occupational choice and the process of development this paper models economic development as a process of institutional transformation by focusing on the interplay between agents occupational decisions and the distribution of wealth because of capital market imperfections poor agents choose working for a wage over self employment and wealthy agents become entrepreneurs who monitor workers only with sufficient inequality however will there be employment contracts otherwise there is either subsistence or self employment thus in static equilibrium the occupational structure depends on distribution since the latter is itself endogenous we demonstrate the robustness of this result by extending the model dynamically and studying examples in which initial wealth distributions have long run effects in one case the economy develops either widespread cottage industry self employment or factory production employment contracts depending on the initial distribution in the other example it develops into prosperity or stagnation

the stochastic convergence of co2 emissions a long memory approach in response to equity concerns surrounding the spatial distribution of co2 emissions and assumptions of co2 convergence within some climate models this paper examines the convergence of co2 emissions within the oecd over the period 1870 2004 more specifically using the local whittle estimator and its variants we examine whether relative per capita co2 emissions are fractionally integrated that is they are long memory processes which although highly persistant may revert to the mean trend in the long run our results suggest that co2 emissions within 13 out of 18 oecd countries are indeed fractionally integrated implying that they converge over time albeit slowly interestingly though the countries whose emissions are not found to be fractionally integrated are some of the highest polluters within the oecd at least in per capita terms our results have implications both for future studies of co2 convergence and for climate policy

corporate philanthropic disaster response and ownership type evidence from chinese firms response to the sichuan earthquake this article examines whether the charitable giving amount and likelihood of firm response to catastrophic events relate to firms ownership type using a unique dataset of listed firms in china where state ownership is still prevalent based on the data of chinese firms response to the 2008 sichuan earthquake we find that the extent of corporate contributions for state owned firms following this disaster is less than that for private firms state owned firms are also less likely to respond in this disaster compared to private firms the results also reveal that firm size profitability geography cash resource available and leverage affect firms philanthropic disaster response behavior in china

effects of demand side management on chinese household electricity consumption empirical findings from chinese household survey abstract china s residential electricity demand has grown rapidly over the last three decades and given the expected continued growth demand side management dsm can play an important role in reducing electricity demand by using micro level data collected from 1450 households in 27 provinces in the first ever china residential energy consumption survey in 2012 this study estimates the effects of three dsm measures empirically tiered household electricity pricing china energy label program and information feedback mechanisms we find these measures have contributed to moderating residential electricity demand growth but additional policy reform and tools are needed to increase their effectiveness and impact residential electricity demand is found to be price and income inelastic and tiered pricing alone may not be as effective in electricity conservation the statistically significant relationship between china energy label efficient refrigerators but not televisions and lowered residential electricity consumption reflect mixed program effectiveness lastly of the information feedback currently available through electricity bills payment frequency and meters only meter reader is estimated to be statistically significant important policy implications and recommendations for improving each of these three dsm measures to expand their impact on reducing residential electricity consumption are identified

measuring climatic impacts on energy consumption a review of the empirical literature abstract this paper reviews the literature on the relationship between climate and the energy sector in particular we primarily discuss empirical papers published in peer reviewed economics journals focusing on how climate affects energy expenditures and consumption climate will affect energy consumption by changing how consumers respond to short run weather shocks the intensive margin as well as how people will adapt in the long run the extensive margin along the intensive margin further research that uses household and firm level panel data of energy consumption may help identify how energy consumers around the world respond to weather shocks research on technology adoption e g air conditioners will further our understanding of the extensive margin adjustments and their costs we also note that most of the literature focuses on the residential sector similar studies are urgently needed for the industrial and commercial sectors

inventories rational expectations and the business cycle abstract the simplest macroeconomic models in which markets clear instantaneously and expectations are rational preclude the existence of business cycles that is of serially correlated deviations of output from trend this paper studies one of several mechanisms that can be used to make these so called new classical models produce business cycles the mechanism is the gradual adjustment of inventory stocks two macroeconomic models of inventory holdings are formulated both imply first that current output should be a decreasing function of the stock of inventories and second that inventories once perturbed from equilibrium levels should adjust only gradually these two features are then embedded into an otherwise standard macroeconomic model in which markets clear instantaneously and expectations are rational two principal conclusions are reached first disturbances such as unanticipated changes in money will set in motion serially correlated deviations of output from trend second if desired inventories are sensitive to the real interest rate then even fully anticipated changes in money can affect real variables

modeling household cooking fuel choice a panel multinomial logit approach we use three rounds of a rich panel data set to investigate the determinants of household cooking fuel choice and energy transition in urban ethiopia we observe that the expected energy transition did not occur following economic growth in ethiopia during the decade 20002009 regression results from a random eects multinomial logit model suggest that households economic status price of alternative energy sources and education are important determinants of fuel choice in urban ethiopia the results also suggest the use of multiple fuels or fuel stacking behavior by households we argue that policy makers could target these policy levers to encourage transition to cleaner energy sources

inflation and currency reform expectations of currency reform are explicitly incorporated into a rational expectations version of the cagan model of money market equilibrium where expectations about the timing of reform are lerived from a simple government rule for choosing when to reform the currency the model is estimated for three of the episodes of hyperinflation that cagan investigated and the results support the hypothesis that expectations of reform were responsible for the apparent instability of the demand for money during the final months of these hyperinflations

energy security electricity population and economic growth the case of a developing south asian resource rich economy economic growth and increasing population is driving the demand for energy in developing economies globally including south asia energy security concerns have heightened in these economies consequently raising questions in their ability to meet the key sustainable development goals this paper specifically examines the inter relationships between energy security captured through the channel of electricity availability based on electricity consumption and economic output in a multivariate framework incorporating the effects of capital formation and population for nepal a developing economy in south asia time series econometrics based on the ardl bounds test approach to cointegration and the toda yamamoto granger causality tests are used to examine and test for long run equilibrium relationships and causality between 1975 and 2014 we find that there is no long run relationship between electricity consumption and economic output for nepal distinguishing it at the regional level for south asia however a 1 increase in population increases electricity consumption by 4 16 in the long run we propose that large scale development of available renewable energy such as hydropower and improvements in energy efficiency will not only strengthen energy security in the long run but also will help tackling climate change in south asian developing economies like nepal

china s uneven progress against poverty while the incidence of extreme poverty in china fell dramatically over 1980 2001 progress was uneven over time and across provinces rural areas accounted for the bulk of the gains to the poor though migration to urban areas helped the pattern of growth mattered rural economic growth was far more important to national poverty reduction than urban economic growth agriculture played a far more important role than the secondary or tertiary sources of gross domestic product gdp rising inequality within the rural sector greatly slowed poverty reduction provinces starting with relatively high inequality saw slower progress against poverty due both to lower growth and a lower growth elasticity of poverty reduction taxation of farmers and inflation hurt the poor external trade had little short term impact

how to achieve full electrification lessons from latin america electricity coverage in latin america has increased substantially in recent decades rising from 50 of the population in 1970 to more than 95 in 2015 growth however slowed in the 1990s as many countries experienced difficulties in extending their networks further in particular to serve those living in isolated and rural areas in spite of this the process of electrification was not interrupted and at the beginning of the 2010s decade most countries in the region were able to provide access to electricity to almost all of their populations in this paper we examine the main strategies used in latin america to increase coverage and argue that only a combination of policy efforts has made it possible to achieve the current situation we also examine the remaining obstacles at policy and institutional levels to achieving full coverage

consumer valuations of energy efficiency investments the case of vietnam s air conditioner market abstract research on the energy efficiency gap in developing countries remains very scant in this study we apply the hedonic price model to investigate how vietnamese consumers value the energy efficiency of air conditioners acs we assume that the energy efficiency of acs in the vietnamese market improves to that of acs in the japanese market then we calculate the payback period by dividing the capital cost to improve the energy efficiency by the annual electricity cost saving we show that the initial investment cost can be recovered in a short time in addition we calculate the implicit discount rate to show how vietnamese consumers value energy efficiency investment we find that the implicit discount rate in vietnam s ac market is much higher than the rates found in studies on developed countries hence consumers in developing countries place much lower value on energy efficiency investment than consumers in developing countries even though purchasing energy efficient appliances offers opportunities to save substantial amounts

the demand for energy using assets among the world s rising middle classes we study household decisions to acquire energy using assets in the presence of rising incomes we develop a theoretical framework to characterize the effect of income growth on asset purchases when consumers face credit constraints we use large and plausibly exogenous shocks to household income generated by the conditional cash transfer program in mexico oportunidades to show that asset acquisition is nonlinear depends as predicted in the presence of credit constraints on the pace of income growth and both effects are economically large among beneficiaries our results may help explain important worldwide trends in the relationship between energy use and income growth

corporate philanthropic giving advertising intensity and industry competition level this article examines whether the likelihood and amount of firm charitable giving in response to catastrophic events are related to firm advertising intensity and whether industry competition level moderates this relationship using data on chinese firms philanthropic response to the 2008 sichuan earthquake we find that firm advertising intensity is positively associated with both the probability and the amount of corporate giving the results also indicate that this positive advertising intensity philanthropic giving relationship is stronger in competitive industries and firms in competitive industries are more likely to donate this study thus provides evidence suggesting that even in the wake of catastrophic events corporate philanthropic giving is strategic

how will energy demand develop in the developing world most of the medium run growth in energy demand is forecast to come from the developing world which consumed more total units of energy than the developed world in 2007 we argue that the main driver of the growth is likely to be increased incomes among the poor and near poor we document that as households come out of poverty and join the middle class they acquire appliances such as refrigerators and vehicles for the first time these new goods require energy to use and energy to manufacture the current forecasts for energy demand in the developing world may be understated because they do not accurately capture the dramatic increase in demand associated with poverty reduction

does ownership always matter abstract the objective of this paper is to explain and illustrate the complex relationship between ownership arrangements and enterprise performance it is commonly argued that efficiency will be lower in the public sector than the private because enterprise objectives deviate from maximisation of profits and because monitoring arrangements are inadequate due to the absence of capital market discipline we argue that public ownership does make the owner manager relationship more complicated because the chain of principals and agents is expanded objectives are politically determined and these are conveyed by a policy making administrative structure to management but the relative efficiency of public as against private ownership actually depends on the efficacy of capital market monitoring on the political and constitutional system on the information and sanctions available to policy makers and on the nature of the management market variation in these factors can help to explain the different natures and roles of the public sector between countries

per capita carbon dioxide emissions convergence or divergence understanding and considering the distribution of per capita carbon dioxide co2 emissions is important in designing international climate change proposals and incentives for participation i evaluate historic international emissions distributions and forecast future distributions to assess whether per capita emissions have been converging or will converge i find evidence of convergence among 23 member countries of the organisation for economic co operation and development oecd whereas emissions appear to be diverging for an 88 country global sample over 1960 2000 forecasts based on a markov chain transition matrix provide little evidence of future emissions convergence and indicate that emissions may diverge in the near term i also review the shortcomings of environmental kuznets curve regressions and structural models in characterizing future emissions distributions

pay as you go prepaid metering and electricity expenditures in south africa abstract high rates of customer default on utility bills present a barrier to the expansion of electricity access in the developing world pre paid electricity metering offers a technological solut

financing renewable energy in africa key challenge of the sustainable development goals abstract given the challenge of offering a development perspective to a rapidly growing population it might be tempting for africa to pursue a strategy of fueling growth with the cheapest source of energy available and take care of the environment later such an approach however would disregard the social cost of fossil fuels which the population would have to bear using the sustainable development goals as a benchmark for inclusive and sustainable growth we identify the synergy effects provided by renewable energy already substantial efforts of financing the additional cost of re are under way an analysis of possible leverage points available instruments and involved actors shows that there remains a large additional potential

exchange rate regimes in transition italy 1974 in order to explain the behavior of the lira during the operation of the italian two tier exchange market in 1973 74 we develop a model of exchange rate regimes in transition on the assumption that the market will set exchange rates so as to eliminate speculative profits at the time of transition the model indicates that expectations of a transition combined with uncertainty about the nature of the post transition regime can cause a jump in exchange rates at the moment of transition as well as volatile exchange rate movements prior to the transition the model suggests that the perceived temporariness of an exchange rate regime should be treated as a market fundamental

understanding china s urban pollution dynamics china s ongoing urban economic growth has sharply increased the population s per capita income lowered the count of people living below the poverty line and caused major environmental problems we survey the growing literature investigating the causes and consequences of china s urban pollution challenges we begin by studying how urban population and industrial growth impacts local pollution levels and greenhouse gas production as the urban population grows richer its demand for private transportation and electricity sharply increases such privately beneficial activity exacerbates urban pollution externalities facing these severe environmental challenges china s urbanites increasingly demand quality of life progress we survey the emerging literature investigating the demand for environmental progress in china progress in mitigating externalities hinges on whether the powerful central and local governments choose to address these issues we analyze the political economy of whether government officials have strong incentives to tackle lingering urban externalities we conclude by discussing future research opportunities at the intersection of environmental and urban economics jel o18 p25 p28 q53 r23 r41 r58

opaque financial reports r2 and crash risk abstract we investigate the relation between the transparency of financial statements and the distribution of stock returns using earnings management as a measure of opacity we find that opacity is associated with higher r2s indicating less revelation of firm specific information moreover opaque firms are more prone to stock price crashes consistent with the prediction of the jin and myers 2006 r2 around the world new theory and new tests journal of financial economics 79 257 292 model however these relations seem to have dissipated since the passage of the sarbanes oxley act suggesting that earnings management has decreased or that firms can hide less information in the new regulatory environment

energy intensity developments in 40 major economies structural change or technology improvement this study analyzes energy intensity trends and drivers in 40 major economies using the wiod database a novel harmonized and consistent dataset of input output table time series accompanied by environmental satellite data we use logarithmic mean divisia index decomposition to 1 study trends in global energy intensity between 1995 and 2007 2 attribute efficiency changes to either changes in technology or changes in the structure of the economy and 3 highlight sectoral and regional differences we first show that heterogeneity within each sector across countries is high these general trends within the sectors are dominated by large economies first and foremost the united states in most cases heterogeneity is lower within each country across the different sectors regarding changes of energy intensity at the country level improvements between 1995 and 2007 are largely attributable to technological change while structural change is less important in most countries notable exceptions are japan the united states australia taiwan mexico and brazil where a change in the industry mix was the main driver behind the observed energy intensity reduction

enterprise inequality and economic development we characterize an equilibrium development process driven by the interaction of the distribution of wealth with credit constraints and the distribution of entrepreneurial skills when efficient entrepreneurs are relatively abundant a traditional development process emerges in which the evolution of macroeconomic variables accord with empirical regularities and income inequality traces out a kuznets curve if instead efficient entrepreneurs are relatively scarce the model generates long run distributional cycles driven by the endogenous interaction between credit constraints entrepreneurial efficiency and equilibrium wages

corporate reputation and philanthropy an empirical analysis this paper analyzes the determinants of corporate reputation within a sample of large uk companies drawn from a diverse range of industries we pay particular attention to the role that philanthropic expenditures and policies may play in shaping the perceptions of companies among their stakeholders our findings highlight that companies which make higher levels of philanthropic expenditures have better reputations and that this effect varies significantly across industries given that reputational indices tend to reflect the financial performance of organizations above other factors fryxell g e and j wang 1994 journal of management 20 1 14 and that elements of the literature emphasise that discretionary aspects of social responsibility including corporate donations may not be in the financial interests of organizations e g friedman m 1970 the social responsibility of business is to increase its profits new york times magazine september 13 this is a significant finding it suggests that philanthropic expenditures may play a significant role in stakeholder management and may in particular lead to stakeholders holding more positive impressions of philanthropic corporations

global changes in residential energy consumption abstract the residential energy sector is crucial to achieving co2 emission reductions as it has an important energy saving potential and its environmental controls are difficult to displace to other countries using the latest available data this short paper provides a concise analysis of residential energy consumption trends for the period 1993 2013 in a double perspective by main world regions and by per capita gross national income levels in 2013 residential energy has been divided into three types non renewable direct renewable and indirect renewable annual rates of change energy intensity energy in per capita terms and some ratios have been analyzed notable regional differences and trends were observed in the studied variables therefore different energy policies are recommended for the regions eastern and southern asian countries the eu15 and other developed countries are the regions which should make the greatest effort to reduce residential energy consumption the promotion of direct and indirect renewable energies is recommended

gold monetization and gold discipline gold and its price have emerged as frequent topics of both academic and government debate 2 public attention focused on the gold market since gold s price began fluctuating violently in 1980 and 1981 has turned to gold as a possible means of removing some discretion inherent in the current fiat money system since lack of adherence to monetary rules can lead to problems of dynamic policy inconsistency academic economists have begun seriously to reconsider monetary standards based either on gold or on some other commodity as politically feasible methods of establishing rules 3

returns to capital in microenterprises evidence from a field experiment small and informal firms account for a large share of employment in developing countries the rapid expansion of microfinance services is based on the belief that these firms have productive investment opportunities and can enjoy high returns to capital if given the opportunity however measuring the return to capital is complicated by unobserved factors such as entrepreneurial ability and demand shocks which are likely to be correlated with capital stock the authors use a randomized experiment to overcome this problem and to measure the return to capital for the average microenterprise in their sample regardless of whether they apply for credit they accomplish this by providing cash and equipment grants to small firms in sri lanka and measuring the increase in profits arising from this exogenous positive shock to capital stock after controlling for possible spillover effects the authors find the average real return to capital to be 5 7 percent a month substantially higher than the market interest rate they then examine the heterogeneity of treatment effects to explore whether missing credit markets or missing insurance markets are the most likely cause of the high returns returns are found to vary with entrepreneurial ability and with measures of other sources of cash within the household but not to vary with risk aversion or uncertainty

are co2 emission levels converging among industrial countries time paths of carbon dioxide emissions intwenty one industrial countries are examinedfrom 1960 1997 to test for stochastic andconditional convergence both panel unit roottests and cross section regressions areperformed overall we find significantevidence that co2 emissions haveconverged

the effects of rural electrification on employment new evidence from south africa this paper estimates the impact of electrification on employment growth by analyzing south africa s mass roll out of electricity to rural households using several new data sources and two different identification strategies an instrumental variables strategy and a fixed effects approach i find that electrification significantly raises female employment within five years this new infrastructure appears to increase hours of work for men and women while reducing female wages and increasing male earnings several pieces of evidence suggest that household electrification raises employment by releasing women from home production and enabling microenterprises migration behavior may also be affected jel h54 l94

information strategies for energy conservation a field experiment in india abstract little is known about the effectiveness of information strategies on energy conservation in developing countries in this study we conduct a field experiment in an apartment complex in india to test how information about electricity usage impacts the electricity consumption of urban middle class households our results based on fifteen minute electricity readings over an academic year show that non monetary messages that framed electricity consumption in terms of environmental and health impacts were more effective than messages emphasizing the monetary savings of reducing electricity consumption households in the environmental health group accessed the online energy monitoring dashboard more frequently and reduced their electricity usage by 18 4 relative to the control group households in the monetary group did not significantly alter their usage these results about revealed preferences are contrasted with stated preferences disclosed in a survey of urban indians who describe money not health as the main motivation for energy conservation our findings have important implications for the development non monetary strategies for energy conservation in developing countries

social responsiveness profitability and catastrophic events evidence on the corporate philanthropic response to 9 11 in this study we seek to determine whether catastrophic events lead to corporate charitable giving unrelated to levels of firm profitability we examine the issue relative to the corporate philanthropic response to the 9 11 terrorist attacks of 2001 based on a sample of 489 fortune 500 companies we find that differences in the extent of corporate contributions following 9 11 are positively and significantly associated with differences in firms profitability further while the degree of connection to the catastrophic event led to higher levels of giving in comparison to the contributions of less connected firms differences in the extent of philanthropy are still related to short term profitability for the more connected firms the study thus provides evidence suggesting that even in the wake of catastrophic events corporate philanthropic giving is constrained by economic concerns

a theory of trickle down growth and development this paper develops a model of growth and income inequalities in the presence of imperfect capital markets and it analyses the trickle down effect of capital accumulation moral hazard with limited wealth constraints on the part of the borrowers is the source of both capital market imperfections and the emergence of persistent income inequalities three main conclusions are obtained from this model first when the rate of capital accumulation is sufficiently high the economy converges to a unique invariant wealth distribution second even though the trickle down mechanism can lead to a unique steady state distribution under laissez faire there is room for government intervention in particular redistribution of wealth from rich lenders to poor and middle class borrowers improves the production efficiency of the economy both because it brings about greater equality of opportunity and also because it accelerates the trickle down process third the process of capital accumulation initially has the effect of widening inequalities but in later stages it reduces them in other words this model can generate a kuznets curve

corporate philanthropy and stock price crash risk evidence from china how to mitigate stock price crash risk has become a focus in the theoretical and practical fields building on the work of kim et al j bank finance 43 1 13 2014b this paper investigates the relation between corporate philanthropy and crash risk under the unique chinese institutional background the results show that both state ownership and the 2005 split share reform attenuate the mitigating effect of corporate philanthropy on crash risk specifically the negative relation between corporate philanthropy and crash risk is less pronounced for state owned enterprises than for non state owned enterprises and it is also less pronounced after firms accomplish the split share reform further this effect is more pronounced for firms with greater financial risks and poorer performance our paper contributes to the growing literature on the determinants of stock price crash risk and the economic consequences of corporate philanthropy it also offers useful guidance to firms that are seeking to reduce stock price crash risk in emerging markets

a credible approach for measuring inframarginal participation in energy efficiency programs abstract economists have long argued that many recipients of energy efficiency subsidies may be non additional getting paid to do what they would have done anyway demonstrating this empirically has been difficult however because of endogeneity concerns and other challenges in this paper we use a regression discontinuity analysis to examine participation in a large scale residential energy efficiency program comparing behavior just on either side of several eligibility thresholds we find that program participation increases with larger subsidy amounts but that most households would have participated even with much lower subsidy amounts the large fraction of inframarginal participants means that the larger subsidy amounts are almost certainly not cost effective moreover the results imply that about half of all participants would have adopted the energy efficient technology even with no subsidy whatsoever

moving up the energy ladder the effect of an increase in economic well being on the fuel consumption choices of the poor in india abstract rising household wealth may potentially impact both total fuel consumption and fuel type composition resulting in significant health and environmental implications using data from a field experiment in india we explore the effects of a transfer program that provided poor rural households with greater levels of assets and cash total fuel consumption rose as a result of the transfers households shifted from using electricity rather than kerosene as their primary form of light but total kerosene consumption also rose in contrast we did not observe a shift to cleaner cooking fuels