defending the articles of confederation a reply to dougherty this reply addresses the issues raised bydougherty in response to my 1999 article in this journal ialso develop a new graphical model of the optimal collectionrate under the articles where states made contributions andcontrast it to the revenue potential from direct taxation ibelieve that despite dougherty s criticisms my argumentremains valid while the articles were not perfect in anabsolute sense that when more properly viewed in acomparative manner that the system of state contributions forraising revenue under the articles was and still is superiorto a system of direct federal taxation

the positional power of american labor 1963 1977 this paper extends perrone s conceptualization of positional power of labor and investigates its impact on three labor outcomes we conceptualize positional power as embedded in the structural relations among interconnected spheres of production in the economy we maintain that positional power is a threedimensional construct it entails 1 the ability of workers in a given industry to disrupt operations of other industries upstream in the production process 2 the ability to disrupt operations downstream in the production process and 3 the ability to disrupt production locally within their own industry after developing new measures of these three dimensions from interindustry input output flow matrices we estimate the impact of positional power on three labor outcomes a labor s organizational capacity b labor militancy and c labor s economic standing our findings suggest that positional power positively influences all three of these dimensions we discuss the significance of these results for future research

reverse revenue sharing a modest proposal while no claim is made that reverse revenue sharing is even from a private interest perspective the best fiscal arrangement it has been argued that it represents an improvement over current arrangements in important ways still reverse revenue sharing surely will be seen by most as a rather extreme proposal for some this will come from the fact that it is the public interest model of government that remains dominant in structuring their view of the political process but even those who accept the private interest model of government will see the proposal as extreme in terms of its political infeasibility the very considerations that make the decentralization of the reverse revenue proposal desirable i e reducing the power of political interest groups make it unlikely that it will generate enthusiastic political support indeed few things would provide more compelling evidence that reverse revenue sharing is a badly flawed proposal than the formation of an effective coalition of political interests in favor of it i conclude this paper with confidence that the case for reverse revenue sharing is completely safe from this damaging prospect

labor law reform and the role of delay in union organizing empirical evidence from canada this paper examines the determinants and consequences of delay in the union certification process using data from certification applications and unfair labor practice complaints ulps from british columbia 1986 98 and ontario 1993 98 during the period studied there were several changes in delay related laws including laws regulating the presence and stringency of election time limits and the availability of expedited ulp hearings key findings are that ulps against the employer reduced the likelihood of compliance with time limit laws except where expedited ulp hearings also existed employer filed objections to the application reduced the likelihood of compliance and election delay reduced the likelihood of certification success both in policy regimes without time limits and in those where stipulated time limits were frequently breached overall the results suggest that enforced time limits on elections coupled with expedited ulp hearings may substantially mitigate the adverse effects of election delay on certification success

skill biased technological change and rising wage inequality some problems and puzzles the recent rise in wage inequality is usually attributed to skill biased technical change sbtc associated with new computer technologies we review the evidence for this hypothesis focusing on the implications of sbtc for overall wage inequality and for changes in wage differentials between groups a key problem for the sbtc hypothesis is that wage inequality stabilized in the 1990s despite continuing advances in computer technology sbtc also fails to explain the evolution of other dimensions of wage inequality including the gender and racial wage gaps and the age gradient in the return to education

union characteristics and bargaining outcomes this paper investigates the impact of union militancy size centralization and democracy on wages fringe benefits and other bargaining outcomes using data on bargaining outcomes at the bargaining unit level in conjunction with data on comparative union characteristics the authors find strong evidence that union characteristics affect bargaining outcomes determining the exact nature of those effects is complicated by several problems notably the difficulty of distinguishing effects on outcomes from effects on goals the possibility of reverse causality and complex interactions between such organizational characteristics as democracy and centralization the findings do suggest however that organizational complexity reduces union bargaining effectiveness whereas democracy and centralization tend to change the shape of outcomes as opposed to their size

the impact of international outsourcing on unionization and wages evidence from the apparel export sector in central america it is often assumed that manufacturing workers in developing countries as recipients of outsourced jobs would achieve economic benefits and organizational power the author argues that job growth in developing countries through outsourcing to competing firms has often actually resulted in declining unionization and lower wage rates relative to traditional integrated manufacturing firms using time series data on union membership from 1980 2003 for honduras and el salvador as well as 2004 household survey data for el salvador he examines the determinants of unionization rates and wages in the manufacturing sectors he finds that that competitive outsourcing hurts labor at the plant level in three ways 1 it reduces labor s strike leverage by geographically dispersing the production process 2 it increases the threat of plant mobility by decreasing plant level investments and 3 it increases labor costs relative to total costs which creates an incentive for employers to keep wages low and unions out

the determinants of australian trade union membership summary this paper investigates the determinants of trade union membership in australia using the engle and granger 1987 theory of co integrated economic variables applying the theory of co integration yields a model of union membership which can be interpreted as distinguishing between long run and business cycle determinants of union membership the principal long run determinant of union membership is found to be the level of employment disaggregated by industry classification business cycle variables the real wage and the change in unemployment are also shown to influence movements in union density these findings are consistent with recent studies which have attributed the decline in union membership in australia since the early 1980s to the changing composition of employment and movements in the rate of unemployment

evaluating the evidence on union employment and wages using current population survey data for the years 1973 86 this study tests the hypothesis that the steep decline of union employment shares since 1973 is related to increases in union wages relative to nonunion wages the authors show that although the aggregate union wage premium has changed little since 1973 some industry specific premiums have risen substantially and the industries with the rising premiums are those experiencing declines in union employment shares the increase in the premium explains from 21 to 64 of the decline in union shares depending on the equation specification the paper also presents a detailed set of union wage premiums and employment shares for the sample period

the role of the desire for union status in the decision to enter local government job queues the us evidence following a two stage bivariate probit approach this study estimates local government and union job queues in a simultaneous equations framework by relaxing the restrictive assumption of independence between the worker s queuing and the employer s hiring decisions it overcomes a major limitation of most of the earlier job queue estimates the results indicate that the worker s queuing decision for local government jobs in the united states is determined partly by the desire for unionized employment the converse however is not true seniority with the current employer emerges as a significant determinant of both workers queuing and employers hiring decisions furthermore local governments act as model employers by being more likely to hire minorities and females from the pool of job applicants

federal and union job queues further evidence from the us labour market recent research on union differentials suggests that although the premium to unionization is higher in the private sector it can hardly be ignored in the federal sector consequently the nature and length of the federal queue may differ between union and non union sectors similarly the union queue may not necessarily be homogeneous between federal and private sectors we estimate separate queues for federal union federal non union and private union jobs from the same sample this avoids the problem of simultaneity between the federal queue and the union queue in addition it explores several important differences that exist between these queues

general economic conditions and national elections the fact that economic conditions influence voters is a leading commonplace of conversation in election years the question is is this fact in fact a fact despite the overwhelming popularity of the fact it has received neither an explicit theoretical analysis presumably because it is so obvious that economic adversity should create political adversaries nor until recently a satisfactory statistical analysis gerald h kramer has presented a multivariate analysis of congressional elections which would strongly suggest that fluctuations in the rate of unemployment have no appreciable effect upon elections but that fluctuations in per capita real income are influential in the following pages i propose to 1 reaffirm his finding on the electoral unimportance of ordinary fluctuations in unemployment 2 argue that contrary to kramer fluctuations in real income also do not have important electoral effects and 3 present an argument based upon rational voter behavior for the unimportance of general economic conditions in national elections

union organizing costs and benefits this paper examines the costs and benefits to current union members in manufacturing of programs to organize the unorganized the marginal cost of organizing an additional employee in constant dollars is estimated for a sample of unions between 1964 and 1977 the primary benefit of organizing that is quantifiable is the extent to which the maintenance or extension of union coverage permits the maintenance of or increase in the union wage estimates of this benefit are derived from previous econometric research linking the union wage to the percentage of the industry organized this single benefit is found to be larger than the estimated marginal cost of extending union coverage in 19 of 20 manufacturing industries

the effect of the union wage differential on management opposition and union organizing success that large union wage differentials increase organization is incorrect for the united states today it is incorrect because organization is the joint decision of workers and management not a worker s decision while potential wage increases are a plus to workers they reduce profits and thus are a minus to management in an institutional setting in which management allocates significant resources to convince workers to vote against unions it is erroneous to analyze the effect of the union wage differential on organizing solely from the workers side just as it is erroneous to analyze any economic outcome solely in terms of one blade of the market scissors my claim is threefold

political bias in nlrb unfair labor practice decisions previous research has suggested that u s presidents appoint members to the national labor relations board who reflect the administration s own union management predilections no adequate empirical evidence has yet been reported however to show that once appointed board members act in a biased manner the present study develops and tests a choice model of board member decisions in selected unfair labor practice cases over the 1954 77 period the evidence strongly supports the popular belief that board decisions are heavily dependent upon shifting political winds

what happened to long term employment the role of worker power and environmental turbulence in explaining declines in worker tenure recent declines in the average length of time that u s workers spend with a given employer represent an important change in the nature of the employment relationship yet it is one whose causes are poorly understood i explore those causes using current population survey data on the tenure of men aged 30 65 from the years 1979 2008 i argue that long term employment relationships primarily occur when workers pressure employers to close off employment from market competition reducing the attractiveness of external mobility relative to internal opportunities and increasing employment security i then explore how two changes in organizations environments a decline in union strength and increased turbulence from changes in technology and globalization might have affected workers ability to secure such closed employment relationships over the last 30 years my results support the argument that declines in tenure reflect the reduced power of workers to secure closed employment relationships recent declines in tenure have been concentrated in large organizations and many of those declines are explained by controlling for the changing levels of industry unionization i find little evidence that foreign competition or technological change affected mobility the results are robust to measures of changing industry growth rates and within industry reorganization supplementary analyses suggest that layoffs are associated with different industry pressures than tenure and that voluntary mobility may have played an important role in declines in tenure

estimating the effect of change to win on union organizing in a 2005 effort to reinvigorate new member organizing efforts seven unions split from the american federation of labor and congress of industrial organizations afl cio to form a new union feder

the determinants of voting by the national labor relations board on unfair labor practice cases 1955 1975 this study has employed logit analysis in an attempt to determine important variables that influence the voting by the nlrb on unfair labor practice cases pooled regression results on the odds of voting prolabor were reported for the administrations of eisenhower kennedy johnson and nixon and for the entire period 1955 1975 a number of interesting findings are offered in this empirical investigation of the nlrb first it was found that if a board member is reappointed to the board the greater will be the odds that the member will vote prolabor this verifies the speculation that the democrats preferred a solidly prolabor voting board and that the republicans desired a strong prolabor voting minority on the board secondly political variables such as the party of the administration appointing the nlrb member and the member s own political party had an influence on the odds of voting prolabor if the administration in power was democratic or if the board member was a democrat the greater were the odds that the member would vote prolabor even if a member of the board professed to be an independent politically which was the case for two members during the eisenhower administration this variable was found to have a positive effect on prolabor voting for that particular administration and for the entire study period also in the eisenhower and nixon administrations being a former nonmember employee of the nlrb may have had some impact on the voting behavior finally variables for economic conditions in the economy were introduced into the regression equations to test whether or not these variables had any effect on the voting behavior of the nlrb members in almost all of the logit models reported the unemployment rate had an influence on voting by board members the effect was found to be positive in the eisenhower period and negative in the kennedy johnson and nixon periods the effect for the entire period was positive it is suggested that whether or not the influence of the unemployment rate on the voting on unfair labor practice cases was positive or negative depended on how the board perceived the role of organized labor in the tradeoff between inflation and unemployment if the members believe that organized labor s demands for higher wages caused accelerated inflation when the administration in power was simultaneously trying to reduce unemployment then the odds of the member voting prolabor were reduced besides the unemployment rate some other economic condition variables that were found to have a possible effect on nlrb voting during the kennedy johnson administration were real gnp strike days lost and union membership in the united states while admittedly this study is only a first attempt at modeling the voting behavior of the nlrb on important unfair labor practice decisions we believe that we have captured some of the most important political and economic variables that effect the behavior of a quasi judicial agency the nlrb

state revenue extraction from different income groups variations in tax progressivity in the united states 1916 to 1986 we examine the conditions that affected the progressivity of the individual income tax in the united states between 1916 and 1986 a multivariate time series analysis shows how macroeconomic conditions state imperatives the organizational capacities of social classes and political conditions have affected the progressivity and the symbolic component of the income tax progressivity is measured by the difference between the effective tax rates paid by moderate income and very high income families the symbolic component of this tax is measured by the difference between the nominal tax rate and effective income tax rate paid by very high income families the results reveal that changes in tax progressivity are due largely to macroeconomic and state fiscal conditions such as unemployment economic development and budget deficits although the organizational capacities of social classes and political conditions such as labor organization and political participation also have effects changes in progressivity are due primarily to adjustments in the rates paid by very high income families however the impacts of these conditions on tax progressivity changed somewhat when the federal income tax was transformed into a mass tax during world war il finally political conditions have a relatively greater effect on the symbolic component of the income tax than on progressivity overall this analysis supports a structural theory of the state in which the influences of politics and social classes on revenue extraction are circumscribed by macroeconomic and state fiscal conditions

union strength neoliberalism and inequality contingent political analyses of u s income differences since 1950 do historically contingent political accounts help explain the growth in family income inequality in the united states we use time series regressions based on 60 years to detect such relationships

the hangover the lasting impact of early conflict on the duration of bargaining relationships although studies have shown that employer opposition negatively affects the likelihood of success at the certification and first contract stages there is little to no indication of what the long term impact of such opposition might be for relationships that successfully conclude a first agreement using survival analysis on nearly three decades of data from ontario this article investigates whether relationships that experience early conflict encounter a hangover a heightened likelihood of dissolution that extends into the representation phase of the process meaning beyond the settlement of the first agreement using unfair labor practice charges and first contract arbitration applications as proxies for conflict the author finds evidence of a hangover for relationships that exhibit a turbulent start further findings suggest that relationships that experience this early conflict also have a higher likelihood of dissolution throughout the entire relationship

some evidence on demand fluctuations and the increased stability of the post war american economy this paper investigates the implications of a sticky wage contracting model that can explain both the decline in wage and price flexibility and the increased stability of the post war american economy the reduction in the size of demand shocks in the post war period has increased agents incentives to write longer contracts though longer contracts have rendered real activity more responsive to demand shocks in the post war period the reduction in the size of these shocks has dominated the increase in the size of response to a particular shock overall real activity has become more stable in the post war period as predicted by theory

the politics of union decline the contingent determinants of union recognition elections and victories despite the close political regulation of union recognition disputes sociologists have paid little attention to recent political determinants of success in these contests a state centered political opportunity approach suggests that if conservative political officials can reduce the number of union recognition elections union organization will be blocked partly because many labor scholars claim there was a postwar departure in labor movement fortunes we attempt to detect and model a contingent break in the relationship between republican control of the presidency and these elections using interactive specifications our findings show that shortly after the conservative anti union reagan administration took office recognition elections and union victories in these elections fell sharply with macroeconomic and other determinants held constant other political conditions with explanatory power include congressional oversight committee ideology and conservative appointments to the key regulatory age

an empirical analysis of the unionization of foreign manufacturing firms in the u s the ability of american labor unions to organize workers in majority and wholly foreign owned manufacturing plants in the u s is examined by analyzing union representation election results the principal conclusions are that the nationality of a firm is not a significant factor influencing election outcomes and that foreign firms are as difficult to unionize as domestic american firms several reasons are offered to explain these findings

illegal immigration border enforcement and relative wages evidence from apprehensions at the u s mexico border we examine illegal immigration in the united states from mexico over the period 1976 1995 one challenge is that we do not observe the number of individuals that attempt to enter the united states illegally we only observe the number of individuals apprehended attempting to cross the u s mexico border illegally based on a simple migration model we postulate the existence of an apprehensions function which expresses apprehensions at the border as a function of illegal attempts to cross the border and u s border enforcement effort we find that a 10 decrease in the mexican real wage leads to a 7 5 to 8 8 increase in apprehensions at the border excerpt

do women shy away from competition do men compete too much we examine whether men and women of the same ability differ in their selection into a competitive environment participants in a laboratory experiment solve a real task first under a noncompetitive piece rate and then a competitive tournament incentive scheme although there are no gender differences in performance men select the tournament twice as much as women when choosing their compensation scheme for the next performance while 73 percent of the men select the tournament only 35 percent of the women make this choice this gender gap in tournament entry is not explained by performance and factors such as risk and feedback aversion only playa negligible role instead the tournament entry gap is driven by men being more overconfident and by gender differences in preferences for performing in a competition the result is that women shy away from competition and men embrace it

collaboration incentives endogenous selection into single and coauthorships by surname initial in economics and management many prior studies suggest that default alphabetical ordering of coauthors in economicsconfers disproportionate professional advantages on those with an early surname initialbecause of the greater prominence it gives to the first author however these studies do notconsider that authors select into coauthorships according to the incentives identified wedevelop a model of endogenous selection into single and coauthorships around the principlethat no one wants to be second author when they expect to provide the larger contribution i e are of higher quality we test it with authorship data from economics with man agement which does not use default alphabetical ordering as a benchmark we predict foreconomics that lower quality authors with an early surname initial would be less desirablecoauthors whereas higher quality authors with a late initial would have a lower desire tocoauthor most desired are early initial authors of high quality who are therefore advan taged in forming high quality collaborations the combined effect predicts citation rankincreases with surname initial for single authored papers and decreases for coauthored we find both effects for economics when compared to management and absolutely ourfindings indicate that part of the advantage enjoyed by early surname initial authors in eco nomics could be due to the higher ability among them having more incentive compatiblecollaborators rather than merely to greater prominence

union certification success under voting versus card check procedures evidence from british columbia 1978 1998 the author estimates the impact of compulsory election laws on certification success using data on over 6 500 private sector certifications from british columbia over the years 1978 98 a unique quasi experimental design is used by exploiting two changes in the union recognition law first in 1984 the introduction of mandatory elections and second in 1993 the repeal of elections and their replacement by the original card check procedure the author also estimates the effectiveness of management opposition tactics across union recognition regimes success rates declined by an average of 19 percentage points during the voting regime and then increased by about the same amount when card checks were re instituted the results indicate that the mandatory election law can account for virtually the entire decline in addition the findings suggest that management opposition was twice as effective under elections as under card checks

accounting for the decline in union membership 1950 1980 this study analyzes the components of the post 1950 trends in the share of the private work force organized by unions which rose from 1950 to 1954 and then fell steadily to 1980 the authors decompose the sources of growth and decline into changes in organizing activity success in certification elections losses from decertification elections and net growth due to economic causes the last a residual measure designed to capture the effect of factors such as plant closings layoffs and new hires they find that all factors except decertifications accounted for a substantial part of the decline since 1954 when the level of aggregate economic activity is held constant loss of membership due to other economic causes shows no downward trend a finding that challenges the view that the decline in the unionized share of the work force has been due primarily to a secular decline in employment in the strongly unionized industries

bargaining laws as a cause and consequence of the growth of teacher unionism this study analyzes state level data for 1959 78 to determine whether the rapid growth of teacher unionism during those years was primarily a result or a cause of the public sector bargaining laws adopted during the same period the author finds contrary to the view of some scholars that the enactment of laws requiring public sector employers to bargain with majority representatives of their employees was the single most important cause of the growth in the proportion of teachers covered by union contracts although the growth in teacher unionism in turn encouraged the adoption of some new or stronger bargaining laws this effect was relatively weak more important predictors of new bargaining laws included the extent of political patronage in a state and the bargaining laws adopted by neighboring states

racial diversity and union organizing in the united states 1999 2008 does racial diversity make forming a union harder case studies offer conflicting answers and little large scale research on the question exists most quantitative research on race and unionization has studied trends in membership rather than the outcome of specific organizing drives and has assumed that the main problem is mistrust between workers and unions paying less attention for example to the role of employers the author explores the role of racial and ethnic diversity in the outcomes of nearly 7 000 organizing drives launched between 1999 and 2008 by matching the national labor relations board s information on union activity with the equal employment opportunity commission s surveys of large establishments the author reconstructs the demographic composition of the work groups involved in each mobilization the study finds that more diverse establishments are less likely to see successful organizing attempts little evidence is found however that this is because workers are less interested

recognition for group work gender differences in academia abstract how is credit for group work allocated when individual contributions are not observed i use data on academics publication records to test whether demographic traits like gender influence how credit is allocated under such uncertainty while solo authored papers send a clear signal about ability coauthored papers are noisy providing no specific information about each contributor s skills i find that men are tenured at roughly the same rate regardless of coauthoring choices women however are less likely to receive tenure the more they coauthor the result is much less pronounced among women who coauthor with other women

when unionization disappears state level unionization and working poverty in the united states although the working poor are a much larger population than the unemployed poor u s poverty research devotes much more attention to joblessness than to working poverty research that does exist o

women in economics moving up or falling off the academic career ladder copyright 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 by the american economic association

the influence of management consultants on the outcome of union certification elections this study examines the effect of management consultants on the probability of union victory in representation elections an analysis of data on 130 elections in retail grocery outlets shows that c

unions norms and the rise in u s wage inequality from 1973 to 2007 private sector union membership in the united states declined from 34 to 8 percent for men and from 16 to 6 percent for women during this period inequality in hourly wages increased by over 40 percent we report a decomposition relating rising inequality to the union wage distribution s shrinking weight we argue that unions helped institutionalize norms of equity reducing the dispersion of nonunion wages in highly unionized regions and industries accounting for unions effect on union and nonunion wages suggests that the decline of organized labor explains a fifth to a third of the growth in inequality an effect comparable to the growing stratification of wages by education

public and private sector wages interactions in a general equilibrium model it is common wisdom that public sector wages are not determined in the same way as private sector wages at the same time the empirical evidence available for oecd countries finds a strong positive correlation between public and private sector wages in this paper we develop a model that is consistent with a political economy view of the determination of public sector wages and employment while being consistent with the said empirical evidence public finance constraints are crucial in booms governments expand employment and wages while in downturns lack of tax revenues forces the government to cut back the wage bill

computerisation and wage dispersion an analytical reinterpretation the rich countries have recently seen a dramatic rise in income inequality all the more surprising because the long term trend had been toward equality this paper examines one of the leading explanations computerisation in the workplace i offer a theory of computers impact on white collar work which goes far toward explaining the timing form and locus of recent labour market changes the theory looks at the bureaucratic and organisational applications of computers that have been first largest and most influential they have two effects on firms demand for labour at different skill levels

union effects in low wage services evidence from canadian childcare empirical evidence presented in this paper based on survey data for canadian childcare workers in 1991 contradicts most stereotypes of the childcare labor market although childcare labor was low wage the authors find that the union impact on wages 15 and fringe benefits was in line with union effects found in other better compensated work and they find substantial returns to education occupational level and firm specific experience the returns to the skill related attributes were blunted somewhat in the union sector except where such returns stood to benefit the median union voter the findings suggest that monetary incentives can be used to encourage improvements in the education experience and skill acquisition of childcare workers unions can improve wages and benefits for childcare workers just as they can for most other workers suggesting the viability of union organizing in this sector despite the traditional barriers to organizing low wage service sector workers in small firms u nion organizing in the growing lowwage female dominated service sector is often regarded as key to offsetting the decline in union membership that is occurring in the areas of traditional union strength the recent success of the service

the effects of corporate strategy and workplace innovations on union representation this paper explores the decline of union membership within partially organized firms using data from two conference board surveys of labor relations practices 1977 and 1983 the authors test a series of propositions concerning the effects of corporate industrial relations values and strategies and workplace innovations on union representation and membership the results show that whereas the average firm reduced the number of workers represented by unions by approximately 977 from 1977 to 1983 firms that placed a high priority on union avoidance reduced union representation by an average of 2 647 workers over the same period moreover the typical firm that emphasized union avoidance reduced the probability that its new facilities would be organized from approximately 15 percent to less than 1 percent

the effect of unions on wage inequality in the u s labor market this study uses current population survey micro data for 1973 74 and 1993 to evaluate the effect of changing union membership on trends in male and female wage inequality unionization rates of men fell between the two sample periods with bigger declines among lower skill groups these trends account for 15 20 of the rise in male wage inequality union membership rates of low wage women also declined while unionization increased among higher wage women on balance shifting unionization accounts for very little of the rise in female wage inequality economy wide trends in unionization mask a sharp divergence between the private sector where unionism was declining and the public sector where it was rising comparisons across sectors suggest that unionization substantially slowed the growth in wage inequality in the public sector

a note on the severity of the decline in union organizing activity using data on representation elections conducted by the national labor relations board from 1975 to 1987 the authors examine the extent of the recent decline in union organizing activity an analysis of elections for selected unions and in major industry categories shows no widespread recovery from the sharp drop in organizing that occurred from 1981 to 1982 although union success rates in new units have been fairly constant the low number of new members recruited through elections points to a continuation of the downward trend in union density

union suppression and certification success over the past decade a number of provinces have abandoned the long standing canadian tradition of automatic certification of unions based on card signing and instead opted for mandatory representation voting this trend however has developed with little understanding of the effectiveness of management opposition within a voting regime in this paper the impact of union suppression on union organizing success within the voting regime of british columbia is examined we find that union suppression tactics were highly effective with estimates rivalling those found in the united states moreover results from instrumental variable models suggest that ols estimates may seriously underestimate the true impact of suppression effort de suppression du syndicat et succes dans le processus de certification au cours de la derniere decennie un certain nombre de provinces canadiennes ont abandonne la pratique traditionnelle de certification automatique des syndicats sur la base des signatures de cartes d adhesion au syndicat et ont choisi de reclamer un scrutin pour determiner le support des membres potentiels on ne comprend pas bien l efficacite de l action d opposition des patrons au syndicat dans ce regime de scrutin ce memoire examine l impact des efforts de suppression des syndicats sur les succes des syndicats dans leurs efforts d organisation dans le cadre du regime de scrutin en colombie britannique on decouvre que ces tactiques ont ete tres efficaces tout autant qu aux etats unis de plus les resultats obtenus a l aide de modeles de variables instrumentales montrent que ceux qu on obtient a l aide de la methode des moindres carres ordinaires peuvent sous evaluer l impact des tactiques de suppression de maniere significative

worker replacement costs and unionization origins of the u s labor movement the embattled state of u s labor has generated a voluminous body of research on the processes of deunionization contributing to its decline revisiting the less researched topic of unionization this study explores the social conditions facilitating union growth during the labor movement s formative years focusing on the first decade of the twentieth century in many respects for labor a period not unlike the present i seek to explain the pattern of organizing success and failure across industries and occupations i find that the most organized settings occurred where workers had greater disruptive capacities due to the high cost of being replaced during work stoppages the highest replacement costs were associated with three conditions scarcity of skilled labor geographically isolated worksites that raised the cost of importing strikebreakers and time sensitive tasks that rendered replacement workers economically impractical workplaces that had at least one of these conditions formed the backbone o

certification delay under elections and card check procedures empirical evidence from canada this paper examines the determinants and consequences of delay in the union certification process using data from certification applications and unfair labor practice complaints ulps from british columbia 1986 98 and ontario 1993 98 during the period studied there were several changes in delay related laws including laws regulating the presence and stringency of election time limits and the availability of expedited ulp hearings key findings are that ulps against the employer reduced the likelihood of compliance with time limit laws except where expedited ulp hearings also existed employer filed objections to the application reduced the likelihood of compliance and election delay reduced the likelihood of certification success both in policy regimes without time limits and in those where stipulated time limits were frequently breached overall the results suggest that enforced time limits on elections coupled with expedited ulp hearings may substantially mitigate the adverse effects of election delay on certification success

british unions dissolution or resurgence two employees in five belong to a union in great britain this is a higher density figure than those of our main ec partners but it masks the longest sustained period of membership loss ever experienced union responses to the loss of a third of their members are examined mergers among unions will influence union organization and structure but will not affect total membership much it is emphasized that their interaction with employers is of paramount importance in determining unions future their dealings with present non union members are of secondary importance the state can play a key role too further attacks on collectivism point to decay but encouragement of collective bargaining by a future government would lead to a resurgence in union fortunes copyright 1991 by oxford university press

wal mart innovation and productivity a viewpoint abstract technology effects business process development and productivity growth are considered in the context of a single company wal mart the starting point is the 2001 mckinsey global institute report which finds that over 1995 2000 a quarter of u s productivity growth is attributable to the retail industry and almost a sixth of that is attributable to wal mart wal mart is interesting as well because of its rapid growth in canada this is now canada s largest private sector employer we also consider other evidence relevant to public policy formation concerning wal mart and conclude with a discussion of options for partially filling important data gaps

rank regressions wage distributions and the gender gap in this paper we propose a novel rank based procedure to decompose changes in the gender wage gap into three components changes in the skill distribution changes in the wage structure and improvements in the position of women in a distribution of reference using cps data from 1979 and 1991 we perform the decomposition at each percentile of the wage distribution and show that the results are sensitive to the choice of distribution of reference male versus overall wage distribution we also find that relative wage gains of women may have been a source of increasing wage inequality among men

marginal cost sharing and the articles of confederation between 1781 and 1789 the american states attempted to share the costs of national public goods through a system of requisitions this paper uses a simple public goods analysis to show why rational states would not share costs as intended by the articles of confederation this normative argument illustrates a potential flaw in the constitutional design of the articles and provides insight into the decline of the american confederation

contraction and expansion the divergence of private sector and public sector unionism in the united states the institutional structure of the american labor market changed remarkably from the 1950s and 1960s to the 1980s in the 50s and 60s trade unions seemed permanently established in the private sector of the economy a third of nonagricultur al wage and salary workers and over half of blue collar workers were union members hundreds of thousands of workers voted annually in national labor relations board nlrb representation elections to join unions most large firms sought stable collective bargaining relations with their unions by contrast in the public sector only 10 12 percent of workers were union members fewer were covered by collective bargaining contracts and most experts regarded public employees as intrinsically nonorganizable according to afl cio president george meany it was impossible to bargain collectively with the government kramer 1962 p 14 the massive contraction of unionism in the private sector and expansion in the public sector in the 1970s and 1980s see exhibit 1 has produced an utterly different situation today in the private sector the proportion of wage and salary workers in unions plummeted to 14 percent in 1986 a level comparable to that in the great depression only a minuscule number of workers joined unions through nlrb elections and national companies openly proclaimed their intent to establish a union free environment by contrast in the public sector over a third of the work force was unionized some 40 percent were covered by collective contracts 1 and 1 estimates of organization in the public sector differ somewhat among sources though all data show greater organization than in the private sector see freeman ichniowski and zax forthcoming for a detailed analysis of the various statistics

trends in union organizing expenditures 1953 1977 this paper tests the charge by some observers that one reason for the decline in unions share of private sector employment has been a decline in their commitment to growth the author presents several measures of the organizing expenditures of 27 national unions representing about one half of all union members in this country over the 1953 77 period these data show that organizing expenditures rose significantly over that period whether measured in current or constant dollars although they declined slightly as a proportion of total union expenditures

the eyes of the needles a sequential model of union organizing drives 1999 2004 this paper models three stages of the union organizing drive using a new dataset covering more than 22 000 drives that took place between 1999 and 2004 the correlated sequential model tracks drives through all of their potential stages holding an election winning an election and reaching first contracts only one seventh of organizing drives that filed an election petition with the nlrb managed to reach a first contract within a year of certification the model which controls for the endogeneity of unfair labor practice ulp charges finds that a ulp charge was associated with a 0 smaller cumulative chance of reaching such a contract ulp charges had less effect on the votes cast than on the decision to hold an election and the ability to reach a first contract a sequential model such as this one could be extended to test between some competing theories about the determinants of union organizing

determinants of the outcomes of union certification elections this study analyzes determinants of union election outcomes at the level of the work unit within a theoretical framework of utility maximization voting behavior is modeled as a function of the social psychology of groups the economic and sociopolitical environment nlrb procedures and the extent of union organization of the industry utilizing nlrb certification election records for 1979 the author finds a negative relationship between unit size and union victories in units of fewer than 65 workers but no relationship in larger units also negatively related to union victories are delays between petition and election dates elections held in southern states having right to work laws and elections involving the teamsters in contrast workers are more likely to vote for representation as unemployment levels and the proportion of consent elections rise and as the rate of unionization in their industry rises to 35 percent

through the contested terrain implementation of downsizing announcements by large u s firms 1984 to 2005 since the 1980s leading u s firms have announced massive downsizing plans in the name of maximizing shareholder value but some observers are skeptical about how serious firms are in implementing

where have all the union members gone this paper examines trends in union membership during the twentieth century the hypothesis is advanced that the provision of certain social welfare benefits by government substitutes for the private provision by unions thereby reducing the attractiveness of union membership the empirical implications of this hypothesis are examined using time series data on aggregate union membership for the period 1904 80 and using pooled state data for the period 1964 80 these latter data are used to examine the effect of departures from the traditional doctrine of employment at will both the time series and the cross section evidence suggest that government supply of union like services reduces union membership

the role of union strategies in nlrb certification elections analyzing 1986 87 data from 261 nlrb certification election campaigns the author finds that union tactic variables explain more of the variance in election outcomes than any other group of variabl

first contract arbitration effects on bargaining and work stoppages newly certified unions often experience difficulty negotiating a first agreement to remedy this the employee free choice act proposes that the national labor relations act provide for first contr

in defense of the articles of confederation and the contribution mechanism as a means of government finance a general comment on the literature i attempt to dispel several widely held myths regarding government finance under the articles of confederation some of which were reiterated in dougherty and cain 1997 i defend the contribution mechanism as a method of government finance that is superior to direct taxation by the federal government and present evidence contradicting the belief that revenue collections under the articles were poor a proper comparison is with alternatives at that time such as state tax collections and the federal governments own tax collections under the new u s constitution both of which were lower than the collection rate from states under the articles