testing the response of consumption to income changes with noisy panel data this paper tests the rational expectations lifecycle model of consumption against i a keynesian model and ii the rational expectations lifecycle model with imperfect capital markets the tests are based upon the relative responsiveness of consumption to income changes that can be predicted from past information and income changes that cannot he predicted the tests allow for measurement error in income the results reject the keynesian model and generally support the lifecycle model but the results are not sufficiently precise to rule out the possibility that some households are liquidity constrained measurement error has a strong influence on the relationship between consumption and income

fiscal federalism and redistributive politics abstract we consider the interaction between redistributive politics at central and local levels in a federal system and characterize the factors influencing success in redistributive politics in both federal and unitary systems we examine how the political characteristics of different states and groups give them better or worse outcomes in a federal system as opposed to a unitary system we examine possibilities of multiple equilibria with divided government between the two layers we analyze the choice between block grants and matching grants we also examine the impact of federalism on the incentives for geographic mobility

optimal taxation and intergovernmental transfer in a dynamic model with multiple levels of government abstract in this paper we study the optimal choices of the federal income tax federal transfers and local taxes in a dynamic model of capital accumulation and with explicit game structures among multiple private agents multiple local governments and the federal government in general the optimal local property tax is zero if the local property tax is constrained to be nonnegative whereas the optimal local consumption tax is always positive when the local consumption tax is chosen optimally the federal income tax can be either positive or negative for most reasonable parameter values our numerical calculations have shown that with a positive local consumption tax there exists a reverse transfer from local governments to the federal government

borders and business cycles abstract we document that business cycles of u s census regions are substantially more synchronized than those of european countries data from regions within european countries confirm a european border effect within country correlations are substantially larger than cross country correlations these results continue to hold after controlling for exogenous factors such as distance and size we consider the role of four factors that have received attention in the debate about emu sectoral specialization the level of trade monetary policy and fiscal policy we find that the lower level of trade between european countries explains most of the observed border effect

a political economy theory of partial decentralization we revisit the classic problem of tax competition in the context of federal nations and derive a positive theory of partial decentralization a capital poor median voter chooses to use redistributive capital taxes to provide public goods the expectation of high capital taxes however results in a small capital stock which lowers returns to redistribution the median voter therefore wants to commit to a lower level of capital taxes she does so by setting a partial degree of decentralization in the constitution the equilibrium degree of decentralization balances the positive effect of tax competition on capital taxes with the loss in redistribution that results we show that the degree of decentralization is nonmonotonic in inequality increasing in the redistributive efficiency of public good provision and decreasing in capital productivity when public goods are heterogeneous in their capacity to transfer funds all voters agree that goods with high redistributive capacity should be decentralized

economic incentives for tourism firms to undertake voluntary environmental management abstract the management of natural assets at tourism destinations has relied strongly on the traditional assumption that agents free ride tourism firms are expected to overuse resources for their private interest and be subject to a trade off between being green and being competitive however there are many examples of voluntary environmental actions undertaken by the tourism industry the present paper reviews the literature on the economic consequences of voluntary environmental action taken by tourism firms and presents three challenges to the commonly held tragedy expectations these results suggest the viability of alternative environmental policymaking that takes potential voluntary action under consideration

european monetary unification a tour d horizon this article takes stock of the literature and debate over european monetary unification in contrast to other papers where it is argued that the issues and prospects remain shrouded in uncertainty i argue that in a number of important areas a reasonable degree of consensus now exists as the result of a decade of scholarship the subsequent stock taking concentrates on areas where significant questions remain starting with the implications of surrendering the exchange rate and an independent national monetary policy as instruments of adjustment the conduct of fiscal policy under the excessive deficit procedure and the stability pact and how quickly the european union is likely to develop an eu wide system of fiscal federalism to accompany its monetary union turning from fiscal to monetary issues i ask whether the european central bank ecb will be as inflation averse as the bundesbank what exchange rate policy the ecb will pursue and whether the euro will be a leading reserve currency i conclude with what may be the most contentious issue of all namely whether europe s monetary union could collapse after it begins

who can adjust to the euro this study estimates potential exchange rate variation among 26 european countries during 1992 1998 as a proxy for the potential magnitude of adjustment they face to euro block membership using the instrumental variable iv method applying least squares cross section regression analysis based on optimal currency area theory a currency union among belgium denmark france germany ireland malta the netherlands and slovenia is found to entail a relatively light burden of adjustment for its members the current membership of other countries in the euro block is potentially very demanding on their societies in the long term this study also compares currency boards and independent central banks as alternative monetary frameworks for disinflation policies based on a pooled time series cross section dataset of the same countries and years currency boards are found to be more effective in reducing inflation in all countries except belgium balancing emu s credibility gains against its adjustment costs finland greece italy portugal and spain seem like unstable members of the euro block for all new eu member states except the czech republic malta slovenia and slovakia the advice is to stay out of the euro block until their economies are liberalised and flexible enough to withstand major adjustments and their societal interest groups supportive enough of these adjustments

a differential game approach to investment in product differentiation abstract we consider a dynamic oligopoly where firms invest to increase product differentiation and an externality effect operates in the r d activity via the demand functions in the fully noncooperative setting we find that the degree of differentiation resulting from r d effort is higher the larger is the population of firms in the industry if firms cooperate in the r d activity by setting up an r d cartel aggregate investment is larger and product substitutability is lower than in the decentralised case

fiscal federalism in europe lessons from the united states experience the existing political and legal institutions of fiscal policy making are under challenge as the united states and the eastern european and soviet states experiment with policy decentralization the states of western europe are looking to a more centralized policy structure via the e e c this paper seeks to raise issues of importance to all such reform efforts notably the need to consider and balance the inefficiencies of fiscal policy decentralization spillovers and wasteful fiscal competition against the inefficiencies of fiscal policy centralization policy cycles and localized pork barrel spending and taxes the need to develop new fiscal policy institutions emphasizing voluntary agreements and responsive agenda setters is stressed robert p inman daniel l rubinfeld department of finance and economics school of law and the wharton school of management department of economics university of pennsylvania university of california philadelphia pa 19104 berkeley ca 94720 and neer fiscal federalism in europe lessons from the united states e perienc by robert p inman and daniel l rubinfeld2 in democratic and totalitarian regimes alike the existing political and legal institutions of economic policy making are under challenge the wisdom of centralized fiscal regimes is now being questioned quietly under the banner of the new federalism in the united states and vocally if not violently through the secessionist movements of eastern europe and the soviet states as these nations experiment with decentralized fiscal institutions the countries of western europe are now looking to the potential of a more centralized economic order within the new european economic community this paper seeks to raise issues of importance to all such reform efforts and within that context to offer some cautionary advise for the design of e e c fiscal institutions based upon the recent american experience with centralized fiscal policy making ii the role for central government fiscal policies in economic unions the european community s progress towards an economic and monetary union the authors wish to thank allesandra casella and barry eichengreen for helpful comments and discussions 2 the authors are professor of finance and economics university of pennsylvania and research associate of the nber and professor of law and economics university of california at berkeley respectively professor rubinfeld gratefully acknowledges the support of the center for real estate and urban economics at the university of california berkeley based upon a common currency will create new demands for the design of fiscal policy 3 perhaps most importantly with a common currency and thus a common monetary policy member states will no longer be able to influence their local economies through exchange rate or monetary policies when state specific economic shocks occur 4 state specific fiscal policies stand as an alternative three questions arise 1 can member state fiscal policies be effective in offsetting local economic shocks in an integrated economic union 2 if effective are such policies likely to be optimally managed at the state level and 3 if ineffective or non optimal what central government policies might be then preferred the recent united states experience is instructive on each point can member state fiscal policies be effective in open integrated economies deficit financed demand creation may be of only limited usefulness to small member states first the demand stimulus of deficit financing is dissipated through import demands from other union states gramlich 1987 has shown that the effectiveness of deficit policies in the smallest u s states is significantly import constrained though larger states may be able to use own deficits to affect state employment prospects second in member states the use of such deficits to combat local shocks may be significantly limited by what the capital markets will allow while deficits may be see eichengreen 1990 there is growing evidence of the economic importance of state specific economic shocks to the short run and long run prospects of states and regions in integrated economic unions see bernard and durlauf 1991 for a study of oecd countries many of which are in the eec and brown coulson and engle 1990 for a study of u s states member states which manage these shocks well are likely to enjoy higher long run growth beneficial to the local economy during downturns and while member states may promise to repay those deficits with surpluses during the upswing such promises are difficult to enforce the u s capital market has appeared reluctant to accept a state s promise of a balanced budget over a business cycle such promises lack credibility when temporary economic downturns are not easily distinguished from long run structural declines when good deficits cannot be distinguished from bad the only credible local government promise may be a balanced budget in each fiscal year the stringent u s state budgets for the recessionary 1992 fiscal year balanced through major tax increases and deep spending cuts offer evidence on the point 5 even if member state deficit policies are economically feasible their management may be non optimal in interdependent economic unions the benefits from local demand creation through deficit financing may spillover to other member states via import expansion while the interest costs of deficits remain with the borrowing state the result will be an under provision of expansionary fiscal policies by member states using the arguments of hart 1982 central government fiscal policies stand as the policy

volunteering and life or financial shocks does income and wealth matter volunteering is a dominant social force that signals a healthy state however although the literature on volunteering is extensive knowledge on how life s discontinuities life and financial shocks affect volunteering is limited because most studies work with static cross sectional data to reduce this shortcoming we use longitudinal data from australia hilda that track the same individuals over time to assess how individuals from different income and wealth groups respond to life and financial shocks with respect to volunteering although both income and wealth can act as buffers against life shocks by providing stability and reducing vulnerability which decreases the need to actually change behaviour patterns we observe more heterogeneity than expected and also stickiness at the lowest income levels response delays in post shock volunteering also suggest that volunteering habits may be driven and influenced by strong commitment and motivation that are not shattered by life or financial shocks in fact the amount of time spent volunteering tends to increase after negative income shocks and decrease after positive income shocks

a differential oligopoly game for optimal production planning and water savings abstract a production planning single decision problem is extended to a production planning and water saving dual decision problem a differential oligopoly game in which product prices are sticky and water right trading occurs is used to study this problem unlike previous studies appeared in the literature the decisions in this study are affected simultaneously by both the product and the water right prices static open loop closed loop and feedback equilibria are analyzed to show optimal production plans and water saving decisions the impact of oligopoly competition on the social welfare is finally analyzed different optimal solutions as the values of the parameters change are also simulated numerically the results show that the firms optimal production plans and water saving decisions are strongly influenced by the water efficiency initial water right allocations and water right reservation prices

a dynamic approach to voluntary environmental contributions in tourism abstract in an evolutionary game theoretical model of tourism firms that use an endogenous natural common pool resource cpr we show that stable equilibria with voluntary environmental initiatives may coexist with other equilibria where voluntary abatement is absent the basins of attraction of the equilibria are identified and a bifurcation analysis is carried out producing two results with policy implications first there is a highly non linear relationship between the cost of abatement required to be green and the share of green firms second increases in the number of the cpr s users will ultimately dissipate the incentives to make abatement beyond regulation

nonmarket institutions for credit and risk sharing in low income countries the design credit and risk institutions in low income countries provides one of the most exciting testing grounds for theories of contracting with imperfect information and limited enforcement this paper reviews some of the recent literature with a special focus on nonmarket institutions that cope with risk and provide credit this literature attempts to bring together insights from economic theory especially information economics contract theory and mechanism design theory however it is also applied being motivated by the circumstance of the poor countries that their authors have visited and studied

are local agreements on equalization grants possible a bargaining model with quasi linear local preferences on local public goods abstract the art 13 of the italian law n 42 2009 theoretically allows for local negotiations between municipalities on the allocation of equalization funds however in the subsequent practice and legislation such form of local negotiation has never been adopted a question arises from the italian experience in the presence of a predetermined equalization scheme decided by the central government are local agreements on equalization transfers possible in this paper we show that in the presence of quasi linear local preferences on public goods there is no space for alternative local agreements on the allocation of equalizing transfers in the presence of predetermined schemes decided by the central government our results suggest that similar practices when allowed are destined to have scarce success we also show that if the central government does not provide a predetermined scheme local agreement on equalization funds are viable

multilateral indexed loans and debt sustainability we evaluate the benefits and costs of indexing multilateral loans to variables related to developing countries ability to pay i e whether a reform of multilateral lending is feasible and eco nomically justified the analysis covers 40 international development association ida countries from 1990 to 2010 and focuses on three types of debt gdp indexed loans export indexed loans infla tion indexed loans denominated in local currency the insurance that indexed debt might offer against macroeconomic shocks depends on the conditional covariances of gdp growth real exchange rate depreciation and net exports that we estimate as the covariances of the forecast errors obtained from a vector autoregression var model the analysis shows that both gdp indexed loans and inflation indexed local currency loans would help to stabilize the debt ratio of the majority of ida countries in our sample however the adverse policy incentives created by local currency debt tends to favour gdp indexed debt the cost of indexation would be small the estimation of a capital asset pricing model capm suggests that loans indexed to gdp could be introduced at current interest rates since the estimated risk premium is less than 1 per cent any additional risk for multilateral lenders would be more than offset by a lower frequency of debt crises

life satisfaction dynamics with quarterly life event data using life satisfaction responses from australian panel data we examine the questions of when and to what extent individuals are affected by major positive and negative life events including changes in financial situation marital status death of a close relative and being the victim of crime the key advantage of our data is that we are able to identify these events on a quarterly basis rather than on the yearly basis used by previous studies we find evidence that life events are not randomly distributed that individuals anticipate major events to a large extent and that they fully adapt to many events within 12 months the estimates can be used to calculate monetary values needed to compensate individuals for life events using a new valuation methodology that incorporates these dynamic factors produces considerably smaller compensation valuations than those calculated using the standard approach

pricing and hedging gdp linked bonds in incomplete markets abstract we model the super replication of payoffs linked to a country s gdp as a stochastic linear program on a discrete time and state space scenario tree to price gdp linked bonds as a byproduct of the model we obtain a hedging portfolio using linear programming duality we compute also the risk premium the model applies to coupon indexed and principal indexed bonds and allows the analysis of bonds with different design parameters coupon target gdp growth rate and maturity we calibrate for uk and us instruments and carry out sensitivity analysis of prices and risk premia to the risk factors and bond design parameters we also compare coupon indexed and principal indexed bonds further results with calibrated instruments for germany italy and south africa shed light on a policy question whether the risk premia of these bonds make them beneficial for sovereigns our findings affirm that designs are possible for both coupon indexed and principal indexed bonds that can benefit a sovereign with an advantage for coupon indexed bonds this finding is robust but a nuanced reading is needed due to the many inter related risk factors and design parameters that affect prices and premia

federal fiscal constitutions risk sharing and redistribution the paper studies the political and economic determinants of regional public transfers specifically it focuses on how such transfers are shaped by alternative fiscal constitutions where a constitution is an allocation of fiscal instruments across different levels of governments plus a procedure for the collective choice of these instruments realistic restrictions on fiscal instruments introduce a tradeoff between risk sharing and redistribution different constitutions produce very different results in particular a federal social insurance scheme chosen by voting provides overinsurance whereas an intergovernmental transfer scheme chosen by bargaining provides underinsurance

borders and nominal exchange rates in risk sharing models of risk sharing predict that relative consumption growth rates are positively related to changes in real exchange rates we investigate this hypothesis using a new multicountry and multiregional data set within countries we find evidence for risk sharing episodes of high relative regional consumption growth are associated with regional real exchange rate depreciation across countries however the association is reversed relative consumption and real exchange rates are negatively correlated we define this reversal as a border effect we find the border effect and show that it accounts for over half of the deviations from full risk sharing since cross border real exchange rates involve different currencies it is natural to ask how much of the border effect is accounted for by movements in exchange rates our measures indicate that a large part of the border effect comes from nominal exchange rate fluctuations we develop a simple open economy model that is consistent with the importance of nominal exchange rate variability in accounting for deviations from cross country risk sharing

a positive model of overlapping income taxation in a federation of states abstract this paper develops a positive theory of overlapping income taxation in a federation of states the analysis provides a complete characterization of the equilibrium federal and states tax rates as functions of the level of total productivity dispersion between the states the federal rate is increasing in the level of total productivity dispersion between the states even if the income of the decisive voter at the federal level is above the mean income given that the individuals income is endogenously determined there exists a negative trade off between the implemented federal tax rate and the resulting states tax rates regardless of the pre tax income of the decisive voter at the state level thus high levels of productivity dispersion between the states cause a higher than optimal federal tax rate together with low states tax rates it is also shown that a system of overlapping income taxation is not efficient the resulting inefficiency might be exacerbated by the implementation of a federal matching grants program contradicting previous results in the related normative literature

fiscal federalism and monetary unions a quantitative assessment abstract in this paper i provide a quantitative analysis of three different forms of fiscal federalism in monetary unions fully decentralized regional fiscal authorities as the benchmark fiscal equalization with nominal tax revenue sharing and a common central fiscal authority i assess the capability of the different arrangements to stabilize regional consumption output and employment over the business cycle i also study the implications for interregional income consumption risk sharing and welfare from this analysis the following results emerge first a central fiscal authority stabilizes consumption fluctuations and increases the scope of interregional income and consumption risk sharing second fiscal equalization destabilizes consumption fluctuations and also reduces the scope of interregional income and consumption risk smoothing third a central fiscal authority leads to welfare gains whereas fiscal equalization leads to welfare losses

redistribution and risk sharing in italy learning from the past abstractredistribution and risk sharing in italy learning from the past regional studies this paper investigates the role of public policies in italy by assessing both the redistribution and the risk sharing functions of interregional net fiscal flows in the long run its comparative approach allows one to contrast results obtained for two periods characterized by diverse regional policy and dynamics of regional convergence although based on a specific example the evidence supports more general conclusions when assessing the regional redistributive and risk sharing power of national fiscal policies many different factors related to the existing policy regime should be accounted for particularly the distribution of government spending between current expenditure and public investment

regional non adjustment and fiscal policy asymmetric shocks regional non adjustment and fiscal policy how will countries handle idiosyncratic macroeconomic shocks under the single currency since the regional adjustment patterns currently prevailing within european currency unions are likely to prevail at the national level under the single currency looking at the ways in which european countries react to internally asymmetric shocks today provides a good preview for the answer to that question in this paper we compare the usa with germany italy and the uk and with canada which is closer to europe than the usa in its labour market and fiscal institutions europe s and to some extent canada s model of regional response differs from that of the usa changes in regional real exchange rates are small in all countries outside of the usa however there is more reliance on interregional transfer payments less on labour migration and the pace of regional adjustment appears to be slower if emu aims at the same degree of economic and social cohesion that its constituent nations enjoy today this suggests that its members may find it hard to resist the eventual extension of existing eu mechanisms of income redistribution a transfer union we propose an alternative strategy based on a relaxed stability pact further strictures against central eu borrowing labour market and fiscal reform and the issuance by individual member states of debt indexed to nominal gdp maurice obstfeld and giovanni peri

economic and social security in the twenty first century with attention to europe a partly heuristic attempt at exploring long run policies aimed at a second best compromise between ex ante risk sharing efficiency and ex post productive efficiency wage subsidies for low skilled workers financed by taxes on high wages are advocated together with improved risk sharing between capital and labour between generations and between the countries belonging to emu the scope of the advocated policies is limited by considerations of moral hazard time consistency and fiscal competition also estimates of some key economic parameters remain very imprecise several avenues of further research are identified

volunteer labor supply abstract we model the supply of volunteer labor which received an explicit wage of zero quantitatively important it constituted over 5 percent of the entire labor supply in the united states in 1980 both consumption and investment models are considered the former positing volunteering as an ordinary consumer good while the latter posits it as a means of obtaining on the job experience empirical estimation based on survey data discloses statistically significant effects of price and income variables on the supply of volunteer labor

subnational fiscal balance interregional redistribution and risk sharing in italy abstractthis paper provides new estimates of redistribution and risk sharing across regional territories accomplished by the italian public sector for the first time subnational governments fisc

emu enlargement stabilization costs and insurance mechanisms this paper considers the determinants of the macroeconomic costs of joining emu for the new eu member sates and compares them with those of the emu members specifically we investigate the business cycle correlation between the candidate s economy and that of the euro area as a whole and the ability of insurance mechanisms and fiscal policies to smooth income fluctuations the results suggest that emu membership would not be costly for some countries cyprus hungary and malta but for other countries it could have relevant costs at least in the short run for some of these countries business cycles are not yet well synchronized with the euro area s business cycle and risk sharing mechanisms do not provide enough insurance against shocks

hourly payment and volunteering the effect of organizational practices on decisions about time use we examine how organizational practices making an economic evaluation of time salient such as hourly pay can lead people to spend less time on uncompensated work volunteering using nationally representative survey data in study 1 we showed that with other factors that might affect time decisions controlled people paid by the hour were both less likely to volunteer and spent less time volunteering than counterparts who were not paid hourly study 2 showed that having people calculate their hourly wage was associated with decreased willingness to volunteer and that this experimental manipulation only affected people not paid by the hour because work organizations are typically institutionalized in every sense of that term scott 1995 with their management practices often assuming a taken for granted quality e g zucker 1977 people can learn decision rules and ways of thinking at work that they may then take with them into other spheres of their lives specifically people may develop a particular psychology of time and come to make different decisions about time use depending on the management practices relevant to the evaluation of time to which they are exposed although we believe that management practices and the dimensions of decisions about time that they may affect are many we begin our inquiry by focusing on the effects of hourly payment on the decision to volunteer time we argue that being paid by the hour almost inevitably makes salient an economic frame for the evaluation of time being compensated on an hourly basis predisposes people to assess how they spend their time in terms of the monetary returns from their decisions e g evans barley kunda 2004 we further argue that this monetary or economic frame surrounding time use is particularly relevant for decisions about work and work like activities in this article we focus on volunteering a theoretically important class of work that is freely undertaken without remuneration tilly tilly 1994 because volunteering has been defined as work done without pay it is logical to argue that to the extent that the practice of hourly payment increases the salience of the economic evaluation of time people paid by the hour should be less willing to volunteer and should volunteer less of their time than those not paid by the hour we used a large nationally representative survey with numerous control variables as well as an experiment in which people calculated their hourly wage to illustrate the effect of the framing of compensation on decisions about time use

pigouvian taxation in tourism the paper studies the characteristics and the effects of a tax imposed by a local government on the land used to create new tourists accommodations first a dynamic policy game between a monopolist in a tourist area and a local government is considered in each period the former has to decide the size of land undergoing development whereas the latter has to choose the tax to levy on each newly developed area unit linear perfect markov strategies are derived for both the non cooperative and the public monopoly case in equilibrium a public monopoly would develop land more rapidly than a private monopoly furthermore the more the monopolist discounts the future the more the long run use of the natural resource is reduced second the properties of the tax are studied considering an oligopolistic market structure the tax alone does not lead to the socially optimal level of land use however its combined effect with another policy instrument such as a quota induces the optimal level of resource use

stabilising economic growth through risk sharing macro instruments the risk sharing principles of islamic finance have ironically been studied and used extensively outside the muslim world the development of early european city states was founded on the risk sharing principle the risk sharing financing helped these city states to develop their infrastructure and rule the scientific and economic landscape of the west the western financial system of today still carries traces of risk sharing in the form of venture capital financing albeit the primary focus has diverted to risk shifting based debt financing over the past decades much effort and research has gone into establishing a viable set of islamic financial institutions most muslim nations are heavily indebted with high reliance on multilateral financing primarily based on high interest rates this vicious cycle of interest rates and debt has stunted the growth of these nations and worsened the conditions of the masses this research brings to the forefront the concept of an equity in nature gdp linked paper which allows for enhanced risk sharing based sovereign financing it aims to present empirical proof of the stability this instrument offers in economic growth for a large sample of developing economies comprising bulk of islamic countries while analysing the empirical work a strong favourable argument for this instrument is derived for its benefits in stability through this study we endeavour to initiate a thought provoking and practical discussion for further development of these instruments for the betterment of developing countries

social benefit certification as a game tourism ecocertification programs persist and proliferate despite low market penetration and apparent consumer indifference this has been viewed simply as an early adoption phase a two decade historical analysis of development patterns for 17 programs however suggests that they can be analysed as a multi move political game between corporate and civic advocates where neither can quit without losing the political game framework yields predictions which are testably different from a pure market early adopter framework it also draws a key distinction between consumer benefit and social benefit measures applicable to corporate social responsibility initiatives in many industry sectors

the redistributive roles of unemployment insurance and the dynamics of voting abstract public unemployment insurance is analyzed as the majority voting equilibrium policy of a dynamic stochastic economy abstracting from incentive effects we focus on redistribution some results are because of the distribution of heterogeneous employment opportunities public insurance may be democratically chosen even if complete private markets exist and because of the dynamics even when agents are intrinsically homogeneous the equilibrium benefit level or duration benefit schedule deviates from what has been described as optimal in the literature the effects of differences in the average frequency or duration of unemployment on equilibrium taxes and benefits are investigated with some unanticipated results

capacity investment preemption and commitment in an infinite horizon model the commitment value of capacity is analyzed in an infinite horizon duopoly model the paper focuses on the role of alternative behavioral assumptions about the ability of firms to commit to investment paths each firm s investment strategy in a feedback nash equilibrium is shown to be a decreasing function of its rival s current capacity this creates an incentive for a firm to expand its capacity to preempt subsequent rival investment in a precommitment equilibrium there are no incentives to invest preemptively as a consequence steady state capacity levels are greater in a feedback nash equilibrium than in a precommitment equilibrium copyright 1987 by economics department of the university of pennsylvania and the osaka university institute of social and economic research association

does a federal country need federal transfers when it has labour mobility sequeira t n and lopes a f does a federal country need federal transfers when it has labour mobility regional studies this work empirically tests optimum currency area theory for members of a given monetary union the united states the united states is recognized as a country where labour mobility between states is high this paper jointly assesses the consequences of having federal transfers and labour mobility in terms of the states cyclical output it is concluded that federal transfers undoubtedly contribute to increase cyclical output however out migration may increase or decrease cyclical output depending on certain conditions as federal transfers proved to be much more important than migration the answer to the question in the paper s title is yes sequeira t n et lopes a f un pays federal a t il besoin des transferts federaux quand il est deja dote de la mobilite du travail regional studies cet article cherche a tester empiriquement la theorie des zones monetaires optimale

emu and the regional impact of monetary policy rodriguez fuentes c j and dow s c 2003 emu and the regional impact of monetary policy reg studies 37 969 980 in this paper we focus on a topic which has been attracting renewed interest because of monetary unification in europe the regional dimension of national monetary policies most of the debate over the regional implications of the euro has been developed within the optimum currency area framework according to this theory european monetary policy would have regional effects when the countries of the euro zone had such structural differences as to produce asymmetric shocks these asymmetrical effects could only be offset by labour mobility and wage price flexibility however we argue here that in addition european monetary policy may have more general regional effects including in particular by producing a higher instability in the pattern of credit availability for some peripheral regions this latter possibility and the forces underlying it are explored here both at the theoreti

the payoff to work without pay volunteer work as an investment in human capital despite the widespread belief that volunteer work enhances an individual s employment prospects the hypothesis that volunteer work increases one s earnings has

dynamic voluntary provision of public goods abstract the paper considers a dynamic public goods problem in which individuals contributions are accumulated over time analyzing the infinite duration dynamic game with continuous contributions and flow benefits the paper demonstrates that the free riding problem is aggravated when players contributions are conditional on the observable collective contributions hence without commitment an additional incentive to depress contributions arises a current contributor can free ride on all future contributions as well as on current ones

trade capital mobility and tax competition this paper examines a system of governments national state or local that finance public expenditures with taxes on mobile capital e g a property tax unlike previous research on tax competition explicit consideration is given to the general equilibrium determination of the prices at which goods are traded between regions the analysis identifies inefficiencies in government behavior that are not apparent in models in which the terms of trade are exogenously given capital taxation is shown to create an inefficient distribution of public good outputs across regions accompanied by an inefficient pattern of trade a model is presented in which the chosen levels of public good outputs differ across regions containing identical residents and production possibilities there is a wasteful diversity of public good supplies

drowned by numbers stabilization properties of an eu wide unemployment insurance system the recent crisis has given rise to proposals for the creation of a european unemployment insurance system we simulate an eu wide mechanism under various scenarios varying methods of financing common or country specific contribution rates and triggers for pay outs all time or contingent clauses we analyse the impact of the system using different measures of stabilization under different fiscal multipliers a system operating during bad times periods where the increase in unemployment is large would reduce gdp growth variability but also growth correlation among member countries hence there is a trade off between stabilization and synchronization of national business cycles

fiscal devolution and dependency public spending devolution in practice is widely seen as more appropriate for addressing varied political aspirations within state boundaries than is tax devolution a drawback is that devolved public spending may be subject to irresistible upward pressure as illustrated by formula drift of the united kingdom devolved administrations by crowding out the private sector such public spending can exacerbate the problem it was originally intended to alleviate when taxpayers do not value increases in government output at least as highly as the private goods and services they must forgo to finance them then the public sector is too large this article estimates a three sector hecksher ohlin model of the economy with the greatest relative rise of the public spending ratio in the united kingdom wales simulation of the model shows a net gain in employment from a 1 cut in income tax matched by a corresponding reduction in government spending this result is consistent with the current level of intergovernme

does the ecb act as a lender of last resort during the subprime lending crisis evidence from monetary policy reaction models abstract we investigate whether the ecb aligns its monetary policy with financial crisis risk in emu member countries we find that since the outbreak of the subprime crisis the ecb has significantly increased net lending and reduced interest rates when banking and sovereign debt crisis risk in vulnerable emu countries greece ireland italy portugal and spain increases while no significant effect is identified for the pre crisis period and relatively tranquil emu countries austria belgium france germany and the netherlands these findings suggest that the ecb acts as a lender of last resort for vulnerable emu countries

investment in tourism market a dynamic model of differentiated oligopoly we present a theoretical dynamic model in tourism economics assuming that the market for tourism is an oligopoly with differentiated products destinations can invest in order to improve their stock of physical natural or cultural resources tourism flows yield current revenues but they are usually detrimental for the stock of resources we find the solution of the dynamic model and in particular we find the open loop nash equilibrium of the game among destinations under alternative settings depending on whether the degree of differentiation among destinations is exogenous or endogenous in particular under the latter case an increase of the number of destinations leads to a higher degree of product differentiation in steady state

does decentralization increase government responsiveness to local needs evidence from bolivia this paper examines whether decentralization increases the responsiveness of public investment to local needs using a unique database from bolivia empirical tests show that investment patterns in human capital and social services changed significantly after decentralization these changes are strongly and positively related to objective indicators of need nationally these changes were driven by the smallest poorest municipalities investing devolved funds in their highest priority projects the findings contradict common claims that local government is too corrupt institutionally weak or prone to interest group capture to improve upon central government s allocation of public resources d 2002 published by elsevier b v

regional redistribution and stabilization by the center in canada france the uk and the us abstract this paper re examines earlier estimates of regional redistribution and stabilization through the central government budget in the us and produces new estimates of this redistribution and stabilization in the us canada france and the uk the new estimates rest on panel data econometrics and an adherence to certain accounting principles that have occasionally been violated in the past as a result of the accounting the peak estimates for the us and canada in the earlier literature are never attained regional stabilization of personal income through the central government budget emerges as close to 20 in the us france and the uk but only 10 to 14 in canada in case of gross product instead of personal income accounting regional stabilization is closer to 10 in the us as regards france and the uk the use of panel data econometrics proves essential

federal tax policies congressional voting and natural resources can abundance of natural resources affect legislators voting behavior over federal tax policies we construct a political economy model of a federalized economy with district heterogeneity in natural resource abundance the model shows that representatives of natural resource rich districts are more less willing to vote in favor of federal tax increases decreases this occurs because resource rich districts are less responsive to federal tax changes due to the immobile nature of their natural resources we test the model s predictions using data on roll call votes in the u s house of representatives over the major federal tax bills initiated during the period of 1945 2003 in conjunction with the presence of active giant oil fields in u s congressional districts our identification strategy rests on plausibly exogenous giant oil field discoveries and exploitation and narrative based aggregate federal tax shocks that are exogenous to individual congressional districts and legislators we find that i resource rich congressional districts are less responsive to changes in federal taxes ii representatives of resource rich congressional districts are more less supportive of federal tax increases decreases controlling for legislator congressional district and state indicators our results indicate that resource richness is approximately half as dominant as the main determinant namely party afiliation in driving legislators voting behavior over federal tax policies

debt bailouts and constitutions a demand based theory of sub national debt bailouts is presented it is shown that revenue sharing rs arrangements alter the demand for bailouts among politicians with regional constituencies as a bailout usually implies a shift of taxation to the federal tier automatic rs may lead to the formation of pro bailout coalitions formed by indebted states and states that are net recipients of the rs arrangement also rs can act as a commitment device for compensating payments among state representatives making a bailout politically rational the model shows that the state debt bailouts approved by the brazilian senate prior to the enactment of the fiscal responsibility act were fully consistent with politicians that maximize the proceeds accruing to their constituencies

federal fiscal transfer rules in monetary unions abstract this paper considers simple rules for federal fiscal transfers that automatically redistribute funds among member states of a monetary union to counteract adverse idiosyncratic shocks the transfer rules target regional differences in nominal gdp consumption spending labor income and fiscal deficits targeting regional fiscal deficits is the only rule that reduces consumption fluctuations and that promotes interregional consumption risk sharing but the overall welfare effect is negative in contrast targeting regional differences in labor income yields the largest welfare gains but it also yields the largest fluctuations in consumption and real gdp it is demonstrated that the welfare gains primarily stem from reducing the allocative inefficiency of input factors caused by nominal rigidities the optimal transfer rule essentially implies a combination of consumption spending and labor income targeting and it primarily targets the allocative inefficiency of factor inputs at the cost of lower interregional consumption risk sharing

regional insurance and migration a dynamic model of migration is developed to study whether labor mobility can hedge people against region specific shocks making private or public insurance redundant the model adopts a novel timing for migration which is argued to be the time frame suitable for analyzing risk sharing issues it also innovates on the existing literature by solving individual migration through convexification of the set of actions the results show that the role of migration as an insurance mechanism is small labor mobility cannot fully remove income differentials between regions it is also shown that a fiscal stabilization scheme is in general optimal moreover any pure risk sharing mechanism has no influence on migration flows