software industry development in the third world policy guidelines institutional options and constraints abstract this paper examines the constraints and opportunities facing developing country software industries it investigates the sources of competitive advantage in software production and scrutinizes the assertion that developing countries will have a competitive advantage in software development due in large part to a presumed labor intensity it concludes that certain countries either possess or can acquire a competitive advantage in the development of software but that governments should temper their efforts in this field with a degree of realism that takes into account what is attainable given existing constraints finally the paper offers some policy guidelines with which governments can help fashion a strategy for this sector s development

sovereign debt as a contingent claim a quantitative approach abstract we construct a dynamic equilibrium model with contingent service and adverse selection to quantitatively study sovereign debt in the model benefits of defaulting are tempered by higher future interest rates for a wide set of parameters the only equilibrium is one in which the sovereign defaults in all states additional output losses however sustain equilibria that resemble the data we show that due to the adverse selection problem some countries choose to delay default to reduce loss of reputation moreover although equilibria with no default imply greater welfare levels they are not sustainable in highly indebted and volatile countries

organizations space and capital in the development of korea s electronics industry suarez villa l and han p h 1990 organizations space and capital in the development of korea s electronics industry reg studies 25 327 343 this paper analyses the effect of foreign and domestic capital on the organization of production and the spatial distribution of korea s electronics industry an assessment of korea s international advantages and their impact on trade labour employment and foreign capital is followed by factor analyses using data collected through establishment surveys these provide a set of significant organizational dimensions based on a differentiation of capital and regional location where scale is found to be a most important factor in production domestic capital contributes more than foreign capital to the integration of electronics in korea s productive structure but has a lower export emphasis and tends to concentrate more in the primate metropolitan region suarez villa l et han p h 1991 organisations espace et capital dans le developpement de l electroniqu

the role of institutions in reputation models of sovereign debt abstract a standard explanation for why sovereign governments repay their debts is that they must maintain a good reputation to easily borrow more we show that the ability of reputation to support debt depends critically on the assumptions made about institutions at one extreme we assume that bankers can default on payments they owe to governments at the other we assume that bankers are committed to honoring contracts made with governments we show that if bankers can default then a government gets enduring benefits from maintaining a good relationship with bankers and its reputation can support a large amount of borrowing if however bankers must honor their contracts then a government gets only transient benefits from maintaining a good relationship and its reputation can support zero borrowing

occupational attainment and gender earnings differentials in mexico women earned about 20 8 less than men in mexico in 1987 a difference that increased to 22 0 by 1993 using 1987 93 data from mexico s national urban employment survey the authors study the role of occupational attainment in this wage differential most of the 1987 93 increase in the gender log monthly earnings gap they find can be explained by relative chnges in human capital endowments wage coefficient changes would have slightly reduced the gap all else equal the increasing male female earnings differential was tempered by a substantial decline in gender differences in occupational attainment from 1987 to 1993 most of the male female differences in earnings in both 1987 and 1993 can be explained by differences in rewards to individual endowments rather than gender differences in endowments

default settlement and signalling lending resumption in a reputational model of sovereign debt this paper develops a simple model of sovereign debt in which defaulting nations are excluded from capital markets and regain access by making partial repayments this implication of the model is consistent with the historical evidence that defaulting countries return to international loan markets soon after a settlement but after varying periods of exclusion copyright 1995 by economics department of the university of pennsylvania and the osaka university institute of social and economic research association

trends countertrends and gaps in women s employment abstract the factors driving global integration namely trade expansion technological change and the internationalization of production have altered production patterns and changed the composition of output in both developed and developing countries as global patterns and modes of production have changed there has been a general shift away from agriculture toward industry and services along with these output changes have come significant changes in regional and national employment in developing and developed countries these changes span divergent trends on the one hand there is the increased availability of more and better quality employment as workers shift out of agriculture and subsistence production and into waged employment in the expanding manufacturing and service sectors on the other hand there have been sectors where the trend has been away from formalization toward the informalization and semi formalization of production activities and employment practices women have generally benefited from improvements in the world economy this article demonstrates however that patterns of employment and income generation among women often diverge however from global trends in important ways that suggest that the forces shaping global integration effect women differently the article frames a policy discussion that the international center for research on women led to debate the implications of recent trends in women s employment in the developing and developed world the six articles in this section represent this discussion they span a range of empirical and theoretical inquiry exploring global employment trends and highlighting changes in women s participation in formal and informal economic activities

the domestic turn business processing outsourcing and the growing automation of kenyan organisations abstractafter observing the growth of the indian and filipino business process outsourcing bpo sectors kenyan policy makers and managers made substantial investments in international internet infrastructure and bpo marketing campaigns while observers continue to discuss the sector in terms of its international work opportunities in recent years the sector has increasingly focused on contracts sourced from kenyan and other east african clients the government has also refocused efforts on attracting international bpo companies this domestic turn signals both the difficulties of gaining access to overseas work due to the power of incumbents and the increasing use of the internet and ict enabled automation within kenyan organisations in effect better connectivity has enabled a two way globalisation of services kenyan bpo companies can access international work opportunities but connectivity has also contributed to the inflow of international business practices into kenya the conclusion examines wha

reputation and imperfect information abstract a common observation in the informal literature of economics and elsewhere is that is multistage games players may seek early in the game to acquire a reputation for being tough or benevolent or something else but this phenomenon is not observed in some formal game theoretic analyses of finite games such as selten s finitely repeated chain store game or in the finitely repeated prisoners dilemma we reexamine selten s model adding to it a small amount of imperfect or incomplete information about players payoffs and we find that this addition is sufficient to give rise to the reputation effect that one intuitively expects

firm capabilities technological dynamism and the internationalisation of innovation a behavioural approach we develop a behavioural framework of bounded rational decision making under uncertainty to analyse the role of technological dynamism in the firm s environment for its decision to internationalise innovation applying prospect theory we argue that technological uncertainty in the firm s environment affects its risk preferences differently depending on its technological capabilities a key prediction is that firms with low capabilities will internationalise innovation when faced by technological uncertainty while firms with high capabilities will concentrate their innovation at the home base we also argue that our behavioural approach based on prospect theory is not a stand alone programme but benefits from the integration with traditional concepts in ib in particular we make a case that organisational measures fostering absorptive capacity such as intensive personnel exchange between headquarters and subsidiaries can help to attenuate the high capability firms tendency to concentrate innovation at the home base when faced by high uncertainty we corroborate the predictions of our framework based on data from the german part of the community innovation survey

software industry entry strategies for developing countries a walking on two legs proposition abstract two themes run through the following analysis first countries without a relatively active and up to date software sector will find it increasingly difficult to catch up in terms of capital outlays labor skills and the growing importance of technology changes organization and management in software production they will not have for example software management experience to undertake increasingly large and complex software development projects a quality consciousness and the institutional and support infrastructure for marketing and forming product development alliances with dominant international firms in the sector second the learning curves for domestic and international market activities are quite different the domestic software market being an important base for skills experience and establishing a track record that may later be applied to exports two developing countries india and brazil have used different development strategies for their software industries and as could be expected with disparate results both the brazilian and the indian software industries are trying to walk on one leg the domestic leg in the case of brazil and the export leg in the case of india both countries have at least some potential for moving to a two legged model assessment of these two industries suggests that countries need to pay more attention to domestic opportunities since these have high returns in terms of gaining experience and innovation in software production and provide training that allows a broadening of software exports

nominal sovereign debt i show that reputation alone can sustain nominal sovereign debt which is subject to both the risks of default and opportunistic devaluations nominal debt combined with a countercyclical exchange rate policy allows more hedging against shocks than real savings if markets are incomplete thus the loss of either repayment or monetary reputation severely affects the government s ability to smooth consumption the model offers a simple explanation for the bulow and rogoff critique while simultaneously helping explain the issuance of nominal sovereign bonds by emerging economies the model also helps explain why many governments borrow and save at the same time

a selectivity model of employer size wage differentials this article investigates wage differentials for employees of different size firms utilizing an econometric methodology that allows the size of employer to be treated as endogenous in the context of discrete ordered employer size data as a result we are able to estimate i employer size wage gaps which are corrected for selectivity bias and ii the magnitude and direction of the selection bias decompositions of the resulting wage differentials are computed with comparisons of the conditional on sorting across employer size and unconditional wage gaps

software industry an opportunity for latin america abstract many developing countries are looking for entry points to the expanding informatics market software has been viewed in some of them as offering an opportunity to exploit low wage and capital requirements this paper presents the main characteristics of the software market and industry in latin america it analyzes the local supply of traded software including the origin scope of activities and size of firms their main products and technology in use export experiences from several latin american countries are also briefly presented recognizing that further research on the issue is still required on the basis of this empirical evidence the comparative advantages and obstacles that the region faces to establish a solid software industry are discussed it is argued that considerable efforts would be required to transform current expectations into reality a basic point is that even if good software can be developed marketing and distribution barriers particularly for packaged software are difficult to penetrate the main policy issues relating to the building up of a software industry are summarized taking the heterogeneity of markets and products into account

uneven and combined development understanding india s software exports abstract the evolution of the indian software sector is explained by the larger context of uneven and combined development the imperatives of a market driven global order suggest an open ended process of development making some economic and technological convergence realizable but also generating contradictions at various levels this paper focuses on differential innovative capability the uneven diffusion of technical education in india and the increasing economic integration of the software industry as sources of uneven development the combined nature of the development process is reflected in the coexistence of the successful software sector with several lagging sectors with all of them being functionally integrated as part of indian social formation to cope with the contradictions of such change a balanced development will be critical to make development more inclusive deep structural problems that plague those outside the orbit of the successful software industry must be resolved

the computer industry in the third world policy options and constraints abstract the paper examines the conditions for the development of an indigenous computer industry in third world countries it argues that within the existing international division of labor in the industry the opportunities for local computer production are limited for most developing countries increasing levels of automation are likely to result in diminished competitiveness for any but the largest manufacturers only countries with large internal markets can expect to sustain an integrated computer manufacturing base for most countries a niche oriented approach concentrating on the development of software and the configuration of systems for local and possibly regional vertical markets is apt to be the most viable entry strategy selective backward integration into hardware manufacture may be possible but the types of equipment manufactured locally must be carefully selected with a view not only to the potential domestic market but also to the suitability of the existing infrastructure and supplier networks to support cost effective manufacture for the establishment of an industry which is at least semi autonomous technologically policymakers need to take measures to strengthen the r d infrastructure to upgrade scientific and technical education and to induce those nationals working for computer multinationals whether at home or abroad to start up their own local computer ventures skilled and experienced computer specialists as well as a computer literate population are perhaps the two most valuable assets for the development of an indigenous computer industry

predation reputation and entry deterrence abstract economists often argue that predatory practices are irrational since there exist cheaper or more certain means to gain or maintain a monopoly our gametheoretic equilibrium analysis suggests that if a firm is threatened by several potential entrants then predation may be rational against early entrants even if it is costly when viewed in isolation because it yields a reputation which deters other entrants asymmetric information plays a crucial role in our analysis since it provides the rationale for entrants to base their expectations of the firm s future behavior on its past actions the analysis also suggests methods to treat general reputational phenomena

non economic engagement and international exchange the case of environmental treaties we examine the role of non economic partnerships in promoting international economic exchange since far sighted countries are more willing to join costly international partnerships such as environmental treaties environmental engagement tends to encourage international lending countries with such non economic partnerships also find it easier to engage in economic exchanges since they face the possibility that debt default might also spill over to hinder their non economic relationships we present a theoretical model of these ideas and then verify their empirical importance using a bilateral cross section of data on international crossholdings of assets and environmental treaties our results support the notion that international environmental cooperation facilitates economic exchange

the next wave of globalization relocating service provision to india summary services offshoring to india has grown dramatically in the last 10 years it is linked to the earlier expansion of indian software services exports but has its own dynamic and workforce although domestic firms were early entrants mncs are central actors already some work done in india resembles that done in developed countries to explain the dynamism and complexity of offshoring a taxonomy of market participants is presented offshoring by small entrepreneurial us firms is highlighted as an emerging phenomenon the conclusion argues that market entry by other developing countries is possible

male female wage differentials and policy responses without implicating them for any of the contents of the paper i am grateful to the following for helpful discussions or comments andrea beller university of illinois david bloom harvard and columnbia glen cain university of wisconsin ron ehrenberg cornell victor fuchs stanford bob gregory australian national university jonathan leonard university of california berkeley roberta robb brock university and paul weiler harvard financial support of the humanities and social sciences committee of the research board of the universitu of toronto is eratefullu acknowlede ed

institutions and the external capital structure of countries abstract a widespread view holds that countries that finance themselves through foreign direct investment and portfolio equity rather than bonds and loans are less prone to crises but what determines countries external capital structures in a cross section of advanced economies emerging markets and developing countries we find that equity like liabilities as a share of countries total external liabilities are positively and significantly associated with indicators of educational attainment openness natural resource abundance and especially institutional quality these relationships are robust to attempts to control for possible endogeneity suggesting that better institutional quality may help improve countries external capital structures

strategic models of sovereign debt renegotiations the sovereign debt literature has often implicitly assumed that all the power in the bargaining game between debtor and creditor lies with the latter this paper explores that assumption by analyzing three game theoretic models of debt renegotiations in two of the models both of which are built on the traditional one sector growth model all the subgame perfect equilibria have an extreme form in which the game s surplus is captured by the creditor the third game has many subgame perfect equilibria that do not have this feature however the roles of various assumptions in all three games are examined

global delivery models the role of talent speed and time zones in the global outsourcing industry global delivery models gdms are transforming the global it and business process outsourcing industry gdms are a new form of client specific investment promoting service integration with clients by combining client proximity with time zone spread for 24 7 service operations we investigate antecedents and contingencies of setting up gdm structures based on comprehensive data we show that providers are likely to establish gdm location configurations when clients value access to globally distributed talent and speed of service delivery in particular when services are highly commoditized findings imply that coordination across time zones increasingly affects international operations in business to business and born global industries

public private wage differentials in haiti do public servants earn a rent abstract this study uses a newly collected data set on haiti where data are very limited to assess how individuals are selected into the public vs private sectors and to estimate public private sector wage differentials the central question is whether or not public servants are earning a rent the estimation procedure is an extension of heckman s 1979 sample selection technique to the case where two selection rules generate the sample the procedure first estimates by bivariate probit analysis the probability of employment in the public or private sector and then for those in the public sector the probability of employment in the state owned enterprises soes vs public administration wage functions are then estimated for all three sectors using the inverse mills ratios from reduced form probits selectivity bias is found to exist in one sector soes correction for this bias in the wage equations lowers the wage differentials between the soe and the private sector and the soe and public administration as is clearly demonstrated by the oaxaca decomposition of these estimated mean differentials nevertheless the corrected findings still indicate that the public sector especially the soes earn a sizable rent

country solidarity in sovereign crises when will solidarity which emerges spontaneously from the fear of spillovers be reinforced through contracting the optimal pact between countries that differ substantially in their probability of distress is a simple debt contract with market financing a borrowing cap but no joint liability while joint liability augments total surplus the borrowing country cannot compensate the deep pocket guarantor by contrast the optimal pact between two countries symmetrically exposed to shocks with an arbitrary correlation is a simple debt contract with joint liability provided that shocks are sufficiently independent spillovers sufficiently large liquidity needs moderate and available sanctions sufficiently tough

international lending with moral hazard and risk of repudiation in this paper i examine the constrained optimal pattern of capital flows between a lender and a borrower in an environment in which there are two impediments to forming contracts the first impediment to contracting arises from the assumption that lenders cannot observe whether borrowers invest or consume borrowed funds this assumption leads to a moral hazard problem in investment the second impediment arises from the assumption that the borrower as a sovereign nation may choose to repudiate his debts the optimal contract is shown to specify that the borrowing country experience a capital outflow when the worst realizations of national output occur this seemingly perverse capital outflow forms a necessary part of the optimal solution to the moral hazard problem in investment