long term intergenerational persistence of human capital an empirical analysis of four generations most previous studies of intergenerational transmission of human capital are restricted to two generations how parents influence their children in this study we use a swedish data set that links individual measures of lifetime earnings for three generations and data on educational attainment for four generations we find that estimates obtained from data on two generations severely underestimate long run intergenerational persistence in both labor earnings and educational attainments long run social mobility is hence much lower than previously thought we attribute this additional persistence to dynastic human capital the influence on human capital of more distant family members than parents

differential fertility human capital and development using micro data from 48 developing countries this paper studies changes in crosssectional patterns of fertility and child investment over the course of the demographic transition before 1960 children from larger families obtained more education in large part because they had richer and more educated parents by century s end these patterns had reversed consequently fertility differentials by income and education historically raised the average education of the next generation but they now reduce it while the reversal is unrelated to changes in gdp per capita women s work sectoral composition or health roughly half is attributable to rising aggregate education in the parents generation the results support a model in which rising skill returns lowered the minimum income at which parents invest in education

is the efficiency wage efficient the social norm and organizational corruption the effectiveness of efficiency wage incentives is often jeopardized by perverse organizational corruption we model organizational corruption as a phenomenon of social interaction and relate the substantial psychological role characterizing the social norm to the corruption problem we find that if the status quo bribery rate within the firm is high social norms can no longer serve as a sufficient sanction against a corrupt supervisor pandemic organizational corruption tends to generate a critical mass effect the snowball effect which intensifies the corruption effect this intensified effect due to the snowballing character of social norms may more than offset the usual incentive effect of wages resulting in more widespread shirking in the firm jel classification d82 j41

how the new international goal for child mortality is unfair to sub saharan africa again summary the sustainable development goals sdgs include level end goals for both under five and neonatal mortality to be obtained by 2030 no more than 25 and 12 deaths per 1 000 births respectively recent accelerations in the rate of reduction in under five mortality have been cited as a cause for optimism in this paper we show that changes in mortality rates are subject to mean reversion hence high rates observed recently for sub saharan africa make for an overly optimistic estimate of future reductions taking this into account in projecting mortality rates until 2030 we find that only very few countries in sub saharan africa are likely to attain the new targets while a majority of countries elsewhere are likely to attain the target or have done so already we also show that while mdg4 has been rightly criticized as unfair to sub saharan africa in the past a relative target may have been more appropriate today and would be relevant for all countries we also offer a discussion of likely challenges the region faces in making further inroads against preventable deaths

introduction understanding structural transformation in africa summary the limitations of neo classical growth models have led to a resurgence of interest in dual economy models and structural change structural change entails the movement of labor from low productivity sectors like agriculture into more modern sectors of the economy because the share of the labor force in agriculture is so high in most of sub saharan africa the potential for structural change to lead to growth and poverty alleviation in africa appears to be enormous yet very little of this new literature on structural change focuses on africa this special issue begins to fill that gap the first half of this special issue contains five original contributions that provide new insights with respect to the nature of africa s growth over the past two decades the second half contains six original contributions that examine opportunities for structural transformation in africa

corruption norm violation and decay in social capital the paper studies the link between corruption and social capital measured as trust using data from a lab experiment subjects play either a harassment bribery game or a strategically identical but differently framed ultimatum game followed by a trust game in a second experiment we elicit social appropriateness norm of actions in the bribery game and ultimatum game treatments our experimental design allows us to examine whether subjects who have been asked to pay a bribe are less likely to trust than those in an isomorphic role in the ultimatum game we also uncover the underlying mechanism behind any such behavioral spillover results suggest that a there is a negative spillover effect of corruption on trust and the effect increases with decrease in social appropriateness norm of the bribe demand b lower trust in the bribery game treatment is explained by lower expected return on trust c surprisingly for both the bribery and ultimatum game treatments social appropriateness norm violation engenders the decay in trust through its adverse effect on belief about trustworthiness

the drivers of structural change the main goal of this paper is to provide an integrated survey of the literature devoted to identifying the drivers of structural change broadly defined as the process of reallocation of economic activity across the three broad sectors agriculture manufacturing and services using the ggdc 10 sector database this paper first presents the empirical facts associated with structural change in different regions of the world that is europe and the usa asia latin america and africa then reviews four determinants of structural change i changes in income ii changes in relative sectoral prices iii changes in input output linkages and iv changes in comparative advantage s via globalization and trade

legislative organization and pollution taxation the role of political institutions in shaping public policy has been analyzed in isolation from corruption and legislative organization specifically bicameralism has received minimal attention we analyze pollution taxation when decisions are influenced by several veto players such as legislative chambers our theory predicts that an increase in the number of veto players e g moving from uni to bi cameralism pushes the pollution tax towards the social optimum with the effect being conditional on corruption as such dispersion around the optimal tax is lower under bicameralism empirical tests using data from 86 countries support the theory

the effect of democracy and press freedom on corruption an empirical test this paper tests the effect of democracy and press freedom on corruption the empirical investigation carried out in this paper suggests that democracy and press freedom can have significant impact on corruption

bad loans to good friends money politics and the developmental state in south korea why has the literature on asian development not addressed the issue of money politics in south korea how can we reconcile the view of an efficient developmental state in south korea before 1997 with reports of massive corruption and inefficiency in that same country in 1998 and 1999 politics is central to the answer in this study i make two arguments first money politics was extensive in south korea both during and after the high growth era second political not economic considerations dominated policymaking this study explains both past and present and compares the patterns of money politics in the early post independence era with those that arose after the democratic transition in 1987 while during the park era a balance of power between businessmen and politicians kept corruption from spinning out of control the transition to democracy altered the basic business state relationship allowing business to exert greater influence over policy decisions the political hypothesis advanced in this study suggests a new direction for our research about the developmental state

causes and effects of corruption what has past decade s empirical research taught us a survey corruption has fierce impacts on economic and societal development and is subject to a vast range of institutional jurisdictional societal and economic conditions it is this paper s aim to provide a reassessment and a comprehensive state of the art survey of existing literature on corruption and its causes and effects a particularly strong focus is put on presenting and discussing insights resulting from empirical research and contrasting recent with older findings

the quantity and quality of life and the evolution of world inequality gdp per capita is usually used to proxy for the quality of life of individuals living in different countries welfare is also affected by quantity of life however as represented by longevity this paper incorporates longevity into an overall assessment of the evolution of cross country inequality and shows that it is quantitatively important the absence of reduction in cross country inequality up to the 1990s documented in previous work is in stark contrast to the reduction in inequality after incorporating gains in longevity throughout the post world war ii period health contributed to reduce significantly welfare inequality across countries this paper derives valuation formulas for infra marginal changes in longevity and computes a full growth rate that incorporates the gains in health experienced by 96 countries for the period between 1960 and 2000 incorporating longevity gains changes traditional results countries starting with lower income tended to grow faster than countries starting with higher income we estimate an average yearly growth in full income of 4 1 percent for the poorest 50 percent of countries in 1960 of which 1 7 percentage points are due to health as opposed to a growth of 2 6 percent for the richest 50 percent of countries of which only 0 4 percentage points are due to health additionally we decompose changes in life expectancy into changes attributable to 13 broad groups of causes of death and three age groups we show that mortality from infectious respiratory and digestive diseases congenital perinatal and ill defined conditions mostly concentrated before age 20 and between ages 20 and 50 is responsible for most of the reduction in life expectancy inequality at the same time the recent effect of aids together with reductions in mortality after age 50 due to nervous system senses organs heart and circulatory diseases contributed to increase health inequality across countries

a comparison of bribery and bidding in thin markets abstract this paper compares bribery to competitive bidding in a government purchasing context while competitive bidding is one method of procurement bribery is a common alternative in many third world countries although bribery is often considered to be the ethical antithesis of competitive bidding the analysis shows there is a fundamental isomorphism between bribery and competitive bidding on the supply side of the transaction

reinventing foreign aid for inclusive and sustainable development kuznets piketty and the great policy reversal this survey essay reviews over 200 papers in arguing that in order to achieve sustainable and inclusive development foreign aid should not orient developing countries towards industrialisation in the perspective of kuznets but in the view of piketty abandoning the former s view that inequality will fall with progress in industrialisation and placing more emphasis on inequality in foreign aid policy will lead to more sustainable development outcomes inter alia mitigate short term poverty address concerns of burgeoning population growth train recipient governments on inclusive development fight corruption and mismanagement and avoid the shortfalls of celebrated kuznets conjectures we discuss how the essay addresses post 2015 development challenges and provide foreign aid policy instruments with which discussed objectives can be achieved in summary the essay provides useful policy measures to avoid past pitfalls output may be growing and yet the mass of the people may be becoming poorer lewis 1955 lewis led all developing countries to water proverbially speaking some african countries have so far chosen not to drink amavilah 2014 piketty 2014 has led all developing countries to the stream again and a challenging policy syndrome of our time is how foreign aid can help them to drink

the lazarus drug the impact of antiretroviral therapy on economic growth abstract does better population health lead to growth in per capita income theory is ambiguous and empirical evidence is very limited in 2001 a steep fall in antiretroviral arv drug prices triggered rapid and massive expansion of arv therapy coverage in lower income countries exploiting the sharp resultant changes in population health i show that arv therapy coverage expansion led to growth in gdp per capita the positive effects on growth most likely persist for around four years arv therapy coverage expansion could explain around a third of the sub saharan african growth miracle

corruption centralization and the shadow economy in their pioneering work on corruption shleifer and vishny 1993 find that a centralized bureaucracy results in lower bribes our paper extends the analysis to economies with formal and informal sectors when corrupt officials operate in both sectors bureaucratic centralization is beneficial when confined to the formal sector however we show that crosssector centralization can result in higher bribes and lower welfare furthermore contrary to choi and thum 2005 we demonstrate that depending on the organization of the bureaucracy and the productivity of the informal sector the presence of the shadow economy may have adverse effects on corruption and welfare

an equilibrium queuing model of bribery it is sometimes argued that bribery is inefficient because bureaucrats may cause delays for attracting more bribes this hypothesis is examined in the context of a queue where customers having different values of time are ranked by their bribe payments to the queue s server the nash equilibrium strategies of the customers are derived it is shown that the server is unlikely to slow down the allocation process when bribery is allowed the model does not have stringent informational requirements and the equilibrium outcome minimizes the average value of time costs of the queue it also suggests a useful auctioning procedure

climate shocks and exports this paper uses international trade data to examine the effects of climate shocks on economic activity we examine panel models relating the annual growth rate of a country s exports in a particular product category to the country s weather in that year we find that a poor country being 1 degree celsius warmer in a given year reduces the growth rate of that country s exports by between 2 0 and 5 7 percentage points with no detectable effects in rich countries we find negative effects of temperature on exports of both agricultural products and light manufacturing products with little apparent effects on heavy industry or raw materials the results confirm large negative effects of temperature on poor countries economies and suggest that temperature affects a much wider range of economic activity than conventionally thought this abstract was borrowed from another version of this item

inequality the urban rural gap and migration using population and product consumption data from the demographic and health surveys i construct comparable measures of inequality and migration for 65 countries including some of the poorest countries in the world i find that the urban rural gap accounts for 40 of mean country inequality and much of its cross country variation one out of every four or five individuals raised in rural areas moves to urban areas as a young adult where they earn much higher incomes than nonmigrant rural permanent residents equally one out of every four or five individuals raised in urban areas moves to rural areas as a young adult where they earn much lower incomes than their nonmigrant urban cousins these flows and relative incomes are suggestive of a world where the population sorts itself geographically on the basis of its human capital and skill i show that a simple model of this sort explains the urban rural gap in living standards

does quality of openness affect corruption abstract we propose and construct a quality of openness index and demonstrate its impact on corruption the results indicate that the quality as well as the level of openness can have a significant impact on corruption

economic growth with endogenous corruption an empirical study the effect of corruption on the rate of economic growth for a panel of countries during 1984 2007 is investigated using recent improvements in dynamic panel data techniques to control for the endogeneity of corruption and investment corruption has a significant effect on the growth rate of real per capita income this effect is non linear

on the long run evolution of inheritance france 1820 2050 this paper attempts to document and account for the long run evolution of inheritance we find that in a country like france the annual flow of inheritance was about 20 25 of national income between 1820 and 1910 down to less than 5 in 1950 and back up to about 15 by 2010 a simple theoretical model of wealth accumulation growth and inheritance can fully account for the observed u shaped pattern and levels using this model we find that under plausible assumptions the annual bequest flow might reach about 20 25 of national income by 2050 this corresponds to a capitalized bequest share in total wealth accumulation well above 100 our findings illustrate the fact that when the growth rate g is small and when the rate of return to private wealth r is permanently and substantially larger than the growth rate say r 4 5 vs g 1 2 which was the case in the 19th century and early 20th century and is likely to happen again in the 21st century then past wealth and inheritance are bound to play a key role for aggregate wealth accumulation and the structure of lifetime inequality contrarily to a widely spread view modern economic growth did not kill inheritance

the incidence and persistence of corruption in economic development abstract economic development and bureaucratic corruption are determined jointly in a dynamic general equilibrium model of growth bribery and tax evasion corruption arises from the incentives of public and private agents to conspire in the concealment of information from the government these incentives depend on aggregate economic activity which in turn depends on the incidence of corruption the model produces multiple development regimes transition between which may or may not occur in accordance with recent empirical evidence the relationship between corruption and development is predicted to be negative

is it protestant tradition or current protestant population that affects corruption abstract the percentage of protestants 100 years ago has a more significant impact on today s level of corruption than the current percentage of protestants within a country this supports williamson williamson o e 2000 the new institutional economics taking stock looking ahead journal of economic literature xxxviii 595 613 s claim that religion is at level 1 of social analysis

organized crime corruption and punishment we analyze an oligopoly model in which differentiated criminal organizations globally compete on criminal activities and engage in local corruption to avoid punishment when bribing costs are low that is badly paid and dishonest law enforcers work in a weak governance environment and the rents from criminal activity are sufficiently high we find that increasing policing and sanctions can generate higher crime rates indeed beyond a threshold further increases in intended expected punishment create incentives for organized crime to extend corruption rings and ensuing impunity results in a fall of actual expected punishment that yields more rather than less crime

the impact of corruption on entry strategy evidence from telecommunication projects in emerging economies with globalization and the growth in emerging economies multinational enterprises mnes now frequently confront challenges associated with corrupt governments already a growing body of research has demonstrated that corruption significantly reduces a countrys aggregate inflows of foreign direct investment through its effects on firm performance we move the analysis of corruption from aggregate financial flows toward managerial theory and practice by examining how firms adjust their strategy for entering foreign markets in corrupt environments and how different types of corruption affect firms choices building on institutional theory we predict that mnes will respond to pervasive and arbitrary corruption in a host country by selecting particular types of equity and nonequity modes of entry using data on 220 telecommunications development projects in 64 emerging economies we find that firms adapt to the pressures of corruption via short term contracting and entry into joint ventures we also find that the arbitrariness surrounding corrupt transactions has a significant impact on firms decisions in addition to the overall level of corruption in contrast to extant research we show that mnes use nonequity entry modes or partnering as an adaptive strategy to participate in markets despite the presence of corruption

the effect of liquid housing wealth on college enrollment this article uses short run housing wealth changes to identify the effect of housing wealth on college attendance i find that households used their housing wealth to finance postsecondary enrollment in the 2000s when housing wealth was most liquid each 10 000 in home equity raises college enrollment by 0 7 of a percentage point on average the effect is localized to lower resource families for whom a 10 000 increase in housing wealth increases enrollment by 5 7 percentage points these estimates imply that the recent housing bust could significantly negatively affect college enrollment through reduction in the housing wealth of families with college age children

direct estimation of hidden earnings evidence from russian administrative data abstractwe employ unique administrative data from moscow to obtain a direct estimate of hidden incomes our approach is based on comparing employer reported earnings to market values of cars owned by the corresponding individuals and their households we detect few hidden earnings in most foreign owned firms and larger firms especially state owned enterprises in heavily regulated industries the same empirical strategy indicates that up to 80 percent of earnings of car owners in the private sector are hidden especially in smaller companies and industries such as trade and services where cash flows are easier to manipulate we also find considerable hidden earnings in government services our approach sheds new light on the decline in the gross domestic product gdp in russia after the collapse of communism and subsequent recovery in particular we argue that a good deal of these changes might represent changes in income reporting rather than actual changes in gdp

a note on competitive bribery games abstract within a competitive bribery game in which each player has incomplete information we show that there exists a unique nash equilibrium which is symmetric similar results hold for another bribery game form that prevails in the literature implications for corrupt practices in relation to economic development are also discussed

national culture and corporate debt maturity abstract we investigate the influence of national culture on corporate debt maturity choice based on the framework of williamson we argue that culture located in social embeddedness level can shape contracting environments by serving as an informal constraint that affects human actors incentives and choices in market exchange we therefore expect national culture to be related to debt maturity structure after controlling for legal political financial and economic institutions using hofstede s four cultural dimensions uncertainty avoidance collectivism power distance and masculinity as proxies for culture and using a sample of 114 723 firm years from 40 countries over the 1991 2006 period we find robust evidence that firms located in countries with high uncertainty avoidance high collectivism high power distance and high masculinity tend to use more short term debt we interpret our results as consistent with the view that national culture helps explain cross country variations in the maturity structure of corporate debt

an efficiency and welfare classification of rationing by waiting in the presence of bribery abstract governments often allocate commodities at low prices and on a first come first served basis rationing by waiting while bureaucrats who distribute the commodities usually take bribes a model is developed to classify the efficiency implications of bribery and socially optimal pricing schemes in rationing by waiting if the rationed good and individual income spent on other goods other income are complements then bribery may enhance allocative efficiency and a dual pricing scheme can augment social welfare however if the rationed commodity and other income are substitutes then bribery may not improve allocative efficiency and distributing the rationed commodity free is socially optimal

lights camera income illuminating the national accounts household surveys debate gdp per capita and household survey means present conflicting pictures of the rate of economic development in emerging countries one of the areas in which the national accounts household surveys debate is key is the measurement of developing world poverty we propose a data driven method to assess the relative quality of gdp per capita and survey means by comparing them to the evolution of satellite recorded nighttime lights our main assumption which is robust to a variety of specification checks is that the measurement error in nighttime lights is unrelated to the measurement errors in either national accounts or survey means we obtain estimates of weights on national accounts and survey means in an optimal proxy for true income these weights are very large for national accounts and very modest for survey means we conclusively reject the null hypothesis that the optimal weight on surveys is greater than the optimal weight on national accounts and we generally fail to reject the null hypothesis that the optimal weight on surveys is zero additionally we provide evidence that national accounts are good indicators of desirable outcomes for the poor such as longer life expectancy better education and access to safe water and we show that surveys appear to perform worse in developing countries that are richer and that are growing faster therefore we interpret our results as providing support for estimates of world poverty that are based on national accounts jel code i32

statistical tragedy in africa evaluating the data base for african economic development measurement is increasingly at the centre of debates in african economic development some remarkable upward revisions of gdp which are signs of statistical systems improving caused the declaration of a statistical tragedy in africa this special issue evaluates the database for african economic development with articles on the quality of the data on gdp health and education poverty labour agriculture and income distribution

corruption and development a review of issues in this paper we start with a discussion of some of the different denotations of the problem of corruption we then consider the ways in which the damaging consequences of corruption operate in a developing economy while not ignoring its possible redeeming features in some cases we pursue the question of why corruption is perceptibly so different in different societies and also persistent finally we examine the feasible policy issues that arise in this context

temperature changes household consumption and internal migration evidence from tanzania large rural urban wage gaps observed in many developing countries are suggestive of barriers to migration that keep potential migrants in rural areas using long panel data spanning nearly two decades i study the extent to which migration rates are constrained by liquidity constraints in rural tanzania the analysis begins by quantifying the impact of weather variation on household welfare the results show how household consumption co moves with temperature rendering households vulnerable to local weather events these temperature induced income shocks are then found to inhibit long term migration among men thus preventing them from tapping into the opportunities brought about by geographical mobility

targeted characteristics and use of socially marketed preventive health goods evidence from condoms in sub saharan africa social marketing is a popular method for allocating targeted publicly funded preventive health goods in poor countries however low demand among targeted groups may inhibit take up relative to non

estimating the performance effects of business groups in emerging markets business groups confederations of legally independent firms are ubiquitous in emerging economies yet very little is known about their effects on the performance of affiliated firms we conceive of business groups as responses to market failures and high transaction costs in doing so we develop hypotheses about the effects of group affiliation on firm profitability affiliation could either boost or depress firm profitability and members of a group are likely to earn rates of return similar to other members of the same group using a unique data set compiled largely from local sources we test for these effects in 14 emerging markets argentina brazil chile india indonesia israel mexico peru the philippines south africa south korea taiwan thailand and turkey we find evidence that business groups indeed affect the broad patterns of economic performance in 12 of the markets we examine group affiliation appears to have as profound an effect on profitability as does industry membership yet strategy scholars have a much clearer grasp of industries than of groups moreover membership in a group raises the profitability of the average group member in several of the markets we examine this runs contrary to the wisdom conventional in advanced economies that unrelated diversification depresses profitability overall our findings suggest that the roots of sustained differences in profitability may vary across institutional contexts conclusions drawn in one context may well not apply to another copyright 2001 john wiley sons ltd

corruption as a gamble abstract in the following model of corruption a simple game is set up whose players are a government official granting a permit conditional on a test and a candidate requesting the permit the game is solved under different assumptions as to the information sets of the players perfect information asymmetric information and imperfect information on both sides in the latter case after characterizing the solution and presenting some important comparative statics results the paper moves on to show the emergence of multiple equilibria in corruption illustrating the interaction of corruption at different hierarchical levels of an administration

the african growth miracle measures of real consumption based on the ownership of durable goods the quality of housing the health and mortality of children the education of youths and the allocation of female time in the household indicate that sub saharan living standards have for the past two decades been growing about 3 4 3 7 percent per year that is three and a half to four times the rate indicated in international data sets

the empirical measurement of rent seeking costs this survey focuses on the efforts carried out mainly by public choice scholars to measure the social cost of rent seeking the concept introduced by gordon tullock in 1967 and coined by anne krueger in 1974 is well known and accepted by the profession but its empirical measurement has fallen behind with respect to its theoretical formulation an often criticized lack in the literature although there are good general surveys none has specifically focused on reviewing the empirical efforts made to measure the phenomenon the purpose of this paper is to provide such a survey it could be said that the rent seeking concept has been fully integrated into economic jargon it is commonly used when some agent seeks to obtain an artificial transfer usually from government and covers all the actions efforts or expenses that the agent has to carry out to obtain the prize the key issue however is the possible social waste that arises in these situations the empirical efforts to measure such waste constitute the main purpose of this survey the concept of rent seeking was introduced by tullock 1967 although the term was first coined by krueger 1974 in a paper not related to the former in a recent paper tullock himself wrote of the history of the concept and the intellectual context within which it arose tullock 2003 starting with the pioneering work by harberger 1954 several studies were conducted during the 1950s in which the calculation of the social cost of monopolies and tariffs always gave the result of very modest figures the first response to these results was made by leibenstein 1966 and his x efficiency which refers to a hypothetical loss in efficiency due to the absence of competition shortly after leibenstein s paper appeared tullock argued that the deadweight costs of monopoly and tariffs understate the true social cost because the expenditures made to capture related rents have to be included so rectangles as well as harberger s triangles have to be included in the calculations let us see this argument once more figure 1 depicts the iconic tullock graphic analysis of rent seeking it represents the demand schedule d for a monopolized good where pm is the monopoly

does foreign aid corrupt abstract we estimate the impact of foreign aid on corruption using geographical and cultural distance to the donor countries as instrumental variables to assess causality aid decreases corruption our results are statistically and economically significant and robust to different controls

business cycle and corruption abstract in studying the great depression galbraith asserts that the higher the transitory income the higher the corruption for a panel of 39 countries over 13 years 1995 2007 galbraith s claim holds regression analyses also confirm that the higher the permanent income the lower the corruption

a theory of misgovernance this paper tries to explain why government bureaucracies are often associated with red tape corruption and lack of incentives the paper identifies two specific ingredients that together can provide an explanation the fact that governments often act precisely in situations where markets fail and the presence of agency problems within the government we show that these problems are exacerbated at low levels of development and in bureaucracies dealing with poor people we also argue that we need to posit the existence of a welfare oriented constituency within the government in order to explain red tape and corruption

how corruption may corrupt abstract the incidence of corruption appears to vary strongly across societies even for comparable activities the model highlights how the profitability of bureaucratic corruption may be related to its frequency and points toward a few mechanisms that can be used in explaining the stylized facts of varying incidence of corruption there might be multiple self fulfilling equilibria levels of corruption even when both supply and demand of corrupt acts are considered

bipolar multicandidate elections with corruption the goals of democratic competition are not only to implement a majority s preference on policy questions but also to provide a deterrent against corrupt abuse of power by political leaders we consider a simple model of multicandidate elections in which different electoral systems can be compared according to these two criteria among a wide class of single winner scoring rules only approval voting is found to satisfy both effectiveness against corruption and majoritarianism for this model

explaining the evolution of poverty the case of mozambique we provide a comprehensive approach for analyzing the evolution of poverty using mozambique as a case study bringing together data from disparate sources we develop a novel back casting framework that links a dynamic computable general equilibrium model to a micro simulation poverty module this framework provides a new approach to explaining and decomposing the evolution of poverty as well as to examining rigorously the coherence between poverty economic growth and inequality outcomes finally various simple but useful and rarely applied approaches to considering regional changes in poverty rates are presented copyright 2012 oxford university press

institutional framework and economic development international evidence this paper examines the effect of quality of the institutional framework on economic development our empirical results support the hypothesis that good institutions improve efficiency and accelerate growth the positive effect of institutional quality is more pronounced with mutually reinforcing support of economic freedom our results also indicate that good institutions help developing countries grow faster to achieve conditional convergence we infer from the results that economic development requires not only physical and human capital formation but also freedom to choose and institutional support

grand advantage family wealth and grandchildren s educational achievement in sweden we study the role of family wealth for children s educational achievement using novel and unique swedish register data in particular we focus on the relationship between grandparents wealth and their grandchildren s educational achievement doing so allows us to reliably establish the independent role of wealth in contributing to long term inequalities in opportunity we use regression models with rich controls to account for observed socioeconomic characteristics of families cousin fixed effects to net out potentially unobserved grandparental effects and marginal structural models to account for endogenous selection we find substantial associations between grandparents wealth and their grandchildren s grade point averages gpa in the 9th grade that are only partly mediated by the socioeconomic characteristics and wealth of parents our findings indicate that family wealth inequality even in a comparatively egalitarian context like sweden has profound consequences for the distribution of opportunity across multiple generations we posit that our estimates of the long term consequences of wealth inequality may be conservative for nations other than sweden like the united states where family wealth in addition to its insurance and normative functions allows the direct purchase of educational quality and access

sorting through global corruption determinants institutions and education matter not culture abstract identifying the robust determinants of corruption among cultural economic institutional and geographical factors has proven difficult from a policy perspective it is important to know whether inherent largely unchangeable attributes are responsible or if institutional and economic attributes are at work accounting for model uncertainty we use bayesian model averaging bma to analyze a comprehensive list of 36 potential corruption determinants across 123 countries covering 87 percent of the world population the bma methodology sorts through all 68 719 476 736 possible model combinations 2 36 in order to carve out the robust correlates we then take a step toward alleviating endogeneity concerns in an instrumental variable bma framework our results indicate that cultural factors are largely irrelevant whereas particular economic and institutional characteristics matter the rule of law emerges as the most persistent predictor with a posterior inclusion probability pip in the true model of 1 00 whereas we find strong evidence for government effectiveness pip of 0 88 urbanization 0 85 and the share of women in parliament 0 80 as meaningful determinants of lower corruption levels in developing countries the extent of primary schooling enters as a powerful factor with a pip of 1 00

a brief review of some problems in using national accounts data in level of output comparisons and growth studies abstract after an initial burst of enthusiasm for establishing their national accounts 30 or 40 years ago some countries have made continuous improvements while others have done little to maintain even their initial system presently most developing countries make their basic estimate of gdp from the production side and most do not have adequate surveys to permit a consistency check of their production and expenditure side estimates the base surveys for expenditures and production are typically over ten years old and the lags in basic surveys for constructing constant price estimates are frequently longer a number of countries estimate their growth from a weighted average of volume indexes and make no attempt at direct deflation many of those that do deflate their current expenditure estimates do so at a very aggregate level users of national accounts should be aware of the varying quality of the estimates across countries and hopefully continual questioning of the numbers will help to encourage improvement

fuel for economic growth abstract using data for 134 countries we document that countries deriving a larger share of their energy from fossil fuel are richer and grow faster we then set up an endogenous growth model where final output is produced with a non energy and two substitutable energy intermediate goods fossil fuel and biofuel with non energy and energy goods being gross complements and with higher costs for improving the energy efficiency for biofuel than for fossil fuel there exist two balanced growth paths one with low growth where energy is derived from biofuel and one with high growth where energy is sourced from fossil fuel heterogeneity in initial technology levels can generate the great divergence the demand for fossil fuel in technologically advanced countries drives up its price thereby reducing demand for fossil fuel in less advanced countries that instead choose the more stagnant energy input

costs of distrust the virtuous cycle of tax compliance in jordan tax compliance has been extensively researched yet the classic question why do people pay taxes remains unanswered in jordan tax evasion is widespread the state and citizens have been trapped in a continuous hide and seek game which has taken the form of a virtuous cycle this paper investigates tax evasion along with the most noticeable features of the jordanian tax system it also highlights how the virtuous cycle of tax evasion has been established and what could possibly be a way out of it we argue that sociocultural values are the most prominent cause for tax evasion that is the procedures of state formation and functionality in jordan have created mutual distrust between the state and its citizens having been raised in a community characterized by deep distrust tax evasion is no longer considered immoral by substantial numbers of the jordanian population we argue that successive governments need to create a high trust based culture and formulate strategies that serve to acquire normative ethical values in order to enhance voluntary compliance the way to accomplish this necessity is through enforcing the state s transparency and accountability the taxation system needs to concentrate on income tax rather than raise tax rates on essential commodities to collect substantial tax revenues thus further reform of the taxation system along with a reduction in tax incentives need to be considered moreover lowering the exceptionally high personal income tax threshold would bring jordan in line with its peers expand the base and introduce more progressivity there would also be a scope to introduce a minimum tax based on sales as a tool to address tax evasion

inequality in children s contexts income segregation of households with and without children past research shows that income segregation between neighborhoods increased over the past several decades in this article i reexamine income segregation from 1990 to 2010 in the 100 largest metropolitan areas and i find that income segregation increased only among families with children among childless households two thirds of the population income segregation changed little and is half as large as among households with children i examine two factors that may account for these differences by household composition first i find that increasing income inequality identified by past research as a driver of income segregation was a much more powerful predictor of income segregation among families with children among whom income inequality has risen more second i find that local school options delineated by school district boundaries contribute to higher segregation among households with children compared to households without rising income inequality provided high income households more resources

persistence of corruption some theoretical perspectives summary the paper examines how pervasive corruption can be persistent despite the presence of anti corruption measures and incentives corruption has a strong tendency to persist in the first part we discuss how a high level of corruption or a low level of compliance can be an equilibrium outcome in such a case corruption becomes the social norm in the second part of the paper we use ides from evolutionary game theory to discuss how corrupt behavior can be immune to interventions and it can sustain itself against different individual behavioral norms

who gains from non collusive corruption non collusive corruption i e corruption that imposes an additional burden on business activity is particularly widespread in low income countries we build a macroeconomic model with credit market imperfections and heterogeneous agents to explore the roots and consequences of this type of corruption we find that credit market imperfections by generating rents for the incumbent entrepreneurs create strong incentives for corrupt behavior by state officials however non collusive corruption not only redistributes income from non officials towards officials but also within the group of potential entrepreneurs if borrowing is limited bribes prevent poorer but talented individuals from starting a business but this is likely to benefit those who may enter anyway the cost of capital is lower and there is less competition on the goods markets

corruption and the political economy of resource based development a comparison of asia and sub saharan africa we model how the supply and demand for bribes affects resource use by an economy and the reinvestment of resource rents in other assets this requires adjusting the world bank s measure adjusted net savings for any rent dissipation due to corruption the impacts of corruption on long run changes and periodic growth in the adjusted net savings rate are estimated across african and asian economies from 1970 to 2003 corruption rather than resource dependency per se affects negatively the ability of african countries to reinvest resource rents in the short term but for asian countries corruption is less important than point resources corruption influences long run growth in adjusted net savings rates in all countries and is also the pathway through which this growth is affected by patterns of resource use trade and abundance

how corruptible are you bribery under uncertainty abstract we model corruption in a society as a result of bargaining for bribes between private citizens and public officials we investigate the role that incomplete information with respect to the intrinsic moral cost of one s potential corruption partner plays out in his or her propensity to engage in bribery and consequently the equilibrium level of corruption in the society we assume that the cost of engaging in corruption is subject to strategic complementarities which may lead to multiple corruption equilibria we find that corruption is lowest when potential bribers and potential bribees are uncertain regarding each other s corruptibility and have asymmetric bargaining powers our uncertainty result provides theoretical support in favor of anti corruption strategies such as staff rotation in public offices aimed at decreasing the social closeness of bribers and bribees our bargaining power result suggests that under uncertainty monopolistic public good provision has the same corruption reducing effect as competitive public good provision

diet transformation in africa the case of ethiopia africa s food systems are changing fast amid rapid economic growth emerging urbanization and structural transformation in this study we use four rounds of nationally representative data from ethiopia to document changes in household food consumption patterns over a period of unprecedented economic growth we find that while the share of food in the total consumption basket is declining food quantities and calorie intakes have considerably increased between 1996 and 2011 a decomposition analysis suggests that this was mostly driven by improvements in household incomes a finding that is consistent across the calorie distribution also the content of the food basket is changing with a gradual shift toward high value foods such as animal products fruits and vegetables and processed foods overall this diet transformation has important implications for the food security debate and for agricultural and food policy in the country

the changing structure of africa s economies data from the groningen growth and development center s africa sector database and the demographic and health surveys reveals that much of africa s recent growth and poverty reduction has been associated with a substantive decline in the share of the labor force engaged in agriculture this decline is most pronounced for rural females over the age of 25 who have a primary education it has been accompanied by a systematic increase in the productivity of the labor force as it has moved from low productivity agriculture to higher productivity services and manufacturing although the employment share in manufacturing is not expanding rapidly in most of the low income african countries the employment share in manufacturing has not peaked and is still expanding albeit from very low levels more work is needed to understand the implications of these shifts in employment shares for future growth and development in africa south of the sahara

intergenerational top income mobility in sweden capitalist dynasties in the land of equal opportunity this paper presents new evidence on intergenerational mobility at the top of the income and earnings distributions using a large dataset of matched father son pairs in sweden we find that intergenerational transmission is very strong at the top more so for income than for earnings at the extreme top top 0 1 income transmission is remarkable with an intergenerational elasticity of approximately 0 9 we also study potential transmission mechanisms and find that iq non cognitive skills and education of the sons are all unlikely channels in explaining the strong transmission within the top percentile increases in the income of the fathers if they are related at all are negatively associated with these variables wealth on the other hand has a significantly positive association our results suggest that sweden known for having relatively high intergenerational mobility in general is a society in which transmission remains strong at the very top of the distribution and wealth is the most likely channel

labor productivity and employment gaps in sub saharan africa drawing on a new set of nationally representative internationally comparable household surveys this paper provides an overview of key features of structural transformation labor allocation and labor productivity in four african economies new micro based measures of sector labor allocation and cross sector productivity differentials describe the incentives households face when allocating their labor these measures are similar to national accounts based measures that are typically used to characterize structural changes in african economies however because agricultural workers supply far fewer hours of labor per year than do workers in other sectors productivity gaps disappear almost entirely when expressed on a per hour basis what look like large productivity gaps in national accounts data could really be employment gaps calling into question the prospective gains that laborers can achieve through structural transformation these employment gaps along with the strong linkages observed between rural non farm activities and primary agricultural production highlight agriculture s continued relevance to structural change in sub saharan africa

the market for public office why the indian state is not better at development abstract how and why officials are transferred from one post to another can in india does have far reaching consequences for the effectiveness of public service organizations such as irrigation agriculture forestry and soil conservation departments the transfer mechanism used in many departments of indian states involves a kind of internal labor market a truer market than in the way that term is often used by labor market economists it allows pressures for corrupt behavior to bear down on the incumbents of certain posts and itself amplifies those pressures frequently the pressures on officials to be corrupt cause them to behave in ways contrary to the ostensible objectives of their departments why is the indian state not better at promoting development to an important degree because of the corruption transfer mechanism and its effects on bureaucratic initiatives

returns to investment in education a global update the author updates compilations of rate of return estimates to investment in education published since 1985 and discusses methodological issues surrounding those estimates some key patterns among the three main levels of education primary education continues to exhibit the highest social profitability in all world regions private returns are considerably higher than social returns because of the public subsidization of education the degree of public subsidy increases with the level of education which is regressive social and private returns at all levels generally decline by the level of a country s per capita income overall the returns to female education are higher than those to male education but at individual levels of education the pattern is more mixed the returns to the academic secondary school track are higher than the vocational track since unit cost of vocational education is much higher and the returns for those who work in the private competitive sector of the economy are higher than in the public noncompetitive sector and the returns in the self employment unregulated sector of the economy are higher than in the dependent employment sector controversies in the literature are discussed in the light of the new evidence the undisputable and universal positive correlation between education and earnings can be interpreted in many ways the causation issue on whether education really affects earnings can be answered only with experimental data generated by randomly exposing different people to various amounts of education given the fact that moral and pragmatic considerations prevent the generation of such pure data researchers have to make do with indirect inferences or natural experiments some have been attempted the author looks at the research on overeducation or surplus schooling the conclusions reinforce earlier patterns they confirm that primary education continues to be the number one investment priority in developing countries they also show that educating females is marginally more profitable than educating males that the academic secondary school curriculum is a better investment than the technical vocational tract and that the returns to education obey the same rules as investment in conventional capital that is they decline as investment is expanded