the effect of changes in reserve requirements on bank stock prices abstract the present study re examines the tax burden effects of reserve requirements on bank profitability it differs from previous work in two ways 1 changes in stock prices rather than accounting data are used to measure profitability effects and 2 emphasis is placed on changes in reserve requirements as opposed to their level regarding the latter distinction two kinds of changes are considered 1 temporary changes in reserve requirements for the purpose of discretionary monetary policy and 2 more permanent changes in reserve requirement levels based on the event study methodology temporary changes were found to have little effect on security prices whereas more permanent changes had a stronger influence on bank stock prices reflecting a tax burden effect

bank incentives economic specialization and financial crises in emerging economies abstract we model the vulnerability of an economy to a financial crisis as arising from the interaction of the degree of economic specialization and bank debt financing the probability of a financial crisis is shown to increase in the degree of economic specialization bank debt financing has the beneficial effect of lowering the degree of economic specialization by increasing access to financing of investment opportunities that would not have been financed due to wealth constraints of entrepreneurs financial access effect however bank debt financing induces risk shifting incentives leverage effect the net effect on the probability of a financial crisis depends on which of these two effects dominates we show that commonly employed mechanisms in managing financial crises particularly bailouts induce an additional agency cost by distorting bank incentives to concentrate loans in specific sectors bank debt concentration effect we propose a tax based ex ante solution mechanism that simultaneously induces optimal investment and eliminates the bank debt concentration effect implementation issues and empirical policy implications are also discussed

foreign ownership and corporate income taxation an empirical evaluation abstract foreign ownership allows countries to effectively export part of their corporate tax burden hence countries with high foreign ownership are expected to impose relatively high corporate taxes the findings of this paper suggest that there indeed is an economically significant positive relationship between foreign ownership and tax burdens in europe already significant foreign ownership levels in europe offer an explanation for the absence of a race to the bottom in corporate tax levels

fiscal paradise foreign tax havens and american business the tax haven affiliates of american corporations account for more than 20 percent of u s foreign direct investment and nearly a third of the foreign profits of u s firms american companies report extraordinarily high profit rates on their tax haven investments in 1982 this behavior implies that the revenue maximizing tax rate for a typical haven is around 5 8 percent american and foreign investment in tax havens has an uncertain effect on u s tax revenue but since low tax rates encourage american companies to shift profits out of high tax foreign countries it is possible that low foreign tax rates ultimately enhance u s tax collections

the determination of foreign banking location abstract in this paper we examine the determinants of foreign bank location we initially present some time series data on the postwar expansion of international banking we show that foreign branching increased very rapidly from about 1960 to the mid 1980s and slowed significantly after 1985 one interpretation of this growth in foreign branching is that it largely paralleled the increase in trade and foreign direct investment although it may also have been encouraged by the improvements in communications and the rapid financial innovation of the 1960s and 1970s to assess the role of trade and foreign direct investment on bank expansion we employ a cross sectional analysis of the pattern of foreign bank offices whereas previous studies have focused on a single parent or host country our study extends the existing literature by analyzing the location of nearly 2000 overseas offices across 37 patent and 82 host countries our results suggest a significant relationship between the pattern of bank location trade and foreign direct investment we define a banking centre as one in which there are more foreign banks than can be explained in terms of real business activity and we show that the usa uk switzerland singapore and indonesia most clearly qualify as banking centres we also provide some evidence for a sample of host countries that the abnormal number of bank offices is related to capital market activities

understanding corporate coherence theory and evidence abstract multiproduct firms are perceived to be coherent in their scope yet there is no strong theoretical foundations to explain coherence in modern industrial organization theory this paper shows that as u s manufacturing firms grow more diverse they maintain a constant level of coherence between neighboring activities this finding runs counter to the idea that firms with many activities are generally more incoherent a framework is then presented which appeals to the nature of enterprise learning path dependencies and the nature of the selection environment to explain the ubiquity of coherent diversifiers

a fractionally cointegrated var analysis of economic voting and political support we use a fractionally cointegrated vector autoregressive model to examine the relationship between canadian political support and macroeconomic conditions this model is well suited for the analysis because it allows multiple fractional time series and admits simple asymptotic inference for the model parameters and tests of the hypotheses of interest in the long run equilibrium we find that support for the progressive conservative party was higher during periods of high interest rates and low unemployment while support for the liberal party was higher during periods of low interest rates and high unemployment we also test and reject the notion that party support is driven only by relative to the united states economic performance indeed our findings suggest that us macroeconomic variables do not enter the long run equilibrium of canadian economic voting political opinion poll support at all resume une application du modele vecteur autoregressif fractionnellement cointegre sur le vote economique et le support politique on utilise un modele du type vecteur autoregressif fractionnellement cointegre pour examiner la relation entre le support politique canadien et les conditions macroeconomiques le modele est bien adapte a l analyse parce qu il permet l usage de multiples series chronologiques fragmentees et une inference asymptotique simple des parametres du modele ainsi que des tests d hypothese pertinents en equilibre a long terme on decouvre que le support pour le parti progressiste conservateur a ete plus eleve au cours des periodes de hauts taux d interet et bas taux de chomage alors que le support pour le parti liberal a ete plus eleve au cours des periodes de bas taux d interet et de hauts taux de chomage on met au test l hypothese qu on rejette d ailleurs que la notion que le support politique est enclenche seulement par la performance economique du canada par rapport a celle des etats unis en fait les resultats suggerent que les variables macroeconomiques americaines n ont pas du tout d impact sur l equilibre a long terme du vote economique canadien support dans les sondages d opinion politique

taxes tariffs and transfer pricing in multinational corporate decision making three interrelated aspects of u s multinational corporation activity are analyzed here the ability to shift profits from high tax countries to low tax countries the impact of host country taxes and tariffs on the distribution of real capital and the influence of these policies on international trade patterns of the united states and host countries the cross sectional empirical analysis indicates that the observed pattern of reported profits in high and low tax countries is consistent with income shifting behavior and that real investment responds to host country effective tax rates and tariffs the united states appears both to import more from and export more to low tax countries where mnc investment is greater but this bilateral focus must be amplified to consider multilateral effects if trade benefits are to be projected copyright 1991 by mit press

utilizing the broader agency perspective for studying headquarters subsidiary relations in multinational companies the nature of global business today increases the complexity of multinational companies and highlights the challenges of managing headquarters subsidiary hq sub relationships we identify key unresolved issues in hq sub relations including closing the gap between headquarters expectations and subsidiary performance managing the nested hierarchical relationships across multiple organizational layers and aligning these relationships across diverse subunits embedded in different social contexts we propose that agency theory particularly its more recent progressions can advance our understanding of these issues and we offer a perspective to guide such research we discuss several research implications of the static bilateral static multilateral dynamic and social and contextual streams of agency theory

the effect of taxes on investment and income shifting to puerto rico the income of puerto rican affiliates of u s corporations is essentially untaxed by either puerto rico or the united states this lowers the tax penalty on investment there and also makes it attractive to shift reported taxable income from the u s parent corporation to the puerto rican affiliate this paper investigates these two interrelated impacts of taxation by developing a structural econometric model of the joint decisions regarding investment and income shifting and estimating the model using firm level data on the activity u s corporations in puerto rico the results suggest that the income shifting advantages are the predominant reason for u s investment in puerto rico

missing miles evasion responses to car taxes abstract we study a tax evasion response to car taxes in finland where used car importers overstate the mileage to reduce tax liability first we develop a tax evasion measure by comparing reported mileage upon import with subsequent information from vehicle inspections and find that a decline in mileage missing miles occurs frequently second we analyze a tax rate increase and observe a reduction in the number of imported used cars but only among non evaders finally we analyze an rct informing some potential importers about a program of inspections that uncovers true odometer readings and the results suggest that third party reporting reduces evasion

estimating the cost of leisure time for recreation demand models abstract in this paper we propose a method of determining the opportunity cost of leisure time with an empirical recreation demand application typically the opportunity cost of leisure time is assumed to be some fraction of the wage rate this practice has limitations first it assumes that individuals can trade time for money at their wage second it offers no guidance about how to value the time of an individual who is not in the labor force this paper proposes a method of determining this cost that does not suffer from these drawbacks an empirical example is provided which demonstrates the proposed approach and contrasts it with commonly applied approaches

debt constrained asset markets we develop a theory of general equilibrium with endogenous debt limits in the form of individual rationality constraints similar to those in the dynamic consistency literature if an agent defaults on a contract he can be excluded from future contingent claims markets trading and can have his assets seized he cannot be excluded from spot markets trading however and he has some private endowments that cannot be seized all information is publicly held and common knowledge and there is a complete set of contingent claims markets since there is complete information an agent cannot enter into a contract in which he would have an incentive to default in some state in general there is only partial insurance variations in consumption may be imperfectly correlated across agents interest rates may be lower than they would be without constraints and equilibria may be pareto ranked

domestic and international determinants of bank profits foreign banks in australia abstract this paper develops and tests a model that integrates the existing multinational bank literature with the domestic bank profits literature using data for australia this paper demonstrates that an integrated model results in a small increase in explanatory power when compared to models drawn solely from the multinational banking literature the paper finds that profits are a negative function of competitor market share and bank licence status and a positive function of australian size and home gdp growth it is argued that there is incomplete integration between the market segments of domestic and multinational banks due to the first mover advantages of incumbent banks

interval estimates of non market resource values from referendum contingent valuation surveys contingent valuation methods cvm have attracted considerable attention in recent years as researchers have begun to resort to survey methods to elicit individual values for non market goods such as environmental resources or public goods cummings brookshire and schulze 1986 and mitchell and carson 1989 offer comprehensive assessments of these methods cvm survey questions come in a variety of forms one format which has proven to be popular is called the discrete choice or take it or leave it referendum or closedended question originally implemented in the literature by bishop and heberlein 1979 since respondents find it very difficult to identify precisely their true point value of access to some resource or public good open ended valuation questions can be unreliable or can discourage response in contrast most people are familiar with being confronted by a posted price for a good and with deciding whether or not they would buy at that price this is the strategy behind discrete choice cvm questions a different hypothetical price is offered to each respondent and by their yes no response to the question of whether they would be willing to pay this price the researcher gains information about their true underlying point value one persistent difficulty with the econometric techniques that are currently used most widely to analyze referendum contingent valuation data is the absence of confidence intervals for the ultimate value estimates early empirical applications approximate mean valuations using a truncated mean based on a logit model with the upper limit being the highest bid value in the sample unfortunately the variance of this estimated mean cannot easily be recovered from the numerical integration procedure commonly used to calculate the

zombie lending and depressed restructuring in japan this paper explores the role that misdirected bank lending played in prolonging the japanese macroeconomic stagnation that began in the early 1990s the investigation focuses on the wide spread practice of japanese banks of continuing to lend to otherwise insolvent firms we docu ment the prevalence of this forbearance lending and show its distorting effects on healthy firms that were competing with the impaired firms the paper by hoshi 2000 was the first to call attention to this phenomenon and its ramifi

valuation of the operating flexibility of multinational corporations the returns to multinationality are estimated as the value of operating flexibility empirical measures of the return of multinationality require a precise specification of the extensiveness of the mnc s transnational network to measure the degree of multinationality this precise empirically grounded definition of multinationality has been absent from the academic literature to date we address this omission and we find that two characteristics of the transnational network its breadth number of foreign countries in which the mnc has operations and depth the concentration of foreign subsidiaries in a few countries are significant in explaining the value of operating flexibility in particular we find that the returns to multinationality are maximized for firms with networks that have breadth but not depth the role of market intangibles such as r d and advertising on mnc market valuation is shown to depend on the flexibility regime

substitution effects in the valuation of multiple environmental programs abstract a theoretical framework for understanding substitution and complementary effects between environmental programs is derived a multiple program valuation function is specified and its structure analyzed a maximum likelihood estimator is derived to estimate the parameters of the valuation function using referendum type contingent valuation data the empirical analysis shows that the conventional benefit aggregation approach of independent valuation and summation overstates the benefits of two and three program policies by an average of 24 and 54 respectively

unemployment hysteresis in canada an approach based on long memory time series models long memory univariate time series models known as arfima are applied to measure shock persistence for canada and the usa both output and unemployment exhibit higher persistence in canada than in the usa the finding that the rate of unemployment in canada exhibits high shock persistence supports the notion of hysteresis in unemployment the analysis of disaggregated canadian unemployment rates indicates that hysteresis is most pronounced for adult male workers the same class of models is used to obtain a generalization of the beveridge nelson decomposition of time series into a permanent and a cyclical component the permanent component of the canadian unemployment rate exhibits a kink in the early 1970s

the decision to establish a foreign bank branch or subsidiary an application of binary classification procedures this paper has two purposes first we model a key decision for inter national banks using data on the foreign direct investment fdi behavior of foreign banks in japan and california second we examine the utility of linear discriminant analysis and maximum likelihood logit analysis as statistical techniques for relating a qualitative dependent variable to a vector of inde pendent variables we apply these techniques to the decision by parent banks as to whether or not to have a subsidiary branch in california japan we treat the deci sion as a binary choice based on a consideration of various relevant factors the population for each of the countries consists of those foreign to the host country banks that already have a presence in the country the research ques tion then becomes given that a foreign bank is in the country does the extent of the parent bank s experience internationally and in the host country affect the probability that it will deepen its presence the choice of statis tical tools by which to examine this question gives rise to our methodological concerns

tourists preferences for congestion residents welfare and the ecosystems in a national park the management of national parks and natural areas often faces a balance between the residents welfare the tourist activity and the pressure on ecosystems this paper assesses the benefits for a set of policies designed to address tourist congestion the increase in the welfare of the local populations and the improvements in the ecosystem services coral reefs mangroves dry forests and coastal and sandy ecosystems we utilize a discrete choice experiment approach with the consideration of potential heterogeneity results show that there are three segments of visitors with different preferences for the proposed policies those tourists with higher values for the environmental policies and welfare of the local communities also share a preference for a lower level of congestion at the natural areas the results have implications for managing natural areas at tourist destinations

segmented trends and non stationary time series since the influential work of charles r nelson and charles plosser 1982 many empirical studies have concluded that macroeconomic time series are difference stationary this paper proposes the segmented trend model as an alternative in which the series is the sum of a nonstationary trend and a stationary cycle and where the trend shows infrequent shifts the paper proposes tests between the difference stationary and segmented trends models and applies these to the data of nelson and plosser in general the results indicate that prices are difference stationary but quantities follow segmented trend processes copyright 1989 by royal economic society

competition economies of scale and diversity of firm sizes this paper presents an empirical example in which small firms are able to compete by specializing without monopolistic conduct despite economies of scale the viability of small commercial banks in illinois is established both by casual observation and by a finding of constant returns to scale not correcting for specialization a second specification of the cost function correcting for specialization exhibits economies of scale suggesting that specialization is the means by which small banks survive monopoly conduct is ruled out by a rosse panzar test rejecting the alternative hypothesis that monopoly power has allowed inefficient banks to survive

subsidiary expansion contraction during times of economic crisis this paper compares two real options within country growth and across country operational flexibility to examine subsidiary expansion contraction during times of economic crisis specifically we examine how the real options orientations of individual subsidiaries interact with the general characteristics of multinational enterprise networks our main findings are that a economic crises can be detrimental for subsidiaries with stronger within country orientations and advantageous for those with stronger across country orientations and b network characteristics are not the sole determinants of subsidiary expansion contraction what really matters is how the real options orientations of individual subsidiaries mesh with the overall characteristics of the network they belong to

protectionism and international banking sectorial efficiency competitive structure and national policy abstract this paper deals with barriers to trade in services more specifically the paper deals with competition and its absence in the provision of international intermediation services by banks section 2 of the paper examines the substitutability of international trade and fdi foreign direct investment in the services sector as a basis for international competition it also considers the overlap between commercial policy measures and regulations governing the entry and operations of foreign affiliates section 3 describes the types of restrictions imposed on foreign banks and evaluates their effects existing practices in some countries are outlined in the fourth section the countries are the u s the u k switzerland australia brazil and taiwan section 5 evaluates competitive conditions in offshore banking centers and compares them with conditions in onshore markets the last section evaluates the costs and the benefits of an open free trade banking system such a system will tend to improve world welfare as well as the welfare of those countries who have a comparative advantage in international banking the results are not clear with regard to the countries who have a comparative disadvantage in banking

modelling recreation demand using choice experiments climbing in scotland this paper is concerned with the use of thechoice experiment method for modelling thedemand for recreation using the example ofrock climbing in scotland we begin byoutlining the method itself including itstheoretical and econometric underpinnings datacollection procedures are then outlined wepresent results from both nested and non nestedmodels and report some tests for theimplications of choice complexity andrationality finally we compare our resultswith a revealed preference data model based onthe same sample of climbers

a new paradigm for valuing non market goods using referendum data maximum likelihood estimation by censored logistic regression abstract this paper challenges the w m hanemann amer j agr econom 66 332 341 1984 and c sellar j p chavas and j r stoll j environ econom management 13 382 390 1986 utilizations of logit models to estimate the value of non market resources from referendum survey data these data are more informative than conventional choice data the random utility interpretation of logit models is therefore too restrictive bypassing the utility function entirely it will be shown that parameters and standard errors for utility theoretic inverse hicksian demand functions can be extracted directly and much more simply estimated demand functions need not be limited to those corresponding to the linear in parameters utility difference specifications which can be handled by packaged logit programs

cultural differences mne learning abilities and the effect of experience on subsidiary mortality in a dissimilar culture evidence from korean mnes in a departure from prior studies presuming a beneficial experience effect in foreign direct investment fdi the present paper examines the conditions under which fdi experience may actually harm subsequent subsidiaries we argue that multinational enterprises mnes may draw erroneous inferences and learn incorrectly from their early expansions when new to a dissimilar culture because their learning abilities are eroded by cultural differences we posit that the characteristics of an mne s international expansion including scope pace rhythm and entry mode moderate this negative experience effect by influencing the mne s learning ability in foreign cultures using a data set of fdis by south korean mnes between 1990 and 2006 we find a positive relationship between subsidiary mortality and experience when an mne has a low level of experience in a dissimilar culture this relationship is weaker if the mne s prior fdi has been dispersed across different cultures is stronger if it expanded internationally at a fast pace and becomes negative once the mne has accumulated a high level of experience in the host culture we conclude that when expanding into dissimilar cultures mnes must establish mechanisms to mitigate incorrect learning and reexamine the correctness of inferences drawn from past experience before applying them

the eclectic paradigm of international production a restatement and some possible extensions this article reviews some of the criticisms directed towards the eclectic paradigm of international production over the past decade and restates its main tenets the second part of the article considers a number of possible extensions of the paradigm and concludes by asserting that it remains a robust general framework for explaining and analysing not only the economic rationale of economic production but many organisational and impact issues in relation to mne activity as well

international banking a survey two distinct sets of issues are involved in the analysis of international banking one set the industrial organization issues centers on the patterns of expansion of foreign branches and subsidiaries of banks headquartered in the united states great britain japan and a few other industrial countries and on the nature of the advantage that these branches and subsidiaries have in relation to their host country competitors the second set the international finance issues involves the role of banks in cross border and cross currency financial flows both from their head offices and from their foreign branches and subsidiaries despite the attention to international banking there are few uniquely international institutions rather international banks are a subset of domestic banks with significant numbers of foreign branches and subsidiaries moreover there are few uniquely international banking activities although foreign exchange trading may seem to be one in many countries most or all foreign exchange trading involves domestic banks with few if any foreign branches the growth of foreign branches and subsidiaries of major banks occurred in two waves the first occurred in the decades before world war i when the war started

globalization and electronic commerce inferences from retail brokering e commerce has contributed to the retail brokerage industry becoming more global and more contestable by examining the different stages of the value chain we can analyze the differential impact of the information and communication technology ict revolution on each segment of the industry to date the primary drivers of globalization have been manifested at the wholesale stage of the industry in contrast important features of the broker customer interface have perpetuated a multi locational competitive structure at the retail stage of the industry nevertheless actual and potential competition has been significantly increased by the spread of e commerce at all stages of the industry e commerce innovations encourage both standardization and variety within an increasingly competitive industry

managing foreign subsidiaries agents of headquarters or an interdependent network in this study two different theoretical perspectives are used to develop sets of hypotheses regarding the mechanisms used to manage foreign subsidiaries of multinational corporations first agency theory serves as the basis for a model that predicts the use of monitoring mechanisms and incentive compensation then it is argued that these mechanisms are insufficient for managing subsidiaries characterized by high levels of intra firm international interdependence the management of which is critical to many of today s complex global firms a second set of hypotheses is argued linking international interdependence to several social control mechanisms primary and secondary data from u s based multinational corporations were used to test both sets of hypotheses the results indicate that agency theory although a useful foundation for studies of control within mncs is limited in its ability to explain fully the phenomenon of foreign subsidiary control however the model based on intra firm interdependence had much greater predictive ability copyright 2000 john wiley sons ltd

recreational value user heterogeneity and site characteristics in contingent valuation abstract we propose an adaptation of the dichotomous choice contingent valuation method applied to the recreational quality of a site and to heterogeneity between visitors tourists and residents this method is based on a set of repeated valuation questions and is used to study relations between the components of environmental goods we propose its application to public coastal sites in south western france we show that programmes regarding the ocean beaches and forests are generally independent of one another in order to stress the heterogeneity of users two separate models are assessed the way time is taken into account then appears to be one of the most interesting sources of divergence between tourists and residents individual wtp per day also varies this confirms that beaches used by residents provide high economic benefits although they generate little indirect revenue finally contingent valuation appears to be a useful alternative for analyzing the multiple dimensions of a public policy

troubled banks impaired foreign direct investment the role of relative access to credit during the 1980 s theories were developed to explain the striking correlation between real exchange rates and foreign direct investment fdi however this relationship broke down for japanese fdi in the 1990 s as the real exchange rate appreciated while fdi plummeted we propose the relative access to credit hypothesis and show that unequal access to credit by japanese firms contributes to the explanation of declining japanese fdi using bank level and firm level data sets we find that financial difficulties at banks were economically and statistically important in reducing the number of fdi projects by japanese firms into the united states jel g21 f36

detrending stylized facts and the business cycle the stylized facts of macroeconomic time series can be presented by fitting structural time series models within this framework we analyse the consequences of the widely used detrending technique popularised by hodrick and prescott 1980 it is shown that mechanical detrending based on the hodrick prescott filter can lead investigators to report spurious cyclical behaviour and this point is illustrated with empirical examples structural time series models also allow investigators to deal explicitly with seasonal and irregular movements that may distort estimated cyclical components finally the structural framework provides a basis for exposing the limitations of arima methodology and models based on a deterministic trend with a single break

international lending patterns of u s commercial banks the international lending behavior of the u s commercial banks depends upon economic links between countries much of the difference between the international loan portfolios of u s banks and those of the non u s banks may be explained by the patterns of trade flows and investments by nonfinancial corporations these trade flows and investment patterns explain most of the variations in the bank lending patterns for 70 80 percent of the countries the analysis points to an increasing influence of economic ties on the lending process over time

on site time in the demand for recreation the standard travel cost model has treated on site time ambiguously over the years this paper shows how to handle on site time by exploring the implications of two assumptions in the travel cost model first people choose the amount of time that they spend on a site and second the time spent on site is exogenous this paper uses a duality result to show that when on site time is chosen the standard travel cost demand function takes a particularly simple form with slight modification standard estimation and welfare calculations continue to hold

the taxation of domestic and foreign banking abstract using bank level data for 80 countries in the 1988 1995 period this paper examines taxation of domestic and foreign owned banks the profitability of foreign banks is found to rise relatively little with their domestic tax burden perhaps reflecting the availability of foreign tax credits and profit shifting opportunities the paper also examines whether domestic and foreign banks pay different amounts of domestic tax taxes paid by foreign banks are shown to rise relatively little with the local statutory tax this evidence supports the hypothesis that foreign banks engage in relatively extensive profit shifting

size growth and transnationality among the world s largest banks this essay investigates the relationship between size and growth rate of large international banks and then relates these to the banks degree of transnationality we test two sets of three propositions each the first three propositions are pi that the growth rate of each bank over some period is independent of its size p2 that the variability of growth rates is independent of the banks size and p3 that the banks growth rates in two consecutive periods are independent of each other the second three propositions are p4 that there is no association between size and transnationality p5 that transnationality and growth are independent and p6 that there is no relationship between transnationality and the variability of growth rates the growth referred to is primarily that of assets as a measure of size for the two propositions concerning the variability of growth rates we supplement this measure with one of the market value of the banks equity the results have implications for concentration in internathis paper investigates six propositions relating to gibrat s law of proportionate growth the growth referred to is that of book assets and total market value the results have implications for concentration in international banking and for depositor safety and the social cost of insuring it and provide evidence on economies of scale and on the transnational spread of the industry

do banking shocks affect borrowing firm performance an analysis of the japanese experience from 1990 to 1993 the typical firm on the tokyo stock exchange lost more than half of its value and banks experienced severe adverse shocks we show that firms whose debt had a higher fraction of bank loans in 1989 performed worse from 1990 to 1993 and also invested less than other firms did this effect holds when we control for variables that affect firm performance we show further that exogenous shocks to banks during the negotiations leading to the basle accord affected bank borrowers significantly copyright 2000 by university of chicago press

foreign direct investment and regulatory remedies for banking crises lessons from japan can regulatory interventions alleviate financial crises if so which ones work we draw inferences from the japanese banking crisis of the 1990s using a hand gathered database of bank loans gathered from original sources our results indicate that whereas risk based capital infusions in japan similar to those following the 2009 supervisory capital assessment program stress tests in the us were successful in stimulating aggregate lending by japanese banks earlier blanket infusions comparable to the 2008 troubled asset relief program tarp in the us were not effective moreover changes in accounting rules in japan that revalued bank assets similar to the relaxation of mark to market requirements for banks in the us did not increase aggregate japanese bank lending but rather reallocated it capital constraints during the crisis also induced many japanese banks to close their overseas branches and switch their charters from international to domestic this endogenous charter switch reversed the process of foreign direct investment fdi for many japanese banks therefore we use the japanese banking crisis as a natural experiment to test fdi theories and find empirical support for the relative access hypothesis but not for the industrial organization approach or for the relative wealth hypothesis

choice modelling approaches a superior alternative for environmental valuation in this paper we examine some popular choice modelling approaches to environmental valuation which can be considered as alternatives to more familiar valuation techniques based on stated preferences such as the contingent valuation method a number of choice modelling methods are consistent with consumer theory and its focus on an attribute based theory of value permits a superior representation of many environmental management contexts however choice modelling surveys can place a severe cognitive burden upon respondents and induce satisficing rather than maximising behavioural patterns in this framework we seek to identify the best available choice modelling alternative and investigate its potential to solve some of the major biases associated with standard contingent valuation we then discuss its use in the light of policy appraisal needs within the eu an application to the demand for rock climbing in scotland is provided as an illustration

semiglobalization and international business strategy if markets were either completely isolated by or integrated across borders there would be little room for international business strategy to have content distinctive from mainstream strategy but a review of the economic evidence about the international integration of markets indicates that we fall in between these extremes into a state of incomplete cross border integration that i refer to as semiglobalization more specifically most measures of market integration have scaled new heights in the last few decades but still fall far short of economic theory s ideal of perfect integration the diagnosis of semiglobalization does more than just supply a relatively stable frame of reference for thinking about the environment of cross border operations it also calls attention to the critical role of location specificity in the prospects of distinctive content for international business strategy relative to mainstream business and corporate strategy in addition it flags factors products subject to location specificity as being salient from the perspective of international business finally it highlights the scope for strategies that strive to capitalize on the large residual barriers to cross border integration as well as those that simply try to cope with them

the influence of governance infrastructure and corporate governance on profit shifting in this article we develop a conceptual model to examine the influence of quality of country level governance infrastructure and corporate governance effectiveness on profit shifting we empirically test propositions derived from the model with a unique firm level data set and using multiple indicators of governance infrastructure quality and corporate governance mechanisms we estimate that on average about 6 of total pre tax income is shifted out of foreign owned firms in india we show that governance infrastructure that improves collective action and transparency in both the foreign and host country reduces shifting on the other hand secure property rights and efficient contracting in the foreign country increases shifting we also find that monitoring by foreign institutional investors restricts shifting

currency risk and country risk in international banking this paper focuses on the conditions under which banks are subject to currency and country risks on their dollar denominated loans to foreign firms and governments we conclude that currency risk is a function of the rates of domestic and foreign inflation deviations from purchasing power parity and the effect of these deviations on the firm s and the nation s dollar equivalent cash flows country risk is largely determined by the variability of the nation s terms of trade and the government s willingness to allow the national economy to adjust rapidly to changing economic fortunes banks typically try to cope with currency risk when lending to foreign firms and governments either by both denominating and funding their loans in the foreign currency or failing that by denominating their foreign loans in dollars the latter practice appears to protect the banks by shifting any risk associated with exchange rate fluctuations to the borrowers yet to the extent that changes in currency values affected the ability and or willingness of foreign borrowers to repay their dollar loans the exchange risk on these loans is converted into credit risk this is the element of currency risk referred to in the paper s title when the government is the borrower credit risk becomes country risk the objective of this paper is to explore the conditions under which banks are subject to currency and country risks on their dollar denominated foreign loans section i analyzes the sources of currency risk for firms while section ii extends the analysis to study the riskiness of dollar loans to foreign firms under several currency scenarios the political economic circumstances under which dollar loans to foreign governments could be subject to currency and country risk are the subject of section iii section iv discusses in more detail the various political and economic indicators of country risk section v summarizes the paper s key points

a language theory of discrimination any advanced industrial society is composed of a number of speech communities with different verbal and nonverbal languages in particular in the united states blacks and whites and men and women have sharply differing methods of speaking and listening this paper develops a model in which people can only work together if they speak the same language and in which it is costly to learn a second language the competitive market will tend to minimize communication through segregation but if interaction is required the cost will be borne by the minority a number of nontrivial predictions are derived from the model

vertical keiretsu and international market entry the case of the japanese automobile ancillary industry this study investigated whether small japanese automobile ancillary firms followed the major japanese automakers in setting up production facilities in the united states based on dunning s eclectic theory of foreign direct investment and resource dependence theory hypotheses were generated to explain the determinants of foreign investment of japanese suppliers it was hypothesized that mutual dependencies between the major japanese automobile firms and their suppliers firm specific ownership advantages profitability and keiretsu affiliation influenced the foreign direct investment of the first tier automobile ancillary firms into the united states data on the entire population of 446 japanese automobile ancillary manufacturers were obtained from archival sources logistical regression analyses indicated that keiretsu affiliation previous international experience small size lower dependence of supplier firms on the automobile assembly firm and higher dependence of core firms on affiliate firms all contributed to this foreign direct investment

international retail banking as a strategy an assessment we assess the viability of a bank s strategy of entering into retail banking worldwide wherever regulations permit via a review of literature and evidence on foreign direct investment in banking issues we discuss include the roles of regulation the costs of operating at a distance and in an unfamiliar environment and the advantages or offsetting factors which foreign banks may possess relative to their local competitors the factors the paper examines are uncompetitive host markets product differentiation economies of scale management and technology cost of capital government support and vertical integration

altered states taxes and the location of foreign direct investment in america this paper compares the distribution between u s states of investment from countries that grant foreign tax credits with investment from all other countries the ability to apply foreign tax credits against home country tax liabilities reduces an investor s incentive to avoid high tax foreign locations state corporate tax rate differences of 1 percent are associated with differences of 9 11 percent between the investment shares of foreign tax credit investors and the investment shares of all others suggesting that state taxes significantly influence the pattern of foreign direct investment in the united states copyright 1996 by american economic association

the persistence of unemployment in the usa and europe in terms of fractionally arima models this article examines the persistence of unemployment in the usa and four european countries by means of fractionally integrated arma arfima models in doing so a type of flexibility in modelling low frequency dynamics not achieved by non fractionally arima models can be provided the results indicate that the unemployment series are much more persistent in some countries such as the uk and france than in others including germany or the usa

how firms grow clustering as a dynamic model of internationalization this paper provides a methodology for identifying the dynamics of international firm expansion demonstrating systematic evidence of both toe in the water and concentrated bursts of internationalization by us multinational enterprises we use the methodology of statistical process control to analyze initial investments in host countries and develop a numerical measure of temporal clustering or bunching using this measure we identify two distinct patterns of growth whereas some firms cluster their investments over time others do not cluster their investments for firms that cluster three types of clustering strategy are identified concentrating hibernating and hybrid arguments based on internal firm architecture experience and learning are advanced to explain these findings

valuing the multidimensional impacts of environmental policy theory and methods a theoretically consistent framework is developed for valuing the multidimensional impacts of environmental policy conventional benefit estimates are shown to be biased because of the presence of substitution and complementarity effects in valuing policy impacts procedures are developed for implementing a valid framework consistent with theory empirical results indicate significant substitution effects in valuing environmental conditions across different geographic regions

fdi and internationalization evidence from u s subsidiaries of foreign banks nine foreign banks own the ten largest u s affiliates or subsidiaries of foreign banks these account for 86 of the assets in affiliates and subsidiaries their histories suggest that most now represent an attempt by the parents to grow outside the confines of home markets original motives for their establishment have included ethnic banking and operational stability stemming from geographical dispersion there is one major instance of acquiring capabilities but it does not involve retail banking the dispersal of national origins suggests that bank specific capabilities are the primary source of the parents competitive advantage being from english speaking countries also appears to help lastly the growth of the affiliates and subsidiaries has not come from incremental growth but rather from a rearrangement of assets among banks

the effects of the international banking act on domestic bank profitability and risk the passage of the international banking act of 1978 was the first major step towards imposing consistent and uniform federal regulations on the growing number of foreign banks entering the united states prior to this date foreign banks had been subject to a patchwork of state laws of varying degrees of stringency covering their entry expansion and portfolio behavior see white 1982 and walker 1983 the net result of this patchwork of state regulation was that by 1978 foreign banks had developed certain competitive advantages over domestic banks these advantages emanated from the fact that foreign bank branches and agencies i were not required to meet federal reserve determined reserve requirements on liabilities such as large cds and ii they were not subject to federal laws governing interstate banking the 1927 mcfadden act and activity diversification the 1933 glass steagall act and the 1956 bank holding company act including its 1970 amendments however foreign banks were also subject to certain disadvantages compared to domestic banks in particular they were inhibited from entering into retail banking markets by being ineligible for fdic insurance and being denied access to fed services such as check collection and the discount window to eliminate these discrepancies in relative regulation the international banking act iba was introduced in the house of representatives in february 1978 re

efficient estimation methods for closed ended contingent valuation surveys closed ended contingent valuation surveys can be very useful in the evaluation of nonmarket resources respondents merely state whether they would accept or reject a hypothetical threshold amount either as payment for giving up access to the resource or as a fee for its use the authors develop a maximum likelihood procedure which exploits the variation in the threshold values to allow direct and separate point estimates of regression like slope coefficients and error standard deviations without truncation bias their illustration uses data from a survey of recreational fisherman to examine factors which influence individuals willingness to pay copyright 1987 by mit press

modeling recreation demand in the presence of unobservable travel costs toward a travel price model an important issue in the application of travel cost models is the construction of a travel cost variable this paper develops an econometric approach that views travel costs as an unobserved latent variable the latent variable approach utilizes indicators to capture the role of individual travel costs in recreational demand models the latent variables approach has at least two advantages over conventional approaches one the indicators can include both traditional components such as time and distance and non traditional components such as the scenic beauty second the estimation procedure results in each indicator being valued in dollar terms

the persistence of regional unemployment evidence from china the purpose of this paper is to examine the persistence of regional unemployment and to explore the sources of this persistence evidence from china suggests three empirical findings first provincial relative unemployment is more persistent than aggregate unemployment second youth unemployment is less persistent than total unemployment third although the western region has the highest provincial unemployment rate it has the lowest persistence of regional unemployment to explore the sources of this unemployment persistence a panel data method has been developed based on the barro approach and edwards work the higher the share of industry output by state sector and collective sector the more the regional unemployment persistence the private sector is the main employment destination for jobless now and has acted to reduce unemployment persistence

mitigating risk in international mergers and acquisitions the role of contingent payouts previous internationalization studies have focused on the entry modes employed by multinational firms but have not considered the contractual heterogeneity that underlies each mode it is important to examine these contractual details as the firm may be able to obtain some of the benefits typically associated with one entry mode while selecting another in the case of international mergers and acquisitions m as a key contractual variable is whether the parties agree to a performance contingent payout structure which can mitigate the risk of adverse selection in this paper we examine the antecedents of contingent payouts in the form of earnouts and stock payments the results indicate that firms lacking international and domestic acquisition experience turn to contingent payouts when purchasing targets in high tech and service industries firms tend to avoid contingent payouts in host countries with problems with investor protection and legal enforceability

european banks and tax havens evidence from country by country reporting banks in the european union have recently started publicly reporting data on profit employee numbers turnover and tax on a country by country basis this new data source is capable of indicating

corporate structure liquidity and investment evidence from japanese industrial groups this paper presents evidence suggesting that information and incentive problems in the capital market affect investment we come to this conclusion by examining two sets of japanese firms the first set has close financial ties to large japanese banks that serve as their primary source of external finance and are likely to be well informed about the firm the second set of firms has weaker links to a main bank and presumably faces greater problems raising capital investment is more sensitive to liquidity for the second set of firms than for the first set the analysis also highlights the role of financial intermediaries in the investment process

experiential knowledge and costs in the internationalization process using a behavioral approach this study identifies and delineates components of experiential knowledge in the internationalization process three hypotheses are developed and tested they center around the lack of knowledge in the areas of foreign business foreign institutions and firm internationalization as well as the effect that this lack of knowledge has on managers perceived cost in the internationalization process with the help of a lisrel based structural model the three hypotheses are tested on a sample of 362 service firms the analysis shows that lack of internationalization knowledge has a strong impact on the lack of both business and institutionalization but there is no direct effect of lack of internationalization knowledge on perceived cost of internationalization

estimating persistence in canadian unemployment evidence from a bayesian arfima the degree of persistence in aggregate canadian unemployment is estimated within a bayesian arfima class of models the results conclude that unemployment exhibits persistence in the short and intermediate run the evidence of persistence is stronger than previously reported by koustas and veloce 1996 this persistence cast a vital implication regarding disinflation policies based on the unemployment rate these policies will prove very costly in terms of lost output and if implemented they considerably lengthen recessions

the determinants of us banking activity abroad abstract the banking industry provides an excellent example of the internationalization of world business and economic interdependencies across countries analysis of the past growth of international banking operations can also prove useful to banks interested in augmenting their current business or expanding their international coverage and to banks who anticipated future competition in their markets from new or strengthened foreign competitors this study provides the most comprehensive examination of the development of us bank branches in other countries is presented and tested in order to facilitate the understanding of the expansion of international banking

using a choice experiment to account for preference heterogeneity in wetland attributes the case of cheimaditida wetland in greece abstract this paper aims to assist policy makers in formulating efficient and sustainable wetland management policies in accordance with the ramsar convention and the european union water framework directive 2000 60 ec by providing results of a valuation study on the cheimaditida wetland in greece a choice experiment is employed to estimate the values of changes in several ecological social and economic functions that cheimaditida wetland provides to the greek public in addition to the conditional logit model a random parameter logit model a random parameter logit model with interactions and a latent class model are estimated to account for heterogeneity in the preferences of the public for the various functions of the wetland the results reveal that there is considerable preference heterogeneity across the public and on average they derive positive and significant values from sustainable management of this wetland the estimated economic benefits of sustainable wetland management are weighed against the costs of alternative wetland management scenarios results of this cost benefit analysis can aid in the design of socially optimal policies for sustainable management of the cheimaditida wetland with possible implications for other similar wetlands in greece and the rest of europe

empirical specification requirements for two constraint models of recreation choice two constraint models are common in recreation demand analysis because of the important role time can play in consumer choices two versions of roy s identity hold for these models and imply coefficient restrictions on empirical demand functions the two constraint restrictions are fully observable and can be expressed in a form analogous to the slutsky hicks equations in single constraint consumer models empirical specifications that use full prices and full budgets can be consistent with the two constraint models when the marginal value of time is either exogenous or endogenous but models with full prices and money income alone are not copyright 2001 oxford university press

unnatural selection perverse incentives and the misallocation of credit in japan we examine the misallocation of credit in japan associated with the perverse incentives faced by banks to provide additional credit to the weakest firms firms are more likely to receive additional bank credit if they arein poor financial condition because troubled japanese banks have an incentive to allocate credit to severely impaired borrowers in order to avoid the realization of losses on their own balance sheets this evergreening behavior is more prevalent among banks that have reported capital ratios close to the required minimum and is compounded by the incentives arising from extensive corporate affiliations

the impact of taxation on bank profits evidence from eu banks abstract using bank level data for the period 1990 2005 we investigate to what extent european banks are able to shift their tax burden forward we examine the effects of corporate income tax cit and value added tax vat on pre tax profits and their components and find that both are shifted forward the pass through mainly involves total operating income but as far as cit is concerned it also affects loss provisions with negative implications on stability of the banking systems

sectoral shifts and unemployment persistence this paper deals with possible explanations of unemployment persistence within a sectoral approach to the austrian labour market first the concept of unemployment persistence is specified in terms of the time series properties of the unemployment rate sectoral job gains and job losses form the labour market flows in this approach the standard matching model is replaced then by a model of the competition between the unemployed and new entrants in the labour market for new jobs as an adding up demand system of the aids type the estimations of different system specifications indicate that the sectoral structure of job gains plays a role in the competition mechanism between unemployed workers and new entrants

recapitalization credit and liquidity this paper documents the characteristics of public recapitalizations of banks undertaken since 2008 and examines their relationship with bank lending the analysis covers the 15 oecd countries whose banking sectors were most severely hit by the crisis and that provided the largest public bailouts relative to their national gross domestic product gdp we show that the design of the interventions varied considerably across banks and countries larger and higher loss absorbing capital injections were targeted at weaker banks and at banks of systemically relevant size when the state of public finances allowed our results encourage theoretical research with respect to non linear and potentially adverse effects of bailouts as well as further investigation into the link between the loss absorbing properties of bank capital and loan growth with respect to bank lending we find that only large recapitalizations and infusions of common equity are associated with higher total regulatory capital ratios and sustained loan growth we find no significant relationship between public capital provisions and interbank lending and challenge the view that local banks increase loan growth relatively more in response to a recapitalization mike mariathasan and ouarda merrouche

concentration and other determinants of bank profitability in europe north america and australia abstract this study reviews the performance of banks in twelve countries or territories in europe north america and australia and examines the internal and external determination of profitability to circumvent some of the difficulties in making comparisons between banks in different countries the concept of value added is introduced results parallel those in domestic u s studies and provide some support for the edwards heggestad mingo hypothesis of risk avoidance by banks with a high degree of market power

deconstructing the liability of foreignness regulatory enforcement actions against foreign banks it is widely acknowledged that foreign firms are at an institutional disadvantage relative to domestic firms operating in the local market this liability of foreignness typically manifests as inferior performance for foreign firms relative to domestic competitors although myriad studies document the liability of foreignness few demonstrate how individual host country institutions generate specific liabilities in this study we explore the regulatory liabilities that foreign firms face using a sample of 189 foreign banks operating in the united states we find that regulators initiate more enforcement actions on average against foreign banks than they do against domestic banks the effects however vary by regulation type and firm characteristics for example foreign banks are no more likely to receive risk related sanctions but far more likely to receive stakeholder related sanctions foreign banks with higher quality of human capital and more host country experience are less likely to run afoul of all regulations foreign banks with more third country experience are less likely to receive risk related sanctions but more likely to receive stakeholder related sanctions the results highlight the contingent nature of regulatory liabilities the role of information asymmetry versus regulatory bias in enforcement outcomes and the liability reducing effects of resources and capabilities

international profit shifting within multinationals a multi country perspective abstract we model the opportunities and incentives generated by international tax differences for international profit shifting by multinationals the model considers not only profit shifting arising from international tax differences between affiliates and parent companies but also from tax differences between affiliates in different host countries our model yields the prediction that a multinational s profit shifting in a country depends on a weighted average of international tax rate differences between all countries where the multinational is active using a unique dataset containing detailed firm level information on the parent companies and subsidiaries of european multinationals and information about the international tax system we test our model and empirically examine the extent of intra european profit shifting by european multinationals on average we find a semi elasticity of reported profits with respect to the top statutory tax rate of 1 3 while shifting costs are estimated to be 0 6 of the tax base international profit shifting leads to a substantial redistribution of national corporate tax revenues many european nations appear to gain revenues from profit shifting by multinationals largely at the expense of germany

a review of research on the growth of multinational enterprises a penrosean lens abstract we provide a comprehensive review of the growth of multinational enterprises mnes based on a quarter century 25 years of scholarly international business publications we synthesize research insights on the determinants of the growth of mnes through the lens of penrose s theory of firm growth which is the most influential theoretical perspective on firm growth the review takes stock of the research findings on the facilitators constraints and the trajectory of growth of mnes and elaborates on the commonalities and differences between research on the growth of mnes that draws on penrose s theory and research that does not this comparison highlights the opportunity to build an internally coherent theory of the growth of mnes that is a theory that connects what an mne is to what determines an mne s growth it also indicates that past research placed a strong emphasis on exogenous factors e g cross country distances as key constraints on growth even though the penrosean lens suggests a close consideration of endogenous factors that drive international growth as well as endogenizing the ostensibly exogenous growth determinants the review highlights the importance of firm specific managerial knowledge and learning which shapes the direction of the growth of mnes and ensures its administrative coherence