spatial search migration and regional unemployment the dominant explanation of spatial unemployment in the literature assumes that workers must live in an area in order to be able to access job offers this gives rise to compensating variations in local wages and unemployment however for many occupations search is clearly conducted over longer distances from a home base in the model presented in this paper migration and unemployment are analysed both when the optimal search field is local as in the traditional model and when search is conducted over longer distances i compare equilibria in these two regimes and discuss the implications for regional policy

north american migration returns to skill border effects and mobility costs utilizing a utility maximizing roy type discrete choice model of worker location in canadian provinces and u s states that incorporates returns to skill amenities fixed costs distance langua

a gravity model analysis of international migration to north america this study examines the influence of political economic and demographic factors on the size and composition of migration flows to north america a modified gravity model is specified and adjusted to include immigration regulations and characteristics specific to the origin and destination countries for empirical test of the model the time period of study is from 1976 1986 and 70 countries are covered for a total of 1540 observations of migration flows to canada and the usa the results reveal that the population of origin countries and the income of destination countries are two major determinants of migration to north america high population areas of asia and latin america provided a large share of the immigrants domestic restrictions on political and civil freedom in origin countries are found to significantly impair migration to north america

migration regional equilibrium and the estimation of compensating differentials in this study we have developed an improved model of net migration that encompasses both equilibrium and disequilibrium components instrumental variables fixed effects estimates of the model with time series data for 51 areas in the united states over the period 1971 1988 support the importance of both equilibrium and disequilibrium factors in migration excerpt

compensating differentials in emerging labor and housing markets estimates of quality of life in russian cities abstract the purpose of this paper is to see if an equilibrium model of compensating differences for amenities can be applied to a major transition economy russia we analyze russian labor and housing markets using data from the russian longitudinal monitoring survey rlms augmented by city and regional specific characteristics from other sources our estimated wage and housing value equations suggest that workers are compensated for differences in climate environmental conditions ethnic conflicts crime rates and health conditions after controlling for worker characteristics occupation industry and economic conditions and various housing characteristics we find evidence that these compensating differentials exist even after controlling for the regional pay differences regional coefficients used by the russian government to compensate public sector workers for living in regions that are designated as less desirable quality of life as measured by a group of eleven amenities varies substantially the highest ranked cities tend to be in relatively warm areas and areas in the western european part of the country our quality of life index is positively correlated with net migration into a region suggesting workers are attracted to amenity rich locations overall we find that a model of compensating differentials with controls for disequilibrium yields useful information about compensation for location specific amenities and quality of life in this large transition economy

downsizing and worker separations modelling the regional economic impacts of alternative department of energy workforce adjustment policies lewis d frisch m and greenberg m 2004 downsizing and worker separations modelling the regional economic impacts of alternative department of energy workforce adjustment policies reg studies 38 67 83 fifty years of huge investments by the us department of energy doe in some regions has resulted in the doe being the de facto steward of their regional economic health with the end of the cold war job reductions of doe contractor workforce have severely impacted these regions doe worker separation policies may cushion or intensify these impacts using an economic simulation model we examined the impacts of three different worker separation policies the painful response no severance packages the current response the current average of doe separation packages and the supportive response more lucrative severance and continued medical coverage the analysis is split on two regional axes 1 more rural doe regions as in the area surrounding the savannah river site srs near august

economic effects of immigrants on native and foreign born workers complementarity substitutability and other channels of influence the authors use standard metropolitan statistical area smsa data constructed from 1980 census microdata files and other sources to estimate a structural model of native foreign born labor demand and labor supply which distinguishes the effects upon real wages of each type of labor and on the employment of natives the authors specify econometrically estimate and simulate the structural model which incorporates not only a production structure channel through which immigrants influence area real wages and employment but also demand and native labor supply channels it is noted that while these are not the only channels through which immigrants may affect native workers the model nonetheless constitutes a step in the direction of a general equilibrium approach in the production structure channel immigrants and natives are found to be substitutes in production immigration lowers foreign born wage rates and leads to lower wages for natives the negative effects of the production channel usually are ameliorated through the demand channel further immigrants add to local demand through their earnings and potentially through non labor income while also lowering unit costs and local prices which enhances real incomes and potentially net exports and thus the demands for local output and area labor the author discusses findings of interest from the simulation results based upon an analysis of all areas

energy efficiency rebound effects and the environmental kuznets curve technological change is one factor used to justify the existence of an environmental kuznets curve and technological improvements have been argued to be a key factor in mitigating the impacts of economic growth on environmental quality in this paper we use a cge model of the scottish economy to consider the factors influencing the impacts of one form of technological change improvements in energy efficiency on absolute levels of co2 emissions on the carbon intensity of the economy co2 emissions relative to real gdp and the per capita ekc relationship these factors include the elasticity of substitution between energy and non energy inputs responses in the labour market and the structure of the economy our results demonstrate the key role played by the general equilibrium price elasticity of demand for energy and the relative influence of different factors on this parameter

scotland the grey a linked demographic computable general equilibrium cge analysis of the impact of population ageing and decline lisenkova k mcgregor p g pappas n swales j k turner k and wright r e scotland the grey a linked demographic computable general equilibrium cge analysis of the impact of population ageing and decline regional studies this paper links a multi period economic computable general equilibrium cge modelling framework with a demographic model to analyse the economic impact on scotland of its projected ageing and declining population the model quantifies the effect on aggregate economic variables such as gross domestic product gdp employment and competitiveness and also on individual sectors with the principal demographic projections the fall in population and particularly working age population has a depressing impact on economic activity by changing the demographic parameters the impact of increasing net migration a policy actively being pursued by the scottish government is tracked however the required size of the annual net migration needed to neutralize the adverse natural

voting with your feet and the quality of life index abstract this paper develops a new technique that uses the utility maximizing migration decisions of rational voters consumers to construct qol rankings we apply our technique to canadian inter provincial migration data for 1970 1990

do institutions really matter taxation in industrialized democracies new institutionalism has emerged as one of the most prominent research agendas in the field of comparative politics political economy and public policy this article examines the role of institutional variation in political economic regimes in shaping tax burdens in industrialized democracies an institutionalist model for tax policy variation is tested across the organization for economic cooperation and development oecd democracies countries are conceptualized and statistically modeled in terms of majoritarian shifting coalition and dominant coalition governments regression analysis and cluster analysis are used to statistically model crossnational tax burdens relative to the strength of labor organization and party dominance in parliament this study finds that political and economic institutions are important in explaining tax policy variation specifying the structure of political and economic institutions helps to explain the size of the state in modern capitalist democracies this article specifies and demonstrates which institutions matter and how much they matter

wages rents and the quality of life this study focuses on the role of wages and rents in allocating workers to locations with various quantities of amenities the theory demonstrates that if the amenity is also productive then the sign of the wage gradient is unclear while the rent gradient is positive the theory is extended to include the housing market and nontraded goods these extensions require little modification of the conclusion the empirical work on wages shows that the regional wage differences can be explained largely by these local attributes with the use of site price data implicit prices are estimated and quality of life rankings for the cities are computed

multimarket amenity compensation and the behavior of the elderly recent studies have argued that compensation for amenities occurs in general in both labor and land markets see glenn c blomquist mark c berger and john p hoehn 1988 hereafter bbh as well as sherwin rosen 1979 donald r haurin 1980 and jennifer roback 1982 1988 if this is true desirable locations would be characterized ceteris paribus by some mix of higher rents and lower wages due to the influx of people demanding the consumption amenities this seemingly obvious point has important implications household valuations of location fixed amenities are systematically understated by studies that consider only the wage or rent compensation separately for example access to the central business district is valued in urban economics through the rent gradient yet highaccess cities will have lower overall wages than low access cities similarly wage studies valuing such amenities across labor markets understate the value of amenities by ignoring any rent compensation those authoring such single market studies have at least implicitly justified the approach with the notion that one first selects a labor market area finds a job then at a second stage chooses a location in that labor market finds a house such behavior is only rational under quite restrictive assumptions since one would not generally select a labor market independently of residence traits and housing costs and vice versa the multimarket amenity compensation hypothesis that amenities are priced in both land and labor markets has been assumed on theoretical grounds by various researchers interested in constructing quality of life indexes notably bbh and roback 1982 here we offer a test of the hypothesis relying on much of bbh s county data and results the test is of considerable interest in its own right as it yields several implications about the behavior and wellbeing of the retired these implications stem directly from the exit of the retired from the labor force the data employed and the nature of an appropriate test are discussed in section i which also presents the empirical results these results strongly support the contention that amenities are capitalized in both land and labor markets section ii concludes the note and presents some policy implications

net migration and state labor market dynamics existing empirical estimates of net migration models are not identified because they lack an explicit measure of expected future conditions i find that using actual one period ahead net migration at the state level to control for expectations reduces the strength of the relationship between current wages and net migration by more than one third i use the case of michigan to show how existing empirical models mischaracterize the response of migration to shocks that are expected to be transitory i add migration to a labor market model and simulate responses to permanent and transitory demand shocks

estimating preferences for local public services using migration data using swedish micro data the paper examines the impact of local public services on community choice the choice of community is modelled as a choice between a discrete set of alternatives it is found that given taxes high spending on child care attracts migrants less conclusive results are obtained with respect to the role of spending on education and elderly care high local taxes deter migrants relaxing the independence of the irrelevant alternatives assumption by estimating a mixed logit model has a significant impact on the results

do increases in energy efficiency improve environmental quality and sustainability governments world wide increasingly see energy efficiency as an important aspect of sustainability however there is a debate in the literature as to whether the impact of improved energy efficiency on reducing energy use might be partially or more than wholly offset through rebound and backfire effects this paper clarifies the theoretical conditions under which such effects would occur and explores their likely significance using a computable general equilibrium cge model of the scottish economy we find that for scotland a general improvement in energy efficiency in the production sectors of the economy initially produces rebound effects that eventually grow into backfire energy use ultimately increases in response to an efficiency gain and the ratio of gdp to co2 emissions falls the economic factors underpinning rebound effects are straightforward energy efficiency improvements result in an effective cut in energy prices which produces output substitution competitiveness and income effects that stimulate energy demands however the presence of strong rebound or even backfire does not mean that efficiency enhancing policies are irrelevant rather it suggests that such policies operating alone are insufficient to generate environmental improvements the implication is that a co ordinated portfolio of energy policies is required

wages rents and amenities differences among workers and regions what explains persistent regional earnings differences this paper argues that regional differences in amenities can account for the wage differences in contrast cost of living variations do not account for wage differences but actually exacerbate them this conclusion results from a model in which variations in rents and wages are equalizing differences for amenity differences empirical results are consistent with the model

economic freedom and migration flows between u s states a modified gravity model is estimated using a cross section of data drawn from the u s census bureau survey of 2000 in order to analyze the impact of economic freedom on gross migration flows among the lower 48 states spatial econometric methods are utilized in order to capture spatial effects not detected by distance in addition the economic freedom of north america index is decomposed to determine the individual impact of various policies results show that states with higher relative economic freedom experience greater migration inflow through its direct impact on income and employment growth in aggregate the findings indicate that individuals migrate toward states with relatively higher government consumption expenditures relatively lower tax burdens and states with more freedom with respect to labor decisions in the form of less restrictive minimum wages less concentration of unions and less dependence on public employment

a unified theory and test of extended immediate deterrence we present a unified theory and test of extended immediate deterrence unified in the sense that we employ our theoretical deterrence model as our statistical model in the empirical analysis the theoretical model is a straightforward formalization of the deterrence logic in huth 1988 and huth and russett 1984 coupled with private information concerning utilities our statistical analysis suggests that the attacker and defender s decisions are influenced by the balance of forces nuclear weapons defender protege military alliances arms transfers and trade as well as the regime types of those involved many of these findings contradict previous research by huth 1988 and huth and russett 1988 we find that many of the variables involved in the deterrence calculus are nonmonotonically linked to the probability of deterrence success or war we illustrate the results with case studies of the soviet japanese dispute over manchukuo 1937 1938 and the berlin blockade 1948

landscape amenities and local development a review of migration regional economic and hedonic pricing studies abstract with rapid urban expansion and loss of open space attractive local landscapes will continue to gain importance in location decisions and on political agendas the present study reviews the evidence on the local economic role of landscape amenities from two major strands of empirical research migration and regional economic models and hedonic pricing models following common amenity definitions we identify 71 relevant peer reviewed studies and systematically assess the reported effects of the landscape amenity variables the migration and regional economic studies suggest that migrants are attracted by amenities nearly as often as by low taxes reported effects of amenities on income and employment are less consistent the hedonic studies suggest that nature reserves and land cover diversity have mostly open space and forest often and agricultural land rarely positive effects on housing prices studies at larger geographic scales and studies involving urban areas were more likely to identify significant amenity effects some limitations of the evidence may be overcome with better datasets and modeling approaches however in line with other recent work the limitations also highlight the need for complementary information from the analysis of political preferences for land use management

has the wage curve nullified the harris todaro model further us evidence abstract economists traditionally believed that regional unemployment rates and wages were positively related this notion has recently been attacked by proponents of the wage curve which suggests the exact opposite this paper attempts to replicate the wage curve using different us data

rural bound determinants of metro to non metro migration in the united states a general global precept is that agglomeration forces lead to migration from rural to urban areas yet for much of the time since the early 1970s more people have moved from metro to nonmetro u s counties the underlying causes of this pattern have changed over time with economic shocks and changing household preferences for instance the post 2000 period has seen a significant decline in domestic migration rates a significant increase in commodity prices that favor rural areas and potential changes in the valuation of natural amenities that would affect migration this article investigates the determinants of u s gross migration from metro to nonmetro counties and nonmetro to metro counties for the 1995 2000 and 2005 2009 periods in order to compare the differences in rural to urban and urban to rural migration as well as compare the 1990s to the 2005 2009 periods more specifically the present study extends the literature by more broadly examining the underlying factors associated with deconcentration and economic restructuring arguments of metro to nonmetro migration the article uses 1 extensive county to county migration flows and 2 the utility maximization theory that extends the framework of a discrete choice model the results show that population density distance to urban areas industry mix employment growth natural amenities and percentage of older people are key factors underlying these migration patterns we also find a slight fading of effects of natural amenities and population density and a slight increase in the effects of wage and employment growth from 2005 2009

the displacement and multiplier effects of regional selective assistance a computable general equilibrium analysis this paper uses a hybrid approach to simulate the effects of regional selective assistance rsa for scotland this combines industrial survey estimation of the direct impacts and computable general equilibrium cge modelling of the system wide effects the results are compared to those derived using the method currently adopted in official evaluation studies of rsa and other regional regeneration policy instruments the cge approach captures capacity labour market displacement and migration effects ignored in existing studies simulation identifies the conditions under which these effects are likely to be quantitatively important a partir d une facon hybride cet article cherche a simuler pour l ecosse l impact des primes regionales une estimation des effets directs a partir d une enquete aupres de l industrie se voit allier a la modelisation des effets generalises par une analyse d equilibre general sur ordinateur on compare les resultats a ceux qui proviennent des methodes employees actuellement

migration and interregional employment redistribution in the united states during the 1970 s the south and west census regions accounted for 89 9 percent of incremental u s population and 72 5 percent of incremental nonagricultural employment these figures are sharply higher than corresponding figures for any other decade in u s history for example during the 1930 s the south and west gained 65 4 percent of incremental national population which was the highest share previously recorded the immediate cause of the interregional population shifts is fairly heavy net out migration from the northeast and north central regions to the south and west combined with birth rates that are near historical low levels interactive relationships that cause employment growth and migration to reinforce one another are probably operating but these relationships are not well understood they are the focus of this paper using a new and unique set of time series data on migration and employment we develop and estimate a time series model of migration and employment growth for each of 171 u s regions our primary emphasis in this paper is on the 57 major metropolitan

going home evacuation migration decisions of hurricane katrina survivors in the wake of hurricane katrina many evacuees from the gulf region began the difficult process of deciding whether to rebuild or restart elsewhere we examine pre katrina gulf residents decision to return to the postdisaster gulf region which we call the return migration decision we estimate two separate return migration models first using data from a mail survey of individuals in the affected region and then focusing on self administered questionnaires of evacuees in houston our results indicate that return migration can be affected by household income age education level and employment marital and home ownership status but the results depend on the population under consideration we find no effect of connection to place on the return migration decision although the effect of income is relatively small within subsamples we find a much higher proportion of middle income households planning to return than lower income households when comparing across the subsamples in addition the real wage differential between home and host region influences the likelihood of return larger implicit costs in terms of foregone wages for returning induce a lower likelihood of return exploiting this difference at the individual level we are able to produce estimates of willingness to pay wtp to return home average wtp to return home for a sample of relatively poor households is estimated at 1 94 per hour or 3954 per year

local amenities and life cycle migration do people move for jobs or fun abstract do households move for jobs or fun and where do they go when they move we address these questions using the 1970 2000 us census based on a panel of quality of life and business environment measures households prefer msas in warm coastal areas and non metropolitan locations while firms prefer large growing cities in addition cities with improving business environments acquire increasing shares of workers especially workers with high levels of human capital cities with improving consumer amenities become relatively more populated by retirees further analysis of individual level migration decisions indicates that regardless of marital status young highly educated households tend to move towards places with higher quality business environments this tendency is especially pronounced among highly educated couples who are more subject to job market co location problems in contrast regardless of education couples near retirement tend to move away from places with favorable business environments and towards places with highly valued consumer amenities these patterns help explain why areas unattractive to both households and business have struggled as with upstate new york while the sun belt and other regions are thriving