does sports activity improve health representative evidence using local density of sports facilities as an instrument abstractusing representative and geocoded data from the swiss household panel and the swiss business census we estimate the effect of sports activity on health ols models show that sports activity significantly decreases overweight sleeping problems headaches back problems and perceived health impediments in everyday activities and significantly increases health satisfaction because sports activity is likely to be misreported and correlated with unobserved determinants of health we use the number of sports facilities within 6 miles of the individual s residence as an instrument for sports activity although the instrument is powerful in explaining sports activity the second stage effects on health are mostly statistically insignificant due to the high ses of the iv estimates

effluent regulation and long run optimality a regulator faced with free entry of firms is concerned not only with the implications of public policy for the discharges from a representative firm but also with the total pollution observed at the long run market equilibrium the regulator must take into account not only the effects of regulations upon the net marginal returns of the firm but must also consider the total profit of the firm and incentives for entry and exit this paper shows that effluent charges and tradeable effluent permits lead to long run optimality with entry of small firms the difference between firm payments and environmental damages is interpreted as the rent accruing to the environmental resource this result applies only to the competitive case with small polluters the analysis presented here allows a comparison and clarification of the literature on small and large polluters in a multi input framework with social damages dependent upon total effluents effluent charges are shown here to result in socially optimal entry confirming an assertion of baumol and oates 2 p 179 fn 161 and the important result of schulze and d arge 15 by taking average as well as marginal damages into account the effluent charge results in optimal firm scale levels and the correct input mix at the free entry market equilibrium the firm subject to an effluent tax will operate above or below the private minimum efficient scale depending upon whether average external costs exceed or are less than marginal external costs since public policy to reduce effluents is often directed at reducing the effluentgenerating activity some policy recommendations include a tax on the final output of the polluting firm in some theoretical analyses a relation between the output of the firm and the effluent level is identified and a pigouvian output tax is applied this approach should not be followed by policymakers since an output tax does not provide firms with the correct incentives for either input substitution or market entry it is shown that while a lump sum transfer is needed to provide correct entry incentives when a pigouvian output tax is applied no such transfer is needed if the tax is correctly applied to effluents contrary to 5 even if optimal firm scale and i thank the referees for helpful suggestions the support of the national science foundation under grant ses 82 19121 is gratefully acknowledged any errors are my responsibility 103

valuing english primary schools this paper provides the first empirical evidence for the uk on the effect of primary school performance on property prices we find that on average a one percentage point increase in the neighbourhood proportion of children reaching the government specified target grade pushes up neighbourhood property prices by 0 67 at 2000 property prices we calculate the social valuation of a sustained 1 improvement in primary school performance to be up to 90 per child per year our instrumental variable and semi parametric approach avoids the problems of school quality endogeneity and omitted neighbourhood variables that occur in typical property value models

long run effects of public sector sponsored training in west germany between 1991 and 1997 west germany spent on average about 3 6 bn euro per year on public sector sponsored training programmes for the unemployed we base our empirical analysis on a new administrative data base that plausibly allows for selectivity correction by microeconometric matching methods we identify the effects of different types of training programmes over a horizon of more than seven years using bias corrected weighted multiple neighbours matching we find that all programmes have negative effects in the short run and positive effects over a horizon of about four years however for substantive training programmes with duration of about two years gains in employment probabilities of more than 10 points appear to be sustainable but come at the price of large negative lock in effects

the intention to move and residential location choice behaviour this paper aims to quantify the extent to which transport and other factors impact on residential decisions using oxfordshire uk as a case study it investigates the impacts of the current dwelling household characteristics and alternative properties on the probability of moving it also highlights the trade off between access space and other attributes in residential location choice particular emphasis is placed on assessing the impact of transport and location embedded amenities a nested logit model is applied to estimate the indirect random utility functions of the intention to move and residential location choice based on stated preference data the estimation results of the intentions to move model illustrate the impact of housing and household characteristics on the probability of moving the estimation results of the residential location choice model quantify the trade offs between transport amenities and other factors

long run labour market and health effects of individual sports activities abstract this microeconometric study analyzes the effects of individual leisure sports participation on long term labour market variables health and subjective well being indicators for west germany based on individual data from the german socio economic panel study gsoep 1984 2006 econometric problems due to individuals choosing their own level of sports activities are tackled by combining informative data and flexible semiparametric estimation methods with a specific way to use the panel dimension of the data the paper shows that sports activities have sizeable positive long term labour market effects in terms of earnings and wages as well as positive effects on health and subjective well being

domestic constraints on export led growth a case study of india abstract in light of the 1991 1993 indian policy reforms this paper assesses the feasibility of a strategy of manufacturing export led growth for india by means of simulation experiments using a nine sector seven income classes computable general equilibrium model developed for india s seventh plan period 1985 1990 the relative merits of this strategy are compared to those of an alternative open development strategy agricultural demand led industrialization under both a fixed and flexible exchange rate regime compared to earlier models the analysis adds disaggregated agricultural supply and income distribution and export demand response the results suggest that industrial growth can be self defeating by raising the relative price of domestic goods and thereby running into an export demand bottleneck hence if a step up in manufacturing exports is to contribute to a non inflationary acceleration of gdp growth it needs to be supplemented by adequate policies aimed at raising agricultural output and income

frictions in project based supply of permits emissions trading in climate change can entail large overall cost savings and transfers between developed and developing countries however the search for acceptable ji or cdm projects implies a deviation from the perfect market framework used in previous estimations our model combines the search market for projects with a frictionless permit market to quantify the supply side frictions in the co2 market we also decompose the effects of frictions into the effects of search friction bargaining and bilateralism a calibration using previous cost estimates of co2 reductions illustrate changes in cost savings and allocative implications

lifetime earnings and the vietnam era draft lottery evidence from social security administrative records errata the randomly assigned risk of induction generated by the draft lottery is used to construct estimates of the effect of veteran status on civilian earnings these estimates are not biased by the fact that certain types of men are more likely than others to service in the military social security administrative records indicate that in the early 1980s long after their service in vietnam had ended the earnings of white veterans were approximately 15 percent less than the earnings of comparable nonveterans copyright 1990 by american economic association

much ado about two reconsidering retransformation and the two part model in health econometrics in health economics applications involving outcomes y and covariates x it is often the case that the central inferential problems of interest involve e y x and its associated partial effects or elasticities many such outcomes have two fundamental statistical properties y 0 and the outcome y 0 is observed with sufficient frequency that the zeros cannot be ignored econometrically this paper 1 describes circumstances where the standard two part model with homoskedastic retransformation will fail to provide consistent inferences about important policy parameters and 2 demonstrates some alternative approaches that are likely to prove helpful in applications

heterogeneous sports participation and labour market outcomes in england based on a unique composite dataset measuring heterogeneous sports participation labour market outcomes and local facilities provision this article examines for the first time the association between different types of sports participation and employment and earnings in england clear associations between labour market outcomes and sports participation are established through matching estimation while controlling for some important confounding factors the results which are supplemented and supported by a formal sensitivity analysis suggest a link between different types of sports participation to initial access to employment and then higher income opportunities with ageing however these vary between the genders and across sports specifically the results suggest that team sports contribute most to employability but that this varies by age across genders and that outdoor activities contribute most towards higher incomes

energy trade offs and market responses in transport and residential land use patterns promoting sustainable development policy sustainable development policy is examined for the belfast metropolitan area using a range of linked aggregate and disaggregate models energy trade offs were modelled for both stationary private dwellings and mobile traffic related energy sources the research suggests that land use policies and in particular corridor based densification linked to improved public transport can achieve very significant reductions in mobile energy consumption and modest reductions in stationary energy use linked to residential lay out design this would apply to urban areas such as belfast which exhibit the classic dispersal of population following deindustrialisation to realise the potential energy savings sustainable development policy needs to achieve at least the acquiescence of the consumer consumers will only support energy efficient heating systems improved public transport densification policies and road charging if there is some perceived element of financial compensation or other increase in utility for the individual

sequential causal models for the evaluation of labor market programs this article reviews inverse selection probability weighting to estimate dynamic causal effects a distribution theory based on sequential generalized method of moments estimation is proposed and the method is applied to a reevaluation of some parts of the swiss active labor market policy to obtain new results and discuss several issues about the implementation of the estimation procedure

the desirable form of openness for indian agriculture how open should a developing country s agriculture be to the world economy what are the medium term effects for growth and income distribution of close integration with world agricultural markets through trade liberalisation and domestic reform and what are the implications of the strategic integration of agriculture with world markets using a dynamic computable general equilibrium model these questions are addressed for the indian economy the simulation results show that the costs of close integration are large and unevenly distributed irrespective of whether the agricultural reform is immediate or gradual one form of strategic integration is operationalised that yields more desirable outcomes in terms of growth and income distribution the paper also compares the effectiveness of the two policy regimes in coping with an adverse supply shock copyright 2001 by oxford university press

on the nonexistence of market equilibria in exhaustible resource markets with decreasing costs this paper examines the existence of competitive equilibria in markets for exhaustible resources where there are initial economies of scale in either the extraction of the resource or the utilization of the resource as an input in production in such instances which are fairly common we find that the classic hotelling rule for competitive extraction does not apply since competitive price equilibria generally do not exist this is in marked contrast to static markets where the usual textbook example of firms with u shaped average cost curves is not inconsistent with the existence of competitive equilibria furthermore oligopolistic market equilibria in which resource firms act as nash producers may also fail to exist when there are returns to scale in production

combining revealed and stated data to examine housing decisions using discrete choice analysis abstract this paper uses stated preference and revealed preference data separately and jointly to examine individuals housing choices in particular it combines an established revealed preference approach discrete choice analysis of actual housing purchases and a relatively new stated preference approach choice based conjoint analysis of hypothetical housing purchases to provide us with a better understanding of the factors driving housing decisions these methods are appropriately combined since they reflect the same decision process households select the dwelling that provides the best combination of attributes from the feasible set of alternatives in total this paper analyzes three data sets only actual housing purchases only hypothetical housing purchases and both types of purchases combined analysis finds that actual and hypothetical housing purchases are similar decision processes with respect to some attributes yet are dissimilar with respect to other attributes nevertheless combining the two types of data improves identification of both categories of attributes journal of economic literature classification number r21

openness and the market friendly approach to development learning the right lessons from development experience abstract two central policy issues in economic development today are how open should a developing country be to the world economy and what should the government do or not do to promote rapid growth this paper examines these questions in relation to the highly successful east asian countries and contributes to the debate between world bank and heterodox economists the paper suggests that there has been significant convergence between the two schools on analytical and empirical issues but not on policy it takes this debate further by analyzing the principal issues still in contention

does compulsory school attendance affect schooling and earnings we establish that season of birth is related to educational attainment because of school start age policy and compulsory school attendance laws individuals born in the beginning of the year start school at an older age and can therefore drop out after completing less schooling than individuals born near the end of the year roughly 25 percent of potential dropouts remain in school because of compulsory schooling laws we estimate the impact of compulsory schooling on earnings by using quarter of birth as an instrument for education the instrumental variables estimate of the return to education is close to the ordinary least squares estimate suggesting that there is little bias in conventional estimates every developed country in the world has a compulsory schooling requirement yet little is known about the effect these laws have on educational attainment and earnings 1 this paper exploits an unusual natural experiment to estimate the impact of compulsory schooling laws in the united states the experiment stems from the fact that children born in different months of the year start school at different ages while compulsory schooling laws generally require students to remain in school until their sixteenth or seventeenth birthday in effect the interaction of school entry requirements and compulsory schooling laws compel students born

estimating outcome distributions for compliers in instrumental variables models in imbens and ingrist 1994 angrist imbens and rubin 1996 and imbens and rubin 1997 assumptions have been outlined under which instrumental variables estimands can be given a causal interpretation as a local average treatment effect without requiring functional form or constant treatment effect assumptions we extend these results by showing that under these assumptions one can estimate more from the data than the average causal effect for the subpopulation of compliers one can in principle estimate the entire marginal distribution of the outcome under different treatments for this subpopulation these distributions might be useful for a policy maker who wishes to take into account not only differences in average of earnings when contemplating the merits of one job training programme vs another we also show that the standard instrumental variables estimator implicitly estimates these underlying outcome distributions without imposing the required nonnegativity on these implicit density estimates and that imposing non negativity can substantially alter the estimates of the local average treatment effect we illustrate these points by presenting an analysis of the returns to a high school education using quarter of birth as an instrument we show that the standard instrumental variables estimates implicitly estimate the outcome distributions to be negative over a substantial range and that the estimates of the local average treatment effect change considerably when we impose nonnegativity in any of a variety of ways

using automatic tax changes to control pollution emissions abstract in the absence of information about abatement costs the level of emissions tax needed to achieve a target level of pollution abatement is unknown this problem can be overcome by using an iterative procedure in which the tax is adjusted when current emissions exceed or fall short of the target this idea has become part of the standard textbook material but there has been no formal analysis of its dynamic properties we find that emissions can be reduced to the target whether firms behave strategically or not but the strategic element changes the welfare properties of the mechanism

agriculture under trade policy reform a quantitative assessment for india abstract under the impetus of the general agreement on tariffs and trade gatt accord the indian government is likely to extend the ongoing trade liberalization process to the agricultural sectors this paper provides a fresh quantitative assessment of such a policy of agricultural trade reform using a dynamic nine sector seven income classes computable general equilibrium model developed for india s seventh plan period 1985 90 the simulation outcomes suggest that the gains from agricultural trade liberalization may not be as large or as unambiguous as is often suggested the results also high light the possible conflict between successful agricultural trade liberalization and the requirement to reduce agricultural subsidies under gatt

semi parametric estimation of simultaneous equations with limited dependent variables a case study of female labour supply we propose a general strategy to estimate semi parametrically simultaneous equations with limited dependent variables first each reduced form rf is estimated with various semi parametric methods second the specification of each rf is tested to select an appropriate method third the structural form sf equations are estimated using minimum distance methods and the restrictions among the sf and rf parameters a case study of female labour supply is presented

non convexities in continuous time investment theory that non convex preferences or technologies cause problems for economic theory is well known in recent years there have been numerous contributions to the nonconvexity problem in the context of models with a finite dimensional commodity space in the capital theory context non convexities have received explicit treatment in a few papers in two distinguishable ways the problem is cast either in a discrete time framework aoki 1971 rothschild 1971 or in a continuous time framework in which there are implicitly unbounded economies of scale in investment the latter formulation leads to jumps in the state variable or lumpy investment the standard problem treated is one of decreasing costs in the installation of new capacity contributions include chenery 1952 dixit mirrlees and stern 1975 hartwick 1976 manne 1967 srinivasan 1967 starrett 1978 and weitzman 1970 these types of analysis unfortunately ignore some of the most interesting problems associated with non convexities in investment theory in a discrete time framework the important distinction between stocks and flows is blurred while the capacity installation problem by admitting unbounded scale economies excludes the smoothing of state variables that follows by allowing for eventually increasing costs of adjustment in this paper we undertake a systematic examination of non convexities or sometimes non concavities in the context of a classic problem in continuous time investment theory the optimal accumulation of capital by a firm maximizing its present value over an infinite horizon while the results obtained are specific to this particular model we feel that they can be qualitatively extended to any capital theory problem which can be cast in a continuous time optimal control theory framework there are various sorts of non2 convexities which can arise in these problems first there can be either stock or flow non convexities that is non convexities which are introduced into the net benefit function the measure of the flow of benefits at each moment through changes in the capital stock state variable on the one hand or changes in the flow of investment control variable on the other if the benefit and transition functions are not concave in both these variables then necessary conditions are no longer sufficient for optimality and conventional marginal analysis fails non convexities can also be introduced into the value functional which has a stock dimension in order to examine these different sorts of non convexity problems we shall now present the basic economic problem a firm is faced with the problem of maximizing the present value of discounted cash flow over an infinite horizon hence it chooses an investment programme i t to maximize 00

estimation of limited dependent variable models with dummy endogenous regressors applied economists have long struggled with the question of how to accommodate binary endogenous regressors in models with binary and nonnegative outcomes i argue here that much of the difculty with limited dependent variables comes from a focus on structural parameters such as index coefcients instead of causal effects once the object of estimation is taken to be the causal effect of treatment several simple strategies are available these include conventional two stage least squares multiplicative models for conditional means linear approximation of nonlinear causal models models for distribution effects and quantile regression with an endogenous binary regressor the estimation strategies discussed in the article are illustrated by using multiple births to estimate the effect of childbearing on employment status and hours of work

causal parameters and policy analysis in economics a twentieth century retrospective the major contributions of twentieth century econometrics to knowledge were the definition of causal parameters within well defined economic models in which agents are constrained by resources and markets and causes are interrelated the analysis of what is required to recover causal parameters from data the identification problem and clarification of the role of causal parameters in policy evaluation and in forecasting the effects of policies never previously experienced this paper summarizes the development of these ideas by the cowles commission the response to their work by structural econometricians and var econometricians and the response to structural and var econometrics by calibrators advocates of natural and social experiments and by nonparametric econometricians and statisticians this paper considers the definition and identification of causal parameters in economics and their role in econometric policy analysis it assesses different research programs designed to recover causal parameters from data at the beginning of this century economic theory was mainly intuitive and empirical support for it was largely anecdotal at the end of the century economics has a rich array of formal models and a high quality database empirical regularities motivate theory in many areas of economics and data are routinely used to test theory many economic theories have been developed as measurement frameworks to suggest what data should be collected and how they should be interpreted econometric theory was developed to analyze and interpret economic data most econometric theory adapts methods originally developed in statistics the major exception to this rule is the econometric analysis of the identification problem and the companion analyses of structural equations causality and economic policy evaluation although an economist did not invent the phrase correlation does not imply causation 1 economists clari

efficiency in pollution control in the short and long runs a system of rental emission permits efficiency in pollution control in the short and long runs a system of rental emission permits author s robert a collinge and wallace e oates source the canadian journal of economics revue canadienne d economique vol 15 no 2 may 1982 pp 346 354 published by blackwell publishing on behalf of the canadian economics association stable url http www jstor org stable 134787 accessed 05 05 2008 21 07

a microeconometric evaluation of the active labour market policy in switzerland in the second part of the 1990 s switzerland conducted an ambitious active labour market policy almp encompassing a wide variety of programmes we evaluate the effects of these programmes on the individual employment probability of potential participants our econometric analysis uses unusually informative data origi nating from administrative unemployment and social security records we apply a matching es timator adapted for the case of multiple programmes we find substantial positive effects for one particular programme that is a unique feature of the swiss almp it consists of a wage subsidy for temporary jobs in the regular labour market that would otherwise not be taken up by the unemployed we also find large negative effects for traditional employment programmes oper ated in sheltered labour markets for training courses the results are mixed doi 10 1111 1468 0297 00072 download internet appendix pdf 2 590 kb

estimation in a class of simultaneous equation limited dependent variable models estimation in a class of simultaneous equation limited dependent variable models is considered the minimum chi squared method is used to compare the asymptotic relative efficiency of marginal and new conditional maximum likelihood estimators for this class of models efficient minimum chi squared estimation procedures are described a two step algorithm based on a conditional maximum likelihood estimator provides a natural framework for both computing a linearized and locating the joint maximum likelihood estimator the unimodality of the simultaneous equation tobit likelihood function is proved and this model is used to illustrate the empirical application of some of the estimators considered in the paper the relative efficiency of these estimators in the simultaneous equation tobit model is examined in a set of monte carlo experiments many applications of microeconomic theory to individual data face the joint problems of censoring and simultaneity in particular the dependent variable under investigation may not be continuously observed and some of the conditioning variables representing the outcome of other decisions by the individual may be simultaneously determined smith and blundell 1986 developed an asymptotically efficient test for exogeneity or simultaneity in the simultaneous equation tobit model as a byproduct a conditional maximum likelihood estimator was obtained which is consistent under the alternative hypothesis of simultaneity nelson and olsen 1978 amemiya 1978 1979 and heckman 1978 consider a number of consistent marginal maximum likelihood estimators based on marginal maximum likelihood estimators of the reduced form parameters for the probit and tobit models in contrast the estimator derived from smith and blundell 1986 is based on the corresponding conditional maximum likelihood estimators this paper is concerned with estimation in a class of simultaneous limited dependent variable regression models which includes the simultaneous probit and tobit models as special cases analogous marginal and conditional maximum likelihood estimators to those of nelson and olsen 1978 amemiya 1978 1979 heckman 1978 and smith and blundell 1986 are derived and other new estimators are suggested the minimum chi squared approach discussed by ferguson 1958 malinvaud 1970 and rothenberg 1973 is used to compare the asymptotic relative efficiency of various estimators considered a simple two step algorithm based on the conditional maximum likelihood

the effect of adolescent experience on labor market outcomes the case of height taller workers receive a wage premium net of differences in family background the disparity is similar in magnitude to the race and gender gaps we exploit variation in an individual s height over time to explore how height affects wages controlling for teen height essentially eliminates the effect of adult height on wages for white men the teen height premium is not explained by differences in resources or endowments the teen height premium is partially mediated through participation in high school sports and clubs we estimate the monetary benefits of a medical treatment for children that increases height

inequality growth and environmental quality trade offs in a model with human capital accumulation this paper develops a simple endogenous growth model where pollution exposure and vulnerability are unequally spread across the population and growth and distribution are endogenous in this set up we investigate whether trade offs between growth distributional and environmental concerns may emerge we show that a tighter environmental policy reduces income inequality and can improve both growth and total welfare immediate welfare losses though do occur and are larger for countries that start at low levels of environmental quality e g developing countries inegalite croissance et qualite de l environnement arbitrages dans un modele d accumulation de capital humain nous developpons un modele de croissance endogene ou l exposition et la vulnerabilite a la pollution sont inegalement reparties dans la population et ou la croissance et la distribution des revenus sont determinees de facon endogene dans ce cadre d analyse nous cherchons s il existe des arbitrages entre la croissance les inegalites et l environnement notamment dans les pays en developpement nous montrons qu une politique environnementale plus stricte conduit a la fois a une reduction des inegalit es et a une augmentation de la croissance et du bien etre dans un premier temps cependant ce changement de politique conduit a une reduction du bien etre qui est relativement plus importante pour les pays dont la qualite environmentale est initiallement faible e g les pays en developpement

taxing average emissions to overcome the shutdown problem abstract the paper shows that the optimal regulation of stock pollutants can require fluctuating emissions even in the absence of uncertainty the optimum cannot be implemented by the usual pigouvian flow tax since it leads to a shutdown problem a remedy for the problem is to use a linear tax given by a mechanism that effectively taxes average emissions over time an alternative is to use tax schedules depending on cumulative emissions over a short period of time a calibration using cost estimates of greenhouse gases suggests that potential gains from fluctuating carbon emissions are considerable

alcohol and earnings does drinking yield a wage premium this paper examines the relationship between alcohol consumption and earnings for prime age males wage differentials for non moderate and heavy drinkers are estimated using a polychotomous choice model which accounts for the endogenous relationship be tween drinking and earnings we find that moderate alcohol consumption leads to increased earnings relative to abstention however heavy drinking leads to reduced earnings relative to moderate drinking heavy drinkers possess flatter age earnings profiles and attain lower returns for higher education than non and moderate drinkers these results are in contrast to previous research on substance abuse which finds no earnings drop off for heavy users

effects of physical activity on earnings in the brazilian labor market abstract this article investigates the effects of physical activity on earnings in the brazilian labor market analyzing workers aged between 30 and 50 years to that end quantile regression was applied to analyze microdata from the 2008 national household sample survey pnad the results showed that workers who engage in regular physical exercise exhibit better social and economic conditions compared to sedentary individuals sedentary lifestyles are typically more common among female employees than their male counterparts and this is reflected in earnings in the labor market the impact of physical activity on wages varied from 15 0 to 31 0 and was greater among the highest quantiles the lowest salaries were recorded among non white sedentary women

do we need the entry exit condition on polluting firms abstract given that marginal pollution damage increases with emissions a polluting firm s total pigouvian tax payments will exceed the total damage that it causes there is a long standing concern in the environmental economics literature that this disparity could force a polluting firm to shut down even though its net social product is positive however such a problem exists only in a partial equilibrium analysis in a conventional general equilibrium model with standard neoclassical price coordinated firms the fact that pigouvian taxes exceed total damages is as normal a phenomenon as producer or consumer surplus

modelling tenants choices in the public rented sector a stated preference approach summary this paper uses a stated preference sp approach to examine the potential housing choices of tenants in the uk public housing sector the paper begins by explaining the policy signie cance of the choices that such tenants might make if alternative dwellings were offered to them it then discusses the sp approach in general before explaining the way in which it is used in this study the results of the sp modelling exercise are presented these suggest that tenants are unlikely to move to housing estates that they see as being worse than their current estate solely in response to lower rents this is because a number of factors other than rent are of more signie cance in their potential housing decisions

growth and distress in a south indian peasant economy during the era of economic liberalisation this article analyses the impact of agricultural liberalisation on different farming classes in the region of telangana in south india the region has been witnessing significant growth in real agricultural output over the last 15 years at the same time as nss national sample survey household survey data indicate there have been significant welfare declines not only for marginal farmers and landless labour but for other groups as well there have also been more than a thousand farmer suicides between 1998 and 2002 i argue in this article that during the liberalisation period that is post 1990 agricultural growth and increased distress have become mutually intertwined i use the terms growth inducing distress and distress inducing growth to explain this apparent paradox