what drives deregulation economics and politics of the relaxation of bank branching restrictions this paper investigates private interest public interest and political institutional theories of regulatory change to analyze state level deregulation of bank branching restrictions using a hazard model we find that interest group factors related to the relative strength of potential winners large banks and small bank dependent firms and losers small banks and the rival insurance firms can explain the timing of branching deregulation across states during the last quarter century the same factors also explain congressional voting on interstate branching deregulation while we find some support for each theory the private interest approach provides the most compelling overall explanation of our results

do greens drive hummers or hybrids environmental ideology as a determinant of consumer choice this paper uses several california data sets to test for differences in consumption patterns between greens and browns a person s environmentalism is rarely observed in consumer data sets in california a community s share of green party registered voters is a viable proxy for community environmentalism environmentalists are more likely to commute by public transit purchase hybrid vehicles and consume less gasoline than non environmentalists

cigarette taxes and the master settlement agreement i introduction in 1998 46 states and the four major tobacco companies entered into the master settlement agreement msa which settled litigation brought on behalf of the states to recover medical expenses paid by government insurance agencies for illness brought on by consumption of tobacco products national association of attorneys general 2003 the four remaining states florida minnesota mississippi and texas settled separately with the companies the msa stipulated that the tobacco companies pay the states an estimated 206 billion over the next several years the payments are made annually and are adjusted for the number of cigarettes sold in each state in each year in this sense the msa payment structure resembles an excise tax the strategy of using litigation as an instrument for discouraging consumption of a commodity deemed to be harmful to consumers is becoming more common parmet and daynard 2000 the impact that such litigation has on other tobacco control policies such as excise taxes depends on the extent to which litigation and such policies are substitutable the msa payments could substitute for excise taxes at the state level this may be so to the extent that state legislatures have succeeded in levying socially optimal excise tax rates 1 if so states would be expected to have reduced excise taxes on cigarettes after the settlements were reached similarly one would expect that various tobacco control policies such as workplace smoking bans would be substitutes albeit imperfect ones for state cigarette excise taxes and for penalties resulting from litigation that function as excise taxes alternatively litigation and the resulting settlement may have changed the balance of power between tobacco control advocates and the tobacco manufacturers with the consequence that the settlements and state excise taxes are complements the tobacco industry s influence on federal and state legislatures historically has been an impediment to enacting tobacco control legislation at either federal or state levels kelder and daynard 1997 parmet and daynard 2000 rather than crowd out state excise taxes the msa could have led to crowding in a cursory glance at the data supports the view that litigation changes the balance of power since the msa and four individual state settlements were reached the former in november 1998 and the individual settlements somewhat earlier state legislatures have increasingly looked to state excise taxes on cigarettes as a source of revenue relative to both excise taxes imposed on alcohol and state taxes more generally figure 1 in particular the largest jumps in the mean real state excise tax on cigarettes occurred in 1997 and 2002 in fiscal year 2003 for example state excise tax increases were larger than any other single type of tax including major sources of revenue such as income taxes national governors association and national association of state budget officers 2002 these increases did not coincide with increases in the mean real state excise tax on beer the only year in which real state excise taxes on beer rose was 1998 figure 1 omitted such trends could have been due to factors other than the settlement the goal of our empirical analysis is to assess whether the changes in cigarette excise taxes can be attributed to the settlement when other factors are held constant using pre post as well as state excise taxes on beer as controls in a panel data difference in difference approach the evidence on balance provides support for the view that litigation and cigarette excise taxes are complements which is consistent with changes in the political equilibrium ii data and empirical specification overview we use a panel data difference in difference d d regression design to test whether the litigation substituted for crowd out or complemented crowd in state excise taxes

the role and growth of new car leasing theory and evidence abstractthere has been substantial growth in rates of new car leasing over the last few decades building on recent theoretical research we construct a model of the leasing decision in which leasing mitigates adverse selection and reduces transaction costs but moral hazard limits its use in our model the prevalence of leasing is related to new car reliability which suggests that the recent growth in leasing is at least partly due to improvements in new car reliability we use this model to derive testable implications and then conduct an empirical analysis to investigate whether the operation of the new and used car markets is consistent with the predictions of this theoretical approach our empirical results support the theoretical predictions of our model in particular we provide direct evidence that leasing mitigates adverse selection and that an important factor in the growth in new car leasing rates has indeed been the growth of new car reliability

durable goods theory for real world markets the early 1970s witnessed three major advances in durable goods theory swan 1970 1971 and sieper and swan 1973 on optimal durability coase 1972 on time inconsistency and akerlof 1970 on adverse selection this paper surveys durable goods theory starting with these three contributions where much of the focus is on recent literature and on models that explain real world phenomena in addition to the ideas found in the contributions of swan coase and akerlof topics covered include why producers sometimes practice planned obsolescence the role of adverse selection in new car leasing and reasons for aftermarket monopolization

existence of stationary equilibrium in the markets for new and used durable goods abstract we prove the existence of stationary equilibrium in the primary and secondhand markets for an indivisible consumer durable in a general model with stochastic degradation and endogenous scrappage decisions unlike rust econometrica 53 1985 783 we introduce transaction costs in the model as a motivation for consumer holdings of durables across multiple quality levels our technique allows for both multiple types of durables e g porsche and bmw and relaxation of the single crossing condition on consumer tastes we provide a simple example showing how increasing transaction costs affect secondhand prices eventually for sufficiently costly transactions closing the secondhand market altogether

a quantitative analysis of the used car market we quantitatively investigate the allocative and welfare effects of secondary markets for cars an important source of gains from trade in these markets is the heterogeneity in the willingness to pay for higher quality newer goods but transaction costs are an impediment to instantaneous trade calibration of the model successfully matches several aggregate features of the u s and french used car markets counterfactual analyses show that transaction costs have a large effect on volume of trade allocations and the primary market aggregate effects on consumer surplus and welfare are relatively small but the effect on lower valuation households can be large

innovation in europe a tale of networks knowledge and trade in five cities this paper identifies four groups of theory that seek to explain the relationships between innovation and space these are traditional agglomeration theory networking learning and new competitiveness theory evidence on the last three most recent theories is sought by analysing the results of comparable surveys of innovative firms in amsterdam london milan paris and stuttgart the empirical results show that differences occur in the external relationships between firms and the global economy with respect to specific innovation projects broadly speaking the main differences identified show that in regional cities such as stuttgart and milan innovative activities are more linked to their regional and national economies than they are in the international world cities such as paris and london this suggests that attempts to generalize the network paradigm on industrial production are premature at least as far as innovation is concerned conversely the data demonstrate the significance of trading syste

the feasibility of the double dividend hypothesis in a democratic economy the two dividends in the double dividend hypothesis are assumed to be independent this assumption can be misleading when it comes to formulating policy i construct a model where the pollution tax rate is voted for by heterogeneous people in addition to the revenue recycling effect the equilibrium pollution tax rate depends on two opposite forces the tax cutting effect and the profit effect the two forces show that an instrument that exploits a greater revenue recycling effect can cause a more severe environmental deterioration thereby resulting in the infeasibility of the hypothesis the introduction of the interdependence between the two dividends can also mean that non revenue raising instruments are more efficient than revenue raising instruments

explaining the appearance and success of open space referenda many communities in the united states have begun enacting policies to preserve open space often through local voter referenda new jersey sponsors such municipal action through the green acres program by providing funding and low interest loans to towns that choose to increase property taxes and spend the money raised on open space preservation for the purposes of conservation and or recreation this paper endeavors to understand which factors contribute to the appearance and success of these measures although previous literature has examined this issue this is the first study to account for spatial dependence spatial autocorrelation and to explore dynamic issues through survival analysis the traditional two stage model from the literature is extended by incorporating a bayesian spatial probit for the first stage and a maximum likelihood spatial error model in the second stage a cox proportional hazard model is used to examine the timing of referenda appearance spatial dependence is found in the second stage of the analysis indicating that future studies should account for its influence there is no strong evidence for spatial dependence or correlation in the first stage the survival model is found to be a useful complement to the traditional probit analysis of the first stage

consumer skepticism of advertising claims testing hypotheses from economics of information propositions regarding consumers differential skepticism for search experience and credence claims are tested in an experiment using adult consumers the results provide clear support for nelson s 1970 hypotheses that consumers are more skeptical of experience than search attribute claims and more skeptical of subjective than of objective claims no support is found however for the darby and kami 1973 hypothesis that consumers will be more skeptical of credence than of experience attribute claims or for the hypothesis that consumers will not be less skeptical of experience claims for low priced goods

green taxes in a post paris world are millions of nays inevitable turning the paris agreement s greenhouse gas emissions pledges into domestic policies is the next challenge for governments we address the question of the acceptability of cost effective climate policy in a real voting setting first we analyze voting behavior in a large ballot on energy taxes rejected in switzerland in 2015 by more than 2 million people energy taxes were aimed at completely replacing the current value added tax we examine the determinants of voting and find that distributional and competitiveness concerns reduced the acceptability of energy taxes along with the perception of ineffectiveness most people would have preferred tax revenues to be allocated for environmental purposes second at the same time of the ballot we tested the acceptability of alternative designs of a carbon tax with a choice experiment survey on a representative sample of the swiss population survey respondents are informed about environmental distributional and competitiveness effects of each carbon tax design these impacts are estimated with a computable general equilibrium model this original setting generates a series of novel results providing information on the expected environmental effectiveness of carbon taxes reduces the demand for environmental earmarking making distributional effects salient generates an important demand for progressive designs e g social cushioning or recycling via lump sum transfers the case of lump sum recycling is particularly striking it is sufficient to show its desirable distributional properties to make it one of the most preferred designs which corresponds to a completely novel result in the literature we show that providing detailed information on the functioning of environmental taxes may contribute to close both the gap between acceptability ex ante and ex post and the gap between economists prescriptions and the preferences of the general public

capture and ideology in the economic theory of politics the economic theory of regulation long ago put public interest theories of politics to rest these theories have correctly been viewed as normative wishings rather than explanations of real world phenomena they have been replaced by models of political behavior that are consistent with the rest of microeconomics anthony downs 1957 james buchanan and gordon tullock 1965 george stigler 1971 sam peltzman 1976 recently however debate has arisen over whether some version of a public interest theory of regulation will have to be readmitted to our thinking about actions and results in the political arena what is at issue is the empirical importance of the altruistic publicly interested goals of rational actors in determining legislative and regulatory outcomes james kau and paul rubin 1979 kalt 1981 peltzman 1982 this study assesses the nature and significance of publicly interested objectives in a particular instance of economic policymaking u s senate voting on coal strip mining regulations the existence of such objectives is of course no contradiction of the economic view of human behavior kenneth arrow 1972 gary becker 1974 and may well be rooted in genetic biological history becker 1976 jack hirshleifer 1978 generally however individuals altruistic publicly interested goals have been given little attention this reflects the judgment that such goals are so empirically unimportant as to allow the use of occam s razor in positive models or well founded apprehensions that these goals are unusually difficult to identify measure and analyze notwithstanding the latter problem we find that approaches which confine themselves to a view of political actors as narrowly egocentric maximizers explain and predict legislative outcomes poorly the tracking and dissecting of the determinants of voting on coal strip mining policy suggest that the economic theory of politics has been prematurely closed to a broader conception of political behavior

price discrimination via second hand markets consumers have heterogeneous tastes for new and used goods and second hand markets involve transactions costs a monopoly seller may gain or lose from the existence of a second hand market locally it may prefer lower transactions costs but globally it may prefer high transactions costs so it can strangle the used market the monopolist uses the second hand market as an indirect device to achieve a form of second degree price discrimination if the monopolist can control the quality of its product when used it may wish to deteriorate this quality to worthless or else to have it as good as new

the relevance of attitudinal factors for the acceptance of energy policy measures a micro econometric analysis abstract this paper empirically examines the individual support of the german energy transition in total and especially of six single energy policy measures which are components of the energy transition our micro econometric analysis with binary and ordered probit models on the basis of data from a broad survey of citizens reveals the important role of several attitudinal factors with respect to our indicators for perceived personal costs of the energy transition the estimation results point to a weak evidence for economic self interest due to some negative correlations between expected energy price increases due to the energy transition and the support of single energy policy measures interestingly however the concern that the energy transition alone causes strong energy price increases is not shared by the majority of the respondents the estimation results also suggest that the support of several energy policy measures is strongly correlated with environmental values however the most important attitudinal factor is obviously political identification the econometric analysis suggests that an overall left green policy identification is positively correlated with the support of the energy transition in total and an identification with ecological policy is positively correlated with the acceptance of several single energy policy measures the econometric analysis especially supports the more sophisticated categorization of political orientation since for example a liberal conservative policy orientation is not significantly correlated with the support of the energy transition in total

robust inference concerning recent trends in us environmental quality understanding trends in environmental quality is important for individuals and policymakers typically trends in environmental quality are determined solely through comparisons of unconditional or conditional mean pollution levels however reaching unambiguous conclusions on the basis of only the first moment of the unconditional or conditional distribution is problematic since it ignores what is occurring in different regions of the distribution even relying on indices that incorporate both mean and variance is suspect to the extent that relative rankings are not typically robust to index choice addressing these concerns we adapt recent developments in the stochastic dominance literature to test for unambiguous relations between current and past distributions of toxic releases using epa data from 1988 1999 we find statistically significant evidence that the unconditional 1999 distributions of air land underground and total toxic releases dominate in a first degree sense their respective 1988 distributions while some of this improvement is explained by economic growth pollution net of income improved over the sample period as well finally we document robust differences in the distribution of pollution across regions in the us copyright 2004 john wiley sons ltd

resale and collusion in a dynamic market for semidurable goods the paper studies the incentives to form collusive agreements when goods can be traded in second hand markets it will be shown that such incentives crucially depend on the rate of depreciation of the durable good and on consumer heterogeneity the main contribution of the paper shows that an active second hand market may strengthen the incentives to collude as do policies that affect the functioning of the second hand market e g leasing policy and buy back it will also be argued that the oligopoly incentives to adopt strategies that strengthen collusion often differ from the monopoly incentives to increase profits

a direct test of the lemons model the market for used pickup trucks of the implications of models of markets with asymmetric information in the seminal paper on markets with asymmetric information george akerlof 1970 pointed out two possible outcomes that may occur where sellers have better information about the quality of products than do buyers one possibility is that bad products will drive out good products if buyers cannot distinguish quality until after the purchase has been made there will be no incentive for sellers to provide good quality products and the average quality in the market will decline in the case of cars an often cited example of this phenomenon owners who discover that they have a lemon will attempt to sell it in the used car market to an unsuspecting buyer the owner of a creampuff will not sell his car since it is indistinguishable from a lemon to buyers and must therefore sell for the price of a car of average quality the effect of quality uncertainty is to reduce the volume of transactions in the used car market below the socially optimal level a second possibility suggested by akerlof is that institutions may develop to counteract the effects of quality uncertainty warranties and brand names can be used to give the buyer some assurance of quality these institutions may prevent good products from being driven from the market but they will

demand for environmental goods evidence from voting patterns on california initiatives this article studies voting behavior on 16 environmental ballot propositions in california in order to characterize the demand for environmental goods the environment is found to be a normal good for people with mean incomes but some environmental goods are inferior for those with high incomes at least when supplied collectively an important price of environmental goods is reduced income in the construction farming forestry and manufacturing industries income and price can explain most of the variation in voting there is little need to introduce preference variables such as political ideology

understanding the role of trade ins in durable goods markets theory and evidence the act of trading in a used car as partial payment for a new car resonates with practically all consumers such transactions are prevalent in many other durable goods markets ranging from golf clubs to ct scanners what roles do trade ins play in these markets what motivates the seller to set up a channel to facilitate trade ins intuitively accepting a trade in would appear to stimulate demand for the producer s product but facilitating the resale of these used goods that substitute for new goods might also increase cannibalization although such transactions involve billions of dollars we know relatively little about this practice from the extant research literature this paper develops an analytical model that incorporates key features of real world durable goods markets i coexistence of new and used goods markets ii consumer heterogeneity with respect to quality sensitivity iii firms that anticipate the cannibalization problem arising from the coexistence of new and used goods and iv lemon problems in resale markets whereby sellers of used goods are better informed than buyers about the quality of their particular item in our analysis a trade in policy amounts to an intervention by the firm in the used goods market which reduces inefficiencies arising from the lemon problem it motivates owners to purchase new goods and reduces their proclivity to hold on to purchased goods because of the low price the latter would fetch in a lemon market we also show that trade in programs are more valuable for less reliable products as well as for products that deteriorate more slowly our analysis shows that producers in durable goods markets should consider trade in programs as a matter of routine despite cannibalization concerns arising from a more active resale market a producer s profits will inevitably rise from introducing trade ins given pervasive lemon problems we test the key predictions of the model about price and volume of trade by assembling a data set of transactions of u s automobile consumers and find broad support for our model

the interactive effects of human capital and quality of life on economic growth abstractto bridge the gap in the quality of life qol and economic growth literature and understand the reinforcing effects of qol and human capital on economic development we examine the interactive effects of these two factors on wage growth from 2000 to 2007 at the county level across the united states first a rosen roback model is employed to estimate implicit values of amenities including climate clean air and other natural attributes which are used to generate qol indices second qol human capital represented by the share of college graduates and their interaction serve as key variables in the wage growth model an instrumental variable approach and location fixed effects are used to address endogeneity of human capital and control for location specific unobservable characteristics results suggest that human capital and qol significantly contribute to economic growth and the growth effects are even larger in nonmetropolitan counties importantly we find that the effect of human capital on

who votes for public environmental goods in california evidence from a spatial analysis of voting for environmental ballot measures abstract voting referenda provide direct evidence of the demand for public goods a number of previous studies have used referenda to analyze the support for public environmental goods these studies have used aggregate data from large jurisdictional units usually counties and summary income measures such as the mean or median and have usually found that higher income areas offer greater support for environmental propositions we examine environmental referenda voting in california using census block group data spatial dependence controls and detailed income distribution data we find that household income has a negative marginal effect on environmental referenda voting for most of the income range when using census block data in addition controls for spatial dependence significantly reduce the magnitude of most coefficients this suggests that ols estimates of referenda determinants are biased we also show that county level data may be subject to severe aggregation bias and might not be appropriate for referenda studies

explaining voter turnout patterns an information theory voting research is rich in empirical regularities yet a parsimonious theory of voter turnout that can match the facts has proven to be elusive this paper argues that voter turnout patterns can be explained by extending the traditional rational voter model to include limited information a model is presented in which utility maximizing consumers receive higher payoffs from voting the more confident they are of their vote choice the model provides an explanation for the most important cross sectional voter turnout patterns in addition it suggests a novel explanation for the post 1960 decline in u s participation

a critical review and an extension of the political shirking literature after substituting actual and real changes for proposed and nominal changes in budgetary and employment levels it is clear that the size and scope of the federal leviathon had not been reduced over 1982 83 it is also clear that the agencies which witnessed real budget cuts over this period were of minor importance in terms of the total u s budget future research on why only small agencies receive real budget cuts will provide us with a better understanding of the budgetary process

dynamics and equilibrium in a structural model of wide body commercial aircraft markets summary this paper develops and estimates a dynamic equilibrium model of the market for new and used commercial aircraft the model is estimated by maximum simulated likelihood using data on wide body aircraft owners and prices for transactions occurring 1978 1997 the importance of explicitly modeling dynamics and equilibrium in new and used markets for durable goods is illustrated in two counterfactual experiments estimates of the structural model are used to show that implementing an investment tax credit not only increases demand for new wide body aircraft by the airlines that receive the tax credit but also increases the number of new wide body aircraft owned by airlines not directly affected by the policy further the model indicates that a policy which improves the efficiency of secondary markets for used wide body aircraft will also stimulate demand for new wide body aircraft copyright 2010 john wiley sons ltd

changing the price of pork the impact of local cost sharing on legislators demands for distributive public goods abstract the provision of public services through national legislatures gives legislators the chance to fund locally beneficial public projects using a shared national tax base nationally financed and provided local congestible public goods will be purchased at a subsidized price below marginal cost and may be inefficiently too large as a consequence an important assumption behind this inefficiency is that national legislators in fact demand more of the locally beneficial project as the local price for projects declines this paper provides the first direct test of this important assumption using legislators project choices following the passage of the water resources development act of 1986 wrda 86 we find legislators chosen water project sizes do fall as the local cost share rises with a price elasticity of demand ranging from 0 81 for flood control and shoreline protection projects to 2 55 for large navigation projects the requirement of wrda 86 that local taxpayers contribute a greater share to the funding of local water projects reduced overall proposed project spending in our sample by 35 and the federal outlay for proposed project spending by 48

understanding china s urban pollution dynamics china s ongoing urban economic growth has sharply increased the population s per capita income lowered the count of people living below the poverty line and caused major environmental problems we survey the growing literature investigating the causes and consequences of china s urban pollution challenges we begin by studying how urban population and industrial growth impacts local pollution levels and greenhouse gas production as the urban population grows richer its demand for private transportation and electricity sharply increases such privately beneficial activity exacerbates urban pollution externalities facing these severe environmental challenges china s urbanites increasingly demand quality of life progress we survey the emerging literature investigating the demand for environmental progress in china progress in mitigating externalities hinges on whether the powerful central and local governments choose to address these issues we analyze the political economy of whether government officials have strong incentives to tackle lingering urban externalities we conclude by discussing future research opportunities at the intersection of environmental and urban economics jel o18 p25 p28 q53 r23 r41 r58

leasing lemons and moral hazard abstract a number of recent papers have analyzed leasing in the new car market as a response to the adverse selection problem in the used car market originally explored in the seminal 1970 paper by george akerlof in this paper we consider a model characterized by both adverse selection as in these earlier papers and moral hazard concerning the maintenance choices of new car drivers we show that this approach provides explanations for a number of empirical findings concerning real world new and used car markets including that leasing has become more popular over time very high income new car drivers lease more and used cars that were leased when new sell for more than used cars that were purchased when new we also compare and contrast our approach to new car leasing with alternative approaches

durable goods oligopoly with secondary markets the case of automobiles we study the effects of durability and secondary markets on equilibrium firm behavior in the car market we construct a dynamic oligopoly model of a differentiated product market to incorporate the equilibrium production dynamics that arise from the durability of the goods and their active trade in secondary markets we derive an econometric model and estimate its parameters using data from the automobile industry over a 20 year period our estimates are used to provide a measure of the competitive importance of the secondary market

new estimates of quality of life in urban areas implicit markets capture compensation for intraurban and interregional differe nces in amenities and yield differences in housing prices and wages these pecuniary differences become preference based weights in a qual ity of life index hedonic equations are estimated using microdata fr om the 1980 census and assembled county based amenity data on climati c environmental and urban conditions ranking of 253 urban counties reveals substantial variation within as well as among the 185 urba n areas the quality of life differences across counties within one s msa is almost one half of the difference between the top and bottom ranked counties in the nation copyright 1988 by american economic association

income sorting and the demand for clean air evidence from southern california people sort over space due to among other factors the demand for amenities this demand is partially determined by income using data from southern california we investigate how variation in air quality affects residential sorting by income we find that sorting caused by air quality differences may exacerbate income segregation

collective action in an asymmetric world abstract a central authority possessing tax and expenditure responsibilities can readily provide an efficient level of a public good absent a central authority voluntary arrangements must replace coercive ones and significant under provision must be expected international public goods are particularly challenging due to the substantial asymmetries among nations small interest nations have strong incentives to ride cheaply our empirical results reveal cheap riding intentions in providing for climate change mitigation a critical international public good the evidence is provided by individual nations intended nationally determined contributions voluntarily pledged for the paris climate change conference we find that larger nations made much larger pledges in proportion to both their gross national incomes and their historical emissions implications for the nordhaus climate club and carbon tax proposals are discussed to achieve pareto optimality despite disparate cheap riding incentives we propose the cheap riding efficient equilibrium that solution takes the nash equilibrium as a base point and then applies the principles of either the nash bargaining solution or the lindahl equilibrium to proceed to the pareto frontier

relicensing as a secondary market strategy secondary markets in the information technology industry where used or refurbished equipment is traded have been growing steadily for original equipment manufacturers oems in this industry the importance of secondary markets has grown in parallel not only as a source of revenue but also because of their impact on these firms competitive advantage and market strategy recent articles in the press have severely criticized some oems who are perceived to be actively trying to eliminate the secondary market for their products other oems have policies that enhance their secondary markets the goal of this paper is to understand how an oem s incentives and optimal strategies vis a vis the secondary market are shaped contingent on her relative competitive advantage product characteristics and consumer preferences the critical trade off that we examine is whether the indirect benefit from maintaining an active secondary market the resale value effect can outweigh the potentially negative effect of the sales of used products at the expense of new product sales the cannibalization effect to that end we develop a durable good model where the oem can directly affect the resale value of her product through a relicensing fee charged to the buyer of the refurbished equipment we analyze the oem s strategy in both the monopoly and the duopoly cases characterize the optimal relicensing fee set by the oem and draw conclusions on the conditions that favor stimulating or deterring the secondary market this paper was accepted by candace a yano operations and supply chain management

property value capitalization and municipal open space referenda this paper first develops a theory of demand for land conservation in the presence of price effects due to both amenity creation and housing supply restriction three hypotheses designed to distinguish demand for amenities from homeowner rent seeking are based upon 1 renters 2 the quality of another locally provided good schools and 3 spatial autocorrelation of funding across municipalities econometric results suggest an observable degree of demand for open space measures is nonenvironmental in motivation efficiency and policy implications are discussed along with a recommendation for benefit cost analysis capable of separating nonrival amenities from other interests to certify open space measures jel h41 q24

adverse selection in the used car market evidence from purchase and repair patterns in the consumer expenditure survey we analyze adverse selection in the used car market using a new approach that considers a car as an assemblage of parts some with symmetric information and others with asymmetric information using data from the consumer expenditure survey and consumer reports we examine turnover and repair patterns we find evidence of adverse selection due to the conditions of the transmission engine and during colder months air conditioning and sorting due to the conditions of the vehicle body and during warmer months air conditioning our quantification exercises indicate that adverse selection may have a meaningful effect on trade volume and quality in the secondhand market

environmental regulation whose self interests are being protected special interest can explain why environmental policy limits economic activity in areas where air quality is above minumum standards locational competition among region helped create a policy that raised factor mobility cost from slower to faster growing regions analysis of votes shows greater support for this policy was received from northern urban constituencies and the greatest opposition came from the south and the west pollution abatement costs per unit of output are higher in areas with higher not lower air quality

durable goods price cycles theory and evidence from the textbook market i introduction one of the features of the market for new textbooks is that the price of new textbooks is relatively inflexible over the life of an edition in the sense that it fails to decline as the end of an edition approaches this inflexibility seems surprising because the availability of used textbooks which are a close substitute for new textbooks rises as the textbook ages furthermore the willingness to pay of a purchaser of a new textbook who plans to resell the book should decline at the end of the edition as the introduction of a new edition will destroy the resale value of the previous edition both of these factors would be expected to put downward pressure on the price of the good as the edition ages our goal of this article is to develop a model of textbook pricing that is capable of explaining this price inflexibility over the life of an edition we model the textbook pricing decision as that of a monopoly seller of a durable good over the life of an edition of the good where the life of the edition is exogenously given at two periods and the introduction of a new edition kills off the used market for the previous edition we assume that the market for the good is made up of two types of consumers high valuation buyers who will keep the good and low valuation buyers who value the option of being able to resell the good in the used market after using the services of the good in the current period the willingness to pay of high valuation buyers will thus be constant over the life of an edition while that of the low valuation buyers will decline in the second period due to the elimination of the used market we show that this model may lead to an optimal price for the durable good that may either rise or fall over the life of an edition and identify two effects that influence the monopolist s pricing decision the first we refer to as the used goods supply effect which is the impact of the quantity of goods available in the used market on the optimal price of new goods in the second period we show that if the quantity of high valuation buyers is sufficiently low the price of new goods may be increasing in the quantity of used goods in the second period this results from the fact that the increased supply of used goods may reduce the elasticity of demand for new goods making it optimal for the monopolist to sell only to high valuation buyers in the second period the second effect is the potential for resale effect which is due to the fact that the ability to sell goods in the used market will raise the willingness to pay of low valuation buyers relative to that of high valuation buyers in the first period the combination of these two effects leads to the possibility that the monopolist will choose to sell to both types of buyers in the first period of the edition but to sell only to high valuation buyers in the second period our empirical analysis tests for the presence of used goods supply and potential for resale effects on the prices of new textbooks we utilize a panel dataset from college bookshops that contains price and quantity information for economics textbooks for each semester between 1997 and 2003 we estimate simple pricing equations with textbook fixed effects instrumental variables are also used to account for the potential endogeneity of a regressor we find that textbook prices increase as the share of used textbooks increases which is consistent with the presence of a used good supply effect in which the increased presence of used goods makes the demand curve for new goods less elastic we also find evidence that prices of the goods are higher in the last period of an edition controlling for the stock of used goods in the market this is consistent with the potential for resale effect our theoretical model can be distinguished from other work that has analyzed the optimal pricing problem for a monopoly seller of a durable good

voting on the environment price or ideology evidence from swiss referendums studies on preferences for environmental quality usually posit that price and income explain most of the observed choices however we argue that conceptions of social norms and the common good are equally important when analyzing environmental voting outcomes and are a significant component of the environmental demand we study aggregate results of three ballot proposals in switzerland put to vote in the year 2000 which foresaw different tax schemes on fossil energy all three bills were rejected by the electorate we are able to show that regions with producer interests car commuting habits and elderly population are less supportive of ecological tax reforms unlike higher education and leftist political affinity that work in favor of the bills though more importantly our results underline the importance of including variables pertaining to the notion of ideology both in terms of statistical fit and obtaining unbiased estimates for price and income determinants

the ideological component of senate voting different principles or different principals evidence exists on both sides of the question of whether or not legislator specific ideologically driven shirking of constituent interest occurs in this paper we use a well known model of such shirking by senators as our point of departure and add measures of inter state constituent interests the role of campaign contributions and hence the importance of whether or not senators are up for reelection we find some evidence that the model provides a stronger explanation for senators up for reelection than for those who are not and that campaign contributions help determine voting decisions by these legislators finally accounting for inter state constituent interests shirking is not a significant variable in the voting decisions of senators facing reelection thus it appears that the reelection interests of some senators have been mistaken for ideologically driven shirking

a theory of finitely durable goods monopoly with used goods market and transaction costs we construct a dynamic game to model a monopoly of finitely durable goods the solution concept is markov perfect equilibria with general equilibria embedded in every time period our model is flexible enough to simultaneously explain or accommodate many commonly observed phenomena or stylized facts such as concurrent leasing and selling active secondary markets for used goods heterogeneous consumers endogenous consumption patterns depreciation an infinite time horizon and nontrivial transaction costs within our model consumers have incentives to segment themselves into various consumption classes according to their willingness to pay and nontrivial transaction costs to sell used goods put strong constraints on consumers consumption sequences in time as a direct consequence of the finite durability the market power of the monopolist remains intact leasing manifests itself as a facilitator of price discrimination by debundling the durable good into new and used portions that are naturally bundled together under outright sales the concurrent leasing and selling reflects the degree of the comparative advantage the monopolist has over consumers in disposing used goods this comparative advantage which is partially exploited by the monopolist and partially shared by the consumers provides a sufficient mechanism to gain pareto improvement on the market

a theory of economic obsolescence a new generation of durable goods makes an old generation economically even if not physically obsolete economic obsolescence due to technological innovation requires the durable goods monopolist to implement price discrimination in two dimensions both between consumers with different valuations and between consumers with different purchase histories equilibrium in the game between the durable goods monopolist and consumers depends on the extent of economic obsolescence and the relative sizes of the consumer groups underinvestment in innovation may take place this contrasts with the standard literature on planned obsolescence where the durable goods monopolist overinvests in durability reducing technology

financing durable assets this paper studies the nancing of durable assets in a model with collateral constraints due to limited enforcement durability aects the ease of nancing we show that more durable assets require larger down payments of internal funds per unit of capital making them harder to nance because durability raises the price of an asset and hence the overall nancing need more than its collateral value thus nancial constraints have a bigger impact on purchases of more durable capital such as land structures and durable equipment this basic insight has implications for the choice between new and used capital technology adoption and the rent versus buy decision since new assets are more durable than used ones unconstrained borrowers buy new assets and sell them when they are used while constrained borrowers purchase used assets financial constraints inhibit technology adoption as constrained borrowers may adopt less durable low quality assets that are otherwise dominated technologies more durable assets are more likely to be rented given their larger nancing need legal enforcement aects trade in durable assets and technology adoption with weak legal enforcement economies being net importers of used assets and investing a larger fraction in less durable low quality assets

making friends or making things interfirm transactions in the sheffield metal working cluster the paper comprises an examination of the material inputs of a sample of 70 small firms in the sheffield metal working cluster and an assessment of the extent to which purchases are accompanied by face to face embodied transactions it is shown that there are no significant differences between the level of embodied transactions accompanying local intra cluster material links and those associated with non local flows it seems that on this measure at least and within this cluster the sheffield metal working cluster lacks the dense network of embodied transactions with local suppliers suggested in the wider literature the lower than expected measures of embodied transactions suggest that one of the mechanisms for the transfer of knowledge between buyers and suppliers within an industrial cluster is poorly developed in this particular case

dynamic demand for new and used durable goods without physical depreciation the case of japanese video games we develop a new dynamic demand model for new and used durable goods and quantify the impact of used goods markets on producers profits and consumer welfare

quality differentials and prices are cherries lemons in g a akerlof s market for lemons goods of differential qualities sell under the same standard if no price differentials exist then the low quality goods drive out the high quality goods in cherry markets heterogeneous lots of cherries sell within the same market standard at the time of sale buyers know only the market standard since different qualities sell under the same standard the potential for lemons exists if buyers cannot identify different qualities the authors theoretical and empirical models suggest seller characteristics signal quality to buyers and buyers pay premiums to firms with these characteristics thus cherries are not lemons copyright 1991 by blackwell publishing ltd

legislative voting and the economic theory of politics empirical studies of legislative voting have multiplied since the mid 1970s early work 13 distinguished two modes of representation delegates who vote as voters want and trustees who use their own judgment more recently researchers have considered only delegates claiming that legislators who use their own ideology are shirking following principal agent theory representatives are conceived as conduits through which citizens transmit and express interests empirical work on this question however has found that the legislator s ideology explains more variation in vote choices than is explained by measures of constituent interest the seeming contradiction has led some 9 10 17 to reject the economic theory of legislator behavior as erroneous the truth is that no such theory has ever been fairly stated much less tested estimating equations have been ad hoc and the usual approach to measuring ideology has imposed correlation between the equation error and an explanatory variable 8 in both cases the result is

durable goods leasing in the presence of exporting used products to an international secondary market abstract with the rapid growth of global trade used durable goods from wealthy countries increasingly find their way into the secondary market of less wealthy countries exporting used products to a physically separate market not only removes cannibalization for new products at home but also fetches additional revenue in this paper we investigate the implications of exporting used products to international secondary markets in the durable goods industry we find that such a practice may significantly stimulate new product lease on the home market an effect in which the market attractiveness and product quality are mutually reinforcing we discover that removing cannibalization pressure is more of a priority than generating additional revenue while exporting used products if the export is carried out by an agent who exports used products bought from oem original equipment manufacturer we observe the disadvantage of double marginalization in a channel structure which slows down export and causes quantity distortion and also reduces the effectiveness of government stimulus however if the agent and oem set export price based supply and demand equilibrium this reduces the quantity distortion one special characteristic of used products trade across borders is the involvement of governments on both sides of the border the government measures include penalties imposed on aging durable goods and trade barriers we find that legislation of penalizing used products on the domestic market can stimulate export but it does not have an intended effect of stimulating new products produced at home the channel structure worsens the problem

revisiting marshall s agglomeration economies technological relatedness and the evolution of the sheffield metals cluster potter a and watts h d revisiting marshall s agglomeration economies technological relatedness and the evolution of the sheffield metals cluster regional studies according to alfred marshall firms receive increasing returns from a trinity of agglomeration economies a local pool of skilled labour local supplier linkages and local knowledge spillovers this article re examines the mechanisms underlying marshall s agglomeration economies in the sheffield metals cluster wherein marshall discovered them despite the cluster s decline empirical evidence is found that the mechanisms underlying marshallian agglomeration economies continue to occur within the surviving metals industry however upon closer examination marshallian agglomeration economies have evolved to become more prevalent amongst plants that use related metals technology the results highlight the importance of technological relatedness to cluster survival

when do secondary markets harm firms to investigate whether secondary markets aid or harm durable goods manufacturers we build a dynamic model of durable goods oligopoly with transaction costs in the secondary market calibrating model parameters using data from the us automobile industry we find the net effect of opening the secondary market is to decrease new car manufacturers profits by 35 percent counterfactual scenarios in which the size of the used good stock decreases such as when products become less durable when the number of firms decreases or when firms can commit to future production levels increase the profitability of opening the secondary market

buying frenzies in durable goods markets we explain why a durable goods monopolist would like to create a shortage during the launch phase of a new product we argue that this incentive arises from the presence of a second hand market and uncertainty about consumers willingness to pay for the good consumers are heterogeneous and initially uninformed about their valuations but learn about them over time given demand uncertainty first period sales may result in misallocation and lead to active trading on the secondary market after the uncertainty is resolved trading on the second hand market will generate additional surplus this surplus can be captured by the monopolist ex ante because consumers are forward looking and the price they are willing to pay incorporates the product s resale value as a consequence when selling to uninformed consumers the monopolist faces the trade off between more sales today and a lower profit margin specifically because the product s resale value is negatively related to the stock of the good in the second hand market selling more units today will result in a lower equilibrium price of the product therefore the monopolist may find it optimal to create a shortage and ration consumers to the second period we characterize conditions under which the monopolist would like to restrict sales and generate buying frenzies

assessing holistic economic value for multifunctional agriculture in the us abstract this study used contingent valuation method to shed light on public preferences on the multifunctional roles of the us agriculture and to present a holistic estimate of the economic value of the nonmarket goods and services of us agriculture contingent valuation survey instrument was administered to a sample composed from the ipsos web based panel fishbein s model of reasoned behavior and mediation hypothesis were combined to model the relationship between wtp behavioral intentions and sets of explanatory variables including attitudes perceived attributes about family farms farmland preservation programs government involvement in agricultural markets and ecological state of our world and socio demographic profiles results show that while exerting a highly significant impact on wtp attitudes mediate the effects of the attribute variables on wtp i e the attributes influence wtp directly as well as indirectly through attitudes the estimated mean wtp was 515 per taxpayer annually aggregating individual wtps across the us taxpayers above 20 years old produces 105 billion representing a crude estimate of the economic value that the us consumers place on the multifunctional roles of us agriculture

entry deterrence and innovation in durable goods monopoly this paper investigates the efficiency of innovation investments in a durable goods monopoly when a potential entrant threatens to innovate as well we show that the durability of the good endows the monopolist with the power to discourage rival innovation since current sales alter the demand for a new generation of the good the equilibrium is therefore determined not only by competitive pressure due to time inconsistency but also by the incumbent s concern for maintaining the technological leadership we demonstrate that entry deterrence followed by no innovation always implies underinvestment in innovation

secondary markets with changing preferences if consumer valuations change over time then secondary market frictions may raise monopoly profits and cause durability to be distorted away from the cost minimizing level a monopolist who favors such frictions overinvests in durability but planned obsolescence instead may be preferred when market frictions exist but a monopolist wishes they did not evidence from the book market is presented

adverse selection in durable goods markets we present a dynamic model of adverse selection to examine the interactions between new and used goods markets we find that the used market never shuts down the volume of trade can be large and distortions are lower than previously thought new cars prices can be higher under adverse selection than in its absence an extension to several brands that differ in reliability leads to testable predictions of the effects of adverse selection unreliable brands have steeper price declines and lower volumes of trade we contrast these predictions with those of a model where brands physically depreciate at different rates

a theory of competition among pressure groups for political influence this paper presents a theory of competition among pressure groups for political influence political equilibrium depends on the efficiency of each group in producing pressure the effect of additional pressure on their influence the number of persons in different groups and the deadweight cost of taxes and subsidies an increase in deadweight costs discourages pressure by subsidized groups and encourages pressure by taxpayers this analysis unifies the view that governments correct market failures with the view that they favor the politically powerful both are produced by the competition for political favors

what does it take to sell environmental policy an empirical analysis of referendum data we analyze the factors that influence the support for environmental policy proposals swiss referendum data show that proposals obtain more yes votes if they do not restrict consumption possibilities directly if they are endorsed by the largest business association if environmental preferences are strong and economic conditions are favorable at the time of the referendum also there are more pro environmental votes in cantons with higher population density on the other hand yes votes do not seem to depend on whether a proposal involves a tax or not

price and quality discrimination in durable goods monopoly with resale trading abstract we examine a durable goods monopolist s optimal dynamic price and product quality strategy when buyers are rational and can trade used durables among themselves in contrast to the usual credibility problem of the durable goods monopolist intertemporal quality discrimination introduces a time inconsistency problem of not raising prices against high valuation consumers who delay purchase for quality upgrades resale trading ameliorates this time inconsistency problem and allows the monopolist to effectively price discriminate especially when the buyers are patient the monopolist s optimal price and quality offers in the new good market exhibit complex dynamic patterns and new good prices can fall as product quality improves even in the absence of entry threats or learning economies initial quality distortions are followed by steady state quality allocations that are always efficient for the high valuation buyers but sometimes also for the marginal consumer types both the resale trading frequency and the price discount for secondhand goods are driven by the pace of strategic quality obsolescence in the new good market

partners forever an empirical study of relational ties in two small firm clusters many researchers take as axiomatic the proposition that economic action in clusters is embedded in dense durable and trust based social networks it is suggested here that the bias towards high trust enduring relations obscures the competitive dynamics of networks even where co operation can be identified drawing attention to the competitive motives underlying the construction of social networks an investigation is made into the duration and brokering of dyadic relations in business owners advice networks the analysis of 668 dyadic ties in a population of 113 small business owners in two textile and clothing clusters in germany reveals considerable variation in the duration of social relations and the likelihood that they were formed through third party brokers many of whom were direct competitors creating more ephemeral links the findings suggest that marketless conceptions of social networks in clusters need to be balanced with a stronger concern for the role of competition in the social embe

competitive advantage through take back of used products abstract motivated by a recent antitrust ruling against hill rom one of the two dominant american suppliers of hospital beds we develop a stylized model to investigate the consequences of used product take back on firms industry and customers our findings suggest that by taking back and reselling refurbished products a manufacturer can increase both profit margins and sales to the detriment of a non interfering competitor in our model customers are always better off under product take back but it depends on the degree of competition whether firms use the benefits of take back primarily to increase their margins or to pass them on to the customers by lowering their prices the first firm to offer take back in some cases can deter its competitors from following this profitable strategy especially if it has an existing advantage in terms of lower production cost or higher market share contrary to the claim of hill rom s competitor we find a legitimate business justification for hill rom s reduction of new product prices

do economic conditions influence environmental policy evidence from the us senate abstract this paper investigates whether economic conditions influence environmental policy by examining how policymakers voting on environmental legislation respond to changes in their state s unemployment rate the outcome of interest is a us senator s league of conservation voters score which reflects how often a senator voted for the environmentally favorable outcome on bills related to the environment in a given year i find evidence that a higher unemployment rate is associated with reduced support for environmentally favorable policies and that the estimated response is largest for republicans counterfactual estimates indicate that if each state had experienced its lowest observed unemployment rate throughout the sample then the proportion of votes taking the environmentally favorable outcome would have increased from 36 to 41

quality standards for used durables an indirect subsidy abstract we construct a theoretical framework to study the impact of quality standards for used durable goods on trade ows pro ts and consumer welfare we show that asymmetric quality standards generate trade in used goods from high to low standard countries while at the same time reducing trade in new goods producers in the exporting country bene t from this change while consumers lose in the importing country consumers are better off but domestic industry is hurt these ndings suggest that quality standards on used goods may be a powerful policy tool whose use should be monitored by the wto

voting for pollution policy the importance of income inequality and openness to trade abstract this paper analyzes how openness and the distribution of factor ownership interact to determine individual and aggregate demand for pollution policy analysis of voter preferences in autarky shows that an increased stake in either the dirty or the clean industry can induce an individual voter to prefer stricter environmental policy similarly the paper shows that poorer voters may be the greener voters within an electorate the model also reveals that the incidence of pollution policy depends upon a country s trade regime with consequences for the direction in which income inequality influences aggregate demand for pollution policy

the politics of pollution party regimes and air quality in canada environmental concerns often figure prominently in opinion polls but do election outcomes actually affect the environment i test the influence of the party in power on urban air pollution in 13 canadian cities the government s political stripe is not reliably associated with positive or negative effects on air pollution provincial parties on both the right and the left are associated with elevated levels of some air contaminants federal effects also go in contrasting directions overall it appears a change in government is unlikely to be a reliable predictor of changes in air pollution jel classification q51 q58 d78

an empirical study of the determinants of green party voting i empirically study the determinants of individuals green voting behavior for this i make use of three datasets from germany a panel dataset and two cross sectional datasets the empirically strongest determinants are the voters attitude or distance to nuclear sites the level of schooling and net income i show that those voters with deviant attitudes or alternative world views are more likely to vote green a result of the fact that the green party has always had the position of a protest party i find little role for demographic variables like gender marital status or the number of children this is in contrast to the stated preference literature age plays a role for explaining voting behavior only insofar as it proxies for health

spatial proximity and firm survival in a declining industrial district the case of knitwear firms in baden wu rttemberg the literature on small firm networks in industrial districts postulates the importance of territorial proximity for business innovation and regional development but empirical research to test this proposition is sparse while there is some research on the extent of interfirm co operation little is known about the performance outcomes of co operation i develop competing hypotheses from institutional ecological and random action theories concerning the survival chances of firms located in geographic proximity and test them with data on the complete population of knitwear firms in baden wurttemberg germany for the period from 1960 to 1998 proportional hazard estimates show that location in clusters of firms in the same industry increased business failure rates and location in diversified clusters of firms operating in complementary industries reduced failure rates the empirical results are most consistent with the ecological model of localized competition in resource environments la documentation

lemons hypothesis reconsidered an empirical analysis abstract this paper tests the hypothesis that there is no difference in the average maintenance expenditures required for cars acquired used and those acquired new the results showed no evidence that cars acquired used required more maintenance expenditures than those of a similar age acquired new

private provision of a public good land trust membership land trusts prevent the development of open space providing both public and impure public goods to area residents this study examines the relationship between these benefits and membership levels for a sample of 91 land trusts while controlling for local demographic and area characteristics trusts that offer member only access to property have higher membership but most trusts do not provide such benefits membership increases with local population but at a decreasing rate consistent with the free riding behavior found in other studies of collective action the study finds the existence of scope effects with respect to the amount of protected acreage

durability market structure and new used goods models focuses on the relationship between market structure and monopoly power durability models new used goods model durability and monopoly in the new used model interdependence between market structure and durability ebsco

assessing changes in capital and investment as a result of fishing capacity limitation programs this paper provides a framework to evaluate the effectiveness of the european multiannual guidance programmes on capacity limitation based on the evolution of the prices of used fishing vessels and on the measures of capital and investment derived from the estimation of a hedonic price function related to vessels characteristics attention is paid not only to the correct specification of the numerical variables but also to testing for sample selection bias to checking for structural change to analysing the convenience of using alternative estimation methods and to discussing the potential bias as a result of asymmetric information in the used markets the application of this framework to the basque fleets evidences clear and coincident signs of successful adjustment after magp3 but also a substantial investment in the next periods as a result of the modernisation of the fleets

voting on open space what explains the appearance and support of municipal level open space conservation referenda in the united states abstract numerous communities in the united states have been willing to use public funds to protect open space the amount of money allocated for open space protection by local and state governments exceeds the budget of the largest federal land protection program in the u s the conservation reserve program this paper analyzes what types of municipalities hold open space referenda and the level of support for these referenda factors that increased the probability of a municipality holding an open space referendum from 2000 to 2004 were large population low population density rapid growth of the surrounding area and highly educated and environmentally concerned residents increases in median household income up to 100 000 increased the likelihood of a vote but further increases in income beyond 100 000 decreased the likelihood for municipalities holding an open space referendum factors that increased support for passage of the referendum were rapid growth low unemployment rates highly educated residents and no new taxes given high levels of support for open space referenda 76 of municipal level referenda held from 2000 through 2004 passed the spatial pattern of locally managed open space will be largely determined by the factors that affect referenda appearance on a municipal ballot this conclusion suggests that locally managed conservation hotspots will cluster around fast growing affluent communities with highly educated residents such hotspots may or may not align with overall conservation priorities non governmental and environmental organizations should focus efforts on helping communities in locally managed conservation coldspots secure open space

the efficiency of used vehicle markets the case of technological obsolescence and differential repair records this paper examines the effect of technological oboslescence differential maintanance expenditures and differential fuel efficiencies on the depreciated value of automobiles our results support the widely held belief that used vehicle markets are efficient we show that the significant decline in the depreciated values of used automobiles is predominantly due to age we also conclude that technological obsolescence causes a once and for all decrease in the depreciated value of used automobiles that for imported vehicle lines differential maintanance expenditures affect depreciated value and that for domestic vehicle lines differential fuel efficiencies impact depreciated value

on durable goods markets with entry and adverse selection we investigate the nature of trading and sorting induced by the dynamic price mechanism in a competitive durable good market with adverse selection and exogenous entry of traders over time the model is a dynamic version of akerlof 1970 identical cohorts of durable goods whose quality is known only to potential sellers enter the market over time we show that there exists a cyclical equilibrium where all goods are traded within a finite number of periods after entry market failure is reflected in the length of waiting time before trade the model also provides an explanation of market fluctuations jel classification d82 a propos des marches de biens durables quand il y a entree de nouveaux commercants et selection adverse les auteurs analysent la nature du commerce et du triage engendres par le mecanisme dynamique des prix dans un marche concurrentiel de biens durables quand il y a selection adverse et entree exogene de nouveaux commercants dans le temps ce modele est une version dynamique du modele d akerlof 1970 des cohortes identiques de biens durables dont la qualite est connue seulement des vendeurs potentiels arrivent sur le marche dans le temps il semble qu il y ait plus de commerce actif que ce qui est prevu par un modele statique en particulier on montre qu il existe un equilibre cyclique ou tous les biens sont transiges a l interieur d un nombre fini de periodes apres leur arrivage et que a chaque phase du cycle l eventail de qualite des biens transiges s accroit les commercants qui transigent des produits de plus haute qualite attendent plus longtemps et l imperfection du marche se traduit par la longueur de temps d attente avant la transaction le modele fournit aussi une explication des fluctuations du marche

payment vehicles for public goods evidence from california s proposition 21 proposition 21 on california s 2010 ballot concerned an annual surcharge on vehicles to support state parks proposition 21 failed leaving 25 of california state parks at risk of closure we analyze voting patterns which we show depend on the average gross price of the proposition political ideology environmental preferences the availability of substitutes and park salience we simulate counterfactual scenarios under which proposition 21 might have passed and use holdout samples to illustrate the predictive ability of our model heterogeneity across california makes our model potentially useful for predicting public sentiment for similar propositions even for jurisdictions without direct democracy

time series evidence on shirking in the u s house of representatives this paper presents time series evidence on the voting behavior of members of the u s house of representatives from 1975 to 1990 the empirical results indicate that voting behavior of individual congressmen is remarkably stable over time we find no evidence of economically significant last term effects on voting behavior nor are there important effects of legislative tenure on voting patterns the most significant deviations in voting behavior occur for congressmen who failed to win their reelection bid suggesting that sizable deviations from previous policy positions may result in swift retribution by constituents in the district