the structure of financial equilibrium with exogenous yields the case of incomplete markets1 this paper presents an analysis of the structure of competitive equilibrium in a model whose principal feature is incomplete financial markets formulated in the spirit of arrow specifically the overall payoffs or returns from financial instruments are assumed to be fixed or predetermined independently of the operation of the economy and these instruments are assumed to be fewer in number than required to span all potential spot markets for commodities our main result establishes that market incompleteness generates a corresponding degree of allocation indeterminateness suppose there are n 1 spot markets but only 0 m n linearly independent financial instruments so that the deficiency in financial markets is 0 n n m n then subject to some relatively innocuous technical qualifications the set of equilibrium allocations contains a smooth n dimensional submanifold we also indicate how real indeterminacy may increase when returns for example the market price and promised interest on an ordinary bond are treated as variables rather than parameters

transfer fee regulations in european football abstract we analyze the impact of three different transfer fee systems on payoffs contract lengths training and effort incentives in european football the different regimes being used until 1995 pre bosman currently in use bosman and recently approved monti differ with respect to the transfer fee an initial club is entitled to depending on whether a player has a valid contract or not we show that the different systems differ only with respect to the contract length if the contract which maximizes the expected joint surplus of the initial club and the player is feasible under each system otherwise regime p is strictly dominated by regime b in terms of expected social welfare regime m leads to higher effort but lower incentives to invest in training compared to system b

everyone may benefit from subsidising entry to risky occupations this paper shows that in the presence of costly state verification directly or indirectly subsidising entry to risky occupations may benefit everyone the result holds even in the presence of private insurance indeed it may be desirable to prohibit private insurance in favour of subsidies to hazardous activities these findings do not depend on the government having an advantage over the private sector in observing outcomes the explanation is that through its influence on equilibrium price feasible fiscal policy can shift the return distribution so as to create collective insurance more cheaply than is possible through private contracting with its requirement of costly auditing amongst applications is a case for a loss making state bank offering high interest rate loans

global educational expansion and socio economic development an assessment of findings from the social sciences summary among development agencies conventional wisdom holds that educational expansion improves economic welfare and health reduces inequalities and encourages democratic political systems we investigate the empirical foundations for these expectations in recent social science research consistent evidence indicates that health and demographic benefits result from educational expansion and suggests that education enhances but does not ensure individuals economic security however the impact of educational expansion on growth remains debated and decades of sociological studies offer evidence that educational expansion does not necessarily narrow social inequalities finally considerable controversy surrounds the implications of educational expansion for democratization reasonable forecasts of the consequences of further educational expansions need to consider the diverse social contexts in which these expansions will occur

the austral plan in recent years several countries have experienced extremely rapid inflations but without total collapses of the national currencies argentina was one of those cases by mid 1985 the rate of price increase exceeded 30 percent per month however prices continued to be set in pesos and there remained a sizeable volume of short term nominal contracts the treatment of such inflations poses several questions what is the desirable speed of disinflation what mix of instruments can effectively act on prices without causing an excessive fall in real income how can prices be kept on a stable or moderately rising trend the austral plan announced in june 1985 combined fiscal measures with a price wage freeze and a monetary reform linked to a system for the conversion of debt contracts the program quite successfully managed the transition to a much lower inflation rate while real output recovered rapidly after an initial contraction still inflationary forces remained strong the problem of achieving a sustained stabilization proved quite difficult to solve this paper briefly describes the program and its effects with some references to current debates on stabilization policies see my 1986 study for full discussion and details

agricultural technology productivity and poverty in madagascar summary this paper uses a unique spatially explicit dataset to study the link between agricultural performance and rural poverty in madagascar we show that controlling for geographical and physical characteristics communes that have higher rates of adoption of improved agricultural technologies and consequently higher crop yields enjoy lower food prices higher real wages for unskilled workers and better welfare indicators the empirical evidence strongly favors support for improved agricultural production as an important part of any strategy to reduce the high poverty and food insecurity rates currently prevalent in rural madagascar

can land market reform mitigate the exclusionary aspects of rapid agro export growth abstract agro export growth has been associated with land concentration and employment instability in the wake of exclusionary agro export booms land market reform has been proposed as a way to improve peasant land access through the market developing a model of the economic competitiveness of different classes of producers this paper evaluates the likely effectiveness of land market reform while the model itself gives ambiguous answers numerical simulation identifies a large gap between market price and peasants abilty to pay for land among the components of land market reform policy progressive land taxation appears unlikely to close that competitiveness gap while farm land mortgage banks appear more likely to mitigate exclusionary aspects of growth

risk aversion and credit constraints in farmers decision making a reinterpretation in 1976 the agricultural development council sponsored a conference on risk uncertainty and agricultural development which has been summarised in a volume edited by james roumasset jean marc boussard and inderjit singh 1979 the volume provides an excellent review of the state of the art at that time however as discussed in the summary chapters of that volume there were few theoretical empirical or policy issues on which clear conclusions could be reached on the basis of knowledge then available in the intervening years progress has been made on a number of issues as a result of both empirical investigations and theoretical advances this paper concentrates on advances which have relevance to the controversy about the relative roles of risk aversion and credit constraints in limiting farmers investment levels especially for purchased inputs such as seeds or fertilizers in particular we review recent experimental studies on the extent of risk aversion among farmer populations in developing

economic relationship between access to land and rural poverty in nepal in the present socio economic structure of nepal land is the main source of income and consumption for the majority of nepalese this study analyses the economic relationship between access to land and poverty in nepal by establishing the link between land and consumption as well as land and income a generalised additive model gam and ordinary least squares ols demonstrate that greater access to land increases income and consumption of the household and thereby reduces poverty the significant marginal value of land for both consumption and income implies that an effective land reform policy could well be an effective approach to alleviate rural poverty however land reform must come as part of a larger overhaul cluster analysis shows that land reform should target appropriate subgroups within the community in order to differentiate those who would make use of the extra land from those who would not and apply appropriate strategies to each subgroup it reveals the importance of subgroups in determining an appropriate strategy for tackling poverty

the theory of taxation for developing countries tax policy has far reaching implications for economic development and public administration this book which presents a modern theory of public finance brings together many of the most distinguished economists who have written on the subject they provide coherent principles for tax design and a systematic framework for the analysis of practical questions of tax reform and pricing policy in developing countries the book is especially timely as countries experience increasing shortages of government revenue and the distortions brought about by poorly designed tax systems it pays particular attention to the special problems of developing countries such as the taxation of agriculture the aim throughout is to develop techniques that can be quantitatively applied given the data available and empirical case studies illustrate the methods in action the authors analyze the links between tax theory social cost benefit analysis and the pricing of publicly supplied goods and services they also explore the empirical and econometric problems of identifying the tradeoffs between equity and efficiency other topics treated include the analysis of labor markets the taxation of foreign private investment and of fuel and the pricing of education although the models used concentrate on developing countries most of the methods and discussion apply as well to the problems of more affluent countries

the impact of transfer fees on professional sports an analysis of the new transfer system for european football we evaluate the effect of the recently approved transfer system for european professional football which will replace the current system implemented by the bosman judgment in 1995 the focus is on the comparison of wages profits the length of contracts and investment incentives our main findings are that i the new regime reduces a player s overall payoff because it increases the new club s renegotiation payoff and ii since training generates a general skill the new regime will also diminish incentives to invest in the education of young talents because a new club benefits more from the initial club s investment

money as a unit of account we develop a theory that rationalizes the use of a dominant unit of account in an economy agents enter into non contingent contracts with a variety of business partners trade unfolds sequentially in credit chains and is subject to random matching by using a dominant unit of account agents can lower their exposure to relative price risk avoid costly default and create more total surplus we discuss conditions under which it is optimal to adopt circulating government paper as the dominant unit of account and the optimal choice of currency areas when there is variation in the intensity of trade within and across regions

fiscal incidence in an overlapping generations model with a fixed asset abstract we analyze a model of overlapping generations with a fixed factor land malleable capital and labor we consider the dynamic effects of various fiscal policies including taxes on rent wages and creation of public debt on capital accumulation land prices and intergenerational welfare minimal assumptions uniqueness and stability imply that a land tax may initially raise land values but the upper bound is less than one half of the tax revenues assuming homothetic utility the ratio between the long run capital responses to a land tax and to a lump sum transfer of equivalent revenue from the young to the old depends solely on the share of labor

free agency long term contracts and compensation in major league baseball estimates using longitudinal data for major league baseball players this paper estimates the effects of eligibility for free agency or arbitration on compensation and contract duration becaus e eligibility is based on experience and better players are kept longe r a fixed effects approach is used arbitration and free agency eligibility both raised annual compensation however only free agen cy raised contract duration the free agency findings are consistent wi th nash bargaining however additionally considering the arbitration results suggests the winner s curse duration rises only when a team might lose a player the auction market is thus avoided copyright 1993 by mit press

simulating the impact of policy upon chronic and transitory poverty in rural pakistan anti poverty programmes often seek to improve their impact by targeting households for assistance according to welfare measures in a single time period however a growing literature shows the importance to poor households of fluctuations in their welfare from month to month and year to year this study uses a five year panel of 686 households from rural pakistan to investigate the magnitude of chronic or transitory poverty making an explicit adjustment for measurement error the impact of two types of policies those designed to smooth incomes and those designed to promote income growth on the severity of chronic and transitory poverty is examined since the largest part of the squared poverty gap in our sample is transitory large reductions in poverty can be achieved by interventions designed to smooth incomes but reducing chronic poverty in the long term requires large and sustained growth in household incomes the level and variability of incomes is then modelled as a function of household char

the distributive impact of land markets in uganda abstract this article presents first hand evidence about land distribution and the impact of land markets in central uganda this area is characterized by unequal distribution of land inheritance rural rural migration and active land markets we show that land markets and particularly land purchases tend to reduce the initial inequality in the initial inherited distribution of land land purchases by landless farmers in their native village represent an important part of this adjustment

indigenous land rights in sub saharan africa appropriation security and investment demand abstract we discuss the links between rights appropriation tenure security and investment demand in sub saharan africa common assertions regarding indigenous tenure are 1 a insecurity of tenure leads to suboptimal investment incentives and 2 b appropriation of land rights in the public domain is rent dissipating we argue that land use and investment decisions among african farmers often have two motives productivity and rights appropriation the usual assertions thus seem contradictory we offer a conceptual model to show that indigenous tenure may provide equal or higher investment incentives than private rights and may promote modes of rights appropriation that are productive rather than wasteful

role of agriculture in economic development revisited abstract while both malthus and ricardo viewed agriculture as impediments to economic progress mill and marshall argued that the effects of diminishing returns to land could be offset mill emphasized that the progress of civilization such as roads that reduced the cost of bringing products to market and policy improvements such as abolition of the corn laws provided substitutes for farm inputs marshall argued that population growth could for a long time through growth of organization and knowledge offset the effects of diminishing returns had the insights of colin clark dominated the policies of developing countries rather than the implications drawn from the dual sector models and the pessimistic views of prebisch agriculture s contribution to economic development would have been enhanced the efforts to tax agriculture to support import substitution policies reduced rather than increased economic growth agriculture has important contributions to make to economic development but must receive even handed treatment if the possible contributions are to be realized a major failure of all governments has been the unwillingness to recognize that agriculture is a declining industry and to adopt policies that would assist farm people to adjust to the decline in demand for farm labor

the impact of market friendly reforms on credit and land markets in honduras and nicaragua summary this article explores the impacts on credit access and agrarian structure of land market liberalization policies undertaken in honduras and nicaragua during the 1990s like liberalization efforts pursued in many latin american countries these market friendly reforms were designed to activate land transfers and enhance agricultural efficiency in large part by improving the access of the rural poor to both credit and land markets panel data sets gathered in honduras and nicaragua are used to compare title credit and land access patterns before and after the reforms descriptive nonparametric regression analyses show that despite major gains in titling across the land size spectrum and some increase in land market activity the other hoped for improvements in credit and land access did not occur and appear unlikely to occur without further policy attention to credit markets

brazil s tropical plan this paper highlights the institutional features of the inflation process and contrasts two stabilization efforts in 1964 66 and in 1986 the inflation process in brazil is highly institutional it does not resemble hyperinflations where pricing and wage setting are geared to the exchange rate by the hour making it possible to stop inflation by simply containing money creation and fixing the exchange rate the two stabilization programs demonstrate that an incomes policy is an essential ingredient to non recessionary stabilization but they also show that demand restraint is inevitable if disinflation is to be viable the 1964 program was gradualist and two handed relying on the supply side on wage repression the 1986 plan was a heterodox shock treatment centered around an uncompromising price freeze and paying insufficient attention to the need for fiscal restraint this abstract was borrowed from another version of this item

the coase theorem free agency and major league baseball a panel study of pitcher mobility from 1961 to 1992 a great deal of conceptual and empirical work in the economic analysis of the law and property rights has been directed towards resolving a controversy surrounding the coase theorem many economists and legal scholars interpret the theorem as containing two propositions the first is that in the absence of transactions costs and wealth effects parties will bargain to an efficient outcome the second holds that the same outcome will be achieved regardless of the distribution of property rights the latter is known as the invariance thesis and it has been a source of dispute among scholars and between economic theorists and owners of economic enterprises e g owners of professional sports teams 5 11 16 23 24 25 26 28 29 this paper provides an econometric test of the invariance proposition major league baseball presents a natural experiment consisting of an industry in which there has been an explicit change in the assignment of property rights beginning in 1879 the reserve clause gave monopsony power to team owners a player could negotiate salary only with the team that owned his contract and the team could trade or sell the player as management saw fit in 1976 this system was replaced by the institution of free agency whereby a player with at least six years of major league experience acquired

access to capital and agrarian production organisation there are two problems both universal that entrepreneurs in any economy must contend with firstly an agent generally has access only to a limited amount of working capital secondly workers hired by an agent are subject to moral hazard and this necessitates their supervision this paper models for an agrarian economy the constraints imposed on entrepreneurs activities by these two problems and endogenously determines the various organisational forms of production as well as the allocation of resources that will obtain with a simple model we endeavour to explain a diverse set of empirical observations pertaining to the less developed countries in terms of the general processes that determine the distribution of income among the various agents and the hierarchical relationships that develop among them agricultural production typically involves a period of several months between the time the inputs are purchased and the time the output is marketed access to working capital and hence to the credit market thus plays an important role in a farmer s production decisions the distribution of access to credit in turn tends to be an important determinant of income distribution in poor agrarian economies credit is invariably rationed according to the ability to offer collateral the amount of working capital a farmer can mobilise therefore depends on the amount of land he owns which is often a good proxy for his overall wealth and thus his ability to offer collateral further since hired hands have a propensity to shirk they need to be supervised and therefore the

tenure security investment and productivity in gambian agriculture a generalized probit analysis the determinants of investment input use and productivity are investigated under customary tenure in peri urban areas of the gambia a structural model is specified to investigate the role of tenure security on farm investments and input use and thereby on yield testing of the structural form hypotheses requires simultaneous equation estimation containing both continuous and discrete endogenous variables the model is estimated as a feasible generalized least squares amemiya s generalized probit some of the positive relationships hypothesized between tenure security investment and yields are corroborated in particular tenure security is found to enhance long term investments which in turn enhance yields

fair trade organic coffee rural livelihoods and the agrarian question southern mexican coffee families in transition summary we use a random sample of coffee producing households in southern mexico to compare opportunities associated with government subsidies and migration to the role of fair trade organic coffee in household livelihoods although land and labor returns among fair trade organic coffee growers are higher than for conventional growers differences in yields are more important than price premiums moreover investment in education and labor opportunities outside coffee dominate those in fair trade organic coffee the results highlight the value of an integrated approach to the agrarian question that improves productivity and prices and supports other pathways for improving incomes

hedonics and demand analysis the implicit demand for player attributes i introduction hedonic analysis is the standard technique of applied econometrics for modeling differentiated products a hedonic price function relates the observed price of a differentiated good to the bundle of characteristics of which the good is composed the derivatives of the function with respect to the characteristics are the implied hedonic prices which empirical work typically seeks to estimate as has been recognized since at least the work of rosen 1974 underlying the hedonic price function is an implicit market for these characteristics a number of studies have attempted to estimate the associated supply demand system in particular applied contexts based on data on the quantities of the characteristics used in the estimation of the hedonic price function and the resulting estimated hedonic prices examples include nelson 1978 witte sumka and erekson 1979 and thomas 1993 rather than a complete supply demand system other authors focus only on the implicit demand for characteristics for example polinsky and rubinfeld 1977 harrison and rubinfeld 1978 agarwal and ratchford 1980 bender gronberg and hwang 1980 blomquist and worley 1981 quigley 1982 mendelsohn 1984 and palmquist 1984 a curious aspect of these studies which appears to have gone unrecognized is the failure to draw on modern econometric demand analysis in the estimation of the implied demand system for the characteristics instead the analysis of the implicit market proceeds on the basis of ad hoc typically linear or loglinear functional forms which involve no explicit derivation from consumer theory and which impose arbitrary and non testable restrictions on preferences as a consequence there is little means beyond descriptive econometric measures goodness of fit examination of signs and t ratios and so on for judging the adequacy or legitimacy of the results no use is made of contemporary flexible functional form methodology which provides a second order approximation to arbitrary preferences and which permits in addition to the calculation of elasticities the testing of fundamental hypotheses of consumer theory such as demand homogeneity and symmetry of the slutsky matrix and numerical checks on the concavity of the associated implied expenditure function the present work attempts to fill this gap however instead of a differentiated good in a product market to which consumer demand theory would apply we choose to study a good in a factor market so that the relevant demand equations are a system of factor demands for the underlying characteristics the good in question is the service of baseball players to major league baseball teams which is a differentiated good in that different players represent different bundles of alternative attributes such as pitching or hitting skills our focus is solely on the implicit demand system for these attributes no attempt is made to estimate the associated supply system reflecting player behavior there are several reasons for this seemingly peculiar choice of commodity first the factor market for baseball players is of some intrinsic interest as evidenced by the extent to which it has been studied by economists for a taste of this see the entry by quirk 1987 in the new palgrave and the recent survey by fort and quirk 1995 in particular the market has been the focus of work by labor economists examples are blass 1992 khan 1993a 1993b and sommers 1992 much of this literature derives from the seminal work of scully 1974 who estimated equations for baseball player salaries as functions of player skills although not previously recognized in these terms underlying scully s salary equations are implicit markets for player skills the previous work involving baseball salary equations by scully 1974 1989 and others for example blass 1992 hill and spellman 1984 fort 1992 pascal and rapping 1972 raimondo 1983 and sommers 1990 is useful because it provides guidance as to the appropriate specification of the hedonic price equation

forest tenure reform in china a choice experiment on farmers property rights preferences decentralization experiments are currently underway in the chinese forestry sector however researchers and policy makers tend to ignore a key question what do forest farmers really want from reform this paper addresses this question using a survey based choice experiment to investigate farmers preferences for various property rights attributes of a forestland contract we found that farmers are highly concerned with the types of rights provided by a contract reducing perceived risks of contract termination and introducing a priority right for the renewal of an existing contract significantly increases farmers marginal willingness to pay for a forest contract

optimum taxation with errors in administration abstract the paper compares the welfare levels which can be achieved by two distinct tax regimes lump sum taxation where one attempts to identify individuals and allocate transfers or subsidies on the basis of characteristics and income taxation where characteristics are not observed but personal incomes are measured and taxed where there are no errors in classifying individuals lump sum taxation is superior but where mistakes are made in the allocation of lump sum grants or subsidies income taxation may be more attractive the level of errors where the regimes are equally desirable in terms of social welfare is computed in simple models following that of feldstein 1973 where there is strong aversion to inequality then income taxation becomes preferable at quite small errors in analysing income taxation it is shown that in the feldstein model with endogenous wages the marginal tax rate in optimum income taxation on the more skilled is negative and that on the less skilled is positive in contrast to the standard results see seade 1977 with exogenous wages

bias in salary arbitration the case of major league baseball this study analyses all baseball arbitration cases from 1985 90 to determine if decisions differ among ethnic groups unlike earlier arbitration analyses extensive controls for individual and team performance are used holding performance constant the results indicate that latin american players have 33 less chance and blacks 19 less chance than does a white player of winning a case these differences are not reflected by more risky salary demands by minority players and only marginally reflected by market salary practices toward minority players therefore bias appears to emanate from arbitrator utility functions

the impact of landownership security theory and evidence from thailand this article develops a model of farmers land acquisition and investment decisions the model clarifies the relation between land values landownership security and credit markets the risk of eviction of untitled lands and the advantages in access to credit associated with titled land are shown to account for the higher price of titled land furthermore observed land prices are distorted when credit is priced below the opportunity cost of capital and the risk of eviction is positive therefore social benefit analysis of land titling cannot utilize land prices without correcting for these distortions the article offers formulas for performing such corrections econometric estimates of the value of legal ownership in three provinces of thailand using cross section land price data show a statistically significant effect of ownership security on land price the econometric estimates of ownership security are combined with the formulas generated by the model to yield estimates of the social benefit of land titling in the three provinces the analysis implies that granting full legal ownership to squatters can be a socially beneficial policy in many provinces

taxation of economic rents economic rents have long been identified as an efficient tax base in addition the recent literature documents that rent income is highly concentrated and that rents are quickly increasing rent taxation thus seems attractive for reasons of both efficiency and equity nevertheless rent taxation remains a marginal topic in research and policy making in a systematic review of the neoclassical literature on different rent types we find that some types of rents reflect inefficiencies and should thus be minimized while others reward investments and should be supported in line with social welfare what remains for taxation are land rents one of the few true scarcity rents land rents have significant potential to improve the efficiency of the tax system we then begin to develop a comprehensive theory of land rent taxation by identifying relevant efficiency and equity effects the interaction of many of these effects remains unexplored which might explain policymakers hesitation in using land taxes to date

inflation stabilization risk in economies with incomplete asset markets abstract in economies with high inflation nominal financial markets disappear in the context of a general equilibrium model with incomplete asset markets this paper shows that this phenomenon can be explained by an inflation process characterized by a high expected inflation coupled with a low probability of a stabilization of the price level and that the disruption of trade in nominal contracts is socially costly

ethnicity productivity and salary player compensation and discrimination in the national hockey league the paper considers the impact of potential minority francophone american european ethnic language culture discrimination on salary determination in the national hockey league using player salary data for the 1989 90 season a regression model of salary determination is constructed which includes variables measuring productivity skills market structure and allows for several ethnic influences including minority discrimination ethnically shaped consumer preferences and reservation wages the basic conclusion is that wages are principally determined by productivity and market structure and the only evidence of discrimination is found in the ethnically influenced consumer preference of american as opposed to canadian teams

property rights regimes in complex fishery management systems a choice experiment application the tonle sap wetland fishery was previously divided into 3 different management zones for conservation open access fishing and private fishing rights to the private fishing zone involved auctions for exclusive rights to temporarily designated plots this paper aims to explore the auction based system by investigating how this fishery management system affects different groups of small scale fishermen and how different characteristics of the fishing lots affect the bidding a choice experiment approach was used to model fishermen s choices in a hypothetical auction market by offering fishermen the choice between purchasing different potential fishing lots and a no purchase option implying fishing only in the communal fishing grounds the preferred latent class model with two segments of fishermen showed that the bidding behavior of the more privileged group out competes the other group irrespective of the lot characteristics this result suggests that it is unlikely that the redesign of the auction system itself would be an effective way of securing access to fishing resources for the two observed groups of fishermen this implies that open access fishing grounds and or other regulations may also be needed in future management as they serve an important role for the poorer segments

optimal taxation with costly enforcement and evasion abstract this paper analyzes the relationship between optimal taxation and optimal tax enforcement a central question concerns the extent to which revenue should be raised through higher tax rates which distort behavior or greater enforcement which distorts behavior and also entails direct resource costs in the models examined some expenditure on enforcement may be optimal despite its resource cost its distortionary effect and the availability of other revenue sources having no enforcement costs rules for optimal tax rates and enforcement expenditures are derived which also indicate the marginal cost of government funds and optimal enforcement priorities for a tax collection agency

the sports business as a labor market laboratory with superior data on compensation and productivity as well as the occurrence of abrupt dramatic market structure and player allocation rules changes sports labor markets offer an excellent setting in which to test economic hypotheses this paper reviews evidence from sports in four areas employer monopsony discrimination the coase theorem and incentive contracts supervision and performance there is considerable evidence of monopsony as well as for the existence of some forms of discrimination against minority athletes incentive contracts have strong effects on player performance and behavior and there is mixed evidence on the predictions of the coase theorem

growth is good for whom when how economic growth and poverty reduction in exceptional cases summary economic growth and liberal economic policies often help the poor but what about the numerous cases in which they do not this article analyzes two types of cases those in which income growth of the poor was significantly lower than expectations negative exceptions and those in which income growth of the poor significantly exceeded expectations positive exceptions insights from these cases inform our theoretical understanding of poverty reduction in addition this article contributes a typology of strategies used in these cases including alternative pathways to economic growth and neoliberal prescriptions for poverty reduction

land without opportunity public goods investment and land markets in rural mexico i address the question when do peasants on collectively owned land demand private titles by analyzing a land titling program in mexico i argue mexico s punishment regime in the 20th century influences the capacity of peasants to invest in a private title in the 21st century where commercial farmers were more powerful the state issued fewer land grants to peasants and invested in public goods to capture electoral support from commercial farmers fewer peasants received land in these areas but those who did had access to public goods that reduced socioeconomic marginalization and increased their capacity to invest in a private title using a technique called causal mediation analysis i show that a higher percentage of arable land granted to the peasant sector during the 20th century directly reduces the likelihood of land privatization in the 21st century and indirectly reduces privatization through farm productivity and human development levels

revisiting forever gained income dynamics in the resettlement areas of zimbabwe 1983 96 this study examines income dynamics for a panel of households resettled on former white owned farms in the aftermath of zimbabwe s independence there are four core findings i over a 13 year period 1983 96 there has been an impressive accumulation of assets and a dramatic increase of crop incomes ii the rise of crop incomes is partly due to asset accumulation but largely to increased asset returns hi differences between households in initial conditions such as previous farming experience have few persistent effects and iv income growth has been widely shared income inequality has fallen sharply and the largest percentage increases in incomes are recorded by households that initially had the lowest incomes

arbitrator compromise in final offer arbitration evidence from major league baseball i introduction the purpose of interest arbitration is to encourage two bargainers to reach a mutually agreeable settlement in the event of impasse an independent arbitrator determines the settlement in conventional arbitration ca each of the bargainers submits an offer the arbitrator may select one of the two offers or one of his or her own choosing as the settlement critics have argued that arbitrators split the difference between the offers to enhance their chances of being rehired in future cases this gives each bargainer an incentive to submit an extreme offer to increase its expected gains from arbitration as a result ca chills rather than encourages productive negotiation final offer arbitration foa was created by stevens 1966 to remedy the chilling effect he proposed that arbitrators select one of the two submitted offers as the award unable to compromise between the offers the arbitrator will presumably choose the most reasonable offer as the award ironically arbitrator compromise may exist even in foa according to theory foa arbitrators maximize their chances of being rehired by formulating a notion of the ideal settlement the preferred award and selecting the nearest offer importantly bazerman and farber 1985 farber and bazerman 1986 and gibbons 1988 noted that the preferred award is not exogenous but reflects the perspectives of the bargainers consequently although foa arbitrators may not compromise by splitting the difference between the offers they may formulate preferred awards that compromise between the bargainers perspectives because farber 1980 and gibbons 1988 showed that submitted offers should be strategically aligned around the arbitrator s preferred award an empirical analysis of final offers should reveal any compromises implicit in the preferred award to test the compromised preferred award hypothesis this study examines foa offers in major league baseball unique characteristics in baseball foa allow for a test of the compromised preferred award baseball players become eligible for foa after completing roughly three years of major league service during these first three years the players bargain in a purely monopsonistic environment the players may not freely negotiate with other clubs until they have completed six years of service the coexisting monopsonistic and oligopsonistic free agency markets have led to extraordinary differentials in player salaries that have been well documented in economic literature as in kahn 1993 although players with three to six years of experience continue to be bound to one club they may unilaterally opt for foa consequently the arbitrator must determine the appropriate payscale for an eligible player because the clubs prefer to extend monopsony salaries into the arbitration eligibility years they are likely to stress the importance of the player s prior salary i e the size of the raise a player is entitled to receive whereas the players would rather have the arbitrators rely on free agent salaries to determine the proper wage although the arbitrators could side with one of the positions theory predicts the preferred award will reflect a compromise between the two perspectives the results strongly support the existence of compromised preferred award the submitted final offers are a weighted average between the mean free agent salary and the player s salary in the previous season the notion that the preferred award represents a compromise between the two perspectives is strengthened when one examines the weights of losing offers specifically for both hitters and pitchers the losing player offer does not differ significantly from the mean free agent salary for a comparable player winning player offers on the other hand are less than the comparable free agent salary perhaps the most intriguing finding is that by compromising between the perspectives of players and clubs baseball foa has generated its own unique labor market through which player salaries lie between the monopsony and free agent levels

real indeterminacy with financial assets abstract it is shown that in a two period general equilibrium securities model where assets pay in money the generic dimension of the set of equilibrium allocations in the incomplete market situation is s 1 where s is the number of assets hence the degree or real indeterminacy is independent of the number of assets this result requires beyond fewer assets than states that the number of traders be larger than the number of securities and that the asset return matrix be in general position the generic dimension for arbitrary returns matrix is also obtained it is argued in addition that the presence of real or mixed assets does not by itself lower the degree of indeterminacy

the welfare cost of inflation under imperfect insurance abstract this paper examines the welfare cost of inflation in an economy where agents hold money in order to smooth consumption in the face of income variability for which there is no insurance the findings indicate that for the type of economies considered here the area under the empirical money demand curve is a poor measure of the welfare cost of inflation this area accounts for only one fourth of the true costs in the case of 5 inflation

if agricultural land taxation is so efficient why is it so rarely used the land tax enjoys a distinguished pedigree in the theoretical literature on tax efficiency yet it is rarely used as a serious revenue source in rural areas of developing countries this article considers three drawbacks of the land tax relative to taxes on exports or marketed output 1 capitalization effects of the land tax impose a large burden on the current generation 2 land taxation increases the riskiness of net farmer income and 3 administration of the land tax entails costly informational requirements this article demonstrates that only the second and third drawbacks are valid economic arguments against the land tax simulations based on an economic model of farm behavior suggest that farmers may still prefer a land tax to an export tax despite the increased uncertainty of their after tax income administrative costs are therefore the best explanation of the weak link between the theoretical and practical aspects of land taxation

land tenure security and investment incentives puzzling evidence from burkina faso abstract the commonsense logic associating higher land security and higher incentives to invest has been recently called into question in the case of african agriculture to be meaningful empirical tests have to be carefully designed so as to take account of the possible endogeneity of the land rights variable this is done in this paper by applying suitable econometric methods to the original data collected in burkina faso the results obtained cast doubt on the existence of a systematic influence of land tenure security on investment by reviewing the justifications for scepticism in the recent literature we are able to conclude that the traditional village order where it exists provides the basic land rights required to stimulate small scale investment

trade orientation and macroeconomic performance in ldcs an empirical study there exist several cross country studies that seek to establish the superiority of export oriented policies eops over import substitution policies isps with few exceptions these studies use growth rates of exports as proxies for trade policies on the assumption that eops lead to higher rates of export growth 2 a positive correlation between export growth and output growth is then interpreted as evidence of the superiority of eops over isps in studies using a production function framework a positive association between export growth sometimes weighted by export shares and output growth is taken to imply a positive contribution of eops to growth of total factor productivity 3 while results of these studies are frequently cited in the literature j bhagwati has pointed out that they do not bear directly on the question whether the ep export promotion strategy is productive of more growth because the incentive related ep strategy is not the one used to examine the question of income or growth performance it is necessary to identify whether the superior export growth rates or higher export magnitudes belong to the ep countries 4 it should be pointed out here that cross country studies occasionally do refer to evidence in support of their use of export growth rates as proxies for trade policies one such study by j b donges and j riedel based on a time series analysis of 12 countries found partial support for such a relationship in four of the countries the shift toward eop was attended by a decline in the trend rate of export growth and for a fifth country the positive shift in export growth was statistically insignificant 5 similar results were obtained by b balassa for an overlapping group of countries 6 while these studies suggest a connection between trade policies and export growth over time for individual countries they do not constitute evidence of such a connection across

optimal taxation and optimal tax systems the theory of optimal taxation has for the pas two decades been the reigning normative approach of taxation this paper argues that in its current state optimal tax theory is incomplete as a guide to action concerning many critical issues in tax policy it is incomplete because it has not yet come to terms with taxation as a system of coercively collecting revenues from individuals who will tend to resist the coercive nature of collection taxes implies that the resource cost of implementing a tax system have been and will continue to be a critical determinant of appropriate tax policy the paper first presents the three cornerstone propositions of optimal tax theory and then it discusses the influence of these propositions on recent tax policy developments it concludes by sketching an alternative to optimal taxation called the theory of optimal tax systems which embraces the insights of optimal taxation but also considers the technology of raising taxes and the constraints placed upon tax policy by that technology the optimal tax systems perspective is shown to shed light on the choice of tax instruments the problem of tax evasion and the appropriate tax treatment of capital income this abstract was borrowed from another version of this item

the dynamics of welfare gains and losses an african case study this article uses panel survey data for cote d ivoire to investigate the determinants of welfare gains and losses of households over time a first difference model is estimated which takes account of initial conditions for urban areas it was found that human capital is not only a key explanatory factor for levels of welfare but also the most important endowment to explain welfare changes over time in rural areas physical capital especially land and farm equipment mattered most household size and composition and socioeconomic characteristics of the household also affected welfare changes policy implications are discussed

property rights and resource use evidence from mlb starting pitchers we conduct a unique test of the efficiency of property rights in major league baseball the rights to the services of players are resources that can be possessed by the clubs or by the players them

trends in the terms of trade of primary commodities 1900 1982 the controversy and its origins primary commodity markets have offered an opportunity for much economic debate on a number of key issues first secularly declining terms of trade of primary commodities are used to explain the widening gap between developing ldcs and developed countries dcs second they are regarded as a contributing factor to the creation of a structural condition of unequal exchange between a dominating industrial center and a dominated agrarian periphery and third they are thought to be a source of instability often causing financial vulnerability to foreign exchange equilibria and fragility to international market institutions

behavioural and material determinants of production relations in agriculture in this essay we develop a framework for analysing the major institutions governing the production and exchange of output and the primary factors of production in rural areas the analysis incorporates general considerations of risk and information constraints jointly with the principal material attributes of agriculture and of agricultural production factors the framework is used to analyse barriers to the existence of the major intertemporal and factor markets it is applied specifically to land scarce environments for which it provides an internally consistent explanation for many of the well documented institutional features of such settings in addition the analysis provides new implications for among other phenomena the inter relationships among ownership holdings operational scale family size and factor productivity for the scarcity of animal rental markets and use of animals as collateral for the renting out of land by small landowners and for the existence of plantations for certain crops

the political economy of productivity thai agricultural development 1880 1975 the economic history of thailand between 1880 and 1975 contrasts sharply with the development experiences of other third world countries between the opening of trade in 1850 and 1941 when war halted economic activity thailand became a major exporter of rice in the world market although conditions for further growth seemed highly favourable thailand s rapid integration into the world economy failed to improve living standards and rice yields actually declined in examining the causes of the underdevelopment of thai agriculture over the last 100 years feeny introduces supply and demand models of technical and institutional change to analyse why the rice export boom did not result in more development this book much of which is based on primary research in the thai national archives is one of the few quantitative economic histories of a less developed country

saving in developing countries theory and review in the literature on economic development much of the interest in saving has been focused on the relation between saving and growth but saving is not only about accumulation it is about smoothing consumption in the face of volatile and unpredictable income and helping to ensure the living standards of poor people whose lives are difficult and uncertain this paper develops a model of households which cannot borrow but which accumulate assets as a buffer stock to protect consumption when incomes are low such households dissave as often as they save do not accumulate assets over the long term and have on average very small asset holdings but their consumption is markedly smoother than their income much of the evidence is as consistent with this view of saving as it is incosistent with standard views of smoothing over the life cycle and with explanations of the link between saving and growth in terms of life cycle saving behavior consumption smoothing is also a useful way of thinking about government policy where volatility in the world prices of taxed commodities can generate sharp fluctuations in government revenues as well as reallocations of revenue between the private and public sectors many important policy issues in developing countries hinge on issues of consumption and smoothing and research on these issues is currently likely to be more productive than work on the relation between saving and growth

sustainable land use management under biodiversity lag effects the destruction of natural habitats for agricultural production results in local biodiversity loss biodiversity loss in turn affects agricultural production indirectly through a range of biodiversity dependent ecosystem services land conversion thus results in a negative externality mediated by changes in biodiversity when the consequences of this externality are delayed in time lack of internalization results in overshoot and collapse dynamics which are undesirable from a sustainability perspective here we emphasize the importance of forward looking policies for the long term sustainability of human nature interactions we show that the internalization of this externality through a land tax can result in several win win effects in the long run first more biodiversity is preserved at equilibrium which increases the carrying capacity and total well being of the human population second a taxation path that maximizes the discounted sum of human utilities prevents or greatly alleviates overshoot and collapse crises thus increasing the sustainability of the system in particular this result holds in the case of imperfect information regarding the precise temporal dynamics of biodiversity loss suggesting that the design of efficient land use management policies is possible despite incomplete ecological data this study highlights the need to internalize biodiversity dependent externalities through economic incentives especially under uncertainty regarding long term ecological dynamics

agricultural taxation in developing countries a survey of issues and policy this study surveys the experience of agricultural taxation in developing countries in the context of the ongoing policy debate about the tax structure and administration affecting agricultural producers using the examples of a number of countries it analyzes the conceptual and practical problems associated with different tax regimes governments in most countries have reduced indirect export taxes on agricultural producers however the revenue from direct taxes on farmers has not increased a major problem in most countries has been the measurement of actual agricultural income different measures for presumed income have been used with varying success they seem to have the most potential for increased revenue in many countries but their effective implementation is constrained by the political and administrative considerations

the existence and persistence of a winner s curse new evidence from the baseball field this study takes advantage of recent developments in the measurement and valuation of individual output in the baseball labor market to i reassess prior evidence that this market is afflicted by the winner s curse phenomenon and ii test whether bidders learn to avoid this curse over time though we find no evidence of negative average returns on player contracts for the earliest cohort of baseball free agents we conclude that teams in that era failed to efficiently discount their bids in accord with available information especially about risk what is more evidence from a larger sample of players signed in the late 1990s shows that teams have continued to overvalue inconsistent free agents and failed to limit their bids to conform to players lower values in small markets this is consistent with experimental evidence that finds bounded rational behavior when bidders are faced with complex valuation problems involving multiple elements

an economic evaluation of the moneyball hypothesis in his 2003 book moneyball financial reporter michael lewis made a striking claim the valuation of skills in the market for baseball players was grossly inefficient the discrepancy was so large that when the oakland athletics hired an unlikely management group consisting of billy beane a former player with mediocre talent and two quantitative analysts the team was able to exploit this inefficiency and outproduce most of the competition while operating on a shoestring budget the publication of moneyball triggered a firestorm of criticism from baseball insiders lewis 2004 and it raised the eyebrows of many economists as well basic price theory implies a tight correspondence between pay and productivity when markets are competitive and rich in information as would seem to be the case in baseball the market for baseball players receives daily attention from the print and broadcast media along with periodic in depth analysis from lifelong baseball experts and academic economists indeed a case can be made that more is known about pay and quantified performance in this market than in any other labor market in the american economy in this paper we test the central portion of lewis s 2003 argument with elementary econometric tools and confirm his claims in particular we find that hitters salaries during this period did not accurately reflect the contribution of various batting skills to winning games this inefficiency was sufficiently large that knowledge of its existence and the ability to exploit it enabled the oakland athletics to gain a substantial advantage over their competition further we find

land ownership security and farm productivity evidence from thailand the article discusses the impact of land ownership security on farmers input use and output value economic theory suggests that farmers with secure legal ownership will have more incentives and better ability to invest due to a lower perceived risk and a favourable access to institutional credit this leads to higher variable inputs use and higher output per unit of land the article uses farm level data from three provinces in thailand to test the above propositions the data pertain to samples of squatters who lack secure legal ownership as contrasted with legally titled farmers the results confirm that the provision of secure ownership in ldcs can increase productivity significantly

rural market imperfections and the farm size productivity relationship evidence from pakistan the subject of this article is the relationships between farm size and productivity and between farm size and profitability in the developing countries the recent controversies over the inverse size output relationship are reviewed and a framework is provided that explains the inverse relationship based on plausible assumptions about imperfections in the markets for labor land credit and risk from this framework a set of testable hypotheses are derived the hypotheses are tested on recent farm level panel data from pakistan a strong inverse relationship between farm size and yield is present in the sample even when household fixed effects are used to account for unobserved heterogeneity moreover the suggested market imperfections framework is consistent with the data

financial market efficiency in an agrarian economy microeconometric analysis of the pakistani punjab the shadow price of capital in production is a useful indicator of the efficacy of the rural financial system using data on participants and non participants in a small farm credit programme from the pakistani punjab this article estimates the shadow price of capital endogenous switching regressions techniques are employed to control for the likely heterogeneity of borrowers versus non borrowers results indicate that an individual selected at random from the population of small farmers would experience a 200 per cent rate of return on the first rupee borrowed from the small farm credit programme indicating a high shadow price of capital and a prima facie case for small farm credit programmes

is small beautiful farm size productivity and poverty in asian agriculture the debate on the relationship between farm size and productivity has gone through a complete circle in the 1960s it was perceived that small farms were efficient because they can fully use their resources particularly family labor and they can monitor their production activities closely but in the 1970s and 1980s as many asian countries rapidly moved towards industrialization and urbanization small farms were considered a major obstacle in this process