a review of the recent empirical literature on displaced workers this article reviews the empirical literature on job displacement job displacement is widespread and strongly countercyclical tending to peak during economic downturns but concentrated in indus

the empirical analysis of the determinants for environmental technological change a research agenda abstract technological change is usually considered a necessary albeit not sufficient condition for a transition to sustainability however the empirical analysis of the determinants to environmental technological change has not received too much attention in the environmental ecological economics literature and many open questions remain in this context based on a careful review of the literature this paper argues that further analysis should address several issues at different levels i e regarding the conceptual framework the thematic scope of the studies some methodological issues and other aspects related to the environmental policy variable first an integrated conceptual framework which takes into account the interplay between relevant variables influencing environmental technological change i e factors internal and external to the firm and characteristics of the environmental technologies and all the stages of this process with a greater emphasis on the invention stage should be developed other aspects should then be tackled including a focus on several themes i e a greater attention to cross sectoral technologies the barriers to different types of environmental technologies the international dimension of environmental technological change and environmental technological change in small and medium size enterprises methodological issues combination of case studies and econometric modelling and several issues related to the environmental policy variable

conflict cooperation and commerce the effect of international political interactions on bilateral trade flows the public choice approach to political economy is employed to gain insight into the connection between international politics and trade flows a model is constructed in which importers are assumed to be rational utility maximizers who seek to satisfy international security as well as economic welfare objectives this model of bilateral trade flows reflects contemporary theory in the field of international economics and it explicitly incorporates the general foreign policy orientation of importers among its determinants the model is tested in 16 annual crosssectional estimations 1960 75 for a complete network of 25 countries the findings show considerable support for the hypothesis that trade flows are significantly influenced by broad political relations of amity and enmity between nations the author concludes that nations adjust trade ties to satisfy security as well as economic welfare goals and that a formal political economy of trade should reflect this fact

the effect of advance notification of plant closings on unemployment using data from the 1984 displaced worker survey the authors model the determinants of time without work following job displacement for a large sample of workers laid off because of plant shutdowns between 1979 and 1984 the major focus of the paper is on the role of advance notification in mitigating unemployment the estimating procedure accommodates right censored observations stemming from continuing or open ended spells of unemployment advance notification is found to have significantly reduced the duration of unemployment of those notified workers who did not draw unemployment insurance benefits and in particular of those who left the plant prior to termination advance notice had much less effect on the time without work of notified workers whose spell length of unemployment was long enough for them to collect unemployment insurance benefits

the impact of advance notice of plant closings on earnings and the probability of unemployment the authors analyze data from the 1988 cps displaced workers survey to assess the effects of written advance notice of plant closings on post displacement employment and earnings the results sugge

taxes tariffs and transfer pricing in multinational corporate decision making three interrelated aspects of u s multinational corporation activity are analyzed here the ability to shift profits from high tax countries to low tax countries the impact of host country taxes and tariffs on the distribution of real capital and the influence of these policies on international trade patterns of the united states and host countries the cross sectional empirical analysis indicates that the observed pattern of reported profits in high and low tax countries is consistent with income shifting behavior and that real investment responds to host country effective tax rates and tariffs the united states appears both to import more from and export more to low tax countries where mnc investment is greater but this bilateral focus must be amplified to consider multilateral effects if trade benefits are to be projected copyright 1991 by mit press

statistical measures of unsustainability abstract statistical measures are needed to reveal at a glance how far or near various countries are to meeting the conditions of long run sustainability and how conditions are changing on a year to year basis i e whether sustainability is being approached or not the scheme proposed in this paper presents numerical comparisons of energy and materials use in the real world vis a vis an ideal case where all of the identifiable criteria for sustainability are satisfied apart from population stabilization five general but quantifiable criteria for sustainability are suggested including 1 stabilization of greenhouse gas concentrations in the atmosphere 2 stabilization of acidity ph in rainfall 3 reduction of dissipative uses and wastes of heavy metals to natural mobilization rates or lower 4 elimination of agriculture based on pumping fossil water from non renewable aquifers and 5 elimination of loss of arable land because of salination or erosion other criteria such as preservation of biodiversity and socio economic equity between countries and generations might be added to the list they introduce more difficult measurement problems however which are not considered further in the paper having fixed the list of criteria the next step is to identify measures that either go to zero or unity as the system approaches more and more closely to sustainability at least in the limited sense defined above various types of measures of sustainability unsustainability can be developed viz i measures of relative dependence of the economy on non renewable sources of energy and materials ii measures of the productivity of energy and materials consumed by the economic system and iii measures of dissipative loss especially of toxic and hazardous substances specific examples of each type are discussed

resource degradation technical change and the productivity of energy use in u s agriculture abstract two important issues surrounding future food production are the reliance of industrial agriculture on large quantities of fossil fuels and the degree to which technical change and farm management can offset degradation in the form of soil erosion groundwater depletion reduced genetic diversity pest resistance and so on this analysis uses new and more consistent data on energy use in u s agriculture to assess the forces that shape the productivity of energy use from 1950 to 1990 the results of an econometric model indicate that changes in the quantity of energy used per hectare the average size of farms the quantity of land harvested the ratio of livestock to crop production and weather influence the productivity of energy use in order of decreasing importance energy productivity shows strong diminishing returns to increases in energy use per hectare of land the model indirectly tests for the effects of of resource degradation and technical change on energy productivity the results do not support the hypothesis that the effects of soil erosion and other forms of resource degradation have diminished the productivity of energy use in the u s farm sector presumably due to advances in technology and behavioral responses on the part of farmers the significant increase in energy productivity since 1980 is due to a sharp reduction in energy use per hectare a reduction in the quantity of land utilized and continuing increases in average farm size these results are consistent with other empirical analyses of aggregate energy productivity in industrial agriculture that indicate an improvement in energy productivity in response to the energy price increases

power politics and international trade r recent literature attributes the relative scarcity of open international markets to the prisoner s dilemma structure of state preferences with respect to trade we argue that the prisoner s dilemma representation does not reflect the most critical aspect of free trade agreements in an anarchic international system namely their security externalities we consider these external effects explicitly doing so leads us to two conclusions 1 free trade is more likely within rather than across political military alliances and 2 alliances are more likely to evolve into free trade coalitions if they are embedded in bipolar systems than in multipolar systems using data drawn from an 80 year period beginning in 1905 we test these hypotheses the results of the analysis make it clear that alliances do have a direct statistically significant and large impact on bilateral trade flows and that this relationship is stronger in bipolar rather than in multipolar systems in the early 1970s students of international relations began what would become a long and heated debate about the political correlates of open international markets recently however an important element of consensus has begun to emerge most contributors to this debate now seem to agree that the prisoner s dilemma structure of state preferences with respect to trade explains the relative dearth of open international markets here we argue that what has become the standard prisoner s dilemma representation neglects the most critical aspect of free trade agreements in the anarchic international system namely their security externalities we consider these external effects explicitly in order to do so we construct and analyze a simple game theoretic model the results of this analysis demonstrate that tariff games between allies differ systematically from those played between actual or potential adversaries these differences imply that free trade is more likely within rather than across political military alliances however our analysis also suggests that the evolutionary prospects of alliances vary those that are the products of bipolar systems are more likely to evolve into free trade coalitions than are their multipolar counterparts less credible exit threats and clearer responsibilities for alliance stability explain the advantage of a bipolar system we test this argument using data drawn from an 80 year period beginning in 1905 the empirical analysis supports our argument it demonstrates that alliances have a direct statistically significant and large effect upon bilateral trade moreover it shows that on average alliances have a much stronger effect on trade in a bipolar than in a multipolar world 2

foreign direct investment and investment under uncertainty we show that in uncertain environments ownership and internalization advantages may be negatively rather than positively associated with fdi this reversal from extant theory occurs because ownership advantages often serve to make fdi delayable while internalization advantages often serve to make it less reversible when fdi becomes either more delayable or less reversible it is less likely to occur at a point in time our approach enriches the who where and why explanations offered by current fdi theory to incorporate the question of when

plant closings and their regulation in maine 1971 1982 this paper describes the plant closing regulations adopted in maine during the 1971 81 period and documents a pattern of relatively poor compliance with the advance notice and severance pay requirements of the law data on the number of workers laid off in major plant closings on prenotification of workers and on state and local unemployment rates provide the basis for an econometric estimate of the effects of closings with and without early notification on local unemployment rates and the size of the local labor force the results suggest that advance notification significantly lowers the unemployment resulting from a closing

labor market conditions and the reemployment of displaced workers the authors of this study use data from the january 1984 current population survey to examine the impact of local labor market conditions on the financial losses of displaced manufacturing workers they find that strong overall growth in the local economy reduced the economic losses of white collar workers whose industry of displacement was declining but not of blue collar workers in the same situation most older poorly educated blue collar workers with long tenure at their pre layoff job suffered large financial losses even when displaced in a growing local economy all workers including those who were young and well educated suffered large financial losses when located in a depressed local economy

substitution effects in the valuation of multiple environmental programs abstract a theoretical framework for understanding substitution and complementary effects between environmental programs is derived a multiple program valuation function is specified and its structure analyzed a maximum likelihood estimator is derived to estimate the parameters of the valuation function using referendum type contingent valuation data the empirical analysis shows that the conventional benefit aggregation approach of independent valuation and summation overstates the benefits of two and three program policies by an average of 24 and 54 respectively

conservation agriculture organic marketing and collective action in the honduran hillsides conservation agriculture ca is often perceived to provide win win outcomes for farmers leading to reduced erosion and off site sedimentation as well as improved soil fertility and productivity however adoption rates for ca in many regions of the world remain below expected levels this article looks at the effects of participation in organic markets and farmers organizations on the adoption of soil conservation practices based on original survey data from 241 small scale farm households in honduras we find that both participation in organic markets and farmer based groups have positive effects on the number of soil conservation practices adopted the results indicate that besides supply oriented policy measures such as the provision of technical assistance and extension demand related factors are likely to play an important role in sustainable soil management demand oriented policy measures include support for labeling initiatives and consumer education to facilitate value added product differentiation and market segmentation jel classifications q01 q12 q13 q16

foreign direct investment in the united states an analysis by country of origin given the large size and rapid growth of foreign direct investment in the united states this subject is a central concern of u s firms and u s government policymakers this study explores the factors that contribute to the explanation of fdi in the united states by country of origin of investment evidence from the past twelve years shows that the main significant positive influences are home country s exports to the united states and home country market size significant negative influences include the home country s imports from the united states the cultural and geographic distances of the home country from the united states and the exchange rate fx

the role of technology in sustaining agriculture and the environment abstract visions of sustainable development often leave unanswered the question what actions taken by the current generation will ensure that future generations can meet their economic and environmental needs in this context we assess the role of technology in steering agriculture along a more sustainable path from the agricultural sector s perspective this requires an optimal investment plan for a nation s stock of environmental assets that accounts for an intergenerational fulfillment of sustainability s dual goals 1 satisfying food and fiber needs at reasonable costs to consumers and 2 providing environmental service flows in reviewing agricultural indicators to assess the nation s performance in meeting these goals we find productivity growth has increased while rates of soil erosion wetland conversion and pesticide application have declined however individuals continue to demand more environmental services while private markets undersupply environmental services the capacity of the agricultural sector to meet food and fiber and environmental service demands partially depends on the availability and adoption of new technology several market impediments explain the undersupply of sustainable technologies 1 firms cannot fully appropriate rents from technology development 2 success may vary with farm structure 3 the heterogeneity of the resource base influences adoption and 4 farmers cannot capture the benefits of environmental services to address these market failures sustainable agriculture policy should 1 support research and development in sustainable technologies and provide incentives to encourage adoption 2 ensure that conservation efforts reflect the efficient and sustainable allocation of environmental assets and 3 legitimize markets for foods produced under more sustainable practices

concepts of efficiency in ecological economics sisyphus and the decision maker abstract efficiency forms the bedrock of policy planning and business approaches to sustainable development but what do ecological economists mean by efficiency in the resource use context efficiency has a wide range of potential interpretations from the ratio of work output energy inputs to pareto efficiency despite the potential richness of the efficiency concept in practice efficiency is often narrowly conceived within disciplinary boundaries this appears to be the case even in ecological economics which purports to be transdisciplinary and pluralistic such narrow disciplinary perspectives essentially waste the richness of the efficiency concept this wasting could mean ecological economists and decision makers are destined to sisyphean toil in the pursuit of sustainable development this paper explores the efficiency concept and its interpretation it then reviews ecological economic literature to find that there is much room for improvement in the way ecological economists apply efficiency finally the paper presents a framework within which a truly ecological economic approach to efficiency can emerge armed with this framework policy makers and planners should be better prepared to make decisions leading to sustainable development

international investment and colonial control a new interpretation the impact of economic factors on colonial imperialism in the late nineteenth century has long been a topic of debate this article examines the expected relationship between different forms of international investment and different patterns of political ties between developed and developing countries drawing on the literature on relational contracts and collective action it argues that direct colonial control was likely to be associated with cross border investments whose rents were particularly easy to seize or protect and whose protection did not require multilateral action where such rents were difficult to seize or protect unilaterally colonialism is expected to be less likely the most common example of the former sort of investment is primary raw materials or agricultural investment of the latter multinational manufacturing affiliates the argument is weighed against both a survey of the qualitative evidence and some simple quantitative evaluations the approach also has potential applications to more general problems of international conflict and cooperation

the political determinants of international trade the major powers 1907 1990 we test three arguments about the effect of international politics on trade flows the first argument states that trade flows are greater between states with similar interests than those with dissimilar interests the second that trade flows are greater in democratic dyads than nondemocratic dyads and the third that trade flows are greater between allies we examine trade flows between the major powers from 1907 to 1990 this period provides variation on all three independent variables of interest and allows us to separate the three arguments empirically we estimate a gravity model of trade with the above political variables added our results demonstrate that joint democracy and common interests increase trade in a dyad but alliances generally do not even when controlling for polarity of the system

trends in foreign direct investment flows a theoretical and empirical analysis this paper seeks to provide a rationale for changing trends in the flow and determinants of foreign direct investment fdi as a result of macro economic and firm strategy considerations we identify several factors that impact on such trends and develop propositions that could explain the phenomenon generically the study then provides preliminary empirical support for the propositions presented and outlines the path for further research needed to investigate more causal links the statistical analysis of investments by us multinational enterprises mnes reveals significant changes in the regional distribution of fdi and a change in some of its traditional determinants results show that us mnes are now making increasing investments into asia to exploit low wage levels and to secure entry into new markets

constraints on the design of sustainable systems of agricultural production abstract in this paper i review the evolution of the sustainability concept this is followed by a description of three classical systems of sustainable agriculture none of these systems were or are capable of generating growth of output consistent with modern rates of growth in demand i then turn to three unresolved analytical issues that continue to divide the conventional resource economics and the sustainable development communities in a closing section i argue sustainable growth in agricultural production should be viewed as a research agenda rather than as a package of practices that is available to producers whether in developed or developing countries

the effect of political events on united states direct foreign investment a pooled time series cross sectional analysis this paper examines the effect of political events on the manufacturing direct foreign investment mdfi decisions of u s multinational corporations the relationship between political events and nonpolitical factors and mdfi is investigated through regression analysis of pooled time series 21 years and cross sectional 24 countries data and through various tests of the homogeneity of the relationship across groups of countries the study finds that the relationship between political events in mdfi is different for less developed countries as opposed to developed countries for the less developed countries both inter nation and intra nation conflict and cooperation affect mdfi in contrast u s mdfi in developed countries appears to be affected only by inter nation conflict and cooperation

ecology sustainability and environment as capital abstract the idea of environment as capital has found widespread support in both the economic and ecological literature it is often suggested in a related sustainability literature that natural capital should remain intact if possible the popularity of this approach to exploring the human environment relationship is due in part to the way it is seemingly legitimised by ecological theory and practice this legitimation is important for emerging areas of human environment study such as ecological economics because ecology and other natural sciences have often dismissed economic constructions of the environment however a closer examination of the state of contemporary ecology suggests that there are problems with an ecological legitimation of the environment as capital approach first ecology itself is a troubled discipline and its ability to provide a comprehensive theory of human environment interactions is limited second emerging ecological discourse tends to undermine the ecological rationale for many natural capital related resource management recommendations this does not mean that the environment as capital concept is without considerable heuristic power it does imply however a need to return to a social construction of the environment in which different environmental possibilities are valued in terms of their potential contribution to human well being

advance notice job search and postdisplacement earnings three to 5 years after job displacements workers receiving the advance notice mandated by current law earn approximately 10 more than their nonnotified counterparts this differential is not the result of firms systematically notifying persons with favorable reemployment prospects early warnings are disproportionately obtained by individuals expected to earn relatively low wages in subsequent employment it is not clear however whether prenotification has a causal effect the notification differential may occur because the advance notice is frequently provided by employers offering other kinds of adjustment assistance such as job counseling skill retraining supple mental unemployment benefits or outplacement assistance

alliances preferential trading arrangements and international trade c oncerns about the stability of the international trading system have become widespread in recent years many observers feel that the relatively liberal system forged after world war ii is being undermined by the proliferation of preferential trading arrangements these concerns have spawned a great deal of empirical research much of which has found that such arrangements exert a substantial effect on trade flows yet these studies have neglected the role political military alliances play in shaping patterns of commerce this omission is important because there is ample reason to expect that alliances guide trade flows and preferential trading arrangements often are comprised of allies as a result extant analyses risk confusing the effects of alliances and preferential trading arrangements on commerce and systematically overstating the effects of the latter in this study we analyze the effects of alliances and preferential trading arrangements on bilateral trade flows both factors are likely to promote trade among members but we argue that the interaction between them is central to explaining patterns of commerce the combination of an alliance which creates political incentives for participants to engage in trade and a commercial institution which liberalizes trade among members is expected to provide a considerable impetus to commerce among parties to both 1

rationalist explanations for war realist and other scholars commonly hold that rationally led states can and sometimes do fight when no peaceful bargains exist that both would prefer to war against this view i show that under very broad conditions there will exist negotiated settlements that genuinely rational states would mutually prefer to a risky and costly fight popular rationalist and realist explanations for war fail either to address or to explain adequately what would prevent leaders from locating a less costly bargain essentially just two mechanisms can resolve this puzzle on strictly rationalist terms the first turns on the fact that states have both private information about capabilities and resolve and the incentive to misrepresent it the second turns on the fact that in specific strategic contexts states may be unable credibly to commit to uphold a mutually preferable bargain historical examples suggest that both mechanisms are empirically plausible

the location of export oriented foreign direct investment in the caribbean basin this paper analyzes the location of export oriented manufacturing investment the analysis focuses on direct investment in the caribbean basin using micro data for all reported manufacturing plant openings from 1984 87 we test a broad range of influences on country selection and compare the results with the existing literature on foreign direct investment in less developed countries the probability of country selection was estimated with a conditional logit model the estimates were then used to predict the location of caribbean basin investments made in 1988 and 1989 twelve independent variables were tested six variables had a statistically significant positive relationship with plant location per capita gnp exchange rate devaluation the length of income tax holidays the size of free trade zones political stability and manufacturing concentration negative relationships were found for the wage rate inflation rate transportation cost and profit repatriation restrictions

a coevolutionary model for promoting agricultural sustainability abstract this article presents a coevolutionary model of agricultural development that is based on observations from the environmental history of agriculture and the need for addressing development processes toward sustainability it asserts that the challenge of agricultural sustainability can be fruitfully addressed within an analytical framework that consciously and explicitly considers agricultural development as consisting of processes of coevolution involving agriculture and the surrounding ecological and socioeconomic systems widening the processes to include strong interconnectedness with national and global systems with respect to off farm resources and farm outputs has led to various agro ecological problems strengthening local interaction and interconnectedness in a rural urban context is found to be essential for developing a system of sustainable agriculture such development requires influencing many subsystems and implementing changes in production methods and land use as short term responses to the problem and technological development resource allocation and changes in values as long term responses it also requires some sustainability principles and indicators in order to direct actions and to facilitate communications which can be derived from the model applying the model on swedish agricultural sustainability during the twentieth century reveals some probably important findings for building sustainable agriculture and lends support to the usefulness of the model

investment liberalization and international trade abstract this paper estimates the cross price elasticity of exports with respect to investment costs for bilateral relations between 36 countries we show that the effect of reducing foreign direct investment costs on exports depends on country characteristics and trade costs as predicted by the markusen 1997 markusen 2002 model when countries differ in relative factor endowments and trade costs are low investment liberalization stimulates exports whereas when countries are similar in terms of relative factor endowments and size and trade costs are moderate to high investment liberalization reduces exports

advance notice and unemployment new evidence from the 1988 displaced worker survey this paper examines how advance notice of layoff affects the incidence and duration of unemployment following displacement the authors use the displaced worker survey for 1988 which unlike earlier surveys in the series contains information on written notice the results are mixed longer written notice may more than double the proportion of white collar workers who move directly to new employment but written notice has no such positive effects for blue collar workers regardless of its length informal unwritten notice benefits male workers either by improving their chances of avoiding unemployment white collar men or by reducing the average spell of unemployment blue collar men

a cost benefit analysis for the economic growth in china abstract currently traditional development issues such as income inequality depletion of natural resources environmental pollution as well as retardation of infrastructure have occurred in china in the future more pressures would be imposed on china by the continuous fast development of industrialization and with transfer of the world manufacture center to china sustainable development including its economic environmental and social elements is a key goal of decisionmakers this paper develops a methodology on cost benefit analysis of economic growth at macroscopic level to identify issues of china s sustainability in order to address some important issues on how to make policies to improve the quality of economic growth the cba framework developed in this study analyses economic ecological social interaction building three accounts that reflect three dimensions of sustainable development that includes 26 sub models in all and finally is integrated into an index as net progress proceeds npp the estimation methods of these submodels such as cost of environmental pollution depletion of natural resources and defensive expenditures are described in detail based on the framework and methods this paper examines the costs and benefits of economic growth in three aspects of economy ecology and society the results illustrate that npr of china s economic growth had been negative for a long time and has just became positive since year 2000 but was quite low even the best was only 1 6 in 2002 the worst was 24 2 in 1982 based on the comparison between three accounts we can draw a conclusion that ecological cost is the dominant factor that affects china s npr the empirical results show that if no other innovative measures or policies are taken in the future the costs of growth would outweigh its benefits resulting in un sustainability basically the long term economic growth would be unsustainable due to increasing environmental damage and depletion of natural resources there are a few limitations that we consider need to be improved in our cba framework and method nevertheless they have many options that can be explored by policy makers to make the development path more sustainable

dyadic military conflict security alliances and bilateral fdi flows although multinationals operate under cross border jurisdictions the relevance of interstate security relations to international business has received little attention despite the impressive accumulation of knowledge in international business and international relations the two intellectual communities have largely ignored the insights from each other in this article we seek to bridge this gap we argue that interstate military conflict and security alliances as two central features of interstate security relations often change both government policies toward international business and investor expectations of political risk from the perspectives of both states and investors military conflict should reduce bilateral investment whereas security alliances increase it our empirical analysis applies the system gmm estimator to a gravity model of bilateral investment flows for 1117 directed dyads among 58 countries from 1980 to 2000 among 18 countries whose per capita real incomes remain consistently above 12 000 constant dollars the security factors do not affect bilateral investment in the high income low income dyads interstate military conflict and security alliances significantly influence bilateral investment as expected the findings depict two separate realms in which international politics does and does not interfere with international business helping us improve political risk assessments and understand the interactions between states and firms

technology and ecological economics promethean technology pandorian potential abstract in considering social economic and ecological impacts of new technologies it is essential to start from an understanding of human nature this paper explores this issue drawing out some implications for ecological and neoclassical economics the paper presents two key arguments first we argue that there is a growing tension between our evolved human nature and social structures and our emerging technological prowess modern technologies give us increasing power to manipulate the very axes of nature space time energy matter and life technologies are now so powerful they give us abilities our ancestors would consider godlike the question is posed are humans ready to wield the power of the gods we have the knowledge but do we have the wisdom the myth of prometheus and pandora is considered as a metaphor for the interaction between technology nature and universal aspects of human nature developed over eons of evolution second we argue that even a technologically optimistic scenario employed by some economists may not actually deliver utopian outcomes with technological advancement and diffusion there is a technological trickle down effect whereby potent technologies once available only to governments and powerful elites become available to greater numbers of groups and individuals the more accessible a technology the more likely its social and ecological impacts will be shaped by the full range and extremes of human nature these issues have implications for the development and regulation of promethean technologies such as nuclear energy genetic engineering and nanotechnology technologies with unprecedented power and reach through nature development and diffusion of such technologies may also have implications for the ethics of the social structure of society

survey of economic implications of maritime and territorial disputes drawing on studies on the economics of conflict this paper reviews the literature on maritime and territorial disputes and it examines an array of economic implications associated with territorial and maritime disputes these include adverse effects on certain economic and development outcomes arising from possible armed confrontation with some of these possibly lingering in the aftermath of conflict there are also various economic disruptions and costs associated with these disputes emphasizing how they also affect the livelihoods of resource users in the disputed areas a clearer understanding of these economic links could help inform and motivate policymakers on mitigating the risks of conflict based on the review of evidence herein the economic implications of conflict in terms of foregone average trade among the country pairs considered in the west philippine sea south china sea in 1985 dollars which differ in important ways but hint at some common channels of impact could range from us 909 3 million to us 98 8 billion more broadly the impacts on a disrupted global production chain can easily amplify these results even further affecting global growth prospects for many decades according to experience

the impact of advance notice a comment on a study by nord and ting in their analysis of the effects of advance notification of plant closings nord and ting ilr review july 1991 claim that much can be expected of current legislation that mandates a 60 day prenotification standard because the outcomes of voluntary arrangements in an interval preceding implementation of the legislation point to substantial reductions in both joblessness and earnings losses for workers given over two months warning of their impending layoff they also suggest that many of the disparate results reported in the earlier plant closing literature reflect the inability to distinguish between formal and informal notice on the basis of the 1984 and 1986 displaced worker surveys

governance infrastructure and us foreign direct investment this paper examines the statistical importance of governance infrastructure as a determinant of us foreign direct investment fdi in broad terms governance infrastructure represents attributes of legislation regulation and legal systems that condition freedom of transacting security of property rights and transparency of government and legal processes our econometric analysis uses a two stage estimation procedure in the first stage the probability that a country is an fdi recipient is estimated the results indicate that countries that fail to achieve a minimum threshold of effective governance are unlikely to receive any us fdi countries that receive no us fdi are typically countries that do not promote free and transparent markets that have ineffective governments and that often have legal systems that are not rooted in english common law in the second stage the analysis is restricted to those countries that did receive fdi flows the estimated equations focus on the determinants of the amount of fdi received given that a country is a recipient of us fdi governance infrastructure including the nature of the legal system is an important determinant of the amount received

policy and non policy determinants of u s equity foreign direct investment this study examined the effects of policy and non policy variables on the location of new u s direct investment abroad as distinct from reinvested earnings of existing affiliates using 1977 and 1982 benchmark data the data revealed statistically significant effects for investment incentives positive performance requirements negative and host country effective tax rates negative with interesting differences between the two time periods and between developed versus developing countries significance was also found for non policy variables such as political stability cultural distance gdp per capita and infrastructure