evidence of under investment in energy r d in the united states and the impact of federal policy investments in energy technology research and development r d and in associated human and institutional capacity are fundamental to our ability to respond to changing economic and environmental needs this paper uses data on r d investments and patent records to examine the relationship between expenditures on r d and innovation with a particular focus on the energy sector we observe that r d spending and patents both overall and in the energy sector have been highly correlated over the past two decades in the us in addition we observe that the r d intensity of the us energy sector is extremely low when compared to other sectors we argue that the data illustrates the critical role of public policy as evidenced by the impact of recent technology transfer related legislation on the total number and on the ownership of innovations resulting from federally sponsored r d we conclude that there has been a significant and sustained pattern of under investment in the us energy sector and that recent declines in energy r d exacerbate this situation innovation for the us energy infrastructure is also a significant driver of the international energy economy thus the spillover from us under investment detracts from the global capacity to respond to emerging risks such as global warming

liberalisation and r d in network industries the case of the electricity industry abstract electricity sector liberalisation has coincided with a significant decline in r d spending this paper reviews the industrial organisation literature on r d and innovation to explore the likely causes of the decline in r d spending in the electricity sector meanwhile r d productivity and innovative outputs in utilities and equipment suppliers appear to have improved however a lasting decline in r d expenditure can have a negative long term effect on technological progress and innovation in the sector we conclude that the decline in r d could have been predicted from the literature we also discuss the need to reorient the post liberalisation technology policy

technical efficiency and impacts of deregulation an analysis of three functions in u s electric power utilities during the period from 1992 through 2000 the main purpose of this study is to examine the impacts of deregulation on technical efficiency and its changes over time for large scale u s electric power utilities during the period from 1992 through 2000 we analyze the efficiency of three individual functions i e generation transmission distribution and general administration and the deregulatory impacts on each of them in order to implement the analysis we estimate an input distance function by using a stochastic frontier analysis the results indicate that there is a significant impact of deregulation on efficiency in the generation and general administration functions while no effects are observed in the transmission distribution function

why and how to subsidise energy r d lessons from the collapse and recovery of electricity innovation in the uk the uk electricity sector liberalisation was a pioneer in the worldwide reform trend and its reform model and outcomes have been the subject of many studies however lesser known are the effects of privatisation market based reforms and incentive regulation of networks on research and development as well as patenting activities in the sector this paper updates our previous studies of this subject and discusses the recent developments in the innovative activities in the uk electricity sector we find that in recent years the initial absence of support policies and the subsequent decline in innovation efforts in the aftermath of the reform has resulted in efforts towards forming an energy technology and innovation policy although we already observe some positive outcomes from these efforts we discuss whether the balance of the innovation efforts are calibrated appropriately and whether the institutional framework can be further improved to promote long term progress

evaluating prior beliefs in a demand system the case of meat demand in canada an almost ideal demand system for meats is estimated using canadian data a bayesian approach is used to impose inequality restrictions on substitution elasticities via monte carlo integration and importance sampling in order to conform with prior beliefs about curvature and monotonicity restrictions and substitution relationships results are more consistent with the concavity and monotonicity restrictions from demand theory than with the added restriction that all meats are substitutes

food consumption in mexico demographic and economic effects abstract disaggregated demand analysis is beginning to receive increased importance in food policies for developing countries using household data from the mexican expenditure survey we estimate the income and demographic effects on expenditures for nine aggregate food categories in addition we use a probit model to explore the effect of these variables on the purchase decision for five high protein supplying goods the results indicate that demographic variables as well as income have important effects in determining food expenditures we analyse these effects and indicate the role they might play in food policy programmes such as pronal

maintaining and testing separability in demand systems we derive a general elasticity representation of the necessary and sufficient conditions for direct weak separability of the utility function parametric restrictions required to implement the separability conditions are presented for three common demand systems the almost ideal translog and rotterdam our empirical application uses the rotterdam model to test a few separable structures within a complete u s demand system emphasizing food commodities results based on size corrected likelihood ratio tests provide support for commonly used separability assumptions about food and meat demand

ownership unbundling and investment in electricity markets a cross country study abstract this paper is the first to explicitly test for the presence of a trade off between static and dynamic efficiency and a trade off between vertical economies and competition in a regulated industry the electricity industry we show for 16 european countries over the period 1998 2008 that higher electricity end user prices in a country subsequently lead to larger aggregate investments in the capital stock i e in generation distribution and transmission assets moreover there is a trade off between vertical economies and competition ownership unbundling and forced access to the incumbent transmission grid increases competition but come at the cost of lost vertical economies generally we find that regulation that affects only the market directly like the establishment of a wholesale market or free choice of suppliers increases aggregate investment regulation however that adversely affects the incumbent directly like ownership unbundling decreases aggregate investment spending

r d investment of electricity generating firms following industry restructuring abstract since electricity market restructuring questions over adequate levels of r d investments persisted using an unbalanced panel data of 70 electricity generating firms across 15 organisations of economic co operation and development countries from 1990 to 2008 this paper empirically examines the impacts of entry liberalization allowing third party access establishing a wholesale market and deregulating a retail market vertical unbundling privatization and firm size on r d investments entry liberalization is associated with a decline in r d investment establishing a wholesale market exhibits the greatest negative effects on r d investment regulated tpa and retail market deregulation also decrease r d the effect of privatization is not independently salient but interacts with a wholesale pool to lower r d investments large firms spend more on r d investment than small firms results indicate that the restructuring of the electricity industry reduces r d investment which may be detrimental to the reliability and the efficiency of the electricity system as well as to the creation and maintenance of the innovation capabilities necessary to address demand and environmental concerns

unintended consequences energy r d in a deregulated energy market abstract many advanced industrialized nations are substantially reducing their national public and private investments in energy research and development r d driven in part by changes occurring as a result of the deregulation of these nations energy sectors in particular funding for strategic energy r d aimed at developing future energy supply options eg fusion fission clean fossil energy renewable energy has been decreased substantially in both the public and private sectors in many of these nations these trends are now starting to be seen in the united states as it moves towards the deregulation of the nation s utilities the magnitude of the reductions in support for energy r d in the public and private sectors and the shift towards decidedly shorter term r d has profound implications for nations approaching deregulation though utility customers may be short term winners from the deregulation of utilities by paying less for energy a national failure to invest in energy r d is very likely to have long term negative impacts on national energy sectors the economies and environmental wellbeing

estimating a demand system with nonnegativity constraints mexican meat demand a new information based approach for estimating systems of many equations with nonnegativity constraints is presented this approach called generalized maximum entropy gme is more practical and

how foolish are internet investors we offer the first systematic evidence that stock recommendations published on the internet move prices and trading volumes we found that buy announcements for small cap growth stocks published in the nightly performance recap of the motley fool s rule breaker portfolio engender statistically significant abnormal returns the effects were generally larger than those following secondhand buy recommendations published in the print media or after a stock purchase recommendation on the television program wall treet week our finding of unusual trading volume also provides evidence consistent with the hypothesis that the motley fool buy announcements are closely followed and acted on by internet investors

innovation processes in large technical systems market liberalization as a driver for radical change abstract electricity supply is a large technical system which exhibits strong path dependencies and high barriers for radical innovations recent market liberalization however has initiated a fundamental restructuring the paper analyzes how liberalization has altered innovation processes in the field of electricity supply we examine three radical innovations under monopoly conditions and contrast the findings with the results from a survey on the innovation behavior of electric utilities in liberalized markets we argue that the selection environment for innovations has changed in various respects in our sample new options open to innovation activities have emerged at the level of the firm and utility strategies turn out to be more heterogeneous this may be interpreted as an increase in the variety of search processes which may lead to a mid term decrease of path dependencies

regulatory reforms and productivity an empirical analysis of the japanese electricity industry the japanese electricity industry has experienced regulatory reforms since the mid 1990s this article measures productivity in japan s steam power generation sector and examines the effect of reforms on the productivity of this industry over the period 1978 2003 we estimate the luenberger productivity indicator which is a generalization of the commonly used malmquist productivity index using a data envelopment analysis approach factors associated with productivity change are investigated through dynamic generalized method of moments gmm estimation of panel data our empirical analysis shows that the regulatory reforms have contributed to productivity growth in the steam power generation sector in japan

when will housing recover an interesting perspective on recent trends in the u s housing market is gained by noting how housing prices correspond to per capita income a traditional measure of affordability the ratio of housing prices to per capita income is high but close to historical norms in many regional markets however notable exceptions do exist in california housing prices recently reached levels relative to per capita income far above historical norms a significant pricing correction has begun in that market similarly housing prices are correcting sharply in arizona florida and nevada investors need to be mindful of the potential for housing market related losses and the potential for contagion among asset classes see comments and response on this article

productivity growth and deregulation of japanese electricity distribution deregulation of japanese electric power industry began in 1995 after the amendment of electricity utility industry law in 1995 competition was partially introduced in a generation sector and retail competition started from 2000 eligibility to choose suppliers was gradually extended from larger to smaller customers as of 2008 almost all customers except households can choose their electricity suppliers based upon both previous implementation result of competition policy and review on their achievement japanese government will begin new policy debate in 2013 to assess further retail competition which includes household customers to prepare for policy suggestion on the future electric power industry this study examines the cost structure of japanese electricity distribution for the purpose we estimate a multi product translog cost function of japanese electricity distribution from 1983 to 2003 using the estimated cost function we calculate several economic measures such as productivity growth technical change and economies of scale and scope the empirical results of this study indicate the improvement in productivity growth after deregulation

how much is a tulip worth the kind of passion to possess tulip bulbs that gripped holland some 350 years ago may be alive and well today among certain u s equity investors

deregulation market competition and innovation of utilities evidence from japanese electric sector this paper explores the determinants of electric utility innovation and examines the impact of electric sector deregulation and market competition on it using a balanced panel database of nine japanese utilities from 1978 to 2014 both input r d expenditure and output patent application number and patent quality aspects of innovations are examined the empirical results indicate that deregulation and market competition decrease the former but increase the latter these results are followed by a discussion on why this scenario occurs the results also suggest that after deregulation utilities focus more on short term business oriented r d projects hence we call for governments to support long term public oriented and environmental research in the electric sector

structural reform of japanese electric power industry separation between generation and transmission distribution this study examines the cost structure of japanese electric power industry to investigate whether a structural reform on the industry really enhances a cost saving benefit to consumers a composite cost function model using a panel data set is used for this study the data set consists of nine electric power companies from 1990 to 2008 based upon the estimation results this study examines whether economies of scale and vertical economies exist in the industry then this study conducts a cost subadditivity test that is a necessary condition of natural monopoly the empirical results indicate that the electric power firms exhibit the status of economies of scale in their transmissions and distributions and the operation as a whole however they do not exhibit economies of scale in their generations thus the transmission operation by integration in a large area can improve its economic efficiency furthermore the industry should introduce more competition in both generation and wholesale power markets where more firms can participate in their power trades this study also empirically confirms that vertical economies have existed in the industry moreover this study confirms that all the estimates in the cost subadditivity test satisfy the necessary condition of natural monopoly where each estimate indicates cost saving in cost subadditivity the test does not guarantee a sufficient condition of natural monopoly however it clearly indicates that the functional separation between generation and transmission will increase total production cost in the industry the complete separation may result in a net loss of economic efficiency if a competition benefit does not exceed an expected economic loss consequently this study suggests that the industrial structure of future japanese electric power industry should be evaluated from not only an expected benefit by introducing competition but also an unbundling cost that occurs with a loss of vertical integration

technological externalities and economies of vertical integration in the electric utility industry abstract this paper investigates economies of vertical integration of the electric utility industry focusing on the technological externality between the generation and transmission distribution stages for this purpose a shadow cost function of the symmetric generalized mcfadden form is estimated using panel data on the transmission distribution stage of nine japanese electric utility firms the results show that there exist the technological externality effects of generation facilities on the cost of the transmission distribution stage suggesting economies of vertical integration

statistical models for zero expenditures in household budgets household budget surveys are an important source of data on consumer s expenditure not just for individual consumers but also for estimating national aggregates however it is a widespread finding that for certain commodities most notably tobacco and alcohol the estimate from the household survey falls short of the known consumption total calculated with some confidence from data on production imports exports and excise duties for example in the british family expenditure survey with which we shall largely be concerned total tobacco expenditure was underestimated in 1976 by 21 percent see kemsley redpath and holmes 1980 p 51 much of this understatement together with that on alcohol is thought to occur because of the design of the survey which excludes many persons amongst whom consumption of such items is thought to be atypically high e g prisoners hoteliers and their residents merchant seamen even so the possibility remains that some of the understatement is due to various types of misreporting by households included in the survey in this paper we consider a model in which the standard tobit specification tobin 1958 is supplemented by the operation of a simple binary censor the tobit model is essentially a linear regression model in which non positive observations of the dependent variable are replaced by zero we take this specification as our starting point but add a second censoring process that randomly replaces a fraction of the observations generated by the tobit model bv zeroes the combined model can serve as a representation of several types of

testing restrictions on a model of japanese meat demand tests for quasi separability net substitutability and perfect substitutability are developed and implemented on an almost ideal demand system model of the japanese meat sector the data set satisfies both symmetry and homogeneity there is evidence of net complimentarity between chicken and dairy beef and chicken and pork the tests indicate that japanese wagyu beef is considered a separate commodity to both imported beef and dairy beef the results also indicate that fish can be treated as separable in the japanese meat demand system

electricity sector liberalisation and innovation an analysis of the uk s patenting activities abstract liberalisation has had a marked effect on innovative activities in the electricity industry in particular electricity reforms have resulted in a reduction in r d spending in the sector r d and patenting activities are respectively regarded as innovative inputs to and outputs from technological progress the present paper examines the effect of the reforms on patenting activity in the uk electricity sector the results indicate that electricity related patents in non nuclear and renewable technologies have increased in the post liberalisation period we attribute this trend to the increased commercialisation of the sector while this development is positive we argue that a lasting decline in r d will in the longer run reduce technological progress and innovation in the sector in order to maintain the pace of innovation we discuss the need to design a new framework for innovation systems that is commensurate with the functioning and incentive mechanisms of a liberalised sector

product market competition and upstream innovation evidence from the u s electricity market deregulation this paper studies the innovation response of upstream technology suppliers when their downstream buyers transition from regulation to competition by modeling the impact of the 1990s u s electricity deregulation on patenting we find that after deregulation the net competition effect comprising the pure competition and the escape competition effect decreased innovation by 18 3 and the appropriation effect increased innovation by 19 6 other deregulation factors have led to a 20 6 decline in aggregate after deregulation innovation by the upstream technology suppliers has declined by 19 3 and upstream innovation quality and generality have declined as well

market structure and innovation a survey economics we all recite deals with allocation of limited resources towards satisfaction of unlimited wants resources are typically identified as land labor and capital plus a technology that determines their transformation into consumer goods disparity between the available goods and services and the desired gives rise to scarcity and the question of what how and for whom to produce the focus then shifts to description and evaluation of alternative resource allocation mechanisms for making the choices the pareto criterion by which an allocation of resources is deemed efficient if any reallocation improving the position of some individual worsens the position of others is a commonly employed gauge of a mechanism s performance in the absence of externalities increasing returns to scale and uncertainty a perfectly competitive market system yields a pareto optimal allocation of resources this underlies the view that individual self interest is compatible with society s interest the further conclusion that pareto optimality may not be achieved via the market system in the presence of monopoly elements provides an economic rationale for antitrust laws the objective of a resource allocation mechanism appears to be according to the analysis described above to make the best of available resources the alternative objective of relaxing constraints through expanding the resource base or developing new technology seems to be beyond its scope thus until rather recently technical advance had been regarded in the mainstream of economic theory as unmotivated by the quest for profits and substantially unaffected by resource allocation instead as j schmookler observed technology had been viewed as a parameter like the weather affecting the outcome of resource allocations but itself unaffected by them 84 1965 evidence that technological progress has significantly contributed to growth in productivity together with a substantial increase in research and development activity largely financed by government and carried out by industry see f machlup 51 1962 may have spurred reconsideration of this view once technical advance is regarded as an economic variable it is natural to in

what do we learn about consumer demand patterns from micro data the aim of this paper is to assess the importance of using micro level data in the econometric analysis of consumer demand to do this we utilize a time series of repeated cross sections covering some 4 000 households in each of 15 years employing a number of different aggregation procedures we conclude that aggregate data alone are unlikely to produce reliable estimates of structural price and income coefficients however once certain aggregation factors as well as trend and seasonal components are included an aggregate model is not necessarily outperformed across all demand equations in terms of forecasting ability jel d12 c52 c31 the purpose of this paper is to develop a complete consumer demand system based on a time series of individual household data and to use it to measure the biases introduced into the study of consumer de mand behavior when aggregate data are used in place of the appropriate microeco nomic data we assess the suitability of ag gregate data through the impact on income and price elasticities and by evaluating the ability of both micro and aggregate based models to forecast aggregate consumer de mand the biases introduced by the use of aggregate data depend upon the way that household characteristics interact with in come and price effects and on departures of demand systems from linearity we explore the structure of microeconomic demand sys tems and the role of household characteris tics in the behavior of consumer demand both for the light this may shed on the pattern of future demands and for the im plications this behavior has for issues of aggregation consumer demand patterns typically found in micro data sets vary considerably across households with different household characteristics and with different levels of income we model this variability by making intercept and slope parameters in the budget share equations of our demand sys tem depend on household characteristics and by allowing for nonlinear total log expenditure terms in fact in theory consistent demand systems it is total ex penditure rather than disposable income that is allocated across goods we find that this general framework leads to a well specified data coherent demand system which is a quadratic extension of the popu lar almost ideal model of angus s deaton and john muellbauer 1980 the micro level estimates are shown to be sensitive to the treatment of endogeneity of total expen diture and to the specification of interaction terms with household characteristics in ad dition this specification is also shown to possess many attractive features for the evaluation of aggregate models

industrial and residential electricity demand dynamics in japan how did price and income elasticities evolve from 1989 to 2014 abstract this study estimates the price and income elasticities of industrial and residential electricity demand in japan with the annual data from 1989 to 2014 a time varying parameter tvp model with the kalman filter is applied to monitor the evolution of consumer behaviors in the post bubble period given the exogenous shock financial crisis in 2008 and the structural breaks electricity deregulation and fukushima daiichi crisis the tvp model can provide a robust estimation of elasticities and can detect the outliers and the structural breaks the results suggest that both industrial and residential consumers become less sensitive to price after the electricity deregulation and the financial crisis and more sensitive to price after the fukushima daiichi crisis especially the industrial sector is less sensitive to price after the retail deregulation by contrast the income elasticities of industrial and residential sector consumers are stable during the examined period results also indicate that a negative relationship exists between the price elasticity of electricity demand and the price level of electricity after the electric sector deregulation some insights on the further electric sector reform and the environmental taxation in japan are also provided