strategic alliances venture capital and exit decisions in early stage high tech firms abstract we study the trade offs that biotech start ups face in the private equity market when they choose between raising firm level capital from venture capitalists or project level capital from strategic alliance partners increased alliance activity makes future alliances more likely but future vc activity less likely in contrast venture capital vc activity makes both future alliance and future vc activity more likely both types of private capital raise the hazard of going public acquisition as an alternative to initial public offering is made more likely by increased vc activity but the link between acquisition probabilities and alliance activity is less clear cut these results highlight both the importance of alliance partners in resolving asymmetric information problems in the capital acquisition process and the potential conflict of interest between different sources of private equity

competition cooperation and innovation organizational arrangements for regimes of rapid technological progress abstract discussions of the link between firm size and innovation are outmoded because the boundaries of the firm have become fuzzy in recent decades strategic alliances constellations of bilateral agreements among firms are increasingly necessary to support innovative activities such alliances can facilitate complex coordination beyond what the price system can accomplish while avoiding the dysfunctional properties sometimes associated with hierarchy antitrust law and competition policy need to recognize that these new organizational forms are often the functional antithesis of cartels though they may have certain structural similarities a more complete understanding of bilateral contracts and agreements ought to reveal when and how cooperation can support rather than impede innovation and competition

artificial adaptive agents in economic theory economic analysis has largely avoided questions about the way in which economic agents make choices when confronted by a perpetually novel and evolving world as a result there are outstanding questions of great interest to economics in areas ranging from technological innovation to strategic learning in games this is so despite the importance of the questions because standard tools and formal models are ill tuned for answering such questions however recent advances in computer based modeling techniques and in the subdiscipline of artificial intelligence called machine learning offer new possibilities artificial adaptive agents aaa can be defined and can be tested in a wide variety of artificial worlds that evolve over extended periods of time the resulting complex adaptive systems can be examined both computationally and analytically offering new ways of experimenting with and theorizing about adaptive economic agents many economic systems can be classified as complex adaptive systems such a system is complex in a special sense i it consists of a network of interacting agents processes elements ii it exhibits a dynamic aggregate behavior that emerges from the individual activities of the agents and iii its aggregate behavior can be described without a detailed knowledge of the behavior of the individual agents an agent in such a system is adaptive if it satisfies an additional pair of criteria the actions of the agent in its environment can be assigned a value performance utility payoff fitness or the like and the agent behaves so as to increase this value over time a complex adaptive system then is a complex system containing adaptive agents networked so that the environment of each adaptive agent includes other agents in the system complex adaptive systems usually operate far from a global optimum or attractor such systems exhibit many levels of aggregation organization and interaction each level having its own time scale and characteristic behavior any given level can usually be described in terms of local niches that can be exploited by particular adaptations the niches are various so it is rare that any given agent can exploit all of them as rare as finding a universal competitor in a tropical forest moreover niches are continually created by new adaptations it is because of this ongoing evolution of the niches and the perpetual novelty that results that the system operates far from any global attractor improvements are always possible and indeed occur regularly the everexpanding range of technologies and products in an economy or the everimproving strategies in a game like chess provide familiar examples adaptive systems may settle down temporarily at a local optimum where performance is good in a comparative sense but they are usually uninteresting if they remain at that optimum for an extended period a theory of complex adaptive systems based on aaa makes possible the development of well defined yet flexible models that exhibit emergent behavior such models can capture a wide range of economic phenomena precisely even though the development of a general mathematical theory of complex adaptive systems is still in its early stages the aaa models complement current theoretical directions they are

revolution evolution and local government structure an empirical analysis of london conventional analyses of local government structure focus on the revolutionary changes that result from deliberate reorganisations we propose a new perspective on structural change that emphasises the importance of evolutionary processes as well as radical reforms evolutionary changes in structure are caused for example by population growth or decline and reallocations of service responsibilities between tiers the argument is illustrated by an empirical analysis of fragmentation and concentration in the structure of local government in london the evidence reveals that structural change is the norm rather than the exception it occurs even when the absolute number of local government tiers and units is constant

unequal treatment of identical agents in cournot equilibrium oligopoly models where prior actions by firms affect subsequent marginal costs have been useful in illuminating policy debates in areas such as antitrust regulation environmental protection and international competition we discuss properties of such models when a cournot equilibrium occurs at the second stage aggregate production costs strictly decline with no change in gross revenue or gross consumer surplus if the prior actions strictly increase the variance of marginal costs without changing the marginal cost sum therefore unless the cost of inducing second stage asymmetry more than offsets this reduction in production costs the private and social optima are asymmetric

property prices tax and expenditure levels and local fiscal performance where adjacent local governments provide different combinations of local expenditure and tax levels net differentials in the market value of these fiscal baskets will be capitalized into property values given sufficient data hedonic price estimation can attempt to estimate the degree of capitalization more importantly these results can provide an insight into local fiscal performance via residents evaluations both of the level of local taxes and expenditure and the way in which money is spent this methodology is developed and applied to greater manchester england employing a database of 5828 transactions in residential properties

sources procedures and microeconomic effects of innovation fabio arcangeli paul david frank engelman christopher freeman massimo moggi richard nelson luigi orsenigo nathan rosenberg michele salvati g n von tunzelman two anonymous referees and the participants at the meeting of the committee on distribution growth and technical progress of the italian national research council cnr rome november 16 1985 have helped with various redraftings a particularly grateful acknowledgment is for the insightful and patient help of moses abramovitz this work has been undertaken at the science policy research unit spru university of sussex as part of the research program of the designated research centre sponsored by the economic and social research council esrc earlier support to the research that led to this paper by the italian national research council cnr is also gratefully acknowledged the statistical research has been undertaken with the assistance of stephano brioschi ilaria fornari and giovannu prennushi

equilibrium and reinforcement learning in private information games an experimental study abstract this paper examines the abilities of standard game theoretic solution concepts static nash equilibrium and a simple model of individual learning to describe subject behavior in an experiment involving private information games with mixed strategy nash equilibrium outcomes the experimental data are compared in several ways with the predictions of static nash equilibrium and the quite different predictions of the learning model which is based on the models of roth and erev 1995 games and economic behavior special issue nobel symposium vol 8 pp 164 212 nash equilibrium does not adequately describe subject behavior whereas the learning model performs well in describing aspects of the evolution in behavior over time

interorganizational alliances and the performance of firms a study of growth and innovation rates in a high technology industry this paper investigates the relationship between intercorporate technology alliances and firm performance it argues that alliances are access relationships and therefore that the advantages which a focal firm derives from a portfolio of strategic coalitions depend upon the resource profiles of its alliance partners in particular large firms and those that possess leading edge technological resources are posited to be the most valuable associates the paper also argues that alliances are both pathways for the exchange of resources and signals that convey social status and recognition particularly when one of the firms in an alliance is a young or small organization or more generally an organization of equivocal quality alliances can act as endorsements they build public confidence in the value of an organization s products and services and thereby facilitate the firm s efforts to attract customers and other corporate partners the findings from models of sales growth and innovation rates in a large sample of semiconductor producers confirm that organizations with large and innovative alliance partners perform better than otherwise comparable firms that lack such partners consistent with the status transfer arguments the findings also demonstrate that young and small firms benefit more from large and innovative strategic alliance partners than do old and large organizations copyright 2000 john wiley sons ltd

buying ecological services nature s harmonies fragmented reserves and the agricultural extensification debate growing demand for cropland products has placed intense pressure on the ability of land resources to support nature straining public budgets to purchase environmental goods fixing overall agricultural output two policy options are whether to promote more extensive and nature friendly farming practices or to produce intensively on some land and leave the rest wild microeconomic models of the topic have not accommodated widely recognized complementary spatial externalities in providing ecological services this article does so identifying also a third policy possibility this is that environmental services can follow a smoothly varying spatial path characterized by harmonic functions

cost manipulation games in oligopoly with costs of manipulating we analyze a class of two stage games where rival firms incur real resource costs in manipulating their marginal costs so as to influence the outcome of the game they want to play in stage two marginal costs may be manipulated by various means such as redistribution of productive assets choice of location or creation of an internal input market a general formulation of the game is provided and several applications are analyzed we show that the optimal allocation of resources within an oligopoly can be asymmetric even for ex ante symmetric firms this is an additional explanation of heterogeneity in oligopoly

the survival of international new ventures international new ventures invs are a popular mode of entry into foreign markets invs those companies that enter foreign markets at inception often suffer the two liabilities of newness and foreignness which may increase the odds of their failure this paper empirically examines the survival of invs by comparing them with other sequential modes of international operations e g acquisitions data from 275 british firms show that invs have lower unconditional survival probabilities than other modes of foreign market entry our analyses also show that differences in survival probabilities disappear when the firms competitive strategies are considered

incumbents use of pre entry alliances before expansion into new technical subfields of an industry industry incumbents frequently delay entry into emerging technical subfields fearing product cannibalization and uncertain investment and enter only after technical and market uncertainties have subsided we predict that many incumbents particularly stronger firms will participate in alliances with other firms before their standalone entry the alliances will be used to realize part of the value of specialized assets and to gain information about the emerging products and markets we support the predictions with evidence from the us market of the medical diagnostic imaging industry

money as a medium of exchange in an economy with artificially intelligent agents abstract we study the exchange economies of kiyotaki and wright 1989 in which agents must use a commodity or fiat money as a medium of exchange if trade is to occur our agents are artificially intelligent and are modeled as using classifier systems to make decisions in the assignment of credit within the classifier systems we introduce some innovations designed to study sequential decision problems in a multi agent environment for most economies that we have simulated trading and consumption patterns converge to a stationary nash equilibrium even if agents start with random rules in economies with multiple equilibria the only equilibrium that emerges in our simulations is the one in which goods with low storage costs play the role of medium of exchange i e the fundamental equilibrium of kiyotaki and wright

innovation and cooperation implications for competition and antitrust n k robel laureate robert solow and his colleagues on mit s industrial productivity commission recently noted dertouzos lester and solow 1989 p 7 undeveloped cooperative relationships between individuals and between organizations stand out in our industry studies as obstacles to technological innovation and the improvement of industrial performance and later p 105 that interfirm cooperation in the u s has often though not always been inhibited by government antitrust regulation these striking conclusions warrant further exploration unfortunately industrial organization textbooks still discuss horizontal cooperation and competition almost exclusively in terms of standard cartel theory on the other hand vertical cooperation contracting is viewed differently and some textbooks provide treatments of supplier buyer relationships in which cooperation is viewed as enhancing efficiency both in the textbooks and in policy discussion among economists cooperation among competitors is highly suspect being perhaps the last bastion of what was once referred to as the inhospitality tradition in antitrust as a result very little literature addresses how cooperation among competitors can promote competition notwithstanding that cooperation among competitors may sometimes be essential if innovating firms are to compete in today s increasingly global markets imai and baba 1989 such cooperation is already important in japan and in europe 1

size structure and administrative overheads an empirical analysis of english local authorities the relationship is analysed between size local government structure and administrative overheads in english local authorities size and structure effects are tested while controlling for a range of other variables including the relative prosperity of the local population and the diversity of their service needs the empirical results show that population size consistently has a linear negative effect central administrative costs are lower in larger local authorities the results also show that controlling for size administrative overheads are higher for councils in the lower tier of the existing two tier system the analysis provides support for arguments that economies of scale might be achieved by amalgamating smaller councils into larger units and by combining counties and districts into unitary authorities

resource constraints as triggers of radical innovation longitudinal evidence from the manufacturing sector abstract despite the significant role of radical innovation as a driver of firm growth and performance the consequences of resource constraints for radical innovation outcomes remain unknown our paper addresses this gap we combine arguments from entrepreneurship theory and the theory of recombinative innovation to construct an overarching theoretical framework that argues why resource constraints can promote rather than impede radical innovation we then build hypotheses on two specific resource constraints knowledge and financial and test these by a lagged variable random effects tobit model with longitudinal data from an exceptionally large and detailed innovation survey controlling for absorptive capacity firm age and firm growth we find full support for the hypothesis that knowledge constraints spur radical innovation and partial support for the hypothesis that financial constraints spur radical innovation we discuss the theoretical significance of these findings and point to managerial implications and paths for future research

network location and learning the influence of network resources and firm capabilities on alliance formation this paper presents a dynamic firm level study of the role of network resources in determining alliance formation such resources inhere not so much within the firm but reside in the interfirm networks in which firms are placed data from extensive fieldwork show that by influencing the extent to which firms have access to information about potential partners such resources are an important catalyst for new alliances especially because alliances entail considerable hazards this study also assesses the importance of firms capabilities with alliance formation and material resources as determinants of their alliance decisions i test this dynamic framework and its hypotheses about the role of time varying network resources and firm capabilities with comprehensive longitudinal multi industry data on the formation of strategic alliances by a panel of firms between 1970 and 1989 the results confirm field observations that accumulated network resources arising from firm participation in the network of accumulated prior alliances are influential in firms decisions to enter into new alliances this study highlights the importance of network resources that firms derive from their embeddedness in networks for explaining their strategic behavior copyright 1999 john wiley sons ltd

learning from competing partners outcomes and durations of scale and link alliances in europe north america and asia this paper investigates the outcomes and durations of strategic alliances among competing firms using alliance outcomes as indicators of learning by partner firms we show that alliance outcomes vary systematically across link and scale alliances link alliances are interfirm partnerships to which partners contribute different capabilities while scale alliances are partnerships to which partners contribute similar capabilities we find that partners are more likely to reorganize or take over link alliances than scale alliances by contrast scale alliances are more likely to continue without material changes the two types of alliances are equally likely to shut down at similar ages these results support the view that link alliances lead to greater levels of learning and capability acquisition between the partners than do scale alliances copyright 2000 john wiley sons ltd

cross border electricity market effects due to price caps in an emission trading system an agent based approach the recent low co2 prices in the european union emission trading scheme eu ets have triggered a discussion whether the eu ets needs to be adjusted we study the effects of co2 price floors and a price ceiling on the dynamic investment pathway of two interlinked electricity markets loosely based on great britain which already has introduced a price floor and on central western europe using an agent based electricity market simulation with endogenous investment and a co2 market including banking we analyse the cross border effects of national policies as well as system wide policy options a common moderate co2 auction reserve price results in a more continuous decarbonisation pathway this reduces co2 price volatility and the occurrence of carbon shortage price periods as well as the average cost to consumers a price ceiling can shield consumers from extreme price shocks these price restrictions do not cause a large risk of an overall emissions overshoot in the long run a national price floor lowers the cost to consumers in the other zone the larger the zone with the price floor the stronger the effect price floors that are too high lead to inefficiencies in investment choices and to higher consumer costs

the effects of local authority fiscal decisions on population levels in urban areas cuthbertson k foreman peck j and gripaios p 1982 the effects of local authority fiscal decisions on population levels in urban areas reg studies 16 165 71 the possible effects of local authority tax and expenditure decisions on population levels in local authority jurisdictions have largely been ignored in the uk despite both theoretical and empirical work in the usa which suggests that such effects could well be important this paper examines whether discriminatory local fiscal policies are indeed an important determinant of borough population levels in the uk by first presenting a simple model of population determination and then testing it with 1971 cross section data for the thirty two london boroughs the results suggest that both expenditure and tax policies do have important effects on population levels the composite effects depending on the extent to which expenditure is financed from domestic rates

fiscal migration and the london boroughs an amended version of the aronson schwartz model and a more detailed econometric model are used to test the proposition that population movements within the london metropolitan area are related to the value for money provided by local authorities both approaches reveal evidence of a significant relationship which has a variety of implications for policy towards local government finance

co evolution of firms industries and networks in space ter wal a l j and boschma r co evolution of firms industries and networks in space regional studies the cluster literature suffers from a number of shortcomings 1 it often neglects that cluster firms are heterogeneous in terms of capabilities 2 it tends to overemphasize the importance of geographical proximity and underestimates the role of networks and 3 it hardly addresses the origins and evolution of clusters the authors propose a theoretical framework that brings together the literature on clusters industrial dynamics the evolutionary theory of the firm and network theory it is described how clusters co evolve with 1 the industry with to they adhere 2 the capabilities of the firms they contain and 3 the industry wide knowledge network of which they are part ter wal a l j et boschma r la coevolution geographique des entreprises des industries et des reseaux regional studies la documentation sur les clusters souffre d un nombre de points faibles 1 elle ne tient c

the duality of collaboration inducements and opportunities in the formation of interfirm linkages i argue that the linkage formation propensity of firms is explained by simultaneously examining both inducement and opportunity factors drawing upon resource based and social network theory literatures i identify three forms of accumulated capital technical commercial and social that can affect a firm s inducements and opportunities to form linkages firms possessing these capital stocks enjoy advantages in linkages formation however firms lacking these accumulated resources can still form linkages if they generate a radical technological breakthrough thus i identify paths to linkage formation for leading as well as peripheral firms i test these arguments with longitudinal data on technical collaborative linkages in the global chemicals industry copyright 2000 john wiley sons ltd

knowledge and competitive advantage the coevolution of firms technology and national institutions this issue of jibs offers reviews of two books that analyse the dynamic interaction between the business environments and business strategies in very different ways the institutional underpinnings for business strategies are a major research topic for comparative management aiming to explain why in different contexts firms pursue different strategies and with different implications for performance j peter murman in knowledge and competitive advantage takes a historical perspective focusing on the co evolutionary processes between national innovation systems business strategies and performance this books thus adds to the industry level longitudinal research reviewed in jibs no 4 2003 tom murtha et al s managing new industry creation and david mckendrick et al s from silicon valley to singapore

r d subsidies external collaborative breadth differential gains and the role of collaboration experience abstract external collaboration breadth is important for firms to acquire the knowledge needed to innovate in this paper we combine cross sectional and longitudinal data from the spanish panel of technological innovation survey pitec to examine the indirect impact of r d subsidies on firm external collaboration breadth we contribute to understanding of the indirect impacts of r d subsidies by first providing strong evidence of an economically significant average positive impact of r d subsidies on firm external collaboration breadth second our results advance understanding of the differential impacts of r d subsidies by revealing the vast heterogeneity of the impact at the firm level where approximately only half of treated firms experience a positive collaboration impact from r d subsidies while the remainder experience no impact or a negative effect finally we advance understanding of the characteristics explaining the differential impact of r d subsidies on external collaboration breadth by utilising the organisational learning literature to demonstrate the important role of firm collaboration experience

genetic algorithms and inflationary economies abstract this paper studies overlapping generations economies in which agents use genetic algorithms to learn correct decision rules the results of computer simulations show that a genetic algorithm converges to the unique monetary steady state in case of a constant money supply policy and to the low inflation stationary equilibrium in case of a constant real deficit financed through seignorage features of the genetic algorithm adaptation are compared to the performance of other learning algorithms and to the behavior observed in experiments with human subjects in the same olg environments

the performance of corporate alliances evidence from oil and gas drilling in the gulf of mexico abstract i use data on oil and gas drilling in the gulf of mexico to measure how a corporate alliance a group of firms that jointly develops an offshore tract performs relative to a solo firm i employ a regression discontinuity strategy based on bids in first price sealed bid auctions for the rights to develop leases by focusing on leases where one organizational form narrowly outbids the other i measure drilling outcomes while controlling for the endogenous matching of projects and organizational forms solo firm leases are less profitable than alliance leases because alliance members combine their information and expertise

networks and innovation in a modular system lessons from the microcomputer and stereo component industries in this paper we examine theoretically and through case studies the phenomenon of the modular system which we distinguish from a product conceived of as a prepackaged entity or appliance we argue that such systems offer benefits on both the demand side and the supply side supply side benefits include the potential for autonomous innovation which is driven by the division of labor and provides the opportunity for rapid trial and error learning demand side benefits include the ability to fine tune the product to consumer needs and therefore blanket the product space more completely both of our case studies suggest that innovation in a modular system can lead to vertical and horizontal disintegration as firms can often best appropriate the rents of innovation by opening their technology to an outside network of competing and cooperating firms we conclude by speculating on the increased importance of modular systems in the future since flexible manufacturing and rising incomes are likely to increase the driving requisites of modular systems low economies of scale in assembly and sophisticated consumer tastes

spatial proximity and firm survival in a declining industrial district the case of knitwear firms in baden wu rttemberg the literature on small firm networks in industrial districts postulates the importance of territorial proximity for business innovation and regional development but empirical research to test this proposition is sparse while there is some research on the extent of interfirm co operation little is known about the performance outcomes of co operation i develop competing hypotheses from institutional ecological and random action theories concerning the survival chances of firms located in geographic proximity and test them with data on the complete population of knitwear firms in baden wurttemberg germany for the period from 1960 to 1998 proportional hazard estimates show that location in clusters of firms in the same industry increased business failure rates and location in diversified clusters of firms operating in complementary industries reduced failure rates the empirical results are most consistent with the ecological model of localized competition in resource environments la documentation

survival of businesses using collaborative relationships to commercialize complex goods authors with many theoretical and managerial perspectives argue that businesses commercializing technologically complex goods benefit when they collaborate closely with other businesses collaboration is viewed as a means for businesses to overcome competency limitations and to achieve the close configuration of components required for complex goods we predict that collaborative relationships often assist businesses to produce complex goods but that the relationships might also cause problems for the collaborating businesses we find that firms using development oriented and marketing oriented collaborative relationships in the hospital software systems industry are less likely to shut down than businesses that follow independent approaches when the environment changes gradually but businesses using collaborative relationships are sometimes susceptible to being acquired by other firms following a sudden environmental shock businesses with collaborative relationships for activities central to the shock became more likely to shut down while businesses with collaborative relationships for activities outside the focus of the shock became more likely to survive the study critically evaluates and tests the widely stated but little tested argument that interfirm collaboration is usually beneficial the results address the issue of whether organizational choices affect comparative business performance

when are nash equilibria independent of the distribution of agents characteristics author s bergstrom ted varian hal r abstract we present examples of nash equilibria that do not vary with the distribution of a parameter across agents and then offer a general theorem that characterizes this independence

death of the lethargic effects of expansion into new technical subfields on performance in a firm s base business this paper finds that industry incumbents that do not expand into new technical subfields tend to fare poorly in their established businesses even if the market for the established products continues to exist firms that expand from their established businesses survive longer and achieve greater subsequent market share than competitors that do not expand by some measures however a failed attempt to expand into a new subfield may be even more harmful to a base business than nonexpansion the study employs conventional and accelerated event time regression models to analyze market share and survival the sample which includes 371 incumbents in four base subfields of the medical diagnostic imaging industry between 1953 and 1989 examines performance following the emergence of five new technical subfields of the industry

on the origin of strategy action and cognition over time we develop a perspective on how managers search for a strategy in the spirit of cyert and march 1963 we aim for a perspective that reflects the reality of managerial behavior that respects both the reasoning power of managers and the bounds on their rationality and that permits organizations to change but within realistic limits our perspective employs the variable time to frame the question of strategy s origins in a distinctive way over time the cognitive and physical elements that make up a strategy become less plastic while mechanisms to search rationally for a strategy become more available this generates a fundamental tension in the origin of strategy managers struggle to understand their environment well enough to search rationally for an effective strategy before their firms lose the plasticity necessary to exploit that understanding a focus on time allows us to synthesize and extend the evolutionary and positioning models of strategic search toward this end we couple induction and deduction the inductive part of the paper uses detailed observation of the search for a strategy at one firm to identify constructs that play a crucial role in strategic search the deductive part steps beyond our focal firm and uses these constructs to derive theoretical propositions about the typical path of strategic search and the mortality associated with different approaches to search

the underemphasized role of established firms as the sources of major innovations we argue that established firms including industry incumbents and diversifying entrants play vital all underemphasized roles as the sources of major innovations in many industries the study presents empirical evidence showing that established firms are often sources of major innovations in the telecommunications and medical sectors we conduct an exploratory investigation of how variation in the types of technical and market change influence whether industry incumbents diversifying entrants or nets companies are the sources of major innovations copyright 1996 by oxford university press