monetary policy asset prices and liquidity in over the counter markets we develop a model where agents can allocate their wealth between a liquid asset which can be used to purchase consumption goods and an illiquid asset which represents a better store of value should a consumption opportunity arise agents may visit a frictional over the counter secondary asset market where they can exchange illiquid for liquid assets we characterize how monetary policy affects both the issue price and the secondary market price of the asset we also show that in contrast to conventional wisdom search and bargaining frictions in the secondary asset market can improve welfare if inflation is low

from physical to human capital accumulation inequality and the process of development this paper develops a growth theory that captures the replacement of physical capital accumulation by human capital accumulation as a prime engine of growth along the process of development it argues that the positive impact of inequality on the growth process was reversed in this process in early stages of the industrial revolution when physical capital accumulation was the prime source of growth inequality stimulated development by channelling resources towards individuals with a higher propensity to save as human capital emerged as a growth engine equality alleviated adverse effects of credit constraints on human capital accumulation stimulating the growth process this research develops a growth theory that captures the endogenous replacement of physical capital accumulation by human capital accumulation as a prime engine of economic growth in the transition from the industrial revolution to modern growth the proposed theory offers a unified account for the effect of income inequality on the growth process during this transition it argues that the replacement of physical capital accumulation by human capital accumulation as a prime engine of economic growth changed the qualitative impact of inequality on the process of development in the early stages of the industrial revolution when physical capital accumulation was the prime source of economic growth inequality enhanced the process of development by channelling resources towards individuals whose marginal propensity to save is higher in the later stages of the transition to modern growth as human capital emerged as a prime engine of economic growth equality alleviated the adverse effect of credit constraints on human capital accumulation and stimulated the growth process the proposed theory unifies two fundamental approaches regarding the effect of income distribution on the process of development the classical approach and the credit market imperfection approach 1 the classical approach was originated by smith 1776 and was further interpreted and developed by keynes 1920 lewis 1954 kaldor 1957 and bourguignon 1981 according to this approach saving rates are an increasing function of wealth and inequality therefore channels resources towards individuals whose marginal propensity to save 1 the socio political economy approach provides an alternative mechanism equality diminishes the tendency for socio political instability or distortionary redistribution and hence it stimulates investment and economic growth see the comprehensive survey of benabou 1996b

the term structure of illiquidity premia abstract we investigate the term structure of bond market illiquidity premia and show that the term structure varies greatly over time short and long end are strictly separated suggesting that different economic factors drive different parts of the term structure we propose a stylized theoretical model which implies that current trading needs of investors determine the short end the long term risk of being forced to liquidate bond positions determines the long end empirical evidence supports these predictions while short term liquidation risk captured by asset market volatilities drives the short end the long end depends on the long term economic outlook

a mismatch made in heaven a hedonic analysis of overeducation and undereducation in this paper a hedonic pairing process is modeled in which some workers may be overeducated or undereducated as an equilibrium outcome of a dynamic labor market undereducated workers are those whose abilities and training permit them to move into a job with higher qualifications whereas overeducated workers are highly qualified workers who select into lower skill entry level jobs that provide the training or signal necessary for promotion the empirical model shows that these pairing types cannot be directly identified in a cross section since all workers are exactly educated during a portion of their career however pairing types may be imputed by comparing predicted and observed qualifications of the worker and predicted and observed requirements of the firm using a rich cross section and a panel of british working age males to identify the pairing types we confirm the predicted career development patterns with regard to on the job training promotion and wages

dynamic portfolio choice with frictions abstract we show how portfolio choice can be modeled in continuous time with transitory and persistent transaction costs multiple assets multiple signals predicting returns and general signal dynamics the objective function is derived from the limit of discrete time models with endogenous transaction costs due to optimal dealer behavior we solve the model explicitly and the intuitive solution is also the limit of the solutions of the corresponding discrete time models we show how the optimal high frequency trading strategy depends on the nature of the trading costs which in turn depend on dealers inventory dynamics finally we provide equilibrium implications and illustrate the model s broader applicability to micro and macro economics monetary policy and political economy

slipping into and out of poverty the dynamics of spells this paper examines the dynamics of poverty previous analyses have examined either fluctuations in the male heads earnings or the frequency of poverty periods over a fixed time frame our approach depends on a definition of spells of poverty using this methodology we find that the majority of poor persons at any time are in the midst of a rather long spell of poverty the methodology also allows us to estimate that less than 40 percent of poverty spells begin because of a drop in the heads earnings while 60 percent of the spells end when the heads earnings increase thus researchers must focus on household formation decisions and on the behavior of secondary family members there has been a dramatic resurgence recently of discussion of the underclass the discussion is reminiscent of debates about poverty during the 1960s when the notions of a culture of poverty particularly as popularized by michael harrington s other america 1962 dominated both intellectual and policy thinking the idea of an underclass seems inconsistent however with much of the research on the dynamics of poverty during the 1970s that research using new longitudinal data seemed to show that the bulk of the poor were poor for only a few years the research also showed that the poor were a very heterogeneous group including a small minority of persistently poor the persistence of poverty is of interest both for understanding the phenomenon and for developing policy claims about dependency and separate life styles among the poor rest on assumptions about the long term nature of poverty questions

trends in intergenerational income mobility previous studies of recent u s trends in intergenerational income mobility have produced widely varying results partly because of large sampling errors by making more efficient use of the available information in the panel study of income dynamics we generate more reliable estimates of the recent time series variation in intergenerational mobility our results which pertain to the cohorts born between 1952 and 1975 do not reveal major changes in intergenerational mobility

changes in the world distribution of income between 1950 and 1977 trends in the world distribution of income are much discussed and philosophised about the issue of increasing economic inequality among nonsocialist countries in the post war period is central to the debate about the international economic order in i969 the pearson commission report was already pointing to the widening gap between the developed and developing countries as a central issue of our time and was proposing the reduction of that gap as the main objective of international co operation according to that report gnp per capita had increased between i960 and i967 at annual rates of 2 5 and 3 6 in developing and developed countries respectively morawetz i978 found that the gap between the two sets of countries rose from i 2 6 fold in i950 to i3 2 fold in i975 other authors see a more complicated picture atkinson i975 for instance has argued that although the share of poor countries in world income probably declined between i950 and i970 that of the countries at the middle of the world distribution probably increased 2 what may be a mere assessment of relative growth performances among nonsocialist countries becomes a basic theoretical element in the radical stream of economic literature for authors like amin i974 emmanuel i972 and frank i978 the capitalist mode of development necessarily leads to the rich countries of the centre becoming richer and poor countries of the periphery becoming poorer in a degree depending on their involvement in international trade for them a widening gap between developed and developing countries is simply the statistical confirmation of an unavoidable consequence of the national and international capitalist system in the latter perspective the issue at stake is of such importance that the contrast between the abundance of theoretical literature and the lack of empirical work is striking the few existing studies of changes in world distribution provide an inadequate picture intra country income distributions are not taken into account observation periods do not exceed i5 years 8 for andic and peacock i96i and for beckerman and bacon i970 i5 for kirman and tomasini i969 socialist as well as some non socialist countries are excluded and national incomes are converted to u s dollars at official exchange rates 3 finally none of these studies covers the i970s although several shocks which might have affected world distribution occurred during that decade for the non socialist countries to which they refer the andic peacock and beckerman bacon studies found the gini coefficient almost constant over

a search based theory of the on the run phenomenon we propose a model in which assets with identical cash flows can trade at different prices infinitely lived agents can establish long positions in a search spot market or short positions by first borrowing an asset in a search repo market we show that short sellers can endogenously concentrate in one asset because of search externalities and the constraint that they must deliver the asset they borrowed that asset enjoys greater liquidity a higher lending fee specialness and trades at a premium consistent with no arbitrage we derive closed form solutions for small frictions and provide a calibration generating realistic on the run premia

competing for order flow in otc markets we develop a model of a two sided asset market in which trades are intermediated by dealers and are bilateral dealers compete to attract order flow by posting the terms at which they execute trades which can include prices quantities and execution times and investors direct their orders toward dealers that offer the most attractive terms of trade equilibrium outcomes have the following properties first investors face a trade off between trading costs and speeds of execution second the asset market is endogenously segmented in the sense that investors with different asset valuations and different asset holdings will trade at different speeds and different costs for example under a leontief technology to match investors and dealers per unit trading costs decrease with the size of the trade in accordance with the evidence from the market for corporate bonds third dealers implicit bargaining powers are endogenous and typically vary across sub markets finally we obtain a rich set of comparative statics both analytically by studying a limiting economy where trading frictions are small and numerically for instance we find that the relationship between trading costs and dealers bargaining power can be hump shaped

mismatch in the spanish labor market overeducation the objective of this article is to explain the job match which is assessed by comparing attained education and job required education as reported by workers we frame our empirical work according to the occupational mobility theory using a cross section of workers from a representative survey of the spanish labor force we consider overeducated workers to be those who report that the level of education their jobs require is below the level of education they have attained our results indicate that overeducated workers have less experience decreased on thejob training and higher turnover than other comparable workers we also observe an improvement in the job match over age and mobility

biases in standard measures of intergenerational income dependence abstract estimates of the most common mobility measure the intergenerational elasticity can be severely biased if snapshots are used to approximate lifetime income however little is known about biases in other popular dependence measures using long swedish income series we provide such evidence for log linear and rank correlations and rank based transition probabilities attenuation bias is considerably weaker in rank based measures life cycle bias is strongest in the elasticity moderate in log linear correlations and small in rank based measures however there are important exceptions persistence in the tails of the distribution is considerably higher and long distance downward mobility lower than estimates from short run income suggest

on the theory of rational insurance purchasing a note the authors consider the optimal amount of insurance purchased by an individual who behaves according to the hurwicz criterion of choice under uncertainty their results are compared with earlier results obtained in alternative frameworks expected utility maximization and savage s regret criterion it is shown that a positive amount deductible is often suboptimal

slow moving capital we study three cases in which specialized arbitrageurs lost significant amounts of capital and as a result became liquidity demanders rather than providers the effects on security markets were large and persistent prices dropped relative to fundamentals and the rebound took months while multi strategy hedge funds who were not capital constrained increased their positions a large fraction of these funds actually acted as net sellers consistent with the view that information barriers within a firm not just relative to outside investors can lead to capital constraints for trading desks with mark to market losses our findings suggest that real world frictions impede arbitrage capital this abstract was borrowed from another version of this item

income distribution and macroeconomics this paper analyzes the role of wealth distribution in macroeconomics through investment in human capital it is shown that in the presence of credit markets imperfections and indivisibilities in investment in human capital the initial distribution of wealth affects aggregate output and investment both in the short and in the long run as there are multiple steady states this paper therefore provides an additional explanation for the persistent differences in per capita output across countries furthermore the paper shows that cross country differences in macroeconomic adjustment to aggregate shocks can be attributed among other factors to differences in wealth and income distribution across countries

does education expansion increase intergenerational mobility education expansion may lead to over education where the social connections of parents may exert more significant influence on the return to education of children with the assumption of a positive correlation between return on human capital and parental income in the presence of over education we show that i the expansion of education may cause horizontal inequity in education opportunities and inefficiency in human capital accumulation ii the positive correlation between return on human capital and parental income causes a more persistent intergenerational immobility iii an expansion of education especially higher education leads to more persistent intergenerational immobility

determinants of the demand for education in spain the aim of this paper is to estimate an equation for household demand for both secondary and university education using an estimation of the opportunity cost associated with the decision to invest in education limited dependent variable models are applied to the data provided by the family budget survey 1991 for spain the results show that the social and economic status of the family has a comparatively greater impact on household expenditure on secondary education than on university education the opportunity cost is also shown to be a decisive variable in the decision to invest in secondary education although the results are less conclusive in the case of university education

political equilibrium income distribution and growth this paper analyzes the impact of income distribution on growth when investment in human capital is the source of growth and individuals vote over the degree of redistribution in the economy the model has three main features first very different patterns of income distribution are conducive to high growth at different levels of per capita income second growth is associated with an externality whereby investment in human capital by one group increases the productivity of other groups thus potentially enabling them to invest in human capital third the initial pattern of income distribution and the resulting political equilibrium are crucial in determining whether the transmission of this externality is promoted in which case growth is enhanced or prevented in which case growth is stopped using a non overlapping generations model with voting i derive several empirical implications in particular the model implies an inverted u relation between levels of inequality and levels of income in cross sections but not necessarily in time series a result that seems consistent with a number of empirical studies

regression toward mediocrity in economic stature this paper provides estimates of the correlation in lifetime earnings between fathers and sons intergenerational data from the national longitudinal survey are used earlier studies conducted for the united states report elasticities of children s earnings with respect to parent s earnings of 0 2 or less suggesting extensive integenerational mobility these estimates however are biased downward by error contaminated measures of lifetime economic status estimates presented in this paper correct for the problem of measurement error and find the intergenerational correlation in income to be on the order of 0 4 this suggests considerably less intergenerational mobility than previously believed jel j62

intergenerational income mobility in the united states social scientists and policy analysts have long expressed concern about the extent of intergenerational income mobility in the united states but remarkably little empirical evidence is available the few existing estimates of the intergenerational correlation in income have been biased downward by measurement error unrepresentative samples or both new estimates based on intergenerational data from the panel study of income dynamics imply that the intergenerational correlation in long run income is at least 0 4 indicating dramatically less mobility than suggested by earlier research copyright 1992 by american economic association

overeducation undereducation and the theory of career mobility the theory of career mobility sicherman and galor journal of political economy 98 1 169 92 1990 claims that wage penalties for overeducated workers are compensated by better promotion prospects sicherman journal of labour economics 9 2 101 22 1991 was able to confirm this theory in an empirical study using panel data however the only retest using panel data so far robst eastern economic journal 21 539 50 1995 produced rather ambiguous results in the present paper random effects models to analyse relative wage growth are estimated using data from the german socio economic panel it is found that overeducated workers in germany have markedly lower relative wage growth rates than adequately educated workers the results cast serious doubt on whether the career mobility model is able to explain overeducation in germany the plausibility of the results is supported by the finding that overeducated workers have less access to formal and informal on the job training which is usually foun

trading in derivatives when the underlying is scarce abstract regulatory restrictions and market frictions can constrain the aggregate quantity of long and short positions in a security when these constraints bind we refer to the security as scarce and its price becomes distorted relative to its value in a frictionless market we show that an otherwise redundant derivative can reduce the price distortion of the underlying security by relaxing its scarcity we also show that it is especially important to analyze the underlying and derivative markets jointly when evaluating the impact of regulation such as short sales bans and position limits in derivatives that restricts trade

skills mismatch concepts measurement and policy approaches the term skills mismatch is very broad and can relate to many forms of labour market friction including vertical mismatch skill gaps skill shortages field of study horizontal mismatch and skill obsolescence in this paper we provide a clear overview of each concept and discuss the measurement and inter relatedness of different forms of mismatch we present a comprehensive analysis of the current position of the literature on skills mismatch and highlight areas which are relatively underdeveloped and may warrant further research using data from the european skills and jobs survey we assess the incidence of various combinations of skills mismatch across the eu finally we review the european commission s country specific recommendations and find that skills mismatch when referring to underutilized human capital in the form of overeducation and skills underutilization receives little policy attention in cases where skills mismatch forms part of policy recommendations the policy advice is either vague or addresses the areas of mismatch for which there is the least available evidence

overeducation job mobility and earnings mobility among holders of first degrees abstractovereducation has been researched extensively for nearly three decades but some major issues in regard to it are still topics of ongoing debate by using a panel data that combines a survey of two cohorts of israeli first degree holders and data from administrative sources on jobs and wages we examine the contribution of job turnover cognitive abilities and continuing graduate studies to the likelihood of overeducation and wage dynamics the study produces four main findings first rapid job switching makes a negative contribution to the increase in employee s wage and there is a negative correlation between two variables an employee s tenure and the number of past employers in the years after the completion of degree studies and the probability of being overeducated second the contribution of the individual s cognitive abilities and quantitative reasoning skills to the likelihood of becoming overeducated is negative third the wages of overeducated employees are some 11 lower and ris

equilibrium pricing and trading volume under preference uncertainty information collection processing and dissemination financial institutions is challenging this can delay the observation by traders of the exact capital charges and constraints of their institution during this delay traders face preference uncertainty in this context we study optimal trading strategies and equilibrium prices in a continuous centralized market we focus on liquidity shocks during which preference uncertainty is likely to matter most preference uncertainty generates allocative ineficiency but need not reduce prices traders progressively learning about the preferences of their institution conduct round trip trades which generate excess volume relative to the frictionless market in a cross section of liquidity shocks the initial price drop is positively correlated with total trading volume across traders the number of round trips is negatively correlated with trading profits and average inventory

does having a cadre parent pay evidence from the first job offers of chinese college graduates abstract we estimate the wage premium associated with having a cadre parent in china using a recent survey of college graduates carried out by the authors the wage premium of having a cadre parent is 15 and this premium cannot be explained by other observables such as college entrance exam scores quality of colleges and majors a full set of college human capital attributes and job characteristics these results suggest that the remaining premium could be the true wage premium of having a cadre parent

gender wage differentials and educational mismatch an application to the spanish case this article aims to analyse gender wage differentials in spain by taking into account the levels of educational attainment and by studying whether the educational mismatch affects the gender wage gap focusing on returns to education evidence is found on the existence of educational mismatch and on its contribution to determine wages with women suffering greater wage penalties that are associated with educational mismatch furthermore although the gender wage gap is lower for individuals with low educational levels we find that the part of this gap due to differences in returns is greater in this group on the contrary the gender gap is greater among highly educated workers but in this case most of the wage differentials are due to differences in productive characteristics in any case our results suggest that gender wage discrimination tends to be greater for those workers who show educational mismatch

economic and mechanical models of intergenerational transmission the author critically examines gary beckers attempt to integrate the theory of income distribution intragenerational differences with the theory of mobility intergenerational differences in an economic model of the family he assesses beckers claims of distinctiveness integration explanatory power and surprise and arrives at a rather skeptical view of the contribution that the core of microeconomics has made to this study of the family a reply by becker is included pp 514 8 excerpt

intergenerational transfers of public sector jobs a shred of evidence on nepotism the attractiveness of public sector jobs in italy may induce parents working in this sector to use their positions and the network of relationships to favor their sons daughters in gaining access to public sector jobs we verify whether children of public employees effectively enjoy an advantage estimating a model of the probability of working in the public sector controlling for individual characteristics and labor market conditions we show that if the father is a public employee the probability of his child working in the same sector is increased by a huge 44 this advantage is larger for low ability individuals stayers and southern italian residents we interpret these findings as evidence of nepotism in public employment

a theory of career mobility this paper analyzes theoretically and empirically the role and significance of occupational mobility in the labor market focusing on individuals careers it provides additional dimensions to the analysis of investment in human capital wage differences across individuals and the relationships among promotions quits and interfirm occupational mobility it is shown that part of the returns to education is in the form of higher probabilities of occupational upgrading within or across firms given an origin occupation schooling increases the likelihood of occupational upgrading furthermore workers who are not promoted despite a high probability of promotion are more likely to quit

liquidity premia in dynamic bargaining markets abstract this paper develops a search theoretic model of the cross sectional distribution of asset returns abstracting from risk premia and focusing exclusively on liquidity in contrast with much of the transaction cost literature it is not assumed that different assets carry different exogenously specified trading costs instead different expected returns due to liquidity are explained by the cross sectional variation in tradeable shares the qualitative predictions of the model are consistent with much of the empirical evidence

true world income distribution 1988 and 1993 first calculation based on household surveys alone the paper derives world income or expenditure distribution of individuals for two years 1988 and 1993 it is the first paper to calculate world distribution for individuals based entirely on household survey data from 91 countries and adjusted for differences in purchasing power parity between the countries measured by the gini index inequality increased from an already very high 63 in 1988 to 66 in 1993 the increase was driven more by rising differences in mean incomes between the countries than by rising inequalities within countries the most important contributors were rising urban rural differences in china and slow growth of rural incomes in south asia compared to several large developed market economies

systemic illiquidity in the federal funds market this paper shows how the intra day allocation and pricing of overnight loans of federal funds reflect the decentralized inter bank market in which these loans are traded a wouldbe borrower or lender typically finds a counterparty institution by direct bilateral contact once in contact say by telephone the two counterparties to a potential trade negotiate terms that reflect their incentives for borrowing or lending as well as the attractiveness of their respective options to forego a trade and to continue shopping around this overthe counter otc pricing and allocation mechanism is quite distinct from that of most centralized markets such as an electronic limit order book market in which every order is anonymously exposed to every other order with a centralized order crossing algorithm while there is a significant body of research on the micro structure of specialist and limit order book markets most otc markets do not have comprehensive transactionslevel data available for analysis the federal funds market is a rare exception we go beyond a previous study by craig furfine 1999 of the microstructure of the federal funds market by modeling how the likelihood of matching a particular borrower with banking studies federal reserve bank of new york 33 liberty street new york ny 10045 we are grateful for support and data from the federal reserve bank of new york and for comments from guillaume plantin jamie mcandrews craig furfine michael fleming and anonymous federal funds traders we have also benefited from comments by andrew metrick jeremy stein ken french larry harris owen lamont john taylor and randy westerfield the views expressed here are not necessarily those of the federal reserve bank of new york or the federal reserve system

optimal asset allocation with fixed term securities we investigate the optimal asset allocation of an investor who can invest in a fixed term security that is only traded at time 0 using a generalized martingale approach we solve the investor s optimal portfolio problem determine the optimal allocation to fixed term securities and provide a representation of trading strategies in terms of a liquidity related derivative we apply our approach to two benchmark scenarios fixed term fixed rate bank deposits and unspanned closed end securities that can only be traded at time 0 we show that both can be key parts of the investor s optimal asset mix and we investigate the dependence of optimal allocations to fixed term investments implied liquidity premia and other characteristics on the underlying model parameters

intergenerational persistence of earnings the role of early and college education recent empirical evidence from the united states indicates a high degree of persistence in earnings across generations designing effective public policies to increase social mobility requires identifying and measuring the major sources of persistence and inequality in earnings we provide a quantitative model of intergenerational human capital transmission that focuses on three sources innate ability early education and college education we find that approximately one half of the intergenerational correlation in earnings is accounted for by parental investment in education in particular early education we show that these results have important implications for education policy

graduate overeducation as a sheepskin effect evidence from northern ireland this article examines the nature of graduate overeducation amongst a group of applicants to a graduate conversion programme it was found that while a substantial proportion of earnings differentials were associated with a mismatch between individual skill levels and job requirements wage gaps were still likely to occur should such mismatches be eliminated the evidence suggests that graduate wage levels are heavily related to sheepskin effects associated with the attainment of jobs with graduate level entry requirements these sheepskin effects suggest that the process of job categorization is arbitrary in nature with stated job requirements somewhat independent of actual skill requirements the analysis suggests that graduate overeduction is better understood within the context of both skill and categorization mismatches as opposed to skill matches alone

the over the counter theory of the fed funds market a primer we present a dynamic over the counter model of the fed funds market and use it to study the determination of the fed funds rate the volume of loans traded and the intraday evolution of the distribution of reserve balances across banks we also investigate the implications of changes in the market structure as well as the effects of central bank policy instruments such as open market operations the discount window lending rate and the interest rate on bank reserves

family economics and macro behavior in this 1987 presidential address to the american economic association the author explores the contributions of the field of family economics to macroeconomic analysis the focus is on family behavior as an active endogenous factor that both affects and is affected by the evolution of the economy much of the time is spent on long term economic growth although i also discuss short and long cycles in economic activity and the interaction between overlapping generations through social security transmission of inequality and in other ways many conclusions in these and presumably other macro areas change radically when family choices get the attention they deserve excerpt

portfolio choice and pricing in illiquid markets abstract this paper studies portfolio choice and pricing in markets in which immediate trading may be impossible it departs from the literature by removing restrictions on asset holdings and finds that optimal positions depend significantly and naturally on liquidity when expected future liquidity is high agents take more extreme positions given that they do not have to hold those positions for long when they become undesirable consequently larger trades should be observed in markets with more frequent trading liquidity need not affect the price significantly however because liquidity has offsetting impacts on different agents demands this result highlights the importance of unrestricted portfolio choice the paper draws parallels with the transaction cost literature and clarifies the relationship between the price level and the realized trading frequency in this literature

unobservable family and individual contributions to the distributions of income and wealth this paper uses combinations of full brothers half brothers and fathers and sons to measure the effect of common family background on a household s income and wealth while the data are drawn from a nineteenth century population the intraclass correlation for income ranges from 13 to 18 which is similar to that found in modern samples intraclass correlations for wealth are significantly higher 18 35 than are those for income intraclass correlations of half brothers compared to those for full brothers suggest that fathers play a dominant role in the transmission of the common family effect when unobserved background is decomposed into individual and family effects the individual effect dominates the family effect for income while the family effect dominates the individual effect for wealth

trade dynamics in the market for federal funds we develop a model of the market for federal funds that explicitly accounts for its two distinctive features banks have to search for a suitable counterparty and once they have met both parties negotiate the size of the loan and the repayment the theory is used to answer a number of positive and normative questions what are the determinants of the fed funds rate how does the market reallocate funds is the market able to achieve an efficient reallocation of funds we also use the model for theoretical and quantitative analyses of policy issues facing modern central banks

double penalty in returns to education informality and educational mismatch in the colombian labour market abstractthis article examines the returns to education taking into consideration the existence of educational mismatches in the formal and informal employment of a developing country results show that the returns of surplus required and deficit years of schooling are different in the two sectors moreover they suggest that these returns vary along the wage distribution and that the pattern of variation differs for formal and informal workers in particular informal workers face not only lower returns to their education but suffer a second penalty associated with educational mismatches that puts them at a greater disadvantage compare to their formal counterparts

overeducation undereducation and asymmetric information in occupational mobility due to short term asymmetric information overeducated and undereducated workers are shown to have different optimal strategies in seeking upward occupational mobility into their next positions undereducated workers typically have other human capital strengths but these strengths are not marketable to outsiders overeducated workers typically have other human capital weaknesses that are not apparent to outsiders while their excess schooling is marketable in labour markets with dynamic asymmetric information this article presents empirical evidence showing that job tenure increases the probability of upward occupational mobility more if individuals are undereducated moreover the probability of finding upward occupational mobility is increased by overeducated workers engaging in firm switching this article also validates prior empirical studies finding overeducated workers more likely to self report engaging in firm switching activities and more likely to experience upward occupational mobility than o

overqualification permanent or transitory this article analyses job mismatches in switzerland based on a subjective measure of overqualification according to job search and job matching theories overqualification is a transitory problem other theories show that overqualification can also be of a permanent nature we test the perpetuity of overeducation using panel data from the first eight waves of the swiss household panel shp covering the period 1999 to 2006 our empirical analysis reveals little evidence for lasting rigidities that would cause permanent job mismatches rather spells of overqualification are relatively short about half of all individuals who were overqualified in a given year had an adequate job match 1 year later while a short duration of overqualification would be consistent with job search and job matching theories our observation that the probability of a job mismatch does not significantly decrease with experience is at odds with these theories our article provides an alternative explanation for this phenomenon

snapshots versus movies empirical studies of the intergenerational inheritance of economic status should use observations on complete lifetime status profiles of parents and children to be consistent with underlying theory but they cannot only snapshots rather than movies on status are currently available in samples estimates of the degree of intergenerational inheritance may therefore be subject to lifecycle biases the paper investigates these in the context of a lifecycle earnings model and shows that these biases may be large that their direction varies and that correction methods suggested hitherto have questionable reliability until more complete data sets become available researchers should be more temperate in the conclusions they draw

portfolio choice with illiquid assets we present a model of optimal allocation to liquid and illiquid assets where illiquidity risk results from the restriction that an asset cannot be traded for intervals of uncertain duration illiquidity risk leads to increased and state dependent risk aversion and reduces the allocation to both liquid and illiquid risky assets uncertainty about the length of the illiquidity interval as opposed to a deterministic nontrading interval is a primary determinant of the cost of illiquidity we allow market liquidity to vary from normal periods when all assets are fully liquid to illiquidity crises when some assets can only be traded infrequently the possibility of a liquidity crisis leads to limited arbitrage in normal times investors are willing to forgo 2 of their wealth to hedge against illiquidity crises occurring once every 10 years this paper was accepted by itay goldstein finance

overeducation in the labor market this article examines the reasons for the observed discrepancy between workers actual and required levels of schooling and the resulting differences in returns to schooling overeducated workers are found to be younger and to have lower amounts of on the job training than workers with the required level of schooling they also have higher rates of firm and occupational mobility characterized by movement of higher level occupations the findings suggest that overeducation can be explained by the trade off between schooling and other components of human capital and by the mobility patterns of overeducated workers

overeducation in the labour market abstract this paper presents a review of the literature on overeducation the paper assesses the consistency of overeducation within the context of a number of theoretical frameworks including human capital theory hct and assignment theory the analysis goes on to discuss the various measurement controversies associated with the study of overeducation in order to provide an assessment of the extent to which the impacts of the phenomenon represent an economic reality as opposed to a statistical artefact after reviewing the literature it is concluded that the impacts of overeducation are likely to be non trivial and that the phenomenon may potentially be costly to individuals and firms as well as the economy more generally the existence of overeducation also raises some doubts with respect to the validity of some of the central assumptions and predictions of hct that are unlikely to be fully explained by gaps in the standard wage equation framework

the impact of surplus schooling on earnings some additional findings this paper examines the impact of overeducation or surplus schooling on earnings overeducated workers are defined as those with educational attainments substantially above the mean for their specific occupations two models are estimated using data from the 1980 census though our models data and measure of overeducation are different from those used by rumberger 1987 our results are similar our results show that overeducated workers often earn less than their adequately educated and undereducated counterparts

liquidity and risk management this paper provides a model of the interaction between risk management practices and market liquidity on one hand tighter risk management reduces the maximum position an institution can take thus the amount of liquidity it can offer to the market on the other hand risk managers can take into account that lower liquidity amplifies the effective risk of a position by lengthening the time it takes to sell it the main result of the paper is that a feedback effect can arise tighter risk management reduces liquidity which in turn leads to tighter risk management etc this can help explain sudden drops in liquidity and since liquidity is priced in prices in connection with increased volatility or decreased risk bearing capacity this abstract was borrowed from another version of this item

frictional intermediation in over the counter markets we extend duffie et al s 2005 search theoretic model of over the counter otc asset markets allowing for a decentralized inter dealer market with arbitrary heterogeneity in dealers valuations or equivalently inventory costs we develop a solution technique that makes the model fully tractable and allows us to derive in closed form theoretical formulas for key statistics analysed in empirical studies of the intermediation process in otc markets a calibration to the market for municipal bonds allows us to quantify important unobservable characteristics of this market including the severity of search and bargaining frictions and the nature of heterogeneity across dealers we use our calibrated model to study the effect of these market characteristics on total welfare and the distribution of gains from trade across customers and dealers

i m too clever for this job a bivariate probit analysis on overeducation and job satisfaction in australia using data from the first wave of the household income and labour dynamics in australia data set this article establishes an empirical relationship between overeducation and workplace satisfaction for australian adult males in the labour force in a departure from much of the existing literature both univariate and bivariate probit models are used to account for potential unobserved heterogeneity we find that estimates in the univariate probit models are positively biased for three of the six measures of workplace satisfaction studied this suggests that consideration should be given to the use of bivariate models when studying the determinants of workplace satisfaction and overeducation results show although levels of satisfaction remain high that across all measures of workplace satisfaction overeducated workers are less satisfied compared to their nonovereducated counterparts this intimates that satisfaction levels should be viewed from a relative rather than an absolute perspective pleasure in the job puts perfection in the work aristotle 384bc 322bc

the dynamic properties of financial market equilibrium with trading fees we incorporate trading fees in a long horizon dynamic general equilibrium model in which traders optimally and endogenously decide when and how much to trade a full characterization of equilibrium is provided which allows us to study the dynamics of equilibrium trades equilibrium asset prices and rates of return in the presence of trading fees we exhibit the effect of trading fees on deviations from the consumption capm and analyze the pricing of endogenous liquidity risk we compare for the same shocks the impulse responses of this model to those of a model in which trading is infrequent because of trader inattention the current version reflects material that was previously in two papers w21421 and w19155

transaction costs and asset prices a dynamic equilibrium model in this article we study the effects of transaction costs on asset prices we assume an overlapping generations economy with a riskless liquid bond and many risky stocks carrying proportional transaction costs we obtain stock prices and turnover in closed form surprisingly a stock s price may increase in transaction costs and a more frequently traded stock may be less adversely affected by an increase in transaction costs calculations based on the marginal investor overestimate the effects of transaction costs for realistic parameter values transaction costs have very small effects on stock prices but large effects on turnover

overeducation undereducation and the british labour market this paper addresses the issue of overeducation and undereducation using for the first time a british dataset which contains explicit information on the level of required education to enter a job across the generality of occupations three key issues within the overeducation literature are addressed first what determines the existence of over and undereducation and to what extent are over and undereducation substitutes for experience tenure and training second to what extent are over and undereducation temporary or permanent phenomena third what are the returns to over and undereducation and do certain stylized facts discovered for the us and a number of european countries hold for britain

leaning against the wind during financial disruptions market makers provide liquidity by absorbing external selling pressure they buy when the pressure is large accumulate inventories and sell when the pressure alleviates this paper studies optimal dynamic liquidity provision in a theoretical market setting with large and temporary selling pressure and order execution delays i show that competitive market makers offer the socially optimal amount of liquidity provided they have access to sufficient capital if raising capital is costly this suggests a policy role for lenient central bank lending during financial disruptions

changing roles of ability and education in u s intergenerational mobility using data on young adults from the 1979 and 1997 national longitudinal survey of youth we investigate the changing roles of ability and education in the transmission of economic status across generations we find that ability plays a substantially diminished role for the most recent cohort whereas education plays a much larger role the first finding results primarily from a smaller effect of children s ability on status the second from an increased correlation between parental status and educational attainment a replication of the analysis by gender reveals that the changes in the role of ability are largely driven by men whereas the changes in education s role are largely driven by women jel j62 i24

youth labour markets in spain education training and crowding out abstract the stylised facts describing the poor performance of the youth labour market in spain over the last two decades entailing high unemployment rates for both higher and lower educated workers over education and low intensity of on the job training are explained through a simple matching model where higher educated workers crowd out lower educated ones from their traditional entry jobs in this model a combination of rigid labour market institutions and an increase in the relative supply of higher educated workers harms the training prospects of lower educated workers

is there a genuine under utilization of skills amongst the over qualified two theories of over qualification are considered namely mismatch whereby workers do not find the most appropriate jobs for their skills because of imperfect information or labour market rigidities and heterogeneous workers whereby individuals with the same qualifications have different actual skill levels so that they can be over qualified in terms of formal qualifications while their skills are actually appropriate for the jobs that they do the evidence suggests that both theories are relevant in certain situations

the optimal insurance contract in a competitive market abstract the author reviews some earlier work on optimal insurance contracts by arrow and mossin he then shows that some results in this work carry over to any premium system which satisfies the additivity condition inherent in a competitive market

insurance and giffen s paradox abstract the letter gives a brief account of how insurance appears as an inferior good in standard economic analysis it is argued that this result is due to unrealistic assumptions about how insurance premiums are calculated

intergenerational health mobility an empirical approach based on the echp despite the importance of the study of health mobility few attempts have been made to measure intergenerational mobility not only in the european union but also in other countries such as united states this article is focused on the study of intergenerational health mobility using data from the european community household panel echp in particular the relationships between self assessed health of parents and their sons are analysed the evidence obtained suggests that in spain sons reported health depends significantly on the self assessed health of their fathers