political cycles and economic performance in oecd countries empirical evidence from 1951 2006 this paper examines whether electoral motives and government ideology influence short term economic performance i employ data on annual gdp growth in 21 oecd countries over the 1951 2006 period and provide a battery of empirical tests in countries with two party systems gdp growth is boosted before elections and under leftwing governments in the first two years of a legislative period these findings indicate that political cycles are more prevalent in two party systems because voters can clearly punish or reward political parties for governmental performance my findings imply that we need more elaborate theories of how government ideology and electoral motives influence short term economic performance

urbanization and industrialization impact of co2 emissions in china abstract this study investigates the causal linkage among co2 emissions per capita energy intensity real gdp per capita industrialization share of industrial value added in gdp urbanization share of urban population in total population and share of renewable energy consumption in china over the period from 1970 to 2015 we employ autoregressive distributed lag ardl technology to test the co integration and short and long run estimates and apply the vector error correction model vecm to analyze the directional causality among the time series data the estimates of long run parameters indicate that 1 augments of energy intensity real gdp industrialization and urbanization increase co2 emissions by 1 1 0 6 0 3 and 1 0 respectively long run feedback granger causalities exist among emissions real gdp and industrialization thus our main policy suggestions are as follows i to encourage green and sustainable urbanization as it increases economic growth but not at the expense of environmental degradation ii to strategically adjust and optimize the industrial structure iii to improve the efficiency of energy use and technological innovation and iv to increase the proportion of renewable energy in total energy consumption

a time frequency analysis of trade openness and co2 emissions in france abstract the paper explores the comovement between trade openness and carbon dioxide co2 emissions in france over the period 1960 2013 by using the wavelet tool the investigation offers detailed information about this interaction for different sub periods of time and frequencies it also reveals the lead lag nexus between variables under cyclical and anti cyclical shocks the main findings reveal no comovement at high frequency between trade openness and gas emissions confirming the neutral hypothesis on short term the co2 emissions positively drive the trade openness at medium frequency hence on medium term the inexistence of strong environmental rules stimulate the international trade especially the exports obtained based on pollutant capacities curiously the trade openness positively runs the gas emissions at low frequency herein on long term the interaction between trade and co2 emissions is driven by the business cycle

how robust is the kearney foreign policy globalisation index we argue that the kearney foreign policy kfp index of globalisation is constructed by making some problematic assumptions about the measurement normalisation and weighting of the variables included in the index we propose alternative measurement normalisation and weighting rules and using these rules recalculate the ranking of the fifty countries using the original kfp data specifically we use in various combinations i variables adjusted for geographical characteristics of countries ii statistically optimal weights obtained by principal components analysis iii a normalisation rule that treats different years of observations separately we find that the country rankings change significantly when adjusted variables are used indicating that the original kfp index is partially measuring geographical differences between countries

can multinational enterprises light up developing countries evidences from the access to electricity in sub saharan africa summary this paper examines the role that multinational enterprises mnes and foreign direct investments fdi can have in enhancing the access to electricity for local communities in developing countries based on the quality of home and host institutions access to electricity is a marker for development but it is far from being universal in developing countries the shortage of electricity is mainly the consequence of inability of governments in planning financing and developing necessary electricity infrastructure in this context investments from other actors can be essential particularly we focus on the role of fdi and mnes we claim that when mnes invest in developing countries they are incentivized to solve the lack of electricity infrastructure mainly for two reasons to guarantee their business activities and to gain legitimacy with their local stakeholders in addition we argue that mnes and fdi from institutionally underdeveloped countries will be more prone to develop infrastructure for the provision of electricity to local population as generally they suffer from a negative stereotype for this study we rely on 1 547 observations composed of pairs of 83 home countries and 15 host countries in sub saharan africa observed from 2005 to 2011 due to the nature of the database we adopt panel data techniques i e system gmm and corrected least square dummy variable estimators we find that fdi promotes access to electricity in developing countries with weak institutions and this is more likely true when fdi come from institutionally underdeveloped countries these results are far from obvious as they controvert common idea among institutional scholars that a regulatory authority is essential in the provision of infrastructure in conclusion with this paper we partially rehabilitate the image of mnes investing in developing countries by demonstrating that under certain conditions they could contribute to energy poverty alleviation of local population

pollution and economic growth evidence from central and eastern european countries abstract we investigate the relationships between pollution and growth in eleven central and eastern european cee countries aggregate results robust to different estimators and control variables reveal an increasing nonlinear link between gdp and co2 for the group of cee countries however at a disaggregated country level the relationship between gdp and co2 is characterized by much diversity among cee countries namely n shaped inverted n u shaped inverted u monotonic or no statistical link thus despite an aggregated upward trend some cee countries managed to secure both higher gdp and lower co2 emissions from a policy perspective eu policymakers could pay more attention to these countries and amend the current unique environmental policy to account for country heterogeneities in order to support economic growth without damaging the environment

globesity the effects of globalization on obesity and caloric intake abstract we examine the effect of globalization in its economic and social dimensions on obesity and caloric intake namely the so called globesity hypothesis our results suggest a robust association between globalization and both obesity and caloric intake a one standard deviation increase in globalization is associated with a 23 8 percent increase in obese population and a 4 3 percent rise in calorie intake the effect remains statistically significant even after using an instrumental variable strategy to correct for some possible reverse causality and ommited variable bias a lagged structure and corrections for panel standard errors however we find that the primary driver of the globesity phenomenon is the social rather than the economic dimension of globalization and specifically the effect of changes in information flows and social proximity on obesity a one standard deviation increase in social globalization increased the percentage of obese population by 13 7 percent

future orientation promotes climate concern and mitigation abstract climate change entails uncertainties in the timing and scale of future impacts imposing challenges to decision making with intertemporal trade offs when making intertemporal trade offs future impacts are often considered distant and discounted in present decision making and policy design the future however is not only temporally distant but also perceived in culturally and psychologically different ways based on national statistics and individual level survey data statistical analyses show that both national and individual differences in future orientation affect climate perception and mitigation at the national level countries with languages that grammatically highlight the future are associated with higher climate concern lower carbon emissions and energy use and more progress in climate mitigation individual level evidence suggests that future orientation helps the public understand complicated climate issues make more personal mitigation but not necessarily collective action or policy support the findings indicate the important role that subjective future orientation plays in climate perception and decision making both behavioral intervention and climate communication can be designed based on future orientation to better address climate change

some models for estimating technical and scale inefficiencies in data envelopment analysis in management contexts mathematical programming is usually used to evaluate a collection of possible alternative courses of action en route to selecting one which is best in this capacity mathematical programming serves as a planning aid to management data envelopment analysis reverses this role and employs mathematical programming to obtain ex post facto evaluations of the relative efficiency of management accomplishments however they may have been planned or executed mathematical programming is thereby extended for use as a tool for control and evaluation of past accomplishments as well as a tool to aid in planning future activities the ccr ratio form introduced by charnes cooper and rhodes as part of their data envelopment analysis approach comprehends both technical and scale inefficiencies via the optimal value of the ratio form as obtained directly from the data without requiring a priori specification of weights and or explicit delineation of assumed functional forms of relations between inputs and outputs a separation into technical and scale efficiencies is accomplished by the methods developed in this paper without altering the latter conditions for use of dea directly on observational data technical inefficiencies are identified with failures to achieve best possible output levels and or usage of excessive amounts of inputs methods for identifying and correcting the magnitudes of these inefficiencies as supplied in prior work are illustrated in the present paper a new separate variable is introduced which makes it possible to determine whether operations were conducted in regions of increasing constant or decreasing returns to scale in multiple input and multiple output situations the results are discussed and related not only to classical single output economics but also to more modern versions of economics which are identified with contestable market theories

slowing down of globalization and global co2 emissions a causal or casual association abstract in recent years we have witnessed slowdowns of both globalization and global co2 emissions not only have organization for economic co operation and development oecd economies such as the us and the uk tried to bring manufacturing back to their home countries but non oecd economies such as china and india have also increased their shares of domestic products at both intermediate and final goods in this paper we employ the annual global multi regional input output tables compiled by the asian development bank to explore the linkage of the recent slowdown in globalization and global co2 emissions for the period 2012 2016 our results suggest that there are indeed some clues indicating a slowdown of globalization in several leading oecd and non oecd economies however the changes of consumption in non oecd economies are much larger than are those in oecd economies at the aggregate level the effects of globalization on emissions have been dominated by non oecd economies in particular china and india showing a negative linkage more specifically the changing pattern of globalization has contributed a net increase of 202 mt in global co2 emissions the recent slowdown of global co2 emissions cannot in general be attributed to the slowdown of globalization

foreign direct investment and total factor productivity growth new macro evidence although the role of foreign direct investment fdi in facilitating technology transfer is well known in the literature empirical evidence regarding the effect of fdi on growth is mixed the contradictory results in the literature may be due to the failure to account for endogeneity and for the abortive capacity of the hosting countries using panel data for 49 countries over the period 1974 2008 and the existence of investment promotion agencies in the receiving countries as an instrument our results show that increased fdi stock leads to higher productivity growth we also find a significant positive effect on the interaction between fdi stock and distance to the technological frontier suggesting that the ability of technologically backward countries in absorbing technologies developed at the frontiers increases as more fdi stock is accumulated

the impact of economic growth on co2 emissions in azerbaijan abstract this paper investigates the relationship between the economic growth and co2 emissions in azerbaijan a cointegration analysis is conducted over the period 1992 2013 for getting more robust results johansen ardlbt dols fmols and ccr methods are employed to explore cointegration and estimate long run coefficients we use cubic quadratic and linear specifications and conclude that the last one is an adequate representation for the impact of the economic growth on co2 emissions in azerbaijan the results from the different cointegration methods are consistent with each other and show that the economic growth has a positive and statistically significant impact on the emissions in the long run implying that the ekc hypothesis does not hold for azerbaijan the income elasticity of co2 emissions using different methods is found to be between 0 7 and 0 8 moreover we find that any short run imbalance can be adjusted towards the long run equilibrium path within less than one year the paper concludes that measures to increase energy efficiency carbon pricing instruments in production and international domestic trade activities and nationwide social awareness programs to instruct about the negative consequences of pollution can be considered as relevant environmental policies aimed at reducing carbon emissions

does globalization affect growth evidence from a new index of globalization the study develops an index of globalization covering its three main dimensions economic integration social integration and political integration using panel data for 123 countries in 1970 2000 it is analysed empirically whether the overall index of globalization as well as sub indexes constructed to measure the single dimensions affect economic growth as the results show globalization indeed promotes growth the dimensions most robustly related with growth refer to actual economic flows and restrictions in developed countries although less robustly information flows also promote growth whereas political integration has no effect

food management in tourism reducing tourism s carbon foodprint food production and consumption have a range of sustainability implications including their contribution to global emissions of greenhouse gases ghgs as some foodstuffs entail higher ghg emissions than others managing their use in tourism related contexts could make a significant contribution to climate change mitigation this article reviews the carbon intensity of selected foods and discusses how foodservice providers could adapt their practices it shows that even though food management could substantially reduce the ghg emissions of foodservice providers its application is currently hampered by the complexity of food production chains and a lack of dependable data on the ghg intensity of foodstuffs nevertheless it is possible to make a number of recommendations in respect of how foodservice providers can better purchase prepare and present foods further research is now needed to refine and extend our understanding of the contribution that food management can make to reducing tourism s carbon foodprint c 2010 elsevier ltd all rights reserved

stoking the fires co2 emissions and economic growth abstract we examine the relationship between economic development and carbon dioxide emissions a greenhouse gas central to global warming predictions estimates derived from global panel data suggest a diminishing marginal propensity to emit mpe carbon dioxide as gdp per capita rises despite this global carbon dioxide emissions growth will continue at 1 8 percent per annum for the foreseeable future a result that is not sensitive to average output growth instead emissions growth continues because output and population will grow most rapidly in lower income nations with high mpes this latter feature emphasizes the distributional consequences of policies to reduce emissions

regime linkages in the us uk real exchange rate real interest differential relation abstract using a multivariate regime switching framework and focusing on the period 1921 2002 which is characterized by different nominal exchange rate regimes and monetary regimes we find supportive evidence of the us uk real exchange rate real interest differential relation in terms of volatility regime dependence the two variables are jointly characterized by high volatility during periods of floating exchange rates and by low volatility during periods of fixed exchange rates thereby suggesting that the nominal exchange rate regime is the driving force behind the volatility regime switching thus allowing for regime switching in the real exchange rate real interest differential relation bridges the gap between popular theories of real exchange rate determination which predict such a relation and previous empirical studies which failed to uncover such a relation for the us uk real exchange rate

renewable energy oil prices and economic activity a granger causality in quantiles analysis this paper analyzes the causal relationship between renewable energy consumption oil prices and economic activity in the united states from july 1989 to july 2016 considering all quantiles of the distribution although the concept of granger causality is defined for the conditional distribution the majority of papers have tested granger causality using conditional mean regression models in which the causal relations are linear we apply a granger causality in quantiles analysis that evaluates causal relations in each quantile of the distribution under this approach we can discriminate between causality affecting the median and the tails of the conditional distribution we find evidence of bi directional causality between changes in renewable energy consumption and economic growth at the lowest tail of the distribution besides changes in renewable energy consumption lead economic growth at the highest tail of the distribution our results also support the unidirectional causality from fluctuations in oil prices to economic growth at the extreme quantiles of the distribution finally we find evidence of lower tail dependence from changes in oil prices to changes in renewable energy consumption our findings call for government policies aimed at developing renewable energy markets to increase energy efficiency in the u s

deepening or lessening the effects of tourism on regional inequality abstract in recent years the spatial dimension of inequality has attracted considerable policy interest since regional disparities in economic activity incomes and social indicators often an outcome of ethnic conflicts and a breeding ground for separatist tendencies taking the cross sectional dependence and heterogeneity into account this study examines the impact of tourism on regional inequality from 1995 to 2012 within 113 countries of the world using satellite night light based inequality proxies the results confirm a significant long run equilibrium relationship among the variables across the panels particularly the results from panel fully modified ordinary least squares fmols show that tourism has a negative long run effect on regional inequality suggesting that promoting the development of tourism is an effective tool to achieve more balanced regional development furthermore the results from dumitrescu hurlin granger causality test indicate a unidirectional causality from tourism development to regional inequality these findings complement existing researches and deliver helpful implications for policymakers

oil consumption and economic efficiency a comparative analysis of advanced developing and emerging economies abstract this paper investigates the economic efficiency oil consumption relationship in 42 countries during the period 1986 2006 in a first stage by using dea window analysis countries economic efficiencies are obtained in a second stage an econometric analysis based on robust gmm estimators reveals an inverted u shape relationship between oil consumption and economic efficiency in order to capture heterogeneities among countries development stages the analysis has been separated into two groups advanced economies and developing emerging economies the results show that advanced economies have much higher turning points compared to emerging and developing economies it appears that oil consumption increases countries economic efficiency in addition the consumption patterns of oil products and its derivatives have changed through years and among countries the different turning points from the econometric analysis indicate the dependence of oil consumption in advanced economies higher turning points is driven mainly by household purchasing activities and their standards of living transport housing and water food etc finally it appears that oil consumption is the main driver behind the progress of industrialization and urbanization regardless of the country s development stage

input congestion in loan operations in the previous decade the swedish banking sector underwent large changes probably the single most influential cause was a gradual relaxation of regulations the development meant new challenges a

impacts of tangible and intangible elements of aid for trade on the globalisation of developing countries the aid for trade initiative was launched by the wto in 2005 to help developing countries build their supply side capacity and trade related infrastructure to improve their capacity in the global market this study investigates the impacts of both the tangible and intangible elements of this initiative on the economic social and political globalisation of recipient countries intangible elements of aid for trade aid for trade policy and regulation may be considered as the software of aid for trade while tangible elements aid for economic infrastructure and building productive capacity are the hardware countries that receive aid for trade can use both types of elements to succeed in globalisation this research hypothesises that the tangible elements of aid for trade have a singular effect on the overall level of globalisation since they are expected to only increase the level of economic globalisation moreover we expect that the intangible elements of aid for trade will have multiple effects on the overall level of globalisation as they have an impact on not only economic aspects but also social and political aspects of it using the dataset of aid for trade from 2002 to 2015 we find that the intangible elements of aid for trade have increased the recipients level of overall globalisation

energy consumption in china and underlying factors in a changing landscape empirical evidence since the reform period abstract in recent decades the phenomenal growth in the chinese economy has created increasing energy consumption this is the first study analysing energy consumption in china considering economic social and political dimensions of globalisation along with the effects from trade and financial sectors the time period covers the full trajectory since the start of economic reform until recent times in this respect we use the konjunkturforschungsstelle kof globalisation index to explore the dynamic link between economic growth financial development trade and various dimensions of globalisation and energy consumption modern time series econometric techniques are used in establishing stationarity long run dynamics and causality of the series the findings suggest that globalisation decreases energy consumption in the short run but increases it in the long run however the effect of financial development on energy consumption in china is opposite to the globalisation effect on energy consumption granger causality reveals a feedback effect between economic globalisation and financial development globalisation in china can only reduce energy consumption if china develops its financial sector to a greater extent in future china should invest in its financial sector and low carbon energy alternatives to achieve sustainable development prevention of energy shortfalls and cleaner environment would assist in bridging the gap both from social and political aspects to ensure china benefits significantly with high economic growth in this asian century

long range growth economic development in the global network of air links we study the impact of international long distance flights on the global spatial allocation of economic activity to identify causal effects we exploit variation due to regulatory and technological constraints which give rise to a discontinuity in connectedness between cities at a distance of 6000 miles we show that these air links have a positive effect on local economic activity as captured by satellite measured night lights to shed light on how air links shape economic outcomes we first present evidence of positive externalities in the global network of air links connections induce further connections we then find that air links increase business links showing that the movement of people fosters the movement of capital in particular this is driven mostly by capital flowing from high income to middle income but not low income countries taken together our results suggest that increasing interconnectedness generates economic activity at the local level by inducing links between businesses but also gives rise to increased spatial inequality locally and potentially globally

the effects of electricity consumption economic growth financial development and foreign direct investment on co2 emissions in kuwait abstract this study examined the empirical effects of economic growth electricity consumption foreign direct investment fdi and financial development on carbon dioxide co2 emissions in kuwait using time series data for the period 1980 2013 to achieve this goal we applied the autoregressive distributed lag ardl bounds testing approach and found that cointegration exists among the series findings indicate that economic growth electricity consumption and fdi stimulate co2 emissions in both the short and long run the vecm granger causality analysis revealed that fdi economic growth and electricity consumption strongly granger cause co2 emissions based on these findings the study recommends that kuwait reduce emissions by expanding its existing carbon capture utilization and storage plants capitalizing on its vast solar and wind energy reducing high subsidies of the residential electricity scheme and aggressively investing in energy research to build expertise for achieving electricity generation efficiency

dynamic effects in inefficiency evidence from the colombian banking sector firms face a continuous process of technological and environmental changes that requires them to make managerial decisions in a dynamic context however costs and constraints prevent firms from making instant adjustments towards optimal conditions and may cause inefficiency to persist in time we propose a dynamic inefficiency specification that captures differences in the adjustment costs among firms and non persistent effects of inefficiency heterogeneity the model is fitted to a ten year sample of colombian banks the new specification improves model fit and have effects on efficiency estimations overall colombian banks present high inefficiency persistence but important differences between institutions are found in particular merged banks present low adjustment costs that allow them to recover rapidly efficiency losses derived from merging processes

the role of globalization in energy consumption a quantile cointegrating regression approach abstract this paper examines the quantile behavior of the relationship between the nuances of globalization and energy consumption while incorporating capital and economic growth in case of top two most globalized countries netherlands and ireland by employing the recently developed quantile autoregressive distributed lag qardl model of cho et al 2015 the model is estimated using quarterly data over the period 1970q1 2015q4 the results indicate that the relationship is quantile dependent which may reveal misleading results in studies using traditional analyses that address the averages the wald test confirms our findings by rejecting the null hypothesis of parameter constancy for both the netherlands and ireland the changes in energy consumption are more responsive to past levels and past changes in globalization than the adjustment provided by the error correction method ecm interestingly the findings indicate that globalization is positively correlated with energy consumption in the long term for the two countries furthermore globalization shares a robust long term relationship with energy consumption energy consumption is strongly related to globalization in the long term however the short term effects of globalization on energy demand are limited for those countries important policy implications are then suggested based on the empirical results

how economic growth renewable electricity and natural resources contribute to co2 emissions abstract this study explores the relationship between economic growth and co2 emissions in the so called european union 5 eu 5 countries germany france italy spain and the united kingdom for the 1985 2016 period in doing so we employ a carbon emission function to investigate the environmental kuznets curve phenomenon which describes a relationship between economic growth and environmental degradation the empirical results confirm the existence of an n shaped relationship between economic growth and co2 emissions in the eu 5 countries we incorporate additional variables such as renewable electricity consumption trade openness natural resource abundance and energy innovation to augment the carbon emission function renewable electricity consumption natural resources and energy innovation improve environmental quality while trade openness and the interaction between economic growth and renewable electricity consumption exert a positive impact on co2 emissions this study is novel in that it presents an interaction between economic growth and renewable electricity consumption we also confirm the need for renewable energy regulations related to increasing renewable sources and promoting energy innovation to reduce the negative effects of energy and fossil energy resources on environmental degradation

the impact of patent protection on us pharmaceutical exports to developing countries this article provides evidence that patent protection can have a positive effect on trade by analysing the impact of the implementation of intellectual property rights ipr in developing countries on the us exports of pharmaceutical products following intense lobbying efforts from the us pharmaceutical industry to have the trade related aspects of intellectual property rights trips agreement included in the creation of the world trade organization wto a gravity model using panel data from 1995 to 2010 suggests that the implementation of minimum standards of patent protection has increased us exports of pharmaceuticals to 108 nonadvanced countries

does government ideology influence deregulation of product markets empirical evidence from oecd countries this paper examines how government ideology has influenced deregulation of product markets in oecd countries i analyze a dataset of non manufacturing regulation indicators covering energy transport and communication industries in 21 oecd countries over the 1980 2003 period and employ two different indices of government ideology the results suggest that government ideology has had a strong influence on the deregulation process market oriented governments promoted the deregulation of the energy transport and communication industries this finding identifies remarkable differences between leftist and rightwing governments concerning the role of government in the economy and basic elements of political order

globalization and household saving is there a link abstractthis article proposes that globalization can affect household saving in the long run in a number of ways social interactions between different cultures can induce value changes which can result in shifts in consumption and saving behaviour international trade allows consumers to have easier access to status goods stimulating consumption and dampening saving extending from veblen s conspicuous consumption theory saving may also decrease when globalization leads to greater population mobility and fosters urbanization thus enhancing the importance of consumption as a way to display wealth in addition financial globalization reduces credit constraints and allows households to save less using cross country data from the united nations un the oecd and other sources this article finds evidence that household saving declines as globalization deepens especially in the social and cultural dimensions

sectoral changing patterns of china s green gdp considering climate change an investigation based on the economic input output life cycle assessment model abstract the rapid growth of energy intensive and high emission industries has underpinned china s economic boom over the past few decades since her economic development entered the new normal phase in 2013 china has faced the challenge of mitigating greenhouse gas ghg emissions while achieving medium high economic growth transforming the economic development pattern and restructuring the economy is a principal solution and one important prerequisite is discerning great sectoral disparities of ghg emissions and corresponding environmental costs because the diversity of characteristics among different sectors causes the pollutants that are discharged to vary hence this paper aims to assess the environmental costs of china s total and sectoral ghg emissions based on the system of environmental and economic accounts and using the economic input output life cycle assessment model this study calculates the green gdp and green output value of 27 sectors to reflect the environmental costs of ghg emissions in china during 1991 2016 the findings are as follows 1 while china s direct ghg emissions increased from 3 040 60 million tons of carbon dioxide equivalent mtco2eq to 10 641 10 mtco2eq during 1991 2014 declining trends were observed in the total and 16 sectors direct ghg emissions in the subsequent two years 2 although the ratios of direct ghg emissions to total ghg emissions in most sectors decreased total ghg emissions in eight sectors rose first and then fell and in 15 sectors continued to rise 3 china s green gdp grew from 2 003 88 billion chinese yuan to 26 245 25 billion chinese yuan during 1991 2016 and the difference between china s gdp and green gdp decreased from 2 73 to 1 02 and 4 differences between the output value and green output value decreased in over 20 sectors finally some policy implications are given from the perspective of some key sectors of the manufacturing industry agricultural sector and transport storage and post sector

de globalization theories predictions and opportunities for international business research de globalization now a distinct possibility would induce a significant qualitative shift in strategies structures and behaviors observable in international business ib coming to terms with this qualitative shift would require ib research to develop a much deeper integration of politics the key driver of de globalization to support such integration this paper introduces two relevant theories of de globalization from political science liberalism and realism both predict de globalization under current conditions but lead to different expectations about the future world economy liberalism suggests a patchwork of economic linkages while realism predicts the emergence of economic blocs around major countries this paper discusses the resulting opportunities in three areas of ib research political strategies and roles of multinational enterprises mnes global value chains and the role of the national context for political strategies and roles there is a need to explore how regular business activities and deliberate political agency of mnes affect the political sustainability of globalization for value chains questions include their future reach and specialization changes in organizational forms and the impact of political considerations on location decisions research opportunities on national contexts relate to their ability to sustain globalization and their connection with economic and military power

distributional employment impacts of renewable and new energy a case study of china abstract the main goal of this paper is to argue for the necessity and significance of studying the distributional employment impacts of renewable and new energy development rne based on the comprehensive review of the methodology and conclusions of existing literatures this paper builds up an extended input output model to study rne s distributional employment impacts on gender and personnel structure the case study of china s power sector in this paper affirmed earlier doubts that rne development will indeed aggravate the gender inequality problem and add to the level of mismatch between the structure of labor demand and supply causing structural unemployment problems the quantitative analysis in this paper outlined here implies that from 2011 to 2020 the development of rne will bring about 7 million employment gains but only 81 8 of which can be realized due to the mismatch problem the study of china may alert other countries to be less optimistic about rne s employment impacts and reaffirm the need to carry out the distributional employment impacts analysis this paper concludes with policy suggestions such as providing suitable training and equal promotion opportunities for women offering courses and vocational trainings to rne related majors in order to reduce the structural unemployment problem and further speed up the development of rne

do the personal characteristics of finance ministers affect changes in public debt using a unique dataset of the personal characteristics of national finance ministers in western europe 1980 2010 i show that a finance minister s experience affects the national debt to gdp ratio the increase in the debt to gdp ratio is smaller if the finance minister stays in office for an additional year this result is robust to the inclusion of the personal characteristics of prime ministers and a measure of political stability however the magnitude of the effect is sensitive to how finance ministers are selected in the econometric model when more than one minister holds office during a particular year the estimation of interaction terms further reveals that experience particularly matters in election years or in times of negative gdp growth because an experienced finance minister has the power to restrict the usual increase in the debt to gdp ratio in contrast a finance minister s educational background and ideological leaning have no significant impact on the debt to gdp ratio

globalization party positions and the median voter the authors argue that the effects of economic globalization on social democratic parties in western europe are conditional on the position of the median voter if the median is far enough to the right such parties will adopt business friendly policies because they are required to win office only when the median is relatively far to the left will globalization constrain social democratic parties forcing them to adopt policies further to the right in order to retain credibility it is on this basis the authors argue that empirical studies are misspecified unless they include an interaction between measures of globalization and the position of the median in addition to presenting formal theoretical arguments the article reports empirical findings from fifteen countries in the period from 1973 to 2002 that support the conclusion that the effects of globalization are indeed contingent on the median the authors find that the effects of globalization are significant for social democratic parties only in circumstances in which the median is relatively far to the left

dynamic linkages between globalization financial development and carbon emissions evidence from asia pacific economic cooperation countries abstract this study determines the dynamic linkages between globalization financial development and carbon emissions in asia pacific economic cooperation apec countries in the presence of energy intensity and economic growth under the framework of environment kuznets curve ekc this study employs the panel data from 1990 to 2016 westerlund cointegration technique to find long run cointegration and continuously updated bias corrected cup bc and continuously updated fully modified cup fm methods to check the long run elasticities between the variables empirical results indicate that globalization and financial development significantly reduce carbon emissions but economic growth and energy intensity increase them these results support the ekc hypothesis for apec countries the dumitrescu and hurlin causality analysis shows that globalization granger causes co2 emissions globalization also causes financial development and energy intensity a feedback effect exists between financial development and co2 emissions furthermore financial development causes economic growth but similar is not true from opposite side in granger sense finally this study presents important policy implications with respect to apec countries

spillover effects of economic globalization on co2 emissions a spatial panel approach abstract this paper investigates the spatial effects of economic globalization on co2 emissions in a panel of 83 countries over the period 1985 2013 we apply the spatial panel method to address the problems of spatial dependency and the spillover effect among neighboring countries first the estimation results verify the existence of the spatial correlations in co2 emissions across nations second we find that the indirect effect of economic globalization on co2 emissions is so significantly negative to overcome the positive direct effect which implies a negative and significant total effect so our results suggest that being surrounded by highly globalized countries has a positive effect on the environmental quality finally we also find strong evidence for the inverted u shaped ekc relationship between co2 emissions and income

analysis of electricity consumption in the tourism sector a decomposition approach abstract index decomposition analysis ida has become a common tool for studying the evolution of energy consumption in its initial form it comprises three contributions namely activity structure and intensity effects various sectors of activities were studied in the literature by employing ida approach and the present work proposes its application to the electricity consumption in the tourism sector the proposed decomposition analysis is developed on the basis of seven indexes grouped in three macro contributions namely energy intensity economic structure and industrial structure the decomposition is performed in the period 1995 2017 and italy was used as test case for the methodology the analysis highlights that overall the changes in electricity intensity and in the industrial structure were responsible for an increase of the electricity consumption of 5 581 gwh whereas the economic structure was responsible for a decrease of 1 337 gwh their contemporary effect determined a total variation of electricity consumption between 1995 and 2017 of 4 244 gwh results demonstrated that the proposed ida equation specifically tailored for the tourism sector allows to provide a detailed analytical explanation of the factors affecting electricity consumption in the italian tourism sector the same framework can be applied to any other country and source of energy

the impact of economic globalization on renewable energy in the oecd countries abstract this paper analyzes the determinants of renewable energy consumption in the panel data of 30 oecd countries for the period from 1970 to 2015 the unique role is given to the effect of economic globalization on renewable energy we consider several measures of economic globalization and apply different econometric techniques we find the positive impact of the per capita income the per capita carbon dioxide emissions and the real price of oil on renewable energy also a higher level of economic globalization promotes renewable energy and the evidence is robust to the different measures of economic globalization in line with our findings promoting the economic aspects of globalization will enhance renewable energy thus it can suppress the adverse effect of climate change and global warming on living human beings and natural habitats in the long run therefore we need to enhance our knowledge of how globalization promotes renewable energy not only for the oecd countries but also for other developing and developed economies from a policy perspective we suggest that policymakers and governments in oced countries should consider economic globalization as a renewable energy promoting mechanism while designing their energy demand policy for the protection of natural environmental health

greenhouse gas emissions energy consumption and economic growth a panel cointegration analysis from canadian industrial sector perspective abstract this paper investigates the long run and the causal relationship between greenhouse gas emissions energy consumption and economic growth for canadian industrial sectors over the period 1990 2007 the empirical findings suggest that in the long run equilibrium energy consumption has a positive and statistically significant impact on greenhouse gas emissions whereas a non linear relationship is found between greenhouse gas emissions and economic growth consistent with the environmental kuznets curve the short run dynamics conveys that there is a unidirectional granger causality running from energy consumption to greenhouse gas emissions from economic growth to greenhouse gas emissions and a weak unidirectional causality running from greenhouse gas emissions to energy consumption from economic growth to energy consumption in the long run however there seems to be a weak one way causality flowing from energy consumption and economic growth to greenhouse gas emissions

business organisations party systems and tax composition in developing countries a comparison between colombia and peru abstractthis paper explores the relationship between socio political institutions and tax composition in developing countries it argues that strong business organisations and stable political party systems reduce the uncertainty of fiscal contracts for economic elites the decrease in uncertainty leads elites to accept a larger share of the tax burden which governments then collect using progressive tax types more intensively to illustrate this claim i provide evidence from a comparative analysis of the peruvian and the colombian tax history between 1970 and 2010

revisiting the role of tourism and globalization in environmental degradation in china fresh insights from the quantile ardl approach abstract ascertaining sustainable development is a major issue across the globe and the economic growth pattern achieved is a predominant reason behind this the globalization led economic growth achieved by the emerging economies might not be ecologically sustainable as globalization might not have been utilized as a policy tool moreover a sound policy calls for considering the entire data spectrum for the analysis which is largely ignored in the literature this research contributes to the literature by proffering a policy framework for the emerging economies by analyzing the impact of globalization and tourism on environmental degradation by considering the chinese context as a sample following the quantile autoregressive distributed lag model the impact of economic growth globalization and tourism on greenhouse gas emissions carbon dioxide emissions and the ecological footprint in china over 1978q1 2017q4 are analyzed the results demonstrate that economic growth stimulates environmental degradation while the presence of environmental kuznets curve is also validated moreover tourism has been found to exert positive environmental externalities while globalization exerts negative environmental externalities based on the outcomes of the research a comprehensive policy framework has been suggested following which the chinese economy might be able to attain the objectives of sustainable development goals 7 8 and 13

total factor energy efficiency in developing countries this paper uses a total factor framework to investigate energy efficiency in 23 developing countries during the period of 1980 2005 we explore the total factor energy efficiency and change trends by applying data envelopment analysis dea window which is capable of measuring efficiency in cross sectional and time varying data the empirical results indicate that botswana mexico and panama perform the best in terms of energy efficiency whereas kenya sri lanka syria and the philippines perform the worst during the entire research period seven countries show little change in energy efficiency over time eleven countries experienced continuous decreases in energy efficiency among five countries witnessing continuous increase in total factor energy efficiency china experienced the most rapid rise practice in china indicates that effective energy policies play a crucial role in improving energy efficiency tobit regression analysis indicates that a u shaped relationship exists between total factor energy efficiency and income per capita

rational expectations econometric analysis of changes in regime an investigation of the term structure of interest rates abstract this paper is of interest both for its methodological contribution of new tools for analyzing rational expectations models and for its substantive conclusions concerning the term structure of interest rates during the monetary experiment of october 1979 the paper studies systems subject to changes in regime interpreted here as occasional discrete shifts in the parameters governing the time series behavior of exogenous economic variables the specification is shown to be quite tractable both theoretically and empirically the technique is used to analyze yields on three month treasury bills and ten year treasury bonds during 1962 to 1987 a constant parameter linear model for short term rates is shown to be inconsistent both with the univariate time series properties of short rates and with the observed bivariate relation between long and short rates under the expectations hypothesis of the term structure an alternative nonlinear model that admits the possibility of changes in regime affords a much better description of the univariate process for short rates moreover the cross equation restrictions implied by the expectations hypothesis of the term structure are consistent with the nonlinear specification indeed the residuals of the restricted relation have a standard error of only 0 8 basis points this is a third less than that of a completely unrestricted linear regression of long rates on short rates and compares with an unconditional standard deviation of long rates of 142 basis points i conclude that once the recognition by bond traders of changes in regime is taken into account the expectations hypothesis of the term structure of interest rates holds up fairly well for these data

financial integration and growth why is emerging europe different abstract using industry level data this paper tries to explain why financial integration raised growth differentials between externally dependent and less dependent industries in european transition countries but not in other developing or advanced countries in the years preceding the current crisis we argue that political integration with countries that have stronger political and economic institutions leads to growth enhancing foreign investments because investors expect an improvement of institutions in the future the empirical evidence supports the importance of political integration within the group of developing countries the effect of financial integration is larger in countries that are more strongly politically integrated such an effect is not found for advanced countries our results suggest that political integration can considerably increase the benefits of financial integration in developing countries even when institutions are still weak

is german domestic social policy politically controversial this paper investigates empirically the influence of government ideology on social policy using german data examining the funding and the benefits of social security and public healthcare policy my results suggest that policies implemented by governments dominated by left and rightwing parties were similar over the 1951 2007 period leftwing governments however spent more in the 1970s and rightwing governments did so after german reunification in 1990 since policy convergence encourages new parties to enter the political arena and party platforms on social policy matters are likely to undergo further changes in light of demographic change the observed pattern may thus be a transitory phenomenon

regime dependence mrs machlup s wardrobe and the accumulation of international reserves in asia abstract an old yet rarely explored motive of hoarding international reserves advanced by machlup 1966 is examined reserve accumulation behavior in asia is driven by a psychological desire to keep up with neighboring countries i e keeping up with the joneses effect

globalization and climate change new empirical panel data evidence whether globalization is good or bad for the environment has been studied intensively in recent years however few studies have explicitly provided a general picture of globalization around the world or considered the rich dimensions of globalization outside of economic globalization by applying the new kof globalization index in a panel data sample of 166 countries over the 1990 2009 period our results suggest that on average overall carbon emissions rise with higher levels of economic social and political globalization although the effect varies by oecd and non oecd country group after decomposing the main contributors of carbon emissions our further data from the manufacturing and construction sector yield evidence consistent with a pollution haven effect in terms of climate change

investigating the multivariate granger causality between energy consumption economic growth and co2 emissions in ghana abstract the economy of ghana continues to witness a rising demand for energy coupled with growth in gross domestic product that follows a wavy trajectory in the midst of this economic phenomenon there is a trend of increasing greenhouse gas emissions with attendant economic health and environmental consequences this paper examines the causal interdependence between energy consumption economic growth and co 2 emissions in ghana from 1960 to 2015 by using the toda yamamoto and granger causality tests the johansen and johansen juselius cointegration approach and the autoregressive distributed lag bounds test approach are employed to test for cointegration relationship the results show that the variables are cointegrated the causality tests reveal that there is feedback granger causality between energy consumption and co 2 emissions since there is a causal link between energy consumption and economic growth with its concomitant effect on co 2 emissions any energy conservation oriented policy not derived from energy efficiency and technological progress may hurt the ghanaian economy in effect more effort should be aimed at improving energy efficiency through technological progress and investment should be made in renewable energy to reduce over reliance on fossil fuels

international financial integration and economic growth abstract this paper uses new data and new econometric techniques to investigate the impact of international financial integration on economic growth and also to assess whether this relationship depends on the level of economic development financial development legal system development government corruption and macroeconomic policies using a wide array of measures of international financial integration for 57 countries and an assortment of statistical methodologies we are unable to reject the null hypothesis that international financial integration does not accelerate economic growth even when controlling for particular economic financial institutional and policy characteristics

estimating a bayesian stochastic frontier for the indian banking system abstract this paper employs a bayesian stochastic frontier providing exact inference on both cost and profit efficiencies of the indian banking sector in the period of 2000 2006 we also test for the inclusion of off balance sheet data in model specification the findings suggest that public banks are the most efficient followed by private and foreign banks however the latter largely improved profit efficiency outperforming domestic banks by the end of the sample accounting for off balance sheet activities significantly improves profit efficiency levels

is full banking integration desirable abstract we analyze the links between banking integration and economic development for a sample of oecd countries we measure banking integration considering indicators that merge not only openness but also connectedness with other banking systems we plug these indicators into income regressions also controlling for other relevant variables considered by the literature in contrast to previous initiatives this second stage explicitly takes into account the differing levels of economic development of the countries in our sample since the benefits of enhanced banking integration might not be generalizable to this end we implement quantile regression also considering the presence of endogenous regressors results show that bank connectedness is more important for economic development than bank openness but the combined effect i e banking integration overall is positive and significant the quantile regression models used in the second stage show that the effects are stronger for the poorest economies

exploring the relationship between energy usage segregation and environmental degradation in n 11 countries numerous studies regarding the economic growth environmental pollution link have struggled to determine the effects of various forms of energy consumption on environmental degradation particularly in the context of emerging economies this study examines the environmental kuznets curve ekc for co2 emissions in n 11 countries during 1990 2014 by segregating three forms of energy consumption renewable biomass and non renewable urbanization and trade openness are additional explanatory variables that are used in the empirical framework using the generalized moments method gmm the empirical evidence confirms the presence of an n shaped relationship between economic growth and environmental degradation for n 11 countries this study analyzed the interaction effects among trade openness biomass consumption and economic growth these interactions had a negative impact on co2 emissions levels of n 11 countries suitable policy recommendations have been provided based on the detailed results

from nonrenewable to renewable energy and its impact on economic growth the role of research development expenditures in asia pacific economic cooperation countries abstract this study disaggregates energy i e non renewable and renewable energy consumption and investigates its effect on economic growth the period of 1990 2015 is used to examine asia pacific economic cooperation apec countries this paper determines the cross sectional dependence and employs a second generation panel unit root test for precise estimation westerlund cointegration test is used to examine the long run equilibrium relationship between the variables and confirm the presence of cointegration in the long run the continuously updated fully modified ordinary least square cup fm approaches are applied to investigate long term output elasticities between the variables the results show the stimulating role of energy renewable and nonrenewable consumption in economic growth research and development expenditures and trade openness have a positive effect on economic growth moreover the time series individual country analysis also confirms that renewable energy has a positive impact on economic growth the heterogenous causality analysis reveals the feedback effect i e bidirectional causal associations among economic growth renewable energy consumption and nonrenewable energy consumption this empirical evidence suggests that countries should increase investment in renewable energy sectors and plan for development in renewable energy for sustainable energy growth

production efficiency of british building societies the purpose of this paper is to examine the relative efficiency of british building societies and to find out whether efficiency factor is the driving force behind the merging of small building societies efficiency indices for societies are derived from a 1981 sample of cross section data the results indicate wide disparities in efficiency these differences are not related to the size of building societies but apparently to managers skill and motivation

exploring the existence of kuznets curve in countries environmental efficiency using dea window analysis abstract this paper using data envelopment dea window analysis and generalized method of moments gmm estimators examines the existence of a kuznets type relationship between countries environmental efficiency and national income specifically it measures the environmental efficiency of 17 oecd countries by constructing environmental efficiency ratios for the time period 1980 2002 the analysis with the application of dynamic panel data reveals that there isn t a kuznets type relationship between environmental efficiency and income allowing for dynamic effects we find that the adjustment to the target ratio is instantaneous we also find that increased economic activity does not always ensure environmental protection and thus the path of growth is important in addition to the growth itself

globalisation institutional reforms and financial development in east asian economies this study investigates the dynamic effects of globalisation on institutions and financial development in east asian economies using panel data tests our empirical results demonstrate that globalisation has a significant influence on institutional quality and that institutional reforms in turn facilitate and support financial development in particular the development of the banking sector in east asia globalisation is also found to have a favourable direct impact on stock market development without passing through an institutional quality channel

is competition good for trust cross country evidence using micro data abstract this paper empirically analyzes implications of market competition for generalized trust of about 80 000 individuals in about 60 countries we find that competition amplifies the trust generating effect of market integration for highly integrated individuals

does globalization influence protectionism empirical evidence from agricultural support abstract there are several motivations for domestic policy makers to protect food markets in the course of globalization on the other hand there are also theoretical arguments for why globalization should lead to less assistance to domestic farmers by using a large cross country data set and a dynamic panel data analysis i investigate the influence of globalization on protectionist policies in the agricultural sector empirically i find that globalization induces countries to increase agricultural protection this result is robust to dealing with the potential endogeneity of globalization via internal instruments generated by the system gmm model

the structure of inequality and the politics of redistribution against the current consensus among comparative political economists we argue that inequality matters for redistributive politics in advanced capitalist societies but it is the structure of inequality not the level of inequality that matters our theory posits that middle income voters will be inclined to ally with low income voters and support redistributive policies when the distance between the middle and the poor is small relative to the distance between the middle and the rich we test this proposition with data from 15 to 18 advanced democracies and find that both redistribution and nonelderly social spending increase as the dispersion of earnings in the upper half of the distribution increases relative to the dispersion of earnings in the lower half of the distribution in addition we present survey evidence on preferences for redistribution among middle income voters that is consistent with our theory and regression results indicating that the left parties are more likely to participate in government when the structure of inequality is characterized by skew

renewable non renewable energy consumption economic growth trade openness and ecological footprint evidence from organisation for economic co operation and development countries the purpose of this study is to examine the validity of environmental kuznets curve hypothesis for ecological footprint with the role of renewable energy use non renewable energy use and trade openness in 24 organisation for economic co operation and development countries for this purpose we investigate the period from 1980 to 2014 using with second generation panel data methodologies which allow to cross sectional dependence among countries the group mean results show that the inverted u shaped environmental kuznets curve hypothesis does not hold in organisation for economic co operation and development countries because we found the u shaped relationship between economic growth and ecological footprint in addition it is concluded that increasing renewable energy consumption reduces ecological footprint and increasing non renewable energy consumption increases environmental degradation

interplay between technological innovation and environmental quality formulating the sdg policies for next 11 economies abstract since the inception of sustainable development goals sdgs the next 11 n11 countries are facing difficulties in attaining the sdg objectives as maintaining the environmental quality has been a challenge for them in this study we have revisited the technology policies of these countries and in doing so we have tried to address the problem of environmental degradation while addressing the issues of sustained economic growth clean and affordable energy and quality education in this pursuit we have designed two indices for environmental degradation and technological advancement and then analyzed the association between them following the environmental kuznets curve ekc hypothesis the empirical analysis has been done by ipat framework and by using bootstrapped quantile regression and rolling window heterogeneous panel casualty tests over a period of 1990 2017 following the results obtained from the analysis we have tried to address the objectives of sdg 13 sdg 4 sdg 8 sdg 9 sdg 7 and sdg 10

openness and inflation new empirical panel data evidence abstract the purpose of this paper is to test the hypothesis first documented by romer 1993 that inflation is lower in more open economies according to this hypothesis central banks have a smaller incentive to engineer surprise inflations in economies that are more open because the phillips curve is steeper in this paper the panel data technique has been employed to examine the aforementioned hypothesis concerning the developed and developing countries over the last two decades also comparing with other empirical studies this paper has estimated the relationship between economic globalization as one dimension of the new kof globalization index and inflation the paper s results cast substantial doubts on the conventional view that suggests a robust and negative relationship between trade openness and inflation the estimation result regarding the traditional measure of trade openness indicates a positive and significant association between trade openness and inflation which opposes the view of the romer 1993 hypothesis in contrast the estimation results regarding a new economic globalization index the kof index suggest that higher economic globalization will decrease inflation as supported by the romer 1993 hypothesis for both developed and developing countries during 1990 9 and 2000 9 thus it seems that the new economic globalization measure the kof index which is a broader comprehensive index is a better proxy for openness

revisiting the environmental kuznets curve in a global economy the present study deals with an empirical investigation between co2 emissions energy intensity economic growth and globalization using annual data over the period of 1970 2010 for turkish economy we applied unit root test and cointegration approach in the presence of structural breaks the direction of causality between the variables is investigated by applying the vecm granger causality approach our results confirmed the existence of cointegration between the series the empirical evidence reported that energy intensity and economic growth globalization increase condense co2 emissions the results also validated the presence of environmental kuznets curve ekc the causality analysis shows bidirectional causality between economic growth and co2 emissions this implies that economic growth can be boosted at the cost of environment

co2 emissions in australia economic and non economic drivers in the long run abstractaustralia has sustained a relatively high economic growth rate since the 1980s compared to other developed countries per capita co2 emissions tend to be highest amongst oecd countries creating new challenges to cut back emissions towards international standards this research explores the long run dynamics of co2 emissions economic and population growth along with the effects of globalization tested as contributing factors we find economic growth is not emission intensive in australia while energy consumption is emissions intensive second in an environment of increasing population our findings suggest australia needs to be energy efficient at the household level creating appropriate infrastructure for sustainable population growth high population growth and open migration policy can be detrimental in reducing co2 emissions finally we establish globalized environment has been conducive in combating emissions in this respect we establish the beneficial effect of economic globalization

urbanization economic growth energy consumption and co2 emissions empirical evidence from countries with different income levels abstract the growth of anthropogenic co2 emissions has been widely attributed to the combustion of energy in support of human activities associated with economic development while the link between urbanization economic growth energy consumption and co2 emissions has as a result received considerable multidisciplinary scholarly attention little work has been undertaken with respect to the how differences in the development stages or income levels of the countries studied may affect these relations here we empirically explore the link between urbanization economic development energy consumption and co2 emissions specifically taking into account the different income levels of the countries studied a series of panel data models and a balanced dataset for a panel of 170 countries were utilized in the study which took the period of 1980 2011 into consideration the result of panel cointegration tests suggested that a cointegration relationship existed between variables in all the countries studied and that a statistically significant positive relationship existed between the variables employed in the long run the results of a granger causality test based on the vector error correction model vecm provided evidence of varied granger causality relationships between the variables across the income based subpanels moreover we also undertook an impulse response and variance decomposition analysis that allowed us to forecast the impacts of economic growth urbanization and energy consumption on future co2 emissions during the period surveyed our results cast a new light on the importance of a country s development stage and income level for government policy decisions relating to the reduction of co2 emissions

inter country distancing globalisation and the coronavirus pandemic originating in china the coronavirus has reached the world at different speeds and levels of strength this paper provides an initial understanding of some driving factors and their consequences since transmission requires people the human factor behind globalization is essential globalization a major force behind global wellbeing and equality is highly associated with this factor the analysis investigates the impact globalization has on the speed of initial transmission to a country and on the scale of initial infections in the context of other driving factors our cross country analysis finds that measures of globalization are positively related to the spread of the virus both in speed and scale however the study also finds that globalized countries are better equipped to keep fatality rates low the conclusion is not to reduce globalization to avoid pandemics but to better monitor the human factor at the outbreak and mobilize collaboration forces to curtail diseases