pressure groups and public expenditures the flypaper effect reconsidered a model of government budgeting is developed in which lobbying by interest groups can divert the allocation of funds away from the one preferred by the median voter the model is applied to state and local governments to show that the flypaper effect the tendency for lump sum grants to increase public expenditures by more than an equivalent increase in the community s pretax income can be explained without the customary assumption of voter fiscal illusion furthermore the model predicts variation in the extent of the flypaper effect among expenditure categories as found in previous empirical studies

why and how fdi stocks are a biased measure of mne affiliate activity many international business ib studies have used foreign direct investment fdi stocks to measure the aggregate value adding activity of multinational enterprises mne affiliates in host countries we argue that fdi stocks are a biased measure of that activity because the degree to which they overestimate or underestimate affiliate activity varies systematically with host country characteristics first most fdi into countries that serve as tax havens generate no actual productive activity thus fdi stocks in such countries overestimate affiliate activity second fdi stocks do not include locally raised external funds funds widely used in countries with well developed financial markets or volatile exchange rates resulting in an underestimation of affiliate activity in such countries finally the extent to which fdi translates into affiliate activity increases with affiliate labor productivity so in countries where labor is more productive fdi stocks also result in an underestimation of affiliate activity we test these hypotheses by first regressing affiliate value added and affiliate sales on fdi stocks to calculate a country specific mismatch and then by regressing this mismatch on a host country s tax haven status level of financial market development exchange rate volatility and affiliate labor productivity all hypotheses are supported implying that fdi stocks are a biased measure of mne affiliate activity and hence that the results of fdi data based studies of such activity need to be reconsidered

on decomposing the wage gap a critical comment on blinder s method many studies have found that the impact of schooling on earnings is greater for females than for males despite the fact that females tend to earn less both absolutely and controlling for personal characteristics this study investigates possible

the flypaper effect and the deadweight loss from taxation abstract the difference in the effects on public expenditure by local governments of consumer s incomes and intergovernmental grants is shown to be consistent with the maximization of a representative consumer s utility by a local government increasing marginal deadweight loss of taxation accounts for the result explanations of the flypaper effect do not therefore require models of strategic bureaucratic behavior or voter misperceptions

unsticking the flypaper effect in an uncertain world abstract we provide a novel explanation for the flypaper effect based on insurance arguments in our model the flypaper effect arises due to the differential response of precautionary savings to private income or fiscal transfers shocks in an uncertain world with incomplete markets the model generates two testable implications i the flypaper effect is a decreasing function of the correlation between fiscal transfers and private income and ii such relationship is stronger the higher is the volatility of fiscal transfers and or private income an empirical analysis of argentinean provinces for the period 1963 2006 finds strong support for the model s implications

the flypaper effect what happens to a state s spending when it receives an unconditional grant from the federal government the standard theoretical analysis predicts that the increase in spending will be the same as that generated by an equivalent increase in local incomes or roughly 5 10 percent for most states in contrast numerous empirical analyses have found that spending increases by much more with some estimates near 100 percent this result is known as the flypaper effect since the money appears to stick where it hits the authors review this evidence as well as other studies that find similar behavior in firms

why do part time workers earn less the role of worker and job skills part time workers receive considerably lower hourly earnings than do full time workers using current population survey earnings files for september 1995 through december 2002 the author finds that measurable worker and job characteristics including occupational skill requirements account for much of the part time penalty longitudinal analysis of the data indicates that much of the remaining gap reflects worker heterogeneity evidenced by small wage gains and losses among workers switching between part time and full time jobs the lower skills of part time than full time workers result primarily from limited work experience and accumulation of human capital little evidence can be found of a large wage gap between part time and full time women a part time wage penalty is found for men but men account for less than one third of total part time employment

a predictive index for the flypaper effect abstract it is well established that lump sum public grants boost local government spending more than an equivalent increase in private income the flypaper effect one shortcoming of the related literature is that it presumes all communities have an identical propensity to consume from an intergovernmental grant this paper is one attempt to allow for a heterogeneous response the working conjecture is that government expenditure on administrative overhead is a gauge of voter control over fiscal decisions high overhead spending implies a lower provision of public services and a stronger role for revenue maximizing forces in the budget setting process as such the flypaper effect should be more marked in high overhead communities an overhead index is applied to a sample of pennsylvania communities in the philadelphia metropolitan area it is difficult to understand these governments spending propensities from various windfall revenues without the help of the overhead index supportive evidence for this approach because overhead data is widely available the technique here can be used to address important policy questions such as predicting variations in state government responses to the recently created lump sum welfare grants

did the tax revolt reduce school performance abstract this paper uses detailed school level data from 49 states to analyze the effects of tax revolt era property tax limitations on school services i find that limitations are associated with larger student teacher ratios and lower cost of living adjusted starting teacher salaries all else equal these results are robust to modelling the results as endogenous and using a variety of measures for whether the limitation binds at particular schools however i find no such evidence that schools subject to limitations have reduced their administrative costs furthermore i find that limitations are associated with lower student performance on mathematics science social studies and reading examinations all else equal

economic reforms fdi and economic growth in india a sector level analysis summary booming foreign direct investment fdi in post reform india is widely believed to promote economic growth we assess this proposition by subjecting industry specific fdi and output data to granger causality tests within a panel cointegration framework it turns out that the growth effects of fdi vary widely across sectors fdi stocks and output are mutually reinforcing in the manufacturing sector whereas any causal relationship is absent in the primary sector most strikingly we find only transitory effects of fdi on output in the services sector however fdi in the services sector appears to have promoted growth in the manufacturing sector through cross sector spillovers

budget spillovers and fiscal policy interdependence evidence from the states abstract this paper formalizes and tests the notion that states expenditures depend on the spending of similarly situated states we find that even after allowing for fixed state effects year effects and common random shocks among neighbors a state government s level of per capita expenditure is positively and significantly affected by the expenditure levels of its neighbors ceteris paribus a one dollar increase in a state s neighbors expenditures increases its own expenditure by over 70 cents

does foreign aid promote the expansion of government building on the literature on public finance i seek to advance our understanding of variations in government size by exploring the impact of official development assistance on fiscal policy i hypothesize that foreign aid operates in accordance with the flypaper effect systematically generating incentives and opportunities for the expansion of government spending results from a time series cross sectional regression analysis of growth in government spending over the 1970 99 time period are consistent with the hypothesis for middle and lower income nations aid represents an important determinant of government expansion looking at the tax and revenue side of the equation however reveals a more perverse pattern of response aid promotes not only increased spending but also reduced revenue generation the results have important implications from both a theoretical and policy perspective inter alia they point to the potentially self defeating nature of efforts to promote market oriented programs of state retrenchment via development assistance as well as to the importance of incorporating international transfers into future research on government spending

tied wage hours offers and the endogeneity of wages in the standard model of labor supply each worker is a price taker where the relevant price is an hourly wage rate which is fixed in the short run and which does not depend upon the number of hours supplied with this basic assumption the wage can be regarded as exogenous for the purpose of estimating a labor supply function this paper proposes and implements a pair of tests for the exogeneity of wages in a longitudinal labor supply model and for the particular failure of exogeneity associated with jobs that offer wage hour packages the first test is very simple it amounts to a test of whether hours granger cause wages at the individual level the second test involves a simultaneous estimation of labor supply and wage offer equations both tests indicate that the offered wage is related to hours worked though the offer locus is for this sample very flat the principal conclusion is that labor supply equations cannot properly be estimated in isolation from the process generating wages even when long time series are available on a sample of individuals this abstract was borrowed from another version of this item

working part time by choice or by constraint the selection of workers into part time jobs and the wages they earn are analysed using the 1989 labour market activity survey we focus on the distinction between voluntary and involuntary part time workers since involuntary part time workers earn substantially lower wages than other workers we find that the selection of individuals into involuntary part time work is more closely tied to job characteristics than personal or human capital characteristics the lower wage earned by involuntary part time workers is largely due to differences in returns and selection effects rather than differences in endowments

union wage differentials in the public and private sectors a simultaneous equations specification the paper attempts to integrate new approaches to estimating union wage effects with the analysis of public private sector wage differentials estimates of the union differential in both public and private sectors allowing for the endogeneity of union status are presented the hypothesis that the recently measured rents to public sector employment primarily reflect the recent increase in unionization in that sector is examined and receives considerable empirical support there was evidence of positive selection into the union sector especially for private sector workers union status appears to be strongly influenced by the expected wage gain from joining the union sector

married women in part time employment this research deals with three aspects of the part time employment pattern of working wives 1 the wives characteristics 2 the level and structure of their earnings in part time jobs and 3 the duration of their employment when part time jobs are available to them this study improves upon previous research by using multivariate analysis to determine if the variation in the incidence of part time work consistently found in other studies persists when earnings potential fertility family income and other factors that may vary by age or race are held constant it differs further by including a data source that contains direct measures of market wages and experience for a large sample of married working women the authors find that husband s income family size and the wife s health race and previous work experience are among the variables that influence the probability that the wife works part time they also find that the level of wages and returns to some investments in human capital are rela

the liberalization of retail services in india summary despite the recent controversy about opening up the distribution sector to foreign retailers there is political will that remains in favor of pushing through reforms in india in this paper we quantify the economic impact of the removal of barriers to foreign investment in multi brand retailing on different stakeholders using a newly developed general equilibrium model the model accounts explicitly for both foreign direct investment and the activities of foreign affiliates using heterogeneous production technologies we find that the unilateral reduction of barriers to fdi in distribution services in india benefits the economy as a whole consumers and foreign producers but hurts domestic distributors nevertheless when we consider the associated productivity improvements documented in the literature to downstream and upstream industries we find that domestic producers are expected to benefit from the liberalization of the distribution sector as well

impacts of supermarkets on farm household nutrition in kenya summary many developing countries experience a food system transformation with a rapid growth of supermarkets we analyze impacts of supermarkets on farm household nutrition with survey data from kenya participation in supermarket channels is associated with significantly higher calorie vitamin a iron and zinc consumption we use simultaneous equation models to analyze impact pathways supermarket supplying households have higher incomes a higher share of land under vegetables and a higher likelihood of male control of revenues furthermore income and the share of land under vegetables have positive impacts while male control of revenues has negative impacts on dietary quality policy and further research implications are discussed

a selectivity model of employer size wage differentials this article investigates wage differentials for employees of different size firms utilizing an econometric methodology that allows the size of employer to be treated as endogenous in the context of discrete ordered employer size data as a result we are able to estimate i employer size wage gaps which are corrected for selectivity bias and ii the magnitude and direction of the selection bias decompositions of the resulting wage differentials are computed with comparisons of the conditional on sorting across employer size and unconditional wage gaps

female labor supply with a discontinuous nonconvex budget constraint incorporation of a part time full time wage differential this paper incorporates the well documented part time full time wage differential into an empirical labor supply model with both a heterogeneity and a random error term and estimates that model fo

the power to tax analytical foundations of a fiscal constitution preface 1 taxation in constitutional perspective 2 natural government a model of leviathan 3 constraints on base and rate structure 4 the taxation of commodities 5 taxation through time income taxes capital taxes and public debt 6 money creation and taxation 7 the disposition of public revenues 8 the domain of politics 9 open economy federalism and taxing authority 10 toward authentic tax reform prospects and prescriptions epilogue notes selected bibliography index

asymmetric information and agenda control the bases of monopoly power in public spending abstract a pervasive empirical finding widely known as the flypaper effect is that lump sum intergovernmental grants generate considerably greater public spending by the recipient jurisdiction than would be predicted by equivalent shifts in personal income in that jurisdiction moreover such observations are inconsistent with standard median voter models of the political process we posit a model in which it is in the interest of suppliers of a collectively provided good not to generate full information to voters about outside aid the empirical results are consistent with flypaper and suggest that voters are very poorly informed about outside grants

the effect of part time work on wages evidence from the social security rules this article identifies the part time wage effect using hours variation caused by the social security rules we show that work hours and wages drop sharply at ages 62 and 65 we argue that the hours decline causes the wage decline resulting in a 25 wage penalty for men who cut their work week from 40 to 20 hours however we find little evidence for such an effect among women we also show that models that fail to account for the joint determination of hours and wages will understate the labor supply response to a tax change by about 26

foreign direct investment in india s retail bazaar opportunities and challenges despite encouraging signs india s retail market remains largely off limits to large international retailers like wal mart and carrefour opposition to liberalising foreign direct investment in this sector raises concerns about employment losses unfair competition resulting in large scale exit of incumbent domestic retailers and infant industry arguments to protect the organised domestic retail sector that is at a nascent stage based on international evidence we suggest that allowing entry by large international retailers into the indian market may help tackle inflation especially in food prices moreover technical know how from foreign firms such as warehousing technologies and distribution systems can improve supply chain efficiency in india in particular for agricultural produce better linkages between demand and supply have the potential to improve the price signals that farmers receive and also serve to enhance agricultural and other exports

a test of dual labor market theory despite substantial differences in their views of the appropriate policy response to the existence of poverty neither the proponents of dual market theory nor its critics have proposed potentially conclusive tests of the dual market hypothesis this paper presents a test of the two central propositions of dual market theory 1 the existence of two distinct labor markets with different wage setting mechanisms and 2 the existence of barriers to mobility between the labor markets we find considerable support for both hypothesis estimation of a switching model of wage determination with unknown regimes yields two distinct wage equations the one which most workers are associated with closely resembles the standard human capital regression with significant returns to education and experience the other equation is flat with no returns to human capital these two equations resemble the predictions of dual market theory for the primary and secondary markets respectively further we present evidence that at least some non white workers are involuntarily confined to the secondary market this crowding of minority workers into the low wage labor market accounts for a substantial portion of white non white wage differences we interpret these results as providing empirical support for the dual market hypothesis and for recent theoretical work on efficiency wagemodels in addition combining the efficiency wage argument with the observation that much of the white non white wage difference is explained by the exclusion of non whites from the primary sector suggests an explanation for the persistance of wage differences this abstract was borrowed from another version of this item

does foreign direct investment promote growth exploring the role of financial markets on linkages abstract do multinational companies generate positive externalities for the host country the evidence so far is mixed varying from beneficial to detrimental effects of foreign direct investment fdi on growth with many studies that find no effect in order to provide an explanation for this empirical ambiguity we formalize a mechanism that emphasizes the role of local financial markets in enabling fdi to promote growth through backward linkages using realistic parameter values we quantify the response of growth to fdi and show that an increase in the share of fdi leads to higher additional growth in financially developed economies relative to financially under developed ones

labor market discrimination against hispanic and black men h ispanic american men have lower average wage rates than white non hispanics in 1975 the average white non hispanic male wage earner in the united states earned 5 97 an hour mexican men earned 4 31 72 as much as white non hispanics puerto rican men earned 4 52 76 as much and cuban men earned 5 33 89 as much as white non hispanics by way of comparison black men s average wages in 1975 were 4 65 78 of the white male wage several possible reasons for the hispanics lower wages come to mind among them are age and education geographic location immigration language difficulties and discrimination for example as shown in table 1 mexicans and puerto ricans are younger on average than the white non hispanic population and earnings tend to rise with age hispanics have lower average levels of education than white non hispanics and wages are positively associated with education many mexican americans live in the southwest where prices are relatively low moreover hispanics are more likely to be recent immigrants and to lack fluency in english than white non hispanics and so to be at a disadvantage in the labor market in addition there is a widespread belief that hispanics suffer from employment discrimination and cannot obtain the wages that their human capital would command if they were non hispanic whites how much of the wage differentials described above are due to each of these factors and to other inter group differences in wage related characteristics in particular how much impact does labor market discrimination have on the average hispanic man s wage and how does this compare with discrimination against blacks this paper provides answers to these questions a few other efforts have been made to analyze the relative earnings of hispanic and white nonhispanic men using 1960 and 1970 census data fogel 1966 poston and alvirez 1973 poston alvirez and tienda 1976 long 1977 and gwartney and long 1978 we use more recent data from the 1976 survey of income and education this data set enables us to measure wage rates more accurately and to specify the wage function more completely than does the census unlike previous analysts in estimating the wage function we take account of possible selectivity bias due to the distinction between average wage offers and average observed wages thus we hope to obtain a more accurate and up to date measure of labor market discrimination against hispanic men section ii explains the method used to separate the minority white non hispanic wage differential into the portions due to differences in average characteristics and the portion due to differences in unobserved factors and discrimination taking into account the possibility of selectivity bias in the observed wage sample section iii describes the data used in the study and the specification of the wage equation the breakdown of the observed wage differentials into components due to differences in participation in the wage and salary sector local price levels average characteristics and discrimination are presented in section iv section v summarizes our findings and discusses their implications for efforts to improve the economic situation of hispanics in the united states

the definition of part time employment a switching regression model with unknown sample selection rejecting the standard less than thirty five hours per week categorization of part time workers this paper offers an empirically justified definition of the part time employed the definition is based on the distinction through wage payments that employers make between a high hours full time and a low hours part time group of workers a switching regression model of wage equations with deterministic but unknown sample selection is estimated resulting in a significant split between high hours and low hours workers that is higher than the standard definition wage differentials are calculated and decomposed and estimates from the structural choice model are presented copyright 1991 by economics department of the university of pennsylvania and the osaka university institute of social and economic research association

infrequent assessments distort property taxes theory and evidence abstract economists have long recognized that lags in property reassessment benefit infrequent movers because it reduces their property taxes but in addition reassessment lags can influence the level of property taxes selected under majority rule i show that short delays in community wide reassessment increase property tax collections because it reduces the tax price for a majority of voters however longer delays reduce property tax collections because the aggregate assessed base and thus the tax yield declines so much i formally characterize the cutoff between these regimes and show tax collections are generally above their socially optimal level this theory can help explain why many people believe property taxes are excessive and it also suggests that the american system of taxing capital gains at realization rather than on accrual might result in excessive rates i test this theory on a sample of pennsylvania municipalities in the philadelphia suburbs this is a suitable crucible for such an evaluation because community wide reassessments are infrequently performed in pennsylvania it is not possible to reject the theory s basic predictions and numerical estimates suggest that a 5 year delay in community wide reassessment increases government revenues by 6 however reassessment delays do not impose statistically significant social losses because they benefit infrequent movers

government credibility and policy choice evidence from the pennsylvania earned income tax abstract this paper considers the decision of pennsylvania communities whether to levy a 1 wage tax while a simple political economy model suggests this tax should be enacted when many residents are exempted from the tax the opposite pattern seems to hold one explanation is that residents may mistrust their government and fear that the new tax monies will be spent unwisely several implications of this credibility story are consistent with the data and non taxing communities tend to have low credibility as measured by three proxies in addition after controlling for credibility the proportion of exempt residents is positively associated with the probability of enacting the wage tax just as the political economy model suggests

a cge analysis of the impact of foreign direct investment and tariff reform on female and male workers in tanzania summary this study analyzes the impact on female and male workers of tariff reform and the reduction of regulatory barriers faced by domestic and foreign firms operating in business services it develops a data set that distinguishes labor by gender for 52 sectors and four skill categories the model is the first to incorporate modern trade theory to assess its gender implications the dixit stiglitz framework results in productivity gains which increase remunerations across all worker categories however this is less beneficial for women because the less skilled workers and the ones that are less involved in business services gain less

on the decomposition of wage differentials the often used method for decomposing wage differentials into human capital and discrimination components is reformulated so that both t he disadvantage or cost discrimination it imposes on a black or minority wage earner and the advantage or benefit it bestows on a white or majority wage earner can be estimated copyright 1988 by mit press

the elusive flypaper effect abstract the flypaper effect is the common empirical result that lump sum intergovernmental grants stimulate more local government spending than increases in private income which are theoretically equivalent in this paper four of the best known explanations of the flypaper effect are tested using data from michigan school districts none of these explanations are confirmed by the data the cause of the flypaper effect is likely to be much more deeply rooted in the nature of local decision making than is currently recognized