sustainable de growth mapping the context criticisms and future prospects of an emergent paradigm article i nfo sustainable de growth is both a concept and a social grassroots northern movement with its origins in the fieldsofecologicaleconomics socialecology economicanthropologyand environmentalandsocialactivistgroups this paper introduces the concept of sustainable de growth by mapping some of the main intellectual influences fromthese fields with special focus on the francophone and anglophone thinking about this emergent notion we propose hypotheses pertaining to the appeal of sustainable de growth and compare it to the messages enclosed within the dominant sustainable development idea we scrutinize the theses contradictions and consequences of sustainable de growth thinking as it is currently being shaped by a heterogeneous body of literature and as it interacts with an ample and growing corpus of social movements we also discuss possible future paths for the de growth movement compared to the apparent weakening of the sustainable development paradigm

can we use the energy intensity indicator to study decoupling in modern economies abstract the economic energy intensity of a country defined as the ratio between the energy consumed and the gross domestic product of a country is a widely adopted indicator of economic performance often applied to sustainability analysis the usefulness of this indicator has been challenged on the basis of the fact that the two variables making up this ratio are correlated this implies that when considered in isolation each one of these two variables energy consumption p c and gdp p c maps on to typologies of socio economic systems e g developed countries vs less developed countries however calculating their ratio produces an indicator which does not map on to any meaningful typology of economic system a number without an external referent this paper checks the validity of this criticism by looking at the economic energy intensity eei of 133 countries over the period 1960 2009 two approaches are used for this task 1 an analysis at a given point in time year 2009 after excluding countries with real gdp p c

a dynamic approach to the environmental kuznets curve hypothesis abstract the environmental kuznets curve ekc hypothesis states that pollution levels increase as a country develops but begin to decrease as rising incomes pass beyond a turning point in ekc analyses the relationship between environmental degradation and income is usually expressed as a quadratic function with the turning point occurring at a maximum pollution level other explanatory variables have been included in these models but income regularly has had the most significant effect on indicators of environmental quality one variable consistently omitted in these relationships is the price of energy this paper analyzes previous models to illustrate the importance of prices in these models and then includes prices in an econometric ekc framework testing energy income and co2 income relationships these long run price income models find that income is no longer the most relevant indicator of environmental quality or energy demand indeed we find no significant evidence for the existence of an ekc within the range of current incomes for energy in the presence of price and trade variables

beyond gdp the quest for a measure of social welfare this paper critically examines the various approaches to the measurement of individual well being and social welfare that have been considered for the construction of alternatives to gdp special attention is devoted to recent developments in the analysis of sustainability in the study of happiness in the theory of social choice and fair allocation and in the capability approach it is suggested in the conclusion that although convergence toward a consensual approach is not impossible for the moment not one but three alternatives to gdp are worth developing jel i31 e23 e01

spatial sustainability trade and indicators an evaluation of the ecological footprint the search for frameworks and indicators of sustainable development has taken a prominent place in this journal however some specific aspects have received little or no attention notably the spatial dimension and the role of international trade in indicator development moreover many sustainable development indicators comprise implicit valuations weighting schemes and policy objectives which are insufficiently recognised as such this contribution tries to highlight these issues by means of a review of a recently proposed indicator for ecological economic analysis namely the ecological footprint that has been developed by wackernagel and rees its concept and calculation procedure are criticised on a number of points and it is concluded that the ecological footprint is not the comprehensive and transparent planning tool as is often assumed in explaining our position we will argue that spatial sustainability and regional sustainable development have not been precisely discussed so far neither in the literature on trade and environment nor in that on sustainable development we will defend the view that trade can contribute positively and negatively to environmental unsustainability consequently indicators and models are needed that allow for analysing interactions and trade offs between such opposite effects 1999 elsevier science b v all rights reserved

the economics of tropical deforestation and land use an introduction to the special issue this paper both introduces the special issue on the economics of tropical deforestation and land use and conducts a synthesis crosscountry analysis of tropical agricultural land expansion agricultural development is the main factor determining land expansion but institutional factors have an important influence income effects vary from region to region and do not always display an ekc relationship the case studies comprising this special issue provide further case study insights into tropical deforestation and land use through spatial analysis of locational factors cge modeling of policy scenarios assessing external market impacts on land clearing and modelling state interventions and taxation

the ban on indexed bonds 1933 77 in a recent article in this review nissan liviatan and david levhari attempt to explain the phenomenon that in spite of recent marked inflationary trends the important capital markets have not developed a significant free private enterprise market for cost of living linked bonds p 366 they note that the familiar theoretical complete dominance of indexed bonds over nonindexed bonds holds unambiguously only in an economy in which there are no nominal assets they demonstrate that borrowers may in theory insist on hedging the inflation risk on their nonindexed cash balances by issuing some nonindexed bonds at a discount that makes them attractive in spite of the risk they impose on lenders their model leads them to conclude that indexed bonds might not completely dominate nonindexed bonds however they do not claim that their model explains the phenomenon they set out to explain why is it that the free market to use their expression has come up with virtually no indexed bonds at all fortunately a simple explanation for the nonexistence of indexed bonds in the united states was provided two years

confronting the environmental kuznets curve t he environmental kuznets curve posits an inverted u relationship between pollution and economic development kuznets s name was apparently attached to the curve by grossman and krueger 1993 who noted its resemblance to kuznets s inverted u relationship between income inequality and development in the first stage of industrialization pollution in the environmental kuznets curve world grows rapidly because people are more interested in jobs and income than clean air and water communities are too poor to pay for abatement and environmental regulation is correspondingly weak the balance shifts as income rises leading industrial sectors become cleaner people value the environment more highly and regulatory institutions become more effective along the curve pollution levels off in the middle income range and then falls toward pre industrial levels in wealthy societies the environmental kuznets curve model has elicited conflicting reactions from researchers and policymakers applied econometricians have generally accepted the basic tenets of the model and focused on measuring its parameters their regressions typically fitted to cross sectional observations across countries or regions suggest that air and water pollution increase with development until per capita income reaches a range of 5000 to 8000 when income rises beyond that level pollution starts to decline as shown in the conventional ekc line in figure 1 in developing countries some policymakers have interpreted such results as conveying a message about priorities grow first then clean up numerous critics have challenged the conventional environmental kuznets curve both as a representation of what actually happens in the development process and as a policy prescription some pessimistic critics argue that crosssectional evidence for the environmental kuznets curve is nothing more than a

measuring progress in the degrowth transition to a steady state economy article i nfo in order to determine whether degrowth is occurring or how close national economies are to the concept of a steady state economy clear indicators are required within this paper i analyse four indicator approaches that could be used 1 gross domestic product 2 the index of sustainable economic welfare 3 biophysical and social indicators and 4 a composite indicator i conclude that separate biophysical and social indicators represent the best approach but a unifying conceptual framework is required to choose appropriate indicators and interpret the relationships between them i propose a framework based on ends and means and a set of biophysical and social indicators within this framework the biophysical indicators are derived from herman daly s definition of a steady state economy and measure the major stocks and flows in the economy environment system the social indicators are based on the stated goals of the degrowth

consumer confidence and rational expectations are agents beliefs consistent with the theory consumer confidence is found to have predictive content for a wide range of macroeconomic variables including consumption growth contrary to standard repih we find that on uk data the repih is rejected due to the predictive content of consumer confidence and not labour income we explain this finding in terms of precautionary behaviour extending the hansen and singleton consumption capm model to allow a conditional variance we find a high level of confidence is associated with both greater optimism about the level of consumption and greater uncertainty about the forecaster variance once allowance is made for time aggregation the over identifying restrictions implied by this model are accepted we estimate a small but statistically significant intertemporal elasticity of substitution

deceleration of economic growth the main course seeking sustainability in developed countries abstract deceleration of economic growth is a characteristic feature of developed countries percentage gross domestic product gdp growth rate in the old organization for economic co operation and development oecd countries has decreased approximately 2 3 times over the last 50 years and countries have managed successfully to adopt this trend the largest reduction of gdp growth rate was observed in countries such as japan where the biocapacity exceedance was the largest in addition the analysis of long term changes of gdp and self reported life satisfaction in developed countries supports easterlin s paradox indicating that richer people do not feel more satisfied with their lives however people from countries with higher per capita gdp feel more satisfied at the same time a statistically insignificant correlation was detected between gdp growth rate and life satisfaction supporting a conclusion that in the developed countries further economic growth does not increase people s well being this suggests that decelerating the rate of economic growth gradually approaching the zero growth steady state phase is the natural way towards sustainability and it does not contradict the well being objective in developed countries especially ones with high biocapacity exceedance

making the hidden visible the importance of caring activities and their principles for any economy abstract in this paper we emphasize the interrelation of the monetary free enterprise sector of the economy and its maintaining basis the current discussion on sustainability has so far placed too little attention on this circumstance to us this interrelation is fundamental it is one important key to understanding present day economics and economies by concentrating on this interrelation we question the widely accepted dualism between the public and the private between the officially acknowledged economic and the invisible economic by this we create our own specific approach to the question of how to reform economic thought and action in order to achieve a naturally and socially sustainable living

the usefulness of consumer confidence in forecasting household spending in canada a national and regional analysis i introduction in 1960 the conference board of canada launched its series of quarterly surveys of consumer attitudes since then the results of these surveys have provided policy makers economic forecasters and business managers with useful information on future economic trends the increasing demand for the survey results both by the public and the business sectors as well as the expanding coverage given to them in the media appear to confirm their popularity and usefulness to better gauge consumer sentiment the conference board of canada also designed the index of consumer attitudes ica for the entire nation as well as for the five canadian regions the atlantic provinces quebec ontario the prairies and british columbia 1 the ica is derived from answers to four attitudinal questions contained in the survey of consumer attitudes because two of these four questions relate to the respondent family s economic prospects over the next six months and to the employment prospects for the community over the next six months the index is widely thought to reflect consumer expectations with respect to future economic conditions which in turn would influence consumption behavior a number of empirical studies have investigated the effectiveness of indices of consumer confidence as leading indicators of consumer spending in canada an early paper by shapiro and angevine 1969 finds that the composite index of consumer mood derived from the financial post s quarterly survey of consumer buying intentions is a very useful tool for predicting consumer spending on durable goods 2 in a follow up study angevine 1974 also finds that measures of consumer mood based on the financial post s survey are statistically significant explanatory variables for three consumption categories nondurable goods semidurable goods and services rayfuse 1982 reports that consumer sentiment as captured by the ica tends to lead movements in consumer expenditures on durable goods by one quarter 3 more recently cote and johnson 1998 examine whether the ica improves the fit of a consumption equation that includes other macroeconomic variables they find that inclusion of the ica improves the explained variation in growth in consumer expenditures per capita by 18 percentage points 4 the purpose of our article is to provide a fresh empirical perspective on the effect of consumer confidence on household spending in canada although past studies confine their attention to national data the present investigation examines the ability of the ica as well as the individual attitudinal questions used in the survey to forecast canadian household spending not only nationwide but also at a regional level to our knowledge our study represents the first endeavor in the literature to assess the usefulness of regional consumer confidence indices in forecasting household spending our work also employs significantly extended time series for the various components of consumer expenditure used in previous canadian studies employing the results of the conference board of canada s survey of consumer attitudes for the sample period 1979q4 2001q4 our empirical findings indicate that at the national level the ica is a reliable predictor of total personal consumption expenditures as well as of various subcategories of consumer spending in the presence of control variables on the other hand our regional results are quite diverse suggesting that economic fore casters and government policy makers should be cautious about using regional confidence indicators to predict consumption growth the remainder of this article is structured as follows section ii describes the four attitudinal questions used in the construction of the ica at both the national and the regional levels section iii discusses the econometric methodology and the data employed in our empirical analysis section iv reports the correlations between growth in total personal consumption expenditures pce and the contemporaneous ica as well as the different lags of the ica

environment versus growth a criticism of degrowth and a plea for a growth in recent debates on environmental problems and policies the strategy of degrowth has appeared as an alternative to the paradigm of economic growth this new notion is critically evaluated by considering five common interpretations of it one conclusion is that these multiple interpretations make it an ambiguous and rather confusing concept another is that degrowth may not be an effective let alone an efficient strategy to reduce environmental pressure it is subsequently argued that a growth i e being indifferent about growth is a more logical social aim to substitute for the current goal of economic growth given that gdp per capita is a very imperfect indicator of social welfare in addition focusing ex ante on public policy is considered to be a strategy which ultimately is more likely to obtain the necessary democratic political support than an ex ante explicit degrowth strategy in line with this a policy package is proposed which consists of six elements some of which relate to concerns raised by degrowth supporters

from constraint to sufficiency the decoupling of energy and carbon from human needs 1975 2005 abstract we investigate the relationship between human needs energy consumption and carbon emissions for several indicators of human development life expectancy literacy income and the human development index we find that high human development can be achieved at moderate energy and carbon levels increasing energy and carbon past this level does not necessarily contribute to higher living standards by conducting a novel longitudinal analysis from 1975 to 2005 we observe a previously undetected decoupling of the per capita energy and carbon required for human needs if resources were equally distributed current energy and carbon levels would be more than sufficient to satisfy global human needs at high levels of human development by projecting current trends to 2030 we demonstrate that the global energy consumption and carbon emissions required to satisfy human needs will decrease with time despite growth in population

jevons paradox revisited the evidence for backfire from improved energy efficiency beginning with william stanley jevons in 1865 a number of authors have claimed that economically justified energy efficiency improvements will increase rather than reduce energy consumption jevons paradox is extremely difficult to test empirically but could have profound implications for energy and climate policy this paper summarises and critiques the arguments and evidence that have been cited in support of jevons paradox focusing in particular on the work of len brookes and harry saunders it identifies some empirical and theoretical weaknesses in these arguments highlights the questions they raise for economic orthodoxy and points to some interesting parallels between these arguments and those used by the biophysical school of ecological economics while the evidence in favour of jevons paradox is far from conclusive it does suggest that economy wide rebound effects are larger than is conventionally assumed and that energy plays a more important role in driving productivity improvements and economic growth than is conventionally assumed

in defence of degrowth abstract this article defends the proposal of sustainable degrowth a starting premise is that resource and co2 limits render further growth of the economy unsustainable if degrowth is inevitable the question is how it can become socially sustainable i e a prosperous and stable rather than a catastrophic descent pricing mechanisms alone are unlikely to secure smooth adaptation a full ensemble of environmental and redistributive policies is required including among others policies for a basic income reduction of working hours environmental and consumption taxes and controls on advertising policies like these that threaten to harm the economy are less and less likely to be implemented within existing market economies whose basic institutions financial property political and redistributive depend on and mandate continuous economic growth an intertwined cultural and political change is needed that will embrace degrowth as a positive social development and reform those institutions that make growth an imperative sustainable degrowth is therefore not just a structuring concept it is a radical political project that offers a new story and a rallying slogan for a social coalition built around the aspiration to construct a society that lives better with less

does customer satisfaction have directional predictability for u s discretionary spending abstractresearch indicates that past growth in customer satisfaction is an important factor in explaining the in sample behaviour of growth in discretionary spending motivated by such evidence we take an out of sample forecasting approach to examine whether customer satisfaction has directional predictability for two types of discretionary spending these include spending on motor vehicles and spending on recreation services which display frequent negative growth for the period 1995 2015 our results indicate that customer satisfaction accurately predicts the direction of change in both types of spending under symmetric loss to augment we further show that the widely reported consumer sentiment has no directional predictability for either types of discretionary spending

allocating ecological footprints to final consumption categories with input output analysis we present and discuss a method that allows the disaggregation of national ecological footprints by economic sector detailed final demand category sub national area or socio economic group this is done by combining existing national footprint accounts with input output analysis calculations in the empirical part are carried out by using supply and use tables for the united kingdom covering the reporting period 2000 ecological footprints are allocated to detailed household consumption activities following the coicop classification system and to a detailed breakdown of capital investment the method presented enables the calculation of comparable ecological footprints on all sub national levels and for different socio economic groups the novelty of the approach lies in the use of input output analysis to re allocate existing footprint accounts in the detail of disaggregation by consumption category and in the expanded use of household expenditure data this extends the potential for applications of the ecological footprint concept and helps to inform scenarios policies and strategies on sustainable consumption the method described in this paper can be applied to every country for which a national footprint account exists and where appropriate economic and environmental accounts are available the approach helps to save time in data collection and improves the consistency between ecological footprint estimates for a particular human society from different researchers for these reasons the suggested methodology includes crucial steps on the way towards a standardisation of ecological footprint accounts

can consumer attitudes forecast household spending in the united states further evidence from the michigan survey of consumers 1 introductionfor many years indices of consumer sentiment have been used to provide government policy makers economic forecasters and business managers with timely and important information on consumer attitudes this interest in consumer attitudes reflects a widespread belief that the sentiments and expectations of individual consumers directly affect the direction of the u s economy reinforcing this belief is the fact that consumer spending accounts for about two thirds of the nation s gross domestic product gdp thus far most analyses of consumer attitudes as a leading indicator of household spending have focused primarily on the predictive power of the michigan index of consumer sentiment ics the results of these studies have however been mixed for example an early study by lovell 1975 finds that measures of consumer attitudes based on the michigan survey of consumers are unreliable predictors of future consumption 1 mishkin 1978 using a stock adjustment model shows that the ics provides good explanatory power for changes in consumer durables carroll fuhrer and wilcox 1994 henceforth cfw find that the michigan index has some incremental predictive power as regards forecasting household spending souleles 2001 using the microdata of the michigan survey reports that consumer sentiment is useful in forecasting future consumption even when controlling for a number of macroeconomic variables on the other hand howrey 2001 finds that both lagged and current quarter monthly values of the ics are generally insignificant when control variables are present in the equations of total personal consumption expenditures pce consumer spending on durable goods as well as on services lovell 2001 recently suggests that the index of consumer expectations ice developed by the university of michigan may be a better proxy for consumer confidence than the ics this is because the ice is derived solely from a subset of forward looking questions in contrast to the ics which is based on both forward looking questions and current conditions questions 2 in view of lovell s 2001 insightful suggestion the main objective of this article is to empirically examine the predictive power of the ice in forecasting u s consumption growth moreover it would be useful to compare the informational content of the ice and the ics to determine whether indices of consumer confidence reflect consumers perception of future economic conditions in this article we use the reduced form equation given in cfw 1994 to examine the forecasting ability of the ice and the ics our empirical results indicate that the lagged values of the ice predict changes in total pce much better than those of the ics furthermore when tested separately in the reduced form equation the forward looking questions are generally significant suggesting that they contain valuable information about consumers expectations of future economic outlook we also extend our analysis to the study by cfw 1994 the results of this analysis confirm the view that the ice has greater incremental predictive power than the ics the remainder of this article is structured as follows section 2 describes the five core questions used in the michigan surveys of consumers section 3 discusses the econometric methodology and data section 4 reports our main empirical results section 5 is a case study based on cfw s 1994 data set section 6 presents some conclusions 2 the michigan surveys of consumersthe ics produced by the michigan surveys of consumers is derived from the following five core questions 3qfpr financial position realization we are interested in how people are getting along financially these days would you say that you and your family living there are better off or worse off financially than you were a year ago qdurs durables purchases

consumption sentiment and economic news this paper investigates the influence of economic news on consumer sentiment and examines whether news shocks changes in coverage that would not be expected from incoming data on economic fundamentals have aggregate effects using monthly u s data and a structural vector autoregression i find that 1 sentiment is affected by news shocks 2 after filtering out effects of news shocks shocks to sentiment still have positive effects on consumer spending and 3 news shocks influence both spending and unemployment in significant though transitory ways these results are consistent with other evidence of a role of nonfundamental factors in aggregate fluctuations jel e21 e32 d12

are there limits to growth a simple theoretical model of pollution is developed that generates an inverted u shape relationship between per capita income and environmental quality this model is then used to study long run growth the same inverted u shape is shown to appear in time series and the prospects for sustained growth are shown to hinge on whether increasingly strict environmental regulation is compatible with a constant rate of return on capital implementation is also studied tax and voucher schemes are shown to have an advantage over direct regulation because they provide the correct incentives for capital accumulation copyright 1998 by economics department of the university of pennsylvania and the osaka university institute of social and economic research association

sharing resources the global distribution of the ecological footprint abstract this paper examines how the human demand on bioproductive lands as measured by the ecological footprint is distributed across the globe using methods commonly used to measure the distribution of income measuring the distribution of natural resource use will be necessary to achieve an economy that is sustainable just and efficient currently different nations place different demands on the environment i e the ecological footprint is not evenly distributed across the globe calculation of the gini coefficient for total ecological footprint and its components explains the sources of inequality in overall resource use calculation of the atkinson index shows how inequality in the ecological footprint is related to the inequality of income and environmental intensity

impact caps why population affluence and technology strategies should be abandoned abstract this paper classifies strategies to reduce environmental impact according to the terms of the i pat formula policies limiting resource depletion and pollution impact by heavily taxing resources or rationing them on a country basis are thus called direct or left side strategies other policies to achieve the environmental goal of lowering impact strive to limit population and affluence or to use technology to lower the ratio of resource inputs to goods and services outputs next it is shown that lowering any of these right side factors causes or at least enables the other two to rise or rebound this has two consequences 1 since i pat does not express these interdependencies on the right side it is more accurately written i f p a t and 2 success in lowering any of the right side factors does not necessarily lower impact rationing or pigouvian taxation of resources or pollution on the other hand necessarily lower impact and are therefore preferable to population consumption and technological environmental strategies finally lifestyle and technology changes towards more sufficiency and efficiency would follow the caps as consumers and producers work to retain the greatest amount of welfare within the limits given

looking through the dataquadrate characterizing the human environment relationship through economic hedonic ecological and demographic measures abstract this paper introduces the concept of plotting four dimensional data in two dimensions without loss of information namely the dataquadrate concept here objects are represented as quadrates instead of points in a practical 4 axis cartesian coordinate system this procedure helps us imagine and analyze complex relations where four different non negative variables influence processes this tool is of high utility for analyzing specific human environment issues here we analyze a monetary measure gross domestic product gdp a hedonic measure subjective wellbeing a limiting measure ecological footprint and a demographic measure human population our system adds new insights to the de growth debate discussed in a journal of cleaner production special issue vol 18 2010 and systematically illuminates lots of confusing paradoxes such as the downward sloping part of the environmental kuznets curve the jevons paradox and the easterlin paradox in this paper all these phenomena are analyzed for the usa and for china in 1990 and in 2007 by utilizing such methodology when mitigating environmental problems we are not limited to negative restrictive messages but are enabled to create new strategic ways of problem solving about how to optimize the human celestial footprint the ratio of human wellbeing to human environmental load

mill s scissors structural change and the natural resource inputs to labour the environmental structural change strategy claims that by shifting our expenditures to economic sectors with lower environmental intensity absolute resource consumption and environmental impact can be lowered environmental input output methodologies for computing these intensities attribute no resource consumption to labour or households because these are not classified as sectors the suggestion that service sectors entail less environmental impact however loses force if a unit of labour contains embodied energy and attributing these inputs to labour drastically reduces intensity variation between sectors relative growth of service sectors has furthermore not been accompanied by decreased resource consumption thus models whose intensity computations cover not only inter firm payments but also labour earnings and household expenditures may have superior predictive power if moreover natural resource and labour inputs to product are incommensurable intensity ratios themselves have perhaps only monetary rather than real significance

forecasting regional gdp with factor models how useful are national and international data we assess the contribution of national country wide and international data to the task of forecasting the real gdp of canadian provinces using the targeting predictors approach of bai and ng 2008 bai j ng s 2008 forecasting economic time series using targeted predictors journal of econometrics 146 304 317 we find that larger datasets containing regional national and international data help improve forecasting accuracy for horizons below the one year ahead mark but that beyond that horizon relying on provincial data alone produces the best forecasts these results suggest that shocks originating at the national and international levels are transmitted to canadian regions and reflected in regional timeseries fairly rapidly

is the netherlands sustainable as a global scale inner city intenscoping spatial sustainability is the netherlands sustainable or not the answer inherently involves addressing the issues of system boundaries statistical units and a vision of sustainability as an analytical answer we offer the intenscope is a two dimensional graphical tool based on dimensionless percentages of triple rate ratios which overcomes several limitations of sustainability analyses first it is not sensitive to the size of statistical units so an area with twice the amount of resources of another with double the population and double the total consumption would have the same triple ratio of population biocapacity consumption second the is is sensitive to anomalies which may originate either from the use of arbitrary statistical units e g the boundaries of a city or those which may indicate truly unsustainable practices to judge spatial sustainability we use ecological footprint data from which we construct a plausible country plot based on the is despite the relative nature of is analyses the employed consumption biocapacity ratio inherently refers to the absolute limit of sustainability we cannot continually use more resources on a global scale than nature provides us with the analysis introduces some associations of human preferences and attributions of settlement types which may help to elaborate sustainability policies based on voluntary action

a tax induced clientele for index linked corporate bonds this paper analyzes the circumstances under which tax considerations favor or disfavor the use of index linked corporate bonds using a model similar to miller s investors choices of assets depend on their tax preferences for interest income versus capital gains and their preferences for the timing of returns it is concluded that the absence of indexlinked bonds in the u s cannot be attributed solely to tax reasons however following the 1986 tax reform act the tax code is expected to disfavor the use of index linked bonds the absence of index linked i l bonds in the u s is puzzling index linked bonds are common in countries that have experienced persistently high and or volatile rates of inflation both the periodic interest payments and the principal of an i l bond are linked to a price index this design provides protection against inflation induced changes in the nominal interest rate and prevents erosion of the bond s real value during inflationary periods anticipated or unanticipated the theoretical literature on i l bonds has focused primarily on the risk reduction aspect see for example sarnat 9 fischer 3 and siegel and warner 11 the recurrent theme of these studies is that the introduction of i l bonds reduces inflationary risks to both debtors and creditors these studies argue that in a portfolio context i l bonds provide investors protection against a risk that cannot be fully hedged otherwise fischer 4 conjectured that a possible reason for the absence of i l bonds in the u s may be the tax treatment of the returns on these bonds 2 from a tax point of view i l bonds differ from nominal bonds bonds hereafter in two respects first the returns on i l bonds consist of a combination of interest income and capital gains whereas the returns on nominal bonds consist in a steady state of interest income only second while the compensation for the inflation induced erosion in the real value of the principal of a nominal bond is part of the periodic interest payments and hence is taxed every period the corresponding compensation on an i l bond is realized and taxed only when the bond is sold thus holding i l bonds allows a tax deferment that is not possible when nominal bonds are held

taxation portfolio choice and debt equity ratios a general equilibrium model this paper explores the portfolio behavior of investors differing with respect to both tax rates and risk aversion emphasizing the role of constraints on individual and firm behavior in ensuring the existence of and characterizing portfolio equilibrium under certain conditions on the securities available in the market which also are necessary for shareholders to be unanimous in supporting firm value maximization investors will be segmented by tax rate into two groups one specialized in equity and the other in debt though the relative wealths of the two groups determine the aggregate debt equity ratio each firm will be indifferent to its financial policy

the triangle of the human economy household cultivation industrial production an attempt at making visible the human economy in toto abstract this paper is an attempt at outlining a comprehensive framework within which it would be possible to perceive that the totality of the human economy consists of three distinct components household cultivation and industrial production each one of these components operates according to its own particular logic therefore the logic of one cannot be imposed on the logic of another without serious consequences as is now already seen when the logic of industrial production has hitherto been imposed upon the whole human economy it is to be hoped that establishing a new more comprehensive and relevant perception of the human economy as a whole would help humanity to adopt a lifestyle which will provide the prerequisites for a dignified quality of life for all people with due respect to the ecological boundaries of the biosphere in this process a recognition of the economic social and cultural contribution of women is decisive as well as a respect for the values and priorities set within women s culture and way of life

the role of human social built and natural capital in explaining life satisfaction at the country level toward a national well being index nwi this paper investigates the contributions to life satisfaction of four basic types of capital human social built and natural life satisfaction data were available for respondents from fifty seven countries from the world values survey over the decade of the 1990s data on proxies for human social built and natural capital were available for 171 countries using data from the 1998 united nations human development report united nations development programme 1998 human development report 1998 oxford university press new york freedom house 1999 freedom house 1999 news of the century press freedom 1999 freedom house http freedomhouse org pfs99 pfs99 pdf september 30 2003 and sutton and costanza 2002 sutton p costanza r 2002 global estimates of market and non market values derived from nighttime satellite imagery land cover and ecosystem service valuation ecol econ 41 509 527 regression models show that both the un human development index hdi which includes proxies for both built and human capital and an index of the value of ecosystem services per km 2 as a proxy for natural capital are important factors in explaining life satisfaction at the country level and together can explain 72 of the variation in life satisfaction we did not find a proxy for social capital that was a significant predictor in the regression models this was due to the inadequacy of available proxy variables for social capital at the national scale and intercorrelation with other variables we discuss data limitations and a range of other problems with the existing limited data along with methods to overcome some of these limitations to improve future analyses we propose a national well being index nwi based on our findings and describe a path to improve it over time d 2005 elsevier b v all rights reserved

reassessing the environmental kuznets curve for co2 emissions a robustness exercise the number of studies seeking to empirically characterize the reduced form relationship between a country economic growth and the quantity of pollutants produced in the process has recently increased significantly in several cases researchers have found evidence pointing to an inverted u benvironmental kuznetsq curve in the case of co2 however the evidence is at best mixed in this paper we reconsider that evidence by assessing how robust it is when the analysis is conducted in a different parametric setup and when using alternative emissions data from the international energy agency relative to the literature our contribution can be viewed as a robustness exercise in these two respects the econometric results lead to two conclusions firstly published evidence on the ekc does not appear to depend upon the source of the data at least as far as carbon dioxide is concerned secondly when an alternative functional form is employed there is evidence of an inverted u pattern for the group of oecd countries with reasonable turning point regardless of the data set employed not so for non oecd countries as the ekc is basically increasing slowly concave according to the iea data and more bellshaped in the case of cdiac data d 2005 elsevier b v all rights reserved

income distribution and development some stylized facts in recent years the relationship between income distribution and the process of development has come under increasing scrutiny much of the debate has focused on the hypothesis originally advanced by simon kuznets that the secular behavior of inequality follows an inverted u shaped pattern with inequality first increasing and then decreasing with development this hypothesis has become so much a part of the conventional wisdom on this subject that it has generated considerable skepticism about the welfare implications of the development process indeed on some interpretations developing countries face the grim prospect not just of increasing relative inequality but also of declining absolute incomes for the lower income groups

income inequality and pollution a reassessment of the environmental kuznets curve abstract improvements in some measures of air and water quality can accompany rising per capita income as illustrated by the so called environmental kuznets curve for pollution variables which show such a relationship we hypothesize that a more equitable distribution of power contributes to these outcomes by enhancing the influence on policy of those who bear the costs of pollution relative to the influence of those who benefit from pollution generating activities an empirical analysis of international variations in seven indicators of air and water quality supports this hypothesis literacy political rights and civil liberties are found to have particularly strong effects on environmental quality in low income countries

taking the u out of kuznets a comprehensive analysis of the ekc and environmental degradation unlike most environmental kuznets curve ekc studies which focus on narrow measures of pollution as proxies for environmental quality we test the validity of the ekc using the ecological footprint ef a more comprehensive measure of environmental degradation we find no empirical evidence of an ekc relationship between the ef and economic development and only limited support for such a relationship among the components of the ef in addition we discover that energy is largely responsible for the lack of an ekc relationship and that energy consumption levels would have to be cut by over 50 in order for a statistically significant ekc relationship to emerge from the data overall these results suggest that growth alone will not lead to sustainable development

water use and economic growth reconsidering the environmental kuznets curve relationship abstract predictions of national and global water use have been criticized for being inaccurate and for not taking into consideration economic development of the little research that does address water use as a function of economic development results are inconsistent but much claims to find clear evidence of an environmental kuznets curves ekc or inverted u type relationship this research attempts to elucidate the relationship between income growth and freshwater use by a evaluating a variety of cross sectional and panel datasets on water withdrawals and consumptive use b employing both traditional least squares and non parametric regression analysis the latter of which offers the advantage of not assuming a given functional form c testing both per capita and total water use and d comparing water withdrawals to consumptive use the research finds some support for the existence of an ekc but results are highly dependent on choice of datasets and statistical technique results are also sector specific and ekc curves prove to be poor indicators of individual country behavior as such the study points to limitations of ekcs in terms of water use policy and planning

why environmental sustainability can most probably not be attained with growing production the concepts of welfare economic growth production environmentally sustainable national income environmental sustainability environmental function and asymmetric entering are defined because the confusion about these concepts hampers sound information based on these concepts the arguments are enumerated why it is plausible that environmental sustainability most probably cannot be attained with a growing production level national income ni and why broad acceptance of a lower production level meaning de growth of production will make attaining this goal much easier or at least possible some consequences of unsustainable development are provided and the alleged conflict between employment and environment is refuted the conclusion is that our planet is threatened by a wrong belief in a wrongly formulated growth

climate change economics and buddhism part 2 new views and practices for sustainable world economies abstract the evidence of impending and serious climate and other consequences of an expanding world economy based on fossil carbon energy continues to accumulate this two part paper examines the potential contribution of the world view and insights of buddhism to this search it presents both a conceptual and practical case that buddhism can help shape and move towards an alternative and effective paradigmatic basis for sustainable economies one capable of bringing about and maintaining genuine high welfare levels across the world s societies the first paper outlined a comprehensive analytical framework to identify the fundamental nature of anthropogenic climate change based on the integration of two of the most influential environmental analysis tools of recent decades the dpsir model and ipat equation the framework was then broadened to facilitate ideas from the buddhist world view by injecting two key missing aspects the interrelated role of 1 beliefs and values on goals and behavior and 2 the nature of well being or human happiness finally the principal linkages between this climate change analysis framework and buddhism were explored in this concluding paper the systems framework is used to demonstrate how buddhist and related world views can feed into appropriate and effective responses to the impending challenges of climate change this is undertaken by systematically presenting a specific if indicative list of relevant strategies informed by the understanding of interconnectedness and other basic principles about the nature of reality and human well being as proposed in buddhism

economic de growth vs steady state economy in recent years the concept of economic de growth decroissance based on the literature of nicolas georgescu roegen e g 1 3 has found a revival in france italy spain and other countries in the popular as well as in the academic literature therein authors took on board georgescu roegens categorical rejection of a steady state economy sse as proposed by herman daly 4 they argue that economic degrowth is the only viable alternative goal to the growing economy this position is challenged in this article and it is concluded that the two concepts are in fact complements economic de growth is not a goal in itself but the rich north s path towards a globally equitable sse moreover the de growth literature can benefit from the strong economic historic roots of the sse and from daly s macroeconomic concepts while in return being able to give lessons about bottom up approaches this would be particularly important for the population issue where daly proposes limited birth licences unfortunately statements on demography are inconsistent and underdeveloped in the de growth literature further it is concluded that most criticisms of the sse are due to a too narrow and technocratic interpretation of the concept instead the sse should be defined as a quasi steady state resting in a dynamic equilibrium and as an unattainable goal which can and probably should be approximated