a note on foreigners trading and price effects across firms abstract we study the investment behavior of foreign investors in association with an equity market liberalization and find a strong link between foreigners trading and local market returns in the period following the liberalization net purchases by foreign investors induced a permanent increase in stock prices suggesting that local firms reduced their cost of equity capital we also find a strong link between a firm s fraction of foreign ownership and the magnitude of the cost reduction foreign investors seem to prefer large and well known firms and these firms realize the largest reduction in capital cost furthermore our analysis suggests that foreigners increase their net holding in firms that have recently performed well analyzing foreigners performance we find very little evidence of informed trading suggesting that risk sharing is the most plausible explanation for the reduction of the cost of equity capital

credit rationing and credit view empirical evidence from an ethical bank in italy attempts have been made in the empirical literature to identify credit rationing and its determinants using balance sheet data or evidence from corporate surveys however observational equivalence identification problems and interview biases are serious problems in these studies we analyze directly the determinants of credit rationing in credit files by examining the differencebetweentheamountsdemandedbyandsuppliedtoeachborrower as shown by official bank records our findings provide microeconomic evidence that supports the credit view hypothesis by showing that the european central bank refinancing rate is significantly and positively related to partial but not total credit rationing this finding is consistent with the hypothesis that this variable affects the total volume of bank loans

population growth and savings in ldcs a survey article both population growth and savings have traditionally taken a certain place of pride among models of growth and development the purpose of this paper is to examine the literature concerning the hypothesis that the savings rate itself is a function of the population growth rate and this effect exacerbates the negative effect of population on economic growth the evidence is examined from three perspectives i macroeconomic effects of variations in the age structure of the population ii choice theoretic models of family decision making particularly the joint determination of fertility decisions and savings decisions and iii market level interactions of variables which determine individual decisions the paper concludes that both population growth and savings rates are inextricably tied up in the process of economic development there are many ways in which the two variables may interact but no generalizations can be safely made across countries

vive la difference social banks and reciprocity in the credit market social banks are financial intermediaries paying attention to non economic i e social ethical and environmental criteria to investigate the behavior of social banks on the credit market this paper proposes both theory and empirics our theoretical model rationalizes the idea that reciprocity can generate better repayment performances based on a unique hand collected dataset released by a french social bank our empirical results are twofold first we show that the bank charges below market interest rates for social projects second regardless of their creditworthiness motivated borrowers respond to advantageous credit terms by significantly lowering their probability of default we interpret this outcome as the first evidence of reciprocity in the credit market

population pressures saving and investment in the third world some puzzles for over 25 years economists and population specialists have generally embraced the plausible notion that rapid rates of population growth exert a quantitatively significant adverse impact on the pace of economic growth through the effects of age dependency capital shallowing and investment diversion however empirical research has not sustained these hypotheses individually or collectively one general factor appears to account for this variance between theory and facts the tendency to develop analyses with simplifying assumptions that are not then subjected to adequate empirical tests at its most fundamental level economics is about making choices in the face of scarcity in the literature relating population growth savings and investment and modeling of choices has been amazingly narrow indeed almost a economic at the household level population pressures are usually modeled by engineering like fixed coefficient formulae in contrast trade offs between quantities or qualities of consumption are seldom admitted parents work force behavior is usually taken to be uninfluenced by family size and children are typically assumed to contribute nothing productively similarly at the government level population pressures are modeled to show population sensitive expenditures taking priority and crowding out more productive spending in reality governments respond with more flexibility than the models suggest and some of the population sensitive expenditures may be growth enhancing more elaborate analyses reveal 2nd order effects economizing on scarce resources and an expansion in supply

are ethical banks different a comparative analysis using the radical affinity index this article studies the differences between traditional financial intermediaries commercial banks savings banks and cooperative banks and ethical banks based on property rights in which the owner decides the ideology principles standards and objectives of the organisation in ethical banking affinity centres on positive social and ethical values the article consequently focuses on an index proposed both to differentiate ethical banks from other types of banks and also to pinpoint the differences between the various ethical banks themselves this is the radical affinity index rai which groups banks together in terms of their stance on ethical commitment concentrating on ethical ideology and principles information transparency placement of assets guarantees and participation and using a sample of 114 european banks the evidence shows that transparency of information and placement of assets are factors that differentiate ethical banks from other financial intermediaries guarantees and participation are characteristics specific to ethical banks these variables however do not offer clear evidence to our analysis

where is the market evidence from cross listings in the united states we analyze the location of stock trading for firms with a us cross listing the fraction of trading that occurs in the united states tends to be larger for companies from countries that are geographically close to the united states and feature low financial development and poor insider trading protection for companies based in developed countries trading volume in the united states is larger if the company is small volatile and technology oriented while this does not apply to emerging country firms the domestic turnover rate increases in the cross listing year and remains higher for firms based in developed markets but not for emerging market firms domestic trading volume actually declines for companies from countries with poor enforcement of insider trading regulation

bubbles crashes and endogenous expectations in experimental spot asset markets1 spot asset trading is studied in an environment in which all investors receive the same dividend from a known probability distribution at the end of each of t 15 or 30 trading periods fourteen of twenty two experiments exhibit price bubbles followed by crashes relative to intrinsic dividend value when traders are experienced this reduces but does not eliminate the probability of a bubble the regression of changes in mean price on lagged excess bids number of bids minus the number of offers in the previous period p pt a f b 1 o l supports the hypothesis that a e d the one period expected value of the dividend and that f 0 where excess bids is a surrogate measure of excess demand arising from homegrown capital gains losses expectations thus when bt 1 o goes to zero we have convergence to rational expectations in the sense of fama 1970 that arbitrage becomes unprofitable the observed bubble phenomenon can also be interpreted as a form of temporary myopia tirole 1982 from which agents learn that capital gains expectations are only temporarily sustainable ultimately inducing common expectations or priors tirole 1982 four of twenty six experiments all using experienced subjects yield outcomes that appear to the chart s eye to converge early to rational expectations although even in these cases we get 0 and small price fluctuations of a few cents that invite scalping

home bias in equity portfolios inflation hedging and international capital market equilibrium we test whether the home bias in equity portfolios is caused by investors trying to hedge inflation risk the empirical evidence is consistent with this motive only if investors have very high levels of risk tolerance and equity returns are negatively correlated with domestic inflation we then develop a model of international portfolio choice and equity market equilibrium that integrates inflation risk and deadweight costs using this model we estimate the levels of costs required to generate the observed home bias in portfolios consistent with different levels of risk aversion for a level of risk aversion consistent with standard estimates of the domestic equity market risk premium these costs are about a few percent per annum greater than observable costs such as withholding taxes thus the home bias cannot be explained by either inflation hedging or direct observable costs of international investment unless investors have very low levels of risk aversion article published by oxford university press on behalf of the society for financial studies in its journal the review of financial studies

foreign portfolio investors before and during a crisis different categories of foreign portfolio investors in korea have differences as well as similarities in their trading behavior before and during the currency crisis first non resident institutional investors are always positive feedback traders whereas resident investors were negative feedback contrarian traders before the crisis but switch to be positive feedback traders during the crisis second individual investors herd significantly more than institutional investors non resident institutional as well individual investors herd significantly more than their resident counterparts third differences in the western and korean news coverage are correlated with differences in net selling by non resident investors relative to resident investors

population dependency rates and savings rates stability of estimates challenging the notion that increasing dependency rates lower the national savings rate in developing countries this study explored the stability of dependency effects over time while holding constant the sample of countries in an attempt to examine the link between the two rates specifically researchers estimated savings rate equations for 1975 1980 and 1985 and looked at regionally differential effects of dependency ratios on the national savings rate these equations were estimated separately for each year for developing countries in africa latin america and asia the model structure proved generally unstable for the years between 1975 and 1980 and for countries in africa and latin america between 1975 and 1985 the savings model structure was significantly different across each region for each of the 3 years examined as population variables on savings rates varied among developing countries depending on their geographical location results concurred with findings from earlier research suggesting the impact country composition included in the estimation has upon study results broadly speaking however dependency rate effects did not significantly change over time no strong evidence was produced to support generalizations that increasing dependency rates lower the national savings rate data sources and savings equations and variables are discussed in the report

on the effects of barriers to international investment a simple model is presented in which it is costly for domestic investors to hold foreign assets the implications of the model for the composition of optimal portfolios at home and abroad are derived it is shown that all foreign assets with a beta larger than some beta plot on either one of two security market lines some foreign assets with a beta smaller than are not held by domestic investors even if their expected return is increased slightly while it is obviously not true that asset markets are completely segmented between countries there is evidence of barriers to international investment although reality seems to lie in that grey area between complete segmentation and no segmentation at all most international asset pricing models are concerned with the extreme case of no barriers to international investment no effort seems to have been made to study the effect on portfolio choice of such barriers which make it costly to hold foreign securities as opposed to domestic securities but which do not in general render international diversification so onerous that investors avoid foreign securities completely casual empiricism suggests that models without barriers to international investment should be suspect those models cannot explain why it appears that in every country investors on average hold more domestic securities than would be required if they held the world market portfolio 2 this paper constructs a model of international asset pricing in which there is a cost associated with holding either long or short risky foreign securities for the sake of simplicity in most of the paper we assume that while domestic investors face barriers to international investment foreign investors face no such barriers it turns out that nothing significant is lost with such an assumption the main conclusions of this paper for the case in which foreign investors face no barriers to international investment are 1 in the presence of barriers to international investment some risky foreign

daily cross border equity flows pushed or pulled we investigate the conditions under which an intertemporal equilibrium model based on investors portfolio decisions can explain the dynamics of high frequency equity flows our model shows that w

moral hazard and secured lending in an infinitely repeated credit market game we analyze repeated moral hazard with discounting in a competitive credit market with risk neutrality even without learning or risk aversion long term bank borrower relationships are welfare enhancing the main result is that the borrower obtains an infinite sequence of unsecured loans at below spot market cost following the first good project realization this contract produces first best action choices prior to this stage the borrower gets secured loans with above market borrowing cost the optimal contract thus displays a selective memory feature taking only one of two forms at any given point in time depending on prior history we consider an infinitely repeated bank borrower relationship with moral hazard and universal risk neutrality and explore the ramifications of credit contract duration when the two well known benefits of long term contracting learning and improved risk sharing are absent our objectives are twofold the first is to analyze an infinitely repeated game with discounting in a credit market context we thus relate the theory of repeated games to financial intermediation theory particularly to issues of moral hazard and collateral related distortions the second objective is to understand noteworthy stylized facts of credit markets such as durability in credit relationships lower borrowing costs for established borrowers and unsecured loans for established borrowers versus secured loans for newer borrowers while these practices may be partly due to learning we show that learning is not essential to rationalize them even if information decays rapidly and banks learn nothing about borrowers through time these aspects of credit contracting arise in a repeated game context our main results are as follows first despite universal risk neutrality and the absence of learning a durable bank relationship benefits the borrower 2 the intuition is that the long term contracting permitted by a durable relationship enables the bank to efficiently tax and subsidize the borrower through time to reduce the use of costly collateral second the average welfare loss due to moral hazard per period is positive even as the time horizon goes to infinity third the optimal infinite horizon contract has the striking property that following the period

repatriation of debt in the euro crisis with the beginning of the euro crisis the long standing trend of european financial integration reversed investors unwound cross border positions of debt obligations and increased holdings of locally issued debt in other words debt obligations were repatriated we use data on bank portfolios to document three new empirical regularities of the financial disintegration i repatriation affected mainly debt of crisis countries ii repatriation affected mainly public debt iii the public debt of crisis countries that was not repatriated was reallocated to large and politically influential countries within the euro area we read these results in light of standard theories of cross border portfolio allocation and argue that the sum of these patterns constitutes evidence for the secondary market theory of public debt

equity home bias a review essay this paper reviews the relatively more recent literature on equity home bias the empirical finding that people overinvest in domestic stocks relative to the optimal investment portfolio implied by the modern portfolio theory it reviews six broad classes of explanation of this puzzling phenomenon 1 hedging home risks 2 barriers to foreign investments 3 information asymmetries and 4 behavioral factors the consensus is that none of the explanations can account for the full extent of the bias by itself thus the home bias should be explained by a combination of rational and behavioral factors

home bias in open economy financial macroeconomics standard theory would predict that investors hold a well diversified portfolio of equities across the world but despite the process of financial globalization investors still hold a disproportionate share of local equities in their portfolio the equity home bias french and poterba 1991 we review the various explanations of this puzzling phenomenon in the context of recent developments in macroeconomic modelling that have allowed to incorporate sophisticated international portfolio choices in standard two country general equilibrium models we refer to this literature as open economy financial macroeconomics we focus on three broad classes of explanations i hedging motives in frictionless financial markets real exchange rate and non tradable income risk ii asset trade costs in international financial markets such as transaction costs differences in tax treatments between national and foreign assets iii informational frictions and behavioural biases these recent developments raise the need for new portfolio facts beyond the equity home bias and we will present some new evidence on cross border asset holdings across different types of assets equities bonds and bank lending we also present some new micro data on institutional holdings of equity at the fund level these data should inform macroeconomic modelling of the open economy and a growing literature of models of delegated investment

bank interest rates and credit relationships in italy abstract when evaluating the performance of a financial system in supporting the investment activity of the corporate sector a distinction is usually drawn between banking economies and market economies the former being characterized by long term relations between banks and the industrial sector although theoretical studies and empirical results seem to agree that lending relationships increase the available quantity of capital to firms they have little to say on the cost of bank credit it is not clear whether a close relationship with a main bank would allow the borrower to pay a lower interest rate or expose him to a monopolistic rent using a unique data set reporting detailed information on the evolution over time of individual bank borrower relationships in italy we show evidence that a main bank provides credit at a lower cost and that some competition helps to reinforce the commitment between the borrower and the bank

information trade and derivative securities hellwig s 1980 model is used to analyze the value of improving trading opportunities by more frequent trading in the underlying asset or by trading in a derivative asset with multiple trading sessions uninformed investors behave as rational trend followers while more informed investors follow a contrarian strategy as trading becomes continuous pareto efficiency is achieved with trading in an appropriate derivative security pareto efficiency may be achieved in only a single round of trading all derivative claims are then priced on black and scholes 1973 principles and in the absence of further supply shocks no trading will take place in subsequent trading rounds article published by oxford university press on behalf of the society for financial studies in its journal the review of financial studies

information and capital flows the determinants of transactions in financial assets abstract we show that a gravity model explains international transactions in financial assets at least as well as goods trade transactions our results support the hypothesis that informational asymmetries are responsible for the strong negative relationship between asset trade and distance this result is very important for theories of asset trade portfolio adjustments and home bias we strengthen it by investigating the roles of explicit informational variables as well as distance in explaining separately cross border trade in corporate equities corporate bonds and government bonds

the geography of equity listing why do companies list abroad this paper documents aggregate trends in the foreign listings of companies and analyzes their distinctive prelisting characteristics and postlisting performance in 1986 1997 many european companies listed abroad mainly on u s exchanges while the number of u s companies listed in europe decreased european companies that cross list tend to be large and recently privatized firms and expand their foreign sales after listing abroad they differ sharply depending on where they cross list the u s exchanges attract high tech and export oriented companies that expand rapidly without significant leveraging companies cross listing within europe do not grow unusually fast and increase their leverage after cross listing foreign listings are becoming an increasingly important strategic issue for companies and stock exchanges alike as companies become global in their product market and investment strategies direct access to foreign capital markets via an equity listing can yield important benefits at the same time the international integration of capital markets has led to unprecedented levels of competition among stock exchanges in this competitive struggle the winners are the exchanges that manage to attract more foreign listings and the attendant trading volume and business opportunities despite the importance of these issues still little is known about which exchanges succeed in capturing more listings from abroad and why this question is intimately related to a second issue namely which advantages companies expect to get from a foreign listing securing cheap equity capital for new investment allowing controlling shareholders to divest on a liquid market preparing for foreign acquisitions or simply enhancing the compa

the structuring of social finance emerging approaches for supporting environmentally and socially impactful projects abstract although a new landscape of social finance institutions sfis is evolving rapidly in europe the academic literature on the structures of legitimation that characterize the development of social finance has been limited this paper addresses this gap 1 by conceptualizing social finance sf as a pre paradigmatic field where leading sf institutions have spontaneously adopted different investment rationalities and logics to achieve positive social impact through financing and banking activities 2 by discussing dominant institutionalization patterns empirically exploring the institutionalization of sf at the organizational inter organizational and institutional levels a sample of seventeen sf institutions in three european countries i e ireland italy and the uk was examined the analysis highlighted that two forms of sf i e social impact investment and ethical banking guide the institutionalization and paradigm building process these two forms both assume the production of social impact i e impact on society the environment and sustainable development as a distinguishing trait from commercial financial approaches but differ in terms of business models and products and services provided to customers dominant institutionalization patterns reflect the social embeddedness of these institutions the convergence of the two dominant models would be desirable in order to further facilitate the development of social finance as a new paradigm in the financing and banking industry alternative to commercial finance

location matters an examination of trading profits the electronic trading system xetra of the german security exchange provides a unique data source on the equity trades of 756 professional traders located in 23 different cities and eight european countries we explore informational asymmetries across the trader population traders located outside germany in non german speaking cities show lower proprietary trading profit their underperformance is not only statistically significant it is also of economically significant magnitude and occurs for the 11 largest german blue chip stocks we also examine whether a trader location in frankfurt as the financial center or local proximity of the trader to the corporate headquarters of the traded stock or affiliation with a large financial institution results in superior trading performance the data provide no evidence for a financial center advantage or of increasing institutional scale economies in proprietary trading however we find evidence for an information advantage due to corporate headquarters proximity for high frequency intraday trading

differential information and dynamic behavior of stock trading volume this article develops a multiperiod rational expectations model of stock trading in which investors have differential information concerning the underlying value of the stock investors trade competitively in the stock market based on their private information and the information revealed by the market clearing prices as well as other public news we examine how trading volume is related to the information flow in the market and how investors trading reveals their private information article published by oxford university press on behalf of the society for financial studies in its journal the review of financial studies

rational cooperation in the finitely repeated prisoner s dilemma experimental evidence this paper presents experiments designed to examine the sequential equilibrium reputation hypothesis in the finitely repeated prisoner s dilemma the authors test the hypothesis by controlling the subjects ability to build reputations and by manipulating their beliefs that their opponent is irrational or altruistic the responses of subjects strongly support the sequential equilibrium prediction the results also suggest an important role for homemade altruism that is a natural tendency to cooperate that subjects bring to the experiment from the outside the authors find that there may be no difference between the beliefs that an opponent is altruistic and the actual chance it is so copyright 1993 by royal economic society

the dynamics of international equity market expectations this paper develops a noisy rational expectations model of the way in which international investors adjust their expectations of asset payoffs in a given country in response not only to public information signals but also to private information signals whose precision differs across investors the model predicts that the perceptions of investors in one country about the future market returns in another country are related differently to realized past returns depending on their informational disadvantage relative to other investors the greater is that informational disadvantage the greater is the change in perception associated with returns the predictions are confirmed by monthly survey data of institutional money managers investing in developed markets from 1995 to 2000

home bias risk differential and cultural spatial spillover effects abstract this paper aims to uncover the role of heterogeneity and spillover effects of return and risk on home bias associated with common background characteristics of trading countries we adopt a spatial panel model to utilize uniquely created weight matrices and capture the spatial spillover effects of the common background characteristics a modified definition of home bias is used to explore the role of market risks associated with the common characteristics of cross border portfolio flows in an international portfolio balance model using annual panel data of 17 countries spread over three different regions i e asia europe and others for the 2002 2012 period evidence strongly supports our hypothesis that the effects of the return and risk differentials of trading countries on home bias depend on the correlation of each of the common characteristics with return and risk

differences of opinion and international equity markets we develop an international financial market model in which domestic and foreign residents differ in their beliefs about the information content in public signals we determine how informational advantages of domestic investors in the interpretation of home public signals affect equity markets we evaluate the ability of our model to generate four international finance anomalies i the co movement of returns and capital flows ii home equity preference iii the dependence of firm returns on home and foreign factors and iv abnormal returns around foreign firm cross listing in the home market their relationships with empirical differences of opinion proxies are consistent with the model received january 15 2011 editorial decision may 16 2016 by editor geert bekaert

credit relationships evidence from experiments with real bankers relationship banking is a growing area of research indeed relationships are important for lenders to gather information about the creditworthiness of th e borrowers in this paper we contribute to the existing literature by experimentally examining to what extent long term lender borrower relationships allow moral hazard to be mitigated t he originality of our research lies in the introduction of variability in socio demographic ch aracteristics by recruiting real people includin g not only students the typical subject pool but al so bankers from both commercial banking and social lending institutions consistent with previous work we find that the opportunity to engage in bilater al long term relationships notably improves market per formance by mitigating the repayment problem ex post moral hazard nonetheless our results also sugge st that lenders take advantage of their long term situation by increasing their rates as a cons equence borrowers may have an incentive to take more risk to pay back their loan ex ante moral hazard improving information disclosure ameliorates the repayment level but does not incite lenders to offer more credits finally we find that students behavior does not differ significantly in any respe ct from that of the commercial bankers we however report that social bankers exhibit a higher probabi lity of granting a loan to their incumbent borrower s and make fairer credit offers to borrowers than the two other subject pools do