discrimination in the provision of fringe benefits abstract minorities and women are shown to be less likely to receive fringe benefits than those with comparable characteristics but equally likely to receive benefits as those with comparable characteristics and earnings this is shown to be consistent with a model in which earnings are the primary determinants of benefit provision and in which minorities and women suffer earnings discrimination but not direct discrimination in benefit provision

an energy efficient future a strategy for the uk abstract this article examines the national and international energy context within which a uk energy efficiency strategy would need to be formulated and also highlights the broader macroeconomic rationale for a more concerted approach it focuses particular attention upon the crucial role of the public sector including both the energy demand and supply sides and the need to review investment appraisal criteria in the energy sector

nonconvexities in optimal pollution accumulation abstract with a few exceptions the analysis of optimal pollution accumulation or detrimental stock externalities rests on the assumptions that the level of damage is unbounded and that pollution decay increases monotonically with the level of pollution stock we show that these assumptions are restrictive and that their generalization alters the basic economic properties of optimal pollution control we specify a decay function which is concave with low stock levels and convex when pollution is higher we show that although multiple steady states may exist the globally optimal solution may be independent of the initial pollution level it is also possible that there are cutoff levels which determine the optimal long run equilibrium implying that the feedback control law is discontinuous and nonmonotonic bounded damage may have similar implications but in contrast to concave convex decay they may occur even with zero discounting

on the determinants of employer demand for part time workers this paper uses a survey of private establishments to examine the determinants of the firm s relative demand for partand full time workers the elasticity of substitution of part time for full time workers is about 1 5 considerably lower than previous estimates with aggregate data the results indicate that the quasi fixed labor costs have a negative impact on the proportion of part timers in a firm s work force

the temporary help industry a response to the dual internal labor market this study of the rapidly growing temporary help industry draws on commerce department data and the results of the authors national mail survey of employers the authors also conducted interviews in the san francisco area with employers of temporary help and with representatives of temporary help agencies and labor unions they provide a taxonomy of employer responses to temporary increases in work loads ranging from the more intensive use of full time employees to a variety of arrangements with part time temporary and casual employees the authors show how these employer responses vary by industry occupation size of the firm stability of product demand and the level of fringe benefits

wage aspirations and unemployment persistence abstract we use panel data to examine the empirical determinants of the reservation wage in particular the influence of previous wages and consider what this implies for the evolution of the natural rate of unemployment we find that previous wages have a significant but relatively small effect on reservation wages an elasticity between 0 15 and 0 47 we also find considerable differences across genders with previous wages being more important for men and market wages being more important for women overall our results suggest that the reservation wage will adjust quite quickly to shocks

nondiscrimination rules and the distribution of fringe benefits this article considers the impact of nondiscrimination nd rules in the federal tax code nondiscrimination rules limit within firm inequality in the provision on nonwage benefits but they place no corresponding limit on within firm inequality in wages firms can skirt nd rules by moving workers with unusual benefits into part time and seasonal positions because workers in such positions are excluded from some nd compliance calculations we examine these issues empirically and find relationships consistent with the hypothesis that nd rules provide a binding constrain on within firms benefits inequality

evolving market structure an ace model of price dispersion and loyalty we present an agent based computational economics ace model of the wholesale sh market in marseille two of the stylized facts of that market are high loyalty of buyers to sellers and persistent price dispersion although it is every day the same population of sellers and buyers that meets in the same market hall in our ace model sellers decide on quantities to supply prices to ask and how to treat loyal customers while buyers decide which sellers to visit and which prices to accept learning takes place through reinforcement the model explains both stylized facts price dispersion and high loyalty in a coevolutionary process buyers learn to become loyal as sellers learn to o er higher utility to loyal buyers while these sellers in turn learn to o er higher utility to loyal buyers as they happen to realize higher gross revenues from loyal buyers the model also explains the e ect of heterogeneity of the buyers we analyze how this leads to subtle di erences in the shopping patterns of the di erent types of buyers and how this is

on decomposing the wage gap a critical comment on blinder s method many studies have found that the impact of schooling on earnings is greater for females than for males despite the fact that females tend to earn less both absolutely and controlling for personal characteristics this study investigates possible

is there a glass ceiling over europe exploring the gender pay gap across the wages distribution using harmonised data from the european union household panel we analyse gender pay gaps by sector across the wages distribution for ten countries we find that the mean gender pay gap in the raw data typically hides large variations in the gap across the wages distribution we use quantile regression qr techniques to control for the effects of individual and job characteristics at different points of the distribution and calculate the part of the gap attributable to differing returns between men and women we find that first gender pay gaps are typically bigger at the top of the wage distribution a finding that is consistent with the existence of glass ceilings for some countries gender pay gaps are also bigger at the bottom of the wage distribution a finding that is consistent with sticky floors third the gender pay gap is typically higher at the top than the bottom end of the wage distribution suggesting that glass ceilings are more prevalent than sticky floors and that these prevail in the majority of our countries fourth the gender pay gap differs significantly across the public and the private sector wages distribution for each of our eu countries

job satisfaction trade unions and exit voice revisited many studies have found that unionized workers express less job satisfaction than nonunion workers the exit voice explanation of this phenomenon is that dissatisfied nonunion workers tend to qui

the implicit pension contract developments and new directions pension economics has emerged as a separate literature over the past decade some of the early pension work was devoted to financial issues including implications of pensions for savings rates and portfolio allocation most new developments however have stemmed from research surrounding labor markets this research has led to an implicit contract theory of pensions a theory that has pensions playing a more complicated role in worker firm relation than heretofore realized the theory explains much of economic behavior in labor markets and bridges a gap between labor and financial literatures this essay describes the genesis for these ideas and traces some of the most important research results in the area an equal amount of spece is devoted to a consideration of likely directions for future research

jurisdictional homogeneity and the tiebout hypothesis abstract in this paper an alternative to the capitalization approach to testing the tiebout model is presented the tiebout foot voting mechanism suggests that households will sort and stratify into approximately homogeneous local public goods jurisdictions at a point in time the efficiency of the sort will be positively related to the number of existing jurisdictions using a measure of homogeneity introduced by theil the relationship between stratification homogeneity within jurisdiction and number of jurisdictions is tested for a sample of school districts within 33 smsas the tiebout stratification hypothesis is confirmed

reservation wages expected wages and unemployment we model unemployment duration reservation and expected wages simultaneously for individuals not in work where wage expectations are identified via an exogenous policy shock the policy shock increased expected wages which were found to be positively associated with reservation wages

disappointment in decision making under uncertainty decision analysis requires that two equally desirable consequences should have the same utility and vice versa most analyses of financial decision making presume that two consequences with the same dollar outcome will be equally preferred however winning the top prize of 10 000 in a lottery may leave one much happier than receiving 10 000 as the lowest prize in a lottery this paper explores the implications of disappointment a psychological reaction caused by comparing the actual outcome of a lottery to one s prior expectations for decision making under uncertainty explicit recognition that decision makers may be paying a premium to avoid potential disappointment provides an interpretation for some known behavioral paradoxes and suggests that decision makers may be sensitive to the manner in which a lottery is resolved the concept of disappointment is integrated into utility theory in a prescriptive model

effects of the tax treatment of fringe benefits on labor market segmentation current federal tax law requires that all workers having the same experience with a firm must receive essentially the same package of fringe benefits in order for those benefits to qualify for preferential tax treatment the authors argue that this nondiscriminatory provision of fringe benefits promotes labor market segmentation by inducing workers to sort themselves across the economy according to their demand for fringe benefits several empirical tests using 1968 78 data confirm the existence of sorting and suggest that labor market segmentation increased over time as workers responded to changes in incomes and marginal tax rates

market organisation and trading relationships in this paper we give a theoretical model of buyers behaviour on a market for a perishable good where no prices are posted we show that if buyers learn from their own previous experience there is a sharp division between those who learn to be loyal to certain sellers and those who continue to shop around this feature remains in more general models which are simulated and is consistent with empirical data from the marseille fish market

unemployed but optimistic optimal insurance design with biased beliefs biased perceptions of risks change the perceived value of insurance and the per ceived returns to avoiding these risks i show empirically that unemployed workers overestimate how quickly they will nd work but underestimate the return to their search eorts i analyze the consequences for the optimal design of unemployment insurance with biased beliefs contracts equalizing the marginal smoothing ben e t and the moral hazard cost of insurance are suboptimal social and private insurance diverge a paternalistic social planner corrects the moral hazard cost for the distortion in the insured s eort choice while private insurers focus on the perceived rather than the true smoothing bene ts when unemployed workers are optimistic privatizing unemployment insurance may result in ine ciently low or rapidly decreasing unemployment bene ts

information communication technology and electricity consumption in emerging economies abstract this study examines the impact of information communication technology ict on electricity consumption in emerging economies the empirical results obtained from dynamic panel demand models show a positive and statistically significant relationship between ict and electricity consumption when ict is measured using internet connections mobile phones or the number of pcs long run ict elasticities are smaller than income elasticities but because ict growth rates are so much higher than income growth rates the impact of ict on electricity demand is greater than the impact of income on electricity demand one implication of these results is that policies designed to close the digital divide between developed and developing economics by increasing the adoption of ict in developing countries are put at odds with energy policies to reduce ghg emissions

the effect of health insurance on married female labor supply we investigate the effects of employer provided health insurance on the labor supply of married women because health benefits commonly are restricted to full time workers wives who prefer to work short hours but have no alternate source of insurance may work long hours in order to acquire coverage for their families we use data from the april 1993 current population survey benefits supplement and we exploit variation in coverage under husbands health plans to estimate the magnitude of this effect our reduced form labor supply models indicate a strong negative effect of husbands health insurance on wives work hours particularly in families with children this effect persists when we replace husbands insurance coverage with husbands offered insurance and when we use a multinomial logit model that accounts for unobserved heterogeneity in family labor supply preferences

do women shy away from competition do men compete too much we examine whether men and women of the same ability differ in their selection into a competitive environment participants in a laboratory experiment solve a real task first under a noncompetitive piece rate and then a competitive tournament incentive scheme although there are no gender differences in performance men select the tournament twice as much as women when choosing their compensation scheme for the next performance while 73 percent of the men select the tournament only 35 percent of the women make this choice this gender gap in tournament entry is not explained by performance and factors such as risk and feedback aversion only playa negligible role instead the tournament entry gap is driven by men being more overconfident and by gender differences in preferences for performing in a competition the result is that women shy away from competition and men embrace it

worker sorting compensating differentials and health insurance evidence from displaced workers this article introduces an empirical strategy to the compensating differentials literature that i allows both individual observed and unobserved characteristics to be rewarded differently in firms based on health insurance provision and ii selection to jobs that provide benefits to operate on both sides of the labor market estimates of this model are used to directly test empirical assumptions that are made with popular econometric strategies in the health economics literature our estimates reject the assumptions underlying numerous cross sectional and longitudinal estimators we find that the provision of health insurance has influenced wage inequality finally our results suggest there have been substantial changes in how displaced workers sort to firms that offer health insurance benefits over the past two decades we discuss the implications of our findings for the compensating differentials literature

can a stochastic cusp catastrophe model explain stock market crashes this paper is the first attempt to fit a stochastic cusp catastrophe model to stock market data we show that the cusp catastrophe model explains the crash of stock exchanges much better than other models using the data of u s stock markets we demonstrate that the crash of october 19 1987 may be better explained by cusp catastrophe theory which is not true for the crash of september 11 2001 with the help of sentiment measures such as the index put call options ratio and trading volume the former models the chartists the latter the fundamentalists we have found that the 1987 returns are bimodal and the cusp catastrophe model fits these data better than alternative models therefore we may say that the crash has been led by internal forces however the causes for the crash of 2001 are external which is also evident in much weaker presence of bifurcations in the data in this case alternative models explain the crash of stock exchanges better than the cusp catastrophe model

and a vision appeared unto them of a great profit evidence of self deception among the self employed evidence is presented that the self employed expect better financial outcomes than do employees but experience worse realisations this is consistent with theories that entrepreneurship is driven by unrealistic optimism

discrete choice with social interactions this paper provides an analysis of aggregate behavioural outcomes when individual utility exhibits social interaction effects we study generalized logistic models of individual choice which incorporate terms reflecting the desire of individuals to conform to the behaviour of others in an environment of noncooperative decisionmaking laws of large numbers are generated in such environments multiplicity of equilibria in these models which are equivalent to the existence of multiple self consistent means for average choice behaviour will exist when the social interactions exceed a particular threshold local stability of these multiple equilibria is also studied the properties of the noncooperative economy are contrasted with the properties of an economy in which a social planner determines the set of individual choices finally a likelihood function based on the theoretical model is given and conditions for the econometric identifiability of the model are established

fringe benefits and the demand for part time workers in the us tax code nondiscrimination rules and other institutional constraints require employers to offer the same fringe benefits to all full time workers but allow them to deny benefits to part time workers as a result firms that offer generous fringe benefits to higher skill workers have an incentive to hire lower skill workers on a part time or contingent basis this paper uses cross section establishment data to investigate the effect of employer provided fringe benefits on the demand for part time workers the results indicate that firms that offer more generous fringe benefits make greater use of low wage part time workers there is no significant relationship between fringe benefits and the proportion of high wage workers employed part time

the economics of non convex ecosystems introduction the word convexity is ubiquitous in economics but absent from economics in this paper we explain why and show what difference it makes to economic analysis if ecosystem non convexities are taken seriously a simple proof is provided of the connection between self similarity and power laws we also provide an introduction to each of the papers in the symposium and draw out the way in which they form a linked set of contributions

equilibrium and optimality some imprints of david gale abstract the paper is a review of some of the themes to which david gale made lasting contributions it touches upon a number of the fundamental issues in the walrasian equilibrium theory existence uniqueness and stability the overlapping generations model non optimality and indeterminacy of competitive equilibria the von neumann equilibrium as a turnpike and in the theory of decentralized intertemporal allocation through competitive prices efficiency and golden rules duality and existence of optimal programs

information technology and the use of energy abstract this paper assesses the potential impact of information technology on energy use in advanced economies irrespective of energy price movements information technology is expected to raise the energy efficiency of economic activity through its direct application to reducing energy consumption in products and processes and through the productivity improvements and structural changes it initiates which will not involve substantial increases in energy use economic growth will thus be less tied dynamically to the expansion of energy supply and demand than in previous phases of industrialization while overall energy demand may not rise strongly information technology will however tend to increase electricity s importance in the economy

social norms savings behavior and growth we argue that many goods and decisions are not allocated or made through markets we interpret an agent s status as a ranking device that determines how well he or she fares in the nonmarket sector the existence of a nonmarket sector can endogenously generate a concern for relative position in for example the income distribution so that higher income implies higher status moreover it can naturally yield multiple equilibria it is thus possible to explain differences in growth rates across countries without recourse to differences in underlying preferences technologies or endowments different social organizations lead to different reduced form preferences which lead to different growth rates

the income tax and nonwage compensation d ramatic changes in the division of labor compensation between wage and nonwage payments have occurred since world war ii voluntary employer contributions to private pension and welfare funds have risen from 1 2 of wage and salary compensation in 1947 to 8 3 in 1979 with half the increase taking place since 1969 see table 1 major changes in the composition of the fringe benefit package have also taken place during this period employer contributions to group health insurance plans have risen from 24 of total fringe benefits in 1947 to 40 o in 1979 if this growth continues group health insurance will replace pension and profit sharing plans as the largest fringe benefit expenditure by employers these trends in the compensation mix have long been noted by researchers and various factors have been offered as explanations including the favorable tax treatment of fringe benefits demographic changes such as increased life expectancy and unionization rice 1966 ture 1976 mabry 1973 freeman 1978 however most explanations have not been subjected to rigorous empirical testing and the few results that have been published are both questionable and dated for example rice 1966 estimated that changes in the tax rate structure had little influence on the relative increase in fringe benefits from world war ii to 1963 more recent studies schiller and weiss 1979 1980 have examined a specific fringe benefit the private pension plan for its impact on turnover and its role as an equalizing difference but these studies have not analyzed the determinants of the compensation mix this paper discusses the theoretical determinants of the division of labor compensation between fringe benefits and cash income and empirically estimates their importance it concentrates on the impact of taxation on the compensation mix for several reasons first the assumption that rising tax rates encourage individuals to substitute fringe benefits for cash income underlies estimates of the welfare cost of tax preferences browning 1979 second proposals to fully tax employee fringe benefits under a comprehensive9 income tax have surfaced in recent years nolan 1977 clotfelter 1979 finally current federal tax policy is calling for large tax rate reductions to increase supply incentives unlike the determinants of the compensation mix that change slowly over time such as life expectancy tax rate changes can occur rapidly through legislative action reducing tax rates might enlarge the tax base by increasing the fraction of labor income received as taxable cash wages and salaries section ii outlines the tax treatment of various forms of labor compensation and in section iii other factors thought to influence the choice between wage and nonwage compensation are discussed empirical analyses of the compensation mix are presented in section iv a brief summary and implications of the major findings for the future growth of fringe benefits follow in section v

turnpike theorems in nonconvex nonstationary environments this paper provides a comprehensive development of turnpike theory in a stochastic aggregative model with time varying nonconvex technology a new approach to turnpike theorems is developed that exploits the monotonicity of optimal programs and utilizes a supermartingale process generated by stochastic euler equations this extends the classical turnpike theory to general nonconvex nonstationary environments copyright 1997 by economics department of the university of pennsylvania and the osaka university institute of social and economic research association

the implications of job matching for retirement health insurance and leave benefits this paper focuses on potential reasons for variations in benefit packages in particular variations in the availability of retirement health insurance and leave an important feature of our analysis is that we do not start with heterogeneity in workforces to explain fringe benefit differences across employers it would be straightforward to say that differences across employers in fringe benefit packages simply represent differences in the preferences of their workforces rather we focus on heterogeneity across employers as an important source of differences in fringe benefit packages preliminary evidence is found supportive of the predicted differences in the likelihood of such fringe benefits as retirement health insurance and leave based upon two variables the extent of on the job training offered by the employer and the size of the employers we also examine the implied links between these fringe benefits and such variables as average tenture and the proportion of the workforce that is female

overconfidence and excess entry an experimental approach psychological studies show that most people are overconfident about their own relative abilities and unreasonably optimistic about their futures e g shelly e taylor and j d brown 1988 neil d weinstein 1980 when assessing their position in a distribution of peers on almost any positive trait like driving ability ola svenson 1981 income prospects or longevity a vast majority of people say they are above the average although of course only half can be if the trait is symmetrically distributed this paper explores whether optimistic biases could plausibly and predictably influence economic behavior in one particular setting entry into competitive games or markets many empirical studies show that most new businesses fail within a few years for example using plant level data from the u s census of manufacturers spanning 1963 1982 timothy dunne et al 1988 estimated that 61 5 percent of all entrants exited within five years and 79 6 percent exited within 10 years most of these exits are failures see also dunne et al 1989a 1989b d shapiro and r s khemani 1987

the upside of pessimism biased beliefs and the paradox of the contented female worker both sexes display inaccuracies in estimating their labour market prospects but in different directions consistent with the literature on sex differences in psychological bias females are less optimistic than men and on average tend to be overly pessimistic optimism measured as an upwardly biased perception of the labour market returns distribution increases the likelihood of disappointment with realized performance a substantial proportion of the female job satisfaction advantage appears to be associated with both overly pessimistic female expectations and overly optimistic male expectations the implications of female pessimism on both job search and gender earnings differentials is also discussed

dynamic interaction models of economic equilibrium abstract the paper develops a stochastic dynamic model of economic equilibrium with locally interacting agents the main focus of the study is on the modeling of market interactions those arising in connection with commodity exchange and regulated by price mechanisms the mathematical framework is a control theory for random vector fields on directed graphs the graphs involved serve to describe the spatio temporal structure of commodity flows in the system the main results are concerned with the existence uniqueness and stability of stochastic dynamic equilibria

some stochastic processes of interdependent demand and technological diffusion of an innovation exhibiting externalities among adopters one frequently hears the opinion that as twentieth century society becomes more complex technological change assumes more significance and occurs at a more r apid pace investment in researclh and development results in a myriad of potential innovations yet as the frontiers of technology are plshed outward uncertainity about the usefulniess of innovations becomes an increasingly important factor in the decision whether or not to adopt the new innovation furthermore the decisions of individual economic agents tend to become increasingly interrelated many recent innovations are such that whether others adopt the device influences the benefits of adoption which accrue to a given consumer or firm such externalities may be positive for example consider a nation s decision to use the metric system the wearing of a style by a fashion leader a merchant s decision to accept a certain credit card or the purchase of a coinmunication device by someone with whom one desires to communicate or negative for instance imitation in the production of a faddish consumption item for which the potential market is limited or the pulrchase of a telephone by an obscene caller our goal is to analyze techn ological difflsioll with interdependencies when uncertainty and informational considerationis are an inherent part of the theoretical model the uncertainty may be of two types a technological ulncertainty the usefulness or quality of the innovation is at least partially unlknown and b adoption uncertainity incomplete or inaccurate knowledge about who is usinlg the innovation in our stochastic model adoptioni is reversible the decision to use the innovation is not permanent but rather agents may change their minds agents are not able to learn about the characteristics quality profitability usefulness etc of the innovation this assumption limits the applicability of

confidence enhanced performance there is ample evidence that emotions affect performance positive emotions can improve performance while negative ones may diminish it for example the fears induced by the possibility of failure or of negative evaluations have physiological consequences shaking loss of concentration that may impair performance in sports on stage or at school there is also ample evidence that individuals have distorted recollection of past events and distorted attributions of the causes of successes of failures recollection of good events or successes is typically easier than recollection of bad ones or failures successes tend to be attributed to intrinsic aptitudes or own effort while failures are attributed to bad luck in addition these attributions are often reversed when judging the performance of others the objective of this paper is to incorporate the first phenomenon above into an otherwise standard decision theoretic model and show that in a world where performance depends on emotions biases in information processing enhance welfare