does microfinance reduce rural poverty evidence based on household panel data from northern ethiopia evidence on the long term impacts of microfinance credit is scarce we use a unique four round panel dataset on farm households in northern ethiopia that had access to microfinance observed on two key poverty indicators household consumption and housing improvements fixed effects and random trend models are used to reduce potential selection biases due to time invariant unobserved heterogeneity and individual trends therein results show that borrowing indeed causally increased consumption and housing improvements a flexible specification that takes into account repeated borrowings also suggests that borrowing has cumulative long term effects on these outcomes implying that short term impact estimates may underestimate credit effects

does microfinance change informal lending in village economies evidence from bangladesh this paper examines how availability of microfinance influences households borrowing from informal sources in village economies it uses a unique household level panel data set which spans more than two decades 1987 2008 from rural bangladesh we find that households access to microfinance reduces the incidence of borrowing from informal sources but not the amount of borrowing we find that less poor households benefit more in terms of reducing their reliance on informal borrowing and that the benefit accrues over time we also find that having access to microfinance increases women s informal borrowing for small consumption usage without facilitating access to new business opportunities

revealed objective functions of microfinance institutions evidence from bangladesh abstract this paper discerns between two alternative objective functions for not for profit microfinance institutions mfis profit maximization and poverty targeting i use the strategic branch location choices of the two largest mfis in a mature concentrated market to reveal their objectives i consider location decisions to be the pure strategy nash equilibrium outcome of a one shot game where the mfis simultaneously choose markets in which to locate as well as how many branches to open in each applying the duality principle i nest fully a pure profit maximization objective within a poverty targeting motive i test the model using comprehensive data from bangladesh in 2003 structurally estimating profit and impact functions my msm estimates suggest that pure profit maximization cannot explain the branch placement pattern for grameen bank or brac they both deviate towards poverty alleviation targeting one higher standard deviation of poverty headcount costs grameen 35 2 of its potential profits and brac 51 4

forecasting recessions the puzzle of the enduring power of the yield curve for over two decades researchers have provided evidence that the yield curve specifically the spread between long and short term interest rates contains useful information for signaling future recessions despite these findings forecasters appear to have generally placed too little weight on the yield spread when projecting declines in the aggregate economy indeed we show that professional forecasters are worse at predicting recessions a few quarters ahead than a simple real time forecasting model that is based on the yield spread this relative forecast power of the yield curve remains a puzzle the appendix is included online as supplementary material

the impact of microfinance on energy access a case study from peripheral districts of lome togo this study seeks to understand the impact of microfinance on energy access in the peripheral districts of lome in togo we use descriptive statistics multiple regression propensity score matching

overcoming selection bias in microcredit impact assessments a case study in peru abstract there are several potential sources of bias in microcredit impact assessments this paper uses a panel data set from a peruvian mfi to test for impact of credit on microenterprise profits while controlling for these biases we find that those who will eventually become borrowers have significantly higher incomes than those who will not become borrowers implying that selection into the lending programme is a substantial problem after controlling for this selection we find that an average microentrepreneur who borrows earns significantly higher enterprise profits than one who does not borrow and that naive models which do not control for selection overestimate this impact fixed effects estimates give roughly the same results as the quasi experimental cross section analysis

why are informal loans still a big deal evidence from north east thailand abstractthis article examines the use and benefit of informal loans for different income groups of rural households in north east thailand using a difference in differences estimation approach which is later complemented by propensity score matching the article shows that different household groups profit from informal loans in different ways poor households increase their asset endowment and in particular farming assets whereas rich households food consumption rises especially if households borrow due to a shock by showing that informal loans serve different households for different purposes this article provides an explanation why they still play an important role

sustainable innovation business models and economic performance an overview sustainable development requires radical and systemic innovations such innovations can be more effectively created and studied when building on the concept of business models this concept provides firms with a holistic framework to envision and implement sustainable innovations for researchers the concept provides an analytical tool that allows them to assess the interplay between the different aspects that firms combine to create ecological economic and social value in addition the business model concept provides a link between the individual firm and the larger production and consumption system in which it operates this paper provides an introduction to the special issue which emerged from selected papers presented at the erscp emsu 2010 conference held in delft the netherlands papers in the special issue cover a broad range from a conceptual discussion resulting in a research agenda the assessment of diffusion of specific business models such as product service systems the introduction of new management tools for business transition management to case studies on how specific business models evolved in specific communities together these papers provide insight into the promise of the business model concept for understanding and advancing sustainable innovation

does microcredit increase household welfare in the absence of microinsurance summary this study answers the question does a combination of microcredit and microinsurance improve the wellbeing of low income households we examine this challenge through heckman sample selection instrumental variable and treatment effect models the findings indicate that households using microcredit in combination with microinsurance derive significant gains in terms of welfare improvement microcredit may be good but its benefit to the poor is enhanced and sustained if the poverty trapping risks are covered with microinsurance to this extent combining microcredit with microinsurance will empower the poor to make a sustainable exit from poverty

the finance growth nexus evidence from bank branch deregulation this paper provides evidence that financial markets can directly affect economic growth by studying the relaxation of bank branch restrictions in the united states we find that the rates of real per capita growth in income and output increase significantly following intrastate branch reform we also argue that the observed changes in growth are the result of changes in the banking system improvements in the quality of bank lending not increased volume of bank lending appear to be responsible for faster growth

financial intermediation and endogenous growth an endogenous growth model with multiple assets is developed agents who face random future liquidity needs accumulate capital and a liquid but unproductive asset the effects of introducing financial intermediation into this environment are considered conditions are provided under which the introduction of intermediaries shifts the composition of savings toward capital causing intermediation to be growth promoting in addition intermediaries generally reduce socially unnecessary capital liquidation again tending to promote growth

comparing systems approaches to innovation and technological change for sustainable and competitive economies an explorative study into conceptual commonalities differences and complementarities this paper makes a distinction between three theoretical frameworks that have been highly influential in the discourse on innovation competitiveness and sustainability sectoral systems of innovation ssi technological innovation systems tis and socio technical systems st systems these frameworks share a common systems approach to innovation but are often positioned as different bodies of literature that correspond to different epistemic communities this paper is explorative and conceptual in nature it presents a systematic comparative review of ssi tis and st systems based on the following analytical dimensions 1 system boundaries 2 actors and networks 3 institutions 4 knowledge 5 dynamics and 6 policy approach in the concluding section commonalities and differences of the three approaches are presented and suggestions for complimentarily are made c 2010 elsevier ltd all rights reserved

does microfinance reduce poverty in bangladesh new evidence from household panel data abstract the study examines whether loans from microfinance institutions mfi reduce poverty in bangladesh drawing upon the nationally representative household panel with four rounds from 1997 to 2004 the effects of general microfinance loans and loans for productive purposes on income food consumption and women s body mass index are estimated overall effects of mfi loans on income and food consumption were positive and the purpose of the loan is important in predicting which household welfare indicator is improved alternative estimation methods confirm a positive impact of mfi loans on food consumption growth which supports the poverty reducing effects of microfinance in bangladesh

the impact of group lending in northeast thailand abstract much of the literature on group lending focuses on its high repayment rates rather than its goal of promoting borrower welfare most studies that attempt to measure the impact of group lending neglect the issues of self selection and endogenous program placement thus leading to biased estimates of impact one reason for this neglect is the lack of data that would allow for identification of impact this paper surmounts these problems by using data from a quasi experiment conducted in northeast thailand in 1995 1996 program participants were identified in six control villages 1 year prior to receiving loans surveys were then conducted of these control members treatment members in eight older program villages and nonmembers in both types of village this survey design allows for straightforward estimation of impact the results indicate that program loans are having little impact although naive estimates of impact that fail to account for self selection and endogenous program placement significantly overestimate impact

the role of subsidies in microfinance evidence from the grameen bank the grameen bank of bangladesh has been in the vanguard of the microfinance movement showing the potential to alleviate poverty by providing credit to poor house holds part of this success has been built on subsidies in 1996 for example total subsidies evaluated at the economic opportunity cost of capital amounted to about us 26 30 million the evidence helps to explain why institutions like grameen have not just sprung up on their own as private commercial ventures and it underscores the value of openly addressing the costs and benefits of subsidization the paper also describes recent difficulties in maintaining high repayment rates q 1999 elsevier science b v all rights reserved

the empirics of microfinance what do we know microfinance has received a lot of attention recently both from policy makers as well as in academic circles two of the main topics that have been hotly debated are explaining joint liability group lending and its implications for reducing information asymmetries and the trade off between the financial sustainability and outreach of microfinance programmes this feature contains three novel empirical contributions providing new insights with respect to why and how joint liability group lending works it also contains the first large scale systematic analysis of the trade off between financial performance and outreach of microfinance institutions

microfinance and poverty evidence using panel data from bangladesh micro finance supports mainly informal activities that often have low market demand it may be thus hypothesized that the aggregate poverty impact of micro finance in an economy with low economic growth is modest or nonexistent the observed borrower level poverty impact is then a result of income redistribution or short run income generation the author addresses these questions using household level panel data from bangladesh the findings confirm that micro finance benefits the poorest and has sustained impact in reducing poverty among program participants it also has positive spillover impact reducing poverty at the village level but the effect is more pronounced in reducing extreme rather than moderate poverty

the impact of microcredit on the poor in bangladesh revisiting the evidence abstractwe replicate and reanalyse the most influential study of microcredit impacts m m pitt s r khandker s the impact of group based credit on poor households in bangladesh does the gender of participants matter published in the journal of political economy 106 1998 that study was celebrated for showing that microcredit reduces poverty a much hoped for possibility though one not confirmed by recent randomised controlled trials we show that the original results on poverty reduction disappear after dropping outliers or when using a robust linear estimator using a new program for estimation of mixed process maximum likelihood models we show how assumptions critical for the original analysis such as error normality are contradicted by the data we conclude that questions about impact cannot be answered in these data

who benefits the interactional determinants of microfinance s varied effects abstractsince its emergence as a development tool scholars and practitioners have questioned microfinance s short and long term impacts but have had insufficient empirical evidence to assess them to address this gap this paper draws on mixed method research to assess the effects of microfinance loan and educational services over time it explores why even within the same microfinance institution mfi some borrowers benefit from microfinance services more than others in the short term and examines how this translates into long term impacts the article identifies understudied sources of intra group variation the diversity and choices of borrowers and mfi employees interacting with each other and their broader contexts

installed base and compatibility innovation product preannouncements and predation a good is often more valuable to any user the more others use compatible goods the authors show that this effect may inhibit innovation if an installed base exists and transition to a new standard must be gradual early adopters bear a disproportionate share of transient incompatibility costs this can produce excess inertia the installed base however is stranded if the new standard is adopted this may create excess momentum these dynamic effects have strategic implications temporary price cutting can permanently prevent entry and product preannouncements can be critical in innovation these strategic actions have ambiguous welfare effects

microfinance and poverty a macro perspective we test the hypothesis that microfinance reduces poverty at the macro level using cross country and panel data which are constructed by the microfinance information exchange data on microfinance institutions mfis and the world bank data taking account of the endogeneity associated with mfis loans we show that a country with higher mfis gross loan portfolio per capita tends to have lower levels of poverty indices contrary to recent micro evidence our results suggest that microfinance significantly reduces poverty at macro level and thus reinforce the case for channeling funds from development finance institutions and governments of developing countries into mfis

does self help group participation lead to asset creation summary we evaluate the effect of self help group participation on a long term impact parameter namely asset creation indian self help groups shgs are unique in that they are mainly ngo formed microfinance groups but later funded by commercial banks the results reveal that longer membership in shgs positively impacts asset creation robust to various asset specifications with longer participation in shgs members move away from pure agriculture as an income source toward other sources such as livestock income training by ngos positively impacts asset creation but the type of shg linkage per se has no effect

information the cost of credit and operational eﬃciency an empirical study of microfinance we provide direct evidence on the impact of asymmetric information on both financing and operating activities through a study of credit evaluations of microfinance institutions mfis we employ a regression discontinuity model that exploits the eligibility criteria of an evaluation subsidy ofered by a nonprofit consortium evaluations dramatically cut the cost of financing this efect is strongest for commercial lenders and for short term mfi lender relationships the impact of evaluations on the supply of finance is mixed evaluated mfis lend more efciently extending more loans per employee the author 2010 published by oxford university press on behalf of the society for financial studies all rights reserved for permissions please e mail journals permissions oxfordjournals org oxford university press

determinants of environmental investments testing the structural model abstract the main purpose of this study is to provide the needed additional quantitative evidence regarding the introduction of environmental technologies and to increase the possibility for generalization and thus policy application of conclusions to achieve that purpose a conceptual model is developed and then tested on a large database of firms from various industries with the use of structural equation modeling the results show that policy measures past environmental investments the importance of environmental technologies for customers and the firm performance have a positive effect on environmental investments furthermore the results show that policy measures are a second order three factor construct

microfinance its impact outreach and sustainability summary this symposium brings together recent empirical contributions with respect to a number of related and highly relevant issues on the economics of microfinance in particular the contributions provide answers to the following two main questions 1 does microfinance have an impact on the social and economic situation of the poor in developing nations and 2 are microfinance institutions sustainable in the long term and is there a trade off between sustainability and outreach

exploring the dynamics of water innovation foundations for water innovation studies the urgent need for innovation to address multifaceted and intertwined water related challenges is becoming increasingly clear acknowledged and responded to with cumulating sources and amounts of funding nevertheless the water sector has been claimed to be less innovative than other sectors this special volume on the dynamics of water innovation is based on the realization that in general there is a striking absence of academic studies on the dynamics of water innovation this sv is therefore designed to lay the foundations for the field of water innovation studies in an effort to integrate the emerging insights together the contributions in this sv capture the current understanding of the dynamics of water innovation and provide insights into how the water innovation process can be fostered the purpose of this introductory article is threefold namely to frame the discussion on water innovation dynamics in order to contextualise the contributions of this sv to provide systematic guidance for studying water innovation dynamics and to suggest the way forward for water innovation studies it captures the extent of the field of water innovation studies with a review of the literature of the last three decades and frames water innovations based on five decades of innovation research and drawing on three areas management strategy and policy we provide an innovation studies taxonomy that consists of four organising dimensions type of innovation stage of innovation level of analysis and measurement this taxonomy enables researchers to study the dynamics of water innovation from different combinations of conceptual and thematic angles drawing on the field of innovation studies in a systematic fashion finally we reflect on the way forward for water innovation studies with suggestions for future research 2017 the authors

success factors for environmentally sustainable product innovation a systematic literature review the growing awareness regarding environmental sustainability has fully reached business reality consumers and companies alike are looking for alternatives to mitigate pressing environmental demands resulting from continuous population and economic growth on the other hand companies must deal with an increasingly competitive scenario where innovation is regarded as a survival need in most markets it is thus clear that systematic academic research is paramount to guide companies to succeed in environmentally sustainable product innovation in this context this paper i consolidate extant research and aggregate findings of different studies on environmentally sustainable product innovation through an interpretative framework of published literature on the topic and ii map critical success factors that drive the success of product innovation developed in this new logic of production and consumption to achieve these objectives a systematic literature review on environmentally sustainable product innovation was conducted results show that there are four main critical success factors for environmentally sustainable product innovation market law and regulation knowledge interfunctional collaboration innovation oriented learning and r d investments the factors identified in this research and corresponding variables were subjected to a brief empirical test by professionals the test allowed a preliminary approval of the developed framework and identification of the most important variables within each factor a research agenda based on the state of the art on the topic is also proposed

the importance of sample attrition in life cycle labor supply estimation we examine the importance of possible nonrandom attrition to an econometric model of life cycle labor supply using both a wald test comparing attriters to nonattriters and variable addition tests based on formal models of attrition estimates using the panel study of income dynamics show that nonrandom attrition is of little concern when estimating prime age male labor supply because the effect of attrition is absorbed into fixed effects in labor supply the wage measure and instrument set have much larger effects on the estimated labor supply function of prime age men than how one adjusts for panel attrition

new approaches to cleaner production applying the sasi method to micro tanneries in colombia the literature on micro and small sized enterprises in developing countries shows their existential difficulties this is particularly true for those in marginal areas with multiple challenges including pollution prevention environmental agencies tend to require capital intensive end of pipe solutions or regulatory measures that close down polluting enterprises both knowledge of and interest in how to make poor micro enterprises more sustainable are needed this paper addresses this by a developing a problem driven and context oriented systematic approach to social inclusion sasi method and b applying it successfully in the context of micro tanneries in villapinzon colombia over a period of eight years the concept of cleaner production was systematically integrated into this method that was inspired by lewin s theory of change and insights from negotiation and conflict resolution the results show that cleaner production implementation needs comprehensive systemic policy mechanisms based on participatory approaches taking into account the socio economic constraints of the micro industries that combine supportive capacity building and command and control policies moreover rules encouraging cleaner production need to be sensitive to the regulatory context in which it is applied which in this case concerned land use planning and zoning regulations the sasi approach effectively encouraged micro tanners to make their industries more viable and clean while it simultaneously convinced the environmental agency to recognise and value these industries this paper argues that integrating cleaner production in sasi is a learning and socio technical change process urgently needed for micro industries

reputation and discretion in financial contracting the authors explain the use of legally unenforceable discretionary financial contracts in circumstances where legally enforceable contracts are feasible a discretionary contract allows a contracting party to choose whether or not to honor the contract it is shown that such a contract liquefies reputational capital by permitting it to be depreciated in exchange for the preservation of financial capital and information reusability in financially impaired states in addition discretionary contracts foster the development of reputation this explains discretion among highly confident letters holding company relationships mutual fund contracts bank loan commitments and other financial and nonfinancial contracts copyright 1993 by american economic association

impact of microcredit on borrowers expenditures a fuzzy regression discontinuity design approach abstractthis article uses the data from 69 villages in bangladesh to estimate the effect of participation in microcredit programmes on household expenditures a regression discontinuity design rdd is used to identify the credit effect our results show heterogeneous treatment effect on different types of expenditures we show that access to credit reduces per capita expenditure on durable goods such as kitchen equipment furniture repair and maintenance of house and increases the expenditure on per school going child we also show insignificant impact of access to credit on non durable goods and health care recreation and gifts interestingly our results indicate a positive impact of microcredit on village level expenditures

toward a new conception of the environment competitiveness relationship accepting a fixed trade off between environmental regulation and competitiveness unnecessarily raises costs and slows down environmental progress studies finding high environmental compliance costs have traditionally focused on static cost impacts ignoring any offsetting productivity benefits from innovation they typically overestimated compliance costs neglected innovation offsets and disregarded the affected industry s initial competitiveness rather than simply adding to cost properly crafted environmental standards can trigger innovation offsets allowing companies to improve their resource productivity shifting the debate from pollution control to pollution prevention was a step forward it is now necessary to make the next step and focus on resource productivity

predicting u s recessions financial variables as leading indicators this paper examines the out of sample performance of various financial variables as predictors of u s recessions series such as interest rates and spreads stock prices and monetary aggregates are evaluated individually and in comparison with other financial and nonfinancial indicators the analysis focuses on out of sample performance from one to eight quarters ahead results show that stock prices are useful with one to three quarter horizons as are some well known macroeconomic indicators beyond one quarter however the slope of the yield curve emerges as the clear individual choice and typically performs better by itself out of sample than in conjunction with other variables

high noon for microfinance impact evaluations re investigating the evidence from bangladesh recently microfinance has come under increasing criticism raising questions of the validity of iconic studies which have justified it such as pitt and khandker chemin applied propensity score matching to the pitt and khandker data finding different impacts but does not disaggregate by gender of borrower we first replicate chemin and extend his analysis in two ways we test the robustness of propensity score matching results to selection on unobservables using sensitivity analysis and we investigate propensity score matching estimates of impacts by gender of borrowers the mainly insignificant impacts of microfinance differ greatly by gender of borrower but are all vulnerable to selection on unobservables we are therefore not convinced that the relationships between microfinance and outcomes are causal with these data

bank liquidity creation and recessions abstract we investigate the relationship between bank liquidity creation and recessions in the u s for the 1984 2010 sample we find that i lower bank on balance sheet liquidity creation signals recessions four quarters into the future ii off balance sheet liquidity creation is not a robust predictor of recessions at longer forecast horizons iii off balance sheet liquidity creation falls in tandem with on balance sheet liquidity creation one quarter prior to recessions and aggregate on and off balance sheet bank liquidity creation continue to decline during and up to five quarters after recessions and iv liquidity creation of larger banks contains more information about future recessions than that of smaller ones

microenterprise credit programs deja vu abstract microenterprises in low income countries are the target of an increasing number of credit programs these efforts resemble earlier problematic attempts to assist operators of small farms with credit similarities discussed include target group definition assumptions policies and project justifications authors go on to list a dozen lessons from the experience with small farmer credit that might apply to microenterprise credit efforts authors then conclude that debt is not an effective tool for helping most poor people to enchance their economic conditions be they operators of small farms or microenterprises

is microcredit a blessing for the poor a meta analysis examining development outcomes and contextual considerations abstract increasing efforts aim at economic development and the reduction of poverty in developing countries through microcredit enabled entrepreneurship following the award of the nobel peace prize to prof yunus microcredit lending has risen to prominence and the volume of microcredit loans has increased substantially however theory on the outcomes of this financing form is controversial furthermore the academic community lacks conclusive empirical evidence about the impact of such programs primary empirical studies report fragmented and to a large extent contradictory results in this meta analysis we empirically synthesize a total of 545 quantitative empirical findings from 90 studies conducted to date our findings reveal a positive impact of microcredit on key development outcomes at the level of the client entrepreneurs additionally we scrutinize how the development context influences the effectiveness of microcredit and find that microcredit generally has a greater impact in more challenging contexts with our findings we contribute to research on the nexus of entrepreneurship and economic development and offer recommendations for practitioners and academics working on this promising frontier

child labor and schooling responses to access to microcredit in rural bangladesh microcredit has been shown to be effective in reducing poverty in many developing countries however less is known about its effect on human capital formation in this paper we develop a model examining the relation between microcredit and child labour we then empirically examine the impact of access to microcredit on children s education and child labour using a new and large data set from rural bangladesh we address the selection bias using the instrumental variable method where the instrument relies on an exogenous variation in treatment intensity among households in different villages the results show that household participation in a microcredit program may increase child labour and reduce school enrolment the adverse effects are more pronounced for girls than boys younger children are more adversely affected than their older siblings and the children of poorer and less educated households are affected most adversely our findings remain robust to different specifications and methods and when corrected for various sources of selection bias

microfinance and household poverty reduction new evidence from india the objective of the present study is to examine whether household access to microfinance reduces poverty using national household data from india treatment effects model is employed to estimate the poverty reducing effects of micro finance institutions mfis loans for productive purposes such as investment in agriculture or non farm businesses on household poverty levels these models take into account the endogenous binary treatment effects and sample selection bias associated with access to mfis despite some limitations such as those arising from potential unobservable important determinants of access to mfis significant positive effect of mfi productive loans on multidimensional welfare indicator has been confirmed the significance of treatment effects coefficients has been verified by both tobit and propensity score matching psm models in addition we found that loans for productive purposes were more important for poverty reduction in rural than in urban areas however in urban areas simple access to mfis has larger average poverty reducing effects than the access to loans from mfis for productive purposes this leads to exploring service delivery opportunities that provide an additional avenue to monitor the usage of loans to enhance the outreach

remittances and financial inclusion evidence from el salvador this paper investigates the impact of remittances on financial inclusion this is an important issue given recent studies showing that financial inclusion can have significant beneficial effects on households using household level survey data for el salvador the authors examine the impact of remittances on households use of savings and credit instruments from formal financial institutions they find that although remittances have a positive impact on financial inclusion by promoting the use of deposit accounts they do not have a significant and robust effect on the demand for and use of credit from formal institutions if anything by relaxing credit constraints remittances might reduce the need for external financing from financial institutions while at the same time increasing the demand for savings instruments

credit for what informal credit as a coping strategy of market women in northern ghana abstract this paper explores the use of informal credit as a strategy for managing risks by market women in northern ghana a broad concept of the costs of risk management strategies is introduced and encompasses both a time and monetary dimension based on qualitative data the analysis reveals that market women invest a considerable amount of time in maintaining complex networks of informal credit providers to ensure their access to credit once a shock occurs informal credit involves high transaction costs and prevents market women from growing out of poverty in the long term

evaluating the econometric evaluations of training programs with experimental data this paper takes the results of an employment and training program thatwas run as a field experiment in which the participants were randomlyassigned into a treatment or a control group and compares these results to the estimates that might have been produced by an econometrician who evaluated the program using the same econometric procedures that have been used in the program evaluation literature this comparison shows that many of these econometric procedures fail toreplicate the experimentally determined results and suggests that researchers should be aware of the potential for specification errorsin other nonexperimental evaluations copyright 1986 by american economic association

the mystery of the vanishing benefits an introduction to impact evaluation this article provides an introduction to the concepts and methods of impact evaluation the author provides an intuitive explanation in the context of a concrete application the article takes the form of a short story about a fictional character s on the job training in evaluation ms speedy analyst is an economist in the ministry of finance in the fictional country of labas in the process of figuring out how to evaluate a human resource program targeted to the poor ms analyst learns the strengths and weaknesses of the main methods of ex post impact evaluation

financial intermediation and delegated monitoring this paper develops a theory of financial intermediation based on minimizing the cost of monitoring information which is useful for resolving incentive problems between borrowers and lenders it presents a characterization of the costs of providing incentives for delegated monitoring by a financial intermediary diversification within an intermediary serves to reduce these costs even in a risk neutral economy the paper presents some more general analysis of the effect of diversification on resolving incentive problems in the environment assumed in the model debt contracts with costly bankruptcy are shown to be optimal the analysis has implications for the portfolio structure and capital structure of intermediaries

microfinance and child mortality microfinance institutions mfis offer targeted opportunities for the poor to generate additional income with a range of financial services including credit insurance savings accounts and money t

economic impact of a private sector micro financing scheme in south dakota while poverty rates on native american indian reservations are triple the us average small business incubation programs available elsewhere in the us scarcely exist on the native american indian reservations nairs our unique study tests the effects of the lakota fund lf a private sector small business development initiative on the pine ridge reservation in south dakota on the economic development of the nairs our objective is to determine whether the sba like programs loans training and consulting can improve economic conditions the 1980 2006 annual county level shannon co is treatment and todd co is control data are a natural experiment results indicate that the lf inception and duration significantly raised real per capita income rpci suggesting not only the success of the lf but support for the broader notion that privately funded small business initiatives can be used to support economic development of isolated impoverished groups within the us economy

the ambiguity of innovation drivers the adoption of information and communication technologies by public water utilities abstract information and communication technologies have the potential to increase productivity improving efficiency and eventually raising the quality of water services although this potential is recognized great variation exists in the way water utilities adopt information and communication technologies based on literature review and empirical data drawn from the three case studies a municipality in greece an airport in italy and a water utility in the netherlands developed under the eu funded waternomics project the paper highlights how environmental organizational and individual factors explain technology adoption the paper pays particular attention to the idiosyncrasies of the water services sector which influence this process these include include the social and conomic importance of water supply the monopolistic nature of the sector and increased commercialization of public water utilities our cases suggest that drivers of technology adoption appear to be somewhat ambiguous in the water services sector in that they impact adoption in diverse locations differently our cases also suggest is that the prioritization of the factors that determine adoption are dynamic and change over time

outreach and performance of microfinance institutions the importance of portfolio yield in this paper we examine the interaction between social outreach and financial return in microfinance running multivariate regression models and using 1 805 observations of microfinance instituti

re evaluating microfinance evidence from propensity score matching this paper evaluates effectiveness of microfinance using propensity score matching psm method applied to data collected in a recent randomized control trial this method allows one to answer an additional set of questions not answered by the original study and provide more nuanced evidence by comparing microfinance institution mfi borrowers to those without any loans and those with prior loans from other sources it is argued that this unique setting with two comparison groups allows us to shed light on the unobservable entrepreneurial spirit bias and provides upper and lower bounds on the true microfinance impact the results suggest that microfinance can make a modest difference for some households in several expenditure categories

the yield spread puzzle and the information content of spf forecasts while the yield spread has long been recognized as a good predictor of recessions it seems to have been largely overlooked by professional forecasters we examine this puzzle established by rudebusch and williams 2009 in a data rich environment including not just the yield spread but many other predictors as well we confirm the puzzle in this context by examining the contributions of both the spf forecasts and the yield spread in predicting recessions and by examining the information content of spf forecasts directly furthermore we take the first step towards a possible resolution of this puzzle by recognizing the heterogeneity across professional forecasters

medium and long term participation in microcredit an evaluation using a new panel dataset from bangladesh the objective of this paper is to estimate the impacts of medium and long term participation in microcredit programs it utilises a new and large panel dataset collected from treatment and control households from 1997 to 2005 the data enables us to identify continuing participants in the program as well as newcomers and leavers we employ different estimation strategies including triple difference and propensity score matching methods to control for selection bias the impact estimates indicate that the benefits from microcredit vary more than proportionately with the duration of participation in a program larger benefits are realized from longer term participation and that the benefits continue to accrue beyond departure from the program the findings indicate the need to observe longer periods of participation to provide a reliable basis for assessing the effectiveness of microcredit lending

coping with flood role of institutions in bangladesh the article examines the coping strategies that rural households adopted during the 1998 flood in bangladesh and assesses its impact on household welfare including coping and vulnerability both vulnerability and poverty have in general declined in bangladesh yet 60 of rural households adopted a coping of one type or another and about half of rural households were both vulnerable as well as found to adopt any coping mechanism during the 1998 flood household level panel data analysis confirms that the flood reduced both consumption and asset and forced many households to adopt some coping mechanisms to mitigate the adverse effects of flood consequently natural disaster such as flooding increases households vulnerability to poverty however post flood bumper crop production and operation of targeted programs such as microfinance helped compensate the losses of flood

assessing the welfare effects of microfinance in vietnam empirical results from a quasi experimental survey this article analyses the effects of ngo microfinance programmes on household welfare in vietnam data on 470 households across 25 villages were collected using a quasi experimental survey approach to overcome any self selection bias the sample was designed so that member households of microfinance programmes were compared with non member households with similar characteristics the analysis shows no significant effects of participation in ngo microfinance on household welfare proxied by income and consumption per adult equivalent

effects of microcredit and other loans on female empowerment in bangladesh the borrower s gender influences intra household resource allocation this article examines microcredit s effectiveness in empowering women borrowers in rural bangladesh it does so by examining how gender specific borrowing activities influence household expenditures which are either specifically of interest to men or women and by examining the effects of all loans rather than only those provided by microcredit organizations the article uses a quasi experimental design to identify the effects of borrowing by men and women by using an original combination of panel data and instrumental variables on subsamples of the surveyed population it finds that the borrower s gender affects how households allocate their resources to different expenditure items and assets that are valued differently by men and women in all the findings suggest that providing greater credit access to women may improve their household bargaining positions

does microfinance reduce income inequality this study addresses the question whether participation of the poor in microfinance contributes to reducing a country s level of income inequality using data from 70 developing countries we show that higher levels of microfinance participation are indeed associated with a reduction of the income gap between rich and poor people we also show however that the effects of microfinance on reducing income inequality are relatively small the results of this study add to the discussion on the impact of microfinance on poverty by showing that although access to microfinance does seem to improve the relative income position of the poor this improvement is modest which is probably because the use of microfinance is generally small as compared to the size of the economy of the countries in our sample microfinance should therefore not be seen as a panacea for bringing down income inequality in a significant way

do loan commitments cause overlending i begin with a model that generates quantity credit rationing by banks in the spot credit market when the real interest rate is high and there is an economic downturn then i rationalize a bank loan commitment as partial insurance against such future rationing incorporating uncertainty about both the creditworthiness of borrowers and the abilities of banks to screen borrowers i extend the bank contracting literature wherein i examine banks decisions of whether to lend under the commitments sold earlier i show that this discretion of whether to honor borrowing requests under commitments generates reputational concerns on the part of banks and can lead to an equilibrium in which loan commitments serve their role in increasing credit supply relative to the spot credit market but produce the inefficiency of excessive credit supply when the real interest rate is low and the economy is doing well despite this welfare is higher with loan commitments than with spot credit numerous empirical predictions and policy implications are drawn out

the effects of financial development in the short and long run theory and evidence from india abstract although many view financial access as a means of reducing poverty or increasing growth empirical studies have produced contradictory results one problem is that most studies cover only a short time frame and do not consider dynamic effects i show that introducing credit in a general model of intertemporal consumption creates a boom in consumption and reduces poverty initially but eventually reduces mean consumption because credit substitutes for precautionary wealth using new consistent consumption data that cover a much longer time period than most studies my empirical findings show that increased access to bank branches in rural india increased consumption initially and reduced poverty but consumption later fell and poverty rose the long term effect is still positive however suggesting that credit may have a beneficial role beyond consumption smoothing

the impact of group based credit programs on poor households in bangladesh does the gender of participants matter this paper estimates the impact of participation by gender in the grameen bank and two other group based micro credit programs in bangladesh on labor supply schooling household expenditure and assets the empirical method uses a quasi experimental survey design to correct for the bias from unobserved individual and village level heterogeneity we find that program credit has a larger effect on the behavior of poor households in bangladesh when women are the program participants for example annual household consumption expenditure increases 18 taka for every 100 additional taka borrowed by women from these credit programs compared with 11 taka for men

entry exit and diffusion with learning by doing early entry has the advantage of higher revenues per unit of output early on late entry has the benefit of learning from the experience of earlier entrants and hence lower production costs the advantages are balanced off in a continuous time perfect foresight equilibrium competition generates s shaped diffusion and staggered entry and exit a monopolist will innovate less than a competitive industry but the innovation that he does do he will do sooner copyright 1989 by american economic association

models of technology diffusion abstract the literature on new technology diffusion is vast and it spills over many conventional disciplinary boundaries this paper surveys the literature by focusing on alternative explanations of the dominant stylized fact that the usage of new technologies over time typically follows an s curve the most commonly found model which is used to account for this model is the so called epidemic model which builds on the premise that what limits the speed of usage is the lack of information available about the new technology how to use it and what it does the leading alternate model is often called the probit model which follows from the premise that different firms with different goals and abilities are likely to want to adopt the new technology at different times in this model diffusion occurs as firms of different types gradually adopt it there are actually many ways to generate an s curve and the third class of models which we examine are models of density dependence popularized by population ecologists in these models the twin forces of legitimation and competition help to establish new technologies and then ultimately limit their take up finally we look at models in which the initial choice between different variants of the new technology affect the subsequent diffusion speed of the chosen technology such models often rely on information cascades which drive herd like adoption behaviour when a particular variant is finally selected

do microfinance institutions benefit from integrating financial and nonfinancial services this article examines the impact of microfinance plus i e coordinated combination of financial and nonfinancial services on the performance of microfinance institutions mfis using a global data set of mfis in 77 countries we find that the provision of nonfinancial services does not harm nor improve mfis financial sustainability and efficiency the results however suggest that the provision of social services is associated with improved loan quality and greater depth of outreach

the moderating role of capital on the relationship between bank liquidity creation and failure risk abstract we examine the role of bank capital in moderating the relationship between bank liquidity creation and the failure risk in u s banks over the period of 2003 2014 we find that conditional on bank capital bank liquidity creation is related to bank failure risk negatively the negative relationship is moderated positively i e strengthened by changes in bank capital this finding is consistent with the view that banks may strengthen their solvency through increased capital in response to the illiquidity risk associated with liquidity creation and higher capital enhances the ability of banks to create liquidity the result is robust to different estimation methods and alternative measures of liquidity creation bank failure risk and bank capital further analysis shows that the significant and negative effect is more prominent for small banks and the impact of bank capital was more pronounced during the recent financial crisis of 2007 2009

geographic poverty traps a micro model of consumption growth in rural china how important are neighbourhood endowments of physical and human capital in explaining diverging fortunes over time for otherwise identical households in a developing rural economy to answer this question we develop an estimable micro model of consumption growth allowing for constraints on factor mobility and externalities whereby geographic capital can influence the productivity of a household s own capital our statistical test has considerable power in detecting geographic effects given that we control for latent heterogeneity in measured consumption growth rates at the micro level we find robust evidence of geographic poverty traps in farm household panel data from post reform rural china our results strengthen the equity and efficiency case for public investment in lagging poor areas in this setting copyright 2002 john wiley sons ltd

measuring microfinance assessing the conflict between practitioners and researchers with evidence from nepal summary what accounts for the discrepancy between microfinance impact claims of development practitioners and the far smaller impacts found in experimental studies we demonstrate in a simple theoretical framework why before and after observations of practitioners overstate microfinance impacts and why estimations in some recent randomized trials understate the average treatment effect on the treated att our empirical study uses a unique data set from eastern nepal to study the impact of microfinance in villages where microfinance did not previously exist we find that approximately three fourths of the apparent impact of microfinance observed by practitioners is an illusion driven by correlated unobservable factors

liquidity shortages and banking crises we show in this article that bank failures can be contagious unlike earlier work where contagion stems from depositor panics or contractual links between banks we argue that bank failures can shrink the common pool of liquidity creating or exacerbating aggregate liquidity shortages this could lead to a contagion of failures and a total meltdown of the system given the costs of a meltdown there is a possible role for government intervention unfortunately liquidity and solvency problems interact and can cause each other making it hard to determine the cause of a crisis we propose a robust sequence of intervention banks are often found at the center of systemic financial crises the causes of these crises have long been debated do they stem from depositor panics or do they arise because bank balance sheets are exposed to common factors if it is the latter then is there any sense in which bank failures can be contagious can anything be done to prevent these crises or stop them from propagating once they begin our purpose in this paper is to reexamine whether bank failures can start and propagate systemic crises even if we assume that depositors do not panic that is even if depositors actions are coordinated and they do not run simply because they fear others will run our focus is not because we think that panics are empirically unimportant the jury is still out on that instead we show that contagion can stem from an underlying real general equilibrium problem rather than just from lack of coordination among depositors from a policy perspective attempts to reassure investors through confidence building measures will not work if panic and lack of coordination are not the reasons for a crisis we begin in this paper with a model of a bank that we developed in diamond and rajan 2001 assets in this model are illiquid they cannot be borrowed against or sold for the full value of resources they will generate in their best use because the human capital necessary to generate that full value cannot

microlending in emerging economies building a new line of inquiry from the ground up the world s poor may be the last great frontier in international business international microlenders are increasingly tapping into this emerging opportunity by extending small business loans to millions of borrowers however to date there is very limited understanding of this domain from an international business perspective using qualitative case studies developed in guatemala and the dominican republic we probe the causes and consequences of high performance and business failure for microloan recipients the analysis of these cases led to the development of six testable propositions focused on the behavior of borrowers whose loans populate the portfolios of international microlenders our research aims to lay a foundation in international business for future research on microlending

deregulation technological change and the business lending performance of large and small banks according to deyoung et al journal of financial services research 2004 deregulation and technological change has divided the us banking industryinto two primarysize based groups verylarge banks specializing in the use of hard information to make standardized loans and smaller banks specializing in the use of soft information and relationship development to make non standardized loans we evaluate business lending performance for small and large banks over the 1993 2001 period small business lending bysmall banks is characterized byrelationship development and non standardized loans consistent with deyoung et al s model we find that after controlling for market concentration cost of funds and a variety of other factors that might influence yields smaller banks perform better than larger banks in the small business lending market however larger banks appear to have the advantage in credit card lending a market characterized byimpersonal relationships and standardized loans interestingly we find evidence that larger banks have been making inroads in the market for the smallest business loans a result consistent with the use of credit scoring bylarge banks to make

cleaner technology diffusion case studies modeling and policy abstract the development and application of cleaner technologies environmental technologies offer multiple benefits for the adopter reduced emissions less waste and cost savings from reduced resource use and savings on waste costs the question here is if cleaner technologies offer such great benefits why they are diffusing so slowly across the economy this special issue is about answering this question by presenting a collection of contributions that lay down a good foundation for students scholars practitioners and policy makers interested in making sustainable development more than a metaphor the contributions range from surveys of literature identifying gaps and directions in the field cleaner technology diffusion case studies advances in diffusion modeling and diffusion policy issues and recommendations in general the set of papers present an overview of the advances in the field of cleaner technologies diffusion research

driving factors for the success of the green innovation market a relationship system proposal this study aims to map out the relationships that make up green innovation initiatives in brazilian industry the sample comprised 100 managers at manufacturing companies most of them operating in the business of farm machinery and equipment 45 managers and steel structures 14 managers to develop this study medeiros et al j clean prod 65 76 86 2014 study mapping critical factors that drive the success of green product innovation and the paradigm of complexity was used as a reference study based on the results it was possible to identify that the operational dynamic of the factors and variables that affect market success do not happen in an isolated or fragmented way they occur systematically with different contingencies and structured basic and intermediate skills in order to meet the expectations of consumers laws and environmental legislation initially the technological expertise factor was noted as very important for sustaining green product innovation furthermore since proactive leaders are an important factor for successfully developing environmentally sustainable products it must be added to technological expertise as the foundation for developing green innovation after defining the basis for green product innovation the intermediary conditions necessary for using the available technology appropriately were mapped out in this sense variables such as elimination of cultural barriers capacity for critical reflective analysis and experimentation are also very important in addition some of the variables of the cross functional collaboration and market knowledge factors were a part of the structure that organizations need to transform potential into developing green products which is the basis for the third level of the model the fourth level of the model has the meeting consumer expectations and following law and legislation factors which make up the main goals for developing environmentally sustainable products according to a number of surveys that were conducted

stock and bond market liquidity a long run empirical analysis this paper establishes liquidity linkage between stock and treasury bond markets there is a lead lag relationship between illiquidity of the two markets and bidirectional granger causality the effect of stock illiquidity on bond illiquidity is consistent with flight toquality or flight to liquidity episodes monetary policy impacts illiquidity the evidence indicates that bond illiquidity acts as a channel through which monetary policy shocks are transferred into the stock market these effects are observed across illiquidity of bonds of different maturities and are especially pronounced for illiquidity of short term maturities the paper provides evidence of illiquidity integration between stock and bond markets

application of a system dynamics approach for assessment of the impact of regulations on cleaner production in the electroplating industry in china abstract compared with pollution transfer cleaner production cp is more effective to reduce heavy metal pollution in many less developed countries however it s more difficult to develop an efficient policy to make enterprises to completely invest in cp this paper analyses the effects of cp policies on investment decisions of firms using a dynamic systems model and by simulating a typical electroplating enterprise in shenzhen china results show that water price could be effective only when it is increased by a sufficient amount for instance only when it is increased directly from 2 to 8 cny m 3 0 3 1 2 usd m 3 or from 8 to 16 cny m 3 1 2 2 5 usd m 3 will an enterprise gradually increase cp investment from process modification to recovery technology increasing the metal utilization rate of cp standard plating and surface finishing industry from its current value of 75 85 would encourage an enterprise to add recovery technology uniform preferential tax rate and penalties for the three parts of cp do not affect investment decisions on cp using the same investment subsidy rate for the three parts of cp could be effective in promoting cp only if it is above 60 the current emission standard of metal has played a role in promoting cp a comparison of three possible strategies indicates that a distinct policy for the different parts of cp is the optimal policy combination an overall investigation of typical enterprises based on the abovementioned framework is suggested to make more practical policies which than can promote cp instead of pollution transfer