labor market institutions and inflation volatility in the euro area despite having had the same currency for many years emu countries still have quite different inflation dynamics in this paper we explore one possible reason country specific labor market institutions giving rise to different inflation volatilities when unemployment insurance schemes differ as they do in emu reservation wages react differently in each country to area wide shocks this implies that real marginal costs and inflation also react differently we report evidence for emu countries supporting the existence of a cross country link over the cycle between labor market structures on the one side and real wages and inflation on the other we then build a dsge model that replicates the data evidence the inflation volatility differentials produced by asymmetric labor markets generate welfare losses at the currency area level of approximately 0 3 of steady state consumption

the economy impacts of korean ets with an emphasis on sectoral coverage based on a cge approach abstract south korea initiated an emissions trading scheme ets on january 1 2015 based on this environmental policy at the 21st conference of parties cop meeting the korean government announced that it would decrease carbon emissions 37 from business as usual bau levels by 2030 since this target is too ambitious for the korean economy a number of studies have analyzed the economic impacts of emissions trading in korea but few have distinguished between industries covered and not covered by the ets notwithstanding the lack of industry level data on quotas and emissions this study overcomes such shortcomings by converting a dataset of 525 firms covered by the south korea ets sk ets into a 28 sector database consistent with the global trade analysis project gtap classifications we implement a simulation of the sk ets with a computational general equilibrium cge model simulation results suggest that while sk ets has significant abatement effects 2 56 from the base case it only has mild negative impacts on gdp 0 41 and household consumption 0 11 industry output on average falls by 0 54 with the gas and air transport sectors most adversely affected the most noticeable price changes are from the electricity sector whose output price goes up by 3 75 it is noteworthy that because of the export oriented economy many global business leaders and politicians have argued that the ets will disadvantage exporting companies while the simulation results showed a higher trade surplus based on enhanced competitiveness

welfare cost of fluctuations when labor market search interacts with financial frictions we provide a quantitative assessment of welfare costs of fluctuations in a search model with financial frictions the matching process in the labor market leads positive shocks to reduce unemployment less than negative shocks increase it we show that the magnitude of this non linearity is magnified frictions this asymmetric effect of the business cycle leads to sizable welfare costs the model also accounts for the responsiveness of the job finding rate to the business cycle as financial frictions endogenously generate counter cyclical opportunity costs of opening a vacancy and wage sluggishness

job matching and on the job training conventional analysis predicts that workers pay part of their on the job training costs by accepting a lower starting wage and subsequently realize a return to this investment in the form of greater wage growth missing from the conventional treatment of on the job training is a discussion of the process by which heterogeneous workers are matched to jobs requiring varying amounts of training this matching process constitutes a key feature of the on the job training model presented in this article and tested with a unique data set containing extensive information concerning on the job training employer search wages and wage and productivity growth

the energy policy outlets for community acceptance of ecological investment in china abstract policy implication about satisfactions of energy use and housing are much sensitive to social discount rate changes which can increase the dissatisfaction of residential happiness because of an increasing price mechanism when per capita resource faces to decline we thus estimate the private expected rates of return on ecological investment to improve urban and peri urban environmental infrastructures are about to 7 54 and 18 37 respectively the endogeneities of income and saving rise can increase the uncertain part of private discount rate up to a higher estimated subjective social discount rate about 14 46 for urban or 8 86 for peri urban environmental infrastructures improvement the estimated time preference rate can be raised from 1 to 1 72 the prediction of these estimated private discount rate can ease at least 20 of the dissatisfaction to energy use and 10 of the dissatisfaction to housing conditions therefore we suggest opening the landscape rights to individual willingness to invest and providing options to let people pay a part of their pensions for temporal permits to living in some well served villages where are close to the places with advanced environmental amenities and being supported by central planning policy via the crowdfunding operation for improving environmental quality

successful employer search an empirical analysis of vacancy duration using micro data this paper provides the first estimates of the determinants of the duration of employer search in the uk we model duration until a vacancy is either successfully filled or withdrawn from the market the econometric techniques deal with multiple vacancies and unobserved heterogeneity dependent risks using flexible and parametric baseline hazards the hazards to filling and withdrawing exhibit negative and positive duration dependence respectively implying that the conditional probability of successful employer search decreases with duration we also find that nonmanual vacancies are less likely to fill consistent with there being skill shortages in the sample period

employer search training and vacancy duration we develop a model of optimal employer search strategy when information about match quality is endogenous the model is tested using four data sets two of which have not previously been used as theory predicts we find that when filling positions requiring more training employers search more intensively and extensively employers also search more extensively when hiring workers with more education and with prior experience these findings provide strong evidence of systematic variation in search strategies based on the characteristics of the positions and job applicants factors that influence employer search also affect the duration of a vacancy

minimum wages on the job training and wage growth using data from the employment opportunities pilot project we examine the relationships between minimum wages wage growth and on the job training we find that minimum wage jobs exhibit less wage growth than other jobs particularly for men we find no evidence however of a unique minimum wage effect on training opportunities we conclude that indirect methods of proxying training with wage growth can be misleading as they fail to distinguish whether the reduced wage growth of workers on minimum wage jobs results from their receiving less training than other workers or whether it is strictly a result of the wage determination process

editorial to the special issue sustainable energy policies in northeast asia abstract paris agreement in 2015 made a great milestone toward the sustainable development worldwide based on the bottom up market and performance oriented mechanism new climate regime on the paris agreement provides the optimal path control for toward the below 2 c target from pre industrial levels by decreasing substantial ghg emissions unfortunately the withdrawal of the usa from paris agreement may result in 13 gtco2 higher than its original 56 gt target 23 increase nonetheless the strong commitment by china and pro active participation of the northeast asian countries made a new hope against the global warming this special edition shall shed the light on the efforts by these countries based on the comparative analysis to result in the oriental model for the sustainable development and its energy policies especially urbanization became one of the hottest issues for the special issue and the differentiated diverse efforts by the governments are much emphasized in this issue

what determines china s crude oil importing trade patterns empirical evidences from 55 countries between 1992 and 2015 abstract this study develops a conceptual framework that synthesizes the supply demand price and openness of crude oil trade along with a list of traditional economic political and geographical factors to investigate the determinants of crude oil imports in emerging markets we test the framework using china s crude oil imports from 55 countries for the period from 1992 to 2015 using both static and dynamic panel data models we find that china s crude oil import is associated with exporting country s supply demand and price as well as its bilateral trade relationships these factors were found to affect china s import of crude oil from the middle east however only bilateral trade relationships affect its imports of crude oil from the asia pacific furthermore we do not find substantial evidence in this research to indicate that china s direct investment increases crude oil imports from those countries this article is part of a virtual special issue entitled comparing sustainable energy policies in northeast asia toward the harmonized public private partnership

unemployment insurance job queues and systematic job search an equilibrium approach the labor market effects of unemployment insurance ui have been viewed in several contexts by economists on the one hand the ui system of jobless benefits and experiencerated taxation of firms is seen as influencing firms decisions to lay off workers 9 10 24 2 key in such analyses is the degree to which firms layoffs are subsidized by an imperfect experience rating a tax system in which employers ui taxes increase by less than their workers benefits increase on the other hand many other studies of ui place primary focus on the worker although employer concern for worker well being plays a role even in the work on the impact of ui on firm layoff decisions each of these worker based studies is concerned with one of two issues 1 ui and compensating wage differentials 14 24 or 2 u i and the job search process first hutchens assumes that workers face a choice in the labor market between high wage high layoff probability firms and low wage low layoff probability firms 14 by reducing the cost of being laid off ui increases one s likelihood of choosing the former kind of job along these lines topel finds evidence that ui generosity substitutes for wages and therefore lowers the compensating differential associated with a high layoff job 23 second several authors have studied the effect of ui on job search this work recognizes that ui lowers the cost of searching and therefore raises the reservation wage expected unemployment duration and expected post unemployment wages 2 previous work on the impact of ui on firm layoff decisions has assumed either a layoff subsidy 9 or demand uncertainty 2 in order to generate layoffs and therefore a u i impact on layoffs in contrast to such work this paper views layoffs in an equilibrium context they occur in our model even with no layoff subsidy and or with no demand uncertainty layoffs are of value to the firm in our model since they correspond to workers rejected from a queue of potential trainees from the firm s point of view a queue of applicants may be desirable in order to lower

agricultural liberalisation and the least developed countries six fallacies today agriculture remains the most distorted sector of the world economy therefore agricultural liberalization in the doha negotiations is rightly the top priority but the public policy discourse on the subject remains fogged by a number of fallacies these fallacies probably originated with the leadership of the world bank but have now been embraced by the imf oecd oxfam and the leading academic critics of globalization the paper identifies six fallacies and offers evidence and analysis to debunk them 1 agricultural border protection and subsidies are largely a developedcountry phenomenon 2 developed country agricultural subsidies and protection hurt the poorest developing countries most 3 developed country subsidies and protection hurt the poor rural households in the poorest countries 4 developed country agricultural protection and subsidies constitute the principal barrier to the development of the poorest developing countries 5 agricultural protection reflects double standard and hypocrisy on the part of the developed countries 6 what the donor countries give with one hand aid they take away with the other farm subsidies

the relative effects of employed and unemployed job search a lthough many early models of job search assumed that job seekers were unemployed economists have come to recognize the importance of on the job search mattila 1974 for example found that roughly 60 of quitters experienced no unemployment between jobs implying that the majority of voluntary job changers engaged in on the job search the choice of search mode i e employed vs unemployed search has been modelled in the theoretical search literature barron and mccafferty 1977 burdett 1978 however there have been no attempts to estimate empirically the determinants of this choice 2 some researchers have however examined the resulting wages associated with these two types of search and found a greater wage return to employed than to unemployed search mattila 1969 black 1980 however because voluntarily unemployed search involves forgoing income burdett 1978 while employed search does not abstracting from voluntary reductions in hours incomemaximizing job seekers would never quit to search unless the expected net return to unemployed search exceeded that for employed search thus the previously mentioned empirical findings at first glance might appear to contradict the assumption of income maximization by job seekers because some workers do quit into unemployment 3 in this paper it is argued that previous attempts to compare the returns of employed and unemployed job search suffer from a selectivity problem specifically searchers who accept offers without experiencing any unemployment are likely to have unobservable variables such as informal job contacts and ability which will raise the relative return to employed search compared to that of voluntarily unemployed job seekers 4 providing an explanation for higher wages for on the job searchers than for unemployed searchers this paper estimates the relative wage effects of employed and unemployed search and the determinants of the choice of search mode i e employed vs unemployed search unlike earlier work mattila 1969 black 1980 the previously mentioned selectivity problems are accounted for this is the first attempt to estimate the determinants of choice of search mode 5 without adjusting for selectivity bias as regards employed vs unemployed search it is found that employed search is associated with greater expected wage offers than unemployed search controlling for measurable personal characteristics however accounting for selectivity the expected wage offer given unemployed search is greater than that given employed search finally the greater is the difference between the expected offer given unemployed and that given employed search the more likely one is to choose unemployed search these findings suggest that quitting to search unemployed may be a wealth maximizing decision received for publication november 5 1980 revision accepted for publication august 17 1981 university of illinois at urbana champaign and arizona state university respectively professor low is partially supported by a faculty grant from the graduate college at arizona state university the authors thank francine blau wallace hendricks and two anonymous referees for comments and suggestions i for a summary of this literature see lippman and mccall 1976 2 barron and mccafferty 1977 do estimate an aggregate time series model of the log of the proportion of quits entering unemployment as a function of the vacancy rate proxied by the help wanted advertising index however such a model ignores search that does not lead to quits and does not include variables beyond the vacancy rate that influence an individual s choice of search mode i it is also possible that the forgone earnings due to unemployed search could in principle be less than the possible savings in direct search costs due to unemployed search relative to employed search see burdett 1978 in this case a lower wage return to unemployed search could imply that quitting was based on income considerations further individuals may have quit for nonwage reasons 4 black 1980 found that other things equal those who planned to seek new employment but did not quit had significantly lower wage growth than those who did not plan to search and did not quit this finding strongly suggests the likelihood of a selectivity bias black 1980 p 227 black s 1976 1980 data the michigan panel study of income dynamics psid for his work on employed search did not allow him to distinguish employed and unemployed search

vacancy durations a model for employer s search this paper investigates a dutch data set on vacancy durations and numbers of applicants to enquire employers search strategies a nonsequential search process assumes that most vacancies are filled from a pool of applicants which is formed shortly after the posting of the vacancy the time spent on recruiting applicants and the duration of the selection process are estimated with a proportional hazard model via the arrival and attrition rates of applicants

why is it so difficult trade liberalization under the doha agenda many explanations have been offered for the current difficulties of the world trade organization wto in fact the system appears to have managed many of these challenges reasonably well including the increase in the number of members its mediaeval decision making procedures the changing geopolitical environment the rapid growth of preferential trade arrangements ptas the complexity of its agreements and concerns about erosion of unilateral preferences by contrast the near exhaustion of the traditional fuel of industrial country non agricultural tariffs the increasing importance of non trade concerns and incomplete adjustment to a new multi polar negotiating system appear to be important factors requiring further examination

winners and losers from regional integration agreements how are the benefits and costs of a customs union divided between member countries outcomes depend on the comparative advantage of members relative to each other and relative to the rest of the world countries with a comparative advantage between that of their partners and the rest of the world do better than countries with an extreme comparative advantage consequently integration between low income countries tends to lead to divergence of member country incomes while agreements between high income countries cause convergence results suggest that developing countries are likely to be better served by north south than by south south agreements

a selectivity model of employer size wage differentials this article investigates wage differentials for employees of different size firms utilizing an econometric methodology that allows the size of employer to be treated as endogenous in the context of discrete ordered employer size data as a result we are able to estimate i employer size wage gaps which are corrected for selectivity bias and ii the magnitude and direction of the selection bias decompositions of the resulting wage differentials are computed with comparisons of the conditional on sorting across employer size and unconditional wage gaps

systematic and random search a synthesis this paper synthesizes two models of search in the labor market systematic and random we construct and test a theoretical model in which the searcher is endowed with information on some possibly zero or all individual firms in the labor market as well as the overall wage offer distribution we test the model using a special wave of the 1976 current population survey the major theoretical results of our model are as follows searchers with lower stocks of knowledge about individual firms higher discount rates or having lower coverage by unemployment insurance are more likely to engage in random search activities

the congestion total factor energy efficiency of regions in taiwan abstract this study applies the congestion total factor energy efficiency model to analyze the energy efficiency of 20 administrative regions in taiwan from 2004 to 2013 by studying four kinds of energies amount of electricity for manufacturing industry use amount of electricity consumed for lighting amount of gasoline sales and amount of diesel sales the main findings are that i in terms of these four energies only taipei city taitung county and penghu county among the 20 administrative regions exhibit no phenomenon of energy input congestion during the whole data period ii more attention should be put on energy efficiency improvement in diesel use than on electricity for manufacturing industry use electricity consumption for lighting and gasoline usage and iii the energy efficiency outcomes in taiwan correlate to the country s regional development features such as its tourist regions including taitung county and penghu county which have nature green and environmental protection characteristics

equilibrium unemployment and the efficient job finding rate a model of the labor market is constructed in which unemployment is generated by labor turnover and the process of selecting new recruits firms recruitment policies affect workers job finding probabilities and are known to job seekers by reputation the value of visiting a firm thus depends on the probability of being hired as well as on the terms of employment and in equilibrium is equal at all firms the principal results obtained are that the equilibrium unemployment rate is efficient and that there are no external effects of search by workers or recruitment by firms

statistical discrimination and duration dependence in the job finding rate this article models a frictional labour market where employers endogenously discriminate against the long term unemployed the estimated model replicates recent experimental evidence which documents that interview invitations for observationally equivalent workers fall sharply as unemployment duration progresses we use the model to quantitatively assess the consequences of such employer behaviour for job finding rates and long term unemployment and find only modest effects given the large decline in callbacks interviews lost to duration impact individual job finding rates solely if they would have led to jobs we show that such instances are rare when firms discriminate in anticipation of an ultimately unsuccessful application discrimination in callbacks is thus largely a response to dynamic selection with limited consequences for structural duration dependence and long term unemployment

extensive search intensive search and hiring costs new evidence on employer hiring activity this paper presents recent evidence on employer search to fill a position a 1982 employer survey sponsored by the national institute of education and the national center for research in vocational education provides the basis for analyzing employer search and hiring costs the paper examines the effects of such factors as employer size dismissal costs unionization on the job training adjustment costs capital and labor market conditions on intensive employer search extensive employer search and hiring costs intensive employer search is measured by the average number of hours the employer spends recruiting screening and interviewing per applicant extensive search is measured by the number of applicants seen per applicant interviewed and the number interviewed per employment

why the wto is deadlocked and what can be done about it the gatt was hugely successful yet its successor organisation is to date failing this paper argues that the expansion in both scope and membership make it radically more difficult for a purely bargain based organisation to succeed three factors limit the scope for deals that would be recognised as mutually beneficial many developing countries are accustomed to transfers rather than bargains the poorest countries have no basis for bargaining and even where mutual advantage is possible it requires cross sectoral deals which are only feasible with new rules that are unattractive to many wto members the paper proposes solutions to these new problems it proposes an explicit component of transfer in the form of non reciprocated liberalisation it proposes a plurilateral solution to the tension between rules and sovereignty it links these through a grand bargain that offers transfers in return for plurilateralism for the marginalised countries it proposes time bound preferences in oecd markets along the lines of agoa finally to recreate for the larger developing countries similar incentives for liberalisation to those previously achieved for developed countries it proposes a limited mfn through which they could restrict their liberalisations to include only other developing countries

establishment size job satisfaction and the structure of work this paper empirically investigates a the relationship between establishment size and the degree of flexibility in the work environment and b the extent to which establishment size differences in workers satisfaction with their jobs can be accounted for by differences in their work environment the main findings are that large establishments do organize production in a less flexible fashion than do smaller establishments and that observed lower levels of job satisfaction in larger establishments net of wage and fringe benefit effects can largely be explained by the inflexibility in the work environment

decomposing inequality in energy related co2 emissions by source and source increment the roles of production and residential consumption abstract using provincial data on energy related co2 emissions in china from 1997 to 2014 and the co2 emission gini coefficient ceg this study evaluates china s spatial inequality in energy related co2 emissions further we decompose this inequality and its variation from the perspectives of production and residential energy consumption using the source decomposition and source increment decomposition methods this paper presents a new ceg source increment decomposition method that can achieve complete decomposition the results reveal a downward trend in china s overall production sector and residential sector co2 emissions inequality although the gini coefficient of co2 emissions from the residential sector is larger than that from the production sector the contribution of the latter to the overall ceg is higher the impacts of the spatial inequality of co2 emissions from china s production and residential sectors depend on the type of energy the concentration effect is the primary factor responsible for inducing changes in china s overall and production sector co2 emissions inequality but it is not the only dominant factor for the residential sector co2 emissions inequality

unemployment fluctuations over the life cycle abstract in this paper we show that i the volatility of worker flows increases with age in us cps data and ii a search and matching model with life cycle features endogenous separation and search effort is well suited to explain this fact with a shorter horizon on the labor market older workers outside options become less responsive to new employment opportunities thereby making their wages less sensitive to the business cycle their job finding and separation rates are then more volatile along the business cycle the horizon effect cannot explain the significant differences between prime age and young workers as both age groups are far away from retirement a lower bargaining power on the youth labor market brings the model closer to the data

mismatch in local labour markets in central scotland the neglected role of demand this paper presents a model of mismatch unemployment in two local labour markets in scotland a total of seven possible sources of such unemployment are identified and examined within the context of a predominantly urban area and a mixed urban rural area these are contiguous travel to work areas ttwas the paper attempts to identify what causes recruitment difficulties and discusses the extent to which the problem is demand induced a survey of employer practices and attitudes is followed up by multiple regression analysis to determine the effect of these practices on vacancy duration the analysis shows that there are certain recruitment practices and inherent characteristics of employers which result in job offers that are either unattractive or inaccessible to the unemployed it is argued that design of policy for implementation at the local level needs to take account more explicitly of the demand side of the local labour market than has so far been evident in the uk approach to the skill mismatch issue

cost of long distance electricity transmission in china abstract china s energy resources reserves are concentrated on the central and western regions meanwhile the major energy demand is distributed in the eastern region large scale of cross regional electricity transmission is implemented to guarantee the power supply the long distance electricity transmission ldet cost is an essential component of the final detail price this paper proposes a new method to evaluate the real cost of ldet which mainly focuses on the price mark up between the electricity exporter and importer a weighted least square regression model is applied to evaluate the influence of the factors that could impact the real operating cost of the ldet furthermore we apply the ldet cost model to evaluate the synthesize cost of renewable energy and find the current renewable policy of china is inefficient

the role of labor markets for euro area monetary policy in this paper we explore the role of labor markets for monetary policy in the euro area in a new keynesian model in which labor markets are characterized by search and matching frictions we first investigate to which extent a more flexible labor market would alter the business cycle behavior and the transmission of monetary policy we find that while a lower degree of wage rigidity makes monetary policy more effective i e a monetary policy shock transmits faster onto inflation the importance of other labor market rigidities for the transmission of shocks is rather limited second having estimated the model by bayesian techniques we analyze to which extent labor market shocks such as disturbances in the vacancy posting process shocks to the separation rate and variations in bargaining power are important determinants of business cycle fluctuations our results point primarily towards disturbances in the bargaining process as a significant contributor to inflation and output fluctuations in sum the paper supports current central bank practice which appears to put considerable effort into monitoring euro area wage dynamics and which appears to treat some of the other labor market information as less important for monetary policy

short term pain for long term gain market deregulation and monetary policy in small open economies abstract this paper explores the effects of labor and product market reforms in a new keynesian small open economy model with labor market frictions and endogenous producer entry we show that it takes time for reforms to pay off typically at least a couple of years this is partly because the benefits materialize through firm entry and increased hiring both of which are gradual processes while any reform driven layoffs are immediate some reforms such as reductions in employment protection increase unemployment temporarily implementing a broad package of labor and product market reforms minimizes transition costs importantly reforms do not have noticeable deflationary effects suggesting that the inability of monetary policy to deliver large interest rate cuts in their aftermath either because of the zero bound on policy rates or because of the membership in a monetary union may not be a relevant obstacle to reform alternative simple monetary policy rules do not have a large effect on transition costs

information bilateral negotiations and worker recruitment this paper studies experimentally how firms choose between using a centralized market and bilateral negotiations to recruit new personnel in the market firms interact with several workers but do not have information about workers behavior in the past in the bilateral negotiations firms negotiate bilaterally with prospective workers and learn about workers performance in previous jobs we show that the interaction between social preferences the incompleteness of contracts and the existence of information about a worker s past performance provides an explanation for firms forgoing market opportunities and bilaterally negotiating with a worker we observe that approximately 30 of all job contracts were bilaterally negotiated when these contracts are incomplete as opposed to only 10 when contracts were complete the surplus from trade is higher when incomplete contracts can be bilaterally negotiated which can be attributed to the presence of information

a development friendly prioritisation of doha round proposals agriculture looms large on the wto s agenda it was the first substantive item listed in the work programme of the ministerial declaration launching the doha round and it was arguably at the centre of the failure at cancun developing countries made it clear both before and during the cancun meeting that progress on agriculture was their primary objective negotiations in other areas have received less attention and progressed more slowly this paper considers that prioritisation and suggests that the interests of developing countries in the current round of trade negotiations are much broader than is suggested by the narrow range of agricultural issues that have dominated negotiations a true development round would require a significant reprioritisation of many areas of the wto s current agenda

gender discrimination in job ads evidence from china we study explicit gender discrimination in a population of ads on a chinese internet job board gender targeted job ads are common favor women as often as men and are much less common in jobs requiring higher levels of skill employers relative preferences for female versus male workers on the other hand are more strongly related to the preferred age height and beauty of the worker than to job skill levels almost two thirds of the variation in advertised gender preferences occurs within firms and one third occurs within firmoccupation cells overall these patterns are not well explained by a firm level animus model by a glass ceiling model or by models in which broad occupational categories are consistently gendered across firms instead the patterns suggest a model in which firms have idiosyncratic preferences for particular job gender matches which are overridden in skilled positions by factors such as thinner labor markets or a greater incentive to search broadly for the most qualified candidate jel codes j16 j63 j71 copyright 2013 oxford university press

cyclical variation in vacancy durations and vacancy flows an empirical analysis abstract this paper presents an empirical analysis of vacancy durations and vacancy flows in the netherlands over the years 1980 1988 we distinguish vacancies according to required occupation and educational levels we derive estimates of average vacancy durations and we use these to derive estimates of vacancy flows we find that vacancy durations generally increase with the required educational level moreover vacancy flows tend to be more responsive to the business cycle at lower educational levels while vacancy durations are more responsive at higher educational levels the number of vacancies generated by employers has not decreased during the recession in the early 80s which points to a dominant role of the supply of applicants in explaining the cyclical pattern of vacancy durations

matchmaker matchmaker the effect of old boy networks on job match quality earnings and tenure firms often view job applicant referrals from current employees as more informative than direct applications or referrals through formal labor market intermediaries such as placement firms we argue that old boy networks reduce employers uncertainty about worker productivity using jovanovic s job matching model we show that workers hired through the old boy network should 1 earn higher initial salaries 2 experience lower subsequent wage growth on the job and 3 stay on the job longer than otherwise comparable workers hired from outside the network we find considerable support for this theory using data from the 1972 survey of natural and social scientists and engineers