reaction or interaction spatial process identification in multi tiered government structures abstract this paper models horizontal and vertical fiscal externalities in a multi tiered structure of government and implements maximum likelihood and instrumental variables estimation techniques to identify the source of spatial dependence in english local government expenditures the results show that when vertical fiscal externalities among upper tier county authority and lower tier district authority expenditures are explicitly taken into account the estimated magnitude of inter district fiscal interactions is substantially reduced the observed positive spatial autocorrelation among district expenditures can consequently be attributed to a large extent to common reaction to county fiscal policies rather than to actual strategic interaction

foreign direct investment and the dark side of decentralization countries differ in their government architecture some countries are characterized by a high degree of concentration of fiscal administrative judicial executive and lawmaking powers whereas others have decentralized many functions and responsibilities of government to different jurisdictions and various levels of government the cross country differences in the organization of government are also not static but have been subject to substantial change in many countries the co existence of different organizational patterns of government has created an important debate regarding the determinants of particular government structures as well as questions regarding the optimality of different forms of organization

income redistribution in a common labor market when households are mobile among jurisdictions income redistribution by individual jurisdictions creates fiscal externalities a model of interjurisdictional migration is used to study the nature of this redistributive externality analysis of optimal redistribution and optimal corrective subsidies from higher level governments shows that benefit levels for the recipients of income transfers and tax rates on mobile taxpayers should be equalized across jurisdictions a system of jurisdictions with a common labor market can achieve welfare improvements through coordination of domestic redistributive policy or through the intervention of a higher level government copyright 1991 by american economic association

urban development in the united states 1690 1990 the united states transformed itself from a rural to an urban society over the last three cen turies after a century of unremarkable growth the pace of urbanization was historically un precedented between the nineteenth and the early twentieth centuries in the twentieth century the urban population continued to increase but in a much more dispersed manner as the sub urban population increased throughout these developments cities also exhibited considerable variation in their population sizes this paper finds that the pace and pattern of u s urban development are explained by changes in regional comparative advantage and in economies in transportation and local public goods which in turn were determined by the changes in the economic structures of cities this paper also finds that cities varied considerably in size because the larger cities reduced market transaction costs associated with coordinating greater geograph ic division of labor

banking activities and local output growth does distance from centre matter ozyildirim s and onder z banking activities and local output growth does distance from centre matter regional studies in this paper the relation between local banking activities and local output growth is empirically studied in turkey during the period 1991 2000 although there is no legal restriction against regional banking the banking sector is spatially concentrated in turkey in this institutional structure the distance between headquarters and the local branches is argued to affect the role of financial intermediation in the development of provincial prosperity empirical findings suggest that banking activities have a significant positive impact on the per capita local output growth of regions especially on those that are distant from the financial centre however when bank loans are adjusted to the size of the local economy provincial gross domestic product gdp the relation between banking activities and the output per capita is found to be negative suggesting that these loans are us

rural to urban migration human capital and agglomeration a new general equilibrium model that links together rural to urban migration the externality effect of the average level of human capital and agglomeration economies shows that in developing countries unrestricted rural to urban migration reduces the average income of both rural and urban dwellers in equilibrium various measures aimed at curtailing rural to urban migration by unskilled workers can lead to a pareto improvement for both the urban and rural dwellers in addition the government can raise social welfare by reducing the migration of skilled workers to the city moreover without a restriction on rural to urban migration a government s efforts to increase educational expenditure and thereby the number of skilled workers may not increase wage rates in the rural or urban areas

spatial evolution of population and industry in the united states what features characterize the evolution of the u s urban system in this past century to what extent has the 500 percent increase in national urban population during 1900 1990 been accommodated by growth in numbers versus sizes of cities given the radical changes in the u s economic geography has the relative size distribution of city sizes changed significantly with say strong increases in urban concentration and primacy a popular notion as urbanization slowed after world war ii did fluctuations in city sizes and upward downward mobility of cities dampen as an arthur scale economy framework would predict brian arthur 1990 finally what natural geographic features of a city promote growth how important are climate location neighbor cities and the like an interrelated set of questions concerns the agglomeration and mobility of industrial activity within the set of cities are industries that are subject to greater scale economies both more agglomerated and less mobile for industries that are not subject to scale economies why does agglomeration occur central to answering these questions is measuring the nature and extent of scale economies this paper reports results on these two sets of issues using population census data for 1900 1990 and manufacturers census data for 1963 1992 for a selection of machinery and high tech industries

optimality free mobility and the regional authority in a federation abstract this paper examines the efficiency properties of a federation characterized by strategically competing regions and freely mobile homogeneous individuals analyses of this economy have concluded that achieving a pareto optimal will require intervention by a national authority this paper makes one basic point the nash equilibrium of regional authority behavior is pareto optimal the implication is that there is no role for a national authority in either providing interregional transfers or correcting for decentralized provision of public goods the nash equilibrium involves samuelson public goods provision and regions purchasing preferred population distributions with optimal interregional transfers

changes at the top a cross country examination over the 20th century of the rise and fall in rank of the top cities in national urban hierarchies the paper documents the evolution of rank orders for cities at the top of national urban hierarchies top 10 cities where possible ranks for the year 2000 are compared with 1950 for 74 nations and with 1900 for 52 nations covering 375 and 288 cities respectively rank correlations with the year 2000 are calculated for both years the rank order of cities in europe shows significantly less variation over time than those for the new world and developing nations consistent with the view that urban hierarchies harden as they mature changes in rank at the very top rank 1 are rare where they occur such changes can often be traced to political events that alter the direction of trade or the city s role as central place the results provide evidence both for and against locational fundamentals and cumulative causation arguments the entrenched advantages of the first big cities to emerge are undeniable but fundamentals can be undermined by political events and by technological change

the consequences of overlapping tax bases for redistribution and public spending in a federation tax and expenditure policies are studied in a federation with imperfectly mobile households states implement a linear progressive tax and supply a public good a vertical fiscal externality reflecting the effect of state policies on federal revenues provides an incentive for state taxes to be too progressive a horizontal fiscal externality causes nonoptimal state taxes and expenditures because of the migration effect the federal government implements its own linear progressive tax and makes transfers to the states the federal government can nullify both externalities by appropriate fiscal policies and redistributive taxation can be decentralized to the states c 1998 elsevier science s a

banks regional development disparity and growth evidence from turkey in this paper we analyse the impact of credits provided by banks on provincial growth in turkey where state owned banks have an implicit role of reducing disparity by allocating loans in underdeveloped regions that are ignored by private banks we find a paradoxical effect of state owned banks on regional development their credits contribute significantly to the growth of more developed provinces whereas they fail to encourage the well being of less developed provinces on the other hand credits provided by private banks in general positively impact the per capita real gross domestic product gdp in both developed and less developed provinces contrary to their purpose of existence our results suggest that state owned banks did not reduce economic disparity among turkish provinces in the trade off between growth and income disparity our results suggest that state owned banks should improve their lending behaviour especially in the less developed regions in order to broaden their development role to the whole economy copyright the author 2009 published by oxford university press on behalf of the cambridge political economy society all rights reserved oxford university press

income redistribution in a federal system the question of the appropriate level of government to undertake income redistribution is receiving renewed attention from economists the standard argument about the issue might be summarized as follows 1 interstate migration of taxpayers and transfer recipients raises the cost to voters of income redistribution at the state level above the cost at the federal level 2 statewide redistribution confers spillover benefits to residents of other states 3 therefore as compared with a national system decentralized responsibility for income redistribution yields both less redistribution and less than the socially optimal amount of income redistribution the purpose of this paper is only to question step 1 of the above argument of course readers who accept the assumptions of the standard argument may conclude that the possible weakening of step 1 of that argument reduces the likelihood that its conclusion holds the paper argues that the cost of redistribution faced by state residents may in fact be lower at the state level than at the national level because their federal tax obligations fall as the state redistributes more income thus part of the cost of redistribution at the state level can be exported to residents of other states the state s federal tax bill falls when taxable incomes in the state are reduced by increased redistribution deductibility of state taxes enhances this result but is not necessary for it to demonstrate the proposition without adding unnecessary complication a simple model of income redistribution is described in which governments at all levels use linear tax transfer schedules to redistribute income the single government case is considered first then two levels of government are introduced and finally migration is allowed it is shown that without migration state costs are never greater than national costs of redistribution as long as redistribution reduces total money income when migration is allowed the result depends on the elasticity of migration responses compared with the elasticity of labor supply responses

the permanent effects of transportation revolutions in poor countries evidence from africa we exploit the construction and eventual demise of the colonial railroads in africa to study the impact of transportation investments in poor countries using ghana and sub saharan africa as a whole we assembled new data on railroads and cities spanning over one century to show that i railroads had large effects on the spatial distribution and aggregate level of economic activity during the colonial period as they constituted a transportation revolution in a context where no modern transportation technology previously existed ii these effects have persisted to date although railroads collapsed and road networks expanded considerably in the post independence period the analysis contributes to our understanding of the heterogeneous impact of transportation investments it shows that initial investments may have a large effect in poor countries with basic infrastructure as the countries develop increasing returns may then solidify their spatial distribution and subsequent investments may have a smaller effect on local economic development

a positive model of overlapping income taxation in a federation of states abstract this paper develops a positive theory of overlapping income taxation in a federation of states the analysis provides a complete characterization of the equilibrium federal and states tax rates as functions of the level of total productivity dispersion between the states the federal rate is increasing in the level of total productivity dispersion between the states even if the income of the decisive voter at the federal level is above the mean income given that the individuals income is endogenously determined there exists a negative trade off between the implemented federal tax rate and the resulting states tax rates regardless of the pre tax income of the decisive voter at the state level thus high levels of productivity dispersion between the states cause a higher than optimal federal tax rate together with low states tax rates it is also shown that a system of overlapping income taxation is not efficient the resulting inefficiency might be exacerbated by the implementation of a federal matching grants program contradicting previous results in the related normative literature

start up size and post entry performance the case of tourism services in italy a large and comprehensive longitudinal database is used to identify the start up of new firms in the italian tourist industry and their subsequent post entry performance analysed in particular is the link between the survival of hotels restaurants and catering firms in each italian region and their start up size by using logit estimation it is found that for eighteen out of twenty regions the relationship has the expected sign although only for twelve regions and the country as a whole did it turn out to be statistically significant

job search in thick markets abstract i analyze empirically the effects of urban and industrial agglomeration on both search behavior and the efficiency of matching the analysis is based on a unique panel data set from the italian labor force survey micro data covering 520 randomly drawn local labor market areas 66 of the total over the four quarters of 2002 i compute transition probabilities from non employment to employment by jointly estimating the probability of searching and the probability of finding a job conditional on having searched i then test whether these are affected by market size industrial variety and or industry specialization the main results indicate that market size and industry specialization raise job seekers chances of finding employment conditional on having searched while industrial variety is not significantly different from zero finally the effect of agglomeration on non employed individuals search behavior cannot be significantly distinguished from zero

vertical tax competition in brazil empirical evidence for icms and ipi in the period 1995 2009 abstract the main objective of this study is to quantify the impact caused by changes in federal tax on the tax policy of the brazilian states considering the presence of horizontal tax competition between states using panel data covering 26 brazilian states plus the federal district during the period 1995 2009 two models were estimated representing the average reaction of the states in response to changes in federal tax rates in the first model both levels of government act simultaneously whereas in the second model reaction is sequential with the federal government acting as the leader in defining its effective tax rates the results indicate a positive and significant response of states to increases in the federal tax rate resulting in an over taxation of the common tax base and higher tax rates additional tests show that the first model is the most suitable to represent the problem analysed

pigou tiebout property taxation and the underprovision of local public goods abstract pigou s proposition that the use of distorting taxes rather than neutral head taxes reduces public service levels is examined in this paper a simple model with a national system of competing local governments is utilized to demonstrate that the use of a distorting property tax on mobile capital decreases the level of residential public services the case where public services are an intermediate producer good is also considered

breakthrough inventions and migrating clusters of innovation abstract we investigate the speed at which clusters of invention for a technology migrate spatially following breakthrough inventions we identify breakthrough inventions as the top 1 of us inventions for a technology during 1975 1984 in terms of subsequent citations patenting growth is significantly higher in cities and technologies where breakthrough inventions occur after 1984 relative to peer locations that do not experience breakthrough inventions this growth differential in turn depends on the mobility of the technology s labor force which we model through the extent that technologies depend upon immigrant scientists and engineers spatial adjustments are faster for technologies that depend heavily on immigrant inventors the results qualitatively confirm the mechanism of industry migration proposed in models like duranton duranton g 2007 urban evolutions the fast the slow and the still american economic review 97 197 221

can decentralization be beneficial abstract a conventional justification for government hierarchy in the fiscal federalism literature is based upon asymmetry in policy tools or in information access that is available to different levels of government this paper demonstrates that even if these asymmetries are eliminated addition of local regional governments to a one tier central government can be strictly welfare improving

majority choice of tax systems in single and multi jurisdictional economies abstract we examine majority choice of tax instruments in an economy with heterogeneous households in our framework majority voting equilibrium exists despite the multidimensional policy choice set we examine single and multi jurisdictional economies we identify five competing incentives that influence choice of tax instruments equilibria generally entail a mixture of tax types with multiple jurisdictions strong reliance on head taxation in rich communities arises to deter poorer households from immigrating in spite of local incentives to use alternative tax instruments to redistribute wealth if relocation costs preclude inter community mobility the equilibrium tax system is fundamentally affected with redistribution incentives then dominating choice of instruments and tax rates limiting or eliminating head taxation fundamentally alters stratification public good provision levels and tax systems

a critique of tiebout s theory of local public expenditures the last section of this paper presents a rigorous version of tiebout s theory of local public goods it is shown that equilibria exist and are pareto optimal this rigorous theory follows closely the more rigorous part of tiebout s work this rigorous theory makes a number of very special assumptions which make local public goods essentially private the body of this paper presents a series of examples which show that if one tries to generalize the rigorous version of tiebout s theory in a number of interesting directions then equilibria may no longer exist or may not be pareto optimal the conclusion is that tiebout s idea does not lead to a satisfactory general theory of local public goods the goal of this paper is to point out that tiebout s notion of equilibrium with local governments does not have the nice properties of general competitive equilibrium except under very restrictive assumptions tiebout 39 suggested that there are competitive forces which tend to make local governments allocate resources in a pareto optimal fashion consumers choose to live in those towns with the mix of taxes and public goods they prefer local governments choose this mix so as to attract inhabitants this idea may seem intriguing for it suggests that the invisible hand solves an important part of samuelson s perplexing public goods problem 32 tiebout in fact makes an argument which is nearly rigorous i give a rigorous version of his argument at the end of the paper however in this rigorous version so many restrictive assumptions are made that public goods become essentially private in the body of the paper i give a series of examples with which i try to convince the reader that one is forced to adopt tiebout s restrictive assumptions the idea is that if one changes any of his assumptions then either equilibria may not exist or may not be pareto optimal my examples are presented in the context of a general class of tiebout models i consider several subclasses one of which is the special case considered by tiebout in each of the subclasses except that considered by tiebout i give a counterexample either to the existence of equilibrium or to its pareto optimality the subclasses are so chosen that the difficulties they reveal would be shared by any reasonable tiebout model which differed from his special case i believe that my examples controvert tiebout s suggestion 39 last paragraph that his theory compares favorably with competitive equilibrium theory most of the examples in this paper have already appeared in the literature i cite related work as i go along what is new here is that i assemble the examples in a unified argument

attachment to home and efficient purchases of population in a fiscal externality economy abstract this paper examines the efficiency properties of an economy characterized by strategically competing regions and individuals with varying degrees of attachment to home in an otherwise standard fiscal externality setting regional authorities may make interregional transfers in purchasing preferred populations however there is a range of distributions of resources over which neither region makes transfers nevertheless all equilibrium allocations resulting from the nash behavior of regional authorities including those that involve no transfers are efficient therefore in contrast to the standard conclusions of the fiscal externality literature there is no efficiency role for a central authority

determinants of firm start up size in the brazilian industry an empirical investigation the article investigates the determinants of newly created industrial establishments in brazil in 1997 taking as reference explanatory variables referring to market structure and industry dynamics stronger effects are detected for larger firms minimum efficient scale industry size industry growth and turbulence display the expected positive effects on firm size but the intensity of those are more pronounced for larger firms the suboptimal scale variable on the other hand exhibits a counterintuitive positive effect and perhaps other types of barriers to entry that are not related to scale aspects may be important in the brazilian case

does a federal country need federal transfers when it has labour mobility sequeira t n and lopes a f does a federal country need federal transfers when it has labour mobility regional studies this work empirically tests optimum currency area theory for members of a given monetary union the united states the united states is recognized as a country where labour mobility between states is high this paper jointly assesses the consequences of having federal transfers and labour mobility in terms of the states cyclical output it is concluded that federal transfers undoubtedly contribute to increase cyclical output however out migration may increase or decrease cyclical output depending on certain conditions as federal transfers proved to be much more important than migration the answer to the question in the paper s title is yes sequeira t n et lopes a f un pays federal a t il besoin des transferts federaux quand il est deja dote de la mobilite du travail regional studies cet article cherche a tester empiriquement la theorie des zones monetaires optimale

the post entry performance of new small firms in german manufacturing industries while recent years have witnessed a growing interest in research on market entry by new firms evidence regarding their postentry performance is scarce this paper uses longitudinal data for small firms that entered german manufacturing industries between 1979 and 1982 and monitors their performance until 1990 entrants face a high risk of failure hazard rates tend to increase during the first years and to decrease afterwards decline of employment in a cohort due to exits and shrinking firms is compensated by growing survivors no clear cut nexus between start up size and probability of survival shows up copyright 1994 by blackwell publishing ltd

an optimal taxation approach to fiscal federalism in a federal system of government each unit of government decides independently how much of each type of public good to provide and what types of taxes and which tax rates to use in funding the public goods in this paper we explore what types of problems can arise from this decentralized form of decision making in particular we describe systematically the types of externalities that one unit of government can create for nonresidents through both its public goods decisions and its taxation decisions the paper also explores briefly what the central government might do to lessen the costs of decentralized decision making

the survival of new plants start up conditions and post entry evolution abstract this paper examines the longevity of entrants we find size to be an important determinant of the chances of survival this being particularly relevant to de novo entrants as compared with entry by established firms current size is also found to be a better predictor of failure than initial size moreover our findings indicate that after controlling for size differences past growth matters for survival suggesting a partial adjustment process for firm size in the post entry period finally new plants are more likely to live longer if they enter growing industries or industries with little entry activity