price response information and asymmetry of price dispersion abstractin this study we examine how differently gasoline prices in 25 regions of seoul korea respond to asymmetric information between retailers and consumers we estimate the region specific li

rockets and feathers understanding asymmetric pricing prices rise like rockets but fall like feathers this stylized fact of most markets is con rmed by many empirical studies in this paper i develop a model with competitive rms and rational partially informed consumers where such asymmetric response to costs by rms emerges naturally in contrast to public opinion and past work collusion is not necessary to explain such result using a rich dataset of retail gasoline prices i nd the observed price dispersion pattern to be consistent with the model s prediction

asymmetries in price and quantity adjustments by the competitive firm focusing on the crucial role of inventory carry overs in the production and sales decision we describe the profit maximizing behavior of a dynamic competitive firm facing random prices each firm s behavior is incorporated into a stochastic equilibrium model of the competitive industry with uncertain demand the industry model exhibits asymmetric cyclical fluctuations of the keynesian sort when demand is weak output contracts while price holds at a fixed floor when demand is strong price increases as output is constrained by a ceiling even in a pure world of constant returns without increasing costs the inability to instantaneously coordinate production and sales along with the existence of inventories is sufficient to yield a backward i shaped supply curve for the short run journal of economic literature classification numbers 020 021 022

state dependent pricing invoicing currency and exchange rate pass through abstract we analyze exchange rate pass through and volatility of import prices in a dynamic framework where firms are subject to menu costs and decide on price adjustments in response to exchange rate innovations the exchange rate pass through and import price volatility then depend on the invoicing currency in combination with functional forms of cost and demand functions in particular there is lower pass through less frequent price adjustments and lower price volatility when prices are set in the importer s currency than when prices are set in the exporter s currency

temporary wholesale gasoline price spikes have long lasting retail effects the aftermath of hurricane rita abstract i study u s gasoline prices following hurricane rita to show that short lived geographical differences in the severity of wholesale gasoline price spikes are associated with long lasting geographical differences in retail prices in most u s cities wholesale prices spiked significantly for roughly 2 weeks following the hurricane however in cities where this spike was particularly large retail margins remained higher than in other cities for nearly 2 months high retail margins dissipated more quickly after the hurricane in cities where competition between stations tends to generate cyclical retail price fluctuations independent of wholesale cost movements i discuss why prices may have fallen faster in cities exhibiting retail price cycles and present additional results identifying differences in market characteristics between cities with and without price cycles i find that cycling cities tend to have higher population density and have independent nonrefinery brand stations that are mor

modeling the co movements between crude oil and refined petroleum markets abstract in this paper we investigate two types of asymmetries i e the asymmetry in the lower and upper tail dependences and the asymmetry in the propagation of crisis bubble between crude oil market and refined petroleum markets based on copula models thirteen copula models with different types of dependence structures and time varying dependence parameters are considered we find that in general the malm copula fits our sample data best based on aic criterion we find that lower and upper tail dependences are both positive indicating that crude oil and refined product markets tend to move together using the asymmetric copulas we find asymmetry in tail dependence between crude oil and heating oil returns and that between crude oil and jet fuel returns interestingly upper tail dependence is significantly greater than the lower tail dependence for the pre crisis period while the result is reversed for the post crisis period finally although our data prefers the nonexchangeable malm copula the asymmetry in the propagation of crisis bubble between crude oil and refined product returns is very weak

price asymmetry in the dutch retail gasoline market abstract this article analyses the retail price adjustments in the dutch gasoline market we estimate an asymmetric error correction model on weekly price changes for the years 1996 2001 we construct five datasets one for each working day the conclusions on asymmetric pricing are shown to differ over these datasets suggesting that the choice of the day for which the prices are observed matters more than commonly believed in our view the insufficient robustness of the outcomes might explain the mixed conclusions found in the literature using these two approaches we also show that the effect of asymmetry on the dutch consumer costs is negligible

causes for an asymmetric relation between the price of crude oil and refined petroleum products we revisit the issue of asymmetries in the relation between the price of crude oil and refined petroleum products in the united states an econometric analysis of monthly data indicates that the asymmetric relation between the price of crude oil and motor gasoline is generated by refinery utilization rates and inventory behavior the asymmetric relation between the price of crude oil and home heating oil probably is generated by contractual arrangements between retailers and consumers together these results imply that price asymmetries may be generated by efficient markets under these conditions there is little justification for policy interventions to reduce or eliminate price asymmetries in motor gasoline and home heating oil markets

testing for asymmetric pricing in the canadian retail gasoline market abstract this paper applies a threshold regression model to test for asymmetric pricing in the retail gasoline market in canada using weekly data for the period january 1990 to december 1996 we present results for 13 canadian cities for both premium and regular gasoline within the context of an error correction model we test for the presence of asymmetric price behaviour using average changes in crude prices as well as various lags for the change in crude as possible thresholds we are unable to find any evidence to support this view

price discrimination and retail configuration the hypothesis that price discrimination based on willingness to pay for quality can occur in multifirm markets is confirmed using microdata on gasoline retailing a test that discriminates between price structures associated with discrimination and with cost driven competitive differentials is developed and implemented with controls for variation in outlet and market characteristics a second test based on profitability variation rejects a competitive peak load pricing explanation for the observed price dispersion the data suggest that price discrimination at the retail level adds at least 9 a gallon to the average price of full service gasoline

retail price cycles and the presence of small firms abstract in many canadian cities retail gasoline prices remain unchanged for weeks at a time while in other cities retail prices cycle increasing sharply and declining slowly in maskin and tirole econometrica 56 1988 571 both price cycles and rigid prices can exist in equilibrium in this article i demonstrate that the existence of these equilibria is dependent on the number of retail outlets operated by the firms constant price equilibria are found to exist only when firms are of similar size however cycle equilibria can be constructed for a wide range of relative sizes

rockets and feathers the asymmetric speed of adjustment of uk retail gasoline prices to cost changes abstract the paper develops a quadratic quantity adjustment model to test the hypothesis put forward in the recent monopolies and mergers commission report that the speed of adjustment of uk retail gasoline prices to cost changes is more rapid when costs rise than when they fall and that the adjustment path is more concentrated around the mean value on the upswing using data from 1982 to 1989 evidence of faster and more concentrated responses to cost increases were found

the role of copulas in the housing crisis abstract due to its simplicity and familiarity the gaussian copula is popular in calculating risk in collaterized debt obligations but it imposes asymptotic independence such that extreme events appear to be unrelated this restriction might be innocuous in normal times but during extreme events such as the housing crisis the gaussian copula might be inappropriate this paper explores various copula specifications and finds that the degree to which housing prices are related based on the gaussian copula is too small compared with real housing price data

path dependency and input substitution implications for energy policy modelling in most policy oriented energy models the effectiveness of energy policy instruments crucially depends both on the values of the substitution elasticities between the various inputs and on the rates of technological progress in this paper we argue that due to the fixed cost nature of adjustments to relative price changes these technological parameters are affected by past developments failing to account for the role of history will result in biased parameter estimates and hence the implication for energy policy modelling is that the estimation period should be carefully selected we provide an empirical illustration using data for the netherlands

assessing energy price induced improvements in efficiency of capital in oecd manufacturing industries to assess how capital stocks adapt to energy price changes it is necessary to account for the impacts on different vintages of capital and to account separately for price induced and autonomous improvements in the energy efficiency of capital stock the results of econometric analysis for five manufacturing industries in 19 oecd countries between 1990 and 2005 indicate that higher energy prices resulted in smaller energy use due to both improved energy efficiency of capital stock and reduced demand for the energy input the investment response to energy prices varied considerably across manufacturing industries being more significant in energy intensive sectors the results of policy simulations indicate that a carbon tax can deliver significant reductions in energy consumption in the medium run with modest declines in energy using capital stock

price dynamics in a vertical sector the case of butter we develop a reduced form model of price transmission in a vertical sector allowing for refined asymmetric contemporaneous and lagged own and cross price effects under time varying volatility the model is used to investigate the wholesale retail price dynamics in the u s butter market the analysis documents the nature of nonlinear price dynamics in a vertical sector it finds strong evidence of asymmetric retail price responses both in the short term and the longer term but only weak evidence of asymmetric wholesale price responses asymmetric retail responses play a major role in generating a skewed distribution of butter prices the empirical results indicate the presence of imperfect competition at the retail level

incorporating discontinuous preferences into the analysis of discrete choice experiments data from a discrete choice experiment on improvements of rural landscape attributes are used to investigate the implications of discontinuous preferences on willingness to pay estimates using a multinomial error component logit model we explore differences in scale and unexplained variance between respondents with discontinuous and continuous preferences and condition taste intensities on whether or not each attribute was considered by the respondent during the evaluation of alternatives results suggest that significant improvements in model performance can be achieved when discontinuous preferences are accommodated in the econometric specification and that the magnitude and robustness of the willingness to pay estimates are sensitive to discontinuous preferences

asymmetric cost pass through empirical evidence on the role of market power search and menu costs abstract we estimate cost pass through rates based on data for store level retail prices and wholesale costs for up to 90 different brands of milk sold in 327 retail stores across germany the abundance of the data allows us to identify heterogeneity in pass through across retailers and relate it to underlying explanatory factors such as retailer market power measures of consumer search and menu costs results from a threshold error correction process clearly provide empirical support for the rockets and feathers phenomenon prices increase more quickly than they decrease in contrast to much of the existing literature which explains the rockets and feathers phenomenon as a result of retailers exercising market power we find the opposite result the degree of asymmetry in prices is negatively related to market power decreases with the lerner index our measure of cross product search costs does not account for observable differences in asymmetric cost pass through rates between products the rockets and feathers observation is better explained by product specific differences in menu costs mistake costs and costs associated with stock outs which can lead to a loss of consumer goodwill

public and expert preference divergence evidence from a choice experiment of marine reserves in australia this study investigates whether public and expert preferences diverge in a valuation of two marine reserves in western australia identical choice experiments are applied to a sample of marine scientists and the western australian community evidence of both divergence and convergence between public and expert values is found with public awareness factors helping to explain differences of opinion this result implies that in instances of divergence it may be preferable to support potential environmental policies through community awareness campaigns rather than using uninformed public preferences in policy design

futures market backwardation under risk neutrality j m keynes first introduced the theory of normal backwardation in futures markets in the language of british commodities markets a backwardation is an excess of the spot price over futures prices as is well known keynes suggested that this might be explained as a risk premium less well known is that keynes actually proposed two distinct theories of backwardation of these two theories of backwardation the latter has recently received much attention the purpose of this paper is to formalize keynes first theory his liquid stocks theory with an eye to its eventual empirical test we follow the recent formalizations of the risk premium theory by assuming the existence of perfectly competitive asset markets to emphasize the differences between the two theories however we assume that there are well funded risk neutral investors thus risk premia cannot explain backwardation under our assumptions instead backwardations arise because of interactions between equilibrium in the commodities exchange both in spot and futures trading and the production consumption and storage decisions taken on the real side of the economy

lumpy price adjustments a microeconometric analysis based on a reduced form state dependent pricing model with random thresholds we specify and estimate a nonlinear panel data model with an unobserved factor representing the common cost or demand components of the unobserved optimal price using this model we are able to assess the relative importance of common and idiosyncratic shocks in explaining the frequency and magnitude of price changes in the case of a wide variety of consumer products in belgium and france we find that the mean level and variability of the random thresholds are key for explaining differences across products in the frequency of price changes we also find that the idiosyncratic shocks represent the most important driver of the magnitude of price changes supplementary materials for this article are available online

sticky prices inventories and market power in wholesale gasoline markets a model with costly adjustment of production and costly inventories implies that wholesale gasoline prices will respond with a lag to crude oil cost shocks unlike explanations that rely upon menu costs imperfect information or long term buyer seller relationships this model predicts that futures prices for gasoline will adjust incompletely to crude oil price shocks that occur close to the expiration date of the futures contract we test and confirm this implication examining wholesale price responses in 188 gasoline markets we also find that firms with market power adjust prices more slowly than do competitive firms consistent with the model

vertical relationships and competition in retail gasoline markets empirical evidence from contract changes in southern california comment this study examines how much if any of the differences in retail gasoline prices between markets is attributable to differences in the composition of vertical contract types at gasoline stations in each market the purchase of the independent retail gasoline chain thrifty by arco provides a unique opportunity to examine the effects of changes in different vertical contract types on local retail prices this event caused sharp changes in the market share of i fully vertically integrated stations and ii independent stations differentially affecting local markets in the los angeles and san diego metropolitan areas using unique and detailed station level data this study examines how these sharp changes affected local retail prices the detailed data and the research design based on the thrifty station conversions allow for credible estimation of the effects of the market share of independent retailers and vertically integrated retailers on local market prices controlling for any omitted factors at the station level and the city level over time results for the los angeles and san diego metropolitan areas indicate that a decrease in the market share of independent stations has a significant positive impact on local retail price however a change in the market share of refiner owned and operated branded stations does not have a significant impact on local market price these results have important implications as policy makers consider the regulation of vertical contracts as a means to increase competition in gasoline markets the research design and detailed data also allow for inference on the underlying nature of retail gasoline competition

retail gasoline price dynamics and local market power using monthly data from the 48 contiguous states except nevada for the 1988 2002 period it is shown that retail gasoline prices respond faster to wholesale price increases than to equivalent wholesale price decreases moreover markets with high average retail wholesale margins experience a slower adjustment and a more asymmetric response since gasoline is the only variable input average margins in a state likely reflect the degree of retail market power this suggests that sticky prices and response asymmetries in the gasoline market are at least partially a consequence of retail market power

selling costs and switching costs explaining retail gasoline margins recent theoretical work has shown that price discrimination can take place in imperfectly competitive as well as monopoly markets the persistence of higher retail margins on unleaded than on leaded gasoline during the 1980s suggests that discrimination may occur even in very competitive markets this article studies a number of cost based explanations for such gasoline pricing as well as the possibility of price discrimination the analysis indicates that gas stations discriminate against groups of customers who are less likely to switch to another station the conclusions highlight the influence of shopping or search costs on pricing decisions even in markets thought to be quite competitive

fuel subsidies versus market power is there a countervailing second best optimum fuel subsidies distort end use prices below cost resulting in overconsumption and huge environmental cost on the other hand the mark up over cost due to the exercise of market power results in the social loss of consumer surplus we open a new line of inquiry into the potential for a market based solution from these two countervailing forces can the two offsetting distortions conceivably achieve a second best optimum relying on dynamic panel techniques and gasoline market data for 68 developing countries we uncover an excessive second best subsidy offset to market power mark up on the order of 4 5 our results indicate that the potential for policy failure strongly exceeds the potential for market failure in our model and gasoline prices across our sample may not be aligned with vigorous anti climate change policy

price rigidity in the downstream petroleum industry in new zealand where does it happen this paper examines the pricing behaviour of the downstream petroleum product market in new zealand using multivariate error correction models the unique feature of these models is the use of actual weekly wholesale and retail prices of diesel and unleaded petrol to measure the relative rigidity of domestic prices the results suggest that price adjustments in domestic markets in response to price changes in world crude oil markets and refined product markets are very weak domestic wholesale prices appear to be the key variable in determining retail prices lack of competition in the wholesale sector is found to be the main reason for weak price adjustments

dynamic pricing in retail gasoline markets supergame models of tacit collusion show that supportable price cost margins increase with expected future collusive profits ceteris paribus as a result collusive margins will be larger when demand is expected to increase or marginal costs are expected to decline using panel data on sales volume and gasoline prices in 43 cities over 72 months we find behavior consistent with tacit collusion in retail gasoline markets controlling for current demand and cost current margins increase with expected next month demand and decrease with expected next month cost the results are not consistent with intertemporal l inkages due to inventory behavior or customer loyalty

search with learning from prices does increased inflationary uncertainty lead to higher markups aggregate cost uncertainty arising from real shocks or unanticipated inflation reduces the informativeness of prices by scrambling relative and aggregate variations but when agents can acquire additional information such increased noise may in fact lead them to become better informed and price competition will intensify we examine these issues in a model of search with learning where consumers search optimally from an unknown price distribution while firms price optimally given consumers search rules we show that the decisive factor in whether inflation variability increases or reduces the incentive to search and thereby market efficiency is the size of informational costs

price regulation and relative price convergence evidence from the retail gasoline market in canada this paper explores price regulation and relative price convergence in the canadian retail gasoline market we use monthly data 2000 2010 on retail gasoline prices in 60 canadian cities to investigate i whether the retail gasoline market in canada has experienced a relative price convergence to the mean which is expected given the increased economic integration across canadian provinces and ii whether the introduction of price regulation mechanisms in new brunswick and nova scotia in july 2006 had any impact on the price convergence in these provinces we use a nonlinear panel unit root test and find solid evidence that canadian retail gasoline markets are well integrated across locales however the share of converging cities reveals a significant decline since july of 2006 the impact of price regulation on price convergence is mixed our results indicate that since the enactment of the regulation in all new brunswick cities 9 included in the dataset gasoline prices converge to the national mean volatility of price is also significantly reduced in contrast in the wake of price regulation in nova scotia all 6 cities of the province are non convergent to the mean with increased volatility and overall price level

analysing households responsiveness towards socio economic determinants of residential electricity consumption in singapore abstract the research of household electricity use is still relatively new for singapore where apart from some government surveys and sparingly available papers not much has been done to understand the underlying socio economic determinants that affect residents energy demand here we seek to quantify price and income elasticities as well as provide reasonable justification for price asymmetry in singapore using a panel approach across dwelling types and geographical areas we find that households do not react much to prices and that price elasticities may decrease as income rises there is also some evidence of price asymmetry with surprising results putting responsiveness towards price decreases larger than price increases this points towards similar behavioural patterns with the rebound effect for household energy efficiency if found present in future studies our findings suggest that there will only be positive responses towards dynamic pricing and higher churn rates if more transparent information is provided on related cost savings when households are exposed to retail choice in the electricity market after full retail competition is introduced in 2018 in addition a large role will have to come from cultivating the young to engage in sustainable practices to achieve energy efficiency targets

a theory of quality related differences in retail margins why there is a premium on premium gasoline this paper develops a theory of vertical and horizontal product differentiation to explain observed price cost margin differentials for goods that differ in quality the difference in price cost margins between the high and low quality goods is shown to depend positively on consumers average valuation for incremental increases in quality and positively on the distance to each competitor s closest rival these predictions are largely supported using an extensive station level data set of premium and regular unleaded gasoline prices from the los angeles basin area from 1992 1995

dynamic pricing in the spanish gasoline market a tacit collusion equilibrium abstract during the last twenty years the spanish petrol market has undergone an intensive restructuration process it has changed from being a state owned monopoly to total liberalization and privatization this liberalization process was accompanied by measures that facilitated the creation of a national champion the repsol group which is a huge vertically integrated company with a high market share in all the industry s segments using a dynamic model this paper analyses whether the prices established by companies in the spanish gasoline market after the restructuration process fits with a tacit collusion equilibrium the empirical results show that a strategic behaviour of companies occurs and is compatible with a tacit collusion price strategy so the restructuration process does not seem to have introduced effective competition into the spanish gasoline market

willingness to pay for agricultural land preservation and policy process attributes does the method matter this article examines relationships between willingness to pay for land preservation and policy process attributes the approach departs from traditional welfare assessments in that it does not constrain attributes of the policy process to be utility neutral results indicate policy process attributes may influence utility in some circumstances even after controlling for the influence of land use outcomes often correlated with specific policy techniques results further imply that in some cases even comprehensive specification of land use outcomes by stated preference instruments may be insufficient to prevent systematic shifts in willingness to pay related to unspecified yet assumed policy process attributes

2 00 gas studying the effects of a gas tax moratorium there are surprisingly few estimates of the effects of sales taxes on retail prices especially at the firm level we consider the temporary suspension and subsequent reinstatement of the gasoline sales tax in illinois and indiana following a price spike in 2000 earlier laws set the timing of the reinstatements providing plausibly exogenous changes in the tax rates using a unique dataset of daily prices at the gas station level 70 of the tax suspension is passed on to consumers in the form of lower prices while 80 100 of the tax reinstatements are passed on to consumers some evidence suggests that these short run pass through estimates are smaller near the state borders with the tax reinstatements associated with relatively higher prices up to an hour s drive into neighboring states

extreme dependence in price transmission analysis abstractwe propose a generalized procedure that combines conventional price transmission analysis with copula based dynamic tail dependence to examine price relationships under extreme conditions this approach is used to examine ukrainian wheat markets where export restrictions combined with price surges 2006 2008 and 2010 2012 have contributed to a turbulent market the results indicate that domestic prices were effectively insulated from world price shocks but that a rocket and feathers price relation held between domestic flour and wheat prices these asymmetric price co movements changed with the degree of restrictiveness of the export prohibitions

taxes cost and demand shifters as determinants in the regional gasoline price formation process evidence from spain abstract this paper examines the pass through of regional tax changes and spot price variations to regional gasoline prices in spain it also analyzes the impact of all major cost and demand shifters that contribute to regional gasoline price formation to address these research issues a reduced form price equation using monthly time series cross sectional tscs data from january 2004 through december 2008 is estimated strong and consistent evidence of full shifting of regional tax changes to regional gasoline prices is found gasoline spot price changes are more than proportionally passed through to retail prices in addition the empirical evidence shows on the one hand that regional gasoline price differences before taxes continue to be quite narrow and on the other hand that there is still a margin for larger gasoline price differences among regions this suggest that traditional practices from the monopoly era i e relatively uniform regional gasoline prices persist after the market has been liberalized which may have been facilitated by the strong and uniform presence of the major spanish based refining companies in the retail sector over the whole country

asymmetric price adjustments in us gasoline markets impacts of spatial dependence on the rockets and feathers hypothesis gasoline retail prices show sometimes wild asymmetric fluctuations over time we explore the impact of spatial dependence on gasoline retail price formation by using for the first time an asymmetr

when do consumers search this paper provides empirical evidence relating search to price movements we measure consumer search directly from traffic statistics for web sites that report gasoline prices we show empirically that consumers search more as prices rise than they do when prices fall asymmetric search patterns have consequences for price behavior our findings indicate that retail margins are squeezed by increased search in addition we show that there is more price dispersion when prices are falling than when prices are either stable or rising our results provide a search based explanation for the rockets and feathers phenomenon of asymmetric price adjustment

assessing the role of futures position substitutability in a monthly slaughtered pork factor demand by us processors a cointegrated var model approach abstractthis article combines cointegrated var modelling with basic neoclassical production microeconomics in a new way that tests for and illuminates the empirical nature of the monthly us pork processing sector s factor demand for slaughtered pork statistical evidence strongly suggests that the us pork processing sector has a hicksian cobb douglas slaughtered pork demand that arises from applying shephard s lemma to the sector s cost function and that us pork processors treat slaughtered pork and related futures positions as close factor substitutes in the wake of major and ongoing futures market events and trends this study establishes and statistically tests a theoretical link between futures price movements and impacts on the underlying slaughtered pork market through monthly formation of us pork processors factor demand for slaughtered pork evidence suggests that demand agents shift between demands for the two substitutes based on movements in the slaughter futures price ratio that results in

pass through in a concentrated industry empirical evidence and regulatory implications we estimate pass through with thirty years of data from a concentrated industry the empirical model accounts for oligopoly interactions yet facilitates estimation with aggregate price data robust statistical evidence supports that industry wide cost changes are more than completely transmitted downstream and that this industry pass through is largely unaected by competitive conditions the industry in question portland cement is a major focus of environmental and antitrust regulators we use our pass through estimates to i evaluate the welfare consequences of marketbased co2 regulation ii predict the magnitude and location of price eects due to a merger under review by antitrust authorities and iii corroborate the simulation based analysis of the epa regarding its impending regulation of local pollutants

taxation and the asymmetric adjustment of selected retail energy prices in the uk this paper investigates the adjustment of the prices of four key petroleum products in the uk following changes in the price of crude oil we find significant evidence that the pre tax prices of diesel kerosene and gas oil adjust more rapidly in an upward than a downward direction but that the pre tax price of unleaded petrol adjusts symmetrically however these patterns are obscured at the pump once one accounts for fuel duty and value added tax raising the possibility that firms can use the tax system to conceal rent seeking behaviour

asymmetric price adjustment cross industry evidence several studies document asymmetric price adjustment in gasoline and agricultural markets do these results extend to other subsectors of the economy this paper investigates the existence of asymmetric price adjustment in 269 6 digit north american industrial classification system naics industries using quarterly financial data from 1966 2006 results which are consistent with the previous literature show that positive price asymmetry is frequent in nondurable goods and natural resource manufacturing however price asymmetry is not readily evident in mining durable goods manufacturing and service sectors the differing results may best be explained by theoretical explanations of price asymmetry based on inventory management

from oil to consumer energy prices how much asymmetry along the way abstract a longstanding question in macroeconomics is whether fuel prices react more to increases than to decreases of the price of oil this paper analyzes the response of weekly gasoline and gasoil prices to oil prices in the u s the euro area and the four largest euro area countries germany france italy and spain using nonlinear impulse response functions and forecast accuracy tests while for the u s both approaches point to the presence of asymmetries in the adjustment of retail prices for the euro area the evidence is mixed

exploring the life of fuel price responses in retail markets the effect of cross sectional aggregation abstract empirical studies on vertical price transmission in retail fuel markets commonly use average group data of petrol stations in this paper a simulation approach is employed to illustrate that in this case the persistence of price responses tends to be overestimated to explore the real extent of the problem we apply the mean group mg and the mean group with common correlated effects mg cce estimators to individual data from petrol stations when heterogeneity in the pricing dynamics is captured by mg and mg cce estimators persistence of retail price responses becomes considerably lower than the typical ols estimations from average group data would suggest

causality in quantiles and dynamic relations in energy markets de tails matter abstract in this article we investigate the dynamic relations between crude oil price returns and a set of energy price returns namely diesel gasoline heating and the natural gas this is performed by means of granger non causality tests for us closing spot prices over the period from january 1997 to december 2017 in previous studies this has been done by testing for the added predictive value of including lagged returns of one energy price in predicting the conditional expectation of another in this paper we instead focus on different ranges of the full conditional distribution and thus market states within the framework of a dynamic quantile regression model and identify the quantile ranges from which causality arises the results constitute a richer set of findings than what is possible by just considering a single moment of the conditional distribution which can be useful for implementing better substitution investment strategies and effective policy interventions we find several interesting uni directional dynamic relations between the employed energy price returns especially in the tail quantiles but also bi directional causal relations between energy price returns for which the classical granger non causality test suggests otherwise our results are robust to alternative measures of the price of oil and different data frequencies

growth and volatility of tax revenues in latin america against the backdrop of high macroeconomic instability and the need to meet the demands of public spending we analyze the trade off between growth and volatility of tax revenues in latin america short run and long run elasticities for a sample of 11 economies are estimated accounting for state dependent asymmetric reactions controlling for composition of revenue sources and other idiosyncrasies we find revenues above below its long run equilibrium to react stronger weaker to business cycle dynamics our detailed elasticity estimates can give some orientation on how to stably reach higher tax levels on the way to develop an adequate internal tax system

inventories as an asset the volatility of copper prices the spot price of copper metal is known to be extremely volatile from 1958 to 1980 the mean monthly average price was 0 49 per pound in constant 1967 dollars while the standard deviation of month to month changes in the real price was 0 06 claims to copper inventories are traded on the london metal exchange lme a competitive world asset market this paper empirically investigates the dynamics of copper spot prices on the lme focusing on the rate of return to holding copper metal and on the implications of inventory stockouts for this rate of return we make one major departure from the standard economic theory of exhaustible resources 2 instead of assuming constant short run marginal cost srmc we incorporate rising srmc of extraction into the model 3 this technological assumption provides an economic motive for production smoothing by holding inventories equilibrium inventory holdings ameliorates rising srmc by moving extraction to low srmc time periods we show that this amelioration is imperfect because of inventory stockouts when stockouts can occur the spot price of a resource reflects transient shocks to its scarcity value as well as permanent shifts more specifically the economic motive for inventory holding affects the equilibrium price dynamics of exhaustible resources in two ways first as long as positive inventories are being held their holders should earn the competitive rate of return thus the price of extracted resource should rise at the rate of interest in expected value this result differs from most recent theoretical studies of exhaustible resources which conclude that price minus marginal extraction cost should rise at the rate of

asymmetric responses in the timing and magnitude of changes in australian monthly petrol prices to daily oil price changes abstract this article investigates whether uncompetitive pricing tactics are being employed in the retail petrol market in australia through examining the effect of a change in daily oil prices on monthly petrol prices to do so we incorporate asymmetry into the coefficients of a normalised beta weighting function within an asymmetric mixed data sampling amidas framework this enables us to examine both the timing and the lagged marginal effects of a change in retail petrol prices in response to a change in the oil price we find evidence of asymmetries in both the timing and magnitude of retail petrol prices to a change in the oil price specifically we find that while price falls are slowly and symmetrically passed onto consumers price increases are more delayed but higher in intensity over time depending on the capital city when retailers eventually do increase petrol prices in response to an oil price rise with delay the price rise is between 2 1 and 3 4 times more than when retailers reduce petrol prices in response to a fall in the price of oil this finding is consistent with retailers delaying substantial petrol price rises in order to mask the existence of uncompetitive practices

the effects of oil prices on the price indices in taiwan international or domestic oil prices matter abstract this study employs the multivariate threshold model developed by tsay 1998 to examine the effects of international and domestic oil prices on the price indices in taiwan using monthly data from january 1999 to december 2011 the results show that changes in domestic oil prices do not granger cause changes in the price indices when the oil price change exceeds the threshold level however international oil price shocks still affect the wholesale price index through the effects of announcement and expectation therefore controlling domestic oil prices to prevent volatility in the price indices is ineffective if we focus on the period when the left wing party is in power we also find that changes in international oil prices have more critical effects on the price indices than changes in domestic oil prices however the lead lag relationship between changes in domestic oil prices and changes in the price indices vanishes except with respect to the transportation category where the consumer price index is affected by domestic oil prices this result may be due to the government s extensive intervention in setting oil prices

econometric models of asymmetric price transmission abstract in this paper we review the existing empirical literature on price asymmetries in commodities providing a way to classify and compare different studies that are highly heterogeneous in terms of econometric models type of asymmetries and empirical findings relative to the previous literature this paper is novel in several respects first it presents a detailed and updated survey of the existing empirical contributions on price asymmetries in the transmission mechanism linking input prices to output prices second this paper presents an extension of the traditional distinction between long run and short run asymmetries to new categories of asymmetries such as contemporaneous impact distributed lag effect cumulated impact reaction time equilibrium and momentum equilibrium adjustment path regime effect regime equilibrium adjustment path each empirical study is then critically discussed in the light of this new classification of asymmetries third this paper evaluates the relative merits of the most popular econometric models for price asymmetries namely autoregressive distributed lags partial adjustments error correction models regime switching and vector autoregressive models finally we use the meta regression analysis to investigate whether the results of asymmetry tests are not model invariant and find which additional factors systematically influence the rejection of the null hypothesis of symmetric price adjustment the main results of our survey can be summarized as follows i each econometric model is specialized to capture a subset of asymmetries ii each asymmetry is better investigated by a subset of econometric models iii the general significance of the f test for asymmetric price transmission depends mainly on characteristics of the data dynamic specification of the econometric model and market characteristics overall our empirical findings confirm that asymmetry in all its forms is very likely to occur in a wide range of markets and econometric models

the impact of information on environmental commodity valuation decisions a conceptual model is developed which provides insight into how information affects willingness to pay for environmental commodities a refutable hypothesis of the effects of a specific information type on the magnitude of willingness to pay for an environmental commodity is developed this hypothesis is tested using a contingent valuation method experiment results indicate that information affects willingness to pay in a theoretically plausible manner the results support the contention that information is important for accurate environmental commodity consumer valuations

new evidence on asymmetric gasoline price responses in a 1997 paper borenstein cameron and gilbert bcg claim that gasoline prices rise quickly following an increase in the price of crude oil but fall slowly following a decrease this note estimates an error correction model with daily spot gasoline and crude oil price data over the period 1985 1998 and finds no evidence of asymmetry in wholesale gasoline prices the sources of the difference in results are twofold first we use the standard engle granger two step estimation procedure whereas bcg used a nonstandard estimation methodology second even using bcg s nonstandard specification the use of daily rather than weekly data yields little evidence of price asymmetry

difference in preferences or multiple preference orderings comparing choices of environmental bureaucrats recreational anglers and the public abstract do environmental protection agency epa bureaucrats represent the general public or are they more in line with an interest group we study preferences for environmental policy using a choice experiment ce on three populations the general public swedish epa bureaucrats and recreational anglers we also test for existence of multiple preference orderings half of the respondents were asked to choose the alternatives that best corresponded with their opinion and the other half was asked to take the role of a policy maker and make recommendations for environmental policy the sepa bureaucrats have the highest marginal willingness to pay mwtp to improve environmental quality differences in mwtp are robust and not due to differences in socio economic characteristics across the populations we only found weak evidence of multiple preference orderings

do prices respond asymmetrically to cost changes this article investigates price asymmetry by using an almost complete sample of taiwanese industries to see whether output prices respond faster to cost increases than they do to decreases in contrast with the earlier literature the evidence shows that positive price asymmetry cannot be applied to all industries especially those industries with rapid productivity growth the evidence also indicates that firms exhibiting fast slow productivity growth see their prices react less more to cost increases than to cost decreases

regulated and unregulated substitutes aversion effects of an ethanol mandate i introduction regulation is a tool policymakers can use to steer markets away from private outcomes deemed to be socially suboptimal or inefficient regulations work either by altering market incentives or changing consumers choice sets as they attempt to reshape or restrict private market equilibria they can sometimes lead to unexpected consumer reactions and unanticipated consequences such as higher consumer costs or reduced effectiveness in meeting goals the extent to which a regulation can have adverse and unanticipated consequences depends on the nature and design of the regulation in this article we highlight a case where the design of an unpopular and hurried regulation led to especially adverse consequences the case is that of the recent ethanol mandate in the state of new south wales nsw australia ethanol mandates have become popular with legislators over the past decade and currently 62 countries have some form of one grfa 2014 a typical mandate requires producers to blend a certain percentage or certain volume of ethanol into the overall supply of gasoline the u s mandate for example requires 18 2 billion gallons of renewable fuels primarily ethanol be blended into the gasoline supply in 2014 up from 16 6 billion in 2013 epa 2013 the european union mandate requires 5 75 renewable fuels in gasoline by 2010 and 10 by 2020 eu 2003 2009 ethanol mandates have been controversial however griffin 2013 grafton kompas and van long 2012 rodriguez et al 2009 serra and zilberman 2013 westbrook et al 2014 and others proponents argue they help slow greenhouse gas accumulation promote renewable energy and reduce dependence on foreign oil they also point out benefits to the domestic farming and ethanol production industries which is sometimes a goal in itself critics on the other hand question their environmental value the need for fossil fuel replacement the lower energy yield and potential for food price inflation when crops grown for food are converted to ethanol use carter rausser and smith 2013 1 they also point out that ethanol blends tend to be more expensive for consumers on an energy adjusted basis than unblended gasoline mandates tend to be on net unpopular with consumers 2 an important consideration when transitioning to a new ethanol mandate or a higher ethanol blend under an existing mandate is ensuring compatibility with the vehicle fleet ethanol is an alcohol and in higher concentrations can be corrosive to engine valves seals and gaskets in older vehicles not designed with ethanol s properties in mind an option many jurisdictions have used in implementing ethanol mandates is to limit the ethanol blend to a level tested and widely believed to be compatible with the vast majority of vehicles on the road in the united states and canada for example a 10 blend has been implemented almost universally while a 5 blend has been used universally in many european countries if regulators instead deem that higher blends are desirable another option is to mandate that newly built vehicles be compatible with the new higher blend and then implement the fuel mandate once the vehicle fleet has largely turned over however vehicle turnover can take decades and this approach has not been as popular with regulators a third option that has found some favor is to introduce a higher ethanol blend that a majority of vehicles can use while still making the previous possibly ethanol free blend available as long as there are those who still need it in principle this dual blend approach promises to accommodate more aggressive ethanol mandates and lead to more ethanol in the fuel supply more quickly however we show that this kind of dual blend or selective mandate in its efforts to hurry ethanol blending beyond the capabilities of the vehicle fleet as a whole or beyond the confidence of consumers in its safety can have severe negative consequences

lags in the response of gasoline prices to changes in crude oil prices the role of short term and long term shocks abstract using weekly data for the period march 1991 to august 2002 we estimate the response of retail gasoline prices to changes in crude oil and spot gasoline prices in the us allowing for a possibility of two types of cost shocks to the gasoline market long term and short term shocks our conclusion is that theoretical models should be developed that allow more than one type of input price changes and the different effect of input price changes on output prices the empirical results support the conjecture of two types of cost shocks as such we find that lags in the response of retail gasoline prices to changes in crude oil prices may be due to the fact that approximately 97 of changes in crude oil prices are viewed as short term by the market participants when two types of shocks are considered there is large difference between the cumulative response function of gasoline prices to long term and short term shocks to crude oil prices as such this paper adds to our understanding of the price stickiness of gasoline prices

an empirical characterization of the dynamic effects of police spending on violent and property crime the study estimates the dynamic effects of shocks to police expenditures on measures of violent and property crime rates using annual u s state level data for the period 1960 2015 we employ a structural panel var model and achieve identification by imposing the restriction that police spending responds to structural shocks to crime with at least a lag of 1 year results indicate that a shock to police spending leads to a persistent and significant decreases in violent and property crime rates and b significant and persistent negative impacts on crime rates in periods of high crime but little impacts in periods of low crime variance decompositions show that shocks to police spending account for moderate to large proportions of the variability of u s state level crime rates our findings are robust across separate measures of violent and property crime rates as well as to the inclusion of additional variables to the baseline panel var model jel k42

do gasoline prices respond asymmetrically in the euro zone area evidence from cointegrated panel data analysis this paper uses the generalized method of moments gmm estimation to a panel data error correction model ecm in order to measure the asymmetries in the transmission of shocks to input prices and exchange rate onto the wholesale and retail gasoline price respectively for this purpose we use an updated data set of 6369 weekly observations january 2000 to february 2011 for 11 euro zone countries the results indicate the existence of asymmetric responses in the retail and wholesale segment due to possible reasons oligopolistic structure of the refining industry existence of consumers search costs regulatory and legal barriers

do petrol prices rise faster than they fall when the market shows significant disequilibria abstract this paper examines if the long run relationship between retail and wholesale petrol prices is subject to adjustment asymmetric behaviour using weekly australian data 2007 2012 across 111 locations a short run dynamic model is specified in which three feedback coefficients capture three different types of disequilibria large and positive large and negative small positive negative significant evidence of asymmetric behaviour is found in 28 locations which are mainly in tasmania queensland and new south wales in these locations when prices are conspicuously above the equilibrium path retailers sluggishly lower their prices but when prices are substantially below the equilibrium values the adjustment speed is significantly faster

skew and attribute non attendance within the bayesian mixed logit model abstract we investigate non attendance to choice set attributes and the accommodation of preference heterogeneity within the mixed logit model we propose a generalisation of the mixed logit enabling the degree of skew of marginal utility distributions to be estimated the implementation is bayesian with the marginal likelihood used as an arbiter of model performance we find strong evidence of skew in the distributions of marginal utilities for most attributes models incorporating skew are preferred in all cases the irrelevance of an attribute to significant numbers of respondents is a possible cause of such skew we test alternative empirical accommodations of self reported attribute non attendance ana and continue to find strong evidence of skew in the distributions of marginal utilities even having accounted for ana we find that contrary to some recent findings respondents who report having ignored an attribute typically do indeed have a zero marginal utility for that attribute

price response asymmetric information and competition we compare predictions from a theoretical model based on the structure of the main outdoor retail market in jerusalem with the results of an empirical analysis of price response to changes in cost we find that firms without adjacent competition exhibit both upward and downward price rigidity an outcome we ascribe to asymmetric information between the consumer and the firm given that previous studies have focused on downward price rigidities of firms with market power our findings highlight the importance of accounting for transitory information asymmetries between the consumer and the firm when studying price rigidity

using ex ante approaches to obtain credible signals for value in contingent markets evidence from the field while contingent valuation remains the only option available for measurement of total economic value of nonmarketed goods the method has been criticized due to its hypothetical nature we analyze field experimental data to evaluate two ex ante approaches to attenuating hypothetical bias directly comparing value statements across four distinct referenda hypothetical cheap talk consequential and real our empirical evidence suggests two major findings hypothetical responses are significantly different from real responses and responses in the consequential and cheap talk treatments are statistically indistinguishable from real responses we review the potential for each method to produce reliable results in the field

prices taxes and automotive fuel cross border shopping abstract the aim of the present paper is to determine whether differences in automotive fuel prices among neighboring autonomous communities i e spanish political administrative regions affect the decisions taken by individuals regarding the region in which to purchase fuel in particular the intention is to discover if price increases in certain autonomous communities as a result of the application of the regional tranche of the hydrocarbon retail sales tax hrst has affected fuel purchases in neighboring communities in order to achieve the above mentioned objectives the monthly purchases of automotive diesel in aragon between january 2001 and march 2007 is estimated from the fuel price in aragon the relation between prices in each of the bordering communities and aragon weighted by density of traffic the number of vehicles registered in that community and three dummy variables representative of the implementation of the regional tranche of the hrst in madrid catalonia and valencia the paper finds empirical evidence to demonstrate a positive effect of the relative prices in the neighboring communities and vehicle registrations and also a negative effect of prices in aragon upon the acquisition of diesel in this region in the case of catalonia some evidence suggests that the price effect may have been strengthened following the introduction of the regional tranche of the hrst in august 2004

perfect competition urbanization and tax incidence in the retail gasoline market i introduction in applied tax incidence studies it is typically assumed that prices respond one for one to changes in sales and excise taxes chernick and reschovsky 1997 pechman 1985 shepard 1976 state of wisconsin department of revenue 2004 wiese rose and schluter 1995 zupnick 1975 is this assumption reasonable despite the fundamental role of tax incidence in the study of public finance there is surprisingly little empirical analysis that sheds light on who bears the burden of taxes in this article we examine the incidence of state gasoline excise taxes using monthly price data for all 50 states in the united states over the period 1984 1999 our estimation results generally indicate full shifting of gasoline taxes to the final consumer with changes in gasoline taxes fully reflected in the tax inclusive gasoline price almost instantly we also find that the incidence of excise taxes depends on the competitiveness of retail gasoline markets e g urban vs rural markets gasoline markets in urban states typically exhibit full shifting but those in rural states demonstrate somewhat less than full shifting although the issue of sales and excise tax incidence has received considerable attention over the years most research has focused on tax incidence theory and the standard conclusion of much of this theoretical analysis is that consumers bear the full burden of any sales and excise taxes 1 based primarily on this theoretical foundation most applied incidence studies assume that sales and excise taxes are fully reflected in consumer prices and the distribution of tax burdens across income classes necessarily reflects this assumption however actual empirical testing of this assumption of full forward shifting has been surprisingly sparse 2 in important recent research poterba 1996 and besley and rosen 1999 have conducted empirical analyses of the incidence of excise taxes poterba 1996 uses city specific clothing and personal care price data covering the 1947 1977 and the 1925 1939 periods to examine the degree to which state and local retail sales taxes are shifted to consumers with two data sets based on bureau of labor statistics bls city specific consumer price indices using these bls data on tax inclusive prices poterba 1996 constructs quarterly price indices for each of 28 standard metropolitan statistical areas smsas many of these 28 smsas experienced significant changes in sales tax rates and poterba 1996 uses these tax shocks to determine the incidence of sales taxes his estimation results are somewhat variable but in general he finds for the postwar period that taxes are fully shifted to consumers in some cases he finds limited evidence of overshifting although it is never possible to reject the null hypothesis that prices rise point for point with the changes in the tax and he also finds that full shifting typically though not always occurs in the first quarter of the tax change poterba 1996 also examines tax incidence for individual smsas during the depression era and his results indicate significant differences across metropolitan areas in the degree of tax shifting for example prices on women s clothing in chicago show significant overshifting but atlanta shows negative shifting a result that does not seem plausible besley and rosen 1999 also examine the incidence of sales taxes using price data for 12 narrowly defined commodities in 155 different u s cities using quarterly price data for the period 1982 1990 issued by the american chamber of commerce researchers association accra 3 they not only find full shifting for a number of commodities but also find overshifting for more than half the products a result they attribute to imperfect competition in the retail sector while this recent empirical research has significantly expanded our understanding of the actual nature of sales and excise tax incidence we believe that our work here on gasoline excise taxes makes several contributions to the empirical literature

asymmetric fuel price responses under heterogeneity we explore the effect of cross sectional aggregation of data on estimation and test of asymmetric retail fuel price responses to wholesale price shocks the analysis is performed on data collected daily from individual fuel stations in the spanish metropolitan areas of madrid and barcelona while the standard ols estimator is applied to an error correction model in the case of the aggregated time series we use the mean group approaches developed by pesaran and smith 1995 and pesaran 2006 to estimate the short and long run micro relations under heterogeneity we found remarkable differences between the results of estimations using aggregated and disaggregated data which are highly robust to both datasets considered our findings could help to explain many of the results in the literature on this research topic on the one hand they suggest that the typical estimation with aggregated data clearly tends to overestimate the persistence of shocks on the other hand we show that aggregation may generate a loss of efficiency in econometric estimates that is sufficiently large to hide the existence of the rockets and feathers phenomenon

do petrol prices increase faster than they fall in market disequilibria abstract this paper tests the idea that petrol prices respond more quickly to price increases than to decreases we show that the results previously documented in the literature for australia are spurious due to failure to establish the stationarity property of the price series and the co integration relationship between retail and wholesale prices when neglecting to account for a regime shift in the data using a robust approach involving a threshold error correction model we find little evidence to support the contention that retail petrol price reverts asymmetrically to long run equilibrium asymmetric adjustments in retail prices are found only in four of the twenty eight retail gas stations in queensland these results cast doubt on the previously reported pervasiveness of this asymmetric price response phenomenon in australia we further caution on erroneous inference with the use of weekly rather than daily data and when failing to account for a regime shift in the data

rockets and feathers revisited an international comparison on european gasoline markets this paper re examines the issue of asymmetries in the transmission of shocks to crude oil prices onto the retail price of gasoline relative to the previous literature the distinguishing features of the present paper are i use of updated and comparable data to carry out an international comparison of gasoline markets ii two stage modeling of the transmission of oil price shocks to gasoline prices first refinery stage and second distribution stage in order to assess possible asymmetries at either one or both stages iii use of asymmetric error correction models to distinguish between asymmetries that arise from short run deviations in input prices and from the speed at which the gasoline price reverts to its long run level iv explicit possibly asymmetric role of the exchange rate as crude oil is paid for in dollars whereas gasoline sells for different sums of national currencies v bootstrapping of f tests of asymmetries in order to overcome the lowpower problem of conventional testing procedures in contrast to several previous findings the results generally point to widespread differences in both adjustment speeds and short run responses when input prices rise or fall

does realism matter in contingent valuation surveys the importance of stressing the realism or policy relevance of a contingent valuation cv survey is commonly recognized by cv researchers this paper focuses on the relationship between the probability that a subject s response will result in real consequences and the subject s accurate reporting of willingness to pay results from experiments support the argument that efforts to make contingent valuation surveys real are important however our results also suggest that the connection between the survey and the likelihood of a payment must be rather powerful before surveys generate accurate reporting of willingness to pay for a public good

asymmetric pass through of oil prices to gasoline prices with interval time series modelling abstract modelling and analyzing the pass through of crude oil prices to retail gasoline prices has received an increasing attention in existing literature however most of the ongoing efforts focus on point valued data which may suffer from the informational loss this paper first employs the threshold autoregressive interval valued tari models developed recently by sun et al 2018a to investigate this transmission and proposes a novel consistent interval based test to detect threshold effects and derives its asymptotic properties these interval based tari model and test superior to traditional point based methods can produce more efficient parameter estimation and more powerful inference due to the informational gain of interval data that is interval data simultaneously contain more information e g trend and volatility than point valued data during the same period empirical results suggest that retail gasoline prices are adjusted upwards faster than downwards and this short run asymmetry is statistically significant during the whole sample our findings reveal that both the level and volatility of oil prices have a positive impact on the price of gasoline which contributes to the asymmetries in the transmission of oil price shocks these results are robust before and after financial crisis furthermore it is interesting to find that after financial crisis both the error correction adjustment speeds and the asymmetries decrease

willingness to pay for unfamiliar public goods preserving cold water coral in norway the world s largest concentration of cold water coral cwc is found off the norwegian coast most cwc discoveries are recent posing new challenges for norwegian coastal and fishery authorities regarding the management of deep sea resources scientific knowledge of cwc is limited and many citizens have not even heard about them this creates problems for the application of the stated preference methods to capture their economic value and very few such studies have been conducted to fill this gap we designed a discrete choice experiment which was implemented in a valuation workshop setting in order to derive estimates of participants willingness to pay wtp for increasing the protection of cwc despite the fact that marine industries such as oil gas and fisheries could be adversely affected by cwc protection this did not reduce the respondents willingness to pay for further protection the possibility that cwcs play an important role as habitat for fish was the single most important variable to explain respondents wtp for cwc protection the survey revealed a high degree of preference heterogeneity while we found an average wtp for cwc protection in the range of eur 274 287

do gasoline prices respond asymmetrically to crude oil price changes the authors test and confirm that retail gasoline prices respond more quickly to increases than to decreases in crude oil prices among the possible sources of this asymmetry are production inventory adjustment lags and market power of some sellers by analyzing price transmission at different points in the distribution chain the authors attempt to shed light on these theories spot prices for generic gasoline show asymmetry in responding to crude oil price changes which may reflect inventory adjustment effects asymmetry also appears in the response of retail prices to wholesale price changes possibly indicating short run market power among retailers

oil price shocks and transportation firm asset prices abstract the transportation sector is a major user of oil based energy even as oil prices continue to fluctuate greatly the impact of oil price changes on transportation firms has heretofore not been adequately examined this paper fills this gap documenting important new findings based on analysis of over two decades of daily data on large changes in oil prices oil price shocks first while transportation firm returns are influenced negatively by oil price increases risks are increased more by oil price declines second firm characteristics are important with the market to book ratio being the most important firm characteristic and roa firm size and the prior run up in prices are also important in influencing oil price related returns betas variances and trading volumes third in the s p transportation sub sector industry concentration is negatively related to returns oil price risk and trading volume and asymmetrically related to returns and market betas these new findings enhance our understanding of the asset price impact of oil price shocks and should be of much interest to scholars corporate executives money managers regulators and policy makers