the intergenerational earnings and income mobility of canadian men evidence from longitudinal income tax data our objective is to obtain an accurate estimate of the degree of intergenerational income mobility in canada we use income tax information on about 400 000 father son pairs and find intergenerational earnings elasticities to be about 0 2 earnings mobility tends to be slightly greater than income mobility but nonparametric techniques uncover significant nonlinearities in both of these relationships intergenerational earnings mobility is greater at the lower end of the income distribution than at the upper end and displays an inverted v shape elsewhere intergenerational income mobility follows roughly the same pattern but is much lower at the very top of the income distribution

self enforcing exchange among generations implications for consumption and mobility abstract a three generation olg model with one directional altruism and two directional intra family transfers is presented adults invest in their children s education and make transfers to their elderly parents however due to lack of altruism adults with high earnings do not share consumption equally with their elderly parents but spend a larger share of their earnings on own consumption and on their children s education this allows the model to be consistent with three empirical observations that are difficult to reconcile with traditional altruistic frameworks of intergenerational social interactions and mobility i consumption is not perfectly shared between members of an extended family ii consumption is not equally persistent over the lifecycle as across generations and iii the intergenerational persistence of earnings is particularly high at the top end of the earnings distribution

decomposing intergenerational income elasticity the gender differentiated contribution of capital transmission in rural philippines summary using longitudinal data from rural philippines we decompose intergenerational income elasticity ige into five distinct pathways intergenerational transmissions of health education land and spouse education capital plus residual correlation in productivity intergenerational human capital transmissions from mothers are stronger than those from fathers maternal education is the parental capital most strongly associated with ige while naive ige estimates are indistinguishable for sons and daughters the pathways that generate these results differ strikingly for sons ige is entirely explained by parent to child capital transmission by contrast strong income correlation exists between daughters and parents even after controlling for parent and child capital endowments

the role of child health and economic status in educational health and labour market outcomes in young adulthood the ontario child health study provides the first opportunity in canada to assess directly the relationship between socio economic and health status in childhood and levels of completed schooling health status and labour market success in young adult hood we find that childhood health problems are negatively associated with educational attainment especially the probability of a university degree and the health status of young adults our results also imply that childhood health problems influence adult labour force outcomes especially for males mainly through adult levels of schooling and health jel classification 110

breaking the caste barrier intergenerational mobility in india we contrast the intergenerational mobility rates of the historically disadvantaged scheduled castes and tribes sc st in india with the rest of the workforce in terms of their education attainment occupation choices and wages using survey data from successive rounds of the national sample survey between 1983 and 2005 we find that intergenerational education and income mobility rates of sc sts have converged to non sc st levels during this period moreover sc sts have matched non sc sts in occupation mobility rates we conclude that the last 20 years of structural changes in india have coincided with a breaking down of caste based barriers to socioeconomic mobility

human capital inequality and growth a local perspective abstract a recent body of work has demonstrated the crucial role played by local human capital externalities and local school funding in generating socio economic segregation persistent poverty and low aggregate income or productivity growth we present a simple model which captures the main insights from this literature and prove three general propositions first minor differences in education technologies preferences wealth or minor imperfections in capital markets can lead to a high degree of stratification second stratification makes inequality in education and income more persistent across generations the same is true for total wealth provided the rich succeed in capturing the rents created by their secession finally this polarization or urban areas can be very inefficient especially in the long run

explaining the price of oil 1971 2014 the need to use reliable data on oil discovery and to account for mid point peak abstract this paper explains in broad terms the price of oil from 1971 to 2014 and focuses on the large price increases after 1973 and 2004 the explanation for these increases includes the quantity of conventional oil i e oil in fields discovered combined with the decline in production of this oil that occurs typically once mid point is passed many past explanations of oil price have overlooked these two constraints and hence provided insufficient explanations of oil price reliable data on conventional oil discovery cannot come from public domain proved 1p oil reserves as such data are very misleading instead oil industry backdated proved plus probable 2p data must be used it is recognised that accessing 2p data can be expensive or difficult the mid point peak of conventional oil production results from a region s field size distribution its fall off in oil discovery and the physics of field decline in terms of the future price of oil estimates of the global recoverable resource of conventional oil show that the oil price will remain high on average unless dramatic changes occur in the volume of production and cost of non conventional oils or if the overall demand for oil were to decline the paper concludes with policy recommendations

intergenerational correlations in labor market status a comparison of the united states and germany this paper uses data from the panel study of income dynamics and the german socioeconomic panel to calculate comparable measures of the intergenerational correlations of earnings hours and education in the us and germany the results indicate that there is remarkable similarity across the two countries in the correlations of earnings and of annual work hours of fathers and sons all of the correlations which involve women appear to be weaker in germany than the us perhaps due to the greater integration of women in the us into the labor market they find weak correlations in earnings and work hours for parent child pairs of different sexes in both countries they also find that intergenerational correlations in educational attainment are considerably stronger in the us authors

regression toward mediocrity in economic stature this paper provides estimates of the correlation in lifetime earnings between fathers and sons intergenerational data from the national longitudinal survey are used earlier studies conducted for the united states report elasticities of children s earnings with respect to parent s earnings of 0 2 or less suggesting extensive integenerational mobility these estimates however are biased downward by error contaminated measures of lifetime economic status estimates presented in this paper correct for the problem of measurement error and find the intergenerational correlation in income to be on the order of 0 4 this suggests considerably less intergenerational mobility than previously believed jel j62

intergenerational earnings mobility in norway levels and trends using longitudinal data for norwegian children born in 1950 1955 1960 and 1965 we find a relatively high degree of earnings mobility there is no tendency toward decreasing mobility over the cohorts conditioning on the position in the earnings distribution the analysis indicates quite high mobility in the middle of the distribution and somewhat more persistence at the top and bottom this approach also reveals increased mobility over time for sons but a less clear picture for daughters

economic interpretations of intergenerational correlations science itself for example see galton s 1869 study of the eminence of relatives or his 1889 analysis of the heights of parents and children but extensive use of economic theory to interpret these correlations is much more recent using basic economic concepts such as supply demand investment incentives missing markets and so on theorists hope to explain how and why status is correlated across generations economic theory might provide a unified treatment of a variety of socioeconomic indicators such as earnings income occupation or wealth or it might predict how taxes subsidies and economic regulation affect intergenerational mobility and the operation of markets however while the subject matter earnings consumption wealth occupa tion is clearly interesting to economists it could nonetheless be the case that beyond basic questions of measurement economic theory has not improved our understanding of intergenerational mobility goldberger 1989 is quite explicit in this contention by emphasizing the distinction between genes and environment and by using statistical theory as its main analytical tool the paper by samuel bowles and herbert gintis in this issue implicitly concurs with goldberger we take this challenge very seriously what characterizes an economic approach to mobility while biologists and bowles and gintis distinguish endowments and investments by their source genetic versus environmental factors one focus of economic theorists is motiva

economic and mechanical models of intergenerational transmission the author critically examines gary beckers attempt to integrate the theory of income distribution intragenerational differences with the theory of mobility intergenerational differences in an economic model of the family he assesses beckers claims of distinctiveness integration explanatory power and surprise and arrives at a rather skeptical view of the contribution that the core of microeconomics has made to this study of the family a reply by becker is included pp 514 8 excerpt

a theory of intergenerational mobility we study the link between market forces cross sectional inequality and intergenerational mobility emphasizing complementarities in the production of human capital we show that wealthy parents i

intergenerational mobility new evidence from consumption data the intergenerational persistence of consumption describes the extent to which children inherit the living standards of their parents evidence on this parameter is scarce due to limited data on the joint consumption of parents and children this paper identifies parents who participated in the danish expenditure survey links them to their children through population wide danish registries and estimates the intergenerational elasticity of consumption in denmark the results suggest that consistent with intergenerational consumption smoothing the persistence of consumption across generations is higher than the persistence of earnings and income

intergenerational persistence of earnings the role of early and college education recent empirical evidence from the united states indicates a high degree of persistence in earnings across generations designing effective public policies to increase social mobility requires identifying and measuring the major sources of persistence and inequality in earnings we provide a quantitative model of intergenerational human capital transmission that focuses on three sources innate ability early education and college education we find that approximately one half of the intergenerational correlation in earnings is accounted for by parental investment in education in particular early education we show that these results have important implications for education policy

intergenerational mobility in britain in this paper we use longitudinal data on children and their parents to assess the extent of intergenerational mobility in britain based on data from the national child development survey a cohort of all individuals born in a week of march 1958 we find that the extent of intergenerational mobility is limited we report an intergenerational correlation of the order 40 to 60 for fathers and sons and 45 to 70 for fathers and daughters in terms of labour market earnings and years of schooling an examination of quartile transition matrices between parental and child earnings outcomes reveals a similar pattern finally it seems on the basis of these transition matrices that there is an important asymmetry in intergenerational earnings mobility with upward mobility from the bottom of the earnings distribution being more likely than downward mobility from the top

patterns of intergenerational mobility in income and earnings this paper characterizes the patterns of intergenerational mobility in the united states using data for matched parent child pairs from the national longitudinal surveys in general what is found is far from the extremes of either perfect mobility or perfect immobility parents log income explains only about 9 percent to 11 percent of the variation in children s log incomes earnings exhibit more mobility than does total income and the difference is most striking for daughters the paper also identifies the influence of family background characteristics on mobility the addition of these background variables adds another 3 to 5 percent age points to the r2 in the intergenerational earnings and income regressions copyright 1992 by mit press

what do parents value in education an empirical investigation of parents revealed preferences for teachers this paper examines revealed preferences of parents for their children s education using parent requests for individual elementary school teachers and information on teacher attributes including principal reports of teacher characteristics that are typically unobservable on average parents strongly prefer teachers whom principals describe as good at promoting student satisfaction though they also value teacher ability to raise academic achievement these aggregate effects mask striking differences across schools families in higher poverty schools strongly value student achievement and appear indifferent to the principal s report of a teacher s ability to promote student satisfaction the results are reversed for families in wealthier schools

the intergenerational effects of worker displacement this article uses variation induced by firm closures to explore the intergenerational effects of worker displacement using a canadian panel of administrative data that follows more than 39 000 father son pairs from 1978 to 1999 we find that children whose fathers were displaced have annual earnings about 9 lower than similar children whose fathers did not experience an employment shock they are also more likely to receive unemployment insurance and social assistance the estimates are driven by the experiences of children whose family income was at the bottom of the income distribution