where do markets come from production markets have two sides producers are a fully connected clique transacting with buyers as a separate but aggregated clique each producer is a distinctive firm with a distinctive product each side continually monitors reactions of the other through the medium of a joint social construction the schedule of terms of trade each producer is guided in choice of volume by the tangible outcomes of other producers not by speculation on hypothetical reactions of buyers to its actions each producer acts purely on self interest based on observed actions of all others summarized through a feedback process the summary is the terms of trade schedule which reduces to constant price only in limiting cases the market emerges as a structure of roles with a differentiated niche for each firm explicit formulae both for firms and for market aggregates are obtained by comparative statics methods for one family of assumptions about cost structures and about buyers evaluations of differentiated products not just any set of firms can sustain terms of trade with any set of buyers there prove to be three main kinds of markets and three sorts of market failure within a parameter space that is specified in detail one sort of market paradox has a madison avenue flavor another is more conventional grind and a third crowded is a new form not included in any existing theory of markets current american industrial markets are drawn on for 20 illustrations of which three are presented in some detail inequality in firms market shares measured by gini coefficients is discussed

campaign contributions and congressional voting a simultaneous probit tobit model m any citizens and scholars have been troubled by the influence that special interest groups appear to exert over policymaking as a result of their roles in the financing of political campaigns these concerns inspired the enactment of a number of election law reforms in the 1970s and have led to increasing popular support for public financing of electoral campaigns despite the public attention these issues have attracted few social scientists have attempted to analyze the financial relationships between interest groups and policymakers empirically 1 one such study was reported by durden and silberman 1976 who included contributions from the afl cio political action committee as an independent variable in an equation explaining congressional voting on minimum wage legislation their results indicated that campaign contributions significantly affected voting on that issue the work i have done differs substantially from that of durden and silberman in two ways first i have chosen to examine issues which were of considerably narrower concern than the minimum wage issue in the interest of simplicity i examine issues of concern to just one or a few groups i have also used a different econometric technique if campaign contributions are actually endogenous as seems plausible the single equation estimation technique employed by durden and silberman is subject to a possible simultaneous equations bias for each issue studied i have therefore jointly estimated a two equation system explaining both votes on the bill and contributions from an associated interest group the simultaneous probit tobit model which i use takes into account the dichotomous nature of the variable indicating a congressman s vote the non negativity constraint imposed on the contribution variable and the possibility of correlation between the error terms for the equations explaining these two variables 2 full information maximum likelihood fiml estimates for the model are consistent and asymptotically efficient

minding america s business the decline and rise of the american economy only the economy s competitive position internationally but also the nation s moral fiber in the liberal camp the present confusion which has arisen out of attempts to reconcile reagan s new federalism with longstanding democratic demands for a large share of public goods in the economy has been camouflaged by the visions of felix rohatyn and lester thurow who want to rebuild america s in

the social structure of a national securities market in this article a national securities market the stock options market is characterized as a social structure represented by the networks of actors who traded options on the floor of a major securities exchange trading among actors exhibited distinct social structural patterns that dramatically affected the direction and magnitude of option price volatility the argument that this market is socially structured is constructed in four parts behavioral assumptions about the nature of economic actors models of micronetworks models of macronetworks and price consequences in the ideal typical model of the market actors are assumed to be hyperrational and never to act opportunistically with these behavioral assumptions the micronetworks of actors should be expansive a condition which would result in undifferentiated and homogeneous macronetworks such macronetworks would tend to reduce the volatility of option prices but in the empirical market studied here actors are subject to bounded rationality a

price and authority in inter profit center transactions price and authority have traditionally been regarded as alternative social mechanisms for allocating resources however actual transactions whether inter or intrafirm can be evaluated in terms of the extent to which they combine both of these mechanisms an especially revealing example of this is the exchange of goods between two profit centers in the multi profit center firm three of the most common arrangements or transfer pricing polices for effecting these transactions are examined here exchange autonomy transfers depend primarily on price with no or minimal use of authority mandated full cost transfers involve a substantial exercise of authority relative to the use of price mandated market based transfers use both authority and price in important ways for all three policies the transaction costs of these internal transactions may exceed these costs on external transactions

the role of market forces in assuring contractual performance the conditions under which transactors can use the market repeat purchase mechanism of contract enforcement are examined increased price is shown to be a means of assuring contractual performance a necessary and sufficient condition for performance is the existence of price sufficiently above salvageable production costs so that the nonperforming firm loses a discounted steam of rents on future sales which is greater than the wealth increase from nonperformance this will generally imply a market price greater than the perfectly competitive price and rationalize investments in firm specific assets advertising investments thereby become a positive indicator of likely performance

seigniorage operating rules and the high inflation trap there may be both a high and a low inflation equilibrium when the government finances the deficit through seigniorage under rational expectations the high inflation equilibrium is stable and the low inflation equilibrium unstable under adaptive expectations or lagged adjustment of money balances with rational expectations the low inflation equilibrium may be stable adding bond financing dual equilibria remain if the government fixes the real interest rate but a unique equilibrium is attained when the government sets a nominal anchor for the economy the existence of dual equilibria is thus a result of the government s operating rules

risk the financial market and macroeconomic equilibrium growing recognition of the importance of stock market phenomena to the real economy underscores the need for models linking exogenous uncertainty asset market performance and the rest of the economy in an optimizing framework without certainty equivalence this paper constructs a three agent model with continuous time stochastic variables uncertain private production and government expenditure and forward looking rational agents the growth rate of output physical capital accumulation financial asset returns and uncertain inflation are determined as functions of the exogenous uncertainty in the economy analysis of the model finds that increased risk associated with government policy often reverses in an explainable way the conventional comparative static predictions of nonstochastic macro models

incomplete information and ideological explanations of platform divergence one of the paradoxes of formal spatial voting models is the robustness of the theoretical result that candidates will converge toward centrists positions and the empirical observation of persistent policy divergence of candidates a solution is that candidates are ideological have policy preferences when candidates have policy preferences and incomplete information about voter preferences then platform divergence is theoretically predicted experimental tests of the ideological model are presented it is shown that platform divergence is significant when candidates are ideological and have incomplete information about voter preferences however candidate positions are more convergent on average than the theory predicts suggesting that subjects value winning independently of the expected payment

market networks and corporate behavior data on market relations between a large population of corporations and investment banks are used to study the organization market interforce the pattern of direct market ties between a firm and its banks forms of interfaces range from a long term exclusive tie the relationship interface to many short lived episodic ties the transaction interface with hybrid forms between the two poles contrary to widespread belief the article finds that strong relationships still exist transactions interfaces are rare most firms use hybrid interfaces a firm s interface is conceptualized as the intentional result of its efforts to reduce dependence and exploit power advantages observed interfaces are shown to be related systematically to various power dependence concepts including resource intensity number of transactions and dollar amounts raised criticality the availability of resource alternatives power asymmetry between a firm and its main bank organization size standardization of exchange and

de globalization theories predictions and opportunities for international business research de globalization now a distinct possibility would induce a significant qualitative shift in strategies structures and behaviors observable in international business ib coming to terms with this qualitative shift would require ib research to develop a much deeper integration of politics the key driver of de globalization to support such integration this paper introduces two relevant theories of de globalization from political science liberalism and realism both predict de globalization under current conditions but lead to different expectations about the future world economy liberalism suggests a patchwork of economic linkages while realism predicts the emergence of economic blocs around major countries this paper discusses the resulting opportunities in three areas of ib research political strategies and roles of multinational enterprises mnes global value chains and the role of the national context for political strategies and roles there is a need to explore how regular business activities and deliberate political agency of mnes affect the political sustainability of globalization for value chains questions include their future reach and specialization changes in organizational forms and the impact of political considerations on location decisions research opportunities on national contexts relate to their ability to sustain globalization and their connection with economic and military power

the rise of the pentagon and u s state building the defense program as industrial policy state centered theories stress the potential for states to be proactive as well as reactive but the analytic tools developed in this literature have not been employed to examine the most impressive episode of state building in the postwar united states the rise of the pentagon this article examines the bureaucratic resources at the disposal of the pentagon and concludes that high ranking military officers have operated as relatively autonomous bureaucrats case studies of the aeronautics and microelectronics industries provide evidence that the pentagon has implemented a de facto industrial policy in the name of national defense the substantive conclusion that the autarkic pentagon has implemented a massive industrial policy contradicts the view that the hegemonic u s state is strong in the international arena but too weak and fragmented to plan the domestic political economy

the politics of public aid to private industry the role of policy networks firms lobby for subsidies along geographic sector or factor lines and as a result receive subsidies with a local sectoral or factorwide scope this article investigates what determines the line of cleavage and thereby the scope of the subsidy the factor mobility hypothesis according to which an economic prior the degree of factor mobility determines the geometry of lobbying coalitions misses the fact that factor mobility is as much the product of policy and policymaking as it is its determinant this article argues instead that politicians maximize their chances of staying in power through the deliberate use of subsidies to structure the political debate and embed factor owners into stable policy networks individual factor owners in turn join these policy networks to lobby for monopoly rents capable of insuring them against adverse economic competition the model yields two testable hypotheses first right governments favor subsidies to capital whereas left governments favor subsidies to lab

the economics of organization the transaction cost approach the transaction cost approach to the study of economic organization regards the transaction as the basic unit of analysis and holds that an understanding of transaction cost economizing is central to the study of organizations applications of this approach require that transactions be dimensionalized and that alternative governance structures be described economizing is accomplished by assigning transactions to governance structures in a discriminating way the approach applies both to the determination of efficient boundaries as between firms and markets and to the organization of internal transactions including the design of employment relations the approach is compared and contrasted with selected parts of the organization theory literature

an analysis of declining incidence of regular labour contracts in rural india evidence obtained from the icrisat villages in india suggests that the decline of regular contracts has been accompanied by the growth in real wages and casualisation of the rural labour force in view of this evidence the article examines the causes of the declining incidence of regular contracts in rural india we argue that this has been caused by the leftward shift in the regular labour supply curve due to improved employment and credit opportunities and not an upward movement of the labour demand curve as manifested by the increase in real wages over the years

entrepreneurship in and around institutional voids a case study from bangladesh abstract in many developing countries those living in poverty are unable to participate in markets due to the weakness or complete absence of supportive institutions this study examines in microcosm such institutional voids and illustrates the activities of an entrepreneurial actor in rural bangladesh aimed at addressing them the findings enable us to better understand why institutional voids originate and to unpack institutional processes in a setting characterized by extreme resource constraints and an institutional fabric that is rich but often at odds with market development we depict the crafting of new institutional arrangements as an ongoing process of bricolage and unveil its political nature as well as its potentially negative consequences

political parties and the business cycle in the united states 1948 1984 this paper tests the existence and the extent of a politically induced business cycle in the u s in the post world war ii period the cycle described in this paper is different from the traditional political business cycle of nordhaus it is based on a systematic difference between the monetary policies of the two parties in a model with labor contracts from an explicit optimization problem we derive a system of equations for output and money growth then we successfully test the non linear restriction imposed by the theory on the parameters of the system of equations we cannot reject the hypothesis that money growth has been systematically different under the two types of administration and that this difference contributes to explain output fluctuations

casual and regular contracts workers self selection in the rural labour markets in india the article examines workers choice between casual and regular contracts it departs from existing theories in that in addition to wage considerations it highlights the significance of time and credit constraints results obtained from the icrisat villages in india suggest that risk averse landless labourers ought to prefer casual to regular contracts because earnings from casual contracts are higher however this argument gets strongly modified once we consider that a large part of regular wages are received in advance and that the comparative attractiveness of regular contracts depends crucially on whether labourers have access to credit and other jobs

monopoly capital organized labor and military expenditures in the united states 1949 1976 in this paper we systematically assess the neo marxian view that military expenditures are used by the state as a countercyclical fiscal policy either to forestall a serious recession or to facilitate economic recovery in particular we examine the post world war ii political economic experience of the united states because the military expenditures thesis was most fully developed initially in an attempt to explain postwar american prosperity we evaluate what we term the naive model of baran and sweezy which suggests that the degree to which national output is absorbed by military spending should be dependent on aggregate economic conditions such as unemployment finding only inconsistent evidence to support the naive view we incorporate the insights of recent neo marxists especially o connor on the linkages among the monopoly corporate sector the unionized sector of labor and the state the empirical evidence appears consistent with this modified view with unemployment in the unionized sect

welfare capitalism and the social security act of 1935 a central concern of political theorists has been the relationship between the state and the economy or more specifically how political power gets translated into economic power recent debates have been shaped around critiques of the corporate liberal thesis which contends that class conscious capitalists manipulate the polity so that government comes to pursue policies favorable to capitalism alternative theories suggest that the state is capable of transcending the demands or interests of any particular social group or class the social security act of 1935 which represented the beginning of the welfare state in the united states was a conservative measure that tied social insurance benefits to labor force participation and left administration of its public assistance programs to the states in this paper the social security act is used as a case study to adjudicate between several competing theories of the state the analysis demonstrates that the state functions as a mediating body weighing the priorities of various interest groups with unequal access to power negotiating compromises between class factions and incorporating working class demands into legislation on capitalist terms a central concern of political theorists has been the relationship between the state and the economy or more specifically how economic power gets translated into political power recent debates have been shaped around critiques of the corporate liberal thesis which stresses the strategies of class conscious capitalists to manipulate the polity alternative theories suggest that the state is capable of transcending the demands or interests of any particular social group or class the core agenda of those espousing some variant of corporate liberalism has been to explain how major economic interests manipulated the polity in the twentieth century so that government came to pursue policies favorable to capitalism domhoff 1979 kolko 1963 o connor 1973 useem 1983 according to this perspective capitalists rationally pursued a series of policies designed to allow them control of the political process resulting in a synthesis of politics and economics for example kolko 1963 has argued that the regulatory reforms of the progressive era traditionally explained as a respose to muckraker s criticism were actually desired by large industry as a way not only of controlling

capital mobility and the origins of stock markets i illustrate the accepted though hardly researched idea that political institutions play a role in locking in factor specificity across sectors space and borders i use the emergence of modern capital markets in the nineteenth century a process that threatened to redeploy financial resources away from land and traditional sectors to heavy industry as a test case to ascertain the degree of domestic financial capital mobility in nine advanced industrialized countries the main finding is that cross national variations in financial capital mobility holding constant the level of economic development reflect the degree of state centralization

policy implications in an adaptive financial economy abstract this paper investigates the policy implications of a discrete time flex price financial economy with micro agents optimizing decisions under uncertainty government policies are most effective with constrained households money demand monetary and government spending policies are more potent in changing real debt than output but vice versa for income tax policy an income tax cut does not necessarily lead to an inflation reduction unlike what the supply siders conceived an inviable crisis can occur when assets returns are correlated this leads to the disruption of the self adjusting mechanism to equilibrium in addition a fisherian like equation is produced showing positive correlation between inflation and nominal interest rates

the political economy of international trade enduring puzzles and an agenda for inquiry a similar set of concepts has been central to the literatures on the formation of trade policy coalitions and the new economics of institutions the political and economic consequences of the degree to which assets are specific to a particular economic activity in this survey the authors take the necessary first step of summarizing the main findings of these two literatures and then suggest ways in which the issue might be joined in addition to providing a more coherent understanding of the findings of these two literatures and some new directions for them the authors show that many puzzles remain in the field of trade politics puzzles for which there are no appealing answers or where there are answers no strong evidence in support of them this essay then in addition to being a theoretical review of the literature puts forward an agenda for future study of international trade politics

estimates of the variance of u s inflation based upon the arch model it is generally agreed that the unpredictability of future inflation is a major component of the welfare loss associated with inflation perfectly predicted inflation might induce some costs through institutional rigidities governmental interference and transaction costs but in the long run these should be rather minimal as these institutions adopt various forms of indexing when inflation is unpredictable risk averse economic agents will incur a loss even if prices and quantities are perfectly flexible in all markets inflation is a measure of the relative price of goods today and goods tomorrow thus uncertainty in tomorrow s price impairs the efficiency of today s allocation decisions friedman in his nobel lecture 8 argues convincingly that higher variability of inflation would lead to decreased output ceteris paribus he then conjectures that higher rates of inflation are generally associated with higher variability of inflation and presumably greater uncertainty about future rates if this is true then higher rates of inflation would also be associated with low levels of output which implies a positively sloped phillips curve this paper uses a new statistical technique arch to estimate the conditional mean and variance of inflation from u s time series data the main finding is that the variance of inflation in the seventies was only slightly greater than in the sixties

trade and the political economy of redistribution this paper shows how international trade affects the support for policies which redistribute income between workers across sectors and how the existence of such policies changes the support for trade liberalization workers who are imperfectly mobile across sectors vote on whether to subsidize ailing sectors thereby redistributing income but also distorting the labor allocation we present three main findings first redistributive policies are more likely to arise in a small open than in a closed economy for a broad range of parameters second if a redistributive policy is adopted in both situations income differences across sectors tend to be lower in the open economy third the possibility to redistribute income across sectors raises the political support for trade liberalization in the first place

class versus industry cleavages inter industry factor mobility and the politics of trade domestic political conflict has been a constant companion to international trade but the nature of that conflict has varied greatly in western democracies over the last two centuries political battles over trade policy appear to have sometimes divided societies along broad class lines and at other times split them into narrow industry based coalitions i argue that this diversity stems from historical and cross national variation in inter industry factor mobility class coalitions are more likely where factor mobility is high whereas narrow industry based coalitions are more likely where mobility is low evidence from six western economies for the last two centuries indicates that levels of factor mobility have varied historically and cross nationally in accord with industrialization and regulation this variation corresponds broadly with observable differences in the formation of trade policy coalitions

short term projects and emergent careers evidence from hollywood the hollywood film industry is considered as a system of recurrent ties among the various major participants who usually work under short term contracts for single films this form of project based organization in seen as a response to uncertainty and risk in the film industry the paper examines the ways in which independent contractors producers directors cinematographers and actors organize and operate to reduce uncertainty and risk and to increase profits the analysis of data from 2 430 films made in the period 1965 80 establishes patterns of recurrent ties among participants who are at comparable levels of cumulative productivity with respect to earnings oscars oscar nominations and number of previous films the paper also considers the degree to which film earnings are influenced by the past productivity of the major participants