occupational choice and the process of development this paper models economic development as a process of institutional transformation by focusing on the interplay between agents occupational decisions and the distribution of wealth because of capital market imperfections poor agents choose working for a wage over self employment and wealthy agents become entrepreneurs who monitor workers only with sufficient inequality however will there be employment contracts otherwise there is either subsistence or self employment thus in static equilibrium the occupational structure depends on distribution since the latter is itself endogenous we demonstrate the robustness of this result by extending the model dynamically and studying examples in which initial wealth distributions have long run effects in one case the economy develops either widespread cottage industry self employment or factory production employment contracts depending on the initial distribution in the other example it develops into prosperity or stagnation

competitive procurement of ancillary services by an independent system operator this paper discusses the competitive procurement of ancillary services by an independent system operator iso the paper assumes the existence of an underlying market for energy and explains why this energy market must be accompanied by a market for ancillary services these services include operating reserves and automatic generation control agc both of which may require generators that are infra marginal in the energy market to choose between supplying energy or ancillary services the paper discusses the design of an auction for these services that has formed the basis for the california iso s ancillary services market the paper also discusses the real time dispatch of ancillary services

finance and the sources of growth at various stages of economic development this article studies the effects of financial development on the sources of growth in different groups of countries recent theoretical work shows that financial development may affect productivity and capital accumulation in different ways in industrial versus developing countries this hypothesis is tested with panel data from 74 countries using gmm dynamic panel techniques results are consistent with the hypothesis finance has a strong positive influence on productivity growth primarily in more developed economies in less developed economies the effect of finance on output growth occurs primarily through capital accumulation jel o4 g1

transmission access and pricing with multiple separate energy forward markets california s congestion management protocols provide comparable access and prices to all users of the transmission system power exchange and bilateral contract parties the users implicitly bid for capacity on major transmission paths between zones the independent system operator iso allocates the available transmission capacity on these paths so that it maximizes the value of this capacity as measured by the users bids everyone scheduling flow on a congested path is charged the marginal cost based price for using the path the iso keeps each party s portfolio of generation and load individually in balance when adjusting schedules to relieve congestion on interzonal paths by keeping the portfolios of the different parties separate the iso clears its transmission market without arranging energy trades between parties parties are responsible for arranging their own trades the iso does not become involved in the energy forward markets

borrowing constraints human capital accumulation and growth abstract borrowing constraints increase aggregate savings and therefore may increase growth this paper argues however that by reducing human capital accumulation borrowing constraints also have negative effects on growth these effects are discussed in an overlapping generations model with endogenous growth empirical evidence for oecd and developing countries lend support to the main predictions of the model

financial intermediation and endogenous growth an endogenous growth model with multiple assets is developed agents who face random future liquidity needs accumulate capital and a liquid but unproductive asset the effects of introducing financial intermediation into this environment are considered conditions are provided under which the introduction of intermediaries shifts the composition of savings toward capital causing intermediation to be growth promoting in addition intermediaries generally reduce socially unnecessary capital liquidation again tending to promote growth

only income diverges a neoclassical anomaly the neoclassical growth model ngm is only consistent with the absolute divergence in output levels we observe if some determinants of steady state income are also diverging in this paper we show that accumulation rates of physical and human capital are actually significantly converging as are openness to trade and several variables measuring institutional quality output divergence in the face of input policy and institutional convergence is a deep anomaly for the ngm

energy and reserve market designs with explicit consideration to lost opportunity costs the primary goal of this work is to investigate the basic energy and reserve dispatch optimization cooptimization in the setting of a pool based market of particular interest is the modeling of lost opportunity cost introduced by reserve allocation the authors derive the marginal costs of energy and reserves under a variety of market designs they also analyze existence algorithm and multiplicity of optimal solutions the results of this study are used to support the reserve market design and implementation in iso new england control area

income distribution and macroeconomics this paper analyzes the role of wealth distribution in macroeconomics through investment in human capital it is shown that in the presence of credit markets imperfections and indivisibilities in investment in human capital the initial distribution of wealth affects aggregate output and investment both in the short and in the long run as there are multiple steady states this paper therefore provides an additional explanation for the persistent differences in per capita output across countries furthermore the paper shows that cross country differences in macroeconomic adjustment to aggregate shocks can be attributed among other factors to differences in wealth and income distribution across countries

dualism and macroeconomic volatility this paper develops a simple macroeconomic model that shows that combining capital market imperfections together with unequal access to investment opportunities across individuals can generate endogenous and permanent euctuations in aggregate gdp investment and interest rates reducing inequality of access may be a necessary condition for macroeconomic stabilization moreover countercyclical escal policies have a role to play in our model savings are underutilized in slumps because of the limited debt capacity of potential investors therefore the government should issue public debt during recessions in order to absorb those idle savings and enance investment subsidies or tax cuts for investors the most important single fact about saving and investment activities is that in our industrial society they are generally done by different people and for different reasons for years there might tend to be too little investment leading to deeation losses excess capacity and unemployment for other years there might tend to be too much investment leading to periods of chronic ineation unless prudent and proper public policies in the escal and monetary eelds are followed paul a samuelson economics 8th edition 1970 pp 196 198

structural change and financing constraints abstract in a multi industry growth model firms need external funds for productivity enhancing r d and face financing constraints the cost of research differs across industries so financing constraints hinder industry productivity growth unevenly equilibrium industry dynamics map into a differences in differences regression specification where industry growth depends on the interaction between country financial development and industry r d intensity the paper provides a framework for interpreting several empirical results that rely on industry growth data in terms of r d induced technology transfer and identifies a new channel for finance to encourage aggregate growth the reallocation of resources towards sectors with rapidly expanding technological frontiers

transmission congestion management in competitive electricity markets this paper studies the management of costs associated with transmission constraints i e transmission congestion costs in a competitive electricity market the paper examines two approaches for dealing with these costs the first approach is based on a nodal pricing framework and forms the basis of the so called pool model the paper also provides an analysis of financial instruments proposed to complement nodal pricing and includes illustrative test results on a large scale system the second approach is based on cost allocation procedures proposed for the so called bilateral model the paper explains the basis for this model including a game theoretic evaluation of some of its aspects both the pool and bilateral models have been at the center of the electric utility restructuring debate in california

pricing of reserves valuing system reserve capacity against spot prices in electricity markets this paper models the interdependencies between markets for secondary reserve capacity and spot electricity to derive the pricing of reserves under equilibrium conditions starting with the indifference condition between offering in both markets the reservation price is derived from the opportunity cost consideration and the unit commitment conditions in a fundamental interrelated market framework the reserve market examined compares widely to the german market for secondary reserves but the general approach may also be used to investigate other reserve markets the approach explores and formalizes the influence of reserve capacity on the spot market supply function a numerical solution procedure is provided to this non trivial case of market interaction the model is used to estimate the expected reservation price development over the last years in germany

locational market power screening and congestion management experience and suggestions the existing new england electricity market follows a uniform pricing system inframarginal generators are paid a uniform clearing price while constrained on generators are paid bid prices subject to a locational market power screen in this paper we first report the operation experience of this approach during the market s first two years we then briefly review the new england power system nepool locational pricing proposal being implemented two new approaches for locational market power screening are presented the first one is based on a zonal network model and the second is based on a nodal transmission model both approaches are being evaluated by an independent consultant and are be to recommended to nepool test results of both approaches are included

connecting the intraday energy and reserve markets by an optimal redispatch electricity markets based on simple bids provide a very high degree of transparency and simplicity however simple bids fail to capture many well known characteristics of generating units and therefore the responsibility for obtaining feasible schedules is transferred to market participants the purpose of this paper is to help the generating utility to automatically analyze the last energy program cleared in the market and in case this program is technically unfeasible to provide an alternative schedule by re dispatching the generating units this is achieved by formulating an optimization problem where the objective is to find the cheapest and feasible instantaneous power trajectory of each generator trying to minimize the differences between its hourly average values and the last energy program as the objectives of the utility can vary during the day three different models are presented two of them are formulated as a joint energy and reserve dispatch in order to take into account possible commitments acquired in the ancillary services market of agc regulation in this sense a novel approach for considering discontinuous ancillary regulation curves is proposed some numerical examples are included to illustrate the essential features of the models

strategic bidding in secondary reserve markets electricity markets are based on several sequential energy and reserve trading mechanisms to constantly maintain the balance between generation and demand during the last years reserve markets are getting much importance all around the world with the increasing social awareness of the renewable energy benefits additional reserve quantities and larger remunerations are being implemented by the regulators since this renewable energy is highly dependent on weather conditions uncertainties utilities are therefore demanding more and more powerful models to better optimize their reserve bidding curves to be sent to the system operators this paper describes a new methodology to obtain an optimized real bidding curve for the secondary spinning reserve market the approach is based on the maximization of a company profit assuming a set of residual demand curves scenarios for its competitors representation and considering the day ahead market opportunity cost to build the reserve cost curve the case study validates the main features of the proposed methodology by its application to the spanish secondary reserve market this methodology is being daily used by one of the most important electricity companies in spain

ex post pricing in the co optimized energy and reserve market this paper discusses an alternative to the ex post pricing model currently under development within iso new england s iso ne ancillary service market since iso ne s real time ancillary service market co optimizes both energy and reserve products ex post pricing is needed for both energy and reserve a co optimization approach for ex post pricing requires defining complex pricing rules and implementing heuristics to ensure consistent binding constraints with the ex ante dispatch in order to avoid complexity and uncertainty of required heuristics a new ex post pricing schema is proposed to calculate the ex post energy and reserve prices in a decoupled way while recognizing the coupling effect of energy and reserve in the proposed approach ex post energy prices are first computed by incorporating the ex ante marginal opportunity cost of reserve in the energy offer the ex post reserve prices are then calculated by considering the ex post marginal opportunity cost of energy this approach simplifies the implementation of ex post pricing rules in the iso ne market numerical examples are presented to further demonstrate the validity of this approach

financial development and economic growth abstract this paper examines the empirical relationship between long run growth and financial development proxied by the ratio between bank credit to the private sector and gdp we find that this proxy is positively correlated with growth in a large cross country sample but its impact changes across countries and is negative in a panel data for latin america we argue that the latter findings is the result of financial liberalization in a poor regulatory environment our findings also show that the main channel of transmission from financial development to growth is the efficiency rather than the volume of investment

r d implementation and stagnation a schumpeterian theory of convergence clubs we use schumpeterian growth theory to account for the divergence in per capita income that has taken place between countries since the mid 19th century as well as for the convergence that took place amongst the richest countries during the second half of the 20th century the argument is based on the premise that technological change underwent a fundamental transformation in the 19th century associated with new scientific ideas and the increasingly scientific content of new technologies countries then sorted themselves into three convergence groups r d implementation and stagnation a country s group membership depends on initial conditions as well as on fundamentals

optimal dispatch of a system based on offers and bids a mixed integer lp formulation the federal energy regulatory commission s ferc orders 888 and 889 will have far reaching consequences on the operation and dispatch of electric power systems a common element of the change is that of dispatching the system based on offers and bids to sell and buy unbundled commodities this paper formulates and solves the optimal dispatch problem as a mixed integer linear program such a formulation allows the acceptance of offers with minimum takes arising from generator characteristics

human capital risk and economic growth this paper develops a tractable incomplete markets model of economic growth in which households invest in risk free physical capital and risky human capital the paper shows that a reduction in uninsurable idiosyncratic labor income risk decreases physical capital investment but increases human capital investment growth and welfare a quantitative analysis based on a calibrated version of the model reveals that these effects are substantial and of the same order of magnitude as the effects of distortionary income taxation the analysis further suggests that government sponsored severance payments to displaced workers increase growth and welfare even if these payments have to be e nanced through distortionary income taxation

competitive energy storage in the presence of renewables a large fraction of new distributed generation will use renewable sources and cannot be treated as conventional generators due to high variability energy storage is a natural mechanism for absorbing variability and hence minimizing costly reliance on generator reserves we consider a simple scenario in which energy imbalances are allocated to energy storage representing either cooperation with a renewable producer or competitive operation in markets the optimal storage scheduling strategy is shown to be an inventory control like policy which through mild approximation yields affine relationships with the state variables we develop and numerically evaluate suboptimal policies that approximately incorporate the effects of correlation further approximation enables us to characterize the nash equilibria arising between generation and storage which we use to analyze strategic effects specifically we find that inefficient storage can lead to non socially optimal behavior

financial development growth and the distribution of income a paradigm is presented in which both the extent of financial intermediation and the rate of economic growth are endogenously determined financial intermediation promotes growth because it allows a higher rate of return to be earned on capital and growth in turn provides the means to implement costly financial structures thus financial intermediation and economic growth are inextricably linked in accord with the goldsmith mckinnon shaw view on economic development the model also generates a development cycle reminiscent of the kuznet hypothesis in particular in the transition from a primitive slow growing economy to a developed fast growing one a nation passes through a stage in which the distribution of wealth across the rich and poor widens

energy and reserve dispatch in a multi zone electricity market competitive bidding for ancillary services a s in addition to bidding for energy is increasingly recognized as an important part of electricity markets in this paper an lp based approach is presented for solving the multi product i e energy and a s products multi zone area physical market dispatch problem the approach can explicitly represent various constraints such as reserve requirement constraints network security limits and sharing of constrained resource capacity e g maximum unit generation between energy and reserve the joint dispatch method which dispatches energy and reserve market concurrently is extended to allow inter zonal reserve trading in a multi zone competitive pool numerical examples are included to demonstrate the salient characteristics of the joint dispatch solution

finance and the sources of growth the authors evaluate whether the level of development in the banking sector exerts a causal impact on economic growth and its sources total factor productivity growth physical capital accumulation and private saving they use 1 a pure cross country instrumental variable estimator to extract the exogenous component of banking development and 2 a new panel technique that controls for country specific effects and endogeneity they find that banks do exert a large causal impact on total factor productivity growth which feeds through to overall gdp gross domestic product growth the long run links between banking development and both capital growth and private savings are more tenuous

spot pricing when lagrange multipliers are not unique classical spot pricing theory is based on multipliers of the primal problem of an optimal market dispatch i e the solution of the dual problem however the dual problem of market dispatch may yield multiple solutions in these circumstances spot pricing or any standard pricing practice based on multipliers cannot generate a unique clearing price although such situations are rare they can cause significant uncertainties and complexities in market dispatch in practice this situation is solved through simple empirical methods which may cause additional operations or biased allocation based on a strict extension of the principles of spot pricing and surplus allocation we propose a new pricing methodology that can yield unique impartial and robust solution the new method has been analyzed and compared with other pricing approaches in accordance with spot pricing theory case studies support the results of the theoretical analysis and further demonstrate that the method performs effectively in both uniform pricing and nodal pricing markets

implementation in undominated strategies a look at bounded mechanisms this paper examines the impact of placing natural restrictions on the mechanisms considered for implementation problems it is shown that if all mechanisms are considered and preferences satisfy a basic condition then any social choice correspondence can be implemented in undominated strategies an example points out that the strength of this result derives from the use of mechanisms with questionable features in part of the message space the agent who announces the highest integer is rewarded this sort of tail chasing construction common in the constructive proofs of the literature is used to assure that undesired strategy combinations do not form an equilibrium if such mechanisms are ruled out then the social choice correspondences which can be implemented in undominated strategies satisfy an incentive compatibility type condition called strategy resistence for social choice functions this is equivalent to strategy proofness this contrast suggests that this issue should be examined as it applies to other solution concepts used in implementation theory the last portion of the paper begins to explore the issue as it relates to nash implementation and undominated nash implementation

congestion surplus minimization pricing solutions when lagrange multipliers are not unique this paper proposes a comprehensive solution methodology for the pricing difficulty when lagrange multipliers are not unique a linear optimization model is proposed to solve the congestion related pricing difficulty the objective function of the model is set to be minimizing the congestion surplus in addition an incentive based allocation approach is incorporated in the solution procedure for cases when no marginal participant exists the unique pricing solution obtained through our methodology can achieve proper reallocation of the undetermined surplus further we discuss the reference bus independence property of the proposed pricing methodology numerical results are provided to fully test the proposed methodology other possible solutions are also presented for comparison

reliability and reserve in competitive electricity market scheduling power systems are typically scheduled at least cost subject to operational and security constraints generally no account is taken of generator reliability when scheduling units also the security criteria which include reserve are usually deterministic in nature this paper proposes a method to consider generator reliability explicitly in the scheduling problem a competitive structure is proposed which includes a market for reserve this is formulated as an augmented lagrangian dual function and is solved using a new recurrent neural network the price for reserve is used along with the unit reliability to find a balance between the cost of reserve and the risk of not providing it

some consequences of credit rationing in an endogenous growth model an endogenous growth model is developed where all investment is financed via credit extension there is also an adverse selection problem in loan markets so that in equilibrium credit rationing arises endogenously the result is that equilibrium levels of credit rationing and real growth rates are jointly determined in this context several changes in the environment can have unusual consequences for instance improvements in the technology for producing capital can reduce growth because of their adverse impacts on credit rationing for similar reasons various government investment subsidies can be growth reducing this phenomenon is often observed empirically

dynamic public goods provision with coalitional manipulation abstract we study dynamic procedures for the provision of an efficient level of a public good with time dependent surplus distribution in general such procedures are prone to manipulation via pre play communication among coalitions of agents we begin with a generalization of truchon s econometrica 1984 52 1179 1190 elegant non myopic mdp procedure and provide a new procedure that exhibits finite monotone convergence to pareto efficiency in subgame perfect coalitionproof equilibrium this procedure also implements any regular surplus distribution rule that is dependent on the public good level the solution concept of subgame perfect coalition proof equilibrium is also new it is an extension of the semistability characterizations of coalition proof equilibrium for infinite strategy games due to kahn and mookherjee games and economic behavior 1992 4 101 121 the coalition proofing device given is more generally applicable

incorporating post zonal reserve deployment transmission constraints into energy and ancillary service co optimization this paper presents a new approach implemented in miso day ahead and real time energy and ancillary service market clearing processes to address the reserve deliverability issue in this approach miso enhanced the co optimization process to incorporate post zonal reserve deployment transmission constraints reserves are procured within the co optimization to meet both market wide reserve requirements and ensure their deliverability on a zonal basis as a result zonal market clearing prices mcps for reserves can properly reflect the effects of zonal reserve deployment on transmission constraints under consideration

spot pricing of capacities for generation and transmission of reserve in an extended poolco model the poolco model is emerging as one of the most acceptable options for organizing the spot market of electricity although the model represents a reasonable and safe transition from present industry practices to what is required in a competitive electricity market many important issues remain to be resolved in particular issues regarding reliability related services are of a special concern to the industry this paper is devoted to the issue of reserve service delivery and pricing the poolco model is extended in this paper to include spot pricing of reserve generation and transmission capacities as well as demand side bidding in the authors extended model suppliers submit bids for power as well as for reserve capacities a new formulation of the extended security constrained economic dispatch which allocates both power and reserve generation resources is presented in this paper the dispatch of the resources is constrained by limitations of system transmission capacities the proposed formulation is considered to be relevant not only in the poolco but in a more general setup an illustrative example is used to introduce concepts and present results finally some general issues regarding formats of proposals balance of payments and uniqueness of the prices that apply equally to both the original and extended poolco models are discussed

population technology and growth from malthusian stagnation to the demographic transition and beyond this paper develops a unied growth model that captures the historical evolution of population technology and output it encompasses theendogenous transitionbetween three regimes that have characterized economic development the economy evolves from amalthusianregime wheretechnologicalprogressis slow andpopulationgrowthprevents anysustainedriseinincomepercapita intoapost malthusianregime wheretechnological progress rises and population growth absorbs only part of output growth ultimately a demographic transition reverses the positive relationship between income and population growth andtheeconomyentersamoderngrowthregimewithreducedpopulationgrowth

a theory of trickle down growth and development this paper develops a model of growth and income inequalities in the presence of imperfect capital markets and it analyses the trickle down effect of capital accumulation moral hazard with limited wealth constraints on the part of the borrowers is the source of both capital market imperfections and the emergence of persistent income inequalities three main conclusions are obtained from this model first when the rate of capital accumulation is sufficiently high the economy converges to a unique invariant wealth distribution second even though the trickle down mechanism can lead to a unique steady state distribution under laissez faire there is room for government intervention in particular redistribution of wealth from rich lenders to poor and middle class borrowers improves the production efficiency of the economy both because it brings about greater equality of opportunity and also because it accelerates the trickle down process third the process of capital accumulation initially has the effect of widening inequalities but in later stages it reduces them in other words this model can generate a kuznets curve

the dynamics of the wealth distribution and the interest rate with credit rationing are uniquely determined and wealth dispersion among individuals or firms is irrelevant introducing credit rationing into the solow model modifies these conclusions multiple stationary interest rates and wealth distributions can exist because higher initial rates can be self reinforcing through higher credit rationing and lower capital accumulation the wealth accumulation process is ergodic in every steady state but wealth mobility is lower with higher steady state interest rates aggregate output is higher in steady states with lower interest rates because credit is better allocated short run interest rate or distribution shocks can be self sustaining and can have long run effects on output through the induced dynamics of the wealth distribution and credit rationing

the effect of financial development on convergence theory and evidence we introduce imperfect creditor protection in a multicountry schumpeterian growth model the theory predicts that any country with more than some critical level of financial development will converge to the growth rate of the world technology frontier and that all other countries will have a strictly lower long run growth rate we present evidence supporting these and other implications in the form of a cross country growth regression with a significant and sizable negative coefficient on initial per capita gdp relative to the united states interacted with financial intermediation in addition we find that other variables representing schooling geography health policy politics and institutions do not affect the significance of the interaction between financial intermediation and initial per capita gdp and do not show any independent effect on convergence in the regressions our findings are robust to removal of outliers and to alternative conditioning sets estimation procedures and measures of financial development

impacts of contingency reserve on nodal price and nodal reliability risk in deregulated power systems the deregulation of power systems allows customers to participate in power market operation in deregulated power systems nodal price and nodal reliability are adopted to represent locational operation cost and reliability performance since contingency reserve cr plays an important role in reliable operation the cr commitment should be considered in operational reliability analysis in this paper a cr model based on customer reliability requirements has been formulated and integrated into power market settlement a two step market clearing process has been proposed to determine generation and cr allocation customers nodal unit commitment risk and nodal energy interruption have been evaluated through contingency analysis customers reliability cost including reserve service cost and energy interruption cost have also been evaluated

financial integration productivity and capital accumulation understanding the mechanism through which nancial globalization aects eco nomic performance is crucial for evaluating the costs and bene ts of opening nancial markets this paper is a rst attempt at disentangling the eects of nancial inte gration on the two main determinants of economic performance productivity tfp and investment i provide empirical evidence from a sample of 70 countries observed between 1975 and 1999 the results for both de jure and de facto indicators suggest that nancial integration has a positive direct eect on productivity while it does not directly aect capital accumulation i also control for indirect eects of nancial globalization through nancial development and banking and currency crises while nancial integration does not systematically increase domestic nancial depth it may raise the likelyhood of banking crises though only to a minor extent yet the overall eect of nancial liberalization remains positive for productivity and negligible for investment

coalition proof nash equilibria ii applications abstract in bernheim peleg and whinston coalition proof equilibria i concepts j econ theory 42 1987 1 12 we proposed the notion of coalition proof nash equilibrium and perfectly coalition proof nash equilibrium as solution concepts for strategic environments in which players can freely discuss their strategies but cannot make binding commitments this paper undertakes applications to several economic problems including the behavior of cournot oligopolists oligopolistic entry deterrence cooperation in finite horizon games and social choice rule implementation

financial development and economic growth views and agenda this critique argues that the preponderance of theoretical reasoning and empirical evidence suggests a positive first order relationship between financial development and economic growth the body of work would push even most skeptics toward the belief that the development of financial markets and institutions is a critical and inextricable part of the growth process and away from the view that the financial system is an inconsequential sideshow responding passively to economic growth many gaps remain however and the paper highlights areas in acute need of additional research

malthus to solow a unified growth theory is developed that accounts for the roughly constant living standards displayed by world economies prior to 1800 as well as the growing living standards exhibited by modern industrial economies our theory also explains the industrial revolution which is the transition from an era when per capita incomes are stagnant to one with sustained growth the authors use a standard growth model with several technologies the first denoted the malthus technology requires land labor and reproducible capital as inputs the second denoted the solow technology does not require land the authors show that in the early stages of development only the malthus technology is used and due to population growth living standards are stagnant despite technological progress eventually technological progress causes the solow technology to become profitable and both technologies are employed at this point living standards improve since population growth has less influence on per capita income growth in the limit the economy behaves like a standard solow growth model excerpt