit consideration of trade offs across multiple benefits costs and risks we describe the design and results of an evaluation workbook developed with input from both the epa staff and community residents that provided insight to decision makers by presenting participants with explicit choices across the key dimensions and consequences of proposed actions the final section of the paper discusses the successes and limitations of the project in relation to evaluation needs associated with other environmental policy initiatives 2001 elsevier science b v all rights reserved

oligopolistic pricing with sequential consumer search n identical stores compete by choosing prices for a homogeneous good with constant marginal costs consumers search sequentially with perfect recall for the lowest price one class of consumers called shoppers have zero search costs while all other consumers have a positive search cost c there is a unique symmetric nash equilibrium price distribution with the property that it changes smoothly from marginal cost pricing when all consumers are shoppers and or c 0 and monopoly pricing when no consumers are shoppers remarkably as the number of stores increases the nash equilibrium becomes more monopolistic copyright 1989 by american economic association

eliciting public values for complex policy decisions several approaches exist to illuminate and clarify public values relevant for making public policy decisions these include surveys indirect and direct value elicitation focus groups and public involvement this paper describes a new approach called the public value forum which combines elements of focus groups and direct multiattribute value elicitation techniques two public value forums were conducted with selected members of the west german public to elicit values relevant for setting long term energy policies the purposes of conducting the value forums were to examine the feasibility of eliciting values from laypeople and combining them with factual assessments of experts to determine the extent to which values elicited formally conflict with values elicited informally and to assess the advantages and disadvantages of the public value forum the results indicate that the public value forum is feasible that the participants felt comfortable with the procedure and that they were eager to resolve inconsistencies between their intuitive judgments and the multiattribute models there was substantial conflict between the formally and informally elicited values however the participants were able to resolve those conflicts in the course of the value forum tending towards more moderate alternatives in the process the public value forum provided useful information for the policy process and education for the participants however because it is expensive and time consuming its main application may involve small samples of opinion leaders and stakeholder representatives rather than large representative samples of the general public

the political determinants of fiscal policies in the states of india an empirical investigation abstract using data from the 14 major states of india we investigate whether state governments fiscal policy choices are tempered by political considerations our principal findings are twofold first we show that certain fiscal policies experience electoral cycles state governments raise less commodity tax revenue spend less on the current account and incur larger capital account developmental expenditures in election years than in all other years second we show that coalition state governments raise less own non tax revenues and spend less on the current account than state governments that are more cohesive in composition in sum the dispersion of political power affects government size

a theory of yardstick competition in the typical regulatory scheme a franchised monopoly has little incentive to reduce costs this article proposes a mechanism in which the price the regulatedfirm receives depends on the costs of identical firms in equilibrium each firm chooses a socially efficient level of cost reduction the mechanism generalizes to cover heterogeneous firms with observable differences medicare s prospective reimbursement of hospitals by using diagnostically related groups is a scheme very similar to the one outlined here

unnatural monopolies in local telephone we attempt to overcome the serious data problems of past telecommunications cost studies by focusing on local exchange carriers lecs with enough degrees offreedom to yield precise estimates our global subadditivity tests show that the cost function is definitely not subadditive the results suggest that the benefits to breaking up the monopoly outputs of existing lecs substantially outweigh the potential losses in efficiency they also support permitting entry and increasing competition in local exchange markets furthermore given the competitive nature of long distance service it is doubtful that the predivestiture bell system was a natural monopoly

productivity change and its determinants among leading mobile operators in europe the european mobile telecommunications industry has seen increased competition and market saturation in recent years so improving productivity will become crucially important for mobile operators in the near future this study adopts a bootstrap malmquist index approach to estimate productivity change among a sample of 23 of europe s leading mobile operators over the 2008 to 2009 period using a second stage regression this article also analyses the determinants of productivity changes in terms of regulation competition and ownership structure the results show that mobile companies operating in countries that have recently joined the eu have a positive association with productivity change in contrast to their counterparts in south east europe concerning market competition the leading mobile operators that experience higher productivity changes operate in more concentrated markets the results also indicate that international mobile operators perform better in terms of productivity change than their

industrial structure in us telecommunications some empirical evidence the telecommunications industry in the us is re assessed using a methodology which incorporates new developments in time series analysis the issue of natural monopoly is re considered with a view to the validation of the use of applied econometry in the fields of divestiture and industrial policy recent developments in us telecommunications are considered and incorporated into the model

political parties and the business cycle in the united states 1948 1984 this paper tests the existence and the extent of a politically induced business cycle in the u s in the post world war ii period the cycle described in this paper is different from the traditional political business cycle of nordhaus it is based on a systematic difference between the monetary policies of the two parties in a model with labor contracts from an explicit optimization problem we derive a system of equations for output and money growth then we successfully test the non linear restriction imposed by the theory on the parameters of the system of equations we cannot reject the hypothesis that money growth has been systematically different under the two types of administration and that this difference contributes to explain output fluctuations

competitive promotional strategies this article analyzes the equilibrium pricing strategies of brands engaged in a pricing game each brand has a monopoly market loyal consumers and competes with others in a common market called brand switchers in the case of a duopoly it is shown that the behavior of the brand switchers characterizes the equilibrium behavior of the duopolists this article focuses on two key comparative statics namely the depth of discounts away from a regular high price and the probability of giving a deal or the frequency of deals how these properties vary with the size of the loyal markets and the behavior of the brand switching population is discussed copyright 1988 by the university of chicago

integrating the regulatory and utility firm perspectives when measuring the efficiency of electricity distribution abstract several dea applications for benchmarking in utility regulation use classical models which reveal inconsistencies due to pareto inefficient targets the natural course of action would be to incorporate weight restrictions reflecting value judgments and requiring interaction between analyst and decision maker we show that weight restricted dea models still present some inconsistencies since it is not possible to ensure that the target both dominates the observed dmu and lies on the empirical production frontier besides the decision maker and analyst interaction it is necessary to consider a further distinction between the two parties the regulatory agency and the utility company which adopt different criteria to determine the efficient target a model to obtain a preferred target dea index is formulated taking advantage of the dual based dea graphical analysis thus we propose a two phase dea analysis that can integrate both perspectives a case study about the brazilian electricity sector is included which illustrates the above mentioned issues

equilibrium price dispersion in retail markets for prescription drugs this study seeks to establish the empirical importance of price dispersion due to costly consumer search by examining retail prices for prescription drugs posted prices in two geographically distinct markets are shown to vary considerably across pharmacies within the same market even after one controls for variation due to pharmacy differences pharmacy heterogeneity accounts for at most one third of the observed price dispersion the empirical analysis hinges on the observation that consumers incentives to price shop depend on characteristics of the drug therapy cross sectional patterns in price distributions across drugs are consistent with the predictions of a search model prices for repeatedly purchased prescriptions for which the expected benefits of search are highest exhibit significant reductions in both dispersion and price cost margins

determinants of technical efficiency of crop and livestock farms in poland la pologne est l un des pays d europe de l est candidats a une accession a l union europeenne qui rencontre de graves problemes de restructuration agricole l article etudie l efficacite technique en 2000 d exploitations agricoles individuelles polonaises specialisees en elevage et en grandes cultures l efficacite est estimee par la methode de frontiere stochastique et sa variabilite statistique evaluee par la construction d intervalles de confiance l article examine egalement les determinants de l efficacite les resultats obtenus pas la methode de frontiere stochastique sont compares avec ceux obtenus par la methode de data envelopment analysis dea en moyenne l efficacite technique des exploitations d elevage est superieure a celle des exploitations de grandes cultures pour les deux specialisations la relation entre l efficacite et la taille des exploitations est positive les grandes exploitations sont les plus efficaces les resultats obtenus par la methode de frontiere stochastique sont generalement confirmes par la methode dea la qualite de la terre et le degre d integration dans les marches d aval sont d importants determinants de l efficacite la faible education est un obstacle majeur a l efficacite en particulier pour les exploitations de grandes cultures de plus celles ci utilisent beaucoup les marches de facteurs terre et travail alors que les exploitations d elevage utilisent plutot leurs propres terres et le travail familial

rejoinder natural monopoly and the bell system response to charnes cooper and sueyoshi our study of the bell system cost function shows that it is possible to reject the hypothesis that at t was a natural monopoly our study is based on a regression analysis of a translog cost function estimated on 1947 1977 data charnes cooper and sueyoshi charnes a w w cooper t sueyoshi 1988 a goal programming constrained regression review of the bell system breakup management sci 34 1 26 claim that they reverse our conclusion when they use goal programming estimators of a translog cost function estimated on exactly the same data that we use this claim is false there is no basis for comparing our estimates with their estimates because they in fact use different data than we use and estimate a different cost function than we estimate moreover when goal programming estimates and regression estimates based on the same data and similar cost function specifications are compared they yield similar estimates and produce the same inference about natural monopoly

characterization of the support of the mixed strategy price equilibria in oligopolies with heterogeneous consumers abstract this paper revisits the theory of oligopoly pricing and shows that for a large class of demand and cost functions a mixed strategy equilibrium necessarily implies that each firm s equilibrium strategy is a discrete distribution over a finite number of prices

price dispersion in duopolies with heterogeneous consumers abstract in this paper i modify varian s varian h r 1980 a model of sales american economic review 70 4 651 659 model of sales to allow for heterogeneity in consumer preferences i show that in mixed strategy equilibria each firm charges a finite number of prices using this characterization i examine the effect of consumer heterogeneity on firms optimal pricing strategies

price promotions in emerging markets how should price promotion strategies be modified in an emerging market e g india china compared to those employed in developed markets e g usa canada specifically how should the presence of middle class consumers with limited ability to pay prevalent in an emerging market influence the depth and frequency of price promotions offered by competing firms lay intuition suggests that firms should promote more frequently and offer deeper discounts in emerging markets in order to effectively sell to limited income middle class consumers we construct a theoretical model that investigates the effect of the middle class segment on firms price promotion strategies contrary to lay intuition our analysis reveals precisely the opposite results first price promotions offered in an emerging market with middle class consumers are shallower than those offered in a developed market without middle class consumers second relatively deep price promotions occur less frequently in an emerging market compared to a developed market these theoretical findings are consistent with the empirical evidence we gathered from the supermarkets in india and in canada

does government ideology matter in monetary policy a panel data analysis for oecd countries this paper examines whether government ideology has influenced monetary policy in oecd countries we use quarterly data in the 1980 1 2005 4 period and exclude emu countries our taylor rule specification focuses on the interactions of a new time variant index of central bank independence with government ideology the results show that leftist governments have somewhat lower short term nominal interest rates than rightwing governments when central bank independence is low in contrast short term nominal interest rates are higher under leftist governments when central bank independence is high the effect is more pronounced when exchange rates are flexible our findings are compatible with the view that leftist governments in an attempt to deflect blame of their traditional constituencies have pushed market oriented policies by delegating monetary policy to conservative central bankers

competing for low end markets recent business research points to the fortune awaiting to be tapped in low end markets in this paper we investigate how the size of the low end market influences a firm s profits and the pioneering firm s quality choice as low valuation consumers increase in a market on average consumers willingness to pay decreases this may lead us to expect firms profits to decrease as the size of the low end market increases our analysis shows that if the size of the low end market is below a threshold an increase in the size of the low end market may actually dampen price competition and improve profits as firms can then strategically choose their quality levels such that their products are more differentiated conventional wisdom also suggests that the pioneering firm will offer a higher quality product and earn more profits compared with the later entrant in contrast to this notion of quality advantage our analysis identifies circumstances in which a pioneer can offer a lower quality product and yet earn more profits an experimental test lends support for some of our model s predictions we further extend the model to consider markets with multiple firms firms with multiple products and consumers with limited purchasing power

structuring west germany s energy objectives for this article a comprehensive and politically legitimate list of criteria to evaluate energy systems was constructed from interviews with leading representatives of a broad spectrum of west german society in the interviews we probed the fundamental values of nine political and social organizations including the catholic and lutheran churches the federation of german labour unions the association of german industries and the german nature society a hierarchical representation of value criteria was logically structured for each group separately and then aggregated into a combined value tree the result facilitates communication and constructive compromise promotes the creation of policy options and helps evaluate future energy systems

service quality in brazilian mobile telephony an efficiency frontier analysis the mobile telephony sector is characterized by the dynamic interplay of rapid changes in technology and an apparently growing competition as indicated by the fierce nonprice competition and is yet associated with the entry of new operating companies in some cases in this context a relevant and neglected issue is the assessment of how service quality responded to an increasingly competitive environment this study utilizes data envelopment analysis to assess the quality efficiency of mobile telephony companies in brazil during the 2000 2003 period window analysis was conducted for the entire period taking as reference different quality indicators pertaining to different forms of complaints and calls completed and interrupted the efficiency measurement was made feasible by interpreting the indicators reflecting a positive dimension of quality as outputs and those reflecting negative aspects of quality as inputs given potential heterogeneities across firms that relate to the frequency band and to th

efficient estimation methods for closed ended contingent valuation surveys closed ended contingent valuation surveys can be very useful in the evaluation of nonmarket resources respondents merely state whether they would accept or reject a hypothetical threshold amount either as payment for giving up access to the resource or as a fee for its use the authors develop a maximum likelihood procedure which exploits the variation in the threshold values to allow direct and separate point estimates of regression like slope coefficients and error standard deviations without truncation bias their illustration uses data from a survey of recreational fisherman to examine factors which influence individuals willingness to pay copyright 1987 by mit press

political models of the business cycle should be revived political models of the business cycle have typically been ignored because they appear inconsistent with rational behavior and because empirical evidence is inconclusive this paper addresses the second issue demonstrating for u s real gnp unemployment and inflation that electoral cycles persistent patterns across electoral terms are significant but apparently only for republican incumbents and that partisan cycles persistent differences between parties are also significant these findings are consistent with the conjecture that a minority party is more constrained by electoral concerns whereas a majority party is freer to pursue partisan objectives

a stochastic frontier model of the productive efficiency of korean container terminals a central objective of port privatization and or deregulation policies is stimulating greater efficiency by engendering a more competitive market and commercial approach to management korea provides a prime example of a nation that is implementing such policies also its ports play a pivotal role in world shipping particularly in the ever burgeoning container market the success of these policies in increasing the productive efficiency of korean container terminals is assessed the uk container terminal sector provides a useful benchmark for comparison since privatization and deregulation have formed an integral part of uk port reforms for nearly 20 years and the effect on efficiency having had time to mature will be much easier to gauge the stochastic frontier model is justified as the chosen methodology for estimating productive efficiency levels and is applied to cross sectional data under a variety of distributional assumptions a panel data model is also estimated results are consistent and su

a goal programming constrained regression review of the bell system breakup the recently implemented court decision to break up bell american telephone telegraph co to accord with u s anti trust laws represents a highly significant policy decision which is proving to be influential in other countries as well as the u s the telecommunication industry is of such size and importance that even relatively small economies that might be lost with bell s breakup as a natural monopoly could involve substantial welfare losses to consumers and producers studies commissioned by the u s justice department that approached this topic by econometric methods reported that the evidence failed to support the contention that bell was a natural monopoly here a goal programming constrained regression as developed in the management science literature uses the same functional form and the same data but nevertheless reverses the main findings of the econometric studies in every one of the 20 years covered this kind of difference in results obtained by two different methods of analysis poi

consistency in performance rankings the peru water sector regulators can utilize a number of alternative methodologies for comparing firm efficiency but these approaches need to be robust to be accepted by stakeholders this study evaluates the consistency of water utility performance rankings for peruvian water utilities the results indicate that data envelopment analysis dea and stochastic frontier analysis sfa yield similar rankings in this case in addition the techniques have comparable success for identifying the best and worst performing utilities however these rankings based on sophisticated statistical techniques are not highly correlated with those developed by the peruvian water regulator sunass this result does not invalidate the performance rankings obtained by the regulator since those rankings are based on more dimensions of utility performance however they illustrate the importance of developing sound techniques for identifying weak utilities improvements in sector performance require that benchmarking be given greater attention t

relative efficiency measurement and prospects for yardstick competition in brazilian electricity distribution abstract the paper considers the non parametric methodology of data envelopment analysis dea in the context of efficiency measurement for brazilian electricity distribution in 1997 98 indicating the existence of firms operating substantially below the efficiency frontier the potential and difficulties associated with the implementation of yardstick competition schemes are then discussed stressing in particular the role of relative efficiency scores obtained from the dea approach

studying the role of political competition in the evolution of government size over long horizons here we argue for the use of cointegration and error correction analysis to combine economic factors that are nonstationary with political factors that are stationary into an empirical model of the evolution of public policy over long periods the approach is applied to disentangle the contributions of economics and politics to the evolution of public expenditure by the government of canada over 130 years political competition emerges as the primary political factor affecting government size

regulatory measurement and evaluation of telephone service quality regulators of utilities that operate as local monopolies would like to set prices or allow rates of return based upon the quality of a utility s service however quality is highly multidimensional traditionally regulators have collected measures of quality on many separate dimensions and compared performance on these dimensions to explicit pass fail standards they have lacked a method of combining complex patterns of substandard and superstandard performance on these many dimensions to arrive at an overall evaluation of the quality of service to redress this problem we first describe the information processing problems regulators encounter when they attempt to integrate this complex array of information intuitively and the problems that arise when the link between service quality as reflected in patterns of passed and failed standards and regulatory incentives is not made explicit to utility management we develop a bootstrapped method for formalizing each expert regulator s evaluation policy us

quality frontier of electricity distribution supply security best practices and underground cabling in finland electricity distribution is a prime example of local monopoly in most countries the costs of electricity distribution operators are regulated by the government however the cost regulation may create adverse incentives to compromise the quality of service to avoid this cost regulation is often amended with quality incentives this study applies theory and methods of productivity analysis to model the frontier of service quality a semi nonparametric estimation method is developed which does not assume any particular functional form for the quality frontier but can accommodate stochastic noise and heteroscedasticity the empirical part of our paper examines how underground cabling and location affect the interruption costs as expected higher proportion of underground cabling decreases the level of interruption costs the effects of cabling and location on the variance of performance are also considered especially the location is found to be a significant source of heteroscedasticity in the interruption costs finally the proposed quality frontier benchmark is compared to the current practice of finnish regulation system the proposed quality frontier is found to provide more meaningful and stable basis for setting quality targets than the average practice benchmarks currently in use

the comparative productivity efficiency for global telecoms abstract this paper reconciles diverse efficiency measures to characterize the productivity efficiency of 39 forbes 2000 ranked leading global telecom operators productivity efficiency ratings should be considered as a key element for achieving greater business performance and better market position this study applies the data envelopment analysis dea approach with the classical radial measure a p efficiency measure and efficiency achievement measure respectively combining multiple outputs and inputs to measure the magnitude of performance differences between leading telecom carriers empirical results indicate that top ranked forbes telecom operators are not the same as those having top ranked ccr efficiency measures the results show that about 20 5 of forbes 2000 telecom operators are operating on the best practice frontier for ccr efficiency measure while only 7 7 match the efficiency achievement measure criteria this study also shows that asia pacific telecom operators have better productivity efficiency than those in europe and america but the differences are not significant another interesting find is that the state owned telcos as a group show a relatively higher scoring than the privatized telcos as a group because they maintain full service fixed line mobile and internet operations as compared to maintaining fixed only or mobile only operations except china but the differences are not significant it has been concluded that competition in the global telecom market will continue to be tied to the enhanced productivity efficiency

technical efficiency of european railways a distance function approach this study has two principal objectives the first objective is to measure and compare the performance of european railways the second objective is to illustrate the usefulness of econometric distance functions in the analysis of production in multioutput industries where behavioural assumptions such as cost minimization or profit maximization are unlikely to be applicable using annual data on 17 railways companies during 1988 1993 multioutput distance functions are estimated using corrected ordinary least squares cols the resulting technical efficiency estimates range from 0 980 for the netherlands to 0 784 for italy with a mean of 0 863 the distance function results are also compared with those obtained from single output production functions where aggregate output measures are formed using either total revenue or a tornqvist index the results obtained indicate substantial differences in parameter estimates and technical efficiency rankings casting significant doubt upon the reliability of

technical note price promotions in asymmetric duopolies with heterogeneous consumers in this note i investigate the outcome of a static price competition between a strong firm a firm with an established loyal consumer base and a weak firm a firm without loyal consumers the consumers are divided into the strong firm s loyal segment and the switching segment members of which have heterogeneous tastes for the firms products in the presence of loyal consumers for a large set of the parameters of the demand function the firms use mixed strategies over a finite number of prices these strategies can be interpreted as occurrences of sales the most common case is that of the strong firm s using two prices and the weak firm s using one price however when both firms use sales the weak firm promotes more often than the strong firm

a comparative application of data envelopment analysis and translog methods an illustrative study of hospital production this paper compares inferences about hospital cost and production correspondences from two different estimation models 1 the econometric modeling of the translog cost function and 2 the application of data envelopment analysis dea while there are numerous examples of the application of each approach to empirical data this paper provides insights into the relative strengths of the estimation methods by applying both models to the same data the translog results suggest that constant reruns are operant whereas the dea results suggest that both increasing and decreasing returns to scale may be observed in different segments of the production correspondence in turn suggesting that the translog model may be averaging diametrically opposite behavior on the other hand by examining the rate of output transformation both models agree that patient days devoted to care of children are more resource intensive than those devoted to adults or to the elderly in addition we compare estimates of technical efficiencies of individual hospitals obtained from the two methods the dea estimates are found to be highly related to the capacity utilization but no such relationship was found for the translog estimates this comparative application of different estimation models to the same data to obtain inferences about the nature of underlying cost and production correspondences sheds interesting light on the strengths of each approach and suggests the need for additional research comparing estimation models using real as well as simulated data

productivity growth technical progress and efficiency change in industrialized countries this paper analyzes productivity growth in 17 oecd countries over the period 1979 1988 a nonparametric programming method activity analysis is used to compute malmquist productivity indexes these are decomposed into two component measures namely technical change and efficiency change we find that u s productivity growth is slightly higher than average all of which is due to technical change japan s productivity growth is the highest in the sample with almost half due to efficiency change jel c43 d24 in this paper we apply recently developed

pricing and promotions in asymmetric duopolies this paper develops a modeling framework for making promotions decisions in contrast to some of the prior research the framework explicitly models promotions its central feature is the view of promotions competition as a multistage game in which regular prices are chosen first followed by the choice of promotion depths and frequencies it is used to illustrate the nature of competition between a national brand and private label in equilibrium the national brand promotes to ensure that the private label does not try to attract consumers away from the national brand moreover the private label does not promote this equilibrium is also contrasted with varian s framework used by other researchers in which mixed strategy equilibrium prices are interpreted as promotions

the efficiency of museums a stochastic frontier production function approach this article examines the technical efficiency of museums based upon data derived from a questionnaire survey of south west england a stochastic frontier production function is estimated with output measured in terms of visitor numbers the cobb douglas function is shown to be the best representation of the production function average levels of efficiency are estimated to be fairly low at 45 5 with wide variations across museums the results indicate that high levels of public funding and voluntary activity have a significantly negative impact on technical efficiency it is argued that further research is needed to develop more sophisticated measures of the output of cultural industries and understand the economic importance of volunteers

on the in efficiency of swiss hospitals the efficiency of hospitals is of interest to health insurers government authorities and hospital management itself however econometric methods for determining in efficiency have severe drawbacks since hospitals are multiproduct firms and because the duality between production and cost functions cannot be assumed in this work non parametric deterministic data envelopment analysis dea is used to measure the relative inefficiency of 89 swiss hospitals covering the years 1993 1996 310 observations special attention is given to the role of patient days in the production of health the findings depend on whether patient days are viewed as an input of patient time or as an output as in previous studies while the probability of a unit being inefficient cannot be explained using the available data the degree of overall inefficiency is shown to significantly depend on the financial incentives faced by management in particular due to subsidization private hospitals do not seem to be less inefficien

valuing environmental policy options a case study comparison of multiattribute and contingent valuation survey methods this paper describes a promising new evaluation approach called a value integration survey that uses the objectives and tradeoffs expressed by participants to value environmental policy options this constructive technique which builds on the interactive elicitation process of decision analysts assists stakeholders in clarifying their values and in agreeing on a policy alternative the paper compares this multi attribute valuation method to contingent valuation surveys describes the sequence of respondents tasks and presents results from a case study comparison of contingent valuation and value integration survey methods in the context of valuing options for fire control in oregon s oldgrowth forests

an examination of the effect of ownership on the relative efficiency of public and private water utilities the behavior of privately and publicly owned water utilities is examined by estimating a generalized variable cost function containing the regular characteristics of the neoclassical cost function without requiring that cost minimization subject to market prices be imposed as a maintained hypothesis assuming that unobserved shadow prices reflect the regulatory environment of the water industry tests for cost minimization are obtained by deriving shadow prices as functions of market prices the empirical results provide evidence that public water utilities are more efficient than private utilities on average but are more widely dispersed between best and worst practice

the adoption of incentive regulation and its effect on technical efficiency in telecommunications in the united states abstract incentive regulation has become an important regulatory tool in the telecommunications industry in the united states the issue explored here is whether incentive regulation has resulted in an increase in efficiency after providing an overview of the nature of incentive regulation a methodology for measuring technical efficiency and its change is introduced this is a multiple output multiple input distance function approach to measuring technical efficiency the results of implementing this approach for 19 local exchange carriers for the 1988 1999 period indicate that in the production of local service intrastate toll access service and interstate access to local loops there was no change in technical efficiency between the 1988 1990 period and the 1991 1999 period something that incentive regulation was specifically designed to promote

game theory and empirical generalizations concerning competitive promotions this paper offers the generalization that competitive promotions are mixed strategies first an empirical regularity is established that promotions are independent across competitors this regularity is then elaborated on in the context of a promotion game the promotion game is linked to observable outcomes and a classification of possible situations is developed in particular the classification includes the prisoners dilemma battle of the sexes and marketing models of promotion competition the evidence for the generalization comes from a variety of product markets spanning trade promotions retail price reductions and retail promotions such as advertised specials the product markets include coffee baby diapers toilet tissue saltines dishwashing fluid ketchup and detergents among others the data in some cases were from cooperating grocery chains and in others from iri scanner panels the evidence from extant research and from new analyses is presented each situation is identified as be

durability market structure and new used goods models focuses on the relationship between market structure and monopoly power durability models new used goods model durability and monopoly in the new used model interdependence between market structure and durability ebsco

elections economic outcomes and policy choices in canada 1870 2015 in this paper we examine the relationship between economic and electoral outcomes in canada since confederation 1867 and the role that economic policy has played in influencing this relationship

public expenditures in canadian provinces an empirical study of politico economic interactions it is widely believed that government ideology and electoral constraints are two major factors that influence the level of public expenditures however frey and schneider argue that the effects of the two phenomena are not simultaneous only when a government is popular can it pursue ideological goals and when popularity is low energies must be redirected toward gaining support from voters to win the next election data draw from the canadian provincial case are used to test empirically this hypothesis the findings support the frey and schneider explanation

electoral and partisan cycle regularities in canada in this paper following recent politico institutional approaches to the theory of economic policy the authors present a methodology for identifying political cycle regularities and test for electoral and partisan cycles in canadian target variables and monetary and fiscal policy instruments using annual data from 1926 to 1994 the empirical evidence suggests the absence of political cycles in canada