what determines female autonomy evidence from bangladesh abstract this paper examines the determinants of female autonomy within households in a developing country in particular we investigate the relative contributions of earned versus unearned income in enhancing women s autonomy and the role of employment outside of their husband s farm in a simple theoretical model it is demonstrated that earned income could be more important than unearned income in empowering women using data from rural bangladesh empirical estimations confirm this prediction and also reveal the surprising fact that it is not employment per se but employment outside their husbands farms that contributes to women s autonomy the data also point to the importance of choosing the correct threat point in theoretical analyses of female autonomy

disequilibrium in the australian aggregate labour market abstract the predictions and policy prescriptions of monetarism rest heavily on the assumption of equilibrium in the labour market a neoclassical model of the labour market is applied to australian aggregate data allowing a direct test of the equilibrium versus disequilibrium hypotheses

are ghettos good or bad spatial separation of racial and ethnic groups may theoretically have positive or negative effects on the economic performance of those groups we examine the effects of segregation on outcomes for blacks in schooling employment and single parenthood we find that blacks in more segregated areas have significantly worse outcomes than blacks in less segregated areas we control for the endogeneity of location choice using instruments based on political factors topographical features and residence before adulthood a one standard deviation decrease in segregation would eliminate one third of the black white differences in most of our outcomes

a new approach to modelling the effects of incomes policies abstract in this paper an exciting alternative to the traditional phillips curve approach to analyzing the impacts of incomes policies is presented this provides a method of estimating directly the effects of policies on real wages and employment the model is applied to australia a country which currently has an incomes policy as the cornerstone of its macroeconomic strategy

on the neutrality of fiscal policy abstract the paper explores the relationships between fiscal policy and real economic activity and prices for the six largest industrialized economies fiscal policy variables are shown to be consistent and rational functions of the behaviour of the economy it is also confirmed that fiscal policy seems to have a consistent impact on subsequent real economic activity and prices when multivariate time series analysis is used to breakdown overall fiscal policy into anticipated and unanticipated components the anticipated components are shown generally to have just as much forecasting ability for subsequently realized economic variables as the unanticipated components this does not appear to be consistent with the implications of pure rational expectations models

how does land fragmentation affect off farm labor supply panel data evidence from china abstract this article provides a deeper theoretical understanding of the linkages between land fragmentation and off farm labor supply in china andinvestigates this relationship empirically in a more direct way than does the existing literature drawing upon a rural household panel data setcollected in zhejiang hubei and yunnan provinces from 1995 to 2002 we estimate the effects in two steps first we estimate the effect of landfragmentation on labor productivity second we estimate the effect of land fragmentation on off farm labor supply the production function resultsshow that land fragmentation indeed leads to lower agricultural labor productivity implying that land consolidation will make on farm work moreattractive and thus decrease off farm labor supply however the effect of land consolidation on off farm labor supply is not signi cant one likelyexplanation for this result may be the potentially imperfect labor markets jel classi cations j22 q15 q24 r23 keywords

land reforms poverty reduction and economic growth evidence from india recognition of the importance of institutions that provide security of property rights and relatively equal access to economic resources to a broad cross section of society has renewed interest in the potential of asset redistribution including land reforms empirical analysis of the impact of such policies is however scant and often contradictory this paper uses panel household data from india together with state level variation in the implementation of land reform to address some of the deficiencies of earlier studies the results suggest that land reform had a significant and positive impact on income growth and accumulation of human and physical capital the paper draws policy implications especially from the fact that the observed impact of land reform seems to have declined over time

war and institutions new evidence from sierra leone scholars of economic development have argued that war can have adverse impacts on later economic performance war destroys physical capital and infrastructure and disrupts human capital accumulation and it may also damage institutions by creating political instability destroying the social fabric and endangering civil liberties world bank 2003 understanding war s impact on development is particularly important for sub saharan africa where two thirds of all nations suffered from armed conflict during the 1980s and 1990s the proliferation of armed conflict in the world s poorest region begs the question of what role conflict may be playing in africa s disappointing economic performance yet the net long run effects of war are ambiguous from the point of view of economic theory to the extent that war impacts are limited to the destruction of capital the neoclassical model predicts rapid economic growth postwar converging back to steady state growth several recent papers that study war impacts including in japan donald r davis and david e weinstein 2002 and vietnam miguel and gerard roland 2005 find few persistent local impacts of u s bombing with heavily bombed areas experiencing rapid recovery to prewar population and economic trends this is consistent with the neoclassical model if war s main consequence is to destroy capital war could also affect long run growth either positively or negatively by modifying the scale parameter in the neoclassical growth model for example while the world bank 2003 argues that war has adverse institutional consequences charles h tilly shows how war promoted state formation and nation building in europe historically ultimately strengthening institutions tilly 1975 we study the aftermath of the recent civil conflict in sierra leone one notable aspect of this project is the extensive household data for sierra leone on conflict experiences and on local institutions our results are complementary to the other recent studies mentioned above none of which examines institutional impacts

agricultural outputs and conflict displacement evidence from a policy intervention in rwanda abstract in 1997 rwanda introduced a resettlement policy for refugees displaced during previous conflicts i exploit geographic variation in the speed of implementation of this policy to investigate the impact of conflict induced displacement and the resettlement policy on household agricultural output and on skill spillover mechanisms between returnees and stayers i find that returns to on farm labor are higher for returnees relative to stayers although the evidence suggests that the policy contributed little additional effect to this differential more speculatively these differentials suggest that upon return from conflict induced exile returnees are more motivated to increase their economic performance

efficiency and equity impacts of rural land rental restrictions evidence from india recognition of the potentially deleterious implications of inequality in opportunity originating in a skewed asset distribution has spawned considerable interest in land reforms however little attention has been devoted to fact that in the longer term the measures used to implement land reforms could negatively affect productivity use of state level data on rental restrictions together with a nationally representative survey from india suggests that contrary to original intentions rental restrictions negatively affect productivity and equity the restrictions reduce the scope for efficiency enhancing rental transactions that benefit poor producers simulations suggest that by doubling the number of producers with access to land through rental from about 15 million currently liberalization of rental markets could have far reaching impacts

modeling technology adoption in developing countries an analysis of technology adoption decisions by poor farmers is provided some possible empirical models for studying technology adoption are reviewed the issue of theoretical consistency is dealt with in terms of the costs of such consistency measured in data needs and model complexity and the benefits measured in terms of understanding the micro economic foundations of adoption

costs and benefits of land fragmentation evidence from rwanda this paper disentangles different aspects of land fragmentation and its impact on the efficiency of resource use the paper uses information on the incidence of crop shocks to assess whether fragmentation provides benefits in reducing risk and parcel coordinates and terrain adjusted travel times between parcels to more precisely account for the associated costs in 2010 11 data from rwanda while fragmentation increases the time required to move between a household s parcels this does not appear to affect overall technical efficiency on the farm fragmentation rather reduces the incidence of crop shocks and increases yields and productive efficiency in rwanda s setting interventions to reduce fragmentation may therefore be ineffective or counterproductive

inflation and unemployment the world economy today is vastly different from the 1930s when seymour harris the chairman of this meeting infected me with his boundless enthusiasm for economics and his steadfast confidence in its capacity for good works economics is very different too both the science and its subject have changed and for the better since world war ii but there are some notable constants unemployment and inflation still preoccupy and perplex economists statesmen journalists housewives and everyone else the connection between them is the principal domestic economic burden of presidents and prime ministers and the major area of controversy and ignorance in macroeconomics i have chosen to review economic thought on this topic on this occasion partly because of its inevitable timeliness partly because of a personal interest reaching back to my first published work in 1941

money activity and prices abstract the paper explores the relationships between monetary variables and real economic activity and prices in the six largest industrialized economies univariate and multivariate time series forecasting models are used to break down monetary policy variables into anticipated and unanticipated components overall monetary policy variables particularly domestic credit expansion appear to be significant leading indicators for subsequent real economic activity and prices additionally anticipated components of monetary policy are shown to have as much forecasting ability for subsequently realized economic variables as unanticipated components this does not appear to be consistent with the implications of pure rational expectations models it was also noted that results differed significantly according to the choice of monetary variable and across individual countries in particular the results implied no contradiction with previous findings for the impact of unanticipated money supply in the u s though such contradictions would have appeared if dce had been used as the monetary variable

sticky wages and adjustment in the australian labour market abstract the mussa price adjustment model is estimated for the australian aggregate labour market and compared to both the full equilibrium and the full disequilibrium specifications the evidence suggests that the full disequilibrium model is an appropriate description of the market

ethnicity and development in africa a reappraisal 131 enroll while membership is an entitlement that can be activated the entitlement is restricted by family membership as in other developing regions formal institutions are weak in modern africa and persons therefore tend to organize economic relationships through social institutions one way of augmenting the stock of capital is through education another is through migration to the city to a great degree it is families who organize the flow of resources that promote both urban migration and the acquisition of skills recognizing the central role of families in the formation of capital one can achieve a better grasp of the relationship between modernization and ethnicity to a significant degree modernization is achieved through the process of human capital formation this process is privately organized that is to say it is organized by families families organize the flow of resources between generations and sectors thus promoting the acquisition of skills and urban migration and thus the modernization of societies it is by stabilizing the contract between generations within family units that ethnic groups facilitate the process of investment to illustrate i use data collected from a village in luapula province zambia which supplies labor to the mining centers of zambia and congo when conducting my field work i focused on links between town and country and found that the income rural dwellers derived from town varied systematically with the structure size age composition and education of their families the coefficients in the remittance function suggested that an additional child yields on average 3 23 kwacha in the form of financial those who study modern africa commonly highlight three features its poverty its instability and its ethnic diversity whether in lurid popularizations e g robert kaplan 1994 or in social scientific research e g william easterly and ross levine 1997 but see also paul collier and a hoeffler 1998 scholars reason that africa is poor because it is unstable and that its instability derives from its ethnic complexity ethnicity thus lies it is held at the root of africa s development crisis this essay critiques the conventional wisdom by mounting an alternative interpretation using both qualitative and quantitative data from africa this article argues that

the effect of air traffic delays on airline prices abstract a legislative change in takeoff and landing restrictions at laguardia airport provides an opportunity to study the effect of an exogenous shock to product quality on prices in the airline industry i test how the price response varies with the degree of competition in the market i find that prices fall by 1 42 on average for each additional minute of flight delay and that the price response is substantially larger in more competitive markets

entitled to work urban property rights and labor supply in peru this brief summarizes the results of a gender impact evaluation study entitled entitled to work urban property rights and labor supply in peru new legal rights were issued in 1996 project teams providing titling service through 2003 in peru the study observed that between 1996 and 2003 the peruvian government issued property titles to over 1 2 million urban households the largest titling program targeted at urban squatters in the developing world this paper examines the labor market effects of increases in tenure security resulting from the program pre program squatters in program neighborhoods were significantly more likely to report improved tenure security by 60 percent similarly program participants were 18 8 percentage points less likely to report a high likelihood of eviction or invasion and 18 8 percentage points more likely to report that their dwelling was currently very secure from eviction or invasion the likelihood of working inside the home significantly falls by 11 6 percentage points for the average squatter family with two program periods

ethnic enclaves and the economic success of immigrants evidence from a natural experiment recent immigrants tend to locate in ethnic enclaves within metropolitan areas the economic consequence of living in such enclaves is still an unresolved issue we use an immigrant policy initiative in sweden when government authorities distributed refugee immigrants across locales in a way that may be considered exogenous this policy initiative provides a unique natural experiment which allows us to estimate the causal effect on labor market outcomes of living in enclaves we find substantive evidence of sorting across locations when sorting is taken into account living in enclaves improves labor market outcomes for instance the earnings gain associated with a standard deviation increase in ethnic concentration is in the order of four to five percent

a generalized production frontier approach for estimating determinants of inefficiency in u s dairy farms this article investigates farm level efficiency of u s dairy farmers by estimating their technical and allocative efficiency technical inefficiency is assumed to be composed of a deterministic component that is a function of some farm specific characteristics and a random component by doing this we extend the stochastic frontier methodology in which determinants of technicial inefficiency are explicitly introduced in the model given the inputs variations in efficiency of farms are then explained by both deterministic and random components of technical inefficiency the empirical results indicate that a levels of education of the farmer are important factors determining technical inefficiency and b large farms are more efficient technically than small and medium sized farms both technical and allocative inefficiency are found to decrease with increase in the level of education of the farmer

effects of land fragmentation and returns to scale in the chinese farming sector using household survey data from rural china economies of scale as measured by returns to scale and the effects of land fragmentation on crop outputs are examined while these effects are found to be detrimental statistically significant and substantial existing economies of scale appear to be too small to suggest radical land policy changes in china

smallholder technical efficiency controlling for environmental production conditions abstract smallholder agricultural production depends heavily on environmental production conditions that are largely exogenously determined yet few data sets collect necessary detailed information on environmental production conditions this oversight raises the spectre of likely omitted variables bias because farmers input choices typically respond in part to environmental conditions moreover because environmental production conditions are rarely symmetrically distributed the omission also generally leads to upward bias in estimated technical inefficiency and to biased estimates of the correlates of estimated technical inefficiency as well using panel data from 464 traditional rice plots in cote d ivoire we show that controlling for heterogeneous environmental production conditions significantly changes inferences perhaps especially with respect to smallholder rice farmers estimated technical inefficiency

land inheritance rules theory and cross cultural analysis abstract this paper develops a general theory of land inheritance rules that distinguishes between two classes of rules those allowing a testator discretion in disposing of his land e g a best qualified rule and those constraining his choice e g primogeniture the primary benefit of the latter is to prevent rent seeking by heirs but the cost is that the testator cannot use information about the relative abilities of his heirs to manage the land we also account for the impact of scale economies in land use and discuss the impact of the presence of a land market on the form of the inheritance rule we conclude by offering some empirical tests of the model using a cross cultural sample of societies

the roles of land tenure reforms and land markets in the context of population growth and land use intensification in africa this article reviews the past and potential future roles of land tenure reforms and land markets in sub saharan africa ssa as responses to population growth in the process of land use intensification and livelihood transformation the farm size distribution and the existence of an inverse relationship ir between farm size and land productivity in ssa and the implications of this relationship for efficiency and equity are investigated more secure property rights and removal of restrictions on land markets have the potential to create both efficiency and equity benefits but there are high risks of elite capture of large land areas with inefficient and inequitable outcomes this situation is the case not only in land abundant areas but also in urban and peri urban areas where increasingly larger proportions of people will make their living increasing population pressure in densely populated rural areas contributes to more rapid rural urban migration and creating alternative livelihood opportunities for the migrating youth population is essential to achieving economic development with social stability

welfare and child health the link between afdc participation and birth weight the stated goal of the aid for families with dependent children program is to improve the well being of children in poor families the program has come under considerable attack in recent years from critics who argue that participation in afdc is associated with maternal behaviors that are bad for children we investigate this question using birth weight as a measure of child health we find that participation in afdc during pregnancy is associated with delays in obtaining prenatal care smoking and drinking during pregnancy younger maternal age at the birth and ultimately with lower birth weights even when observable characteristics of the mother are controlled for however we show that when unobservable characteristics of the mother are controlled for there is actually a positive association between participation in afdc and the birth weights of children of white women from poor families we find no association between birth weight and maternal participation in afdc among black children

land fragmentation and food insecurity in ethiopia this paper revisits the economic consequences of land fragmentation taking seriously concerns regarding the exogeneity of fragmentation its measurement and the importance of considering impacts in terms of welfare metrics using data that are well suited to addressing these issues the analysis finds that land fragmentation reduces food insecurity this result is robust to how fragmentation is measured and to how exogeneity concerns are addressed further the paper finds that land fragmentation mitigates the adverse effects of low rainfall on food security this is because households with diverse parcel characteristics can grow a greater variety of crop types

is there a farm size productivity relationship in african agriculture evidence from rwanda whether the negative relationship between farm size and productivity that is confirmed in a large global literature holds in africa is of considerable policy relevance this paper revisits this issue and examines potential causes of the inverse productivity relationship in rwanda where policy makers consider land fragmentation and small farm sizes to be key bottlenecks for the growth of the agricultural sector nationwide plot level data from rwanda point toward a constant returns to scale crop production function and a strong negative relationship between farm size and output per hectare as well as intensity of labor use that is robust across specifications the inverse relationship continues to hold if profits with family labor valued at shadow wages are used but disappears if family labor is rather valued at village level market wage rates these findings imply that in rwanda labor market imperfections rather than other unobserved factors seem to be a key reason for the inverse farm size productivity relationship

nonparametric estimation of models with generated regressors this paper considers nonparametric kernel estimation of models with generated regressors and derives the asymptotic distribution of the resulting estimators it is also shown how generated regressors may be used to reduce the dimensionality of certain nonparametric models a labour supply equation is estimated to illustrate the technique

gender differences in land inheritance schooling and lifetime income evidence from the rural philippines this article examines the difference in lifetime incomes arising from parental preferences in the allocation of land inheritance and investments in schooling between sons and daughters in the rural philippines sons are preferred with respect to land inheritance receiving 0 15 additional hectares of land while daughters are treated more favourably in schooling investments receiving 1 5 more years of schooling however differences in both current and life cycle incomes between sons and daughters are insignificant this suggests that filipino parents allocate intergenerational transfers to equalise incomes among their children without sacrificing efficiency

does land fragmentation increase the cost of cultivation evidence from india although a large literature discusses the productivity effects of land fragmentation measurement and potential endogeneity issues are often overlooked this paper uses several measures of fragmentation and controls for endogeneity and crop choice by looking at inherited paddy and wheat plots to show that these issues matter empirically while crop choice can mitigate effects fragmentation as measured by the simpson index increases production cost and fosters substitution of labor for machinery especially for small and medium farmers greater distances between fragments have a smaller effect creating opportunities for market based consolidation could be one step to limit fragmentation induced cost increases

land reform and agricultural productivity in india a review of the evidence in this paper we review as well as contribute to the empirical literature on the impact of land reform on agricultural productivity in india we find that overall for all states land reform legislation had a negative and significant effect on agricultural productivity however this hides considerable variation across types of land reform as well as variation across states decomposing by type of land reform the main driver for this negative effect seems to be land ceiling legislation in contrast the effect of tenancy reform averaged across all states is insignificant there seems to be a wide range of state specific effects which suggests that focusing on average treatment effects can hide a considerable amount of heterogeneity in particular allowing a separate slope for west bengal one of the few states that implemented tenancy laws rigorously we find that land reform had a marginal positive effect relative to the rest of india

inheritance patterns in migration prone communities of the peruvian highlands abstract on the basis of detailed information on inheritance practices collected in the course of an in depth survey of three andean communities of peru and unlike most empirical studies which rely on remittance functions we have been able to estimate an inheritance function with a view to identifying the main factors associated with particular patterns of land bequests a central result is that the positive relationship between caring and a favourable access to land bequest indeed exists yet is only observed for migrant children whether urban or rural long distance or short distance migrants combined with other findings and observations this result strengthens the case for an interpretation based on an active role of potential heirs in the determination of inheritance outcomes it therefore calls into question the strategic bequest theory which presumes that parents are the ultimate decision makers in this matter in addition our study shows that inheritance patterns are complex besides migration and caring behavior personal characteristics of potential heirs such as gender birth order and family status having children or not do appear to influence division of parental land