aggregate demand for electricity in south africa an analysis using the bounds testing approach to cointegration abstract electricity demand in south africa has grown at a very rapid rate over the past decade as part of reform initiatives to enhance long term sustainability of the country s electricity industry south africa s authorities have in recent years sought to develop an electricity pricing framework that is cost reflective and forms the cornerstone of demand management schemes meant to foster changes in consumption behaviour and enhance efficiency in resource use the effects of any pricing policy on aggregate electricity consumption will depend on a useful understanding of the factors that influence electricity demand and the magnitude to which electricity demand responds to changes in such factors in this context this paper applies the bounds testing approach to cointegration within an autoregressive distributed lag framework to examine the aggregate demand for electricity in south africa during the period 1960 2007 the results indicate that in the long run income is the main determinant of electricity demand with electricity prices having an insignificant effect on aggregate electricity demand future pricing policies will need to ensure that electricity prices are cost reflective and enhance efficiency of electricity supply and use

an equilibrium conflict model of land tenure in hunter gatherer societies i apply features of the economics of conflict and spatial competition in developing a model of the emergence of land ownership in hunter gatherer societies tenure regimes are the result of interactions between those seeking to defend claims to land and those seeking to infringe on those claims the model highlights the dependence of land ownership on ecological parameters such as resource density and predictability and allows for situational ownership in which the nature of ownership changes as realized ecological conditions change the paper concludes with a comparative assessment of tenure across a representative sample of hunter gatherer peoples

non monetary incentives and opportunistic behavior evidence from a laboratory public good game this study reports data from a laboratory experiment that investigates the incentive effect of three distinct social communication schemes on free riding behavior we use performance based approval and disapproval ratings and a linear public good game to address the above issues the treatments vary in terms of subjects opportunities to anonymously assign 1 only the approval ratings to other group members 2 only the disapproval ratings to other group members and 3 either the approval or the disapproval ratings to other group members but not both to the same group member after they play a standard linear public good game despite the nash prediction of zero individual contribution in all three treatments the data show that the disapproval points generate significantly higher contribution than the approval points the treatment in which subjects could communicate either the approval or the disapproval points produces the highest level of contribution we discuss the implications that these findings may have for efficient design of organizations jel d03 h41 c72 c92

impacts of renewables obligation with recycling of the buy out fund tradable green certificate tgc or renewables obligation ro programs typically include a buy out option but only in the uk the buy out fund is redistributed back to the suppliers who have submitted the certificates we show that when the buy out fund is redistributed the supply of renewable energy responds positively to the market conditions and renewables target without it the buy out rate is equivalent to a maximum price however redistribution of the buy out fund may induce strategic behavior from producers who have market power we analyze the impacts of market power and integration on the supply of conventional and renewable energy under the ro program with the buy out fund recycled and devise some empirical tests to predict these impacts policy implications of this study are discussed with special reference to the new fit cfd system

peer pressure and partnerships partnerships and profit sharing are often claimed to motivate workers by giving them a share of the pie but in organizations of any significant size the free rider effects would seem to choke off

the demand for residential electricity in south africa abstract this paper examines the residential demand for electricity in south africa as a function of real gross domestic product per capita and the price of electricity during the period 1978 2005 we make use of the bounds testing approach to cointegration within an autoregressive distributed framework suggested by pesaran et al 2001 bounds testing approaches to the analysis of level relationships journal of applied econometrics 16 3 289 326 following the literature we use a linear double logarithmic form using income and price as independent variables in the empirical analysis in the long run we find that income is the main determinant of electricity demand while electricity price is insignificant

stagnation and innovation before agriculture abstract during the roughly 190 000 years between the emergence of anatomically modern humans and the transition to agriculture sustained economic progress was rare although there were important innovations in the upper paleolithic evidence from paleodemography indicates that population densities were driven more by climatic conditions than by technological innovations in food acquisition we develop a model in which technological knowledge is subject to mutation and selection across generations in a static environment long run stagnation is the norm however climate shocks can induce experimentation with latent resources this generates punctuated equilibria with greater technical capabilities and higher population densities at successive plateaus the model is consistent with archaeological data on climate population diet and technology from the upper paleolithic through the early neolithic

nonmonetary sanctions and rewards in an experimental coordination game abstract a growing body of experimental research documents that nonmonetary sanctions and rewards may be important instruments for enforcing efficient behavior this study contributes to this literature by reporting results from a laboratory experiment the experiment is designed to test whether nonmonetary sanctions or rewards alone can yield the optimal level of efficiency in a game with pareto ranked equilibria performance based disapproval and approval ratings assigned by group members are used as proxies for nonmonetary sanction and reward respectively although these ratings are costless and payoff neutral results show that expression of disapproval facilitates coordination on the most efficient equilibrium in contrast statement of approval induces subjects to converge towards the most inefficient outcome we conclude that induced approval and disapproval ratings have asymmetric behavioral effects on coordination

the evolution of price elasticity of electricity demand in south africa a kalman filter application abstract in south africa the electricity mismatch of supply and demand has been of major concern additional to past problems the 2008 electricity crisis made the solution crucial after its damaging consequences to the economy the disagreement on the need and consequences of the continuous electricity price hikes worsens the situation to contribute to the recent electricity debate this paper proposes a time varying price elasticity of demand for electricity the sensitivity of electricity consumption to price fluctuations changes throughout the years the main purpose of this study is the estimation of the price elasticity of electricity in south africa during the period 1980 2005 by employing an advanced econometric technique the kalman filter apart from the decreasing effect of electricity prices to consumption 71 8 in the 1990s and 94 5 in the 2000s in average our results conclude to an important finding the higher the prices for example in the 1980s the higher the sensitivity of consumers to price fluctuations thus further increases of the electricity prices may lead to changes in the behaviour of electricity consumers focusing their efforts on improving their efficiency levels by introducing demand side management techniques or even turning to other sources of cheaper energy

the demand for electricity in the gcc countries abstract cointegration techniques are used to study the effects of economic variables on electricity demand in the gcc countries a dynamic model is estimated using aggregate data for the six states spanning the period 1970 97 statistical investigations confirm the existence of unit root in all time series employed in the study which called for the use of cointegration and error correction methodologies empirical results indicate that both income and price have an impact on electricity consumption and income and price policies could be effectively facilitated in electricity demand management

electricity output ratio and sectoral electricity use the case of east and southeast asian developing countries abstract continuing a recent line of investigation the relationship between electricity use and economic growth and the changes in the sectoral composition of electricity consumption are examined for eight developing countries in east and southeast asia it is found that the relative rate of growth of electricity consumption to gdp declined over time and there were no systematic variations in the sectoral composition of electricity use both over time and across countries

incomplete information strengthens the effectiveness of social approval we present a theoretical model of a public good game in which the expression of social approval induces pro social behavior using a laboratory experiment with earned heterogeneous endowments we test our model the main hypothesis is that the expression of social approval increases cooperative behavior even if reputation building is impossible we vary the information available and investigate how this affects the expression of social approval and individual contributions the expression of social approval significantly increases contributions however the increase is smaller if additional information is provided suggesting that social approval is more effective if subjects receive a noisy signal about others contributions jel c72 c91 d71 d83

the provision of collective goods through a social division of labour abstract we develop a general equilibrium framework in which a wide range of collective economic configurations are provided through specialised professionals as part of an endogenously emerging social division of labour we extend the theory of value to this setting bringing together a model of an economy with collective goods with the model of a private goods market economy with an endogenously emerging social division of labour natural applications are the presence of non tradables in production the effects of education on productive abilities and the market system itself as an implementation of the price mechanism for an appropriately generalised notion of valuation equilibrium we prove the two fundamental theorems of welfare economics under very general conditions notably allowing for incomplete non monotonic and non transitive preferences we also incorporate adam smith s principle of increasing returns to specialisation and establish that there emerge well structured social divisions of labour in equilibrium

modelling electricity demand in ghana revisited the role of policy regime changes as policy regime changes demand elasticities are unlikely to be constant since individuals change how they form their expectations and this will change the estimated decision rules in this paper the time varying nature of electricity demand elasticities prior to and post the economic reform period in ghana is analysed using the fm ols three different sample periods pre reform post reform and full period was used in the analysis the result from the full sample period revealed that in the long run electricity demand is significantly affected by industry efficiency industry value added and real per capita gdp urbanization rate however has no significant effect the pre reform estimate showed lower income output and urbanization elasticities but higher industry energy efficiency elasticity relative to the post reform period this suggests that technological change in the pre reform period has been energy saving whilst technological change in the post reform period has been energy consuming the result further showed evidence of changing structure of the economy from the more energy intensive sector to the less energy intensive sector after the reform government should renew her effort in promoting energy saving technologies in the industrial sector and adjust the industrial structure to encourage the expansion of low energy intensive industries or high technology efficient industries

do non strategic sanctions obey the law of demand the demand for punishment in the voluntary contribution mechanism abstract the prospect of receiving a monetary sanction for free riding has been shown to increase contributions to public goods we ask whether the impulse to punish is unresponsive to the cost to the punisher or whether like other preferences it interacts with prices to generate a conventional demand curve in a series of experiments we randomly vary the cost of reducing the earnings of other group members following voluntary contribution decisions in our design new groups are formed after each interaction and no subject faces any other more than once so there is no strategic reason to punish we nonetheless find significant levels of punishment and we learn that both price and the extent to which the recipient s contribution is below the group mean are significant determinants of the quantity of punishment demanded moreover punishment is mainly directed at free riders even when it costs nothing to the punisher

the economics of early warfare over land abstract we investigate the incidence of early warfare among foragers and farmers in prehistory our focus is specifically on conflict over land food is produced using inputs of labor and land and the probability of victory in a conflict depends on relative group sizes the group sizes are determined by individual migration and malthusian population dynamics both factors result in larger populations at better sites which deters attack there are two necessary conditions for warfare high enough individual mobility costs and large enough shocks to the relative productivities of the sites together these conditions are sufficient in particular technological or environmental shocks that alter the productivities of sites can trigger warfare but only if individual agents do not change sites in response these results are consistent with evidence from archaeology and anthropology

pay equality and industrial politics personnel managers often argue that equitable pay treatment manifested as wage compression is useful because it reduces disharmony among workers but it is far from obvious that a compressed salary structure is morale improving since better workers may feel disenchanted by this scheme however when workers rewards are based on relative comparisons salary compression reduces uncooperative behavior that is detrimental to the firm relative comparisons imply that some reference group must be selected the major result is that within the relevant groups some wage compression is efficient

the provision of incentives in firms i ncentives are the essence of economics despite many wide ranging claims about their supposed importance there has been little empirical assessment of incentive provision for workers the purpose of this paper is to critically overview existing work on the provision of incentives since the interests of workers and their employers are not always aligned a large theoretical literature has emphasized how firms design compensation contracts to induce employees to operate in the firm s interest this literature has reached into many areas of compensation and has pointed to a multitude of different mechanisms that can be used to induce workers to act in the interests of their employers these include piece rates options discretionary bonuses promotions profit sharing efficiency wages deferred compensation and so on my objective here is to evaluate this literature in the light of a growing empirical literature on compensation where possible i will address the literature from two perspectives first an underlying assumption of this literature is that individuals respond to contracts that reward performance accordingly i consider whether agents behave in this way and whether these responses are always in the firm s interest second i address whether firms write contracts with these responses in mind in other words do contracts look like the predictions of the theory incentives are provided to workers

measuring the welfare effects of reducing a subsidy on a commodity using micro models an application to kuwait s residential demand for electricity abstract this paper provides a conceptual and empirical approach for evaluating the direct benefits and costs that are associated with reforming the price of a subsidized commodity using a micro model the welfare analysis is based on two alternative scenarios a hypothetical percentage increase in the price of the commodity and a hypothetical percentage decrease in the amount of subsidy the latter is considered to be a simultaneous problem in which the exact price of the commodity that reduces consumption and subsequently the subsidy to the specific target level needs to be determined first as a case study the paper utilizes the most recent household expenditure survey in the state of kuwait to estimate residential electricity demand for different household groups i e low middle and high income and employs a partial equilibrium model to measure the welfare implications that may result from a reduction in the electricity subsidy rates the empirical findings show that a small increase in the price of electricity would reduce annual consumption by 4741 million kwh and annual subsidy by us 734 million the results also show that the loss in consumers welfare is approximately us 145 million while the financial and environmental benefits to the society ranges between us 658 million and us 889 million the magnitude of these welfare gains suggests that electricity price reforms combined with a rebate scheme to compensate households for their welfare loss offsetting any political resistance to reform is a win win situation

economic and social class voting in a model of redistribution with social concerns we investigate how concerns about social status may affect individuals preferences for redistribution in our model agents are heterogeneous across two dimensions productivity and social class and an individual s social status is de ned as his relative standing in terms of a weighted average of these two components the weight on each component depends positively on its standard deviation redistribution thus simultaneously affects labor supply and the weights that determine social status as such taxation not only redistributes resources from the rich to the poor but also becomes a way of preserving or modifying social status thus individuals who have the same productivity but belong to different social classes support different tax rates we characterize the equilibrium of the political game as the solution of a system of non linear equations and identify the interclass coalition of voters who support the equilibrium tax rate

the origins of inequality insiders outsiders elites and commoners hereditary economic inequality is unknown among mobile foragers but hereditary class distinctions between elites and commoners exist in some sedentary foraging societies with agriculture such stratification tends to become more pronounced we develop a model to explain the associations among productivity population property rights and inequality using malthusian dynamics we show that regional productivity growth leads to enclosure of the best sites first creating inequality between insiders and outsiders hereditary elite and commoner classes subsequently arise at the best sites food consumption becomes more unequal and commoners become poorer these predictions are consistent with a wide range of archaeological evidence

electricity consumption in g7 countries a panel cointegration analysis of residential demand elasticities this article applies recently developed panel unit root and panel cointegration techniques to estimate the long run and short run income and price elasticities for residential demand for electricity in g7 countries the panel results indicate that in the long run residential demand for electricity is price elastic and income inelastic the study concludes that from an environmental perspective there is potential to use pricing policies in the g7 countries to curtail residential electricity demand and thus curb carbon emissions in the long run

energy price reform in saudi arabia modeling the economic and environmental impacts and understanding the demand response abstract saudi arabia has regulated domestic energy prices for decades setting them below international market levels energy subsidies in saudi arabia are generally implicit because they lead to foregone revenues for the government low energy prices also encourage rapid energy demand growth and wasteful consumption while limiting incentives to invest in energy efficiency saudi arabia recently started to reform energy prices leading to large increases in gasoline and residential electricity prices in 2018 to measure the economic and environmental impacts of energy price reform we econometrically model gasoline and residential electricity demand using harvey s 1990 structural time series model our estimated equations reveal that gasoline demand and residential electricity demand in saudi arabia are strongly price and income inelastic despite the major reforms that were recently implemented our welfare analysis also shows that the energy price reforms in 2018 in gasoline and residential electricity respectively delivered welfare gains of 8 8 and 3 8 billion sar annually 2 3 and 1 0 billion us additionally our decomposition analysis reveals that these energy price reforms were the largest contributors to the observed decreases in gasoline and residential electricity consumption in 2018

the social efficiency of private decisions to enforce property rights costs must be incurred if an owner is to enforce private property rights effectively we show that in a perfectly competitive economy private decisions to enforce rights may result in either more or less enforcement than is socially efficient cases of multiple stable equilibria occur and an equilibrium may be locally but not globally efficient resources may not be employed in their socially most valuable uses and enforcement may be accompanied by inefficient investment in resource productivity

households response to changes in electricity pricing schemes bridging microeconomic and engineering principles abstract this paper presents a computational take on households response to price changes many studies use assumptions i e price elasticities that were estimated using historical information however if a price change has not been experienced in the past the response may not be statistically predicted while other papers have explored price response behavior internally through microeconomic principles many factors affect a household s electricity use including the construction of the dwelling outdoor air temperature and efficiency of the air conditioner we have superimposed a physical model which determines hourly power loads with a utility maximization component the dwelling itself is calibrated to one in saudi arabia but we test households that have various preferences in their utility function levels of thermal insulation and income we further analyze a wide range of electricity pricing schemes some are progressive tariffs while one is defined hourly the extent to which the prices are raised in the alternative schemes has never been experienced in saudi arabia our analysis shows that households with low electricity preferences exhibit a larger short run response than would be derived from the aggregate price elasticities estimated statistically moreover improved building insulation affects the household s decision making process

social learning and voluntary cooperation among like minded people many people contribute to public goods but stop doing so once they experience free riding we test the hypothesis that groups whose members know that they are composed only of likeminded cooperators are able to maintain a higher cooperation level than the most cooperative randomly composed groups our experiments confirm this hypothesis we also predict that groups of like minded free riders do not cooperate yet we find a high level of strategic cooperation that eventually col lapses our results underscore the importance of group composition and social learning by heterogeneously motivated agents to understand the dynamics of cooperation and free riding

energy conservation in electricity generation a case study of the electricity and water industry in kuwait this paper has examined possibilities of energy conservation in the generation of electricity and water in kuwait this has been done through analysing the underlying production structure by employing a translog flexible cost function and using series data the results show that in the absence of changes in factor prices fuel intensity of electricity and water is expected to increase with increase in output furthermore capital and fuel are found to be substitutes overall the evidence suggests that energy conservation can be achieved by using fuel prices as instruments this is likely to induce demand for new capital and hence promote productivity gains

the economics of exogamous marriage in small scale societies marriage is a core institution in almost every human society including small scale societies based on foraging or subsistence agriculture a crucial dimension of the marriage systems in such societies involves endogamy and exogamy that is the choice of a marriage partner from within one s own community or from an outside community we develop a model in which the exogamy rate is higher when good local matches are scarce due to small community sizes and when productivity differs across communities due to environmental shocks these theoretical predictions are supported by econometric analysis of data from the standard cross cultural sample jel d13 j11 n30 z13

testing viability of cross subsidy using time variant price elasticities of industrial demand for electricity indian experience abstract indian electric tariffs are characterized by very high rates for industrial and commercial classes to permit subsidized electric consumption by residential and agricultural customers we investigate the viability of this policy using monthly data for 1997 2003 on electric consumption by a few large industrial customers under the aegis of a small distribution company in the state of uttar pradesh for a given price cost ratio it can be shown that if the cross subsidizing class electricity demand is sufficiently elastic increasing the class rates fail to recover incremental cross subsidy necessary to support additional revenues for subsidized classes this suboptimality is tested by individually estimating time variant price elasticities of demand for these industrial customers using box cox and linear regressions we find that at least for some of these customers cross subsidy was suboptimal prior to as late as october 2001 when rates were changed following reforms

market power and heterogeneous pass through in german electricity retail abstract we analyze the pass through of cost changes to retail tariffs in the german electricity market over the 2007 2014 period we find an average pass through rate of around 60 this significantly varies with demand factors while the pass through rate to baseline tariffs where firms have greater market power because customers are less willing to switch is only 50 it increases to 70 in the competitive segment of the market although the pass through rate of independent firms is significantly higher than that of other firms in the competitive market segment the extent of supply side heterogeneity is limited thus the firms ability to exercise market power and reduce pass through appears to be constrained by competition and largely determined by demand side factors finally we find that the pass through rate in the competitive market segment has been approaching unity over the past years indicating a rise in competitive pressure

rational choice round robin and rebellion an institutional solution to the problems of revolution abstract two collective action problems plague successful revolution on the one hand would be revolutionaries confront a participation problem whereby no rationally self interested individual has an incentive to participate in rebellion on the other hand individuals face a first mover problem whereby no rationally self interested individual has an incentive to lead rebellion this paper argues that 18th century merchant sailors who confronted these problems devised a novel institution to facilitate maritime revolution and assist them in overthrowing abusive captains this institution was called a round robin round robins helped overcome both the participation and first mover problems by aligning the interests of individual sailors desiring mutiny and restructuring the payoffs of leading versus following maritime rebellion

the residential demand for electricity in australia an application of the bounds testing approach to cointegration this paper reports estimates of the long and short run elasticities of residential demand for electricity in australia using the bounds testing procedure to cointegration within an autoregressive distributive lag framework in the long run we find that income and own price are the most important determinants of residential electricity demand while temperature is significant some of the time and gas prices are insignificant our estimates of long run income elasticity and price elasticity of demand are consistent with previous studies although they are towards the lower end of existing estimates as expected the short run elasticities are much smaller than the long run elasticities and the coefficients on the error correction coefficients are small consistent with the fact that in the short run energy appliances are fixed