the effect of initial inequality on meritocracy a voting experiment on tax redistribution abstract according to alesina and angeletos 2005 societies are less redistributive but more efficient when the median voter believes that effort and talent are much more important than luck in determining income we test these results through a lab experiment in which participants vote over the tax rate and their pre tax income is determined according to their performance in a real effort task with leisure time subjects receive either a high or a low wage and this condition is either obtained through their talent in a tournament or randomly assigned we compare subjects decisions in these two different scenarios taking into consideration different levels of wage inequality in our framework this initial income inequality turns out to be crucial to support the theoretical hypothesis of alesina and angeletos 2005 overall we find that only if the wage inequality is high subjects choose a lower level of income redistribution and provide a higher effort level in the scenario in which high wage subjects are selected based on their talent through a tournament than when it is randomly assigned thus we confirm almost all theoretical results in alesina and angeletos 2005 when the wage inequality is high enough the big exception is for efficiency measured as the sum of total payoffs since theoretical results are not significant for both wage inequality scenarios

money creation under full reserve banking a stock flow consistent model this paper presents a stock flow consistent model of full reserve banking it is found that in a steady state full reserve banking can accommodate a zero growth economy and provide both full employment and zero inflation furthermore a money creation experiment is conducted with the model an increase in central bank reserves translates into a two thirds increase in demand deposits money creation through government spending leads to a temporary increase in real gdp and inflation surprisingly it also leads to a permanent reduction in consolidated government debt the claims that full reserve banking would precipitate a credit crunch or excessively volatile interest rates are found to be baseless

routes of money endogeneity a heuristic comparison the paper sets up an analytical framework that is based on simplified balance sheets of the banking the non banking private and the government sectors in order to identify four primary routes through which money can be generated endogenously and to discuss their characteristics these routes approximate if not precisely correspond to the post keynesian accommodationist and structuralist views the new keynesian credit view bank lending channel and a hybrid one respectively copyright the author 2010 published by oxford university press on behalf of the cambridge political economy society all rights reserved oxford university press

trade and direct investment in producer services and the domestic market for expertise foreign producer services can provide substantial benefits for domestic firms we build on earlier monopolistic competition models of intermediate producer services in this paper results show that 1 while foreign services are partial equilibrium substitutes for domestic skilled labour they may be general equilibrium complements 2 service trade can provide crucial missing inputs that reverse comparative advantage in final goods 3 the optimal tax on imported services may be a subsidy and 4 in our dynamic formulation there may be earnings losses for immobile workers along a transition path that suggest potentially important equity consequences of reform jel classification f12 f16 f23 commerce international et investissement direct dans les services de production et le marche interieur de l expertise les services de production en provenance de l etranger peuvent engendrer des avantages substantiels pour les entreprises domestiques dans ce memoire les auteurs construisent sur la base de certains modeles anterieurs de concurrence monopolistique de services de production intermediaires les resultats montrent que 1 alors que les services de l etranger sont des substituts pour le travail domestique specialise en equilibre partiel en equilibre general ils peuvent etre des complements 2 le commerce de services peut fournir des intrants cruciaux qui manquent et ce faisant renverser les avantages comparatifs dans les produits finaux 3 la fiscalite optimale imposee sur les services importes peut etre une subvention et 4 dans la formulation dynamique du modele il peut y avoir perte de revenus pour les travailleurs immobiles le long du sentier de transition ce qui suggere qu il peut y avoir des consequences importantes au plan de l equite associees a certaines reformes

the limits of central bank policy economic crisis and the challenge of effective solutions the paper examines the development of central bank policy prior to and during the recent financial crisis the argument is made that it contained multiple failures that not only generated constraints on adequately identifying and addressing the crisis but also contributed to that crisis those failures derived from a combination of theory and institutional practice specifically the use of forms of inflationary targeting based on broad adherence to the taylor rule framework and the use of versions of a conventional theoretical macro model ctmm were both problematic this was particularly so in the way policy was focused through issues of the primacy of price stability the institutional arrangements of the central banks were also problematic the division of labour between the central banks and other regulatory bodies and the limited information available within a liberalised finance system hampered efforts to fully appreciate the gravity of the situation partly due to the constraints imposed by the thinking and strategies that had been developed the central banks never got to grips with the fundamental problems of the crisis interest rate policy and liquidity provision were undertaken in ways that steadily radicalised the approaches of the banks but always in a way that was event led and always in ways that could not resolve those fundamental problems the nature of the crisis highlights the importance of transforming the approach and institutional framework of the central banks relatedly it highlights the need for a more keynesian and heterodox approach to economics within decision making bodies at central banks

status seeking income taxation and efficiency abstract it is well known that status seeking produces distortions in consumption competition to achieve status leads to over consumption of those goods which confer status it has been found that taxing such goods may even lead to pareto improvements in this paper we extend a model of status which relies on a signalling equilibrium approach to include the individual labour supply decision and an income tax we show that a pareto improving income tax can exist even with the simplest tax benefit scheme a number of results follow the model is extended to a two period analysis to accommodate the reputation building element of status achievement without altering the conclusions

a glimpse through the veil of ignorance equality of opportunity and support for redistribution abstract this study is an experimental investigation into preference for redistribution of income it had been hypothesized that belief in equality of opportunity in a society diminishes support for the welfare state this could potentially explain the low taxes and social benefits in the united states vis a vis europe to verify this hypothesis participants in an experiment were assigned different probabilities of winning and matched in groups of four next before finding out who would actually win they selected preferred transfers to be paid by the winners to the group as a whole it was found that the average transfers were about 20 lower in the sessions in which winning was determined by performance in a task rather than by sheer luck this difference cannot be explained by overconfidence in predicting own score it corroborates the conjecture that perceived determinants of success i e whether poverty results from laziness or bad luck affect the support for redistribution on the other hand greater inequality of opportunity measured simply by dispersion of probabilities of winning within a group did not lead to higher transfers

the allocation of credit and financial collapse this paper examines the allocation of credit in a market in which borrowers have greater information concerning their own riskiness than do lenders it illustrates that 1 the allocation of credit is inefficient and at times can be improved by government intervention and 2 small changes in the exogenous risk free interest rate can cause large discontinuous changes in the allocation of credit and the efficiency of the market equilibrium these conclusions suggests a role for government as the lender of last resort

the economics of small business finance the roles of private equity and debt markets in the financial growth cycle abstract this article examines the economics of financing small business in private equity and debt markets firms are viewed through a financial growth cycle paradigm in which different capital structures are optimal at different points in the cycle we show the sources of small business finance and how capital structure varies with firm size and age the interconnectedness of small firm finance is discussed along with the impact of the macroeconomic environment we also analyze a number of research and policy issues review the literature and suggest topics for future research

the impact of social mobility and within family learning on voter preferences evidence from a sample of twins abstract income maximizing consumers should vote in predictable ways support for liberal redistributive governments should fall as income rises but weak empirical evidence for these voting patterns might suggest that voters are influenced by alternative factors such as perceptions of social mobility from within family learning to examine these effects this paper uses a data set of twins and a recently developed econometric approach to show that within family learning and family specific effects are important determinants of voting preferences and preferences for redistribution

racial discrimination in the labor market theory and empirics we review theories of race discrimination in the labor market taste based models can generate wage and unemployment duration differentials when combined with either random or directed search even when strong prejudice is not widespread but no existing model explains the unemployment rate differential models of statistical discrimination based on differential observability of productivity across races can explain the pattern and magnitudes of wage differentials but do not address employment and unemployment at their current state of development models of statistical discrimination based on rational stereotypes have little empirical content it is plausible that models combining elements of the search models with statistical discrimination could fit the data we suggest possible avenues to be pursued and comment briefly on the implication of existing theory for public policy jel j15 j31 j64 j71

the product variety case for protection abstract the paper shows the existence of a case for protection in a small open economy in which there is preference diversity and potential product differentation with scale economies the optimal tariff gives partial protection only is a first best solution and must be sustained the welfare loss that is corrected by the tariff is that due to a sub optimal degree of product variety arising from market failure linked to economies of scale

horizontalism a critique this article offers a critique of the horizontalist view of money that banks are passive in the face of credit demand it is argued that banks liquidity preference influences their responsiveness to the demand for credit their liquidity preference is expressed in risk assessment understood in terms of john maynard keynes s theory of uncertainty it is argued that rationing in the sense of adverse changes in risk assessment occurs systematically in the downturn of the business cycle systematic rationing also occurs with respect to particular classes of borrowers the focus here is on the case of small firms c 1996 academic press limited copyright 1996 by oxford university press

special remedies for special causes involuntary unemployment in keynes political writings this paper analyses the proposals keynes made in his political writings regarding unemployment extending arguments made in the general theory the first issue is the relevance of voluntary unemployment to an understanding of keynes views on structural unemployment the second issue is the connection between on the one hand keynes argument in favour of public works state planning and more generally the socialisation of investment and on the other the analysis of involuntary unemployment made in the general theory emphasis is placed on long term pessimistic expectations and on the market valuation of capital assets copyright the author 2010 published by oxford university press on behalf of the cambridge political economy society all rights reserved oxford university press

100 percent reserve banking a critical review of green perspectives abstract 100 percent reserve banking c perb is an enduring proposal for monetary reform that has been taken up by some ecological economists this paper identifies three groups of green arguments in favor of c perb and offers some criticism first the proposal could serve to constrain new investments by the availability of savings thereby checking economic growth however this would strongly increase interest rate volatility second it could potentially elevate environmental considerations in decisions about resource allocation by increasing the role of the democratic state as an economic actor this line of argument faces problems that require further detailed exploration and historical perspective third a transition to c perb would allow debt levels to be drastically cut this is technically possible but politically a tall order whether the existing system of debt based bank money generates a significant growth imperative is unclear and the importance of other driving forces behind perennial economic growth in modern societies which c perb does not address remains an issue of contention in general the adoption of c perb presupposes a tremendous reconfiguration of power relations between states and finance capital

solvency rule versus taylor rule an alternative interpretation of the relation between monetary policy and the economic crisis one of the more debated interpretations of the economic crisis that started in 2007 08 is based on the taylor rule equation namely the idea that over the period 2002 05 the fed has implemented a low interest policy that has led to the housing bubble and finally to the great recession this paper shows that the taylor rule equation not only rests on the so called new consensus macroeconomics but also on the neoclassical theory of growth the various criticisms raised against these theoretical foundations suggest that interpretations of the great recession based on the taylor rule equation are building their arguments on shaky theoretical premises furthermore this paper shows that an equation formally similar but logically alternative to the taylor rule can be regarded as the expression of a general condition of solvency of firms and workers according to this solvency rule the prevailing outcome of monetary policy decisions is the regulation of insolvencies

trade policy subtleties with multinational firms abstract regional trade blocks must specify domestic content rules that define the conditions under which a good qualifies as domestic and so may be freely traded within the block this paper analyzes such rules focussing on oligopolistic industries in which foreign multinationals rely much more on imported intermediate inputs that do domestic firms in such a situation we argue that domestic content provisions are anti competitive reducing overall final output of the industry and shifting rents to domestic firms these ideas are examined analytically and then numerically using an applied general equilibrium model of the north american auto industry

keynesian macroeconomics without the lm curve the is lm model has been a central tool of macroeconomic teaching and practice for over half a century legions of earlier writers have offered criticisms of the model that have become familiar with the passage of time the model lacks microeconomic foundations assumes price stickiness has no role for expectations and simplifies the economy s complexities to a handful of crude aggregate relationships but countless teachers students and policymakers have found the model to be a powerful framework for understanding macroeconomic fluctuations recent developments have created new difficulties for the is lm model although the new difficulties are less profound than the traditional ones they are more likely to be fatal like all models the is lm model is not universal its assumptions and simplifications make it better suited to analyzing some issues than others and to describing some economic environments than others but neither the issues nor the environment of macroeconomic fluctuations are fixed in terms of issues one major change is that the debates between keynesians and monetarists about the relative effectiveness of monetary and fiscal policy that were central to macroeconomics in the 1960s and 1970s now play only a modest role in the analysis of short run fluctuations in terms of the environment one important change is that most central banks including the u s federal reserve now pay little attention to monetary aggregates in conducting policy but the is lm model is particularly well suited to presenting the debates between keynesians and monetarists and one of its basic assumptions is that the central bank targets the money supply in short recent developments work to the disadvantage of is lm this observation suggests that it is time to revisit the question of whether is lm is the best

merit approbation and the evolution of social structure in this paper we study a society in which individuals gain utility from income and from social approbation income is correlated with class approbation is given to an unobservable trait which must be signalled through the agent s social mobility i e class change mobility is driven by a simple mechanism involving inheritance effort and ability thus social structure class composition is affected by individuals quest for approbation and we study how that affects the emergence and multiplicity of long run social organizations including hybrid forms of dynasties and meritocracies specifically we observe that even though social mobility is driven purely by a meritocratic mechanism pure dynasties can emerge we then introduce a feedback between the size of the upper class and its income value so that effort levels and social structure are jointly endogenous we derive results on equilibrium effort levels and stationary when they exist social structures social organization can converge to a unique steady state multiple long run equilibria or cycles

notes on the microfoundations of monetary economics it is important to keep two closely related distinctions in mind when discussing the microeconomics of money that between the social arrangement known as monetary exchange and those assets known as money and that between what patinkin 1957 called the market experiment and individual experiment this abstract was borrowed from another version of this item

pride and prejudice using ethnic sounding names and inter ethnic marriages to identify labour market discrimination labour markets discriminate against workers with particular ethnic sounding names we use non random sorting into interethnic marriage and salient differences between sephardic and ashkenazi surnames to evaluate the causal impact of sephardic affiliation on wages using the 1995 israeli census we estimate the effect of a sephardic sounding surname on wages we first compare the wages of israeli jewish males born to sephardic fathers and ashkenazi mothers sa who are more likely to carry a sephardic surname with the wages of israeli jewish males born to ashkenazi fathers and sephardic mothers as we find that israeli labor markets discriminate based on perceived ethnicity sa workers earn significantly less than their as counterparts we then exploit the custom of women to adopt their husbands surnames to disentangle actual ethnicity from the ethnicity perceived by the market consistent with ethnic discrimination based on surnames we find that it is father in law s ethnicity rather than father s ethnicity that shapes female wage rates finally we find that labor markets discriminate based on surname only when those names provide additional information about ethnicity when ethnicity can be discerned from skin tone surnames do not provide additional explanatory power with respect to wages

post keynesian economics towards coherence this paper provides a comprehensive survey of post keynesian economics it argues that post keynesian economics has passed through the important initial stage of mounting a concerted critique of mainstream economics the focus however is on the stage reflected in current post keynesian research which the paper argues is concerned with elaborating a distinctive coherent approach that takes precedence over critique several traditions upon which post keynesian economics relies are identified institutionalism is proposed as an additional contributing tradition a novel aspect of the paper it is recognized however that more research is necessary to complete the post keynesian approach c 1996 academic press limited copyright 1996 by oxford university press

full reserve banking more cranks than brave heretics this paper analyses the main features and policy implications of full reserve banking frb proposals it argues that whilst frb advocates recognize the essential endogeneity of the money creation process they have failed to understand the post keynesian and monetary circuitist analyses of endogenous money which leads them to analytical errors including lending activity creates seigniorage privilege for commercial banks inflation is always and everywhere a monetary phenomenon the inability of distinguishing the actual from the planned supply of bank loans and money to be spent from money hoarded and the debt free money proposition the paper also argues that an frb system is likely to exacerbate financial instability for several reasons including the obsessive focus on commercial banks while ignoring non bank financial intermediaries and shadow banking a blind fascination for the safety and security of the payment system with little consideration for the financing needs of capitalist economies and an inherent deflationary bias furthermore frb arrangements would soon be undermined by the development of alternative near moneys finally frb will nullify the automatic stabilisers of fiscal policy and lead to a de facto dominance of monetary policy and unelected central bankers over fiscal policy and democratic decision making

tariffs and capacity utilization by monopolistically competitive firms abstract this paper examines the effect of a tariff imposed on a monopolistically competitive mc sector on firm output in a 2 2 2 model with nonhomothetic technology if the mc sector is capital intensive then a tariff will improve the terms of trade lower home firm demand elasticity but raise firm output relative to foreign firms if the mc sector is labor intensive then excess supply for firm output may be decreasing in price so the tariff may worsen the home country s terms of trade home firm demand elasticity falls but firm output rises relative to the partner country these results qualify conclusions based on single sector and single country models

towards post keynesian ecological macroeconomics the paper starts with a brief criticism of macroeconomic analyses of different schools of thought for their focus on economic growth and maximisation of output this applies to the traditional keynesian approach which has focused on the achievement of sufficient aggregate demand to underpin full employment and full capacity utilisation down playing aggregate supply constraints this also applies to the neoclassical approach including the current new consensus macroeconomics approach which asserts the dominant role of aggregate supply in the long run and where growth is set by the so called natural rate of growth with no concerns over environmental and ecological issues the paper then proposes a different approach to macroeconomic analysis it explicitly acknowledges that economic growth is a double edged sword growth can help to alleviate persistent levels of high unemployment but it can also lead to potentially catastrophic environmental problems building on the monetary circuit theory and the demand led growth theory the paper offers an analysis of the interconnections and interdependence of the economic biophysical and social worlds and by doing it hopes to provide the building blocks for the establishment of post keynesian ecological macroeconomics

asymmetric tournaments equal opportunity laws and affirmative action some experimental results this paper assesses whether affirmative action programs and equal opportunity laws affect the output of economic agents more precisely we find that equal opportunity laws and affirmative action programs always benefit disadvantaged groups equal opportunity laws also increase the effort levels of all subjects and hence the profits of the tournament administrator usually the firm the effects of affirmative action programs depend on the severity of a group s cost disadvantage when the cost disadvantage is severe these programs significantly increase effort levels and hence profits the opposite is true when the disadvantage is slight

social mobility and redistributive politics just like economists voters have conflicting views about redistributive taxation because they estimate its incentive costs differently we model rational agents as trying to learn from their dynastic income mobility experience the relative importance of effort and predetermined factors in the generation of income inequality and therefore the magnitude of these incentive costs in the long run left wing dynasties believing less in individual effort and voting for more redistribution coexist with right wing dynasties this allows us to explain why individual mobility experience and not only current income matters for political attiitudes and how persistent differences in perceptions about social mobility can generate persistent differences in redistribution across countries

self fulfilling beliefs about social status abstract human beings care a lot about being viewed as smart this paper defines social status as the public beliefs about one s smartness inferred from one s publicly observed social mobility experience this status motive can easily generate multiple equilibria based upon self fulfilling beliefs it also tends to amplify the inequality of economic success between agents with different social origins this theory of persistent inequality is compared with other theories of inequality based upon self fulfilling beliefs such as the model of statistical discrimination and the model of learning about one s chances of mobility in the absence of a status motive as well the sociological theories of merton boudon and bourdieu

a response to critiques of full reserve banking in this response to critiques of full reserve banking or sovereign money proposals we challenge four of the main criticisms made by fontana and sawyer this issue i the impact of the proposal on government finances and fiscal policy ii the impact of the proposal on the supply of credit to the real economy iii the danger of private money creation re emerging in the shadow banking sector and iv the argument that shadow banking not commercial banking is the real source of financial instability

affirmative action and labor markets affirmative action remains controversial the controversy extends from the original antidiscrimination legislation and its interpretation to estimates of affirmative action s effect on the labor market this paper provides a progress report on our recent efforts at detecting the effects of affirmative action on minority wages and employment although we find a substantial increase in wages for black men and black women over our sample period the timing of these wage changes is surprising most of the wage gains came prior to 1974 before the establishment of an effective monitoring structure for affirmative action indeed when the powers of the eeoc and ofcc are greatest the wage effects for young blacks are somewhat perverse using eeo 1 reports we find a major shift in black employment toward firms most vulnerable to the monitoring and potential sanctions of the affirmative action programs as with wages the shift in minority employment came prior to the expansion of the powers and budgets of the ee

choosing the right pond social approval and occupational choice we model the endogenous emergence of social perceptions about occupations and their impact on occupational choice in particular an individual s social approval increases with his community s perception of his skill in his chosen career these perceptions vary across communities because individuals better assess the skill of those in occupations similar to their own such imperfect assessment can distort choices away from comparative advantage when skill distributions differ across occupations and or correlate positively the community perceives one occupation more favorably this favored sector experiences overcrowding but misallocation occurs across both sectors furthermore a positive skill correlation can produce multiple steady states

will affirmative action policies eliminate negative stereotypes a key question concerning affirmative action is whether the labor market gains it brings to minorities can continue without it becoming a permanent fixture in the labor market the authors argue that this depends on how the policy affects employers beliefs about the productivity of minority workers they study the joint determination of employer beliefs and worker productivity in a model of statistical discrimination in job assignments the authors prove that even when identifiable groups are equally endowed ex ante affirmative action can bring about a situation in which employers correctly perceive the groups to be unequally productive ex post copyright 1993 by american economic association

belief in a just world and redistributive politics international surveys reveal wide differences between the views held in different countries concerning the causes of wealth or poverty and the extent to which people are responsible for their own fate at the same time social ethnographies and experiments by psychologists demonstrate individuals recurrent struggle with cognitive dissonance as they seek to maintain and pass on to their children a view of the world where effort ultimately pays off and everyone gets their just deserts this paper offers a model that helps explain i why most people feel such a need to believe in a just world ii why this need and therefore the prevalence of the belief varies considerably across countries iii the implications of this phenomenon for international differences in political ideology levels of redistribution labor supply aggregate income and popular perceptions of the poor the model shows in particular how complementarities arise endogenously between individuals desired beliefs or ideological choices resulting in two equilibria a first american equilibrium is characterized by a high prevalence of just world beliefs among the population and relatively laissez faire policies the other european equilibrium is characterized by more pessimism about the role of effort in economic outcomes and a more extensive welfare state more generally the paper develops a theory of collective beliefs and motivated cognitions including those concerning money consumption and happiness as well as religion

capital market imperfections high tech investment and new equity financing highly variable returns asymmetric information and a lack of collateral should cause small high tech firms to have poor access to debt new equity financing has several advantages over debt but may be costly compared to internal finance we examine an unbalanced panel of over 2 400 publicly traded us high tech companies over the period 1981 98 most small high tech firms obtain little debt financing new equity financing in the form of the initial public offering is very important and permits a major increase in firm size after going public comparatively few firms make heavy use of external finacing

derationalizing tariffs with specialized intermediate inputs and differentiated final goods abstract existing analyses of differentiated products suggest that a small tariff must be welfare improving as a positive terms of trade effect and an increase in the number of domestic varieties outweighs the loss of foreign varieties this result appears to be due to an arbitrary assumption that the intra sectoral elasticity of substitution in consumption exceeds the inter sectoral elasticity this paper demonstrates that complementarity among specialized inputs or differentiated final goods implies that a small tariff can derationalize production sufficiently such that the number of domestic inputs goods falls and welfare is reduced

on money as a medium of exchange we analyze economies in which individuals specialize in consumption and production and meet randomly over time in a way that implies that trade must be bilateral and quid pro quo nash equilibria in trading strategies are characterized certain goods emerge endogenously as media of exchange or commodity money depending both on their intrinsic properties and on extrinsic beliefs there are also equilibria with genuine fiat currency circulating as the general medium of exchange we find that equilibria are not generally pareto optimal and that introducing fiat currency into a commodity money economy may unambiguously improve welfare velocity acceptability and liquidity are discussed

solvency rule and capital centralisation in a monetary union brancaccio and fontana 2013 have suggested that the central bank influences the solvency conditions of firms and households in the economic system this solvency rule is examined here within a stylised model of a monetary union characterised by different rates of accumulation and inflation across its two member countries the rule highlights the existence of a relationship between the interest rate set by the central monetary authority and the allocation of ownership of existing physical capital among the member countries of the monetary union i e the rates of capital centralisation the paper also shows the nexus between solvency and government debt sustainability and examines the implications of deflationary or currency devaluation policies for the solvency conditions

has government any role in money abstract recent interest in monetary reform has been sparked by the emergence of a world irredeemable paper money system in light of this interest we review the current validity of four good reasons friedman advanced in 1960 to rationalize government intervention we conclude that the forces that produced government involvement in the past will persist deregulation of financial intermediaries is desirable on grounds of market efficiency though it is an open question whether government should continue as lender of last resort we expect that the present world fiat money standard will neither degenerate into hyperinflation nor revert to a commodity standard

the credit led supply of deposits and the demand for money kaldor s reflux mechanism as previously endorsed by joan robinson the purpose of this note is to reconsider the puzzle arising from a theory of endogenous credit money if the supply of bank credit is the source of bank deposits what would occur when the supply of bank deposits exceeds the demand for deposits it has recently been argued that changes in interest rate differentials would be the primary mechanism through which such an inequality could be reduced back to equality the argument here is that such a mechanism is a secondary one akin to kaldor s reflux principle which is itself the primary mechanism when properly generalized to increases in advances generated by the private the public and the external sectors and when reflux is extended to all agents including households and banks copyright 1999 by oxford university press

optimal tariffs for trade in monopolistically competitive commodities abstract the welfare implications of international trade are examined for an economy which contains a monopolistically competitive industry and imports products directly competitive with this industry necessary and sufficient conditions for such trade to increase welfare are found and optimal import tariffs are derived and analysed

money credit constraints and economic activity when government expenditures exceed current tax revenues the resulting deficit must be financed either by issuing bonds which imply obligations to levy future taxes or by creating high powered money the choice between money and bonds is often thought to be of great moment for both real and nominal variables that is monetary policy matters there is by now a wide empirical consensus that monetary policy has effects on real variables like output and employment but there is far less agreement about why this is so the purpose of this paper is to take issue with some currently fashionable views of why money has real effects and to suggest a new theory or rather resurrect an old one the loanable funds theory and give it new improved microfoundations this abstract was borrowed from another version of this item

teaching modern macroeconomics at the principles level ideas taught at the macroeconomics principles level should satisfy two goals first they should be simple enough to be both understandable and memorable for the beginning student second they should be consistent both with the modem economy and with the macroeconomic models of this economy that are used in practice for policy evaluation there is no necessary conflict between these two goals the greater the consistency between the ideas taught in the classroom and the models used in practice the easier the ideas are to understand and the worthier they are of being remembered it would be an exaggeration to say that a consensus now exists in advanced research about how macroeconomics should evolve in the future debates continue for example about the usefulness of models with representative agents or what it means to have a fully articulated model of money nevertheless at the practical level a common view of macroeconomics is now pervasive in policyresearch projects at universities and central banks around the world this view evolved gradually since the rational expectations revolution of the 1970 s and has solidified during the 1990 s it differs from past views and it explains the growth and fluctuations of the modern economy it can thus be said to represent a modem view of macroeconomics 1 the purpose of this paper is to show how this modem macroeconomics can be taught at the principles level i focus on macroeconomic concepts including economic growth and fluctuations and their graphical representation rather than on techniques of delivery whether active learning experiments or the use of new media 2 the teaching ideas are similar to those used by david romer 2000 and taylor 1998 but the purpose of this paper is to show how closely they represent modern macroeconomics

complementarity and increasing returns in intermediate inputs abstract conventional analysis in the trade industrial organization literature suggests that when a country has some market power over an imported good some small level of protection must be welfare improving this is essentially a terms of trade argument that is reinforced if the imported goods are substitutes for domestic goods produced with increasing returns to scale goods that are initially underproduced in free trade equilibrium this paper notes that this result may not hold when 1 the imports are intermediates used in a domestic increasing returns industry and or 2 the intermediates are complements for domestic inputs produced with increasing returns we then demonstrate such an outcome with respect to mexican protection against imported auto parts using an applied general equilibrium model of the north american auto industry

the enforcement of equal opportunity laws under imperfect information affirmative action and alternatives more than twenty years have passed since the enactment of the civil rights act during that period the enforcement of title vii with its broad prohibition of discrimination in employment and compensation has proved to be both difficult and controversial as part of any attempt to regulate economic activity we must be able to observe violations but unequal treatment in employment relationships is difficult to identify employers must always differentiate between individuals when making hiring and promotion decisions since applicants possess diverse skills and abilities this diversity creates a fundamental problem in monitoring the compliance or noncompliance of employers with equal opportunity laws this paper examines the enforcement of equal opportunity laws in a labor market that exhibits statistical discrimination this type of discrimination may arise as a rational response by profitmaximizing firms to imperfect information about individual productivity in lundberg and startz 1983 an equal opportunity policy prohibiting raceor sex specific wage schedules was shown to be an efficiency enhancing response to statistical discrimination section ii extends this model to allow information a role in allocating heterogeneous workers among jobs in this environment restricting firms use of information through an equal opportunity policy improves workers incentives to acquire human capital at the expense of production losses and its net effect on efficiency becomes ambiguous firms will attempt to evade an equal opportunity law presenting the government and the courts with the task of monitoring and enforcing compliance the regulators are likely to possess imperfect information not only about the relationship between worker characteristics and productivity but also about the actual personnel policies followed by firms in section iii a simple costminimizing evasion policy for firms in which other worker attributes are used as imperfect proxies for race or sex is outlined in the next two sections alternative policies for enforcing compliance

job discrimination market forces and the invisibility hypothesis the invisibility hypothesis holds that the job skills of disadvantaged workers are not easily discovered by potential new employers but that promotion enhances visibility and alleviates this problem then at a competitive labor market equilibrium firms profit by hiding talented disadvantaged workers in low level jobs consequently those workers are paid less on average and promoted less often than others with the same education and ability as a result of the inefficient and discriminatory wage and promotion policies disadvantaged workers experience lower returns to investments in human capital than other workers

the characteristics of a monetary economy a keynes schumpeter approach mainstream monetary theory considers money only as an instrument meant to facilitate trading without having any effect on income or on the evolution of the economic system the aim of this paper is to elaborate a monetary theory capable of supporting the thesis of money non neutrality based on the arguments developed by keynes and schumpeter the synthesis of the theories of these two great economists will be formulated starting from the two points which are common in the views of keynes and schumpeter first in contrast with mainstream theory keynes and schumpeter state that the diffusion of a fiat money induces a radical modification into the way in which the economic system works second when keynes and schumpeter describe the reasons why money and financial aggregates are not neutral they highlight the fundamental role of the credit market and of banks in contrast with the mainstream theory they do not consider the credit market as the mirror image of the goods market

keynes s theory of liquidity preference and his debt management and monetary policies this paper seeks to bolster the view that keynes was a monetary economist concerned primarily with monetary and not fiscal policy his most fundamental policy conclusion for national economies was that the authorities could control the long term rate of interest and should do so to promote investment growth and employment keynes s theory of liquidity preference is presented as a theory of money as a store of value that leads to this fundamental policy conclusion the theory is then applied to explain the debt management monetary and international financial policies that were adopted in world war ii copyright 2006 oxford university press

social norms savings behavior and growth we argue that many goods and decisions are not allocated or made through markets we interpret an agent s status as a ranking device that determines how well he or she fares in the nonmarket sector the existence of a nonmarket sector can endogenously generate a concern for relative position in for example the income distribution so that higher income implies higher status moreover it can naturally yield multiple equilibria it is thus possible to explain differences in growth rates across countries without recourse to differences in underlying preferences technologies or endowments different social organizations lead to different reduced form preferences which lead to different growth rates

theoretical reflections on endogenous money the problem with convenience lending this paper questions the practice of representing the endogenous money supply by means of a horizontal money supply curve implicitly contrasted with the conventional vertical stock supply curve what is drawn as a horizontal curve is strictly a locus between a continually shifting stock curve and a shifting demand curve consequently demand for money considerations have been suppressed in the horizontal presentation one response is that the resulting deposits are automatically held through some process such as convenience lending however the argument behind convenience lending points to the conclusion that it is changes in relative interest rates that reconcile the demand for additional loans with the demand for additional deposits c 1996 academic press limited copyright 1996 by oxford university press

college assignment as a large contest abstract we develop a model of college assignment as a large contest wherein students with heterogeneous learning costs compete for seats at vertically differentiated colleges through the acquisition of productive human capital we use a continuum model to approximate the outcomes of a game with large but finite sets of colleges and students the continuum approximation lends tractability to a rich model for studying investment incentives in rank order competitions by incorporating two common families of affirmative action mechanisms into our model admissions preferences and quotas we can show that legal admissions preference schemes and illegal quotas have the same sets of equilibria including identical outcomes and investment strategies

customer discrimination and affirmative action i introduction beginning with the work of becker 1957 economists have been concerned with the relationship between competitive market forces and the persistence of labor market discrimination 1 a major insight of becker and the literature that followed is that competition could tend to eliminate discriminatory pay differentials if competitive forces do eliminate discrimination then empirical findings of persistent discrimination are either a result of faulty testing or market imperfections economic analysis of the link between competition and discrimination depends on the origins of prejudice becker identified at least three possible sources employers co workers and consumers 2 in each of these instances the group against which prejudice is directed e g women or minorities which will be termed minorities in this paper may be able to escape discrimination first minorities can work for nondiscriminatory employers if there are any moreover stiglitz 1973 shows that with constant returns to scale such employers will take over markets from the discriminators eliminating any pay gap based on prejudice 3 second if there is co worker prejudice then minorities can work in segregated firms which under constant returns to scale may have a cost advantage over integrated or all majority firms again discrimination will be driven away 4 third minorities can theoretically escape customer discrimination by specializing in the production of goods for which there is no contact between producers and consumers a case discussed by cain 1986 while competitive forces may in some cases erode discriminatory wage differentials the rate of decline of race and sex wage differentials has evidently not been rapid enough in the eyes of policymakers u s anti discrimination policy has been guided by two major vehicles title vii of the 1964 civil rights act and the office of federal contract compliance programs ofccp 5 the equal employment opportunity commission eeoc was created to enforce title vii and is empowered to aid plaintiffs or bring suit itself against employers the commission monitors the employment practices of federal contractors not only are contractors barred from discrimination against protected groups these firms are also required to take affirmative action not to discriminate the purpose of this paper is twofold first it demonstrates that in a general equilibrium framework the case of customer discrimination is theoretically distinct from employer or co worker prejudice in particular while constant returns to scale and the existence of nondiscriminatory firms can eliminate the latter two forms of discrimination customer discrimination may persist even under such conditions the persistence of discriminatory wage differentials is shown to depend on consumer demand technology and the relative size of the minority labor force 6 second the general equilibrium framework is then used to evaluate the impact of government anti discrimination policy where customers are the source of discrimination it is shown that if the government requires equal pay and proportional representation for minorities then the resulting allocation of resources will under particular assumptions be the same as if customers did not discriminate i then contrast these theoretical results with the predicted general equilibrium impact of affirmative action when there is employer or co worker prejudice among previous general equilibrium models of affirmative action welch 1976 assumed no discrimination while freeman 1978 did not specify the source of discrimination it is shown here that the source of prejudice markedly affects one s conclusions about affirmative action further even in some cases where segregation has eliminated discriminatory wage differentials the introduction of affirmative action has allocative effects finally evidence from studies evaluating the impact of affirmative action is used to distinguish among the various equilibrium models

a general equilibrium model of statistical discrimination we study a general equilibrium model with endogenous human capital formation in which ex ante identical groups may be treated asymmetrically in equilibrium the interaction between an informational externality and general equilibrium effects creates incentives for groups to specialize discrimination may arise even if the corresponding model with a single group has a unique equilibrium the dominant group gains from discrimination rationalizing why a majority may be reluctant to eliminate discrimination the model is also consistent with reverse discrimination as a remedy against discrimination since it may be necessary to decrease the welfare of the dominant group to achieve parity

hicks on monetary theory and history money as endogenous money hicks was never tired of saying that monetary theory is in history what he meant was that monetary theory is intrinsically related to real events and more importantly that monetary issues need to be analysed in a dynamic sequential context in which time plays an essential part he went on developing a particular sequential analysis the study of what happens within a single period single period theory and the study of the linkages between a succession of those periods continuation theory it is suggested that this distinction provides a useful lesson for modern endogenous money theorists

heterogeneity social esteem and feasibility of collective action abstract in the presence of individual heterogeneity a major problem with egalitarian partnership such as complete income pooling is that individuals of comparatively high ability are induced to exit the arrangement this is nevertheless ignoring the possible impact of social esteem considerations based on a comparison of members performances in this paper drawing inspiration from pooling experiences in a japanese fishery we show that the exit problem can be surmounted if sensitivity to social esteem is neither too strong nor too weak if it is too strong the lower ability agents will exit out of social shame whereas if it is too weak the higher ability agents will not consider it worthwhile to transfer income to their partners when the arrangement is sustainable the lower ability people strive towards limiting the income gap

racism and redistribution in the united states a solution to the problem of american exceptionalism abstract the two main political parties in the united states in the period 1976 1992 put forth policies on redistribution and on issues pertaining directly to race we argue that redistributive politics in the us can be fully understood only by taking account of the interconnection between these issues in political competition we identify two mechanisms through which racism among american voters decreases the degree of redistribution that would otherwise obtain in common with others we suggest that voter racism decreases the degree of redistribution due to an anti solidarity effect that some voters oppose government transfer payments to minorities whom they view as undeserving we suggest a second effect as well that some voters who desire redistribution nevertheless vote for the anti redistributive republican party because its position on the race issue is more consonant with their own and this too decreases the degree of redistribution in political equilibrium this we name the policy bundle effect we propose a formal model of multi dimensional political competition that enables us to estimate the magnitude of these two effects and estimate the model for the period in question we compute that voter racism reduced the income tax rate by 11 18 points the total effect decomposes about equally into the two sub effects we also find that the democratic vote share is 5 38 points lower than it would have been absent racism the magnitude of this effect would seem to explain the difference between the sizes of the public sector in the us and northern european countries

trade liberalization in a multinational dominated industry abstract existing theoretical models in the trade industrial organization literature assume almost exclusively that firms are national enterprises so that there is no international coordination by multinational firms we develop a model in which multinationals compete among themselves but coordinate production pricing and sales decisions across multiple plants and markets free entry and exit is assumed and cases in which the multinationals can and cannot segment markets are considered the model is simulated using data from the north american auto industry results are compared with a counter factual model calibrated to the same data which assumes national ownership of firms

the loanable funds fallacy exercises in the analysis of disequilibrium this essay analyses the core proposition of loanable funds theory that changes in technology and time preferences directly and immediately affect interest rates applying what may be seen as a generalised financial buffers approach to the analysis of disequilibrium we find that loanable funds theory is flawed and should therefore be abandoned a challenge to the neo walrasian general equilibrium approach to monetary theory remains that of justifying the idea that by some mechanism intertemporal prices correctly reflect technology and time preferences copyright 2001 by oxford university press

post keynesian monetary economics this article surveys the main themes of post keynesian monetary economics where the term post keynesian refers to the school of that name rather than having a purely chronological meaning the role of monetary theory in justifying the idea of unemployment equilibrium provides one main focus the meaning of the phrase money matters in the post keynesian context is examined as is the conception of monetary equilibrium the theory of endogenous money is outlined and its compatibility with keynes s liquidity preference theory of interest is discussed strengths and problems in the post keynesian tradition are identified c 1994 academic press inc copyright 1994 by oxford university press

banking strategy and credit expansion a post keynesian approach this paper aims to clarify the relationship between individual banks and banking industry behaviour in credit expansion the authors argue that the balance sheet structure of an individual bank is only partially determined by its management s decision about how aggressively to expand credit it is also determined by the balance sheet positions of other banks this relationship is shown explicitly by a simple disaggregation of the variables that enter into the economy wide money multiplier the approach taken here revives the multi bank approach to banking analysis pioneered by wallace and karmel in the 1960s which is particularly wellsuited to integrating micro and macro levels in keynesian banking analysis

hicks and the classics i there is an old fashioned resonance to this book s title a market theory of money sounds a little like money and the mechanism of exchange and not entirely by accident when jevons 1875 and his classical contemporaries enumerated the functions of money they emphasized its role as means of exchange and unit of account in this his last book henceforth mtm sir john hicks treats money as an integral part of the institutional framework within which goods and services are traded and as something that cannot properly be understood independently of a careful study of that framework quite self consciously then he places himself in a tradition of monetary analysis that seemed to have died out in the 1930s there is considerable irony here because hicks himself surely stands second only to keynes in his influence on the monetary economics of that decade his 1935 suggestion for simplifying the theory of money antedates the general theory 19361 though not the treatise 19301 as a landmark in the evolution of the theory of liquidity preference the particular is lm version of keynesian economics which dominated the post war textbooks and which provided the analytic framework for much of the monetarist controversy too was not hicks s creation alone but its most influential exposition was his 1937 mr keynes and the classics whatever hicks may have intended these two papers helped to set monetary economics moving in what he later came to regard as the wrong direction the book under review here is the third in a sequence which began with the critical essays in monetary theory 1967 and continued with the crisis irz keynesian economics 1974 like those it deals with ideas not just outside but also critical of the contemporary mainstream which their author had helped to start flowing also like those it will probably be received respect

biased screening and discrimination in the labor market the traditional economic analysis of discrimination is based on gary becker s study of taste discrimination by employers employees and consumers more recent work by kenneth arrow 1972 1973 has attempted to interpret intergroup wage differences in an alternative framework as a rational reaction to uncertainty in labor markets his model of statistical discrimination demonstrates that when the screening process used to determine a worker s qualifications is costly and prior expectations of productivity differ across race or sex groups then wage differentials may arise between workers of identical productivity by implicitly assuming a perfect screening process arrow ignores a potentially important source of wage differentials namely the fact that the screening process might be a more reliable predictor of productivity for one group than for another our paper generalizes the arrow model in two ways first in contrast to arrow we assume that all groups have identical distributions of productivity secondly the screening process used by the firm to determine an applicant s productivity is biased in the sense that a members of various groups may pass the test in different proportions despite their identical productivity distributions and b the predictive power of the test might vary across groups our objective is to analyze the effects of these types of biases in the screening process on the wage differentials between different population groups

whatever happened to keynes s monetary theory some see a return to keynes s ideas in response to the crisis that began in 2007 but we argue that the resurrected ideas belong to that betrayal of keynes s thought known as keynesian economics what happened is almost a reversal of the whig history view of economics in which past knowledge is embodied in later theory keynes has been made a pre keynesian we trace this transformation mainly through his monetary theory though we range more widely where necessary we state what we consider to be his monetary theory then identify and summarise the key contributions to its destruction then in a speculative section we suggest a variety of motivations for this subversion of his ideas we end by assessing what has been lost in particular his monetary policy and suggest social and political pressures that may have been partly responsible

gender and job performance evidence from wall street this study concerns the relationship between gender and job performance among brokerage firm equity analysts women s representation in analyst positions dropped from 16 percent in 1995 to 14 percent in 2005 the study found significant gender based differences in performance on various dimensions for example women cover roughly 9 stocks on average as compared with 10 for men and women s earnings estimates tend to be less accurate than men s estimates but the study also found that women are significantly more likely than men to be designated as all stars which indicates that they outperform men in other aspects of job performance

unconventional monetary policy ante litteram richard kahn and the monetary policy debate during the works of the radcliffe committee the appointment of a committee on the working of the monetary system in 1957 radcliffe committee in the uk gave the occasion to debate innovative ideas in the field of monetary policy many prominent economists participated in the committee s works which ended with the publication of the radcliffe report in 1959 making an exception to the rule of not mentioning individual contributions the radcliffe report claims to follow professor kahn in insisting upon the structure of interest rates rather than some notion of the supply of money as the centrepiece of monetary action as we reconstruct in the paper kahn based his proposals on a conceptual framework emphasising the link between inflation wages and aggregate demand and the importance of combining incomes policy and term structure control in view of achieving external equilibrium full employment and price stability one finding of our research is that kahn s recommendations regarding term structure control with their relevance to the present day are best understood in connection with his theory of liquidity preference as presented in kahn 1954 we also find that the radcliffe committee while espousing kahn s policy recommendations surrounded them with so many caveats as to render them de facto inoperative as we suggest in our reconstruction this depends partly on institutional considerations and partly on differences of opinion between kahn and the radcliffe committee regarding monetary policy transmission and the causes of inflation

trade credit in zimbabwean manufacturing abstract credit from suppliers is an important but often neglected source of finance for manufacturing firms zimbabwe is no exception unlike credit from financial institutions trade credit does not rely on formal collateral but on trust and reputation contract enforcement is flexible network effects and statistical discrimination affect the screening of trade credit applicants black entrepreneurs are disadvantaged by their lack of business contacts and by the difficulty of distinguishing themselves from the mass of financially insecure and short lived african owned businesses in zimbabwe a vicious circle is created between weak financial base unreliability as a debtor and inability to gain access to credit