an initial investigation into the impact of tourism on local budgets a comparative analysis of spanish municipalities abstract the spanish federation of municipalities has particularly since 2008 been vocal about a chronic deficit situation caused by high public expenditures in tourist areas within this context new strategies to increase revenues have been proposed including the introduction of tourist taxes this paper contributes to this debate by determining if tourism activity actually has a negative impact on local finances in spain to that end a comparative analysis of budget structures between tourism intensive and non tourism intensive municipalities is undertaken using data from more than 3200 local corporations for the years 2001 2010 the determinants of expenditures revenues and deficit per capita are identified using a linear regression the results indicate a direct relationship between tourism intensity and local deficits only in the smallest and largest municipalities while a beneficial effect is actually seen in the remainder of the sample in view of this evidence we recommend revising the existing regulations to allow for municipalities below 20 000 residents to be officially recognized as tourist municipalities so that they can benefit from that status in addition the option of introducing new tourist taxes should be more restricted in scope and depend upon further evidence of possible cost inefficiency in the affected municipalities

political cycles in oecd economies this paper studies whether the dynamic behaviour of gnp growth unemployment and inflation is systematically affected by the timing of elections and of changes of governments the sample include the last three decades in 18 oecd economies we explicitly test the implication of several models of political cycles both of the opportunistic and of the partisan type also we confront the implication of recent rational models with more traditional approaches our results can be summarized as follows a the political business cycle hypothesis as formulated in nordhaus 1975 on output and unemployment is generally rejected by the data b inflation tends to increase immediately after elections perhaps as a result of pre electoral expansionary monetary and fiscal policies c we find evidence of temporary partisan differences in output and unemployment and of long run partisan differences in the inflation rate as implied by the rational partisan theory by alesina 1987 d we find virtually no evidence of permanent partisan differences in output growth and unemployment

sustainable cities do political factors determine the quality of life abstract the implementation of urban sustainability practices is affected by political obstacles and diverse political ideologies may defend different city models sustainable policy design could also be affected by several factors that cause the deflection of resources initially allocated to other groups that are contrary to the concerns pursued and have the power to veto sustainable plans by exerting pressure on the party in power in this sense the aim of this paper is to show the impact that political factors have on cities sustainability and the effect of both on cities economic development to do so we used the 78 spanish cities with a population over 100 000 studied by merco spanish corporate reputation monitor as regards their levels of sustainability for the fiscal years 2008 and 2009 both relationships have been tested empirically through two dependence models using linear regression techniques the results obtained show that political competition improves cities sustainability while a leftist ideology has an inverse impact on the other hand a significant direct relationship has been observed between urban sustainability and municipal economic activity

do external grants to district governments discourage own revenue generation a look at local public finance dynamics in ghana summary using rich panel data on all of ghana s districts local public finances over 11 years this paper investigates the way that intergovernmental and other transfers to local governments affect local governments incentives to collect internally generated revenues and funds igf we find that despite an incentive scheme built into one of the major intergovernmental grants the flow of all grants taken together discourages rather than encourages igf this is reflected both in the depressing effect of transfers on igf levels as well as on igf growth

do elections affect the composition of fiscal policy in developed established democracies this paper investigates the impact of elections on the level and composition of fiscal instruments using a sample of 19 high income oecd democracies during the period 1972 1999 we find that elections shift public spending towards current expenditures at the cost of public investment although we find no evidence for an electoral cycle for government deficit and overall expenditures we find a negative effect of elections on revenue attributed to a fall in direct taxation our results apply for predetermined electoral periods while endogenous elections seem to increase deficit and leave the composition of fiscal policy unaffected

political business cycles 40 years after nordhaus the aim of this article is to survey the huge literature that has emerged in the last four decades following nordhaus s rev econ stud 42 2 169 190 1975 publication on political business cycles pbcs i first propose some developments in history of thought to examine the context in which this ground breaking contribution saw the light of the day i also present a simplified version of nordhaus s model to highlight his key results i detail some early critiques of this model and the fields of investigations to which they gave birth i then focus on the institutional context and examine its influence on pbcs the actual research agenda finally i derive some paths for future research

partisan influence on the local tax burden in the netherlands this paper analyses the role of partisan politics in determiningthe local tax burden property taxes are the most important revenuesource which municipalities in the netherlands can decide uponthemselves using a new data set on dutch local property taxes in1996 it is concluded that municipalities with a council dominatedby left wing parties have a higher tax burden we also find thatlarger coalitions have lower levels of taxation finally taxexporting increases tax rates

exchange rate based stabilizations a literature review the exchange rate based stabilizations erbss that have been undertaken in chronic inflation countries have generated a controversial body of literature regarding the effects of disinflation programs especially those on real consumption and output this survey provides an extensive overview of the literature on erbs the paper covers various empirical studies that have attempted to document the macroeconomic regularities associated with erbs discussing both their strengths and their weaknesses it analyzes diverse theoretical models that have been put forward to replicate the business cycles associated with erbs and sheds light on which models perform better using real data the results suggest that durables incorporated weak credibility and sticky price model proves to be most compatible with the empirical regularities observed in the course of erbs

exchange rate based stabilization with endogenous fiscal response abstract this paper studies the dynamics of inconsistent exchange rate based stabilization policy a policy that fixes the exchange rate without an underlying fiscal adjustment to ensure that the exchange rate policy is sustainable in the long run in a model where the perception that exchange rate policy temporarily leads to an initial expansion in consumption that generates an increase in tax revenues large enough to eliminate the ex ante fiscal deficit therefore an ex ante inconsistent stabilization program displays ex post all the features of a fiscally consistent one i e a fixed exchange rate and no fiscal deficit in contrast to the standard results where the inconsistency between fiscal and exchange rate policy leads to a steady loss of international reserves and culminates in a krugman type balance of payments crisis this model predicts that along the path towards the balance of payments crisis the economy displays no fiscal deficit and enjoys increasing international reserves

the argentine stabilization plan of december 20th abstract in this paper an analytical model is developed to incorporate the essential characteristics of the stabilization plan implemented in argentina in january 1979 the model is based upon a set of simplifying assumptions that only approximate the complexity of the real world it is assumed that the expectations of inflation and the degree of excess demand or supply in the non traded goods market are the main intermediate determinants of the rate of inflation in that market the rate of change of prices of traded goods being determined by the external inflation together with the rate of devaluation treating thus the external rate of inflation as exogenous the only instrument available for influencing the rate of inflation in the long run is the rate of devaluation since the model assumes a fixed exchange rate regime the money supply is endogenous and hence unsuitable as an instrument of economic policy

testing the positive theory of government finance researchers characterizing optimal tax policies for dynamic economies have reasoned that tax rates should follow a random walk we conduct a frequency domain examination of u s tax rates and reject the hypothesis that the first difference in the series is white noise the source of the rejection is pronounced activity of tax changes at an eight year cycle regression analysis confirms the finding that there is a cyclical component to tax changes corresponding to changes in political party administration the results suggest that the positive theory of government finance needs to be refined to incorporate features of political equilibrium

exchange rate management intertemporal tradeoffs exchange rate management is possible only if the government pursues consistent monetary and fiscal policies the authors constructa model in which the real consequences of exchange rate management depend on the precise time pattern of these policies the authors study the constraints on feasible policies and the comparative dynamics of disinflation by means of exchange rate targeting theoretical results are consistent with exchange rate managed disinflation attempts in argentina chile and israel copyright 1987 by american economic association

exchange rate based inflation stabilization the initial real effects of credible plans abstract this paper studies the initial effects of exchange rate based stabilization programs within a dynamic general equilibrium model of a small open economy in which inflation acts as a tax on intermediate transactions and capital accumulation is subject to convex adjustment costs and gestation lags the model replicates the typical pattern of slow inflation convergence sustained real exchange rate appreciation trade balance deterioration and expansion in domestic spending followed by a deflationary slowdown without resorting to sticky prices imperfect credibility or adaptive expectations calibrated versions of the model are compared with the initial effects of the argentine convertibility plan of april 1991

government spending and budget deficits in the industrial economies fiscal policy nouriel roubini and jeffrey sachs this paper examines the evolution of the size of government and of budget deficits in oecd economies we highlight the rapid increase in government spending in the 1970s the sharp rise in budget deficits and public debt after 1973 and the reversal in these trends in the 1980s the increase in the size of government was associated in part with the slowdown in growth after 1973 but also reflected gradual adjustment of the ratio of spending to output towards a long run target which depends on political and institutional characteristics of the economy the political orientation of the government the degree of wage indexation and the degree of stability of the political system such factors also explain the size of budget deficits when faced with an adverse shock subsequent deficit reduction requires a measure of political consensus we note that such consensus is hard to achieve in multi party coalitions in consequence countries with such a political structure tended in consequence countries with such a political structure tended toin consequence countries with such a political structure tended to experience much more rapid increases in their debt gnp ratios

the electoral budget cycle on municipal waste collection expenditure abstractthis article analyses the determinants of municipal waste collection expenditure specifically the effects of electoral cycles on municipal waste collection expenditure we use a database with information on spanish municipalities with more than 1000 inhabitants for the period 2002 2011 our results reveal that incumbents adopt an opportunistic behaviour increasing spending on waste in the preelection year and reducing it in the election and post election years therefore we confirm an electoral budget cycle on waste collection expenditures in spain additionally we find that the levels of income unemployment and upper level governments transfers have a positive impact on waste collection spending finally population density level of urbanization average age of the population of the municipality and less fragmented governments negatively influence waste collection spending

rainfall shocks local revenues and intergovernmental transfer in mali summary this paper explores the implications of rainfall shocks for municipal tax revenues and intergovernmental transfers in mali i found that exogenous phenomena such as weather not under the control of local actors could affect the way de facto decentralization plays out by influencing the fiscal capacity of local governments in a panel data of 692 municipalities from 2000 to 2008 i found that rainfall shocks through the fluctuations they induce in agricultural incomes affect revenue collection of local governments and in turn drive further revenues local governments receive through transfer by the central government

electoral cycles in active labor market policies we examine how electoral motives influence active labor market policies that promote short term job creation such policies reduce measures of unemployment using german state data for the period 1985 to 2004 we show that election motivated politicians pushed job promotion schemes before elections

fiscal illusion at the local level empirical evidence for the flemish municipalities fiscal illusion refers to a systematically biased perception of fiscal parameters due to demand side error ignorance or supply side abusive behaviour as such it is a component of a more general tax choice framework

temporary stabilization predetermined exchange rates the paper analyzes the impact of a stabilization policy based on a temporary reduction in the rate of devaluation against a background in which a constant rate of devaluation has no real effects it is shown that the temporary policy does and furthermore that the real effects tend to become bigger in absolute value as the horizon of the temporary policy is shortened the central discussion is carried out in terms of a one good cash in advance model with perfect capital mobility and ramsey type consumers results are extended to account for home goods and variable velocity the roles of capital mobility and banking liberalization are briefly discussed

stabilization and growth in transition economies the early experience this paper analyzes the growth and stabilization experience in 26 transition economies in eastern europe the former soviet union and mongolia for the period 1989 1994 inflation rates have declined significantly in most countries following an inflation stabilization program growth resumes after stabilization occurs typically with a lag of about two years reducing inflation thus appears to be a precondition for growth an econometric analysis of the short run determinants of inflation and growth illustrates the key roles of fixed exchange rates improved fiscal balances and structural reforms in spurring growth and lowering inflation and confirms that inflation stabilization programs have been beneficial for growth even after controlling for structural reforms

equilibrium political budget cycles political business cycle theories generally rely on nominal rigidities and voter myopia this paper offers an equilibrium theory that preserves some basic insights from earlier models though with significant refinements the political budget cycle emphasized here is in fiscal policy rather than output and inflation it arises via a multidimensional signal process one can consider the welfare implications of proposals to mitigate the cycle and the effects of altering the electoral structure copyright 1990 by american economic association

a theory of political cycles abstract we study how the proximity of elections affects policy choices in a model in which policymakers want to improve their reputation to increase their reelection chances policymakers equilibrium decisions depend on both their reputation and the proximity of the next election typically incentives to influence election results are stronger closer to the election for a given reputation level as argued in the political cycles literature and these political cycles are less important when the policymaker s reputation is better our analysis sheds light on other agency relationships in which part of the compensation is decided upon infrequently

the price consumption puzzle of currency pegs abstract a defining stylized fact associated with exchange rate based stabilization programs is that their initial phase is characterized by several years of continuous expansion in private consumption and a gradual appreciation of the real exchange rate this paper shows that a large class of standard optimizing models is unable to account for this empirical regularity in particular models in this class predict that a gradual appreciation of the real exchange rate must necessarily be accompanied by a declining path of consumption the paper suggests several possible solutions to this problem and develops one in detail namely the relaxation of the assumption of time separability in preferences specifically it shows that under habit formation currency pegs induce a positive comovement between consumption and the real exchange rate the paper also establishes that habit formation provides an explanation for why in failed currency pegs a contraction in aggregate demand sets in before the collapse of the program

political determinants of budget deficits coalition effects versus minority effects this paper reexamines some recent empirical evidence on the hypothesis that institutional arrangements in the political process affect budget deficits the results of roubini and sachs 1989b are replicated and sensitivity analysis indicate that their results are robust however the main conclusion of roubini and sachs that coalition governments are less capable of budgetary discipline needs to be modified a reformulation of their variable representing political cohesion reveals that it captures the effects of minority governments rather than majority coalition governments the data support the hypothesis that it is harder to negotiate in parliament than within a government

hedonic price functions and the measurement of preferences the case of swedish wine consumers abstract a hedonic price function for wine is estimated using swedish data 1989 1991 implicit prices for quality attributes are determined not from a regression of variety price on a vector of quality attributes but rather from a regression of quantity sold adjusted for weeks of availability on price and quality attributes such a reduced form is justified by the assumption that prices and attribute contents can be taken as exogenous to the swedish consumer price elasticity is estimated to be about 1 65 holding quality constant showing that swedish consumers are highly sensitive to price estimates of the implicit valuations of quality attributes are shown to differ greatly from those obtained from the more usual hedonic regression with price as the dependent variable

the pricing of experience goods the example of en primeur wine the market for primeur wine in the bordeaux region allows producers to sell wine that is still in barrels as with all experience goods producers send quality signals to uninformed buyers using original data on bordeaux wines we show that the pricing behavior of producers depends to a large extent on their reputation and much less on short term changes in quality as measured by experts grades we also find that the primeur price has an informative role since a 10 increase in primeur price leads to a 3 increase in prices on the market for bottled wine

the weak government thesis some new evidence this paper presents new evidence on the hypothesis that coalition governments will find it more difficult to keep their budgets in line after an adverse economic shock than do one party majoritarian governments the estimates are based on a broad sample of oecd countries for the period 1979 1995 using various specifications as suggested in the literature we do not find evidence that the type of government affects cross country variation in fiscal policy however the number of political parties in government affects central government debt growth

the political determinants of fiscal policies in the states of india an empirical investigation abstract using data from the 14 major states of india we investigate whether state governments fiscal policy choices are tempered by political considerations our principal findings are twofold first we show that certain fiscal policies experience electoral cycles state governments raise less commodity tax revenue spend less on the current account and incur larger capital account developmental expenditures in election years than in all other years second we show that coalition state governments raise less own non tax revenues and spend less on the current account than state governments that are more cohesive in composition in sum the dispersion of political power affects government size

a further exploration in the theory of exchange rate regimes in an interesting paper in this journal elhanan helpman 1981 develops a simple two country model to compare the welfare levels that are achieved under different exchange rate regimes in a world characterized by perfect foresight his basic finding is that equilibrium consumption allocations and hence welfare levels are identical under a floating exchange rate system and a one sided peg fixed exchange rate regime this result is due to helpman s assumption that output is determined exogenously which allows a separation of the real and monetary sides of the economy the purpose of this paper is to extend helpman s model by making two alterations in his setup 1 to allow production to be endogenously determined as a function of labor force participation and 2 to allow welfare levels to be dependent on labor service as well as on consumption the main conclusion then obtained is that a country may achieve a higher welfare level under a flexible exchange rate regime than under a fixed exchange rate regime since it is able to choose an optimal rate of inflation or currency depreciation

universities in emerging economies bridging local industry with international science evidence from chile and south africa emerging economies are now becoming more central in global competition to achieve this many countries have invested to develop into knowledge economies universities have a role to play in this transformation both as generators of new knowledge as well as actors that can interact with the local industry and contribute to its innovativeness this paper explores using two case studies in the chilean and south african wine industry how universities connect international science to domestic industry it finds that this connection occurs through a few bridging researchers who display particular characteristics compared with their colleagues bridging researchers are more talented than average researchers both because they publish more in international journals and or because they have received awards for their academic work this finding may have significant policy implications as policies aimed at strengthening the skills of these researchers should be welcomed in catching up industries copyright the author 2012 published by oxford university press on behalf of the cambridge political economy society all rights reserved oxford university press

the economics of nested names name specificity reputations and price premia a good can be identified by its region or country of origin the firm that produces it and its product name in other words names can nest within each other to categorize goods with increasing specificity this article develops a conceptual framework for jointly analyzing the effect of product firm and collective reputations on market price the model is estimated via quantile regression with california wine market data the results portray how the structure and relative importance of reputations change as product prices vary specifically reputation premia migrate from collective to specific names as prices increase

renter illusion fact or fiction the renter illusion hypothesis holds that renters underestimate their property tax burden and therefore support excessive levels of local expenditure a number of studies have reached results that are consistent with the hypothesis but so far empirical investigations have proceeded from the assumption that renter illusion is a fact and have investigated the implications of this fact no one has investigated renter illusion as such in other areas of fiscal illusion survey analyses of voter perceptions have yielded considerable insight into the validity of illusionary hypotheses this paper follows this method and investigates a representative sample of 1000 danish renters and home owners perception of the local property tax system the evidence raises doubts about the renter illusion hypothesis the survey findings are corroborated by an analysis of property taxation in danish municipalities

endogenous elections electoral budget cycles and canadian provincial governments the existence of manipulative electoral budget cycles and opportunistic election setting is examined in the framework of a parliamentary democracy empirical tests are conducted using a pooled time series cross section data set derived from canadian provincial governments over the 1962 1992 period evidence in support of the electoral budget cycle hypothesis but not the opportunistic election timing hypothesis is obtained

taste or reputation what drives market prices in the wine industry estimation of a hedonic model for italian premium wines the aim of this article is to provide new evidence on the factors affecting wine prices on both methodological and factual grounds on the methodological ground this study is the first to apply a general box cox transformation within the context of hedonic models which exploit all the variables objective and sensorial characteristics reputation pointed out by previous literature as relevant in driving market prices on the factual ground the article fills the lack of empirical evidence on the issue for italy one of the leading wine producers by using a large data set on two premium quality wines barolo and barbaresco covering the 1995 1998 vintages our results support the evidence obtained using data from other countries showing that sensorial traits the reputation of wines and producers as well as objective variables are all important factors influencing the consumers willingness to pay more importantly by resorting to a nonnested statistical test vuong 1989 we compare two alternative

stabilization policies in developing countries what have we learned abstract the paper reviews the recent experience with stabilization programmes in latin america in the light of traditional and monetarist models of inflation and the exchange rate the traditional model links both inflation and payments problems to budget deficits the monetarist model too believes that inflation is caused by fiscal deficits but it takes a more optimistic view of stabilization full purchasing power parity and perfect capital mobility make stabilization just a question of the appropriate exchange rate policy and the proper rate of domestic credit creation the traditional view is substantially right as a long run model but it fails in the dynamics the monetarist model is as we know now fundamentally wrong as a short run description of the possibilities of inflation control there is need and room for a paradigm that places emphasis on the debt money mix in financing the budget on the stickiness of inflation rates and on the place of short run real exchange rate and real interest rate variations that these are key features of the transition phase is amply borne out by the devasting and unsuccessful experiences with monetarist stabilization in argentina chile and brazil

on gradual disinflation the real exchange rate and the current account abstract we study the effects of a credible gradual exchange rate based disinflation program in a two sector economy after an initial exchange rate depreciation the reductions in the rate of devaluation reduce the monetary wedge generated by the cash in advance constraint leading to a gradual increase in absorption that yields progressive real exchange rate appreciations and current account deficits an initial boom in economic activity is not followed by a later contraction as labour supply expands during the whole length of the program many of the model s predictions are in accordance with the stylized facts on disinflation in chronic inflation countries in particular those of the mexican program of 1988 1992

political business cycles in the parliamentary system abstract in the parliamentary system the cabinet may call a general election before the term of the house members matures if the timing is judged favorable econometric tests to differentiate the following two hypotheses are proposed and applied to the japanese data under the manipulative cabinet hypothesis the cabinet decides the timing of the election by political reasons and manipulates an economy to have a boom in time i e elections cause booms similar to the presidential system while the opportunistic cabinet hypothesis states that the cabinet does not manipulate the economy but calls an election when positive private sector shocks cause high growth and low inflation i e booms trigger elections findings indicate that the japanese cabinet has acted opportunistically rather that manipulatively

who surfs who manipulates the determinants of opportunistic election timing and electorally motivated economic intervention in this paper i develop a career concerns model of government policy choice within a dynamic optimal stopping framework to predict the degree of surfing opportunistic timing and manipulation politically motivated economic intervention under alternate institutional structures and voter characteristics among other results i find that the likelihood of opportunistic elections rises with exogenous economic performance with longer maximum term lengths with future electoral uncertainty and with economic volatility but diminishes in the value of office holding manipulation increases with the maximum term length and with the value of office holding but decreases with exogenous economic performance and with economic volatility the model suggests that single party governments should be highly opportunistic in calling elections and that countries that allow opportunistic election timing should experience less economically distortionary political intervention than their fixed timing counterparts

an integrated test for electoral cycles in the u s economy this paper offers the first integrated test of the electoral model of business cycles the test begins with unrestricted estimates of presidential electoral patterns in u s economic outcomes real gnp unemployment and inflation and policies money growth and the adjusted budget surplus these estimates are then used to determine whether the estimated electoral patterns in macropolicy yield predicted electoral patterns for macro outcomes that are consistent with estimates of both actual electoral patterns in outcomes and voting behavior the results indicate that four year electoral cycles in macroeconomic outcomes and policies are strongly significant for the united states for the period 1951i to 1986ii copyright 1989 by mit press

exchange rate based stabilizations under real frictions the role of endogenous labor supply abstract this paper studies exchange rate based stabilization programs in the context of a model of a small open economy where labor supply is endogenous agents derive utility from both consumption and leisure in environments where consumption is subject to a cash in advance constraint a cut in the rate of devaluation lowers the nominal interest rate and hence alters the optimal mix of consumption and leisure the paper shows that in the presence of adjustment costs of investment a perfectly credible cut in the devaluation rate causes simultaneously a consumption and output boom a cumulative current deficit a sustained real appreciation of the domestic currency and an increase in labor supply over time it is also shown that an imperfectly credible stabilization program in this environment would have effects similar to the perfectly credible program but generate richer dynamics such as an initial boom in output followed by a recession which begins prior to the end of the program the model has clear welfare implications in that permanent reductions in inflation are unambiguously welfare enhancing

key market values for bottled wine in an emerging market product attributes or business strategy this article focuses on the emerging bottled chilean red wine market and studies the main determinants of the consumer price of wine sold on the domestic market a hedonic price function was estima

partisan politics and public finance changes in public spending in the industrialized democracies 1955 1989 this paper evaluates the role that partisan politics plays in altering public spending levels the analysis covers over three decades of data on the developments of the public sectors in 16 oecd countries the results of the analysis lend firm support to the partisan politics model of special note is the distinction between the electorate and the government ideological preferences and the dominant role that the former plays the results also suggest contrary to conventional wisdom that partisan political influences have not been eliminated with the tightening of linkages to the international economy

economic policy economic performance and elections this paper explores the role of reelection pressures in determining economic policy by assuming that voters are uncertai n as to the efficacy of different policies a reelection process is derived that depends on both a politician s past policies and the level of economic activity during his time in office it is shown th at the less uncertain are voters as to which policy is best the more likely is a politician to manipulate policy for reelection purposes manipulation entails implementing the policy that is more likely to be well received rather than the one that maximizes income copyright 1993 by american economic association

political models of the business cycle should be revived political models of the business cycle have typically been ignored because they appear inconsistent with rational behavior and because empirical evidence is inconclusive this paper addresses the second issue demonstrating for u s real gnp unemployment and inflation that electoral cycles persistent patterns across electoral terms are significant but apparently only for republican incumbents and that partisan cycles persistent differences between parties are also significant these findings are consistent with the conjecture that a minority party is more constrained by electoral concerns whereas a majority party is freer to pursue partisan objectives

estimation of a hedonic price equation for burgundy wine a hedonic price equation and two jury grade equations are estimated for burgundy wine the approach is the same as in an earlier bordeaux wine paper combris et al 1997 the data come from an experimental study that is very similar to the study on bordeaux wines the results for the two wine growing regions are compared and discussed

modern hyper and high inflations since 1947 hyperinflations by cagan s definition in market economies have been rare much more common have been longer inflationary processes with inflation rates above 100 percent per annum based on a sample of 133 countries and using the 100 percent threshold as the basis for a definition of very high inflation episodes this paper examines the main characteristics of such inflations among other things we find that i close to 20 percent of countries have experienced inflation above 100 percent per annum ii higher inflation tends to be more unstable iii in high inflation countries the relationship between the fiscal balance and seigniorage is strong both in the short and long run iv inflation inertia decreases as average inflation rises v high inflation is associated with poor macroeconomic performance and vi stabilizations from high inflation that rely on the exchange rate as the nominal anchor are expansionary

studying the role of political competition in the evolution of government size over long horizons here we argue for the use of cointegration and error correction analysis to combine economic factors that are nonstationary with political factors that are stationary into an empirical model of the evolution of public policy over long periods the approach is applied to disentangle the contributions of economics and politics to the evolution of public expenditure by the government of canada over 130 years political competition emerges as the primary political factor affecting government size

nominal interest rates consumption booms and lack of credibility a quantitative examination abstract exchange rate based stabilization programs in chronic inflation countries have often been accompanied by an initial expansion of private consumption followed by a contraction this consumption cycle has been attributed to lack of credibility in the sense that the public views the reduction in the devaluation rate as temporary this paper assesses the quantitative relevance of the temporariness hypothesis by comparing the predictions of a simple model to the actual figures for seven major programs the paper concludes that nominal interest rates must fall substantially for the temporariness hypothesis to account for an important fraction of the observed consumption booms

estimation of a hedonic price equation for bordeaux wine does quality matter in this paper the hedonic price technique is applied to bordeaux wine in the hedonic price function we include not only the objective characteristics appearing on the label of the bottle but also the sensory characteristics of the wine our data come from an experimental study in which juries have evaluated and graded a sample of bordeaux wines the estimation of the hedonic price equation shows that the market price is essentially determined by the objective characteristics the estimation of a jury grade equation shows that quality unlike the market price is essentially determined by the sensory characteristics

inflation stabilisation and the consumption of durable goods exchange rate based stabilisations in chronic inflation countries have often been characterised by an initial consumption boom which is most evident in the behaviour of durable goods followed by a later contraction this paper provides an explanation for such a boom recession cycle based on the timing of purchases of durable goods the initial fall in inflation results in a wealth effect which induces many consumers to bring forward their purchases of durable goods thus generating an aggregate consumption boom since most consumers replenish their stock of durable goods at the beginning of the programme a later slowdown follows

opportunistic political cycles test in a young democracy setting this paper tests the theory of opportunistic cycles in a decade old democracy russia finds strong evidence of cycles and provides an explanation for why previous literature often found weaker evidence using regional monthly panel data we find that 1 the budget cycle is sizable and short lived public spending shifts toward direct monetary transfers to voters 2 the magnitude of the cycle decreases with democracy government transparency media freedom voter awareness and over time and 3 preelectoral manipulation increases incumbents chances for reelection the short length of the cycle explains underestimation of its size by previous literature because of low frequency data used in previous studies

what to show on the wine labels a hedonic analysis of price drivers of sicilian wines unlike previous literature we construct a hedonic model of wine price that incorporates all the main categories of variables simultaneously to enable a better evaluation of their importance on wine price formation a comprehensive model has the advantage of providing more reliable estimates of the attributes implicit prices thereby facilitating firms pricing and improving effectiveness of wine production and marketing decisions we utilize two different datasets of sicilian wines collecting data from influential wine guides our results suggest that wine price strongly depends on objective features such as vintage alcoholic content geographical origin grape variety producer size and cellaring potential in addition use of containers like tonneaux and barrique positively affects prices whereas use of concrete containers has a negative influence no univocal indications emerge with regard to the effect of the type of company type of viticulture and firm age as for sensorial characteristics our a

economic and political determinants of fee income in norwegian local governments this paper presents an empirical analysis of the determinants of fee income in norweigan local governments the point of departure is a representative voter model emphasizing the effects of pure economic variables the benchmark model is extended by including two aspects of the political system ideology and strength it is evident that increased socialist influence increases the size of the local public sector while a strong political leadership has an advantage in opposing pressure to increase spending

elections economic outcomes and policy choices in canada 1870 2015 in this paper we examine the relationship between economic and electoral outcomes in canada since confederation 1867 and the role that economic policy has played in influencing this relationship