distributed energy infrastructure paradigm community microgrids in a new institutional economics context abstract this paper provides a theoretical framework based on new institutional economics nie concepts to guide the development of community microgrids given limited application thus far of such energy systems this paper also draws on empirical studies and experiences from the planning and development of other public community infrastructure and utility services in the development of this framework it links an efficient ownership and governance structure with transactional characteristics such as asset idiosyncrasy frequency and uncertainty defined in section 3 1 the key role of the customers and the microgrid service provider and more specifically their bilateral monopoly relationship and its effects on the choice of institutional structure is highlighted the paper examines the optimum conditions for public private or hybrid financial ownership and for unified or network governance through long term contracting this allows ex ante investment uncertainty and ex post appropriation risks to be efficiently managed the analysis suggests that long term contract completeness future demand for electricity and level of uncertainty are the determining factors in the selection of institutional structure this has significant real world implications for the communities seeking to achieve electricity self sufficiency and environmental benefits through community microgrids service providers and other private or public actors

labor unemployment risk and corporate financing decisions this paper examines the impact of labor unemployment risk on corporate financing decisions theory suggests that firms choose conservative financial policies partly as a means of mitigating worker exposure to unemployment risk using changes in state unemployment insurance benefit laws as a source of variation in the costs borne by workers during layoff spells we explore the connection between unemployment risk and the corporate financing decisions of public firms in the united states we find that increases in legally mandated unemployment benefits lead to increases in corporate leverage the impact of reduced unemployment risk on financial policy is especially strong for firms that have greater layoff separation rates labor intensity and financing constraints the estimated premium required to compensate workers for unemployment risk due to financial distress is about 57 basis points of firm value for a bbb rated firm these findings suggest that labor market frictions have a significant impact on corporate financing decisions

cotrending and the stationarity of the real interest rate abstract this paper introduces the concept of cotrending to trend stationary series with structural breaks we apply it to nominal interest rates and inflation in order to test the long run fisher effect

labor protection laws and bank loan contracting abstractthis paper examines the impact of labor regulations that restrict firms flexibility to adjust labor resources on the cost of corporate bank loans using within country variation in employment protection legislation across 25 countries i find that increases in employment protection lead to higher loan spreads tighter nonprice loan contract terms and more diffuse loan ownership structure the effects of labor regulations are greater in industries with a higher rate of labor turnover and among borrowers with a higher probability of default these results suggest that rigidities imposed by labor regulations have a significant impact on firms cost of capital

the new institutional economics this outstanding book presents new original contributions from some of the world s leading economists including ronald coase douglass c north masahiko aoki oliver e williamson and harold demsetz it demonstrates the extent and depth of the new institutional economics research programme which is having a worldwide impact on the economics profession

the proper scope of government theory and an application to prisons when should a government provide a service in house and when should it contract out provision we develop a model in which the provider can invest in improving the quality of service or reducing cost if contracts are incomplete the private provider has a stronger incentive to engage in both quality improvement and cost reduction than a government employee has however the private contractor s incentive to engage in cost reduction is typically too strong because he ignores the adverse effect on noncontractible quality the model is applied to understanding the costs and benefits of prison privatization

contractual solutions to the hold up problem this paper considers a general version of the hold up problem where n agents first make relation specific investments and then must agree on some collective action it is shown that first best solutions exist under a variety of different assumptions about the nature of information asymmetries

organisation and governance of urban energy systems district heating and cooling in the uk a number of uk urban authorities are developing combined heat and power chp with district heating and cooling dhc networks as a means to achieve local sustainable and affordable energy and to contribute to economic regeneration findings from case study research in three uk cities are used to explore the local energy governance and organisation lego models adopted in the context of privatised centralised energy markets local developers are reliant on sources of social capital to make systems work given limited support from public policy and limited access to finance local actors drawing on non local community energy and commercial and technical networks of expertise work to introduce the technology into strategic planning establish its legitimacy and the legitimacy of a form of multi organisation suited to numerous stakeholders secure finance negotiate risks and responsibilities and engage with energy markets designed for large scale centralised provision for dhc to make a fully effective contribution to uk sustainable urban energy a more supportive government policy framework offsetting the difficulties of a centralised energy market will be needed to maximise the benefit of locally knowledgeable action the policy framework must be responsive to the specificity of locally appropriate configurations of actors and material infrastructure

common trends and common cycles the existence of a serial correlation common feature among the first differences of a set of i 1 variables implies the existence of a common cycle in the beveridge nelson stock watson decomposition of those variables a test for the existence of common cycles among cointegrated variables is developed the test is used to examine the validity of the common trend common cycle structure implied by flavin s excess sensitivity hypothesis and campbell and mankiw s mixture of rational expectations and rule of thumb hypothesis for consumption and income linear independence between the cointegration and the cofeature vectors is exploited to decompose consumption and income into their trend and cycle components copyright 1993 by john wiley sons ltd

on the quantification of the network capacity deferral value of distributed generation this paper presents an approach to the quantification of the distribution network capacity deferral value of distributed generation dg besides different technical benefits such as reliability and power quality improvement there are a number of economic benefits related to dg the most important of which being the end user electricity bill reduction capability however since the onset of the implementation of these technologies the potential of dg to defer investments on distribution wires and transformers was soon realized to the point that non wire solutions are now considered as an alternative to network upgrades in this work a first approximation to the capacity deferral benefits brought about by dg is obtained such approach can be the starting point towards the development of a framework of credits to the owners of dg that fully and fairly recognize the deferral benefits provided to the utility the financial performance of investments on these important technologies can be then improved thus broadening dg as a viable market alternative for customers and utilities

some consequences of temporal aggregation in empirical analysis i derive the generating mechanism of a temporally aggregated process when the disaggregated one belongs to the vector autoregressive integrated moving average class i then study the effects of temporal aggregation on a set of characteristics of usual interest such as exogeneity causality cointegration and common features an empirical example with canadian interest rates illustrates the main issues

forecasting the volatility of australian stock returns do common factors help this article develops multivariate factor models for forecasting volatility in australian stocks we suggest estimation procedures for approximate factor models that are robust to jumps when the cross sectional dimension is not very large and also work with volatility measures that have been constructed so that they contain no jump components out of sample forecast analysis shows that multivariate factor models of volatility outperform univariate models but there is little difference between simple and sophisticated factor models

government versus private ownership of public goods there has been a dramatic change in the division of responsibility between the state and the private sector for the delivery of public goods and services in recent years with an increasing trend toward contracting out to the private sector and public private partnerships this paper analyzes how ownership matters in public good provision we show that if contracts are incomplete then the ownership of a public good should lie with a party that values the beneets generated by it relatively more this is true regardless of whether this party is also the key investor or other aspects of the technology

measuring common cyclical features during financial turmoil evidence of interdependence not contagion abstract this paper develops a test of contagion in financial markets by considering a measure of co movement based on the notion of common cycles to detect short run co movements between a set of time series we apply our methodology to the international effects of the 1994 mexican peso crisis and the 1997 asian crisis our results can be interpreted as evidence of a high level of market co movement during all states of the world and therefore question the hypothesis of shift contagion in the transmission of financial shocks during the 1997 asian crisis and to a lesser extent the 1994 mexican crisis

information remedies for consumer protection consumer protection regulation has come under increasing fire from the congress courts and the business community in response regulators have begun to innovate with market interventions that are more compatible with economic incentives these incentive compatible techniques include establishing property rights mandating performance standards instead of design standards increasing competition and encouraging and mandating information disclosure information disclosure allows consumer self protection compatible with individual preferences information is also compatible with sellers incentives inducing them to compete on the basis of information disclosed in addition this competition increases the incentive to generate and disseminate additional product information thereby repeating the cycle in this way information remedies rely on private economic incentives to achieve regulatory goals rather than on expensive direct enforcement by the regulator diagnosis of an information problem and evaluation of alternative remedies requires a number of steps analysis of information production and distribution identification of market failures and their implications for resource allocation in the information and product markets and analysis of alternative remedies in light of these market failures

social acceptance of renewable energy innovation an introduction to the concept this paper introduces the special issue on social acceptance of renewable energy innovation it is a collection of best papers presented at an international research conference held in tramelan switzerland in february 2006 while there are ambitious government targets to increase the share of renewable energy in many countries it is increasingly recognized that social acceptance may be a constraining factor in achieving this target this is particularly apparent in the case of wind energy which has become a subject of contested debates in several countries largely due to its visual impact on landscapes this paper introduces three dimensions of social acceptance namely socio political community and market acceptance factors influencing socio political and community acceptance are increasingly recognized as being important for understanding the apparent contradictions between general public support for renewable energy innovation and the difficult realization of specific projects the third dimension market acceptance has received less attention so far and provides opportunities for further research particularly from management scholars

the economics of organization the transaction cost approach the transaction cost approach to the study of economic organization regards the transaction as the basic unit of analysis and holds that an understanding of transaction cost economizing is central to the study of organizations applications of this approach require that transactions be dimensionalized and that alternative governance structures be described economizing is accomplished by assigning transactions to governance structures in a discriminating way the approach applies both to the determination of efficient boundaries as between firms and markets and to the organization of internal transactions including the design of employment relations the approach is compared and contrasted with selected parts of the organization theory literature

investment in electricity infrastructure in a small isolated market the case of ireland climate policy is driving an extensive deployment of wind generation in the irish electricity market this study evaluates the cost of increasing wind generation both to the system as a whole and to consumers for 2020 we consider different scenarios on fuel and carbon dioxide permit prices and the extent of electricity interconnection with great britain for a small and isolated electricity system such as ireland a high penetration of wind is economically sound only with increased interconnection to great britain since wind generation would otherwise be curtailed not surprisingly for low fuel prices the least cost scenario contains low levels of wind generation whereas the opposite is true for high fuel prices the findings highlight the importance of interconnection and its operation and governance copyright 2009 oxford university press

enabling private sector investment in microgrid based rural electrification in developing countries a review access to electricity is widely recognized as an important factor for economic and social development low rates of access particularly in remote rural areas in regions such as sub saharan africa south asia and southeast asia have led developing nations and international organizations to set ambitious goals to expand the reach of electricity decentralized solutions such as microgrids have been proposed as cost effective solutions to reaching communities located far from central grid infrastructure lack of capital from public and donor sources has severely impeded achieving access goals leading to calls for greater private sector participation in electrification activities however due to the high level of risk associated with decentralized electrification projects in low income areas marginal expected returns on investment and a lack of clear and effective public policy the private sector has not shown significant interest in participating in such projects the purpose of this paper is to review barriers to private sector participation in decentralized electrification projects and to identify solutions that have been implemented and proposed to overcome these barriers the barriers discussed include unsecure revenue streams inability to finance projects and long term project risks such as grid encroachment the range of interventions and business models reviewed include methods to secure reliable demand subsidy models risk guarantees and different revenue models this paper does not include an analysis of the effectiveness of the different interventions described future research should evaluate the relative costs and benefits of these interventions in order to provide robust policy guidance to decision makers in developing countries

intellectual property rights reform and the cost of corporate debt abstract this paper investigates the role of intellectual property rights ipr protection on the cost of bank loans for firms in 48 countries using substantial reforms of patent rights as a source of identifying variation the paper provides strong evidence that borrowers from countries that underwent ipr reform experience significant reductions in the cost of bank debt importantly the effects of ipr reform on loan rates are significantly larger in industries that are more ip intensive additional analysis shows that in the wake of reforms borrowers obtain larger size loans which indicates that improvements in ipr are associated with greater credit availability ipr reform also increases foreign lenders participation in loan syndicates overall these findings suggest that legal protection afforded to intellectual property has a significant impact on the cost of corporate borrowing and the ability of innovative firms to raise debt capital

common cycles in seasonal non stationary time series this paper extends the notion of common cycles to quarterly time series having unit roots both at the zero and seasonal frequencies it is shown that common cycles are present in the hylleberg engle granger yoo decomposition of these series when there exists a linear combination of their seasonal differences which follows an ma process of order at most three the pitfalls of seasonal adjustment for common cycles analysis are also documented inference on common cycles in seasonally cointegrated series is derived from existing statistical methods for codependence concepts and methods are illustrated with an empirical analysis of the comovements between consumption and output using italian data copyright 1999 john wiley sons ltd

common features in economics and finance an overview of recent developments this introductory article offers an overview of some developments in the common features literature since the publication of the seminal article by engle and kozicki in the journal of business economic statistics in 1993 with the aim of highlighting the unifying theme of the contributions in this volume

firm level employment labour market reforms and bank distress abstract we explore the impact of financial frictions on the employment effect of labour market reforms our study combines a new cross country reform database on labour market reforms with matched firm bank data for nine euro area countries over the period 1999 to 2013 while we find that labour market reforms are overall effective in increasing employment restricted access to bank credit can undo up to half of medium to long term employment gains at the firm level entrepreneurs without sufficient access to credit cannot reap the full benefits of more flexible employment regulation

the regulation of labor author s botero juan djankov simeon la porta rafael lopez de silanes florencio shleifer andrei abstract we investigate the regulation of labor markets through employment collective relations and social security laws in 85 countries we find that the political power of the left is associated with more stringent labor regulations and more generous social security systems and that socialist french and scandinavian legal origin countries have sharply higher levels of labor regulation than do common law countries however the effects of legal origins are larger and explain more of the variation in regulations than those of politics heavier regulation of labor is associated with lower labor force participation and higher unemployment especially of the young these results are most naturally consistent with legal theories according to which countries have pervasive regulaory styles inherited from the transplantation of legal systems

job security provisions and employment european countries have enacted various job security provisions over the last 30 years employers are required to pay workers on separation or to give advance notice of termination in anything less than a perfectly functioning market there are effects of the provisions on employment incumbents are more likely to retain their jobs but new workers are less likely to be hired an examination of the european data suggests that severance pay requirements reduce employment

labor market regulations and cross border mergers and acquisitions this article exploits changes in country level employment protection regulations as a source of plausibly exogenous variation in labor laws and finds that these regulations play an important role in cross border merger activity over the 1991 2009 period countries that tighten employment regulations attract more foreign acquirers especially those from countries with relatively more flexible labor regulations the results appear to be robust to alternative specifications importantly these patterns are pronounced in those recipient country sectors in which foreign acquirers may find attractive targets at bargain prices sectors with relatively high productivity and skill the article also provides evidence suggesting that because pro labor reforms allow foreign acquirers to cherry pick more skilled and productive local firms these transactions are associated with greater deal synergies and improved post merger operating performance

tests of seasonal integration and cointegration in multivariate unobserved component models this paper considers tests of seasonal integration and cointegration for multivariate unobserved component models first the locally best invariant lbi test of the null hypothesis of a deterministic seasonal pattern against the alternative of seasonal integration is derived for a model with gaussian i i d disturbances and deterministic trend then the null hypothesis of seasonal cointegration is considered and a test for common nonstationary components at the seasonal frequencies is proposed the tests are subsequently generalized to account for stochastic trends weakly dependent errors and unattended unit roots asymptotic representations and critical values of the tests are provided while the finite sample performance is evaluated by monte carlo simulation experiments finally the tests are applied to the series of industrial production of the four largest countries of the european monetary union it is found that germany does not appear to cointegrate with the other countries at most seasonal frequencies while there seems to exist a common nonstationary seasonal component between france italy and spain copyright 2006 john wiley sons ltd

what role for network governance in urban low carbon transitions many cities around the world have taken a pioneering role in tackling climate change and they will be key players in a possible transition to a future low carbon society however cities are at the same time constrained and act in a world of multi level governance where local decision makers are dependent on both higher political levels and other actors in society in this situation network governance has emerged as a promising new mode of governance where cities can increase both the legitimacy and implementation capacity of an ambitious climate agenda in network governance the municipality is a facilitator rather than commander and implementer however there are also some important potential problems with network governance relating to its democratic legitimacy politics increasingly carried out by closed elites and its capacity to lead to radical change networks of established interests tend to preserve status quo the aim of this paper is to critically analyse the role of network governance in urban low carbon transitions the paper builds on original empirical research from the swedish context which is supplemented by experience found in the literature from other cases the paper draws from and merges two different theoretical perspectives on governance network governance and transition governance the literature on network governance asks whether this mode of governance is legitimate and effective while the literature on transition governance explores what governance configurations are needed in order to steer towards a low carbon transition the findings of the paper show that the effects of network governance are mixed both regarding its policy outputs and its democratic legitimacy on the implications of network governance for urban low carbon transitions it is argued that while network governance can contribute to niche developments and innovation at the urban level the elitist character of networks risks maintaining existing unsustainable patterns and defining possible urban futures in too narrow terms

welfare improving employment protection this paper derives new results on the welfare effects of employment protection using data from 17 oecd countries we show that there exists an inverse u shape relationship between employment protection and economic growth using a simple theoretical model with non contractible specific investments we show that over some range increasing employment protection does indeed raise welfare we also show that the optimal level of employment protection depends on other labour market features such as the bargaining power of workers and the existence of wage rigidities like the minimum wage

the economics of governance the economics of governance is an effort to implement the study of good order and workable arrangements where good order includes both spontaneous order in the market which is a venerated tradition in economics adam smith 1776 friedrich hayek 1945 kenneth a arrow and gerard debreu 1954 and intentional order of a conscious deliberate purposeful kind chester irving barnard 1938 p 9 also i interpret workable arrangements to mean feasible modes of organization all of which are flawed in comparison with a hypothetical ideal avinash dixit 1996 pp 4 9 the object is to work out the efficiency logic for managing transactions by alternative modes of governance principally spot markets various long term contracts hybrids and hierarchies interest among social scientists economists included in the study and practice of good order and workable arrangements has been steadily growing in contrast with the orthodox lens of choice prices and output supply and demand the economics of governance is a lens of contract construction broadly in the spirit of james buchanan s 2001 p 29 observation that mutuality of advantage from voluntary exchange is the most fundamental of all understandings in economics the economics of governance as herein described is principally an exercise in bilateral private ordering by which i mean that the immediate parties to an exchange are actively involved in the provision of good order and workable arrangements to be sure the need for private ordering varies with the rules of the game as provided by the state distinctions between lawlessness where the state provides limited or unreliable protection for property and contract dixit 2004 and lawfulness where the state undertakes to protect property and enforce contracts in a principled way are pertinent the first of these applies mainly to primitive and transition economies the second is commonly associated with western democracies recourse to private ordering under conditions of lawlessness is altogether understandable given the absence of state support the walter a haas school of business university of california berkeley ca 94720 1900 the paper has benefited from workshop presentations at the university of california berkeley the university of valencia insead fountainebleau and the 2004 annual conference of the international society for new institutional economics an abbreviated version was also given as the horst claus recktenwald lecture at nuremburg on 4 november 2004 comments and suggestions from fred balderston ernesto dalbo avinash dixit robert gibbons witold henisz ian larkin steven tadelis and dean williamson are especially acknowledged 1 lon fuller s 1954 p 477 definition of eunomics as the science theory or study of good order and workable arrangements is very much in the spirit of what i refer to as governance 2 one of the immediate ramifications of insistently comparing feasible alternatives all of which are flawed is that the purported inefficiencies that are ascribed to failures to achieve first best optimality are not dispositive but invite the query as compared with what i return to this issue in section iv 3 excluding corporate governance the numbers of articles that used the word governance during the period 1998 2000 as compared with the period 1977 1979 in selected economics business management sociology organization and political science journals were 60 vs 1 76 vs 4 79 vs 18 and 60 vs 25 where the journals surveyed were the american economic review journal of political economy quarterly journal of economics rand journal of economics and journal of economic perspectives in economics strategic management journal management science academy of management journal and academy of management review in business management administrative science quarterly organization science american journal of sociology american sociological review and annual review of sociology in sociology organization and american political science review political science quarterly journal of politics and political research quarterly in political science combining these four categories articles using the word governance increased from 48 to 275 over this 20 year interval dixit 2004 pp 149 50 reports that the number of web pages that turn up under the search for governance is huge

macroeconomic forecasting using diffusion indexes this article studies forecasting a macroeconomic time series variable using a large number of predictors the predictors are summarized using a small number of indexes constructed by principal component analysis an approximate dynamic factor model serves as the statistical framework for the estimation of the indexes and construction of the forecasts the method is used to construct 6 12 and 24 monthahead forecasts for eight monthly u s macroeconomic time series using 215 predictors in simulated real time from 1970 through 1998 during this sample period these new forecasts outperformed univariate autoregressions small vector autoregressions and leading indicator models