inequality and fractionalization we present evidence that ethnic fragmentation explains variations in per capita income institutions and schooling better than income inequality when both are treated as endogenous to do so we identify instruments for ethnic fractionalization and income inequality based on historical experience using instrumental variables estimation we find that ethnic fractionalization explains the level of income both when income inequality is included as a control in the estimation and when it is not however we find no evidence that income inequality affects the level of income when ethnic fractionalization is properly treated as an endogenous variable we have similar findings when other development outcomes such as schooling or proxies for institutional quality are used as dependent variables these results are robust to various controls and changes in the sample size and suggest that some of the previous findings regarding the effect of income inequality on development should be attributed to ethnic fractionalization

return migration uncertainty and precautionary savings this paper presents a life cycle model where migrants determine re migration and consumption simultaneously in a stochastic environment whether precautionary savings of migrants are above or below those of natives is ambiguous in general the sign depends on the risk in host and home country labor markets and on the correlation of labor market shocks furthermore the effect of an uncertain environment on migration and re migration plans cannot be unambiguously signed for the general case it depends on the size of the wage differential as well as the relative risk the migrant exhibits in the two labor markets

information and the persistence of private order contract enforcement institutions an experimental analysis abstract we study an experimental market in which some sellers are prone to moral hazard and in which a private order contract enforcement institution exists that can mediate trade and prevent sellers from reneging on their contractual obligations using the institution to resolve the moral hazard problem is costly we demonstrate that in this market the utilization of the private order contract enforcement institution may make public and private market signals uninformative and inhibit learning we study whether this potential information externality can limit adaptation away from the private order institution when it is efficient to do so consistent with theory we find inefficient persistence when the institution is used but by contrast efficient adaptation in other situations providing information to individuals who are using the private order institution allows them to partially adapt

corporate led sustainable development and energy poverty alleviation at the bottom of the pyramid the case of the cleancook in nigeria summary corporations are increasingly viewed as key actors in poverty alleviation bottom of the pyramid bop advocates suggest that multinational corporations mncs can simultaneously alleviate poverty and make profits by selling scaled down products to the poor our paper investigates this claim using the case of the cleancook stove and fuel technology introduced in nigeria by an mnc working through a nonprofit organization and local business actors supply and demand side analyses show that the cleancook is least likely to reach the energy poor bop households originally targeted the evidence suggests that serving the bop requires greater differentiation than can be achieved with profit driven business models

learning by doing and the introduction of new goods a dynamic general equilibrium model is developed in which goods are valued according to the characteristics they contain the set of goods produced in any period is endogenously determined and learning by doing is the force behind sustained growth it is shown that the set of produced goods changes in a systematic way over time with goods of higher quality entering each period and those of lower quality dropping out the model is then used to study the effect of introducing a traditional sector in which there is no learning

does law and order attenuate the benefits of democracy on economic growth recent studies have reported positive associations between democracy and economic growth they have also explored how associations could differ across regions or income levels however might the effects of democracy on growth also depend on factors such as institutions promoting law and order using a panel specification we employ a democracy law and order interactive term to examine if the effects of democracy on economic growth depend on these other institutions we find that positive effects of democracy diminish and might even turn negative in countries where other institutions such as those supporting law and order are strong

do institutions matter for regional development rodriguez pose a do institutions matter for regional development regional studies this paper discusses whether institutions matter for regional development and how to integrate them in regional development strategies it is found that while institutions are crucial for economic development generating an institution based regional development strategy is likely to be undermined by the lack of definition of what are efficient institutions problems related to the measurement of institutions to their space and time variability to the difficulties in establishing the right mix of formal and informal institutions and to the endogeneity between institutions and economic development make one size fits all approaches to operationalizing institutions difficult the paper posits that in order to overcome these problems it is crucial to distinguish between the institutional environment and institutional arrangements that is to target not the institutions which shape the unique character of any territ

the economics of forced migration abstract this article reviews the economics literature on the impacts of forced migration the literature is divided into two parts impacts on forced migrants and impacts on host communities studies exploring the impact of forced migration due to wwii suggest that the long term impact is often positive the literature for developing countries suggests that there are serious consequences of forced migration for those forced to migrate these consequences range from worse labour market outcomes to less consumption smoothing the impact on host communities seems to be mixed and there are winners and losers the article provides suggestions for future research

oligarchy democracy inequality and growth abstract this paper analyses the dynamics of inequality democratization and economic development in a political economy model of growth where education is both the engine of growth and a determinant of political participation in a context with imperfect capital markets we investigate the incentives for an educated oligarchy to subsidize the poor s education and to initiate a democratic transition we characterize the equilibrium patterns of political institutions income distribution and growth as a function of the initial income and inequalities in particular we identify circumstances under which the elite promotes the endogenous emergence of a middle class for purely political economy reasons a simple linear infinite horizon framework is then presented in this setting we discuss the importance of historical dependence for long run social stratification and redistribution

de facto political power and institutional persistence much of the empirical work and the conceptual discussion of the impact of institutions on economic development either implicitly or explicitly assumes that institutions persist although acemoglu et al 2001 provide evidence that constraints on the executive persist many aspects of institutions change frequently less developed countries cycle between democracy and dictatorship and often change their constitutions relatedly while the current economic problems in latin america are often traced back to colonial times stanley l engerman and kenneth l sokoloff 1997 acemoglu et al 2002 the specific institutions that once underpinned the colonial economy such as the encomienda the mita or slavery vanished long ago these observations suggest that we need to develop a framework in which changes in certain dimensions of institutions are consistent with overall institutional persistence in this paper we make an attempt to highlight some important mechanisms for understanding simultaneous change and persistence in institutions institutional persistence in this context refers to the persistence of a cluster of economic institutions such as the extent of enforcement of property rights for a broad cross section of society acemoglu et al 2001 such lack of property rights enforcement may be driven by quite different specific institutions e g risk of expropriation entry barriers or economic systems such as serfdom or slavery in turn these different specific economic institutions may exist under different political institutions including dictatorships absolutist monarchies oligarchies and corrupt or even populist democracies given this rich array of possibilities a useful framework must specify which aspects of institutions can change which others have a tendency to persist in equilibrium and how the persistence of certain types of institutions could have lasting effects on economic outcomes in this paper we provide a simple model of the coexistence of change and persistence in institutions first we describe some existing approaches to the persistence of social arrangements as well as the essence of the mechanism we propose next we illustrate the key issues using the experience of the southern united states and last we provide a simple model that formalizes the main mechanism in the paper we conclude by discussing a complementary mechanism to the one presented in this paper

financial liberalization and reversals political and economic determinants what accounts for the dynamics of financial reforms this paper identifies the political regime as one of the main factors focusing on democratization and financial reform it puts forward novel evidence for a u shaped relation across countries and over time for different reform measures and a wide range of estimators partial democracy is a main obstacle to financial reforms and democratization when incomplete may lead to severe financial reform reversals nauro f campos and fabrizio coricelli

agricultural production amid conflict separating the effects of conflict into shocks and uncertainty abstract this paper examines the effect of conflict on agricultural production of small farmers first an inter temporal model of agricultural production is developed in which the impact of conflict is transmitted through violent shocks and uncertainty brought about by conflict we test the model using a unique household survey applied to 4800 households in four micro regions of colombia our findings suggest households learn to live amid conflict albeit at a lower income trajectory when presence of non state armed actors prolongs farmers shift to activities with short term yields and lower profitability from activities that require high investments if violence intensifies in regions with presence of non state armed actors farmers concentrate on subsistence activities

historical frontiers and the rise of inequality the case of the frontier of granada the authors acknowledge financial support from the spanish ministry of science and technology grant eco2009 13357 the spanish ministry of economics and competitiveness grant eco2012 35430 and the andalusian council of innovation and science excellence project sej 4546

reward structures and the allocation of talent as relative rewards that different professions receive are a key factor in the allocation of talent what determines the reward structure of a society is an important question this paper develops an equilibrium model of the allocation of talent between productive and unproductive activities such as rent seeking the existence of rent seeking creates a negative externality on productive agents and implies that relative rewards are endogenously determined the same externality can also lead to the existence of multiple equilibria each with different reward structures in a dynamic setting allocations of past generations as well as expectations of future allocations influence current rewards and the society may get trapped in a rent seeking steady state equilibrium the paper also discusses how the non pecuniary reward structure can be influenced by equilibrium selection and a historical example that suggests the presence of a causal link from the allocation of talent to non pecuniary rewards

a theory of political transitions we develop a theory of political transitions inspired by the experiences of western europe and latin america nondemocratic societies are controlled by a rich elite the initially disenfranchised poor can contest power by threatening revolution especially when the opportunity cost is low for example during recessions the threat of revolution may force the elite to democratize democracy may not consolidate because it is redistributive and so gives the elite an incentive to mount a coup highly unequal societies are less likely to consolidate democracy and may end up oscillating between regimes and suffer substantial fiscal volatility

inequality democracy and institutions a critical review of recent research this paper surveys the theoretical and empirical literature on the effect of economic and political inequality on institutions the current understanding suggests that unequal societies develop exploitative and inefficient institutions empirical research which is scant and has mainly concentrated at cross national level supports to some extent the existence of an inverse relationship between inequality and institutions but more analysis is needed future empirical research should undertake country state and micro level analysis which are a necessary complement to aggregate level studies the effect of inequality could also take place indirectly through the influence of inequality on democratization

can product demonstrations create markets for sustainable energy technology a randomized controlled trial in rural india abstract the literature on sustainable energy technology sees informational barriers as a major obstacle to technology adoption in the case of solar home systems recent studies report positive socio economic effects on households but technology adoption remains underwhelming in collaboration with a local solar technology provider we conduct a randomized controlled trial in 75 large villages in the state of uttar pradesh india to examine the ability of village solar demonstrations to create markets for solar home systems we find no effect of such demonstrations on technology sales awareness or perceptions of solar technology technology adopters report high levels of satisfaction with product quality and service suggesting that the null finding cannot be attributed to poor technology these findings suggest that lack of awareness is not a binding constraint on the growth of solar technology markets in the study area based on additional surveys we find evidence suggesting that access to credit from rural banks is an important explanation for variation in sales across villages these results do not prove that information and awareness are irrelevant in general but they show that even carefully designed marketing campaigns cannot increase demand for new products in the presence of a binding credit constraint

from linear fuel switching to multiple cooking strategies a critique and alternative to the energy ladder model abstract promoting sustainable development requires evaluating the technical and policy options that will facilitate the adoption and use of energy efficient and less polluting cooking stoves and practices the transition from traditional to modern fuels and devices has been explained by the energy ladder model that suggests that with increasing affluence a progression is expected from traditional biomass fuels to more advanced and less polluting fuels in this paper we evaluate the energy ladder model utilizing data from a four year 1992 96 case study of a village in mexico and from a large scale survey from four states of mexico we show that an alternate multiple fuel model of stove and fuel management based on the observed pattern of household accumulation of energy options rather than the simple progression depicted in the traditional energy ladder scenario more accurately depicts cooking fuel use patterns in rural households the multiple fuel model integrates four factors demonstrated to be essential in household decision making under conditions of resource scarcity or uncertainty a economics of fuel and stove type and access conditions to fuels b technical characteristics of cookstoves and cooking practices c cultural preferences and d health impacts this model also allows better estimates of the expected fuelwood demand and indoor air pollution in rural households

political losers as a barrier to economic development per capita income in many sub saharan african countries such as chad and niger is less than 1 30th of that of the united states most economists and social scientists suspect that this is in part due to institutional failures that stop these societies from adopting the best technologies a particularly interesting historical example comes from the diffusion of railways in the 19th century while railways are regarded as a key technology driving the industrial revolution there were large lags in their diffusion for example in 1850 the united states had 14 518 km of track britain 9 797 km and germany 5 856 km in the russian and hapsburg empires there were just 501 km and 1 357 kim respectively all data from brian r mitchell 1993 why do societies as in this example fail to adopt the best available technologies one answer is that existing powerful interest groups block the introduction of new technologies in order to protect their economic rents and societies are able to make technological advances only if they can defeat such groups economic monopolies may be one example a monopolist might wish to block the introduction of a new technology by a rival that will capture the market this idea which we call the economic losers hypothesis was discussed by simon kuznets 1968 developed at length by joel mokyr 1990 in the context of technology adoption and formalized by per krusell and jose victor rios rull 1996 and stephen l parente and edward c prescott 1997 related ideas are widely discussed in the literature on international trade policy with many formal models e g gene m grossman and elhanan helpman 1994 there are problems with this story however first despite the intuitive appeal of the idea there are relatively few instances where major economic change was blocked by economic losers mokyr 1990 emphasizes the attempts of many skilled artisans to block the introduction of new machines the most famous example is the luddites skilled weavers who were thrown out of work by mechanization interestingly however many of these groups including the luddites were ultimately unable to block economic progress equally important the economic losers hypothesis relies on the presumption that certain groups have the political power to block innovation but if so why not use this power to simply tax the gains generated by the introduction of the new technology this might be because there are limits on the nature of fiscal instruments though it seems plausible that groups with sufficient political power to block innovation would be able subsequently to lobby effectively for redistribution a more important reason however may be that the introduction of new technology and economic change more generally may simultaneously affect the distribution of political power we argue that the effect of economic change on political power is a key factor in determining whether technological advances and beneficial economic changes will be blocked in other words we propose a political loser hypothesis we argue that it is groups whose political power not economic rents is eroded who will block technological advances if agents are economic losers but have no political power they cannot impede technological progress if they have and maintain political power i e are not political losers then they have no incentive to block progress it is therefore agents who have t discussant gene grossman princeton university

has democratization reduced infant mortality in sub saharan africa evidence from micro data does democracy help babies survive in sub saharan africa by using retrospective fertility surveys conducted in 28 african countries i compare the survival of infants born to the same mother before and after democratization to disentangle the effect of democracy from that of changes in population characteristics which is infeasible with country level statistics on infant mortality i find that infant mortality falls by 1 2 percentage points 12 of the sample mean after democratization in the post cold war period relevant aspects of democracy appear to be the combination of multiparty elections and leadership change

the rise of europe atlantic trade institutional change and economic growth the rise of western europe after 1500 is due largely to growth in countries with access to the atlantic ocean and with substantial trade with the new world africa and asia via the atlantic this trade and the associatedcolonialism affected europe not only directly but also indirectly by inducing institutional change where initial political institutions those established before 1500 placed significant checks on the monarchy the growth of atlantic trade strengthened merchant groups by constraining the power of the monarchy and helped merchants obtain changes in institutions to protect property rights these changes were central to subsequent economic growth

institutional traps and economic growth this article s point of departure is that low quality institutions concentration of political power and material wealth and underdevelopment are persistent over time its analytical model views an equal distribution of political power as a commitment device to enhance institutional quality thereby promoting growth the politically powerful coalition contemplates relinquishing of its power through democratization weighing this advantageous consequence against the limit on own appropriative ability that it entails the possibility of two developmental paths is exhibited with concentration of political and economic power low quality institutions and slow growth and a more equal distribution of political and economic resources high quality institutions and faster growth

princes and merchants european city growth before the industrial revolution as measured by the pace of city growth in western europe from 1000 to 1800 absolutist monarchs stunted the growth of commerce and industry a region ruled by an absolutist prince saw its total urban population shrink by one hundred thousand people per century relative to a region without absolutist government this might be explained by higher rates of taxation under revenue maximizing absolutist governments than under nonabsolutist governments which care more about general economic prosperity and less about state revenue

the political economy of food price volatility the case of vietnam and rice this article argues that the structure of the vietnamese rice export system is in political economy terms a rational response to the volatility present in the international rice market in particular it is argued that the vietnamese food agency along with vinafood 1 and vinafood 2 have been structured so that they can benefit from the domestic demands for export restrictions anticipated to occur as a consequence of international price volatility and the psychological demand of consumers for price stability in turn the actions of these agencies also contribute to international price volatility and the resulting demand for export restrictions since the political and economic elite in vietnam obtain both political and economic power from this system it is unlikely to be replaced with more effective and efficient policies to combat domestic price volatility thus continued volatility in the price of rice can be expected

protection of property rights and growth as political equilibria abstract this paper presents a survey of the literature on property rights and economic growth different theoretical mechanisms that relate property rights to economic development are discussed lack of protection of property rights can result in slow economic growth through different channels expropriation of private wealth corruption of civil servants excessive taxation and barriers to adoption of new technologies the origins of property rights are also considered different theories are illustrated but more attention is paid to the social conflict view and its success and limitations the second part of the paper illustrates relevant empirical works on property rights and growth

adjusting the labor supply to mitigate violent shocks evidence from rural colombia this paper studies the use of labor markets to mitigate the impact of violent shocks on households in rural areas in colombia it examines changes in the labor supply from on farm to off farm labor as a means of coping with the violent shock and the ensuing redistribution of time within households it identifies the heterogeneous response by gender because the incidence of violent shocks is not exogenous the analysis uses instrumental variables that capture several dimensions of the cost of exercising terror as a response to the violent shocks households decrease the time spent on on farm work and increase their supply of labor to off farm activities non agricultural ones men carry the bulk of the adjustment in the use of time inasmuch as they supply the most hours to off farm non agricultural work and formal labor markets labor markets do not fully absorb the additional labor supply women in particular are unable to find jobs in formal labor markets and men have increased time dedicated to leisure and household chores additional off farm supply does not fully cover the decrease in consumption the results suggest that in rural colombia labor markets are a limited alternative for coping with violent shocks thus policies in conflict affected countries should go beyond short term relief and aim at preventing labor markets from collapsing and at supporting the recovery of agricultural production

the value of democracy evidence from road building in kenya ethnic favoritism is seen as antithetical to development this paper provides credible quantification of the extent of ethnic favoritism using data on road building in kenyan districts across the 1963 2011 period guided by a model it then examines whether the transition in and out of democracy under the same president constrains or exacerbates ethnic favoritism across the post independence period we find strong evidence of ethnic favoritism districts that share the ethnicity of the president receive twice as much expenditure on roads and have five times the length of paved roads built this favoritism disappears during periods of democracy jel d72 h54 j15 o15 o17 o22 r42

why have improved cook stove initiatives in india failed summary an estimated 2 7 billion people cook meals on biomass fueled brick stone and clay stoves scarcity of wood and negative impacts on health and environment have motivated efforts to design and distribute improved cook stoves in developing countries in india adoption is limited despite massive promotion over many decades existing research suggests that many rural women in india do not want improved stoves and those who do face obstacles to adoption we step back from the many good case studies to examine the broader story of improved cook stoves ics in india we do so by bringing together technical research of applied science and narrative critique of social science rather than assuming a priori that traditional stoves require replacement we ask why indian cook stoves been a magnet for so much attention why adoptions rates have remained low and what lessons might be learned from a broad multi disciplinary perspective our approach is critical and reflexive given our own involvement in ic efforts and puts gender at the center our big picture review shows that the indian chulha for all its problems is a remarkably successful technology which also satisfies several important household needs hence targeting this device for obsolescence has profound implications that cannot be reduced to energy consumption or environmental hazards rural women do not prioritize ics but addressing their priorities requires either capital intensive investment or challenging powerful institutions in contrast ic interventions are relatively cheap decentralized mechanical and seemingly apolitical hence their popularity in development programs our review of chulha research leads us to reject both the optimism of development planners who frame such problems as technical and the antagonistic pessimism of their critics searching for a middle ground requires stepping back from the dogma of efforts to improve biomass cook stoves

violence and property rights abstract since the middle ages when europe was still at a malthusian stage of development interpersonal violence has been in steady decline and institutions and norms limiting violence in particular property rights have expanded here we put forward a malthusian model of violence where these trends can be interpreted as a response to easing population pressure following an acceleration in technological progress the idea is that agents rationally risk dying in violent resource competition in order to make more of their children survive starvation violence carries a positive externality because those who die free up resources for survivors this generates a socially optimal level of violence which can be implemented with the right amount of property rights protection it is shown that faster technological progress can lead to a decline in violence and improved property rights protection similar to the path followed by europe

property rights and finance which is the tighter constraint on private sector investment weak property rights or limited access to external finance from a survey of new firms in post communist countries we find that weak property rights discourage firms from reinvesting their profits even when bank loans are available where property rights are relatively strong firms reinvest their profits where they are relatively weak entrepreneurs do not want to invest from retained earnings

political regimes and economic growth arguments that relate regimes to growth focus on property rights pressures for immediate consumption and the autonomy of dictators while everyone seems to agree that secure property rights foster growth it is controversial whether democracies or dictatorships better secure these rights the main mechanism by which democracy is thought to hinder growth is pressure for immediate consumption which reduces investment only states that are institutionally insulated from such pressures can resist them and democratic states are not the main argument against dictatorships is that authoritarian rulers have no interest in maximizing total output these views are summarized in turn

arresting the killer in the kitchen the promises and pitfalls of commercializing improved cookstoves summary in a shift exemplary of neoliberal approaches to development major funders of household energy interventions have begun to emphasize market based stove dissemination over partially subsidized models stove promoters are increasingly expected to operate as self sustaining businesses this shift is viewed as a way to scale up in order to reach millions of poor households lacking access to clean cooking technologies using the case of gira an ngo that has successfully distributed cookstoves in mexico s central highlands for nearly two decades we demonstrate how this trend presents challenges for organizations operating effectively with outside funding in highly contextual local conditions 2009 elsevier ltd all rights reserved

beyond fuelwood savings valuing the economic benefits of introducing improved biomass cookstoves in the purepecha region of mexico article i nfo half of the world population relies on biomass for cooking with very significant health as well as climate change impacts improved cookstoves have been disseminated as an alternative to reduce these impacts however few detailed studies about the economic benefits of improved cookstoves ics interventions including environmental and health co benefits exist to date in this paper we perform a comprehensive economic evaluation of a dissemination program of ics in rural mexico the resulting cost benefit analysis cba of the patsari improved cookstove is presented utilizing estimation of direct costs and benefits including fuelwood savings income generation health impacts environmental conservation and reduction in greenhouse gas emissions the analysis is based on comprehensive data obtained through monitoring studies carried out in the study area from 2003 to the present results show that patsari cookstoves represent a viable economic option for improving living conditions of the poorest inhabitants of rural mexico with benefit cost ratios estimated between 11 4 1 and 9 1 the largest contributors to economic benefits stemmed from fuelwood savings and reductions in health impacts which constituted 53 and 28 of the overall benefit respectively

socio economic determinants of charcoal expenditures in tanzania evidence from panel data abstract compared to firewood charcoal is a relatively clean and convenient fuel nevertheless the mass production of charcoal can contribute substantially to deforestation rendering it imperative to regulate charcoal use this article uses nationally representative panel data on tanzania conducted in 2008 and 2010 to examine how charcoal expenditures change over time within any given household the focus of the analysis will be on identifying certain socio economic factors that affect charcoal use at the household level the framing of the analysis on variation in time within each household addresses the omitted variable bias that often undermines inference from comparisons across different households we find that while charcoal expenditures increase with household income the rise in charcoal use with income is relatively gradual household size is unrelated to charcoal expenditures but urban rural differences in fuel choice are large even though we include household fixed effects in all specifications in this regard policymakers and urban planners need to pay particular attention to the role of urbanization in predicting trends in charcoal expenditures in developing countries like tanzania

export price shocks and rural labor markets the role of labor market distortions abstract to what extent can workers in developing countries seize gains from trade to answer this question we resort to a unique exogenous labor demand shock triggered by a surge in the world market price of cotton in 2010 11 by capitalizing on tajikistan s geographic variation in the suitability for cotton production we identify the effect of the export price hike on wages of rural workers the shock induces agricultural firms to shift towards labor intensive cotton production the subsequent greater labor demand doubles wages for female cotton pickers on small entrepreneurial private farms but does not affect their wages on large parastatal farms we present evidence that parastatal farms recruit workers for low wages based on monopsony power and expand employment based on labor coercion of children and public sector workers our results highlight the importance of accounting for competitive structures in local labor markets when assessing the wage pass through of world market prices to workers in developing countries

connective power solar electrification and social change in kenya summary market based rural electrification with solar energy is increasingly common in developing countries this article revolves around three main claims about solar electrification in kenya s unsubsidized market 1 the benefits of solar electrification are captured primarily by the rural middle class 2 solar electricity plays a modest role in supporting economically productive and education related activities but connective applications such as television radio and cellular telephone charging often receive a higher priority 3 solar electrification is more closely tied to increased television use the expansion of markets more rural urban communication and other processes that increase rural urban connectivity than to poverty alleviation sustainable development or the appropriate technology movement

history lessons institutions factor endowments and paths of development in the new world the explanations offered for the contrasting records of long run growth and development among the societies of north and south america most often focus on institutions the traditional explanations for the sources of these differences in institutions typically highlight the significance of national heritage or religion we in contrast argue that a hemispheric perspective across the wide range of colonies established in the new world by the europeans suggests that although there were many influences factor endowments or initial conditions had profound and enduring effects on the long run paths of institutional and economic development followed by the respective economies

do we see convergence in institutional quality a cross country analysis abstractdifferences in the quality of institutions may explain differences in per capita income yet we know relatively little on how institutions evolve this paper contributes to such knowledge by testing for convergence in legal bureaucratic and administrative institutional quality using cross section and panel methods on a large sample of countries from the 1970s to 2010 we find that countries with initially poor institutions tended to slowly catch up both when they shared the same initial conditions and when they did not however the convergence process seems to be a temporary effect following the end of the cold war

paradoxes of decentralization water reform and social implications in mexico summary decentralized governance of water resources is a centerpiece of mexico s neoliberal reform strategy we analyze decentralization based on urban rural case studies in distinct geographical regions to ascertain whether it is linked to more efficient water management or sustainable use of water resources and to examine its development implications we assess whether or not private sector management is related to a more efficient sustainable and accountable management of water variety of municipal and private management arrangement in four urban areas we find that it has not resulted in efficiency or sustainability gains for agricultural water management irrigation districts in two case studies benefited from the more democratic participatory management by water users under mexico s transference strategy but did not result in greater equity efficiency or sustainability of water use we argue that decentralization in the mexican water sector is context specific and marked by limited benefits privatization is less an instrument aimed at improving efficiency than a channel for preferred treatment for capital accumulation by private entities as well as a legitimized way for the state to transfer the burden of water management to non state institutions the creation of new forms of water institutions requires not the retrenchment of the state but rather its involvement to ensure accountability transparency equity and sustainability

the new economics of labor migration this paper reviews selected theoretical and empirical developments in the field of labor migration economics the migration behavior of individuals differs in accordance with their perceived relative deprivation those who are relatively more deprived tend to have stronger incentive to migrate than those who are relatively less deprived moreover a reference group characterized by more income inequality is likely to generate more relative deprivation highly skilled workers are also more likely to migrate migration decisions are often made jointly by the migrant and nonmigrant with a contractual arrangement regarding the sharing of costs and returns the exchange of commitments to share income provides coinsurance of particular interest are the determinants of the speed of adoption of migration as an innovation and the characteristics associated with the delay in the adoption of innovation new econometric techniques including techniques for the analysis of qualitative dependent variables techniques that correct for sample selection bias and those for the analysis of longitudinal data have substantially benefited empirical research in this area new methods that can correct for the biased estimate of the wages particular individuals would receive at 2 or more locations at the same point in time allow researchers to test locational decsion making models estimates of these structural models of labor migration support the hypothesis that individuals respond to income incentives in making the decsion to migrate further research is needed on the pazzling observation that migrant workers earn less than native born workers with similar characteristics during the 1st few years after migration but more thereafter other topics that need further research include the macroeconomic effects of migration the microeconomic and macroeconomic relationships between aging and labor migration and the migration behavior of dual earner families

the making of policy institutionalized or not this paper develops a framework for analyzing different policymaking styles their causes and their consequences in latin america finding that lower institutionalization and greater use of alternative political technologies apts are more likely the lower the cost of using these technologies the higher the potential damage they can cause the lower the wealth of the economy and the more asymmetric the distribution of de jure political power moreover strategic complementarity exists in the use of alternative political technologies for instance bribes by the rich and protests by the poor are likely to be countervailing forces and will both occur in polities with weaker political institutions

u s energy research and development declining investment increasing need and the feasibility of expansion investment in energy research and development in the u s is declining despite calls for an enhancement of the nation s capacity for innovation to address environmental geopolitical and macroeconomic concerns we examine investments in research and development in the energy sector and observe broad based declines in funding since the mid 1990s the large reductions in investment by the private sector should be a particular area of concern for policy makers multiple measures of patenting activity reveal widespread declines in innovative activity that are correlated with research and development r d investment notably in the environmentally significant wind and solar areas trends in venture capital investment and fuel cell innovation are two promising cases that run counter to the overall trends in the sector we draw on prior work on the optimal level of energy r d to identify a range of values which would be adequate to address energy related concerns comparing simple scenarios based on this range to past public r d programs and industry investment data indicates that a five to ten fold increase in energy r d investment is both warranted and feasible

on migration and risk in ldcs the authors develop the hypothesis that aversion to risk rather than expectations of higher income is the primary motivation for rural urban migration in developing countries this hypothesis maintains that an optimizing risk averse small farmer family will try to place a family member in the urban sector in order to diversify its income portfolio an additional hypothesis related to risk is also considered at the individual rather than the family level annotation

the regulation of labor author s botero juan djankov simeon la porta rafael lopez de silanes florencio shleifer andrei abstract we investigate the regulation of labor markets through employment collective relations and social security laws in 85 countries we find that the political power of the left is associated with more stringent labor regulations and more generous social security systems and that socialist french and scandinavian legal origin countries have sharply higher levels of labor regulation than do common law countries however the effects of legal origins are larger and explain more of the variation in regulations than those of politics heavier regulation of labor is associated with lower labor force participation and higher unemployment especially of the young these results are most naturally consistent with legal theories according to which countries have pervasive regulaory styles inherited from the transplantation of legal systems

why did the west extend the franchise democracy inequality and growth in historical perspective during the nineteenth century most western societies extended voting rights a decision that led to unprecedented redistributive programs we argue that these political reforms can be viewed as strategic decisions by the political elite to prevent widespread social unrest and revolution political transition rather than redistribution under existing political institutions occurs because current transfers do not ensure future transfers while the extension of the franchise changes future political equilibria and acts as a commitment to redistribution our theory also offers a novel explanation for the kuznets curve in many western economies during this period with the fall in inequality following redistribution due to democratization i introduction the nineteenth century was a period of fundamental political reform and unprecedented changes in taxation and redistribution britain for example was transformed from an oligarchy run by an elite to a democracy the franchise was extended in 1832 and then again in 1867 and 1884 transferring voting rights to portions of the society with no previous political representation the decades after the political reforms witnessed radical social reforms increased taxation and the extension of education to the masses moreover as noted by kuznets inequality which was previously increasing started to decline during this period the gini coefficient for income inequality in england and wales had risen from 0 400 in 1823 to 0 627 in 1871 but fell to 0 443 in 1901 two key factors in the reduction in inequality were the increase in the proportion of skilled workers williamson 1985 and the redistribution of income toward the poorer segments of the society for example taxes rose from 8 12 percent of national product in 1867 to 18 8 percent by 1927 and the progressivity of the tax system increased substantially see lindert 1989

displacement due to violence in colombia a household level analysis abstract civil wars and ethnic conflicts have resulted in an estimated number of approximately 35 million refugees and internally displaced persons worldwide understanding the determinants of forced migration is an important prerequisite for the definition of appropriate policies of prevention assistance and relocation we develop a conceptual framework for the empirical analysis of displacement decisions at the household level while similarities to conventional migration theories exist there are also important differences implied by the presence of violent conflict for example risk aversion and lack of information may hamper conventional migration but enhance displacement factors such as landholdings and social capital at the place of origin may not only reduce displacement in the conventional sense of raising opportunity costs but may also spur displacement indirectly by increasing the household s likelihood of becoming the victim of direct threats for the case of colombia we conduct an econom

property rights corruption and the allocation of talent a general equilibrium approach we consider an economy where contracts are necessary to encourage investments contract enforcement requires that a fraction of the agents work in the public sector and do not accept bribes we find that 1 it may be optimal to allow some corruption and not enforce property rights fully 2 less developed economies may choose lower levels of property right enforcement and more corruption 3 there may exist a free lunch such that over a certain range it is possible simultaneously to reduce corruption increase investment and achieve a better allocation of talent bureaucratic corruption is widespread in many societies casual empiricism and case studies suggest that corruption distorts the allocation of resources and discourages investment and the creation of new firms e g mydral 1968 desoto 1989 cross country studies also find that countries with high corruption or long bureaucratic delays suffer lower growth e g mauro 1996 sartre 1997 it is therefore tempting to conclude that government policies and bureaucratic corruption are at least partly responsible for the lack of development or slow growth of many economies e g shleifer and vishny 1993 nevertheless governments and bureaucracies do not exist only to seek rents they perform a number of useful functions including provision of public goods correction of market failures and redistribution without understanding why the state exists it is difficult to assess why corruption arises what its consequences are and whether and how it should be prevented in this paper we analyse how the employees of the state bureaucrats can misuse their power to enforce property rights the protection of property rights is commonly viewed as one of the most important roles of the state by political philosophers as diverse as david hume karl marx and robert nozick while a number of social scientists including north and thomas 1973 and rosenberg and bridzell 1989 emphasise the importance of secure property rights in the development of western societies for the state to have a role in enforcing property rights some contractual problems must exist between private parties in our economy these contractual problems are between entrepreneurs in particular production requires two agents and one of the entrepreneurs needs to undertake an investment but the returns accrue to the other one this can be thought as a partnership with the first agent as an upstream supplier providing an input of variable

good bad and ugly colonial activities do they matter for economic development levels of development vary widely within countries in the americas we argue that part of this variation has its roots in the colonial era when colonizers engaged in different economic activities in different regions of a country we present evidence consistent with the view that bad activities those that depended heavily on labor exploitation led to lower economic development today than good activities those that did not rely on labor exploitation our results also suggest that differences in political representation but not in income inequality or human capital could be the intermediating factor between colonial activities and current development

improved stoves in india a study of sustainable business models burning of biomass for cooking is associated with health problems and climate change impacts many previous efforts to disseminate improved stoves primarily by governments and ngos have not been successful based on interviews with 12 organizations selling improved biomass stoves we assess the results to date and future prospects of commercial stove operations in india specifically we consider how the ability of these businesses to achieve scale and become self sustaining has been influenced by six elements of their respective business models design customers targeted financing marketing channel strategy and organizational characteristics the two companies with the most stoves in the field shared in common generous enterprise financing a sophisticated approach to developing a sales channel and many person years of management experience in marketing and operations and yet the financial sustainability of improved stove sales to households remains far from assured the only company in our sample with demonstrated profitability is a family owned business selling to commercial rather than household customers the stove sales leader is itself now turning to the commercial segment to maintain flagging cash flow casting doubt on the likelihood of large positive impacts on health from sales to households in the near term

cumulative causation and selectivity in labour market oriented migration caused by imperfect information maier g 1985 cumulative causation and selectivity in labour market oriented migration caused by imperfect information reg studies 19 231 241 the paper discusses the implications of job search models for migration the information assumption of the standard search model turns out to be too restrictive to permit insights into the migration decision process many hypotheses derived from these assumptions contradict empirical observations dropping the assumption of perfect information about the wage offer distribution leads to a more complex search model in this model information about the wage offer distribution is imperfect and accumulated through the search process when based on this search model the migration model is largely enriched and also more realistic strategies which are suboptimal or even absurd with perfect information about the wage offer distribution such as purchase of information can be preferable in a migration model when imperfect information is assumed although the model p

vested interests in a positive theory of stagnation and growth we study a positive theory of stagnation and growth aimed at understanding the large variations in growth outcomes across actual economies the theory points to the fundamental role played by vested interests in determining policies which are key to the growth process some agents seek to prevent the adoption of new technologies we develop a model of technology adoption and show how technological innovation may sow the seeds of its own destruction in particular we find that the equilibrium is characterized by a long cycle of stagnation and growth over this cycle incumbents are phased out of the economy will new innovation occur in formalizing our theory we make a methodological contribution by characterizing dynamic voting equilibria when voters must forecast the effects of different current policies on future prices and policy outcomes

democratization or repression abstract regimes controlled by a rich elite often collapse and make way for democracy amidst widespread social unrest such regime changes are often followed by redistribution to the poor at the expense of the former elite we argue that the reason why the elite may have to resort to full scale democratization despite its apparent costs to themselves may be that lesser concessions would be viewed as a sign a weakness and spur further unrest and more radical demands the elite may therefore be forced to choose between repression and the most generous concession a transition to full democracy

distributive politics and economic growth a crude distinction between economics and politics would be that economics is concerned with expanding the pie while politics is about distributing it in this paper we analyze the relationship between the two we focus on how an economy s initial configuration of resources shapes the political struggle for income and wealth distribution and how that in turn affects long run growth our main conclusion is that inequality is conducive to the adoption of growth retarding policies we derive this result from a simple political economy model of growth and present cross country evidence consistent with it the key feature of our model is that individuals differ in their relative factor endowments we distinguish between two types of factors an accumulated factor called capital and a nonaccumulated factor called labor growth is driven by the expansion of the capital stock which is in turn determined by individual saving decisions long run growth is endogenous as the aggregate production function is taken to be linearly homogeneous in capital and productive government services taken together the provision of government services is financed by a tax on capital because government services are productive a small tax on

returning home after civil war food security and nutrition among burundian households abstractthis paper investigates the food security and nutritional status of formerly displaced households hhs using the 2006 core welfare indicator survey for burundi we compare their food intake and their level of expenses with that of their non displaced neighbours we test whether it is the duration of displacement that matters for current food security and nutritional status or the time lapsed since returning home we use log linear as well as propensity score matching and an instrumental variable approach to control for self selection bias we find that the individuals and hhs who returned home just before the time of the survey are worse off compared to those who returned several years earlier on average the formerly displaced have 5 per cent lower food expenses and 6 per cent lower calorie intake moreover we find evidence in favour of duration of displacement as the main mechanisms through which displacement affects hh welfare results are robust after controlling for self selection bias de

a political economy perspective on technology innovation in the kenyan clean cookstove sector abstract in kenya as in many sub saharan african countries clean cookstoves are promoted as a solution to various health environmental and livelihood challenges after decades of programs there is a need to better understand if clean cookstoves are really transforming household energy use and if not why not combining theory from technological innovation systems literature and political economy the article highlights key weaknesses in the sector and offers explanations for the limited success of efforts to introduce clean cookstoves to date clean cookstoves remain a nascent innovation system in kenya its main weaknesses being lack of strategic direction low levels of legitimacy among government and consumers and weak knowledge accumulation and learning in the absence of meaningful government engagement technological choices and business models are influenced by the interests and norms of external actors including a stronger emphasis on health outcomes than other livelihood or environmental benefits going forward achieving a transformation in cooking energy use will depend on what role national and county governments play fiscal incentives introduced in 2016 and work on the country s sustainable energy for all action plan are early signs of greater engagement with household energy challenges

government size and growth a survey and interpretation of the evidence the literature on the relationship between the size of government and economic growth is full of seemingly contradictory findings this conflict is largely explained by variations in definitions and the countries studied an alternative approach of limiting the focus to studies of the relationship in rich countries measuring government size as total taxes or total expenditure relative to gdp and relying on panel data estimations with variation over time reveals a more consistent picture the most recent studies find a significant negative correlation an increase in government size by 10 percentage points is associated with a 0 5 to 1 percent lower annual growth rate we discuss efforts to make sense of this correlation and note several pitfalls involved in giving it a causal interpretation against this background we discuss two explanations of why several countries with high taxes seem able to enjoy above average growth one hypothesis is that countries with higher social trust levels are able to develop larger government sectors without harming the economy another explanation is that countries with large governments compensate for high taxes and spending by implementing market friendly policies in other areas both explanations are supported by ongoing research