the determinants of australian trade union membership summary this paper investigates the determinants of trade union membership in australia using the engle and granger 1987 theory of co integrated economic variables applying the theory of co integration yields a model of union membership which can be interpreted as distinguishing between long run and business cycle determinants of union membership the principal long run determinant of union membership is found to be the level of employment disaggregated by industry classification business cycle variables the real wage and the change in unemployment are also shown to influence movements in union density these findings are consistent with recent studies which have attributed the decline in union membership in australia since the early 1980s to the changing composition of employment and movements in the rate of unemployment

the role of the desire for union status in the decision to enter local government job queues the us evidence following a two stage bivariate probit approach this study estimates local government and union job queues in a simultaneous equations framework by relaxing the restrictive assumption of independence between the worker s queuing and the employer s hiring decisions it overcomes a major limitation of most of the earlier job queue estimates the results indicate that the worker s queuing decision for local government jobs in the united states is determined partly by the desire for unionized employment the converse however is not true seniority with the current employer emerges as a significant determinant of both workers queuing and employers hiring decisions furthermore local governments act as model employers by being more likely to hire minorities and females from the pool of job applicants

federal and union job queues further evidence from the us labour market recent research on union differentials suggests that although the premium to unionization is higher in the private sector it can hardly be ignored in the federal sector consequently the nature and length of the federal queue may differ between union and non union sectors similarly the union queue may not necessarily be homogeneous between federal and private sectors we estimate separate queues for federal union federal non union and private union jobs from the same sample this avoids the problem of simultaneity between the federal queue and the union queue in addition it explores several important differences that exist between these queues

let me dream on anticipatory emotions and preference for timing in lotteries we analyze one of the explanations why people participate in lotteries our hypothesis stipulates that part of the value that a unit of money buys in lotteries is consumed before the actual resolution in the form of emotions such as hope in other words a person holding a lottery ticket may prefer a delayed resolution of risk due to positive anticipatory emotions this conjecture is tested in an experiment with real lottery tickets we show that our theoretical considerations may contribute to explaining empirical puzzles associated with lottery participation timing of resolution and the spreading of lots over drawings more specifically we find that a substantial minority of participants prefer delayed resolution that anticipated thrill is the main variable explaining this choice and that emotions actually experienced during the waiting period are indeed predominantly positive and correlated with predictions finally we find that a great majority prefers to spread chances that is to obtain one ticket for each of two drawings rather than two for the same drawing

motivated health risk denial and preventative health care investments abstract people deny health risks invest too little in disease prevention and are highly sensitive to the price of preventative health care especially in developing countries moreover private sector r d spending on developing country diseases is almost non existent to explain these empirical observations i propose a model of motivated belief formation in which an agent s decision to engage in health risk denial balances the psychological benefits of reduced anxiety with the physical cost of underprevention i use the model to study firms price setting behavior and incentive to innovate i also show that tax funded prevention subsidies are welfare enhancing

union organizing costs and benefits this paper examines the costs and benefits to current union members in manufacturing of programs to organize the unorganized the marginal cost of organizing an additional employee in constant dollars is estimated for a sample of unions between 1964 and 1977 the primary benefit of organizing that is quantifiable is the extent to which the maintenance or extension of union coverage permits the maintenance of or increase in the union wage estimates of this benefit are derived from previous econometric research linking the union wage to the percentage of the industry organized this single benefit is found to be larger than the estimated marginal cost of extending union coverage in 19 of 20 manufacturing industries

the effect of the union wage differential on management opposition and union organizing success that large union wage differentials increase organization is incorrect for the united states today it is incorrect because organization is the joint decision of workers and management not a worker s decision while potential wage increases are a plus to workers they reduce profits and thus are a minus to management in an institutional setting in which management allocates significant resources to convince workers to vote against unions it is erroneous to analyze the effect of the union wage differential on organizing solely from the workers side just as it is erroneous to analyze any economic outcome solely in terms of one blade of the market scissors my claim is threefold

pharmaceuticals and the developing world pharmaceuticals have greatly improved health in developing countries but many people in developing countries do not obtain even inexpensive pharmaceuticals and little pharmaceutical r d is oriented toward products needed by developing countries such as a malaria vaccine access to existing products could be improved by facilitating differential pricing for example by subsidizing donation programs and reforming health care delivery r d incentives could be improved if rich countries or international organization committed to purchase needed products when they are developed and make them available to the poor

what happened to long term employment the role of worker power and environmental turbulence in explaining declines in worker tenure recent declines in the average length of time that u s workers spend with a given employer represent an important change in the nature of the employment relationship yet it is one whose causes are poorly understood i explore those causes using current population survey data on the tenure of men aged 30 65 from the years 1979 2008 i argue that long term employment relationships primarily occur when workers pressure employers to close off employment from market competition reducing the attractiveness of external mobility relative to internal opportunities and increasing employment security i then explore how two changes in organizations environments a decline in union strength and increased turbulence from changes in technology and globalization might have affected workers ability to secure such closed employment relationships over the last 30 years my results support the argument that declines in tenure reflect the reduced power of workers to secure closed employment relationships recent declines in tenure have been concentrated in large organizations and many of those declines are explained by controlling for the changing levels of industry unionization i find little evidence that foreign competition or technological change affected mobility the results are robust to measures of changing industry growth rates and within industry reorganization supplementary analyses suggest that layoffs are associated with different industry pressures than tenure and that voluntary mobility may have played an important role in declines in tenure

job queues and the union status of workers this paper develops a model of the determination of the union status of workers that allows for the possibility of queuing for union jobs the empirical results derived using a sample from the university of michigan panel study of income dynamics are supportive of the queuing hypothesis the no queue model can be rejected using a likelihood ratio test this suggests that a simple probit or logit model for union status is misspecified because it is not based on any consistent behavioral theory an important implication of the model is that because most new entrants to the labor market prefer union jobs but cannot get them and because accrual of nonunion seniority makes workers progressively less likely to desire union jobs the union status of workers is largely determined by their success in being selected from the queue early in their working life

the determinants of workers union status evidence from the national longitudinal surveys using data from the 1980 wave of the young men nls sample this paper provides estimates of the queue model developed by farber to explain the process of union status determination the use of nls data largely avoids the censoring problem encountered by farber in estimating his model and permits direct estimation of crucial probabilities associated with the model despite important differences between econometric methodologies and the data sets analyzed the nls results support farber s conclusion that queueing for vacancies in existing union jobs is an important labor market phenomenon in particular supply constraints on the availability of union jobs are found to dominate worker preferences in explaining differences in extent of unionization by occupation and region but not race

some evidence on demand fluctuations and the increased stability of the post war american economy this paper investigates the implications of a sticky wage contracting model that can explain both the decline in wage and price flexibility and the increased stability of the post war american economy the reduction in the size of demand shocks in the post war period has increased agents incentives to write longer contracts though longer contracts have rendered real activity more responsive to demand shocks in the post war period the reduction in the size of these shocks has dominated the increase in the size of response to a particular shock overall real activity has become more stable in the post war period as predicted by theory

the politics of union decline the contingent determinants of union recognition elections and victories despite the close political regulation of union recognition disputes sociologists have paid little attention to recent political determinants of success in these contests a state centered political opportunity approach suggests that if conservative political officials can reduce the number of union recognition elections union organization will be blocked partly because many labor scholars claim there was a postwar departure in labor movement fortunes we attempt to detect and model a contingent break in the relationship between republican control of the presidency and these elections using interactive specifications our findings show that shortly after the conservative anti union reagan administration took office recognition elections and union victories in these elections fell sharply with macroeconomic and other determinants held constant other political conditions with explanatory power include congressional oversight committee ideology and conservative appointments to the key regulatory age

the inefficiency of bitcoin revisited a dynamic approach abstract this letter revisits the informational efficiency of the bitcoin market in particular we analyze the time varying behavior of long memory of returns on bitcoin and volatility 2011 until 2017 using the hurst exponent our results are twofold first r s method is prone to detect long memory whereas dfa method can discriminate more precisely variations in informational efficiency across time second daily returns exhibit persistent behavior in the first half of the period under study whereas its behavior is more informational efficient since 2014 finally price volatility measured as the logarithmic difference between intraday high and low prices exhibits long memory during all the period this reflects a different underlying dynamic process generating the prices and volatility

can higher prices stimulate product use evidence from a field experiment in zambia the controversy over how much to charge for health products in the developing world rests in part on whether higher prices can increase use either by targeting distribution to high use households a screening effect or by stimulating use psychologically through a sunk cost effect we develop a methodology for separating these two effects we implement the methodology in a field experiment in zambia using door to door marketing of a home water purification solution we find evidence of economically important screening effects by contrast we find no consistent evidence of sunk cost effects jel c93 d12 i11 m31 o12

accounting for the decline in union membership 1950 1980 this study analyzes the components of the post 1950 trends in the share of the private work force organized by unions which rose from 1950 to 1954 and then fell steadily to 1980 the authors decompose the sources of growth and decline into changes in organizing activity success in certification elections losses from decertification elections and net growth due to economic causes the last a residual measure designed to capture the effect of factors such as plant closings layoffs and new hires they find that all factors except decertifications accounted for a substantial part of the decline since 1954 when the level of aggregate economic activity is held constant loss of membership due to other economic causes shows no downward trend a finding that challenges the view that the decline in the unionized share of the work force has been due primarily to a secular decline in employment in the strongly unionized industries

bargaining laws as a cause and consequence of the growth of teacher unionism this study analyzes state level data for 1959 78 to determine whether the rapid growth of teacher unionism during those years was primarily a result or a cause of the public sector bargaining laws adopted during the same period the author finds contrary to the view of some scholars that the enactment of laws requiring public sector employers to bargain with majority representatives of their employees was the single most important cause of the growth in the proportion of teachers covered by union contracts although the growth in teacher unionism in turn encouraged the adoption of some new or stronger bargaining laws this effect was relatively weak more important predictors of new bargaining laws included the extent of political patronage in a state and the bargaining laws adopted by neighboring states

the influence of management consultants on the outcome of union certification elections this study examines the effect of management consultants on the probability of union victory in representation elections an analysis of data on 130 elections in retail grocery outlets shows that c

a meta analysis of the union nonunion wage gap the authors use meta regression analysis a new method for synthesizing empirical results reported in the economic literature to corroborate and extend h gregg lewis s landmark 1986 research on t

decentralized efficiency arbitrage in bitcoin markets using tick level bitcoin data from february 2013 through april 2018 we show substantial arbitrage spreads between global bitcoin markets spreads follow multiple consistent patterns minimum and m

an economic model of the meat paradox abstract many individuals have empathetic feelings towards animals but frequently consume meat we investigate this meat paradox using insights from the literature on motivated reasoning in moral dilemmata we develop a model where individuals form self serving beliefs about the suffering of animals caused by meat consumption in order to alleviate the guilt associated with their dietary choices the model predicts that the price of meat has a causal effect on individuals beliefs high prices foster realism by lowering the returns to self deception which magnifies the price elasticity of meat consumption the model also predicts a positive relationship between individuals taste for meat and their propensity to engage in self deception a causal effect of aggregate consumption on individual beliefs and the coexistence of equilibria of collective realism and collective denial

the illusion of sustainability this brief summarizes the results of a gender impact evaluation study entitled the illusion of sustainability conducted during the time period 1998 to 2001 in kenya the study observed that deworming is a public good since much of its social benefit comes through reduced disease transmission people were less likely to take deworming if their direct first order or indirect second order social contacts were exposed to deworming the introduction of a small fee for deworming drugs led to an 80 percent reduction in treatment rates take up was not sensitive to the exact price level suggesting that it is particularly counter productive to charge small positive prices for the treatment of infectious diseases an intensive school health education had no impact on worm prevention funding for the study derived from world bank nih fogarty international center berkeley center for health research

the inefficiency of bitcoin bitcoin has received much attention in the media and by investors in recent years although there remains scepticism and a lack of understanding of this cryptocurrency we add to the literature on bitcoin by studying the market efficiency of bitcoin through a battery of robust tests evidence reveals that returns are significantly inefficient over our full sample but when we split our sample into two subsample periods we find that some tests indicate that bitcoin is efficient in the latter period therefore we conclude that bitcoin in an inefficient market but may be in the process of moving towards an efficient market

public and private sector wages interactions in a general equilibrium model it is common wisdom that public sector wages are not determined in the same way as private sector wages at the same time the empirical evidence available for oecd countries finds a strong positive correlation between public and private sector wages in this paper we develop a model that is consistent with a political economy view of the determination of public sector wages and employment while being consistent with the said empirical evidence public finance constraints are crucial in booms governments expand employment and wages while in downturns lack of tax revenues forces the government to cut back the wage bill

impact of the worker s employment probability on wage rates the employment probability is a significant determinant of the worker s wage rate expecially in the presence of employers hiring discrimination several tests suggest that the omission of this variable in the wage regression may lead to misspecification

price discovery of cryptocurrencies bitcoin and beyond abstract academic research on cryptocurrencies is almost exclusively directed towards bitcoin we extend existing literature by performing various tests on efficiency of several cryptocurrencies and additionally link efficiency to measures of liquidity cryptocurrencies become less predictable inefficient as liquidity increases

estimation of the us federal job queue in the presence of an endogenous union queue past research on the federal sector job queue fails to incorporate the important role of unioniz ation we estimate a two stage bivariate probit in which the willingness of a worker to queue for a union job enters the estimation of the federal queue we demonstrate that the failture to implement our approach may lead to the inappropriate conclusion that there does not exist a federal queue in the us labour market we identify the characteristics that lead workers to seek employment in the federal sector and as a byproduct also provide independent confirm ation of the presence of a queue for union jobs ability in bivariate probit models to examine job queues abowd and farber 1982 use poirier s technique and find evidence of a queue of workers waiting for union jobs they estimate separate equations determining which character istics make a worker more likely to enter the queue and which characteristics make a worker more likely to be chosen from the queue indeed farber 1983 leigh 1985 and heywood 1990 have all reaffirmed the existence of a union queue under varying degrees of partial observability recently venti 1987 krueger 1988 and heywood and mohanty 1990 have examined whether or not a queue exists for federal government jobs while this research confirms the existence of a federal queue it fails to incorporate the earlier research indicating the presence of a union queue indeed none of the authors controls for any dimension of unionization in the federal queue esti mates this failure is problematic for several related reasons first heywood and mohanty 1994 demonstrate that statistical confirmation of a federal job queue is highly sensitive to specification particularly the inclusion or exclusion of specific variables 2 second the federal sector is far more heavily unionized than the private sector see freeman 1986 1988 ichniowski 1988 and reder 1988 thus if the earlier research is correct and workers do queue for union

the effects of corporate strategy and workplace innovations on union representation this paper explores the decline of union membership within partially organized firms using data from two conference board surveys of labor relations practices 1977 and 1983 the authors test a series of propositions concerning the effects of corporate industrial relations values and strategies and workplace innovations on union representation and membership the results show that whereas the average firm reduced the number of workers represented by unions by approximately 977 from 1977 to 1983 firms that placed a high priority on union avoidance reduced union representation by an average of 2 647 workers over the same period moreover the typical firm that emphasized union avoidance reduced the probability that its new facilities would be organized from approximately 15 percent to less than 1 percent

the effect of unions on wage inequality in the u s labor market this study uses current population survey micro data for 1973 74 and 1993 to evaluate the effect of changing union membership on trends in male and female wage inequality unionization rates of men fell between the two sample periods with bigger declines among lower skill groups these trends account for 15 20 of the rise in male wage inequality union membership rates of low wage women also declined while unionization increased among higher wage women on balance shifting unionization accounts for very little of the rise in female wage inequality economy wide trends in unionization mask a sharp divergence between the private sector where unionism was declining and the public sector where it was rising comparisons across sectors suggest that unionization substantially slowed the growth in wage inequality in the public sector

a note on the severity of the decline in union organizing activity using data on representation elections conducted by the national labor relations board from 1975 to 1987 the authors examine the extent of the recent decline in union organizing activity an analysis of elections for selected unions and in major industry categories shows no widespread recovery from the sharp drop in organizing that occurred from 1981 to 1982 although union success rates in new units have been fairly constant the low number of new members recruited through elections points to a continuation of the downward trend in union density

union suppression and certification success over the past decade a number of provinces have abandoned the long standing canadian tradition of automatic certification of unions based on card signing and instead opted for mandatory representation voting this trend however has developed with little understanding of the effectiveness of management opposition within a voting regime in this paper the impact of union suppression on union organizing success within the voting regime of british columbia is examined we find that union suppression tactics were highly effective with estimates rivalling those found in the united states moreover results from instrumental variable models suggest that ols estimates may seriously underestimate the true impact of suppression effort de suppression du syndicat et succes dans le processus de certification au cours de la derniere decennie un certain nombre de provinces canadiennes ont abandonne la pratique traditionnelle de certification automatique des syndicats sur la base des signatures de cartes d adhesion au syndicat et ont choisi de reclamer un scrutin pour determiner le support des membres potentiels on ne comprend pas bien l efficacite de l action d opposition des patrons au syndicat dans ce regime de scrutin ce memoire examine l impact des efforts de suppression des syndicats sur les succes des syndicats dans leurs efforts d organisation dans le cadre du regime de scrutin en colombie britannique on decouvre que ces tactiques ont ete tres efficaces tout autant qu aux etats unis de plus les resultats obtenus a l aide de modeles de variables instrumentales montrent que ceux qu on obtient a l aide de la methode des moindres carres ordinaires peuvent sous evaluer l impact des tactiques de suppression de maniere significative

worker replacement costs and unionization origins of the u s labor movement the embattled state of u s labor has generated a voluminous body of research on the processes of deunionization contributing to its decline revisiting the less researched topic of unionization this study explores the social conditions facilitating union growth during the labor movement s formative years focusing on the first decade of the twentieth century in many respects for labor a period not unlike the present i seek to explain the pattern of organizing success and failure across industries and occupations i find that the most organized settings occurred where workers had greater disruptive capacities due to the high cost of being replaced during work stoppages the highest replacement costs were associated with three conditions scarcity of skilled labor geographically isolated worksites that raised the cost of importing strikebreakers and time sensitive tasks that rendered replacement workers economically impractical workplaces that had at least one of these conditions formed the backbone o

wal mart innovation and productivity a viewpoint abstract technology effects business process development and productivity growth are considered in the context of a single company wal mart the starting point is the 2001 mckinsey global institute report which finds that over 1995 2000 a quarter of u s productivity growth is attributable to the retail industry and almost a sixth of that is attributable to wal mart wal mart is interesting as well because of its rapid growth in canada this is now canada s largest private sector employer we also consider other evidence relevant to public policy formation concerning wal mart and conclude with a discussion of options for partially filling important data gaps

british unions dissolution or resurgence two employees in five belong to a union in great britain this is a higher density figure than those of our main ec partners but it masks the longest sustained period of membership loss ever experienced union responses to the loss of a third of their members are examined mergers among unions will influence union organization and structure but will not affect total membership much it is emphasized that their interaction with employers is of paramount importance in determining unions future their dealings with present non union members are of secondary importance the state can play a key role too further attacks on collectivism point to decay but encouragement of collective bargaining by a future government would lead to a resurgence in union fortunes copyright 1991 by oxford university press

a reexamination of the federal private wage differential in the united states the federal private wage differential is reexamined with recent data using specifications similar to those used in three previous studies i find that the federal private wage differential has narrowed since the 1974 79 period analyzed in those studies in addition i discover that wage differentials based on specifications used in the literature are biased upward because the previous studies did not control for detailed occupational and locational characteristics of workers corrected point estimates of the wage gap are much smaller than previous estimates in the literature differences in the gap across demographic groups occupations and locations are also discussed

psychological expected utility theory and anticipatory feelings we extend expected utility theory to situations in which agents experience feelings of anticipation prior to the resolution of uncertainty we show how these anticipatory feelings may result in time inconsistency we provide an example from portfolio theory to illustrate the potential impact of anticipation on asset prices

bargaining effect and membership effect in public sector unions the vast majority of the literature on public sector unionism focuses on union wage effects and the extent of unionization in this paper we investigate some additional aspects of public sector unionism that have been discussed recently with respect to the private sector the first is an analysis of the wage effects attributable to the legal status of the worker union specifically we investigate the difference between an individual s membership in a union and an individual s employment in a collective bargaining unit second we examine the return to human capital and seniority in unionized versus non unionized public sector employment the two issues under scrutiny here are not unrelated for each measures in its own way the ability of the union to deliver benefits to and elicit the support of its membership in other words both are issues of union security for the most part the literature on union wage effects makes no distinction between union membership and collective bargaining coverage as an exception christensen and maki use a cross section of three digit industries to investigate both an industry coverage variable and an industry membership variable 3 they conclude that membership in the union is the key status in the collective bargaining process in two other papers jones 15 and blakemore hunt and kiker 1 use panel data that allow the worker s union status to be identified according to union membership and collective bargaining coverage both find that nonunion workers employed in a collective bargaining unit receive a wage premium over workers who are not covered and that union members receive an extra bonus

a new econometric model of union threat effects the union threat effect is the propensity of non union employers to resist union organization by raising wages this study introduces an empirical model of the non union employer s optimal wage in the presence of threat effects estimates of an equation of a firm s unionization probability provide key variables unlike previous models this specification dervies directly from a theoritical model separstes threat effects from the influence of other union non union spillovers and efficiency wages and includes many factors affecting the probability of unionization wage equation estimates reveal that the predicted threat of unionization did not significantly raise non union wages in the united states in 1980

overconfidence insurance and paternalism it is well known that when agents are fully rational compulsory public insurance may make all agents better off in the rothschild and stiglitz 1976 model of insurance markets we find that when sufficiently many agents underestimate their personal risks compulsory insurance makes low risk agents worse off hence behavioral biases may weaken some of the well established rationales for government intervention based on asymmetric information

free distribution or cost sharing evidence from a randomized malaria prevention experiment author s cohen jessica dupas pascaline abstract it is often argued that cost sharing charging a subsidized positive price for a health product is necessary to avoid wasting resources on those who will not use or do not need the product we explore this argument through a field experiment in kenya in which we randomized the price at which prenatal clinics could sell long lasting anti malarial insecticide treated nets itns to pregnant women we find no evidence that costsharing reduces wastage on those that will not use the product women who received free itns are not less likely to use them than those who paid subsidized positive prices we also find no evidence that costsharing induces selection of women who need the net more those who pay higher prices appear no sicker than the average prenatal client in the area in terms of measured anemia an important indicator of malaria cost sharing does however considerably dampen demand we find that uptake drops by 75 percent when the price of itns increases from zero to 0 75 i e from 100 to 87 5 percent subsidy the price at which itns are currently sold to pregnant women in kenya we combine our estimates in a cost effectiveness analysis of itn prices on child mortality that incorporates both private and social returns to itn usage overall our results suggest that free distribution of itns could save many more lives than cost sharing programs have achieved so far and given the large positive externality associated with widespread usage of itns it would likely do so at a lesser cost per life saved

contraction and expansion the divergence of private sector and public sector unionism in the united states the institutional structure of the american labor market changed remarkably from the 1950s and 1960s to the 1980s in the 50s and 60s trade unions seemed permanently established in the private sector of the economy a third of nonagricultur al wage and salary workers and over half of blue collar workers were union members hundreds of thousands of workers voted annually in national labor relations board nlrb representation elections to join unions most large firms sought stable collective bargaining relations with their unions by contrast in the public sector only 10 12 percent of workers were union members fewer were covered by collective bargaining contracts and most experts regarded public employees as intrinsically nonorganizable according to afl cio president george meany it was impossible to bargain collectively with the government kramer 1962 p 14 the massive contraction of unionism in the private sector and expansion in the public sector in the 1970s and 1980s see exhibit 1 has produced an utterly different situation today in the private sector the proportion of wage and salary workers in unions plummeted to 14 percent in 1986 a level comparable to that in the great depression only a minuscule number of workers joined unions through nlrb elections and national companies openly proclaimed their intent to establish a union free environment by contrast in the public sector over a third of the work force was unionized some 40 percent were covered by collective contracts 1 and 1 estimates of organization in the public sector differ somewhat among sources though all data show greater organization than in the private sector see freeman ichniowski and zax forthcoming for a detailed analysis of the various statistics

the decline of unionization in the united states what can be learned from recent experience the dramatic decline in unionization over the last decade is investigated in the context of a supply demand model of union status determination using data from surveys of workers conducted in 1977 and 1984 along with data from the national labor relations board on representation elections it is concluded that the decline in unionization since 1977 is accounted for largely by 1 an increase in employer resistance to unionization probably due to increased product market competitiveness and 2 a decrease in demand for union representation by nonunion workers due to an increase in the satisfaction of nonunion workers with their jobs and a decline in nonunion workers beliefs that unions are able to improve wages and working conditions

trends in union organizing expenditures 1953 1977 this paper tests the charge by some observers that one reason for the decline in unions share of private sector employment has been a decline in their commitment to growth the author presents several measures of the organizing expenditures of 27 national unions representing about one half of all union members in this country over the 1953 77 period these data show that organizing expenditures rose significantly over that period whether measured in current or constant dollars although they declined slightly as a proportion of total union expenditures

anticipation and the valuation of delayed consumption this paper presents a model of intertemporal choice that incorporates savoring and dread i e utility from anticipat ion of delayed consumption the model explains why an individual with positive time preference may delay desirable outcomes or get unpleas ant outcomes over with quickly contrary to the prediction of convent ional formulations of intertemporal choice implications of savoring and dread for savings behavior empirical estimation of discount rate s and public policy efforts to combat myopic behavior are explored the model provides an explanation for common violations of the indepe ndence axiom as applied to intertemporal choice copyright 1987 by royal economic society

an analysis of public and private sector wages allowing for endogenous choices of both government and union status a general selection model is estimated in which workers select across four labor markets private nonunion private union public nonunion and public union evidence is found of positive selection bias in the private nonunion sector and of negative selection bias in the public union sector union wage differentials in the public and private sectors as well as public private wage differentials are then calculated two different types of wage differentials are contrasted we discuss when it is appropriate to use each type of differential

the rise and fall of unions the public sector and the private as of the late 1980s american unionism as a whole has been in decline for about thirty years this decline has been concentrated in the unions serving workers in the private sector and contrasts sharply with the growth of public sector unions during much of the same period this paper attempts to explain these divergent trends but takes their existence as given by decline or rise of unionism i refer to changes in the percentage relative number of union adherents among a specified group of workers though i believe that movements in the relative number of union adherents have run parallel to broader but more vague movements of union influence the reader must draw such inferences for himself as best he can a union adherent is assumed to be both a dues payer and covered by a collective bargaining contract possible differences between these two concepts of union affiliation are unimportant for this paper individuals are assumed always to act as if they had compared the costs and benefits of union adherence and chosen adherence if the benefits were greater and otherwise if the opposite applied as used here costs and benefits are limited to hourly compensation wages and fringes employment opportunities and working conditions while ideological preferences undoubtedly influence a small minority of workers it is assumed that such individuals are too few to affect the trends analysed 1 the above assumptions obscure important interdependencies among the decisions of individual workers and those of an employee and his employer for example if an 1i do not deny either that changes in attitudes toward the relative desirability of working under union conditions may have occurred from time to time or that such changes might be of interest however i assume that the dominant factors affecting movements in the quantity of union adherents are changes in the benefits and costs of unionization particularly hourly compensation and employment opportunities

strategic ignorance as a self disciplining device we analyse the decision of an agent with time inconsistent preferences to consume a good that exerts an externality on future welfare the extent of the externality is initially unknown but may be learned via a costless sampling procedure we show that when the agent cannot commit to future consumption and learning decisions incomplete learning may occur on a markov perfect equilibrium path of the resulting intra personal game in such a case each agent s incarnation stops learning for some values of the posterior distribution of beliefs and acts under self restricted information this conduct is interpreted as strategic ignorance all equilibria featuring this property strictly pareto dominate the complete learning equilibrium for any posterior distribution of beliefs

where have all the union members gone this paper examines trends in union membership during the twentieth century the hypothesis is advanced that the provision of certain social welfare benefits by government substitutes for the private provision by unions thereby reducing the attractiveness of union membership the empirical implications of this hypothesis are examined using time series data on aggregate union membership for the period 1904 80 and using pooled state data for the period 1964 80 these latter data are used to examine the effect of departures from the traditional doctrine of employment at will both the time series and the cross section evidence suggest that government supply of union like services reduces union membership

self confidence and personal motivation the maintenance and enhancement of self esteem has always been identified as a fundamental human impulse philosophers writers educators and of course psychologists have all emphasized the crucial role played by self image in motivation affect and social interactions the aim of this chapter is to bring these concerns into the realm of economic analysis and show that this has important implications for how agents process information and make decisions conversely the tools of economic modelling can help shed light on a number of apparently irrational behaviours documented by psychologists

first contract arbitration effects on bargaining and work stoppages newly certified unions often experience difficulty negotiating a first agreement to remedy this the employee free choice act proposes that the national labor relations act provide for first contr