estimation of the tenants benefits residing in public rental housing with unit size constraint in korea summary hicksian income equivalent variation ev has often been used to measure tenants benefits in evaluating public housing programmes a number of papers have so far attempted to apply hicksian ev under the implicit assumption of no constraint on unit size of public housing as a result overestimation of tenants benefits probably occurs where unit size constraints exist as in korea s public housing programme thus the purpose of the paper is to measure hicksian ev with the constraint in unit size of public housing by formulating a revised hicksian ev equation and comparing the result with constraint free cases it is found that hicksian ev with constraint in unit size decreases relative to that of the constraint free cases the extent of ev decrease depends on the income elasticity of demand for housing and the difference between the optimum consumption of public housing under rent support demand wanted and the actual constraint of unit size demand fulfilled

adaptive versus rational expectations and the fisher effect substantial controversy remains over the causes of interest rate fluctuations this controversy frequently focuses on the role of expected inflation the theoretical determinats of the nominal rate are examined usig the is lm as model and it is shown that the augmented fisher equation is sensitive to the expectations generating mechanism the model assumes that the nominal rate ceteris paribuschanges one for one with expected inflation the total impact however may take any value from zero to one the empirical analysis sequentially estimates reduced form equations based on adaptive and rational expectations the results confirm prior findings that nominal rates do not adjust one for one with inflation the results also yield some insight on the applicability of the assumption of rational versus adaptive expectations

competition cooperation and innovation organizational arrangements for regimes of rapid technological progress abstract discussions of the link between firm size and innovation are outmoded because the boundaries of the firm have become fuzzy in recent decades strategic alliances constellations of bilateral agreements among firms are increasingly necessary to support innovative activities such alliances can facilitate complex coordination beyond what the price system can accomplish while avoiding the dysfunctional properties sometimes associated with hierarchy antitrust law and competition policy need to recognize that these new organizational forms are often the functional antithesis of cartels though they may have certain structural similarities a more complete understanding of bilateral contracts and agreements ought to reveal when and how cooperation can support rather than impede innovation and competition

assets and actions firm specific factors in the internationalization of u s internet firms by providing a nearly instant connection among parties at opposite corners of the world and enabling a variety of commercial exchanges the internet emerged as the technology expected to create a truly global market space internet firms faced the challenge of capitalizing on this development in this paper we examine what firm specific factors are associated with the propensity of pure u s based internet firms to enhance their international presence on the internet by developing country specific websites despite the assertion that all internet firms are born global our findings show that the pursuit of internationalization by internet firms is related to the levels of their intangible assets and strategic activity two types of intangible assets reputation and website traffic are positively related to the degree of internationalization so are the levels of competitive and cooperative activity and the interaction effects between reputation and competitive and cooperative activity these findings suggest that ideas from both resource based theory and research on competitive dynamics can contribute to understanding the internationalization of internet firms

unanticipated money growth and unemployment post sample forecasts in the late 1970s robert j barro published what has since become a popular model of business fluctuations barro s 3 findings provide evidence advocating the short run neutrality of money under rational expectations forging an important empirical link to the theoretical studies of lucas 19 20 and sargent and wallace 33 the original barro unemployment model has received additional support from further statistical testing 5 6 15 despite criticisms and modifications some of which are considered in barro s 6 updated model these equations have inspired numerous empirical studies analyzing unanticipated effects of macroeconomic variables this paper examines post sample forecasts of barro s original 3 and revised 6 unemployment equations for the 1974 84 period mayer 23 24 harvey 13 179 80 and lovell 18 among many contend that the ability to successfully forecast outside of the sample period is an important criterion for evaluating model robustness this view is also reflected in a substantial body of studies including 10 25 26 29 39 which investigate the post sample predictive performance of macroeconomic models one year ahead forecasts indicate that the barro 3 6 equations accurately predict unemployment for the 1974 79 period during 1980 84 however the predictive performance of both models sharply deteriorates augmenting the barro models with interest rate volatility in accordance with the findings of evans 11 and tatom 38 considerably improves the overall forecasting ability this modification also rectifies the 1980s structural instability of the barro unemployment equations furthermore the basic conclusions of the seminal barro work are retained with this augmented model the results reveal that increases in interest rate volatility exert significantly adverse effects upon unemployment corroborating with the findings of evans 11 and tatom 38 still interest rate volatility could be overlooked in previous estimations of the barro or other models of business fluctuations due to the variable s relative constancy prior to 1979

yield spreads as predictors of industrial production expectations on short rates or term premia this paper reconsiders information in the us t bill term structure for predicting movements in real monthly industrial production it is shown that although t bill spreads contain little or no predictive content increases in term premia estimated from a garch m model of the term structure do since these estimated premia are linear functions of the conditional variance of excess returns the implication is that increases in interest rate variability are associated with reductions in industrial production this evidence is robust to the inclusion of the spread between the 10 year tbond yield and one month t bill yields the t bill term structure therefore contains information which is independent of the long end of the term structure

does anticipated aggregate demand policy matter further econometric results a heated debate has arisen over what modigliani has dubbed the macro rational expections mre hypothesis this hypothesis embodies two component hypotheses 1 rational expectations and 2 short run neutrality i e that anticipated changes in aggregate demand will have already been taken into account in economic agents behavior and will thus evoke no output or employment response together these component hypotheses imply that deterministic feedback policy rules will have no effect on business cycle fluctuations the irrelevance of these types of policy rules is inconsistent with much previous macro theorizing as well as with the views of policymakers it is thus an extremely controversial proposition which requires a wide range of empirical research this paper is a sequel to a previous paper by the author that paper developed a methodology for testing the mre hypothesis and found that anticipated money growth does matter to the business cycle this paper extends the analyses to cases where the rate of nominal gnp growth or the inflation rate rather than money growth is the aggregate demand variable the empirical results are also negative on the mre hypothesis and its corresponding policy ineffectiveness proposition this abstract was borrowed from another version of this item

the redistributive effect of public housing in hong kong public housing programmes in hong kong affect half of the population directly and the other half indirectly this paper assesses the redistributive effect of public rental housing on income distribution it uses a subsidised to market rent ratio method and an imputed rent method to convert transfer in kind of public rental housing into equivalent monetary value empirical results show that the provision of public housing alleviates the income inequality problem however the amount of public expenditure required achieving the same improvements in gini coefficient and other inequality measures is small relative to the actual public expenditure on housing policy makers should thoroughly review the existing public housing programmes

money and disaggregate supply in the united states 1950 1982 the impact of money growth and money growth surprises on real output by sector is investigated it is shown that money provides a significant contribution to the explanation of the real output cycles in almost all sectors of the u s economy anticipated money is found to have real effects though there is some evidence that the real impact of money surprises is larger

residential hedonic models a rational expectations approach to age effects abstract this paper develops a rational expectations framework for interpreting the coefficient on age in a standard hedonic model the model demonstrates that there are two components to the age coefficient a pure cross sectional depreciation component and a demand side component that changes over time we also show that a constant quality price index with age constant can be estimated by using any repeat sales database that contains the year of construction or property age when fairfax county data are fitted to the model the time series of age coefficients is non stationary they change from negative in the early 1980s to positive in the late 1980s we infer that the demand side component dominated in the latter period

has m2 demand in the usa become unstable evidence from an error correction model the purpose of this paper is to estimate an appropriate broad money demand function for the united states and to examine its stability after 1987 when the federal reserve system began using m2 as a policy guide special attention is paid to the model specification its dynamic structure and to its cointegration properties the results from various dynamic error correction models suggest that i the money demand relationship is stable ii most previously estimated models have undoubtedly misspecified the interest rate variable iii interest rate variability is another important determinant of real money demand and iv in contrast of previous studies the long run scale variable is real gdp whereas real consumer spending is the short run scale variable the sample period examined is 1953 1 to 1991 4

monetary variability and real output abstract utilizing engel s econometrica 1982 50 987 1008 autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity arch model to consistently parameterize the conditional variance of money growth i find an inverse relationship between monetary variability and real output this provides some additional evidence in favor of friedman s journal of political economy 1977 85 451 472 famous conjecture

cooperation and political economic performance in affluent democratic capitalism research on comparative political economic performance has traditionally followed two separate tracks one concerned with collective economic gain growth and efficiency and the other focused on distribution and redistribution cooperative institutions offer a key to understanding cross national variation among the affluent capitalist democracies in both facets of political economic performance these institutions cluster along two dimensions neocorporatism and firm level cooperation pooled time series analysis for 18 nations over 1960 89 suggests that 1 neocorporatism is a major source of distributive redistributive policies and outcomes and of several sources of collective gain 2 firm level cooperation is a key contributor to economic growth

aggregate uncertainty capacity utilization and manufacturing investment theory suggests that the level of uncertainty affects the investment decision for firms although the sigh of the effect is ambiguous a garch m estimator is used to model the conditional variance of gdp as a proxy for uncertainty this measure is then employed in a simple model of the investment decision the results are that the level of aggregate uncertainty has a significant negative effect on manufacturing investment in particular periods there were very large effects on average uncertainty reduces investment by about 5 but in 1974 the effect peacked at 48

the effects on output of money growth and interest rate volatility in the united states in october 1979 the federal reserve began a policy of disinflation and also stopped stabilizing interest rates subsequently interest rates became much more volatile using a methodology advanced by barro this paper estimates what this change in policy did to output in the united states the paper finds that the stagnation of the u s economy since 1979 stemmed almost as much from increased interest rate volatility as from reduced money growth the paper also assesses the extent to which increased volatility of money growth has contributed to stagnation it finds no evidence of any appreciable contribution the paper concludes that stabilizing interest rates is probably sensible monetary policy

why reputation favors joint ventures over vertical and horizontal integration a simple model abstract this paper investigates the effect of reputation in a model where two parties make noncontractable contributions to an economic undertaking it is shown that the optimal allocation of ownership between the parties is more similar in a repeated than in a one shot version of the model this implies that unified ownership and reputation are substitutes low discount rates and repeated investment decisions thus favor subcontracting and joint venture arrangements of the type commonly observed in japanese industry while full integration is more likely to be optimal when reputational forces are weak

hedonic prices and public goods an argument for weighting locational attributes in hedonic regressions by lot size the hedonic price technique is frequently used for valuing attributes of housing in such an analysis a hedonic price function is specified p p x p is the price of a house and x is a vector of attributes of the house the attributes include structural features such as size age garage and fireplace and locational features such as neighborhood quality crime access to downtown and air quality the function is interpreted as an equilibrium price schedule for houses see rosen 5 its first derivative with respect to an element of x is an implicit price for that attribute the price function is estimated typically using cross sectional data from a housing market i argue that the measure of each locational attribute in a hedonic price function should be weighted by lot size and that the measure of each structural attribute should not be weighted the usual regression weights neither locational nor structural attributes by my argument if two houses are identical in every respect except that the measure of lot size of the first is twice that of the second then the measure for air quality access to parks and so on for the first should be twice that of the second i also argue that failure to weight locational attributes in a hedonic regression that should be weighted gives biased implicit price estimates for structural and locational attributes the direction and degree of bias depend on the correlations between the attributes and lot size in the housing market on the variance of lot size in the market and on the lot size of the observation for which implicit price is being estimated

the relation between money growth variability and the variability of money about target abstract an increase in the speed at which the fed returns the money stock to its targeted path following a stochastic shock can cause a lower variance of money about the targeted level while causing a greater variance of the growth rate of the money stock

new horizons or a strategic mirage artist led distribution versus alliance strategy in the video game industry abstract in this paper we contribute to the debate between researchers who argue that the emergence of online distribution allows content producers in the creative industries to bypass powerful publishers and distributors and other researchers who argue that this strategy cannot succeed without the complementary assets that these intermediaries provide we use a case study of the dutch video game developer dvgd bringing to market an identical game using two different but comparable distribution channels as a quasi experiment in the first release dvgd used online distribution to reach consumers directly whereas in the second it used an alliance with an established video game publisher we find that while the alliance required dvgd to share with the publisher a substantial fraction of the value appropriated by the game the alliance strategy resulted in greater absolute financial performance and relative market performance compared to the self publishing strategy we conclude that the differences in performance can be traced back to specialized complementary assets required for successful commercialization

the benefits of in kind government programs abstract in this paper i present a methodology to calculate the benefits of in kind programs such as public housing which restrict consumption of some goods to the levels offered by the government most previous studies begin with an a priori specification of the direct utility function i begin with the ordinary demand function and then integrate demand to recover the indirect utility function and the expenditure function i argue that this approach gives additional flexibility in choosing a functional form which best describes the data i then use this methodology to estimate the benefits of the u s government s section 8 housing program

innovation and cooperation implications for competition and antitrust n k robel laureate robert solow and his colleagues on mit s industrial productivity commission recently noted dertouzos lester and solow 1989 p 7 undeveloped cooperative relationships between individuals and between organizations stand out in our industry studies as obstacles to technological innovation and the improvement of industrial performance and later p 105 that interfirm cooperation in the u s has often though not always been inhibited by government antitrust regulation these striking conclusions warrant further exploration unfortunately industrial organization textbooks still discuss horizontal cooperation and competition almost exclusively in terms of standard cartel theory on the other hand vertical cooperation contracting is viewed differently and some textbooks provide treatments of supplier buyer relationships in which cooperation is viewed as enhancing efficiency both in the textbooks and in policy discussion among economists cooperation among competitors is highly suspect being perhaps the last bastion of what was once referred to as the inhospitality tradition in antitrust as a result very little literature addresses how cooperation among competitors can promote competition notwithstanding that cooperation among competitors may sometimes be essential if innovating firms are to compete in today s increasingly global markets imai and baba 1989 such cooperation is already important in japan and in europe 1

the demand for housing characteristics in developing countries this paper develops and estimates an econometric model of the household demand for housing characteristics the model is estimated using data from five cities and three developing countries overall the procedures employed work well in a wide variety of circumstances more specifically it is found that 1 household willingness to pay for living space increases with income but at a less than proportionate rate 2 willlingness to pay for living space declines as household size increases 3 willingness to pay for several quality measures structural quality wall roof and floor quality is quite responsive to income

federal reserve policy interest rate volatility and the u s capital raising mechanism the object of this paper is to examine in detail on the basis of the experience of the u s financial markets under the federal reserve system s new monetary policy procedures announced on october 6 1979 one potentially important effect on the nonfinancial economy due to the resulting increase in interest rate volatility in particular the possibility that increased volatility has impaired the market mechanism for raising long term business capital interest rate volatility has been a controversial issue in central bank policymaking for a long time the ultimate objectives that central banks pursue almost always refer to nonfinancial aspects of economic activity and well being like price stability and economic growth in carrying out policies designed to further these objectives however central banks typically operate exclusively in the financial markets their actions therefore affect interest rates directly and visibly whether to use this influence on interest rates to smooth out short run fluctuations or alternatively to implement actions focused solely on other objectives and hence leave interest rates to vary freely with the pulse of market pressures is the central question in the united states the evolution of the federal reserve system s monetary policy procedures during the last decade including in particular the changes an

complexity context and governance in biotechnology alliances this study explores the effect of coordination needs on alliance governance we examine coordination needs that arise as a consequence of the characteristics and the context of the alliance we posit that alliance characteristics and contextual factors influence alliance form and equity investment levels we evaluate the effects of the complexity of technology transfer and strategic complexity of the alliance we also study contextual factors represented by the distance between the intellectual property protection regimes of the home countries of the participants the focal firm s prior presence in the alliance country and its primary expertise in the industry we offer contrasting predictions based on appropriation and coordination perspectives our results demonstrate support for a dominant coordination perspective with alliance characteristics and some contextual factors influencing alliance form appropriation concerns play a weaker role and receive less support

futures markets and the fluctuations in inflation monetary growth and asset returns inflation and nominal interest rates have been volatile in recent years futures contracts in price indices would help in this environment by enhancing information about prices and by providing a convenient means for people to hedge against inflation there is some evidence that the availability of these instruments would encourage investment and reduce the mean real rate of return on long term bonds indexed bonds which are now significant in britain serve a similar purpose in the absence of such bonds there would be a market for price index futures although the volume of trading would probably be modest this abstract was borrowed from another version of this item

who co operates for innovation and why an empirical analysis abstract in recent years there has been growing interest in co operative arrangements for innovation with some commentators arguing innovation is no longer the province of individual firms but depends increasingly on collective action this paper examines the response to the uk s version of the second european community innovation survey cis 2 to investigate the patterns of co operation between innovating firms and external partners the analysis shows the relationship between innovation and co operation is not straightforward from a subjective i e firm based perspective it is clear that most firms still develop their new products processes and services without forming formal co operative arrangements for innovation with other organisations however firms that engage in r d and that are attempting to introduce higher level innovations i e new to the market rather than new to the firm innovations are much more likely to engage in co operative arrangements for innovation consequently if an objective i e innovation based perspective is taken which weighs innovations by their significance then it is likely that a significant proportion of high level innovations are developed through co operative arrangements although unfortunately the cis 2 does not indicate the direct significance of these arrangements to the development of the innovations in summary the extent of co operative arrangements for innovation appears to depend on the type of firms being considered and on what is meant by innovation

the value of time and recent u s money demand instability much controversy has surrounded the u s money demand relationship or more precisely its stability this is rather disappointing in light of the central importance of money demand estimates for the formulation and implementation of effective monetary policy and for almost all theories of aggregate economic activity to date the vast majority of alternative money demand specifications have generally failed to produce a stable money demand function throughout the 1970s and 1980s

nonlinear budget constraints and consumer demand an application to public programs for residential housing abstract this study presents a methodology for exploiting the nonlinear hedonic nature of housing prices to estimate the compensated demands of households for particular housing attributes the methodology is employed to provide hicksian benefit measures of a particular housing subsidy program typical of those undertaken recently in developing countries

trends random walks and the expectations augmented phillips curve evidence from six countries two major empirical results are reported first it is shown that time series measuring real activity in major industrialized countries contain nonstationarities of the random walk type second it turns out that the estimated influence of unexpected changes in inflation and monetary growth strongly depends on the chosen approach concerning nonstationarity the popular assumption of a deterministic time trend proxying for growth generally yields the hypothesized positive coefficients the influence of nominal surprises however becomes indistinguishable from zero if the respective equations are estimated in stationary differences of real activity variables copyright 1988 by ohio state university press

interest rate variability and economic performance some international evidence using data for short term and long term interest rates across a major group of industrial countries his paper studies the impact of interest rate variability on the cyclical behaviour of real output and the price level in these countries theory predicts that the increased variability of the interest rate stemming from a rise in the level of uncertainty has a negaive impact on he ouput demanded and supplied and in turn an ambiguous impact on the price level the empirical evidence is generally consistent with this prediction next the investigation attempts to shed some light on major sources of uncertainty underlying the interest rate variability focus in on he variability of monetary growth the exchange rate and the energy price some evidence on he relative contribution of these sources of uncertainty of the variability of the interest rate and in turn to the cyclical behaviour of real output and the price level across countries is provided

alternative housing concepts and the benefits of public housing programs abstract almost all previous studies analyzing the benefits and consumption effects of public housing programs have used aggregation theorems to construct composite goods housing and all other goods in this paper we show that if it is more realistically assumed that households have preferences defined on housing characteristics benefits estimated using the composite approach are upward biased some empirical work suggests that the bias is large we therefore strongly advise to take into account the composition of the bundle of housing attributes provided under a public housing program when evaluating the program s economic effects

interest rate variability and economic performance further evidence evans 1984 argues that a policy induced rise in unanticipated interest rate volatility in 1980 82 substantially and significantly reduced output in the u s economy he concludes that stabilizing interest rates is probably sensible monetary policy p 204 a second hypothesis that increased volatility of money growth has contributed to stagnation is rejected by evans this comment raises some questions about the strength of evans s conclusions and about the implicit channels of influence for his results evans s conclusion that only past unanticipated volatility affects output is theoretically and empirically weak anticipated changes in volatility are shown to have similar effects on output second evans implies that in barro s 1981 output model the channel of the interest rate volatility effect on the economy is through an unanticipated decline in aggregate demand the price level effect of such an unanticipated reduction in aggregate demand is tested in barro s price equation in examining these issues an alternative measure of money

the choice of functional form and variables in the hedonic price model in seoul this study demonstrates that the important part of exploring the proper functional form of the hedonic price model would include investigating a dissimilar and unique hedonic price structure when the hedonic price model is applied to different housing markets based on the adjustment to the usual technique necessitated by the regional and cultural setting of seoul the criteria for significance of implicit price root mean square percentage error and the log likelihood ratio test are applied to the choice of a useful functional form we conclude that investigating the structure of a local housing market and choosing proper variables reflecting regional and cultural characteristics both key parts of such a study require significant adjustment to the reality of seoul

spatial proximity and firm survival in a declining industrial district the case of knitwear firms in baden wu rttemberg the literature on small firm networks in industrial districts postulates the importance of territorial proximity for business innovation and regional development but empirical research to test this proposition is sparse while there is some research on the extent of interfirm co operation little is known about the performance outcomes of co operation i develop competing hypotheses from institutional ecological and random action theories concerning the survival chances of firms located in geographic proximity and test them with data on the complete population of knitwear firms in baden wurttemberg germany for the period from 1960 to 1998 proportional hazard estimates show that location in clusters of firms in the same industry increased business failure rates and location in diversified clusters of firms operating in complementary industries reduced failure rates the empirical results are most consistent with the ecological model of localized competition in resource environments la documentation

fiscal deficits and long term interest rates further evidence from annual data much debate has recently centered on the popular view that large u s budget deficits financed by the sale of bonds cause high interest rates if valid this view implies that deficits crowd out efficient private investment and adversely affect economic growth however bailey 2 and barro 3 have challenged this conventional view on theoretical grounds based on the ricardian equivalence proposition bailey and barro contend that rational economic agents interpret government deficits as postponed tax liabilities and thus will have no effects on private wealth or interest rates such theoretical ambiguity in regards to the impact of budget deficits has also been matched by an equally conflicting empirical evidence for example barth iden and russek 4 deleeuw and holloway 8 hutchison and pyle 20 makin 24 makin and tanzi 25 and zahid 35 have found a positive and significant effect of deficits on interest rates on the other hand evans 11 12 13 hoelscher 17 motley 28 and plosser 29 30 have all failed to find any systematic support for a significant positive impact of deficits on interest rates it should be observed that the above empirical studies have employed either monthly or quarterly data however some researchers e g hoelscher 18 have recently charged that monthly or quarterly data bias the results in favor of finding no significant linkage between deficits and interest rates they reasoned that portfolio adjustment lags are too long for monthly or even quarterly observations to reflect the actual correlation between deficits and interest rates to eliminate this problem of periodicity annual data was instead advocated 2 using annual data hoelscher 18 concluded that deficits have caused positive and significant changes in long term interest rates in the united states

money growth volatility and the macroeconomy this study analyzes the effects of variability in money growth on the macroeconomy for the period 1961 1 1984 4 within the context of a vector autoregressive model that contains variables typically included in a small macro model variance decompositions and historical decompositions are used to assess the impact of money growth variability the variance decompositions suggest substantial effects of money growth variability on the long term interest rate output and the price level historical decompositions for 1979 4 1984 4 suggest substantial effects of money growth variability on the interest rate and output but smaller effects on the price level are found copyright 1988 by ohio state university press