exploring the potential for energy conservation in french households through hybrid modeling although the building sector is recognized as having major potential for energy conservation and carbon dioxide emissions mitigation conventional bottom up and top down models are limited in their ability to capture the complex economic and technological dynamics of the sector this paper introduces a hybrid framework developed to assess future household energy demand in france res irf a bottom up module of energy consumption for space heating has several distinctive features i a clear separation between energy efficiency i e investment in energy efficient technologies and sufficiency i e changes in the utilization of energy consuming durables which allows the rebound effect to be assessed ii the inclusion of barriers to energy efficiency in the form of intangible costs consumer heterogeneity parameters and the learning by doing process iii an endogenous determination of retrofitting which represents trade offs between retrofit quantity and quality subsequently res irf is linked to the imaclim r computable general equilibrium model this exercise shows that compared to a 37 reduction in final energy demand achievable in business as usual in existing dwellings an additional reduction of 14 could be achieved if relevant barriers to efficiency and sufficiency were overcome

rising household diesel consumption in the united states a cause for concern evidence on asymmetric pricing papers in the literature have thus far overlooked the projected increase in u s diesel car share when looking at asymmetries in petroleum pricing this paper addresses this issue by comparing retail gasoline and diesel prices in order to see whether they rise faster than they fall given the price of their upstream input crude oil this phenomenon has been termed in the literature as rockets and feathers we apply the threshold vector error correction model tvecm of hansen and seo 2002 which has not yet been applied in the literature we account for the 2008 structural break to crude oil and petroleum prices by splitting the sample using evidence from the recent structural break unit root test of kim and perron 2009 both markets seem to price symmetrically before the 2008 break but we find evidence of asymmetric pricing after 2008 in diesel prices and not in gasoline prices given that the diesel market is small relative to the gasoline market and therefore more open to price exploitation the ongoing cost increases associated with the policy of switching to ultra low sulphur diesel ulsd from 2006 to 2010 could be at the heart of this asymmetry with this in mind the u s federal trade commission should monitor diesel prices as the market share grows in order to ensure that consumers are not adversely affected c 2012 elsevier b v all rights reserved

does the energy efficiency paradox exist technological progress and uncertainty we explain why firms may choose not to undertake investments inenergy saving technologies that appear profitable from a net presentvalue perspective as future technological advances are inherentlyuncertain and investments in new technology are at least partly irreversible it may pay to postpone investments in energy savingand wait for the arrival of improved varieties this insight casts doubton the existence of so called low hanging fruits in energy saving although we do not wish to deny that organisational failures may alsobe important failure to appreciate the underlying stochasticity oftechnological progress may obscure the insight that there is value inwaiting and costs involved in terminating the option to invest theappetite for low hanging fruits will be less when these costs areincorporated in the analysis we demonstrate that the effect of thearrival rate of new technologies on the adoption lag for a rational firmis ambiguous the same holds for the effect of the expected jump inefficiency of new technologies government policies aimed at enhancingthe adoption of new technologies through stimulation of r d maytherefore be counterproductive

energy efficiency vs economic efficiency new zealand electricity sector reform in the context of the national energy policy objective abstract in this article i review the diverse commentaries on new zealand s ongoing electricity sector reform process within the context of the government s energy policy objective in doing so my purpose is to highlight the interactions between the concepts of energy efficiency and economic efficiency in particular i ask how do the various commentators on reform define these concepts what indicators do they use to measure them and what level of each do they prescribe as appropriate my main objective is not to decide whether any commentator is right or wrong rather i seek to identify the distinct world views or paradigms underlying the commentaries with respect to both energy efficiency and economic efficiency i conclude that economic efficiency is consistent with a supply side paradigm valuing economic growth whereas those who value energy efficiency over economic efficiency subscribe to a demand side paradigm recognising the limits to growth such a paradigm derives from the ethic of sustainability i close by posing the as yet unanswered question are these paradigms mutually exclusive

causes for an asymmetric relation between the price of crude oil and refined petroleum products we revisit the issue of asymmetries in the relation between the price of crude oil and refined petroleum products in the united states an econometric analysis of monthly data indicates that the asymmetric relation between the price of crude oil and motor gasoline is generated by refinery utilization rates and inventory behavior the asymmetric relation between the price of crude oil and home heating oil probably is generated by contractual arrangements between retailers and consumers together these results imply that price asymmetries may be generated by efficient markets under these conditions there is little justification for policy interventions to reduce or eliminate price asymmetries in motor gasoline and home heating oil markets

aggregate earnings and gross domestic product international evidence abstractrecent studies in macro accounting suggest that changes in aggregate accounting earnings can predict quarterly gdp growth in the usa our objective in this study is to test the robustness o

market structure and price adjustment in the u s wholesale gasoline markets abstract the issue of sticky prices in u s wholesale gasoline market is re examined allowing for the effect of market structure due to increased market concentration caused by mergers acquisitions and joint ventures which started in the late 1990s in the u s oil industry i investigate the effects of market structure on the pattern of price adjustment based on the notion that increased market concentration leads to downward price stickiness and asymmetric short run price adjustment in the transmission of crude price changes to wholesale gasoline price i find that market concentration has an insignificant asymmetric effect on the speed of price adjustment but a significant asymmetric effect on short run price adjustments in the response of wholesale gasoline prices to crude price shocks in three u s wholesale markets furthermore the signs on the coefficients of market concentration effects on price dynamics in the models support the assertion that increased market concentration leads to downward price stickiness in only one of the three markets examined overall the results indicate that market structure does not have a strong effect on the dynamics of price adjustment

the energy efficiency paradox revisited through a partial observability approach the present paper examines the energy efficiency paradox demonstrated in greek manufacturing firms through a partial observability approach the data set used has resulted from a survey carried out among 161 energy saving technology firm adopters maximum likelihood estimates that arise from an incidental truncation model reveal that the adoption of the energy saving technologies is indeed strongly correlated to the returns of assets that are required in order to undertake the corresponding investments the source of the energy efficiency paradox lies within a wide range of factors policy schemes that aim to increase the adoption rate of energy saving technologies within the field of manufacturing are significantly affected by differences in the size of firms finally mixed policies seem to be more effective than policies that are only capital subsidy or regulation oriented

refinancing profitability and capital structure abstract we revisit the well established puzzle that leverage is negatively correlated with measures of profitability in contrast we find that at times when firms are at or close to their optimal level of leverage the cross sectional correlation between profitability and leverage is positive at other times it is negative these results are consistent with dynamic trade off models in which infrequent capital structure rebalancing is optimal the time series of market leverage and profitability in the quarters prior to rebalancing events match the patterns predicted by these models our results are not driven by investment layouts market timing payout or mechanical mean reversion of leverage

debt in industry equilibrium this article shows 1 how entry and exit of firms in a competitive industry affect the valuation of securities and optimal capital structure and 2 how given a trade off between tax advantages and agency costs a firm will optimally adjust its leverage level after it is set up we derive simple pricing expressions for corporate debt in which the price elasticity of demand for industry output plays a crucial role when a firm optimally adjusts its leverage over time we show that total firm value comprises the value of discounted cash flows assuming fixed capital structure plus a continuum of options for marginal increases in debt article published by oxford university press on behalf of the society for financial studies in its journal the review of financial studies

market barriers to energy efficiency abstract discussions of energy policy in an environmentally constrained world often focus on the use of tax instruments to internalize the external effects of energy utilization or achieve specified reductions in energy use in the most cost effective manner a substantial literature suggests however that significant opportunities exist to reduce energy utilization by implementing technologies that are cost effective under prevailing economic conditions but that are not fully implemented by existing market institutions this paper examines the theory of the market for energy using equipment showing that problems of imperfect information and transaction costs may bias rational consumers to purchase devices that use more energy than those that would be selected by a well informed social planner guided by the criterion of economic efficiency consumers must base their purchase decisions on observed prices and expectations of post purchase equipment performance if it is difficult or costly for individuals to form accurate and precise expectations the level of energy efficiency achieved by competitive markets will vary from the socially efficient outcome such market barriers suggest a role for regulatory intervention to improve market performance at prevailing energy prices

capital structure and product market rivalry how do we reconcile theory and evidence this paper presents empirical evidence on the interaction of capital structure decisions and product market behavior we examine when firms recapitalize and increase the proportion of debt in their capital structure the evidence in this paper shows that firms with low productivity plants in highly concentrated industries are more likely to recapitalize and increase debt financing this finding suggests that debt plays a role in highly concentrated industries where agency costs are not significantly reduced by product market competition following the empirical evidence we introduce the strategic investment effects of debt and argue that this effect in conjunction with agency costs appears to fit the data this abstract was borrowed from another version of this item

determinants of capital structure evidence from a major developing economy a major shortcoming of capital structure studies on developing economies is that they generally restrict their analyses to large publicly traded manufacturing firms consequently we know little about the applicability of various capital structure theories to firms that are private small and or outside the manufacturing industry in these economies in this paper we conduct a comparative test of the trade off and pecking order theories using a comprehensive firm level dataset that covers manufacturing non manufacturing small large publicly traded and private firms in a major developing economy turkey the trade off theory provides a better description of the capital structures of all firm types than the pecking order theory moreover the trade off theory appears to be particularly suitable for understanding the financing choices of large private firms in the non manufacturing sector and when the economic environment is relatively stable by contrast pecking order theory is most useful when it comes to small publicly traded manufacturing firms especially when the economic environment is relatively unstable

multinationality portfolio diversification and asymmetric mne performance the moderating role of real options awareness the field of international business is fundamentally concerned with the implications of managerial actions that affect multinational risk and performance outcomes while portfolio diversification and real options theory are often used to describe the outcomes of multinational investment existing work often confuses the actions and predictions proposed by these theories this is concerning as the two theories emphasize different causal mechanisms managerial actions and conceptions of risk and performance whereas portfolio theory argues that passive management affects symmetric outcomes such as variance in returns by attaining a well diversified portfolio real options theory posits that managers actively shift subsidiary resources to affect asymmetric outcomes such as upside potential or downside risk by monitoring and responding to environmental changes affecting the portfolio this paper disentangles these two theories by focusing on unique predictions from real options theory that geographic dispersion of mne activities is associated with asymmetric outcomes that this association is contingent on management being aware of real options logic and that these effects are moderated by the degree of market uncertainty our findings confirm these predictions and suggest differences in the types of managerial strategies and actions required to effectively implement these distinct theories of the mne

a golden age or a false dawn energy efficiency in uk competitive energy markets abstract liberalisation of energy markets may affect the prospects for energy efficiency in a variety of ways downward pressure on prices will reduce incentives for efficiency and the end of a supply monopoly makes more difficult mandating demand side management programmes on the other hand the removal of price controls could end some regulatory disincentives and liberalisation enables suppliers to market energy efficiency bundled with energy units the overall effects of liberalisation for energy efficiency are therefore complex this paper focuses on the effects of liberalisation on those characteristics of energy markets which underpin long term energy inefficiency these barriers to energy efficiency have been shown to arise from fundamental features of traditional utility markets notably centralisation commoditisation and the complexity of demand side investment the extent to which these will be altered in liberalised markets in the uk is considered it is concluded that some important market imperfections are not addressed by competition in the supply of energy commodities however more fundamental changes may in the longer term encourage more differentiation in supply markets in which there could be higher priority for energy efficiency the policy measures which might encourage the process are discussed

transaction costs of tradable white certificate schemes the energy efficiency commitment as case study this paper analyses the nature and scale of transaction costs tcs borne by obliged parties under a tradable white certificate twc scheme taking the first phase of the energy efficiency commitment eecl in great britain as a case study several sources of tcs were considered such as search for information persuasion of customers negotiation with business partners and measurement and verification activities information was obtained through interviews and a questionnaire distributed to obliged parties results show that the most significant sources of tcs were related to search for information persuading customers and negotiating with managing agents contractors to implement energy efficiency measures perceived high tcs related to contract negotiation and liability risks slightly reduced the low trading level the scale of tcs was estimated to be around 10 and 30 of total investments costs for the lighting and insulation segments respectively the results indicate that despite the presence and scale of tcs the eecl scheme generated energy savings that yielded net societal benefits estimated financial benefits range from 0 6 to 6 p kwh for insulation and lighting savings respectively when avoided external costs due to electricity savings are included estimated economic benefits range from 3 to 8 p kwh several lessons from the eecl can be drawn for twc schemes among others it is found that informative policy instruments to raise awareness among end users are critical if a twc scheme is to deliver cost effective energy savings in all the nature and scale of tcs under twc schemes will differ because of a number of endogenous and exogenous determinants c 2007 elsevier ltd all rights reserved less

financial signalling and the deep pocket argument this article provides a formal representation of telser s 1966 deep pocket argument by considering a model in which the entrant s and the incumbent s financial structures are endogenous the entrant s financial vulnerability may be explained by informational asymmetries in financial markets financiers are uncertain of the entrant s true value but they know the incumbent s true worth both firms have to finance a fixed expenditure before starting production in equilibrium the incumbent finances with equity while the high value entrant comes into the market heavily leveraged compared with the incumbent this provides an incentive for the incumbent to engage in predatory practices such as a price war to exhaust the entrant financially and cause his bankruptcy

global warming and energy demand list of tables list of figures list of contributors preface 1 global warming and energy elasticities terry barker paul ekins and nick johnstonepart 1 estimating long term energy elasticities 2 alternative approaches to estimating long run energy demand elasticities an application to asian developing countries ron smith and m hashem pesaran 3 a survey of international energy elasticities neil manning and jago atkinson 4 long run demand elasticities for gasoline thomas sterner and mikael franzen 5 responses of energy demand in uk manufacturing to the energy price increases of 1973 and 1979 80 alan ingham 6 elasticities for oecd aggregate final energy demand lakis vouyoukas 7 modelling uk energy demand derek hodgson and keith millerpart ii energy the economy and greenhouse gas abatement 8 endogenous technological progress in fossil fuel demand laurence boone stephen hall david kemball cook and clare smith 9 uk energy price elasticities and their implications for long term co2 abatement terry barker 10 price elasticity and market structure overcoming obstacles to ensure energy efficiency tim jackson 11 rethinking the use of energy elasticities stefan p schleicher 12 revisiting the costs of co2 abatement paul ekins 13 asymmetrical price elasticities of energy demand michael grubb14 conclusions terry barker paul ekins and nick johnstone bibliography index

normal markets market imperfections and energy efficiency abstract the conventional distinction between economic and engineering approaches to energy analysis obscures key methodological issues concerning the measurement of the costs and benefits of policies to promote the adoption of energy efficient technologies the engineering approach is in fact based upon firm economic foundations the principle of lifecycle cost minimization that arises directly from the theory of rational investment thus evidence that so called market barriers impede the adoption of cost effective energy efficient technologies implies the existence of market failures as defined in the context of microeconomic theory problems of imperfect information and bounded rationality on the part of consumers for example may lead real world outcomes to deviate from the dictates of efficient resource allocation a widely held contrary view that the engineering view lacks economic justification is based on the fallacy that markets are normally efficient

energy saving in energy market reform the feed in tariffs option abstract the use of feed in tariffs fits is now widespread for renewable energy and under discussion for other low carbon electricity generation but not for energy efficiency there is a small literature on fits for electricity demand reduction but not energy efficiency more generally this paper considers the general application of fits on the demand side and sets out the economic arguments in the context of changing energy markets it then discusses the implications of some practical issues including the definitional problems arising from the difference between energy efficiency and demand reduction using experience from historical energy efficiency programmes it considers the public benefits payment methods and policy scope that need to be considered and how these might affect policy design it makes some provisional estimates of economically justified payments in the context of the proposed uk energy market reform it concludes that fits for energy saving might be a powerful tool for incentivising energy efficiency

evidence on the impact of the agency costs of debt on corporate debt policy in the last several years there has been increased theoretical emphasis on the agent principal problem as it applies to corporate finance this paper is an attempt to empirically test for the presence of the agency costs and their relation to the debt policy of corporations we find that firms with higher insider ownership have greater debt ratios than firms with lower insider ownership which may be explained by the agency costs of debt and or the agency costs of equity other regression results tend to confirm the theoretically optimal relationships put forth by myers we find that high growth firms use less debt rather than more debt high operating risk firms use more debt rather than less debt and firm size appears to be uncorrelated to the level of debt

control rights and capital structure an empirical investigation we show that incentive conflicts between firms and their creditors have a large impact on corporate debt policy net debt issuing activity experiences a sharp and persistent decline following debt covenant violations when creditors use their acceleration and termination rights to increase interest rates and reduce the availability of credit the effect of creditor actions on debt policy is strongest when the borrower s alternative sources of finance are costly in addition despite the less favorable terms offered by existing creditors borrowers rarely switch lenders following a violation a fundamental question in financial economics is how do firms choose their financial policies extant empirical research on this question has focused primarily on the presence of taxes and bankruptcy costs e g scott 1976 information asymmetry e g myers and majluf 1984 and more recently market timing behavior e g baker and wurgler 2002 however beginning with jensen and meckling 1976 a large body of theoretical research examines how incentive conflicts between managers and external investors affect corporate financial policies in particular theoretical research on financial contracting shows that in the presence of incentive conflicts optimal debt contracts will allocate certain rights to creditors after negative performance in order to help firms secure financing ex ante e g aghion and bolton 1992 and dewatripont and tirole

review of us esco industry market trends an empirical analysis of project data abstract this comprehensive empirical analysis of us energy service company esco industry trends and performance employs two parallel analytical approaches a survey of firms to estimate total industry size and a database of 1500 esco projects from which we report target markets and typical project characteristics energy savings and customer economics we estimate that industry investment for energy efficiency related services reached us 2 billion in 2000 following a decade of strong growth esco activity is concentrated in states with high economic activity and strong policy support typical projects save 150 200 mj m2 year and are cost effective with median benefit cost ratios of 1 6 and 2 1 for institutional and private sector projects the median simple payback time spt is 7 years among institutional customers 3 years is typical in the private sector reliance on dsm incentives has decreased since 1995 preliminary evidence suggests that state enabling policies have boosted the industry in medium sized states escos have proven resilient in the face of restructuring and will probably shift toward selling energy solutions with energy efficiency part of a package we conclude that appropriate policy support both financial and non financial can jump start a viable private sector energy efficiency services industry that targets large institutional and commercial industrial customers

strategies for cost effective carbon reductions a sensitivity analysis of alternative scenarios analyses of alternative futures often present results for a limited set of scenarios with little if any sensitivity analysis to identify the factors affecting the scenario results this approach creates an artificial impression of certainty associated with the scenarios considered and inhibits understanding of the underlying forces this paper summarizes the economic and carbon savings sensitivity analysis completed for the scenarios for a clean energy future study iwg 2000 its 19 sensitivity cases provide insight into the costs and carbon reduction impacts of a carbon permit trading system demand side efficiency programs and supply side policies impacts under different natural gas and oil price trajectories are also examined the results provide compelling evidence that policy opportunities exist to reduce carbon emissions and save society money

lumpy price adjustments a microeconometric analysis based on a reduced form state dependent pricing model with random thresholds we specify and estimate a nonlinear panel data model with an unobserved factor representing the common cost or demand components of the unobserved optimal price using this model we are able to assess the relative importance of common and idiosyncratic shocks in explaining the frequency and magnitude of price changes in the case of a wide variety of consumer products in belgium and france we find that the mean level and variability of the random thresholds are key for explaining differences across products in the frequency of price changes we also find that the idiosyncratic shocks represent the most important driver of the magnitude of price changes supplementary materials for this article are available online

decision making in electrical appliance use in the home this paper presents the results of a survey as well as an argument from the viewpoint of behavioral economics with the aim of clarifying how consumers make decisions about electrical appliance use in the home a survey of consumers showed that most have little awareness of the energy efficiency of appliances the price of the services produced by electrical appliances or electricity rates these findings indicate that price does not function as a signal in electricity consumption through electrical appliance use rather we found that consumer decision making in electricity consumption is dependent on the characteristics of the particular electrical appliances they use additionally we argue that the payment system for home electricity consumption plays an important role in decision making causing biases due to aspects of human psychology discussed here in terms of satisficing and heuristics payment decoupling and budgeting we conclude that decision making about electrical appliance use and electricity consumption in the home is not always rational and is affected both by the particular characteristics of appliances and the payment system for electricity consumption along with human psychology

the efficiency paradox bureaucratic and organizational barriers to profitable energy saving investments abstract the paradox of why profitable energy saving investments are not undertaken continues to provoke debate the underlying phenomenon might be called the efficiency paradox because it represents a case in which business firms which are often presumed or taken axiomatically to be economically efficient make decisions that do not maximize profits new data from one of the us environmental protection agency s voluntary pollution prevention programs enables this paradox to be explored statistically the data show that both the level and variation in returns to lighting upgrade investments cannot be explained by standard economic models substantial gains in energy efficiency can be achieved without sacrificing profitability both economic and organizational factors account for some of the variation in observed returns to these investments but the results suggest a need for improved and more comprehensive theories of the investment behavior of firms and other organizations

low inflation pass through and the pricing power of firms abstract recently there has been a significant decline in the degree to which firms pass through changes in costs to prices a decline that is frequently characterized as a reduction in the pricing power of firms the decline appears to be associated with the decline in inflation in many countries the decline has important implications for monetary policy because it affects both forecasts of inflation and the effects of changes in monetary policy on inflation some have argued that the decline in pricing power helped to keep inflation low in the face of apparently strong demand pressures in the united states in the late 1990s this paper puts forth the view that the decline in pass through or pricing power is due to the low inflation environment that has recently been achieved in many countries first a microeconomic model of price setting is used to show that lower pass through is caused by lower perceived persistence of cost changes evidence is then presented showing that inflation is positively correlated with persistence of inflation suggesting that the low inflation itself has caused the low pass through an economy wide model consistent with the micromodel is then presented to illustrate how such changes in pricing power affect output and inflation dynamics in favorable ways but can disappear quickly if monetary policy and expectations change

linking consumer energy efficiency with security of supply most modern energy policies seek to achieve systematic ongoing incremental increases in consumer energy efficiency since this contributes to improved security of supply favourable environmental outcomes and increased economic efficiency yet realised levels of efficiency are typically well below the most cost effective equilibrium due to variety of behavioural and organisational barriers which are often linked to information constraints in addition efficient users are normally unrewarded for collective benefits to system security and to the environment thus reducing the incentives for energy consumers to invest in efficiency improvements this paper examines the dichotomies and symmetries between supply and demand side solutions to energy security concerns and reviews opportunities to overcome barriers to improved consumer efficiency a security market is identified as a mechanism to promote both demand and supply side investments that support electricity system security such a market would assist in setting the optimal quantity of reserves while achieving an efficient balance between supply and demand side initiatives it would also help to smooth overall investment throughout the energy system by encouraging incremental approaches such as distributed generation and demand side alternatives where they provide competitive value although the discussion is applicable to energy systems in general it focuses primarily on electricity in new zealand

how stable are corporate capital structures leverage cross sections more than a few years apart differ markedly with similarities evaporating as the time between them lengthens many firms have high and low leverage at different times but few keep debt to assets ratios consistently above 0 500 capital structure stability is the exception not the rule occurs primarily at low leverage and is virtually always temporary with many firms abandoning low leverage during the post war boom industry median leverage varies widely over time target leverage models that place little or no weight on maintaining a particular ratio do a good job replicating the substantial instability of the actual leverage cross section

symmetric or asymmetric oil prices a meta analysis approach the analysis of price asymmetries in the gasoline market is one of the most widely studied in energy economics however the great variation in the outcomes reported makes the drawing of any definitive conclusions difficult given this situation a meta analysis serves as an excellent tool to discover which characteristics of the various markets analyzed and which specific features of these studies might account for these differences in adopting such an approach this paper shows how the particular segment of the industry analyzed the characteristics of the data the years under review the type of publication and the introduction of control variables might explain this heterogeneity in results the paper concludes on these grounds that increased competition may significantly reduce the possibility of occurrence of asymmetric behavior these results should be taken into consideration therefore in future studies of asymmetries in the oil industry

the spillover effects of md a disclosures for real investment the role of industry competition abstract we explore whether disclosures in the management discussion analysis mda it is stronger when firms operate in industries that have lower entry costs are larger and have less substitutable products we obtain similar results for investment efficiency overall our evidence suggests that md a disclosures have spillover effects for investment that can improve investment efficiency and that spillover effects are moderated by industry competition

an international comparison of capital structure and debt maturity choices this study examines how the institutional environment influences capital structure and debt maturity choices of firms in 39 developed and developing countries we find that a country s legal and tax system corruption and the preferences of capital suppliers explain a significant portion of the variation in leverage and debt maturity ratios specifically firms in more corrupt countries and those with weaker laws tend to use more debt especially short term debt explicit bankruptcy codes and deposit insurance are associated with higher leverage and more long term debt more debt is used in countries where there is a greater tax gain from leverage

markets for energy efficiency exploring the implications of an eu wide tradable white certificate scheme recent developments in european energy policy reveal an increasing interest in implementing the so called tradable white certificate twc schemes to improve energy efficiency based on three evaluation criteria cost effectiveness environmental effectiveness and distributional equity this paper analyses the implications of implementing a european wide twc scheme targeting the household and commercial sectors using a bottom up model quantitative results show significant cost effective potentials for improvements ca 1400 twh in cumulative energy savings by 2020 with the household sector gas and space heating representing most of the twc supply in terms of eligible sector fuel and energy service demand respectively if a single market price of negative externalities is considered a societal costeffective potential of energy savings above 30 compared to the baseline is observed in environmental terms the resulting greenhouse gas emission reductions are around 200mt co2 eq by 2010 representing nearly 60 of the eu kyoto target from the qualitative perspective several embedded ancillary benefits are identified e g employment generation improved comfort level reduced fuel poverty security of energy supply whereas an eu wide twc increases liquidity and reduces the risks ofmarket power autarky compliance strategies may be expected in order to capture co benefits nationally cross subsidies could occur due to investment recovery mechanisms and there is a risk that effects may be regressive for low income households assumptions undertaken by the modelling approach strongly indicate that high effectiveness of other policy instruments is needed for an eu wide twc scheme to be cost effective less

demand side management overcoming market barriers or obscuring real costs abstract this paper compares two approaches to estimating the net benefits of a demand side management program that subsidizes the purchase of efficient equipment the total resource cost trc test suggests net benefits of us 6 9 million estimates based on consumer s surplus yield an estimated net loss of us 6 3 million this gap is due to differences in estimates of participants net benefits market failures do not appear to be significant and thus cannot explain much of the gap the more plausible explanation is that the trc uses a lower discount rate than participants use for themselves and it omits some costs

real flexibility and financial structure an empirical analysis i examine the empirical relation between real flexibility and financial structure i test whether real flexibility increases debt capacity by lowering default risk and making assets more marketable or decreases debt capacity by facilitating risk shifting and asset substitution i measure real flexibility as the sensitivity of marginal production and investment decisions to variations in the economic environment i find that financial leverage is negatively related to production flexibility but positively related to investment flexibility this split in results suggests that although asset substitution facilitated by investment flexibility can be prevented contractually risk shifting facilitated by production flexibility is intractable copyright 2003 oxford university press

implied discount rate and payback threshold of energy efficiency investment in the industrial sector the industrial sector is responsible for about a third of the energy usage in the united states and there is significant energy saving potential from the industrial sector however the phenomenon of energy efficiency gap the scenario in which cost effective energy efficient technologies enjoy only limited market success appears frequently in the industrial sector this article tries to explain this efficiency gap in the industrial sector by empirically estimating the implied discount rates and payback thresholds industrial firms use to evaluate their energy efficiency investments using the industrial assessment centers iac database from 2002 to 2011 with more than 30 000 energy efficiency recommendations this article builds structural models of firms evaluation of an energy efficiency project the model results show that the implied discount rates of medium to small industrial firms range from 40 to 45 and the average payback threshold is about 9 months

asymmetric and nonlinear pass through of crude oil prices to gasoline and natural gas prices in this article we use the recently developed nonlinear autoregressive distributedlags nardl model to examine the pass through of crude oil prices into gasoline and natural gas prices our approach allowsus to simultaneously test the short and long run nonlinearities through positive and negative partial sum decompositions of the predetermined explanatory variables it also offers the possibility to quantify the respective responses of gasoline and natural gas prices to positive and negative oil price shocks from the asymmetric dynamic multipliers the obtained results indicate that oil prices affect gasoline prices and natural gas prices in an asymmetric and nonlinear manner but the price transmission mechanism is not the same important policy implications can be learned from the empirical findings

debt and the marginal tax rate abstract do taxes affect corporate debt policy this paper tests whether the incremental use of debt is positively related to simulated firm specific marginal tax rates that account for net operating losses investment tax credits and the alternative minimum tax the simulated marginal tax rates exhibit substantial variation due to the dynamics of the tax code tax regime shifts business cycle effects and the progressive nature of the statutory tax schedule using annual data from more than 10 000 firms for the years 1980 1992 i provide evidence which indicates that high tax rate firms issue more debt than their low tax rate counterparts

on the debt capacity of growth options we relate the value of growth options in the firm s investment opportunity set to the level of debt in the firm s capital structure underinestment costs of debt increase and free cash flow benefits fall with additional growth options thus if debt capacity is defined as the amount of debt the firm optimally adds for an incremental project then the debt capacity of growth options is negative this result implies that book leverage should fall with the addition of growth options our tests using a large sample of industrial firms confirm this prediction

capital structure and interaction among firms in output markets theory and evidence i develop a simple model that examines the relations between the extent of competitive interaction among firms in output markets their capital structures and the aggressiveness of their operating strategies a firm s optimal leverage is related to the degree to which its operating strategy affects its rivals value functions and resulting optimal output market choices this relation is positive regardless of whether the competition in output markets is in strategic substitutes or in strategic complements i test the model s prediction using two proxies for the extent of competitive interaction among firms the empirical evidence provides support for the model

who should administer energy efficiency programs the restructuring of the u s electricity industry created a crisis for ratepayer funded energy efficiency programs this paper briefly describes the reasons for the crisis and some of its consequences then the paper focuses on issues related to program administration and discusses the relative merits of entities utilities state agencies and non profit corporations that might be administrators four criteria are developed for choosing among program administration options compatibility with public policy goals effectiveness of the incentive structure ability to realize economies of scale and scope and contribution to the development of an energy efficiency infrastructure we examine one region the pacific northwest and three states new york vermont and connecticut which have made successful transitions to new governance and or administration structures attention is also given to california where large scale energy efficiency programs have continued to operate despite the fact that many of the key governance administration issues remain unresolved we observe that no single administrative structure for energy efficiency programs has yet emerged in the us that is clearly superior to all of the other alternatives we conclude that this is not likely to happen soon for three reasons first policy environments differ significantly among the states second the structure and regulation of the electric utility industry differs among the regions of the us third market transformation and resource acquisition two program strategies that were once seen as alternatives are increasingly coming to be seen as complements energy efficiency programs going forward are likely to include elements of both strategies but the administrative arrangements that are best suited to support market transformation may be different from the arrangements that are best for resource acquisition

do gasoline prices respond asymmetrically to crude oil price changes the authors test and confirm that retail gasoline prices respond more quickly to increases than to decreases in crude oil prices among the possible sources of this asymmetry are production inventory adjustment lags and market power of some sellers by analyzing price transmission at different points in the distribution chain the authors attempt to shed light on these theories spot prices for generic gasoline show asymmetry in responding to crude oil price changes which may reflect inventory adjustment effects asymmetry also appears in the response of retail prices to wholesale price changes possibly indicating short run market power among retailers

barriers within firms to energy efficient investments abstract many investments in energy efficiency fail to be made despite their apparent profitability internal hurdle rates are often set at levels higher than the cost of capital to the firm reasons for these practices include bounded rationality principal agent problems and moral hazard the policy implication is that government can simultaneously improve overall energy efficiency and increase private sector productivity by providing informational and organizational services that go beyond the traditional regulatory framework

how can a competitive market for electricity be made compatible with the reduction of greenhouse gas emissions abstract under what conditions can the creation of a competitive market for electricity allow the efficient use of energy to compete on an equal basis with electricity supply thus providing both economic benefits to consumers and reductions in greenhouse gas emissions in this paper the current micro economic reforms to the australian electricity industry are taken as a case study to investigate this question it is found that the proposed competitive market for electricity contains barriers to the wider implementation of efficient energy use and renewable energy which are additional to those already existing in a highly regulated market in order to allow efficient energy use to compete on an equal basis with electricity supply it is necessary to create a market for energy services not electricity at the retail level to do this requires institutional changes correct pricing is not sufficient

debt agency costs and industry equilibrium we show that risk characteristics of projects cash flows are endogenously determined by the investment decisions of all firms in an industry as a result in reasonable settings financial structures which create incentives to expropriate debtholders by increasing risk are shown not to reduce value in an industry equilibrium without taxes capital structure is irrelevant for individual firms despite its effect on the equityholders incentives but the maximum total amount of debt in the industry is determinate allowing for a corporate tax advantage of debt capital structure becomes relevant but firms are indifferent between distinct alternative debt levels the effect of firms financial structures on subsequent investment and output decisions has recently received considerable attention in the finance literature the central insight that equityholders control the firm s investment and production decisions and in general do not maximize the value of a levered firm has been applied to the analysis of risk shifting underinvestment and firms abilities to enter into optimal contracts with their customers existing models of firms financial structures and their effect on investment decisions are generally based on a single firm framework and do not take into account the relationship between project cash flows and the investment decisions of all firms in the industry 2 in this paper we allow the distribution of investment projects within an industry to adjust and show that this generates new insights and reverses several key results of single firm agency cost models the new predictions conform with well documented

technology adoption in the presence of network externalities we analyze technology adoption in industries where network externalities are significant the pattern of adoption depends on whether technologies are sponsored a sponsor is an entity that has property rights to the technology and hence is willing to make investments to promote it key findings include the following 1 compatibility tends to be undersupplied by the market but excessive standardization can occur 2 in the absence of sponsors the technology superior today has a strategic advantage and is likely to dominate the market 3 when one of two rival technologies is sponsored that technology has a strategic advantage and may be adopted even if it is inferior 4 when two competing technologies both are sponsored the technology that will be superior tomorrow has a strategic advantage

do gasoline prices exhibit asymmetry not usually previous studies have found evidence of asymmetric price adjustment in u s retail gasoline prices in that gasoline prices rise more rapidly in response to a cost increase than fall in response to a cost decrease by estimating a threshold cointegration model that allows for multiple regimes i am able to test how sensitive this result is to outlying observations in contrast to previous studies i find little evidence of asymmetry for the vast majority of observations and that the asymmetry is being driven by a small number of outlying observations

information and economic analysis a perspective ten years ago i delivered a paper before this group with the title information and economic analysis i chose the title deliberately i did not call the subject on which i was speaking the economics of information because to do so would have been to suggest that my topic like the economics of agriculture or the economics of industry or the economics of labour represented another branch of specialisation within economics i wanted to suggest that informational considerations were in fact central to the analysis of a wide variety of phenomena that they constituted a central part of the foundations of economic analysis at the time though economists had long paid lip service to the importance of information there was little formal literature the last decade has seen a burgeoning of the literature it has become to the late 7o s and early 8o s what growth theory was to the early 6o s and it has been greeted with some of the same scepticism there seems to be a myriad ofspecial cases and few general principles the little examples are often contrasted unfavourably with the generality of general equilibrium theory what have we learned have diminishing returns set in are there fruitful directions for future research and if so what are they these are the questions which i wish to address here the work of the past decade has made i think a fundamental and lasting contribution to economic analysis the contributions have been both negative and positive we have learned that much of what we believed before is of only limited validity that the traditional competitive equilibrium analysis though having the superficial appearance of generality in terms of superscripts and subscripts is indeed not very general the theory is not robust to slight alterations in the informational assumptions it is but a special and not very plausible example among the possible set of informational assumptions which can be employed to characterise an economy at the same time the theory has been able to provide insights into phenomena about which the traditional model had nothing to say or which seemed inconsistent or inexplicable within the competitive paradigm it has provided some of the micro foundations for macro economics it has provided the basis of a new theory of the firm of a new new welfare economics and of a theory of economic organisation including a comparison of economic

asymmetries outliers and structural stability in the us gasoline market abstract by using a recently developed nonlinear cointegration methodology and a sample that encompasses more than thirty years of monthly data we investigate whether the transmission of crude oil price variations to gasoline prices in the us market is asymmetric i e depends on the sign of the change in the explanatory variable considering both the long and the short run the model is further extended by taking separately into account the effects of extreme and mild changes in crude oil prices this allows us to verify whether and to what extent the size and shape of any observed asymmetry in pricing is affected by the presence of outliers moreover given the substantial length of the sample considered we test for the possible presence of multiple structural breaks of unknown timing in the cointegrating vector our results indicate that the relationship between the prices of gasoline and crude oil has undergone a single structural break in the late 2008 and that after the break extreme observations have a non negligible role in shaping asymmetry

investment and competition this paper examines how industry structure affects corporate investment patterns real options theory shows that deferring irreversible investment in the face of uncertainty is valuable theory also shows that the value of waiting to invest falls if investment opportunities are contestable consistent with these theories we find that firms in monopolistic industries exhibit lower investment q sensitivity and are slower to invest than firms in competitive industries however we find that investment q sensitivity and investment speed are highest in oligopolistic industries suggesting that the value of investing strategically can outweigh the value of waiting indeed oligopolistic industries experience less entry and more exit than other industries

why leverage affects pricing we explain and provide evidence for effects of leverage on pricing our model identifies two effects that either counteract or reinforce each other depending on the debt maturity structure i firms set higher prices underinvest in market share if they have more debt and ii firms engage in dynamic risk shifting by setting lower higher prices if the current debt obligation will be higher lower in the next period than in the present period using a unique dataset of owner managed hotels in austrian ski resorts we provide empirical evidence of both effects

relative price changes as aggregate supply shocks this paper proposes a theory of supply shocks or shifts in the short run phillips curve based on relative price changes and frictions in nominal price adjustment when price adjustment is costly firms adjust to large shocks but not to small shocks and so large shocks have disproportionate effects on the price level therefore aggregate inflation depends on the distribution of relative price changes inflation rises when the distribution is skewed to the right and falls when the distribution is skewed to the left we show that this theoretical result explains a large fraction of movements in postwar u s inflation moreover our model suggests measures of supply shocks that perform better than traditional measures such as the relative prices of food and energy

debt and communications technology diffusion retrospective evidence this study has evaluated the relationship between debt in the capital structure of firms and the dynamics of broadband and digital technology adoption in the united states based on a large dataset on local exchange carriers in the united states over a contemporary historical fourteen year period from 1988 to 2001 using treatment effects modeling the impact of debt in impacting the levels of firms broadband deployment has been found to be negative and significant the primary source of debt in the sector has been in the form of arm s length corporate bonds and the assumptions of the monitoring hypothesis associated with such debt that lenders in the face of information and collective actions problems might not be able to control managers and hence invest less in highly technology intensive situations are supported by the data additionally the data set has been split into separate sets for two periods one between 1988 and 1995 for the period before the telecommunications act of 1996 came into force and the other set between 1996 and 2001 and the results have stayed consistent a test of the coefficients between the two periods has shown that the negative impact of leverage on broadband deployment has become stronger after the introduction of competition in the sector and this has suggested that the change in the institutional logics between the two periods has been of material impact in influencing lenders perceptions

a comprehensive review of data envelopment analysis dea approach in energy efficiency the main aim of this review article is to review of dea models in regarding to energy efficiency this paper reviewed and summarized the different models of dea that have been applied around the world to development of energy efficiency problems consequently a review of 144 published scholarly papers appearing in 45 high ranking journals between 2006 and 2015 have been obtained to achieve a comprehensive review of dea application in energy efficiency accordingly the selected articles have been categorized based on year of publication author s nationalities scope of study time duration application area study purpose results and outcomes results of this review paper indicated that dea showed great promise to be a good evaluative tool for future analysis on energy efficiency issues where the production function between the inputs and outputs was virtually absent or extremely difficult to acquire

asymmetry in retail gasoline and crude oil price movements in the united states an application of hidden cointegration technique abstract there is a common belief that gasoline prices respond more quickly to crude oil price increases than decreases some economists and politicians believe that asymmetry in oil and gasoline price movements is the outcome of a non competitive gasoline market requiring that governments take policy action to address unfair pricing there is no consensus as to the existence or nature of the asymmetric relationship between prices of gasoline and crude oil much of this literature specifies asymmetry in the speed of adjustment and short run adjustment coefficients in contrast granger and yoon s granger c w and yoon g hidden cointegration university of california san diego department of economics working paper 2002 crouching error correction model cecm identifies asymmetry of the cointegrating vectors between components cumulative positive and negative changes of the series applying the cecm to retail gasoline and crude oil prices for the u s we find that there is only evidence of cointegration between positive components of crude oil prices and negative components of gasoline prices in contrast to the literature which attributes asymmetric price movements to market power of refiners these findings suggest that gasoline prices in the long run are more influenced by the technological changes on the demand side than crude oil price movements on the supply side

industry characteristics and financial risk contagion this article proposes a new measure of tail risk spillover the conditional coexceedance ccx defined as the number of joint occurrences of extreme negative returns in an industry conditional on an extreme negative return in the financial sector the empirical application provides evidence of significant volatility and tail risk spillovers from the financial sector to many real sectors in the u s economy from 2001 to 2011 these spillovers increase in crisis periods the ccx in a given sector is positively related to its amount of debt financing and negatively related to its valuation and investment therefore real economy sectors which require relatively high debt financing and whose value and investment activity are relatively lower are prime candidates for stock price volatility and depreciation in the wake of a financial sector crisis evidence also suggests that the higher the industry s degree of competition the stronger the tail risk spillover from the financial sector

risks and financing decisions in the energy sector an empirical investigation using firm level data using a sample of 102 uk energy firms over the period 1981 2009 this paper empirically examines the effects of uncertainty on firms leverage decisions the results indicate that both firms specific and macroeconomic uncertainty have negative sizeable and statistically significant impacts on the uk energy sector firms target leverage the results also indicate that the profitability of energy firms plays an important role in uncertainty leverage relationship by changing the total effect of uncertainty on leverage while more profitable firms appear to reduce their leverage by a relatively large amount in response to increased macroeconomic uncertainty they are less likely to be affected by firm specific uncertainty these results suggest that stability in macroeconomic conditions and business activity is important to the stability of the capital structure of firms in the energy sector which would in turn be conducive to stability in their investments and production

do industry level analyses improve forecasts of financial performance prior research documents mean reversion in firm profitability and growth under the implicit assumption that profitability and growth of all firms revert to a common benchmark at the same rate however a large body of academic research suggests that there are systematic interindustry differences e g industry barriers to entry that differentially affect firm performance based on industry membership we evaluate the relative forecast accuracy of mean reverting models at the industry and economywide levels and find that industry specific models are generally more accurate in predicting firm growth but not profitability

the effect of taxes and depreciation on corporate investment and financial leverage this paper provides an analysis of the effect of corporate and personal taxes on the firm s optimal investment and financing decisions under uncertainty it extends the deangelo aad masulis capital structure model by endogenizing the firm s investment decision the authors results indicate that when investment is allowed to adjust optimally the existing predictions about the relationship between investment related and debt related tax shields must be modified in particular the authors show that increases in investment related tax shields due to changes in the corporate tax code are not necessarily associated with reductions in leverage at the individual firm level in cross sectional analysis firms with higher investment related tax shields normalized by expected earnings need not have lower debt related tax shields normalized by expected earnings unless all firms utilize the same production technology differences in production technologies across firms may thus explain why the empirical results of recent cross sectional studies have not conformed to the predictions of deangelo and masulis

the limitations of industry concentration measures constructed with compustat data implications for finance research industry concentration measures calculated with compustat data which cover only the public firms in an industry are poor proxies for actual industry concentration these measures have correlations of only 13 with the corresponding u s census measures which are based on all public and private firms in an industry also only when u s census measures are used is there evidence consistent with theoretical predictions that moreconcentrated industries which should be more oligopolistic are populated by larger and fewer firms with higher price cost margins further the significant relations of compustatbased industry concentration measures with the dependent variables of several important prior studies are not obtained when u s census measures are used one of the reasons for this occurrence is that compustat based measures proxy for industry decline overall our results indicate that product markets research that uses compustat based industry concentration measures may lead to incorrect conclusions jel g10 g30 l10 a growing number of studies that consider the effects of product markets on financial economics related phenomena use industry concentration measures calculated with compustat data which cover only the public firms in an industry these studies examine issues related to asset pricing hou and robinson 2006 informed trading tookes 2008 idiosyncratic stock return volatility gaspar and massa 2006 mergers and acquisitions song and walkling 2000 fee and thomas 2004 shahrur 2005 corporate governance defond and park 1999 engel hayes andwang2003 rennie2006 karuna2007 capitalstructure lang and stulz 1992 kaleand shahrur 2007 corporate disclosurepolicy

testing for short and long run asymmetric responses and structural breaks in the retail gasoline supply chain abstract this research examines the short run and long run relationship between the retail gasoline price the spot gasoline price and the price of west texas intermediate wti crude oil along the gasoline supply chain we find mixed evidence of short run asymmetry in all stages of the retail gasoline supply chain we fail to reject long run symmetry at each stage of the retail gasoline supply chain additionally we find a significant structural break in the crude oil spot gasoline relationship after october 17 2005 there is weak evidence of long run oil price endogeneity after october 17 2005 this structural change reverses the direction of short run asymmetry between these two time series after the break we find no significant structural break in the spot gasoline retail gasoline relationship

product market competition and credit risk abstract this study theoretically and empirically investigates effects of product market competition on credit risk we first develop a real options based structural model in a homogeneous oligopoly and show that credit spreads are positively related to the number of firms in an industry the disparity of firm size in an industry is relevant to both product market competition and credit risk and we therefore extend the model to an asymmetric duopoly case in particular we demonstrate that credit spreads of relatively small large firms within an industry are positively negatively related to herfindahl hirschman index and the relative firm size in an industry is an important determinant of credit risk the models implications are empirically scrutinized by a reduced form hazard model and generally supported by performing out of sample analyses the results demonstrate that firm size together with the interaction terms between intra industry firm size dummies and competition intensity can effectively predict default

streamlining or watering down assessing the smartness of policy and standards for the promotion of low and zero carbon homes in england 2010 15 the knowledge and enforcement problems faced by governments in defining traditional command and control regulation are well known significant legal scholarship offers alternative models of smart responsive environmental regulation emphasising the need for policy instrument mixes including the vital role of voluntary industry led sustainability standards yet as is being increasingly recognised these contributions leave open the need for detailed qualitative evaluation of instrument mixes as a complement to primarily quantitative cost benefit analyses that predominate in regulatory impact assessments by governments addressing this need this paper evaluates policy and standards for low and zero carbon homes in england during the coalition government 2010 2015 when the ecological modernisation discourse of the previous new labour government became subsumed by a deregulation agenda our study incorporating 70 stakeholder interviews suggests that in supplier driven markets such as housing in england a smart mix of mandatory and voluntary standards requires a strong central role for government in setting national mandatory standards and supporting their delivery there is an important potential supplementary role for voluntary tools and local authority discretion though our study highlights problems that can arise when such different instruments promote diverging roadmaps towards a policy goal

do rivals enhance your credit conditions abstract in a model where firms rely on bank financing to build capacity put up specialized productive assets as collateral and then compete a la cournot we introduce a probability of default we investigate how the number of competitors affects the equilibrium amount of bank credit and derive conditions under which an inverted u shaped relationship occurs on the one hand more competitors enhance the resale value of collateralized productive assets on the other hand more competitors shrink firms profits and the resulting income that can be pledged to banks we then extend the analysis to firms outside the cournot industry that are willing to buy productive assets in liquidation and show that the equilibrium bank credit becomes monotonically decreasing in the number of competitors

investment efficiency and product market competition does more competition lead to more information production and greater investment efficiency this question is largely unexplored in the finance literature this article provides both a model and a series of extensive empirical tests the model features a 2 stage bayesian game in differentiated products market competition we find that competition causes firms to acquire less information and investments to become more inefficient relative to a first best case with the same market structure empirically the panel regression analysis provides strong support for the theory and shows that investment is more efficient in concentrated industries

labor protection and leverage this paper exploits inter temporal variations in employment protection across countries and finds that rigidities in labor markets are an important determinant of firms capital structure decisions over the 1985 2007 period we find that reforms increasing employment protection are associated with a 187 basis point reduction in leverage we interpret this finding to suggest that employment protection increases operating leverage crowding out financial leverage this result is robust across measures of employment protection and leverage and does not appear to be due to pre treatment differences between treated and control firms omitted variables unobserved changes in regional economic conditions and reverse causality heterogeneous treatment effects are consistent with our economic intuition we find that the negative effect is more pronounced in firms that are subject to frequent hiring and firing

pricing exit and location decisions of firms evidence on the role of debt and operating efficiency abstract we compare pricing and exit decisions of discounters across the business cycle cities containing high debt and or low efficiency firms display higher prices during non recession years during recessions prices increase in cities with less efficient incumbents but decrease in cities with a mix of high and low debt firms high debt firms are more likely to exit cities with lower prices and high debt exiting firms are more likely to be efficient apparently low debt firms strategically lower prices during recessions to force exit of efficient financially constrained rivals weaker competitors face another cost new entrants locate closer

the socio technical transition of distributed electricity storage into future networks system value and stakeholder views whole system models for the gb electricity system suggest that distributed electricity storage has the potential to significantly reduce the system integration cost for future system scenarios from a policy perspective this poses the question why this value should not be realised within existing market structures opinion among stakeholders is divided some believe that storage deployment constitutes a special case in need of policy support others insist that markets can provide the necessary platform to negotiate contracts which reward storage operators for the range of services they could provide this paper seeks to inform this debate with a process of stakeholder engagement using a perspective informed by socio technical transition literatures this approach allows the identification of tensions among actors in the electricity system and of possibilities for co evolution in the deployment of storage technologies during a transition towards a low carbon electricity system it also draws attention to policy related challenges of technology lock in and path dependency resulting from poor alignment of incumbent regimes with the requirements for distributed electricity storage

evaluating energy efficiency investments accounting for risk in the discounting process a prominent feature of the literature regarding the economics of energy conservation is the debate over the existence and nature of the so called efficiency gap a frequent subject of debate is whether consumers apply a reasonable discount rate when evaluating the future benefits of energy efficiency measures a key aspect of the discounting debate is the manner in which consumer attitudes toward risk are accounted for when discounting this paper suggests that an appropriate approach to incorporating risk into the evaluation of energy efficiency projects would yield higher net benefits to such projects than standard evaluation techniques we argue that analysing the purchase of fuel saving capital as though it were a standard investment in a physical asset obscures an important feature of the decision rather than deciding whether or not to invest in an asset with an uncertain future benefit stream the consumer is actually choosing between two future cost streams each of which is uncertain this seemingly minor change in perspective has important implications for how the risk associated with fuel saving capital should be brought into the discounting process an example based on lighting technologies is used to illustrate the principles discussed

mobilizing private finance for low carbon innovation a systematic review of barriers and solutions this paper analyses the field of innovation studies regarding barriers to low carbon innovation and consequences for finance investment and divestment and contributes to a more holistic understanding of the underlying mechanisms a combination of technological barriers combined with economic barriers institutional and political barriers contribute to sub optimal low carbon investment all along the innovation cycle policy makers need to take a systemic approach to enable the redirection of diverse private financial sources instruments range from cutting dirty r d subsidies and support for clean technology innovation and diffusion levelling the institutional playing field and making risks of high carbon and low carbon technologies transparent to providing a consistent but adaptive long term transition strategy this would allow financiers to gradually shift their investments away from high carbon mainstream markets and scale low carbon technology niche markets however financiers also need to sharpen their competencies with regard to new clean technologies and markets

rockets and feathers meet joseph reinvestigating the oil gasoline asymmetry on the international markets abstract we reinvestigate the rockets and feathers effect between retail gasoline and crude oil prices in a new framework of fractional integration long term memory and borderline non stationarity the most frequently used error correction model is examined in detail and we find that the prices return to their equilibrium value much more slowly than would be typical for the error correction model such dynamics is usually referred to as the joseph effect the standard procedure is shown to be troublesome and we introduce two new tests to investigate possible asymmetry in the price adjustment to equilibrium under these complicated time series characteristics on the dataset of seven national gasoline prices we find no statistically significant asymmetry the proposed methodology is not limited to the gasoline and crude oil case but it can be utilized for any asymmetric adjustment analysis

can exchange rate pass through explain the asymmetric gasoline puzzle evidence from a pooled panel threshold analysis of the eu abstract this study contributes to the literature since it tries to link the exchange rate pass through erpt with the rockets and feathers hypothesis using a panel of eu 28 countries allowing for the existence of an endogenous threshold variable our empirical findings indicate that the threshold model is better suited to this analysis than the baseline linear adjustment model this is the case since the latter restricts the threshold to be centered around zero and the dynamic response to cumulative shocks cannot be properly identified the empirical findings reveal that the threshold variable expressed by the trade weighted dollar exchange rate index is statistically significant only in the sample above the threshold high regime this means that for the net eu exporting countries fluctuations in the real effective exchange rate of the us against its major eu trading partners do affect the level of pre tax retail gasoline prices with the relevant elasticity exceeding unity complete erpt moreover all the statistical tests reject the null hypothesis that there is no significant threshold and thus an asymmetric adjustment gasoline mechanism prevails the impulse response functions confirm our empirical findings that erpt can explain asymmetric gasoline pricing within the eu periphery

bankruptcy costs and the theory of oligopoly this paper examines the relationship between financial decisions and output decisions in oligopolistic markets assuming a duopoly market structure in which financial decisions and output decisions follow in sequence the authors analyze how bankrupt cy costs which are incurred when the firm is unable to meet current debt obligations affect the firm s behavior in output markets with fixed bankruptcy costs firms have an incentive to increase output le vels if they take on more debt proportional bankruptcy costs lead to a u shaped relationship between output and debt foresighted owners of firms are led to take into account the strategic output effects of financial structure when considering an optimal financial structure for the firm

fuel poverty and energy efficiency obligations a critical assessment of the supplier obligation in the uk energy efficiency obligations or white certificates are increasingly used to reduce carbon emissions while the energy efficiency obligations were originally intended as carbon reduction and not fuel poverty policies due to recognition of the potential for regressive outcomes they often include provisions for vulnerable and low income customers intuitively reducing carbon emissions and alleviating fuel poverty seem to be two sides of the same coin there are however considerable tensions between the two when addressed through energy efficiency obligations particularly arising from the potentially regressive impacts of rising energy prices resulting from such obligations but also the complexity of targeting fuel poor households and the implications for deliverability despite those tensions the uk government decided to use energy efficiency obligations the supplier obligation as the main policy for reducing fuel poverty in light of the proposals this paper provides an analysis of the main tensions between carbon reduction and fuel poverty alleviation within energy efficiency obligations outlines the fuel poverty provisions of the british supplier obligation assesses its rules for identifying the fuel poor and provides a critical analysis of the planned policy changes based on this analysis alternative approaches to targeting fuel poverty within future supplier obligations are proposed

how does industry affect firm financial structure we examine the importance of industry to firm level financial and real decisions we find that in addition to standard industry fixed effects financial structure also depends on a firm s position within its industry in competitive industries a firm s financial leverage depends on its natural hedge its proximity to the median industry capital labor ratio the actions of other firms in the industry and its status as entrant incumbent or exiting firm financial leverage is higher and less dispersed in concentrated industries where strategic debt interactions are also stronger but a firm s natural hedge is not significant our results show that financial structure technology and risk are jointly determined within industries these findings are consistent with recent industry equilibrium models of financial structure copyright 2005 oxford university press