a profile of new venture success and failure in an emerging industry abstract this study examined three types of factors 1 the characteristics of the lead entrepreneur 2 startup processes undertaken during the founding of the firm and 3 firm behaviors after start up including management practices and strategic behaviors associated with new venture success and failure the research involved a field study of 26 small young firms 13 successful and 13 less successful or failed each engaged in the distribution of fresh juices in eight metropolitan centers about 30 of the total market in the united states both quantitative and qualitative data were collected through field work at each firm location a statistical analysis of data collected in a structured questionnaire was the primary method for testing the factors case studies of all of the firms were developed to provide qualitative support for the quantitative findings of the study results from these analyses indicated significant differences between successful and unsuccessful firms in all three categories lead entrepreneurs in successful firms were more likely to have been raised by entrepreneurial parents have had a broader business and more prior startup experience and believed they had less control of their success in business than unsuccessful entrepreneurs successful entrepreneurs seek to reduce risk in their businesses they work long hours have a personal investment in the firm and are good communicators successful firms were those initiated with ambitious goals lead entrepreneurs had a clear broad business idea which provided the adaptive torque required to overcome adversity confrontation and often a troubled financial condition effective startup or purchase required broad planning efforts that considered all aspects of the industry and firm successful firms spent more time planning 237 hours than unsuccessful firms 85 hours the use of outside professionals and advisors for help in solving specific problems during startup was important for success as well as the advice and information provided by other industry participants particularly customers and suppliers most ventures did not have written business plans nearly all purchased firms failed buyers of competitively troubled firms were negatively displaced generally unemployed managers who lacked broad management experience and while often well educated had no prior experience in purchasing a business successful firms were found to be more flexible participative and adaptive organizations these firms had employees who could perform the work duties of others and were likely to be managed in a way that provided these workers with the flexibility to modify their jobs to adapt to changing industry and organizational conditions lead entrepreneurs of successful firms were likely to spend more time communicating with partners customers suppliers and employees than the lead entrepreneurs of unsuccessful firms successful firms sought to become larger firms and embarked upon sales to broad sectors of the market successful firms achieved high market shares with market shares came higher financial returns less successful firms were restricted to narrow market sectors consisting of smaller customers and those more difficult to service while customer service remained an important concern the commodity nature of fresh juices failed to support differentiation and the narrowly focused firm was typified by high product costs and unprofitable operations

the bond old bond spread abstract i document the profits on a trade that is long the old 30 year treasury bond and short the new 30 year treasury bond and is rolled over every auction cycle from june 1995 to november 1999 despite the systematic convergence of the spread over the auction cycle the average profits are close to zero the difference in repo market financing rates between the two bonds is a significant cost of carry in this trade i show that variation in the bond old bond spread is driven by the treasury supply of 30 year bonds as well as aggregate factors affecting investors preference for liquid assets

bond liquidity premia recent asset pricing models of limits to arbitrage emphasize the role of funding conditions faced by financial intermediaries in the us the repo market is the key funding market then the premium of on the run u s treasury bonds should share a common component with risk premia in other markets

contagion as a wealth effect financial contagion is described as a wealth effect in a continuous time model with two risky assets and three types of traders noise traders trade randomly in one market long term investors provide liquidity using a linear rule based on fundamentals convergence traders with logarithmic utility trade optimally in both markets asset price dynamics are endogenously determined numerically as functions of endogenous wealth and exogenous noise when convergence traders lose money they liquidate positions in both markets this creates contagion in that returns become more volatile and more correlated contagion reduces benefits from portfolio diversification and raises issues for risk management during the f inancial panic associated with the default of the russian government in august 1998 and the subsequent collapse of the hedge fund long term capital management numerous hedge funds banks and securities firms tried simultaneously to reduce exposures to a variety of financial instruments such as russian bonds brazilian stocks u s mortgages spreads between on therun and off the run government securities and spreads between swaps and u s treasuries although the fundamental values of these positions would appear to have little correlation during this financial crisis the asset prices in these markets exhibited the following common empirical pattern 1 financial intermediaries suffered losses as prices moved against their positions 2 market depth and liquidity decreased simultaneously in several markets 3 the volatility of prices increased simultaneously in several markets and

does my contribution to your crowdfunding project matter abstract in this study we consider the dynamics of crowdfunding project support over time we propose that people support crowdfunding projects financially when they believe that their contribution will make an impact because perceptions of impact are positively related to goal proximity we predict that support for a crowdfunding project will increase as the project funding approaches its target goal in addition because motivation decreases after a goal is attained we further predict that crowdfunding contributions will significantly decrease after the target goal is reached we find strong support for these hypotheses from a large scale field study involving kickstarter furthermore we show that several factors related to the expected impact moderate the effects of goal proximity that is the positive effect of goal proximity on project support is accentuated if the project is nearing its funding deadline if the target goal is relatively small or if the project has limited early support

a comparison of japanese and u s firms completing initial public offerings abstract we set out to examine firms breaking into the top tier of for profit companies in the u s and japan to find differences across the two groups to accomplish this we conducted a questionnaire survey of companies that had recently undergone an initial public offering ipo in each country and compared them on characteristics frequently associated with new firms as we expected even when the different sizes of the two economies were taken into account there were considerably fewer listings in japan than in the u s one reason for this is that the listing requirements for young japanese firms although not stricter are much more strictly enforced hence fewer japanese firms are able to list our results show that the japanese firms were markedly different from their u s counterparts on several characteristics they tended to be older and larger which is consistent with more stringent listing requirements in japan they were also much more often led by their original founders this is a surprising result given that the japanese firms being older had longer to lose their founders when a successor to the founder was president it was much more often a relative of the founder than in the u s the japanese founders rated themselves higher on relatively emotional characteristics such as aggressiveness paternalism and charisma than did either the u s presidents or the japanese nonfounder presidents the japanese firms relied solely on the president for decision making prior to the ipo more often than the u s firms did however the japanese firms also moved in greater numbers to group decision making around the time of the ipo the post ipo investment strategies of the japanese firms were characterized by a focus on new product development an increase in r d spending and investment in the company s capital plant in contrast the u s firms reported more interest in exploiting their existing market and buying other companies usually leaving r d spending at its pre ipo level overall it is surprising that on many characteristics the japanese ipos tended to fall more to the extreme associated with new companies than did the u s firms they were dominated by founder influence the founders were apparently highly emotional their management style was initially autocratic and their strategies targeted innovation and internal development as avenues to growth this pattern is consistent with a prior hypothesis that the lack of structural support for new firms in japan results in only the most extreme personalities pursuing and succeeding in company formation for researchers a significant implication of this research is that japanese ventures may not behave according to the same rules as u s ventures research samples that fail to distinguish nationality may obscure cross regional variations for practitioners the major lesson is that a japanese venture is likely to be much different from one in the u s dealing with one is probably even more unlike dealing with an established company than working with a u s start up might be

how are stock prices affected by the location of trade abstract we examine pairs of large siamese twin companies whose stocks are traded around the world but have different trading and ownership habitats twins pool their cash flows so with integrated markets twin stocks should move together however the difference between the prices of twin stocks appears to be correlated with the markets on which they are traded most i e a twin s relative price rises when the market on which it is traded relatively intensively rises we examine several explanations of this phenomenon including the discretionary use of dividend income by parent companies differences in parent expenditures voting rights currency fluctuations ex dividend date timing issues and tax induced investor heterogeneity only the last hypothesis can explain some but not all of the empirical facts we conjecture that a country specific sentiment shocks might affect share intensity b investors are rational but markets are segmented by frictions other than international transactions costs such as agency problems

the pecking order of segmentation and liquidity injection policies in a model of contagious crises we study a two country setting in which leveraged investors generate fire sale externalities leading to financial crises and contagion governments can affect the incidence of financial crisis and the degree of contagion by injecting public liquidity and additionally by segmenting the countries liquidity markets we show that segmentation allows a country to avoid contagion and fend off mild financial crises caused by a small shock to its liquidity demand at the cost of exposing it to more severe financial crises caused by a large shock we derive a pecking order result whereby segmentation is a second best measure that coordinated governments should use only when tax capacity constrains them from injecting liquidity even when segmentation is welfare enhancing it should be applied to public liquidity alone never restricting the free flow of private liquidity across countries uncoordinated governments tend to use segmentation excessively

belief disagreements and collateral constraints belief disagreements have been suggested as a major contributing factor to the recent subprime mortgage crisis this paper theoretically evaluates this hypothesis i assume that optimists have limited wealth and take on leverage so as to take positions in line with their beliefs to have a significant effect on asset prices they need to borrow from traders with pessimistic beliefs using loans collateralized by the asset itself since pessimists do not value the collateral as much as optimists do they are reluctant to lend which provides an endogenous constraint on optimists ability to borrow and to influence asset prices i demonstrate that the tightness of this constraint depends on the nature of belief disagreements optimism concerning the probability of downside states has no or little effect on asset prices because these types of optimism are disciplined by this constraint instead optimism concerning the relative probability of upside states could have significant effects on asset prices this asymmetric disciplining effect is robust to allowing for short selling because pessimists that borrow the asset face a similar endogenous constraint these results emphasize that what investors disagree about matters for asset prices to a greater extent than the level of disagreements when richer contracts are available relatively complex contracts that resemble some of the recent financial innovations in the mortgage market endogenously emerge to facilitate betting

social labeling by competing ngos a model with multiple issues and entry in many settings firms rely on nongovernmental organizations ngos to certify prosocial attributes embodied in their products we provide a model of competition between ngos in the provision of labeling services competition between a fixed number of ngos features a race to the top in labeling standards but entry of ngos offering new labels pushes standards down in a wide range of settings ngo entry and competition results in too many labels being adopted with each label being too stringent compared to a setting in which firms can credibly communicate the social attributes of their products labels demand greater prosocial behavior than is desired by firms although with proliferation of the number of labels this discrepancy disappears in contrast to existing models firms may engage in excessive corporate social responsibility when they rely on an ngo as a certifying intermediary this paper was accepted by bruno cassiman business strategy

the role of portfolio constraints in the international propagation of shocks we study the comovement among stock prices and exchange rates in a three good three country centre periphery dynamic equilibrium model in which the centre s agents face portfolio constraints we characterize equilibrium in closed form for a broad class of portfolio constraints solving for stock prices terms of trade and portfolio holdings we show that portfolio constraints generate wealth transfers between the periphery countries and the centre which increase the comovement of the stock prices across the periphery we associate this excess comovement caused by portfolio constraints with the phenomenon known as contagion the model generates predictions consistent with other important empirical results such as amplification and flight to quality effects copyright 2008 wiley blackwell

convergence trading with wealth effects an amplification mechanism in financial markets abstract i study convergence traders with logarithmic utility in a continuous time equilibrium model in general convergence traders reduce asset price volatility and provide liquidity by taking risky positions against noise trading however when an unfavorable shock causes them to suffer capital losses thus eroding their risk bearing capacity they liquidate their positions thereby amplifying the original shock in extreme circumstances this wealth effect causes convergence traders to be destabilizing in that they trade in exactly the same direction as noise traders this situation is consistent with the near collapse of long term capital management in 1998

one chance in a million altruism and the bone marrow registry stem cell transplants save lives of many patients with blood diseases donation is painful but rarely has lasting adverse effects patients can accept transplants only from donors with compatible immune systems those lacking a sibling match must seek donations from the general population the probability that two unrelated persons are compatible is less than 1 10 000 health authorities maintain a registry of several million genetically tested potential donors who agree to donate if asked we find that the benefits of adding registrants of every race exceed costs we also explore the peculiar structure of voluntary public good provision that faces potential donors jel d64 h41 i11 aq 1

a theory of impact philanthropy this article develops a new model of altruism called impact philanthropy an impact philanthropist is someone who wants to personally make a difference while that motive is straightforward its logical implications are significantly different from other models of philanthropy for example the contributions of other donors can reduce an impact philanthropist s charitable fulfillment as a result cooperation among impact philanthropists can reduce aggregate giving in addition impact philanthropy can lead to a codependent relationship between givers and receivers in which both benefit from the other finally the model suggests a conflict between charitable organizations and its donors concerning the allocation of charitable gifts in particular a charitable organization prefers to spread a donor s contribution across many goods whereas a donor prefers to target his or her contribution at a specific good d 2003 elsevier b v all rights reserved

a macroeconomic model with a financial sector this paper studies a macroeconomic model in which financial experts borrow from less productive agents we pursue four sets of results i the economy is prone to instability and occasionally enters volatile episodes as volatility spikes agents precautionary motive increases depressing prices even further log linear approximations fail to capture these non linear effects that can cause economies to be significantly depressed for long periods of time ii endogenous risk during volatile episodes increases asset price correlations iii financial experts impose a negative externality on each other and on the labor sector by not maintaining adequate capital cushion and funding structure iv while risk sharing within the financial sector through securitization and derivatives contracts reduces many inefficiencies it can also amlify systemic risks

collateral requirements and asset prices many assets derive their value not only from future cash flows but also from their ability to serve as collateral in this article we investigate this collateral premium and its impact on asset returns in an infinite horizon general equilibrium model with heterogeneous agents we document that borrowing against collateral substantially increases the return volatility of long lived assets moreover otherwise identical assets with different degrees of collateralizability exhibit substantially different return dynamics because their prices contain a sizable collateral premium that varies over time this premium can be positive even for assets that never pay dividends

new firms societal contribution versus survival potential abstract new business firms are now considered a major source of new jobs economic growth technical innovation and economic flexibility they may provide a major strategic advantage for the united states in world competition a more complete precise understanding of the dynamics of new firm development their societal contributions and factors affecting their survival has considerable policy and managerial significance a study of new firm contributions and survival was completed to determine whether the same factors would account for both they do not the research began with a substantial body of descriptive information on 551 new firms initiated in minnesota between 1978 and 1984 the initial data were collected in the summer of 1984 a one year follow up was completed in 1985 to determine new firm survival the sample was representative of all major industry sectors and all regions of the state about 60 were located in the minneapolis st paul urban area attempts to predict current 1984 contributions indicated that age was not a significant factor older new firms did not contribute more than younger new firms the developmental pattern primarily the average annual growth rate was highly related to sales or jobs provided in 1984 next most significant was the industry of the new firm manufacturing distributive services and business producer service new firms provided more significant contributions the one year follow up was able to determine the survival status of 548 of the 551 firms slightly less than 10 48 had not survived major factors related to survival appeared to be age high death rates at 2 3 years and attention to financial matters

new ventures and employment growth abstract the research studied the extent to which the employment size of a new firm is set the start how many subsequently grow and whether those that survive and grow have any identifiable characteristics answers to these questions would help to determine whether future assistance programs aimed at improving the performance of new firms should concentrate on the actual start up process or on the first few years of trading the study was pan of a series conducted in st joseph county indiana a county that had experienced the same economic decline as the rest of the midwest rust belt of the united states it formed part of a community effort named project future to develop a strategy for industrial regeneration the series first examined the characteristics of the new firm population during the years 1976 1982 birley 1985 1986 and two results emerged that were pertinent to this study first 92 of the firms that ceased trading in the first two years were the smaller ones employing less than 20 people second the entrepreneur in the county tended to use only the informal networks of family and friends when gathering the resources of the firm rather than the formal networks of accountants lawyers realtors and banks the question that remained therefore and which formed the basis of this article was the extent to which it was possible to identify and thus focus the strategy upon those firms or industrial sectors that exhibited growth characteristics three research questions were posed how many tended to grow during the first few formative years what was the rate of growth and on what dimensions did it occur and when did growth occur were there differences in the growth of firms of different ages the primary measure of growth used was that of employment for both the start of the firm and at the time the questionnaire was administered 1983 data were collected on the number of owners part time and full time and on the number of employees both part time and full time and on their level of skill financial data included sales level profits level and forecast sales trend indicators of possible change were either an altered legal structure or a move of premises control variables included incubator characteristics industry and supplier and customer geographic base the results of the study show that for the majority of the firms employment size was set at the start no aggregate growth occurred in either full time or part time jobs nor was there any apparent age effect during the six years studied firms that had increased the number of employees were of all ages those firms that grew sales during the early years did so by increasing the customer base and without generating further jobs analyzing growth by industry only one significant result emerged entrepreneurs from smaller companies tended to set up in competition with their incubator firm while those from larger firms tended to start firms with no apparent relationship to their previous employment the major inference from this study is that growth would appear not to be a primary objective of the entrepreneur further research to test these results is clearly necessary should they be replicated elsewhere however future strategies to improve the job generation capabilities of new firms would be most fruitful if directed at building a solid foundation for all firms rather than trying the impossible task of picking winners such assistance can only be provided at the time that the resources necessary for the successful launch of the firm premises equipment orders employees money are being assembled since almost all of these firms are local in nature strategies that devise specific schemes tailored to meet local needs and using local people are most appropriate by contrast the small number of high growth firms should be easily identifiable in the community and assisted individually

the tips treasury bond puzzle we show that the price of a treasury bond and an inflation swapped treasury inflation protected securities tips issue exactly replicating the cash flows of the treasury bond can differ by more than 20 per 100 notional treasury bonds are almost always overvalued relative to tips total tips treasury mispricing has exceeded 56 billion representing nearly 8 of the total amount of tips outstanding we find direct evidence that the mispricing narrows as additional capital flows into the markets this provides strong support for the slow moving capital explanation of arbitrage persistence

dynamic competitive economies with complete markets and collateral constraints in this article we examine the competitive equilibria of a dynamic stochastic economy with complete markets and collateral constraints we show that provided the sets of asset pay offs and of collateral levels are sufficiently rich the equilibrium allocations with sequential trades and collateral constraints are equivalent to those obtained in arrow debreu markets subject to a series of limited pledgeability constraints we provide both necessary and sufficient conditions for equilibria to be pareto efficient and show that when collateral is scarce equilibria are not only pareto inefficient but also often constrained inefficient in the sense that imposing tighter borrowing restrictions can make everybody in the economy better off we derive sufficient conditions for the existence of markov equilibria and for the case of two agents for the existence of equilibria that have finite support these equilibria can be computed with arbitrary accuracy and the model is very tractable

the dynamics of financially constrained arbitrage we develop a model of financially constrained arbitrage and use it to study the dynamics of arbitrage capital liquidity and asset prices arbitrageurs exploit price discrepancies between assets traded in segmented markets and in doing so provide liquidity to investors a collateral constraint limits their positions as a function of capital we show that the dynamics of arbitrage activity are self correcting following a shock that depletes arbitrage capital profitability increases and this allows capital to be gradually replenished spreads increase more and recover faster for more volatile trades although arbitrageurs cut their positions in these trades the least when arbitrage capital is more mobile across markets liquidity in each market generally becomes less volatile but the reverse may hold for aggregate liquidity because of mobility induced contagion

international versus domestic entrepreneurship new venture strategic behavior and industry structure abstract international entrepreneurship is defined in this study as the development of international new ventures or start ups that from their inception engage in international business thus viewing their operating domain as international from the initial stages of the firm s operation one hundred and eighty eight new venture firms in the computer and communications equipment manufacturing industries are classified according to the percentage of their sales in the international market ventures with no sales derived from international activities are considered domestic new ventures and ventures with sales from international activities comprising greater than 5 of total sales are considered international new ventures the strategy and industry structure profiles of international new ventures are significantly different from domestic new ventures the internationals pursue much broader market based strategies seeking a strategy of broad market coverage through developing and controlling numerous distribution channels serving numerous customers in diverse market segments and developing high market or product visibility the internationals also emphasize a more aggressive entry strategy building on outside financial and production resources to enter numerous geographical markets on a large scale securing patent technology is also an important component of their strategy this suggests that the internationals compete by entering the industry on a large scale seeking to penetrate multiple markets with the recognition that external resources are necessary to support such an entry whereas both the domestics and the internationals characterize domestic competition as being relatively intense the international new ventures compete in industries with higher levels of international competition it is not clear from this research whether the new venture selects an industry with a high degree of international competition and therefore responds with an international orientation or because the new venture has an international orientation it perceives or recognizes a higher degree of international competition another industry structure difference is the internationals perceived higher degree of restrictiveness due to government regulation it is unclear whether this restrictiveness motivates new ventures to seek less regulated international environments or if it indicates that when competing internationally the new venture is confronted with increased regulatory requirements domestic new ventures are distinguished by their emphasis on a production expansion strategy and customer specialization strategy the production specialization strategy consists of focusing on limited geographical markets maintaining excess capacity and pursuing forward integration the customer specialization strategy incorporates the production of a specialty product that is purchased infrequently thus for both of the domestic strategies a consistent closeness between the producer and consumer is implied this may be an important basis underlining the new venture s decision to compete in an exclusive domestic context this study offers initial support for the notion of international entrepreneurship by its findings that there are significant differences between new venture firms competing domestically and new ventures choosing to also enter international markets

the seemingly anomalous price behavior of royal dutch shell and unilever n v plc abstract we examine two anglo dutch groups the shares of whose parents trade on several international exchanges within each group the parents corporate charters mandate the division of cash flows available for distribution this implies a specific ratio for the market prices of their securities we document persistent deviations from these ratios on both the new york and london exchanges the direction and magnitude of the mispricing are common to both pairs of stocks and both markets nevertheless we find no evidence of profitable intra or intermarket trading rules

the effect of firm formation and growth on job creation in the united states abstract this paper demonstrates the importance of new firm formation to economic growth it begins by providing data that describe the united states as having had greater employment growth than most developed nations of the world over the last 25 years and focuses upon why job growth in the united states has exceeded that of other nations job creation by firm size we first examine the data on the relative contribution of small and large firms to u s job growth by summarizing research that is uniformly expressed in two year periods and defines small firms as those with less than 100 employees conclusive evidence emerges that small firms are the major sources of net new creation firm entry exit rates and economic growth further understanding of small firm job creation is obtained when we examine firm entry and exit data here we find that firm entry rates vary considerably from period to period range 10 4 12 5 whereas exit rates remain relatively stable from period to period range 9 6 10 4 thus variation in entrepreneurial activity the formation of new firms is the major cause of net increases in the number firms in both the united states and the united kingdom net firm increases are positively related to overall economic activity firm entry exit and job creation further exploration of this correlation can be conducted by examining job creation and loss defined by source entries expansions exits and contractions the data for 1976 through 1984 shown here demonstrate that new entries account for 74 0 of the 50 8 million new jobs created expansions of existing firms accounted for 26 0 small firms less than 500 employees produced 54 6 of the entry jobs and 56 8 of the expansion jobs on the other hand job losses totaled 33 8 million 79 0 due to exits and 21 0 to contractions small firms account for 53 6 of the jobs lost from exits and 47 8 of those lost from contractions overall small firms account for 60 5 of the 17 0 million net new jobs given the data that show correlation between net firm formation rates and economic growth the finding that entry rates vary more than exit rates and the finding that new entries create most of the new jobs it can be concluded that firm formation especially small firm formation is a significant factor in economic growth increases in small firm formation rates have a significant effect on net job creation schumpeter s model and observed market turbulance another finding from this data on job creation by entry expansion exit and contraction is the large amount of job creation and destruction activity taking place for the period studied three jobs were created and two jobs destroyed for each net new job created this describes a turbulent job market with many workers moving from job to job the labor markets are much less stable that normally envisioned this observed phenomenon fits well with schumpeter s theory of capitalism he proposes that capitalistic growth occurs because entrepreneurs use innovations to form new firms which enter existing markets when successful these growing new firms destroy existing market structures causing decline of established firms while creating increased demand and producing overall economic growth if schumpeter is correct one would expect to find high rates of firm formation and failure and large numbers of jobs created by new firms while many jobs are lost by exits and contractions of established firms the findings reported here show this government policy affects on entry exit our results also show that formation of small new firms is a necessary requirement for economic growth historically however government policy has not considered small firm entry as a central issue thus government policies can and have had a negative effect on entry rates and therefore upon economic growth rates furthermore high rates of new firm formation cause a great deal of turbulence in labor markets with three jobs created and two lost for every one net new job such labor turbulence may be seen by policy makers as undesirable as it entails considerable worker movement from job to job as such policy makers have recently proposed policies to protect workers from job loss due to contractions and exits however such protection policies as demonstrated in recent european experience will also construct barriers to entrepreneurial entry the result may be a decline in small firm entry and a decline in economic growth instead of protecting specific jobs appropriate policies are those that facilitate movement of workers from job to job adequate unemployment compensation for short term unemployment fully vested and portable pension plans and retraining programs are examples of policies that allow the labor market to remain flexible while reducing the negative effect on those who lose jobs

dynamic equilibrium with two stocks heterogeneous investors and portfolio constraints we study dynamic equilibrium in a lucas economy with two stocks two heterogeneous constant relative risk aversion investors and portfolio constraints we focus on margin and leverage constraints which restrict access to credit we find a positive relationship between the amount of leverage in the economy and magnitudes of stock return correlations and volatilities tighter constraints generate rich patterns in correlations and volatilities make them less countercyclical increase risk premia proportionally to assets margins and increase prices of low margin assets more than prices of high margin assets we derive closed form solutions for the unconstrained case and the case of leverage constraints

media coverage and charitable giving after the 2004 tsunami author affiliation philip h brown department of economics colby college 5246 mayflower hill waterville me 04901 usa e mail phbrown colby edu corresponding author jessica h minty analysis group inc 111 huntington avenue 10th floor boston ma 02199 usa e mail jminty analysisgroup com acknowledgment we are grateful to claudio agostini michael donihue martin farnham rebecca graninger daniel hamermesh melanie siben tom tietenberg andreas waldkirch seminar participants at colby college and two anonymous referees for numerous helpful comments and suggestions we would also like to acknowledge reuters alertnet and chuck lakin for their assistance in identifying data sources and care usa catholic relief services mercy corps surfaid international and four other relief agencies for providing data for the purpose of this research finally philip h brown would like to thank the international food policy research institute for sabbatical support during the preparation of this manuscript 1 introductionrelief workers have long believed in the causal relationship between media coverage of humanitarian crises and charitable giving to relief agencies for example private donations to relief agencies during the early stages of the 1994 rwandan genocide were sufficient to support approximately one million displaced rwandans but after the tribulations of o j simpson and tanya harding eclipsed rwanda in the media funding for relief activities began to decline the perception among many aid workers in the camps for rwandan refugees including one of the authors was that the media had turned its back on the crisis with potentially dire consequences 1while anecdotal evidence abounds few studies have systematically assessed the relationship between media coverage and the behavior of private donors and those that do suffer from important analytical shortcomings for example an analysis undertaken by the institute for philanthropy finds that 14 of 15 surveyed british philanthropists believe that the media has the power to encourage private giving with 11 of the 15 being inspired to make charitable donations themselves breeze 2005 similarly olsen carstenson and hoyen 2003 find a high correlation between the total number of relevant articles in western newspapers and the total amount of humanitarian assistance allocated to victims of the flooding in mozambique in 2000 and the cyclone in eastern india in 1999 unfortunately neither sample is large enough to make generalizations nor is there any attempt to quantify the magnitude of the causal relationship in part the difficulty in quantifying the relationship stems from disentangling the effect of new developments in stories covered in the media from the pure effect of media coverage returning to the rwanda case the former is tantamount to asking what is the combined effect of 10 000 additional deaths and a five minute news story on donations to u s charities while the latter is equivalent to asking given that 10 000 people were killed what is the effect of increasing the news story from five minutes to six in this paper we use the december 26 2004 tsunami as a case study to quantify the causal effect of media coverage on donations to charity specifically we consider the effects of reporting on three nightly network news broadcasts and articles in two prominent newspapers on private donations to seven u s relief agencies to eliminate the time lag between when news reports are seen or read and when donations are received by relief agencies we focus exclusively on donations made via the internet we also control for donor fatigue tax incentives and weekends to better isolate the effect of media coverage finally to alleviate simultaneity concerns and omitted variable bias including new developments in the tsunami story itself we use announcements of casualties among u

capital mobility and asset pricing we present a model for the equilibrium movement of capital between asset markets that are distinguished only by the levels of capital invested in each investment in that market with the greatest amount of capital earns the lowest risk premium intermediaries optimally trade off the costs of intermediation against fees that depend on the gain they can offer to investors for moving their capital to the market with the higher mean return the bargaining power of an investor depends on potential access to alternative intermediaries in equilibrium the speeds of adjustment of mean returns and of capital between the two markets are increasing in the degree to which capital is imbalanced between the two markets and can be reduced by competition among intermediaries

the intergenerational transmission of generosity abstract this paper estimates the correlation between the generosity of parents and the generosity of their adult children using regression models of adult children s charitable giving new charitable giving data are collected in the panel study of income dynamics and used to estimate the regression models the regression models are estimated using a wide variety of techniques and specification tests and the strength of the intergenerational giving correlations is compared with intergenerational correlations in income wealth and consumption expenditure from the same sample using the same set of controls we find the religious giving of parents and children to be strongly correlated as strongly correlated as are their income and wealth the correlation in the secular giving e g giving to the united way educational institutions for poverty relief of parents and children is smaller similar in magnitude to the intergenerational correlation in consumption parents religious giving is positively associated with children s secular giving but in a more limited sense overall the results are consistent with generosity emerging at least in part from the influence of parental charitable behavior in contrast to intergenerational models in which parental generosity towards their children can undo government transfer policy ricardian equivalence these results suggest that parental generosity towards charitable organizations might reinforce government policies such as tax incentives aimed at encouraging voluntary transfers

intermediary asset pricing abstract we model the dynamics of risk premia during crises in asset markets where the marginal investor is a financial intermediary intermediaries face an equity capital constraint risk premia r

collateral constraints and asset prices abstract we study the effects of collateral constraints in an economy populated by investors with nonpledgeable labor incomes and heterogeneous preferences and beliefs we show that these constraints inflate stock prices and generate spikes and crashes in price dividend ratios and volatilities clustering of volatilities and leverage cycles they also lead to substantial decreases in interest rates and increases in sharpe ratios when investors are anxious about hitting constraints due to production crises in the economy furthermore stock prices have large collateral premiums over nonpledgeable incomes we derive asset prices and stationary distributions of the investors consumption shares in closed form

an experimental test of warm glow giving abstract this paper reports the results of an experimental test of the warm glow hypothesis a participant is presented with the opportunity to contribute from her own endowment to a charity of choice the experiment is designed so that a pure altruist has no incentive to donate the amount the designated charity will receive is preset any contribution by the participant crowds out dollar for dollar giving by the proctor we find that participants on average donated 20 of their endowments and that approximately 57 of the participants made a donation

leverage and default in binomial economies a complete characterization our paper provides a complete characterization of leverage and default in binomial economies with financial assets serving as collateral our binomial no default theorem states that any equilibrium is equivalent in real allocations and prices to another equilibrium in which there is no default thus actual default is irrelevant though the potential for default drives the equilibrium and limits borrowing this result is valid with arbitrary preferences and endowments contingent or noncontingent promises many assets and consumption goods production and multiple periods we also show that only no default equilibria would be selected if there were the slightest cost of using collateral or handling default our binomial leverage theorem shows that equilibrium loan to value ltv for noncontingent debt contracts is the ratio of the worst case return of the asset to the riskless gross rate of interest in binomial economies leverage is determined by down risk and not by volatility

bond returns liquidity and missing data this paper examines holding period returns to constant duration portfolios of u s govern ment notes and bonds and measures the return premium generated by liquidity differences in bonds the approach compares constant duration portfolios constructed in two distinct ways one using only bonds issued in the most recent treasury auction one using all other bonds comparisons of the resulting series are made meaningful by choosing narrow du ration ranges in the portfolio formation procedure this in turn induces a missing data problem in the created time series parameters of return distributions are therefore estimated employing a maximum likelihood framework that explicitly accounts for the missing data it is estimated that recently issued bonds are priced to return a premium of around 55 basis points per annum over otherwise equivalent instruments

rent extraction and prosocial behavior abstract we present controlled experimental evidence on how rent extraction by an administrator affects giving to non profit associations holding the price of giving constant we compare contributions between two conditions a rent extraction condition in which an administrator can expropriate a part of the contributions and a control condition without rent extraction we find that rent extraction strongly reduces average contributions studying the channels through which this effect operates we demonstrate that rent extraction has situational spillovers suggesting that it undermines the contributors general preference for giving in contrast we do not find evidence for negative reciprocity towards the administrator

more information is not always better the case of voluntary provision of environmental quality this paper adds to the literature on the voluntary provision of public goods by showing that the warm glow that individuals gain depends on the perceived relative effectiveness of contributions we use a new survey on pro environment behaviors attitudes and knowledge and find that individuals act in accordance with their beliefs regardless of whether or not these beliefs are accurate and engage more frequently in activities that have a higher perceived impact on environmental quality we find that low provision of the public good is greater among people who believe they cannot do much for the environment and do not consider themselves environmentalists

margin based asset pricing and deviations from the law of one price in a model with heterogeneous risk aversion agents facing margin constraints we show how securities required returns increase in both their betas and their margin requirements negative shocks to fundamentals make margin constraints bind lowering risk free rates and raising sharpe ratios of risky securities especially for high margin securities such a funding liquidity crisis gives rise to bases that is price gaps between securities with identical cash flows but different margins in the time series bases depend on the shadow cost of capital which can be captured through the interest rate spread between collateralized and uncollateralized loans and in the cross section they depend on relative margins we test the model empirically using the credit default swap bond bases and other deviations from the law of one price and use it to evaluate central banks lending facilities jel g01 g12 g13 e44 e50 the paramount role of funding constraints becomes particularly salient during liquidity crises with the one that started in 2007 being an excellent case in point banks unable to fund their operations closed down and the funding problems spread to other investors such as hedge funds that relied on bank funding therefore traditional liquidity providers became forced sellers interest rate spreads increased dramatically treasury rates dropped sharply and central banks stretched their balance sheets to facilitate funding these funding problems had significant asset pricing effects the most extreme example being the failure of the law of one price loop securities with nearly

a note on subsidizing gifts abstract altruistically motivated gifts involve a species of consumption externality donors obtain an altruistic benefit from the effect of their gifts on donees utility but do not take into account that the benefit to donees is itself relevant to social welfare the level of gift giving thus will be lower than is optimal a subsidy can correct this problem while compulsory transfers assuming the state lacks information about who is altruistic and bargaining between donors and donees cannot the rationale for subsidizing gifts offered here does not depend on whether the donee s activity is a public good as with gifts for medical research or whether the transfer tends to equalize the wealth of donors and donees factors emphasized in the exisitng literature on the subject

charitable motives and bidding in charity auctions research on bidding in auctions has generally relied on the assumption of self interested bidders this work relaxes that assumption in the context of charity auctions because understanding charitable motives has important implications for auction design and charities fundraising strategies this study investigates bidders specific types of charitable motives and the strength of these motives we carry out three controlled field experiments consisting of real life auctions conducted on a local internet auction site we use a novel design in which we simultaneously run charity and noncharity auctions for identical products and vary the percentage donated to charity results show that auctions with proceeds donated to charity lead to significantly higher selling prices a result due to a higher bidding by bidders with charitable motives rather than to increased bidder entry we also find that increased prices only occur when the charitable donation is a percentage of the auction revenue and that a fixed charitable donation associated with each auction has no effect on prices furthermore we find that prices are increasing in the percentage donated to charity we find considerable support for a model of voluntary shill like bidding where charitable bidders try to increase proceeds in charity auctions we also find that auctions with 25 of revenue donated to charity had higher net revenue than noncharity auctions hence companies may be able to use charity auctions as part of a corporate social responsibility strategy and at the same time increase profitability even though they donate part of the proceeds to charity

presidential address asset price dynamics with slow moving capital i describe asset price dynamics caused by the slow movement of investment capital to trading opportunities the pattern of price responses to supply or demand shocks typically involves a sharp reaction to the shock and a subsequent and more extended reversal the amplitude of the immediate price impact and the pattern of the subsequent recovery can reflect institutional impediments to immediate trade such as search costs for trading counterparties or time to raise capital by intermediaries i discuss special impediments to capital formation during the recent financial crisis that caused asset price distortions which subsided afterward after presenting examples of price reactions to supply shocks in normal market settings i offer a simple illustrative model of price dynamics associated with slow moving capital due to the presence of inattentive investors i address the implications for asset price dynamics of the apparent slow movement of investment capital to trading opportunities the arrival of new capital to an investment opportunity can be delayed by fractions of a second in some markets for example an electronic limit order book market for equities or by months in other markets such as that for catastrophe risk insurance accordingly prices respond to supply or demand shocks with a sharp reaction because of the relatively small subset of capital and thus risk bearing capacity that is immediately available to absorb a shock on short notice such a price impact is substantially reversed over time as additional capital becomes available the amplitude of the immediate price impact and the pattern of the subsequent recovery can reflect many sorts of attention costs to trade as well as institutional impediments to capital movement such as search costs for trading

from turmoil to crisis dislocations in the fx swap market before and after the failure of lehman brothers abstract this paper investigates dislocations in the foreign exchange fx swap market between the us dollar and three major european currencies after the failure of lehman brothers in september 2008 deviations from covered interest parity cip were negatively associated with the creditworthiness of us financial institutions as well as that of european institutions consistent with the deepening of a dollar liquidity problem into a global phenomenon us dollar term funding auctions by the ecb snb and boe as well as the us federal reserve commitment to provide unlimited dollar swap lines are found to have ameliorated the fx swap market dislocations

the impact of public scrutiny on corporate philanthropy this paper proposes that a corporation s vulnerability to public scrutiny drives its corporate giving the hypothesis that companies donate for strategic motives is tested against the alternative that they do so for altruistic reasons court cases and news articles were selected as proxies for public scrutiny macroeconomic variables were used to gauge the level of public charitable need and test for altruism through examining the philanthropic behavior of 40 fortune 500 companies over 7 years this paper finds that companies are strategic and altruistic in their giving

ex ante commitments to give if you win exceed donations after a win abstract should fundraisers ask a banker to donate if he earns a bonus or wait and ask after the bonus is known standard eu theory predicts that these approaches are equivalent loss aversion and signaling models predict a larger commitment before the bonus is known theories of affect predict the reverse in five experiments incorporating lab and field elements n 1363 we solicited charitable donations from small lottery winnings varying the conditionality of donations between participants pooling across experiments participants are 23 more likely to commit to donate from the winning income and commit 25 more when asked before the lottery s outcome is determined relative to those asked to donate after they learn they have won these differences are strongly statistically significant this represents the first evidence on how pro social behavior extends to conditional commitments over uncertain income with implications for charitable fundraising giving pledges and experimental methodology

collateral motivated financial innovation collateral frictions have a profound effect on our economic landscape ranging from the design of financial securities laws and institutions to various rules and regulations we analyze a model with disagreement where securities and collateral requirements are endogenous it shows that the security that isolates the variable with disagreement is optimal in the sense that alternative securities cannot generate any trading in an economy with n states investors may introduce more than n securities and markets are still incomplete the model has several novel predictions on the behavior of basis the spread between the prices of an asset and its replicating portfolio

pareto optimal redistribution and private charity abstract when private charity exists and is motivated by utility interdependence a non pareto optimal outcome the free rider problem typically arises nevertheless incremental fiscal redistribution cannot achieve a paretian welfare improvement so long as private charity continues at positive levels donors respond to incremental fiscal redistribution by reducing their voluntary contributions by exactly a dollar for every dollar transferred in this way no net transfer is achieved unless incremental fiscal redistribution is pursued to the point where private contributions have been driven to zero alternatively a net transfer may be achieved by fiscal measures which affect donors marginal incentives to donate

giving overseas and public policy remarkable numbers of people give to overseas development charities the aim of this paper is to consider how such overseas giving is best modelled and the implications for public policy widely used theories of charitable giving based on warm glow or the provision of public goods provide insight but are not fully satisfactory as explanations of giving for the specific purpose of development instead an identification approach to individual giving is proposed here that combines the results focus of the public goods formulation with the scale of the warm glow model the theoretical model is used to examine the implications for public policy including the extent to which official aid crowds out private giving and how public policy should take account of private willingness to make charitable transfers overseas