the digital divide the role of political institutions in technology diffusion what factors have promoted and retarded the spread of the internet globally the internet is one example of the diffusion of technology much as other technologies the internet has diffused unevenly across countries raising concerns over a digital divide my main proposition is that its spread has been driven by neither technological nor economic factors alone rather political factors exert a powerful influence groups that believe they will lose from the internet use political institutions to enact policies that block the spread of the internet some political institutions make this easier than others data from roughly 190 countries from 1991 to 2001 showthat a country s regime type matters greatly even when controlling for other economic technological political and sociological factors democratic governments facilitate the spread of the internet relative to autocratic ones thus the spread of democracy may help reduce the digital divide

integration of spatial markets studies of spatial market integration draw their implications from a theory which assumes that there are no intraregional transport costs an alternative theory is offered based on the assumptions that buyers and sellers are spatially dispersed and intraregional transport costs are significant this implies that the market is a linked oligopoly or oligopsony and that market integration tests are tests of alternative oligopoly price formation processes for example collusive basing point pricing produces results typically assumed to imply efficiently integrated markets while competitive fob pricing does not the theoretical implications are illustrated with an analysis of hog prices in canada

agricultural price instability a survey of competing explanations and remedies there are two explanations for agricultural price dynamics one follows cobweb logic and models fluctuations driven by expectation errors but emphasises that these expectations create complex dynamics and possibly chaos the other stems from the rational expectations tradition of dynamics driven by real shocks the empirical evidence tends to support the latter but is not conclusive the rational expectations model generates an optimal dynamic path from which no improvement can be expected from public intervention however if we take account of all the potential market failures in agricultural markets and especially in developing countries this conclusion might require some qualifications although an appropriate policy design for stability has still to be achieved this paper surveys the positive and normative literature on agricultural prices highlighting empirical evidence and identifying remaining unresolved issues

spatial price discrimination in agricultural product procurement markets a computational economics approach significant transport costs and spatially distributed supply and processing create oligopsony power in agricultural markets price discrimination expressed in the form of partial or complete absorption of freight charges by processors is often observed in these environments but we understand little about how these pricing decisions are made analytical approaches are often intractable as an alternative we propose a computational economics approach to analyze a general spatial competition model and study firms choices of spatial pricing policy instead of the commonly presumed free on board pricing we find that buyers choose price discrimination either through uniform delivered pricing or through partial freight absorption

a rational expectations model of agricultural supply this work suggests a dynamic linear rational expectations modeling strategy for using time series observations to study the impact of product prices on agricultural production and land allocation the farmer s decision consists of specifying each period the portion of his land to be devoted to the growing of alternative crops the dynamic element in the farmer s problem comes from the technology a quadratic production technology is used the farmer s optimal land allocation decision rules are derived as linear functions of past land allocations expectations of future product prices and other exogenous variables and they can be interpreted as an optimal crop rotation assuming rational expectations and the exogeneity of prices for a small open economy one obtains closed form linear regression equations representing decision rules and stochastic processes these are then estimated and tested using maximum likelihood methods and aggregate data from the egyptian agriculture

fob or uniform delivered prices strategic choice and welfare effects in spatial markets firms typically use either fob mill or uniform delivered ud pricing what competitive factors motivate this choice and what are the welfare implications of the choice we study these questions in a duopsony market where farmers with unit elastic supply curves sell to processing firms in results that differ considerably from prior work we show that the equilibrium price policy depends upon the extent of competition in the market with fob pricing emerging under very competitive structures and ud pricing emerging under less competition mixed fob ud pricing may also emerge in equilibrium in most cases welfare is higher under ud than fob pricing

assessing the importance of oligopsony power in agricultural markets oligopoly competition among few sellers is the cornerstone of industrial organization io conversely its sister concept oligopsony competition among few buyers is scarcely mentioned for example oligopsony is not discussed in the entire two volume handbook of industrial organization and monopsony is mentioned only in the context of incentives to integrate vertically two reasons apparently account for io economists lack of interest in buyer market power i they don t think it s very important and ii they don t believe it presents any unique modeling issues relative to seller market power scherer and ross illustrate this first viewpoint arguing that average concentration on the buyers side in manufacturing is undoubtedly lower than seller concentration p 519 tirole in his masterful treatise on io theory illustrates the second dispatching monopsony power in one sentence naturally the conclusions regarding monopoly power would also hold as well for monopsony power p 65 we argue that this dismissive treatment of buyer market power is not reasonable for economists interested in agriculture and agricultural markets the scherer and ross viewpoint may apply when considering generic inputs such as labor capital and energy competition for these inputs is apt to exceed competition for the outputs they produce because firms cross product market boundaries to compete for these inputs and there is essentially no branding among input buyers to diminish price competition among them moreover these inputs are typically mobile hence in elastic supply to individual buyers limiting the exercise of oligopsony power even in geographic settings where relatively few buyers prevail this view of input markets does not apply however to first handler markets for the raw agricultural commodities that are inputs into the processed or fresh packed food products we identify the following distinctive structural characteristics of these markets

the economics of on farm processing model development and an empirical analysis abstract recent trends in the developments of the common agricultural policy suggest an increasing attention towards rural development issues on farm processing may offer an alternative for diversification income generation and rural development in the event of increasingly deregulated agricultural markets in this study the economics of on farm processing for the case of the swedish potato industry is examined an interregional partial equilibrium model is developed various stages of the potato marketing chain are explicitly modelled it is empirically demonstrated that in some regions on farm processing is a part of a socially optimal industry structure furthermore it is shown that on farm processors are more robust towards import competition than bulk product producers hence the results support the notion that small scale processing may contribute towards satisfying some of the objectives of an effective rural development agenda

political losers as a barrier to economic development per capita income in many sub saharan african countries such as chad and niger is less than 1 30th of that of the united states most economists and social scientists suspect that this is in part due to institutional failures that stop these societies from adopting the best technologies a particularly interesting historical example comes from the diffusion of railways in the 19th century while railways are regarded as a key technology driving the industrial revolution there were large lags in their diffusion for example in 1850 the united states had 14 518 km of track britain 9 797 km and germany 5 856 km in the russian and hapsburg empires there were just 501 km and 1 357 kim respectively all data from brian r mitchell 1993 why do societies as in this example fail to adopt the best available technologies one answer is that existing powerful interest groups block the introduction of new technologies in order to protect their economic rents and societies are able to make technological advances only if they can defeat such groups economic monopolies may be one example a monopolist might wish to block the introduction of a new technology by a rival that will capture the market this idea which we call the economic losers hypothesis was discussed by simon kuznets 1968 developed at length by joel mokyr 1990 in the context of technology adoption and formalized by per krusell and jose victor rios rull 1996 and stephen l parente and edward c prescott 1997 related ideas are widely discussed in the literature on international trade policy with many formal models e g gene m grossman and elhanan helpman 1994 there are problems with this story however first despite the intuitive appeal of the idea there are relatively few instances where major economic change was blocked by economic losers mokyr 1990 emphasizes the attempts of many skilled artisans to block the introduction of new machines the most famous example is the luddites skilled weavers who were thrown out of work by mechanization interestingly however many of these groups including the luddites were ultimately unable to block economic progress equally important the economic losers hypothesis relies on the presumption that certain groups have the political power to block innovation but if so why not use this power to simply tax the gains generated by the introduction of the new technology this might be because there are limits on the nature of fiscal instruments though it seems plausible that groups with sufficient political power to block innovation would be able subsequently to lobby effectively for redistribution a more important reason however may be that the introduction of new technology and economic change more generally may simultaneously affect the distribution of political power we argue that the effect of economic change on political power is a key factor in determining whether technological advances and beneficial economic changes will be blocked in other words we propose a political loser hypothesis we argue that it is groups whose political power not economic rents is eroded who will block technological advances if agents are economic losers but have no political power they cannot impede technological progress if they have and maintain political power i e are not political losers then they have no incentive to block progress it is therefore agents who have t discussant gene grossman princeton university

grid integration of intermittent renewable energy sources using price responsive plug in electric vehicles abstract plug in electric vehicles pevs are expected to balance the fluctuation of renewable energy sources res to investigate the contribution of pevs the availability of mobile battery storage and the control mechanism for load management are crucial this study therefore combined the following a stochastic model to determine mobility behavior an optimization model to minimize vehicle charging costs and an agent based electricity market equilibrium model to estimate variable electricity prices the variable electricity prices are calculated based on marginal generation costs hence because of the merit order effect the electricity prices provide incentives to consume electricity when the supply of renewable generation is high depending on the price signals and mobility behavior pevs calculate a cost minimizing charging schedule and therefore balance the fluctuation of res the analysis shows that it is possible to limit the peak load using the applied control mechanism the contribution of pevs to improving the integration of intermittent renewable power generation into the grid depends on the characteristic of the res generation profile for the german 2030 scenario used here the negative residual load was reduced by 15 22 and the additional consumption of negative residual load was between 34 and 52

telecommunications reform internet use and mobile phone adoption in the developing world summary how do telecommunications policies influence technology adoption has regulatory reform helped mitigate or exacerbate the digital divide we examine the effects of four policy reform strategies on a country s share of internet bandwidth internet hosts internet users personal computers and mobile phones we argue that the best policy environment for the telecommunications sector is one maintained by an independent regulator that is not above representing the public interest or entering into public private partnerships to develop national information infrastructure holding other factors constant privatizing the national telecommunications operator only has a few demonstrable effects and the effects are mixed liberalizing the market for consumer communications services and separating the telecommunications regulator from direct control by the executive branch of government are for the most part constructive policies for encouraging technology adoption yet over time too little public policy oversight usually has a negative impact on technology adoption regulatory independence mitigates against the digital divide but regulatory withdrawal exacerbates it our findings offer greater coverage than prior research and emerge from a time series cross sectional study of multiple technology indicators in 154 countries during the period 1990 2007

imperfect competition in agricultural markets and the role of cooperatives a spatial analysis important characteristics of many agricultural markets are costly to transport raw products and relatively few processors one or more of which is often a cooperative this paper analyzes pricing behavior in these oligopsonistic spatial markets and focuses specifically upon the conjecture that cooperatives may have a procompetitive effect on the behavior of rival non co op processors the existence and magnitude of a procompetitive effect is shown to depend upon a number of structural and strategic factors including competitive relations among the non co op processors and a cooperative s membership and pricing policies

application of fuzzy q learning for electricity market modeling by considering renewable power penetration abstract by increasing renewable resource penetration the need for developing fast and reliable market modeling approaches in the presence of these resources has gained greater attention in this paper fuzzy q learning approach is proposed for hour ahead electricity market modeling in presence of renewable resources the proposed approach is implemented on ieee 30 bus test system the effectiveness of the proposed approach is evaluated and compared with q learning approach for both normal and stressful cases simulation results indicate that the proposed approach is able to model electricity market for a range of continuous multidimensional renewable power penetration in considerably less iterations compared with q learning approach moreover the probability of finding nash equilibrium is becoming higher by using fuzzy q learning approach while the other indices such as average social welfare average of locational marginal prices lmps and average standard of deviation of lmps do not change considerably

renewable generation versus demand side management a comparison for the spanish market abstract conventionally the required instantaneous balance generation load is achieved by adjusting production to fit variable consumer demand nowadays a significant and increasing segment of generation is renewable but renewable production cannot be scheduled on request since its generation is dependent on nature wind sun in this context demand side management dsm would help since it would be advisable for part of the flexibility to be provided by the demand the integration of renewable production and demand side management dsm are compared in this work for spain throughout 2008 2014 first a qualitative model based on the linearization of the wholesale market is employed to explore some hypotheses a set of scenarios are then examined to quantify the main effects on the market the results show that dsm exhibits the best performance in terms of economic efficiency and environmental sustainability as well as for the reduction of load peaks and losses in the system what suggests the convenience of promoting plans for the replacement of equipment with other more efficient as well as the implementation of real time tariffs

an empirical comparison of agricultural supply response mechanisms 1982 an empirical comparison of agricultural supply response mechanisms applied economics vol 14 no 2 pp 183 194

green energy market development in germany effective public policy and emerging customer demand this paper reviews the development of renewable energy in germany from 1973 to 2003 it investigates the relative importance of energy policy and green power marketing in shaping the renewable energy market more than a decade of consistent policy support for renewables under the feed in law streg and its successor eeg has been an important driver for increasing renewable electricity generation to date putting the country in a better position than most of its peers when it comes to achieving european union targets for renewable energy green power marketing driven by customer demand on the other hand is growing but has had limited measurable impact so far we discuss potential intangible benefits of green power marketing and scenarios for future market development the paper concludes with lessons that can be learned from the german case for policy design and market development in other countries

the merit order effect a detailed analysis of the price effect of renewable electricity generation on spot market prices in germany the german feed in support of electricity generation from renewable energy sources has led to high growth rates of the supported technologies critics state that the costs for consumers are too high an important aspect to be considered in the discussion is the price effect created by renewable electricity generation this paper seeks to analyse the impact of privileged renewable electricity generation on the electricity market in germany the central aspect to be analysed is the impact of renewable electricity generation on spot market prices the results generated by an agent based simulation platform indicate that the financial volume of the price reduction is considerable in the short run this gives rise to a distributional effect which creates savings for the demand side by reducing generator profits in the case of the year 2006 the volume of the merit order effect exceeds the volume of the net support payments for renewable electricity generation which have to be paid by consumers

income taxes and price variability in storable commodity markets progressive income taxes lead to distortions in economic decisions made across tax years this is particularly important when income is volatile as in the case of agriculture progressive taxes therefore can fundamentally change economic behavior over time this study explores how progressive income taxes influence storage decisions and the markets for storable commodities under a progressive tax system commodity storage tends to be lower in the aggregate and as a consequence price volatility increases these distortions could be eliminated by introducing a flat rate tax or by changing the tax reporting system for farmers

testing the rational expectations hypothesis in an agricultural market a recent survey on models of agricultural supply equations listed over 500 studies in which variants of nerlove s adaptive expectations model were employed one might naively assume that the scientific evidence overwhelmingly favored the adaptive expectations hypothesis but this inference would not be warranted in particular there have been very few studies which have even attempted to estimate a rational expectations version of the traditional agricultural supply models and none that have explicitly tested the rational expectations hypothesis 2 in this paper we estimate a model of agricultural supply and demand for the chicken broiler industry under the maintained assumption of rational expectations in the sense of muth 1961 and provide a series of tests of the model specification we find that in this case the hypothesis of muth rationality receives strong support in recent years there has been increasing interest in models in which economic actors are assumed to form expectations of variables rationally for the most part empirical applications of the rational expectations hypothesis have employed single equation econometric methods these methods have permitted consistent estimation of equations under the assumption of the rational expectations hypothesis but do not allow for any explicit testing of the maintained hypothesis of rationality this paper presents estimates of a simultaneous equation model of the chicken broiler industry using maximum likelihood methods and provides a joint test of the rational expectations hypothesis and the model specification our econometric procedure is related to the recent theoretical work of wallis 1980 and combines time series analysis with traditional econometric estimation techniques under the assumption of rational expectations the model can be solved for the expected price as a function of the expected values of the exogenous variables this function can then be substituted into the model leading to a specification which contains the original endogenous and exogenous variables plus the expected values of the exogenous variables in general following this substitution the model will contain overidentifying restrictions time series analysis is utilized to generate the necessary forecasts of the exogenous variables the complete system of equations is estimated by full information maximum likelihood and the constraints are tested by a log likelihood ratio test the overidentifying constraints arise in the model because the suppliers are assumed to act as if they know both the underlying structure of the model and the stochastic processes governing the exogenous variables the two requirements of rational expectations while the expected price enters only the supply equation of our model it is necessary in the econometric formulation to specify the demand equation the instrumental variable procedures of mccallum 1976 and nelson 1975b are single equation methods and do not permit a test of the rational expectations hypothesis by specifying the complete model the additional structure imposed on the problem allows us to estimate the coefficients and test the implied restrictions there has not been universal agreement that the rational expectations hypothesis is the best theoretical device to model rational behavior according to muth s original formulation economic actors forecast endogenous variables according to the true reduced form equations of the model decanio 1979 and friedman 1979 have argued that the economic actors actually received for publication august 24 1981 revision accepted for publication march 2 1982 university of new mexico and university of california davis respectively we wish to thank g king r l huntzinger r pope and l wegge for advice on this project a nelson and e shaw contributed useful research assistance i the paper by askari and cummings 1977 provides references for these studies 2 huntzinger s 1979 paper is one of the first attempts at estimatitng a rational expectations model of agricultural supply

spatial competition uniform pricing and transportation efficiency in the california processing tomato industry this study examines the role of spatial pricing in the allocation of processing tomatoes from farms to the thirty two processing facilities located in northern and central california a simple theoretical model illustrates that the industry s uniform pricing policy encourages market overlap and excessive transportation costs relative to fob pricing a nonlinear mathematical programming model is developed to determine the optimal allocation of processing tomatoes this allocation is then compared to the estimated actual allocation the analysis reveals foregone profits of only 1 9 from inefficient product allocation simulation results reveal significant competition among processors despite their separation in many cases by long distances

cost effectiveness of renewable electricity policies we analyze policies to promote renewable sources of electricity a portfolio standard rps raises electricity prices and primarily reduces gas fired generation a knee of the cost curve exists between 15 and 20 goals for 2020 in our central case and higher natural gas prices lower the cost of greater reliance on renewables a renewable energy production tax credit lowers electricity price at the expense of taxpayers which limits its effectiveness in reducing carbon emissions and it is less cost effective at increasing renewables than a portfolio standard neither policy is as cost effective as a cap and trade policy for achieving carbon emission reductions

do support systems for res e reduce eu ets driven electricity prices abstract support systems for electricity from renewable energy sources res e can reduce electricity prices which have also been influenced by a co2 emission trading scheme ets additional res e substitutes electricity from fossil fuels and thus co2 emissions are reduced the demand for emission reductions is lowered as a result the co2 price is also reduced consequently the wholesale price for electricity decreases however most res e support systems are financed via the electricity market which increases the retail electricity price an assessment for germany shows that retail electricity prices in the first trading period of the eu ets 2005 2007 are lowered by 2 6 euro mwh due to additional res e considering the complete eu the effect is substantially higher this paper describes the effect and the influence of different policy designs it develops an approach for assessing the effect and applies it for the case of germany and roughly estimates the effect for the eu

review of grid tie micro generation systems without energy storage towards a new approach to sustainable hybrid energy systems linked to energy efficiency abstract this paper reviews the literature on the subject albeit approaching hybrid micro generation power systems from a systems thinking st and cybernetics standpoint viewing them as dynamically complex adaptive systems cas coupled with and supplying to a set of homes termed a sustainable block in a rural setting here homeostatic regulation hr and control play a vital role in reaching efficient equilibrium towards reconciling power supply and demand response management unlike most of the work reviewed in the literature the focus here is on supervisory control of grid connected micro generation systems without energy storage aiming towards building energy efficiency thriftiness and sustainability in energy consumption building on homeostatic control hc principles first introduced by f c schweppe in 1979 the paper explores the concepts of sustainability and sustainable hybrid energy systems shes applied to micro generation focusing on operational aspects rather than on socio economic environmental or regulatory ones a concrete theoretical model for building a shes is presented for a proposed grid connected renewable microgrid the model seeks to reconcile power supply and demand towards efficient equilibrium homeostasis proposing reward based criteria for controlling renewable electricity supply and consumption in rural communities in chile discussion and recommendations are also offered stating that energy sustainability es is essentially a systems issue and one where es is first and foremost a structural organizational and operational property which is in the very nature of the system itself it is built into it rather than explained by exogenous factors

e commerce readiness institutional environment and international competitiveness a systematic cross country analysis of e commerce activity reveals that although physical infrastructure explains much of the variation in basic internet use e commerce activity also depends significantly on a supportive institutional environment chief among the characteristics of such an environment are national respect for the rule of law and secondarily the availability of credible payment channels such as credit cards these results suggest that an institutional environment that facilitates the building of transactional integrity is critical to the development of e commerce

determinants of renewable energy growth a global sample analysis abstract we investigate factors influencing country level renewable energy growth by applying fevd and pcse estimation methods in a unique sample analysis with a longer time series 1990 2010 and a broader sample size of countries including brazil russia india china and south africa than previous studies our results reveal new insights the results suggest that certain government backed energy policies impede renewable energy investments thus implying significant failures in policy design these policies may be failing mainly because of uncertainty and the likelihood of discontinuity weak voluntary approaches are introduced in order to satisfy public demand for more sustainable investments and programmes we find that these may have negative influences on the growth of renewables as well the insight gained is consistent over the estimation methods employed

intraseasonal demand for fall potatoes under rational expectations an iterative numerical strategy combining maximum likelihood methods and stochastic dynamic programming is used to estimate a dynamic nonlinear rational expectations model of the u s fall potato market the model captures the essential processes governing the intraseasonal dynamics of potato consumption and storage including the impact of price expectations on stockholding decisions the model is used to analyze the temporal pattern of demand for fall potatoes