permanent income hedonic prices and demand for housing new evidence abstract housing demand is examined by looking quite specifically at the income and price variables based on individual household data permanent and transitory incomes are computed through instrumental variables related to human and nonhuman wealth a price is constructed by spatially varying hedonic techniques separation of measured income into permanent and transitory components substantially improves the predictive power of the housing demand estimation and leads to demand elasticities of 1 and 1 with respect to permanent income and price the permanent income elasticity is roughly twice the measured income elasticity

an empirical investigation of alternative approaches to estimating the equilibrium demand for housing two approaches to estimating the desired or equilibrium housing demand parameters have been utilized in recent literature one approach commonly referred to as the conventional model assumes that households continuously consume their temporal equilibrium housing services where a temporal equilibrium is defined with respect to the household s current economic and demographic characteristics based upon this assumption conventional demand studies have employed random samples which include a majority of households that have not recently moved see lee and kong 6 or carliner 2 a problem with this approach is its failure to recognize moving costs households must pay to alter their housing service consumption the existence of moving costs suggests that households may not respond rapidly to changes in their desired consumption of housing but instead remain in their dwelling unit until the cost incurred from consuming the non equilibrium level of services exceeds the cost of relocating if so demand samples employed in conventional studies may include a significant number of disequilibrium observations this causes two problems first there exist measurement errors in independent variables that have changed since the household was last in equilibrium second the true equilibrium effect of an independent variable may be incorrectly estimated due to its correlation with either the occurrence of disequilibrium or the length of the housing adjustment lag the second approach to estimating the equilibrium parameters attempts to minimize these problems by restricting the sample to households that have recently moved see hanushek and quigley 3 or aaron l

optimal inventory and hedging decisions with cvar consideration abstract we consider a newsvendor who makes an ordering decision to meet stochastic demand and buys a put option written on the demand to hedge against the risk of low demand to maximize his expected utility which is measured by the conditional value at risk cvar the put option is fairly priced with specifications for the strike price and the strike quantity with the consideration of lost sale penalty cost we derive structural results on the optimal ordering and hedging polices we show that the newsvendor will not order more than that without the option contract when the strike quantity is pre determined and low and he will order more when the strike quantity is a decision variable moreover the optimal strike quantity is less than or equal to the optimal order quantity in the risk neutral setting and interestingly there are cases in which the optimal hedging ratio first increases then keeps constant as the newsvendor becomes less risk averse we also show that the value of the put option increases as the newsvendor becomes more risk averse and demand becomes more uncertain furthermore the effect of risk aversion on the value of the option highly depends on the magnitudes of the system parameters

targeted saving by renters for housing purchase in japan abstract this paper examines the extent to which wealth accumulation for housing purchase increases household savings and suppresses consumption the study employs an estimation method based on simultaneous equations with limited dependent variables developed by nelson and olson to examine the relationship between wealth accumulation and housing purchase plans using data relating to young japanese renters the estimation results provide evidence that young japanese households severely reduce their consumption by around 30 40 percent

do regions benefit from active labour market policies a macroeconometric evaluation using spatial panel methods dauth w hujer r and wolf k do regions benefit from active labour market policies a macroeconometric evaluation using spatial panel methods regional studies the effect of active labour market policies on all job seekers in a region is assessed using the variation in the participation in these programmes across regions over time the starting point is an augmented regional matching function which is extended by allowing for a heterogeneous search effectiveness parameter for current participants and job seekers who finished a measure recently a spatial dynamic panel data model is estimated by using a quasi ml estimation procedure it is found that job schemes in the non profit sector wage subsidies and advancement of apprenticeships significantly increase the regional number of matches

government policies and household mobility behaviour in singapore this paper provides a rigorous study on the change in central provident fund cpf policy in singapore on 1 september 2002 on household mobility in general and on the affordability and accessibility of potential home buyers in particular the change brought about increased accessibility but reduced affordability for home buyers the latter has an impact on the shortfall months which are positively related to changes in mortgage rate mortgage term and property price and negatively related to the amount of cpf available for home purchases further the low critical price that households can afford without experiencing any shortfall implies that the majority of public and private home buyers will be affected by the policy change consequently the improvement in accessibility by allowing the use of cpf for downpayment may stimulate demand at the cost of higher financial risk to home buyers and mortgage lenders

relative efficiencies and comparative advantages in job search a model of employed and unemployed job search is estimated from a panel of new entrants into the labor force as well as prime age workers after investigating the relative efficiency of the two mai

demand for housing in tokyo a discrete choice analysis tiwari p and hasegawa h 2004 demand for housing in tokyo a discrete choice analysis reg studies 38 27 42 housing is a commodity which is a bundle of characteristics specific to a housing market tenure income and other household characteristics voluminous literature exists on housing demand in which a quantitative measure defined as housing services is used to measure housing demand housing or more precisely the service stream from a housing unit is a heterogeneous commodity some dimensions such as age or size of structure are measured on a continuous scale others such as tenure or type of structure are discrete properties measuring the volume of housing services as housing expenditure as is done in previous research essentially ignores the heterogeneity and for large number of policy purposes like impact of tax on tenure choice choice between owning and renting etc the distribution of housing consumption into qualitatively different categories is of more interest than an ag

estimation and policy implications of rental housing demand abstract the demand for rental housing using the annual housing survey smsa sample for 1977 is estimated the principal determinants of rental housing demand namely housing price and permanent transitory income are computed through spatially varying hedonic price techniques and instrumental variables methods relating to human and nonhuman capital respectively based on the demand estimation results impacts of hypothetical cash and rent subsidy programs are analyzed in terms of housing and welfare effects it is found that a rent subsidy achieves considerably larger effects than does a cash subsidy

risk preferences and robust inventory decisions abstract recently in inventory management instead of maximizing expected profit or minimizing expected cost risk averse objective functions have been used for determining the optimal order quantity we use the well known newsvendor model to determine the optimal order quantity for an objective function with two risk parameters which can describe risk neutral risk averse as well as risk taking behaviour of the inventory manager this approach can also be applied to situations in which the demand distribution cannot be specified uniquely we consider robust optimization procedures maximin and minimax regret to determine optimal order quantities if the set of potential demand variables can be partially ordered by stochastic dominance rules

would a risk averse newsvendor order less at a higher selling price we model a risk averse newsvendor s decision making behavior with some commonly used classes of utility functions within the expected utility theory eut framework under fairly general conditions of eut we show that a risk averse newsvendor will order less than an arbitrarily small quantity as selling price gets larger if price is higher than a threshold value i e the optimal order quantity decreases as the selling price increases

tenure choice and the demand for housing this paper deals with the estimation by means of nonlinear methods of preference parameters from observation of behaviour in housing markets it differs from previous work on housing market behaviour in several important aspects first it treats the choice of tenure mode that is whether to rent or own and the housing consumption decision as a joint decision second it explicitly uses the same behavioural model in analysing these discrete and continuous elements of housing market behaviour third it allows for an analysis of the role of capital market imperfections and discriminatory practices in constraining housing market decisions

a model of competition between unemployed and employed job searchers an application to the unemployment outflow rate in britain this paper proposes a model to explain the allocation of new jobs to workers the central innovation is the analysis of the competition for jobs between employed and unemployed job searchers it is argued that the endogeneity of the fraction of the employed engaging in search is a crucial determinant of the unemployment outflow rate the model is applied to the unemployment outflow rate in britain the model fits the data well and encompasses its main rival copyright 1993 by royal economic society

land values and housing rents in urban japan abstract this paper describes and systematically explains observed variation in land values and housing rents in urban japan it fits a structural model s reduced form equations to intertemporal data over 35 years intercity data across 27 major cities and intracity data in the three largest metropolitan areas explanatory variables are population income their growth rates the interest rate the inflation rate urban land supply and distance from the city center

demand for housing attributes in developing countries a study of pakistan the paper has applied a conventional framework of analysis of implicit markets to determine the characteristics of demand for housing attributes of quantity and quality in the urban areas of a larg

do employers use unemployment as a sorting criterion when hiring evidence from a field experiment the stigma associated with long term unemployment spells could create large inefficiencies in labor markets while the existing literature points toward large stigma effects it has proven difficult to estimate causal relationships using data from a field experiment we find that long term unemployment spells in the past do not matter for employers hiring decisions suggesting that subsequent work experience eliminates this negative signal nor do employers treat contemporary short term unemployment spells differently suggesting that they understand that worker firm matching takes time however employers attach a negative value to contemporary unemployment spells lasting at least nine months providing evidence of stigma effects

public housing in singapore interpreting quality in the 1990s while writings exist on various aspects of public housing in singapore recent developments in the 1990s have not yet been given any serious academic attention our intention in this paper is to fo

newsvendor solutions via conditional value at risk minimization abstract in this paper we consider the minimization of the conditional value at risk cvar a most preferable risk measure in financial risk management in the context of the well known single period newsvendor problem which is originally formulated as the maximization of the expected profit or the minimization of the expected cost we show that downside risk measures including the cvar are tractable in the problem due to their convexity and consequently under mild assumptions on the probability distribution of products demand we provide analytical solutions or linear programming lp formulation of the minimization of the cvar measures defined with two different loss functions numerical examples are also exhibited clarifying the difference among the models analyzed in this paper and demonstrating the efficiency of the lp solutions

unemployment duration unemployment benefits and labor market programs in sweden abstract standard search theory as well as some empirical evidence suggest that an unemployed individual s probability of entering employment increases as he approaches the time when unemployment benefits are due to expire this pattern may not carry over to a country like sweden where labor market programs are targeted at the long term unemployed at risk of benefit exhaustion the paper examines transitions out of unemployment using data on unemployed individuals in sweden a semi parametric competing risks model for transitions to employment labor market programs and non participation is estimated there is some evidence that the exit rate from unemployment to employment increases as benefit exhaustion is approached

do the rich and poor colocate in large cities abstract this paper focuses on colocation rather than segregation in the context of japanese large cities using the time cost of commuting from traditional urban economic theory we analyze how different income households are sorted according to the distance from the city center by examining microdata on housing prices and rents in tokyo metropolitan area we find that the rich and poor tend to colocate and are sorted by income near the city center for detached housing prices this is predicted if the income differential is large enough we also find that different income groups coexist in the same location for condominium prices this is predicted if the income elasticity of demand for space is close to one and the pecuniary cost of commuting is zero

income taxes and housing this paper presents new estimates of the distributional impact of special income tax provisions relating to housing it also discusses possible secondary effects of these tax factors resulting from adjustments in the returns to capital shifts in investment and changes in the housing stock the tax benefits to homeowners are shown to be

job search stigma effect and escape rate from unemployment this article formulates job search models incorporating certain types of the stigma effect of unemployment it is assumed that the probability of getting a job offer given the unemployment individual contacts the firm is influenced by the duration of unemployment and is justified in a signaling context the optimal search is analyzed for one sector as well as across several independent labor market segments it is shown that there are reasonably general conditions on the search environments for which both the individual reservation wage and escape rate are negative duration dependent a fact observed in empirical studies

a limiting joint choice model for discrete and continuous housing characteristics a simultaneous discrete and continuous random utility model for housing demand is presented household utility depends on three characteristics of hou sing a discrete number of bedrooms and continuous measures of hous i ng quality and distance to the central business district empirical r esults for a sample of renter households from san francisco are compa red for a univariate structure in which each choice variable has its own utility or disutility function a simultaneous structure assuming a discrete continuous analog of the independence of irrelevant alter natives and one for which this assumption is relaxed the results in dicate that the third structure is most appropriate copyright 1988 by mit press

robust inventory decision under distribution uncertainty a cvar based optimization approach abstract we study the robust inventory decision making problem faced by risk averse managers with incomplete demand information in a newsvendor setting three basic models are developed expected profit maximization cvar based profit maximization and a combination of the two each model is robustly formulated under the assumption of ellipsoid discrete distribution and again under the box discrete distribution each robust model can be mathematically transformed into a second order cone program for ellipsoid uncertainty or into a general convex optimization problem for box uncertainty both transformed problems can be optimally solved directly we offer propositions with proof to show the equivalence of the transformed problems with the original ones numerical examples are given to validate the proposed approach we find that the performances under both ellipsoid and box uncertain distributions are robust finally sensitivity analysis with respect to risk averse levels and trade off coefficients is conducted to validate the proposed models and solution approaches

newsvendor problem with random shortage cost under a risk criterion abstract we study profit maximization vs risk approaches for the standard newsvendor problem with uncertainty in demand as well as a generalized version with uncertainty in the shortage cost as often applies in practice we consider two well known risk approaches value at risk var included as a constraint and conditional value at risk cvar we first derive the explicit expressions of the optimal solution with uncertainty of shortage cost under different risk measures and then perform a numerical analysis to quantify the effect of uncertainty in shortage cost and risk measures for the standard newsvendor problem we find that the optimal quantity under cvar is always lower than that under the var constraint which in turn is lower than the order quantity that maximizes the expected profit insightful explanations for this result are that a a higher degree of risk aversion drives the newsvendor to order fewer products increasing the likelihood that all will be sold b this effect is stronger for the cvar approach as this does not consider the expected profit at all another interesting and counter intuitive observation for the cvar approach is that a higher retail price may lead to a smaller order quantity as fewer items need to be sold in order to attain a sufficient profit these results show that one should be careful in employing the cvar risk measure for newsvendor type problems the results remain valid if the shortage cost becomes uncertain however increased uncertainty of this type does improve the relative profitability under the cvar approach by increasing the order quantity under that criterion whilst there is no effect under the other criteria

risk aversion in inventory management traditional inventory models focus on risk neutral decision makers i e characterizing replenishment strategies that maximize expected total profit or equivalently minimize expected total cost over a planning horizon in this paper we propose a framework for incorporating risk aversion in multiperiod inventory models as well as multiperiod models that coordinate inventory and pricing strategies we show that the structure of the optimal policy for a decision maker with exponential utility functions is almost identical to the structure of the optimal risk neutral inventory and pricing policies these structural results are extended to models in which the decision maker has access to a partially complete financial market and can hedge its operational risk through trading financial securities computational results demonstrate that the optimal policy is relatively insensitive to small changes in the decision maker s level of risk aversion

raiding opportunities and unemployment this article studies the impact of raiding opportunities in a labor market in which worker abilities differ recruiting firms can either raid an elsewhere employed worker of known ability by bidding up his wage or go through costly search to find a good worker among the unemployed in equilibrium all types of workers experience unemployment high ability workers involuntarily the raiding opportunities give rise to involuntary unemployment without changing the basic properties of the competitive model and thus suggest new implications of various institutional parameters on unemployment in particular unemployment compensation minimum wages wage taxation and search requirements

risk preferences of a newsvendor with service and loss constraints abstract using the newsvendor framework we present an approach to determine an order quantity which is relevant for the observed ordering behavior of an inventory manager whereas in literature just one constraint has been used we suggest two conflicting constraints the service constraint specified by a target value for the cycle service level is fulfilled by high order quantities the loss constraint is characterized by a target resulting in losses is met by low order quantities choosing as objective function a mean deviation rule where risk attitudes are measured by the conditional value at risk the optimal order quantity is determined depending on the risk parameters if the newsvendor is not able to specify the risk preferences we use the constraints to describe the risk attitudes of the decision maker in dependence of the profitability of the product and its demand distribution including those products where no admissible order quantity exists if there are admissible solutions we identify conditions such that the service constraint is dominating i e the prescribed service level is high and necessarily risk taking behavior is implied contrary if the loss constraint dominates i e the probability of loss is low the decision maker in any case is a risk averter but if both the service target and the loss target are not too challenging then for products with high profitability all risk preferences are possible

tenure choice and housing demand in japan abstract this paper reports the results of an empirical analysis of tenure choice and housing demand that makes use of household level data from japan the paper finds that the price and permanent income elasticities of demand for owneroccupied housing are approximately 0 8 and 1 4 respectively and that these estimates are highly robust the price elasticity estimate is comparable to those for other countries but the income elasticity estimate is much higher possibly because of the greater accuracy of the income variable it is also found that the tenure choice and housing demand decisions are apparently not made simultaneously

the impact of dwelling quality and neighbourhood quality on the estimation of the income elasticity of demand for rental housing in jeddah saudi arabia this study provides new evidence on the estimation of the income elasticity of demand for rental housing based on individual interviews with 405 households it looks specifically at the impact of both dwelling and neighbourhood quality aspects on the evaluation of this elasticity the study finds that the income elasticity of demand for rental housing in jeddah is 0 519 when the sample is restricted to include saudi households only the elasticity estimate is 0 465 these values are within the range of previous empirical estimates the results also indicate that for a range of various quality measures the income elasticity is estimated to be less than unity but our suggested quality aspects were found to exert sizeable differences on the magnitude of this elasticity for the full sample from 0 351 to 0 802 as well as for the saudi sample from 0 382 to 0 603 stratified income elasticity estimates for saudis were also found to be generally less than those for the whole sample

job competition and the wage curve longhi s job competition and the wage curve regional studies the wage curve literature consistently finds a negative relationship between regional unemployment rates and regional wages the most widely accepted theoretical explanations interpret the unemployment rate as a measure of job competition this paper proposes new ways of measuring job competition alternative to the unemployment rate and finds that the negative relationship still holds when job competition is measured following the job search literature while for men the wage impact of the theoretically based measures of job competition is rather similar to the wage impact of the unemployment rate for women the difference is substantial longhi s la competition pour l emploi et la courbe des salaires regional studies la documentation sur la courbe des salaires affirme systematiquement que le taux de chomage regional est en correlation faible avec les salaires regionaux les explications theoriques les plus recues considerent le taux de

robust inventory management with stock out substitution abstract stock out substitution is a well documented phenomenon that occurs when customers seek a different product as a substitute for their first choice item if it runs out of stock we consider a single period inventory model with limited information regarding the external demands i e mean variance and covariance and focus on identifying the inventory levels that maximize the worst case expected profit we formulate a two stage optimization model the second stage characterizes the worst case joint demand distribution by treating the inventory levels as input parameters and the first stage identifies the optimal inventory levels based on the results of the second stage the closed form solution of the second stage problem is analytically intractable except for two special cases we develop closed form solutions for these two special cases and use them to develop a heuristic for the general case an extensive numerical study over a wide range of parameters indicates that the performance of the heuristic that we develop is nearly optimal we also provide insights into the effects of demand correlation substitution rate and other parameters on the optimal worst case expected profit of the system

robust optimal policies of production and inventory with uncertain returns and demand abstract we consider an inventory and production planning problem with uncertain demand and returns in which the product return process is integrated into the manufacturing process over a finite planning horizon we first propose an inventory control model for the return and remanufacturing processes with consideration of the uncertainty of the demand and returns then a robust optimization approach is applied to deal with the uncertainty of the problem through formulating a robust linear programming model moreover properties on the robust optimization model are studied and an equivalent robust optimization model based on duality theory is obtained which allows the solutions to be derived more efficiently finally we provide a set of numerical examples to verify the effectiveness of the approach and analyze the effects of the key parameters on the solutions

job search by employed and unemployed youth analysis of data from the new youth cohort of the national longitudinal survey yields evidence that young unemployed job seekers chose higher levels of search effort as measured by number of methods used and time spent per method and lower reservation wages relative to offered wages than did comparable employed job seekers in 1981 these differences in search choices at least partly explain differences in search outcomes between the two groups unemployed searchers apparently were more likely than employed searchers to gain new employment and the wages they obtained were slightly lower the author argues that the greater search effort by unemployed job seekers is due to the higher costs of search they bear because of foregone earnings

a robust optimization approach to inventory theory we propose a general methodology based on robust optimization to address the problem of optimally controlling a supply chain subject to stochastic demand in discrete time this problem has been studied in the past using dynamic programming which suffers from dimensionality problems and assumes full knowledge of the demand distribution the proposed approach takes into account the uncertainty of the demand in the supply chain without assuming a specific distribution while remaining highly tractable and providing insight into the corresponding optimal policy it also allows adjustment of the level of robustness of the solution to trade off performance and protection against uncertainty an attractive feature of the proposed approach is its numerical tractability especially when compared to multidimensional dynamic programming problems in complex supply chains as the robust problem is of the same difficulty as the nominal problem that is a linear programming problem when there are no fixed costs and a mixed integer programming problem when fixed costs are present furthermore we show that the optimal policy obtained in the robust approach is identical to the optimal policy obtained in the nominal case for a modified and explicitly computable demand sequence in this way we show that the structure of the optimal robust policy is of the same base stock character as the optimal stochastic policy for a wide range of inventory problems in single installations series systems and general supply chains preliminary computational results are very promising

coping with risk management and fill rate in the loss averse newsvendor model abstract in this paper we introduce the cvar conditional value at risk measure to hedge against the risks for the loss averse newsvendor we derive the optimal order quantities for the loss averse newsvendor to maximize the cvar objective of utility with and without the shortage cost respectively it is shown that when shortage cost is not considered an increase in the degree of loss aversion leads to a decrease in the fill rate therefore the newsvendor should strike a balance between the two conflicting targets in selecting the optimal order quantity when the shortage cost is taken into account and sufficiently large it is proved that an increase in the degree of loss aversion leads to an increase in the fill rate to manage both of the two targets the newsvendor should order more items in this case our sensitivity analysis further verifies that high risk implies high return and low risk comes with low return based on the analysis some management insights for the risk management of the loss averse newsvendor are presented

field experiments of discrimination in the market place controlled experiments using matched pairs of bogus transactors to test for discrimination in the marketplace have been conducted for over 30 years and have extended across 10 countries significant persistent and pervasive levels of discrimination have been found against non whites and women in labour housing and product markets rates of employment discrimination against non whites in excess of 25 have been measured in australia europe and north america a small number of experiments have also investigated employment discrimination against the disabled in britain and the netherlands and against older applicants in the united states

optimal decisions for the loss averse newsvendor problem under cvar abstract most of the existing literature about the newsvendor problem mainly focused on choosing an optimal order quantity to maximize the expected profit of a risk neutral newsvendor however some studies pointed out that in practice managers decisions as to order quantities always deviate from the profit maximization order quantity which is referred to as decision bias in the newsvendor problem then many studies introduced other preferences rather than risk neutrality of the newsvendor to explain such a decision bias this paper thus introduces loss aversion to the research of the newsvendor decision bias we propose a new definition to the loss averse newsvendor problem legacy loss which is defined either as the loss for excess order or the shortage penalty for lost sales when sales time is due the optimal decisions of a loss averse newsvendor are obtained through the following three ways i minimizing the expected legacy loss ii minimizing cvar of legacy loss by combining the cvar measure in risk management iii minimizing the combination of expected legacy loss and cvar of legacy loss and are compared with other existing results besides we present some properties of the optimal decisions as well as relations among them some numerical examples are given to illustrate the obtained results

a residence time model of housing markets abstract this paper estimates a semi markov model of housing markets in which families move from one home to another spend a random amount of time in each home and choose whether to own or to rent at each move limiting conditions of the semi markov process are used to characterize the steady state frequency of owner occupied housing and to simulate the impact of changes in housing tax policy this approach differs markedly from previous studies of housing tax policy which focus on the entire population as opposed to the movers and ignore the effect of household residence times see king 1980 rosen 1979 white and white 1977 or laidler 1969 residence times further influence the analysis by affecting the relative cost of owning to renting in the tenure choice model homeowners pay legal and realtor fees at the time they move out of their homes which renters do not have to pay the discounted value of these fees declines with length of stay and provides a structural explanation of why families with longer residence times have a greater propensity to own results from the empirical analysis suggest that the semi markov model closely predicts conditions in the united states and provide important insights into the effects of housing tax policy residence times are also found to influence household tenure choice through their impact on the discounted legal and realtor fees paid by homeowners

minimax distribution free procedure with backorder price discount abstract the inventory models analyzed in this paper explore the problem in which the lead time and ordering cost reductions are inter dependent in the continuous review inventory model with backorder price discount the objective is to minimize total related cost by simultaneously optimizing the order quantity reorder point lead time and backorder price discount moreover we assume that the mean and variance of the lead time demand are known but its probability distribution is unknown we apply a minimax distribution free procedure to find the optimal solution and three numerical examples are given to illustrate the results

competition between employed and unemployed job applicants swedish evidence we use the swedish applicant database to investigate empirically whether being unemployed per se reduces the probability of getting contacted by a firm all searchers looking for a new job are invited to submit their personal details to this database over the internet since we have access to exactly the same information as the firms we can minimize the problems associated with unobserved heterogeneity our results show that an unemployed applicant faces a lower contact probability than an otherwise identical employed applicant thus supporting the notion that firms view employment status as a signal of productivity

cross sectional estimation of a simultaneous model of tenure choice and housing services demand abstract in this paper we analyze the demand for housing services integrating into a single analysis a systematic treatment of several important conceptual and empirical issues our three major objectives are to 1 evaluate the empirical importance of the simultaneity between the tenure choice and consumption level decisions 2 analyze the relationship between household type and housing demand and 3 present new estimates of the parameters of housing demand which are based on detailed microdata in the process we derive and estimate overall income and price demand elasticities which incorporate the impacts of income and price on both the tenure choice and consumption level decisions

theory and estimation in the economics of housing demand the main purpose of this paper is to review recent theoretical and empirical developments in the economics of housing demand in particular we ask what is known concerning the permanent income elasticity of housing demand vis a vis the current or measured income elasticity what is known concerning price elasticities what is the appropriate functional form for housing demand equations what is the role of demographic variables what is known concerning dynamic aspects of housing demand what appear to be the major sources of bias in existing estimates of demand equations

does inflation affect real behavior the case of housing an important tradition in economics is to assume that demand depends upon relative prices and is homogenous of degree zero for the most part this has been interpreted as meaning inflation changes in the price level leaves demand unchanged recent work by a number of economists has challenged this position for the case of housing demand two arguments have been made that inflation acting in concert with existing institutions alters the quantity of housing demanded and the decision to rent or own a house the first argument states that inflation and the standard fixed payment mortgage combine to reduce the size of the mortgage loan a household can obtain for the purpose of buying a home this works to reduce the quantity of owner occupied housing demanded given the importance of mortgage finance to the demand for owner occupied housing the second argument focuses on the inflation adjusted after tax cost of owner occupied housing it simply states that an increase in the rate of anticipated inflation of the general price level reduces the after tax cost of housing thus increasing the demand for housing and the demand for homeownership there has been little empirical testing of these two arguments the purpose of this paper is to formulate and estimate a model which will give an indication of the quantitative significance of the two arguments a housing demand equation and a tenure choice equation own versus rent are estimated using a sample of about 6000 households from the 1975 annual housing survey 10 the estimates suggest that inflation dampens housing demand and homeownership opportunity for most households even though the inflation adjusted after tax cost of owner occupied housing declines as inflation heats up the paper consists of six sections including the introduction section two examines the ways inflation affects housing choices in more detail the third section contains the specification of the econometric model that forms the basis of the study section four is a discussion of econometric problems and the data used the results of the estimates are discussed in the fifth section the paper concludes with a presentation of the major conclusions and policy implications of the study

the distribution free newsboy problem extensions to the shortage penalty case abstract in the classical newsboy problem no cost is assumed if the ordered quantity is less than the demand however in reality failure to meet demand is always associated with a penalty the aim of this work is to extend the analysis of the distribution free newsboy problem to the case when shortage cost is taken into consideration the analysis is based on the assumption that only the mean and variance of demand are known but its particular probability distribution is not a model is presented for determining both an optimal order quantity and a lower bound on the profit under the worst possible distribution of the demand the following cases are considered the single product case the fixed ordering cost case the random yield case and the resource constrained multi product case

on the job search some empirical evidence from britain abstract this paper considers evidence from the labour force survey concerning job search by employed workers the unconditional probability of observing on the job search is decomposed into the product of two constituent probabilities upon which maximum likelihood estimation is performed the analysis facilitates the identification of who searches and whether search takes place in work or from unemployment temporary or part time employment encourages continued search by men but not women skilled workers search more than the unskilled and demonstrate a preference for employed search inter industry wage relativities encourage search on the job job tenure is a significant determinant of the quality of a job match and the subsequent likelihood that on the job search is undertaken employed job seekers adopt search strategies that are more readily integrated into a working environment

ranking unemployment duration and wages it explores the implication of one central assumption when firms receive multiple acceptable applications they hire the worker who has been unemployed for the least amount of time this assumption ranking is contrasted with the assumption of random hiring no ranking by embodying this assumption in a model of the labour market with job creation destruction and matching the joint behaviour of unemployment the distribution of unemployment durations and wages are characterized the implication that the re employment prospects of employed workers were they to become unemployed are better than those of the currently unemployed appears to have been an important feature of european unemployment experience in the 1980 s this paper examines the effects of the composition of unemployment on wage determination it explores one central assumption when firms receive multiple acceptable applications they hire the worker who has been unemployed for the least amount of time we refer to this assumption as ranking and contrast it throughout to the assumption of random hiring or no ranking by embodying this assumption in a model of the labour market with job creation destruction and matching we characterize the joint behaviour of unemployment the distribution of unemployment durations and wages ranking has a number of important implications first in addition to the obvious result that the exit rate from unemployment is a decreasing function of duration we show that the effect of duration is stronger the higher the rate of unemployment second with the wage depending on the distributions of prospective unemployment durations the presence of long term unemployed per se has little effect on wages third looking at the relation between the wage and the aggregate level of unemployment and comparing ranking to the case of no ranking the wage moves less with the level of unemployment but more with the change in unemployment put simply ranking and no ranking models show exactly the same aggregate unemployment slightly different long run responses of wages to unemployment and sharply different wage dynamics the paper is organized as follows section i characterizes the matching process and derives a matching function based on an urn ball process with vacancies as urns and applications by unemployed workers as balls thus the distribution of applications per vacancy depends on aggregate unemployment and vacancies vacancies with at least one acceptable application are filled when a vacancy receives more than one acceptable application firms use a rule to choose among applicants thus the rule determines who is hired but does not affect the number of hires section ii uses this matching function in a model of the labour market with continual job creation and destruction and characterizes the equilibrium values of unemployment vacancies and hires

the newsvendor problem review and directions for future research in this paper we review the contributions to date for analyzing the newsvendor problem our focus is on examining the specific extensions for analyzing this problem in the context of modeling customer demand supplier costs and the buyer risk profile more specifically we analyze the impact of market price marketing effort and stocking quantity on customer demand how supplier prices can serve as a coordination mechanism in a supply chain setting integrating alternative supplier pricing policies within the newsvendor framework and how the buyer s risk profile moderates the newsvendor order quantity decision for each of these areas we summarize the current literature and develop extensions finally we also propose directions for future research

price discovery between private and public housing markets public and private housing markets are usually differentiated in terms of price regulations and policies but they are not necessarily segmented any integration as opposed to segmentation between private and public markets implies that the prices of private housing are interrelated with the prices of public housing determined in the open market if so information revealed in one market will be pertinent for making inferences on prices in the other market this paper addresses the price discovery or relation between public and private housing in view of singapore s substantial public housing programme that has an actively traded secondary market implications for the direction of price causality and upward mobility for households between housing price strata are examined

expected value of distribution information for the newsvendor problem this paper extends previous work on the distribution free newsvendor problem where only partial information about the demand distribution is available more specifically the analysis assumes that the demand distribution f belongs to a class of probability distribution functions pdf f with mean and standard deviation while previous work has examined the expected value of distribution information evdi for a particular order quantity and a particular pdf f this paper aims at computing the maximum evdi over all f f for any order quantity in addition an optimization procedure is provided to calculate the order quantity that minimizes the maximum evdi

decision bias in the newsvendor problem with a known demand distribution experimental evidence in the newsvendor problem a decision maker orders inventory before a one period selling season with stochastic demand if too much is ordered stock is left over at the end of the period whereas if too little is ordered sales are lost the expected profit maximizing order quantity is well known but little is known about how managers actually make these decisions we describe two experiments that investigate newsvendor decisions across different profit conditions results from these studies demonstrate that choices systematically deviate from those that maximize expected profit subjects order too few of high profit products and too many of low profit products these results are not consistent with risk aversion risk seeking preferences prospect theory preferences waste aversion stockout aversion or the consequences of underestimating opportunity costs two explanations are consistent with the data one subjects behave as if their utility function incorporates a preference to reduce ex post inventory error the absolute difference between the chosen quantity and realized demand two subjects suffer from the anchoring and insufficient adjustment bias feedback and training did not mitigate inventory order errors we suggest techniques to improve decision making

a joint model of tenure choice and demand for housing in the city of karachi the paper estimates a joint model of tenure choice and demand for housing for the city of karachi pakistan using a two stage estimation procedure permanent income and demographic variables are included in the analysis the study uses data collected at the household level in the city in 1987 88 results show that ownership rates are high in karachi ownership is more likely with increases in permanent income age household size and residence in the unauthorised areas permanent income transitory income age and education of the head significantly affect the consumption of housing both for renter and owner households results of the analysis and the estimated income elasticities of demand are comparable and consistent with those reported for other developing countries

unemployment dynamics and duration dependence a major issue in the analysis of unemployment durations concerns distinguishing genuine duration dependence of the exit rate out of unemployment from unobserved heterogeneity we present a method for the nonparametric estimation of both phenomena designed to be applicable to time series data on aggregate outflows from different duration classes the model explicitly takes into account that individual exit rates are affected by the business cycle and by seasonal effects the method is applied to u s data we find diverging duration effects among black and white individuals however except for white males duration dependence is dominated by unobserved heterogeneity

multi product newsvendor problem with value at risk considerations abstract we consider the single period stochastic inventory newsvendor problem with downside risk constraints the aim in the classical newsvendor problem is maximizing the expected profit this formulation does not take into account the risk of earning less than a desired target profit or losing more than an acceptable level due to the randomness of demand we utilize value at risk var as the risk measure in a newsvendor framework and investigate the multi product newsvendor problem under a var constraint to this end we first derive the exact distribution function for the two product newsvendor problem and develop an approximation method for the profit distribution of the n product case n 2 a mathematical programming approach is used to determine the solution of the newsvendor problem with a var constraint this approach allows us to handle a wide range of cases including the correlated demand case that yields new results and insights the accuracy of the approximation method and the effects of the system parameters on the solution are investigated numerically

improving incentives in unemployment insurance a review of recent research abstract this paper provides a review of the recent literature on how incentives in unemployment insurance can be improved we are particularly concerned with three instruments i e the duration of benefit payments or more generally the time sequencing of benefits monitoring in conjunction with sanctions and workfare our reading of the theoretical literature is that the case for imposing a penalty on less active job search is fairly solid a growing number of empirical studies including randomized experiments are in line with this conclusion