on the robustness of robustness checks of the environmental kuznets curve hypothesis since its first inception in the debate on the relationship between environment and growth in 1992 the environmental kuznets curve hypothesis ekc hereafter has been subject of continuous and intense scrutiny the most recent line of investigation criticizes the ekc hypothesis on more fundamental grounds in that it stresses the lack of sufficient statistical testing of the empirical relationship and questions the very existence of the notion of ekc attention is in particular drawn on the stationarity properties of the series involved per capita emissions or concentrations and per capita gdp and in case of presence of unit roots on the cointegration property that must be present for the ekc to be a well defined concept only at that point can the researcher ask whether the long run relationship exhibits an inverted u pattern on the basis of panel integration and cointegration tests for sulfur stern 2004 and perman and stern 1999 2003 have presented evidence and forcefully stated that the ekc hypothesis does not exist in this paper we ask whether similar strong conclusions can be arrived at when carrying out tests of system fractional integration and cointegration as an example we use the controversial case of carbon dioxide emissions the results show that more ekcs come back into life relative to traditional integration cointegration tests however we confirm that the ekc hypothesis remains a fragile concept

the middle class collapse and the environment abstract the thesis that unequal societies are harmful to the planet was defended by boyce 1994 in a framework based on the unequal bargaining power between rich and poor our study reinvestigates this theory by removing any reference to power in order to study the conditions under which it can still occur we show that a middle class collapse can aggravate or alleviate the burden on the planet depending on income disparities and weight of upward vs downward mobility moreover the paper shows how an appropriate environmental policy can increase the political acceptability of a social one designed for mitigating the deleterious effects of a middle class collapse through the reduction of ex post income disparities

democracy financial openness and global carbon dioxide emissions heterogeneity across existing emission levels summary the determinants of co 2 emissions have attracted many researchers over the past few decades most of studies however ignore the possibility that effect of independent variables on co 2 emissions could vary throughout the co 2 emission distribution we address this issue by applying quantile regression methods we examine whether greater democracy and more financial openness consistently reduce emissions among the most and least emission nations our results show that the effect of democracy on co 2 emissions is heterogeneous across quantiles among the most emissions nations greater democracy appears to reduce emissions but more financial openness does not appear to reduce it

growth and environmental quality testing the double convergence hypothesis abstract this paper discusses the double convergence hypothesis dch that the uncritical analysis of the so called environmental kuznets curve ekc implicitly implies according to the ekc empirical evidence would support the hypothesis that economic growth through a deterministic sequence of phases would produce cross country convergence in per capita output and as a by product convergence in the demand for environmental quality however factual analysis seems to reject the general hypothesis of convergence in per capita output limiting the validity of such an assessment to the case of homogeneous groups of countries this is why to test the dch the paper focuses on the original group of oecd countries for which the economic convergence turned out to be true this allows us to verify whether green and convergence follows as a consequence of economic convergence the paper also tests for a more equitable distribution of protection policies among countries unlike other studies which do not make the dch explicit and have focused on pollutant emissions this research explicitly tests for the double convergence using as a proxy for the demand for environmental quality the territory set aside for protected areas the results confirm that for the selected homogenous group of countries growth has accompanied the demand for environmental quality this happens both in terms of conditional and stochastic convergence

an empirical analysis of self employment in the u k the paper formulates a self employment paid employment choice problem that draws upon knight s notion that the individual responds to the risk adjusted relative earnings opportunities in each sector based on a development of such choice theoretic considerations an econometric model is developed with the purpose of empirically examining the determinants of self employment the model features simultaneous determination of employment status and earnings which allows for self selectivity the model is estimated using a sample of 4762 individuals from the general household survey for 1978 the estimation of the earnings equation enables a calculation of the self employment paid employment earnings differential and the estimated probit equation for self employment paid employment status facilitates the prediction of the probability of self employment the paper finds that there is positive selection bias in the observed earnings of employees that the probability of self employment depends positively on the earnings difference between the two sectors and that education and age are significant determinants of self employment

sectoral shocks and aggregate fluctuations abstract this paper presents a multisector dynamic general equilibrium model of business cycles with a distinctive feature aggregate fluctuations are driven by independent sectoral shocks the model hypothesizes that trade among sectors provides a strong synchronization mechanism for these shocks due to the limited but locally intense interaction that is characteristic of such input trade flows limited interaction characterized by a sparse intermediate input use matrix reduces substitution possibilities among intermediate inputs which strengthens comovement in sectoral value added and leads to a postponement of the law of large numbers in the variance of aggregate value added the chief virtue of this model is that reliance on implausible aggregate shocks is not necessary to capture the qualitative features of macroeconomic fluctuations building on horvath 1998 review of economic dynamics 1 781 808 which establishes the theoretical foundation for the relevance of limited interaction in the context of a stylized multisector model this paper specifies a more general multisector model calibrated to the us 2 digit standard industrial code economy simulations prove the model is able to match empirical reality as closely as standard one sector business cycle models without relying on aggregate shocks

interrelationships between income health and the environment extending the environmental kuznets curve hypothesis abstract this paper examines the link between the health indicators and the environmental variables for a cross section of countries widely dispersed on the economic development spectrum while environment and income are seen to have an inverted u shaped relationship environmental kuznets curve ekc hypothesis it is also well established that environment and health are positively related our study focuses on the implications of this for the relationship between health and income in the early phases of income growth the gains in health and the losses in environmental quality could cancel each other out and this challenges the idea that as incomes increase health would always improve to empirically analyse these issues we estimate a two stage least squares model that focuses on the impact of income and the environment on health status with environment being an endogenous variable our results show that the environmental stress variable has a significant negative effect on health status at the same time gross national product gnp levels are shown to vary positively with health status variables we find that the health gains obtained through improved incomes can be negated to a significant extent if the indirect effect of income acting via the environment is ignored research findings in this regard would be a useful policy instrument towards maximising both the environmental and health gains that come with economic growth and development

international inequalities in per capita co2 emissions a decomposition methodology by kaya factors in this paper we provide a methodology for decomposing international inequalities in per capita co2 emissions into kaya multiplicative factors and two interaction terms we use the theil index of inequality and show that this decomposition methodology can be extended for analyzing between and within group inequality components we can thus analyze the factors behind inequalities in per capita co2 emissions across countries between groups of countries and within groups of countries the empirical illustration for international data suggests some points firstly international inequality in per capita co2 emissions is mainly attributable to inequalities in per capita income levels which helps to explain its recent reduction while differences in carbon intensity of energy and energy intensity have made a less significant contribution this result is strongly influenced by the performance of china and india secondly the between group inequality component which is the biggest component is also largely explained by the income factor thirdly the within group inequality component increased slightly during the period something mainly due to the change in the income factor and the interaction terms in a few regions

does trade liberalization lead to environmental burden shifting in the global economy abstract does trade liberalization lead to the outsourcing of pollution from industrialized countries to developing countries according to the pollution haven hypothesis international trade is a key channel through which richer countries can geographically dissociate consumption from production of goods we examine whether and how trade liberalization via preferential trade agreements ptas facilitates the shifting of consumption based environmental burdens from developed countries via imports to poorer countries via exports based on panel data analysis of 183 countries from 1987 to 2013 we find partial evidence for trade induced environmental burden shifting while we observe an increase in footprint exports from low income countries when these countries liberalize trade this is not matched by an increase in footprint imports of high income countries our results also show that environmental clauses in ptas and participation in international environmental agreements do not influence the relationship between trade liberalization and ecological footprint movements however domestic institutions have a significant effect on the trade induced distribution of environmental burdens these findings suggest that ptas as a policy tool for trade liberalization are per se unlikely to induce exploitation of low income countries natural capital by wealthier nations however they suggest that political incentives inherent to democratic institutions encourage environmental burden shifting

sustainability in natural resource management abstract sustainability is the objective that many disciplines indicate as being essential to the resolution of environmental degradation although there is no agreement about what this term exactly means this study defines environmental problems as externalities most of these occurring between different generations we analyze the reasons why traditional solutions for externalities do not work in the intergenerational context our conclusions are on the one hand that traditional methods for evaluating the costs and benefits affecting different generations should be improved secondly an intergenerational redistribution of natural resource property rights is essential to guarantee equality of opportunities for all generations and therefore to ensure sustainability adequate redistribution of property rights will depend on the type of resource as well as on other factors such as the rate of return on its exploitation and the current generations propensity to consume in all cases however sustainability is sufficiently guaranteed by conceding property rights as a whole to the future

self employment and self selection in developing country labor markets labor markets in less developed countries ldcs have traditionally been characterized as non competitive this view is expressed in well known models in the development economics literature for example the labor surplus model of lewis 16 asserts that labor in rural areas of ldcs in early stages of development is so abundant that if the wage rate were determined competitively it would be below the subsistence level hence institutions are assumed to arise to determine the wage rate non competitively and to provide the resulting excess supply of labor to agriculture with a subsistence level of living the harristodaro 11 model of rural urban migration asserts that labor unions minimum wage laws public sector hiring practices and other institutional factors tend to keep formal sector wages in urban areas above labor market clearing levels the resulting excess supply of labor in urban areas is assumed to survive at a subsistence level by becoming selfemployed in the low productivity informal sector recent empirical studies provide little support for the non competitive view of ldc labor markets evidence from india thailand malaysia kenya and guatemala suggests that labor markets are much less imperfect than often assumed an important empirical finding in several of these studies is that self employed workers appear to have higher earnings than their wage employee counterparts in urban areas 2 this fact is inconsistent with the notion that self employment is typically a low productivity occupation engaged in by individuals who are searching for scarce well paying formal sector jobs the purpose of this study is to analyze and estimate a model of individual choice between wage and self employment in the ldc context the model incorporates a production function in the self employment sector that includes managerial ability as an input analysis of the influence of managerial ability on the choice of self employment leads to a theory that can explain the observed pattern of earnings of the urban self employed compared to wage employees implications of the model for estimation of production function

environmental performance in socially fragmented countries social fragmentation is often associated with reduced co operative behaviour which undermines public goods provision such as environmental protection the few studies linking social fragmentation and environmental performance have been confined to using ethnic fractionalisation as the only measure of social heterogeneity in this paper we contribute to the literature in a twofold manner first we bring into the analysis alternative measures of social fragmentation i e religious fractionalisation ethnic religious polarisation that have received considerable attention in development economics in recent years second this is the first study to our knowledge that makes use of a large panel dataset of several environmental indicators to explore links between ethnic religious diversity and the environment we find that all indices of social fragmentation are negatively linked to measures of environmental quality although for some of them the size of the effect is larger in the case of polarisation

the relationship between firm growth size and age estimates for 100 manufacturing industries this study uses a sample of all firms operating in 100 manufacturing industries to examine some aspects of firm dynamics it finds that firm growth the variability of firm growth and the probability that a firm will fail decrease with firm age it also finds that firm growth decreases at a diminishing rate with firm size even after controlling for the exit of slow growing firms from the sample gibrat s law therefore fails although the severity of the failure decreases with firm size copyright 1987 by blackwell publishing ltd

inequality as a cause of environmental degradation abstract this paper advances two hypotheses first the extent of an environmentally degrading economic activity is a function of the balance of power between the winners who derive net benefits from the activity and the losers who bear net costs second greater inequalities of power and wealth lead all else equal to more environmental degradation

power distribution the environment and public health a state level analysis abstract this paper examines relationships among power distribution the environment and public health by means of a cross sectional analysis of the 50 us states a measure of inter state variations in power distribution is derived from data on voter participation tax fairness medicaid access and educational attainment we develop and estimate a recursive model linking the distribution of power to environmental policy environmental stress and public health the results support the hypothesis that greater power inequality leads to weaker environmental policies which in turn lead to greater environmental degradation and to adverse public health outcomes

environmental kuznets curve for co2 in canada abstract according to the environmental kuznets curve hypothesis the relationship between per capita gdp and per capita pollutant emissions has an inverted u shape this implies that past a certain point economic growth may actually be profitable for environmental quality most studies on this subject are based on estimating fully parametric quadratic or cubic regression models while this is not technically wrong such an approach somewhat lacks flexibility since it may fail to detect the true shape of the relationship if it happens not to be of the specified form we use semiparametric and flexible nonlinear parametric modeling methods in an attempt to provide more robust inferences we find little evidence in favour of the environmental kuznets curve hypothesis our main results could be interpreted as indicating that the oil shock of the 1970s has had an important impact on progress towards less polluting technology and production

the environmental kuznets curve for pm2 5 pollution in beijing tianjin hebei region of china a spatial panel data approach abstract the purpose of this study is to exam the existence of environmental kuznets curve ekc of pm2 5 pollution in the beijing tianjin hebei bth region of china as one of the most important economic growth poles in china bth region has long been suffering from air pollution especially pm2 5 pollution thus in this study we utilized satellite observations of pm2 5 pollution and panel data of 13 cities in bth region from 1998 to 2016 to investigate the relationship between economic growth and pm2 5 pollution after verifying the spatial effect of pm2 5 pollution by spatial statistical analysis the spatial econometric model spatial durbin model sdm was chosen over the non spatial model in the examination of ekc the results showed that 1 the relationship between economic growth and pm2 5 pollution presented a significant inverted u shaped pattern though bth region is still in the upward section there is a hope that it will cross the point and enter the downward section in the future 2 the turning points of ekc would happen later with spatial effect considered compared to the result of non spatial model 3 the turning point of ekc would not happen until the region enter the post industrial economy stage moreover though some of the cities in bth region have entered post industrial stage none of them has cross the turning point of ekc results of this study indicate a promising future in the control of pm2 5 pollution as well as provide suggestions to put more emphasis on regional cooperative governance in air pollution control for the policy makers

income growth and atmospheric pollution in spain an input output approach abstract the relationships between economic growth and environmental pressures are complex since the early nineties the debate on these relationships has been strongly influenced by the environmental kuznets curve hypothesis which states that during the first stage of economic development environmental pressures increase as per capita income increases but once a critical turning point has been reached these pressures diminish as income levels continue to increase however to date such a delinking between economic growth and emission levels has not happened for most atmospheric pollutants in spain the aim of this paper is to analyse the relationship between income growth and nine atmospheric pollutants in spain in order to obtain empirical outcomes for this analysis we adopt an input output approach and use namea data for the nine pollutants first we undertake a structural decomposition analysis for the period 1995 2000 to estimate the contribution of various factors to changes in the levels of atmospheric emissions and second we estimate the emissions associated with the consumption patterns of different groups of households classified according to their level of expenditure

optimal simple and implementable monetary and fiscal rules welfare maximizing monetary and fiscal policy rules are studied in a model with sticky prices money and distortionary taxation the ramsey optimal policy is used as a point of comparison the main findings are the size of the inflation coefficient in the interest rate rule plays a minor role for welfare it matters only insofar as it affects the determinacy of equilibrium optimal monetary policy features a muted response to output interest rate rules that feature a positive response to output can lead to significant welfare losses the welfare gains from interest rate smoothing are negligible optimal fiscal policy is passive the optimal monetary and fiscal rule combination attains virtually the same level of welfare as the ramsey optimal policy

intra generational equity and sustainable welfare a time series analysis for the uk and sweden this paper discusses the importance of intra generational equity to sustainable development it outlines a number of methodologies for measuring income inequality in the economy and presents several possible ways of incorporating the impact of distributional effects into measures of welfare in the economy the authors highlight in particular an index developed by atkinson atkinson a b 1970 distributive politics and economic growth q j econ may 465 490 based on the social welfare model this method possesses two main advantages over other methods firstly it is expressed directly in terms of social well being secondly value judgements incorporated into the measure are made explicit through the parameter o which expresses society s degree of aversion to income inequality the paper calculates the value of the atkinson index for two case study countries sweden and the uk between 1950 and 1996 for a central estimate of o0 8 the results show that the welfare loss due to inequalities in the distribution of income varied between 5 and 10 for sweden and between 6 and 14 for the uk with the higher values coming towards the end of the period the paper explores the sensitivity of these results to changes in the value of o for the case of the uk and discusses the relevance of the work to the measurement of sustainable welfare 2000 elsevier science b v all rights reserved

the transmission of monetary policy in a multisector economy this article constructs and estimates a sticky price dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model with heterogeneous production sectors firms in different sectors vary in their price rigidity production technology and the combination of material and investment inputs in particular firms buy inputs from all sectors using the actual input output matrix and capital flow table of the u s economy by relaxing the standard assumption of symmetry this model allows idiosyncratic sectoral dynamics in response to monetary policy shocks the model is estimated by the generalized method of moments using sectoral and aggregate u s time series

the standard error of regressions statistical significance as used in economics has weak theoretical justification in particular it merges statistical and substantive significance the 182 papers using regression analysis in the american economic review in the 1980s were tested against 19 criteria for the accepted use of statistical significance most some three quarters of the papers did poorly likewise textbooks in econometrics do not distinguish statistical and economic significance statistical significance should not be the focus of empirical economics

the dynamic impact of renewable energy consumption on co2 emissions a revisited environmental kuznets curve approach this paper considers a revisited environmental kuznets curve ekc hypothesis with potential impact of renewable energy consumption on environmental quality to this end paper aims at investigating the validity of the ekc hypothesis employing the dependent variable of co2 emissions and regressors of gdp quadratic gdp and renewable energy consumption this paper hence analyzes this revisited ekc hypothesis to observe if i there exists an inverted u shaped relationship between environmental quality in terms of co2 emissions per capita income and per capita income squared and ii there exists a negative causality from renewables to co2 emissions within ekc model paper employs a panel data set of 17 oecd countries over the period 1977 2010 and launches panel fmols and panel dols estimations the findings support the ekc hypothesis for the panel and indicate that gdp per capita and gdp per capita squared have the impacts on co2 emissions positively and negatively respectively and that renewable energy consumption yields negative impact on co2 emissions another remark of this paper is that the validity of ekc does not depend on income level of individual countries of panel in which ekc hypothesis holds eventually paper argues that if countries carry out i policies i e for fair and easy access to the electricity from renewable sources and ii policies to increase renewables supply through i e improved renewable energy technologies they will be able to contribute to combating global warming problem as they increase their gdp s

grazing the commons an empirical analysis of externalities subsidies and sustainability abstract an empirical means of measuring externalities in the fifty states of the us is presented and the relationship between externalities subsidies and sustainability is investigated firms seeking to maximize profits create externalities thus securing implicit internal subsidies the subsidies are generally supported by those less well off and the socioeconomic energy and environmental indicators of the public sector worsen as externalities and subsidies increase implicit subsidies due to externalities in pollution control energy consumption and taxes are quantified the amount of subsidy is calculated by state and statistically compared to socioeconomic energy environmental and economic variables poverty unemployment and income disparity are found to increase significantly while income economic development attractiveness energy efficiency and environmental quality decline with increasing externalization across states an empirical method of operationalizing sustainability is presented and the relationship of sustainability to subsidies is investigated and found to be significant and negative recommendations are presented for minimizing the effects of externalities

causal relationship between energy consumption and gdp growth revisited a dynamic panel data approach abstract this paper uses the panel data of energy consumption and gdp for 82 countries from 1972 to 2002 based on the income levels defined by the world bank the data are divided into four categories low income group lower middle income group upper middle income group and high income group we employ the gmm sys approach for the estimation of the panel var model in each of the four groups afterwards the causal relationship between energy consumption and economic growth is tested and ascertained we discover a in the low income group there exists no causal relationship between energy consumption and economic growth b in the middle income groups lower and upper middle income groups economic growth leads energy consumption positively c in the high income group countries economic growth leads energy consumption negatively after further in depth analysis of energy related data the results indicate that in the high income group there is a great environmental improvement as a result of more efficient energy use and reduction in the release of co2 however in the upper middle income group countries after the energy crisis the energy efficiency declines and the release of co2 rises since there is no evidence indicating that energy consumption leads economic growth in any of the four income groups a stronger energy conservation policy should be pursued in all countries

the dynamic implications of foreign aid and its variability abstract the paper examines the effects of aid and its volatility on consumption investment and the structure of production in the context of an intertemporal two sector general equilibrium model calibrated using data for aid dependent countries in africa a permanent flow of aid mainly finances consumption rather than investment consistent with the historical failure of aid inflows to translate into sustained growth large aid flows are associated with higher real exchange rates and smaller tradable sectors because aid is a substitute for tradable consumption aid volatility results in substantial welfare losses providing a motivation for recent discussions of aid architecture stressing the need for greater predictability of aid these results are also consistent with evidence from cross country regressions of manufactured exports presented later in the paper

information access income distribution and the environmental kuznets curve abstract recent empirical studies have tested the hypothesis of an environmental kuznets curve ekc focusing primarily on the relationship between per capita income and certain types of pollutant emissions given the stock nature of many pollution problems emissions only partially account for the environmental impacts moreover almost all of the studies have given consideration to little more than income levels as explanatory variables this paper empirically tests the hypothesis of the ekc existence for a stock sensitive indicator that is the percentage of protected area pa within national territory it does theorize that economic growth is a necessary condition in order to better address environmental issues but it also stresses that other variables income distribution education information accessibility may play a fundamental role in determining environmental quality contrary to other studies that mainly focus on the calculation of the income level corresponding to the transition point this paper is more concerned with the calculation of environmental quality corresponding to that transition point that is the minimum level of environmental quality that a country is willing to accept this paper highlights the idea that if the transition point is determined primarily by income level social policies determine the level of environmental quality corresponding to that point

identifying the impacts of income inequality on co2 emissions empirical evidences from oecd countries and non oecd countries abstract the emergence of environmental quality challenges is rooted in social problems which mainly come from income inequality and power gap income inequality and climate change have been highlighted as hindering the achievement of sustainable development and environmental protection globally though existing literature has estimated the influences of income inequality on co2 emissions relatively little is known about the long run and short run effects from a cross national perspective therefore the aim of this study is to shed light on the long run and short run relationships between income inequality and per capita co2 emissions based on balanced country level panel dataset for 78 countries from 1990 to 2017 in order to understand how a country s economic level affects the link between inequality and co2 emissions this study classified the sample countries into three groups oecd countries low income non oecd countries and high income non oecd countries the fmols and dols model is applied to examine the relationship between the income inequality and per capita co2 emission meanwhile the estimates of an ardl model revealed the long run and short run effects our empirical results indicate that there is a long term cointegration relationship between income inequality and per capita co2 emissions higher income inequality promotes emission reductions in oecd countries and high income non oecd countries while the influences are insignificant in low income non oecd countries in the long run per capita income carbon intensity population size and urbanization were also considered in this study the estimates of an ardl model indicate that whilst income inequality does not have a significant impact on co2 emissions in the short run per capita national income positively affects co2 emissions meaning that income growth will accelerate emissions carbon intensity positively affects co2 emissions in the long term indicating that increased income facilitates increased energy use and emissions but that progress in co2 recycling technology may ultimately reduce emissions neither population size nor urbanization rate exerted any obvious effects on per capita co2 emissions from a policy perspective governments have an onerous task ahead of them in balancing economic efficiency and distributary justice lastly we provide insights for policy makers that in order to realize the goal of emission reductions in the long run it may be best to proceed by making reasonable national income redistribution policies and by adjusting the welfare system

pollution intensity of gdp and trade policy can the world bank be wrong abstract what are the environmental implications of open trade policies in developing countries economic theory and environmental critics suggest they worsen environmental quality this conventional wisdom has been challenged by several studies which suggest that outward oriented trade policies are likely to be win win enhance economic growth and environmental quality this paper challenges revised conventional wisdom rcw by demonstrating that developing countries with outward oriented trade policies have higher pollution intensities of gdp than those following inward oriented policies the paper examines why the evidence reported here differs so sharply from rcw studies considers the policy implications of these results and identifies reasons why despite them it may not make sense to totally discount future potential win win opportunities

fixed capital stock depreciation in developing countries some evidence from firm level data previous growth accounting studies suggest severe capital underutilisation and mismeasurement of the stocks of capital in some developing countries using the firm level data sets from the world ba

environmental degradation in france the effects of fdi financial development and energy innovations abstract this paper explores the determinants of carbon emissions in france by accounting for the significant role played by foreign direct investment fdi financial development economic growth energy consumption and energy research innovations in influencing co 2 emissions function in this endeavour we employ the novel sor shahbaz et al 2017 unit root test on french time series data over the period 1955 2016 to examine the order of integration in the presence of sharp and smooth structural breaks in the variables we also apply the bootstrapping bounds testing approach recently developed by mcnown et al 2018 to investigate the presence of cointegration and the empirical findings underscore the presence of cointegration among the time series moreover we find that fdi has a positive impact while energy research innovations have a negative impact on french carbon emissions financial development lowers carbon emissions thereby improving the french environmental quality fdi degrades the environment and thus supports the pollution haven hypothesis in france similarly financial development suggests that financial stability is a required condition for improving environmental quality so are energy research innovations contrarily energy consumption is positively linked with carbon emissions however the relationship between economic growth and co 2 emissions is an inverted u which is a validation of the environmental kuznets curve ekc

riding the wave monetary responses to aid surges in low income countries abstract we focus on the management of highly persistent shocks to aid flows in the presence of currency substitution by the domestic private sector such shocks have beneficent long run effects but when currency substitution is high they can produce dramatic macroeconomic management problems in the short run what is the appropriate mix of money and exchange rate targeting in such cases and the role of temporary sterilization we analyze these and related issues in an intertemporal optimizing model that allows a portion of aid to be devoted to reducing the government s seigniorage requirement our results show that a managed float with little or no sterilization of increases in the monetary base supports the smooth absorption of the increased aid without incurring higher inflation higher real interest rates or overshooting of the real exchange rate

empirical analysis of the size distribution of farms discussion to this model most recently by exploring the implication of the assumption that managers are heterogenous see brock and evans for a review of lucas kihlstrom and laffont and jovanovic which are the major papers these models have motivated several empirical studies evans 1987a tests some of the assumptions and implications of alternative theories of firm growth using data on a cross section of firms blau brock and evans evans 1985 and rees and shah use data on self employed workers to test lucas managerial ability model and to examine the effect of human capital variables on firm size sumner and leiby have made a useful contribution to this empirical literature for at least two reasons the other papers in this session are also valuable case studies of firm growth my comments are restricted to sumner and leiby because this paper is most closely related to my own research the first is that their study is done at a much finer level of detail than are the papers cited above which generally pool observations across industries and occupations the second is that their empirical constructs have a closer connection to the theoretical constructs than is often the case in this literature several interesting empirical findings do emerge from sumner and leiby s research first farm growth decreases with farm size this result is consistent with most of the studies of firm growth that have included small firms see evans 1987a b and hall for some recent results that control for sample selection second farm growth decreases at a diminishing rate with the owner s farming experience this result is consistent with my work on the relationship between firm growth and firm age which also finds a convex relationship firm age in my studies is analogous to operator experience in sumner and leiby s study third farm size increases with the owner s age and farming experience the age relationship is consistent with rees and shah who find that self employment earnings increase although at a diminishing rate with age the experience relationship is broadly consistent with preliminary results by myself and leighton for self employed workers we find that self employment earnings one measure of firm size increase with the length of time the owner has operated his business these results are based on data drawn from the national longitudinal survey of young men fourth farm growth increases with the owner s age holding experience constant this result is new as far as i know

roads out of poverty assessing the links between aid public investment growth and poverty reduction the authors develop a macroeconomic framework that captures links between aid public investment growth and poverty public investment is disaggregated into education infrastructure and health and affects both aggregate supply and demand dutch disease effects are captured by accounting for changes in the relative price of domestic goods the authors assess the impact of policy shocks on poverty by linking the model to a household survey they calibrate the model for ethiopia and simulate the changes in the allocation of aid and public investment the authors also calculate the amount by which foreign aid should increase to reach the poverty targets of the millennium development goals

the consumption of a finite planet well being convergence divergence and the nascent green economy a variety of global metrics indicate the earth has overshot its capacity to supply source and sink resources without substantial negative feedback here the relationship between consumption indicators oil freshwater vehicle and meat consumption gdp mathrm co 2 emissions and well being is analysed latitudinally across 189 countries and longitudinally over 60 years within three affluent countries all latitudinal analyses show the characteristic consumption cliff and affluent uplands shape e g at low per capita gdp life satisfaction increases sharply up the cliff with rising gdp after a threshold well being is independent of gdp across the affluent uplands longitudinal analyses of japan uk and usa since the 1950s show per capita gdp has grown between 3 and 8 fold but mean levels of well being remained unchanged consumption patterns are now converging on those typical in affluent countries indicators for seven baskets of countries affluent north america europe oceania affluent asia fast developing brics and civets high income resource extractors poor with green peaks and the poorest show the factors of consumption between the poorest and affluent 5 to 100 fold and the fast developing and affluent 2 to 10 fold a finite planet cannot resource such convergence one indicator climate change grows more of a concern as evidence emerges yet denial remains strong a priority is to create opportunities for divergent ways of living although material culture has been sought as the means to meet personal well being it has failed both the affluent and poorest a green economy will require human attachments to both place and possessions thus reducing disposal and damage such entanglement produces high affiliation that improves life satisfaction as does much non material consumption as yet most political and economic systems are far from recognising these imperatives though there have been notable policy innovations a shift to a green economy is inevitable it is simply whether it occurs before or after the world becomes locked into severe climate change and other consequences of harm to natural capital

green returns of labor income and human capital empirical evidence of the environmental behavior of households in developing countries abstract an important part of the environmental contamination comes from the daily practices of the households which has been partially ignored in the recent empirical literature the objective of this research is to examine the green returns of labor income and human capital in a developing country ecuador we use data from the national institute of statistics and census nisc during 2010 2016 and panel data econometrics techniques our results show that labor income and human capital plays a relevant role in the environmental behavior of households in this country both variables have a positive effect on the friendly environmental behavior of households in addition we found that the cantons 1 specialized in manufacturing have a poor environmental performance while the cantons specializing in services do not have a clear pattern we also don t find significant differences in the environmental behavior associated with the composition of the ethnic groups of each canton finally natural geographic regions generate differences in the environmental behavior of households one possible implication derived from this research is that those responsible for environmental policy can mitigate pollution by promoting educational programs with environmental content and encouraging improvements in the behavior of households using tax mechanisms

exploring the relationship between energy usage segregation and environmental degradation in n 11 countries numerous studies regarding the economic growth environmental pollution link have struggled to determine the effects of various forms of energy consumption on environmental degradation particularly in the context of emerging economies this study examines the environmental kuznets curve ekc for co2 emissions in n 11 countries during 1990 2014 by segregating three forms of energy consumption renewable biomass and non renewable urbanization and trade openness are additional explanatory variables that are used in the empirical framework using the generalized moments method gmm the empirical evidence confirms the presence of an n shaped relationship between economic growth and environmental degradation for n 11 countries this study analyzed the interaction effects among trade openness biomass consumption and economic growth these interactions had a negative impact on co2 emissions levels of n 11 countries suitable policy recommendations have been provided based on the detailed results

exploring the existence of kuznets curve in countries environmental efficiency using dea window analysis abstract this paper using data envelopment dea window analysis and generalized method of moments gmm estimators examines the existence of a kuznets type relationship between countries environmental efficiency and national income specifically it measures the environmental efficiency of 17 oecd countries by constructing environmental efficiency ratios for the time period 1980 2002 the analysis with the application of dynamic panel data reveals that there isn t a kuznets type relationship between environmental efficiency and income allowing for dynamic effects we find that the adjustment to the target ratio is instantaneous we also find that increased economic activity does not always ensure environmental protection and thus the path of growth is important in addition to the growth itself

a theory of competition among pressure groups for political influence this paper presents a theory of competition among pressure groups for political influence political equilibrium depends on the efficiency of each group in producing pressure the effect of additional pressure on their influence the number of persons in different groups and the deadweight cost of taxes and subsidies an increase in deadweight costs discourages pressure by subsidized groups and encourages pressure by taxpayers this analysis unifies the view that governments correct market failures with the view that they favor the politically powerful both are produced by the competition for political favors

aid dutch disease and manufacturing growth abstract we examine the effects of aid on the growth of manufacturing using a methodology that exploits the variation within countries and across manufacturing sectors and corrects for possible reverse causality we find that aid inflows have systematic adverse effects on a country s competitiveness as reflected in the lower relative growth rate of exportable industries we provide some evidence suggesting that the channel for these effects is the real exchange rate appreciation caused by aid inflows we conjecture that this may explain in part why it is hard to find robust evidence that foreign aid helps countries grow

income inequality and pollution a reassessment of the environmental kuznets curve abstract improvements in some measures of air and water quality can accompany rising per capita income as illustrated by the so called environmental kuznets curve for pollution variables which show such a relationship we hypothesize that a more equitable distribution of power contributes to these outcomes by enhancing the influence on policy of those who bear the costs of pollution relative to the influence of those who benefit from pollution generating activities an empirical analysis of international variations in seven indicators of air and water quality supports this hypothesis literacy political rights and civil liberties are found to have particularly strong effects on environmental quality in low income countries

an empirical study of the impact of corruption on environmental performance evidence from panel data this paper extends the empirical debate on the effects of corruption on environmental degradation by considering a recently available measure of environmental quality the environmental performance index this indicator is more comprehensive than the measures of air pollutant emissions commonly used in the literature and in particular can also capture the impact of pollution on human health this allows for a better understanding of the actual effects of a wide range of human activities on the ecosystem from a panel data analysis two regularities emerge first corruption deteriorates the overall environmental quality this effect is robust and persistent second our findings highlight the improvement of environmental quality as income rises even at an initial level of development this is not in contradiction with the ekc hypothesis because an increase in income levels provides positive externalities on the whole environmental quality by compensating the mere negative effects induced by industrialization on the emission levels as a consequence in emerging economies policies fighting corruption and enhancing development are very likely to improve the environmental performances

the causal factors of international inequality in hbox co _ 2 emissions per capita a regression based inequality decomposition analysis this paper uses the possibilities provided by the regression based inequality decomposition fields in res labor econ 22 1 38 2003 to explore the contribution of different explanatory factors to international inequality in hbox co 2 emissions per capita in contrast to previous emissions inequality decompositions which were based on identity relationships this methodology does not impose any a priori specific relationship thus it allows an assessment of the contribution to inequality of different relevant variables in short the paper appraises the relative contributions of affluence sectoral composition demographic factors and climate the analysis is applied to selected years of the period 1993 2007 the results show the important though decreasing share of the contribution of demographic factors as well as a significant contribution of affluence and sectoral composition

policy responses to aid surges in countries with limited international capital mobility the role of the exchange rate regime summary we study the role of the exchange rate regime reserve accumulation and sterilization policies in the macroeconomics of aid surges absent sterilization a peg allows for almost full aid absorption an increase in the current account deficit net of aid delivering the same effects as those of a flexible regime but with a necessary increase in inflation regardless of the regime policies that limit absorption and result in large accumulation of reserves are welfare reducing they help reduce the real appreciation and inflation under the peg but at the expense of reducing private consumption and investment and therefore medium term growth

foreign aid and economic growth the role of flexible labor supply this paper examines the link between foreign aid economic growth and welfare in a small open economy external transfers impinge on the recipient s macroeconomic performance by affecting resource allocation decisions and relative prices the endogeneity of the labor leisure choice plays a crucial role in the propagation of foreign aid shocks the efficacy of foreign aid also depends on externalities associated with the public good that it helps finance the impact of tied and untied aid on the recipient government s intertemporal fiscal balance is examined finally the transitional adjustment to a foreign aid shock is shown to be sensitive to the elasticity of substitution in production and the relative importance of the labor leisure choice in utility

a consumption based approach to environmental kuznets curves using the ecological footprint indicator recent research suggests that consumption based measures offer an insightful perspective on the debate on the relationship between economic growth and the environment in this article we deepen the

aspects of governance and hbox co _2 co 2 emissions a non linear panel data analysis the reduction of hbox co 2 emissions has been at the centre of worldwide debates on environmental issues though its inclusion as one of the millennium development goals mdgs by the united nations has changed the focus of relative literature among many one of the world bank s recipes to achieve a higher position toward mdgs has been to undertake reforms for a better governance while the majority of researches focus has been on one single aspect and its relationship with the environment some studies have simultaneously considered two governance dimensions in this paper we focus on the role of several aspects of governance on hbox co 2 emissions this provides us with a chance to explore the possible impacts of all aspects of governance on a more direct measure of emissions that is different to previous researches which have focused on the indirect transmission and considered the maximum of two using the iv method within panel data analysis we show that only one single aspect of governance control of corruption has a negative significant effect on hbox co 2 emissions and its effect has a non linear relationship the non linearity exists in both parametric and nonparametric analysis after controlling for endogeneity

is there an environmental kuznets curve for sulfur abstract most existing estimates of the environmental kuznets curve ekc for sulfur which use samples of mainly high income countries indicate a maximum emissions turning point at middle to lower high income levels of gdp per capita we use a larger and more globally representative sample than previous sulfur ekc studies we find that sulfur emissions per capita are a monotonic function of income per capita when we use a global sample and an inverted u shape function of income when we use a sample of high income countries a model estimated in first differences results in a monotonic ekc when estimated with both high income and global samples reductions in emissions are time related rather than income related

fiscal inertia donor credibility and the monetary management of aid surges abstract donors cannot pre commit to support scaled up public spending programs on a continuing basis nor can governments credibly commit to curtail expenditure rapidly in the event that aid revenues contract an aid boom may therefore be accompanied by a credibility problem when this is the case the absorb and spend strategy recommended by the imf leads to capital flight higher inflation and large current account surpluses inclusive of aid the right policy package combines a critical minimum degree of fiscal restraint with reverse sterilization

aid and the supply side public investment export performance and dutch disease in low income countries contemporary policy debates on the macroeconomics of aid often concentrate on short run dutch disease effects ignoring the possible supply side impact of aid financed public expenditure in the simple model of aid and public expenditure presented here public infrastructure generates an inter temporal productivity spillover which may exhibit a sector specific bias the model also provides for a learning by doing externality through which total factor productivity in the tradable sector is an increasing function of past export volumes an extended computable version of this model is used to simulate the effect of a step increase in net aid flows the simulations show that beyond the short run when conventional demand side dutch disease effects are present the relationship between enhanced aid flows and real exchange rates output growth and welfare is less straightforward than simple models of aid suggest public infrastructure investment that generates a productivity bias in favor of non tradable production delivers the largest aggregate return to aid but at the cost of deterioration in the income distribution income gains accrue predominantly to skilled and unskilled urban households leaving the rural poor relatively worse off under plausible parameterizations of the model the rural poor may also be worse off in absolute terms