rational panics and stock market crashes abstract this paper offers an explanation for stock market crashes which focuses on the role of rational but uninformed traders we show that uninformed traders can precipitate a price crash because as prices decline they surmise that informed traders received negative information which leads them to reduce their demand for assets and drive the price of stocks even lower the model yields several implications such as that crashes can occur even when the fundamentals are strong and that the magnitude of the crash depends on the fraction of uninformed investors and the amount of unsophisticated passive investing present in the market

trade and protection in vertically related markets abstract we consider home country tariff and subsidy policies in a setting where a home firm is partially dependent on a foreign vertically integrated firm for supplies of a key input the firms are cournot competitors in the home market for the final product we show that a tariff on final product imports may cause the foreign vertically integrated firm to reduce the price charged for the input under circumstances where a simple monopoly supplier of the input would increase its price supply conditions for the input significantly affect whether imports of the input should be taxed or subsidized

industrial policy and firm heterogeneity our concern in this paper is with firm specific industrial policy when r d subsidies or taxes are differentiated among firms the question arises as to which firms in an industry should receive such support we analyze a situation where firms differ in their r d technologies in two distinct ways in the costs of performing r d activities and in the output obtained from such activities we find that the optimal firm specific industrial policy is affected differently by the two sources of firm heterogeneity furthermore a change in a firm s r d productivity has an ambiguous effect on the optimal policy towards the firm jel classification o31 l52 f13

political constraints to growth in an economic union abstract this paper studies the political economy of growth in an economic union such as the eu in the spirit of acemoglu aghion and zilibotti acemoglu d aghion p and zilibotti f 2006a distance to frontier selection and economic growth journal of the european economic association 4 1 37 74 acemoglu d aghion p and zilibotti f 2006b growth development and appropriate versus inappropriate institutions mimeo mit as the economy approaches the world technology frontier structural reforms that increase competition in intermediate goods sectors are necessary to boost innovation and productivity growth reforms however raise the opposition of incumbents and therefore are politically difficult to implement when there are important cross border policy spillover effects national governments are more easily captured by vested interests as they fail to internalize the benefits of reforms on the rest of the union in this situation productivity growth may be sluggish and the economy can fail to converge to the frontier on the other hand when policy is chosen by a union government or a collective body that takes into account union welfare the internalization of spillovers raises the perceived benefit of reforms and consequently lowers the ability of lobbies to obtain high levels of protection

degree of scale economies and congestion a unified dea approach abstract there are increasing concerns about how increase in congestion can adversely affect output as well as about the relative benefit cost ratio or return on investment associated with alternative projects or policies to address those problems regardless of what policy strategies are used to address congestion the fact remains that we cannot assess the economic benefits of congestion reduction strategies unless we are able to measure the extent to which congestion affects productivity in general and scale economies in particular this paper makes a novel attempt to suggest a method in a non parametric framework to measure scale elasticity in production in the presence of congestion

policy rivalry among industrial states what can we learn from models of strategic trade policy the economic theory of international trade has changed dramatically over the last decade by admitting into its mainstream a body of literature that focuses on the implications of monopolistic and oligopolistic elements in international markets by applying the tools of the new industrial organization in an international context two new classes of models have emerged models of intra industry trade and models of strategic trade policy the policy implications of models of strategic trade policy were quite disturbing for the economics profession since these models demonstrated that the classical harmony between national and cosmopolitan welfare maximization does not exist if one assumes opportunities for strategic manipulation of oligopolistic international industries this article reviews two prominent models of strategic trade policy the brander spencer model and the krugman model and relates them to more familiar earlier concepts such as stackelberg s asymmetrical duopoly solution and the venerable infant industry argument for government intervention the primary purpose of this article however is to provide a synopsis of the large literature addressing the question of whether models of strategic trade policy can give guidance for government policy

r d policies trade and process innovation we set up a simple trade model with two countries hosting one firm each the firms invest in cost reducing r d and each government may grant r d subsidies to the domestic firm we show that it is optimal for a government to provide higher r d subsidies the lower the level of trade costs even if the firms are independent monopolies if firms produce imperfect substitutes policy competition may become so fierce that only one of the firms survives international policy harmonization eliminates policy competition and ensures a symmetric outcome however it is shown that harmonization is not necessarily welfare maximizing the optimal coordinated policies may imply an asymmetric outcome with r d subsidies to only one of the firms

policies and international trade agreements on technical compatibility for industries with network externalities abstract the paper considers a country home in which consumers have heterogeneous preferences over ex ante incompatible domestic and imported products and benefit from a network externality we analyze the cases with trade under perfect competition and the international duopoly in which both governments strategically use policies toward compatibility but cannot use conventional trade policies in both cases the equilibrium outcome of the non cooperative game depends upon the strength of the network externality effect and involves either an excessively high equilibrium level of compatibility in combination with either too much or too little trade or very low equilibrium levels of both compatibility and trade the paper concludes with the analysis of the international agreements on policies toward compatibility and evaluates the existing provisions in the wto legal system aimed at minimizing the trade inhibiting impact of standards and regulations in the area of technical compatibility

environmental quality competition and eco labeling abstract a three stage game of investment environmental quality provision and price competition is developed to study the impact of green technology investment eco labeling in a duopoly model of vertical product differentiation the firms incentives to invest in green technologies depend on their relative cost structure when firms are identical with respect to fixed costs both firms will always invest but if one firm is more efficient in investing then the other firm may or may not invest depending on the level of unit cost of investment quality competition will be tighter when the low quality firm is more efficient and looser when the high quality firm is more efficient in investing socially optimal investment for both firms is always positive but lower than in the duopoly solution in the absence of environmental externalities the quality dispersion chosen by profit maximizing firms may be too high or too low while environmental externalities increase the possibility low quality dispersion that is too low within the market solution finally and importantly ecolabeling can be used as a means of reducing excessive investment and increasing environmental quality that is too low

reform of the coal sector in an open economy the case of china cheap abundant and easy to transport and store coal has been produced and consumed to meet people s energy needs the last decade s growth in global coal use has been driven mainly by developing economies like china whose phenomenal economic growth has been powered by coal fired electricity and promoted by the export of manufactured goods a recent reform focus in china s coal sector is on coal taxation the paper develops a game theoretic model tailored to the context of china where coal taxation reform takes place against the background of privatisation of coal firms and an open economy it finds that the adoption of special coal taxes is optimal for social welfare under most circumstances but may induce coal firms to commit opportunistic behaviour in the process of privatisation the paper also cautions about potential resistance to the reform from consumers coal firms and government officials

some models for estimating technical and scale inefficiencies in data envelopment analysis in management contexts mathematical programming is usually used to evaluate a collection of possible alternative courses of action en route to selecting one which is best in this capacity mathematical programming serves as a planning aid to management data envelopment analysis reverses this role and employs mathematical programming to obtain ex post facto evaluations of the relative efficiency of management accomplishments however they may have been planned or executed mathematical programming is thereby extended for use as a tool for control and evaluation of past accomplishments as well as a tool to aid in planning future activities the ccr ratio form introduced by charnes cooper and rhodes as part of their data envelopment analysis approach comprehends both technical and scale inefficiencies via the optimal value of the ratio form as obtained directly from the data without requiring a priori specification of weights and or explicit delineation of assumed functional forms of relations between inputs and outputs a separation into technical and scale efficiencies is accomplished by the methods developed in this paper without altering the latter conditions for use of dea directly on observational data technical inefficiencies are identified with failures to achieve best possible output levels and or usage of excessive amounts of inputs methods for identifying and correcting the magnitudes of these inefficiencies as supplied in prior work are illustrated in the present paper a new separate variable is introduced which makes it possible to determine whether operations were conducted in regions of increasing constant or decreasing returns to scale in multiple input and multiple output situations the results are discussed and related not only to classical single output economics but also to more modern versions of economics which are identified with contestable market theories

energy efficiency and congestion assessment with energy mix effect the case of apec countries abstract to save energy and improve the environment has become a general consensus in the whole asia pacific economic cooperation region this study focuses on the issue of energy congestion which has been considered as one of the key factors influencing energy efficiency we employ a two stage data envelopment analysis model to assess the energy efficiency and congestion of asia pacific economic cooperation countries from 1995 to 2013 it is worth pointing out that the model takes undesirable outputs into account and is able to recognize energy mix effect on energy congestion there are some discussions which based on the empirical results it indicates that energy congestion has led to almost 20 percent of energy waste in asia pacific economic cooperation countries the conclusions are as follows in general energy efficiency of developing countries is lower than that of developed countries besides energy congestion mainly comes from fossil energy use however the congestion of non fossil energy shows a rising trend in recent years in addition a multiple liner regression analysis indicates that energy consumption and industry value added per gdp have positive effects on energy congestion and gdp per capita has negative effect on energy congestion at last we promote several policy recommendations to improve energy efficiency

is the wto passe the wto has delivered policy outcomes that are very different from those likely to emerge out of the recent wave of preferential trade agreements ptas should economists see this as an efficient institutional hand off where the wto has carried trade liberalization as far as it can manage and is now passing the baton to ptas to finish the job this paper surveys a growing economics literature on international trade agreements and argues on this basis that the wto is not passe rather and subject to some caveats this survey of research to date suggests that the wto warrants strong support while a more cautious view of ptas seems appropriate

returns to damage under undesirable congestion and damages to return under desirable congestion measured by dea environmental assessment with multiplier restriction economic and energy planning for social sustainability in china this study discusses the concept of natural and managerial disposability from their economic and methodological implications on social sustainability development then it explores their analytical linkages to a concept on congestion the concept is classified into undesirable congestion uc under natural disposability and desirable congestion dc under managerial disposability considering the two disposability concepts this study compares between returns to damage rtd under uc and damages to return dtr under dc conceptually uc and dc are conceptually different from rtd and dtr although they are closely related to each other group an occurrence of the former measures is identified by a single negative multiplier i e dual variable in contrast the latter measures are associated with multiple negative multipliers and an intercept of a supporting hyperplane on a production and pollution possibility set thus an occurrence of uc and dc is a necessary condition but not a sufficient condition on rtd and dtr respectively in terms of the number of negative multipliers on production factors to document the practicality of the proposed approach this study applies it to chinese economic and environmental assessment for its economic and energy planning for social sustainability development this study identifies four important findings first the chinese government has historically paid attention to the economic prosperity but not paying serious attention on the environmental pollution e g air pollution second there was an increasing trend in improving the two components i e economic and environmental performance measures regarding social sustainability third china s economic and energy policy concerns have been focused upon well developed municipalities e g beijing and shanghai and large provinces therefore it is an important strategy for the government to allocate economic and energy resources to other provinces so that china can reduce the industrial and regional imbalances as a result china can enhance the level of social sustainability finally the municipalities need strict regulation on traffic control in these metropolitan areas and a fuel mix shift from coal combustion to natural gas and renewable energies e g solar water and nuclear generations the fuel mix strategy along with the structure change e g from manufacturing to service and from public to private energy firms will be a major industrial policy issue for china in near future

rain agriculture and tariffs this paper examines whether and how rainfall shocks affect tariff setting in the agricultural sector in a model of strategic trade policy the authors show that the impact of a negative rainfall shock on optimal import tariffs is generally ambiguous depending on the weight placed by the domestic policy maker on tariff revenue profits and the consumer surplus the more weight placed on domestic profits the more likely it is that the policy maker will respond to a rainfall shortage by reducing import tariffs these findings are robust to alternative assumptions about market structure and the timing of the game using detailed panel data on applied tariffs and rainfall for 70 nations the authors find robust evidence that rainfall shortages generally induce policy makers to set lower tariffs on agricultural imports

equilibrium pollution taxes in a two industry open economy abstract this paper involves strategic implications of environmental policy in case of two international oligopolies when countries take part in an international environmental agreement and have agreed on national target levels for a global pollutant this set up permits an analysis of the design of optimal emission taxes across domestic producers by differentiating taxes between industries with different abatement cost demand and number of domestic firms governments are in a position to raise national net foreign rents it is argued that a single national emission trading programme encompassing all domestic producers cannot provide the equivalent strategic policy design

foreign direct investment with unemployment and endogenous taxes and tariffs it is well known that high tariffs can induce foreign direct investment or tariff jumping this paper analyzes tariff jumping in the context of a host government which can set specific tariffs and taxes subject to the credibility constraint that the chosen levels be optimal once capital is irreversibly in place the foreign multinational is assumed to choose its location and level of investment strategically taking into account the induced tax and tariff levels in the presence of unemployment the optimal tariff exceeds the optimal tax for any given level of capital investment leading to foreign direct investment

risk aversion liquidity and endogenous short horizons we analyze a competitive model in which different information signals get reflected in value at different points in time if investors are sufficiently risk averse we obtain an equilibrium in which all investors focus exclusively on the short term in addition we show that increasing the variance of informationless trading increases market depth but causes a greater proportion of investors to focus on the short term signal which decreases the informativeness of prices about the long run finally we also explore parameter spaces under which long term informed agents wish to voluntarily disclose their information article published by oxford university press on behalf of the society for financial studies in its journal the review of financial studies

imperfect competition in a multi security market with risk neutrality the central purpose of this paper is to develop a model of insider trading i e trading based on private information in the context of an imperfectly competitive multi security market with risk neutral agents imperfect competition allows us to consider strategic behavior and a multi security market lets us study the effect of a correlated environment on equilibrium we employ the informational assumption that market makers can observe all order flows and so portfolio diversification arises in this model for strategic reasons given correlated fundamentals market makers can potentially learn about every security from each order flow this causes even a risk neutral trader who does not face short selling restrictions to refrain from determining the demand for each security independently this contrasts with traditional multi asset models which focus on the incentive to reduce portfolio variance or the effect of short selling restrictions or budget constraints under imperfect competition correlation has two effects one ceteris paribus it allows the uninformed to learn from additional variables since each order flow could potentially have information about all payoffs on the other hand it creates an incentive for informed traders to restrict what others can learn from public information thus our analysis can be viewed as an application to the multi security heterogeneous information model in admati 1985 of the imperfectly competitive equilibrium concept which kyle 1985 first applied to the single security homogeneous information model of grossman and stiglitz 1980 our principal results include an explicit characterization of a linear equilibrium as a function of three general covariance matrices associated with payoffs noise trading and errors in private signals under general covariance structures we show that there always exists an equilibrium in which the relationship between the vector of prices and the vector of order flows is governed by a symmetric positive definite matrix the plan of the paper is as follows in section 2 we introduce our model we derive the equilibrium in section 3 and section 4 comments on the properties of the equilibrium the proofs of the results are in the appendix

eco dumping capital mobility and international trade a small open economy s optimal environmental policy is studied in a model with international capital mobility and local pollution the country produces traded as well as non traded goods is it in the country s interest to engage in ecological dumping by choosing generous pollution allowances for the traded good sector the answer depends decisively on the policy regime in use dumping is not optimal if the country ensures that the implicit rent on pollution is completely appropriated within the country however if the implicit factor reward on pollution leaves the country because it accrues to foreign owners of mobile capital the local welfare maximizing government tends to discriminate against the traded good sector the opposite of ecological dumping

ownership structure speculation and shareholder intervention an institution holding shares in a firm can use information about the firm both for trading speculation and for deciding whether to intervene to improve firm performance intervention increases the value of the institution s existing shareholdings but intervention only increases the institution s trading profits if it enhances the precision of the institution s information relative to that of uninformed traders thus the ability to speculate can increase or decrease institutional intervention we examine key factors that affect the intervention decision the usefulness of short swing provisions and restricted shares in encouraging institutional intervention and implications for ownership structure across different firms institutional investors hold an ever greater fraction of corporate america s equity traditionally these institutions were stock pickers who tried to beat the market through trading if a firm whose stock they held seemed headed for trouble these investors headed for the door the wall street rule more recently some of these institutions have been using the ownership rights attached to their shares to pressure firms to act in the shareholders interest some have even argued that there is a synergy between gathering information for use in trading shares speculation and intelligently pressuring firms to improve performance intervention we argue that these motives can also conflict analyzing these motives allows us to predict which firms are most likely to attract institutional intervention which in turn has crosssectional implications for firm ownership structure recent examples suggest that institutional investors with large stakes sometimes intervene and sometimes follow the wall street rule so that there is indeed a choice to be studied in the early 1990s there was a wave of activism by a variety of large institutional investors among them calpers the california public employees pension fund putnam management a mutual fund manager and j p morgan a bank holding company these institu

international r d rivalry and export market shares of unionized industries some evidence from the us manufacturing sector abstract this paper investigates how union activity that captures r d rents alters the strategic investment behavior of internationally competitive firms the effect of union activity in the spencer b j brander j a 1983 international r d rivalry and industrial strategy review of economic studies 50 707 722 framework is to reduce the firm s strategic investment in r d and its export market share the empirical investigation at the industry level indicates that union activity has a significant and negative impact on r d investment decisions in the us manufacturing sector an important contribution of this work is its attempt to empirically distinguish between strategic and non strategic r d the strategic effect of r d on export market share in an imperfectly competitive product market is a decreasing function of the level of union activity

dea duality on returns to scale rts in production and cost analyses an occurrence of multiple solutions and differences between production based and cost based rts estimates this article discusses the concept of rts returns to scale in the framework of dea data envelopment analysis production and cost analyses focusing on an occurrence of multiple solutions and how to deal with such a difficulty dual relationships between production based and cost based rts estimates are also theoretically discussed in this study

endogenous market thinness and stock price volatility thin equity markets cannot accommodate temporary bulges of buy or sell orders without large price movements the resulting volatility can induce risk averse transactors who face transaction costs to desert these markets thus thinness and the related price volatility may become joint self perpetuating features of an equity market irrespective of the volatility of asset fundamentals if however appropriate incentive schemes are adopted to encourage entry by additional investors this vicious circle can be broken eventually shifting the market to a selfsustaining superior equilibrium characterized by a higher number of transactors lower price volatility and larger supply of the asset a number of empirical studies cohen et al 1976 telser and higimbotham 1977 pagano 1986 tauchen and pitts 1983 have found that thin speculative markets are ceteris paribus more volatile than deep ones a plausible explanation for this finding is that thin markets are generally characterized by small numbers of transactors per unit time and thus their prices are more sensitive to the impact of individual traders demand shocks conversely in deep markets transactors are so many that the uncorrelated demand shocks experienced by individual traders tend to offset each other and leave market prices largely unaffected while this suggests a rationale for the observed relationship between market size and price volatility it does so by taking market size as the exogenous factor however the volatility of a speculative market may feed back on its size in the sense that the high liquidation risk implied by very volatile prices can induce potential entrants to keep out of the market this paper shows that in a stock market with transaction costs this interaction between thinness and volatility can produce multiple steady state equilibria some characterized by low trade and high volatility and others by high trade and low volatility whether the market will settle in one equilibrium or another depends entirely on the expectations held by economic agents sections 2 and 3 the existence of these multiple bootstrap equilibria can be explained heuristically as follows each additional trader generates a positive externality for other actual or potential traders by decreasing the riskiness of the stock lower risk in turn tends to attract more investors with the effect of raising stock prices and inducing corporations to issue additional equity we thus have a feedback loop between market size and price volatility where market size is measured both along the dimension of the number of traders and along that of the total stock of equities if however investors face transactions costs in the stock market this positive feedback may fail to be operative if the volume of trade is expected to be small investors with relatively high transaction costs will abstain from trading thus the market

noncooperative versus cooperative r d with endogenous spillover rates this paper deals with a general version of a two stage model of r d and product market competition we provide a thorough generalization of previous results on the comparative performance of noncooperative and cooperative r d dispensing in particular with ex post firm symmetry and linear demand assumptions we also characterize the structure of profit maximizing r d cartels where firms competing in a product market jointly decide r d expenditure as well as internal spillover levels we establish the firms would essentially always prefer extremal spillovers and within the context of a standard specification derive conditions for the optimality of minimal spillover

dea congestion and returns to scale under an occurrence of multiple optimal projections abstract economic implications of congestion have been recently discussed in many dea data envelopment analysis studies in addition several previous research efforts have explored a theoretical linkage between returns to scale rts and the concept of congestion because the two economic concepts are closely connected to each other tone and sahoo tone k sahoo b k 2004 degree of scale economies and congestion a unified dea approach european journal of operational research 158 755 772 have published the theoretical linkage in this journal all of the previous studies including their research 2004 assume a unique optimal solution in the investigation on dea based congestion when multiple solutions occur in dea based congestion measurement the economic implications of congestion obtained from the previous research are all problematic from both theoretical and practical perspectives to deal with the issue this study explores how to deal with the occurrence of multiple solutions in the dea based congestion measurement this study proposes a new approach for the congestion measurement and theoretically compares the proposed approach with tone and sahoo 2004

should speculators be taxed a number of economists have supported the taxation of speculation in financial markets we examine the welfare economics of such a tax in a model of a financial market where some agents have superior information and others have a hedging motive we show that a tax on speculators may actually increase speculative profits this occurs if the speculators benefit from less informative prices offsets the cost of the tax the effect on the welfare of other agents depends on how information revelation changes risk sharing opportunities it is possible for the introduction of a tax to cause a pareto improvement copyright 2000 by university of chicago press

high tech and productivity evidence from israeli industrial firms abstract the main purpose of this study is to characterize and analyze high technology industrial firms a technology index is constructed and used to classify firms the largest concentration of hightech firms is israel is found in electronics and transport equipment industries and the lowest in textiles and clothing high tech firms appear to be more productive more export oriented pay higher wages and earn higher rates of return than low tech firms the fact that high tech firms in israel are export oriented is shown to be consistent with the international trade theories of comparative advantage and strategic rent seeking

returns to scale and damages to scale under natural and managerial disposability strategy efficiency and competitiveness of petroleum firms environmental assessment recently becomes a major policy issue all over the world this study discusses how to use data environment analysis dea for environmental assessment for planning corporate strategy and international competitiveness an important feature of dea environmental assessment is that it classifies outputs into desirable good and undesirable bad outputs because all private and public entities produce not only desirable outputs but also undesirable outputs as a result of their production activities this study proposes the two types of output unification for dea environmental assessment by using a non radial model one of the two output unifications is that it considers a decrease in an input vector along with a decrease in the vector of undesirable outputs this type of unification is referred to as natural disposability the other unification considers an increase in an input vector but a decrease in the vector of undesirable outputs this type of strategy is referred to as managerial disposability both unifications increase the vector of desirable outputs after developing the two concepts on disposability this study theoretically explores how to measure returns to scale rts under natural disposability and damages to scale dts under managerial disposability to document the practicality of the proposed approach this study applies it to compare the performance of national oil firms with that of international oil companies this study identifies four important findings on the petroleum industry first national oil companies outperform international oil companies in the unified efficiency under natural disposability second international oil companies outperform national oil companies in the unified efficiency under managerial disposability third national oil firms exhibit a mixed result on rts while international oil firms exhibit decreasing rts finally both national and international oil companies exhibit increasing dts implying that all oil firms need to decrease their operational sizes for improving their environmental performance on co2 emission as an alternative strategy the result suggests that they need to introduce technology innovation e g clean air technology into their business operations the technology based strategy has more practicality than the size reduction in their operations

the congestion total factor energy efficiency of regions in taiwan abstract this study applies the congestion total factor energy efficiency model to analyze the energy efficiency of 20 administrative regions in taiwan from 2004 to 2013 by studying four kinds of energies amount of electricity for manufacturing industry use amount of electricity consumed for lighting amount of gasoline sales and amount of diesel sales the main findings are that i in terms of these four energies only taipei city taitung county and penghu county among the 20 administrative regions exhibit no phenomenon of energy input congestion during the whole data period ii more attention should be put on energy efficiency improvement in diesel use than on electricity for manufacturing industry use electricity consumption for lighting and gasoline usage and iii the energy efficiency outcomes in taiwan correlate to the country s regional development features such as its tourist regions including taitung county and penghu county which have nature green and environmental protection characteristics

strategic environmental policy under incomplete information this paper introduces incomplete information into recent analyses of strategic environmental policy it is shown how asymmetric information between planners and producers affects national incentives to impose strategic environmental standards on domestic industries in international oligopolistic competition relative to the full information case incomplete information is likely to mitigate allocative distortions originating from strategic behaviour a countervailing effect tending to raise distortion is however revealed from the analysis this effect is absent when governments intervene in free trade through direct production subsidies the results suggest that incentives to capture foreign rents are less reduced due to private information when environmental standards rather than direct production subsidies are the strategic instrument

capital subsidies and countervailing duties in oligopolistic industries abstract under gatt countries are allowed to impose countervailing duties to offset foreign subsidies however gatt rules limit the amount of duty to the amount of the subsidy this paper examines a generalized model of imperfect competition with capital subsidies and shows the conditions under which a countervailing duty will offset the effect of the subsidy on exports also conditions are specified under which exports will increase despite the imposition of the maximum tariff under gatt in addition the paper considers whether profit shifting motives for a subsidy still exist even when this maximum duty is anticipated

congestion measurement in nonparametric analysis under the weakly disposable technology abstract congestion is a widely observed economic phenomenon where outputs are reduced due to excessive amount of inputs the previous approaches to identify congestion in nonparametric analysis only consider desirable outputs in the production process undesirable outputs are usually jointly produced with desirable outputs in this paper we propose an approach for measuring congestion in the presence of desirable and undesirable outputs simultaneously the proposed approach can discriminate between the congested dmus and the truly efficient dmus which are all efficient according to the scores calculated by the directional distance function finally an empirical example is used to illustrate the approach

information sales and insider trading with long lived information fundamental information resembles in many respects a durable good hence the eects of its incorporation into stock prices depend on who is the agent controlling its flow similarly to a durable goods monopolist a monopolistic analyst selling information intertemporally competes against herself this forces her to partially relinquish control over the information flow to traders conversely an insider solves the intertemporal competition problem through vertical integration thus exerting a tighter control over the flow of information comparing market patterns i show that a dynamic market where information is provided by an analyst is thicker and more informative than one where an insider trades

the impact of parallel imports on investments in cost reducing research and development abstract we develop a two country model of endogenous investment in process innovation by a manufacturer facing competition from parallel imports pi we find that the distortions associated with pi inhibit innovation however the difference between the manufacturer s expected profits under successful and failed innovation is u shaped in the cost of engaging in pi thus the reduction in r d investment depends on both legality of pi and transport costs the reduction in innovation could harm global welfare depending on whether the manufacturer was deterring pi with a high wholesale price if so banning such trade would raise expected welfare

how many franchises in a market abstract this paper studies how firms use their number of franchises as a strategic tool firms can commit to high output by creating many franchises however signing a single franchise contract with a low wholesale price is an equally effective way to generate output the value of granting many franchises is undercut when firms can sign contracts afterwards so firms place only a single franchise in a market this finding reverses previous results which did not model contracts the same issues arise in international competition policy where countries use anti trust policy to affect their number of exporters and use subsidies to affect the choices of exporters

the sensitivity of strategic and corrective r d policy in oligopolistic industries abstract we evaluate the case for r d subsidies in export sectors when the outcome of r d is uncertain and the product market is oligopolistic when r d reduces expected costs in the particular sense of first order stochastic dominance a national strategic basis for r d subsidies exists whether firms choose prices or quantities this must be balanced against a corrective incentive to tax r d whenever the number of domestic firms exceeds one however when r d increases the riskiness of the cost distribution as well the results may switch there emerges a strategic incentive to tax and a corrective incentive to subsidize r d

comparisons and evaluations of alternative approaches to the treatment of congestion in dea abstract this paper examines the two approaches that are presently available in the data envelopment analysis dea literature for use in identifying and analyzing congestion the first approach due to fare et al fare r grosskopf s lovell c a k 1985 the measurement of efficiency of production kluwer nijhoff boston has been extensively employed to identify congestion in areas such as the provision of health services the latter approach due to cooper et al cooper w w thompson r g thrall r m 1996 annals of operations research 66 3 45 was subsequently extended by brockett et al brockett p l cooper w w shin h c wang y 1998 socio economic planning sciences 32 1 20 to treat tradeoff possibilities between employment and output in chinese production when congestion is present in contrast with cooper et al examples are provided in this paper which show that the fare et al approach can fail in both modes it can show congestion to be present when this is not consistent with the observed behavior it can also fail to exhibit congestion when the data show it to be present suggestions are offered both for i taking precautions before using the fgl approach and for ii overcoming these shortcomings

short term investment and equilibrium multiplicity abstract i study the effects of the heterogeneity of traders horizons in a 2 period nree model where all traders are risk averse owing to risk premia short termism generates multiple equilibria in particular two distinct patterns arise along the low trading intensity equilibrium short termists anticipate a thinner second period market and owing to risk aversion scale back their trades this reduces both risk sharing and information impounding into prices enforcing a high returns volatility low price informativeness equilibrium along the high trading intensity equilibrium the opposite happens and a low volatility high price informativeness equilibrium arises thus in the presence of short term behavior and traders risk aversion periods of high volatility are a signal of poor price informativeness

the state as strategist in international business research no matter what strategy managers choose cross national differences in states strategic capabilities and objectives affect multinational corporations capabilities to manage interdependent operations in this paper we develop four attribute dimensions along which states strategic economic capabilities vary we then apply these dimensions to show how they contribute to familiar international business models of managerial process mnc strategy and organizational structure and country competitiveness

differential information and dynamic behavior of stock trading volume this article develops a multiperiod rational expectations model of stock trading in which investors have differential information concerning the underlying value of the stock investors trade competitively in the stock market based on their private information and the information revealed by the market clearing prices as well as other public news we examine how trading volume is related to the information flow in the market and how investors trading reveals their private information article published by oxford university press on behalf of the society for financial studies in its journal the review of financial studies

industrial targeting experimentation and long run specialization abstract this paper emphasizes the experimental nature of industrial targeting policies under uncertainty in a small open economy a government promotes entry of new firms in selected industries and updates its beliefs about the country s comparative advantage in a bayesian way this selective targeting policy is analyzed in the framework of a special type of statistical decision problem known as the multi armed bandit the paper analyzes how the costs and benefits of learning about a country s comparative advantage depend on the characteristics of the targeted industries the framework suggests that even an optimally designed industrial targeting policy may eventually steer the country away from specializing according to its true comparative advantage

alternative treatments of congestion in dea a rejoinder to cooper gu and li abstract this paper is a response to cooper w w b gu and s li comparisons and evaluations of alternative approaches to the treatment of congestion in dea european journal of operational research this issue who claim that the standard fgl procedure by fare grosskopf and lovell for dealing with congestion in dea can i fail to identify congestion when it is present and ii identify congestion when it is not present we clarify the notion of congestion and its relationship to structural efficiency and free disposability respectively to point out that the fgl approach was originally intended for measuring structural efficiency i e the influence of congestion on the efficiency of a particular production unit not for identifying occurrence of congestion in any feasible production vector moreover we point out that the result of cooper et al partially arises from ignorance of some key maintained assumptions underlying the fgl approach further we present some counter examples which demonstrate that the alternative approach advocated by cooper et al can equally fail in identification of congestion finally some remarks on the influence of sampling error and errors in variables on the two stage dea approaches are presented

international r d rivalry and industrial strategy this paper presents a theory of government intervention which provides an explanation for industrial strategy policies such as r d or export subsidies in imperfectly competitive international markets domestic net welfare is improved by the capture of a greater share of the output of rent earning industries although the subsidy ridden noncooperative international equilibrium is jointly suboptimal behaviour of governments and firms is modelled as a three stage subgame perfect nash equilibrium the assumption that the government is the first player in this game allows it to influence equilibrium outcomes by altering the set of credible actions open to firms

market liquidity hedging and crashes in the absence of significant news hedging strategies were blamed for the stock market crash of october 1987 but traditional models cannot explain how a relatively small amount of selling could cause so large a price drop the authors develop a rational expectations model in which prices play an important role in shaping expectations markets are much less liquid in their model than in traditional models discontinuities or crashes can occur even with relatively little hedging the model is consistent with theories as disparate as keynes beauty contest insights and thom s catastrophe analysis and suggests means to reduce volatility copyright 1990 by american economic association

a comparison of stock market mechanisms i analyze a multi asset market under two trading mechanisms in the first the unrestricted system traders demand for each asset depends on all equilibrium prices and prices reflect the information contained in all order flows in the second the restricted system traders demand depends on the traded asset price and prices reflect single order flow information i show that informed traders use of multidimensional private information depends on the number of prices they observe and on the price formation process i then give conditions rendering the restricted system more efficient than the unrestricted system

risk aversion market liquidity and price efficiency a model of a noncompetitive speculative market is analyzed in which privately informed traders and market makers are risk averse market liquidity is found to be nonmonotonic in the number of informed traders their degree of risk aversion and the precision of their information it is also shown that increased liquidity trading leads to reduced price efficiency and that under endogenous information acquisition market liquidity may also be nonmonotonic in the variance of liquidity trades article published by oxford university press on behalf of the society for financial studies in its journal the review of financial studies

informed trading investment and welfare this article studies the welfare economics of informed stock market trading we analyze the effect of more informative prices on investment given that this dependence will itself be reflected in equilibrium prices while a higher incidence of informed speculation always increases firm value through a more informative trading process the effect on agents welfare depends on how revelation of information changes risk sharing opportunities in the market greater revelation of information that agents wish to insure against reduces their hedging opportunities on the other hand early revelation of information that is uncorrelated with hedging needs allows agents to construct better hedges