art as an investment and conspicuous consumption good ments art is also a consumption good art owners take pleasure in its intrinsic value e g for aesthetic pleasure or as a storehouse of an artist s deftness and to the extent that it is a luxury good they derive additional enjoyment from the signal of wealth that owning a masterpiece transmits it is the mixture of pecuniary and nonpecuniary payoffs to ownership that makes artworks both compelling to purchase and difficult to value i exploit this insight to explain why the measured risk premium of a portfolio of artworks is low compared to other risky assets in a consumption based pricing model an asset s risk premium is a function of the covariance of its returns with agents marginal utility of consump tion agents need to be compensated if the asset pays off in a period of already high utility as a luxury good relative art demand is an increasing function of wealth therefore positive shocks to income increase the demand price and returns to art in periods of high consumption utility implying a high risk premium this intuition is at odds with empirical studies that quantify the average financial returns of paintings relative to more traditional investment vehicles these studies find that art 1 often underperforms relative to equities and bonds while there have been

measuring returns on investments in collectibles this paper considers the question of how to measure and interpret the financial return to investing in collectibles we review various methodologies for creating priced indexes and then discuss studies that explicitly calculate a rate of return to some set of collectibles while most collectibles appear to yield positive real returns the majority embody more risk and yield lower financial returns than stocks other characteristics of collectibles prices such as covariance with other asset prices are also examined

science parks and the performance of new technology based firms a review of recent u k evidence and an agenda for future research science parks were established to stimulate the formation and development of new technology based firms ntbfs despite the potential importance of these institutions as a mechanism for generating technological spillovers and employment growth there has been little systematic analysis of their impact on ntbfs in this paper we review some recent evidence comparing the performance of firms located on and off u k science parks this preliminary evidence suggests that the returns to being located on a science park are negligible we conjecture that these results may be due to imprecise estimates of these returns and may also be masking important differences in the returns to different types of science parks in addition we outline an agenda for additional research on the effects of these institutions on ntbf performance

how are derivatives used evidence from the mutual fund industry we investigate investment managers use of derivatives by comparing return distributions for equity mutual funds that use and do not use derivatives in contrast to public perception derivative users have risk exposure and return performance that are similar to nonusers we also analyze changes in fund risk in response to prior fund performance changes in risk are substantially less severe for funds using derivatives consistent with the explanation that managers use derivatives to reduce the impact of performance on risk we provide new evidence regarding the implications of cash flows and managerial gaming for the relation between performance and risk

art as a wartime investment conspicuous consumption and discretion the financial underperformance of art as an investment is well documented in contrast to studies conducted on peace time periods this paper shows that the art market in occupied france during wwii significantly outperformed all alternative investments bonds equities as well as currencies exchanged on the black market other than gold this suggests that art may be a good hedge against low probability disasters the paper further demonstrates that motives to purchase art consumption and investment vary over time in his theoretical model mandel 2009 attributes art s low return to the utility derived from conspicuous consumption in occupied france during wwii conspicuous consumption was impossible for artworks deemed degenerate by the nazis the price evolution of degenerate versus non degenerate artworks confirms the importance of conspicuous consumption in artworks pricing eventually the paper defines the concept of discretion the ability to store a large amount of value in small and easily transportable goods during wartime illegal activities and the risk of being forced to flee the country increased the interest for discreet assets as shown by the better performance of small and thus discreet artworks in comparison to large ones

mutual fund tournaments the sorting bias and new evidence previous findings regarding the risk shifting behavior of mid year underperforming mutual fund managers are mixed in this article i show that this is due to a sorting bias which is caused by the sorting of first half risk levels when establishing relative mid year performance even without risk shifting behavior mean reversion of these sorted risk levels results in the detection of tournament behavior after correcting for this bias i find evidence supporting the hypothesis that first half underperforming managers increase portfolio risk during the second half of the year and that this tournament behavior is not dependent on first half market conditions the author 2011 published by oxford university press on behalf of the society for financial studies all rights reserved for permissions please e mail journals permissions oup com oxford university press

stamp returns and economic factors in the last two decades a number of prominent financial economists have considered the extent to which assets provide hedges against inflation and or other sources of systematic risk motivated by the high inflation rates of the 1970s fama and schwert 5 conducted the seminal analysis on asset returns and inflation investigating the extent to which the returns to various assets including common stock government bonds treasury bills real estate and human capital were hedges against anticipated and unanticipated inflation fama and schwert found that bonds bills and real estate provided effective hedges against anticipated inflation for the period 1953 1971 but only real estate provided a hedge against unanticipated inflation in fact most of the assets had a negative sensitivity to unanticipated inflation with common stock showing a negative relationship to both sources of inflation

ex post the investment performance of collectible stamps this paper uses stamp catalogue prices to investigate the returns on british collectible postage stamps over the period 1900 2008 we find an annualized return on stamps of 7 0 in nominal terms or 2 9 in real terms these returns are higher than those on bonds but below those on equities the volatility of stamp prices approaches that of equities stamp returns are impacted by movements in the equity market but the systematic risk of stamps remains low stamps partially hedge against unanticipated inflation estimates of average after cost returns for individual investors show that stamps may rival equities in terms of realized performance

the relation between stock prices and inflationary expectations the international evidence this paper provides empirical evidence on the relation between stock returns and inflationary expectations for nine countries over the period 1971 80 the fisherian assumption that real returns are independent of inflationary expectations is soundly rejected for each major stock market of the world using interest rates as a proxy for expected inflation our data provide consistent support for the geske and roll model whose basic hypothesis is that stock price movements signal negative revisions in inflationary expectations finally a weak real interest rate effect was found for some of these countries

how did japanese investments influence international art prices we test the luxury consumption hypothesis of ait sahalia parker and yogo 2004 using a unique international art price import export flow and stock market data set we find that the demand for art by japanese collectors is positively correlated with art prices and japanese stock prices this correlation is magnified during the bubble period of the japanese economy the mid 1980s to the early 1990s and gains even further strength for works of art typically favored by japanese collectors our results suggest that japanese investors or japanese asset markets indeed affect international art prices especially during the bubble period and its aftermath

changes to mutual fund risk intentional or mean reverting an empirical issue is whether a mutual fund s change in intertemporal risk is intentional or arises from risk mean reversion our methodology uses actual fund trades to identify funds that actively change risk funds that are statistically identified as trading to change return variance or tracking error variance do not exhibit risk mean reversion mostly funds trade to reduce risk and in particular tracking error variance this is most evident for funds that previously attained a low tracking error variance we find no evidence of a relation between past performance and intended changes to return variance or tracking error variance

of tournaments and temptations an analysis of managerial incentives in the mutual fund industry we test the hypothesis that when their compensation is linked to relative performance managers of investment portfolios likely to end up as losers will manipulate fund risk differently than those managing portfolios likely to be winners an empirical investigation of the performance of 334 growth oriented mutual funds during 1976 to 1991 demonstrates that mid year losers tend to increase fund volatility in the latter part of an annual assessment period to a greater extent than mid year winners furthermore we show that this effect became stronger as industry growth and investor awareness of fund performance increased over time

auctions and the price of art the value of most important works of art is established by public auction either directly by an actual sale or indirectly by reference to other sales how the auction system works is thus a critical determinant of how the public s preferences are translated into the evaluation of artistic work the auction system is central in the determination of the incentives for artistic work and the efficiency of the auction system is a key determinant of the cost of creating and distributing works of art this paper contains a review of the burgeoning new research of the last decade that has been designed to shed light on how the art auction system actually works what it indicates about price formation and how well it performs we begin our discussion in section 2 with a short description of the mechanics of the auction system and then organize the remainder of our discussion around two major topics the first topic concerns how auction prices can be used to determine and compare overall price movements within the art market and other markets and the second topic concerns how the auction mechanism influences prices we

vickrey auctions in practice from nineteenth century philately to twenty first century e commerce william vickrey 1961 proposed an auction mechanism in which bidders submit sealed bids and the highest bidder wins the good in return for payment of the second highest bid amount for decades economists have credited vickrey with inventing this auction format and have believed that the vickrey auction is rarely used in practice this paper presents evidence that vickrey auctions have long been the predominant auction format for mail sales of collectible postage stamps stamp auctioneers developed this auction format on their own as early as 1893 even before vickrey was born

adverse selection in electronic markets evidence from online stamp auctions we analyze adverse selection costs in online stamp auctions based on a comparison of prices on ebay with those of matched stamps at a specialty stamps auction site in the u s michael rogers inc mr which we know a priori has low quality uncertainty we find that buyer prices are 10 15 lower on ebay as compared to mr and the price difference increases with the value of the stamps consistent with this adverse selection discount we find that the seller reputation mechanism on ebay has an economically modest although statistically significant effect on auction price and probability of sale

the performance of us equity mutual funds the paper examines the performance of us no load equity mutual funds fund performance is derived using stochastic frontier analysis for a flexible functional form this analysis allows us to derive parametric estimates of efficiency scores for each fund in our sample for the first time in the literature our results indicate that us no load equity funds display varying levels of efficiency over time but also depending on size and on investment style robustness analysis reaffirm the efficiency scores remain consistent across different selections of inputs and outputs as well as the underlying distribution of the return having estimated each fund s efficiency in the sample we unveil their underlying dynamics also with respect to risk and operational characteristics such as flows assets and morningstar star ratings panel var estimations reveal that the response of funds efficiency to a shock in risk is positive and substantial some evidence of reverse causality is also observed finally we extend our analysis to investigate the relationship between funds performance and key covariates across subgroups defined by size

estimating the stock of postwar dutch postal stamps this article seeks to find an answer to the question how many stamps are still around given that we know their prices at issue the current price and the amount then issued for this purpose i develop a simple statistical model the parameters of which are estimated for over 1000 postwar dutch stamps one finding is that some stamps are very scarce that is less than 100 copies must be around

buying beauty on prices and returns in the art market this paper investigates the price determinants and investment performance of art we apply a hedonic regression analysis to a new data set of more than one million auction transactions of paintings and works on paper based on the resulting price index we conclude that art has appreciated in value by a moderate 3 97 per year in real u s dollar terms between 1957 and 2007 this is a performance similar to that of corporate bonds at much higher risk a repeat sales regression on a subset of the data demonstrates the robustness of our index next quantile regressions document larger average price appreciations and higher volatilities in more expensive price brackets we also find variation in historical returns across mediums and movements finally we show that measures of high income consumer confidence and art market sentiment predict art price trends this paper was accepted by wei xiong finance

mutual fund trades and the value of contradictory private information abstract we investigate the performance of mutual funds that trade using private information these funds are uniquely identified from a set of 2730 funds with 44 315 fund periods between 1994 and 2005 we compare the alignment of fund trades with brokers recommendations which we regard as public information in the universe of informed and uninformed mutual funds funds that systematically trade counter to the public information form a homogenous subset of the privately informed funds by using private information that contradicts the public information these funds exhibit a superior average performance after we control for serial correlation in fund returns we assess this advantage as being an economically significant 1 7 per annum we also show empirically that smaller funds are better able to capture the benefit of private information

why do fund managers increase risk abstract this paper examines the relationship between the increase in fund risk and subsequent cash flows we attempt to test the hypothesis that an increase in fund risk actually increases the net flows of equity funds which is a basic assumption of risk shifting we find that a change in fund risk has a positive and convex relationship with the fund s net flows the effect of risk changes on net flows is a natural consequence of its effects on inflows and outflows this paper s empirical results are robust to return frequency fund age and fund size our findings create incentives for managers to shift risk as documented in the mutual fund literature

risk taking behavior in mutual fund tournaments abstract we develop a two period model of a brown et al j finance 51 1996 85 mutual fund tournament in which two fund managers with unequal midyear performances compete for new cash inflows when one of the managers is an exogenous benchmark winning managers index and losing managers gamble however when both managers are active the winning manager is more likely to gamble expecially when the midyear performance gap is high or when stocks offer high returns and low volatility empirical evidence that winning managers gamble has been documented by other researchers but it has been interpreted as evidence against the tournament model with a dataset of weekly returns from 1984 to 1996 for 660 mutual funds we text for other tournament effects predicted by the model our results suggest a role for the theory of tournaments in studies of mutual fund behavior

the price of wine abstract using historical price records for bordeaux premiers crus we examine the impact of aging on wine prices and the long term investment performance of fine wine in line with the predictions of an illustrative model young maturing wines from high quality vintages provide the highest financial returns past maturity famous ch teaus deliver growing non pecuniary benefits to their owners using an arithmetic repeat sales regression over 1900 2012 we estimate a real financial return to wine investment net of storage costs of 4 1 which exceeds bonds art and stamps returns to wine and equities are positively correlated finally we find evidence of in sample return predictability

behavioural heterogeneity in wine investments we introduce a heterogeneous agent model to explain the dynamics of fine wine investments our results show evidence of the existence of both fundamentalists those who trade on mean reversion tow

the effect of holdings data frequency on conclusions about mutual fund behavior abstract a number of articles in financial economics have used quarterly or semi annual mutual fund holdings data to test hypotheses about investment manager behavior this article reexamines four well known hypotheses in finance to determine whether the results of prior tests of these hypotheses remain valid when higher frequency monthly holdings data are employed the areas examined are momentum trading tax motivated trading window dressing and tournament behavior we find that the use of monthly holdings data rather than quarterly holdings data or in the case of tournament behavior holdings data rather than monthly return data change and in some cases reverse previous results this occurs because monthly holdings data capture a large number of trades missed by quarterly data 18 5 of the trades and permit a more precise estimation of the timing of trades

the estimation of quality adjusted rates of return in stamp auctions the stamp auction market exemplifies markets in which a dominant feature is the quality variation in the traded assets the observed price changes are a mixture of the true price change and the quality variation this paper applies the time series signal extraction method to obtain estimates of quality adjusted rates of return and qualityadjusted price indexes for stamp auction price series the method is applicable to other areas in which there is quality variation or in which values are observed with error some features of stamps as an investment are also examined empirical research in finance during the last 20 years has greatly increased our understanding of risk and returns for members of the important class of capital assets that are regularly and frequently traded on organized exchanges this class includes assets such as stocks bonds bills commodity futures and currencies however for assets not so traded such as urban and agricultural land houses paintings and other consumer durables our knowledge is comparatively meager in part this difference in knowledge is due to the amount of data that are available price and quantity data that are available for infrequently traded assets are not easily analyzed by standard or well known techniques because repeated observations of prices over time are not generally available for the same asset or a perfect substitute for it the best that can usually be done is to construct a series from any similar items that happen to come to market during the period the price changes that are observed will be a mixture of the true price change and the effect of quality variation the purpose of this paper is to estimate quality adjusted rates of return in the stamp auction market in which quality variation among the items offered for sale is a dominant feature the need to quality adjust return data is particularly important for nonfinancial assets however it is also of use in financial return series which may be observed with error for example weinstein 27 who examined returns on newly issued corporate bonds was forced to use returns on portfolios of bonds with the same ratings because new bond issues are not available each period from a given corporation the changing membership of the

bidding behaviour in second price auctions rare stamp sales 1923 1937 we find significant asymmetries between bid functions of the low and high mail bidders in auctions of rare stamps over the extremes of the business cycle 1923 1937 we also find a strong negative relationship between the number of bidders and the bids suggesting that the common value characteristics of stamps outweigh their private value characteristics finally we show that stamp returns are positively related to inflation and to stock yields and negatively to interest rates these last results correspond to other studies of stamps over more stable sample periods

retaining winners can policy boost high growth entrepreneurship abstract we analysed the growth impact delivered by a high growth entrepreneurship policy initiative over a six year period using an eight year panel that started two years before the initiative was launched and propensity score matching to control selection bias we found that the initiative had more than doubled the growth rates of treated firms the initiative had delivered a strong impact also on value for money basis in addition to producing the first robust evidence on the growth impact delivered by a high growth entrepreneurship initiative we contribute to public sponsorship theory with the notion of capacity boosting activities to complement previously discussed buffering and bridging activities