do greens drive hummers or hybrids environmental ideology as a determinant of consumer choice this paper uses several california data sets to test for differences in consumption patterns between greens and browns a person s environmentalism is rarely observed in consumer data sets in california a community s share of green party registered voters is a viable proxy for community environmentalism environmentalists are more likely to commute by public transit purchase hybrid vehicles and consume less gasoline than non environmentalists

are policy incentives for solar power effective evidence from residential installations in the northeast abstract state incentives for solar power have grown significantly in the past several years this paper examines the effectiveness of policy incentives to increase residential solar photovoltaic pv capacity we use county level panel data and control for demographic characteristics solar resources and pro environmental preferences results show that among financial incentives rebates have the most impact with an additional 1 per watt rebate increasing annual pv capacity additions by close to 50 factors that affect financial returns to solar pv such as electricity price and solar insolation are also found to be significant results also point to a significant positive relationship between hybrid vehicle sales and residential pv capacity growth indicating the importance of pro environmental preferences as a predictor of solar pv demand back of the envelope calculations suggest that the cost of carbon mitigation through rebates is around 184 per ton of co2

the relation between price and marginal cost in u s industry a contradiction in a recent article in this journal hall 1988 examined productivity shocks at the industry level derived from constant returns to scale production functions in which firms were assumed to be competitive hall had two important conclusions first he showed that productivity shocks i e solow residuals were correlated with aggregate demand variables implying that the former are not exogenous impulses second his results implied that firms persistently charge prices above marginal costs making inappropriate the constant returns to scale competitive production function assumed in many theoretical frameworks because of the importance of hall s findings the article has led to many extensions evans 1992 confirms the empirical finding of significant correlations between productivity shocks and aggregate demand variables burnside eichenbaum and rebelo 1993 show that this correlation can be explained by introducing labor hoarding into a theoretical model with competitive firms and constant returns to scale production functions the markups above marginal cost are explained by eden and griliches 1991 and galeotti and schiantarelli 1991 by modifying the theoretical production function caballero and lyons 1992 using the hall data and methodology examine the possibility of external economies in the aggregate manufacturing production finally waldmann 199 1 argues in this journal that the

too little or too much r d according to the 1rst generation models of endogenous growth based on expanding product variety the market economy unambiguously generates too little r d later by disentangling returns to specialization from the market power parameter it was shown that with su7ciently low returns to specialization too much r d can occur the present paper takes a step further disentangling the market power parameter from the capital share in 1nal output at a theoretical level this helps 1nding too much r d as well on the other hand in view of the empirically realistic order of magnitude between the parameters disentangling market power and capital share tends to diminish the scope for excess r d finally by di erentiating between net and gross returns to specialization we demonstrate what drives the di ering ine7ciency results in this literature c

urban bias rural bias or state bias urban rural relations in post revolutionary china the authors aim to evaluate the relevance of urban bias and rural bias to the chinese case they present empirical evidence on the nature and extent of differentiation in rural urban living standards examine the political basis of relevant economic policies and investigate the relationship between these policies both the changes in labour productivity in each sector and the inter sectoral savings transfers both urban and rural bias hypotheses illuminate certain dimensions of chinese development strategy but the realities of rural urban relations have been complex and analysis must be supplemented by a focus on the divide between state and society and the question of state bias

soak up the sun impact of solar energy systems on residential home values in arizona abstract recent increase of installations of solar energy systems on residential properties begs the question of whether such investments are being recognized by the market studies that estimate the impact of solar technologies on home values have been scarce using transaction and valuation data for a sample of residential properties in arizona and matching methodology results show that solar photovoltaics installation indeed has positive impacts on both house value and transaction prices this is the first empirical study conducted in arizona a state of crucial importance for solar energy development with its abundant solar resources in particular properties with electricity generating solar panels enjoy an average premium of approximately 45 000 15 of medium home value and transaction price premium of 28 000 17 of medium home sales price we do not find a statistically significant premium on homes with solar water heaters alone

predicting consumer demand responses to carbon labels abstract providing carbon footprint labels for all food products is a daunting and potentially infeasible project knowing how consumers substitute away from high carbon goods and what they choose as substitutes is essential for understanding which goods are likely to result in meaningful reductions in carbon emissions this paper proposes a model to systematically estimate how consumers will respond to information from a carbon footprint label our model uses consumers value of their individual carbon footprint with own and cross price elasticities of demand data on carbon emissions from life cycle analysis to simulate shifts in consumer demand for 42 food products and a non food composite and subsequent changes in carbon emissions from different labeling schemes our simulation results have several findings including 1 carbon labels can reduce emissions but labeling only some items could lead to perverse impacts where consumers substitute away from labeled goods to unlabeled goods with a higher carbon footprint 2 carbon labels can inform consumers such that their previous beliefs about carbon footprints matter and 3 carbon labels on alcohol and meat would achieve the largest decreases in carbon emissions among the 42 food products studied

globalization r d and the ipod cycle abstract this paper constructs a dynamic scale free north south model of trade with endogenous innovation in the north a local sourcing targeted race and an outsourcing targeted r d race take place simultaneously within each industry the former results in the winner firm manufacturing in the north while the latter culminates in the winner firm s immediate outsourcing to the south generating the ipod cycle we study three aspects of globalization reductions in the resource requirement in outsourcing targeted r d increased subsidies to outsourced production and reduced southern imitation due to trips each event boosts outsourcing targeted r d and increases the frequency of ipod cycles the aggregate innovation rate rises despite a possible fall in local sourcing targeted r d and the north south relative wage decreases

rural urban disparity and sectoral labour allocation in china this study examines china s rural urban segmentation and its causes in the context of economic reforms household survey and aggregate data indicate a v shaped process in which rural urban consumption and income differentials decreased between 1978 and 1985 but then have continually increased to historically high levels this sectoral division is consistent with production function estimates based on provincial data that reveal higher labour productivity in urban state owned industries than in rural industries and agriculture to explain the v shaped change we argue that the precedent of successful rural reforms raised farmers relative earnings but the remaining obstacles to an efficient sectoral allocation of labour have prevented china from eliminating dualism recent financial policies consisting of urban price subsidies and increased investment credits have also had influential distribution effects that are biased against the rural sector

the relevance of attitudinal factors for the acceptance of energy policy measures a micro econometric analysis abstract this paper empirically examines the individual support of the german energy transition in total and especially of six single energy policy measures which are components of the energy transition our micro econometric analysis with binary and ordered probit models on the basis of data from a broad survey of citizens reveals the important role of several attitudinal factors with respect to our indicators for perceived personal costs of the energy transition the estimation results point to a weak evidence for economic self interest due to some negative correlations between expected energy price increases due to the energy transition and the support of single energy policy measures interestingly however the concern that the energy transition alone causes strong energy price increases is not shared by the majority of the respondents the estimation results also suggest that the support of several energy policy measures is strongly correlated with environmental values however the most important attitudinal factor is obviously political identification the econometric analysis suggests that an overall left green policy identification is positively correlated with the support of the energy transition in total and an identification with ecological policy is positively correlated with the acceptance of several single energy policy measures the econometric analysis especially supports the more sophisticated categorization of political orientation since for example a liberal conservative policy orientation is not significantly correlated with the support of the energy transition in total

evidence on the political economy of the urbanization process urbanization and economic development go hand in hand as a country moves from a rural agricultural base to an urban industrial base this paper argues that urbanization per se occurs in response to the basic sector shift out of agriculture and government policies such as price controls and trade protection of industry affect the process only indirectly through their effect on sector composition however urban concentration the extent to which a country s urban resources are concentrated in one or two large cities as opposed to more evenly spread is much more directly affected by policies and politics the paper finds specifically that investments in inter regional infrastructure facilitates urban deconcentration away from primate to hinterland cities as does increasing democratization or increasing fiscal decentralization the findings move beyond establishing basic correlations in the data to trying to quantify causal effects in a panel framework with instrumental variables estimation

the political economy of international trade essays in honour of robert e baldwin part 1 theory of trade policy with imperfect information avinash dixit strategic trade policy and the new international economics a critical analysis gottfried haverlay the role of services in production and international trade a theoretical framework ronald w jones and henry kierzkowski the coefficient of trade utilization back to the baldwin envelope james e anderson and j peter neary part 2 trade policy issues reflections on uniform taxation arnold c harberger intellectual property rights and north south trade judith c chin and gene m grossman optimal tariff retaliation rules david f burgess international trade in capital and capital goods rachel mcculloch and j david richardson part 3 political economy of trade policy asymmetries in policy between exportables and import competing goods anne d krueger trade policy development and the new political economy gerald m meier does 1992 come before or after 1990 on regional versus multilateral integration andre sapir part 4 empirical studies of trade issues the structure and effects of tariff and non tariff barriers in 1983 edward leamer a computational analysis of alternative safe guards of policy scenarios in international trade alan v deardorff and robert m stern direct foreign investments and trade in east and southeast asia seiji naya

incomplete contracts and the product cycle the incomplete nature of contracts governing international transactions limits the extent to which the production process can be fragmented across borders in a dynamic general equilibrium ricardian model of north south trade the incompleteness of international contracts is shown to lead to the emergence of product cycles because of contractual frictions goods are initially manufactured in the north where product development takes place as the good matures and becomes more standardized the manufacturing stage of production is shifted to the south to benefit from lower wages following the property rights approach to the theory of the firm the same force that creates product cycles i e incomplete contracts opens the door to a parallel analysis of the determinants of the mode of organization the model gives rise to a new version of the product cycle in which manufacturing is shifted to the south first within firm boundaries and only at a later stage to independent firms in the south relative to a world with only arm s length transacting allowing for intrafirm production transfer by multinational fi rms is shown to accelerate the shift of production towards the south while having an ambiguous effect on relative wages the model delivers macroeconomic implications that complement the work of krugman 1979 as well as microeconomic implications consistent with the findings of the empirical literature on the product cycle

state and peasant in contemporary china the political economy of village government this is a study of peasant state relations and village politics as they have evolved in response to the state s attempts to control the division of the harvest and extract the state defined surplus to provide the reader with a clearer sense of the evolution of peasant state relations over almost a forty year period and to highlight the dramatic changes that have taken place since 1978 1 have divided my analysis into two parts chapters 2 through 7 are on maoist china and chapters 8 and 9 are on post mao china the first part examines the state s grain policies and patterns of local politics that emerged during the highly collectivized maoist period when the state closed free grain markets and established the system of unified purchase and sales tonggou tongxiao the second part describes the new methods for the production and division of the harvest after 1978 when the government decollectivized agriculture and abolished its unified procurement program

is energy efficiency capitalized into home prices evidence from three u s cities abstract we test for evidence that energy efficiency features are capitalized into home prices in three u s metropolitan areas using hedonic regressions and multiple matching procedures we find that energy star certification is associated with higher sales prices in two of the markets the research triangle region of north carolina and portland oregon we find that local green certifications in portland and in austin texas are also associated with higher prices and that the estimated price impacts are larger than those from energy star matching on observables proves to be important in some cases reducing the estimated impacts compared with models without matching we calculate the implied energy savings from the estimated premiums and find that in the research triangle market the energy star premiums approximately equal the savings that program is designed to achieve but in portland the premiums are slightly greater than the program s savings due to low energy costs in the region

promoting clean energy investment an empirical analysis of property assessed clean energy abstract from 2008 to 2010 a handful of property assessed clean energy pace programs offered property secured loans to homeowners for residential clean energy investments this analysis uses difference in differences models and synthetic counterfactual models to estimate the effect of three california pace programs on residential photovoltaic installations while pace programs do not offer superior terms to other solar financing options we find that pace financing increases solar installations by approximately 3 8 watts per owner occupied household per quarter a 108 increase over the mean watts per owner occupied household

carbon geography the political economy of congressional support for legislation intended to mitigate greenhouse gas production over the last 5 years the u s congress has voted on several pieces of legislation intended to sharply reduce the nation s greenhouse gas emissions given that climate change is a world public bad standard economic logic would predict that the united states would free ride and wait for other nations to reduce their emissions within the congress there are clear patterns to who votes in favor of mitigating greenhouse gas emissions this paper presents a political economy analysis of the determinants of pro green votes on such legislation conservatives consistently vote against such legislation controlling for a representative s ideology representatives from richer districts and districts with a lower per capita carbon dioxide footprint are more likely to vote in favor of climate change mitigation legislation representatives from districts where industrial emissions represent a larger share of greenhouse gas emissions are more likely to vote no jel q54 q58 r50

depreciation of housing capital maintenance and house price inflation estimates from a repeat sales model abstract the rate at which physical capital depreciates is fundamental to investment in the economy nevertheless although housing capital accounts for one third of the total capital stock the rate at which housing capital depreciates has only rarely been directly estimated in part because prior studies do not control for maintenance for that same reason widely publicized measures of house price appreciation overstate the capital gain from homeownership using data from the american housing survey we examine these issues over the 1983 to 2001 period results indicate that gross of maintenance housing depreciates at roughly 2 5 percent per year while net of maintenance housing depreciates at approximately 2 percent per year moreover although the typical home appreciated at an annual real rate of roughly 0 75 percent after allowing for depreciation and maintenance the average homeowner experienced little capital gain

intellectual property rights and foreign direct investment abstract this paper develops a product cycle model with endogenous innovation imitation and foreign direct investment fdi we use this model to determine how stronger intellectual property rights ipr protection in the south affects innovation imitation and fdi we find that stronger ipr protection keeps multinationals safer from imitation but no more so than northern firms instead the increased difficulty of imitation generates resource wasting and imitation disincentive effects that reduce both fdi and innovation the greater resources absorbed in imitation crowd out fdi reduced fdi then transmits resource scarcity in the south back to the north and consequently contracts innovation

hedonic pricing with redevelopment options a new approach to estimating depreciation effects abstract the standard hedonic model of durable assets is a special case of a more general model that contains two additive terms 1 use value of the existing hedonic vector and 2 the value of the option to reconfigure hedonic characteristics one empirical implication is that the two parts of value are related e g use value increases with interior area whereas option value decreases with intensity the ratio of structure value divided by land value increases in building age reduce use value but increase option value data from greenwich connecticut indicate that intensity has the expected negative effect coefficients on building age are shown to be better measures of depreciation when intensity variables are included in the regression

doing well by doing good green office buildings this paper provides the first credible evidence on the economic value of the certification of green buildings in the commercial sector value derived from impersonal market transactions rather than engineering estimates we match publicly available information on the addresses of energy star and leed rated office buildings to a commercial data source detailing the characteristics of u s office buildings and their rental rates we analyze the micro data on 694 certified green buildings and on 7489 other office buildings located within a quarter mile of the certified buildings we find systematic evidence that rents for green offices are about two percent higher than rents for comparable buildings located nearby effective rents i e rents adjusted for the occupancy levels in office buildings are about six percent higher in green buildings than in comparable office buildings nearby at prevailing capitalization rates conversion of the average non green building to an equivalent green building would add more than 5 million in market value these results are robust to the statistical models employed

the post collective village a tale of two transitions summary this paper provides an ethnographic look at economic change in rural areas of remote regions of russia and china while the structural conditions of agriculture at the outset of reform partially explain the dramatically different trajectories of reform seen in my study sites the current state of economic stagnation or economic development in these areas should not primarily be seen as a legacy of pre reform conditions it is largely the economic policies pursued by the russian and chinese governments that have created or failed to create the conditions that enable post socialist farmers to take advantage of market opportunities

political orientation environmental values and climate change beliefs and attitudes an empirical cross country analysis abstract based on unique data from representative computer based surveys among more than 3400 citizens this paper empirically examines the determinants of several climate change beliefs and attitudes in three countries which are key players in international climate policy namely the usa germany as the largest country in the european union and china our econometric analysis implies that political orientation in the usa is by far more relevant for general climate change beliefs and beliefs in anthropogenic climate change than in germany and china furthermore us and german citizens with a conservative but not green identification significantly less often support publicly financed climate policy while us and german respondents with a social green identification and chinese respondents belonging to the communist party have a significantly higher willingness to pay a price premium for climate friendly products however our econometric analysis overall reveals that environmental values which are measured by a new ecological paradigm nep scale are the major factors for climate change beliefs and attitudes in all three countries and thus play an even more dominant role than political orientation in addition environmental values weaken the differences in several climate change beliefs and attitudes between a right wing and a left wing identification these interaction effects between political orientation and the nep scale are especially strong in the usa only relevant for the support of publicly financed climate policy in germany and negligible in china our estimation results suggest alternative strategies such as specific communication campaigns in order to reduce the climate change skepticism in conservative and right wing circles in the usa and to increase the support of climate policies among such population groups

the price of innovation an analysis of the marginal cost of green buildings abstract energy efficiency plays an important role in reducing the carbon externality from buildings but economic analyses of more efficient green building have thus far ignored input costs this paper finds that the average marginal cost of green labeled construction projects is smaller than the value premiums documented in the literature however design fees representing just a fraction of development costs but paid largely up front are significantly higher for green construction projects these projects also take longer to complete the results provide some insight into the market barriers and market failures that may explain the relatively slow adoption of otherwise economically rational green construction practices

heterogeneous preferences and the individual change to alternative electricity contracts abstract based on data from a large scale computer based survey among more than 3700 citizens in germany this paper empirically disentangles the determinants of the general change of electricity contracts and the specific change from any green or non green to current green electricity contracts within the last ten years our econometric analysis reveals a strong relevance of behavioral factors and individual values and norms for example patience which was measured by an incentivized experiment included in the survey has a significantly positive effect on both general switches to alternative electricity contracts and specific switches to green electricity contracts furthermore trust and less robust social preferences also measured by an incentivized experiment have additional significantly positive effects on the specific change to green electricity contracts our estimation results also imply an important role of political identification i e an ecological policy orientation is strongly significantly positively correlated with the change to green electricity contracts furthermore several household specific factors like relocation decisions as well as socio demographic and socio economic variables like household income are also relevant the empirical analysis thus provides new explanation patterns for the phenomenon that relatively few households regularly change their electricity contracts and specifically switch to green electricity contracts although they have high stated preferences for such changes our insights suggest several directions for policy and electricity suppliers to increase these switching rates for example the high importance of trust for the change to green electricity contracts suggests transparency initiatives of electricity suppliers to decrease concerns against renewable energies

a north south model of intellectual property rights protection and skill accumulation this paper examines how stronger intellectual property rights ipr protection in the south affects the processes of r d investment technology transfer and skill accumulation it finds that stronger ipr protection has only a temporary impact on the innovation rate while it has a negative impact on the long run imitation rate in the north the impact on the process of skill accumulation is negative and increases the within country wage inequality in the south the impact is ambiguous and depends on the externality that skill accumulation generates on the process of education in addition the paper shows that skills play a crucial role in attracting fdi inflows and strengthening ipr protection may be ineffective in attracting technological knowledge when the level of local skill is low

conservation from voluntary restraint to a voluntary price premium this paper investigates how concern for the environment translates into predictable patterns of consumer behavior two types of behavior are considered first individuals who care about environmental quality may voluntarily restrain their consumption of goods and services that generate a negative externality second individuals may choose to pay a price premium for goods and services that are more environmentally benign a theoretical model identifies a symmetry between such voluntary restraint and a voluntary price premium that mirrors the symmetry between environmental policies based on either quantities quotas or prices taxes we test predictions of the model in an empirical study of household electricity consumption with introduction of a price premium green electricity program we find evidence of voluntary restraint and its relation to a voluntary price premium the empirical results are consistent with the theoretical model of voluntary conservation

the value of environmental status signaling how much are consumers willing to pay to signal their environmental consciousness we identify the signaling value of an environmental public good by focusing on hybrid cars and exploiting the physical uniqueness of the toyota prius relative to hybrids that look identical to their non hybrid counterparts we deploy a quasi experimental hedonic model to estimate this willingness to pay we find that controlling for observable and unobservable factors the prius commands an environmental signaling value of 587 or 4 5 of its value our research provides lessons for economists and policymakers and contributes to the literature on identifying signaling values

intellectual property rights and quality improvement this paper explores why theories about the effects of intellectual property rights ipr protection on foreign direct investment fdi and innovation have reached mixed conclusions in our model northern firms innovate to improve the quality of existing products and may later shift production to the south through fdi southern firms may then imitate the products of multinationals we find that imitation can increase fdi and innovation for quality improvements whereas the opposite occurs when innovators develop new varieties hence stronger ipr protection by reducing imitation may shift innovation away from improvements in existing products toward development of new products

conservation spillovers the effect of rooftop solar on climate change beliefs biased beliefs about climate change may lead to under regulation of emissions we study a new channel by which the public form beliefs about climate change visible mitigation actions by exploiting the rapid growth of rooftop solar panels a large survey and differences in incentives to install solar we find that visible mitigation actions have a positive impact on belief in basic climate science however we also find that higher solar penetration reduces concern about the impacts of climate change which may dampen demand for additional mitigation policy and individual abatement effort our results suggest that government policies that incentivize technology adoption can have subtle but important spillover effects on beliefs and other behaviors

understanding the solar home price premium electricity generation and green social status this study uses a large sample of homes in the san diego area and sacramento california area to provide some of the first capitalization estimates of the sales value of homes with solar panels relative to comparable homes without solar panels although the residential solar home market continues to grow there is little direct evidence on the market capitalization effect using both hedonics and a repeat sales index approach we find that solar panels are capitalized at roughly a 3 5 premium this premium is larger in communities with a greater share of college graduates and of registered prius hybrid vehicles

social equity issues in the distribution of feed in tariff policy benefits a cross sectional analysis from england and wales using spatial census and policy data abstract the feed in tariff has become a popular policy instrument globally for deploying clean energy often involving substantial public spending commitments yet relatively little attention has been paid to how payments made under this policy type get distributed across socioeconomic groups this paper links information on individual domestic photovoltaic pv installations registered under the feed in tariff for england and wales to spatially organised census data this makes it possible to observe which socioeconomic groups are benefitting most and least under the policy comparing the observed benefit distribution to a counterfactual distribution of perfect equality a moderate to high level of inequality is found cross sectional regressions suggest that settlement density home ownership status physical dwelling type local information spillovers and household social class shaped this outcome greater sensitivity to these factors in policy design could improve distributional outcomes under feed in tariff policies in england and wales and beyond

energy sprawl land taking and distributed generation towards a multi layered density the transition from fossil fuels to renewable resources is highly desirable to reduce air pollution and improve energy efficiency and security many observers are concerned however that the diffusion of systems based on renewable resources may give rise to energy sprawl i e an increasing occupation of available land to build new energy facilities of this kind these critics foresee a transition from the traditional fossil fuel systems towards a renewable resource system likewise based on large power stations and extensive energy grids a different approach can be taken to reduce the risk of energy sprawl and this will happen if the focus is as much on renewable sources as on the introduction of distributed renewable energy systems based on micro plants photovoltaic panels on the roofs of buildings micro wind turbines etc and on multiple micro grids policy makers could foster local energy enterprises by introducing new enabling rules making more room for contractual communities simplifying the compliance process proposing monetary incentives and tax cuts we conclude that the diffusion of innovation in this field will lead not to an energy sprawl but to a new energy system characterized by a multi layered density a combination of technology organization and physical development

prosperity and depression prosperity and depression are relative concepts today both france and japan are depressed relative to the united states equivalently the united states is prosperous relative to these countries i say these countries are depressed relative to the united states because their output per working age person is 30 percent less than the u s level an interesting and important policy question is why are these countries depressed the answers for these two countries turn out to be very different the united states is prosperous relative to france because the u s intratemporal tax wedge that distorts the trade off between consumption and leisure is much smaller than the french wedge i will show that if france modified its intratemporal tax wedge so that its value was the same as the u s value french welfare in consumption equivalents would increase by 19 percent consumption would have to increase by 19 percent now and in all future periods to achieve as large a welfare gain as that resulting from this tax reform the united states is prosperous relative to japan because production efficiency is higher in the united states in the united states total factor productivity is approximately 20 percent higher than in japan if japan suddenly became as efficient in production as the united states its welfare gain in consumption equivalents would be 39 percent equally interesting and important are big changes over time in relative output per working age person across countries why are new zealand s and switzerland s economies depressed by over 30 percent relative to their 1970 trend corrected levels both of these countries have small populations but depressions are not restricted to small countries japan with its 125 million people is now depressed by 20 percent relative to its 1991 trend corrected level on the prosperity side why are ireland and south korea so prosperous now relative to their 1970 trend corrected levels this lecture is concerned primarily with big international differences among relatively rich industrial countries and changes in these differences over time the countries that receive primary attention all have market economies and healthy well educated populations in the countries considered the variations in aggregate output per working age person are large and reasonably good measures of the factor inputs are available this permits in many cases the identification of the change in policy or the difference in policy that gave rise to prosperity or depression this is in contrast to business cycle theory which provides little guidance to policy except for the important policy implication that a stabilization effort will have either no effect or a perverse effect the output variations studied and analyzed in this lecture are big an order of magnitude larger than the much studied business cycle fluctuations the variations studied however are an order of magnitude smaller than the muchstudied differences between the richest and poorest countries surprisingly only recently have depressions been systematically studied from the perspective of growth theory which is the theory used university of minnesota and federal reserve bank of minneapolis i thank my colleagues at the university of minnesota and the federal reserve bank of minneapolis for helpful discussions and comments in particular i thank tim kehoe ellen mcgrattan and nancy stokey for their help i also thank martin weale and franck portier for providing some british and french tax information used in this lecture thanks also go to sami alpanda and james macgee for research assistance and helpful discussions this lecture draws heavily on collaborative research with fumio hayashi i thank the economic and social research institute cabinet office government of japan and the u s national science foundation for financial support the views expressed herein are those of the author and not necessarily those of the federal reserve bank of minneapolis or the federal reserve system

conspicuous conservation the prius halo and willingness to pay for environmental bona fides abstract this paper develops a theory of conspicuous conservation a phenomenon related to conspicuous consumption in which individuals seek status through displays of austerity amid growing concern about environmental protection we identify a statistically and economically significant conspicuous conservation effect in vehicle purchase decisions and estimate a mean willingness to pay for the green signal provided by the distinctively designed toyota prius in the range of 430 4200 depending upon the owner s location results are related to the growing literature on green markets and suggest that policy should target less conspicuous conservation investments that will be under provided relative to those that confer a status benefit

reform and urban bias in china income inequalities between urban and rural areas remain high in china but the gap has begun to narrow peasant incomes have increased dramatically since the post mao reforms rural areas have new power but this is a consequence not a cause of the reforms the improvement in rural conditions reflects a change in the central state s development strategy and ideology and the local response to incentives embedded in china s reforms the impetus for these changes is self preservation of the state and the chinese communist party the failure to close decisively the income disparities between the urban and rural areas similarly stems from concerns of regime stability and preservation of the party state

saving power to conserve your reputation the effectiveness of private versus public information environmental damage is often an unseen byproduct of other activities disclosing environmental impact privately to consumers can reduce the costs and or increase the moral benefits of conservation behaviors while publicly disclosing such information can provide an additional motivation for conservation cultivating a green reputation in a unique field experiment in the residence halls at the university of california los angeles we test the efficacy of detailed private and public information on electricity conservation private information was given through real time appliance level feedback and social norms over usage and public information was given through a publicly visible conservation rating our analysis is based on 7 120 daily observations about energy use from heating and cooling lights and plug load for 66 rooms collected over an academic year our results suggest that while private information alone was ineffective public information combined with private information motivated a 20 percent reduction in electricity consumption achieved through lower use of heating and cooling public information was particularly effective for above median energy users

innovation and wage effects of international outsourcing abstract we investigate the effects of increased outsourcing of production to a low wage country such international outsourcing lowers the marginal cost of production and thus increases profits creating greater incentives for innovation a reduction in the resource requirement in adapting technology relative to improving products or an expansion in the portion of production that can be outsourced generates a greater extent of international outsourcing a lower relative wage and a faster rate of innovation an increase in production taxes in the north production subsidies in the south or a subsidy to adapting technologies has similar effects

veblen effects in a theory of conspicuous consumption the authors examine conditions under which veblen effects arise from the desire to achieve social status by signaling wealth through conspicuous consumption while veblen effects cannot ordinarily arise when preferences satisfy a single crossing property they may emerge when this property fails in that case budget brands are priced at marginal cost while luxury brands though not intrinsically superior are sold at higher prices to consumers seeking to advertise wealth luxury brands earn strictly positive profits under conditions that would with standard formulations of preferences yield marginal cost pricing the authors explore factors that induce veblen effects and they investigate policy implications copyright 1996 by american economic association

patent protection and the industrial composition of multinational activity evidence from u s multinational firms using data on u s firms technology licensing to local agents in developing countries this paper examines the impact of patent protection on internal and arms length technology transfer the effects of protection vary across products according to their complexity consistent with theories of internalization we find that patent reforms enable local firms to attract more arms length technology transfer especially of simple products which are relatively easy to imitate affiliated licensing also rises among simple products but falls among complex products the results withstand several robustness checks including controlling for endogeneity by using colonial origin as an instrument and are equally strong whether patent protection is measured by its intensity or by the timing of reforms the results have significance for patent policy in the developing world where access to knowledge is critical through arms length technology contracts proprietary knowledge diffuses beyond firm boundaries enabling local agents to access not only the protected technology but also know how

moving up or moving out a unified theory of r d fdi and trade abstract this paper introduces industrial heterogeneity in r d productivity into the quality ladder model of the north south trade to study how firms choices made between r d and foreign direct investment fdi vary across industries and how such choices consequently determine the evolution of comparative advantage and trade it shows that trade reveals product cycle dynamics in medium tech industries but remains static in others high tech industries experience continued innovation in the north with no migration of product lines medium and low tech industries migrate south via fdi to exploit low production costs with the south then replacing the north as the dominant exporter however medium tech industry production eventually shifts back to the north when superior products are marketed by northern innovators making the end of one complete product cycle and the start of the next because of marginal r d productivity the relocated low tech industries are not presented with the option of moving up and thus stagnate

foreign direct investment and the nature of r d the authors find that the role foreign direct investment fdi plays in international technology transfer itt hinges on whether substitute channels of itt such as imitation exist for the host country if fdi is the sole channel of itt a faster flow of fdi to the south increases the rates of innovation imitation and itt so fdi generates dynamic benefits if fdi and imitation coexist as channels of itt however then fdi merely substitutes for imitation targeting northern firms a faster flow of fdi to the south then leaves the rates of innovation imitation and itt essentially unaffected so fdi generates mostly static benefits