competition under consumer loss aversion we address the effect of expectation based consumer loss aversion on firm strategy in imperfect competition consumers are fully informed about match value and price at the moment of purchase however some consumers are initially uninformed about their tastes and form a reference point consisting of an expected match value and price distribution whereas others are perfectly informed all the time we show that if firms have symmetric costs a larger share of informed consumers leads to a more competitive outcome the reverse holds if cost asymmetry in duopoly is sufficiently large

competition and the number of firms in a market are duopolies more competitive than atomistic markets this paper uses a variant of the standard search model to examine market equilibrium and the consequences for market equilibrium of an increase in the number of firms if marginal search costs increase with the number of searches then the demand curve facing any firm will be kinked with the elasticity of demand with respect to price decreases being less than with respect to price increases prices may not change in response to changes in marginal costs as the number of firms increases the maximum price that is consistent with equilibrium increases to the monopoly price but the minimum price decreases on the other hand if marginal search costs decrease with the number of searches equilibrium if it exists is characterized by a

nonparametric estimation of sample selection models sample selection models provide an important way of accounting for economic decisions that combine discrete and continuous choices and of correcting for nonrandom sampling nonparametric estimators for these models are developed in this paper these can be used for estimating shapes and important economic quantities as in standard nonparametnc regression endogeneity of regressors of interest is allowed for series estimators for these models are developed which are useful for imposing additivity restnctions that arise from selection corrections convergence rates and asymptotic normality results are derived an application to returns to schooling among australian young females is given

employer matching and 401 k saving evidence from the health and retirement study abstract employer matching of employee 401 k contributions is often touted as a powerful incentive to save for retirement and is a key component in pension plan design in the united states using detailed administrative contribution earnings and pension plan data from the health and retirement study this analysis formulates a life cycle consistent econometric specification of 401 k saving and estimates the determinants of saving accounting for non linearities in the household budget set induced by matching the participation estimates indicate that an increase in the match rate by 25 cents per dollar of employee contribution raises 401 k participation by 5 percentage points the parametric and semi parametric estimates for saving indicate that an increase in the match rate by 25 cents per dollar of employee contribution raises 401 k saving by 365 in 1991 dollars overall the analysis reveals that the 401 k saving response to matching is quite inelastic and hence matching is a rather poor policy instrument with which to raise retirement saving

search costs and prices abstract this paper examines the effect of consumer search costs on the level of prices and price dispersion we show that as search costs decrease prices may increase and price dispersion may also increase

discrete equilibrium price dispersion an explicit solution of an equilibrium model with price setting firms and searching customers makes possible a number of comparativestatics predictions about how cost differences among firms search costs of customers and taxes will affect the mean and variance of the distribution of market prices another implication of the model is that a firm s demand depends on the difference between its price and the average price in the market

product diversity in asymmetric oligopoly is the quality of consumer goods too low we analyse an oligopoly model incorporating horizontal differentiation and quality differences high quality goods are overpriced and underproduced when the market is fairly well covered low quality products may be profitable when their net social contribution is negative implying excessive entry in a relatively uncovered market even low quality goods are underproduced and there may be underentry when fixed costs are independent of quality the market tends to select the right firms otherwise the market may produce low quality products when it should produce high quality ones the model is calibrated using market data for yoghurt

health behavior health knowledge and schooling the positive correlation between schooling and good health is well documented one explanation is that schooling helps people choose healthier life styles by improving their knowledge of the relationship between health behaviors and health outcomes that is schooling improves the household s allocative efficiency in producing health this empirical study uses direct measures of health knowledge to test this explanation part of the relationship between schooling and the consumption of cigarettes alcohol and exercise is explained by differences in health knowledge however most of schooling s effects on health behavior remain after differences in knowledge are controlled for

equilibrium with product differentiation tive consumer formulations is used to examine the properties of single and multiple price equilibria conditions under which decreases in the intensity of consumer preferences reduce price are given it is shown that with certain types of demand curves entry can eliminate price cost markups even given product differentiation if competition is localized it is demonstrated that entry does not affect the markup finally the effect of spurious product differentiation on price is examined

price dispersion in an automobile insurance market from automobile insurance data for alberta over the period 1974 81 we find thatpremiums are highly correlated across driver classes in a given year but that premiums for a given driver class are not correlated over a period of more than 5 years firms relative market shares among drivers over age 25 and married males under 25 are inversely related to their deviations from the mean premiums in these driver classes the variance of real premiums decreases with the numberof firms in the market and increases with the real loss cost per car insured and the number of cars insured from these results we conclude that the price dispersion in automobile insurance in alberta is based on costly consumer search

number of sellers average prices and price dispersion abstract a variety of models provide differing predictions regarding the effect of an increase in the number of competitors in a market seller density on prices and price dispersion we review different approaches to generating equilibrium price dispersion and then empirically estimate the relationship between seller density average product price and price dispersion in the retail gasoline industry using four unique gasoline price data sets controlling for station level characteristics we find that an increase in station density consistently decreases both price levels and price dispersion across four geographical areas

overtime pay overtime hours and labor unions this article analyzes the effect of labor unions on overtime compensation and overtime hours estimates from may 1985 current population survey data indicate that unionization increases the prevalence of premium pay for overtime and reduces the incidence and extent of overtime hours along with the finding of previous research that unionized workers are more susceptible to temporary layoffs these results are consistent with a model in which unions use overtime pay to stabilize working hours and expand membership

persistence in u s state unemployment rates errata and extensions using panel unit root tests allowing for breaking deterministics 2007 found that many u s state unemployment rates were stationary a result at odds with the traditional view that unemployment rates are path dependent and subject to shocks that have permanent effects 2009 extended the analysis to directly examine whether the series were fractionally integrated and reported that models with two breaks in mean do suggest many state unemployment rates were mean reverting the purpose of this note is to correct an error contained in 2009 which when modified indicates that state unemployment rates were non stationary processes well characterized by hysteresis

making the most out of programme evaluations and social experiments accounting for heterogeneity in programme impacts the conventional approach to social programme evaluation focuses on estimating mean impacts of programmes yet many interesting questions regarding the political economy of programmes the distribution of programme benefits and the option values conferred on programme participants require knowledge of the distribution of impacts or features of it this paper presents evidence that heterogeneity in response to programmes is empirically important and that classical probability inequalities are not very informative in producing estimates or bounds on the distribution of programme impacts we explore two methods for supplementing the information in these inequalities based on assumptions about participant decision making processes and about the strength in dependence between outcomes in the participation and non participation states dependence is produced as a consequence of rational choice by participants we test for stochastic rationality among programme participants and present and implement methods for estimating the option values of social programmes

existence and persistence of price dispersion an empirical analysis the hebrew university of jerusalem and nber using a unique data set on store level monthly prices of four homogenous products sold in israel i study the existence and characteristics of the dispersion of prices across stores as well as its persistence over time i find that price dispersion prevails even after controlling for observed and unobserved product heterogeneity moreover intra distribution mobility is significant stores move up and down the cross sectional price distribution thus consumers cannot learn about stores that consistently post low prices as a consequence price dispersion does not disappear and persists over time as predicted by varian s 1980 model of sales

oligopolistic pricing with heterogeneous consumer search abstract a finite number of identical stores sell a homogeneous good to consumers with heterogeneous search costs who search sequentially with perfect recall and without replacement consumers search rules are optimal with respect to the stores pricing strategies and consumers must visit a store to obtain information about its actual price a symmetric nash equilibrium sne always exists the model exhibits a variety of equilibrium behaviors between monopoly pricing and marginal cost pricing the competitiveness of a market depends crucially on the shape of the search cost distribution moreso than on the number of competing firms

advertising intensity and welfare in an equilibrium search model i analyze an equilibrium search model in a duopoly setting with bilateral heterogeneities in production and search costs in which firms can advertise by announcing price i compare the market advertising level to the socially optimal level where i find that costly search can improve welfare and that firms may under or over advertise relative to the social optimum depending on the costs of search the results suggest that in markets with sufficiently low search costs firms are likely over advertising relative to the socially optimal level and vice versa for markets with sufficiently high search costs

semi nonparametric estimation of consumer search costs this paper studies the estimation of the distribution of non sequential search costs we show that the search cost distribution is identified by combining data from multiple markets with common search technology but varying consumer valuations firms costs and numbers of competitors to exploit such data optimally we provide a new method based on semi nonparametric estimation we apply our method to a dataset of online prices for memory chips and find that the search cost density is essentially bimodal such that a large fraction of consumers searches very little whereas a smaller fraction searches a relatively large number of stores copyright c 2012 john wiley sons ltd

the effect of group size and asymmetries on the incentive to reveal group specific information in this paper i examine how firms incentives to differentiate their products through the revelation of truthful information about product attributes varies with the distribution of consumer preferences for those attributes i show that information will tend to be provided for large groups even absent scale economies in producing that information in addition the relative sizes of the groups whose estimates of product quality change positively vs negatively i e the degree of asymmetry by the information is likewise an important determinant of its profitability

corporate income tax evasion and managerial preferences this paper investigates the role of managerial preferences in shaping corporate income tax evasion using noncompliance with the personal income tax as a measure of taste for evasion the empirical results from a sample of corporate income tax returns show that managerial preferences play an important role in determining noncompliance with the corporate income tax basic sample tabulations show that when compared to compliant firms noncompliant firms are three times more likely to be managed by executives who have understated personal taxes in addition results from multivariate analyses suggest that the amount of underreported income is significantly higher in the presence of such executives

unit root tests persistence and the unemployment rate of the u s states author affiliation diego romero avila department of economics carretera de utrera km 1 pablo de olavide university 41013 seville spain dromtor upo escarlos usabiaga professor department of economics carretera de utrera km 1 pablo de olavide university 41013 seville spain cusaiba upo es corresponding author acknowledgment the authors would like to thank seminar participants at the pablo de olavide university and dg economics at the european central bank carlos usabiaga acknowledges the financial support from centro de estudios andaluces ecod1 05 033 special thanks go to junsoo lee and nikolay gospodinov for making available to us the codes to implement some of the techniques used in the paper and to two anonymous referees for suggestions that substantially improved the paper the usual disclaimer applies 1 introductionthe high persistence in unemployment rates observed in the developed world since the first oil shock has led to a vivid debate over which paradigm can better explain the behavior of unemployment rates the traditional strand of the literature that forms the basis of the natural rate theory phelps 1967 1968 friedman 1968 assumes that the unemployment rate evolves around an equilibrium level describing stationary fluctuations this equilibrium level or natural rate is set depending on fundamentals of the economy while initially the absence of theories explaining the determination of the natural rate meant that in practice it was taken to be constant and exogenous subsequent developments have attempted to identify the structural factors behind differences across economies and over time including labor productivity technological change real interest rates real exchange rates and energy prices to name a few see phelps 1994 phelps and zoega 1998 according to the structuralist view phelps 1994 most shocks to unemployment are temporary but occasionally the natural rate permanently changes and is affected by variations in the aforementioned structural factors as a consequence the unemployment rate may be characterized as a process that is stationary once a small number of structural breaks are allowed for in contrast to the natural rate and structuralist approaches the hysteresis hypothesis see blanchard and summers 1986 1987 implies that the unemployment rate is path dependent and temporary shocks can affect unemployment permanently 1 while hysteresis is thought to imply that the natural rate is conditioned by the level of unemployment recorded in the past persistence in unemployment which is a special case of the natural rate hypothesis entails a slow adjustment process of reversion toward the mean thus hysteresis implies that unemployment is characterized by a unit root while persistence is characterized by a near unit root in the latter case shocks to unemployment though long lasting would not have a permanent effect to discriminate among theories explaining the behavior of unemployment rates unit root tests have been widely applied the hysteresis hypothesis has been formulated as a unit root process and its rejection lends support to the natural rate hypothesis if no breaks are included in the specification and the structuralist hypothesis if breaks are allowed for the purpose of this article is to investigate which theoretical paradigm most closely represents the behavior of unemployment rates in the states of the united states over the period 1976 2004 we first apply the individual lagrange multiplier lm t statistic proposed by schmidt and phillips 1992 to monthly data and we fail to reject the null hypothesis of a unit root in unemployment for forty states perron 1989 pointed out that the presence of structural changes could favor the nonrejection of the unit root null if they are not properly accounted for therefore we employ the minimum lm t statistic allowing for up to two endogenous changes in level proposed by lee and strazicich 2003

information in cournot signaling with incomplete control abstract we embed signaling in the classical cournot model in which several firms sell a homogeneous good the quality is known to all the firms but only to some buyers the quantity setting firms can manipulate the price to signal quality because there is only one price in a market for a homogeneous good each firm incompletely controls the price signal through the quantity decision we characterize the unique signaling cournot equilibrium in which the price signals quality to the uninformed buyers we then compare the signaling cournot equilibrium with the full information cournot equilibrium signaling is shown to increase the equilibrium price moreover under certain conditions regarding the composition of buyers the number of firms and the distribution of costs across firms the effects of signaling and market externality cancel each other in other words the profits under signaling cournot equal the profits of a cartel in a full information environment

informing consumers about their own preferences we analyze a model of monopolistic price discrimination where only some consumers are originally sufficiently informed about their preferences e g about their future demand for a utility such as electricity or telecommunication when more consumers become informed we show that this benefits also those consumers who remain uninformed as it reduces the firm s incentives to extract information rent by reducing the costs of information acquisition or forcing firms to supply consumers with the respective information about past usage policy can further improve welfare as contracts become more efficient the last observation stands in contrast to earlier findings by cremer and khalil american economic review 1992 where all consumers are uninformed

costly buyer search in a differentiated products model an experimental study this study examines whether the content of buyer information and the timing of its dissemination affects seller market power we construct laboratory markets with differentiated goods and costly buyer search in which sellers simultaneously post prices the experiment varies the information on price or product characteristics that buyers learn under different timing assumptions pre and postsearch generating four information treatments theory predicts that price information lowers the equilibrium price but information about product characteristics increases the equilibrium price that is contrary to intuition the presence of informed buyers may impart a negative externality on other uninformed buyers data support the model s negative externality result when sellers face a large number of robot buyers that are programmed to search optimally observed prices conform to the model s comparative statics and are broadly consistent with predicted levels with human buyers however excessive search instigates increased price competition and sellers post prices that are significantly lower than predicted

estimation of limited dependent variable models with dummy endogenous regressors applied economists have long struggled with the question of how to accommodate binary endogenous regressors in models with binary and nonnegative outcomes i argue here that much of the difculty with limited dependent variables comes from a focus on structural parameters such as index coefcients instead of causal effects once the object of estimation is taken to be the causal effect of treatment several simple strategies are available these include conventional two stage least squares multiplicative models for conditional means linear approximation of nonlinear causal models models for distribution effects and quantile regression with an endogenous binary regressor the estimation strategies discussed in the article are illustrated by using multiple births to estimate the effect of childbearing on employment status and hours of work

consumer information and firm pricing negative externalities from improved information we analyze the effect of consumer information on firm pricing in a model where consumers search for prices and matches with products we consider two types of consumers uninformed consumers do not know in advance their match values with firms whereas informed consumers do prices are lower the greater the proportion of uninformed consumers hence uninformed consumers exert a positive externality on the others in contrast to standard results this leads to socially excessive investment in gathering prior information when aggregate demand is price sensitive

a causal interpretation of extensive and intensive margin effects in generalized tobit models the usual decomposition of effects in corner solution models into extensive and intensive margins is generally incompatible with a causal interpretation this paper proposes a decomposition based on the joint distribution of potential outcomes which is meaningful in a causal sense the difference between decompositions can be substantial and yield diametrically opposed results as shown in a standard tobit model example in a generalized tobit application exploring the effect of reducing firm entry regulation on bilateral trade flows between countries estimates suggest that using the usual decomposition would overstate the contribution of the extensive margin by around 15

let them eat cake a note on comparing alternative models of the demand for medical care this article comments on the rand econometric approach to estimating and testing models of the demand for medical care as typified in duan et al 1983 the rand methodology is contrasted with more mainstream econometric approaches to similar empirical problems as developed in the sample selection literature it is shown that despite rand s claim their approach requires some fairly unusual assumptions on the model joint error distribution and functional form alternatively their model likelihood functions may be interpreted as being nested in more general sample selection model likelihood functions with easily testable parameter restrictions

comparative advertising disclosing horizontal match information improved consumer information about horizontal aspects of products of similar quality leads to better consumer matching but also to higher prices so consumer surplus can go up or down while profits rise with enough quality asymmetry though the higher quality and hence larger firm s price falls with more information so both effects benefit consumers this occurs when comparative advertising is used against a large firm by a small one comparative advertising as it imparts more information therefore helps consumers although it also improves the profitability of the small firm overall welfare goes down because of the large loss to the attacked firm

a comparison of alternative models for the demand for medical care we have tested alternative models of the demand for medical care using experimental data the estimated response of demand to insurance plan is sensitive to the model used we therefore use a split sample analysis and find that a model that more closely approximates distributional assumptions and uses a nonparametric retransformation factor performs better in terms of mean squared forecast error simpler models are inferior either because they are not robust to outliers e g anova anocova or because they are inconsistent when strong distributional assumptions are violated e g a two parameter box cox transformation

can prominence matter even in an almost frictionless market consumer search on the internet is rarely random sponsored links appear higher up a webpage and consumers often click them firms also bid aggressively for these prominent positions at the top of the page but why should prominence matter when visiting an additional website is almost costless i present a model in which consumers know their valuations for the products offered in the market but do not know which retailer sells which product i show that a prominent retailer earns significantly more profit than other firms even when the cost of searching websites and comparing products is essentially zero

persistence in u s state unemployment rates romero avila and usabiaga 2007 find that many u s state unemployment rates are stationary a result at odds with the traditional view that unemployment rates are path dependent and subject to shocks that have permanent effects they base their results on multivariate unit root tests that provide for two breaks in mean this note extends the analysis to directly examine whether the series were fractionally integrated when no allowance is made for breaking means the results suggest evidence in favor of hysteresis an outcome that generally applies when one break in mean is considered allowing for two breaks demonstrates that the evidence in favor of the natural rate and the hysteresis hypotheses is temporally sensitive