wage determination in brazil the growth of union bargaining power and informal employment this article examines wage determination in brazilian manufacturing during the 1980s and early 1990s it presents evidence to show that the reduction in state regulation of collective bargaining has led to the development of a system of wage determination which is increasingly characterised by rent sharing and insider trade union bargaining power real wages appear increasingly inflexible with respect to movements in open unemployment with a large informal sector disciplining formal sector wage bargaining and cushioning the impact of broader labour market conditions an important consequence of this is that the employment costs of a successful counter inflationary strategy may be very severe

the low skill trap recently it has become popular to argue that certain workers have fallen into a trap in which they have poor skills few job opportunities and a low return on training while others have not this paper demonstrates how such a trap can occur within a simple matching model with rent sharing rent sharing diminishes the worker s incentive to acquire skills however since firms also benefit from training rent sharing likewise induces job creation the subsequent improved matching prospects may offset the initial disincentive to invest however for this mechanism to be effective firms and workers must coordinate their actions if they do not the trap occurs

imperfect competition multiple equilibria and unemployment policy this paper takes a simple imperfectly competitive macro model with increasing returns and shows how it can lead to nonexistence or multiplicity of equilibria the consequences for government policy toward unemployment are explored and shown to be very different from the traditional model it is argued that a multiple equilibrium model is an attractive possible explanation of the behavior of u k unemployment in the 1980s copyright 1990 by royal economic society

the information content of security prices a second look abstract beaver lambert and morse 1980 employ a regression of percentage change in prices on percentage change in earnings in which data are grouped by the dependent variable reverse regression offers a more intuitive and direct way to assess the information content of security prices the objective of beaver et al while grouping is asymptotically equivalent reverse regression is a more efficient way of examining the incremental explanatory power of lagged values of percentage change in price with respect to accounting earnings

who do we tip and why an empirical investigation an important question about social norms is whether they are created to increase welfare this is addressed by examining the characteristics of tipped and non tipped occupations tipping prevalence is negatively correlated with worker s income and consumer s monitoring ability and positively with consumer s income and closeness between the worker and the consumer the results refute a common belief that tipping exists to improve economic efficiency by lowering monitoring costs tipping however is more prevalent when consumers feel empathy and compassion for workers and want to show gratitude for good service suggesting that tipping might increase welfare if welfare includes psychological utility

the dynamics of monopoly union wages with asymmetric information dunlop s 1994 work on the monopoly union model emphasizes that the primary role of wages is to distribute industry rents this paper extends the model to two periods and it is furthermore assumed that firms are better informed than workers about the size or quality of capital this variable is unchanged over time so the firm s first period action signals information relevant for the second period wage this dynamic relationship tends to lower labour demand in the first period

information in prices about future earnings abstract stock return over a period reflects the market s revision in expectation of future earnings accounting earnings over the same period however have limited ability to reflect such revised expectations therefore returns anticipate earnings changes and the earnings response coefficient from a regression of returns on contemporaneous earnings changes is biased toward zero we reduce this bias by including leading period returns in price earnings regressions the resulting estimated earnings response coefficient magnitudes suggest that the capital market on average views earnings changes to be largely permanent this is consistent with the random walk time series property of annual earnings

wage curve analyses of establishment data from western germany using the iab establishment panel which is representative for western germany the authors find that establishment level wages reacted to variations in the regional unemployment rate the elasticity of wages with respect to unemployment they estimate was about 0 1 this responsiveness of the wage to regional variation is close to estimates found by other researchers using individual rather than establishment data for other countries and contradicts the view that germany s labor market largely due to the nature of collective bargaining in that country is relatively inflexible possible explanations for this finding are that the negotiated wage is treated like a minimum wage with firms deviating from it in order to increase work effort bargaining between firms and individual workers or between firms and works councils produces wage differences or collective agreements do not restrict firms to the extent that is often assumed

more is better but fair is fair tipping in dictator and ultimatum games abstract this paper examines allocators willingness to reward and punish their paired recipients recipients only compete in a skill testing contest the outcome of which determines the size of the surplus in the dictator game allocators reward skillful recipients but punish unskillful ones only modestly the punishment effect is mitigated by the belief held by some allocators that effort is the appropriate measure of deservingness the ultimatum game extension reveals offerers ability to adapt to the strategic environment offers to skillful recipients in the ultimatum game however are shown to be motivated by a taste for fairness and not strategic considerations journal of economic literature classification numbers c70 c91 d63

labour quality and aggregate real wage dynamics the real wage plays an important role in many aggregate econometrics studies of the labour market however average wages like any other average quantity can change for two reasons either through an underlying movement in the earnings potential of a unit of labour of given quality or alternatively through compositional changes which alter the relative proportions of different types of labour within the employed labour force using data from the general household survey to estimate earnings functions the paper seeks to examine the contribution of these two factors for britain from 1979 to 1989 it is shown that in periods of rising unemployment compositional changes can have a bigger effect on real earnings growth than any underlying change in reward to labour of give quality this raises the question of what economists actually are measuring when considering the behaviour of the aggregate real wage

why do diners tip rule of thumb or valuation of service when diners decide how much to tip is the decision based on social convention or on conscientious appraisal of server productivity previous researchers in economics and social psychology are generally inconclusive on this question a common finding in the literature is that tip size and service quality are unrelated a result usually obtained from ols regressions ols is only appropriate if service quality is exogenous it is argued that service quality is very likely endogenous in any regression of tip size good quality encourages good tips but server expectations of good tips encourage good quality this simultaneity is accounted for by jointly estimating percentage tips and customer rankings of service quality on a sample of 247 diners in a central minnesota restaurant included are explanatory variables consistent with both the social psychology and economic views of tipping in contrast to previous studies it is found that service quality significantly affects tip size and when servers expect hi

job creation and job destruction in great britain in the 1980s using data from the workplace industrial relations surveys of 1980 1984 and 1990 the authors investigate processes of job creation and job destruction in britain they find that rates of employment growth job creation and job destruction were higher at the end of the 1980s than at the beginning bothjob creation and job destruction were extremely concentrated about 50 of each was accounted for by just 4 of continuing establishments employment growth was apparently more variable in manufacturing plants than in private service sector workplaces some variables negatively related to employment growth were unionization establishment size establishment age and location in the private manufacturing sector versus private service sector

firms expectations and employment behaviour evidence from a panel of uk manufacturing firms abstract in this paper we investigate the effect of expectations of future sales on employment adjustment we find that uk manufacturing firms sales expectations have a statistically significant effect on their employment behaviour leading to employment being more sluggish to respond when firms expect sales to rise

employment effects of minimum and subminimum wages panel data on state minimum wage laws using panel data on state minimum wage laws and economic conditions for the years 1973 89 the authors reevaluate existing evidence on the effects of a minimum wage on employment their estimates indicate that a 10 increase in the minimum wage causes a decline of 1 2 in employment among teenagers and a decline of 1 5 2 in employment for young adults similar to the ranges suggested by earlier time series studies the authors also find evidence that youth subminimum wage provisions enacted by state legislatures moderate the disemployment effects of minimum wages on teenagers

privatization liberalization wages and employment theory and evidence for the uk most agency based privatization models are of the owner manager relation and ignore the labour market yet in the 1980s there were profound changes in public sector and privatized firms to wages and employment we develop a bargaining model of the manager workforce relation that explains employment and wages when firms are privatized government objectives become more commercial and markets are liberalised using data on 14 uk companies 1972 1988 that were publicly owned in 1972 we find a employment fell following the change to more commercial objectives b wages were only slightly affected by this but fell if the firm lost market power

using regional variation in wages to measure the effects of the federal minimum wage the imposition of a national minimum wage standard provides a natural experiment in which the treatment effect varies across states depending on the fraction of workers initially earning less than the new minimum the author exploits this fact to evaluate the effect of the april 1990 increase in the federal minimum wage on teenagers wages employment and school enrollment comparisons of grouped and individual state data confirm that the rise in the minimum wage increased teenagers wages there is no evidence of corresponding losses in teenage employment or changes in teenage school enrollment

layoffs with payoffs a bargaining model of union wage and severance pay determination popular characterizations of union preferences assume that the income of laid off union members is exogenous there is evidence however of intra union distribution schemes such as severance payments unemployment insurance retraining arrangements and early retirement schemes this paper develops a model of wage and severance pay determination by a trade union and a firm bargaining in a right to manage framework the important point differentiating the model in this paper from the orthodox union model is that it is efficiency improving in the sense that it makes full insurance possible and marginal productivity is equal to the opportunity cost of labour moreover with redundancy pay on the bargaining agenda both the right to manage and the efficient bargaining union models are characterized by the same efficiency conditions this has implications for empirical research which attempts to distinguish between these two models since the outcome of both models is the same finally the union firm bargaining model can also be compared with the outcome of the implicit contract model with redundancy pay there is an important difference between the two approaches however while the result in this paper derives from an imperfectly competitive labour market where unions and firms bargain over wages and redundancy pay the implicit contract result derives from a perfectly competitive labour market in which competitive forces lead to an efficient outcome

an integration of trade union models in a sequential bargaining framework this paper aims to embed two popular models of trade union behavior the monopoly model and the efficient bargaining model in a more general framework it does this by analyzing sequential bargaining models where wages are determined before employment and the power of the union in the two stages of the bargain differs as well as finding that the monopoly and efficient bargain models are special cases of this model a new class of models is also discovered this framework is used to analyze the relationship between union pow er and efficiency the empirical analysis of trade unions and the effects of trade union legislation copyright 1987 by royal economic society

fundamental information analysis fundamental analysis is aimed at determining the value of corporate securities by a careful examination of key value drivers such as earnings risk growth and competitive position in the context of such analysis we identify below a set of financial variables fundamentals claimed by analysts to be useful in security valuation and examine these claims by estimating the incremental value relevance of these variables over earnings our findings support the incremental value relevance of most of the identified fundamentals in fact for the 1980s the fundamentals add approximately 70 on average to the explanatory power of earnings with respect to excess returns we also show that the returns fundamentals relation is considerably strengthened when it is conditioned on macroeconomic variables thereby demonstrating the importance of a contextual capital market analysis for example several fundamentals that appear only weakly value relevant or even irrelevant in the unconditional analysis exhibit strong association with returns under specific economic conditions e g the accounts receivable and the provision for doubtful receivables signals during high inflation from a general examination of the role of fundamentals in security valuation we turn to the related issues of earnings persistence growth and the earnings response coefficient we hypothesize that the funda

the effect of the tipped minimum wage on employees in the u s restaurant industry according to federal law in 2013 employers can take a credit of up to 5 12 for tips received by workers in satisfying the minimum wage requirement of 7 25 this article uses interstate variation in laws regarding tip credits and minimum wages to identify the effects of reducing or eliminating the tip credit on employment hours and earnings in the u s restaurant industry using data from the quarterly census of employment and wages and the current population survey we find that a reduction in the tip credit increases weekly earnings but reduces employment in the full service restaurant industry and for tipped workers the results are robust to controls for spatial heterogeneity in employment trends and are supported by a series of falsification tests

coordination versus flexibility in wage formation a focus on the nominal wage impact of productivity in germany greece ireland portugal spain and the united states wage coordination between countries of the european monetary union emu aims at aligning nominal wage growth with labour productivity growth at the national level we analyse the developments in germany the emu s periphery countries greece ireland portugal and spain along with the united states over the period 1980 to 2010 apart from the contribution of productivity to nominal wages we take into account the contributions of prices unemployment replacement rates and taxes by means of an econometrically estimated nonlinear equation resulting from a wage bargaining model we further study the downward rigidities of nominal wages the findings show that in past times of low productivity price inflation and reductions in unemployment still put significant upward pressure on nominal wage growth the periphery countries are far from aligning nominal wage growth with productivity growth german productivity is a major wage determinant but surely not the only one within the context of a free bargaining

the information content of earnings and prices a simultaneous equations approach abstract the price earnings relation can be characterized as a system of simultaneous equations earnings and prices can behave as if they are both endogenously determined because they are jointly affected by information that is difficult to specify explicitly specification tests provide evidence that both earnings changes and price changes are endogenous the price and earnings coefficients increase from ols to joint estimation and under a restrictive set of assumptions provide increasingly similar estimates of the permanent component of earnings the evidence is consistent with the contention that a portion of the single equation bias can be mitigated via joint estimation

incentives and service quality in the restaurant industry the tipping service puzzle tipping is a significant economic activity tips in the us food industry alone amount to about 42 billion annually that was claimed to improve service quality and increase economic efficiency because it gives incentives to provide excellent service and therefore allows to avoid costly monitoring of workers the article suggests that this common wisdom might be wrong a simple model shows formally that tips can improve service only if they are sensitive enough to service quality empirical evidence suggests that tips are hardly affected by service quality nevertheless rankings of service quality by customers are very high the co existence of these two findings is denoted the tipping service puzzle and several possible explanations for it are offered

native migrant labour substitution by industry and wage effects evidence from the uk unlike previous studies we estimate the native migrant substitution elasticity nme differentiated by sector to do so we employ a straightforward estimation strategy that consists of adding slo

permanent versus transitory components of annual earnings and estimation error in earnings response coefficients abstract previous research has generally estimated unexpected earnings as the change relative to the previous year assuming that shocks to annual earnings are purely permanent in the presence of transitory components of annual earnings we predict that using earnings changes as a proxy for unexpected earnings causes earnings response coefficients to be understated and the estimation error to be negatively cross sectionally correlated with persistence the negative correlation causes the association between earnings response coefficients and persistence to be overstated we use the ima 1 1 model to capture transitory components of annual earnings and obtain results that are consistent with our predictions

the information content of losses abstract this study hypothesizes that because shareholders have a liquidation option losses are not expected to perpetuate they are thus less informative than profits about the firm s future prospects the results are consistent with the hypothesis they also show that the documented increase in the earnings response coefficent as the cumulation period increases appears to be due exclusively to the effect of losses the liquidation option effect extends to profitable cases where earnings are low enough to make the option attractive alternating explanations for the low informativeness of losses such as mean reversal of earnings are not supported by the tests

efficient wage bargaining as a repeated game this paper builds a bridge between the two existing approaches for wage and employment determination in a unionized market the monopoly union model and the efficient bargaining model both fail to capture the dynamic aspects of wage bargaining when the repeated nature of the wage bargaining process is considered the equilibria are neither as inefficient as the monopoly union model predicts nor as fully efficient rather the two models can be regarded as particular cases with certain discount rates we apply our model to issues such as the endgame interpretation of the u s steel industry wage concessions and featherbedding

rent sharing holdup and wages evidence from matched panel data rent sharing by workers can reduce the incentives for investment if some of the returns to sunk capital are captured in higher wages we propose a simple measure of this holdup effect based on the size of the wage offset for firm specific capital accumulation using social security earnings records for workers in the veneto region of italy linked to detailed financial data for their employers we find strong evidence of rent sharing with an elasticity of wages with respect to potential rents per worker of around 4 arising mainly at larger firms with higher price cost margins on the other hand we find little evidence that bargaining lowers the return on investment instead firm level bargaining appears to split the rents after deducting the full cost of capital

unemployment in britain male unemployment in britain has risen from around 2 per cent in the 1950s to around 17 per cent in 1985 see figure 1 the figures are for male unemployment because there is no consistent series for women 1 even more remarkably unemployment has fallen in only three years out of the last twenty 1973 1978 and 1979 to account for this we need a model that explains both changes in the natural or non accelerating inflation rate of unemployment nairu and deviations from it we use a three equation supply side model centred on the labour market this has two main features the first concerns the determination of employment in the short run the labour demand function that we use cuts through the fruitless debate now raging especially in europe as to whether current unemployment is classical or keynesian according to the classical view employment is too high because real wages are too high according to the keynesian view real wages are not binding and unemployment is high because the product market does not clear with prices too high relative to nominal demand the whole debate is set in the framework of perfect competition yet in perfect competition prices are set by impersonal forces and it is not clear what could possibly stop prices clearing the market it is much more reasonable to think of prices as being set by imperfectly competitive firms existing prices being the best they can think of given the demand they face in this context firms demand for labour will depend on both the real product wage and the level of real aggregate demand this is the demand function we estimate and it conforms both to common sense and to the data however this does not imply that employment can be made to grow without limit by pumping up real demand for in the medium term when price surprises are eliminated our model determines three variables employment real wages and real demand on the basis of three equations an employment equation a price equation and a wage equation thus in the medium term there is a natural level of employment and corresponding to this a natural level of real aggregate demand the second key feature of our model concerns the medium term determination of unemployment in the medium term the planned mark up of wages over prices in wage settlements must be consistent with the mark up of prices over wage costs in employers pricing behaviour for if wage setters try to set real product wages higher than is consistent with employers pricing behaviour this generates ever increasing inflation thus the key to understanding unemployment in the medium term is the behaviour of wage setters if events occur that push them towards too high real wages then unemployment has to rise to offset these influences we shall call these influences wage pressure variables or push factors and they are clearly crucial in understanding unemployment the variables here include the social security system employment protection

the articulation of price earnings ratios and market to book ratios and the evaluation of growth this paper interprets the price earnings ratio pie and the marketto book ratio pib and describes how they articulate it also describes the role of book rate of return on equity the ratio of their denominators in the determination of the ratios and the relation between them although both are reported regularly there is not a common understanding of these issues for example the pie ratio has been interpreted as an earnings growth indicator cragg and malkiel 1982 and litzenberger and rao 1971 a risk measure ball 1978 and an earnings capitalization rate graham dodd and cottle 1962 boatsman and baskin 1981 and alford 1992 derivations based on the gordon 1962 model describe it as determined by return on equity beaver and morse 1978 show that this ratio indicates transitory earnings the molodovsky effect from molodovsky 1953 it has also been interpreted as an indicator of mispriced stocks basu 1977 and jaffee keim and westerfield 1989 and as a product of accounting principles craig johnson and joy 1987 the p b ratio received less academic attention until fama and french 1992 traditionally it was interpreted as indicating expected return on equity see for example graham dodd and cottle 1962 this interpretation is given expression in the standard formula reconciling price to book value in preinreich 1938 edwards and bell 1961 and peasnell 1982 for example like pie p b has been modeled as a growth

insider outsider theory and the case for implicit contracts the purpose of this paper is to show that insider outsider theory and implicit contracts are complementary rather than rival theories insider outsider theory introduces some realistic institutional detail into implicit contracts and insider outsider theory is enriched by a more careful consideration of optimal wage contracts under conditions of uncertainty which is the main comparative advantage of the implicit contract approach the paper introduces a hybrid model and shows how the predictions of both approaches are modified copyright 1992 by royal economic society

a model of accrual measurement with implications for the evolution of the book to market ratio this paper constructs a model of accrual measurement and tests its implications for the evolution of the book to market ratio the model captures the intuition that book value is untimely or smoothed relative to market value so that movements in market value have relatively high variance and low predictability compared with movements in book value empirical tests of the model use lagged market value changes to forecast the mean reversion of the book to market ratio this paper complements recent research investigating the role of book to market ratios in security analysis accounting theorists e g edwards and bell 1961 and feltham and ohlson 1995 have long recognized the critical role of book to market ratios as predictors of abnormal earnings in earnings based valuation models tests of such valuation models e g ou and penman 1993 confront the practical problem of determining the horizon beyond which abnormal earnings are expected to be zero the model in this paper implies that this horizon is determined by the remaining useful life of assets and that the expected path of abnormal earnings over this horizon reflects the pattern of expiration of the useful lives of assets in place

the determinants of firms performance can finance constraints improve technical efficiency this paper analyses the mechanisms through which binding finance constraints can induce debt constrained firms to improve technical efficiency to guarantee positive profits this hypothesis is tested on a sample of firms belonging to the italian manufacturing technical efficiency scores are computed by estimating parametric production frontiers using the one stage approach as in battese and coelli battese g coelli t 1995 a model for technical efficiency effects in a stochastic frontier production function for panel data empirical economics 20 325 332 the results support the hypothesis that a restriction in the availability of financial resources can affect positively efficiency 2004 elsevier b v all rights reserved

rent sharing and wages evidence from company and establishment panels a central question in labor economics and macroeconomics is whether the textbook competitive model provides an adequate representation of the labor market using longitudinal data on companies and establishments this article suggests that it may not as predicted by rent sharing models of the labor market changes in profitability are shown to feed through into long run changes in wages these are not temporary wage effects and are not driven by the unionized workplaces in the data the article s estimates imply that for rent sharing reasons alone lester s range of wages is approximately 16

threshold effects of financial status on the cost frontiers of financial institutions in nondynamic panels this article applies hansen s 1999 2000 threshold regression model to estimate translog cost frontiers in the hope of shedding light on the banking industry s production processes and the extent of its technical efficiency te the threshold technique allows for the existence of multiple technologies of production distinguished by an exogenous threshold variable strong evidence of multiple technologies is found in the industry irrespective of which financial indicator as constructed by factor analysis defines the threshold variable cost savings and scale economies among the various underlying technologies are compared herein we also highlight the differences between the threshold results and the conventional cost frontier

debt and wage negotiations a bankruptcy based approach the role of debt in wage negotiations is considered in a framework where both the entrepreneur and the workforce are indispensable in production when workers and the entrepreneur fail to reach an agreement the firm eventually defaults bankruptcy is represented as a three party bargaining game among the entrepreneur workers and lenders we show that debt financing by reducing workers bargaining power increases the firm s share of surplus and improves the incentives to invest further our model allows for overborrowing the firm borrows more than required by its productive activity as well as underinvestment due to wealth constraints i introduction as asserted by grout 1984 the inability of labour unions to make wage commitments creates an underinvestment problem when wages can be negotiated after investment has been sunk the entrepreneur chooses an inefficiently low investment level in this paper we reconsider grout s underinvestment problem by concentrating on the role of debt in wage bargaining when long term labour contracts cannot be written as we show through an explicit analysis of the threat of bankruptcy the extent of underinvestment depends on whether leverage can influence the distribution of surplus between wages and profits we analyse the relation between debt and wages in a strategic bargaining framework assuming that delays in agreement will reduce the surplus

on the use of instrumental variables in accounting research abstract instrumental variable iv methods are commonly used in accounting research e g earnings management corporate governance executive compensation and disclosure research when the regressor variables are endogenous while iv estimation is the standard textbook solution to mitigating endogeneity problems the appropriateness of iv methods in typical accounting research settings is not obvious drawing on recent advances in statistics and econometrics we identify conditions under which iv methods are preferred to ols estimates and propose a series of tests for research studies employing iv methods we illustrate these ideas by examining the relation between corporate disclosure and the cost of capital

financial markets and wages we study a labor market equilibrium model in which flrms sign optimal long term contracts with workers firms that are flnancially constrained ofier an increasing wage proflle they pay lower wages today in exchange of higher wages once they become unconstrained and operate at a larger scale in equilibrium constrained flrms are on average smaller and pay lower wages in this way the model generates a positive relation between flrm size and wages using data from the national longitudinal survey of youth nlsy we show that the key dynamic properties of the model are supported by the data jel classiflcation g31 j31 e24

firm size and the information content of prices with respect to earnings abstract beaver lambert and morse 1980 suggest that prices may be useful in forecasting future earnings we explore the information content of prices with respect to earnings by focusing on firm size and its relation to the predictive accuracy of price based earnings forecasts firm size proxies for the amount of information and for the number of traders and professional analysts processing the available information about an enterprise our empirical results are consistent with the hypothesis that price based earnings will outperform univariate time series forecasts by a greater margin for larger firms than for smaller firms

components of earnings and the structure of bank share prices empirical examination of the relation between common stock prices and two major components of bank earnings shows that earnings before securities gains and losses play an important role in explaining bank stock prices the market appears to assign a significant multiple to this component of earnings judging from regression results over the 1968 87 period the market appears to price realized securities gains and losses differently the multiple on securities gains and losses did not differ significantly from zero over the period studied the evidence also suggests that securities gains and losses behave in a manner consistent with smoothing earnings that is investors apparently perceive that reported gains and losses in banks investment securities are timed by bank managements to offset losses and gains in other earnings these findings hold whether earnings components are used to explain price levels or price changes furthermore the movement of the coefficient on earnings before securities gains and losses corresponds to major economic changes that might be expected to affect banks over the 1972 74 period for example as financial conditions generally declined the implied multiple for earnings before securities gains and losses also declined dramatically

on cross sectional analysis in accounting research abstract this paper examines cross sectional analysis procedures common to many market based accounting research papers both the economic and econometric properties of levels and returns studies are discussed topics covered include the relations between the accounting studies and cash flow valuation models the role of expectations of accounting variables deflators spurious inference risk adjustment and its relation to growth size and leverage residual dependence dependence among explanatory variables and the effect of scale differences across firms major conclusions are that market value is the correct deflator in returns studies and that levels and returns studies are economically but not econometrically equivalent

the wage curve convexity kinks and composition effects a detailed analysis is provided of the shape of the wage curve using annual time series for norwegian manufacturing the main results are summarized as follows unemployment affects wages significantly and we provide evidence in favour of a monotonically decreasing but highly non linear wage curve the long term unemployed exert less of a wage dampening effect than do recently laid off workers and real wage responsiveness to unemployment seems also to be stronger with higher inflation

ladies first a field study of discrimination in coffee shops despite anecdotal and survey evidence suggesting the presence of discrimination against customers in stores restaurants and other small transaction consumer markets few studies exist that identify or quantify the nature of any unequal treatment we provide evidence from a field study of wait times in boston area coffee shops that suggests that female customers wait an average of 20 seconds longer for their orders than do male customers even when controlling for gender differences in orders we find that this differential in wait times is inverse to the proportion of employees who are female and directly related to how busy the coffee shop is at the time of the order this supports the conclusion that the observed differential is driven at least in part by employee animus and or statistical discrimination rather than unobserved heterogeneity in the purchasing behaviour of female customers

firm specific determinants of the real wage bargaining models suggest that firm specific variables play an important role in wage determination yet previous empirical studies of wage determination have largely ignored these variables the authors analysis of a large panel data set of u s wage contracts suggests that firm specific variables suggested by bargaining models such as the value of sales the capital labor ratio and the financial liquidity of the firm are important determinants of negotiated real wages copyright 1992 by mit press

insurance within the firm we evaluate the allocation of risk between firms and their workers using matched employer employee panel data unlike previous contributions this paper focuses on idiosyncratic shocks to the firm which are the correct empirical counterpart of the theoretical notion of diversifiable risk we allow for both temporary and permanent shocks to output and find that firms absorb temporary fluctuations fully but insure workers against permanent shocks only partially risk sharing considerations can account for about 15 percent of overall earnings variability the remainder originating from idiosyncratic shocks to individual workers our welfare calculations indicate that firms are an important vehicle of insurance provision

the effect of the minimum wage on the fast food industry using a longitudinal survey of fast food restaurants in texas the authors examine the impact of recent increases in the federal minimum wage on a low wage labor market less than 5 of fast food restaurants were using the new youth subminimum wage in july august 1991 even though the vast majority paid a starting wage below the new hourly minimum wage immediately before it became effective although some restaurants increased wages beyond the level needed to comply with higher minimum wages in both 1990 and 1991 those federal minimum wage increases greatly compressed the distribution of starting wages in the texas fast food industry two findings at variance with conventional predictions are that 1 employment increased more in those firms likely to have been most affected by the 1991 minimum wage increase than in other firms and 2 price changes were unrelated to mandated wage changes

imperfect information credit markets and unemployment this paper describes how imperfect information in both capital and labor markets can in a context of maximizing firms and perfectly flexible prices and wages give rise to cyclical variations in unemployment whose character closely resembles that of observed business cycles this abstract was borrowed from another version of this item

insider forces and wage determination this paper investigates the relative importance of firm specific factors i e insider forces in wage determination using firm level data on 219 u k companies over 1974 82 it finds that a 1 percent rise in a firm s prices or productivity relative to the aggregate economy leads to a rise in relative wages of 0 1 0 2 percent as a corollary to this outside factors like the aggregate wage and the unemployment rate also play an important role there is evidence for insider based hysteresis effects but these are inversely related to the extent to which firms take national agreements into account copyright 1990 by royal economic society

economics and identity this paper considers how identity a person s sense of self affects economic outcomes we incorporate the psychology and sociology of identity into an economic model of behavior in the utility function we propose identity is associated with different social categories and how people in these categories should behave we then construct a simple game theoretic model showing how identity can affect individual interactions the paper adapts these models to gender discrimination in the workplace the economics of poverty and social exclusion and the household division of labor in each case the inclusion of identity substantively changes conclusions of previous economic analysis

does unmeasured ability explain inter industry wage differentials this paper provides empirical assessments of the two leading explanations of measured inter industry wage differentials 1 true wage differentials exist across industries and 2 the measured differentials simply reflect unmeasured differences in workers productive abilities first we summarize the existing evidence on the unmeasured ability explanation second we construct a simple model which shows that if matching is important then endogenous job change decisions can create important self selection biases even in first differenced estimates of industry wage differentials third we analyze a sample that approximates the experiment of exogenous job loss we find that i the wage change experienced by a typical industry switcher closely resembles the difference in the relevant industry differentials estimated in a cross section and ii pre displacement industry affiliation plays an important role in post displacement wage determination

the employment financing nexus evidence from a panel of west german firms the objective of the paper is to investigate the linkage between financial factors and employment decisions of west german firms the underlying model is based upon rational expectations and convex adjustment costs the time series cross section estimates for the period 1989 1994 are obtained using information on individual firms contained in business surveys we find that financial constraints can indeed restrain the level of employment in small firms on the contrary there is no evidence that this result applies to larger firms as well

a dynamic contracting model for wages and employment in three european economies we present a structural dynamic non linear model for an efficient contracting between a firm facing adjustment costs on labour and a union having preferences which are subject to habit formation the model s first order necessary conditions are estimated for the french the dutch and the belgian labour market the estimation results turned out to be remarkably similar for the three countries two alternative hypotheses are also investigated i a myopic behaviour of the union and ii a competitive labour market the performance of the efficient contract model with a forward looking union is found to be superior to that of the neo classical model in explaining the dynamics of employment and wages in the three countries

employment effects of two northwest minimum wage initiatives i introduction the impact of a minimum wage on employment has long been of interest to economists such as stigler 1946 because it provides a relatively direct test of a conventional theoretical prediction that a binding increase in the minimum wage should reduce employment among low skilled workers although this theoretical prediction has not gone unchallenged as in lester 1946 early empirical work summarized in brown gilroy and kohen 1983 confirmed theoretical predictions using aggregate time series data for young workers which indicated that a minimum wage has a small negative employment effect by 1990 there was general consensus in the profession that minimum wage laws reduced employment among teenage and low wage workers albeit by a small amount ehrenberg 1995 and others have argued that subsequent empirical evidence provides less confidence in both the conventional view that the minimum wage lowers teenage or low skilled employment and that neoclassical theory can account for the relationship between them for example card and krueger 1995 show in a 30 study meta analysis that past time series results are sensitive to the specification and suggest that when appropriately specified the minimum wage has had no significant effects on employment over the last 25 yr alternatively neumark and wascher 1998 find negative employment effects of the minimum wage consistent with structural change using time series data and specifications that do not suffer from the biases present in earlier work cross sectional studies as in currie and fallick 1996 burkhauser couch and wittenburg 2000 and neumark and wascher 2001 also find mixed evidence of employment effects on low wage workers due to the minimum wage thus traditional empirical assessments of the minimum wage yield mixed evidence on the employment impact of the minimum wage the natural experiment methodology was introduced as an alternative to the cross sectional and time series approaches and exploits both the time series wage variation before and after the treatment of a minimum wage increase and the cross sectional wage variation between the treatment state and a control state that did not experience a change in the minimum wage for example card and krueger 1994 analyzed employment growth in 410 fast food restaurants in new jersey and pennsylvania before and after the 1992 minimum wage increase in new jersey from 4 25 to 5 05 they find no evidence linking the increase in the minimum wage to reduced employment in fast food restaurants both when comparing new jersey with pennsylvania and when comparing impacted versus nonimpacted restaurants in new jersey neumark and wascher 2000 reexamine the impact of the 1992 new jersey minimum wage increase using payroll data for hours worked by fast food employees and bureau of labor statistics bls eating and drinking employment data and find that the minimum wage significantly reduced employment in new jersey versus pennsylvania thus even studies that apply similar natural experiment techniques and data for a given minimum wage treatment as in katz and krueger 1992 deere murphy and welch 1995 kim and taylor 1995 and card and krueger 2000 can yield different conclusions regarding its employment effect our empirical analysis exploits a unique natural experiment initiated by oregon and washington voter initiatives that raised the minimum wage over three successive years 1997 1999 in oregon and 1999 2001 in washington by approximately 37 in both states following prior work we focus on the eating and drinking industry sic 58 which is a low wage industry that has been extensively studied in prior work due to an expectation of a binding minimum wage bls wage data available between 1997 and 2001 indicate that the successive minimum wage increases become increasingly binding for most but not all eating and drinking jobs at the lower end of the wage distribution

minimum wages and tipped servers tips allow restaurants to pay servers lower wages as more servers are hired each serves fewer meals and earns less in tips as a result restaurants must pay a higher wage this gives them monopsony power over wages over some range a higher minimum wage should increase employment empirically we found the full reverse c monopsony pattern of employment for restaurants with employment first going up and then down as the minimum wage is increased

social norms and emission tax multiple equilibria in adopting pollution abatement device the effect of social norm is addressed in an adoption game where an emission tax is used to motivate oligopolistic firms to adopt a pollution abatement device we ask if the intrinsic motivation from social norm alone can motivate firms to participate in adoption the multiple equilibria in the adoption game indicates two possibilities this intrinsic motivation may or may not enhance adoption the existing literature on equilibrium selection further suggests that the most likely outcome is that it cannot enhance adoption next by keeping the assumption of symmetry we show that if cooperation is an option for firms then the presence of two coordination effects social norm on adoption and cooperation benefits on output will result in the existence of asymmetric adoptions

do people tip because of psychological or strategic motivations an empirical analysis of restaurant tipping one of the most interesting and central questions about tipping is why people tip the two major potential reasons are strategic behaviour aimed to ensure good future service and social psychological motivations data on tipping behaviour suggests that there is no positive effect of patronage frequency on the sensitivity of tips to service quality this implies that people tip only because of social and psychological motivations and not because of strategic reasons and future service considerations

employment and technological innovation evidence from u k manufacturing firms this article uses british firm level panel data on actual innovative activity drawn from different statistical sources to identify the effect of technical change on jobs previous work tends to find positive associations of proxies for technical change and employment but such studies suffer from various statistical drawbacks in this study even when one controls for fixed effects dynamics and endogeneity innovations have a positive and significant effect on employment which persists over several years there seems to be little direct role for spillover effects from industry innovations or any role for industry wages or union power

job satisfaction in the low wage service sector the stylized facts associated with workers satisfaction are tested using a distinctive data set using principal components analysis five distinct measures of workers satisfaction and the factors that determine each one are examined the data set covering three low wage service sectors enables control for workplace characteristics to be made it is shown that characteristics previously identified as important by the job satisfaction literature in fact have differing effects according to the type of satisfaction being considered then is examined which of the satisfaction components has the greatest impact on overall satisfaction satisfaction with short term rewards and long term prospects are found to be far more influential in determining overall satisfaction than contentment with social relationships or work intensity

employment determination in british industry investigations using micro data this paper derives and then estimates a model of employment where unions and firms bargain over wages and possibly employment and efficiency wage considerations may be important it illustrates the difficulties associated in interpreting many existing attempts to discriminate between alternative models the results based on over 200 u k firms suggest that employment is negatively related to the firm s own wage and the change in the own wage relative to outside opportunities the latter may be an efficiency wage effect various financial factors are also seen to have a significant effect on employment

a dynamic model of union power wages and employment the traditional approach to modelling the effects of trade union power on wages and employment has paid very little attention to how the form of union power affects the outcome in this paper wage and employment determination is considered in a dynamic model where some workers e g non union members continue to work in the event of a dispute to see whether this practice can be justified the predictions of the model are very different from the standard one for example both wages and employment may be a nonmonotonic function of union density the model can also explain situations in which unions are sustainable in the long run

international differences in the timeliness conservatism and classification of earnings in this paper we analyze differences in the timeliness of income recognition between the u s and u k gaap financial reporting regimes building on previous work in the area we focus on the links between current reported earnings and current and past changes in market value in the light of basu 1997 we present a formal model in which the response of reported earnings to changes in market value varies according to whether the value change is good news or bad this model yields a number of insights with regard to the definition and measurement of earnings conservatism we also report evidence indicating that controlling for cross jurisdictional classification differences affects comparisons of earnings timeliness and earnings conservatism specifically we find that apparent differences in conservatism between the u s and u k accounting regimes are sensitive to the inclusion or exclusion of extraordinary items in u k accounting earnings recent research documents significant variation in the information content of earnings across international gaap regimes e g alford et al tlancaster university tuniversity of manchester the research support of the eco

insider effects in wage determination abstract the paper attempts to shed new light on the determinants of industry wages by a cross country comparison of wage setting relationships making use of comprehensive and consistent panel data on industries from the early 1960s to the mid 1980s the empirical analysis involves estimations of identically specified industry wage equations for each of five countries sweden norway finland germany and the united states a key finding is that industry wages in the u s are the most responsive to sectoral price and productivity changes by contrast industry wages in the nordic countries are largely unaffected by sectoral conditions the results cast doubt on the competitive model as an accurate characterization of wage setting under decentralization

do people tip strategically to improve future service theory and evidence a central question about tipping is whether people tip strategically to improve future service or only because tipping is a social norm i present a theoretical model that incorporates psychological utility associated with tipping because it is a social norm and allows tipping to be motivated also by future service considerations the model predicts that if future service is a reason for tipping the sensitivity of tips to service quality should be higher for repeating customers than for non repeating ones surveys of 597 restaurant customers are analysed and suggest that future service is not a reason for tipping une question centrale a propos des pourboires est la suivante est ce que les gens donnent des pourboires strategiquement pour ameliorer la qualite du service ou est ce que le pourboire est simplement une norme sociale l auteur presente un modele theorique qui incorpore a la fois l utilite psychologique associee au pourboire parce que c est une norme sociale et prend en compte que le pourboire peut etre motive aussi par des l intention d ameliorer la qualite future du service le modele predit que si la qualite future du service est la raison pour donner des pourboires la sensibilite des pourboires a la qualite du service devrait etre plus grande pour les clients reguliers que pour les clients occasionnels des enquetes aupres de 597 clients de restaurants suggerent que la qualite future du service n est pas la raison pour laquelle on donne des pourboires

the direct incidence of corporate income tax on wages a stylised model is provided to show how the direct effect of corporate income tax on wages can be identified in a bargaining framework using cross company variation in tax liabilities conditional on value added per employee using data on 55 082 companies located in nine european countries over the period 1996 2003 we estimate the long run elasticity of the wage bill with respect to taxation to be 0 093 evaluated at the mean this implies that an exogenous rise of 1 in tax would reduce the wage bill by 49 cents only a weak evidence of a difference for multinational companies is found

do tips increase workers income this paper constructs a model of service providers who compete in service and labor markets simultaneously to analyze the effects of tipping on hourly wages and total tip inclusive hourly worker compensation an increase in the tipping rate reduces hourly wages total worker compensation increases at different rates depending on the market structure market coverage and employment level with the exception of price taking competitive service providers where the tip inclusive hourly income declines with the tipping rate the paper develops an index of effective tipping that measures the net percentage change in total hourly worker compensation associated with each tipping rate this paper was accepted by john list behavioral economics

econometrics of the basu asymmetric timeliness coefficient and accounting conservatism a substantial literature investigates conditional conservatism defined as asymmetric accounting recognition of economic shocks news and how it depends on various market political and institutional variables studies typically assume the basu 1997 asymmetric timeliness coefficient the incremental slope on negative returns in a piecewise linear regression of accounting income on stock returns is a valid conditional conservatism measure we analyze the measure s validity in the context of a model with accounting income incorporating different types of information with different lags and with noise we demonstrate that the asymmetric timeliness coefficient varies with firm characteristics affecting their information environments such as the length of the firm s operating and investment cycles and its degree of diversification we particularly examine one characteristic the extent to which unbooked information such as revised expectations about rents and growth options is independent of other information and discuss the conditions under which a proxy for this characteristic is the market to book ratio we also conclude that much criticism of the basu regression misconstrues researchers objectives

cleaning house the impact of information technology monitoring on employee theft and productivity this paper examines how firm investments in technology based employee monitoring impact both misconduct and productivity we use unique and detailed theft and sales data from 392 restaurant locations from five firms that adopt a theft monitoring information technology it product we use difference in differences models with staggered adoption dates to estimate the treatment effect of it monitoring on theft and productivity we find significant treatment effects in reduced theft and improved productivity that appear to be primarily driven by changed worker behavior rather than worker turnover we examine four mechanisms that may drive this productivity result economic and cognitive multitasking fairness based motivation and perceived increases of general oversight the observed productivity results represent substantial financial benefits to both firms and the legitimate tip based earnings of workers our results suggest that employee misconduct is not solely a function of individual differences in ethics or morality but can also be influenced by managerial policies that can benefit both firms and employees this paper was accepted by serguei netessine operations management

testing dynamic models of worker effort this article derives three dynamic models of worker effort determination based on a shirking efficiency wage model a compensating differentials model and a union firm bargaining model it shows that all of these three models have the same long run comparative statics but differ in their short run dynamics we use these different predictions about the dynamics as a basis for testing the models euler equations for each model are estimated using panel data on 486 u k companies the evidence supports the shirking model in firms with low levels of unionization but the bargaining model in highly unionized industries

an investigation into the power of insiders in wage determination abstract this paper is concerned with the role of insider forces in wage determination various union and non union models of wage behaviour are considered and they imply that wages are a convex combination of internal and external factors certain union models also imply a degree of hysteresis data on fourteen british production industries reveal that i insider forces are important ii their importance is directly related to both union power and the degree of monopoly in the product market iii the state of the aggregate labour market is also important and iv hysteresis effects arising from insider power are only significant in a small minority of sectors

does managerial sentiment affect accrual estimates evidence from the banking industry abstract we examine whether managerial sentiment is associated with errors in accrual estimates using public banks we find 1 managerial sentiment is negatively associated with loan loss provision estimates 2 future charge offs per dollar of provision are positively associated with sentiment when the provision is estimated and 3 the effects of sentiment are greater for firms with more uncertain charge offs results are similar for private banks suggesting accrual manipulation related to capital market incentives is unlikely to explain the results although economic fundamentals explain most of the variation in the provision we find sentiment has an incremental and economically meaningful effect