a portfolio approach to endogenous growth equilibrium and optimal policy abstract this paper develops a portfolio approach to modeling endogenous growth in continuous time that is especially suitable for addressing fiscal and financial issues in policy design the analysis focuses on the equilibrium relationship between fiscal and financial policy rates of return and wealth allocation we analyze two models the first is based on the arrow romer model with increasing returns and an external effect of capital on labor productivity the second draws on barro s analysis of government spending and endogenous growth in both models we study the equilibrium allocation and discuss the optimal fiscal and financial policy

military spending and stochastic growth abstract this study examines capital accumulation military spending arms accumulation and output growth in a stochastic endogenous growth model the analysis shows that higher lower growth in foreign military spending leads to faster slower economic growth in the home country if the home country s intertemporal substitution elasticity in consumption is smaller larger but more volatility in foreign military spending can lead to higher economic growth in the home country when its intertemporal substitution elasticity is large in addition shocks to output production may stimulate economic growth

on the emergence of a classic work a short history of the impact of gordon tullock s welfare costs of tariffs monopolies and theft gordon tullock s welfare costs of tariffs monopolies and theft is by now widely regarded to be a classic work in public choice however like many classic papers it was not always so highly regarded it was rejected at several journals before finding its way to print and arguably took two or three decades to be fully appreciated this paper discusses developments in the public choice and rent seeking literatures that helped bring tullock s paper to its status as a classic work in political economy

race and human capital while human capital has been used with some success to analyze recent changes in racial income differences scholars have repeatedly pointed to a major empirical problem that appears to severely limit the historical relevanlce and scope of skill based theories as applied to racial questions the challenge they raise is legitimate put simply if measured skill disparities between the races narrowed throughout the twentieth century why did income ratios first begin to converge in the 1960 s in this paper i address this question relying on some unexploited census data by race on education literacy occupations and income using these data that begin with the 1890 census i present new estimates of agespecific relative income positions of black men for all postslavery birth cohorts in addition to reconciling the apparently inconsistent skill and income series these income ratios offer a very different historical record than many economists believe to have been the case to cite a prominent example gunnar myrdal s classic work 1944 saw the economic position of his contemporary black america not only as dismal but made even more so by its sense of hopelessness given the absence of any hint of progress or change while myrdal s pessimism is understandable it appears that even in his day seeds had long been sown that were already permanently altering and improving the relative economic status of black men

the returns to schooling a selectivity bias approach with a continuous choice variable the essence of selection bias is that we do not observe nonoptimal choices this applies whether the choice variable is discrete or continuous this paper extends the selection bias methodology to the case where the choice variable is continuous and the choice set is ordered the leading practical application of this analysis is the schooling choice problem schooling is treated as a continuous choice variable and selectivity corrected rates of return are estimated the findings suggest selectivity is of considerable importance and support the comparative advantage hypothesis of willis and rosen 18

risk optimal government finance and monetary policies in a growing economy optimal tax and monetary policies in a stochastic monetary growth model are investigated our findings are of three general types first both capital income taxes and monetary growth are shown to influence the economy through effective risk adjusted measures expressed as a linear function of their respective means and variances second two stochastic neutrality results relating to money and bonds the two nominal assets in the economy are identified third optimal policy rules relating to taxes bond finance and money creation are characterized an essential component of optimal financial policy is a risk adjusted balanced budget

the determinants of earnings a behavioral approach we survey the determinants of earnings and propose a framework for understanding labor market success we suggest that the advantages of the children of successful parents go considerably beyond the benefits of superior education the inheritance of wealth or the genetic inheritance of cognitive ability we suggest that noncognitive personality variables such as attitudes towards risk ability to adapt to new economic conditions hard work and the rate of time preference affect both earning and the transmission of economic status across generations

a model of creative destruction with undiversifiable risk and optimising households this paper studies optimal household behaviour in a model of creative destruction the saving technology is characterised by stochastic returns that follow a poisson process it is shown that equilibrium conditions with optimising households differ substantially from equilibrium conditions where investment in r d is determined by firms three out of four market failures disappear and a new market failure resulting from a complementarity in financing r d is identified studying the social optimum shows that it contains as the special case of risk neutrality the social optimum derived in the literature

rent seeking at 52 an introduction to a special issue of public choice a half century after he developed it gordon tullock s idea of rent seeking is more relevant than ever though the concept has gained widespread acceptance among academics it has yet to make an impression on public discourse but with favoritism corruption and the power of special interests in the headlines the idea deserves broader attention in this special issue of public choice we commemorate tullock s insight contributors examine the making of this classic piece and its effect on economic theory empirical analysis and economic teaching original papers also develop new insights into questions of development the control of violence corruption culture equity regulation rent extraction the political coase theorem and more

growth effect of taxes in an endogenous growth model to what extent do taxes affect economic growth abstract this paper presents an endogenous growth model comprising of financial human and physical capital and incorporating major features of a general tax system technology and preference parameter values in the model are chosen to fit the actual growth experiences of the united states and a rapidly growing east asian nic using the calibrated model i assess the role of differences in taxes and other variables in explaining the difference in growth rates the main findings are i the difference in tax systems across countries explains a significant proportion around 30 of the difference in growth rates ii the difference in preferences explains at most 4 and iii differences in labor income tax debt equity ratio and inflation can be important in explaining the growth difference further i evaluate the contribution of the monetary factor to the growth rate gap and the growth effect of us tax reforms e g revenue neutral changes in relative tax structure

efficient dynamic pollution taxation in an uncertain environment this paper analyzes efficient pollution taxation within a stochastic model of endogenous growth pollution is a by product of production and causes disutility furthermore the productivity which results from environmental quality is uncertain this reflects e g uncertain capital depreciation induced by natural disasters like hurricanes or floods this uncertainty is shown to raise an ambiguous impact on the optimal pollution level as well as on optimal environmental taxation market equilibrium turns out to be suboptimal since the households mis perceive their individual impact on pollution conditions for welfare maximizing pollution taxation are stated and it is shown that a direct pollution tax is not appropriate to yield pareto optimal growth instead a linear capital income tax together with a linear abatement subsidy build an efficient tax scheme if secondarily the governmental budget is balanced moreover an increase in the riskiness of environmental productivity may even lead to an increase in the optimal pollution level and to a decrease in optimal environmental taxation depending predominantly on the preference parameters

the impact of psychological and human capital on wages historically economists have taken the position that psychological capital is either unobservable or immeasurable thus heretofore little evidence has been available on the contribution of psychological capital to wages using data drawn from two different waves of the national longitudinal survey of youth we offer evidence that psychological capital has both a direct effect via self esteem and an indirect effect through locus of control on an individual s real wage we find a person s wage is more sensitive to changes in self esteem than to comparable alterations in human capital both relative wages and human capital contribute to self esteem

macroeconomic policies growth and welfare in a stochastic economy an integrated stochastic equilibrium growth model is constructed and directed to various questions pertaining to monetary and tax policy two main issues addressed include 1 the tradeoff between the rate of capital accumulation and inflation in a stochastic environment and 2 economic welfare and optimal policy making the key result is that policy variables impact on welfare through their effect on the after tax nominal interest rate which therefore serves as an intermediate policy target the welfare maximizing interest rate target is derived and the author discusses its attainment through appropriate monetary and tax policies tradeoffs between policy instruments are also addressed copyright 1993 by economics department of the university of pennsylvania and the osaka university institute of social and economic research association

money for nothing politicians rent extraction and political extortion introduction the model 1 background the economic theory of regulation 2 rent extraction the theory of political extortion demonstrations 3 observing extortion the practice of rent extraction 4 validating the model empirical tests of rent extraction 5 contracting for rent preservation the durability problem extensions 6 extraction and optimal taxation excises earmarked taxes and government user charges 7 costs and benefits of interest group organization 8 improving the model worthy yet unanswered questions notes references index

accounting for the racial gap in afqt scores comment on nan l maxwell the effect on black white wage differences of differences in the quantity and quality of education comment on nan l maxwell the effect on black white wage differences of differences in the quantity and quality of education industrial and labor relations review vol 47 no 2 january 1994 author s abstract

the economics of schooling production and efficiency in public schools n recent years public and professional interest in schools has been heightened by a spate of reports many of them critical of current school policy these policy documents have added to persistent and long standing concerns about the cost effectiveness and fairness of the current school structure and have made schooling once again a serious public issue as in the past however any renewed interest in education is likely to be short lived doomed to dissipate as frustration over the inability of policy to improve school practice sets in this frustration about school policy relates directly to knowledge about the educational production process and in turn to underlying research on schools although the educational process has been extensively researched clear policy prescriptions flowing from this research have been difficult to derive 2 there exists however a consistency to the research findings that does have an immediate application to school policy schools differ dramatically in quality

alternative government financing and stochastic endogenous growth abstract this paper addresses a stochastic endogenous model in which the stock of securities both money and bonds are required to finance the government budget we study how the expected rate of real growth the expected inflation rate and economic welfare are influenced by changes in the first and second moments of public spending the analyses will enable us to assess the merits and demerits of mixed financing case of money and bonds relative to financing one of taxes on wealth examined in grinols and turnovsky j econom dyn control 17 1993 1 and turnovsky int econom rev 34 1993 953 in addition we construct a model where government relies on a larger ratio of bonds to money to raise the necessary revenue and show how the consequences of mixed financing are affected by the policy decision of government

economic growth under money illusion abstract empirical and experimental evidence documents that money illusion is persistent and widespread this paper incorporates money illusion into a stochastic continuous time monetary model of endogenous growth we model an agent s money illusion behavior by assuming that he maximizes nonstandard utility derived from both nominal and real quantities money illusion affects an agent s perception of the growth and riskiness of real wealth and distorts his consumption savings decisions it influences long run growth via this channel we show that the welfare cost of money illusion is negligible whereas its impact on long run growth is noticeable even if the degree of money illusion is low

the racial wage gap the importance of labor force attachment differences across black mexican and white men labor market attachment differs significantly across young black mexican and white men although it has long been agreed that potential experience is a poor proxy for actual experience for women many view it as an acceptable approximation for men using the nlsy this paper documents the substantial difference between potential and actual experience for both black and mexican men we show that the fraction of the black white and mexican white wage gaps that are explained by differences in potential experience are quite different from the fraction of the racial wage gaps that are explained by actual real experience differences

capital income taxation and risk taking in a small open economy abstract how do capital income taxes affect household portfolio choice and growth we approach this question within the context of a stochastic model of a small open economy in which taxes on income from domestic capital equity and foreign bonds affect household portfolio choice welfare and the growth rate of the economy the theoretical and numerical analysis demonstrates the important role that risk plays in determining the mean and variability of growth as well as the conditions under which a higher tax rate can be welfare improving to shed more light on the complex theoretical interaction between taxes and risk taking we estimate a reduced form multinomial probit model of household portfolio choice using the method of simulated moments the empirical evidence is in stark contrast to the conventional wisdom we find that higher taxes make it less likely that the household will hold risky assets

dynamics in a transactions based monetary growth model abstract this paper characterizes the dynamics of a monetary endogenous growth model in which money is introduced into the system via a transactions cost technology a monetary equilibrium that either satisfies the friedman rule of the optimum quantity of money or accommodates the zero inflation rate policy is dynamically unstable with cagan like hyperinflation the monetary equilibrium may either be unstable or exhibit dynamic indeterminacy in which a variety of equilibrium outcomes emerge in transition the rate of monetary expansion the relative magnitudes of the intertemporal elasticity of substitution and the production technological parameter are crucial for determining the stability property of the model

does school quality matter returns to education and the characteristics of public schools in the united states this paper estimates the effects of school quality measured by the pupil teacher ratio average term length and relative teacher pay on the rate of return to education for men born between 1920 and 1949 using earnings data from the 1980 census we find that men who were educated in states with higher quality schools have a higher return to additional years of schooling rates of return are also higher for individuals from states with better educated teachers and with a higher fraction of female teachers holding constant school quality measures however we find no evidence that parental income or education affects average state level rates of return

wages and performance based pay evidence from the nlsy abstract the link between performance and pay should be strongest where performance is more accurately observed brown industrial and labor relations review 1990 43 1655 1825 rand journal of economics 1992 23 366 375 more productive workers self select into jobs with performance based pay consequently workers whose pay is based on performance should earn more than those whose pay is not based on such measures this paper adds to the literature on the subject by providing new empirical evidence for brown s model using the national longitudinal surveys of youth nlsy data

black white life cycle earnings differences and the vintage hypothesis a longitudinal analysis a common finding of virtually all previous studies of black white earnings differences is that the earnings of white males appear to rise at a more rapid rate with each additional year of work experience or with age than do the earnings of black workers this finding has been noted by economists since at least the mid 1950 s when morton zeman called

black white wage inequality in the 1990s a decade of progress mary c daly using current population survey data we find that the gap between the wages of black and white males declined during the 1990s at a rate of about 60 percentage point per year wage convergence was most rapid among workers with less than 10 years of potential experience with declines in the gap averaging 1 40 percentage points per year using standard decomposition methods we find that greater occupational diversity and reductions in unobserved or residual differences are important in explaining this trend general wage inequality tempered the rate of wage convergence between blacks and whites during the 1990s jel j15 j31 i introduction following the passage of the civil rights act of 1964 and other measures aimed at reducing labor market discrimination during the 1960s the differential in average weekly wages between black and white men in the united states narrowed substantially among male workers aged 18 64 the black white wage gap fell from 50 in 1967 to 30 in 1974 or by about 1 per year 1 after 1974 however the proportional difference in black and white wages remained essentially constant at 30 through the end of the 1980s following more than a decade of stasis the black white wage gap once again began to decline during the 1990s narrowing at an average annual rate of about 60 percentage point per year a great deal of past research has focused on why the black white wage gap did not continue to decline following the initial progress made through the mid 1970s see for example bound and freeman 1992 and juhn et al 1991 hereafter jmp the results point to a number of important factors including shifts in industry demand greater occupational crowding relative deterioration of unobservable skills among blacks and rising overall male wage inequality see altonji and blank 1999 for a detailed review of this literature in this article we investigate the role that each of these factors played in the wage convergence observed in the 1990s we begin by documenting the recent progress in black white wage convergence placing the 1990s in the context of the past 30 years following previous researchers we then use standard decomposition techniques to examine the role of individual characteristics the employment structure and overall male wage inequality in reducing the racial gap in earnings during the decade of the 1990s we find that greater occupational diversity and reductions in unobserved or residual differences are important in explaining this trend general wage inequality tempered the rate of wage convergence between blacks and whites during the 1990s ii data we use data from the march current population survey cps for the years 1969 1999 as administered by the u s census bureau for the u s bureau of labor statistics these files provide information on earnings hours and related variables for the calendar year prior to the survey date thus our analyses apply to income years 1968 1998 in the formal decomposition analysis we focus on three periods 1968 1979 1979 1989 and 1989 1998 these years span our sample and generally coincide with three business cycles our sample consists of black and white males ages 18 64 who participated in the labor force at least 39 weeks worked at least 1 week during the year and usually worked full time workers who are enrolled in school are excluded from the analysis throughout the analysis we focus on two groups our full sample and men with less than ten years of potential experience i e min age education 6 age 18 2 our empirical analysis focuses on weekly earnings calculated as the ratio of annual earnings to weeks worked during the year weekly earnings are deflated using the personal consumption expenditure deflator from the national income and product accounts to avoid problems associated with changes in cps top coding procedures over the years our sample excludes individuals in the top and bottom 1 of the weekly earnings distribution

the effect on black white wage differences of differences in the quantity and quality of education using data from the national longitudinal survey of youth for the years 1979 88 the author examines the extent to which black white differences in educational attainment educational quality and unmeasured individual ability can explain black white wage differences an analysis that corrects for both selectivity and ability biases inherent in estimating the education wage relationship shows that the main source of the black white wage differential is the racial difference in the quality rather than quantity of schooling in fact the author concludes closing the racial gap in the basic skills learned in school could reduce the wage differential by two thirds

taxation risk taking and growth a continuous time stochastic general equilibrium analysis with labor leisure choice abstract this paper investigates the equilibrium relationship between taxation portfolio choice risk taking and capital accumulation specifically it examines how taxes affect risk taking and capital accumulation we extend the existing literature by relaxing two crucial assumptions in modelling risk taking behavior i that the investment opportunity set is fixed and ii that there is no distinction between attitudes towards risk and behavior towards intertemporal substitution we extend the investment opportunity set of individuals through optimally determined human capital and distinguish intertemporal substitution from attitudes towards risk via a recursive utility function in the presence of these extensions the paper successfully derives a closed form solution to the stochastic growth model with stochastic wage income

optimal saving under poisson uncertainty abstract this paper studies optimal saving and investment behaviour of a household that can either invest in a riskless or a risky saving technology when risk results from a poisson process the focus is on behaviour of households in a general equilibrium setup poisson processes are introduced since they allow us to understand and model endogenous cycles jointly with long run growth it turns out that a very simple intuitive and tractable characterization of equilibrium is possible journal of economic literature classification numbers c61 o33 o41

infrastructure alternative government finance and stochastic endogenous growth abstract this paper constructs a stochastic version of an endogenously growing economy with a public good that raises the productivity of private capital we explore how growth and welfare are influenced by changes in the mean and variance of productive public spending under two alternative financing methods mixed money bond financing and wealth tax financing in addition to evaluate the differences between money financing and bond financing we consider mixed money bond financing under which a larger ratio of bonds to money is utilized to finance a given increase in public spending

the role of human capital in earnings differences between black and white men d uring the past 50 years the earnings of black men have increased substantially both in absolute terms and relative to those of white men as shown in figure 1 in 1940 the black white weekly earnings ratio among men ages 25 34 was 49 percent by 1980 it had increased to 79 percent during the 1980s however the overall black white earnings gap did not narrow and at younger ages the gap actually widened although the 1980s is not the first decade since 1940 in which black men made little or no gains in relative earnings the 1950s was another the lack of progress in the 1980s is nevertheless puzzling and a source of concern this article examines the factors underlying the differential in earnings between black men and white men with a focus on the role of human capital since 1940 successive generations of black men entering the labor force have been increasingly more educated relative to white men both in terms of years of school completed and in the quality of schooling obtained as the education and income levels of black parents increased racial differences in the transmission of human capital in the home were also likely to have narrowed this convergence in educational differences combined with the migration of blacks out of the south contributed to the narrowing in the racial gap in earnings over the 1940 80 period particularly in the first half of the period but human capital factors education and migration were not the only source of convergence in black white differences in earnings the patterns of change in the earnings gap support the contention that declining labor market discrimination against blacks has also contributed to the rise in the black white earnings ratio moreover the acquisition of human capital itself has been strongly affected by societal and governmental discrimination since blacks were long provided with greatly inferior schooling resources

school quality and black white relative earnings a direct assessment the wage differential between black and white men fell from 40 percent in 1960 to 25 percent in 1980 it has been argued that this convergence reflects improvements in the relative quality of black schools to test this hypothesis we assembled data on pupil teacher ratios annual teacher pay and term length for black and white schools in the eighteen segregated states from 1915 to 1966 these data are linked to estimated returns to education for southern born men from different cohorts and states in 1960 1970 and 1980 improvements in the relative quality of black schools explain 20 percent of the narrowing of the black white earnings gap between 1960 and 1980

omitted ability bias and the increase in the return to schooling over the 1980s there were sharp increases in the return to schooling estimated with conventional wage regressions we explore whether the relationship between ability and schooling changed over this period in ways that would have increased the schooling coefficient in these regressions our empirical results reject the hypothesis that an increase in the bias of the schooling coefficient due to a change in the relationship between ability and schooling has contributed to observed increases in the return to schooling we also find that the increase in the schooling return has occurred for workers with relatively high levels of academic ability

optimal tax debt and expenditure policies in a growing economy abstract this paper employs an endogenous growth model to analyze the role of a consumption tax in enhancing growth and welfare provided government expenditure impacts directly on the decisions of private agents two fiscal instruments are necessary to replicate the first best optimum the tradeoff between consumption and income taxes to achieve this outcome is discussed and shown to depend upon the degree of congestion associated with the public good and the level of government expenditure relative to its social optimum in general the analysis suggests a potentially important role for a consumption tax as part of an overall optimal fiscal package

the wage earnings impact of historically black colleges and universities author affiliation elton mykerezi department of applied economics university of minnesota twin cities 231 classroom office building 1994 buford avenue st paul mn 55108 6040 usa e mail myker001 umn edu corresponding author bradford f mills department of agricultural and applied economics virginia polytechnic and state university 314 hutcheson hall blacksburg va 24060 usa e mail bfmills vt edu acknowledgment the authors thank george norton julie hotchkiss and two anonymous referees for helpful comments and suggestions funding from the national research initiative competitive grants program usda cress grant number 2003 35401 12915 is also gratefully acknowledged 1 introductionhistorically black colleges and universities hbcus were originally founded to provide postsecondary educational opportunities to blacks since the end of de jure segregation in public education under the supreme court brown v the board of education of topeka 1954 ruling the hbcu mandate has become the subject of considerable debate the supreme court ruling in united states v fordice 1992 may be interpreted to indicate that continued state and federal support of hbcus as racially distinct institutions must be justified by educational benefits beyond the provision of a low cost educational alternative moore 2000 differential post college labor market success is an important indicator of the value of unique hbcu benefits and thus is of considerable interest in terms of postsecondary education policy previous studies by ehrenberg and rothstein 1994 and constantine 1995 1998 use data from the national longitudinal study of the high school class of 1972 to examine the impact of hbcu attendance relative to attendance of other colleges on the wages of blacks however the findings of these studies are somewhat conflicting ehrenberg and rothstein 1994 find a 0 12 wage loss for hbcu attendees relative to their counterparts who attended other four year colleges or universities constantine 1995 on the other hand finds that hbcu attendees realize 38 higher wages than black college attendees at other four year institutions constantine 1998 finds that black males who attend hbcus realize 7 higher wages than black attendees at other four year colleges and universities and that wages would be 25 higher for the general college attendee population of black males with hbcu attendance black females who attend an hbcu show 15 higher wages relative to black females who attended other four year colleges but there are no significant wage gains from hbcu attendance for the general population of black females the conflicting findings in these studies potentially arise from changes in the differential return on hbcu education with post college experience in the labor market as the median age in the ehrenberg and rothstein 1994 sample is 25 years compared to 32 years in the constantine 1995 1998 sample this paper augments the existing literature on the wage earnings impact of blacks hbcu attendance in two important ways first the age earnings profiles of hbcu attendees and other college educated blacks are examined using data from a more recent cohort of blacks in the 1979 national longitudinal survey of youth specifically the current study examines the impact of hbcu attendance on the initial post college wage on the most recent survey wage observation and on the average annual growth rate in wages measuring labor market success by the age earnings profiles of individuals over time provides more complete information about patterns of labor market success than does a wage observation at a single point in time second the study explicitly accounts for the impact of location of hbcus of particular note the distance from one s residence at age 14 years to the nearest hbcu and to other colleges and universities is controlled for in the college selection decision as are the local economic conditions for the individual s place of residence at age 14

education and labor market discrimination using a model of statistical discrimination and educational sorting we explain why blacks get more education than whites of similar cognitive ability and we explore how the armed forces qualification test afqt wages and education are related the model suggests that one should control for both afqt and education when compar ing the earnings of blacks and whites in which case a substantial black white wage differential emerges we reject the hypothesis that differences in school quality between blacks and whites explain the wage and education differentials our findings support the view that some of the black white wage differential reflects the operation of the

production technologies in stochastic continuous time models abstract properties of dynamic stochastic general equilibrium models can be revealed by either using numerical solutions or qualitative analysis very precise and intuition building results are obtained by working with models which provide closed form solutions closed form solutions are known for a large class of models some of which however have some undesirable features such as potentially negative output this paper offers closed form solutions for models which are just as tractable but do not suffer from these shortcomings