consumption and the credit market abstract this paper uses a kalman filter model to allow the fraction of current income consumers to vary over time and shows that these consumers are liquidity constrained by relating this percentage to measures of credit market tightness

using maimonides rule to estimate the effect of class size on scholastic achievement the twelfth century rabbinic scholar maimonides proposed a maximum class size of 40 this same maximum induces a nonlinear and nonmonotonic relationship between grade enrollment and class size in israeli public schools today maimonides rule of 40 is used here to construct instrumental variables estimates of effects of class size on test scores the resulting identiecation strategy can be viewed as an application of donald campbell s regression discontinuity design to the class size question the estimates show that reducing class size induces a signiecant and substantial increase in test scores for fourth and efth graders although not for third graders when asked about their views on class size in surveys parents and teachers generally report that they prefer smaller classes this may be because those involved with teaching believe that smaller classes promote student learning or simply because smaller classes offer a more pleasant environment for the pupils and teachers who are in them mueller chase and walden 1988 social scientists and school administrators also have a longstanding interest in the class size question class size is often thought to be easier to manipulate than other school inputs and it is a variable at the heart of policy debates on school quality and the allocation of school resources in many countries see e g robinson 1990 for the united states ofsted 1995 for the united kingdom and moshel ravid 1995 for israel this broad interest in the consequences of changing class size

measuring the impacts of teachers ii teacher value added and student outcomes in adulthood abstract are teachers impacts on students test scores value added a good measure of their quality this question has sparked debate partly because of a lack of evidence on whether high value ad

financial contracting under extreme uncertainty an analysis of brazilian corporate debentures abstract economic volatility high transaction costs and fragile institutions hinder financial contracting in emerging markets these conditions characterize the economy of brazil yet a nascent corporate bond market thrives i analyze 50 brazilian indenture agreements and find that sample debentures are characterized by i features that mitigate inflation risk for investors ii contingent maturity mechanisms that provide periodic opportunities for exit or renegotiation iii a paucity of covenants that restrict the debtor s investment financing and dividend decisions and iv self enforcement mechanisms that avoid reliance on inefficient institutions analysis of these features enhances our understanding of contracting in emerging economies

dividend policy creditor rights and the agency costs of debt we show that country level creditor rights influence dividend policies around the world by establishing the balance of power between debt and equity claimants creditors demand and managers consent to a more restrictive payout policy as a substitute for weak creditor rights in an effort to minimize the firm s agency costs of debt using a sample of 120 507 firm years from 52 countries we find that both the probability and amount of dividend payouts are significantly lower in countries with poor creditor rights a reduction in the creditor rights index from its highest value to its lowest value implies a 41 reduction in the probability of paying a dividend and a 60 reduction in dividend payout ratios these results are robust to numerous control variables sample variations model specifications and alternative hypotheses we also show that the agency costs of debt play a more decisive role in determining dividend policies than the previously documented agency costs of equity overall our findings contribute to the growing literature arguing that creditors exert significant influence over corporate decision making outside of bankruptcy

an empirical examination of the relation between debt contracts and management incentives abstract prior research on the factors influencing the use of debt covenants restricting dividends and additional borrowing is extended by considering management incentives when alternative incentive variables are considered separately we find covenants have a significant negative relation to ceo cash compensation an insignificant relation to the value of ceo equity held and significant positive relations to both the ratio of the value of ceo equity holdings to cash compensation and the fraction of equity held by the ceo in two stage simultaneous equations models only the latter is significant when jointly considered with each of the other incentive variables

expansionary fiscal contractions evidence from panel data we examine the ability of the expansionary fiscal contraction efc hypothesis to explain the performance of oecd economies during fiscal crises we find some limited evidence in its favour if public consumption is reduced in response to a fiscal crisis as defined by a high level of debt private consumption does seem to increase however the size of the effect is smaller than that typically found in other studies furthermore the increase in private consumption is usually not sufficient to offset the direct effect of a reduction in public consumption on output fiscal contractions are not literally expansionary

social spillovers in the classroom identification estimation and policy analysis i present a method to jointly estimate social spillovers in the classroom and the distributions of teacher and student effects this method is based on the covariance and higher order moments restrictions of the test scores requiring the random assignment of teachers and students to classrooms using the tennessee project star dataset i estimate sizeable spillovers in kindergarten classrooms and departures from normality of the teacher and student ability distributions the estimates also show that reducing class size has a positive effect on mean performance but it increases the inequality based on these estimates i perform several input neutral policy counterfactuals involving teachers and students assignment rules and changing the distribution of class sizes for the latter i derive an optimal class size distribution rule which increases mean test scores and reduces the overall variance

explaining top management turnover in private corporations the role of cross country legal institutions and capital market forces we investigate private firms ability to identify and replace poorly performing managers across countries we document three main findings first private firms are more likely to retain poorly performing managers in countries where legal institutions that protect minority investors are weak second private firms are more likely to retain poorly performing managers than public firms only in countries where governance mechanisms inherent in public equity markets limit managerial entrenchment in public firms third private firm managers are less likely to be replaced even when poor performance continues for relatively long horizons overall our findings provide new evidence on the potential vulnerability of minority shareholders in private firms

can fiscal spending stimulate private consumption abstract empirically government expenditure shocks seem to crowd in private consumption while neoclassical and new keynesian models predict crowding out we derive conditions under which a government in utility specification in a sticky price model helps to reconcile theory and evidence

assessing ricardian equivalence this paper reviews the literature on ricardian equivalence this hypothesis may be interpreted as a generalisation to the short and the long run of the theories which put no weight on the real effects of public policies on aggregate demand we argue that ricardian equivalence relies on both permanent income hypothesis and the fulfilment of the intertemporal government budget constraint the theoretical literature emphasises several reasons for departures from this hypothesis however the empirical literature is inconclusive when ricardian equivalence is tested in a life cycle framework the hypothesis is usually rejected while when the empirical analysis is based on optimising models it is usually accepted

excess sensitivity of consumption to current income liquidity constraints or myopia this paper asks whether the empirical rejection of the rational expectations permanent income hypothesis occurs because agents are myopic in the sense that the marginal propensity to consume out of transitory income is non zero or because some agents face liquidity constraints the finding that the estimate of the mpc out of transitory income is dramatically affected in both magnitude and statistical significance by the inclusion of a proxy for liquidity constraints suggests that liquidity constraints are an important part of the explanation of the observed excess sensitivity of consumption to current income la sensibilite excessive de la consommation au revenu courant contraintes sur la liquidite ou myopie ce memoire examine la question a savoir pourquoi l hypothese du revenu permanent avec anticipations rationnelles n est pas v6rifiee empiriquement est ce parce que les agents economiques sont myopes i e que leur propension marginale a consommer a partir de leur revenu transitoire n est pas nulle ou bien est ce que certains agents economiques font face a des contraintes sur leur liquidite le fait que l estimation de la propension marginale a consommer le revenue transitoire est affectee par l inclusion d une variable qui tente de capturer l importance des contraintes sur la liquidit6 tant dans l 6valuation de sa taille que dans sa signification statistique suggere que ces contraintes jouent un role important dans l explication de cette sensibilite excessive qu on observe de la consommation aux changements dans le niveau de revenu courant almost all the recent empirical tests of the rational expectations permanent income hypothesis re pih have rejected the hypothesis using a rich variety of data sets and estimation methods the empirical work indicates that the failure of the re pih is significant both statistically and quantitatively the null hypothesis in this empirical literature typically consists of the joint hypothesis that 1 agents expectations are formed rationally 2 desired consumption is determined by permanent income and 3 capital markets are perfect in the sense that agents can lend or borrow against 1 studies rejecting the re pih include blinder 1981 flavin 1981 hall and mishkin 1982 hayashi 1982 and sargent 1978 in his original paper hall 1978 did not reject the re pih decisively however flavin 1981 showed that with a minor alteration in the specification of the alternative hypothesis the re pih could be rejected using hall s test and data set bernanke 1981 studying panel data on automobile expenditures did not find evidence against the hypothesis for an extensive survey of the empirical literature on the rational expectations permanent income hypothesis see king 1983 canadian journal of economics revue canadienne d economique xviii no 1 february fevrier 1985 printed in canada imprime au canada 0008 4085 85 117 36 1 50 canadian economics association this content downloaded from 157 55 39 17 on wed 31 aug 2016 05 08 58 utc all use subject to http about jstor org terms

peer effects and social networks in education this paper studies whether structural properties of friendship networks affect individual outcomes in education we first develop a model that shows that at the nash equilibrium the outcome of each individual embedded in a network is proportional to her katz bonacich centrality measure this measure takes into account both direct and indirect friends of each individual but puts less weight to her distant friends we then bring the model to the data by using a very detailed dataset of adolescent friendship networks we show that after controlling for observable individual characteristics and unobservable network specific factors the individual s position in a network as measured by her katz bonacich centrality is a key determinant of her level of activity a standard deviation increase in the katz bonacich centrality increases the pupil school performance by more than 7 percent of one standard deviation

the antidirector rights index revisited the antidirector rights index has been used as a measure of shareholder protection in over a hundred articles since it was introduced by la porta et al law and finance 1998 journal of political economy 106 1113 55 a thorough reexamination of the legal data however leads to corrections for thirty three of the forty six countries analyzed the correlation between corrected and original values is only 0 53 consequently many empirical results established using the original index may not be replicable with corrected values in particular the corrected index fails to support three widely influential claims that shareholder protection is higher in common than in civil law countries that shareholder protection predicts stock market size or ownership dispersion and that weak corporate governance explains the extent of exchange rate depreciation during the asian financial crisis of 1997 1998 the author 2009 published by oxford university press on behalf of the society for financial studies all rights reserved for permissions please e mail journals permissions oxfordjournals org oxford university press

the rate of return to the high scope perry preschool program abstract this paper estimates the rate of return to the highscope perry preschool program an early intervention program targeted toward disadvantaged african american youth estimates of the rate of return to the perry program are widely cited to support the claim of substantial economic benefits from preschool education programs previous studies of the rate of return to this program ignore the compromises that occurred in the randomization protocol they do not report standard errors the rates of return estimated in this paper account for these factors we conduct an extensive analysis of sensitivity to alternative plausible assumptions estimated annual social rates of return generally fall between 7 and 10 with most estimates substantially lower than those previously reported in the literature however returns are generally statistically significantly different from zero for both males and females and are above the historical return on equity estimated benefit to cost ratios support this conclusion

creditor protection laws debt financing and corporate investment over the business cycle we examine how legal creditor rights are related to debt financing and corporate investment over the business cycle using firm level data from 40 countries we find that creditor rights are associated with greater debt financing and investment during economic downturns but creditor rights have a significantly smaller effect during expansions the beneficial effects of creditor rights during recessions are stronger for firms that are more likely to have severe shareholder bondholder agency problems we also find that during recessions relative to expansions strong creditor rights are associated with a smaller decline in net capital flows our findings are consistent with credit market frictions increasing during recessions and with stronger creditor rights decreasing the negative effects of these frictions overall the results suggest that better creditor protection laws help moderate the decline in debt financing and investment during recessions

crime and social interactions the high variance of crime rates across time and space is one of the oldest puzzles in the social sciences this variance appears too high to be explained by changes in the exogenous costs and benefits of crime we present a model where social interactions create enough covariance across individuals to explain the high cross city variance of crime rates this model provides an index of social interactions which suggests that the amount of social interactions is highest in petty crimes moderate in more serious crimes and almost negligible in murder and rape

tranching in the syndicated loan market around the world loan tranching allows banks to manage risk and facilitate firm financing which may be essential for firms that cannot access investors from stock markets we analyze the determinants and benefits of loan tranching by pooling the tranches of individual loans to create the largest cross country sample of syndicated loans covering more than 150 000 loans from multinational and domestic firms we find that in addition to market deal and borrower characteristics legal and institutional differences impact loan tranching strong creditor protection and efficient debt collection increase the probability of tranching and reduce tranche spreads ultimately promoting firms access to debt we also find evidence that tranching facilitates the financing of multinational firms abroad due to the transfer of legal and cultural institutions to foreign subsidiaries overall our results suggest that tranching plays an important role in reducing a country s financial development gap and promotes firms access to debt

financial credibility ownership and financing constraints in private firms as shown in the international business literature the ability of controlling owners to extract private benefits is greater in countries with weaker legal institutions in these countries providing credible financial information could play an especially important role in reducing information asymmetry between private firms and external providers of finance for our sample of firms across 68 countries we find that firms with greater financial reporting credibility i e annual financial statements reviewed by an external auditor experience significantly lower perceived problems in gaining access to external finance further the impact of financial credibility in reducing financing constraints in the presence of a controlling owner is more pronounced in countries with weaker creditor rights given the predominance of private firms around the world their economic significance and the fact that an increasing number of private firms now operate in multinational environments with different institutional features we contribute to the literature on the role of financial information firm characteristics and country level institutions for an important and interesting group of firms

who is credit constrained in the u s economy an important assumption of the life cycle model of consumption is the postulate of perfect capital markets this hypothesis has recently been challenged by substantial empirical evidence hall and mishkin 1982 using the panel study of income dynamics estimate that 20 percent of united states families are liquidity constrained mariger 1986 derives a life cycle model with endogenous liquidity constraints and using a cross section estimates this fraction to be 19 4 percent hubbard and judd 1986 simulate a model with a constraint on net worth which shows that with reasonable assumptions about preferences 19 0 percent of united states consumers are liquidity constrained the emerging consensus points therefore to a fraction of approximately 20 percent of the population behaving in a manner that is inconsistent with the pure life cycle model in addition hayashi 1985 and zeldes 1989 investigate the correlation among consumption wealth and income for various population groups and infer that liquidity constraints are more important for younger families with low levels of wealth and saving the main limitation of these studies is that in their data sets constrained consumers are not observable and have to be identified via indirect evidence thus there is as yet little firm evidence about the characteristics of the consumers who are likely to be credit constrained this paper adopts an approach that differs from previous tests for liquidity constraints because it makes use of data where constrained consumers are observable and explicitly links their existence to credit market imperfections and personal characteristics the data drawn from the 1983 survey of consumer finances scf and described in section ii provide information on individuals whose request for credit has been rejected by financial intermediaries in section iii a model is developed in which consumers and lenders behavior jointly determines the probability that a consumer is rationed in the credit market this probability is then

how legal environments affect the use of bond covenants we examine how country level legal and institutional investor protection shapes contractual creditor protection we examine debt covenant information from foreign corporate bonds issued in the us from more than 50 countries between 1991 and 2007 we find that bonds of firms incorporated in countries with stronger creditor rights use fewer covenants this finding suggests that creditor protection substitutes for covenants in reducing the agency cost of debt in contrast bonds of firms with stronger shareholder rights or firms with stronger firm level corporate governance use more covenants these findings support the notion that firms with stronger shareholder control may face an increase in the shareholder bondholder conflict and therefore prefer to use more covenants however greater shareholder rights are not associated with the use of more covenant restrictions on equity issuance as firms with greater minority shareholder protection are unlikely to suffer such equity dilution

does social trust affect international contracting evidence from foreign bond covenants abstract building on rational choice institutionalism theory and williamson s j econ lit 38 3 595 613 2000 four level social analysis framework we investigate the influence of the informal institution of social trust on debt contract design in an international setting using a sample of non u s firms that issue bonds in the u s debt market we find that yankee bond creditors impose fewer covenants on bond issuers domiciled in countries with a high degree of social trust we further show that the inverse relationship between debt covenants and the informal institution of social trust is more pronounced for firms from countries with weak formal institutions as well as for firms with poor corporate governance and greater information opacity these findings are robust to endogeneity tests within country analysis various empirical models and measures of trust and alternative hypotheses we also show that while a lower level of informal social trust is associated with higher borrowing costs this relationship weakens when formal covenants are added to the debt contract i e a substitution effect our paper contributes to the international business literature by providing new insights into the role of informal institutions social trust in cross border debt contracting

the impact of government debt on private consumption in oecd countries abstract this paper establishes a non linear relationship between private consumption and government debt in oecd countries with high government debt a fiscal expansion is partly crowded out by a fall in private consumption in contrast in low debt countries private consumption is insensitive to changes in government debt thus fiscal policy is less effective in stabilising business cycle fluctuations at higher levels of government debt

property rights protection corporate transparency and growth in countries with secure property rights corporate transparency improves investment efficiency and increases growth by alleviating information asymmetry however in countries with insecure property rights greater transparency can increase the risk of government expropriation therefore some firms that would benefit most from transparency cannot take full advantage of it as they set sub optimal transparency levels using data from 59 industries in 69 countries we find that in countries with weak property rights protection industries that would benefit the most from transparency exhibit worse investment efficiency and grow more slowly than industries that can efficiently operate at minimal levels of transparency

estimating marginal returns to education this paper estimates marginal returns to college for individuals induced to enroll in college by different marginal policy changes the recent instrumental variables literature seeks to estimate this parameter but in general it does so only under strong assumptions that are tested and found wanting we show how to utilize economic theory and local instrumental variables estimators to estimate the effect of marginal policy changes our empirical analysis shows that returns are higher for individuals with values of unobservables that make them more likely to attend college we contrast our estimates with iv estimates of the return to schooling

investor protection and corporate governance recent research has documented large differences among countries in ownership concentration in publicly traded firms in the breadth and depth of capital markets in dividend policies and in the access of firms to external finance a common element to the explanations of these differences is how well investors both shareholders and creditors are protected by law from expropriation by the managers and controlling shareholders of firms we describe the differences in laws and the effectiveness of their enforcement across countries discuss the possible origins of these differences summarize their consequences and assess potential strategies of corporate governance reform we argue that the legal approach is a more fruitful way to understand corporate governance and its reform than the conventional distinction between bank centered and market centered financial systems

how does your kindergarten classroom affect your earnings evidence from project star in project star 11 571 students in tennessee and their teachers were randomly assigned to classrooms within their schools from kindergarten to third grade this article evaluates the long term impacts of star by linking the experimental data to administrative records we first demonstrate that kindergarten test scores are highly correlated with outcomes such as earnings at age 27 college attendance home ownership and retirement savings we then document four sets of experimental impacts first students in small classes are significantly more likely to attend college and exhibit improvements on other outcomes class size does not have a significant effect on earnings at age 27 but this effect is imprecisely estimated second students who had a more experienced teacher in kindergarten have higher earnings third an analysis of variance reveals significant classroom effects on earnings students who were randomly assigned to higher quality classrooms in grades k 3 as measured by classmates end of class test scores have higher earnings college attendance rates and other outcomes finally the effects of class quality fade out on test scores in later grades but gains in noncognitive measures persist

monitor objectivity with important clients evidence from auditor opinions around the world we examine whether monitors are likely to compromise their monitoring objectivity in the face of economically important clients in international business settings in the context of external auditing and assurance services we measure monitor objectivity by whether auditors are more or less likely to issue to their important clients modified audit opinions that is audit opinions provided to outside investors about the firm that demotes explicit areas of concern using a large cross country sample we document that auditors are more likely to issue modified opinions to their economically important clients relative to other clients furthermore we find that this association is stronger 1 for big n auditors 2 for multinational audit clients and 3 in countries with stronger legal regimes these results suggest that monitors prioritize the protection of their reputation over lucrative economic relationships and such information certification function is more pronounced for international auditors multinational client firms and in strong legal regimes

fiscal crises and aggregate demand can high public debt reverse the effects of fiscal policy abstract this paper shows how the power of fiscal policy to affect consumption can vary depending on the level of public debt at moderate levels of debt fiscal policy has the traditional keynesian effects current generations of consumers discount future taxes because they may not be alive when taxes are raised or there will be a larger population available to pay the taxes but when debt reaches extreme values current generations of consumers know there is a high probability that they will have to pay extra taxes a fiscal deficit can have a contractionary effect in these situations

do countries matter for voluntary disclosure evidence from cross listed firms in the us this paper explores the likelihood and consequences of voluntary disclosure proxied by management earnings forecasts for a sample of 1005 cross listed firms in the us from 40 countries over the period 1996 2005 our study is grounded in a three tiered conceptual framework that relies on insights from and implications of institutional theory agency theory and bonding theory to explain the costs and benefits associated with voluntary disclosure consistent with institutional theory and agency theory our results indicate that disclosure likelihood increases with the strength of cross listed firms home country legal institutions and is also influenced by us listing type product market internationalization and ownership structure further our results show that voluntarily committing to us disclosure practice is associated with lower information asymmetry which supports reputational bonding theory overall our study provides a costs and benefits framework to understand voluntary disclosure practices in an international context our work also presents evidence that home country institutions still matter when foreign firms migrate into the us financial market which highlights the importance of country level institution development

nonlinear effects of government debt on private consumption evidence from oecd countries this paper investigates nonlinear effects of government debt on private consumption the estimated consumption function shows smooth regime switching depending on the debt to gdp ratio and a higher level of government debt crowds out private consumption to a greater extent

sovereign default risk and state dependent twin deficits abstract this paper analyzes the impact of the government debt to gdp ratio on the correlation of the fiscal balance and the current account above a government debt to gdp ratio of 90 percent the correlation of the two balances decreases by 0 16 in a sample of 12 euro area countries and by 0 17 for greece ireland portugal and spain this paper develops a small open economy model with defaultable government debt and riskless international capital markets to explain the empirical evidence of a state dependent change in the correlation in the model high public debt to gdp ratios raise sovereign risk premia as the default probability increases leading to higher uncertainty about future taxes in this case precautionary savings of households increase and partially compensate current account deficits that result from fiscal deficits the increase in households saving reduces the correlation of the two balances by the same magnitude as documented in the data the model calibrated to greece matches further business cycle moments and the empirical default frequency

top management compensation and capital structure the interrelationship between top management compensation and the design and mix of external claims issued by a firm is studied the optimal managerial compensation structures depend on not only the agency relationship between shareholders and management but also the conflicts of interests which arise in the other contracting relationships for which the firm serves as a nexus we analyze in detail the optimal management compensation for the cases when the external claims are 1 equity and risky debt and 2 equity and convertible debt in addition to the role of aligning managerial incentives with shareholder interests managerial compensation in a levered firm also serves as a precommitment device to minimize the agency costs of debt the optimal management compensation derived has low pay performance sensitivity with convertible debt instead of straight debt the corresponding optimal managerial compensation has high pay to performance sensitivity a negative relationship between pay performance sensitivity and leverage is derived our results provide a reconciliation of the puzzling evidence of jensen and murphy 1990 with agency theory other testable implications include 1 a relationship between the risk premium in corporate bond yields and top management compensation structures and 2 the announcement effect of adoption of executive stock option plans on bond prices the model yields implications for management compensation in banks and federal deposit insurance reform our results explain the dynamics of top management compensation in firms going through financial distress and reorganization

social interactions and spillovers the aim of this paper is to provide a tractable model where both socialization or network formation and productive efforts can be analyzed simultaneously this permits a full fledged equilibrium welfare analysis of network formation with endogenous productive efforts and heterogeneous agents we show that there exist two stable interior equilibria which we can pareto rank the socially efficient outcome lies between these two equilibria when the intrinsic returns to production and socialization increase all equilibrium actions decrease at the pareto superior equilibrium while they increase at the pareto inferior equilibrium in both cases the percentage change in socialization effort is higher in absolute value than that of the productive effort

identification of endogenous social effects the reflection problem this paper examines the reflection problem that arises when a researcher observing the distribution of behaviour in a population tries to infer whether the average behaviour in some group influences the behaviour of the individuals that comprise the group it is found that inference is not possible unless the researcher has prior information specifying the compisition of reference groups if this information is available the prospects for inference depend critically on the population relationship between the variables defining reference groups and those directly affecting outcomes inference is difficult to implossible if these variables are functionally dependent or are statistically independent the prospects are better if the variables defining reference groups and those directly affecting outcomes are moderately related in the population

an investigation of ricardian equivalence in a common trends model abstract to empirically discriminate between ricardian and non ricardian behaviour we have to use a method that distinguishes between expected and unexpected as well as permanent and transitory changes in taxes and government consumption one method that provides these distinctions between different types of changes is the common trends framework used in this paper which is a var model with cointegrating constraints in the empirical study of us data there is some support for the ricardian hypothesis but there are also some deviations from its predictions however the differences do not lend support to a keynesian view of budget deficits but rather to the view of expansionary fiscal contractions this can be motivated theoretically by uncertainty about future taxes in combination with prudent households

generalizations about using value added measures of teacher quality the extensive investigation of the contribution of teachers to student achievement produces two generally accepted results first there is sub stantial variation in teacher quality as measured by the value added to achievement or future aca demic attainment or earnings second variables often used to determine entry into the profession and salaries including post graduate schooling experience and licensing examination scores appear to explain little of the variation in teacher quality so measured with the exception of early experience together these findings underscore explicitly that observed teacher characteristics do not represent teacher quality

non linear adjustments on the excess sensitivity of consumption with liquidity constraints abstractthis article investigates the role of domestic credit markets in explaining the excess sensitivity of private consumption to disposable income using heterogeneous panel data of 19 oecd countries over the last two decades we find that the degree of the excess sensitivity has decreased as the liquidity constraints of households have been alleviated the estimated time varying coefficients for the marginal propensity to consume vary between 0 16 for the countries with low liquidity constraints and 0 38 for those with high liquidity constraints we also provide evidence that the excess sensitivity has been more prominent after the global financial crisis in some advanced countries such as japan spain and the united states where sharp deleveraging of households has been ongoing

enjoying the quiet life corporate governance and managerial preferences much of our understanding of corporations builds on the idea that managers when they are not closely monitored will pursue goals that are not in shareholders interests but what goals would managers pursue this paper uses variation in corporate governance generated by state adoption of antitakeover laws to empirically map out managerial preferences we use plant level data and exploit a unique feature of corporate law that allows us to deal with possible biases associated with the timing of the laws we find that when managers are insulated from takeovers worker wages especially those of white collar workers rise the destruction of old plants falls but the creation of new plants also falls finally overall productivity and profitability decline in response to these laws our results suggest that active empire building may not be the norm and that managers may instead prefer to enjoy the quiet life

the effects of class size on student achievement new evidence from population variation abstract i identify the effects of class size on student achievement using longitudinal variation in the population associated with each grade in 649 elementary schools i use variation in class size driven by idiosyncratic variation in the population i also use discrete jumps in class size that occur when a small change in enrollment triggers a maximum or minimum class size rule the estimates indicate that class size does not have a statistically significant effect on student achievement i rule out even modest effects 2 to 4 percent of a standard deviation in scores for a 10 percent reduction in class size

trigger points and budget cuts explaining the effects of fiscal austerity we propose and solve an optimizing model which explains counterintuitive effects of fiscal policy in terms of expectations if government spending follows an upward trending stochastic process which the public believes may fall sharply when it reaches specific trigger points then optimizing consumption behavior and simple budget constraint arithmetic imply a nonlinear relationship between private consumption and government spending this theoretical relation is consistent with the experience of several countries jel e62 e21 textbook aggregate demand models suggest simple relationships between the government budget and economic activity a cut in the government deficit for example depressing consumption and output though such models heavily influence the design of stabilization policies their micro foundations are unclear and their sharp predictions are not always consistent with reality in many countries large cuts in government spending carried out as part of stabilization programs have led to expansions rather than contractions in economic activity the absence of simple relationships be