studying the relationship between economic growth co2 emissions and the environmental kuznets curve in venezuela 1980 2025 abstract this work tries to determine whether it is possible to stabilize co2 emissions under a rapid increase of gross domestic product in a medium term the paper is an effort to study in detail how changes in the driving forces of the economy affect co2 emissions we study the case of venezuela for the period 1980 2025 using the methodology proposed by robalino lopez et al 2014 2013 1 2 which is based on an extension of the kaya identity and on a gdp formation approach that includes the effect of renewable energies we test the environmental kuznets curve ekc 3 hypothesis in a coming future under different economic scenarios considering therefore not only past data but also projections for the coming years we use cointegration techniques 4 and the jaunky 2011 5 specification to test the fulfillment of the ekc hypothesis in venezuela our predictions show that venezuela does not fulfill the ekc hypothesis but however the country could be on the way to achieve environmental stabilization in the medium term this stabilization could be accomplished combining economic growth with increasing use of renewable energy appropriated changes in the energy matrix and in the productive sectoral structure

what ended the great depression re evaluating the role of fiscal policy conventional wisdom contends that fiscal policy was of secondary importance for the economic recovery in the 1930s the recovery is then connected to monetary policy that allowed non sterilised gold inflows to increase the money supply often this is shown by measuring the fiscal multipliers and demonstrating that they were relatively small this paper shows that problems with the conventional measures of fiscal multipliers in the 1930s may have created an incorrect consensus on the irrelevance of fiscal policy the rehabilitation of fiscal policy is seen as a necessary step in the reinterpretation of the positive role of new deal policies for the recovery

procyclical labor productivity and competing theories of the business cycle some evidence from interwar u s manufacturing industries we study the phenomenon of short run increasing returns to labor srirl in a sample of 10 interwar u s manufacturing industries our main findings are that srirl was common in the interwar period and that the pattern of srirl across industries was similar to that observed in the postwar period we argue that since presumably the depression was not caused by technical regress these findings are inconsistent with the claim of real business cycle theorists that srirl is in general due to procyclical technical shocks we propose tests for discriminating between two other leading explanations of srirl but find that our conclusions differ by industry

culture income and co2 emission given the devastating effects of global warming the problem of human induced climate change and in particular carbon dioxide emissions has been high on the global policy agenda in this study we examine the relationship between national culture carbon dioxide emissions and economic growth in the framework of the environmental kuznets curve ekc applying system gmm panel estimator across 69 developed and developing countries we confirm the existence of ekc and show that culture significantly affects the income emission relationship moreover the effects of the six cultural dimensions on ekc can be collapsed into two i masculinity power distance and indulgence move the ekc upward and shift the income turning point to the left and ii individualism uncertainty and long term orientation move the ekc downward while shifting the income turning point to the right the impact of culture on ekc remains also robust for alternative specifications future policy and global initiatives in sustainable development should incorporate the multidimensional impact of culture on national behavior towards environment and economic growth a relationship that has been largely ignored in economic decision making models

race and human capital while human capital has been used with some success to analyze recent changes in racial income differences scholars have repeatedly pointed to a major empirical problem that appears to severely limit the historical relevanlce and scope of skill based theories as applied to racial questions the challenge they raise is legitimate put simply if measured skill disparities between the races narrowed throughout the twentieth century why did income ratios first begin to converge in the 1960 s in this paper i address this question relying on some unexploited census data by race on education literacy occupations and income using these data that begin with the 1890 census i present new estimates of agespecific relative income positions of black men for all postslavery birth cohorts in addition to reconciling the apparently inconsistent skill and income series these income ratios offer a very different historical record than many economists believe to have been the case to cite a prominent example gunnar myrdal s classic work 1944 saw the economic position of his contemporary black america not only as dismal but made even more so by its sense of hopelessness given the absence of any hint of progress or change while myrdal s pessimism is understandable it appears that even in his day seeds had long been sown that were already permanently altering and improving the relative economic status of black men

monetary shocks and sticky wages in the u s great contraction a multi sector approach abstract we quantify the role of contractionary monetary shocks and nominal wage rigidities in the u s great contraction in contrast to conventional wisdom we find little increase in the economy wide real wage over 1929 33 although real wages rose significantly in some industries in the context of a two sector model with intermediates and nominal wage rigidities in one sector contractionary monetary shocks account for only a third of the fall in gdp intermediate linkages play an important role as the output decline without intermediates is almost a third larger at the trough the role of nominal wage rigidities beyond their interaction with monetary shocks is limited

carbon dioxide emissions and economic growth panel data evidence from developing countries in this paper we test the environment kuznet s curve ekc hypothesis for 43 developing countries we suggest examining the ekc hypothesis based on the short and long run income elasticities that is if the long run income elasticity is smaller than the short run income elasticity then it is evident that a country has reduced carbon dioxide emissions as its income has increased our empirical analysis based on individual countries suggests that jordan iraq kuwait yemen qatar the uae argentina mexico venezuela algeria kenya nigeria congo ghana and south africa approximately 35 per cent of the sample carbon dioxide emissions have fallen over the long run that is as these economies have grown emissions have fallen since the long run income elasticity is smaller than the short run elasticity we also examine the ekc hypothesis for panels of countries constructed on the basis of regional location using the panel cointegration and the panel long run estimation techniques we find that only for the middle eastern and south asian panels the income elasticity in the long run is smaller than the short run implying that carbon dioxide emission has fallen with a rise in income

how economic growth affects emissions an investigation of the environmental kuznets curve in portuguese and spanish economic activity sectors abstract it is a disquieting reality that increased economic growth for many years now in the western world is at odds with environmental degradation in this paper the relationship between economic growth and environmental variables is analyzed under two non linear specifications a quadratic and a cubic specification the study is conducted for portugal and spain in the period 1975 2012 using data for 13 sectors gva is used as proxy for income while energy use and carbon dioxide account for environmental degradation there is evidence for an inverted u shaped ekc however there are also other inverted n shaped functions that explain the relationship between economic growth and emissions altogether empirical results do indicate particular differences between portuguese and spanish sectors the results are of interest not only for researchers but also for policy makers political mitigation measures are also analyzed

real business cycle models of the great depression a critical survey recent years have witnessed a revival of interest in the great depression of the 1930s among the differing new interpretations the real business cycle rbc approach is particularly significant it represents an outstanding methodological innovation in trying to cast the great depression within an equilibrium framework this paper critically reviews the rbc interpretation of the great depression clarifying its theoretical and methodological foundations and paving the way for future assessments of its validity

purchasing power parity and the euro area abstract this paper analyzes purchasing power parity ppp for the euro area we study the impact of the introduction of the euro in 1999 on the behavior of real exchange rates we test the ppp hypothesis for a panel of real exchange rates within the euro area over the period 1973 2003 our methodology exploits the cross sectional dependence across real exchange rates and allows for heterogeneity in the rates of mean reversion we present evidence in favor of ppp for the full panel of real exchange rates but we show that accounting for cross country differences within the euro area is essential the unit root hypothesis can be rejected for some real exchange rates but evidence for ppp is weak for others we also investigate ppp between the synthetic euro against several other major currencies over the period 1979 2003 we find support for the ppp hypothesis for the full panel of real exchange rates when the restriction of a common mean reversion coefficient is relaxed we reject the unit root hypothesis for the euro swiss franc rate only we conclude that the process of economic integration in europe has accelerated convergence toward ppp within the euro area

are all democracies equally good the role of interactions between political environment and inequality for rule of law using cross country data we find evidence for a significant negative interaction effect between democracy and inequality in determining the quality of growth promoting institutions like rule of law democracy is associated with institutions of higher quality when inequality is lower

toward a new conception of the environment competitiveness relationship accepting a fixed trade off between environmental regulation and competitiveness unnecessarily raises costs and slows down environmental progress studies finding high environmental compliance costs have traditionally focused on static cost impacts ignoring any offsetting productivity benefits from innovation they typically overestimated compliance costs neglected innovation offsets and disregarded the affected industry s initial competitiveness rather than simply adding to cost properly crafted environmental standards can trigger innovation offsets allowing companies to improve their resource productivity shifting the debate from pollution control to pollution prevention was a step forward it is now necessary to make the next step and focus on resource productivity

labor productivity during the great depression abstract during the 1929 1933 contraction labor productivity was countercyclical in several manufacturing sectors evidence consistent with the view that large negative demand shocks pushed the economy down a static neoclassical production function this evidence does not readily square with explanations for the contraction emphasizing labor hoarding and increasing returns

decoupling analysis and environmental kuznets curve modelling of provincial level co2 emissions and economic growth in china a case study abstract guangdong is one of the most representative provinces of china in terms of reflecting how the provincial level co2 emissions dynamically evolve with economic development during the process of industrialisation and urbanisation the present study combines decoupling analysis with environmental kuznets curve ekc modelling to systematically explore the interactions between co2 emissions and economic growth in guangdong from the short to long terms aiming to provide the referential significance of low carbon development to other chinese provinces empirical results indicate that co2 economy interactions in guangdong dynamically changed with time performing an effect of expansive weak decoupling during 1995 2014 and having a potential to achieve a strong decoupling in the long run the decoupling states of various sectors and their contributions to the provincial overall decoupling differed greatly and varied by time and household and service sectors played increasingly important roles overall the decoupling effect of provincial co2 emissions is distinctly affected by the stage of industrialisation and urbanisation renewable energy utilisation as well as low carbon technical progress therefore promoting co2 economy decoupling at the provincial level should be specific to the feature and development reality of various provinces

the nexus between carbon emissions energy consumption and economic growth in middle east countries a panel data analysis abstract the environmental kuznets curve ekc hypothesis assumes that there is an inverted u shaped relationship between environmental degradation and income per capita in other words as a country grows it is assumed that its environmental quality improves in this study we aim to test the ekc hypothesis for 12 middle east countries during the period 1990 2008 by employing recently developed panel data methods our results provide evidence contrary to the ekc hypothesis we found evidence favorable to the u shaped ekc for 5 middle east countries whereas an inverted u shaped curve was identified for only 3 middle east countries furthermore there appear to be no causal links between income and co 2 emissions for the other 4 countries regarding the direction of causality there appears to be a unidirectional causality from economic growth to energy consumption in the short run in the long run however the unidirectional causality chain runs from energy consumption and economic growth to co 2 emissions we also suggest some crucial policy implications depending on these results

carbon dioxide income and energy evidence from a non linear model abstract this study applies the panel smooth transition regression pstr model to explore the impacts of real income energy and investment on the co 2 income nexus for 99 countries covering the period from 1971 to 2010 we find that in the full sample as real income rises co 2 emissions rapidly increase first and then their increasing rate starts to slow down while the environmental kuznets curve ekc hypothesis for co 2 emissions is supported from the composite results of three income groups our results show that decreasing energy usage improving energy efficiency and enhancing clean energy usage could effectively ease the impacts of real income on co 2 emissions moreover countries with different energy trade conditions and income levels have different co 2 income correlations indicating that one size does not fit all

the new deal and modern memory summary economists and other social scientists may never be able to explain fully why the greatdepression happened when it did or why it initially was so severe numerous hypotheses havebeen advanced as we have seen and each of them contributes important insights into thecauses of the macroeconomic calamity in which most of the world was mired in 1929 1933 if however one is forced to adopt a monocausal theory it must center on the actions of america scentral bank which presided over an extraordinary expansion in bank credit in the mid to late1920s and then took the punch bowl off the table for the purposes of this article though the key question is why did the great depressionlast longer in the united states than it did in any other nation the answer as laid out in thenext section is presidential politics 23 there will come seven years of great plenty throughout all the land of egypt but after them will arise seven years offamine and all the plenty will be forgotten in the land of egypt the famine will consume the land genesis 41 29 30 nkjv

a behavioral explanation for nominal wage rigidity during the great depression nominal wages in manufacturing were left unchanged by the large decline in nominal demand that marked the first two years of the great depression this rigidity in nominal wages is explained using the tools of the behavioral theory of the firm the emphasis is on the reasons firms changed their decision rules linking fluctuations in final sales to changes in nominal wages

financial frictions and employment during the great depression abstract we provide new evidence that a disruption in credit supply played a quantitatively significant role in the unprecedented contraction of employment during the great depression using a novel hand collected dataset of large industrial firms our identification strategy exploits preexisting variation in the need to raise external funds at a time when public bond markets essentially froze local bank failures inhibited firms ability to substitute public debt for private debt which exacerbated financial constraints we estimate a large and negative causal effect of financing frictions on firm employment we find that the lack of access to credit likely accounted for a substantial fraction of the aggregate decline in employment of large firms between 1928 and 1933

causality between income and emission a country group specific econometric analysis abstract empirical studies of the environmental kuznets curve ekc examine the presence or otherwise of an inverted u shaped relationship between the level of pollution and the level of income customarily in the diagram of ekc the level of income is shown on the horizontal axis and that of pollution on the vertical axis thus it is presumed that the relationship between income and pollution is one of unidirectional causality with income causing environmental changes and not vice versa the validity of this presumption is now being questioned it is being asserted that the nature and direction of causality may vary from one country to the other in this paper we present the results of a study of income co 2 emission causality based on a granger causality test to cross country panel data on per capita income and the corresponding per capita co 2 emission data briefly our results indicate three different types of causality relationship holding for different country groups for the developed country groups of north america and western europe and also for eastern europe the causality is found to run from emission to income for the country groups of central and south america oceania and japan causality from income to emission is obtained finally for the country groups of asia and africa the causality is found to be bi directional the regression equations estimated as part of the granger causality test further suggest that for the country groups of north america and western europe the growth rate of emission has become stationary around a zero mean and a shock in the growth rate of emission tends to generate a corresponding shock in the growth rate of income in contrast for the country groups of central and south america oceania and japan a shock in the income growth rate is likely to result in a corresponding shock in the growth rate of emission finally causality being bi directional for the country groups of asia and africa the income and the emission growth rates seemed to reinforce each other

participation in gvcs and co2 emissions abstract this paper attempts to explore the determinants of co2 emissions in the context of international trade while there exist studies that examine the roles of horizontal specialization and inter industry trade transactions little previous research attention has been paid to the roles of vertical specialization and intra industry trade transactions in affecting co2 emissions to fill the knowledge gap this study uses the panel data of 62 countries and regions for the period of 1995 2011 to estimate the effect of participation in global value chains gvcs on per capita co2 emissions major findings include 1 the relationship between participation degrees in gvcs and per capita co2 emissions is found to be inversely u shaped at the aggregate economy level and for most individual industries 2 per capita gdp shows an n shaped relationship with per capita co2 emissions and 3 benign drivers of co2 emissions include r d energy conservation and population control it can be concluded that countries with low gdp or gvc participation degrees are expected to experience worsening co2 emissions in the short or even medium run this trend however can be moderated or even reversed with more r d investments

monetary intervention mitigated banking panics during the great depression quasi experimental evidence from a federal reserve district border 1929 1933 the federal reserve act divided mississippi between the 6th atlanta and 8th st louis districts during the great depression these districts policies differed atlanta championed monetary activism and the extension of aid to ailing banks st louis eschewed expansionary initiatives during a banking crisis in 1930 atlanta expedited lending to banks in need st louis did not outcomes differed across districts in atlanta banks survived at higher rates lending continued at higher levels commerce contracted less and recovery began earlier these patterns indicate that central bank intervention influenced bank health credit availability and business activity

income and emission a panel data based cointegration analysis this paper presents the results of an investigation of the causality issue of incomeemission relationship based on time series econometric techniques of unit root test cointegration and related error correction model for a panel data set here the nature of causality between per capita co2 emission pcco2 and per capita gdp pcgdp has been examined using a cross country panel data set covering 88 countries for the period 1960 90 using the panel unit root test procedure of im et al 1997 ips we have found that the hypothesis of unit root i e non stationarity of the time series of pcgdp and pcco2 can not be rejected for individual country groups as both the variables are found to follow i 1 process we next have performed the panel data co integration test and finally we have estimated the ecm for these country groups for which significant income emission cointegration was obtained to explore the nature of dynamics implicit in the given panel data set our findings suggest that there is more or less a bi directional causal relationship between income pcgdp and co2 emission pcco2 for africa central america america as a whole eastern europe western europe europe as a whole and the world as a whole that means the movement of the one variable directly affects the other variable through a feedback system thus the policy makers should be cautious to make proper decision about the control of emission level

size distortions of tests of the null hypothesis of stationarity evidence and implications for the ppp debate abstract tests of the null hypothesis of stationarity against the unit root alternative play an increasingly important role in empirical work in macroeconomics and in international finance we show that the use of conventional asymptotic critical values for stationarity tests may cause extreme size distortions if the model under the null hypothesis is highly persistent this fact calls into question the use of these tests in empirical work we illustrate the practical importance of this point for tests of long run purchasing power parity ppp under the recent float we show that the common practice of viewing tests of stationarity as complementary to tests of the unit root null will tend to result in contradictions and in spurious rejections of long run ppp while the size distortions may be overcome by the use of finite sample critical values the resulting tests tend to have low power under economically plausible assumptions about the half life of deviations from ppp thus the fact that stationarity is not rejected cannot be interpreted as convincing evidence in favor of mean reversion only in the rare case that stationarity is rejected do size corrected tests shed light on the question of long run ppp

a new environmental kuznets curve relationship between direct material input and income per capita evidence from industrialised countries abstract many studies have focused on the quantification of the input of materials into the economy however the insights provided by those studies have generally been limited this paper attempts to bring analytical value to the discussion on dematerialization considering direct material input dmi per capita as the dependent variable in a test of the environmental kuznets curve ekc the explanatory variable is as usual gross domestic product per capita the quadratic and cubic versions of the ekc are tested econometrically using panel data ranging from 1960 to 1998 for 16 industrialised countries the results indicate a strong and robust support for both the quadratic and cubic ekc relationships between material input and income in industrialised economies while the statistical support to both types of evolution may seem contradictory it suggests that as industrialised economies grow the intensity of material consumption first increases but eventually starts exhibiting a decreasing trend after a certain income threshold is reached the inverted u or quadratic relationship is confirmed even though for the ranges of income considered in this study the trend is mostly on the increasing part of the inverted u curve however the statistical support to the cubic specification suggests that these results need to be regarded with caution overall the statistically stronger models are the quadratic and cubic models with country random effects and the cubic model with country and year fixed effects

employment and unemployment in the 1930s the great depression is to economics what the big bang is to physics as an event the depression is largely synonymous with the birth of modern macroeconomics and it continues to haunt successive generations of economists with respect to labor and labor markets these facts evidently include wage rigidity persistently high unemployment rates and long term joblessness traditionally aggregate time series have provided the econometric grist for distinguishing explanations of the great depression recent research on labor markets in the 1930s however has shifted attention from aggregate to disaggregate time series and towards microeconomic evidence this shift in focus is motivated by two factors first disaggregated data provide many more degrees of freedom than the decade or so of annual observations associated with the depression and thus may prove helpful in distinguishin g macroeconomic explanations second disaggregation has revealed aspects of economic behavior hidden in the time series that may be essential to their proper interpretation and in any case are worthy of study in their own right although the substantive findings of recent research are too new to judge their permanent significance i believe that the shift towards disaggregated analysis is an important contribution the paper begins by reviewing the conventional statistics of the united states labor market during the great depression and the paradigms to explain them it then turns to recent studies of employment and unemployment using disaggregated data of various types the paper concludes with discussions of

does industrial diversity always reduce unemployment evidence from the great depression and after a portfolio model of employment predicts that cities with more diversified employment opportunities should experience lower unemployment rates than less diversired cities empirical analysis of the diversity unemployment relationship using census data support the portfolio theory for the years 1950 1960 and 1970 during the early months of the great depression however industrially more diversired cities experienced higher rather than lower rates of unemployment by combining the portfolio model of employment with the lucas phelps islands model the anomalous effect of diversity in 1931 is explained as the result of employers diffculty of distinguishing real from nominal shocks i introduction the high unemployment of the 1930s continues to engage the imaginations of economists and economic historians although a large and impressive literature now covers most aspects of the great depression few studies discuss geographic variations 1 variations in unemployment across cities are nonetheless of interest the cross sectional variation in unemployment makes it possible to study the effect of industrial diversity on unemployment industrial diversity is the evenness with which employment is distributed across industries within a city suppose that a nation s employment is divided into say twenty industries a city is defined to be perfectly specialized when all employment is concentrated in a single industry and perfectly diversified when each of the twenty industries employs an equal share of the city s labor force recent empirical work by simon 1988 and diamond and simon 1990 shows that during the late 1970s and early 1980s cities with more diversified employment opportunities experienced lower rates of unemployment the results from the 1970s and 1980s raised the possibility that some part of the extremely high unemployment of the 1930s could be explained by the low degree of industrial diversity in many american cities indeed in the 1930s articles by mclaughlin 1930 and tress 1938 suggested the possibility of an inverse relationship between diversity and unemployment 2 we tested the relationship between unemployment and industrial diversity at the onset of the great depression in 1930 and 1931 we found much to our surprise that industrially more diverse cities experienced higher rates of unemployment in 1931 the surprising effect of employment diversity on unemployment in 1931 led us to speculate that the effects of diversity might differ under different macroeconomic conditions specifically we hypothesize that industrial diversity has two effects industrial diversity normally reduces unemployment through what we call a portfolio effect we argue that the anomalous effects of diversity on unemployment at the onset of the depression could have resulted if diversity of employment opportunities slowed essential wage adjustments required as a result of the massive decline in aggregate demand during normal periods the portfolio effect dominates and diversity reduces unemployment the magnitude of the great depression could have caused the wageadjustment effect to dwarf the portfolio effect thus reversing the normally inverse relationship between diversity and unemployment ii diversity and unemployment the portfolio effect the risk reducing property of diversity is well known to economists conroy 1975 first applied portfolio analysis to local labor markets simon 1988 developed a simple heuristic theory of the portfolio effect of industrial diversity imagine a multi industry world where only real shocks affect the demand price of firms all output is assumed to be sold in the national market the real shocks are assumed to be equivalent to observations on a random variable with zero mean independently and identically distributed across industries the shocks may be temporary or permanent although the distribution of shocks is known the duration of any particular shock is not

the co2 emissions income nexus evidence from rich countries the paper attempts to test the environment kuznets curve ekc hypothesis for 36 high income countries for the period 1980 2005 the test is based on the suggestion of narayan and narayan 2010 various panel data unit root and co integration tests are applied carbon dioxide co2 emissions and gdp series are integrated of order one and co integrated especially after controlling for cross sectional dependence additionally the blundell bond system generalised methods of moments gmm is employed to conduct a panel causality test in a vector error correction mechanism vecm setting unidirectional causality running from real per capita gdp to per capita co2 emissions is uncovered in both the short run and the long run the empirical analysis based on individual countries provides evidence of an ekc for greece malta oman portugal and the united kingdom however it can be observed that for the whole panel a 1 increase in gdp generates an increase of 0 68 in co2 emissions in the short run and 0 22 in the long run the lower long run income elasticity does not provide evidence of an ekc but does indicate that over time co2 emissions are stabilising in the rich countries

environment kuznets curve for co2 emissions a cointegration analysis for china abstract this study examines the long run relationship between carbon emissions and energy consumption income and foreign trade in the case of china by employing time series data of 1975 2005 in particular the study aims at testing whether environmental kuznets curve ekc relationship between co 2 emissions and per capita real gdp holds in the long run or not auto regressive distributed lag ardl methodology is employed for empirical analysis a quadratic relationship between income and co 2 emission has been found for the sample period supporting ekc relationship the results of granger causality tests indicate one way causality runs through economic growth to co 2 emissions the results of this study also indicate that the carbon emissions are mainly determined by income and energy consumption in the long run trade has a positive but statistically insignificant impact on co 2 emissions

the emergence persistence and recent widening of the racial unemployment gap census data show that the ratio of black to white unemployment rates currently in excess of 2 1 was small or nonexistent before 1940 widened dramatically during the 1940s and 1950s and widened again in the 1980s the authors decompose changes in the unemployment gap over the years 1880 1990 to identify the separate contributions of changes in observable worker characteristics and shifts in labor demand nearly all of the widening of the gap during the 1940s and 1950s can be attributed to regional shifts of workers and declining demand in markets where black workers were concentrated after 1970 improvements in the relative educational status of black workers would have narrowed the unemployment gap slightly but demand shifts adverse to black workers more than canceled out these gains

reassessing the environmental kuznets curve for co2 emissions a robustness exercise the number of studies seeking to empirically characterize the reduced form relationship between a country economic growth and the quantity of pollutants produced in the process has recently increased significantly in several cases researchers have found evidence pointing to an inverted u benvironmental kuznetsq curve in the case of co2 however the evidence is at best mixed in this paper we reconsider that evidence by assessing how robust it is when the analysis is conducted in a different parametric setup and when using alternative emissions data from the international energy agency relative to the literature our contribution can be viewed as a robustness exercise in these two respects the econometric results lead to two conclusions firstly published evidence on the ekc does not appear to depend upon the source of the data at least as far as carbon dioxide is concerned secondly when an alternative functional form is employed there is evidence of an inverted u pattern for the group of oecd countries with reasonable turning point regardless of the data set employed not so for non oecd countries as the ekc is basically increasing slowly concave according to the iea data and more bellshaped in the case of cdiac data d 2005 elsevier b v all rights reserved

prices during the great depression was the deflation of 1930 1932 really unanticipated this paper examines inflationary expectations in order to investigate whether the deflation of 1930 32 could have been anticipated the major conclusion is that beginning in late 1930 and possibly as early as late 1929 deflation could have been anticipated at horizons of three six months this implies in turn that short run ex ante real interest rates were very high during the initial phases of the great depression these results provide further support for the proposition that monetary contraction was the driving force behind the economic decline copyright 1992 by american economic association

is increased price flexibility stabilizing this paper uses john taylor s model of overlapping contracts to show that increased wage and price flexibility can easily be destabilizing because of the mundell effect while lower prices increase output the expectation of falling prices decreases output simulations based on realistic parameter values suggest that increases in price flexibility might well increase the cyclical variability of output in the united states copyright 1986 by american economic association

renewable non renewable energy consumption economic growth trade openness and ecological footprint evidence from organisation for economic co operation and development countries the purpose of this study is to examine the validity of environmental kuznets curve hypothesis for ecological footprint with the role of renewable energy use non renewable energy use and trade openness in 24 organisation for economic co operation and development countries for this purpose we investigate the period from 1980 to 2014 using with second generation panel data methodologies which allow to cross sectional dependence among countries the group mean results show that the inverted u shaped environmental kuznets curve hypothesis does not hold in organisation for economic co operation and development countries because we found the u shaped relationship between economic growth and ecological footprint in addition it is concluded that increasing renewable energy consumption reduces ecological footprint and increasing non renewable energy consumption increases environmental degradation

coal consumption urbanization and trade openness linkage in indonesia abstract this paper explores the effects of economic growth urbanization industry and trade openness on coal consumption in indonesia over the period 1970 2015 to closely adhere to the environmental kuznets curve narratives we consider coal consumption which has been scarcely explored in the ekc debate as a proxy of environmental pressure we estimate the autoregressive distributed lag ardl method and confirm that the variables are cointegrated for long run linkage with the presence of structural breaks the empirical evidence showed that economic growth urbanization and trade openness increase coal consumption while decreasing share of secondary industry reduce it we also verify the existence of environmental kuznets curve having a vital role in the energy mix indonesia needs to restrain excessive coal consumption to enhance environmental quality our results also imply urbanization and trade openness are crucial factors on coal consumption consequently it should be taken into consideration in energy policy making process such as energy conservation policies in the residential sector and prioritize foreign investment which brings cutting edge coal technologies

the effect of internal migration on local labor markets american cities during the great depression the great depression offers a unique laboratory to investigate the causal impact of migration on local labor markets we use variation in the generosity of new deal programs and extreme weather events to instrument for migrant flows to and from u s cities in migration had little effect on the hourly earnings of existing residents instead in migration prompted some residents to move away and others to lose weeks of work or access to relief jobs for every 10 arrivals we estimate that 1 9 residents moved out 2 1 were prevented from finding a relief job and 1 9 shifted from full time to part time work

inter party competition intra party competition and distributive policy a model and test using new deal data this paper presents a theoreticalmodel examining the influence of two stylized types ofvoters loyal voters and swing voters the model showswhy both types of voters will influence thedistribution of benefits by a reelection seekingincumbent and it predicts how their influence willvary with the importance of the general electionrelative to that of the primary closer competitionbetween parties in the general election ceterisparibus increases the influence of swing votersrelative to that of loyal voters county level dataon the allocation of money and jobs by new deal reliefprograms confirm the model s predictions

is there an environmental kuznets curve for sulfur abstract most existing estimates of the environmental kuznets curve ekc for sulfur which use samples of mainly high income countries indicate a maximum emissions turning point at middle to lower high income levels of gdp per capita we use a larger and more globally representative sample than previous sulfur ekc studies we find that sulfur emissions per capita are a monotonic function of income per capita when we use a global sample and an inverted u shape function of income when we use a sample of high income countries a model estimated in first differences results in a monotonic ekc when estimated with both high income and global samples reductions in emissions are time related rather than income related

energy consumption economic growth and carbon emissions challenges faced by an eu candidate member abstract this paper investigates the long run granger causality relationship between economic growth carbon dioxide emissions and energy consumption in turkey controlling for gross fixed capital formation and labor the most interesting result is that carbon emissions seem to granger cause energy consumption but the reverse is not true the lack of a long run causal link between income and emissions may be implying that to reduce carbon emissions turkey does not have to forgo economic growth

energy consumption income and carbon emissions in the united states abstract this paper investigates the effect of energy consumption and output on carbon emissions in the united states earlier research focused on testing the existence and or shape of an environmental kuznets curve without taking energy consumption into account we investigate the granger causality relationship between income energy consumption and carbon emissions including labor and gross fixed capital formation in the model we find that income does not granger cause carbon emissions in the us in the long run but energy use does hence income growth by itself may not become a solution to environmental problems

regional differences in the dynamic linkage between co2 emissions sectoral output and economic growth environmental degradation measured by co2 emissions is a significant challenge to sustainable economic development owing to significant differences in the empirical relationship between the economic growth and co2 emissions and policies adopted by different countries to overcome the challenge are not decisive this study aims to generalize our knowledge about the relationship between co2 emissions per capita and economic growth across the world for 1980 2009 periods besides it explores whether the transformation of different economies e g agrarian to industrial and industrial to sophisticated service economy over the past few decades yielded any significant positive impact towards sustainable economic development by reducing the level of co2 emission empirical results suggest that i except for high income countries environmental kuznets curve ekc is a general phenomenon across the world and ii the transformation of different economies towards a service economy has produced more pollution in high income countries and less pollution in low and middle income countries