exploring the antecedents of logistics social responsibility a focus on chinese firms fundamental research funds for the central universities 2010221025 2011221016 national natural science foundation of china 70802052 academic outstanding youthful research talent plan of fujian province ja10001s national research foundation for doctoral program of higher education of china 20100121120013 national ministry of education of china humanities and social science 10yjc630010 ncet 10 0712

the real effects of financial integration abstract this paper shows how correlations in gdp fluctuations rise with financial integration finance serves to increase international correlations in both consumption and gdp fluctuations which explains the persistent gap between the two in the data a quantity puzzle the positive association between financial integration and gdp correlation constitutes a puzzle as theory suggests a negative relation if anything nevertheless it prevails in the data even after the effects of finance on trade and specialization are accounted for

international financial integration and crisis contagion international financial integration helps to diversify risk but also may spread crises across countries we provide a quantitative analysis of this trade off in a two country general equilibrium model with collateral constrained borrowing using a global solution method borrowing constraints bind occasionally depending upon the state of the economy and levels of inherited debt we examine different degrees of international financial integration moving from financial autarky to bond and equity market integration financial integration leads to a significant increase in global leverage substantially escalates the probability of crises for any one country and dramatically increases the degree of contagion across countries outside of crises the impact of financial integration on macroeconomic aggregates is relatively small but the impact of a crisis with integrated international financial markets is much less severe than that under financial market autarky thus a trade off emerges between the probability of crises and the severity of crises using a large cross country database of financial crises in developing and developed economies over a forty year period we find evidence in support of the model

political and institutional checks on corruption explaining the performance of brazilian audit institutions this article investigates the performance determinants of accountability institutions in new democracies current scholarship on accountability has identified a distinct mechanism through which the introduction of political competition may affect such institutions the electoral connection or vertical accountability mechanism this connection is not expected to be effective in new democracies because political competition is found to be volatile and nonprogrammatic another strand of the literature focuses on the effect of power alternation government turnover is expected to generate incentives for the creation and strengthening of autonomous institutions by exploring a unique data set on 33 state audit institutions the authors bring together these distinct claims and provide systematic empirical tests for them they find a negative effect of volatility on their institutional activism and a positive direct and indirect influence of power alternation on their levels of autonomy and sanctioning patterns

separation of powers and political accountability political constitutions are incomplete contracts and therefore leave room for abuse of power in democracies elections are the primary mechanism for disciplining public officials but they are not sufficient separation of powers between executive and legislative bodies also helps to prevent the abuse of power but only with appropriate checks and balances checks and balances work by creating a conflict of interest between the executive and the legislature yet requiring both bodies to agree on public policy in this way the two bodies discipline each other to the voters advantage under appropriate checks and balances separation of powers also helps the voters elicit information

optimal monetary policy exchange rate misalignments and incomplete financial markets abstract recent literature shows that when international financial trade is restricted to autarky or a single bond there are internal and external welfare trade offs that imply optimal monetary policy in principle deviates from inflation targeting in order to offset real exchange rate misalignments this paper develops a more realistic model of incomplete markets where there is international trade in multiple assets the analysis shows that the presence of multiple assets creates a potentially powerful interaction between monetary policy and household portfolio allocation this interaction is by definition not present when there is financial autarky or a single tradeable bond and this paper shows that the interaction with portfolio allocation can imply that optimal monetary policy generates a quantitatively much more significant stabilisation of the real exchange rate gap than implied by simpler models of financial market incompleteness

a dual liquidity model for emerging markets the last few years have seen a significant re evaluation of the models used to analyze crises in emerging markets recent models typically stress financial constraints or distorted financial incentives while this certainly represents progress these models share a weakness with the earlier work neither is uniquely about emerging markets adaptations of the mundell fleming model represent argentina as a belgium with larger external shocks likewise emerging market models of financial constraints are adaptations of developed economy ones with tighter financial constraints in our work we have advocated a model which distinguishes between the financial constraints affecting borrowing and lending among agents within an emerging economy and those affecting borrowing from foreign lenders this dual liquidity model offers a parsimonious description of the behavior of firms governments and asset prices during financial crises it also provides prescriptions for optimal policy responses to these crises

credit constraints and the international propagation of us financial shocks abstract this paper investigates whether credit constraints in the us economy amplify the international propagation of us financial shocks we model the dynamics of the us economy jointly with global macroeconomic and financial variables using a threshold vector autoregression this model captures regime specific dynamics conditional on the severity of credit constraints in the us economy we identify three main episodes of tight credit in us financial history over the past thirty years these occur in the late 1980s in the early 2000s and during the 2007 09 financial crisis we find that us financial shocks are associated with a significant contraction in global economic activity in times of tight credit by contrast there is little impact of us financial shocks on the global economy in normal times this asymmetry highlights an international dimension of the us financial accelerator mechanism

ethics on the web applying moral decision making to the new media this paper examines the advent of the web as a critical media tool in the promotion and sale of goods to consumers and the ethical questions it raises that are issues of public policy we examine four traditional ethical rationales that guide organizational decision making utilitarianism distributive justice moral rights of man and relativism further characterized as ends based equity based rules based and comparison based rationales and we apply them to four moral dilemmas attributed to the proliferation of dot com companies as they relate to consumer welfare we find that ethical rationale in the new media is largely non existent and where it exists it is primarily reactive and driven by utilitarian or relativistic reasoning we attribute this condition to the newness of the industry and to its economic context representing as it does many characteristics embodied in the concept of the perfect market we offer some remedies to improve ethical conduct by e business

evaluating international financial integration in a center periphery economy abstract does opening up capital markets facilitate risk diversification across borders are all countries gradually better off in the process of international financial integration this paper explores welfare implications for various countries in a center periphery framework with endogenous portfolio choice financial integration is divided into four stages financial autarky two country integration center periphery integration and global integration two effects from financial integration emerge diversification effects and financial terms of trade effects results show that financial integration between the center and a new periphery in center periphery integration generates welfare losses for the peripheral country already integrated and welfare gains for the central country allowing for financial integration between peripheries in global integration leads the welfare in the center to deteriorate from two country integration directly to global integration the large country gains while the small one loses

asset pledgeability and international transmission of financial shocks abstract this paper studies the international transmission of pledgeability shocks as the recent crisis involved a negative shock to the pledgeability of assets the paper develops a two country portfolio model with leveraged investors that incorporates this type of shock and a solution approach for the corresponding portfolio choice problem this approach captures the effect of pledgeability on asset risk premiums the paper finds that the equilibrium portfolios play a heightened role as transmission channels moreover by complementing the effect of productivity shocks under borrowing constraints the pledgeability shocks improve the fit of an otherwise standard international macroeconomic model for the g7 countries especially during crises

the role of portfolio constraints in the international propagation of shocks we study the comovement among stock prices and exchange rates in a three good three country centre periphery dynamic equilibrium model in which the centre s agents face portfolio constraints we characterize equilibrium in closed form for a broad class of portfolio constraints solving for stock prices terms of trade and portfolio holdings we show that portfolio constraints generate wealth transfers between the periphery countries and the centre which increase the comovement of the stock prices across the periphery we associate this excess comovement caused by portfolio constraints with the phenomenon known as contagion the model generates predictions consistent with other important empirical results such as amplification and flight to quality effects copyright 2008 wiley blackwell

misrepresentation and expectations of misrepresentation in an ethical dilemma the role of incentives and temptation an investigation of ethical decision making in a negotiation context revealed that focal actors incentives influenced not only their misrepresentation but also their expectations of their opponen

ethical spillovers in firms evidence from vehicle emissions testing in this paper we explore how organizations influence the unethical behavior of their employees using a unique data set of over three million vehicle emissions tests we find strong evidence of ethical spillovers from firms to individuals when inspectors work across different organizations they adjust the rate at which they pass vehicles to the norms of those with whom they work these spillovers are strongest at large facilities and corporate chains and weakest for the large volume inspectors these results are consistent with the economics literature on productivity spillovers from organizations and peers and suggest that managers can influence the ethics of employee behavior through both formal norms and incentives the results also suggest that employees have persistent ethics that limit the magnitude of this influence these results imply that if ethical conformity is important to the financial and legal health of the organization managers must be vigilant in their hiring training and monitoring to ensure that employee behavior is consistent with firm objectives

quantitative implications of a debt deflation theory of sudden stops and asset prices abstract this paper shows that the quantitative predictions of an equilibrium asset pricing model with financial frictions are consistent with key features of the sudden stop phenomenon foreign traders incur costs in trading assets with domestic agents and a collateral constraint limits external debt to a fraction of the market value of domestic equity holdings when this constraint does not bind standard productivity shocks cause typical real business cycle effects when it binds the same shocks cause strikingly different effects depending on the leverage ratio and asset market liquidity with high leverage and a liquid market the shocks force fire sales of assets and fisher s debt deflation mechanism amplifies the responses of asset prices consumption and the current account precautionary saving makes these sudden stops infrequent in the long run

global banks financial shocks and international business cycles evidence from an estimated model this paper estimates a two country model with a global bank using us and euro area ea data and bayesian methods the estimated model matches key us and ea business cycle statistics empirically a model version with a bank capital requirement outperforms a structure without such a constraint a loan loss originating in one country triggers a global output reduction banking shocks matter more for ea macro variables than for us real activity during the great recession 2007 09 banking shocks accounted for about 20 of the fall in us and ea gdp and for more than half of the fall in ea investment and employment

international business cycles with endogenous incomplete markets backus kehoe and kydland 1992 baxter and crucini 1995 and stockman and tesar 1995 find two major discrepancies between standard international business cycle models with complete markets and the data in the models cross country correlations are much higher for consumption than for output while in the data the opposite is true and cross country correlations of employment and investment are negative while in the data they are positive this paper introduces a friction into a standard model that helps resolve these anomalies the friction is that international loans are imperfectly enforceable any country can renege on its debts and suffer the consequences for future borrowing to solve for equilibrium in this economy with endogenous incomplete markets the methods of marcet and marimon 1999 are extended incorporating the friction helps resolve the anomalies more than does exogenously restricting the assets that can be traded

house prices borrowing constraints and monetary policy in the business cycle i develop a general equilibrium model with sticky prices credit constraints nominal loans and asset prices changes in asset prices modify agents borrowing capacity through collateral value changes in nominal prices affect real repayments through debt deflation monetary policy shocks move asset and nominal prices in the same direction and are amplified and propagated over time the financial accelerator is not constant across shocks nominal debt stabilises supply shocks making the economy less volatile when the central bank controls the interest rate i discuss the role of equity debt indexation and household and firm leverage in the propagation mechanism finally i find that monetary policy should not target asset prices as a means of reducing output and inflation volatility

lying to level the playing field why people may dishonestly help or hurt others to create equity unethical and dishonest behavior has increasingly attracted the attention of scholars from various disciplines recent work has begun to focus on a previous overlooked factor predicting dishonest behavior the beneficiary or victim of dishonest acts in two laboratory experiments we manipulate the level of resources allocated to our participants their wealth and investigate whether perceived inequity from wealth that is randomly or subjectively assigned leads individuals to cross ethical boundaries through helping or hurting others the results show that dishonest behavior is influenced by positive and negative inequity that motivates helping and hurting acts furthermore a third experiment shows that people tend to discount the wrongness of crossing ethical boundaries to hurt or help others when the action restores equity

home bias in open economy financial macroeconomics standard theory would predict that investors hold a well diversified portfolio of equities across the world but despite the process of financial globalization investors still hold a disproportionate share of local equities in their portfolio the equity home bias french and poterba 1991 we review the various explanations of this puzzling phenomenon in the context of recent developments in macroeconomic modelling that have allowed to incorporate sophisticated international portfolio choices in standard two country general equilibrium models we refer to this literature as open economy financial macroeconomics we focus on three broad classes of explanations i hedging motives in frictionless financial markets real exchange rate and non tradable income risk ii asset trade costs in international financial markets such as transaction costs differences in tax treatments between national and foreign assets iii informational frictions and behavioural biases these recent developments raise the need for new portfolio facts beyond the equity home bias and we will present some new evidence on cross border asset holdings across different types of assets equities bonds and bank lending we also present some new micro data on institutional holdings of equity at the fund level these data should inform macroeconomic modelling of the open economy and a growing literature of models of delegated investment

how do us credit supply shocks propagate internationally a gvar approach abstract we study how us credit supply shocks are transmitted to other economies we use the recently developed gvar approach to model financial variables jointly with macroeconomic variables in 33 countries for the period 1983 2009 we experiment with inter country links based on bilateral trade portfolio investment foreign direct investment and banking exposures capturing both bilateral trade and financial exposures in a gvar fits the data better than using trade weights only we use sign restrictions on the short run impulse responses in the us model to identify the credit supply shocks we find that negative credit supply shocks have strong negative effects on us and foreign gdp credit and equity markets in several countries respond clearly to the shocks exchange rate responses are consistent with a flight to quality to the us dollar the credit supply shocks explain about a fifth of one year ahead output forecast error variance in the us and about a tenth in the euro area and the uk but considerably less elsewhere

financial globalization and real regionalization over the period 1972 1986 the correlations of gdp employment and investment between the united states and an aggregate of europe canada and japan were respectively 0 76 0 66 and 0 63 for the period 1986 to 2000 the same correlations were much lower 0 26 0 03 and 0 07 real regionalization at the same time u s international asset trade has significantly increased for example between 1972 and 1999 united states gross fdi and equity assets in the same group of countries rose from 4 to 23 percent of the u s capital stock financial globalization we argue that these two trends are intimately related we document that the correlation of real shocks between the u s and the rest of the world has declined we then present a model in which international financial market integration occurs endogenously in response to less correlated shocks financial integration further reduces the international correlations in gdp and factor supplies we find that both less correlated shocks and endogenous financial market development are needed to account for all the changes in the international business cycle

the influence of retail management s use of social power on corporate ethical values employee commitment and performance recent cases in retailing reflect that ethics have a major impact on brands and performance in turn demonstrating that brand owners employees and consumers focus on ethical values in this study we analyze how various sources of social power affect corporate ethical values retailer s commitment to the retail organization and ultimately sales and service quality multi source data based on a sample of 225 retailers indicated a strong link between power ethics and commitment and that these affected output performance

evaluating international financial integration under leverage constraints abstract the global financial crisis has undermined many economists views about the benefits of open financial markets anecdotal evidence seems to indicate that financial linkages may propagate shocks during crises this paper develops a simple two country model in which financial liberalisation across countries takes place in the presence of credit market distortions within countries countries may be subject to macro risk coming from productivity shocks and direct shocks to the credit system financial shocks three different degrees of financial linkages between countries are examined it is shown that the type of financial integration is critical for both macroeconomic outcomes and welfare in particular financial integration in bond markets alone may increase aggregate consumption volatility and reduce welfare financial integration in both bond and equity markets generates high positive co movement across countries but is welfare improving

when do governments improve fiscal institutions lessons from financial crisis and fiscal reform in latin america do crises really lead to more institutional reforms this paper explores the connection between financial crises and one type of reform frequently advocated during the recent global financial crisis namely fiscal institutional reforms some authors expect that crises lead to reforms but we demonstrate that the relationship is not so straightforward using a data set of latin american countries that experienced several crises and also several periods of reform in the period from 1990 to 2005 we find that the type of crisis and its duration matter we argue that reforms are less likely during a banking crisis whereas fiscal crises are most likely to lead to fiscal reforms this means that the type of economic crisis is important for explaining the likelihood of reforms we explore other possible explanations for reform such as the partisanship of the president and whether a country is under an imf program and do not find confirming evidence for alternative explanations

international capital flows abstract the surge in international asset trade since the early 1990s has lead to renewed interest in models with international portfolio choice we develop the implications of portfolio choice for both gross and net international capital flows in the context of a simple two country dynamic stochastic general equilibrium dsge model we focus on the time variation in portfolio allocation following shocks and resulting capital flows endogenous time variation in expected returns and risk which are the key determinants of portfolio choice affect capital flows in often subtle ways the model is consistent with a broad range of empirical evidence an additional contribution of the paper is to overcome the technical difficulty of solving dsge models with portfolio choice by developing a broadly applicable solution method

budget institutions and political insulation why states adopt the item veto abstract forty three of the fifty states of the united states have granted item veto authority to their governors as part of state constitutions in this paper i test explanations of why and when a legislature would cede institutional power using data from 1865 to 1994 i show that these measures are most likely proposed by fiscal conservatives who fear the loss of power in the future in order to protect their interests for those periods when they will be in the minority they implement institutions such as the item veto which will limit future liberal legislatures the results therefore shed light on two important substantive areas first by showing how the choice of budgetary institutions is endogenous to the political process it clarifies that political factors must be considered in addition to social efficiency to understand the adoption of budget institutions second it provides evidence in support of theories that have posited that electorally weak groups will heavily insulate policies in periods in which they momentarily hold power e g moe 1989 de figueiredo 2002

the changing international transmission of financial shocks evidence from a classical time varying favar we study the changing international transmission of financial shocks over the period 1971 2012 global financial shocks are measured as unexpected changes of a u s financial conditions index fci developed by hatzius et al 2010 we model the fci jointly with a large international data set through a time varying parameter factor augmented var and find that financial shocks have a considerable impact on growth in the nine countries considered moreover financial shocks during the global financial crisis are found to be large by historical standards they explain approximately 20 of gdp growth variation on average over 2008 9 compared to an average of 5 prior to the crisis

global banks and crisis transmission abstract we study the effect of financial integration through banks on the transmission of international business cycles in a sample of 18 20 developed countries between 1978 and 2009 we find that in periods without financial crises increases in bilateral banking linkages are associated with more divergent output cycles this relation is significantly weaker during financial turmoil periods suggesting that financial crises induce co movement among more financially integrated countries we also show that countries with stronger direct and indirect financial ties to the u s experienced more synchronized cycles with the u s during the recent 2007 2009 crisis we then interpret these findings using a simple general equilibrium model of international business cycles with banks and shocks to banking activity the model suggests that the relation between integration and synchronization depends on the type of shocks hitting the world economy and that shocks to global banks played an important role in triggering and spreading the 2007 2009 crisis

the synchronization of credit cycles abstract this paper proposes a simple econometric procedure to test for the synchronization of credit cycles using a century of data for 14 advanced economies we find that credit cycle synchronization dropped in the early 1920s from initially relatively high levels between the 1920s and the 1970s synchronization was overall low and concentrated within five predominantly regional clusters however synchronization has significantly increased in the post bretton woods era and has become less associated with geographic proximity australia denmark france italy japan norway spain switzerland the uk and the us form a single major credit cycle cluster since the 1970s a smaller cluster is formed by canada the netherlands and sweden while the german credit cycle follows a distinct path using logistic regressions we find that the synchronization of credit and business cycles go hand in hand our findings are especially relevant for the international coordination of macroprudential policy as well as to spur and inform further analysis on credit cycle dynamics

margin based asset pricing and deviations from the law of one price in a model with heterogeneous risk aversion agents facing margin constraints we show how securities required returns increase in both their betas and their margin requirements negative shocks to fundamentals make margin constraints bind lowering risk free rates and raising sharpe ratios of risky securities especially for high margin securities such a funding liquidity crisis gives rise to bases that is price gaps between securities with identical cash flows but different margins in the time series bases depend on the shadow cost of capital which can be captured through the interest rate spread between collateralized and uncollateralized loans and in the cross section they depend on relative margins we test the model empirically using the credit default swap bond bases and other deviations from the law of one price and use it to evaluate central banks lending facilities jel g01 g12 g13 e44 e50 the paramount role of funding constraints becomes particularly salient during liquidity crises with the one that started in 2007 being an excellent case in point banks unable to fund their operations closed down and the funding problems spread to other investors such as hedge funds that relied on bank funding therefore traditional liquidity providers became forced sellers interest rate spreads increased dramatically treasury rates dropped sharply and central banks stretched their balance sheets to facilitate funding these funding problems had significant asset pricing effects the most extreme example being the failure of the law of one price loop securities with nearly

competitive bluffing an examination of a common practice and its relationship with performance bluffing a common and consequential form of competitive behavior has been comparably ignored in the management literature even though misleading one s rivals is suggested to be an advantageous skill in a multifaceted and highly competitive environment to address this deficiency and advance scholarship on competitive dynamics our study investigates the moral reasoning behind competitive bluffing and using a simulated market entry game examines the performance effects of bluffing findings suggest that decision makers views on the ethicality of bluffing competitors differ from their beliefs on the ethicality of misleading other organizational stakeholders analysis also indicates that decision makers who view competitor bluffing as more ethical less unethical are more willing to engage in competitive bluffing finally while bluffing is often thought to be an effective business practice results show that in the context of repeated interaction bluffing is not conducive to high levels of performance and in fact can have undesirable consequences

country portfolios in open economy macro models this paper develops a simple approximation method for computing equilibrium portfolios in dynamic general equilibrium open economy macro models the method is widely applicable simple to implement and gives analytical solutions for equilibrium portfolio positions in any combination or types of asset it can be used in models with any number of assets whether markets are complete or incomplete and can be applied to stochastic dynamic general equilibrium models of any dimension so long as the model is amenable to a solution using standard approximation methods we first illustrate the approach using a simple two asset endowment economy model and then show how the results extend to the case of any number of assets and general economic structure

can politicians police themselves natural experimental evidence from brazil s audit courts to enhance government accountability reformers have advocated strengthening institutions of horizontal accountability particularly auditing institutions that can punish lawbreaking elected offi

the shortage of safe assets in the us investment portfolio some international evidence this paper develops a bayesian global var gvar model to track the international transmission dynamics of two stylized shocks namely a supply and demand shock to us based safe assets our main findings can be summarized as follows first we find that positive supply sided shocks lead to pronounced increases in economic activity which spills over to foreign countries the impact of supply sided shocks can also be seen for other quantities of interest most notably equity prices and exchange rates in europe second a demand sided shock leads to an appreciation of the us dollar and generally lower yields on us securities forcing investors to shift their portfolios towards foreign fixed income securities this yields sizable positive effects on us output equity prices and a general decrease in financial market volatility

international real business cycles we ask whether a two country real business cycle model can account simultaneously for domestic and international aspects of business cycles with this question in mind we document a number of discrepancies between theory and data the most striking discrepancy concerns the correlations of consumption and output across countries in the data outputs are generally more highly correlated across countries than consumptions in the model we see the opposite

banking competition collateral constraints and optimal monetary policy we analyze optimal monetary policy in a model with two distinct financial frictions monopolistically competitive banks that charge endogenous lending spreads and collateral constraints we show that welfare maximization is equivalent to stabilization of four goals inflation output gap the consumption gap between borrowers and savers and a housing gap that measures the distortion in the distribution of the collateralizable asset between both groups collateral constraints create a trade off between stabilization goals following both productivity and financial shocks and relative to strict inflation targeting the optimal policy implies sharper movements in the policy rate aimed primarily at reducing fluctuations in asset prices and hence in borrowers net worth the policy trade offs become amplified as banking competition increases due to the fall in lending spreads and the resulting increase in borrowers leverage

valuation effects and the dynamics of net external assets abstract valuation effects can imply that the traditional current account is an inaccurate measure of the change in the net foreign asset nfa position this paper uses new developments in the analysis of portfolio choice in general equilibrium to investigate valuation effects in a two country model broadly speaking the valuation effects in the model correspond to those observed in the data but there is a key distinction between unanticipated and anticipated valuation effects unanticipated effects can be large dominating the movement in nfa but anticipated effects arise only at higher orders of approximation and are small for reasonable parameterizations