willingness to pay for quality improvements comparative statics and interpretation of contingent valuation results this paper extends variation function theory by examining the effects of changes in prices quality and income on willingness to pay for quality change comparative static effects are found for both on site users and nonusers of the resource these results are used to interpret contingent valuation empirical models for example the substitution and complementary relationships between trips to natural resource sites can be identified this paper also suggests tests for comparison of contingent valuation with recreation demand models and other tests of validity

low inflation the behavior of financial markets and institutions this paper provides a broad overview of the potential impact of low inflation deflation on u s financial markets and institutions it is argued that the contemporary experience of japan and the historical experience of the united states in the 1920s and 1930s offer only limited insights into the potential impact of low inflation deflation on today s u s financial system a number of potential implications are discussed including a decline in secondary market trading and a trend towards reintermediation in addition low inflation deflation is likely to have a material effect on bank duration and convexity exposures

how integrated are the money market and the bank loans market within the european union abstract this paper estimates cointegration vectors of the time series of money market interest rates and bank lending rates the study includes six member countries of the european union eu and covers a period of 10 years from 1985 to 1994 during this period significant steps were taken that intensified financial integration in the eu including the free flow of capital a system of stable exchange rate parities and the implementation of a single market for banking services we conclude that the domestic money markets are closely linked but the domestic banking markets are segmented preliminary investigation of international differences in the capital structure of firms on the one hand and of domestic business cycle conditions on the other hand do not seem to explain differences in bank spreads across countries the results point to other directions presumably to local market power and to differences in the role of lender monitoring

comment on cole the view that small rms face greater problems in obtaining credit thanlarge rms has a long history going back at least as far as the loan relationshipmodels of hodgeman 1961 and wood 1975 and the credit rationing work ofja ee and modigliani 1969 nevertheless there are few studies that provideor analyze direct evidence that credit is rationed with nonprice terms to rms at the macro level most empirical studies of business credit availability use in direct proxies ranging from early studies such as ja ee and modigliani 1969 who gauged availability by the share of small sized loans among all bank loans to more modern models that point to a role of cash ow as a determinant ofinvestment at the micro level empirical studies have indirectly tested forthe existence of credit rationing by assessing the behavior of loan pricing e g berger and udell 1992 1995 testing whether liquidity or cash owhas a greater impact on investment by smaller rms relative to larger rms e g fazzari et al 1988 or investigating whether smaller rms more heavilyuse expensive trade credit during periods of tight credit e g ja ee 1971 pe tersen and rajan 1994 cole 1998 lls a void in the literature on credit availability by testing how rm characteristics a ect a small rm s likelihood of experiencing a loan denialusing a unique cross section data set that provides direct evidence of nonpricecredit rationing this paper nds that preexisting nancial service relationshipswith a lender have a positive e ect on the probability of loan approvals con sistent with prior studies arguing that banks gain information about credit riskfrom monitoring borrower deposit activity e g black 1975 fama 1985 nakamura 1993 in addition results indicate that much of the e ect of

arbitrary values good causes and premature verdicts abstract this paper offers an alternative interpretation of the conclusions kahneman and knetsch propose based on two contingent valuation cvm surveys the evaluation argues that while framing is important to cvm estimates the design implementation and empirical findings reported from these surveys do not support their judgments moreover with the exception of temporal embedding conventional economic descriptions of individual behavior can explain the response patterns that they suggest are at variance with standard value theory

market response to banks granting lines of credit abstract prior research has shown and this paper confirms that when the market becomes aware a line of credit is granted the borrower s stock has a positive and significant reaction the borrower s reaction is used to identify the exact date the market becomes aware of the granting of the line of credit this date is used as a one day window to investigate whether the bank s stock also reacts this reaction will be most obvious with large lines of credit all lines of credit larger than us 1 billion granted during the years 1993 1996 are investigated the results show as predicted a positive and significant reaction by the bank s stock

environmental shocks and sustainability in microfinance evidence from the great famine of ireland i study the effects of a major environmental shock on microfinance lending by analyzing the irish loan funds during the great famine of ireland i find that funds in districts worse affected by bli

improving willingness to pay estimates for quality improvements through joint estimation with quality perceptions willingness to pay for quality change may depend on heterogeneous perceived quality levels contingent valuation studies should include measures of quality perceptions as covariates in the willingness to pay model in order to avoid omitted variable bias variation in quality perceptions across respondents leads to a potential endogeneity of quality perceptions i address the potential for endogeneity bias using an instrumental variables approach in which a measure of quality perceptions is included as a determinant of willingness to pay and is simultaneously determined by various exogenous factors the willingness to pay model is estimated jointly with quality perceptions allowing for correlation of the error terms using data on willingness to pay for water quality improvements in the neuse river in north carolina i reject exogeneity of perceived quality correcting for endogeneity improves the measurement of willingness to pay by differentiating willingness to pay among respondents with heterogeneous quality perceptions

revisiting prebisch and singer beyond the declining terms of trade thesis and on to technological capability development rather than the thesis of a secular decline in the commodity terms of trade prebisch and singer were more concerned with the income terms of trade consequently they advocated moderate import substitution is and recommended having it interweaved with export promotion ep to avoid technological dependence but achieve integrated industrialisation while coordinating is with ep prebisch emphasised enhancing indigenous technological densities and singer stressed building the indigenous capacities to create wealth that means while foreign direct investments should be attracted those activities should be managed and directed accordingly prebisch hoped to narrow the gap in centre periphery technological uneven development while singer aimed at tackling international dualism between rich and poor countries in the use of science and technology copyright the author 2012 published by oxford university press on behalf of the cambridge political economy society all rights reserved oxford university press

estimating willingness to pay for improved water quality in the presence of item nonresponse bias this article deals with the problem of item nonresponse in contingent valuation surveys using a payment card method by applying a grouped data sample selection estimation technique that is capable of imputing the missing values conditional upon a respondent s decision to answer a willingness to pay question the advantage of the technique lies in its ability to utilize all of the information in the sample permitting a more efficient estimation in the presence of item nonresponse bias the major determinants of willingness to pay appear to be household income number of children education perception of existing water quality and identification with environmental issues copyright 2003 oxford university press

determinants of the low sme loan approval rate in croatia the paper proposes a new methodological framework for investigating consistency in loan assessment decisions and determinants of loan approval based on structural equation modelling and covariance structure analysis we focus on a governmental sme loan programme in croatia and investigate possible reasons for low loan approval rate that occurred in spite of interest rates subsidisation and sufficient supply of the loan funds the novelty of the methodological approach taken is that it enables simultaneous investigation of the determinants of the loan approval and testing for consistency in the loan assessment decisions which need not be assumed we test several hypotheses about consistency in the loan approval decisions and lending preferences in croatia the empirical findings reject overall consistency of criteria but indicate a preference toward smaller loans among all sme loan requests banks preferred smaller firms that requested smaller loans the results suggest that individual banks differ in their criteria and in their loan size preferences and that there is no positive correlation between the bank s size and its loan size preference

overcoming information asymmetries in low income lending lessons from the working wheels program without access to transportation the welfare to work transition is nearly impossible yet little is known about the effectiveness of programs designed to improve credit access since 1998 vermont s tanf funds have provided automobile loans through the working wheels program we use microlevel data from this program to explore how to cost effectively provide loans to clients who cannot obtain affordable loans elsewhere our results verify the importance of relationship lending particularly among those without documented credit histories in the presence of information asymmetries about credit history our results justify the increased trust placed in clients with whom the bank has a stronger relationship such clients ceteris paribus are less likely to default we conclude that in the current climate of welfare reform policymakers should consider programs that encourage welfare recipients to establish and maintain relationships with financial institutions in order to facilitate access to credit and minimize the risk of default

technological capabilities and industrialization abstract this paper reviews the implications for industrial strategy of recent research on technological capabilities at the firm and national levels after exploring the nature and determinants of microlevel technological development a simple framework for explaining the growth of national capabilities is set out based on the interplay of incentives capabilities and institutions each may suffer market failure and so require corrective intervention the experience of some industrializing countries is described to assess the validity of this framework it is concluded that interventions carefully and selectively applied are necessary for industrial success

bond underwriting by banks and conflicts of interest evidence from japan during the pre war period abstract article 65 of the securities and exchange law of japan which was carried into effect in 1948 prohibited banks from underwriting corporate securities partially because of the concern that combining the banking and securities businesses might result in a potential conflict of interest this paper studies the pricing and long term default performance of industrial bonds underwritten by commercial banks the industrial bank of japan ibj and trust firms as compared to those underwritten by investment houses during the pre war period in japan when banks were allowed to underwrite industrial bonds the evidence rejects the concern about the conflicts of interest

trust interlinking transactions and credit in the industrial district an essential feature of the industrial district is trust among individuals and firms within it this paper focuses mainly on trust based on investments in building up a good reputation that is a personal capital that can even substitute for collateral in obtaining credit informal credit often linked to other transactions and especially subcontracting is therefore an important way of financing economic development in the industrial district moreover the importance of trust as personal capital gives rise to a double financial intermediation in the industrial district this double intermediation constitutes a device to reduce information problems that are usually responsible for credit rationing c 1994 academic press inc copyright 1994 by oxford university press

sharing default information as a borrower discipline device abstract creditors often share information about their customers credit records besides helping them to spot bad risks this acts as a disciplinary device if creditors are known to inform one another of defaults borrowers must consider that default on one lender would disrupt their credit rating with all the other lenders this increases their incentive to perform however sharing more detailed information can reduce this disciplinary effect borrowers incentives to perform may be greater when lenders only disclose past defaults than when they share all their information in some instances by fine tuning the type and accuracy of the information shared lenders can raise borrowers incentives to their first best level

information and credit access using bankruptcy as a signal legally a bankruptcy flag can appear on an individual s credit report for up to 10 years after the filing the flag affects an individual s credit score and in turn an individual s access to credit in this article we investigate how the bankruptcy flag affects access to credit along three dimensions loan acceptance the price of the loan as is determined by the interest rate and the amount of credit the household receives using the panel study of income dynamics and the survey of consumer finances we estimate a series of two stage models corrected for sample selection and adjusted to account for the household s level of creditworthiness we find that the bankruptcy flag increases the probability of being denied access to a loan the flag also increases interest rates for unsecured loans and lowers the credit limits available to households the findings have important implications with respect to current bankruptcy code and the impact that information such as the bankruptcy flag can have on the e

bank information monopolies and the mix of private and public debt claims this article examines the determinants of the mix of private and public debt using detailed information on the debt structure of 250 publicly traded corporations from 1980 through 1990 we find that the relationship between bank borrowing and the importance of growth opportunities depends on the number of banks the firm uses and whether the firm has public debt outstanding for firms with a single bank relationship the reliance on bank debt is negatively related to the importance of growth opportunities in contrast among firms borrowing from multiple banks the relationship is positive

corporate bond covenants and social responsibility investment this paper examines the effect of corporate social responsibility csr on the number of bond covenants we find that a high csr score has a negative association with the number of bond covenants moreover our results are more pronounced for firms with a high bid ask spread and high agency costs our analysis highlights the effect of the good stakeholder relationship on the bond contracts

interval estimates of non market resource values from referendum contingent valuation surveys contingent valuation methods cvm have attracted considerable attention in recent years as researchers have begun to resort to survey methods to elicit individual values for non market goods such as environmental resources or public goods cummings brookshire and schulze 1986 and mitchell and carson 1989 offer comprehensive assessments of these methods cvm survey questions come in a variety of forms one format which has proven to be popular is called the discrete choice or take it or leave it referendum or closedended question originally implemented in the literature by bishop and heberlein 1979 since respondents find it very difficult to identify precisely their true point value of access to some resource or public good open ended valuation questions can be unreliable or can discourage response in contrast most people are familiar with being confronted by a posted price for a good and with deciding whether or not they would buy at that price this is the strategy behind discrete choice cvm questions a different hypothetical price is offered to each respondent and by their yes no response to the question of whether they would be willing to pay this price the researcher gains information about their true underlying point value one persistent difficulty with the econometric techniques that are currently used most widely to analyze referendum contingent valuation data is the absence of confidence intervals for the ultimate value estimates early empirical applications approximate mean valuations using a truncated mean based on a logit model with the upper limit being the highest bid value in the sample unfortunately the variance of this estimated mean cannot easily be recovered from the numerical integration procedure commonly used to calculate the

do contingent valuation estimates pass a scope test a meta analysis abstract this paper considers the scope test proposed to judge the internal consistency of contingent valuation estimates the test is shown to be quite sensitive to the maintained hypotheses required to derive fairly precise expectations for the properties of wtp functions and therefore a different approach may be needed in gauging the reliability of cv this paper describes an approach that relies on a weight of the evidence criterion and uses meta analysis to develop a systematic appraisal of what the economic values of changes in amenity resources are the approach is illustrated for the case of estimating people s willingness to pay for improving or maintaining visibility at the national parks

disproportional control rights and the governance role of debt we examine the governance role of debt in the context of u s based dual class ownership structures we hypothesize that the use of debt alleviates the conflict between shareholder classes by balancing the power of controlling insiders we document that dual class firms have higher leverage and a greater propensity to issue private debt they also more frequently use cash sweeps and performance based covenants dual class firms with greater agency conflicts and a greater need to access the capital market appear to rely more extensively on debt these findings are consistent with controlling insiders bonding against the agency costs associated with dual class ownership the governance role of debt is further corroborated by the valuation effect of debt for dual class companies private debt issuances trigger greater positive market reactions to the inferior dual class stock in relation to both the superior dual class stock and a matched sample of single class firms further leverage attenuates the previou

what s different about banks abstract negotiable certificates of deposit cd s trade in the capital market in competition with other securities like commercial paper and bankers acceptances if cd s must pay lenders competitive monetary interest the reserve tax on cd s is borne by bank borrowers viability of the tax means there must be something special about bank loans that makes some borrowers willing to pay higher interest rates than those on other securities of equivalent risk moreover there must be something special about banks that prevents other intermediaries from competing to assure that it never pays to finance loans with cd s

a new paradigm for valuing non market goods using referendum data maximum likelihood estimation by censored logistic regression abstract this paper challenges the w m hanemann amer j agr econom 66 332 341 1984 and c sellar j p chavas and j r stoll j environ econom management 13 382 390 1986 utilizations of logit models to estimate the value of non market resources from referendum survey data these data are more informative than conventional choice data the random utility interpretation of logit models is therefore too restrictive bypassing the utility function entirely it will be shown that parameters and standard errors for utility theoretic inverse hicksian demand functions can be extracted directly and much more simply estimated demand functions need not be limited to those corresponding to the linear in parameters utility difference specifications which can be handled by packaged logit programs

earmarking conservation further inquiry on scope effects in stated preference methods applied to nature based tourism abstract the way people assign value to nature conservation policies has important implications for management choices economic valuation surveys are affected by individual behavioural patterns that are not exhaustively explained by traditional sources of bias such as embedding flagship species fixed budget commodity misspecification and warm glows through a contingent valuation study of alpine wildlife we use an external scope test to evaluate the difference in willingness to pay among tourists for conservation policies targeted either to the ibex alone or to the four ungulates populating the gran paradiso national park in northwest italy ibex red deer roe deer chamois we find that park users are willing to contribute significantly more to policies protecting one of the four ungulates than all four of them a result that we argue should be ascribed to pure aversion to less specific policy objectives i e to a preference for punctual earmarking of resources devoted to conservation

market response to bank relationships evidence from korean bank reform abstract this paper examines how the forced closure of failing banks and the transfer of their loans to surviving banks affect the market value of firms that borrow from the closed banks pre existing relationships between firms and the banks that acquire their loans are detrimental to the positive valuation effects of the event banks may have an incentive to favor pre existing relationships to increase the value of previously extended loans therefore loan renewals to firms with prior relationships do not signal borrower quality to the market which is aware of the banks conflicts of interest this study highlights the importance of the specific mechanisms employed to replace failed banks without decreasing the value of their client firms

diagnosing insensitivity to scope in contingent valuation sensitivity to scope is considered a desirable property of contingent valuation studies and often treated as a necessary condition for validity we first provide an overview of scope insensitivity explanations put forth in the environmental valuation literature then we analyze data from a contingent valuation survey eliciting willingness to pay to prevent oil spills of four different magnitudes in arctic norway in the baseline analysis the scope inference is ambiguous there is only statistical difference in willingness to pay to avoid a very large versus small oil spill nok 1869 and nok 1086 respectively however further explorations show that several confounding factors suggested in the literature influence the scope inference the scope sensitivity improves when we control for subjective probabilities of amenity provision exclude respondents based on the debriefing questions take into consideration the sample sizes and impose diminishing marginal utility overall the analysis supports an emerging view in the contingent valuation literature suggesting that statistical scope insensitivity is not a sufficient reason for deeming a study invalid

banks and loan sales marketing nonmarketable assets theories of financial intermediation predict that bank loans should not be marketable because of moral hazard problems banks will not conduct credit risk analysis or monitor borrowers if they are not at risk for failing to perform these services throughout most of history bank loans have not in fact been marketable yet by the end of the 1980 s the amount of commercial and industrial loan sales outstanding had grown to over 250 billion from trivial amounts at the beginning of the decade to explain the opening of this loan sales market we present a model of incentive compatible loan sales that allows for implicit contractual features between loan sellers and loan buyers we then test for the presence of these features using a sample of over 800 recent loan sales

a reconsideration of import substitution this paper studies the origins of an import substitution strategy of development summarizes the consequences of that strategy and reviews the problems that led to its failure the fundamental difficulty was its discouragement of the indigenous social learning necessary for sustained independent development the emergence of an outward oriented minimal government strategy is due to the success of korea and taiwan this strategy fails to recognize that social learning requires a strong role for national agents and that this role can be penalized by undue openness an effective strategy must protect and induce domestic learning without penalizing exporting

do banks have a future abstract are banks special intermediaries do they play any unique role in the economy and if so will they retain their specialness in the ever faster changing world of finance the rapid evolution of finance over the last two decades and the breathtaking e age revolution have persuaded many that eventually banks will be indistinguishable from other financial intermediaries since all their functions can at least as efficiently be carried out by nonbanks this study re explores the issue of the specialness of banks in light of the large existing literature on the subject and presents an approach which identifies the banks specialness with their unique capacity to lend out claims on their own debt which the public accepts and uses as money the study discusses various structural and policy implications deriving from the approach and draws on it to point to the continuing relevance of banking in a world where nonbanks are taking business away from banks lending to production has become relatively less important and the use of e money may soon be dominating financial transactions

the effect of lender identity on a borrowing firm s equity return previous research demonstrates that a firm s common stock price tends to fall when it issues new public securities by contrast commercial bank loans elicit significantly positive borrower returns this article investigates whether the lender s identity influences the market s reaction to a loan announcement although we find no significant difference between the market s response to bank and nonbank loans we do find that lenders with a higher credit rating are associated with larger abnormal borrower returns this evidence complements earlier findings that an auditor s or investment banker s perceived quality signals valuable information about firm value to uninformed market investors previous studies show that certain types of loan announcements generate significantly positive abnormal returns to the average borrower s equity 1 this finding contrasts with the negative equity returns generally associated with a corporation s issuance of public securities smith 1986 this difference in market reactions indicates that private and public securities are not perfect substitutes for the average firm in this sense lender identity defined as public versus private lender significantly impacts the borrower s abnormal equity return the standard theoretical explanation for this difference is that private lenders either obtain private information about the firm s value or they have the incentive and ability to monitor firm behavior more effectively than other outside monitors can although the empirical literature on private lending has evaluated primarily commercial bank loans and lines of credit these theoretical arguments apply equally to any type of private

plausible responsiveness to scope in contingent valuation plausible responsiveness to scope is a question of economic significance in addition to statistical significance of the scope test in contingent valuation we briefly review the history of the scope test in order to place the current issue in the context of the bp deepwater horizon oil spill as a result of the review we gain insights into how the issue of scope adequacy arose twenty years after it was first mentioned by the noaa panel on contingent valuation following the exxon valdez oil spill we then provide a review of desvousges mathews and train 2012 who promote the adding up test to identify inadequate responsiveness to scope adequacy the adding up test is a test of the construct validity of the contingent valuation method but is flawed as a measure of economic significance we propose scope elasticity of willingness to pay as a measure of economic significance a simulation suggests a likely range of elasticity estimates given linear and quadratic functional forms for the willingness to pay function in order to illustrate the ease of implementation of scope elasticity within the context of the standard scope test we calculate scope elasticity with willingness to pay estimates from several studies describe two studies that directly estimate scope elasticity and estimate scope elasticity with primary data from two studies all of these empirical estimates of scope elasticity fall within the range of scope elasticity suggested by the simulation scope elasticity provides a practical way forward relative to the adding up test on the issue of economic significance of scope effects

benefits of relationship banking evidence from consumer credit markets abstract using a unique panel dataset that contains comprehensive information about the relationships between a large bank and its credit card customers we show that relationship accounts exhibit lower probabilities of default and attrition and have higher utilization rates than non relationship accounts dynamic information about changes in the behavior of a customer s other accounts at the same bank helps predict the behavior of the credit card account over time these results imply that relationship banking offers significant potential benefits to banks information the lender has at its disposal can be used to mitigate credit risk on the credit card account

the contingent valuation debate why economists should care t he contingent valuation method involves the use of sample surveys questionnaires to elicit the willingness of respondents to pay for generally hypothetical projects or programs the name of the method refers to the fact that the values revealed by respondents are contingent upon the constructed or simulated market presented in the survey a spirited and occasionally mean spirited battle over such methods is currently being waged involving competing factions within the federal government economists and lawyers representing business and environmental groups and interested academics as well at issue is a seemingly quite specific question should environmental regulations currently under development at both the department of the interior and the department of commerce sanction the use of the contingent valuation method in estimating the damage done by spills of oil chemicals or other substances covered by federal law more generally the debate raises broad questions about what economists have to say about the values that individuals place on public or private goods the two papers that follow this one make cases for and against the use of the contingent valuation method my aim here is to provide an overview of the technique and the debate surrounding it i also want to suggest why this debate should matter to economists both professionally and in their roles as citizens and consumers

part whole bias in contingent valuation will scope effects be detected with inexpensive survey methods the purpose of this paper is to test for scope effects with the contingent valuation method we use data from a telephone survey focusing on water quality improvements in the albemarle and pamlico sounds in north carolina we find that the willingness to pay estimates are sensitive to the scope of the policy these results suggest that the use of inexpensive survey methods may not be the cause of the failure to detect scope effects in some recent contingent valuation studies

financial intermediation and delegated monitoring this paper develops a theory of financial intermediation based on minimizing the cost of monitoring information which is useful for resolving incentive problems between borrowers and lenders it presents a characterization of the costs of providing incentives for delegated monitoring by a financial intermediary diversification within an intermediary serves to reduce these costs even in a risk neutral economy the paper presents some more general analysis of the effect of diversification on resolving incentive problems in the environment assumed in the model debt contracts with costly bankruptcy are shown to be optimal the analysis has implications for the portfolio structure and capital structure of intermediaries

some empirical evidence on embedding effects in contingent valuation of forest protection abstract we test for an embedding effect on a geographically distributed public good and the extent to which improvements in the cvm design reduce the occurrence and magnitude of embedding effects in valuation using both open ended and dichotomous choice cvm for protection of forests in all of southeastern australia and two smaller portions of that area we find the occurrence of embedding effects in only one of the two levels when embedding effects were present there was a reduction in value much smaller than that found by kahneman and knetsch

the emergence and regulation of contingent commitment banking abstract in but a relatively few years banking has changed considerably now it is very much a business of making contingent promises or commitments and even just a decade ago it was not recognizing change is apparently easier though than accounting for it or than not worrying about it in this paper an attempt is made to account for the change from traditional to contingent commitment banking an attempt which must however be regarded as less than brilliantly successful and responding to the concern that has been expressed by among others federal reserve officials it is argued that even if banking keeps on changing until the last vestige of the traditional has disappeared the federal reserve need not in the end be less effective as the u s monetary authority than it is at present there is also a concern shared by some federal reserve officials that if change persists then unless bank regulatory policy is altered appropriately financial stability will be increasingly threatened that could be but as is argued in the paper it is far from obvious that more capital and or a risk adjusted capital requirement will make bank failures rarer than they otherwise would be

nonuse values in benefit cost analysis benefit cost analysis bca is a pragmatic realization of the theory of welfare economics much of the research associated with bca has sought to expand the types of benefits that can be measured in dollar terms with this research there has been a progressive movement of goods and services from the set without measures usually designated as intangibles in bca terminology to the set with for example the recreational services provided by projects associated with dams for hydroelectric power or flood control were regarded as intangible until the development of the travel cost model for estimating the demand for outdoor recreation sites one of the current frontiers in bca research is associated with modeling and measuring nonuse benefits in contrast to the past efforts with intangibles research on this topic has remained controversial with few direct effects on the practice of applied welfare economics there are two principal reasons for this outcome first there has not been an accepted set of definitions for nonuse benefits and second applied studies with empirical estimates of nonuse benefits have until recently been non existent clearly these problems are related a consistent set of definitions is a necessary prerequisite for empirical implementation i will argue that consistent definitions for nonuse benefits have been elusive because the conceptual frameworks used in the literature to describe its primary components option value and existence values are not mutually consistent in the process of demonstrating this result i will describe the elements of a consistent framework for treating both use and nonuse benefits and apply it in explaining some of the problems with the available empirical estimates of nonuse benefits

the information content of distressed restructurings involving public and private debt claims abstract this paper examines debt restructurings by financially distressed firms we develop a model which predicts that in public debt exchange offers firms with unfavorable private information will offer equity claims to convince bondholders that the firm s prospects are poor in contrast offering equity to well informed private lenders conveys favorable private information to outsiders consistent with our analysis we find positive average abnormal returns around restructurings that offer equity to private lenders and senior debt to public debtholders and we find significant negative average abnormal returns when private lenders are offered senior debt and public lenders are offered equity

relationships and rationing in consumer loans we empirically examine how relationships between individual households and their creditors affect the probability of being credit rationed using a data set where the credit rationing of individual households is observed directly we show that relationship duration and the number of activities between a family and a potential lender significantly lower the probability of being credit rationed additionally we examine the relative role of relationships in determining the interest rates of two consumer loans a mortgage loan and a special purposes loan and show that mortgage loan rates are driven less by relationship factors than the special purposes loan rates copyright 1999 by university of chicago press

an examination of the factors associated with bank switching in the u k small firm sector previous research has consistently shown that a large number of firms are sufficiently dissatisfied with their bank relationship to have considered switching to an alternative bank in practice however the number of firms which actually switch banks is relatively low this paper examines empirical evidence from a postal survey of small firms in order to investigate this paradox binomial and multinomial logistic regression is used to identify the characteristics which discriminate between a group of firms considering switching banks and two other groups namely those which had switched banks in the previous three years and those which had not switched banks and were not considering doing so the paper tests the hypothesis that some small firms may be informationally captured in that they are tied into their current bank relationship due to difficulties in conveying accurate information about their performance the results provide some evidence in support of the hypothesis in that rapidly changing information particularly changing technology was a characteristic associated with firms which were considering switching but had not switched however there was no significant evidence to support the hypothesis that superior performing firms are more likely to be informationally captured growth and perceived business success were both associated with firms which switched banks there was strong evidence that the main drivers of the decision to switch or consider switching banks were difficulties obtaining finance and dissatisfaction with the service provided the results also showed that firms which were considering switching banks tended to use more alternative non banking sources of finance it is concluded that some firms will resolve difficulties obtaining finance by switching banks whereas others will use alternative sources of finance depending on the balance between the benefits of switching such as increased finance and switching costs including information provision

an investigation of part whole biases in contingent valuation studies abstract part whole bias is a possible explanation for nonuse contingent valuation estimates that are insensitive to marginal changes in environmental commodities our empirical analyses reveal no statistically significant differences in willingness to pay of independent samples of nonusers to prevent 2000 20 000 or 200 000 migratory waterfowl deaths in the central flyway all numbers less than 2 of the waterfowl population five alternative propositions for explaining this empirical findings do not provide a completely satisfactory explanation more research is necessary to investigate appropriate commodity metrics sample sizes for small changes in environmental commodities and consider how respondents evaluate small changes in environmental commodities

referendum design and contingent valuation the noaa panel s no vote recommendation this paper considers the effects for offering a would not vote option in contingent valuation cv questions framed using the referendum format this approach arises from a suggestion made by the national oceanic and atmospheric administration s noaa panel on contingent valuation the noaa panel was asked to evaluate the use of this method for estimating the economic value of nonmarketed environmental resources in the context of natural resource damage assessments this test used the cv questionnaire developed for the study of the exxon valdez oil spill conducted by the state of alaska with in person interviews the findings suggest that when those selecting the would not vote response are treated as having voted against the program a conservative coding offering this option does not alter 1 the distribution of for and against responses 2 the estimates of willingness to pay derived from these choices or 3 the construct validity of the results

optimal monetary policy with countercyclical credit spreads we study optimal monetary policy in a new keynesian dynamic stochastic general equilibrium dsge model with a credit channel and relationship lending in banking we show that borrowers bank specific deep habits give rise to countercyclical credit spreads which in turn make optimal monetary policy depart substantially from price stability under both discretion and commitment our analysis shows that the welfare costs of setting monetary policy under discretion with respect to the optimal ramsey plan and of using simpler suboptimal policy rules are strictly increasing in the magnitude of deep habits in credit markets and market power in banking

sequencing and nesting in contingent valuation surveys abstract the term embedding is ill defined and has been applied to distinct phenomena some predicted by economic theory and others not this paper lays out a theoretical framework for looking at these phenomena and provides a set of well defined terms included is a discussion of survey design problems which may induce spurious evidence in favor of the hypothesis that respondents are insensitive to the scope of the good being valued an empirical example of the component sensitivity is provided this test rejects the hypothesis that respondents are insensitive to the scope of the good being valued

the credit effects of monetary policy evidence using loan commitments in addition to the usual channels monetary policy may affect spending by changing the supply of bank loans and the creditworthiness of borrowers this paper tests for these credit effects using a contractual difference across commercial bank loans the author finds that bank loans not made under a commitment slow after tight policy while loans under commitment accelerate or are unchanged this divergence coincides with reports of tighter credit by lenders and by small firms suggesting the divergence reflects a reduction in the supply of credit to the firms without commitments rather than a reduction in their demand for loans

adequate responsiveness to scope in contingent valuation the standard test for scope sensitivity in contingent valuation studies determines whether the response to changes in scope is statistically significant it does not address whether the magnitude of response is appropriate given the specified changes in scope we examine contingent valuation studies that implemented scope tests to determine what they imply about the adequacy of response to scope we find that in the vast majority of studies the magnitude of response cannot be assessed only three studies permit such an assessment samples and hollyer 1990 diamond et al 1993 and chapman et al 2009 the first two papers find that responses to their surveys did not vary adequately with scope the third study passed the standard scope test but we show that the magnitude of response in this study is inadequate by straightforward methods of assessment and cannot be explained by diminishing marginal utility or substitution more research is needed on this issue including wider application of adding up tests on incremental parts as well as the development of other methods that permit an assessment of the magnitude of response or other tests of rationality

debt and communications technology diffusion retrospective evidence this study has evaluated the relationship between debt in the capital structure of firms and the dynamics of broadband and digital technology adoption in the united states based on a large dataset on local exchange carriers in the united states over a contemporary historical fourteen year period from 1988 to 2001 using treatment effects modeling the impact of debt in impacting the levels of firms broadband deployment has been found to be negative and significant the primary source of debt in the sector has been in the form of arm s length corporate bonds and the assumptions of the monitoring hypothesis associated with such debt that lenders in the face of information and collective actions problems might not be able to control managers and hence invest less in highly technology intensive situations are supported by the data additionally the data set has been split into separate sets for two periods one between 1988 and 1995 for the period before the telecommunications act of 1996 came into force and the other set between 1996 and 2001 and the results have stayed consistent a test of the coefficients between the two periods has shown that the negative impact of leverage on broadband deployment has become stronger after the introduction of competition in the sector and this has suggested that the change in the institutional logics between the two periods has been of material impact in influencing lenders perceptions

comovement information production and the business cycle abstract recent theoretical research suggests that information production is a positive externality of aggregate economic activity veldkamp 2005 both the quantity and quality of information increase during periods of economic expansion and decrease during periods of contraction based on this insight we hypothesize and confirm that time varying information production drives the comovement patterns observed in stock returns we examine stock return comovement in 36 countries from 1980 to 2007 and show that consistent with the theory comovement patterns are countercyclical that is when information production is high low comovement is low high we also find that the relation between comovement and the business cycle is stronger in countries that experience large intertemporal swings in information production finally we show that the relation between business cycle and comovement is stronger in poor countries countries with less developed financial markets and countries with weaker accounting and transparency standards these results suggest that financial development and transparency are conducive to a steady flow of financial information over the business cycle

must contingent valuation surveys cost so much abstract in 1989 the exxon valdez ran aground and spilled 11 million gallons of oil in alaska great controversy has surrounded the assessment of monetary damages for this oil spill the source of this controversy has been the use of hypothetical contingent valuation surveys to assess damages to individual households and the aggregation of these survey values over all households in the united states the assessment prepared for the state of alaska is reported to have cost several million dollars to undertake we show that considerable economy can be effected in the elicitation of such survey responses our approach is to use a cheaper convenience sample to generate a statistical model of behavioral responses to the valuation questions and then to use sample averages of population characteristics to predict the behavior of the population thus we use a model of the behavior of students to predict the behavior of all of the adult citizens of the united states we find that we can obtain essentially the same damage estimates as a more expensive probability sample of the entire nation

an adding up test on contingent valuations of river and lake quality for a contingent valuation cv study of a bundle of water quality improvements this paper tests whether the sum of the estimated willingness to pay wtp for each individual part of the package evaluated incrementally equals the estimated wtp for the entire bundle as implied by standard utility theory this is the first application of the adding up test using incremental parts and carson and groves s 2007 procedures to induce truthful respondents answers the test is failed which implies that either the cv method did not elicit truthful answers or that respondents true preferences are inconsistent with standard utility theory

reason for reserve reserve requirements and credit this paper considers the impact of a regulatory policy action on bank credit and traces its incidence across banks i make use of a reserve requirement increase in lebanon that was considerably greater on foreign currency deposits than on domestic currency deposits all banks cut lending as they scrambled to adjust portfolios but the policy shock disproportionately affected banks with a greater reliance on dollar funding and with low buffers of dollar liquid assets exposed domestic owned banks also adjusted more slowly than similar foreign owned banks that obtained outside funding descriptive firm bank matching evidence reveals a disproportionate impact on small firms

citicorp travelers group merger challenging barriers between banking and insurance abstract the citicorp travelers group merger increased the prospects for new legislation to remove the barriers between banking and insurance resulting in a positive wealth effect for institutions most likely to gain from deregulation analysis of abnormal returns surrounding the merger show that life insurance companies and large banks excluding citicorp and travelers group have significant stock price increases while the returns of small banks health insurers and property casualty insurers are insignificantly different from 0 this analysis provides evidence that investors expect large banks and insurance companies to receive significant benefits from recent congressional legislation removing barriers to bancassurance

deposit insurance and subsidized recapitalizations the 2007 2009 financial crisis saw a vast expansion in deposit insurance guarantees around the world and yet our understanding of the design and consequences of deposit insurance schemes is in its infancy we provide a new rationale for the provision of deposit insurance in our model the banking sector exhibits both adverse selection and moral hazard which implies that the social benefits of bank monitoring must for incentive reasons be shared between depositors and banks consequently socially too few deposits are made in equilibrium deposit insurance or equivalently bank recapitalization corrects this market failure we find that deposit insurance should be funded not by banks or depositors but out of general taxation the optimal level of deposit insurance varies inversely with the quality of the banking system hence when the soundness of the financial sector is uncertain governments should consider supporting deposit insurance schemes and undertaking subsidized recapitalizations

on the determinants of credit rationing firm level evidence from transition countries abstract using survey data for firms from eastern european transition economies we investigate the determinants of credit rationing our rationing definition incorporates firms whose loan application was rejected but also discouraged potential borrowers we employ a bivariate probit with censoring approach that accounts for the underlying selectivity since rationed firms are a subset of those without a loan we include firm specific attributes related to the alleviation of informational asymmetries and therefore expected to affect credit rationing we find that credit rationing depends on firm size profitability sales growth ownership type legal status sectoral heterogeneity and the country specific level of domestic credit

bank lending and initial public offerings abstract in this paper we test the hypothesis that banking relations are a signal about firm value we argue that bank processing of asymmetric information and external monitoring of corporate activities reduce the ex ante uncertainty of investors about firm value we demonstrate that the existence of bank debt and or lines of credit lowers the expected initial return associated with initial public offerings the empirical results are robust with respect to the inclusion of variables which reflect other mechanisms that can ameliorate ex ante uncertainty our work adds to the body of evidence that supports the hypothesis that intermediaries provide valuable asset services to corporate borrowers

the role of demographics in small business loan pricing demographic change influences the structure of the entrepreneurially active population which may affect credit risk and financing conditions of small firms using bank internal data of small business loans in germany we find that the lending relationship plays a larger role for loan prices than demographics loan rates decrease with soft information gained through longer loan processing time and a larger number of accounts at the same bank they increase with hard information about repayment arrears and reminders late payments have the largest influence on loan prices older entrepreneurs do not seem to be discriminated rather the younger have to pay more because their loans and businesses are smaller and they lack liquidity to pay in time marital status and population density of the business district do not matter this is good news for aging economies with a rising share of elderly and singles and growing disparities between peripheral and agglomerated regions

contingent valuation and social choice the contingent valuation method for estimating the existence value of natural resources is examined for psychophysical robustness statistical reliability and economic sensibility extensions of standard models for willingness to pay and suitable econometric techniques for analyzing these models are developed the analysis is applied to a series of experiments on the value of preserving wilderness areas in the western united states the results call into question the reliability of the cv method for estimating existence values

scope effects in contingent valuation does the assumed statistical distribution of wtp matter abstract economic theory assumes that willingness to pay wtp increases with the quantity of the consumed good this implies that there should be a scope effect in contingent valuation studies however in previous issues of ecological economics several authors criticized the contingent valuation cv method for the absence of such effect or its inadequacy in this paper we contribute to this ongoing debate by proposing to systematically apply several wtp statistical distribution assumptions to test for scope effects and check its plausibility following whitehead s 2016 recent recommendations we perform this approach using data from a swiss case study assessing the wtp for an increased surface of forest reserves we find that both mean wtp and scope effects are sensitive to the statistical distribution assumption regarding plausibility scope elasticities provide mixed result and also depend on the assumed statistical distribution of wtp for small sample size cv studies a non parametric analysis a spike model or an open ended format can thus be better suited to reveal scope effects than the classical parametric dichotomous choice analysis we thus recommend to systematically apply several statistical distribution assumptions of wtp to test for scope effects and their plausibility

competitive interest payments on bank deposits and the long run demand for money reply this paper tests two assumptions made in previous demand for money studies the first assumption concerns the role assigned to the interest rate in the demand for money function common practice identifies the rate of interest with the opportunity cost of holding money in section i this formulation is shown to blur an important distinction between the price of money and the price of money substitutes and to implicitly assume that the relevant price variable is the difference between these two distinct prices a second assumption is that the current ban on interest payments on demand deposits is fully effective in section ii i operationally define these price variables and estimate perfectly competitive interest payments on commercial bank deposits this is done by crudely measuring commercial bank marginal costs and assuming that all excess profit is passed on to depositors in indirect ways section iii presents estimates of a more complete longrun demand for money relationship which explicitly includes an own price and a cross price as separate influences and assumes that the prohibition of the payment of interest on deposits is totally ineffective although no firm conclusion is reached concerning the proper functional specification of the demand function the results significantly improve upon previous demand for money estimates which assumed that the interest payment prohibition is totally effective in section iv the results are summarized and implications of the analysis for monetary theory are presented my competitive demand for money formulation leads to a reinterpretation of the existing evidence on what is generally referred to as the interest elasticity of demand for money this estimate is shown to be significantly biased downward it also implies that the demand for and supply of money are more interdependent than is usually assumed

corporate structure liquidity and investment evidence from japanese industrial groups this paper presents evidence suggesting that information and incentive problems in the capital market affect investment we come to this conclusion by examining two sets of japanese firms the first set has close financial ties to large japanese banks that serve as their primary source of external finance and are likely to be well informed about the firm the second set of firms has weaker links to a main bank and presumably faces greater problems raising capital investment is more sensitive to liquidity for the second set of firms than for the first set the analysis also highlights the role of financial intermediaries in the investment process

the certification value of private debt renegotiation and the design of financial contracts empirical evidence from europe abstract by using a sample of bank loan renegotiations by european firms i show that the renegotiation of financial contracts bears a certification value while deeply changing the contractual features of the loan over time to the benefit of shareholders i find that amendments to financial covenants and to loan amounts increase the cumulative abnormal returns of a borrowing firm by 10 15 early and less frequent renegotiations of bilateral loans with short maturities also imply a positive stock market reaction amendments signaling the early accrual of new and positive information allow increasing firm value

the benefits of lending relationships evidence from small business data this paper empirically examines how ties between a firm and its creditors affect the availability and cost of funds to the firm we analyze data collected in a survey of small firms by the small business administration the primary benefit of building close ties with an institutional creditor is that the availability of financing increases we find smaller effects on the price of credit attempts to widen the circle of relationships by borrowing from multiple lenders increases the price and reduces the availability of credit in sum relationships are valuable and appear to operate more through quantities rather than prices

bias in discrete response contingent valuation abstract the empirical literature on discrete response contingent valuation has found that seemingly innocuous changes in the statistical models estimated result in significantly different point estimates of willingness to pay this paper hypothesizes and tests several potential explanations for these results first it investigates and compares the biases inherent in single bounded and double bounded maximum likelihood estimation procedures and examines how they react to various bid designs and sample sizes then it examines the presence and identification of outliers in binary choice data and how these outliers influence estimation finally it presents an alternative approach to addressing the issue of outliers which explicitly acknowledges the possibility of upwardly biased response probabilities

testing the internal consistency of contingent valuation surveys abstract for an internal consistency check one can examine wtp responses to different surveys holding an environmental problem constant concave preferences imply wtpconcavein the success of a remedy the same preferences imply wtpconvexin the magnitude of an environmental problem assuming a successful remedy having opposite signed curvature of these two wtp patterns is general not requiring concave preferences for an adding up test an environmental commodity can be divided then wtp for one part plus wtp for the second part conditional on already having the first part equals wtp for the whole adjusted by an income effect

referendum models and economic values theoretical intuitive and practical bounds on willingness to pay innovations in the estimation of referendum type contingent valuation models have led to willingness to pay wtp measures inconsistent with consumer preferences and unbounded from above or below we propose a set of criteria which guarantee a bounded measure of wtp the criteria reject the traditional random utility model with unrestricted error terms in favor of the random wtp model with bounds on wtp once wtp is bounded by zero and income the form of the distribution is less consequential a new model for wtp is developed based on the beta distribution and is compared to previously estimated models

construct validity of dichotomous and polychotomous choice contingent valuation questions in this note we conduct construct validity tests for dichotomous choice dc and polychotomous choice pc contingent valuation questions contrary to previous results we find that dc and pc estimates of willingness to pay are theoretically valid convergent valid and similar in terms of statistical precision similar to previous results pc respondents are less sensitive to information than dc respondents we conclude that dc and pc valuation questions are construct valid for this study sequential pc valuation questions could be used in studies where obtaining information about the certainty or intensity of respondent preferences would be useful

capital regulation and insured banks choice of individual loan default risks abstract how bankers choose the riskiness of their individual assets is an important question it is well known that fixed premium deposit insurance leads a bank to prefer a high variance asset portfolio but its effect on individual asset choice has not been carefully evaluated this paper demonstrates how bank examination procedures and capital adequacy standards can make the value of a bank s deposit insurance contract concave in individual asset risks insured bankers may therefore have a rational preference ceteris paribus for relatively safe individual loans even while they prefer risky portfolio returns the model s implications for loan securitization and the federal regulators new risk based capital standards are discussed

some evidence on the empirical significance of credit rationing this paper examines the credit rationing debate using detailed contract information on over one million commercial bank loans from 1977 to 1988 while commercial loan rates are sticky consistent with rationing this stickiness varies with loan contract terms in ways that are not predicted by equilibrium credit rationing theory in addition the proportion of new loans issued under commitment does not increase significantly when credit markets are tight despite the fact that borrowers without commitments can be rationed whereas commitment borrowers are contractually insulated from rationing overall the data suggest that equilibrium rationing is not a significant macroeconomic phenomenon

interest rates in a credit constrained economy when households face credit constraints in an economy with inside as well as outside money stationary equilibrium real interest rates are below the household rate of time preference they also depend significantly upon household risk aversion the demand for inside versus outside money bank costs bank reserves inflation and the marginal productivity of capital and capital depreciation rates in addition changes in financial variables affect per capita capital and output to a greater extent when households are credit constrained copyright 1994 by economics department of the university of pennsylvania and the osaka university institute of social and economic research association

effect of the number of banking relationships on credit availability evidence from panel data of spanish small firms this paper investigates how the choice between single or multiple banking relationships affects credit availability for a complete panel of small and medium sized spanish firms the results seem to indicate the existence of rationing since a substitution relation has been found between trade and bank credit we also analyse the relationship between the level of indebtedness and the interest rate for each group of firms the results show that those smes that work with fewer financial intermediaries obtain fewer funds for the same increase in the interest rate which indicates that these companies have more financial restraints