what determines female autonomy evidence from bangladesh abstract this paper examines the determinants of female autonomy within households in a developing country in particular we investigate the relative contributions of earned versus unearned income in enhancing women s autonomy and the role of employment outside of their husband s farm in a simple theoretical model it is demonstrated that earned income could be more important than unearned income in empowering women using data from rural bangladesh empirical estimations confirm this prediction and also reveal the surprising fact that it is not employment per se but employment outside their husbands farms that contributes to women s autonomy the data also point to the importance of choosing the correct threat point in theoretical analyses of female autonomy

when transparency improves must prices reflect fundamentals better no in the presence of speculative opportunities investors can learn about both asset fundamentals and the beliefs of other traders we show that this learning exhibits complementarity learning more along one dimension increases the value of learning about the other as a result regulatory changes may be counterproductive first increasing transparency i e making fundamental information cheaper to acquire can make prices less informative when investors respond by learning relatively more about others second public disclosures discourage private learning about fundamentals while encouraging information acquisition about others accordingly disclosing more fundamental information can decrease overall informational efficiency by decreasing price informativeness received april 20 2016 editorial decision september 30 2017 by editor itay goldstein

does the better than average effect show that people are overconfident two experiments we conduct two experimental tests of the claim that people are overconfident using new tests of overplacement that are based on a formal bayesian model our two experiments on easy quizzes find that people overplace themselves more precisely we find apparently overconfident data that cannot be accounted for by a rational population of expected utility maximizers who care only about money the finding represents new evidence of overconfidence that is robust to the bayesian critique offered by benoit and dubra jean pierre benoit and juan dubra 2011 apparent overconfidence econometrica 79 1591 1625 we discuss possible limitations of our results

volatility spread and stock market response to earnings announcements abstract using a broad sample of earnings announcements we find a monotonic increase in the spread between call and put implied volatilities as it gets closer to the earnings announcement date the steady build up of volatility spread in the days leading up to the announcement date coupled with the predictive power of cumulative abnormal implied volatility spread on subsequent announcement returns suggests that informed traders are the driving force behind the option market activities prior to earnings announcements such informed trading as proxied by the abnormal implied volatility spread increases rather than decreases the stock market response to earnings announcements after controlling for an array of firm and announcement characteristics this effect is most pronounced when the pre earnings option trading volume is heightened overall our findings lend strong support to the notion that informed options trading immediately before earnings announcements helps alleviate the stock market under reaction to earnings announcements and make it closer to a complete response

state misallocation and housing prices theory and evidence from china this paper examines the equilibrium price effects of the privatization of housing assets that were previously owned and allocated by the state i develop a theoretical framework that shows that privatization can have ambiguous effects on prices in the private market and that the degree of misallocation of the assets prior to privatization deter mines the subsequent price effects i test the predictions of the model using a large scale housing reform in china the results suggest that the removal of price distortions allowed households to increase their consumption of housing and led to an increase in equilibrium hous ing prices jel l33 018 p25 r31 r38 state participation in the housing market occurs in several forms in countries throughout the world the provision of subsidized housing as a welfare benefit to low income households is common throughout the western hemisphere in addition local governments in several cities in the united states have implemented regula tions that limit the increase of rents charged by landlords 1 this paper focuses on a form of state intervention in housing that occurs through the provision of subsidized homes to state employees the economic consequences of this area of research are potentially large as employer provided housing in the state sector is common throughout the developing world particularly in asia and sub saharan africa government regulation of the private market or the creation of a separate mar ket ensures that certain households have access to housing at prices that are below market value state interventions that aim to bring affordable housing to particu lar subsegments of the population can create economic inefficiencies they distort the decisions that individuals make regarding residential mobility joseph gyourko and peter linneman 1989 gordon a hughes and barry mccormick 1987 and employment michael svarer michael rosholm and jakob roland munch 2005 wang forthcoming and they lead to underinvestment in the construction and main

labor market opportunities and women s decision making power within households abstract despite the perceived importance of labor market opportunities in shaping married women s outside option and their bargaining power within households as a result this link has received very little empirical attention using longitudinal data on who makes the decision on a wide range of issues within mexican households and data from the administrative records of the mexican social security institute this paper identifies the effects of relative changes in labor market opportunities for men and women on both working and non working women s decision making power i find that increases in labor market opportunities improve women s decision making power as well as children s health using differential labor demand shocks across mexican industries caused by china s admission to the wto gives similar results

control and ownership of assets within rural ethiopian households this article investigates how the control and devolution of productive assets are allocated among husband and wife theory predicts that bargaining power within marriage depends on the division of assets upon divorce and on control over assets during marriage using detailed household data from rural ethiopia we show that assets brought to marriage ownership of assets control within marriage and disposition upon death or divorce are only partly related productive resources are controlled by the household head disposition upon death or divorce only loosely depends on individual ownership during marriage but control is associated with larger claims upon divorce assets brought into marriage have little impact on disposition upon death but matter in case of divorce

income and bargaining effects on education and health in brazil abstract this study examines the impacts of the 1991 reform of brazil s rural pension system on schooling and health indicators we conclude that the reform had significant positive effects on schooling especially on literacy for girls co residing with a male pensioner we were unable to find similar results for children living with a female pensioner we further investigated whether these results were driven by bargaining power differences within households our findings suggest that this explanation is plausible

financial contagion and attention allocation this paper explains financial contagion between two stock markets with uncorrelated fundamentals by fluctuations in international investors attention allocation we model the process of attention allocation that underlies portfolio investment in international markets using investors who face information processing constraints investors optimally allocate more attention to a region hit by a financial crisis to the detriment of other markets the resulting endogenous increase in uncertainty causes a reduction in the capacity to bear risks by international investors that induces them to liquidate their positions in all risky assets hence there is a collapse in stock prices around the world we show that the degree of non anticipation of a crisis is crucial for the existence of contagion using data from the east asian crisis and the number of news stories about thailand in the financial times relative to news stories about argentina brazil and chile as a proxy for the relative attention allocated to the asian stock market we find evidence consistent with two key predictions of our model first the higher the volatility of the originator market the more relative attention allocated to this market and second the more relative attention allocated to the originator market the higher the volatility of the other markets our findings support the attention reallocation channel as a transmission mechanism of financial crises between regions during the period from january 1997 to july 1998

should we pay attention to investor attention in forex futures market we investigate whether forex futures dynamics is responsive to change in investor attention the currencies used in the study are the aud australian dollar cad canadian dollar eur euro gbp

informational linkages across trading regions evidence from foreign exchange markets abstract using a new high frequency data set from electronic broking services ebs this paper examines informational linkages in the euro dollar and dollar yen exchange rates across five trading regions asia pacific the asia europe overlap europe the europe america overlap and america information is proxied by exchange rate return direction of return volatility trading activity and order flow we find that informational linkages are statistically significant at both own region and inter region levels but own region spillovers dominate in economic significance especially for volatility and trading activity in addition order flow spillovers from the europe america overlap trading region are the most important source of spillovers to other trading regions for both currency pairs

a dual dutch auction in taipei the choice of numeraire and auction form in multi object auctions with bundling abstract in taipei we observed a dual dutch fish auction like a conventional dutch auction with bundling but with reversed roles of price and quantity we study dual and conventional auctions with symmetric independent private values when agents utilities are linear in money but strictly concave in fish with known buyers values conventional and dual auctions english or dutch are equivalent with values known to buyers but not the seller the seller prefers conventional auctions with private values the seller can prefer a dual dutch or a conventional english or dutch auction but prefers all three to a dual english auction

housing reform in urban china efficiency distribution and the implications for social security we investigate the distribution of a measure of housing consumption among public tenants in cities of two chinese provinces using household survey data we find the resulting distribution roughly consistent with the outcome of a market rental system for fixed supply and ces preferences there is surprisingly little evidence of allocative inefficiency in the present bureaucratic allocation system we estimate the possible effects of market oriented housing reform under alternative assumptions about the system of cash transfers used to compensate for a move to market rents we investigate the distributional impact of reform and the likely need for supplementary cash benefits for low income households

terrorist attacks analyst sentiment and earnings forecasts we examine whether exogenous and extremely negative events such as terrorist attacks and mass shootings influence the sentiment and forecasts of sell side equity analysts we find that analysts w

investor attention overconfidence and category learning abstract motivated by psychological evidence that attention is a scarce cognitive resource we model investors attention allocation in learning and study the effects of this on asset price dynamics we show that limited investor attention leads to category learning behavior i e investors tend to process more market and sector wide information than firm specific information this endogenous structure of information when combined with investor overconfidence generates important features observed in return comovement that are otherwise difficult to explain with standard rational expectations models our model also demonstrates new cross sectional implications for return predictability

haddad lawrence john hoddinott and harold alderman eds intrahousehold resource allocation in developing countries models methods and policy baltimore md johns hopkins university press 1997 384 pp 55 00 in this volume economists demographers sociologists and anthropologists collaborate in the study of how resources are allocated within households in developing countries and why it matters from a policy perspective surveying a broad range of theory and evidence the contributors examine the many social and cultural factors that influence decisions about the family and household level about the allocation of time income assets and other resources ths contributors show that a more complete understanding of intrahousehold behaviour can increase the likelihood that policies will reach the people they are intended to affect

property rights and intra household bargaining abstract this paper examines whether an individual level transfer of property rights increases the individual s bargaining power within the household the question is analyzed in the context of a housing reform that occurred in china that gave existing tenants the opportunity to purchase the homes that they had been renting from their state employers the rights to each housing unit were granted to a particular employee so property rights were defined at the individual level rather than the household level the results indicate that transferring ownership rights to men increased household consumption of some male favored goods and women s time spent on chores transferring ownership rights to women decreased household consumption of some male favored goods

information markets and the comovement of asset prices traditional asset pricing models predict that covariance between prices of difierent assets should be lower than what we observe in the data this model generates high covariance within a rational expectations framework by introducing markets for information about asset payofis when information is costly rational investors will not buy information about all assets they will learn about a subset because information production has high flxed costs competitive producers charge more for low demand information than for high demand information a price that declines in quantity makes investors want to purchase a common subset of information if investors price many assets using a common subset of information then a shock to one signal is passed on as a common shock to many asset prices these common shocks to asset prices generate excess covariance the cross sectional and time series properties of asset price covariance are consistent with this explanation

do husbands and wives pool their resources evidence from the united kingdom child benefit common preference models of family behavior imply income pooling a restriction on family demand functions such that only the sum of husband s income and wife s income affects the allocation of goods and time testing the pooling hypothesis is difficult because most family income sources are not exogenous to the allocations being analyzed in this paper we present an alternative test based on a natural experiment a policy change in the united kingdom that transferred a substantial child allowance to wives in the late 1970s using family expenditure survey data we find strong evidence that a shift toward greater expenditures on women s clothing and children s clothing relative to men s clothing coincided with this income redistribution

gender and say a model of household behaviour with endogenously determined balance of power the evidence that the same total income can lead a household to choose different consumption vectors depending on who brings in how much of the income has led to an effort to replace the standard unitary model of the household with the collective model which recognizes that the husband and the wife may have different preferences and depending on the balance of power between them the household may choose differently one weakness of this new literature is that it fails to recognize that the household s choice could in turn influence the balance of power once this two way relation between choice and power is recognized we are forced to confront some new questions concerning how to model the household this paper tries to answer these by defining a household equilibrium examining its game theoretic properties and drawing out its testable implications it is shown for instance that once we allow for dynamic interaction a household can exhibit inefficient behavior and that for a certain class of parameters children will be less likely to work in a household where power is evenly balanced than one in which all power is concentrated in the hands of either the father or the mother the paper also draws out the implications for female labor supply

how does intergenerational investment respond to changes in the marriage market evidence from china abstract this paper examines how intergenerational investment responds to changes in the marriage market two major channels are modeled and empirically tested first expecting gender specific impacts on the future marriage market for their children parents adjustments in educational investment differ by the gender of children and second changes in marriage market conditions have contemporaneous impacts on intrahousehold bargaining because they change existing couples remarriage options which affects their educational investment in their children we test our model by exploiting a policy change in favor of local urban men in the urban marriage market in china we find that educational investment by local local couples decreases for sons but changes little for daughters consistent with the decrease in children s educational investment female favored consumption decreases while male favored consumption increases these results provide evidence of interaction between the intrahousehold bargaining and the future marriage prospect effects

contagious speculation and a cure for cancer a nonevent that made stock prices soar a sunday new york times article on a potential development of new cancer curing drugs caused entremed s stock price to rise from 12 063 at the friday close to open at 85 and close near 52 on monday it closed above 30 in the three following weeks the enthusiasm spilled over to other biotechnology stocks the potential breakthrough in cancer research already had been reported however in the journal nature and in various popular newspapers including the times more than five months earlier thus enthusiastic public attention induced a permanent rise in share prices even though no genuinely new information had been presented a central tenet of f inancial economics is that an asset should trade at the risk adjusted present value of its expected future cash f lows these expected future cash f lows exist in people s minds and do not normally lend themselves to direct observation an equilibrium price in a frictionless market does not tolerate disagreements among market participants if some people deem the price too low they will buy the asset if others think it is too high they will sell it short if necessary although the efficient markets hypothesis predicts that price changes are unpredictable it associates them with changes in traders beliefs about future cash f lows or the appropriate discount rate beliefs change with the arrival of new information thus in hindsight at least we should be able to ascribe price changes to the arrival of specific new information we examine this view in the context of a series of news reports in the media pertaining to entremed enmd a biotechnology company and other members of its sector the sunday may 3 1998 edition of the new york times reports on a recent breakthrough in cancer research and mentions enmd a company with licensing rights to the breakthrough kolata 1998 the story s impact on the stock prices was immediate huge and to a large extent permanent the new news content of the times story was nil though the substance of the story had been published as a scientific piece in nature boehm et al 1997 and in the popular press including the times itself wade 1997 more than five months earlier in november 1997

implications of rational inattention abstract a constraint that actions can depend on observations only through a communication channel with finite shannon capacity is shown to be able to play a role very similar to that of a signal extraction problem or an adjustment cost in standard control problems the resulting theory looks enough like familiar dynamic rational expectations theories to suggest that it might be useful and practical while the implications for policy are different enough to be interesting

investor attention and market microstructure this paper develops the first economic model to study the impact of investor attention on the market microstructure in the kyle s 1985 setup our model strongly supports the empirical observation that higher investor attention leads to higher stock market volatility the first special case with one fully and one limited attentive traders explains that higher attention leads to higher trading intensity of retail investors market liquidity and stock market volatility the second special case with one fully inattentive and one limited attentive traders explains how investor attention affects buying and selling

stress testing the equity home bias a turnover analysis of eurozone markets abstract shifts in equity turnover happen on and around holidays because rationally bounded investors become distracted their pattern reveals a persistent equity home bias even in the eurozone a stress test case for the survival of this bias given the high level of economic and financial development and integration in this area the bias is greater for small caps because investors are reluctant to hold this class of foreign asset our study corroborates calendar anomalies in trading volumes but refutes the hypothesis regarding turnover sensitivity to stock returns common in the empirical and theoretical literature based on investor heterogeneity and short sale constraints our results reveal vanishing cost asymmetries in taking long rather than short positions

portfolio choice attention allocation and price comovement abstract this paper models the attention allocation of portfolio investors investors choose the composition of their information subject to an information flow constraint given their expected investment strategy in the next period which is to hold a diversified portfolio in equilibrium investors choose to observe one linear combination of asset payoffs as a private signal when investors use this private signal to update information about two assets changes in one asset affect both asset prices and may lead to asset price comovement the model also has implications for the transmission of volatility shocks between two assets

the profits of power land rights and agricultural investment in ghana we examine the impact of ambiguous and contested land rights on investment and productivity in agriculture in akwapim ghana we show that individuals who hold powerful positions in a local political hierarchy have more secure tenure rights and that as a consequence they invest more in land fertility and have substantially higher output the intensity of investments on different plots cultivated by a given individual corresponds to that individual s security of tenure over those specific plots and in turn to the individual s position in the political hierarchy relevant to those specific plots

gatt safeguards and voluntary export restraints what are the interests of developing countries introduction trade in services and the multilateral trade negotiations agriculture in the uruguay round interests of developing countries gatt law agricultural trade and developing countries lessons from two case studies textiles and clothing in a new round of trade negotiations differential and more favorable treatment of developing countries and the international trading system balance of payments and related issues in the uruguay round of trade negotiations gatt safeguards and voluntary exports restraints what are the interests of developing countries international control of subsidies and countervailing duties export promoting subsidies countervailing threats and the general agreement on tariffs and trade

entitled to work urban property rights and labor supply in peru this brief summarizes the results of a gender impact evaluation study entitled entitled to work urban property rights and labor supply in peru new legal rights were issued in 1996 project teams providing titling service through 2003 in peru the study observed that between 1996 and 2003 the peruvian government issued property titles to over 1 2 million urban households the largest titling program targeted at urban squatters in the developing world this paper examines the labor market effects of increases in tenure security resulting from the program pre program squatters in program neighborhoods were significantly more likely to report improved tenure security by 60 percent similarly program participants were 18 8 percentage points less likely to report a high likelihood of eviction or invasion and 18 8 percentage points more likely to report that their dwelling was currently very secure from eviction or invasion the likelihood of working inside the home significantly falls by 11 6 percentage points for the average squatter family with two program periods

overreaction to intra industry information transfers prior research has documented that earnings announcements provide information not only about the announcing firm but also about other firms in the same industry we document a stock market anomaly associated with this phenomenon of intra industry information transfers by showing that the stock price movements of late announcers in response to earnings reported by early announcers are negatively related to subsequent price responses of late announcers to their own earnings reports apparently the stock market overestimates the intra industry implications of early announcers earnings for late announcers earnings and that overestimation is corrected when late announcers disclose their earnings

robustly strategic consumption portfolio rules with informational frictions this paper provides a tractable continuous time constant absolute risk aversion gaussian framework to explore how the interactions of fundamental uncertainty model uncertainty due to a preference for robustness and state uncertainty due to information processing constraints rational inattention affect strategic consumption portfolio rules and precautionary savings in the presence of uninsurable labor income specifically after solving the model explicitly i compute and compare the elasticities of strategic asset allocation and precautionary savings to risk aversion robustness and inattention furthermore for plausibly estimated and calibrated model parameters i quantitatively analyze how the interactions of model uncertainty and state uncertainty affect the optimal share invested in the risky asset and show that they can provide a potential explanation for the observed stockholding behavior of households with different education and income levels this paper was accepted by neng wang finance

corporate reputation s invisible hand bribery rational choice and market penalties drawing upon rational choice and investor attention theories we examine how accusations of corporate bribery and subsequent investigations shape market reactions using event study methodology to measure loss in firm value for public firms facing bribery investigations from 1978 to 2010 we found that total market penalties amounted to 60 61 billion we ran moderated multiple regression analysis to examine further the degree to which the unique characteristics of bribery explain variations in market penalties companies committing bribery in less corrupt host countries and with the involvement of compromised executives experienced greater market penalties than did other companies after partitioning share value losses into components for regulatory penalties class action settlements and loss to reputation we found that reputational penalties account for 81 8 of every dollar of share value loss omission of reputational penalties in rational choice calculus underestimates bribery costs by 4 5 times the results suggest that firms should not underestimate the importance of market imposed reputational penalties by merely considering regulator imposed fines and sanctions

credit constraints job mobility and entrepreneurship evidence from a property reform in china this paper provides new evidence on the impact of private property rights on entrepreneurship i explore this issue in the context of a housing reform in urban china that allowed state employees renting state owned housing the opportunity to buy their homes at subsidized prices using the reform as an exogenous change in the capital constraints and mobility costs that inuence individuals entry

property rights for the poor effects of land titling secure property rights are considered a key determinant of economic development the evaluation of the causal effects of property rights however is a difficult task as their allocation is typically endogenous to overcome this identification problem we exploit a natural experiment in the allocation of land titles in 1981 squatters occupied a piece of land in a poor suburban area of buenos aires in 1984 a law was passed expropriating the former owners land to entitle the occupants some original owners accepted the government compensation while others disputed the compensation payment in the slow argentine courts these different decisions by the former owners generated an exogenous allocation of property rights across squatters using data from two surveys performed in 2003 and 2007 we find that entitled families substantially increased housing investment reduced household size and enhanced the education of their children relative to the control group these effects however did not take place through improvements in access to credit our results suggest that land titling can be an important tool for poverty reduction albeit not through the shortcut of credit access but through the slow channel of increased physical and human capital investment which should help to reduce poverty in future generations

who marries whom in a surging housing market abstract this paper investigates the impact of a surging housing market on marital sorting our empirical analysis shows that there is increasing assortativeness on original family background in response to housing price appreciation that is for husbands when the down payment doubles one more year of paternal schooling predicts a marriage in which the father in law s schooling is 0 057 year greater than in a scenario in which the down payment does not increase the rising assortativeness could exacerbate the already expanding inequality caused by the booming housing market in addition to the benchmark analysis we find that a divorce reform which awards assets proportionate to the shares the spouses paid for the initial down payment rather than awarding equal shares upon divorce alleviates assortativeness the evidence suggests that joint investment in housing is likely to be a significant consideration in marital sorting

gender property rights and natural resources abstract attention to gender differences in property rights can improve the outcomes of natural resource management policies and projects in terms of efficiency environmental sustainability equity and empowerment of resource users although it is impossible to generalize across cultures and resources it is important to identify the nature of rights to land trees and water held by women and men and how they are acquired and transmitted from one user to another the paper particularly examines how the shift from customary tenure systems to private property in land trees and water has affected women the effect of gender differences in property on collective action and the implications for project design

a transaction level analysis of spatial arbitrage the role of habit attention and electronic trading despite the central role of arbitrage in finance and economic theory there is limited evidence of the factors that create and eliminate arbitrage opportunities how often arbitrage occurs and how profitable it is we address these gaps via a transaction level analysis of spatial arbitrage in the wholesale automotive market we investigate why arbitrage opportunities are created by analyzing how sellers choose where to sell vehicles we find that the attention sellers pay to the distribution of a vehicle is negatively related to the probability that it is arbitraged arbitrage occurs in approximately 1 of transactions although electronic trading is making arbitrage less prevalent by improving buyer seller matching across locations arbitrage yields a 5 6 return on average although arbitrageurs take a loss 14 of the time our results contribute to the literature on arbitrage the effect of attention allocation on market outcomes and the effect of information technology on market efficiency this paper was accepted by brad barber teck ho and terrance odean special issue editors

intra household resource allocation an inferential approach if household income is pooled and then allocated to maximize welfare then income under the control of mothers and fathers should have the same impact on demand with survey data on family health and nutrition in brazil the equality of parental income effects is rejected unearned income in the hands of a mother has a bigger effect on her family s health than income under the control of a father for child survival probabilities the effect is almost twenty times bigger the common preference or neoclassical model of the household is rejected if unearned income is measured with error and income is pooled then the ratio of maternal to paternal income effects should be the same equality of the ratios cannot be rejected there is also evidence for gender preference mothers prefer to devote resources to improving the nutritional status of their daughters fathers to sons

local versus non local effects of chinese media and post earnings announcement drift abstract taking advantage of the institutional difference in capture between local and non local media in china we examined the association between media capture and post earnings announcement drift pead using both portfolio and regression analyses we found that for the same firms non local media coverage is negatively associated with pead however there is no association between local media coverage and pead except for non state owned firms given that in china non local media are less captured or more independent than local media the negative association observed for non local media coverage can be interpreted as an indication that media independence plays a role in reducing pead or improving informational efficiency in the stock market

the determinants of international investment and attention allocation using internet search query data abstract this paper explores the joint determination of home bias and attention allocation we overcome the typical challenge associated with evaluating attention allocation theories by using a new internet search query dataset to measure how much information investors decide to process employing an instrumental variables approach we find empirical evidence of a two way causality between home bias and attention our estimates suggest that if all countries were to receive the same level of attention as the u s then the average home bias by u s investors would fall from 85 2 to 57 3

property rights and investment in urban slums this paper examines the effect of changes in tenure security on residential investment in urban squatter neighborhoods to address the endogeneity of property rights i make use of variation in ownership status induced by a nationwide titling program in peru in a difference in difference analysis i compare the change in housing investment before and after the program among participating households to the change in investment among two samples of nonparticipants my results indicate that strengthening property rights in urban slums has a significant effect on residential investment the rate of housing renovation rises by more than two thirds of the baseline level the bulk of the increase is financed without the use of credit indicating that changes over time reflect an increase in investment incentives related to lower threat of eviction jel o12 o18 p25 p26

women as agents of change female income and mobility in india economic globalization will give many women in developing countries access to steady and relatively remunerative employment for the first time potentially shifting bargaining power within their households and changing the choices that are made for their children this paper exploits a unique setting a group of tea plantations in south india where women are employed in permanent wage labor and where incomes do not vary by caste to anticipate the impact of globalization on mobility across social groups in the future the main result of the paper is that a relative increase in female income weakens the family s ties to the ancestral community and the traditional economy but these mobility enhancing effects are obtained for certain historically disadvantaged castes alone although the paper provides a context specific explanation for why the women from these castes emerge as agents of change the first general implication of the analysis is that the incentive and the ability of women to use their earnings to influence household decisions depends importantly on their social background the second implication is that historically disadvantaged groups may in fact be especially responsive to new opportunities precisely because they have fewer ties to the traditional economy to hold them back

the puzzling evolution of the home bias information processing and financial openness abstract this paper explains the home equity bias and its puzzling evolution in a model where investors face an information constraint and have an initial local informational advantage after financial liberalization local investors have a magnified informational advantage since information processed under autarky remains useful after liberalization a gradual shift towards foreign assets occurs as the relevance of autarkic information declines over time in the long run home bias remains large due to the interaction between information and portfolio choices empirical evidence supports the main predictions of our model namely that bias increases with information capacity and decreases with financial openness

separate spheres bargaining and the marriage market this paper introduces the separate spheres bargaining model a new model of distribution within marriage it differs from divorce threat bargaining models e g manser brown mcelroy horney in that the threat point is not divorce but a noncooperative equilibrium within marriage this noncooperative equilibrium reflects traditional gender roles the predictions of our model thus differ from those of divorce threat bargaining models in the separate spheres model cash transfer payments to the mother and payments to the father can but need not imply different equilibrium distributions in existing marriages in the long run the distributional effects of transfer policies may be substantially altered by changes in the marriage market equilibrium

presidential address social transmission bias in economics and finance i discuss a new intellectual paradigm social economics and finance the study of the social processes that shape economic thinking and behavior this emerging field recognizes that people observe and talk to each other a key underexploited building block of social economics and finance is social transmission bias systematic directional shift in signals or ideas induced by social transactions i use five fables models to illustrate the novelty and scope of the transmission bias approach and offer several emergent themes for example social transmission bias compounds recursively which can help explain booms bubbles return anomalies and swings in economic sentiment

women s inheritance rights and bargaining power evidence from kenya abstractthis paper investigates the human capital effects of a legal reform granting kenyan women equal inheritance rights i employ a difference in differences strategy exploiting variation in pr

intrahousehold bargaining female autonomy and labor supply theory and evidence from india standard models of labor supply predict that unearned income decreases labor supply we propose an alternative noncooperative household model in which a woman s unearned income improves her autonomy within the household which raises her gains from working and can increase her labor supply we find empirical support for this model using women s exposure to the hindu succession act in india as a source of exogenous variation in their unearned income exposure to the hindu succession act increases a woman s labor supply by between 3 8 and 6 1 percentage points particularly into high paying jobs autonomy increased by 0 17 standard deviations suggesting that control of income is a potential channel for these effects thus policies that empower women can have an additional impact on the labor market which can further reinforce autonomy increases

income and outcomes a structural model of intrahousehold allocation there is evidence from several sources that one cannot treat many person households as a single decision maker if this is the case then factors such as the relative incomes of the household members may affect the final allocation decisions made by the household we develop a method of identifying how incomes affect outcomes given conventional family expenditure data the basic assumption we make is that household decision processes lead to efficient outcomes we apply our method to a sample of canadian couples with no children we find that the final allocations of expenditures on each partner depend significantly on their relative incomes and ages and on the level of lifetime wealth

investor overconfidence and the forward premium puzzle we offer an explanation for the forward premium puzzle in foreign exchange markets based upon investor overconfidence in the model overconfident individuals overreact to their information about future inflation which causes greater overshooting in the forward rate than in the spot rate thus when agents observe a signal of higher future inflation the consequent rise in the forward premium predicts a subsequent downward correction of the spot rate the model can explain the magnitude of the forward premium bias and several other stylized facts related to the joint behaviour of forward and spot exchange rates our approach is also consistent with the availability of profitable carry trade strategies

attention misallocation social welfare and policy implications we examine how agents allocate attention between private and public signals to reduce the uncertainty about observation noises when coordination is an important concern in this setting the attention allocation may not be monotone in endowed attention capacity agents may decrease their attention on or even ignore the more accurate signal when capacity increases as a result social welfare may decrease when they have more attention to process information and it can be even higher when agents possess a finite amount of capacity than when they have an infinite amount of capacity we derive sufficient and necessary conditions under which multiple equilibria emerge and study the implications of equilibrium multiplicity for macroeconomic policies

earnings announcements and attention constraints the role of market design abstract we identify a new channel market makers attention constraints through which earnings announcements for one stock affect the liquidity of other stocks when some stocks handled by a designated market maker have earnings announcements liquidity is lower for non announcement stocks handled by the same market maker with the largest effects coming from earnings surprises and stocks with high earnings response coefficients half of the liquidity decline reflects attention constraints binding on the individual market maker and the other half is explained by the market maker s inventory we further find that a market design change that increases automation alleviates the liquidity effect of attention constraints despite an increase in the number of stocks allocated to each market maker

speculation spillovers this paper demonstrates that speculative activities can be contagious and spill over across markets specifically we test the hypothesis that during china s warrants bubble period speculative activities in the warrants market grabbed investors attention and caused them to trade more speculatively in the underlying stocks consistent with this hypothesis we find that turnover and return volatility of the underlying stocks are positively associated with the warrants unexpected turnover and price deviation from their fundamental values during the previous day controlling for information driven trading and hedging motives and that such a spillover effect is more pronounced when warrants attract more investor attention data as supplemental material are available at http dx doi org 10 1287 mnsc 2014 1914 this paper was accepted by wei xiong finance

information aggregation in a noisy rational expectations economy abstract this paper analyzes a general equilibrium model of a competitive security market in which traders possess independent pieces of information about the return of a risky asset each trader conditions his estimate of the return both on his own private source of information and price which in equilibrium serves as a noisy aggregator of the total information observed by all traders a closed form characterization of the rational expectations equilibrium is presented a counter example to the existence of fully revealing equilibrium is developed