efficient and durable decision rules with incomplete information we compare six concepts of efficiency for economies with incomplete information depending on the stage at which individuals welfare is evaluated and on whether incentive constraints are recognized an example is shown in which an incentive efficient decision rule may be unanimously rejected by the individuals in the economy we define durable decision rules which can resist such unanimous rejection and show that efficient durable decision rules exist

forward looking assessment of the ghg abatement cost application to china abstract evaluation of abatement costs is critical in setting reduction goals and devising climate policy however reliable forward looking assessment of the short term effects of climate policy remains a major challenge using panel data of 30 chinese provinces during 1997 2015 we first estimate the marginal co2 abatement costs using a novel data driven approach convex quantile regression based on the marginal abatement cost estimates and china s plans regarding carbon intensity reduction and economic growth we present a forward looking assessment of the abatement costs for chinese provinces for 2016 2020 our main finding is that all the chinese provinces have a negative abatement cost which means these provinces can benefit from an increase in the absolute level of co2 emissions despite the constraint on carbon intensity the magnitudes of economic benefits exhibit a significant regional disparity because some provinces can increase more co2 emissions than others however there is still costly carbon intensity abatement relative to a counterfactual where the provinces meet their economic growth targets but in the absence of the intensity reduction constraints policy implications have been proposed to enhance the efficiency and fairness of climate policy in china

the price of pollution a dual approach to valuing so2 allowances under the 1990 clean air act amendments a market based scheme to reduce u s sulfur dioxide emissions takes effect in 1995 indications are that participation in the market will be light and allowance prices will be lower than was once expected using an output distance function approach for wisconsin coal burning utility plants we estimate the shadow price of so2abatement which should approximate the allowance price the estimated average shadow price is above the prices at which the few observed allowance trades have occurred wisconsin s stringent state so2legislation may explain a portion of this divergence

sovereign default risk and the u s equity market i develop a two country general equilibrium model with firms governments and endogenous default decisions this paper shows that the risk of sovereign default abroad is important in the explanation of the level and the volatility of u s equity returns the intuition is that negative economic shocks deteriorate the fiscal situation of foreign governments thereby increasing the risk of a sovereign default that would trigger a local contraction in economic growth the rise in the risk of an economic slowdown abroad amplifies the direct eect of these shocks on the level and the volatility of equity returns in the u s through i a decrease in the present value of future firm earnings due to the unfavorable adjustment of the real exchange rate for u s exporters and ii a fall in u s equity prices that originates from the investors incentive to rebalance their portfolio towards risk free securities the amplification eect is strongest during periods of financial distress when the risk of corporate default is high in the u s a structural estimation of the model provides strong support for this prediction using monthly data for brazil and the u s over the period 1994 2008

the substitutability of non fossil energy potential carbon emission reduction and energy shadow prices in china abstract the rapidly increasing consumption of energy and fossil fuel dominated energy structure have caused great pressure on energy security and carbon reduction policies in china and the chinese government has attempted to substitute fossil with non fossil energy to investigate the feasibility of replacing fossil energy with non fossil energy in china we apply an input distance function to estimate the substitutability of non fossil energy for fossil energy and compare shadow prices the result confirms the feasibility of substituting non fossil energy for fossil energy we then divide the non fossil energy into nuclear energy and renewable energy and find that nuclear energy is more suitable than renewable energy to substitute for fossil energy the shadow price ratio of non fossil to fossil energy is 268 41 on average in the study period the ratio experiences several fluctuations and shows a declining trend at the end of the study period implying that improving energy structure in china is very promising

critical evidence on comparative advantage north north trade in a multilateral world there are two principal theories of why countries trade comparative advantage and increasing returns to scale which is most important in practice the large volume of intra oecd trade is frequently cited as critical evidence on this question it is argued that comparative advantage unlike scale economies is incapable of accounting for the large volume of trade between seemingly similar economies this is a theoretical claim in this paper i show that it is possible to give an account of this trade based on comparative advantage the elements that may give rise to a large volume of north north trade are traced to identifiable features of technology and endowments

directional shadow price estimation of co2 so2 and nox in the united states coal power industry 1990 2010 abstract shadow prices also termed marginal abatement costs provide valuable guidelines to support environmental regulatory policies for co 2 so 2 and no x the key contributors to climate change this paper complements the existing models and describes a directional marginal productivity dmp approach to estimate directional shadow prices dsps which present substitutability among three emissions and are jointly estimated we apply the method to a case study of co 2 so 2 and no x produced by coal power plants operating between 1990 and 2010 in the united states we find that dsp shows 1 1 times the maximal shadow prices estimated in the current literature we conclude that estimating the shadow prices of each by product separately may lead to an overestimation of the marginal productivity and an underestimation of the shadow prices

cost functions and nonlinear prices estimating a technology with quality differentiated inputs the paper is concerned with developing a production theory for the case when some inputs have nonlinear prices because the price depends on endogenous quality this involves extending the notion of a cost function to the case where nonlinear prices are parameters of costs after developing the appropriate theory we apply our results to the case of coal fired electric power generation where fuel quality depends on sulfur and ash impurities environmental regulations induce a negative value on sulfur whereas ash impurities degrade performance and thus reduce production possibilities a number of empirical results emerge including significant rates of technological change that are sulfur and ash saving though capital using this change may explain in part the recent drop in the price of sulfur allowances in the united states

cap and trade a sufficient or necessary condition for emission reduction influenced by the success of emission trading in the us for sulphur dioxide so 2 some economists have argued for an upstream economy wide cap and trade scheme as the primary tool for achieving the required reduction in greenhouse gas ghg emissions this paper addresses that argument and concludes that cap and trade will need to be accompanied by complementary regulatory measures while it is a necessary component in a climate mitigation programme it is unlikely to be sufficient by itself to accomplish the desired emission reductions the paper reviews the evidence on how so 2 emissions were reduced and the extent to which actual emission trading was responsible for the reduction as opposed to other innovations it also identifies differences between the past regulation of so 2 and other air pollutants and the challenges presented by the regulation of ghg emissions what actually happened in the us with so 2 emission trading deviated in several significant respects from what would be predicted based on the conventional theoretical analysis while there was a dramatic reduction in so 2 emissions it occurred because of several factors some of which are unlikely to apply for ghg emissions and others of which argue for an activist regulatory policy by the government as a complement to the functioning of an emissions market for ghgs copyright 2010 oxford university press

intra industry trade reconsidered the role of technology transfer and foreign direct investment this paper investigates novel determinants of intra industry trade iit of late 1990s japanese trade our empirical analysis shows that iit is increased not only by the similarity of gdp and factor endowment but also by technology transfer via japanese fdi in particular the current high proportion of japanese iit with asian countries can be explained by technology transfer licensing between headquarters and overseas affiliates via fdi

mixed strategy nash equilibrium in data envelopment analysis abstract in a typical productivity analysis the efficiency measure assumes a perfectly competitive market with an endogenous price and depends on a fixed orientation with respect to a specific firm such as an input oriented measure when an imperfectly competitive market affects the endogenous price however firms may take a mixed strategy approach to address uncertain competition this study proposes a mixed strategy measure msm we construct a model embedded with a data envelopment analysis dea framework that identifies the mixed strategy nash equilibrium in the first stage and considers a probabilistic and multi oriented efficiency measure in the second stage based on the environmental regulation and a typical nash measure we create two indices environmental consistency and strategic consistency to support the business roadmap development we validate the proposed msm with an empirical study of china s electric power industry the results find that the proposed msm complements the nash measure and the msm model successfully supports our two managerial strategies invest in capacity expansion or develop emission abatement technology

interest rates and currency prices in a two country world abstract this paper is a theoretical study of the determination of prices interest rates and currency exchange rates set in an infinitely lived two country world which is subject both to stochastic endowment shocks and to monetary instability formulas are obtained for pricing all equity claims nominally denominated bonds and currencies and these formulas are related to earlier closely related results in the theories of money finance international trade

technical efficiency shadow price and substitutability of chinese industrial so2 emissions a parametric approach abstract in china s transition process towards sustainable development fighting against the rising so2 emission has become a great and urgent challenge based on a parametric quadratic directional distance function this paper investigates the inefficiency level shadow price and substitution elasticity of chinese industrial so2 emission from 1998 to 2011 the results show a u shape for the technical inefficiency indicating an efficiency improvement before 2005 but it getting worse since then which is that the east area displays a declining trend while the west goes up and the middle follows the national pattern at the east middle west region level as of the shadow price and morishima elasticity both the national and regional levels hold an increasing trajectory the shadow price is continuously increased a lot during the whole period implying to control additional so2 emission become more costly the positive morishima substitution elasticity suggests there may exist the win win opportunities for so2 regulation moreover the large regional disparity highlights the needs to adopt a differentiated regional policy

estimating the marginal abatement cost curve of co2 emissions in china provincial panel data analysis abstract this paper estimates the marginal abatement cost curve macc of co2 emissions in china based on a provincial panel for the period of 2001 2010 the provincial marginal abatement cost mac of co2 emissions is estimated using a parameterized directional output distance function four types of model specifications are applied to fit the mac carbon intensity pairs the optimal specification controlling for various covariates is identified econometrically a scenario simulation of china s 40 45 carbon intensity reduction based on our macc is illustrated our simulation results show that china would incur a 559 623 yuan t roughly 51 57 increase in marginal abatement cost to achieve a corresponding 40 45 reduction in carbon intensity compared to its 2005 level

combining results of different models the case of a levy on the dutch nitrogen surplus economic instruments such as levies are considered by the dutch government for reducing the harmful effects of the production and application of manure to analyse these levies a framework which makes it possible to combine and to choose among different types of research is developed the results are integrated along the line of the marginal abatement cost curve the problems related to integrating different types of research are taken into account the method developed allows every farmer to react to a levy differently a levy turns out to be more effective to reduce the nitrogen surplus on farm level in the pig fattening sector when compared to the pig breeding sector but even a levy of 2 guilders kg of nitrogen does not remove the total manure surplus in the pig sector and results in large profit losses further research is needed to underpin the empirical input required by the model

what can we learn from the grand policy experiment lessons from so2 allowance trading stable url http links jstor org sici sici 0895 3309 28199822 2912 3a3 3c69 3awcwlft 3e2 0 co 3b2 tthe journal of economic perspectives is currently published by american economic association your use of the jstor archive indicates your acceptance of jstor s terms and conditions of use available athttp www jstor org about terms html jstor s terms and conditions of use provides in part that unless you have obtainedprior permission you may not download an entire issue of a journal or multiple copies of articles and you may use content inthe jstor archive only for your personal non commercial use please contact the publisher regarding any further use of this work publisher contact information may be obtained athttp www jstor org journals aea html each copy of any part of a jstor transmission must contain the same copyright notice that appears on the screen or printedpage of such transmission the jstor archive is a trusted digital repository providing for long term preservation and access to leading academicjournals and scholarly literature from around the world the archive is supported by libraries scholarly societies publishers and foundations it is an initiative of jstor a not for profit organization with a mission to help the scholarly community takeadvantage of advances in technology for more information regarding jstor please contact support jstor org http www jstor orgtue jun 26 16 25 17 2007

bond ladders and optimal portfolios we analyze complex bond portfolios within the framework of a dynamic general equilibrium asset pricing model equilibrium bond portfolios are nonsensical and imply a trading volume that vastly exceeds observed trading volume on financial markets instead portfolios that combine bond ladders with a market portfolio of equity assets are nearly optimal investment strategies the welfare loss of these simple investment strategies when compared to the equilibrium portfolio converges to zero as the length of the bond ladder increases this article therefore provides a rationale for naming bond ladders as a popular bond investment strategy

commodity trade and international risk sharing how much do financial markets matter abstract this paper evaluates the social gains from international risk sharing in some simple general equilibrium models with output uncertainty a simulation model calibrated to selected moments of u s and japanese data estimates the incremental loss from a ban on international portfolio diversification to be on the order of 0 20 percent of output per year even the theoretical gains from asset trade may disappear under alternative sets of assumptions on preferences and technology the paper argues that the small magnitude of potential trade gains may help explain the apparently inconsistent findings of empirical studies on the degree of international capital mobility

market failure in incentive based regulation the case of emissions trading abstract among the existing evaluations of the us epa s emissions trading program a consensus has emerged while the program has resulted in significant cost savings it has not even approximately achieved a cost effective allocation of the control responsibility the cost savings have been smaller and the trades fewer than might have been expected at the outset of the program in this article we explore one hypothesis which purports to explain the divergence between the cost minimizing and the observed pattern of trades for nonuniformly mixed pollutants the trading process hypothesis attributes some significant proportion of this divergence to the nature of the process by which emission reduction credits are traded under the bubble policy an examination of actual bubble trades reveals that the actual trading process is sequential and bilateral and hence differs considerably from the implicit process modeled in the existing empirical studies simulations of this more realistic trading process suggest that the resulting equilibria deviate considerably from cost effective allocations of the control responsibility

dynamic equilibrium with liquidity constraints this article studies an intertemporal economy with liquidity constrained and unconstrained individuals we use a stopping time approach to solve the finite horizonconstrained consumption portfolio problem with constant relative risk aversion and to examine the structure of equilibrium the impact of the constraint on the optimal consumption and the financing portfolio is assessed the equilibrium state price density is related to the exercise boundary of an american style contingent claim with nonlinear payoff this stopping time characterization enables us to prove the existence of an equilibrium and can be implemented numerically properties of equilibrium bond and stock returns are examined copyright 2003 oxford university press

an empirical analysis of the co2 shadow price in chinese thermal power enterprises abstract this paper estimates the shadow price of co2 and explores its determinants for thermal power enterprises in china using a parametric quadratic directional distance function we evaluate the inefficiency and shadow price of co2 for 124 power enterprises in 2004 applying deterministic and econometric methods a regression analysis is undertaken to examine the factors that drive shadow prices our results indicate that there are large inefficiencies in terms of electricity production and co2 emissions the shadow price is a negative function of firm size age and coal share and is positively correlated with the technology level this correlation between shadow prices and its determinants is not sensitive to changing assumptions regarding directional vectors although such changes do alter the distribution of shadow prices the large variation witnessed in shadow prices across power enterprises argues in favor of market based regulation such as an emissions trading system as opposed to the command and control regulation currently used in china to minimize overall abatement cost

valuation of marginal co2 abatement options for electric power plants in korea the electricity generation sector in korea is under pressure to mitigate greenhouse gases as directed by the kyoto protocol the principal compliance options for power companies under the cap and trade include the application of direct co2 emission abatement and the procurement of emission allowances the objective of this paper is to provide an analytical framework for assessing the cost effectiveness of these options we attempt to derive the marginal abatement cost for co2 using the output distance function and analyze the relative advantages of emission allowance procurement option as compared to direct abatement option real option approach is adopted to incorporate emission allowance price uncertainty empirical result shows the marginal abatement cost with an average of 14 04 ton co2 for fossil fueled power plants and confirms the existence of substantial cost heterogeneity among plants which is sufficient to achieve trading gains in allowance market the comparison of two options enables us to identify the optimal position of the compliance for each plant sensitivity analyses are also presented with regard to several key parameters including the initial allowance prices and interest rate the result of this paper may help korean power plants to prepare for upcoming regulations targeted toward the reduction of domestic greenhouse gases

individual heating systems vs district heating systems what will consumers pay for convenience abstract for korea s two most popular apartment heating systems individual heating ih and district heating dh user convenience rests heavily on location of the boiler availability of hot water administration of the system and user control of indoor temperature a double bounded dichotomous choice method estimates consumer value for convenience in a hypothetical market higher income more educated consumers in more expensive apartments prefer dh cost conscious consumers who use more electrical heating appliances and more actively adjust separate room temperatures prefer ih with willingness to pay wtp defined as the price ratio between ih and dh 800 survey respondents indicate a wtp of 4 0 for dh over ih ih users unfamiliar with dh expect little greater convenience 0 1 wtp whereas the wtp for dh users runs to 7 9 demonstrating consumer loyalty quantified estimates of consumer preference and convenience can inform design of a full cost plus pricing system with a price cap results here indirectly predict the effect of abolishing regulations that exclusively establish district heating zones strategies to foster the many external benefits of dh systems should stress not their lower cost but convenience comfort and safety higher installation costs still hamper dh expansion so policy makers could set policies to lower cost barriers to entry

strategic state level environmental policy with asymmetric pollution spillovers this paper examines the strategic behavior of state level utility regulators in the context of the federal tradable emissions permits market when state to state pollution spillovers are asymmetric strategic behavior is possible because a state s environmental policy indirectly affects the price of permits and therefore abatement in other states we show that the optimal pollution penalty is comprised of two parts i a pigouvian tax adjusted for state to state spillovers and ii an optimal tariff designed to improve the terms of trade in permits generally abatement costs are not minimized and the outcome is pareto inefficient regardless of the size of the market 2001 elsevier science b v all rights reserved

non parametric productivity analysis with undesirable outputs an application to the canadian pulp and paper industry this article extends the chavas cox approach to non parametric analysis by incorporating undesirable outputs to provide a more complete representation of the production technology inner and outer non parametric technology bounds are constructed the methods are illustrated with application to time series data for the canadian pulp and paper industry conventional measures that ignore changes in pollutant outputs underestimate true productivity growth further there is a large gap between estimates generated with reference to inner and outer bounds to the technology suggesting that researchers need to be aware of the limitations of results derived from analyses relying only on dea methods copyright 2001 oxford university press

sulfur allowance trading and the regional clean air incentives market a comparative design analysis of two major cap and trade permit programs this paper investigates in detail the design parameters of the two mostprominent us cap and trade permit program the us epa sulfur allowancetrading program and the south californian regional clean air incentivesmarket reclaim in contrast to expectations the two programs turn out to be rather different in several important design parameter choices common elements emerge primarily in the existence of an ambitious quantifiedenvironmental target mandatory use of stringent emission monitoring methodsand stiff penalties for non compliance coexisting command and controlregulations the creation of a competitive permit market structure andsome distributional concessions in the initial permit allocation generalizing from these common features we find that provisions to assurepolitical acceptance functional interdependencies and overlapping regulation are the most important influences on the design of applied cap and trade permit programs

asset prices and exchange rates in this paper we study the implications of introducing demand shocks and trade in goods into an otherwise standard international asset pricing model trade in goods gives rise to an additional channel of international propagation through the terms of trade absent in traditional single good asset pricing models the inclusion of demand shocks helps overturn many unrealistic implications of existing international flnance models in which productivity shocks are the sole source of uncertainty our model generates a rich set of implications on how stock bond and foreign exchange markets co move we solve the model in closed form which yields a system of equations that can be readily estimated empirically our estimation validates the main predictions of the theory

technical efficiency shadow price of carbon dioxide emissions and substitutability for energy in the chinese manufacturing industries abstract china is the world s largest co 2 producer and energy consumer in this paper we calculate the maximum technically obtainable co 2 emissions reduction from the efficient use of inputs and estimate the shadow prices of co 2 emissions in order to assess the potential cost savings deriving from trading emissions among industries by measuring the input distance function for 30 chinese manufacturing industries our empirical results indicate that co 2 emissions could be reduced by as much as 680 million tons in the aggregate the shadow prices of co 2 vary from a high of 18 82 to a low of zero across industries with an average of 3 13 per ton additionally the estimated indirect morishima elasticities of substitution of capital for fossil fuels indicate that the substitutabilities of capital for oil gas and coal are higher than the substitutability for labor

seller incentive properties of epa s emission trading auction abstract the new clean air act amendments instruct the environmental protection agency epa to conduct annual sealed bid offer auctions of emission allowances the auction pricing rules are discriminative and sellers with the lowest asking prices receive the highest bids this paper assesses the seller incentives of this auction and demonstrates that the auction rules cause sellers to choose asking prices that under reveal their cost of emission control furthermore increasing the number of sellers intensifies this misrepresentation if the number of buyers remains fixed the epa s rules can therefore generate significantly biased price signals and reduce the efficiency of the allowance trading market

multilateral productivity comparisons when some outputs are undesirable a nonparametric approach multilateral productivity comparisons of firms producing multiple outputs some of which are undesirable are obtained by making two modifications to the standard farrell approach to efficiency measurement the restriction that production technology satisfy strong disposability of outputs is relaxed to allow for the fact that undesirable outputs may be freely disposable and the efficiency measures are modified to allow for an asymmetric treatment of desirable and undesirable outputs performance measures that satisfy these requirements are calculated as solutions to programming problems the methodology is applied to a sample of mills producing paper and pollutants

does environmental pollution affect labor supply an empirical analysis based on 112 cities in china abstract recently some white collar workers in heavily polluted cities in china have begun to either demand higher payment due to serious air pollution or even flee the cities in this study the influence of urban pollution on labor supply is explored for the first time given that pollution and employment occur mainly in urban areas a city level panel data set consisting of 112 chinese cities from 2002 to 2013 is utilized to account for the spatial correlations of pollution a spatial factor that measures the influences of neighboring cities pollution is incorporated to deal with potential endogeneity and to ensure robust estimations the generalized method of moments and piece wise panel regression methods are utilized the estimation results indicate that the impact of pollution on labor supply is nonlinear as the environmental quality deteriorates the labor supply will increase at first and then decrease after the peak is reached moreover income level also affects the impact of air pollution on labor supply at a given pollution level the higher the average income the fewer people will work in the city the spatial correlation is verified to be significantly negative suggesting that air pollution in nearby areas has detrimental impacts on the local labor supply

international business cycles with endogenous incomplete markets backus kehoe and kydland 1992 baxter and crucini 1995 and stockman and tesar 1995 find two major discrepancies between standard international business cycle models with complete markets and the data in the models cross country correlations are much higher for consumption than for output while in the data the opposite is true and cross country correlations of employment and investment are negative while in the data they are positive this paper introduces a friction into a standard model that helps resolve these anomalies the friction is that international loans are imperfectly enforceable any country can renege on its debts and suffer the consequences for future borrowing to solve for equilibrium in this economy with endogenous incomplete markets the methods of marcet and marimon 1999 are extended incorporating the friction helps resolve the anomalies more than does exogenously restricting the assets that can be traded

market value for thermal energy of cogeneration using shadow price estimation applied to cogeneration systems in korea abstract this study empirically analyzes the appropriateness of the current tariffs for district heating in korea for this purpose we adopt the duality concept applied to the output distance function and estimate the shadow price of heat produced from cogeneration in addition the analytical model takes account for the inputs of labor and capital as well as fuel as input outlays of cogeneration the empirical results show that the current heat tariff determined by the public energy policy might be undervalued by about 15 53 this implies that the retail price of district heating in korea might be distorted at least in the sense of economics

rational asset pricing bubbles and portfolio constraints this article shows that portfolio constraints can give rise to rational asset pricing bubbles in equilibrium even if there are unconstrained agents in the economy who can benefit from the induced limited arbitrage opportunities furthermore it is shown that bubbles can lead to both multiplicity and real indeterminacy of equilibria the general results are illustrated by two explicitly solved examples where seemingly innocuous portfolio constraints make bubbles a necessary condition for the existence of an equilibrium c 2012 elsevier inc all rights reserved

monopolistic competition and international trade reconsidering the evidence we test some propositions about international trade flows that are derived from models of monopolistic competition developed by elhanan helpman and paul krugman we investigate whether the volume of trade between oecd countries is consistent with the predictions of a model in which all trade is intraindustry trade in differentiated products we then repeat the test with non oecd countries we also investigate whether the share of intraindustry trade is consistent with a more general theoretical model in which some but not all trade is intraindustry trade our results lead us to question the apparent empirical success of these models

interference of regional support policies on the economic and environmental performance of a hybrid cogeneration solar panel energy system abstract this paper assesses unintentional interference between different public policies promoting energy efficiency and renewable energy the paper develops a methodology to study the interference by analysing the economic and technical behaviour of a hybrid energy system the hybrid energy system in this case consists of an existing cogeneration unit extended with a new installation of thermal solar panels this puts two complementary heating technologies in juxtaposition the two technologies are supported with distinct regional support instruments in each region the design and operation of the energy system is optimised from the point of view of the investor according to the different support instruments the optimal configuration is analysed as well as its effect on reduced co 2 emissions during the lifetime of the project the methodology is applied to a case study for two neighbouring regions the netherlands and flanders the policies in the netherlands show a beneficial synergy in flanders the hybrid energy system is not interesting indicating unbalanced high support for cogeneration in this case from the point of view of the authorities a more balanced regional policy as in the netherlands provides a larger co 2 emission reduction for a smaller cost

equilibrium asset prices and exchange rates abstract in a two country two good world we construct an intertemporal international general equilibrium for two logarithmic representative agents financial markets are fully integrated and independently incomplete the equilibrium expected rate of change of the exchange rate increases with the differential of interest rates and the volatility of the domestic equity markets and decreases with the covariance between domestic and foreign equity markets the equilibrium volatility of the exchange rate is the sum of the volatilities due to idiosyncratic factors in the financial markets and a term that represents the difference of weights in the common international factor

heterogeneous preferences and equilibrium trading volume abstract the representative agent lucas model stresses aggregate risk and hence does not allow us to study the impact of agents heterogeneity on the dynamics of equilibrium trading volume in this paper we investigate under what conditions non informational heterogeneity i e differences in preferences and endowments leads to nontrivial trading volume in equilibrium we present a non informational no trade theorem that provides necessary and sufficient conditions for zero equilibrium trading volume in a continuous time lucas market model with heterogeneous agents multiple goods and multiple securities we explain in detail how no trade equilibria are related to autarky equilibria portfolio autarky equilibria and peculiar financial market equilibria which play an important role in the literature on international risk sharing

shadow prices and pollution costs in u s agriculture abstract we use the directional output distance function to derive estimates of production inefficiency shadow prices for polluting outputs and the associated pollution costs using a quadratic functional form for the directional output distance function and data for the u s agricultural sector during 1960 1996 we find that the pollution costs the shadow values from the runoff and leaching of pesticides are 6 of crop and animal revenues and are highest in the midwest and lowest in the western states if states were to reduce technical inefficiency and operate on the production frontier pollution costs could be reduced by 7

monopolistic competition and trade revisited testing the model without testing for gravity abstract in this paper i show that the increasing similarity in gdps among oecd country pairs leads to higher bilateral trade to gdp ratios this finding provides some support for the prediction of helpman j jpn int econ 1 1987 62 whose model explains intra industry trade that is prevalent among developed countries i also show that helpman s prediction is rejected for non oecd countries among which intra industry trade is not critical this result contrasts with the findings of hummels levinsohn q j econ 110 1995 799 which play an important role in the debate about whether or not new trade theory explains international trade patterns at the country level

a model of competitive stock trading volume a model of competitive stock trading is developed in which investors are heterogeneous in their information and private investment opportunities and rationally trade for both informational and noninformational motives i examine the link between the nature of heterogeneity among investors and the behavior of trading volume and its relation to price dynamics it is found that volume is positively correlated with absolute changes in prices and dividends i show that informational trading and noninformational trading lead to different dynamic relations between trading volume and stock returns

measuring economies of scope for cogeneration systems in korea a nonparametric approach this study empirically identifies the existence and the degree of economies of scope for cogeneration systems in korea we derive the index of economies of scope and estimate it by using a nonparametric approach of linear programming method based on the empirical results we explicitly present that there exist economies of scope for cogeneration in korea with total cost reduction of 13 1 in addition we show that the cost saving effects from the jointness in capital and labor are also significant in addition to that in fuel

alternative methods for environmentally adjusted productivity analysis abstract advances in the productivity with which food is produced around the world have been made possible through the intensive use of industrial inputs that have important environmental impacts like standard measures of macroeconomic performance however commonly used measures of agricultural efficiency and productivity account only for marketed commodities and inputs but ignore the environmental effects of these production processes a more complete analysis of trends in the sector s productivity requires the use of models that incorporate these environmental effects to provide better measures of the contributions of the sector from the social point of view this paper compares the conceptual merits and empirical performance of alternative approaches that can be employed for this purpose input distance functions output distance functions nonparametric methods and index number approaches each of the methods has relative strengths and weaknesses the methods are empirically illustrated using data from the canadian pulp and paper industry

some welfare effects of emission allowance trading in a twice regulated industry abstract the 1990 clean air act amendments establish a national market in emission allowances to dramatically reduce so 2 emissions from electric utilities who already face economic regulation regulatory treatment of allowances will affect the new market we present simulation results for a simple industry in which two electric utilities face a common averch johnson regulatory constraint and an emissions constraint in this model the performance of the allowance market depends importantly upon the rate making treatment of compliance assets by utility regulators compared to a command and control scheme the allowance market substantially reduces the cost of achieving a given environmental standard

measuring environmental efficiency of industry a case study of thermal power generation in india technical and environmental efficiency of some coal fired thermal power plants in india is estimated using a methodology that accounts for firm s efforts to increase the production of good output and reduce pollution with the given resources and technology the methodology used is directional output distance function estimates of firm specific shadow prices of pollutants bad outputs and elasticity of substitution between good and bad outputs are also obtained the technical and environmental inefficiency of a representative firm is estimated as 0 06 implying that the thermal power generating industry in andhra pradesh state of india could increase production of electricity by 6 while decreasing generation of pollution by 6 this result shows that there are incentives or win win opportunities for the firms to voluntarily comply with the environmental regulation it is found that there is a significant variation in marginal cost of pollution abatement or shadow prices of bad outputs across the firms and an increasing marginal cost of pollution abatement with respect to pollution reduction by the firms this result calls for the use of economic instruments like pollution taxes instead of command and control regulation used currently in india to reduce air pollution

the potential for cost savings in the sulfur dioxide allowance market empirical evidence from florida since the passage of the 1990 clean air act amendments researchers have hastened to appraise the new market for sulfur dioxide so2 emission allowances as the epa s program moves into its second phase some analysts question whether large enough savings are available to induce widespread market participation this study calculates the shadow prices of emission reductions for power plants that serve florida and compares the actions of utility owners to the actions predicted by the shadow prices the evidence suggests that plant owners have not taken full advantage of the opportunities the allowance market has provided to date

measuring technical efficiency in the presence of pesticide spillovers and production uncertainty the case of dutch arable farms pesticides dynamic effects and production uncertainty play an important role in farmers production decisions pesticides have a current production impact through reducing crop damage in the current period and a future impact through impacting the farm biodiversity which alters the future production environment this study presents the difference in inefficiency arising from models that ignore the dynamic effects of pesticides in production decisions and the impact of production uncertainty a dynamic data envelopment analysis dea model is applied to outputs inputs and undesirables of dutch arable farms over the period 2003 2007 a bootstrap approach is used to explain farmers performance providing empirical representations of the impact of stochastic elements on production these empirical representations are used to adjust firms inefficiency scores to incorporate production uncertainty in efficiency evaluation we find that efficiency increased dramatically when a production technology representation that considers both pesticides dynamic impacts and production uncertainty is adopted

environmentally sensitive productivity analysis of the canadian pulp and paper industry 1959 1994 an input distance function approach abstract this study employs a parametric input distance function that incorporates both desirable and undesirable outputs to provide a more complete representation of the production technology from which environmentally sensitive productivity and efficiency measures can be generated this framework also generates pollution abatement cost estimates that are useful for policy making an input based malmquist index of productivity growth that appropriately credits the producer not only for increases in marketable or desirable outputs but also for the production of improved environmental quality through pollution abatement activities is derived from the input distance function the method was applied to time series data from the canadian pulp and paper industry our shadow price estimates indicate that the marginal cost to producers of pollution control has been rising the main conclusion of this study is that productivity improvement from the social viewpoint has been stronger than conventional measures would suggest

a critical review of distance function based economic research on china s marginal abatement cost of carbon dioxide emissions abstract the last few years have witnessed a rapidly emerging literature estimating the marginal abatement cost or the shadow price of carbon dioxide co2 emissions in china using parametric or non parametric distance function approaches this is largely driven by the fact that china has become the world s largest carbon emitter and thus faced mounting domestic and international pressure to mitigate emissions there is an urgent policy need to model and predict the cost burdens of various mitigation scenarios consistent information about the marginal abatement cost of co2 emissions plays a crucial role in addressing this need however the existing literature has suffered from various issues that have severely weakened the scientific support that these studies could potentially provide for sound policy making this paper provides a thorough and critical review of this rapidly emerging literature and identifies important research directions that need the most attention from scholars

application of the distance function to nonmarket valuation of environmental goods and services an illustrative example abstract this paper develops and implements a unique formulation of a household production model in that technology is characterized as a distance function the properties of the distance function allow for the derivation of shadow prices for the inputs and outputs associated with household production which can be applied to the problem of valuing nonmarket goods or activities the approach requires only one input to or output of household production to bear a price the derivation of shadow prices for all other household inputs outputs follows from the properties of the distance function i demonstrate the approach using data on the waste management activities of a sample of households from marietta georgia and by calculating shadow prices for the nonmarket activity of recycling

sources of emission reductions market and policy stringency effects abstract international trade and economic development affect air emissions previous studies have decomposed their effects into scale composition and technique effects while the scale and composition effects occur through market responses the technique effect is a policy stringency influence through the mix of environmental policies this study analyzes whether the market or policy stringency effects are more prominent previous studies have been unable to adequately separate the market and policy stringency effects to independently measure the technique effect we use two indicators of policy stringency i e shadow prices of energy and industrial energy prices these policy stringency measures are treated as endogenous the effects on six types of air emissions are estimated utilizing a sector specific international panel dataset that includes newly industrialized and former transition economies the empirical results show that the major source of emissions reductions is the policy stringency effect through carbon related policies pollution offshoring to countries with weaker carbon related regulation has a minor role in the reduction of air emissions

capturing the least costly way of reducing pollution a shadow price approach abstract the production analysis literature is increasingly concerned with estimating marginal abatement costs yet most studies do not emphasize the ways in which pollutants may be reduced and their costs which makes them unable to identify the least costly compliance strategy this paper utilizes the materials balance principle to relate pollution to the employment of material inputs a production model which allows input and output substitution downscaling of operations pollution control and emission permits purchases as compliance strategies is proposed and the implications of joint and non joint pollution controls for the trade off between pollutants and desirable outputs are considered marginal abatement costs reflecting the least costly way of compliance are derived by exploiting the duality between the directional distance function and the profit function

international real business cycles we ask whether a two country real business cycle model can account simultaneously for domestic and international aspects of business cycles with this question in mind we document a number of discrepancies between theory and data the most striking discrepancy concerns the correlations of consumption and output across countries in the data outputs are generally more highly correlated across countries than consumptions in the model we see the opposite

justifying the incorporation of the materials balance principle into frontier based eco efficiency models frontier based models are an alternative to traditional eco efficiency ratio indicators this paper considers two different types environmentally adjusted production efficiency models and frontier eco efficiency models and tries to find justification for incorporating the materials balance principle mbp in them similar importance is attached to the economic and environmental outcomes of a production process like economic outcomes can be derived from inputs and outputs and respective prices some cases allow for deriving environmental outcomes from the production function with the mbp after an overview of attempts to incorporate environmental issues in production efficiency models and some reflections why mbp has been neglected in environmental economics and production efficiency analysis the paper gives basic principles to incorporate the mbp in conventional production efficiency methods and shows how this adjustment leads to a more diversified diagnosis of eco efficiency finally potentialities and bottlenecks are discussed exploiting the mbp in production efficiency and eco efficiency analysis will facilitate more pro active eco efficiency research

on trees and logs abstract in this paper we contrast the main workhorse model in asset pricing theory the lucas 1978 tree model lt model to a benchmark model in financial equilibrium theory the real assets model ra model it is commonly believed that the two models entail similar conclusions since the lt model is a special case of the ra model but this is simply wrong implications of these models can be strikingly at odds indeed under the widely used log linear specification of households preferences we show that for a large set of initial endowments the lt model even with potentially complete financial markets admits only peculiar financial equilibria in which the stock market is completely degenerate in that all stocks offer the same investment opportunity and yet allocation is pareto optimal we investigate why the lt model is so much at variance with the ra model and uncover new results on uniqueness of financial equilibria and introduction of portfolio constraints obtaining in the lt model but not in the ra model