income and the use of prescription drugs by the elderly evidence from the notch cohorts we use exogenous variation in social security payments created by the social security benefits notch to estimate how retirees use of prescription medications responds to changes in their incomes using data from the 1993 wave of the ahead we obtain instrumental variables estimates of the income elasticity of prescription drug use that are uniformly above 1 00 with a middle estimate of 1 32 simulations based on our estimates suggest that reductions in social security benefits similar to those incorporated in recent reform proposals would significantly reduce prescription drug use among the elderly

housing prices and the savings of renters abstract this paper studies the effects of housing prices on the net worth of young households because prospective homeowners must accumulate down payments a change in housing prices can change their savings patterns theoretically the effect of increases in house prices on savings is ambiguous because households can increase their saving to afford the larger down payment or decrease their saving because they have chosen to delay or forego purchasing a house using data from the 1984 panel study of income dynamics 27 i show that empirically the effect of increased housing prices on saving is positive and quite large relative to the savings of young households young renter households living in cities with high housing prices have more net worth than those living in cities with lowering housing prices controlling for both the income of the households as well as the per capita income of the city in which they live

financial development and the fdi growth nexus the malaysian experience this article examines the fdi growth nexus in the small open economy of malaysia by controlling for the level of financial development financial development is proxied by a composite index which is a summary measure of four financial development indicators using time series data from 1965 to 2004 the results show that fdi and financial development are positively related to output in the long run the impact of fdi on output is enhanced through financial development to supplement these findings we assess the causal relationships between the variables using the recent causality tests available in the literature the results indicate that economic growth causes fdi growth in the long run but no feedback relationship is observed

the dynamics of real estate prices institute of university of i business and v california at i economic research berkeley fisher center for real estate and urban economics p working paper series working paper no 88 151 the dynamics of real estate prices by these papers are preliminary in nature their purpose is to i e z i d 2f iz e ey bradford case are nottobccited ortluotedin john mq quigley any publication without the ex press permission of the author walter a haas school of business

transaction taxes in a search model of the housing market abstract we incorporate transaction taxes in a housing market search model with endogeneous house prices and show that these taxes unambiguously create lock in effects that reduce welfare the lock in effects are larger at low vacancy rates seller taxes raise prices and buyer taxes lower them and this asymmetry helps to explain the differences in the welfare effects of the two taxes lock in effects are smaller with a buyer tax since the price reduction dampens the negative effect on search effort caused by the tax

the effect of income on mortality evidence from the social security notch abstract legislation in the 1970s created a notch in social security payments with those born after january 1 1917 receiving sharply lower benefits using restricted use versions of the national mortality detail file combined with census data we use this quasi experiment to examine the income mortality link in an elderly population estimates from difference in difference and regression discontinuity models show the higher income group has a statistically significantly higher mortality rate contradicting the previous literature we also found that younger cohorts responded to lower incomes by increasing postretirement work effort suggesting that moderate employment has beneficial health effects for the elderly

on the export led growth hypothesis the econometric evidence from china the export led growth hypothesis is tested by estimating an augmented growth equation on the basis of times series data from china the granger no causality procedure developed by toda and yamamoto journal of econometrics 66 1995 was applied to test the causality link between exports and economic growth in a var system three distinct features in this paper stand out compared to earlier studies on china first we have gone beyond the traditional two variable relationship by building a var model in the production function context to avoid a possible specification bias second we follow riezman whiteman and summers empirical economics 21 1996 to test the export led growth hypothesis while controlling for the growth of imports to avoid producing a spurious causality result third we test the sensitivity of causality test results under different lag structures along with the choice of optimal lags in particular the methodology developed by toda and yamamoto 1995 is expected to improve the stan

intergenerational transfers borrowing constraints and saving behavior evidence from the housing market abstract we examine the effects of intergenerational transfers on saving behavior by analyzing transfers targeted to first time home purchases transfer recipients have a shorter time to save for a down payment of 9 20 for each dollar of transfer received total savings falls by 29 40 cents and the down payment rises by 61 71 cents transfer recipients increase the value of the home purchased but by an amount that is much lower than possible if the transfer were fully leveraged in addition transfers appear to help households achieve certain down payment thresholds that give favorable mortgage terms

allocation inflexibilities female labor supply and housing assets accumulation are women working to pay the mortgage this article uses data from the 1986 canadian family expenditures survey to estimate a life cycle consistent model of household labor supply and commodity demand that incorporates a mortgage qualification constraint based on earnings both the parametric and nonparametric implications of the model suggest that the labor supply of a nontrivial percentage of married women is constrained by mortgage commitments the results of generalized selectivity models of female labor force participation and labor supply show that the positive effect of a high debt service ratio exceeds the negative effect of young children

measuring the importance of location in house price appreciation abstract this paper examines the variation in the rates of price appreciation within an individual metropolitan market a methodology is developed to examine the locational variation in house price changes in dade county miami florida from 1971 to 1992 house price appreciation appears to be somewhat spatially related that is it varies by municipality with distance from the cbd with local changes in population and housing units and by ethnic mix however these relationships have minimal explanatory power controlling for the census tract group location of each home explains only around 12 of the residual variation in the appreciation of individual homes that is not explained by metropolitan wide changes in house prices the effect of tract group location appears to be dominated by the idiosyncratic influences of individual homes and their immediate environments

entry order market share and competitive advantage a study of their relationships in new corporate ventures abstract this research explored the extent to which entry order the decision to enter a market early as a pioneer or to wait and follow determines not only market share but other competitive factors such as position and promotion that late entrants might hope to employ to overcome a pioneer s advantages the study analyzed data on 119 nonservice new corporate ventures consumer and industrial from the profit impact of marketing strategy pims research data base str4 based on a review of the strategic management and marketing literatures three hypotheses on the effects of entry order were generated and subsequently tested the first hypothesis states that pioneers achieve higher market shares than followers since a priori the market share for the pioneer has to be larger than the market share split among later entrants the issue is the rate at which the early entrant s market share will decrease as additional businesses enter what we term the degree of lateness effect later entrants have the choice of being an early follower that is entering the industry soon after the pioneers or waiting until the industry matures late entrants a high degree of lateness effect would indicate that early followers would gain higher market shares than late entrants an analysis of the data indicated that pioneers have significantly higher market shares than followers and that little degree of lateness effect existed between early and late entrants the second hypothesis states that pioneers will achieve differentiation advantages in such areas as product and service quality promotion and technological positioning greater than followers there is considerable theoretical and empirical evidence that pioneers are able to generate competitive advantages through name recognition image leadership the establishment of technical standards which make switching to other products difficult and superior consumer information advantages due to market lead times an analysis of the data indicated that pioneers have significant competitive advantages in product service quality and technology over followers the one area where pioneers did not have a competitive advantage over followers was in advertising and promotion the third hypothesis states that followers will achieve cost advantages greater than pioneers while learning curve theory suggests that pioneers will enjoy cost price advantages contrasting arguments can be made that followers can enjoy lower costs by coattailing on the pioneer s efforts to educate consumers develop a dominant design and create an infrastructure to span the gap from raw material suppliers to finished good deliveries we suggest that because pioneers are likely to have attained differentiation advantages followers will have only one alternative left compete on the basis of price and become the lowest cost producer an analysis of the data indicates that while followers do appear to have lower prices than pioneers followers do not have significantly lower cost structures this result implies a lower level of profitability for a follower strategy overall the results of this study advance the notion that new corporate ventures should enter as pioneers rather than as followers pioneers had higher market shares and stronger competitive positions higher quality more differentiated products and better service than followers followers appear to have few successful competitive options available outside of promotion for gaining market share

rehabilitation decisions in rental housing an empirical analysis abstract housing policy makers show increased interest in encouraging rehabilitation of the existing housing stock but little is known about what factors influence the decision to invest particularly in rental housing making policy design difficult this paper presents an empirical analysis of individual landlords housing rehabilitation decisions in one housing market the analysis tests hypotheses about the impacts of detailed neighborhood structure and site characteristics on each owner s investment activity findings support the general hypothesis that economic returns to investment have a major effect on rehabilitation decisions identify some other important circumstances and suggest which among many specific policy levers should be effective

social security income and health care spending evidence from the social security notch the paper exploits social security legislation changes to identify the causal effect of social security income on out of pocket medical expenditures of the elderly using the 1986 1994 consumer expenditure survey and an instrumental variables strategy the empirical results show that health care expenditures are responsive to changes in social security income for elderly individuals with less than a high school education the estimated income elasticities are between 1 41 and 3 47 depending on the outcome measures and are statistically significant at conventional levels the findings are in contrast to existing studies that find a small income elasticity at the individual household level this article is protected by copyright all rights reserved

a var approach to the economics of fdi in china using a vector autoregression var approach this study re examines several hypotheses suggested by the economic literature on the economics of fdi applying quarterly time series data from china a country which has recently become the second largest host country for fdi innovation accounting variance decomposition and impulse response function analysis is applied to analyse the various interrelationships between fdi and other economic variables of interest in a var system the empirical research using this method in the case of china is limited the study therefore provides an interesting advance in the literature on the economics of fdi in china

exploring the significance of domestic investment for foreign direct investment in china a city network approach this article uses a network approach and a negative binomial regression model nbrm to shed light on the association between domestic investment di and foreign direct investment fdi in interli

do council housing policies reduce migration between regions data from the 1973 general household survey of great britain are used to examine whether the council house system which currently provides a dwelling for one british family in every three tends to discourage long distance migration controls are introduced for various socioeconomic variables and the importance of occupation sector of employment age and education in explaining migration is discussed comparisons are also made between local movements and long distance migration the findings indicate that over longer distances council tenants have much lower migration rates than owner occupiers

a debt owing democracy the political impact of housing market recession at the british general election of 1992 the 1992 british general election took place in the context of a severe housing recession which hit hardest in those regions from which the government usually drew much of its electoral support the slump notwithstanding however the government went on to win its fourth successive election victory the paper investigates the impact of the housing recession on the geography of the vote at the 1992 general election party fortunes were linked to local housing market conditions and the failure of the housing market was a factor in reducing support for the government negative equity is identified as a particularly important problem in this regard

social security and elderly homeownership abstract over the last twenty five years the homeownership rate of households 65 years and older has risen steadily while the homeownership rate for 35 64 year old households has remained relatively unchanged at the same time the real value of social security benefits has risen substantially using data from the march 1978 to 2001 current population surveys this paper documents the evolution and assesses the causal role of the social security program in increasing elderly homeownership to isolate the causal effect the analysis develops an instrumental variable approach that relies on the large variation in benefits for birth cohorts from 1900 to 1930 due to double indexation of the system and the so called social security notch for all elderly the estimated elasticity of homeownership to social security benefits ranges from 0 26 to 0 49 across marital groups the widowed have the greatest responsiveness to benefits increases in benefits also increase household formation among the elderly overall the estimates indicate that between half and as much as all of the time series rise in elderly homeownership over the last twenty five years can be attributable to the rise in social security benefits and suggest that reductions in benefits would alter homeownership among the elderly significantly

cross tenure differences in home maintenance and appreciation this paper investigates the relative maintenance levels of owner and renter occupied housing by examining their short and long run appreciation rates we modify the standard repeat sales estimation procedure to test whether owner occupied housing appreciates faster than renter occupied housing this procedure holds constant all structural factors except for aging hence appreciation is estimated net of physical depreciation i e routine aging deficient and deferred maintenance we find only weak evidence to support the notion that long term rates of appreciation and maintenance levels are substantially different between owner and renter occupied housing

interest rate variations mortgage prepayments and household mobility the volatility of interest rates and the deregulation of the mortgage lending sector have meant that many homeowners also own mortgages at terms more favorable than current interest rates this paper presents a model of residential mobility decisions and an empirical analysis that evaluates the importance of the ownership of these mortgages upon the mobility of homeowners the results based upon proportional and nonproportional hazard models indicate that these effects are quite large the empirical analysis distinguishes between different regulatory regimes that govern the assumption of existing mortgages and indicates the implications of these findings for the pricing and valuation of mortgage backed securities copyright 1987 by mit press

capital gains taxation and residential mobility in sweden abstract theoretical studies have shown that capital gains taxes in the housing market may create lock in effects but so far no empirical evidence has been presented regarding the size of these effects for a panel of swedish house owners in 1984 1990 we show that lock in effects only appear for households with income reductions the size of these lock in effects crucially depends on the magnitude of the income loss the theoretical model and features of the swedish tax system imply that lock in effects depend on the degree of mismatch in the current residence and whether the households buy up or buy down

the effect of social security on labor supply a cohort analysis of the notch generation this article uses aggregate birth year calendar year level data derived from the current population survey cps to estimate the effect of social security wealth on the labor supply of older men in the 1970s and 1980s the analysis focuses on measuring the impact of the 1977 amendments to the social security act which created a substantial unanticipated reduction in social security wealth for individuals born after 1916 this differential in benefits has become known as the benefit notch results indicate that labor supply continued to decline for the notch babies who received lower social security benefits than earlier cohorts

the dispersion of us state unemployment rates the role of market and non market equilibrium factors partridge m d and rickman d s 1997 the dispersion of us state unemployment rates the role of market and nonmarket equilibrium factors reg studies 31 593 607 european nations particularly the uk have been observed to have persistent dispersion in regional unemployment rates the dispersion is often hypothesized to be caused by centralized collective bargaining and government policies that limit regional labour market adjustments although the us labour market is considered more exible possessing higher rates of labour mobility and less government mandates there also is persistent dispersion in us state unemployment rates this paper investigates the factors that underlie the persistent dispersion in us state unemployment rates the factors examined include amenities crime education home ownership and residency patterns industry composition and international migration partridge m d et rickman d s 1997 la dispersion des taux de chomage aux etats unis sur le plan des etats l importa

the global configuration of a speculative trading operation an empirical study of foreign exchange trading this paper proposes a theory of firm boundaries based on fore knowledge development and exploitation in speculative or informed trading foreign exchange trading provides this study s empirical context from research on information economics we suggest optimal speculative trading operations are multiunit and globally dispersed alternatively transaction cost economics suggests atomistic actors prevail in the market for fungible commodities like currencies we also develop competing hypotheses about information technology s effects on foreign exchange trading operations speculation arguments predict that the global scope of trading operations will expand after the introduction of generic information technologies transaction cost economics proposes that when atomistic actors do not prevail trading operations will contract after this introduction we test competing predictions with models of the expansion contraction and net change in a firm s global dispersion we estimate these models with data from the population of banks worldwide engaged in interbank foreign exchange currency fx trading from 1974 to 1993 our results uncover two types of firms those that approach the atomistic actor of transaction cost economics and those that resemble the globally dispersed multiunit configuration from our speculation discussion these results encourage reflection on how the theory of the firm differs when firms trade to produce versus speculate

social security and elderly living arrangements evidence from the social security notch previous studies of the effect of social security on elderly living arrangements generally have relied on data from the distant past or differences in benefits across families or cohorts that potentially were correlated with other determinants of living arrangements using data from the 1980 99 current population surveys we attempt to isolate the causal effect of social security on living arrangements with an instrumental variable approach that relies on the large shifts in benefits for cohorts born from 1910 21 the socalled social security notch over all elderly households the estimated elasticity of living with others with respect to social security income is 0 4 with elasticities of 1 3 and 1 4 for the widowed and divorced respectively most of the effects on living arrangements appear to be concentrated among the lesser educated as well our estimated elasticities are substantially larger than those from previous studies and suggest that reductions in current benefits would alter living arrangements significantly

social security income and the utilization of home care evidence from the social security notch this paper exploits social security law changes to identify the effect of social security income on the use of formal and informal home care by the elderly results from an instrumental variables estimation strategy show that as retirement income increases elderly individuals increase their use of formal home care and become less likely to rely on informal home care provided to them by their children this negative effect on informal home care is most likely driven by male children withdrawing from their caregiving roles the empirical results also suggest that higher social security benefits would encourage the use of formal home care by those who would not have otherwise used any type of home care and would also encourage the use of both types of home care services among elderly individuals

the role of foreign direct investment in china s post 1978 economic development abstract the evolution of china s policy toward foreign direct investment fdi during the post 1978 period is reviewed and the volume sources geographic distribution and composition of fdi are analyzed it is found that fdi has been positively associated with economic growth and the increase of total fixed asset investment in china foreign direct investment has also forced an increasing number of domestic manufacturers to compete globally it has also been associated with phenomena such as a the accelerating uneven development between the coastal and inland provinces b worsening income distribution and c declining ideological commitment while the opening of the chinese economy to fdi is still an ongoing process positive stimulating effects of foreign direct investment in china are observed and these are found to contribute toward the success of its recent economic reforms

managerial prescriptions under the resource based view of strategy the example of motivational techniques working from the perspective of the resource based view of strategy this paper addresses whether academics consultants and other sources of general managerial prescriptions can affect firms long run rent streams the answer is affirmative to demonstrate this i discuss the use of motivational techniques as a well understood and common managerial choice that may affect a firm s chance of generating rents this paper interprets extant empirical research on goal setting and discusses the conceptualization of temporal rent patterns i build upon an empirical finding in goal setting research to compare the temporal patterns of rents for managerial choices embedded in path dependent vs path independent processes 1998 john wiley sons ltd

foreign direct investment pollution and economic growth evidence from malaysia the bounds test developed by pesaran et al 2001 is applied to examine the existence of a long run relationship between foreign direct investment fdi inflows pollution and output of malaysia granger causality tests are also utilized to test for the presence of the short run and long run causal relationship between these variables both fdi inflows and pollution have short run causal relationship on output output only has long run causal relationship on fdi inflows

a note on the benefits of homeownership abstract this brief note adds to recent work that attempts to identify externalities associated with homeownership the results suggest that some of the homeownership effect found by green and white is driven by family characteristics associated with homeownership especially residential stability however as much as homeownership increases residential stability it appears to be correlated with higher school attainment attempts to control for endogeneity cannot eliminate this finding

homeownership and investment in risky assets abstract this paper uses the 1989 survey of consumer finances to show that committed expenditures related to homeownership cause agents to hold their financial assets in a safe form this work follows theoretical results by fratantoni 5 which show that the mortgage commitment leads to reduced risky asset holding and empirical results by guisoet al 7 which show that agents with uncertain labor income hold fewer risky assets i find that doubling the median homeowner s mortgage payment income ratio leads to a 15 decrease in the risky share

prices parents and young people s household formation an economic theory of young people s decision to live apart from parents is presented and used to structure econometric analyses of the processes of leaving the parental home and returning to it which employ data from the british household panel survey for the first half of the 1990s the econometric estimates support the predictions of the theory in particular tighter housing markets as indicated by higher regional relative house prices significantly retard home leaving especially the formation of partnerships and encourage returns to the parental home young people with larger current income are more likely to leave but less likely to return to the parental home

spatial lock in do falling house prices constrain residential mobility abstract falling house prices have caused numerous homeowners to suffer capital losses those with little home equity may be prevented from moving because of imperfections in housing finance markets the proceeds from the sale of their home may be insufficient to repay their mortgage and provide a down payment on a new home a data set of mortgages is used to examine the magnitude of these constraints estimates show that average mobility would have been 24 higher after 3 years had house prices not declined and after 4 years it would have been 33 higher among those with high initial loan to value ratios the differences are even greater

redlining in boston do mortgage lenders discriminate against neighborhoods historically lenders have been accused of redlining minority neighborhoods as well as refusing to lend to minority applicants considerable bank regulation is designed to prevent both actions however the strong correlation between race and neighborhood makes it difficult to distinguish the impact of geographic discrimination from the effects of racial discrimination previous studies have failed to untangle these two influences in part because of severe omitted variable bias the data set in this paper allows the distinct effects of race and geography to be identified and it shows that the evidence for redlining is weak

the social and private micro level consequences of homeownership abstract this paper reviews the literature that describes the micro level economic and social consequences of homeownership we adopt an interdisciplinary approach and include studies from economics sociology geography political science psychology and other disciplines our focus is on the set of consequences of homeownership in developed countries our list of potential outcomes of homeownership includes the impact on household wealth and portfolio choice mobility labor force participation urban structure and segregation home maintenance political and social activities health demographics self esteem and child outcomes there is substantial evidence that homeownership has important effects on some household behaviors and outcomes however we find that much of the past 30 year s literature on consequences of homeowning is deficient from a theoretical or econometric perspective we suggest solutions and identify research gaps present in the literature

consumption down payments and liquidity constraints one frequently cited explanation for the empirical failure of the orthodox life cycle permanent income hypothesis lc pih is the presence of binding liquidity constraints households inability to borrow and lend at the same interest rate or to borrow the desired quantity can distort household consumption profiles depressing consumption during periods when constraints bind whether or not liquidity constraints bind has important implications for the sensitivity of consumption to fluctuations in income the neutrality of government debt and the structure of taxation despite the potential importance of liquidity constraints in understanding macroeconomic behavior there has been comparatively little research into the effect of specific constraints on consumption one area of consumer behavior where liquidity constraints arguably may be important is in housing decisions and mortgage markets households wishing to own a first home must accumulate a down payment in order to qualify for a mortgage loan currently for conventional mortgages in the united states most lending institutions require between s percent and 20 percent of the purchase price of the home put down in advance of the purchase 2 without access to private gifts or loans many

the transition to home ownership and the black white wealth gap this paper analyzes differences in the likelihood that black and white families become homeowners by following a sample of black and white renters over time we are able to separately study racial differences in the likelihood of applying for a mortgage and in the likelihood that a mortgage application is accepted although its effect on the race gap in housing transitions is small we find strong evidence that black applicants are almost twice as likely as comparable white households to be rejected even when credit history proxies and measures of household wealth are accounted for we show that the housing transition gap exists primarily because blacks are less likely to apply for mortgages in the first place the analysis suggests that differences in income family structure and in the ability and willingness of parents to provide down payment assistance are the primary reasons for this applications gap we speculate that the portion of the gap that remains unexplained after controlling for income d

housing capital gains taxation and homeowner mobility evidence from the taxpayer relief act of 1997 abstract we provide new evidence on the impact of housing capital gains taxation on homeowner behavior by examining residential mobility before and after the taxpayer relief act of 1997 tra97 which generated the most sweeping reform of capital gains taxation in the last two decades in addition to lowering marginal tax rates on long term capital gains for all assets tra97 also eliminated any differential treatment of housing gains above and below age 55 allowing all homeowners to qualify for capital gains exclusions utilizing data drawn from the current population survey cps on either side of the law change 1996 and 1998 on homeowners just above 56 58 year olds and below 52 54 year olds the age 55 threshold and a reduced form difference in difference empirical approach our estimates suggest that the repeal of the differential capital gains tax treatment by age embodied in tra97 had an economically important and statistically significant impact on the residential mobility of under 55 homeowners across a variety of specifications the repeal raised the mobility rate by around 1 1 4 percentage points which for a mean mobility rate of 4 percentage points represented an increase in the mobility rate of homeowners in their early 50s by 22 31 furthermore the bulk of this effect was concentrated among highly mobile homeowners who a priori were more likely to have wanted to trade down e g divorced empty nesters those facing higher capital gains tax rates and those living in states that had experienced higher rates of nominal appreciation

the economic determinants of young people s household formation the paper derives predictions about the impact of the price of housing young adults income and parental income on the probability that a young adult in the united kingdom lives apart from his her parents it shows that the predicted effect of the price of housing is intimately related to the price elasticity of housing demand it uses longitudinal data on a cohort of britons born in 1958 surveyed in the national child development study to estimate dynamic models of first departure from the parental home and particularly to estimate the impact of housing price on the timing and destination of first departure excerpt

causality between foreign investment and spillover efficiency while there is considerable evidence on the observed linkage between foreign investment and technical efficiency of the developing countries the question of causality between them has not been investigated this paper re examines the relationship between foreign direct investment and technical efficiency in mexico brazil chile singapore and zambia using granger causality tests the results suggest that foreign direct investment and labour productivity are causally independent variables however capital formation of the host country is found to exert causal influence on foreign investment

understanding the tax revolt eight explanations numerous explanations of the tax revolt have been offered since california s adoption of proposition 13 in 1978 unfortunately many of these explanations remain untested or have been tested inappropriately and the explanations are often jumbled together in a fashion that precludes theoretical clarity we extract eight explanations from the literature each of which assumes that the tax revolt is a systematic national phenomenon that is a function of individual level social economic and political factors having tested these explanations by means of a discriminant analysis of data from the 1978 american national election study we find little empirical corroboration for any of them this leads us to consider two alternative research programs one of which interprets the tax revolt within a symbolic politics framework

foreign direct investment and economic growth in less developed countries an empirical study of causality and mechanisms we examine the causality between foreign direct investment fdi and economic growth for 66 developing countries taking into account their interaction with exports and technological change time series analysis for each country is conducted based on a method introduced by toda and yamamoto 1995 for testing granger causality in the presence of nonstationary time series the main findings of this article are fdi causes growth in several of the developing countries but the mechanism through which this works differs across countries and reverse causality from growth to fdi exists for many countries

the distribution of foreign direct investment in china foreign direct investment fdi has played a major role in china s push toward a market oriented economy recent inflows account for 40 percent of combined flows of fdi to all developing countries making china the biggest developing country fdi recipient this record is impressive but certain problems must be overcome if fdi is to continue to help sustain the country s record growth rate and further its economic development for one thing fdi in china is highly concentrated geographically and its sector distribution is highly uneven the authors empirically analyze the geographic determinants of fdi in china they find that fdi s geographical distribution in china is determined mostly by gnp infrastructure development level of general education and coastal location although the sectoral distribution of fdi is coming into line with the rest of the world in the past fdi has been biased toward speculative types of investment especially in the real estate sector

foreign liquidity to real estate market ripple effect and housing price dynamics globalisation enables foreign liquidity to access local property markets this paper depicts a strong connection between foreigners property acquisitions and regional housing price movements in singapore testing structure breaks also illustrates a ripple effect of prices from the central city to suburbs a structural vector autoregression incorporates these two observations impulse response function and forecast error variance decomposition show that central region s foreign liquidity shocks can greatly impact housing price growth in not only the central region but also the non central region where foreign buyers are inactive the ripple effect of prices plays an important role non central region s foreign liquidity shocks in contrast have small effects on both regions impacts of foreign liquidity shocks can reach the public housing market where foreigners participation is prohibited the findings are useful to policy makers who consider regulations of foreign home buyers as an instrument to stabilise housing markets

foreign direct investment domestic investment and economic growth in china a time series analysis this paper investigates the causal link between foreign direct investment fdi domestic investment and economic growth in china for the period 1988 2003 using a multivariate var system with error correction model ecm and the innovation accounting variance decomposition and impulse response function analysis techniques the results show that while there is a bi directional causality between domestic investment and economic growth there is only a single directional causality from fdi to domestic investment and to economic growth rather than crowding out domestic investment fdi is found to be complementary with domestic investment thus fdi has not only assisted in overcoming shortage of capital it has also stimulated economic growth through complementing domestic investment in china