black market exchange rate and the productivity bias hypothesis abstract previous studies that tested the productivity bias hypothesis employed the official nominal exchange rate in constructing the real rate hence in testing the productivity bias hypothesis in this paper we show that if official real exchange rate does not support the productivity bias hypothesis the real black market rate does this conjecture is tested by using data from chile colombia and costa rica

discounting and underpricing in seasoned equity offers abstract expected discounting in seasoned equity offers is a cost of uncertainty about firm value marketing new shares and acquiring information that raises the offer price stockholders incorporate predictable discounting in stock prices when equity offers are first announced the surprise component of discounting reflecting the lead bank s final adjustment to the offer price releases information that often causes economically large price swings on the offer day disparities between the issuer s closing price and the price suggested in the lead bank s final order book are a primary source of information the discount surprise appears to be used by lead banks to update capital suppliers with that eleventh hour information before they commit their funds

testing for the absence of expected real profits from forward market speculation abstract this paper tests for the absence of expected real profits from forward market speculation it contrasts with the literature that has considered opportunities for expected nominal profit from speculation that is profits denominated in one of the currencies these studies assume money illusion on the part of market participants but this paper does not empirical results fail to find evidence of unexploited real profit opportunities

screening market signalling and capital structure theory this paper develops an equilibrium model in which informational asymmetries about the qualities of products offered for sale are resolved through a mechanism which combines the signalling and costly screening approaches the model is developed in the context of a capital market setting in which bondholders produce costly information about a firm s a priori imperfectly known earnings distribution and use this information in specifying a bond valuation schedule to the firm given this schedule the firm s optimal choices of debt equity ratio and debt maturity structure subsequently signal to prospective shareholders the relevant parameters of the firm s earnings distribution our objectives in this paper are threefold first we discuss an alternative equilibrium mechanism for resolving the informational asymmetry problem in a lemons type market in which some agents are a priori better informed than others this mechanism recently proposed by thakor 19 is distinct from and yet integrates the salient features of the screening see stiglitz 17 and viscusi 21 and signalling bhattacharya 41 paradigms second we demonstrate that the equilibrium notion developed is relevant to the determination of an interior optimal capital structure for a firm in a world of imperfect information this application of our model involves firms with intertemporally distributed cashflows which vary cross sectionally and are not necessarily independent and identically distributed i i d through time we use this multiperiod setting to address our third objective which is to explain a firm s debt maturity decision essentially our argument is that when both the size and timing of a firm s future earnings are indistinguishable ex ante from other firms in the economy the firm s capital structure and debt maturity choices could simultaneously function as signals of these a priori unknown parameters of its earnings the market structure we consider is similar to that in thakor 19 there are sellers each of whom offers a variety of products with qualities dependent upon a common set of exogenous attributes unique to the seller and buyers who are unaware of these attributes buyers interested in one of the products offered

a reexamination of balassa s productivity bias hypothesis rency by ri s the price level in country i by pi and the price level in the united states by pu s the ppp theory postulates that ri u s pi pu s many studies have tried to verify whether exchange rates follow the path outlined by the ppp equation the empirical results at best are inconclusive for example j a frenkel tested the ppp by drawing data from the 1970s and showed that the ppp failed on the other hand n davutyan and j pippenger criticized frenkel s work and reversed his conclusion 2 both studies used ordinary least squares and two stage least squares methods even recent studies that have used a relatively modern econometric technique cointegration analysis have mostly rejected the ppp 3 several reasons have been given in the literature for the failure of the ppp or deviation of the ppp based exchange rates from equilibrium exchange rates including lack of free trade existence of transaction costs existence of nontradables simultaneity problems different weights used in constructing different national price indexes money and asset prices and real factors or real variables among the real variables the productivity differential between two countries has received most of the attention in the literature if we denote the market determined equilibrium exchange rate by re and the ppp based rate by pi pu s following the literature we

note on international differences in service prices and some related empirical phenomena abstract this paper provides an alternative explanation of some important stylized facts of development including the phenomenon of international differences in service prices in terms of differences in factor endowments between countries in so doing this paper advances a general equilibrium model of a small open economy which features non traded goods as well as demand factors thereby incorporating important economic aspects which were neglected by many others an interesting finding which emerges from this exercise is that many puzzles in development can be explained simply in terms of differences in factor endowments between countries

exchange rate regimes and national price levels this paper explores the role of exchange rate regimes in explaining deviations from the classic theory of purchasing power parity examining a broad panel of countries i find that developing countries with fixed exchange rate regimes have national price levels that are 20 percent higher than those with flexible regimes for industrial countries the relation between regimes and price levels is qualitatively similar but weaker i investigate several explanations for this pattern and find that exchange rate overshooting in floats inflation inertia in pegs and expansionary policies can explain only 5 percentage points of the observed differences i also show that even though the observed pattern could be the outcome of a class of open economy models pioneered by obstfeld and rogoff the data provides limited empirical support for the predictions of this model

the role of debt and perferred stock as a solution to adverse investment incentives we analyze the optimal mix of debt common equity and preferred equity in a model with an investment opportunity and asymmetric information about its quality and show that an all equity financed firm will overinvest issuing the appropriate amount of debt before the project becomes available resolves this overinvestment problem introducing a second motive for debt such as taxes leads to a role for preferred stock as a means of enhancing the firm s debt capacity by creating additional incentives to invest we derive an opti mal capital structure involving debt preferred stock and common stock this paper examines the ifnpact of a firm s capital structure on its subsequent investment decisions we assume that a firm s equityholders receive private information about the quality of a project that must be funded externally before the project becomes available and before the information asymmetry exists however the equityholders can choose a capital structure from among debt preferred stock and common stock we show that a subsequent informational asymmetry about project quality induces fully equity financed firms to overin vest that is to accept some negative net present value investments this overin vestment will be reflected in security values prior to the investment we then demonstrate that an appropriate initial debt issue eliminates this suboptimal in vestment behavior and results in an optimal initial debt equity ratio not based upon taxes bankruptcy costs or other exogenous factors we then allow for a corporate tax advantage to debt that leads the firm to issue additional debt however the additional debt creates an underinvestment problem we demonstrate that preferred stock has features that generate incen tives for equityholders to invest and so preferred stock enhances the firm s debt capacity i e the firm can issue more debt in conjunction with preferred stock without creating an underinvestment problem

timing of investment and financing decisions in imperfectly competitive financial markets the authors present a model in which firms can time their projects they show that financing and investment decisions are interrelated if financial markets are not perfectly competitive resulting in apparent timing of financing decisions the authors obtain the result that the proportion of equity financing relative to debt is higher when economic conditions are improving they also show that the type of financing depends both on current and past economic conditions finally the authors show that there will be relatively more equity financing in industries in which obsolescence is more likely copyright 1993 by university of chicago press

debt versus equity under asymmetric information in a world of asymmetric information in which only the insiders know the quality of the firm it is claimed that debt even if it is risky is more advantageous than outside equity because issuance of debt is less attractive to inferior firms the advantage to debt arises from the fact that it can keep unprofitable firms out of the market thus improving the average quality of firms in the market this advantage exists even if the firms cannot be perfectly sorted in the signaling equilibrium

are international monetary fund quotas unfavorable to less developed countries a normative historical analysis abstract the international monetary fund criterion of economic size receives normative justification as the determinant of quotas but size must be represented by appropriately measured income reserves and trade the fund s income measure is deficient because it uses exchange rates rather than purchasing power parities to convert figures to a common currency if a favourable quota disparity is defined as an actual quota above the quota predicted by economic size less developed countries had adverse disparities early in imf history but increasingly favorable disparities over time given the inertia of relative quotas members would do well to maximize their initial quota

a model of real national price levels this paper is concerned with the price level in the sense used in a recent paper by kravis and lipsey entitled toward an explanation of national price levels 15 the price level of a particular country relative to the base country is defined as the ratio of the purchasingpower parity ppp to the exchange rate it has become generally recognized that the ppp need not equal the exchange rate even in long run free trade equilibrium and the explanation of the discrepancy is a natural subject of scientific interest there is a voluminous literature on temporary deviations of ppp from the exchange rate that are explained in terms of monetary disturbances and random shocks there is a much smaller literature on long run or structural factors that explain why ppp does not coincide with the exchange rate the present paper falls in the second category we shall assume the economy is in monetary and balance of payments equilibrium the term price level as used in kravis and lipsey 15 may be confusing because that term usually refers to the price of goods in terms of money the term real price level seems more appropriate in that the concept refers to a ratio of two prices the real price level is what the tourist has in mind when he goes to a poor country and remarks my but prices are low here a major feature of the existing literature on long run or structural explanations of the real price level is the emphasis on the distinction between tradables and nontradables it is typically assumed that the law of one price holds for tradables but not for nontradables which are dominated by services the productivity differential model as stated by balassa 2 for example assumes that international differences in labor productivity are greater in commodities tradables than in services it follows that services will be relatively cheap in poor low productivity countries and that consequently the real price level relative to a base country will rise with per capita income recently bhagwati 5 has shown that the low relative price of services in poor countries can be explained by a capital labor model without recourse to the assumption that production functions differ internationally in bhagwati s model rich countries export capital intensive commodities and poor countries export labor intensive commodities but even though commodity prices are equalized through trade complete specialization prevents factor prices from being equalized since services are assumed to be labor intensive relative to any commodity they are cheaper in poor countries than in rich countries

determinants of target capital structure the case of dual debt and equity issues abstract we examine whether market and operating performance affect corporate financing behavior because they are related to target leverage our focus on firms that issue both debt and equity enhances our ability to draw inferences consistent with dynamic trade off theories dual issuers offset the deviation from the target resulting from accumulation of earnings and losses our results also imply that high market to book firms have low target debt ratios on the other hand consistent with market timing high stock returns increase the probability of equity issuance but have no effect on target leverage

explaining service price differences in international comparisons this paper reexamines observed international differences in the price of services and the positive correlation of these with per capita gdp differences using a general trade model with a nontraced sector the authors find that differences in countries factor endowments populations trade policies and trade balances will have ambiguous and sometimes opposite effects on their service prices and real incomes estimating the service price equation using recent data suggests that larger endowments of agricultural land minerals and capital larger trade deficits and higher prices for tradables increase service prices conversely larger populations and labor forces reduce service prices copyright 1991 by american economic association

a theoretical explanation of some stylized facts of economic growth this paper presents a three good two country general equilibrium model that is consistent with several stylized facts of economic growth the three goods are manufactures agriculture and services manufactures are subject to economies of scale the model predicts that services a nontraded good must be more expensive in the country with higher per capita income it also shows that as per capita income increases we should expect the productivity in commodities relative to services to rise the model is able to generate many other stylized facts of economic growth

endogenous entry to security bid auctions we endogenize entry to a security bid auction where participation is costly and bidders must decide given their private valuations whether to participate we first consider any minimum reserve security bid of a fixed expected value that weakly exceeds the asset s value when retained by the seller demarzo kremer and skrzypacz 2005 establish that with a fixed number of bidders auctions with steeper securities yield the seller more revenues counterintuitively we find that auctions with steeper securities also attract more entry further enhancing the revenues from such auctions we then establish that with optimal reserve securities auctions with steeper securities always yield higher expected revenues

risk uncertainty and exchange rates this paper is motivated by two facts failure of log linear empirical exchange rate models of the 1970 s and the observed variability of risk premiums in the forward market rational maximizing models predict that changes in conditional variances of monetary policies government spendings and income growths affect risk premiums and induce conditional volatility of exchange rates i examine theoretically how changes in these exogenous conditional variances affect the level of the current exchange rate and attempt to quantify the extent that this channel explains exchange rate volatility using autoregressive conditional heteroscedastic models

capital structure and signaling game equilibria in this article we model the financing decisions of a firm as a sequential signaling game we prove that when insiders have perfect information regarding the firm s future case flows the application of refinements to the set of admissible equilibria leads to the dominance of debt over equity financing however we show that when insiders observe the firm s cash flows imperfectly there may exist sequential equilibria in which this pecking order breaks down and some firms strictly prefer equity to debt financing we also prove that despite the breakdown of the pecking order the announcement effect of equity financing will be negative relative to debt financing

why are services cheaper in the poor countries in their important work on international comparisons of national incomes and of comparative price structure kravis heston and summers i982 p 8 have noted that services are much cheaper in the relative price structure of a typical poor country than in that of a rich country this phenonomen has been documented now fairly systematically by the data gathered under their guiding hand of the united nations international comparison icp which covers 34 countries table i reproduced from their work i982 and fig i based on rows 3 and ii 13 indeed show this tendencyfor the relationship between relative service prices and real per capita gdp in this kravis heston summers 34 country 6 group sample the tendency is strongly evident except for the intermediate groups iii and iv

productivity bias hypothesis and the purchasing power parity a review article abstract productivity differentials among countries are said to be one of the major sources that contribute to the deviation of the purchasing power parity based exchange rate from the equilibrium rate hence the productivity bias hypothesis prior to last review article on the productivity bias hypothesis in 1976 almost all studies relied upon cross sectional regression analysis since then two groups of empirical studies have emerged while one group has employed time series data the other one has used panel data these two later groups have provided more support to the hypothesis than the earlier cross sectional studies this paper reviews and criticizes each group separately and provides tables that summarize main features of each study

is the market surprised by poor earnings realizations following seasoned equity offerings we examine the stock price reaction to earnings announcements in the five years following seasoned equity offerings seos on average post seo earnings announcements are met with a significantly negative abnormal stock price reaction although this negative reaction accounts for a disproportionately large portion of long run post seo abnormal stock returns on average abnormal stock price reactions to post seo earnings announcements are reliably negative only within the smallest quartile of equity issuers for small firms therefore these findings are broadly consistent with the hypothesis that firms issue equity when the market overestimates the firm s future earnings perfomance

tariffs transfers and the real exchange rate the deviation of exchange rates from purchasing power parities ppp s has recently become the subject of theoretical and empirical attention the massive body of data collected and presented by the international comparisons project icp under the direction of kravis heston and summers khs 9 11 has permitted new empirical investigation of an old topic and has stimulated the construction of theoretical models to account for observed patterns in the icp project and the related literature the focus is on the ratio of the exchange rate to the ppp the concept of this ratio is closely related to the concept of the real exchange rate which is defined as the actual exchange rate multiplied by the ratio of an index of foreign prices to an index of domestic prices the term real exchange rate a term widely employed in both economics journals and in the financial press is frequently used to describe changes over time in a particular country and its calculation requires only time totime changes in exchange rates and price indexes the ratio of the exchange rate to the ppp on the other hand refers to a comparison of the levels of the exchange rate and the ppp at a moment in time and its calculation requires the availability of a ppp survey of the kind performed by the icp the purpose of the present paper is to analyze the effects of tariffs and transfers on the real exchange rate of a small country in this theoretical endeavor we shall hold constant the prices in foreign countries in this context it can easily be seen that the real exchange rate and the ratio of the exchange rate to the ppp are identical concepts provided that the expenditure weights used in the index of domestic prices are the same as those used in the calculation of the ppp

positive information from equity issue announcements abstract the myers and majluf 1984 model predicts a nonpositive price reaction to an announcement of a new issue of equity this paper shows that the myers and majluf result is a direct outcome of their assumption that all potential projects facing the firm have a nonnegative net present value refining the myers and majluf model by allowing for the realistic possibility of potential projects having negative net present values leads to different predictions the refined model predicts positive as well as negative stock price responses consistent with recent empirical evidence concerning the stock price effects of new stock issues

a formalisation and test of the factor productivity explanation of international differences in service prices this paper extends and integrates previous models of the determinants of international differences in the prices of services relative to tradable commodities the authors provide a model capable of identifying the effects of differences in total factor productivity on service price differences separately from the effects of factor endowment differences they propose a method for measuring these factor productivity difference effects and apply this to a sample of sixty countries in 1980 the authors results provide support both for the endowment difference and productivity difference explanations suggesting that in this context at least the two hypotheses are complements rather than competitors copyright 1996 by economics department of the university of pennsylvania and the osaka university institute of social and economic research association

the expectations hypothesis of the term structure of interest rates open interest rate parity and central bank policy reaction abstract a rational expectations model with endogenous monetary policy reacting to the exchange rate and the term spread shows that the empirical performance of the expectations hypothesis of the term structure and the uncovered interest rate parity hypothesis improves with the strength of the policy reaction to the exchange rate and the term spread respectively

announcement effects of convertible bond loans and warrant bond loans an empirical analysis for the dutch market abstract this study investigates the announcement effects of offerings of convertible bond loans and warrant bond loans using data for the dutch market the event study analysis shows that announcement effects of convertible bonds are associated with positive but insignificant abnormal returns and that announcements of warrant bonds are associated with significant positive abnormal returns these findings are similar to the results for japanese hybrid debt as reported by kang et al 1995 kang j k kim y c park k j stulz r m 1995 journal of financial and quantitative analysis pp 257 270 and kang and stulz 1996 kang j k stulz r m 1996 review of financial studies pp 109 139 but they contrast with studies for the united states that generally find significant negative abnormal returns for convertible bond loans and insignificant negative abnormal returns for warrant bond loans our results cannot be attributed to differences in the corporate governance structures of the netherlands and the united states we find that the positive abnormal returns for the warrant bond loans are caused by the packaging of the announcements with other good firm specific news

accounting for forward rates in markets for foreign currency absteract forward and spot exchange rates between major currencies imply large standard deviations of both predictable returns from currency speculation and of the equilibrium price measure the intertemporal marginal rate of substitution representative agent theory with time additive preferences cannot account for either of these properties we show that the theory does considerably better along these dimensions when the representative agent s preferences exhibit habit persistence but that the theory fails to reproduce some of the other properties of the data in particular the strong autocorrelation of forward premiums since the advent of flexible exchange rates in the early 1970s a large body of statistical work has established that forward rates for major currencies are not optimal predictors of future spot rates relevant evidence is reported in studies by baillie lippens and mcmahon 1983 bekaert 1991 bilson 1981 boothe and longworth 1984 cumby 1988 cumby and obstfeld 1984 fama 1984 gregory and mccurdy 1984 hansen and hodrick 1983 hodrick and srivastava 1984 and korajczyk and viallet 1990 a more complete list of references is provided by hodrick 1987 these papers indicate that returns from speculation in forward and spot currency markets are predictable and that the predictable components vary considerably over time a number of alternative explanations have been offered for the predictable variation in foreign currency market excess returns kaminsky 1988 korajczyk 1985 and krasker 1980 suggest that infrequent extreme events may make returns appear predictable in small samples the so called peso problem lewis 1989 argues that rational learning following infrequent changes in the process governing equilibrium prices can explain part of the ex post predictability of currency returns froot and frankel 1989 and froot and thaler 1990 examine the hypothesis that market forecasts of future spot

exchange rates and long term bonds tentative evidence suggests that the empirical failure of uncovered interest parity uip is con fi ned to short term interest rates tests of uip for long term interest rates are however h

corporate earnings and financings an empirical analysis this article examines the long term behavior of corporate earnings around three corporate financing events sales of common stock convertible bonds and straight bonds the article shows that earnings declined for all issuers and that more capital is raised the larger the earnings decline these findings indicate that external financings are motivated by earnings declines no evidence is found of a relationship between the size of the subsequent earnings downturn or the amount of capital raised and stock price reactions to the financing announcements these findings suggest that security sales did not systematically provide new information about either the magnitude of subsequent earnings downturn or the amount of financing copyright 1990 by the university of chicago

structural determinants of real exchange rates and national price levels some empirical evidence contrary to the long held notion of purchasing power parity ppp economists have found systematic evidence that the general level of prices across countries at a point in time varies dramatically irving b kravis alan w heston and robert summers 1982 for example report that some countries national price levels are no more than one third the u s price level extensions of this work show that such departures from ppp have persisted for decades recently efforts have been made to explain systematically these persistent or structural departures from ppp pioneering work by kravis and robert e lipsey 1983 1987 1988 has demonstrated that a positive correlation between the price level and real per capita gross domestic product is robust across numerous cross sectional specifications for instance using data from kravis et al 1982 table 6 12 87 percent of the variation in national price levels pl of 21 countries in 1975 is explained by per capita gdp y and a constant

an assessment of the united nations scale of assessments from a developing country standpoint abstract the united nations apportionment of its expenses among its member countries is examined in a public choice context the special nature of un produced public goods the un voting rules and its zero sum method of allocating expenses all act to reduce the size of un output and to exacerbate country group conflict the developing country groups throw a disproportionate burden of un financing on the developed countries this result is captured by a model of un burden sharing both more rational and simpler than the un practice jel f33 h41

quantifying the evolution of world trade 1870 1949 abstract the typical narrative regarding the evolution of world trade prior to world war ii refers to a secular rise starting around 1870 and a subsequent collapse beginning in 1914 this narrative however is based on measures of trade openness that do not fully take into account purchasing power differences across countries due to lack of alternative data the measures employed in the existing literature are typically based on non ppp adjusted trade data denominated by ppp adjusted gdp data the present paper seeks to resolve this inconsistency by constructing new trade share estimates for 62 countries representing 90 of world gdp for the period from 1870 to 1949 our estimates combine historical import and export figures with non ppp adjusted gdp values that we estimate via the short cut method our estimates confirm qualitatively the narrative of a dramatic rise and fall of world trade over this period yet they indicate that this rise and fall was quantitatively much more pronounced we find that trade shares were on average 38 higher than previously documented and the world s level of trade openness in 1913 was comparable to that in 1974

economic policy and the relative price of services in ldcs abstract low relative prices of nontraded services are a feature of developing economies recent explanations focus on structural issues such as factor endowments and returns to scale this paper argues that economic policy may also contribute to low ldc service prices in a three sector model with wage differentials financial repression unambiguously depresses both per capita real income and the price of nontraded goods in contrast to most current models tariffs and production subsidies can also depress nontraded goods prices

is it risk explaining deviations from uncovered interest parity abstract this paper analyzes ex ante returns to forward speculation and asks if these returns can be explained by models of a foreign exchange risk premium after presenting evidence that both nominal and real expected speculative profits are nonzero the paper examines if real returns to forward speculation are consistent with consumption based models of risk premia estimates of the conditional covariance between real speculative returns and real consumption growth are presented and like ex ante returns to forward speculation they exhibit statistically significant fluctuations over time and often change sign

majoritarian electoral systems and consumer power price level evidence from the oecd countries a straightforward extension of the standard stigler peltzman model of regulation coupled with a taagepera shugart analysis of electoral system effects suggests a that the greater seat vote elasticities of majoritarian electoral systems will tilt policy in favor of consumers while propor tional systems should strengthen producers and b that the pro con sumer bias of majoritarian systems should be manifested in systemati cally lower prices empirical tests controlling for the structural determi nants of national price levels estab lished in the earlier law of one price literature establish majoritarian elec toral systems as a significant and robust predictor lowering national price levels in the mean oecd coun

financial contracting and leverage induced over and under investment incentives this paper investigates the effects of seniority rules and restrictive dividend convenants on the over and under investment incentives associated with risky debt we show that increasing seniority of new debt decreases the incidence of under investment but increases over investment and vice versa under symmetric information the optimal seniority rule is to give new debtholders first claim on a new project without recourse to existing assets i e project financing under asymmetric information the optimal debt contract requires equating the expected return to new debtholders in the default state to the new project s cash flow in the same rate if this is not possible the optimal seniority rule calls for strict subordination of new debt if the expected cash flow in default is small and full seniority if it is large with regard to dividend convenants we show that their effect depends on whether or not dividend payments are conditioned on future investments when they are unconditioned allowing more dividends increases the under investment incentive in contrast conditional dividends decrease the underinvestment incentive and increase the over investment incentive

financial contracting under risk neutrality limited liability and ex ante asymmetric information this paper derives equilibrium financial contract forms in a risk neutral capital market with asymmetrically informed borrowers entrepeneurs and investors in doing so the analysis generalizes the work of demeza and webb 1987 by allowing for arbitrary profit distributions arbitrary contract forms and variable investment choices the main result of this inquiry is as follows when higher quality entrepreneurs have better ex post profit distributions in the sense of the monotone likelihood ratio property equilibrium contracts take a standard debt form so long as admissible investor payoff functions are monotone non decreasing in firm profit without the monotonicity constraint contracts often take a different live or die form

uncovered interest parity it works but not for long abstract if an investor borrows in a low interest currency and invests in a high interest currency the interest differential accrues in a lumpy manner formally just like the dividend payments on a stock the investor will receive the interest differential discretely at the point when a position is rolled over from one day to the next a position that is not held open overnight receives no interest differential because intradaily interest rates are zero using a large data set of intradaily exchange rate data we run uncovered interest parity uip regressions over different short time intervals taking careful account of the settlement rules in the spot foreign exchange market we find results that are supportive of the uncovered interest parity hypothesis over very short windows of data that span the time of the discrete interest payment however adding even a few hours to the span of the window destroys the positive uncovered interest parity results

nontradable goods prices and per caita income an application to regional korean data pooled time series cross sectional regional data for korea over the period 1985 1991 are used to investigate points which emerged from the united nations international comparison project the results based on a regional analysis are opposite to those of the icp the prices of services do not increase more rapidly in fast growing than in slow growing regions this regional analysis provides constradictory evidence to the widely recognized stylized fact that the prices of nontradables increase with real per capital income by a larger margin than the prices of tradables increase

a reconsideration of the uncovered interest parity relationship abstract this paper argues that the uncovered interest parity uip relationship is distinct from and more important than the unbiasedness of forward exchange rates as predictors of future spot rates the standard finding that the slope estimate b is roughly 3 in regressions of s t on t 1 s t 1 implies rejection of unbiasedness but not necessarily uip the hypothesis that monetary authorities manage interest rates so as to smooth their movements while also resisting changes in exchange rates is attractive conceptually and is capable of explaining not only the b 3 finding but also several other notable features of the data

the effect of pre emptive right amendments on shareholder wealth abstract pre emptive rights allow existing shareholders to purchase a new offering of shares before the general public this paper investigates the effect on shareholder wealth of removing pre emptive rights from corporate charters two hypotheses are constrasted 1 shareholder wealth maximization suggests that management uses this extra degree of freedom to pick the least cost method for raising new equity hence the amendment increases shareholder wealth 2 management welfare maximization holds that management will use the passage of the amendment to maximize their own welfare sometimes to the detriment of shareholders hence the amendment decreases shareholder wealth the evidence indicates that the amendment decreases shareholder wealth

influence of economic factors on the valuation effects of debt offerings the obejective of this paper is to determine whether the share price responses to debt offerings are influenced cross sectially by economic factors we develop hypotheses that share price responses are inversely related to nominal interest rates and to the issuing firm s stock price level relative to the market and positively related to economic growth after controlling for firm specific characteristics used in previous studies we find that the share price responses to straight debt offerings are not significantly related to the nominal interest rates or to the issuing firm s relative stock price level but are positively related to the economic growth we also find that share price responses to convertible debt offerings are significantly related to the nominal interest rates the issuing firm s relative stock price level and economic growth in the manner hypothesized these results imply that the signal emitted by a firm s debt offering can be influecnced not only by firm specific characteristics

convertible call policies an empirical analysis of an information signaling hypothesis abstract this paper tests an information signaling hypothesis as a potential explanation for corporate convertible bond call policies and for the negative share price reaction to the announcement of the calls we test this hypothesis by trying to ascertain whether the information signaled is realized our results show an unexpected decline in the firm s performance subsequent to the call we also find significant negative cumulative returns during a sixty month period following the calls

information production dilution costs and optimal security design abstract we investigate the problem of a firm wishing to finance a project by issuing securities under asymmetric information we find that when outside investors can produce noisy information on the firm s quality the degree of information asymmetry resulting in equilibrium is endogenous and depends on the information sensitivity of the security issued thus in contrast to the prediction of the pecking order theory see e g myers and majluf j financial econom 13 1984 187 a security with low sensitivity to private information such as debt does not always dominate one with high information sensitivity such as equity a firm s preference for equity rather than debt depends on the costs of information production the precision of the information production technology and the extent of the information asymmetry we also study the optimal security design problem and find that depending on the cost and precision of the information production technology risky debt or a composite security with a convex payoff emerges as optimal securities