total factor productivity and the environmental kuznets curve a comment and some intuition abstract chimeli and braden chimeli ariaster b braden john b 2005 total factor productivity and the environmental kuznets curve journal of environmental economics and management 49 366 380 derive a necessary and sufficient condition under which inter country differences in total factor productivity can yield an environmental kuznets curve they argue that their results emphasize the importance of differences in total factor productivity across countries as well as the need for decreasing returns to scale in pollution abating technologies for the existence of an environmental kuznets curve we show that their proposition 1 is equivalent to proposition 2 in lieb lieb christoph m 2002 the environmental kuznets curve and satiation a simple static model environment and development economics 7 429 448 this implies that even in chimeli and braden s model contemporaneous changes in the marginal rate of substitution between environmental quality and consumption on the demand side and the marginal rate of transformation between these goods on the supply side drive the pollution income relationship this is a very general condition that does not rely on either differences in total factor productivity or decreasing returns to scale in abatement and which is widely applicable

questioning the empirical basis of the environmental kuznets curve for co2 new evidence from a panel stationarity test robust to multiple breaks and cross dependence abstract this paper investigates the time series properties of per capita co2 emissions and per capita gdp levels for a sample of 86 countries over the period 1960 2000 for that purpose we employ a state of the art panel stationarity test which incorporates multiple shifts in level and slope thereby controlling for cross sectional dependence through bootstrap methods our analysis renders clear cut evidence that per capita gdp levels are nonstationary for the world as a whole while per capita co2 is found to be regime wise trend stationary the analysis of country groups shows that for africa and asia per capita co2 is best described as nonstationary while per capita gdp appears stationary around a broken trend in addition we find evidence of regime wise trend stationarity in both variables for the country groups consisting of america europe and oceania the results of our analysis carry important implications for the statistical modelling of the environmental kuznets curve for co2 since the differing order of integration in both variables for the world as a whole and for africa and asia calls into question the validity of panel cointegration techniques which assume that both variables are nonstationary and cointegrated with one another cointegration techniques would not be appropriate either for the case of america europe and oceania which are characterised by per capita gdp and co2 emissions being stationary around a broken trend similar conclusions are reached when we analyse country groups based on levels of development failure to properly characterise the time series properties of the data by not controlling for an unknown number of structural breaks and for cross sectional dependence could be responsible for the fragility and lack of robustness surrounding the estimation of environmental kuznets curves

wages profits and capital intensity evidence from matched worker firm data swedish data on workers matched with firms balance sheet reports are used to examine the relation between wages and firms ability to pay results indicate that experienced and highly educated workers are sorted into profitable firms wages are positively correlated with profits and the capital labor ratio after controlling for worker quality degree of effort supervision job characteristics local unemployment firms employment history and employer size lester s range of pay due to rent sharing is around 12 24 of the mean wage in sweden which is close to the estimates for the united states and united kingdom

impacts of meat product recalls on consumer demand in the usa the impact of meat product recall events on consumer demand beef pork poultry and other consumption goods in the usa is tested empirically beef pork and poultry recall indices are constructed from both the food safety inspection service s meat recall events and from newspaper reports over the period 1982 1998 following previous product recall studies recall indices are incorporated as shift variables in consumers demand functions estimating an absolute price version of the rotterdam demand model findings indicate that food safety inspection service s meat recall events significantly impact demand and newspaper reports do not moreover although elasticities related to recall events are significant they are small in magnitude relative to price and income effects any favourable effects on the demands of meat substitutes for a recall are offset by a more general negative effect on meat demand the general negative effect indicates a shift out of meat to non meat consumption goods

economic and welfare impacts of climate change on developing countries the impact of global climate change on developing countries is analyzed using cge multimarket models for three archetype economies representing the poor cereal importing nations of africa asia and latin america the objective is to compare the effects of climate change on the macroeconomic performance sectoral resource allocation and household welfare across continents simulations help identify those underlying structural features of economies which are the primary determinants of differential impacts these are suggestive of policy instruments to countervail undesirable effects results show that all these countries will potentially suffer income and production losses however africa with its low substitution possibilities between imported and domestic foods fares worst in terms of income losses and the drop in consumption of low income households countervailing policies to mitigate negative effects should focus on integration in the international market and the production of food crops in africa and on the production of export crops in latin america and asia

interactions between economic growth and environmental quality in shenzhen china s first special economic zone the relationship between economic development and environmental quality is a debated topic environmental kuznets curve ekc is one prominent hypothesis positing an inverted u shaped development environment relationship here we test this hypothesis using data from shenzhen people s republic of china established in 1980 as the first special economic zone in china shenzhen has developed from a small village into a large urban industrial agglomeration with the highest income level in the country the enormous expansion of infrastructure industrial sites and urban settlements has profoundly changed the local environment we utilize environmental monitoring data from shenzhen on concentration of pollutants in ambient air main rivers and near shore waters from 1989 to 2003 the results show that production induced pollutants support ekc while consumption induced pollutants do not support it c 2006 elsevier b v all rights reserved less

estimating the implied cost of carbon in future scenarios using a cge model the case of colorado abstract using colorado as a case study we develop a state level computable general equilibrium cge model that reflects the roles of coal natural gas wind solar and hydroelectricity in supplying electricity we focus on the economic impact of implementing colorado s existing renewable portfolio standard updated in 2013 this requires that 25 of state generation come from qualifying renewable sources by 2020 we evaluate the policy under a variety of assumptions regarding wind integration costs and assumptions on the persistence of federal subsidies for wind specifically we estimate the implied price of carbon as the carbon price at which a state level policy would pass a state level cost benefit analysis taking account of estimated greenhouse gas emission reductions and ancillary benefits from corresponding reductions in criteria pollutants our findings suggest that without the production tax credit federal aid the state policy of mandating renewable power generation rps is costly to state actors with an implied cost of carbon of about 17 per ton of co2 with a 3 discount rate federal aid makes the decision between natural gas and wind nearly cost neutral for colorado

maintaining and testing separability in demand systems we derive a general elasticity representation of the necessary and sufficient conditions for direct weak separability of the utility function parametric restrictions required to implement the separability conditions are presented for three common demand systems the almost ideal translog and rotterdam our empirical application uses the rotterdam model to test a few separable structures within a complete u s demand system emphasizing food commodities results based on size corrected likelihood ratio tests provide support for commonly used separability assumptions about food and meat demand

regional labor markets and the determinants of wage inequality from 1972 to 1990 the united states experienced the largest increase in wage inequality of any developed country the spread in log wages between the 90th and 10th percentiles of the male wage distribution increased by about 60 points and inequality increased within virtually every demographic or skill category of the labor force see chinhui juhn et al 1993 various explanations have been offered including changes in the relative demand for skill intensive goods international trade immigration of less skilled workers and increased labor force participation of women yet attempts to quantify the relative importance of these factors have not met with much success this leaves skill biased technical change as the residual claimant that rationalizes the data this paper uses regional differences in the evolution of wage inequality to provide new evidence on the determinants of relative wages using a model of factor demand in geographic markets i isolate contributions of i changing skill ratios in the labor force ii increased participation of women iii technical change and iv changes in the industrial composition of labor demand the data indicate that changing skill ratios and women s labor supply have affected the wages of low skilled men in the west the data indicate that increased immigration of less skilled hispanic and asian workers has adversely affected the wages of natives causing a greater increase in inequality there than in any other region of the country i modeling wage inequality in regional markets

the challenges of determining the employment effects of renewable energy abstract the benefits of promoting renewable energy are regularly claimed to be energy security climate change mitigation and job creation while the first two benefits are generally accepted the impact of renewable energy on employment is still disputed this paper presents a discussion of the various factors that influence the analysis of renewable energy and its impact on employment the advantages and disadvantages of input output methods and analysis methods are discussed as well as the issues surrounding the measurement of job creation a critical evaluation of the literature reveals factors that should be considered when completing a study about renewable energy and employment labour intensity of renewables cost increases and availability of investments counting job losses job quality and skills model assumptions and sources of information analytical studies using extensive surveys were found to be more appropriate for regional studies while input output methods were better suited to national and international studies

relationships between water pollutant discharges per capita pdcs and indicators of economic level water supply and sanitation in developing countries abstract water pollutant discharges per capita pdcs as indicators to evaluate quantitatively domestic wastewater pollutant discharges to the ambient water were applied to eight international coastal zones and lakeside regions statistical analyses were conducted to find the relationships between pdcs and water sanitation and economic parameters including purchase power parity based gross national income ppp gni per capita proportions of access to safe drinking water and appropriate sanitation domestic water usage amount and integrated parameters of water sanitation and economic indicators wsei1 2 two of the important findings from the regression analyses results were pdc bod correlated with ppp gni per capita with 3rd order regression and pdc tp correlated with wsei1 positively with 10 significance besides smaller adjusted regression coefficients t values of partial regression coefficients between pdc tp and wsei2 increased in the most analyses cases compared to those between pdc tp and wsei1 which showed improvement of the indices empirical estimations were also conducted based on the regression analyses results and distributions of pdcs and ppp gni per capita on the graphs six components generated by the principle component analysis pca contributed 99 of the parameters the first component represented access to sanitation second one represented household connection of safe drinking water third one represented areal equipment of water supply in urban area fourth one represented domestic water usage amount fifth one represented areal equipment of water supply and sixth one represented income per capita and sanitation although some statistically significances of the multiple linear regression analysis were observed the relationships between pdcs and the water supply parameters were considered as complicated in regards to areal equipment and household connection and in whole country and in urban area possible chronological relationships between pdc bod and water supply equipment were considered based on the results of the multiple linear regression analyses and pca based on the considerations of the water pollutant discharges and the economic related parameters relationships domestic wastewater treatment facility deployments and improvements on pollutant discharges reduction for the water quality improvement in the receiving water bodies were recommended which would lead the relationship curves between the water sanitation and economic related indicators and pdcs to move downward

exploring the environmental kuznets hypothesis theoretical and econometric problems focussing on the prime example of co2 emissions we discuss several important theoretical and econometric problems that arise when studying environmental kuznets curves ekcs an ekc refers to an inverse u shaped relationship between a pollutant and economic activity the dominant theoretical approach is given by integrated assessment modelling which consists of economic models that are combined with environmental impact models we critically evaluate the aggregation model dynamics and calibration aspects and their implications for the validity of the results we then turn to a discussion of several important econometric problems that go almost unnoticed in the literature the most fundamental problems relate to nonlinear transformations of nonstationary regressors and in a nonstationary panel context to neglected cross sectional dependence we discuss the implications of these two major and some minor problems that arise in the econometric analysis of kuznets curves our discussion shows that ekc modelling as performed to date is subject to major drawbacks at both the theoretical and the econometric level

assessing the impact of skill shortages on the productivity performance of high tech firms in northern ireland this article utilizes data from three separate skill related surveys of firms in the northern ireland it electronic engineering and mechanical engineering industries in order to assess the extent to which the performance of high tech firms are being constrained as a result of hard to fill and or unfilled vacancies whist it was found that the determinants of skill shortage varied somewhat depending upon the definitional approach adopted a high degree of correlation was found with regards to the impacts of skill shortages on firm level performance it was found that both hard to fill and unfilled vacancies had reduced output per worker levels by between 65 and 75 in affected firms however these impacts were only detecw after controlling for selection effects the evidence suggests that standard ols procedures can generate highly misleading results in studies of this nature

income growth and atmospheric pollution in spain an input output approach abstract the relationships between economic growth and environmental pressures are complex since the early nineties the debate on these relationships has been strongly influenced by the environmental kuznets curve hypothesis which states that during the first stage of economic development environmental pressures increase as per capita income increases but once a critical turning point has been reached these pressures diminish as income levels continue to increase however to date such a delinking between economic growth and emission levels has not happened for most atmospheric pollutants in spain the aim of this paper is to analyse the relationship between income growth and nine atmospheric pollutants in spain in order to obtain empirical outcomes for this analysis we adopt an input output approach and use namea data for the nine pollutants first we undertake a structural decomposition analysis for the period 1995 2000 to estimate the contribution of various factors to changes in the levels of atmospheric emissions and second we estimate the emissions associated with the consumption patterns of different groups of households classified according to their level of expenditure

demographic variables in demand analysis in this paper the authors discuss five procedures for incorporating demographic variables into theoretically plausible demand systems translating scaling and the gorman reverse gorman and implicit prais houthakker procedures these five procedures are used to incorporate a single demographic variable the number of children in a household into the generalized ces demand system using household budget data for the united kingdom for the period 1966 1972 excerpt

the impact of environmentally friendly innovations on value added while recent literature has focused on explaining the determinants of green innovations it is not well understood how such innovations affect performance to analyse the relationship between green innovation and performance new industry level panel data were exploited these include 12 oecd countries the whole manufacturing sector and a period of 30 years the results show that green inventions are u shape related to performance however the turning point is quite high and hence only relevant for a few industries this indicates that given the current level of green promotion market incentives alone are not sufficient to allow the green invention activities of industries to rise considerably to verify these results and to get a better understanding of the mechanisms in the green market we finally made several interviews with multinational firms that have a good understanding of what happens on the global market of green innovation

employment trends in the u s electricity sector 2008 2012 abstract between 2008 2012 electricity generated gwh from coal the longtime dominant fuel for electric power in the us declined 24 while electricity generated from natural gas wind and solar grew by 39 154 and 400 respectively these shifts had major effects on domestic employment in those sectors of the coal natural gas wind and solar industries involved in operations and maintenance o m activities for electricity generation using an economic input output model we estimate that the coal industry lost more than 49 000 jobs 12 nationally over the five year period while in the natural gas solar and wind industries employment increased by nearly 175 000 jobs 21 we also combine published ratios for jobs per unit of fuel production and per megawatt of power plant capacity with site specific data on fuel production and power plant retirements additions and capacity changes to estimate and map direct job changes at the county level the maps show that job increases in the natural gas solar and wind industries generally did not occur where there were significant job losses in the coal industry particularly in west virginia and kentucky

the hidden winners of renewable energy promotion insights into sector specific wage differentials abstract in light of germany s energy system transformation this paper examines differences in employment structures and wage differentials between renewable energy establishments and their sector peers to do so we have developed a novel data set by linking company level information from the german renewable energy federation with administrative establishment level data from the institute for employment research descriptive evidence shows significant differences in wages and several other characteristics between renewable energy establishments and their sector peers our estimates give evidence that human capital and other establishment level characteristics mostly explain the wage differential among manufacturers and energy providers however we find a persistent renewable energy wage premium of more than ten percent in construction installation activities and architectural engineering services we interpret this premium as a positive indirect effect of the promotion of renewable energies for the benefit of employees in renewable energy establishments within these two sectors

globalisation and sustainability environmental kuznets curve and the wto abstract economic globalisation is seen by many as a driving force for global economic growth yet opinion is divided about the benefits of this process as highlighted by the wto meeting in seattle in late 1999 proponents of economic globalisation view it as a positive force for environmental improvement and as a major factor increasing the likelihood of sustainable development through its likely boost to global investment these proponents mostly appeal to analysis based on the environmental kuznets curve ekc to support their views about environmental improvement but ekc analysis has significant deficiencies furthermore it is impossible to be confident that the process of economic globalisation will result in sustainable development if weak conditions only are satisfied strong conditions probably need to be satisfied to achieve sustainable development and given current global institutional arrangements these are likely to be violated by the economic globalisation process global political action seems to be needed to avert a deterioration in the global environment and to prevent unsustainability of development this exposition demonstrates the limitations of ekc analysis identifies positive and negative effects of economic globalisation on pollution levels and highlights connections between globalisation and the debate about whether strong or weak conditions are required for sustainable development the article concludes with a short discussion of the position of wto in relation to trade and the environment and the seemingly de facto endorsement of wto of weak conditions for sustainable development it suggests that wto s relative neglect of environmental concerns is no longer politically tenable and needs to be reassessed in the light of recent developments in economic analysis the skew of economic growth e g in favour of developing countries is shown to be extremely important from a global environmental perspective

market incentives for safe foods an examination of shareholder losses from meat and poultry recalls meat and poultry recalls while voluntary are carried out under governmental oversight if firms have financial incentives to avoid being implicated in a recall situation governmental involvement in recalls may cause firms to internalize social costs when making investment decisions concerning food safety controls to examine these incentives we analyze federally supervised meat and poultry recalls from 1982 to 1998 within an event study results show significant shareholder losses when publicly traded food companies are implicated in a recall involving serious food safety hazards we find no evidence that the stock market reacts negatively when recalls involve less severe hazards each year unsafe foods sicken millions and lead to losses in terms of life and productivity mead et al estimate that foodborne pathogens account for 76 million illnesses and 5 000 deaths in the united states given human error and the limitations of food safety technology food items that pose undue risks to the public will be distributed from time to time when this occurs the firms involved stand to incur expenses related to recovering disposing of or reconditioning potentially contaminated products already placed on the market in addition negative publicity can lead to reductions in product demand and may erode prior investments in reputation and brand capital these firms may also face costs from liability claims associated with an outbreak of food related illnesses or injury our main objective in this paper is to examine reductions in food company valuations that result from food contamination incidents we focus specifically on meat and poultry firms that have shipped products that were later recalled for food safety reasons because preventative actions taken by firms can affect the probability of being implicated in a product recall situation the wealth that is lost when companies are required to recall

green jobs economic impacts of renewable energy in germany abstract the labor market implications of large investment into renewable energy re are analyzed in this text although a growing re industry can be observed in germany the overall effect of large increases of re based electricity and heat generating technologies on the german economy require a careful model based analysis the applied model panta rhei has been used among others to evaluate the german energy concept in 2010 it takes positive and negative impacts of re into account the paper shows the overall effects under different assumptions for fossil fuel prices domestic installations and international trade the results are sensitive to assumptions on the development of re world markets and german exports to these markets almost all of these scenarios exhibit positive net employment effects under medium assumptions net employment of re expansion will reach around 150 thousand in 2030 only with assumptions for german re exports below today s level net impacts are slightly negative gross employment will increase from 340 thousand in 2009 to between 500 and 600 thousand in 2030

differences in labor supply to monopsonistic firms and the gender pay gap an empirical analysis using linked employer employee data from germany this article investigates women s and men s labor supply to the firm within a semistructural approach based on a dynamic model of new monopsony using methods of survival analysis and a large linked employer employee data set for germany we find that labor supply elasticities are small 1 9 3 7 and that women s labor supply to the firm is less elastic than men s which is the reverse of gender differences in labor supply usually found at the level of the market our results imply that at least one third of the gender pay gap might be wage discrimination by profit maximizing monopsonistic employers

does unmeasured ability explain inter industry wage differentials this paper provides empirical assessments of the two leading explanations of measured inter industry wage differentials 1 true wage differentials exist across industries and 2 the measured differentials simply reflect unmeasured differences in workers productive abilities first we summarize the existing evidence on the unmeasured ability explanation second we construct a simple model which shows that if matching is important then endogenous job change decisions can create important self selection biases even in first differenced estimates of industry wage differentials third we analyze a sample that approximates the experiment of exogenous job loss we find that i the wage change experienced by a typical industry switcher closely resembles the difference in the relevant industry differentials estimated in a cross section and ii pre displacement industry affiliation plays an important role in post displacement wage determination

diagram for a small planet the production and ecosystem possibilities curve abstract with the development of the gpi there is now an ecological alternative to gdp for measuring a country s economic performance but we still lack an ecological alternative to the ppc for illustrating a country s economic problem the diagram suggested here illustrates a country s production and ecosystem possibilities including climate stability flood control carbon sequestration aquifer recharge scenery recreation biological diversity and so on burning a rainforest to clear the land shifts a country s ppc outward giving the visual impression of an unmitigated improvement but such development causes a movement along the country s pepc as ecosystem services are transformed into gdp the slope of the pepc is the marginal rate of transformation which equals the ratio of the land s marginal marketable product to its marginal ecosystem product changes in technology create substitution and income effects that help explain the enclosure movement and the environmental kuznets curve much as employment of the human resource can be restrained to allow more leisure development of the natural resource can be restrained to preserve more ecosystem services commercial lobbying interests and rivalries for positional goods create distortions that move a country along its pepc to a materialistic misallocation with too little conservation an idealistic misallocation is also possible with too much preservation of the natural environment small is beautiful up to a point and that is evident in this diagram jacob viner s viner j 1937 studies in the theory of international trade harper and brothers new york analytical objections to the ppc are revived

total factor productivity and the environmental kuznets curve abstract empirical studies support the environmental kuznets curve hypothesis ekc for some pollutants as income increases pollution increases reaches a peak and eventually decreases while relying mostly on cross sectional data the interpretations assert that the ekc is a by product of economic growth over time in doing so and in neglecting the role of important country specific characteristics these studies overlook potential econometric problems and introduce policy misconceptions differences in total factor productivity tfps account for much of the variation in income across countries with important implications for environmental quality we develop a theoretical model where different tfps produce a cross sectional ekc even if the dynamic path of environmental quality to its steady state in individual countries suggest otherwise the cross sectional ekc depends on diminishing returns to scale in environmental protection on the curvatures of the utility function with respect to consumption and of the environmental protection function and the elasticities of steady state consumption and environmental expenditures with respect to variation in tfps

why do cities pay more an empirical examination of some competing theories of the urban wage premium abstract ols regression identifies a 19 percent wage advantage for workers in large urban areas fixed effects estimation suggests that two thirds of this premium can be explained by cities attracting workers of higher unmeasured skills and ability the remaining wage premium is shown to consist of both level and growth elements the wage level effect is consistent with a productivity advantage for firms located in cities the wage growth effect is shown to relate in part to a cumulative advantage in the returns to job mobility for urban workers this last finding highlights the importance of coordination in urban labor markets

do newly founded firms pay lower wages first evidence from germany using a linked employer employee data set for germany this paper analyses wage setting in a cohort of newly founded and other establishments from 1997 to 2001 while theory provides alternative explanations for higher or lower wages in newly founded firms we show empirically that start ups tend to pay lower wages ceteris paribus on average wages in newly founded establishments are 8 lower than in similar incumbent firms this negative wage differential is substantially smaller in eastern than in western germany the wage differ ential is shown to decline over time as the newly founded firms become more mature

renewable energy policies and private sector investment evidence from financial microdata this paper analyses the effect of government policies and other determinants on private finance investment in renewable energy a unique dataset of financial transactions for renewable energy projects is constructed using the bloomberg new energy finance database the dataset covers 87 countries six renewable energy sectors wind solar biomass small hydropower marine and geothermal and the 2000 2011 time span in a first set of models undertaken at the level of the financial deal we find that in contrast to quota based schemes price based support schemes are positively correlated with private finance contributions this result holds for complementary analyses undertaken at the level of the project however for those projects in which public finance complements private finance co financed projects neither quota based measures nor price based support schemes have a significant effect on private finance flows

nonlinearities and heterogeneity in environmental quality an empirical analysis of deforestation we use a panel data set of 59 developing countries over the 1972 1994 period to study the deforestation process relying on both parametric and semiparametric models we examine nonlinearities and heterogeneity in the deforestation process we first study the existence of an environmental kuznets curve ekc and then analyze determinants of deforestation our data sample provides no evidence of an ekc we also find that political institution failures may worsen the deforestation process in developing countries

the environmental kuznets curve when the environment exhibits hysteresis abstract the relevance and implications of the environmental kuznets hypothesis are examined in the presence of stock effects and non linearities associated with pollution generation stock effects lead to hysteresis and irreversibilities in environmental quality that are overlooked when emphasis is placed on the flow effects of pollutants only it is demonstrated here that an optimal growth plan in the presence of stock effects shifts the focus away from prescribing economic growth as a panacea for environmental ills implications for currently industrializing economies are discussed

growth and the environment are we looking at the right data abstract time series evidence on growth and the environment suggests an environmental kuznets curve ekc whereas longitudinal studies fail to produce robust estimates for the ekc this paper offers a theoretical explanation for these apparently contradicting findings and theoretical guidance for future empirical work

energy consumption income and carbon emissions in the united states abstract this paper investigates the effect of energy consumption and output on carbon emissions in the united states earlier research focused on testing the existence and or shape of an environmental kuznets curve without taking energy consumption into account we investigate the granger causality relationship between income energy consumption and carbon emissions including labor and gross fixed capital formation in the model we find that income does not granger cause carbon emissions in the us in the long run but energy use does hence income growth by itself may not become a solution to environmental problems

new market power models and sex differences in pay in the context of certain models it is possible to infer the elasticity of labor supply to the firm from the elasticity of the quit rate with respect to the wage we use this strategy to estimate the elasticity of labor supply for men and women workers at a chain of grocery stores identifying separation elasticities from differences in wages and separation rates across different job titles within the firm we estimate that women have lower elasticities so a robinson style monopsony model can explain reasonably well the lower relative pay of women in the retail grocery industry