work hours wages and vacation leave using the panel study of income dynamics the authors provide a set of facts about vacation leave they show that on average vacation time taken rises one to one with paid vacation annual hours worked fall by about one full time week with every week of paid vacation the amount by which vacation time taken exceeds time paid is highest for women union members and government workers paid vacation weeks are positively associated with hourly wage rates and to a lesser extent with nonwage compensation and vacation time taken is weakly countercyclical vacation leave seems to be determined by broad employer policy rather than by negotiation between the worker and the firm in particular it is strongly related to seniority but depends very little on labor market experience and for job changers it is only weakly related to vacation on the previous job

individual and aggregate labor supply with coordinated working times i analyze two extensions to the standard model of life cycle labor supply that feature operative choices along both the intensive and extensive margin one assumes that individuals face continuous wage hours schedules while the other assumes that all work must be coordinated across individuals though similar qualitatively the two models have very different implications for aggregate labor supply responses to tax policy in the first model curvature in the individual utility from leisure function plays relatively little role but in the second model it is of first order importance the second model also has important implications for what data are best able to provide evidence on the extent of curvature in the utility from leisure function

the effect of microenterprise lending on child schooling in guatemala many recent theoretical models which portray human capital investment as a primary engine of economic growth underemphasize the structure of the microeconomic decision making process which gives rise to human capital investment in both developed and developing countries human capital investment tends to be a household level decision made in the form of child schooling for families in developing countries which operate household enterprises the decision involves an economic trade off between future returns to schooling and the current return to childrens labor in the enterprise the author explores how access to credit in developing countries can affect the child schooling decision a 2 period household model is presented which endogenously generates an optimal level of child schooling by households accounting for the possibility of asymmetric information in credit and labor markets comparative statics are then conducted to show the conditions under which child schooling will increase or decrease when credit constraints are relaxed a brief background of the schooling system in guatemala and a brief description of the survey data collected in guatemala are provided followed by the presentation of empirical tests and a summary of empirical findings with suggestions made for further research

credit market constraints consumption smoothing and the accumulation of durable production assets in low income countries investments in bullocks in india in this paper we formulate and estimate a finite horizon structural dynamic model of agricultural investment behavior that incorporates the major features of low income agricultural environments income uncertainty constraints on borrowing and rental markets and the use of investment assets to generate income and smooth consumption the model is fit to longitudinal indian household data on farm profits bullock stocks and pump sets the estimated structural parameters are used to assess the effects on the life cycle accumulation of bullocks agricultural profits and welfare associated with complete markets and bullock liquidity and with second best policies that provide assured sources of income to farmers and weather insurance

specific experience household structure and intergenerational transfers farm family land and labor arrangements in developing countries data from indian rural household survey was used to test th hypothesis that the coexistence in traditional rural societies of extended intergenerational families infrequent land sales and high reliance on family members as farm laborers is the result of the economic advantages which accrue from the knowledge gained by farming a particular ploy of land over a long period of time the land specific experience of elderly members of a intergenerational household who farmed the land as a child and then as an adult are expecially critical in adverse weather years most previous investigators attributed the existence of multigenerational households the use of family members rather than hired laboreds and the infrequency of land sales to deficiencies in the market i e labor market imperfections and an absence of capital insurance and asset markets in the present investigations these same characteristics are viewed as having an economic advantages a model for estimating the contribution of the experience of the elderly household members to agricultural profits was developed and applied to data from a 3 year panel study of 2900 indian rural farm households the data was collected between 1968 71 by the national council of applied economic research the survey collected information on farm profits farm inputs demographic characteristics and the effects of weather conditions on profits a major limitation of the study was a lack of information on the duration of land ownership age of household members was substituted as a proxy for duration of ownership findings were consistent withe the hypothesis in poor agricultural years gross returns for households which contained an elderly household member were greater than the gross returns for comparable households which did not contain an elderly member the economic advantages of specific knowledge embodied in the experienced elderly farmer were comparable to the economic advantages which accrued to households whose members were more educated the hypothesis cannot fully explain the existence of intergenerational families since there is a relatively large proportion of such families among nonfarm families in many countries including india findings suggest that intergenerational families may provide for more occupational diversity and thereby reduce income risks the specific experience hypothesis has policy implications if technological changes are introduced the value of specific experience may be lost and the frequency of intergenerational households may decline the hypothesis may also explain why farmers are reluctant to agree to land redistribution and consolidation schemes this reluctance may disappear after sufficient technological change has occurred

are poor people credit constrained or myopic evidence from a south african panel credit constraints are an almost ubiquitous assumption in development economics yet direct evidence for credit constraints is limited and many observations consistent with credit constraints are equally compatible with myopic non forward looking consumption or precautionary saving using household panel data and a source of widely anticipated income in south africa this paper tests and rejects the standard consumption model with perfect capital markets then myopic consumption and precautionary saving are tested as alternative explanations for the observed jumps in expenditure the standard model with credit constraints cannot be rejected in favour of myopic consumption or precautionary saving

shirking or productive schmoozing wages and the allocation of time at work this study uses detailed time diaries from household surveys for 1975 and 1981 to examine how changes in the use of time on the job affect earnings among nonunion workers the marginal minute of break time apparently increases earnings but not as much as does the marginal minute of work time among union workers additional time in unscheduled breaks appears to be associated with significantly higher earnings though other break time is not the author concludes that further growth in on the job leisure would reduce productivity that monitoring workers would yield returns to the firm but that entirely eliminating breaks would be counterproductive

consumption smoothing and the welfare consequences of social insurance in developing economies studies of risk in developing economies have focused on consumption fluctuations as a measure of the value of insurance a common view in the literature is that the welfare costs of risk and benefits of social insurance are small if income shocks do not cause large consumption fluctuations we present a simple model showing that this conclusion is incorrect if the consumption path is smooth because individuals are highly risk averse hence social safety nets could be valuable in low income economies even when consumption is not very sensitive to shocks

why farmers sometimes love risks evidence from india abstractusing a unique data set collected among farmers in india s semiarid tropics we document the surprising prevalence of risk taking behavior in the face of realistically framed high stakes gambles we hypothesize that this apparently anomalous behavior is due to a combination of credit constraints and nonconvexities in production in particular the high stakes nature of the gambles creates the potential for a farmer to undertake a productive investment that would normally be unaffordable and thereby move to a permanently higher level of income we show that the degree to which farmers are willing to accept risk in return for this opportunity appears to relate in an intuitive way to their current agricultural production technology as well as the demographic composition of their household

liquidity risk and banks asset composition implications for monetary policy monetary growth models in which the government is a net debtor demonstrate that inflation adversely affects capital formation through the crowding out effect interestingly the results are at odds with empirical evidence in particular recent studies point to an asymmetric relationship between inflation and the real economy across countries specifically inflation and output are negatively correlated in poor countries in contrast inflation is associated with higher levels of economic activity in advanced economies i present a monetary growth model with public debt where the exposure to risk is inversely related to the level of income in this setting i demonstrate that the effects of monetary policy depend on the level of capital of the economy in poor countries banks portfolios consist primarily of government liabilities therefore a higher rate of money creation inhibits capital formation in these economies in contrast banks devote more resources toward productive uses in advanced countries consequently monetary policy generates a tobin effect

efficient estimation of structural hedonic systems when a product or job is not homogeneous but instead embodies several different characteristics it is difficult to use price information about the product to learn anything about the structure of the supply and demand for the embodied characteristics s rosen 1974 highlighted this problem and suggested that the estimated slope of the price characteristic relation the marginal price could be used instead of standard prices in otherwise standard estimation of the supply and demand system however recently brown and h rosen 1982 brown 1983 and mendelsohn 1985 have pointed out that this method is applicable only when the marginal price depends on variables not found in the supply and demand equations in this paper we show that since the hedonic system matches consumers with high demand for the characteristic to firms with low costs of producing it exogenous variables from the supply equation are not valid instruments in the demand equation and vice versa therefore even when the brown rosen mendelsohn brm condition holds estimation of the identified system by standard simultaneous equations techniques will produce inconsistent estimates we then show that the system can be identified despite the absence of the standard instruments and develop an efficient estimator for the identified system since cross equation constraints make estimation of hedonic systems particularly vulnerable to specification error we also consider some specification tests in this section we consider a simple model with only one characteristic the extension to several characteristics is straightforward the basic model developed by rosen can be described as follows firms with different technologies produce products which provide consumers with varying levels of some characteristic z each consumer buys one unit of the good the product is such that an amount of z from two units of the good provides less utility than the same amount of z embodied in a single unit e g acceleration in a car safety in a job consumers

long term consequences of short term precipitation shocks evidence from brazilian migrant households we find that large short term precipitation shocks damage the long term income of households that have permanently migrated from rural to urban areas this outcome is consistent with the behavior of credit constrained rural households who are willing to accept lower long term income in urban areas following the depletion of their productive assets during an adverse shock our empirical evidence suggests that there may be a link between large precipitation shocks in rural areas and urban poverty further exploration is warranted on the mechanisms by which natural disasters cause these long term losses

evidence on the volunteer labor supply of married women 1 introduction in this paper i investigate the volunteer labor supply of married women there are dozens of studies that examine the labor supply of married women and a smaller number that investigate the supply of volunteer labor in general as far as i know there are none that have focused on the supply of volunteer labor by married women i analyze time diary data for the 1970s to consider one main question and three subsidiary questions i what was the direct effect of economic variables after tax wage rate and other income on married women s volunteering both participation and hours ii does the number of children in the family influence the volunteering of married women to the extent that rising wages may induce smaller family size is this an indirect channel that reduces volunteering if one of the motivations for volunteering is to increase the quantity or quality of activities for one s own children the 1970s is an especially interesting time period to examine in the united states as that was the decade that saw the first large increases in married women s labor force participation rates iii are time and donations substitutes or complements for married women iv do the data support the brown and lankford 1992 modeling conjecture concerning a sequence of time allocation decisions as opposed to the gronau model of household time allocation where such decisions are made simultaneously gronau 1986 i find that i the volunteer labor supply for married women is positively sloped and inelastic with an estimated wage elasticity of 0 64 rises in the net wage have a small negative effect on married women s participation in volunteer activities a 25 rise in the net wage is associated with a 1 drop in the probability of volunteering there is a small negative other income from assets and husband s earnings elasticity of volunteer labor supply 0 09 so other sources of income mattered for married women s volunteering in the 1970s the effect of other income on married women s volunteer participation is positive ii having more children increases the probability of volunteering but reduces the number of hours volunteered iii donations of time and money appear to be substitutes overall the elasticity of married women s volunteer hours with respect to the tax price of giving is greater than two the participation effect is again negative this result is tentative because the data are not based on tax return information and i lack good information on cash donations iv there is mixed support for the brown and lankford conjecture the finding of a positive wage elasticity of volunteer labor supply is at odds with the opportunity cost of time interpretation of the wage especially as the finding for other income is also negative implying that volunteer hours are an inferior good substitution and income effects would therefore both be in a negative direction as the net wage rises the results with the sequential specification are sensible and easily interpreted but the key parameter estimate does not quite meet conventional standards of statistical significance increased hours of work decrease married women s participation and hours an added test of the sequential model is less favorable the wage findings suggest that rising wages for women caused a reduced incidence of volunteering among married women but if anything increased the hours of volunteering one possible vehicle for this would be the entry of women into professional careers where volunteering is a normal part of the career another possible explanation is that married women with a loose attachment to volunteering stopped volunteering and those married women with greater attachment to volunteering increased their hours commitments to offset the participation effect the link between children and volunteering is important as an indicator of how much selfinterest is involved in volunteering for example school volunteering may be a way of providing enhanced investment in one s own children where the benefit to others is a by product

vulnerability of victims of civil conflicts empirical evidence for the displaced population in colombia summary internal conflicts and the forced displacement often caused by such conflicts impose a heavy burden on the civilian population and greatly damage a community s overall welfare the present study employs a household level survey administered to 2 322 colombian displaced households to estimate changes in household welfare after displacement and to assess aggregate consumption levels in destination sites we also assess whether households are able to smooth consumption and we analyze the strategies they are compelled to adopt in order to cope our results indicate that victims of civil conflict face difficulties in generating income are unable to rely on usual risk sharing mechanisms and are forced to draw upon costly coping strategies in order to smooth consumption the vulnerability of displaced households and the possibility of falling into poverty traps highlight the need to design and implement specific policies for victims of internal conflict in order to cope with the displacement shock

risk pooling between households and risk coping measures in developing countries evidence from rural bangladesh abstract using data from rural bangladesh i test whether income risks are pooled among villagers between neighboring households and between related households living in different villages i find evidence that risks to food consumption are pooled between neighboring households and between related households but not among villagers as for nonfood consumption i find little evidence of risk pooling except between unrelated neighboring households i also find that while households belonging to a neighborhood network do not take any special measures during an economic hardship those not belonging to any such network try to smooth consumption by selling off livestock and other assets and by getting interest free loans negative income shocks are found to have little effect on labor supply or private transfers

behavioral responses to risk in rural china does risk perpetuate poverty in a credit constrained economy jalan and ravallion study portfolio and other behavioral responses to measured risk using household panel data for rural china one quarter of wealth is held in unproductive liquid forms but only a small share of this appears to be a precaution against income risk the authors estimate that eliminating income risk would reduce the share of wealth held in liquid form by less than 1 percentage point moreover that effect is confined largely to middle income groups high income households do not it seems need to hold unproductive cautionary wealth and the poor probably cannot afford to do so the authors find no evidence that income risk discourages schooling but risk does inhibit the out migration of labor generally the results provide only limited support for the idea that uninsured risks promote unproductive portfolio behavior in this setting there is such an effect but it is small in magnitude and cannot be deemed an important cause of poverty

the causes of hours constraints evidence from canada over half of workers are dissatisfied with the number of hours they work and of these the vast majority desire more rather than fewer hours using the canadian survey of work reduction we examine two potential explanations for hours constraints long term contracts due to worker moral hazard or specific capital and implicit contracts in which wages are insured but hours fluctuate our results contradict the moral hazard and insurance models and weakly support the specific capital model les causes des contraintes sur les heures de travail le cas canadien plus de la moitie des travailleurs ne sont pas satisfaits du nombre d heures qu ils travaillent et de ceux ci la grande majorite veut travailler plus et non pas moins d heures a l aide des donnees de l enquete canadienne sur la reduction des heures de travail les auteurs examinent deux sources potentielles d explication pour ce genre de phenomene les contrats a long terme attribuables au probl eme du capital humain specifique des travailleurs et au hasard moral et les contrats implicites par lesquels le niveau de salaire horaire est assure mais le nombre d heures travaillees fluctue les resultats presentes contredisent les modeles fondes sur le hasard moral et l assurance et supportent faiblement le modele de capital humain specifique surveys conducted in the united states consistently show that a substantial fraction of workers wish to work a different number of hours from those that they actually work of those who would like to change their hours the vast majority would prefer to work more hours shank 1986 in previous work kahn and lang 1992 we tested whether u s hours constraints could be explained by lifetime contract agency models in which the earnings profile is structured so as to deter worker cheating or

transportation costs agricultural productivity and cross country income differences i document large difierences in domestic transport costs and transportation infrastructure across nations the richest countries have 5 times lower transport costs and 32 times more infrastructure per capita than the poorest countries of the world are these difierences a source of aggregate labor productivity difierences across nations using a three sector two region general equilibrium model i show that high transport costs can distort the allocation of resources not only across geographically dispersed production units within sectors but also between agriculture and non agriculture taking as given the observed difierences in transportation costs and transportation infrastructure per capita i quantify the role of transportation for cross country income difierences the calibrated model produces an income disparity of 7 5 between the 5 rich and 5 poor countries this corresponds to an improvement of 50 relative to the disparity predicted by a two sector model of agriculture and non agriculture furthermore the efiects of advancements in transportation are non linear the elasticity of aggregate labor productivity with respect to transport labor productivity in the poorest nations is 6 times higher than in the richest ones the efiects of transport frictions are even more pronounced when restrictions to regional migration are introduced

the estimation of demand parameters in hedonic price models this paper shows that the econometric problem of estimating hedonic demand parameters is not a standard identification problem caused by demand supply interaction as has been often assumed estimation procedures based on this assumption lead to biased results the hedonic estimation problem is instead caused by the endogeneity of both prices and quantities when households face a nonlinear budget constraint an instrumental variables solution to this problem is suggested using instruments that exogenously shift the budget constraint

labor supply hours constraints and job mobility if hours can be freely varied within jobs the effect on hours of changes in preferences for those who do change jobs should be similar to the effect on hours for those who do not change jobs conversely if employers restrict hours choices then changes in preferences should affect hours more strongly when the job changes than when it does not change for a sample of married women we find that changes in many of the labor supply preference variables produce much larger effects on hours when the job changes

an employment guarantee as risk insurance assessing the effects of the nregs on agricultural production decisions uninsured risk constrains households in their production decisions in many developing countries similarly to crop insurance employment guarantees can support farmers in managing agricultural production risks evidence from representative panel data of andhra pradesh india suggests that the national rural employment guarantee scheme nregs reduces households uncertainty about future income streams because it provides employment opportunities in rural areas independently of weather shocks and crop failure because the nregs makes an ex post labor supply response to agricultural shocks more efficient households with access to the nregs can shift their production towards riskier but also more profitable crops the observed shifts in agricultural production do considerably raise the profitability of agricultural production and hence the incomes of smallholder farmers the findings are not driven by changes in the labor or cost intensity of those crops which supports the idea that the causal mechanism underlying the observed changes is indeed an insurance effect

costs and benefits of livestock systems and the role of market and nonmarket relationships in developing countries livestock are kept not only for their physical products but also for insurance financing and to display status though this range of purposes is acknowledged livestock policies nevertheless often emphasize physical production a limited perspective that hampers the formulation and implementation of effective livestock policies this article presents a comprehensive appraisal of costs and benefits of livestock systems that takes into account the institutional environment of livestock keepers indicators are developed that capture quantify and organize not only the benefits resulting from the physical production but also those from the intangible functions the method is illustrated by an analysis of cattle in the western province of zambia the results indicate that the perspective on livestock systems developed more closely reflects the observed decisions of the livestock keepers

the effects of progressive taxation on labor supply when hours and wages are jointly determined this paper extends a standard intertemporal labor supply model to account for progressive taxation as well as the joint determination of hourly wages and hours worked we show that these two factors can have implications for both estimating labor supply elasticities as well as for using these elasticities in tax analysis failure to account for wage hours ties and progressive taxation may cause the hours response to marginal tax rate changes to be understated by 5 to 30 percent for men

job matching and occupational choice this paper presents a model of job matching the generalizes the existing literature by allowing for different jobs types or occupations such differences affect the value of job specific experience inducing a career profile where certain types are sampled before others more specifically the analysis shows that it is optimal for the young and inexperienced to gravitate toward jobs exhibiting a certain kind of risk then after deriving the equilibrium job turnover rate for an economy in which people do not switch occupations panel data are used to estimate its underlying parameters the hypothesis that people do not switch occupations is rejected against the alternative that they do thus providing empirical support for the theoretical extension undertaken here

tied wage hours offers and the endogeneity of wages in the standard model of labor supply each worker is a price taker where the relevant price is an hourly wage rate which is fixed in the short run and which does not depend upon the number of hours supplied with this basic assumption the wage can be regarded as exogenous for the purpose of estimating a labor supply function this paper proposes and implements a pair of tests for the exogeneity of wages in a longitudinal labor supply model and for the particular failure of exogeneity associated with jobs that offer wage hour packages the first test is very simple it amounts to a test of whether hours granger cause wages at the individual level the second test involves a simultaneous estimation of labor supply and wage offer equations both tests indicate that the offered wage is related to hours worked though the offer locus is for this sample very flat the principal conclusion is that labor supply equations cannot properly be estimated in isolation from the process generating wages even when long time series are available on a sample of individuals this abstract was borrowed from another version of this item

job changes and hours changes understanding the path of labor supply adjustment we use british panel data to investigate single women s labor supply changes in response to three reforms that affected individuals work incentives we use these reforms to identify changes in labor supply there is evidence of small hours of work effects for two of such reforms a third reform in 1999 instead led to a significant increase in single mothers hours of work the mechanism by which the labor supply adjustments were made occurred largely through job changes rather than hours changes with the same employer this is little overall effect of the reforms on wages

fertilizer use risk and off farm labor markets in the semi arid tropics of india a two period model is developed in which a risk averse farmer uses off farm labor to smooth consumption leading to greater use of fertilizer fertilizer demand is shown to increase with the depth of the off farm labor market controlling for exogenous weather risk farmers use more fertilizer the lower the unemployment rate and the higher the share of nonagricultural work in total off farm labor the results suggest that off farm labor markets and own farm production may be complementary in risky production environments so that policies which promote the depth of the off farm labor market in low income areas may also bolster farm productivity copyright 2003 oxford university press

migration remittances and capital accumulation evidence from rural mexico this paper studies the link between migration remittances and productive assets accumulation for a panel of poor rural households in mexico over the period 19972006 in a context of nancial markets imperfections migration may act as a substitute for imperfect credit and insurance provision through remittances from migrants and thus exert a positive eect on investment however it may well be the case that remittances are channelled towards increasing consumption and leisure goods exploiting within family variation and an instrumental variable strategy we show that migration indeed accelerates productive assets accumulation moreover when we look at the eect of migration on consumption of non productive assets durable goods we nd instead a negative eect our results then suggest that

growth and risk how exposure to risk affects economic growth is a key issue in development this article quantifies both the ex ante and ex post effects of risk using long running panel data for rural households in zimbabwe it proposes a simulation based econometric methodology to estimate the structural form of a micro model of household investment decisions under risk the key finding is that risk substantially reduces growth in this particular setting the mean capital stock in the sample is in expectation 46 percent lower than in the absence of risk about two thirds of the impact of risk is due to the ex ante effect that is the behavioral response to risk which is usually not taken into account in policy design these results suggest that policy interventions that reduce exposure to shocks or that help households manage risk could be much more effective than is commonly thought

shocks and agricultural investment decisions abstract this study explores the impact of weather shocks on the investment decisions of farmers we distinguish between the long term effect of exposure to weather shocks measured as past exposure to deviations in average rainfall levels and the effect of weather related shocks that have recently occurred we examine how households cope with shocks in the short term in terms of consumption smoothing and the depletion of liquid assets and whether over the longer term shock exposure impacts on household investment decisions and welfare our results show that households on average manage to smooth consumption in the face of recent shocks by depleting savings and borrowing over the longer term households that are exposed to shocks invest less in productive assets leading to lower consumption levels moreover the investment strategies of these households do not appear to pay off once additional shocks occur later on

an estimable dynamic stochastic model of fertility and child mortality this paper develops a finite horizon dynamic stochastic model of discrete choice with respect to life cycle fertility within an environment where infant survival is uncertain the model yields implications for the number timing and spacing of children a tractable estimation method is developed for the linear constraint quadratic utility case that is intimately tied to the dynamic optimization problem and the method is applied to malaysian household data estimation is based on integrating the numerical solution of the dynamic programming model of behavior with a maximum likelihood procedure

fixed costs and hours constraints hours constraints are typically identified by worker responses to questions asking whether they would prefer a job with more hours and more pay or fewer hours and less pay because jobs with different hours but the same rate of pay may be infeasible when there are fixed costs of employment or mandatory overtime premia the constraint in those cases may be illusory cross section estimates of reported hours constraints are consistent with this model implying that the overall level of hours constraints may exaggerate the extent to which the labor market is characterized by frictions and imperfections

do expectations of future wealth increase outbound tourism evidence from korea abstract as international tourism is generally considered a luxury good models to date have shared an understanding that demand is dependent on discretionary income however consumption theories predict that a shift in demand can be induced without changes in actual earnings when expectations for future income are adjusted this presumes demand for international tourism can be influenced by wealth effects from real estate and financial assets this study tested for the wealth effect on korean outbound travelers during the 20 years between 1989 and 2009 korea is a unique place to examine in that korean households possess housing assets and financial assets that are traded actively in markets the results of this study favored the possibility of a significant wealth effect from housing on outbound travel demand but not from financial assets this may be explained by data sensitivity and the relative importance of financial assets in the korean people s wealth portfolios implications and suggestions for future research are provided along with the findings of the study

optimal partial group liability in microfinance lending abstract this paper develops a model of group borrowing that incorporates partial group liability where borrowers are penalized if their group members default but are not held responsible for the entirety of the failed loan the model illustrates a trade off of group liability lending while higher levels of group liability increase within group risk sharing if liability is too high borrowers strategically default the model predicts the existence of an optimal partial liability that maximizes transfers between group members while avoiding strategic default consistent with this prediction loan officers from a large microfinance institution in southern mexico who rarely allow one group member to repay while the other defaults achieve substantially lower default rates than loan officers for whom the practice is commonplace or for those for whom it has never occurred structural estimation using repayment data suggests that while a partial liability below full liability may reduce default rates the incidence of strategic default is rare

buffer stock savings by portfolio adjustment evidence from rural india the empirical literature on household savings tends to treat savings simply as the residual of income minus consumption this article takes a unique approach to reconstruct the cash and asset balances using detailed household transaction data on farm households in rural india and generates monthly and seasonal icrisat panel data for the period 1976 1983 we have found that households irrespective of their landholding status cope with temporary shocks quite well by using crop inventory currency and capital assets rather than livestock as buffer assets the importance of portfolio adjustments in smoothing consumption is also confirmed by the use of a system of equations in which both portfolio and production decisions are made endogenous it is concluded that not only the level but also the diversification of household assets are important for buffering consumption as an extension we have explored the monthly icrisat panel data for the period 2009 2012 in the same villages and have found a similar pattern in household portfolio responses to income shocks

labor markets and poverty in village economies we study how women s choices over labor activities in village economies correlate with poverty and whether enabling the poorest women to take on the activities of their richer counterparts can set them on a sustainable trajectory out of poverty to do this we conduct a large scale randomized control trial covering over 21 000 households in 1 309 villages surveyed four times over a seven year period to evaluate a nationwide program in bangladesh that transfers livestock assets and skills to the poorest women at baseline the poorest women mostly engage in low return and seasonal casual wage labor while wealthier women solely engage in livestock rearing the program enables poor women to start engaging in livestock rearing increasing their aggregate labor supply and earnings this leads to asset accumulation livestock land and business assets and poverty reduction both accelerating after four and seven years these gains do not come at the expense of others non eligibles livestock rearing businesses are not crowded out and wages received for casual jobs increase as the poor reduce their labor supply in such labor activities our results show that i the poor are able to take on the work activities of the non poor but face barriers to doing so and ii one o interventions that remove these barriers lead to sustainable poverty reduction

canadian jobs and firm size do smaller firms pay less even after controlling for observable workers characteristics and for occupation and industry specific effects a substantial wage differential remains between large and small firms what underlies the remaining wage differential is unclear direct evidence on pension plan coverage and on lay off rates by firm size is inconsistent with the bad working conditions hypothesis the union avoidance hypothesis does not seem to explain an important portion o f the wage differential as suggested by efficiency wage models part of the remaining wage differential may be due to firms heterogeneity similarly perhaps large firms pay higher wages simply partly beca use they employ workers with more unobserved abilities because differen t explanations of the wage differential may lead to different policy implications determining the source of the wage firm size effect is an important question for future research

hours flexibility and retirement i introduction standard models of labor supply depict workers as choosing to work any positive amount of hours they wish at the competitive wage paid to persons of their type implicit in these models is the assumption that employers offer to workers at a particular wage a menu of infinitely many hours options from which workers may choose however this assumption seems fundamentally at odds with how the labor market functions in particular the distribution of weekly hours of work suggests that workers may be offered only a limited set of hours options by the employers 1 this study examines how employer imposed minimum hours of work requirements affect workers retirement decisions 2 we present a simple theoretical framework which shows that workers who cannot lower their hours of work in one period are more likely to retire by some subsequent date than workers not so constrained the intuition is straightforward given his characteristics and the wage he commands there is a particular hours level which a person desires to work in any period equivalently between any two time periods a worker initially working a given amount of hours desires that his hours change over time by a particular amount for workers with jobs that feature flexible hours the actual change in hours worked over time always perfectly matches the desired change if the worker desires to withdraw from the labor force then he does so if he desires to work fewer positive hours in the later period he changes his labor supply to precisely the desired level for workers with the same desired change in labor supply but who face hours constraints the only way to lower hours of work from one positive amount to another is to change jobs because such job changes are associated with transition costs the worker chooses from among a set of less than ideal options he can continue at the present job and be overemployed alternatively he can pay a transition cost and work the desired hours level in a new job or he can withdraw completely from the labor force thus unlike the worker whose hours are flexible the hours constrained worker retires both when he desires to work 0 h and when he wishes to work some positive amount less than he did previously but faces relatively high transition costs we tested the prediction that hours constrained workers are more likely to retire over time using a sample of retirement aged individuals from the health and retirement study hrs we found that a large fraction of workers aged 55 64 yr cannot lower their usual weekly hours of work in 1992 these constraints are prevalent for both men and women among people working different hours level and across all types of jobs exploiting the panel feature of the data and using a series of empirical tests we found that hours constrained workers are much more likely than their unconstrained peers to be retired by 1996 we document few differences in observed characteristics between constrained and unconstrained workers suggesting that the results do not derive from differences in latent retirement propensities across workers or to unmeasured job characteristics moreover we controlled carefully for demographic and job information we also conducted some simple tests to assess the likelihood that the results derive from sorting by job type constrained or unconstrained or simple measurement error and found that our main estimates continue to obtain the study s emphasis that hours constraints make it difficult for workers to satisfy changing labor supply preferences without changing jobs is also the main focus of altonji and paxson 1992 these authors showed that in a sample of prime aged women events likely to generate large changes in labor supply preferences such as the birth of a child or a child starting school tend to be associated with large changes in hours worked only for persons who change jobs

on the costs of food price fluctuations in low income countries abstract conventional welfare measures of the costs of food price fluctuations in low income countries are extended to allow for both economic growth and food security effects the analysis reveals that growth and food security effects may dominate more conventional welfare costs of food price fluctuations although estimating the empirical magnitude of the effects is hampered by the lack of consensus on the extent to which food price fluctuations actually reduce economic growth and food security even if the welfare costs of food price fluctuations are high there are many challenges to the design and successful implementation of price stabilization schemes

choice among wage hours packages an empirical investigation of male labor supply this article specifies and estimates an empirical model of male labor supply based on an implicit market model of wage hours determination we discuss how moving from a standard labor supply model to an implicit market model affects model specification and choice of estimation technique we find that average hourly earnings are not independent of hours worked and that ols estimates of the wage hours relationship are biased we also show that a labor supply model that assumes wages to be independent of hours worked produces a positively biased estimate of the effect of the wage on labor supply

migration risk and liquidity constraints in el salvador abstract this article utilizes panel data from el salvador to investigate the use of transnational migration as an ex post risk management strategy i show that adverse agricultural conditions in el salvador increase both migration to the united states and remittances sent back to el salvador i show that in the absence of any agricultural shocks the probability that a household sent members to the united states would have decreased on average by 24 26 i also show that the 2001 earthquakes reduced net migration to the united states a one standard deviation increase in earthquake damage reduced the average probability of northward migration by 37 11 the evidence suggests that the effects of the earthquakes had more to do with households retaining labor at home to cope with the effects of the disaster than with the earthquakes disrupting migration financing

seeing is believing evidence from an extension network experiment extension is designed to enable lab to farm technology diffusion decentralized models assume that information flows from researchers to extension workers and from extension agents to contact farmers cfs cfs should then train other farmers in their communities such a modality may fail to address informational inefficiencies and accountability issues the authors run a field experiment to measure the impact of augmenting the cf model with a direct cf training on the diffusion of a new technology all villages have cfs and access the same extension network in treatment villages cfs additionally receive a three day central training on the new technology they track information transmission through two nodes of the extension network from extension agents to cfs and from cfs to other farmers directly training cfs leads to a large statistically significant increase in adoption among cfs however higher levels of cf adoption have limited impact on the behavior of other farmers

the effects of hours constraints on labor supply estimates almost all labor supply models are estimated under the assumption that workers are free to choose their hours however theory casual empiricism and survey data suggest that many workers are not free to vary the hours within a job consequently labor supply estimates based on actual hours of work may be biased using canadian data on desired hours of work the authors find that using actual hours causes labor supply estimates to be biased upwards copyright 1991 by mit press

malfeasance and the foundations for global trade the structure of english trade in the east indies 1601 1833 drawing on a remarkable data set compiled from ships logs journals factory correspondence ledgers and reports that provide unusually precise information on each of the 4 572 voyages taken by english traders of the east india company hereafter eic we describe the eic trade network over time from 1601 to 1833 from structural images of voyages organized by shipping seasons the authors map over time and space the emergence of dense fully integrated global trade networks to reveal globalization long before what is now called globalization the authors show that the integration of the world trade system under the aegis of the eic was the unintended by product of systematic individual malfeasance private trading on the part of ship captains seeking profit from internal eastern trade

labor supply as a choice among latent jobs unobserved heterogeneity and identification this paper discusses aspects of a framework for modeling labor supply where the notion of job choice is fundamental in this framework workers are assumed to have preferences over latent job opportunities belonging to worker specific choice sets from which they choose their preferred job the observed hours of work and wage is interpreted as the job specific hours and wage of the chosen job the main contribution of this paper is an analysis of the identification problem of this framework under various conditions when conventional cross section micro data are applied

the specification and estimation of dynamic stochastic discrete choice models a survey our main goal is to quantify the returns to a career in the united states congress we specify a dynamic model of career decisions of a member of congress and estimate this model using a newly collected dataset given estimates of the structural model we

h ours constraints and the wage hours locus surveys in the united states and canada reveal that approximately half of all workers would like to work a different number of hours per week if they could continue to receive their usual hourly wage of these about two thirds would like to work more hours and one third would like to work fewer hours kahn and lang 1991 shank 1986 despite the apparent prevalence of hours constraints the reasons why they exist are poorly understood in previous research we showed that lazear s 1981 agency model of the return to seniority is inconsistent with the data and that the specific capital model and insurance based implicit contract models cannot account for important regularities kahn and lang 1992 1995 in this paper we examine whether hours constraints can be explained by the existence of a hedonic wage hours locus we find that the actual wage hours locus is reasonably consistent with the wage hours locus predicted by observed hours constraints when the hedonic model is augmented by considerations of long term contracting we conclude that despite data and estimation shortcomings hedonic choices are an important reason for hours constraints to exist

livestock asset transfers with and without training evidence from rwanda abstract we present evidence from rwanda s girinka one cow per poor family program that has distributed more than 130 000 livestock asset transfers in the form of cows to the rural poor since 2006 supply side constraints on the program resulted in some beneficiaries receiving complementary training with the cow transfer and other households not receiving such training with their cow we exploit these differences to estimate the additional impact of receiving complementary training with the cow transfer on household s economic outcomes up to six years after having received the livestock asset transfer our results show that even in a setting such as rural rwanda where linkages between farmers and produce markets are weak the provision of training with asset transfers has permanent and economically significant impacts on milk production milk yields from livestock household earnings and asset accumulation the results have important implications for the design of ultra poor livestock asset transfer programs being trialled globally as a means to allow the rural poor to better their economic lives

the potential of land rental markets in the process of economic development evidence from china abstract we develop a model of land leasing with agents characterized by unobserved heterogeneity in ability and presence of an off farm labor market in this case decentralized land rental may contribute to equity and efficiency goals and may have several advantages over administrative reallocation the extent to which this is true empirically is explored using data from three of china s poorest provinces land rental markets and administrative reallocation reallocate land to those with lower endowments but the former are more effective in doing so and have a bigger productivity enhancing effect information on hypothetical market participation suggests that reducing transaction costs in land rental markets could help to realize significant additional productivity gains

patents as options some estimates of the value of holding european patent stocks in many countries holders of patents must pay an annual renewal fee in order to keep their patents in force this paper uses data on the proportion of patents renewed and the renewal fees faced by post world war ii cohorts of patents in france the united kingdom and germany in conjunction with a model of patent holders renewal decisions to estimate the returns earned from holding patents in these countries since patents are often applied for at a nearly stage in the innovation process the model allows agents to be uncertain about the sequence of returns that will be earned if the patent is kept inforce formally then the paper presents and solves a discrete choice optimal stochastic control model derives the implications of the model on aggregate behaviour and then estimates the parameters of the model from aggregate data the estimates enable a detailed description of the evolution of the distribution of returns earned from holding patents over their life spans and calculations of both the annual returns earned from holding the patents still in force or the patent stocks in the alternative countries and the distribution of the discounted value of returns earned from holding the patents in a cohort this abstract was borrowed from another version of this item

household responses to economic and demographic shocks marginal logit analysis using indonesian data abstract we analyse the responses of indonesian households to demographic and economic shocks and examine how these responses vary in relation to the household s permanent income and the extent to which the shock is common across the community households respond in different ways to demographic and economic shocks economic shocks are more likely to result in a labour supply response from the household and this probability is further increased if the shock is common for rural households use of savings increases with permanent income the article also examines the role of the interviewer in influencing survey responses

the impact of conditional cash transfers on consumption and investment in nicaragua abstract this article examines the impact of a nicaraguan conditional cash transfer programme on measures of expenditures and productive investment despite clear evidence from a randomised evaluation that the programme increased current expenditures there is little evidence that it increased agricultural or non agricultural investment an estimated marginal propensity to consume out of the transfers of nearly one combined with no effect of cumulative past transfers on current consumption corroborate the direct evidence on investment in contrast to gains made in human capital investment the potential for long term increases in consumption as a result of other forms of increased investment may be limited

is lunch and other break time productive in sweden a hedonic earnings approach this hedonic earnings analysis suggests that in sweden in the mid 1980s break time was overall productive at the margin a result that contrasts with findings from similar studies using u s data among workers in male jobs however break time for meals appears to have been significantly less productive at the margin than normal work to try to account for the male job effect the author explores the possibility that high productivity workers took longer breaks than other workers in response to high marginal tax rates union induced wage compression or both the results of his further analysis suggest that union induced wage compression may have contributed to the male job effect but he finds no support for the tax rate explanation

saving in developing countries theory and review in the literature on economic development much of the interest in saving has been focused on the relation between saving and growth but saving is not only about accumulation it is about smoothing consumption in the face of volatile and unpredictable income and helping to ensure the living standards of poor people whose lives are difficult and uncertain this paper develops a model of households which cannot borrow but which accumulate assets as a buffer stock to protect consumption when incomes are low such households dissave as often as they save do not accumulate assets over the long term and have on average very small asset holdings but their consumption is markedly smoother than their income much of the evidence is as consistent with this view of saving as it is incosistent with standard views of smoothing over the life cycle and with explanations of the link between saving and growth in terms of life cycle saving behavior consumption smoothing is also a useful way of thinking about government policy where volatility in the world prices of taxed commodities can generate sharp fluctuations in government revenues as well as reallocations of revenue between the private and public sectors many important policy issues in developing countries hinge on issues of consumption and smoothing and research on these issues is currently likely to be more productive than work on the relation between saving and growth

urban growth and uninsured rural risk booming towns in bust times abstract rapid urbanization also happens when economic growth and urban job creation are absent such as in africa and latin america during the eighties why do some countries urbanize faster while having worse economic growth this paper finds that higher aggregate agricultural risk induces rural urban migration providing an additional channel to explain the urbanization trend uninsurable expected risk will lead to rural urban migration as a form of ex ante insurance if households are liquidity constrained and cannot overcome adverse shocks the effect is robust to controlling for the traditional view of urbanization driven by industrialization and to several alternative explanations such as government spending

is risk fully pooled within the household evidence from ghana using detailed household survey data from ghana this paper examines whether the transitory incomes of individual household members affect household expenditure patterns divided into six sections the themes include risk sharing networks household survey data from ghana theoretical framework of risk sharing within households estimating transitory income and effects on household budget shares the conclusion that transitory incomes earned by different members of the household have different effects on household expenditure patterns this implies that household members do not engage in full risk pooling with each other moreover it is not always the case that all women or all men display similar preferences or risk pooling behavior this suggests complex features within the household risk sharing structure which is more complex than might be hypothesized by a simplistic analysis framed along gender lines

time to eat household production under increasing income inequality eating requires the raw food materials that make up meals and also the time devoted to buying food preparing meals and eating them and cleaning up afterwards using time diary and expenditure data for the u s for 1985 and 2003 i examine how income and time prices affect time and goods inputs into this household produced commodity focusing on these two years between which income and earnings inequality increased allows examining how household production is affected by changing economic opportunities the results demonstrate that both inputs into eating increase with income and that higher time prices at a given level of income reduce time inputs over this period the relative goods intensity of producing this commodity increased especially at the lower part of the income distribution and the average time input dropped substantially the results are consistent with goods time substitution being relatively difficult for eating and with substitution being more difficult as production expands

collective agricultural production a solution for transition economies abstract the paper examines theoretical reasons and provides examples for productivity differences between agricultural service cooperatives and collectives service cooperatives can utilize economies of scale enhance competitiveness and provide technical information advantages that often outweighed problems of free riding low investment and excessive political intervention agricultural collectives while not adding substantial advantages are in addition associated with problems of supervision and effort supply tendencies to substitute casual workers or mechanization for regular members and low investment incentives while collective forms of organization in transition economies respond to high risk and market imperfections they do so inefficiently policies that create conditions for service cooperatives to compete may lead to large productivity gains

hedonic prices and implicit markets estimating demand and supply functions for differentiated products in choosing the level of quality to purchase the buyer of a differentiated product also chooses a point on the marginal price schedule for that product hence in general the demand functions for product characteristics cannot be consistently estimated by ordinary least squares market equilibrium results in a matching of characteristics of demanders and suppliers this matching restricts the use of buyer and seller characteristics as instruments when estimating demand and supply functions for product characteristics the paper develops these issues a stochastic structure for hedonic equilibrium models is then proposed identification results are presented and estimation procedures are outlined

nonwage benefits in a simultaneous model of wages and hours labor supply functions of young females this article argues that the negative relationship between weekly hours worked and the gross hourly wage rate is due to the provision of fringe benefits as the total weekly wage increases employers and employees avoid taxation by substituting wages with nontaxable nonwage benefits i produce a wage that incorporates the benefit effects and estimate the corresponding labor supply elasticities an estimator is presented for the wage hours market locus and the structural labor supply function an empirical application indicates that an estimated negative labor supply elasticity associated with the observed gross wage is reversed when the adjusted wage is employed

consumption smoothing migration and marriage evidence from rural india a significant proportion of migration in low income countries particularly in rural areas is composed of moves by women for the purpose of marriage we seek to explain these mobility patterns by examining marital arrangements among indian households in particular we hypothesize that the marriage of daughters to locationally distant dispersed yet kinship related households is a manifestation of implicit interhousehold contractual arrangements aimed at mitigating income risks and facilitating consumption smoothing in an environment characterized by information costs and spatially covariant risks analysis of longitudinal south indian village data lends support to the hypothesis marriage cum migration contributes significantly to a reduction in the variability of household food consumption farm households afflicted with more variable profits tend to engage in longer distance marriage cum migration the hypothesized and observed marriage cum migration patterns are in dissonance with standard models of marriage or migration that are concerned primarily with search costs and static income gains

investment and abandonment behavior of rural households an empirical investigation this article uses models of irreversible investment under uncertainty to examine the investment and abandonment behavior of poor rural households it considers the decision of ugandan coffee farming households to invest in or abandon coffee trees the observed levels of investment and abandonment are found to be consistent with models of investment that allow for irreversibility uncertainty fixed costs and liquidity constraints the findings highlight the importance of addressing volatility irreversibility fixed costs and liquidity constraints in order to increase households responsiveness to changes in the fundamentals and to enable households to recover from shocks to their capital stock

seasonal hunger and its mitigation in north west bangladesh seasonal hunger may result from seasonality of agriculture when households fail to smooth income and consumption using household survey data from the northwest region of bangladesh this paper examines alternative measures of seasonal hunger and provides some evidence to support policies and programs needed to mitigate seasonal hunger the results suggest that a large majority of food vulnerable households are the perpetual poor as opposed to a small percentage of households who are subject to food deprivation only during the lean period findings suggest that government safety net programs and microcredit provide a cushion for the poor to stave off seasonal hunger

winners and losers in the commodity lottery the impact of terms of trade growth and volatility in the periphery 1870 1939 abstract most countries in the periphery specialized in the export of just a handful of primary products for most of their history some of these commodities have been more price volatile than others and those with more volatility have grown much more slowly relative to the industrial leaders and to other primary product exporters this fact helps explain the growth puzzle noted by easterly kremer pritchett and summers more than a decade ago that the contending fundamental determinants of growth institutions geography and culture exhibit far more persistence than do the growth rates they are supposed to explain using a new panel database for 35 countries this paper estimates the impact of terms of trade volatility and secular change on country performance between 1870 and 1939 volatility was much more important for growth than was secular change and accounts for a substantial degree of the divergence in incomes within the sample of small commodity dependent periphery nations as well as under performance of the periphery as a whole relative to such nations as the us and western europe or core one channel of impact seems to be the adverse effect of volatility on foreign investment it appears that the terms of trade effects were asymmetric between core and periphery