handbook of natural resource and energy economics allan v kneese and james l sweeney eds vol ii north holland amsterdam 1985 d fl 215 00

generalized travel cost model and water quality benefits a reconsideration with federal agencies required to conduct benefit cost analyses for each new major regulation analyses of water quality changes are likely to be an increasingly important part of the policymaking process a revised version of the travel cost demand model and illustrations show the importance of these revisions for the model s estimates although the magnitude of the difference in benefit estimates between the original and new versions of the model varies with the specific recreation site selected the findings indicate that the original model generally implied estimated benefits from three to over 30 times as large as the revised model this implies that judgment can play an important role in the definition and use of economic models as well as the need for better information on households recreation decisions and more complete description of recreation site characteristics 15 references 4 tables

the environmental economic impact of woodland a two stage hedonic price model of the amenity value of forestry in britain woodland is an important part of the environment providing economic benefits through its use in commercial timber production and through its value as an amenity as well as providing recreation for visitors woodland is also important to local residents for whom it provides leisure opportunities and a source of aesthetic enjoyment it is well known that the price of a house may reflect a household s willingness to pay to live near an environmental amenity such as a forest and to gain access to it the nature of this relationship may be examined by applying the hedonic price technique an econometric method which investigates house prices and the variation in structural and environment characteristics over space this study uses a two stage hedonic price model to explore the impact of forest type on house price and to estimate the demand for broadleaved woodland for a sample of houses adjacent to forestry commission land

deviations from purchasing power parity in the long run this paper demonstrates that deviations from purchasing power parity reveal a remarkable and possibly startling consistency with martingale behavior during both fixed and flexible rate periods for a wide variety of countries and in both monthly and annual data since this pattern appears to be much more general than one would expect on the basis of models founded on international commodity arbitrage the paper proposes an alternative explanation which instead relies on financial arbitrage in bonds as the underlying mechanism this paper will demonstrate that deviations from purchasing power parity ppp reveal a remarkable and possibly startling consistency with martingale behavior during both fixed and flexible exchange rate periods for a wide variety of countries and in both monthly and annual data this pattern appears to be much more general than one would expect on the basis of models founded on international commodity arbitrage the paper therefore proposes an alternative explanation which does not presuppose free trade in goods but which instead relies on financial arbitrage in bonds as the underlying mechanism the major implication of the theory and the results is that ppp is as likely to be violated in the long as in the short run as an empirical matter deviations from ppp can be observed for most currencies at any instant see kravis et al 21 stockman 37 and genberg 15 among others these deviations are typically both cumulative and persistent the real exchange rate can remain on either side of parity for lengthy but variable time intervals of a year or more as a consequence the current consensus shared

national price levels purchasing power parity and cointegration a test of four high inflation economies abstract the time series properties of exchange rates and wholesale prices from four high inflation countries show some evidence in support of purchasing power parity tests for stationarity of real exchange rates and cointegration among price and exchange rate variables are presented for argentina brazil chile and israel during the 1970s and 1980s error correction models describe the mechanism of adjustment to long run equilibrium

sme growth the relationship with business advice and external collaboration the paper presents multivariate analysis of the relationship of sme growth with the acquisition of external business advice whilst controlling for the influence of sme characteristics of age manufacturing services high technology innovator level of skill of the workforce exporter and number of competitors the relationship of external business advice with sme performance is statistically significant for only a small number of sources and fields obtaining external advice in fields such as business strategy and staff recruitment is associated with positive firm performance the main positive relationships of advice and performance are dominated by private sector sources such as lawyers suppliers customers and business friends relatives collaborative arrangements with suppliers nationally internationally have a strong positive relationship with employment and turnover growth collaboration with local suppliers has a strong positive relationship with growth in profitability there is little evidence of statistically significant relationships between government backed providers of business advice such as business link and firm performance

employment growth determinants in new firms in eastern germany the unification of both germanies and the introduction of the market economy in eastern germany came as a shock to existing firms and led to an enormous boom in the establishment of new firms the first section of this paper shows that during the period under observation january 1991 june 1995 the number of firms nearly doubled and in 1995 nearly 50 of all jobs were to be found in firms established after 1991 shortly after unification a kind of start window existed during which the conditions for establishment growth and survival of firms were extraordinarily good the next section deals with the determinates of the growth of these newly founded firms most determinants have been selected on the basis of the most recent studies by bruderl preisendorfer and ziegler 1996 and storey 1994 the analysis included not only establishment characteristics but also strategic factors such as the technological status of the establishment the proportion of sales in interregional markets and a corporate competitive strategy indicator a comparison of these results with other studies shows that the determinants that affect employment growth in new firms in eastern german are apparently the same as in western germany and britain albeit to different extents

real exchange rate behaviour evidence from black markets the behaviour of real exchange rates relative to the us dollar is examined using monthly data obtained from the black markets for foreign exchange of eight asian developing countries the data span is 31 years the black market real exchange rates do not show excess volatility during the recent float which is in sharp contrast to the results reported elsewhere unit root tests in heterogeneous panels and variance ratio tests confirm their stationarity thus we find support for ppp but not for the survivorship bias froot and rogoff 1995 there is little evidence of segmented trends issues raised by rogoff 1996 of whether ppp would hold across countries with differing growth experience and lothian and taylor 1996 of whether the degree of relative price volatility may bias results in favour of mean reverting real exchange rates are addressed copyright 2000 john wiley sons ltd

the value of changes in deer hunting quality a travel cost approach 1988 the value of changes in deer hunting quality a travel cost approach applied economics vol 20 no 4 pp 533 539

businesses without glamour an analysis of resources on performance by size and age in small service and retail firms abstract research on factors influencing performance in new and small companies is extensive earlier work found that strategies e g cost quality differentiation etc affected performance contingent on industry conditions the environment and the entrepreneur s background although this work provides a solid basis for understanding differences in entrepreneurial performance some firms are limited in their choices of strategy due to size age or industry often these firms are in industries where entry barriers are low and competitive advantages are easily imitated small service and retail businesses operate in sectors where these conditions are apparent comprising more than 50 of all small firms they require minimal start up investments but face intense competition lacking the glamour of high innovation high growth firms service and retail companies are at the end of the value chain their fortunes rising and falling as a result of the direct influence of the owner founder hence performance variation may be better explained by the capabilities of the firm or individual competencies of the owner founder that is the resource base and resource combinations rather than strategy the strategic importance of an organization s resources and capabilities is the foundation of resource based theory resources are tangible and intangible assets tied to the firm in a relatively permanent fashion their combinations are heterogeneous and form the basis for product market strategies studies of resources strategies and performance are emerging in the entrepreneurial area research shows that various resources in concert with different strategy types can lead to above average performance over the business life cycle and that combinations of resources are related to survival yet the vast majority of work focuses on high growth high tech or manufacturing businesses less is known about the relationships of resources to performance in less glamorous sectors in these small service and retail businesses we speculate that resources in particular human and organizational resources may play a greater role in explaining performance than strategy further as other authors have suggested it is expected that the combinations of these resources will vary across age and size this study examines the influence of human and organizational resources on performance in a sample of 195 service and retail firms operating in central new jersey using a structured questionnaire all companies utilized a focus strategy either focused cost or focused differentiation and employed a minimum of 3 to a maximum of 100 employees all measures had theoretical and or empirical precedent and were tested statistically for reliability we used factor analysis to reduce the independent variables to two human resource variables owner resources and commitment one organizational resource variable comprised of planning systems and staff skills and one strategy variable focused cost and focused differentiation control variables were business age business size environmental benignness and industry growth the dependent variable performance was measured in two ways net cash flow and log of growth in employees over 3 years the study first examined whether strategy or resources had a greater influence on performance results showed that strategy influenced performance less than human and organizational resources both individually and interactively the influence of owner resources background and attitudes on net cash flow was stronger than on growth where the only significant variable was industry market growth to analyze effects of resources on performance by size we divided the sample by size groupings selecting the smallest maximum five employees and largest quartiles minimum 16 employees which were comprised of 55 and 50 companies respectively these analyses showed that owner resources commitment and organizational resources contributed positively to net cash flow in very small firms however interactive effects of these resource combinations were negative for instance owner resources and organizational resources together and organizational resources and commitment together resulted in less positive cash flow than when analyzed separately this implies that different resource combinations can have negative influences in these very small firms we examined age effects in the same manner as size dividing the sample into age group quartiles and conducting an analysis only for very young fewer than 5 years and very old minimum 19 years groups which comprised 54 and 52 companies respectively these analyses showed that although growth was more rapid among the youngest firms there were no distinctive resource based correlates to growth in either age group substantive increases in formalized systems and procedures were not apparent among the oldest of these companies compared with the youngest contrary to previous work showing the evolution of these over business life cycles results of this study are applicable only in the context of service and retail firms and readers should note this sample was nonrandom and geographically concentrated our purpose was not to predict but describe associations between resources and performance this study shows that for firms in competitive industries at the end of the value chain type of strategy is less important than resource combinations for certain types of performance human and organizational resources are associated with more positive cash flow whereas industry and market factors are related to growth these results imply that firms seeking growth are best served by selecting and entering growth markets and industries on the other hand if strong positive cash flows are the primary objective attention to combinations of resources is more important for instance owner founders having a strong business and managerial background and industry experience will need less formalized systems whereas those owner founders with weaker managerial resources might benefit from more formalized procedures and skilled staff

does ppp hold in the transition economies the case of poland hungary this paper uses non stationarity and cointegration of time series to investigate the validity of long run purchasing power parity for poland and hungary for the period 1981 1 1993 2 long run ppp is examined vis a vis three countries the united states united kingdom and germany although the nominal exchange rates and relative price ratios between poland and hungary and each of the three countries are non stationaary they are not cointegrated indicating a rejection of the hypothesis this conclusion is supported by the real exchange rate which follows a random walk

an empirical examination of long run purchasing power parity as theory of international commodity arbitrage an empirical analysis of long run purchasing power parity ppp as a theory of international commodity arbitrage between uk and us prices and the sterling us dollar exchange rate for the period 1975 1980 is presented econometric techniques concerning the cointegration of economic time series are applied to a sample of 35 manufactured commodities which in 1977 constituted approximately a quarter of the net output of all manufacturing industry in great britain our results are extremely unfavourable to the ppp hypothesis as a stable long run proportionality between exchange rates and disaggregated prices

wealth enterprise and credit policy empirical evidence suggests that capital market constraints prevent low wealth individuals from setting up in business this paper shows this finding to be consistent with socially excessive lending and an interest rate tax being welfare improving one feature of the model banks inability to identify entrepreneurial quality leads to excessive bank lending and investment in low return projects the reduction in the probability of bankruptcy lowers the cost of borrowing and eliminates deadweight costs and hence promotes entry if the incentive effects are sufficiently large wealth and the volume of entrepreneurial activity move together a key result of the paper is to show that a market equilibrium in which there is a positive relationship between entry and the level of wealth is consistent with either subsidies to inactivity or taxes on interest raising welfare

valuing the recreational benefits from the creation of nature reserves in irish forests abstract data from a large scale contingent valuation study are used to investigate the effects of forest attributes on willingness to pay for forest recreation in ireland in particular the presence of a nature reserve in the forest is found to significantly increase the visitors willingness to pay a random utility model is used to estimate the welfare change associated with the creation of nature reserves in all the irish forests currently without one the yearly impact on visitors economic welfare of new nature reserves approaches half a million pounds per annum exclusive of non recreational values

ppp strikes back aggregation and the real exchange rate we show the importance of a dynamic aggregation bias in accounting for the ppp puzzle we prove that the aggregate real exchange rate is persistent because its components have heterogeneous dynamics established time series and panel methods fail to control for this using eurostat data we find that when heterogeneity is taken into account the estimated persistence of real exchange rates falls dramatically its half life for instance may fall to as low as eleven months significantly below the consensus view of three to five years

on the choice of funtional form for hedonic price functions this study examines how errors in measuring marginal attribute pric es vary with the form of the hedonic price function in simulations consumers with known utility functions bid for houses with given attributes various forms of the hedonic function are estimated using equilibrium housing prices errors in estimating marginal attribute prices are calculated by comparing each consumer s equilibrium marginal bid vector with the gradient of the hedonic function when all attributes are observed linear and quadratic box cox forms produce lowest mean percentage errors however when some attributes are unobserved or are replaced by proxies linear and linear box cox functions perform best copyright 1988 by mit press

real exchange rate behavior the recent float from the perspective of the past two centuries using annual data spanning two centuries for dollar sterling and franc sterling real exchange rates we find strong evidence of mean reverting real exchange rate behavior using simple stationary autoregressive models estimated on prefloat data we easily outperform nonstationary real exchange rate models in dynamic forecasting exercises over the recent float such stationary univariate equations explain 60 80 percent of the in sample variation in real exchange rates although the degree of short run persistence may be high the econometric estimates imply a half life of shocks to the real exchange rate of about 6 years for dollar sterling and a little under 3 years for franc sterling

what characterizes a fast growing firm this paper seeks to empirically identify factors that influence the probability of being a fast growing firm in eastern and western germany descriptive analyses have shown that most firms experience only small positive or negative employment growth or stagnate over time the job generation mechanism rests with a handful of firms that increase their employment significantly over time the empirical analysis shows that the probability of being a fast growing firm depends on different factors when separating eastern and western germany as well as using different definitions of fast growing firms moreover the analysis shows that technology intensive manufacturing branches and knowledge based business related services do not generate the majority of fast growing firms

purchasing power parity in the long run a test of the dollar pound exchange rate 1890 1978 this paper tests the purchasing power parity ppp hypothesis by analyzing t he long run tendency of the dollar pound exchange rate using data sin ce 1890 two different models are considered 1 a na ive model and 2 a modified monetary model the conditions of propor tionality and symmetry cannot be rejected when using the naive model the final results using the monetary model however indicate that t he existence of permanent deviations from ppp cannot be ruled out copyright 1987 by ohio state university press

the role of legal status in influencing bank financing and new firm growth this paper examines the characteristics of new firm founders who use loans and overdrafts from the clearing banks to finance initially their business bank lending to new firms appears unrelated to the personal characteristics of founders but related to whether individuals provide personal savings and the legal status of the business this contrasts with the factors which influence the growth of new firms here the founder s age employment status and birthplace are associated with larger firms the only variable which appears to influence consistently both bank lending and the employment growth in firms is whether or not the business is a limited company

are asian real exchange rates mean reverting evidence from univariate and panel lm unit root tests with one and two structural breaks there are a number of studies that examine the purchasing power parity ppp hypothesis the empirical findings from the extant literature for the ppp hypothesis are mixed this article applies univariate and panel lagrange multiplier lm unit root tests with one and two structural breaks to real exchange rates for 15 asian countries the univariate lm unit root tests find evidence of ppp for two thirds of the sample the results from the panel lm unit root test support long run ppp for the asian countries in the sample the results from the lm panel unit root tests differ from those of existing panel unit root tests of ppp for asian countries that have not allowed for the existence of structural breaks

the real exchange rate and macroeconomic performance in sub saharan africa abstract pooled time series and cross section data for 33 countries in sub saharan africa ssa confirm the negative relationship between the real exchange rate rer misalignment and economic performance economic growth imports exports saving and investment macroeconomic instability also slows growth and other indicators of performance higher levels of misalignment are accompanied by higher levels of macroeconomic instability both lower levels of rer misalignment and instability lead to better economic performance the edwards model of rer determination performs well for the region black market premia tend to show a greater degree of misalignment in rer than alternative measures

does more mean worse three decades of enterprise policy in the tees valley this paper argues that there have been three distinct phases of enterprise policy in the uk in the past 30 years the 1970s saw no effective enterprise policy policy off the 1980s witnessed an attempt to increase the number of start ups and the 1990s saw a concentration on business quality this paper looks at how enterprise has evolved in cleveland tees valley over the past three decades it suggests and finds that businesses in the 1980s were more numerous but of lower quality even if the influence of unemployment is accounted for than those from the 1970s and 1990s this implies that we should be cautious about the value of policy attempts to increase business formation rates in areas such as cleveland tees valley

testing for absolute purchasing power parity abstract purchasing power parity ppp is an equilibrium condition equating the nominal exchange rate between two countries with the relative price of an identical bundle of goods in each country previous time series researchers use price indices to study ppp so they test relative ppp we use new data that measures price levels so we test absolute ppp price levels provide a test of absolute ppp because unlike price indices price levels do not contain a base period in which the nominal exchange rate equals the price ratio by construction we find support for absolute ppp

cointegration how short is the long run abstract when testing for cointegration and faced with short sample periods it is common for researchers to turn to more frequently sampled observations that is to move from annual to quarterly or monthly data in order to increase the number of observations we argue that such a gain in the degrees of freedom is more apparent than real essentially cointegration is a long run concept and hence requires long spans of data to give tests for cointegration much power rather than merely large numbers of observations using monte carlo simulations we demonstrate this for four popular tests for cointegration

real exchange rate behavior and economic performance in ldcs in recent years policy discussions have included increasing references to real exchange rate rer stability and correct exchange rate alignment as crucial conditions to improve economic performance in less developed countries ldcs 1 evidence from latin american asian and african countries is often quoted to support the view that the link between rer behavior and economic performance is strong it is argued that while unstable rers inhibited export growth in some of latin america their stability was fundamental in promoting east asian expansion in many african countries on the other hand persistently misaligned local currencies harmed the development of agriculture reducing domestic food supply 2 but in spite of its importance no empirical work has been attempted either to test the relationship between rer behavior and performance indicators at a broad multicountry level or to investigate the sources of rer variability and misalignment in ldcs the theoretical literature on rer determinants has been recently surveyed by sebastian edwards 3 he distinguishes between equilibrium and disequilibrium rers and between external and domestic rer determinants although domestic policies are often said to account for significant rer variations empirical work has only concentrated on the effect of nominal devaluations4 or speculative crises arising from expansionary monetary policies in a system of fixed ex

selection and recreation demand increased use of on site and user group surveys to estimate travel cost demand models e g caulkins bishop and bowes smith and desvousges has raised inevitable questions about the significance of relying on demand estimates derived solely from surveys of users many of the questions relate to selection effects that is the potential for specification errors and bias caused by an inability to reflect the decisions of nonusers with these types of surveys this issue has received some attention in the recreation literature brown et al bockstael and mcconnell but specific empirical evidence on the implications of alternative approaches for estimating demand models from on site surveys does not exist this article reports the first such evidence using a data set based on a general population sample to compare five methods for estimating travel cost demand models with microdata the findings suggest that the differences in the demand and in the benefit estimates raised by treating the problem using models with either single heckman or double selection catsiapis and robinson ham poirier effects are small however the effects of using alternative estimators for site demands are not these findings are limited because they apply to only one site nonetheless they do highlight the importance of the assumptions used to consider the behavior of nonusers consequently they provide direct motivation for more detailed conceptual and empirical work on the choice processes underlying recreation decisions

strategic experimentation understanding change and performance in new ventures abstract this research was motivated by an interest in understanding more about the extent to which entrepreneurs initiate changes along various dimensions of strategy the nature of those changes and their implications for firm performance our interest in this topic began with the observation that within the large body of strategic change literature the research effort has focused almost exclusively on large and established firms moreover a fundamental assumption underlying much of this work is that strategic change involves movement from one dominant strategic approach to another this premise does little to motivate or contribute to the understanding of change and strategy in new ventures where it is less likely that a dominant approach exists thus we drew upon the literature in managerial cognition to develop the idea of strategic experimentation as the conceptual foundation for studying change and strategy in new ventures our basic premise is that in new ventures changes along dimensions of strategy are reflective of a process of trial and error learning whereby the entrepreneur seeks to develop an understanding of the competitive situation and determine how to compete within that context further we suggest that some aspects of the firm s strategy are more likely to be the focus of experimentation than others building on these premises we developed a series of research hypotheses which propose that the greater the level of perceived environmental hostility the higher the level of strategic experimentation that will be undertaken we also propose that experimentation will always be greater along some dimensions of strategy than others and that the degree of environmental hostility will influence the extent to which there are performance benefits associated with strategic experimentation our hypotheses are tested using data from a three year study of over 400 young businesses overall we find support for our assertions for entrepreneurs and their advisors this study has several important implications first it suggests that strategic experimentation is a normal part of the process by which entrepreneurs seek to position their businesses although the present study does not empirically address the linkage between formal planning and experimentation the learning and cognition literature upon which the construct of strategic experimentation is based suggests that no matter how much attention to detail is involved in the preparation of the business plan the actual formation and development of the business will involve considerable adjustment to and or deviation from that plan this is because the process of new business development involves iterative changes in the way the entrepreneur positions his her firm as he she develops an understanding about what does and does not work the results of this study further suggest that some dimensions of the firm s strategy are more likely to change than others specifically it appears that peripheral changes competitive emphasis and time allocation are more likely to be the focus of such learning and adaptation efforts than core features product scope and partnership status this in part is because the former dimensions are easier to change than the latter moreover our results show that ventures in more hostile environments clearly face difficult dilemmas although poor performance may stimulate experimentation along various dimensions of strategy the complexity of learning within a hostile environment suggests that entrepreneurs will have a particularly difficult time determining the type of changes that will make a difference

double counting in hedonic and travel cost models agency is responsible for reducing pollution in a lake the pollution causes economic damage because the lake is less attractive for fishing and swimming evidence of the influence of pollution can be found through judicious sifting of the prices of houses near the lake and from reduced recreational use of the lake the administrator of the environmental agency responsible for the lake wants to reduce the pollution in the lake but cognizant of scarce resources wants some evidence that the expensive investment in publicly owned treatment works will yield commensurate benefits consequently she contracts with two economists for research on the benefits of environmental improvements one will study the damages from the perspective of the housing market the other will study the damages through the demand for recreation when the environmental administrator receives the estimates of damages from the two economists should she add them together this is the basic question explored in this paper both travel cost models of recreation demand and hedonic models of housing can produce measures of pollution damages when applied to the same polluted resources do travel cost models and hedonic models measure the same damage this analysis is similar in spirit but much simpler than that of rosen 1979 and roback 1982 the latter work examines an equilibrium when the wage and the land price are affected by amenity levels the use of hedonic models to value access is not new the spatial equilibrium model of a city can be viewed as a predecessor of the hedonic price model in this model formalized by alonso 1964 the land rent gradient represents a tradeoff between commuting time and space in the hedonic context nelson 1977 shows how the demand for commuting time and the price of housing interact to influence housing prices accessibility in some form as a proxy for travel time is a popular attribute of houses in hedonic models the issue addressed in this paper has relevance for litigation and for policy it arises in cases of cercla comprehensive environmental response compensation and liability act concerned with the recovery of natural resource damages freeman 1987 describes a case where a hazardous substance released into new bedford harbor apparently had an impact on the housing market near the harbor and on the recreational use of the harbor this impact was studied with both a hedonic model and a travel cost model double counting is also a relevant issue when access to resources which are valued for their recreational returns are addressed in a hedonic framework

purchasing power parity abstract this paper examines the purchasing power parity henceforth ppp using historical data and the cointegration approach the results indicate that the exchange rate is cointegrated with the wholesale price index wpi ratio but not with the consumer price index cpi ratio the cointegrating vector is close to 0 1 for the cpi based real exchange rates however we cannot reject the random walk hypothesis the findings caution us on the use of general price indexes that give a large weight to nontraded goods and are therefore subject to long run deviations from ppp

comparing welfare estimates of environmental quality changes from recreation demand models abstract this paper presents a procedure for examining the reliability of welfare estimates resulting from the estimation of multiple site recreation demand models a simulation approach is suggested where a utility function is combined with observations on individual and site characteristics to generate simulated data sets welfare measures associated with an improvement in site quality are calculated recreation demand models are estimated using the simulated data sets estimated welfare measures resulting from the recreation demand models are then compared to the true welfare measures calculated from the simulated data the procedure is demonstrated using two commonly employed recreation demand models

does the real exchange rate follow a random walk the pacific basin perspective abstract in this paper we present evidence that dispels the view that ppp has broken down during the 1970s and 1980s evidence from unit root tests of the real exchange rate indicate that ppp held as a long run equilibrium condition for eight pacific basin countries over the period 1974 to 1987 in contrast we find the nominal exchange rates to be non stationary additional evidence however shows that strong trend components bind the nominal exchange rates of that set of countries together jel f31

the overvaluation of renminbi undervaluation we evaluate whether the renminbi rmb is misaligned relying upon conventional statistical methods of inference a framework built around the relationship between relative price and relative output levels is used we find that once sampling uncertainty and serial correlation are accounted for there is little statistical evidence that the rmb is undervalued even though the point estimates usually indicate economically significant misalignment the result is robust to various choices of country samples and sample periods as well as to the inclusion of control variables

schools and housing values this study combines historical and quantitative methods to determine the market response to a major nineteenth century american urban architectural form the speculatively built row house the paper estimates a hedonic price index which decomposes the

the creation and growth of small business service firms in post industrial britain since 1980 the united kingdom has experienced a dramatic growth in firms and employment in information intensive business services such as management consultancy and market research this article reports the results of the first substantial nation wide investigation into the nature and causes of small professional business service firm growth in britain undertaken in 1991 it reveals marked differences in the characteristics markets and competitive requirements of such firms compared with small manufacturing firms the demand for their services comes predominantly from large companies and is more focussed on financial and other services and government but small firms are also making increasing use of business services specialised expertise reputation and educational and professional qualifications are essential prerequisites for the establishment of new business service firms their success is also being enhanced by increasing use of informal networking collaborative partnerships and subcontracting

landscape amenities and local development a review of migration regional economic and hedonic pricing studies abstract with rapid urban expansion and loss of open space attractive local landscapes will continue to gain importance in location decisions and on political agendas the present study reviews the evidence on the local economic role of landscape amenities from two major strands of empirical research migration and regional economic models and hedonic pricing models following common amenity definitions we identify 71 relevant peer reviewed studies and systematically assess the reported effects of the landscape amenity variables the migration and regional economic studies suggest that migrants are attracted by amenities nearly as often as by low taxes reported effects of amenities on income and employment are less consistent the hedonic studies suggest that nature reserves and land cover diversity have mostly open space and forest often and agricultural land rarely positive effects on housing prices studies at larger geographic scales and studies involving urban areas were more likely to identify significant amenity effects some limitations of the evidence may be overcome with better datasets and modeling approaches however in line with other recent work the limitations also highlight the need for complementary information from the analysis of political preferences for land use management

self employment wealth and job creation the roles of gender non pecuniary motivation and entrepreneurial ability this paper uses national child development study data for a large cohort of british individuals to explore the influence of education inheritance and other background characteristics on the propensity to become self employed and also on subsequent success as measured by job and wealth creation for the first time we study the effects of our regressor variables on our success measures via disaggregation of our sample by gender and in this way reveal striking differences between the determinants of male and female entrepreneurial performance

what makes a new business start up successful this paper seeks a good measure of new business performance and then explains this measure by various dimensions of business strategy three criteria are used to create a one dimensional ordinal ranking of high medium and low performance for new business starts employment growth return on capital employed and labour productivity it is shown that statistical cluster analysis provides a convincing separation of a sample of new business starts into high medium and low performance categories using a minimum distance criterion for clustering an ordinal logit model with selection is then used to explain this performance ranking the results indicate that many widely discussed features of small business strategy have little or even negative impact on performance of the numerous aims that owner managers may adopt survival growth etc only one appears to have a major impact on performance the pursuit of the highest rate of return on investment many entrepreneurial perceptions of their own capabilities appear false or unimportant with the exception of organisational features and systems

initial human and financial capital as predictors of new venture performance abstract this research seeks to predict the performance of new ventures based on factors that can be observed at the time of start up indicators of initial human and financial capital are considered to determine how they bear upon the probability of three possible performance outcomes 1 failure 2 marginal survival or 3 high growth four categories of initial human and financial capital are examined general human capital represented here by the entrepreneur s education gender and race may reflect the extent to which the entrepreneur has had the opportunity to develop relevant skills and contacts management know how embodied in the entrepreneur or available through advisors or partners reflects management specific skills and knowledge without regard to the kind of business industry specific know how reflects specific experience in similar businesses financial capital is one of the most visible resources it can create a buffer against random shocks and allow the pursuit of more capital intensive strategies which are better protected from imitation the study utilizes a longitudinal study of 1053 new ventures representative of all industry sectors and geographical regions the research departs from most previous studies in considering different measures of performance marginal survival and growth and in considering explicitly whether the factors contributing to marginal survival differ from those contributing to high growth it was found that measures of general human capital influenced both survival and growth except for gender with women owned ventures being less likely to grow but just as likely to survive management know how variables had more limited impact having parents who had owned a business contributed to marginal survival but not to growth number of partners contributed to growth but not to survival management level prior employment in non profit organizations or not having been in the labor force and the use of professional advisors did not have significant effects industry specific know how contributed to both survival and growth amount of initial financial capital also contributed to both the usefulness of the model is enhanced by the fact that the resource variables considered are relatively easy to assess and all can be considered at the time of start up although some of the human capital variables cannot easily be changed the benefits or risks associated with each can be assessed in some cases potential problems can be identified so that plans can be modified to improve prospects overall it appears that using a model based upon the initial human and financial capital of the venture it is possible to predict the performance of new ventures with some degree of confidence

long run purchasing power parity during the recent float abstract this paper examines the relevance of long run purchasing power parity ppp which allows for measurement errors during the recent floating exchange rate period previous empirical studies generally fail to find support for long run ppp over this period in this paper in this paper the cointegration property of exchange rates and prices is examined using maximum likelihood procedure and we find significant evidence favorable to long run ppp further tests for symmetry and proportionality indicate that these two conditions are not generally with the data the results support the hypothesis of long run ppp with measurement errors in prices

entrepreneurship and local economic resilience the impact of institutional hysteresis in peripheral places this article examines how the legacies of the past in peripheral post industrial places serve to shape current and future entrepreneurial activity and with it local economic resilience drawing on in depth qualitative interviews with key regional stakeholders the article reveals how peripheral post industrial places are constrained by their histories this is found to be manifest in different ways such as low aspirations generational unemployment and a loss of identity which are in turn compounded by negative perceptions of place and opportunity these issues culminate in institutional hysteresis at the local level and constrain entrepreneurial ambition the article argues that the rigidity and reproduction of informal institutions continues to stymie economic resilience and growth we conclude by reflecting on the implications for entrepreneurship in peripheral post industrial places as well as with recommendations for policy

costs and benefits of housing subsidies to tenants from voluntary and involuntary rent control a comparison between tenures and income groups this paper estimates the economic subsides to housing for different groups using the 1988 joseph rowntree memorial trust sample survey of households an olsen type model is used to estimate consumber surplus to households from subsidized housing these estimates are compared to costs and housing services in the owner occupier market poorer families receive larger benefits than richer families transfer efficiency is not high but the local authority sector receives the greatest benefits from controlled rents

the choice of functional forms for hedonic price equations comment abstract rosen 13 freeman 4 halvorsen and pollakowski 6 and others have stressed that economic theory does not suggest an appropriate functional form for hedonic price functions 1 it consequently is reasonable to try several functional forms and utilize the multiple regression equation with the best performance in this spirit halvorsen and pollakowski 6 recommend using the box cox flexible functional form for hedonic analysis and measuring best performance with a goodness of fit test the box cox methodology has also been adapted in hedonic studies by goodman 5 linneman 10 blomquist and worley 1 and eberts and gronberg 3 2 the box cox is particularly suited for testing functional forms because many familiar forms such as semilog log linear and translog are subsets of the flexible box cox permitting nested hypothesis testing in this note we illustrate that the formal hypothesis testing advantage of the box cox functional form is purchased at the expense of other important goals the goal of most hedonic studies is to estimate the prices of the characteristics to measure the response to changes in the prices and or to predict future expenditures using a best fit criterion to choose functional forms does not necessarily lead to more accurate estimates of characteristic prices in fact the large number of coefficients estimated with the box cox functional form reduces the accuracy of any single coefficient which could lead to poorer estimates of specific prices second because any negative number raised to a noninteger real power is imaginary the traditional box cox functional form is not suited to any data set containing negative numbers third the box cox functional form may be inappropriate for prediction since the mean predicted value of the untransformed dependent variable need not equal the mean of the sample upon which it is estimated the predicted untransformed variable housing value will be biased the predicted untransformed dependent variable may also be imaginary fourth the nonlinear transformation results in complex estimates of slopes and elasticities which are often too cumbersome to use properly we discuss each of these drawbacks and quantify them when possible in the remainder of this note

cointegration tests of purchasing power parity in africa abstract despite two decades of implementing economic reforms there is still a significant gap between official and black market exchange rates in africa african policy makers continue to implement exchange rate policies based largely on the assumption that purchasing power parity ppp holds this paper examines whether there is empirical support for ppp in africa we used johansen s cointegration technique and error correction modeling on annual data for black market exchange rates and cpi in 30 countries covering 1960 97 we found strong support for the ppp doctrine as a useful guide for exchange rate policy reform in africa

an economic estimate of the effect of a waterside location on property values since the rise of the railway and the later development of road transport the economic value of inland waterways in the uk as freight carriers has steadily declined the reduction in the economic importance of canals has been somewhat offset by their growing popularity as a recreational resource and by the amenity value which they provide to that part of the population living in close proximity to them focussing on two case study areas this paper uses an hedonic price model to estimate the economic benefits which residents gain from a waterside location these benefits may have important policy implications for those bodies who own undeveloped land bordering waterways

spatial heterogeneity of willingness to pay for forest management the paper investigates the spatial heterogeneity of public s preferences for the implementation of a new country wide forest management and protection program in poland spatial econometric methods and high resolution geographical information system data related to forest characteristics are used to explain the variation in individual specific willingness to pay wtp values derived from a discrete choice experiment study we find that respondents wtp is higher the closer they live to their nearest forest and the scarcer forests are in the area where they live interestingly the higher the ecological value of forests in respondents area the more people prefer extending areas of national forest protection we also investigate spatial patterns in individual specific wtp scores and in latent class membership probabilities finding that preferences are indeed spatially clustered we argue that this clustering should be taken into account in forest management and policy making

the purchasing power parity debate originally propounded by the 16th century scholars of the university of salamanca the concept of purchasing power parity ppp was revived in the interwar period in the context of the debate concerning the appropriate level at which to re establish international exchange rate parities broadly accepted as a long run equilibrium condition in the post war period it first was advocated as a short run equilibrium by many international economists in the first few years following the breakdown of the bretton woods system in the early 1970s and then increasingly came under attack on both theoretical and empirical grounds from the late 1970s to the mid 1990s accordingly over the last three decades a large literature has built up that examines how much the data deviated from theory and the fruits of this research have provided a deeper understanding of how well ppp applies in both the short run and the long run since the mid 1990s larger datasets and nonlinear econometric methods in particular have improved estimation as deviations narrowed between real exchange rates and ppp so did the gap narrow between theory and data and some degree of confidence in long run ppp began to emerge again in this respect the idea of long run ppp now enjoys perhaps its strongest support in more than 30 years a distinct reversion in economic thought

the amenity value of woodland in great britain a comparison of economic estimates forests produce benefits over and above the revenue yielded from timber and other wood based products most important among these may be the recreational benefits for visitors which have been examined in several studies total benefits for residents are perhaps more accurately captured in property values since ceteris paribus the price of a house reflects willingness to pay to live near an environmental amenity such as a forest to gain access to it and also the amenity non use value of the forest in so far as it creates a pleasant landscape however the total non priced value of forestry is not the sum of hpm and itcm benefit estimates recreational benefits will typically be less and will be subsumed in the hpm estimates since the hedonic price is partly induced by the value of recreational access

capital flows real exchange rate misalignment and ppp tests in emerging market countries the economic performance of emerging markets has significant impacts on economic growth and volatility of macroeconomic indicators in various countries emerging markets accounted for 20 43 of global exports during the period 1970 2005 and held 70 of global foreign reserves in recent years more than 50 of the exports from the euro area japan and the united states go to emerging markets and other developing countries the globalization of capital flows is facilitated by technological innovations and excellent information networks coupled with sharp increases in savings that are directed into financial instruments across borders the use of purchasing power parity ppp as a benchmark in exchange rate policy reforms assumes the existence of a stable relationship between the exchange rate and the ratio of price levels in two countries this article investigates whether or not long run ppp holds in emerging markets johansen s cointegration technique is used with annual data in analysing the relationsh

do more heavily regulated economies have poorer performing new ventures evidence from britain and spain we test two alternative perspectives on the start up size and subsequent growth of new firms in a heavily regulated hr economy and a lightly regulated lr economy the first argues that in an hr economy there will be fewer new firms and those that do start will be larger than those in an lr economy but they will grow more slowly a second perspective is that regulation does not influence the scale of entrepreneurship merely its distribution between that which is registered and that which is not registered using parallel datasets for hr spain and lr britain we find some support for both perspectives specifically we find that registered new firms in britain do start smaller than in spain and do grow faster however when both registered and unregistered firms are included these differences disappear

an empirical examination of long run purchasing power parity using cointegration techniques this paper presents an empirical analysis of long run purchasing power parity ppp for five major exchange rates using recently developed econometric techniques on the cointegration of economic time series our empirical results are extremely unfavourable to the ppp hypothesis as a long run equilibrium condition even with an allowance made for measurement error and or tranportation costs in particular we are unable to reject the hypothesis of non cointegration of the exchange rate and relative prices for any of the countries concerned far from finding a stable long run proportionality between exchange rates and relative prices our results therefore suggest that they tend to drift apart without bound