green in the heart or greens in the wallet the spatial uptake of small scale renewable technologies the introduction of a feed in tariff fit support mechanism has spurred development of small scale domestic renewable electricity generation throughout great britain gb however the spatial pattern of uptake has been been uneven suggesting that local as well as between neighbourhood factors may be at important as well as confirming that local socio economic factors including wealth housing type and population density are found to be important in explaining uptake of this policy local green attitudes measured in three different ways are shown not to be important existing local technical expertise proxied for using data on small scale renewable electricity devices in each area prior to the introduction of fit is an important factor in explaining subsequent adoption critically we also find that there are spatial i e between neighbourhood processes explaining the uptake of these technologies taken together our results suggest that as currently designed fit policy may be regressive in income and could exacerbate spatial economic in equalities

revised feed in tariff for solar photovoltaic in the united kingdom a cloudy future ahead abstract the united kingdom uk started implementing a national feed in tariff fit mechanism on the 1 april 2010 which included specific payment tariffs for solar photovoltaic pv installations however a revised fit rate has been put in place starting from 1 april 2012 applicable to any installations with an eligibility date of on or after 3 march 2012 this paper presents first an overview of solar pv installation in the uk this followed by a general concept of the fit in the uk before analyzing the financial impact of the new fit rate on the consumers similar financial analysis is conducted with selected countries in europe the financial analysis investigates the total profit the average rate of return and the payback period it is found that the new fit rate generates very low profit minimum rate of return and a longer payback period suggesting a downward trend of solar pv uptake in the future

regional distribution of photovoltaic deployment in the uk and its determinants a spatial econometric approach abstract photovoltaic pv panels offer significant potential for contributing to the uk s energy policy goals relating to decarbonisation of the energy system security of supply and affordability the substantive drop in the cost of panels since 2007 coupled with the introduction of the feed in tariff fit scheme in 2010 has resulted in a rapid increase in installation of pv panels in the uk from 26 5mwp in 2009 to over 5gw by the end of 2014 yet there has been no comprehensive analysis of the determinants of pv deployment in the uk this paper addresses this gap by employing spatial econometrics methods to a recently available data set at a fine geographical detail following a traditional regression analysis a general to specific approach has been adopted where spatial variations in the relationships have been examined utilising the spatial durbin model using the cross sectional data relating to the uk nuts level 3 data empirical results indicate that demand for electricity population density pollution levels education level of households and housing types are among the factors that affect pv uptake in a region moreover lagrange multiplier test results indicate that the spatial durbin model may be properly applied to describe the pv uptake relationship in the uk as there are significant regional spillover effects

competitive auction mechanisms for the promotion renewable energy technologies the case of the 50 mw photovoltaics projects in cyprus abstract there are a range of policy frameworks and support mechanisms to promote the penetration of renewable energy technologies into the energy mix assembled by the governments and regulatory bodies around the world the three dominant and most common support schemes that have also been implemented within the eu and proven successful in the past include the competitive auctions the feed in tariff scheme fit and tradable green certificates tgcs this study reviews the use of the competitive auction mechanism for the promotion of power generation from renewable energy technologies the process of the specific policy instrument as well as its pros and cons are introduced successful and failed case studies from countries that have already incorporated this mechanism into their renewable energy technologies development policies are also presented among these cases is the cyprus auction procurement for the licensing of 50 mw of photovoltaic power plants conducted in january 2013 which is thoroughly elaborated in this paper the timeline of the bids is presented and the auction winner strategy is tracked and examined a discussion is also presented on the feasibility of the awarded projects eventually the entire auction procurement procedure is evaluated to expose the defects of the mechanism and to offer some recommendations for the viability of the process

the monetary approach to analysing floating exchange rate behaviour in developing countries evidence from sub saharan african countries 1986 1992 abstract the study tests the monetary approach to floating exchange rate analysis with monthly data for five sub saharan african countries over the 1986 1992 period the results are in strong support of the approach

is renewable heat incentive the future this paper focuses on the renewable heat incentive rhi scheme in the united kingdom uk and in particular on its implications in relation to solar thermal systems stss first a short review on the uk s energy demand is provided then an overview of the past and present activities related to sts installations is discussed covering regulation policies and programmes research and development expenditures and implementations a financial analysis is presented afterwards analysing the rhi scheme in terms of total profit payback period and average annual return on investment this is based on installations of different sizes and at various levels of solar insolation the analysis also presents the reduction of carbon dioxide emissions that could be achieved by installing an sts from the financial analysis it is found that the rhi scheme could generate a good total profit a high average annual return on the investment and an acceptable payback period depending on locations as a result it could increase the penetration of solar thermal systems in the uk significant reductions of carbon dioxide emission can also be achieved by installing an sts on a building

the doping effect of italian feed in tariffs on the pv market abstract in less than six years italy has become one of the leading markets for pv power plants and one of the countries in the world with the largest number of installations and installed peak power such a quick and large growth is due to a series of feed in tariff schemes that have been uncapped until 2012 as a matter of fact any size or any number of pv power plants could be installed during a period of three years since the feed in tariffs are not paid by national taxes but are charged on the electricity bills italian energy users are now due to pay each year a surcharge of 9 billion euros on their energy bills this paper aims at discussing this development by highlighting the benefits but also some significant drawbacks that the application of uncontrolled feed in tariffs has produced

inflation real returns and capital investment we find evidence for the hypothesis of mundell 1963 and tobin 1965 that the expected real return component of interest rates is negatively related to the expected inflation component in the mundell tobin model the variation in expected real returns is caused by the variation in expected inflation our evidence suggests however that the variation in expected real returns is more fundamentally an outcome of the capital expenditures process equilibrium expected real returns vary directly with capital expenditures in order to induce equilibrium allocations of resources between consumption and investment this positive relation between expected real returns and real activity which comes out of the real sector combines with a negative relation between expected inflation and real activity which is traced to the monetary sector thus inducing the negative relation between expected inflation and expected real returns predicted by mundell and tobin but explained in terms of a model much different from theirs

integration of renewable energy sources in southeast europe a review of incentive mechanisms and feasibility of investments abstract incentivizing development and deployment of renewable energy sources res but also other low carbon technologies lct has been a successful way of promoting new technologies by creating a feasible investment case and making them competitive with traditional energy sources although different incentive mechanisms exist feed in tariffs have shown to be the best model for accelerating lct development guaranteeing producers preferential prices for the produced electricity over a period of time and enabling them access to the power network to sell inject produced electricity due to these benefits feed in tariff models are the most common model for stimulating res integration in southeast europe the paper reviews the current state of preferential tariffs for res in countries of southeast europe while some countries already have significant installed res capacity others are still in the planning stage the review shows that the amount of installed capacity of a specific technology has a strong impact on the support for the future projects for same technology this comprehensive review of legislative development supporting res as well as technologies preferred in different countries of the region is supported with feasibility assessment of investing in res using the example of two different technology projects wind and photovoltaic analysing the impact of the current tariffs on the return on investment for each country of the region

the economics of distributed energy generation a literature review the uk electricity system is likely to face dramatic technical and institutional changes in the near future current uk energy policy focuses on the need for a clean affordable and secure energy supply decentralisation of the electricity system is recognised as one means of achieving efficient and renewable energy provision as well as addressing concerns over ageing electricity infrastructure and capacity constraints in this paper we provide a critical literature review of the economics of increased penetration of distributed energy generation we find that there exists a large volume of research considering the financial viability of individual distributed generation technologies and we are necessarily selective in our review of these studies given the wide variety of technologies that the definition of distributed generation encompasses however there are few studies that focus on the pure economics of individual or groups of distributed energy generators and even fewer still based on the economy wide aspects of distributed generation in view of this gap in the literature we provide suggestions for future research which are likely to be necessary in order adequately to inform public policy on distributed generation and its role in the future of uk energy supply

on the characterisation of the world real interest rate this paper characterises the world real interest rate as a common trend in real interest rates in germany japan and the united states even if there is scepticism in the existence of the world real interest in theoretical terms real interest parity is based on the presumed validity of uncovered interest parity and purchasing power parity but the empirical evidence of these parity conditions is not strong and thus the presence of the world real interest rate the significance of this paper is therefore to visualise the current level of international economic integration by characterising the approximate world real interest rate as a single common trend taking full advantage of the fact that real interest rates in three large open economies have been moving together sharing a common component even if their levels are distinctively different this single common trend has desirable properties as the world real interest rate first it is a parsimonious and monotonically increasing function of the real interest rates in three large open economies that can be world price or interest rate maker in contrast with small open economies second it is moving together with national real interest rates one for one hence the deviations from the world rate are temporary because common trend represents the common driving force of national rates over the long run period third it can explain as high a proportion as possible of the variances of national rates

nonstationarity of regressors and tests on real interest rate behavior this article reexamines tests on the behavior of real interest rates in light of recent results that indicate that regressors are nonstationary and not strictly exogenous strong rejections of constancy of real interest rates that have been found previously in the literature are confirmed here although there is some evidence here that real rates are negatively correlated with expected inflation this result is not as strong as has been indicated by previous research in addition results that found a significant negative correlation between real rates and nominal rates before 1979 are not supported here although there is evidence for a positive correlation of real and nominal interest rates after 1979

the large scale solar feed in tariff reverse auction in the australian capital territory australia abstract feed in tariffs fits offer renewable energy developers significant investor certainty but sometimes at the cost of being misaligned with generation costs reverse fit auctions where the fit rights for a predetermined capacity are auctioned can overcome this problem but can be plagued by non delivery risks particularly of competitively priced proposals in 2012 and 2013 the australian capital territory act government in australia conducted a fit reverse auction for 40 mw of large scale solar generating capacity the first such auction undertaken in the country the auction was highly competitive in relation to price and demonstrating low delivery risks proposal capital costs particularly engineering procurement and construction costs as well as internal rates of return were lower than expected the auction process revealed limited land availability for large scale solar developments in the act as well as a significant perceived sovereign risk issue the auction process was designed to mitigate non delivery risk by requiring proposals to be pre qualified on the basis of delivery risk before considering fit pricing the scheme is likely to be used by the act government to support further large scale renewable energy development as part of its greenhouse gas reduction strategy which is underpinned by a 90 per cent by 2020 renewable energy target

inflation and real interest rates on assets with different risk characteristics given the importance of ex ante real interest rates to economic decision making it is no surprise that much empirical research focuses on them 1 several recent studies find that the ex ante real returns for short term u s treasury securities are not constant and are negatively correlated both with inflation and with nominal interest rates this paper examines the extent to which these findings hold for assets of longer maturity are robust with respect to the choice of price index and are stable over time we expand the set of assets studied to include those of longer maturity both publicly and privately issued for two reasons first their ex ante real returns may differ substantially from that of a short term nominally riskless security second because longer maturity assets have risk characteristics closer to capital their ex ante real returns are potentially more relevant for investment and savings decisions we explore the use of various price indices because the index used in most studies the consumer price index severely overstates inflation during the 1970s as a result of its inappropriate treatment of residential housing costs 2 this overstatement casts doubt on an important finding of previous studies that there are long stretches of time during the 1970s when ex ante real rates are significantly negative given the existence of holding costs for the goods relevant to most price indices and the absence of a riskless real return no arbitrage conditions are violated by a negative ex ante real rate however its persistence is problematical because asset holders are typically assumed to have a positive rate of time preference which ensures a positive ex ante real rate in the long run we find that before 1979 a negative relationship of ex ante real rates both with inflation and with nominal interest rates appears for the longer maturity assets as well as the short term nominally riskless asset indeed the relationship grows

understanding real interest rates this paper outlines an approach to measuring real interest rates and testing hypotheses on their behavior it then describes what we know about real interest rates in the aggregate economy and provides estimates of real interest rates for the agricultural sector the evidence presented in this paper indicates that real interest rates for the agricultural economy have been extremely high in the l98ds and that their behavior seems to be linked to that found for real rates in the aggregate economy what has been the source of these high real rates the answer seems to be that it was a result of a concerted effort by the monetary authorities to disinflate the economy however the brunt of the fed s disinflationary policy has fallen more heavily on the farm sector which has had to face far higher reel rates than the rest of the economy although breaking the back of inflation was certainly a worthy goal for the fed farmers have had to pay a heavy price they have had to suffer for the sins of an economy that was excessively inflationary which then had to be brought back into line with disinflationary policy this abstract was borrowed from another version of this item

the potentials of a reverse auction in allocating subsidies for cost effective roof top photovoltaic system deployment abstract photovoltaic pv has developed to one of the most promising technologies for renewable electricity generation the austrian government currently provides subsidies for roof top pv systems through a constant administratively determined feed in tariff or an investment co funding in both subsidy schemes applications are approved on a first come first served basis there are concerns about i the selection of suitable roofs for pv systems and ii allocating subsidies among applicants to deploy roof top pv systems cost effectively thus we analyze the potentials of a simple discriminative first price reverse auction application scheme applicants define individually the required level of subsidy and those with the lowest request for subsidies are selected in an ex post analysis we evaluate the potentials of such a scheme in increasing power output and saving public spending for the federal state of vorarlberg in austria results indicate a potential increase of cumulated produced electricity between 15 and 18 in comparison to the current policy in addition a reverse auction based system would lead to savings of public spending per kwh between 20 and 41

optimal feed in tariff for solar photovoltaic power generation in china a real options analysis abstract the feed in tariff policy is widely used to promote the development of renewable energy china also adopts feed in tariff policy to attract greater investment in solar photovoltaic power generation this study employs real options method to assess the optimal levels of feed in tariffs in 30 provinces of china the uncertainties in co 2 price and investment cost are considered a method that integrates the backward dynamic programming algorithm and least squares monte carlo method is used to solve the model the results demonstrate that the feed in tariffs of 30 provinces range from 0 68 rmb kwh to 1 71 rmb kwh and the average level is 1 01 rmb kwh on this basis we find that the levels of sub regional feed in tariff announced in 2013 are no longer appropriate and should be adjusted as soon as possible we have also identified the implications of technological progress and carbon emission trading schemes as well as the importance of strengthening electricity transmission it has been suggested that the chinese government takes diverse measures including increasing research and development investment establishing and improving a nationwide carbon emission trading scheme and accelerating the construction of electricity transmission infrastructure to reduce the required feed in tariff and promote the development of solar photovoltaic power generation

socially just support mechanisms for the promotion of renewable energy sources in greece abstract although development of renewable energy sources res projects is essential for the greek national economy to revive cut downs of public spends in greece may equally well extend to affect res support mechanisms in this context an integrated cost benefit analysis is currently undertaken concerning res investments in the greek electricity sector more specifically social support compared with financial benefits accruing from such energy stations reveals hidden imbalances that urge for the reform of the current support status examination of representative case studies currently provided considers the three most widespread res i e wind energy hydropower and solar energy with special emphasis given on the determination of break even feed in tariffs fits and the comparison of life cycle electricity production cost between res and conventional power stations

the behavior of u s short term interest rates since october 1979 short term interest rates in the united states have been too high since october 1979 in the sense that both unconditional and conditional forecasts based on an estimated vector autoregression model summarizing the prior experience under predict short term interest rates during this period although a non structural model cannot directly answer the question of why this has been so comparisons of alternative conditional forecasts point to the post october 1979 relationship between the growth of real income and the growth of real money balances as closely connected to the level and pattern of short term interestrates this finding is consistent with the authors earlier conclusion based on analysis of a small structural macroeconometric model that the high average level of interest rates has been due to a combination of slow growth of nominal money supply and continuing price inflation which together have kept real balances small in relation to prevailing levels of economic activity this abstract was borrowed from another version of this item

what does the term structure tell us about future inflation abstract this empirical analysis indicates that for maturities of six months or less the term structure of nominal interest rates provides almost no information about the future path of inflation but does provide information about the term structure of real interest rates however as maturities lengthen to nine and twelve months the nominal term structure begins to contain information about future inflation but ceases to provide information about the real term structure these results are explained by differences in the relative variability of expected future inflation changes and real term structure slopes at different points in the term structure