the effect of decision order on purchase quantity decisions abstract consumers often resolve trade offs in a particular order for example when making flavor and size decisions consumers might first decide which flavors to choose and then decide which sizes of those flavors to choose this research examines the effect of decision order on purchase quantity decisions the authors build on prior work on decision difficulty and conflict to show that consumers choose more overall and more variety when they consider a less replaceable attribute in an earlier rather than a later stage in the purchase decision for example consumers choose a greater quantity when flavor or brand decisions precede rather than follow size decisions the authors find that the degree of attribute replaceability also moderates the effect of decision order on quantity chosen furthermore marketers can influence the amount chosen by altering the organization of the shelf display finally the authors find that when consumers explicitly consider the possibility of deferring their dec

licensing effect in consumer choice abstract most choices in the real world follow other choices or judgments the authors show that a prior choice which activates and boosts a positive self concept subsequently licenses the choice of a more self indulgent option the authors propose that licensing can operate by committing to a virtuous act in a preceding choice which reduces negative self attributions associated with the purchase of relative luxuries five studies demonstrate the proposed licensing effect of a prior commitment to a virtuous act on subsequent choice consistent with the authors theory the preference for an indulgent option diminishes if the licensing task is attributed to an external motivation the authors also report a mediation analysis in support of their theoretical explanation that the licensing effect operates by providing a temporary boost in the relevant self concept

the compromise effect in action lessons from a restaurant s menu the compromise effect refers to individuals tendency to choose intermediate options its existence has been demonstrated in a large number of hypothetical choice experiments this paper uses field data from a specialties restaurant to investigate the existence and strength of the compromise effect in a natural environment despite the presence of many factors that potentially weaken the compromise effect e g a very large choice set the opportunity to choose familiar options we find evidence for it both in descriptive statistics and regression analyses options which become a compromise after a change in the choice set gain on average five percent in market share we also find that the compromise effect is especially pronounced in groups while for single customers it is statistically insignificant

the turnover of teachers a competing risks explanation in this paper we analyze the decision by teachers to leave the profession in a dependent competing risks framework the econometric model allows for a flexible semiparametric specification of the duration dependence structure and of the unobserved heterogeneity distribution in each exit specific hazard function our results obtained for a large sample of uk teachers affirm the importance of teacher salaries and opportunity wages in the turnover decision of teachers and illustrate the insight gained from differentiating between multiple destinations or exit types

business political power the case of taxation we examine contending views about the forms and mechanisms of business power in u s politics by estimating time series models explaining taxation and redistribution taxation and redistribution constitute strong cases for theories about business and class power since all firms have an interest in reducing taxation we find that changes in corporate taxation and in redistribution between capital gains income and earned income and between corporate taxation and individual taxation are strongly influenced by political partisanship with democratic administrations increasing the tax burden on firms and their owners how far corporations engage in electoral financing measured through the establishment of corporate political action committees is also influential the models show some evidence consistent with the understanding of class power conceptualized by bowles gordon and weisskopf and the presence of election cycle effects but inconsistent with implications arising from the structural dependence of the state on capital and asset concentration in the largest corporations as a mechanism of class power

using extremeness aversion to fight obesity policy implications of context dependent demand this article illustrates how the compromise effect alters consumers selection of soft drinks using three within subject studies we show that extremeness aversion and price insensitivity cause consumers to increase their consumption when the smallest drink size is dropped or when a larger drink size is added to a set as a result rational firms find it best to drop the smaller sizes and add a larger size thus increasing overall consumption after estimating each individual s demand as a function of price and drink size availability policy experiments demonstrate how it is possible to reduce soft drink consumption without additional taxation

the teacher labour market and teacher quality a growing body of empirical evidence shows teacher quality to be the most important schooling factor predicting students learning gains unfortunately us public schools face difficulties attracting the best and brightest college graduates over the last several decades there has been a notable shift in the occupational choices of prospective teachers the most academically proficient college graduates were in the 1960s as likely to enter teaching as any other occupation today however teachers are disproportionately drawn from the lower end of the academic proficiency distribution we explore these trends and speculate on the reasons for them in particular we focus on the roles of compensation structures and changes in the labour market in explaining the occupational decisions made by existing college graduates and what these foreshadow for the teacher work force in the future copyright 2004 oxford university press

lobbying as legislative subsidy professional lobbyists are among the most experienced knowledgeable and strategic actors one can find in the everyday practice of politics nonetheless their behavioral patterns often appear anomalous when viewed in the light of existing theories we revisit these anomalies in search of an alternative theory we model lobbying not as exchange vote buying or persuasion informative signaling but as a form of legislative subsidy a matching grant of policy information political intelligence and legislative labor to the enterprises of strategically selected legislators the proximate political objective of this strategy is not to change legislators minds but to assist natural allies in achieving their own coincident objectives the theory is simple in form realistic in its principal assumptions and counterintuitive in its main implications empirically the model renders otherwise anomalous regularities comprehensible and predictable in a later section we briefly bring preferences back in examining the important but relatively uncommon conditions under which preference centered lobbying should occur

the effects of effort and intrinsic motivation on risky choice people often need to trade off between the probability and magnitude of the rewards that they could earn for investing effort the present paper proposes that the conjunction of two simple assumptions relating effort induced reward expectations to prospect theory s value function provides a parsimonious theory that predicts that the nature of the required effort will have a systematic effect on such trade offs using the case of frequency or loyalty programs a series of five studies involving both real and hypothetical choices demonstrated that a the presence as opposed to absence of effort requirements enhances the preference for sure small rewards over large uncertain rewards b the preference for reward certainty is attenuated when the effort activity is intrinsically motivating and c continuously increasing the effort level leads to an inverted u effect on the preference for sure small over largeuncertain rewards the studies also employ process measures and examine the mechanisms underlying the impact of the effort stream on the trade off between the certainty and magnitude of rewards the final section discusses the theoretical implications of this research as well as the practical implications with respect to frequency programs and other types of incentive systems

consumer preference for a no choice option the traditional focus in the decision making literature has been on understanding how consumers choose among a given set of alternatives the notion that preference uncertainty may lead to choice deferral when no single alternative has a decisive advantage is tested in seven studies building on recent research the article shows that the decision to defer choice is influenced by the absolute difference in attractiveness among the alternatives provided and is not consistent with trade off difficulty or the theory of search these findings are then extended to show that choice deferral can also be modified for the same alternatives by manipulations that make them appear more similar in attractiveness or that decrease the need to differentiate among them the results are consistent with the notion that preference uncertainty results in a hesitation to commit to any single action since small differences in attractiveness among the alternatives are potentially reversible consistent with this premise the effect of attractiveness difference on choice deferral decreased significantly when subjects were first allowed to practice making monetary trade offs among the available alternatives

salient compromises in the newsvendor game abstract the newsvendor problem denotes the puzzle that a retailer facing an uncertain demand for some product underreacts to profit margins and hence adjusts the order quantity toward the expected demand due to its range of applications in operations management this problem has drawn much interest in recent years various articles have tried to reconcile the newsvendor problem with loss aversion under ad hoc assumptions on the underlying reference point we instead argue that the newsvendor problem is an application of the well studied compromise effect as the compromise effect is based on violations of the iia axiom we argue that models of context dependent behavior such as salience theory better explain newsvendor like behavior than loss aversion based models we conduct a novel experiment which allows us to clearly distinguish between the role of loss aversion and salience and find strong support for the latter thereby we also add to the agenda of comparing loss aversion based models and salience theory

the quality and distribution of teachers under the no child left behind act the heart of accountability under the no child left behind nclb act is an attempt to change the existing incentives in schools with the ultimate objective that all students meet a proficiency standard existing research indicates that nothing is more important to high achieve ment as having effective teachers implying that the impact of new incentives on teachers will be central to any consideration of the accountability statutes tracing the impacts of nclb on the stock and distribution of teachers is none theless a difficult and uncertain task the belief that the quality of teachers matters a great deal to the quality of education received by students has actually proven hard to substantiate and the reasons for this difficulty are key to assessing the impacts of no child left behind a substantial body of research going back to the coleman et al 1966 report has attempted to link commonly used measures of teacher quality such as experience degree level and state teacher certification to student outcomes surprisingly except for perhaps the first few years of classroom experience no robust connection has appeared for example hanushek and rivkin 2006 review various studies attempting to identify characteristics of effective teachers one

opportunity wages classroom characteristics and teacher mobility this article analyzes the impact of classroom characteristics and opportunity wages on four possible labor market choices of teachers in florida remaining at their present school switching schools within a school district changing school districts and leaving teaching discrete time multinomial logit hazard model estimates indicate that classroom characteristics play a larger role than school average student characteristics in determining teacher mobility opportunity wages based on past teacher movements to other competing districts and professions are found to pull teachers away from their initial placements once opportunity wages and working conditions are considered teachers own salaries are found to exert little impact on teacher mobility within the profession although they reduce attrition out of the profession policy simulations indicate that targeted salary increases based on teacher specific working conditions are important to retain teachers at a given school

indecisiveness undesirability and overload revealed through rational choice deferral three reasons why decision makers may defer choice are indecisiveness between various feasible options unattractiveness of these options and choice overload this paper provides a choice theoretic explanation for each of these phenomena by means of three deferral permitting models of decision making that are driven by preference incompleteness undesirability and complexity constraints respectively these models feature rational choice deferral in the sense that whenever the individual does not defer he chooses a most preferred feasible option as a result choices are always consistent with the weak axiom of revealed preference the three models suggest novel ways in which observable data can be used to recover preferences as well as their indecisiveness desirability and complexity components or thresholds several examples illustrate the relevance of these models in empirical and theoretical applications

constructive consumer choice processes consumer decision making has been a focal interest in consumer research and consideration of current marketplace trends e g technological change an information explosion indicates that this topic will continue to be critically important we argue that consumer choice is inherently constructive due to limited processing capacity consumers often do not have well defined existing preferences but construct them using a variety of strategies contingent on task demands after describing constructive choice consumer decision tasks and decision strategies we provide an integrative framework for understanding constructive choice review evidence for constructive consumer choice in light of that framework and identify knowledge gaps that suggest opportunities for additional research

market boundaries and product choice illustrating attraction and substitution effects what happens to the share of choices each item receives when the choice set boundaries are extended by adding a new item that is extremely good on one dimension but poor on the others first there is a substitution effect whereby the new item takes choice share mainly from similar items in the set second there is an attraction effect resulting in a general shift of preference toward the added item experimental studies show that choice patterns conflict with current theoretical and common sense ideas about the effect of added alternatives on choice

occupations at risk job tasks job security and wages germany similar to other developed countries witnessed a sharp decline in jobs that used to constitute the middle class in the 1970s and 1980s this decline has been associated with the level to which jobs are codifiable there is evidence that codifiable tasks are more prone to technological substitution and outsourcing compared with tacit tasks this article empirically investigates two crucial aspects of the decline in codified jobs first it studies what happened to workers in codified occupations in terms of unemployment occupational change and wages second it revisits the hypothesis that code based technologies are the major driver of this labor market shift we find that job codification is associated with both higher unemployment and higher occupational change it is also associated with wage losses for workers who left routinized jobs we find however little evidence that code based technologies were the driving factor behind these dynamics

two new features in discrete choice experiments to improve willingness to pay estimation that result in sdr and sadr separated adaptive dual response discrete choice experiments such as choice based conjoint and dual response are popular preference elicitation methods yet they can suffer from context effects extreme response behavior and problems with estimating consumers willingness to pay accurately when the purchase probability is high this study proposes two new features to avoid these limits a strictly separating all forced and all free choice questions and b an adaptive mechanism to select fewer but more informative free choice questions the use of these two features invokes two new discrete choice experiment methods separated dual response sdr with just the first feature and separated adaptive dual response sadr with both features a conceptual comparison simulation study tests to address endogeneity concerns and three empirical studies demonstrate the appeal of these two new features relative to the benefits of existing discrete choice experiments especially when estimating willingness to pay data as supplemental material are available at http dx doi org 10 1287 mnsc 2015 2367 this paper was accepted by pradeep chintagunta marketing

findings biased but efficient an investigation of coordination facilitated by asymmetric dominance in several marketing contexts strategic complementarity between the actions of individual players demands that players coordinate their decisions to reach efficient outcomes yet coordination failure is a common occurrence we show that the well established psychological phenomenon of asymmetric dominance can facilitate coordination in two experiments thus we demonstrate a counterintuitive result a common bias in individual decision making can help players to coordinate their decisions to obtain efficient outcomes further limited steps of thinking alone cannot account for the observed asymmetric dominance effect the effect appears to be due to increased psychological attractiveness of the dominating strategy with our estimates of the incremental attractiveness ranging from 3 6 a learning analysis further clarifies that asymmetric dominance and adaptive learning can guide players to an efficient outcome

prominence versus dominance how relationships between alternatives drive decision strategy and choice this article argues that the structure of a choice set can influence the extent to which consumers weight a given attribute the results of seven experiments suggest that the relationship between options under consideration can influence preference ordering by shifting the decision strategy people adopt when constructing their preference in decisions in which people afford greater importance to one attribute versus another preference for an option that scores high on this prominent attribute may decrease when decoy options that are clearly better or worse than the focal options are inserted into the choice set the authors posit that this effect arises because decision makers initially and spontaneously use dominance cues rather than prominence when evaluating options and they continue to use this strategy even when it does not enable them to differentiate the alternatives under consideration the authors moderate this effect by prompting respondents to consider prominence and by manipulating the ord

adding asymmetrically dominated alternatives violations of regularity and the similarity hypothesis an asymmetrically dominated alternative is dominated by one item in the set but not by another adding such an alternative to a choice set can increase the probability of choosing the item that dominates it this result points to the inadequacy of many current choice models and suggests product line strategies that might not otherwise be intuitively plausible

teacher quality in public and private schools under a voucher system the case of chile chile is unusual in having long term experience with nationwide school vouchers a key criticism of school voucher systems is that they make it easier for private schools to attract better teachers to the detriment of public schools this paper uses longitudinal data from chile to estimate a discrete choice dynamic programming dcdp model of teacher and nonteacher labor supply decisions and to explore how wage policies affect the composition of the teacher labor force in public and private schools in the model individuals first decide whether to get a teaching degree and then choose annually from among five work home sector alternatives empirical results show that private voucher schools attract better teachers than public schools however the existence of the private voucher sector also draws higher productivity individuals into the teaching profession

the influence of serotonin deficiency on choice deferral and the compromise effect abstractpsychological and physiological states such as mood hunger stress and sleep deprivation are known to affect decision making processes and therefore crucially influence consumer behavior a possible biological mechanism underlying the observed variability of consumer behavior is the context sensitive variation in the levels of neuromodulators in the brain in a series of four experimental studies the authors pharmaceutically reduce the levels of the neurotransmitter serotonin in the brain to diminish the availability of subjects cognitive resources in doing so they study how serotonin brain levels influence 1 subjects tendency to avoid buying and 2 consumers preference for product options positioned as a compromise in a given choice set rather than for more extreme alternatives i e the compromise effect using realistic product choice scenarios in a binding decision framework they find that a reduction of brain serotonin levels leads to choice deferral and decreases the compromise

the role of explanations and need for uniqueness in consumer decision making unconventional choices based on reasons this research investigates the interaction between a very common task explaining decisions and an individual difference need for uniqueness nfu on buyer decision making we propose that explaining or providing reasons for decisions shifts the focus from the choice of options to the choice of reasons furthermore buyers who explain their decisions and have high nfu tend to select unconventional reasons and are consequently more likely to make unconventional choices these predictions were supported in a series of studies involving choices between conventional and less conventional options such as whether to switch to a brand on sale whether to select a compromise option and whether to accept a gamble with a possible loss the findings also indicate that the effects of providing reasons are not due to attempts to act rationally or to concerns about being evaluated three boundary conditions on the generalization that high nfu consumers who provide reasons tend to make unconventional choices we

campaign contributions and access an important and pervasive view of campaign contributions is that they are given to promote access to successful candidates under circumstances when such access would not ordinarily be given in this story access is valuable as it offers groups the opportunity to influence legislative decisions through the provision of policy relevant information under complete information regarding donors policy preferences i argue that this model predicts a negative relationship between contributions and the extent to which the groups and the recipient legislators preferences are similar however one of the more robust empirical findings in the literature is that this relationship is positive relaxing the informational assumption on donors preferences i reexamine the access story with a model in which campaign contributions can act as signals of policy preference and the informational value of access to any agent is endogenous

me myself and my choices the influence of private self awareness on choice abstract this article examines the impact of private self awareness on consumer decision making in four studies the authors show that the ease of preference formation accompanying private self awareness makes people more willing and able to rely on their personal preference weights as the authors predict privately self aware consumers are less inclined to opt for a varied choice set study 1 and are less likely to select compromise options studies 2 and 3 unless they find that it is too difficult to construct their personal preferences study 4

the effect of forced choice on choice abstract whereas most academic and industry studies of consumer preferences and decision making involve forced choice i e participants are told to choose one of the presented product or service alternatives buyers usually also have the option not to select any alternative an implicit assumption in the experimental practice of forcing choice is that the no choice option draws proportionately from the various available alternatives such that the qualitative conclusions are unaffected however the authors propose that the no choice option competes most directly with alternatives that buyers tend to select when they are uncertain about their preferences building on this general proposition the authors show that the introduction of the no choice option strengthens the attraction effect weakens the compromise effect and decreases the relative share of an option that is average on all dimensions they also examine the mechanisms underlying the impact of having the option not to choose and the condi

the motivating uncertainty effect uncertainty increases resource investment in the process of reward pursuit can a reward of an uncertain magnitude be more motivating than a reward of a certain magnitude this research documents the motivating uncertainty effect and specifies when this effect occurs people invest more effort time and money to qualify for an uncertain reward e g a 50 chance at 2 and a 50 chance at 1 than a certain reward of a higher expected value e g a 100 chance at 2 this effect arises only when people focus on the process of pursuing a reward not when they focus on the outcome the reward itself when the focus is on the process of reward pursuit uncertainty generates positive experience such as excitement and hence increases motivation four studies involving real rewards lend support to the motivating uncertainty effect this research carries theoretical implications for research on risk preference and motivation and practical implications for how to devise cost efficient consumer incentive systems

flexible parametric estimation of duration and competing risk models in this paper we specify and estimate a flexible parametric proportional hazards model the model specification is flexibly parametric in the sense that the baseline hazard is non parametric while the effect of the covariates takes a particular functional form we also add parametric heterogeneity to the underlying hazard model specification we specify a flexible parametric proportional competing risks model which permits unrestricted correlation among the risks unemployment duration data are then analysed using the flexible parametric duration and competing risks specifications we find an important effect arising from the exhaustion of unemployment insurance and significantly different hazards for the two types of risks new jobs and recalls

differentiation and parity in assortment pricing are consumers more likely to purchase an item from an assortment in which options are priced at parity or from an assortment in which options vary in price this research examines the influence of parity pricing and differentiation pricing strategies on consumer choice and identifies conditions in which parity pricing facilitates choice as well as conditions in which choice is facilitated by differential pricing in a series of three experiments the impact of assortment pricing on choice is shown to be a function of the uncertainty associated with consumers preferences and the consistency of these preferences with options prices

if you can t see the forest for the trees you might just cut down the forest the perils of forced choice on seemingly unethical decision making why do otherwise well intentioned managers make decisions that have negative social or environmental consequences to answer this question the authors combine the literature on construal level theory with the compromise effect to explore the circumstances that lead to seemingly unethical decision making the results of two studies suggest that the degree to which managers make high risk tradeoffs is highly influenced by how they mentally represent the decision context the authors find that managers are more likely to make seemingly unethical tradeoffs when psychological distance is high rather than low and when they are forced to choose between competing alternatives however when given the option not to choose managers better reflect on the consequences of each alternative and thus become more likely to choose options with less risk of negative consequences the results suggest that simply offering managers the option not to choose may reduce psychological distance and help organizations avoid seemingly unethical decision making

toward extending the compromise effect to complex buying contexts abstract kivetz netzer and srinivasan 2004 make an important contribution to the theory of choice models by demonstrating through a rigorous analysis of four alternative models that the compromise effect systematically affects choice in a wide range of conditions the value and impact of their work can be enhanced by extensions that examine key underlying institutional variables that may shape the nature and scope of compromise effects the authors provide a set of issues that further research can effectively pursue in the context of institutional buying processes and the purchase of complex solutions rather than individual products

school characteristics and teacher turnover assessing the role of preferences and opportunities job characteristics can affect worker turnover through their effect on utility and through their effect on outside job opportunities the aim of this study is to identify and estimate the roles of these two channels separately our method exploits information on job changes and relies on an augmented sample selection correction to illustrate our approach we use an exhaustive register of dutch primary school teachers and show a detailed picture of preferences for school characteristics we also find that the dependence between current and outside job attributes can affect turnover and thus the allocation of teachers across schools

if you pay peanuts do you get monkeys a cross country analysis of teacher pay and pupil performance why are teachers paid up to four times as much in some countries compared to others and does it matter specifically is the quality of teachers likely to be higher if they are paid higher up the income distribution in their own country and are pupil outcomes influenced by how well their teachers are paid this paper considers the determinants of teachers salaries across countries and examines the relationship between the real and relative level of teacher remuneration and the internationally comparable measured performance of secondary school pupils we use aggregate panel data on 39 countries published by the oecd to model this association our results suggest that recruiting higher ability individuals into teaching and permitting scope for quicker salary advancement will have a positive effect on pupil outcomes

comparing dynamic consumer choice in real and computer simulated environments actual supermarket purchases made by consumers over a seven month period are compared with the choice decisions collected in one sitting in a laboratory simulation the laboratory simulation was designed to mimic the original market environment although there were systematic biases in predictions of true purchase behavior from the simulated data the compressed simulations were reasonably valid in predicting market shares and promotion sensitivity for brands across consumers

unemployment duration and economic incentives a quasi random assignment approach abstract we investigate how economic incentives and spell duration affect hazard rates out of insured unemployment we take into account that insured unemployment not always ends in employment but also in disability training programs or benefit sanctions our empirical basis is norwegian register data containing variation in economic incentives and spell duration similar to that of random assignment experiments we find that the employment and benefit sanction hazards are negatively affected by the unemployment insurance replacement ratio but that the effects vary considerably among individuals there is negative duration dependence in the employment hazard and positive duration dependence in the disability hazard

choice based on reasons the case of attraction and compromise effects building on previous research this article proposes that choice behavior under preference uncertainty may be easier to explain by assuming that consumers select the alternative supported by the best reasons this approach provides an explanation for the so called attraction effect and leads to the prediction of a compromise effect consistent with the hypotheses the results indicate that 1 brands tend to gain share when they become compromise alternatives in a choice set 2 attraction and compromise effects tend to be stronger among subjects who expect to justify their decisions to others and 3 selections of dominating and compromise brands are associated with more elaborate and difficult decisions

economic actors lobbying influence on the prospects for war and peace political scientists and economists have long been interested in the role of special interests in the policymaking process in the past few years a series of important new books have argued forcefully that the lobbying activities of economic actors have an important influence on the prospects for war and peace all of these analyses claim that whether economic actors enhance or decrease the likelihood of conflict ultimately depends on the domestic political balance between economic actors who have a strong vested interest in pushing for peace versus those that do not i advance two contrary arguments at least among the advanced states i posit there are no longer any economic actors who will be favorable toward war and who will lobby the government with this preference all of the identified mechanisms that previously contributed to such lobbying in these states have been swept away with the end of colonialism and the rise of economic globalization in particular i show that the current structure of the global economy now makes it feasible for foreign direct investment to serve as an effective substitute for conquest in a way that was not possible in previous eras my second argument concerns those economic actors in advanced states with a preference for peace i posit that it has become unnecessary for them to directly lobby the government to avoid war on economic grounds because economic globalization the accumulation of decisions by economic actors throughout the globe now has sufficiently clear economic incentives for leaders

unemployment insurance and unemployment spells this paper tests the effects of the level and length of unemployment insurance benefits on unemployment durations the paper particularly studies individual behavior during the weeks just prior to when benefits lapse higher unemployment insurance benefits are found to have a strong negative effect on the probability of leaving unemployment however the probability of leaving unemployment rises dramatically just prior to when benefits lapse individual data are used with accurate information of spell durations and the level and length of benefits the semiparametric estimation techniques used in the paper yield more plausible estimates than conventional approaches and provide useful diagnostics copyright 1990 by the econometric society

does it pay to pay teachers more evidence from texas abstract this study presents robust evidence on the relationship between teacher pay and turnover using detailed panel data from texas while controlling for changes in district and local labor market characteristics i estimate an overall turnover elasticity of 1 4 and show that the effect is largest for inexperienced teachers declines with experience and disappears around 19 years of experience combining these results with what we know about the relationship between teacher value added and experience i show that paying teachers more improves student achievement through higher retention rates the results also suggest that adopting a flat salary schedule may be a cheap way to improve student performance i find no evidence that pay effects vary by the teacher s gender or subject taught

teacher mobility and merit pay evidence from a voluntary public award program abstract this paper analyzes the effect on teacher mobility of a program that rewards excellence in teaching practices in chile successful applicants receive a 6 annual wage increase for up to 10 years and an award that publicly recognizes their excellence the paper uses a regression discontinuity design to identify the causal effect of the public merit award the program does not alter transitions out of teaching however it increases the mobility of awardees within the school system this is consistent with the program providing a credible public signal of teacher quality

a theory of competition among pressure groups for political influence this paper presents a theory of competition among pressure groups for political influence political equilibrium depends on the efficiency of each group in producing pressure the effect of additional pressure on their influence the number of persons in different groups and the deadweight cost of taxes and subsidies an increase in deadweight costs discourages pressure by subsidized groups and encourages pressure by taxpayers this analysis unifies the view that governments correct market failures with the view that they favor the politically powerful both are produced by the competition for political favors

tariff protection in developed and developing countries a cross sectional and longitudinal analysis four political models the international system rational domestic economic policy intragovemmental politics and interest group influence may explain the cross national structure of average nominal levels of tariffs on manufactures using available data measuring or approximating the explanatory variables for the time periods 1902 and 1971 selected hypotheses were tested in regression equations the 1971 tariff levels are best predicted by rational economic policy variables while for 1902 international power variables provide the best predictions of the tariff in general the causal forces influencing the cross national pattern of tariff levels appear to have shifted in the 20th century from those indicating international power to those measuring domestic politico economic development these results provide evidence relevant to some of the general propositions about size and development suggested by the contemporary political economy literature they also lend support to those who argue that a rising level of international interdependence has resulted in long term changes in the pattern of influences on national public policies

variety vice and virtue how assortment size influences option choice assortment size has been shown to influence whether consumers make a choice but could it also influence what they choose five studies demonstrate that because choosing from larger assortments is often more difficult it leads people to select options that are easier to justify virtues and utilitarian necessities are generally easier to justify than indulgences consequently choosing from larger assortments often shifts choice from vices to virtues and from hedonic to utilitarian options these effects reverse however when situational factors provide accessible reasons to indulge underscoring the role of justification implications for choice difficulty and justification processes are discussed

a bayesian semiparametric competing risk model with unobserved heterogeneity this paper generalizes existing econometric models for censored competing risks by introducing a new flexible specification based on a piecewise linear baseline hazard time varying regressors and unobserved individual heterogeneity distributed as an infinite mixture of generalized inverse gaussian gig densities nesting the gamma kernel as a special case a common correlated latent time effect induces dependence among risks our model is based on underlying latent exit decisions in continuous time while only a time interval containing the exit time is observed as is common in economic data we do not make the simplifying assumption of discretizing exit decisions our competing risk model setup allows for latent exit times of different risk types to be realized within the same time period in this setting we derive a tractable likelihood based on scaled gig laplace transforms and their higher order derivatives we apply our approach to analyzing the determinants of unemployment duration with exits to jobs in the same industry or a different industry among unemployment insurance recipients on nationally representative individual level survey data from the us department of labor our approach allows us to conduct a counterfactual policy experiment by changing the replacement rate we find that the impact of its change on the probability of exit from unemployment is inelastic copyright 2014 john wiley sons ltd

recruiting and retaining teachers in the uk an analysis of graduate occupation choice from the 1960s to the 1990s this paper examines the market for teachers in the uk from 1960 to 2002 using six graduate cohort data sets we find that while there is no strong evidence that teachers are underpaid the relative wages in teaching compared with alternative professions have a significant impact on the likelihood of graduates choosing to teach this wage effect is strongest at times of low relative teachers wages or following a period of decline in those wages it is also strongest for those individuals who have more recently graduated and for men

when more alternatives lead to less choice this paper shows that when the alternatives offered to consumers span the preference space as it would be chosen by a firm search or evaluation costs may lead consumers not to search and not to choose if too many or too few alternatives are offered if too many alternatives are offered then the consumer may have to engage in many searches or evaluations to find a satisfactory fit this may be too costly and result in the consumer avoiding making a choice altogether if too few alternatives are offered then the consumer may not search or choose fearing that an acceptable choice is unlikely these two forces result in the existence of a finite optimal number of alternatives that maximizes the probability of choice

been there done that the impact of effort investment on goal value and consumer motivation in the present article we propose that consumers initial effort investment in pursuing a goal may increase or decrease the value of the goal and the consumer s subsequent motivation depending on whether the pursuit of the goal is perceived to be one s autonomous choice when consumers perceive that the goal they pursue is adopted through an autonomous choice the initial effort investment is experienced as reflecting the value of the goal therefore greater effort should increase the value of the goal as well as consumers subsequent motivation conversely if consumers perceive that the goal has been imposed on them they experience psychological reactance that is proportional to the amount of effort that they expend in pursuing the goal thus they devalue the goal as they invest more effort in its pursuit and show lower subsequent motivation

asymmetric decoy effects on lower quality versus higher quality brands meta analytic and experimental evidence prior research demonstrates that adding decoys to choice sets can increase choice shares of brands similar to decoys while reducing shares of brands dissimilar to decoys such effects have been dubbed attraction effects and violate the principles of independence of irrelevant alternatives ha and regularity we report a meta analysis that in addition to revealing heretofore unsupported range effects demonstrates an effect of brand quality decoys reduce shares of lower quality competitors more than they reduce shares of higher quality competitors moreover whereas iia is violated throughout regularity is violated only when higher quality brands are targeted decoys increase shares of higher quality brands but typically do not increase shares of lower quality brands to assess the generalizability of the meta analytic pattern we tested decoy effects on two distinct populations in a large experiment the more traditional population replicated the meta analytic pattern standard asymmetry while the more nontraditional population reversed it these findings suggest that while the standard asymmetry is replicable it may not generalize to all market segments

leaving teaching in the uk a duration analysis in this paper the authors analyze the decision by teachers to leave the profession their results affirm the importance of relative earnings in the tenure and turnover decisions of teachers the econometric modeling approach used yields important insights into the appropriateness of adopting a flexible semiparametric specification of the duration dependence structure and of the unobserved heterogeneity distribution in duration models copyright 1995 by royal economic society

too many to fail evidence of regulatory forbearance when the banking sector is weak this paper studies bank failures in 21 emerging market countries in the 1990s by using a competing risk hazard model for bank survival we show that a government is less likely to take over or close a failing bank if the banking system is weak this too many to fail effect is robust to controlling for macroeconomic factors financial crises the too big to fail effect domestic financial development and concerns due to systemic risk and information spillovers the paper also shows that the too many to fail effect is stronger for larger banks and when there is a large government budget deficit

invested interests the politics of national economic policies in a world of global finance capital moves more rapidly across national borders now than it has in at least fifty years and perhaps in history this article examines the effects of capital mobility on different groups in national societies and on the politics of economic policymaking it begins by emphasizing that while financial markets are highly integrated within the developed world many investments are still quite specific with respect to firm sector or location it then argues that contemporary levels of international capital mobility have a differential impact on socioeconomic groups over the long run increased capital mobility tends to favor owners of capital over other groups in the shorter run owners and workers in specific sectors in capital exporting countries bear much of the burden of adjusting to increased capital mobility these patterns can be expected to lead to political divisions about whether or not to encourage or increase international capital market integration the article then demonstrates that capital mobility also affects the politics of other economic policies most centrally it shifts debate toward the exchange rate as an intermediate or ultimate policy instrument in this context it tends to pit groups that favor exchange rate stability against groups that are more concerned about national monetary policy autonomy and therefore less concerned about exchange rate stability similarly it tends to drive a wedge between groups that favor an appreciated exchange rate and groups that favor a depreciated one these divisions have important implications for such economic policies as european monetary and currency union the dollar yen exchange rate and international macroeconomic policy coordination

how inferences about missing attributes decrease the tendency to defer choice and increase purchase probability most purchases involve choices among options with incomplete attribute information in such situations consumers often have the option not to choose any of the alternatives to avoid uncertainty alternatively consumers can make inferences about the missing attributes these inferences may occur spontaneously or they may be strategically prompted in five studies it is shown that both explicitly and implicitly prompting consumers to make inferences about the missing attributes reduces the tendency to select the no choice option and increases the likelihood of making a purchase decision in parallel consumers who generate spontaneous inferences are also less likely to defer their choices