bank spread with uncertain deposit level and risk aversion abstract this paper derives a model of the banking firm under uncertainty and risk aversion the selection of the bank s optimal spread between loan and deposit rates is emphasized the model s results provide some implications for bank asset quality capital regulation and deposit insurance for example it is shown that increases in the level of equity capital tend to increase the bank s spread under dara this implies an improvement in bank asset quality on the other hand as the deposit supply function becomes more volatile the bank s spread narrows which implies a decline in the quality of the bank s assets

the mineral economy a model for the shape of oil production curves abstract the production and the depletion of mineral resources and especially oil and fossil fuels has been an object of extensive predictive modeling these predictions are often derived from hubbert s model which is based on the fitting of the experimental data to a symmetric bell shaped curve although this model describes several historical cases in particular crude oil production in the lower 48 us states not all theoretical models for the mineral economy are based on symmetric curves also not much attention has been dedicated so far to the mechanisms which lead to such a behavior in particular scarce attention has been dedicated to the factors which may make the production curve asymmetric e g a decline in production more abrupt than the growth in the present paper the author uses a stochastic model to examine factors affecting these phenomena the results of the simulations indicate that the production curves of a non renewable resource may be asymmetric in dependence on factors such as the search strategy or the presence of technological improvements considering worldwide oil production the simulations indicate that the after peak downward slope might turn out to be considerably more steep than the upward slope something that could have unpleasant effects on the economy

nonrenewable resource scarcity nonrenewable resource theory often is summarized by hotelling s rule this paper reviews theoretical extensions and empirical investigations of resource extraction models observed data are often inconsistent with the hotelling rule suggesting that other characteristics of nonrenewable resource supply including exploration heterogeneous ore quality technological progress and capital investment are important determinants of the dynamic behavior of resource prices given the persistent recurrence of concern about nonrenewable resource scarcity measures of nonrenewable resource scarcity and the empirical evidence for the time trends of those measures are reviewed finally the implications of nonrenewable resource scarcity for economic growth are examined

credit lines and credit utilization while much is known about the characteristics of consumers or businesses that obtain credit lines relatively little is known empirically about credit line utilization after origination this study fills that gap by testing two interrelated hypotheses concerning borrower credit quality and credit line utilization the empirical analysis confirms that borrowers with higher expectations of future credit quality deterioration originate credit lines to preserve financial flexibility furthermore we estimate a competing risks model that confirms our predictions concerning changes in borrower credit line utilization in response to borrower credit quality shocks

on the determinants of bank interest margins under credit and interest rate risks abstract this paper explores the determinants of optimal bank interest margins based on a simple firm theoretical model under multiple sources of uncertainty and risk aversion the model demonstrates how cost regulation credit risk and interest rate risk conditions jointly determine the optimal bank interest margin decision we find that the bank interest margin is positively related to the bank s market power to the operating costs to the degree of credit risk and to the degree of interest rate risk an increase in the bank s equity capital has a negative effect on the spread when the bank faces little interest rate risk the effect of rising interbank market rate on the spread is ambiguous and depends on the net position of the bank in the interbank market our findings provide alternative explanations for the empirical evidence concerning bank spread behavior

what is the effect of unconventional monetary policy on bank performance this paper examines the relationship between unconventional monetary policy and the us banking performance unconventional monetary policy is captured through the central bank s assets and excess reserves results show that unconventional monetary policy has a negative relationship with bank performance further analysis shows that the negative association between unconventional monetary policy and performance is mitigated for banks with a high level of asset diversification and low deposit funding we also find that the negative relationship between unconventional monetary policy and performance subdues for deposit insured financial institutions finally we use dynamic panel threshold analysis which reveals that the negative association between unconventional monetary policy and bank performance is particularly pronounced above the reported threshold value

service sector restrictiveness and economic performance an estimation for the mena region this article aims to assess barriers to service provision in the banking and telecom sectors of four middle east and north africa mena countries and the impact of these barriers on firm performance our methodology involves the computation of aggregate and modal trade restrictiveness indices tris by sector and utilisation of these tris as regressors of firms economic performance our analysis shows that significant regulatory reforms have taken place in the service sectors over the last decade in the mena region but that a broad range of restrictions still remain the most significant change in these service sectors has been the lifting or softening of constraints on foreign equity participation these regulatory reforms however have had varying degrees of impact on market structure depending on the country the sector and the mode moreover service restrictions have had an impact on economic performance in the three studied sectors while a rent creating effect seems to dominate restrictions on banking and fixed telecom sectors a cost inefficiency effect seems to dominate the mobile telecom sector finally we find evidence of interactions between modal restrictions for banking services our results suggest a complementarity between modes 3 and 1 as well as a substitution effect between modes 3 and 4 in the banking sector

an economic rationale for the pricing structure of bank loan commitments abstract an economic rationale is provided for the competitive equilibrium deployment of commitment and usage fees in loan commitment pricing it is shown that under perfect information assessing both fees rather than just one permits optimal risk sharing when the borrower is privately informed about its probability of future commitment utilization commitment and usage fees can be used to induce borrowers to identify themselves by self selection through contract choice the equilibrium characterized here is dissipative and thus raises the usual existence questions which are addressed in the paper

commercial paper bank reserve requirements and the informational role of loan commitments abstract an explanation is provided of the often observed purchase of back up bank loan commitments by corporations immediately preceding their sale of dealer placed commercial paper since loan commitments are typically viewed as hedging instruments our paper explains why a risk neutral corporation would purchase this type of instrument and how it is priced it is assumed that while firms know their own credit risks neither banks nor the paper market can distinguish between some credit applicants we show that the purchase of a commitment can identify these firms to the market the equilibrium is partially revealing of the firms with unobservable quality those with higher quality identify themselves by purchasing commitments while those with lower quality sell unbacked paper and are pooled together unbacked paper is sold also by firms whose quality is observable unidentified firms in the lowest quality range do not sell commercial paper

the determinants of bank interest margins theory and empirical evidence this paper has developed a model of bank margins or spreads in which the bank is viewed as a risk averse dealer it was demonstrated that an interest spread or margin would always exist and that this was the result of transactions uncertainty faced by the bank moreover it was shown that this pure spread depended on four factors the degree of managerial risk aversion the size of transactions undertaken by the bank bank market structure and the variance of interest rates the model implied that liability and asset structures had to be analyzed together since they were directly interrelated through transactions uncertainty it was shown that because of this transactions uncertainty hedging behavior was perfectly rational within an expected utility maximizing framework extending the model from a structure with one kind of loan and deposit to loans and deposits with many maturities should lead to further interesting insights into margin determination especially as portfolio effects may become apparent

understanding the behavior of bank spreads in latin america abstract over the last decade many countries in latin america have eliminated interest rate ceilings reduced reserve requirements and stopped direct credit controls these market oriented reforms have encouraged financial deepening thereby producing considerable economic benefits to the countries nevertheless the persistence of high interest rate spreads has been a disquieting outcome of the reforms this paper explores the determinants of bank spreads in a systematic way for argentina bolivia chile colombia mexico peru and uruguay during the mid 1990s the analysis shows that high operating costs raise spreads as do high levels of non performing loans although the size of these effects differs across the countries in addition reserve requirements in a number of countries still act as a tax on banks that gets translated into a higher spread beyond bank specific variables uncertainty in the macroeconomic environment facing banks appears to increase interest spreads the combination of these microeconomic and macroeconomic factors is a cause for concern in latin america as spreads widen the cost of using the financial system becomes prohibitive to some potential borrowers in addition the results suggest that bank capital requirements may not prevent excessive risk taking by banks when bank spreads are high

can good governance lower bank intermediation costs this paper argues that better governance practices can reduce the costs risks and uncertainty of financial intermediation our sample covers 100 high middle and low income countries during 1996

on the portents of peak oil and other indicators of resource scarcity economists have studied various indicators of resource scarcity but largely ignored the phenomenon of peaking due to its connection to non economic physical theories of resource exhaustion i consider peaking from the economic point of view where economic forces determine the shape of the equilibrium extraction path within that framework i ask whether the timing of peak production reveals anything useful about scarcity i find peaking to be an ambiguous indicator if someone announced the peak would arrive earlier than expected and you believed them you would not know whether the news was good or bad however i also show that the traditional economic indicators of resource scarcity price cost and rent fare no better and argue that previous studies have misconstrued the connection between changes in underlying scarcity and movements in these traditional indicators

the dynamic structure of optimal debt contracts abstract in a two period model of costly state verification the optimal contract is characterized and shown to exist the optimal contract is interpreted as a bond contract the model extends the result of one period models that the verification region must be a left tail interval to a multi period setting conditions are identified for the optimal contract to exhibit features such as call prepayment option coupon payment or sinking fund the optimality of certain bond covenants such as refinancing covenants and dividends covenants is also studied

search frictions credit market liquidity and net interest margin cyclicality the present paper contributes to the body of knowledge on search frictions in credit markets by demonstrating their ability to explain why the net interest margins of banks behave countercyclically during periods of expansion a fall in the net interest margin proceeds from two mechanisms i lenders accept that they must finance entrepreneurs that have lower productivity and ii the liquidity of the credit market rises which simplifies access to loans for entrepreneurs and thereby reinforces their threat point when bargaining the interest rate of the loan

does judicial efficiency lower the cost of credit the authors investigate the effect of judicial efficiency on banks lending spreads for a large cross section of countries they measure bank interest rate spreads for 106 countries at an aggregate level and for 32 countries at the level of individual banks the authors find that after controlling for a number of other country characteristics judicial efficiency in addition to inflation is the main driver of interest rate spreads across countries this suggests that in addition to improving the overall macroeconomic climate in a country judicial reforms through a better enforcement of legal contracts are critical to lowering the cost of financial intermediation for households and firms

banking spreads in latin america i introduction financial intermediation in latin america is low by international standards financial systems in latin america are still largely bank based but after a short period of strong credit growth sparked by financial liberalization in the early 1990s bank lending has not yet recovered from the collapse following the banking crises of the mid 1990s as shown by singh et al 2005 as a result from figure 1 it is clear that bank lending as a percentage of gross domestic product gdp is low compared to industrialized countries and other emerging markets this lack of financial intermediation is seen as an important obstacle to growth there is a considerable body of evidence indicating that financial intermediation is not only correlated with growth but also a causal factor in explaining economic performance see e g levine 2004 the low levels of lending in latin america appear related to the prevalence of high intermediation costs in the region intermediation spreads in latin america are high compared to those in other banking markets this is true when measuring spreads as either ex ante bank spreads the difference between weighted averages of lending rates and bank funding costs figure 2 or ex post net interest margins defined as the bank s total interest income minus total interest expense divided by the sum of interest bearing assets figure 3 the high levels of spreads are not a recent phenomenon and unlikely to be a result of the ongoing process of bank consolidation as in other regions in the 1990s latin america saw a trend toward bank consolidation and concentration to a large extent as depicted in inter american development bank 2004 consolidation was driven by financial crises and subsequent regulatory tightening while this resulted in a marked reduction in the number of banks in most countries it does not seem to have yielded a decline in competition intensity partly because it was accompanied by a lowering of barriers of entry to foreign banks which is shown in gelos and roldos 2004 and inter american development bank 2004 in fact banking spreads have fallen somewhat over the past decade although the pace of the reduction has been slow figure 4 1 this paper takes a closer look at the determinants of bank interest margins in latin america using bank and country level data from 85 countries including 14 latin american economies we assess the role of bankand country specific factors in determining banking spreads using microdata from more than 2 200 banks taking an international perspective allows us to delineate the key dimensions in which latin america differs from other regions the paper differs from existing studies in further dimensions apart from the latin american specific focus in a cross country approach among other aspects we make use of new or expanded data sets including comprehensive information on reserve requirements and foreign ownership and investigate the relationship between competition and bank spreads using behavioral measures of bank competition suggested by the new industrial organization literature figure 1 omitted figure 2 omitted the results suggest that latin america has higher interest rate levels less efficient banks and larger reserve requirements than other regions and that these factors have a significant impact on spreads however latin american countries do not differ markedly from their peers in other aspects that are found important in determining the cost of financial intermediation such as inflation bank profit taxation average bank size or average equity as a percentage of total bank assets ii the determinants of spreads literature review the extensive literature on bank behavior suggests that at the country level the following factors are likely to influence the cost of credit creditor rights and the quality of the legal framework higher recovery rates and shorter times to repossess collateral in countries with better legal environments are expected to reduce bank spreads

seniority and maturity of debt contracts abstract this paper provides a model of how borrowers with private information about their credit prospects choose seniority and maturity of debt increased short term debt leads lenders to liquidate too often it also increases the sensitivity of financing costs to new information although better than average borrowers desire information sensitivity the model implies that short term debt will be senior to long term debt and that long term debt will allow the issue of additional future senior debt the model also has implications on the structure of leveraged buyouts and on how various types of lenders respond to potential defaults

an instantaneous control model of bank reserves and federal funds management abstract empirical evidence indicates that large banks are generally net buyers of federal funds while small banks tend to be net sellers asymmetric information bank monopoly power or risk aversion arguments have been offered for this phenomenon however these models do not address the close link between bank reserves and federal funds purchases as alternative means of liquidity management our stochastic control model focuses on this link and has three main implications 1 it analyzes interaction between the above mentioned influences 2 it identifies three additional reasons for banks federal funds activity and 3 it examines the transmission of monetary policy in a dynamic framework

toward a theory of bank loan commitments abstract the characteristics of fixed and variable rate bank loan commitments are analyzed in a contingent claims framework and valuation expressions are derived for these commitments the valuation expressions are used to present estimates of the impact of interest rate uncertainty on the liability assumed by a bank issuing loan commitments finally a simple two period asymmetric information model is employed to explain the recent trend among bankers to substitute variable rate commitments for their fixed rate counterparts

a micro model of the federal funds market this paper demonstrates that valuable insights into the determination of federal funds rates can be gained through modeling the micro decisions of market participants fed fund demand functions are derived for different bank valuation functions and several implications are discussed specifically it is i possible to rationalize the observation that large banks are net purchasers and small banks net sellers of fed funds ii to explain the positive spread of fed funds rates over other short term money market rates and iii to link the size of this spread to the federal reserve s underlying monetary policy strategy

economic indicators of resource scarcity a critical essay abstract the theoretical arguments of the conceptual and empirical literature on economic indicators of long run resource scarcity are logically flawed if resource allocators were informed of the nature of resource scarcity their behavior and the economic indicators it generates would reflect the scarcity but if they were so informed we could simply ask them if resources were scarce if they are not informed their behavior and economic indicators are as likely to indicate their ignorance as the reality unfortunately there is no way of knowing whether they are informed or not unless we already know whether resources are scarce

the impact of loan prepayment risk and deposit withdrawal risk on the optimal intermediation margin abstract numerous studies have analyzed how a bank s intermediation margin varies with respect to such factors as credit quality funding risk bank capital deposit insurance and other factors however these studies ignore the potential that loans tend to prepay if interest rates decline and deposits tend to be withdrawn if interest rates rise taking this very fundamental fact into account we derive optimal loan rates and deposit rates when the bank is subject to loan prepayments and deposit withdrawals among other things we find that greater volatility of interest rates tends to increase the margin the strength of the correlation between the level of interest rates and the propensity to prepay loans withdraw deposits also plays an interesting role

how does equity capital cost affect bank performance during a financial crisis this article theoretically examines how equity capital cost affects return performance and safety of a bank and how this effect varies across a financial crisis comparing to a normal time when the bank manager s performance reveals the like of higher equity return and the dislike of higher equity risk we derive two main results first an increase in the bank s equity capital cost from an increase of the interest rate of the federal funds results in a reduced loan risk taking at an increased optimal bank interest margin implying better bank performance second by ignoring the dislike we find that the better performance is reinforced during a financial crisis but is reduced during a normal time financial crises and the dislike preference as such contribute a relatively low return and the stability of banking activities

the effect of capital structure on a firm s liquidation decision abstract a firm s liquidation can impose costs on its customers workers and suppliers an agency relationship between these individuals and the firm exists in that the liquidation decision controlled by the firm as the agent affects other individuals the customers workers and suppliers as principals the analysis in this paper suggests that capital structure can control the incentive conflict problem of this relationship by serving as a pre positioning or bonding mechanism appropriate selection of capital structure assures that incentives are aligned so that the firm implements the ex ante value maximizing liquidation policy

the interest rate pass through in the euro area during the sovereign debt crisis abstract we investigate the pass through of monetary policy to bank lending rates in the euro area during the sovereign debt crisis in comparison to the pre crisis period we make the following contributions first we use a factor augmented vector autoregression which allows us to assess the responses of a large number of country specific interest rates and spreads second we analyze the effects of monetary policy on the components of the interest rate pass through which reflect banks funding risk including sovereign risk and markups charged by banks over funding costs third we not only consider conventional but also unconventional monetary policy we find that while the transmission of conventional monetary policy to bank lending rates has not changed with the crisis the composition of the pass through has changed specifically expansionary conventional monetary policy lowered sovereign risk in peripheral countries and longer term bank funding risk in peripheral and core countries during the crisis but has been unable to lower banks markups this was not or not as much the case prior to the crisis unconventional monetary policy helped decreasing lending rates mainly due to large shocks rather than a strong propagation

a canonical correlation analysis of commercial bank asset liability structures commercial banks have been the subjects of a large body of empirical re search employing regression and econometric models and discriminant analysis the purpose of this paper is to empirically identify and describe relationships including hedging behavior between the asset side and the liability capital side of the balance sheets of a cross section of large u s banks canonical correla tion analysis is the statistical technique that is employed unlike regression anal ysis which explains the behavior of a single dependent variable as a function of a set of independent variables canonical correlation analysis relates two sets of variables in the present case one set of variables is the composition of the lefthand side of the balance sheet and the other set is the right hand side the vari ables used in this study are asset and liability capital categories expressed as a proportion of total bank assets i e a percentage breakdown of the balance sheet or a common size statement these proportions are used in lieu of the more usual financial ratios and no information exogenous to the bank is employed a recent article by stowe watson and robertson 22 examines the rela tionships between the two sides of the balance sheets of a cross section of 510 large nonfinancial corporations they used canonical correlation analysis to ex plore relationships between the structure of the left and right hand sides of the balance sheet 1 the empirical results suggested several relationships 1 the firms seemed to use hedging matching the maturity structure of assets and lia bilities 2 some assets such as accounts receivable and real estate could be used as collateral for short term bank or factor loans and mortgages respectively 3 commodity producing firms should have higher levels of both inventories and accounts payable than service providing firms and 4 high risk businesses may

exploration and scarcity noting that a suggested measure of natural resource scarcity resource rent is unobservable we show that rent is linked to observable marginal exploration cost a two period model of extraction and exploration reveals that rent is equal to this cost when discovery is certain under risky exploration cost data can be used to bound rent the model also indicates how exploration uncertainty affects the competitive firm s extraction and exploration decisions finally the behavior of u s oil and gas exploration costs suggests that these costs were rising in the postwar era which has different implications for scarcity than indicated by other measures of scarcity

foreign entry and the mexican banking system 1997 2007 proquest denotes formulae omitted in recent years governments around the world have been opening up their banking systems to foreign competition with the expectation of making them more efficient stable and resilient to shocks academics and policymakers have therefore been exploring the effects of foreign bank entry from both a theoretical and an empirical point of view most studies conclude that foreign entry increases the contestability of markets thereby reducing administrative costs lowering net interest margins nims and driving down bank rates of return nevertheless as clarke and others note much of what we know comes from cross country studies that are heavily weighted toward developed economies 1 this is particularly crucial because the impact of foreign entry may vary with the level of economic development 2the literature to date on foreign bank entry in developing economies does not provide a consensus set of results there is some evidence that foreign entry increases social welfare clarke cull and martinez peria find that enterprises in countries with high levels of foreign bank participation tend to rank interest rates and access to long term loans as lesser constraints on their operations and growth than do enterprises in countries with low levels of foreign bank participation 3 martinez peria and mody analyzing a group of latin american cases in a pooled time series cross sectional framework find that foreign banks charge lower interest rate spreads than domestically owned banks 4 they also find that foreign bank entry is associated with an overall increase in administrative efficiency and a decrease in interest spreads suggesting that foreign entry spurred competition denizer obtains similar results in a study of turkey foreign entry reduced domestic bank overhead expenses as well as bank profitability 5 unite and sullivan find that foreign entry was associated with declines in interest rate spreads overhead expenses and profits in the philippines but the effect was confined to domestic banks that had been tied to business groups 6 kasekende and sebudde report that foreign banks in uganda have better internal control mechanisms than domestic banks in terms of judging the quality of borrowers 7not all the evidence points in the same direction however havrylchyk finds that foreign banks in poland are more efficient than domestic banks but then shows that the efficiency gains are all located in so called greenfield banks domestic banks that are acquired by foreign banks do not become more efficient 8 cardim de carvalho finds no differences between foreign and domestic banks in brazil in terms of credit allocation or technical efficiency 9 indeed technical progress in online banking and automation in brazil has been introduced more aggressively by domestically owned banks claessens demirguc kunt and huizinga find that foreign banks operating in developing economies have higher overhead expenses charge higher interest margins and earn higher rates of return than domestic banks 10foreign banks may also be less willing to extend credit on the basis of softknowledge about firms than domestically owned banks studies of argentina and pakistan suggest that foreign entry may therefore give larger firms even greater advantages by exacerbating problems of differential access to capital 11 the finding that foreign banks eschew soft knowledge lending is supported by multicountry studies that use panel data techniques detragiache tressel and gupta report that foreign entry in a panel of poor economies is associated with a net reduction in total lending to the private sector foreign banks appear to have skimmed offthe best credit risks leaving domestic banks with a pool of weaker borrowers from which to select 12 a related body of research suggests that foreign banks represent a trade offfor a developing country galindo micco and powell develop a model and present evidence indicating that foreign banks may be less susceptible to funding shocks than domestic banks because they can tap capital from their home institutions but at the same time foreign banks are more reactive to shocks that affect expected returns

the mineral economy how prices and costs can falsely signal decreasing scarcity abstract natural resource prices and costs of extraction have declined simultaneously with increasing quantities of extraction for a long time in a hotelling sense this indicates decreasing scarcity since low cost resources normally would be used first and quantities of extraction normally would decrease over time the main reason for the trend being opposite to hotelling characteristics is usually thought to be due to technological innovation however an alternative reason for decreasing costs and prices and increasing quantities of extraction may be due to georgescu roegen s georgescu roegen nicholas 1972 energy and economic myth in georgescu roegen nicholas ed energy and economic myths institutional and analytical economic essays published 1976 pergamon press new york pp 3 36 concept of bonanza where there is only the appearance of decreasing scarcity norgaard s norgaard r b 1990 economic indicators of resource scarcity a critical essay j environ econ manage 19 1 19 25 mayflower problem can be used to model an alternative neo classical approach to resource extraction and scarcity in this paper a model of resource exploration is developed where the explorer does not know total reserves of the resource base as he searches for and extracts the natural resource the explorer never entirely knows how big the resource base is but does gain information about the potential location of new reserves as discovery proceeds that reduces exploration costs the lower exploration costs can cause the price to fall over time until eventually scarcity of the resource causes the price to rise the true scarcity is only revealed towards the end of exhaustion the model shows that it is possible to have several years of increasing production simultaneous with lower prices and costs until a sudden intense price rise occurs with a huge cut in production when technology is able to cut costs and increase the reserve base the decline in prices and costs and the increase in production can last longer however even with better technology it is still possible for a sharp increase in price as long as demand is growing faster than technological innovation the problem is that the true size of the resource base is never known society does not know if technology is actually overcoming scarcity or not until demand for a resource outstrips supplies it is even possible for a price shock of incredible magnitude to surprise an economy within one or two years after a hundred years of declining prices and increasing production

competitive equilibrium with type convergence in an asymmetrically informed market this article studies an asymmetric information game with type convergence in which under some realizations of a common uncertainity inducing informed agents to reveal their types through self selection by contract choice is either costly or impossible under other realizations self selection permits costless distinctions between informed agents i obtain sufficient conditions under which contracting with options prior to the realization of the common uncertainity leads to the existence of a perfectly separating costless nash equilibrium applications to variable rate loan commitments and life insurance contracting are discussed article published by oxford university press on behalf of the society for financial studies in its journal the review of financial studies

loan commitment contracts terms of lending and credit allocation this paper analyzes the structure of loan commitment contracts and the interrelationships among their component parameters lenders offer borrowers a set of loan packages from which the latter may choose that package found to be most appealing borrowers may trade off changes in any loan parameter in exchange for other adjustments the borrower at this time may purchase a larger credit ration for a price supporting empirical evidence is presented recently researchers have begun to study the determinants of loan commitment or line of credit contracts such contracts play an extremely important role in bank credit allocation according to the federal reserve bulletin over 70 of u s commercial and industrial loans are made under loan commitment contracts given the central importance of the institution it is not surprising that it is the subject of a growing literature loan commitment contracts have importance both at the micro level in terms of the bank customer relationship and at the marco level in terms of the channels of operation of monetary policy in this paper we seek to present and test empirically an analytic model of loan commitment contracts our paper differs from most previous work in that we include empirical analysis of credit allocation moreover most previous theoretical work on the subject has concentrated on the specific issue of pricing of the contracts often using an approach based on option theory and not on the quantity allocation of credit and its determinants we are particularly interested in the determinants of the quantitative allocation of credit to bank customers and in the composition of and trade offs among the various parameters comprising such a loan commitment package our model helps explain how contract terms are established in the market and will illuminate the institutional framework of commercial lending a view of the credit contract as a package of loan terms has been implied recently in connection with the credit rationing problem studies by azzi and cox 21 arzac schwartz and whitcomb 11 and koskela 81 show that the

a time series cross section analysis of the determinants of australian trading bank loan deposit interest margins 1962 1981 abstract a theoretical model of the determination of trading bank interest margins based on the hedging theory of interest margin determination is tested on time series cross section data of australian trading banks generally the results are consistent with that theory that is there exists a stable non linear relationship between australian trading bank net loan deposit interest margins and measures of market power degree of absolute risk aversion and to interest rate uncertainty furthermore the shift from business sector to personal sector loan and deposit business is associated with increased bank interest margins

how foreign participation and market concentration impact bank spreads evidence from latin america increasing foreign participation and high concentration levels characterize the recent evolution of banking sectors market structures in developing countries the authors analyze the impact of these factors on latin american bank spreads during the late 1990s their results suggest that foreign banks were able to charge lower spreads relative to domestic banks this was more so for de novo foreign banks than for those that entered through acquisitions the overall level of foreign bank participation seemed to influence spreads indirectly primarily through its effect on administrative costs bank concentration was positively and directly related to both higher spreads and costs

competition risk neutrality and loan commitments abstract we rationalize fixed rate loan commitments forward credit contracting with options in a competitive credit market with universal risk neutrality future interest rates are random but there are no transactions costs borrowers finance projects with bank loans and choose ex post unobservable actions that affect project payoffs credit contract design by the bank is the outcome of a non cooperative nash game between the bank and the borrower the initial formal analysis is basically in two steps first we show that the only spot credit market nash equilibria that exist are inefficient in the sense that they result in welfare losses for borrowers due to the bank s informational handicap second we show that loan commitments because of their ability to weaken the link between the offering bank s expected profit and the loan interest rate enable the complete elimination of informationally induced welfare losses and thus produce an outcome that strictly pareto dominates any spot market equilibrium perhaps our most surprising result is that if the borrower has some initial liquidity it is better for the borrower to use it now to pay a commitment fee and buy a loan commitment that entitles it to borrow in the future rather than save it for use as inside equity in conjunction with spot borrowing

factors affecting the performance of foreign owned banks in australia a cross sectional study abstract this study extends the existing literature of international banking by constructing a model of foreign intermediaries in australia an unresolved question is establishing those factors that result in banking across borders while a variety of theories attempt to explain international banking empirical tests are sparse mahajan a rangan n zardkoohi a 1996 journal of banking and finance 20 283 306 this study considers if the results to date apply in non us settings foreign bank size was found to be a positive function of bank licence parent size and time in australia and a negative function of australian net interest margins and fees the negative sign on net interest margins and fees is consistent with de young r nolle d 1996 journal of money credit and banking 28 622 636 foreign bank profits were a positive function of australian net interest margins and fees there was limited evidence of defensive expansion this paper concludes that foreign bank size is explained well by the existing theories of international banking but a wider model is appropriate for foreign bank profits

winners and losers from financial derivatives use evidence from community banks this article provides empirical evidence on how profitability of small community banks was affected by derivatives use before and after the 2008 crisis we use an endogenous switching regressions m

banks net interest margin in the 2000s a macro accounting international perspective this paper re examines the determinants of net interest margin nim in the banking industries of 15 developed and emerging economies it presents three main contributions with respect to previous studies first we analyze the determinants of nim in the years leading to the 2008 financial crisis second we account for the role of different accounting standards across countries third we use multi way cluster estimation methodologies which control for cross sectional and time series dependence in macroeconomic and banking variables we find that the introduction of international financial reporting standards ifrss contributed to lower nim variations unexplained by standard accounting variables interest rate volatility is found to be positively and strongly related to nim dynamics whereas inflation risk is often found to be a relevant driver of nim cross country differences

why are interest spreads so high in uganda using international comparisons and a unique bank level dataset on the ugandan banking system over the period 1999 to 2005 we explore the factors behind consistently high interest rate spreads and margins international comparisons show that the small size of ugandan banks persistently high t bill rates and institutional deficiencies explain large proportions of the high ugandan interest rate margins the ugandan bank panel confirms the importance of macroeconomic factors such as high inflation high t bill rates and exchange rate appreciation there is also evidence for the small market place and high costs of doing business explaining persistently high spreads and margins smaller banks and banks targeting the low end of the market incur higher costs and therefore higher margins spreads and margins also vary significantly with the sectoral loan portfolio composition of banks while there is little evidence for foreign bank entry privatization or changes in market structure explaining variation in spreads or margins over time

bank loan commitments and interest rate volatility bank loan commitments are examined in the context of option pricing models and a valuation formula is obtained the partial takedown phenomenon which is both distinctive and vexatious is considered in detail finally estimates of the value of u s bank loan commitments and their sensitivity to interest rate changes are provided

interest margins and bank regulation in central america and the caribbean abstract this paper examines empirically the determinants of bank interest margins in central america and the caribbean over the period 1998 2014 a particular focus is set on the impact of differences in the regulatory environment and market structure across countries in explaining the interest margins of individual banks our results suggest that bank market power operating costs credit risk and liquid asset holdings increase the margin between loan and deposit rates while increased income diversification and gdp growth are associated with lower loan deposit spreads when considering information on banking regulation we find strong evidence to support our main hypothesis that improvements in market quality and liberalization have a significant effect on interest margins more specifically reductions in entry requirements to banking higher involvement of foreign banks and increased financial statement transparency are associated with significant reductions in interest margins

on the inevitable return of higher oil prices abstract must oil prices eventually return to or rise above their 1980 peak levels or will history record that high oil prices were a passing phenomenon this article argues that their return to higher levels is inevitable many perhaps most energy analysts apparently accept this view but some do not among those who expect higher oil prices there is a split on the question of when most look to the 1990s but some say it will be a century or more

the determinants of net interest income in the mexican banking system an integrated model abstract this paper analyzes net interest income in the mexican banking system over the period 1993 2005 taking as reference the seminal work by ho and saunders ho t saunders a 1981 the determinants of banks interest margins theory and empirical evidence journal of financial and quantitative analysis xvi 4 581 600 and subsequent extensions by other authors our study models the net interest margin simultaneously including operating costs and diversification and specialization as determinants of the margin the results referring to the mexican case show that its high margins can be explained mainly by average operating costs and by market power although non interest income has increased in recent years its economic impact is low

liquidation under moral hazard optimal debt maturity and loan commitments abstract this paper examines the benefits and limitations of loan commitment financing commitments enable firms to adopt more efficient liquidation policies we demonstrate however that the limitations of commitment financing depend on a number of firm characteristics in some circumstances firms find long term debt to be a superior alternative to commitment financing this provides a possible explanation for why loan commitments are not universally utilized by considering both the benefits as well as the limitations of loan commitment financing we are also able to integrate loan commitment contracts into a model of optimal debt maturity

the use of bank lines of credit in corporate liquidity management a review of empirical evidence abstract this paper reviews empirical evidence on the use of bank lines of credit as a source of corporate liquidity traditional explanation for lines of credit is that they provide insurance against liquidity shocks in much the same as way hoarding cash does however recent empirical research suggests that access to lines of credit is contingent on the credit quality of the borrower as well as the financial condition of the lender these findings suggest that lines of credit are an imperfect substitute for cash as a source of corporate liquidity

basic interest rate bank competition and bank spread in personal credit operations in brazil a theoretical and empirical analysis abstract the debate on the strategy of banking spread reduction in brazil has been extended for a long time and was fundamentally concentrated in macroeconomics aspects this paper has the goal of evaluate the new policy of banking spread reduction implemented by the federal government which has added microeconomic aspects to this tendency in order to do so a mathematical model was presented that combines microeconomics aspects such as was developed by nakane 2001 with macroeconomics aspects originally presented by ho and saunders 1981 this model was tested for the 25 largest banks in the period of march 2009 to march 2013 using the panel data methodology the gmm system model was the one that best fitted the data gathered and the results showed that both aspects are relevant in explaining the banking spread in brazil and should not be analyzed separately as is frequently made in the literature considering the econometric problems related to the omission bias of relevant variables

financial consumer protection and the cost of financial intermediation evidence from advanced and developing economies using a data set of approximately 3 000 commercial banks from more than 100 countries i examine the impact of financial consumer protection policies on the cost of financial intermediation i find evidence that the existence of internal mechanisms for handling complaints requirements for fair treatment supervisory power related to consumer protection and various disclosure requirements reduce the cost of financial intermediation in advanced countries the results are different in the case of developing countries where i observe that most financial consumer protection policies increase the cost of intermediation suggesting that banks pass on regulatory burdens to their customers this paper was accepted by amit seru finance

extraction costs and the economics of nonrenewable resources the study questions the fundamental assumption of the standard aggregate exploration extraction model of nonrenewable resources that extraction costs and the level of reserves are inversely related it also raises questions about the model s conclusions regarding exploration incentives and the valuation of reserves an empirically tested disaggregate model is presented that suggests that exploration activity occurs from firms attempting to balance marginal extraction plus user costs at the intensive and extensive margins exploration is carried out until the marginal discovery cost of a deposit equals its present asset value and a u shaped price path is indicated

financial contracting and leverage induced over and under investment incentives this paper investigates the effects of seniority rules and restrictive dividend convenants on the over and under investment incentives associated with risky debt we show that increasing seniority of new debt decreases the incidence of under investment but increases over investment and vice versa under symmetric information the optimal seniority rule is to give new debtholders first claim on a new project without recourse to existing assets i e project financing under asymmetric information the optimal debt contract requires equating the expected return to new debtholders in the default state to the new project s cash flow in the same rate if this is not possible the optimal seniority rule calls for strict subordination of new debt if the expected cash flow in default is small and full seniority if it is large with regard to dividend convenants we show that their effect depends on whether or not dividend payments are conditioned on future investments when they are unconditioned allowing more dividends increases the under investment incentive in contrast conditional dividends decrease the underinvestment incentive and increase the over investment incentive

competitive conditions among the major british banks this paper reports an empirical assessment of competitive conditions among the major british banks during a period of major structural change specifically estimates of the rosse panzar h statistic are reported for a panel of 12 banks for the period 1980 2004 the sample banks correspond closely to the major british banking groups specified by the british banking association the robustness of the results of the rosse panzar methodology is tested by estimating the ratio of lerner indices obtained from interest rate setting equations the results confirm the consensus finding that competition in british banking is most accurately characterised by the theoretical model of monopolistic competition there is evidence that the intensity of competition in the core market for bank lending remained approximately unchanged throughout the 1980s and 1990s however competition appears to have become less intense in the non core off balance sheet business of british banks

trends in natural resource commodity prices an analysis of the time domain abstract this paper attempts to reconcile the theoretical predictions of increasing real prices for nonrenewable natural resource commodities obtained from hotelling style models with the empirical findings of falling prices for these commodities a theoretical model for relative price movements is derived for the case of exogenous technical change and endogenous change in the grade of ores mined the model suggests a u shaped time path for relative prices the implied price movements are tested for all the major metals and fuels and the model parameters are found to be statistically significant for 11 out of the 12 commodities tested

government bailouts and default risks of a duopoly strong bank versus weak bank a duopolistic loan market includes a strong bank without the problem of early closure that opts out of government bailouts and a weak bank with this problem that participates in the bailout programmes of distressed loan purchases and direct equity injections a direct implication of our framework is that the strong bank s equity will be priced as a standard call option while the weak bank s equity will be priced as a down and out call option we find that an increase in either bailout i e distressed loan purchases and direct equity injections directly decreases the weak bank s default risk but indirectly increases the strong bank s default risk accordingly either bailout contributes to banking stability since the indirect positive effect insufficiently offsets the direct negative effect giving an overall negative response of default risks to an increase in either bailout higher competition by shifting to quasi competition from collusion increases banking stability under either bailout our analysi

the cyclicality of price cost margins in banking an empirical analysis of its determinants i introduction in this paper we study the cyclical behavior of price cost margins in banking calculated as the difference between the interest rate on loans and deposits using time series quarterly data for the period 1979 2005 in the united states this cyclical behavior of banks price cost margins a key fact about business fluctuations has received little attention before dueker and thornton 1997 find evidence that in cyclical downturns banks opt for a relatively high price cost margin however they focus exclusively on the markup of the bank prime lending rate over the marginal cost of funds for banks mandelman 2006 presents evidence on the cyclicality of margins for a large sample of countries and uses foreign bank penetration to explain the behavior of margins 1 in olivero 2005 aliaga diaz 2006 and aliaga diaz and olivero 2010a we document the countercyclicality of banks price cost margins in the united states in that paper we do so using an atheoretical methodology based on var forecast errors to measure comovement between variables 2 in this paper we build on this atheoretical evidence and take a step further by constructing an empirical model of the determinants of the cyclical behavior of margins here we take a theory based approach to decide on the inclusion of the relevant regressors that belong to this model doing so allows us to contribute to the literature by providing potential explanations for the previously documented countercyclical nature of margins monetary policy and credit risk could be suggested as the main and potentially the only determinants of the cyclical behavior of margins on the one hand the bank lending channel of monetary transmission predicts that the federal funds rate as a monetary policy indicator and margins are directly related therefore if policy rates exhibit a particular cyclical behavior not controlling for monetary policy could bias the estimations on the cyclical behavior of margins on the other hand credit risk is expected to be countercyclical and to raise margins so that default should help explain the countercyclicality of the latter based on these two observations our empirical methodology consists of two steps in a first step we test whether the negative and significant contemporaneous sample correlations between margins and a business cycle indicator are robust to the inclusion of controls related to monetary policy default risk and banking regulation results show it is so that there seems to be other channels through which fluctuations in the economy give rise to the observed countercyclicality of margins in a second step we look for these channels and offer several potential explanations for the observed behavior interest rate risk the economy s financial depth banks liquidity and capitalization and the share of total assets held by large banks all exert a significant impact on the behavior of margins over the business cycle these conclusions are consistent across alternative definitions of the margins and the business cycle indicator our work is linked to two strands of research in macroeconomics first our countercyclicality results are linked to the large literature on countercyclical markups in goods markets and its effects on aggregate demand started by rotemberg and saloner 1986 and rotemberg and woodford 1992 second price cost margins that vary endogenously and countercyclically in response to the state of the economy are a necessary condition for the existence of a financial accelerator as an amplifier of business fluctuations see for example bernanke and gertler 1989 and bernanke gertler and gilchrist 1998 therefore the countercyclical nature of price cost margins that we study here provides empirical support to the large body of literature in macroeconomic theory on this financial accelerator with price cost margins in the market for credit being countercyclical credit becomes more expensive in bad times firms may delay investment and production as a result and recessions may be exacerbated

bank funding costs in a rising interest rate environment one key risk to the banking system is how funding costs will change as monetary policy is normalized and interest rates rise after almost a decade of near zero rates our contribution is to develop a model that jointly estimates banks balance sheets and retail interest rates to arrive at a consistent estimate of the change in bank funding costs as market rates change our estimates imply a 100 basis point shock to the federal funds rate would increase overall deposit funding costs by about 40 billion which is roughly equal to 25 of aggregate annual net income for commercial banks and savings institutions we also find that deposit rate responses are largely symmetric in contrast to some previous research showing deposit rates are less responsive to upward movements in reference rates we introduce unique and confidential data on bank deposit betas to anchor our results

profit strategy of greek banks cross subsidization and diversification versus complementarity abstractthis study analyses the profit strategy employed by banks in greece using dynamic panel data techniques and a data set which includes proprietary supervisory data covering the whole greek commercial banking system from 2004 to 2011 we provide evidence that banks use interest and non interest income non ii as substitutes rather than complements with non ii representing an indirect competition instrument by the more efficient banks used in place of direct competition with their peers through prices on loans and deposits this behaviour is explained by further decomposing the non ii into the relatively stable fees component and the volatile trading income moreover we provide evidence that the net interest income is primarily affected by the banks market power and their operating costs while more efficient banks exploit their core deposit base to lever their non ii finally macroeconomic developments affect both income components which are found to be procyclical with respect to economic ac

information and exhaustible resources a bayesian analysis abstract we develop a continuous time bayesian model of investment in information about an exhaustible resource because of the way that information affects expectations the deterministic hotelling rule turns out to be more appropriate as a description of how resource owners forecast the value of their stocks than as a predictor of observed changes in the resource price a flow of information generates both unanticipated changes in expectations which cause the mean rate of change in the resource price to deviate systematically from the deterministic hotelling rule and reductions in uncertainty which do not affect the hotelling prediction

the relationship between net interest margin and noninterest income using a system estimation approach abstract this paper examines the determinants of bank net interest margin nim and non traditional banking activities nii a system estimation approach is employed to control for the simultaneity between nim and nii for commercial banks in a group of 28 financially liberalized countries during the period between 1997 and 2004 we find a statistically significant negative relationship between nim and nii for the period between 1997 and 2002 a generally positive but statistically insignificant association between nim and nii is found for the subsequent period 2003 2004 banks increasing involvement in non traditional activities is negatively correlated with risk adjusted profitability measures in the former subperiod suggesting no obvious diversification benefits however the share of noninterest income is positively related to the return on assets roa and the return on equity roe for the latter subsample

optimal bank interest margin under capital regulation and deposit insurance this paper examines the relationships among capital regulation deposit insurance and the optimal bank interest margin in a model where loan losses are the source of uncertainty changes in capital regulation or deposit insurance premiums have direct effects on the bank s interest margin an increase in bank capital requirement or in deposit insurance premiums results in a reduced interest margin under nonincreasing risk aversion comparative static analysis also explores the relation between asset quality and interest margin it is shown that a mean preserving spread of the distribution of loan losses results in a reduced margin

loan sales and the cost of corporate borrowing when a loan is sold it goes to a lower cost financing source than its originator yet lending markets are less than perfectly competitive despite the lower funding cost therefore the loan price is not necessarily more favorable to the borrower however corporate borrowers are averse to the participation of their loans to other lenders because of the complexity of dealing with multiple banks and the potential information costs of the sale announcement consequently i conjecture that the borrower extracts a price concession in exchange for allowing the bank to sell participations in the loan using a hand matched dataset of loans borrowers and lenders i find that the average yield spread on loans originated by active loan sellers is about 20 basis points lower than the average spread on loans originated by moderate loan sellers copyright 2006 oxford university press

fixed rate loan commitments take down risk and the dynamics of hedging with futures this paper develops a normative model to analyze the hedging and fee pricing decisions of a financial institution supplying fixed rate loan commitments to its customers in supplying fixed rate loan commitments the financial institution hereafter referred to as bank is assumed to act as an agent that transforms commitment risk through the use of financial futures contracts while most pre vious loan commitment models have analyzed the interest rate or price risk the bank faces in supplying fixed rate loan commitments they either have ignored or assumed away the loan take down or quantity risk l in general by making a formal fixed rate loan commitment the bank exposes itself to both a price and a quantity risk specifically a formal loan com mitment prespecifies the maximum size of the loan the purpose of the loan of ten project specific as well as the interest rate and fee to be paid by the borrower 14 15 however while a formal loan commitment imposes a contractual re quirement on the bank to supply funds up to a maximum amount at an agreed rate of interest the expected size of the loan to be taken down is often uncertain the reason is that for project specific lines of credit the amount taken down will depend on the future state s of the world that are revealed to the borrower at the end of the commitment period as well as on the limitations and constraints im posed on the use of funds in the loan commitment contract for example construction delays and other market imperfections that hamper a planned invest

determinants of margin in microfinance institutions abstractmicrofinance institutions mfis lend to the poor however microfinance clients suffer from high interest rates a type of poverty penalty this article analyses the margin determinants in mfis a banking model has been adapted to microfinance this model has been tested using 9 year panel data some factors explaining bank margin also explain mfi margin with operating costs being the most important factor specific microfinance factors are donations and legal status as regulated mfis can collect deposits it has also been found that mfis operating in countries with a high level of financial inclusion have low margins

on measuring natural resource scarcity conclusions concerning trends in natural resource scarcity may depend critically on the choice of scarcity index unfortunately the prevalence of vertical integration in natural resource industries has hindered the use of some otherwise desirable scarcity measures in this paper duality theory is used to derive an econometric procedure for estimating one such measure the shadow price of the resource in situ empirical results for the canadian metal mining industry indicate that resource scarcity as measured by this shadow price has decreased substantially over time

the determinants of bank interest rate margins an international study abstract this paper studies the determinants of bank net interest margins nims in six selected european countries and the us during the period 1988 1995 for a sample of 614 banks we apply the ho and saunders model ho t saunders a 1981 the determinants of bank interest margins theory and empirical evidence journal of financial and quantitative analyses 16 581 600 to a multicountry setting and decompose bank margins into a regulatory component a market structure component and a risk premium component the regulatory components in the form of interest rate restrictions on deposits reserve requirements and capital to asset ratios have a significant impact on banks nims the empirical results suggest an important policy trade off between assuring bank solvency high capital to asset ratios and lowering the cost of financial services to consumers low nims the more segmented or restricted the banking system both geographically and by activity the larger appears to be the monopoly power of existing banks and the higher their spreads macro interest rate volatility was found to have a significant impact on bank nims this suggests that macro policies consistent with reduced interest rate volatility could have a positive effect in reducing bank margins