trade interdependence the international financial institutions and the recent evolution of sovereign debt renegotiations abstract this paper analyzes the effect of a debtor country s pattern of trade with commercial creditors home countries on the outcome of debt rescheduling negotiations the analysis reveals that a debtor country with more market power has greater leverage in a three way debt rescheduling negotiation that includes the debtor country its creditors and the international financial institutions ifis the paper also considers the effects of the ifi sovereign debt policy on the bargaining power of the parties in debt rescheduling negotiations two bargaining frameworks analyzed and compared in the paper represent the negotiation mechanism at different stages of the ifi sovereign debt policy evolution

relating the environmental impact of consumption to household expenditures an input output analysis in this paper we evaluate the relationships between household expenditures and the environmental impact categories climate change acidification eutrophication and smog formation by combining household expenditures with environmentally extended input output analysis expenditure elasticities are examined with regression analysis and are compared and interpreted on the basis of insight at the product level with data from the netherlands in the year 2000 we find that environmental impact increases with increasing household expenditures although the degree to which the environmental impact increases differs per impact category climate change and eutrophication increase less than proportionally with increasing expenditures acidification increases nearly proportionally with increasing expenditures whereas smog formation increases more than proportionally it appears that the mix of necessities and luxuries to which an environmental impact is related is essential in explaining the relationship

examining the global environmental impact of regional consumption activities part 2 review of input output models for the assessment of environmental impacts embodied in trade this paper offers a detailed review of recently described single and multi region input output models used to assess environmental impacts of internationally traded goods and services it is the second part of a two part contribution in part 1 turner k lenzen m wiedmann t and barrett j in press examining the global environmental impact of regional consumption activities part 1 a technical note on combining input output and ecological footprint analysis ecological economics we describe how to enumerate the resource and pollution content of inter regional and inter national trade flows with the aim to illustrate an ideal accounting and modelling framework for the estimation of ecological footprints a large number of such environment economic models have been described but only in the last few years models have emerged that use a more sophisticated multi region multi sector input output framework this has been made possible through improvements in data availability and quality as well as computability we identify six major models that employ multi sector multi region input output analysis in order to calculate environmental impacts embodied in international trade results from the reviewed studies demonstrate that it is important to explicitly consider the production recipe land and energy use as well as emissions in a multi region multi sector and multi directional trade model with global coverage and detailed sector disaggregation only then reliable figures for indicators of impacts embodied in trade such as the ecological footprint can be derived

intertemporal lifestyle changes and carbon emissions evidence from a china household survey abstract this paper examines the endogenous evolution of household consumption patterns and household carbon emissions hces by integrating the analysis methods of income distribution with climate change based on a large scale household survey spanning from 2012 to 2016 in china we estimated the direct and indirect hces observed inverse u shaped carbon kuznets curves ckc and significant changes in hces over the period at the household level applying the oaxaca blinder method we decomposed factors causing the changes in hces and found that income and demographic effects contribute only 25 1 to the total increase of hces the other 74 9 remain unexplained and we define them as the effect of intertemporal lifestyle changes further analysis from multiple perspectives illustrates that the lifestyles of households across various social strata are becoming increasingly higher carbon intensive over time even though the income remains unchanged the findings indicate that existing modeling and projections of carbon emissions based on income and household characteristics may underestimate the future emissions pressure from the household sector hence we conclude that in order to reach more meaningful results the increasing effect of lifestyles should be taken into account when conducting climate change studies and formulating climate policies

adjustment costs from environmental change abstract the paper is concerned with the case whereby the distribution of a firm s productivity shocks changes without the knowledge of the firm over time the firm learns about the nature and extent of the change in the distribution of the shock and adjusts incurring adjustment costs in the process the long run loss in profits due to the shift in the distribution we term the equilibrium response the transitory loss in profits incurred while the firm is learning about the distribution shift is termed the adjustment cost the theory is then applied to the problem of measuring adjustment costs in the face of imperfectly observed climate change in agriculture the empirical part of the paper involves estimating a restricted profit function for agricultural land in a five state region of the midwest us as a function of prices land characteristics actual weather realizations and expected weather we then simulate the effect of an unobserved climate shock where learning about the climate shock is by observing the weather and updating prior knowledge using bayes rule we find adjustment costs to climate change are 1 4 of annual land rents

meaning and credibility in cheap talk games i define neologism proofness a refinement of perfect bayesian equilibrium in cheap talk games it applies when players have a preexisting common language so that an unexpected message s literal meaning is clear and only credibility restricts communication i show that certain implausible equilibria are not neologism proof in some games no equilibrium is journal of economic literature classification numbers d83 d82 c73

world bank lending and other financial flows is there a connection at a time when there is a serious debate about reforming the international financial architecture it is important to understand how existing multilateral agencies affect financial flows to emerging and less developed countries this paper extends past research which has focused on the international monetary fund by examining the various mechanisms through which the world bank may be associated with other financial flows and by presenting new empirical evidence based on regression analysis little support is found for a positive connection the implications of this finding for effective reform of the bank and its various activities are then discussed

tests for the role of risk aversion on input use for risk averting agents risks alter production decisions while the existence of institutions to insure against adverse states of nature will likely restore decisions toward levels under risk neutrality in this article conditions are identified on a stochastic technology to test h that risk averters choose smaller input levels than risk neutral agents and h that an increase in risk aversion reduces input use a robust statistical method to test for dominance is adapted to stochastic production relations it is found that h is likely true for nitrogen application on iowa corn weaker evidence is found in favor of h

debt buybacks signal sovereign countries creditworthiness theory and tests the authors show that debt buybacks could convey valuable information about indebted countries willingness to invest and increase debt repayment when creditors are less informed than debtors in an informational equilibrium unwilling countries do not repurchase a part of their debt but willing countries do and creditors increase debt repayments by offering reliefs only to those countries that repurchase data show that creditors systematically grant debt reliefs only to countries with buyback programs and a country s secondary market debt price is higher when it has a buyback program than if it does not copyright 1993 by economics department of the university of pennsylvania and the osaka university institute of social and economic research association

acreage decisions under risk the case of corn and soybeans an acreage supply response model is developed under expected utility maximization the resulting framework is used to specify and estimate a system of risk responsive acreage equations for corn and soybeans in the united states particular attention is given to the truncation effects of government price supports on the distribution of corn and soybean prices also a wealth variable is included in the acreage equations the empirical results indicate that risk and wealth variables play an important role in cornsoybean acreage decisions the analysis also shows that cross commodity risk reduction is important in acreage allocation decisions

co2 emissions and intersectoral linkages the case of spain this paper proposes a methodology to identify the most relevant productive transactions in terms of co2 emissions in the most polluting sectors of an economy and applies this methodology to the spanish case emissions can be related to the co2 emissions intensity of sectors co2 intensity factor to the size of the economy s flows scale factor to the input output productive relationships within an economy technology production factor and to the structure of final demand of different sectors demand factor a formal analysis of these factors is carried out by means of an input output framework combined with a sensitivity analysis by considering key sectors and relevant transactions in terms of co2 emissions the most effective policy measures aimed at reducing co2 emissions can be identified

household saving micro theories and micro facts in this survey we review the recent theoretical and empirical literature on household saving and consumption the discussion is structured around a list of motives for saving and how well the standard theory captures these motives we show that almost all of the motives for saving that have been suggested in the informal saving literature can be captured in the standard optimizing model particular attention is given to recent work on the precautionary motive and its implications for saving and consumption behavior we also discuss the behavioral or psychological approach that eschews the use of standard optimization techniques and focuses instead on direct consideration on saving we provide a section on facts who save and how much we then discuss informally the recent decline in the u s saving rate and whether the theory is of much use in understanding this and other changes in aggregate saving rates over time we do not find any convincing explanation for the change in saving rates we also discuss some analyses of saving behavior over the life cycle addressing such questions as whether households save enough for retirement and whether the consumption patterns of older households can be rationalized within a simple life cycle model we also review a great number of studies of the consumption euler equations based on our analysis of the studies cited we conclude that there is still mixed evidence that consumption is excessively sensitive to income we also examine in depth the recent empirical literature on the precautionary motive we conclude that although some households do seem to have a significant precautionary motive at some points in their life cycle this motive is not so strong empirically as some investigators suggest

borrowing costs and the role of multilateral development banks evidence from cross border syndicated bank lending abstract cross border bank lending is a growing source of external finance in emerging and developing countries and could play a key role in infrastructure and development financing this paper looks at the role of multilateral development banks mdbs on the terms of syndicated loans focusing on loan pricing the results show that mdbs participation is associated with higher borrowing costs and longer maturities signaling a greater willingness by mdbs to finance risky projects which may not be financed by the private sector we also show that mdbs are more likely to lend to borrowers located in countries with high credit and financial risk overall our findings suggest that mdbs could play a role in easing access to credit for high risk borrowers

introducing new futures contracts reinforcement versus cannibalism abstract in order to assure survival futures exchanges around the world are in constant search of new futures contracts that will generate a profitable level of trading volume introducing new futures contracts may increase or decrease the volume for those contracts already listed using a multi product hedging model in which the perspective has been shifted from portfolio to exchange management we study these effects using data from two exchanges that differ regarding assets traded and market liquidity amsterdam exchanges versus chicago board of trade we show the usefulness of the proposed method the method may also be used to evaluate the benefits for exchanges that plan to internationalize their activities by merging with another exchange or by cross listing other exchanges futures contracts

spatial structure of agricultural production in china the spatial structure of county level agricultural production in china in 1999 is analysed a convenient simple method that corrects for both spatial autocorrelation and spatial heterogeneity in the input output relationships using spatial lag models and an allowance for the response coefficients to vary across relatively homogeneous regions are described empirical results suggest an abundant labour supply and extensive use of agricultural machinery reflected in its declining price although mechanization is relatively new machines have replaced fertilizer in agricultural production in the north northeast northwest and east regions while irrigation and fertilizer are the significantly important inputs in the central and southwest regions

applying quantile regression and shapley decomposition to analyzing the determinants of household embedded carbon emissions evidence from urban china abstract as co2 emissions differ in households with different characteristics mitigation policies still address the contributions of these characteristics and their effects on specific households using a representative resident survey in urban china this paper compares how household characteristics differ in their associations with household embedded carbon emissions heces at different levels by quantile regression then this paper analyzes the contributions of these characteristics by shapley decomposition the findings include the following i household income is the most important contributor to the difference of heces and its positive effect increases as heces rise ii the use of wealth has different effects on heces because household housing ownership and deposits contribute little to heces but the positive effects of household car ownership contribute 25 8 iii young people and children will emit more heces than adults the employed emit more than persons who are unemployed or retired iv education increases heces overall but mainly at the low quantiles the negative effect of the marriage increases as heces rise v income car ownership marital status size and constitution of households with high heces should be addressed to reduce the inequality of heces indeed education on the low carbon concept is another way forward

sovereign debt structural adjustment and conditionality abstract the lack of a proper enforcement mechanism for sovereign debt generates a commitment failure as a result a sovereign may seek to improve its position in debt renegotiations and thus evade its debt obligations by reducing exports conditionality seeks to provide a solution to the incentive problem by addressing the commitment failure formalizing this argument we show that conditionality helps the repayment of sovereign debt in certain circumstances it can eliminate debt overhang especially when it is coupled with concessionary lending of sufficient magnitude it is however unable to restore first best when it is anticipated by lenders conditionality may get international financial institutions and sovereign debtors into a trap where the debt overhang persist debt rescheduling takes place periodically and conditionality continues indefinitely

the impacts of china s household consumption expenditure patterns on energy demand and carbon emissions towards 2050 abstract this paper explores how china s household consumption patterns over the period 2005 2050 influence the total energy demand and carbon dioxide co2 emissions in two baseline scenarios and how it influences carbon prices as well as the economic cost in the corresponding carbon mitigation scenarios to this end we first put forward two possible household consumption expenditure patterns up to 2050 using the working leser model taking into account total expenditure increase and urbanization for comparison both expenditure patterns are then incorporated in a hybrid recursive dynamic computable general equilibrium model the results reveal that as income level increases in the coming decades the direct and indirect household energy requirements and co2 emissions would rise drastically when household expenditure shifts from material products and transport to service oriented goods around 21 000 mtce 1 of primary energy and 45 billion tons of co2 emissions would be saved over the 45 year period from 2005 to 2050 moreover carbon prices in the dematerialized mitigation scenario would fall by 13 in 2050 thus reducing the economic cost

basic analytics of multilateral lending and surveillance abstract i analyse the role of multilateral financial institutions in a world of global capital markets assuming that they have an informational advantage over private lenders in the market for sovereign debt i show that the adverse selection problem in this market may be solved through certification if the multilateral agency does not care too much about borrower country welfare however with lending the private information of the agency will be revealed whatever its weighting of borrower welfare vs private lenders profits multilateral lending on concessional terms also alleviates the moral hazard problem that investment in creditworthy borrowers is reduced as private lenders seek to avoid ex post default by constraining credit

carbon footprint of a university in a multiregional model the case of the university of castilla la mancha abstract the increasing concern about the environmental performance and sustainability of firms and organizations also involves educational institutions if universities aim to become leaders in sustainability aspects they must adopt strategies that involve the entire university system as a useful tool for this purpose the objective of this study was to calculate the carbon footprint for the university of castilla la mancha for the period 2005 2013 the calculation of the university carbon footprint was accomplished through a hybrid environmentally extended input output model in a multiregional framework which constitutes a novelty of the analysis the proposed tool also allows the calculation of the potential for emissions reduction of abatement measures the carbon footprint induced by the consumption of university employees wages is also undertaken as a way to increase awareness and university outreach to society the results show the relevance of both imports and indirect emissions and highlight the significance of energy related emissions enabled by sectors such as renting electrical and optical equipment manufacturing or even services

dancing to the donors tune policy choice in aid dependent countries current aid rhetoric emphasizes the selective allocation of otherwise unconditional funds in support of the recipients own plans in contrast to the old donor practice of bundling money and policies i show that when recipients have private information policies reflecting their preferences and knowledge might result in such a regime however generous transfers can also induce them to conform to the outcome oriented expectations of donors at the expense of lower aid impact such behaviour is consistent with an abundance of case study evidence moderate disagreements over what the optimal policy is could actually produce better results certain forms of both donor competition and coordination might also eliminate this distortion while a donor concern for need only removes incentives for aid seeking in the least needy countries in summary optimal aid policies are highly context specific and donors should thus concentrate their efforts to practise more informed selectivity

spatially correlated exit strategies in the baking industry this article uses a unique data set to analyse economic factors that explain firm exit and the interrelation across firms in space when exiting results show the effectiveness of modelling spatial correlation in a logit exit model indeed in our application reliable statistical results could only be drawn from our data when including spatial correlation in the model

an environmentally extended social accounting matrix although the social accounting matrix sam approach has been widely used in nationalaccounting and development economics it still neglectsimportant information among which are theinteractions between an economy and the environment this paper environmentally extends sam to capture therelationships among economic activities pollutionabatement activities and pollution emissions anumerical example of the environmentally extendedsocial accounting matrix esam using chinese 1990data is presented the multiplier and structural pathanalyses are applied to the esam for assessingenvironmental impacts of pollution related economicpolicies the analysis results show that an esam canbe a useful tool for environmental policy analysis

how reliable is duality theory in empirical work the neoclassical theory of production establishes a dual relationship between the profit value function of a competitive firm and its underlying production technology this relationship commonly referred to as duality theory has been widely used in empirical work to estimate production parameters such as elasticities and returns to scale we generate a pseudo dataset by monte carlo simulations which starting from known production parameters yield a dataset with the main characteristics of u s agriculture in terms of unobserved firm heterogeneity decisions under uncertainty unexpected production and price shocks endogenous prices output and input aggregation measurement error in variables and omitted variables production parameters are not precisely recovered when performing econometric estimation based on the duality approach and the elasticity estimates are inaccurate deviations of own and cross price elasticities from initial median values given our parameter calibration range between 6 and 690 with an average of 90 also own price elasticities are as imprecisely recovered as cross price elasticities sensitivity analysis shows that results still hold for different sources and levels of noise and sample size used in estimation

impact of household consumption on co2 emissions danish household consumption increased by 58 over the period 1966 1992 while co2 emissions only increased by 7 using decomposition analysis we investigated the global co2 impact of danish household consumption from 1966 to 1992 our conclusion is that overall growth in private consumption but not changes in the composition of consumption is the key to understanding the increase in co2 emissions however the effect of growth in private consumption has been partly offset by substantial energy conservation in the energy supply and manufacturing sectors

duality theory for variable costs in joint production duality methods for incomplete systems of consumer demand equations are adapted to the dual structure of variable cost functions in joint production this allows identification of necessary and sufficient restrictions on technology and cost so that con ditional factor demands can be written as functions of input prices fixed inputs and cost these are observable when variable inputs are chosen and committed to production hence the identified restrictions allow ex ante conditional demands to be studied using observable data this class of production technologies is consistent with all von neu mann morgenstern utility functions when ex post production and or output prices are un certain

primary energy and greenhouse gases embodied in australian final consumption an input output analysis input output modeling of primary energy and greenhouse gas embodiments in goods and services is a useful technique for designing greenhouse gas abatement policies the present paper describes direct and indirect primary energy and greenhouse gas requirements for a given set of australian final consumption it considers sectoral disparities in energy prices capital formation and international trade flows and it accounts for embodiments in the gross national expenditure as well as the gross domestic product primary energy and greenhouse gas intensities in terms of mj and kg co2 e are reported as well as national balances of primary energy consumption and greenhouse gas emissions

heteroscedasticity or production risk a synthetic view two veins of literature namely production risk literature and stochastic frontier analysis are examined both fields are concerned of output variation the former due to exogenous shocks the latter due inefficiency by covering the literature from both the fields this review suggests that the concept of heteroscedasticity can be utilized to build a synthesis between these mainly separate branches of literature however the synthetic approach brings a challenge how to differentiate between different sources of output variation this challenge is identified as the main obstacle to meaningfully combine the two approaches

cheap talk with two audiences these problems have in common a simple structure an informed sender says something to two interested but uninformed receivers who then take actions based on their beliefs these actions affect the sender as well as the receivers in this paper we study how costless nonverifiable claims cheap talk can affect these beliefs and hence the actions and how the incentives for truthful revelation to one receiver are affected by the presence of the other we then ask how welfare is affected by whether claims are made in public or in private as some of the above examples suggest public messages may be more credible than private messages addressed to either audience one possibility is that the presence of one audience can discipline the sender s relationship with the other we call this one sided

income growth and atmospheric pollution in spain an input output approach abstract the relationships between economic growth and environmental pressures are complex since the early nineties the debate on these relationships has been strongly influenced by the environmental kuznets curve hypothesis which states that during the first stage of economic development environmental pressures increase as per capita income increases but once a critical turning point has been reached these pressures diminish as income levels continue to increase however to date such a delinking between economic growth and emission levels has not happened for most atmospheric pollutants in spain the aim of this paper is to analyse the relationship between income growth and nine atmospheric pollutants in spain in order to obtain empirical outcomes for this analysis we adopt an input output approach and use namea data for the nine pollutants first we undertake a structural decomposition analysis for the period 1995 2000 to estimate the contribution of various factors to changes in the levels of atmospheric emissions and second we estimate the emissions associated with the consumption patterns of different groups of households classified according to their level of expenditure

tolerance of arrearages how imf loan policy can effect debt reduction a model of bargaining with asymmetric information is applied to the case of sovereign debt and imf intervention debtors and creditors are assumed to bargain over the price to be paid by the debtors for their outstanding debt and the ability of the debtors to delay an agreement is private information it is shown that an imf policy of no lending in arrears increases the price of the debt increases any delay to agreement and increases the likelihood that the creditor will demand the highest price an imf policy of lending in arrears in contrast decreases the price of the debt decreases the delay time to agreement and my increase the likelihood that the creditor accepts the lowest price as it shifts the locus of bargaining power predictions of the model are consistent with results from recent debt agreements and implications for current debate on debt reduction strategies are discussed

imf conditionality as a screening device a theoretical model is developed in which adoption of an imf programme signals a country s productivity it is assumed that there are two types of country one with a high return on investment and the other with a low return the country s type is known only to itself in the presence of a debt overhang the high productivity country may choose not to undertake the investment despite it being socially efficient to do so in this case the creditor would like to offer the country some debt reduction but the low productivity type will also benefit from the debt reduction this problem can be avoided if the country has sufficient resources to engage in a debt buyback in order to gain the debt relief only the high productivity type would be prepared to sacrifice current resources for the debt reduction and thus a separation of the types is achieved this is similar to an argument found in acharya and diwan 1993 we argue however that it is unlikely that a heavily indebted country will have sufficient resources for a buyback if the country is credit constrained an alternative screening mechanism is to undertake an imf programme in return for debt reduction and possibly an imf loan this mechanism can be the equilibrium outcome even if the programme creates only disutility for the country s policy makers

a cost approach to economic analysis under state contingent production uncertainty this article explores the economics of input decision under production uncertainty the article develops a methodology to specify and estimate cost minimizing input decisions under a state contingent technology the analysis is applied to time series data on u s agriculture it finds strong empirical evidence that expected output alone does not provide an appropriate representation of production uncertainty the results provide empirical support for an output cubical technology this indicates that an ex post analysis of stochastic technology appears appropriate the analysis also provides evidence that the cost of facing production risk has declined in u s agriculture over the last few decades copyright 2008 oxford university press

water pollution in the spanish economy analysis of sensitivity to production and environmental constraints abstract in this paper we discuss the relationships between production processes and water pollution based on the recent satellite water accounts swa ine spanish national statistics institute 2002 and the 1997 input output tables for the spanish economy the study focuses on four pollutants biological oxygen demand bod metals nitrogen and phosphorus and seven sector blocks firstly we identify the roles of the various sector blocks as generators and consumers of each type of pollution secondly we examine how pollution responds to changes in unit coefficients of pollution and final demand patterns to obtain the shadow prices for the different pollutants the results obtained provide a sound basis for the design of improvements in environmental policy

who emits most associations between socio economic factors and uk households home energy transport indirect and total co2 emissions abstract does the association between household characteristics and household co2 emissions differ for areas such as home energy transport and indirect emissions this question is policy relevant because distributional implications of mitigation policies may vary depending on the area of emissions that is targeted if specific types of households are likely to have higher emissions in some areas than in others so far this issue has not been examined in depth in the literature on household co2 emissions using a representative uk expenditure survey this paper compares how household characteristics like income household size education gender worklessness and rural or urban location differ in their association with all three areas as well as total emissions we find that these associations vary considerably across emission domains in particular whilst all types of emissions rise with income low income workless and elderly households are more likely to have high emissions from home energy than from other domains suggesting that they may be less affected by carbon taxes on transport or total emissions this demonstrates that fairness implications related to mitigation policies need to be examined for separate emission domains

how does income redistribution affect households material footprint abstract this paper presents a study of the evolution of spanish households material footprint for the period 2006 to 2013 the method proposed combines the multiregional input output model with spanish national data on household consumption according to social group material footprint has been affected by the 2008 economic crisis in relative terms the share of spanish households material footprint with respect to total material footprint decreased drastically from 70 7 in 2006 to 50 8 in 2011 this reduction can be mainly attributed to the construction sector crash 34 4 of the reduction is due to construction materials followed by biomass 29 metals 27 1 and fossil fuels 26 1 by type of household the material footprint exhibits a scale effect while consumption and income levels grow and this is accompanied by a global teleconnection effect which varies from 62 for biomass to 64 for metals to 82 for construction materials to 95 for fossil fuels given the context of increasing income inequality we perform one redistribution simulation from high to middle and low income households finding a material footprint increase in all cases the most materialized consumer basket is that corresponding to households with incomes between 1500 and 1999 euros above that income level the growing weight of expenditures on services reduces the use of materials importantly social income redistribution and environmental material footprint sustainability will become incompatible if responsibility is transferred only to households

a bibliometric review energy consumption and greenhouse gas emissions in the residential sector residential sector has been one key sector for reducing its greenhouse gas emissions due to its significant contribution to global warming researchers in different countries have studied household energy consumption patterns and greenhouse gas emissions in order to promote low carbon lifestyles however few review papers have been published in this regard leading to a lack of systematic understanding on the related research achievements hence by using a bibliometric approach this paper aims to review the existing literature and examine the evolution of such a field so that the research trends can be uncovered including popular research methods citation analysis is performed to assess the influence of most productive journals countries territories and authors network analysis is also conducted to evaluate the relationship among different countries territories authors and keywords research outcomes of this paper present a comprehensive research picture on residential energy consumption and corresponding greenhouse gas emissions ree related papers published from 1997 to 2016 the most productive journals countries territories authors are also analyzed based on citation analysis and network analysis in addition results also revealed that behavioral analysis input output analysis life cycle assessment and cost benefit analysis are the most commonly used methods in this field results obtained from this study can provide valuable information for researchers interested in the ree related field

read my lips the role of information transmission in multilateral reform design abstract context specific knowledge is crucial to crafting multilateral reform programs nonetheless local knowledge often consists of unverifiable information thus the quality of countries reports depends on the conflict of interests faced by the recipient and the multilateral we compare the performance of a delegation scheme against a centralization scheme we find that recipients discretion in the choice of reforms delegation should only be increased when the countries local knowledge is strictly more important than the multilateral s information conversely a reduction in the conflict of interests may lead the multilateral in to allowing the recipient less freedom in designing reforms centralization our empirical results support these theoretical predictions

success in maximizing profits and reasons for profit deviation on dairy farms the weak axiom of profit maximization wapm was used to test how successful each of 70 individual new york state dairy farms was in maximizing profits using nine years of data the netput vectors were corrected for technological change using nonparametric indices that do not require the assumption of profit maximization nor any functional form for the underlying technology these technology indices are consistent with the nonparametric assumptions used in the wapm tests the average negative wapm deviation over the 70 farms was 0 20 indicating that on average these farms could have selected available netput vectors that would have increased profits by 20 of total receipts a tobit regression showed that the available characteristics on these farms explained very little of the variability in their abilities to select the best netput vectors yet increased age and additional education increased the ability to select the best netput vector

calculation and decomposition of indirect carbon emissions from residential consumption in china based on the input output model abstract based on the input output model and the comparable price input output tables the current paper investigates the indirect carbon emissions from residential consumption in china in 1992 2005 and examines the impacts on the emissions using the structural decomposition method the results demonstrate that the rise of the residential consumption level played a dominant role in the growth of residential indirect emissions the persistent decline of the carbon emission intensity of industrial sectors presented a significant negative effect on the emissions the change in the intermediate demand of industrial sectors resulted in an overall positive effect except in the initial years the increase in population prompted the indirect emissions to a certain extent however population size is no longer the main reason for the growth of the emissions the change in the consumption structure showed a weak positive effect demonstrating the importance for china to control and slow down the increase in the emissions while in the process of optimizing the residential consumption structure the results imply that the means for restructuring the economy and improving efficiency rather than for lowering the consumption scale should be adopted by china to achieve the targets of energy conservation and emission reduction

decomposing inequality in energy related co2 emissions by source and source increment the roles of production and residential consumption abstract using provincial data on energy related co2 emissions in china from 1997 to 2014 and the co2 emission gini coefficient ceg this study evaluates china s spatial inequality in energy related co2 emissions further we decompose this inequality and its variation from the perspectives of production and residential energy consumption using the source decomposition and source increment decomposition methods this paper presents a new ceg source increment decomposition method that can achieve complete decomposition the results reveal a downward trend in china s overall production sector and residential sector co2 emissions inequality although the gini coefficient of co2 emissions from the residential sector is larger than that from the production sector the contribution of the latter to the overall ceg is higher the impacts of the spatial inequality of co2 emissions from china s production and residential sectors depend on the type of energy the concentration effect is the primary factor responsible for inducing changes in china s overall and production sector co2 emissions inequality but it is not the only dominant factor for the residential sector co2 emissions inequality

risk aversion and yield uncertainty in duality models of production a mean variance approach a duality model of production is developed that endogenizes stochastic output decisions under risk aversion the model incorporates both yield and price uncertainty and nonlinear mean variance risk preferences this permits modeling of the firm s expected output supply and input demand decisions under risk and also in principle the firm s output variance decisions the duality model is tractable for empirical research

the catalytic effect of lending by the international financial institutions for many less developed countries ldcs and countries in transition cits external financing is frequently an effective constraint on economic growth and development capital inflows may be used to overcome shortages of domestic saving thereby permitting higher levels of investment as well as shortages of foreign exchange thereby permitting larger quantities of imports

the impact of household consumption patterns on emissions in spain abstract the aim of this paper is to analyse the relationship between household consumption patterns and pollution in the spanish economy the analysis was carried using a social accounting matrix sam for the spanish economy prepared for 1999 taking the final demand of households as the exogenous account in the sam framework and combining this with the information provided by the household budget continuous survey on income and consumption ine 1999 we analyse the pollution produced by both the economy and households in order to satisfy consumption requirements we also consider the effects of income inequality on expenditure levels establishing a link between income level consumption patterns propensity to consume and co2 emissions

impacts of household income change on co2 emissions an empirical analysis of china abstract sustained increase in chinese household income has exerted positive impact on the consumption of goods and services this paper aims to analyze the unequal impacts of household consumption across different income households on the whole co2 emissions by utilizing a semi closed input output model and hypothetical extraction method the semi closed input output model moves household consumption activities into the intermediate use along with dividing urban and rural households to several groups by their income levels and the hypothetical extraction method hem is used to estimate the reductions of co2 emissions relative to total emissions after extracting the consumption of each household group the results show that 1 the impact on co2 emissions generated by urban households consumption are 1 8 times as much as that of rural ones 2 excluding consumption of higher income households from the economy would cause greater co2 emission reductions than lower ones specifically urban highest income households have the most relative reductions of co2 emissions which are 12 2 in 2007 and 13 8 in 2012 while for rural highest income households are 5 1 in 2007 and 5 1 in 2012 and urban and rural highest income households are respectively 3 8 and 1 8 times on the relative reductions of the lowest income ones 3 the relative reductions of household co2 emissions from food sectors is the most while from residence sectors is the least based on the above conclusions this paper puts forward consumption based policy implications

analysis of carbon tax efficiency in energy industries of selected eu countries abstract a carbon tax is one of economic policy instruments of environmental protection supposed to contribute to the reduction of greenhouse gas ghg emissions a functional carbon tax aims at incorporating costs for elimination of environmental harm into the pricing decisions in terms of global climate change the carbon tax is usually imposed on the production distribution or consumption of carbon content fossil fuels the main aim of the study is to evaluate the carbon tax environmental effectiveness in the energy industries of selected eu countries namely sweden finland denmark ireland and slovenia to achieve the principal research objective the multiple panel regression method for the selected variables was used the synergy of other environmental policy tools being taken into account control variables employed were emission allowance price household final consumption expenditure corporate investments solid fuel consumption and renewable energy consumption the analysis results suggest that the carbon tax in the energy industry is environmentally efficient an increased tax rate allowing to reduce ghg production which is statistically significantly affected by the consumption of fossil fuels based on the estimated partial regression coefficient 0 01158 raising the carbon tax by one euro per tonne can cut annual per capita emissions by 11 58 kg

cost functions under production uncertainty we characterize the cost functions which would be consistent with expected utility maximization when production is uncertain it is not generally possible assuming risk aversion to use only expected output as the constraint in a cost minimization problem in some leading cases cost functions consistent with expected utility maximization are particularly useful because they are devoid of risk preferences

examining the global environmental impact of regional consumption activities part 1 a technical note on combining input output and ecological footprint analysis in recent years there have been a number of attempts to develop a more comprehensive approach to the issue of measuring resource use and or pollution generation embodied in trade flows including contributions that combine input output techniques and ecological footprint analysis in this two part paper we describe how to enumerate the resource and or pollution content of inter regional and inter national trade flows part 1 and we present a literature review of recent methodological and empirical developments part 2 it is straightforward in principle to extend the basic input output approach to capture international trade flows however in practice problems of data availability and compatibility and of computability of extended input output matrices mean that simplifying assumptions are generally applied but with the implications of these assumptions often not made fully explicit what appears to be absent from previous applications is an account of the analytical method by which ecological footprints should ideally be estimated in an international input output accounting analysis this allows an explicit analysis of the problems that prevent the application of the full method and identification of the most appropriate short cut methods in a transparent way the objective of this paper is to provide such an account

the examination of pecan price differences using spatial correlation estimation a spatial analysis is used to model factors that explain the price received by pecan growers besides the statistical aspect of the study focussing on spatial autoregressive residuals the economic analysis of the paper identifies linkages between the price for in shell pecans received by growers and the characteristics of the orchard production costs and resources and the orchard location

the state contingent properties of stochastic production functions this paper develops the state contingent properties of the most frequently used representations of stochastic production in the agricultural economics literature particular attention is paid to the cases of multiplicative and additive uncertainty and to the convolution of multiplicative and additive uncertainty embodied in the just pope stochastic production function state contingent technologies and their associated cost functions are reviewed and that theory is applied to the stochastic production function a generalisation of the just pope technology that has desirable state contingent characteristics is proposed cost functions based upon state contingent technologies are compared with cost functions based on a parametrised distribution representation of production uncertainty

domestic ghg emissions and the responsibility of households in spain looking for regional differences abstractthe aim of this article is to analyze the responsibilities of spanish households as final consumers for the generation of domestic greenhouse gases emissions ghg by region of residence distinguishing between nuts 1 and nuts 2 autonomous regions the motivation is the process of convergence experimented by spanish regions based on the strong economic growth experienced by the country until 2008 which could results in different emissions responsibilities because of different lifestyles and production structures we examine in depth the relationships between a representative household in each region and its patterns of consumption although we do find a relationship between per capita income and regional responsibility for pollution generation it is based on a demand scale effect which overlaps the effects of the regional consumption patterns thus in the richest regions madrid northeast east despite their having a less polluting pattern than other regions the level of per capita em

the measurement of productive efficiency a reconsideration the purpose of this paper is to generalize the farrell indexes of productive efficiency to nonhomothetic production technologies and at the same time maintain the cost interpretation of the farrell measures since the generalized indexes rely heavily on recent developments in the estimation of frontier cost and production functions several frontier models are reviewed in addition to generalized indexes of technical allocative and overall productive efficiency a variety of single factor efficiency measures are discussed the applicability of the proposed efficiency measures is illustrated with a numerical example of electric power generation

is farming a constant cost industry measurement of cost size relationships for farming has long been an important area of research in agricultural economics much of this research has had a farm management and production economics orientation and firm industry interdependencies have often been ignored research results stemming from such an orientation should be interpreted with care when used for policy purposes pecuniary externalities may be of greater importance than indicated by research to this time a suggestion is made for treating induced technical change as comparable to a pecuniary externality questions are raised on both theoretical and empirical grounds whether farming in the united states should be considered a constant cost industry for policy purposes

economic and environmental efficiency using a social accounting matrix abstract this paper aims to show the utility of the so called social accounting matrix and environmental accounts samea for economic and environmental efficiency analysis the article uses the samea for spain in 2000 applied to water resources and greenhouse gas emissions this matrix is used as a central core of a multisectorial model of economic and environmental performance and it calculates the denominated domestics samea multipliers and their decomposition into characteristic direct indirect and induced effects these multipliers show some evaluation of economic and environmental efficiency also we present an application of these multipliers that demonstrates that there is no causal interrelation between those sectors with higher economic backward linkages and those with higher environmental deterioration backward linkages

systematic effects of capital service price definition on perceptions of input substitution earlier attempts at reconciling disparate substitution elasticity estimates examined differences in separability hypotheses data bases and estimation techniques as well as methods employed to construct capital service prices although these studies showed that differences in elasticity estimates between two or three studies may be attributable to the aforementioned features of the econometric models they have been unable to demonstrate this link statistically and establish the existence of systematic relationships between features of the econometric models and the perception of production technologies generated by those models using sectoral data covering the entire production side of the u s economy we estimate 34 production models for alternative definitions of the capital service price we employ substitution elasticities calculated from these models as dependent variables in the statistical search for systematic relationships between features of the econometric models and perceptions of the sec

input demands and inefficiency in u s agriculture markov chain monte carlo mcmc methods are used to estimate a seemingly unrelated regression sur system of input demand functions for u s agriculture our demand functions have flexible forms and allow for nonrandom technical inefficiency concavity constraints are imposed at individual data points and the distributions of measures of relative technical efficiency are constrained to the unit interval results are evaluated in terms of characteristics of the posterior distributions of parameters measures of relative technical efficiency and other nonlinear functions of the parameters

what explains the success or failure of structural adjustment programs in the 1980s development assistance shifted largely from financing investments such as roads and dams to promoting policy reform this change came because of a growing awareness that developing countries were held back more by poor policies than by a lack of finance for investment after nearly 20 years experience with policy based or conditional lending there have now been many studies of adjustment lending most of which take a case study approach many conclude that policy based lending works if countries have decided on their own to reform the authors examine a database of 220 world bank supported reform programs to identify why adjustment programs succeed or fail they find that a few political economy variables can successfully predict the outcome of an adjustment loan 75 percent of the time variables under the world bank s control resources devoted to preparation and supervision or number of conditions have no relationship with an adjustment program s success or failure what development agencies must do then is select promising candidates for adjustment support when the candidates is a poor selection devoting more administrative resources or imposing more conditions will not increase the likelihood of successful reform to improve its success rate with adjustment lending the world bank must become more selective and do a better job of understanding which environments are promising for reform and which are not that is likely to lead to fewer adjustment loans unless there is a significant change in the number of promising reformers to become more effective at supporting policy reform the agency must be willing to accept that this may lead to smaller volumes of lending

estimation of ses for heteroscedastic and cross sectionally correlated data this study develops se estimators for heteroscedastic and cross sectionally correlated data the new estimators are a cross sectional version of the white and domowitz 1984 and newey and west 1987 estimators and therefore consistent in the presence of heteroscedasticity and cross correlation of unknown form unlike the estimators in the literature these estimators can control for cross correlation even for single period cross sectional data

the welfare effects and the distributive impact of carbon taxation on italian households in this work the welfare effects and the distributive impact on italian households of the italian carbon tax are calculated the carbon tax has been introduced in italy at the beginning of 1999 asking for smooth increases over a number of years in the prices of most fossil fuels its welfare effects have been calculated using true cost of living index numbers and the compensating variation the parameters have been obtained through estimation of a complete almost ideal demand system using households data from 1985 to 1996 the welfare loss turns out to be quite substantial and affects italian households in a non negligible way but the distribution of welfare losses across different levels of total monthly expenditures does not allow sustaining the regressivity of carbon taxation as the effect becomes bigger as we move up the income distribution this evidence might encourage the use of carbon taxes at least in the transport sector as cost effective instruments of environmental policy especially after the ratification of the kyoto protocol on climate change

estimation of australian wool and lamb production technologies under uncertainty an error components approach a model of producer behavior which explicitly accounts for both output price and production uncertainty is formulated and estimated if the production technology is multiplicatively separable in its deterministic and stochastic components then the expected utility maximization problem implies cost minimization for planned or expected output consequently our empirical model of three lamb and wool producing sectors in australia involves the estimation of a system of input cost share and cost equations whose disturbances have an error components structure the empirical results are evaluated in terms of input demand elasticities and estimates of the stochastic components of production are presented

consumer side actions in a low carbon economy a dynamic cge analysis for spain abstract in recent decades the need to strengthen efforts to reduce ghg emissions to combat climate change has become a major global concern as reflected in the 2015 paris agreement and the eu climate strategy 2016 in this context eu countries are required to organize their contributions to environmental improvement through national strategies given the potential importance of demand side actions both directly and through their relationship with the productive system as well as the need for a dynamic evolution we assess the dynamic path and medium term environmental impact of certain consumer oriented measures using a dynamic computable general equilibrium cge model specifically we generate scenarios that follow spain s strategies and evaluate the dynamic impact of more efficient technologies on electricity consumption and the use of transport services both in terms of environmental ghg and sox and economic effects our results confirm the role of technology improvements in delivering positive results for the environment and the importance of economy wide rebound effects through a detailed study of energy uses as a result of efficiency improvements in household energy consumption our findings show that reductions in emissions per person are consistent with economic growth

the role of multilateral institutions in the market for sovereign debt creditor country governments have an interest in avoiding defaults by sovereign debtors because default sanctions may be costly to their citizens as a result a standard bargaining model predicts that debtors do not repay in equilibrium even if the threat of sanctions is credible on the part of the banks by contracting with a third party such as a multilateral institution with some degree of independence creditor country governments can precommit not to intervene in equilibrium when debt renegotiation occurs the sovereign receives a subsidy from the multilateral agency the model is used to interpret recent debt reduction operations

social groups and co2 emissions in spanish households abstract this paper examines the social factors that underlie the composition of final demand and therefore determine the final volume of emissions the study throws light on the relationships between the parameters characterising spanish households income urban rural residence local population density head of household s level of education and social class and their behaviour with regard to consumption and the demand for goods and services on this basis we determine which consumption patterns are best aligned with sustainable growth and development our main conclusion is that the factors analysed determine the volume of emissions for each household in terms of their correlation with income which is the primary determinant of consumption patterns the methodology proposed combines linear sam models and econometric estimation of emissions elasticity with respect to spending