the motivation and bias of bureaucrats many individuals are motivated to exert effort because they care about their jobs rather than because there are monetary consequences to their actions the intrinsic motivation of bureaucrats is the focus of this paper and three primary results are shown first bureaucrats should be biased second sometimes this bias takes the form of advocating for their clients more than would their principal while in other cases they are more hostile to their interests for a range of bureaucracies those who are biased against clients lead to more efficient outcomes third self selection need not produce the desired bias instead selection to bureaucracies is likely to be bifurcated in the sense that it becomes composed of those who are most preferred by the principal and those who are least preferred

bureaucracy infrastructure and economic growth evidence from u s cities during the progressive era recent work in the sociology of economic development has emphasized the establishment of a professional bureaucracy in place of political appointees as an important component of the institutional environment in which private enterprise can flourish i hypothesize that establishment of such a bureaucracy will lengthen the period that public decision makers are willing to wait to realize the benefits of expenditures leading to allocation of a greater proportion of government resources to long gestation period projects such as infrastructure this hypothesis can be tested using data generated by a natural experiment in the early part of this century when a wave of municipal reform transformed the governments of many u s cities controlling for city and time effects adoption of civil service is found to increase the share of total municipal expenditure allocated to road and sewer investment other estimates imply that this increased share raises the growth rate of city manufacturing employment by one half percent per year this abstract was borrowed from another version of this item

sunk costs and the measurement of commercial property depreciation this paper develops a new framework for measuring prices and quantities of commercial properties in particular it addresses problems associated with obtaining separate estimates for the land and structure components of a property a key contribution is to address the problem of estimating structure depreciation taking into account the fixity of the structure we find that structure depreciation is determined primarily by the cash flows that the property generates rather than physical deterioration of the building

term limits and electoral accountability abstract periodic elections are the main instrument through which voters can hold politicians accountable from this perspective term limits which restrict voters ability to reward politicians with re election appear counterproductive we show that despite the disciplining effect of elections term limits can be ex ante welfare improving from the perspective of voters by reducing the value of holding office term limits can induce politicians to implement policies that are closer to their private preferences such truthful behavior by incumbents in turn results in better screening of incumbents we characterize under which circumstances two term or even longer term limits are the optimal institution for voters

incentives and careers in academia theory and empirical analysis we study career concerns in italian academia we mould our empirical analysis on the standard model of contests formalised in the multi unit all pay auction the number of posts the number of app

a model of public opinion management abstract policymakers often motivate their decisions using information collected by government agencies while more information can help hold the government to account it may also give policymakers an incentive to meddle with the work of bureaucrats this paper develops a model of biased information gathering to examine how different disclosure rules and the degree of independence of government agencies affect citizen welfare disclosure rules and agency independence interact in subtle ways we find that secrecy is never optimal and yet insulating the agency from political pressure so that its information is always unbiased may also not be socially optimal a biased information gathering process can benefit the government by helping it to shape public opinion but it can also benefit the public by curbing the government s tendency to implement its ex ante favored policy thus mitigating the agency conflict between policymakers and the public

separation of powers and political accountability political constitutions are incomplete contracts and therefore leave room for abuse of power in democracies elections are the primary mechanism for disciplining public officials but they are not sufficient separation of powers between executive and legislative bodies also helps to prevent the abuse of power but only with appropriate checks and balances checks and balances work by creating a conflict of interest between the executive and the legislature yet requiring both bodies to agree on public policy in this way the two bodies discipline each other to the voters advantage under appropriate checks and balances separation of powers also helps the voters elicit information

are tenured judges insulated from political pressure tenured public officials such as judges are often thought to be insulated from political pressure and as a result indifferent to the concerns of the electorate we investigate this proposition empirically using data on promotion decisions taken by senior english judges between 1985 and 2005 throughout this period the popular view was one of ill disciplined elitism senior judges were alleged to be favouring candidates from elite backgrounds over their equally capable non elite counterparts we find evidence in support of this view to be surprisingly weak most of the unconditional difference in promotion prospects between the two groups can simply be explained by differences in promotion relevant characteristics we then exploit an unexpected proposal to remove control over promotions from the judiciary and find that judges behaviour dramatically changed when faced by the prospect of losing autonomy senior judges began to favour non elite candidates as well as candidates who were unconnected to members of the promotion committee

valuing mineral reserves when capacity constrains production abstract we add a capacity constraint and heterogeneous reserves to the hotelling valuation principle this produces a more general version of the principle that is more consistent with empirical valuations while retaining the underlying relationship between net price and reserve value

does electoral accountability affect economic policy choices evidence from gubernatorial term limits this paper analyzes the behavior of u s governors from 1950 to 1986 to investigate a reputation building model of political behavior we argue that differences in the behavior of governors who face a binding term limit and those who are able to run again provides a source of variation in discount rates that can be used to test a political agency model we find evidence that taxes spending and other policy instruments respond to a binding term limit if a democrat is in office the result is a fiscal cycle in term limit states which lowers state income when the term limit binds

distinguished lecture on economics in government what we don t know could hurt us some reflections on the measurement of economic activity the routine production of u s economic statistics dates back to the early part of the twentieth century but in recent decades as services output has continued to expand a system of economic statistics that had been designed during the manufacturing era began to seem increasingly outdated over the past decade the statistical agencies have done yeoman work to expand the availability and quality of service sector statistics but the task is far from completed moreover the traditional accounting framework for economic statistics has focused almost exclusively on market transactions looking ahead more comprehensive measurement of productive activities however they may be organized must be a priority

what fraction of a capital investment is sunk costs to what extent are capital investments sunk costs this question is addressed by examining the salvage values of discarded metalworking machinery even though such assets are expected to be non specific many discarded assets are scrapped rather than sold on second hand markets econometric results suggest that firms can only expect to get back 20 50 percent of the initial price of a new machine once it is installed the results also indicate differences in value age profiles across firms but provide only weak support for the hypothesis that salvage values are particularly low during recessions

equilibrium political budget cycles political business cycle theories generally rely on nominal rigidities and voter myopia this paper offers an equilibrium theory that preserves some basic insights from earlier models though with significant refinements the political budget cycle emphasized here is in fiscal policy rather than output and inflation it arises via a multidimensional signal process one can consider the welfare implications of proposals to mitigate the cycle and the effects of altering the electoral structure copyright 1990 by american economic association

civil service and the growth of government abstract i study a model of elections which links the scale of government activity to civil service rules without tenure protections bureaucrats career prospects are tied to the electoral prospects of the party that hires them to avoid wasteful partisan spending voters only consent to minimal taxation if bureaucrats are protected by tenure they have no incentive to favour one party over another and governments only produce public goods in turn voters consent to high taxes however because higher tax revenues increase the ability of governing parties to co opt the bureaucracy through favourable compensation large scale government activity is accompanied by inefficiently high public sector wages

commercial property price indexes and the system of national accounts the paper studies the problems associated with the construction of price indexes for commercial properties that could be used in the system of national accounts property price indexes are required for the stocks of commercial properties in the balance sheets of the country related service price indexes for the land and structure input components of a commercial property are required in the production accounts of the country if the multifactor productivity of the commercial property industry is calculated as part of the system of national accounts the paper reviews existing methods for constructing an overall commercial property price index cppi and concludes that most methods are biased due to their neglect of depreciation and more importantly not able to provide separate land and structure subindexes a class of hedonic regression models that is not subject to these problems is discussed

sufficient conditions for a class of investment problems abstract sufficient conditions are obtained for a generalization of the control problem of bolza hestenes in which various functions may not be concave in the control parameter s it is applicable to problems of investment in fixed capacity where there are economies of scale

fiscal restraints and voter welfare this paper explores the logic of fiscal restraints in a political agency model with both moral hazard and adverse selection the role of the political process is both to discipline incumbents who may act against the public interest and to sort in those politicians who are most likely act in voters interests we use the model to examine the optimality of inefficient taxation limits on the size of government increasing transparency and yardstick competition some conclusions are surprising for example we show that some forms of fiscal restraint can only be desirable when incumbents are sufficiently likely to be benevolent

civil service reform abstract civil service rules governing the selection and motivation of bureaucrats are among the defining institutions of modern democracies although this is an active area of reform in the us and elsewhere economic analyses of the issue are virtually nonexistent this paper provides a welfare evaluation of civil service reform it describes the effect of reform on the interaction of politicians voters and bureaucrats and shows that society often faces trade offs between improving the bureaucracy and improving the performance of politicians my results characterize the conditions under which merit based recruitment and civil service protections such as tenure can improve welfare

incumbent performance and electoral control in the pure theory of electoral competition citizens compare the platforms of the candidates and vote for the one whose platform is preferred candidate strategies are identified with promises about future performance in office models of this sort have been developed in both static mckelvey 1975 and dynamic kramer 1977 i settings and all appear to have the property that if the set of alternatives is large enough in some sense equilibrium platforms rarely exist but these models have another feature that is quite as disturbing as their instability in the static setting discussed by mckelvey little attention is paid to the possibility that once in office the politician s preferences may diverge from those of his constituents and that he may therefore choose policies at variance from his platform instead it is simply assumed that promises will be kept whether or not such behavior is congruent with the interest of the officeholder it is sometimes argued that an enforcement mechanism may exist to discipline politicians for failing to keep promises but without a specification of the mechanism it is not obvious that it would be in the interests of the

strike when the force is with you optimal stopping with application to resource equilibria optimal investment in a nonrenewable resource project occurs when the rate of increase of the project s forward value falls to the force of interest this stopping rule yields a financial interpretation of resource quality as being a property of the project rather than of individual units of reserves it also leads to re interpretations of a rent as the present value of the project rather than of units of reserves and b hotelling s insight as not a rule for the path of rents but an equilibrium algorithm for price the analysis is extended to sequential development of pesticides antibiotics and forests

depreciation rules and the relation between marginal and historical cost the reported cost of a product frequently contains historical cost com ponents that reflect past investments in productive capacity we examine a setting wherein a firm makes a sequence of overlapping capacity investments earlier research has identified particular accrual accounting depreciation rules with the property that on a per unit basis the historical cost of a product captures precisely its marginal cost relative to this benchmark we investigate and characterize the direction and magnitude of the bias in reported histori cal cost that results from alternative depreciation rules including in particular straight line depreciation in conjunction with partial direct expensing in ad dition we demonstrate that for a reasonable range of parameter specifications the resulting bias is rather small finally we apply our framework to two spe cific settings first in a regulatory context we establish the extent to which the accounting profit margin is indicative of a firm s pricing power in the product market second we model an internal control scenario in which a manager s performance is evaluated using residual income and identify the distortions in investment levels that result from the use of alternative depreciation rules

bureaucrats or politicians part i a single policy task this paper investigates the normative criteria that guide the allocation of a policy task to an elected politician versus an independent bureaucrat the bureaucrat is preferable for technical tasks for which ability is more important than effort or if there is great uncertainty about whether the policymaker has the required abilities the optimal allocation of redistributive tasks is ambiguous and depends on how the bureaucrat can be instructed but irrespective of the normative conclusion the politician prefers not to delegate redistributive policies

is there a politically optimal level of judicial independence independent courts render current policy more durable by raising the cost of future policy changes but may also engage in policy making of their own this paper asks is there an optimal level of judicial independence from the perspective of incumbent officials in the other branches to answer that question the paper develops a model of strategic institutional choice and tests it on the judicial institutions of the american states consistent with the model s predictions the most independenceenhancing institutions are found where political competition between rival parties is tightest and differences between party platforms are largest

political budget cycles and the civil service evidence from highway spending in us states abstract we study political budget cycles in infrastructure spending that are conditional on bureaucratic organization bureaucrats can facilitate or hinder politicians ability to engage in voter friendly spending around elections to test this idea we use civil service reforms undertaken by us states in the second half of the 20th century to study political budget cycles in highway spending under civil service and patronage we find that under patronage highway spending is 12 higher in election years and 9 higher in the year before an election by contrast under civil service highway spending is essentially smooth over the electoral cycle these findings provide a novel way through which civil service rules can stabilize government activity

taxes and bribery the role of wage incentives this paper presents a simple model to evaluate alternative payment schemes for tax inspectors in the presence of corruption we consider problems of both moral hazard which arises because taking bribes cannot be observed without costly monitoring and adverse selection since not all potential tax inspectors can be identified as being honest or dishonest we identify three wage regimes first one could pay the same wage that a tax inspector could earn elsewhere his reservation wage second one could pay a wage which solves the moral hazard problem i e deters bribery this we call an efficiency wage by analogy with recent models examined i n macro economics third the government could pay a wage below the reservation wage at which only the dishonest become tax inspectors the capitulation wage we make precise the conditions under which each yields the greatest amount o f tax revenues net o f administrative costs many countries in the developing world are undergoing structural adjustment programmes which require fundamental fiscal changes outside agencies advise restoration of budget balance a task which involves expenditure cuts and tax increases the treatment of public employee pay scales often poses a particular dilemma i n this process wages and salaries are a significant component of government expenditures and one important question concerns the extent to which wages rather than employment cuts should be used to save money there is sometimes a reluctance to advocate wage cuts stemming in part from a feeling that this might impair the performance of the public sector hence tanzi 1990 argues that a policy of wage cutting is likely to increase the inefficiency of public sector employees especially at a time when the public sector is expected to play a larger role in restructuring the economy p 16 in the context of tax collection the issue is particularly pressing given the need to raise more tax revenues a reduction in efficiency in this branch of the government i s likely t o mean that fewer returns are processed and when individuals living standards are squeezed their incentive to accept bribes in lieu o f collecting taxes i s increased o n this count i t i s even sometimes suggested that wages of tax inspectors should be increased to aid the effort to the comments of henry bienen john hey and two anonymous referees have been helpful in revising this paper the authors are also grateful t o the john m olin program for the study o f economic organization and public policy at princeton university and the pew charitable trusts for financial support mclaren also acknowledges support from the international finance section of princeton university none of the above should be implicated in any way see for example goode 1984 chapter 1 3 and gould and amaro reyes 1983

the fundamental problem of accounting the fundamental problem of economic accounting is to determine a forward looking schedule of rentals user costs or quasi rents to provide for the recovery of irreversible investments the method derived herein relaxes some restrictive assumptions that are common in capital theory there can be multiple forms of comprehensive capital accounting for all forms of capital including tangible and intangible capital is symmetrical the analytical focus becomes one of fixities and frictions and not optimality rentals obey inequalities as opposed to marginal conditions if discounted profit is positive rentals depreciation and capital value are not unique le probleme fondamental de la comptabilite le probleme fondamental de la comptabilite economique est de determiner une cedule des loyers couts d utilisation ou quasi rentes anticipes permettant de recuperer la mise de fonds dans des investissements irreversibles la methode proposee ici relaxe certains postulats restrictifs conventionnels en theorie du capital la comptabilite de toutes les formes de capital y compris le capital tangible et intangible est symetrique la focalisation analytique devient centree sur les fixites et les frictions et non l optimalite si le profit escompte est positif loyers depreciation et valeur du capital ne sont pas uniques

the economics of governance the economics of governance is an effort to implement the study of good order and workable arrangements where good order includes both spontaneous order in the market which is a venerated tradition in economics adam smith 1776 friedrich hayek 1945 kenneth a arrow and gerard debreu 1954 and intentional order of a conscious deliberate purposeful kind chester irving barnard 1938 p 9 also i interpret workable arrangements to mean feasible modes of organization all of which are flawed in comparison with a hypothetical ideal avinash dixit 1996 pp 4 9 the object is to work out the efficiency logic for managing transactions by alternative modes of governance principally spot markets various long term contracts hybrids and hierarchies interest among social scientists economists included in the study and practice of good order and workable arrangements has been steadily growing in contrast with the orthodox lens of choice prices and output supply and demand the economics of governance is a lens of contract construction broadly in the spirit of james buchanan s 2001 p 29 observation that mutuality of advantage from voluntary exchange is the most fundamental of all understandings in economics the economics of governance as herein described is principally an exercise in bilateral private ordering by which i mean that the immediate parties to an exchange are actively involved in the provision of good order and workable arrangements to be sure the need for private ordering varies with the rules of the game as provided by the state distinctions between lawlessness where the state provides limited or unreliable protection for property and contract dixit 2004 and lawfulness where the state undertakes to protect property and enforce contracts in a principled way are pertinent the first of these applies mainly to primitive and transition economies the second is commonly associated with western democracies recourse to private ordering under conditions of lawlessness is altogether understandable given the absence of state support the walter a haas school of business university of california berkeley ca 94720 1900 the paper has benefited from workshop presentations at the university of california berkeley the university of valencia insead fountainebleau and the 2004 annual conference of the international society for new institutional economics an abbreviated version was also given as the horst claus recktenwald lecture at nuremburg on 4 november 2004 comments and suggestions from fred balderston ernesto dalbo avinash dixit robert gibbons witold henisz ian larkin steven tadelis and dean williamson are especially acknowledged 1 lon fuller s 1954 p 477 definition of eunomics as the science theory or study of good order and workable arrangements is very much in the spirit of what i refer to as governance 2 one of the immediate ramifications of insistently comparing feasible alternatives all of which are flawed is that the purported inefficiencies that are ascribed to failures to achieve first best optimality are not dispositive but invite the query as compared with what i return to this issue in section iv 3 excluding corporate governance the numbers of articles that used the word governance during the period 1998 2000 as compared with the period 1977 1979 in selected economics business management sociology organization and political science journals were 60 vs 1 76 vs 4 79 vs 18 and 60 vs 25 where the journals surveyed were the american economic review journal of political economy quarterly journal of economics rand journal of economics and journal of economic perspectives in economics strategic management journal management science academy of management journal and academy of management review in business management administrative science quarterly organization science american journal of sociology american sociological review and annual review of sociology in sociology organization and american political science review political science quarterly journal of politics and political research quarterly in political science combining these four categories articles using the word governance increased from 48 to 275 over this 20 year interval dixit 2004 pp 149 50 reports that the number of web pages that turn up under the search for governance is huge

politicians bureaucrats and targeted redistribution abstract the paper argues that for political reasons elected politicians are more likely to be engaged in targeted redistribution than appointed bureaucrats it uses the example of patronage jobs in the u s local governments to provide empirical support for this claim it shows that the number of public employees is higher for elected chief executives this difference is stronger in public services with bigger private public wage differential and it increases during election years it also finds that the number of public employees increases with the age of bureaucrats while there is no such relationship in the case of politicians which is consistent with younger bureaucrats having stronger career concerns