global fixed income investments the persistence effect critical consequences flow from accepting or rejecting the view that forward rates predict future yield curve shapes and currency exchange rates a persistence factor reflects the expectation that interest rates will persist at their current levels rather than evolving into their forward rates a persistence assumption of 1 anticipates that spot rates will persist and a persistence assumption of zero anticipates that they will give way to forward rates a global investor with a persistence assumption of zero for all rates faces uniformly flat expected return curves and has no incentive to seek higher returns by accepting duration or currency risk an investor with a persistence factor of 1 anticipates rewards for accepting risks by extending duration along positive yield curves or making unhedged investments in higher yielding currencies for example investors often depend on implicit expectations of this type the persistence model can make such expectations explicit and aid in evaluating their credibi

addressing leakage in the eu ets border adjustment or output based allocation the eu ets has been criticised for threatening the competitiveness of european industry and generating carbon leakage i e increasing foreign greenhouse gas emissions two main options have been put forward to tackle these concerns border adjustments and output based allocation i e allocation of free allowances in proportion to current production we compare various configurations of these two options as well as a scenario with full auctioning and no border adjustment against this background we develop a model of the main sectors covered by the eu ets electricity steel cement and aluminium we conclude that the most efficient way to tackle leakage is auctioning with border adjustment which generally induces a negative leakage a spillover this holds even if the border adjustment does not include indirect emissions if it is based on eu rather than foreign specific emissions or for some values of the parameters if it covers only imports another relatively efficient policy is to combine auctioning in the electricity sector and output based allocation in exposed industries especially if free allowances are given both for direct and indirect emissions i e those generated by the generation of the electricity consumed although output based allocation is generally less effective than border adjustment to tackle leakage it is more effective to mitigate production losses in the sectors affected by the ets which may ease climate policy adoption c 2011 elsevier b v all rights reserved

cost reduction competition and industry performance in many markets firms compete over time by expending resources with the purpose of reducing their costs sometimes the cost reducing investments operate directly on costs in many instances they take the form of developing new products that deliver what customers need more cheaply therefore product development can have the same ultimate effect as direct cost reduction in fact if one thinks of the product as the services it delivers to the customer in the way that lancaster pioneered then product development often is just cost reduction

multi region input output analysis of co2 emissions embodied in trade the feedback effects energy related co2 emissions embodied in international trade have been widely studied by researchers using the environmental input output framework despite the increasing interest in using the multi regional input output mrio model by researchers few studies have looked into the mechanism of feedback effects we introduce a method called the stepwise distribution of emissions embodied in trade swd eet to reveal how the emissions embodied in trade are absorbed by a country s final demands through a series of allocation steps a country s indirect absorption patterns and its indirect trade balance of emissions from bilateral trade with other countries are also studied based on the proposed method an empirical study using the data of asian economies shows significant differences in the consumption based emission estimates for some economies due to feedback effects through international trade the differences can be largely captured by the first step or the first two steps of the adjustment procedure in the swd eet analysis other findings and some recommendations are also presented

co2 emissions of international freight transport and offshoring measurement and allocation abstract the growing offshoring process is the result of the fragmentation of production processes and the creation of global supply chains this process has increased final and intermediate imports but also the distance that goods travel in different stages until they reach the final consumer as well as the requirements of transport per unit of output and the volume of co 2 emissions generated in transporting them nowadays there is no generally accepted criterion for international transport pollution allocation no single country has the responsibility for emissions of international bunkers provided by ipcc in this paper we propose a new methodology for quantifying by sector the impact of international freight transport on total pollution and assigning responsibility to consumers this methodology considers the distance and the means of transport as key elements and uses input output methodology we apply this to the spanish economy combining data from input output tables import data and co 2 emission data the results show that the proportion of total co 2 emissions accounted for by emissions from international freight transportation allocated via the consumer criterion increase up to 4 16 between 1995 and 2000 as expected the industries where this offshoring process is more intense show the greatest increases in carbon emissions related to international transport these emissions are significantly higher than emissions embodied in domestic inputs in some of those industries where international fragmentation of production is relevant and increasing

offshoring and unemployment the role of search frictions labor mobility abstract in a two sector general equilibrium model with labor market search frictions we find that the wage increases and sectoral unemployment decreases upon offshoring in the presence of perfect intersectoral labor mobility if as a result labor moves to the sector with the lower or equal vacancy costs there is an unambiguous decrease in economywide unemployment with imperfect intersectoral labor mobility unemployment in the offshoring sector can rise with an unambiguous unemployment reduction in the non offshoring sector imperfect labor mobility can result in a mixed equilibrium in which only some firms offshore with unemployment in the offshoring sector rising

market motives distinctive capabilities and domestic inertia a hybrid model of innovation generation the authors develop and test a model of innovation in which the generative process of innovation is fostered by a balance of three forces market motives distinctive capabilities and domestic ine

pioneers imitators and generics a simulation model of schumpeterian competition a computer simulation model in the tradition of evolutionary models of technical change is developed in this paper it focuses on r d competition in new product introductions and is based on data for the u s pharmaceutical industry during the 1970s the sensitivity of innovation levels to the rate of generic competition regulatory review time and patent life is examined in the computer simulation experiments these factors are found to have significant long run effects on industry structure and innovation levels

from production based to consumption based national emission inventories abstract under the united national framework convention of climate change unfccc countries are required to submit national emission inventories nei to benchmark reductions in greenhouse gas ghg emissions depending on the definition and system boundary of the nei the mitigation options and priorities may vary the territorial system boundary used by the unfccc has been critiqued for not including international transportation and potentially causing carbon leakage to address these issues past literature has argued in favour of using consumption based nei in climate policy this article discusses several issues in moving from the standard production based nei to consumption based nei first two distinct accounting approaches for constructing consumption based nei are presented the approaches differ in the allocation of intermediate consumption of imported products second a consistent method of weighting production based and consumption based nei is discussed this is an extension of the previous literature on shared responsibility to nei third due to increased uncertainty and a wide system boundary it may be difficult to implement consumption based nei directly into climate policy several alternative options for incorporating consumption based inventories into climate policy are discussed

unilateral climate policy design efficiency and equity implications of alternative instruments to reduce carbon leakage abstract global cost effectiveness of unilateral emission abatement can be seriously hampered by carbon leakage we assess three widely discussed proposals for leakage reduction carbon motivated border tax adjustments industry exemptions from carbon regulation and output based allocation of emission allowances we find that none of these measures amounts to a magic bullet when both efficiency and equity criteria matter compared to unilateral emission pricing alone border carbon adjustments are most effective in leakage reduction and promotion of global cost effectiveness but can markedly exacerbate regional inequality exemptions and output based allocation tend to avoid distributional pitfalls but are less effective in leakage reduction and global cost savings exemptions may even decrease global cost effectiveness of unilateral emission abatement

an experimental analysis of dynamic incentives to share knowledge knowledge sharing arrangements are an important part of the innovation process as they help firms acquire technological capabilities shorten development time and spread risk and cost a question central to the study of knowledge sharing arrangements is the impact of competition on cooperation while cooperation has the benefit of avoiding duplication it may have an adverse effect on the competitive advantage of a leading firm hence firms face a difficult challenge during the innovation process while deciding which components of it if any to carry out in collaboration with other firms this paper reports the results of controlled laboratory experiments which identify how the decision to form research joint ventures changes with both relative progress during the r d process and the intensity of product market competition the design is based on a modified version of erkal and minehart optimal sharing strategies in dynamic games of research and development research paper 1038 university of melbourne department of economics 2008 the results indicate that if expected profits are such that the lagging firms always stay in the race cooperation unravels as firms move forward in the discovery process and as monopoly profits become more attractive these results are generally consistent with the theoretical predictions jel c91 l24 o30 d81

market efficiency and the bean jar experiment 1987 market efficiency and the bean jar experiment financial analysts journal vol 43 no 3 pp 50 53

international diversification of investment portfolios u s and japanese perspectives in this paper we analyze the gains from international diversification of investment portfolios from the japanese as well as the u s perspectives the major findings of this paper include first the potential gains from international as opposed to purely domestic diversification are much greater for u s investors than for japanese investors for u s investors the gains accrue not so much in terms of lower risk as in terms of higher return and the opposite holds for japanese investors second using various ex ante international investment strategies designed to control parameter uncertainty u s investors can realize substantial gains from international diversification in out of sample periods japanese investors however can gain relatively little third hedging exchange risk generally allows the u s but not japanese investors to benefit more from international diversification for u s investors the international bond diversification with exchange risk hedging offers a superior risk return trade off than the international stock diversification with or without hedging

the invariance of market innovation to the number of firms this article provides a set of conditions under which the r d undertaken in a market economy is invariant to the number or size distribution of firms and the market s allocation is efficient i e given the aggregate expenditure the market chooses socially optimal projects as in several patent race studies we assume that a winner takes all competition determines firms gains but our model differs from earlier studies in that firms are not restricted to undertake only one research project our analysis shows that how one characterizes a firm s choices and innovation technologies has a strong influence on the conclusions one draws from economic analyses of r d

embodied carbon dioxide emission at supra national scale a coalition analysis for g7 bric and the rest of the world abstract presented in this study is an empirical analysis of embodied carbon dioxide emissions induced by fossil fuel combustion for the world divided into three supra national coalitions i e g7 bric and the rest of the world row via the application of a multi region input output modeling for 2004 embodied emission intensities for the three coalitions are calculated and compared with market exchange rate and purchase power parity separately used to investigate the difference between nominal and real production efficiencies emissions embodied in different economic activities such as production consumption import and export are calculated and analyzed accordingly and remarkable carbon trade imbalances associated with g7 surplus of 1 53 billion tons or 36 its traded emissions and bric deficit of 1 37 billion tons or 51 its traded emissions and approximate balance with row deficit of 0 16 billion tons or 3 its traded emissions are concretely revealed carbon leakages associated with industry transfer and international trades are illustrated in terms of impacts on global climate policies the last but not least per capita consumption based emissions for g7 bric and row are determined as 12 95 1 53 and 2 22 tons respectively and flexible abatement policies as well as equity on per capita entitlement are discussed

conditional hedging and portfolio performance simple conditional currency hedging rules often increase risk adjusted portfolio returns and are thus of interest to investors several researchers have reported successful application of a forward hedge rule fhr in which one hedges whenever the foreign currency trades at a forward premium an alternative strategy a real interest rate hedge rule rir is based on hedging when the domestic real interest rate exceeds the foreign rate as an extension we propose a combination of these rules a real forward hedge rule rfhr we evaluate the performance of the rules for various currency stock and bond portfolios from the developed countries in tests of risk adjusted returns for 1976 1997 the rfhr significantly outperformed standard benchmarks and often beat the fhr and the rir moreover results of a simple dominance test for rolling 5 and 10 year periods suggest that the rfhr consistently improves portfolio performance for a u s investor

causes and consequences of price premiums existing literature that argues for the prevalence of price premiums is examined an evaluation of an extant model identifies several possible boundary conditions that limit the applicability of the model a set of propositions is developed based on these boundary conditions linking buyer seller and market factors to the magnitude of price premiums that should be available alternative means for empirical testing of the propositions are offered and some implications and applications of this line of thinking for pricing and brand management are described copyright 1996 by university of chicago press

competitive blind spots and the cyclicality of investment experimental evidence we report laboratory experiments investigating the cyclicality of profit enhancing investment in a competitive environment in our setting optimal investment is counter cyclical when investment costs fall following market downturns however we do not observe counter cyclical investment instead we see much less strategic behavior than our rational investment model anticipates our participants exhibit what porter 1980 terms a competitive blind spot and heuristic investment models where individuals invest a fixed percentage of their liquidity or a fixed percentage of anticipated market demand better fit our data than does optimal investment we also report a control treatment without cost changes and a treatment with asymmetric investment liquidity both of these extensions support our main result

innovation and industry evolution the theoretical literature on innovation has been concerned with a single innovation produced by a number of identical agents by contrast we consider a market in which one firm is the current incumbent while the remaining firms are challengers moreover we consider a sequence of innovations so that success does not imply that the successful firm reaps monopoly profits forever after but only until the next better innovation is developed we begin with a fully optimizing behavioral model and derive the equivalent of the schumpeterian process of creative destruction that is a firm enjoys temporary monopoly power but is soon overthrown by a more inventive challenger the essential point to grasp is that in dealing with capitalism we are dealing with an evolutionary process the fundamental impulse that sets and keeps the capitalist engine in motion comes from the new consumers goods the new methods of production or transportation the new markets the new forms of industrial organization that capitalist enterprise creates schumpeter 1942 pp 82 83

european emission trading scheme and competitiveness a case study on the iron and steel industry abstract we quantify the impact of the european emission trading scheme ets on the two dimensions of competitiveness production and profitability for the iron and steel industry among those covered by the scheme this sector is one of the most exposed since it is both highly co 2 intensive and relatively open to international trade we also examine the robustness of these results to various assumptions marginal abatement cost curve trade and demand elasticities as well as pass through rates and updating of allocation rules of which the latter two are scarcely debated we conclude that for this sector competitiveness losses are small we prove this conclusion to be robust hence arguments against tightening the environmental stringency of the ets in phase ii are not justified on grounds of competitiveness loss our systematic sensitivity analysis allows us to identify the important assumptions for each output variable it turns out that pass through rates and updating rules are significant despite being often implicit and least debated in existing analyses

cooperative and noncooperative r d in experimental duopoly markets abstract we analyze the relation between technological spillovers and r d cooperation in a duopoly experiment based on the well known model of d aspremont and jacquemin for scenarios without and with full spillovers two noncooperative treatments are run one without and one with non binding communication possibilities and one cooperative treatment with binding contract possibilities we find that without technological spillovers binding r d contracts are needed for r d decisions to deviate from the subgame perfect nash r d level towards the cooperative level with full spillovers the possibility of non binding cheap talk may suffice to move closer to r d cooperation

an empirical investigation of the pollution haven effect with strategic environment and trade policy abstract using a new dataset on the stringency and enforcement of environmental policy this study is the first to find robust confirmation of a pollution haven effect in a cross country context by accounting for strategically determined environment trade and intellectual property right ipr policies a simple game theoretic approach to policy determination is described which suggests an identification strategy based on other country characteristics it is found that for the top 20th percentile of countries in terms of growth in u s multinational affiliate value added as much as 8 6 of that growth between 1999 and 2003 can be attributed to declining relative stringency and enforcement of environmental policy the results are robust to a number of identification tests weak iv tests and third country spatial effects further evidence is found that relatively footloose industries are more likely to be affected by environmental policy than more traditionally dirty industries and enforcement of environmental policies tends to be a more important deterrent than the stringency of the policy set

evaluating carbon dioxide emissions in undertaking offshored production tasks the case of china emerging economies like china india and mexico are becoming the world s manufacturing leaders through the engagement in offshoring production activities in achieving this status however they have met with difficult environmental issues this paper features an analysis of industry level panel data to examine the link between different offshoring tasks in china and carbon dioxide emissions through this analysis the environmental effects of offshored production are addressed specifically an input output model is presented thereby quantifying offshored production tasks in china the results show that iron and steel nonferrous metals is and chemicals ch generate the most carbon dioxide during production of processed goods additionally electrical machinery em and general machinery gm generate a higher amount of carbon dioxide during production of parts and components the results also show that those industries characterized by higher energy consumption have higher carbon dioxide co2 emissions induced by offshoring given these results it seems that any solutions geared towards reducing the energy consumption of entire manufacturing industries would be useful furthermore the results of the analyses presented here indicate that china would be responsible for working with developed countries to reduce carbon dioxide emissions through cooperative environmental regulation a globalization perspective is adopted to offer unique insight into the environmental issues faced by china the results of this paper would provide quantified actionable information for formulating practical industrial policies geared towards reducing carbon dioxide leakage

r d appropriability opportunity and market structure new evidence on some schumpeterian hypotheses one of the largest bodies of literature in the field of industrial organization is devoted to the interpretation and testing of several hypotheses advanced by joseph schumpeter 1950 concerning innovation and industrial market structure one set of hypotheses focuses on the role of firm size as a determinant of r d spending and the rate of technological advance another set focuses on the effect of market concentration on r d and technological advance in this paper we reexamine the latter set of hypotheses at the industry level using new data on r d appropriability and technological opportunity collected by levin et al 1984 in a survey of r d executives in 130 industries

noncooperative oligopoly and preemptive innovation without winner take all earlier models of innovation under oligopolistic rivalry are modified to include a share parameter a describing the manner in which profits are divided among rivals when one firm is successful in its search for a valuable resource stock there is a unique value of a that maximizes expected industry profits by guiding noncooperative oligopolists to choose the profit maximizing exploration rate moreover setting a at this maximizing value which always allocates some share of industry profits to the losers in the exploration race leads to an exploration rate identical to what would be chosen by a jointly managed cartel

who is afraid of pirates an experiment on the deterrence of innovation by imitation abstract in the policy debate intellectual property is often justified by what seems to be a straightforward argument if innovators are not protected against others appropriating their ideas incentives for innovation are suboptimally low now in most industries and for most potential users appropriating a foreign innovation is itself an investment decision fraught with cost and risk nonetheless standard theory predicts too little innovation arguably the problem is exacerbated by the sensitivity of innovators to fairness imitators do get a free lunch after all we model the situation as a game and test it in the lab we find more appropriation but also more innovation than predicted by standard theory in the lab the prospect of giving imitators a free lunch does not have a chilling effect on innovation this even holds if innovation automatically spills over to an outsider and if successful imitation reduces the innovator s profit beliefs and the analysis of experiences in the repeated game demonstrate that participants are sensitive to the fairness problem but this concern is not strong enough to outweigh the robust propensity to invest even more in innovation than predicted by standard theory the data suggest that this behavior results from the intention not to be outperformed by one s peers

production based and consumption based national greenhouse gas inventories an implication for estonia two national greenhouse gas ghg inventories were prepared for estonia 1 an inventory that includes ghg emissions from the production of goods and services i e commodities within its national territory and 2 an inventory of ghg emissions occurring within and outside its national boundaries due to estonia s consumption of commodities whether produced domestically or traded bilaterally the inventories included estimates of energy related and non energy related carbon dioxide co2 methane ch4 and nitrous oxide n2o emissions converted to co2 equivalent co2eq associated with the production and consumption of commodities grouped in three main sectors energy industrial processes and agriculture input output io analysis emissions embodied in bilateral trade eebt approaches and the basic methods of the 2006 ipcc guidelines were used to perform the estimates the results of the study illustrated that the total co2eq emissions associated with consumption in estonia in 2005 were 18 higher than those associated with production primarily due to the net import of co2eq emissions from countries outside of the european union

tactical currency allocation market efficiency depends upon rational profit motivated investors two of the largest communities of currency traders have no profit motive central banks trade to dampen volatility corporations seek to hedge the currency exposure in their book of business currency profits are based not on the movement of the currency but on the movement of the currency relative to the forward rate the forward rate is in turn based upon interest rates if an overseas market has a lower interest rate than the domestic market its currency will trade at enough of a premium in the forward market to equalize the interest rates when they are currency hedged but if an overseas market is trading at a lower interest rate than the domestic rate investment capital will typically be siphoned away from the lower yielding market into the higher yielding market driving its currency down even as its forward rate points up central banks tendency to intervene to dampen currency volatility has the effect of introducing serial correlation if a currency that would have rallied 10 rallies only 5 because of government intervention it will rally by 5 later there is a statistically significant pattern a currency that has gone up will more likely than not continue to rally and vice versa

parcelling virtual carbon in the pollution haven hypothesis the methodology proposed in this paper allows us to parcel the pollution haven hypothesis phh into a bi regional input output framework to analyse whether the specialisation of countries in different stages of production and or in final goods trading generates an increase or a decrease in global emissions as a consequence of international trade we apply the model to the spain china trade relationship as it existed in 2005 finding a phh of 29 667 ktco2 if this trade had not existed so each country had met its demand for intermediate and final goods global emissions would have been reduced by these 29 667 ktco2 of this phh 43 5 corresponds to imports of final goods 32 4 is related to imports of intermediate goods for the last stage of production the remainder 24 1 is caused by global value chains gvc between the countries only 3229 ktco2 of phh emissions are linked to domestic emissions from the sector in which the imports are produced the rest is explained by domestic linkages or successive rounds of domestic production which supports the existence of an indirect phh together with a trade growth in the last years the fall of trade barriers would have implied a transformation of global production chains that have boosted global emissions

the re emergence of ppp in the 1990s abstract in this paper we investigate purchasing power parity ppp in a panel with 17 countries for the period 1972 through 1996 the novel feature of our panel methodology is that results are invariant to the choice of a benchmark on numeraire currency in the panel we allow individual country effects in the relation between prices and exchange rates in this way we can identify the currency pairs for which ppp holds or does not hold we conclude that there is substantive evidence for ppp although not to the same extent for every currency evidence in favor of ppp is strongest for many exchange rates relative to the dmark and weakest for the japanese yen for this currency a trend like variable like productivity growth is missing

market timing and roulette wheels nobel laureate william f sharpe and others have alerted investors to the potential pitfalls of market timing we also conclude from the study reported here that market timing is generally a difficult game but the difficulty varies substantially over time which has some intriguing implications for performance evaluation using a new measure of investment performance that we call the roulette wheel measure we analyzed monthly quarterly and annual market timing strategies in the 1926 99 period for six major u s asset classes in the 1995 99 period buying and holding large capitalization stocks would have outperformed about 99 8 percent of the more than 1 million possible quarterly switching sequences between large cap stocks and u s t bills in 1994 however if 1 000 portfolio managers had made monthly random choices between large cap stocks and t bills about 591 of them would probably have beaten a buy and hold strategy if 650 of the 1 000 had beaten a buy and hold strategy should all 650 have

schumpeterian dynamics an evolutionary model of innovation and imitation abstract this paper develops a simple evolutionary model of innovation and imitation it analyzes how dynamic interactions between equilibrating force of imitation and disequilibrating force of innovation mold the evolutionary pattern of an industry s state of technology and shows that in this schumpeterian world the industry will never approach a neoclassical equilibrium with perfect knowlwdge even in the long run the paper also examines the steady state efficiency distribution of firms that characterizes the industry s long run and obtains some comparative dynamics results

exchange rate uncertainty forward contracts and international portfolio selection in this paper ex ante efficient portfolio selection strategies are developed to realize potential gains from international diversification under flexible exchange rates it is shown that exchange rate uncertainty is a largely nondiversiflable factor adversely affecting the performance of international portfolios therefore it is essential to effectively control exchange rate volatility for that purpose two methods of exchange risk reduction are simultaneously employed multicurrency diversification and hedging via forward exchange contracts the empirical findings show that international portfolio selection strategies designed to control both estimation and exchange risks almost consistently outperform the u s domestic portfolio in out of sample periods since grubel 11 applied modern portfolio theory mpt to international investment various authors such as levy and sarnat 17 solnik 20 and lessard 16 have examined the gains from international diversification of investment portfolios for the purpose of establishing the gains from international diversification these studies constructed international portfolios using historical risk and return data from a period of fixed or relatively stable exchange rates and showed that internationally diversified portfolios dominated purely domestic portfolios in terms of mean variance efficiency from the standpoint of today s investors however the previous studies fail to offer operational guidance for international diversification for two important reasons first it is now questionable whether the past findings are still relevant under the current flexible exchange rate regime second by being ex post in nature the past studies ignored the issue of estimation risk or parameter uncertainty and therefore may have overstated the realizable portion of the potential gains from international diversification fluctuating exchange rates are likely to mitigate the potential gains from international diversification by making investment in foreign securities more risky as will be shown later a fluctuating exchange rate contributes to the risk of foreign investment not only through its own variance but also through its positive covariances with the local stock market returns during our sample period of 1980 through 1985 for example exchange rate volatility is found to account for about fifty percent of the volatility of dollar returns from investment in the stock markets of such major countries as germany japan and the u k furthermore the exchange rate changes vis a vis the u s dollar are found to be

an empirical examination of the pollution haven hypothesis for india towards a green leontief paradox using input output analysis we examine whether india can be regarded as a pollution haven we calculate the extra co2 so2 and nox emissions induced by 1 billion rupees of additional exports this is compared with the reduction of indian pollution caused by an import increase of equal size in contrast to what the pollution haven hypothesis states for developing countries we find that india considerably gains from extra trade comparing 1996 1997 with 1991 1992 the gains have only increased indicating that india has moved further away from being a pollution haven the outcome is robust to changes in the underlying assumptions

cooperation spillovers and price competition in experimental markets i introduction both competition and cooperation are important for the successful functioning of many economic systems for example firms compete in markets but they also cooperate with one another through arrangements such as research joint ventures lobbying cooperative marketing agreements and strategic alliances in this paper we use experiments to examine how competitive interactions affect agents propensity to cooperate we are interested in studying spillovers that may involve cooperation in one domain such as a research joint venture and competition in another such as in a market 1 cooperation could weaken competition perhaps promoting collusion or market competition could reduce incentives for non market cooperation these behavioral spillovers could go in either direction they are distinct from another type of spillover through knowledge externalities that occur in research and development r d when the innovator cannot fully appropriate the gains to innovation leading potentially to a socially inefficient level of research debondt 1996 2 as discussed below behavioral spillovers have been shown in experiments to increase cooperation in otherwise competitive environments for example through establishing cooperative precedents a large body of theoretical research has focused on firms cooperating in research joint ventures and how this impacts competition in output markets for example cooper and ross 2009 examine the mechanism by which agreements to cooperate in one market can have negative effects on competition in other markets even in situations when these markets are not linked via costs or demand cabral 2000 shows that product market prices are affected by r d agreements between firms caloghirou ioannides and vonortas 2003 lambertini poddar and sasaki 2003 and poyago theotoky 2007 also discuss the impact of forming research joint ventures on product markets and cartel formation 3 empirical work using field data has provided creative indirect evidence on the collusive potential of research joint ventures by exploiting natural policy experiments although the extent of this evidence is limited goeree and helland 2010 for example show that research joint ventures facilitate collusion because they became less popular following an enforcement policy change leniency that made collusion less attractive policy experiments such as these are often required since systematic collusion often goes undetected by authorities duso roller and seldeslachts 2010 also examine the link between research joint ventures and collusion using data from the u s national cooperation research act that granted certain research joint ventures milder antitrust scrutiny they find that horizontal research joint ventures lead to more collusion than vertical joint ventures our work provides complementary and more direct evidence since in the laboratory we can observe the level and sustainability of tacit and explicit collusion and can therefore circumvent the measurement and endogeneity issues that are often prevalent in field data the specific research goals of this study are the following first we wish to examine if agents take advantage of available gains from cooperation in the presence of payoff uncertainties that arise from stochastic innovation success second we are interested in learning if a behavioral spillover of cooperation can lead to collusion in markets or whether competition in markets reduces non market cooperation these notions of cooperation concern contributions to joint r d projects or collusion in price setting and are defined independently of any communication opportunities therefore our third goal is to determine how this interaction between cooperation and competition is affected by the introduction of non market communication opportunities finally we will measure the externalities from r d cooperation to non innovators in the market

subsidizing public inputs abstract if production cost savings associated with successful research and development are freely disseminated to other firms as soon as they are realized too few resources may be allocated to this activity subsidies to this activity a public input can lead to optimal input use the effectiveness of four alternative subsidy instruments in stimulating firms r d spending are examined two are incremental subsidies and two are level subsidies one of the incremental subsidies and one of the level subsidies crudely capture characteristics of incentive mechanisms used in many countries a laboratory implementation of these instruments confirms that incremental subsidies are inferior to level subsidies

between a rock and a hard place a trade theory analysis of leakage under production and consumption based policies without a comprehensive global climate agreement carbon leakage remains a contentious issue consumption based pricing of emissions which could in practice be implemented with a full border tax adjustment bta has been forwarded as an option to increase the effectiveness of unilateral climate policy this paper questions the economic rationale behind this approach using a theoretical 2 times 2 trade model in which leakage occurs through terms of trade effects we show analytically first that consumption based pricing of emissions does not necessarily result in less leakage than production based policies second the sign of the optimal unilateral carbon tariff depends on the carbon intensity differential between the foreign country s exporting and non exporting sectors and not on the differential between home s and foreign s exporting sectors as implied by the full bta approach third based on empirical data for the year 2004 our model implies that full bta applied by the european union on e g imports from and exports to china would by shifting china s production from the export sector with a relatively low carbon intensity towards the more carbon intensive non export sector actually increase leakage

china s foreign trade and climate change a case study of co2 emissions abstract the globalization of trade has numerous environmental implications trade creates a mechanism for consumers to shift environmental pollution associated with their consumption to other countries carbon leakage exerts great influences on international trade and economy applying an input output approach the paper estimates the amount of carbon dioxide co2 embodied in china s foreign trade during 1997 2007 it is found that 10 03 26 54 of china s annual co2 emissions are produced during the manufacture of export goods destined for foreign consumers while the co2 emissions embodied in china s imports accounted for only 4 40 1997 and 9 05 2007 of that we also estimate that the rest of world avoided emitting 150 18 mt co2 in 1997 increasing to 593 mt in 2007 as a result of importing goods from china rather than manufacturing the same type and quantity of goods domestically during 1997 2007 the net additional global co2 emissions resulting from china s exports were 4894 mt then the paper divides the trade embodied emissions into scale composition and technical effect it was found that scale and composition effect increased the co2 emissions embodied in trade while the technical effect offset a small part of them finally its mechanism and policy implications are presented

international trade and shared environmental responsibility by sector an application to the spanish economy abstract the aim of this paper is to define a shared responsibility criterion for analysing the impact of international trade on co 2 emissions applied to sectors with the approach proposed it is possible for sectors in a country to account for only a part of the emissions associated with exported and imported goods the agents considered as responsible for pollution are sectors two fold as producers and suppliers of intermediate inputs and final demand accounting for direct emissions linked to production and as consumers of intermediate inputs required for production accounting for direct and indirect emissions linked to consumption of inputs and the countries and foreign sectors that trade with these industries the responsibility of emissions is shared by all the participants along the global product chain depending on the value added of each step the criterion is applied to the spanish economy for the period 2000 to 2005 and proves useful for determining what economic policies may be suitable for mitigating anthropogenic impact on the environment and for including all the agents of the supply chain in the development of sustainable supply chain management

currency hedging for international portfolios this paper examines the benefits from currency hedging both for speculative and risk minimization motives in international bond and equity portfolios the riskreturn performances of globally diversified portfolios are compared with and without forward contracts over the period 1974 to 1990 inclusion of forward contracts results in statistically significant improvements in the performance of unconditional portfolios containing bonds conditional strategies are also implemented both in sample and out of sample and are shown to both significantly improve the risk return tradeoff of global portfolios and to outperform unconditional hedging strategies whether international portfolios should be hedged against currency risks is the subject of an active debate the theoretical side of the debate has been closely associated with two strands in the academic literature international asset pricing and optimal hedging in the futures markets in the international asset pricing model iapm of solnik 1974 optimal portfolios contain positions in forward contracts or equivalently foreign currency denominated bills these positions which can differ from the positions in foreign stocks have since been termed hedges black 1990 shows that under additional assumptions the hedge ratios should be identical for all investors regardless of their nationality universality and that investors should never fully hedge their foreign currency exposures similarly theoretical models from the futures literature produce demands for hedging instruments that contain both speculative and hedging components the empirical issue unanswered so far is whether adding forward contracts to international portfolios significantly improves the risk return profile of global investments empirical research has barely begun to respond to the challenges of theoretical models there exists little empirical evidence on either the relevance of black s universal hedge ratios or the optimality of hedge ratios less than one instead researchers have concentrated on the benefits of fully hedging exchange risk for example eun and resnick 1988 indicate that stock portfolios perform better when fully hedged but offer no statistical tests

global warming agreements international trade and energy carbon embodiments an input output approach to the italian case abstract in the kyoto protocol the absence of green house gases ghgs commitments of developing countries non annex i and the more flexible terms of implementation which are allowed to countries shifting toward a market economy transition economies naturally lead to the absence or to less constraining national measures and policies of reduction of the ghgs emissions which in turn may determine a comparative advantage in the production of the highest energy carbon intensive commodities for these countries these arguments are valid also considering the future implementation of the european emission allowance trading scheme eats thus developing countries may become a haven for the production of not environmental friendly commodities in this case the so called pollution haven hypothesis stating that due to freer international trade the comparative advantage may change the economic structure and consequently the trade patterns of the countries linked by trade relationships could occur this would lead to the increase of the transfers of energy and carbon embodied in traded commodities from developing countries and transition economies toward kyoto or eats constrained countries the aim of this paper is to verify if for italy as a kyoto and eats complying country evidence of a change in the trade patterns occurred on the basis of the pollution haven hypothesis does exist and to estimate the magnitude of the under estimation of the carbon actually emitted the carbon leakage the input output model has been used to calculate the intensities of energy consumption and the related green house gases emission for each italian economic sector

a currency preferential approach to international equity investment we propose a timex strategy for reducing the foreign exchange risk associated with international equity investment pertaining to countries with currencies correctly or undervalued by the standard of ppp the performance of timex is examined from the perspectives of eight developed nations with long histories of free floating currencies based on the data from 1986 q1 to 2014 q4 we find unambiguous evidence for the superior performance of timex in the foreign exchange market compared with the passive diversification strategy and the morgan stanley capital international msci world index timex offers higher total returns and risk adjusted total returns when rebalanced every 6 or 12 months for investors based in all eight countries under study when rebalanced at a 3 year interval timex outperforms the passive diversification and the msci world index for five and all eight countries respectively

assessing alternative solutions to carbon leakage abstract a modified version of the computable general equilibrium gtap e model is developed in order to assess the economic and carbon emission effects of alternative trade policy measures aimed at reducing carbon leakage we compare several unilateral policy measures implemented by countries subject to an emissions level cap results provide evidence of the scarce effectiveness of these policies in reducing the carbon leakage rate and conversely some of the trade measures that are discussed seem to be more consistent with the goal of protecting market shares of national firms in the domestic markets of abating countries assessing environmental and competitiveness outcomes jointly confirms that a global cooperative solution would be the most effective as well as an efficient policy option for reducing carbon leakage

racing with uncertainty a patent race experiment this paper presents an experimental test of the multi stage patent race model of harris and vickers rev econ stud 54 1987 1 tied competitors invested more when nearer the end of the race but this may have followed from a more general and unexplained pattern of a positive correlation between investment and progress in the race the relationship between investment and gap between competitors was mostly not as predicted also leaders did not invest more than not heavily lagging followers and the race did not approach monopoly as the gap between competitors widened overall the evidence brings only limited support to the theory

border adjustment for european emissions trading competitiveness and carbon leakage unilateral or sub global policies to combat climate change are potentially sensitive to free riding and carbon leakage one way of dealing with carbon leakage and competitiveness is the imposition of border adjustment measures for competing imports for example in the form of the obligation to importers of goods to purchase and surrender emissions allowances to the authorities when importing in this paper we explore some implications of border adjustment measures in the eu ets for sectors that might be subject to carbon leakage we examine the implications of two variants of these measures on the competitiveness of these sectors and on the global environment with the help of a multi sector multi region computable general equilibrium cge model of the global economy our calculations suggest that border adjustment might reduce the sectoral rate of leakage of the iron and steel industry rather forcefully but that the reduction would be less for the mineral products sector including cement the reduction of the overall or macro rate of leakage would be modest so from an environmental point of view border tax adjustments would not be a very effective policy measure but might mainly be justified by considerations of sectoral competitiveness

fulfilling the kyoto protocol in spain a matter of economic crisis or environmental policies abstract in 2008 spain exceeded by 20 9 the co2 emissions allowed by the kyoto protocol for 2012 the financial and economic crisis has transformed these figures as production fell so did energy demand and with it co2 emissions will the spanish economic crisis allow spain to fulfill its commitments with this in mind we have developed an extended input output model able to forecast energy demand and compute co2 emissions linked to the consumption of energy goods petroleum products gas and coal the results show that the crisis and in particularly the stagnation of the construction industry is only one of the pillars which help to contain these emissions at 6 81 the possibility of incorporating environmental policies new technologies and increases in the price of crude oil in these simulations means an even greater reduction of emissions than the impact of the crisis 9 76 the final result of our most pessimistic realistic scenario is that in 2012 spain will exceed its co2 emissions linked to the combustion of energy goods by only 0 9

size and linkages of the spanish construction industry key sector or deformation of the economy until its recent end the spanish construction industry enjoyed a decade of unprecedented growth absorbing labour and capital from other sectors of the economy in huge amounts using the input output methodology we compare the picture for different countries in order to seek patterns and identify possible distortions associated with the extraordinary growth of the construction sector in spain we find that the sector is plainly oversized in spain in comparison to its closest benchmarks namely a group of oecd advanced economies the available input output data for spain covering several years also provide evidence of a process of deformation of the economy on this basis we provide an initial estimate of the impact a hypothetical adjustment in the industry would have on total income and employment in the economy copyright the author 2010 published by oxford university press on behalf of the cambridge political economy society all rights reserved oxford university press

scale technique and composition effects in trade related carbon emissions in china this study applies structural decomposition analysis to evaluate the scale composition and technique effects of trade related carbon emissions in china mainland from 1987 to 2007 the initial findings indicate that the increasing magnitude of china s trade both in terms of the carbon emissions embodied in exports and the carbon emissions avoided via imports had large scale effects during the whole period the technique effect caused by changes in input mix sector energy intensity fuel mix and carbon coefficients effectively offset part of the scale effect during the entire period but failed to do so during some sub periods changes in trade composition caused a relative small increase in the carbon emissions created by exports but a relative small decrease in the carbon emissions avoided via imports during the whole period

globalization outsourcing and wage inequality there is considerable debate over whether international trade has contributed to the declining economic fortunes of less skilled workers one issue that has become lost in the current discussion is how firms respond to import competition and how these responses in turn are transmitted to the labor market in previous work we have argued that outsourcing by which we mean the import of intermediate inputs by domestic firms has contributed to an increase in the relative demand for skilled labor in the united states if firms respond to import competition from low wage countries by moving non skill intensive activities abroad then trade will shift employment towards skilled workers within industries in this paper we extend our previous work by combining new import data from the revised nber trade database with disaggregated data on input purchases from the census of manufactures we construct industry by industry estimates of outsourcing for the period 1972 1990 and reexamine whether outsourcing has contributed to an increase in relative demand for skilled labor our main finding is that outsourcing can account for 31 51 of the increase in the relative demand for skilled labor that occurred in u s manufacturing industries during the 1980s compared to our previous estimate of 15 33 this abstract was borrowed from another version of this item

the carbon content of japan us trade we analyze the greenhouse gas emissions embodied in trade between japan and the us extending the japanese government s linked japan us input output model to include carbon emission coefficients for each sector we estimate that in 1995 japan us trade reduced us industrial emissions by 14 6 million tons of co2 equivalent and increased emissions in japan by 6 7 million tons for a global savings of 7 9 million tons these quantities are less than one percent of each country s total emissions trade with the rest of the world reduced emissions by much larger amounts roughly four percent of each country s emissions the sectoral patterns of carbon intensity are strongly correlated between japan and the us in addition greater carbon intensity has a small but significantly positive effect on net exports policies that tax or otherwise regulate carbon emissions are needed to discourage this destructive route to competitiveness however the most important policy implication may be that us industry could cut its carbon emissions by more than half if it matched the environmental performance of industry in japan r 2007 elsevier ltd all rights reserved

deriving zero coupon rates alternatives to orthodoxy the bootstrapping method for deriving zero coupon rates from par yield curves implicitly assumes a specific forecast of prospective interest rate changes in the event that market conditions reflect this standard methodology but at the same time individual practitioners reject the implicit forecast contrarian opportunities will be present additionally to the extent that zero coupon discount rates are based on unacceptable assumptions any subsequent present valuation calculation using these rates would be suspect we propose two methodologies whereby any explicit interest rate forecast may be used for determining zero coupon interest rates backsliding calculates zero coupon returns by assuming interim interest cash flows are always rolled over into the longest maturity coupon bearing instruments available frontsliding requires rolling these cash flows over into the shortest maturity vehicles the choice of methodology should be driven by rate forecasts as well as whether the objective is for f

schumpeterian competition in experimental markets abstract we report on a series of laboratory experiments that capture key elements of research and development r d rivalry the experimental environment has a small number of sellers who compete in terms of pricing and production decisions and in terms of cost reducing r d rewards for innovation depend on the profitability of product market competition the experiments capture a kind of dynamic schumpeterian competition there is a sharp contrast in experimental results between monopolies and four seller competitive markets aggregate r d is higher under competition than under monopoly and prices follow marginal cost reductions much more quickly under competition than under monopoly the paper examines market performance in the experiments and the sources of market performance problems

is complete hedging optimal for international bond portfolios over the 1980s however non u s investors could have lowered their international portfolios risks by taking on some currency exposure for these investors the benefits of diversification across currencies more than offset the cost of the currencies volatilities evidently the free lunch argument misses something and investors should be concerned that the missing link might change across countries or over time

a valuation approach to currency hedging 1994 a valuation approach to currency hedging financial analysts journal vol 50 no 2 pp 55 59

assessing effectiveness of governance approaches for sustainable consumption and production in china abstract this paper analyses eight governance approaches and representative case studies on sustainable consumption and production scp in china applying a four quadrants analysis framework consumption production top down bottom up the effectiveness of governance approaches for scp are assessed and discussed several case studies and examples either enabling scp patterns or restricting unsustainable consumption and production which reflect some of the different governance approaches currently used in china are presented the analysis of the governance approaches and cases is informed by inputs and evaluations by chinese and international experts which were consulted for this paper by means of an expert survey while acknowledging the complementarity and synergistic effects of individual governance approaches experts interviewed were asked to assess the effectiveness of different approaches one by one expert assessments and case studies show that china s governance system for scp is still considered insufficient in many aspects generally top down approaches can be considered more effective than bottom up initiatives strong top down mechanisms to address and restrict unsustainable consumption patterns of individual urban consumers are a unique element of china s scp governance system chinese experiences with such top down approaches to restrict unsustainable consumption are potentially of interest for the european context and other consumer societies which so far mainly rely on soft mechanisms such as incentives voluntary action or bottom up approaches the case studies on bottom up initiatives from china show that small scale local initiatives jointly carried out by civil society communities and small businesses can be very successful in enabling both sustainable production and consumption on local levels particularly in rural areas