inequality and mobility of household incomes in europe evidence from the echp in this article we want to shed light on two aspects of income mobility relative total income mobility using the estimator by fields and ok 1999 and equalization of long run incomes measured by the index of fields 2009 the cross country comparison shows a negative relationship between total relative mobility and long run income equalization this result is contrary to the intuition given by shorrocks 1978a who stated that higher relative mobility will cause higher equalization of incomes when the accounting period is extended

measuring movement of incomes we consider a small set of elementary properties for income movement measures and show that there is essentially only one measure that satisfies all of these properties the per capita aggregate change in log incomes we demonstrate next that this movement mobility measure has a number of appealing descriptive and normative properties and provide a formal generalization of our basic characterization theorem drawing from the related literature on poverty measurement finally we present here an empirical application in which we show by using our new measure that there has been a broad based increase in income movement in the united states between the 1970s and 1980s

economic mobility and poverty dynamics in developing countries this study provides an introduction to this special issue of the journal of development studies on economic mobility and poverty dynamics in developing countries in addition to providing a conceptual framework it outlines how the contributions fit into the extant literature a series of regularities emerge across these studies the poor consist of those who are always poor poor at all dates and those who move in and out of poverty with the latter group tending to be strikingly large such movements in and out of poverty are apparent when looking at poverty in either absolute or relative terms changes in returns to endowments can be a potent source of increased incomes finally seemingly transitory shocks can have long term consequences the study concludes by drawing out the policy implications of these regularities

tax limited reaction functions summary this paper models for the first time a spatial process in local tax policies in the presence of centrally imposed fiscal limitations focusing on the frequently encountered case of a tax rate cap we evaluate three empirical approaches to the analysis of spatially dependent limited tax policies i a bayesian spatial approach for censored dependent variables ii a tobit corner solution model augmented with a spatial lag iii a spatial discrete hazard model the evidence arising from an investigation of severely state constrained local vehicle taxes in italy suggests that ignoring tax limitations can lead to substantial underestimation of inter jurisdictional fiscal interaction copyright 2011 john wiley sons ltd

intragenerational income mobility in latin america economic mobility has not been widely studied in developing countries until very recently owing to the lack of suitable data studying mobility requires longitudinal data tracking economic units that is individuals households or firms over time collecting this type of data is expensive and historically few latin american countries carried it out now however such data sets are available for a number of latin american and caribbean countries table a 1 in the appendix provides a list of available panel data sets that can be used for income mobility studies for these countries in this paper we discuss how the knowledge gleaned from mobility studies differs from comparable cross sectional analysis the structure of the paper is as follows the next section discusses what mobility is how it can be measured and how it differs from inequality the subsequent section reviews previous mobility studies in latin american countries the paper then summarizes the contributions of our own recent work and the final section discusses what lies ahead in mobility research for latin american economies

do limits matter evidence on the effects of tax limitations on student performance abstract the goal of this research is to determine if limits on the revenue raising ability of school districts translate into constraints on the ability of these districts to affect student performance we use the recent imposition of property tax limitations on school districts in the chicago metropolitan area to determine if these limits have translated into slower growth in student performance we find only limited evidence that student performance in districts subject to the tax limitations has fallen relative to student performance in districts not subject to the limitations

the three is of public schools irrelevant inputs insufficient resources and inefficiency abstractwe examine the educational production function and efficiency of public school districts in illinois using non parametric kernel methods we find that most traditional schooling inputs are irrelevant in determining test scores even in a very general setting property tax caps are the only relevant factor that is related to districts financial constraints and have predominantly negative associations with test scores therefore insufficient resources may be partially responsible for the lack of growth in test scores for most other relevant inputs we find substantial heterogeneity in the returns which helps reconcile some of the puzzling results in the literature we further find that there exist inefficiencies in school districts moreover the level of test scores commonly used as a measure of school effectiveness while related differs substantially from our efficiency scores and standard parametric approaches drastically underestimate school efficiency we discuss the policy implicati

the assessment monetary and fiscal policy in the 1980s the emphasis is on policy in the uk though many of the issues that arise e g about the links between monetary and fiscal policy or the concern over persistent deficits and debt are general being faced by other countries as well the uk s policy has however been more extreme and under the medium term financial strategy mfts more explicit than elsewhere the purpose of this assessment is not primarily prescriptive rather it is an alytical intended to lay out some of the major theoretical and empirical issues that underlie policy choice and to stimulate debate

social capital and household welfare in south africa 1993 98 the aim in this study is to determine the nature of the causal relationship if any between social capital as measured by household membership in formal and informal groups and household welfare in south africa using a recently collected panel data set in south africa s largest province we estimate per capita expenditure functions including measures of social capital after controlling for fixed effects and simultaneity we find social capital has no effect in 1993 but a positive and significant effect in 1998

assessing individual income growth we develop methods for describing distributions of income growth across individuals and for comparing changes in growth distributions over time the methods include graphical devices income growth profiles and dominance conditions and also summary indices together with associated methods of estimation and inference taking an explicitly longitudinal perspective our approach illuminates clearly who are the gainers and the losers and also provides distributionally sensitive assessments ones that allow the income growth for different individuals to be weighted differently our empirical application shows that the pattern of income growth in britain over the period 1992 1996 was less pro poor than that for 1998 2002 and not significantly different from the pattern for 2001 2005

reordering inequality and divergent growth processes of neighbourhood change in dutch cities neighbourhood socioeconomic change is often related to structural processes that transform urban income compositions in the netherlands restructuring of the welfare state and the housing market a

how well do static indicators identify the chronically poor abstract we investigate how well the most widely used static welfare indicators perform in identifying the chronically poor we propose a normative measure of performance the cost of a given impact on chronic poverty when transfers are contingent upon a purely static indicator using longitudinal household data from rural india we find that current consumption is not always a better indicator of chronic poverty than current income both however perform much better than other common indicators such as food share and access to land

a study on the relationship between economic inequality and mobility abstract a significant positive relationship between inequality and income mobility key for the theory of political redistribution is found among the growth dispersion and exchange mobility components dispersion is the most important

an index of inequality with applications to horizontal equity and social mobility horizontal equity and social mobility are discussed in terms of a non utilitarian social welfare function which takes account of the process by which an ex ante distribution is mapped into an ex post distribution by the tax system for example an index of inequality is proposed which decomposes into two components corresponding to vertical and horizontal equity respectively a functional form for the social welfare function is derived for the purposes of empirical work and an application to data for 5895 uk households is presented the paper contains a theoretical application of the index to a model of optimal taxation it is conventional to assess the merits of alternative public policies in terms of a trade off between equity and efficiency in practice however a change in say the tax system involves three effects first it may have incentive or disincentive effects leading to efficiency gains or losses secondly it may alter the distribution of welfare levels thirdly it may alter the ranking of individuals or households within the distribution these three effects correspond to efficiency vertical equity and we shall argue certain aspects of horizontal equity respectively and any assessment of a tax change must take into account all three the principal assumption of this paper is that government is concerned about the trade off between these three effects a strict utilitarian is concerned only with the consequences of an action and in the evaluation of a particular reform a utilitarian measure of social welfare is defined over the vector of ex post utilities no account is taken of the process by which the vector of ex ante utilities is mapped into the ex post vector and no ethical status is awarded to the ex ante distribution one does not have to adopt an entitlement theory of justice to believe that the utilitarian approach may ignore some relevant considerations such as the fairness of the redistributive process a striking example of this arises in the model used by mirrlees 11 to examine optimal income taxation in that model individuals have identical preferences defined over consumption and leisure and differ only in respect of their potential wage rates or ability levels clearly in the absence of taxation individual utility is an increasing function of ability suppose the government uses redistributive lump sum taxes to achieve the first best optimum then as mirrlees 11 12 shows the first best optimum for a utilitarian social welfare

the assessment strategic policy dilemmas for the 1990s in europe this is most obvious in the growing concern over unemployment which at about 12 per cent has now reached a level exceeding even that reached in the great depression most developed countries moreover face or at least think they face a fiscal crisis hie fact that problems of high public borrowing and rising national debt stocks are self evidently in part a result of recession slow growth and in europe persistent unemployment does not make the situation any more comfortable conventional responses of the fiscal kind whether macroeconomic or in the form of directed labour m rket measures seem to be blocked off and though the situation varies considerably between countries there are limits to the use of monetary p licy imposed by worries over inflation or by exchange rate objectives such as those which were embodied in the now disintegrating exchange rate mechanism erm even without formal ex change rate commitments or objectives increasing international integration limits the freedom of ma noeuvre for any one country

the effect of property tax limitation measures on local government fiscal behavior abstract previous evidence on the effects of tax and expenditure limitation measures has not been conclusive difficulties arise in characterizing differences in fiscal institutions across states and estimating behavior in the absence of limitation measures a recently enacted tax limitation measure limits the growth in local property taxes in some illinois jurisdictions but not in others such differential treatment of otherwise similar jurisdictions provides a natural experiment for estimating the impact of the tax cap on local government fiscal behavior we find that the cap has been effective in that the fiscal behavior of capped jurisdictions differs from that of never capped jurisdictions

determinants of income mobility and household poverty dynamics in south africa this article analyses household income mobility among africans in south africa s most populous province kwazulu natal between 1993 and 1998 compared to industrialised and most developing countries mobility has been quite high as might have been expected after the transition in south africa this finding is robust when measurement error is controlled for when disaggregating the sources of mobility it is found that demographic changes and employment changes account for most of the mobility observed which is related to rapidly shifting household boundaries and a very volatile labour market in an environment of high unemployment using a multivariate analysis it can be seen that transitory incomes play a large role four types of poverty traps are found associated with large initial household size poor initial education poor initial asset endowment and poor initial employment access that dominate the otherwise observed regression towards the mean

was vietnam s economic growth in the 1990s pro poor an analysis of panel data from vietnam abstractinternational aid agencies and almost all economists agree that economic growth is necessary for reducing poverty yet some economists question whether it is sufficient for poverty reduction vietnam enjoyed rapid economic growth in the 1990s but a modest increase in inequality during that decade raises the possibility that the poor in vietnam benefited little from that growth this article examines the extent to which vietnam s economic growth has been pro poor giving particular attention to two issues the first is the appropriate comparison group when comparing the poorest x of the population at two points in time should the poorest x in the first time period be compared to the poorest x in the second time period some of whom were not the poorest x in the first time period or to the same people in the second time period some of whom are no longer among the poorest x the second is measurement error estimates of growth among the poorest x of the population are likely to be biase

estimation of poverty transition matrices with noisy data summary this paper investigates measurement error biases in estimated poverty transition matrices we compare transition matrices based on survey expenditure data to transition matrices based on measurement error free simulated expenditure the simulation model uses estimates that correct for measurement error in expenditure we find that time varying measurement error in expenditure data magnifies economic mobility roughly 45 of households initially in poverty at time t 1 are found to be out of poverty at time t using data from the korean labor and income panel study when measurement error is removed this drops to between 26 and 31 of households initially in poverty copyright 2016 john wiley sons ltd

did the tax revolt reduce school performance abstract this paper uses detailed school level data from 49 states to analyze the effects of tax revolt era property tax limitations on school services i find that limitations are associated with larger student teacher ratios and lower cost of living adjusted starting teacher salaries all else equal these results are robust to modelling the results as endogenous and using a variety of measures for whether the limitation binds at particular schools however i find no such evidence that schools subject to limitations have reduced their administrative costs furthermore i find that limitations are associated with lower student performance on mathematics science social studies and reading examinations all else equal

income mobility profiles abstract an income mobility profile is a graphical tool to portray income mobility and identify the association between individual movements and initial status which despite its importance when assessing the social relevance of mobility is often discounted by aggregate mobility indices

household income dynamics a four country story in this article we analyse the dynamics of household per capita incomes using longitudinal data from indonesia south africa spain and venezuela we find that in all four countries reported initial income and job changes of the head are consistently the most important variables in accounting for income changes overall and for initially poor households we also find that changes in income are more important than changes in household size and that changes in labour earnings are more important than changes in other sources of household income

new ways of looking at old issues inequality and growth abstract the paper uses new cross country data on income and asset land distribution to show that i there is a strong negative relationship between initial inequality in the asset distribution and long term growth ii inequality reduces income growth for the poor but not for the rich and iii available longitudinal data provide little support for the kuznets hypothesis policies that increase aggregate investment and facilitate acquisition of assets by the poor might thus be doubly beneficial for growth and poverty reduction

how much income mobility is there in britain using the first four waves of the british household panel survey 1991 4 and a variety of methods we show that there is much mobility in household net income from one year to the next in britain however most income changes from one year to the next are not very large and when incomes are longitudinally averaged so that transitory variations are smoothed out substantial permanent income differences are revealed there is some evidence of greater mobility for those in the tails of the income distribution relative to the middle and for elderly persons compared to non elderly persons

how much of observed economic mobility is measurement error iv methods to reduce measurement error bias with an application to vietnam research on economic growth and inequality inevitably raise issues concerning economic mobility because the relationship between long run inequality and short run inequality is mediated by income mobility for a given level of short run inequality greater mobility implies lower long run inequality yet empirical measures of both inequality and mobility are biased upward due to measurement error in income and expenditure data collected from household surveys this paper presents a straightforward method to remove this bias using instrumental variable estimates the method is applied to panel data from vietnam the results imply that at least 15 and perhaps as much as 42 of measured mobility is upward bias due to measurement error the results also suggest that measurement error accounts for at least 12 of measured inequality

the impact of income components on the distribution of family incomes attempts have recently been made to assign inequality contributions to various components of income this paper discusses the issues involved in such assignments and highlights the problems that follow from having a number of possible decomposition rules u s data on the distribution of family incomes are used to examine the relative influence of these income components and to evaluate empirically the performance of different decomposition rules a wide range of inequality contributions can be obtained even when restricted to only naturally derived decomposition rules some of the results are plainly absurd and serve to warn against the indiscriminate use of decomposition formulae without first investigating their properties

the meaning and measurement of income mobility abstract income mobility may be seen as arising from two sources i the transfer of income among individuals with total income held constant and ii a change in the total amount of income available in this paper we propose several sensible properties defining the concept of income mobility and show that an easily applicable measure of mobility is uniquely implied by these properties we also show that the resulting measure is additively decomposable into the two sources listed above namely mobility due to the transfer of income within a given structure and mobility due to economic growth or contraction finally these results are compared and contrasted with other mobility concepts and measures in the literature journal of economic literature classification numbers d31 d63

voting for redistribution under desert sensitive altruism we endow individuals that differ in skill levels and tastes for working with altruistic preferences for redistribution in a voting model where a unidimensional redistributive parameter is chosen by majority voting in a direct democracy when altruistic preferences are desert sensitive i e when there is a reluctance to redistribute from the hard working to the lazy we show that lower levels of redistribution emerge in political equilibrium we provide empirical evidence based on the issp 1992 dataset that preferences for redistribution are not purely selfish and that desert sensitive motivations play a significant role we estimate that preferences for redistribution are significantly more desert sensitive in the us than in europe we believe that differences in desert sensitive preferences for redistribution help explain the different social contracts that prevail in both continents

inequality income growth and mobility the basic facts during the 1950s and 1960s mean wages in the united states grew rapidly and the dispersion around this growing mean changed very litde starting in the 1970s and continuing into the 1980s and 1990s these patterns were reversed mean wages grew slowly and inequality increased rapidly these changes in labor markets were reflected in changes in the distribution of family income the mean of the distribution of family income did increase after 1973 in spite of the near constancy of mean real wages as family members increased the number of hours they worked however the increase in inequality of wages was mirrored by an increase in the dispersion of family income a large descriptive literature has documented the rise in inequality while a smaller behavioral literature has sought to delineate the causes of this rise these changes in the distribution of family income a fected rates of poverty directly during the 1950s and 1960s temporary increases in poverty during recessions were more than offset by declines in poverty during economic expansions as long as the poor gained along with everyone else fi om the secular growth in the mean one could be confident that poverty rates would ratchet down this is exactly what happened as poverty rates fell from 22 4 percent in 1959 to 11 1 percent in 1973

combining household income and asset data to identify livelihood strategies and their dynamics abstractcurrent approaches to identifying and describing rural livelihood strategies and household movements between strategies over time in developing countries are imprecise here we i present a new statistical quantitative approach combining income and asset data to identify household activity choice variables characterise livelihood strategy clusters and analyse movements between strategies and ii apply the approach using an environmentally augmented three wave household n 427 level panel dataset from nepal combining income and asset data provides a better understanding of livelihood strategies and household movements between strategies over time than using only income or asset data most households changed livelihood strategy at least once over the two three year periods a common pathway out of poverty included an intermediate step during which households accumulate assets through farming petty trading and migratory work

the economics of schooling production and efficiency in public schools n recent years public and professional interest in schools has been heightened by a spate of reports many of them critical of current school policy these policy documents have added to persistent and long standing concerns about the cost effectiveness and fairness of the current school structure and have made schooling once again a serious public issue as in the past however any renewed interest in education is likely to be short lived doomed to dissipate as frustration over the inability of policy to improve school practice sets in this frustration about school policy relates directly to knowledge about the educational production process and in turn to underlying research on schools although the educational process has been extensively researched clear policy prescriptions flowing from this research have been difficult to derive 2 there exists however a consistency to the research findings that does have an immediate application to school policy schools differ dramatically in quality

measures of distributional change an axiomatic approach in recent years a number of interesting papers have appeared in the general field of the analysis of changes in a frequency distribution the most common applications of such analysis are in the areas of income and wealth re distribution and the contributions have usually focussed on a particular specialised issue such as mobility of individuals within a structure or of horizontal inequity as opposed to vertical inequality implicit in the comparison of two distributions a number of approaches to each of these problems have been suggested and indeed several specific practical indices of mobility or inequity have been proposed 1 whilst some of these can be shown to have very useful features in their application it is probably fair to say that most derive from an ad hoc approach to the particular aspect of the problem on which the author had focussed it is interesting to note that comparatively few papers attempt to exploit the similarities involved in each of these issues all this contrasts rather sharply with the state of play in an obviously closely related game that of the measurement of inequality much of the essential foundation of the problem of measuring inequality as we presently understand it seems to be more or less sorted out in a systematic fashion roughly speaking what may be done is as follows given

intergenerational exchange mobility and economic welfare the concepts of exchange and structural mobility are introduced and their relationship with the notion of equality of opportunity discussed it is then shown that exchange mobility can have an impact on social welfare when the utility of any one generation is dependent on the consumption levels of overlapping generations whether such consumption interrelationships imply a preference for mobility or the reverse depends on whether the marginal utility of current consumption is raised or lowered by an increase in the consumption level of the associated generation the rest of this paper examines these two cases in the context of a simple two class family model the analysis is concerned with the description of the optimal intergenerational behaviour within this framework in order to be able to say anything substantial however it is necessary to impose some restrictions on the structure of the utility function one restriction which has some appeal and which yields plausible patterns of optimal policy is that intergenerational links through the utility function be not too strong in a sense that is made specific in the paper imposing this condition one can show how intra generational equity is affected both by intergenerational considerations and by the inherited past where intragenerational transfers involve efficiency losses a simple tax model is examined the circumstances under which starting with no taxes the tax rates converge are worked out in both the cases where the utility function has a pro as well as an anti mobility bias finally a specific utility function is taken in which the fathers utility depends not only on his own consumption but also on the average consumption of his son and himself in this case the utility function has a pro mobility bias and one can evaluate the response of the long run tax rate to parameters that measure mobility and equality using a similation model one can also assess the speed of convergence and the sensitivity of the tax rates to the parameters

income dynamics in argentina during the 1990 s mobiles did change over time in this paper we seek to determine the principal observed socioeconomic factors correlated with household income dynamics in argentina during the nineties in other words we want to identify who got ahead who fell behind and who kept up economic position in argentina in order to determine if they were always the same type of individuals households or if on the contrary their characteristics changed during the distressing 1990 s such analysis is relevant since the rises and falls in income or consumption experienced by households are the most direct indicators available of who benefits how much from economic development although there is a vast literature on income distribution analysis from a cross sectional perspective studies offering insights into the dynamics of income or more generally of economic well being and the factors associated with it are still on the research agenda for many countries such work has been particularly delayed in developing countries chiefly because of a lack of panel data surveys which have only recently begun to be carried out in a more systematic way 4 moreover and again due to data restraints even less is known about the possible changes in the dynamics of income over time if mobility analysis requires at least two observations over time from the same household or

poverty traps and nonlinear income dynamics with measurement error and individual heterogeneity theories of poverty traps stand in sharp contrast to the view that anybody can make it through hard work and thrift however empirical detection of poverty traps is complicated by the lack of long panels measurement error and attrition this paper shows how dynamic pseudo panel methods can overcome these difficulties allowing estimation of non linear income dynamics and testing for the presence of poverty traps the paper explicitly allows for individual heterogeneity in income dynamics to account for the possibility that particular groups of individuals may face traps even if the average individual does not these methods are used to examine the evidence for a poverty trap in labor earnings income and expenditure in mexico and are compared to panel data estimates from a short rotating panel the results do find evidence of nonlinearities in household income dynamics and demonstrate large bias in the panel data estimates nevertheless even after allowing for heterogeneity and accounting for measurement error the paper finds no evidence of the existence of a poverty trap for any group in the sample

the distribution of income shocks during crises an application of quantile analysis to mexico 1992 95 moving beyond the simple comparisons of averages typical of most analyses of household income shocks this article employs quantile analysis to generate a complete distribution of such shocks by type of household during the 1995 crisis in mexico it compares the distributions across normal and crisis periods to see whether observed differences were due to the crisis or are intrinsic to the household types alternatively it asks whether the distribution of shocks during normal periods was a reasonable predictor of vulnerability to income shocks during crises it finds large differences in the distribution of shocks by household types both before and during the crisis but little change in their relative positions during the crisis the impact appears to have been spread fairly evenly households headed by people with less education poor single mothers or people working in the informal sector do not appear to experience disproportionate income drops either in normal times or during crises

does school quality matter returns to education and the characteristics of public schools in the united states this paper estimates the effects of school quality measured by the pupil teacher ratio average term length and relative teacher pay on the rate of return to education for men born between 1920 and 1949 using earnings data from the 1980 census we find that men who were educated in states with higher quality schools have a higher return to additional years of schooling rates of return are also higher for individuals from states with better educated teachers and with a higher fraction of female teachers holding constant school quality measures however we find no evidence that parental income or education affects average state level rates of return

is transient poverty different evidence for rural china we define transient poverty as the component of time mean consumption poverty at household level that is directly attributable to variability in consumption this can be thought of as a measure of vulnerability to falling consumption the non transient component then depends solely on mean consumption over time and we call this chronic poverty using robust semi parametric methods and household panel data for rural china we test whether transient poverty is determined by a process that is similar to chronic poverty commonly identified causes of poverty in this setting have weak explanatory power for transient poverty and some of the factors determining transient poverty do not matter to chronic poverty or even have the opposite effect successful policy responses to chronic poverty may still leave considerable transient poverty

on the evaluation of economic mobility this paper presents a framework for the evaluation and measurement of reversal and origin independence as separate aspects of economic mobility we show how that evaluation depends on aversion to multi period inequality aversion to inter temporal fluctuations and aversion to future risk we construct extended atkinson indices that allow us to quantify the relative impact of reversal and origin independence on welfare we apply our approach to the comparison of income mobility in germany and in the united states when aversion to inequality is the only consideration the us gains more from mobility than germany this reflects similar gains from reversal in the two countries but greater gains in the us from origin independence the introduction of aversion to intertemporal fluctuations and aversion to future risk makes the impact of mobility in the two countries more similar

earnings mobility in times of growth and decline argentina from 1996 to 2003 summary in recent years argentina s economy has experienced both rapid growth and severe decline in this paper we use a series of one year long panels to study who gained the most in pesos when the economy grew and who lost the most in pesos when the economy contracted various considerations led us to expect that mobility would be divergent that is that the individuals who started with the highest initial earnings would enjoy the largest earnings gains in pesos contrary to expectations and for a wide range of specifications mobility is found to be mostly convergent sometimes neutral and never divergent

revisiting forever gained income dynamics in the resettlement areas of zimbabwe 1983 96 this study examines income dynamics for a panel of households resettled on former white owned farms in the aftermath of zimbabwe s independence there are four core findings i over a 13 year period 1983 96 there has been an impressive accumulation of assets and a dramatic increase of crop incomes ii the rise of crop incomes is partly due to asset accumulation but largely to increased asset returns hi differences between households in initial conditions such as previous farming experience have few persistent effects and iv income growth has been widely shared income inequality has fallen sharply and the largest percentage increases in incomes are recorded by households that initially had the lowest incomes

inequality among world citizens 1820 1992 this paper investigates the distribution of well being among world citizens during the last two centuries the estimates show that inequality of world distribution of income worsened from the beginning of the 19th century to world war ii and after that seems to have stabilized or to have grown more slowly in the early 19th century most inequality was due to differences within countries later it was due to differences between countries inequality in longevity also increased during the 19th century but then was reversed in the second half of the 20th century perhaps mitigating the failure of income inequality to improve in the last decades jel d31 f0 n0 o0

legal constraints and the choice of educational grant structures recent empirical work suggests that legalconstraints are significant in choosingstate educational grant structures unfortunately the literature has not takensuch constraints into account thus callinginto question particular grant structurerecommendations this paper studies theconditions under which a legislature underorder to reform its educational grantstructure prefers foundation grants overdistrict power equalization grants atheoretical model is presented in which thechoice is shown to depend on the legalbasis of the court s decision and theempirical validity of this conclusion isdemonstrated using connecticut data and aseparate model of school districtexpenditure choice

an axiomatic characterization of the watts poverty index abstract although the first distribution sensitive decomposable poverty index the watts index has long been neglected by the profession even when it was searching for a decomposable index this neglect is due partly to the lack of an axiomatic characterization for the watts index this paper adopts an axiomatic approach and complements the watts index with such a characterization under a set of reasonable axioms the watts index is the unique index if a poverty index is perceived as the absolute amount of social welfare loss due to poverty the watts index is relatively easy to apply it also satisfies all basic axioms for a good poverty index

stochastic dominance in mobility analysis abstract this paper introduces a technique for mobility dominance and compares the degree of earnings mobility of men in the usa from 1970 to 1995 the highest mobility is found in the 1975 1980 or 1980 1985 periods

the dynamics of welfare gains and losses an african case study this article uses panel survey data for cote d ivoire to investigate the determinants of welfare gains and losses of households over time a first difference model is estimated which takes account of initial conditions for urban areas it was found that human capital is not only a key explanatory factor for levels of welfare but also the most important endowment to explain welfare changes over time in rural areas physical capital especially land and farm equipment mattered most household size and composition and socioeconomic characteristics of the household also affected welfare changes policy implications are discussed

inequality adjusted income growth we introduce and characterize a new measure of aggregate income growth that allows us to give more weight to individuals with lower individual income growth our measure includes several important measures of directional mobility encountered in the literature the empirical application compares the measure of income growth between the usa and germany and finds that giving more weight to individuals with lower income growth reverses the ranking

vulnerability seasonality and poverty in ethiopia most studies examining the dynamics of welfare have found large fluctuations in consumption over relatively short periods suggesting substantial short run movements in and out of poverty the consequence is that cross section poverty research may not be able to identify the poor in this study we explore this short run variability further we use a data set on a panel of 1450 households in different communities in rural ethiopia surveyed thrice over 18 months on average year to year poverty is very similar however we find high variability in consumption and poverty over the seasons and year by year econometric analysis suggests that consumption is affected by idiosyncratic and common shocks including rainfall and household specific crop failure while households respond to seasonal incentives related to changing labour demand and prices the results imply that a larger number of households are vulnerable to shocks than implied by the standard poverty statistics while some of the non poor in the

international income mobility abstract we perform a novel analysis of the international mobility of per capita gnp we find general but not unambiguous support for the notion that world income mobility increased between 1972 and 1992 counterpointing the increased inequality over this period

mixed fortunes a study of poverty mobility among small farm households in chile 1968 86 this study is based on a panel sample of small farm households drawn from eight rural communities in chile interviewed in 1968 and 1986 the incidence and intensity of poverty based on primary income increased over this period however after including earnings from the minimum employment programmes and public transfers both the headcount ratio and squared poverty gap fell markedly between the two surveys mobility analysis showed more households moving out of than into poverty of those households who became impoverished around half may have suffered a transitory decline in income in 1986 the other half experienced pauperisation as a result of investing in projects with negative rates of return investing in the accumulation of human capital by their children sustaining a large rise in the household s dependency ratio or suffering political discrimination in the labour market per capita income was positively related to schooling of the household head in 1968 land ownership in 1986 and living in

the dynamic adjustment of local government budgets does spain behave differently the aim of this article is to analyse whether spanish municipalities adjust in response to budget shocks and if so which elements of the budget they are more likely to adjust the methodology we use to answer these questions is a vector error correction model vecm estimated with data from a panel of spanish municipalities during the period 1988 to 2006 our results confirm that spanish municipalities do indeed make adjustments in response to fiscal shocks i e the deficit is stationary in the long run we compare our results with those obtained for us and germany to evaluate if the viability of local finance depends on the institutional arrangement and to analyse how it affects the adjustment patterns we observe that grants have a more important role in the adjustment process in environments where either they have an equalization objective or where there is no clear rule that determines their distribution this fact can generate a moral hazard problem governments tend to spend more due to the exp

monetary and fiscal policy in the great moderation and the great recession in this paper we argue for a new approach to monetary and fiscal policy during the great moderation the inflation targeting regime worked well central banks used the interest rate to stabilize inflation and subject to inflation being controlled stabilized the level of demand fiscal policy exerted discipline over the public sector deficits thereby indirectly managing the level of public debt such fiscal housekeeping worked well because the monetary authorities were stabilizing the economy but once private sector deleveraging led to the great recession and interest rates hit their zero bound the outcome could no longer be managed by monetary policy recovery depended on the automatic stabilizers output and tax revenues have fallen public debt has been created and assets have been created which a deleveraging private sector wishes to hold but the effect has been very gradual recovery would have been faster if fiscal policy had been responsible for the restoration of full employment in an environment which tolerated the necessary rises in public debt conversely policies of austerity designed to reduce public debt have slowed the recovery growth will not be resumed until the private sector begins to invest strongly again creating the financial assets which the private sector wishes to hold thereby enabling public debt to be retired this has not yet happened because the private sector correctly does not believe that macroeconomic policy is capable of sustaining a strong recovery

the assessment policy options for the uk previous issues of this review have generally considered particular problems or particular areas of policy the concern of this assessment is rather different to consider the broad range of policy options available to the united kingdom focussing on the main areas of disagreement where economic analysis should be helpful it draws where appropriate not only on the articles on microeconomic and macroeconomic policy included below but also on previous themes covered by the oxford review of economic policy the aim is to delineate the key questions which are or which should be on the policy agenda there is no doubt that the terms of the policy debate have shifted markedly in recent years some disagreements such as those between monetarists and keynesians seem much less important whilst others such as those about the nature and role of the market have sprung to prominance

on the measurement of poverty official statistics in the united states and the united kingdom show a rise in poverty between the 1970 s and the 1980 s but scepticism has been expressed with regard to these findings in particular the methods employed in the measurement of poverty have been the subject of criticism this paper re examines three basic issues in measuring poverty the choice of the poverty line the index of poverty and the relation between poverty and inequality one general theme running through the paper is that there is a diversity of judgments which enter the measurement of poverty and that it is necessary to recognize these explicitly in the procedures adopted there is likely to be disagreement about the choice of poverty line affecting both its level and its structure in this situation we may only be able to make comparisons and not to measure differences and the comparisons may lead only to a partial rather than a complete ordering the first section of the paper discusses the stochastic dominance conditions which allow such comparisons illustrating their application by reference to data for the united states the choice of poverty measure has been the subject of an extensive literature and a variety of measures have been proposed in the second section of the paper a different approach is suggested considering a class of measures satisfying certain general properties and seeking conditions under which all members of the class which includes many of those proposed give the same ranking those sceptical about measures of poverty often assert that poverty and inequality are being confounded the third section of the paper distinguishes four different viewpoints and relates them to theories of justice and views of social welfare

measuring social mobility abstract the paper considers the ranking of mobility matrices in a simple markov model of social mobility the approach is the dynamic counterpart ot the static inequality ranking of income distributions by the lorenz curve the derived partial ordering is motivated by welfare considerations is shown to be equivalent to same intuitive mobility concepts and is used to screen some immobility indices the equivalence of the ranking with the permanent income lorenz ordering gives support to the claim that this approach is the natural extension of kolm s the optimal production of social justice in public economics j margolis and h guitton eds macmillan london 1969 atkinson s on the measurement of inequality j econ theory2 1970 244 263 and dasgupta sen and starrett s notes on the measurement of inequality j econ theory6 1973 180 187 approaches journal of economic literature classification numbers d31 d63 j62

the effects of spending on test pass rates evidence from michigan abstract this study uses data on standardized test scores from 1992 through 1998 at michigan schools to determine the effects of spending on student performance the years in the data set straddle 1994 when michigan dramatically changed the way that k 12 schools are funded and moved toward equalization of spending across schools focusing on pass rates for a fourth grade math tests the most complete and consistent data available for michigan i find that increases in spending have nontrivial statistically significant effects on math test pass rates and the effects are largest for schools with initially poor performance

three meanings of intergenerational mobility we axiomatize three different motivations for being concerned about intergenerational mobility mobility as a description of movement as an indication of equality of opportunity and as an indication of equality of life chances these three motivations are shown to be incompatible none of the existing measures is acceptable as an indicator of equality of opportunity or equality of life chances we propose two new measures of intergenerational mobility which more adequately reflect these concerns

does unmeasured ability explain the higher wages of new technology workers abstract we study the impact on new technologies nt on wages using a unique data set that matches data on individuals and on their firms in his important article on the same topic krueger 1993 did not give a definitive answer to the following question if workers who use nt are better paid is it because they are abler or because nt increases their productivity we try to provide a precise answer to this question comparing cross section estimates firm effect estimates and person effect estimates we show that computer based new technologies are used by abler workers these workers appear to become more productive when they get more experienced with these nt in terms of wage differentials the introduction of computer based nt contributes to the increase but less than supposed before each year experience with computer based nt adds around 1 to the wage of workers using such techniques

earnings mobility and measurement error a pseudo panel approach the degree of mobility in incomes is often seen as an important measure of the equality of opportunity in a society and of the flexibility and freedom of its labor market but estimation of mobility using panel data is biased by the presence of measurement error and non random attrition from the panel this paper shows that dynamic pseudo panel methods can be used to consistently estimate measures of absolute and conditional mobility in the presence of non classical measurement errors these methods are applied to data on earnings from a mexican quarterly rotating panel absolute mobility in earnings is found to be very low in mexico suggesting that the high level of inequality found in the cross section will persist over time however the paper finds conditional mobility to be high so that households are able to recover quickly from earnings shocks these findings suggest a role for policies which address underlying inequalities in earnings opportunities