a unifying framework for farrell profit efficiency measurement measuring profit efficiency is a challenging task and many different approaches have been suggested this paper synthesizes existing approaches and develops a general farrell type approach of the profit efficiency measurement our derivations unveil new and useful relationships between existing measures and the proposed new farrell type measures in addition this helps us establish a generalized and unifying framework for studying efficiency behavior of firms where the profit efficiency measure satisfies desirable properties and contains the conventional farrell measures of technical efficiency and allocative efficiency as multiplicative components a new component of the decomposition of profit efficiency which we call the revenue efficient allocative efficiency measure is introduced to identify the necessary changes of input scale and input mix in addition to output changes the proposed new approach also encompasses and is coherent with profit maximizing behavior as a benchmark case

does the australian dollar real exchange rate display mean reversion abstract this paper examines the post bretton woods experience of the australian dollar in this period australia moved from a managed to a freely floating exchange rate environment parametric and non parametric techniques are applied to data from a trade weighted index to analyse the time series properties of australia s real exchange rate even allowing for structural breaks there is no evidence of the long run equilibrium relation between the exchange rate and relative prices predicted by the purchasing power parity hypothesis

deviations from purchasing power parity in the long run this paper demonstrates that deviations from purchasing power parity reveal a remarkable and possibly startling consistency with martingale behavior during both fixed and flexible rate periods for a wide variety of countries and in both monthly and annual data since this pattern appears to be much more general than one would expect on the basis of models founded on international commodity arbitrage the paper proposes an alternative explanation which instead relies on financial arbitrage in bonds as the underlying mechanism this paper will demonstrate that deviations from purchasing power parity ppp reveal a remarkable and possibly startling consistency with martingale behavior during both fixed and flexible exchange rate periods for a wide variety of countries and in both monthly and annual data this pattern appears to be much more general than one would expect on the basis of models founded on international commodity arbitrage the paper therefore proposes an alternative explanation which does not presuppose free trade in goods but which instead relies on financial arbitrage in bonds as the underlying mechanism the major implication of the theory and the results is that ppp is as likely to be violated in the long as in the short run as an empirical matter deviations from ppp can be observed for most currencies at any instant see kravis et al 21 stockman 37 and genberg 15 among others these deviations are typically both cumulative and persistent the real exchange rate can remain on either side of parity for lengthy but variable time intervals of a year or more as a consequence the current consensus shared

exchange rates financial innovation and divisia money the sterling dollar rate 1972 1990 in this paper we examine the usefulness of divisia money relative to simple sum money for exchange rate modelling in a period of rapid financial deregulation this comparison is conducted using as a convenient framework the monetary model of the exchange rate we demonstrate inter alia that for the sterling us dollar exchange rate over the period 1972 q1 to 1990 q2 that the use of divisia money makes a significant difference to both the long and short run modelling of the exchange rate

commercial branch performance evaluation and results communication in a canadian bank a dea application abstract in this paper we focus on evaluating the performance of the commercial branches of a large canadian bank using data envelopment analysis two production models are considered in this country wide evaluation one model looking directly at resource usage is most useful to the branch manager the other model incorporating financial results is more geared towards senior management we introduce non discretionary factors to reflect specific aspects of the environment a branch is operating in such as risk and economic growth rate of the region both input and output multipliers are constrained by incorporating market prices as well as managerial preferences in order to get effectiveness measures the cost minimisation study led to valuable results pertaining to the performance of individual branches notable is the methodology introduced here that shows how to present graphical and numeric outcomes to managers gap maps pie charts and target tables are produced for each branch to provide performance goals for the managers useful information has also been obtained at the district level output oriented models were analysed to reflect the bank s recent emphasis towards growth in some areas

some models for estimating technical and scale inefficiencies in data envelopment analysis in management contexts mathematical programming is usually used to evaluate a collection of possible alternative courses of action en route to selecting one which is best in this capacity mathematical programming serves as a planning aid to management data envelopment analysis reverses this role and employs mathematical programming to obtain ex post facto evaluations of the relative efficiency of management accomplishments however they may have been planned or executed mathematical programming is thereby extended for use as a tool for control and evaluation of past accomplishments as well as a tool to aid in planning future activities the ccr ratio form introduced by charnes cooper and rhodes as part of their data envelopment analysis approach comprehends both technical and scale inefficiencies via the optimal value of the ratio form as obtained directly from the data without requiring a priori specification of weights and or explicit delineation of assumed functional forms of relations between inputs and outputs a separation into technical and scale efficiencies is accomplished by the methods developed in this paper without altering the latter conditions for use of dea directly on observational data technical inefficiencies are identified with failures to achieve best possible output levels and or usage of excessive amounts of inputs methods for identifying and correcting the magnitudes of these inefficiencies as supplied in prior work are illustrated in the present paper a new separate variable is introduced which makes it possible to determine whether operations were conducted in regions of increasing constant or decreasing returns to scale in multiple input and multiple output situations the results are discussed and related not only to classical single output economics but also to more modern versions of economics which are identified with contestable market theories

risk endogeneity at the lender investor of last resort abstract to what extent can a central bank influence its own balance sheet credit risks during a financial crisis through unconventional monetary policy operations to study this question we develop a risk measurement framework to infer the time variation in portfolio credit risks at a high weekly frequency focusing on the eurosystem s experience during the euro area sovereign debt crisis between 2010 and 2012 we find that the announcement and implementation of unconventional monetary policy operations generated beneficial risk spill overs across policy portfolios this caused overall risk to be nonlinear in exposures in some instances the eurosystem reduced its overall balance sheet credit risk by doing more in line with bagehot s well known assertion that occasionally only the brave plan is the safe plan

are real exchanges rate series really persistent evidence from three commonwealth of independent states countries this article sets out to examine the degree of persistence in the real exchange rates of kazakhstan kyrgyzstan and russia and tests the validity of purchasing power parity ppp using monthly data covering 1995 01 2013 12 period the sum of autoregressive ar coefficients is used in order to examine persistence of the real exchange rate series and grid bootstrap method is employed for the confidence intervals the tests performed suggest two results 1 covering the full sample and sub sample periods excluding kyrgyzstan in 1995 01 1998 07 and russia in 2008 09 2013 12 periods disregarding the structural breaks in the data generating process there is high persistency in real exchange rates 2 there is evidence in support of ppp covering the full sample for every country except for kyrgyzstan in 1995 01 1998 07 and russia in 2008 09 2013 12 periods

a triangular purchasing power parity hypothesis we propose a triangular purchasing power parity ppp analytical framework which is theoretically justified and empirically validated the mechanisms and channels through which a seemingly mystery relationship emerges are deliberated and examined which renders significant implications to international monetary economics finance and business the de facto peg of the rmb to the us dollar together with trade activities and arrangements causes a triangular ppp effect that the dollar euro exchange rate is not a function of the relative prices in the us and euroland instead it becomes a function of the relative prices in the people s republic of china prc and euroland the results are supportive of triangular ppp in a three economy world of the us euroland and prc

realized co variances of eurozone sovereign yields during the crisis the impact of news and the securities markets programme we use realized variances and covariances based on intraday data to measure the dependence structure of eurozone sovereign yields our analysis focuses on the impact of news obtained from the eurointelligence newsflash on the dependence structure more news tends to raise the volatility of yields of financially distressed countries and to decrease the covariance of distressed countries yields with german bond yields suggesting a potential flight to quality effect common news about the euro crisis and news about specific countries tend to raise the covariance of yields between distressed countries indicating potential crisis spill over effects however we do not detect spillover effects from news about third countries to the covariance between other country pairs bond purchases by the ecb under its securities markets programme smp mitigate the negative crisis spillovers among the distressed countries and reduce the potential flight to quality from the distressed countries to germany

measuring overall efficiency and effectiveness using dea this paper presents a framework where data envelopment analysis dea is used to measure overall efficiency and show how to apply this framework to assess effectiveness for more general behavioral goals the relationships between various cone ratio dea models and models to measure overall efficiency are clarified specifically it is shown that as multiplier cones tighten the cone ratio dea models converge to measures of overall efficiency furthermore it is argued that multiplier cone and cone ratio model selection must be consistent with the behavioral goals assigned or assumed for purposes of analysis consistent with this reasoning two new models are introduced to measure effectiveness when value measures are represented by separable or linked cones where the latter can be used to analyze profit maximizing effectiveness

purchasing power parity as a long run relation dickey fuller and stock watson tests of purchasing power parity ppp as a long run proposition are provided within the cointegration framework proposed by granger since different countries use different weights to construct price indices the traditional constraint that the coefficients on the price indices should be unity in the log linear ppp relation is relaxed the absence of a general ppp relation cannot be rejected at most a ppp relation is indicated in five out of fifteen country pairs that are examined even if a long run ppp relation exists it is not found to be useful in predicting future nominal exchange rates which is consistent with efficient speculative markets

testing for purchasing power parity correcting for non normality using the wild bootstrap we test for purchasing power parity ppp in the g7 area for the post bretton woods period unlike previous studies we correct the critical values of the standard unit root test using a wild bootstrap technique our findings reject ppp thus enhancing the contribution of the recent non linear ppp literature

linked cone dea profit ratios and technical efficiency with application to illinois coal mines data envelopment analysis dea profit ratios and technical efficiency measures require separate treatment as proved in newly developed theory of thompson and thrall this point is illustrated here by analysis of an example problem it shows that dea technical efficiency does not necessarily imply a dea maximum profit ratio and vice versa a dea maximum profit ratio does not necessarily imply dea technical efficiency the essence of the mathematical framework underlying this argument is provided application of the concepts to illinois coal mining data previously reported lends support to the need for separate treatment of dea technical efficiency and dea profit ratios

distinguishing operational performance in power production a new measure of effectiveness by dea measuring the efficiency of power plant systems requires capturing fluctuations in the level of sales to customers as well as accounting for the effects of regulatory caps on emissions this study proposes a novel effectiveness measure considering desirable outputs and undesirable outputs via data envelopment analysis dea the new measure complements typical efficiency measures we test the validity of the proposed measure with an empirical case study of the fifty u s states and the district of columbia we find that the current interregional electricity transmission plan increases 8 56 in effectiveness for the emissions control we suggest a 9 8 reduction in electricity generation towards an effective production frontier we conclude that the proposed effectiveness measure s ability to distinguish sales and regulation effects from typical productive efficiency eliminates the bias often found in currently used measures

sticky prices and time to equilibrium evidence from asia pacific trade related economies the theoretical relation between exchange rate and prices has been a difficult proposition to find supporting evidence despite many studies of developed economies using standard research methods the exchange rate to price relation appears to hold in the long run only a result consistent with sticky price hypothesis there is a need to add to this sticky price literature by examining more yet studied economies to this area of research this article presents results to support long run equilibrium in the asia pacific economies as being 5 years the methodology is used to group countries with high trade intensity within a region and value weight the resulting variables to test the theory in a regional context our positive finding on the long run equilibrium we believe helps in some ways to enrich the literature on the exchange rate behaviour of an important region for world trade

accounting for real and nominal exchange rate movements in the post bretton woods period abstract using the technique developed by blanchard and quah we decompose real and nominal exchange rate movements into the components induced by real and nominal factors nominal shocks have had a minor effect on the real and nominal bilateral exchange rates between the us and canada japan and germany there is little evidence of exchange rate overshooting real demand rather than supply shocks have been responsible for volatile exchange rate movements structural models of exchange rate determination need to consider such shocks as an important fundamental determinant

can exchange rate variations or trade policy alter the equilibrium current account abstract paul krugman has pointed out that much work needs to be done before the intertemporal open economy model can replace the open economy is lm model as a guide to policy making the objective here is to take a step in this direction by examining if an exogenous increase in world demand for home goods as via trade policy can improve the equilibrium current account within an open economy intertemporal model in the process the paper explores the theoretical issue as to whether a variation in the real exchange rate can alter the difference between saving and investment the key idea is that uncovered interest parity plus some degree of mean reversion in the real exchange rate imply that a modern version of the laursen metzler harberger effect is operative the result is that a policy induced increase in the trade balance will alter the real exchange rate which in turn increases the difference between home saving and investment and thereby improves the equilibrium current account

exchange rate mean reversion from real shocks within an intertemporal equilibrium model abstract the post bretton woods era has been characterized by real exchange rates that exhibit mean reversion with mixed evidence as to whether this reversion is partial ppp never holds or essentially complete this paper generates these stylized facts theoretically by synthesizing a simple intertemporal open economy model with the elasticities approach to the current account a central feature of the model is the existence of non traded goods the model can generate partial or approximately complete mean reversion for the real exchange rate depending on parameter values if innovations in output are made up of permanent and temporary components in addition temporary output shocks generate a type of hysteresis wherein the short run path for the exchange rate permanently alters its long run equilibrium value

long run purchasing power parity is it for real in this paper we re examine the purchasing power parity concept using data from the recent experience with floating exchange rates in particular we utilise the recently developed multivariate cointegration methodology to test for a long run relationship between exchange rates and relative prices and also to test for the proportionality of the exchange rate with respect to relative prices in contrast to much other research we demonstrate that there is a long run relationship between a number of bilateral u s dollar exchange rates and their corresponding relative prices the proportionality of the exchange rate to relative prices does not however receive support from the data this finding may be attributable to the use of measured price series rather than the true series

nonparametric analysis of technical and allocative efficiencies in production in this paper we extend varian s 1984 nonparametric production analysis to situations when the set of observed output input and price data is not consistent with profit maximization for at least one firm in such cases varian s results imply that no production possibility set containing all observations can rationalize the observed data we identify each firm whose performance given the prices faced by it may be found consistent with profit maximization relative to some production possibility set containing all observed output input vectors we show that the set 4 of all such firms can itself be weaklv rationalized in the sense that there exists a closed convex and monotone production possibility set that contains all the observations and relative to which the performance of all the firms in the set 8o is consistent with profit maximization given their respective prices by definition firms not included in this largest set d of efficient observations unambiguously deviate from profit maximizing behavior for any production possibility set containing all observations we follow farrell 1957 and analyze these deviations into technical and allocative efficiency measures considering as admissible all closed convex and monotone production possibility sets relative to which the performance of each firm in the set g remains consistent with profit maximization we then describe nonparametric methods for determining the tightest upper and lower bounds on the technical allocative and aggregate efficiency measures evaluated relative to all such admissible production possibility sets it is seen that the tightest upper bound on the technical efficiency measure is the same as the value computed by the nonparametric efficiency evaluation technique known as data envelopment analysis thus establishing a link between this literature in management science operations research and the nonparametric production analysis in economics

purchasing power parity and the canadian float in the 1950s in this paper the authors present evidence that neither large differences in inflation nor long time periods are necessary for a finding favorable to purchasing power parity evidence from cointegrating regressions and tests of the real exchange rate indicate that purchasing power parity held as a long run constraint between the united states and canada for the period 1950 10 to 1961 5 the authors also find that government intervention can distort purchasing power parity over a finite period once the data were extended beyond the period of the free float the evidence is no longer favorable to purchasing power parity copyright 1991 by mit press

the response of interest rates to us and uk quantitative easing we analyse declines in government bond yields following announcements by the federal reserve and the bank of england of plans to buy longer term debt using dynamic term structure models we decompose us and uk yields into expectations about future short term interest rates and term premiums we find that declines in us yields mainly reflected lower expectations of future short term interest rates while declines in uk yields appeared to reflect reduced term premiums thus the relative importance of the signalling and portfolio balance channels of quantitative easing may depend on market institutional structures and central bank communication policies

a microeconometric comparison of household behavior between countries this article reviews the methodological issues associated with estimating and testing competitive markets with panel data and applies it to an important new arena international economics we investigate differences in housing consumption and male labor supply across households in germany and the united states with data from the german socio economic panel and the panel study of income dynamics observations are treated as equilibrium outcomes generated by a set of competitive markets that accommodate varying degrees of integration after controlling for differences in the sample populations and aggregate shocks we find that the estimated structural parameters are surprisingly similar across these two countries

arima and cointegration tests of ppp under fixed and flexible exchange rate regimes real exchange rates between the united states and its major trading partners were calculated for the bretton woods and flexible exchange rate periods unit root tests indicate that purchasing power parity performed poorly in both periods tests for cointegration reveal limited instances in which it is possible to estimate the deviations from ppp as an error correcting model the estimated error correcting models indicate that foreign but not u s prices responded to deviations from ppp frenkel s 1981b finding that purchasing power parity ppp worked better during the 1920s than the 1970s caused considerable controversy for example davutyan and pippenger 1985 contend that the socalled collapse of ppp is a result of an increase in the relative importance of real versus monetary shocks they argue that the 1970s as opposed to the 1920s was characterized by real supply shocks and the international coordination of monetary policies the argument is that ppp did not fail rather there was an increase in the volatility of those factors giving rise to deviations from ppp hakkio 1984 reestimated ppp over the 1920s and 1970s using cross country tests i e sure estimates to improve the efficiency of his estimates he was able to support the hypothesis that ppp worked better in the 1970s than in the 1920s on the other hand papers by adler and lehman 1983 dornbusch 1980 frenkel 1981a junge 1985 and krugman 1978 report findings contrary to the ppp hypothesis moreover kenen and rodrik 1986 find that the volatility of real exchange rates has increased throughout the flexible rate period this paper tries to shed some light on the importance and persistence of the observed deviations from purchasing power parity under alternative exchange rate systems while it is interesting to compare ppp in the 1920s versus the 1970s it is equally useful to compare the 1960s versus the 1970s and 1980s if real supply shocks and lack of monetary coordination are characteristic of the latter period ppp should perform better in the 1960s to illustrate the issues involved consider the following econometric model of relative purchasing power

the common trend and transitory dynamics in real exchange rate fluctuations this study examines the behaviour of both common trend ct and transitory components of real exchange rate rer fluctuations under the current float the ct component is in most cases found to be sizeable albeit its relative importance can vary considerably across major currencies and its estimate can be sensitive to whether or not long run purchasing power parity ppp is imposed on the data further analysis suggests that both ct and transitory innovations are linked much more to interest rate changes than to productivity changes accordingly it is interest rate not productivity disturbances that drive the highly persistent rer

pricing derivatives on financial securities subject to credit risk this article provides a new methodology for pricing and hedging derivative securities involving credit risk two types of credit risks are considered the first is where the asset underlying the derivative security may default the second is where the writer of the derivative security may default we apply the foreign currency analogy of jarrow and turnbull 1991 to decompose the dollar payoff from a risky security into a certain payoff and a spot exchange rate arbitrage free valuation techniques are then employed this methodology can be applied to corporate debt and over the counter derivatives such as swaps and caps the purpose of this article is to provide a new theory for pricing and hedging derivative securities involving credit risk two sources of credit risk are identified and analyzed the first is where the asset underlying the derivative security may default paying off less than promised this is the case for example with imbedded options on corporate debt the second is the credit risk introduced by the writer of the derivative security who may also default examples include over the counter writers of options on eurodollar futures swaps and swaptions for pricing derivative securities involving credit risk there are currently two approaches the first views these derivatives as contingent claims not on the financial securities themselves but as compound options on the assets underlying the financial securities this is the case for example with the pricing of imbedded options on corporate debt see merton 1974 1977 black and cox 1976 ho and singer 1982 chance 1990 and kim ramaswamy and sundaresan 1993 or the pricing of vulnerable options see johnson and stulz 1987 in practice however this valuation methodology is difficult to use first the assets underlying the financial security are often not tradeable and therefore their values are not observable this makes application of the theory and estimation of the relevant parameters problematic second as in the case of corporate debt all of the other liabilities of the firm senior to the corporate debt must first and simultaneously be valued this generates significant computational difficulties as a result this approach has not

dea ar profit ratios and sensitivity of 100 large u s banks abstract several important dea ar concepts were applied here to banking for the first time this application includes classification sensitivity uniqueness linked cones lcs and profit ratios notably large bank behavior seems to be explained better by profit ratios than by relative efficiency measures of dea efficiency ar efficiency and lc profit ratios were made for a bank panel of the u s s 100 largest banks in asset size from 1986 to 1991 high levels of inefficiency were found as in previous studies classification of the dea efficiency measures identified the inefficient dmus with some positive primal slacks sensitivity analysis of the dea efficiency measures showed that the extreme efficient classification was generally relatively insensitive to errors in the data the ars eliminated i 44 to 60 of the dea extreme efficient dmus and ii all of the banks with unprofitable actual profit ratios some statistical analyses highlight the superiority of the lc profit ratios relative to the ar efficiency measures

the liquidity effects of official bond market intervention to ensure depth and liquidity the european central bank intervened in sovereign debt markets through its securities markets programme smp providing a unique opportunity to estimate the effects of large scale asset purchases on sovereign bond liquidity premia from reduced form estimates we find robust economically significant impact and lasting reductions in sovereign bonds liquidity premia in response to official purchases we develop a search based asset pricing model to understand our empirical results the theory implies that bond liquidity premia fall in response to both official purchases and rising sovereign default probabilities as seen in the data

a new normal for interest rates evidence from inflation indexed debt the downtrend in u s interest rates over the past two decades may partly reflect a decline in the longer run equilibrium real rate of interest we examine this issue using dynamic term structure m

the effectiveness of alternative monetary policy tools in a zero lower bound environment this paper reviews alternative options for monetary policy when the shortterm interest rate is at the zero lower bound and develops new empirical estimates of the effects of the maturity structure of publicly held debt on the term structure of interest rates we use a model of risk averse arbitrageurs to develop measures of how the maturity structure of debt held by the public might affect the pricing of level slope and curvature term structure risk we find that these treasury factors historically were quite helpful for predicting both yields and excess returns over 1990 2007 the historical correlations are consistent with the claim that if in december 2006 the fed were to have sold off all its treasury holdings of less than 1 year maturity about 400 billion and use the proceeds to retire treasury debt from the long end this might have resulted in a 14 basis point drop in the 10 year rate and an 11 basis point increase in the 6 month rate we also develop a description of how the dynamic behavior of the term structure of interest rates changed after hitting the zero lower bound in 2009 our estimates imply that at the zero lower bound such a maturity swap would have the same effects as buying 400 billion in long term maturities outright with newly created reserves and could reduce the 10 year rate by 13 basis points without raising short term yields

the federal reserve s large scale asset purchase programmes rationale and effects we provide empirical estimates of the effect of large scale asset purchases lsaps on longer term us treasury yields within a framework that allows for several transmission channels including the scarcity channel associated with the preferred habitat literature and the duration channel associated with interest rate risk we also clarify lsaps role in the broader context of historical monetary policy strategy results indicate that lsap style operations mainly impact longer term rates via the nominal term premium within that premium the response is predominantly embodied in the real term premium the scarcity and duration channels both seem to be of considerable importance

a high frequency assessment of the ecb securities markets programme policy impact studies often suffer from endogeneity problems consider the case of the european central bank ecb securities markets programme if eurosystem interventions were triggered by sudden and strong price deteriorations looking at daily price changes may bias downward the correlation between yields and the amounts of bonds purchased simple regressions of daily changes in yields on quantities often give insignificant or even positive coefficients and therefore suggest that securities markets programme smp interventions have been ineffective or worse counterproductive we use high frequency data on purchases of the ecb securities markets programme and sovereign bond quotes to address the simultaneity and endogeneity issues we propose a vector autoregressive var framework estimated at several frequencies to better measure the smp impact and its persistence our results show that smp interventions have been effective in reducing yields of government bonds for the countries under the program

the monetary model of the exchange rate long run relationships short run dynamics and how to beat a random walk abstract the monetary model is re examined for the sterling dollar exchange rate first it is demonstrated using a multivariate cointegration technique that an unrestricted monetary model is a valid framework for analyzing the long run exchange rate second we find once proper account has been taken of the short run data dynamics that an unrestricted monetary model outperforms the random walk and other models in an out of sample forecasting contest jel f31

credit swap valuation this review of the pricing of credit swaps a form of derivative security that can be viewed as default insurance on loans or bonds begins with a description of the credit swap contract turns to pricing by reference to spreads over the risk free rate of par floating rate bonds of the same quality and then considers model based pricing the role of asset swap spreads as a reference for pricing credit swaps is also considered

testing long run ppp with infinite variance returns this paper investigates the long run purchasing power parity hypothesis when exchange rate returns and inflation rates are assumed to be heavy tailed stochastic processes more specifically residual based and likelihood ratio based cointegration tests of ppp that explicitly allow for infinite variance innovations are applied to monthly data 1973 1 1999 12 for belgium canada denmark france germany italy japan the netherlands norway spain sweden and the united kingdom our test results are marginally less supportive of ppp when the innovations are assumed to be infinite variance stable processes copyright 2003 john wiley sons ltd

an empirical examination of long run purchasing power parity using cointegration techniques this paper presents an empirical analysis of long run purchasing power parity ppp for five major exchange rates using recently developed econometric techniques on the cointegration of economic time series our empirical results are extremely unfavourable to the ppp hypothesis as a long run equilibrium condition even with an allowance made for measurement error and or tranportation costs in particular we are unable to reject the hypothesis of non cointegration of the exchange rate and relative prices for any of the countries concerned far from finding a stable long run proportionality between exchange rates and relative prices our results therefore suggest that they tend to drift apart without bound

testing long run purchasing power parity under exchange rate targeting abstract the present paper exploits the idea that empirical estimates of the long run ppp relationship may compound two distinct influences coming from the behavior of market participants and policy makers when the latter are targeting the exchange rate this tends to bias tests of long run ppp against its acceptance the validity of the theoretical arguments is assessed by drawing on the experience of two european union countries greece and france for the post bretton woods period estimation biases due to the omission of policy effects are found to be significant only in the case of greece for france our test results provide evidence bearing on the effectiveness of the competitive disinflation strategy pursued by the french authorities