the political economy of rural property rights and the persistence of the dual economy abstract rural areas often have more than one regime of property rights and production large private property farms owned by powerful landowners coexist with subsistence peasants who farm small plots with limited property rights at the same time there is broad consensus that individual well specified and secure property rights over land improve economic outcomes if property rights in land are so beneficial why are they not adopted more widely i put forward a theory according to which politically powerful landowners choose weak property rights to impoverish peasants and force them to work for low wages moreover because weak property rights force peasants to stay in the rural sector protecting their property the incentives to establish poor property rights are especially salient when peasants can migrate to an alternative sector such as when urban wages increase with industrialization

do germans save to leave an estate an examination of the bequest motive i investigate whether a bequest motive for savings influences the post retirement wealth trajectories of german households two measures of the bequest motive are studied the existence of children as the main group of potential heirs and the respondents declared intention to bequeath while having children has no significant impact on households wealth trajectories stated bequest intentions are associated with considerable heterogeneity in wealth holdings the main conclusion from this study is that both the pure life cycle model and the life cycle model with bequest motives provide a valid basis for a theory of household wealth accumulation once the heterogeneity of preferences is acknowledged jel classification d91 j14

the effects of public pensions on private wealth evidence on the german savings puzzle based on german panel data between 1984 and 1999 we test for the interaction of social security benefits and private wealth formation in a simple life cylce model benefits from public pension systems should displace equal amounts of private retirement accumulation our estimate for the offset effect corrected for several possible measurement biases is much lower however than expected from pure life cycle considerations and less than comparable estimates for the us and the uk this result thus supports other evidence on a particular german savings puzzle which might be due to market imperfections and or bounded rational behaviour

pension wealth and household saving evidence from pension reforms in the united kingdom using three major u k pension reforms as natural experiments we investigate the relationship between pension saving and discretionary private savings unlike most differences in differences approaches which rely on average differences between control and treatment group we use economic theory to model the response of each individual household the empirical analysis based on the family expenditure survey uses both time series and cross sectional variation to identify the behavioral response the earnings related tier of the pension scheme is found to have a negative impact on private savings with relatively high substitution elasticities the impact of the flat rate tier is not significantly different from zero jel h55 h91 the relationship between pension wealth and household savings is crucial for important policy issues such as establishing the effects of changes in pension legislation on saving behavior from a theoretical point of view the lifecycle framework suggests that the provision of public benefits after retirement constitutes a negative incentive to accumulate wealth during one s working life quantifying the resulting relationship between pension wealth and saving even within a simple theoretical frame

precautionary savings a panel study theoretical literature shows that income uncertainty boosts saving yet empirical work is incomplete i test for the precautionary motive for saving using panel data knowing this motive s size is important for gauging the responsiveness of saving to government programs that reduce uncertainty and for comparison to other motives such as bequests most empirical studies of precautionary saving use either aggregate time series or cross sectional data which cannot capture the effects of individual income uncertainty i derive measures of total permanent and transitory income uncertainty from panel data the national longitudinal survey and find a strong precautionary motive a doubling of uncertainty increases the ratio of wealth to permanent income by 29

inequality in landownership the emergence of human capital promoting institutions and the great divergence this paper suggests that inequality in the distribution of landownership adversely affected the emergence of human capital promoting institutions e g public schooling and thus the pace and the nature of the transition from an agricultural to an industrial economy contributing to the emergence of the great divergence in income per capita across countries the prediction of the theory regarding the adverse effect of the concentration of landownership on education expenditure is established empirically based on evidence from the beginning of the 20th century in the u s

barbed wire property rights and agricultural development this paper examines the impact on agricultural development of the introduction of barbed wire fencing to the american plains in the late nineteenth century without a fence farmers risked uncompensated damage by others livestock from 1880 to 1900 the introduction and near universal adoption of barbed wire greatly reduced the cost of fences relative to the predominant wooden fences especially in counties with the least woodland over that period counties with the least woodland experienced substantial relative increases in settlement land improvement land values and the productivity and production share of crops most in need of protection this increase in agricultural development appears partly to reflect farmers increased ability to protect their land from encroachment states inability to protect this full bundle of property rights on the frontier beyond providing formal land titles might have otherwise restricted agricultural development

fiscal policies capital formation and capitalism abstract this lecture examines the effect of tax policy and social security retirement benefits on capital accumulation and economic welfare the paper begins by examining how capital income taxes reduce the real return to savers and then discusses the welfare loss of capital income taxation relative to the alternatives of taxing consumption and labor income the analysis shows that capital income taxes impose a very substantial deadweight loss even if they do not alter private saving the first section of the paper also discusses the theory and empirical literature on the effect of capital income taxes on national saving the second part of the lecture deals with social security retirement benefits in 1994 the aged members of the u s population will receive cash and medical benefits that cost the government 530 billion or 16 000 per person over age 65 the likely impact of these benefits on private saving and the empirical evidence on this subject are then reviewed the second part of the paper concludes by discussing the welfare loss of unfunded social security benefits and the possibilities for alternative arrangements a final section discusses the implications of international capital flows for this analysis as capital flows become more important particularly in europe the response of government policy may be to compete for foreign capital inflows and to tax domestic savers more heavily this would lead to a smaller total volume of capital the sharp decline in the net national saving rate from more than 8 percent of gdp in the united states in the 1970s to only 4 5 percent in the 1980s and from more than 14 percent of gdp in europe in the 1970s to 9 9 percent in the 1980s may not only create lower real incomes and slower growth but may weaken capitalism itself in the united states a decade of slow growth has increased protectionist tendencies in international trade and led to a new interest in industrial policies that expand the role of government in guiding the direction of technology and of private investment in these ways the government policies that discourage saving might make the schumpeterian vision of a shift from private capitalism to a government dominated economy more likely

the impact of pension schemes on saving in israel israeli micro and macro data indicate that consumption smoothing is limited and thus pension savings increase private and national savings since private savings rates are to a great extent unequal across different income groups saving is almost exclusively concentrated in the upper two quintiles

the profits of power land rights and agricultural investment in ghana we examine the impact of ambiguous and contested land rights on investment and productivity in agriculture in akwapim ghana we show that individuals who hold powerful positions in a local political hierarchy have more secure tenure rights and that as a consequence they invest more in land fertility and have substantially higher output the intensity of investments on different plots cultivated by a given individual corresponds to that individual s security of tenure over those specific plots and in turn to the individual s position in the political hierarchy relevant to those specific plots

pension wealth and household savings tests of robustness abstract a substantial literature exists on the impact of pension schemes both public and private on the level of household saving yet there is no clear consensus on the impact of pensions on private saving in this paper we show how beliefs about this displacement effect are modified by prior beliefs both about variables which might be relevant in an equation for private savings and about the magnitude of the displacement effect using data for 8279 canadian households and estimates of pension wealth both private and social security which we construct for each household in the sample the estimated displacement effects are found to be relatively robust with respect to both types of prior belief

the economic effects of social security toward a reconciliation of theory and measurement abstract in this paper we argue that actuarial valuation of social security benefit streams is theoretically inconsistent with the assumption of pure life cycle motives instead we show that the simple discounted value of future benefits ignoring the possibility of death is often a good approximation to the relevant concept of value this observation motivates a re examination of existing empirical evidence concerning the economic effects of social security we focus our attention on studies of distributional equity and personal saving behavior in both cases we argue that the use of simple rather than actuarial discounting of survival contingent income streams produces results that differ dramatically from previous findings specifically estimates based on actuarial valuation may overstate the importance of redistribution between and within generations and may understate the depressive effect of social security on personal wealth accumulation by a factor of three or more

south african land policy the legacy of history and current options abstract the highly dualistic farm structure of south africa and the low productivity of native african farmers have been the result of systematic distortions in land allocation output markets the provision of infrastructure agricultural credit and services the dualistic structure did not emerge because of genuine economies of scale in the large commercial sector other countries in latin america and africa that once supported a dualistic farm size structure through similar distortions have either implemented large scale land reforms or have experienced decades of peasant revolts and civil war the paper compares these international experiences to south africa and outlines judicial and market assisted approaches to south african land reform

imperfect accounting and reporting bias errors and bias are both inherent features of accounting in theory while errors discourage bias by lowering the value relevance of accounting they can also facilitate bias by providing camouflage consistent with theory we find a hump shaped relation between a firm s propensity to engage in intentional misstatement and the prevalence of unintentional misstatements in the firm s industry for the whole economy and a majority of the industries the result is robust to using firms number of items in financial statements and exposure to complex accounting rules as alternative proxies for errors and to using the restatement amount in net income to quantify the magnitude of bias and errors to directly test for the two effects of errors we show that when errors are more prevalent the market reacts less to firms earnings surprises and bias is more difficult to detect our results highlight the imperfectness of accounting advance understanding of firms reporting incentives and shed light on accounting standard setting

entitled to work urban property rights and labor supply in peru this brief summarizes the results of a gender impact evaluation study entitled entitled to work urban property rights and labor supply in peru new legal rights were issued in 1996 project teams providing titling service through 2003 in peru the study observed that between 1996 and 2003 the peruvian government issued property titles to over 1 2 million urban households the largest titling program targeted at urban squatters in the developing world this paper examines the labor market effects of increases in tenure security resulting from the program pre program squatters in program neighborhoods were significantly more likely to report improved tenure security by 60 percent similarly program participants were 18 8 percentage points less likely to report a high likelihood of eviction or invasion and 18 8 percentage points more likely to report that their dwelling was currently very secure from eviction or invasion the likelihood of working inside the home significantly falls by 11 6 percentage points for the average squatter family with two program periods

beyond balanced growth balanced growth models are commonly used in macroeconomics because they are consistent with the well known kaldor facts regarding economic growth these models however are inconsistent with one of the most striking regularities of the growth process the massive reallocation of labour from agriculture into manufacturing and services this paper presents a simple model consistent with both the kaldor facts and the dynamics of sectoral labour reallocation

land tenure security and investment incentives puzzling evidence from burkina faso abstract the commonsense logic associating higher land security and higher incentives to invest has been recently called into question in the case of african agriculture to be meaningful empirical tests have to be carefully designed so as to take account of the possible endogeneity of the land rights variable this is done in this paper by applying suitable econometric methods to the original data collected in burkina faso the results obtained cast doubt on the existence of a systematic influence of land tenure security on investment by reviewing the justifications for scepticism in the recent literature we are able to conclude that the traditional village order where it exists provides the basic land rights required to stimulate small scale investment

the life cycle model of consumption and saving a central implication of life cycle models is that agents smooth consumption we review the empirical evidence on smoothing at frequencies from within the year up to across a lifetime we find that life cycle models particular those which incorporate realistic features of markets and goods have more empirical successes than failures we also show that some apparent deviations from theoretical predictions imply very small welfare losses for agents finally we emphasize that the coherence of life cycle models imposes an important discipline when incorporating new features into models

the effects of pensions on household wealth a reevaluation of theory and evidence this paper examines the extent to which households offset pension wealth with reductions in other wealth systematic econometric biases imply that the estimated offsets in previous empirical studies are smaller than the true offset and may even have the wrong sign new empirical estimates that do not correct for the biases generate little offset between pensions and other wealth estimates that correct for the biases show substantially more offset a smaller impact of pensions on overall saving than in most previous studies the estimates also indicate that the effects of pensions on wealth vary significantly across households

land tenure and investment incentives evidence from west africa abstract the existing literature on the relationship between property rights in land and agricultural investment in africa has given results that are often confusing and contradictory i make two clarifying contributions to this literature first i pull together existing studies and investigate whether the results they find have been affected by research methods or local contexts studies with small sample sizes those that use binary investment measures and those that control for household fixed effects are less likely to find a statistically significant link between land tenure and investment self reported tenure security has been a poor predictor of investment outcomes second i test for a relationship between land tenure and agricultural investment in nine data sets from west africa while the link between tenure and investment is significant for fallow and tree planting it is less robust for labor use and other inputs such as manure or chemical fertilizer

social security and households saving this paper provides new evidence on the substitutability between private and pension wealth by exploiting the italian pension reform of 1992 we use a difference in difference estimator that exploits the differential effects of the reform on individuals belonging to several yea of birth cohorts and different occupational groups we find convincing evidence that saving rates increase as a result of a reduction in pension wealth by allowing for the possibility that substitutability changes with age we find that substitutability is particularly high and precisely estimated for workers between 35 and 45

information the dual economy and development we examine the interactions between different institutional arrangements in a general equilibrium model of a modernizing economy there is a modern sector where productivity is high but information asymmetries are large and a traditional sector where productivity is low but information asymmetries are small consequently agency costs in the modern sector make consumption lending difficult while such lending is readily done in the traditional sector the resulting trade off between credit availability and productivity implies that not everyone will move to the modern sector in fact the laissez faire level of modernization may fail to maximize net social surplus this situation may also hold in the long run in a dynamic version of the model a trickle down effect links the process of modernization with reduction in modern sector agency costs this effect may be too weak and the economy may get stuck in a trap and never fully modernize the two sector structure also yields a natural theoretical testing ground for the kuznets inverted u hypothesis we show that even within the sectoral shifting class of models this phenomenon is not robust to small changes in model specification

empowerment and efficiency tenancy reform in west bengal the paper analyzes the effect of agricultural tenancy laws offering security of tenure to tenants and regulating the share of output that is paid as rent on farm productivity theoretically the net impact of tenancy reform is shown to be a combination of two effects a bargaining power effect and a security of tenure effect analysis of evidence on how contracts and productivity changed after a tenancy reform program was implemented in the indian state of west bengal in the late 1970s suggests that tenancy reform had a positive effect on agricultural productivity there

explaining agricultural and agrarian policies in developing countries the paper describes and as far as possible explains variations in policies programs and institutions that influence agricultural growth agrarian relations and rural welfare across developing countries and over time it evaluates the impact of distorted policy patterns on agricultural production and rural poverty and identifies conditions under which policy reforms meant to bring about greater efficiency and equity are likely to be initiated and sustained it draws upon a broad range of literature to show how material conditions missing markets and government policies affect static welfare outcomes patterns of accumulation state formation and the establishment of political institutions it suggests ways to improve policy advice and proposes directions for future research