an economic theory of self control the concept of self control is incorporated in a theory of individual intertemporal choice by modeling the individual as an organization the individual at a point in time is assumed to be both a farsighted planner and a myopic doer the resulting conflict is seen to be fundamentally similar to the agency conflict between the owners and managers of a firm both individuals and firms use the same techniques to mitigate the problems which the conflicts create this paper stresses the implications of this agency model and discusses as applications the effect of pensions on saving saving and the timing of income flows and individual discount rates

pension profile preferences the influence of trust and expected expenses this paper studies the influence of people s expectations about expenses during retirement and trust in pension funds on preferences for different pension arrangements although most workers prefer

asymmetric bidding in second price common value auctions abstract two comparative static characterizations for common value auctions under second price rules are extended to heterogeneous bidders the willingness to pay of the two highest bidders is enhanced on average by the release of public information and best responses are less aggressive when facing more rival bidders

who appropriates centrality rents the role of institutions in regulating social networks in the global islamic finance industry this study explains and tests the effects of country level institutions on the distribution of centrality rents between two sets of actors in an interorganizational network building on the literature on corporate elites we propose that a cohesive elite following organizational logics other than profit maximization diverts centrality rents and induces costs on firms and that macro institutions act as external governance mechanisms to shape this relationship we develop our theory in the emerging islamic finance industry where shariah scholars connect firms and constitute a religious corporate elite while central scholars in this network create legitimacy for firms they also shirk and cause information leakage suggesting a negative centrality performance relationship for the firms country level institutions such as government regulation and democracy we argue ameliorate these effects by influencing this religious elite s institutional logic and restraining their actions while institutions developed from within the industry strengthen the power of the elite testing our theory in a network of 367 scholars and 396 institutions over 31 countries using multi level methods we indeed find a negative centrality performance relationship that is ameliorated by stronger government regulation but exacerbated by better developed industry specific institutions as well as a negative relationship between democratic and regulatory institutions and centrality

time inconsistent preferences and the annuitization decision good news can involve difficult decisions for example winning a lottery jackpot can go along with the decision whether to have the jackpot paid out immediately as a lump sum or as periodic annual payments also when entering retirement most people face the decision whether they want their defined contribution account balance paid as a lump sum or to annuitize that amount the fact that people tend to choose the lump sum even if economic reasons suggest that they should choose the annuity is called the annuity paradox in a large online survey we find that people behave time inconsistent older people have a stronger tendency to choose the lump sum than younger people when they are asked to predict today what to choose when they retire this effect is considerably stronger for participants that answer simple time preference questions inconsistently our findings suggest to think about precommitment devices for the annuitization decision in the retirement case already at the time when the defined benefit plan is started

risk preferences are not time preferences balancing on a budget line comment in a recent experimental study of intertemporal risky decision making andreoni and sprenger 2012 find that subjects exhibit a preference for intertemporal diversification which is inconsistent with discounted expected utility theory it was claimed that their results are also at odds with models involving probability weighting such as rank dependent utility and cumulative prospect theory here we demonstrate however that rank dependent probability weighting explains intertemporal diversification if decision makers care about portfolio risk moreover we provide a unified account of all of andreoni and sprenger s key findings

global value chain governance a relational perspective global value chain gvc governance is an established field within international business research yet the relational aspects of gvcs have to date garnered less scholarly attention than have efficiency considerations this conceptual study s objective is to explore the relational dynamics of gvc governance using an internalization theory perspective and by linking gvc research with insights from the business network literature gvcs are argued to be a distinct form of asymmetrical networks associated with economizing and capability creation features as well as costs the orchestrating firm can thus enhance efficiency outcomes of the gvc using social mechanisms similar to those adopted by core actors in a business network in the study six such mechanisms were identified 1 selectivity 2 inclusion of non business intermediaries 3 joint strategizing 4 relational capital 5 multilateral feedback and 6 rules for equitable value distribution while safeguarding the gvc s efficiency the above social mechanisms are associated with challenges and limitations and therefore do not guarantee international competitive success however deployed in an integrative fashion these social mechanisms facilitate coordination thus economizing on bounded rationality reduce the hazards of imperfect effort by partners thus economizing on bounded reliability and foster innovation and new capability development

stock market returns and annuitization abstract i investigate the strong negative relation between recent stock returns and the annuitization of retirement savings using a novel data set with over 100 000 actual payout decisions after controlling for several standard explanations e g wealth effects i present evidence supporting naive beliefs and extrapolation from past returns the effect of recent returns on annuitization dramatically increases with age confirming that the elderly rely most heavily on recent information my results provide insights into how beliefs are formed in old age and have implications for the design of public policies seeking to promote annuitization

the choice to cash out pension rights at job change or retirement abstract most pension plans allow a lump sum distribution upon job separation enabling a subsequent cash out in the 1992 2000 hrs 13 of entitlements were cashed out representing 5 3 of entitlement dollars among plans with a lump sum option 20 were cashed out cash outs can be rational and we broadly confirm hypotheses for cash out determinants but not that individuals with short expected longevity should wish to disproportionately cash out fears of adverse selection into the pool of pensioners with annuity income thus appear unfounded while we find only limited leakage it is concentrated among individuals vulnerable to poverty in old age

upgrading in global value chains lessons from latin american clusters it has been shown that clustering helps local enterprises in industrial districts overcome growth constraints and compete in distant markets in advanced and less developed countries nevertheless recent contributions have stressed that more attention needs to be paid to external linkages and to the role played by global buyers to foster upgrading at cluster levels in this study we contribute to this debate focusing on the analysis of the relationships existing between clustering global value chains upgrading and sectoral patterns of innovation in latin america we find that sectoral specificities matter and influence the mode and the extent of upgrading in clusters integrated in global value chains

intra industry foreign direct investment we use a new firm level data set that establishes the location ownership and activity of 650 000 multinational subsidiaries close to a comprehensive picture of global multinational activity a number of patterns emerge from the data most foreign direct investment fdi occurs between rich countries the share of vertical fdi subsidiaries which provide inputs to their parent firms is larger than commonly thought even within developed countries more than half of all vertical subsidiaries are only observable at the four digit level because the inputs they are supplying are so proximate to their parent firms final good that they appear identical at the two digit level we call these proximate subsidiaries intra industry vertical fdi and find that their location and activity are significantly different to the inter industry vertical fdi visible at the two digit level these subsidiaries are not readily explained by the comparative advantage considerations in traditional models where firms locate their low skill production stages abroad in low skill countries to take advantage of factor cost differences we find that overwhelmingly multinationals tend to own the stages of production proximate to their final production giving rise to a class of high skill intra industry vertical fdi

auctions actions and the failure of information aggregation we study a market where k identical and indivisible objects are allocated using a uniform price auction where n k bidders each demand one object before the auction each bidder receives an informative but imperfect signal about the state of the world the good that is auctioned is a common value object for the bidders and a bidder s valuation for the object is determined jointly by the state of the world and an action that he chooses after winning the object but before he observes the state we show that there are equilibria where the auction price is completely uninformative about the state of the world and aggregates no information even in an arbitrarily large auction in the equilibrium that we construct because prices do not aggregate information agents have strict incentives to acquire costly information before they participate in the market also market statistics other than price such as the amount of rationing and bid distributions contain extra information about the state our findings sharply contrast with past work which shows that large auctions aggregate information when there is no ex post action

international connectedness and local disconnectedness mne strategy city regions and disruption much of the rising international connectedness of city regions has developed from mnes replacing local connections with superior international ones this often creates local disconnectedness that energizes the current populist backlash against mne activities we develop approaches to new ib theory addressing the interdependencies of mnes and city regions that we propose as a crucial avenue for future research we contrast two generic mne strategies the first is the traditional one the global orchestration of resources and markets we argue that it exacerbates local disconnectedness the second that we call local spawning involves engaging with the local entrepreneurial eco system to create and renew local connectedness diffusing populist responses some mnes are better able to implement a local spawning strategy due to industry factors like innovation clock speed and firm characteristics like organizational path dependency finally we distinguish between disconnection which is an outcome of mne strategy and global disruptions like the coronavirus covid 19 pandemic which are primarily stochastic events addressing disconnections requires mnes to re orient their strategies while dealing with disruptions requires undertaking risk mitigation we present empirical evidence from city regions around the world to illustrate our theory

internationalization in the information age a new era for places firms and international business networks the new techno economic paradigm of the information age has brought about new structures and processes in international business ib in this article we examine the changing nature of the competitive advantages of places the competitive advantages and strategies of firms and the governance structure of ib networks in what has also been called the third industrial revolution these three areas of change in ib activities can be mapped respectively to the location l ownership o and internalization i advantages of the eclectic paradigm we interpret these oli factors as dynamic constructs in order to depict analytically the shifts in the ib environment and their implications for ib

asset allocation and location over the life cycle with investment linked survival contingent payouts abstract this paper shows how survival contingent investment linked payouts can enhance investor wellbeing in the context of a portfolio choice model which integrates uninsurable labor income and asymmetric mortality expectations in exchange for illiquidity these products provide the consumer with access to mutual fund style portfolio choice as well as the survival credit generated from pooling mortality risk our model generates optimal asset location patterns indicating how much to hold in liquid versus illiquid survival contingent payouts over the lifetime and also asset allocation paths showing how to invest in stocks versus bonds we show that the investor who moves her money out of liquid saving into survival contingent assets gradually from middle age to retirement and beyond will enhance her welfare by as much as 50 the results are robust to the introduction of uninsurable consumption shocks in housing expenses income flows during the worklife and retirement sudden changes in health status and medical expenses

public sector organizations and agricultural catch up dilemma in emerging markets the orchestrating role of embrapa in brazil abstract how can an emerging economy beset by political economic and resource challenges jump start the technology catch up process in the agricultural sector and then forge an ecosystem to facilitate the continual generation and dissemination of innovations equally important how can it maintain the viability and salience of its catch up initiatives subsequent to the entry and inevitable dominance of multinational companies we answer these questions by studying catch up in brazil s soy seeds sector over four decades 1973 2015 in an environment of political and economic uncertainty embrapa a public sector organization forged partnerships to first develop absorptive capacity and innovation capabilities and then build an ecosystem of diverse organizations to generate and disseminate catch up outcomes to farmers and other end users embrapa also developed critical tacit knowledge and complementary assets that along with its emphasis on environmental sustainability and protecting national interests helped maintain its salience even after the entry and market dominance by multinational agribusinesses in addition to demonstrating critical roles for public sector organizations and public private networks in technological catch up in an emerging economy s agricultural sector our study calls into question the prevalent notion of technological catch up as a rush to reach the technological frontier at any cost

the relevance of a choice of auction format in a competitive environment we examine the relevance of an auction format in a competitive environment by comparing uniform and discriminatory price auctions with many bidders in a private values setting we show that if the number of objects for sale is small relative to the number of bidders then all equilibria of both auctions are approximately efficient and lead to approximately the same revenue when the number of objects for sale is proportional to the number of bidders then the particulars of the auction format matter all equilibria of the uniform auction are efficient while all of the equilibria of the discriminatory auction are inefficient the relative revenue rankings of the auction formats can go in either direction depending on the specifics of the environment these conclusions regarding the efficiency and revenue ranking are in contrast to the previous literature which focused on the case of independent information across agents

anomalies in intertemporal choice evidence and an interpretation research on decision making under uncertainly has been strongly influenced by the documentation of numerous expected utility eu anomalies behaviors that violate the expected utility axioms the relative lack of progress on the closely related topic of intertemporal choice is partly due to the absence of an analogous set of discounted utility du anomalies we enumerate a set of du anomalies analogous to the eu anomalies and propose a model that accounts for the anomalies as well as other intertemporal choice phenomena incompatible with du we discuss implications for savings behavior estimation of discount rates and choice framing effects

tail expectation and imperfect competition in limit order book markets abstract perfect competition in liquidity provision in limit order markets is characterized by a tail expectation condition glosten 1994 in this paper we model imperfect competition in schedules by infinitely many liquidity suppliers quoting on a limit order book we show that there are zero rent mixed strategy equilibria featuring finite numbers of active liquidity suppliers none of the equilibria satisfies the competitive outcome not even on average considering a sequence of equilibria with the number of active liquidity suppliers becoming large we show that the aggregate stochastic marginal price schedule converges to the deterministic competitive marginal price schedule

the loser s curse and information aggregation in common value auctions we consider an auction in which k identical objects of unknown value are auctioned off to n bidders the k highest bidders get an object and pay the k 1st bid bidders receive a signal that provides information about the value of the object we characterize the unique symmetric equilibrium of this auction we then consider a sequence of auctions a r with n r bidders and k r objects we show that price converges in probability to the true value of the object if and only if both k r and n r k r i e both the number of objects and the number of bidders who do not receive an object go to infinity

revenue ranking of discriminatory and uniform auctions with an unknown number of bidders an important managerial question is the choice of the pricing rule we study whether this choice depends on the uncertainty about the number of participating bidders by comparing expected revenues under discriminatory and uniform pricing within an auction model with affiliated values stochastic number of bidders and linear bidding strategies we show that if uncertainty about the number of bidders is substantial then the discriminatory pricing generates higher expected revenues than the uniform pricing in particular the first price auction might generate higher revenues than the second price auction therefore uncertainty about the number of bidders is an important factor to consider when choosing the pricing rule we also study whether eliminating this uncertainty i e revealing the number of bidders is in the seller s interests and discuss the existence of an increasing symmetric equilibrium

global connectedness and dynamic green capabilities in mnes we study how global connectedness can help mnes become more environmentally sustainable based on the idea that environmental sustainability requires dynamic capabilities we define dynamic green capability as the ability to build complementary green competences and reconfigure organizationally embedded resources to pursue competitive advantage in a rapidly changing stakeholder environment we argue that mnes with greater global connectedness in terms of international diversification or international environmental certification possess knowledge advantages in cultivating dynamic green capabilities we extend the sensing seizing reconfiguring framework and propose that global connectedness substitutes for sensing as a driver of seizing by providing direct access to relevant green knowledge pools around the world and that it complements seizing as a driver of reconfiguring by strengthening the knowledge routines needed to integrate green competences

why don t people insure late life consumption a framing explanation of the under annuitization puzzle rational models of risk averse consumers have difficulty explaining limited annuity demand we posit that consumers evaluate annuity products using a narrow investment frame that focuses on risk and return rather than a consumption frame that considers the consequences for lifelong consumption under an investment frame annuities are quite unattractive exhibiting high risk without high returns survey evidence supports this hypothesis whereas 72 percent of respondents prefer a life annuity over a savings account when the choice is framed in terms of consumption only 21 percent of respondents prefer it when the choice is framed in terms of investment features

global value chains a review of the multi disciplinary literature this article reviews the rapidly growing domain of global value chain gvc research by analyzing several highly cited conceptual frameworks and then appraising gvc studies published in such disciplines as international business general management supply chain management operations management economic geography regional and development studies and international political economy building on gvc conceptual frameworks we conducted the review based on a comparative institutional perspective that encompasses critical governance issues at the micro gvc and macro levels our results indicate that some of these issues have garnered significantly more scholarly attention than others we suggest several future research topics such as microfoundations of gvc governance gvc mapping learning impact of lead firm ownership and strategy dynamics of gvc arrangements value creation and distribution financialization digitization the impact of renewed protectionism the impact of gvcs on their macro environment and chain level performance management

domestic alliance networks and regional strategies of mnes a structural embeddedness perspective we draw on a social network perspective to explain multinational enterprises mnes propensity to distribute their operations unevenly across various regions of the world we focus on how the positioning of mnes in their domestic network of strategic alliances affects their geographic scope i e whether they concentrate on their home region or expand beyond it we theorize that embeddedness in alliance networks constitutes a double edged sword to the geographic scope of mnes strong embeddedness in domestic alliance networks drives the development of location bound firm specific advantages fsas which may narrow down mnes geographic scope in contrast moderate embeddedness leads to more non location bound fsas which reduce liability of foreignness and hence motivate mnes to widen their geographical scope we thus predict a non linear relationship between domestic alliance network embeddedness and mne geographic scope furthermore the impact of the domestic alliance network on mne geographic scope hinges on the organizational ability to efficiently and effectively absorb resources stemming from the network we test our hypotheses using fdi data from 302 us mnes in the information and communication technology industry for the period of 2001 2008 and generally find robust support for the hypothesized relationships

value functions for infinite period planning cost benefit and risk analysis studies that model tradeoffs between the present and the distant future by means of present value discounting have been criticized for according the future and thus future generations far too little importance this paper presents an alternative means of modeling tradeoffs between different periods that accords the future far more importance than present value discounting and that is no more difficult to apply the paper also presents a means of modeling the preference issue of concern for equity or stability between different periods

dynamic inducements in r d investment market signals and network locations this research shows that alliance networks shape how firms respond to uncertainty reducing information generated outside a network product awards signal the potential commercial success of the awa

an evolutionary approach to understanding international business activity the co evolution of mnes and the institutional environment this paper examines the co evolution of mne activities and institutions external and internal to the firm we develop a theoretical framework for this analysis that draws on the more recent writings of douglass north on institutions as a response to complex forms of uncertainty associated with the rise in global economic interconnectedness and of richard nelson on the co evolution of technology and institutions we link historical changes in the character of mne activities to changes in the institutional environment and highlight the scope for firm level creativity and institutional entrepreneurship that may lead to co evolution with the environment we argue that the main drivers for institutional entrepreneurship are now found in the increasing autonomy of mne subsidiaries thus mne agency derives from more decentralized forms of experimentation in international corporate networks which competence creating nodes of new initiatives can co evolve with local institutions unlike most other streams of related literature our approach connects patterns of institutional change in wider business systems with more micro processes of variety generation and experimentation within and across individual firms this form of co evolutionary analysis is increasingly important to understanding the interrelationships between mne activities and public policy

on the informational inefficiency of discriminatory price auctions we analyze bidding behavior in large discriminatory price auctions where the number of objects is a non trivial proportion of the number of bidders bidders observe private signals that are affiliated with the common value we show that the average price in the auction is biased downward from the expected value of the objects even in the competitive limit in particular we show that conditional on relatively low signals bidders bid the expected value of the objects conditional on their information and winning while bids at higher signals flatten out and are below the expected value conditional on winning

perfect competition and the creativity of the market from the perspective of the walrasian general equilibrium model entrepreneurial and opportunistic behavior seems foreign can the model be refashioned so that it can accommodate such behavior many would say no but we argue the contrary indeed we present a reformulation of the model that serves as a gateway to rather than a detour from such contemporary issues as innovation and incentives the trick is to reexamine what perfect competition means starting with an historical summary of general equilibrium we sketch an image of the perfect competitor as an active market opportunist seeking out profit potentials wherever he can

global value chains meet innovation systems are there learning opportunities for developing countries summary the innovation systems is literature tends not to emphasize the crucial impact of international knowledge and innovation exchange and collaboration through for example inter firm and intra firm networks and global value chains gvc in developing countries this aspect is crucial with integration in gvc playing a growing and very important role in accessing knowledge and enhancing learning and innovation however there is no agreement in the literature about how innovation systems and gvc interact and how this interaction is likely to affect enterprise learning three main conclusions emerge from the theoretical analysis and evidence presented in this paper first learning mechanisms can vary widely within the various forms of governance of gvc they can be the result of the pressure to achieve international standards or be facilitated by direct involvement of the value chain leaders when the suppliers competence is low and the risk of failure to comply is high when the competences of the actors in the value chain are complementary learning is mutual and is based on intense face to face interactions second as we open is to foreign sources of knowledge the relationship between gvcs and is is nonlinear and endogenous and mutually affecting on the basis of our model we would expect a well structured and efficient innovation system would help to reduce transaction complexity and enable transactions based on relational forms of gvc governance third the internal governance of gvc is a dynamic phenomenon that is subject to continuous adjustments and changes and the nature of the is affects this co evolution 2011 elsevier ltd all rights reserved

determinants of success in international strategic alliances evidence from the global aerospace industry this paper presents the results of a study linking the performance of international joint ventures and alliances set up in the global aerospace industry to their strategic and organizational features in a first stage an empirically based taxonomy of the observed alliances is generated then the economic performance of various types of alliances is evaluated on the basis of industry expert opinions and the difference in performance of different alliance types is tested

uncertainty resolution and the timing of annuity purchases abstract this paper considers the question of why the annuity market is thin a model is presented in which consumers have the option of purchasing annuities before discovering their survival probability they can then recontract the initial choice after the resolution of this form of uncertainty it is shown that consumers purchase insurance against their own survival probability type at a very young age and do not undertake further transactions this characterization is then used to analze the effects of introducing future income uncertainty and to investigate the trade off between old age insurance motive and portfilio flexibility

can relaxation of beliefs rationalize the winner s curse an experimental study we use a second price common value auction called the maximal game to experimentally study whether the winner s curse wc can be explained by models which retain best response behavior but allow for inconsistent beliefs we compare behavior in a regular version of the maximal game where the wc can be explained by inconsistent beliefs to behavior in versions where such explanations are less plausible we find little evidence of differences in behavior overall our study casts a serious doubt on theories that posit the wc is driven by beliefs

global connectedness and local innovation in industrial clusters in today s knowledge economy clusters are a key driver of a country s competitiveness yet a cluster s technological base is now more than ever influenced by constituent firms actions to tap into distant knowledge sources drawing on a social network perspective and distinguishing between horizontal versus vertical organization based linkages we explore the effects of a cluster s connectedness to foreign locations on its innovation performance we show that improvements in horizontal and vertical connectedness both stimulate a cluster s innovation performance but that their relative effects vary across cluster types innovation in knowledge intensive clusters disproportionately benefits from enhancements in their constituent firms horizontal connectedness to foreign knowledge hotspots innovation in labor intensive clusters mostly gains from stronger vertical connections by their firms to central value chain players abroad we discuss the implications of our findings for research on global knowledge sourcing and cluster upgrading

behavioral obstacles in the annuity market as baby boomers enter retirement they will look to the investment industry for ways to generate income from accumulated savings why most retirees do not purchase longevity insurance in the form of lifetime annuities is a long standing puzzle mental accounting and loss aversion can explain the unpopularity of annuities by framing them as risky gambles where potential losses loom larger than potential gains moreover behavioral anomalies can explain the prevalence of period certain annuities which guarantee a minimum number of payouts finally investors may prefer longevity annuities purchased today to begin payouts in the future to immediate annuities because investors overweight the small probability of living long enough to receive large future payouts

network location and learning the influence of network resources and firm capabilities on alliance formation this paper presents a dynamic firm level study of the role of network resources in determining alliance formation such resources inhere not so much within the firm but reside in the interfirm networks in which firms are placed data from extensive fieldwork show that by influencing the extent to which firms have access to information about potential partners such resources are an important catalyst for new alliances especially because alliances entail considerable hazards this study also assesses the importance of firms capabilities with alliance formation and material resources as determinants of their alliance decisions i test this dynamic framework and its hypotheses about the role of time varying network resources and firm capabilities with comprehensive longitudinal multi industry data on the formation of strategic alliances by a panel of firms between 1970 and 1989 the results confirm field observations that accumulated network resources arising from firm participation in the network of accumulated prior alliances are influential in firms decisions to enter into new alliances this study highlights the importance of network resources that firms derive from their embeddedness in networks for explaining their strategic behavior copyright 1999 john wiley sons ltd

baby boomer retirement security the roles of planning financial literacy and housing wealth abstract we compare wealth holdings across two cohorts of the health and retirement study the early baby boomers in 2004 and individuals in the same age group in 1992 levels and patterns of total net worth have changed relatively little over time though boomers rely more on housing equity than their predecessors most important planners in both cohorts arrive close to retirement with much higher wealth levels and display higher financial literacy than non planners instrumental variables estimates show that planning behavior can explain the differences in savings and why some people arrive close to retirement with very little or no wealth

knowledge seeking and location choice of foreign direct investment in the united states to what extent do firms go abroad to access technology available in other locations this paper examines whether and when state technical capabilities attract foreign investment in manufacturing from 1987 1993 we find that on average state r d intensity does not attract foreign direct investment most investing firms are in lower tech industries and locate in low r d intensity states suggesting little interest in state technical capabilities in contrast we find that firms in research intensive industries are more likely to locate in states with high r d intensity foreign firms in the pharmaceutical industry value state r d intensity the most at a level twice that of firms in the semiconductor industry and four times that of electronics firms interestingly not only firms from technically lagging nations but also some firms from technically leading nations are attracted to r d intensive states this suggests that beyond catching up firms use knowledge seeking investments also to source technical diversity

what makes annuitization more appealing we conduct and analyze two large surveys of hypothetical annuitization choices we find that allowing individuals to annuitize a fraction of their wealth increases annuitization relative to a situation where annuitization is an all or nothing decision very few respondents choose declining real payout streams over flat or increasing real payout streams of equivalent expected present value highlighting the effects of inflation increases demand for cost of living adjustments frames that highlight flexibility control and investment significantly reduce annuitization a majority of respondents prefer to receive an extra bonus payment during one month of the year that is funded by slightly lower payments in the remaining months concerns about later life income spending flexibility and counterparty risk are the most important self reported motives that influence the annuitization decision

adverse selection in insurance markets policyholder evidence from the u k annuity market in this paper we investigate the importance of adverse selection in insurance markets we use a unique data set consisting of all annuity policies sold by a large u k insurance company since the early 1980s to analyze mortality differences among individuals who purchased different types of policies we find systematic relationships between ex post mortality and annuity policy characteristics such as whether the annuity will make payments to the estate in the event of an untimely death and whether the payments from the annuity rise over time these mortality patterns are consistent with the presence of asymmetric information in the annuity market we find no evidence of substantive mortality differences however across annuities of different size even though models of insurance market equilibrium with asymmetric information would predict such differences we also find that the pricing of various features of annuity contracts is consistent with the self selection patterns we find in mortality rates our results therefore suggest that selection may occur across many specific features of insurance contracts and that the absence of selection on one contract dimension does not preclude its presence on others this highlights the importance of considering the detailed features of insurance contracts when testing theoretical models of asymmetric information

empirical determinants of intertemporal choice abstract we provide new evidence on the empirical determinants of intertemporal financial decisions we use an exogenously imposed choice affecting nearly all croatian retirees to study characteristics associated with choosing a larger deferred stream of payments over a smaller more immediate payment individuals are more willing to defer if they have higher incomes and are not liquidity constrained have a longer time horizon because of better health and longer life expectancy and have stronger bequest motives individuals who expect currency devaluation or political risk to reduce the value of future income are more likely to take the earlier income stream

learning and price discovery in a search market we introduce learning into an otherwise standard two sided search and bargaining market there is uncertainty about the price distribution due to uncertainty about an underlying exogenous state of relative demand in the high state buyers are on the long side otherwise they are on the short side in equilibrium prices are on average higher in the high state individual agents learn about the distribution while searching agents typically start out by experimenting with a tough bargaining position buyers may initially insist on a low price and sellers on a high price after successive failures to trade agents become increasingly pessimistic about the market conditions and soften their bargaining stance when frictions are small equilibrium transaction prices are approximately market clearing despite aggregate demand being unknown thus the search and bargaining procedure enables price discovery in a decentralized market

the local co evolution of firms and governments in the information age the governance structures of the value creating activities of mnes have evolved towards more networked forms that are geographically highly concentrated and involve partnering with diverse actors the experimentation that takes place within these corporate networks has a parallel on the government side where subnational governments and particularly cities as hubs of economic activity have increased their profile and level of cooperative activity we argue that engagement in these partnerships is an essential way in which firms and governments co evolve and create the basis for sustainable economic growth in the information age while the origins of this collaborative form of governance reside in the increasing knowledge intensity of value creation its implications go far beyond mne value creation and capture extending to issues of global governance such as climate change and sustainable development goals we examine the implications of this process of co evolution both in terms of the costs of developing the requisite corporate capabilities as well as the legitimacy of these efforts as part of a deliberative democracy

uncertainty resolution private information aggregation and the cournot competitive limit a cournot model of oligopoly in which otherwise identical firms have private differential information about the common cost of production and a shared but unknown demand curve is examined a bayesian equilibrium of the corresponding game of incomplete information is solved for explicitly and analysed in the symmetric equilibrium different firms produce at different output levels because they have different information because the information individual firms have is random total output and hence market price is also random for any finite number of firms the main result of the paper relates to the asymptotic properties of the equilibrium when the number of firms becomes large under fairly general conditions on the joint distribution of demand and individual firms information about demand the random equilibrium price converges almost surely to a constant in the limit more importantly this price equals the perfectly competitive price in other words in large markets even if no firm knows the true market demand curve and firms are not price takers and do not use price as a signal to improve their information the competitive price will prevail with certainty in the limit aggregate outcomes are as if all firms shared their private information with each other

mnes as border crossing multi location enterprises the role of discontinuities in geographic space spurred by the classic work of dunning mne location has become the focus of a growing body of research in the field in this paper we argue that international business ib research examining the spatial dimension has serious weaknesses stemming from its traditional assumption of the country as the location unit of analysis while border crossing remains the key research context of ib placing it within a general spatial framework that recognizes both international and subnational spatial heterogeneity opens up vast new vistas for research analyzing mnes as border crossing multi location enterprises allows the researcher to distinguish between discrete border effects and continuous distance effects and undertake a more fine grained analysis of location within such analysis national borders may appear as qualitative discontinuities in space that is points at which spatial heterogeneity changes abruptly however subnational spatial heterogeneity is often the characteristic that drives firm strategy as mnes decide to locate in particular agglomerations and not at random locations within a country the complex firms that ib scholars study typically include multiple units within the same country so that a complete analysis requires considering both subnational distance effects as well as international border effects

annuities and individual welfare advancing annuity demand theory we present suffcient conditions for the optimality of full annuitization under market completeness that are substantially less restrictive than those used by yaari 1965 we examine demand with market incompleteness finding that positive annuitization remains optimal widely but complete annuitization does not how uninsured medical expenses affect demand for illiquid annuities depends critically on the timing of the risk a new set of calculations with optimal consumption trajectories very different from available annuity income streams still shows a preference for considerable annuitization suggesting that limited annuity purchases are plausibly due to psychological or behavioral biases

understanding the structural characteristics of a firm s whole buyer supplier network and its impact on international business performance building on the network theory and the concept of organizational ambidexterity we investigate the impact of structural characteristics of a firm s whole buyer supplier network network density betweenness centralization and average clustering coefficient on its international business ib performance we also explore the moderating roles of average path length and pagerank centrality using a manually collected dataset and a robust empirical methodology we find that while network density is negatively related betweenness centralization and average clustering coefficient have an inverted u shape and a u shaped relationship with ib performance respectively we also find significant moderation effects and in the process we show the economic importance of firms whole buyer supplier network to their ib performance we contribute to the international business and whole buyer supplier network literature

internal embeddedness geographic distance and global knowledge sourcing by overseas subsidiaries we investigate determinants of global knowledge sourcing of overseas r d subsidiaries shedding light on vertical cross border embeddedness within firms drawing on the paradox of embeddedness perspective which assumes that embeddedness may facilitate or hinder knowledge transfer we examine the extent to which different types of internal vertical embeddedness administrative versus knowledge facilitate global knowledge sourcing we find that vertical administrative embeddedness inhibits global knowledge sourcing while vertical knowledge embeddedness promotes it we also find differing moderating effects of geographic distance between headquarters and its subsidiaries on the association between vertical embeddedness and global knowledge sourcing

discounting financial literacy time preferences and participation in financial education programs many policymakers and economists argue that financial literacy is key to financial well being but why do many individuals remain financially illiterate despite the benefits of being financially informed this paper presents results from a field study linking individual decisions to acquire financial information to a normally unobservable characteristic time preferences we elicited time preferences using incentivized choice experiments for all individuals to whom a financial education program was offered our results show that individuals who choose to acquire personal financial information have substantially higher discount factors than individuals who do not the results can be interpreted as non participants discount the benefits of being financially literate more

discount rates inferred from decisions an experimental study two hundred and four students of economics and finance participated in an intertemporal choice experiment which manipulated three dimensions in a 4 4 4 factorial design scenario postponing a receipt postponing a payment expediting a receipt expediting a payment time delay 0 5 1 2 and 4 years and size of cashflow 40 200 1000 and 5000 individual discount rates were inferred from the responses and then used to test competitively four hypotheses regarding the behavior of discount rates the classical hypothesis asserting that the discount rate is uniform across scenarios time delays and sums of cashflow was flatly rejected a market segmentation approach was found lacking the results support an implicit risk hypothesis according to which delayed consequences are associated with an implicit risk value and an added compensation hypothesis which asserts that individuals require compensation for a change in their financial position

hyperbolic discounting and the standard model eliciting discount functions abstract experiments on static intertemporal choice find evidence of particularly extreme impatience toward immediate rewards while this is often taken as support for hyperbolic discounting it could also arise because the most likely participants in experiments may be those with the most immediate need for money we conduct a calibration exercise and find that the extreme impatience observed in experiments can be accommodated by a standard exponential discounting model with no discounting and expectation of a small increase in the base consumption level the calibration uses existing estimates of curvature of utility

demand for annuities price sensitivity risk perceptions and knowledge abstract the demand for voluntary individual lifetime annuities is low as merely 10 of soon to be retired canadians care to buy such contracts to assess the reasons why we design a stated preference experiment in which we vary characteristics of annuity contracts to estimate individuals sensitivity to an annuity s money s worth that is the value to cost ratio using different measures of longevity risk and survival expectations we investigate how knowledge of annuity products and mortality risk misperceptions affect the take up and the sensitivity of the demand for annuities we find that annuities are objectively actuarially neutral in general meaning that annuity premiums are equal to their expected payment and can appear to offer great value for the money given an individual s subjective mortality risk we also find that demand is somewhat price inelastic so that lowering the price of annuities could increase demand by at most 2 percentage points for a base of 10 lack of knowledge of annuities explains another 0 8 percentage points we find limited additional interest for deferred annuities compared to immediate annuities although respondents are less sensitive to deferred annuity prices

estimating individual discount rates in denmark a field experiment we estimate individual discount rates with respect to time streams of money using controlled laboratory experiments these discount rates are elicited by means of field experiments involving real monetary rewards the experiments were carried out across denmark using a representative sample of 268 people between 19 and 75 years of age individual discount rates are estimated for various households differentiated by socio demographic characteristics such as income and age our conclusions are that discount rates are constant over the 12 month to 3 year horizons used in these experiments and that discount rates vary substantially with respect to several socio demographic variables hence we conclude that it would be reasonable to assume constant discount rates for specific household types but not the same rates across all households

intertemporal tradeoffs for gains and losses an experimental measurement of discounted utility this article provides a parameter free measurement of utility in intertemporal choice and presents new and more robust evidence on the discounting of money outcomes intertemporal utility was concave for gains and convex for losses consistent with a hypothesis put forward by loewenstein and prelec 1992 discount rates declined over time but less so than previously observed under the assumption of linear utility for approximately 40 of our subjects constant discounting provided the best fit the remaining 60 were most consistent with harvey s 1986 power discounting our data provide little support for the popular quasi hyperbolic model which is widely used in economics today we observed an asymmetry in the discounting of gains and losses that unlike earlier findings cannot be explained by a framing effect

estimating time preferences from convex budgets experimentally elicited discount rates are frequently higher than what seems reasonable for economic decision making such high rates are often attributed to present biased discounting a well known bias of standard measurements is the assumption of linear consumption utility attempting to correct this bias using measures of risk aversion to identify concavity researchers find reasonable discounting but at the cost of exceptionally high utility function curvature we present a new methodology for identifying time preferences both discounting and curvature from simple allocation decisions we find reasonable levels of both discounting and curvature and surprisingly dynamically consistent time preferences jel c91 d12 d81 understanding and estimating time preferences is obviously of great importance to economists marketers and policy makers consumers decide how much to invest in savings education real estate and life insurance how much to diet exercise and smoke whether to marry when to have children and what to leave in their wills while there has been substantial research estimating time preferences using aggregate consumption data 1 the bulk of the effort has occurred in laboratory environments 2 among the many laboratory techniques employed recent studies have favored multiple price lists mpl with monetary payments 3 with mpls individuals are asked multiple times to choose between smaller payment amounts closer to the present and larger amounts further into the future the interest rate increases monotonically in a price list such that the point where an individual switches from preferring sooner payments to later payments carries interval

knowledge connectivity an agenda for innovation research in international business the innovation driven multinational enterprise mne has dominated international business ib research for several decades now beginning with the award winning research of dunning there have been calls for ib researchers to rediscover the importance of locations recent work has emphasized that firms and locations co evolve with one another as knowledge is transferred and leveraged across space integrating insights from ib and economic geography we propose a research agenda for ib scholarship on spatially dispersed yet connected innovation processes this agenda is premised on the current reality of global value chains in which mobile mnes people and immobile locations factors interact the research perspective suggested recognizes that locations are host to increasingly fine sliced activities whose nature and composition are continuously changed by mne driven innovation processes as today s specialized activities become tomorrow s standardized ones the shifting distribution of global value creation depends on the pattern of international knowledge connectivity

tying odysseus to the mast evidence from a commitment savings product in the philippines we designed a commitment savings product for a philippine bank and implemented it using a randomized control methodology the savings product was intended for individuals who want to commit now to restrict access to their savings and who were sophisticated enough to engage in such a mechanism we conducted a baseline survey on 1777 existing or former clients of a bank one month later we offered the commitment product to a randomly chosen subset of 710 clients 202 28 4 percent accepted the offer and opened the account in the baseline survey we asked hypothetical time discounting questions women who exhibited a lower discount rate for future relative to current trade offs and hence potentially have a preference for commitment were indeed significantly more likely to open the commitment savings account after twelve months average savings balances increased by 81 percentage points for those clients assigned to the treatment group relative to those assigned to the control group we conclude that the savings response represents a lasting change in savings and not merely a short term response to a new product

location and the multinational enterprise in the early development of the international business field the focus of attention moved from the country level to the firm level and interest in location issues declined more recently firm based research has itself become increasingly concerned with the study of firm location interactions when examining two way knowledge flows or spillovers between multinational enterprises mnes and other actors in specific locations the diversity or heterogeneity of firms matters as does the diversity of locational environments the localization of knowledge sources depends on mne group level strategies for growth and organizational decentralization on subsidiary level evolution towards local competence creating efforts and on the development of suitable business networks within locations mnes now have a greater potential to benefit from a synergistic locational portfolio of complementary sources of knowledge the locational composition of the international network for knowledge sourcing of a given mne depends upon the extent of institutional compatibility between the locations in which the mne is active this compatibility between locations in turn affects the capacity of the mne to become an insider in local business systems and to influence the local institutional environment

private pensions mortality risk and the decision to annuitize abstract this paper examines household decisions about whether or not to annuitize retirement resources a life cycle model of consumption implemented with the use of dynamic programming techniques is used to construct a utility based measure of annuity value for individuals and couples in the health and retirement survey variation in the calculated annuity equivalent wealth arises from differences in mortality risk marital status risk aversion and the presence of pre existing annuities such as social security i find that a one percentage point increase in the annuity equivalent wealth leads to nearly a one percentage point increase in the ex ante probability of annuitizing balances in defined contribution pension plans however because much of the variation in the expected annuity decision is left unexplained by the life cycle model other factors are also analyzed health status and an individual s time horizon for financial decision making are significant determinants of the decision there is no evidence that bequest motives are an important factor in making marginal annuity decisions

an empirical study on intertemporal decision making under risk this study compares time preference in the cases of certainty and risk we analyze both matching and choice behavior we find that violations of the stationarity axiom are restricted to matching behavior both for certainty and risk we also compare the discounting of certain and risky outcomes as well as the discounting of gains and losses in matching tasks certain outcomes are discounted more than risky ones we could not confirm these results in a choice task gains and losses are not found to be discounted at different rates

new evidence on the money s worth of individual annuities this paper presents new information on the expected present discounted value of payouts on individual life annuities the annuity we examine is the single premium immediate life annuity an insurance product that pays out a nominal level sum as long as the covered person lives in exchange for an initial lump sum premium this annuity offers protection against the risk of someone outliving his saving given uncertainty about longevity for reasonable estimates of behavioral parameters we calculate that individual annuities are currently priced so that retirees without bequest motives should find these policies of substantial value in configuring their portfolios to smooth retirement consumption we also find that the expected present discounted value of payouts relative to the initial cost of the annuity has increased over the last decade these findings bear on the policy debate regarding the role of individual choice and self reliance in retirement planning this abstract was borrowed from another version of this item

the personal discount rate evidence from military downsizing programs the military drawdown program of the early 1990s provides an opportunity to obtain estimates of personal discount rates based on large numbers of people making real choices involving large sums the program offered over 65 000 separatees the choice between an annuity and a lump sum payment despite break even discount rates exceeding 17 percent most of the separatees selected the lump sum saving taxpayers 1 7 billion in separation costs estimates of discount rates range from 0 to over 30 percent and vary with education age race sex number of dependents ability test score and the size of payment

the choice between an annuity and a lump sum results from swiss pension funds this paper uses unique micro data from swiss employer based pension plans to study the annuitization decision at retirement the administrative nature of our data though limited with respect to individual background characteristics allows us to analyze real choices over large retirement balances rather than subjectively reported intentions to annuitize we find a strong and robust impact of a utility based measure of the annuity s value computed within a life cycle framework on individual annuitization rates low accumulation of retirement assets is strongly associated with the choice of the lump sum presumably due to the availability of means tested social assistance the sponsor s default option in most cases the annuity is also found to be highly influential in the decision to annuitize

networks as the pipes and prisms of the market1 this article draws an analytical distinction between two types of market uncertainty egocentric which refers to a focal actor s uncertainty regarding the best way to convert a set of inputs to an output desired by a potential exchange partner and altercentric which denotes the uncertainty confronted by a focal actor s exchange partners regarding the quality of the output that the focal actor brings to the market given this distinction the article considers how the value of structural holes and market status vary with these two types of uncertainty the article proposes that the value of structural holes increases with egocentric uncertainty but not with altercentric uncertainty in contrast the value of status increases with altercentric uncertainty but declines with egocentric uncertainty thus actors with networks rich in structural holes should sort into markets or market segments that are high in egocentric uncertainty high status actors should sort into markets that are low in egocentric

happiness and time preference the effect of positive affect in a random assignment experiment abstract we conduct a random assignment experiment to investigate whether positive affect impacts time preference where time preference denotes a preference for present over future utility our result indicates that compared to neutral affect mild positive affect significantly reduces time preference over money this result is robust to various specification checks and alternative interpretations of the result are considered our result has implications for the effect of happiness on time preference and the role of emotions in economic decision making in general finally we reconfirm the ubiquity of time preference and start to explore its determinants djel d12 d83 i31

efficiency of large double auctions we consider large double auctions with private values values need be neither symmetric nor independent multiple units may be owned or desired participation may be stochastic we introduce a very mild notion of a little independence we prove that all nontrivial equilibria of auctions that satisfy this notion are asymptotically efficient for any alpha 0 inefficiency disappears at rate 1 n 2 alpha