structural factors in the economic reforms of china eastern europe and the former soviet union reform in china and russia jeffrey sachs and wing thye woo china s experience does not show that gradual reform is superior to the shock therapy undertaken in eastern europe and the former soviet union eefsu differing performance primarily reflects different economic structures prior to reform china was a peasant agricultural society eefsu was urban and overindustrialized in both jobs in state enterprises were so heavily subsidized that workers refused to move to new industries elsewhere even when productivity in the latter was much higher in eefsu the large state sector impeded structural adjustment curtailing subsidies would have produced many losers who used their power to resist this outcome failure to curtail subsidies then cut off the potential supply of labour and other factors to new emerging firms china s state enterprises have not performed as well as the rest of the chinese economy and do not explain its success rapid growth was possible because the large agricultural sector contained vast surplus labour and did not enjoy subsidies and soft budget constraints once constraints on migration across regions and jobs were removed this labour was available to fuel expansion in new industries unlike the distributional conflict in eefsu in china reallocation of labour allowed all groups to gain in both partial liberalization also unleashed macroeconomic pressures manageable in china because of rapid growth and adequate monetary policy but explosive in much of eefsu because of deeper structural problems and gross monetary mismanagement

market structure and performance in european banking it is a peculiar feature of european banking markets that in almost every country a handful of large banks tend to emerge over time whether through government encouragement or the workings of the market mechanism from a general perpec tive however it is difficult to evaluate the competitive implications of increased concentration the traditional structure conduct performance scp paradigm would suggest that increased concentration fosters collusion and anti competitive practices whereas the efficiency hypothesis suggests otherwise this paper presents tests of the two hypotheses with respect to the european banking industry using pooled and annual date for the period 1986 to 1989 the results generally support the traditional scp paradigm as an explanation for the market behaviour of european banks

technical trading in the santa fe institute artificial stock market revisited abstract this paper reconsiders evidence of technical trading in the santa fe artificial stock market in light of an upwardly biased mutation operator while an alternative mutation operator points to no technical trading two tests other than the inappropriate investigation of the aggregate bit level establish the existence of technical trading beyond a doubt the following analysis of the two mutation operators identifies genetic drift as an important evolutionary force and provides tools to judge the relative importance of selection and genetic drift with arbitrary mutation operators it also finds that when selective forces are weak the continued existence of technical trading can be reconciled with the efficient market hypothesis

the effects of foreign strategic investors on business models in china s commercial banks does ownership structure matter abstractintroducing foreign strategic investors fsis is a vital step in the ownership reforms of china s banking industry using china s data from 1995 to 2014 we employ propensity score matching and difference in differences approaches to investigate the effects of fsis on the business models of chinese banks including income structure and funding structure we find that fsis significantly influence income structure the bank s non interest income nii share significantly rises after introducing fsis the higher ownership shares of fsis are associated with the higher nii share and the nii share has been increased when fsis assign directors or senior managers to chinese banks we also report that the effects of fsis on income structure are weaker in state owned banks than those in other banks and ownership concentration weakens the links between fsis and income structure finally this article shows that fsis have no significant influence on funding structure these findings will be informative and

the transition according to cambridge mass this paper reviews the nber s the transition in eastern europe this book s 18 essays examine privatization stabilization fiscal policies the nascent private sector bankruptcy foreign trade and investment etc individual country performance occupies six studies these essays which are of high quality provide a cross section of the literature on transition however the book s stronger conclusions are not supported by strong evidence two conclusions unemphasized by contributors emerge expectations which reflect the theories used to design standard reforms are often unfulfilled during reforms a plausible explanation for the misplaced expectations is the ahistorical approach of those theories

the quality and quantity of bank intermediation and economic growth evidence from asia pacific we investigate the impact of the quantity and quality of bank intermediation on economic growth across 14 asia pacific economies over 2003 2015 measures of bank shareholder value efficiency as wel

the effects of business models on bank risk before during and after financial crisis evidence from china using chinese data from 2004 to 2016 we investigate the effects of business models on bank risk before during and after financial crisis three main results emerge first insolvency risk and roa

money as a medium of exchange in an economy with artificially intelligent agents abstract we study the exchange economies of kiyotaki and wright 1989 in which agents must use a commodity or fiat money as a medium of exchange if trade is to occur our agents are artificially intelligent and are modeled as using classifier systems to make decisions in the assignment of credit within the classifier systems we introduce some innovations designed to study sequential decision problems in a multi agent environment for most economies that we have simulated trading and consumption patterns converge to a stationary nash equilibrium even if agents start with random rules in economies with multiple equilibria the only equilibrium that emerges in our simulations is the one in which goods with low storage costs play the role of medium of exchange i e the fundamental equilibrium of kiyotaki and wright

differential impact of korean banking system reforms on bank productivity abstract we study the impact of banking system reforms during a crisis following a period of undisciplined lending regulatory changes aimed at strengthening the banks capital structure and risk management practices do not have a uniform impact on bank productivity but rather favor financially sound or strategically privileged banks we present evidence documenting the differential impact of regulatory reforms on korean commercial bank productivity over the period 1995 2005 average technical efficiency of banks decreased during the financial crisis of 1997 1998 it improved following the subsequent bank restructuring and continued to improve through 2005 the capital adequacy ratio is positively associated with banks technical efficiency the non performing loans ratio is negatively associated with technical efficiency both relationships are accentuated during the crisis but attenuated after the reforms

the effects of reform on china s bank structure and performance abstract this paper investigates the relationship between market structure and performance in china s banking system from 1985 to 2002 a period when this sector was subject to gradual but notable reform using panel data estimation techniques both the market power and efficient structure hypotheses are tested in addition the model is extended to consider issues such as the impact of bank size ownership and whether the big four banks enjoy a quiet life on average x efficiency declined significantly and most banks were operating below scale efficient levels estimation of the structure performance models lends some support to the relative market power hypothesis in the early period the reforms had little impact on the structure of china s banking sector though the joint stock banks became relatively more x efficient there was no evidence to support the quiet life hypothesis probably because strict interest rate controls prevented the state banks from earning monopoly profits thus the ongoing liberalisation of interest rates should be accompanied by reduced concentration overall to improve competitive structure new policies should be directed at encouraging market entry and increasing the market share of the most efficient banks

banking reforms performance and risk in china we investigate the impact of the banking reform started from 2005 on ownership structures in china on commercial banks profitability efficiency and risk over the period 2000 2012 providing comprehensive evidence on the impact of banking reform in china we find that banks on average tend to have higher profitability lower risk and lower efficiency after the reforms and the results are robust with our difference in difference approach our results also show that the big 5 state owned banks socb underperform banks with other types of ownership when risk is measured by non performing loans npls over the entire study period but tend to have fewer npls than other banks during the post reform period our results provide some supporting evidence on the ongoing banking reforms in china suggesting that attracting strategic foreign investors and listing socbs on stock exchanges appear to be effective ways to help socbs deal with the problem of npls and manage their risk

on money as a medium of exchange we analyze economies in which individuals specialize in consumption and production and meet randomly over time in a way that implies that trade must be bilateral and quid pro quo nash equilibria in trading strategies are characterized certain goods emerge endogenously as media of exchange or commodity money depending both on their intrinsic properties and on extrinsic beliefs there are also equilibria with genuine fiat currency circulating as the general medium of exchange we find that equilibria are not generally pareto optimal and that introducing fiat currency into a commodity money economy may unambiguously improve welfare velocity acceptability and liquidity are discussed

the determinants and profitability of switching costs in chinese banking this article models the determinants of bank switching costs in china in terms of bank characteristics and non bank variables it also determines the contribution of switching costs to banks profits using a sample of 151 banks over the period 2003 2013 it reports a positive relationship between bank profitability and switching costs the main result is that bank size measured by total assets has a complex relationship with switching costs competition between small banks creates the incentive for lock in and increased switching costs whereas very large banks are less exercised by lock in and switching costs

economies of scale technical change and persistent and time varying cost efficiency in indian banking do ownership regulation and heterogeneity matter abstract banks with different ownership types adjust differently to changes in regulatory environments although this topic has been widely studied all the previous studies fail to control for bank heterogeneity bank specific effects in estimating cost structure and efficiency we propose a model where we control for bank heterogeneity and introduce persistent and time varying inefficiency additionally we incorporate determinants of both persistent and time varying inefficiency as well as production risks furthermore our model allows estimation of different technologies for different ownership types jointly we use this model to analyze the effect of regulation in indian banking we find that private banks have not exhausted their economies of scale foreign banks are operating under diseconomies of scale especially after the reforms and scale economies of state owned banks are unaffected by regulation banks of all ownership types have enjoyed technical progress however foreign banks have benefited the most followed by state owned banks only state banks were able to improve their cost efficiency while private banks and especially foreign banks were lagging behind their cost frontiers

the effect of bank ownership and deposit insurance on monetary policy transmission abstract in this paper we develop a theoretical model with a representative bank whose ownership is shared between state and private sector the bank faces a risk of failure and provides private and public explicit deposit insurance banks owned to a larger extent by the government are more able to counteract a restrictive monetary policy because of their capacity to raise additional volume of deposits therefore the greater the state s share in the bank ownership the less the impact of a monetary tightening on the level of loan supply

commercial bank ownership and performance in china this study examines the determinants of bank performance based on proxy variables that assess the quality of assets profitability liquidity and overall performance using a sample of 111 chinese commercial banks over the period of 2000 2012 we find that foreign banks appear to have better asset quality and overall performance although lower profitability compared to domestic banks in contrast the state owned banks tend to be more profitable and have better liquidity position compared with other domestic banks and foreign banks at bank level equity liability ratio exerts significant influence on overall bank performance while at the macroeconomic level per capital gdp gdp growth inflation and unemployment rates appear to have a bearing on bank performance

a microscopic model of the stock market cycles booms and crashes abstract we present a model of the stock market based on the behavior of individual investors simulations exhibit rich phenomena which include cycles booms and crashes low dividend yield and more homogeneous market participants are shown to induce crashes

service sector protection considerations for developing countries the inclusion of services in the uruguay round of multilateral trade negotiations has focused attention on the protection of domestic service suppliers against competition from foreign suppliers issues arising from these negotiations however may obscure another and more important issue the case for unilateral liberalization this article first surveys methods of protection in the service sector and then examines the likely cost of protection particular attention is given to developing countries what evidence there is suggests that the costs of protection may be high the article also discusses economic principles that could guide a review of policy toward international transactions in the service sector quantitative restrictions or bans on foreign service suppliers whether they wish to supply through trade or establishment cannot easily be defended in economic terms and provide an obvious first target

the structure performance relationship for european banking abstract the relationship between market structure and performance has been studied extensively for american banking in contrast little work has been done to investigate this relationship for european banking two explanations of a positive correlation between profitability and concentration have been advanced the traditional structure performance hypothesis scp and the efficient structure hypothesis previous empirical tests of the alternative hypotheses have yielded mixed results but the tests were not robust because they did not incorporate measures of efficiency directly in the model this study applies a stochastic cost frontier as proposed by aigner et al 1977 to derive measures of x inefficiency and scale inefficiency under the assumption that the errors are distributed half normal we incorporate these measures of inefficiencies directly into the tests as proposed by berger and hannan 1993 we do not find a positive and significant relationship between concentration and profitability for a sample of banks across 11 european countries over a four year period 1988 1991 however we do find evidence to support one of the two versions of the efficient structure hypothesis for banks located in countries with low concentration of banks since little support is found for either of the scp hypotheses a simple policy of strict limitations on cross border acquisitions and growth is not warranted

does deposit insurance improve financial intermediation evidence from the russian experiment this study examines how the introduction of deposit insurance affects depositors and banks using the deposit insurance scheme introduced into the russian banking system as a natural experiment the fundamental research question is whether the introduction of deposit insurance leads to a more effective banking system as evidenced by increased deposit taking and decreased reliance upon state owned banks as custodians of retail deposits we find that banks entering the new deposit insurance system increase both their level of retail deposits and their ratios of retail deposits to total assets relative to banks that do not enter the new deposit insurance system these results hold up in a multivariate panel data analysis that controls for bank and time random effects the longer a bank has been entered into the deposit insurance system the greater is its level of deposits and its ratio of deposits to assets moreover this effect is stronger for regional banks and for smaller banks we also find that implementation of the new deposit insurance system has the effect of leveling the playing field between state owned banks and privately owned banks finally we find strong evidence of moral hazard following implementation of deposit insurance in the form of increased bank risk taking financial risk and to a lesser degree operating risk increase following implementation