trade migration and integration evidence and policy implications this paper takes as its point of departure the unique position recently adopted by swedish policymakers emphasizing migration as a tool to increase trade we attempt to empirically scrutinize this

estimating the employment effects of wage discrimination if labor supply curves are not perfectly inelastic wage discrimination induces some minority workers to leave the labor force studies of discrimination that focus only on wage differentials overlook these disincentive effects on minority employment this article introduces a method of estimating the employment effects of wage discrimination and applies it to data on men and women from the 1984 survey of income and program participation the authors find that wage discrimination against women caused a net loss of over four million jobs supporting gary becker s contention that discriminatory employers use labor inefficiently copyright 1992 by mit press

the export effect of immigration into the usa much has been written on the connection between migration and international trade human history provides important examples of migrations leading to increased trade activity with perhaps the most well known example of the overseas chinese this study investigates the trade related importance of chinese and other immigrants into the usa previous studies may have underestimated or overestimated the relationship between trade and migration with nations treated as featureless plains rather than as varied landscapes this study contends that an understanding of the immigration trade relationship can be improved upon by examining the specific pattern and destination of immigration into specific us states using state level export data to 28 immigrant source countries in 1993 a strong immigration trade link is found reinforcing conclusions made by previous research using country level data the compelling connection between immigration and trade found in this study and others suggests that future change

immigrant trade links transplanted home bias and network effects macro level data for the us and 73 trading partners spanning the years 1980 to 2001 is used with a gravity specification to investigate the influence of immigration on bilateral trade prior research has identified immigrant stocks as a significant determinant of trade however this study indicates that the us immigrant trade link is driven by immigration from relatively low income countries a 10 increase in the immigrant stock is found to generate respectively 4 7 and 1 5 increases in domestic imports from and exports to the typical low income home country the observed link is decomposed into two hypothesized channels network effects and transplanted home bias considerable variation in per immigrant trade effects is found across home countries imports from the typical low income home country are estimated to increase by up to 2057 due to transplanted home bias and by as much as 2967 as a result of network effects while exports rise by up to 910 as a result of networks

the employment effects of wage discrimination against black men when labor supply curves are upward sloping wage discrimination against black men reduces not only their relative wages but also their relative employment rates using data from the 1984 survey o

effects of immigration on house prices in canada from the turn of the present century until late 2008 house prices in some developed countries including canada rose sharply compared to the increases in their per capita incomes some in the public circles of these countries argue that immigration fueled this rise each year canada admits about 225 000 immigrants but information on the effect of immigration on house prices in this country is lacking our extensive econometric analysis based on panel data at census division levels obtained from the 1996 2001 and 2006 population censuses indicates a statistically significant but small effect of immigration on prices of privately owned dwellings in canada an out migration of the native born from the areas where new immigrants settle or an increased supply of housing due to expectations of higher demand in those areas may have caused this result

migration and trade theoretical and empirical research in economics suggests that bilateral migration triggers bilateral trade through a number of channels this paper assesses the functional form of the impact of migration on trade flows in a quasi experimental setting we provide evidence that the relationship is not log linear in particular at small levels of immigration stocks the elasticity of trade to migration is quite high and it declines to zero at about 4 000 immigrants if immigration stocks exceed such a level the evidence suggests that trade will not increase anymore this suggests that for cross country network and other effects flowing from immigration to materialise at a significant level for trade a high enough level of immigrant stocks is necessary but there appears to be satiation as immigrant numbers increase

international trade agreements and international migration despite large potential economic gains bilateral and multilateral negotiations focusing on liberalisation of migration have not shared the high profile of international trade negotiations and agreements migration and trade have been traditionally viewed rather separately and the relevance of the many and complex interdependencies has been given remarkably little attention in the literature to date in this article we focus on the two way interaction between international migration and agreements designed to enhance cross border trade and investment liberalisation of international trade in services and in the movement of people potentially offers much greater economic gains than liberalisation of remaining barriers to goods trade however progress within multilateral frameworks is fraught with difficulty the world trade organization s general agreement on trade in services gats has yielded little real progress so far and negotiations within more flexible unilateral and bilateral frameworks are likely to be more successful in liberalising the movement of labour we discuss a range of specific examples focusing particularly on the interesting case of new zealand we find that trade agreements are increasingly including agreements on migration though typically favouring temporary migration and involving numerically modest quotas we conclude that migration regulatory frameworks are likely to be further and more strongly linked to trade and investment agreements in the future particularly given changing economic and demographic forces the primary focus of migration policies may nonetheless remain different from that of trade policies while further migration liberalisation is likely to be through bilateral and regional agreements it will be important to try to lock in the gains of such agreements while simultaneously working to consolidating these in a way that will help to facilitate future multilateral agreement

a decomposition method on employment and wage discrimination and its application in urban china 2002 2013 abstract labor market discrimination is an important issue in developing countries where path dependent institutions have been dominant while effective institutional arrangements and policies have been hidden by local customs and culture however the existing applications of classical blinder oaxaca decomposition face criticism for their imprecise understanding of the factors affecting institutional discrimination in labor markets as well as for their lack of power in formulating well targeted anti discrimination policies following oaxaca 1973 we propose a new method to decompose the total discrimination index tdi to analyze employment and wage discrimination in the labor markets of developing countries the tdi is decomposed into the employment discrimination index edi and the wage discrimination index wdi then into the underpayment index to majorities upi and the overpayment index to minorities opi we apply this method to the institutional discrimination against rural migrants in china s urban areas using national representative data from 2002 to 2013 we have found that 1 the tdi increased quickly after china entered the wto then dropped after anti discrimination policies were implemented 2 the tdi is mainly determined by the upi while the tdi s fluctuation is mainly determined by the wdi our method provides insights into the changing composition of employment and wage discrimination and their respective labor market outcomes in developing countries as a result appropriate policy measures may be developed accordingly

immigration and trade creation econometric evidence from canada immigrants may expand trade with their country of origin owing to superior knowledge of or preferential access to market opportunities the authors test this proposition using canadian trade data with 136 partners from 1980 to 1992 in an augmented gravity equation they find that a 10 percent increase in immigrants is associated with a 1 percent increase in canadian exports to the immigrant s home country and a 3 percent increase in imports they also find that among the primary categories of immigrants independents have the greater influence on trade immigration via the entrepreneur class appears to have less impact on trade than all other classes except refugees

world oil market or mayhem the world oil market is regarded by many as a puzzle why are oil prices so volatile what is opec and what does opec do where are oil prices headed in the long run is peak oil a genuine concern why did oil prices spike in the summer of 2008 and what role did speculators play any attempt to answer these questions must be informed and disciplined by economics such is the purpose of this essay to illuminate recent developments in the world oil market from the perspective of economic theory

out of sight not out of mind education networks and international trade summary university students typically develop between them long lasting ties of friendship and trust as well as an attachment to their university if they are foreign students they also form a bond to their country of study this paper investigates the impact of university ties on the uk s trade with 167 countries during 1999 2009 i find robust evidence that education network ties boost the uk s bilateral trade flows specifically the impact of networks is stronger on trade between the united kingdom and countries with dissimilar institutions and culture and particularly with post communist economies results are robust to different econometric specifications and regressors

immigration and international inbound tourism empirical evidence from australia abstract immigration can potentially influence tourism flows however in spite of the vast number of studies on tourism demand modelling the immigration tourism linkage has not received much attention in the empirical literature this paper seeks to address this gap a dynamic demand model is developed and estimated using data from 1980 to 2008 for the 15 main markets of australia the explanatory variables included are income own price price of a substitute destination airfare and immigration the estimation results empirically establish the connection between immigration and inbound tourism the short run and long run immigration elasticities generated are 0 028 and 0 09 respectively additionally this paper demonstrates that omission of prices of substitutes affects the value of the own price elasticity of demand the results have implications for future research and for stakeholders who can improve the efficiency of their planning exercises by taking into account additional information on immigration trends

market structure and resource extraction under uncertainty this paper compares the rate of extraction of a natural resource under alternative market structures when there is uncertainty about the date of discovery of a substitute or about the date of discovery of a new deposit the analysis shows that imperfectly competitive market structures are excessively conservationist for any value of the initial stock of the natural resource the price is higher than in competitive equilibrium and therefore higher than the socially optimal level but markets with limited competition may have a higher price than markets with pure monopoly the same monopolist controlling the natural resource and its substitute in particular we find that the highest prices are associated with nash quantity setting duopolists the next highest prices occur in markets in which the monopolist controls the resource but the substitute is competitively produced the pure monopolist sets his price lower than this while the market in which a monopolist controls the substitute but the resource is competitvely owned is still lower

modeling opec behavior economic and political alternatives the predominant approach to modeling opec behavior depends upon the assumption that economic self interest provides the best predictor of the cartel s price and production strategy with rational monopoly behavior the exogenous characteristics of the oil market determine an optimal price path for the group but opec members have diverse economic as well as political goals and uncertainty about oil market responses provides substantial leeway to argue about what is optimal an examination of the five key opec price decisions since 1973 shows that an operational code of advancing political priorities on arab israeli issues while deflecting security challenges better explains saudi arabia s decision making than the economic optimizing approach moreover no economic formula alone is consistent with saudi behavior the balance of internal and external forces of a political or security character on saudi leadership suggests more of a tilt toward price hawkishness than pure considerations of economic self interest would indicate this tilt is reinforced by a systematic weakness on the part of the u s government to exercise a sustained countervailing influence on the kingdom on behalf of moderation

bridging trade theory and labour econometrics the effects of international migration this paper surveys current theoretical and empirical research on international migration with a particular emphasis on the links between trade theory and labour empirics

immigrant links to the home country empirical implications for u s bilateral trade flows immigrants ties to their home countries can play a key role in fostering bilateral trade linkages immigrant ties include knowledge of home country markets language preferences and business contacts that have the potential to decrease trading transaction costs empirical results for the united states suggest that immigrant links have historically been important in increasing bilateral trade flows with immigrants home countries copyright 1994 by mit press

trade diaspora and migration to new zealand this paper examines the hypotheses that a greater stock of migrants in new zealand from a particular country leads to more trade between that country and new zealand and a greater stock of new zealanders living overseas in a particular country leads to more trade between that country and new zealand it also examines the relationships between migration diaspora and tourism exports the literature suggests that migrants can stimulate trade by lowering transaction costs and by bringing with them preferences for goods produced in their home country our approach is to apply panel data techniques within the framework of a standard gravity model of trade to a dataset consisting of information on 233 countries in each of the 26 years between 1981 and 2006 we estimate a random effects panel sample selection model using correlated random effects our results indicate that migration does indeed stimulate trade in our benchmark specification merchandise exports from and imports to new zealand both have a statistically significant relationship with numbers of migrants in new zealand imports also have a statistically significant relationship with numbers of new zealanders overseas our results also suggest that migration stimulates imports more than exports

labor market discrimination against men with disabilities in the year of the ada the americans with disabilities act ada provides civil rights protections to persons with disabilities but the debate that preceded passage of the act was not based on empirical estimates that could be used to measure its performance this article estimates the extent of wage discrimination against men with disabilities in 1990 providing a reference that can be used to evaluate the impact of the ada the results show large productivity standardized wage differentials between disabled and nondisabled men that are weakly correlated with the strength of prejudice against different impairments physical limitations explain part but not all of the wage differentials the results also show that low employment rates are a more serious problem than wage discrimination for workers with disabilities provide civil rights protections to persons with disabilities the act s supporters promised that it would increase the employment and wages of persons with disabilities and reduce their dependency on public programs the promises were not based on empirical estimates of discrimination and there is no empirical base against which to compare the promises to the performance of the ada this article estimates the extent of wage discrimination against men with disabilities in 1990 providing a reference that can be used to evaluate the impact of the act the ada does not grant a right to employment to all persons with disabilities it requires that persons with disabilities be able to perform the jobs they seek subject to reasonable accommodations by employers this article therefore considers men who are able to work even though their health limits the amount or kind of work they can perform the ada s provisions assume that low wages and low employment rates for persons with disabilities are the result of discrimination caused by prejudice prejudice against persons with disabilities is well documented but so are the limiting effects of physical impairments on workplace productivity hahn 1987 margolis and shapiro 1987 clogston 1990 the core of the debate concerning the value of the ada is whether the poor labor market outcomes of persons with disabilities are the result of discrimination or the limiting effects of health con

a test of the measures of non discriminatory wages used to study wage discrimination abstract this article uses estimates of the employment effects of wage discrimination to evaluate different measures of non discriminatory wages measures that reflect the numbers of majority and minority workers appear to be superior to oaxaca s index number approach

opec behavior a test of alternative hypotheses since interpretations of past and future oil price patterns depends on the model chosen the author tests and compares alternative theories of opec as a first step in validating the choice on any one model the results show that among opec countries the partial market sharing cartel model is the only model not rejected by at least some of the 11 members and gives the best explanation of production in comparison with 11 non opec countries the competitive model could not be rejected for 10 of the 11 non opec producers this raises the question of why if opec is a cartel friedman s predictions have not come true and introduces new questions for future research 19 references 3 tables

disability and the labour market an analysis of british males this paper attempts using data from the british labour force survey 1996 to examine to what extent differences in labour market outcomes between able bodied and disabled men may be attributed to differences in endowments of human capital and associated productivity differences both labour force participation and selectivity corrected human capital equations are estimated and decomposition techniques applied to them using the methodology of baldwin and johnson baldwin m johnson w g 1994 labor market discrimination against men with disabilities journal of human resources xxix 1 winter 1 19 the employment effects of wage discrimination against the disabled are also estimated evidence of both substantial wage and participation rate differences between able bodied and disabled men are found which have implications for the operation of the 1995 disability discrimination act

gender wage inequality and economic growth is there really a puzzle a comment seguino 2000 shows that gender wage discrimination in export oriented semi industrialized countries might be fostering investment and growth in general while the original analysis does not have internationally comparable wage discrimination data we replicate the analysis using data from a meta study on gender wage discrimination and do not find any evidence that more discrimination might further economic growth on the contrary if anything the impact of gender inequality is negative for growth standing up for more gender equality also in terms of wages is good for equity considerations and at least not negative for growth

opec and world oil security abstract on the margin the effectiveness of policy to enhance the stability of world oil market oil conditions greatly depends on which countries supply what economists would call the marginal barrels that is the barrels whose production responds to changes in demand if the countries dominating the production of the marginal barrels are relatively unstable policies to reduce world oil consumption or boost oil production from stable suppliers will provide the additional benefit of reducing the contribution of unstable producers to the world oil market if the countries dominating the marginal barrel are relatively stable however policies to reduce world oil consumption or boost oil production from stable suppliers will be less effective in promoting oil market stability typically we think of the highest cost producers as supplying the marginal barrel of oil but our assessment finds it quite likely that opec dominates production of the marginal barrel of world oil moreover opec members have been among the more unstable producers on a historical basis hence reducing world oil consumption and promoting oil production in stable non opec countries will enhance world oil security policies to promote stability in opec countries also would enhance world oil security

cultural distance and the us immigrant trade link using data from the world and the european values surveys we calculate cultural distances between the us and 54 immigrant home countries and examine the influences of cultural distance and immigrant populations on us imports from and exports to immigrants home countries during the years 1997 2004 our study indicates that for both us imports and exports the trade enhancing effect of immigrants partially offsets the trade inhibiting effect of cultural distance further decomposing our measure of cultural distance into two component dimensions and revisiting the immigrant trade relationship we find significant variation in the extent to which immigrants counter the trade inhibiting influences of the underlying dimensions of culture for both us imports and exports our findings have the implication that by countering the trade inhibiting influences of cultural differences between their home and host countries immigrants exert pro development effects

evaluating u s oil security and import reliance abstract we examine the literature that considers the consequences of u s reliance on imported oil we take an approach that covers many ideas about the costs arising from u s reliance on imported oil and we identify which of those ideas have broad support in the economics literature and which ideas have only limited support we also quantify the costs of u s reliance on imported oil using two approaches one is fairly narrow conforms to the economics view of externalities and yields small cost estimates the other is relatively expansive is favored by some policy analysts and yields much larger cost estimates we estimate these costs as expected u s economic losses over a time horizon from 2010 through 2035 while taking into account world oil market conditions market power probable oil supply disruptions and the oil market response to those supply disruptions

opec s optimal crude oil price abstract in march 2000 opec decided to stabilise oil prices within a range of 22 28 us dollar barrel of crude oil such an oil price level is far beyond the short and long run marginal costs of oil production beyond even that in regions with particularly high costs nevertheless opec may achieve its goal if world demand for oil increases substantially in the future and oil resources outside the opec are not big enough to accordingly increase production in this case opec which controls about 78 of world oil reserves has to supply a large share of that demand increase if we assume opec will behave as a partial monopolist on the oil market which takes into consideration the reaction of the other producers to its own sales strategy it can reach its price target lower prices before 2020 are probable only if the opec cartel breaks up higher prices are possible if production outside opec is inelastic as assumed by some geologists but they would probably stimulate the production of unconventional oil based on oil sand or coal crude oil prices above 30 us dollar barrel are therefore probably not sustainable for a long period

the positive effects of the schengen agreement on european trade enacted in 1985 the schengen agreement is widely heralded as both a symbol and major institutional advancement of the european project by eliminating passport requirements for workers the compact ostensibly produces gains from travel ease of market access and economies of scale yet despite these optimistic predictions scholars know little about the actual effects of schengen on trade we fill this void by identifying why labour mobility should expand the cross country exchange of goods and services and then test our theory with data from europe spanning the period 1980 to 2011 we argue that labour mobility resulting from schengen yields positive effects on trade by increasing demand for foreign goods improving awareness of low cost producers abroad and lowering the risks associated with buying and selling outside the country using the gravity model of trade we show empirically that schengen membership makes european states more robust trading partners

assessing the u s oil security premium abstract world oil supply disruptions lead to u s economic losses increased oil consumption increases the vulnerability of the economy to oil supply disruptions but it matters where the additional oil is produced increased production from stable producers can dampen future oil price shocks whereas increased production from unstable producers can exacerbate future oil price shocks because oil is fungible u s pricing and import policies can differentiate only between domestic and imported oil rather than between stable and unstable sources the economic losses associated with oil supply disruptions gdp losses and some transfers abroad are externalities that can be quantified as oil security premiums we estimate these premiums by taking into account projected world oil market conditions probable oil supply disruptions the market response to oil supply disruptions and the resulting u s economic losses