monetary policy regime changes and the risk premium in the foreign exchange markets abstract this paper reports an empirical relationship between conduct of monetary policy and the foreign exchange risk premium using garch 1 1 the time variation of the risk premium is shown to depend significantly on the changes in the monetary policy regime

from physical to human capital accumulation inequality and the process of development this paper develops a growth theory that captures the replacement of physical capital accumulation by human capital accumulation as a prime engine of growth along the process of development it argues that the positive impact of inequality on the growth process was reversed in this process in early stages of the industrial revolution when physical capital accumulation was the prime source of growth inequality stimulated development by channelling resources towards individuals with a higher propensity to save as human capital emerged as a growth engine equality alleviated adverse effects of credit constraints on human capital accumulation stimulating the growth process this research develops a growth theory that captures the endogenous replacement of physical capital accumulation by human capital accumulation as a prime engine of economic growth in the transition from the industrial revolution to modern growth the proposed theory offers a unified account for the effect of income inequality on the growth process during this transition it argues that the replacement of physical capital accumulation by human capital accumulation as a prime engine of economic growth changed the qualitative impact of inequality on the process of development in the early stages of the industrial revolution when physical capital accumulation was the prime source of economic growth inequality enhanced the process of development by channelling resources towards individuals whose marginal propensity to save is higher in the later stages of the transition to modern growth as human capital emerged as a prime engine of economic growth equality alleviated the adverse effect of credit constraints on human capital accumulation and stimulated the growth process the proposed theory unifies two fundamental approaches regarding the effect of income distribution on the process of development the classical approach and the credit market imperfection approach 1 the classical approach was originated by smith 1776 and was further interpreted and developed by keynes 1920 lewis 1954 kaldor 1957 and bourguignon 1981 according to this approach saving rates are an increasing function of wealth and inequality therefore channels resources towards individuals whose marginal propensity to save 1 the socio political economy approach provides an alternative mechanism equality diminishes the tendency for socio political instability or distortionary redistribution and hence it stimulates investment and economic growth see the comprehensive survey of benabou 1996b

is it beneficial to be included in a sustainability stock index a panel data study for european firms this paper empirically examines the effect of inclusion in the dow jones sustainability world index djsi world on corporate financial performance on the basis of panel data for european firms that were included in the dow jones stoxx 600 index over time our micro econometric analysis with fixed and random effects models implies positive impacts on return on assets for continental european countries but insignificant effects for anglo saxon european countries i e the united kingdom and ireland furthermore the impacts on alternative indicators of corporate financial performance such as tobin s q are generally insignificant the weak or neutral effect of inclusion in the djsi world on corporate financial performance can be explained by several mutually confounding factors furthermore the composition of this sustainability stock index is influenced by factors that need not necessarily be directly connected to corporate environmental or social activities so that potential positive and negative effects of corporate sustainability performance on financial performance can be weakened methodologically this study again supports the strong relevance of unobserved firm heterogeneity since the application of misspecified pooled regression models leads to obviously biased estimation results

the political economy of fiscal restrictions implications for europe from the united states abstract this paper analyzes fiscal restrictions in the united states as a way of shedding light on the likely effects of the excessive deficits provisions of the maastricht treaty we consider their impact on levels of deficits on the cost of borrowing and on the stabilization function of fiscal policy if u s experience is any guide maastricht s fiscal restraints are enforceable but if vigorously enforced they could significantly diminish the stabilization capacity of national budgets

capital budgets borrowing rules and state capital spending abstract this paper compares the level and composition of government spending in u s states that maintain separate budgets for capital and operating expenditures with that in states that employ unified budgets it also investigates the effects of pay as you go financing rules for capital projects the empirical findings suggest that states with separate capital budgets spend more on public capital projects than comparable states with unified budgets there is no evidence that the presence or absence of a capital budget affects the level of non capital spending pay as you go requirements for financing capital projects are associated with lower levels of both capital and non capital spending

does it really pay to do better exploring the financial effects of changes in csr ratings abstractprevious literature on the link between corporate social responsibility csr and financial performance has focused mainly on the financial implications of a firm s level of csr without con

volatility in wheat spot and futures markets 1950 1993 government farm programs seasonality and causality we explore how wheat spot and futures market volatility has been impacted by government farm programs during the 1950 1993 period we find that changing volatility in both markets is highly associated with changing farm programs the mandatory allotment programs of the 1950s and early 1960s 1 3 50 4 10 64 were associated with low volatility while the voluntary programs initiated in the mid 1960s seem to have induced high volatility 4 11 64 12 22 85 both market driven loan rates and conservation reserve programs appear to have helped volatility revert to lower levels since the mid 1980s 12 23 85 12 30 93 we also examine seasonality and causality in conjunction with the farm programs we explore how wheat spot and futures price volatility has been impacted by government farm programs many studies have examined the effects of various farm policies mckinnon 1967 blakeslee 1980 miranda and helmberger

re examining local debt limits a disaggregated analysis in the past most state governments have instituted some type of restriction on local government borrowing and debt use in an attempt to prevent the recurrence of the wave of defaults and excessive borrowing which occurred in the late 1800s and early 1900s the evidence on the effectiveness of these restrictions has been very mixed many of the debt limit studies have not satisfactorily controlled for the other factors affecting debt financing or have not used data which is sufficiently disaggregated to examine the variation in the behavior of individual communities the purpose of this study is to re examine the issue of the effectiveness of local debt limitations using a national sample of communities over ten thousand population this data set exhibits large differences in the debt and financial characteristics of its communities particularly in various population categories and across geographic regions of the country thus the use of this data will allow the testing of hypotheses and the examination of factors affecting debt limitations which have not been possible in previous research analysis of the data does indicate that debt limits significantly lower local per capita debt levels but that debt referenda do not have a substantial effect on the amount of local debt section i of the paper presents a brief survey of the earlier literature in section ii hypotheses about the factors affecting local per capita debt choice are discussed and the variables used to measure these factors are described the statistical results of this research are presented in section iii while section iv provides a summary of the issues

erratum to a bi directional examination of the relationship between corporate social responsibility ratings and company financial performance in the european context research focusing on the relationship between measures of corporate social responsibility csr and company financial performance has led to mixed results in the north american context in addition the ethical attitudes and approaches toward csr investments of both companies and rating agencies are not necessarily the same in europe and the united states in this study we use csr ratings issued by a major european csr ratings agency vigeo to examine in a bi directional manner the relationships between csr ratings and financial performance in the european context by bi directional we mean an examination of the relationship between prior csr ratings and subsequent accounting and financial performance and reciprocally the impact of accounting and financial performance of year n 1 on csr ratings of year n our principal findings are 1 the greater the market capitalization of a company the higher the vigeo rating 2 the higher the risk of the company the lower the vigeo rating and 3 the greater the stock market return of a company the lower the vigeo rating based on these findings we propose 1 a concept of political visibility pursuant to which enterprises of a greater size are exposed to greater pressure to conform to norms of socially acceptable behavior 2 a concept of priorities in which enterprises that have resolved their most urgent financial needs have a greater ability to invest in csr 3 a concept of rating downgrading which reveals the sanctioning role of the rating agency from an ethical standpoint

unit root and cointegration tests timeseries versus panel estimates for international health expenditure models classical regression estimates of the determinants of the oecd health expenditures are useful for policy formulation and evaluation however if the underlying timeseries data are not collectively stationary in levels the estimated parameters are faulty and can misguide health policy until very recently the crucial stationarity tests were ignored in a large number of studies on international comparisons stationarity adf phillips perron ips heterogeneous panel and cointegration engle granger bivariate johansen s multivariate tests are conducted here using 1960 1997 health expenditures data 1998 cd rom of 19 oecd countries it is found that extending the time series data length affects the order of integration and number of cointegrating vectors however it is arguable whether the order of integration decreases or increases as more observations are added for testing the failure of the johansen and engle granger cointegration tests for most of the oecd countries cautions policy makers against

assessing whether corporate social responsibility influence corporate value abstractthis study used the corporate social responsibility csr index to gauge the corporate value and social responsibility performance of corporations in taiwan we investigated whether csr influences corporate value and whether the extent of that influence varies with corporate value or time the results indicate that the influence of csr on corporate value does not change with time csr exerts a positive influence on company value and this influence does not change over time however the extent of the influence significantly varies with corporate value when the corporate value of a company is not high investing in csr would only increase costs and fail to effectively increase corporate value in contrast if the corporate value of the company is high investments in csr in this circumstance would instead promote the effective increase of corporate value

strategic corporate social responsibility and economic performance this article proposes a novel corporate social responsibility csr index based on a data envelopment analysis dea model acknowledging the argument that companies might favour those csr dimensions that provide strategic competitive advantages we argue that the index can capture companies strategic approach to csr furthermore our findings reveal a neutral relationship between this strategic csr index and economic performance as measured by return on assets roa and tobin s q when controlling for firm unobserved heterogeneity and past economic performance by contrast an equally weighted index of the same csr indicators is found to be negatively related with roa which reinforces our claim that this specific dea based index is a measure of strategic csr

a study of the link between a corporation s financial performance and its commitment to ethics a number of studies have tested the relationship between a corporation s social and ethical performance and its financial performance in contrast this is the first study to demonstrate a link between overall financial performance and an emphasis on ethics as an aspect of corporate governance it identifies the 26 8 percent of the 500 largest u s public corporations that in their annual report to shareholders commit to ethical behavior toward their stakeholders or emphasize compliance with their code of conduct the financial performance of these corporations ranks higher than that of those who do not at a significance level of p 0 005 using the 1997 business week ranking which averages eight publicly reported measures of historical financial performance these findings should motivate more corporations to utilize the principles of social and ethical accounting auditing and reporting seaar

theory and evidence of municipal borrowing in chile although chilean municipalities are not permitted to borrow they do so through arrears and leasing contracts a formal model of municipal indebtedness is estimated based on a sample of 345 municipalities with yearly data from 2004 to 2007 variables that are positively and significantly related to borrowing through arrears are mayors closely tied to the ruling central government coalition politically diverse municipal councils years close to elections and deeper municipal involvement in education while leasing contracts appear to be insensitive to political factors they are positively and significantly related to municipal staff managerial skills and municipal revenues per capita

the determinants of efficiency in municipal governments this article investigates efficiency in the municipal sector of the region of murcia spain with that aim data of 31 municipalities 69 of the response rate have been collected services analysed are police culture sports green areas refuse collection and water supply ratios of efficiency have been related to other control variables such as economic level size of the municipality decentralization political sign and financial situation a weak positive relation between economic level and efficiency arises some weak evidence also exists that public management of refuse collection is more efficient than private in water supply public management by means of a company controlled by the local government is clearly more efficient than private it also seems that the higher the tax burden the greater the efficiency in providing services

state restrictions on local debt their role in preventing default abstract default by a local government can impose a negative externality upon other localities within a state because the state s ability to enforce debt repayment depends upon the proportion of municipalities favoring repayment localities benefit from maintaining their state s reputation for enforcement hence jurisdictions not wishing to default favor enforcement of repayment by other jurisdictions a debt limit increases support for enforcement by reducing the proportion of municipalities preferring default we characterize when such a limit is optimal we also examine the role of special districts which typically neither are subject to a debt ceiling nor fully backed by the jurisdiction

new panel results on cointegration of international health expenditure and gdp this article tests for existence of cointegration between health expenditure and gdp using data from 25 oecd countries for the period 19607ndash 1997 the empirical modelling is based on a heterogeneous bivariate vector error correction panel model that allows for trending data as well as intercepts and trends in the cointegrating relations univariate country by country and panel unit root tests generally fail to reject the null of a unit root in the health expenditure and gdp variables country by country results based on the johansen multivariate likelihood based inference indicate somewhat mixed results on country specific cointegration with a rank of one found for 12 countries and a rank of zero for the remaining 13 countries application of a new panel test for cointegration rank with higher power than the individual tests indicates that health expenditure and gdp are cointegrated around linear trends

public debts and fiscal politics how to decide the phenomenal growth in our public deficits over the past twenty years is a matter of public and professional concern see symposium 1989 while this concern may indeed be well founded particularly given current deficit levels public deficits are not always bad certainly in times of deep recessions short term deficit financing can stimulate aggregate demand increase national income and reduce unemployment in a keynesian fashion see richard startz 1989 second long term deficit financing may be needed to sustain a long term path of optimal consumption see peter diamond 1965 third public deficits including pay as yougo social security can offer welfare gains for significant subsets of consumers who have been liquidity constrained r glenn hubbard and kenneth judd 1986 who have been unable to purchase indexed private annuities alan blinder 1988 or who have been unable to sufficiently diversify their investment portfolios away from human capital robert merton 1983 finally robert barro 1979 has argued that public deficits may be an important policy instrument to insure intertemporal welfare maximization when public expenditures are stochastic and public taxes are economically inefficient taxes can be smoothed to reduce the lifetime excess burden of public financing the concern today is not that we have deficits but rather that we may be overdoing a good thing if this is the issue then we need to ask why and what can be done about it this is my agenda here i the political economy of recent deficits

the effectiveness of institutional borrowing restrictions empirical evidence from spanish municipalities the need for restrictions on borrowing by subnational governments is a generally accepted notion that is justified both by public choice theory and by the fact that such restrictions are in force in the majority of decentralized countries furthermore recent breaches of the stability and growth pact of the european union have led to the introduction of legislative tools aimed at balancing the budget at all levels of government have come to the forefront of interest in european public finance research this paper is concerned with the financial situation and debt level of spanish municipalities from 1988 to 2000 we have two main objectives the first is to assess the value of mandatory limitations on municipal borrowing and past trends in the borrowing policies adopted by spanish local authorities the second is to develop an econometric model using panel data stratified by population size to measure indebtedness in spanish municipalities these measures enable us to formulate a series of hypotheses to explain municipal borrowing practices which are then tested empirically the evidence thus obtained appears to support the effectiveness of institutional borrowing restrictions to introduce some financial discipline in the borrowing policies adopted by local governments in spain

tax structure and the size of government an empirical analysis of the fiscal illusion and fiscal stress arguments this study attempts to fulfill a number of objectives one is the possible reconciliation of two divergent strains of thought concerning the size of government fiscal illusion and fiscal stress in this respect the results show little evidence of fiscal illusion but provide support for some of the notions associated with the fiscal stress hypothesis namely the effects of revenue and income variability on the size of government

public accounting fudges towards emu a first empirical survey and some public choice considerations this paper analyses some one off measures and other accounting tricks that eu member states have been using to qualify for emu membership moving from empirical evidence to strategic goals this investigation brings to the fore three crucial issues the weakness of the methodological rules of the european system of accounts used to assess budgetary convergence in line with the maastricht treaty the open ended definition of the required budgetary discipline the shortcomings of the excessive deficit procedure enforced through the stability pact the conclusion urges a return to a strict annual balance requirement for governments current accounts to impede strategic adjustments of budgetary positions that are in fact creative accounting operations

can environmental sustainability be used to manage energy price risk energy security issues and climate change are two of the most pressing problems facing society and both of these problems are likely to increase energy price variability in the coming years this paper develops and estimates a model of a company s energy price exposure and presents evidence showing that increases in a company s environmental sustainability lowers its energy price exposure this result is robust across two different measures of energy prices these results should be useful to companies seeking new ways of addressing energy price risk as well as governments concerned about the impact that energy price risk can have on economic growth and prosperity

socially responsible investing in the united states socially responsible investing sri has emerged in recent years as a dynamic and quickly growing segment of the u s financial services industry involving over 2 trillion in professionally managed assets its conceptual origins can be found in the early history of civilization with it s modern roots in the 1960s this paper provides an overview of the breadth and depth of the concept and practice of socially and environmentally responsible investing describes the investment strategies that together define sri as currently practiced in the u s offers several observations about some of the factors fueling its dramatic growth and presents data showing that investors who choose to invest in a socially and environmentally responsible manner can do so without giving up investment returns sri has matured to a point where virtually any investment need can be met through portfolio design that integrates an investor s personal values institutional mission and or social priorities the socially responsible investment industry in the unitedstates is a young phenomenon even referring to it as an industry ten years ago may have been a bit of a stretch while it has grown dramatically in recent years it is an area of work of study and of practical application that continues to evolve in many significant ways one intriguing example of the ongoing development of the field can be found in the analysis of the language used to describe it the terms social investing socially responsible investing ethical investing socially aware investing socially conscious investing green investing values based investing and mission based or mission related investing all refer to the same general process and are often used interchangeably

corporate social responsibility and corporate performance evidence from a panel of us listed companies we investigate whether inclusion and permanence in the domini social index dsi affects corporate performance on a sample of around 1000 firms in a 13 year interval by controlling for size industry business cycle and time invariant firm idiosyncratic characteristics our results find partial support to the hypothesis that corporate social responsibility is a move from the shareholders wealth to a multi stakeholders welfare target on the one side permanence into the domini index di is shown to increase reduce significantly total sales per employee returns on equity but not when large and r d investing firms are excluded from the sample on the other side lower returns on equity for domini firms seem nonetheless to be accompanied by relatively lower conditional volatility and lower reaction to extreme shocks with respect to the control sample an explanation for these findings suggested by the inspection of domini criteria is that social responsibility implies on the one side decisions leadi

chinese management buyouts and board transformation we assess the extent to which chinese mbos of listed corporations enable a balance to be achieved between facilitating growth and supporting the interests of minority shareholders other than the buyout organization using novel hand collected data from 19 mbos of listed corporations in china a matched sample of 19 non mbos and the population of listed corporations we examine the extent to which boards of directors are changed to bring in executive and outside directors with the skills to grow as well as restructure a business we also examine the extent to which outside directors become involved in actions to develop the business rather than actions related to fostering the interests of all shareholders we find in fact little evidence that outside board members have the skills to add value to the mbo firms boards appear to focus mainly on related party transactions with some more limited attention to growth strategies outside directors do not seem to openly disagree with incumbent managers on the disclosure of their actions but may express their views and exert pressure behind the scenes

the economic case for limits to government in june of 1978 the voters of california approved proposition 13 restricting the rate of local property taxation to no more than 1 percent of 1975 market values in november 1978 the voters of michigan approved the headlee amendment which limited state revenues from own sources to a fixed share of state personal income in november of 1980 massachusetts voters followed the lead of california and required all cities and towns to limit their taxation to a rate of 22 percent of full and fair cash value numerous hypotheses have been advanced and analyzed to explain the emergence of these new restrictions on fiscal choice the results point to two explanations voters feel governments are too big providing more services than what they prefer or governments spend too much on redistributive activities to help the poor and through higher wages to help public employees themselves the response to this perceived failure of government has been to propose and in california michigan and massachusetts to approve absolute limits to government expenditures the question i wish to address here is whether a compelling economic argument can be advanced for such a policy response politics and personalities aside the answer i think is yes but particular preconditions must apply first and perhaps most importantly is the inability of citizens to directly control the provision of public services responsibility for providing public goods is delegated to agents of the voter and these agents be they bureaucrats or elected representatives have their own objectives and an ability to act upon them to the possible disadvantage of the voters second without direct control over public outputs voters must use indirect controls through the manipulation of their appointed agents these indirect controls take two general forms price incentives or quantity restrictions third the choice of either of these indirect controls must take place before the agent acts to provide public goods further voters must often make their choice of a price or quantity control before the benefits or costs of the public service are known to them with certainty agents however can wait to observe true benefits and coststhat is why we use agents and then provide a level of public services in response to costs benefits and the voters chosen control voter uncertainty over benefits and costs can be interpreted as placing the voter within a constitutional perspective where a voter s precise position in society that is his or her benefits and costs are unknown when choosing a control geoffrey brennan and james buchanan ch 1 were the first to really stress this important point fourth if benefit and cost uncertainty is predominantly over the position rather than slope of the marginal benefit and marginal cost schedules and if the marginal benefit schedule is relatively steep loosely an inelastic demand curve while the marginal cost schedule is relatively flat an elastic supply curve then quantity controls on agents behavior through tax or spending limitations will be the preferred control these four preconditions strike me as quite plausible rather than just an emotional reaction to a peculiar configuration of political and economic circumstances proposition 13 the headlee amendment and proposition 24 may be perfectly reasoned responses to a failure in the politi professor university of pennsylvania and research associate the national bureau of economic research inc an alternative hypothesis which has been tested and generally rejected attributes voter approval to a desire to alter the tax mix away from property taxation and towards other taxes what approving voters really want it seems is increased government efficiency and less redistribution see the recent studies by jack citrin paul courant edward gramlich and daniel rubinfeld and helen ladd and julie wilson

the corporate social performance financial performance link strategic managers are consistently faced with the decision of how to allocate scarce corporate resources in an environment that is placing more and more pressures on them recent scholarship in strategic management suggests that many of these pressures come directly from sources associated with social issues in management rather than traditional arenas of strategic management using a greatly improved source of data on corporate social performance this paper reports the results of a rigorous study of the empirical linkages between financial and social performance corporate social performance csp is found to be positively associated with prior financial performance supporting the theory that slack resource availability and csp are positively related csp is also found to be positively associated with future financial performance supporting the theory that good management and csp are positively related 1997 by john wiley sons ltd