politics and markets dual transformations the articles published in this issue of the journal help advance the debate on market reform in former socialist states in our comment besides dealing with data analysis issues we suggest several ways to improve the level of debate about substantive issues these suggestions include more attention to politics including path dependence and more attention to middle level generalizations from other developing market societies

the changing landscape of accrual accounting a fundamental property of accrual accounting is to smooth temporary timing fluctuations in operating cash flows indicating an inherent negative correlation between accruals and cash flows we show that the overall correlation between accruals and cash flows has dramatically declined in magnitude over the past half century and has largely disappeared in more recent years the adjusted r 2 from regressing changes in accruals on changes in cash flows drops from about 70 90 in the 1960s to near zero under 20 in more recent years in exploring potential reasons for the observed attenuation we find that increases in non timing related accrual recognition as proxied by one time and nonoperating items and the frequency of loss firm years explain the majority of the overall decline on the other hand temporal changes in the matching between revenues and expenses and the growth of intangible intensive industries play only a limited role in explaining the observed attenuation finally the relative decline of the timing role of accruals does not appear to be associated with an increase in the asymmetrically timely loss recognition role

a designer s choice between single prize and parallel tournaments in this article i theoretically and experimentally compare a designer s profits from two tournament designs the first design is a standard winner take all tournament with a single prize the second design features two winner take all parallel tournaments with different prizes where individuals choose which tournament to enter before competing i develop a simple model that illustrates how the relative performances of these designs change as contestants abilities differ the theoretical model shows that the designer s profit is higher lower in the parallel tournament when contestants abilities differ greatly are similar i complement these findings with experimental evidence the experiments show that the parallel tournament is more profitable under high heterogeneity whereas under low heterogeneity the designer is better off with the single prize tournament furthermore high ability agents under participate and low ability agents over participate in the high prize tournament relative to the theoretical prediction jel c72 d82 j33 m51 m52

managerial incentive problems a dynamic perspective the paper studies how a person s concern for a future career may influence his or her incentives to put in effort or make decisions on the job in the model the person s productive abilities are revealed over time through observations of performance there are no explicit output contingent contracts but since the wage in each period is based on expected output and expected output depends on assessed ability an implicit contract links today s performance to future wages an incentive problem arises from the person s ability and desire to influence the learning process and therefore the wage process by taking unobserved actions that affect today s performance the fundamental incongruity in preferences is between the individual s concern for human capital returns and the firm s concern for financial returns the two need be only weakly related it is shown that career motives can be beneficial as well as detrimental depending on how well the two kinds of capital returns are aligned it is well understood by now that informational externalities may place special demands on the organization of economic exchange simple price mediated markets will frequently fail in the presence of asymmetric information in that case more elaborate contractual arrangements have to be used as substitutes for the price system lately considerable effort has been devoted to the analysis of contracting under incomplete information with the objective to understand the range of economic institutions that emerge in response to the failure of the price system the analysis of moral hazard has played a prominent role in this development moral hazard problems arise when for some reason or another transacting parties cannot contract contingent on the delivery of the good for instance in buying labour services it may be that the amount of labour supplied is not directly observable precluding a simple exchange of wage for labour as a partial remedy to this problem an imperfect mutually observed signal about the supply of labour can be used as a proxy in the contract frequently output is taken as such a proxy the drawback is that output is often influenced by other factors than labour input which induce undesirable risk into the contract one is therefore faced with a tradeoff between allocating risk associated with incomplete observability and providing incentives for a proper supply of labour gaining insight into this tradeoff is important not only for understanding contracting in the small e g managerial incentive schemes but also because it is closely related to the fundamental tension between equity and efficiency in the society as a whole while our understanding of moral hazard has advanced a lot in past years it is clear that much work remains an important question that has received little attention until

testing the theory of tournaments an empirical analysis of broiler production broiler chickens are raised by contract growers whose rewards depend explicitly upon relative performance we use data on the performance of broiler producers facing both tournament and linear performance evaluation compensation structures to test three predictions from the theory of tournaments that changes in the level of prizes that leave prize differentials unchanged will not affect performance that in mixed tournaments more able players will choose less risky strategies and that tournament organizers will attempt to handicap players of unequal ability or reduce mixing to avoid the disincentive effects of mixed tournaments our evidence is consistent with each prediction

markets and income inequality in rural china political advantage in an expanding economy when market reform generates rapid growth in an agrarian subsistence economy changes in inequality may be due to economic growth and structural change rather than to the intrinsic features of markets the case of post mao china is examined using nationally representative survey data gathered in 1996 to address unresolved questions about findings from 1980s surveys well into reform s second decade political officeholding has a large net impact on household income comparable to that of operating a private enterprise contrary to findings based on earlier surveys and expectations about the impact of growth cadre household advantages are stable across levels and forms of economic expansion returns to entrepreneurship however decline sharply with the spread of wage employment future declines in relative returns to political position are therefore unlikely to occur due to the further spread of private household entrepreneurship and theories of change based on this mechanism appear untenable

the emergence of a market society changing mechanisms of stratification in china this article examines the effect of institutional change the shift from redistribution to markets in altering the mechanisms of stratification new institutionalists maintain that interests are emb

optimal incentive contracts in the presence of career concerns theory and evidence this paper studies optimal incentive contracts when workers have career concerns concerns about the effects of current performance on future compensation we show that the optimal compensation contract optimizes total incentives the combination of the implicit incentives from career concerns and the explicit incentives from the compensation contract thus the explicit incentives from the optimal compensation contract should be strongest for workers close to retirement because career concerns are weakest for these workers we find empirical support for this prediction in the relation between chief executive compensation and stock market performance

ownership organization and income inequality market transition in rural vietnam in transitional economies the scale of economic enterprise and the allocation of property rights shape social structures and influence income distribution in agrarian economies where labor intensive family enterprises dominate political officials income advantages decline rapidly relative to those of private entrepreneurs larger enterprises however provide greater income opportunities for officials especially when a government retains an ownership stake in the initial phases of reform this article replicates the findings from an earlier study of rural china using comparable survey data from vietnam we find that during the first two decades of rural market reform in vietnam and china the scale and ownership of firms differed radically small family enterprises dominated rural development in vietnam whereas china s development was dominated by larger firms initially established by rural governments consequently while cadre income advantages have kept pace with those of private entrepreneurs

are competitors forward looking in strategic interactions field evidence from multistage tournaments abstract this paper investigates whether decision makers are forward looking in dynamic strategic interactions and incorporate variations of continuation values in their choices using data from professional and semi professional basketball tournaments we find that the expected relative strength of a team in future interactions indeed affects behavior in the present the results also show that the response to changes in the continuation value is stronger if the structure of prizes is convex across stages if the players are in a decisive game and if the prevalence of free riding within a team is low

endogenous group formation in experimental contests abstract we experimentally study endogenous alliance formation and contest effort choices in a generic three player contest differences in intrinsic or extrinsic incentives to expend effort cause self selection weakly motivated players have an incentive to enter into an alliance and to free ride on strongly motivated players hence strong players prefer to stand alone self selection has direct consequences for effort in endogenously formed alliances but we also find evidence of an effort stimulating effect if players endogenously form an alliance which is in line with theories of in group favoritism the experimental evidence on self selection is in conformity with a theory analysis of the game

getting personal networks and stratification in the russian labor market 1985 2001 the authors use employment histories from survey data to examine personal network use and stratification in the russian labor market from 1985 to 2001 institutional changes associated with the soviet collapse increased the use of networks and shaped their prevalence and benefits in theoretically coherent ways in russia networks positively affect job quality whether measured by occupation current earnings or wage arrears these findings relate to recent debates over whether job contacts provide advantages and how social capital relates to postsocialist inequalities involving gender communist party membership and education russia also exhibits a previously overlooked relationship between network use and locality type

property rights and stratification in socialist redistributive economies in socialist economies work organizations differ widely in the compensation they provide employees despite the absence of key product and labor market processes thought to ex plain such inequalities in market economies existing theories of stratification in socialist economies focus on the power and privilege of elites but inequalities among organizations are not created by political particularism or elite power in this paper i sketch elements of an institutional theory of stratification anchored in a conception of property rights the right to derive income from productive assets two aspects of property rights guide the analysis 1 the dispersion of property rights across a hierarchy of governmentjurisdictions and 2 the exercise of these rights by government jurisdictions as they extract revenues primarily through taxation extraction of revenues from a work organization varies with the budgetary resources of a government jurisdiction and the dependence of that jurisdiction on the out puts of the organization variation in revenue extraction in turn creates inequalities among work organizations in their abilities to provide benefits to employees an analysis of survey data on the provision of housing and benefits by work organizations in the large industrial city of tianjin china provides provisional support for these ideas s tudents of communist states have had little reason to dispute lenski s 1966 claim that the distribution of rewards in a society is a func tion of the distribution of power p 63 as ex emplified in szelenyi s wedding of elite theory to institutional economics this idea has been de veloped primarily in terms of the power of class es or occupational groups szelenyi 1978 be gan with the observation that planned economies operate according to redistributive rather than market principles however the process of re

the first shall be last entrepreneurship and communist cadres in the transition from socialism this article reviews the sociological literature on the transition from socialism to capitalism it distinguishes between the erosion and transition phases and between traditional and corporate segments in the emerging private sector panel survey data from hungary show that during the transition ex communist cadres maintain their advantageous position and do especially well in the more dynamic corporate segment they are successful because human capital is important in both capitalism and socialism and because the cadres are able to convert past political power to economic advantage contrary to the findings of studies based only on agriculture the transition increases income inequalities

corporate philanthropy and productivity evidence from an online real effort experiment contributing to a social cause can be an important driver for workers in the public and nonprofit sectors as well as in firms that engage in corporate philanthropy or other corporate social responsibility policies this paper compares the effectiveness of a social incentive that takes the form of a donation received by a charity of the subject s choice to a financial incentive we find that social incentives lead to a 13 rise in productivity regardless of their form lump sum or related to performance or strength the response is strong for subjects with low initial productivity 30 whereas high productivity subjects do not respond when subjects can choose the mix of incentives half sacrifice some of their private compensation to increase social compensation with women more likely to do so than men furthermore offering subjects some discretion in choosing their own payment schemes leads to a substantial improvement in performance comparing social incentives to equally costly increases in private compensation for low productivity subjects reveals that the former are less effective in increasing productivity but the difference is small and not statistically significant data as supplemental material are available at http dx doi org 10 1287 mnsc 2014 1985 this paper was accepted by uri gneezy behavioral economics

executive compensation and tournament theory empirical tests on danish data this article adds to the empirical literature on tournament theory as a theory of executive compensation i test several propositions of tournament models on a rich data set containing information about 2 600 executives in 210 danish firms during a 4 year period i ask are pay differentials between job levels consistent with relative compensation is pay dispersion between levels higher in noisy environments is the dispersion affected by the number of tournament participants is average pay lower in firms with more compressed pay structures does wider pay dispersion enhance firm performance most of the predictions gain support in the data

the relation between earnings and cash flows abstract a model of earnings cash flows and accruals is developed assuming a random walk sales process variable and fixed costs and that the only accruals are accounts receivable and payable and inventory the model implies earnings better predict future operating cash flows than current operating cash flows and the difference varies with the operating cash cycle also the model is used to predict serial and cross correlations of each firm s series the implications and predictions are tested on a 1337 firm sample over 1963 1992 both earnings and cash flow forecast implications and correlation predictions are generally consistent with the data

corporate tournaments human capital acquisition and the firm size wage relation this paper provides a possible explanation for the empirically observed size wage effect and inter industry wage differences it develops a model in which incentives for workers to accumulate general human capital are provided by corporate tournaments where workers with the highest level of general human capital win promotions given that the prizes in such tournaments are determined by outside market conditions the investment and the equilibrium wages depend on firm and industry characteristics the model implies that workers in bigger firms and in more technology intensive and profitable firms and industries acquire more human capital and receive higher wages and benefits

promotions and incentives the case of multistage elimination tournaments promotions play an important role for the provision of incentives in firms we analyze incentives in multistage elimination tournaments with controlled laboratory experiments in our two main treatments we compare a two stage tournament to a one stage tournament subjects in the two stage treatment provide excess effort in the first stage both with respect to nash predictions and compared to the strategically equivalent one stage tournament additional control treatments confirm that excess effort in early stages is a robust finding and suggest that above equilibrium effort might be driven by limited degrees of forward looking behavior and subjects deriving nonmonetary value from competing

the influence of hukou and college education in china s labour market this paper examines the impact of hukou and college education on job placement and wage attainment for chinese rural migrant workers in the cities the analysis of the 2010 chinese general social survey shows that when rural born individuals gain both urban hukou and college education they enjoy equal job sector placement and they earn significantly higher wages than the college educated locals but in the absence of a rural to urban hukou transfer migrants have fewer opportunities to go to college than local peers and even college education does not gain a migrant an equal chance of working in the state sector or receiving equal earnings a major contribution of this study is to suggest a nine category analytic scheme which takes into account how education hukou and type of workplace affect one another in jointly influencing labour market inequality between rural migrants and urbanite workers

elite opportunity in transitional economies command economies gave communist era elites administrative control and material privilege but severely restricted money income and private wealth markets and privatization have injected new value into public assets and create unprecedented opportunities for elite insiders these opportunities depend on the extent of regime change and barriers to asset appropriation regime change varies from the survival of the entire party hierarchy to its rapid collapse and defeat in competitive elections barriers to asset appropriation vary with the extent pace and form of privatization and the concentration and liquidity of assets different combinations of such circumstances jointly affect the extent to which prior elites obtain ownership or control of privatized assets use political office to extract larger incomes move into salaried elite occupations or fall out of the elite altogether regime change and barriers to asset appropriation affect change at the national level but outcomes vary across economic sectors because of characteristics of organizations elite positions and assets this elementary theory serves to integrate varied findings from recent research on central europe china and russia and yields predictions for other regions

regional variation in earnings inequality in reform era urban china this article studies the regional variation in earnings inequality in contemporary urban china focusing on the relationship between the pace of economic reforms and earning determination through

relative versus absolute income joy of winning and gender brain imaging evidence in this paper we study the role of absolute versus relative income using functional magnetic resonance imaging fmri while being scanned in two adjacent mri scanners pairs of subjects had to simultaneously perform a simple estimation task that entailed monetary rewards for correct answers we show that a variation in the comparison subject s payment affects blood oxygenation level dependent bold responses in the ventral striatum this brain region is engaged in the prediction and registration of primary rewards such as food delivery as well as more abstract forms of rewards like money in particular we show that activation in the ventral striatum increases in absolute income and for a given level of absolute income decreases in lower relative income using a male and a female sample allows us to study whether the perception of relative and absolute incomes is gender specific we find that the effects of absolute and relative incomes are strong and relatively similar for both genders finally we analyze the importance of joy of winning i e the impact of outperforming another subject our results suggest that the mere fact of outperforming the other subject positively affects reward related brain areas

between markets and politics organizational responses to reform in china in china s economic transition firms diversify assets through investments in the rapidly expanding service sector in response to organizational uncertainty using data from a random sample of firms in shanghai the author shows that there are two situations that cause this uncertainty economic instability where weak firms struggle to survive in the rapidly changing market system and administrative instability where large firms that were the most protected are now being forced to handle the responsibilities that were previously handled by the state the result is that both types of firm seek stability by spreading out risk through investment in low risk fast return markets revealing much about the economic reforms the overall strategy of a firm reflects at any given point in time important organizational facts any decision to fundamentally alter the deployment of internal resources represents a major structural change these kinds of changes do not occur often when they do they provide us wit

optimal prizes in dynamic elimination contests theory and experimental evidence abstract this paper investigates the implications of different prize structures on effort provision in dynamic two stage elimination contests theoretical results show that for risk neutral participants a structure with a single prize for the winner of the contest maximizes total effort while a structure with two appropriately chosen prizes a runner up prize and a final prize ensures incentive maintenance across stages in contrast a structure with two prizes may dominate a winner takes all contest in both dimensions if participants are risk averse evidence from laboratory experiments is largely consistent with these predictions suggesting that contest design should account for risk attitudes of participants

the soviet transition from socialism to capitalism worker control and economic bargaining in the wood industry analyses oftlze transition from state socialisnz to capitalism pically focus on political impedimerlrs and underesritnate tlle economic obsracles to economic rransformatior1 based or1 a c ase srudy c f the soviet o o d indusrr y we argue tlzur there hill he no economic tr ansition so long as enterprises rerain two hisroric features nanzely anarchy in pr oduction and barqainit g in exrernal r elarions far jtom consrituting a re olution tlze witllerirlg away of the party srate has esaggerared rlle parhologies of rhe old econotnic order barrer has hecome nzo1 e inzpor tant conglonzerates ha1 e strengrhened their monopoly and wrkers 1la1 e greater conrr ol of tlze shop floor if there is a nzolbemenr to sar d a nzar ket economy at all it is to sar da jb1 m ofmerchant capitalisnz rlzut deepens economic under de elol nzet t and lz arts tlze rise of nzodern bourgeois capiralism

recombinant property in east european capitalism recombinant property is a form of organizational hedging in which actors respond to uncertainty by deversifying assets redefining and recombining resources it is an attempt to hold resources that can be justified by more than one legitimating principle property tansformation in postsocialist hungary involves the decentralized reorganization of assets and the centralized management of liabilities together they blur the boundaries of public and private the boundaries of enterprises and the boundedness of justificatory principles enterprise level field research data on the ownership structure of hungary s 220 largest enterprises and banks and an examination of the government s recent debt consolidation programs suggest the emergence of a distinctively east european capitalism that will differ as much from west european capitalism as do contemporary east asian variants

getting ahead in urban china this article argues that structural segmentation is a universal phenomenon in all complex societies and across political economies each political economy uses specific criteria in delineating segments of its economic and work organizations furthermore it is argued that segmentation identification constitutes a critical destination status for individuals engaged in the status attainment process a representative sample of the working population in tianjin china is analyzed to show that entrance into the core sectors state agencies and enterprises rather that the job per se constitutes the primary goal of status attainment entering into a more desirable work unit sector in china takes on differential significance and process for males and females formales the direct effect of intergenerational factors i e the effect of father s work unit sector is evident for females such an effect is only indirect instead to a great extent their status attainment also upward occupational mobility acr

social inequalities in reforming state socialism between redistribution and markets in china this article extends market transition theory to an analysis of inequality under the conditions of partial reform in china logit regression analysis indicates cadres officials have no greater odds than other households of being among the privileged or avoiding poverty entrepreneurs andformer team cadres however are advantaged despite the rise of a hybrid elite of entrepreneurs who are currently cadres that capitalizes on redistributive power to gain competitive advantage in the marketplace increases in income inequality are modest when market reform stimulates improved economic performance the poor appear to benefit and experience comparable improvements in household income as a result there is only a slight increase in inequality at least in the early stages of market reform the empirical analysis is based on survey data collected in rural china in 1985

does having a cadre parent pay evidence from the first job offers of chinese college graduates abstract we estimate the wage premium associated with having a cadre parent in china using a recent survey of college graduates carried out by the authors the wage premium of having a cadre parent is 15 and this premium cannot be explained by other observables such as college entrance exam scores quality of colleges and majors a full set of college human capital attributes and job characteristics these results suggest that the remaining premium could be the true wage premium of having a cadre parent

using competition to stimulate regulatory compliance a tournament based dynamic targeting mechanism abstract this article develops a tournament based dynamic targeting mechanism for achieving regulatory enforcement leverage in contrast to existing models which rely on a representative agent we model a game among a regulated group of agents possibly heterogeneous in their levels of a regulated activity that compete through their compliance decisions to avoid being targeted for future audits the empirical properties of the dynamic tournament are established using economics experiments in particular we test comparative statics highlight the importance of inducing competition through comparisons with a non competitive standards based targeting mechanism and demonstrate enforcement leverage through comparisons with simple random audits the experiments suggest that the dynamic tournament induces incentives consistent with theory and overall we find that introducing competition in the regulatory enforcement arena may have important advantages

democratization and economic liberalization in the postcommunist world how does economic liberalization affect political regime economic liberalization is widely regarded as inimical to democratization the washington consensus which generally endorses shock therapy and envisions a basic compatibility between economic liberalization and democratization is widely disdained in social science many scholars hold that neoliberal economics depresses popular living standards and exacerbates socioeconomic inequalities thereby compromising democratization focusing on the postcommunist region this article tests this hypothesis it examines the data that have been used to assess the relationship between economic liberalization and political democratization and presents analyses using more appropriate and differentiated techniques the authors find that economic liberalization advances rather than undermines democratization using engle granger analysis they find that although economic liberalization has no discernible impact on democratization in the short term democratiza

the internal economics of the firm evidence from personnel data we analyze twenty years of personnel data from one firm the hierarchical structure is quite simple and stable career movements suggest that the employee s rate of learning and the firm s learning about ability are important there are promotion fast tracks exit rates vary little with tenure or salary the firm has personnel policies like those described in the internal labor markets literature although several theoretical preconditions for ilms such as ports of entry and exit are lacking job levels are important to compensation but there is also substantial individual variation in pay within levels our companion paper in this issue explores the wage policy of this firm

cross national variation in occupational sex segregation i examine the relationship between the occupational distributions of men and women in 25 industrial countries and selected social economic and cultural factors recent research suggests counterintuitive international patterns of occupational sex segregation low levels of segregation in some traditional countries like japan and italy and high levels in the progressive countries of scandinavia i argue that the same economic structures that are associated with women s greater integration into the formal labor force also contributes to a deepening institutionalization of gender within the occupational structure this may occur through the incorporation of women s traditional tasks into the formal economy and or through the hierarchical andfunctional differentiation of economic activity in highly industrial societies results indicate that some primary structural characteristics of modern economies a relatively large service sector and a large employee class are associated with greater female concentration in clerical sales and service occupations however other social and cultural characteristics of these countries low rates offertility and more favorable ideological environments partially offset these segregative forces furthermore the actual penetration of egalitarian principles into the labor market appears to be mediated by the structure of interest articulation with corporatist systems showing greater propensity toward segregation

why have measures of earnings quality changed over time the properties of earnings have changed dramatically over the past 40 years prior studies interpret this trend as a decline in earnings quality but disagree on whether it results from changes in the real economy or changes in accounting standards i find that each new cohort of listed firms exhibits lower earnings quality than its predecessors mainly because of higher intangible intensity i conclude that the trend of decline in earnings quality is due more to changes in the sample of firms than to changes in generally accepted accounting principles gaap or in the earnings quality of previously listed firms

multi battle contests an experimental study this study examines behavior of subjects in simultaneous and sequential multi battle contests in simultaneous contests subjects make positive bids in each battle 80 of the time and bids fall within the predicted boundaries however 35 of the time subjects make positive bids in only two instead of all three battles and they significantly overuse moderately high bids in sequential contests theory predicts sizable bids in the first battle and no bids in the subsequent battles contrary to this prediction subjects significantly underbid in the first battle and overbid in subsequent battles consequently instead of always ending in the second battle contest proceeds to the third battle 38 of the time finally in both simultaneous and sequential settings subjects make higher aggregate bids than predicted resulting in negative expected payoffs

coping with complexity experimental evidence for narrow bracketing in multi stage contests abstract this paper investigates whether decision makers bracket their choices narrowly to facilitate complex decision problems evidence from a framing variation of rewards in experimental two stage pairwise elimination contests indicates that decision makers neglect the option value of participation in future stages of the contest if the reward frame facilitates the separate consideration of stages but not if the reward frame induces forward looking behavior decision makers account for the option value of participation in future stages of the contest independently of the reward frame however when complex strategic interactions in future stages of the contest are replaced by simple lotteries that facilitate the determination of the option value the results present novel evidence for the prevalence and the determinants of choice bracketing as a means to cope with complexity

returns to education in china we were fortunate in having access to a survey of 800 adults in nanjing that was conducted by the international wool secretariate in 1986 the survey was intended for market research e g brand recognition but questions were asked about the respondent s age occupation income and education level these questions though not ideally worded were sufficient for the undertaking of a returns to education study we believe the data to be unique and of course the issue of interest is whether a member of the workforce in china faces investment decisions on education similar to those faced elsewhere the influence of sex and marital status on the level of income achieved by an individual was also examined the basic equation modeled personal income as a nonlinear function of schooling and experience but multicollinearity problems were encountered as a result a production function approach was successfully adapted to the returns toeducation model the collinearity problem was overcome and this approach allowed the ease of substitution of education for experience in income generation to be examined more formally an additional problem of errors in variables arose from a failing in questionnaire design and was handled statistically

the ability of earnings to predict future operating cash flows has been increasing not decreasing we investigate the relationship between earnings and one year ahead operating cash flows from 1973 to 2000 although the extant research indicates a weakening relationship between contemporaneous earnings and stock prices over time we find that the relationship between current earnings and future operating cash flows has increased over time this result holds for numerous divisions of our sample out of sample predictions of operating cash flows generally show increasing forecast accuracy over time increasing accounting conservatism appears to play a role in this phenomenon

the distribution of income in china preface notes on the contributors introduction k griffin z renwei part 1 the distribution of income household income and its distribution a r khan k griffin c riskin z renwei three features of the distribution of income during the transition to reform z renwei part 2 income and wealth in rural china the determinants of household income in rural china a r khan the distribution of wealth in rural china t mckinley income distribution and poverty in rural china c riskin part 3 employment and human capital workers in china s rural industries j knight s lina why urban wages differ in china j knight s lina the determinants of educational attainment j knight l shi annex the 1988 household sample survey m eichen z ming index

the market transition debate toward a synthesis in his seminal 1989 article a theory of market transition victor nee offered a new theory of social inequality and applied it to the study of the problem of transition from state socialist redistributive economy to market capitalism nee claimed that the emergence of markets in state socialist redistributive economies had unexpected consequences the most privileged stratum or class of state socialism the redistributors lost some of their privilege while those at the bottom of the state socialist hierarchy the direct producers benefited for earlier formulations see szelenyi and konrad 1969 szelenyi 1978 and whyte 1984 as a result inequality as measured by income or access to scarce goods was reduced nee s theory identified the mechanisms by which markets generated equality under redistributive systems if wages are not administratively set but established by transactive relations then producers are likely to have more power market power if markets operate then human capital is likely to be rewarded more while political loyalty is likely to matter less market incentive if there are markets in a redistributive economy then entrepreneurship becomes an alternative avenue of socioeconomic mobility market opportunity nee 1989 data collected in 1985 in rural china offered support to the theory of market transition between 1977 and 1985 overall income inequalities in china declined the income gap between urban residents and farmers shrank the income gap in the countryside between peasants and cadres also narrowed the decline of inequality arguably was the result of deregulation of state policies in agriculture after 1977 chinese peasants received land their production targets were less strictly regulated by planners and they were allowed to bring their produce to urban markets as

changes in the value relevance of earnings and book values over the past forty years this paper investigates systematic changes in the value relevance of earnings and book values over time we report three primary findings first contrary to claims in the professional literature the combined value relevance of earnings and book values has not declined over the past forty years and in fact appears to have increased slightly second while the incremental value relevance of bottom line earnings has declined it has been replaced by increasing value relevance of book values finally much of the shift in value relevance fiom earnings to book values can be explained by the increasing frequency and magnitude of one time items the increasing frequency of negative earnings and changes in average firm size and intangible intensity across time

multiperson tournaments an experimental examination modern hierarchical organizations like corporations must motivate agents to work hard given their pyramid structure it is not surprising that one commonly used motivator is the promotion tournament in such tournaments agents compete to advance to positions at higher organizational levels though these tournaments are common little research has empirically looked at the interface of organizational structure and tournament design this paper aims to take a step in filling this void by comparing the performance of various tournament designs using controlled laboratory techniques

embeddedness and contractual relationships in china s transitional economy interfirm contracts represent common economic relations in the marketplace they are also deeply embedded in social relations and social institutions in the context of china s transitional economy this study examines how three mechanisms economizing transaction costs network based social relations and institutional links affect interfirm contractual relationships in 1 the choice of search channels for contractual partners 2 the formality and provisions in a contract and 3 the intensity of social interaction in contract implementation empirical evidence is drawn from information collected on 877 contracts from 620 firms in two chinese cities beijing and guangzhou the authors find distinct roles of social relations institutional links and regulatory environments in the initiation of contractual partners and the forms of contracts adopted whereas transaction specific factors play a significant role in the intensity of social interaction in contract implementation these findings suggest the interplay among economic calculativeness social networks and institutional links and the complementarity in the underlying theoretical ideas

a theory of market transition from redistribution to markets in state socialism state socialist redistributive economies are characterized by the allocation and distribution of goods through central planning this paper develops a theory of market transition which argues that in reforming socialist economies the transition from redistributive to market coordination shifts sources of power and privilege to favor direct producers relative to redistributors the shit improves incentives for direct producers stimulates the growth of private markets and provides to entrepreneurs an alternative path for socioeconomic mobility a set of hypotheses test the market transition theory with householdand village level data

estimating returns to education using twins in urban china abstract this paper empirically estimates the return to education using twins data that the authors collected from urban china our ordinary least squares estimate shows that one year of schooling increases an individual s earnings by 8 4 if we use a within twin fixed effects model the return is reduced to 2 7 but rises to 3 8 after the correction of measurement error these results suggest that a large portion of the estimated returns to education is due to omitted ability or the family effect we further investigate why the true return is low and the omitted ability bias high and find evidence showing that it may be a consequence of china s education system which is highly selective and exam oriented more specifically we find that high school education may mainly serve as a mechanism to select college students but as a human capital investment per se it has low returns in terms of earnings in contrast both vocational school education and college education have a large return that is comparable to that found in the united states

how many winners are good to have on tournaments with sabotage abstract from an employer s perspective a tournament should induce agents to exert productive activities but refrain from destructive ones we experimentally test the predictive power of a tournament model which suggests that within a reasonable framework productive and destructive activities are influenced neither by the number of agents taking part in the tournament nor by the fraction of the winner prizes our results clearly confirm that sabotage in tournaments indeed occurs while tournament size has virtually no effect on behavior a balanced fraction of winner and loser prizes appears to enhance productive activities

job assignments signalling and efficiency this article analyzes a model in which information about a worker s ability is only directly revealed to the firm employing the worker other firms however use the worker s job assignment as a signal of ability three results recur throughout the analysis first wage rates tend to be more closely associated with jobs than with ability levels second there is frequently an inefficient assignment of workers to jobs i e even when a firm has complete information about a worker s output third the severity of this inefficiency tends to be negatively correlated with the level of firm specific human capital in the economy

market and institutional determinants of wage differentiation in russia using a range of official and survey data the author evaluates the relative success of two approaches competitive labor market theory and industrial relations theory institutional economics in explaining wage determination in russia following a review of the analysis of wage determination by an influential team of world bank economists the author shows that increased wage inequality in russia is dominated by inequality within occupational categories within local labor markets such inequality he suggests is primarily associated with inter firm differences in wage levels rather than barriers to labor mobility or differences in human capital such a pattern of differentiation entirely accords with the analyses of those institutional economists and industrial relations theorists who stress the role of the wage in regulating and motivating the labor force above its role in securing labor market equilibrium the paper concludes by outlining the institutional framework of wage determination that underli

market transition and the deinstitutionalization of standard work hours in post socialist china the authors investigate the relationship between market transition and work hours in urban china regression analysis of data from the 2006 chinese general social survey reveals a negative relationship between economic marketization measured at the province level and the likelihood that an employee works standard hours standard hours are less common among those working for smaller employers which are less subject to outside scrutiny this relationship between employer size and standard hours is stronger in more marketized regions these findings support the authors argument that standard work hours are deinstitutionalized as employers strive for low cost and flexibility in china s increasingly marketized but poorly regulated economy comparisons of the chinese experience with recent trends in the united states reveal remarkable similarities in the weakening of social employment contracts precipitated by the ascendency of markets and the systematic disempowering of labor

revolution reform and status inheritance urban china 1949 1996 do regime change and market reform disrupt patterns of intergenerational mobility china s political trajectory is distinctive from that of other communist regimes in two ways during its first three decades the regime enforced unusually restrictive barriers to elite status inheritance and during the subsequent market transition unlike most of its counterparts the communist party survived intact data from a multigeneration survey suggest that despite their obvious exclusion from the party and related administrative careers in the mao era certain prerevolution elites transmitted one type of elite status to their offspring to a surprising degree party elites in contrast were hit hard by radical maoism but recovered quickly afterward and their offspring inherited elite status at much higher rates

performance promotion and the peter principle this paper considers why organizations use promotions rather than just monetary bonuses to motivate employees even though this may conflict with efficient assignment of employees to jobs when performance is unverifiable use of promotion reduces the incentive for managers to be affected by influence activities that would blunt the effectiveness of monetary bonuses when employees are risk neutral use of promotion for incentives need not distort assignments when they are risk averse it may sufficient conditions for this are given the distortion may be either to promote more employees than is efficient the peter principle effect or fewer

local governments as industrial firms an organizational analysis of china s transitional economy despite widespread skepticism about government ownership in transitional economies china s rapid industrial growth has been led by public enterprises kornai s theory of soft budbet constraints born of the failure of earlier hungarian reforms fosters such skepticism but it assumes as fixed organizational characteristics that in fact vary widely across government jurisdictions local governments with smaller industrial bases have clearer financial incentives and constraints fewer nonfinancial interests in enterprises and a greater capacity to monitor them in china s vast public sector the fastest growth in output and productivity has occurred where government ownership rights are clearest and most easily enforced which enables officials to manage public industry as a diversified market oriented firm

single and double elimination all pay tournaments abstract tournaments consisting of iterative matches are a common mechanism for determining how to allocate a prize for this reason it is important to understand the behavioral as well as the theoretical properties of different tournament structures given that laboratory experiments have consistently found high levels of overbidding in contests one might suspect that double elimination tournaments would generate substantially more total investment than single elimination tournaments despite the two types of tournaments generating theoretically equivalent expected aggregate investment this paper reports a set of laboratory experiments designed to test this comparison the results indicate that aggregate investment is similar between the two tournaments despite behavioral differences in bidding strategies

more shock than therapy market transition employment and income in russia 1991 1995 sixteen predictions from market transition theory are assessed using survey data on employment earnings and income in russia during the first five years of market reform although the private sector has grown self employment is still rare incomes are down and unemployment is up a distended income distribution reflects unprecedented income inequality distinctive features of late soviet era stratification persist low returns to education a gender gap in earnings and low earnings among professionals the russian market transition offers more opportunity in trade consumer services and speculation and less in manufacturing than do other emerging makets this corresponds to merchat capitalism and contradicts the predictions of market transition theory everything the communists told us about communism was a lie everything they told us about capitalism turns out to be true popular russian joke circa 1996

the changing time series properties of earnings cash flows and accruals has financial reporting become more conservative abstract this paper documents changes in the patterns of earnings cash flows and accruals over the last four decades in the absence of a generally accepted definition of conservatism a number of measures of reporting conservatism are identified and examined these measures rely on the accumulation of nonoperating accruals the timeliness of earnings with respect to bad and good news characteristics of the earnings distribution and the market to book ratio the patterns are consistent with an increase in conservative financial reporting over time the findings have implications for accounting standard setting regulation of financial information and financial statement analysis

individual risk attitudes measurement determinants and behavioral consequences this paper studies risk attitudes using a large representative survey and a complementary experiment conducted with a representative subject pool in subjects homes using a question asking people about their willingness to take risks in general we find that gender age height and parental background have an economically significant impact on willingness to take risks the experiment confirms the behavioral validity of this measure using paid lottery choices turning to other questions about risk attitudes in specific contexts we find similar results on the determinants of risk attitudes and also shed light on the deeper question of stability of risk attitudes across contexts we conduct a horse race of the ability of different measures to explain risky behaviors such as holdings stocks occupational choice and smoking the question about risk taking in general generates the best all round predictor of risky behavior

self selection and the efficiency of tournaments when exogenously imposed rank order tournaments have incentive properties but their overall efficiency is reduced by a high variance in performance bull schotter and weigelt 1987 however since the efficiency of performance related pay is attributable both to its incentive effect and to its selection effect among employees lazear 2000 it is important to investigate the ex ante sorting effect of tournaments this paper reports results from an experiment analyzing whether allowing subjects to self select into different payment schemes helps in reducing the variability of performance in tournaments we show that when the subjects choose to enter a tournament the average effort is higher and the between subject variance is substantially lower than when the same payment scheme is imposed sorting is efficiency enhancing since it increases the homogeneity of the contestants we suggest that the flexibility of the labor market is an important condition for a higher efficiency of relative performance pay

economic transformation and income inequality in urban china evidence from panel data using panel data of 4 730 urban residents drawn from 20 cities in china this article examines changes in income determinants between the prereform and reform eras to guide this empirical study a conceptual model is developed that emphasizes the coevolution of politics and markets to synthesize theoretical ideas in the recent debate on the transformation of state socialist societies the findings show significant changes in returns to education and in the rise of private hybrid firms in the reform era there is also strong evidence of institutional persistence in returns to positional power and in the organizational hierarchy these findings reveal multifaceted processes of transformation that call for more sophisticated theoretical models and in depth institutional analyses

tightening up declining class mobility during russia s market transition this study analyzes intergenerational occupational mobility in late soviet and post soviet russia using data from six surveys belying claims that class differences did not matter in the soviet union the authors find that social origin did affect occupational opportunity during russia s soviet period but the transition from state socialism to a market economy tightened the link between origins and destinations men and women were equally constrained by their social origin even though they faced significantly different opportunity structures in both periods as the economic transformation took hold fewer russians experienced upward mobility and more were downwardly mobile political and economic transition not the demographic replacement of retiring cohorts by younger ones strengthened the association between origins and destinations career mobility during the 1990s took the form of a regression toward origins as workers who had the most upward mobility during the soviet era lost the most in the tr

market transition industrialization and social mobility trends in postrevolution china1 this study examines trends in intergenerational class mobility in china by analyzing six comparable nationally representative surveys between 1996 and 2012 defying a simplistic unidirectional ac

are cadre offspring in the fast lane evidence from the labour market for college graduates in china this paper studies the impact of having a cadre parent on the labour market performance and channels of the intergenerational transference using a recent data set we find that college graduates w

accounting for urban china s rising income inequality the roles of labor market human capital and marriage market factors this paper analyzes china s rising family income inequality since the early 1990s when the urban labor market started its transformation from a centrally controlled to a market driven one we document the trends in income inequality over the period of 1992 2009 using the urban household survey data and adopt the approach recently proposed by eika et al 2014 to decompose changes in income inequality we find that labor market factors accounted for about three quarters of the overall increases in income inequality while falling marriage rate contributed the other quarter changes in human capital levels and marital assortativeness have not contributed to the rising inequality jel d31 i26 j12

do tournaments have incentive effects much attention has been devoted to studying models of tournaments or situations in which an individual s payment depends only on his or her output or rank relative to that of other competitors academic interest derives from the fact that under certain sets of assumptions tournaments have desirable normative properties because of the incentive structures they provide our paper uses nonexperimental data to test whether tournaments actually elicit effort responses we focus on professional golf tournaments because information on the incentive structure prize distribution and measures of individual output players scores are both available we find strong support for the proposition that the level and structure of prizes in pga tournaments influence players performance

market expansion state intervention and wage differentials between economic sectors in urban china a multilevel analysis the rising earnings inequality in china has sparked a heated debate on the socioeconomic outcomes of market transformation while a large body of literature has focussed on the temporal trend of wage inequality during the reform period much less attention has been devoted to the structural causes of regional variations in sectoral wage differentials using a micro data sample from the 2005 one percent population sample survey and multilevel methods this article examines the geographic variability of wage differentials between economic sectors in urban china with a particular focus on the combination effects of market expansion and state intervention the results indicate that sectoral wage differentials vary substantially across regions and that market expansion interacts with state intervention to reconfigure earnings outcomes specifically prefectures located in the interior region tend to exhibit a large wage premium for the state sectors while prefectures located in the coastal region tend to di

market transition and the persistence of power the changing stratification system in urban china research on transitional socialist societies has explored trends in income inequality and issues concerning who gains and who loses during market reforms we find that income inequality in a major chinese city declined only slightly during the first decade of reform policies it then increased dramatically in the subsequent five years strategic position in the state bureaucracy continues to be an important determinant of income although connections to the market system are becoming alternate sources of advantage we interpret these findings in light of the historical and institutional context of urban china

markets and inequality in transitional economies toward testable theories nee s 1989 and in this issue market transition theory contested by xie and hannum in this issue claims that market mechanisms have predictable implications for inequality compared to nonmarket allocation market exchange enhances the bargaining power of producers nee p 910 the core argument is that cadre advantages shall decline to the extent that markets replace redistribution as the dominant mode of economic allocation while in successive publications nee has altered his judgment about how far the market transition has proceeded in rural china and whether his theory does predict a decline of cadre privilege he has not altered the core claim about market allocation market economies vary widely in their patterns of power and privilege in ways unrelated to the extent to which a market economy has been established the variability of market economies warns against attempts to predict changes in inequality without first specifying the kinds of enterprises and other institutions that characterize the emerging market economy or even the characteristics of markets themselves we have been tempted into these predictions by the memorable polanyian contrast between two ideal typical economies redistributive and market that has proven a rich source of hypotheses about stratification szelenyi 1978 1983 and the theory of the firm kornai 1992 under state socialism this contrast has crystallized a research agenda by posing an important historical question about the social impact of the rise of market allocation in planned economies especially as it concerns the fate of communist officials but many now find that these ideal types and the continuum that bridges them are a poor guide to the analysis of emerging market economies see bian and logan 1996 lin 1995 rona tas 1994 1995 walder 1992 1995 and stark and xie and hannum in this issue general claims about the impact of markets should be viewed skeptically for the impact of markets works through the allocation of assets the characteristics of emerging markets and the political processes by which market economies are established markets per se are not the issue

asymmetric tournaments equal opportunity laws and affirmative action some experimental results this paper assesses whether affirmative action programs and equal opportunity laws affect the output of economic agents more precisely we find that equal opportunity laws and affirmative action programs always benefit disadvantaged groups equal opportunity laws also increase the effort levels of all subjects and hence the profits of the tournament administrator usually the firm the effects of affirmative action programs depend on the severity of a group s cost disadvantage when the cost disadvantage is severe these programs significantly increase effort levels and hence profits the opposite is true when the disadvantage is slight

determinants of entrepreneurial activities in china abstract the institutional environment including protection of private properties and contract enforcement has been rather unfavorable for the emergence and development of china s private enterprises this is in sharp contrast to the case of the developed economies where the institutional environment is conductive to the entrepreneurial activities and only the personal attributes of would be entrepreneurs determine their entrepreneurship decision we thus propose a theoretical framework for the entrepreneurship decision in china with a focus on the role of the institutional environment using a life histories survey data of 2854 respondents from twenty cities in china we find strong support for the impacts of the institutional environment and its interactions with other determinants of entrepreneurship decision

changes in accrual properties and operating environment implications for cash flow predictability abstract this paper reconciles conflicting evidence in prior literature on the relative ability of earnings and cash flows in predicting future cash flows further we investigate the implications of temporal shifts in accrual properties and operating environment for cash flow predictability three key insights emerge first cash flows consistently outperform earnings in predicting future cash flows second accruals and its components including those capturing non articulating events have incremental albeit small predictive ability over cash flows third earnings ability to predict future cash flows has increased over the period 1989 2015 due to changes in operating environment rather than accrual properties

uncertainty resolution and the theory of depreciation measurement this paper examines how a firm s depreciation policy influences the relation between the resulting accounting numbers and the market value of the firm s equity traditional financial accounting theory conceptualizes depreciation measurement as a cost allocation procedure that matches an investment s cost with the flow of benefits it produces as has long been recognized in a setting with certain future cash flows and zero net present value npv investments investment costs can be allocated using standard present value techniques to yield at each date book values equal to market values and accounting earnings equal to economic earnings 2 the resulting book value and accounting earnings numbers are such that for all periods the book rate of return equals the cost of

getting paid wage arrears and stratification in russia1 wage arrears have played an important yet unappreciated role in the stratification of contemporary russian society delays in wage payments became rampant and persistent during the 1990s because of the particular structural institutional and policy context that accompanied russia s market reforms recent improvements in russia s economy have reduced but not eliminated wage arrears an innovative practice that has become institutionalized in some but not all postsocialist societies analyses of survey data collected in early 1998 confirm the independent stratifying role of arrears inequality in getting paid is socially structured in a different manner than inequality in contracted wages and the former proves equally or more decisive in shaping inequality in actual wages arrears occur with some regularity in other national and historical contexts this study of russia shows that where arrears are rampant researchers should incorporate them into conceptual and empirical models of earnings inequalit

the ability of earnings to predict future earnings and cash flow this paper examines the value relevance of earnings by testing their ability to predict two future benefits of equity investment earnings and cash flow from operations previous research discussed below has given an incomplete view of earnings predictive ability as it has typically focused on short horizons while ignoring the longer term benefits that are also valued as in ohlson 1990 i test earnings ability to predict future earnings and future cash flow from operations1 one through eight years ahead using annual data from

promotions demotions halo effects and the earnings dynamics of american executives this paper explores the determinants of earnings growth in corporate hierarchies using static and dynamic panel data techniques the novelty derives from the distinction between base pay and bonus the asymmetric effects of promotion and demotion and the consideration of dynamic effects we find that the convexity of pay structures is robust to the allowance for unobserved individual heterogeneity demotion has a stronger effect on compensation growth in absolute value than promotion dynamic models indicate that the causal effect of past promotion is positive on the growth in base and total pay but has no significant effect on bonus growth

progressive taxation in a tournament economy abstract not enough is known about the responsiveness of individuals in particular those who work under different incentives to changes in marginal tax rates we ask whether changes in tax rates are less distortionary for workers engaged in a contest to examine this potential rationale for a more progressive tax code we first model the effort decisions of workers faced with progressive taxation under tournaments and piece rates because of the difficulty identifying any distortion that may be induced by the tax code in naturally occurring data we then report on the results of a real effort experiment based on this model consistent with a behavioral approach to public finance we find that competitive tournament workers are less sensitive and hint in our discussion at the possible welfare benefits of progressive taxation in tournament economies

wealth accumulation and the propensity to plan why do similar households end up with very different levels of wealth we show that differences in the attitudes and skills with which they approach e nancial planning are a signie cant factor we use new and unique survey data to assess these differences and to measure each household s propensity to plan we show that those with a higher such propensity spend more time developing e nancial plans and that this shift in planning is associated with increased wealth these e ndings are consistent with broad psychological evidence concerning the benee cial impacts of planning on goal pursuit those with a high propensity to plan may be better able to control their spending and thereby achieve their goal of wealth accumulation we e nd direct evidence supporting this effortful self control channel in the very strong relationship we uncover between the propensity to plan and budgeting behavior

asymmetric employer information promotions and the wage policy of firms abstract this paper provides evidence that inefficient promotion strategies and large wage increases upon promotion may both arise as a consequence of asymmetric employer information building on the seminal work by waldman 1984a and milgrom and oster 1987 we first present a model that illustrates how both phenomena may jointly arise due to the information revealing character of promotions using experimental labor markets we find evidence consistent with asymmetric employer information being a causal factor for both inefficient promotions and large wage increases upon promotion furthermore we analyze the effect of asymmetric employer information on profits and turnover

market culture and authority a comparative analysis of management and organization in the far east three frameworks purport to explain industrial arrangements and practices a market approach that emphasizes economic characteristics a cultural approach that sees organization as the expression of patterned values and an authority approach that explains organization as a historically developed structure of domination the efficacy of each approach is tested in explaining the organizational structures of three rapidly growing east asian economies japan south korea and taiwan the paper argues through comparative analysis that organizational growth is best explained by market and cultural factors but that authority patterns and legitimation strategies best explain organizational structure

emotions in tournaments abstract we introduce a concept of emotions that emerge when agents compare their own performance with the performances of other agents assuming heterogeneity among the agents the interplay of emotions and incentives is analyzed within the framework of rank order tournaments which are frequently used in practice tournaments seem to be an appropriate starting point for this concept because a tournament induces incentives by making agents compare themselves with their opponents we identify certain conditions under which the principal benefits from emotional agents furthermore the concept of emotions is used to explain the puzzling findings on the oversupply of effort in experimental tournaments