variable returns to scale in production and patterns of specialization this paper discusses some trade and welfare implications of the two sector model based on increasing returns to scale irs in one industry and decreasing returns to scale drs in the other it has been shown by horst herberg and murray kemp that given homothetic production functions with irs in one industry and drs in the other the production possibilities frontier ppf is strictly concave to the origin near the irs axis and strictly convex to the origin near the drs axis while this result constitutes an important finding and is contrary to the general impression among economists even twelve years after the publication of herberg and kemp s paper no attempt has been made to analyze its implications for welfare and patterns of specialization in this paper i consider a simple twocommodity model with irs in one industry and drs in the other and discuss some interesting implications of variable returns to scale vrs first i demonstrate that in this model if a small open economy specializes completely in production it will do so in the drs commodity and not in the irs commodity as is generally believed second if at a given price ratio an internal production equilibrium exists a welfaremaximizing small open economy will never specialize completely in production even though the ppf exhibits decreasing opportunity costs over a part of its range third given output generated economies and diseconomies of scale welfare maximization for a small country requires a permanent tax subsidy scheme encouraging expansion of the irs industry and contraction of the drs industry finally in a two country model with identical tastes and technology across the countries free trade equilibrium may result in incomplete specialization by the exporter of the irs commodity and complete specialization by the exporter of the drs commodity in the course of the analysis i argue that tinbergen s formulation of frank graham s case for protecting the irs industry is incorrect i then present a possible reformulation of it in section i the basic production model is introduced in section ii the model is analyzed and in section iii it is argued that all the results continue to hold in the multifactor case

external economies and international trade redux comment recently in this journal grossman and rossi hansberg 2010 proposed a novel way to think about the implications of international trade in the presence of national external economies at the industry level instead of perfect competition and two industries grh assume bertrand competition and a continuum of industries grh conclude that the equilibrium is unique if transport costs are low that there is no trade for high transport costs and that there is no equilibrium in pure strategies when transport costs are intermediate in this note we reexamine the equilibrium analysis

discount rates and credit markets theory and evidence from rural india three models of credit markets 1 the permanent income model 2 upward sloping credit supply to individual borrowers and 3 constrained credit due to imperfect enforcement are tested using credit market data and an experimental study of individuals discount rates in south india the permanent income model is rejected by both the discount rate and the credit market data the discount rate data are consistent with either of the other two models while the credit market data are consistent with a combination of these two models other explanations are found to be insufficient to explain the results of this study

interconnectivity of communications networks and international trade in this study a multi country model of trade is developed that captures the role of country specific communications network interconnectivity which enhances trade in intermediate business services the number of countries connected to inter nationally interconnected networks is found to determine the structure of comparative advantage that is countries with interconnected networks have a comparative advan tage in the good that requires business services provided via networks in connected countries producers of that good benefit from the efficient transmission of business services this research also demonstrates that countries whose country specific net works are not connected to the interconnected networks may become worse off as the

stochastic dominance and mean variance measures of profit and loss for business planning and investment in this paper we first extend the stochastic dominance sd theory by introducing the first three orders of both ascending sd asd and descending sd dsd to decisions in business planning and investment to risk averse and risk loving decision makers so that they can compare both return and loss we provide investors with more tools for empirical analysis with which they can identify the first order asd and dsd prospects and discern arbitrage opportunities that could increase his her utility as well as wealth and set up a zero dollar portfolio to make huge profit our tools also enable investors and business planners to identify the third order asd and dsd prospects and make better choices to complement the stochastic dominance approach we also introduce an improved mean variance criterion to decisions in business planning or investment on both return and loss for risk averse and riskloving investors we then illustrate the superiority of the present approaches with well known examples in the literature and discuss the relationship between the improved stochastic dominance and mean variance criteria

network externalities discrete demand shifts and submarginal cost pricing the introduction of a new product often causes a massive discrete demand shift to the new product this study demonstrates that if a large scale demand shift to a new product is accompanied by network externalities it may result in submarginal cost pricing by which the seller sets its price below the marginal cost this finding casts new light on dumping and safeguard issues in the real world jel classification d42 externalites de reseaux deplacements discrets de la demande et tarification en deca du cout marginal l introduction d un nouveau produit engendre souvent un deplacement massif discret de la demande vers le nouveau produit cette etude montre que si un tel deplacement de la demande est accompagne d externalites de reseaux il peut s ensuivre une tarification en deca du cout marginal ou le vendeur fixe son prix en dessous du cout marginal ce resultat jette une lumiere nouvelle sur les problemes de dumping et de protection dans le monde reel

gains from diversification on convex combinations a majorization and stochastic dominance approach by incorporating both majorization theory and stochastic dominance theory this paper presents a general theory and a unifying framework for determining the diversification preferences of risk averse investors and conditions under which they would unanimously judge a particular asset to be superior in particular we develop a theory for comparing the preferences of different convex combinations of assets that characterize a portfolio to give higher expected utility by second order stochastic dominance our findings also provide an additional methodology for determining the second order stochastic dominance efficient set

analysis of protection and pricing strategies for digital products under uncertain demand abstract we analyze pricing and protection digital rights management strategies in a two echelon supply chain that consists of a manufacturer and a retailer of digital products the demand for the legal non pirated product which depends on both price and monetary investment in protection is assumed to be uncertain three different supply chain models are analyzed manufacturer stackelberg retailer stackelberg and vertical integration we show that the retailer s utility function has no effect on the equilibrium strategies and suggest schemes to find these strategies for any utility function of the manufacturer further results are obtained under assumptions of either a multiplicative or an additive demand model we study the players strategies under different profit criteria reflecting different attitudes toward risk specifically the expectation criterion and the target criterion and for each criterion we obtain the dependence between the pricing and the protection investment we show that there are situations in which the manufacturer can increase his profit by giving up his leadership to the retailer even if the power balance is in his favor

congestible communications networks and international trade we build a two country model of monopolistic competition with communications networks a communications network is characterized by 1 the existence of large fixed costs of network provision and 2 the presence of congestion it is demonstrated that both the size of a country and the relative magnitude of the congestion effect determine its comparative advantage if the congestion effect resp the cost sharing effect prevails universally a comparative advantage in the goods that require communications is held by the smaller resp larger of the two countries jel classification d43 f12 reseaux de communication congestion et commerce international ce memoire presente un modele de concurrence monopolistique a deux pays avec des reseaux de communication un reseau de communication est caracterise par 1 l existence de couts fixes importants pour la mise en place du reseau et 2 la presence de congestion on montre que la taille du pays et la magnitude relative de la congestion determinent l avantage comparatif si l effet de congestion ou respectivement l effet de partage des couts prevaut un avantage comparatif dans les biens qui demandent plus de communication est detenu par le plus grand respectivement le plus petit des deux pays

clusters and comparative advantage implications for industrial policy abstract cases of industrial agglomeration or clusters arise in the presence of industry specific and local externalities also called marshallian externalities the standard argument is that such externalities may justify a policy of infant industry protection to allow and encourage clusters to emerge in this paper i explore this carefully and show that different policy implications emerge under a more realistic modeling of clusters in particular rather than distorting prices to promote clusters in advanced sectors that may exhibit strong clustering possibilities countries should focus instead on promoting clustering in current sectors which have revealed to have the strongest comparative advantage import substitution is not a proper way to achieve this

a comparison of var and cvar constraints on portfolio selection with the mean variance model in this paper we analyze the portfolio selection implications arising from imposing a value at risk var constraint on the mean variance model and compare them with those arising from the imposition of a conditional value at risk cvar constraint we show that for a given confidence level a cvar constraint is tighter than a var constraint if the cvar and var bounds coincide consequently a cvar constraint is more effective than a var constraint as a tool to control slightly risk averse agents but in the absence of a risk free security has a perverse effect in that it is more likely to force highly risk averse agents to select portfolios with larger standard deviations however when the cvar bound is appropriately larger than the var bound or when a risk free security is present a cvar constraint dominates a var constraint as a risk management tool

fieldwork economic theory and research on institutions in developing countries development economics has been the bene ciary of a rich tradition of eld research within this broad tradition there is a huge variety of methods from short qualitative studies in which the primary interaction between the researcher and the participants is relatively unstructured conversation to large scale surveys designed by and perhaps loosely supervised by economists in this note however i focus on one point in this broad space of research methodologies iterative eld research in which the collection of data through surveys is combined with detailed observation and conversation to elicit knowledge about institutions a highly arti cial but i hope useful typology is provided in figure 1 typically empirical work in economics relies on existing data however it is becoming more common in development economics to complement existing data with relatively short often less structured visits to the eld site in order to clarify aspects of the data to better de ne the economic environment or to collect limited amounts of complementary data for example icrisat hosted and provided institutional support for a series of visiting scholars during the collection of the village level surveys this proved to be a relatively inexpensive mechanism that generated an important sequence of insights regarding economic institutions india rosenzweig 1998 ej pender 1996 are examples of papers emerging from this

winners and losers among a refugee hosting population abstractthe impact of a sudden mass influx of forced migrants on the hosting economy is understudied and not well understood using a household panel data set for the kagera region in tanzania we test the impact of the mass refugee presence on the welfare of the local population our identification strategy exploits variations in the timing of arrival as well as the spatial distribution of rwandese and burundi refugees we find a positive and aggregate effect but households are affected differently depending on their main initial occupation

loss averse preferences and portfolio choices an extension abstract in this paper we generalise existing models of loss averse preferences this extension clarifies the impact of stochastic changes in risk on the optimal degree of risk taking our more general model highlights an intuitive link between the literature on loss averse behaviours and the notions of prudence and temperance recently introduced in the literature we also stress the link between our approach and the use of var and cvar as risk measures

economic implications of using a mean var model for portfolio selection a comparison with mean variance analysis abstract we relate value at risk var to mean variance analysis and examine the economic implications of using a mean var model for portfolio selection when comparing two mean variance efficient portfolios the higher variance portfolio might have less var consequently an efficient portfolio that globally minimizes var may not exist surprisingly we show that it is plausible for certain risk averse agents to end up selecting portfolios with larger standard deviations if they switch from using variance to var as a measure of risk therefore regulators should be aware that var is not an unqualified improvement over variance as a measure of risk

international outsourcing and factor prices with multistage production we develop a dual representation of the technology of international fragmentation for an industry using 2 factors in a continuum of stages we then derive a generalised factor price frontier which incorporates an endogenous adjustment of the margin of fragmentation using this frontier in a 2 2 general equilibrium model we investigate the role of outsourcing in the adjustment to a decline in the final output price of the multistage industry and the attendant factor price effects we also explore the implications of an improved technology of international fragmentation on the margin of fragmentation and on domestic factor prices

the positive theory of production externalities under perfect competition abstract aggregate cost and factor demand functions are used to develop a local envelope function which is applied in a general equilibrium model with production externalities to shed new light on the relationship between the true economy marginal costs and outputs this relationship induces a structure to the relationship between actual prices and outputs by means of the assumption of no factor demand reversals associated with externality effects we also provide generalisations of the stolper samuelson and rybczynski theorems highlighting the role of the externality effects

a theoretical explanation of some stylized facts of economic growth this paper presents a three good two country general equilibrium model that is consistent with several stylized facts of economic growth the three goods are manufactures agriculture and services manufactures are subject to economies of scale the model predicts that services a nontraded good must be more expensive in the country with higher per capita income it also shows that as per capita income increases we should expect the productivity in commodities relative to services to rise the model is able to generate many other stylized facts of economic growth

global models applied to agricultural and trade policies a review and assessment the continuing process of global integration bears implications for farmers and related supplying and processing industries in all parts of the world but also for the rest of the world economy an assessment of agricultural and trade policy impacts is bound to be complex and is often supported by quantitative modeling analysis this article provides an assessment of the present state of applied modelling in the area of trade and agricultural policies we provide in this paper a comparative assessment of alternative modelling approaches considering a total of 16 partial equilibrium and general equilibrium models the assessment includes theoretical modelling foundations datasets employed and institutional aspects such as model maintenance and dissemination of results a typology of models is provided by structuring the assessment along a clear set of evaluation criteria

financial systems in northern thai villages field research attempted to measure the risky environments the information structures the institutions and the risk response mechanisms of ten villages in northern thailand various key features are then modeled in an abstract but realistic way either with a full information risk sharing model or an information constrained version of the same model observations from some of the villages seem consistent with one or the other of these models but in many of the villages one is left with risk response variations across households which suggest that pareto improvements are possible

hunting for models grounded and rational choice approaches to analyzing climate effects on subsistence hunting in an arctic community abstract climate change and uncertain economies challenge small native communities of the north american arctic with their reliance on local fish and wildlife resources methodological boundaries of single discipline analyses limit the contribution of academic research to the real world questions facing arctic residents oversimplified assumptions and lack of data hamper mainstream economic approaches based on rational choice while more grounded approaches suffer from inability to generalize we attempt to integrate these two approaches to project the effects of climate change on subsistence hunting in a canadian arctic community in our collaboration we find that rational choice modeling suggests specific questions that help direct the grounded research grounded methods provide general relationships and hypotheses as well as data for economic modeling using local knowledge lk obtained from grounded methods we estimate a discrete choice travel cost model of subsistence hunting projecting that climate warming may cost a typical household the equivalent of a half day of lost time during a hunting season besides providing data needed to make rational choice applications realistic grounded methods reveal qualitative information essential for understanding relationships we conclude that integration and synthesis of these disparate analytical approaches provides insights that neither method alone could have produced

managerial versus production wages offshoring country size and endowments we explore the role of trade in differentiated final goods as well as offshoring of tasks for inequality both within and between countries emphasizing the distinction between managerial and production labour we extend grossman and rossi hansberg 2012 where task trade is driven by external economies of scale by considering asymmetric endowments identifying possible equilibrium patterns of task trade we find little scope for two way trade if endowments are asymmetric our numerical simulations identify non monotonicities between the level of offshoring and measures of within country as well as between country inequality remunerations des gestionnaires et des travailleurs delocalisation taille du pays et dotation de facteurs on explore le role du commerce de biens differenciees finaux ainsi que celui de la delocalisation des t ches dans l explication de l inegalite a la fois intra et entre pays en mettant l accent sur la distinction entre travail de gestion et travail de production on developpe le modele de grossman et rossi hansberg 2012 ou le deplacement des t ches est enclenche par les economies d echelle externes en considerant les dotations asymetriques de facteurs en identifiant les patterns d equilibres possibles du deplacement des t ches on trouve peu de possibilite pour un commerce bilateral si les dotations sont asymetriques des simulations numeriques identifient des relations non monotones entre le niveau de delocalisation et des mesures d inegalites intra pays ou entre pays

an empirical analysis of term premiums using significance tests for stochastic dominance abstract the economic significance of term premiums in real returns on us treasury bills is examined using recently developed tests for first and second order stochastic dominance the tests place only general restrictions on the preferences of individuals and on the distribution of returns the results indicate that the two month real return is preferred to the one month real return based on both dominance criteria other term premiums do not appear to be economically significant

a note on the neoclassical ambiguity and the specific factor production model under variable returns to scale abstract this note investigates the relationship between commodity price changes and factor rewards in a specific factor production model that admits variable returns to scale the principal result is that in the presence of variable returns to scale the so called neoclassical ambiguity may be resolved without resorting to detailed knowledge of the mobile factor s preferences that is to say the effect of a commodity price change may as it does with the returns to those factors specific to each industry raise or lower the real reward of the mobile factor in terms of either commodity depending only on the characteristics of the technology

technology adoption in the presence of network externalities we analyze technology adoption in industries where network externalities are significant the pattern of adoption depends on whether technologies are sponsored a sponsor is an entity that has property rights to the technology and hence is willing to make investments to promote it key findings include the following 1 compatibility tends to be undersupplied by the market but excessive standardization can occur 2 in the absence of sponsors the technology superior today has a strategic advantage and is likely to dominate the market 3 when one of two rival technologies is sponsored that technology has a strategic advantage and may be adopted even if it is inferior 4 when two competing technologies both are sponsored the technology that will be superior tomorrow has a strategic advantage

trade and communication costs two models in which communication costs are a cost to trade are investigated one model looks at the role of communication in determining the firms geographic extent in the use of local factor services communication costs are modelled as a quasi public good network in which communication services are provided by an average cost pricing monopolist the network technology is subject to increasing returns congestion effects and network externalities the second model focuses on communication for the purposes of international trade in goods with similar assumptions on the technology of communication as in the first model in this model an important distinction is made between international equilibrium and global equilibrium in both models the impact of reductions in communication costs on the market extent of firms trade volumes and productivity are examined the models have generic multiple equilibria with quite different welfare and comparative static properties

a theory of anticipated utility abstract a new theory of cardinal utility with an associated set of axioms is presented it is a generalization of the von neumann morgenstern expected utility theory which permits the analysis of phenomena associated with the distortion of subjective probability

stochastic dominance and expected utility survey and analysis while stochastic dominance has been employed in various forms as early as 1932 it has only been since 1969 1970 that the notion has been developed and extensively employed in the area of economics finance agriculture statistics marketing and operations research in this survey the first second and third order stochastic dominance rules are discussed with an emphasis on the development in the area since the 1980s

policy designs in a dynamic model of infant industry protection abstract this paper takes the neoclassical infant industry model allows agents to respond to future expectations and reveals previously unexplained relationships between protection and outcome policy which projects to protect the industry until international competitiveness may not necessarily succeed consistent to the mixed empirical evaluations to guarantee success protection has to last longer however for success to be an equilibrium protection can last shorter decline after take off is also an equilibrium when adjustment speed is bounded increasing the protection rate is not isomorphic to decreasing its duration in policy design adjustment speed critical industry scale and policy duration are all relevant

coalition formation in standard setting alliances we present a theory for predicting how business firms form alliances to develop and sponsor technical standards our basic assumptions are that the utility of a firm for joining a particular standard setting alliance increases with the size of the alliance and decreases with the presence of rivals in the alliance especially close rivals the predicted alliance configurations are simply the nash equilibria i e those sets of alliances for which no single firm has an incentive to switch to another alliance we illustrate our theory by estimating the choices of nine computer companies to join one of two alliances sponsoring competing unix operating system standards in 1988

procompetitive gains from trade and comparative advantage having made the concepts of pro or anticompetitive output changes precise necessary and sufficient conditions for trade gains are derived under conditions of increasing returns to scale and imperfect competition in a general equilibrium model with any finite number of goods and factors these conditions yield generalizations of the theorems of comparative advantage in goods and implicit factor trade the factor content version of the h o theorem other generalizations can be obtained if one assumes quasihomothetic preferences and that welfare effects are dominated by price rather than income effects copyright 1996 by economics department of the university of pennsylvania and the osaka university institute of social and economic research association

increasing returns and the specific factors model in recent years trade theorists have been increasingly interested in the role of economies of scale in international trade models yet the literature to date seems to lack a simple treatment of income distribution and related issues in the presence of economies of scale the present paper attempts to fill this gap by incorporating increasing returns to scale irs into the standard specific factors model trade theorists have begun to view the specific factors model as the favored vehicle for analyzing the economy wide effects of changes in commodity prices factor endowments and other exogenous variables the strongest case in favor of this model has been presented by neary 16 who argues that the model provides a rigorous general equilibrium foundation for partial equilibrium analysis as far as the supply side of the economy is concerned whereas with icm partial equilibrium reasoning will frequently be misleading 2 he further conjectures that icm is the source of all the paradoxes which are peculiar to international trade theory with the exception of those which arise from the failure to adopt first best policies in light of these views in the literature it is of interest to investigate how robust the predictions of the specific factors model are in the presence of economies of scale the analysis in this paper has important implications for the literature on irs as well as that on the specific factors model the more important of these implications may be summarized as follows first in a small open economy characterized by national intraindustry irs the condition for local dynamic stability is equivalent to the condition for a normal output price response 3 moreover in contrast with the findings of the irs models based on free intersectoral mobility of all factors as exemplified in herberg and kemp 6 this condition may be satisfied everywhere along the production possibilities frontier second stability of an equilibrium in the presence of irs is not sufficient to guarantee the validity of many results of the standard specific factors model responses of a small

trade spatial separation and the environment we develop a simple two sector dynamic model to show how pollution can provide a motive for trade by spatially separating incompatible industries we assume that the production of smokestack manufactures generates pollution which lowers the prod uctivity of an environmentally sensitive sector farming two identical unregulated countries will gain from trade if the share of world income spent on smokestack goods is high in contrast when the share of world income spent on the dirty good is low trade can usher in a negatively reinforcing process of environmental degradation and real income loss for the exporter of smokestack goods 1999 elsevier science b v all rights reserved

stochastic dominance via quantile regression with applications to investigate arbitrage opportunity and market efficiency abstract tests for stochastic dominance constructed by translating the inference problem of stochastic dominance into parameter restrictions in quantile regressions are proposed they are variants of the one sided kolmogorov smirnoff statistic with a limiting distribution of the standard brownian bridge the procedure to obtain the critical values of our proposed test statistics are provided simulation results show their superior size and power they are applied to the nasdaq 100 and s p 500 indices to investigate dominance relationship before and after major turning points results show no arbitrage opportunity between the bear and bull markets our results infer that markets are inefficient and risk averters are better off investing in the bull rather than the bear market

the minimum cvar strategy with semi parametric estimation in carbon market hedging problems abstract effective hedging strategies are important in reducing price volatility risk for business investors and companies participating into carbon markets in this paper we investigate the risk triggered by price fluctuation of european union allowance eua a semi parametric approach with cornish fisher expansion which approximates the quantile using the higher moments of the distribution is provided to estimate hedging ratios using cvar as risk objective function the approach can successfully capture the features of higher moments with the heavy tailed and higher kurtosis distribution of the eua returns which tends to be neglected the hedging performances of minimum cvar model we proposed and the conventional minimum variance model are evaluated and compared our empirical results show that minimum cvar hedging strategy generally outperforms the other in sample using all the effectiveness criteria while it is not consistent out of sample the proposed semi parametric minimum cvar strategy with cornish fisher expansion is advisable in carbon market hedging problems

issues of strategic trade policy for small countries three game theoretic issues of international trade and commercial policy are examined fro m the special perspective of small countries in oligopolistic market s the question is when their ability to remain credibly small player s can be an advantage in negotiations about trade regimes small cou ntries gains from various kinds of trade are analyzed and their abi lity to achieve a better outcome by being more patient is considered the formation of alliances is briefly examined where small countrie s can gain if they can become free riders or pivotal voters copyright 1987 by the editors of the scandinavian journal of economics

marshallian stability and long run equilibrium in the theory of international trade with factor market distortions and variable returns to scale abstract we show that perverse comparative statistics paradoxes associated with factor market distortions and variable returns to scale vanish if the equilibrium is marshallian stable and that the equilibrium is marshallian stable iff it is a stable long run equilibrium

let s talk about the money spousal communication expenditures and farm production a burgeoning body of literature highlights asymmetric information among household members however little is known about the source of the asymmetry and its effect on efficiency using a unique survey of ghanaian households we examine the accuracy of spousal cross reports and the effect of discrepancies on farm production we find that information problems pertain to scale the quantity of resources and scope the distribution of resources as well as allocation decisions on the margin engel curves moreover we find that information asymmetries lead to inefficiency in production and the effect is equivalent to about 15 of the variation across households

factor mobility trade and welfare abstract the paper develops a north south model which is driven by scale economies in the modern sector the model predicts that skilled and unskilled labor migrate from south to north and capital migrates from north to south migration of skilled labor and capital exhibits complementarity with trade while migration of labor may exhibit complementarity or substitutability if the terms of trade effects are ignored small movements of all factors affect the welfare of the population in south negatively and of that in north positively the effects of migration on the terms of trade are ambiguous in general

market efficiency of oil spot and futures a mean variance and stochastic dominance approach this paper examines the market efficiency of oil spot and futures prices by using both mean variance mv and stochastic dominance sd approaches based on the west texas intermediate crude oil data for the sample period 1989 2008 we find no evidence of any mv and sd relationships between oil spot and futures indices this infers that there is no arbitrage opportunity between these two markets spot and futures do not dominate one another investors are indifferent to investing spot or futures and the spot and futures oil markets are efficient and rational the empirical findings are robust to each sub period before and after the crises for different crises and also to portfolio diversification

stochastic dominance and risk measure a decision theoretic foundation for var and c var abstract is it possible to obtain an objective and quantifiable measure of risk backed up by choices made by some specific groups of rational investors to answer this question in this paper we establish some behavior foundations for various types of var models including var and conditional var as measures of downside risk in this paper we will establish some logical connections among vars conditional var stochastic dominance and utility maximization though supported to some extents with unanimous choices by some specific groups of expected or non expected utility investors vars as profiles of risk measures at various levels of risk tolerance are not quantifiable they can only provide partial and incomplete risk assessments for risky prospects we also include in our discussion the relevant vars and several alternative risk measures for investors these alternatives use somewhat weaker assumptions about risk averse behavior by incorporating a mean preserving spread for this latter group of investors we provide arguments for and against the standard deviation versus var and conditional vars as objective and quantifiable measures of risk in the context of portfolio choice

transboundary pollution and the gains from trade we analyse the effects of transboundary pollution on trade patterns and welfare in a general equilibrium trade model production in a dirty industry generates pollution that negatively effects productivity both at home and abroad in a clean industry trade may lead to the spatial separation of production but the existence of transboundary pollution can offset the benefits from specialization we present a general model in which the effects of a country s pollution is country specific we analyse particular cases that correspond to an acid rain problem and a problem in which one country has a cleaner technology than the other we also present some results for small open economies to examine the effects of transboundary pollution in the absence of terms of trade effects

mean risk analysis with enhanced behavioral content abstract we study a mean risk model derived from a behavioral theory of disappointment with multiple reference points one distinguishing feature of the risk measure is that it is based on mutual deviations of outcomes not deviations from a specific target we prove necessary and sufficient conditions for strict first and second order stochastic dominance and show that the model is in addition a convex risk measure the model allows for richer and behaviorally more plausible risk preference patterns than competing models with equal degrees of freedom including expected utility eu mean variance m v mean gini m g and models based on non additive probability weighting such as dual theory dt in asset allocation the model allows a decision maker to abstain from diversifying in a positive expected value risky asset if its performance does not meet a certain threshold and gradually invest beyond this threshold which appears more acceptable than the extreme solutions provided by either eu and m v always diversify or dt and m g always plunge in asset trading the model provides no trade intervals like dt and m g in some but not all situations an illustrative application to portfolio selection is presented the model can provide an improved criterion for mean risk analysis by injecting a new level of behavioral realism and flexibility while maintaining key normative properties

interconnected communications networks and home market effects abstract this study develops a model of trade that highlights the effects of the interconnection of country specific communications networks as a driving force behind trade in high tech products with positive transport costs by constructing a two country model of monopolistic competition with two production factors it is shown that the locational decisions of firms may magnify the influence of interconnected networks in a reversal of the standard home market effects the abundance of unskilled labour in the developing countries can attract high tech firms from the developed countries jel classification d43 f12 l13