government programs and adoption of conservation tillage practices on nonirrigated wheat farms a whole farm simulation analysis is used to investigate producer preferences for adoption of separate tillage practices minimum till combination till or no till under provisions of both the 1981 and 1985 farm bills an analysis of preference for participation or nonparticipation in government programs under both farm bills is also considered for risk averse producers a combination tillage practice with program participation is found to dominate as measured by stochastic dominance the other strategies considered under both the 1981 and 1985 provisions

property rights externalities and resource degradation locating the tragedy abstract resource degradation in the third world is largely driven by the demands of farm households for fuelwood and land for agriculture since resources are often controlled through indigenous systems of property the tragedy of the commons has been used to explain resource degradation as a result private property is suggested as a solution to resource degradation a dynamic model capable of examining household incentives for resource use under private and common property is developed results of the model reject the conventional wisdom that gives rise to the presumed optimality of private individual property in natural resources and the correlated indictment of group management regimes

bilateral bargaining with externalities this paper provides an analysis of a non cooperative pairwise bargaining game between agents in a network we establish that there exists an equilibrium that generates a coalitional bargaining division of the reduced surplus that arises as a result of externalities between agents that is we provide a non cooperative justification for a cooperative division of a non cooperative surplus the resulting division is related to the myerson shapley value with properties that are particularly useful and tractable in applications we demonstrate this by examining buyer seller networks and vertical foreclosure

valuation of landmass degradation using fuzzy hedonic method a case study of national capital region a hedonic model to determine the revealed willingness to pay for landmass of different suitability classes based on landmass functional characteristics obtained through subjective assessments is developed for the national capital region in india the inherent non specificity involved in subjective evaluation is minimized using fuzzy logic based regression technique the proposed fuzzy regression involves regression using central values of triangular fuzzy number and minimization of non specificity using linear programming the revealed willingness to pay for landmass of different suitability classes is used for valuation of disbenefits due to urban expansion on landmass of different agricultural suitability classes in national capital territory of delhi appropriate pricing policies to prevent the future inappropriate landuse practices are developed using the landmass valuation

organizational design and technology choice under intrafirm bargaining comment the authors consider a wide number of applications of an intrafirm bargaining game within organizations where employees and the firm engage in wage negotiations under their presumption that contracts cannot bind employees to the organization the resulting stable wage and profit profiles give rise to an objective function for the firm that places weight on inframarginal profits in an economically significant manner the authors in turn employ this methodology to explore applications of organizational design hiring and capital decisions training and cross training the importance of labor and asset specificity managerial hierarchies preferences for unionization responses to competition and internal capital budgeting copyright 1996 by american economic association

international income inequality measuring ppp bias by estimating engel curves for food there are large differences between rich and poor people in the world this is of major concern to economists as well as to policy makers the magnitude of the dif ferences however depends on the measure used for comparisons to illustrate per capita income in china is more than five times larger if one uses penn world table pwt 1 incomes rather than exchange rate based ex incomes in this paper we study pwt incomes which aim at correcting for price level dif ferences across countries and identify the bias in them by estimating engel curves for food furthermore we study the relationship between the bias and the income of a country the pwt produces purchasing power parity ppp adjusted incomes and thus the associated bias is referred to as the ppp bias having estimated the bias in pwt incomes we provide new estimates of real income and refer to these as the engel curve ec incomes by comparing the estimated ec incomes and the pwt incomes the issue of how the bias influences estimated inequality is discussed finally we discuss whether ex incomes which simply transform each country s nominal income into one common currency provide better estimates of income than do pwt incomes this paper reports three main findings first there is substantial and systematic ppp bias in the pwt incomes the poorer the country the more its income tends to be overestimated 2 second the ppp bias causes a substantial and robust underesti mation of international inequality the gini index increases substantially when one adjusts for the bias third whereas pwt incomes provide better estimates than the ex incomes for the richer countries the ex incomes which implicitly assume that ppp holds provide better estimates for the poorer countries as we know that price levels differ across countries there is consensus that the seminal work on establishing the pwt was a well founded initiative and the data have been extensively used 3 still although many studies rely on pwt data few focus on the ppp bias in this dataset some contributors focus on one component of the bias however the so called substitution bias and use macro data to measure this

stochastic dominance analysis of soil and water conservation in subsistence crop production in the eastern ethiopian highlands the case of the hunde lafto area the aim of this paper is to analyze whether investment in soil and water conservation results in a higher yield and income and or mitigate variability in yield and income to subsistence farm households in the hunde lafto area net returns from crop production with and without soil and water conservation swc are compared based on stochastic dominance sd criteria a non parametric first order sd and normalized second order are used for data analysis analysis is based on the soil conservation research program scrp database for the hunde lafto research unit the results of the analysis suggest that adopting a conservation strategy results in higher grain yield and net return than in not adopting the normalized second order sd analysis results do not support the hypothesis that conservation strategy is unambiguously better than a noconservation strategy in reducing variability in yield and net return to farmers however conservation strategy has shown second order dominance at lower levels of yield and income that often correspond to unfavorable rainfall conditions this makes it a preferred strategy to cope with the most prevalent risk factor of moisture shortage therefore appropriate policies to help and encourage farmers to adopt swc structures will contribute to improving the welfare of subsistence farm households in the study area and in other similar settings in the country designing and implementing swc techniques that may result in unambiguous second order sd dominance will further improve the desirability and adoption of conservation measures

an economic model of soil conservation by introducing soil depth and soil loss into a simple model of agricultural production this paper seeks to determine when the private path of erosion differs from the socially optimal path considering the depletion of soil only and abstracting from the environmental disruption caused by erosion the paper argues that under most institutional arrangements the social and private rates of erosion are the same the paper concludes that public policy should be directed toward reducing erosion only when it leads to significant pollution externalities

intra firm bargaining under non binding contracts we present a new methodology for studying the problem of intra firm bargaining based on the notion that contracts cannot commit the firm and its agents to wages and employment we develop and analyse a general non cooperative multilateral bargaining framework between the firm and its employees and consider outcomes which are immune to renegotiations by any party equilibrium firm profits are characterizable as both a weighted average of a neo classical non bargaining firm s profits and a generalization of shapley value for a corresponding cooperative game furthermore the resulting payoffs induce economically significant distortions in the firm s input and organizational design decisions

measuring global poverty why ppp methods matter abstract we present theory and evidence to suggest that in the context of analyzing global poverty the eks approach to estimating purchasing power parities yields more appropriate international comparison of real incomes than the geary khamis approach our analysis of the 1996 and 2005 international comparison project data confirms that the geary khamis approach substantially overstates the relative incomes of the world s poorest nations and this leads to misleading comparisons of poverty across regions and over time the eks index of real income is much closer to being a true index of economic welfare and is therefore preferred for assessment of global poverty

a soil quality index and its relationship to efficiency and productivity growth measures two decompositions this article reconciles two notions of soil quality indexes with the economic concepts of technical efficiency and productivity growth an example uses data from the u s department of agriculture s experimental fields in maryland and data envelopment analysis techniques to estimate a soil quality index consistent with the notion of technical efficiency common regression techniques shed additional light on the role of individual soil quality properties in a very restricted linear approximation of the estimated soil quality index

a stochastic dominance comparison of reduced tillage systems in corn and soybean production under risk returns per acre of reduced tillage systems including conventional chisel till plant and no till are examined under general assumptions concerning risk these returns are calculated using com and soybean experimental plot yields stochastic dominance rankings indicate an advantage second degree of conventional and chisel over no till when soil loss costs are not assigned annual per acre soil loss costs of 5 15 shift rankings towards the reduced tillage systems a 10 per acre cost results from corn yield losses of 0 06 per year 170 bushel per acre yield base over fifty years with a 5 real discount rate

poverty consumption risk and soil conservation abstract this paper studies the impact of poverty and uninsured consumption risk on incentives to invest in soil conservation a stochastic dynamic model is used to show how consumption risks and costs of investment influence incentives to adopt soil conservation measures on low income farms the model is calibrated using production data from hillside farms in the philippines simulations with the model demonstrate how the value of soil conservation depends on the cost of investing the risk characteristics of the soil conservation method and differences among households in capacity to bear risk model predictions are compared with empirical adoption patterns as described by a probit model and nonparametric kernel regressions of adoption probability empirical findings show how differences in farm size tenure security risk exposure and access to credit help to explain patterns of soil conservation adoption implications for policy are discussed

conservation payments under risk a stochastic dominance approach conservation payments can be used to preserve forest and agroforest systems to explain landowners land use decisions and determine appropriate conservation payments it is necessary to focus on revenue risk marginal conditional stochastic dominance rules are used to derive conditions for determining the conservation payments required to guarantee that the environmentally preferred land use dominates an empirical application to shaded coffee protection in the biologically important choco region of west ecuador shows that conservation payments required for preserving shaded coffee areas are much higher than those calculated under risk neutral assumptions further the extant distribution of land has strong impacts on the required payments

the union threat this paper studies the impact of unions on wage inequality output and unemployment to do so it proposes a search and matching model of union formation in which unions arise endogenously through a voting process within firms in a union firm workers bargain their wages collectively in a nonunion firm each worker bargains individually with the firm because of this wage setting asymmetry a union lowers the profit of a firm and compresses the wage distribution of the workers furthermore to prevent unionization nonunion firms distort their hiring decisions in a way that also lowers the dispersion of wages after being calibrated on the united states the model shows that even though a partial equilibrium estimate would predict a small impact of unions on inequality removing the threat of unionization increases the variance of wages substantially completely outlawing unions increases wage inequality further moreover outlawing unions increases welfare and output and lowers unemployment these results suggest that even with a small membership unions might have a significant impact on the economy through general equilibrium mechanisms and the way they distort firms decisions i am greatly indebted to nobuhiro kiyotaki esteban rossi hansberg and oleg itskhoki for their invaluable advice and support throughout this project special thanks go to esteban for suggesting the title i also wish to thank manuel amador orley ashenfelter francisco buera jeff campbell pablo fajgelbaum henry farber baris kaymak david lee thomas lemieux benjamin moll justinas pelenis edouard schaal andrew shephard christopher sims liz tennant as well as seminar participants at princeton university and the chicago fed rookie seminar for helpful comments and suggestions i gratefully acknowledge financial support from the fonds quebecois de recherche sur la societe et la culture email mtascher princeton edu address 001 fisher hall department of economics princeton university princeton nj 08544 for the most recent version go to http sites google com site mathtd

holdups and overinvestment in capital markets abstract this paper considers a decentralized capital market characterized by trading frictions in which firms and suppliers need to make investment decisions before meeting with each other and bargaining over the price of capital the resulting holdup problem provides firms with a strategic incentive to overaccumulate capital so as to reduce their marginal productivity and thus the bargained price in equilibrium this strategic incentive can outweigh the usual distortionary effects of holdup problems that on their own would lead to underinvestment thus resulting in the economy to overinvest in a setting with both capital and labor the holdup problem in capital markets interacts with holdup problems in labor markets this presents firms with a trade off that has non trivial equilibrium effects and that depending on the substitutability of capital and labor and the firm s bargaining power in each market can mitigate or exacerbate the overinvestment result

margins of multinational labor substitution multinational labor demand responds to wage differentials at the extensive margin when a multinational enterprise mne expands into foreign locations and at the intensive margin when an mne operates existing affiliates across locations we derive conditions for parametric and nonparamtric identification of an mne model to infer elasticities of labor substitution at both margins controlling for location selectivity prior studies rarely found foreign wages or operations to affect employment our strategy detects salient adjustments for german mnes with a one percent increase in german wages german mnes add 2 000 manufacturing jobs in eastern europe at the extensive margins and 4 000 jobs overall a converse one percent drop in eastern european wages is associated with an overall withdrawal of 730 mne jobs from germany

worker substitutability and patterns of unionisation a strategic three party bargaining model is developed in which one distinguished party the firm has to reac h agreements with the other two each of which is a group of workers in the prebargaining stage the two worker groups decide whether to organize jointly or separately the main observation relates the equi librium pattern of unionization to the substitutability in production between the two groups the outcome is joint or separate unions acco rding to whether the two groups are substitute or complementary facto rs of production the analysis also considers possibilities for firm s strategic intervention in the unionization process copyright 1988 by royal economic society

poverty economic growth and average exit time a simple transformation of the watts poverty index yields a meaningful measure with appealing ordinal properties and a natural interpretation in terms of the potential for economic growth to alleviate poverty the index is illustrated with data from bangladesh and bolivia 1998 elsevier science s a

policy instruments for sustainable land management the case of highland smallholders in ethiopia degradation of land continues to pose a threat to future food production potential in many developing economies various approaches mainly based on command and control policies have been tried with limited success in the past to encourage adoption of erosion control practices by farm households high transactions costs and negative distributional impacts on the welfare of the poor limit the usefulness of standards and taxes for soil and water conservation one innovative approach is the use of interlinked contracts which create positive incentives for land conservation this study analyses the social efficiency of such policies for erosion control in the ethiopian highlands using a non separable farm household model incentive contracts linked with conservation seem to be promising approaches for sustainable resource use in poor rural economies this may suggest that conservation programs should give greater consideration to better fine tuning and mix of policies that help achieve both economic and environmental objectives

a theory of wages and labor demand with intra firm bargaining and matching frictions this article provides a model of labor market equilibrium with search and within firm strategic bargaining we yield explicit closed form solutions with heterogeneous labor inputs and capital the solution exhibits overemployment we show that higher relative bargaining power for some groups of workers may lead to overemployment relative to other groups with such other groups being underemployed instead if they have a lower relative bargaining power similarly the hold up problem between capitalists and employees does not necessarily lead to underinvestment in physical capital beyond the neo classical analysis firms are the field of several strategic interactions between capital owners and labor between marginal employees and incumbents and more generally between different groups with various bargaining positions within the firm it is usually considered that the bargaining power of workers entails an employment level that is lower than in a competitive labor market and any increase in the bargaining power of workers raises unemployment these results are true for a wide class of models and notably in the now standard framework to analyze unemployment namely search and matching models of pissarides 2000 however stole and zwiebel 1996a 1996b show that the above results are totally changed in the intra firm bargaining model where employees engage in individual wage negotiation with the firm in fact under the assumption that contract incompleteness does not enable either party to commit to future wages and employment decisions they show that intra firm bargaining yields no rent for employees and gives rise to overemployment compared to a competitive labor market the basic idea of stole and zwiebel is that a firm with a diminishing marginal productivity of labor can decrease the bargained wage which increases in the marginal productivity of labor by raising employment in stole and zwiebel s setting firms overemploy strategically up to the point where workers get their reservation wage

review the economics of soil health abstract soil health plays an important role in agricultural productivity food quality environmental resiliency and ecosystem sustainability consequently there is great interest from policymakers for evidence based research on the benefits and costs of investing in healthy soils in this article i endeavor to build a common understanding between economists soil scientists and policymakers about how to pursue research on the economics of soil health first i summarize the current understanding of soil health as a holistic and multidimensional concept beyond that of mere soil fertility second i argue that optimal control models are particularly well suited to capture the underlying economics of soil management finally i outline relevant implications of such an approach for setting soil health policy

the myth of post reform income stagnation evidence from brazil and mexico economic policies are often judged by a handful of statistics some of which may be biased during periods of change we estimate the income growth implied by the evolution of food demand and durable good ownership in post reform brazil and mexico and find that changes in consumption patterns are inconsistent with official estimates of near stagnant incomes that is attributed to biases in the price deflator the estimated unmeasured income gains are higher for poorer households implying marked reductions in real inequality these findings challenge the conventional wisdom that post reform income growth was low and did not benefit the poor

a note on different approaches to index number theory the central question in a recent paper by j peter neary 2004 concerning real incomes and the penn world tables is what exactly do the numbers mean this question is important because these data are widely used in empirical research more generally index number data including indicators of inflation and economic growth are used so extensively in research throughout the profession that it indeed seems helpful to understand what they actually indicate in the literature two approaches to index numbers are distinguished the axiomatic approach and the economic approach in this note we would like to discuss the way in which these two approaches differ and how that affects what the numbers mean in neary s paper the difference is described as one between an approach that does and an approach that does not assume that quantities arise from optimizing behavior this is in line with a tradition in index number theory that can be traced back to ragnar frisch 1936 we will argue that a more accurate description is that the difference lies in whether or not optimizing agents or representative consumers are assumed to optimize the same utility function it is exactly this distinction that sets the differ ent limitations of both approaches for constructing a meaningful indicator of real income those limitations will be described in some detail and being aware of them is helpful for assessing the value of results from both the axiomatic and the economic approach they also suggest ways in which the two approaches may be complementary for constructing meaningful index numbers introducing the geary allen international accounts gaia system neary combines taking the economic approach with judging the resulting indices in view of some axioms we think that this makes his paper a suitable point of departure for the discussion of how the two approaches handle differences in relative prices on the one hand and differences in preferences on the other

sustainable farm income in the presence of soil erosion an agricultural hartwick rule soil erosion is a physical and economic problem of natural capital degradation even along an intertemporally efficient trajectory one can have in a loss of soil fertility and a continuous decline of agricultural net revenue moreover soil erosion is a major source of surface water pollution in rural areas erosion control is thus a challenge for sustainable resource management and internalizing external effects to sustain the level of farm income an agricultural hartwick rule is proposed which addresses both on farm and off farm effects of soil erosion first it requires the investment of the soil rents into alternative capital second additional measures are required to comply with an ambient quality target a charge subsidy scheme proves the most adequate from a perspective of cost effectiveness and sustainability if effluent charge revenues are earmarked to subsidize cropland retirement at the watershed scale in combination with the investment of soil rents this enables to maintain the level of farm income constant over time while respecting the ambient quality target altogether this fulfills the requirements of efficiency and sustainability 2003 elsevier science b v all rights reserved

bilateral monopolies and incentives for merger the paper presents a model of duopoly in which firms acquire inputs through bilateral monopoly relations with suppliers it combines a bargaining model with a duopoly model to examine how input pri

prices engel curves and time space deflation impacts on poverty and inequality in vietnam many developing countries lack spatially disaggregated price data some analysts use no price methods by using a food engel curve to derive the deflator as that needed for nominally similar households to have equal food shares in all regions and time periods this method cannot be tested in countries where it is used as a spatial deflator since they lack suitable price data in this paper data from vietnam are used to test this method against benchmarks provided by multilateral price indexes calculated from repeated spatial price surveys deflators from a food engel curve appear to be a poor proxy for deflators obtained from multilateral price indexes to the extent that such price indexes reliably compare real living standards over time and space these results suggest that estimates of the level location and change in poverty and inequality would be distorted if the engel method deflator was used in their stead

investment in soil conservation in northern ethiopia the role of land tenure security and public programs abstract a double hurdle statistical analysis of 250 farms in the tigray region of ethiopia reveals different causal factors for soil conservation adoption versus intensity of use farmers reasons for adopting soil conservation measures vary sharply between stone terraces and soil bunds long term investments in stone terraces were associated with secure land tenure labour availability proximity to the farmstead and learning opportunities via the existence of local food for work ffw projects by contrast short term investments in soil bunds were strongly linked to insecure land tenure and the absence of local food for work projects public conservation campaigns on private plots reduced adoption of both stone terraces and soil bunds whereas capacity factors largely influenced the adoption decision expected returns carried more influence for the intensity of stone terrace adoption measured as metres of terrace per hectare more stone terracing was built where fertile but erodible silty soils in higher rainfall areas offered valuable yield benefits intensity of terracing was also greater in remote villages where limited off farm employment opportunities reduced construction costs these results highlight the importance of the right kind of public interventions direct public involvement in constructing soil conservation structures on private lands appears to undermine incentives for private conservation investments when done on public lands however public conservation activities may encourage private soil conservation by example secure land tenure rights clearly reinforce private incentives to make long term investments in soil conservation

calculating rural urban food price differentials from unit values in household expenditure surveys a comparison with existing methods and a new procedure while purchasing power parity ppp between countries has received a great deal of attention ppp calculations within countries have received less attention the idea that one unit of currency has the same purchasing power in all regions in large countries is false this paper addresses this limitation by proposing a methodology for calculating rural urban ppp in india the paper introduces a concept of item specific ppp that exploits the analogy with an item specific equivalence scale the methodology relies on demographically varying preferences to estimate ppp the results underline the need to incorporate spatial differences in ppp calculations in countries with heterogeneous preferences copyright 2012 oxford university press

wage dispersion in the search and matching model the simplicity of the canonical search and matching model offers many advantages for the purpose of understanding the determinants and dynamics of unemployment however the spe cial assumption that a firm is composed of a sin gle worker and employer or that the production technology is linear is limiting lars a stole and jeffrey zwiebel 1996 asher wolinsky 2000 and elhanan helpman and oleg itskhoki 2008 generalize the original model to the case of many workers in a firm with a technology characterized by diminishing returns to labor they find that all employers pay the same wage in steady state equi librium when only unemployed workers search i extend their model by allowing for search on the job and show that a unique dispersed wage steady state equilibrium also exists with the prop erty that more productive employers pay more and are larger furthermore inefficient over employment characterizes the single wage equi librium but employment is lower in the dispersed wage equilibrium because employers face stiffer competition as a consequence the dispersed wage equilibria can be more efficient there is a close relationship between the equi libria of the search and matching model studied in this paper and those of the dynamic monopsony models of peter a diamond 1971 kenneth burdett and kenneth l judd 1983 and burdett and dale t mortensen 1998 the single wage equilibrium is the analogue of the diamond equi librium while a dispersed wage equilibrium exists when employed workers search for essentially the same reason as in the burdett mortensen model namely there exists a nondegenerate interval of wages and a continuous distribution of vacancies over the interval such that the common

on the economics of the optimal fallow cultivation cycle abstract this paper considers the so called fallow cultivation problem in traditional agriculture the paper specifies the problem and determines the optimal duration of the fallow cultivation cycle we study and deduce results on the impact of the switching costs and the output price on this cycle finally we discuss the relation between soil fertility and the output price the fallow cultivation problem is an important economic problem since traditional farming provides the food in most low income countries however it is also worth studying since it is an interesting specimen case in a class of dynamic models in which sensible controls split process variables in distinctive phases

debt poverty and resource management in a rural smallholder economy this paper develops a model to capture the key features of poverty credit constraints and resource management faced by poor rural households we assume that due to the existence of asymmetric information and moral hazard the household faces an increasing cost of credit as its debt equity ratio rises a household exploiting a natural resource may fall into a poverty trap but only if it is unable to afford the increasing borrowing costs implied by increasing debt to allow it to avoid such a trap or if it discounts future utility so much that a balanced growth path cannot be financed at any level of long run borrowing in contrast along an optimal balanced growth path the household s asset wealth purchased inputs resource stock and consumption increase at the same constant rate however over the long run there may be carrying capacity limits that prevent the resource from improving further the household may then direct its savings to accumulating financial assets and eventually under certain conditions may become a net creditor with resource exploitation becoming a less and less important source of its income

multiunit bargaining in oligopolistic industries a model of wage determination in unionized oligopolistic industries is developed and used to compare the outcome of collective bargaining under two different bargaining structures one in which the workers of each firm are represented by separate and independent unions local bargaining and one in which a national union represents all workers in the industry in both cases the bargaining problem has a unique outcome with industrywide bargaining resulting in higher wages in addition industrywide unions are inherently stable in that there are no incentives for independent unions to attempt to cheat on the collusive agreement

urban rural cost of living differentials in a developing economy abstract casual observations suggest that the cost of living is substantially greater in urban than rural areas of developing economies with implications for sectoral welfare comparisons an aids demand model for housing and foodgrains is estimated on a household level data set for java after adjusting housing rents for heterogeneity in quality the retrieved cost function indicates that the cost of utility at the urban price vector exceeds its rural value although the differential has been substantially overestimated in the past the relative cost of urban living is found to increase as reference rural income increases

does the cpi mirror the cost of living engel s law suggests not in norway there is considerable interest in identifying the magnitude of the difference between increases in the cpi and the cost of living in this paper the technique proposed by hamilton 2001 to measure this discrepancy is used and extended for norway in the 1990s while hamilton finds that the cpi in the united states overstates the cost of living for the period 1974 1991 application of his technique to norwegian data for 1990 1999 indicates that the cpi understates the cost of living the norwegian cpi rose by 22 percent but a typical household behaved as if the cost of living had increased by 35 percent for some household types the increase was substantially larger

does collective wage bargaining restore efficiency in a search model with large firms existing search and bargaining models show that firms hire an inefficiently large number of workers we ask whether decentralised collective wage bargaining may result in a second best allocation collective bargaining restores efficiency when the bargained wage is independent of employment conditions that we characterise firms then behave as if collective bargaining was over both wages and employment thus linking the large firm search and bargaining environment to the efficient bargaining model mcdonald and solow 1981 under more realistic conditions workers can bargain for a share of output so that the wage is then a function of employment in equilibrium firms are too large and firm entry is inefficient

wage signaling a dynamic model of intrafirm bargaining and asymmetric learning the article analyzes the effect of employer worker bargaining on wage dynamics in the presence of asymmetric information between current and potential employers a failure to reach an agreement leads to output loss because the disagreement points depend upon the worker s productivity productive workers separate themselves from less productive workers and signal their ability through wages in existing models of asymmetric learning wages are attached to publicly observable characteristics and wage growth occurs only when there is a change in observable characteristics this model in contrast generates an increase in earnings dispersion in cohorts of workers with similar observable characteristics

a strategic model of social and economic networks we study the stability and efficiency of social and economic networks when self interested individuals can form or sever links first for two stylized models we characterize the stable and efficient networks there does not always exist a stable network that is efficient next we show that this tension persists generally to assure that there exists a stable network that is efficient one is forced to allocate resources to nodes that are not responsible for any of the production we characterize one such allocation rule the equal split rule and another rule that arises naturally from bargaining of the players

cpi bias and real living standards in russia during the transition abstract the economies of the former soviet bloc experienced large declines in output during the decade of transition which began with the collapse of the soviet union in 1991 yet there are many reasons to believe that measured output and official deflators provide a poor proxy for the change in real living standards in transition economies this paper uses the engel curve methodology developed by hamilton hamilton b 2001 using engel s law to estimate cpi bias american economic review 91 3 619 630 to examine changes in real living standards in russia during the transition period and to provide an estimate of how much the official russian cpi has overstated consumer inflation we also examine changes in consumer durables home production and subjective well being to further evaluate changes in living standards our findings indicate that cpi bias has caused a substantial understatement of the growth performance of the russian economy during the transition even just allowing household final consumption to be deflated with bias we find that the level of real per capita gdp in 2001 may be understated by up to 30 compared with using a bias corrected deflator our analysis of consumer durables home production and subjective well being supports the conclusion that the decline in living standards has been substantially less than what is inferred by looking at official statistics on real output

hicksian separability does not hold over space implications for the design of household surveys and price questionnaires abstract if relative prices of goods within a commodity group are constant hicksian separability lets the price of a single good represent the group price level this is relied on by price questionnaires used with household surveys in developing countries and when constructing temporal and spatial deflators methods of estimating demand systems from household survey data also rely on hicksian separability yet this restriction remains untested in cross sections we use unique data from vietnam with multiple specifications from within the same food groups to test if within group relative prices are constant over space the data firmly reject these restrictions some guidelines for survey design are discussed in terms of the characteristics of commodity groups that should be disaggregated and those that should have more elementary goods added to their linked price questionnaire

a theory of the firm with non binding employment contracts this paper examines an employment relation in which individual workers enjoy some bargaining power vis a vis the firm although they are not unionized the main elements of the situations studied here are that the employment contracts are non binding across periods of production and that the firm has opportunities to replace workers the paper analyzes a dynamic model in which the processes of contracting and recontracting between the firm and its workers are intertwined with the dynamic evolution of the firm s workforce the analysis of the model is somewhat complicated because the employment level is a nondegenerate state variable that evolves over time and is affected by past decisions the main analytical results characterize certain important equilibria the profit maximizing and stationa ry equilibria the unique stationary equilibrium is markedly inefficient it exhibits inefficient over employment and the steady state wages coincide with the workers reservation wage it confirms earlier results derived by stole and zwiebel 1996a b in the context of a static model and shows that they are very robust even when the firm has nearly frictionless hiring opportunities in contrast in the profit maximizing equilibrium the outcome is nearly efficient and the wage exhibits a mark up over the reservation wage

agricultural insurance and soil depletion in a simple dynamic model we study the effects of agricultural insurance on farm production choices soil depletion and the environment when there are two related risks one in short to medium run production revenues and the other in land value the analysis considers pure and truncating insurance programs that stabilize linear combinations of short run revenue risk and land price risk production revenue stabilizing insurance is often found to elicit increased farmer output thus exacerbating environmental externalities and causing further soil depletion land value stabilizing insurance typically elicits lower output thus mitigating environmental externalities and pushing farmers closer to their complete insurance output levels

a model of shifting cultivation can soil conservation reduce deforestation shifting cultivators manage soil not only by adjusting soil use on already cleared lands as in continuous cultivation but also by clearing forests to obtain new fertile soils this study examines the crucial link between on farm soil conservation and deforestation in shifting cultivation by modeling forest clearing as an investment in soil for a private farmer more generally by doing so the study attempts to integrate deforestation and soil conservation models which have been separately developed in the literature our policy goal is to arrest tropical deforestation as destruction of global commons caused by land degradation in shifting cultivation while improving the well being of poor shifting cultivators our integrated approach enables joint policy analyses of deforestation and land degradation three welfare enhancing policies are considered the first is agricultural and nonagricultural subsidies affecting farm and nonfarm income opportunities the second is fiscal and tenure policies affecting discount rates our question is whether the link between forest clearing and soil fertility alters the outcomes of these two standard macroeconomic policies commonly found in the literature the third policy or program is various soil conservation measures affecting soil regeneration and erosivity on already cleared lands this article examines a very important question which has received little attention in previous theoretical works can soil conservation reduce deforestation this study confirms anti deforestation effects of the promotion of nonfarming activities a common and often emphasized finding in previous works among shifting cultivators more importantly it also demonstrates that improving various soil conservation measures not only discourages forest clearing among shifting cultivators but also tends to have greater effects on forest protection than promoting nonfarming activities contrarily agricultural price subsidy or technological progress gives rise to the opposite outcome and lowering the farmer s discount rate or improving tenure security encourages him her to clear more forests just to accumulate soil

getting prices right what should be done much of the profession accepts that the cpi likely overstates the rate of increase of the cost of living it is less clear that there are sound and feasible steps that the bls can adopt to improve matters in the short run there are unresolved conceptual and identification problems in the measurement of quality superlative price indexes are not feasible and feasible approximations are not superlative and may not even be better the need for a single index that aggregates over heterogeneous consumers with different incomes tastes and needs casts serious doubt on the cost of living approach

prices and living standards evidence for rwanda abstract we review the explanations of the statistical relationship between spatial price indices and real living standards then using data from several seasons in rural rwanda we show that these variables are negatively associated hinting at price discrimination against the poor in that case policies permanently improving of market functioning may simultaneously improve efficiency and equity moreover under a hypothesis of weak association of nominal living standards and price indices we derive simplified formulae for social welfare indicators these formulae depend only on a small number of sample statistics obtainable from separate publications for prices and living standards

using engel curves to estimate bias in the canadian cpi as a cost of living index semiparametric engel curves are used to infer bias in the canadian cpi as a cost of living index the budget share of food has long been used as an indicator of welfare we compare households with the same levels of cpi deflated total expenditure over the period 1978 2000 differences in the expenditure share of food are attributed to the cpi failing to capture changes in costs of living we employ a novel econometric approach using a single index penalized linear spline model over the period we find that the cpi overstated changes in the cost of living between 1 33 and 1 86 for the four household types considered jel classification d1 c1 l utilisation des courbes d engel pour evaluer la distorsion de l ipc en tant qu indice du cout de la vie on utilise les courbes semi parametriques d engel pour identifier le biais de l ipc comme indice du cout de la vie au canada la part du budget qui va a la nourriture a depuis longtemps ete utilisee comme un indicateur de bien etre on compare des menages qui ont les memes niveaux de depenses totales degonflees par l ipc pour la periode de 1978 a 2000 les differences dans la portion des depenses qui va a la nourriture sont attribuees au fait que l ipc ne saisit pas les changements dans les couts de la vie on emploie une approche econometrique inedite utilisant une fonction spline lineaire avec penalites pour produire un seul indice sur l etendue de la periode on decouvre que l ipc surevalue les changements dans le cout de la vie de 1 33 a 1 86 pour cent pour les quatre types de menages etudies

bargaining over new ideas the distribution of rents and the stability of innovative firms we develop a theory of the rent distribution and stability of innovative firms our theory is based on a model of bargaining over new ideas the model accounts for the problem of information leakage namely the diffusion of information about new ideas among the agents that participate in the bargaining our main results draw a link between the strength of intellectual property rights enforcement and the distribution of rents in firms as well as between the size and organization of firms and their stability our theory explains why small firms are advantaged in introducing innovation into the market and why spin outs tend to emerge from large established firms jel l1 l2 c7

estimating real income in the united states from 1888 to 1994 correcting cpi bias using engel curves this paper provides the first estimates of overall cpi bias prior to the 1970s and new estimates of bias since the 1970s it finds that annual cpi bias was 0 1 percent between 1888 and 1919 and rose to 0 7 percent between 1919 and 1935 annual cpi bias was 0 4 percent in the 1960s and then rose to 2 7 percent between 1972 and 1982 before falling to 0 6 percent between 1982 and 1994 the findings imply that we have underestimated growth rates in true income in the 1920s and 1930s and in the 1970s

economic development on a finite planet with stochastic soil degradation abstract world economic development is associated with growing food consumption agricultural land however suffers from over exploitation and is subject to environmental shocks which are projected to become more severe due to climate change we present a stochastic model of a dynamic economy where soil is an essential input and natural disasters are sizeable multiple and random expansion of economic activities raises effective soil units but contributes to an aggregate loss of soil protective ecosystem services which exacerbates soil degradation at the time of a shock we provide closed form analytical solutions and show that optimal development is characterized by a constant growth rate of stocks and consumption until an environmental shock arrives causing all variables to jump downwards optimal soil management consists of spending a constant fraction of output on preservation measures which is an increasing function of the shocks hazard rate degradation intensity of agricultural practices and the damage intensity of environmental impact we derive the optimal propensity to save and discuss the impact of human pressure and risk exposure on soil and output we also discuss quantitative impacts of climate change on optimal soil management