banking technology and the existence of a consistent output aggregate abstract this paper addresses the question of the existence of a consistent output aggregate in banking specific necessary and sufficient conditions for output aggregation are developed and tested in the context of a second order approximation to any arbitrary multi product bank cost function the analysis provides evidence that a composite aggregate measure of output fails to provide a proper representation of banking technology and therefore previous studies that used aggregate output measures may well be subject to specification errors

financial firm production of monetary services a generalized symmetric baroett variable profit function approach an alternative monetary production model of financial firms is employed to investigate supply side monetary aggregation financial firms are conceived to produce monetary services as outputs through financial intermediation a new method for testing the existence of consistent monetary output aggregates in financial firms production technology is developed in terms of a multiproduct firm s variable profit function and the method does not require homotheticity of the aggregator function we use a generalized symmetric barnett flexible functional form that specification satisfies global curvature conditions and retains its flexibility under the null hypothesis of weak separability neither of those properties is possessed by other flexible functional forms

estimation of economies of scale in banking using a generalized functional form this paper addresses four issues that arise in the estimation of economies of scale in the commercial banking industry first a common assumption underlying many of the studies of economies of scale in banking is the assumption of a cobb douglas production function with exogenous input prices the use of a cobb douglas production function facilitates the estimation of the output elasticity of cost however there does not appear to be any other reason a priori for such an assumption this paper utilizes a box cox hereafter b c generalized functional form methodology to directly test the assumption of an underlying cobb douglas production function second if the assumption of a cobb douglas production function is inappropriate as a description of the production process of the financial firm estimates of the output elasticity may be biased the sensitivity of the estimates of this elasticity to the choice of functional form can also be examined through the use of a generalized functional form methodology third no general consensus has been reached regarding the appropriate definition of bank output thus a diversity of measures of bank output have been employed in previous estimates of economies of scale in banking the sensitivity of the estimated output elasticity of cost to the selection of several alternative measures of output is examined through the use of the generalized functional form methodology finally the b c estimates of the cost function for commercial banks can be used

banking costs generalized functional forms and estimation of economies of scale and scope recently researchers have claimed that the primitive cobb douglas production technology captures banking cost functions adequately these findings rule out scope economies and u shaped cost curves the rejection of the generalized flexible form postulated by the above authors is a necessary but not a sufficient condition to justify a cobb douglas specification using restricted generalized functional forms the authors find that the composite output cobb douglas specification is an inadequate description of banking cost technology translog specifications with multiple products capture the data best suggesting the presence of both scope and scale economies copyright 1989 by ohio state university press

rain and the democratic window of opportunity according to the economic approach to political transitions negative transitory economic shocks can give rise to a window of opportunity for democratic change we examine this hypothesis using yearly rainfall variation over the 1980 2004 period in 41 sub saharan african countries we find that a 25 drop in rainfall increases the probability of a transition to democracy during the following two years by around 3 percentage points a 5 fall in income due to low rainfall raises the probability of democratization by around 7 percentage points we also find that rainfall does not affect transitions from democracy to autocracy

an empirical investigation of changes in scale economies for the commercial banking firm 1979 1986 the period of the 1980s represents a particularly turbulent time for the banking industry a number of technological and regulatory changes have occurred including the elimination of regulation q which had limited the explicit interest payments that banks could pay on some types of deposits it would be expected that these changes would affect the structure of costs for banks the behavior of the cost function is studied over the 1979 1986 time period and in contrast to previous studies using earlier data increasing economies of scale are found in the later years for banks in both unit and branch banking states these results indicate that there may be increased cost pressure for smaller banks to become larger either through mergers and acquisitions or through internal growth this may lead to further consolidation pressures within the industry and reductions in the overall number of banking firms copyright 1991 by ohio state university press

rainfall and conflict a cautionary tale abstract there is evidence that in some contexts income shocks cause conflict the literature demonstrating this relationship uses rainfall shocks to instrument for income shocks arguing that in agriculturally dependent regions negative rain shocks lower income which incites violence this identification strategy relies on the assumption that rainfall shocks affect conflict only through their impacts on income this paper evaluates this exclusion restriction in the context of religious conflict in india using data on dam construction i identify districts that are downstream from irrigation dams and show that income in these areas is much less sensitive to rainfall fluctuations however rain shocks remain equally strong predictors of riot incidence in these districts i explore other channels through which rainfall might affect conflict

a model of the financial firm with imperfect asset and deposit elasticities abstract the paper develops an intertemporal model to estimate the production technology of financial firms such as banks price taking is testable in each separate market for assets and liabilities and competitive price taking is a nested special case such tests are applied both to outputs and inputs empirical results for a sample of banks in new york and new jersey indicate that price taking applies only in markets for labor and time deposits in markets for loans demand deposits cash and materials the price taking hypothesis is not accepted

economic determinants of land invasions this study estimates the effect of economic conditions on redistributive conflict we examine land invasions in brazil using a panel data set with over 50 000 municipality year observations adverse eco nomic shocks instrumented by rainfall cause the rural poor to invade and occupy large landholdings this effect exhibits substantial heterogeneity by land inequality and land tenure systems but not by other observable variables in highly unequal municipalities negative income shocks cause twice as many land invasions as in municipalities with average land inequality cross sectional estimates using fine within region variation also suggest the importance of land inequality in explaining redistributive conflict i introduction c onflict over land is endemic to many rural econo mies in environments marked by a highly skewed distribution of property incomplete land and credit markets poorly or unevenly enforced property rights and weak political institutions agents often resort to extralegal means to improve their economic positions the poor frequently invade private properties and occupy them until either forcibly expelled or granted official titles land conflict which is prevalent in many countries such as brazil south africa uganda and venezuela may distort the allocation of resources in the agricultural sector away from productive uses and thereby contribute to the persistence of rural poverty how do economic conditions affect this redistrib utive conflict this paper explores this question using a rich municipal level data set of 5 299 land invasions from 1988 to 2004 in brazil we follow miguel satyanath and sergenti 2004 by using rainfall as a source of exogenous variation to study the relationship between income and conflict and we find that adverse economic shocks cause the rural poor to invade large landholdings this effect exhibits considerable het erogeneity by land inequality and land tenure systems in highly unequal municipalities negative income shocks cause twice as many land invasions as in municipalities with average land inequality the effect of income shocks is even stronger in highly polarized municipalities as measured by the degree of bimodality in the land distribution cross sectional estimates using fine within region variation also suggest the importance of land inequality in explaining redistributive conflict we also find that income shocks cause significantly more land invasions in municipalities with a greater proportion of land under fixed rent contracts by contrast we find no evidence of heterogeneity on a range of other political and socioeconomic variables including political competition sharecropping police expenditures and social welfare spending recent microeconometric studies have examined two

child schooling child health and rainfall shocks evidence from rural vietnam abstractwe study the effect of rainfall shocks on child schooling outcomes and on standardised height for age a measure of child health in rural vietnam we find that adverse rainfall shocks during pregnancy adversely affect children s school entry delay and progress through school adverse rainfall shocks in the third year of life adversely affect both schooling and child health these effects differ by region as a result of constraints that reflect regional economic heterogeneity we predict that policies that help rural families smooth income shocks will result in increases in human capital and in substantial cumulative returns over a worker s working life

a review on global wind energy policy with the increasing negative effects of fossil fuel combustion on the environment in addition to limited stock of fossil fuel have forced many countries to inquire into and change to environmentally friendly alternatives that are renewable to sustain the increasing energy demand energy policy plays a vital role to mitigate the impacts of global warming and crisis of energy availability this paper explores the wind energy industry from the point of view of the wind energy policy it is noticed that energy policy could help increasing wind power generation as well as stimulating the energy industry it may be stated that without specific energy policy a country would not be able to solve the acute problems like reducing greenhouse gases ghgs emission scarcity of energy etc this paper discussed the existing successful energy policies for few selected countries based on literatures it has been found that fit rps incentives pricing law and quota system are the most useful energy policies practiced by many countries around the world then status of wind energy policy for malaysia was investigated and compared with few selected countries around the world

the economic impacts of climate change evidence from agricultural output and random fluctuations in weather fisher et al 2012 hereafter fhrs have uncovered coding and data errors in our paper deschenes and greenstone 2007 hereafter dg we acknowledge and are embarrassed by these mistakes we are grateful to fhrs for uncovering them we hope that this reply will also contribute to advancing the literature on the vital question of the impact of climate change on the us agricultural sector fhrs main critiques of dg are as follows i there are errors in the weather data and climate change projections used by dg ii the climate change projections are based on the hadley 2 model and scenarios rather than the more recent hadley 3 model and scenarios iii standard errors are biased due to spatial correlation iv the inclusion of state by year fixed effects does not leave enough weather variation to obtain meaningful estimates of the relationship between agriculture profits and weather v storage and inventory adjustment in response to yield shocks invalidate the use of annual profit data and vi fhrs argue that a better specified hedonic model produces robust estimates unlike the results reported in dg four of these critiques have little basis and we respond to them here in the introduction specifically with respect to ii the more recent daily climate predictions were not available when we wrote dg nevertheless the most important issue is providing the reliable estimates of climate change and in this note we report estimates based on the climate model we used in dg and a more recent one that we gained access to in the meantime iii in the primary table on agricultural profits dg reports two sets of standard errors with the first clustered at the county level and the second based on a variance covariance matrix that accounts for spatial correlation using the method proposed in conley 1999 thus the claim of fhrs 2012 seems overblown nevertheless to ease comparisons of papers in this literature this note will adopt the fhrs convention of reporting estimated standard errors clustered at the county and state levels we find that inference is largely unaffected by the choice between these different assumptions about the variance covariance matrix

substitution possibilities and determinants of energy intensity for china abstract this paper measures technological change factor demand and inter factor and inter fuel substitutability measures for china we use individual fuel price data and a two stage approach to estimate total factor cost functions and fuel share equations both inter factor and inter fuel substitution elasticities are calculated and the change in energy intensity is decomposed into its driving forces the results suggest that energy is substitutable for capital regionally and for labor nationally capital substitutes for energy more easily than labor does energy intensity changes vary by region but the major drivers seem to be budget effect and the adoption of energy intensive technologies which might be embodied in high level energy using exports and sectors capital investment and even old technique and equipment imports whether the trend in rising energy intensity continues will be significant for china and the rest of the world

can market oriented economic reforms contribute to energy efficiency improvement evidence from china since china accelerated its market oriented economic reforms at the end of 1992 its energy intensity has declined 3 6 annually over 1993 2005 however its energy intensity declined 4 2 annually during its first reform period 1979 1992 therefore can we conclude that the accelerated marketization since the end of 1992 has made no contribution to its energy efficiency improvement in order to answer this challenging question we examine the changes of energy own price elasticity as well as the elasticities of substitution between energy and non energy capital and labor in china during the periods of 1979 1992 and 1993 2003 generally in transition or developing economies holding the technology and output level fixed if the energy own price elasticity algebraic value declines or the substitution elasticity between factors rises they will contribute to energy efficiency improvement our empirical study finds that 1 during 1979 1992 the energy own price elasticity is positive 0 285 and capital energy labor energy are both morishima complementary which indicates a distorted energy price and inefficient allocation and 2 during 1993 2003 the own price elasticity for energy is negative 1 236 and capital energy and labor energy are both morishima substitute all factor demands become more elastic and all elasticities of substitution increase the implication is that the accelerated marketization contributes substantially to energy efficiency improvement since 1993 c 2006 elsevier ltd all rights reserved

a banking explanation of the us velocity of money 1919 2004 the paper shows that us gdp velocity of m1 money has exhibited long cycles around a 1 25 per year upward trend during the 1919 2004 period it explains the velocity cycles through shocks constructed from a dsge model and annual time series data ingram et al 1994 model velocity is stable along the balanced growth path which features endogenous growth and decentralized banking hat produces exchange credit positive shocks to credit productivity and money supply increase velocity as money demand falls while positive goods productivity shock raises temporary output and velocity the paper explains such velocity volatility at both business cycle and long run frequencies with filtered velocity turning negative starting during the 1930s and the 1987 crashes and again around 2003 results suggest that the money and credit shocks appear to be more important for velocity during less stable times and the goods productivity shock more important during stable times

deregulation and growth in china s energy sector a review of recent development dramatic changes have taken place in china s energy sector over the past decade these changes have important implications for energy consumption trade production and regulatory policies in china and beyond the objective of this paper is to review some of the key issues associated with deregulation and growth in china s energy sector specifically the paper presents a survey of recent reforms in this sector it also analyses the impact of deregulation on energy policy ownership foreign investment and trade and sheds some lights on the sources of growth in china s energy sector

a note on cost structure and economies of scale in greek banking abstract this note studies the greek banking industry in 1980 1989 in order to estimate a representative cost structure functional form and search for economies of scale the constructed model uses a translogarithmic cost function that includes the size of assets capital labor and technological progress by using this model which has been used by benston et al 1982 hunter and timme 1986 and others we have been able to estimate for the first time an econometric form of the costs in greek banking and we have been able to investigate economies of scale in the greek banking industry although operating cost scale economies do exist total cost scale economies were not present this has been shown through the utilization of a large sample of pooled data of all greek banks for a period of ten years and the use of two other samples of large and small banks moreover by exploiting the properties of the model we shall be able to show whether technological progress has been a factor which lowers bank costs

the integration of major fuel source markets in china evidence from panel cointegration tests abstract the paper tests for energy price co movement in china over the new regime as part of a strategy to test for the existence of a national energy market panel cointegration test statistics suggest that not all energy commodities are spatially homogenous in prices and the processes of energy price cointegration are different over time and over groups of fuels the statistics demonstrate china s gradual spatially partial and idiosyncratic energy reform process coal and electricity price series have co moved since 2003 while the national panel cointegration test statistics suggest that gasoline and diesel price series have co moved since 1997 regional panel tests also show that there are apparently differences in the emergence of energy price co movement this suggests that regional energy markets have emerged in china one of the important lessons of the research is that an energy market has to some extent already emerged in china and as a consequence energy prices are much less distorted than previously if correct this fact is of major global significance both in terms of future environmental effects and future trade and investment negotiations as china is seen internationally as a market driven economy

traditional and nontraditional banking an information theoretic approach abstract this paper uses a multiproduct approach to analyze the costs of a sample of large banks where bank outputs are measured to account for the different types of information produced by banks diseconomies of scope are found between traditional banking activities of originating and monitoring loans and nontraditional activities of loan selling and buying this suggests maintaining fire walls between commercial bank functions and investment bank functions after the glass steagall act is repealed will not sacrifice joint production economies it also suggests that arguments for repeal of the act based on the existence of such economies are ill founded

product line deregulation and the cost structure of us savings and loan associations recent legislative actions restrict thrift powers which were broadened by deregulatory actions in the early 1980s using nationwide data for savings and loans s ls evidence is found that these restrictions may rise intermediation costs for s ls by limiting their ability to exploit economies of scope between mortgage related and other outputs in addition economies of scale for a wide size range of s ls are found evidence is also found to suggest that insolvent s ls have higher costs for the same level of outputs than solvent s ls

banks as multioutput oligopolies an empirical evaluation of the retail and corporate banking markets the distinction between retail and corporate banking markets is of much importance in real life banking organizations the two markets differ with respect to concentration the importance of informational asymmetries and the extent of customer mobility within a standard conjectural variation model estimated on cost efficient banks as well as on the full sample of banks the authors empirically characterize the strategic behavior in each of these markets and also focus on cross market interactions to see whether initial moves in one market affect the equilibrium in the other market they compare their findings to the predictions that would follow from merely considering concentration ratios such as the herfindahl index

can lng increase competitiveness in the natural gas market the article develops an oligopoly model to analyze the potential role of lng in the liberalization of gas market the assumptions of the model and its results are then discussed using the forecasts of gas demand and production for the next two or three decades

an imbalanced development of coal and electricity industries in china china s coal and electricity industries have a strong reliance on each other however because of excessive invasion of government it is difficult for these two industries to form a stable reasonable and transaction cost saving relationships but long run disputes and quarrels this paper discusses the pricing policies and transaction relationship between these two industries from the historical perspective it begins with the discussion of coal coal market has become competitive since 1980 due to the system of dual track approach but coal sold to electricity was still tightly controlled by government guided pricing then the paper examines electricity investment and tariff reform unlike coal entry to electricity generation sector was gradually relaxed but generation and retailing tariffs are still strictly regulated as energy demand and prices soared after 2002 coal and electricity enterprises are all unsatisfied with the rule of price setting of coal sold to electricity industry this paper concludes that the deliberate low coal price policy does protect electricity industry from fuel cost fluctuation but harm coal industry allocative and productive efficiency are difficult to achieve in the long run

rethinking the economics of water an assessment water is rising on the policy agenda as population growth and climate change intensify scarcity shocks and access inequalities the conventional economic policy recommendations privatization pricing and property rights have struggled due to a failure to account adequately for the politics of water and the associated distributional conflicts we identify distinctive social and physical characteristics of water supply and demand and explore their implications for three central areas of water policy financing infrastructure pricing and property rights reform growing dependence on groundwater and non networked water supplies exacerbates these challenges and reinforces the need to rethink the economics of water and tackle the political challenges head on meeting the water sustainable development goals would require institutional and technological innovations to supply allocate and manage water as well as a sustained political and financial commitment to address those who might be left behind

economies of superscale in commercial banking most previous studies of scale economies in banking have excluded banks larger than 1 billion in assets thus study by contrast estimates cost functions for the 100 largest us commercial banks hedonic terms are incorporated to correct for the aggregated nature of the call report data available for these banks in addition we attempt to quantify the cost benefit of diversification in the model we estimate efficient bank scale to range from 15 billion to 37 billion in total assets a thousandfold increase over some previous findings these results are supported by comparison of actual average costs as well as by casual historical observation and the level of widespread concern over interstate banking our findings suggest some cost incentive or benefit to expansion or consolidation among large regional banks including interstate expansion or consolidation

scale elasticity versus scale efficiency in banking in the early bank cost literature many of the studies found scale elasticities significantly different from unity as a result the authors suggested that changes in industry structure could produce cost savings through increased efficiency recent bank cost studies improved upon previous methodologies by utilizing flexible functional forms accounting for multiproduct production processes estimating scale measures at both the branch and firm level distinguishing between branch and unit bank technologies resulting from regulatory restrictions etc the typical finding from the recent studies is that relatively minor scale economies exist in banking since the scale elasticity measure differs little from a value of unity this reported finding is usually followed by a general statement that banks operate relatively efficiently with respect to the scale of production and that the potential cost gains from exploiting scale advantages via merger or growth activities appear to be relatively minor the implication from the conclusions drawn by the authors of numerous studies is that scale elasticity and scale efficiency are essentially synonymous the derivation of one automatically provides an accurate or approximate value for the other the purpose of this article is to bring attention to a common confusion in the literature between two relatively straightforward concepts scale elasticity and scale efficiency the bank production process is one of the most extensively researched aspects of bank behavior until recently however studies have not typically evaluated scale efficiency instead scale elasticity estimates have been used as a proxy for efficiency and elasticity measures close to 1 0 are taken to imply that scale inefficiency is trivial scale inefficiency is typically assumed to be linearly

does rainfall matter for economic growth evidence from global sub national data 1990 2014 much micro econometric evidence suggests that precipitation has wide ranging impacts on vital economic indicators such as agricultural yields human capital and even conflict and yet paradoxically most macro econometric evidence especially in the climate economy literature finds that precipitation has no robust and significant impact on various measures of aggregate economic output this paper argues that spatial aggregation of weather at the country level explains this result the paper uses annual subnational gross domestic product data to show a concave relationship between precipitation and local gross domestic product growth between 1990 and 2014 it then demonstrates that when the data are aggregated at larger spatial scales the impact decreases and eventually vanishes the impact of precipitation on aggregate economic activity is predominantly felt in developing countries it is insignificant in developed countries agriculture is found to be the dominant pathway the results have significant consequences for measuring the economic impacts of climate change

determinants of china s energy imports an empirical analysis sustained economic growth in china has triggered a surge of energy imports especially oil imports this paper investigates the determinants of china s energy import demand by using cointegraiton and vecm techniques the findings suggest that in the long run growth of industrial production and expansion of transport sectors affect china s oil imports while domestic energy output has a substitution effect thus as the chinese economy industrializes and the automotive sector expands china s oil imports are likely to increase though china s domestic oil production has a substitution effect on imports its growth is limited due to scarce domestic reserve and high exploration costs it is anticipated that china will be more dependent on overseas oil supply regardless of the world oil price

gradual reforms and the emergence of energy market in china evidence from tests for convergence of energy prices this study investigates the emergence of energy markets by testing for convergence of energy prices with a new dataset on energy spot prices in 35 major cities in china both descriptive statistics and unit root are employed to test the convergence of energy prices for each of four fuel price series the whole study period is divided into two sub periods in order to reconcile the gradual energy reforms the results show the steady improvement in energy market performance in china especially during the second sub period which suggests that the market appears to be playing an increasing role in determining energy prices while panel unit root tests show energy markets are integrated in china as a whole city by city univariate unit root tests suggest that there are still many regional energy markets probably because energy reserves especially coal vary widely across regions since china s energy economy is gradually moving towards market oriented mechanisms the existing literature may become obsolete soon

the emergence and evolution of regional convergence clusters in china s energy markets employing the new regression tests for convergence club convergence and clustering proposed by phillips and sul 2007 this paper models and analyses the behaviour of china s energy sectors energy market convergence clusters are identified using new price data and their regional spatial distributions are mapped for four major fuel types coal gasoline diesel and electricity the findings are as follows i as yet there are no fully integrated national energy markets in china as more than one convergence cluster is identified for all four fuels ii some regional energy markets can be regarded as quite mature as evidenced by the existence of some highly concentrated convergence clusters connected geographically iii some regional markets remain in a state of transition as witnessed by convergence clusters that are scattered geographically and that are growing in membership iv it seems that there is more regional based integration for coal and electricity than for gasoline and diesel as more convergent clusters were identified for coal and electricity than for gasoline and diesel and v overall china still appears to be in the process of energy market integration as demonstrated by the number and evolution of convergence clusters over time

measuring financial service output and prices in commercial banking despite the importance of commercial banks as a major provider of financial services a bank output price index for financial services has not been developed this paper derives such an index from the economic theory of financial firms and the application of the user cost of money concept the derived index is superlative non parametric and the tornqvist type an empirical application using the federal reserve s functional cost analysis data for banks with deposits over 200 millions dollars shows that these banks experienced an output growth of 7 over the years 1985 88 and financial services prices declined by 2

looking through the dataquadrate characterizing the human environment relationship through economic hedonic ecological and demographic measures abstract this paper introduces the concept of plotting four dimensional data in two dimensions without loss of information namely the dataquadrate concept here objects are represented as quadrates instead of points in a practical 4 axis cartesian coordinate system this procedure helps us imagine and analyze complex relations where four different non negative variables influence processes this tool is of high utility for analyzing specific human environment issues here we analyze a monetary measure gross domestic product gdp a hedonic measure subjective wellbeing a limiting measure ecological footprint and a demographic measure human population our system adds new insights to the de growth debate discussed in a journal of cleaner production special issue vol 18 2010 and systematically illuminates lots of confusing paradoxes such as the downward sloping part of the environmental kuznets curve the jevons paradox and the easterlin paradox in this paper all these phenomena are analyzed for the usa and for china in 1990 and in 2007 by utilizing such methodology when mitigating environmental problems we are not limited to negative restrictive messages but are enabled to create new strategic ways of problem solving about how to optimize the human celestial footprint the ratio of human wellbeing to human environmental load

money velocity in an endogenous growth business cycle with credit shocks the explanation of velocity has been based in substitution and income effects since keynes s 1923 interest rate explanation and friedman s 1956 application of the permanent income hypothesis to money demand modern real business cycle theory relies on a goods productivity shocks to mimic the data s procyclic velocity feature as in friedman s explanation while finding money shocks unimportant and not integrating financial innovation explanations this paper sets the model within endogenous growth and adds credit shocks it models velocity more closely with significant roles for money shocks and credit shocks along with the goods productivity shocks endogenous growth is key to the construction of the money and credit shocks since they have similar effects on velocity through substitution effects from changes in the nominal interest rate and in the cost of financial intermediation but opposite effects upon growth through permanent income effects that are absent with exogenous growth

technical change organizational form and the structure of bank production of those technological characteristics related to the nature of competition among firms in an industry or market scale economies and technical change are especially important economies of scale are said to exist when an equiproportional increase in all inputs results in a greater than proportional increase in output or equivalently when an increase in output at constant input prices leads to a less than proportional increase in total costs thus average costs decline as output expands depending upon the extent to which costs decline as output increases regulation of the firms in the industry may be necessary l the literature analyzing scale economies in commercial banking is voluminous the early studies on scale economies in banking include those by benston 1965 1972 greenbaum 1967 murphy 1972 and bell and murphy 1968 more recent studies include those by benston hanweck and humphrey 1982 and clark 1984 2 this literature has established that mild scale economies exist in bank

macro micro feedback links of water management in south africa cge analyses of selected policy regimes the pressure on an already stressed water situation in south africa is predicted to increase significantly under climate change plans for large industrial expansion observed rapid urbanization and government programs to provide access to water to millions of previously excluded people the present study employed a general equilibrium approach to examine the economy wide impacts of selected macro and water related policy reforms on water use and allocation rural livelihoods and the economy at large the analyses reveal that implicit crop level water quotas reduce the amount of irrigated land allocated to higher value horticultural crops and create higher shadow rents for production of lower value water intensive field crops such as sugarcane and fodder accordingly liberalizing local water allocation in irrigation agriculture is found to work in favor of higher value crops and expand agricultural production and exports and farm employment allowing for water trade between irrigation and non agricultural uses fueled by higher competition for water from industrial expansion and urbanization leads to greater water shadow prices for irrigation water with reduced income and employment benefits to rural households and higher gains for non agricultural households the analyses show difficult tradeoffs between general economic gains and higher water prices making irrigation subsidies difficult to justify

prices technology development and the rebound effect abstract energy efficiency is the critical parameter for policies that aim at reducing energy consumption while maintaining or even boosting economic growth the two main options to influence energy efficiency are changes in relative prices i e raising the price of energy through economic instruments or to introduce new technologies which increase the productivity of each unit of energy this paper is based on the notion that in an equilibrium economy the marginal economic productivity is identical for all factors i e energy labour knowledge and capital from this premise two main conclusions can be drawn first any change in price or technology will have an impact on the whole economy by creating feedbacks through the substitution of factors of production and goods as well as increased wealth second the two policy approaches changing relative prices and technology development are not opposite to each other they are the two faces of the same reality and should be developed and promoted simultaneously and consistently

mergers and technical efficiency in spanish savings banks a stochastic distance function approach abstract the aim of this paper is to test the temporal variation of technical efficiency of spanish savings banks during the period 1985 1998 furthermore we test whether merged and non merged firms have different levels and temporal patterns of technical efficiency a stochastic output distance function r w shephard theory of cost and production functions princeton university press princeton nj is employed to accommodate multiple output technology the distance function provides the advantage that it does not need information about prices so it can accommodate the multi product nature of the financial sector only using the quantities as data an important point when the assumptions about perfectly competitive markets are unlikely to be met the temporal variation of efficiency is modeled extending the battese and coelli journal of productivity analysis 3 1992 153 169 approach in two ways relaxing the monotonicity of the temporal variation pattern of the efficiency term and allowing for different patterns of efficiency change between merged and non merged firms

inflation investment and growth a money and banking approach output growth investment and the real interest rate in long run evidence tend to be negatively affected by inflation theoretically inflation acts as a human capital tax that decreases output growth and the real interest rate but increases the investment rate opposing evidence this paper resolves this puzzle by requiring exchange for investment as well as consumption inflation then decreases the investment rate and still decreases both output growth and real interest up to some moderately high rate of inflation above which increasingly low investment finally causes capital to fall relative to labour and the real interest rate to rise

empirical analysis of the environmental and energy policies in some developing countries using widely employed macroeconomic indicators the cases of brazil china and india abstract this paper proposes an empirical analysis concerning the environmental and energy policies of some important developing countries brazil china and india today present in the international scenario with very different features than in the past the research is carried out using two of the most important macroeconomic indicators several times proposed in the field of policy analysis emission intensity ratio and energy intensity ratio moreover the emission intensity ratio is used in order to verify the empirical existence of the so called environmental kuznets curve for the three countries for what concerns this last point final results do not correspond closely to the theoretical strict formulations hypothesised in the classical environmental kuznets curve model this paper follows completing and concluding the previous one carried out by the same author for some industrialised countries after a brief but ineluctable premise considering the theoretical basic assumptions to define the question and regarding general statements the specific cases are analysed main findings show that resulting trends in these developing countries are different and furthermore they differ from those already observed in industrialised ones

dots to boxes do the size and shape of spatial units jeopardize economic geography estimations this paper evaluates in the context of economic geography estimates the magnitude of the distortions arising from the choice of zoning system which is also known as the modifiable areal unit problem maup we consider three standard economic geography exercises the analysis of spatial concentration agglomeration economies and trade determinants using various french zoning systems differentiated according to the size and shape of spatial units which are the two main determinants of the maup while size matters a little shape does so much less both dimensions seem to be of secondary importance compared to specification issues

can a water market avert the double whammy of trade reform and lead to a win win outcome abstract this paper focuses on the linkages between water and trade policies using morocco as a case this country is typical of many in that policy protects its import competing agricultural and industrial sectors while water in irrigated agriculture is priced below its marginal value product changing water policy without correcting for these other distortions leads to a more inefficient allocation of water on the other hand reforming trade policy alone can make farmers growing crops protected pre reform worse off using an intertemporal applied general equilibrium model we find that trade reform actually creates an opportunity to pursue water policy reform creating a water user rights market post trade reform not only compensates for the decline in farmers profits caused by the trade reform but also raises the efficiency of water allocation and hence benefits the economy as a whole

international comparison of bank production characteristics and technological change in this paper we conduct an international comparison of bank production and technological characteristics the comparison is performed using novel evidence on changes in labour demand over the period 1980 89 for banks headquartered in canada france west germany italy japan and the united states the results suggest that there is relatively low substitutability of labour for capital in the production process of these banking organizations significant scale economies were found with regards to the expansion of output and the concomitant increase in labour in addition technological change operated to lower the quantity of inputs needed to produce a given level of outputs and increased the minimum efficient size bank over the sample period many of the production characteristics and technology effects varied significantly across countries these findings imply that intercountry differences in production characteristics and technological change should be explicitly recognized in bank strategic planning

branching restrictions and banking costs abstract previous research of banking costs has been limited by the choice of the functional form irregularities in the estimated cost functions and a failure to rigorously examine the difference between banks in branching states and banks in unit banking states this paper addresses these shortcomings banks are modelled as three input three output cost minimizing firms a three equation system is estimated using 1985 functional cost analysis data the findings indicate that banks in unit banking states experience diseconomies of scale banks in branching states experience diseconomies of scale at the bank level but economies of scale at the branch level we also find evidence of economies of scope for branch state banks but not for unit state banks

the economics of water scarcity and variability does the availability or variability of water matter for the economy does it meaningfully impact the growth and development trajectory of a country it may seem surprising that answers to these most basic of questions remain elusive the aim of this paper is to summarize recent work on the economic impacts of water scarcity and variability the paper finds that there is strong evidence that variations in rainfall and water availability have significant impacts on particular sectors such as agriculture human capital and even conflict but paradoxically evidence of impacts on economic growth and other measures of aggregate economic activity remains ambiguous the paper explains reasons for this anomaly and explores the pathways through which water impacts the economy the paper provides a synthesis of key developments in the literature identifies methodological gaps and suggests policy solutions

water use and economic growth reconsidering the environmental kuznets curve relationship abstract predictions of national and global water use have been criticized for being inaccurate and for not taking into consideration economic development of the little research that does address water use as a function of economic development results are inconsistent but much claims to find clear evidence of an environmental kuznets curves ekc or inverted u type relationship this research attempts to elucidate the relationship between income growth and freshwater use by a evaluating a variety of cross sectional and panel datasets on water withdrawals and consumptive use b employing both traditional least squares and non parametric regression analysis the latter of which offers the advantage of not assuming a given functional form c testing both per capita and total water use and d comparing water withdrawals to consumptive use the research finds some support for the existence of an ekc but results are highly dependent on choice of datasets and statistical technique results are also sector specific and ekc curves prove to be poor indicators of individual country behavior as such the study points to limitations of ekcs in terms of water use policy and planning

thirty years after water privatization is the english model the envy of the world the paper considers whether water privatization 30 years ago has delivered the promised superior performance to nationalization which remains the dominant model in europe the paper sets out the arguments at privatization in particular in relation to efficiency the managerial incentives the role of private sector balance sheets in facilitating investment and the impacts on the cost of capital alternative explanations of relative performance notably the regulation model adopted are highlighted and the paper concludes by outlining an alternative model of water regulation which better marries up public responsibilities and private incentives

the environmental kuznets curve does one size fit all abstract this paper uses a new panel data set on state level sulfur dioxide and nitrogen oxide emissions from 1929 1994 to test the appropriateness of the one size fits all reduced form regression approach commonly used in the environmental kuznets curve literature empirical results provide initial evidence that an inverted u shape characterizes the relationship between per capita emissions and per capita incomes at the state level parameter estimates suggest however that previous studies which restrict cross sections to undergo identical experiences over time may be presenting statistically biased results

implementing china s national energy conservation policies at state owned electric power generation plants abstract china s 11th five year guideline identified energy conservation as one of the country s fundamental policies and established a mandatory target 20 reduction in national average energy intensity by 2010 despite the various policies laws and administrative reforms to support energy conservation china fell behind schedule for meeting its conservation targets in 2006 and 2007 using a combination of available literature and an interview based case study this paper examines the implementation of energy conservation and investigates impediments to achieving china s conservation goal in the electric power generation sector three key impediments are detailed 1 municipal governments incentives to overlook conservation related central directives primarily because of budget pressures linked to financial decentralization 2 procedural obstacles in the form of time required to obtain project approvals for high efficiency power generation units and 3 financial obstacles making it difficult for power generation enterprises to raise capital for energy conservation projects an interview based case study of a state owned coal fired electric power generation company demonstrates the influence of the aforementioned obstacles while procedural obstacles are notable they can be managed however electricity pricing reforms and or stronger subsidy programs will be needed to address the financial obstacles facing chinese power generation companies

efficiency in the commercial banking industry a production frontier approach 1990 efficiency in the commercial banking industry a production frontier approach applied economics vol 22 no 4 pp 539 551

under the weather health schooling and economic consequences of early life rainfall life in rural areas of developing countries is prone to many kinds of risk such as illness or mortality of household members crop or other income loss due to natural phenomena weather insect infestations or fire for example and civil conflict in addition to their contemporaneous effects the effects of certain types of shocks may still be felt many years or even decades later from a public policy standpoint it is particularly important to identify shocks that have large long run effects moreover the mechanics underlying the persistence of shocks may be of con siderable interest for example a health shock may have a long run effect simply because the health shock itself persists over time alternately the health shock may not directly affect long run outcomes but it could affect some other outcome such as educational attainment that helps determine long run well being in this paper we focus on shocks that occur at the very beginning of life we ask how sensi tive long run individual well being is to environmental conditions around the time of birth in particular we examine the effect of weather shocks around the time of birth on the adult health education and socioeconomic outcomes of indonesian women and men born between 1953 and 1974 in addition we attempt to shed light on the intervening pathways connecting early life rainfall to adult outcomes illuminating the roles of health and educational attainment in deter mining adult socioeconomic status this investigation has considerable data requirements it necessitates information on weather shocks experienced by individuals several decades earlier as well as detailed current informa tion on adult outcomes we use information in the indonesian family life surveys ifls on an individual s year and location of birth and link each individual in that survey to locality specific rainfall data for their birth year for individuals born in rural areas on whom we focus rainfall variation across space and time should generate corresponding variation in agricultural output and thus household income to deal with measurement error in the rainfall data we run instrumental variables regressions where variables for rainfall measured at slightly more distant rainfall stations serve as instruments for rainfall in the individual s birthplace and birth year we examine the impact of early life rainfall on a range of adult outcomes observed in 2000 we find that higher early life rainfall leads to improved health schooling and socioeconomic status for women women with 20 percent higher rainfall relative to normal local rainfall in their year and location of birth are 3 8 percentage points less likely to self report poor or very poor health they attain 0 57 centimeters greater height attain 0 22 more completed grades of

estimating input specific technical inefficiency the case of the tunisian banking industry abstract this paper presents an econometric model to estimate input specific technical efficiency iste in a panel data framework it extends the few existing models to estimate iste it can be applied to any flexible functional form and technical inefficiency is firm specific and time variant this model is applied to obtain estimates of technical inefficiency specific to factors of production in the tunisian banking industry it is shown that technical efficiency of labor and capital inputs are decreasing over time labor input is more inefficiently used than capital input and banks which are relatively more efficient in using capital input are less efficient in using labor input

the structure of technology in a multioutput branch banking firm we formulate and estimate a multioutput bank s cost function amenable for distinguishing between economies of scale and economies of network density we find significant returns to network density especially for smaller banks diseconomies of scale are found for the larger banks whereas the hypothesis of constant returns to scale could not be rejected for the smaller banks