corporate social irresponsibility are consumers biases in attribution of blame helping companies in product harm crises involving hybrid products in recent years there have been several high profile recalls of hybrid products those where organizations in multiple countries take part in the design component sourcing manufacturing and marketing of a product if consumers perceive a global firm to be responsible for the recall then it will reduce their brand equity therefore global firms may respond in ethically questionable ways to justify themselves to important stakeholders and avoid blame understanding how stakeholders attribute blame for crises involving hybrid products is important to shed light on the unethical manner in which global firms might avoid blame in such situations the research reported here shows that in a hybrid product crisis consumers show a bias in favor of the brand company and against the manufacturing company this bias is more pronounced when the country of manufacture has an unfavorable image or when consumers lack familiarity with the recalled brand ambiguous recall announcements by companies that fail to provide a specific and clear reason for the product defect prompt consumers to assume that a manufacturing flaw caused the product defect as a result consumers reduce their attribution of blame for the brand company and thus its brand equity is maintained

individual taxpayer response to tax cuts 1982 1984 with implications for the revenue maximizing tax rate abstract this paper measures the response of taxpayers to the u s personal rate reductions from 1982 to 1984 a baseline income distribution is created to describe what level and distribution could be expected in the absence of tax changes comparison of this baseline with actual tax return data shows that at least one sixth and probably one quarter of the revenue ascribable to the rate reductions was recouped by changes in taxpayer behavior the data also show that federal income tax revenue would have been maximized at a tax rate of about 35 percent and total income tax revenue maximized at a total tax rate of about 40 percent

skill diversity of cities and entrepreneurship this paper analyses the effect of city skill diversity on local entrepreneurship it proposes a mechanism based framework to study the precise channels through which skill diversity contributes to

increasing the capital income tax may lead to faster growth this paper shows that under rather mild conditions higher capital income taxes lead to faster growth in an overlapping generations economy with endogenous growth government expenditures are financed with labor income taxes as well as capital income taxes since capital income accrues to the old taxing it reliefs the tax burden on the young and leaves them with more income out of which to save we argue that savings are sufficiently interest inelastic so that higher savings and therefore higher growth result the basic argument is not seriously challenged by a grandfather clause for initial capital or by the old receiving some labor income as well the reasoning is similar to feldstein 1978 auerbach 1979 and in particular jones and manuelli 1992 but in contrast to the conventional wisdom about the effect of capital income taxation as say in lucas 1990

tax distortions in sweden and the united states we calculate the welfare costs of distortionary taxation including inflation in models calibrated for the united states and sweden the welfare costs are calculated using comparative steady state as well as dynamic analysis where we take the costs of transition from the distorted to the optimal steady state into account we also calculate the welfare costs of adding stochastic fluctuations our main finding is that the total welfare costs of the distortionary taxes including the distortionary effects of inflation are about five times higher in sweden than in the united states meanwhile stochastic fluctuations in policy turn out to have a relatively small impact on welfare

fiscal stabilization and the credibility of the u s budget sequestration spending austerity abstract the credibility of fiscal stabilization programs plays a critical role in their macroeconomic outcomes yet formal assessments of that credibility are typically missing from analyses of the economic consequences and effectiveness of those programs this paper remedies that omission for the most recent fiscal consolidation attempt in the u s the 2011 mandated budget sequestration spending cuts in discretionary spending slated to begin in 2013 the credibility of those cuts is assessed with a novel methodology that draws on the event study and business cycle accounting traditions the paper finds that the fiscal austerity program had little if any credibility around the time it was scheduled to become effective and that studies that don t take this lack of credibility into account might overestimate the quantitative impact of the budget sequestration on key macroeconomic variables by a factor of three or more these findings expose the dangers of extrapolating policy lessons extracted from the budget sequestration experience to other fiscal stabilization programs without gauging first their credibility properly adapted and extended the methodology the paper developed with that purpose could prove useful for the systematic assessment of the credibility of other fiscal stabilization programs of the impact of their credibility on aggregate outcomes and ultimately of the chances of those programs to successfully eliminate structural fiscal imbalances

platform competition in two sided markets many if not most markets with network externalities are two sided to succeed platforms in industries such as software portals and media payment systems and the internet must get both sides of the market on board accordingly platforms devote much attention to their business model that is to how they court each side while making money overall this paper builds a model of platform competition with two sided markets it unveils the determinants of price allocation and end user surplus for different governance structures profit maximizing platforms and not for profit joint undertakings and compares the outcomes with those under an integrated monopolist and a ramsey planner jel l5 l82 l86 l96

creating good public policy to support high growth firms writing in small business economics scott shane argues that policy makers should stop subsidising start ups and instead focus on supporting the small subset of new businesses with high growth potential however both shane and other scholars who have made the same argument only offer broad brush proposals to achieve this objective the aim of this article in contrast is to engage in a detailed discussion of how to create appropriate policies for high growth firms hgfs drawing on research in scotland we argue that policy makers are looking for hgfs in the wrong places the heterogeneous nature of hgfs in terms of sector age size and origins makes in impractical to target support on particular sectors technologies or types of firms e g new or r d intensive the article proposes a reorientation of hgfs both in terms of appropriate targeting and forms of support public policy also needs to focus on the retention of hgfs which are acquired by non local businesses finally policy makers need to properly reflect upon the specificities of their entrepreneurial environment when devising appropriate policy interventions

nobel lecture the transformation of macroeconomic policy and research what i am going to describe for you is a revolution in macroeconomics a transformation in methodology that has reshaped how we conduct our science prior to the transformation macroeconomics was largely separate from the rest of economics indeed some considered the study of macroeconomics fundamentally different and thought there was no hope of integrating macroeconomics with the rest of economics that is with neoclassical economics others held the view that neoclassical foundations for the empirically determined macro relations would in time be developed neither view proved correct finn kydland and i have been lucky to be a part of this revolution and my address will focus heavily on our role in advancing this transformation now all stories about transformation have three essential parts the time prior to the key change the transformative era and the new period that has been affected by the change and that is the story i am going to tell how macroeconomic policy and research changed as a result of the transformation of macroeconomics from constructing a system of equations of the national accounts to an investigation of dynamic stochastic model economies

dynamic laffer curves abstract in an endogenous growth model with human capital accumulation we discuss the possibility of welfare improving changes on the fiscal policy stance in some actual economies first we characterize the extent to which the initial fall in revenues produced by a permanent tax cut can be compensated by an increase in the tax base due to a dynamic laffer curve effect showing that there is in fact a non trivial margin for substituting debt for taxes on labor and capital income second we show that the largest feasible reduction in labor income tax rates may easily produce a higher welfare gain than the largest feasible reduction in capital income tax rates two qualifications a feasible tax cuts exist only for a relatively high elasticity of intertemporal substitution of consumption and b the preference for the largest feasible tax cut on labor income rather than that on capital income reverses for a low appreciation for leisure relative to consumption in the preferences of the representative agent

clusters entrepreneurial ecosystem co creation and appropriability a conceptual framework extant literature on clusters underplays the role of entrepreneurs and entrepreneurial management in creating and co creating organizations markets and supporting ecosystems we employ transaction costs resource knowledge capabilities and power control based theories to provide a comparative static governance based perspective on clusters we embed this into a more general co evolutionary entrepreneurial theory of the emergence evolution and co evolution of markets ecosystems and clusters we suggest that clusters can involve advantages that help engender superior appropriation of co created value as compared to alternatives entrepreneurial managers faced with a degree of choice will help co create clusters and be part of them for as long as they can appropriate more value in this way than through alternatives

victims and shareholders the dilemmas of presenting corporate policy during a crisis corporate crises such as accidents scandals and product safety incidents exacerbate stakeholder demands in such a way that conflict can arise between the interests of shareholders and crisis vict

balanced budget rules distortionary taxes and aggregate instability a traditional argument against a balanced budget fiscal policy rule is that it amplifies business cycles by stimulating aggregate demand during booms via tax cuts and higher public expenditures and by reducing demand during recessions through a corresponding fiscal contraction this paper suggests an additional source of instability that may arise from this type of fiscal policy rule it shows that within the standard neoclassical growth model a balanced budget rule can make expectations of higher tax rates self fulfilling if the fiscal authority relies heavily on changes in labor income taxes to eliminate short run fiscal imbalances calibrated versions of the model show that indeterminacy occurs for income tax rates that are empirically plausible for the u s economy and other group of seven countries

the quiet revolution that transformed women s employment education and family the modern economic role of women emerged in four phases the first three were evolutionary the last was revolutionary phase i occurred from the late nineteenth century to the 1920s phase ii was from 1930 to 1950 phase iii extended from 1950 to the late 1970s and phase iv the quiet revolution began in the late 1970s and is still ongoing three aspects of women s choices distinguish the evolutionary from the revolutionary phases horizon identity and decision making the evolutionary phases are apparent in time series data on labor force participation the revolutionary phase is discernible using time series evidence on women s more predictable attachment to the workplace greater identity with career and better ability to make joint decisions with their spouses each of these series has a sharp break or inflection point signifying social and economic change these changes moreover coincide by birth cohort or period the relationship between the development of modern labor economics and the reality of women s changing economic role is explored the paper concludes by assessing whether the revolution has stalled or is being reversed women who graduated college in the early 1980s did not opt out but recent cohorts are too young to evaluate this abstract was borrowed from another version of this item

divestiture market valuation and strategy an empirical study of 78 divestitures examines the relationship between type of divestiture and financial market valuation it was found that divestitures linked to corporate or business level stra

effective tax rates in macroeconomics cross country estimates of tax rates on factor incomes and consumption abstract this paper proposes a method for computing tax rates using national accounts and revenue statistics using this method we construct time series of tax rates for large industrial countries the method identifies the revenue raised by different taxes at the general government level and defines aggregate measures of the corresponding tax bases this method yields estimates of effective tax rates on factor incomes and consumption consistent with the tax distortions faced by a representative agent in a general equilibrium framework these tax rates compare favorably with existing estimates of marginal tax rates and highlight important international differences in tax policy

theory measurement and calibration of macroeconomic models abstract calibration has become a standard tool of macroeconomics this paper extends and refines the calibration methodology along several important dimensions first accounting for home production is important both in measuring calibration targets and in organizing the data in a model consistent fashion for this reason thinking about home production is important even if the model under consideration does not include home production second investment specific technological change is included because of its strong balanced growth parameter restrictions third the measurement strategy is laid out as transparently as possible so that others can easily replicate the underlying calculations the data and calculations used in this paper are available at http clevelandfed org research models rbc index cfm

when can changes in expectations cause business cycle fluctuations in neo classical settings abstract it is often argued that changes in expectation are an important driving force of the business cycle however it is well known that changes in expectations cannot generate positive co movement between consumption investment and employment in the most standard neo classical business cycle models this gives rise to the question of whether changes in expectation can cause business cycle fluctuations in any neo classical setting or whether such a phenomenon is inherently related to market imperfections this paper offers a systematic exploration of this issue our finding is that expectation driven business cycle fluctuations can arise in neo classical models when one allows for a sufficiently rich description of the production technology however such a structure is rarely allowed or explored in macro models in particular we identify a multi sector setting and a setting with a costly distribution system in which expectation driven business cycles can arise

can an industry be socially responsible if its products harm consumers the case of online gambling online gambling companies claim that they are ethical providers they seem committed to corporate social responsibility csr practices that are aimed at preventing or minimising the harm associated with their activities our empirical research employed a sample of 209 university student online gamblers who took part in an online survey our findings suggest that the extent of online problem gambling is substantial and that it adversely impacts on the gambler s mental and physical health social relationships and academic performance online problem gambling seems to be related to the time spent on the internet and gambling online parental peer gambling and binge drinking as our findings show that there are harmful repercussions associated with online gambling we argue that companies in this controversial sector cannot reach the higher level of csr achieved by other industries nevertheless they can gain legitimacy on the basis of their csr engagement at a transactional level and so by meeting their legal and ethical commitments and behaving with transparency and fairness the integrity of the company can be ensured we also argue that current failures in the implementation and control of csr policies the reliance on revenue from problem gamblers losses and controversial marketing activities appear to constitute the main obstacles in the prevention or minimisation of harm related to online gambling as online gambling companies must be responsible for the harm related to their activities we suggest that csr policies should be fully implemented monitored and clearly reported all forms of advertising should be reduced substantially and unfair or misleading promotional techniques should be banned the industry should not rely on revenue from problem gamblers nor should their behaviour be reinforced by marketing activities i e rewards we realise however that it is unrealistic to expect the online gambling industry to prioritise harm prevention over revenue maximisation policy makers and regulators therefore would need to become involved if the actions suggested above are to be undertaken csr is paramount to minimise harm and provide a healthier user experience in this business sector but it also poses marketing dilemmas we support a global collaborative approach for the online gambling industry as harm related to gambling is a public health issue

the macroeconomic effects of distortionary taxation abstract prescott 1986 estimates that technology shocks account for 75 of the fluctuations in the postwar u s economy this paper reestimates the contribution of technological change for a standard business cycle model that includes a public sector and fiscal disturbances i find that a significant fraction of the variance of aggregate consumption investment output capital stock and hours of work can be explained by disturbances in labor and capital tax rates and government consumption i also use the model to quantify the welfare costs of capital and labor taxation for both the time series and welfare calculations maximum likelihood estimates of taste technology and policy parameters are used

debt hangover in the aftermath of the great recession following the great recession u s government debt levels exceeded 100 of output we develop a macroeconomic model to evaluate the role of various shocks during and after the great recession labor market shocks have the greatest impact on macroeconomic activity we then evaluate the consequences of using alternative fiscal policy instruments to implement a fiscal austerity program to return the debt output ratio to its pre great recession level our welfare analysis reveals that there is not much difference between applying fiscal austerity through government spending the labor income tax or the consumption tax using the capital income tax is welfare reducing

supply side economics and endogenous growth abstract in a simple convex model of endogenous growth the expansionary effects of a deficit financed tax cut are often strong enough to allow the government debt to be paid off in the long run without the need for subsequent tax increases a permanent and substantial reduction in marginal rates of income taxation can provide for both vigorous real economic growth and long run government budget balance

the adaptive life cycle of entrepreneurial ecosystems the biotechnology cluster we propose an empirical framework for assessing the vibrancy and trajectory of regional entrepreneurial ecosystems we apply this framework to study the us national capital region s localized cluster of biotechnology related entrepreneurship by building our analysis around a set of indicators of ecosystem vitality proposed by stangler and bell masterson 2015 this application constitutes an initial attempt at mapping the dynamics of an industry cluster within the adaptive life cycle of a wider regional ecosystem we find that the biotechnology cluster in the national capital region entered a reorientation stage in the early 2000s building up stored energy capital and connectedness in non research oriented activities an increasing regional presence of large biotech firms in the past 5 years a highly active and diverse start up sector increasing merger and acquisition activity and declines in regional public funding for medical and clinical trials all suggest a transition of entrepreneurial activity in the region from a dynamic driven by federal research spillovers to one increasingly driven by private sector actors

budget balance welfare and the growth rate dynamic scoring of the long run government budget this paper determines conditions under which a reduction in the role of government either through a tax cut alone or together with accompanying expenditure cuts will improve long run government fiscal balance for a ceteris paribus cut in the income tax rate to improve long run government balance the intertemporal elasticity of substitution must exceed unity a tax cut balanced by an expenditure cut is likely to improve the long run balance even if it does not improve the short run balance the relationship between improving the long run fiscal balance and economic welfare is also analyzed

the lineages of the entrepreneurial ecosystem approach in its most abstract sense an ecosystem is a biotic community encompassing its physical environment and all the interactions possible in the complex of living and nonliving components economics has always been about systems that explain differential output and outcomes however economics has generally ignored the role of entrepreneurship in economic systems just as entrepreneurship studies have largely overlooked the role of systems in explaining the prevalence and performance of entrepreneurship the entrepreneurial ecosystem approach has the promise to correct these shortcomings its two dominant lineages are the regional development literature and the strategy literature both lineages share common roots in ecological systems thinking providing fresh insights into the interdependence of actors in a particular community to create new value but studies of both regional development and strategic management have largely ignored the role of entrepreneurs in new value creation in this paper we will outline contributions to the entrepreneurial ecosystem approach and conclude with a promising new line of research to our understanding of the emergence growth and context of start ups that have achieved great impact by developing new platforms

social issues in supply chains capabilities link responsibility risk opportunity and performance abstract social issues in the supply chain are defined as product or process related aspects of operations that affect human safety welfare and community development drawing from related literatures basic constructs related to capabilities and risk are defined and used to underpin case research in five multinational firms this data extended our understanding of three key social management capabilities monitoring collaboration and innovation moreover the field research revealed four key linkages that detail how managers actively can work toward mitigating social risks creating new opportunities and improving firm performance collectively these capabilities and linkages establish the basis for an integrative framework and five research propositions

the laffer curve revisited abstract laffer curves for the us the eu 14 and individual european countries are compared using a neoclassical growth model featuring constant frisch elasticity cfe preferences new tax rate data is provided the us can maximally increase tax revenues by 30 with labor taxes and 6 with capital taxes we obtain 8 and 1 for the eu 14 there 54 of a labor tax cut and 79 of a capital tax cut are self financing the consumption tax laffer curve does not peak endogenous growth and human capital accumulation affect the results quantitatively household heterogeneity may not be important while transition matters greatly

two sided markets a progress report the paper provides a road map to the burgeoning literature on two sided markets and presents new results it identifies two sided markets with markets in which the structure and not only the level of prices charged by platforms matters the failure of the coase theorem is necessary but not sufficient for two sidedness the paper builds a model integrating usage and membership externalities that unifies two hitherto disparate strands of the literature emphasizing either form of externality and obtains new results on the mix of membership and usage charges when price setting or bargaining determine payments between end users

coming forward the effects of social and regulatory forces on the voluntary restatement of earnings subsequent to wrongdoing we investigate the effects of social and regulatory forces on a firm s decision to disclose past wrongdoing by voluntarily restating its earnings with an eight year sample of more than 2 500 public firms including 170 voluntary restaters we find that firms are more likely to voluntarily restate their earnings in response to informal social pressures from other firms in their industry and less likely to do so in response to formal regulatory sanctions we also show that the impact of these forces varies with firm status we contribute to corporate governance and public policy research that examines the effectiveness of hard versus soft deterrence measures on firm compliance

uncertainty and fiscal cliffs motivated by the us fiscal cliin 2012 this paper considers the short and longer term impact of uncertainty generated by scal policy empirical evidence shows in creases in economic policy uncertainty lower investment and employment investment that is longer lived and subject to a longer planning horizon responds to policy uncer tainty with a lag while capital that depreciates more quickly and can be installed with few costs falls immediately a dsge model incorporating uncertainty over future tax regimes produces responses to scal uncertainty that match key features of the data the model features uncertainty over the average tax rate and rational expectations about the resolution of uncertainty with speci c outcomes and timing uncertainty injects noise into the economy and lowers the level of economic activity

prosperity and depression prosperity and depression are relative concepts today both france and japan are depressed relative to the united states equivalently the united states is prosperous relative to these countries i say these countries are depressed relative to the united states because their output per working age person is 30 percent less than the u s level an interesting and important policy question is why are these countries depressed the answers for these two countries turn out to be very different the united states is prosperous relative to france because the u s intratemporal tax wedge that distorts the trade off between consumption and leisure is much smaller than the french wedge i will show that if france modified its intratemporal tax wedge so that its value was the same as the u s value french welfare in consumption equivalents would increase by 19 percent consumption would have to increase by 19 percent now and in all future periods to achieve as large a welfare gain as that resulting from this tax reform the united states is prosperous relative to japan because production efficiency is higher in the united states in the united states total factor productivity is approximately 20 percent higher than in japan if japan suddenly became as efficient in production as the united states its welfare gain in consumption equivalents would be 39 percent equally interesting and important are big changes over time in relative output per working age person across countries why are new zealand s and switzerland s economies depressed by over 30 percent relative to their 1970 trend corrected levels both of these countries have small populations but depressions are not restricted to small countries japan with its 125 million people is now depressed by 20 percent relative to its 1991 trend corrected level on the prosperity side why are ireland and south korea so prosperous now relative to their 1970 trend corrected levels this lecture is concerned primarily with big international differences among relatively rich industrial countries and changes in these differences over time the countries that receive primary attention all have market economies and healthy well educated populations in the countries considered the variations in aggregate output per working age person are large and reasonably good measures of the factor inputs are available this permits in many cases the identification of the change in policy or the difference in policy that gave rise to prosperity or depression this is in contrast to business cycle theory which provides little guidance to policy except for the important policy implication that a stabilization effort will have either no effect or a perverse effect the output variations studied and analyzed in this lecture are big an order of magnitude larger than the much studied business cycle fluctuations the variations studied however are an order of magnitude smaller than the muchstudied differences between the richest and poorest countries surprisingly only recently have depressions been systematically studied from the perspective of growth theory which is the theory used university of minnesota and federal reserve bank of minneapolis i thank my colleagues at the university of minnesota and the federal reserve bank of minneapolis for helpful discussions and comments in particular i thank tim kehoe ellen mcgrattan and nancy stokey for their help i also thank martin weale and franck portier for providing some british and french tax information used in this lecture thanks also go to sami alpanda and james macgee for research assistance and helpful discussions this lecture draws heavily on collaborative research with fumio hayashi i thank the economic and social research institute cabinet office government of japan and the u s national science foundation for financial support the views expressed herein are those of the author and not necessarily those of the federal reserve bank of minneapolis or the federal reserve system

two sided network effects a theory of information product design how can firms profitably give away free products this paper provides a novel answer and articulates trade offs in a space of information product design we introduce a formal model of two sided network externalities based in textbook economics a mix of katz and shapiro network effects price discrimination and product differentiation externality based complements however exploit a different mechanism than either tying or lock in even as they help to explain many recent strategies such as those of firms selling operating systems internet browsers games music and video the model presented here argues for three simple but useful results first even in the absence of competition a firm can rationally invest in a product it intends to give away into perpetuity second we identify distinct markets for content providers and end consumers and show that either can be a candidate for a free good third product coupling across markets can increase consumer welfare even as it increases firm profits the model also generates testable hypotheses on the size and direction of network effects while offering insights to regulators seeking to apply antitrust law to network markets

fiscal sentiment and the weak recovery from the great recession a quantitative exploration the us economy has not recovered from the great recession as strongly as predicted by the neoclassical growth model even after incorporating a variety of frictions to it the paper explores quantitatively the hypothesis that the counterfactual predictions are mostly the result of ignoring the expectations of higher taxes prompted by unprecedented fiscal challenges faced by that country in peacetime the main finding is that this fiscal sentiment hypothesis can account for a substantial fraction of the decline in investment and labor input in the aftermath of the great recession provided the perceived higher taxes fall almost exclusively on capital income

fiscal policy in general equilibrium this paper studies four classic fiscal policy experiments within a quantitatively restricted neoclassical model the authors main findings are as follows 1 permanent changes in government purchases can lead to short run and long run output multipliers that exceed one 2 permanent changes in government purchases induce larger effects than temporary changes 3 the financing decision is quantitatively more important than the resource cost of changes in government purchases and 4 public investment has dramatic effects on private output and investment these findings stem from important dynamic interactions of capital and labor absent in earlier equilibrium analyses of fiscal policy copyright 1993 by american economic association

collaboration or paradigm shift caveat emptor and the risk of romance with economic models for strategy and policy research while the formulation or strategy side of business policy has always drawn appropriately from economic theory we caution that taken to its logical extreme economic theory ignores the importance of implementation implies lack of choice in organization decision making and makes the organization a nonentity in this paper we outline the fundamental differences between behavioral and economic approaches to business policy these differences are highlighted by an illustration of their divergent perspectives on corporate agency

the effect of discretionary price control decisions on equity values abstract the macro literature presents conflicting evidence on the effects of price controls in this study the fact that the macro economic effect of wage and price controls is the aggregation of the micro economic effects is used to implement a different approach to measure the effects of price controls the effect of price controls is inferred from examining the impact of discretionary regulatory decisions on the equity values of individual firms during phase ii of nixon s economic stabilization program the empirical results indicate that violators of the regulations incurred significant abnormal losses that were unrelated to the explicit penalties this suggests that implicit penalties were imposed on offending firms the analysis of price increase decisions provides weak evidence that these price commission decisions had an impact on equity values

when does ethical code enforcement matter in the inter organizational context the moderating role of switching costs drawing on signaling theory we suggest that a supplier s enforcement of ethical codes sends signals about the supplier that affect a buyer s decision to continue their commitment to the supplier we then draw on side bet theory to hypothesize how switching costs influence the importance of a supplier s enforcement of ethical codes in predicting a buyer s continuance commitment to a supplier we empirically test our model with data from 158 purchasing managers across three manufacturing industries results confirm the connection between ethical code enforcement and continuance commitment but suggest that a supplier s enforcement of ethical codes matter less when switching suppliers is perceived as too costly

long run implications of investment specific technological change an attempt is made to disentangle its effects from the more traditional hicksneutral form of technological progress the balanced growth path for the model is characterized and calibrated to u s national income and product account nipa data the quantitative analysis suggests that investment specific technological change accounts for the major part of growth jel e13 030 041 047

the stock market crash of 2008 caused the great recession theory and evidence abstract this paper argues that the stock market crash of 2008 triggered by a collapse in house prices caused the great recession the paper has three parts first it provides evidence of a high correlation between the value of the stock market and the unemployment rate in u s data since 1929 second it compares a new model of the economy developed in recent papers and books by farmer with a classical model and with a textbook keynesian approach third it provides evidence that fiscal stimulus will not permanently restore full employment in farmer s model as in the keynesian model employment is demand determined but aggregate demand depends on wealth not on income

investor response to health care cost containment legislation is american health policy designed to fail two failed congressional attempts to control escalating health costs are examined the data show that investors apparently anticipated their failure with the implementation of a policy encouraging market competition however investors expected larger firms to benefit and firms with previously high profit growth rates to lose from the viewpoint of the politics of structural choice it appears that identifiable structural flaws were deliberately designed into both laws in ways that would promote failure and protect key interest groups

dynamic scoring a back of the envelope guide abstract this paper uses the neoclassical growth model to examine the extent to which a tax cut pays for itself through higher economic growth the model yields simple expressions for the steady state feedback effect of a tax cut the feedback is surprisingly large for standard parameter values half of a capital tax cut is self financing the paper considers various generalizations of the basic model including elastic labor supply general production technologies departures from infinite horizons and non neoclassical production settings it also examines how the steady state results are modified when one considers the transition path to the steady state