regional diversification and firm performance this study examines how regional diversification affects firm performance the results indicate that regional diversification has linear and curvilinear effects on firm performance regional diversification enhances firm performance linearly up to a certain threshold and then its impact becomes negative the results also show that firms of developed countries maximize their performance when they operate across a moderate number of developed regions and a strictly limited number of developing regions this explains why internationalization by most international firms is regional rather than global

home bias in foreign investment decisions we analyze the us equity holdings of more than 3000 non us based mutual funds from 22 countries and find robust evidence that fund managers strongly prefer to invest in stocks of us firms that have presence in their home country this home bias is independent of the degree of global involvement and visibility of these us firms while these firms have significantly greater exposure to local equity markets their local presence offers little information advantage to local fund managers our findings suggest that the lack of international diversification is more serious than currently documented in the literature

exhaustible resources a theory of exploration the paper presents a theory of exploration for exhaustible resources exploration serves both to find new reserves and obtain information about potential reserves although any realized time path of the resource price fails to obey the hotelling rule the expected resource price does increase exponentially through time at the rate of discount we obtain sharper results when the resource is assumed to be distributed randomly throughout the exploration region and follows a poisson process with parameter a consumption and exploration decisions are investigated for both the case where a is known and the case where a is unknown

testing for non jointness in oil and gas exploration a variable profit function approach although the assumption of non joint production is made in a number of areas of economics its empirical validity is seldom examined in this paper we investigate the hypothesis of non jointness in the context of a multiple output production process which utilizes both fixed and variable inputs specifically we test the hypothesis of almost non jointness in the input quantities and prices as well as the hypothesis that inputs and outputs are separable using data on oil and natural gas exploration in alberta canada to facilitate global tests of these hypotheses we estimate a generalized linear generalized leontief variable profit function both with and without the restrictions implied by nonjointness and by separability on the basis of likelihood ratio tests we reject the hypothesis of separability but are unable to reject the non jointness hypothesis based on the maximum likelihood estimates obtained in the non joint case we examine some empirical issues concerning oil and gas exploration activity

exploration economics in a regulated petroleum province the case of the norwegian continental shelf reserve replacement remains a key challenge for the international oil and gas companies as market oriented oil and gas provinces are maturing exploration activity is shifted towards the resource rich regulated regimes outside the oecd regulated oil and gas provinces remain under explored also in econometric terms in this paper we specify and estimate an econometric model of exploration and appraisal drilling for the highly regulated norwegian continental shelf ncs over the period 1965 to 2004 explanatory variables include the oil price cumulative discoveries and open exploration acreage estimated error correction models account explicitly for sluggishness and short term adjustments in exploration drilling we find robust long term oil price effects on exploration activity whereas the short term response is muted on the other hand the temporary influence on exploration drilling from licensing rounds for new exploration acreage is significant and so are the feedback effects from historical exploration success at the same time the longer term impact of these variables is more moderate

an econometric analysis of exploration and extraction of oil in the u k continental shelf this paper develops an econometric model for the analysis of exploration and production policies of price taking suppliers and derives theoretically consistent exploration and output equations for oil which explicitly take account of the oil discovery process and the intertemporal nature of exploration and production decision the model is then applied to an empirical analysis of oil exploration and extraction on the united kingdom continental shelf ukcs over the period 1978 1 1986 4 the analysis explicitly takes account of the available engineering information concerning the pressure dynamics of the petroleum reserves and the geological knowledge pertinent to the discovery process and presents formal statistical tests of the significance of these factors for the explanation of output and exploration in the north sea copyright 1990 by royal economic society

the distribution of money and prices in search equilibrium this article considers a search theoretic model of monetary exchange agents bargain over both the amount of money and the quantity of goods to be exchanged in bilateral meetings determining endogenously the distributions of money and of prices i show that money is neutral if changes in the money supply are accomplished via proportional transfers however within the class of lump sum transfers an increase of the rate of monetary expansion tends to decrease the dispersion of wealth and prices and to improve welfare when inflation is low but when inflation is high enough the opposite effects occur

international corporate diversification and the cost of equity european evidence abstract this paper analyzes the impact of corporate international diversification cid on domestic and world betas through the notion of psychic distance between countries using a large european sample of 598 firms our findings indicate that this dimension significantly influences corporate risk exposure by isolating three additive components of the foreign sales ratio fsr we obtain the most significant results by geographically partitioning the sample provided that firms are further classified by sector our framework sheds new light on how the cid of firms belonging to sweden and the united kingdom as well as the consumer cyclical consumer non cyclical and information technology sectors sometimes can reduce and sometimes increase firm betas

a symmetric safety valve abstract how to set policy in the presence of uncertainty has been central in debates over climate policy concern about costs has motivated the proposal for a cap and trade program for carbon dioxide with a safety valve that would mitigate against spikes in the cost of emission reductions by introducing additional emission allowances into the market when marginal costs rise above the specified allowance price level we find two significant problems both stemming from the asymmetry of an instrument that mitigates only against a price increase one is that most important examples of price volatility in cap and trade programs have occurred not when prices spiked but instead when allowance prices collapsed second a single sided safety valve may have unintended consequences for investment we illustrate that a symmetric safety valve provides environmental and welfare improvements relative to the conventional one sided approach

learning to carry the cat by the tail firm experience disasters and multinational subsidiary entry and expansion we investigate whether firm experience with discontinuous risks particularly high impact disasters that are episodic and difficult to anticipate moderates the relationship between disasters foreign entry and expansion decisions using a panel data set with 57 500 observations from 106 large european multinational corporations and their subsidiaries operating across 109 countries from 2001 to 2007 we find that although discontinuous risk was negatively related to firm entry and expansion firms that had experience with high impact disasters were more likely to expand in countries experiencing disasters

inflation and welfare in a monetary economy it is in everyone s private interest to try to get someone else to hold non interest bearing cash and reserves but someone has to hold it all so these efforts must simply cancel out all of us spend several hours per year in this effort and employ thousands of talented and highly trained people to help us these person hours are simply thrown away wasted on a task that should not have to be performed at all

an empirical examination of multinational corporate capital structure this paper examines whether there are systematic differences in the traditional capital structure determinants between mncs and dcs and if there are additional uniquely international factors that may help explain the capital structure choice of multinational corporations the results suggest that specific international factors such as political risk and exchange rate risk are relevant to the multinational capital structure decision that multinationals have higher agency costs than purely domestic firms and that international diversification does not lower earnings volatility for multinational corporations

on the future of macroeconomics a new monetarist perspective this article argues that a pressing goal for macroeconomics is to incorporate financial considerations but we need models with solid microfoundations in particular the use of assets in facilitating exchange as well as different credit or other financial arrangements should be outcomes of not inputs to theories as a preview i suggest that mainstream macro does a good job explaining many phenomena and a financial crisis does not disprove such theory but understanding crises requires better incorporating factors related to money credit banking and liquidity the approach called new monetarist economics can help a lot in this regard

gift exchange versus monetary exchange theory and evidence abstract we study the lagos and wright 2005 model of monetary exchange in the laboratory with a finite population of sufficiently patient agents this model has a unique monetary equilibrium and a continuum of non monetary gift exchange equilibria some of which pareto dominate the monetary equilibrium we find that subjects avoid the gift exchange equilibria in favor of the monetary equilibrium we also study versions of the model without money where all equilibria involve non monetary gift exchange we find that welfare is higher in the model with money than without money suggesting that money plays a role as an efficiency enhancing coordination device jel c92 d12 e40 z13

asset pricing and dual listing on foreign capital markets a note international capital flows can be hampered by a variety of barriers such as transaction costs information costs and legal restrictions these barriers can be severe enough to produce segmentation of capital markets along national borders thereby producing incentives for firms to adopt financial policies that can effectively reduce the associated negative effects according to stapleton and subrahmanyam 6 p 313 dual listing of the firm s securities on foreign capital markets is one such policy 1 however adoption of this policy will bring forth asset pricing adjustments the purpose of this note is to provide and analyze a closed form solution to the equilibrium asset pricing problem that arises in this situation 2 once the solution is obtained comparative statics are provided 3 the model presented assumes that one of the domestic securities is dually listed on a foreign capital market while none of the foreign securities is dually listed on the domestic capital market this scenario often characterizes the initial stages of capital market integration in which a country with relatively scarce capital or a relatively underdeveloped capital market allows a small number of domestic securities or a fund of domestic securities to be listed on a foreign capital market while simultaneously forbidding its citizens to invest in foreign securities this point can be illustrated by the emergence of a variety of country funds in the u s capital market such as the japan fund in the 1960 s the

operational flexibility and market valuation of earnings this paper examines the association between the stock returns and accounting earnings of firms that have different levels of operational flexibility operational flexibility is a firm s ability to respond profitably to environmental fluctuations by shifting factors of production within a multinational network of subsidiaries the geographic breadth and depth of a firm s multinational network are used as indicators of operational flexibility we find a significantly greater coefficient relating stock returns and accounting earnings for multinational firms that operate in many countries but limit their concentration in any one foreign country than for other multinational firms or domestic firms this coefficient is significantly smaller for multinational firms whose foreign subsidiaries are highly concentrated in a few countries when all multinational firms are pooled together we find their earnings returns association does not differ from that of domestic firms copyright 1999 john wiley sons ltd

valuation of the operating flexibility of multinational corporations the returns to multinationality are estimated as the value of operating flexibility empirical measures of the return of multinationality require a precise specification of the extensiveness of the mnc s transnational network to measure the degree of multinationality this precise empirically grounded definition of multinationality has been absent from the academic literature to date we address this omission and we find that two characteristics of the transnational network its breadth number of foreign countries in which the mnc has operations and depth the concentration of foreign subsidiaries in a few countries are significant in explaining the value of operating flexibility in particular we find that the returns to multinationality are maximized for firms with networks that have breadth but not depth the role of market intangibles such as r d and advertising on mnc market valuation is shown to depend on the flexibility regime

the distribution of money balances and the nonneutrality of money recent monetary models with explicit microfoundations are made tractable by assuming that agents have access to centralized markets after one round of decentralized trade given quasi linear preferences this makes the distribution of money degenerate which keeps the models simple but precludes the discussion of distributional effects of monetary policy we generalize these models by assuming two rounds of trade before agents can readjust their money holdings to study a range of new distributional effects analytically we show that unexpected symmetric lump sum money injections may increase short run output and welfare whereas asymmetric injections may increase long run output and welfare

modelling long term oil price and extraction with a hubbert approach the lopex model abstract the lopex l ong term o il p rice and ex traction model generates long term scenarios about future world oil supply and corresponding price paths up to the year 2100 in order to determine oil production in non opec countries the model uses hubbert curves hubbert curves reflect the logistic nature of the discovery process and the associated constraint on temporal availability of oil extraction paths and world oil price path are both derived endogenously from opec s intertemporally optimal cartel behaviour thereby opec is faced with both the price dependent production of the non opec competitive fringe and the price dependent world oil demand world oil demand is modelled with a constant price elasticity function and refers to a scenario from acropolis poles lopex results indicate a significant higher oil price from around 2020 onwards compared to the reference scenario and a stagnating market share of maximal 50 to be optimal for opec

is oil supply choked by financial market pressures abstract since the late 1990s financial analysts have focused strongly on short term profitability for benchmarking and valuation of international oil and gas companies the increasing pressure for strict capital discipline among oil and gas companies may have reduced their willingness to invest for future reserves and production growth the current high oil price is partly due to low exploration activity in the oil industry the last decade we present and discuss the background for this development based on previous academic research industry trends and current valuation practices an estimated econometric model of stock market valuation among oil and gas companies suggests that analysts and companies have put exaggerate weight on short term earnings and accounting profitability we therefore expect that the attention will shift back to long term reserve and production growth

an analysis of oil production by opec countries persistence breaks and outliers this study examines the time series behaviour of oil production for opec member countries within a fractional integration modelling framework recognizing the potential for structural breaks and outliers the analysis is undertaken using monthly data from january 1973 to october 2008 for 13 opec member countries the results indicate there is mean reverting persistence in oil production with breaks identified in 10 out of the 13 countries examined thus shocks affecting the structure of opec oil production will have persistent effects in the long run for all countries and in some cases the effects are expected to be permanent

a divisible search model of fiat money this paper extends the kiyotaki wright search model of fiat money to allow for divisible money and goods the extension allows me to examine the standard issues in monetary economics such as the neutrality and superneutrality of money by severing the artificial link in the kiyotaki wright model between the money supply and the number of money holders it is shown that money is neutral but not superneutral money growth generates a trading opportunity effect it changes the fraction of different agents in the economy and hence changes the probability with which agents have a successful match in addition money growth has a negative effect on the real money balance that is familiar in walrasian monetary models the balance of the two effects can imply a positive optimal money growth rate

liquidity redistribution and the welfare cost of inflation abstract the long run welfare costs of inflation are studied in a micro founded model with trading frictions and costly liquidity management by modelling the liquidity management decision the model endogenizes the responses of velocity output the degree of market segmentation and the distribution of money compared to the traditional estimates based on a representative agent model the welfare costs of inflation are significantly smaller due to distributional effects of inflation the welfare cost of increasing inflation from 0 to 10 is 0 62 of consumption for the us economy furthermore the welfare cost is generally non linear in the inflation rate

learning across geographic space pro market reforms multinationalization strategy and profitability building on economic geography and knowledge based theory i argue that pro market reforms augment the profitability of firms by increasing their competitiveness and market knowledge however i propose that this effect is greater for firms that operate internationally firms that operate in more advanced markets and firms that become multinationals before reforms are implemented this is because such firms acquire market knowledge abroad that they can use when responding to reforms at home giving them a head start advantage over other local firms the analyses of a panel of the largest 500 latin american companies from 1989 to 2008 provide support for these arguments

on the effects of barriers to international investment a simple model is presented in which it is costly for domestic investors to hold foreign assets the implications of the model for the composition of optimal portfolios at home and abroad are derived it is shown that all foreign assets with a beta larger than some beta plot on either one of two security market lines some foreign assets with a beta smaller than are not held by domestic investors even if their expected return is increased slightly while it is obviously not true that asset markets are completely segmented between countries there is evidence of barriers to international investment although reality seems to lie in that grey area between complete segmentation and no segmentation at all most international asset pricing models are concerned with the extreme case of no barriers to international investment no effort seems to have been made to study the effect on portfolio choice of such barriers which make it costly to hold foreign securities as opposed to domestic securities but which do not in general render international diversification so onerous that investors avoid foreign securities completely casual empiricism suggests that models without barriers to international investment should be suspect those models cannot explain why it appears that in every country investors on average hold more domestic securities than would be required if they held the world market portfolio 2 this paper constructs a model of international asset pricing in which there is a cost associated with holding either long or short risky foreign securities for the sake of simplicity in most of the paper we assume that while domestic investors face barriers to international investment foreign investors face no such barriers it turns out that nothing significant is lost with such an assumption the main conclusions of this paper for the case in which foreign investors face no barriers to international investment are 1 in the presence of barriers to international investment some risky foreign

money and credit redux do we need both money and credit in models with explicit roles for payment instruments we show the answer is no if credit is easy money is useless if credit is tight money can be essential but then credit is irrelevant and changes in debt limits are neutral real balances respond endogenously to leave total liquidity constant this is true for exogenous or endogenous policy and debt limits secured or unsecured credit and fairly general preferences and pricing mechanisms while we also show how to overturn some results the benchmark model suggests credit conditions matter less than some people think

the welfare cost of inflation in canada and the united states abstract this paper follows lucas econometrica 68 2000 247 and estimates the welfare cost of inflation in the post world war ii canadian and u s economies we use recent advances in the field of applied econometrics to estimate the interest elasticity of money demand and report significantly smaller welfare costs estimates than lucas econometrica 68 2000 247

fdi theories and the performance of foreign multinationals operating in the u s based on firm specific financial data performance of foreign multinationals operating in the u s is evaluated to determine if they enjoy advantages over u s firms results of this study indicate that foreign firms operating in the u s are less profitable than randomly selected u s firms that they spend more in research and development but less in advertising and that they have higher debt levels combined with higher liquidity in addition the findings also demonstrate that the determinants of excess market value as measured by tobin s q differ between foreign owned firms and american owned firms and that the performance of foreign multinationals differ by country of origin this suggests that foreign owned firms may have different reasons for investing in the u s and that foreign multinationals present investment opportunities to the u s investors distinct from american firms

indivisible labor lotteries and equilibrium abstract this paper considers an economy where labor is indivisible and agents are identical although the discontinuity in labor supply at the individual level disappears as a result of aggregation it is shown that indivisible labor has strong consequences for the aggregate bahavior of the economy it is also shown that optimal allocations involve lotteries over employment and consumption

does oilrig activity react to oil price changes an empirical investigation in this paper we analyze how oilrig activity in different non opec regions is affected by the crude oil price we estimate relationships between oilrig activity and crude oil prices using dynamic regression models augmented with latent components capturing trend and seasonality the results generally show a positive relationship between oilrig activity and the crude oil price but the strength of the relationship differs across regions overall there seems to be a clear relationship between the oil industry structure in the region and the oilrig activity s reaction to price changes on average the long run price elasticity for oilrig activity in non opec countries is around unity

how do oil producers respond to giant oil field discoveries abstract the classical hotelling model predicts that the optimal extraction level rises immediately after an unexpected resource discovery whereas in reality there are substantial adjustment costs in petroleum production and an average lag of several years between a discovery and the start of production using a large panel of country level production data and a difference in differences identification approach i show that domestic production levels respond before a newly found oil field comes on line and that this increase is driven by non opec producers consistent with different responses of opec and non opec drilling activity offshore fields and exceptionally large super or mega giant fields are also more likely to raise country level production given that domestic petroleum consumption rises by less in response to a discovery at least part of the increase in production seems to go into net oil exports

the relationship between oil prices and rig counts the importance of lags abstract this study deals with a timely and relevant issue in the oil market in the wake of the recent drastic drop in oil prices which is the relationship between changes in oil prices and changes in rig counts while accounting for other determinants of this relationship this relationship is of strong interest to analysts investors and policymakers in the united states and other countries we empirically verify the impact of changes in oil prices on rig counts which has lags up to one quarter this evidence is stable across time and over different linear and non linear models the analysis also suggests that the relationship is non linear which is verified by both the quantile regression and quantile on quantile models we find evidence of non linearity that has softened in the most recent years where the relationship between the variables has stabilized

internationalization and performance degree duration and scale of operations we assess the theoretical underpinnings and associated empirical findings of the three stage sigmoid curve relationship between degree of internationalization doi and performance by re examining the results reported in one of the prominent studies in the literature we further conduct our own analyses of 23 474 observations of 2 620 us manufacturing firms over the period 1976 2008 and account for self selection of firms into different degrees of internationalization by using a generalized propensity score estimator both sets of results show that the relationship between doi and performance conforms to a mostly negative sigmoid curve and does not support the three stage theorization further examination reveals that two major conceptual and empirical shortcomings underlie the disparity between the theoretical predictions of the three stage model and these empirical findings first whereas theory relies overwhelmingly on enhanced scale of operations as a causal mechanism through which internationalization contributes to performance empirical studies preclude proper identification of scale related benefits second theory and empirics tend to confuse temporary difficulties experienced upon entry into international markets with examining the benefits realizable at different levels of doi regardless of the firm s short term difficulties in realizing those benefits our empirical results show that correcting for each of these shortcomings contributes to diminishing the theory empirics gap

the measurement of the degree of foreign involvement this paper extends errunza and senber 1984 in assessing the relationship between alternative measures of the degree of foreign involvement dfi and the conditions under which the use of a specific measure will not affect the outcome of empirical studies on corporate international diversification the results suggest that among 21 pairs of seven most widely used series of dfi only three series foreign assets foreign earnings and foreign tax ratios in two pairs are equivalent evidence of constant returns to scale between the ratio of foreign to total assets and the ratio of foreign to total earnings is also discussed

misspecification of capital asset pricing this study documents empirical anomalies which suggest that either the simple one period capital asset pricing model capm is misspecified or that capital markets are inefficient in particular portfolios based on firm size or earnings price e p ratios experience average returns systematically different from those predicted by the capm furthermore the abnormal returns persist for at least two years this persistence reduces the likelihood that these results are being generated by a market inefficiency rather the evidence seems to indicate that the equilibrium pricing model is misspecified however the data also reveals that an e p effect does not emerge after returns are controlled for the firm size effect the firm size effect largely subsumes the e p effect thus while the e p anomaly and value anomaly exist when each variable is considered separately the two anomalies seem to be related to the same set of missing factors and these factors appear to be more closely associated with firm size than e p ratios

the redistributive effects of inflation and the shape of money demand abstract i quantify the distributional effects of expected inflation in a sample of oecd countries using a microfounded model of money where agents differ in their consumption risk against which they can insure using money and government bonds the model is calibrated using harmonized wealth microdata from the luxembourg wealth study i find that the inflation tax is progressive for low inflation levels but it becomes regressive as inflation increases cut off points vary across countries and depend on discount factors and heterogeneity in consumption risk across agents moreover i find that the magnitude of inflation s distributional impact depends not only on wealth distribution but also and importantly on the curvature and height of the money demand curve indeed a higher and less elastic money demand leads to more regressive effects of inflation thus implying such effects are not necessarily stronger in a country with a more unequal wealth distribution

the effect of domestic uncertainty on the real options value of international investments scholars have noted that international investments have the potential to provide firms with real options value under uncertainty to assess this issue prior studies have tended to focus primarily on exchange rate volatility although multinational firms face other types of uncertainty as well including those stemming from their domestic operating environment the role of such uncertainty for firms flexibility needs has not been previously considered in this study we compare the influence of both domestic economic uncertainty and exchange rate uncertainty on the real option value of international investments of korean firms over 16 years of varying uncertainty we find evidence that an international investment network characterized by greater breadth and lower depth is associated with higher firm value under domestic economic uncertainty exchange rate uncertainty however was not found to play a role in firms need for flexibility the results suggest that firms are able to hedge exchange rate uncertainty by using mechanisms such as forward contracts or derivatives thus potentially reducing the impact of this type of uncertainty on their operations

search limited participation and monetary policy a model is developed that employs recent developments in the literature on search models of money to capture the distributional effects of monetary policy in a tractable way deterministic and stochastic versions of the model are studied money is not neutral and these nonneutralities persist whether or not the change in the money supply is anticipated or unanticipated at the optimum monetary policy is geared to correcting distortions in the search sector of the economy while correcting for the persistent effects of past monetary policy actions there is no consensus among macroeconomists concerning the role of monetary policy in the short run however an influential idea is that limited participation in financial markets is an important mechanism behind the short run macroeconomic effects of central bank actions that is there is a component of economic activity that is centralized and interconnected this economic activity involves financial transactions among banks and other financial intermediaries and the agents who hold the assets and liabilities of these financial intermediaries when the central bank injects outside money into the economy or withdraws it the economic agents who are immediately affected by the monetary injection or withdrawal are the participants in these centralized transactions other economic agents who are engaged in more decentralized and less interconnected transactions will not be affected directly by the first round effects of central bank actions thus there will be a distributional effect of monetary injections and withdrawals as first captured in heterogeneous agent models by grossman and weiss 1983 and rotemberg 1984 this distributional effect will matter in interesting ways for the price level nominal interest rates aggregate output foreign exchange rates and the distribution of consumption across the population the grossman weiss and rotemberg models are not analytically tractable because of the difficulty in tracking the distribution of wealth over time however lucas 1990 fuerst 1992 and alvarez and atkeson 1997 among others

financial sophistication and the distribution of the welfare cost of inflation abstract the welfare cost of anticipated inflation is quantified in a calibrated model of the u s economy that exhibits tractable equilibrium dispersion in wealth and earnings inflation does not generate large losses in societal welfare yet its impact varies noticeably across segments of society depending also on the financial sophistication of the economy if money is the only asset then inflation mostly hurts the wealthier and more productive agents while those poorer and less productive may even benefit from inflation the converse holds in a more sophisticated financial environment where agents can insure against consumption risk with assets other than money

international corporate diversification market valuation and size adjusted evidence errunza and senbet es 7 analyze the effects of international operations on the market value of the firm both at theoretical and empirical levels the theoretical model which is largely heuristic exploits the costly supply adjustment of multinational firms mncs in providing international portfolio diversification services to investors who face differential cost barriers to direct holdings of assets across national boundaries mncs compete as financial intermediaries to undo the barriers so that in equilibrium profits are driven out mncs and pure domestic firms sell at an equivalent risk adjusted return however costly financial intermediation and the associated relative efficiency leads to a positive valuation effect for mncs relative to purely domestic firms further the equilibrium analysis implies that demand side investor barriers to international capital flows alone are inconsequential to the valuation of mncs in their pure financial role but that the interaction with the supply side costs are necessary to produce a valuation effect at the corporate level es subject the theory to an empirical analysis in a value based approach by employing a variant of tobin s 17 qratio the analysis controlling for industrial market power suggests that the relationship between the excess valuation and the degree of international involvement doi has magnified over periods characterized by severe u s government controls vis a vis the more recent periods in this paper we formalize the theoretical argument by viewing indirect portfolio diversification by mncs as a means of completing the international capital market we employ a paradigm in the unanimity literature and formally characterize the equilibrium in which there is a rationale for mnc financial intermediation we then perform an expanded empirical study by employing generalized least squares and maximum likelihood procedures since the positive relationship between excess valuation and doi as suggested in es 7 might be attributed to the so called small firm or size and the p e effects the test methodology controls for such effects also the traditional literature has relied upon foreign sales percentage as a proxy for doi in view of the well recognized limitations of this proxy we employ four different measures of international

the effects of international operations on the market value of the firm theory and evidence this paper investigates the existence of monopoly rents associated with international operations in a market value theoretic framework the benefits of international operations evolve from such factors as 1 imperfections in the product and factor markets 2 differential international taxation and 3 imperfections in the financial markets in this paper these factors are subject to an equilibrium analysis in the context of recent advances in financial theory in particular imperfections in the financial sector arising from corporate international diversification are examined in a framework which allows a supply adjustments by multinational firms and b the interaction of barriers to international capital flows faced by both firms and investors taking the u s capital market and investors as a base we then specify the conditions under which the foregoing imperfections get priced out in an equilibrium these pricing effects cannot be detected empirically through the methodologies employed by the existing studies which examine the effects of corporate international diversification indeed it was an attempt to rescue the limitations of these studies which initially motivated our paper the existing empirical inquiries into this area rely on traditional risk adjusted performance measures e g 7 or international analogs of return generating processes e g 1 8 instead at the empirical level we employ a value based method which is in the same vein of the thomadakis 17 approach developed to identify the monopoly benefits of industrial market structure we conduct the tests over subperiods characterized by differential government controls in an attempt a to separate the pure financial motives for multinationality from other motives and b to detect if the benefits of international operations carry through recent periods

valuation effects of global diversification this paper examines the effect of global diversification on firm value using a data set of us firms from 1994 to 2002 we document that global diversification enhances firm value specifically we find that tobin s q our proxy for firm value increases with foreign sales measured as a fraction of the firm s total sales even after we control for well known determinants of firm value in contrast we find no such evidence for industrial diversification we find evidence of both financial and real effects driving such a value enhancement from global diversification furthermore we find that the valuation benefits from global diversification are higher if the firm diversifies into countries with creditor rights that are stronger than those of the united states our results are also robust to controlling for the firm s endogenous choice to diversify across countries or across industries our study is anchored by the theories of both the financial and real dimensions of global diversification and our results support both theories overall our results provide a unifying view that global diversification benefits are driven by both the real and financial dimensions

internalization an event study test abstract the internalization theory of multinational firms proposes that direct international investment occurs when a firm has information related intangible assets with public good properties we find that firms with characteristics suggesting the presence of information based assets experience a significantly positive stock price reaction upon announcing a foreign acquisition on the other hand firms apparently lacking such assets experience at best zero abnormal returns upon announcing overseas acquisitions

transaction costs and the pricing of assets the existence of transaction costs explains why investors do not fully diversify their portfolios this paper examines the implications of such limited diversification oi equilibrium asset prices in the framework of the capital asset pricing model in the pricing equation obtained here an asset s risk premium depends on a weighted average of its covariance with the market and its own variance the absence of transaction costs in the sharpe lintner capital asset pricing model capm is often claimed to be only a minor idealization which hardly affects the substantive implications of the model this paper aims to demonstrate that this is not the case incorporating transaction costs into the capm leads to a major reformulation of its basic asset pricing equation in contrast with the capm formula

does corporate hedging attract foreign institutional investors evidence from international firms we study how corporate hedging affects the demand of foreign institutional investors we collect measures of foreign exchange hedging and interest rate hedging for a comprehensive sample of international companies we document a strongly positive relationship between foreign institutional demand and corporate hedging the effect of hedging is concentrated in the demand of non bank affiliated investors whereas bank affiliated investors are less sensitive to it the impact of hedging on foreign institutional ownership is higher for less transparent countries and a low quality of corporate governance amplifies the effect of lower transparency we address the potential endogeneity of hedging with an instrumental variable specification that exploits the changes in hedging induced by changes in the asset quality of relationship banks we also show that the pre ipo hedging policy is positively related to international investor demand after the ipo

diversification exchange risk and corporate international investment all international investments inevitably have some diversification consequences yet the literature on foreign direct investment accords only a limited role to diversification or financial variables this paper develops a theory of corporate international investment from the standpoint of finance in an environment where the segmentation of international capital markets for individuals or the presence of agency costs provide some independence to corporate decisions separate from shareholders the model does not depend on any particular advantage of multinational firms and is specifies the stochastic properties of domestic and foreign output and input prices it is found that real exchange risk and diversification gains affect corporate international investment in a significant way it is also shown that the model embodies several existing explanations based on behavioral and economic variables

the timing and incidence of exploratory drilling on offshore wildcat tracts this paper is an empirical study of learning and strategic delay in exploratory drilling the specific context is drilling on federal land off the coast of texas and louisiana between 1954 and 1990 the us federal government held a number of sales in which it sold the oil and gas rights to thousands of parcels of its offshore land these parcels known as tracts each cover an area of five thousand acres on average the typical sale involves more than a hundred tracts most sales are wildcat sales which consist of tracts located in areas where there has not been prior exploratory drilling and on site drilling is not permitted prior to the sale firms have access only to seismic information and as a consequence face considerable uncertainty the rights to the tracts are sold individually using a first price sealed bid auction and ownership of tracts in an area is typically distributed among several firms tracts within an area often share common geological features and a subset may be located over a common pool in either case the ex post value of nearby leases will be correlated and as result there is an information externality associated with exploratory drilling 20 refs 1more fig 5 tabs less

uncertainty inflation and welfare this paper studies the welfare costs and the redistributive effects of inflation in the presence of idiosyncratic liquidity risk in a microfounded search theoretical monetary model we calibrate the model to match the empirical aggregate money demand and the distribution of money holdings across households and study the effects of inflation under the implied degree of market incompleteness we show that in the presence of imperfect insurance the estimated long run welfare costs of inflation are on average 40 to 55 smaller compared to a complete markets representative agent economy and that inflation induces important redistributive effects across households

capital structure equilibrium under market imperfections and incompleteness this paper generalizes miller s supply side equilibrium argument to other forms of capital market imperfections and incompleteness if corporations possess a comparative advantage in dealing with these imperfections they have an incentive to act as financial intermediaries corporations attempts to profit from these intermediation activities dictate an optimal capital structure for the corporate sector as a whole but in equilibrium the capital structure of any single firm is a matter of indifference in addition the positive role that corporate finance plays in completing the market restores standard perfect market results on asset pricing and the associated portfolio separation properties

the welfare cost of inflation under imperfect insurance abstract this paper examines the welfare cost of inflation in an economy where agents hold money in order to smooth consumption in the face of income variability for which there is no insurance the findings indicate that for the type of economies considered here the area under the empirical money demand curve is a poor measure of the welfare cost of inflation this area accounts for only one fourth of the true costs in the case of 5 inflation

the exchange rate exposure of u s multinationals this article examines the exposure of u s multinationals to foreign currency risk evidence is presented that the relationship between stock returns and exchange rates differs systematically across multinationals given these results the study focuses on the determinants of exchange rate exposure the comovements between stock returns and the value of the dollar is found to be positively related to the percentage of foreign operations of u s multinationals copyright 1990 by the university of chicago

a unified framework for monetary theory and policy analysis search theoretic models of monetary exchange are based on explicit descriptions of the frictions that make money essential however tractable versions of these models typically make strong assumptions that render them ill suited for monetary policy analysis we propose a new framework based on explicit micro foundations within which macro policy can be studied the framework is analytically tractable and easily quantifiable we calibrate the model to standard observations and use it to measure the cost of inflation we find that going from 10 percent to 0 percent inflation is worth between 3 and 5 percent of consumption much higher than previous estimates

preferences inflation and welfare abstract this paper systematically examines how degrees of household risk aversion ra and elasticity of intertemporal substitution eis impact the welfare costs of inflation in a heterogeneous agent environment featuring capital and essential money empirical evidence suggests that households have degrees of ra and eis that differ on average from traditional values and display large amounts of dispersion capturing these empirical features of preference values in an otherwise standard model leads to welfare enhancements of inflation due to household substitution of money for capital the analysis also compares the welfare implications for alternative ways to implement monetary policy

international arbitrage pricing theory an empirical investigation in this paper we test the arbitrage pricing theory apt in an international setting inter battery factor analysis is used to estimate the international common factors and the chow test is used in testing the validity of the apt our inter battery factor analysis results show that the number of common factors between a pair of countries ranges from one to five and our cross sectional test results lead us to reject the joint hypothesis that the international capital market is integrated and that the apt is internationally valid our results however do not rule out the possibility that the apt holds locally or regionally in segmented capital markets finally the basic results of both the inter battery factor analysis and the cross sectional tests are largely invariant to the nume raire currency chosen numerous authors notably solnik 21 grauer litzenberger and stehle 11 and stulz 24 have derived various versions of the international asset pricing model iapm under alternative views of the structure of international capital markets however only a few serious attempts have been made to test various versions of the iapm these tests are largely inconclusive see solnik 20 and stehle 23 apart from the problem stressed by roll 16 of identifying the world market portfolio previous tests of the iapms suffer from the technical problem of aggregating assets of national investors using different numeraire currencies differences in the numeraire arise from differences in consumption baskets in an environment characterized by exchange rate uncertainty in a fruitful attempt to extend the arbitrage pricing theory apt of ross 18 to an international setting solnik 22 derives an international arbitrage pricing theory which is largely devoid of the aforementioned difficulties and thus more amenable to empirical testing 1 as shown by solnik testability of the apt in an

investor base and corporate borrowing evidence from international bonds abstract we examine international bond issues by us firms to study the benefits of investor taste for cross border security issuances we proxy for firms international investor taste with the fraction of prior international bond holding in firms domestic and international bonds and find that international investor demand increases with such taste moreover the offering yield spreads on international bonds are lower than domestic offering yield spreads for these internationally recognized firms and they have higher probability of issuing internationally such international recognition may occur for instance if the diversification benefits of adding the security to investor s portfolio outweigh the negative effects of higher renegotiation costs for international compared to domestic investors

asymmetry and uncertainty in capital formation an application to oil investment theories of irreversible investment suggest a negative relation between investment and uncertainty and nonlinear adjustment costs open for asymmetries in the adjustment of fixed capital we propose an econometric modelling approach to estimate and test the key predictions of modern investment theory including asymmetric dynamics and various uncertainty indicators our application on a data set from the oil industry offers empirical support for both asymmetric dynamics and uncertainty in oil and gas investment

home and foreign host country ifrs adoption and cross delisting this study examines whether and how the mandatory adoption of international financial reporting standards ifrs affects a firm s cross delisting decision using a comprehensive sample of international cross delistings we show that mandatory ifrs adoption in the cross listing host countries of multinational enterprises mnes increases the delisting propensity of non ifrs reporting firms in contrast mandatory ifrs adoption in both home and host countries of cross listing firms decreases the delisting propensity of mnes in the post ifrs period the results of cross sectional tests further suggest that the increased cross delisting propensity for domestic gaap reporting firms post ifrs adoption in foreign host countries is more pronounced for firms with a greater difference between domestic gaap and ifrs overall our results show the differential effects of ifrs adoption in home host countries of mnes on their cross delisting decisions

inflation and welfare in the steady state this is a paper on expected inflation and welfare in steady state equilibrium the demand for money is an inventory demand with an endogenous payment period the clower constraint is not imposed higher inflation reduces welfare by reducing consumption as people devote more of their real income to maintaining lower average money holdings high inflation does not necessarily promote an increase in the capital stock the mundell tobin effect is absent the policy conclusion is standard deflate at the rate of time preference because capital is held socially optimal consumption falls short of its golden rule level if inside money is allowed it drives out fiat money and welfare is again at a maximum

liquidity a new monetarist perspective this essay surveys the new monetarist approach to liquidity work in this literature strives for empirical and policy relevance plus rigorous foundations questions include what is liquidity is money essential in achieving desirable outcomes which objects can or should serve in this capacity when can asset prices differ from fundamentals what are the functions of commitment and collateral in credit markets how does money interact with credit and intermediation what can and should monetary policy do the research summarized emphasizes the micro structure of frictional transactions and studies how institutions like monetary exchange credit arrangements or intermediation facilitate the exchange process

excess market value the multinational corporation and tobin s q ratio the results of this study show that there is a positive and significant relationship between excess market value of multinational corporations and the degree of international involvement as measured by foreign sales percentage however the excess market value is not determined by the number of foreign subsidiaries nor the interaction between foreign sales and the number of foreign subsidiaries the relationship between excess market value and the two frequently used measures of monopoly power concentration ratio and the lerner index was also examined this study found that the lerner index contributes significantly in explaining excess market value but concentration ratio does not furthermore the positive and significant coefficients of advertising and r d intensity serve as evidence that product market imperfections appear to play a bigger role in explaining the excess market value experienced by mncs during our sample period

debt for equity swaps under a rational expectations equilibrium this paper analyzes ldc debt for equity swaps under a rational expectations equilibrium under full information the swap can never be strictly preferred by the ldc the mnc and the bank under the postulated informational asymmetry assumptions the same results obtain leading to the lemons market in reverse under rational expectations the swap can only occur if the loan is correctly valued relative to all private information in the economy given that some swaps do occur future models must reflect the unique features of swaps

international diversification and firm performance the s curve hypothesis a proposed theoretical framework for the study of multinationality and performance includes both benefits and costs of geographic expansion over different phases of internationalization data on 1 489 japanese firms over 12 years show a consistent horizontal x s shaped x relationship between multinationality and performance further firms investing more heavily in intangible assets such as technology and advertising achieved greater profitability gains from growth in foreign direct investment our framework and findings highlight complexity and temporal dynamics

asset trading mechanisms and expansionary policy abstract previous authors have argued that the otimal monetary policy is contractionary if buyers value consumption substantially more than sellers there is some randomness and informational constraints make asset trading useful we show that there is an incentive compatible expansionary policy that dominates all incentive compatible contractionary policies

intangible resources as a key factor in the internationalisation of spanish firms abstract in this paper we analyse the effect of the availability of intangible resources measured by way of tobin s q on the probability of spanish firms increasing their international diversification we find that this impact is positive and statistically significant we also discover that firms with a higher endowment of intangible resources increase their presence in their current markets concentration and that those with a multinational status also expand to new markets scope