elimination of west european coal subsidies implications for coal production and coal imports expanding volumes of international coal supply can be secured in west european harbours at us 50 60 1993 per tonne in 1993 western europe produced 160 million tonnes of coal but the cost was f

do labor market policies have displacement effects evidence from a clustered randomized experiment this article reports the results from a randomized experiment designed to evaluate the direct and indirect displacement impacts of job placement assistance on the labor market outcomes of young educated job seekers in france we use a two step design in the first step the proportions of job seekers to be assigned to treatment 0 25 50 75 or 100 were randomly drawn for each of the 235 labor markets e g cities participating in the experiment then in each labor market eligible job seekers were randomly assigned to the treatment following this proportion after eight months eligible unemployed youths who were assigned to the program were significantly more likely to have found a stable job than those who were not but these gains are transitory and they appear to have come partly at the expense of eligible workers who did not benefit from the program particularly in labor markets where they compete mainly with other educated workers and in weak labor markets overall the program seems to have had very little net benefits

occupational choice and the process of development this paper models economic development as a process of institutional transformation by focusing on the interplay between agents occupational decisions and the distribution of wealth because of capital market imperfections poor agents choose working for a wage over self employment and wealthy agents become entrepreneurs who monitor workers only with sufficient inequality however will there be employment contracts otherwise there is either subsistence or self employment thus in static equilibrium the occupational structure depends on distribution since the latter is itself endogenous we demonstrate the robustness of this result by extending the model dynamically and studying examples in which initial wealth distributions have long run effects in one case the economy develops either widespread cottage industry self employment or factory production employment contracts depending on the initial distribution in the other example it develops into prosperity or stagnation

indirect effects of an aid program how do cash transfers affect ineligibles consumption cash transfers to eligible households indirectly increase the consumption of ineligible households living in the same villages this effect operates through insurance and credit markets ineligible households benefit from the transfers by receiving more gifts and loans and by reducing their savings thus the transfers benefit the local economy at large looking only at the effect on the treated underestimates the impact one should analyze the effects of this class of programs on the entire local economy rather than on the treated only and use a village level randomization rather than selecting treatment and control subjects from the same community

credit market constraints consumption smoothing and the accumulation of durable production assets in low income countries investments in bullocks in india in this paper we formulate and estimate a finite horizon structural dynamic model of agricultural investment behavior that incorporates the major features of low income agricultural environments income uncertainty constraints on borrowing and rental markets and the use of investment assets to generate income and smooth consumption the model is fit to longitudinal indian household data on farm profits bullock stocks and pump sets the estimated structural parameters are used to assess the effects on the life cycle accumulation of bullocks agricultural profits and welfare associated with complete markets and bullock liquidity and with second best policies that provide assured sources of income to farmers and weather insurance

why do low income households not use food stamps evidence from an experiment this paper explores why many low income households do not participate in the food stamp program by analyzing detailed income and asset data from a sample of low income households we find that many households that appear to be eligible for food stamps in fact are not eligible by conducting an experiment designed to investigate the role of information on participation in the food stamp program we observe that ignorance about the program contributes to nonparticipation however there is evidence that knowledge about the program is endogenous households generally avail themselves of information about the program when the anticipated benefits of doing so are large

fiscal policy seasonality and intertemporal substitution of investment spending in the uk abstract the effects of three pre announced changes in fiscal policy on manufacturing investment in equipment and in industrial buildings are estimated using the enger granger two step procedure the strong seasonal variation in the expenditure series is interpreted as an economic process within the same framework

empirical implications of alternative models of firm dynamics abstract this paper considers two models of firm behavior that allow for heterogeneity among firms idiosyncratic or firm specific sources of uncertainty and discrete outcomes exit and or entry both the characteristics of firm level panel data sets and the nature of the questions we characteristically ask of them imply that models with these features are likely to underlie most detailed empirical work on microdata sets the models we consider are a bayesian learning model due to jovanovic 20 and a model of research and exploration due to ericson and pakes 11 the paper provides a simple set of empirical procedures to help determine which if either of these two models might be appropriate for alternative data sets we conclude by checking for the implications of the two models on an eight year panel of wisconsin firms the results indicate that one model is consistent with the data on manufacturing firms while the other is consistent with the data on retail trade journal of economic literature classification numbers c52 l60 l80

the rise and fall of german hard coal subsidies abstract beginning with the coal crisis of 1958 the survival of the german hard coal mining sector has been heavily dependent on subsidies for several decades these subsidies are a complex system of almost 60 different measures often with conflicting objectives annual financial support for this subsidy system grew from 0 6 billion in 1958 to 7 5 billion in 1989 with the majority of the funding financed outside the public budget by a special fund based on the coal penny kohlepfennig in 1995 the abolishment of the coal penny in connection with budget constraints led to a significant subsidy decrease to 3 5 billion a recent agreement between the federal government and the mining state of north rhine westphalia in 2003 however seems to have fixed german hard coal subsidies at the 2 billion level for the time after 2012

on analyzing the world distribution of income consideration of world inequality should cause reexamination of the key concepts underlying the welfare approach to measuring income inequality and its relation to measuring poverty this reexamination leads to exploration of a new measure that allows poverty and inequality to be considered in the same framework incorporates different approaches to measuring inequality and allows varied expressions of the cost of inequality applied to the world distribution of income for 1820 1992 the new measure provides different perspectives on the evolution of global inequality

is subsidising tourism firms an effective use of public funds abstract this study assesses the impact of state aid on firms in the tourism sector by implementing an accurate micro econometric evaluation of their causal effect analyses consider subsidies allocated by the main regional policy in italy the law 488 1992 during the period 1999 2003 a matching difference in difference mdid estimator is applied considering the presence of selection on observable and non observable factors effects on the tourism sector are compared with those in the manufacturing industry the impacts with respect to different types of tourism destinations where tourism firms operate are also evaluated the results show higher output and employment growth but lower labour productivity dynamics in subsidised firms relative to non subsidised ones the impacts are diverse across types of tourism destinations

tax incentives and job creation in the tourism sector of brazil s sudene area summary in recent decades a significant number of developing countries have implemented fiscal incentives programs for the tourism industry as part of their regional development policies the main objective of these programs is to increase local investment and employment as tourism activities are labor intensive little evidence is available however to assess the effect of these policies on job creation in emerging markets in this paper we analyze a program of fiscal incentives introduced by the brazilian federal government in the sudene area in 2002 and in which tourism firms were eligible to participate through a difference in difference estimation we compare the change in the logarithm of local employment in the sudene municipalities before and after 2002 to the change in the same outcome in a group of municipalities that were not affected by the program although our empirical analysis does not measure the efficiency of a similar fiscal policy it is the first one in the literature to show its effectiveness it provides evidence that the fiscal incentives led to a substantial increase in tourism employment in the sudene area we find that over the period 2002 09 municipal tourism employment was on average 30 higher than in the absence of the intervention this result is robust and is not the consequence of either displacement effects or job destruction in neighboring municipalities that had not been targeted by the tax incentives we finally discuss some limitations of our analysis that might open avenues for future research in the field

investment crowding out firm level evidence from northern germany michalek j ciaian p and kancs d a investment crowding out firm level evidence from northern germany regional studies the main objective of this paper is to estimate the extent to which firm investment is substituted crowded out by investment support policies granted under the european union rural development programme rdp the empirical analyses employed the difference in difference propensity score matching approach which allows several important sources of bias to be addressed such as selection bias simultaneity bias and functional form misspecification from which many previous studies suffer using panel data of 1333 firms from the schleswig holstein region in germany it is found that the crowding out effect of the rdp is close to 100 implying that firms use public support to substitute for private investments furthermore no evidence was found that due to the rdp programme support firms would have brought forward their investments planned originally for a later period rejecting t

evaluating environmental programs the perspective of modern evaluation research large scale environmental programs generally commit substantial societal resources making the evaluation of their actual effects on the relevant outcomes imperative as the example of the subsidization of energy saving appliances illustrates much of the applied environmental economics literature has yet to confront the problem of proper attribution of effects to underlying causes on a convincing methodological basis this paper argues that recent results in the econometrics and statistics literature on program evaluation could be utilized to advance considerably in this context in particular the construction of a credible counterfactual situation is at the heart of the formal statistical evaluation problem even when controlled experiments are not a viable option appropriate approaches might succeed where traditional empirical strategies fail to uncover the effects of environmental interventions

income distribution and macroeconomics this paper analyzes the role of wealth distribution in macroeconomics through investment in human capital it is shown that in the presence of credit markets imperfections and indivisibilities in investment in human capital the initial distribution of wealth affects aggregate output and investment both in the short and in the long run as there are multiple steady states this paper therefore provides an additional explanation for the persistent differences in per capita output across countries furthermore the paper shows that cross country differences in macroeconomic adjustment to aggregate shocks can be attributed among other factors to differences in wealth and income distribution across countries

neighborhood effects in integrated social policies when potential beneficiaries share their knowledge and attitudes about a policy intervention their decision to participate and the effectiveness of both the policy and its evaluation may be influenced this matters most notably in integrated social policies with several components in this article spillover effects on take up behaviors are investigated in the context of a conditional cash transfer program in rural mexico these effects are identified using exogenous variations in the local frequency of beneficiaries generated by the program s randomized evaluation a higher treatment density in the areas surrounding the evaluation villages is found to increase the take up of scholarships and enrollment at the lower secondary level these cross village spillovers operate exclusively within households receiving another component of the program and do not carry over larger distances while several tests reject heterogeneities in impact due to spatial variations in program implementation evidence is found suggesting that spillovers stem partly from the sharing of information about the program among eligible households

organized crime and business subsidies where does the money go abstract business support policies are widespread in advanced countries to foster employment and productivity this paper analyses the role of organized crime in the allocation of public subsidies to businesses we assemble an innovative data set on the italian mafia at municipality level and test whether mafia ridden municipalities receive a disproportionally higher amount of funds we exploit exogenous variation at municipality level to instrument mafia activity and show that the presence of organized crime positively affects the probability of obtaining funding and the amount of public funds organized crime is also found to lead to episodes of corruption in the public administration sector a series of robustness checks confirms the above findings

the effectiveness of the public support policies for the european industry financing as a contribution to sustainable development in recent years the debate about the role of the public institutions in the fields of corporate social responsibility and sustainable development has gained momentum nevertheless the ambiguity of the latter concepts makes it difficult both to measure them and to estimate the impact that the different public initiatives may have on them in this sense the present research has the aim to design a fuzzy logic based methodology applied to the evaluation of the above mentioned processes in relation to the state aid policies for the european industry regarding the study contour the european union state aids seems not to have introduced important changes leading to socially responsible results and therefore favourable for the sustainable development generated by the european manufacturing industry

the effectiveness of investment subsidies evidence from a regression discontinuity design this paper analyzes the effects of an investment subsidy program for small and medium sized enterprises in flanders from 2004 to 2009 the subsidies were awarded according to a ranking system that favored young growing and productive firms with a strong cash flow granting subsidies to the highest scoring firms until the depletion of funds the nature of this allocation system creates a sharp cutoff in granting the subsidy according to the score allowing us to estimate the causal impact of the subsidies using a regression discontinuity design we find a positive effect on firm level investment employment output and productivity for the firms that were granted the subsidy but only for the small firms however the effect is small relative to the cost of the subsidy

public subsidies tfp and efficiency a tale of complex relationships this paper evaluates the impact of subsidies on the different components of tfp for granted firms long term growth the impact of capital subsidies is captured by a quasi experimental method multiple rdd exploiting the conditions for a local random experiment created by an italian industrial policy results show that capital subsidies negatively affect tfp growth in the short term and signals of positive effects appear only after 3 4 years this positive medium long term impact comes especially through technological change and not through scale impact change as may have been expected

evaluating the impact of investment incentives the case of italy s law 488 1992 abstract italy s law 488 1992 allows firms willing to invest in lagging areas to receive a public subsidy by comparing subsidized firms with firms with rejected applications this paper evaluates whether the program made investments possible that otherwise would not have been made we find evidence that financed firms brought forward investment projects originally planned for the post intervention period to take advantage of the incentives we also find some support that subsidized firms may have taken some of the investment opportunities that unsubsidized firms would have exploited in the absence of incentives

investment tax incentives prices and the supply of capital goods using data on the prices of capital goods this paper shows that much of the benefit of investment tax incentives does not go to investing firms but rather to capital suppliers through higher prices the reduction in the cost of capital from a 10 percent investment tax credit increases equipment prices 3 5 7 0 percent this lasts several years and is largest for assets with large order backlogs low import competition or with a large fraction of buyers able to use investment subsidies capital goods workers wages rise too instrumental variables estimates of the short run supply elasticity are around 1 and can explain the traditionally small estimates of investment demand elasticities in absolute value the demand elasticity implied here exceeds 1

the effects of lottery prizes on winners and their neighbors evidence from the dutch postcode lottery each week the dutch postcode lottery pcl randomly selects a postal code and distributes cash and a new bmw to lottery participants in that code we study the effects of these shocks on lottery winners and their neighbors consistent with the life cycle hypothesis the effects on winners consumption are largely confined to cars and other durables consistent with the theory of in kind transfers the vast majority of bmw winners liquidate their bmws we do however detect substantial social effects of lottery winnings pcl nonparticipants who live next door to winners have significantly higher levels of car consumption than other nonparticipants

discrete choice with social interactions this paper provides an analysis of aggregate behavioural outcomes when individual utility exhibits social interaction effects we study generalized logistic models of individual choice which incorporate terms reflecting the desire of individuals to conform to the behaviour of others in an environment of noncooperative decisionmaking laws of large numbers are generated in such environments multiplicity of equilibria in these models which are equivalent to the existence of multiple self consistent means for average choice behaviour will exist when the social interactions exceed a particular threshold local stability of these multiple equilibria is also studied the properties of the noncooperative economy are contrasted with the properties of an economy in which a social planner determines the set of individual choices finally a likelihood function based on the theoretical model is given and conditions for the econometric identifiability of the model are established

biodiesel a new oildorado guaranteeing tax reductions and exemptions the european governments intend to increase the share of biofuels in total eu fuel consumption to 5 75 by 2010 the financial support of this eu objective is frequently justified by expected positive environmental impacts most notably the mitigation of climate change and by favorable employment effects in the agricultural sector this paper investigates the environmental and economic implications of the support of rapeseed based biodiesel as a substitute for fossil diesel based on a survey of recent empirical studies we find that the energy and greenhouse gas balances of this environmental strategy are clearly positive yet it appears to be unclear whether the overall environmental balance is also positive most importantly though biodiesel is not a cost efficient emission abatement strategy thus for the abatement of greenhouse gases we recommend more efficient alternatives based on both renewable and conventional technologies

school subsidies for the poor evaluating the mexican progresa poverty program abstract this paper evaluates how the progresa program which provides poor mothers in rural mexico with education grants has affected enrollment poor children who reside in communities randomly selected to participate in the initial phase of the progresa are compared to those who reside in other control communities pre program comparisons check the randomized design and double difference estimators of the program s effect on the treated are calculated by grade and sex probit models are also estimated for the probability that a child is enrolled controlling for additional characteristics of the child their parents local schools and community and for sample attrition to evaluate the sensitivity of the program estimates these estimates of program short run effects on enrollment are extrapolated to the lifetime schooling and the earnings of adults to approximate the internal rate of return on the public schooling subsidies as they increase expected private wages

dynamic effects of permanent and temporary tax policies in a q model of investment abstract this paper incorporates the tax policy analysis of hall and jorgenson into a dynamic optimizing model with adjustment costs to develop a q model of investment this framework is particularly useful for analyzing the dynamic effects on investment of permanent and temporary changes in tax policy it is shown that contrary to the conventional intertemporal substitution argument a temporary investment tax credit need not be nore expansionary than a permanent investment tax credit the role of depreciation allowances in determining the dynamic response of investment to temporary changes in the tax rate is also investigated

temporal aggregation of univariate and multivariate time series models a survey abstract we present a unified and up to date overview of temporal aggregation techniques for univariate and multivariate time series models explaining in detail although intuitively the technical machinery behind the results some empirical applications illustrate the main issues

reform of coal policies in western and central europe implications for the environment abstract a subsidy to a polluting activity increases the level of that activity and therefore the amount of pollution it generates ceteris paribus in western europe coal production is generally subsidized through price support and budgetary transfers in central europe both production and consumption are subsidized to analyse the net effects of coal policies in europe however one cannot treat them simply as equivalent to pure taxes or subsidies other distortions besides those that are price induced have to be taken into account our qualitative assessment suggests that eliminating producer and consumer subsidies to coal in europe would lead to environmental improvements and remove an important barrier to introducing greater competition in national electric power industries

too much investment a problem of asymmetric information this paper shows that under plausible assumptions the inability of lenders to discover all of the relevant characteristics of borrowers results in investment in excess of the socially efficient level raising the rate of interest above the free market level will restore optimality this conflicts with generally held views and is contrasted with the stiglitz weiss model it is shown that the assumptions which yield overinvestment support debt as the equilibrium method of finance however under the stiglitz weiss assumptions used to derive an underinvestment result equity is shown to be the equilibrium method of finance

the incidence of mandated maternity benefits i consider the labor market effects of mandates which raise the costs of employing a demographically identifiable group the efficiency of these policies will be largely dependent on the extent to which their costs are shifted to group specific wages i study several state and federal mandates which stipulated that childbirth be covered comprehensively in health insurance plans raising the relative cost of insuring women of childbearing age i find substantial shifting of the costs of these mandates to the wages of the targeted group correspondingly i find little effect on total labor input for that group jel 118 j32 h51 in an era of tight fiscal budget constraints mandating employer provision of workplace benefits to employees is an attractive means for a government to finance its policy agenda consequently in recent years there has been a growth of interest in mandated benefits as a tool of social policy for example the centerpiece of president bill clinton s health care proposal is mandated employer provision of health insurance and more than 20 states have man

do subsidies to private capital boost firms growth a multiple regression discontinuity design approach there is still little consensus among economists on the effectiveness of business support policies the evaluation of such policies requires a reliable identification procedure that is hardly achieved in empirical studies we analyse the impact of a policy instrument law 488 92 l488 the main italian regional policy that allocates subsidies to private firms by a multiple ranking system thanks to the peculiar l488 selection process that creates the conditions for a local random experiment we are able to assess the effectiveness of these types of incentives for a relevant subgroup of firms we propose a nonparametric multiple rankings regression discontinuity design that exploits the sharp discontinuities in the l488 rankings and extends the regression discontinuity design rdd approach to a context where the treatment is assigned by multiple rankings with different cut off points we find that the impact of the subsidies on employment investment and turnover is positive and statistically significant while the effect on productivity is mostly negligible the new subsidised capital is additional but non complementary with the owner financed investment the results are robust to different specifications and not due to intertemporal substitution

network effects and welfare cultures we empirically examine the role of social networks in welfare participation using data on language spoken at home to better infer networks within an area our empirical strategy asks whether being surrounded by others who speak the same language increases welfare use more for those from high welfare using language groups this methodology allows us to include local area and language group fixed effects and to control for the direct effect of being surrounded by one s language group these controls eliminate many of the problems in previous studies the results strongly confirm the importance of networks in welfare participation

the role of information and social interactions in retirement plan decisions evidence from a randomized experiment this paper analyzes a randomized experiment to shed light on the role of information and social interactions in employees decisions to enroll in a tax deferred account tda retirement plan within a large university the experiment encouraged a random sample of employees in a subset of departments to attend a benee ts information fair organized by the university by promising a monetary reward for attendance the experiment multiplied by more than e ve the attendance rate of these treated individuals relative to controls and tripled that of untreated individuals within departments where some individuals were treated tda enrollment e ve and eleven months after the fair was signie cantly higher in departments where some individuals were treated than in departments where nobody was treated however the effect on tda enrollment is almost as large for individuals in treated departments who did not receive the encouragement as for those who did we provide three interpretations differential treatment effects social network effects and motivational reward effects to account for these results

do economic instruments matter wind turbine investments in the eu 15 abstract this paper analyses how governments in the eu 15 countries have succeeded in stimulating investments in wind turbines between 1985 and 2005 i use four different evaluation criteria tobin s q euler equation estimation investment accelerator model and the effective marginal tax rate to describe the observed investment patterns after a period of rapid growth in capital stock 1985 2000 a period of modest growth 2001 2005 can be observed even though the economic attractiveness of investing increases modestly this pattern cannot be explained by the evaluation criteria unless we accept economic attractiveness is a necessary condition and not a necessary and sufficient condition when analysing which policy has worked best the policies of germany denmark and spain stand out their early and consistent support has been based on feed in tariffs combined with subsidies

the labor market impact of immigration in western germany in the 1990 s in this article we estimate the wage and employment effects of recent immigration in western germany using administrative data for the period 1987 2001 and a labor market equilibrium model we find that the substantial immigration of the 1990s had very little adverse effects on native wages and on their employment levels instead it had a sizeable adverse employment effect on previous immigrants as well as a small adverse effect on their wages these asymmetric results are partly driven by a higher degree of substitution between old and new immigrants in the labor market and in part by the rigidity of wages in less than flexible labor markets in a simple counter factual experiment we show that in a world of perfect wage flexibility and no unemployment insurance the wage bill loss of old immigrants would be much smaller

the craft of labormetrics using a wide array of examples from the literature and from original estimates the author examines the pitfalls that make good empirical research in labor economics at least as much craft as statistical technique among the subjects discussed are the appropriateness and cleanliness of data problems of extreme observations the validity of attempts to produce exogeneity using instrumental variables natural experiments and structural models and the treatment of selectivity and unobservable individual effects the author stresses the importance of testing empirical results to ensure that they make sense and of presenting them clearly and economically

assessing the incidence and efficiency of a prominent place based policy abstract this paper empirically assesses the incidence and efficiency of round i of the federal urban empowerment zone ez program using confidential microdata from the decennial census and the longitudinal business database using rejected and future applicants to the ez program as controls we find that ez designation substantially increased employment in zone neighborhoods and generated wage increases for local workers without corresponding increases in population or the local cost of living the results suggest the efficiency costs of first round ezs were relatively modest jel h26 h77 j31 r23 r58

balladurette and juppette a discrete analysis of scrapping subsidies this paper studies the effects of subsidies on durable goods markets in particular we focus on a recent policy in france in which the governments of balladur and juppe subsidized the replacement of old cars with new ones to study this policy we construct a dynamic stochastic discrete choice model of car ownership at the household level the resulting decision rules and equilibrium conditions are used to estimate the underlying parameters of the model using aggregate data these policy functions are used to evaluate the short and long run effects of the french policies we find that these policies do stimulate the automobile sector in the short run but through the induced changes in the cross sectional distribution of car ages create the basis for subsequent low activity further while these policies increase government revenues in the short run revenues in the long run are lower relative to a baseline without intervention

family networks and school enrolment evidence from a randomized social experiment we present evidence on whether and how a household s behavior is influenced by the presence and characteristics of its extended family using data from the progresa program in mexico we exploit information on the paternal and maternal surnames of heads and spouses in conjunction with the spanish naming convention to identify the inter and intra generational family links of each household to others in the same village we then exploit the randomized research design of the progresa evaluation data to identify whether the treatment effects of progresa transfers on secondary school enrolment vary according to the characteristics of extended family we find progresa only raises secondary enrolment among households that are embedded in a family network eligible but isolated households do not respond the mechanism through which the extended family influences household schooling choices is the redistribution of resources within the family network from eligibles that receive de facto unconditional cash transfers from progresa towards eligibles on the margin of enrolling children into secondary school

networks or neighborhoods correlations in the use of publicly funded maternity care in california abstract this study focuses on network effects in the utilization of publicly funded prenatal care using vital statistics data from california for 1989 2000 networks are defined using 5 digit zip codes and a woman s racial or ethnic group like others we find evidence that the use of public programs is highly correlated within groups defined using race ethnicity and neighborhoods these correlations persist even when we control for many unobserved characteristics by including zip code year fixed effects and when we focus on the interaction between own group behavior and measures of the potential for contacts with other members of the group contact availability however the richness of our data allows us to go further and to conduct several tests of one important hypothesis about networks that the estimated effects represent information sharing within groups the results cast doubt on the idea that the observed correlations can be interpreted as evidence of information sharing in particular we find estimated effects to be as large or larger among women who have previously used the program as among first time users

investment tax incentives and frequent tax reforms despite the frequency of tax changes and their potential importance to investors almost all of the analysis of tax based investment incentives assumes investors never anticipate any tax changes we depart from this approach by analyzing the historical pattern of u s corporate investment incentives over the period 1953 86 incorporating the feature of investor awareness that the tax code may change our analysis incorporates a predictive equation for future tax variables into a model of optimal investment subject to adjustment costs and uncertainty we find that expectations of future tax changes significantly affect the incentive to invest only if adjustment costs are low in this case the incentive to invest in 1986 was strong as investors are estimated to have anticipated the coming reduction in investment incentives this abstract was borrowed from another version of this item this abstract was borrowed from another version of this item

evaluating the employment impact of a mandatory job search program this paper exploits area based piloting and age related eligibility rules to identify treatment effects of a labor market program the new deal for young people in the u k a central focus is on substitution displacement effects and on equilibrium wage effects the program includes extensive job assistance and wage subsidies to employers we find that the impact of the program significantly raised transitions to employment by about 5 percentage points the impact is robust to a wide variety of nonexperimental estimators however we present some evidence that this effect may not be as large in the longer run jel j18 j23 j38

optimal monetary policy under low trend inflation abstract in the monetary policy literature it is common to assume that trend inflation is zero despite overwhelming evidence that zero inflation is neither empirically relevant nor a practical objective for central bank policy we therefore extend the standard new keynesian model to allow for positive trend inflation showing that even low trend inflation has strong effects on optimal monetary policy and the dynamics of inflation output and interest rates under discretion the efficient policy deteriorates and there is no guarantee of determinacy even with commitment targeting non zero trend inflation leads to substantial welfare losses our results serve as a warning against indiscriminate use of models assuming zero trend inflation

competing for global capital or local voters the politics of business location incentives the competition for global capital has led to interjurisdictional competition between countries states and cities as to who can offer the most attractive incentives to firms in this study we examine the domestic politics of this competition by focusing on incentive use in the united states from 1999 to 2012 we define incentives as the targeted tax deductions or exemptions that are used to lure businesses into a locality drawing on data from municipal incentive programs we examine how electoral competition shapes the use and oversight of targeted incentives we find evidence that cities with elected mayors provide larger incentives than non elected city managers by taking advantage of exogeneity in the assignment of city government institutions and a database of over 2000 investment incentives from 2010 to 2012 we also find that elected mayors enjoy more lax oversight of incentive projects than their appointed counterparts our results have important implications for the study of interjurisdictional competition and the role of electoral institutions in shaping economic policy

hard coal subsidies a never ending story abstract in germany hard coal has been subsidized for almost half a century despite the declining significance of hard coal production for the domestic labor market the subsidies have continued to increase until the middle of the last decade reaching a peak at 6 7 billion in 1996 while these subsidies have been continually shrinking since then settling at 2 7 billion in 2005 it is very likely that hard coal support will be extended in germany well into the next decade and even beyond this article questions the main arguments raised by the proponents of hard coal subsidization in germany and other eu countries most importantly in addition to the drain these subsidies impose on public budgets substantial opportunity costs are implied leading funds away from alternative more beneficial public investments from a social welfare perspective we therefore recommend the rapid abolition of these subsidies not only in germany where in real terms the accumulated amount of subsidies has now far exceeded 165 billion but also all across europe

determinants of the internationalization of regions the role and effectiveness of public policy measures banno m piscitello l and varum c determinants of the internationalization of regions the role and effectiveness of public policy measures regional studies this paper assesses the role of public policy measures on outward internationalization of regions by including financial and non financial incentives among the determinants of the international competitiveness of regions it is found that the former are important to enhance their active internationalization but that variables related to the knowledge and competence base of regions are even more so financial incentives related to equity participation as well as non financial incentives related to the provision of information come out highly significant in stimulating outward internationalization the empirical analysis is conducted for the twenty italian nuts 2 regions over the period 2003 2008

evaluation of spatial effects of capital subsidies in the south of italy de castris m and pellegrini g evaluation of spatial effects of capital subsidies in the south of italy regional studies the spatial effects of capital subsidies are neglected in the literature even if several industrial policies have a strong spatial dimension this study disentangles the spillovers generated by subsidized firms from the spatial attraction across neighbour s areas that cannot be attributed to incentive the presence of specific spatial effects is tested on the reduced form of a spatial autoregressive model evaluating the implicit common factor restriction the empirical analysis considers the main regional policies in the period 1996 2001 in the south of italy the results suggest the presence of a modest spatial crowding out where subsidized regions attract employment from neighbouring areas de castris m et pellegrini g une evaluation des effets geographiques des subventions d equipement dans le sud de l italie regional studies la documentation ne fait aucune attention aux effe

social interactions and schooling decisions abstract the aim of this paper is to study whether a child s schooling choices are affected by the schooling choices of other children identification is based on a randomized targeted intervention that grants a cash subsidy conditional on school attendance to a subgroup of eligible children within small rural villages in mexico progresa this policy change spills over to ineligible children if social interactions are relevant results indicate that the eligible children tend to attend school more frequently and the ineligible children acquire more schooling when the subsidy is introduced in their local village moreover the overall effect of progresa on eligible children is the sum of a direct effect due to cash transfers and an indirect effect due to changes in peer group schooling interestingly the social interactions effect is almost as important as the direct effect

causal effect of credit guarantees for small and medium sized enterprises evidence from italy we evaluate the effectiveness of a partial credit guarantee program implemented in a large italian region that aimed to improve the access to credit of small and medium enterprises using unique microdata from a broad set of firms we show that the policy increased the long term loans for beneficiary firms while the total volume of bank loans was unaffected furthermore targeted firms benefited from a substantial decrease in interest rates however there is some evidence that firms are more likely to default as a consequence of the treatment conversely the results do not point to any significant effect on investments

the political economy of coal subsidies in europe abstract both the mining and the burning of coal is polluting so we might expect to observe taxes on coal production and consumption yet several countries of western europe subsidize coal production and most east european countries subsidize coal consumption the first part of this paper shows that those subsidies which are emulated by other rich and poor countries respectively have become enormous neoclassical political economy is used to examine why governments adopt such inappropriate policies when they are so wasteful of resources and damaging to the environment several new and offsetting political forces have been at work in western europe in recent years though causing some countries to dismantle their coal producer subsidies the paper concludes that these pressures for reform will continue to operate in the few remaining protectionist countries if coupled with more commercial diplomatic pressure from coal exporting countries they could be sufficient to see the end of such protection by early next century