forms of external capital and economic development in latin america 1820 1997 abstract this paper examines the risks and constraints of different forms of capital inflows and costs of not honoring these obligations in latin america from independence in the 1820s through 1997 the constraints and risks of inflows during each period are shown to depend on the maturity structure nature of risk sharing and whether the inflow is from private or official sources the penalties imposed depend on the linkages among creditors and among different financial contracts such as debt and equity we show the importance of distinguishing between new forms of short term portfolio debt and equity and different forms of portfolio equity inflows such as adrs closed and open end country funds and domestic equity purchases by examining their behavior in the aftermath of the mexican crisis the policy recommendation is that portfolio equity and long term portfolio debt inflows should be encouraged over short term debt inflows especially those with explicit or implicit government guarantees on the banking system and exchange rate policy

converging or diverging a comparative analysis of trends in contingent employment practice in europe over a decade this paper makes a unique contribution to the hrm convergence divergence debate by examining whether organisations operating in europe over the 10 year time period preceding 2000 are converging in their adoption of contingent employment practice the susceptibility of contingent employment practice to both convergent and divergent pressures acts as a useful analytical lens data are drawn from organisations operating in germany spain sweden the netherlands and the uk in 1991 2918 organisations 1995 2048 organisations and 2000 1555 organisations the results suggest that convergence is limited by the institutional embeddedness of organisations

are nonconvexities important for understanding growth everyday experience and a simple logical argument show that nonconvexities are essential for understanding growth compared to previous statements of this well known argument the presentation here places more emphasis on the distinction between two of the fundamental attributes of any economic good rivalry and excludability it also emphasizes the difference between public goods and the technological advances that are fundamental to economic growth like public goods technological advances are rionrival goods hence they are inextricably linked to nonconvexities but in contrast to public goods which are nonexcludable technological advances generate benefits that are at least partially excludable hence innovations in the technology are for the most part privately provided this means that nonconvexities are relevant for goods that trade in private markets consequently an equilibrium with price taking in all markets cannot be sustained concluding remarks describe some of the recent equilibrium growth models that do not rely on price taking and highlight some of the implications of these models this abstract was borrowed from another version of this item

reputation and imperfect information abstract a common observation in the informal literature of economics and elsewhere is that is multistage games players may seek early in the game to acquire a reputation for being tough or benevolent or something else but this phenomenon is not observed in some formal game theoretic analyses of finite games such as selten s finitely repeated chain store game or in the finitely repeated prisoners dilemma we reexamine selten s model adding to it a small amount of imperfect or incomplete information about players payoffs and we find that this addition is sufficient to give rise to the reputation effect that one intuitively expects

syndicated lending under asymmetric creditor information abstract this paper explores how asymmetric information about borrower quality among syndicated lenders alters the incentive to refinance illiquid borrowers we use a model in which lenders enter the market sequentially in two rounds of lending between the two rounds a shock separates borrowers into good ones and bad ones and early entrants acquire information about individual borrower type while late entrants know only the distribution of borrower types the asymmetric information structure gives rise to both signalling and screening issues we show that self selecting contracts do not exist and that there is always a pooling perfect bayesian equilibrium in which late entrants lend to both good and bad types without borrower type being exposed before final clearing at the terminal time based on this framework we argue that prior to the 1982 international debt crisis it was possible for banks with heavy exposure to troubled debtors to attract rational newcomers in syndicated loans which were with positive probability bailout loans

the need for policy to address the food system lock in a case study of the finnish context abstract the introduction of synthetic fertilizers transformed the food system into the one we know today in the western world the present paper argues that this transformation has become an irreversible self feeding process referred to as food system lock in which threatens planetary boundaries of nitrogen and phosphorus hence the food security in the future a system in a lock in state can undermine its own existence by deteriorating the capacity to cope with upcoming crises of resource scarcity and environmental instability in this paper the roots of lock in are explored and empirically grounded in the historical narrative of the food system transition in finland in the past 60 years the theoretical framework builds on socio technical studies and the economic theory of increasing returns the aim of the paper is to identify through an evolutionary analysis the processes of increasing returns that have become path inefficient and have reinforced the lock in in the food system three separate but interdependent processes in the production in the policy and institutions and in the supply chain create systematic resistance towards sustainability transition these findings indicate that more attention should be paid at the public policies that are currently too narrow in their scope and do not effectively bridge the entire system from food production to consumption public intervention is critical for the unlocking but individuals in the various parts of the food system are those who create new paths

varieties of capitalism in an internationalized world domestic institutional change in european telecommunications this article examines how internationalization affects domestic decisions about the reform of market institutions a developing literature argues that nations maintain different varieties of capitalism in the face of economic globalization because of diverse domestic settings however in an internationalized world powerful forces for change applying across border scan affect decision making within domestic arenas the article therefore analyzes how three factors transnational technological and economic developments overseas reforms and european regulation affected institutional reform in a selected case study of telecommunications regulation in britain france germany and italy between the 1960s and 2002 the author argues that when different forms of internationalization are strong and combined they can overwhelm institutional inertia and the effects of different national settings to result in rapid change and cross national convergence in market institutions hence different varieties of capi

the industrial organization of congress or why legislatures like firms are not organized as markets this paper provides a theory of legislative institutions that parallels the theory of the firm and the theory of contractual institutions like market institutions legislative institutions reflect two key components the goals or preferences of individuals here representatives seeking reelection and the relevant transactions costs we present three conclusions first we show how the legislative institutions enforce bargains among legislators second we explain why given the peculiar form of bargaining problems found in legislatures specific forms of nonmarket exchange prove superior to market exchange third our approach shows how the committee system limits the types of coalitions that may form on a particular issue

time matters postindustrialization new social risks and welfare state adaptation in advanced industrial democracies western welfare states were built during the postwar years with one key objective to protect family male breadwinners against the consequences of losing their ability to extract an income from

increasing returns path dependence and the study of politics it is increasingly common for social scientists to describe political processes as path dependent the concept however is often employed without careful elaboration this article conceptualizes path dependence as a social process grounded in a dynamic of increasing returns reviewing recent literature in economics and suggesting extensions to the world of politics the article demonstrates that increasing returns processes are likely to be prevalent and that good analytical foundations exist for exploring their causes and consequences the investigation of increasing returns can provide a more rigorous framework for developing some of the key claims of recent scholarship in historical institutionalism specific patterns of timing and sequence matter a wide range of social outcomes may be possible large consequences may result from relatively small or contingent events particular courses of action once introduced can be almost impossible to reverse and consequently political development is punctuated by critical moments or junctures that shape the basic contours of social life

sovereign debt optimal contract underinvestment and forgiveness in this paper we develop a time consistent rational expectations model which analyzes the equilibrium loan contract between a borrowing country and a foreign bank the loan contract specifies both the amount of the loan and the promised interest payments and rationally reflects the investment decisions of the country and the possibilities of renegotiation and repudiation of the debt an important feature of the model is that at the initial negotiation of the loan there is uncertainty about whether the country will renegotiate for partial forgiveness in the future and whether it will eventually repudiate the debt even having successfully renegotiated moreover the probabilities of renegotiation and repudiation and the amount of possible forgiveness are endogenously determined in the model the repudiation decision is directly related to the underinvestment problem the objective of the renegotiation is precisely to alleviate this problem the model is used to analyze the effects of four variables on both the optimal contract and the country s welfare the degree of penalties that a bank can impose on a defaulting country the uncertainty of production the productivity of investments and the riskless interest rate the analysis has policy implications as well as testable predictions during the last ten years the issues related to less developed countries ldcs debt have become increasingly more important in the world economy the main reason for this is the significant increase in the amount of debt outstanding and the consequent higher yearly interest payments by 1988 seventeen highly indebted countries had an aggregated debt of 510 billion dollars see rogoff 1990 a second important reason is that starting in 1982 some of these countries suspended debt service payments creating a serious crisis of confidence in the banking system of the lending countries as a consequence borrowers and lenders have had to engage in negotiations including the rescheduling of the repayments and possibly partial forgiveness a number of papers have suggested that forgiveness could conceivably make both lenders and borrowers better off because the country

globalizing carbon lock in this paper extends the arguments surrounding carbon lock in elaborated in unruh energy policy 28 2000 817 30 2002 317 to countries currently undergoing industrialization it argues that for numerous reasons industrializing countries are unlikely to leapfrog carbon intensive energy development on the contrary carbon lock in may be globalizing and could further constrain climate change mitigation options it is then argued that many policy recommendations ignore carbon lock in possibly limiting their potential for successful implementation the paper then discusses four policy approaches that appear to have advantages given lock in conditions it is recognized however that relative ease of implementation does not necessarily equate with superiority instead it is merely a path dependent outcome of past development decisions pursuing policies on the basis of relative implementation ease may help address the issue of climate change but could also result in sub optimal outcomes along other dimensions of sustainable development

building risk into the mitigation adaptation decisions simulated by integrated assessment models this paper proposes an operationally simple and easily generalizable methodology to incorporate climate change damage uncertainty into integrated assessment models iams first uncertainty is transformed into a risk measure by extracting damage distribution means and variances from an ensemble of socio economic and climate change scenarios then a risk premium is computed under different degrees of risk aversion quantifying what society would be willing to pay to insure against the uncertainty of the damages our estimates show that the premium for the risk is a potentially significant addition to the standard average damage but highly sensitive to the attitudes toward risk in the last research phase the risk premium is incorporated into the climate change damage function of a widely used iam which shows consequently a substantial increase in both mitigation and adaptation efforts reflecting a more precautionary attitude by the social planner interestingly adaptation is stimulated more than mitigation in the first half of this century while the situation reverses afterwards

the new economics of organization over the last ten years or so an important new approach to the study of organizations has emerged within economics it is perhaps best characterized by three elements a contractual perspective on organizational relationships a theoretical focus on hierarchical control and formal analysis via principal agent models this paper provides political scientists with an overview of the new economics of organization and explores its implications for the study of public bureaucracy so far positive political theory has not contributed much to our understanding of public bureaucracy in part this is due to the unsympathetic treatment that rational modeling and most other modes of quantitative analysis have long received from students of public administration the other side of the coin however is that positive theorists have not made much of an effort to develop theories of bureaucracy their concerns have centered around two basic mechanisms of social choice voting and markets and they have devoted little systematic attention to a third mechanism that is clearly important for understanding how societies and other aggregates make collective decisions this third and relatively unexplored mechanism is hierarchy movement toward a positive theory of hierarchies would fill a serious gap in the social choice literature while at the same time making a theoretical contribution that strikes to the essence of public bureaucracy indeed of all organizations in fact significant steps toward a positive theory of hierarchies have very recently been taken but by economists not political scientists in small numbers of course economists made contributions to the study of public bureaucracy some time ago with the pioneering works of downs 1967 tullock 1965 and niskanen 1971 but this new wave of theoretical work is different it is already a large complex body of literature that is the focus of innovation and excitement among a growing number of economists and it reflects an unusual degree of theoretical coherence and cumulative effort work in this tradition tends to receive orientation from a distinctive economic approach to the analysis of organizations an approach perhaps best characterized by three elements a contractual perspective on organizational relationships a focus on hierarchical control and formal analysis via principal agent models this approach has emerged from recent attempts to move beyond the neoclassical theory of the firm which assumes away all organizational considerations to a theory of economic organizations that can explain why firms corporations and other enterprises behave as they do propo

economic instruments for emission abatement under appreciable technological indivisibilities the paper explores the performance of decentralized incentives when abatement involves technological indivisibilities technologically pollution abatement is often carried out as a discrete process if pollution reduction involves relatively large scale investments in emission abatement equipment consequently the firm s response to decentralized economic incentives for pollution abatement is affected by the indivisible property of the technology it can be shown that in such cases efficiency may not be realized installing an abatement device may entail too much or too little investment compared with the eficient solution

predation reputation and entry deterrence abstract economists often argue that predatory practices are irrational since there exist cheaper or more certain means to gain or maintain a monopoly our gametheoretic equilibrium analysis suggests that if a firm is threatened by several potential entrants then predation may be rational against early entrants even if it is costly when viewed in isolation because it yields a reputation which deters other entrants asymmetric information plays a crucial role in our analysis since it provides the rationale for entrants to base their expectations of the firm s future behavior on its past actions the analysis also suggests methods to treat general reputational phenomena

social policy through labor markets understanding national differences in the provision of economic security to wage earners recent work in comparative political economy has emphasized the existence of functional equivalents to the welfare state in the area of labor market policy in many european countries in australia and in new zealand labor laws minimum wages and collective agreements have traditionally played an important role in guaranteeing a certain level of economic security for workers and their families this article tries to explain why different countries have developed different instruments for providing economic security to wage earners it compares labor legislation and practices across several european countries and focuses on the detailed trajectory of france germany and the united kingdom it finds that state society relationships and ideological influences at key historical moments can help understand the original divergence which is perpetuated through a typical path dependent development

sovereign debt and the london club a precommitment device for limiting punishment for default abstract in this paper we examine the role that institutions may play in enabling banks to write contracts whereby sovereign debt is not forgiven ex post our model provides a rationale for the emergence of a centralized forum for debt renegotiation such as the london club as well as for bank syndicates these bank syndicates arise as part of a pre commitment device rather than for risk sharing purposes we propose a debt contract under which only involuntary default is forgiven ex post our main findings are that under this contract debt forgiveness after voluntary strategic default is avoided when voluntary default occurs access to the credit market is denied only for a limited number of periods rather than forever in contrast to a voluntary default involuntary default is forgiven immediately

decentralized economic incentives under technological indivisibilities a cooperative game approach abstract abatement technology is often characterized by indivisibility in those instances it is usually more efficient to operate the installed abatement device at full capacity in order to capture economies of scale in these situations efficiency may not necessarily be achieved by market incentive schemes such as taxes or tradeable permits installing a device may entail too much or too little investment in relation to the target level a tax could entail higher cost than a command and control approach while equilibrium in a permits market may not even exist the paper proposes an alternative incentive scheme the fine incentive scheme fis which imposes a fine penalty if the given area wide not firm specific emission or ambient standard is violated the performance of the fis is evaluated in a game theoretic framework specifically a cooperative game analysis since a measure of interdependence is introduced via the fis the model is illustrated with data from the haifa area in israel these empirical results are contrasted with a non cooperative framework as well as with command and control cac and the two traditional economic incentive schemes taxes and permits it is shown that taxes are the least desired mechanism while tradeable permits often don t work furthermore the efficacy of command and control relative to the fis varies with the circumstances the latter does not necessarily dominate the former under a rather wide range of circumstances

a low carbon industrial revolution insights and challenges from past technological and economic transformations recent efforts to promote a transition to a low carbon economy have been influenced by suggestions that a low carbon transition offers challenges and might yield economic benefits comparable to those of the previous industrial revolutions this paper examines these arguments and the challenges facing a low carbon transition by drawing on recent thinking on the technological economic and institutional factors that enabled and sustained the first british industrial revolution and the role of general purpose technologies in stimulating and sustaining this and subsequent industrial transformation processes that have contributed to significant macroeconomic gains these revolutions involved profound long drawn out changes in economy technology and society and although their energy transitions led to long run economic benefits they took many decades to develop to reap significant long run economic benefits from a low carbon transition sooner rather than later would require systemic efforts and incentives for low carbon innovation and substitution of high carbon technologies we conclude that while achieving a low carbon transition may require societal changes on a scale comparable with those of previous industrial revolutions this transition does not yet resemble previous industrial revolutions a successful low carbon transition would however amount to a different kind of industrial revolution

information reusability competition and bank asset quality this paper explains the recent decline in bank asset quality using the notion of information reusability banks are viewed as information processors they exist because of their advantage in extracting the surplus associated with the reusability of borrower specific information it is shown that a bank s incentive to screen loan applicants and hence maintain the quality of its assets depends on the surplus this screening can produce which in turn depends on information reusability two recent changes in banks operating environment are increased competitition and greater temporal volatility in borrower credit risks the former has directly reduced banks informational surplus while the latter has impaired information reusability hence screening expenditures have been reduced and the diminution of screening has lowered the quality of bank assets it is also shown that an increase in deposit insurance premia has an effect similar to that of narrowing interest spreads and therefore will result in reduced asset screening and impaired asset quality

what is different about international lending an attempt is made to explain how enforceability is achieved n international debt contracts each bank announces the policy of denying credit to borrowers who default and chooses to adhere to it to maintain its reputation of being a tough bank to discipline its other borrowers loans are made by syndicates of banks in order to make the penalty for default severe enough so borrowers would choose not to default voluntarily the model predicts that the interest rate charged on loans is smaller for the larger borrowers also for any given borrower the interest rate may fall after each successive default article published by oxford university press on behalf of the society for financial studies in its journal the review of financial studies

rhetoric and reality in protected area governance institutional change under different conservation discourses in mount elgon national park uganda abstract the approach to governance of protected areas has been in transition over last decades partly driven by evolving policy discourses that shape the ways in which conservation is thought to be delivered the most influential discourses are the fortress approach community conservation and back to the barriers how different discourses translate and are instituted on ground are however complex and disputed inclusive policy strategies in relation to local involvement in developing countries are of particular concern the study analyses how conservation policy discourses have become manifested taking the case of mount elgon national park menp uganda it outlines main conservation policy discourses analyses actor s interests and power relations and further examines how institutions for park governance have evolved and changed according to the different discourses the results indicate that conservation discourses and donor support come and go while menp seems to outlast all the worrying reality is that menp administration strongly influenced by the interplay of path dependent institutional forces rooted in the fortress discourse simply sticks to its guns maintaining the application of law enforcement as key management instruments in its approach to governance especially to local people interactions there is an apparent gap between rhetoric and reality in protected area governance

heterogeneous creditors and the market value of bank ldc loan portfolios abstract a standard proposition used in many empirical studies is that the value of an ldc loan does not depend on the identity of the lender i test this proposition using bank securities prices and prices for ldc loans trading in the secondary market i find significant cross sectional differences in the sensitivity of bank stocks to changes in the price of ldc loans differences in sensitivity appear to be related to changes in bank exposure to ldcs i also find evidence consistent with the hypothesis that cds are implicitly insured

bond restructuring and moral hazard are collective action clauses costly abstract recent emerging market crises have prompted debate over the costs and benefits of collective action clauses cacs in bond contracts cacs may facilitate the restructuring of repayment terms in the event of financial distress proponents of cacs argue they should lower borrowing costs while opponents contend that they lead to moral hazard and increased borrowing costs this paper examines the pricing of bonds with and without cacs using data for both primary and secondary market yields and finds no evidence that the presence of cacs has increased yields for either higher or lower rated issuers

theorizing path dependence a review of positive feedback mechanisms in technology markets regional clusters and organizations the concept of path dependence has often been criticized as vague and only narrowly applicable although we can find some very refined definitions of the concept we also find a wide range of empirical phenomena being described as path dependent we argue that more detailed accounts of the positive feedback mechanisms that form paths can take path dependence beyond this state of being overdetermined but under specified reviewing three well described cases of path dependent dynamics in technology markets regional clustering and organizations we define a core set of positive feedback mechanisms that constitute path dependence at different analysis levels and clarify the relationship between positive feedback and increasing returns we show that path dependent processes that is processes driven by positive feedback that veer toward rigidity or lock in can be but do not have to be found under many labels including structural inertia coevolution or institutional persistence we conclude that a precise definition of path dependence does not need to be at odds with the concept s widespread use in understanding organizational and industrial development processes copyright 2013 the author 2012 published by oxford university press on behalf of associazione icc all rights reserved oxford university press

the strength of a weak agency enforcement of title vii of the 1964 civil rights act and the expansion of state capacity 1965 1971 this article analyzes the anomalous case of early title vii enforcement to challenge the standard political institutional pi account of state capacity title vii prohibited employment discrimination but the equal employment opportunity commission was granted scant enforcement resources yet the early eeoc aggressively enforced and developed title vii to solve the anomaly the authors integrate insights from the literatures on social movements and the sociology of law in the absence of conventional administrative resources apparently weak state agencies can expand their capacity through the legal strategy of broad statutory construction this strategy is more likely with the presence of social movement pressure from below the authors argue that state capacity is a moving target with state and societal actors building on legal as well as administrative resources to construct and transform capacity by reconceptualizing state capacity the authors contribute to nuanced explanations of state policy

welfare policy expansion in botswana and mauritius explaining the causes of different welfare regime paths how come two developing countries with similar economic institutional and democratic attributes have developed vastly different welfare regimes drawing inspiration from the welfare regime literature the author subjects botswana and mauritius to a comparative historical analysis that explores the economic and political trajectories of their welfare policy development the findings offer both support and modifications to the established and mostly western oriented literature first politics affect welfare policy development in developing countries the rural population can promote welfare policy expansion but it is middle class interests that shape the direction of policy development second given the importance of politics conceptualizations of welfare policies need to include both the spending and the financing side finally the causes of different welfare regime paths need to be examined with attention to the particular economic contexts of developing countries and how welfare and economic poli

loss aversion in politics we study how loss aversion affects the political equilibrium in a simple majority voting model first we show a status quo bias which leads to path dependence second loss aversion implies a moderating effect on the most extreme voters third in a dynamic setting the effect of loss aversion diminishes with the length of the planning horizon of voters however in the presence of a projection bias majorities are partially unable to understand how fast they will adapt to a new policy this makes changes less likely and induces time inconsistency policy changes are timid at the beginning while in later periods they are made progressively more radical fourth in a stochastic environment loss aversion yields a significant distaste for risk but also a smaller attachment to the status quo the application of these results to a model of redistribution leads to empirically plausible implications

equilibrium institutions the federal proportional trade off durable democracies display a huge variety of combinations of basic institutional formulas a quantitative logical model shows that while there are multiple equilibrium sets of institutions each involves some trade off between the size of the country the territorial structure of government and the electoral system specifically the larger the country the more important is federalism in comparison to proportional representation electoral rules for the durability of democratic institutions the explanatory power of the model is positively tested on all current durable democratic countries it is also illustrated with a few both fitting and deviant cases a relevant implication is that the room for manipulation of the choice of institutions is large but not unlimited as the choices for a durable democracy are constrained by bounded trade offs between the values of major institutional variables

institutional emergence in an era of globalization the rise of transnational private regulation of labor and environmental conditions1 why have systems of transnational private regulation recently emerged to certify corporate social and environmental performance different conceptions of institutional emergence underlie different answers to this question many scholars argue that firms create certification systems to solve problems in the market a view rooted in a conception of institutions as solutions to collective action problems the author develops a different account by viewing institutions as the outcome of political contestation and by analyzing conflict and institutional entrepreneurship among a wide array of actors using a comparative case study design the analysis shows how these arguments explain the formation of social and environmental certification associations both theoretical approaches are needed but strong versions of the market based approach overlook an important set of dynamics that the author calls the political construction of market institutions the analysis shows how both problem solving in markets and

an integrated theory of budgetary politics and some empirical tests the u s national budget 1791 2010 we develop a general theory of budgetary politics and examine its implications on a new data set on u s government expenditures from 1791 to 2010 we draw on three major approaches to budgeting decision making theories primarily incrementalism and serial processing policy process models and path dependency we show that the incrementalist budget model is recursive and that its solution is exponential growth and isolate three periods in which it operates in pure form the equilibrium periods are separated by critical junctures associated with wars or economic collapse we assess policy process dynamics by examining the deviations within equilibrium periods we offer three takeaways 1 exponential incrementalism is fundamental to a theory of budgeting 2 disjoint shifts in the level of exponential incrementalism are caused only by critical moments 3 temporally localized dynamics cause bends in the exponential path longer returns to the path within budgetary eras and annual punctuations in budget changes

seeking the local state gender caste and the pursuit of public services in post tsunami india summary how do ordinary citizens access the state in the world s largest democracy this paper examines a critical case from india exploring the channels formal and informal through which residents of two tsunami affected villages pursued public services following the 2004 disaster external shocks such as the proliferation of aid and ngos created moments in which individuals interacted differently with public agencies different village level groups attempted to access state resources through distinct sets of intermediaries marginalized groups women and caste minorities appeared most willing and likely to utilize formal government channels while men from the locally dominant caste turned to informal non state channels

innovation policy rationales lessons and challenges innovation policy has emerged as a new field of economic policy during the last few decades this paper explores the rationales for national innovation policies as laid out in the existing literature on the subject and considers what the lessons and challenges for theory and practice in this area are innovation policy attempts to influence innovation activity often with the purpose of increasing economic growth but it can also have more specific aims such as preventing unwarranted climate change improving national health and so on the increasing attention given to innovation policy at the national level from the 1990s onwards went hand in hand with the development of a new systemic understanding of innovation which in a better way than before accounted for the stylised facts of innovation activity as identified by empirical work the system approach as the paper shows came to have a significant influence on the subsequent policy discourse drawing on recent advances in innovation systems theory a synthetic framework for the analysis of innovation policy is developed and used to highlight issues of particular relevance for the conduct of innovation policy and future scholarly work in this area less

saving children controlling families punishment redistribution and child protection this study shows that state efforts at child protection are structured by the policy regimes in which they are enmeshed using administrative data on child protection criminal justice and social welfare interventions i show that children are separated from their families and placed into foster care far more frequently in states with extensive and punitive criminal justice systems than in states with broad and generous welfare programs however large welfare bureaucracies interact with welfare program enrollment to create opportunities for the surveillance of families suggesting that extensive and administratively complex welfare states engage in soft social control through the surveillance and regulation of family behavior the article further shows that institutionalization a particularly restrictive form of foster care placement is least common in states with broad and generous welfare regimes and generally more common under punitive regimes taken together these findings show that policy regi

path shifting of the welfare state electoral competition and the expansion of work family policies in western europe what explains the surprising growth of work family policies in several west european countries much research on the welfare state emphasizes its institutional stickiness and immunity to major change yet over the past two decades governments in germany the netherlands and the united kingdom have introduced important reforms to their welfare regimes enacting paid leave schemes expanded rights to part time work and greater investments in child care a comparison of these countries reveals a similar sequence of political and policy change faced with growing electoral instability and the decline of core constituencies party leaders sought to attract dealigning voter groups such as women this led them to introduce feminizing reforms of their party structures and adopt policies to support mothers employment in all three cases women working within the parties played an important role in hatching or lobbying for these reforms after comparing three countries that moved in a path shifting direction this article engages in a brief traveling exercise examining whether a similar set of dynamics are lacking in two countries austria and italy that have moved more slowly in reforming these policies against the prevailing scholarly literature that emphasizes path dependence and slow moving change this article reveals the continued power of electoral politics in shaping redistributive policies