earnings and pension compensation the effect of eligibility pension compensation is shown to rise with age and tenure until the worker becomes eligible to receive benefits at this point pension compensation drops sharply if workers are paid their marginal product in each period earnings grow at a lower rate prior to eligibility but must increase when the worker reaches the age of eligibility this hypothesis is tested using data from the retirement history study and earnings are found to rise significantly after eligibility this finding supports the concept of spot market compensation and is in direct conflict with the predictions of lazear type lifetime contracts

economic shocks wealth and welfare the immediate effects of the asian crisis on the well being of indonesians are examined using the indonesia family life survey an on going longitudinal household survey there is tremendous diversity in the effect of the shock for some households it was devastating for others it brought new opportunities a wide array of mechanisms were adopted in response to the crisis households combined to more fully exploit benefits of scale economies in consumption labor supply increased even as real wages collapsed households reduced spending on semi durables while maintaining expenditures on foods rural households used wealth particularly gold to smooth consumption

gender norms in financial markets evidence from kenya abstract the role of institutions rules and norms in markets is increasingly recognized in development discourse this paper considers the role of gender relations for rules and norms in financial markets using evidence from central kenya it develops a framework for establishing the influence of gender on the demand for and access to financial services so explaining the gender differentiated use of rotating savings and credit associations roscas it first analyzes intrahousehold norms related to income and expenditure flows and their management so identifying gendered patterns of demand second by conceptualizing financial intermediaries as operating within rules and norms it allows the influence of gender relations on access to financial services to be more systematically investigated

remittance and financial inclusion in refugee migrants inverse probability of treatment weighting using the propensity score abstractthis paper investigates the impact on remittances on financial inclusion of refugee migrants while financial inclusion is gaining traction in the humanitarian and development literature t

financial inclusion measurement spatial effects and influencing factors abstractusing the index of financial inclusion and the world bank global findex database this study measures the level of financial inclusion across countries the results reveal a geographical spatial aggregation distribution in which developed european and north american countries enjoy higher levels of financial inclusion than the less developed countries of africa and most of asia accordingly our spatial analysis proves our hypothesis and reveals dependence and aggregation effects among countries then we employ spatial econometric research to identify those factors significantly associated with financial inclusion the results show that an individual s income education and use of communications equipment are important factors that explain the level of financial inclusion while financial depth and banking health status are the main determinants building an inclusive financial system is an important means for most countries to achieve the millennium development goals

the willingness to pay for work family policies a study of teachers recent evidence suggests that employers and employees may benefit from work family policies and that even non beneficiaries may support such policies the authors posit that these policies generate not only use values values for those who rely on them but also based on a particular norm of social justice need values values received by all individuals regardless of expectations of direct benefit combining the median voter model with the contingent valuation method which was designed to measure the willingness to pay for environmental goods such as national parks the authors capture the willingness to pay for seven distinct work family policies within a sample of 343 public elementary school teachers the results suggest that referenda to initiate work family policies in exchange for payroll deductions from teachers would pass depending on the specific deduction even respondents with no expectation of direct benefit may place a positive value on the policies consistent with the notion of need values

remittances and their macroeconomic impact this paper examines the macroeconomic trends drivers and the impact of remittances in africa first it documents the increasing share of remittances relative to other foreign capital flows to africa the distribution of remittance inflows across countries and some key properties this is followed by an analysis of the macroeconomic drivers of remittances in recipient countries such as the level of income inflation and nominal exchange rate depreciation specifically remittances are positively impacted by higher income but deterred by an unstable macroeconomic environment pointing to the investment motive in remitting to africa the paper also examines the role of remittances in funding africa s external balances finally drawing on the case of egypt the paper shows the positive impact that rising remittances can have on public debt sustainability

do workers remittances reduce the probability of current account reversals the authors combine the literature on financial crises in emerging markets and developing economies with that on international migrations by investigating whether the increasingly large flows of workers remittances can help reduce the probability of current account reversals the rationale for this stands in the great stability and low cyclicality of remittances as compared with other private capital flows these properties combined with the fact that remittances are cheap inflows of foreign currencies might reduce the probability that foreign investors suddenly flee out of emerging markets and developing economies and trigger a dramatic current account adjustment the authors find that remittances can have such a beneficial effect in particular they show that a high level of remittances as a ratio of gdp makes the relationship between a decreasing stock of international reserves over gdp and a higher probability of current account crises less stringent the same occurs though less neatly for the positive relationship between an increasing stock of external debt over gdp and the probability of current account reversals the results point also to a threshold effect of remittances the mechanisms just described are in fact much stronger when remittances are above 3 percent of gdp

labor market performance as a determinant of migration in a comparison of migrants with nonmigrants both observed and unobservable productivity factors are relevant this paper focuses more on the unobservable factors and their correlation between places of origin and destination a human capital model of migration demonstrates that more productive workers at the origin would choose to migrate only if the correlation between origin and destination factors is strongly positive longitudinal data drawn from the cote d ivoire living standards survey 1985 86 are used to examine the pattern of migration in the light of labor market performance both of wage employees and non farm self employed workers it is found that indeed the more productive workers migrate furthermore the general direction of migration is toward cities the conclusion is therefore that rural areas lose their productive workers and that urban areas may gain in productivity from the geographical shifts in population

from theory to practice canadian economists contributions to public finance we survey canadian economists contributions to the field of public finance from the mid 1980s to 2016 we highlight the development and extension of the models and tools of public economics and the empirical studies that have deepened our understanding of the efficiency and distributional issues over a wide range of public finance issues we also highlight contributions to the development of policies through commissioned reports and the important role that canadian institutions the canadian tax foundation the think tanks and the federal and provincial departments of finance have played in shaping tax and fiscal policies de la theorie a la pratique contributions des economistes canadiens a la finance publique on examine les contributions des economistes canadiens au domaine de la finance publique du milieu des annees 1980 a 2016 on souligne le developpement et l extension des modeles et des outils d economie publique et les etudes empiriques qui ont aide a approfondir notre comprehension des enjeux d efficacite et de distribution dans un vaste eventail de questions de finance publique on souligne aussi les contributions des rapports commandites au developpement de politiques publiques ainsi que le role important d institutions canadiennes l association canadienne d etudes fiscales les groupes d experts ainsi que les ministeres des finances du gouvernement federal et des gouvernements provinciaux dans le design des politiques fiscales

remittances and household consumption instability in developing countries this paper analyzes the impact of remittances on household consumption instability in a large panel of developing countries there are four main results first remittances significantly reduce household consumption instability second remittances play an insurance role by dampening the effects of various sources of consumption instability in developing countries natural disasters agricultural shocks discretionary fiscal policy systemic financial and banking crises and exchange rate instability third the stabilizing role played by remittances is stronger in less financially developed countries fourth the overall stabilizing effect of remittances is mitigated when remittances exceed 6 of gdp

remittances financial development and growth abstract despite the increasing importance of remittances in total international capital flows the relationship between remittances and growth has not been adequately studied this paper studies one of the links between remittances and growth in particular how local financial sector development influences a country s capacity to take advantage of remittances using a newly constructed dataset for remittances covering about 100 developing countries we find that remittances boost growth in countries with less developed financial systems by providing an alternative way to finance investment and helping overcome liquidity constraints this finding controls for the endogeneity of remittances and financial development does not depend on the particular measure of financial sector development used and is robust to a number of robustness tests including threshold estimation we also provide evidence that there could be an investment channel trough which remittances can promote growth especially when the financial sector does not meet the credit needs of the population

pensions and wages an hedonic price theory approach this paper examines whether a trade off exists between the level of pension benefits and wages the 1983 survey of consumer finance is used to match detailed information on pension plans to worker characteristics for a random sample of the population the pension wage tradeoff is estimated using both a contractual model of the labor market and the spot market model used in previous studies the results indicate a large negative tradeoff in the contractual model but only a negligible tradeoff in the spot market model results from estimating the underlying structural equations for pensions are also presented copyright 1992 by economics department of the university of pennsylvania and the osaka university institute of social and economic research association

migration and income diversification evidence from burkina faso this paper uses limited dependent variable methods and new data from burkina faso to test the impact of inter continental and continental migration on activity choice and incomes in rural households econometric evidence supports our theoretical expectation that the impact of emigration varies both by migrant destination and production activity we find no evidence of either positive or negative effects of continental migration on agricultural or livestock activities and only a small negative impact on non farm activities however inter continental migration which tends to be long term and generates significantly larger remittances stimulates livestock production while being negatively associated with both staple and non farm activities

do remittances facilitate a sustainable current account we examine how workers remittances impact on the current account in doing so we focus on how remittances affect the sustainability rather than the size of current account balances we find that the presence of remittances makes it more likely that exports and imports are cointegrated thereby lending support to current account sustainability furthermore quantile regression analysis suggests that increased remittances are associated with a faster speed of current account adjustment towards long run equilibrium particularly for those countries characterised by already highly persistent current account balances in contrast to a literature that emphasises an adverse dutch disease impact of workers remittances on the real exchange rate in terms of reduced external competitiveness our findings suggest that remittances are actually beneficial to the current account balance

do remittances induce inflation fresh evidence from developing countries the goal of this article is to examine the determinants of inflation in both the short run and the long run for 54 developing countries using a panel data set covering the 1995 2004 period apart from the commonly used economic determinants of inflation we model the impact of remittances and institutional variables on inflation using the arellano and bond panel dynamic estimator and the arellano and bover and the blundell and bond system generalized method of moments estimator we find evidence that in developing countries remittances generate inflation the effect of remittances on inflation is more pronounced in the long run moreover we find that openness debt current account deficits the agricultural sector and the short term u s interest rate have a positive effect on inflation we also find that improvements in democracy reduce inflation

multilateral resistance to migration the rate of migration observed between two countries does not depend solely on their relative attractiveness but also on the one of alternative destinations following the trade literature we term the influence exerted by other destinations on bilateral flows as multilateral resistance to migration and we show how it can be accounted for when estimating the determinants of migration rates in the context of a general individual random utility maximization model we propose the use of the common correlated effects estimator pesaran 2006 and apply it to high frequency data on the spanish immigration boom between 1997 and 2009 compared to more restrictive estimation strategies developed in the literature the bias goes in the expected direction we find a smaller effect of gdp per capita and a larger effect of migration policies on bilateral rates

the shadow value of migrant remittances income and inequality in a household farm economy this article offers econometric evidence that income remittances sent home by family migrants stimulate household farm incomes indirectly by relieving credit and risk constraints on household farm production a high but unequally distributed shadow value of migrant remittances appears to reinforce an equalising direct effect of remittances on the income distribution across a sample of household farms in rural mexico

pay for delay patent settlement generic entry and welfare abstract pay for delay settlement p4d in which the brand patentee reversely pays the generic infringer to delay market entry is typically criticized for blocking competition but is often excused for its potential to maintain innovation we present a game theoretic model to show that when the generic firm s entry decision is endogenized p4d can actually increase ex post competition under certain conditions we further explore the impact of p4d on ex ante innovation and find that the brand s innovation incentive may increase or decrease depending on the generic firm s entry cost and other factors our findings contribute to the ongoing p4d debate by identifying conditions under which 1 p4d can improve consumer surplus and 2 the trade off between competition and innovation can be reconciled

are male female earnings differentials related to life expectancy caused pension cost differences this paper argues that employers using defined benefit pension plans are forced by competitive conditions to lower females earnings to account for more costly pension liabilities resulting from longer life expectancy a newly constructed data set containing employee salary histories and pension plan descriptions from five firms is used to calculate how much more it costs to employ a female vs a male worker identical except for life expectancy it is demonstrated that each dollar of increased pension liabilities results in a reduction in females salaries by fifty five cents implications of these findings for the 1983 supreme court ruling involving sex linked pension benefits are discussed

workers remittances and the real exchange rate a paradox of gifts abstract we test the impact of workers remittances on the real exchange rate using a panel of 13 latin american and caribbean countries the analysis reveals that workers remittances have the potential to inflict economic costs on the export sector of receiving countries by reducing its international competitiveness our findings raise concerns parallel to those raised by dutch disease or resource boom models where resource discoveries result in real exchange rate appreciation and shifting of resources from the traded to the nontraded sectors of the economy

determinants of workers remittances an empirical investigation for a panel of eleven developing asian economies we explore the key motives of migrant workers remittances from abroad for 11 major asian migrant sending countries using panel regressions we find that relative higher growth rate interest rate and capital market returns of home over the host investment financial deepening at home have significant impact on remittance inflows into asia along with higher per capita incomes and international crude oil prices with incorporation of per capita incomes and lagged impact of remittances we observe an emergence of consumption motives to remit therefore we conclude that both investment and altruistic motives are the driving forces for remittances inflows into the asian economies

migration networks and microenterprises in mexico are migration networks associated with lower capital costs or the alleviation of capital constraints we examine these questions with data measuring access to remittance flows among small scale entrepreneurs in mexico using a survey of more than 6000 self employed workers and small firm owners located in 44 urban areas of mexico we estimate the impact of attachment to migration networks on the level of capital investment the capital output ratio sales and profits of microenterprises the impact is identified from the geographic pattern of migration from mexico driven by the completion of rail lines in the early 1900s for the full sample of firms we find that migration is associated with higher investment levels and higher profits but not higher sales the strongest effects on investment are in the categories of automobiles tools and inventories when the sample is limited to firms in high capital sectors investment sales and profits all increase with attachment to the migration networks suggesting that attachment to the migration network alleviates capital constraints in those sectors

remittances and financial access is there really a link and for whom evidence from mexican household data in policy discussions it has frequently been claimed that migrants remittances could function as a catalyst for financial access among receiving households this paper provides empirical evidence on this hypothesis from mexico a major receiver of remittances worldwide using the mexican family life survey panel mxfls for 2002 and 2005 the results from the fixed effects logit model show that receiving remittances is strongly correlated with the ownership of savings accounts and to a limited degree with the availability of borrowing options effects are particularly important for microfinance institutions and more important for rural households compared to urban households

remittances and financial inclusion evidence from el salvador this paper investigates the impact of remittances on financial inclusion this is an important issue given recent studies showing that financial inclusion can have significant beneficial effects on households using household level survey data for el salvador the authors examine the impact of remittances on households use of savings and credit instruments from formal financial institutions they find that although remittances have a positive impact on financial inclusion by promoting the use of deposit accounts they do not have a significant and robust effect on the demand for and use of credit from formal institutions if anything by relaxing credit constraints remittances might reduce the need for external financing from financial institutions while at the same time increasing the demand for savings instruments

do international migration and remittances reduce poverty in developing countries summary few studies have examined the impact of international migration and remittances on poverty in the developing world this paper fills this lacuna by constructing and analyzing a new data set on international migration remittances inequality and poverty from 71 developing countries the results show that both international migration and remittances significantly reduce the level depth and severity of poverty in the developing world after instrumenting for the possible endogeneity of international migration and controlling for various factors results suggest that on average a 10 increase in the share of international migrants in a country s population will lead to a 2 1 decline in the share of people living on less than 1 00 per person per day after instrumenting for the possible endogeneity of international remittances a similar 10 increase in per capita official international remittances will lead to a 3 5 decline in the share of people living in poverty

comparative statics in first price auctions abstract two bidders take part in a first price auction we show that if a bidder s valuation distribution increases stochastically so will his bid distribution for every possible valuation his opponent will bid higher and the change is beneficial to the auctioneer we generalize our results to the asymmetric setting with n bidders and no more than two different valuation distributions journal of economic literature classification number d44

the gender gap in pensions and wages this study provides rationale for the underrepresentation of women in the pension sector and examines the consequences for the gender wage gap for a given set of observed characteristics a woman is 11 19 percent less likely than a man to have a pension of the unexplained portion of the gender wage gap 10 38 percent is due to unexplained differences in pension coverage finally consistent with a screening effect of pensions women are paid more equally in the pension sector copyright 1990 by mit press

currency crashes in emerging markets an empirical treatment we use a panel of annual data for over 100 developing countries from 1971 through 1992 to characterize currency crashes we define a currency crash as a large change of the nominal exchange rate that is also a substantial increase in the rate of change of nominal depreciation we examine the composition of the debt as well as its level and a variety of other macroeconomic factors external and foreign crashes tend to occur when output growth is low the growth of domestic credit is high and the level of foreign interest rates are high a low ratio of fdi to debt is consistently associated with a high likelihood of a crash

the optimal migration duration and activity choice after re migration if migrants return to their origin countries two questions arise which are of immediate economic interest for both immigration and emigration country what determines their optimal migration duration and what are the activities migrants choose after a return little research has been devoted to these two issues this paper utilises a unique survey data set which records activities of returned migrants we first illustrate the activities of immigrants after returning we show that more than half of the returning migrants are economically active after return and most of them engage in entrepreneurial activities we then develop a model where migrants decide simultaneously about the optimal migration duration and their after return activities guided by this model we specify and estimate an empirical model where the after return activity and the optimal migration duration are simultaneously chosen

international migration remittances and household investment evidence from philippine migrants exchange rate shocks how do households respond to overseas members economic shocks overseas filipinos in dozens of countries experienced sudden heterogeneous changes in exchange rates during the 1997 asian financial crisis appreciation of a migrant s currency against the philippine peso leads to increases in household remittances from overseas the estimated elasticity of philippine peso remittances with respect to the exchange rate is 0 60 positive migrant shocks lead to enhanced human capital accumulation and entrepreneurship in origin households child schooling and educational expenditure rise while child labour falls households also work more hours in self employment and become more likely to start relatively capital intensive household enterprises

does openness to trade make countries more vulnerable to sudden stops or less using gravity to establish causality openness to trade is one factor that has been identified as determining whether a country is prone to sudden stops in capital inflows several authors have offered empirical evidence that having a large tradable sector reduces the contraction necessary to adjust to a given cut off in funding such studies may however be subject to the problem that trade is endogenous we use the gravity instrument for trade openness which is constructed from geographical determinants of bilateral trade we find that openness indeed makes countries less vulnerable to crises and that the relationship is even stronger when correcting for the endogeneity of trade

retirement incentives contained in occupational pension plans and their implications for the mandatory retirement debate we find for the most prevalent type of pension plan in canada that plan provisions are not a close substitute for mandatory retirement special retirement pro visions which have a strong potential to discourage work typically do not come into play before age sixty and are far from universal the postponed retirement provision that has the greatest potential to discourage work beyond age sixty five has been deemed an unacceptable substitute for mandatory retirement in those jurisdic tions quebec manitoba government of canada which have banned mandatory retirement

globalization brain drain and development this paper reviews four decades of economics research on the brain drain with a focus on recent contributions and on development issues we first assess the magnitude intensity and determinants of the brain drain showing that brain drain or high skill migration is becoming a dominant pattern of international migration and a major aspect of globalization we then use a stylized growth model to analyze the various channels through which a brain drain affects the sending countries and review the evidence on these channels the recent empirical literature shows that high skill emigration need not deplete a country s human capital stock and can generate positive network externalities three case studies are also considered the african medical brain drain the exodus of european scientists to the united states and the role of the indian diaspora in the development of india s information technology sector we conclude with a discussion of the implications of the analysis for education immigration and international taxation policies in a global context

pensions and wage premia i introduction despite the widespread acceptance of the theory of compensating differences empirical efforts to estimate the magnitude of these differences have met with only mixed success 1 with the exception of fatal risks economists have not been able to consistently find a significant relationship between wages and other job characteristics the failure to find consistent evidence on compensating differentials has been attributed to either poor measures of non wage characteristics or inadequate controls for worker productivity 2 studies by gunderson hyatt and pesando 1992 montgomery shaw and benedict 1992 and moore 1987 which have been able to explicitly address these issues have had greater success in finding significant compensating differentials in this paper we focus on an alternative explanation for the variation in estimated compensating differentials that the magnitude of the compensating differential varies systematically across different sectors in the labor market the theory of compensating differentials predicts that the implicit price or cost of providing a job attribute such as pensions will be a function of firm or industry technological differences and that the value attached to that attribute will also vary across workers depending on their tastes if workers and firms are not randomly assigned to sectors this will lead to systematic variations in the size of the estimated compensating differential across sectors or markets the result of this variation is that studies using different subsamples of the labor force will yield very different estimates of the size of the compensating differential the few studies that have addressed sources of heterogeneity in compensating differentials have concentrated on testing for individual differences in tastes for risk 3 in contrast our emphasis is on firm side differences in technologies or market power we estimate the compensating differential between annual pension accruals and wage rates and let this tradeoff vary by firm size and union status with corrections for selectivity bias the implicit cost of pensions and hence the size of the compensating differential may vary by finn size or union status for a number of reasons greater ability to spread fixed administrative costs across a large work force more difficulty monitoring worker effort or the presence of market power thus the cost of fringe benefits to the firm may be lower in large or unionized firms than in small nonunion firms we find empirical evidence supporting this view the estimated wage pension compensating differentials are smaller in unionized and large firms than in small nonunion firms the results from this paper are significant for several reasons 1 they provide evidence that compensating differentials vary across markets this evidence could account for some of the differences in estimates of tradeoffs across studies that have used different nonrandom samples 4 more importantly these sectoral differences serve as a reminder that the labor market is in fact a multitude of markets and that technological differences that vary across markets should be considered when addressing issues ranging from estimating the returns to human capital investment to the impact of the minimum wage 5 2 these results also deepen our knowledge of the relationship between pensions and wages a relationship that has important implications for the shape of workers wage earnings profiles or for the mechanisms for motivating workers and for the returns to human capital and for the distribution of income regarding the latter pensions are a large component of compensation and work by even and macpherson 1990 mccarthy and turner 1983 and moore 1987 suggests that coverage rates and returns are smaller for women and blacks our analysis suggests that an element of the differences could be sectoral choices

the rise of risk based pricing of mortgage interest rates in italy abstract this paper assesses how much mortgage interest rates in italy are priced on credit risk as proxied by the probability of household mortgage delinquency estimated using the eu silc database owing to data availability we restrict the analysis of mortgage pricing to italian households consistent with the more widespread use of credit scoring estimates indicate that italian lenders have increasingly priced mortgage interest rates on household credit risk for mortgages granted between 2000 and 2007 we find that a 1 point increase in the probability of default is associated with a 21 basis point rise in mortgage interest rates lower than the 38 basis point premium edelberg 2006 estimated for the us at the end of the 1990s

the new economics of labor migration this paper reviews selected theoretical and empirical developments in the field of labor migration economics the migration behavior of individuals differs in accordance with their perceived relative deprivation those who are relatively more deprived tend to have stronger incentive to migrate than those who are relatively less deprived moreover a reference group characterized by more income inequality is likely to generate more relative deprivation highly skilled workers are also more likely to migrate migration decisions are often made jointly by the migrant and nonmigrant with a contractual arrangement regarding the sharing of costs and returns the exchange of commitments to share income provides coinsurance of particular interest are the determinants of the speed of adoption of migration as an innovation and the characteristics associated with the delay in the adoption of innovation new econometric techniques including techniques for the analysis of qualitative dependent variables techniques that correct for sample selection bias and those for the analysis of longitudinal data have substantially benefited empirical research in this area new methods that can correct for the biased estimate of the wages particular individuals would receive at 2 or more locations at the same point in time allow researchers to test locational decsion making models estimates of these structural models of labor migration support the hypothesis that individuals respond to income incentives in making the decsion to migrate further research is needed on the pazzling observation that migrant workers earn less than native born workers with similar characteristics during the 1st few years after migration but more thereafter other topics that need further research include the macroeconomic effects of migration the microeconomic and macroeconomic relationships between aging and labor migration and the migration behavior of dual earner families

international migration remittances and schooling evidence from el salvador abstract we examine the effect of remittances from abroad on households schooling decisions using data for el salvador following the massive war related emigration of the 1980s remittances became a significant source of household income throughout the 1990s we use the cox proportional hazard model to examine the determinants of school attendance measuring income from a source that is uncorrelated with parental schooling remittances we find that remittances have a large significant effect on school retention we estimate that while household income net of remittances has a small though significant impact on the hazard of leaving school in rural and urban areas remittances have a much larger impact on the hazard of leaving school in urban areas the effect of remittances is at its smallest 10 times the size of the effect of other income in rural areas the effect of remittances is about 2 6 times that of other income our finding is of interest in that it suggests that subsidizing school attendance particularly in poor areas may have a large impact on school attendance and retention even if parents have low levels of schooling

remittances and the use of formal and informal financial services summary while recent literature has pointed to a positive effect of migrants remittances on the financial development of receiving countries findings with respect to access to and the use of loans have been ambiguous this paper investigates the effect of remittances on the use of formal and informal financial services using mexican household data and finds positive and statistically significant effects of remittances on the ownership of savings accounts the existence of debts and on recent borrowing the fact that the effect of remittances on borrowing is driven by informal finance rather than by traditional bank loans points to deficiencies of the formal financial sector in addressing the financial needs of remittance receiving households we address methodological concerns of selection bias and reverse causality through household fixed effects and an instrumental strategy that exploits distance to train lines and labor market conditions in the us as exogenous determinants of remittances

are the direct and indirect growth effects of remittances significant development economists believe that migrant workers remittances are an important source of funds for long run growth therefore recent studies have investigated the growth effects of remittances and reached different conclusions in many such studies the growth of output is simply regressed on both remittances and the channels through which remittances affect growth thus there is no distinction between the indirect and direct growth effects of remittances and such specifications may give unreliable estimates because of the correlation between the channels and remittances in this paper we make a distinction between the indirect and direct effects of remittances our model is estimated with panel data of 40 high remittance recipient countries and a system gmm panel data estimation method

migration remittances and male and female employment patterns little is known about the labor market impacts of workers remittances despite their magnitude in countries with considerable outmigration reports that families receiving international remittances severely curtail their work efforts are fairly common in the popular press e g robert frank 2001 yet we lack rigorous analyses of how male and female labor supplies respond to increases in remittance income to either support or refute these anecdotal observations according to the neoclassical model of labor leisure choice mark r killingsworth 1983 remittances a source of nonlabor income may lift budget constraints raise reservation wages and through an income effect reduce the employment likelihood and hours worked by remittance receiving individuals the receipt of remittances is usually preceded by the out migration of working aged household members however which may induce changes in the labor supply of nonmigrating household members in order to compensate for forgone income or to defray migration related expenses distinguishing the disruptive effect from the income effect of remittance inflows is problematic as most surveys do not contain detailed information on household outmigration and remittance receipt to the extent that these two effects are expected to have opposite impacts on labor supply however we can assess which effect dominates the impact of remittances on the decision to work has been previously examined by edgard rodriguez and erwin r tiongson 2001 in manila and by edward funkhouser 1992 in managua without accounting for the endogeneity of remittances with respect to labor supply they conclude that remittances reduce employment funkhouser also finds that remittances slightly increase self employment while informative these studies focus on the decision to work and do not consider that without altering employment rates remittances may change the hours worked and or the type of work performed in the receiving economy furthermore the impact may be different on male and female labor supplies and responsiveness to remittance income may vary from rural to urban areas using data from mexico a country with a large and growing remittance inflow we address the following questions how does the employment status and hours worked by men and women vary owing to international remittances do male and female labor supplies differ across various types of employment in rural versus urban areas due to higher remittance inflows

remittances and portfolio values an inquiry using immigrants from africa europe and the americas summary using a recent spanish database we show that remittances respond to cross country differences in portfolio values behavior consistent with immigrant s access to trans national networks responsiveness to portfolio variables is found to persist regardless of education level there are however differences in the portfolio variables to which immigrants respond as we would expect given migrants diverse backgrounds region of origin and motive for emigrating remitting patterns are found to change with the length of migration spells suggestive that remittances sent for portfolio motives become more likely as the immediate needs of home family are addressed and asset accumulation becomes more important

do remittances lead to a public moral hazard in developing countries an empirical investigation abstract this article tests the hypothesis that in a context of bad governance remittance inflows strongly reduce public spending on education and health in receiving countries a phenomenon called the public moral hazard problem using a large sample of 86 developing countries over the period 1996 2007 and after factoring in the endogeneity of remittances the results suggest a negative impact of remittances on public spending on education and health when governance is bad in remittance dependent economies

sharp reductions in current account deficits an empirical analysis abstract we study determinants and consequences of sharp reductions in current account imbalances reversals in low and middle income countries we pose two questions what triggers reversals and what factors explain how costly reversals are we find that both domestic variables such as the current account balance openness and the level of reserves and external variables such as terms of trade shocks us real interest rates and growth in industrial countries seem to play an important role in explaining reversals in current account imbalances we also find some evidence that countries with a less appreciated real exchange rate higher investment and more openness prior to the reversal tend to grow faster after a reversal occurs

the impact of pension benefits on the distribution of earned income using standard measures of income inequality and detailed pension benefit information on participants in the 1983 survey of consumer finances scf the authors investigate how pension benefits affected the distribution of earned income the results suggest that private pensions increased annual income inequality relative to inequality observed in the distribution of wage income by only about 2 among all employed individuals but by 21 among unionized workers further analysis indicates that private pensions raised annual income inequality primarily by increasing the rate of return to tenure possibly through pension backloading setting accruals to grow when earnings rise near retirement and the increasing incidence of pensions with age private pensions had little effect on estimates of the distribution of expected lifetime income but the addition to the analysis of social security benefits public pensions strongly reduced inequality in that distribution a renewed interest in the distribution of income has developed recently as new evidence suggests that income inequality has worsened over the past twenty years researchers suggest several reasons for rising inequality including an increase in the incomes of well educated men relative to other groups for example juhn murphy and pierce 1993 demographic changes resulting from the entrance of the baby boom generation into the work force lawrence 1982 and a sectoral shift away from manufacturing and toward the ser

wage pension trade offs in collective agreements analyzing 98 matched collective agreements and flat benefit pension plans in ontario in 1984 the authors find evidence of a significant trade off between wages and an actuarially constructed summary measure of the expected future pension costs for employers with respect to the separate components of the pension plans they find a significant trade off between wages and the main item that is bargained over the flat benefit rate but not between wages and most of the early and postponed retirement options these results obtain when the pension variables are specified as a proportion of wages to capture the assumption that the generosity of pension plans is reflected in replacement rates and when simultaneous equation procedures are used to account for the possible endogeneity of pensions the trade off disappears however when the pension variables are specified in dollar amounts

monotone comparative statics under uncertainty this paper analyzes monotone comparative statics predictions in several classes of stochastic optimization problems the main results characterize necessary and sufficient conditions for comparative statics predictions to hold based on properties of primitive functions that is utility functions and probability distributions the results apply when the primitives satisfy one of the following two properties i a single crossing property which arises in applications such as portfolio investment problems and auctions or ii log supermodularity which arises in the analysis of demand functions affiliated random variables stochastic orders and orders over risk aversion

financial openness sudden stops and current account reversals in this paper i use a panel data set to investigate the mechanics of sudden stops of capital inflows and current account reversals i am particularly interested in four questions a what is the relationship between sudden stops and current account reversals b to what extent does financial openness affect the probability of a country being subject to a current account reversal in other words do restrictions on capital mobility reduce the probability of such occurrences c does openness both trade openness and financial openness play a role in determining the effect of current account reversals on economic performance i e gdp growth and d does the exchange rate regime affect the intensity with which reversals affect real activity the empirical analysis shows that sudden stops and current account reversals have been closely related the econometric analysis suggests that restricting capital mobility does not reduce the probability of experiencing a reversal current account reversals in turn have had a negative effect on real growth that goes beyond their direct effect on investment the regression analysis indicates that the negative effects of current account reversals on growth will depend on the country s degree of trade openness more open countries will suffer less in terms of lower growth relative to trend than countries with a lower degree of trade openness on the other hand the degree of financial openness does not appear to be related to the intensity with which reversals affect real economic performance the empirical analysis also suggests that countries with more flexible exchange rate regimes are able to accommodate better shocks stemming from a reversal than countries with more rigid exchange rate regimes this abstract was borrowed from another version of this item

remittances and the brain drain do more skilled migrants remit more in most destination countries immigration policies are tilted more and more in favor of skilled individuals whether this shift hurts economic prospects in sending countries as argued by the traditional brain drain literature is somewhat controversial the most recent literature focuses on the link between skilled outmigration and educational achievements in the home country this article emphasizes a different channel it considers the argument that skilled migrants raise economic welfare at home by sending a relatively larger flow of remittances while skilled migrants typically earn more and so might be expected to remit more they are also likely to spend more time abroad and to reunite with their close family in the host country these second two factors should be associated with a smaller propensity to remit thus the sign of the impact of the brain drain on total remittances is an empirical question a simple model has been developed showing that skilled migrants may indeed have a lower propensity to remit from a given flow of earnings an empirical equation of remittances is estimated as a measure of the brain drain in developing countries using the docquier and marfouk 2004 data set evidence is found that the brain drain is associated with a smaller propensity to remit

the modern history of exchange rate arrangements a reinterpretation we develop a novel system of reclassifying historical exchange rate regimes one key difference between our study and previous classifications is that we employ monthly data on market determined parallel exchange rates going back to 1946 for 153 countries our approach differs from the imf official classification which we show to be only a little better than random it also differs radically from all previous attempts at historical reclassification our classification points to a rethinking of economic performance under alternative exchange rate regimes indeed the breakup of bretton woods had less impact on exchange rate regimes than is popularly believed

toward explaining earlier retirement after 1970 this study investigates why after 15 years of virtual stability u s labor force participation rates for men aged 55 to 64 fell by approximately 20 from 1970 through 1986 the author s analysis of rule changes in the social security system and pension plans suggests that part of this reduction was caused by an increase in social security benefits by almost 50 during the 1970s half of which is not reflected in legislation which worked to create unexpected wealth effects similar to those that characterized the system during the early 1950s but an equally important cause was a widespread change in private pension plan rules toward encouraging earlier retirement these conclusions challenge the common notion that earlier retirement is largely a supply side phenomenon

encouraging long term tenure wage tilt or pensions the author analyzes data on 6 416 persons in 109 firms to determine whether the length of these workers tenure was positively related either to wage tilt the payment of below market wages in the early years of the worker s employment with a firm and above market wages in the later years or to the presence of defined benefit pension plans contrary to the popular but little tested hypothesis that wage tilt is important in inducing workers to make long term commitments to the firm the results show that wage tilt had no significant effect on tenure except indirectly through its effect on pension quit costs in contrast pensions increased tenure in the firm on average by more than 20