the diffusion of health technologies cultural and biological divergence abstract this paper proposes the hypothesis that genetic distance to the health frontier influences population health outcomes evidence from a world sample suggests that genetic distance interpreted as long term cultural and biological divergence is an important factor in understanding health inequalities across countries specifically the paper documents a remarkably robust negative link between genetic distance to the united states and population health as measured by life expectancy at birth and the adult survival rate even after accounting for an extensive set of possible confounders such as gdp per capita and various climatic factors consistent with the interpretation that genetic distance is related to population health indirectly through human barriers to the diffusion of modern health technologies the evidence indicates that the gene gradient emerges at the onset of the international epidemiological transition

the real swing voter s curse a central idea in political economy is that vot ers who are not ideologically attached to a politi cal party so called swing voters attract policy favors and redistribution because they become the focus of electoral competition in many parts of the world however politicians do not just use carrots to win elections they also use sticks coercion and violence in this paper we show that expanding the policy space to incorporate this can completely overturn the predictions of the standard model the reason for this is simple with all groups of voters at play political competition does indeed lead to a chase for the sup

estimating the impact of the hajj religion and tolerance in islam s global gathering we estimate the impact on pilgrims of performing the hajj pilgrimage to mecca our method compares successful and unsuccessful applicants in a lottery used by pakistan to allocate hajj visas pilgrim accounts stress that the hajj leads to a feeling of unity with fellow muslims but outsiders have sometimes feared that this could be accompanied by antipathy toward non muslims we find that participation in the hajj increases observance of global islamic practices such as prayer and fasting while decreasing participation in localized practices and beliefs such as the use of amulets and dowry it increases belief in equality and harmony among ethnic groups and islamic sects and leads to more favorable attitudes toward women including greater acceptance of female education and employment increased unity within the islamic world is not accompanied by antipathy toward non muslims instead hajjis show increased belief in peace and in equality and harmony among adherents of different religions the evidence suggests that these changes are likely due to exposure to and interaction with hajjis from around the world rather than to a changed social role of pilgrims upon return

voting on majority rules political economy models usually take as given the rules which govern the political decision making with the simple majority rule being the most popular model in this paper we develop a simple yet powerful positive model where the majority rule governing future elections is itself chosen in an election we observe a large variety of majority rules governing elections in the real world on the one side referenda are usually decided by a simple majority at the other extreme many international organizations require unanimity in votes among the member states in the european union s council of ministers some proposals require only a simple majority some a supermajority of about 71 62 votes out of 87 and some require unanimous consent 1 explicit supermajorities 2 are required in most countries for a change of the constitution but in some u s states also for a tax raise even more important could be what we might call implicit supermajorities in parliamentary systems with a strong committee organization a legislative proposal usually needs the support of both the respective committee and the house in parliamentary systems with two chambers certain legislative proposals need the support of both chambers 3 previous rationalizations of qualified majority rules focus on the problem of condorcet cycles under simple majority rule in n dimensional elections and on commitment problems see our literature review below our model presents a new rationale for rules requiring qualified majorities in elections we analyse an overlapping generations model of voting on reform opportunities which we model as similar to investment projects at first there is a cost and then there are benefits since voters have a finite lifetime old voters will be less keen on reforms

post 1500 population flows and the long run determinants of economic growth and inequality we construct a matrix showing the share of the year 2000 population in every country that is descended from people in different source countries in the year 1500 using this matrix we analyze how post 1500 migration has influenced the level of gdp per capita and within country income inequality in the world today indicators of early development such as early state history and the timing of transition to agriculture have much better predictive power for current gdp when one looks at the ancestors of the people who currently live in a country than when one considers the history on that country s territory without adjusting for migration measures of the ethnic or linguistic heterogeneity of a country s current population do not predict income inequality as well as measures of the ethnic or linguistic heterogeneity of the current population s ancestors an even better predictor of current inequality in a country is the variance of early development history of the country s inhabitants with ethnic groups originating in regions having longer histories of agriculture and organized states tending to be at the upper end of a country s income distribution however high within country variance of early development also predicts higher income per capita holding constant the average level of early development

review of political order and inequality their foundations and their consequences by carles boix political order and inequality their foundations and their consequences argues that geography technology and wars determined the formation of a ruling class inequality and institutional development rather than the other way around institutions are not a cause but a consequence this relatively short book covers an enormous amount of material i have sympathy for the basic idea of the book but in some parts i would have liked to see more detailed evidence especially on the more recent history and the industrial revolution

the relative productivity hypothesis of industrialization the american case 1820 to 1850 a two sector model is used to explore the role of the agricultural sector in the process of industrialization our hypothesis is that areas industrialize earlier where the wages for females and children relative to those for adult males are initially low furthermore the lower this relative productivity of females and children in the pre industrial economy the proportionately more will their relative wages increase and the higher will be the ratio of manufactured to agricultural goods the model is used to interpret the conditions that fostered the rapid industrialization of the american northeast but not the south from 1820 to 1850

misperceived social norms women working outside the home in saudi arabia we show that the vast majority of young married men in saudi arabia privately support women working outside the home wwoh and substantially underestimate support by other similar men correcting these beliefs increases men s costly willingness to help their wives search for jobs months later wives of men whose beliefs were corrected are more likely to have applied and interviewed for a job outside the home in a recruitment experiment with a local company randomly informing women about actual support for wwoh leads them to switch from an at home temporary enumerator job to a higher paying outside the home version of the job

on gender gaps and self fulfilling expectations alternative implications of paid for training i introduction the recent literature on gender differences in the labor market has focused mainly on two issues the first one deals with the mechanisms e g adverse selection that can amplify initial differences in preferences or productivity across genders leading to sizeable gender gaps in wages labor force participation or working hours these models help us understand to what extent changes in gender gaps have been due to changes in fundamentals including differences in the pattern of endogenous accumulation of human capital by men and women 1 the second one is related to the channels explaining persistence in gender gaps even when exogenous differences across the sexes are of little importance or even absent 2 these studies tend to rely upon the existence of incentive problems in the labor market e g moral hazard leading to self fulfilling prophecies about differences in gender roles without assuming any initial comparative advantages our paper falls into this second strand of the literature by considering an alternative mechanism based on statistical discrimination by firms in the provision of paid for training to male and female workers this yields multiplicity of equilibria in gender gaps even in the absence of moral hazard 3 the basic idea in models of gender gaps relying upon self fulfilling prophecies is that employers beliefs about women s lower attachment to the labor market lead to wage differentials in favor of men hence since women expect to face a lower expected opportunity cost they end up devoting more time to housework validating in this way firms beliefs for example albanesi and olivetti 2009 propose a model where firms are subject to incentive compatible constraints due to their imperfect monitoring of workers effort a moral hazard problem and of hours of housework an adverse selection problem as a result different types of labor contracts are offered to men and women in a similar vein lommerud and vagstad 2007 deal with a model where firms allocate workers to fast and slow track jobs the former requiring a fixed investment cost if women have traditionally exerted primary major responsibility at home and wages are non contractible they will predominantly follow a mommy track in equilibrium while incentive problems often used to derive additional predictions on the structure of wages to be confronted with the data provide a useful modeling device they could be somewhat restrictive for instance concerning the difficulty of perfectly monitoring effort pay gaps should be negligible for routine tasks performed by less skilled employees for whom effort and output should be easily observable yet even after removing differences in observable characteristics and in the overall wage dispersion there is evidence about substantial gender gaps in hourly wages in these categories see e g blau and kahn 2000 bassanini and saint martin 2008 de la rica et al 2008 our paper contributes to this literature by proposing a novel mechanism which does not rely on incentive problems we consider a two period model in which firms initially offer paid for training to workers taking as given the division of housework between spouses in the second period spouses decide on how to split the certain and uncertain parts of housework where the latter is captured by the realization of a shock affecting household tasks during this period e g unexpected need of housework or events that require parental leave etc both decisions interact because the housework decision determines whether a spouse works or quits after receiving training and the firm chooses the amount of training without observing the household s housework allocation statistical discrimination arises in this setup as a result of firms prior beliefs about which spouse is more likely to quit the job under the key assumptions that wages are predetermined with respect to housework shocks and that the household does not re optimize after the shock is revealed asymmetric beliefs will induce differences in the provision of training across spouses

gender and culture this paper reviews the literature on gender and culture gender gaps in various outcomes competitiveness labor force participation and performance in mathematics amongst many others show remarkable differences across countries and tend to persist over time the economics literature initially explained these differences by looking at standard economic variables such as the level of development women s education the expansion of the service sector and discrimination more recent literature has argued that gender differences in a variety of outcomes could reflect underlying cultural values and beliefs this article reviews the literature on the relevance of culture in the determination of different forms of gender gap i examine how differences in historical situations could have been relevant in generating gender differences and the conditions under which gender norms tend to be stable or to change over time emphasizing the role of social learning finally i review the role of different forms of cultural transmission in shaping gender differences distinguishing between channels of vertical transmission the role of the family horizontal transmission the role of peers and oblique transmission the role of teachers or role models

the long term effect of demographic shocks on the evolution of gender roles evidence from the transatlantic slave trade can demographic shocks affect the long run evolution of female labor force participation and gender norms this paper traces current variation in women s participation in the labor force within sub saharan africa to the emergence of a female biased sex ratio during the centuries of the transatlantic slave trade this historical shock affected the division of labor along gender lines in the remaining african population as women substituted for the missing men by taking up areas of work that were traditionally male tasks by exploiting variation in the degree to which different ethnic groups were affected by the transatlantic slave trade i show that women whose ancestors were more exposed to this shock are today more likely to be in the labor force have lower levels of fertility and are more likely to participate in household decisions the marriage market and the cultural transmission of internal norms across generations represent important mechanisms explaining this long run persistence

concentration changes and large firm small firm efficiency differences evidence from us manufacturing industries 1990 concentration changes and large firm small firm efficiency differences evidence from us manufacturing industries applied economics vol 22 no 1 pp 131 142

industry competitiveness using herfindahl and entropy concentration indices with firm market capitalization data while previous studies of industry concentration have traditionally utilized sales or market share data no studies that we are aware of have been done with market capitalization data if the markets are successful at valuing a firm s current and future prospects it can be argued that concentration indices and other metrics based on the market value of the firms in an industry should be a good proxy for market power within an industry this study presents a study of the market concentration using the herfindahl and entropy concentration indices for 13 industries

the slave trade and the origins of mistrust in africa in a recent study nunn 2008 examines the long term impacts of africa s slave trade he finds that the slave trade which occurred over a period of more than 400 years had a significant negative effect on long term economic development although the article arguably identifies a negative causal relationship between the slave trade and income today the analysis is unable to establish the exact causal mechanisms underlying this reduced form relationship in this article we examine one of the channels through which the slave trade may affect economic development today combining contemporary individual level survey data with historical data on slave shipments by ethnic group we ask whether the slave trade caused a culture of mistrust to develop within africa initially slaves were captured primarily through state organized raids and warfare but as the trade progressed the environment of ubiquitous insecurity caused individuals to turn on others including friends and family members and to kidnap trick and sell each other into slavery sigismund wilhelm koelle 1854 p e h hair 1965 charles piot 1996 we hypothesize that in this environment a culture of mistrust may have evolved which may persist to this day we show that current differences in trust levels within africa can be traced back to the transatlantic and indian ocean slave trades combining contemporary individual level survey data with historical data on slave shipments by ethnic group we find that individuals whose ancestors were heavily raided during the slave trade are less trusting today evidence from a variety of identification strategies suggests that the relationship is causal examining causal mechanisms we show that most of the impact of the slave trade is through factors that are internal to the individual such as cultural norms beliefs and values jel j15 n57 z13

concentration of sales and assets of the top 25 fortune 500 firms 1967 90 the present paper using various indexes of concentration in business assesses the level of concentration of the top 25 united states industrial firms reported annually by fortune an overall conclusion is reached that concentration increased between 1967 and 1990 most noticeably during the 1980s

gender role attitudes and the labour market outcomes of women across oecd countries this paper uses data from the world value surveys 1990 1995 1999 to investigate the impact of gender role attitudes and work values on women s labour market outcomes across 25 oecd countries anti egalitarian views are found to display the strongest negative association with female employment rates and the gender pay gap these views are however softening among recent cohorts on the other hand perceptions of women s role as homemakers which are likely formed in youth and linked to religious ideology are more persistent over time they could be implicated in the recent slowdown of the gender convergence in pay finally the unavoidable clash between family values and egalitarian views that takes the form of an inner conflict for many women the so called mother s guilt is another obstacle in the path towards greater gender equality in the labour market copyright 2005 oxford university press

the weight of history on european cultural integration a gravity approach cultural integration is a european obsession given the growing evidence on the role of culture as a determinant of economic development this issue is of importance to economists some literature hypothesizes that the variation of the relative strengths of cultural assimilation and differentiation gave rise to different patterns of economic development quamrul ashraf and oded galor 2007 while other literature emphasizes the importance of specific cultural traits for institutional and economic development among those social trust has received particular attention recently the literature has looked into the historical origins of social trust relating contemporary cross regional differences in trust to historical events such as the free city states experiences in northern italy guido tabellini 2008 luigi guiso paola sapienza and luigi zingales 2008 or the slave trades in africa nathan nunn and leonard wantchekon forthcoming going even further back in history ruben durante 2010 links current regional differences in trust to climatic variability since the year 1500 while such evidence on the longterm persistence of cultural traits is intriguing little remains understood concerning the rate at which cultural values change under the influence of such historical events cultural persistence and cultural heterogeneity are the two sides of the same coin historians have hypothesized that one reason behind the complexity of european integration may be the fact that europe as opposed to china or north america has never experienced a single unifying historical experience wim blockmans 2006 the model in this paper estimates the contribution to cultural integration or its counter

the quiet revolution that transformed women s employment education and family the modern economic role of women emerged in four phases the first three were evolutionary the last was revolutionary phase i occurred from the late nineteenth century to the 1920s phase ii was from 1930 to 1950 phase iii extended from 1950 to the late 1970s and phase iv the quiet revolution began in the late 1970s and is still ongoing three aspects of women s choices distinguish the evolutionary from the revolutionary phases horizon identity and decision making the evolutionary phases are apparent in time series data on labor force participation the revolutionary phase is discernible using time series evidence on women s more predictable attachment to the workplace greater identity with career and better ability to make joint decisions with their spouses each of these series has a sharp break or inflection point signifying social and economic change these changes moreover coincide by birth cohort or period the relationship between the development of modern labor economics and the reality of women s changing economic role is explored the paper concludes by assessing whether the revolution has stalled or is being reversed women who graduated college in the early 1980s did not opt out but recent cohorts are too young to evaluate this abstract was borrowed from another version of this item

constitutional verbosity and social trust a common argument in the trust literature is that high trust cultures allow efficient commercial contracts to be shorter covering fewer contingencies we take this idea to the topic of social contracts specifically we ask whether social trust affects the length and detail of constitutions cross country estimates suggest that national trust levels are indeed robustly and negatively associated with the length of countries constitutions

endogenous institutions and political extremism abstract the election of extreme political leaders is often associated with changes in political institutions this paper studies these phenomena through a model in which the median voter elects a leader anticipating that he will impose institutional constraints such as constitutional amendments judicial appointments or the implicit threat of a coup that influence the behavior of future political challengers it is typically optimal for the median voter to elect an extreme incumbent when democracy is less fully consolidated when the costs of imposing institutional constraints are intermediate and when the distribution of potential challengers is asymmetric the median voter typically elects a more right wing incumbent when the distribution of potential challengers shifts to the left implications of the model for the consolidation of democracy and institutional constraints are discussed as are several related mechanisms through which politicians ability to affect institutions may lead voters to optimally elect extremists

the control of politicians in divided societies the politics of fear autocrats in many developing countries have extracted enormous personal rents from power in addition they have imposed inefficient policies including pervasive patronage spending i present a model in which the presence of ethnic identities and the absence of institutionalized succession processes allow the ruler to elicit support from a sizeable share of the population despite large reductions in welfare the fear of falling under an equally inefficient and venal ruler that favours another group is enough to discipline supporters the model predicts extensive use of patronage ethnic bias in taxation and spending patterns and unveils a new mechanism through which economic frictions translate into increased rent extraction by the leader these predictions are consistent with the experiences of bad governance ethnic bias wasteful policies and kleptocracy in post colonial africa

violence bribery and fraud the political economy of elections in sub saharan africa post soviet african democratization has introduced elections into contexts that often lack restraints upon the behavior of candidates resulting in the emergence of voter intimidation vote buying and ballot fraud we propose a model of electoral competition where although some voters oppose violence it is effective in intimidating swing voters we show that in equilibrium a weak challenger will use violence which corresponds to a terrorism strategy similarly a nationally weak incumbent will use repression however a stronger incumbent facing local competition will prefer to use bribery or ballot fraud we discuss the applicability of the model to several african elections

a theory of constitutional standards and civil liberty why would potentially intolerant majorities in a democracy protect the rights of unpopular groups this paper models the formation of legal standards that determine the extent of civil liberty in a society it is shown that tolerant legal standards emerge over time despite all individuals having intolerant preferences each period citizens choose activities that have social consequences a majority vote determines which of these activities are legally protected because of errors in interpreting the symbolic content of these activities voters from the majority will not impose excessively intolerant standards otherwise they may end up severely punishing members of their own group by mistake extending this framework to a dynamic model we examine markovian equilibria of the game when government improves with time in its ability to correctly interpret citizens activities these improvements allow an unchanging majority to impose increasingly intolerant standards over time it is shown that societies with high political turnover due to population changes are apt to choose tolerant legal standards societies with low turnover are more apt to choose more intolerant and unstable ones each group seeks to prevent auditing capabilities of government from improving too much over time in order to prevent future majorities from successfully enforcing more intolerant standards

choosing how to choose self stable majority rules and constitutions constitutional arrangements affect the decisions made by a society we study how this effect leads to preferences of citizens over constitutions and ultimately how this has a feedback that determines which constitutions can survive in a given society constitutions are stylized here to consist of a voting rule for ordinary business and possibly a different voting rule for making changes to the constitution we define an equilibrium notion for constitutions called self stability whereby under the rules of a self stable constitution the society would not vote to change the constitution we argue that only self stable constitutions will endure we prove that self stable constitutions always exist but that most constitutions even very prominent ones may not be self stable for some societies we show that constitutions where the voting rule used to amend the constitution is the same as the voting rule used for ordinary business are dangerously simplistic and there are many societies for which no such constitution is self stable we conclude with a characterization of the set of self stable constitutions that use majority rule for ordinary business

economic growth and individualism the role of informal institutions abstract this paper shows that the degree of ancestral individualism is positively related to annual earnings across second generation us immigrants this provides evidence in favor of gorodnichenko and roland s 2011b hypothesis that the individualistic dimension of culture is important for long term economic growth

on the origins of gender roles women and the plough the study examines the historical origins of existing cross cultural differences in beliefs and values regarding the appropriate role of women in society we test the hypothesis that traditional agricultural practices influenced the historical gender division of labor and the evolution of gender norms we find that consistent with existing hypotheses the descendants of societies that traditionally practiced plough agriculture today have less equal gender norms measured using reported gender role attitudes and female participation in the workplace politics and entrepreneurial activities our results hold looking across countries across districts within countries and across ethnicities within districts to test for the importance of cultural persistence we examine the children of immigrants living in europe and the united states we find that even among these individuals all born and raised in the same country those with a heritage of traditional plough use exhibit less equal beliefs about gender roles today jel codes d03 j16 n30 copyright 2013 oxford university press

how deep are the roots of economic development the empirical literature on economic growth and development has moved from the study of proximate determinants to the analysis of ever deeper more fundamental factors rooted in long term history a growing body of new empirical work focuses on the measurement and estimation of the effects of historical variables on contemporary income by explicitly taking into account the ancestral composition of current populations the evidence suggests that economic development is affected by traits that have been transmitted across generations over the very long run this article surveys this new literature and provides a framework to discuss different channels through which intergenerationally transmitted characteristics may impact economic development biologically via genetic or epigenetic transmission and culturally via behavioral or symbolic transmission an important issue is whether historically transmitted traits have affected development through their direct impact on productivity or have operated indirectly as barriers to the diffusion of productivityenhancing innovations across populations jel j11 o33 o47 z13

a political theory of populism when voters fear that politicians may have a right wing bias or that they may be in uenced or corrupted by the rich elite signals of true left wing conviction are valuable as a consequence even a moderate politician seeking reelection chooses populist policies i e policies to the left of the median voter as a way of signaling that he is not from the right truly right wing politicians respond by choosing more moderate or even left of center policies this populist bias of policy is greater when the value of remaining in o ce is higher for the politician when there is greater polarization between the policy preferences of the median voter and right wing politicians when politicians are indeed more likely to have a hidden right wing agenda when there is an intermediate amount of noise in the information that voters receive when politicians are more forward looking and when there is greater uncertainty about the type of the incumbent we show that similar results apply when some politicians can be corrupted or in uenced through other non electoral means by the rich elite we also show that soft term limits may exacerbate rather than reduce the populist bias of policies

the critical choice between the concentration ratio and the h index in assessing industry performance the paper shows that in addition to the theoretical relevance of choosing between the hirschman herfindahl index and the concentration ratio both measures may provide empirically very different information to assess industry performance it is shown that the correspondence between the two measures can be represented by a horn shaped figure the implications of this horn shaped relationship are investigated in the context of specifying empirical profitability concentration models among different specification effects tested it is shown that the neglect of the hornrelationship may bias the results towards the identification of a critical concentration ratio

women s liberation what s in it for men the nineteenth century witnessed dramatic improvements in the legal rights of married women given that these changes took place long before women gained the right to vote they amounted to a voluntary renouncement of power by men in this paper we investigate men s incentives for sharing power with women in our model women s legal rights set the marital bargaining power of husbands and wives we show that men face a tradeoff between the rights they want for their own wives namely none and the rights of other women in the economy men prefer other men s wives to have rights because men care about their own daughters and because an expansion of women s rights increases educational investments in children we show that men may agree to relinquish some of their power once technological change increases the importance of human capital we corroborate our argument with historical evidence on the expansion of women s rights in england and the united states

polarized platforms and moderate policies with checks and balances abstract in standard spatial models of elections parties with policy preferences take divergent positions their platform positions are less separated than are the parties ideal policies if policy is the result of an executive legislative compromise the policy preferences of the parties can be moderated by voter behavior divided government may result since parties anticipate the moderated outcomes they have an added incentive to choose separated platforms consequently divergence in platforms is greater than in the standard model especially when uncertainty is high and the legislature more powerful than the executive for some parameters parties may even posture by adopting platforms that are more extreme than their true ideal points

religion and economy religion has a two way interaction with political economy with religion viewed as a dependent variable a central question is how economic development and political institutions affect religious participation and beliefs with religion viewed as an independent variable a key issue is how religiosity affects individual characteristics such as work ethic honesty and thrift and thereby influences economic performance in this paper we sketch previous studies of this two way interaction but focus on our ongoing quantitative research with international data

irrigation as a historical determinant of social capital in india a large scale survey analysis summary it is widely understood that the same policy interventions can have different outcomes depending on the social structures they are implemented in much less clear though is what fundamentally determines communities social capital or the way individuals in a society interact this study analyzes how irrigation practices a key feature of agricultural organization in india affect different indicators of social capital to this end an informative household survey is combined with detailed historical agricultural statistics on irrigation and grain cultivation the depth of the datasets allows for fine grained analysis of effects of different kinds of irrigation on groups with varying degrees of involvement in the agricultural production process i show a significant negative influence of specific types of irrigation on the prevalence of conflict and an increased likelihood for attendance of public meetings yet it is not possible to establish a broad and consistent relationship between agricultural indicators and social capital which contradicts previous research furthermore specific groups with varying incentive structures based on their land holding status and agricultural engagement appear to be affected by different kinds of irrigation the results underline the need for a multidimensional analysis of both social capital and agricultural organization as well as their interaction i do not find evidence supporting the rice theory of culture

growing up in a recession does the historical macroeconomic environment affect preferences for redistribution we find that individuals who experienced a recession when young believe that success in life depends more on luck than effort support more government redistribution and tend to vote for left wing parties the effect of recessions on beliefs is long lasting we support our findings with evidence from three different datasets first we identify the effect of recessions on beliefs exploiting time and regional variation in macroeconomic conditions using data from the 1972 2010 general social survey our specifications control for nonlinear time period life cycle and cohort effects as well as a host of background variables second we rely on data from the national longitudinal survey of the high school class of 1972 to corroborate the age period cohort specification and look at heterogeneous effects of experiencing a recession during early adulthood third using data from the world value survey we confirm our findings with a sample of 37 countries whose citizens experienced macroeconomic disasters at different points in history

the cambridge history of capitalism this review essay of the two volume cambridge history of capitalism 2014 edited by larry neal and jeffrey g williamson is divided into three parts first i describe three chapters from the second volume that i recommend for all economists to add depth to their understanding of the world economy today robert c allen analyzes the world distribution of income randall morck and bernard yeung discuss the history of business groups and peter lindert surveys private and public programs to help the poor in each case they analyze historical backgrounds that illuminate current issues second i criticize the definition of capitalism used in these volumes as too expansive to be useful i argue that this definition mars the essays in first volume by stimulating a fruitless search for capitalism in the millennium before the industrial revolution third i describe the essays in this reference work starting from the most recent and ending with those about antiquity

the long reach of cotton in the us south tenant farming mechanization and low skill manufacturing abstract this paper examines the long run impact of cotton agriculture on local development in the us south focusing on a novel aspect of structural change exploiting climate based variation in cotton production i show that cotton specialization in the late 19th century had a negative impact on local development that lasts through 2010 this negative relationship however only became evident in the second half of the 20th century i argue that the change was caused by the mechanization of cotton production which began in the 1950s after the mechanization local manufacturing absorbed displaced cotton tenants with low human capital in response to the inflow of cotton tenants labor productivity in manufacturing began to decline and the effects persisted in the long run the persistent decline in manufacturing productivity is explained by directed technical change that reduced demand for skills in manufacturing these results indicate that depending on the agricultural background structural change can negatively affect the evolution of technology and productivity in the industrial sector

it s raining men hallelujah the long run consequences of male biased sex ratios we document the short and long run effects of male biased sex ratios we exploit a natural historical experiment where large numbers of male convicts and far fewer female convicts were sent to australia in the 18th and 19th centuries in areas with more male biased sex ratios women were historically more likely to get married and less likely to work outside the home in these areas today both men and women continue to have more conservative attitudes towards women working and women work fewer hours outside the home while these women enjoy more leisure they are also less likely to work in high ranking occupations we demonstrate that the consequences of uneven sex ratios on cultural attitudes labour supply decisions and occupational choices can persist in the long run well after sex ratios are back to the natural rate we document the roles of vertical cultural transmission and marriage homogamy in sustaining this cultural persistence

potatoes milk and the old world population boom abstract this paper explores the role of two foods potatoes and milk in explaining the increase in economic development experienced throughout the old world in the 18th and 19th centuries nunn and qian 2011 show the introduction of the potato from the new world has a significant explanatory role for within country population and urbanization growth over this period i expand on this by considering the role of milk consumption which is hypothesized to be a complement in diet to potatoes due to a differential composition of essential nutrients using a country level measure for the suitability of milk consumption the frequency of lactase persistence i show that the marginal effect of potatoes on post 1700 population and urbanization growth is positively related to milk consumption as the frequency of milk consumption approaches unity the marginal effect of potatoes more than doubles in magnitude compared to the baseline estimate of nunn and qian

oil and women a re examination abstract in a seminal article ross 2008 reports a negative correlation between oil production and women s representation in the labour force and politics across countries this article re examines these relationships exploiting variations in oil endowments to address endogeneity concerns we confirm that oil production causes decline in women s representation additionally we show that consistent with dutch disease effects oil production decreases women s employment in the traded sector however it also leads to an increase in women s employment in the nontraded sector we explore some social consequences of oil production and show that it results in women marrying earlier and having more children

identity economics 2016 where do social distinctions and norms come from abstract identity economics provides a framework to analyze economic outcomes by establishing people s identities not just pecuniary incentives as primary motivations for choice the heart of the framework is social difference and norms this paper engages the emerging economic research into sources of divisions and norms individuals families schools governments and social movements the task at hand is to further to develop the micro foundations of identity in order to build a socially framed understandings of human motivation that will yield more robust accounts of behavior and institutions and yet better predictions of the implications of policy

institutional constraints and the inefficiency in public investments abstract this paper studies limits on executive authority by identifying a dynamic channel through which they interact with policy making the model features two agents one of which becomes the incumbent in each of the two periods and unilaterally decides on investment in a common interest public good targeted pork spending and the future executive constraint while a weak constraint permits an incumbent to enact his desired policies in case of re election the same applies to his opponent in the opposite scenario however this trade off changes with the level of the public good because the agents shared investment interest dominates their conflict over pork spending to a lesser extent as the efficiency gains from investing get exhausted in equilibrium more efficient states of the public good are associated with tighter executive constraints despite the fact that agents share the same preferences over public good consumption equilibrium public good provision is inefficient moreover this inefficiency worsens as the incumbent s re election chances deteriorate these findings shed light on why incumbents facing similar electoral environments make different institutional choices

why did the west extend the franchise democracy inequality and growth in historical perspective during the nineteenth century most western societies extended voting rights a decision that led to unprecedented redistributive programs we argue that these political reforms can be viewed as strategic decisions by the political elite to prevent widespread social unrest and revolution political transition rather than redistribution under existing political institutions occurs because current transfers do not ensure future transfers while the extension of the franchise changes future political equilibria and acts as a commitment to redistribution our theory also offers a novel explanation for the kuznets curve in many western economies during this period with the fall in inequality following redistribution due to democratization i introduction the nineteenth century was a period of fundamental political reform and unprecedented changes in taxation and redistribution britain for example was transformed from an oligarchy run by an elite to a democracy the franchise was extended in 1832 and then again in 1867 and 1884 transferring voting rights to portions of the society with no previous political representation the decades after the political reforms witnessed radical social reforms increased taxation and the extension of education to the masses moreover as noted by kuznets inequality which was previously increasing started to decline during this period the gini coefficient for income inequality in england and wales had risen from 0 400 in 1823 to 0 627 in 1871 but fell to 0 443 in 1901 two key factors in the reduction in inequality were the increase in the proportion of skilled workers williamson 1985 and the redistribution of income toward the poorer segments of the society for example taxes rose from 8 12 percent of national product in 1867 to 18 8 percent by 1927 and the progressivity of the tax system increased substantially see lindert 1989

pre marital confinement of women a signaling and matching approach abstract parents in several cultures discipline their daughters to inculcate the supposedly feminine virtues and improve their prospects in the marriage market this process invariably involves imposing restrictions on their behavior movement and social relations we refer to such practices as pre marital confinement and provide a unified game theoretic framework which encompasses the different arguments that have been advanced by social scientists to explain pre marital confinement the proposed framework views confinement by parents as an intrinsically valueless or valuable signal of some unobservable characteristic of their daughters which is valued by men in the marriage market we focus on identifying the conditions that lead to a societal norm of confinement we also show that behind a veil of ignorance where gender is unknown agents will choose to prohibit rather than permit confinement if it is intrinsically valueless and the parameters characterizing the society are such that the ex post equilibrium would involve pooling

mothers and sons preference formation and female labor force dynamics this paper argues that the growing presence of a new type of man one brought up in a family in which the mother worked has been a significant factor in the increase in female labor force participation over time we present cross sectional evidence showing that the wives of men whose mothers worked are themselves significantly more likely to work we use variation in the importance of world war ii as a shock to women s labor force participation as proxied by variation in the male draft rate across u s states to provide evidence in support of the intergenerational consequences of our propagation mechanism

on the origins of gender gaps in human capital short and long term consequences of teachers biases abstract we estimate the effect of primary school teachers gender biases on boys and girls academic achievements during middle and high school and on the choice of advanced level courses in math and sciences during high school in tel aviv israel we measure bias using class gender differences in scores between school exams graded by teachers and national exams graded blindly by external examiners for identification we rely on the random assignment of teachers and students to classes in primary schools our results suggest that assignment to a teacher with a greater bias in favor of girls boys has positive effects on girls boys achievements such gender biases have also positive impact on girls boys enrollment in advanced level math courses in high school these results suggest that teachers biased behavior at early stages of schooling has long run implications for occupational choices and earnings at adulthood because enrollment in advanced courses in math and science in high school is a prerequisite for post secondary schooling in engineering computer science and so on

how accurate are surveyed preferences for public policies evidence from a unique institutional setup opinion polls and other surveys are used to capture public sentiments on a variety of issues if citizens are unwilling to reveal certain policy preferences to others surveys may fail to characterize population preferences accurately the innovation of this paper is to use unique data to measure survey biases for a broad range of policies i combine data on 184 referenda held in switzerland between 1987 and 2007 with postballot surveys that ask how the citizens voted for each proposal the dierence between stated preferences in the survey and revealed preferences at the ballot box provides a direct measure of survey bias i nd that these biases vary by policy areas with the largest occurring in

comparative advantage information and the allocation of workers to tasks evidence from an agricultural labour market we use data from an agricultural labour market in which workers receive both time and piece rate wages and shift frequently among employers and tasks to assess the roles of comparative advantage information problems and preferences in determining the allocation of workers the estimates which impose minimal structure not implied by economic theory are consistent with a one factor productivity model and indicate that information asymmetries are present but workers are sorted according to comparative advantage in particular the disproportionate presence of female workers in weeding activities is due not to worker or employer preferences but to comparative advantage and statistical discrimination

from extreme to mainstream the erosion of social norms social norms usually persistent can change quickly when new public information arrives such as a surprising election outcome people may become more inclined to express views or take actions previously perceived as stigmatized and may judge others less negatively for doing so we examine this possibility using two experiments we first show via revealed preference experiments that donald trump s rise in popularity and eventual victory increased individuals willingness to publicly express xenophobic views we then show that individuals are sanctioned less negatively if they publicly expressed a xenophobic view in an environment where that view is more popular

dynamics and stability of constitutions coalitions and clubs a central feature of dynamic collective decision making is that the rules that govern the procedures for future decision making and the distribution of political power across players are determined by current decisions for example current constitutional change must take into account how the new constitution may pave the way for further changes in laws and regulations we develop a general framework for the analysis of this class of dynamic problems under relatively natural acyclicity assumptions we provide a complete characterization of dynamically stable states as functions of the initial state and determine conditions for their uniqueness we show how this framework can be applied in political economy coalition formation and the analysis of the dynamics of clubs the explicit characterization we provide highlights two intuitive features of dynamic collective decision making 1 a social arrangement is made stable by the instability of alternative arrangements that are preferred by sufficiently many members of the society 2 efficiency enhancing changes are often resisted because of further social changes that they will engender

electoral competition under the threat of political unrest this paper examines how voting and the outcomesof majority rule elections are affected by factors beyond the control of the winning party we present a model that helps to predict how threats against the electoral process ineuence 1 platform choice by political parties 2 which party wins the election and 3 the policy outcomes enally implemented in a democracy where the majority winner sets policy dissatiseed groups including groups outside the electoral process may still be able to interfere with that policy a losing party may organize a coup voters may riot unions may go on strike investors may take their capital abroad terrorists and foreign powers may threaten disruption and loss of life foreign powers may withdraw aid or even impose a trade embargo we analyze the effect of these nonelectoral factors on electoral outcomes we consider a majority rule electoral competition between two political parties with ideal policies lying to either side of the median voter s ideal policy we allow for only a one dimensional policy space but the disruption possibility leads to a twodimensional outcome space as evident in the examples given above the actors threaten

do credit constraints always impede innovation empirical evidence from vietnamese smes intrigued by literature findings that credit constrained firms are less likely to be innovative and bearing in mind that the evidence has so far largely been from developed economies this study ve

gender differences in land inheritance schooling and lifetime income evidence from the rural philippines this article examines the difference in lifetime incomes arising from parental preferences in the allocation of land inheritance and investments in schooling between sons and daughters in the rural philippines sons are preferred with respect to land inheritance receiving 0 15 additional hectares of land while daughters are treated more favourably in schooling investments receiving 1 5 more years of schooling however differences in both current and life cycle incomes between sons and daughters are insignificant this suggests that filipino parents allocate intergenerational transfers to equalise incomes among their children without sacrificing efficiency

concentration trends and profitability in the us manufacturing sector 1970 84 it has been suggested that the us economy is becoming more concentrated and less competitive concentration is also claimed to affect the return and risk of companies in this paper using the entropy technique the concentration index for the manufacturing sector of the us economy has been computed and the concentration trend has been analysed furthermore the impact of concentration on return and risk of manufacturing companies is investigated

the political economy of indirect control this paper characterizes the efficient sequential equilibrium when a government uses indirect control to exert its authority we develop a dynamic principal agent model in which a principal a government delegates the prevention of a disturbance such as riots protests terrorism crime or tax evasion to an agent who has an advantage in accomplishing this task our setting is a standard dynamic principal agent model with two additional features first the principal is allowed to exert direct control by intervening with an endogenously determined intensity of force which is costly to both players second the principal suffers from limited commitment using recursive methods we derive a fully analytical characterization of the likelihood intensity and duration of intervention the first main insight from our model is that repeated and costly interventions are a feature of the efficient equilibrium this is because they serve as a punishment to induce the agent into desired behavior the second main insight is a detailed analysis of a fundamental tradeoff between the intensity and duration of intervention which is driven by the principal s inability to commit finally we derive sharp predictions regarding the impact of various factors on likelihood intensity and duration of intervention we discuss these results in the context of some historical episodes

acting wife marriage market incentives and labor market investments do single women avoid career enhancing actions because these actions signal undesirable traits like ambition to the marriage market while married and unmarried female mba students perform similarly when their performance is unobserved by classmates on exams and problem sets unmarried women have lower participation grades in a field experiment single female students reported lower desired salaries and willingness to travel and work long hours on a real stakes placement questionnaire when they expected their classmates to see their preferences other groups responses were unaffected by peer observability a second experiment indicates the effects are driven by observability by single male peers