sacred versus pseudo sacred values how people cope with taboo trade offs psychologists have documented widespread public deference to sacred values that communities formally or informally exempt from tradeoffs with secular limits like money this work has however been largely confined to low stakes settings as the stakes rise deference must decline because people can t write blank checks for every sacred cause shadow pricing is inevitable which sets the stage for political blame games of varying sophistication in a rational world citizens would accept the necessity of such tradeoffs but the attraction to moral absolutes is strong perhaps even essential for social cohesion

variable returns to scale in production and patterns of specialization this paper discusses some trade and welfare implications of the two sector model based on increasing returns to scale irs in one industry and decreasing returns to scale drs in the other it has been shown by horst herberg and murray kemp that given homothetic production functions with irs in one industry and drs in the other the production possibilities frontier ppf is strictly concave to the origin near the irs axis and strictly convex to the origin near the drs axis while this result constitutes an important finding and is contrary to the general impression among economists even twelve years after the publication of herberg and kemp s paper no attempt has been made to analyze its implications for welfare and patterns of specialization in this paper i consider a simple twocommodity model with irs in one industry and drs in the other and discuss some interesting implications of variable returns to scale vrs first i demonstrate that in this model if a small open economy specializes completely in production it will do so in the drs commodity and not in the irs commodity as is generally believed second if at a given price ratio an internal production equilibrium exists a welfaremaximizing small open economy will never specialize completely in production even though the ppf exhibits decreasing opportunity costs over a part of its range third given output generated economies and diseconomies of scale welfare maximization for a small country requires a permanent tax subsidy scheme encouraging expansion of the irs industry and contraction of the drs industry finally in a two country model with identical tastes and technology across the countries free trade equilibrium may result in incomplete specialization by the exporter of the irs commodity and complete specialization by the exporter of the drs commodity in the course of the analysis i argue that tinbergen s formulation of frank graham s case for protecting the irs industry is incorrect i then present a possible reformulation of it in section i the basic production model is introduced in section ii the model is analyzed and in section iii it is argued that all the results continue to hold in the multifactor case

global warming technological change and trade in carbon energy challenge or threat is it possible to combat global climate change through north to south technology transfer even without a global climate treaty or do carbon leakage and the rebound effect imply that it is possible to take advantage of technological improvements under the umbrella of a global arrangement only for answering these questions two possible states of the world are discussed one where more energy efficient technologies are transferred unconditionally from the north to the south and where regions do not cooperate in the solution of the global climate problem but unilaterally decide on climate policies and technology transfers one where the north to south technology transfer is tied to the requirement that the south in some way contributes to the solution of the global climate problem rebound and leakage effects hinder a sustainable and welfare improving solution of the climate problem

environmental policy with endogenous plant locations in a game between the governments of two countries each chooses its own environmental policy the nash equilibria of the game are generally not pareto optimal on the one hand each country may want to attract industry giving it an incentive to choose low environmental taxes or standards on the other hand if disutility from pollution is sufficiently high each country might prefer that a firm locates only in other countries this effect tends to make the environmental policy under non cooperation stricter than it would be with cooperation

innis lecture environmental crises past present and future environmental crises are distinguished by rapid and largely unexpected changes in environmental quality that are difficult if not impossible to reverse examples would be major extinctions and significant degradations of an ecosystem i argue there are three preconditions for crisis failures in governance an ecological system exhibiting a tipping point and an economy environment interaction with positive feedbacks i develop a simple model to illustrate how a crisis may arise and draw on our knowledge of past and present crises to highlight the mechanisms involved i then speculate as to whether climate change is indeed a crisis in the making les crises environnementales sont caracterisees par des changements rapides et largement non anticipes dans la qualite de l environnement qui sont difficiles sinon impossibles a renverser des exemples pourraient etre des extinctions d especes et des degradations significatives d un ecosysteme l auteur suggere qu il faut trois conditions pour qu il y ait crise faillites de gouvernance un systeme ecologique au point de bascule et une interface environnement economie riche de retroactions positives l auteur developpe un modele simple pour illustrer comment une crise peut emerger et s appuie sur la connaissance des crises passees et presentes pour souligner les mecanismes en jeu on specule en fin de texte sur la question a savoir si le changement climatique est une crise en train de prendre

location choice by households and polluting firms an evolutionary approach this paper examines several policy regimes to deal with the problem of households suffering from environmental damage by firms in the same region we employ an evolutionary framework to analyze migration movements in the course of time since firms and households will not relocate immediately in response to payoff differentials we show that taxation gives firms and households an incentive to stay away from each other laissez faire compensation only gives households firms an incentive to stay away from firms households we find that taxation creates the right incentives to reach a local welfare maximum however when there are multiple local maxima circumstances may arise under which compensation leads to a better outcome than taxation c 2004 elsevier b v all rights reserved

will aging baby boomers bust the federal budget barely ten years from now the leading edge of the baby boom generation will turn 65 ushering in a sustained aging of the u s population many are concerned that through the first half of the 21st century the federal government will stagger under the weight of these elderly baby boomers as they receive the medical retirement and disability benefits promised them the number of people over age 65 in the population is projected to increase by a factor of 2 5 by 2040 lee and tuljapurkar 1994 with the number of nursing home residents growing even more rapidly schneider and guralnick 1990 long term forecasts suggest that nearly one third of gdp will be accounted for by health care by 2030 burner waldo and mckusick 1992 warshawsky 1994 the fiscal impact of this demographic change is potentially enormous shoven topper and wise 1994 an alternative view is much more optimistic about retirement prospects for the baby boom generation this view holds that disability and morbidity will continue to become more compressed leading to healthier years later in life manton stallard and liu 1993b manton corder and stallard 1997 the average retirement age will rise productivity gains and increased tax revenue will offset the demands that aging baby boomers place on the federal budget one projection suggests the percentage of those over age 65 requiring medicaid coverage for longterm care will decline in the next century wiener illston and hanley 1994 another is that long term health care costs will decline as a fraction of median

competition in regional environmental policies when plant locations are endogenous abstract a two region model is presented in which an imperfectly competitive firm produces a good with increasing returns at the plant level production of the good causes local pollution the firm decides whether to maintain plants in both regions serve both regions from a single plant or shut down if the disutility of pollution is high enough the two regions will compete by increasing their environmental taxes standards until the polluting firm is driven from the market alternatively if the disutility from pollution is not as great the regions will usually compete by undercutting each other s pollution tax rates

nonconvexity induced by external costs on production theoretical curio or policy dilemma this paper considers with a degree of scepticism the sweeping policy conclusions that can be found in the theoretical literature concerning nonconvexit ies in the social production set induced by external costs on firms this literature has provided proofs of the possibility that such nonconvexit ies exist but these proofs have readily been interpreted as a basis on which to judge the advisability of policies to control external costs 2 indeed a number of authors have felt able to proceed from specific theoretical examples of the existence of nonconvexity to the opinion that nonconvexity represents a general obstacle to policy one of the ma in themes will be to demonstrate that the theoretical possibility of the existence of a nonconvexity at a m icro level does not imply the existence of a m icro or a fortiori macro nonconvexity in the real world nor does it imply that any nonconvexity that does exist in reality is relevant to policy the intention is not to deny that nonconvexit ies may represent an obstacle to the efficient control of external costs in specific contexts but in order to establish the real world policy relevance of a nonconvexity it is necessary to verify its existence emp irically and to establish that it stands in a particular relationship to the no policy starting point

equality efficiency and market fundamentals the dynamics of international medical care reform public opinion surveys uniformly show low support for medical care systems in developed countries the longstanding conflict between equal access to care and efficient service provision partly explains this dissatisfaction but the trade off is particularly acute in medical care as new technologies developed over time have increased the cost of care and made the equity commitment even more expensive countries first dealt with rising costs by maintaining equal access and restricting total spending efficiency suffered however as a result many countries are considering a move away from spending controls and toward incentive based medical care reform

the enlargement of the european union effects on trade and emissions of greenhouse gases abstract with the gradual accession of various central and eastern european countries ceecs to the european union eu international trade between the eu and the ceecs will change as a result of trade liberalisation and the mobility of production factors within the eu the eu and most of the ceecs have already committed themselves to reduce by 2008 2012 their emissions of greenhouse gases ghgs by 8 compared to the 1990 level this paper reports on an investigation of the potential consequences of the enlargement of the eu and of the emission reduction target set by the kyoto protocol on the sectoral production patterns and international trade a comparative static general equilibrium model was developed to examine the impacts under different scenarios for illustrative purposes two regions the eu and the ceecs and three categories of goods and services agricultural goods industrial goods and services were included the model was calibrated by the 1998 data the model was subsequently applied to study the effects of free trade the mobility of factors and the environmental constraints on production and international trade in light of the enlargement of the eu we show that in this specific context free trade is beneficial to economic welfare and does not necessarily increase emissions of greenhouse gases the mobility of factors also increases economic welfare but in the case of fixed production technology it may harm the environment through more emissions of ghgs

buffalo hunt international trade and the virtual extinction of the north american bison in the sixteenth century north america contained 25 to 30 million buffalo by the late nineteenth century fewer than 100 remained while removing the buffalo east of the mississippi took over 100 years the remaining 10 to 15 million buffalo on the great plains were killed in a punctuated slaughter lasting little more than ten years i employ theory international trade statistics and first person accounts to argue the slaughter was initiated by a foreign made innovation and fueled by a foreign demand for industrial leather european demand and american policy failure are jointly responsible for the slaughter on the plains jel f14 n51 n71 q57

hiv status and labor market participation in south africa abstract we use econometric methods based on the propensity score to estimate the causal effect of hiv status on employment outcomes in south africa relying on rich data from a national survey which included hiv testing we control for systematic differences between hiv positive and hiv negative individuals we provide the first nationally representative estimates of the impact of hiv status on employment outcomes for southern africa being hiv positive is associated with an increase of 6 to 7 percentage points in the likelihood of unemployment overall and 10 to 11 percentage points for those who are less educated this disadvantage reinforces existing inequalities in south africa

cross hauling of polluting factors abstract this paper analyzes the investment environment overlap using a two stage model of two jurisdictions capital exports are modeled as choice variables for capital owners who weigh income considerations against the effects of capital exports on the quality of their local environments and on environmental policy this framework reveals that capital owners have an incentive to cross haul polluting factors across jurisdictions when direct controls are used to regulate emissions and that this cross hauling induces policymakers to ratchet up environmental policies in both locations the importance of instrument type and commitment on environmental policy is also analyzed

does environmental dumping lead to delocation environmental dumping is often viewed as an instrument used by some countries in the attempt to attract foreign investments stated otherwise the delocation of firms would be a major outcome of a stiff environmental policy in this paper we study the impact of a strict anti pollution policy pursued by a government on domestic firms locational decisions and determine the main variables that interact with such a policy some preliminary welfare implications are also provided

a consumption based theory of the environmental kuznets curve abstract most theories about the inverted u relationship between pollution and income termed the environmental kuznets curve ekc are production side theories emphasizing pollution and abatement technologies production side theories are implicitly based on the assumption of low factor mobility and the absence of pollution as a variable in the utility function both assumptions are called into question by the empirical evidence of ekcs for i pollutants that are long lived and not easily shiftable and ii regional cross sections with free labor mobility hazardous waste sites are a prime example this paper develops a stylized model of the ekc based on perfect mobility of households and labor it represents the first attempt at developing a consumption side model of the ekc

population mobility and transboundary environmental problems abstract a standard result in the literature on environmental economics is that efficient environmental policies regulating transboundary pollution will be adopted only if there is interjurisdictional coordination efficient policies can be adopted as a result of interregional treaties or mandated by a central authority the present paper demonstrates that if there is perfect population mobility between the regions affected by the transboundary pollution the efficient outcome is a nash equilibrium of the policy game between regional authorities this is true independently of what policies are available to the regional authorities however there may be more than one nash equilibrium so that policy coordination may be necessary in order to achieve the best equilibrium

the insurance value of medical innovation abstract economists think of medical innovation as a valuable but risky good producing health benefits but increasing financial risk for consumers and healthcare payers this perspective overlooks how innovation can lower physical risks borne by healthy patients facing the prospect of future disease we present an alternative framework that accounts for all these sources of value and links them to the value of healthcare insurance we show that any innovation worth buying reduces overall risk and generates positive insurance value on its own we conduct a stylized numerical exercise to assess the potential empirical significance of our insights our calculations suggest that conventional methods meaningfully understate the value of historical health gains and disproportionately undervalue treatments for the most severe illnesses where physical risk to consumers is the costliest these calculations also suggest that the value of physical insurance from new technologies may exceed the financial spending risk that they pose

international environmental agreements as evolutionary games this paper applies evolutionary game theory to international environmental agreements ieas contrary to stage game models barrett in j theor politics 11 519 541 1999 eur econ rev 45 1835 1850 2001 in an evolutionary equilibrium ee no signatory prefers to be outside the iea and the ee is robust to trembles with two populations there is a unique interior ee when there is decreasing returns to abatement and small asymmetry in the externality differences across populations at the interior ee transfers from the poor to the rich can increase payoffs for all nations but come at the expense of greater payoff inequality transfers can also eliminate the basin of attraction for the payoff inferior ee with decreasing returns to abatement and large asymmetry thus ieas such as the kyoto treaty predicated on the polluter pays and ability to pay principles may result in pareto inferior outcomes

the interaction between forms of insurance contract and types of technical change in medical care a simple three parameter description of medical technology is introduced to investigate the relationships between technical change welfare and type of insurance contract the value of a particular change in technology depends on the existing form of contract the marginal equilibrium expected utility to consumers of different types of technical change hinges on the manner in which the insurance arrangement is designed to mitigate moral hazard these results open the way for a positive model of the effects of insurance arrangements on the types of technology that are adopted and the effects of technical changes on the prevalent forms of insurance contract

the boundaries of multinational enterprises and the theory of international trade this paper begins with a review of empirical evidence on multinational firms conceptual underpinnings of a theory are developed relying in particular on the notion of knowledge capital as a mobile joint input into geographically separated production facilities this idea is embedded in a simple two country general equilibrium model that supports multinational production in equilibrium under conditions consistent with the empirical evidence the final section examines internalization and shows why certain properties of knowledge capital also imply a preference for transferring technologies internally within the firm rather than through arm s length markets

public control of rational and unpredictable epidemics abstract efforts to improve disease forecasting are often justified on the grounds that accurate and reliable forecasts offer opportunities to improve response to epidemics yet little is known about how disease forecasts influence the responsiveness to public health interventions this paper couples an optimal stopping model and rational disease prevention with a stochastic compartmental epidemiological model of disease spread to develop a framework for evaluating the timing of public health interventions in response to rational but unpredictable epidemics optimal behavior by a public health agency is characterized by a pair of critical prevalence thresholds that trigger implementation and suspension of a public prevention program unlike existing economic thresholds for disease prevention our decision thresholds account for time varying probabilities of different levels of infection prevention by private individuals and the likelihood of crossing epidemiological thresholds that determine disease persistence

medical care costs how much welfare loss hardly a week goes by without a front page newspaper article on rising health care costs and the uninsured in this article i focus mainly on costs arguing that the issue has been somewhat misconceived while the level of medical care spending in the u s is a cause for concern the welfare losses associated with rises in that level of spending may not be as large as the public rhetoric can make them seem in fact cost containment may not be as urgent as is widely supposed and some proposed cost containment policies may result in welfare losses for the insured and even increase the number of uninsured

north south investment flows and optimal environmental policies abstract in the context of a simple north south model that focuses on the international movement of capital we show how neglect of pollution generating effects of foreign investment may lead to distorted and misleading policy recommendations such a neglect has recently received emphasis in the empirical literature on east asian economies as in bello and rosenfeld 1990 dragons in distress asia s miracle economics in crisis food first san francisco and was shown to overlook resulting tendencies in these economies toward specialization away from agriculture and toward manufacturing our simple model formalizes this observation and allows us to show that even for an unspecialized capital poor resource rich south such pollution generating effects provide incentives for the north to encourage rather than to discourage foreign investment abroad and strengthen southern incentives to restrict foreign investment more sharply than is conventionally assumed in a nutshell it brings out the implications of northern capital creating its own demand as a consequence of its adverse impact on the southern resource base despite its simplicity the model thus sheds light on three interrelated aspects of international trading relations production asymmetry incomplete markets and monopolistic advantage

insurance and incentives for innovation in medical care economists have frequently pointed to the distorting effects of health insurance as a major contributor to rapidly increasing health costs relatively little is known however about the influence of changing medical technology on expenditures if increases in expenditures are in part the result of development of costly but worthwhile new technologies a common view among noneconomists failure to take account of this may lead to over statement of the distortive effects of insurance on the other hand some observers have questioned whether the benefits derived from expensive medical innovations always exceed the costs 18 others have suggested that resources devoted to the development of very expensive technologies might be better used for other kinds of medical research 16 3 in light of these arguments it appears that the relationships between medical insurance and technological change may be quite important if the extent of insurance coverage influences the rate and direction of technological change in medicine then the long run welfare effects of insurance are more complex than current models 5 6 allow it is sometimes argued informally that such an influence existsthat the presence of insurance biases the system toward innovations that expand capabilities while increasing expenditures and away from those that reduce costs 15 20 such a hypothesis has however never been developed as an implication of a formal economic model even the term bias in the argument is unclear it appears to be used in a normative sense but it has not been explained clearly why such a bias if it exists leads to welfare losses even if it is true for example that the presence of insurance leads to the adoption of a more costly mix of medical innovations than would otherwise occur this is not obviously undesirable to facilitate the purchase of costly but beneficial medical care is the purpose of insurance this paper defines bias in technological change in a normative sense it employs a simple model of insurance and profit maximizing innovators and develops sufficient

spreading versus concentrating damages environmental policy in the presence of nonconvexities abstract this paper examines the role of nonconvexities in externality control from a policy perspective nonconvexities can arise from a number of sources and can significantly alter the optimal solution to an externality problem for instance it may be socially desirable to concentrate externality damages in one area and prohibit them in another rather than spread the effects of the externality across a number of sites if this solution is optimal a pollution tax will not achieve the social optimum but a system of marketable permits will

tipping and the dynamics of segregation schelling dynamic models of segregation journal of mathematical sociology 1 1971 143 186 showed that extreme segregation can arise from social interactions in white preferences once the minority share in a neighborhood exceeds a tipping point all the whites leave we use regression discontinuity methods and census tract data from 1970 through 2000 to test for discontinuities in the dynamics of neighborhood racial composition we find strong evidence that white population flows exhibit tipping like behavior in most cities with a distribution of tipping points ranging from 5 to 20 minority share tipping is prevalent both in the suburbs and near existing minority enclaves in contrast to white population flows there is little evidence of nonlinearities in rents or housing prices around the tipping point tipping points are higher in cities where whites have more tolerant racial attitudes

health care costs on the rise again since 1999 health care costs have been growing faster than national income this rapid growth has occurred as the ability of private and public purchasers to reduce service utilization and bargain for lower prices has fallen insurers have recouped lost profits through higher premiums and new technologies have driven up costs throughout the sector private insurance market responses to these rising costs may lead to reductions in the number of people with insurance and to increased fragmentation of the insurance market over time technological change in medicine both increases costs and improves the quality of care the challenge for public policy is to maintain insurance and some degree of equity in the face of these rising costs

medical insurance technological change and welfare concerns have been expressed about the welfare effects of expensive innovations in medical care financed largely through medical insurance this paper develops a model which considers such issues it is shown that even if insurance is purchased optimally subject to a plausible constraint on the form of the contract innovations may be adopted that have the effect of reducing expected welfare the question of how the benefits of medical innovations ought to be measured in the presence of insurance is also explored

endogenous lobby formation and endogenous environmental protection with unilateral tariff reduction this paper studies how one country s decision to liberalize trade affects the political economic structure that determines environmental policy in another country by constructing a political economy model in which the formation of lobby groups and environmental policy are endogenously determined we show that unilateral tariff reductions by a large country importing a polluting good will generate a lobby group with a relatively lower cost of organization in a small country exporting that good a formulated lobby demands an inefficient environmental policy and hence the small country s environmental regulations become less efficient then we show that when a lobby already exists unilateral tariff reductions result in the formation of a rival lobby and consequently make the small country s environmental policy more efficient

trade and transboundary pollution spatial separation reconsidered abstract copeland and taylor 1999 j int econ 47 137 168 show that trade allows the spatial separation of two incompatible industries concentrating the polluting industry in one country eliminates its degenerative effects in the other this paper extends the analysis by allowing for transboundary pollution thus specialization has indirect repercussions on the level of pollution in the other country we show i how cross national differences in exposure to pollution emissions can generate comparative advantage and ii under what condition the resulting trading pattern combined with transboundary pollution can increase pollution exposure with negative effects on productivity and welfare in both countries

pollution havens and industrial agglomeration abstract this paper examines the pollution haven hypothesis using a spatial economy model of two countries and two sectors the manufacturing sector generates cross border pollution which reduces cross sectoral productivity of agricultural goods and lowers local income we derive a demand reducing effect that discourages firms to move to the country with laxer environmental regulations in the absence of any comparative advantage our analysis also demonstrates that manufacturing agglomeration forces can alleviate the pollution haven effect a pollution haven may not arise if environmental regulation is slightly more stringent in the larger country

dynamic instability of a mixed city in the presence of neighborhood externalities it has been often asked whether a city currently accommodating a variety of economic social and racial groups will continue to be a mixed city or will become exclusively occupied by a single group particularly poor blacks with all other groups moving out of the city in the long run in order to answer this question properly it seems essential to develop a long run dynamic model of a city with emphasis on socioeconomic factors like neighborhood externalities within or among various groups of residents as well as spatial factors like the individual choice of residential space and location it might be safely said that in the literature the only theoretical work which employs a long run dynamic approach to this kind of problem is a paper on dynamic models of segregation by thomas schelling 197 1 although his socioeconomic analysis has revealed some of the dynamic properties of a racially mixed area with neighborhood externalities his model itself is quite unsatisfactory from the economic point of view since it lacks individual utility functions and thereby disregards the aspect of the individual choice of space and location within the city 2 as a result he failed to analyze the effect of spatial segregation within the city on the long run nature of the residential composition of the city in this paper i develop a long run dynamic model of an open city which accommodates two groups of households for example blacks and whites rich and poor young and old with their utility functions depending on a consumption good and residential space i also assume two kinds of neighborhood externalities the first is called negative intergroup externalities that is the utility level of a typical household in one group is adversely affected by an increase in the number of households in the other group living in the city the second is called positive intragroup externalities that is the utility level of a typical household in one group is positively affected by an increase in the size of its own group in in the city first i define a mixed city equilibrium as a long run equilibrium which allows the two groups to coexist in the city in the long run and then introduce a dynamic adjustment process of household movement into and out of the city it is proved that the mixed city equilibrium is always unstable in the presence of negative intergroup externalities and or positive intragroup externalities if residential land is perfectly homogeneous and there is no differential transport cost incurred within the city it turns out however that in the case of a monocentric city with positive transport cost the mixed city equilibrium may be stable or unstable depending on the degree of neighborhood externalities because of the stabilizing effect of spatial segregation between the two groups within the city

regional versus multilateral trade liberalization environmental taxation and welfare the paper considers trade between identical countries with imperfectly competitive markets and compares the impacts of regional and multilateral tariff reduction on strategic environmental taxation and welfare while both forms of trade liberalization increase production and consumption in tariff reducing countries regionalism also reduces production in a non participating country and may decrease its consumption consequently regionalism and multilateralism change pollution tax and welfare in the tariff reducing countries in similar ways when pollution is local but in dissimilar ways for global pollution when pollution is global regionalism is likely to be preferred to multilateralism for the establishment of free trade among countries liberalisation du commerce regional versus celle du commerce multilateral fiscalite environnementale et bien etre ce memoire considere le commerce entre des pays identiques avec des marches de concurrence imparfaite et compare les impacts d une reduction regionale et multilaterale de tarifs sur la fiscalite environnementale strategique et le bien etre meme si les deux formes de liberalisation accroissent la production et la consommation dans les pays qui reduisent les tarifs le regionalisme reduit aussi la production dans un pays non participant et peut reduire sa consommation consequemment regionalisme et multilateralisme changent la taxe sur la pollution et le bien etre dans les pays qui reduisent leur tarif d une maniere similaire quand la pollution est locale mais de maniere dissimilaire quand la pollution est globale quand la pollution est globale le regionalisme est susceptible d etre prefere au multilateralisme pour l etablissement du libre commerce entre pays

the existence and uniqueness of optimal pollution policy in the presence of victim defense measures abstract it is to be expected that rational people defend themselves against pollution externalities at the very least through spatial separation from the source but even in the simplest models defensive behaviour generates nonconvexities multiple optima and inconclusive policy guidance this raises serious questions for the theory of environmental policy which have been largely ignored this paper derives a sufficient condition for a uniquely optimal emissions level in the presence of defensive activity the condition has an intuitive and in principal empirically testable interpretation two strategies for implementation are discussed an iterative tax rule and a non iterative demand revealing mechanism

is bioenergy trade good for the environment we analyze the impacts of bioenergy trade on greenhouse gas emissions using a two good three factor model bioenergy is an agricultural good used as a substitute for fossil fuels in industry governments tax domestic pollution without international coordination we assume that northern countries have higher labor productivity than southern ones and that agriculture is less pollution intensive than industry after taxation we show that whereas southern countries impose a lower tax rate than northern ones they do not necessary have a competitive advantage in industry and that compared to autarky trade liberalization either increases or decreases worldwide emissions depending on regional comparative advantages

direct regulation of a mobile polluting firm abstract we compare noncooperative regional environmental policy to cooperative national policy for direct regulation of a mobile firm the national government can always reach its first best with commitment but not with time consistent policy with commitment regional policy results in a game of chicken with too little output or in not in my backyard without commitment regional policy may improve upon national policy this happens when regional policy discourages the investment whereas the welfare reducing investment does take place with national policy

optimal health insurance for multiple goods and time periods we examine the efficiency based arguments for second best optimal health insurance with multiple treatment goods and multiple time periods correlated shocks across health care goods and over time interact with complementarity and substitutability to affect optimal cost sharing health care goods that are substitutes or have positively correlated demand shocks should have lower optimal patient cost sharing positive serial correlations of demand shocks and uncompensated losses that are positively correlated with covered health services also reduce optimal cost sharing our results rationalize covering pharmaceuticals and outpatient spending more fully than is implied by static one good or one period models

climate and international trade policies when emissions affect production possibilities abstract in this paper we develop a model of international trade and climate change in which emission discharges arising from production have a feedback effect on national production sectors by impacting upon effective factor endowments with this context the objectives are first to provide a general characterization of pareto efficient climate and trade policies and second to examine the possibility starting from non pareto efficient equilibria for pareto improving environmental policies we provide conditions under which several particular reforms of carbon taxes are welfare improving

pre marital confinement of women a signaling and matching approach abstract parents in several cultures discipline their daughters to inculcate the supposedly feminine virtues and improve their prospects in the marriage market this process invariably involves imposing restrictions on their behavior movement and social relations we refer to such practices as pre marital confinement and provide a unified game theoretic framework which encompasses the different arguments that have been advanced by social scientists to explain pre marital confinement the proposed framework views confinement by parents as an intrinsically valueless or valuable signal of some unobservable characteristic of their daughters which is valued by men in the marriage market we focus on identifying the conditions that lead to a societal norm of confinement we also show that behind a veil of ignorance where gender is unknown agents will choose to prohibit rather than permit confinement if it is intrinsically valueless and the parameters characterizing the society are such that the ex post equilibrium would involve pooling

trade spatial separation and the environment we develop a simple two sector dynamic model to show how pollution can provide a motive for trade by spatially separating incompatible industries we assume that the production of smokestack manufactures generates pollution which lowers the prod uctivity of an environmentally sensitive sector farming two identical unregulated countries will gain from trade if the share of world income spent on smokestack goods is high in contrast when the share of world income spent on the dirty good is low trade can usher in a negatively reinforcing process of environmental degradation and real income loss for the exporter of smokestack goods 1999 elsevier science b v all rights reserved

environmental policy when market structure and plant locations are endogenous abstract a two region two firm model is developed in which firms choose the number and the regional locations of their plants both firms pollute and market structure is endogenous to environmental policy there are increasing returns at the plant level imperfect competition between the home and the foreign firm and transport costs between the two markets at critical levels of environmental policy variables small policy changes cause large discrete jumps in a region s pollution and welfare as a firm closes or opens a plant or shifts production to from a foreign branch plant the implications for optimal environmental policy differ significantly from those suggested by traditional pigouvian marginal analysis

intra industry trade in intermediate products pollution and internationally increasing returns this paper examines the relationship between intra industry trade in intermediate products pollution and increasing returns we develop a two country model in which production occurs in two stages final and intermediate good production intermediate goods are produced under monopolistic competition and final good production exhibits increasing returns with respect to the number of varieties of intermediates pollution occurs in the production of the final good when polluting intermediates are used we analyze the effects of international trade in intermediate products on pollution output and welfare under an endogenous tax scenario and with two types of pollution functions the results show that because of increasing returns international trade either leads to lower total pollution in each country or lower pollution per unit of output in at least one country in addition intra industry trade causes countries to import the environmental quality of their trading partners

physician reimbursement and technology adoption this study analyses the incentives of health care providers to adopt new technologies in a world with ex post moral hazard it is shown that in a second best efficient world with respect to insurance coverage a linear remuneration scheme implements the adoption of second best efficient technologies only in special cases under a third best standard coinsurance contract the adequate reimbursement rule is characterised depending on the characteristics of the technology and on patients demand elasticities with respect to monetary and non monetary costs a shift from fee for service to capitation is likely to display undesirable incentives for very severe illnesses by inducing a reduction in the technically feasible level of healing or an increase in non monetary costs of treatment

persistent norms and tipping points the case of female genital cutting abstract more than 200 million women alive today have undergone female genital cutting fgc despite the associated negative health outcomes the practice has persisted for generations the prevailing theory of fgc persistence is that fgc is a social coordination norm which implies that if a sufficient number of community members agree to abandon fgc a tipping point is reached and the rate of fgc will fall to zero recent empirical evidence is inconsistent with this theory this paper formalizes an alternative theoretical explanation in which households have heterogeneous thresholds i e the rate of fgc in their community at which the household switches from practicing to not practicing fgc this threshold heterogeneity removes the certainty that a tipping point exists and introduces the possibility of a stable internal equilibrium in the rate of fgc in a community using a dataset of more than 27 000 women born across 4 5 decades in burkina faso i use a novel technique to construct community level distributions of household thresholds these distributions show that some communities in burkina faso have tipping points while some have a stable internal equilibrium i find suggestive but statistically insignificant evidence that communities with a larger share of educated women higher poverty rates and lower population density are more likely to have a tipping point additionally the empirical method developed in this paper has applications to the evolution of other social phenomena such as technology adoption voting behavior and racial segregation

estimating equilibrium models of sorting across locations while there is growing interest in measuring the size and scope of local spillovers it is well understood that such spillovers cannot be distinguished from unobservable local attributes using solely the observed location decisions of individuals or firms we propose an empirical strategy for recovering estimates of spillovers in the presence of unobserved local attributes for a broadly applicable class of equilibrium sorting models our approach relies on an iv strategy derived from the internal logic of the sorting model itself we show practically how the strategy is implemented provide intuition for our instruments discuss the role of effective choice set variation in identifying the model and carry out a series of monte carlo simulations to demonstrate performance in small samples

agglomeration effects in foreign direct investment and the pollution haven hypothesis does environmental regulation impair international competitiveness of pollution intensive industries to the extent that they relocate to countries with less stringent regulation turning those countries into pollution havens we test this hypothesis using panel data on outward foreign direct investment fdi flows of various industries in the german manufacturing sector and account for several econometric issues that have been ignored in previous studies most importantly we demonstrate that externalities associated with fdi agglomeration can bias estimates away from finding a pollution haven effect if omitted from the analysis we include the stock of inward fdi as a proxy for agglomeration and employ a gmm estimator to control for endogenous time varying determinants of fdi flows furthermore we propose a difference estimator based on the least polluting industry to break the possible correlation between environmental regulatory stringency and unobservable attributes of fdi recipients in the cross section when accounting for these issues we find robust evidence of a pollution haven effect for the chemical industry

transboundary pollution and the gains from trade we analyse the effects of transboundary pollution on trade patterns and welfare in a general equilibrium trade model production in a dirty industry generates pollution that negatively effects productivity both at home and abroad in a clean industry trade may lead to the spatial separation of production but the existence of transboundary pollution can offset the benefits from specialization we present a general model in which the effects of a country s pollution is country specific we analyse particular cases that correspond to an acid rain problem and a problem in which one country has a cleaner technology than the other we also present some results for small open economies to examine the effects of transboundary pollution in the absence of terms of trade effects

negative externalities and evolutionary implementation in this paper we model externality abatement as an implementation problem our model incorporates techniques from evolutionary game theory assuming that agents dynamically adjust their choices in response to the incentives they currently face we offer a simple condition on aggregate payoffs under which a planner with limited information about preferences can nevertheless ensure that efficient behaviour is globally stable finally we present a series of applications that show that our sufficient condition holds in a variety of models involving negative externalities