a profile of new venture success and failure in an emerging industry abstract this study examined three types of factors 1 the characteristics of the lead entrepreneur 2 startup processes undertaken during the founding of the firm and 3 firm behaviors after start up including management practices and strategic behaviors associated with new venture success and failure the research involved a field study of 26 small young firms 13 successful and 13 less successful or failed each engaged in the distribution of fresh juices in eight metropolitan centers about 30 of the total market in the united states both quantitative and qualitative data were collected through field work at each firm location a statistical analysis of data collected in a structured questionnaire was the primary method for testing the factors case studies of all of the firms were developed to provide qualitative support for the quantitative findings of the study results from these analyses indicated significant differences between successful and unsuccessful firms in all three categories lead entrepreneurs in successful firms were more likely to have been raised by entrepreneurial parents have had a broader business and more prior startup experience and believed they had less control of their success in business than unsuccessful entrepreneurs successful entrepreneurs seek to reduce risk in their businesses they work long hours have a personal investment in the firm and are good communicators successful firms were those initiated with ambitious goals lead entrepreneurs had a clear broad business idea which provided the adaptive torque required to overcome adversity confrontation and often a troubled financial condition effective startup or purchase required broad planning efforts that considered all aspects of the industry and firm successful firms spent more time planning 237 hours than unsuccessful firms 85 hours the use of outside professionals and advisors for help in solving specific problems during startup was important for success as well as the advice and information provided by other industry participants particularly customers and suppliers most ventures did not have written business plans nearly all purchased firms failed buyers of competitively troubled firms were negatively displaced generally unemployed managers who lacked broad management experience and while often well educated had no prior experience in purchasing a business successful firms were found to be more flexible participative and adaptive organizations these firms had employees who could perform the work duties of others and were likely to be managed in a way that provided these workers with the flexibility to modify their jobs to adapt to changing industry and organizational conditions lead entrepreneurs of successful firms were likely to spend more time communicating with partners customers suppliers and employees than the lead entrepreneurs of unsuccessful firms successful firms sought to become larger firms and embarked upon sales to broad sectors of the market successful firms achieved high market shares with market shares came higher financial returns less successful firms were restricted to narrow market sectors consisting of smaller customers and those more difficult to service while customer service remained an important concern the commodity nature of fresh juices failed to support differentiation and the narrowly focused firm was typified by high product costs and unprofitable operations

women business owners and terms of credit some empirical findings of the canadian experience abstract most previous studies of this topic have followed a methodology of selecting a sample of women business owners and then questioning them on their experience with their own business es although financing frequently is noted as a major problem previous studies suffer from the absence of a control group a corresponding group of male business owners with whom to compare experiences furthermore previous studies have tended to ask the respondent if she believes that she was treated any differently because she was a woman a leading question which could potentially bias the conclusions previous work reveals a pervasive perception that there is discrimination by bankers against women business owners a conclusion based on a widespread but subjective perception by some women owners however there also appears to be a lack of real statistical evidence moreover it is not clear that personal feelings of apparent reluctance displayed by some bankers carry over to professional judgements and to systematically different terms of credit one of the contributions of this paper is that a comparison of the actual experiences of both female and male business owners in their relationship with financial institutions are compared over a fixed period of time every attempt has been made to carry out these comparisons in a rigorous statistical manner another contribution arises because the findings to be described here are based on a broad and comprehensive study of the small business banking relationship and did not exclusively focus on the male female issues thus any bias that could have occurred in other studies by focusing on women business owner problems is likely to be minimized the findings described in this study are based on a total of 3 217 business principals responses to a national survey the number of women business owners in the sample was 153 in aggregate it was found that the financing conditions for women principals are less favorable than those for male business owners however it was also found that female owned firms tend to be both younger and smaller than male owned firms in the sample moreover woman business owners were more likely to be proprietors than their male counterparts and were less likely to be incorporated businesses in addition a statistically significant tendency for businesses owned by women to be characterized by lower rates of sales growth than those owned by men was also identified these differences between patterns of small business ownership between men and women allow alternative explanations of what might at first seem to be an apparent gender bias in order to separate the effects of ownership patterns from potential gender bias it was necessary to focus on the effect of the gender of the owners by holding constant those factors which provide alternative explanations of the aggregate results this was accomplished by creating benchmark subsamples of male respondents by matching women respondents with male respondents on the basis of age size industry growth rate and organization form of the businesses when this was done one area was identified in which statistically significant gender related differences remained that of collateral requirements for a line of credit apparent gender related differences in the other aspects of banking practices rates of loan approvals cosignature requirements requirements for loan collateral and interest rates on loans and lines of credit can be accounted for by the differences in the characteristics of male and female owned businesses the difference in the collateral required of men and women owners is an important difference collateral requirements were identified as a major concern by a high proportion of all survey respondents in fact collateral requirements appear to be the major banking related concern of small businesses the line of credit is viewed to be essential to growth and survival yet a lower proportion of women owners than men owners report having a line of credit thus it seems that development of the banking relationship including the establishment of a line of credit has proven more difficult for women than for men

where are all the self employed women push and pull factors influencing female labor market decisions previous research focuses on factors that influence self employment participation in part because entrepreneurship has been associated with economic growth this literature has tended to focus only on men or the comparison of women to men while ignoring substantial heterogeneity in employment decisions among women by investigating the impact of individual household and local economic and cultural characteristics on the labor market outcomes of different groups of women we get a more comprehensive picture of their self employment decision recognizing self employment as one of multiple labor market choices we use multinomial logit and two confidential geocoded micro level datasets to study women s career choices in urban areas we find that the effects of various push and pull factors differ between married and unmarried women in particular more progressive gender attitudes pull married women into self employment while household burdens associated with children push them into self employment for unmarried women the local business climate and individual characteristics have the strongest influence in both cases the motivations for women are quite different than men

explicit interest and demand deposit service charges comment in an interesting recent paper merris 1985 presented a modification of my 1979 model of the effect of a binding demand deposit interest ceiling upon a bank s choice of the level of the service charge per check the model assumes bank profit maximization under certaintys with a perfectly competitive loan market but finite elasticities of consumer demand for savings accounts and demand deposits my earlier version assumed that the consumer determined ratio of checks written n to demand deposit balances d is an ad hoc linear function of the exogenous demand deposit interest rate rd and the service charge per check b that model implied that the bank s response to a change in the rate ceiling db drd is ambiguous in sign regardless of whether the savings account rate rs is fixed or flexible in contrast merris considers two alternative versions of the model in the first n rather than n d is assumed in ad hoc fashion to be linear in rs rd and b this feature results in db drd being unambiguously positive in the case of a fixed rs though still ambiguous in the case of a flexible rs his second and more interesting version attempts to establish a sound grounding in the preexisting theory of the transactions demand for money by applying the barro santomero b s 1972 model of the demands for savings accounts demand deposits and currency which has implications for the number of account transactions he uses nonlinear functions for the quantities of savings accounts s and demand deposits d as well as for the number of transactions merris asserts that the results here are the same as for his linear model db drd is unambiguously positive if rs is exogenously fixed though still ambiguous if rs is flexible section 2 of this comment points out two mistakes in merris s analysis of the model with consumer theoretic underpinnings either of which is sufficient to invalidate his analysis and results then section 3 shows that when these mistakes are corrected the ambiguity in my original paper regarding the sign of db drd is restored except in certain special cases

on real and sticky price theories of the business cycle after presenting some facts about the growth of government in western industrialized countries possible causes of this development are analyzed from a public choice perspective next some empirically tested theories which seek to explain this growth are discussed finally possible consequences for efficiency and individual liberty are examined it is shown that both the number and size of interest groups age of democracy as stated by mancur olson 1982 and the increasing share of government expenditure in gdp seem to exert a negative influence on the growth rate of gdp copyright 1986 by ohio state university press

one or more growth processes evidence from new italian firms the paper proposes a descriptive model of firm growth which assumes that learning processes are conditional on existing competencies of the firm and its founders we suggest the idea that firms who do not grow under all realizations of potentially profitable opportunities can be considered as zero learning in order to explain why some firms are zero learning and how these are different from growing ones we put forward and discuss the hypothesis that both start up size and founders pre entry history affect the firm s ability to adjust to market using a sample of 3 905 italian firms born in 1999 and 2000 we find that individual competencies influence start up size but not directly growth we also find a significant nonlinear relationship between start up size and growth implying that firms which were born smaller than a given size grow significantly less the results support the hypothesis that multiple and heterogeneous growth processes coexist and that the growth process of microfirms below a given organizational threshold may be structurally different in the long run from that of firms starting up above that threshold

inflation and optimal price adjustment under monopolistic competition this paper considers a model of a monopolistically competitive industry with a large number of firms producing imperfect substitutes there is an exogenous inflation rate and each firm must pay a fixed cost every time it adjusts its nominal price it is shown that under quite general conditions there exists a continuum of periodic and synchronized equilibria each one associated with a different frequency of price adjustment consequently the same frequency of price adjustment is compatible with a full range of inflation rates copyright 1992 by the london school of economics and political science

new firms societal contribution versus survival potential abstract new business firms are now considered a major source of new jobs economic growth technical innovation and economic flexibility they may provide a major strategic advantage for the united states in world competition a more complete precise understanding of the dynamics of new firm development their societal contributions and factors affecting their survival has considerable policy and managerial significance a study of new firm contributions and survival was completed to determine whether the same factors would account for both they do not the research began with a substantial body of descriptive information on 551 new firms initiated in minnesota between 1978 and 1984 the initial data were collected in the summer of 1984 a one year follow up was completed in 1985 to determine new firm survival the sample was representative of all major industry sectors and all regions of the state about 60 were located in the minneapolis st paul urban area attempts to predict current 1984 contributions indicated that age was not a significant factor older new firms did not contribute more than younger new firms the developmental pattern primarily the average annual growth rate was highly related to sales or jobs provided in 1984 next most significant was the industry of the new firm manufacturing distributive services and business producer service new firms provided more significant contributions the one year follow up was able to determine the survival status of 548 of the 551 firms slightly less than 10 48 had not survived major factors related to survival appeared to be age high death rates at 2 3 years and attention to financial matters

menu costs and the neutrality of money a model of endogenous price adjustment under money growth is presented firms follow s s pricing policies and price revisions are imperfectly synchronized in the aggregate price stickiness disappears and money is neutral the connection between firm price adjustment and relative price variability in the presence of monetary growth is also investigated the results contrast with those obtained in models with exogenous fixed timing of price adjustment

who are china s entrepreneurs it has been increasingly recognized that entrepreneurship plays a crucial role in successful economies the schumpeterian approach to growth aghion and howitt 1997 advances the view that entrepreneurial dynamism is the key to innovation and growth a growing body of policy work emphasizes the important role of entrepreneurs in economic development world bank 2003 yet research on entrepreneurship in economics is rather limited there are three distinct perspectives on entrepreneurship in social sciences the first perspective focuses on the role of economic political and legal institutions in fostering or restricting entrepreneurship institutional problems are seen in credit constraints that make it impossible to borrow and set up businesses insecurity of property rights that provides insufficient incentives for entrepreneurs and regulatory burdens that make setting up new enterprises difficult the second perspective focuses on the sociological variables shaping entrepreneurship for example sociologists study the role of values and social networks in promoting or discouraging entrepreneurial activities social networks may work through a variety of channels such as family friends or ethnic groups the third perspective emphasizes individual characteristics of entrepreneurs psychologists have studied the traits associated with entrepreneurship such as a personal need for achievement belief in the effect of personal effort on outcomes attitudes towards risk and individual self confidence although there are studies on each perspective little work looks at each of these factors taking the other into account this is precisely what we do in this paper using a new data set of chinese entrepreneurs and a matching sample of non entrepreneurs with similar age gender and educational characteristics the survey covers both entrepreneurs and non entrepreneurs in order to understand how they differ in individual characteristics family background social networks values and beliefs and perceptions of the institutional environment the data further allow us to separate chinese entrepreneurs into two groups by necessity and by opportunity and to differentiate non entrepreneurs in three groups those who never thought to be entrepreneurs those who thought but never became entrepreneurs and those who became entrepreneurs but eventually failed this is a richer data set than a previous survey in russia

start up ventures towards the prediction of initial success abstract there are numerous studies on new product activities that try to measure the relative impact of different factors on success or failure the research on new ventures is less comprehensive and often only a few items are considered this article reports on the early results from a research program that is combining the research on both new products and new ventures to come up with a more comprehensive evaluation of relative success factors the literature was reviewed to determine the most significant factors found in prior work a 68 item questionnaire was developed and used with the chief executives of 24 new technical ventures all associated with the rpi incubator or technology park ten of the 17 factors investigated yielded reliable measurements which were then subjected to siepwise regression analysis to determine the relative impact of each factor on the two success measurements used initial quantified success and initial subjective success it should be recognized that initial success does not necessarily predict ultimate success an area to be investigated in continuing studies the two success measurements were not correlated and the correlations with the independent variables were therefore different initial quantified success showed a strong negative correlation with market attractiveness companies entering smaller or more slowly growing markets were doing better than those in the larger faster growing markets initial quantified success was positively correlated with the level of entrepreneurial characteristics exhibited by the leader s these were the only two variables exhibiting significant relationships with quantified success initial subjective success was negatively correlated with market dynamism rather than market attractiveness negative correlation was also measured with both r d intensity and the organic nature of the firm this latter finding is contrary to much of the new product literature which emphasizes the need for individual independence and initiative such may be the case with new products or ventures within large organizations but in small independent ventures the entrepreneur should provide strong control and guidance a positive correlation was observed with the entrepreneurial characteristics and also with the degree of match between the firm s experience and the new business requirements no significant correlation was observed with 1 product or service uniqueness 2 gross margin or 3 strategic aggressiveness the lack of correlation with these variables is surprising but it may be due to the small size of the sample the research confirmed two items that are understood by most scholars and experienced practitioners the importance of the entrepreneur and the importance of pursuing new ventures that match the technical and market experience of the team the less obvious results are those that suggest that success is favored by strong review and control by the entrepreneur rather than the development of employee initiative and independence also the initial success appears to be coming more readily to firms in more slowly growing or less dynamic markets it will take an expanded sample and a longer time horizon to determine if these initial trends continue to ultimate success

self employment in the eu quality work precarious work or both this paper estimates the differences in earnings between self employed and employees in the eu using the european union statistics on income and living conditions data and quantile regression methods it finds that in both eastern and western europe self employment pays more than regular employment only for workers at the top of the earnings distribution and considerably less than regular employment for those below the median these differences are smaller in eastern europe reflecting lower protection of regular employees this pattern is not driven by low skilled workers and it can be observed in both high skilled and low skilled occupations results are robust to accounting for differences in taxation hours worked and individual unobserved characteristics the evidence provided points to the lack of protective rights for the self employed and low earnings at the beginning of the self employment spells as the main explanations for lower earnings for the majority of self employed

a near rational model of the business cycle with wage and price inertia this paper presents a model in which insignificantly suboptimal behavior causes aggregate demand shocks to have significant real effects the individual loss to agents with inertial price wage behavior is second order in terms of the parameter describing the shock while the effect on real economic variables is first order thus significant changes in business activity can be generated by anticipated money supply changes provided that some agents are willing to engage in nonmaximizing behavior which results in small losses

the evolution of debt policies new evidence from business startups abstract we investigate the evolution of entrepreneurial firms debt policies over a period of 15 years after startup considering leverage debt specialization debt maturity and debt granularity our analysis is based on a unique sample covering all non financial belgian firms founded between 1996 and 1998 we find that the debt policy of entrepreneurial firms is remarkably stable over time the debt policy in the initial year of operation is a very important determinant of future debt policies even after controlling for traditional contemporaneous determinants the founder ceo has an important impact on the stability of debt policies the influence of initial debt policies on future debt policies is significantly reduced when the founder ceo is replaced or when s he dies combined our findings support imprinting theory

self employment differentials among foreign born stem and non stem workers abstract this paper uses the american community survey to examine the previously overlooked fact that foreign stem science technology engineering and mathematics graduates have much lower self employment rates than their non stem counterparts with an unconditional difference of 3 3 percentage points we find empirical support for differing earnings opportunities as a partial explanation for this self employment gap high wages in stem paid employment combined with reduced earnings in self employment make self employment less desirable for stem graduates high self employment rates among other foreign born workers partially reflect weak paid employment opportunities public policy should encourage efficient use of worker skills rather than low value business venture creation

monopolistic competition and the effects of aggregate demand how important is monopolistic competition to an understanding of the effects of aggregate demand on output we ask the question at three levels can monopolistic competition by itself explain why aggregate demand movements affect output can it together with other imperfections generate effects of aggregate demand in a way that perfect competition cannot if so can it give an accurate account of the response of the economy to aggregate demand movements the answers are no yes and yes

entrepreneurship and the initial size of firms abstract it is clear that entrepreneurs and their firms can vary widely nevertheless most of the research to date on entrepreneurship has examined central tendencies with relatively little attention devoted to entrepreneurial diversity this study examines one of the most distinguishing characteristics of young firms initial size the focus is whether smaller start ups differ from larger ones in the backgrounds of the entrepreneurs their processes of starting or the subsequent patterns of development in this longitudinal study an initial sample of 1903 young firms was examined to determine differences in characteristics of the entrepreneurs and in their processes of starting one year later data were obtained from 742 of these firms permitting analysis of how initial firm size was related to subsequent difficulties encountered and changes made as well as to performance as expected along almost every dimension these starting larger firms had the backgrounds that would seem to be necessary for the assembly of substantial resources they tended to have more education more management experience and goals that were more managerial in nature they also were more likely to have partners women were associated more often with smaller ventures but for this sample there were no differences in the representation of minorities between the smaller and larger start ups those starting larger ventures tended to rely more upon external investors and to start ventures more closely linked to their previous jobs both groups of entrepreneurs sought information from a number of sources but those founding larger ventures utilized professional advisors more whereas those starting smaller ventures utilized informal sources in the year after the first questionnaire differences between the two groups were less marked than expected both groups of surviving firms reported low levels of serious problems with the smaller ventures somewhat surprisingly reporting serious problems less often there were not many differences in changes made except that smaller ventures were more likely to lose partners and larger ventures were more likely to add branches or locations both groups reported high rates of mean growth in sales the smaller ventures with their small initial bases showed larger percentage increases smaller ventures also showed higher percentage increases in employment and surprisingly a greater increase in the absolute number of employees somewhat more of the smaller ventures had discontinued both groups included many firms that grew substantially and others that scaled back demonstrating the fluidity and experimentation characteristic of young firms for entrepreneurs and their advisors for public policy makers and for researchers any progress in understanding entrepreneurial processes should in the long run enhance venture performance the patterns observed here indicate that firms of different initial size tend to be associated with particular entrepreneurial characteristics processes of formation and subsequent patterns of development this diversity should be recognized in the development of assistance programs and university courses as well as in the interpretation of previous research for public policy makers the growth of these firms both small and large indicates the potential of economic contributions from entrepreneur ship further the growth of the smaller start ups suggests that even those ventures that appear to have few resources and modest potential can in the aggregate contribute substantially to the economy

initial human and financial capital as predictors of new venture performance abstract this research seeks to predict the performance of new ventures based on factors that can be observed at the time of start up indicators of initial human and financial capital are considered to determine how they bear upon the probability of three possible performance outcomes 1 failure 2 marginal survival or 3 high growth four categories of initial human and financial capital are examined general human capital represented here by the entrepreneur s education gender and race may reflect the extent to which the entrepreneur has had the opportunity to develop relevant skills and contacts management know how embodied in the entrepreneur or available through advisors or partners reflects management specific skills and knowledge without regard to the kind of business industry specific know how reflects specific experience in similar businesses financial capital is one of the most visible resources it can create a buffer against random shocks and allow the pursuit of more capital intensive strategies which are better protected from imitation the study utilizes a longitudinal study of 1053 new ventures representative of all industry sectors and geographical regions the research departs from most previous studies in considering different measures of performance marginal survival and growth and in considering explicitly whether the factors contributing to marginal survival differ from those contributing to high growth it was found that measures of general human capital influenced both survival and growth except for gender with women owned ventures being less likely to grow but just as likely to survive management know how variables had more limited impact having parents who had owned a business contributed to marginal survival but not to growth number of partners contributed to growth but not to survival management level prior employment in non profit organizations or not having been in the labor force and the use of professional advisors did not have significant effects industry specific know how contributed to both survival and growth amount of initial financial capital also contributed to both the usefulness of the model is enhanced by the fact that the resource variables considered are relatively easy to assess and all can be considered at the time of start up although some of the human capital variables cannot easily be changed the benefits or risks associated with each can be assessed in some cases potential problems can be identified so that plans can be modified to improve prospects overall it appears that using a model based upon the initial human and financial capital of the venture it is possible to predict the performance of new ventures with some degree of confidence

patterns of ethnic self employment in time and space evidence from british census microdata the over representation of certain ethnic minority and immigrant groups in self employment is in common with other developed countries a notable feature of the uk labour market compared to the substantial growth in self employment in the 1980s the 1990s saw overall self employment rates plateau despite this some minority groups experienced continued growth whilst others particularly chinese and indian males and pakistani bangladeshi and chinese females saw their self employment rates decline in this paper we use microdata samples from the 1991 and 2001 censuses to investigate the dynamic and spatial patterns of ethnic entrepreneurship using decomposition methods we find that for males from the asian groups changes in observable characteristics associated with an increasing proportion of second generation individuals explain much of the decline in self employment this which is also true of chinese females reflects in part the age structure and educational experiences of the second generation the dynamics of black male and pakistani bangladeshi male and female entrepreneurship are less easy to explain we also find that while there is no evidence of self employment being an enclave phenomenon local economic conditions do affect rates of entrepreneurship for some groups notably pakistanis and bangladeshis

small menu costs and large business cycles a macroeconomic model of monopoly i introduction the conflict between modern neoclassical and traditional keynesian theories of the business cycle centers upon the pricing mechanism in neoclassical models prices are fully flexible they represent the continuous optimization of economic agents and the continuous intersection of supply and demand in keynesian models prices are often assumed to be sticky they do not necessarily equilibrate all markets at all times one of the reasons for the resurgence of the equilibrium approach to macroeconomics has been the absence of a theoretical underpinning for this keynesian price stickiness this note shows that sticky prices can be both privately efficient and socially inefficient the business cycle results from the suboptimal adjustment of prices in response to a demand shock to the extent that policy can stabilize aggregate demand it can mitigate the social loss due to this suboptimal adjustment in some keynesian models prices are simply exogenously fixed 2 in others agents must set their prices in advance of the transaction date the act of altering a posted price is certainly costly these costs include such items as printing new catalogs and informing salesmen of the new price yet these menu costs are small and therefore generally perceived as providing only a weak foundation for these fixed price models however this inference is flawed small menu costs can cause large welfare losses the claim that price adjustment costs are small does not rebut the claim that they are central to understanding economic fluctuations

who are russia s entrepreneurs social scientists studying entrepreneurship have emphasized three distinct sets of variables the institutional environment sociological variables and personal and psychological characteristics we are conducting surveys in five large developing and transition economies to better understand entrepreneurship in this short paper using over 2 000 interviews from a pilot study in russia we find evidence that the three sets of variables matter perceptions of the local institutional environment social network effects and individual characteristics are all important in determining entrepreneurial behavior jel m13 o12 p12

financial innovation price smoothing and monetary policy financial innovation price smoothing and monetary policy i introduction in a monetary economy the volume of nominal transactions fluctuates with the level of economic activity empirical evidence suggests that the supply of nominal transaction assets such as currency and bank deposits also fluctuates with the level of economic activity some researchers have attributed these observations to the phenomenon of money endogeneity 1 one explanation for this endogenous supply response is a systematic monetary policy as described by black 1972 under which the central bank passively adjusts the money supply to accommodate the changes in money demand alternatively king and plosser 1984 and saving 1979 stress the role of the private banking system in producing this endogenous response they argue that exogenous changes in real activity elicit sympathetic changes in the demand for transaction services that may be partially or fully accommodated by the banking system through its supply of inside money in either case this endogenous supply response tends to mitigate the price adjustment that accompanies a real supply shock 2 in the long run however the price level is ultimately determined by the central bank in the market for the nominal quantity that it controls e g currency bank reserves when deposit accounts are subject to reserve requirements or the monetary base 3 this suggests that if the private banking system does not fully accommodate the real shock and if the shock exhibits a well defined persistence then endogenous price adjustments that are fully anticipated may be further damped by a passive supply response by the central bank in addition if price expectations affect real interest rates then current period price level smoothing via a passive monetary policy may also be possible 4 in addition to employing transaction assets currency and checkable bank deposit accounts to meet their transaction requirements agents may purchase non deposit transaction services directly for firms these services include the tools available to the modern corporate cash manager such as lockbox collection systems repurchase agreements and zero balance accounts in the household sector they take the form of atms debit and credit cards and overdraft privilages on checkable accounts among others these non deposit transaction services represent an increasingly important medium of exchange their supply by the banking system is not directly controlled by the central bank and also offers another avenue by which the economy may respond endogenously to fluctuating transaction requirements associated with real shocks thereby further mitigating the price adjustment 5 the production of non deposit transaction services is subject to technology shocks in the form of financial innovations these innovations alter the economy wide demand for currency and checkable bank deposit accounts and prices adjust as with the introduction of new technology into the production of goods financial innovations are not fully adopted immediately due to the fixed costs of adjusting individual cash management practices but are instead assimilated over time this implies that their effects on transaction asset demands persist if the rate of adoption has a forecastable component the central bank can smooth expected prices by passively accommodating these innovations as with aggregate productivity shocks this persistence may also enable the central bank to damp the disturbances to the current period price level that these innovations create through the impact of price expectations on real interest rates this paper examines a non deposit transaction services market in a model economy that is developed in section ii it has the following features transactors can meet their transaction requirements by allocating wealth to currency or to bank deposit accounts that pay a market determined interest rate or by purchasing non deposit transaction services directly at a market determined price

do small menu costs explain large business cycles abstract the menu cost approach to business cycle theory is amended for the costs of adjusting factor demand this modification drastically reduces the size of the social externality commonly associated with small menu costs the existence of menu or other small adjustment costs is hence not likely to have explanatory power for large scale economic fluctuations