do conditional cash transfers for schooling generate lasting benefits a five year followup of progresa oportunidades conditional cash transfer cct programs link public transfers to human capital investment in hopes of alleviating current poverty and reducing its intergenerational transmission however little is known about their long term impacts this paper evaluates longer run impacts on schooling and work of the best known cct program mexico s progresa oportunidades using experimental and nonexperimental estimators based on groups with different program exposure the results show positive impacts on schooling reductions in work for younger youth consistent with postponing labor force entry increases in work for older girls and shifts from agricultural to nonagricultural employment the evidence suggests schooling effects are robust with time

occupational choice and the process of development this paper models economic development as a process of institutional transformation by focusing on the interplay between agents occupational decisions and the distribution of wealth because of capital market imperfections poor agents choose working for a wage over self employment and wealthy agents become entrepreneurs who monitor workers only with sufficient inequality however will there be employment contracts otherwise there is either subsistence or self employment thus in static equilibrium the occupational structure depends on distribution since the latter is itself endogenous we demonstrate the robustness of this result by extending the model dynamically and studying examples in which initial wealth distributions have long run effects in one case the economy develops either widespread cottage industry self employment or factory production employment contracts depending on the initial distribution in the other example it develops into prosperity or stagnation

why the marriage squeeze cannot cause dowry inflation an influential explanation for rising dowry payments is the marriage squeeze the present paper shows this explanation to be internally inconsistent the marriage squeeze argument for inflation relies on the fact that population growth leads to an excess supply of brides in the marriage market this excess supply is resolved by some women postponing marriage so that the average age of brides increases in previous studies the argument is stated informally here a matching model of marriage is developed to formally analyze the link between dowry payments and population growth it is shown that a marriage squeeze cannot yield dowry inflation in fact when women who do not find matches at the desirable marrying age re enter the marriage market as older brides a marriage squeeze is shown to imply dowry deflation population change is therefore not a promising explanation for the observed increases in dowry payments

liquidity risk and occupational choices we explore which financial constraints matter the most in the choice of becoming an entrepreneur we consider a randomly assigned welfare program in rural mexico and show that cash transfers signi cantly increase entry into entrepreneurship we then exploit the cross household variation in the timing of these transfers and find that current occupational choices are significantly more responsive to the transfers expected for the future than to those currently received guided by a simple occupational choice model we argue that the program has promoted entrepreneurship by enhancing the willingness to bear risk as opposed to simply relaxing current liquidity constraints

collusive intra industry trade this paper examines the phenomenon of intraindustry trade under the condition of firm collusion it is shown that with homogeneous goods no collusive intraindustry trade can occur but if the products are differentiated firms will achieve their joint monopoly profits by exporting to each other s market thus the observation of the occurrence of intraindustry trade does not necessarily mean the absence of collusion the paper further studies the properties of such collusive trade despite the fact that the firms are joint monopolists collusive two way trade is still welfare superior to autarky for the world collusive intraindustry trade is also more sustainable if the firms production costs are more similar

risky income or lumpy investments evidence on two theories of under specialization why do the poor have so many economic activities according to one theory the poor do not specialize because relying on one income source is risky i test the theory by measuring the response of thai rice farmers to conditional volatility in the international rice price households expecting a harvest take on 1 extra activity when the volatility rises by 21 percent i confirm the decrease in specialization costs households foregone revenue i find no evidence to back a second theory in which households under specialize because they cannot afford lumpy business investments

the effect of welfare payments on work regression discontinuity evidence from ecuador abstract we study the impact of welfare payments in ecuador on the probability that adults work and on whether they are employed in the formal or informal sectors our identification strategy exploits the fact that welfare was limited to individuals below a cutoff value on a household poverty score we find no evidence that transfers discouraged work however among women welfare payments led to reductions in social security contributions which are mandated for salaried workers although the magnitude of these effects is small

intergenerational mobility and macroeconomic history dependence a large literature on endogenous inequality has argued that persistent differences in macroeconomic performance across countries can be explained by historical inequality owing to indivisibilities in occupational choice and borrowing constraints these models are characterized by homogenous agents a continuum of steady states sss and lack of mobility in every ss we show that introducing even a little heterogeneity in order to generate ss mobility shrinks the ss set dramatically mobile sss are generically locally unique and finite in number sufficient conditions for global uniqueness and convergence of competitive equilibrium dynamics are provided

entrepreneurship developing countries and development economics new approaches and insights this paper provides an introduction to this special issue of small business economics dealing with the long postponed integration of entrepreneurship into the discipline of development economics and casting a formal light on the role of entrepreneurship in developing countries the paper departs from the premise that with more than a billion people living in absolute poverty it is of great practical importance to understand if and when entrepreneurship is a binding constraint on economic development and catching up in developing countries this in turn requires at least a deeper theoretical modeling of the entrepreneur in development economics this special edition contains a number of contributions emanating from the unu wider project on promoting entrepreneurial capacity which integrates the disciplines of entrepreneurship and development economics these contributions model and explore the role of the entrepreneur in key areas of concern for development economics such as structural change and economic growth income and wealth inequalities welfare poverty traps and market failures this introduction discusses and contextualizes these various contributions and their implications for further theoretical and empirical work

generating skilled self employment in developing countries experimental evidence from uganda we study a government program in uganda designed to help the poor and unemployed become self employed artisans increase incomes and thus promote social stability young adults in uganda s conflict affected north were invited to form groups and submit grant proposals for vocational training and business start up funding was randomly assigned among screened and eligible groups treatment groups received unsupervised grants of 382 per member grant recipients invest some in skills training but most in tools and materials after four years half practice a skilled trade relative to the control group the program increases business assets by 57 work hours by 17 and earnings by 38 many also formalize their enterprises and hire labor we see no effect however on social cohesion antisocial behavior or protest effects are similar by gender but are qualitatively different for women because they begin poorer meaning the impact is larger relative to their starting point and because women s work and earnings stagnate without the program but take off with it the patterns we observe are consistent with credit constraints

how can safety nets contribute to economic growth the paper provides an up to date and selective review of the literature on how social safety nets contribute to growth the evidence is carefully chosen to show how safety nets have the potential to overcome constraints on growth linked to market failures and is organized into 4 distinct pathways i encouraging asset accumulation by changing incentives and by addressing imperfections in financial markets caused by constraints in obtaining credit and from information asymmetries overcoming such failures helps households to invest into their human capital or productive assets ii failures in insurance markets especially in low income setting safety nets are assisting in managing risk both ex post and ex ante iii safety nets are overcoming failure to create assets and other local economy complementary factors to household level investments iv safety nets are shown to relax political constraints on policy safety nets have a dual objective of directly alleviating poverty through transfers to the poor and of triggering higher growth for the poor however the trade off between the dual objectives of equity and growth is not eliminated by the potential for productive safety nets this remains critical for designing social policies

reward structures and the allocation of talent as relative rewards that different professions receive are a key factor in the allocation of talent what determines the reward structure of a society is an important question this paper develops an equilibrium model of the allocation of talent between productive and unproductive activities such as rent seeking the existence of rent seeking creates a negative externality on productive agents and implies that relative rewards are endogenously determined the same externality can also lead to the existence of multiple equilibria each with different reward structures in a dynamic setting allocations of past generations as well as expectations of future allocations influence current rewards and the society may get trapped in a rent seeking steady state equilibrium the paper also discusses how the non pecuniary reward structure can be influenced by equilibrium selection and a historical example that suggests the presence of a causal link from the allocation of talent to non pecuniary rewards

can unemployment insurance spur entrepreneurial activity evidence from france we evaluate the effect of downside insurance on self employment we exploit a large scale reform of french unemployment benefits that insured unemployed workers starting businesses the reform significantly increased firm creation without decreasing the quality of new entrants firms started postreform were initially smaller but their employment growth productivity and survival rates are similar to those prereform new entrepreneurs characteristics and expectations are also similar finally jobs created by new entrants crowd out employment in incumbent firms almost one for one but have a higher productivity than incumbents these results highlight the benefits of encouraging experimentation by lowering barriers to entry

remedying education evidence from two randomized experiments in india this paper presents the results of a two year randomized evaluation of a large scale remedial education program conducted in mumbai and vadodara india the remedial education program hires young women from the community to teach basic literacy and numeracy skills to children who reach standard three or four without having mastered these competencies the program implemented by a ngo in collaboration with the government is extremely cheap it cost 5 dollars per child per year and is easily replicable it has been implemented in 20 indian cities and reached tens of thousands of children we find the program to be very effective on average it increased learning by 0 15 standard deviations in the first year and 0 25 in the second year the gains are the largest for children at the bottom of the distribution children in the bottom third gain 0 2 standard deviations in the first year and 0 32 in the second year in math they gain 0 51 standard deviation in the second year the results are similar in the two grade levels and in the two cities at the margin extending this program would be up to 12 16 times more cost effective than hiring new teachers authors

multi market collusion with territorial allocation abstract we develop a supergame model of collusion between price setting oligopolists located in different markets separated by trade costs the firms produce a homogeneous good and sustain collusion based on territorial allocation of markets we first show in a much more general framework than some earlier literature that a reduction in trade costs can paradoxically increase the sustainability of collusion then we prove a new paradox in which the scope for collusion may be enhanced by an increase in the number of firms the paper thus highlights several hitherto unknown theoretical implications of collusion under price competition

expanding credit access using randomized supply decisions to estimate the impacts expanding access to commercial credit is a key ingredient of financial development strategies there is less consensus on whether expanding access to consumer credit helps borrowers particularly when loans are extended at high interest rates popular skepticism about unproductive usurious lending is fueled by research highlighting behavioral biases that may induce overborrowing we estimate the impacts of expanding access to consumer credit at a 200 annual percentage rate apr using a field experiment and follow up data collection the randomly assigned marginal loans produced significant net benefits for borrowers across a wide range of outcomes there is also some evidence that the loans were profitable the author 2009 published by oxford university press on behalf of the society for financial studies all rights reserved for permissions please e mail journals permissions oxfordjournals org oxford university press

cash transfers and index insurance a comparative impact analysis from northern kenya abstract cash transfers and index insurance have become popular interventions by development agencies worldwide yet surprisingly little is known about these programs comparative impacts on participant behavior or well being this paper exploits exogenous variation in program participation and panel data from kenya to compare the causal impacts of a cash transfer program hsnp and an index based insurance product ibli which were implemented contemporaneously among the same population we find that both programs benefit clients hsnp improves child health as measured by mid upper arm circumference muac and helps households maintain their mobility dependent livestock production strategies households with ibli coverage make productivity increasing investments reduce distress sales of livestock during droughts and see a marked increase in income per adult equivalent estimating the impacts per total program costs reveals that the two programs perform comparably on average while ibli s impacts per unit marginal cost are considerably larger than hsnp s

income distribution and macroeconomics this paper analyzes the role of wealth distribution in macroeconomics through investment in human capital it is shown that in the presence of credit markets imperfections and indivisibilities in investment in human capital the initial distribution of wealth affects aggregate output and investment both in the short and in the long run as there are multiple steady states this paper therefore provides an additional explanation for the persistent differences in per capita output across countries furthermore the paper shows that cross country differences in macroeconomic adjustment to aggregate shocks can be attributed among other factors to differences in wealth and income distribution across countries

how optimal is us monetary policy using a small scale microfounded dsge model with markov switching in shock variances and policy parameters we show that the data preferred description of us monetary policy is a time consistent targeting rule with a marked increase in conservatism after the 1970s however the fed lost its conservatism temporarily in the aftermath of the 1987 stock market crash and again following the 2000 dot com crash and has not subsequently regained it the high inflation of the 1970s would have been avoided had the fed been able to commit even without the appointment of paul volcker or the reduction in shock volatilities

imperfect credibility and robust monetary policy this paper studies the behavior of a central bank that seeks to conduct policy optimally while having imperfect credibility and harboring doubts about its model taking the smets wouters model as the central bank s approximating model the paper s main ndings are as follows first a central bank s credibility can have large consequences for how policy responds to shocks second central banks that have low credibility can bene t from a desire for robustness because this desire motivates the central bank to follow through on policy announcements that would otherwise not be time consistent third even relatively small departures from perfect credibility can produce important declines in policy performance finally as a technical contribution the paper develops a numerical procedure to solve the decision problem facing an imperfectly credible policymaker that seeks robustness

patterns of rainfall insurance participation in rural india take up of an innovative rainfall insurance policy offered to smallholder farmers in rural india decreases with basis risk between insurance payouts and income fluctuations increases with household wealth and decreases with binding credit constraints these results are consistent with the predictions of a simple neoclassical model with borrowing constraints other patterns are less consistent with the benchmark model for example participation in village networks and measures of familiarity with the insurance vendor are strongly correlated with insurance take up decisions and risk averse households are less not more likely to purchase insurance these results may reflect household uncertainty about the product given their limited experience with it

causal pathways of the productive impacts of cash transfers experimental evidence from lesotho abstract this paper has the double aim to study whether unconditional cash transfers have an impact on farm production and to look into the causal mechanisms through which government transfers produce productive impacts we use mediation analysis to identify the total effect of transfers on farm production and to isolate the influence of the labour channel from other transmission channels in particular we analyze whether changes in farm production are caused by transfer induced changes in the use of farm labour either by reallocating family labour between off and on farm work or by changes in the demand for hired labour or if other transmission channels are at work we find that cash transfers have a sizable impact on farm production but they do not lead to increased use of family or hired labour on the farm which implies that the productive impacts of cash transfers flow through other channels different from the labour one

equilibrium income inequality among identical agents the paper offers a theory of income differences in which income inequality exists and persists despite identical tastes and talents teams of unskilled labor supervised by schooled managers produce goods with increasing returns to scale agents are assumed unable to borrow to fund the human capital investment needed to become managers despite ex ante identical agents the model displays the following equilibrium phenomena i risk averse agents accept fair gambles implying an unequal ex post distribution of unearned income ii agents agree to publicly subsidize education although those receiving the subsidy have the highest material wealth and iii income and educational differences are perpetuated from generation to generation

can a small social pension promote labor force participation evidence from the colombia mayor program one of the primary motivations behind the establishment of noncontributory pension programs is to allow beneficiaries to retire from the labor force yet as with other unconditional cash transfer schemes their aggregate effects may be more complex using panel data and instrumental variable techniques this paper shows that the effect of one such program colombia mayor has been to raise the labor force participation of relatively younger male beneficiaries this increase occurred precisely in the occupations with characteristics that are likely to require some up front investment the paper concludes that the transfer effectively loosened the liquidity constraints to remaining in these occupations however no such effect is found among women or older beneficiaries

micro entrepreneurship and subjective well being evidence from rural bangladesh abstract microcredit has long been hailed as a powerful tool to promote livelihoods and reduce poverty through entrepreneurship however its impacts on people s subjective well being remain underexplored we present a unified theoretical framework for analyzing the effect of microcredit enabled entrepreneurship on overall life satisfaction a key manifestation of subjective well being empirically we apply an instrumental variable approach to a unique census like household survey conducted in three villages of bangladesh in 2013 in spite of having no direct effects we find that microcredit borrowing has an indirect negative effect on overall life satisfaction through increased worry on a positive note we find that female micro borrowers experience an increase in satisfaction with financial security and achievement in life we also provide evidence that micro borrowers with higher levels of assets experience an increase in satisfaction with financial security

public private entanglement entrepreneurship in lebanon s hybrid political order while the literature is clear that political influence and clientelism characterises the investment decisions of entrepreneurs and the performance of their firms when governance is weak it is less understood how governance systems and entrepreneurs interact particularly when governance is of a hybrid nature we address this issue in this paper by studying how entrepreneurs obtain access to electricity in lebanon showing that the hybrid political order imposes a high cost on electricity we furthermore find that a hybrid political order channels entrepreneurial talent into lobbying and bribery the key constraint that emerges from the hybrid political order in this case is the corrupt organisation of governance of the electricity sector this results in higher prices because bribes for contracts have to be earned back in entrenchment of oligopolies because contracts often come with political protection

risk bearing and entrepreneurship abstract in the knightian theory of entrepreneurship entrepreneurs provide insurance to workers by paying fixed wages and bear all the risk of production this paper endogenizes entrepreneurial risk by allowing for optimal insurance contracts as well as occupational self selection moral hazard prevents full insurance increases in an agent s wealth then entail increases in risk borne thus even under decreasing risk aversion there are robust instances in which workers are wealthier than entrepreneurs this empirically implausible result suggests that risk based explanations for entrepreneurship are inadequate

what role for the epas in the caribbean the aim of this paper is to consider the possible implications of an epa between the eu and the caribbean the focus is on the caribbean economies and on the question of what form of epa might be pro development and pro poor for the region the discussion outlines the specificities of the caribbean region and some of the economies therein as well as detailing the key analytical issues which need to be considered the empirical analysis focuses on examining patterns of trade by product and geographical source at a highly detailed level of disaggregation the analysis suggests that future epa arrangements are more likely to lead to significant trade diversion as opposed to trade creation or trade reorientation mfn liberalisation would serve to minimise trade diversion but in turn is likely to lead to greater adjustment costs if the epas are to be pro development and pro poor than maintaining increasing levels of market access to the eu and ensuring appropriate levels of assistance and aid will be critical

cartel stability and tariff policy abstract in this paper we investigate the effect that tariff policy has on the ability of firms to collude in oligopolistic industries we find that small tariff rates lead to an industry structure more conducive to collusive behavior while large tariff rates weaken cartels there exists a critical tariff rate which has no effect on the cartel s stability this critical value is found to be a decreasing function of n the number of firms in the industry and n d n the proportion of firms that are domestic

the profits of power land rights and agricultural investment in ghana we examine the impact of ambiguous and contested land rights on investment and productivity in agriculture in akwapim ghana we show that individuals who hold powerful positions in a local political hierarchy have more secure tenure rights and that as a consequence they invest more in land fertility and have substantially higher output the intensity of investments on different plots cultivated by a given individual corresponds to that individual s security of tenure over those specific plots and in turn to the individual s position in the political hierarchy relevant to those specific plots

when the money runs out do cash transfers have sustained effects on human capital accumulation this study examines the medium term effects of a two year cash transfer program targeted to adolescent girls and young women significant declines in hiv prevalence teen pregnancy and early marriage among recipients of unconditional cash transfers ucts during the program evaporated quickly two years after the cessation of transfers however children born to uct beneficiaries during the program had significantly higher height for age z scores at follow up on the other hand conditional cash transfers ccts offered to out of school females at baseline produced a large increase in educational attainment and a sustained reduction in the total number of births but caused no gains in health labor market outcomes or empowerment the findings point to both the promise and the limitations of cash transfer programs for sustained gains in welfare among young women

insurance credit and technology adoption field experimental evidence from malawi this brief summarizes the insurance credit and technology adoption field experimental evidence from malawi the farmers were offered loans for the november 2006 planting season does production risk suppress the demand for credit the author implemented a randomized field experiment to ask whether provision of insurance against a major source of production risk induces farmers to take out loans to adopt a new crop technology the study sample was composed of roughly 800 maize and groundnut farmers in malawi where by far the dominant source of production risk is the level of rainfall the author randomly selected half of the farmers to be offered credit to purchase high yielding hybrid maize and groundnut seeds for planting in the november 2006 crop season the other half of farmers were offered a similar credit package but were also required to purchase at actuarially fair rates a weather insurance policy that partially or fully forgave the loan in the event of poor rainfall surprisingly take up was lower by 13 percentage points among farmers offered insurance with the loan take up was 33 0 percent for farmers who were offered the uninsured loan there is suggestive evidence that reduced take up of the insured loan was due to farmers already having implicit insurance from the limited liability clause in the loan contract insured loan take up was positively correlated with farmer education income and wealth which may proxy for the individual s default costs by contrast take up of the uninsured loan was uncorrelated with these farmer characteristics

multimarket contact and collusive behavior traditional analyses of industrial behavior typically link the exercise of market power in an industry to internalfeatures such as demand conditions concentration and barriers to entry nevertheless some economists have remained concerned that external factors such as contact across markets may also play a significant role in determining the level of competitiveness in any particular industry in this article we examine the effect of multimarket contact on the degree of cooperation that firms can sustain in settings of repeated competition we isolate conditions under which multimarket contact facilitates collusion and show that these collusive gains are achieved through modes of behavior that have been identified in previous empirical studies of multimarketfirms

school subsidies for the poor evaluating the mexican progresa poverty program abstract this paper evaluates how the progresa program which provides poor mothers in rural mexico with education grants has affected enrollment poor children who reside in communities randomly selected to participate in the initial phase of the progresa are compared to those who reside in other control communities pre program comparisons check the randomized design and double difference estimators of the program s effect on the treated are calculated by grade and sex probit models are also estimated for the probability that a child is enrolled controlling for additional characteristics of the child their parents local schools and community and for sample attrition to evaluate the sensitivity of the program estimates these estimates of program short run effects on enrollment are extrapolated to the lifetime schooling and the earnings of adults to approximate the internal rate of return on the public schooling subsidies as they increase expected private wages

inequality as a determinant of malnutrition and unemployment policy this paper explores the policy implications that are obtained once it is recognized that at low nutrition intakes a person s productivity is an increasing function of intake in the context of a fully general equilibrium model it is shown that if aggregate assets in an economy are neither large nor small certain patterns of lorenz improving asset redistributions or nutrition transfers increase aggregate output and reduce the volume of involuntary unemployment and the incidence of undernourishment copyright 1987 by royal economic society

life cycle schooling and dynamic selection bias models and evidence for five cohorts of american males this paper examines an empirical regularity found in many societies that family influences on the probability of transiting from one grade level to the next diminish at higher levels of education we examine the statistical model used to establish the empirical regularity and the intuitive behavioral interpretation often used to rationalize it we show that the implicit economic model assumes myopia the intuitive interpretive model is identified only by imposing arbitrary distributional assumptions onto the data we produce an alternative choice theoretic model with fewer parameters that rationalizes the same data and is not based on arbitrary distributional assumptions

entrepreneurship and advancing national level economic efficiency we explore the channels under which entrepreneurship fosters productivity by disentangling its impact on national level economic efficiency and find that more entrepreneurship in aggregate is not always good for economic growth and most importantly identifying the form and activity of entrepreneurship is critical for policy makers to better manage changes in their economies our national level results also suggest that the new product entrepreneurship and to a lesser extent improvement driven opportunity entrepreneurship both significantly contribute to the improvement of national level efficiency however both measures would benefit from further development and it seems a higher coincidence of both is more likely to advance a nation s economic efficiency

economic development as self discovery in the presence of uncertainty about what a country can be good at producing there can be great social value to discovering costs of domestic activities because such discoveries can be easily imitated we develop a general equilibrium framework for a small open economy to clarify the analytical and normative issues we highlight two failures of the laissez faire outcome there is too little investment and entrepreneurship ex ante and too much production diversification ex post optimal policy consists of counteracting these distortions to encourage investments in the modern sector ex ante but to rationalize production ex post we provide some informal evidence on the building blocks of our model

returns to capital in microenterprises evidence from a field experiment small and informal firms account for a large share of employment in developing countries the rapid expansion of microfinance services is based on the belief that these firms have productive investment opportunities and can enjoy high returns to capital if given the opportunity however measuring the return to capital is complicated by unobserved factors such as entrepreneurial ability and demand shocks which are likely to be correlated with capital stock the authors use a randomized experiment to overcome this problem and to measure the return to capital for the average microenterprise in their sample regardless of whether they apply for credit they accomplish this by providing cash and equipment grants to small firms in sri lanka and measuring the increase in profits arising from this exogenous positive shock to capital stock after controlling for possible spillover effects the authors find the average real return to capital to be 5 7 percent a month substantially higher than the market interest rate they then examine the heterogeneity of treatment effects to explore whether missing credit markets or missing insurance markets are the most likely cause of the high returns returns are found to vary with entrepreneurial ability and with measures of other sources of cash within the household but not to vary with risk aversion or uncertainty

history regionalism and caricom trade a gravity model analysis abstract a gravity model is fitted to 17 annual cross sections 1980 1996 of bilateral trade data imports and exports between caricom member states and selected trading partners specifically the paper investigates the effects of regional integration colonial legacies and linguistic ties on caricom bilateral trade flows between member states and between member states and north american and european union countries the empirical results indicate that history and regionalism have had significant and strong effects on caricom trade additionally two traditional explanatory variables in gravity models income per capita and population have significant and positive effects on caricom trade while the distance between trading partners exerts the expected negative effect

predator or prey parasitic enterprises in economic development abstract in many developing and transition economies mafia like activities are rampant extortion and other forms of predation lower profitability in private businesses and distort investment incentives incorporated in a model of industrialization bimodal club convergence may result economies may get stuck in a predators club characterized by a vicious cycle of poverty and predation societies with a low flow of new entrepreneurs are especially vulnerable to predation and never get out of this club poor societies with a high flow of new entrepreneurs however may grow out of the trap and join the rich producers club

distributive justice corruption and entrepreneurial behavior this article introduces equity theory to the economic growth literature to examine whether a relationship exists between perceptions of distributive justice and the productivity of entrepreneurial behavior using survey responses from 317 entrepreneurs in india we find that productive entrepreneurship is positively related to distributive justice perceptions but negatively related to perceptions that corruption is pervasive in contrast nonproductive forms of entrepreneurship are negatively related to distributive justice but positively related to corruption unexpectedly the findings also show that corruption mediates the relationship between distributive justice and legal entrepreneurial behavior while distributive justice mediates the relationship between corruption and illegal entrepreneurial behavior we conclude with a discussion of the study s findings and their implications for entrepreneurship and economic growth

entrepreneurship and human development a capability approach abstract we provide a formal model of entrepreneurship in human development the framework is provided by the capabilities approach ca hence we extend not only the conceptualisation of entrepreneurship in development but the reach of the ca into entrepreneurship from a ca view entrepreneurship is not only a production factor or a means to an end as is often taken to be the case by economists but also an end in itself entrepreneurship can be a human functioning and can contribute towards expanding the set of human capabilities through being both a resource and a process our model shows however that entrepreneurship is not automatically a functioning where it is a necessity it stops being a valued functioning the model also shows that even when entrepreneurship is valued entrepreneurs may often not match their ideas with suitable opportunities policy implications are discussed

effective property rights conflict and growth abstract this paper shows how the interaction between conflict and growth can give rise to a nonmonotone relationship between property rights and social welfare this interaction is illustrated in a model of endogenous growth in which equilibrium diversion of resources is the cost of securing effective property rights a symmetric equilibrium allocation associated with more secure property rights and faster growth can be pareto dominated by one associated with poorer property rights and slower growth faster growth can exacerbate the problem of diversion whenever property rights are sufficiently poor these results call for caution before a society decides to pursue economic growth independently of the institutional structure of property rights furthermore if this structure is inappropriate piecemeal reform might not be in the interest of society and a substantial reform might be necessary if it is to be welfare improving

surfeiting the appetite may sicken entrepreneurship and happiness do the presence and nature of entrepreneurship impact on national happiness and are nations with happy citizens better for entrepreneurs to start new businesses to provide tentative answers we survey the literature on entrepreneurship and subjective well being and use various data sources to uncover the first evidence of the relationship between entrepreneurship and happiness at the country level we find that opportunity motivated entrepreneurship may contribute to a nation s happiness but only to a certain point at which the effects of happiness begin to decline moreover our results suggest that a nation s happiness affects early stage opportunity driven entrepreneurial activity

introduction to special issue of small business economics on female entrepreneurship in developed and developing economies research into entrepreneurship has for many years been interested in the differences in rate of participation and performance by female entrepreneurs the motivation for considering female entrepreneurship in both developing and developed countries arises from our increasing understanding of the significance of the role of women in creating running and growing businesses as a fundamental driver for economic growth this special issue examines the reasons for differences in gender participation across levels of development using empirical studies

reducing crime and violence experimental evidence from cognitive behavioral therapy in liberia abstract we show that a number of noncognitive skills and preferences including patience and identity are malleable in adults and that investments in them reduce crime and violence we recruited criminally engaged men and randomized one half to eight weeks of cognitive behavioral therapy designed to foster self regulation patience and a noncriminal identity and lifestyle we also randomized 200 grants cash alone and therapy alone initially reduced crime and violence but effects dissipated over time when cash followed therapy crime and violence decreased dramatically for at least a year we hypothesize that cash reinforced therapy s impacts by prolonging learning by doing lifestyle changes and self investment jel d12 d83 h23 i32 k42 o15 o17

introduction to development theory abstractthisarticle introduces the symposium on economic development theory 2007 elsevier inc all rights reserved jel classi cation o11 o12keywords development economics development economics a subject that studies institutions growth inequality and povertyin the developing world is a large lively and exciting area of research the objective of thissymposium is to put together some contributions in economic theory with a distinct focus ondevelopment questions much of early development economics as typi ed in the work of paul rosenstein rodan arthurlewis ragnarnurkse tiborscitovsky allynyoung gunnarmyrdal harveyleibenstein alberthirschman amartyasenandothers wastheoretical thoughnotnecessarilyinthesenseofformalmodel building theseauthorsallfelttheneedtobringnewconceptsintoeconomictheory ideas that would capture the essential features of underdevelopment and provide explanationsof the development process existing economic theory with its focus on competitive markets depersonalized exchange steady technical progress and balanced growth simply did not seemrightwhenmatchedwiththegroundrealitiesofunderdevelopment fragmented imperfect orjustplain missing markets highly personalized transactions in credit insurance or agrarian tenancy ambiguousornonexistentpropertyrights andwidespreadevidenceofpovertytrapsandhistoricallock ins a fair bit of modern economic theory was born in some of these early development writings young s article 40 on increasing returns was perhaps the rst systematic study of noncon vexities in economic growth rosenstein rodan s celebrated paper 32 on post war interven tion in europe provided a conceptual foundation for modern thinking on coordination failures

can the shadow of the future harm cooperation abstract it is generally thought that in long term relationships high valuations of the future are conducive to cooperation in an intertemporal model of conflict however we demonstrate the possibility of the opposite effect a longer shadow of the future may harm cooperation in particular we show that the degree of inefficiency is positively related to i the agents valuation of the future ii potential growth rates in resources iii the size of initial resource endowments and iv the effectiveness of conflict

what is middle class about the middle classes around the world we expect a lot from the middle classes jim frederick writing in time magazine in 2002 stated china s burgeoning middle class holds the key to the future of the country in a more academic vein easterly 2001 concludes based on a comparison of a large number of countries that countries that have a larger middle class tend to grow faster at least if they are not too ethnically diverse in another article birdsall graham and pettinato 2000 rue the shrinking of the middle class the backbone of both the market economy and of democracy in most advanced societies in the face of burgeoning globalization the economic historian david landes writing about the wealth and poverty of nations 1998 explains england s early ascendancy in terms of the great english middle class of the eighteenth and nineteenth centuries of course there is nothing new about this faith in the middle class it follows a long line of theorizing going back at least to max weber 1905 at least three distinct arguments are traditionally made in one new entrepreneurs armed with a capacity and a tolerance for delayed gratification emerge from the middle class and create employment and productivity growth for the rest of society for a formalization of this argument see acemoglu and zilibotti 1997 in a second perhaps more conventional view the middle class is primarily a source of vital inputs for the entrepreneurial class it is their middle class values their emphasis on the accumulation of human capital and savings that makes them central to the process of capitalist accumulation for example doepke and zilibotti 2005 2007 the third view a staple of the business press emphasizes the middle class consumer the consumer who is willing to pay a little extra for quality in this view the middle class demand for quality consumer goods feeds investment in production and marketing which in turn raises income levels for everyone murphy shleifer and vishny 1989 1 this essay asks what we should make of these arguments in the context of today s developing countries starting from data on patterns of consumption and investment by the middle class we look for what is distinct about the global middle class especially when compared to the global poor defined as those whose per capita daily consumption valued at purchasing power parity exchange rates is below 2 a day who were the subject of a previous essay in this journal banerjee and duflo 2007b in particular is there anything special about the way the middle class spend their money earn their incomes or bring up their children

grit and self employment a multi country study blending the literatures on grit and self employment we propose the role of grit in separating the self employed from the employed based on a sample of 13 210 respondents from nine countries our results indicate that not only is grit related to self employment but also grit is more strongly related to self employment for risk takers females and younger individuals the findings are robust controlling for several individual characteristics and alternate specifications and have implications for the broader literature on self employment

convergence of inflationary shocks evidence from the caribbean in this paper we aim to shed some light on the inflation dynamics in the caribbean we analyse the inflation rates for twelve countries using various time series methods the results show that the inflation rates are mean reverting processes and that there is evidence of a convergence club in inflation rates within the area which contradicts previous studies our contribution implies a high degree of similarity in the dynamics of our target countries inflation rates

assessing the impact of a school subsidy program in mexico using a social experiment to validate a dynamic behavioral model of child schooling and fertility this paper uses data from a randomized social experiment in mexico to estimate and validate a dynamic behavioral model of parental decisions about fertility and child schooling to evaluate the effects of the progresa school subsidy program and to perform a variety of counterfactual experiments of policy alternatives our method of validation estimates the model without using post program data and then compares the model s predictions about program impacts to the experimental impact estimates the results show that the model s predicted program impacts track the experimental results our analysis of counterfactual policies reveals an alternative subsidy schedule that would induce a greater impact on average school attainment at similar cost to the existing program

economic underdevelopment the case of a missing market for human capital abstract this paper demonstrates that the coexistence of developed and underdeveloped countries can be a stationary equilibrium in a world economy with free trade in consumption goods and physical capital an underdeveloped country is characterized by a high ratio of unskilled workers in the labor force a small stock of physical capital a low gross national product a high rate of return on human capital and a corresponding large wage differential between skilled and unskilled workers the critical assumptions are that future labor earnings cannot serve as collateral on a loan and indivisibilities in education

consumption and investment in resource pooling family networks this paper examines a novel motive for resource pooling in family networks in rural economies to relax credit constraints and facilitate investment in non collateralizeable assets for which credit market imperfections are most binding we thus complement established literatures examining risk sharing motives for resource transfers within family networks as well as motives based on kinship tax obligations we do so exploiting the progresa program data in which family networks can be identified households are subject to large exogenous resource inflows and detailed responses on consumption and an array of investments can be tracked in a household panel over five years we find that for every dollar that accrues to the family network through progresa transfers food consumption expenditures increase by around 65c for both households eligible for progresa and ineligible members of the same family network hence the marginal propensity of families to invest save out of every dollar is around 35 and we document how this is channelled towards easing credit constraints poorer network members face in financing non collateralizable investments into their children s human capital we show these consumption and investment benefits of being embedded within a family network are sustained five years after households first experience resource transfers from progresa hence the interplay between resource inflows and resource pooling by family networks can place network members on sustained paths out of poverty this article is protected by copyright all rights reserved

does child labour displace schooling evidence on behavioral responses to an enrollment subsidy this brief summarizes the results of a gender impact evaluation study entitled does child labour displace schooling evidence on behavioral responses to an enrollment subsidy conducted between 1995 and 1996 in bangladesh the study observed that the subsidy increases schooling but its effect on child labour is ambiguous the subsidy increased schooling by far more than it reduced child labour substitution effects helped protect current incomes from the higher school attendance induced by the subsidy substitution effects helped protect current incomes from the higher school attendance induced by the subsidy the reduction in the incidence of child labour by boys girls represents about one quarter eighth of the increase in their school enrollment rate

no longer trapped promoting entrepreneurship through cash transfers to ultra poor women in northern kenya we examine the short to medium run impacts of the rural entrepreneur access program a poverty graduation program that promotes entrepreneurship among ultra poor women in arid and semi arid northern kenya a context prone to poverty traps the program relies on cash transfers rather than asset transfers in addition to business skills training business mentoring and savings participation in each of the program s three rounds was randomly determined through a public lottery in the short to medium run we find that the program has a positive and significant impact on income savings and asset accumulation similar to more traditional poverty graduation programs that rely on asset transfers

an empirical assessment of optimal monetary policy in the euro area we estimate a new keynesian dsge model for the euro area under alternative descriptions of monetary policy discretion commitment or a simple rule after allowing for markov switching in policy maker preferences and shock volatilities this reveals that there have been several changes in euro area policy making with a strengthening of the anti inflation stance in the early years of the erm which was then lost around the time of german reunification and only recovered following the turmoil in the erm in 1992 the ecb does not appear to have been any more conservative as aggregate euro area policy was under bundesbank leadership the estimates also suggest that the most appropriate description of policy is that of discretion with no evidence of commitment in the euro area as a result although both good luck and good policy played a role in the moderation of inflation and output volatility in the euro area the welfare gains would have been substantially higher had policy makers been able to commit adopting a flexible price level target would lead to outcomes close to commitment

the effect of competition on trade evidence from the collapse of international cartels how do changes in competitive intensity affect trade patterns some cartels may find it advantageous to eliminate cross hauling and divide markets geographically we exploit a quasi natural experiment associated with increased antitrust enforcement to determine if market division strategies were used in seven recently prosecuted international cartels since antitrust activity is unlikely to affect spatial patterns of demand and supply other than through its effect on the competitive environment enforcement induced changes are ideally suited to study the effect of competition on trade patterns analyzing the cartels individually and as a group we find no significant change in spatial patterns of trade following cartel breakup in particular there is no systematic change in the effect of distance on trade these results suggest that cross hauling is not uncommon under collusion and hence that the existence of cross hauling by itself does not provide evidence of effective competition

conditional cash transfers adult work incentives and poverty conditional cash transfer cct programs aim to alleviate poverty through monetary and in kind benefits as well as reduce future levels of poverty by encouraging investments in education health and nutrition the success of cct programs at reducing poverty depends on whether and the extent to which cash transfers affect adult work incentives the authors examine whether the progresa program of mexico affects adult participation in the labor market and overall adult leisure time and they link these effects to the impact of the program on poverty using the experimental design of progresa s evaluation sample the authors find that the program does not have any significant effect on adult labor force participation and leisure time their findings on adult work incentives are reinforced further by the result that progresa leads to a substantial reduction in poverty the poverty reduction effects are stronger for the poverty gap and severity of poverty measures

conditional cash transfers the case of progresa oportunidades conditional cash transfer cct programs innovate by conditioning transfers to poor families on investments in the human capital of children and other family members the mexican cct program progresa oportunidades began in 1997 and has served as a model for many of the now over sixty countries with ccts around the world in large part due to its initial evaluation with an experimental design and numerous follow up studies this article reviews the literature on the development evaluation and findings of progresa oportunidades summarizing what is known about program effects taking into account corrections for multiple hypothesis testing

tying odysseus to the mast evidence from a commitment savings product in the philippines we designed a commitment savings product for a philippine bank and implemented it using a randomized control methodology the savings product was intended for individuals who want to commit now to restrict access to their savings and who were sophisticated enough to engage in such a mechanism we conducted a baseline survey on 1777 existing or former clients of a bank one month later we offered the commitment product to a randomly chosen subset of 710 clients 202 28 4 percent accepted the offer and opened the account in the baseline survey we asked hypothetical time discounting questions women who exhibited a lower discount rate for future relative to current trade offs and hence potentially have a preference for commitment were indeed significantly more likely to open the commitment savings account after twelve months average savings balances increased by 81 percentage points for those clients assigned to the treatment group relative to those assigned to the control group we conclude that the savings response represents a lasting change in savings and not merely a short term response to a new product

entrepreneurial talent occupational choice and trickle up policies we study market inefficiencies and policy remedies when agents choose their occupations and entrepreneurial talent is subject to private information untalented entrepreneurs depress the returns to entrepreneurship because of adverse selection the severity of this problem depends on the outside option of entrepreneurs which is working for wages this links credit product and labor markets a rise in wages reduces the adverse selection problem these multimarket interactions amplify productivity shocks and may generate multiple equilibria if it is impossible to screen entrepreneurs then all agents unanimously support a tax on entrepreneurs that drives out the less talented ones however if screening is possible e g if wealthy entrepreneurs can provide collateral for their loans then wealthy entrepreneurs do not support surplus enhancing taxes

schooling and labor market consequences of school construction in indonesia evidence from an unusual policy experiment between 1973 and 1978 the indonesian government engaged in one of the largest school construction programs on record combining differences across regions in the number of schools constructed with differences across cohorts induced by the timing of the program suggests that each primary school constructed per 1 000 children led to an average increase of 0 12 to 0 19 years of education as well as a 1 5 to 2 7 percent increase in wages this implies estimates of economic returns to education ranging from 6 8 to 10 6 percent

entrepreneurs creativity and firm innovation the moderating role of entrepreneurial self efficacy there are several studies in entrepreneurship investigating determinants of innovation outcomes in smes although entrepreneurs entrepreneurial creativity is often seen as a prerequisite previous research indicates it is not an exclusive determinant of innovation we use theoretical logics of social cognitive theory and innovation theory to develop a conceptual model of entrepreneur s creativity self efficacy and innovation outcomes the model is then tested on a large sample of small and medium firms from two distinct economies the united states and slovenia empirical findings partially support the proposed moderation effects of entrepreneurial self efficacy but with the same variations between countries the implications of these results in relation to entrepreneurship theory and practice are discussed

consumption risk technology adoption and poverty traps evidence from ethiopia much has been written on the determinants of input and technology adoption in agriculture with issues such as input availability knowledge and education risk preferences profitability and credit constraints receiving much attention this paper focuses on a factor that has been less well documented the differential ability of households to take on risky production technologies for fear of the welfare consequences if shocks result in poor harvests building on an explicit model this is explored in panel data for ethiopia historical rainfall distributions are used to identify the counterfactual consumption risk controlling for unobserved household and time varying village characteristics it emerges that not just ex ante credit constraints but also the possibly low consumption outcomes when harvests fail discourage the application of fertilizer the lack of insurance causes inefficiency in production choices