credit rationing and credit view empirical evidence from an ethical bank in italy attempts have been made in the empirical literature to identify credit rationing and its determinants using balance sheet data or evidence from corporate surveys however observational equivalence identification problems and interview biases are serious problems in these studies we analyze directly the determinants of credit rationing in credit files by examining the differencebetweentheamountsdemandedbyandsuppliedtoeachborrower as shown by official bank records our findings provide microeconomic evidence that supports the credit view hypothesis by showing that the european central bank refinancing rate is significantly and positively related to partial but not total credit rationing this finding is consistent with the hypothesis that this variable affects the total volume of bank loans

investment cash flow sensitivity and financial constraint a cluster analysis approach this article sheds light on the mixed empirical evidence concerning financial constraint and investment sensitivity to cash flow the literature suggests that measuring financial constraint is far from straightforward and we therefore propose a cluster analysis procedure to identify unambiguous groups of constrained firms we found the investment results to be highly sensitive to cash flow for financial constraint firms moreover in line with previous research our results showed that the traditional criteria used to identify financially constrained firms led to ambiguous interpretations overall our results propose that the cluster analysis can be used to encompass the various single criterion approaches thereby providing a finer measurement of the financial constraint construct and deeper insight into the relationship between investment sensitivity to cash flow and financial constraint

how robust are popular models of nominal frictions this paper analyzes three popular models of nominal price and wage frictions to determine which best ts post war u s data we construct a dynamic stochastic general equilibrium dsge model and use maximum likelihood to estimate each model s parameters because previous research nds that the conduct of monetary policy and the behavior of in ation changed in the early 1980s we examine two distinct sample periods using a bayesian pseudo odds measure as a means for comparison a sticky price and wage model with dynamic indexation best ts the data in the early sample period whereas either a sticky price and wage model with static indexation or a sticky information model best ts the data in the late sample period our results suggest that price and wage setting behavior may be sensitive to changes in the monetary policy regime if true the evaluation of alternative monetary policy rules may be even more complicated than previously believed

business groups and internal capital markets the recovery of the mexican economy in the aftermath of the 1995 crisis in the second half of the nineties the mexican economy experienced a severe financial crisis however as the initial panic subsided mexico started to show promising signals of macroeconomic recovery not only did the economy rebound within a year but also grew steadily afterward averaging an annual rate slightly above 5 during 1996 2000 in this article it is suggested that the business group structure helped in the recovery of the economy the collapse of the banking system and the interruption of financing flows through the domestic financial markets was overcome by a change in the firms capital structure firms when possible started to depend more on trade credit and the internal capital market of business groups created a financial cushion that kept the economy working in order to offer a rationale for the mexican experience a theoretical model is presented where it is shown that moral hazard problems are reduced within a business group as long as affiliated firms in the nontradable sector surrender control rights during periods of crisis copyright 2007 oxford university press

financial factors and investment in belgium france germany and the united kingdom a comparison using company panel data we construct company panel data sets for manufacturing firms in belgium france germany and the united kingdom covering the period 1978 1989 these data sets are used to estimate empirical investment equations and to investigate the role played by financial factors in each country a robust finding is that cash flow and profits terms appear to be both statistically and quantitatively more significant in the united kingdom than in the three continental european countries this is consistent with the suggestion that financial constraints on investment may be relatively severe in the more market oriented u k financial system

financial development and financing constraints international evidence from the structural investment model this article provides evidence that financial development impacts growth by reducing financing constraints that would otherwise distort efficient allocation of investment the financing constraints are inferred from the investment euler equation by assuming that the firm s stochastic discount factor is a function of the firm s financial position specifically the stock of liquid assets the magnitude of the changes in the cost of capital is twice as large in a country with a low level of financial development as in a country with an average level of financial development the size effect business cycles and legal environment effects are also considered copyright 2003 oxford university press

does infrastructure investment stimulate building supply the case of the english regions ball m and nanda a does infrastructure investment stimulate building supply the case of the english regions regional studies policies to improve infrastructure to stimulate regional growth remain common this paper investigates whether increases in infrastructure investment in the english regions lead to subsequent rises in new commercial and residential property using time series modelling both physical roads and harbours and social infrastructure education and health impacts are investigated hardly any infrastructure effects with respect to commercial property investment were found which raises doubts about whether extra infrastructure creates employment though some impact was related to residential building overall these results raise doubts about the supposed direct effects of infrastructure policies on regional jobs and growth

nonparametric tests of market structure an application to the cigarette industry the revealed preference approach is used to construct a nonparametric test of the monopoly model and some simple generalizations of it and the test is applied to data for the cigarette industry it exploits the maintained hypothesis that variations in the excise tax charged on a package of cigarettes allow us to assess seller reactions to common exogenous variations in marginal cost results indicate that the monopoly hypothesis and other simple models that do not embody at least a moderate amount of competition serve as poor predictors of the effects of excise tax changes on cigarette prices sales and revenues copyright 1987 by blackwell publishing ltd

london and property markets a long term view this paper examines the relationship between investment in built structures economic growth and economic cycles in the uk from the middle of the 19th century and relates its findings to the development of london a rising price of built structures relative to investment in equipment has existed throughout virtually all of the time period this it is argued has encouraged suburbanisation in addition a long term rise in demand for housing is putting additional pressure on living space in the city london has benefited however from the high level of building investment in modern economies particularly in attracting key building intensive activities like financial services long phases of building activity are shown in the data and they are argued to have a destabilising effect on london s economic growth these relationships between the relative price of investment goods long phases of higher and lower activity in their provision and the london economy reinforce the need for a london wide planning a

the second moments matter the impact of macroeconomic uncertainty on the allocation of loanable funds abstract this paper investigates how variations in macroeconomic uncertainty distort commercial banks allocation of loanable funds by analyzing the dispersion of banks total loan to asset ratios over a quarter century period

on nonparametric supply response analysis in this paper we explore the usefulness of nonparametric methods in the investigation of production behavior and the estimation of price elasticities of output supply and input demand functions the approach can handle the situation where some data points are not consistent with production theory the method is illustrated by estimating supply demand elasticities of outputs and inputs in u s agriculture

firm growth and liquidity constraints a dynamic analysis using a large unbalanced panel data set of portuguese manufacturing firms surviving over the period from 1990 to 2001 the purpose of this paper is to examine whether liquidity constraints faced by business firms affect firm growth we use a gmm system to estimate a dynamic panel data model of firm growth that incorporates cash flow as a measure of liquidity constraints and persistence of growth the model is estimated for all size classes including micro firms our findings reveal that smaller and younger firms have higher growth cash flow sensitivities than larger and more mature firms this is consistent with the suggestion that financial constraints on firm growth may be relatively more severe for small and young firms nevertheless the same finding can be interpreted in a different way if we consider the more recent literature which interpret the higher investment cash flow sensitivity of younger and smaller firm in absence of financial market imperfection as the outcome of these firms reaction to the fact that realisation of their cash flows reveals them the direction to go in presence of uncertainty of their growth prospect besides firms that were small and young at the beginning of the sample period exhibited more persistent growth than those that were large and old finally these results have significant policy implications

investment and the exchange rate an analysis with firm level panel data abstract this paper investigates the relationship between exchange rate fluctuations and the investment decisions of a sample of italian manufacturing firms the results support the view that a depreciation of the exchange rate has a positive effect on investment through the revenue channel and a negative effect through the cost channel the magnitude of these effects varies over time with changes in the firm s external orientation as measured by the share of foreign sales over total sales and the reliance on imported inputs consistent with the predictions of our theoretical framework the effect of exchange rate fluctuations on investment is stronger for firms with low monopoly power facing a high degree of import penetration in the domestic market and of a small size we also provide evidence that the degree of substitutability between domestically produced and imported inputs influences the effect through the expenditure side

nonparametric tests for monopsonistic market power exertion measurement of market power exerted in imperfectly competitive markets has received considerable attention in recent years this literature has become known as the new empirical industrial organization neio bresnahan 1989 provides an extensive review of these studies most often empirical work relies on estimating monopoly market power exertion from first order profit maximization conditions using aggregate industry data estimates of market power exertion depend on the functional forms selected for aggregate supply and demand importantly econometric identification of the market power parameter estimated from the first order conditions depends critically on second order curvature properties of the functions selected bresnahan 1982 lau little is known about the effects of model misspecification on estimated market power parameters while most of the neio market power literature focuses on monopoly power it is likely that firms with potential market power in agricultural and natural resource markets more of

corporate investment with financial constraints sensitivity of investment to funds from voluntary asset sales we examine the importance of financial constraints for firm investment by looking at the relationship between investment expenditures and proceeds from voluntary asset sales asset sales provide a cleaner indicator of liquidity than cash flows since it appears not to be positively correlated with investment opportunities the cross sectional differences in firm investment are examined using an endogenous switching regression model with unknown sample separation we find that cash obtained from asset sales is a significant determinant of corporate investment and that the sensitivity of investment to proceeds from asset sales is significantly stronger for firms that are likely to be financially constrained

real options delay vs pre emption do industrial characteristics matter this paper presents an empirical study of the channels of influence from uncertainty to fixed investment suggested by real options theory using panel data from the confederation of british industry cbi industrial trends survey we report ols estimates of the impact of uncertainty on investment where the regressors are augmented by cross sectional averages of the dependent variable and of the individual specific regressors as recently suggested by pesaran pesaran m h 2006 estimation and inference in large heterogeneous panels with a multifactor error structure econometrica 74 967 1012 the cross industry pattern of results is checked for consistency with the pattern predicted by real options theory using a specially constructed data set of industrial characteristics we find that irreversibility is able to predict the pattern detected but only when combined with a measure of the information advantage of delay there is also evidence for expansion options effects industries with high r d and advertising intensities tend to have positive uncertainty effects

the investment decision a re examination of competing theories using panel data in the united states gross business fixed investments constitute about 10 percent of the gross national product gnp such investments may represent gnp s most important component because a plant and equipment have a long term effect on the economy s productive capacity b changes in investment spending directly affect employment levels and workers incomes in durable goods industries and c supply and demand are sensitive to investment changes economists have long been concerned about what determines capital spending investments using data for us manufacturing firms for 1972 90 the author compares five investment theories accelerator theory cash flow theory neoclassical theory modified neoclassical theory and q theory if the results for cross section regressions can be viewed as representing the long term equilibrium the single most important determinant of capital spending appears to be cash flow apparently managers care more about cash flow and cost of capital than about stock market signals and the level of output and at the firm level managerial perceptions about fundamentals are more important that market perceptions for managers the stock market may be a side show to capital spending decisions to generalize in a way useful for developing countries firm level financial decisions are closely linked to real decisions in the economy internal finance is the most important use of funds so there is a close relationship between real and financial decisions

a synthetic stock flow consistent macroeconomic model of financialisation this article is centred around the notions of shareholder value orientation and financialisation shareholder value orientation is reflected by a high dividend payout ratio applied by firms and the reluctance of firms to finance physical investment via new equity issues financialisation is the more general development towards an increased importance of the financial sector of the economy relative to the non financial sector in this article a synthetic stock flow consistent model is developed that attempts to encompass some important recent works on the effects of financialisation this includes contributions from the fields of mainstream information economics and post keynesian economics we conduct simulations reflecting increased shareholder value orientation and show that the results are consistent with important stylised facts copyright the author 2008 published by oxford university press on behalf of the cambridge political economy society all rights reserved oxford university press

energy efficiency and economic growth a retrospective cge analysis for canada from 2002 to 2012 abstract the efficiency with which energy is used by firms and households has widespread impacts on economic activity which in turn has implications for environmental quality and energy security using a novel method that could be used for other jurisdictions we estimate the impact of energy efficiency improvements on canadian gdp employment economic structure and welfare from 2002 to 2012 we use a counterfactual back casting method with a sectorally and regionally disaggregated dynamic recursive computable general equilibrium model in effect reverse calibrating the model from observed data to isolate the effects of energy efficiency we estimate that total energy efficiency improvements in canada during this period increased gdp by 2 0 0 19 yr employment by 2 5 0 24 yr and household welfare by about 1 5 0 15 yr additionally energy efficiency improvements reoriented economic structure from capital intense energy supply sectors to relatively labour intense manufacturing and services we find evidence of widespread rebound on an energy expenditure basis across most sectors and backfire where energy efficiency leads to absolute energy use increases in oil sands in situ extraction bitumen upgrading shale gas extraction lime production pulp paper and metal smelting but overall energy use is reduced by energy efficiency improvements over this period

economic and climate impacts of reducing china s renewable electricity curtailment a comparison between cge models with alternative nesting structures of electricity abstract to mitigate climate change impacts and achieve low carbon transformation china has accelerated the development of renewable energy which is severely challenged by the curtailment of renewable electricity this study uses a dynamic multi sectoral cge model with alternative nesting structures and substitution elasticities for electricity with different power sources to capture the economic and environmental feasibility of reducing renewable electricity curtailment across all economic sectors in china the reduction of renewable electricity curtailment is simulated during 2021 2030 from the curtailment rates of 2015 2017 we found that the reduction of renewable electricity curtailment would lead to a significant expansion in the output of renewable electricity and a moderate decrease in non renewable electricity production among the renewable electricity wind power has the most significant output gain over 9 with solar power and hydropower outputs rising by over 5 and 1 5 respectively however without the cost neutrality assumption the impacts of reducing electricity curtailment would be largely over estimated with cge models simulated by improved technology the disparity between results from the models with alternative nesting constant elasticity of substitution ces functions for electricity sectors is highly dependent on the difference between their substitution elasticities accompanying the changes in electricity generation the reduction of renewable electricity curtailment would bring multiple green co benefits like significantly reducing co2 and air pollutants emitted from electricity sectors and improvements in real gdp and employment

the dynamic relation between financial positions and investment evidence from company account data a key feature of recent financial business cycle theories is the existence of a two way dynamic relation between financial factors and investment over time firms financial positions are affected by and in turn affect investment decisions this paper investigates the dynamic interaction between financial conditions and investment by estimating and testing vector autoregressions on company account panel data for us manufacturing firms while considering explicitly sectional and time heterogeneity the results show that indicators of liquidity and solvency contain significant predictive information for investment at the firm level we also find evidence of both cross sectional and time heterogeneity the role played by financial factors is significantly more important for highly leveraged than for low debt firms capital market frictions are shown to have asymmetric effects over the business cycle displaying a larger impact in contractions than in expansions overall the evidence supports the hypothesis that capital market imperfections have an important role in explaining aggregate cyclical dynamics

a stochastic frontier analysis of financing constraints on investment is shown that investment under financing constraints can be modeled as a one sided deviation from a frictionless investment level and that effects of financing constraints can be identified and quantified by imposing a distributional assumption on the effects panel data on taiwanese manufacturing firms between 1989 and 1996 are used in the estimation it is found that 1 some of the sorting criteria used in the literature do not have significant and monotonic relationships with the degrees of financing constraint resulting in problematic sample separations and 2 the effects of financial liberalization in taiwan are such that the investment efficiency improved over time for a typical firm and the improvement was particularly large for smaller firms

global capital flows and financing constraints firms often cite financing constraints as one of their primary obstacles to investment global capital flows by bringing in scarce capital may ease the financing constraints of host country firms but if incoming foreign investors borrow heavily from domestic banks foreign direct investment may exacerbate financing constraints by crowding host country firms out of domestic capital markets combining a unique cross country firm level panel with time series data on restrictions on international transactions and capital flows harrison love and mcmillan find that different measures of global flows are associated with a reduction in firm level financing constraints first the authors show that one type of capital inflow foreign direct investment is associated with a reduction in financing constraints second they test whether restrictions on international transactions affects the financing constraints of firms the results suggest that only one type of restriction those on capital account transactions negatively affects firms financing constraints the authors also show that multinational firms are not financially constrained and do not appear to be sensitive to the level of foreign direct investment this implies that foreign direct investment eases financing constraints for non multinational firms finally the authors show that 1 foreign direct investment only eases financing constraints in the non g7 countries and 2 other kinds of flows such as portfolio investment have no impact on financing constraints

financial credibility ownership and financing constraints in private firms as shown in the international business literature the ability of controlling owners to extract private benefits is greater in countries with weaker legal institutions in these countries providing credible financial information could play an especially important role in reducing information asymmetry between private firms and external providers of finance for our sample of firms across 68 countries we find that firms with greater financial reporting credibility i e annual financial statements reviewed by an external auditor experience significantly lower perceived problems in gaining access to external finance further the impact of financial credibility in reducing financing constraints in the presence of a controlling owner is more pronounced in countries with weaker creditor rights given the predominance of private firms around the world their economic significance and the fact that an increasing number of private firms now operate in multinational environments with different institutional features we contribute to the literature on the role of financial information firm characteristics and country level institutions for an important and interesting group of firms

determining market power exertion between buyers and sellers are nonparametrics a viable alternative a review of recent literature reveals the development of several deterministic non parametric dnp tests of market power the performance of selected dnp market power tests is ascertained to determine their usefulness as an alternative to data hungry parametric market power tests this assessment is carried out through implementation of monte carlo experiments using data sets from ten known market structures only two of the six dnp tests appear able to satisfactorily identify market power

age analysis of the impact of a carbon energy tax on the irish economy a computable general equilibrium model with specific detail in taxation and energy use is developed in this paper to quantify the impact of the implementation of energy taxation to reduce carbon dioxide emissions in ireland benchmark data combining physical energy and emissions data and economic data in the form of a social accounting matrix sam had to be compiled from various data sources because energy and pollution accounts from the seea are not available for ireland we find that the reduction target for energy related co2 emissions in ireland of 25 8 compared to 1998 levels can be achieved with a carbon energy tax of 10 15 euros per tonne of co2 though fuel switching is important in meeting the target this result is more sensitive to the possibilities for producers to substitute away from energy use welfare would fall but only by small percentages production and consumption patterns would change more significantly with a shift in demand from fuels with a high emission factor to energy sources with a lower carbon intensity and from energy to other commodities this paper confirms that a carbon energy tax leads to greater emission reductions than an equivalent uniform energy tax the latter has a stronger negative impact on the less polluting energy sectors whereas the carbon tax greatly stimulates the use of renewable energy and reduces the use of peat and coal the new sam the model and the application to energy taxes contribute to a better informed debate on environmental policy in ireland

endogenous financial constraints and innovation we investigate which indicators of a firm s innovation activities are associated with financial constraints and analyze the nature and direction of causal links between innovation and financial constraints by estimating simultaneous bivariate probit models on data from the uk innovation surveys we show that among innovation inputs research and development r d activity increases the likelihood that firms face financial constraints among innovation outputs only new to market products generate financial constraints reverse effects on innovation appear limited to external r d

short and long run credit constraints in french agriculture a directional distance function framework using expenditure constrained profit functions this empirical application investigates the eventual presence of credit constraints using a panel of french farmers the credit constrained profit maximization model proposed by fare grosskopf and lee is extended in three ways first we rephrase the model in terms of directional distance functions to allow duality with the profit function second we model credit constraints in the short run and investment constraints in the long run using short and long run profit functions third we lag the expenditure constraint one year to account for the separation between planning and production we find empirical evidence of credit and investment constraints financially unconstrained farmers are larger perform better and seem to benefit from a virtuous circle where access to financial markets allows better productive choices

effects of financial liberalisation and political connection on listed chinese firms financing constraints this paper examines the impact of recent financial liberalization in china on the financing constraints of publicly listed chinese firms with and without politically connected ceo chairman two continuous indices are used to measure the evolution and intensity of financial reforms a financial liberalization index and a capital control index the results indicate that while firms without politically connected ceo chairman face significant financing constraints and politically connected firms do not financial liberalization has reduced the constraints for the former similarly lower capital control in china s equity market lessens credit constraints for non connected firms no statistically significant impact is detected with regards to firms that have ceo chairman with powerful political background

explicit lagrange multiplier for firms facing a debt ceiling constraint abstract this paper provides the explicit expression of investment facing a binding debt ceiling and the explicit expression of the lagrange multipliers related to the binding debt ceiling constraint this result allows us to check for misspecification of the parameterizations of these lagrange multipliers used in euler investment equations tests during the 1990 s

no money no honey financial versus knowledge and demand constraints on innovation the paper adds to the literature on the barriers to innovation in two ways first we assess comparatively what mostly constrains firms ability to translate investment in innovation activity into new products and processes whether it is mainly finance as most of the literature would suggest or whether it is mostly knowledge and market related aspects second we suggest a method to correct for the sample selection bias that often affects empirical contributions to this scholarship by filtering out firms that are not interested in innovation from those that struggle to engage in it we obtain a relevant sample of potential innovators which allows us to analyse the comparative effect of financial and non financial barriers on innovation success we find that demand side factors particularly concentrated market structure and lack of demand are as important as financial constraints in determining firms innovation failures this evidence redirects attention from financial to non financial barriers by considering traditional demand market structure and regulation factors involved in reduced firm innovation performance the empirical analysis is based on an unbalanced panel of firm level data from four waves of the uk community innovation survey cis between 2002 and 2010 merged with data from the uk business structure database

a nonparametric analysis of the influence of research on agricultural productivity nonparametric productivity analysis is extended by modeling technical progress as a function of public and private research expenditures results indicate that 30 year lags are required to fully capture the effects of public research expenditures on u s agricultural productivity compared to public research private research has a stronger influence on farm productivity in the short term but a smaller influence in the longer term the internal rate of return is 0 28 for public research and 0 17 for private research

the impact on electric power industry under the implementation of national carbon trading market in china a dynamic cge analysis abstract as the largest carbon emissions source sector electric power industry is undoubtedly a principal part of the carbon trading market in china aimed at researching the impact on power industry beyond establishing the national carbon trading market a dynamic computable general equilibrium cge model embedded with carbon trading block is introduced in this paper subsequently we design 8 scenarios of which illustrate corresponding industry carbon emissions baselines and free quotas ratios the main simulation results are as follows the implementation of carbon emissions trading would bring a certain negative impact on the overall economy real gdp will be reduced by about 0 08 0 52 in 2030 though low free quotas ratio will cause a relatively high loss of gdp this negative impact would be eliminated in the long run in addition carbon emissions trading would also promote the clean production of electricity indeed the electric power industry would reach carbon emissions peak around 2020 relative to scenarios without carbon trading carbon emissions would reduce more than 1000 million tons in 2030 when industry carbon emissions baseline declines at an annual rate of 2 consequently the carbon market can achieve a more significant reduction in carbon emissions with the influencing of quotas fully auctioned scenario

effects and mechanism of influence of china s resource tax reform a regional perspective abstract china s resource tax reform beginning with xinjiang as a pilot area in june 2010 marked a new stage in the progression of china s resource tax system based on the 2007 social accounting matrix sam for xinjiang constructed by ourselves this paper takes a regional perspective on china s resource tax reform to quantitatively calculate its degree of influence and qualitatively analyze its mechanism of influence by adopting an energy computable general equilibrium cge model and a sam price model the results show that the main significance of the reform lies in bolstering local government finances rather than energy conservation or carbon reduction this is because revenue will be transferred from resource enterprises and the central government to the local government while simultaneously the low tax rate narrow tax scope and unreasonable price mechanism will combine to prevent the reform from reaching its environmental goals promoting resource price mechanism reform and deepening resource tax reform will be two key elements of china s future energy strategies because resource enterprises will bear the increased burden caused by the reform the degree of sectoral price increases will be limited therefore the fear that resource tax reform will push up inflation is unnecessary and should not be a barrier to reform

investment and uncertainty in the international oil and gas industry abstract the standard theory of irreversible investments and real options suggests a negative relation between investment and uncertainty richer models with compound option structures open for a positive relationship this paper presents a micro econometric study of corporate investment and uncertainty in a period of market turbulence and restructuring in the international oil and gas industry based on data for 115 companies over the period 1992 2005 we estimate four different specifications of the q model of investment with robust results for the uncertainty variables the estimated models suggest that macroeconomic uncertainty creates a bottleneck for oil and gas investment and production whereas industry specific uncertainty has a stimulating effect

determining market power exertion between buyers and sellers empirical techniques commonly used in industrial organization to measure market power exertion typically assume imperfectly competitive behaviour by firms on only one side of the market firms on the other side are assumed to be perfectly competitive in this paper we extend traditional neio methods by developing a method to estimate market power exertion when firms on both sides have potential market power using monte carlo simulations we find that the model correctly estimates market power exercised by firms on either or both sides of a market and also correctly estimates firms technology parameters when applied to the us leaf tobacco market findings indicate that cigarette manufacturers exert some monopsony power in purchasing leaf tobacco while producers organized as a cartel exhibit no countervailing monopoly market power copyright 2000 john wiley sons ltd

the double dividend hypothesis in a cge model specific factors and the carbon base abstract we use a computable general equilibrium model to empirically examine the double dividend dd hypothesis using the gtap model data for australia we examine three environmental taxes on the production of energy goods following bento and jacobsen 2007 we examine the role played by specific factors in the production of energy goods our results provide support for the existence of a strong dd in australia when revenue is recycled through reductions in consumption taxes the strong dd is larger when the share of specific factors is higher and is much more pronounced when carbon taxes are charged on the production origin based accounting rather than the usage destination based accounting of carbon these results draw attention to the importance of the definition of the carbon base and have implications for the scale of carbon leakage

nonparametric tests of profit maximization in oligopoly with application to the beef packing industry in this paper we develop new nonparametric methods of testing for static profit maximization given noncompetitive behavior repeated application of the test yields maximum likelihood estimates of the degree of noncompetitive behavior using plant level data these newly developed nonparametric methods are employed to test the hypothesis that beef packers are profit maximizers and to measure the extent to which packers influence prices in fed cattle markets

carbon taxation and market structure a cge analysis for russia abstract russia is one of the world s major sources of carbon based energy as well as one its most intensive users introducing carbon taxes can lead to a reduction in emissions and encourage investment in energy efficiency we investigate the economic effects of carbon taxes on the russian economy under perfect competition and a cournot oligopoly in output markets the main findings are i substituting carbon taxes for labour taxes can yield a strong double dividend in russia however welfare gains strongly depend on the labour supply elasticity and elasticities of substitution between capital labour and energy ii under the assumption of a cournot oligopoly with homogenous products and symmetric firms in the markets for natural gas petroleum and chemical products metals and minerals welfare costs of the environmental tax reform can be higher than under perfect competition this is because introducing carbon taxes leads to a reduction in already sub optimal output thereby exacerbating pre existing distortions arising from imperfect competition iii furthermore increases in energy costs can result in higher mark ups in some markets because of less competition resulting from firms exit

foreign lenders and the real sector we develop a theory of the interaction between the entry of lenders and the real sector the high liquidation skills of incumbent lenders render them too tough in terminating high risk return projects being foreign to the market newcomers have lower ability to liquidate than incumbents this makes them softer in liquidating high risk return projects but renders their funding more costly we show that the entry of lenders and the share of high risk return projects can reinforce each other through firms liquidation values this interaction dampens the output impact of liquidity shocks hence financial liberalization can enhance stability

investment decisions in troubled times a bayesian approach applied to brazilian firms abstract this study analyses the investment decision of 497 brazilian firms during a period of unstable macroeconomic conditions the role of financial constraints is considered in a bayesian econometric model we estimate three different models and the results indicate the presence of financial restrictions especially for capital intensive firms the recursive predictive density criterion indicates that the most preferred model is the one in which firm specific effects are correlated with cash flow financial restrictions are more important for capital intensive firms probably due to their lower profitability indexes higher fixed costs and higher degree of property diversification

does r d spending boost tangible investment an analysis on european firms this article investigates the relationship between firm s r d intensity expressed as r d expenditure over sales and investment intensity in tangible assets it is commonly acknowledged that r d r

investment default propensity score and cash flow sensitivity in six eu member states evidence based on firm level panel data abstractusing a panel data set covering six european countries and 119700 firms 582153 observations over the period 2008 2013 we analyse the cash flow sensitivity of investment spending as most

zeros and lumps in investment empirical evidence on irreversibilities and nonconvexities the objective of this paper is to investigate if and how capital adjustment departs from the smooth pattern implied by standard model based on convex adjustment costs using norwegian micro data we start by documenting the intermittent and lumpy nature of investment rates we then present two pieces of econometric evidence on these issues first we estimate a discrete hazard model to determine the probability of having an episode of high investment conditional on the length of the interval from the last high investment episode second we estimate a switching regression model that allows for the response of the investment rate to fundamentals to differ across regimes in both cases we investigate the aggregate implications of our results

success of start up firms the role of financial constraints although there are some studies that empirically test the impact of financial constraints on the success of start ups the persistence of this impact is not well understood using survey data for a cohort of swiss start ups that were observed during a period of 10 years we find that financial constraints are not only a problem of the first years although the negative impact of financial constraints on firm survival disappears with increasing age of the firms profit is persistently negatively affected by financial constraints copyright 2014 the author 2013 published by oxford university press on behalf of associazione icc all rights reserved oxford university press

determinants of corporate capital structure evidence from hungarian firms this paper investigates the capital structure of hungarian firms using a cross section and a panel data approach the data set is composed of balance sheet data and information on market structure for 1100 firms from 1992 to 1996 evidence is found of imperfections that constrain firms in the achievement of their optimal capital structure but also some positive indications there are no distortions typical of the planned system and no signs of the presence of soft budget constraints

optimal environmental taxation in the presence of other taxes general equilibrium analyses this paper examines the optimal setting of environmental taxes in economies where other distortionary taxes are present we employ analytical and numerical models to explore the degree to which in a second best economy optimal environmental tax rates differ from the rates implied by the pigovian principle according to which the optimal tax rate equals the marginal environmental damages both models indicate contrary to what several analysts have suggested that the optimal tax rate on emissions of a given pollutant is generally less than the rate supported by the pigovian principle moreover the optimal rate is lower the larger are the distortions posed by ordinary taxes numerical results indicate that previous studies may have seriously overstated the size of the optimal carbon tax by disregarding pre existing taxes this abstract was borrowed from another version of this item

new findings on firm investment and monetary transmission in the euro area in this paper we present comparable results on the determinants of firms investment and their link to monetary policy the results have been obtained by the eurosystem monetary transmission network this network has produced a series of papers in which the use of micro data permits estimating and quantifying the relevance of two channels of monetary policy transmission the interest rate and the broad credit channel the research findings provide evidence of an operative interest rate channel in all countries examined moreover the results indicate that variables which proxy firms financial conditions play a role firms characterised by weaker balance sheets show higher liquidity sensitivity

do liquidity constraints matter in explaining firm size and growth some evidence from the italian manufacturing industry the paper investigates whether liquidity constraints affect firm size and growth dynamics using a large longitudinal sample of italian manufacturing firms we run standard panel data gibrat regressions suitably expanded to take into account liquidity constraints proxied by cash flow scaled by firm sales moreover we characterize the statistical properties of fi rms size growth age and scaled cashflow distributions pooled data show that i liquidity constraints engender a negative statistically significant effect on growth once one controls for size ii smaller firms grow more and experience more volatile growth patterns after controlling for liquidity constraints iii the stronger liquidity constraints the more size negatively affects firm growth we find that pooled size distributions depart from log normality and growth rates are well approximated by fat tailed tent shaped laplace densities we also study the evolution of growth size distributions over time our exercises suggest that the strong negative impact of liquidity constraints on firm growth which was present in the pooled sample becomes ambiguous when one disaggregates across years finally firms who were young and strongly liquidity constrained at the beginning of the sample period grew persistently more than those who were old and weakly liquidity constrained

the economic impact of carbon pricing with regulated electricity prices in china an application of a computable general equilibrium approach we use a dynamic cge model sicge to assess the economic and climate impacts of emissions trading system ets in china with a carbon price of 100 yuan ton co2 a particular focus is given to the regulated electricity price regime which is a major concern of electricity sector s cost effective participation in ets in china we found 1 carbon pricing is an effective policy for china to reduce co2 emissions total co2 emissions reduction ranges from 6 8 to 11 2 in short term 2 rigid electricity price entails lower co2 emissions reduction but can be considered as a feasible starting point to introduce carbon pricing policies in short term as long as governmental subsidies are given to electricity production 3 in mid and long term the efficient policy is to earmark carbon revenue with competitive electricity price we propose to use carbon revenue to reduce consumption tax in the first year of the introduction of carbon price and to use the carbon revenue to reduce production tax in following years

economic liberalization and price response of aggregate private investment time series evidence from india this paper presents evidence on the effects of economic liberalization of 1991 on the price responsiveness of aggregate private investment in india the wide ranging reforms are expected to increase the price response of private investment due to i the le chatelier effect ii a higher price elasticity of demand for final goods and iii possible relaxation of the credit constraint the empirical results based on alternative specifications estimation methods and sample periods show a dramatic increase in the price response the elasticity of investment with respect to the relative cost of capital has increased five times after the dismantling of the licence raj ce texte examine les effets de la liberalisation de 1991 sur la reponse des prix de l investissement prive agrege en inde on aurait pu s attendre a ce que ces reformes importantes accroissent la reponse des prix de l investissement privea cause i de l effet le chatelier ii de la plus forte elasticite de la demande de biens finaux et iii de la relaxation possible de la contrainte financiere les resultats empiriques fondes sur des specifications des methodes d estimation et des periodes d echantillonnage differentes suggerent un accroissement dramatique dans la reponse des prix l elasticite de l investissement par rapport au cout relatif du capital s est accru par un facteur de 5 apres le demantelement du regime raj

the role of interbank markets in monetary policy a model with rationing the empirical research on monetary transmission has reported a number of puzzles challenging extant theoretical models of the transmission mechanism in this paper we argue that asymmetric information in the interbank market may be important to have a better understanding of the mechanisms at work in the transmission process we show that asymmetric information may induce an equilibrium with rationing this in turn has two major implications first it reconciles the apparent irresponsiveness of business investment to the user cost of capital with the large impact of monetary policy magnitude puzzle and second it shows that this impact will not be limited to short term credit supply but will also affect long term lending even if the corresponding interest rate is unaffected composition puzzle

the hedge value of international emissions trading under uncertainty this paper estimates the value of international emissions trading focusing on a here to fore neglected component its value as a hedge against uncertainty much analysis has been done of the kyoto protocol and other potential international greenhouse gas mitigation policies comparing the costs of achieving emission targets with and without trading these studies often show large cost reductions for all parties under trading compared to a no trading case we investigate the welfare gains of including emissions trading in the presence of uncertainty in economic growth rates using both a partial equilibrium model based on marginal abatement cost curves and a computable general equilibrium model we find that the hedge value of international trading is small relative to its value in reallocating emissions reductions when the burden sharing scheme does not resemble a least cost allocation we also find that the effects of pre existing tax distortions and terms of trade dominate the hedge value of trading we conclude that the primary value of emissions trading in international agreements is as a burden sharing or wealth transfer mechanism and should be judged accordingly

how to improve the market efficiency of carbon trading a perspective of china abstract emissions trading scheme ets is one of the effective measures to realize energy conservation and emission reduction in order to set up a nationwide carbon emissions trading mechanism seven ets pilots have been launched in china firstly based on empirical investigation and research of seven pilots this paper analyzed the market efficiency of ets pilots from four aspects carbon price trading volume market liquidity and information transparency the result showed that the market efficiency of ets pilots is not satisfactory in spite of the fact that system designs of ets have achieved preliminary result then the reason for low market efficiency of ets pilots was discussed from some factors such as institutional arrangements market participants the supply and demand etc finally this paper puts forward some policy suggestions to improve the market efficiency of china s carbon trading market

the relation between firm growth and q with multiple capital goods theory and evidence from panel data on japanese firms we derive from a model of investment with multiple capital goods a one to one relation between the growth rate of the capital aggregate and the stock market based q we estimate the growth q relation using a panel of japanese manufacturing firms taking into account the endogeneity of q identification is achieved by combining the theoretical structure of the q model and an assumed serial correlation structure of the technology shock which is the error term in the growth q equation for early years of our sample cash flow has significant explanatory power over and above q the significance of cash flow disappears for more recent years for the heavy industry when japanese capital markets was liberalized the estimated q coefficient implies that the adjustment cost is less than a half of gross profits net of the adjustment cost

does firm size matter evidence on the impact of liquidity constraints on firm investment behavior in germany abstract this paper examines the link between liquidity constraints and investment behavior for german firms of different sizes from 1970 to 1986 results indicate that medium sized firms appear to be more liquidity constrained in their investment behavior than either the smallest or largest firms in the study suggesting that the unique german infrastructure designed to assist the small firm has indeed succeeded in alleviating to some degree such liquidity constraints findings also support the hypothesis that the emerging competition and internationalism which characterized the german financial markets in the 1980s have been improving access to capital for some groups of firms

spite and development in a wide variety of settings spiteful preferences would constitute an obstacle to cooperation trade and thus economic development this paper shows that spiteful preferences the desire to reduce another s material payoff for the mere purpose of increasing one s relative payoff are surprisingly widespread in experiments conducted in one of the least developed regions in india uttar pradesh in a one shot trust game the authors find that a large majority of subjects punish cooperative behavior although such punishment clearly increases inequality and decreases the payoffs of both subjects in experiments to study coordination and to measure social preferences the findings reveal empirical patterns suggesting that the willingness to reduce another s material payoff either for the sake of achieving more equality or for the sake of being ahead is stronger among individuals belonging to high castes than among those belonging to low castes because extreme social hierarchies are typically accompanied by a culture that stresses status seeking it is plausible that the observed social preference patterns are at least partly shaped by this culture thus an exciting question for future research is the extent to which different institutions and cultures produce preferences that are conducive or detrimental to economic development

a non parametric analysis of productivity the case of u s and japanese manufacturing a nonparametric analysis of technology technical change and productivity is presented in the context of cost minimizing behavior a number of nonparametric tests concerning the existence and nature of technical change are applied to u s and japanese manufacturing data nonparametric measures of technical change are presented copyright 1990 by american economic association

investment dynamics with information costs investment in physical capital at the micro level is infrequent and large or lumpy the most common explanation for this is that firms face non convex physical adjustment costs the model developed in this paper shows that information costs make investment lumpy at the micro level even in the absence of non convex adjustment costs when collecting and processing information is costly the firm optimally chooses to do it sporadically and to be inactive most of the time this behavior results in infrequent and possibly large capital adjustments the model fits plant level investment rate moments well and it also matches some higher order moments of aggregate investment rates keywords investment dynamics information costs inattentiveness lumpy investment jel classification d21 d83 d92 e22

quantifying regional economic impacts of co2 intensity targets in china we acknowledge the support of the ministry of science and technology of china through the institute for energy environment and economy at tsinghua university and the support from graduate school of tsinghua university which is supporting zhang da s doctoral research as a 22 visiting scholar at the massachusetts institute of technology we are also grateful for the support provided by rio tinto china and social science key research program from national social science foundation china of grant no 09 zd029 we further acknowledge the support of eni s p a icf international and shell founding sponsors of the china energy and climate project for supporting this model development work we would further like to thank dr john reilly dr sergey paltsev dr kyung min nam dr henry chen paul kishimoto and tianyu qi at joint program on the science and policy of global change and participants in the annual meeting of china energy and climate project and ecomod 2012 conference for helpful comments and discussion 23

investment irreversibility and financing constraints evidence from a panel of transition economies abstract focusing on a panel of unlisted firms from transition economies we observe that only firms facing low irreversibility exhibit high and significant investment cash flow sensitivities our findings provide a new explanation for why some financially constrained firms may exhibit low sensitivities

towards a national ets in china cap setting and model mechanisms abstract china is moving from regional emissions trading schemes etss to a nation wide ets although a larger ets will be more efficient the literature warns that it could make net permit selling regions worse off we use a cge model to simulate the linking of two provincial etss namely those of hubei and guangdong our simulations suggest a trade off between efficiency and equity as the richer regions typified by guangdong will benefit from linking but the poorer regions typified by hubei may lose this is because poorer provinces in china tend to be more emissions intensive and therefore likely to face a carbon price rise upon linking the costs of which may be only partially offset by trading if indeed trading is permitted we show this and explain why it is the case by improving on the stylized model suggested by adams and parmenter 2013 following atkinson 1970 we find that worsened equity from linking may dominate improved efficiency thus reducing aggregated welfare we advise more generous caps to be given to more emissions intensive and less developed regions if so as suggest our simulation results a pareto improvement could be attainable

credit constraints and determinants of the cost of capital in vietnamese manufacturing this paper examines the extent to which borrowing constraints restrict firm access to credit and identifies individual firm and loan characteristics which determine the cost of capital in vietnamese manufacturing using direct information from a vietnamese enterprise survey the paper shows that between 14 and 25 of the enterprises are credit constrained and these enterprises would increase their debt holdings by between 40 and 115 if borrowing constraints were relaxed moreover it emerges that informal credit markets play an important role for fast growing firms enterprises do not appear to have the necessary time to go through the many administrative difficulties in the formal credit system if they want to seize the day finally collateralized loans face larger interest rates explained by the significant influence of policy lending in vietnamese credit markets

investment cash flow sensitivities credit rationing and financing constraints in small and medium sized firms the controversy on whether investment cash flow sensitivity is a good indicator of financing constraints is still unsolved we apply a comprehensive approach by cross validating our analysis with both balance sheet and qualitative data on self declared credit rationing and financing constraints on a sample of mainly small and medium sized firms our qualitative information shows that self declared credit rationing is weakly related to both traditional a priori factors such as firm size age and location and lenders rational decisions taken on the basis of their credit risk models we use the qualitative information on firms which were denied additional credit to provide evidence relevant to the investment cash flow sensitivity debate the evidence shows that self declared credit rationing significantly discriminates between firms which possess or not such sensitivity while a priori criteria do not the same result does not apply when we consider the wider group of financially constrained firms which do not seem to have a higher investment cash flow sensitivity supporting the more recent empirical evidence in this direction