financial markets and growth the last five years have witnessed a resurgence of interest in the relationship between financial intermediation and economic growth this issue had been extensively studied nearly two decades earlier by goldsmith 1969 mckinnon 1973 shaw 1973 and others who produced considerable evidence that financial development correlates with growth but their work though insightful lacked analytical foundations in traditional growth theory financial intermediation could be related to the level of the capital stock per worker or to the level of productivity but not to their respective growth rates the latter were ascribed to exogenous technical progress the recent revival of interest in the link between financial development and growth stems mainly from the insights and techniques of endogenous growth models which have shown that there can be self sustaining growth without exogenous technical progress and that the growth rate can be related to preferences technology income distribution and institutional arrangements this provides the theoretical underpinning that early contributors lacked tinancial intermediation can be shown to have not only level effects but also growth effects the resulting models have offered important insights into the effect of financial development on growth and vice versa they have also provided new impetus to empirical research on these issues this paper reviews the ground covered so far on the theoretical and empirical front and points to some still unresolved issues

a case study of organizational form and risk shifting in the savings and loan industry abstract i analyze the investment and funding strategies of two thrifts one stock owned and one mutually owned from 1983 to 1988 despite their similarities prior to 1983 the stock thrift implemented a riskier financial strategy and did so only after converting to stock ownership although this strategy ultimately led to its failure the stock thrift still made significant payouts to its controlling shareholders this case study illustrates in stark terms the relation between organizational form and risk shifting in the thrift industry

what drives deregulation economics and politics of the relaxation of bank branching restrictions this paper investigates private interest public interest and political institutional theories of regulatory change to analyze state level deregulation of bank branching restrictions using a hazard model we find that interest group factors related to the relative strength of potential winners large banks and small bank dependent firms and losers small banks and the rival insurance firms can explain the timing of branching deregulation across states during the last quarter century the same factors also explain congressional voting on interstate branching deregulation while we find some support for each theory the private interest approach provides the most compelling overall explanation of our results

finance and the sources of growth at various stages of economic development this article studies the effects of financial development on the sources of growth in different groups of countries recent theoretical work shows that financial development may affect productivity and capital accumulation in different ways in industrial versus developing countries this hypothesis is tested with panel data from 74 countries using gmm dynamic panel techniques results are consistent with the hypothesis finance has a strong positive influence on productivity growth primarily in more developed economies in less developed economies the effect of finance on output growth occurs primarily through capital accumulation jel o4 g1

impact of deposit rate ceiling changes on bank stock returns this paper reexamines the impact of four major changes in deposit rate ceilings that occurred during the 1970 80 decade on bank systematic and unsystematic risk the reexamination clarifies why it is dangerous to conduct event studies naively stephen m goldfeld and richard e quandt s switching regressions method is proposed as a procedure that forces the researcher to take a more disciplined approach to determining event dates contrary to previous studies switch dates identified by goldfeld and quandt s switching regressions method cannot be associated with ceiling change announcements because of other information flows so that inferences cannot be drawn about the specific effects of the regulatory adjustments copyright 1989 by ohio state university press

collateral and credit rationing a review of recent empirical studies as a guide for future research abstract the relationship between firms and banks often suffers from informational opacity that may result in credit rationing in theory providing collateral to the bank can have a mitigating effect on these informational asymmetries and thus solve the credit rationing problem even though collateral is already a widespread debt contract feature recent trends predict that in the future collateral will become even more important for informationally opaque firms the aim of this paper is twofold first we provide a review of the recently growing empirical research on collateral as a remedy for credit rationing second we would like to pinpoint gaps and limitations in current empirical research most studies contend with a flawed research design by not distinguishing between business and personal collateral and excluding other information opaqueness reducing tools such as the strength of the relationship between borrower and lender loan maturity and covenants we also discuss the limitations of using a single equation estimation method and the usefulness of incorporating interaction effects into the estimation models finally we provide suggestions for fruitful research avenues that would fill these gaps and enrich the empirical knowledge in this research domain

a moral hazard trap to growth this paper studies the consequences of asymmetric information in the investment sector upon economic growth in this paper the information asymmetry generates a moral hazard problem this moral hazard problem restricts financial arrangements it is shown that these restrictions make even the long run competitive equilibrium income dependent upon history this result also holds in case there is perfect capital mobility however when there is capital mobility the government may be able to intervene in a pareto improving way copyright 1992 by economics department of the university of pennsylvania and the osaka university institute of social and economic research association

high tech firms and credit rationing abstract informational frictions between borrowers and lenders differ across classes of borrowers innovative firms undertake high risk high return projects which are likely to be little understood by financial intermediaries as a consequence they may end up allocating too large a share of funds to traditional low risk low return projects this proposition finds some support in a cross section of italian manufacturing firms using several proxies to classify firms into high tech and low tech groups and direct information on each firm s access to bank credit high tech firms are found to be more likely to be credit constrained than low tech firms the results suggest that the responsiveness of r d expenditure to cash flow found in the literature is likely due to pervasive credit constraints on innovative firms rather than to cash flow proxying for future expectations the paper also sheds light on the main factors affecting the probability of a firm being rationed in the credit market

financial intermediation and endogenous growth an endogenous growth model with multiple assets is developed agents who face random future liquidity needs accumulate capital and a liquid but unproductive asset the effects of introducing financial intermediation into this environment are considered conditions are provided under which the introduction of intermediaries shifts the composition of savings toward capital causing intermediation to be growth promoting in addition intermediaries generally reduce socially unnecessary capital liquidation again tending to promote growth

innovation and communication signalling with partial disclosure this paper introduces a model of feedback effect equilibrium i e equilibria in which an asymmetrically informed agent is motivated to communicate its privately known attribute but can do so only through channels or signals which convey directly useful information to competing agents this revelation to the competition serves to reduce the value of the private information held by the first agent models of this kind are of obvious relevance to realistic theories of product or financial market disclosure policies of firms patenting and a host of related behavioural and regulatory issues this model is developed in the context of a set of firms engaged in research and development rivalry in which the value of privately held and disclosed information arises from its implications for the likelihood and timing of productive innovation

finance as a driver of corporate social responsibility finance is grease to the economy therefore we assume that it may affect corporate social responsibility csr and the sustainability of economic development too this paper discusses the transmission mechanisms between finance and sustainability we find that there is no simple one to one relationship between financial development and sustainable development but there are various often indirect linkages it appears that most of the literature concentrates on the role of public shareholders when it comes to changing corporate policy and performance in a more sustainable direction however this focus neglects the potential impact of the credit channel and private equity on a firm s non financial policies and performance these very powerful mechanisms can govern business policies and practices therefore there appears to be much more scope for finance to promote socially and environmentally desirable activities and to discourage detrimental activities than has been acknowledged in the academic literature so far

stock markets and development this paper asks if financial development especially stock market development affects the level and or the growth rate of economic activity it finds a substantial effect on both current wisdom suggests that the growth effects of financial intermediation could be either permanent or transitory for instance the greenwood jovanovic 1990 henceforth gj model has an ak stucture with no diminishing returns to the reproducible factor and a permanent exogenous improvement in financial structure would cause a permanent increase in the rate of growth on the other hand if the returns to the reproducible factor did diminish better intermediation could lead only to level effects since one should not a priori exclude either growth effects or level effects we shall look for both our search for growth effects will use the gj model our search for level effects will rely on an amended version of the mankiw romer and weil 1992 henceforth mrw structure

does economic structure determine financial structure abstract in this paper we examine the relationship between the structure of the real economy and a country s financial system we consider whether the development of the real economic structure can predict the direction of evolution of a country s financial structure using data for 108 countries we find a significant relationship between real economic structure and financial structure next we exploit shocks to the economies in india finland and sweden and south korea and show that changes in the economic structure of a country influence the evolution of its financial system this suggests that financial institutions and capital markets change in response to the structure of industries

mutual holding companies evidence of conflicts of interest through disparate dividends abstract the mutual holding company mhc structure establishes a dual class stock that creates a unique opportunity to transfer wealth from thrift depositor owners to new minority shareholders through the disparate payment of dividends we show that mhcs are priced higher than comparable non mhcs and dividend policy is a significant component of this valuation we also show that mhc thrifts pay significantly higher dividends than non mhc thrifts and that an office of thrift supervision ots ruling reducing the potential for disparate dividends between the two classes of shareholders resulted in lower dividends these results have policy implications of special significance given that the ots reversed its position in 2000 and because of the current controversy over the use of the mhc structure in the financial service industry

financial determinants of domestic investment in sub saharan africa evidence from panel data abstract this study investigates the effects of financial development on domestic investment in a sample of 30 sub saharan african countries it is based on a dynamic serial correlation investment model including various indicators of financial development controlling for country specific fixed effects and nonfinancial factors of investment the results indicate a positive relationship between domestic investment total investment and private investment and various indicators of financial development higher financial development leads to higher future levels of investment implying a potent long run effect of financial development on domestic investment the findings imply that financial development can stimulate economic growth through capital accumulation

financial development economic growth and banking sector controls evidence from india this paper uses newly collected data from the reserve bank of india to examine the effects of various types of banking sector controls on the process of financial deepening with the exception of a lending rate ceiling these controls are found to influence financial deepening negatively independently of the well known effect of the real interest rate exogeneity tests suggest that financial deepening and economic growth are jointly determined thus policies which affect financial deepening may also have an influence on economic growth the role of banking sector controls in the process of economic development has received considerable attention in the literature the traditional approach due to mckinnon i973 and shaw i973 postulates that government intervention in the pricing and allocation of loanable funds dubbed financial repression inhibits financial development by depressing real interest rates see

regional growth and finance in europe is there a quality effect of bank efficiency abstract in this study we test whether regional growth in 11 european countries depends on financial development and suggest the use of cost and profit efficiency estimates as quality measures of financial institutions contrary to the usual quantitative proxies of financial development the quality of financial institutions is measured in this study as the relative ability of banks to intermediate funds an improvement in bank efficiency spurs five times more regional growth then an identical increase in credit does more credit provided by efficient banks exerts an independent growth effect in addition to direct quantity and quality channel effects

same financial development yet different economic growth why we re study the relationship between financial development and real gdp per capita growth in 48 countries what we find is an interesting evidence that only stock market development has positive effects on growth and that banking development has an unfavorable if not negative effect on growth we examine whether or not these impacts are a product of various financial and economic conditional variables our conditional variables consist of financial liberalization two sets of country development dummies crises in banking and currency dummies the creditor protection index as well as the anti director and corruption indices our results clearly show that the conditional variables of financial liberalization high income level and good shareholder protection mitigate the negative impacts of banking development on growth in contrast the conditional variables of middle income level regional latin american sub saharan african and east asian dummies banking and currency crises good creditor protection and higher corruption strengthen the negative impacts of banking development on growth next the conditional variables of middle income level latin american sub saharan african and east asian dummies strengthen the positive impacts of stock market development on growth whereas the conditional variables of financial liberalization mitigate the positive impacts of stock market development on growth last we find that the relationship between growth and bank development is better described as a weak inverse ushape this inverse u shape becomes stronger when additional stock market variables are squared thus financial development and growth may in fact be in a nonlinear form

a new test of the relationship between regulatory change in financial markets and the stability of beta risk of depository institutions the us economy experienced major regulatory changes in the banking and finance industry with the passage of five major acts over the period 1980 to 1991 this has generated an extensive literature investigating the effects of these changes on the us banking industry in particular this body of research has examined the share market reaction to regulatory changes as well as their impact on the risk return market value and profitability of banking industry stocks generally it has been found that the regulatory changes have had a substantial impact although the effect has not been uniform across all depository institutions this paper extends this literature by analysing the stability of a sample of eighteen us banking industry stock betas across five periods a pre regulatory change period a monetary experiment period a deregulation period a reregulation period and a post regulatory change period based on an analysis of weekly returns we find that the level of bank risk has increased further we also find a tendency towards greater beta instability in both the monetary experiment and deregulation samples the degree of beta instability is lowest in the pre regulatory change and post regulatory change samples overall the monetary experiment and regulatory change coincided with an increased tendency towards beta instability we also compare our results to a randomly selected control sample of non banks and find some more general effects of regulatory change on individual stock betas

stock and credit market expansion and economic development in emerging markets further evidence utilizing cointegration analysis this paper empirically investigates the relationship between equity and credit market development and economic growth in a sample of five very important emerging markets in particular employing a multivariate time series methodology to test for long run trends and causality between variables that proxy for stock market development credit market development and economic development the results seem to suggest that equity markets have a role to play only in relatively liberalized economies like chile and mexico in financially repressed economies like india the equity market does not affect real sector growth furthermore the banking crises in the 1980s and 1990s in chile and mexico resulted in a negative relation between economic growth and the credit market in south korea equity and credit markets both affect economic growth but not vice versa in countries where the nature of the stock market has been speculative like taiwan a negative relationship is detected between equity market develo

appearance and reality in deposit insurance the case for reform abstract this paper argues that the staffs and explicit insurance reserves of u s deposit insurers have been overwhelmed by de facto financial disaster the full costs of financing federal deposit insurance have become enormous and increasingly inequitable in distribution to reduce voluntary risk taking authorities must reprice and redesign the system of de facto deposit insurance coverage six complementary reforms are discussed 1 accounting for institutional assets liabilities and net worth at market value 2 enhancing opportunities for deposit insurers to manage their risk exposure 3 recalibrating insurance coverages 4 imposing risk rated premiums 5 mixed private and governmental competition in deposit insurance and 6 constraining insurance agency and federal reserve authority to bail out insolvent institutions

r d and internal finance a panel study of small firms in high tech industries since joseph schumpeter economists have argued that internal finance should be an important determinant of r d expenditures yet almost without exception previous empirical studies have not found evidence of such a relation using newly available data the authors investigate this puzzle with a panel of 179 small firms in high tech industries under each estimation strategy they employ the authors find an economically large and statistically significant relationship between r d investment and internal finance their results are consistent with the view that because of capital market imperfections the flow of internal finance is the principal determinant of the rate at which small high tech firms acquire technology through r d copyright 1994 by mit press

are small innovators credit rationed drawing upon a sample of 256 small firms who applied for bank loans the current paper is concerned with the extent to which innovativeness is associated with a lower level of loan application success the paper records the proportion of loan successfully applied for and estimates a series of tobit models utilising a number of proxy measures for innovation in terms of inputs outputs and commercial significance to the firm and incorporating standard controls in general the models suggest as anticipated that the most innovative firms are less successful in loan markets than their less innovative peers though there is some variation by proxy moreover there is tentative evidence that a little innovation may be a good thing

climate threshold financial hoarding and economic growth we use an iterative finite difference method to establish theoretical models that reflect the relationships among climate threshold financial hoarding and economic growth we build a simultaneous equations model to conduct an empirical analysis based on china s statistical data from 1979 to 2012 our study yields the following results china s climate threshold has shown a zigzag shaped rising trend since 1979 the main reasons for the rapid expansion of financial hoarding were high savings rate savings leakage higher marginal efficiency of financial hoarding compared to capital efficiency or higher internal creativity of the financial sector there were positive cumulative effects between financial hoarding and economic growth which were significantly inhibited by climate threshold the climate threshold had discrepant influences on different industries to achieve a balanced economy more money should be invested in the real sector to appropriately reduce the rate of savings leakage the financial s

the s l debacle public policy lessons for bank and thrift regulation this book describes the period of failures of savings and loan associations and sets out a program of policies to prevent future debacles it explains the regulatory actions and inactions that created the incentives for large numbers of thrifts to make excessively risky and ill conceived and in some cases fraudulent and criminal investments it describes the failure of the accounting system to provide adequate information to regulators and in many cases even to the managers of the thrifts themselves concerning the health and riskiness of individual thrifts it also discusses how the regulatory system that had been conceived in an earlier and highly regulated era was overwhelmed in the deregulated environment of the early 1980s it shows how the reforms that were made in response to the growing crisis were too little and too late and finally it offers a set of policy reforms that could prevent future crises in the savings and loan industry this work should be of interest to political and financial economists

a note on the stock market effects of the adoption of risk based capital requirements on international banks in different countries abstract the present note provides empirical evidence on the relative competitive effects of the adoption of risk based capital requirements on large international banks in the u s canada u k and japan a two index regression model is used to calculate prediction errors in periods with numerous announcements concerning the new capital rules including the basle conference we find significant declines in equity returns for u s canadian and u k banks in response to news announcements with u s bank stocks exhibiting the largest negative reaction for japanese banks the equity return results are mixed which may be due to uncertainty among investors regarding the handling of their sizeable hidden reserves under the new risk adjusted capital rules

the role of insider influence in mutual to stock conversions using a sample of 347 demutualizing thrifts from 1991 to 2004 we show that the level of inside participation is not a traditional signal of firm performance we conclude that unanticipated inside participation reflects the incentives of insiders to reduce the size of the offer to influence the level of expected initial public offer ipo returns we find unanticipated inside participation is related to lower offer size and higher initial returns but we do not find a relationship between inside participation and post ipo performance

uncertainty and the employment dynamics of small and large businesses we examine the impact of uncertainty on employment dynamics alternative measures of uncertainty are constructed based on the survey of professional forecasters and regression based forecasting models for gdp growth inflation sp the impact on large businesses are generally non existent or weaker our results suggest that to truly understand the effects of uncertainty on employment dynamics we need to focus on the relatively smaller and entrepreneurial businesses we discuss implications for the framing of economic policy

the structure of multiple credit relationships evidence from u s firms when firms borrow from multiple concentrated creditors such as banks they appear to differentiate their allocation of borrowing in this paper we put forward hypotheses for this borrowing pattern based on incomplete contract theories and test them using a sample of small u s firms we find that firms with more valuable and more homogeneous assets differentiate borrowing more sharply across concentrated creditors moreover borrowing differentiation is inversely related to restructuring costs and positively related to firms informational transparency the results suggest that the structure of credit relationships is used to discipline creditors and entrepreneurs especially during corporate reorganizations

the demand and supply of external finance for innovative firms access to finance has figured prominently in the debate on barriers to firm growth even though existing empirical research has not found conclusive evidence of a finance gap moreover it is not clear to what extent innovation aggravates financial constraints and what role innovation inputs processes and outputs play in the market for external capital in this article we analyze how firm level innovation affects i the likelihood of seeking external finance and ii the likelihood of obtaining it we analyze an original data set of 3095 uk and us firms small and medium size enterprises and middle market containing information on firms innovation behaviors performance and finances for the period 2002 2004 controlling for firm specific characteristics we provide novel and extensive evidence on the links between innovation in its input process and output dimensions and the demand for external capital and its supply

directed credit financial development and financial structure theory and evidence the recent initiative of the rbi in reviving the policy of directed credit allocation in a period dominated by the neoliberal philosophy necessitates reconsideration of the role of policy directed

bank valuation and accounting discretion during a financial crisis this paper shows that banks overstate the value of distressed assets and their regulatory capital during the us mortgage crisis real estate related assets are overvalued in banks balance sheets especially those of bigger banks compared to the market value of these assets banks with large exposure to mortgage backed securities also provision less for bad loans furthermore distressed banks use discretion over the classification of mortgage backed securities to inflate their books our results indicate that banks balance sheets offer a distorted view of the financial health of the banks and provide suggestive evidence of regulatory forbearance and noncompliance with accounting rules

business starters and credit rationing this paper investigates which business starters experience credit rationing by simultaneously analyzing which business founders apply for credit and which are refused we argue that credit denial depends largely on the entrepreneurs commitment and signals regarding the repayment of the loan and the success chances of the proposed business our empirical analysis is based on a sample of 1140 potential business starters in the dutch county south limburg our findings show that commitments drive the credit application and approval while the effects of signals are mixed the findings also suggest that business founders have a pretty good idea regarding whether their applications will be honored or not

the legal environment banks and long run economic growth this paper examines the relationship between the legal system and banlding development and traces this connection through to long run rates of per capita gdp growth capital stock growth and productivity growth the data indicate that countries where the legal system 1 emphasizes creditor rights and 2 rigorously enforces contracts have better developed banks than countries where laws do not give a high priority to creditors and where enforcement is lax furtherrnore the exogenous component of banking development the component defined by the legal environment is positively and robustly associated with per capita growth physical capital accumulation and productivity growth this paper addresses two questions first do crosscountry differences in the legal rights of creditors the efficiency of contract enforcement and the origin of the legal system explain cross country differences in the level of banking development second do better developed banks cause faster economic development that is is the component of banking development defined by the legal environment positively associated with long run rates of economic growth capital accumulation and productivity growth examining the relationship between the legal system and banking development is valuable irrespective of issues associated with long run growth first banks may influence the level of income per capita and the magnitude of cyclical fluctuations bernanke and gertler 1989 1990 second many economists stress that understanding the evolution of legal and financial systems is essential for understanding economic development north 1981 engerman and sokoloff 1996 consequently quantitative information on the relationship between the legal environment and banks will improve our understanding of business cycles and the process of economic development furthermore examining the causal links between banks and economic growth has both conceptual and policy implications on the conceptual front a long literature debates the importance of banks in economic development starting as early as bagehot 1873 economists have argued that better banks banks that are better at identifying creditworthy firms mobilizing savings pooling risks and facilitating transactions

manufacturing growth and financial development evidence from oecd countries recent theoretical models conjecture that the development of the financial sector is essential for economic growth we investigate this hypothesis from a time series perspective and find that financial sector gdp is cointegrated for many oecd countries not so much with manufacturing gdp but mostly with manufacturing total factor productivity moreover this relation is in some instances characterized by long run causality in the sense of granger and lin however even within this homogeneous group of countries the variety of results suggests a more complex picture than is apparent from cross sectional evidence

bank competition and access to finance international evidence using a unique database for 74 countries and for firms of small medium and large size we assess the effect of banking market structure on the access of firms to bank finance we find that bank concentration increases obstacles to obtaining finance but only in countries with low levels of economic and institutional development a larger share of foreign owned banks and an efficient credit registry dampen the effect of concentration on financing obstacles while the effect is exacerbated by more restrictions on banks activities more government interference in the banking sector and a larger share of government owned banks

financial development growth and the distribution of income a paradigm is presented in which both the extent of financial intermediation and the rate of economic growth are endogenously determined financial intermediation promotes growth because it allows a higher rate of return to be earned on capital and growth in turn provides the means to implement costly financial structures thus financial intermediation and economic growth are inextricably linked in accord with the goldsmith mckinnon shaw view on economic development the model also generates a development cycle reminiscent of the kuznet hypothesis in particular in the transition from a primitive slow growing economy to a developed fast growing one a nation passes through a stage in which the distribution of wealth across the rich and poor widens

credit rationing and relationship lending does firm size matter abstract using survey based data we investigate factors influencing credit rationing within a bank based financial system we show that rationing depends on various dimensions of the firm bank relationships and that the effects of relationship lending on rationing are not identical for different firm size groups multiple banking increases the probability of rationing for small and large firms debt concentration with the main bank affects positively smaller firms while the opposite is true for large companies the length of the relationship with the main bank decreases the probability of rationing for both groups but more so for large firms endowed with more bargaining power finally the firm bank spatial proximity measured by the headquarters vicinity does not affect the firm s access to credit

political influence and declarations of bank insolvency in japan this paper investigates how politics affects bank supervision by examining determinants of bank failures in japan during 1999 2002 a period during which bank regulators were called upon to resolve insolvent banks in preparation for the lifting of a blanket deposit guarantee the empirical results suggest that japan s bank regulators had tendency to delay declarations of insolvency in prefectures that supported senior politicians of the ruling liberal democratic party ldp this result which is robust to a host of bank level and prefecture level controls suggests that bank supervision is prone to political influence that delays efficient resolution of insolvency

the brady plan the 1989 mexican debt reduction agreement and bank stock returns in the united states and japan the authors investigate the impact of the menu approach to debt rescheduling on the market value of two major creditors u s and japanese banks they try to understand how major creditor banks are affected by debt reschedulings and the menu choices they make so that debt deals can be structured in a way that appeals to both creditors and debtor countries they measure the stock market s reaction to the announcement of the brady plan and the mexican debt reduction agreement the brady plan was implemented through the menu approach which acknowledges creditor heterogeneity and provides financing packages that meet the country s financing requirements while still allowing the banks to reduce their exposure the mexican agreement provides an opportunity to test the impact of the brady plan s implementation by examining individual bank s menu choices exposure levels and the market s reaction they explore whether banks were able to make optimal portfolio choices when confronted with the obligation to participate they show that stock prices for different groups of banks reacted quite differently to focal events among all banks u s multinationals showed the strongest positive reaction to the brady announcement and the mexican agreement u s non multinationals do not appear to have been significantly affected by these international debt related events the reaction experienced by all japanese banks was much weaker than that of u s multinationals and was negative for the brady announcement and the initial mexico announcement the authors contend that the lack of a strong reaction was because of the japanese banks relatively low exposure to developing country risk they see the negative market reaction as a reflection of the expectation that a u s initiated debt reduction strategy would not be favorable for japanese banks indeed after the menu choices were announced the market recognized that the japanese banks were treated fairly and corrected itself they do not find that banks that made different choices were treated differently by the market so banks were able to negotiate menu choices in their best interest and to make portfolio choices consistent with their business objectives the results here confirm that the menu approach to debt restructuring may benefit both the creditor banks and the debtor countries

inconsistent regulators evidence from banking we find that regulators can implement identical rules inconsistently due to differences in their institutional design and incentives and this behavior may adversely impact the effectiveness with which regulation is implemented we study supervisory decisions of u s banking regulators and exploit a legally determined rotation policy that assigns federal and state supervisors to the same bank at exogenously set time intervals comparing federal and state regulator supervisory ratings within the same bank we find that federal regulators are systematically tougher downgrading supervisory ratings almost twice as frequently as do state supervisors state regulators counteract these downgrades to some degree by upgrading more frequently under federal regulators banks report worse asset quality higher regulatory capital ratios and lower return on assets leniency of state regulators relative to their federal counterparts is related to costly outcomes such as higher failure rates and lower repayment rates of government assistance funds the discrepancy in regulator behavior is related to different weights given by regulators to local economic conditions and to some extent differences in regulatory resources we find no support for regulator self interest which includes revolving doors

bank lending technologies and credit availability in europe what can we learn from the crisis abstract using a unique sample of european manufacturing firms we empirically investigate how bank lending technologies nd soft information adoption affected firms credit availability during the 2007 2009 financial crisis estimation results indicate that transactional lending technologies increased firms credit rationing whereas soft information mitigated asymmetric information problems and improved firms access to credit by looking at the combined effect of bank lending technologies and soft information we also provide evidence about the complementarity between transactional lending techniques and soft information adoption when soft information was incorporated in transactional lending technologies firms credit rationing significantly reduced this result is especially strong for small borrowing firms and for companies matching with large financial institutions

the demise of the mutual organizational form an investigation of the life insurance industry we investigate the role of organizational structure in financial services markets by examining the u s life insurance industry traditionally stock and mutual life insurers were equally represented but now the industry is mainly composed of stock firms we find operational efficiency access to capital and tax savings are important determinants for this shift the incentive to demutualize differs by the type of conversion full demutualization is chosen for efficiency and access to capital reasons and partial conversion using a mutual holding company is chosen for tax savings firm operational efficiency improves after conversion we also find the efficiency of the stock organizational form dominates that of the mutual structure during our sample period 1995 to 2004

asset returns and economic disasters evidence from the s l crisis abstract this paper shows that depositors lost confidence in fslic during the two years prior to passage of firrea legislation which recapitalized the deposit insurance fund in 1989 during this period promised returns on retail cds reflected the expected loss and return standard deviation on these securities in the absence of government insurance cross sectional analysis is used to estimate both the probability and the conditional price of risk associated with fslic default the results suggest that increased uncertainty about both output and inflation in this disaster scenario drove the price of fslic default risk to extremely high levels the results also indicate that the market for retail deposits is characterized by less than perfect arbitrage across geographical regions

the great divide and beyond financial architecture in transition a growing and deepening divide has opened up between transition countries where economic development has taken off and those caught in a vicious cycle of institutional backwardness and macroeconomic instability this great divide is visible in almost every measure of economic performance gdp growth investment government finances growth in inequality general institutional infrastructure and increasingly in measures of financial development strategies for financial development have differed dramatically across countries and over time offering interesting opportunities to study the links between real and financial sector development

r d investment of start up firms does founders human capital matter this article examines whether founders human capital affects not only actual investment but also required investment in research and development r d using the original data of japanese start up firms the estimation results indicate that higher levels of founders human capital especially their education levels increase both actual and required investment in r d and thus do not necessarily contribute to reducing the funding gap for r d

determinants of thrift institution resolution costs this paper provides a detailed examination of the cost imposed by thrift institutions resolved during the period 1980 1988 a simple model is presented to explain the cost of resolution this model is tested empirically with a comprehensive data set that permits us to avoid some of the econometric problems present in earlier studies the empirical evidence suggests that the model that explains resolution costs in the late 1980s is significantly different from the model for either the middle or early 1980s this evidence is consistent with the changing nature of the thrift crisis and changes in the regulator s closure rule our econometric evidence moreover is consistent with the hypothesis that for troubled institutions tangible net worth systematically understates market value net worth in addition the importance of including time effects as well as institution effects as determinants of the cost of resolution is revealed the sharp increase in market interest rates in late 1979 and early 1980 and the deregulation of deposit rates led to record losses in the thrift industry in the early 1980s and to a major erosion of the industry s capital many institutions never fully recovered from these problems and most currently insolvent thrift

didmca and bank market risk theory and evidence abstract this paper examines the theoretical and empirical consequences of the depository institutions deregulation and monetary control act of 1980 on the market risk of the us banking industry we survey several theoretical arguments linking deregulation of deposit interest rates to market based measures of bank risk capital market data for a sample of large commercial bank holding companies provides evidence that deregulation has accompanied increases in both systematic and nonsystematic measures of bank risk

corporate structure liquidity and investment evidence from japanese industrial groups this paper presents evidence suggesting that information and incentive problems in the capital market affect investment we come to this conclusion by examining two sets of japanese firms the first set has close financial ties to large japanese banks that serve as their primary source of external finance and are likely to be well informed about the firm the second set of firms has weaker links to a main bank and presumably faces greater problems raising capital investment is more sensitive to liquidity for the second set of firms than for the first set the analysis also highlights the role of financial intermediaries in the investment process

loan availability and investment can innovative companies better cope with loan denials this study examines the consequences of loan denials for the investment performance of small and medium sized german enterprises as a consequence of a loan denial innovative companies experience a smaller drop in the share of actual to planned investment than noninnovative companies the nonrandomness of loan denials is controlled for with a selection equation employing the intensity of banking competition at the district level as an exclusion restriction we can explain the better performance of innovative companies by their ability to increase the use of external equity financing such as venture capital or mezzanine capital when facing a loan denial

the politics of bank failures evidence from emerging markets this paper studies large private banks in 21 major emerging markets in the 1990s it first demonstrates that bank failures are very common in these countries about 25 percent of these banks failed during the seven year sample period the paper also shows that political concerns play a significant role in delaying government interventions to failing banks failing banks are much less likely to be taken over by the government or to lose their licenses before elections than after this result is robust to controlling for macroeconomic and bank specific factors a new party in power early elections outstanding loans from the imf as well as country specific time independent factors this finding implies that much of the within country clustering in emerging market bank failures is directly due to political concerns

organization structure and credibility evidence from commercial bank securities activities before the glass steagall act we examine the two ways in which us commercial banks organized their investment banking operations before the 1933 glass steagall act forced the banks to leave the securities business as an internal securities department within the bank and as a separately incorporated affiliate with its own board of directors while departments underwrote seemingly higher quality firms and securities than did comparable affiliates the departments obtained lower prices for the issues they underwrote the higher risk premium associated with the internal department is consistent with investors discounting for the greater likelihood of conflicts of interest when lending and underwriting are within the same structure as a result commercial banks evolved toward choosing the separate affiliate structure our results suggest that internal structure is an effective commitment mechanism and absent other distortions market pressures would propel banks to adopt an internal structure that would address regulators concerns about conflicts of interest

the benefits of lending relationships evidence from small business data this paper empirically examines how ties between a firm and its creditors affect the availability and cost of funds to the firm we analyze data collected in a survey of small firms by the small business administration the primary benefit of building close ties with an institutional creditor is that the availability of financing increases we find smaller effects on the price of credit attempts to widen the circle of relationships by borrowing from multiple lenders increases the price and reduces the availability of credit in sum relationships are valuable and appear to operate more through quantities rather than prices

wealth effects of foreign expansion by u s banks abstract the effects of foreign expansion on the market values of u s banks usbs are examined in this study the results show that shareholders of usbs experience significant abnormal returns of 0 17 percent when banks announce foreign expansions abnormal returns are insignificant when the announced mode of expansion is through a representative office are significantly positive for announcements related to branches and are significantly negative when the announced mode of expansion is through formation of a joint venture or a subsidiary or through an acquisition abnormal returns are significantly negative when banks announce expansion into developed countries and are significantly positive when announcements relate to risky developing countries post announcement changes in the total variance of returns and in the unsystematic risk of usbs are inversely related with abnormal returns higher wealth effects are associated with higher levels of prior overseas experience

financing technology based small firms in europe what do we know this paper reviews the evidence on financing technology based small firms tbsfs in europe european tbsfs finance new investments by relying primarily on internal funds due to capital market failures induced by asymmetric information european venture capital has caught up with us venture capital but this is mainly because of the growth in uk venture investments it is unclear whether european venture capital has been able to certify the quality and enhance the growth of funded companies compared with the nasdaq there is little development of trading in high tech stocks in europe the so called new markets established in the 1990s collapsed in the wake of the internet bubble crash public venture capital and research and development r d tax incentives seem to have positively affected high tech firms

elections political competition and bank failure abstract we exploit exogenous variation in the scheduling of gubernatorial elections to study the timing of bank failure in the us using hazard analysis we show that bank failure is about 45 less likely in the year leading up to an election political control i e lack of competition can explain all of this average election year fall in the hazard rate in particular we show that the reduction in hazard rate doubles in magnitude for banks operating in states where the governor has simultaneous control of the upper and lower houses of the state legislature i e complete control heading into an election

integration and competition in the european financial markets abstract financial integration in europe should affect the competition between markets and intermediaries and generate a convergence of both interest rates and margins among different countries this paper analyzes both the evolution of the convergence in interest rates and the level of competition and its inequalities among the european banking systems for the period 1993 2001 the inequality index used the theil index allows us to break down the inequalities into a country and a specialization effect if the former effect dominates it would mean that national banking markets are segmented due to the existence of obstacles or barriers to integration on the other hand dominance of the latter effect would be related to the different level of competition depending on the type of banking specialization

why bank credit policies fluctuate a theory and some evidence in a rational profit maximizing world banks should msdntain a credit policy of lending if and only if borrowers have positive net present value projects why then are changes in credit policy seemingly correlated with changes in the condition of those demanding credit this paper argues that rational bank managers with short horizons will set credit policies that influence and are influenced by other banks and demand side conditions this leads to a theory of low frequency business cycles driven by bank credit policies evidence from the banking crisis in new england in the early 1990s is consistent with the assumptions and predictions of the theory

interest group competition and the organization of congress theory and evidence from financial services political action committees we develop a positive theory of how interest group competition shapes the organization of congress and use it to explain campaign contribution patterns in financial services since interest groups cannot enforce fee for service contracts with legislators legislators have an incentive to create specialized standing committees which foster repeated dealing between interests and committee members the resulting reputational equilibrium supports high contributions and high legislative effort for the interests contribution patterns by competing interests in the congressional battle over whether banks can enter new businesses support the theory which also has implications for term limits and campaign reform

the importance of equity finance for r d activity this article analyzes the importance of equity finance for the r d activity of small and medium sized enterprises we use information on almost 6 000 german smes from a company survey using the intensity of banking competition at the district level as an instrument to control for endogeneity we find that a higher equity ratio is conducive to a higher r d intensity owners may only start r d activities if they have the financial resources to sustain them until successful completion we find a larger influence of the equity ratio for young companies equity may be more important for young companies which have to rely on the original equity investment of their owners since they have not yet accumulated retained earnings and can rely less on bank financing

too many to fail evidence of regulatory forbearance when the banking sector is weak this paper studies bank failures in 21 emerging market countries in the 1990s by using a competing risk hazard model for bank survival we show that a government is less likely to take over or close a failing bank if the banking system is weak this too many to fail effect is robust to controlling for macroeconomic factors financial crises the too big to fail effect domestic financial development and concerns due to systemic risk and information spillovers the paper also shows that the too many to fail effect is stronger for larger banks and when there is a large government budget deficit

regulatory incentives and the thrift crisis dividends mutual to stock conversions and financial distress during the 1980s insolvency of individual thrifts and the thrift deposit insurer created severe incentive problems lacking cash to close insolvent thrifts regulators induced nearly 10 billion of private capital to flow into the industry through mutual to stock conversions we test a theory of how regulators encouraged capitalimpaired mutual thrifts to convert by permitting them to pay dividends rather than rebuild capital we estimate the costs of this policy and interpret the 1991 federal deposit insurance corporation improvement act as requiring regulators to impose restraints on depository institutions parallel to debt covenants that prevent capital distributions by nonfinancial firms experiencing distress

deposit insurance and wealth effects the value of being too big to fail this paper investigates the effect on bank equity values of the comptroller of the currency s announcement that some banks were too big to fail and that for those banks total deposit insurance would be provided using an event study methodology we find positive wealth effects accruing to tbtf banks with corresponding negative effects accruing to non included banks we demonstrate that the magnitude of these effects differed with bank solvency and size we also show that the policy to which the market reacted was that suggested by the wall street journal and not that actually intended by the comptroller the role of deposit insurance has become a topic of increasing debate advocates argue that by removing the incentive to run deposit insurance protects individual financial institutions from instability in the intermediation process thereby providing stability to the financial system as a whole 1 the recent rise in bank failures and the concomitant crises in the s l industry however demonstrate that this stability is not guaranteed moreover critics note that deposit insurance may introduce incentive problems and wealth effects into the financial system both of which can impede the effective functioning of any deposit insurance system these problems have prompted concern about the structure of the current deposit insurance system and have led to numerous proposals regarding its restructuring 2 this paper investigates one aspect of this debate by analyzing the effect on bank equity values of the policy decision to insure completely some banks but not others specifically in september 1984 the comptroller of the currency testified before congress that some banks were simply too big to fail tbtf and that for those banks total deposit insurance would be provided while not explicitly naming the banks the comptroller admitted that this policy would apply to the eleven largest banks using an event study methodology we analyze