approval of social security disability appeals analysis of judges decisions this article is an empirical analysis of decisions by judges regarding requests by individuals for disability benefits applicants for disability benefits who are twice denied through the normal process can appeal to one of the social security administration s administrative law judges who hold appointed positions the data for this study are taken from decisions made by approximately 1000 judges for cases heard from 2010 through 2012 using each judge as a unit of observation the data reveal the number of cases heard and the number of approvals granted we augmented the data with additional information on the presiding judge and with data from the state in which the court resides the purpose of the study is to determine whether a simple model can explain first the volume of decisions rendered at the judge level and second the proportion of approvals results indicate that the volume of decisions can be explained in part by the judge s recent record of leniency evidence also supports the hypothes

the labor market four years into the crisis assessing structural explanations four years after the beginning of the great recession the labor market remains historically weak many observers have concluded that structural impediments to recovery bear some of the blame the author reviews such structural explanations but after analyzing u s data on unemployment and productivity he finds there is little evidence supporting these hypotheses he finds that the bulk of the evidence is more consistent with the hypothesis that continued poor performance is primarily attributable to shortfalls in the aggregate demand for labor

employment protection legislation and firm growth evidence from a natural experiment a swedish reform in 2001 made it possible for firms with less than 11 employees to exclude two from the last in first out principle in case of layoffs the reform increased employment growth with o

the effects of risk on self employment the effects of sectoral risk on the propensity to become self employed are analysed in contrast to previous studies which assume risk is concentrated only in the self employment sector a general equilibrium model is constructed in which uninsurable risk exists in both the paid and self employed sectors it is shown that when agents wish to mix self employment and employee participation the effects of sectoral risk on the optimal self employment decision is ambiguous this result disappears if agents choose instead to participate in one sector alone

how financial incentives induce disability insurance recipients to return to work using a local randomized experiment that arises from a sharp discontinuity in disability insurance di policy in norway we provide transparent and credible identification of how financial incentives induce di recipients to return to work we find that many di recipients have considerable capacity to work that can be effectively induced by providing financial work incentives we further show that providing work incentives to di recipients may both increase their disposable income and reduce program costs our findings also suggest that targeted policies may be the most effective in encouraging di recipients to return to work

family welfare cultures strong intergenerational correlations in various types of welfare use have fuelled a long standing debate over whether welfare receipt in one generation causes welfare participation in the next generation some claim a causal relationship in welfare receipt across generations has created a culture in which welfare use reinforces itself through the family others argue the determinants of poverty or poor health are correlated across generations so that children s welfare participation is associated with but not caused by parental welfare receipt however there is little empirical evidence to sort out these claims in this paper we investigate the existence and importance of family welfare cultures in the context of norway s disability insurance di system to overcome the challenge of correlated unobservables across generations we take advantage of random assignment of judges to di applicants whose cases are initially denied some appeal judges are systematically more lenient which leads to random variation in the probability a parent will be allowed di using this exogenous variation we find strong evidence that welfare receipt in one generation causes welfare participation in the next generation when a parent is allowed di their adult child s participation over the next five years increases by 6 percentage points this effect grows over time rising to 12 percentage points after ten years while these findings are specific to our setting they serve to highlight that welfare reforms can have long lasting effects on program participation since any original effect on the current generation could be reinforced by changing the participation behavior of their children as well the detailed nature of our data allows us to compare the intergenerational transmission with spillover effects in other networks and to explore mechanisms our findings point to a special link between parents and their children with little impact due to close neighbors di participation we find suggestive evidence that what may change as a result of a parent being allowed di is their children s beliefs about the efficacy of trying to get on to the di program or their attitudes about di participation and its stigma

earnings inequality and mobility in the united states evidence from social security data since 1937 this paper uses social security administration longitudinal earnings micro data since 1937 to analyze the evolution of inequality and mobility in the united states annual earnings inequality is u shaped decreasing sharply up to 1953 and increasing steadily afterward short term earnings mobility measures are stable over the full period except for a temporary surge during world war ii virtually all of the increase in the variance in annual log earnings since 1970 is due to increase in the variance of permanent earnings as opposed to transitory earnings mobility at the top of the earnings distribution is stable and has not mitigated the dramatic increase in annual earnings concentration since the 1970s long term mobility among all workers has increased since the 1950s but has slightly declined among men the decrease in the gender earnings gap and the resulting substantial increase in upward mobility over a lifetime for women are the driving force behind the increase in long term mobility among all workers

the perverse effects of partial labour market reform fixed term contracts in france we argue that the effects of a partial reform of employment protection by allowing firms to hire workers on fixed term contracts may be perverse the main effect may be high turnover in entry level jobs leading to higher not lower unemployment even if unemployment falls workers may be worse off going through many spells of unemployment and entry level jobs before obtaining a regular job considering french data for young workers since the early 1980s we conclude that the reforms have substantially increased turnover without a substantial reduction in unemployment duration if anything the effect on their welfare appears to have been negative

the impact of medicaid on labor market activity and program participation evidence from the oregon health insurance experiment united states dept of health and human services assistant secretary for planning and evaluation

habitual entrepreneurs in the making how labour market rigidity and employment affects entrepreneurial re entry we investigate the impact of country level labour market regulations on the re entry decision of experienced entrepreneurs whereby they become habitual entrepreneurs multilevel logit models on entry decisions among 15 709 individuals in 29 european countries show that labour market regulations have a positive influence on the decision to re enter into entrepreneurship this positive impact is stronger among individuals holding wage jobs at the time of re entry compared to those that do not our results indicate that novice and habitual entrepreneurs may respond very differently to labour market rigidity we discuss and provide tentative explanations for these differences and outline potential policy implications

consequences of cultural practices for entrepreneurial behaviors although national culture is an important regulator of entrepreneurship there is a dearth of studies that 1 explore the effects of national cultural practices on entrepreneurial behaviors by individuals 2 use appropriate multilevel research designs 3 consider the effects of culture on different entrepreneurial behaviors such as entry and post entry growth aspirations we combined global entrepreneurship monitor gem and global leadership and organizational behavior effectiveness globe data from 42 countries for 2005 2008 to address these gaps using a multilevel design we found societal institutional collectivism practices negatively associated with entrepreneurial entry but positively associated with entrepreneurial growth aspirations uncertainty avoidance practices were negatively associated with entry but not with growth aspirations and performance orientation practices were positively associated with entry our analysis highlights the differential effects of cultural practices on entrepreneurial entry and growth aspirations and demonstrates the value of multilevel techniques in analyzing the effect of culture on entrepreneurship

the rise in the disability rolls and the decline in unemployment between 1984 and 2001 the share of nonelderly adults receiving social security disability insurance income di rose by 60 percent to 5 3 million beneficiaries rapid program growth despite improving aggregate health appears to be explained by reduced screening stringency declining demand for less skilled workers and an unforeseen increase in the earnings replacement rate we estimate that the sum of these forces doubled the labor force exit propensity of displaced high school dropouts after 1984 lowering measured u s unemployment by one half a percentage point steady state calculations augur a further 40 percent increase in the rate of di receipt

earnings losses of displaced workers revisited recent literature reviews conclude that job displacement results in sustained earnings losses bruce c fallick 1996 lori g kletzer 1998 and that estimates of the size of those reductions vary with the type of data used in the analysis the industry within which displacement occurs and business cycle conditions the largest estimated losses were obtained using administrative data from pennsylvania during the 1970s and 1980s louis s jacobson robert j lalonde and daniel g sullivan 1993a the data covered a period of high unemployment in a heavily indus trialized state characterized by disproportionate job losses in manufacturing thus the ability to generalize those results to more favorable economic times and states with a greater reliance on service sector employment has been questioned to address these issues administrative data are used to similarly examine the impact of job displacement on earnings losses of workers in connecticut from 1993 to 2004 the work of jacobson lalonde and sullivan jls also provided important methodologi cal advancement by adapting analytical techniques developed for program evaluation james j heckman and v joseph hotz 1989 to the context of job displacement the same techniques fixed effects and time trend estimators as those used in the original jls publication are initially employed here then the methods are extended to include matching estimators developed since their publication both nearest neighbor estimators of average treatment on the treated att and differenced average treatment on the treated datt are adapted to the context of this study heckman hidehiko ichimura and petra todd 1997 heckman et al 1998 and rajeev h dehejia and sadek wahba 1999 2002 the results presented here for connecticut differ in some ways from those found in the work of jls using data from pennsylvania in the period immediately following job loss regardless of the technique employed earnings reductions for workers displaced through mass layoff range from 32 percent to 33 percent jls reported immediate losses of more than 40 percent six years later using the same estimators as jls earnings reductions in connecticut range from 13 percent to 15 percent they report sustained losses in pennsylvania of 25 percent the smaller long term impacts in connecticut demonstrate that under more ordinary economic times esti mated losses from administrative data lie within the range observed using other data sources this finding resolves a long standing conflict among the results of high quality studies that have used differing data sources to study earnings reductions following job loss 1 using two different matching estimators earnings losses six years after mass layoff are 12 percent the matching estimators compare those who experienced mass layoff to compari sons with the same ex ante probability of the event these smaller losses are consistent with the

employment time and the cyclicality of earnings growth abstract we study how the distribution of earnings growth evolves over the business cycle in italy we distinguish between two sources of annual earnings growth changes in employment time number of weeks of employment within a year and changes in weekly earnings changes in employment time generate the tails of the earnings growth distribution and account for its procyclical skewness in contrast the distribution of weekly earnings growth is close to symmetric and stable over the cycle this suggests that studies of earnings risk should carefully model the employment margin to avoid erroneous conclusions on the nature and magnitude of risks underlying individual earnings we show that the combination of simple employment and wage processes is enough to capture the complex features of the earnings growth distribution

who become serial and portfolio entrepreneurs serial entrepreneurs run multiple businesses in sequence while portfolio entrepreneurs run multiple businesses in parallel they differ from novice entrepreneurs who have so far operated only one venture the present paper is the first to model occupational choices between all three entrepreneurial types it goes on to discuss its theoretical predictions in the light of independent evidence about serial and portfolio entrepreneurship from the extant literature

the growth in the social security disability rolls a fiscal crisis unfolding the u s social security disability insurance di program has grown dramatically over the last 20 years in size and expense this growth poses significant risks to the finances of the di program and the broader social security system and raises troubling questions as to whether the program is being misused by claimants this article first provides an overview of the disability insurance program describing who qualifies for the program how an individual applies for benefits and how the level of benefits is determined next we summarize the factors responsible for the growth in the di rolls and discuss how the characteristics of di recipients have changed as a result we then explore the extent of moral hazard in the di program and the effectiveness of the screening process in distinguishing meritorious from nonmeritorious claims finally we identify the challenges that the di program creates for social security finances and social security reform and discuss potential reforms to the di program

the health and earnings of rejected disability insurance applicants applicants for social security disability benefits who fail to pass the medical screening form a natural control group for beneficiaries data drawn from the 1972 and 1978 surveys of the disabled done for the social security administration show that fewer than 50 percent of rejected male applicants work typical earnings of those that do are less than 59 percent of median earnings for other men their age these data cast doubt on recent econometric work that suggests that the disincentive effects of the social security disability program have been substantial copyright 1989 by american economic association

the case for presenteeism evidence from norway s sickness insurance program can a work first strategy control moral hazard problems in temporary disability insurance and accelerate recovery based on empirical analysis of norwegian data we show that it can activation requirements not only bring down benefit claims they also reduce the likelihood that long term sickness absence leads to inactivity our findings show that absentees who are assigned graded partial absence certificates by their physician have shorter absences and higher subsequent employment rates than they would have had on regular sick leave we conclude that the activation strategies that in recent years have permeated european and us welfare policy may fruitfully be carried over to sick leave insurance for temporary disabled workers

disability earnings income and consumption using longitudinal data for the period 1968 2005 for a sample of male household heads we determine the prevalence of disability during the working years and examine how the extent of disability affects a range of outcomes including earnings income and consumption we have seven main findings first disability rates are high we divide the disabled along two dimensions based on the persistence and severity of their work limiting condition we estimate that a person reaching age 56 has a 53 percent chance of having been disabled at least once during his working years and a 19 percent chance that he has begun a chronic and severe disability second the economic consequences of disability are frequently profound ten years after disability onset a person with a chronic and severe disability on average experiences a 68 percent decline in earnings a 32 percent decline in after tax income a 22 percent decline in food and housing consumption and a 21 percent decline in food consumption third the various economic consequences differ sharply across disability groups the outcome declines for those with a chronic and severe disability are often more than twice as large as those for the average disabled fourth our findings show the partial and incomplete roles that individual savings family support and social insurance play in reducing the consumption drop that follows disability only about half of this most disabled group reports receiving social security disability insurance or supplemental security income fifth we find a noticeable fall in earnings and income prior to the onset of a reported disability consumption also falls somewhat suggesting that future disability is partially but incompletely predictable in the short run sixth time use and detailed consumption data further indicate that disability is associated with a decline in well being seventh the quantities we have estimated combined with elasticities from the literature allow us to examine the optimality of current compensation for the disabled we find that the current compensation for our most disabled group appears to be lower than is optimal

trends in employment and earnings of allowed and rejected applicants to the social security disability insurance program since the early 1980s changes in the economic environment and in the process for determining eligibility for the social security disability insurance di program have had significant effects on the program first the economic situation and labor force opportunities for lower skilled people continued to decline leading to lower rates of participation in the labor force for less educated men second changes in the eligibility process made it easier to obtain di benefits based on conditions difficult to clearly identify on medical terms alone such as back pain or depression 1 those two factors have likely contributed to a substantial increase in the number of individuals receiving di as well as a significant change in the characteristics of applicants and new beneficiaries over the same period both applicants and new beneficiaries have become younger longer lived more likely to apply because of nonterminal conditions such as back pain or mental health and more likely to be female 2 as a result recent work projects a rapid increase in program costs as greater numbers of beneficiaries stay on the program for more years e g david h autor and duggan 2006 the concurrent developments in the economy and eligibility rules have also fueled the concern that the generosity of di increasingly induces low income workers to apply for and sometimes receive benefits and that some of those beneficiaries would be able to work in the absence of the program indeed a growing body of research suggests that some workers in difficult economic conditions exit the labor force to

explaining social policy preferences evidence from the great recession to what extent do personal circumstances as compared to ideological dispositions drive voters preferences on welfare policy addressing this question is difficult because a person s ideological position can be an outcome of material interest rather than an independent source of preferences the article deals with this empirical challenge using an original panel study carried out over four years tracking the labor market experiences and the political attitudes of a national sample of americans before and after the eruption of the financial crisis the analysis shows that the personal experience of economic hardship particularly the loss of a job had a major effect on increasing support for welfare spending this effect was appreciably larger among republicans than among democrats a result that was not simply due to a ceiling effect however the large attitudinal shift was short lived dissipating as individuals employment situations improved the results indicate that the personal experience of an economic shock has a sizable yet overall transient effect on voters social policy preferences

income and substitution effects of a disability insurance reform abstract disability insurance di systems are widely criticized for their inherent work disincentives this paper evaluates the effects of a swiss di reform that aims to lower di benefits for a group of existing di beneficiaries and introduces an additional level to the di benefit schedule the reform has only modest effects on earnings and employment but increases the disability degree of those threatened by a di benefit decline we estimate bounds on the income and substitution effects by employing the principal stratification framework the income effect is quantitatively important whereas the substitution effect is smaller and has bounds that include zero the evidence suggests that caseworkers helped the insured with low labor market attachment to maintain a full di benefit

the long run impact of cash transfers to poor families lleras muney we estimate the long run impact of cash transfers to poor families on children s longevity educational attainment nutritional status and income in adulthood to do so we collected individual level administrative records of applicants to the mothers pension program the first government sponsored welfare program in the united states 1911 1935 and matched them to census wwii and death records male children of accepted applicants lived one year longer than those of rejected mothers they also obtained onethird more years of schooling were less likely to be underweight and had higher income in adulthood than children of rejected mothers jel i12 i14 i18 i32 i38 j16 n32

the longitudinal structure of earnings losses among work limited disabled workers this paper asks what are the dynamic effects of disability on earnings unlike most of the previous literature it uses panel data and fixed effects methods are used to assess how the earnings of disabled workers depart from expected levels over many years before and after the date of onset of their disability the paper also examines how worker characteristics affect earnings losses from disability with particular attention paid to the age at which the person suffers onset disabled men are found to experience sharp drops in earnings that predate the measured date of onset earnings recover rapidly soon after onset with much of the immediate reduction made up in the first two post onset years a modest downward trendfollows resulting in significant long term losses in expected annual earnings of about 12 percent per year being older at onset nonwhite more chronically disabled and less educated cause the losses from disability to be larger and the recovery smaller a large portion of these differences across groups appear to derive from industry affiliation after onset the paper argues the facts are all consistent with a simple human capital explanation of the disability process

how do patents affect follow on innovation evidence from the human genome we investigate whether patents on human genes have affected follow on scientific research and product development using administrative data on successful and unsuccessful patent applications submitted to the us patent and trademark office we link the exact gene sequences claimed in each application with data measuring follow on scientific research and commercial investments using this data we document novel evidence of selection into patenting patented genes appear more valuable prior to being patented than non patented genes this evidence of selection motivates two quasi experimental approaches both of which suggest that on average gene patents have had no quantitatively important effect on follow on innovation

does disability insurance receipt discourage work using examiner assignment to estimate causal effects of ssdi receipt abstract we present the first causal estimates of the effect of social security disability insurance benefit receipt on labor supply using all program applicants we use administrative data to matc

the regulation of labor author s botero juan djankov simeon la porta rafael lopez de silanes florencio shleifer andrei abstract we investigate the regulation of labor markets through employment collective relations and social security laws in 85 countries we find that the political power of the left is associated with more stringent labor regulations and more generous social security systems and that socialist french and scandinavian legal origin countries have sharply higher levels of labor regulation than do common law countries however the effects of legal origins are larger and explain more of the variation in regulations than those of politics heavier regulation of labor is associated with lower labor force participation and higher unemployment especially of the young these results are most naturally consistent with legal theories according to which countries have pervasive regulaory styles inherited from the transplantation of legal systems

how do unemployment insurance benefits affect the decision to apply for social security disability insurance this paper examines whether unemployment insurance ui benefits affect the decision to apply for social security disability insurance di using data from the survey of income and benefits matched to administrative records on di applications i find that higher ui benefits reduce applications for di this substitution effect is imprecisely estimated but economically significant implying that a 1 00 increase in ui benefits reduces di expenditures by 15 cents recognizing this cost saving effect would increase the optimal ui benefit level by more than 20 percent for coefficients of relative risk aversion ranging from two to five

disability insurance and the dynamics of the incentive insurance trade off we provide a life cycle framework for comparing insurance and disincentive effects of disability benefits the risks that individuals face and the parameters of the disability insurance di program are estimated from consumption health disability insurance and wage data we characterize the effects of disability insurance and study how policy reforms impact behavior and welfare di features high rejection rates of disabled applicants and some acceptance of healthy applicants despite worse incentives welfare increases as programs become less strict or generosity increases disability insurance interacts with welfare programs making unconditional means tested programs more generous improves disability insurance targeting and increases welfare

novice portfolio and serial founders are they different abstract there is growing interest in entrepreneurs who have been involved in more than one venture yet to date there has been relatively little theoretical development and systematic empirical examination of the topic in particular there has been little attention to the potential heterogeneity of habitual entrepreneurship this study aims to contribute to this emerging area in two ways first it outlines a conceptual typology of habitual entrepreneurs who have founded purchased or inherited businesses second the empirical part of the study focuses on owner managers providing an exploratory analysis of the characteristics and effects of independent business ownership by novice portfolio and serial founders novice founders are those that have no prior entrepreneurial experience as either a founder an inheritor or a purchaser of a business portfolio founders retain their original business and inherit establish and or purchase another business serial founders are those who sell their original business but at a later date inherit establish and or purchase another business the study derives propositions suggesting differences among the three types of founders at the individual founder level of analysis similarities as well as differences in the personal background work experiences reasons leading to the start up of businesses and personal attitudes to entrepreneurship of these three types of entrepreneurs are explored at the organizational level of analysis finance employment and performance differences among the businesses owned by the three types of entrepreneurs are presented the issues are examined using a sample of entrepreneurs who were the principal owner managers of independent businesses in great britain the sample included 389 novice founders 62 6 75 portfolio founders 12 1 and 157 serial founders 25 3 no statistically significant differences were found among the three groups of entrepreneurs with regard to the main industrial activity geographical location and the age of their businesses univariate and multivariate tests were used to examine potential differences between the groups the results of the study show significant differences between portfolio and serial founders with regard to their parental background work experience and their age when they started their first business differences were also found with respect to reasons leading to start up personal attitudes to entrepreneurship and sources of funds used during the launch period of the surveyed business these findings suggest that habitual entrepreneurs cannot be treated as a homogeneous group the analysis however failed to find any significant differences between the performance of the surveyed firms owned by habitual founders and novice founders and between the two types of habitual founders the findings of the study indicate for researchers that there is a need to carefully define the unit of analysis in any examination of entrepreneurs in particular there is a need to take note of the heterogeneity of types of entrepreneur and to consider the entrepreneur as the appropriate unit of analysis rather than simply the firm although this study focused on habitual founders of businesses the theoretical section of the study also identified other types of habitual entrepreneurs such as serial corporate entrepreneurs and serial management buy out and buy in cases these other types of habitual entrepreneurs would appear to warrant further analysis the findings of this study have a number of implications for practitioners especially venture capitalists the absence of significant performance differences between novice and habitual entrepreneurs which is consistent with the results from other studies emphasizes the need for venture capitalists screening potential investees not to rely solely on previous experience the study also has implications for policy makers especially with respect to decisions concerning the allocation of resources to assist nascent entrepreneurs novice entrepreneurs and habitual entrepreneurs the similarities in business performance among novice serial and portfolio entrepreneurs suggests that policy makers need to be careful in targeting scarce resources most notably targeting resources to encourage talented nascent entrepreneurs to become novice entrepreneurs may offer returns which are at least as good as targeting resources to more experienced entrepreneurs

unemployment insurance and disability insurance in the great recession social security disability insurance ssdi awards rise during recessions if marginal applicants are able to work but unable to find jobs countercyclical unemployment insurance ui benefit extensions may reduce ssdi uptake exploiting ui extensions in the great recession as a source of variation we find no indication that expiration of ui benefits causes ssdi applications and can rule out effects of meaningful magnitude a supplementary analysis finds little overlap between the two programs recipient populations only 28 of ssdi awardees had any labor force attachment in the prior calendar year and of those only 4 received ui

earnings of rejected applicants to the social security disability insurance program abstract this study bounds the potential earnings of accepted disability applicants by the post application earnings of rejected applicants compositional differences between the two groups are addressed using a reweighting estimator as shown the bound on earnings is similar regardless of weighting

hybrid entrepreneurship and public policy the case of firm entry deregulation hybrid entrepreneurs are entrepreneurs who are simultaneously working as paid employees although they constitute a systematic and large part of new firm creation their possibly distinct responsiveness to public policy is not yet studied arguing for the need to consider hybrid entrepreneurs in public policy we analyze the introduction of one stop shops for faster and simplified firm registration in mexico we find that hybrid entrepreneurs are more responsive to changes in entry regulation than full time entrepreneurs while both the best and least educated people respond to the reform the effect is most pronounced for highly educated hybrid entrepreneurs

novice serial and portfolio entrepreneur behaviour and contributions policy makers and practitioners are considering whether to allocate resources towards portfolio and serial entrepreneurs as well as the provision of additional initiatives to increase the pool of novice entrepreneurs to inform this policy debate univariate statistical tests were used to test for differences between 354 firms owned by novice serial and portfolio entrepreneurs in scotland also univariate tests were conducted to compare responses made by pairwise groups of entrepreneurs no significant differences were detected between the three types of entrepreneurs with regard to several entrepreneur and firm demographic characteristics additional analysis revealed that portfolio entrepreneurs have more diverse experiences and more resources than serial or novice entrepreneurs on average portfolio entrepreneurs appear to offer more attractive growth prospects than other entrepreneurs

practice makes perfect entrepreneurial experience curves and venture performance abstract this study tackles the puzzle of why increasing entrepreneurial experience does not always lead to improved financial performance of new ventures we propose an alternate framework demonstrating how experience translates into expertise by arguing that the positive experience performance relationship only appears to expert entrepreneurs while novice entrepreneurs may actually perform increasingly worse because of their inability to generalize their experiential knowledge accurately into new ventures these negative performance implications can be alleviated if the level of contextual similarity between prior and current ventures is high using matched employee employer data of an entire population of swedish founder managers between 1990 and 2007 we find a non linear relationship between entrepreneurial experience and financial performance consistent with our framework moreover the level of industry geographic and temporal similarities between prior and current ventures positively moderates this relationship our work provides both theoretical and practical implications for entrepreneurial experience people can learn entrepreneurship and pursue it with greater success as long as they have multiple opportunities to gain experience overcome barriers to learning and build an entrepreneurial experience curve

the impact of economic conditions on participation in disability programs evidence from the coal boom and bust abstract we examine the impact of the coal boom of the 1970 s and the coal bust of the 1980 s on disability program participation these shocks provide clear evidence that as the value of labor market participation increases disability program participation falls for the disability insurance program the elasticity of payments with respect to local earnings is between 0 3 and 0 4 and for supplemental security income the elasticity is between 0 4 and 0 7 consistent with a model where qualifying for disability programs is costly the relationship between economic conditions and program participation is much stronger for permanent than for transitory economic shocks

dependent self employment as a way to evade employment protection legislation this paper examines whether the strictness of employment protection legislation encourages employers to contract out work to their own paid employees by the formula of dependent self employment while making transitions to independent self employment less likely by altering the relative valuation of risk between salaried work and self employment in favour of the former in conducting this analysis discrete choice models are applied to data drawn from the european community household panel from 1994 to 2001 to test the hypotheses a tentative individual measure of the potential severance payment that a worker would receive in the case of dismissal is included as well as aggregated variables that try to capture differences in labour market institutions and macroeconomic conditions evidence for a positive impact of the strictness of employment protection legislation and the potential severance payment on transitions to dependent self employment is found the opposite effects however are detected for individuals becoming independent self employed

does welfare inhibit success the long term effects of removing low income youth from the disability rolls i estimate the effects of removing low income youth with disabilities from supplemental security income ssi on their earnings and income in adulthood using a regression discontinuity design based on a 1996 policy change in age 18 medical reviews i find that youth who are removed from ssi at age 18 recover one third of the lost ssi cash income in earnings ssi youth who are removed and stay off ssi earn on average 4 400 annually and they lose 76 000 in present discounted observed income over the 16 years following removal relative to those who do not receive a review jel i30 i38 j14 supporters of welfare programs defend them as vital lifelines for those who face barriers to work while critics charge that these programs create perverse incentives to qualify and perpetuate dependency encapsulating this debate is the controversy over the us supplemental security income ssi program a program that provides cash payments and medicaid eligibility to low income children and adults with disabilities and the aged elderly after three decades of rapid expansion ssi is now the largest nonwork based cash welfare program in the united states paying about 50 billion each year to 8 million recipients including 1 3 million children 1 ssi has been singled out by policymakers and the media for potential perverse incentives

the employment effects of terminating disability benefits abstract few social security disability insurance di beneficiaries return to the labor force making it hard to assess their likely employment in the absence of benefits using administrative data i examine the employment of individuals who lost di eligibility after the 1996 removal of drug and alcohol addictions as qualifying conditions approximately 22 started working at levels that would have disqualified them for di an employment response that is large relative to their work histories those who received di for 2 3 years had the largest response suggesting that a period of public assistance may maximize the employment of some disabled individuals

asset accumulation and labor force participation of disability insurance applicants abstract this paper provides empirical evidence of the existence of forward looking asset accumulation behavior among disability insurance applicants previously examined only in the theoretical literature using panel data from the rand health and retirement study i show that rejected applicants for social security disability insurance ssdi possess significantly more assets than accepted applicants immediately prior to application and exhibit lower attachment to the labor force these empirical results are consistent with the theoretical prediction in diamond and mirrlees 1978 and golosov and tsyvinski 2006 that certain individuals with high unwillingness to work maximize utility by planning in advance for their future disability insurance application because the existing empirical literature on disability insurance does not account for this intertemporal channel it may underestimate the total work disincentive effect of ssdi

the more things change the more they stay the same the safety net and poverty in the great recession much attention has been given to the large increases in safety net spending during the great recession we examine the relationship between poverty the safety net and business cycles historically and test whether there has been a significant change in this relationship we find that post welfare reform temporary assistance for needy families did not respond during the great recession and extreme poverty is more cyclical than in prior recessions food stamps and unemployment insurance are providing more protection or no less protection in the great recession and there is some evidence of less cyclicality for 100 poverty