money and capital abstract the effects of money anticipated inflation on capital formation is a classic issue in macroeconomics previous papers adopt reduced form approaches putting money in the utility function or imposing cash in advance but using otherwise frictionless models we follow instead a literature that tries to be explicit about the frictions making money essential this introduces new elements including a two sector structure with centralized and decentralized markets stochastic trading opportunities and bargaining these elements matter quantitatively and numerical results differ from findings in the reduced form literature the analysis also reduces a gap between microfounded monetary economics and mainstream macro

what can we learn about financial access from u s immigrants the role of country of origin institutions and immigrant beliefs immigrants from countries with more effective institutions are more likely than other immigrants to have a relationship with a bank and to use formal financial markets more extensively the evidence that a country s institutional environment shapes beliefs and by extension the use of financial services provides support for policies that focus on institutional reforms in promoting financial access after holding wealth education and other factors constant the impact of institutional quality in the country of origin affects the financial market participation of all immigrant groups except those who have lived in the united states for more than 28 years these findings are robust to alternative measures of institutional effectiveness to controlling for additional country of origin characteristics and to various methods for addressing potential biases caused by immigrant self selection

payment card rewards programs and consumer payment choice abstract by using a unique data set that contains detailed information about consumer payment choice and consumers attitudes toward each payment method we estimate the effects of payment card rewards on consumer choice of payment methods our approach allows us to control for consumer heterogeneity we find the effects of rewards to be statistically significant across five retail types our policy experiments suggest that for the sub population who hold both credit and debit cards removing rewards would increase their share of paper based payment methods i e cash and checks measured in terms of in store transactions by no more than 4 percentage points

in love with the debit card but still married to cash abstractusing shopping diary survey data we show that changing payment patterns is a challenging task even when consumers have fallen in love with a new payment instrument they find it hard to divorce from their old payment instrument we find a discrepancy between how consumers prefer to pay and how they actually pay half of the consumers who prefer the debit card to cash don t use the debit card to pay a majority of their point of sale transactions our regression results show that the habit of paying cash plays a significant role explaining the presence of a gap

choosing how to pay the influence of foreign backgrounds abstract is having a foreign background a relevant factor in choosing between payment instruments in consumer point of sale transactions after migration we analyze this question using a unique diary survey in which both participants with a dutch and a foreign background documented their daily purchases we present several pieces of evidence suggesting that foreign backgrounds still influence the choice between payment instruments after migration to the netherlands for instance we find that first generation migrants from a number of countries that can be seen as cash oriented are more likely to use cash in the netherlands at the same time second generation migrants have similar payment habits as individuals with a dutch background this finding suggests that payment behavior is not passed on between generations but affected by host country payment habits finally we suggest that in this context special information campaigns to increase debit card usage will not have clear net social benefits

bouncing out of the banking system an empirical analysis of involuntary bank account closures using a new database we document the determinants of involuntary consumer bank account closures during 2001 2005 approximately 30 million debit accounts were involuntarily closed for excessive overdrafting we focus on multiple factors to explain this phenomenon household economics and financial decision making ability social capital bank policies and the alternative financial services sector involuntary closures are more frequent in us counties with a larger fraction of single mothers lower education levels lower wealth and higher unemployment closures are higher in communities with high property crime rates and low electoral participation bank policies have an independent relation to closures with counties having more competitive banking markets and more multi market banks experiencing higher closure rates bank structure also seems to affect the speed at which banks adjust their policies to changes in household income finally using both national data and a state level shift in regulation we find evidence that access to payday lending leads to higher rates of involuntary account closure

whither loose change the diminishing demand for small denomination currency while payment card usage has increased dramatically the stock of outstanding currency has not declined as rapidly we analyze changes in cash demand for 13 advanced economies from 1988 to 2003 by separating cash into three denomination categories to disentangle its store of wealth and payment functions defining denominations commonly dispensed by automated teller machines atms as the medium category we show that demand for small denomination currency decreases with greater debit card usage and with greater retail market consolidation in contrast the demand for high denomination notes decreases when interest rates rise but is generally unaffected by changes in debit card usage

the use of flow analysis in foreign exchange exploratory evidence abstract this paper provides questionnaire evidence on the role of flow analysis for professional traders and fund managers this evidence suggests that besides fundamental information and technical analysis the analysis of flows provides an independent third type of information for professionals the view that flows can be used to learn about fundamentals is not consistent with the data instead evidence indicates that flows more likely provide insight into semi fundamental private information

why do people use debit cards evidence from checking accounts i introduction debit card use has grown faster than any other payment instrument in the united states a minor segment of the market used debit cards in 1998 however figure 1 shows that because of rapid growth in their use more transactions are made with debit than with credit cards the puzzle of debit s popularity is that explicit costs appear to favor credit over debit with debit money immediately comes out of the bank account whereas with credit the household is billed for purchases at the end of the month and pays within a further grace period as long as no balance is carried on the credit card the consumer pays no interest this float may be minor if evaluated at a savings account interest rate however for liquidity constrained households the opportunity cost payday loans or bank bounce protection is quite high credit cards also offer the option to convert the balance into an uncollateralized loan with zero transaction cost most credit cards offer rewards cash back airline miles gift certificates warranty on purchase charitable donations etc or a below market interest rate only 5 7 of banks offer rewards on their signature debit cards moebs services inc 2006 and some financial institutions 15 charge a fee for pin debit purchases ranging from 10 cents to 2 dollars per transaction the goal of this paper is to investigate the factors that have caused a seemingly dominated product to become a market leader consumer debit card choice has implications for monetary policy as such choices affect money demand and money transmission mechanisms with 894 billion in credit card debt at the end of 2009 and 1 4 million personal bankruptcies in 2009 americans ability to effectively manage personal finances can have a strong effect on standard of living as payment card networks exhibit network externalities market concentration and its suppressive effects on competition is of concern to antitrust regulators the extent to which these network externalities exist is dependent on the degree of substitutability of competing payment media survey evidence such as found in the studies of zinman 2009 stavins 2001 borzekowski and kiser 2008 and borzekowski kiser and ahmed 2008 offers several motivations for choosing debit over credit cost convenience merchant acceptance time at checkout purchase tracking safety being credit constrained and spending restraint zinman notes that up to 31 of households could use debit for self restraint uniquely we use household transactions level data a course of action recommended by zinman the sufficiently rich data are consistent with spending control purchase tracking merchant acceptance and pecuniary motives paying interest when revolving a credit card balance as an explanation for some households debit use figure 1 omitted much of the growth in debit card use has come at the expense of checks or cash from 1995 to 2003 electronic payments grew from 23 to 55 of all payments borzekowski and kiser 2008 find that the closest substitutes for debit are cash checks and credit in that order however the debit versus credit comparison is quite clean debit and credit equate in many dimensions considered by klee 2006 and recently available data to track debit transactions as opposed to the anonymity of cash however with atm withdrawals observable we are able to compare debit and credit to cash to speculate whether debit card use might be correlated with spending control motives we look for evidence that debit card users are paying down a credit card balance the checking account data contains credit card payments but not credit card balances while the data do not contain full information about credit card balances they do contain payments to credit cards this is enough information to show that debit users are more likely to pay the same amount in multiple months a sign that they are paying a credit card balance

the influence of fundamentals on exchange rates findings from analyses of news effects as we survey the literature of macroeconomic news in the foreign exchange market we can by now look back on nearly 30 years of research the first studies which analysed news effects on exchange rates were established in the early 1990s see for example dornbusch almost at the same time meese and rogoff published their influential paper revealing the forecasting inferiority in exchange rates of structural models against the random walk this finding has shocked the pillars of exchange rate economics and thus cast general suspicion on research focusing on fundamentals in this field the eventual rising popularity of event studies can partly be attributed to the re establishment of the raison d etre of exchange rate economics this work focuses on systematically surveying this literature with particular respect to its primary goal i e shedding light on the analytical value of fundamental research thus its major findings are first fundamental news does matter whereas non fundamental news matters to a lesser degree second news influences exchange rates via two separated channels i e incorporating common information into prices directly or indirectly based upon order flow third with a few exceptions the impact of fundamental news on exchange rates is fairly stable over time

assessing gender inequality in food security among small holder farm households in urban and rural south africa summary with the ongoing changes in climate household food insecurity is likely to be more widespread in most small holder and subsistence farm households in sub saharan africa however the existence and extent of gendered household food security or lack thereof remains unclear this study extends existing knowledge by assessing gender inequality in household food in security among small holder farm households in urban and rural areas of south africa in doing so we use the gender of the head of household and treatment effects framework our results show that male headed households are more food secure compared to female headed households with the latter depending more on agriculture to increase household food levels we further find that the household food security gap between male and female headed households is wider in rural than in urban areas where rural male and female headed households are more likely to report chronic food insecurity i e are more likely than their urban counterparts to experience hunger interestingly the effects of climatic characteristics on household food security are more apparent in rural than in urban areas our findings suggest that household food security initiatives are likely to be more effective in closing the gender gap in household food security if aligned with policies on urban and rural agriculture and development

platform competition in two sided markets many if not most markets with network externalities are two sided to succeed platforms in industries such as software portals and media payment systems and the internet must get both sides of the market on board accordingly platforms devote much attention to their business model that is to how they court each side while making money overall this paper builds a model of platform competition with two sided markets it unveils the determinants of price allocation and end user surplus for different governance structures profit maximizing platforms and not for profit joint undertakings and compares the outcomes with those under an integrated monopolist and a ramsey planner jel l5 l82 l86 l96

cash burns an inventory model with a cash credit choice abstract a dynamic cash management model is analysed where agents choose whether to pay with cash or credit at every point in time in the model credit usage depends on the current stock of cash a novel result that matches recent micro evidence on households payment choices the optimality of such a decision rule is novel and cannot be obtained by models where cash credit decisions are made at the beginning of each period we discuss how to use the model to account for cross country evidence on the intensity of credit usage and for several statistics on the size and frequency of cash withdrawals the model is used to assess the household s welfare cost of phasing out cash

financial innovation and the transactions demand for cash we document cash management patterns for households that are at odds with the predictions of deterministic inventory models that abstract from precautionary motives we extend the baumol tobin cash inventory model to a dynamic environment that allows for the possibility of withdrawing cash at random times at a low cost this modification introduces a precautionary motive for holding cash and naturally captures developments in withdrawal technology such as the increasing diffusion of bank branches and atm terminals we characterize the solution of the model which qualitatively reproduces several empirical patterns we estimate the structural parameters using micro data and show that quantitatively the model captures important economic patterns the estimates are used to quantify the expenditure and interest rate elasticity of money demand the impact of financial innovation on money demand the welfare cost of inflation and the benefit of atm ownership

biased perceptions of income distribution and preferences for redistribution evidence from a survey experiment abstract individual perceptions of income distribution play a vital role in political economy and public finance models yet there is little evidence regarding their origins or accuracy this study examines how individuals form these perceptions and explores their potential impact on preferences for redistribution a tailored household survey provides original evidence on systematic biases in individuals evaluations of their own relative position in the income distribution the study discusses one of the mechanisms that may generate such biases based on the extrapolation of information from endogenous reference groups and presents some suggestive evidence that this mechanism has significant explanatory power the impact of these biased perceptions on attitudes toward redistributive policies is studied by means of an experimental design that was incorporated into the survey which provided consistent information on the own ranking within the income distribution to a randomly selected group of respondents the evidence suggests that those who had overestimated their relative position and thought that they were relatively richer than they were tend to demand higher levels of redistribution when informed of their true ranking

consumers use of debit cards patterns preferences and price response debit card use at the point of sale has grown dramatically in recent years in the united states and now exceeds the number of credit card transactions however many questions remain regarding patterns of debit card use consumer preferences when using debit and how consumers might respond to explicit pricing of card transactions using a new nationally representative consumer survey this paper describes the current use of debit cards by u s consumers including how demographics affect use in addition consumers stated reasons for using debit cards are used to analyze how consumers substitute between debit and other payment instruments we also examine the relationship between household financial conditions and payment choice finally we use a key variable on bank imposed transaction fees to analyze price sensitivity of card use and find a 12 decline in overall use in reaction to a mean 1 8 fee charged on certain debit card transactions we believe this represents the first microeconomic evidence in the united states on price sensitivity for a card payment at the point of sale

how effective are rewards programs in promoting payment card usage empirical evidence card issuers have mainly relied on rewards programs as their main strategy to increase usage however there is scarce evidence on the effectiveness of these programs this paper is addressing two topics which could have important managerial and public policy implications i it estimates the impact of rewards on the use of cards and ii it quantifies their economic effects in terms of the cash substitution we find that rewards may significantly modify choice for card payments their economic impact also varies significantly across types of rewards and merchant activities additionally rewards seem to be more effective for debit cards

what defines news in foreign exchange markets abstract this paper examines whether the traditional sets of macro surprises that most of the literature considers are the only sorts of news that can explain exchange rate movements we examine the intra daily influence of a broad set of news reports including variables which are not typically considered fundamentals in the context of standard models of exchange rate determination and ask whether they too help predict exchange rate behavior we also examine whether news not only impacts exchange rates directly but also influences exchange rates via order flow signed trade volume our results indicate that along with the standard fundamentals both non fundamental news and order flow matter suggesting that future models of exchange rate determination ought to include all three types of explanatory variables

the foreign exchange market a random walk with a dragging anchor this paper explores some anomalies in the foreign exchange market it is hard to find evidence of either short term overshooting or of longer term reversion to an equilibrium the forward exchange rate contains virtually no information on future spot rates discussions with practitioners indicate that longer term speculation based on fundamentals is strictly limited and survey data and other evidence suggest that expectations and speculation are based on a variety of models the interplay between speculation based on fundamentals and on a random walk or chartist approach influences the outcome this endorses the prior model of j a frankel and k a froot copyright 1988 by the london school of economics and political science

the market for electronic cash cards we develop a theoretical framework aimed to model the pricing of electronic cash cards and the market domain in which these cards will be used in an environment where charge cards and currency the legal tender are competing payment media we also investigate whether the adoption of the various payment media generates an underutilization or overutilization of the electronic cash cards relative to currency

the demand for money financial innovation and the welfare cost of inflation an analysis with household data we use microeconomic data on households to estimate the parameters of the demand for currency derived from a generalized baumol tobin model our data set contains information on average currency deposits and other interest bearing assets the number of trips to the bank the size of withdrawals and ownership and use of atm cards we model the demand for currency accounting for adoption of new transaction technologies and the decision to hold interest bearing assets the interest rate and expenditure flow elasticities of the demand for currency are close to the theoretical values implied by standard inventory models however we find significant differences between individuals with an atm card and those without the estimates of the demand for currency allow us to calculate a measure of the welfare cost of inflation analogous to bailey s triangle but based on a rigorous microeconometric framework the welfare cost of inflation varies considerably within the population but never turns out to be very lar

modeling denomination structures previous work on the denomination structure of currency treats as exogenous the distribution of transactions and the denominations held by people here by way of a matching model both are endogenous in the model trades in pairwise meetings alternate in time with the opportunity to freely choose a portfolio of denominations and there is a trade off between the benefits of small denomination money for transacting and the costliness of carrying a large quantity of small denomination money for a given denomination structure a monetary steady state is shown to exist the model implies that too small denominations are abandoned

one money one market the effect of common currencies on trade currency unions their dramatic effect on international trade a gravity model is used to assess the separate effects of exchange rate volatility and currency unions on international trade the panel data bilateral observations for five years during 1970 90 covering 186 countries includes 300 observations in which both countries use the same currency i find a large positive effect of a currency union on international trade and a small negative effect of exchange rate volatility even after controlling for a host of features including the endogenous nature of the exchange rate regime these effects statistically significant imply that two countries sharing the same currency trade three times as much as they would with different currencies currency unions like the european emu may thus lead to a large increase in international trade with all that that entails andrew rose

deutsche mark dollar volatility intraday activity patterns macroeconomic announcements and longer run dependencies this paper provides a detailed characterization of the volatility in the deutsche mark dollar foreign exchange market using an annual sample of five minute returns the approach captures the intraday activity patterns the macroeconomic announcements and the volatility persistence arch known from daily returns the different features are separately quantified and shown to account for a substantial fraction of return variability both at the intraday and daily level the implications of the results for the interpretation of the fundamental driving forces behind the volatility process is also discussed the efficient market hypothesis contends that financial asset prices provide rational assessments of fundamental values and future payoffs by implication price changes should reflect the arrival and processing of all relevant new information however the proportion of return variability that can be ascribed to public news announcements is low for example cutler poterba and summers 1989 find that even the largest daily price changes in the stock market generally cannot be associated with any significant economic news 1 moreover proxies for the flow of public information e g the number of news items released by reuter s news service berry and hiowe 1994 or dow jones company mitchell and mulherin 1994 explain little of the overall variation thus if private information is ruled out proponents of rational price formation have to assert the existence of important news items

atm foreign fees and cash withdrawals abstract we evaluate the impact of foreign fees paid by consumers on their cash withdrawals at automatic teller machines henceforth atms these so called foreign fees are paid when consumers withdraw cash from atms which are not owned by their home bank we take advantage of a natural experiment whereby non linear foreign atm fees in one specific bank became suddenly applicable at one point in time we also use this experiment to evaluate the substitutions between foreign atm withdrawals and other home atm or desk withdrawals as well as with payments by card using panel data on accounts we first estimate average treatment effects on the treated before carrying on with the estimation of a simple structural model the latter procedure allows us to compute the counterfactual impacts of changing the schedule of foreign fees impacts are sizeable on bank profits and consumer welfare

social mobility and redistributive politics just like economists voters have conflicting views about redistributive taxation because they estimate its incentive costs differently we model rational agents as trying to learn from their dynastic income mobility experience the relative importance of effort and predetermined factors in the generation of income inequality and therefore the magnitude of these incentive costs in the long run left wing dynasties believing less in individual effort and voting for more redistribution coexist with right wing dynasties this allows us to explain why individual mobility experience and not only current income matters for political attiitudes and how persistent differences in perceptions about social mobility can generate persistent differences in redistribution across countries

alternative monies and the demand for media of exchange prepaid cards cash cards electronic purse smart cards these are but a few of the elements in the revolution now taking place in monetary systems around the world at that movement s heart is the emergence of a new value transfer system where alternative monies are offered to consumers through the miracle of electronics in some cases the new monies are merely a repackaging of existing media of exchange for example stored value cards that have been traditionally available for single vendors now are being offered for multiple merchant use in other cases technology and its acceptability are being cross sold as with debit cards and the expanded use of atm cards as point of sale vehicles however the banking industry is perhaps most enthusiastic about the emerging technology of smart cards chip in cards that have been making inroads in europe with the expanded capability of a memory chip alternative monies are seen to have the capability of moving to a new plateau of acceptance there are many stories in the business press about the general enthusiasm for these new forms of money for example block 1995 and cutler 1994 herald the new day of electronic money they forecast the demise of both the greenback and of commercial banks that exploit the float derived from its use according to the hyperbole from marketing reps from this side of the financial community currency and demand deposits soon will be endangered species consumer acceptance is alleged to be high and cost efficiency associated with the new technology is expected to be substantial

exchange rates and fundamentals new evidence from real time data abstract this paper analyses the link between economic fundamentals and exchange rates by investigating the importance of real time data we find that economic news in the united states germany and the euro area have been a driving force behind daily us dollar euro dem exchange rate developments in the period 1993 2003 the larger importance of us macroeconomic news is at least partly explained by their earlier release time compared to corresponding german and euro area news the exchange rate is also shown to respond more strongly to news in periods of large market uncertainty and when negative or large shocks occur overall the model based on real time data explains about 75 of the monthly directional changes of the us dollar euro exchange rate although it does not explain well the magnitude of the exchange rate changes

endogenous business cycle propagation and the persistence problem the role of labor market frictions contrasting sharply with a recent trend in dsge modeling we propose a business cycle model where frictions and shocks are chosen with parsimony the model emphasizes a few labor market frictions and shocks to monetary policy and technology the model estimated from u s quarterly postwar data accounts well for important differences in the serial correlation of the growth rates of aggregate quantities the size of aggregate fluctuations and key comovements including the correlation between hours and labor productivity despite its simplicity the model offers an answer to the persistence problem chari et al 2000 that does not rely on multiple frictions and adjustment lags or ad hoc backward looking components we conclude modern dsge models need not embed large batteries of frictions and shocks to account for the salient features of postwar business cycles

determinants of card payments abstractalthough the development of the card payment system allows for lowering the costs of money circulation and thereby leads to significant economic gains relatively small amount of research has been dedicated to the analysis of the determinants of this development therefore the aim of the article is to seek cross country determinants of retail card payments focusing on trust in the system the article concentrates on two econometric models one is constructed with the use of representative population survey data for poland the other is based on panel data from the eu countries in the years 2000 2012

why do shoppers use cash evidence from shopping diary data des etudes recentes montrent que l argent comptant demeure un mode de paiement privilegie pour les transactions de faible montant malgre la prevalence d autres moyens de paiement comme les cartes de debit et de credit pour les decideurs publics il importe de savoir si les consommateurs preferent vraiment regler en especes ou plutot si les commercants restreignent l usage de ces cartes

corruption inequality and fairness bigger governments raise the possibilities for corruption more corruption may in turn raise the support for redistributive policies that intend to correct the inequality and injustice generated by corruption we formalize these insights in a simple dynamic model a positive feedback from past to current levels of taxation and corruption arises either when wealth originating in corruption and rent seeking is considered unfair or when the ability to engage in corruption is unevenly distributed in the population this feedback introduces persistence in the size of the government and the levels of corruption and inequality multiple steady states exist in some cases

how people pay evidence from grocery store data abstract empirical evidence based on grocery store transaction data shows that consumer payment behavior at the point of sale is important for understanding models of money demand there are statistically significant effects of transaction costs opportunity costs and product characteristics on the choice of payment instrument which then in turn affect money demand these results emphasize the overlap between the work of empirical researchers in payment choice and theoretical modelers of monetary economics and should inform both literatures

prices for cash and cash for prices theory and evidence on convenient pricing a transaction between a seller and a buyer incurs a payment cost the payment cost is borne by the seller depending on the payment instrument the buyer chooses cash or card card payment is more costly than cash payment so the seller prefers that the buyer pays cash in this article we study the strategy of the seller setting a convenient price which simplifies transactions and pushes the buyer to pay cash the theoretical analysis which models both the seller and the buyer in a game setting derives two propositions 1 the seller is more likely to set a more convenient price and 2 the buyer is more likely to pay cash a more convenient price the empirical analysis supports both propositions thus sellers adopt a convenience pricing strategy prices for cash and this strategy pushes buyers to pay cash cash for prices

the anatomy of distributional preferences with group identity abstract the increasing diversity of societies raises questions about the consequences for redistributive preferences this paper assesses the impact of social identity on distributional preferences in a modified dictator game i estimate individual level utility functions with two parameters that govern the trade offs between equity and efficiency and giving to self and to other subjects on average put less weight on income of the out group the out group treatment also changes the distribution of equity efficiency concerns however the experiment also uncovers a large individual heterogeneity of preferences an analysis of garp violations reveals that choices in both treatments overwhelmingly stem from well behaved yet systematically different underlying utility functions hence the evidence presented here suggests that the rational choice approach is a useful tool for understanding the effect of social identity on preferences

once in a generation yen volatility in 1998 fundamentals intervention and order flow abstract the dramatic yen dollar volatility of 1998 has been popularly ascribed to order flow driven by changing tastes for risk and hedge fund herding on unwinding yen carry trade positions rather than fundamentals high frequency evidence of shifting fundamentals is provided by a comprehensive list of macroeconomic announcements news is found to have significant effects on volatility but order flow may play a more important role since portfolio shifts are revealed to the market through trading the results are consistent with order flow playing a significant role in the revelation of private information and associated exchange rate shifts

cooperatives and happiness cross country evidence on the role of relational capital why is the share of happy people higher in some countries than in their equally developed neighbours we conjecture that the apparent contradiction might depend on a country s endowment of relation

interest rates and prices in an inventory model of money with credit abstract using a segmented market model that includes state dependent asset market decisions along with access to credit we analyze the impact that transactions credit has on interest rates and prices the availability of credit allows agents to significantly smooth consumption reduce the movements in velocity prices become quite flexible and liquidity effects are dampened as credit costs decline in the model so does the effectiveness of monetary policy we also investigate the recessionary consequences of a shock to the cost of credit and find that the model s predictions align well with the empirical evidence

extensive margins and the demand for money at low interest rates we argue that the relevant monetary decision for the majority of u s households is not the fraction of assets to be held in interest bearing form but whether to hold any such assets at all we call this the decision to adopt the financial technology we show that the key variable governing the adoption decision is the product of the interest rate times the total amount of assets this implies that the interest elasticity of household money demand at low interest rates can be estimated from the variation in asset holdings in a cross section of households rather than historical interest rate variations we do so with the 1989 survey of consumer finances we find that a the elasticity of money demand is very small when the interest rate is small b the probability that a household holds any amount of interest bearing assets is positively related to the level of financial assets and c the cost of adopting financial technologies is negatively related to participation in a pension program at intere

payment choice and currency use insights from two billion retail transactions abstract using three years of transactions data from a discount retailer with thousands of stores we study payment variation along three dimensions transaction size and location weekly and monthly frequencies and longer time horizons in each case we connect empirical patterns to theories of money demand and payments we show that cross sectional and time series payment patterns are consistent with a theoretical framework in which individual consumers choose between cash and non cash payments based on a threshold transaction size and we evaluate factors that may account for the variation in threshold distributions across locations and time

using cash to monitor liquidity implications for payments currency demand and withdrawal behavior this paper provides one explanation why cash is still used for transactions despite a broad diffusion of noncash payment instruments in particular we argue that a distinctive feature of cash a glance into one s pocket gives a signal of the remaining budget and past expenses provides utility to some consumers using payment survey data we show that consumers who need to keep control over their remaining liquidity and who have elevated costs of information processing conduct a larger percentage of payments using cash withdraw less often and hold larger cash balances than other consumers

inventory theoretic money demand and relative price dynamics we construct a two goods inventory theoretic money demand model and find that the model implies in a monetary contraction the decline in the prices of low cash intensity goods durables or luxuries outpaces that of high cash intensity goods nondurables or necessities using u s data we show that our model s predictions are consistent with the data

marriage markets and money a coasian theory of household formation this article integrates search based models of marriage and money we think about households as organizations the way coase thinks about firms as alternatives to markets that become more attractive when transactions costs increase in the model individuals consume market and home produced goods and home production is facilitated by marriage market frictions including taxes search and bargaining problems increase the marriage propensity the inflation tax encourages marriage because being single is cash intensive microdata confirm singles use cash more than married people we use macrodata over many countries to investigate how marriage responds to inflation taxation and other variables

social mobility and the demand for redistribution the poum hypothesis this paper examines the often stated idea that the poor do not support high levels of redistribution because of the hope that they or their offspring may make it up the income ladder this prospect of upward mobility poum hypothesis is shown to be fully compatible with rational expectations and fundamentally linked to concavity in the mobility process a steady state majority could even be simultaneously poorer than average in terms of current income and richer than average in terms of expected future incomes a e rst empirical assessment suggests on the other hand that in recent u s data the poum effect is probably dominated by the demand for social insurance in the future everyone will be world famous for e fteen minutes andy warhol 1968

explaining adoption and use of payment instruments by u s consumers this paper develops and estimates a structural model of adoption and usage of payment instruments by u s consumers we utilize a cross section from the survey of consumer payment choice a new survey of consumer behavior our empirical model combines the elements of a discrete continuous model where rst a consumer picks a product and then chooses how much to use it with a bundled choice model in which consumers can choose multiple products that may aect the utility derived from each other we consider how changes in the costs of adoption and usage may dierentially aect substitution patterns these results are particularly relevant for bank pricing of debit card services in response to the regulation of interchange fees on debit cards enacted by the durbin amendment to the dodd frank act which became eective on

an experiment on retail payments systems we study the behavioral underpinnings of adopting cash versus electronic payments in retail transactions a novel theoretical and experimental framework is developed to primarily assess the impact of sellers service fees and buyers rewards from using electronic payments buyers and sellers face a coordination problem independently choosing a payment method before trading in the experiment sellers readily adopt electronic payments but buyers do not eliminating service fees or introducing rewards significantly boosts the adoption of electronic payments hence buyers incentives play a pivotal role in the diffusion of electronic payments but monetary incentives cannot fully explain their adoption choices findings from this experiment complement empirical findings based on surveys and field data

do liquidity constraints and interest rates matter for consumer behavior evidence from credit card data this paper utilizes a unique new dataset of credit card accounts to analyze how people respond to changes in credit supply the data consist of a panel of thousands of individual credit card accounts from several different card issuers with associated credit bureau data we estimate both marginal propensities to consume mpcs out of liquidity and interest rate elasticities we also evaluate the ability of different models of consumption to rationalize our results distinguishing the permanent income hypothesis pih liquidity constraints precautionary saving and behavioral models we find that increases in credit limits generate an immediate and significant rise in debt counter to the pih the average mpc out of liquidity ddebt dlimit ranges between 10 14 the mpc is much larger for people starting near their limits consistent with binding liquidity constraints however the mpc is significant even for people starting well below their limit we show this response is consistent with buffer stock models of precautionary saving nonetheless there are other results that conventional models cannot easily explain e g why so many people are borrowing on their credit cards and simultaneously holding low yielding assets unlike most other studies we also find strong effects from changes in account specific interest rates the long run elasticity of debt to the interest rate is approximately 1 3 less than half of this elasticity represents balance shifting across cards with most reflecting net changes in total borrowing the elasticity is larger for decreases in interest rates than for increases which can explain the widespread use of temporary promotional rates the elasticity is smaller for people starting near their credit limits again consistent with liquidity constraints

the welfare cost of inflation revisited the role of financial innovation and household heterogeneity notre analyse demontre que le ratio monnaie consommation augmente avec l ge des menages et decroit avec la consommation et que ce ratio a fortement augmente dans le contexte de tres bas taux d interet des dernieres annees nous elaborons un modele a generations imbriquees de la detention de monnaie pour des motifs de transaction dans lequel nous introduisons des effets d ge l utilisation de la monnaie augmente avec l ge des menages des effets de cohorte les jeunes generations font appel a des technologies financieres plus evoluees et des effets temporels les taux d interet nominaux influent sur la detention de monnaie

effects of payment mechanism on spending behavior the role of rehearsal and immediacy of payments past expenses have been shown to influence future spending behavior by depleting available budgets however a prerequisite for this relationship is the accurate recall of past payments and the experiencing of the full aversive impact associated with them this article shows that the use of different payment mechanisms influences both these factors and hence moderates the effects of past payments on future spending specifically past payments strongly reduce purchase intention when the payment mechanism requires the consumer to write down the amount paid rehearsal and when the consumer s wealth is depleted immediately rather than with a delay immediacy two experiments show support for the proposed theoretical framework

should public policy respond to positional externalities abstract a nice suit is one that compares favorably with those worn by others in the same local environment more generally a positional good is one whose utility depends strongly on how it compares with others in the same category 1 a positional externality occurs when new purchases alter the relevant context within which an existing positional good is evaluated 2 for example if some job candidates begin wearing expensive custom tailored suits a side effect of their action is that other candidates become less likely to make favorable impressions on interviewers from any individual job seeker s point of view the best response might be to match the higher expenditures of others lest her chances of landing the job fall but this outcome may be inefficient since when all spend more each candidate s probability of success remains unchanged all may agree that some form of collective restraint on expenditure would be useful in such cases however it is often impractical to negotiate private solutions do positional externalities then become legitimate objects of public policy concern in attempting to answer this question i employ the classical libertarian criterion put forth by john stuart mill 3 who wrote the state may not legitimately constrain any citizen s freedom of action except to prevent harm to others i argue that many positional externalities appear to meet mill s test causing not just negative feelings but also large and tangible economic costs to others who are ill equipped to avoid them i also discuss an unintrusive policy remedy for positional externalities one modeled after the use of effluent charges to curb environmental pollution the paper is organized as follows section 1 notes the deep similarity between the conditions that give rise to positional arms races and those that give rise to conventional military arms races section 2 follows with a review of evidence concerning the strength of concerns about relative position section 3 describes some of the tangible economic costs that people experience as a result of positional externalities arising from such concerns section 4 takes up the question of whether collective action directed against positional externalities is consistent with respect for individual rights section 5 describes how a progressive consumption tax could neutralize many of the most costly effects of positional externalities

the welfare effect of access to credit i present a model in which credit and outside money can be used as means of payment in order to analyze how access to credit aects welfare when credit markets feature limited participation allowing more agents to use credit has an ambiguous eect on welfare because it may make consumption risk sharing more ine cient i calibrate the model using u s data on credit card transactions and show that the increase in access to credit from 1990 to the near present has had a slightly negative impact on welfare

inflation and unemployment in the long run we study the long run relation between money measured by inflation or interest rates and unemployment we first document in the data a positive relation between these variables at low frequencies we then develop a framework where unemployment and money are both modeled using microfoundations based on search and bargaining theory providing a unified theory for analyzing labor and goods markets the calibrated model shows that money can account for a sizable fraction of trends in unemployment we argue it matters qualitativelynand quantitatively whether one uses monetary theory based on search and bargaining or an alternative ad hoc specification

consumers perceived risk and hold and use of payment instruments abstractconsumer decisions regarding retail payment instruments entail private and social costs due to these social costs policymakers are increasingly trying to understand the determinants of consumer payment choices as documented by the european central bank s regular publications this article contributes to this understanding by investigating the role of perceived risk based on an original survey of french consumers we measure the effects of perceived risk on the decisions to hold and use the main retail payment instruments cash card and cheque we point to the sequential dependence of the decisions to hold and use a payment instrument and study jointly both decisions the bivariate analysis based on risk factors shows that unavailability risk and time risk have the greatest transverse influence on holding and using payment instruments our results robust to controlling for consumer characteristics confirm their propensity for a quick to use and constantly available payment instrument we dis

credit cards as spending facilitating stimuli a conditioning interpretation four experiments and one study were conducted to test the hypothesis that stimuli associated with spending can elicit spending responses in all experiments credit card stimuli were either present or absent in situations in which subjects were given an opportunity to spend credit card stimuli directed spending such that the probability speed or magnitude of spending was enhanced in the presence of credit card cues a conditioning explanation was used to interpret the results

the failure of competition in the credit card market the bank credit card market containing 4 000 firms and lacking regulatory barriers casually appears to be a hospitable environment for the model of perfect competition nevertheless this article reports that credit card interest rates have been exceptionally sticky relative to the cost of funds moreover major credit card issuers have persistently earned from three to five times the ordinary rate of return in banking during the periods 1983 88 the failure of the competitive model appears to be partly attributable to consumers making credit card choices without taking account of the very high probability that they will pay interest on their outstanding balances copyright 1991 by american economic association

inequality and happiness in recent years there has been an accumulation of empirical evidence suggesting that individuals dislike inequality alesina and giuliano 2011 and dawes et al 2007 the literature has built upon estimating the degree of this dislike as well as its causes the use of self reported measures of satisfaction or well being as a proxy for utility has been one of the empirical strategies used to this end in this survey we review the papers that estimate or examine the relationship between inequality and self reported happiness to conclude that inequality correlates negatively with happiness in western societies some of the surveyed papers identify particular sources of heterogeneity on preferences over inequality the evidence for non western societies is more mixed and less reliable notwithstanding that trust in the institutions seems to play an important role in shaping the relationship between income inequality and subjective wellbeing we conclude with suggestions for further research

sticky prices and costly credit we develop a theory of money and credit as competing payment instruments then put it to work in applications agents use cash and credit because the former latter is subject to the inflation tax transaction costs frictions that make the choice of payment method interesting also imply equilibrium price dispersion we derive closed form solutions for money demand and show how to simultaneously account for the price change facts cash credit shares in micro data and money interest correlations in macro data the effects of inflation on welfare price dispersion and markups are discussed as are nonstationary equilibria with dynamics in the price distribution

local information in foreign exchange markets abstract this study shows that order flow in a foreign exchange market appears to have permanent price impact only if it comes from certain regions these regions are as predicted by the local information hypothesis centers of political and financial decision making it is revealing that orders from other regions only show a very short lived but no permanent price impact local information is so important that it carries over from the usually considered market orders to aggressively priced limit orders too the finding is robust to common news shocks to the consideration of feedback trading and to further controls

order flows news and exchange rate volatility abstract this paper examines the roles of order flow reflecting private information and news reflecting public information in explaining exchange rate volatility analyzing four months of a bank s high frequency dollar euro trading three different kinds of order flow are used in addition to seasonal patterns in explaining volatility we find that only larger sized order flows from financial customers and banks indicating informed trading contribute to explaining volatility whereas flows from commercial customers do not the result is robust when we control for news and other measures of market activity this strengthens the view that exchange rate volatility reflects information processing

incentives at the counter an empirical analysis of surcharging card payments and payment behaviour in the netherlands in card payment systems no surcharge rules prohibit merchants from charging consumers extra for card payments however such rules are prohibited in the netherlands dutch retailers are allowed to surcharge consumers for debit card use this setting permits an empirical analysis of the impact of surcharging card payments on merchant acceptance and consumer payment choice based on consumer and retailer survey data our analysis shows that surcharging steers consumers away from using debit cards towards cash half of the observed difference in debit card payment shares across retailers can be explained by this surcharge effect removing debit card surcharges may induce cost savings of more than eur 50 million in the long run

measuring the contribution of durable goods to the welfare cost of inflation in this paper we measure the contribution of durable goods to the welfare cost of inflation in the context of an endogenous growth model with durable and nondurable goods where purchases of the latter require only a partial cash payment compared with the former unlike existing measures our proposed welfare measure is computationally efficient and relatively easy to implement we find that durability adds a significant component to the welfare costs of inflation

emulation inequality and work hours was thorsten veblen right we investigate the manner in which a desire to emulate the rich influences individuals allocation of time between labour and leisure greater inequality inducing longer work hours as a result data on work hours in ten countries over the period 1963 98 show that greater inequality is indeed associated longer work hours these veblen effects are large and the estimates are robust using country fixed effects and other specifications because consumption inequality is a public bad a social welfare optimum cannot be implemented by a flat tax on consumption but may be accomplished by more complicated progressive consumption taxes at the close of the nineteenth century thorsten veblen proposed what he termed pecuniary emulation as the foundation of a theory of consumption spending he maintained is driven by relative status considerations that is by the desire to be a particular type of person as much as bythedesire to enjoytheconsumer goodsper se the joneses with whom one had to keep up were not the neighbours but the rich theirleveloflivingbecamethenever attainableobjectiveinaconsumptionarmsrace among the less well to do in the theory of the leisure class he wrote the motive is emulation the stimulus of an invidious comparison especially in any community in which class distinctions are quite vague all canons and reputability and decency and all standards of consumption are traced back by insensible gradations to the usages and thoughts of the highest social and pecuniary class the wealthy leisure class 1934 p 81 while valued by some economists as capturing common sense aspects of consumption as a form of status seeking veblen s view of social preferences was soon eclipsed by the simpler and more tractable neoclassical theory of the consumer relegated to the underworld of economics veblen s ideas have nonetheless resonated over the ensuing years in the writing of duesenberry 1949 leibenstein 1950 and galbraith 1958 at the middle of the past century and schor 1998