pro environmental households and energy efficiency in spain the residential building sector is a major driver of current and future energy consumption and associated emissions which can be potentially mitigated through significant energy efficiency ee improvements in both emerging and developed countries yet there are several persistent barriers that hinder the attainment of ee improvements in this area using data from a 2008 national representative survey of spanish households this paper is interested in the determinants of ee related decisions in particular a discrete choice model empirically analyzes whether pro environmental households are more likely to invest in ee and to adopt daily energy saving habits we show that households with eco friendly behaviors are more likely to investment in well differentiated ee measures as well as to steer daily habits towards energy savings however no effects are found for households with environmental attitudes based on stated willingness to pay to protect the environment in addition to this households belonging to higher income groups and education levels are more likely to invest in ee but not to adopt energy saving habits while households with older members are less likely to invest in ee and show fewer eco friendly habits

regressive sin taxes with an application to the optimal soda tax a common objection to sin taxes corrective taxes on goods that are thought to be overconsumed such as cigarettes alcohol and sugary drinks is that they often fall disproportionately on low income consumers this paper studies the interaction between corrective and redistributive motives in a general optimal taxation framework and delivers empirically implementable formulas for sufficient statistics for the optimal commodity tax the optimal sin tax is increasing in the price elasticity of demand increasing in the degree to which lower income consumers are more biased or more elastic to the tax decreasing in the extent to which consumption is concentrated among the poor and decreasing in income effects because income effects imply that commodity taxes create labor supply distortions contrary to common intuitions stronger preferences for redistribution can increase the optimal sin tax if lower income consumers are more responsive to taxes or are more biased as an application we estimate the optimal nationwide tax on sugar sweetened beverages using nielsen homescan data and a specially designed survey measuring nutrition knowledge and self control holding federal income tax rates constant our estimates imply an optimal federal sugar sweetened beverage tax of 1 to 2 1 cents per ounce although optimal city level taxes could be as much as 60 lower due to cross border shopping

household preferences of hybrid home heating systems a choice experiment application abstract the residential heating sector presents considerable energy savings potential as numerous heating solutions for reducing electricity consumption and utilizing renewable energy sources are available in the market the aim of this paper is to examine determinants of household heating system choices and to use this information for policy planning purposes this paper investigates residential homeowner attitudes regarding innovative hybrid home heating systems hhhs with choice experiment heating system scenarios are designed to represent the most relevant primary and supplementary heating alternatives currently available in finland the choice sets include six main heating alternatives district heat solid wood wood pellet electric storage heating ground heat pump and exhaust air heat pump that are described by five attributes supplementary heating systems investment costs operating costs comfort of use and environmental friendliness the results imply that hhhss generally appear to be accepted among households however several factors affect perceptions of these technologies the results reveal differing household attitudes toward the main heating alternatives and show that such views are affected by socio demographic characteristics age living environment education etc the results suggest that households view supplementary heating systems especially solar based favorably the other attributes studied also play a significant role in decision making

vehicle scrappage and gasoline policy abstract we estimate the sensitivity of scrap decisions to changes in used car values and show how this scrap elasticity produces emissions leakage under fuel efficiency standards a process known as the gruenspecht effect we first estimate the effect of gasoline prices on used vehicle values and scrappage of vehicles with different fuel economies we then estimate the scrap elasticity itself which we find to be 0 7 when applied in a model of fuel economy standards 13 16 percent of the expected fuel savings leak away through the used vehicle market this effect rivals or exceeds the importance of the often cited mileage rebound effect jel h23 l62 l78 q35 q38 q48 q58

1 000 cash back the pass through of auto manufacturer promotions automobile manufacturers frequently use promotions involving cash incentives while payments are nominally directed to either customers or dealers the ultimate beneficiary of the promotion depends on the outcome of price negotiation we use program evaluation methods to compare the incidence of these two types of promotions customers obtain 70 to 90 percent of a customer rebate but only 30 to 40 percent of a dealer discount promotion a 500 difference for a typical promotion our leading hypothesis is that pass through rates differ because of information asymmetries customer rebates are well publicized to customers while dealer discount promotions are not

identifying the common component of international economic fluctuations a new approach in this paper we develop an aggregation procedure using time varying weights for constructing the common component of international economic fluctuations the methodology for deriving time varying weights is based on some stylised features of the data documented in the paper the model allows for a unified treatment of cyclical and seasonal fluctuations and also accommodates the dynamic propagation of shocks across countries we find evidence for a world business cycle as well as evidence for a distinct european common component we also find some evidence that macroeconomic fluctuations have become more closely linked across industrial economies in the period after 1973 the world economy has become more closely integrated in recent years due to increasing trade and financial flows across countries this has spurred interest in the question of how the ongoing phenomenon of globalisation has affected the transmission and propagation of business cycle fluctuations across national borders an important question in this context is whether a substantial fraction of economic fluctuations are country specific or if there exists a world business cycle which might be defined as fluctuations that are common across all countries more generally the comovement of macroeconomic aggregates across different countries has become a topic of increasing interest in both academic and policy circles these issues have implications in a number of dimensions an empirical analysis of the relative importance of country specific versus common international fluctuations is of relevance for determining the structure of certain classes of international business cycle models from a policy perspective strong comovement of output across countries at business cycle frequencies implies that external trade would be unlikely to play a significant role in dampening fluctuations domestic policies aimed at affecting the real exchange rate and thereby attempting to boost net exports in the short run would then tend to have limited impact the degree of synchronisation of business cycles across countries also has important implications for short run international policy coordination and for assessing the feasibility of monetary unions therefore identifying and analysing the common component of international economic fluctuations is relevant from a number of different perspectives

is there an energy efficiency gap many analysts have argued that energy efficiency investments offer an enormous win win opportunity to both reduce negative externalities and save money this overview paper presents a simple model of investment in energy using capital stock with two types of market failures first uninternalized externalities from energy consumption and second forces such as imperfect information that cause consumers and firms not to exploit privately profitable energy efficiency investments the model clarifies that only if the second type of market failure cannot be addressed directly through mechanisms such as information provision energy efficiency subsidies and standards may be merited this chapter therefore reviews the empirical work on the magnitude of profitable unexploited energy efficiency investments a literature which frequently does not meet modern standards for credibly estimating the net present value of energy cost savings and often leaves other benefits and costs unmeasured these problems notwithstanding recent empirical work in a variety of contexts implies that on average the magnitude of profitable unexploited investment opportunities is much smaller than engineering accounting studies suggest finally there is tremendous opportunity and need for policy relevant research that utilizes randomized controlled trials and quasi experimental techniques to estimate the returns to energy efficiency investments and the welfare effects of energy efficiency programs

trade finance specialization and synchronization i investigate the determinants of business cycle synchronization across regions the linkages between trade in goods financial openness specialization and business cycle synchronization are evaluated in the context of a system of simultaneous equations the main results are as follows i specialization patterns have a sizable effect on business cycles most of this effect is independent of trade or financial policy but directly reflects differences in gdp per capita ii a variety of measures of financial integration suggest that economic regions with strong financial links are significantly more synchronized even though they also tend to be more specialized iii the estimated role of trade is closer to that implied by existing models once intra industry trade is held constant the results obtain in a variety of data sets measurement strategies and specifications they relate to a recent strand of international business cycle models with incomplete markets and transport costs and on the empir

international business cycle spillovers since the 1870s this article considers the evolution of international business cycle interdependencies among 27 developed and developing countries since the beginning of 1870s utilizing the generalized vector autoregressive var based spillover index of diebold and yilmaz 2012 which allows the construction of a time varying measure of business cycle spillovers we find that on average 65 of the forecast error variance of the 27 countries business cycle shocks is due to international spillovers however the magnitude of international business cycle spillovers varies considerably over time there is a clear increasing trend since the end of world war ii and until the mid 1980s after that international business cycle interdependencies declined during the period that was dubbed the great moderation and stabilized around the beginning of the twenty first century during the great recession of 2008 2009 international business cycle spillovers increased to unprecedented levels finally developed countries are cons

heating technology and energy use a discrete continuous choice approach to norwegian household energy demand abstract the aim of this paper is to describe the structure of the household s energy demand as a discrete continuous choice and on this basis establish an econometric model suitable for the data available in the norwegian energy surveys the discrete appliance choice is specified as a multinomial logit model with a mixture of appliance attributes operating costs and individual characteristics income housing unit characteristics etc as explanatory variables in the next step the continuous choice of energy use is modelled conditional on the appliance choice the energy prices turn out to be significant both when estimating the appliance choice and the conditional energy demand the estimated price elasticity for energy exceeds minus unity the paper discusses how this relatively strong price response should be interpreted in the context of other econometric analysis with no explicit appliance dependence finally the significance of the many household characteristics at both stages of the model signals a high degree of heterogeneity within the households which justifies the use of detailed micro data in the modelling of the energy demand

undp s gender related indices a critical review abstract this paper critically reviews the two gender related indices proposed by undp in the 1995 human development report the gender related development index gdi and the gender empowerment measure gem while supporting the need to develop indicators that reliably track women s empowerment gem as well as the impact of gender inequality on overall human development gdi we argue that the particular ways in which these indices were constructed and the assumptions made to overcome data gaps severely limit their usefulness and result in very misleading international comparisons wherever appropriate we suggest remedies for some of the shortcomings identified

the determinants of private saving in india abstract this paper examines the determinants of private saving in the process of economic development in the light of the indian experience it is found that the saving rate rises with both the level and the rate of growth of disposable income the real interest rate on bank deposits has a significant positive impact but the magnitude of the impact is modest public saving seems to crowd out private saving but less than proportionately furthermore the spread of banking facilities in the economy and the inflation rate have a positive impact and changes in the external terms of trade a negative impact on private saving

willingness to pay for renewable energy primary and discretionary choice of british households for micro generation technologies this paper documents the policy context of renewable energy production in the european union the research adopts a choice experiment approach to investigate households wtp for these renewable energy technologies in the uk the micro generation technologies comprise solar photovoltaic micro wind solar thermal heat pumps and biomass boilers and pellet stoves the study compares the results from conditional and mixed logit models which estimate the distribution of utility coefficients and then derives wtp values as a ratio of the attribute coefficient to the price coefficient with a model in which the wtp distribution is estimated directly from utility in the money space the results suggest that whilst renewable energy adoption is significantly valued by households this value is not sufficiently large for the vast majority of households to cover the higher capital costs of micro generation energy technologies

automobile prices and quality did the gasoline price increases change consumer tastes in the u s a hedonic model of automobile prices that takes gasoline costs into account is developed and used to examine whether gasoline price increases especially those related to the 1973 and 1979 oil shocks changed consumer evaluations of the relative qualities of used cars in the u s during 1970 1981 we test the null hypothesis that the characteristics coefficients remained constant over time it is rejected if gasoline costs are excluded from the model but not if they are included alternative approaches are developed to show that the gasoline price increases alone can explain much of the observed changes in the coefficients

the case for restricting fiscal policy discretion this paper studies the effects of discretionary fiscal policy on output volatility and economic growth using data for 91 countries we isolate three empirical regularities 1 governments that use fiscal policy aggressively induce significant macroeconomic instability 2 the volatility of output caused by discretionary fiscal policy lowers economic growth by more than 0 8 percentage points for every percentage point increase in volatility 3 prudent use of fiscal policy is explained to a large extent by the presence of political constraints and other political and institutional variables the evidence in the paper supports arguments for constraining discretion by imposing institutional restrictions on governments as a way to reduce output volatility and increase the rate of economic growth

the role of sales agents in information disclosure evidence from a field experiment with a large nationwide retailer we run a natural field experiment to measure the effects of energy use information disclosure customer rebates and sales agent incentives on demand for energy efficient durable goods although a combination of large rebates plus sales incentives substantially increases market share information and sales incentives alone each have zero statistical effect and explain at most a small fraction of the low baseline market share sales agents strategically comply only partially with the experiment targeting information to more interested consumers but not discussing energy efficiency with the disinterested majority these results suggest that seller provided information is not a major barrier to energy efficiency investments at current prices in this context data as supplemental material are available at http dx doi org 10 1287 mnsc 2015 2327 this paper was accepted by john list behavioral economics

models of energy use putty putty versus putty clay energy use is inelastic in time series data but elastic in international cross section data two models of energy use reproduce these elasticities a putty putty model with adjustment costs developed by pindyck and rotemberg 1983 and a putty clay model in the pindyck rotemberg model capital and energy are highly complementary in both the short run and the long run in the putty clay model capital and energy are complementary in the short run but substitutable in the long run we highlight the differences in the cross section implications of the models by considering the effect of an energy tax on output in both models in the putty putty model an energy tax that doubles the price of energy leads to a fall in output in the long run of 33 in contrast the same tax in the putty clay model leads to a fall in output of only 5 3

gasoline prices fuel economy and the energy paradox abstract policymakers often assert that consumers undervalue future gasoline costs when they buy automobiles we test this by measuring whether relative prices of vehicles with different fuel economy ratings fully adjust to variation in gasoline prices vehicle prices move as if consumers are indifferent between 1 00 in discounted future gas cost and 0 76 in vehicle purchase price we show how corrections for endogenous market shares and utilization measurement error and different gasoline price forecasts affect the results we also provide unique evidence of sticky information vehicle markets respond to changes in gasoline prices with up to a six month delay

making the implicit explicit a look inside the implicit discount rate implicit discount rates idrs are employed in energy models to capture household investment decisions yet the factors behind the idr and their respective implications for policy making usually remain blurred and fractional the proposed comprehensive framework distinguishes three broad categories of factors underlying the idr for household adoption of energy efficient technologies eets preferences notably over time risk loss debt and the environment predictable ir rational behavior bounded rationality rational inattention behavioral biases and external barriers to energy efficiency existing empirical findings suggest that the factors underlying the idrs that differ across household characteristics and technologies should be accounted for in energy models furthermore the framework allows for a fresh look at the interplay of idrs and policies we argue that a simple observation of high idrs or observing correlations between idrs and socio economic characteristics does not provide guidance for policy making since the underlying sources cannot be identified instead we propose that some of the factors underlying the idr notably external barriers can be changed through directed policy interventions whereas other factors notably preferences and predictable ir rational behavior are innate and can only be taken into account through reactive policy interventions

is there an energy paradox in fuel economy a note on the role of consumer heterogeneity and sorting bias abstract from the previous literature it can be found that consumers tend to undervalue discounted future energy costs in their purchase decisions for energy using durables we show that this finding could in part result from ignoring consumer heterogeneity in empirical analyses as opposed to true undervaluation

product line rivalry and market segmentation with an application to automobile optional engine pricing this paper addresses the questions whether and when the pricing practices on base products may differ from those of premium products sold with options or add ons various alternative models are considered a monopoly model a model of brand rivalry with full consumer information and a model of rivalry in which consumers are only well informed about base product prices only the brand rivalry model with limited consumer information predicts that premium products have larger percentage markups than base products provided that brand rivalry is sufficiently intense empirical evidence on base and premium product pricing in the automobile market is consistent with the limited information model and inconsistent with the other two models

climate change adaptation a study of fuel choice and consumption in the us energy sector abstract using cross sectional data this paper estimates a national energy model of fuel choice by both households and firms consumers in warmer locations rely relatively more heavily on electricity rather than natural gas oil and other fuels they also use more energy climate change will likely increase electricity consumption on cooling but reduce the use of other fuels for heating on net american energy expenditures will likely increase resulting in welfare damages that increase as temperatures rise for example if the us warms by 5 c by 2100 we predict annual welfare losses of 57 billion

exploring the diffusion of low energy houses an empirical study in the european union abstract diffusion of low energy houses is an important part of energy and climate policy in the european union eu and in individual eu countries key barriers to the adoption of low energy houses include additional construction costs and uncertainty surrounding actual energy and cost savings in this paper we econometrically analyze determinants of low energy house adoption including time and risk preferences we rely on original data from a large survey conducted among households in eight eu countries to our knowledge this is the first empirical study of low energy building adoption to rely on a demographically representative sample our set of covariates includes parameters of time and risk preferences that were elicited via state of the art incentivized multiple price list experiments and via self assessment scales we find mixed results for the effects of time discounting on low energy house adoption risk preferences do appear to matter as risk proneness increases so does the adoption of zero net or energy plus building but not passive houses consistent with the low cost hypothesis about environmental attitude and action we find no results for environmental attitudes and social norms

a large scale test of the effects of time discounting risk aversion loss aversion and present bias on household adoption of energy efficient technologies abstract this paper empirically and jointly analyses the relations between standard time discounting risk aversion loss aversion and present bias and household stated adoption of low to high stake energy efficiency technologies eets light emitting diodes leds energy efficient appliances and retrofit measures the analysis relies on a large representative sample drawn from eight european union countries preferences over time risk and losses were elicited and jointly estimated from participant choices in incentivized context free multiple price list experiments the findings from econometrically estimating eet adoption equations provide some support for the hypothesis that individuals who are more loss averse or more risk averse or who exhibit a lower time discount factor are less likely to have adopted eets yet some of the results significance levels and effect sizes appeared sensitive to the addition of covariates which may be an indication of bad controls finally omitting one or several of the parameters capturing preferences over time risk and losses when estimating the eet adoption equations did not appear to cause omitted variable bias

gasoline prices and the used automobile market a rational expectations asset price approach this paper examines the impact of changes in gasoline price expectations on the market values of used automobiles an asset model of automobile valuation is used to relate year to year changes in market values to changes in the present discounted value of gasoline expenses econometric evidence from data covering the years 1972 through 1981 substantially confirms the hypothesis of the model that a gasoline price shock causes relative price changes across automobile types in proportion to the differences in their rates of fuel consumption

output fluctuations at the plant level this paper examines the short run dynamics of manufacturing costs by detailing how plants in the u s automobile industry change output weekly data show a variety of margins on which firms adjust production these margins which are distinct from the usual factor demand choices differ in their lumpiness their adjustment costs and their variable costs the existence of these margins explains several empirical puzzles of output fluctuations using a theory of the short run dynamic cost function we are able to infer some of the characteristics of the underlying cost function from the dynamic behavior of the different margins

do consumers recognize the value of fuel economy evidence from used car prices and gasoline price fluctuations abstract debate about the appropriate design of energy policy hinges critically on whether consumers might undervalue energy efficiency due to myopia or some other manifestation of limited rationality we contribute to this debate by measuring consumers willingness to pay for fuel economy using a novel identification strategy and high quality microdata from wholesale used car auctions we leverage differences in future fuel costs across otherwise identical vehicles that have different current mileage and therefore different remaining lifetimes by seeing how price differences across high and low mileage vehicles of different fuel economies change in response to shocks to the price of gasoline we estimate the relationship between vehicle prices and future fuel costs our data suggest that used automobile prices move one for one with changes in present discounted future fuel costs which implies that consumers fully value fuel economy

distributional impacts of investment subsidies for residential energy technologies abstract this study analyses the distributional impacts of investment subsidies paid to households that install residential energy technologies based on renewable energy sources the subsidies covering a significant part of the total investment play a considerable role in households energy decisions depending on their design support measures may provide the most benefits to certain groups of society and thus may cause increasing inequality the potential distributional impacts of the investment subsidies are determined by the combination of technologies targeted and their costs household income support intensity subsidy design restrictions and the availability of additional measures this study examines the support system for residential renewable energy technologies in the lithuanian case by employing a microsimulation model this analysis of existing measures provides more general results and highlights the policy features that cause distributional impacts therefore the results are applicable in other countries as well the analysis shows that although the support is efficient from an energy point of view it provides the most benefits to households with higher income and thus increases inequality moreover the subsidies fail to reduce energy poverty due to the poorest households low capacity to invest to obtain a flatter distribution of benefits the design of support measures should consider the current situation of lower income households and affordability issues

determinants of households space heating type a discrete choice analysis for german households abstract considering the increasing attention on efficient use of energy it becomes vitally important to understand the energy related behavior of households this article presents empirical evidence on the determinants of the space heating technology applied by a household three sets of variables are examined as potential influences building socio economic and regional characteristics to highlight both the differences and similarities the results are obtained from a sample of house owners and from a sample including all households the influence of socio economic factors is similar across these groups income is found to exert only a minor impact on the system choice dwelling features are significant in determining the heating type particularly in the sample including all households regional effects are important clear differences prevail between east and west germany

the demand for cars and the price of gasoline the user cost approach the theory of the user cost of capital is used to estimate the demand for new and used cars in israel the results demonstrate that the price of operating costs must be included in the demand function they also show that the importance of gasoline price increases with engine size income elasticities are higher for new than for old cars and increase with engine size the inevitability of further increases in gasoline prices implies a further reduction in the average size of cars and a possible decline in the number of cars in the economy unless the trend is moderated by an acceleration in economic growth the future of the us auto industry will depend to a large extent on its ability to compete in the small and medium car markets 13 references 3 tables

international business cycles world region and country specific factors the paper investigates the common dynamic properties of business cycle fluctuations across countries regions and the world we employ a bayesian dynamic latent factor model to estimate common components in macroeconomic aggregates output consumption and investment in a 60 country sample covering seven regions of the world the results indicate that a common world factor is an important source of volatility for aggregates in most countries providing evidence for a world business cycle we find that region specific factors play only a minor role in explaining fluctuations in economic activity we also document similarities and differences across regions countries and aggregates jel f41 e32 c11 c32

energy consumption for space heating a discrete continuous approach energy demand for space heating is estimated using a discrete continuous choice model which focuses on the relationship between the choice of heating equipment and energy consumption the model is estimated on norwegian micro data and the two stages of the model are estimated simultaneously the capital cost and the operating cost of the heating systems are both found to have a significant impact on the choice of heating system furthermore the results show that household characteristics are important variables in residential energy models energy price elasticities and income elasticities are also estimated

a new carbon tax in portugal a missed opportunity to achieve the triple dividend in 2014 the portuguese government appointed a commission for environmental tax reform that formulated a carbon tax proposal designed to achieve three dividends to help portugal meet the european union s target for emissions reductions by 2030 to boost long term employment and gdp above their pre carbon tax levels and to strengthen public finances by lowering public indebtedness a key feature of this proposal was a judicious set of mixed strategies to recycle all carbon tax revenues back into the economy in this note we show how the carbon tax that the portuguese parliament eventually approved deviated from such guidelines and ultimately failed to achieve the triple dividend we argue that authorities need to quickly amend the existing legislation to avoid this misguided attempt turning into a missed opportunity to improve environmental macroeconomic and fiscal outcomes

comparison of energy efficiency subsidies under market power abstract energy efficiency subsidies are very popular all over the world for energy conservation and emission reduction by using a game theory model this article captures the differences of two important types of subsidies fixed subsides and output subsidies some interesting conclusions are achieved and some social phenomena are rationally explained firstly increasing total subsidies increases the number of subsidized firms moreover fiercer competition produces more firms to be subsidized thus the number of subsidized firms depends on the competition in this industry secondly output subsidies achieve a higher consumer surplus and a lower producer surplus than do fixed subsidies therefore consumers like output subsidies while firms like fixed subsidies finally output subsidies achieve a more favorable environmental impact and subsidize more firms than do fixed subsidies that is the environmental effects of output subsidies dominate those of fixed subsidies in summary based on both the effects on the environment and the consumer surplus this article supports output subsidies and explains the advantages of output subsidies

the determinants of household and private savings in thailand a broad set of possible determinants of household and private savings behaviour is examined through an in depth case study of thailand during the period 1960 to 2004 results suggest that an increase in economic growth inflation and terms of trade all have a significant positive impact on household and private saving rates in contrast the availability of bank credit tends to reduce household and private saving rates while an increase in both old and young dependency has a negative impact on household and private saving rates the magnitude of the impact on the former is far greater than that on the latter furthermore public saving seems to crowd out household and private saving but less than proportionately this reflects a possible role of fiscal policy in increasing national savings in the economy over and above these variables corporate saving is another important determinant of household saving an increase in the former brings about a significant reduction in the latter

heterogeneous preferences and the individual change to alternative electricity contracts abstract based on data from a large scale computer based survey among more than 3700 citizens in germany this paper empirically disentangles the determinants of the general change of electricity contracts and the specific change from any green or non green to current green electricity contracts within the last ten years our econometric analysis reveals a strong relevance of behavioral factors and individual values and norms for example patience which was measured by an incentivized experiment included in the survey has a significantly positive effect on both general switches to alternative electricity contracts and specific switches to green electricity contracts furthermore trust and less robust social preferences also measured by an incentivized experiment have additional significantly positive effects on the specific change to green electricity contracts our estimation results also imply an important role of political identification i e an ecological policy orientation is strongly significantly positively correlated with the change to green electricity contracts furthermore several household specific factors like relocation decisions as well as socio demographic and socio economic variables like household income are also relevant the empirical analysis thus provides new explanation patterns for the phenomenon that relatively few households regularly change their electricity contracts and specifically switch to green electricity contracts although they have high stated preferences for such changes our insights suggest several directions for policy and electricity suppliers to increase these switching rates for example the high importance of trust for the change to green electricity contracts suggests transparency initiatives of electricity suppliers to decrease concerns against renewable energies

the role of geography in financial and economic integration a comparative analysis of foreign direct investment trade and portfolio investment flows the objective of this paper is to examine the role of geography in explaining the patterns of financial and economic integration among both developed and developing countries using a gravity model we compare north north north south and south north fdi trade and portfolio investment flows to examine how geographical factors influence these bilateral flows the results indicate that the impact of geography variables on fdi and portfolio are similar to their effect on trade geography variables have a statistically significant effect both on fdi and portfolio investment but fdi is more sensitive to distance we interpret the negative effect of distance as the existence of information costs in financial flows also bilateral fdi trade and portfolio investment flows react to macroeconomic fundamentals in the same way however with different degrees of sensitivity there are significant differences between north north and north south flows our results find support for the argument that most fdi among industrial countries are horizontal whereas most fdi investment in developing countries is vertical the fact that the significance of geographical variables on financial flows still remained even after controlling for the macroeconomic fundamentals is in contrast with the standard capital market model the results can however be reconciled if geographical factors can proxy for information costs which may in turn explain why country portfolios are still home biased the significant effect of distance on financial flows may also explain how idiosyn cratic shocks are spread i e contagion to other countries in the same region ultimately the geographical location of a country may determine its economic and financial integration into the world economy

the effects of the corporate average fuel efficiency standards in the us this paper examines the effects of the corporate average fuel economy standards cafe on automobile sales prices and fuel consumption first a discrete choice model of automobile demand and a continuous model of vehicle utilization are estimated using micro data from the consumer expenditure survey for 1984 1990 next the demand side model is combined with a model of oligopoly and product differentiation on the supply side with these elements in place the effects of the cafe regulation are assessed through simulations and compared to the effects of alternative policy instruments such as an increase in gasoline tax

gender and poverty issues and policies with special reference to asian developing countries abstract recent years saw the outpouring of a theoretical and empirical literature exploring the nexus between gender and poverty in developing countries this paper which provides a critical review of the literature examines the conceptual basis for a gender focused approach to poverty alleviation reviews the relevant empirical studies and data drawn principally but not exclusively from asian developing countries and explores the role of public policies to redress gender disparity the present review argues that the conceptual basis for many gender focused policies is far from well established the empirical foundations of many conventional wisdoms as well as of popular policies remain fragile due to the dearth of reliable gender segregated data and rigorous empirical studies the paper underscores the need for more careful empirical analyses as an input to formulating sound public policy with regard to gender and poverty

electricity prices and consumers long term technology choices evidence from heating investments abstract this paper studies consumers s sensitivity to energy costs at the moment of making a long term energy technology investment the analysis exploits local variation in regulated electricity distribution prices that are persistent over time and therefore a good measure of long term price expectations price impacts are estimated on extensive administrative registry data of private persons acting as home builders in finland during 2006 2011 the results show that electricity prices notably influence builders choices and that electricity tax increases have induced demand for technologies based on renewable energy the results on the comprehensive set of individual level characteristics reveal that technology choices vary systematically across households current dwelling status and the education level have the strongest influence on the choice probabilities price sensitivity is found to be lower for low income households and to vary by the current dwelling status and type of building location

data base for development analysis data base for development analysis an overview the paper provides an overview of the situation with respect to the quality and comparability of data commonly used in development analysis a section each is devoted to a discussion of macroeconomic i e national income and its components savings and investment exports and imports data demography population life expectancy fertility and mortality nutrition and health labour force employment and unemployment poverty and income distribution validation and cross checking of data from different sources the discussion is illustrated with examples drawn mainly from india the paper concludes with a set of recommendations for the improvement of data

tagging and targeting of energy efficiency subsidies corrective taxation is a common approach to addressing externalities internalities and other market distortions these distortions are often heterogeneous for example some cars pollute more than others and many people consume alcohol rationally even as present biased individuals might over consume such heterogeneity raises the question of whether a corrective tax is well targeted does it primarily affect individuals subject to relatively large distortions a tax set at the average level of the distortion could actually reduce welfare if the marginal individuals were already making relatively undistorted decisions this paper studies the targeting of corrective subsidies for energy ef cient durable goods such as air conditioners insulation and cars these subsidies are justi ed by multiple distortions primarily including environmental externalities credit constraints landlord tenant information asymmetries imperfect information and behavioral biases such as inattention to energy costs allcott and greenstone 2012 gillingham newell and palmer 2009 we rst argue that these distortions are heterogeneous on observables wealthy people are less credit constrained homeowners are unaffected by the landlord tenant problem and we show empirically that environmentalists are more attentive to energy costs and believe that energy ef cient goods save more money we then show that

losers and winners in economic growth this paper examines the growth rates in 116 economies from 1965 to 1985 it finds that the lowest quintile had an average growth rate of real gross domestic product gdp per capita of 1 3 percent whereas the highest quintile averaged 4 8 percent the authors isolate five influences that discriminate reasonably well between slow and fast growers a conditional convergence effect whereby a country grows faster if it begins with lower real gdp per capita in relation to its initial level of human capital in the forms of educational attainment and health a positive effect on growth from a high ratio of investment to gdp although this effect is weaker than that reported in some previous studies a negative effect from excessively large government a negative effect from government induced distortions of markets and a negative effect from political instability overall the fitted growth rates for eighty five economies for 1965 85 had a correlation of 0 8 with the actual values the authors also find that female educational attainment has a pronounced negative effect on fertility whereas female and male attainment are each positively related to life expectancy and negatively related to infant mortality

are the non monetary costs of energy efficiency investments large understanding low take up of a free energy efficiency program this paper finds striking evidence that individuals and households bypass opportunities to improve energy efficiency that require zero out of pocket expenditures and are widely believed to be privately beneficial we report results from a large scale randomized controlled trial that significantly reduced barriers to participation in the federal weatherization assistance program wap this program the largest residential energy efficiency program in the country aims to reduce the energy burden of low income americans by installing energy efficiency measures in their homes since the program s inception in 1976 more than 7 million households have received weatherization assistance related work fowlie greenstone and wolfram 2015 finds that participation in this program significantly reduces energy consumption and associated energy expenditures among participating households 1 these sizeable

individual time preferences and energy efficiency a large literature examines energy efficiency investments by consumers and firms partic ularly evaluation of the extent of and expla nations for an energy efficiency ee gap gerarden newell and stavins 2015 but prior studies have not considered the role of individ ual discount rates in such decisions instead most assessments assume a certain discount rate against which the rationality of observed choices is gauged allcott and wozny 2014 or alternatively estimate aggregate discount rates that best match observed ee decisions condi tional on an assumed decision model hausman 1979 the absence of evidence on the role of indi vidual discount rates is surprising because the profitability of ee investments depends fun damentally on the rate at which individuals discount future energy savings relative to the required upfront investment the potential importance of individual discount rates is further heightened by findings in experimental studies that elicited time preferences exhibit consider able heterogeneity frederick loewenstein and o donoghue 2002 this paper broadly examines the role of indi vidual discount rates in ee decisions our ear lier findings on information provision newell and siikamaki 2014 henceforth nsindicate that the efficacy of alternative labels in guiding cost efficient decisions depends critically on the discount rate used for analysis here we closely examine individual discount rates as a deter minant of the value households place on future energy savings our results demonstrate that individual dis count rates exhibit considerable heterogeneity

discounting cognition and financial awareness new evidence from a change in the military retirement system the choice given military personnel between an immediate cash payment of 30 000 or a more generous retirement pension permits us to estimate individuals personal discount rates pdrs the resulting pdrs about 7 for enlisted personnel and 2 4 3 for officers are precise and are correlated with a variety of other financial behaviors the pdr is negatively related to educational attainment and the armed forces qualification test but cognition seems to operate through channels other than being better informed better informed individuals were not always measured to be more patient jel d91 d14

durable goods and long run electricity demand evidence from air conditioner purchase behavior i estimate a dynamic structural model of demand for air conditioners the most energy intensive home appliance in the us the model explores the links between demand for durable goods and expected changes in key attributes energy efficiency and price i incorporate expectations explicitly as a feature of the choice setting and use parameter estimates from the model to calculate durable good demand elasticities with respect to energy efficiency electricity price and price of the durable itself these estimates fill a large gap in the literature and also shed light on consumer behavior in this setting results indicate that consumers are forward looking and value the stream of future savings derived from energy efficiency

u s federal government subsidies for clean energy design choices and implications abstract subsidies for clean energy deployment have become a major component of u s federal energy and climate policy after a surge in spending under the american recovery and reinvestment act of 2009 they are an even larger component but now face increased scrutiny given their lasting presence how does one design these subsidies to be as cost effective as possible surprisingly the conceptual framework and empirical evidence available to help policymakers identify which subsidies generate the most bang for the buck are limited to help answer this question we begin with an overview of the justifications for and the arguments against subsidizing clean energy technologies next we briefly describe major subsidies finally we summarize key design choices suggesting an increased focus on upfront cash payments for physical outcomes such as capacity this contrasts with the considerable focus on tax credits loan guarantees production and cost based subsidies which have been more prominent to date

an empirical analysis of energy intensity and the role of policy instruments abstract the reduction of energy intensity is important for sustainable economic growth especially in non oecd countries where energy demand growth is high understanding the impact of policies on energy intensity can help policy makers to reduce energy intensity using empirical methods and cross country data from 44 countries over the period 1990 2016 we study the determinants of energy intensity the common correlated effects mean group estimator is employed since it addresses nonstationarity cross sectional dependence and heterogeneity all three of which exist in the data both gdp per capita and economy wide energy prices are shown to be negatively associated with energy intensity the empirical results provide evidence that several policy instruments are effective in reducing energy intensity i standards and labeling ii government direct investment iii strategic planning and support iv fiscal measures taxes and v grants and subsidies the duration of the policy is more important than the mere existence of the policy in demonstrating the policy s effectiveness

deconstructing the energy efficiency gap conceptual frameworks and evidence abstract energy efficient technologies offer considerable promise for reducing the financial costs and environmental damages associated with energy use but these technologies appear not to be adopted to the degree that appears justified even on a purely private basis we present two complementary frameworks for understanding this so called energy paradox or energy efficiency gap first we build upon previous literature by dividing potential explanations for the energy efficiency gap into three categories market failures behavioral anomalies and model and measurement errors second we examine the elements of cost minimizing energy efficiency decisions the typical benchmark used in assessing the gap s magnitude

the value of energy efficiency and the role of expected heating costs the german energy performance of buildings directive requires sellers on the housing market to provide detailed information on expected yearly energy consumption per square meter energy performance eps this paper uses variation in local fuel prices and climate fuel types and building ages to analyse the relationship between expected energy cost savings from energy efficient building structure and house prices in a data set of listing prices from all regions of germany results suggest that heating cost considerations are less relevant than previously thought

stochastic semi nonparametric frontier estimation of electricity distribution networks application of the stoned method in the finnish regulatory model abstract electricity distribution network is a prime example of a natural local monopoly in many countries electricity distribution is regulated by the government many regulators apply frontier estimation techniques such as data envelopment analysis dea or stochastic frontier analysis sfa as an integral part of their regulatory framework while more advanced methods that combine nonparametric frontier with stochastic error term are known in the literature in practice regulators continue to apply simplistic methods this paper reports the main results of the project commissioned by the finnish regulator for further development of the cost frontier estimation in their regulatory framework the key objectives of the project were to integrate a stochastic sfa style noise term to the nonparametric axiomatic dea style cost frontier and to take the heterogeneity of firms and their operating environments better into account to achieve these objectives a new method called stochastic nonparametric envelopment of data stoned was examined based on the insights and experiences gained in the empirical analysis using the real data of the regulated networks the finnish regulator adopted the stoned method in use from 2012 onwards

measuring the world economy this paper provides an empirical assessment of whether the world economy has become smaller in terms of economic distance over the last decades we adopt a cross sectional spatial econometric approach relating domestic output volatility to distance weighted averages of other countries output volatility using a sample of 135 countries and rolling 10 year time windows over the period 1955 to 2006 using descriptive measures test statistics and spatial econometric estimates we find that cross country interdependence was virtually insignificant in the early post war period but has increased strongly from the mid 1960s to the mid 1980s and remained at a high level since then results for the most recent period suggest that common shocks to output volatility have a magnified impact and roughly quadruplicate through international spillover effects which are transmitted through both trade and financial openness

saving in developing countries theory and review in the literature on economic development much of the interest in saving has been focused on the relation between saving and growth but saving is not only about accumulation it is about smoothing consumption in the face of volatile and unpredictable income and helping to ensure the living standards of poor people whose lives are difficult and uncertain this paper develops a model of households which cannot borrow but which accumulate assets as a buffer stock to protect consumption when incomes are low such households dissave as often as they save do not accumulate assets over the long term and have on average very small asset holdings but their consumption is markedly smoother than their income much of the evidence is as consistent with this view of saving as it is incosistent with standard views of smoothing over the life cycle and with explanations of the link between saving and growth in terms of life cycle saving behavior consumption smoothing is also a useful way of thinking about government policy where volatility in the world prices of taxed commodities can generate sharp fluctuations in government revenues as well as reallocations of revenue between the private and public sectors many important policy issues in developing countries hinge on issues of consumption and smoothing and research on these issues is currently likely to be more productive than work on the relation between saving and growth

prospect theory and energy efficiency abstract investments in energy efficiency entail uncertainty and when faced with uncertainty consumers have been shown to behave according to prospect theory preferences are reference dependent and exhibit loss aversion and probabilities are subjectively weighted using data from a choice experiment eliciting prospect theory parameters i provide evidence that loss averse people are less likely to invest in energy efficiency then i consider policy design under prospect theory when there are also externalities from energy use a higher degree of loss aversion implies a higher subsidy to energy efficiency numerical simulations suggest that the impact of prospect theory on policy may be substantial

are consumers myopic evidence from new and used car purchases abstract we investigate whether car buyers are myopic about future fuel costs we estimate the effect of gasoline prices on short run equilibrium prices of cars of different fuel economies we then compare the implied changes in willingness to pay to the associated changes in expected future gasoline costs for cars of different fuel economies in order to calculate implicit discount rates using different assumptions about annual mileage survival rates and demand elasticities we calculate a range of implicit discount rates similar to the range of interest rates paid by car buyers who borrow we interpret this as showing little evidence of consumer myopia jel d12 h25 l11 l62 l71 l81

determinants of household saving in taiwan growth demography and public policy this article examines the determinants of household saving in the process of economic development in the light of the taiwanese experience during the period 1952 99 the methodology involves the estimation of a saving rate function derived within the life cycle framework it is found that the household saving rate rises with both the level and the rate of growth of household disposable income the real deposit rate has a significant positive impact but the magnitude of the impact is modest public saving seems to crowd out private saving but less than proportionately while both old and young dependency in population have a negative impact on the saving rate the magnitude of the impact of the former is far greater than that of the latter increased availability of social security provisions and enhanced credit availability also seem to reduce saving as regards methodological implications the study casts doubt on the usual practice of lumping together public corporate and household savings in savin

decision making governance for purchases of solar photovoltaic systems in japan in this study we analyze the factors that affecting purchasing decision time for solar photovoltaic pv s in japan based on our survey consumers spend about 4 months to make purchase decision also our estimation results show that information and knowledge that consumers obtained from the neighborhood and elsewhere make consumers more careful in their decision making and extend the purchase decision on the other hand experts on the advantages and disadvantages of installation shortened the decision time the situation and environment of each household in terms of income family size and the way of purchase of new homes have influenced on the decision to purchase a pv system in addition the availability of feed in tariffs was highly correlated with purchasing motivation but unexpectedly the capital subsidy programs have either little impacts or even delayed impacts on the purchasing timing

quality based price discrimination and tax incidence the market for gasoline and diesel cars in europe the existing tax policies toward gasoline and diesel cars in european countries provide a unique opportunity to analyze quality based price discrimination and the implied tax incidence in my econometric framework consumers choose the type of engine based on their annual mileage prices are set by the manufacturers the relative pricing of gasoline and diesel cars appears to be consistent with monopolistic price discrimination effectively segmenting low mileage from high mileage consumers on average about 75 to 90 of the price differentials between gasoline and diesel cars can be explained by markup differences i draw implications for the effectiveness and the revenue effects of tax policy

trade policy and productivity abstract previous studies on the determinants of productivity emphasized the role of trade and institutions but omitted trade policy due to endogeneity concerns this paper considers the role of one important element of trade policy free trade agreements ftas based on recent work on the determinants of ftas we suggest an instrument which is based on the propensity to enter an fta due to exogenous geographical characteristics we find that differences in institutional quality and trade due to variations in geography and trade policy have a sizeable effect on productivity and can explain the huge variation in per capita income across countries