understanding heterogeneous preferences in random utility models a latent class approach a finite mixture approach toconditional logit models is developed in whichlatent classes are used to promoteunderstanding of systematic heterogeneity the model is applied to wilderness recreationin which a branded choice experiment involvingchoice of one park from a demand system wasadministered to a sample of recreationists the basis of membership in the classes orsegments in the sample involved attitudinalmeasures of motivations for taking a trip aswell as their stated preferences overwilderness park attributes the econometricanalysis suggested that four classes of peopleexist in the sample using the model toexamine welfare measures of some hypotheticalpolicy changes identified markedly differentwelfare effects than the standard singlesegment model and provided insight into thedifferential impact of alternative policies

qualitative and quantitative evidence on the true local welfare costs of forest conservation in madagascar are discrete choice experiments a valid ex ante tool summary protected areas may impose local welfare costs through the enforcement of use restrictions predicting their welfare impacts before their establishment could help with the design of compensation schemes discrete choice experiments dces are increasingly used for ex ante evaluations but their validity is largely untested in low income settings using a case study of a new redd reducing emissions from deforestation and forest degradation project in eastern madagascar we explore the validity of dces in two ways i whether the estimates of welfare costs derived from dce are affected by respondents prior experience of conservation ii whether dce results have high theoretical and content validity we surveyed households who have varying degrees of experience of restrictions to swidden agriculture we also qualitatively debriefed a sub sample of respondents to better understand their thought processes latent class analysis shows that dce outcomes vary with conservation experience households more experienced with forest protection are less willing to trade off rights to clear forest for swidden agriculture with any compensatory interventions whereas less experienced households highly favor support for alternative agricultural techniques and a secure right to clear one hectare of forest although the results show apparent non attendance to some attributes e g cash payments qualitative debriefings suggest that respondents infact do expect relatively low or no utility from the given attributes and hence have theoretically valid preferences similarly the dce has generally high content validity although dce can elicit current preferences in this context using ex ante dce to estimate the welfare costs of such a long term intervention requires caution we conclude that it is difficult to robustly estimate compensation in advance of an intervention there is therefore a need to rethink conservation approaches and the feasibility of achieving fair compensations for conservation imposed restrictions

the effects of human resource management practices on productivity a study of steel finishing lines the authors investigate the productivity effects of innovative employment practices using data from a sample of thirty six homogeneous steel production lines owned by seventeen companies the productivity regressions demonstrate that lines using a set of innovative work practices which include incentive pay teams flexible job assignments employment security and training achieve substantially higher levels of productivity than do lines with the more traditional approach which includes narrow job definitions strict work rules and hourly pay with close supervision their results are consistent with recent theoretical models which stress the importance of complementarities among work practices

how can market mechanisms for forest environmental services help the poor preliminary lessons from latin america summary market mechanisms for forest environmental services are a new approach for conservation but there is also an increasing interest in the derived developmental benefits of these mechanisms we first propose a conceptual framework for future research on the livelihood impacts of environmental service markets we then review eight latin american case studies on carbon sequestration and watershed protection market initiatives finding positive local income effects in most cases more land tenure security and socioinstitutional strengthening in some cases but some negative effects also we recommend pro poor policy measures such as reducing smallholders transaction costs and removing inappropriate access restrictions

inflation output growth and nominal and real uncertainty empirical evidence for the g7 abstract we use univariate garch models of inflation and output growth and monthly data for the g7 covering the 1957 2000 period to test for the causal effect of real and nominal macroeconomic uncertainty on inflation and output growth and the effect of inflation on inflation uncertainty our evidence supports a number of important conclusions first inflation is a positive determinant of uncertainty about inflation second output growth uncertainty is a positive determinant of the output growth rate third there is mixed evidence regarding the effect of inflation uncertainty on inflation and output growth hence uncertainty about the inflation rate is not necessarily detrimental to economic growth finally there is not much evidence supporting the hypothesis that output uncertainty raises inflation

i struggled with this money business respondents perspectives on contingent valuation abstract in the long running debates about the validity and legitimacy of contingent valuation cv very little research has engaged directly with respondents during or after the survey to explore what individuals willingness to pay wtp figure meant this paper presents the results of qualitative research with respondents to a cv survey carried out as part of the appraisal of a specific nature conservation policy in the uk the results show that respondents questioned the validity of their wtp figures through discussion of the difficulties they experienced in framing a meaningful reply significant difficulties included problems in contextualising what the scheme was and how much it might be worth in both monetary and non monetary terms an inability to work out a value for one scheme in isolation from others in other parts of the uk and feelings that values for nature were not commensurable with monetary valuation turning to the legitimacy of cv participants in the research challenged claims that cv is a democratic process for ensuring that public values are incorporated in policy decisions recognizing that hard economic choices have to be made in order to achieve nature conservation goals participants argued for a decision making institution where local people could contribute to environmental policy decisions through dialogue with scientists and policy makers in the final part of the paper this project is compared with three studies that have also used qualitative approaches with respondents during and or after a cv survey the paper concludes that more context specific qualitative research with respondents is needed to explore further the conclusion that cv may not be a good methodology for capturing complex cultural values for nature and landscape

a dynamic structural model for stock return volatility and trading volume an examination is made of an adaptive beliefs model that is able to roughly reproduce the following features seen in the data 1 the autocorrelation functions of the volatility of returns and trading volume are positive with slowly decaying tails 2 the cross correlation function of volatility is approximately zero for squared returns with past and future volumes and is positive for squared returns with current volumes 3 abrupt changes in prices and returns occur that are hard to attach to news the last feature is obtained because the law of large numbers can fail in the large economy limit

cultural industries in international business research progress and prospect cultural industries systems of organizations that produce and distribute cultural goods with substantive symbolic aesthetic or artistic value represent an important exciting and complex context that receives growing scholarly attention as the first review of management research on cultural industries this paper aims to provide a systematic synthesis of current research summarizing distinctive characteristics of cultural industries and highlighting research gaps we also illustrate how the unique nature dynamics and evolution of cultural industries provide opportunities to broaden international business theories in four research themes i e internationalization strategy cross border innovation social inclusion in the global economy and emerging market research

incorporating discontinuous preferences into the analysis of discrete choice experiments data from a discrete choice experiment on improvements of rural landscape attributes are used to investigate the implications of discontinuous preferences on willingness to pay estimates using a multinomial error component logit model we explore differences in scale and unexplained variance between respondents with discontinuous and continuous preferences and condition taste intensities on whether or not each attribute was considered by the respondent during the evaluation of alternatives results suggest that significant improvements in model performance can be achieved when discontinuous preferences are accommodated in the econometric specification and that the magnitude and robustness of the willingness to pay estimates are sensitive to discontinuous preferences

us inflation and the dollar exchange rate a vector error correction model many studies investigating the relation between inflation and exchange rates have found that exchange rates influenced inflation while other studies have failed to do so or reported mixed results these findings however might be spurious as the majority of the earlier investigations suffered from misspecifications of one kind or another the current paper addresses the problem by employing an up to date and powerful cointegration method developed by johansen 1988 in a system of five equation vector error correction model this paper finds that the us inflation exchange rate money supply income and interest rate are cointegrated the cointegration analysis of the data covering the 1973 95 period reveals that the dollar exchange rate has a significant negative impact on the inflation measured by the producer price index it is further established that the exchange rate granger causes the inflation

dollar movements and inflation a cointegration analysis many studies have concluded that changes in us dollar values affect us prices however since exchange rates may reflect underlying economic conditions this result may be spurious if those conditions are ignored recent advances in time series analysis permitted investigation of both the short and long term interactions between the us price level and the yen dollar exchange rate taking into account the effects of changes in domestic economic activity such as income interest rates and monetary policy examination of these interactions helps to determine to what extent the yen dollar exchange rate impacts the domestic price level the finding is that there is no long term relation between the two variables in addition the results suggest that in the short run monetary authorities respond to changes in the consumer price index and japanese exchange rates however the price level does not respond to change in the exchange rate

competing in the new economy managing out of bounds this commentary was distributed at the mexico city meeting of the strategic management society and forms the basis for the call for papers made for the 1996 sms meeting to be held in phoenix arizona usa november 10 13 1996 at the pointe hilton resort the editors of the smj thought it worth drawing to our readers attention and offer it here as an interesting perspective on our field the issues it now faces and by implication what research and practice must confront over the years ahead

the link between output growth and volatility evidence from a garch model with panel data abstract estimation results from a dynamic panel garch model for g7 countries over the 1965 2007 period support that higher output growth is associated with higher volatility of the innovations to growth but higher growth does not lead to more economic uncertainty

another perspective on the effects of inflation uncertainty this paper examines the effects of inflation uncertainty on real economic activity by utilizing a flexible dynamic multivariate framework that accommodates possible interaction between the conditional means and variances the empirical model is based on a familiar identified vector autoregressive framework modified to accommodate multivariate generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity our empirical model is preferred to the baseline var by likelihood based information criteria and it retains the important dynamics of the underlying var we find that an average shock to inflation uncertainty has tended to reduce output growth over three months by about 22 basis points

the euro and inflation uncertainty in the european monetary union in this paper we investigate empirically the relationship between inflation and inflation uncertainty in twelve emu countries we estimate a time varying parameter model with a garch specification for the conditional volatility of inflation in order to distinguish between short run structural and impulse and steady state uncertainty we then introduce a dummy variable to model the policy regime shift which occurred in 1999 with the introduction of the euro and its effects on the links between inflation and inflation uncertainty we find that steady state inflation has generally remained stable with the important exception of germany where the trend has become positive steady state inflation uncertainty and inflation persistence have both increased and the relationship between inflation and inflation uncertainty has broken down in many countries these findings cast doubt on the optimistic view taken by the ecb concerning its success in controlling inflation and suggest the need for improvements in its analytical framework

a quantile framework for analysing the links between inflation uncertainty and inflation dynamics across countries in contrast to the conventional conditional mean approaches this study uses quantile regression techniques to present some new statistical evidence on the links between inflation uncertainty and the level of inflation with cross sectional data from 90 countries during the period 1961 to 2006 the results suggest that positive inflation shocks have stronger impact on inflation uncertainty which varies across the quantiles furthermore popular time series models are evaluated for their ability to reproduce measures of uncertainty and indicate similar results regarding the relationships between inflation and inflation uncertainty

understanding the consequences of consequentiality testing the validity of stated preferences in the field this study pursues the external validation of stated preference methods by comparing survey responses from verified voters with the outcome of a parallel public referendum on a conservation and preservation program to be funded by a local property tax surcharge the majority of respondents were unaware of the upcoming referendum and the experimental design allows us to control for referenda related information effects as well as respondents perceptions regarding the consequentiality i e the potential policy impact of their survey votes we find the survey under predicts yes referendum votes at the precinct level these differences go away however if we focus only on respondents who perceived their survey vote to be consequential negative hypothetical bias among inconsequential survey respondents is also evident in the estimation of willingness to pay and controlling for consequentiality increases construct validity

change and complementarities in the new competitive landscape a european panel study 1992 1996 this paper addresses three weaknesses in the literature on new organizational forms the limited mapping of the extent of contemporary organizational change confusion about how contemporary changes link together and the lack of systematic testing of the performance consequences of this kind of change drawing on a large scale survey of organizational innovation in european firms the paper finds widespread but not revolutionary change in terms of organization structure processes and boundaries using the economics notion of complementarities the paper develops contingency and configurational approaches to suggest that organizational innovations will tend to cluster in particular ways and that the performance benefits of these innovations depend on their clustering complementarities in performance are explored from both inductive and deductive perspectives consistent with the expectations of complementarity theory high performing firms appeared to be innovating more and differently than low performing firms again consistent with complementarities piecemeal changes with the exception of it were found to deliver little performance benefit while exploitation of the full set of innovations was associated with high performance though few european firms were found to exploit the complementarities of new organizational practices those that did enjoyed high performance premia

macroeconomic uncertainty and performance in the european union abstract we use a very general bivariate garch m model and monthly data on eu countries covering the 1962 2003 period to test for the impact of real output growth and nominal inflation macroeconomic uncertainty on inflation and output growth our evidence supports a number of important conclusions first in the majority of countries uncertainty regarding the output growth rate is related to the average growth rate and the effect in several countries is negative second in half of the cases there is no significant relationship between inflation uncertainty and output growth performance third inflation and output uncertainty have a mixed effect on inflation nevertheless considerable evidence for the cukierman meltzer hypothesis is obtained our conclusions are based on adopting both a structural and a reduced form bivariate garch model finally we also find statistically significant evidence of regime switching for both inflation and output growth volatility throughout the sample

credit based payments for ecosystem services evidence from a choice experiment in ecuador the original conceptualization of payments for ecosystem services pes promoted direct payments to motivate the provision of environmental public goods but market imperfections and behavioral considerations can mean that pes that reduce market constraints are preferred the main issue with the latter is how to include conditionality we propose credit based pes cb pes as an incentive that links an environmental condition with the reduction of a key market constraint through a choice experiment in ecuador cb pes was found to be a promising form of pes with multiple desirable qualities of an incentive as cited in the behavioral economics and pes literatures

dynamic capabilities and internationalization of authentic firms role of heritage assets administrative heritage and signature processes we study mnes that tie their long lasting competitiveness and internationalization to the deployment of their heritage assets administrative heritage and signature processes built in their home markets when faced with changes these authentic firms scan for and buffer against threats to their signature processes use their heritage endowment to focus on their capacity to maintain and defend their niches and preserve their capacity for stability we complement the traditional dynamic capabilities perspective by redefining its boundary conditions furthermore authentic firms resist and limit local adaptation of process and products and internationalize only if opportune by deploying preservation capabilities

measuring the response of macroeconomic uncertainty to shocks recent research documents the importance of uncertainty in determining macroeconomic outcomes but little is known about the transmission of uncertainty across such outcomes this paper examines the response of uncertainty about inflation and output growth to shocks documenting statistically significant size and sign bias and spillover effects uncertainty about inflation is a determinant of output uncertainty whereas higher growth volatility tends to raise inflation volatility both inflation and growth volatility respond asymmetrically to positive and negative shocks negative growth and inflation shocks lead to higher and more persistent uncertainty than shocks of equal magnitude but opposite sign

profiting from business model innovation evidence from pay as you drive auto insurance the emergent business model literature revolving mainly around the mechanisms through which new business models create and deliver value has left the value capture challenge under explored this paper examines how an incumbent firm profits from business model innovation through the study of pay as you drive auto insurance although business models do not warrant formal intellectual property ip protection their constituent components e g business methods and brands often do drawing on the profiting from innovation framework we find that formal and strategic ip protection methods play complementary roles initially formal ip rights are used primarily as a defensive strategy as vehicles for packaging and trading know how and most importantly as a means of buying time to build specialised complementary assets long term competitiveness however depends on whether the innovator builds a strong position in specialised complementary assets and is capable of reconfiguring them over time in line with changes in the market environment thus we explicate the complex mechanism and dynamic capability for capturing value from business model innovation

the exchange rate and the u s wage process an intensive empirical investigation the u s wage growth slowdown since 1982 has generated a large controversy over its causes a hypothesis that has received extensive attention is based on international competitivene ss effects the evidence is mixed and several authors have proposed alternative hypotheses based on economic or noneconomic developments this paper addresses this issue and finds significant effects of international competition on wages in manufacturing services and total hourly private earnings an array of tests indicates that thes e results are robust but that the depreciation of the dollar after 198 5 has not had the large effects of the 1981 85 appreciation copyright 1993 by ohio state university press

corporate social responsibility in garment sourcing networks factory management perspectives on ethical trade in sri lanka with complex buyer driven global production networks and a labour intensive manufacturing process the fashion industry has become a focal point for debates on the social responsibility of business utilising an interview methodology with influential actors from seven export garment manufacturers in sri lanka we explore the situated knowledge at one nodal point of the production network we conceptualise factory management perspectives on the implementation of corporate social responsibility csr in terms of the strategic balancing of ethical considerations against the commercial pressures of cost and lead time factory managers framed csr in terms of compliance rather than going above and beyond regulatory requirements seeing it as a strategic competitive imperative and less a developmental mechanism sri lankan manufacturers maintain that they have benefitted from a unique combination of factors including strict national labour laws an educated workforce the characteristics of the garments produced industrial upgrading and long term non adversarial buyer supplier relationships which they argue has supported the establishment and maintenance of csr practices the paper thus provides managerial implications that relate csr activities to csr outcomes which include both reputational and production benefits such insights will be of strategic relevance for lead retail buyers as well as apparel producers keen to invest in csr to partly mitigate against increasing price based competition

the international entrepreneurial dynamics of accelerated internationalisation the initial stages of internationalisation prior to firms having established their definitive sources of advantage remain the relatively unexplored area of the international business ib literature at these early stages where firms are seeking to establish themselves and new multinational firms are appearing to exploit new opportunities created by globalisation the entrepreneurial aspects of internationalisation come to the fore in this paper we aim to delineate an emerging field of ib scholarship we use the appearance of international new ventures and the phenomenon of accelerated internationalisation that they feature to identify a set of issues that has slipped through the net of some of the existing ib frameworks we propose that the salient features of accelerated and early internationalisation by the newly internationalising firm are best captured in a framework that is found at the intersection of entrepreneurial and internationalisation perspectives which we propose be known as international entrepreneurial dynamics we discuss such a framework in terms of entry points and pathways mapped by firms as they probe the ib arena and the key factors that impinge on behaviour and strategic choices in line with recent developments in the entrepreneurship literature these are grouped into three milestones of entrepreneurial processes that extend across national boundaries 1 the discovery of new opportunities 2 the deployment of resources in the exploitation of these opportunities and 3 the engagement with competitors implications for mne and internationalisation theory are discussed

visual attention and attribute attendance in multi attribute choice experiments summary decision strategies in multi attribute choice experiments are investigated using eye tracking the visual attention towards and attendance of attributes is examined stated attendance is found to diverge substantively from visual attendance of attributes however stated and visual attendance are shown to be informative non overlapping sources of information about respondent utility functions when incorporated into model estimation eye tracking also reveals systematic nonattendance of attributes only by a minority of respondents most respondents visually attend most attributes most of the time we find no compelling evidence that the level of attention is related to respondent certainty or that higher or lower value attributes receive more or less attention copyright 2014 john wiley sons ltd

relationship between inflation rate and inflation uncertainty abstract to shed further light on the possible link between inflation rate and inflation uncertainty the paper explores the relationship for us monthly inflation over 1926 to 1992 with various arfima garch type models it found that the inflation affected its uncertainty weakly negatively whereas the uncertainty affected the inflation insignificantly the results were robust to the high inflation period of the 1970s and the volatile period of 1929 to 1945 it supports engle s result that a high rate of inflation does not necessarily imply a high variance of inflation unlike friedman s view that a high rate of inflation leads to a high variance of inflation

the dynamic relationship between the dollar and components of u s trade the dynamic response of the nominal trade account to changes in the value of the u s dollar has been posited to follow a j curve pattern recent experience calls this into question the aggregate nominal trade balance is decomposed here into four components both prices and volumes of imports and exports time series specification tests and granger tests of causal priority are employed to identify the existence and nature of the response of each individual component to dollar movements surprisingly weak and delayed responses of both import prices and volumes are found suggesting a new view of trade balance evolution

buying big into biotech scale financing and the industrial dynamics of uk biotech 1980 2009 this article explores how the uk s biotech firms have evolved in response to their financial environment as investors expectations about the potential of biotech have changed funding options have opened up and closed down leading firms to develop new business models and routes of technology development after a favorable period new constraints on stock market funding have forced uk biotech firms to compress their life cycles constraining their ability to generate the late stage drug candidates sought by large pharmaceutical firms these changes are analyzed within a neo chandlerian framework in the context of a selection environment where rather than firms of varying inefficiencies being selected by an efficient market we find entrepreneurs submitting themselves to an inefficient investment selection process at the intersection of industries attempting to achieve their own scale economies the article highlights the importance of the scale of investment at the firm and industry level and suggests that decline in the size of the industry can have adverse consequences for investment and firm performance in this setting

can payments for environmental services help reduce poverty an exploration of the issues and the evidence to date from latin america summary this paper examines the main ways in which payments for environmental services pes might affect poverty pes may reduce poverty mainly by making payments to poor natural resource managers in upper watersheds the extent of the impact depends on how many pes participants are in fact poor on the poors ability to participate and on the amounts paid although pes programs are not designed for poverty reduction there can be important synergies when program design is well thought out and local conditions are favorable possible adverse effects can occur where property rights are insecure or if pes programs encourage less labor intensive practices 2004 elsevier ltd all rights reserved

a discussion of using angler characteristics and attitudinal data to identify environmental preference classes a latent class model in the current issue of environmental and resource economics morey et al 2006 discuss a new approach to using attitudinal data in latent class modeling we compare this approach with the one taken in boxall and adamowicz 2002 in the context of a discrete choice random utility framework with heterogeneous preferences we derive the respective likelihood functions of the two approaches to show that they are structurally similar and discuss their implications for the use of attitudinal data we conclude with a discussion comparing the relative merits of latent class and random parameters mixed logit modeling offering the view that as a practical matter choosing between them depends on the analyst s judgment about the correlation of preference parameters

the temporal development of strategy patterns in the u k insurance industry much writing in the field of strategic management remains an exercise in comparative statics cross sectional research designs are combined with the static metaphors of contingency thinking to analyse the fit between the positioning and resource base of the firm and its performance in differing environments however the inadequacies of this tradition are increasingly recognised even by scholars who have created it porter 1991 strategy can no longer be conceived through the static language of states or positions and must now be understood as an innovation contest where the bureaucratic and inflexible will not survive this paper takes up the challenge to explore the dynamics of industry and firm strategy development the empirical focus of the paper is the u k insurance industry in a period of upheaval between 1990 and 1996 by means of an innovative cross correlational time series analysis we are able to show the ebb and flow of strategic change in the industry and the patterns of initiation and imitation as certain firms lead areas of strategyand others follow these findings are interrogated and inter preted by drawing on and developing theoretical ideas from three literatures which historically have not talked to one another these are the literatures on innovation institutionalism and contextualism the empirical results show firms pursuing multiple strategies at one point in time and also altering the strategic agenda over time a cross correlational analysis of nine firms in the u k insurance industry reveals the existence of leaders and laggards in the development of a variety of strategic initiatives theoretically the paper examines the mixture of external conditions and internal context and processes which contribute to the development of early and later adopters of strategies in an industry over time

adaptation as information restriction the hot stove effect individuals and social systems are often portrayed as risk averse and resistant to change such propensities are characteristically attributed to individual organizational and cultural traits such as risk aversion uncertainty avoidance discounting and an unwillingness to change this paper explores an alternative interpretation of such phenomena we show how the reproduction of successful actions inherent in adaptive processes such as learning and competitive selection and reproduction results in a bias against alternatives that initially may appear to be worse than they actually are in particular learning and selection are biased against both risky and novel alternatives because the biases are products of the tendency to reproduce success that is inherent in the sequential sampling of adaptation they are reduced whenever the reproduction of success is attenuated in particular when adaptation is slowed made imprecise or recalled less reliably the propensity to engage in risky and new activities is increased these protections against the error of rejecting potentially good alternatives on inadequate experiential evidence are costly however they increase the likelihood of persisting with alternatives that are poor in the long run as well as in the short run

between economic loss and social identity the multi dimensional cost of avoiding deforestation in eastern madagascar this paper exhibits the multiple dimensions of the cost of stopping the main driver of deforestation in madagascar slash and burn agriculture tavy as well as being a major component of the economic livelihoods of most local households living at the edge of forests tavy has been described by anthropologists as an important cultural practice in this paper we show that stopping tavy does not only entail an economic cost for local households the loss of the cultural dimension of tavy would come at an additional cultural cost for some our results suggest that a viable cessation of deforestation in madagascar would require going beyond simple compensation of the opportunity costs of avoiding deforestation

poverty risks and national parks policy issues in conservation and resettlement summary is the conflict between biodiversity conservation and poverty reduction which frequently arises in park creation programs insoluble the authors report empirical evidence from 12 case studies from six countries which are analyzed through the conceptual lens of the impoverishment risks and reconstruction model for involuntary resettlement the research concludes conservatively that parks in the congo basin have already displaced and impoverished about 120 150 000 people and that more will be displaced if this approach continues despite its deleterious outcomes the authors argue that the park establishment strategy predicated upon compulsory population displacement has exhausted its credibility and compromised the cause of biodiversity conservation by inflicting aggravated impoverishment on very large numbers of people they recommend that the concerned governments should desist using the eviction approach the alternative course proposed by the authors is to replace forced displacements with a pro poor strategy that pursues double sustainability to protect both the biodiversity and people s livelihoods at the same time 2006 elsevier ltd all rights reserved

investigating the causal relationship between quits and wages an exercise in comparative dynamics this paper examines the causal relationship between wages and quits in u s manufacturing industries logit and regression models then relate causality test results to industrial characteristics once these relationships are identified they can be used to predict the causality classification for each industry based on the characteristics of that industry this technique can help the researcher choose the appropriate theoretical model for analysis one finding is that quits respond to wages in most industries but not in industries with highly skilled workforces

the coevolution of industries social movements and institutions wind power in the united states this study of the u s wind energy industry extends theory on the process of industry emergence by developing and testing a coevolutionary model of the relationship between social movement organizations smos institutions and industries building on research that suggests that smos can influence institutions and the path of emerging industries we show that the growth of an industry can also influence the diversity of social movements by motivating the participation of specialist smos these new smos in turn deploy distinct knowledge capabilities goals and strategies to produce institutional changes that are necessary for the continued growth of the industry our study offers a more complete conceptualization of the influence of social movements on industry emergence and growth and it extends understanding of how smo diversity is produced

how people respond to contingent valuation questions a verbal protocol analysis of willingness to pay for an environmental regulation abstract this paper investigates what a respondent is thinking when answering a willingness to pay question in a contingent valuation using a think aloud technique from psychology called verbal protocol analysis the willingness to pay responses we observed seem to be constructed from a variety of considerations including an obligation to pay a fair share of the cost of the solution and signaling concern for a larger set of environmental issues the finding that respondents seem to construct their values at the time they are asked rather than reporting a more well defined value is seen as consistent with over two decades of research on the psychology of decision making potential uses of verbal protocols in contingent valuation studies are also discussed

the coevolution of new organizational forms in the fashion industry a historical and comparative study of france italy and the united states in many industries the contemporary context of acute environmental dislocation shows the limits of traditional organizational recipes in direct response to environmental challenges companies are experimenting with new organizational solutions while flexibility or the capacity to redefine organizational form to follow changing purposes is undeniably a common trend these experiments otherwise differ greatly diversity is such in fact that it is difficult to clearly identify and define a unique organizational paradigm for the future to explore the connection between environmental dislocation and organizational transformations we adopt a historical and comparative perspective our empirical base of evidence is the luxury fashion industry in three countries france italy and the united states for many years this industry was defined by stable environmental conditions and a craft model of organization remained dominant we show that over a more recent period increasing environmental turbulence has brought about a redefinition of the rules of the game a common response has been for organizations to move towards greater flexibility or modularity and to experiment with network forms however we also show that the paths or trajectories leading to organizational flexibility have varied significantly across countries reflecting historical legacies and institutional constraints we identify in fact three different network forms in that industry which represent national ideal types the umbrella holding company in france the flexible embedded network in italy and the virtual organization in the united states we argue that the process of change in the luxury fashion industry has been one of coevolution where environmental transformation and organizational change have fed upon each other through time pioneer firms in the luxury fashion industry originally devised organizational solutions within the bounds set by nationally defined constraints and opportunities becoming institutionalized these early solutions in turn shaped the environment for individual organizations and organizational populations creating new sets of opportunities and constraints in a path dependent manner different models of organization and national competitiveness thus emerged in conclusion we are brought to question the likelihood of full and stable convergence towards a unique organizational form or paradigm there appears to be in each national context a process of construction of new organizational solutions that starts from local foundations embedded as they are in powerful historical and institutional legacies organizational differences are there to stay we believe beyond the period of transition and acute environmental dislocation

property rights and choice the case of the fishery formal property rights are typically established after considerable waste has occurred despite the effectiveness of such schemes in addressing the inefficiencies of common pool resources adoption can be contentious because of the assignment of wealth and political influence that accompany the transition to exclusive property rights this paper studies how the early involvement of harvesters in policy implementation designed to address the commons inefficiency may foster perceived legitimacy and lessen political opposition to the establishment of individual property rights we demonstrate that it is optimal for a manager facing industry strife and reform delay to allow firms to self select into the property rights regime the strategic interaction of harvesters leads to an equilibrium characterized by the global adoption of property rights thus by providing harvesters with a choice between management systems policy makers can reduce the transaction costs associated with the need to create political consensus while ensuring an outcome similar to the top down implementation of market based management evidence is provided from a recent policy change in maryland fisheries in which the provision of a choice resulted in the overwhelming adoption of individual transferable quotas and the end of the race to fish

using angler characteristics and attitudinal data to identify environmental preference classes a latent class model a latent class model of environmental preference groups is developed and estimated with only the answers to a set of attitudinal questions economists do not typically use this type of data in estimation group membership is latent unobserved the intent is to identify and characterize heterogeneity in the preferences for environmental amenities in terms of a small number of preference groups the application is to preferences over the fishing characteristics of green bay anglers answered a number of attitudinal questions including the importance of boat fees species catch rates and fish consumption advisories on site choice the results suggest that green bay anglers separate into a small number of distinct classes with varying preferences and willingness to pay for a pcb free green bay the probability that an angler belongs to each class is estimated as function of observable characteristics of the individual estimation is with the expectation maximization e m algorithm a technique new to environmental economics that can be used to do maximum likelihood estimation with incomplete information as explained a latent class model estimated with attitudinal data can be melded with a latent class choice model

causality between inflation and real growth abstract the paper investigates inflation growth causality over 1947 2005 with varma ml asymmetric vgarch the results imply that one uncertainty affects positively its level and much less negatively the other level whereas one level influences positively both uncertainties friedman s hypothesis was not strongly rejected

new organizational forms and strategies for managing in hypercompetitive environments strong forces of change globalization demographic shifts e g aging population and declining fertility rates advances in information technology demassification of society and hypercompetition are reshaping the competitive landscape worldwide as a result companies in most industries are not only undergoing rapid and radical change but are also experiencing a fundamental shift in the rules of competition and the way the game of competition is played the old genteel stable oligopolies that defined competition during the 20th century are rapidly restructuring in their place are emerging markets fraught with uncertainty diverse global players rapid technological change widespread price wars and seemingly endless reorganization that transition is occurring not only in the united states but also in europe latin america and asia in this issue we demonstrate that as predicted by those early researchers a dramatic and far reaching shift has occurred in the nature of competition in most ind

real dollar exchange rate under the bretton woods and floating exchange rate regimes abstract the focus of the paper is on real exchange rates for the dollar over the period 1957 to 1985 most such exchange rates followed an almost steplike pattern showing relatively little movement in the late 1950s and 1960s falling abruptly and then remaining low in the 1970s and finally in the 1980s rising back to levels close to those that prevailed initially contrary to much recent commentary therefore the period that appears different is not the last five years but the decade that preceded them an important factor underlying this pattern of exchange rate movement according to results presented in the paper was the behavior of monetary policy and hence inflation in the united states what remains to be established is the precise mechanism linking money and real exchange rates and the relative strength of those links

a model of exchange rate dynamics this model treats the exchange rate as an asset price that depends on expectations concerning exogenous real and monetary factors that will affect relative prices and absolute price levels in future periods changes in exchange rates reflect both expected changes in these exogenous factors and changes in expectations occasioned by new information the model explains the random component in exchange rate behavior the source of divergences from purchasing power parity the anticipatory response of exchange rates to future expected disturbances and the causes of exchange rate overshooting

the effects of real and nominal uncertainty on inflation and output growth some garch m evidence in this paper we use garch m methods to test four hypotheses about the effects of real and nominal uncertainty on average inflation and output growth in the united states from 1948 to 1996 we find no evidence that higher inflation uncertainty or higher output growth uncertainty raises the average inflation rate we also find no support for the idea that more risky output growth is associated with a higher average real growth rate our key result is that in a variety of models and sample periods inflation uncertainty significantly lowers real output growth copyright 2000 john wiley sons ltd

the dynamic relationship between the dollar and us prices an intensive empirical investigation abstract the empirical bivariate relationships between the dollar and us prices during the recent floating rate period are analyzed using time series methodology results indicate a long distributed lag from the dollar to the cpi but no relationship in the opposite direction and that a permanent 10 per cent decline in the dollar was ultimately followed by a cpi rise of 4 85 per cent similar results are obtained for various components of the cpi including services while substantially smaller price responses are reported in other studies that typically employ shorter lag structures in the context of structural econometric models

mixing methods within stated preference environmental valuation choice experiments and post questionnaire qualitative analysis abstract assessing public preferences for natural resources is a difficult task the complexity of the research problem has encouraged practitioners to adopt qualitative approaches as exploratory and diagnostic tools within the conventionally more quantitative stated preference research building on best practice from previous studies this paper reports the findings of post questionnaire focus group analysis investigating the adequacy of a choice experiment ce valuation exercise and its public acceptability the specifics of the scenario and design choices are shown to markedly reduce problems of charity like and bid realism fair share responses observed in previous studies and significant sensitivity to good characteristics is observed however a less tractable problem of valuing unfamiliar goods remains with insights given regarding public acceptability and the usefulness of the findings to environmental decision making

on inflation and inflation uncertainty in the g7 countries abstract the relationship between inflation and inflation uncertainty is investigated in the g7 countries from 1948 to 1993 garch models are used to generate a measure of inflation uncertainty and then granger methods are employed to test the causality between average inflation and inflation uncertainty in all g7 countries inflation significantly raises inflation uncertainty as predicted by friedman and ball weaker evidence is found that inflation uncertainty granger causes inflation in three countries us uk and germany increased inflation uncertainty lowers inflation while in two countries japan and france increased inflation uncertainty raises inflation

on the real effects of inflation and inflation uncertainty in mexico we estimate an augmented multivariate garch m model of inflation and output growth for mexico at business cycle frequencies the main findings are 1 inflation uncertainty has a negative and significant effect on growth 2 once the effect of inflation uncertainty is accounted for lagged inflation does not have a direct negative effect on output growth 3 however as predicted by friedman and ball higher average inflation raises inflation uncertainty and the overall net effect of average inflation on output growth in mexico is negative that is average inflation is harmful to mexican growth due to its impact on inflation uncertainty 4 the mexican presidential election cycle significantly raises inflation uncertainty both during the year of the election and the year following the election which has correspondingly negative effects on output growth

inflation and output growth uncertainty and their relationship with inflation and output growth abstract using a bivariate garch model of inflation and output growth we find evidence that higher inflation and more inflation uncertainty lead to lower output growth in the japanese economy these results support the argument of a price stability objective for the monetary authority