on the concavity of the consumption function at least since keynes 1935 many economists have had the intuition that the marginal propensity to consume out of wealth declines as wealth increases nonetheless standard perfect certainty and certainty equivalent versions of intertemporal optimizing models of consumption imply a marginal propensity to consume that is unrelated to the level of household wealth we show that adding income uncertainty to the standard optimization problem induces a concave consumption function in which as keynes suggested the marginal propensity to consume out of wealth or transitory income declines with the level of wealth

information school choice and academic achievement evidence from two experiments we examine a natural experiment and a field experiment that provided direct information on school test scores to lower income families in a public school choice plan receiving information significantly increases the fraction of parents choosing higher performing schools parents with high scoring alternatives nearby were more likely to choose nonguaranteed schools with higher test scores using random variation from each experiment we find that attending a higher scoring school increases student test scores the results imply that school choice will most effectively increase academic achievement for disadvantaged students when parents have easy access to test score information and good options from which to choose

optimal growth with many consumers abstract a method is described for constructing all pareto optimal allocations for a dynamic economy with many heterogeneous consumers under certainty in which both the technology and consumer preferences are recursive but preferences need not be additively separable over time optimal perfect foresight competitive equilibrium allocations are obtained through the study of a dynamic program for an economy with one consumption good sufficient conditions are given for the existence of a unique interior stationary distribution of consumption and wealth for a two person exchange economy sufficient conditions are given for the global asymptotic stability of the unique interior stationary point

valuing english primary schools this paper provides the first empirical evidence for the uk on the effect of primary school performance on property prices we find that on average a one percentage point increase in the neighbourhood proportion of children reaching the government specified target grade pushes up neighbourhood property prices by 0 67 at 2000 property prices we calculate the social valuation of a sustained 1 improvement in primary school performance to be up to 90 per child per year our instrumental variable and semi parametric approach avoids the problems of school quality endogeneity and omitted neighbourhood variables that occur in typical property value models

do better schools matter parental valuation of elementary education the evaluation of numerous school reforms requires an understanding of the value of better schools given the difficulty of calculating the relationship between school quality and student outcomes i turn to another method and use house prices to infer the value parents place on school quality i look within school districts at houses located on attendance district boundaries houses then differ only by the elementary school the child attends i thereby effectively remove the variation in neighborhoods taxes and school spending i find that parents are willing to pay 2 5 percent more for a 5 percent increase in test scores this finding is robust to a number of sensitivity checks

on the role of small models in macrodynamics abstract this paper focuses on the role of small models in macrodynamics it discusses the insights that i believe these models offer and the extent to which they can address some of the complex issues such as heterogeneity and interactions among agents that are receiving increasing attention in the literature i comment on what i view to be the most productive role for numerical simulations and finally offer some brief comments in defense of the state of modern macroeconomic theory in light of the criticism it has received as a result of the recent financial crisis

using maimonides rule to estimate the effect of class size on scholastic achievement the twelfth century rabbinic scholar maimonides proposed a maximum class size of 40 this same maximum induces a nonlinear and nonmonotonic relationship between grade enrollment and class size in israeli public schools today maimonides rule of 40 is used here to construct instrumental variables estimates of effects of class size on test scores the resulting identiecation strategy can be viewed as an application of donald campbell s regression discontinuity design to the class size question the estimates show that reducing class size induces a signiecant and substantial increase in test scores for fourth and efth graders although not for third graders when asked about their views on class size in surveys parents and teachers generally report that they prefer smaller classes this may be because those involved with teaching believe that smaller classes promote student learning or simply because smaller classes offer a more pleasant environment for the pupils and teachers who are in them mueller chase and walden 1988 social scientists and school administrators also have a longstanding interest in the class size question class size is often thought to be easier to manipulate than other school inputs and it is a variable at the heart of policy debates on school quality and the allocation of school resources in many countries see e g robinson 1990 for the united states ofsted 1995 for the united kingdom and moshel ravid 1995 for israel this broad interest in the consequences of changing class size

wealth distribution in life cycle economies abstract this paper compares the age wealth distribution produced in life cycle economies to the corresponding distribution in the us economy the idea is to calibrate the model economies to match features of the us earnings distribution and then examine the wealth distribution implications of the model economies the findings are that the calibrated model economies with earnings and lifetime uncertainty can replicate measures of both aggregate wealth and transfer wealth in the us furthermore the model economies produce the us wealth gini and a significant fraction of the wealth inequality within age groups however the model economies produce less than half the fraction of wealth held by the top 1 percent of us households

an impossibility theorem for wealth in heterogeneous agent models with limited heterogeneity abstract it has been conjectured that canonical bewley huggett aiyagari heterogeneous agent models cannot explain the joint distribution of income and wealth the results stated below verify this conjecture and clarify its implications under very general conditions we show in particular that if i agents are infinitely lived ii saving is risk free and iii agents have constant discount factors then the wealth distribution inherits the tail behavior of income shocks e g light tailedness or the pareto exponent our restrictions on utility require only that relative risk aversion is bounded and a large variety of income processes are admitted our results show conclusively that it is necessary to go beyond standard models to explain the empirical fact that wealth is heavier tailed than income we demonstrate through examples that relaxing any of the above three conditions can generate pareto tails

valuing school quality using boundary discontinuities abstract existing research shows that house prices respond to local school quality as measured by average test scores however higher test scores could signal higher academic value added or higher ability more sought after intakes in our research we show that both school value added and student prior achievement linked to the background of children in schools affect households demand for education in order to identify these effects we improve the boundary discontinuity regression methodology by matching identical properties across admissions authority boundaries by allowing for boundary effects and spatial trends by re weighting our data towards transactions that are closest to district boundaries by eliminating boundaries that coincide with major geographical features and by submitting our estimates to a number of novel falsification tests our results survive this battery of tests and show that a one standard deviation change in either school average value added or prior achievement raises prices by around 3

an equilibrium model of wealth distribution i present an explicitly solved equilibrium model for the distribution of wealth and income in an incomplete markets economy i flrst propose a self insurance model with an inter temporally dependent preference uzawa 1968 lucas and stokey 1984 and obstfeld 1990 i then derive an analytical consumption rule which captures stochastic precautionary saving motive and generates stationary wealth accumulation finally i provide a complete characterization for the equilibrium cross sectional distribution of wealth and income in closed form by developing a recursive formulation for the moments of the distribution of wealth and income using this recursive formulation i show that income persistence and the degree of wealth mean reversion are the main determinants of wealth income correlation and relative dispersions of wealth to income such as skewness and kurtosis ratios between wealth and income

generalizing the permanent income hypothesis revisiting friedman s conjecture on consumption abstract friedman s contribution to the consumption literature goes well beyond the seminal permanent income hypothesis he conjectured that the marginal propensity to consume out of financial wealth shall be larger than out of human wealth the present discounted value of future labor income i present an explicitly solved model to deliver this widely noted consumption property by specifying that the conditional variance of changes in income increases with its level a larger realization of income not only implies a higher level of human wealth but also signals a riskier stream of future labor income inducing a higher precautionary saving and thus giving rise to friedman s conjecture appropriately adjusting human wealth for income risk i show that friedman s conjecture may be formulated as a generalized permanent income hypothesis i further show that friedman s conjecture captures the first order effect of stochastic precautionary savings finally i propose a natural decomposition of the optimal saving rule to formalize various motives for holding wealth as emphasized in friedman m 1957 a theory of the consumption function princeton university press princeton

consumer demand and household production the relationship between fertility and child mortality forces which link biological and behavioral factors to infant mortality and fertility in the united states are examined estimates can be arrived at if all of the important types of behavior affecting infant survival prices and income constraints facing households are diligently gathered using equations to determine the relationship between a family health endowment index in conjunction with a childs health information about optimal prenatal and postnatal behavior can be estimated and observed this estimate which is strongly a factor of parental and environmental health related factors attempts to characterize the biological effects of parents behavior on birthweight gestation and the rate of fetal growth another estimate presented is one which establishes a link between biological effects of birth order on infant mortality in this analysis factors such as medical care during pregnancy mothers rate of smoking mothers age duration of breastfeeding mothers race and childs sex were included household socioeconomic and health data were also estimated in order to understand state and county ability to provide adequate health facilities for pre and postnatal maternal care in particular results suggest that child mortality declines in developed countries and that mothers seek prenatal medical care in early stages of their pregnancy when risk is anticipated further study of the differential pattern of black and white fertility behavior in regard to seeking medical care is warranted

house prices and the provision of local public services capitalization under school choice programs abstract while the theoretical public finance literature argues that house prices should be influenced by the demand for local public services there is little direct evidence concerning changes in house prices when these services are altered previous empirical studies have relied on cross sectional identification of the relationship between house prices and variables that may proxy for the perceived quality of local public services this paper instead examines a policy change the adoption of a public school choice program to identify the capitalization effects associated with the diminished importance of school district boundaries using data from inter district choice in minnesota i find that residential properties appreciate significantly in school districts where students are able to transfer to preferred school districts whereas residential property values decline in districts that accept transfer students these general equilibrium effects also influence school districts local property tax revenues mitigating the incentive for schools to improve in order to attract or retain students

changes in city and suburban house prices during a period of expected school desegregation during the last decade the courts have given attention to public school segregation which results from residential segregation the precedent was established that when the past actions of school authorities in drawing attendance zones served to create or maintain school segregation desegregation plans using busing could be imposed as a remedy at the same time neighboring suburbs with their own school systems have not been included in the desegregation plans of affected cities thus creating the option of moving to the suburbs in order to avoid busing 2 this paper reports on a study of house prices in columbus ohio and neighboring suburbs during a period of increasingly imminent school desegregation most research on desegregation has examined changes in enrollment patterns such a focus yields only an indication of relative shifts in demand for housing this study directly observed changes in house prices the study used multiple listing service mls data on 5888 sales between may and august for the years 1975 through 1979 year to year comparisons were made which matched six suburbs to contiguous city neighborhoods which have similar types of housing the purpose of the study was to determine the size of any change in the ratio of city to suburban house price differentials and the timing of those changes with respect to major events in the desegregation process year to year changes in the ratio of suburban to city house prices can be expected given a relative increase in demand for suburban houses and a housing supply which is inelastic in the short run following a typical capitalization argument suburban and city house prices should in equilibrium adjust to expected school desegregation such that at the margin households are once again indifferent between a suburban or city location it was hypothesized that the greatest capitalization impact of expected desegregation would be concentrated upon large houses defined to be houses with four or more bed i gratefully acknowledge the financial support of the ohio board of realtors the research has benefited

wealth inequality and intergenerational links previous work has had difficulty generating household saving behaviour that makes the distribution of wealth much more concentrated than that of labour earnings and that makes the richest households hold onto large amounts of wealth even during very old age i construct a quantitative general equilibrium overlapping generations model in which parents and children are linked by accidental and voluntary bequests and by earnings ability i show that voluntary bequests can explain the emergence of large estates while accidental bequests alone cannot and that adding earnings persistence within families increases wealth concentration even more i also show that the introduction of a bequest motive generates lifetime savings profiles more consistent with the data

school district and housing price responses to fiscal stress labels evidence from ohio abstract this paper examines the effect of the ohio fiscal stress labeling system on school district outcomes and housing prices under this policy financially troubled districts are labeled and required to implement financial recovery plans in response to these plans districts increase local tax revenues and decrease capital and operating expenditures although these recovery plans lead to better long term financial health for school districts there appear to be some negative impacts on welfare in these districts during the duration of the label i find that residential home sale prices fall following fiscal stress label receipt but rise again once the label is removed these districts also undergo substantial restructuring including reductions in enrollments teachers and schools which coincide with a transitory reduction in math proficiency rates following label receipt

does competition among public schools benefit students and taxpayers tiebout choice among districts is the most powerful market force in american public education naive estimates of its effects are biased by endogenous district formation i derive instruments from the natural boundaries in a metropolitan area my results suggest that metropolitan areas with greater tiebout choice have more productive public schools and less private schooling little of the effect of tiebout choice works through its effect on household sorting this finding may be explained by another finding students are equally segregated by school in metropolitan areas with greater and lesser degrees of tiebout choice among districts

contagious speculation and a cure for cancer a nonevent that made stock prices soar a sunday new york times article on a potential development of new cancer curing drugs caused entremed s stock price to rise from 12 063 at the friday close to open at 85 and close near 52 on monday it closed above 30 in the three following weeks the enthusiasm spilled over to other biotechnology stocks the potential breakthrough in cancer research already had been reported however in the journal nature and in various popular newspapers including the times more than five months earlier thus enthusiastic public attention induced a permanent rise in share prices even though no genuinely new information had been presented a central tenet of f inancial economics is that an asset should trade at the risk adjusted present value of its expected future cash f lows these expected future cash f lows exist in people s minds and do not normally lend themselves to direct observation an equilibrium price in a frictionless market does not tolerate disagreements among market participants if some people deem the price too low they will buy the asset if others think it is too high they will sell it short if necessary although the efficient markets hypothesis predicts that price changes are unpredictable it associates them with changes in traders beliefs about future cash f lows or the appropriate discount rate beliefs change with the arrival of new information thus in hindsight at least we should be able to ascribe price changes to the arrival of specific new information we examine this view in the context of a series of news reports in the media pertaining to entremed enmd a biotechnology company and other members of its sector the sunday may 3 1998 edition of the new york times reports on a recent breakthrough in cancer research and mentions enmd a company with licensing rights to the breakthrough kolata 1998 the story s impact on the stock prices was immediate huge and to a large extent permanent the new news content of the times story was nil though the substance of the story had been published as a scientific piece in nature boehm et al 1997 and in the popular press including the times itself wade 1997 more than five months earlier in november 1997

on the choice of funtional form for hedonic price functions this study examines how errors in measuring marginal attribute pric es vary with the form of the hedonic price function in simulations consumers with known utility functions bid for houses with given attributes various forms of the hedonic function are estimated using equilibrium housing prices errors in estimating marginal attribute prices are calculated by comparing each consumer s equilibrium marginal bid vector with the gradient of the hedonic function when all attributes are observed linear and quadratic box cox forms produce lowest mean percentage errors however when some attributes are unobserved or are replaced by proxies linear and linear box cox functions perform best copyright 1988 by mit press

teacher training teacher quality and student achievement abstract we study the effects of various types of education and training on the productivity of teachers in promoting student achievement previous studies on the subject have been hampered by inadequate measures of teacher training and difficulties in addressing the non random selection of teachers to students and of teachers to training we address these issues by estimating models that include detailed measures of pre service and in service training a rich set of time varying covariates and student teacher and school fixed effects we find that elementary and middle school teacher productivity increases with experience informal on the job training the largest gains from experience occur in the first few years but we find continuing gains beyond the first five years of a teacher s career in contrast we do not find a consistent relationship between formal professional development training and teacher productivity however this may be partly driven by estimation issues as we find more significant positive effects of formal training in the subject grade combination where estimates should be most precise middle school math there is no evidence that teachers pre service undergraduate training or college entrance exam scores are related to productivity

accounting for the u s earnings and wealth inequality we show that a theory of earnings and wealth inequality based on the optimal choices of ex ante identical households that face uninsured idiosyncratic shocks to their endowments of efficiency labor units accounts for the u s earnings and wealth inequality almost exactly

saving and liquidity constraints this paper is concerned with the theory of saving when consumers are not permitted to borrow and with the ability of such a theory to account for some of the stylized facts of saving behavior the models presented in the paper seem to account for important aspects of reality that are not explained by traditional life cycle models copyright 1991 by the econometric society

do households prefer small school districts a natural experiment author affiliation h spencer banzhaf hsbanzhaf gsu edugarima bhalla gbhalla live unc edu acknowledgment we thank rajashri chakrabarti rob fleck jason fletcher john pepper jesse rothstein holger sieg david sjoquist todd sorensen christiana stoddard randall walsh anonymous referees and participants of a session at the 2006 southern economic association meetings and seminars at montana state university and the university of pittsburgh for valuable comments 1 introductionperennial discontent with the quality of public education in the united states is a constant motivation for new educational reforms one potential reform is to break up large urban school districts into smaller districts 1 this proposal emerges from two lines of logic first large districts may suffer from substantial diseconomies of scale a recent review of the evidence concludes that diseconomies may emerge in districts with as few as 15 000 students andrews duncombe and yinger 2002 see also barrow and rouse 2004 and duncombe miner and ruggiero 2005 by comparison the urban districts of new york city los angeles and chicago handle as many as 1 1 million 727 000 and 421 000 students respectively a second line of logic is that breaking up large school districts would provide more choice for households in particular the smaller districts may be differentiated horizontally with some emphasizing math others reading others specific extra curricular courses and so forth since smaller districts can respond better to parental input these differences can reflect local tastes additionally the new districts would have to compete with one another for students enhancing their incentive to improve their performance borland and howsen 1992 hoxby 2000 hanushek and rivkin 2003 sandstrom and bergstrom 2005 these reforms are subject to a market test following the logic of tiebout 1956 households should respond to exogenous changes in public goods by voting with their feet that is moving into improving communities and bidding up prices 2 consequently if households perceive that decentralizing large school districts is desirable for any of these reasons we would expect the ceteris paribus demand for housing to increase in school districts undergoing such reforms relative to nearby substitutes this article examines just such a market test studying the effect on local real estate markets surrounding the april 2000 breakup of the los angeles unified school district lausd into 11 subdistricts this breakup was only partial insofar as official authority remained vested in a single school board nevertheless the breakup delegated substantial power to a more local level creating 11 new superintendents and devolving authority over educational policy and curricula to the new subdistricts we employ a difference in differences hedonic methodology comparing changes in real estate prices before and after the breakup announcement within the lausd area to price changes in nearby districts our approach has three distinct advantages first the october 1999 announcement of the breakup plan was abrupt and surprising and was swiftly followed by official passage in april 2000 because the announcement was so abrupt and so well covered by the media we have an excellent proxy for households expectations and it is expectations after all that govern market behavior our proxies for expectations are based on the announcement date the implementation date and in some models an index of newspaper coverage second few of the benefits of the reform would be likely to spill over into other school districts making the lausd border a sharp boundary defining relevant control groups third the lausd area is not coextensive with the city of los angeles but rather includes some 24 cities this implies that any other potentially confounding political events over the period would affect real estate markets in only a portion of the lausd rather than the whole area a possibility that we can test

wealthier is healthier we estimate the effect of income on health using cross country timeseries data on health infant and child mortality and life expectancy and income per capita we use instrumental variables estimates using exogenous determinants of income growth to identify the pure income effect on health isolated from reverse causation or incidental association the long run income elasticity of infant and child mortality in developing countries lies between 0 2 and 0 4 using these estimates we calculate that over a half a million child deaths in the developing world in 1990 alone can be attributed to the poor economic performance in the 1980s

the value of school facility investments evidence from a dynamic regression discontinuity design author s cellini stephanie riegg ferreira fernando rothstein jesse abstract despite extensive public infrastructure spending surprisingly little is known about its economic return in this paper we estimate the value of school facility investments using housing markets standard models of local public goods imply that school districts should spend up to the point where marginal increases would have zero effect on local housing prices our research design isolates exogenous variation in investments by comparing school districts where referenda on bond issues targeted to fund capital expenditures passed and failed by narrow margins we extend this traditional regression discontinuity approach to identify the dynamic treatment effects of bond authorization on local housing prices student achievement and district composition our results indicate that california school districts underinvest in school facilities passing a referendum causes immediate sizable increases in home prices implying a willingness to pay on the part of marginal homebuyers of 1 50 or more for each 1 of capital spending these effects do not appear to be driven by changes in the income or racial composition of homeowners and the impact on test scores appears to explain only a small portion of the total housing price effect c 2010 by the president and fellows of harvard college and the massachusetts institute of technology

why is consumption so smooth for thirty years it has been accepted that consumption is smooth because permanent income is smoother than measured income this paper considers the evidence for the contrary position that permanent income is in fact less smooth than measured income so that the smoothness of consumption cannot be straightforwardly explained by permanent income theory the paper argues that in postwar u s quarterly data consumption is smooth because it responds with a lag to changes in income

huggett economies with multiple stationary equilibria abstract i obtain a closed form solution to a huggett economy with constant absolute risk aversion cara utility when the vector of individual state variables follows a var 1 process with an arbitrary shock distribution the stationary equilibrium is unique if the income process is ar 1 but not necessarily so otherwise with gaussian shocks i provide general sufficient conditions for the existence of at least three equilibria when the income process is either arma 1 1 ar 2 or has a persistent transitory pt representation with negatively correlated shocks the possibility of multiple equilibria calls for caution in comparative statics exercises and policy analyses using heterogeneous agent models as an illustration i provide an example in which the welfare implication of changing the income risk goes in opposite directions depending on the choice of equilibrium

valuing school quality better transport and lower crime evidence from house prices housing prices within urban areas exhibit highly localized variation that cannot be explained solely by differences in the physical attributes of dwellings we consider the role of local amenities and disamenities in generating price variation within urban areas focusing on three highly policy relevant urban issues transport accessibility school quality and crime our survey of the recent empirical literature highlights what is known and what is not known on these issues and considers the relevance and reliability of this evidence for policy design and evaluation although there are serious empirical challenges we argue that research on housing values based on careful research designs can offer credible estimates of the social value of place specific attributes and amenities

time preference and capital asset pricing models abstract results of the theory of individual optimal consumption investment choice under uncertainty are extended to a class of intertemporally dependent preferences for consumption streams these results are then used to show that with intertemporally dependent preferences which are more realistic than the separable time additive preference structure merton s 1973 multi beta intertemporal capital asset pricing model is still valid but it can no longer be collapsed to breeden s 1979 single consumption beta model

precautionary savings and the permanent income hypothesis this paper derives the explicit solution of a dynamic stochastic optimal consumption problem for infinitely lived agents whose preferences exhibit in the presence of non diversifiable labour income uncertainty a constant elasticity of intertemporal substitution and constant absolute risk aversion the constancy of the elasticity of intertemporal substitution which implies that marginal utility at zero consumption is infinite guarantees that the non negativity constraint on consumption is never binding along the optimal path the assumption of constant absolute risk aversion allows an explicit computation of human wealth and provides a simple representation of the precautionary savings motive

income and wealth heterogeneity in the macroeconomy how do movements in the distribution of income and wealth affect the macroeconomy we analyze this question using a calibrated version of the stochastic growth model with partially uninsurable idiosyncratic risk and movements in aggregate productivity our main finding is that in the stationary stochastic equilibrium the behavior of the macroeconomic aggregates can be almost perfectly described using only the mean of the wealth distribution this result is robust to substantial changes in both parameter values and model specification our benchmark model whose only difference from the representative agent framework is the existence of uninsurable idiosyncratic risk displays far less cross sectional dispersion and skewness in wealth than u s data however an extension that relies on a small amount of heterogeneity in thrift does succeed in replicating the key features of the wealth data furthermore this extension features aggregate time series that depart significantly from permanent income behavior

which school attributes matter the influence of school district performance and demographic composition on property values abstract increasing levels of segregation in american schools raises the question do home buyers pay for test scores or demographic composition this paper uses connecticut panel data spanning eleven years from 1994 to 2004 to ascertain the relationship between property values and school district attributes such as student test scores and the racial and ethnic composition of the student body town and census tract fixed effects are included to control for neighborhood unobservables the effect of changes in school district attributes is also examined over a decade long time frame in order to focus on the effect of long run changes which are more likely to be capitalized into prices the study finds strong evidence that increases in percent hispanic have a negative effect on housing prices in connecticut but mixed evidence concerning the impact of test scores on property values student test scores also appear to have increased in importance for explaining housing prices in recent years while the importance of percent hispanic has declined finally the study finds that estimates of property tax capitalization increase substantially when the analysis focuses on long run changes

intertemporal dependence impatience and dynamics abstract this paper develops simple geometric methods for analyzing consumer behavior under recursive but intertemporally dependent tastes since the preferences studied need not be time additive they allow the marginal utility of consumption on a given date to vary with consumption on other dates intertemporal dependence is induced by the presence of a variable individual rate of time preference the optimal consumption responses to transitory and anticipated changes in incomes and interest rates are easily derived and are similar in many respects to the responses implied by the standard constant time preference model intuitive explanations of the first order conditions describing optimal paths are provided

does the market value value added evidence from housing prices after a public release of school and teacher value added value added data are an increasingly common evaluation tool for schools and teachers many school districts have adopted these methods and released the results publicly in this paper we study the release of value added data in los angeles by the los angeles times newspaper to identify how measured value added is capitalized into housing prices this analysis is the first in the us school valuation literature to examine property value responses to a value added information shock which is of interest as this measure is less correlated with demographics than typical school quality measures unique to this setting as well is the release of both school and teacher level value added data which allows us to examine how property values respond to both types of information using a difference indifferences methodology surrounding the release we find that neither school nor teacher value added scores are capitalized into home prices our results suggest that despite the contentiousness following these data releases homeowners do not consider value added models as currently constructed to be a relevant school quality measure on the margin

the effects of employment while pregnant on health at birth today many pregnant women take a brief period of time off from work to give birth in this paper i identify the effects of pregnancy employment on health at birth my initial results show that pregnancy employment has beneficial effects however these effects often become statistically insignificant when i control for earnings from pregnancy employment when i exclusively examine women employed prior to the pregnancy and when i examine siblings in fixed effects models i conclude that beneficial effects of pregnancy employment are partially due to increased family income via earnings during the pregnancy and partially due to unobserved heterogeneity there is no evidence that increased female labor force participation adversely affects health at birth

capitalization of interjurisdictional fiscal differentials an alternative approach abstract in virtually every study concerning capitalization of fiscal differentials into property values the unit of observation has been a local jurisdiction or an individual house sale within a jurisdiction urban economic theory suggests that capitalization of fiscal differentials should be most obvious at the border of two jurisdictions housing price differentials between adjacent blocks at the border of two jurisdictions will be used to study capitalization such an approach reduces problems associated with measurement of dis amenities and public services and with the use of a distance variable in urban areas with multiple employment or recreation centers

consumption puzzles and precautionary savings abstract when marginal utility is convex agents accumulate savings as a precautionary measure against labor income eventualities this paper shows that precautionary savings can go a long way in making the excess growth excess smoothness and excess sensitivity features of consumption consistent with the stochastic processes of labor income observed in the u s at the microeconomic level

school quality and residential property values evidence from vancouver rezoning abstract this study utilizes changes in the catchment areas of public schools in vancouver british columbia to measure the residential price capitalization of school quality specifications that employ repeat sales methods to control for time invariant neighborhood effects and disaggregated price indexes to capture time varying neighborhood price appreciation reveal significant effects of secondary school performance on residential prices however when we add controls for long run price trends in rezoned areas only prices of residences likely to be purchased by high income families appear to have been affected by changes in school quality induced by rezoning

the promise and pitfalls of using imprecise school accountability measures in recent years most states have constructed elaborate accountability systems using school level test scores however because the median elementary school contains only 69 children per grade level such measures are quite imprecise we evaluate the implications for school accountability systems for instance rewards or sanctions for schools with scores at either extreme primarily affect small schools and provide weak incentives to large ones nevertheless we conclude that accountability systems may be worthwhile even in states with aggressive financial incentives the marginal reward to schools for raising student performance is a small fraction of the potential labor market value for students

the family inheritance and the intergenerational transmission of inequality unequal inheritance of material wealth is commonly considered a major cause of inequality in consumption however theoretical models of the intergenerational transmission of inequality by becker blinder and ishikawa imply that unequal inheritance may either increase or reduce consumption inequality differences in inherited wealth resulting from unequal parental incomes increase inequality in recipients consumption however unequal bequests caused by differences among families in the endowed ability of children or the costs of producing human capital are equalizing empirical results confirm these predictions the inheritance received by children is inversely related to both children s income and parental education thus bequests are compensatory in that ceteris paribus low income children inherit more than their advantaged contemporaries

information shocks and the dynamics of the housing market in this paper we analyze housing market reactions to the release of previously unpublished information on school quality using high quality housing data which precisely bracket the timing of the information shock we investigate housing price dynamics within school catchment areas we find a robust short term housing market reaction to the publication of school quality indicators suggesting that this information was new to the households and that households are willing to pay for better schools the publication effect does not seem to be permanent as prices revert to pre publication levels after two to three months

paying for primary schools admission constraints school popularity or congestion school quality is capitalised in house prices if access to schools is rationed by residential location we generate empirical predictions from three different theoretical approaches linking house prices to school performance distance to school and capacity these are respectively based upon admission constraints school popularity and congestion effects we find that test score based school performance significantly increases property prices but only the best one in ten schools generate higher than average prices close by and that prices are higher close to popular over capacity schools we conclude that the empirical evidence is more in line with the school popularity model

distribution of wealth and incomplete markets theory and empirical evidence abstract this paper analyses the equilibrium distribution of wealth in an economy where firms productivities are subject to idiosyncratic shocks returns on factors are determined in competitive markets households have linear consumption functions and government imposes taxes on capital and labour incomes and equally redistributes the collected resources to households the equilibrium distribution of wealth is explicitly calculated and its shape crucially depends on market incompleteness with incomplete markets it follows a paretian law in the top tail and the pareto exponent depends on the saving rate on the net return on capital on the growth rate of population and on portfolio diversification the characteristics of the labour market crucially affects the bottom tail but not the upper tail of the distribution of wealth in the case of completely decentralized labour market the analysis also suggests a positive relationship between growth and wealth inequality the theoretical predictions find a corroboration in the empirical evidence of united states in the period 1989 2004

estimating a household production function heterogeneity the demand for health inputs and their effects on birth weight the household production literature emphasizes that technical or biological processes condition input selection by households in their production activities along with prices and income exogenous variations in health to the extent that they are perceived by individuals heterogeneity lead to correlations between inputs and health outcomes that cannot be used to derive causal conclusions therefore estimates of health technology must be obtained from a behavioral model in which health inputs are themselves choices consistent estimates are reported of the effect of endogenous inputs such as medical care smoking and fertility on birth weight and fetal growth in the presence of health heterogeneity

welfare and child health the link between afdc participation and birth weight the stated goal of the aid for families with dependent children program is to improve the well being of children in poor families the program has come under considerable attack in recent years from critics who argue that participation in afdc is associated with maternal behaviors that are bad for children we investigate this question using birth weight as a measure of child health we find that participation in afdc during pregnancy is associated with delays in obtaining prenatal care smoking and drinking during pregnancy younger maternal age at the birth and ultimately with lower birth weights even when observable characteristics of the mother are controlled for however we show that when unobservable characteristics of the mother are controlled for there is actually a positive association between participation in afdc and the birth weights of children of white women from poor families we find no association between birth weight and maternal participation in afdc among black children

precautionary saving and the timing of taxes this paper analyzes the effects of government debt and income taxes on consumption and saving in a world of infinitely lived households having uncertain and heterogeneous incomes the special structure of the model allows exact aggregation across households despite incomplete markets the effects of government debt are shown to be substantial roughly comparable to those resulting from finite horizons and crucially dependent on the length of time until the debt is repaid also anticipated changes in taxes are shown to cause anticipated changes in consumption finally an index of fiscal stance is derived

do seller disclosures affect property values buyer information and the hedonic model the hedonic method is widely used to infer the value of environmental amenities that are bundled with real property the interpretation of hedonic prices as marginal values requires that households are fully informed yet there is evidence that buyers are often less informed than sellers a graphical illustration in this study suggests that asymmetric information between buyers and sellers can affect hedonic prices this intuition is confirmed by a quasi random experiment that exploits spatial and information discontinuities stemming from a seller disclosure for flood zones results suggest a 4 decline in housing prices in flood zones after disclosures commenced

public school reform expectations and capitalization what signals quality to homebuyers author affiliation velma zahirovic herbert department of housing and consumer economics university of georgia 213 dawson hall athens ga 30602 3622 usa e mail vherbert uga edu corresponding author geoffrey k turnbull department of economics andrew young school of policy studies georgia state university p o box 3992 atlanta ga 30302 3992 usa e mail gturnbull gsu edu acknowledgment we would like to thank christopher bollinger and two anonymous referees for their helpful comments the authors are responsible for any errors 1 introductioneducation is one of the most important services provided by local governments low test scores high dropout rates high teacher turnover rates and other problems indicate that large urban school districts in the united states serve their students inadequately these deficiencies provide incentives for affluent families to leave cities for the suburbs or to move their children to private schools when these families move urban tax bases and economic activity are reduced when good students move to private schools the average academic quality of the remaining public school students declines which can reduce the quality of the education received in the public schools through influence on peer group effects and declining parental involvement and political support for these reasons education reform remains a key concern in urban areas this paper draws on local education reforms that occurred in east baton rouge parish louisiana in 1996 and 2001 to examine several questions left unresolved in the capitalization literature especially the literature concerned with how housing markets respond to different types of government supplied information about school quality two policy events in the school district provide a rare opportunity in this regard changes ordered by the federal court supervising the school district present natural experiments for observing the extent to which school characteristics are reflected in the housing market more importantly for our purposes the setting and the two policy events themselves highlight the roles of home owners expectations on measured capitalization as a legacy of a 40 year desegregation lawsuit the local school system was under direct federal court control for more than 15 years in the years preceding our first policy event students were randomly assigned to individual schools in an effort to equalize racial composition a method that eliminated school quality as a location specific house attribute e g it was not unusual for different children in the same family to attend different schools 1 in a surprise move in the summer of 1996 the presiding judge ordered the elimination of random school assignment in favor of stable attendance zones thereby creating a direct tie between house location and school quality this change from random to zone school assignment represents a natural experiment and an opportunity to observe how the local housing market values the policy change further in light of the history of the 40 year federal lawsuit and 15 years of direct court control of the local school system the public had little confidence in the federal court s ability to improve education quality the overwhelming defeat of a major school tax referendum following the court s creation of school attendance zones is evidence of this lack of confidence this is precisely the type of environment in which we expect to find little or no systematic capitalization of measured school quality differences there is evidence that public confidence in the school system improved during the next few years enrollments ceased their inexorable declines and stabilized within a few years and more importantly voters passed a major school tax referendum at that time as well both observations signal an important reversal in public opinion regarding the perceived viability of school reform

the effect of school closings on student achievement abstract many school districts across the country are shutting schools but school closing policies remain a very controversial issue the current study investigates the effects of school closing policies on student achievement by examining over 200 school closings in michigan relative to the previous literature the analysis uses a broader set of school closings to thoroughly investigate heterogeneity in treatment effects based on the performance level of the closed school the results indicate that on average school closings in michigan did no persistent harm to the achievement of displaced students moreover students displaced from relatively low performing schools experience achievement gains the displacement of students and teachers creates modest negative spillover effects on the receiving schools however hence the closing of low performing schools may generate some achievement gains for displaced students but not without imposing spillover effects on a large number of students in receiving schools

the risk free rate in heterogeneous agent incomplete insurance economies abstract why has the average real risk free interest rate been less than one percent the question is motivated by the failure of a class of calibrated representative agent economies to explain the average return to equity and risk free debt i construct an economy where agents experience uninsurable idiosyncratic endowment shocks and smooth consumption by holding a risk free asset i calibrate the economy and characterize equilibria computationally with a borrowing constraint of one year s income the resulting risk free rate is more than one percent below the rate in the comparable representative agent economy

taxation and income distribution dynamics in a neoclassical growth model we examine how changes in tax policies affect the dynamics of the distributions of wealth and income in a ramsey model in which agents differ in their initial capital endowment the endogeneity of the labor supply plays a crucial role in determining inequality as tax changes that affect hours of work will affect the distribution of wealth and income reinforcing or offsetting the direct redistributive impact of taxes our results indicate that tax policies that reduce the labor supply are associated with lower output but also with a more equal distribution of after tax income we illustrate these effects by examining the impact of recent tax changes observed in the us and in european economies

the effect of school district and municipal government financial health information on local tax election outcomes evidence from fiscal stress labels in ohio a key informational asymmetry in local public finance is the lack of information available to local residents regarding the financial status of the school districts and local governments in which they reside given that voters in many states must approve property and income tax increases for these local entities the lack of full information on the financial status of these local entities may lead to sub optimal voting decisions state financial intervention systems have begun to make financial problems more salient to residents potentially alleviating these informational asymmetries this paper examines the effect of the ohio fiscal stress labeling program on voting outcomes and the tax setting behavior of local officials for school district and municipal government tax referendums we use a difference in differences approach to examine data from over 3000 school district and 2300 municipality property tax elections from 2004 to 2012 while we find minimal evidence that the yes vote share changed for school district referendums following fiscal stress label receipt we find very large increases 15 to 23 percentage points in the likelihood of referendum passage for school districts following label receipt we do not find much evidence of changes in the likelihood of passage or the yes vote share following label receipt for municipalities but we do find that these voting outcomes rise following label removal we also find that local officials do not appreciably change their tax setting behavior in response to these labels as the size and likelihood of property tax proposal are largely unchanged following label receipt or removal

the redistributive role of unemployment benefits abstract this paper evaluates the role of unemployment benefits as a tool for redistribution in a setting with worker heterogeneity the provision of unemployment benefits achieves two goals it provides insurance to workers in the event of job loss and it redistributes wealth from individuals with more to those with fewer economic opportunities our model features a frictional labour market and an incomplete financial market when calibrated to match stylised facts of the us economy the optimal level of unemployment benefits is broadly similar regardless of whether workers differ in economic opportunities this suggests that taking into consideration the redistributive nature of unemployment benefits has only a limited role in altering the optimal level of unemployment benefits

market opportunities genetic endowments and intrafamily resource distribution child survival in rural india the authors examine how intrafamily resource allocations respond to changes in economic conditions and to genetic differences in children by estimating the determinants of variations in the sex specific survival differentials of rural indian children based on standard census and household survey data they explore in particular the hypothesis that such differences are related to the relative returns to survival with households selectively allocating resources to children in response to variation in sex differences in their expected earnings opportunities as adults data are from the 1961 census and a 1971 household survey excerpt

heterogeneity intrafamily distribution and child health data were collected in candelaria colombia from 1968 to 1974 to evaluate the impact of child health services in all households in which there were any children under 6 years old to estimate the birth outcome equation and post birth health equation a subsample of 109 households was selected in which at least 2 children were born during the 7 year program the sample size was 238 children estimates of the parameters of the normalized weight equations were obtained using seemingly unrelated regression sur the family fixed effects procedure ffe and the lagged instrumental fixed effects technique life an illustrative dynamic model of intra family allocative behavior incorporating variations in individual child characteristics was formulated to show how both the timing of childbearing and child specific allocations vary with both family and child specific health endowments the information restrictions were used in the model associated with the sequencing of births to develop an estimation procedure which takes into account both intrafamily and interfamily heterogeneity longitudinal data on children and households compared estimates of the effects of birth order birth spacing and timing per capita food consumption inoculations and the incidence of breast feeding on the age standardized weight of children at 2 life cycle points at birth and within 6 months after birth the estimates indicated that healthier families for given income had more children and more closely spaced children but consumed no more food per capita than did less well endowed families these results imply that families behave so as to reduce inherent interfamily inequalities in child health however while the estimates suggest that the healthier the prior surviving child the more quickly parents are likely to have a subsequent child parents are also more likely to breastfeed an inherently healthier child

precautionary saving in the small and in the large the theory of precautionary saving is shown to be isomorphic to the arrow pratt theory of risk aversion making possible the application of a large body of knowledge about risk aversion to precautionary saving and more generally to the theory of optimal choice under risk in particular a measure of the strength of the precautionary saving motive analogous to the arrow pratt measure of risk aversion is used to establish a number of new propositions about precautionary saving and to give a new interpretation of the dreze modigliani substitution effect copyright 1990 by the econometric society

prenatal care demand and birthweight production of black mothers infant mortality in the united states has declined by one half in the past 20 years for both blacks and whites though the black infant mortality rate has steadily remained twice the white rate helen wallace 1994 the incidence of low birthweight unfortunately has remained almost unchanged over the same time period again with the black rate being twice the white rate wallace 1994 these two trends taken together suggest that the reduced mortality rate is due entirely to medical advances which allow more small weak and sick newborns to survive this paper investigates the health of newborns using the approach of mark rosenzweig and paul schultz 1982 1983 see also eugene lewit 1983 their work is extended by incorporating the number of visits and a visitsxdelay interaction term into prenatal care demand the goal is to obtain consistent estimates of the impact of prenatal care on infant birthweight these estimates can then be used to design interventions aimed at reducing the incidence of low birthweight