median voters or budget maximizers evidence from school expenditure referenda some readers may have found these results of greater interest were we able to confirm the directional hypotheses of the certainty setter model in addition to finding that spending is related to the reversion the much weaker prediction of the uncertainty model yet the failure of the certainty when base elections were optional their infrequent occurrence might be expected under either a median voter or a setter model for those districts that did hold base elections the observations appear consistent with a setter model but are either inexplicable by or inconsistent with a median voter model finally both a the relationship between the number of budget elections and the presence of base elections and b the outcome of mandatory base elections in 1978 provide a set of observations that are challenging to either model a similar challenge was posed by our investigation of budget elections when we called attention to the inadequacy of static full information models rather than resolving the question of the simple setter model against the simple median voter model our results indicate that both may be inappropriate and that endeavors dealing with complexities omitted here are warranted

price distortions in agriculture and their effects an international comparison the central thesis of this paper is that agricultural pricing policies pursued by developing countries produce effects which are diametrically opposite to those produced by the pricing policies of many developed countries and that the policies of both are costly in terms of global welfare in general the agricultural sector in developing countries is heavily taxed while that in the developed countries receives substantial price protection the effects of agricultural price distortions on output consumption trade and rural employment are estimated for nine countries in addition the effects of price distortions on the distribution of income between producers and consumers on government revenue and foreign exchange and the net social losses of the policies are calculated the results indicate that there are large income transfers and impacts on migration from the rural to the urban sector in developing countries and from the urban to the rural sector in developed economies

pressure groups and public expenditures the flypaper effect reconsidered a model of government budgeting is developed in which lobbying by interest groups can divert the allocation of funds away from the one preferred by the median voter the model is applied to state and local governments to show that the flypaper effect the tendency for lump sum grants to increase public expenditures by more than an equivalent increase in the community s pretax income can be explained without the customary assumption of voter fiscal illusion furthermore the model predicts variation in the extent of the flypaper effect among expenditure categories as found in previous empirical studies

bureaucratic behavior in the local public sector a revealed preference approach public sector bureaucratic utility is typically assumed to be a function ofbudget size or government employment although intuitively appealing thereare no definitive direct tests of the assumption to fill this gap thispaper exploits data that isolate resource allocation decisions made by localpublic sector bureaucrats we use revealed preference theory to find thatthe bureaucracy behaves as if bureaucratic utility is an increasingfunction of employment across government functions and public spending providing direct evidence justifying the popular assumption in theoreticalmodels of government behavior

project evaluation by potential tax reform abstract shadow prices are derived for small open economies with several production sectors experiencing constant returns to scale small projects affect the balance of trade domestic prices of non traded goods and factors and sector scales only domestic prices affect welfare and only if there is not domestic price equalization generally a project s net benefits depend upon the potential tax and tariff reform made possible or necessary through the balance of trade effect border prices are right for traded goods but domestic good shadow pricing requires knowing the direction of at least one reversible available tax reform and presuming optimality with respect to available reforms

the illusion of fiscal illusion unsticking the flypaper effect recognizing that it is difficult to prove a negative this paper marshals evidence in support of the hypothesis that the widely documented flypaper effect of federal grants to state and local governments is purely a statistical artifact a review of previous studies and a monte carlo investigation suggest that the use of an inappropriate functional form may generate an illusory flypaper effect a local expenditure equation is then estimated in alternative specifications with ten years of state level data empirical results confirm the sensitivity of the flypaper effect to specification and tests of fit unambiguously favor one functional form that specification yields no statistical evidence of a flypaper effect

how efficient is the substitution of debt for taxes in influencing demand a 52 country macro theoretic model is developed in order to test the ricardian view that debt and tax finance are equivalent the alternative traditional view is that government expenditures financed by tax revenue affect the economy in profoundly different ways than expenditures financed by bond issuance a rigorous testing of the model indicates that a present value preserving transfer of income from future generations affects the consumption of the current generations in a positive for solvent countries or negative for debt ridden countries way an explanation for this divergence in consumer s behaviour is attempted via the concept of debt illusion

testing the exogeneity of grants to local governments this paper examines the issue of exogeneity of grants both conditional and unconditional with respect to local expenditures the exogeneity weak strong and super tests show that these grants are not exogenous a model of fiscal response to endogenously determined grants is derived and tested on a pooled time series and cross section sample of forty nine upper tier municipalities in ontario 1977 84 the ols and 2sls estimates of reduced form coefficients differ significantly indicating a simultaneity between grants and expenditures the estimated grant coefficients are negative significant and less than one which implies a substitution of grant funds for own expenditures coefficient estimates of other socio economic factors conform to standard results

endogenous federal grants and crowd out of state government spending theory and evidence from the federal highway aid program contrary to simple theoretical predictions existing evidence suggests that federal grants do not crowd out state government spending a legislative bargaining model with endogenous grants documents a positive correlation between grant receipts and preferences for public goods this correlation has likely biased existing work against measuring crowd out to correct for such endogeneity the model motivates instruments based on the political power of state congressional delegations exploiting this exogenous variation in grants the instrumental variables estimator reports crowd out that is statistically and economically significant this endogeneity may explain the flypaper effect a nonequivalence between grant receipts and private income jel d70 h40 h77

some models for estimating technical and scale inefficiencies in data envelopment analysis in management contexts mathematical programming is usually used to evaluate a collection of possible alternative courses of action en route to selecting one which is best in this capacity mathematical programming serves as a planning aid to management data envelopment analysis reverses this role and employs mathematical programming to obtain ex post facto evaluations of the relative efficiency of management accomplishments however they may have been planned or executed mathematical programming is thereby extended for use as a tool for control and evaluation of past accomplishments as well as a tool to aid in planning future activities the ccr ratio form introduced by charnes cooper and rhodes as part of their data envelopment analysis approach comprehends both technical and scale inefficiencies via the optimal value of the ratio form as obtained directly from the data without requiring a priori specification of weights and or explicit delineation of assumed functional forms of relations between inputs and outputs a separation into technical and scale efficiencies is accomplished by the methods developed in this paper without altering the latter conditions for use of dea directly on observational data technical inefficiencies are identified with failures to achieve best possible output levels and or usage of excessive amounts of inputs methods for identifying and correcting the magnitudes of these inefficiencies as supplied in prior work are illustrated in the present paper a new separate variable is introduced which makes it possible to determine whether operations were conducted in regions of increasing constant or decreasing returns to scale in multiple input and multiple output situations the results are discussed and related not only to classical single output economics but also to more modern versions of economics which are identified with contestable market theories

the dual illusion of grants in aid on central and local expenditures the purpose of this paper is to clarify some misspecificationsthat prevail in the dual illusion hypothesis which is animportant influential theory in fiscal illusion studies avoter s behavior can hence be self fulfilling and the dual illusion will not contradict each other our findings alsosupport what the dual illusion hypothesis expects that aidraises the demand for recipient government output and reducesthe demand for grantor government output the intergovernmentgrants therefore do appear to be a common source of fiscalillusion

the flypaper effect under different institutional contexts the colombian case an analysis of the flypapereffect under different institutionalcontexts is carried out for colombia where during the decentralizationprocess different sub national fiscalstructures with different degrees ofautonomy to manage transfers expenditures taxes and debt havecoexisted the analysis is carried outby using panel data models andalternative functional forms theresults show that the flypaper effectis observed when sub national entitiesare highly dependent onintergovernmental transfers ananalysis of asymmetries in response totransfers shows that sub nationalauthorities try to cover the reductionin transfers when the percentage oftransfers into the total currentrevenue is high

welfare analysis of tax reforms using household data abstract this paper discusses a methodology for calculating the distribution of gains and losses from a policy change using data for a large sample of households estimates are based on the equivalent income function which is money metric utility defined over observable variables this enables calculations to be standardised and a computer program to compute the statistics presented in the paper is available for a general demand system equivalent income is related to measures of deadweight loss and standard errors are computed for each of the welfare measures an application to u k data for 5 895 households is given which simulates a reform that involves eliminating housing subsidies

unsticking the flypaper effect in an uncertain world abstract we provide a novel explanation for the flypaper effect based on insurance arguments in our model the flypaper effect arises due to the differential response of precautionary savings to private income or fiscal transfers shocks in an uncertain world with incomplete markets the model generates two testable implications i the flypaper effect is a decreasing function of the correlation between fiscal transfers and private income and ii such relationship is stronger the higher is the volatility of fiscal transfers and or private income an empirical analysis of argentinean provinces for the period 1963 2006 finds strong support for the model s implications

the theory of taxation for developing countries tax policy has far reaching implications for economic development and public administration this book which presents a modern theory of public finance brings together many of the most distinguished economists who have written on the subject they provide coherent principles for tax design and a systematic framework for the analysis of practical questions of tax reform and pricing policy in developing countries the book is especially timely as countries experience increasing shortages of government revenue and the distortions brought about by poorly designed tax systems it pays particular attention to the special problems of developing countries such as the taxation of agriculture the aim throughout is to develop techniques that can be quantitatively applied given the data available and empirical case studies illustrate the methods in action the authors analyze the links between tax theory social cost benefit analysis and the pricing of publicly supplied goods and services they also explore the empirical and econometric problems of identifying the tradeoffs between equity and efficiency other topics treated include the analysis of labor markets the taxation of foreign private investment and of fuel and the pricing of education although the models used concentrate on developing countries most of the methods and discussion apply as well to the problems of more affluent countries

price and income distortions under separate spending and taxing decisions abstract this paper analyzes the extent to which intergovernmental grants create a discrepancy between the local voter s actual and perceived budget constraints the model is innovative in that it introduces grant illusion due to income misperceptions theoretically distinguishes illusion caused by income distortions from illusion caused by price distortions and separately tests for the magnitude of each empirical analysis identifies both price and income misperceptions as significant determinants of voter behavior these unbiased estimates reveal that previous research has misspecified the budget constraint resulting in overestimation of the stimulative effects of intergovernmental grants on local expenditure

the flypaper effect what happens to a state s spending when it receives an unconditional grant from the federal government the standard theoretical analysis predicts that the increase in spending will be the same as that generated by an equivalent increase in local incomes or roughly 5 10 percent for most states in contrast numerous empirical analyses have found that spending increases by much more with some estimates near 100 percent this result is known as the flypaper effect since the money appears to stick where it hits the authors review this evidence as well as other studies that find similar behavior in firms

a predictive index for the flypaper effect abstract it is well established that lump sum public grants boost local government spending more than an equivalent increase in private income the flypaper effect one shortcoming of the related literature is that it presumes all communities have an identical propensity to consume from an intergovernmental grant this paper is one attempt to allow for a heterogeneous response the working conjecture is that government expenditure on administrative overhead is a gauge of voter control over fiscal decisions high overhead spending implies a lower provision of public services and a stronger role for revenue maximizing forces in the budget setting process as such the flypaper effect should be more marked in high overhead communities an overhead index is applied to a sample of pennsylvania communities in the philadelphia metropolitan area it is difficult to understand these governments spending propensities from various windfall revenues without the help of the overhead index supportive evidence for this approach because overhead data is widely available the technique here can be used to address important policy questions such as predicting variations in state government responses to the recently created lump sum welfare grants

the overspending and flypaper effects of fiscal illusion theory and empirical evidence abstract this paper broadens the notion of fiscal illusion to include imperfect information where voters are unsure about how much they must pay for additional services or where they are unsure about the services received in return for higher taxes it shows how each type of voter imperfect information has different effects on public spending and modifies the overspending and flypaper effects predicted by the certainty model an empirical study of municipal expenditures provides support for the broader notion of fiscal illusion as imperfect information

using a discontinuous grant rule to identify the effect of grants on local taxes and spending when investigating the effects of federal grants on the behavior of lower level governments it is hard to defend the handling of grants as an exogenous factor federal governments often set grants based on characteristics and performance of decentralized governments in this paper we make use of a discontinuity in the swedish grant system in order to estimate the causal effects of general intergovernmental grants on local spending and local tax rates the formula for the distribution of funds is used as an exclusion restriction in an iv estimation we find evidence of crowding in where federal grants are shifted to more local spending but not to reduced local tax rates

capital grants and regional public investment in spain fungibility of aid or crowding in effect the aim of capital grants to subcentral governments is to increase their investment however recipients may try to allocate additional resources to cut saving or deficit generating a crowding out effect on self financed investment using data from the spanish autonomous communities during the period 1984 to 1999 the effect of capital transfers on regional public investment saving and deficit are estimated econometric results demonstrate that capital grants have no relevance when explaining the dynamics of saving however in deficit regressions they are shown to be both significant and negative both results lead us to a partial long run crowding out effect of grants on self financed investment

the importance of modeling spatial spillovers in public choice analysis it is frequently assumed that regional observations on local government behavior voters regional taxes etc can be analyzed using ordinary least squares ols methods we discuss spatial regression models in empirical studies of public choice issues using impacts arising from population migration on the provision of county level government services as an illustration spatial regressions allow an examination of the direct and indirect spatial spillover effects which taken together determine the total impact on the dependent variable arising from a change in the explanatory variables this decomposition should be quite useful in empirical public choice studies

special interest groups and the allocation of public funds i propose a fully rational model of government contracting that explains differences in local government spending from grants and other income in this model violations of fungibility arise from dynamic interactions between politicians and interest groups with the ability to raise funds for the local government the predictions of the model are tested by exploiting unique features of windfalls received by states under a settlement with the tobacco industry although windfalls are legally unrestricted the median state increased spending on tobacco control programs from zero to 2 30 per capita upon receipt of funds the marginal propensity to spend on such programs is 0 20 from settlement revenue and zero from overall income states which were not involved in the settlement lawsuits spend less these results cannot be explained by existing models in the literature

estimating a public school expenditure model under binding spending limitations abstract a model explaining desired expenditure on education is estimated for a sample of new jersey school districts because the limit on annual increases in school spending is binding for a subsample of jurisdictions the tobit estimation procedure is used we test for equality of the pre and postlimitation structures and find substantial similarity the cap on expenditure increases was part of a court ordered reform of new jersey school finance law the results can be used to explain the failure of the existing school finance laws in lessening expenditure disparities at the lower end of the distribution

fiscal illusion budget maximizers and dynamic equilibrium this paper extends previous work in grant induced fiscal illusion in two ways while previous models have focused on the existence of rational comparative static equilibria in the presence of illusion this work focuses on the dynamic process by which steady state equilibria can be achieved furthermore endogeneity in grants is incorporated which necessitates the use of a budget maximizing hypothesis however it is shown that a broader interpretation of the budget maximizing assumption is necessary in order for this characterization to make sense in a grantor recipient framework

the flypaper effect and competition in the local market for public goods in this paper we explore how the ability of bureaucrats to extract resources from their community may be limited by competition in the local market for public goods specifically we examine intergovernmental aid as a resource bureaucrats seek to control intergovernmental aid has been found to be more stimulative of local government expenditures than predicted by neo classical economic theory in this research the flypaper effect is used as an indicator of the ability of bureaucrats to control local resources in excess of local demand and preferences we empirically relate variation in the flypaper effect to the extent of competition in the local market for public goods competition does not consistently limit the flypaper effect the implications of this finding for theories of competition in the local market for public goods are then discussed

project appraisal and foreign exchange constraints a comment a paper in this journal by blitzer dasgupta and stiglitz i98i hereinafter bds entitled project appraisal and foreign exchange constraints examines the implications of various non optimal macroeconomic adjustment policies for project evaluation the discussion is presented in terms of a simple two good one consumer economy with price distortions which lead the ratio of the domestic price of the exported good e to the domestic price of the imported good i to be greater than the internati onal price ratio it is argued that the resulting trade gap will force the government to pursue an adjustment policy which may take the form of taxation of income or commodities rationing or foreign borrowing and it is shown that the choice of policy will determine the appropriate shadow price formulae to be used in project appraisal the view that world prices provide shadow prices for traded goods is argued to be correct for some but not all of the macroeconomic policies considered this comment argues that the bds analysis fails to specify how tax revenue is to be incorporated in the model as a result the various policy options open to the government are not clearly brought out we set out below in section i an amplified version of the bds general equilibrium model which includes tax revenue and use it to show how the different adjustment mechanisms have to be related to the public sector budget constraint in section ii we reconsider their analysis and show that if either an income or a commodity tax on the importable is used to ensure public sector balance then world prices remain shadow prices for traded goods in section iii we make the point that the presence of import tariffs does not imply in the context of a real general equilibrium model that the balance of payments constraint will be violated the conclusion is drawn that endogenous foreign borrowing cannot be analysed without respecifying the basic bds model our comment is confined to the problem of shadow pricing traded goods in the bds model we do not consider rationing as a means of macroeconomic adjustment policy nor do we comment on their section iii where they analyse the additional problems which follow from introducing a non traded commodity into the model

general revenue sharing and public sector unions abstract in this paper i find that in the context of a large intergovernmental general revenue sharing program implemented from 1972 to 1986 cities increased expenditures one for one with federal grants which is suggestive of a large flypaper effect furthermore i find that cities in states with pro union collective bargaining laws spent more than half of the transfers on increased wages while cities in states without such laws spent a greater fraction on increased government services these latter findings suggest that public sector unions play an important role in determining the usage and impact of intergovernmental grants

the econometrics of piecewise linear budget constraints a survey and exposition of the maximum likelihood method in this article maximum likelihood techniques for estimating consumer demand functions when budget constraints are piecewise linear are exposited and surveyed consumer demand functions are formally derived under such constraints and it is shown that the functions are themselves nonlinear as a result the econometric problems in estimating such functions are exposited and the importance of the stochastic specification is stressed in particular the specification of both unobserved heterogeneity of preferences and measurement error econometric issues in estimation and testing are discussed and the results of the studies that have been conducted to date are surveyed

the empirical analysis of fiscal illusion this paper examines the empirical analysis of the five main hypotheses subsumed under the generic term fiscal illusion after placing these hypotheses within a common theoretical framework the paper attempts to evaluate empirical research into the revenue complexity hypothesis the revenue elasticity hypothesis the flypaper effect renter illusion and debt illusion

the theory of reform and indian indirect taxes abstract given a set of value judgements an initial state and a model of the economy one can ask whether some feasible tax change would increase welfare we do this by defining the marginal cost in terms of welfare of raising an extra rupee from the i th good the inverse optimum problem is the calculation of non negative welfare weights on households which imply that the initial state is optimum if no such welfare weights exist then a pareto improvement is possible we illustrate the concepts and results using data from the indian economy for 1979 1980 directions of tax reform for a number of specific social welfare functions and for pareto improvements are presented

tax reform from the gradient projection viewpoint abstract this paper examines the problems of gradual tax reform desirable small moves of the tax system are determined using the principles of the well known gradient projection algorithm three classical models of public finance are considered for each of them a continuous time dynamic process is exhibited along which the social welfare function increases until convergence to local second best extrema although the selection of trajectories according to the gradient projection method has some arbitrariness it leads to intuitively and economically appealing rules such as a tax reform analog of the classical optimal taxation result on production efficiency

the tax versus debt controversy in a multivariate cointegrating system the empirical literature is replete with evidence that budget deficits and government debt affect traditional view or do not appreciably affect ricardian equivalence private consumption however the validity of the relative empirical estimates can be questioned to the extent that they do not adequately distinguish among countries with varying levels of indebtedness the present paper attempts to address this problem by using johansen s cointegration technique and by sorting the sample countries into groups according to the ratio of debt to gdp the empirical evidence generated finds support for the debt illusion hypothesis as a means of expounding variations in consumers behaviour among countries with varying degrees of indebtedness

fiscal illusion intergovernmental grants and local spending islam m n 1998 fiscal illusion intergovernmental grants and local spending reg studies 32 63 71 this paper provides some evidence of fiscal illusion of a reduced tax price of public service engendered by provincial grants to local governments a model of fiscal response to grants based on expected vote maximization approach is tested on time series data as well as pooled time series and cross section data for 39 upper tier municipalities in ontario over the period 1977 91 a generalized two stage least square procedure is used to estimate the model adjusting for autocorrelation heteroscedasticity in errors and simultaneity between grants and expenditures the results show that the fiscally induced price effects of grants varies quite widely from one municipality to another and these variations can be attributed to differences in municipal characteristics and their institutional relations with the province additionally the results show evidence of considerable tax exporting and importing

asymmetric information and agenda control the bases of monopoly power in public spending abstract a pervasive empirical finding widely known as the flypaper effect is that lump sum intergovernmental grants generate considerably greater public spending by the recipient jurisdiction than would be predicted by equivalent shifts in personal income in that jurisdiction moreover such observations are inconsistent with standard median voter models of the political process we posit a model in which it is in the interest of suppliers of a collectively provided good not to generate full information to voters about outside aid the empirical results are consistent with flypaper and suggest that voters are very poorly informed about outside grants

the flypaper effect identifying areas for further research the flypaper effect literature dates back three decades it is overwhelmingly neo classical in approach attempting to improve the median voter demand model and or temper it with public choice supply side perspectives whilst this approach provided valuable early substantial analytical insights more recent papers seem to have contributed only marginally to an understanding of the flypaper effect if indeed it exists at all hence as well as providing a long overdue comprehensive review of the literature on the flypaper effect this paper identifies more productive avenues for further research

resource fungibility the flypaper effect and the expenditure impact of grants in aid the typical assumption that intergovernmental grants in aid alter a recipient s budget constraint according to the legal provisions of grant programs was first challenged by mcguire 1975 1978 in a model where local officials are able to convert some fraction of conditional aid into pure fungible resources this paper develops a model of local government expenditure decisions based on mcguire s original work and applies it to data for large u s city governments the results lend strong support to the fungibility hypothesis additionally and importantly the results provide very little evidence in support of the so called flypaper effect of unconditional grants this is due to a more appropriate specification of the unconditional aid variable

public investment and real price supports abstract the social rate of return to public investment in industries with fixed real price supports is studied using a simple general equilibrium model fixed real price supports are shown to enhance the likelihood of immiserizing growth due to capital accumulation or technological innovation in the supported sector general conditions under which an intervention price will induce a negative social rate of return to public investment are derived

disentangling the demand function from the production function for local public services the case of public safety abstract in this paper we develop a theoretical framework and an econometric model which allow us to separate the effect of income and other socioeconomic variables on the demand for publicly provided goods from their effect on the price of those goods we apply our approach in a study of expenditures for police protection in a cross section of 73 u s cities and counties our results suggest that studies of public expenditures which fail to incorporate community characteristics in production and cost functions can yield very misleading results

political markets property tax referenda and local school spending for better or worse fiscal decisions made through property tax referenda allow local political markets to work demand supply and voting process components of such markets are estimated for those oregon k 12 school districts that held referenda between 1981 and 1986 various attributes of the median voter were related to school spending but supply decisions by school boards and administrators were also important large districts used state aid to substitute for local property tax revenues on nearly a one for one basis while relying on reversion budgets inadequate property tax bases and implicit threats of school closures to extract greater than desired spending levels from the median voter

optimal taxes and the structure of preferences if optimal tax theory is to be the basis for calculating tax rates a close understanding is required of the relationship between the structure of preferences and the configuration of optimal tax rates otherwise hypotheses chosen by the econometrician for practical convenience may completely determine the results independently of measurement this paper explores the relationship between various types of separability particularly weak and implicit separability and optimal tax rates in the various models discussed in the literature the use of distance functions and the antonelli matrix provides a significant unification of previously disparate results in the final analysis optimal tax theory should be the basis for actual calculation of tax rates although recently there have been great advances in theoretical results and in our understanding of their meaning we are still some way from a working knowledge of whether uniform commodity taxes are in practice optimal or if not which commodities should be discriminated against present theoretical formulae do not yield clear cut results except in special cases and it has recently become clear that optimal rates depend crucially on the detailed structure of consumer preferences for example atkinson and stiglitz 3 show that with an optimal nonlinear income tax discriminatory commodity taxes are only necessary to the extent that individual commodities are not weakly separable from leisure more recently deaton 6 has shown that a similar result holds for what is perhaps the most interesting of the standard models that where there are many consumers and only a linear income tax and proportional commodity taxes are allowed in this case separability between goods and leisure together with linear engel curves for goods removes the need for differential commodity taxation in consequence nothing can be learned about commodity taxes from consumer demand studies in which commodity demands are explained conditionally on total expenditure and commodity prices and which assume linear engel curves all such studies require separability from leisure as a maintained hypothesis and so are consistent with uniform commodity taxation these results suggest that the prospects for meaningful empirical calculations of tax rates are bleak econometricians estimating commodity demand and labor supply equations make generous use of separability assumptions to enable estimation at all in consequence it is likely that empirically calculated tax rates based on econometric estimates of parameters will be determined in structure not by the measurements actually made but by arbitrary untested and even unconscious hypotheses chosen by the econometrician for practical convenience to remedy this situation and as a prelude to fruitful empirical work it is necessary to have a more explicit understanding of how preference structure affects optimal tax rates such is the object of this paper three different

the flypaper effect and other anomalies abstract i develop a model in which income both in its own right and as a proxy for other socioeconomic characteristics is an input in the production function for local public services the most obvious example is education though there are other applications as well the comparative statics results from this model yield the following results 1 the observed flypaper effect the tendency for local government to spend a higher fraction of unrestricted grants than income of residents may be due at least in part to the fact that own income but not grants is a substitute for purchased inputs in the technology hence the propensity to spend on purchased inputs out of own income is lower than out of grants 2 the income elasticity of demand for public sector output may be higher than the observed income elasticity of demand for purchased inputs 3 equalization of educational opportunity via wealth neutrality as suggested by feldstein requires major changes in education finance once we recognice the distinction between purchased inputs and output

legal constraints and the choice of educational grant structures recent empirical work suggests that legalconstraints are significant in choosingstate educational grant structures unfortunately the literature has not takensuch constraints into account thus callinginto question particular grant structurerecommendations this paper studies theconditions under which a legislature underorder to reform its educational grantstructure prefers foundation grants overdistrict power equalization grants atheoretical model is presented in which thechoice is shown to depend on the legalbasis of the court s decision and theempirical validity of this conclusion isdemonstrated using connecticut data and aseparate model of school districtexpenditure choice

technical progress inefficiency and productivity change in u s banking 1984 1993 studies often find that on average u s commercial banks are quite inefficient and the authors find that banks became more technically inefficient between 1984 and 1993 from a new decomposition of the malmquist productivity index into changes in pure technical and scale efficiency as well as both pure technical changes and changes in scale of technology they find that much of the inefficiency increase can be attributed to the general failure of banks to adopt technological improvements made by a few banks that advanced the efficient frontier small banks experienced especially large decreases in both efficiency and productivity

an evaluation of eu regional policy do structural actions crowd out public spending motivated by the lack of success of previous studies trying to estimate the impact of the european cohesion policy this paper brings an unexplored issue to light transfers that are intended to finance public investment in key areas for growth might be crowded out by subsidized governments to alternative uses in fact using annual data from fifteen member countries 1993 2005 we conclude that public investment in the member countries makes up around 60 of the increase in eu funds the limited role of the european commission in the allocation of the funds could partially explain this result

tax reform and temporary inefficiency abstract if any type of direct income redistribution is permitted a very weak condition ensures that it will not be desirable or necessary to permit production inefficiency in the process of a pareto improving tax reform inefficiency arises in models which make an implausible set of assumptions about the range of policies available to the government

when groups contribute to a public good the importance of institutional framework for making collective decisions in this paper i discuss how the institutional framework for making collective decisions influences the outcome of a game where groups contribute to a public good representative democracy invites each group to act strategically in the election of representatives i show that this strategic effect reinforces the tragedy of the common the society all groups taken together has therefore incentives to restrict groups from making collective decisions through a system of representation

optimal trade taxes on agriculture in developing countries subsistence foodcrops and incomes are hard to tax in developing countries it is easy and common to tax agricultural imports and exports if domestic transactions cannot be taxed how should agricultural trade taxes be set and how should indirect taxes on nonagricultural consumer goods be set this paper derives and quantifies formulas for the optimal export tax on a nonfood agricultural product ghanaian cocoa in which the country has market power and the level of indirect taxes on taxable consumer goods it asks whether starting from free trade on cereals there should be import tariffs or subsidies copyright 1990 by royal economic society

export expansion and economic growth testing for cointegration and causality this paper develops a multivariate error correction model to test the causality between exports and growth in 15 asian countries 1967 91 the underlying series are tested as non stationary in levels but stationary in first differences the causal factors are cointegrated in five of these countries only causality test results indicate that export expansion causes growth in two third of these countries corrected for simultaneity between the causal factors a country with a large public sector higher level of economic development and which is less vulnerable to external economic shocks is more likely to reap the benefits of export promotion strategies the causal inferences are fairly stable over the sample period

the elusive flypaper effect abstract the flypaper effect is the common empirical result that lump sum intergovernmental grants stimulate more local government spending than increases in private income which are theoretically equivalent in this paper four of the best known explanations of the flypaper effect are tested using data from michigan school districts none of these explanations are confirmed by the data the cause of the flypaper effect is likely to be much more deeply rooted in the nature of local decision making than is currently recognized

the incidence of agricultural policies abstract a general equilibrium model is used to analyze agricultural policy incidence in the presence of distortionary income taxation the incidence of lump sum transfers to farmers supply control through input retirement and production subsidies are considered partial equilibrium incidence calculations are shown to systematically overstate the benefits farmers receive from farm programs kaldor s compensation test is used to judge the relative efficiency inefficiency of alternative farm programs at the margin supply control through input retirement may dominate decoupled lump sum transfers if the tax system is very inefficient and subsidy payments are high

agricultural pricing and public investment abstract aggregate agricultural supply is price inelastic but responsive to investment in agricultural infrastructure irrigation roads research extension thus the government should tax agriculture and finance infrastructure although unlikely to pay for itself directly it will increase taxable agricultural surplus but by raising rural living standards and therefore the supply price of urban labour it reduces urban tax revenue its marginal social product is therefore overstated when measured at world prices though understated at distorted agricultural prices with scale economies in industry the case for taxing and investing in agriculture is strengthened it may allow the economy to escape stagnation

a model of local demand for education abstract a careful modeling of the spending behavior of local school districts in new jersey is presented the theoretical model relies on the common hypothesis of political competition leading to a median outcome as well as the assumption that school superintendents act as budget maximizers the model is estimated for a sample of 177 school districts under three different aid formulas pooling of the cross sections suggests that the response of school expenditures to changes in variables other than those associated with school aid parameters has remained constant over time the results are discussed in the context of recent theories regarding the effect of intergovernmental aid on the level of public expenditure

public security in brazil efficiency and technological gaps abstract this article analyzes the technical efficiency the total factor productivity tfp and the technological gap in public security services in brazilian states the order m frontier is used for results estimation the tfp variation is built by decomposing the malmquist productivity index into technical efficiency scale efficiency and technological variation more than 50 of the federative units were considered technically inefficient out of the 27 federative units 12 presented a positive total productivity while all others suffered total productivity losses productivity gains in public security are more related to scale aspects than to efficiency improvements and technological progress

pension wealth and individual saving some new evidence attemprs to measure the tmpact of soctal security and private pensions on household saving have occupied much of the literature in empirical public finance over the past decade empirical estimates of those impacts have been quite varied see the discussion in aaron 1982 this paper provides new estimates of the impact of changes in holdings of social security and private pension annuities on the level of non pension wealth the data examined are drawn from surveys conducted for the u s president s commission on pension policy the impact of the social security system on individual saving has been a concern since feldstein s 1974 pioneering paper l the theoretical argument of feldstein and of barro 1974 1978 centers around the funding status of social security i e the degree to which an unfunded social security system reduces private saving empirical tests of the effects of social security on saving in this line of research have been conducted in the perfect certainty version of the life cycle model modigliani and ando 1957 modigliani and brumberg 1954 in that approach social security affects non pension saving through its impact on individual intertemporal budget constraints disposable income during the working period falls by the amount of

do intergovernmental grants create ratchets in state and local taxes a large literature on the flypaper effect examines how federal grants to states at time period t affect state spending or taxes at time period t we explore the fundamentally different question of how federal grants at time period t affect state tax policy in the future federal grants often result in states creating new programs and hiring new employees and when the federal funding is discontinued these new state programs must either be discontinued or financed through increases in state own source taxes government programs tend to be difficult to cut as goes milton friedman s famous quote about nothing being as permanent as a temporary government program suggesting that it is likely that temporary federal grants create permanent future ratchets in state taxes far from being purely an academic question this argument is why south carolina s governor mark sanford attempted to turn down federal stimulus monies for his state we examine both the impact of federal grants on future state budgets and how federal and state grants affect future local government budgets our findings confirm that grants indeed result in future state and local tax increases of roughly 40 cents for every dollar in grant money received in prior years

is the median voter a clear cut winner comparing themedian voter theory and competing theories in explaining localgovernment spending this paper attempts to test the power of the median model againstthe respective strength of other alternate models based onredistributive political institutional and interest group theoriesin explaining the demand for public spending in new york statecounties during 1990 1980 and 1970 to execute the comparison ofthe performance of median voter model with that of each of thenonmedian voter ones various nonnested tests such as j and jatests n tilde w and encompassing tests have been employed results of the study show that although the median voter model hasa marginal edge over the rival models based on the alternativetheories it may not be relied upon solely when many otherinstitutional redistributive and interest group factors are alsorelevant for explaining public spending the results of this studydiffer from those in congleton and bennett 1995 we do not findthat interest group models are substantially weaker than the medianvoter model

estudos econ omicos das causas da criminalidade no brasil evid encias e controv ersias this study aims to gather and to discuss the literature on the economics of the criminality in brazil the main diculties evidences and controversies found in empirical research are presented besides some of the main criminal data bases available in brazil unavailability of data crime underreporting and the inverse causality between the deterrence variables and the criminality are some of the main inherent diculties of the economic investigation of crime the main controversy among the studies is the eect of law enforcement on crime rates the main results are that income inequality and returns on crime lead to increases in criminality also there are spatial eects aecting

fiscal illusion and the australian local government grants process how sticky is the flypaper effect it has been argued that evidence supporting the widely documented flypaper effect is a statistical artefact more specifically that previous studies are compromised by the use of inappropriate functional forms and the endogeneity of intergovernmental grant programs whilst the first issue may be resolved with careful econometric testing the second requires the incorporation of institutional constraints into governmental expenditure equations combining australian local government expenditure equations and intergovernmental grant parameters the flypaper controversy is analysed empirical results confirm the sensitivity of the flypaper effect to specification and tests of fit unambiguously favour one functional form that specification yields no evidence of a flypaper effect in the australian institutional milieu