bootstrapping the data envelopment analysis malmquist productivity index this paper presents a bootstrap approach to calculate confidence intervals for firm specific malmquist productivity indices obtained from data envelopment analysis dea models the bootstrap is easily implemented and allows identification of production units that have significant productivity changes an application using data from swedish eye care departments is included we find that 40 of departments have significant progress in productivity whereas only 10 of the departments have a significant regress in productivity this differs from the original results where about half the sample have estimates of progress and the other half have estimates of regress in productivity

a fresh look at the productivity and efficiency changes of uk airlines this article uses the bootstrapped malmquist index methodology to measure and test the extent of efficiency and productivity changes in the uk airline sector the aim of the bootstrap method is to overcome the statistical limitations of the data envelopment analysis dea method generally used to measure the distance functions of the malmquist index in applying the method we use input output data on a sample of major uk airlines for the period 2004 2007 results showed that most airlines have witnessed significant decrease in their productivity efficiency scale and technology measures using a second stage tobit regression this article attributed the sources of productivity and efficiency changes to factors such as stage length load factor and airline size this article also discussed the negative impacts of oil price using illustrations from the uk and other international airlines

joint management of emission abatement and technological innovation for stock externalities we investigate how emission abatement and technological innovation provide different solutions to reduce pollutant emissions in the case of a stock externality emission abatement leads to a smooth and continuous adjustment of emissions conversely technological innovation has to be interpreted as an option on a less polluted environment and can justify the use of a pollution threshold above which it is optimal to start a research and development programme for a less polluting technology it is shown that technological innovation interferes with the traditional emission abatement approach the optimal abatement level is logically lowered once the less polluting technology is available nevertheless a temporary increase in emissions is optimal during the research and development period the usual pigouvian tax system proves to remain an efficient corrective instrument a numerical application to the greenhouse effect is provided

endogenous future preferences and conservation a dynamic optimization model is developed in whichuncertainty about future preferences is endogenous namely depending on the state of the environment atthe time the change in preferences occurs endogeneizing preferences not only provides economicintuition to previous results but also implies thatoptimal policies are less conservative

quasi option value some misconceptions dispelled abstract we discuss a couple of important issues in the recent literature on quasi option value we show that the assertion that quasi option value can be negative in a model with independent learning is based on confusion between quasi option value which is always positive and the net benefit of preservation of a natural environment subject to development which is not we also explore the significance of different assumptions about the nature of learning and show that the result that quasi option value is positive is surprisingly robust

the sign and size of option value we adapt the theoretical state preference model to value nonmarket public goods under individual uncertainty about use illustrating with an assessment of willingness to pay to prevent acid rain lake damage in the northeast united states individual

ex post efficiency and ex post welfare some fundamental considerations ross starr 1973 demonstrates that a competitive equilibrium while ex ante pareto efficient may not be ex post efficient the authors contend that an implicit second best issue requires that this assertion be substantively qualified specifically the ex ante efficiency concept is second best while its ex post counterpart is first best they est ablish the equivalency of first best ex post and ex ante concepts whe never the second best ex ante efficiency conditions hold the second best elements derive from the timing of information flows starr s theorem is shown to concern the social gains from improved information additional results deal with varying concepts of ex post welfare copyright 1988 by the london school of economics and political science

airline deregulation the cost pieces of the puzzle this paper analyzes cost changes in the u s airline industry in the pre and postderegulation era using a panel data set of airlines specifically it seeks to disentangle cost changes attributable to technical change economies of scale and density and input prices the authors estimate a purely general index of industry technical change and in turn analyze its determinants despite the slowing of productivity growth in the 1980s deregulation does appear to have stimulated technical change due to more efficient route structures copyright 1995 by economics department of the university of pennsylvania and the osaka university institute of social and economic research association

the use of bootstrapped malmquist indices to reassess productivity change findings an application to a sample of polish farms this article assesses the extent to which sampling variation affects findings about malmquist productivity change derived using data envelopment analysis dea in the first stage by calculating productivity indices and in the second stage by investigating the farm specific change in productivity confidence intervals for malmquist indices are constructed using simar and wilson s 1999 bootstrapping procedure the main contribution of this article is to account in the second stage for the information in the second stage provided by the first stage bootstrap the dea ses of the malmquist indices given by bootstrapping are employed in an innovative heteroscedastic panel regression using a maximum likelihood procedure the application is to a sample of 250 polish farms over the period 1996 to 2000 the confidence intervals results suggest that the second half of 1990s for polish farms was characterized not so much by productivity regress but rather by stagnation as for the determinants of farm productivi

learning and stock effects in environmental regulation the case of greenhouse gas emissions abstract this paper concerns the optimal regulation of greenhouse gases that lead to global climate change in particular we focus on uncertainty and learning which over time resolves uncertainty we present an empirical stochastic model of climate economy interactions and present results on the tension between postponing control until more is known vs acting now before irreversible climate change takes place uncertainty in our model is in the damage caused by global warming the results suggest that a temporary carbon tax may dominate a permanent one because a temporary tax may induce increased flexibility

decomposition of the fisher ideal index of productivity a non parametric dual analysis of us airlines data in this paper we offer a non parametric method of decomposing the fisher ideal index of productivity into individual factors measuring i technical efficiency change ii allocative efficiency change iii shift in the cost function iv scale economies due to output change and v an adjustment factor reflecting change in the output attributes cross section data from the us airline industry for the years i 983 and i 984 are utilised in an empirical application illustrating this method the rate of multifactor productivity growth mfpg over time in the single output multiple input case can be measured by the difference in the rates of growth in the quantity of output and the divisia index of input quantity when no technical inefficiency exists this rate of mfpg can be decomposed into two additive components i the rate of technical change measuring the rate of change in the volume of output holding the input bundle unchanged and ii a returns to scale effect showing change in productivity with changes in the input quantities without technical change when technical efficiency varies over time a part of the measured rate of mfpg would be due to efficiency

productivity change and its determinants among leading mobile operators in europe the european mobile telecommunications industry has seen increased competition and market saturation in recent years so improving productivity will become crucially important for mobile operators in the near future this study adopts a bootstrap malmquist index approach to estimate productivity change among a sample of 23 of europe s leading mobile operators over the 2008 to 2009 period using a second stage regression this article also analyses the determinants of productivity changes in terms of regulation competition and ownership structure the results show that mobile companies operating in countries that have recently joined the eu have a positive association with productivity change in contrast to their counterparts in south east europe concerning market competition the leading mobile operators that experience higher productivity changes operate in more concentrated markets the results also indicate that international mobile operators perform better in terms of productivity change than their

renewal theory and natural resource regulatory policy under uncertainty abstract in this paper we show how renewal theory can be used to model a large class of natural resource regulatory problems involving systemic and policy uncertainty we stress the policy implications of our approach and then we suggest possible extensions

efficiency of hospitals in germany a dea bootstrap approach various attempts to assess the performance of german hospitals have generated a wide range of estimates regarding their efficiency these attempts were based on different often rather small data sets consisting of heterogeneous hospitals the techniques applied range from simple benchmarking approaches to studies which employ data envelopment analysis dea some studies report dramatic differences in efficiency and propose savings potentials of 50 others find an average efficiency in excess of 95 and characterize almost 75 of their observations as fully efficient this study presents results for two datasets representative of two segments of the german hospital system these segments comprise all hospitals that have one internal medicine and one surgery department the hospitals are located in the old federal states of germany none of the hospitals provides tertiary care dea can be applied because all hospitals offer a comparable quality and range of services the results were estimated with a d

improving the accuracy of dea efficiency analysis a bootstrap application to the health care foodservice industry this article analyses the efficiency of health care foodservice operations and its determinants using a data envelopment analysis dea bootstrapping approach the purpose of using the bootstrapping approach is two fold first to obtain the bias corrected estimates and the confidence intervals of dea efficiency scores and second to overcome the correlation problem of dea efficiency scores and to provide consistent inferences in explaining the determinants of health care foodservice efficiency the approach was implemented on a sample of 89 health care foodservice operations the results showed the presence of inefficiency in the sample with an average efficiency level of 72 6 further the results from analysing the determinants of health care foodservice operations provided policy implication regarding the factors that might improve the efficiency of health care foodservice operations

option value a conceptual overview the importance of nonuser benefits to the process of efficiently allocating natural environments was first emphasized by krutilla 15 a decade and a half ago one of the components of these nonuser benefits is option value originally introduced by weisbrod 23 as relevant for assets that might be difficult to reproduce option value has been the subject of considerable debate perhaps the simplest approach to explaining the meaning of option value is to use an example consider an individual who is uncertain whether he or she will consume the services of a particular asset in the future furthermore assume this individual is also uncertain whether the asset will be available in the future should he

productivity comparison of european airlines bootstrapping malmquist indices abstractthe study explored the operating efficiency and variability of productivity estimates of european airlines we applied malmquist productivity indices mpi with a bootstrap method to assess the productivities of european airlines in four regions in europe the productivity of small sized airlines lagged further behind that of large sized airlines because of their inferior technological change tc effects derived from inefficient resource allocation to sustain a competitive advantage this study also indicated that the western european airlines were more efficient on average than those in other areas of europe the applications of malmquist productivity techniques in assessing the performance of european airlines are highlighted in their effective resource allocation sustained competitive advantage and optimized operating performance

information and the dynamics of environmental protection the concept of the critical period earlier work on environmental decisions under uncertainty is extended from two periods to many permitting treatment of a richer variety of problems implications for pollution control policy of several different kinds of ecosystem recovery dynamics are considered in the context of improving information about ecosystem behavior and preferences for environmental goods multiperiod analogs of the two period concept of quasi option value are developed

adjusting to climate change implications of increased variability and asymmetric adjustment costs for investment in water reserves abstract in this paper we study the determination of optimal water storage capacity in a region taking into account that the supply of the resource the flow into the reserve is uncertain that a measure of the uncertainty the variance is likely to increase with climate change that building capacity is costly and that the development of water resources may entail alsoenvironmental costs we find that water storage capacity in the long run ispositivelyrelated to increases in uncertainty if the marginal benefit of water withdrawal isconvexand that for the case of costly reversibility of investment a range of inaction for investment appears and the stability of water storage capacity with respect to changes in variance increases

option value an exposition and extension this article examines the role of the discount rate in making decisions that will have significant implications for the environment the authors begin by providing a rationale for discounting in general and by describing the main factors that determine

decomposition of hours based on extensive and intensive margins of labor abstract we decompose the underlying disturbances in total hours into three kinds disturbances that shift the level of employment in the long run those that change the sectoral composition of employment in the long run and those that cause temporary movement of hours our identifying restriction exploits the distinctive nature of the two margins of labor employment and hours per worker based on the postwar u s data we find that aggregate and sectoral disturbances are roughly equally important for the cyclical fluctuations of aggregate hours

are u s airlines really in crisis this study reflects on the technical efficiency of u s airlines using a bayesian random stochastic frontier model inferences from the bayesian estimation indicate that the random model fits the data well and outperforms the traditional stochastic frontier model the technical efficiency results indicate that u s airlines are operating at a declining efficiency rate with an average of 69 02 in 2007 results from returns to scale are also in line with the efficiency results more specific discussions on the current industry trends and other contributions of this study are presented and discussed

impact of input substitution and output transformation on data envelopment analysis decisions abstractdata envelopment analysis dea can aid managerial decision making because it offers an opportunity to measure organizational performance in a holistic manner aggregating data from partial indicators into a single comprehensive measure however there are some methodological hazards associated with the use of dea that are especially relevant to managerial decisions but which have been largely ignored in the literature herein we identify and show the impact of a ubiquitous methodological hazard in dea modelling the economic assumptions regarding input substitutions and output transformations

pollution accumulation and firm incentives to accelerate technological change under uncertain private benefits the paper explores the relationships between the design of public incentives and the policy maker s desired timing of abandonment of a polluting technology when this requires an irreversible private investment and the firm faces uncertain appropriable benefits from the technological change two regulatory approaches are examined firstly we consider the quite common one of lowering the private investment cost through a subsidy in order to bridge the gap between the private and the policy maker s desired timing of environmental innovation secondly we consider a policy scenario where the regulator instead of simply lowering the investment s rental price also stimulates abandonment of the polluting technology by reducing through appropriate announcements the uncertainty surrounding the technological switch s private profitability we then compare the two approaches and show the latter s benefits in terms of the policy s effectiveness and or budgetary savings