import price elasticities reconsidering the evidence recent economic geography and trade empirical studies based on monopolistic competition suggest high levels of trade price elasticities between 3 and 1 1 however price elasticity estimations in trade equations using unit values as price proxies usually lead to lower values of around unity we show that those inconclusive results may be due to some misspecification in these equations as well as measurement errors in prices when suit able instrumental variables are used within a panel of industrialized countries we obtain high price elasticities the majority ranging from i to 13 the highest estimates correspond to industries producing homogeneous goods jel classification c2 c3 and f 1

the elephant in hotelling s room this paper questions the assumption commonly used in theoretical and policy research that scarcity rents make up a large proportion of market prices for oil and coal we show that the empirical literature simple calculations of historical and future scarcity rent shares and possible theoretical explanations all imply the same overall conclusions that scarcity rents seem to have been marginal or non existent historically that they almost certainly do not dominate fossil resource prices today and that there will be other factors shaping the prices in the upcoming decades we therefore argue that using the scarcity rent as the main or only basis for policy or for explaining empirical outcomes is ill advised

china s competitive performance a threat to east asian manufactured exports there is growing concern in southeast and east asia about the competitive threat posed by china s burgeoning exports exacerbated by its accession to the wto the threat is not confined to labourintensive products but spans the whole technological and skill range at the same time china is rapidly raising its imports from the region and it is not clear whether its burgeoning exports will damage its neighbours we examine the dimensions of china s competitive threat in the 1990s benchmarking competitive performance by technology and market and finds that market share losses are so far mainly in low technology products with japan being the most vulnerable market we analyse market share changes and highlight product groups that are directly or indirectly exposed to a competitive threat we examine intra regional trade and find that china and its neighbours are raising high technology exports in tandem the nature of the international production systems involved lead to complementari ty rather than confrontation china is thus acting as an engine of export growth for its neighbours in terms of direct trade however this will change as china moves up the value chain and takes on the activities that have driven east asian export growth

variance properties of solow s productivity residual and their cyclical implications abstract for the united states economy 1960 1989 the correlation between the growth rates of the solow residual and the real price of energy government spending is 0 55 0 09 this study develops a model to see if it quantitatively captures the endogenous transmission mechanism underlying the observed solow residual correlations it does the transmission mechanism depends on endogenous capital utilization incorporating shocks to true technology energy prices and government spending the model economy accounts for 76 or 89 percent of u s output volatility and is generally consistent with features of u s business cycles

congestion function specification and the publicness of local public goods abstract this paper is about the measurement of congestion within the median voter demand framework the model of congestion traditionally used in the literature and four others are compared and tested in a median voter framework the results show that a more flexible functional form which imposes fewer a priori restrictions on the data does at least as good a job of explaining variations in local government expenditures furthermore it is shown that measured publicness of local public goods depends entirely on the a priori restrictions imposed on the congestion function

border adjustments supplementing nationally determined carbon pricing as agreed on in the paris agreement each country determines its own contribution to combat climate change on a voluntary basis there is no mechanism to force a country to comply with its own nationally determined contributions this bottom up approach builds on unilateral actions and yields a kind of carbon pricing which is not necessarily identical across countries as a consequence these nationally determined climate policies have drawbacks in terms of carbon leakage and loss of competitiveness for firms producing in high carbon price countries to reduce these negative effects border adjustments bas may be appropriate subsequent to more stringent environmental regulation we model a three stage game involving carbon price competition in the first stage the introduction of bas in the second stage and oligopolistic competition between firms in the third stage strategic trade theory suggests that the qualitative results about the optimal ba policy may vary with the underlying type of competition namely bertrand and cournot competition however our results are similar for both types of competition we conclude that bas are suitable for supporting a more stringent environmental policy moreover we find that anticipation of the implementation of bas in the second stage yields higher average carbon prices in the first stage since high carbon price countries increase their carbon prices whereas the other countries partially offset

european emission trading scheme and competitiveness a case study on the iron and steel industry abstract we quantify the impact of the european emission trading scheme ets on the two dimensions of competitiveness production and profitability for the iron and steel industry among those covered by the scheme this sector is one of the most exposed since it is both highly co 2 intensive and relatively open to international trade we also examine the robustness of these results to various assumptions marginal abatement cost curve trade and demand elasticities as well as pass through rates and updating of allocation rules of which the latter two are scarcely debated we conclude that for this sector competitiveness losses are small we prove this conclusion to be robust hence arguments against tightening the environmental stringency of the ets in phase ii are not justified on grounds of competitiveness loss our systematic sensitivity analysis allows us to identify the important assumptions for each output variable it turns out that pass through rates and updating rules are significant despite being often implicit and least debated in existing analyses

efficiency costs of meeting industry distributional constraints under environmental permits and taxes many pollution related industries wield strong political influence and can e ectively veto policy initiatives that would harm their profits a politically realistic approach to environmental policy therefore seems to require the alleviation of significant profitlosses to these industries the regulatory authority can do this by freely allocating some emissions permits or by exempting some inframarginal emissions from a pollution tax however such policies compel the government to forego an e cient potential revenue source and to rely more heavily on ordinary distortionary taxes as a result achieving distributional objectives comes at a cost in terms of e ciency using analytically and numerically solved equilibrium models we analyze the e ciency costs implied by the distributional constraint that adverse impacts on profits in particular industries must be avoided both models indicate that the e ciency cost implied by this constraint dwarfs the other e ciency costs when the required amount of abatement is very small when the abatement requirement becomes more extensive however the cost of this constraint diminishes relative to the other e ciency costs of pollution control we also calculate the compensation ratio the share of potential policy revenue that the government must forego to protect the industries in question we show how this ratio is a ected by the extent of abatement supply and demand elasticities and the potential for end of pipe treatment one definition of this ratio corresponds to the share of pollution permits that must be freely allocated to prevent profit losses in the targeted industries numerical simulations of sulfur dioxide pollution control suggest that the bush administration s clear skies initiative would exceed this ratio freely allocating more permits than necessary to preserve profits our models also highlight significant di erences between gross and net policy revenues when abatement is extensive a large fraction of the revenue collected from emissions permits or taxes is o set by the revenue loss from erosion of the base of existing factor taxes

infrastructure investment a review essay economists try not to be faddists but they often cannot help themselves while work on a topic should mirror the prospective importance of the topic that situation seems to occur with disappointing frequency instead the usual pattern is that some reasonably important topic will be totally ignored for the longest time then recognized and then the subject of a flurry of work all out of proportion to its likely long run importance nowhere has this speculative bubble of economic research been more clearly illustrated than with infrastructure investment macroeconomists havelong felt that the stock of public capital is an important factor input in the production of total output macroeconomists have known that u s productivity growth slowed dramatically in about 1973 and macroeconomists should have known that united states investment in public capital has been down since the late 1960s yet analysis of the u s productivity slowdown completely ignored infrastructure investment for the first fifteen years of this slowdown concentrating instead on energy prices social regulation the composition of the work force research and development different rates of obsolescence of the private capital stock and any number of other matters the public capital stock was hardly ever even mentioned as a potential factor in the productivity slowdown aschauer changed all that he wrote a series of papers 1989a 1989b 1989c that put these two movements together econometrically infrastructure investment turned down and aggregate productivity turned down slightly later both in the united states and in some other developed countries his work hit the magic button those who had worried about the productivity puzzle for fifteen years welcomed a new suspect those who were worried about low rates of u s national saving welcomed a new way to make their argument even more forcefully than with official figures on saving and investment which do not count infrastructure investment as investment political liberals and liberal politicians saw a way to rescue government spending and projects from the assaults of reaganism and even a way to avoid oth

indeterminacy under constant returns to scale in multisector economies recently there has been a renewed interest in indeterminacy or alternatively put in the existence of a continuum of equilibria in dynamic economies that exhibit some market imperfections one of the primary concerns of this literature has been the empirical plausibility of indeterminacy which arises in markets with external effects or with monopolistic competition often coupled with some degree 10 of increasing returns

filling potholes macroeconomic effects of maintenance versus new investments in public infrastructure abstract the maintenance of existing public infrastructure has often been neglected in favor of building new infrastructure in developing countries this paper develops a dynamic general equilibrium model that analyzes the reasons and effects of such neglect first the optimal level of maintenance is shown to depend on the size of new investments as a share of existing public infrastructure and on the productivity of infrastructure second the model is parameterized and solved numerically for a sample of latin american countries quantitative results show that reallocating funds from new infrastructure to maintenance can have positive effects on these countries gdp

technology growth and the business cycle using a partial equilibrium model that allows for factor hoarding i construct series on input utilization rates for ten oecd countries these series are used in growth accounting computations of total factor productivity which filter out cyclical variations in input utilization rates the main findings are as follows i adjusted solow residuals grow consistently faster than standard measures ii the variability of the adjusted solow residual is in some cases smaller than the standard residual s iii adjusted solow residuals are less procyclical than standard residuals and fare better at usual exogeneity tests iv supply shocks are no more synchronized between european countries than elsewhere and v observed increased output synchronization in europe is due to demand factors

scale congestion and growth this paper explores the relationship between aggregate and relative congestion returns to scale and economic growth aggregate congestion reduces the effective productivity of capital relative congestion reduces the effective productivity of labour both forms of congestion adversely affect the equilibrium growth rate although their relative effects depend upon aggre gate returns to scale the two forms of congestion have contrasting effects on the transitional dynamics relative congestion retards the rate of adjustment aggregate congestion accelerates it the externalities generated by congestion and non optimal expenditure can be fully cor rected both during the transition and in steady state by a time invariant income tax the role of public expenditure as an instrument of economic growth has been a major policy issue as governments throughout the world design stimulus packages as in japan and face difficult choices to meet the emu criteria in europe empirical research investigating the impact of public investment on the productivity of private capital and output was stimulated by aschauer 1989a b who found the effects to be strongly positive the nature of public investment is however diverse in general public goods vary extensively in terms of the nature of their services spanning the range between the polar cases of pure private and pure public goods but the treatment of public expenditures in formal growth models is limited barro 1990 and futagami et al 1993 treat government expenditure as a pure pub lic good and in so doing they fail to take account of the congestion typically associated with public goods however as barro and sala i martin 1992 have argued almost all public services are characterized by some degree of congestion so that the pure public good should be viewed as only a bench mark these considerations suggest that congestion is an important consider ation in assessing the effect of public expenditures on economic growth attempts to analyse the effects of congestion on economic growth have been limited in various dimensions drawing on the public goods literature edwards 1990 proposes a number of specifications of congestion two notions particularly relevant in a growth context are relative congestion and aggregate absolute congestion the former specifies the level of services derived by an individual from the provision of a public good in terms of the usage of his individual capital stock relative to the aggregate capital stock aggregate congestion sometimes called crowding indicates how aggregate usage of the service alone influences the services received by an individual 2 existing applications of congestion to growth theory introduce it into ak models see barro and sala i martin 1992 1995 glomm and ravikumar 1994 1997 and turnovsky 1996 1997 however the ak model features two limitations that restrict its flexibility to examine the relationship between congestion and growth first as solow 1994 pointed out sustained ongoing

productive government expenditures and long run growth the purpose of this paper is to review some of the recent developments in endogenous growth models specifically our focus is on the growth effects of productive government spending in dynamic general equilibrium models we use a simple overlapping generations model as our basic framework and illustrate the role of taxes and spending we then examine several related issues nonrivalry in publicly provided goods existence and uniqueness of competitive equilibrium endogenous public policy ways of financing public expenditures composition of publicly provided goods and services and private alternatives finally we review some empirical results related to output elasticity of public capital and educational expenditures

big business and urban congestion in taiwan the origins of small enterprise and regionally decentralized industry respectively abstract two pillars of taiwan s economy that are regarded as models for other developing countries to follow are small and medium size enterprises smes and regional decentralization of industry this paper suggests that the historical roots of both phenomena make the policies necessary to reproduce the taiwan model elsewhere less straightforward than is typically supposed by the mid 1960s the major factor behind regional decentralization was urban congestion big business seems to have been instrumental in the growth of smes

government versus private ownership of public goods there has been a dramatic change in the division of responsibility between the state and the private sector for the delivery of public goods and services in recent years with an increasing trend toward contracting out to the private sector and public private partnerships this paper analyzes how ownership matters in public good provision we show that if contracts are incomplete then the ownership of a public good should lie with a party that values the beneets generated by it relatively more this is true regardless of whether this party is also the key investor or other aspects of the technology

sectoral adjustment costs and real exchange rate dynamics in a two sector dependent economy abstract this paper develops a two sector model in which intersectoral capital movements involve adjustment costs expressed as capital lost in the transformation process these costs have important consequences for the dynamics of capital accumulation and particularly for real exchange rate dynamics persistent deviations of the real exchange rate from its equilibrium are derived and for plausible values of the adjustment cost parameters are consistent with the observed degree of real exchange rate persistence for low adjustment costs the dynamics are qualitatively similar to those of the standard heckscher ohlin technology for high adjustment costs the model converges to the specific factors model thus our framework includes these two standard models as polar extremes

economic reforms in india since 1991 has gradualism worked opinions on the causes of india s growth deceleration vary world economic growth was slower in the second half of the 1990s and that would have had some dampening effect but india s dependence on the world economy is not large enough for this to account for the slowdown critics of liberalization have blamed the slowdown on the effect of trade policy reforms on domestic industry however the opposite view is that the slowdown is due not to the effects of reforms but rather to the failure to implement the reforms effectively this in turn is often attributed to india s gradualist approach to reform which has meant a frustratingly slow pace of implementation however even a gradualist pace should be able to achieve significant policy changes over ten years this paper examines india s experience with gradualist reforms from this perspective

production costs of the chemical industry in the eu and other countries ammonia methanol and light olefins abstract our study compares chemical production costs in the european union eu and other countries in order to understand whether these costs are higher in the case of europe than in other countries our analysis focuses on ammonia methanol and light olefins ethylene and propylene as all of them are considered chemical compounds produced in large scale the countries selected for comparison are usa russia ukraine and saudi arabia since they have high shares of extra eu28 trade and or the global installed capacity of the selected products a bottom up approach based on information at facility level has been followed including 116 29 122 and 224 facilities producing ammonia methanol ethylene and propylene respectively taking into consideration the complex differences in technologies and co products between operators costs are broken down to six components 1 feedstock 2 credits due to co products 3 electricity 4 thermal energy 5 other materials chemicals catalysts etc and 6 labour and other costs salaries overheads etc our findings suggest that it is not easy to reach a common conclusion about the whole chemical industry overall costs compare more favourably among countries than initially thought in the case of processes producing co products but maybe less favourably when processes are without co products the european industry has lower production costs than the industries in the other countries in the case of ethylene and propylene but higher in the case of ammonia and methanol feedstock costs play the most important role in the total production costs of all four products but the presence of credits due to by products could change the behaviour of the total costs

carbon allowance auction design of china s emissions trading scheme a multi agent based approach in this paper a multi agent based ets simulation model is proposed for carbon allowance auction design in china in the proposed model two main agents i e the government the ets implementer and the firms in different sectors the ets targets are considered under the ets policy all agents make various decisions individually according to their own goals and interact with each other through three main markets the commodity market the primary carbon auction market and the secondary carbon trading market different popular auction designs are introduced into the ets formulation to offer helpful insights into china s ets design 1 generally the ets would lead to positive effects on china s carbon mitigation and energy structure improvement but a negative impact on economy 2 as for auction forms the uniform price design is relatively moderate while the discriminative price design is quite aggressive in both economic damage and emissions reduction 3 as for carbon price the uniform price auction might generate a slightly higher market clearing price than the discriminative price auction and the prices under two auction rules fluctuate about rmb 40 per metric ton 4 as for carbon cap the total allowances in the carbon auction market should be carefully set to well balance economic growth and mitigation effect

public investment in infrastructure in a simple growth model abstract in this paper we examine the implications for capital accumulation when infrastructure enters as an external input into private production functions in our model infrastructure is nonexclusive but may exhibit varying degrees of nonrivalry revenues from uniform taxes on capital and labor income are used to finance public investment in infrastructure we show that the optimal tax rate is independent of the degree of nonrivalry when production exhibits constant returns to augmentable factors the equilibrium displays constant growth for most parameters the growth rate depends on the population size under decreasing returns the optimal trajectory exhibits monotonic convergence to a steady state level

the steel industry a mathematical model under environmental regulations abstract in this work a spatial equilibrium problem is formulated for analyzing the impact of the application of the eu ets on the steel industry that has historically seen europe as one of its major producers the developed model allows us to simultaneously represent the interactions of several market players to endogenously determine output and steel prices and to analyze the investment in the carbon capture and storage ccs technology in addition the proposed model supports the evaluation of the co2 emission costs on the basis of directive 2009 29 ec the 20 20 20 targets and the energy roadmap 2050 in this light two main processes for steelmaking have to be considered integrated mills bof and electric arc furnace eaf in minimills

economic impacts of debottlenecking congestion in the chinese coal supply chain abstract the fast pace of development in china s coal industry created bottlenecks in its transportation infrastructure these bottlenecks likely affected not only china s domestic coal market but also global coal markets in this paper we estimate the costs and consequences of these bottlenecks using a production and multimodal transportation model we find that coal transportation inefficiencies increased the price of chinese domestic coal at coastal locations and thereby influenced global seaborne coal prices according to our model results the resulting extra costs of coal supplied to the chinese economy totaled 228 billion renminbi rmb in 2011 and 105 in 2013 the subsequent debottlenecking on the other hand has reduced the price of chinese domestic coal delivered to coastal regions and contributed to the reduction in global seaborne coal prices since 2011 our analysis also suggests that current tariffs for coal transport with their embedded taxes to cover investments in rail capacity result in economic efficiencies similar to charging marginal transportation costs and that planners have not introduced distortions that impose significant additional costs on the chinese economy many projects that expanded transport capacity delivered strongly positive rates of return however some have poor or negative rates of return which can reflect either overinvestment or preinvestment in future needs

what about coal interactions between climate policies and the global steam coal market until 2030 because of economic growth and a strong increase in global energy demand the demand for fossil fuels and therefore also greenhouse gas emissions are increasing although climate policy should lead to the opposite effect the coal market is of special relevance as coal is available in many countries and often the first choice to meet energy demand in this paper we assess possible interactions between climate policies and the global steam coal market possible market adjustments between demand regions through market effects are investigated with a numerical model of the global steam coal market the coalmod world model this equilibrium model computes future trade flows infrastructure investments and prices until 2030 we investigate three specific designs of climate policy a unilateral european climate policy an indonesian export limiting policy and a fast roll out of carbon capture and storage ccs in the broader context of climate policy and market constraints we find that market adjustment effects in the coal market can have significant positive and negative impacts on the effectiveness of climate policies

abatement and allocation in the pilot phase of the eu ets we use historical industrial emissions data to assess the level of abatement and over allocation that took place across european countries during the pilot phase 2005 2007 of the european union emission trading scheme using a dynamic panel data model we estimate the counter factual business as usual emissions scenario for eu member states comparing this baseline to allocated and verified emissions we find that both over allocation and abatement occurred along with under allocation and emissions inflation over the three trading years of the pilot phase we find over allocation of approximately 280 million euas and total abatement of 247 mt co2 however we calculate that emissions inflation of approximately 73 mt co2 also occurred possibly due to uncertainty about future policy design features

unbalanced development the origin of korea s self employment problem from a comparative perspective abstract why does south korea have a demographically massive and economically vulnerable self employed population from a comparative perspective this study argues that korea s self employment problem originated in the country s process of unbalanced development korea benefited from the strategy of export led growth yet it did not manage the negative impact of this strategy on labour force absorption the consequence of unbalanced development is the limited capacity of labour markets to absorb the workforce therefore rural migrants in urban areas had no choice but to open small businesses despite having few financial and technological resources

models of resource markets and the explanation of resource price behaviour abstract much of the recent theoretical work in resource economics has been aimed at relaxing the stringent simplifying assumptions of the basic hotelling model in an attempt to better explain observed resource price behaviour this paper surveys the characteristics of exhaustible resource markets that are likely to be important for the development of successful positive models in particular we discuss exploration and its relationship to production and market price the effects of various forms of uncertainty on price behaviour and for some resources the treatment of durability finally we address the question of whether producer behaviour can properly be viewed as that of dynamic optimization this paper should be seen as an attempt to stimulate discussion over research directions and priorities in resource economics

factor hoarding and the propagation of business cycles shocks this paper analyzes the role of variable capital utilization rates in propagating shocks over the business cycle to this end we formulate and estimate an equilibrium business cycle model in which cyclical capital utilization rates are viewed as a form of factor hoarding we find that variable capital utilization rates substantially magnify and propagate the impact of shocks to agents environments the strength of these propagation effects is evident in the dynamic response functions of various economy wide aggregates to shocks in agents environments in the statistics that we construct to summarize the strength of the propagation mechanisms in the model and in the volatility of exogenous technology shocks needed to explain the observed variability in aggregate u s output other authors have argued that standard real business cycle rbc models fail to account for certain features of the data because they do not embody quantitatively important propagation mechanisms these features include the observed positive serial correlation in the growth rate of output the shape of the spectrum of the growth rate of real output and the correlation between the forecastable component of real output and various other economic aggregates allowing for variable capital utilization rates substantially improves the ability of the model to account for these features of the data

natural gas corridors between the eu and its main suppliers simulation results with the dynamic gastale model abstract growth in gas demand poses a challenge for european energy consumers and other gas importing countries in terms of an increasing dependency on gas imports and consequently also supply security this paper focuses on interactions among demand supply and investments in natural gas corridors namely pipeline transport lng and storage facilities affecting the european natural gas market over the period 2005 2030 a number of policy scenarios including a business as usual bau scenario are formulated to study the impact of demand uncertainty and delays in investment on the gas transport infrastructure required in the long run in europe the analyses indicate that substantial investments in gas transport corridors are needed to accommodate imports and seasonal demand variations analysis of scenarios of supply interruption in the form of suddenly reduced import capacity for particular pipeline routes indicates that portions of europe could experience price increases of up to 100 in the case of a year long interruption to accommodate import needs and to mitigate possible disruptions pipeline connections running from east to west need to be given special priority

a strategic model of european gas supply gasmod abstract this paper presents a model of the european natural gas supply gasmod which is structured as a two stage game of successive natural gas exports to europe upstream market and wholesale trade within europe downstream market and which explicitly includes infrastructure capacities we compare three possible market scenarios cournot competition in both markets perfect competition in both markets and perfect competition in the downstream with cournot competition in the upstream market eu liberalization we find that cournot competition in both markets is the most accurate representation of today s european natural gas market where suppliers at both stages generate a mark up at the expense of the final customer double marginalization our results yield a diversified supply portfolio with newly emerging lng exporters gaining market shares enforcing competition in the european downstream market would lead to lower prices and higher quantities by avoiding the welfare reducing effects of double marginalization binding infrastructure capacity restrictions strongly influence the results and we identify bottlenecks mainly for intra european trade relations whereas transport capacity in the upstream market is globally sufficient in the cournot scenario

optimizing cooperative carbon emission reduction among enterprises with non equivalent relationships subject to carbon taxation abstract getting enterprises to reduce carbon emissions cooperatively is an effective way of sharing the burden of carbon taxation it is easier for core enterprises to promote cooperation because of their dominant positions in the supply chain the main goal of this paper is to provide a potential method for the core enterprise to organize this cooperation successfully we explore how core enterprises should allocate their reduction investments and coordinate the selection of technology upgrade strategies so as to maximize their profits without disrupting the profits of cooperating enterprises for a supply chain where there are non equivalent relationships between enterprises the main hypotheses are that each enterprise only produces one product and each production process in each enterprise can only select one production technology and the intermediate products are mainly traded among cooperative enterprises a model based on independent carbon emission reduction model i is first constructed and used to analyze each enterprises basic information when they reduce carbon emission without cooperation considering total costs profits and so on then based on this information a model including cooperation is proposed model ii in model ii the enterprises are divided into core and cooperative enterprises and both capital and technical cooperation are considered a multi agent system is presented to simulate the negotiations between the enterprises and is then used to solve model ii finally a numerical example is considered to examine the feasibility of the proposed model the results indicate that a cooperative carbon emission reduction strategy has more advantages than the independent carbon emission reduction approach a notable advantage is that it can further rationalize the emission reduction structure of the supply chain through rational allocation of reduction investments and thus further restores profits

infrastructure provision and macroeconomic performance this paper studies the differences between private and government provision of infrastructure capital utilization decisions and their differential role in determining market prices for capital goods under the two regimes of infrastructure provision serve as a critical transmission mechanism for fiscal policy a subsidy to private providers of infrastructure is preferable to direct government provision irrespective of how the subsidy or expenditure is financed the case for private provision is much stronger in economies characterized by high levels of congestion the choice between private and government provision also has a crucial effect on the design of optimal fiscal policy 2011 elsevier b v all rights reserved

public investment congestion and private capital accumulation this paper analyses the impact of public investment on the dynamics of private capital formation in an intertemporal optimising market clearing framework the key feature characterising the analysis is that the public good is treated as a durable capital good subject to congestion we show how in the presence of congestion the effect of government investment on private capital formation involves a tradeoff between the degree of substitution between private and public capital in production and the degree of congestion both lump sum and distortionary tax financing are considered with this tradeoff being tightened in the latter case

excludable and non excludable public inputs consequences for economic growth non excludable and excludable public inputs are introduced into an endogenous growth model we derive the equilibrium growth rate and design the optimal tax and user cost structure emphasizing the role of congestion and its consequences for the government s budget the latter comprises fee and tax revenues that are used to finance the public inputs although they may generate insufficient revenue to do so entirely we extend the model to allow for monopoly pricing of the user fee by the government most of the analysis is conducted for general production functions consistent with endogenous growth but the ces technology is also considered a vast literature has evolved emphasizing the role of public investment as a determinant of economic growth among the earliest contributions arrow and kurz 1970 is particularly significant while the seminal work of barro 1990 has been especially influential with respect to the contemporary endogenous growth literature stimulated by aschauer s 1989 findings pertaining to the high rate of return on public capital several authors have explored various aspects of the role of public capital in stimulating economic growth for example baxter and king 1993 and fisher and turnovsky 1998 examine the interaction between public and private capital in a ramsey type growth model while futagami et al 1993 perform a similar type of analysis in an endogenous growth context glomm and ravikumar 1997 analyse the growth effects of productive public spending in an overlapping generations setup extending the framework to include majority voting and alternative compositions of publicly provided goods and services they also indicate private alternatives to public provision but do not pursue this in detail cassou and lansing 1998 focus on the relationship between private and public capital showing how the evolution of the ratio between the two in the us economy since 1925 is broadly consistent with the predictions of a simple ramsey growth model they also show how the productivity slowdown in the us economy since the 1970s is more likely due to increasing tax rates than to non optimal public investment policy much of the literature including barro treats the public input as a pure public good freely available without restrictions or impediments to all agents in the economy but the public goods literature identifies many different characteristics that most public goods in fact exhibit notably the presence of rivalry and or excludability see e g cornes and sandler 1996 thus the treatment of a public

is public expenditure productive abstract this paper considers the relationship between aggregate productivity and stock and flow government spending variables the empirical results indicate that i the nonmilitary public capital stock is dramatically more important in determining productivity than is either the flow of nonmilitary or military spending ii military capital bears little relation to productivity and iii a core infrastructure of streets highways airports mass transit sewers water systems etc has most explanatory power for productivity the paper also suggests an important role for the net public capital stock in the productivity slowdown of the last fifteen years

capital utilization economic growth and convergence abstract optimal decisions by economic agents regarding the utilization of capital lead to empirically plausible speeds of convergence in one sector models of economic growth the relationship between depreciation and capital utilization plays a crucial role in slowing down convergence to the steady state cross country differences in the extent to which the capital utilization decision is internalized along the transition path may lead to differences in convergence rates even for countries with similar initial and terminal conditions finally by assuming a constant depreciation rate and full capital utilization standard growth models may be overstating the magnitude of the steady state equilibrium

eu emission allowances and the stock market evidence from the electricity industry this paper constitutes to our best knowledge the first econometric analysis on stock market effects of the eu emission trading scheme eu ets our results suggest that eu emission allowance eua price developments matter to the stock performance of electricity firms eua price changes and stock returns of the most important european electricity corporations are shown to be positively related this effect does not work asymmetrically so that stock markets do not seem to react differently to eua appreciations in comparison to depreciations the carbon market effect is shown to be both time and country specific it is particularly strong for the period of eua market shock in early 2006 and differs with respect to the countries where the electricity corporations analysed are headquartered stock market reactions to eua volatility could not be shown

border adjustment for european emissions trading competitiveness and carbon leakage unilateral or sub global policies to combat climate change are potentially sensitive to free riding and carbon leakage one way of dealing with carbon leakage and competitiveness is the imposition of border adjustment measures for competing imports for example in the form of the obligation to importers of goods to purchase and surrender emissions allowances to the authorities when importing in this paper we explore some implications of border adjustment measures in the eu ets for sectors that might be subject to carbon leakage we examine the implications of two variants of these measures on the competitiveness of these sectors and on the global environment with the help of a multi sector multi region computable general equilibrium cge model of the global economy our calculations suggest that border adjustment might reduce the sectoral rate of leakage of the iron and steel industry rather forcefully but that the reduction would be less for the mineral products sector including cement the reduction of the overall or macro rate of leakage would be modest so from an environmental point of view border tax adjustments would not be a very effective policy measure but might mainly be justified by considerations of sectoral competitiveness

to what extent are eu steel companies susceptible to competitive loss due to climate policy abstract in recognition of their competitive vulnerability a set of special rules have been devised for managing sectors such as iron and steel within the eu ets under these rules the eu steel sector has received free allocations in excess of their compliance needs to now and will continue to receive some free allowances up to 2020 however perceptions of the sector s competitive vulnerability have been largely based on inherently hypothetical analyses which rely heavily on counterfactual scenarios and abatement cost estimates often provided by firms themselves this paper explores how the three largest steel firms in the eu acerlormittal corus and thyssenkrupp have sought to strategically exaggerate their vulnerability to carbon pricing to the effect of an inefficient policy outcome we conduct a qualitative assessment of two of the key narratives underpinning the competitive vulnerability argument of eu steel companies lack of abatement opportunities and inability to pass through cost increases based on interviews case studies and publicly available data we find that these arguments provide only partial and weak justifications for competitive loss and preferential treatment under the eu ets the strategy however remains successful due to information asymmetry and the peculiar political economy of eu climate regulation

coal lumps vs electrons how do chinese bulk energy transport decisions affect the global steam coal market this paper demonstrates the ways in which dierent chinese bulk energy transport strategies aect the future steam coal market in china and in the rest of the world an increase in chinese demand for steam coal will lead to a growing need for additional domestic infrastructure as production hubs and demand centers are spatially separated and domestic transport costs could inuence the future chinese steam coal supply mix if domestic transport capacity is available only at elevated costs chinese power generators could turn to the global trade markets and further increase steam coal imports increased chinese imports could then yield signicant changes in steam coal market economics on a global scale this eect is analyzed in china where coal is mainly transported by railway and in another setting where coal energy is transported as electricity for this purpose a spatial equilibrium model for the global steam coal market has been developed one major nding is that if coal is converted into electricity early in the supply chain worldwide marginal costs of supply are lower than if coal is transported via railway furthermore china s dependence on international imports is signicantly reduced in this context allocation of welfare changes particularly

the impact of border carbon adjustments under alternative producer responses border carbon adjustments bcas have been proposed to address leakage and competitiveness concerns in traditional assessments firms regard bcas as output taxes rather than implicit emissions taxes using a stylized energy economic model we analyze the impact of bcas for alternative producer responses when firms view bcas as an implicit emissions tax the outcome depends on whether or not firms can differentiate production across destination markets if firms are able to produce a lowemissions variety for regions imposing bcas results are similar to when firms regard bcas as an output tax if firms produce a single variety for all markets bcas result in larger leakage reductions than in standard approaches we also find that bcas are less effective at addressing competitive concerns in scenarios that result in larger leakage reductions jel codes f18 q54

fiscal policy in general equilibrium this paper studies four classic fiscal policy experiments within a quantitatively restricted neoclassical model the authors main findings are as follows 1 permanent changes in government purchases can lead to short run and long run output multipliers that exceed one 2 permanent changes in government purchases induce larger effects than temporary changes 3 the financing decision is quantitatively more important than the resource cost of changes in government purchases and 4 public investment has dramatic effects on private output and investment these findings stem from important dynamic interactions of capital and labor absent in earlier equilibrium analyses of fiscal policy copyright 1993 by american economic association

how carbon offsetting scheme impacts the duopoly output in production and abatement analysis in the context of carbon cap and trade abstract in the context of addressing climate change the carbon emission trading scheme has become one of the main measures adopted by many countries and regions to achieve emission reduction goals noticing this current lack of research based on a duopoly model this paper quantitatively explores the impact of carbon offsetting scheme on both emission trading participants profits and industry s output by drawing on advanced experience of carbon offsetting scheme from developed countries such as us switzerland and eu and thus provides a perspective for government to design optimal aggregate standard for carbon cap and trade results show a negative correlation between enterprises carbon intensity and their equilibrium output in the product market and indicate a threshold for the relative magnitude of the duopoly enterprises carbon intensity above which their absolute output will differ dramatically the incorporation of carbon offsetting scheme into a non offset quota trading scheme will reduce its equilibrium carbon price thereby mitigate its negative impact on industry s total output in the product market by an either linear or quadratic form depending on the design for the proportion ceiling of offsetting quota

chinese companies awareness and perceptions of the emissions trading scheme ets evidence from a national survey in china abstract china announced the launch of a national emissions trading scheme ets in 2017 however companies appear show little enthusiasm for participation in the ets in china this paper identifies the factors affecting companies awareness and perceptions of ets by conducting a national survey based on an online questionnaire from may to november 2015 in seven carbon trading pilots the results indicate that companies attitudes towards the ets are positively influenced by government regulations and policy public relations management and estimated economic benefit of these public relations management is the decisive factor and estimated economic benefit is confirmed to be a relatively weak predictor a company s environmental and energy strategy exerts insignificant effects on its preference for the ets although the sampled companies are very willing to save energy and reduce emissions there exists an inverted u shape relationship between a company s level of mitigation technologies and its attitudes towards the ets the carbon price fails to stimulate companies to upgrade mitigation technologies the majority of companies treat participation in the ets only as a means of improving ties with governments as well as of earning a good social reputation rather than as a cost effective mechanism to mitigate greenhouse gas emissions

market provision of price excludable public goods a general analysis the demand distribution is employed as a novel and powerful basis for analyzing monopoly provision of price excludable public goods and could be used to analyze other market structures or in some circumstances private goods provision for uniform per unit all or none two part and multipart pricing we identify characteristics of revenue functions relative profitability and operational procedures for selecting price output levels under all these strategies rationing of some consumers by output is required and a positive price output relationship may arise in general the revenue ranking of pricing strategies is sensitive to the distribution of demand and though multipart pricing can be expected to be revenue dominant uniform per unit pricing emerges as a surprisingly robust strategy even before operational complexity is fully taken into account

sustaining the emerging carbon trading industry development a business ecosystem approach of carbon traders abstract this paper explores how carbon traders nurture the business ecosystem to sustain the emerging carbon trading industry development we collected primary data from a multinational carbon trader and its ecosystem partners in china through the construction of interviews and documentary the research findings show the carbon trading industry has experienced four stage evolution with different driving forces the carbon trader attracted and organized ecosystem partners to facilitate the cdm project owners to create carbon credits and trade them a systematic business ecosystems approach through the lens of context cooperation and configuration initiated by carbon traders has facilitated the industry development our findings also implicate to industrial practitioners and policymakers for sustaining the emerging industry development at both the current and the post kyoto protocol periods

impacts of climate policy on the competitiveness of canadian industry how big and how to mitigate competitiveness concerns have been at the forefront of climate policy debates in canada particularly as a result of its high energy intensity and significant exposure to international markets this paper uses a dynamic computable general equilibrium model to assess the likely impacts on sectoral competitiveness that would accompany efforts to meet greenhouse gas mitigation targets that have been set by the canadian government additionally it evaluates several design mechanisms that could be used to reduce the negative competiveness impacts associated with adoption of domestic climate policies the analysis suggests that several sectors would likely face significant competiveness challenges under a reference scenario in which permits are given to emitters in lump sum however it finds that competiveness impacts can be minimized by using output based recycling of permits or by using border tax adjustments

the composition of government expenditure and its consequences for macroeconomic performance abstract this paper employs the intertemporal optimizing market clearing framework to compare the effects of government consumption expenditure and government infrastructure expenditure on macroeconomic adjustment and performance particular attention is focused on the time path of the capital stock and its adjustment to both permanent and temporary changes in government expenditure are considered we show how the effects of both forms of government expenditure on economic welfare can be broken down into 1 i a direct crowding out effect and 2 ii a second component which describes the intertemporal tradeoffs between the short run rate of capital accumulation and the resulting change in the capital stock

optimal tax debt and expenditure policies in a growing economy abstract this paper employs an endogenous growth model to analyze the role of a consumption tax in enhancing growth and welfare provided government expenditure impacts directly on the decisions of private agents two fiscal instruments are necessary to replicate the first best optimum the tradeoff between consumption and income taxes to achieve this outcome is discussed and shown to depend upon the degree of congestion associated with the public good and the level of government expenditure relative to its social optimum in general the analysis suggests a potentially important role for a consumption tax as part of an overall optimal fiscal package

dynamic analysis of an endogenous growth model with public capital this paper develops an endogenous growth model with productive public capital along with private capital in a spirit similar to that of r j barro 1990 since the authors model includes two stock variables it has transitional dynamics unlike most of the previous studies on endogenous growth including barro s where concerns are restricted to the steady state analysis first they show that the transitional path is unique and stable second the character of the transitional path is explored third the authors show that the optimal tax rate is smaller than the rate that maximizes the national growth rate with a log linear utility function copyright 1993 by the editors of the scandinavian journal of economics

indeterminacy and endogenous growth with social constant returns abstract by examining endogenous growth models with physical and human capital this paper demonstrates that indeterminacy of equilibrium may emerge even in the absence of increasing returns to scale the model we examine consists of two production sectors one produces final goods and the other produces new human capital both sectors use physical as well as human capital it is assumed that while the private technology of the representative firm in each sector exhibits decreasing returns to scale the social technologies of both sectors satisfy constant returns because of the presence of sector specific externalities we demonstrate that a small divergence between private and social factor intensity conditions generates indeterminacy of equilibrium rather easily even under constant returns intuitive implications of the source of indeterminacy and a generalization of the model are also presented journal of economic literature classification numbers d90 o40 o41