the renewables portfolio standard in texas an early assessment texas has rapidly emerged as one of the leading wind power markets in the united states this development can be largely traced to a well designed and carefully implemented renewables portfolio standard rps the rps is a new policy mechanism that has received increasing attention as an attractive approach to support renewable power generation though replacing existing renewable energy policies with an as of yet untested approach in the rps is risky early experience from texas suggests that an rps can effectively spur renewables development and encourage competition among renewable energy producers initial rps targets in texas were well exceeded by the end of 2001 with 915 mw of wind installed in that year alone rps compliance costs appear negligible with new wind projects reportedly contracted for well under 3 us cent k wh in part as a result of a 1 7 us cent kwh production tax credit an outstanding wind resource and an rps that is sizable enough to drive project economies of scale obliged retail suppliers have been willing to enter into long term contracts with renewable generators reducing important risks for both the developer and the retail supplier finally the country s first comprehensive renewable energy certificate program has been put into place to monitor and track rps compliance c 2002 published by elsevier science ltd less

interactions between renewable energy policy and renewable energy industrial policy a critical analysis of china s policy approach to renewable energies this paper analyzes china s policy approach to renewable energies and assesses how effectively china has met the ideal of appropriate interactions between renewable energy policy and renewable energy industrial policy first we briefly discuss the interactions between these two policies then we outline china s key renewable energy and renewable industrial policies and find that china s government has well recognized the need for this policy interaction after that we study the achievements and problems in china s wind and solar pv sector during 2005 2012 and argue that china s policy approach to renewable energies has placed priority first on developing a renewable energy manufacturing industry and only second on renewable energy itself and it has not effectively met the ideal of appropriate interactions between renewable energy policy and renewable energy industrial policy lastly we make an in depth analysis of the three ideas underlying this policy approach that is the green development idea the low carbon leadership idea and indigenous innovation idea we conclude that chinas policy approach to renewable energies needs to enhance the interactions between renewable energy policy and renewable energy industrial policy the paper contributes to a deeper understanding of china s policy strategy toward renewable energies

uk innovation systems for new and renewable energy technologies drivers barriers and systems failures abstract a better understanding of the systemic processes by which innovation occurs is useful both conceptually and to inform policy making in support of innovation in more sustainable technologies this paper analyses current innovation systems in the uk for a range of new and renewable energy technologies and generates policy recommendations for improving the effectiveness of these innovation systems although incentives are in place in the uk to encourage innovation in these technologies system failures or gaps are identified in moving technologies along the innovation chain preventing their successful commercialisation sustained investment will be needed for these technologies to achieve their potential it is argued that a stable and consistent policy framework is required to help create the conditions for this in particular such a framework should be aimed at improving risk reward ratios for demonstration and pre commercial stage technologies this would enhance positive expectations stimulate learning effects leading to cost reductions and increase the likelihood of successful commercialisation

assessing the performance of renewable electricity support instruments abstract the performance of feed in tariffs and tradable certificates is assessed on criteria of efficacy efficiency equity and institutional feasibility in the early stage of transition to an energy system based entirely on renewable energy supplies renewable electricity can only thrive if support takes into account the specific technical economic and political problems which result from embedding this electricity in conventional power systems whose technology organizational structure environmental responsibility and general mission differ profoundly from the emerging renewable based system support schemes need to capture the diversity of power supplies the variable nature of some renewable supplies and their different attributes for the purposes of public policy they must take into account the variety of generators including small decentralized generation emerging in a renewable based system and the new relationships between generators and customers renewable energy policies need a clear point of reference because the incumbent power systems are not sustainable they must adapt to the requirements of the renewable ones not the other way round incumbent systems carry the responsibility of paying the transition something that corresponds best with the polluter pays principle

cost competitive incentives for wind energy development in china institutional dynamics and policy changes abstract this paper presents an overview of the development of wind power in china the factors that affect the directions of wind power development are analyzed it examines the economics of windfarm development and compares it with conventional energy sources the major constraints in wind technology development and defects of the current policies are discussed it points out that wind power development should be subject to rational policy change and institutional adjustment it discusses the incentive mechanisms and institutional frameworks for future development particular importance is attributed to market incentives for wind power to reach the objectives of industrialization and commercialization a number of cost competitive incentive measures and policies are recommended i introducing market based mechanisms through standard power purchase agreement ii establishing effective investment policies and regulations to attract private investment iii promoting localization of wind turbine production iv adjusting tax and subsidy policies and v reforming governmental institutions to make clear rules and responsibilities for policymaking and enhancing communication coordination between relevant government agencies in order to formulate uniform and effective policies

global wind power development economics and policies abstract existing literature indicates that theoretically the earth s wind energy supply potential significantly exceeds global energy demand yet only 2 3 of global electricity demand is currently derived from wind power despite 27 annual growth in wind generating capacity over the last 17 years more than 95 of total current wind power capacity is installed in the developed countries plus china and india our analysis shows that the economic competitiveness of wind power varies at wider range across countries or locations a climate change damage cost of us 20 tco 2 imposed to fossil fuels would make onshore wind competitive to all fossil fuels for power generation however the same would not happen to offshore wind with few exceptions even if the damage cost is increased to us 100 tco 2 to overcome a large number of technical financial institutional market and other barriers to wind power many countries have employed various policy instruments including capital subsidies tax incentives tradable energy certificates feed in tariffs grid access guarantees and mandatory standards besides climate change mitigation policies such as the clean development mechanism have played a pivotal role in promoting wind power despite these policies intermittency the main technical constraint could remain as the major challenge to the future growth of wind power

public policy supports and export performance of bioenergy technologies a dynamic panel approach abstract this study investigates the effects of public policy supports on the export performance of bioenergy technologies it uses panel data from 18 countries from the 1992 to 2008 period panel unit root and cointegration tests are applied taking into account the results of structural break tests for each time series and testing for the presence in the panel of cross sectional dependence time series data on public supports and exports are integrated and cointegrated the results of dynamic ordinary least squares indicate that in the long term public r d expenditures have a positive effect on the exports the contribution of bioenergy to the total energy supply has a negative effect on the exports and gdp has a positive effect on the exports the contribution of bioenergy to total energy supply responds to deviations in the previous period from the long term equilibrium additionally blundell bond system generalized methods of moments estimations are made to determine dynamic causality in a panel vector error correction mechanism setting evidence of a positive strong and short term relationship from exports to r d expenditures and of a positive short term causality from exports to the contribution of bioenergy to total energy supply is found a positive strong bidirectional relationship between gdp and exports is also uncovered there is a positive strong bidirectional and short term relationship between gdp and the contribution of bioenergy to total energy supply finally some policy implications based on the results of this study are offered

is there a role for monetary aggregates in the conduct of monetary policy abstract we examine the potential policy role of monetary aggregates by attempting to use them as effectively as possible in the analysis of empirical relationships we focus on their role as information variables since any more ambitious use such as in a policy rule would presuppose some information content in the aggregates our results show that in the united states since 1979 the monetary aggregates fall considerably short of those requirements and results with german m3 are hardly more favorable we also investigate whether empirical relationships are not reflective of information relationships because of the use of these variables in countercyclical policy the results are not consistent with that interpretation

government funded renewable energy innovation in china abstract with the rapid development of the economy china is facing pressures caused by traditional energy deficiency and environmental pollution in recent years which has forced the chinese government to start to pay attention to the development and utilization of renewable energy re this article based on data and statistics available up to 2008 studies features of china s re technology innovation and problems thereof it finds that national science and technology programs are the main aspect of china s re technology innovation and most of r d funds for the re technology come from china s three main national programs besides the overall expenditures on re technology innovation constitute only a small proportion of china s total domestic r d funding and seem not enough this paper also finds that compared with research and development stages of re technology the demonstration and diffusion of re technology in china are given less attention and thus are relatively less sufficient furthermore influenced by china s traditional scientific research system there appears lack of sufficient incentives and opportunities for private sectors to fully participate in re technology innovation because most national programs are undertaken by universities or research institutes

the role of transnational dimensions in emerging economy technological innovation systems for clean tech the technological innovation system tis framework and its system functions have become a popular analytical tool for the study of clean tech innovation there is increasing attention for the role of emerging economies in global clean tech innovation but the applicability of tis to emerging economies cases is not entirely straightforward a key issue is the limited geographical considerations in particular transnational dimensions in tis whereas earlier perspectives on innovation in emerging economies have stressed the role of such transnational dimensions this paper elaborates transnational tis actor networks and institutions categorizes these in relation to tis functions and describes their potential to induce or block tis development in emerging economies we draw on insights from the perspectives of national learning systems international technology transfer and global production networks for this purpose we conclude that the potential effects of these transnational dimensions may be accurately grasped by the existing list of system functions lending credence to its further application of the tis framework on emerging economy case studies policy makers in emerging economies should recognize these transnational dimensions and seek to optimize their potential effect on domestic tis development taking in to consideration a realistic assessment of its role in the global tis

policy as a porter of re component export or import evidence from pv wind energy in oecd and brics abstract seeking empirical support for the porter hypothesis ph applied to the trade of photovoltaic pv and wind energy components this study examines effects of the interaction between innovative capacity and two kinds of renewable energy re policies feed in tariff fit and renewable portfolio standards rps on export in oecd and brics countries meanwhile the effect of such policies in import countries is estimated given prominent growth in re component export by emerging economies and trade disputes with developed countries the result reveals exporter innovative capacity as negatively correlated with their export when it is interacted with rps dummy suggesting inverse evidence for ph on the other hand importer annual pv share which proxies demand for components was positively associated with their import provided the presence of fit rps overall policies in importer countries exert a robust influence over their import growth while those in exporter countries may not facilitate or have a negative effect on their export the result above is in line with the theoretical implication on the effect of re policy while it contradicts to the narrowly strong version of ph this indicates that positive effect of the interaction between policy and innovative capacity on export performance might depend on the distribution of the additional surplus from fit rps

prospects for global market expansion of china s wind turbine manufacturing industry abstract emerging economies are increasingly contributing to global innovation including clean tech innovation the development of china s wind power sector has often been used to illustrate this point china s domestic wind power market is the largest in the world and is largely supplied by domestic manufacturers competition for market share in the domestic market may pressure firms to innovate which consecutively improves prospects for global expansion this paper reviews developments in china s domestic wind turbine market using the technological innovation system framework we analyze the pressure to innovate arising from market competition and assess the prospects for global expansion of chinese wind turbine manufacturers we conclude that domestic customers are not pressured or incentivized to perform with respect to power output such that turbine manufacturers are not pressured to perform with respect to turbine efficiency or maintenance needs pressure to innovate is further reduced by formalizing connections between wind farm developers and turbine manufacturers chinese turbine manufacturers cannot yet compete with leading global brands in technological leadership the prospects for exports are improved however by the preferential supply of project financing from institutional investors such as the china development bank from chinese utilities that seek global expansion and from the manufacturers themselves

legitimizing research technology and innovation policies for transformative change combining insights from innovation systems and multi level perspective in a comprehensive failures framework abstract the recent policy debates about orientating research technology and innovation policy towards societal challenges rather than economic growth objectives only call for new lines of argumentation to systematically legitimize policy interventions while the multi level perspective on long term transitions has attracted quite some interest over the past years as a framework for dealing with long term processes of transformative change but the innovation systems approach is still the dominant perspective for devising innovation policy innovation systems approaches stress the importance of improving innovation capabilities of firms and the institutional settings to support them but they are less suited for dealing with the strategic challenges of transforming systems of innovation production and consumption and thus with long term challenges such as climate change or resource depletion it is therefore suggested to consider insights from transition studies more prominently in a policy framework that is based on the innovation systems approach and the associated notion of failures we propose a comprehensive framework that allows legitimizing and devising policies for transformative change that draws on a combination of market failures structural system failures and transformational system failures

on the causal dynamics between emissions nuclear energy renewable energy and economic growth this paper examines the causal relationship between co2 emissions nuclear energy consumption renewable energy consumption and economic growth for a group of 19 developed and developing countries for the period 1984 2007 using a panel error correction model the long run estimates indicate that there is a statistically significant negative association between nuclear energy consumption and emissions but a statistically significant positive relationship between emissions and renewable energy consumption the results from the panel granger causality tests suggest that in the short run nuclear energy consumption plays an important role in reducing co2 emissions whereas renewable energy consumption does not contribute to reductions in emissions this may be due to the lack of adequate storage technology to overcome intermittent supply problems as a result electricity producers have to rely on emission generating energy sources to meet peak load demand

the effects of petroleum product price regulation on macroeconomic stability in china abstract china has undertaken measures to regulate the prices of petroleum products since 1998 in order to deal with the world oil price shocks on its macro economy however the effects of price regulation are yet unknown especially when the world oil price fluctuates in different regimes the study first analyses the mechanisms of petroleum product price ppp regulation in the case of gasoline and the crude oil gasoline price fluctuation transmission followed by the identification of regimes and their time intervals using regime switching vector autoregressive model and then estimates the effects of gasoline price regulation in reducing macroeconomic volatility it is found that the world crude oil fluctuates in different regimes the mild fluctuation regime and the violent fluctuation regime the ppp regulation can reduce oil price volatility and then macroeconomic volatility but it is more effective in the mild fluctuation regime the findings present a deeper understanding of the stabilization effect of ppp regulation on the macroeconomy provide an evidence for sustaining china s ppp regulation for the purpose of macroeconomic stability and offer policymakers new information for petroleum product pricing reforms

changing sunshine analyzing the dynamics of solar electricity policies in the global context abstract although solar costs have been dropping in recent years solar power is still more expensive than conventional and other renewable energy options and in most applications solar power still needs continuing government policy support however the need to achieve multiple objectives and ensure sufficient political support for solar power makes it difficult for policy makers to design an optimal solar power policy the dynamic and uncertain nature of the solar industry combined with the constraints imposed by broader economic political and social conditions further complicates the task of policy making in this paper we present a framework to critically analyze the objectives behind different country policies how factors such as macro economic conditions and development paradigms affect the policy outcomes and finally how these outcomes affect the overall cost reduction of solar energy we find that while the extent of cost reduction through creation of large demand remains to be seen it is essential for governments to provide adequate support for leapfrog rd d and exploit real comparative advantages across countries for effective solar cost reduction policy makers need to optimally design their policies by balancing national objectives and paying capacity with the global objective of solar power cost reduction in order to realize its full potential

identifying barriers in the diffusion of renewable energy sources abstract rapid diffusion of renewable energy sources res in the electricity power sector is crucial if the eu wants to fulfill its 2050 co2 reduction commitments for this reason identifying and alleviating all barriers that hinder the development of res is necessary to the successful deployment of these technologies this paper discusses the main barriers in the diffusion of wind and photovoltaic pv solar power in the greek electricity sector by drawing on the literature of technological innovation systems and system functions furthermore we provide an explanation of the different diffusion rates between the two technologies inadequate financial resources low grid capacity delays in the issuance of building permits opposition from local communities to the construction of wind farms and the lack of a stable institutional framework are among the most important barriers that inhibit the diffusion of the wind and pv solar power the nature of the barriers identified in this study calls for policy intervention

understanding china s renewable energy technology exports abstract china became a major player in renewable energy re technology during the 2000s chinese solar pv cell and module makers quickly dominated global sales in that industry while the country s wind turbine producers became poised for significant exports after capturing their rapidly growing home market in countries like the us chinese re technology strength has been met with claims of excessive governmental support of exports this study examines to what extent chinese firms solar pv and wind technology successes have been enabled by policy supports and whether those policies appear to have been driven by broader goals versus re export promotion per se the evidence suggests that governmental policy toward both wind and solar originated in a push for export competitive chinese companies but the specifics differed substantially due to the particular requirements of building technological capabilities in each export readiness necessitated substantial support for domestic installation of wind but not solar pv power the findings also suggest that as the decade of the 2000s progressed environmental goals played an increasing role alongside export promotion in motivating and shaping chinese re technology policies

local demand pull policy and energy innovation evidence from the solar photovoltaic market in china abstract market demand is an important driver for inducing innovation with many empirical studies supporting the demand induced innovation hypothesis critiques of such studies however emphasize that new empirical evidence that can address existing empirical challenges is needed furthermore existing literature disagrees about whether the locus of demand pull policy matters in this paper we use empirical evidence from the distributed solar photovoltaic pv market in china to address the following questions 1 is there evidence of demand induced innovation 2 does the effect of local demand pull policy differ from the effect of non local demand pull policy on demand induced innovation to address these questions we develop and analyze an original database of pv balance of system bos patents in the distributed pv market filed between 2005 and 2014 in china our results support the demand induced innovation hypothesis and suggest that only local demand significantly induces pv bos innovations in the distributed pv market in china the different effects of local demand and non local demand emphasize the importance of local markets and local policies lending some support to bottom up approaches to clean energy governance

do deployment policies pick technologies by not picking applications a simulation of investment decisions in technologies with multiple applications abstract the role of deployment policies that aim to foster technological change has grown considerably especially in the fields of energy and climate however recent research has shown that the adoption of deployment policies carries the potential of locking in the technology that is most cost effective at the point of policy introduction but may be inefficient in the long term the present paper contributes to the emerging literature on the role of deployment policies in creating path dependency and eventually technology lock in while previous studies focused on the relationship between lock in and the technology specificity of deployment policies this paper introduces a new factor the existence of multiple applications for a technology we argue that this factor is highly relevant for technological lock in and should be considered by policy makers to support our argument we simulate the competition among four stationary battery technologies across energy system applications in an investment simulation model this simulation shows that the degree of competition among technologies differs strongly across applications which corresponds with a highly varying lock in probability hence selecting applications in deployment policies very likely corresponds to selecting technologies we discuss the implications of these results for both policy makers and for the academic debate on deployment policies and technological lock in as well as on technology assessment and governance more generally based on the notion that policies can have different technology specificity levels we develop the idea of the application specificity of policies and provide examples of currently enacted deployment policies that vary in terms of their technology and application specificity

remaking the uk s energy technology innovation system from the margins to the mainstream the uk energy technology innovation system etis has undergone wholesale remaking in recent years in terms of its aims funding and organisation we analyse this process and distinguish between three phases since 2000 new beginnings momentum building and urgency and review within an international trend to etis rebuilding uk experience has been distinctive from a low starting base in the early 2000s to system remaking under a strong decarbonisation policy imperative in the late 2000s to multiple and contested drivers in the early 2010s public funding levels have been erratic with a rapid increase and a more recent decline the private business sector has played a leading role in this remaking and as this influence has grown the role and style of energy innovation has shifted from long term niches to the shorter term mainstream the uk etis suffers from persistent problems fragmentation low transparency and weak links to the research evidence base

the development trajectories of wind power and solar pv power in china a comparison and policy recommendations wind power and solar pv power are the two major renewable energy technologies that are currently under rapid development in china in this paper the similarities and differences between the development trajectories of the two sectors are examined in terms of development status development policy and development trend five interesting findings from the comparison are obtained and several policy recommendations are made this paper contributes to the study on china s renewable energy policy from a new perspective

renewable energy and the environment in south africa a way forward the need to mitigate the adverse environmental impacts of fossil fuel usage the volatility of fuel prices and enhancement of national energy security have largely driven a phenomenal growth around the world in renewable energy re generation particularly grid connected over the past two decades the necessity to apply policy support instruments to promote the dissemination of these technologies is now a universally accepted norm different countries and societies depending on the prevailing socio economic environment draft and apply their policy frameworks differently and debates abound as to which mechanisms should have been most suitable under which circumstance most of these debates however assume the existence of an intrinsic political environment in favour of the process in south africa the current political environment is not very conducive to the development of a sustainable re industry this paper explores some of the anomalies and barriers and suggests possible options for a way forward to a viable re industry in the country

understanding cross national trends in high tech renewable power equipment exports to the united states we track us imports of advanced technology wind and solar power generation equipment from a panel of countries during 1989 2010 and examine the determining factors including country size sector specific us fdi outflow and domestic wind and solar power generation differentiating between the core high tech and the balance of system equipment we find us imports of both categories have grown at significantly higher rate from the relatively poorer countries and particularly china and india larger countries are found to be exporting significantly more and us fdi is found to play a significant positive role in the exports of high tech equipment for the poor countries for the core wind and solar high tech equipment we find domestic renewable power generation of the exporting countries also played a significant positive role

new estimates of the canadian money stock 1871 1967 in this paper the authors construct historical data series beginning in 1871 for canadian m1 m2 and monetary base the new series are at a monthly frequency and use the bank of canada s definition of the monetary aggregates institutional and reporting changes however make perfect backwards extrapolation of the bank s series impossible there are only end of month data rather than average weekly since january 1994 daily data and the authors cannot precisely match savings accounts at chartered banks and trust companies that are included in the modern monetary aggregates their adjustments for these changes and their impact on the aggregates are documented

institutional factors influencing strategic decision making in energy policy a case study of wind energy in france and quebec canada abstract this article studies the different institutional factors that influence a strategic wind energy decision making process through a comparative transnational study of quebec canada and france research confirms that political choices are dynamic and vary with a change in the wind energy context the balance of power between pressure groups supranational influences energy evaluation approaches and social acceptance until the 90 s an initially unfavorable national energy context combined with a neocorporatist culture as defined by szarka 2004 1 limited the place of wind energy in both jurisdictions in the 2000 s a political window opened when the private sector penetrated the market with the deregulation of the electricity sector exogenous pressure from the european union in france endogenous pressure from social actions in quebec and a more favorable energy context in both cases however this political window was short lived due to social acceptance issues in quebec political will was stronger until 2013 now the social controversy surrounding wind energy has shifted from the local to the national level projects are better accepted locally because of local financial involvement but an anticipated electricity surplus questions the relevance of new energy projects in france political support depends on the government in power between 2005 and 2013 the reduction in annual wind power installations from 1246 mw to 621 mw was due to the major influence of the anti wind lobby on a right wing government after 2013 the left wing government s arrival coincided with a phasing out of several regulatory and financial uncertainties today both jurisdictions are at a crossroads and the future energy mix will depend on the relative influence of the institutional components identified in our opinion key solutions to more sustainable political choices are conditioned by an improvement in the way projects and policies plans and programs are assessed

building a wave energy policy focusing on innovation manufacturing and deployment abstract the irish government has set a goal to make ireland a world leader for research development and deployment of ocean energy technologies ireland has a wave energy resource of 21 twh and an ambition is to achieve at least 500 mw installed generating capacity from ocean energy by 2020 this paper investigates what is required to move from ambition to delivery a successful wave energy strategy will require focused policies that will stimulate innovation to develop the technologies manufacturing to produce the devices and deployment to build the required wave power plants the paper draws on the successful policies in ireland that have stimulated each of these dimensions albeit for different sectors from 2004 to 2008 successful policies in ict and biotech innovation led to an increase in ireland s innovation index score from 0 48 to 0 53 the policy focus on food and pharmaceuticals manufacturing in ireland resulted in high levels of economic growth over the period 1998 2002 reaching 10 gdp growth levels per annum and full employment successful wind energy policies deployment has accelerated rapidly since 2003 and reached 1 2 gw installed capacity in 2009 representing 15 of ireland s total installed capacity the paper draws on appropriate elements of these policies to build a successful wave energy policy for ireland it also draws on the successful policies adopted in denmark for innovation manufacturing and deployment of wind energy the danish wind turbine manufacturers hold a world market share of approximately 40 the paper proposes establishing a wave energy strategy group to develop an action plan to deliver the 500 mw it also proposes a novel extension of corporate tax specifically for wave energy companies an initial 30 capital grant scheme for wave energy developers a grid code for wave energy devices and fast tracking of planning decisions through an amended approach to strategic infrastructure

a comparative analysis of photovoltaic technological innovation systems including international dimensions the cases of japan and the netherlands this paper investigates the development and diffusion of photovoltaic pv technology in japan and the netherlands both cases are analysed with the technological innovation systems tis framework which focuses on a particular technology and includes all those factors that influence the development and diffusion of a technology this framework proposes seven system functions key processes that need to be fulfilled for a tis to function well we include international factors in the framework such as import share export activities foreign direct investment and international knowledge exchange japan is found to have a well functioning pv tis with a strong industry and a large market for pv whereas the dutch have so far established considerably less based on the differences in the cases we formulate a number of lessons for the dutch pv tis 1 system functions such as guidance of the search f4 and advocacy coalitions f7 need to be strengthened in order to reinforce each other in a positive way 2 formulate maintain and translate consistent long term goals into long term policies and stimulation measures in order to allow a gradual build up of networks and skills expertise 3 build up and maintain legitimacy within the institutional setting and 4 strengthen the tis in order for the smes to grow in terms of capital and capabilities

analyzing the functional dynamics of technological innovation systems a scheme of analysis various researchers and policy analysts have made empirical studies of innovation systems in order to understand their current structure and trace their dynamics however policy makers often experience difficulties in extracting practical guidelines from studies of this kind in this paper we operationalize our previous work on a functional approach to analyzing innovation system dynamics into a practical scheme of analysis for policy makers the scheme is based on previous literature and our own experience in developing and applying functional thinking it can be used by policy makers not only to identify the key policy issues but also to set policy goals

investigating inflation persistence across monetary regimes under inflation targeting estimates of the indexation parameter in hybrid new keynesian phillips curves are either equal to zero or very low in the united kingdom canada sweden and new zealand analogous results hold for the euro area under the european monetary union and for switzerland under the new monetary regime under stable regimes with clearly defined nominal anchors inflation appears to be purely forward looking these results question the notion that the intrinsic inflation persistence found in post wwii u s data is structural in the sense of lucas carnegie rochester conference series on public policy 1 1976 19 46 and suggest that hardwiring inflation persistence in macroeconomic models is potentially misleading

menu costs firm strategy and price rigidity abstract after controlling for chain specific effects higher menu costs are associated with a slight decrease in the probability of a price change and an increase in the size of a price change firm strategy is more influential in determining the incidence and magnitude of a price change

export orientation and domestic electricity generation effects on energy efficiency innovation in select sectors abstract why are some countries developing many energy efficiency innovations while others are lagging behind i argue that export orientation and electricity at low variable cost from nuclear and hydropower plants have an interactive effect on energy efficiency innovation export oriented countries have strong incentives to invest in energy efficiency innovation as they are in a position to export these technology innovations for global markets but if inexpensive electricity is supplied in a country the domestic demand for energy efficiency innovation is missing and so the home market cannot serve as a springboard for international commercialization i test this theory against international patent data on energy efficiency innovation in insulation heating and lighting for 22 oecd countries 1991 2007 the statistical analysis indicates that export orientation has large positive effects on energy efficiency innovation in countries that do not rely on nuclear and hydroelectricity

wind turbine manufacturing in china a review abstract domestic wind turbine manufacturing sector in china has experienced development stages starting from scratch to mass production during the 11th fyp period 2006 2010 the main goal of wind power policy in china is to promote the commercialization of wind power by large scale deployment of wind farms this goal has been realized to a great extent and now the cost of wind power generation is nearly comparable to coal fired power generation in china the industry policy which devotes to mass production of domestic wind turbines is also largely successful the purpose of the paper is to provide an overview on wind turbine manufacturing sector in china the policy evolution in different stages achievements and challenges pertinent to the sector are addressed in the paper key findings are that the misleading industry policy which provides strong incentive to blind entrance and competition for scale and price and restrains innovation as well is the key obstacle for the sustainable development of the sector deficient technology standard and qualification system and the misplaced franchise bidding system also indulge vicious competition and oversupply creating a level playground for all turbine supplies providing strong incentive to innovative manufacturers establishing thorough and practicable standard and qualification system and fine tuning the directive of the franchise bidding system towards technology and service are the primary policy implications proposed by our study

assessing and managing regulatory risk in renewable energy contrasts between canada and the united states abstact a challenge for energy firms when considering new investments is to balance expected financial gains against potential risks however while investment opportunities in different jurisdictions are often straightforward to identify the policy or regulatory risks for investors are more difficult to accurately ascertain here i provide a novel conceptual framework for how firms can assess regulatory risk that focuses on the institutional processes governing policy making risks are lower and policies will subsequently be more stable in jurisdictions where regulatory agencies have greater autonomy from politicians and where policies are formulated through more rigid policy making processes the contrasting development patterns of renewable energy policies in ontario and texas offer support for the framework i further develop strategies for how firms can successfully manage regulatory risks in different types of environment

policies to accelerate the growth of offshore wind energy sector in india abstract india s power generation capacity needs to be augmented to support the growing demands for electricity india which has predominantly used fossil fuels to power its generators need to make a switch to clean energy fuels but renewable sources form a miniscule portion 26 gw 12 of india s overall installed power capacity 210 gw there is no contribution from offshore wind farms to the energy basket for india as there is no policy framework to encourage the development of offshore wind farms several european countries have tapped the offshore wind energy potential to reduce their dependence on adopted by these countries to identify the core components 21 of them of robust policy intervention a detailed questionnaire was administered to 181 stakeholders of wind energy in india to seek their feedback on these building blocks these core components variables in research parlance are then subjected to factor analysis to understand the underlying structure of the variables the factor analysis logically reduces these 21 variables into five factors government support fiscal and quota based incentives availability of local expertise capital for investments and building an enabling r d ecosystem which are then fed into a logistic regression model as independent variables to predict the probability of growth of offshore wind energy dependent variable in the country the logistic regression model gives the weight the impact of these independent variables in influencing the growth of offshore wind energy in india it emerges that government support fiscal and quota based incentives and building an enabling r d ecosystem have a much higher impact on the growth of offshore wind energy for india this paper fills the gap of absence of an empirically tested framework on offshore wind energy policy for india

joint r d in low carbon technology development in china a case study of the wind turbine manufacturing industry abstract china faces the dual challenges of climate change and increased energy demand these challenges in turn increase the demand for wind energy development along with rapid growth in manufacturing capacity chinese companies have aspired to increase their innovation capacity in order to enhance their competitiveness in the market joint research and development r d is an attractive path for chinese companies striving to advance their r d capacity this paper examines joint r d between chinese wind turbine manufacturing companies and foreign design firms assessing the performance of joint r d activities in china using the structure conduct performance scp framework the study found that joint r d has improved chinese companies technical capacity human resources and financial growth however the effect on chinese companies innovation capacity is still limited because of unequal technical capacities of the two sides in collaboration as well as their preference for augmenting profits rather than technical capacity current joint r d mode is only the extension of licensing mode in wind turbine manufacturing industry

value generation of future csp projects in north africa this paper discusses the value generation potential for local and international industry in different development scenarios of the concentrating solar power csp market in north africa until 2030 it analyzes the economic impact resulting from the participation of north african and european companies during construction and operation of csp plants the assessment is based on a self developed solar technologies market development model stmd that includes economic and technical requirements and constraints for the creation of a local csp market in depth interviews with industry stakeholders provide specific input validate the calculations and complement the quantitative model results and conclusions long term potential for locally generated revenues from csp plant construction are modeled and lead to a share of local revenues of up to 60 potential market size of solar power plants in north africa could reach total revenues of 120 billion euros and thus demand for components and services contribute to national gross domestic products significantly recommendations are given for regional industry cooperation and policy actions for the support of local and international csp industry in north africa in order to improve the investment environment and growth of renewable energies in the region

energy security in china a quantitative analysis and policy implications abstract this study aims to examine how china s energy security has changed over 30 years of reform and the opening period it constructs a 4 as quantitative evaluation framework the availability of energy resources the applicability of technology the acceptability by society and the affordability of energy resources the quantitative results show that china s energy security was at its best during the sixth fyp period 1981 1985 but then deteriorated until it hit higher levels between 1995 and 2005 however it was still lower than the level reached during the sixth fyp period during the eleventh fyp period 2006 2010 the energy security situation deteriorated again differences in policy priority over the study period appear to affect the country s energy security status this study suggests that china needs to develop renewable energy resources on a large scale and pay more attention to emissions control to reverse the downward trend in energy security

internationalization as a strategy to overcome industry barriers an assessment of the marine energy industry abstract research on conditions to develop new innovations within emerging renewable energy industries is often done with a national focus however recent research on international entrepreneurship has revealed that firms operate on international levels very early in their life time thus based on former research on international entrepreneurship and case examples we build the propositions that firms in the marine energy industry use internationalization as a strategy to overcome industry barriers our primary source of data is a unique dataset from a global survey of all the companies in the marine energy industry who are aiming to commercialize a wave or tidal energy device this paper is organized in two steps first we identified the most challenging industry barriers perceived by companies second we use these to form propositions which we assess through empirical data the two most challenging barriers perceived by the companies are need for capital and need for supportive political schemes our findings reveal that internationalization certainly is a common strategy to access capital and attractive support schemes in foreign countries the early internationalization has implications for researchers managers and policy makers

price stickiness empirical evidence of the menu cost channel abstract a leading explanation in the economic literature is that monetary policy has real effects on the economy because firms incur a cost when changing prices using a unique database of cost and retail price changes we find that variation in menu costs results in up to 13 3 fewer price increases we confirm that these effects are allocative and have a persistent impact on both prices and unit sales we provide evidence that the menu cost channel operates only when cost increases are small in magnitude which is consistent with theory and provides the first empirical evidence of boundary conditions

the output inflation trade off when prices are costly to change the output inflation trade off is investigated in a rational expectations equilibrium economy in which costly price setting makes it inefficient for agents to vary their prices at every instant it is shown that sticky prices are not some exogenous source of output fluctuation but result from the monetary policy process an economy with slow and counterinflationary money growth exhibits staggered changes in sticky prices as assumed in some new keynesian analyses an economy with fast money growth and a high degree of monetary accommodation exhibits either flexible prices or bunched frequently changing sticky prices

envisaging feed in tariffs for solar photovoltaic electricity european lessons for canada abstract while it is widely agreed that support schemes need to be put in place to promote the use of renewable electricity there is less consensus as to what are the best kinds of strategies to use what is attracting increasing attention in canada is a system of renewable portfolio standards in this all power suppliers are under an obligation to ensure that a certain percentage of the electricity they generate is from renewable resources they can either generate that electricity themselves or purchase green certificates from those who have used renewables to generate electricity recent experience from europe however suggests that a whole hearted commitment to this single strategy could be premature and potentially damaging for the development of all kinds of renewable electricity in canada solar photovoltaics included on the other side of the atlantic ocean the use of so called feed in tariffs that is an obligation for utilities to purchase at a set price the electricity generated by any renewable energy resource is widely credited with accelerating the development of renewable electricity in many countries the purpose of this article is to reflect upon this european experience with feed in tariffs to stimulate discussions regarding what promise they might hold for the development of solar photovoltaic electricity in canada the article is divided into three main sections in the first section policies to promote renewable electricity presently in place in different parts of canada are reviewed attention is then focused more specifically in the second section of this article upon feed in tariffs after defining and describing this alternative system experiences in the countries of the european union are reviewed the main strengths and weaknesses of feed in tariffs in the european experience are also examined the focus then moves back to canada in the third section of the article in this a system of feed in tariffs is proposed for the province of ontario in order to provide just one example of the kind of support that could be forthcoming

between fragmented authoritarianism and policy coordination creating a chinese market for wind energy abstract the chinese grid connected wind energy sector has undergone a number of fundamental changes during its 20 years of existence the scope of this article is to track the reforms of the energy bureaucracy and its policy approach on the one hand and changes in wind energy installations on the other by comparing three historically distinct phases of wind energy in china it is shown how policy reforms have changed largely from a state of fragmented authoritarianism towards policy coordination in the initial phase 1986 1993 wind energy was expanding very slowly with disjointed policy making and in the incremental phase 1994 1999 the energy authorities were in dispute over the strategy and launched conflicting policy initiatives with poor results in wind energy output the latest coordinated phase 2000 2006 however developed a coherent renewable energy agenda and policy regime for the wind power sector it is found that this phase with coordinated market regulations and incentives has helped give birth to a take off in chinese wind energy installations and substantial cost reductions although the latter is threatening the profitability of wind farms the article contributes to the academic debate over the role of policy making in renewable energy development and argues that china should continue and improve the coordination of regulations and incentives

a near rational model of the business cycle with wage and price inertia this paper presents a model in which insignificantly suboptimal behavior causes aggregate demand shocks to have significant real effects the individual loss to agents with inertial price wage behavior is second order in terms of the parameter describing the shock while the effect on real economic variables is first order thus significant changes in business activity can be generated by anticipated money supply changes provided that some agents are willing to engage in nonmaximizing behavior which results in small losses

wind farm investment risks under uncertain cdm benefit in china abstract china has set an ambitious target to increase its wind power capacity by 35 gw from 2007 to 2020 the country s hunger for clean power provides great opportunities for wind energy investors however risks from china s uncertain electricity market regulation and an uncertain energy policy framework mainly due to uncertain clean development mechanism cdm benefits prevent foreign investors from investing in china s wind energy the objectives of this paper are to 1 quantify wind energy investment risk premiums in an uncertain international energy policy context and 2 evaluate the impact of uncertain cdm benefits on the net present values of wind power projects with four scenarios this study simulates possible prices of certified emissions reductions cers from wind power projects project net present values npvs have been calculated the project risk premiums are drawn from different and uncertain cer prices our key findings show that uncertain cdm benefits will significantly affect the project npvs this paper concludes that the chinese government needs revising its tariff incentives most likely by introducing fixed feed in tariffs fits and re examining its cdm granting policy and its wind project tax rates to facilitate wind power development and enable china to achieve its wind energy target

innovation in the energy sector the role of fossil fuels and developing economies abstract this paper analyzes the effects of fossil fuel rents on r d expenditures and patent grants in the field of energy related technology we argue that an increasing share of fossil fuel rents lessens the innovation of new energy technologies we consider a sample of countries beyond the common selection of oecd members and investigate innovation efforts in the energy sector of 116 countries from 1980 to 2012 we observe the gradually growing influence of resource abundant countries on global r d expenditures and find that increasing fossil fuel rents have a negative effect on patent grants this study contributes to the ongoing debate concerning the potential effects of resource abundance more importantly it increases our understanding of innovation activities within the energy sector and further underscores the need to extend future research to countries that have not been taken into account thus far

renewable energy gathers steam in south africa abstract south africa s renewable energy independent power producers procurement programme the rei4p is an extensive initiative to install 17 8 gw of electricity generation capacity from renewables wind solar biomass biogas and hydropower over the period 2012 2030 although at the outset the rei4p seemed an expensive option designed only to deflect criticism of south africa s high carbon footprint and excessive dependence on coal based electricity generation the escalating costs of the latter the rapidly falling costs of photovoltaic and wind power and the increasingly competitive bidding process of the rei4p have changed this prospect at the conclusion of round three the weighted cost of energy has reached a 23 discount to the cost of new coal based generation and a 28 discount to global renewable energy prices the bidders commitments to local employment creation have similarly increased from 11 to 18 jobs mw the programme is now well placed to deliver on a broad range of objectives including regional development and black economic empowerment however maximum benefit from the rei4p will not be secured without some revision to aspects of the bidding and procurement process more specifically the local content provisions need to be tightened to drive higher levels of local manufacturing

menu costs firm size and price rigidity abstract if menu costs have a non negligible lump sum component and with larger firms having greater benefits from price adjustments then larger firms will change price more frequently than smaller firms data from new zealand firms support this hypothesis price duration decreases as firm size increases ordered probit analysis indicates the effect comes primarily from larger firms being more likely than smaller firms to raise price in response to a demand or cost increases

does inflation targeting anchor long run inflation expectations evidence from the u s uk and sweden we investigate the extent to which inflation expectations have been more firmly anchored in the united kingdom a country with an explicit inflation target than in the united states a country with no such target using the difference between far ahead forward rates on nominal and inflation indexed bonds as a measure of compensation for expected inflation and inflation risk at long horizons we show that far ahead forward inflation compensation in the u s exhibits substantial volatility especially at low frequencies and displays a highly significant degree of sensitivity to economic news similar patterns are evident in the uk prior to 1997 when the bank of england was not independent but have been strikingly absent since the bank of england gained independence in 1997 our findings are further supported by comparisons of dispersion in longer run inflation expectations of professional forecasters and by evidence from sweden another inflation targeting country with a relatively long history of inflation indexed bonds our results support the view that an explicit and credible inflation target helps to anchor the private sector s views regarding the distribution of long run inflation outcomes jel e31 e52 e58

policies and market factors driving wind power development in the united states abstract in the united states there has been substantial recent growth in wind energy generating capacity with growth averaging 24 percent annually during the past five years about 1700 mw of wind energy capacity was installed in 2001 while another 410 mw became operational in 2002 during 2003 development activity has remained strong with an estimated 1600 mw of capacity installed with this growth an increasing number of states are experiencing investment in wind energy projects currently about half of all states host at least one wind power project this paper explores the key factors at play in the 12 states in which a substantial amount of wind energy capacity has been developed or planned some of the factors that are examined include policy drivers such as renewable portfolio standards rps federal and state financial incentives as well as market drivers such as consumer demand for green power natural gas price volatility and wholesale market rules

lessons learned in france and quebec regarding financial and legal mechanisms to develop renewable energy a hybrid model as an acceptable solution for onshore wind abstract this article shows that the unfavorable context of emergence as well as neo corporatism limited the weight of wind energy in france and quebec and delayed the project development and the wind industry as a whole indeed the level of political will to wind energy development in both jurisdictions is fluctuating and characterized by a lack of continuity in policy or regulatory instruments the efficiency of the pricing mechanisms depends on its political design while the french feed in tariff is inefficient in terms of installed capacity and is deemed too expensive by opponents the first two calls for tenders in quebec fare quite well on that front however they are perceived as unacceptable due to the multinational companies involved and the implantation of large scale wind farms in inhabited areas the third community call for tender while generally better accepted locally is poorly regarded among the cooperative movement and at the national level because of the competition with the municipal sector and higher costs to society in both cases a hybrid pricing model would achieve a better balance between costs to society and local development thus promoting social acceptance through a greater diversity in ownership types and wind farms size

increasing synergies between institutions and technology developers lessons from marine energy abstract this paper describes innovation activities in the marine energy sector across ten european countries in 2011 intense knowledge creation occurred in the uk and northern european countries while european research networks encouraged public private partnerships facilitating knowledge diffusion an analysis based on a technological innovation system tis has identified challenges for the system to evolve from one phase of development to another i e from pre development to take off phase in order for marine energy to pass successfully through the commercialisation valley of death entrepreneurial experimentation and production is crucial entrepreneurial initiatives were developed mainly in the united kingdom denmark norway and ireland whereas france germany and sweden were active through venture capital initiatives additional system builders such as the authorities in charge of energy policies could offer guidance for research ensure legitimacy and effectively mobilise resources for system development although public support was efficient in stimulating private investment national targets seemed less efficient in creating a long time horizon for private investors due to consecutive unexpected changes in contrast positive interactions between technology developers and policy makers could empower market formation ultimately the creation of a policy community also involving local communities could foster a positive environment for the development of innovation activities

using network analysis to understand public policy for wave energy abstract the uk s wave energy sector is at a pre commercial stage transitioning from prototype demonstration towards a revenue supported industry a host of advantages that could be realised through successful commercialisation include the potential to generate 40 50 twh yr 3 7bn of export and 10 000 jobs by 2020 with tidal despite this criticisms have been made about the lack of coordination between funding bodies communication between stakeholders and overly centralised actors although the value of strong problem solving networks has been noted problems arise in validating the presence nature and value of relationships as well as identification of tacit and informal linkages here network analysis is used to validate these criticisms and provide insight into sector activities it is shown that although high levels of interaction are occurring overall there are wide disparities prime movers are clearly present and less mature developers are isolated from the system as it develops norms and practices this combined with government fund gating has led to a matthew effect whereby some have access to finance and are shaping institutional norms while others struggle although convergence is expected a lack of public sector coordination transparency of decision making and comparability between devices has reduced both investor and stakeholder legitimacy

the critical role of informed political direction for advancing technology the case of swedish marine energy marine energy technologies can contribute to meeting sustainability challenges but they are still immature and dependent on public support this paper employs the technological innovation systems tis framework to analyze the development and diffusion of swedish marine energy up until 2014 while there were promising device developers relevant industrial capabilities and world class research the system suffered from weaknesses in several important innovation processes finally the analysis identifies the lack of informed political direction as a critical blocking factor and highlights its connection to domestic market potential

nonlinear equilibrium correction in u s real money balances 1869 1997 several theoretical models of money demand imply nonlinear functional forms for the aggregate demand for money characterized by smooth adjustment toward long run equilibrium in this paper we propose a nonlinear equilibrium correction model of u s money demand that is shown to be stable over the sample period from 1869 to 1997

the magnitude of menu costs direct evidence from large u s supermarket chains we use store level data to document the exact process of changing prices and to directly measure menu costs at five multistore supermarket chains we show that changing prices in these establishments is a complex process requiring dozens of steps and a nontrivial amount of resources the menu costs average 105 887 year per store comprising 0 70 percent of revenues 35 2 percent of net margins and 0 52 price change these menu costs may be forming a barrier to price changes specifically 1 a supermarket chain facing higher menu costs due to item pricing laws that require a separate price tag on each item changes prices two and one half times less frequently than the other four chains 2 within this chain the prices of products exempt from the law are changed over three times more frequently than the products subject to the law in principle fixed costs of changing prices can be observed and measured in practice such costs take disparate forms in different firms and we have no data on their magnitude so the theory can be tested at best indirectly at worst not at all alan blinder 1991 p 90

alternatives to coal and candles wind power in china china is in a unique position to be able to exploit her vast wind resources to satisfy both the rapidly growing energy demand which fuels her economy as well as needs of approximately 72 million people who live in rural areas and have no access to conventional electricity services china mainly through the e orts of the inner mongolia autonomous region has already successfully disseminated over 150 000 small scale wind electric generators which power households in rural areas through a well coordinated combination of local research and development technology transfer industry support end user incentives and an infrastructure for information dissemination and technical training in this paper we review china s utilization of wind energy and discuss how it can be increased for both rural electri cation and the rapidly growing power sector we nd that novel approaches in technical implementation of wind power use may help to better meet china s needs use of hybrid systems may help to provide higher quality more reliable power for rural households and villages than is currently provided through wind only systems grid connected wind power which currently is more costly and less reliable than coal power can become cost competitive and more reliable through local mass production of wind turbines combined with storage systems we examine governmental support through policy infrastructure development and nancial incentives that have fostered the successes of dissemination of small scale wind turbines and also the support or lack thereof that has hindered commercial development of large scale wind power we nd that a better policy and regulatory framework is the most important measure that china can take to increase the use of this indigenous clean resource 2000 elsevier science ltd all rights reserved

aggregation and optimization with state dependent pricing the literature on the aggregation of s s policies has ignored the impact of aggregate behavior on the individual s optimization problem in the case of pricing the feedback effects are clear not only do pricing strategies determine the evolution of the price level but the evolution of the price level also influences the optimal pricing strategies in this paper we provide a consistent treatment of aggregation and optimization we use this model to analyze three issues in the menu cost pricing literature the relationship between strategic complementarity and the real effects of money the relationship between the variance of the money supply and the correlation between money and output and the relationship between the cost of price adjustment and the size of price adjustment questions concerning the dynamics of aggregate variables such as prices employment investment and consumption represent the core of business cycle analysis one striking feature of these variables is the radical difference between properties of these aggregates and the nature of the individual behavior that underlies them the behavior of a firm s prices investment and employment and the behavior of an individual s consumption all involve frictional elements that lead to discrete adjustment at the microeconomic level heterogeneity among individuals however tends to smooth the behavior of the corresponding aggregates in recent years a large body of research has developed to examine the manner in which microeconomic frictions influence aggregate dynamics one of the centerpieces of this research has been the s s model developed by arrow harris and marschak 1951 the key element of this model is the state dependence of individual decisions agents act when a state variable crosses some critical threshold which balances the cost and benefits of adjustment the aggregate implications of this form of microeconomic behavior have been analyzed by blinder 1981 caplin 1985 and mosser 1991 in the context of inventory dynamics by caplin and spulber 1987 caballero and engel 1991 1993 and caplin and leahy 1991 in the context of prices and by bertola and caballero 1990 caballero 1993 and eberly 1994 in the context of con sumer durables one of the most limiting aspects of these models is that they focus exclusively on the impact that microeconomic inertia has on aggregate dynamics they 1we would like to thank michael harrison loannis karatzas john leahy sr andreu mas colell a co editor and four anonymous referees for helpful discussions and comments and the national science foundation and the sloan foundation for financial support

learning and shifts in long run productivity growth abstract an extensive literature has analyzed the macroeconomic effects of shocks to the level of aggregate productivity however there has been little corresponding research on sustained shifts in the growth rate of productivity in this paper we examine the effects of shocks to productivity growth in a dynamic general equilibrium model where agents do not directly observe whether shocks are transitory or persistent we show that an estimated kalman filter model using real time data describes economists long run productivity growth forecasts in the united states extremely well and that filtering has profound implications for the macroeconomic effects of shifts in productivity growth

review of china s wind power firms internationalization status quo determinants prospects and policy implications abstract in recent years an increasing number of chinese wind power firms have been going international in search of global market for development channels by employing qualitative research and case study methods this paper examines the export scale and markets of china s wind turbines the market entry modes and location choices of china s outward foreign direct investment fdi in the wind power sector identifies the determinants and prospects of chinese wind firms internationalization as well as provides policy implications it is found that chinese wind power firms has chosen to internationalize very differently from the uppsala model in that the exports and fdi of chinese wind power firms both took place around 2008 and the exports and fdi of chinese wind power firms are closely linked the determinants of chinese wind firms internationalization are the competitive advantages of leading chinese wind firms and the intensified domestic market competition followed by chinese government support for internationalization and the attractive overseas market the prospects of chinese wind firms internationalization are bright but challenging drawn on this analysis conclusions and three policy implications are provided at the end of the paper this paper contributes to the study of china s wind power sector from a new perspective

an affinity to commons model of public support for environmental energy policy abstract as atmospheric co 2 continues to rise above 450 ppm policymakers struggle with uncertainty concerning predictors of citizen support for environmental energy policies eeps and preferences for their design topics which have received limited attention in empirical literature we present an original model of policy support based on citizens affinity to commons pathways by which individuals enjoy natural public goods that in turn shape preferences between alternative policy mechanisms we evaluate this model using a survey of southern california electricity customers with results indicating the model s utility in predicting public support of eep stronger community ties are associated with preferences for pull type subsidies whereas stronger connections to natural commons are linked to support for both pull and push type sanctions findings have implications for coalition building as advocates may engender support for green energy policy by framing sanctions as protecting natural commons and framing subsidies either in this same way and or as producing benefits for communities

enabling frameworks for low carbon technology transfer to small emerging economies analysis of ten case studies in chile abstract technology transfer is crucial to reduce the carbon intensity of developing countries enabling frameworks need to be in place to allow foreign technologies to flow to be absorbed and to bring about technological change in the recipient country this paper contributes to identifying these enabling factors by analysing 10 case studies of low carbon technology transfer processes based in chile our findings show the importance of strong economic and institutional fundamentals a sound knowledge base a sizable and stable demand and a functioning local industry policy recommendations are derived to improve the penetration of foreign low carbon technologies in developing countries focusing on the particularities of small and medium emerging economies

is the answer blowin in the wind auctions an assessment of the italian support scheme abstract this article proposes a quantitative data based assessment of the onshore wind auctions conducted in italy from 2012 to 2016 our objective is to provide new insights in the ongoing debate on policy measures to promote renewable energy sources italian wind auction design is examined by firstly investigating its overall outcomes in terms of cost efficiency and policy effectiveness determinants affecting awarded tariffs are then empirically analysed further to explore the role of project related and firm specific factors as well as different auction design elements the extreme simplicity of the auction design undoubtedly has promoted competition encouraging many project developers to bid and reducing support both in static and dynamic terms results provide evidence that localisation factors did not constitute a competitive constraint from a policy perspective the administratively setting of ceiling prices is a major issue when wind resources are widely available and auctioned capacity is not sufficiently high while not limiting competition the effects of pre qualification criteria on the realisation rate deserve further analysis however doubts emerge on the policy effectiveness of the current support scheme which makes difficult to control the total amount of support provided thus likely causing stop and go cycles of financing and potentially favouring distorted bidding behaviour

hierarchical markov normal mixture models with applications to financial asset returns motivated by the common problem of constructing predictive distributions for daily asset returns over horizons of one to several trading days this article introduces a new model for time series this model is a generalization of the markov normal mixture model in which the mixture components are themselves normal mixtures and it is a specific case of an artificial neural network model with two hidden layers the article uses the model to construct predictive distributions of daily s p 500 returns 1971 2005 and one year maturity bond returns 1987 2007 for these time series the model compares favorably with arch and stochastic volatility models the article concludes by using the model to form predictive distributions of one to ten day returns during volatile episodes for the s p 500 and bond return series copyright 2010 john wiley sons ltd

holiday price rigidity and cost of price adjustment the thanksgiving christmas holiday period is a major sales period for us retailers due to higher store traffic tasks such as restocking shelves handling customers questions and inquiries running cash registers cleaning and bagging become more urgent during holidays as a result the holiday period opportunity cost of price adjustment may increase dramatically for retail stores which should lead to greater price rigidity during holidays we test this prediction using weekly retail scanner price data from a major midwestern supermarket chain we find that indeed prices are more rigid during holiday periods than non holiday periods for example the econometric model we estimate suggests that the probability of a price change is lower during holiday periods even after accounting for cost changes moreover we find that the probability of a price change increases with the size of the cost change during both the holiday as well as non holiday periods we argue that these findings are best explained by higher price adjustment costs menu cost the retailers face during the holiday periods our data provides a natural experiment for studying variation in price rigidity because most aspects of market environment such as market structure industry concentration the nature of long term relationships contractual arrangements etc do not vary between holiday and nonholiday periods we therefore are able to rule out these commonly used alternative explanations for the price rigidity and conclude that the menu cost theory offers the best explanation for the holiday period price rigidity

small menu costs and large business cycles a macroeconomic model of monopoly i introduction the conflict between modern neoclassical and traditional keynesian theories of the business cycle centers upon the pricing mechanism in neoclassical models prices are fully flexible they represent the continuous optimization of economic agents and the continuous intersection of supply and demand in keynesian models prices are often assumed to be sticky they do not necessarily equilibrate all markets at all times one of the reasons for the resurgence of the equilibrium approach to macroeconomics has been the absence of a theoretical underpinning for this keynesian price stickiness this note shows that sticky prices can be both privately efficient and socially inefficient the business cycle results from the suboptimal adjustment of prices in response to a demand shock to the extent that policy can stabilize aggregate demand it can mitigate the social loss due to this suboptimal adjustment in some keynesian models prices are simply exogenously fixed 2 in others agents must set their prices in advance of the transaction date the act of altering a posted price is certainly costly these costs include such items as printing new catalogs and informing salesmen of the new price yet these menu costs are small and therefore generally perceived as providing only a weak foundation for these fixed price models however this inference is flawed small menu costs can cause large welfare losses the claim that price adjustment costs are small does not rebut the claim that they are central to understanding economic fluctuations

mobilizing private finance for low carbon innovation a systematic review of barriers and solutions this paper analyses the field of innovation studies regarding barriers to low carbon innovation and consequences for finance investment and divestment and contributes to a more holistic understanding of the underlying mechanisms a combination of technological barriers combined with economic barriers institutional and political barriers contribute to sub optimal low carbon investment all along the innovation cycle policy makers need to take a systemic approach to enable the redirection of diverse private financial sources instruments range from cutting dirty r d subsidies and support for clean technology innovation and diffusion levelling the institutional playing field and making risks of high carbon and low carbon technologies transparent to providing a consistent but adaptive long term transition strategy this would allow financiers to gradually shift their investments away from high carbon mainstream markets and scale low carbon technology niche markets however financiers also need to sharpen their competencies with regard to new clean technologies and markets

fostering a renewable energy technology industry an international comparison of wind industry policy support mechanisms this article examines the importance of national and sub national policies in supporting the development of successful global wind turbine manufacturing companies we explore the motivations behind establishing a local wind power industry and the paths that different countries have taken to develop indigenous large wind turbine manufacturing industries within their borders this is done through a cross country comparison of the policy support mechanisms that have been employed to directly and indirectly promote wind technology manufacturing in 12 countries we find that in many instances there is a clear relationship between a manufacturer s success in its home country market and its eventual success in the global wind power market whether new wind turbine manufacturing entrants are able to succeed will likely depend in part on the utilization of their turbines in their own domestic market which in turn will be influenced by the annual size and stability of that market consequently policies that support a sizable stable market for wind power in conjunction with policies that specifically provide incentives for wind power technology to be manufactured locally are most likely to result in the establishment of an internationally competitive wind industry

money growth and inflation a regime switching approach abstract we develop a markov switching model for inflation with time varying transition probabilities inflation is characterized by two regimes high and low inflation and the probability of regime changes depends on money growth using bayesian techniques we apply the model to the euro area germany the us the uk and canada for data from the 1960s up to the present our estimates suggest that a smoothed measure of broad money growth corrected for real time estimates of trend velocity and potential output growth has important leading indicator properties for switches between inflation regimes thus money growth provides an important early warning indicator for risks to price stability

energy policymaking in denmark implications for global energy security and sustainability denmark is arguably the most energy secure and sustainable country in the organization of economic cooperation and development oecd the country has reduced its dependence on foreign sources of energy to zero and become self sufficient in its own energy production and use offering important lessons for other nations around the world this study explores the core of denmark s successful approach a commitment to energy efficiency prolonged taxes on energy fuels electricity and carbon dioxide and incentives for combined heat and power chp and wind turbines through these commitments the study shows how denmark transitioned from being almost 100 percent dependent on imported fuels such as oil and coal for their power plants in 1970 to becoming a net exporter of fuels and electricity today the country leads the world in terms of exportation of wind energy technology with a hold on roughly one third of the world market for wind turbines it was able to phase out the use of virtually all oil fired power plants in less than five years and implemented a progressive moratorium on future coal fired power plants in the 1990s their most recent strategy seeks to achieve 30 percent of total energy supply from renewable energy by 2025

making the most of high inflation this article examines the relationship between the real effects of inflation and its level in countries with frequent episodes of high inflation the real effects are computed as asymmetric impulse responses of output to inflation separately in the regimes with different signs of the differences between the expected inflation and the predicted output neutral inflation it is found that with the increase in inflation such effects increase in the regime with the positive sign relatively to the effects in the regime with the negative sign it is also shown that this finding is valid for most countries with high inflation episodes where inflation is greater than 4 8 for at least 25 of quarterly observations this leads to a simple policy prescription that in economies with frequent high inflation episodes anti inflationary monetary decisions are least damaging for output if undertaken in the periods when the difference between the expected and output neutral inflation is negative

two illustrations of the quantity theory of money of two central implications of the quantity theory of money that a given change in the rate of change in the quantity of money induces i an equal change in the rate of price inflation and ii an equal change in nominal rates of interest the illustrations were obtained by comparing moving averages of the three variables in question using quarterly u s time series for the period 1953 77 readers may find the results of interest as additional confirmation of the quantity theory as an example of one way in which the quantity theoretic relationships can be uncovered via atheoretical methods from time series which are subject to a variety of other forces or as a measure of the extent to which the inflation and interest rate experience of the postwar period can be understood in terms of purely classical monetary forces the theoretical background of the study is reviewed very briefly as it is familiar material in the next section the data processing methods are described and rationalized in section ii the illustrations

constructing china s wind energy innovation system abstract the rapid rise of china as the largest wind energy market worldwide with several global leaders in turbine manufacturing received much attention from both scholarly and policy analytical work however little attention has been given to the innovation activities of the chinese wind industry in our paper we aim to address this gap based on second hand sources and over 50 personal interviews with wind energy related experts we argue that china s wind industry has made great progress in terms of manufacturing and installing but is confronted with various challenges and problems regarding the development of its indigenous innovation capabilities using innovation systems approaches as an analytical tool and focusing on institutions actors technology and their interaction in supporting innovation activities we decompose the elements of china s wind energy innovation system and their role in developing the domestic wind industry against this backdrop we identify and discuss challenges and obstacles in the development of an innovation driven wind industry in china the paper strongly argues that more attention should be paid to improve the coordination and cooperation among the various actors of the wind energy innovation system to the build up of a market oriented education and training system as well as to intellectual property protection

taiwan s renewable energy strategy and energy intensive industrial policy abstract since taiwan is a densely populated island with almost no fossil energy resources the development of renewable energy is an important issue in the past industries with low energy productivity were encouraged for economic development but this structure of low energy productivity industries should now be adjusted to promote renewable energy and energy efficiency by analyzing the gross domestic product together with the energy consumption and co2 emissions for major industries in taiwan this paper considers what kinds of industries should be encouraged or discouraged for taiwan s future development in addition the recommendations for taiwan s renewable energy and energy intensive industrial policy are presented