operating flexibility global manufacturing and the option value of a multinational network the multinational corporation is a network of activities located in different countries the value of this network derives from the opportunity to benefit from uncertainty through the coordination of subsidiaries which are geographically dispersed we model this coordination as the operating flexibility to shift production between two manufacturing plants located in different countries a stochastic dynamic programming model treats explicitly this flexibility as equivalent to owning an option the value of which is dependent upon the real exchange rate the model is extended to analyze hysteresis effects and within country growth options we show that the management of across border coordination has led to changes in the heuristic rules used for performance evaluation and transfer pricing

a market performance comparison of u s firms active in domestic developed and developing countries direct foreign investment dfi may benefit investors through superior cash flows or lower risk relative to purely domestic firms this paper considers three groups of u s firms those without significant international operations those with international operations in developed countries and those with international operations in developing countries after performing risk return performance analysis on the three groups the findings show developing country dfi results in inferior performance but that there are no statistically significant differences in market performance among the three

innovation organizational capabilities and the born global firm we investigate born global firms as early adopters of internationalization that is companies that expand into foreign markets and exhibit international business prowess and superior performance from or near their founding our explication highlights the critical role of innovative culture as well as knowledge and capabilities in this unique breed of international entrepreneurial firm case studies are analyzed to better understand the early internationalization phenomenon and reveal key orientations and strategies that engender international success among these innovative firms case findings are then validated in a survey based study despite the scarce resources typical of young firms our findings reveal that born global firms leverage a distinctive mix of orientations and strategies that allow them to succeed in diverse international markets findings have important implications for the internationalization of contemporary firms

the effects of exports aid and remittances on output the case of kiribati country specific time series models of the determinants of output for the small developing island countries in the pacific region are relatively few this article explores the applicability of the framework underlying solow 1956 to analyse the determinants output in kiribati for the period 1970 to 2005 it is found that technical progress in kiribati has been negative virtually offsetting the positive effects of factor accumulation aid and remittances have negative effects and exports have only a small positive effect in the short run

foreign aid and fiscal governance in melanesia summary recent research suggests that foreign aid is effective at spurring economic growth in recipient countries but its effectiveness is likely to depend upon a number of factors arguably the most important factor determining aid effectiveness is how recipient governments mediate foreign aid inflows this paper investigates this issue for the melanesian countries of fiji papua new guinea the solomon islands and vanuatu for the period 1989 2002 results suggest that foreign aid has led to increases in developmental expenditures and to falls in tax revenues and borrowing results also suggest a very different response to aid grants versus loans

aid policy and growth in post conflict societies countries emerging from civil war attract both aid and policy advice this paper provides the first systematic empirical analysis of aid and policy reform in the post conflict growth process it is based on a comprehensive data set of large civil wars and covers 27 countries that were in their first decade of post conflict economic recovery during the 1990s the authors first investigate whether the absorptive capacity for aid is systematically different in post conflict countries they find that during the first three post conflict years absorptive capacity is no greater than normal but that in the rest of the first decade it is approximately double its normal level so ideally aid should phase in during the decade historically aid has not on average been higher in post conflict societies and it has tended to taper out over the course of the decade the authors then investigate whether the contribution of policy to growth is systematically different in post conflict countries and in particular whether particular components of policy are differentially important for this they use the world bank policy rating database the authors find that growth is more sensitive to policy in post conflict societies comparing the efficacy of different policies they find that social policies are differentially important relative to macroeconomic policies however historically this does not appear to have been how policy reform has been prioritized in post conflict societies

the casino model of internationalization an alternative uppsala paradigm forty years after the publication of the original uppsala model we revisit the empirical observations that inspired its conceptual development the empirical evidence we suggest invites the formulation of an alternative and complementary model of the internationalization process of the firm one that we have named the casino model of internationalization the casino model uncovers a number of new research issues pertaining to internationalization and to the nature of strategic decision making under conditions of environmental uncertainty and partial ignorance

foreign aid and economic growth an econometric study of bangladesh bangladesh is one of the poorest countries in the world since independence in 1971 bangladesh has received a large inflow of foreign capital from various countries for rapid economic progress bangladesh thus provides a test case for examining the effectiveness of foreign capital in promoting economic growth focussing on the supply side of the economy an econometric model is developed to quantify the effects of foreign aid and its various components on economic growth the model is tested using available time series data on bangladesh from 1972 to 1988 keeping data limitations measurement problems and other econometric problems in mind the empirical results indicate the domestic resources exert a stronger impact on growth than foreign resources foreign resources in its highly aggregative form do not show any significant contribution to growth however its decomposition into various components show that loans are more effective than grants and food aid is more effective than commodity or period

detecting and removing discrimination under equal opportunities policies abstract this paper surveys part of the recent voluminous literature on the economics of discrimination focusing on two key questions first how should discrimination be measured and can in fact unambiguous estimates be derived as the basis for detecting where discrimination is present and setting in train measures to eliminate it second to what extent has the implementation of equal opportunities legislation improved the relative standing of women and minority workers in the labour force this section includes a discussion of the likely effects of recent changes in the law such as the equal value amendment in the uk or the introduction of comparable worth in the usa the survey concludes that our ability to detect discrimination at all precisely is still rudimentary and consequently policy measures are likely to be inefficient for this reason

explaining the effect of rapid internationalization on horizontal foreign divestment in the retail sector an extended penrosean perspective we adopt a penrosean perspective to study the effect of rapid international expansion on the subsequent divestment of international operations we draw on regional strategy theory and differentiate penrosean managerial resources by their geographical fungibility to argue that the effect of rapid international expansion on the divestment of international operations varies with the regional patterns of firms international expansion and international experience we test our hypotheses using two stage least squares 2sls estimation on data that capture the international expansion and divestment of retailers over the period 2003 2012

valuation of the operating flexibility of multinational corporations the returns to multinationality are estimated as the value of operating flexibility empirical measures of the return of multinationality require a precise specification of the extensiveness of the mnc s transnational network to measure the degree of multinationality this precise empirically grounded definition of multinationality has been absent from the academic literature to date we address this omission and we find that two characteristics of the transnational network its breadth number of foreign countries in which the mnc has operations and depth the concentration of foreign subsidiaries in a few countries are significant in explaining the value of operating flexibility in particular we find that the returns to multinationality are maximized for firms with networks that have breadth but not depth the role of market intangibles such as r d and advertising on mnc market valuation is shown to depend on the flexibility regime

the transition from decentralized to network based mnc structures an evolutionary perspective this paper investigates and models the transition process within established multinational corporations mncs in moving from decentralized toward network based structures whereas there has been substantial research on various mnc models there has been little longitudinal research on the movement toward projected network based models this paper develops an evolutionary perspective of this transition distinguishing adjustments altering how the mnc defines its global strategy where it locates key resources and how it structures and manages operations it argues that rather then being a planned process each phase represents a viable strategic response to then existing challenges and opportunities the paper also argues that the focus of the process shifts over time initially focusing on building organizational linkages and adjusting the quantity and nature of resources within dispersed units and later shifting toward reallocating resources and roles across units

gender differences in first jobs for economists over the last several decades women have made substantial progress into traditionally maledominated professions reflecting this trend much recent research has focused on explaining the choice of profession and the gender composition of the workforce 5 23 16 however a focus on occupation choice may conceal interesting patterns within professions because a profession can include a number of different job types with a distinct mix of professional activities the dual labor market phenomenon of primary and secondary jobs may also be present although perhaps to a lesser extent within a particular profession 17 gender differences in composition of employment among the various jobs within a profession could thus affect the status pay and advancement of women in the occupation if women primarily place in secondary type jobs the advantages of entering a profession will be lower for women relatively little is known about career choice within a profession 15 in this paper we model the first job choice of economists among several careers and use data on new ph d economists over the last thirty years to examine whether career choices differ by gender over a period of low but increasing representation of women an advantage of our single profession analysis is that it contains a relatively homogeneous set of workers with quantitative human capital measures that other studies of job choice suggest are important 7 there is significant variation in career choices available within economics that permits possible market segmentation 2 there are research and teaching academic jobs and the government and private sectors employ large numbers of economists we find significant structural differences in the placements of male and female economists indicating that the choices of female economists differ from those of their male counterparts both within academia and between this and other sectors the economics profession provides a useful background to examine gender differences in the career choices of professionals in a male dominated occupation over the last 30 years the average number of ph d s conferred annually in the u s has increased from approximately 300 to over 800 reflecting increased opportunities for economists within economics departments and expansion of other academic government and private sector jobs at the same time the proportion

foreign aid and economic growth in cameroon cameroon is classified as a lower middle income country since it became a unified and independent country in 1961 cameroon has received significant amounts of foreign aid most of it from france and the european economic community since the 1960s economic growth in the country has been quite significant between 1965 and 1980 the gross domestic product grew at an average annual rate of 5 1 and at a rate of 2 3 between 1980 and 1990 cameroon seems a good test case for determining the effects of foreign aid on economic growth in developing countries an econometric model based on the neoclassical production function is developed and used to test the relationship between foreign aid and eonomic growth the model is tested using time series datd on the country from 1971 to 1990 the results show that domestic resources have a stronger impact on economic growth in cameroon than foreign resources these results however must be taken with the understanding that the data suffer from measurement probl

internationalization of the firm a discourse based view while internationalization process theory has deepened our understanding of international expansion it and many other international business ib theories have largely neglected the underlying managerial processes and decision making contexts of internationalization in response we articulate a model that accounts for both the external context and the internal processes leading to internationalization decisions we argue that internationalization decisions are grounded in contestation and struggle for control eventually leading to a dominant discourse consensus and performativity we illustrate our model through two contrasting cases of internationalization and we show how contemporary ib theories can be enhanced by adding a discourse approach

fdi theories and the performance of foreign multinationals operating in the u s based on firm specific financial data performance of foreign multinationals operating in the u s is evaluated to determine if they enjoy advantages over u s firms results of this study indicate that foreign firms operating in the u s are less profitable than randomly selected u s firms that they spend more in research and development but less in advertising and that they have higher debt levels combined with higher liquidity in addition the findings also demonstrate that the determinants of excess market value as measured by tobin s q differ between foreign owned firms and american owned firms and that the performance of foreign multinationals differ by country of origin this suggests that foreign owned firms may have different reasons for investing in the u s and that foreign multinationals present investment opportunities to the u s investors distinct from american firms

aid growth nexus empirical evidence from fiji foreign aid to the island economies is a major source for foreign exchange and resource needs this paper presents an empirical analysis of the relationship between foreign aid and economic growth in the case of fiji a neoclassical production function is applied to estimate the aid growth nexus since the data employed are time series for the period 1968 to 1996 the autoregressive distributed lag approach to cointegration is utilized to estimate the models components of total aid such as grant aid loan aid technical cooperation bilateral and multilateral aid flows are also utilized to estimate a disaggregated short run and long run relationship between foreign aid and economic growth the results show that total aid flows and its various forms i e bilateral aid grant aid and technical cooperation grant aid has a significant impact on economic growth in fiji as for domestic resources only exports and private investments in two equations show positive contribution to growth

measuring the degree of internationalization of a firm in spite of both positivistic and instrumental research the reliability of measuring the degree of internationalization of a firm remains speculative we collected data on nine attributes of seventy four american manufacturing mncs alpha factor and frequency analyses revealed a linear combination of five variables with a reliability coefficient of 79 as a measure of the degree of internationalization of a firm we discuss the statistical and conceptual properties of the scale and their implications for content and construct validity

can the world cut poverty in half how policy reform and effective aid can meet international development goals abstract poverty in the developing world will decline by about one half by 2015 if the trends of the 1990s persist most of this poverty reduction will occur in asia however while poverty will decline only slightly in africa effective aid could make a contribution to greater poverty reduction in lagging regions even more potent would be significant policy reform in these countries we develop a model of efficient aid in which flows respond to policy improvements that create a better environment for poverty reduction and effective aid we investigate scenarios of policy reform and efficient aid that point the way to how the world can cut poverty in half in every major region

aid policies and growth the authors of this paper use a new database on foreign aid to examine the relationships among foreign aid economic policies and growth of per capita gdp in panel growth regressions for 56 developing countries and 6 four year periods 1970 93 they find that the policies that have a great effect on growth are those related to fiscal surplus inflation and trade openness they construct an index for those three policies and have that index interact with foreign aid they have instruments for both aid and aid interacting with policies they find that aid has a positive impact on growth in developing countries with good fiscal monetary and trade policies in the presence of poor policies aid has no positive effect on growth this result is robust in a variety of specifications which include or exclude middle income countries include or exclude outliers and treat policies as exogenous or endogenous they examine the determinants of policy and find no evidence that aid has systematically affected policies either for good or for ill they estimate an aid allocation equation and show that any tendency for aid to reward good policies has been overwhelmed by donors pursuit of their own strategic interests in a counterfactual they reallocate aid reduce the role of donor interests and increasing the importance of policy such a reallocation would have a large positive effect on developing countries growth rates

scaling up foreign aid will the big push work international donors are substantially scaling up aid programmes at the same time there are widespread reservations over how much aid recipient countries can use effectively such concerns are supported by the aid effectiveness literature which finds that there are limits to the amounts of aid recipients can efficiently absorb this article demonstrates that a big push in foreign aid will not lead to diminishing returns as long as donors get the inter country allocation of aid right this is true even if donors provide aid at levels equal to the well known target of 0 7 per cent of their gross national income

international corporate diversification market valuation and size adjusted evidence errunza and senbet es 7 analyze the effects of international operations on the market value of the firm both at theoretical and empirical levels the theoretical model which is largely heuristic exploits the costly supply adjustment of multinational firms mncs in providing international portfolio diversification services to investors who face differential cost barriers to direct holdings of assets across national boundaries mncs compete as financial intermediaries to undo the barriers so that in equilibrium profits are driven out mncs and pure domestic firms sell at an equivalent risk adjusted return however costly financial intermediation and the associated relative efficiency leads to a positive valuation effect for mncs relative to purely domestic firms further the equilibrium analysis implies that demand side investor barriers to international capital flows alone are inconsequential to the valuation of mncs in their pure financial role but that the interaction with the supply side costs are necessary to produce a valuation effect at the corporate level es subject the theory to an empirical analysis in a value based approach by employing a variant of tobin s 17 qratio the analysis controlling for industrial market power suggests that the relationship between the excess valuation and the degree of international involvement doi has magnified over periods characterized by severe u s government controls vis a vis the more recent periods in this paper we formalize the theoretical argument by viewing indirect portfolio diversification by mncs as a means of completing the international capital market we employ a paradigm in the unanimity literature and formally characterize the equilibrium in which there is a rationale for mnc financial intermediation we then perform an expanded empirical study by employing generalized least squares and maximum likelihood procedures since the positive relationship between excess valuation and doi as suggested in es 7 might be attributed to the so called small firm or size and the p e effects the test methodology controls for such effects also the traditional literature has relied upon foreign sales percentage as a proxy for doi in view of the well recognized limitations of this proxy we employ four different measures of international

internalization an event study test abstract the internalization theory of multinational firms proposes that direct international investment occurs when a firm has information related intangible assets with public good properties we find that firms with characteristics suggesting the presence of information based assets experience a significantly positive stock price reaction upon announcing a foreign acquisition on the other hand firms apparently lacking such assets experience at best zero abnormal returns upon announcing overseas acquisitions

the gender pay gap beyond human capital heterogeneity in noncognitive skills and in labor market tastes abstract focused on human capital economists typically explain about half of the gender earnings gap for a national sample of mbas we account for 82 percent of the gap by incorporating noncognitive skills for example confidence and assertiveness and preferences regarding family career and jobs those two sources of gender heterogeneity account for a quarter of the explained pay gap with half due to human capital variables and the other quarter due to hours worked and current job characteristics female mbas appear to pay a penalty for good citizen behavior choosing jobs that contribute to society and characteristics higher ethical standards

measuring the degree of internationalization of a firm a comment sullivan s 1994 suggestion that an index measure of the internationalization construct is superior to single variable measures is critiqued on psychometric content validity criterion validity reliability and utilitarian grounds we argue that internationalization is more complex than envisioned by this index and suggest that further refinement of the construct is necessary before constructing indices

executive compensation female executives and networking the phrase it s who you know not what you know that counts is often heard in conversations about people who get ahead in economic terms this phrase translates into it s your connections not your human capital investments that count this study attempts to determine the influence of networking in addition to human capital investments by examining a sample of top female executives in the united states we conclude that networking is as important as performance variables in helping women climb the corporate ladder

the uppsala model networks and micro foundations in our award winning 2009 article we further developed the model that we originally presented in 1977 we observed that firms form relationships and that those relationships become networks and thus in the end the business macro environment consists of networks of relationships between firms those relationships have far reaching consequences especially in terms of opportunity recognition and development since 2009 we have applied the uppsala model to a number of different ib issues most notably the process of globalization which we believe is best understood as a driver of the evolution of the multinational business enterprise mbe we suggest that our model can still be improved further by recognizing the general psychological characteristics of managers for instance what makes them tend to shy away from radical change and to prefer instead an incremental approach what does this mean for internationalization generally we think that the closer our assumptions are to reality the better the resulting model

from internationalization to evolution the uppsala model at 40 years abstract the original uppsala model that was published in 1977 explains the internationalization process of firms we have further developed the model several times in the intervening years the present article is our latest effort a general model of the evolution of the multinational business enterprise mbe from early steps abroad to being a global firm the updated augmented model explains mbe evolution in general not only characteristics of the internationalization process in a narrow sense we believe that the newest iteration anchored in process ontology will be useful in conducting longitudinal empirical studies

a note on the transnational solution and the transaction cost theory of multinational strategic management this article assesses the extent to which the results of bartlett and ghoshal s 1989 work can be incorporated in what has now become one of the core explanations of multinational strategic management i e the transaction cost based theory of international production we demonstrate that the transaction cost approach fully incorporates the empirical findings of bartlett and ghoshal s work to do so requires that we make a new distinction between location bound and non location bound firm specific advantages in addition three possible uses of country specific advantages by multinational enterprises need to be identified while the transnational solution as proposed by bartlett and ghoshal is not itself a new theory of multinational strategic management it is compatible with the transaction cost based model of multinational strategic management

on aid growth and good policies this study provides a critical analysis of the growth regressions in burnside and dollar 2000 first we analyse the relationship between aid and government expenditure in a modified neo classical growth model one of the main results of the analysis is that while good policies spur growths they may at the same time reduce the effectiveness of foreign aid second we show that the econometric results in burnside and dollar emphasising the crucial role of interaction between aid and good policies in the growth process are fragile as they are extremely data dependent finally we demonstrate that the burnside and dollar data lend support to the idea that the association between aid and growth can be approximated by decreasing returns to aid this finding conforms well to regression results in other recent studies

market structure and market value while the use of market models to determine the sources of economic profits is quite new at least two empirical studies considering the market structure and market value relation have appeared to date interestingly they conflict thomadakis 1977 found a close positive relation between the four firm concentration ratio and relative excess valuation measured as the difference between the market value of the firm and the book value of tangible assets all normalized by sales as a result thomadakis argued that industry concentration plays a role in the determination of excess profits from currently held assets and those expected from the firm s investment options p 185 in contrast lindenberg and ross 1981 reported no significant relation between concentration and tobin s q ratio measured as the ratio of the market value of the firm to the replacement cost of tangible assets this result disputes thomadakis s findings and a purely structuralist interpretation of economic profits according to lindenberg and ross market power may or may not be evident in highly concentrated markets since high q s can occur in concentrated or unconcentrated markets and conversely low q s indicating no significant market power can occur in markets that have high degrees of concentration p 28

o papel das redes sociais na condicao do desempregado uma analise usando a teoria de matching the paper investigates whether the size of social networks can aect the unemployment rate of the economy therefore based on a theoretical model of matching i propose a technique for simulating the eects of networks on the employability of workers the proposal is applied to a database of portugal noting evidence that there is an optimal size of network that minimizes the unemployment rate

the theoretical evolution and use of the uppsala model of internationalization in the international business ecosystem the uppsala model typically viewed as an internationalization process model an internationalization stages model or a sequential internationalization model has served as a theoretical underpinning in the international business literature since johanson and vahlne s j int bus stud 8 1 23 32 1977 article incorporated thoughts by researchers at uppsala university in one all encompassing model major updates to the model were published in 2009 and 2017 by the original authors our work examines what has now become the time tested and decade award winning 2009 version of the uppsala model relative to the original model in 1977 we also provide an outlook for international business research within the scope of the 2017 version of the model this evaluation and dive across times into the nuances of the uppsala model capture aspects of the model s theoretical and empirical power as well as its limitations within today s international business ecosystem the international business ecosystem is defined as the organisms of the business world including stakeholders organizations and countries involved in exchanges production business functions and cross border trade through both marketplace competition and cooperation in the process we push the theoretical boundaries of the model and provide a unique connection to marketing thought

aid instability as a measure of uncertainty and the positive impact of aid on growth this article contributes to the literature on aid and economic growth we posit that uncertainty measured as the instability of aid receipts will influence the relationship between aid and investment how recipient governments respond to aid and will capture the fact that some countries are especially vulnerable to shocks when we account for uncertainty which is negative and significant we find that aid has a significant positive effect on growth largely due to its effect on the volume of investment the finding that uncertainty of aid receipts reduces the effectiveness of aid is robust when the regression is estimated for the sub sample of african countries these findings hold although the effectiveness of aid appears weaker than for the full sample

aid allocation and poverty reduction the authors derive a poverty efficient allocation of aid and compare it with actual aid allocations they build the poverty efficient allocation in two stages first they use new world bank ratings of 20 different aspects of national policy to establish the current relationship between aid policies and growth onto that they add a mapping from growth to poverty reduction which reflects the level and distribution of income they compare the effects of using headcount and poverty gap measures of poverty they find the actual allocation of aid to be radically different from the poverty efficient allocation in the efficient allocation for a given of poverty aid tapers in with policy reform in the actual allocation aid tapers out with reform in the efficient allocation aid is targeted disproportionately to countries with severe poverty and adequate polices the type of country where 74 percent of the world s poor live in the actual allocation such countries receive a much smaller share of aid 56 percent than their share of the world s poor with the present allocation aid is effective in sustainably lifting about 30 million people a year out of absolute poverty with a poverty efficient allocation this would increase to about 80 million people even with political constraints introduced to keep allocations for india and china constant poverty reduction would increase to about 60 million reallocating aid is politically difficult but it may be considerably less difficult than quadrupling aid budgets which is what the authors estimate would be necessary to achieve the same impact on poverty reduction with existing aid allocations

the impact of foreign aid on economic growth in papua new guinea this article investigates the impact of foreign aid on economic growth in papua new guinea png using time series data for the period 1965 to 1999 following the most recent literature the article examines whether aid effectiveness is conditional on levels of economic policy and governance an empirical model is estimated using the autoregressive distributed lag ardl approach to cointegration proposed by pesaran and shin 1995 results provide little evidence that aid and its various components have contributed to economic growth in png there is some evidence that aid is more effective during periods when the country has undertaken a world bank structural adjustment program sap an alternative interpretation is that a sap may be more effective at spurring growth when supported by foreign aid

conceptualizing and measuring distance in international business research recurring questions and best practice guidelines distance is a central concept in international business research yet there is debate about the construct as well as its operationalization in this editorial we address three of the most important recurring questions posed by authors editors and reviewers by examining the theory methods and data of distance research we discuss 1 how to theorize on distance and 2 what method and 3 what data to use when constructing a distance index we develop practical recommendations grounded in theory illustrating and supporting them by calculating cross country distance indices for all available country pairs and two of the most used distance indices cultural and institutional we show that whereas a specific method to calculate distance may matter to some extent the choice for a specific cultural or institutional framework to measure cultural or institutional distance has a major impact on country pair distances overall this editorial highlights the importance of matching data and method to the theoretical argument

aid and growth regressions this paper examines the relationship between foreign aid and growth in real gdp per capita as it emerges from simple augmentations of popular cross country growth specifications it is shown that aid in all likelihood increases the growth rate and this result is not conditional on good policy there are however decreasing returns to aid and the estimated effectiveness of aid is highly sensitive to the choice of estimator and the set of control variables when investment and human capital are controlled for no positive effect of aid is found yet aid continues to impact on growth via investment we conclude by stressing the need for more theoretical work before this kind of cross country regressions are used for policy purposes

the uppsala internationalization process model revisited from liability of foreignness to liability of outsidership the uppsala internationalization process model is revisited in the light of changes in business practices and theoretical advances that have been made since 1977 now the business environment is viewed as a web of relationships a network rather than as a neoclassical market with many independent suppliers and customers outsidership in relation to the relevant network more than psychic distance is the root of uncertainty the change mechanisms in the revised model are essentially the same as those in the original version although we add trust building and knowledge creation the latter to recognize the fact that new knowledge is developed in relationships

aid and performance a reassessment two visions of aid effectiveness and allocation are compared the first corresponding to the new aid paradigm argues that aid is only effective if domestic policies are appropriate the second in contrast argues that aid effectiveness depends on the external and climatic environment the worse this environment or the more vulnerable the recipient countries the greater the effectiveness of aid cross sectional econometric tests related to gdp growth on two 12 year pooled periods clearly favour the second view the two views can be reconciled through the principle of performance based aid allocation where performance is defined as outcomes adjusted for the impact of environmental factors performance can then be measured in several manners which are subject to comparison one approach would lead one to allocate more aid the worse the external environment is for a given policy and the better the policy is for a given environment