the effects of prevailing wage requirements on the cost of low income housing recent california legislation extends the application of prevailing wage regulations to construction workers building subsidized low income residential projects econometric evidence based on micro data covering 205 residential projects subsidized by the california low income housing tax credit since 1996 and completed by mid 2002 demonstrates that construction costs increased substantially under prevailing wage requirements estimates of additional construction costs in the authors most extensive models range from 9 to 37 the analysis controls for variations in cost by geographical location and for differences in project characteristics financing and developer attributes the authors estimate the effect of uniform imposition of these regulations on the number of new dwellings for low income households produced under the tax credit program in california under reasonable assumptions the mid range estimate of the prospective decrease exceeds 3 100 units per year

are optimal emissions really optimal four critical issues for economists in the greenhouse although the greenhouse effect is by many considered as one of the most serious environmental problems several economic studies of the greenhouse effect most notably nordhaus s dice model suggest that it is optimal to allow the emissions of greenhouse gases ghg to increase by a factor of three over the next century other studies have found that substantial reductions can be justified on economic grounds this paper explores into the reasons for these differences and identifies four partly overlapping crucial issues that have to be dealt with when analysing the economics of the greenhouse effect low probability but catastrophic events cost evaluation methods the choice of discount rate the choice of decision criterion the paper shows that i these aspects are crucial for the policy conclusions drawn from models of the economics of climate change and that ii ethical choices have to be made for each of these issues this fact needs wider recognition since economics is very often perceived as a value neutral tool that can be used to provide policy makers with optimal policies

the davis bacon act an appraisal of recent studies the intensified controversy in recent years over the davis bacon act which requires the payment of prevailing wages on federally funded construction projects has resulted in several new studies of the effects of that act this invited paper reviews the evidence presented in these recent studies on several aspects of the act including how davis bacon wage determinations compare to local construction wages as measured by sources other than the act s administrators the effects of lags in the act s data gathering process and the savings that would result from calculating the prevailing rate as the arithmetic mean of local wages instead of the current use of the modal rate in most cases the authors conclude that although the cost studies to date have been faulty in several respects it is reasonably clear that davis bacon is unattractive on grounds of economic efficiency alone the question remains however whether these efficiency costs are offset partially or wholly by the possible equity benefits o

organized labor and racial wage inequality in the united states why have african american private sector unionization rates surpassed those of white workers for decades and how has private sector union decline exacerbated black white wage inequality using data from the current population survey 1973 2007 the authors show that african americans join unions for protection against discriminatory treatment in nonunion sectors a model predicted wage series also shows that among women black white weekly wage gaps would be between 13 and 30 lower if union representation remained at high levels the effect of deunionization on racial wage inequality for men is less substantial but without deunionization weekly wages for black men would be an estimated 49 higher the results recast organized labor as an institution vital for its economic inclusion of african american men and women this study points to the need to move beyond class based analyses of union decline to an understanding of the gendered role unions once played in mitigating racial inequality

the effect of unions on the structure of wages a longitudinal analysis this paper studies the effects of unions on the structure of wages using an estimation technique that explicitly accounts for misclassification errors in reported union status and potential correlations between union status and unobserved productivity the econometric model is estimated separately for five skill groups using a large panel data set formed from the u s current population survey the results suggest that unions raise wages more for workers with lower levels of observed skills in addition the patterns of selection bias differ by skill group among workers with lower levels of observed skill unionized workers are positively selected whereas union workers are negatively selected from among those with higher levels of observed skill despite a large and sophisticated literature there is still substantial disagreement over the extent to which differences in the structure of wages between union and nonunion workers represent an effect of trade unions rather than a consequence of the nonrandom selection of unionized workers over the past decade several alternative approaches have been developed to control for unobserved heterogeneity between union and nonunion workers 2 one method that has been successfully applied in other areas of applied microeconometrics is the use of longitudinal data to measure the wage gains or losses of workers who change union status unfortunately longitudinal estimators are highly sensitive to measurement error even a small fraction of misclassified union status changes can lead to significant biases if the true rate of mobility between union and nonunion jobs is low this sensitivity led lewis 1986 to essentially dismiss the longitudinal evidence in his landmark survey of union wage effects in this paper i present some new evidence on the union wage effect based on a longitudinal estimator that explicitly accounts for misclassification errors in reported union status the estimator uses external information on union status misclassification rates along with the reduced form coefficients from a multi variate regression of wages on the observed sequence of union status indicators to isolate the causal effect of unions from any selection biases introduced by a correlation between union status and the permanent component of unobserved wage heterogeneity recognizing that unions may raise wages more or less for

what went wrong the erosion of relative earnings and employment among young black men in the 1980s this paper shows a widening in black white earnings and employment gaps among young men from the mid 1970s through the 1980s earnings gaps increased most among college graduates and in the midwest while gaps in employment population rates grew most among dropouts we attribute the differential widening to shifts in demand for subgroups due to shifting industry and regional employment the falling real minimum wage and deunionization the growing supply of black to white workers that was marked among college graduates and to increased crime among dropouts the different factors affecting subgroups highlight the economic diversity of black americans

the control of managerial discretion evidence from unionization s impact on employment segregation does limiting managers discretion limit organizations scope for discrimination social psychological research argues that it limits opportunities to exercise cognitive biases organizational research has found that formal personnel practices that establish accountability for workplace diversity have increased women and minority representation in management however drawing causal inferences from such studies is complicated because adopting such policies may be endogenous to the firm s wish to hire and promote women and minorities this study uses unionization elections to conduct a regression discontinuity test from which stronger causal inferences can be made it finds that while unionization is associated with more representative workplaces and more women and minorities in management these effects disappear close to the discontinuity threshold most of the effects of unionization on workforce diversity may be attributable to the unobserved drivers of selection into unionization this has similar imp

sustainability and the intergenerational distribution of natural resource entitlements abstract the paper describes an olg economy with a single exhaustible resource that has amenity value the steady states of this economy form a continuum implying path dependency we compare three policy scenarios first a zero extraction policy of enforced conservation that avoids environmental degradation possibly at the expense of intertemporal efficiency second a grandfathering policy that endows the present generations with all resources and that ensures efficiency but cannot prevent a persistent decline in lifetime utility from one generation to the next third a trust fund policy where future generations receive claims for the natural resource of the three only the trust fund ensures efficiency and protects welfare of all generations

towards an operational sustainability criterion abstract this paper examines the concept of sustainability and its implications for environmental policy analysis it builds on the premise that present society holds a moral obligation to pass on a world of undiminished life opportunities to members of future generations maintaining life opportunities in turn can be achieved by maintaining or improving a diverse set of resources and capabilities that support a person s freedom to define and pursue her own conception of the good life on an operational level this framework points to the following guideline for environmental policy protecting the rights of future generations requires either the conservation of environmental resources or compensatory measures including the provision of substitute technologies that ensure the fair and proportionate sharing of net benefits over intergenerational time scales in this framework resource depletion is permissible only if with reasonable certainty it would generate a pareto improvement relative to a baseline scenario involving strict resource conservation

an empirical analysis of entrant and incumbent bidding in road construction auctions this paper explores differences in the bidding patterns of entrants and incumbents in road construction auctions we find that entrants bid more aggressively and win auctions with significantly lower bids than incumbents the differences in their bidding patterns are consistent with a model of auctions in which the distribution of an entrant s costs exhibits greater dispersion than that of an incumbent s and relations of stochastic dominance in the distributions do not persist for the entire range of estimated costs we also find that more efficient firms bid on average more aggressively and firms with greater backlogs bid less aggressively

do unionized firms hire better workers i introduction many economists firmly believe that union firms offset higher union wages by hiring better workers the contrasting view that union employers react to higher union wages by hiring poorer quality workers is regarded as impossible 1 yet this contrasting view is highly plausible in the context of standard economic modeling and with what is known about labor markets there is evidence supporting this view the standard story for unionized firms hiring better workers goes like this a union raises wages and the firm foils the union by hiring better quality workers the problem with this myopic story is that it ignores what happens in the future it assumes that unions will sit idly by and let union firms whittle away any union wage differential by hiring better quality workers i would argue that it is more likely that unions would respond to better quality workers by raising wages even more employers anticipating this may respond by hiring lower quality workers this article is the first to consider how unionized firms choose worker quality when they anticipate the future consequences of quality on wages under reasonable conditions these consequences cause employers to hire lower quality workers while i do not contend this always occurs i do argue that there are reasonable grounds for rejecting the better quality proposition in addition there is evidence that unionization often does result in lower quality workers the results presented here suggest that economists should look again at how unions affect wages productivity equality and society this is not the first paper to suggest unions lead to lower quality workers it is however the first to suggest this result is due to employers making profit maximizing decisions when they anticipate the future consequences of their actions there are two other articles that also suggest unions can lead to lower quality workers first robinson 1989 assumes that unionized employers do want higher quality workers but do not hire them because nonunion firms pay them more as the nonunion firms are assumed to have better monitoring technology and a more flexible reward system second bronars and lott 1989 show that unions that seek the maximum dues will want poorer quality workers while these models focus on factors that may prove to be important the model presented here is theoretically more forceful first it is based upon standard economic modeling second using ochkam s razor it assumes the least added factors and finally its central assumption that people anticipate the future has a large body of economic evidence behind it by demonstrating that the better quality proposition is not supported by conventional economic analysis this article shows the better quality proposition should not be given a greater weight in the priors of economists having done this these other models then should and hopefully will be examined more closely ii the case for unions leading to better quality workers in discussing the wage gap between union and nonunion workers h gregg lewis 1986 46 concisely presents the case that union firms select better workers i have strong priors on the direction of the selectivity bias let a union through collective bargaining impose on an employer higher wages for his workers than he otherwise would pay them with worker quality not tightly specified in the collective bargaining agreement the higher wages will lengthen the queue of the applicants for the unionized jobs including some applicants of greater productiveness than otherwise would have applied the employer has an incentive to evade the increase in his labor costs by employing workers of greater quality the evasion will take time and will be impeded by the cost of screening workers imperfect substitution in production among worker quality and employment constraints in the collective bargaining agreements

what explains wage differences between union members and covered nonmembers an individual covered by a collective bargaining agreement but who is not a union member is estimated to earn about 13 lower wages than a union member sectors with relatively few covered nonmembers are associated with a large coverage differential while sectors with high proportions of covered nonmembers are associated with small differentials this suggests freeriders either weaken the bargaining position of the union or weak bargaining positions increase the incentive to freeride only a modest amount of this differential is accounted for by unmeasured ability the probationary period associated with newly hired union workers or union status misclassification

bidding behavior in a repeated procurement auction a summary abstract this paper considers bidding behavior in a repeated procurement auction setting we study highway procurement data for the state of california between december 1994 and october 1998 we consider a dynamic bidding model that takes into account the presence of intertemporal constraints such as capacity constraints we estimate the model non parametrically and assess the presence of dynamic constraints in bidding

underpaid or overpaid wage analysis for nurses using job and worker attributes the nursing labor market presents an apparent puzzle hospitals report chronic shortages yet standard wage analysis shows that nursing wages have increased over time and greatly exceed those received by other college educated women this paper addresses this puzzle data from the current population survey cps are matched with detailed job content descriptors from the occupational information network o net nursing jobs require higher levels of skills and more difficult working conditions than do jobs for other college educated workers a standard cps only wage regression shows a registered nurse rn wage advantage of 22 log points compared to a pooled male female group of college educated workers control for o net job attributes reduces the rn gap to 08 while an arguably preferable nonparametric estimator produces a wage gap estimate close to zero we conclude that nurses receive compensation close to long run opportunity costs narrowing if not resolving the rn wage shortage puzzle

prevailing wage laws and construction labor markets prevailing wage laws which require that construction workers employed by private contractors on public projects be paid wages and benefits at least equal to those prevailing for similar work in or near the locality in which the project is located have been the focus of an extensive policy debate the authors analyzing current population survey data and census data find that the relative wages of construction workers decline slightly after the repeal of a state prevailing wage law however the small overall impact of law repeal masks substantial differences in outcomes for different groups of construction employees repeal is associated with a sizable reduction in the union wage premium and an appreciable narrowing of the black non black wage differential for construction workers

job queues and the union status of workers this paper develops a model of the determination of the union status of workers that allows for the possibility of queuing for union jobs the empirical results derived using a sample from the university of michigan panel study of income dynamics are supportive of the queuing hypothesis the no queue model can be rejected using a likelihood ratio test this suggests that a simple probit or logit model for union status is misspecified because it is not based on any consistent behavioral theory an important implication of the model is that because most new entrants to the labor market prefer union jobs but cannot get them and because accrual of nonunion seniority makes workers progressively less likely to desire union jobs the union status of workers is largely determined by their success in being selected from the queue early in their working life

why do part time workers earn less the role of worker and job skills part time workers receive considerably lower hourly earnings than do full time workers using current population survey earnings files for september 1995 through december 2002 the author finds that measurable worker and job characteristics including occupational skill requirements account for much of the part time penalty longitudinal analysis of the data indicates that much of the remaining gap reflects worker heterogeneity evidenced by small wage gains and losses among workers switching between part time and full time jobs the lower skills of part time than full time workers result primarily from limited work experience and accumulation of human capital little evidence can be found of a large wage gap between part time and full time women a part time wage penalty is found for men but men account for less than one third of total part time employment

global warming discounting is not the issue but substitutability is the cost benefit study of nordhaus 1994 is representative for the neoclassical approach towards global warming nordhaus found that no substantial emission cuts are warranted most of his critics have concentrated on the issue of discounting and demanded that a lower discount rate should be applied these criticisms first miss the point and second lead to ethically dubious inconsistent conclusions and inefficient policy choices they miss the point because the real problem of nordhaus s methodology is his implicit underlying assumption of perfect substitutability between natural and other forms of capital given the validity of this assumption lowering the rate of discount is inconsistent with current savings behaviour is ethically dubious because future generations will be much richer than the current one anyway and is inefficient because scarce financial resources are channelled into emissions abatement that exhibits rates of return far inferior to alternative public investments any call for aggressive emission abatement must therefore directly attack the perfect substitutability assumption of neoclassical economics the real disagreement is about whether consumption growth can compensate for environmental degradation caused by global warming discounting is not the issue but substitutability is

discounting and distributional considerations in the context of global warming the economics of global warming is reviewed with special emphasis on how the cost depends on the discount rate and on how costs in poor and rich regions are aggregated into a global cost estimate both of these factors depend on the assumptions made concerning the underlying utility and welfare functions it is common to aggregate welfare gains and losses across generations and countries as if the utility of money were constant but it is not if we assume that a e co2 equivalent dlubling implies costs equal to 1 5 of the income in both high and low income countries a pure rate of time preference equal to zero and a utility function which is logarithmic in income then the marginal cost of co2 emissions is estimated at 260 590 usd ton c for a time horizon in the range 300 1000 years an estimate which is large enough to justify significant reductions of co2 emissions on purely economic grounds the estimate is approximately 50 100 times larger than the estimate made by nordhaus in his dice model and the difference is almost completely due to the choice of discount rate and the weight given to the costs in the developing world as well as a more accurate model of the carbon cycle finally the sensitivity of the marginal cost estimate with respect to several parameters is analyzed

zero discounting can compensate future generations for climate damage abstract in cost benefit analysis of climate policy there are two main approaches to discounting each with implications conflicting with our moral intuitions thus discounted utilitarianism implies that we hardly need to protect future generations against climate change while classical utilitarianism implies that we should reduce our consumption across the board to benefit future generations the insolubility of the debate derives from the fact that both classical and discounted utilitarianism permit only a single discount rate for all consequences occurring in the same future year while our intuitions clearly do distinguish between consequences depending on whether we cause adverse effects on other people s interests and violate their rights most people share the moral intuition that we ought to refrain from harming others and ought to compensate them if we were unable to prevent harm to regain a reflective equilibrium between such deontological intuitions and economic theory there is a need to accept different discount rates for different situations a zero consumption discount rate in the case of cost benefit analysis of measures to prevent wrongful harm to future generations and standard discounting in all other cases applying a zero consumption discount rate means that future generations are automatically largely compensated for climate damage that remains unmitigated

the joint determination of union status and union wage effects some tests of alternative models the problems of estimation and interpretation of union wage differentials are examined the properties of cross section and longitudinal estimators are compared estimates are presented and those in the literature summarized conflicting results are obtained longitudinal estimators typically produce results smaller than those of ols while cross section methods instrumental variables or inverse mills ratio raise the estimate the paper offers a reconciliation of these results it supports a more optimistic conclusion than that reached in reviews by freeman and lewis who argued that little has been learned from attempts to deal with the endogeneity issue comparisons between estimators are used to throw light on the process governing union status and to suggest interpretations of union differentials consistent with the current evidence

the structure of disadvantage individual and occupational determinants of the black white wage gap this study is motivated by the idea that the racial gap in earnings is generated not only by individual differences but also by systematic variation in the occupational structure that attenuates or exacerbates the effects of race using data from the 1990 census and the dictionary of occupational titles a hierarchical linear modeling approach is employed that allows the simultaneous exploration of the mechanisms of income inequality operating both within and between occupations among private sector employees striking evidence shows that racial disparities increase in both absolute and percentage terms as one moves up the occupational earnings hierarchy the association between average occupational earnings and within occupation racial disadvantage reveals an overlooked source of racial earnings inequality which constrains the opportunities available to upwardly mobile black men in the private sector this association cannot be explained by measured individual characteristics or by the status demographic composition or skill demands of occupations in the public sector on the other hand racial inequality in earnings is not systematically associated with average occupational earnings and is instead more closely tied to individual human capital and occupational placement the implications of these results are considered and directions for future research are suggested

intergenerational discounting a new intuitive approach abstract this paper proposes a new intergenerational discounting approach for computing net benefits from the use of environmental resources the approach explicitly incorporates the perspectives of both the current and future generations as argued for by pigou pigou a c 1920 the economics of welfare 1952 4th edition london macmillan and ramsey ramsey f p 1928 a mathematical theory of saving econ j 38 543 559 and required by most national and international laws related to the use of these resources an equation for use in the calculation of net discounted benefits is developed which provides a middle position whereby both the reality of personal discounting and that of social discounting are included in a social welfare function

research frontiers in the economics of climate change academic and policy debates over climate change risks and policies have stimulated economic research in a variety of fields in this article i briefly discuss eight overlapping areas of current research in which further effort is particularly warranted these areas include decision criteria for policy risk assessment and adaptation uncertainty and learning abatement cost and the innovation and diffusion of technology and the credibility of policies and international agreements further analysis in these areas not only will advance academic understanding but also will provide insights of considerable importance to policymakers

unionism and wages a longitudinal analysis the impact of unionism on relative wage rates is a topic of long standing interest in labor economics over the years researchers have used a variety of approaches to estimate the wage advantage associated with union membership initially researchers compared the average wages of union and nonunion workers in specific sectors such as an industry this approach has the obvious limitation of not accounting very well for the various quality or productivity differences that exist among workers differences that command compensating wage payments more recent studies have used cross section wage regressions to control for these other determinants of wages and thereby improve estimates of the union wage effect using large microeconomic data files containing detailed information on characteristics of individual workers numerous studies have estimated wage regressions that include controls for worker characteristics education experience etc and a dichotomous variable indicating union membership status as explanatory variables 2 the coefficient of the union membership variable in these regressions is taken as an estimate of the average impact that unionism has on wage rates controlling for measured differences in characteristics among workers unfortunately the wage regression approach does not completely resolve the problem of standardizing the union nonunion wage comparison for differences in worker quality even with detailed microdata on the characteristics of individual workers it is simply not possible to specify a set of variables that completely captures all worker specific differences in productive ability some aspects of human capital are too subtle to be operationally specified and included in a wage regression although they are recognized and paid for by employers to the extent that these unmeasured worker specific differences are correlated with union membership the wage regression will incorrectly attribute a relative wage impact to unionism 3 an alternative measurement approach that has several advantages over the wage regression is to compare the wage received by the same worker as a union and nonunion member in the past data limitations have prevented researchers from making such a comparison since only a small portion of workers change union status in a given period an unusually large longitudinal file is needed to yield a sufficient number of observed changes for a meaningful analysis 4 recently however large longitudinal data files on individuals participating in the current population survey have become available this paper uses these data to estimate the impact a change in union status has on the worker s wage the

new estimates of union wage effects in the u s abstract we present new estimates for union wage effects using a unique dataset with information on job skill requirements we find the union wage premium to be smaller at higher skill levels consistent with the view that unions work to decrease skill differentials

racial diversity and union organizing in the united states 1999 2008 does racial diversity make forming a union harder case studies offer conflicting answers and little large scale research on the question exists most quantitative research on race and unionization has studied trends in membership rather than the outcome of specific organizing drives and has assumed that the main problem is mistrust between workers and unions paying less attention for example to the role of employers the author explores the role of racial and ethnic diversity in the outcomes of nearly 7 000 organizing drives launched between 1999 and 2008 by matching the national labor relations board s information on union activity with the equal employment opportunity commission s surveys of large establishments the author reconstructs the demographic composition of the work groups involved in each mobilization the study finds that more diverse establishments are less likely to see successful organizing attempts little evidence is found however that this is because workers are less interested

unions norms and the rise in u s wage inequality from 1973 to 2007 private sector union membership in the united states declined from 34 to 8 percent for men and from 16 to 6 percent for women during this period inequality in hourly wages increased by over 40 percent we report a decomposition relating rising inequality to the union wage distribution s shrinking weight we argue that unions helped institutionalize norms of equity reducing the dispersion of nonunion wages in highly unionized regions and industries accounting for unions effect on union and nonunion wages suggests that the decline of organized labor explains a fifth to a third of the growth in inequality an effect comparable to the growing stratification of wages by education

the interindustry structure of unionism earnings and earnings dispersion this study examines the relationship between unionism and earnings dispersion within u s manufacturing and nonmanufacturing industries the author hypothesizes not only that unionism narrows earnings dispersion as others have shown but also that the dispersion in earnings reflecting the degree of worker homogeneity influences the level of unionism estimation of a three equation model using 1970 three digit industry data provides evidence regarding the simultaneous determination of unionism earnings and earnings dispersion within u s industries the estimated equalizing effects of unionism on within industry earnings distributions are found to be significant both in the manufacturing and nonmanufacturing sectors the size of these estimates increasing after accounting for simultaneity in addition the dispersion in earnings does appear to affect the level of unionism although the evidence on this point is ambiguous

revisiting union wage and job loss effects using the displaced worker surveys estimates of union wage effects have been challenged by concerns regarding unobserved worker heterogeneity and endogenous job changes many economists believe that union wage premiums lead to busin

reassessing the government s discount rate policy in light of new theory and data in a world economy with a high degree of capital mobility abstract the paper reexamines the government s discount rate policy in the context of new evidence on international capital mobility the relationship between deficits and interest rates the relationship between consumer interest rates and the consumer s rate of time preference and intergenerational compensation it concludes that the approximate discount rate for government decisions will differ depending on the policy problem and that the government s borrowing rate is appropriate in some cases and in others the private rate should be used for long term policies the benefit cost rationale for discounting breaks down and must be reestablished on principles incorporating intergenerational equity

estimation and testing of the union wage effect using panel data we present estimates of the union wage effect controlling for unmeasured individual effects and subject the conventional fixed effects model to specification tests for psid men the union wage effect is 5 8 after controlling for person effects as opposed to 20 in cross section omnibus tests based on an unrestricted reduced form and instrumental variables tests based on differencing are consistent with conventional models tests based on comparing those who enter and leave union coverage provide evidence against the usual model we find evidence for interactions between union status and other variables even after controlling for person effects

racial wage inequality job segregation and devaluation across u s labor markets1 despite decades of research showing greater black white inequality in local areas where the black population is relatively large little is known about the mechanisms for this effect using a unique data set of individuals nested within jobs across labor markets this article tests two possible mechanisms for the black concentration effect on wage inequality job segregation and devaluation results show that black population size is associated with greater segregation of black workers into black dominated jobs on the other hand no evidence is found that the penalty for working in a black dominated job the devaluation effect increases as a function of black population size the article concludes that discrimination against workers especially exclusion from better paying jobs is an important mechanism for the effect of black population size on the racial wage gap

disadvantaged business enterprise goals in government procurement contracting an analysis of bidding behavior and costs programs that encourage the participation of disadvantaged business enterprises dbe as subcontractors have been a part of government procurement auctions for over three decades in this paper we examine the impact of a program that requires prime contractors to subcontract out a portion of a highway procurement project to dbe firms we study how dbe subcontracting requirements affect bidding behavior in federally funded projects within a symmetric independent private value framework we use the equilibrium bidding function to obtain the cost distribution of firms undertaking projects either with or without subcontracting goals we then use nonparametric estimation methods to uncover and compare the cost of firm bidding on a class of asphalt projects related to surface treatment in texas the analysis shows little differences in the cost structure between projects that have subcontracting goals and those that do not

bid preference programs and participation in highway procurement auctions we use data from highway procurement auctions subject to california s small business preference program to study the effect of bid preferences on auction outcomes our analysis is based on an estimated model of firms bidding and participation decisions which allows us to evaluate the effects of current and alternative policy designs we show that incorporating participation responses significantly alters the assessment of preferential treatment policies

living wages protection for or protection from low wage workers living wage laws are touted as anti poverty measures yet they apply to only a small fraction of workers most commonly covering only employers with city contracts the apparent contradiction between broad anti poverty goals and narrow coverage suggests that goals other than poverty reduction may partly underlie living wage campaigns this paper considers the hypothesis that living wage laws act to maintain or increase rents among unionized municipal workers by raising the wages that city contractors would have to pay living wage laws may reduce the incentives for cities to contract out work that would otherwise be done by unionized municipal employees hence increasing the bargaining power of municipal unions and leading to higher wages for their members the evidence presented here from an analysis of cps data for 1996 2000 indicates that the wages of unionized municipal workers are indeed increased as a result of living wage laws covering contractors

a comparison of the cyclical behavior of union and nonunion wages in the united states this paper presents an extensive analysis of the behavior of union and nonunion wages over the business cycle using quasi panels developed from the current population survey in an attempt to resolve or reconcile competing claims about the cyclical behavior of union and nonunion wages union wages were roughly as procyclical as nonunion wages were prior to the early 1980s substantial reductions in union wage procyclicality since then are associated with reductions in the procyclical exercise of bargaining power

unions wages and skills studies uniformly conclude that union wage effects are largest for workers with low measured skills longitudinal analysis using 1989 90 1994 95 cps matched panels produces union premium estimates equivalent across skill groups following appropriate sample restrictions and control for worker specific skills nlsy evidence on aptitude scores confirms that union workers with high measured skills have relatively low unmeasured skills differential selection by skill class and skill homogeneity in union workplaces result from employer and employee sorting in response to wage standardization union organizing where skills are homogeneous and unionized employers reluctance to hire the most as well as least able workers

the union wage effect and ability bias evidence from ireland we use longitudinal data from an irish household survey to measure the union wage premium a subsample in which the worker s payslip was seen by the interviewer is unlikely to have measurement error for the union variable the results support the finding that measurement error leads to a large downward bias in fixed effects estimates of the union effect but indicate that ability bias has a small effect on the average union wage premium

union wage practices and wage dispersion within establishments this study analyzes establishment level data primarily to examine the effect of unionism on the wage structure within establishments the major finding is that within establishment dispersion of wages is significantly narrower in unionized than in nonunionized establishments a pattern the author attributes in large part to unions wage practices such as single rate or automatic progression modes of wage payment as opposed to merit reviews and individual wage determination the data also show that dispersion in average wages is narrower among organized plants but by more modest amounts than the within establishment differential overall the evidence suggests a major role for explicit union wage policies in explaining the dispersion of wages within firms and in the economy as a whole

can union labor ever cost less this paper examines the effect of unions on efficiency by estimating cost function systems over three different sets of construction projects the results show that union contractors have greater economies of scale this gives them a cost advantage in large commercial office buildings but in school and hospital construction nonunion contractors have lower costs at all output levels despite the cost differences profits for nonunion contractors in school and hospital construction are no higher than those for union contractors because the burden of higher union costs is shifted to buyers

sluggish institutions in a dynamic world can unions and industrial competition coexist during the 1930s and 1940s collective bargaining emerged as the workplace governance norm in much of the u s industrial sector following its peak in the 1950s union density in the u s private sector fell steadily to only 7 4 percent in 2006 governance shifted from a formalized union norm to one of constrained managerial discretion in competitive and dynamic economic environments a union tax on company earnings and slow response to economic shocks combine to produce poor performance by union companies two industries automotives and airlines are used to illustrate these points if worker based institutions are to flourish they must add value and permit companies to perform at levels similar to those obtained under evolving nonunion governance norms

why do women have longer durations of unemployment than men in post restructuring urban china this paper provides the first systematic analysis of the reasons why women endure longer unemployment durations than men in post restructuring urban china this analysis is based upon data obtained from a national representative household survey rejecting the view that women are less earnest than men in their desire for re employment this analysis shows that women s job search efforts are handicapped by a lack of access to social networks unequal entitlement to social re employment services higher earnings losses from job separations for women and unfair treatment of women with respect to mandatory retirement

longitudinal analyses of the effects of trade unions but union members are different from nonmembers in unobserved ways biasing your estimates y ou should make a selectivity bias correction simultaneously determine union status and economic outcomes develop an unobservables model use longitudinal data archetypical comment on virtually any study of the economic effects of umomsm or suitably modified on any other empirical subject

transitional dynamics and economic growth in the neoclassical model neoclassical transitional dynamics are a central element of standard macroeconomic theory quantitative experiments with the fixed savings rate models of the 1960s showed lengthy transitions thus potentially rationalizing sustained differences in growth rates across countries the authors investigate quantitative transitional dynamics in various neoclassical models with intertemporally optimizing households lengthy transitions occur only with very low intertemporal substitution generally when one tries to explain sustained economic growth with transitional dynamics there are extremely counterfactual implications these result from the fact that implied marginal products are extraordinarily high in the early stages of development copyright 1993 by american economic association

specifications of social welfare in economic studies of climate policy overview of criteria and related policy insights an important assumption in economic studies of climate policy is the social welfare function this paper shows that applying distinct decision or social welfare criteria can result in different optimal policies of climate control notably if climate change impacts are uncertain first decision criteria in current climate economic studies are reviewed next the most important alternatives are discussed including their mathematical formalization and incorporation in economy climate models most of these alternative criteria suggest more stringent climate policies to be optimal than the standard discounted utilitarianism approach however several important welfare criteria have not or hardly seen any application in the economic analysis of climate policy we conclude that there is clear need for systematic research on this theme for which the current review provides a solid basis

intergenerational equity discounting and the role of cost benefit analysis in evaluating global climate policy when public policies with impacts far into the future are being debated the question inevitably is raised whether cost benefit analysis which discounts future costs and benefits is not biased against future generations and whether if such discounting is appropriate at all a lower rate should be used to avoid such bias the debate on global climate change is no exception this paper sketches and analyses the welfare foundations of cost benefit analysis and from this perspective analyses the role of cost benefit analysis in the climate policy debate particularly with reference to intergenerational effects the paper concludes that the cost benefit criterion cannot provide a definitive basis for deciding whether we should commit to a longer term programme to moderate climate change the issues of intergenerational equity are not that global climate change will significantly lower the gnp of future generations but relate to the possibility of science fiction like changes in the planet that will produce catastrophic effects in the future and the typical way in which the cost benefit problem is posed obscures the basic choices that we should be evaluating

the effect of federal davis bacon and disadvantaged business enterprise regulations on highway maintenance costs the author compares winning bids on state and federal highway maintenance projects in colorado between 2000 and 2011 to determine whether federal prevailing wage and disadvantaged business enterprise regulations are associated with increased construction costs the effect of the davis bacon act is evaluated when average wage rates prevail for almost all workers involved in highway maintenance for most of the period of the study the federal minimum for work completed by disadvantaged businesses is 10 the goal for colorado exceeds this minimum by two to three percentage points summary data indicate that federal projects are more expensive than state projects but projects funded by the federal government are also larger and more complex regression results indicate that with controls for project size and complexity no statistically significant difference is found in the cost of federal and state projects results also indicate that federal regulations are not associated with reduced bid competition a

the impact of industrial and occupational structure on black white employment allocation this research focuses on the factors associated with the differential distribution of black and white men across labor market positions hypotheses concerning the effects of industrial and occupational characteristics are derived using an eclectic approach which draws heavily on the labor market segmentation literature incorporated as it ell are ideas from neoclassical and institutional economics and from the occupational segregation and class approaches in sociology the results raise some intriguing puzzles in terms of the contrasting effects of occupational versus industrial unionization and the opposite signed effects of market power and size overall the results provide a mixed evaluation of both the neoclassical approach and the dual economy approach to the explanation of black white employment differences perhaps the most important result from this research is the demonstration of the existence and form of the systematic patterning of the allocation of blacks and whites to labor market positions net of the influence of their individual wtork related characteristics

sources of racial wage inequality in metropolitan labor markets racial ethnic and gender differences research on racial inequality has become increasingly specialized often focusing on a single explanation and subgroup of the population in a diverse society a broader comparative framework for interpreting the causes of wage inequality for different racial ethnic and gender groups is called for the effects of a range of different factors on the wages of latinos asians and blacks relative to whites and separately for women and men are examined new sources of racial wage inequality are also considered significant differences are found in the sources of wage inequality across race ethnicity and gender differences are generally greater between racial and ethnic groups than between men and women key findings include a large negative effect of immigration on the relative wages of latinos and asians and only a small effect on the relative wages of black women and no effect on black men in contrast the relative wages of blacks remain most affected positively by the presence of manufacturing employment and unions new economy indicators of high skill services and flexible employment conditions play only a secondary role in explaining metropolitan racial wage inequality

match bias in wage gap estimates due to earnings imputation about 30 of workers in the current population survey have earnings imputed wage gap estimates are biased toward zero when the attribute being studied e g union status is not a criterion used to match donors to nonrespondents an expression for match bias is derived in which attenuation equals the sum of match error rates attenuation can be approximated by the proportion with imputed earnings union wage gap estimates with match bias removed are presented for 1973 2001 estimates for recent years are biased downward 5 percentage points bias in gap estimates accompanying other non match criteria public sector industry etc is examined

are bid preferences benign the effect of small business subsidies in highway procurement auctions abstract bid preferences in procurement auctions allow firms from an identifiable group an advantage in bidding against unfavored firms while economic efficiency is expected to fall as a result of bid preferences government procurement costs may either increase or decrease depending on the competitive response of favored and unfavored firms this paper uses data from california auctions for road construction contracts where small businesses receive a 5 percent bid preference in auctions for projects using only state funds and no preferential treatment on projects using federal aid i show that while firms bidding behavior matches theoretical predictions procurement costs are 3 8 percent higher on auctions using preferences the higher procurement cost in preference auctions is attributed to reduced participation by lower cost large firms structural estimates of latent firm costs are then used to evaluate how efficiency and the division of surplus between firms and the government are impacted by bid preferences firm profits are 3 1 percent lower under bid preferences however this is overwhelmed by the efficiency loss due to reduced large firm participation the efficiency loss conditional on firm participation is estimated to represent around 0 1 percent of overall procurement costs including the adverse effect of preferences on the participation of large firms increases the estimated efficiency loss to 3 6 percent which represents 27 cents for each additional dollar awarded to small businesses through the program counterfactual simulations indicate that if participation were instead inelastic to bid preferences the 5 percent bid preference would be close to the optimal level

limits to the value of external costs based on recent insights from the field of risk analysis this paper examines some of the difficulties encountered in attempts to characterise the environmental effects of energy options as monetary externalities more than 20 different dimensions of environmental appraisal are identified and discussed in relation to the historic literature on risk assessment and a number of recent influential environmental valuation studies a survey is conducted of the results obtained over more than a decade for the external environmental costs of electricity supply options theoretical and methodological criticisms are lent support by the finding that environmental valuation results vary over a very wide range of values yielding a variety of rank orderings for the different generating options in addition the values derived for energy externalities are found to be vulnerable to the possible influence of a price imperative the paper concludes by pointing to approaches to the social appraisal of generating technologies which offer greater transparency rigour and accessibility in addressing plural and intrinsically subjective value judgements concerning the different forms and dimensions of environmental effects

how costly is affirmative action government contracting and california s proposition 209 abstract this paper investigates the effect of disadvantaged business enterprise subcontractor goals on the winning bids for highway construction contracts using california s proposition 209 which prohibited the consideration of race or gender in awarding state funded contracts after proposition 209 prices on state funded contracts fell by 5 6 relative to federally funded projects for which preferences still applied most of the price decline after proposition 209 resulted from the mix of subcontractors employed which seems to arise from the higher costs of firms located in high minority areas finally short run barriers to entry and expansion may increase the cost of affirmative action