performance assessment vulnerability human capital and the allocation of aid among developing countries developing country performance with respect to economic policies and institutional behavior is a common criterion for the allocation of aid among recipient countries this paper examines how performance is used arguing that performance is too narrowly defined a more appropriate definition is one that controls for the economic vulnerability and human capital of developing countries econometric analysis of cross section and panel data is presented that supports this contention the paper also contends that performance and exogenous economic shocks are likely to be pro cyclical this implies a double punishment when aid is allocated according to performance evidence of such punishment is also provided the paper concludes by arguing that economic vulnerability and human capital variables should augment performance measures in aid allocation decision making

aid policy and growth in post conflict societies countries emerging from civil war attract both aid and policy advice this paper provides the first systematic empirical analysis of aid and policy reform in the post conflict growth process it is based on a comprehensive data set of large civil wars and covers 27 countries that were in their first decade of post conflict economic recovery during the 1990s the authors first investigate whether the absorptive capacity for aid is systematically different in post conflict countries they find that during the first three post conflict years absorptive capacity is no greater than normal but that in the rest of the first decade it is approximately double its normal level so ideally aid should phase in during the decade historically aid has not on average been higher in post conflict societies and it has tended to taper out over the course of the decade the authors then investigate whether the contribution of policy to growth is systematically different in post conflict countries and in particular whether particular components of policy are differentially important for this they use the world bank policy rating database the authors find that growth is more sensitive to policy in post conflict societies comparing the efficacy of different policies they find that social policies are differentially important relative to macroeconomic policies however historically this does not appear to have been how policy reform has been prioritized in post conflict societies

looking ahead optimally in allocating aid summary the collier dollar approach to aid allocation among countries has been less than fully embraced by donors even those focused on poverty reduction partly because it conflicts with the approach to aid allocation implied by the millennium development goals these two approaches are shown to be special cases of a more general model of aid allocation in which donors care about future as well as current poverty this model is illustratively applied to data for developing regions adding a poverty decline adjustment to the allocation formulae used by donors could resolve the conflict between the two approaches

will markets direct investments under the kyoto protocol lessons from the activities implemented jointly pilots under the kyoto protocol countries can meet treaty obligations by investing in projects that reduce or sequester greenhouse gases elsewhere prior to ratification treaty participants agreed to launch country based pilot projects referred to collectively as activities implemented jointly aij to test novel aspects of the project related provisions relying on a ten year history of projects we investigate the determinants of aij investment our findings suggest that review agency preferences related to national political objectives and possibly deeper cultural ties influenced project selection and limited the number of aij projects bilateral ties also appear to have affected investment decisions directly possibly because of related transaction costs the results suggest an investment process different from the assumptions that underlie well known estimates of cost savings related to the protocol s flexibility mechanisms we conclude that if approaches developed under the aij programs to approve projects are retained the scale of investment under kyoto s flexibility provisions and their cost savings will be less than what is generally anticipated and the pattern of investment less driven by abatement costs

revisiting the effects of imf programs on poverty and inequality investigating how lending programs of the international monetary fund imf affect poverty and inequality we explicitly address model uncertainty we control for endogenous selection into imf programs using data on 86 low and middle income countries for the 1982 2009 period and analyze program effects on various poverty and inequality measures the results rely on averaging over 90 specifications of treatment effect models and indicate adverse short run effects of imf agreements on poverty and inequality for the whole sample while for a 2000 2009 subsample the results are reversed there is evidence that significant short run effects might disappear in the long run author s abstract

on vertical control in monopolistic competition abstract this paper demonstrates that vertical restraints are profitably imposed by a manufacturer or wholesaler who has some market power and whose product is sold in a monopolistically competitive downstream market simple conditions are developed under which a price floor resale price maintenance or a price ceiling is profitable and under which private incentive for a restraint is sufficient for its social desirability where demand elasticities are constant observed vertical price floors are always welfare improving but profitable price ceilings may decrease welfare in the special case of the ces aggregate surplus specification with competitive conjectures price ceilings are profitable and welfare decreasing

fairness in the international allocation of development aid this paper assesses the allocative performance of foreign aid donors it does so by identifying the consistency of the share of donor aid allocated to each developing country with these their shares of global poverty a given donor s allocative performance is maximised if the share of its aid to each developing country exactly equals its share of global poverty this is equated with fairness in the international allocation of aid the allocative performance of all donors all bilateral donors all multilateral agencies all non dac donor countries the eu france germany japan the united kingdom and the united states for the years 2010 15 is assessed the best performance is exhibited by all bilateral donors while that for an individual donor is exhibited by the united kingdom non dac donors exhibit the worst performance the paper also identifies which developing countries receive the most and least aid relative to their shares of global poverty

a panel data analysis of the fungibility of foreign aid the donor community has been increasingly concerned that development assistance intended for crucial social and economic sectors might be used directly or indirectly to fund unproductive military and other expenditures the link between foreign aid and public spending is not straightforward because some aid may be fungible this article empirically examines the impact of foreign aid on the recipient s public expenditures using cross country samples of annual observations for 1971 90 for the base sample of 14 developing countries it finds that aid is not fungible at the aggregate level and there is no associated tax relief increasing the number of countries however makes aid fungible moreover results based on the main sample indicate that aid is fungible in three out of five sectors examined developing country governments receiving earmarked concessionary loans for agriculture education and energy reduce their own resources going to these sectors and use them elsewhere only loans to the transport and communication sector are fully spent on the purposes intended by donors because most aid appears to be fungible the rate of return on a specific donor funded project tells little about the impact of that assistance a better approach may be to tie foreign aid to an overall public expenditure program that provides adequate resources to crucial sectors

the combined incidence of taxes and public expenditures in the philippines incidence studies of fiscal policy in developing countries typically examine either the distribution of tax burdens or the incidence of public expenditures but the central issue for policymakers is the combined or net incidence of fiscal activities one reason that combined incidence studies are so rare is that they require detailed data on both taxation and public spending the authors show that the net incidence of fiscal policy in a country with average data the philippines can be estimated using a variety of data sources and tools using simplifying assumptions for 20 years the philippine economy has experienced a series of balance of payments crises triggered by fiscal crises it has had an unsatisfactory record of poverty alleviation the authors examine net fiscal incidence to find out how poverty will be affected by the rise in taxes and the cut in spending they found that 1 the incidence pattern of taxes is basically neutral contrary to expectations indirect taxes are only slightly regressive and 2 it is the pattern of expenditures that drives the combined incidence which is progressive

social norms and individual savings in the context of informal insurance abstract this paper develops a theory of informal insurance in the presence of an intertemporal technology it is shown that when an insurance agreement suffers from enforcement problems constraints on individual savings behaviour can enable the group to sustain greater cooperation this result provides a motivation for a variety of social norms observed in traditional societies which discourage excessive accumulation of wealth by individuals the paper also shows that social norms that discourage savings are more likely to benefit poorer communities and thus paradoxically cause them to fall further behind even as it serves a useful purpose

reforming performance based aid allocation practice performance based aid allocation systems are used by a number of multilateral agencies to allocate aid among developing countries a number of bilateral agencies also allocate aid on the basis of the performance of recipients albeit in a less systematic way than these multilateral agencies this paper points to a number of fundamental problems associated with performance based aid allocation systems including a problematic balancing of need and performance criteria being reductionist with respect to the drivers of effective aid and not being sufficiently nuanced with respect to performance by ignoring a lack of human capital and economic vulnerability in recipient countries together with providing a theoretical framework that articulates these issues this paper introduces and outlines the papers that follow in this special section

explaining international and intertemporal variations in income inequality this paper explores the propositions that income inequality is relatively stable within countries and that it varies significantly among countries a new and expanded data set provides broad support for both propositions drawing on a political economy and capital market imperfection arguments to explain the intertemporal and international variation in inequality the empirical analysis shows that the predicted variables associated with the first argument a measure of civil liberties and the initial level of secondary schooling and the second argument a measure of financial depth and the initial distribution of land are indeed important determinants of inequality this paper explores two propositions regarding income inequality they are first income inequality is relatively stable within countries and second it varies significantly across countries to illustrate note that the gini coefficient in india remained almost constant for forty years 1951 92 with mean 32 6 and standard deviation 2 0 2 in contrast the variation in gini coefficients across countries is large 61 9 in honduras in 1968 compared with 17 8 in bulgaria in 1976 if substantiated these propositions have potentially significant implications for poverty the significance of the first is obvious barring any fundamental socio political change poverty reduction will depend crucially on the rate of economic growth given this the significance of the second is that in inegalitarian economies the poor will enjoy a smaller share of any national increment in income than in more egalitarian ones drawing on a new and expanded data set on inequality deininger and squire 1996a the first of the paper s three sections conducts standard statistical tests of the two propositions the sample comprises 573 observations on the most common measure of inequality the gini coefficient for 49 developed and developing countries covering the period 1947 94 the results broadly confirm our two propositions specifically analysis of variance anova shows that about 90 of the total variance in the gini coefficients

development aid and climate finance this paper discusses the implications of climate change for official transfers from rich countries the north to poor countries the south when the motivation for transfers is ethical rather than strategic traditional development transfers to increase income and reduce poverty are complemented by new financial flows to reduce greenhouse gas emissions mitigation transfers and become climate resilient adaptation transfers we find that in the absence of barriers to adaptation mitigation or development climate change will make isolated transfers less efficient a large part of their intended effect to increase income reduce emissions or boost climate resilience dissipates as the south reallocates its own resources to achieve the mitigation adaptation and consumption balance it prefers only in the case of least developed countries which are unable to adapt fully due to income constraints will adaptation support lead to more climate resilience in all other cases if the north wishes to change the balance between mitigation adaptation and consumption it should structure its transfers as matching grants which are tied to the south s own level of funding alternatively the north could provide an integrated climate compatible development package that recognizes the combined climate and development requirements of the south if the aim is to increase both mitigation and adaptation in the south development assistance that increases the income level can be an effective measure but only if there is an international agreement and the recipient country is not income constrained if the recipient country is very poor development aid may reduce adaptation effort

can the world cut poverty in half how policy reform and effective aid can meet international development goals abstract poverty in the developing world will decline by about one half by 2015 if the trends of the 1990s persist most of this poverty reduction will occur in asia however while poverty will decline only slightly in africa effective aid could make a contribution to greater poverty reduction in lagging regions even more potent would be significant policy reform in these countries we develop a model of efficient aid in which flows respond to policy improvements that create a better environment for poverty reduction and effective aid we investigate scenarios of policy reform and efficient aid that point the way to how the world can cut poverty in half in every major region

the dynamics of aid and political rights using cross country panel data we explore the extent to which the variation over time in measures of democracy and political rights can be explained by changes in aid inflows thus providing direct evidence on the impact of innovations in donor policy on the quality of recipient governance we distinguish between the short run and long run effects of changes in aid our results are very different from those based on cross country variation in aid inflows we find evidence of large differences between the effect of aid for political reform and the effect of other types of aid in aggregate these effects also depend on the recipient country s initial level of political development there is no evidence that aid intended for political reform has achieved its objective and in some countries it may be counterproductive however aggregate aid can have a beneficial effect on political rights

aid policies and growth the authors of this paper use a new database on foreign aid to examine the relationships among foreign aid economic policies and growth of per capita gdp in panel growth regressions for 56 developing countries and 6 four year periods 1970 93 they find that the policies that have a great effect on growth are those related to fiscal surplus inflation and trade openness they construct an index for those three policies and have that index interact with foreign aid they have instruments for both aid and aid interacting with policies they find that aid has a positive impact on growth in developing countries with good fiscal monetary and trade policies in the presence of poor policies aid has no positive effect on growth this result is robust in a variety of specifications which include or exclude middle income countries include or exclude outliers and treat policies as exogenous or endogenous they examine the determinants of policy and find no evidence that aid has systematically affected policies either for good or for ill they estimate an aid allocation equation and show that any tendency for aid to reward good policies has been overwhelmed by donors pursuit of their own strategic interests in a counterfactual they reallocate aid reduce the role of donor interests and increasing the importance of policy such a reallocation would have a large positive effect on developing countries growth rates

scaling up foreign aid will the big push work international donors are substantially scaling up aid programmes at the same time there are widespread reservations over how much aid recipient countries can use effectively such concerns are supported by the aid effectiveness literature which finds that there are limits to the amounts of aid recipients can efficiently absorb this article demonstrates that a big push in foreign aid will not lead to diminishing returns as long as donors get the inter country allocation of aid right this is true even if donors provide aid at levels equal to the well known target of 0 7 per cent of their gross national income

do developing country wto members receive more aid for trade aft since the world trade organization wto doha development agenda dda negotiations started in 2001 the importance of aid for trade aft has been well recognised as a useful tool for facilitating trade economic growth and social development in developing countries at the wto hong kong ministerial conference in december 2005 the aft initiative was launched and many high income member countries pledged to increase their aft contributions particularly for the least developed member countries ldc this paper aims to assess whether and to what extent the wto s developing member countries have received more aft for this purpose a system generalised method of moments is applied to a sample of 118 recipient countries for the period 2001 10 we find evidence that while ldc wto members on average receive relatively more aft than other developing countries the difference has not increased since launch of the aft initiative among the three categories of aft the positive wto membership effect for ldc members increased for building productive capacity and for trade policy and regulation but declined for infrastructure

empirics of health aid education and infant mortality a semiparametric study the present article uses semiparametric regression to capture the impact of foreign aid given for health purposes on the infant mortality rate imr of poor developing countries after controlling for other covariates we also investigate whether education general awareness helps lower imr directly or helps improve effectiveness of health aid in reducing imr in addition the study investigates whether various disaggregated components of health aid for example aid that goes for infectious disease control or nutrition help lower imr we find that although adult education awareness always lowers imr the overall effect of health aid remains insignificant our conclusion is robust to various disaggregated components of health aid as well we also check if health aid has improved prenatal care for expecting mothers but our conclusion regarding the overall ineffectiveness of aid remains unchanged interestingly we find that total health aid as well as nutrition aid may lower imr only after education ex

understanding economic policy reform one of the eventual consequences of the global debt crisis was a wave of market oriented economic reforms this paper discusses the state of our knowledge on the political economy of this process why were inefficient and often unsustainable policies maintained for so long why are so many governments reforming now after decades of adherence to policies of an opposite kind have the reformers internalized the correct lessons from the east asian experience finally are there any helpful rules for reformers to follow in guiding their policies through complicated political terrain

the cyclical behavior of individual production series 1889 1984 this paper uses simple summary statistics to analyze the volatility persistence and comovement of 38 annual individual production series for the period 1889 1984 it seeks to identify the size source and correlation of fluctuations in the production of specific commodities within various sample periods and to analyze possible changes in these characteristics over time the paper also discusses the implications of the behavior of individual production series for the behavior of the aggregate economy within the prewar interwar and postwar eras

growth elasticity of poverty direct estimates from recent data using recent poverty data for developing countries elasticity of 2 poverty headcount with respect to the growth of gross domestic product gdp per capita is directly calculated for the 1990s and the 2000s the global estimate is around 0 84 which is much smaller in absolute magnitude than what some highly influential studies have reported or used for the poverty dense south asia region the elasticity is of the order of 0 22 which is a dramatic contrast from the previous estimates for india where the number of poor people is by far the largest of any country and where the poverty rate is higher than even in sub saharan africa ssa the elasticity is of the order of 0 13 which is an even bigger contrast from earlier studies policymakers and researchers are urged to keep these estimates in mind while judging the likely effect of income growth on poverty and to discount poverty reduction claims based on higher elasticity estimates that have been reported or used in many influential studies i

company interests and foreign aid policy playing donors off against one another abstract the evidence on conditionality indicates that this instrument sometimes works and sometimes does not work we suggest that third parties to the donor recipient relationship influence the aid disbursement the halt in aid that should follow non compliance could trigger the recipient to cancel contracts with companies from donor countries which creates incentives for the companies to put pressure towards aid disbursement we use a multi agent triadic model of the relationships between a recipient and two donors and two companies to illustrate that recipients may act strategically to make third parties like companies and others influence the disbursement decision failing to take account of third parties role yields the opposite result conditionality becomes successful

the macroeconomic impact of development aid a critical survey the early literature explained aid s macroeconomic impact in the context of the dual gap model showing a clear link between aid and growth many now believe that the empirical evidence shows there to be no such relationship this paper critically reviews the different theoretical perspectives the dual gap model the savings debate recipient fiscal response and aid as dutch disease and the empirical debates on aid savings and growth the basis for denying a relationship between aid and growth is shown to be weak though more recent areas of research offer promising directions for future work

keeping a low profile what determines the allocation of aid by non governmental organizations ngos play an important role in international development cooperation but the allocation of ngo aid has rarely been mapped let alone explained based on a representative dataset for 61 important ngos from various oecd countries we analyze the targeting of ngo aid across a large number of recipient countries by jointly considering major determinants of ngo aid in a multivariate regression framework while our results show that ngos are more active in the neediest countries we reject the hypothesis that ngos complement official aid through engaging in so called difficult institutional environments rather they tend to replicate the location choices of official backdonors moreover ngos follow other ngos so that aid gets clustered finally ngos select recipient countries with common traits related to religion or colonial history taken together our findings suggest that ngos keep a low profile rather than distinguishing themselves from other donors and trying to excel under risky conditions

where do the poor live this paper argues that the distribution of global poverty has changed and that most of the world s poor no longer live in countries officially classified as low income countries lics it is estimated that the majority of the world s poor or up to a billion people live in middle income countries mics this pattern is largely as a result of the recent graduation into the mic category of a number of populous countries the paper discusses the trends in the distribution of global poverty and opens a wider discussion on the potential implications for aid and development cooperation

darlings and orphans interactions across donors in international aid we examine how bilateral aid flows of an individual donor to a recipient depend on aid flows from all other bilateral and multilateral donors to that recipient we thereby assess to what extent issues including donor coordination free riding selectivity specialization and common donor interests drive bilateral aid allocations we find that others bilateral flows lead to a significant increase in aid flows from a particular donor but primarily within a given year the effects are particularly pronounced for large donors and so called darling recipients overall the results suggest that herding is a dominant feature of aid inter relationships this article is protected by copyright all rights reserved

does concessionary aid lead to higher investment rates in low income countries goedde alan g u s multinational manufacturing firms the determinants and effects of foreign investment ph d dissertation duke university 1978 grubaugh stephen g the process of direct foreign investment working paper bentley college aug 1986 helpman elhanan a simple theory of international trade with multinational corporations journal of political economy 3 june 1984 451 471 horst thomas firm and industry determinants of the decision to invest abroad an empirical study this review 54 aug 1972 258 266 at home abroad a study of domestic and foreign operations of the a merican food processing industry cambridge ma ballinger 1974 hymer stephen h the international operations of national firms a study of direct foreign investment ph d dissertation m i t published by m i t press 1976 judge george g r carter hill william e griffiths helmut lutkepohl and tsoung chao lee introduction to the theory and practice of econometrics new york john wiley and sons 1982 macdougal g d a the benefits and costs of private investment from abroad a theoretical approach economic record 36 mar 1960 13 35 markusen james r multinationals multiplant economies and the gains from trade journal of international economics 3 4 may 1984 205 226 pindyck robert s and daniel l rubinfeld econometric models and economic forecasts second edition new york mcgraw hill 1981 rugman allen m inside the multinationals the economics of internal markets new york columbia university press 1981 vaupel james w and joan p curhan the making of multinational enterprise cambridge division of research graduate school of business administration harvard university 1969

international redistribution of income summary how do international policies on aid trade and factor movements affect the international distribution of income we calculate the impact by world decile of the actual level of aid flows and the effect on income of merchandise trade restrictions by high income countries we find that aid s distributional impact is equality enhancing extremely small in terms of changes in inequality measures but of some importance for the lowest decile of the distribution we also find that some of this impact is counteracted by lost potential income in the lower deciles from merchandise trade barriers imposed by high income countries

what can new survey data tell us about recent changes in distribution and poverty it has been claimed that in recent times the poor have lost ground both relatively and absolutely even when average levels of living have risen this article tests that claim using household surveys for 67 developing and transitional economies over 1981 94 it finds that changes in inequality and polarization were uncorrelated with changes in average living standards distribution improved as often as it worsened in growing economies and negative growth was often more detrimental to distribution than positive growth overall there was a small decrease in absolute poverty although with diverse experiences across regions and countries almost always poverty fell with growth in average living standards and rose with contraction

aid allocation and poverty reduction the authors derive a poverty efficient allocation of aid and compare it with actual aid allocations they build the poverty efficient allocation in two stages first they use new world bank ratings of 20 different aspects of national policy to establish the current relationship between aid policies and growth onto that they add a mapping from growth to poverty reduction which reflects the level and distribution of income they compare the effects of using headcount and poverty gap measures of poverty they find the actual allocation of aid to be radically different from the poverty efficient allocation in the efficient allocation for a given of poverty aid tapers in with policy reform in the actual allocation aid tapers out with reform in the efficient allocation aid is targeted disproportionately to countries with severe poverty and adequate polices the type of country where 74 percent of the world s poor live in the actual allocation such countries receive a much smaller share of aid 56 percent than their share of the world s poor with the present allocation aid is effective in sustainably lifting about 30 million people a year out of absolute poverty with a poverty efficient allocation this would increase to about 80 million people even with political constraints introduced to keep allocations for india and china constant poverty reduction would increase to about 60 million reallocating aid is politically difficult but it may be considerably less difficult than quadrupling aid budgets which is what the authors estimate would be necessary to achieve the same impact on poverty reduction with existing aid allocations

dangerous interactions problems in interpreting tests of conditional aid effectiveness there is now a substantial empirical literature examining the determinants of aid effectiveness a large part of this makes inferences based on a regression incorporating aid as a share of recipient gdp interacted with some institutional or policy variable recently some authors have questioned the statistical robustness of such regressions pointing out that results vary according to the way aid is measured and the estimator applied to the data moreover the regression equations used to test hypotheses about the determinants of aid effectiveness are often introduced without any corresponding formal theory we explore aid policy interaction terms in the context of a simple theoretical model showing how different nonlinearities may be conflated the resulting difficulties in the interpretation of aid growth regressions are illustrated in the context of a seminal paper in the conditional aid effectiveness literature one simple change in the way that aid is measured in per capita terms rather than as a fraction of gdp completely changes the regression results this indicates that adding interaction terms to otherwise linear regression equations is an inadequate way of capturing the nonlinearities in the growth process our aim is to re emphasise the importance of grounding

is corporate aid targeted to poor and deserving countries a case study of nestle s aid allocation summary empirical evidence on the targeting of private aid is largely lacking even though corporate donors are an increasingly important source of aid we contribute to closing this gap by performing a case study of nestle the allocation of nestle s aid is compared to that of swiss oda and ngo aid testing for both altruistic and selfish aid motivations we conclude that nestle s aid clearly lacks focus in terms of targeting poor countries which appears to be the downside of the strong link between commercial presence and aid moreover according to our tobit estimations nestle grants more aid to recipient countries with stronger democratic but also more corrupt institutions

foreign aid and the question of fungibility this paper analyzes whether the foreign assistance provided for specific categories of expenditure is shifted among them contrary to the wishes of donors it also considers whether aid reduces the tax effort of recipient governments econometric results are presented for the dominican republic that show that the fungibility of aid has resulted in a thwarting of the intentions of donors an attempt is made to account for the observed differences in behavior of individual countries in altering expenditures copyright 1993 by mit press

more dollars than sense refining our knowledge of development finance using aiddata summary in this introductory essay to the special issue we introduce a new dataset of foreign assistance aiddata that covers more bilateral and multilateral donors and more types of aid than existing datasets while also improving project level information about the purposes and activities funded by aid we utilize that data to provide a brief overview of important trends in foreign aid contributors to this special issue draw on aiddata as well as other sources to analyze aid transparency new donors not previously described or analyzed aid allocation and aid effectiveness our recurring theme in this introductory essay is that aiddata and these initial academic projects refine rather than revolutionize our understanding of aid the database has added significant numbers of new projects dollar amounts donors and details about those projects though there is much more yet to add we worry that aid debates have been driven by too little information and that many claims are based on limited or very poor evidence rectifying these problems will not be instantaneous refining knowledge takes a lot of time and hard work the common feature of the papers in this special issue is their careful attention to nuance and detail in spite of what some recent authors have claimed aid is neither a simple solution nor a sufficient cause of most problems in developing countries its motivations distribution and effects are complex and shifting capturing this complexity requires detailed data careful thought and sophisticated methods that allow scholars to make conditional causal and descriptive inferences 2011 elsevier ltd all rights reserved

the world bank why it is still needed and why it still disappoints poor people find it harder to save so poor countries can find it difficult to finance needed investments from domestic savings alone in an ideal world this would not be a problem capital would flow from high income capital rich countries to low income capital poor countries because the marginal return should be higher in countries where capital is relatively scarce but that was not what people saw happening in the world 70 years ago in the years just after world war ii global capital markets were thin and not trusted as a source of finance it seemed that new institutions were needed in response delegates from 44 countries met in 1944 at a hotel in bretton woods new hampshire and agreed to create the international monetary fund imf and the international bank for reconstruction and development ibrd the latter is a core component of what came to be known as the world bank group or more often the world bank the imf was charged with managing imbalances of payments to avoid destabilizing currency devaluations while the world bank was to be the channel for longer term development finance much has changed since then there have been prominent calls for radically reforming the world bank or even closing it two main concerns have been raised by the bank s critics the first is that the bank s efforts are largely wasted because poor countries face nonfinancial constraints that limit their development the second is

is aid oil an analysis of whether africa can absorb more aid summary this paper considers whether africa can absorb a doubling of aid if oil revenues provide a natural experiment the results are disappointing far from being transformational they have been markedly less successful than aid one implication is that the delivery modalities of aid though heavily criticized have substantially added value the paper discusses which modalities may have been most useful unfortunately aid appears to be subject to diminishing returns so that doubling aid through conventional modalities would not double its impact the paper concludes by considering innovations in aid modalities which might offset diminishing returns