beyond carbon pricing the role of banking and monetary policy in financing the transition to a low carbon economy it is widely acknowledged that introducing a price on carbon represents a crucial precondition for filling the current gap in low carbon investment however as this paper argues carbon pricing in itself may not be sufficient this is due to the existence of market failures in the process of creation and allocation of credit that may lead commercial banks the most important source of external finance for firms not to respond as expected to price signals under certain economic conditions banks would shy away from lending to low carbon activities even in the presence of a carbon price this possibility calls for the implementation of additional policies not based on prices in particular the paper discusses the potential role of monetary policies and macroprudential financial regulation modifying the incentives and constraints that banks face when deciding their lending strategy through for instance a differentiation of reserve requirements according to the destination of lending may fruitfully expand credit creation directed towards low carbon sectors this seems to be especially feasible in emerging economies where the central banking framework usually allows for a stronger public control on credit allocation and a wider range of monetary policy instruments than the sole interest rate

institutional determinants of success among forestry based carbon sequestration projects in sub saharan africa summary this paper contributes to the debate on the economic and social implications of carbon forestry through the study of 42 programs in africa using carbon offset payments to fund tree planting activities such projects may be understood as multi layered collective action problems growing trees for carbon offsets requires not only international financial incentives to plant trees but also local institutions to monitor impose sanctions and distribute benefits consistent with economic theories large projects appear to realize economies of scale contrary to expectations community based projects on lower quality sites often successfully generate and sell offsets while private for profit initiatives appear susceptible to collapse

testing for the presence of some features of increasing returns to adoption factors in energy system dynamics an analysis via the learning curve approach the purpose of this paper is to explain the sources of energy system lock in it presents a comparative analysis of the respective contributions of some features of increasing returns to adoption factors i e learning by doing learning by searching and returns to scale effects in explaining the technological change dynamics in the energy system the paper is technically based on a critical analysis of the learning curve approach econometric estimation of learning and scale effects inherent to seven energy technologies were performed by the use of several learning curve specifications these specifications permit to deal with some crucial issues related to the learning curve estimation which are associated with the problem of omitted variable bias the endogeneity effects and the choice of learning indicators results show that dynamic economies from learning effects coupled with static economies from scale effects are responsible for the lock in phenomena of the energy system they also show that the magnitude of such effects is correlated with the technology life cycle maturity in particular results point out that 1 the emerging technologies exhibit low learning rates associated with diseconomies of scale which are argued to be symptomatic of the outset of the deployment of new technologies characterized by diffusion barriers and high level of uncertainty 2 the evolving technologies present rather high learning rates meaning that they respond quickly to capacity expansion and r d activities development 3 conventional mature technologies display low learning rates but increasing returns to scale implying that they are characterized by a limited additional diffusion prospects

climate change financial stability and monetary policy using a stock flow fund ecological macroeconomic model we analyse i the effects of climate change on financial stability and ii the financial and global warming implications of a green qe programme emphasis is placed on the impact of climate change damages on the price of financial assets and the financial position of firms and banks the model is estimated and calibrated using global data and simulations are conducted for the period 2015 2115 four key results arise first by destroying the capital of firms and reducing their profitability climate change is likely to gradually deteriorate the liquidity of firms leading to a higher rate of default that could harm both the financial and the non financial corporate sector second climate change damages can lead to a portfolio reallocation that can cause a gradual decline in the price of corporate bonds third financial instability might adversely affect credit expansion and the investment in green capital with adverse feedback effects on climate change fourth the implementation of a green qe programme can reduce climate induced financial instability and restrict global warming the effectiveness of this programme depends positively on the responsiveness of green investment to changes in bond yields

yes in my backyard spatial differences in the valuation of forest services and local co benefits for carbon markets in mexico forests provide many and large benefits including cost efficient climate change mitigation however international carbon markets have not stimulated the demand for forestry offsets domestic market mechanisms are emerging in many countries and forests could be highly valued through these policies as most of the benefits produced by forests are enjoyed locally here a choice experiment explores drivers of valuation and willingness to pay for forest carbon services in voluntary markets in mexico by comparing the valuation of citizens from four regions to test geographical preference for projects n 645 findings from multinomial logit models show valuation of forest carbon services is transferable and citizens would pay more for offsets from projects closer to their homes proximate forests provide a range of co benefits to local users including environmental services and opportunities for recreation factors related to valuation include sense of responsibility previous knowledge of carbon emissions previous visits to the sites regional identification and the valuation of local environmental services e g improvements in local air quality knowledge of spatial heterogeneity in valuation of the use of forest services can help to design market based instruments by identifying highly valued areas for environmental services programs and carbon markets

a financial macro network approach to climate policy evaluation abstract existing approaches to assess the economic impact of climate policies tend to overlook the financial sector and to focus only on direct effects of policies on the specific institutional sector they target neglecting possible feedbacks between sectors thus underestimating the overall policy effect to fill in this gap we develop a methodology based on financial networks which allows for analyzing the transmission throughout the economy of positive or negative shocks induced by the introduction of specific climate policies we apply the methodology to empirical data of the euro area to identify the feedback loops between the financial sector and the real economy both through direct and indirect chains of financial exposures across multiple financial instruments by focusing on climate policy induced shocks that affect directly either the banking sector or non financial firms we analyze the reinforcing feedback loops that could amplify the effects of shocks on the financial sector and then cascade on the real economy our analysis helps to understand the conditions for virtuous or vicious cycles to arise in the climate finance nexus and to provide a comprehensive assessment of the economic impact of climate policies

money and credit in a keynesian model of income determination this paper integrates the theory of money and credit derived ultimately from wicksell into the keynesian theory of income determination with assets allocated according to tobinesque principles the model deployed has much in common with the modern endogenous money school initiated by kaldor which emphasises the essential role played by credit in any real life economy since production takes time and the future is always uncertain new ground is broken methodologically because all the propositions are justified by simulations of a rigorous 60 equation model making it possible to pin down exactly why the results come out as they do one conclusion of the paper is that there is no such thing as a supply of money distinct from the money which agents wish to hold or find themselves holding this finding is inimical possibly in the end lethal to the way macroeconomics is currently taught as well as to the neoclassical paradigm itself

an empirical analysis of patents flows and r d flows around the world in this article we empirically investigate the effect of research and development r d flows on patent flows around the world we do this using an unbalanced panel consisting primarily of organization for economic co operation and development oecd countries that have both patent and r d expenditure information broken down by domestic and foreign sources our analysis shows that even among a fairly homogeneous group of countries the sources of patents and r d differ substantially using a dynamic panel framework we find that domestic r d per capita increases domestic patents per capita only for the european patent convention epc countries that already have a decentralized approach to innovation foreign r d per capita increases foreign patents per capita in all countries even though foreign r d constitutes a very small fraction of total r d we find that some of these differences can be attributed to the locations of the patent applications including those to the european patent office epo unit

economic factors in farmer adoption of agroforestry patterns observed in western kenya abstract a study of agroforestry adoption by 3 000 project participants in siaya and south nyanza districts in kenya supports three hypotheses 1 1 historical increases in tree domestication and management intensity are responses to declining supply of uncultivated tree resources increased subsistence and commercial demand for tree products and perceived risks of ecological degradation adoption of agroforestry is most likely where consistent with economic incentives for land use change 2 2 high variability in individual farmers tree growing strategies reflects differences in resources and livelihood strategies and household level returns to agroforestry relative to alternative options for meeting specific objectives 3 3 farmers reduce risks associated with new agroforestry practices through incremental adoption and adaptation and cost and risk reducing modifications in technology design

the double bubble at the turn of the century technological roots and structural implications this paper argues that the two boom and bust episodes of the turn of the century the internet mania and crash of the 1990s and the easy liquidity boom and bust of the 2000s are two distinct components of a single structural phenomenon they are essentially the equivalent of 1929 developed in two stages one centred on technological innovation the other on financial innovation hence the frequent references to that crash to the 1930s and to bretton woods are not simple journalistic metaphors for interpreting the credit crunch and its solution but rather the intuitive recognition of a fundamental similarity between those events and the current ones the paper holds that such major boom and bust episodes are endogenous to the way in which the market economy evolves and assimilates successive technological revolutions it will discuss why it occurred in two bubbles on this occasion it examines the differences and continuities between the two episodes and presents an interpretation of their nature and consequences

capturing the value of forest carbon for local livelihoods abstract we contribute to the debate on the social implications of carbon forestry projects by showing that tradeoffs exist between social benefits of projects and their cost effectiveness large scale industrial plantations and strict forest protection are economically viable but pose the highest social risks socially beneficial projects are less cost effective because of their higher transaction costs enabling policies are also required for their success regulation of carbon markets will therefore be required to reduce social risks and enhance benefits we propose a number of regulatory and proactive measures and justify them on the basis of market imperfections and concepts of sustainable development

the eirin flow of funds behavioural model of green fiscal policies and green sovereign bonds abstract fiscal and monetary policies as well as new financial instruments could play a key role to meet the paris agreement however deep uncertainty characterizes their design and their potential effects on growth financial and credit market stability and inequality we develop the eirin flow of funds behavioural model to simulate the introduction of green fiscal policies and green sovereign bonds and we display their effects on firms investments in the brown and green sector on unemployment on the credit and bonds market eirin is stock flow consistent and is rooted on a balance sheet approach it adopts a leontief production function with no substitution of the production factors i e labour capital and raw materials its sectors are endowed with adaptive behaviours and expectations and interact with the others and the foreign sector through a set of markets simulations show that green public policies can promote green growth by influencing firms expectations and the credit market green sovereign bonds represent a short term win win solution while green fiscal measures have higher immediate distributive effects that induce negative feedbacks on the economy these results are influenced by the conditions fiscal budgetary and public debt gdp in which both measures are implemented

ecotourism and economic incentives an empirical approach within the new array of green products and services ecotourism claims to combine environmental responsibility with the generation of local economic benefits that will have both a development impact and serve as conservation incentives economic incentives are imperative for nature conservation particularly in remote and ill monitored regions where a weak presence of the state hinders the use of alternative tools of environmental regulation in the following the link between tourism local benefits and conservation is conceptualised and analysed empirically using data from the cuyabeno wildlife reserve in the ecuadorian amazon region near the border of colombia and peru three cuyabeno indigenous groups have developed different modes of tourism participation ranging from autonomous operations to pure salary employment a quantification of local cash flows from tourism allows for a comparative analysis of income structure spending and the impacts on local development and on conservation attitudes it is concluded that in the whole study area tourism has actually provided significant additional income counter to common belief the mode of participation is less decisive for local income generation than the tourist attraction of the natural site the degree of tourism specialisation and the level of local organisation however as a conservation incentive the effectiveness of tourism income depends on the incentive structure inherent in the mode of participation and on the substitution versus complementarity of other productive activities only if tourism changes labour and land allocation decisions will it have a local conservation impact it is discussed under which circumstances the conjectured link between tourism local incomes and conservation is likely to be effective this leads to some general lessons for government policies for the design of integrated conservation and development projects icdps and to a number of site specific recommendations for improving incentive structures 2000 elsevier science b v all rights reserved

a stock flow fund ecological macroeconomic model this paper develops a stock flow fund ecological macroeconomic model that combines the stock flow consistent approach of godley and lavoie with the flow fund model of georgescu roegen the model has the following key features first monetary and physical stocks and flows are explicitly formalised taking into account the accounting principles and the laws of thermodynamics second georgescu roegen s distinction between stock flow and fund service resources is adopted third output is demand determined but supply constraints might arise either due to environmental damages or due to the exhaustion of natural resources fourth climate change influences directly the components of aggregate demand fifth finance affects macroeconomic activity and the materialisation of investment plans that determine ecological efficiency the model is calibrated using global data simulations are conducted to investigate the trajectories of key environmental macroeconomic and financial variables under i different assumptions about the sensitivity of economic activity to the leverage ratio of firms and ii different types of green finance policies

faraway so close coupled climate and economic dynamics in an agent based integrated assessment model abstract in this work we develop an agent based model that offers an alternative to standard computable general equilibrium integrated assessment models iams the dystopian schumpeter meeting keynes dsk model is composed of heterogeneous firms belonging to capital good consumption good and energy sectors production and energy generation lead to greenhouse gas emissions which affect temperature dynamics climate damages are modelled at the individual level as stochastic shocks hitting workers labour productivity energy efficiency capital stock and inventories of firms in that aggregate damages emerge from the aggregation of losses suffered by heterogeneous interacting and boundedly rational agents the model is run focusing on a business as usual carbon intensive scenario consistent with a representative concentration pathway 8 5 we find that the dsk model is able to account for a wide ensemble of micro and macro empirical regularities concerning both economic and climate dynamics simulation experiments show a substantial lack of isomorphism between the effects of micro and macro level shocks as it is typical in complex system models in particular different types of shocks have heterogeneous impact on output growth unemployment rate and the likelihood of economic crises pointing to the importance of the different economic channel affected by the shock overall we report much larger climate damages than those projected by standard iams under comparable scenarios suggesting possible shifts in the growth dynamics from a self sustained pattern to stagnation and high volatility and the need of urgent policy interventions

technological revolutions and techno economic paradigms this paper locates the notion of technological revolutions in the neo schumpeterian effort to understand innovation and to identify the regularities continuities and discontinuities in the process of innovation it looks at the micro and meso foundations of the patterns observed in the evolution of technical change and at the interrelations with the context that shape the rhythm and direction of innovation on this basis it defines technological revolutions examines their structure and the role that they play in rejuvenating the whole economy through the application of the accompanying techno economic paradigm this over arching meta paradigm or shared best practice common sense is in turn defined and analysed in its components and its impact including its influence on institutional and social change

participation in the world s first clean development mechanism forest project the role of property rights social capital and contractual rules abstract clean development mechanism cdm forest projects are perceived as an attractive way to both help mitigate climate change and transfer income to rural poor however to engender participation of small scale producers a cdm forest project must offer sufficient incentives while minimizing their costs of participation all the while respecting the need for additionality property rights social capital and contractual rules are critical in the success of cdm forest projects in this paper we ask what factors affect participation in the world s first cdm project established in guangxi province china using village level surveys we find that although the project facilitates participation through carbon pooling and a share holding system much of the project land remains unforested we find that the primary reasons for the unforested regions are constrained contractual rules property rights allocation disputes and low levels of social capital in some villages

benefit sharing among local resource users the role of property rights skewed distributions of benefits from natural resources can fuel social exclusion and conflict threatening sustainability this paper analyzes how user group property rights to harvest forest products affect the distribution of benefits from those products within user groups we argue that groups with recognized harvesting rights share benefits more equally among group members than groups without such rights we test this argument with data from 350 forest user groups in 14 developing countries our results suggest that securing harvesting rights for local user groups can contribute to more equal benefit sharing especially in ethnically homogenous groups

emergent dynamics of a macroeconomic agent based model with capital and credit in this paper we present and discuss a macroeconomic agent based model with capital and credit cc mabm which builds upon the framework put forward by delli gatti et al 2011 the novelty of this model with respect to the previous framework consists in the introduction of a stylized supply chain where upstream firms i e producers of capital goods k firms supply a durable and sticky input capital to the downstream firms who produce consumption goods c firms to be sold to households both c firms and k firms resort to bank loans to satisfy their financing needs there are two way feedbacks between firms and markets which yield interesting emerging properties at the macro level we show that the interaction of upstream and downstream firms and the evolution of their financial conditions in a nutshell capital and credit are essential ingredients of a crisis i e a sizable slump followed by a long recovery