how useful are the forecasts of intergovernmental agencies the imf and oecd versus the consensus this study compares the accuracy and information content of economic forecasts for g7 countries made in the 1990s by the oecd and imf the benchmarks for comparison are the average forecasts of private sector economists published by consensus economics with few exceptions the private sector forecasts are less biased and more accurate in terms of mean absolute error and root mean square error formal tests show these differences are statistically significant for forecasts of real growth and production less so for forecasts of inflation and unemployment overall there appears little information in the oecd and imf forecasts that could be used to reduce significantly the error in the private sector forecasts

sources procedures and microeconomic effects of innovation fabio arcangeli paul david frank engelman christopher freeman massimo moggi richard nelson luigi orsenigo nathan rosenberg michele salvati g n von tunzelman two anonymous referees and the participants at the meeting of the committee on distribution growth and technical progress of the italian national research council cnr rome november 16 1985 have helped with various redraftings a particularly grateful acknowledgment is for the insightful and patient help of moses abramovitz this work has been undertaken at the science policy research unit spru university of sussex as part of the research program of the designated research centre sponsored by the economic and social research council esrc earlier support to the research that led to this paper by the italian national research council cnr is also gratefully acknowledged the statistical research has been undertaken with the assistance of stephano brioschi ilaria fornari and giovannu prennushi

measuring forecast uncertainty by disagreement the missing link using a standard decomposition of forecast errors into common and idiosyncratic shocks we show that aggregate forecast uncertainty can be expressed as the disagreement among the forecasters plus the perceived variability of future aggregate shocks thus the reliability of disagreement as a proxy for uncertainty will be determined by the stability of the forecasting environment and the length of the forecast horizon using density forecasts from the survey of professional forecasters we find direct evidence in support of our hypothesis our results support the use of garch type models rather than the ex post squared errors in consensus forecasts to estimate the ex ante variability of aggregate shocks as a component of aggregate uncertainty copyright 2010 john wiley sons ltd

forecaster diversity and the benefits of combining forecasts the expected error variance of a combined forecast is necessarily lower than that of an individual forecast but in practice there may be considerable variation around these expected values this paper introduces a measure of the benefit from combining the probability of a reduction in error variance which recognizes this problem the measure is applied to data on the forecasts and forecasting methods of a panel of u s economists to determine how the benefits of combining vary with the number of forecasts combined and with the diversity in theories and techniques among the component forecasts

a policy agenda for pro poor agricultural growth abstract sub saharan africa and parts of south asia are likely to hold large numbers of very poor rural people into the foreseeable future although both history and theory suggest a pre eminent role for agricultural growth in poverty reduction in poor agrarian economies such growth today faces new difficulties many of these difficulties are endogenous to today s poor rural areas others result from broader processes of global change but some are due to changes in the dominant policy environment emphasizing liberalization and state withdrawal examination of 20th century green revolutions suggests that active state interventions were important in supporting critical stages of agricultural market development unfortunately such interventions benefits in institutional development are easily overlooked whereas their high costs are much more visible policy implications are discussed

business incentives for sustainability a property rights approach abstract public and private demands for sustainable development put pressure on firms to develop strategies that include environmental concerns environmental effects from products often appear as externalities outside the legal boundary of the producing company these companies often possess the best competence to optimise the total life cycle environmental performance of its products they are however neither obliged nor stimulated enough by policy incentives to do so from a sustainable development perspective the policy instruments used today are mostly of a control and demand type i e they do not create sufficient incentives to go further than hedging over set requirements environmental concerns and tightened environmental policy parameters have mostly been associated with the notion of additional costs and thus a restriction on economic performance however since the mid 1990s several papers have called for corporate win win situations as well as instruments giving up stream incentives for change but not enough abatement of environmental impacts has emerged in reality perhaps this is due to the lack of proper connection between economic theory on the one hand and incentive advocating articles and instruments on the other we propose a concept for trading of product life cycle plc emission rights based on property rights and transaction cost theories considering the problem with asymmetric information over the value chain the initial financial impacts from such plc instruments are shown to be significant for the system provider since emissions and resource use become production costs this provides economic incentives to take an increased responsibility for information flow as well as initiatives for product innovations

the propensity to patent abstract this paper analyzes the relationship between 1974 rd among the exceptions the tendency was toward diminishing returns variables measuring overseas sales federal r d support diversification scope of invention use and invention type had only modest explanatory power there was no significant evidence of disproportionate patent accumulation in the more highly concentrated industries

markets as institutions versus organizations as markets disentangling some fundamental concepts abstract this paper argues that ambiguities in concepts as important as institutions markets and organizations undermine progress of research programs intending to take these components seriously into account after a short review of some current confusions section i section ii discusses recent literature to arrive at definitions that encapsulate fundamental characteristics into pure categories in section iii exceptions and qualifications are introduced so as to operationalize the concepts in the real world 1 i organizations and markets are embedded in an institutional framework and 2 ii they overlap giving birth to hybrid forms however the conclusion contends that it is essential to maintain distinct concepts in order to understand these complex arrangements

the law of aggregate demand and welfare in the two sided matching market abstract in the college admission problem we show that the student optimal stable matching is weakly pareto optimal for students if colleges preferences satisfy substitutability and the law of aggregate demand we also show that both of these properties are important for the result

group incentive compatibility for matching with contracts abstract hatfield and milgrom hatfield john william milgrom paul r 2005 matching with contracts amer econ rev 95 913 935 present a unified model of matching with contracts which includes the standard two sided matching and some package auction models as special cases they show that the doctor optimal stable mechanism is strategy proof for doctors if hospitals preferences satisfy substitutes and the law of aggregate demand we show that the doctor optimal stable mechanism is group strategy proof for doctors under these same conditions that is no group of doctors can make each of its members strictly better off by jointly misreporting their preferences we derive as a corollary of this result that no individually rational allocation is preferred by all the doctors to the doctor optimal stable allocation

shadows of the past the effect of communist heritage on employee consultation following research on transition economies in central and eastern europe cee and having been motivated by arguments pertaining to the business systems approach the authors propose that the existence of a communist heritage decreases the likelihood that employees will be consulted during organizational change processes results based on 23 876 firms across 27 of the european union eu 27 countries support this proposition moreover the likelihood of direct consultation decreases with the existence of formal employee representation and an increasing share of foreign ownership in firms located in cee countries the authors discuss these findings in the context of organizational democracy research and the recent literature on transition economies and contribute to a more comprehensive understanding of participative decision making processes in organizations

theories of institutions and economic reform in africa abstract the paper presents and critically examines the theories of institutions that can be used as a guide to economic reform in africa three approaches to institutions are initially discussed the model of structural adjustment new institutional economics and the old institutionalist tradition five institutions related to the development of markets in africa are examined from the three perspectives the institutions include property rights including their role in agriculture money and financial institutions prices and markets firms and industrial organization and markets and states the main conclusion of the paper is that structural adjustment due to its neoclassical roots is basically ainstitutional and therefore ill equipped to promote the development of markets in africa while new institutionalism provides interesting insights it is also limited by its neoclassical economic foundations thus if african governments desire to promote market reform they would be best advised to consult the old institutionalist literature particularly the very interesting recent work of proponents of this tradition

internet based virtual stock markets for business forecasting the application of internet based virtual stock markets vsms is an additional approach that can be used to predict short and medium term market developments the basic concept involves bringing a group of participants together via the internet and allowing them to trade shares of virtual stocks these stocks represent a bet on the outcome of future market situations and their value depends on the realization of these market situations in this process a vsm elicits and aggregates the assessments of its participants concerning future market developments the aim of this article is to evaluate the potential use and the different design possibilities as well as the forecast accuracy and performance of vsms compared to expert predictions for their application to business forecasting after introducing the basic idea of using vsms for business forecasting we discuss the different design possibilities for such vsms in three real world applications we analyze the feasibility and forecast accuracy of vsms compare the performance of vsms to expert predictions and propose a new validity test for vsm forecasts finally we draw conclusions and provide suggestions for future research

libertad para competir en el mercado recursos procesos y resultados freedom to compete in the market resources processes and resultsherein we analyze three concepts of market competition although the different aspects of freedom can be appreciated in each one of them they make an especial contribution to some of them we propose that the neoclassical general equilibrium chiefly contributes to the discussion of the outcomes of an economic activity the barriers to entry approach calls for a study of the resources necessary to compete and the competition as a process approach emphasizes the competitive activity itself moreover as we move from the first onwards enriching the meaning of competition the possibility of losing opportunities to participate in the market becomes more evident entry and exit are part of the competitive process each concept of competition responds to theories that specify or allude to certain types and distribution of economic agents freedoms to manoeuvre throughout this study we often quote amartya sen with the purpose of buildingbridges between the study of competition and the approach of development as freedom

the effects of political connections and state ownership on corporate litigation in china abstractwe examine the effects of corporate lawsuits in china and find that litigation announcements depress the stock prices of both defendant and plaintiff firms financially distressed defendants suffer lower stock returns we find that politically connected defendants are favored in the judicial process they have higher stock returns and are more likely to appeal against adverse outcomes and to obtain a favorable appeal result state controlled defendants fare better than privately controlled defendants when it comes to appeals but do not have higher stock returns the evidence suggests that there is bias in the judicial process

the theory of the firm as governance structure from choice to contract the propositions that organization matters and that it is susceptible to analysis were long greeted by skepticism by economists one reason why this message took a long time to register is that it is much easier to say that organization matters than it is to show how and why the prevalence of the science of choice approach to economics has also been an obstacle as developed herein the lessons of organization theory for economics are both different and more consequential when examined through the lens of contract this paper examines economic organization from a science of contract perspective with special emphasis on the theory of the firm

small firms social capital and the enhancement of business performance through innovation programmes the paper explores the extent to which social capital is advantageous to small and medium enterprise sme growth social capital is a communal property involving civic engagement associational membership high trust reliability and reciprocity in social networks it is capable of being identified in social political and economic contexts often associated with strong communities however not all strong communities exert the effects of social capital in respect of business activities this paper assesses government programmes to promote collaboration amongst smes for improving innovation capacity by increasing social capital through networking it shows that for a sizeable proportion of programme funded firms in denmark ireland and wales u k social capital building was associated with enhanced business knowledge and innovation performance of particular importance was the opportunity afforded to firms for linkage with external innovation networks and the build up of embeddedness or the institutional basis for the enhancement of social capital as a consequence of discovering the advantages of social capital over a third of respondents planned to continue to develop it in future in many cases funding such activities privately rather than calling on the public purse

the political economy of technological innovation and employment building on the varieties of capitalism thesis of comparative advantages in technological innovation the authors theorize the effect of sociopolitical coordination from a dynamic perspective and then apply the dynamic theories to the political economy of employment in comparison to the existing employment literature situated in a constant technology context based on cross sectional survey as well as pooled time series aggregate data the authors argue that new technologies not only increase productivity through process innovation but also generate rents through product innovation by preventing opportunistic behavior between firms sociopolitical coordination intensifies reciprocal sharing of innovation which increases productivity returns but dilutes rents leading to comparative advantage in process over product innovation because process innovation is labor saving but product innovation is employment friendly interfirm coordination further leads to comparative disadvantage in job creation from in

forecasting model of rss3 price in futures market 3 abstract the agricultural futures market affects the rubber price in thailand rubber processors use the agricultural futures market to avoid risks associated with fluctuations in rubber price investors make profits from the difference between the current price and the future price this paper presents the forecasting models for futures price of the natural rubber ribbed smoked sheets no 3 rss3 the results from the most efficient model can inform the decision of investors on buying and selling at the proper time the study employs the least mean squared error as a criterion for the selection of the best prediction model it includes an analysis of factors affecting the rss3 futures prices in thailand s futures market the results show that the previous monthly futures prices and oil prices significantly affected the futures prices in the same direction the net import of natural rubber by japan was the leading indicator for the trend in rubber futures prices in thailand the analytical model was shown to be applicable and would facilitate related studies in forecasting the futures prices of other commodities time series data was found to be suitable for the forecasting model keywords futures price forecasting agricultural futures market

meta paradigm change and the theory of the firm many seemingly unrelated debates on the theory of the firm are in fact part of a single deeper transformation of the social sciences as the foundational assumptions of 20th century social science have slowly been shown by science to be false new sub paradigms have emerged which cumulatively drop i theoretical assumptions about markets to explain firms ii epistemological assumptions about knowledge to explain diversity and iii metaphysical assumptions about causality to explain technical change debates occur across each of these levels

pigou coase common law and environmental policy implications of the calculation debate the implications of the calculation debate are explored for pigouvian coasean and common law liability approaches to externality problems there is no escaping hayekian misean information problems but the institutional setting within which environmental policies are resolved affects the domain of third party calculation the calculation required is likely to be significantly less under common law arrangements than under administrative processes the primary implication for environmental policy is that increased reliance on competitive market processes and the common law in copying with externality problems may be more effective than attempts to improve current administrative approaches

transaction costs and the robustness of the coase theorem this paper explores the extent to which the presence of ex ante transaction costs may lead to failures of the coase theorem in particular we identify and investigate the basic hold up problem which arises whenever the parties to a coasian negotiation have to pay some ex ante costs for the negotiation to take place we then show that a coasian solution to this hold up problem is not available this is because a coasian solution to the hold up problem typically entails a negotiation about the payment of the costs associated with the future negotiation which in turn is associated with a fresh set of ex ante costs and hence with a new hold up problem

financial contracting under extreme uncertainty an analysis of brazilian corporate debentures abstract economic volatility high transaction costs and fragile institutions hinder financial contracting in emerging markets these conditions characterize the economy of brazil yet a nascent corporate bond market thrives i analyze 50 brazilian indenture agreements and find that sample debentures are characterized by i features that mitigate inflation risk for investors ii contingent maturity mechanisms that provide periodic opportunities for exit or renegotiation iii a paucity of covenants that restrict the debtor s investment financing and dividend decisions and iv self enforcement mechanisms that avoid reliance on inefficient institutions analysis of these features enhances our understanding of contracting in emerging economies

sharing the shared value a transaction cost perspective on strategic csr policies in global value chains this paper explores the conditions favouring or inhibiting the implementation of strategic corporate social responsibility csr policies in the context of global value chains gvcs using transaction cost theory tct we specify the economic and behavioural issues raised by strategic csr policies we show that the existence of market rewards for such policies does not constitute a solution per se but tends to increase the difficulties that value chain members face bringing tct into the analysis of the diffusion of strategic csr policies in gvcs helps us to make different contributions we first theoretically identify some limiting conditions of strategic csr policies in gvcs we also contribute to developing a more robust theoretical perspective for csr in gvc research which remains underdeveloped and mostly driven by empirical case studies finally we shed light on new research questions and topics that could guide major theoretical and empirical investigations in the capacity of gvcs members to bypass the numerous difficulties involved in the implementation of strategic csr policies

marketing information a competitive analysis selling information that is later used in decision making constitutes an increasingly important business in modern economies jensen jensen fred o 1991 information services congram friedman eds the ama handbook of marketing for the service industries chapter 22 ama com new york 423 443 information is sold under a large variety of forms industry reports consulting services database access and or professional opinions given by medical engineering accounting financial and legal professionals among others this paper is the first attempt in marketing to study competition in the rapidly emerging information sector specifically we are interested in answering the following questions 1 is competition fundamentally different when competing firms sell information rather than traditional goods and services and if yes why 2 what are the implications of such differences for decision makers marketers and regulators 3 can we explain some of the observed marketing strategies in the information industry as such the audience of the paper includes academics as well as professionals who are interested in understanding what is specific about competition in information markets familiarity with the practical implications of such differences and understanding of the mechanisms that drive them is essential for those who are faced with the problem of marketing information to answer the above research questions we build a simple game theoretic model that consists of two firms selling information to a population of consumers who are heterogeneous in their willingness to pay for the quality of information the most important features of the model are the following information products sold by the two firms are modeled as random draws from two normal distributions having equal mean the variances of these distributions and their correlatedness constitute the product attribute space which is assumed to be common knowledge consumers are interested in assessing the mean of the distributions and to do so they can buy the sample from any of the firms or they can buy both samples and combine them to obtain a more accurate estimate quality of information is linked to the accuracy of consumers estimate of the mean which in turn is influenced by the accuracy of each sample as well as by their correlatedness consumers utility depends on the quality of information they purchased on their inherent utility for quality taste and on the total price they paid to acquire information knowing consumer preferences firms simultaneously price their information products the main finding of the paper is that information markets face unique competitive structures in particular the qualitative nature of competition changes depending on basic product characteristics while traditional products and services compete either as substitutes or as complements in the relevant product attribute space information may be one or the other depending on its position within the same product attribute space said differently the nature of competition changes qualitatively with a continuous change in basic product attribute levels the intuition behind this finding is the following when purchasing information consumers facing important decisions may find it beneficial to purchase from several information sellers this is more likely to happen when the reliability of information is low and the sources of information are independent under such conditions information products tend to be complements and as a result competition between sellers is relatively mild in the opposite case when information is reliable and or sellers sources are highly correlated consumers are satisfied after consulting a single source in this case information products are substitutes and sellers tend to undercut one another s prices to induce consumers to choose their brand understanding this discontinuity in competitive structures has important implications for decision makers as very different strategies are optimal under different product characteristics under substitution traditional strategies to avoid competition e g differentiation are recommended when the competing products reliability is generally low they are complements firms are better off accommodating competition in fact we find that a firm may benefit from inviting a competitor finally our findings are also important for regulators of information markets as the literature on complementarity suggests price fixing agreements between firms offering complementary products may benefit firms as well as consumers

the economics and politics of regulation this article provides a critical survey of the literature on the economics and politics of regulation after some conceptual clarifications the article surveys the evolution of perspectives on regulation during the post second world war period emphasizing especially the interactions between intellectual changes and real world economic and political developments it then looks at some themes that are neglected in the current literature the inevitability of regulation the need to create and not simply regulate markets distributional issues dynamic considerations and the politics of regulation and suggests that incorporating these themes more closely into the discussion will improve our understanding in this area copyright 1997 by oxford university press

internalization and the mne a note on the spread of ideas this paper examines the reasons for the impact of buckley and casson s the future of the multinational enterprise 1976 on research in international business ib earlier work concentrated on ownership specific advantages or locational determinants rather than the central concept of internalization the few exceptions were incomplete or not well known internalization as applied to the mne spread rapidly because of the appeal to ib researchers of an analytically powerful idea that was based on institutional economics and involved an accessible methodology the spread was also helped by the parallel growth of transaction costs in the domestic theory of the firm and the publication activity of the authors and their associates

firm technological trajectory as a driver of eco innovation in young small and medium sized enterprises abstract few studies have focused on green innovation in young small and medium sized enterprises instead research tends to focus on large companies with formal research and development departments studying the influence of the firm s current technological strategy as well as the regulatory framework as a key driver of eco innovation this paper proposes that the combination of a firm s technological trajectory and its current research and development strategy are key determinants of eco innovation the authors investigate these relationships with panel data on 212 young firms in spain analysing their innovation strategy and behaviour during their first 10 years of activity the results show that the firms cluster into four technological trajectories but only market oriented innovators engage significantly more in eco innovation these firms are characterized by a high use of formal appropriability mechanisms market opportunity recognition arising from cooperation and high knowledge cumulativeness this paper sheds light on whether and the extent to which a firm s technological trajectory is a driver of eco innovation it confirms that firms that search for opportunities and have a continuous collaboration with market players are more prone to develop eco innovations additionally it shows that path dependence occurs in the development of eco innovations in that a highly developed innovation capacity leads to additional green innovation in the future the findings indicate that young small firms need to develop innovation capabilities that also enable them to adopt advanced technology before striving to become greener the paper concludes that policies designed to stimulate cooperative networking with other market players an upgrading of technological capabilities and the adoption of new technologies are all desirable because they contribute to improving the environmental impact of firms innovations

what are the most promising conduits for foreign knowledge inflows innovation networks in the chinese pharmaceutical industry we study innovation networks in emerging markets where foreign actors have been identified as key sources of knowledge spillovers as well as progenitors of industry clusters focusing on connectivity as a channel for international knowledge sourcing we widen our lens beyond mnes to include critical innovative actors such as research institutions i e universities and research centers we examine the geographic dispersion of co inventor networks generated by us patents associated with the chinese pharmaceutical industry previous research has highlighted the role of organizationally driven mne networks as enablers of foreign knowledge inflows to less developed countries however our results emphasize the critical role of individually motivated networks arising from advanced economy research institutions in connecting china to global knowledge networks

pigou and coase a mathematical reconciliation abstract this paper provides a rigorous statement of the coase theorem and establishes a formal equivalence between abstract allocative mechanisms attributed to coase and pigou the model proceeds from output functions that reduce to production functions in special cases thereby capturing effects that are obscured by conventional production and cost functions the model also emphasizes fundamental differences in the characteristics of inputs particularly land that are implied in the construction of externality stories finally the model embodies a clear distinction between local e g nuisance and global e g pollution externalities the coase theorem as stated is valid only in the former case

the magnitude of innovation by demand in a sectoral system the role of industrial users in semiconductors abstract how relevant is innovation by demand compared to innovation by other actors in a sector in quantitative terms this is a yet unanswered question the current study fills this major gap in the literature on industry studies by taking a sectoral system perspective this study is able to highlight the magnitude of innovation by intermediate user firms in a high technology sector semiconductors using a combination of different datasets patents co patents r d alliances and new ventures in semiconductors this study proposes a novel quantitative approach to assessing the magnitude of innovative activity by user firms the study reaches several findings first the magnitude of innovation by user firms as measured by patents is high in both absolute and relative terms compared to semiconductor firms and other actors in the sector second the distribution of patents among different demand segments is highly uneven third innovative user firms are highly heterogeneous in terms of size diversification and vertical integration fourth collaboration in r d and co patenting activity in semiconductors take place not just between user firms and semiconductor firms but also among user firms themselves fifth innovative user firms are quite active in entrepreneurial activity in semiconductors and their new ventures on average survive longer than spin offs or other start ups

2 the institutional structure of production 1 prize lecture to the memory of alfred nobel december 9 1991 this abstract was borrowed from another version of this item

contracting for environmental property rights the case of vittel based on a real case of contracting for environmental property rights we explore several implications of coase s insights the case study adds empirical content to basic transaction costs concepts by analysing the design and implementation of a contractual arrangement between a pollutee a bottler of mineral water and several polluting farmers we analyse the bargaining between the two parties to determine how transaction cost issues valuation disputes bilateral monopoly conditions and third party effects were overcome and how they succeeded in contracting for environmental property rights we compare the vittel case with other similar cases to draw lessons for environmental rights negotiations

imitation costs and patents an empirical study it has long been recognised that the costs of imitating new products have an important effect on the incentives for innovation in a market economy as arrow i962 and others have pointed out if firms can imitate an innovation at a cost that is substantially below the cost to the innovator of developing the innovation there may be little or no incentive for the innovator to carry out the innovation in their discussions of the innovation process economists frequently have called attention to the major role played by the costs of imitation but there has been little or no attempt to measure these costs to test various hypotheses concerning the factors influencing them or to estimate their effects in this paper we report some findings of what seems to be the first study of this topic in addition we present data regarding the effects of patents on imitation costs and on the rate of innovation

allocation and pricing at the water district level efficient water pricing schemes are introduced for nonprofit water agencies where members have property rights based upon historical usage the existing average cost rate design is compared with the proposed designs active trading and passive trading both schemes lead to efficiency but passive trading has operational advantages since it generates less transaction costs than active trading block rate pricing is shown to be suboptimal and inferior to passive trading an example from the israeli water economy is used as an empirical illustration

on the diffusion of new technology a game theoretic approach this paper is an attempt at a rigorous albeit not exceedingly general analysis of the diffusion of new technology in particular consider an industry composed of two firms each using the current best practice technology the firms are assumed to be operating at nash equilibrium output levels generating a market price given demand and profit allocations when a cost reducing innovation is announced each firm must determine when if ever to adopt it based in part upon the discounted cost of implementing the new technology and in part upon the behavior of the rival firm if either firm adopts before the other it can expect to make substantial profits at the expense of the other firm on the other hand the discounted sum of purchase price and adjustment costs may decline with the lengthening of the adjustment period as various quasi fixed factors become more easily variable therefore although waiting costs the firm more in terms of foregone profits it may save money on the cost of purchasing the new technology thus the firm must weigh the costs and benefits of delaying adoption as well as take account of its rival s strategic behavior

inside the coasean firm why variations in competence and taste matter abstractronald coase s signal achievement relates to the role of transactions costs in two contexts the formation and maintenance of the firm and the systematic analysis of social costs these transaction cost explanations however do not offer a complete explanation of the variations observed in the internal structures of firms which are elucidated by noting the irreducible role of variations in individual competence temperament and taste in explaining both why firms are formed and how they are structured thus some firms are organized as partnerships and others as straight employment arrangements with many permutations in between sometimes these differences are driven by tax and regulatory considerations that coase well understood but these differences remain prominent even in wholly unregulated markets understanding the internal construction helps explain the difficulties faced by regulation in areas as diverse as employment discrimination law capital markets and tort liability

integration of discrepant sales forecasts the influence of plausibility inferences based on an evoked range abstract the authors hypothesize that when managers integrate two projections to form a sales estimate they evoke and use a sales range to judge inappropriately the plausibility of each projection this judged plausibility as well as the margin of error based on the market research company s typical accuracy is used to assign weights to each projection five experiments find strong evidence for this process and demonstrate a resulting bias

the role of the state in evolutionary economics from an evolutionary perspective the role of public policy extends far beyond the mere correction of market failures emphasised by neoclassical economics public policy may facilitate the market process it may also guide the market process in the case of multiple equilibria the state can finally play a more creative role by allowing private agents to satisfy individually or collectively certain goals unattainable through market forces alone however this paper shows that although the scope of useful public policies is broader in an evolutionary approach than in neoclassical economics the government s ability to direct the evolution of the economic system is highly limited this paper also tries to formulate certain normative criteria which could act as public policy guidelines in an evolutionary perspective copyright 2004 oxford university press

the uncommon insight of elinor ostrom author s bergstrom ted abstract this article was written in celebration of eleanor ostrom s nobel prize standard economic approaches to the problem of overuse of common property resources have emphasized two competing remedies the pigovian approach of corrective taxation and the property rights approach of internalizing externalities by means of assigning marketable property rights to individual owners with exclusive claim on the entire commons elinor ostrom pursues a third approach which is based on case studies of existing communities that have established successful and durable systems of managing common property resources this paper discusses her work and suggests that economists with an interest in public policy have much to gain from becoming familiar with the work of ostrom and her co authors

innovation diversity and diffusion a self organisation model a number of features of innovation diffusion are identified appropriability diversity expectations selection learning and spillover externalities a dynamic model is formul ated to embed the diffusion question into a more general framework of disequilibrium competition the model incorporates distinct vintage structures reflecting a change in technological trajectory learning by using a nd expectations driven investment rules of thumb simulation studies reveal robust quasi logistic curves but a complicated pattern of net market share gains and losses uncertainty regarding the rationality of early or late adoption it is argued ensures that the requisite behavioral variety is present to generate these diffusion patterns copyright 1988 by royal economic society

the underdetermined knowledge based theory of the mnc in this note we revisit two core propositions of the knowledge based view of the firm found in the seminal work of kogut and zander 1 that multinational corporations mncs exist because transfers and re combinations of knowledge occur more efficiently inside mncs than between mncs and third parties and 2 that the threat of opportunism is not necessary although it may be sufficient to explain the existence of the mnc their knowledge based view shifted the conceptualization of the firm from an institution arising from market failure and transaction costs economizing to a progeny of superior knowledge governance we question these conclusions arguing that firms are but one of the many types of epistemic communities possessing and nurturing procedural norms identity and the cognitive linguistic and reflexive attributes conducive to efficient exchange and re combination of knowledge among their members important insights may be gained by applying the concept of epistemic communities implicit in the knowledge based perspective beyond firm level hierarchies journal of international business studies 2011 42 427 435

the corporation competition and the invisible hand few would disagree that adam smith s invisible hand theorem is the heart of the economist s weltanschauung ask whether trade barriers should be lowered the spread of multinational corporations restrained oil prices deregulated cartels dissolved or more fundamentally whether a market based capitalist system is economically superior to a state run socialist system and economists almost certainly will begin to answer the question by trying to apply the theorem every student knows that the theorem depends on the assumption of atomistic competition which in turn assumes that the system is decentralized and that no competitor is large relatively to others there is another crucial assumption however that is often ignored and usually underemphasized namely that all competition is price competition in reality one of the most distinctive features of capitalism one that is most often raised in lay discussions of its merits and demerits is the prevalence of other forms of competition such as competition in research development and advertising competition to obtain and hold monopoly and competition for corporate growth these various forms of non price competition we shall aim to show are not clearly analogous with the theory of price competition more non price competition rather than less is not necessarily pareto optimal self evidently the production side of a market economy is decentralized only to a limited degree i e to the level of a decision making unit composed of more than one human such a unit playing neuron to the invisible hand is typically called a firm it is in fact a team rather than remaining small firms are in practice composed of any number of individuals from a handful on to half a million some

adoption and diffusion of an innovation of uncertain profitability the argument has frequently been made that the pattern of diffusion associated with most new innovations will typically have certain characteristics a diffusion curve for an innovation is usually defined as the proportion of its potential users who have already adopted as a function of time measured from the first adoption many empirical studies by both economists and other social scientists have shown that diffusion curves nearly always have two distinct characteristics i they are s shaped the proportion adopted is an increasing function of time which is initially convex but eventually becomes concave and ii they tend to be right hand skewed the inflection point occurs at a time corresponding to a proportion adopted which is less than one half so that the function is concave over the greatest amount of time in fact this skewing is occasionally severe enough to make the diffusion curve appear concave everywhere the focus of most empirical studies of innovation diffusion has centered on identification of either the major determinants of the speed of diffusion or the characteristics of firms which determine how long they delay adoption the seminal contributions are griliches 6 study of hybrid corn and mansfield s 121 study of 12 industrial innovations these studies and most of the similar ones following conclude that diffusion is faster for innovations with higher profitability and that large firms tend to be the earliest adopters some studies e g mansfield 121 herregat 71 have attempted to ascertain

the influence of market demand upon innovation a critical review of some recent empirical studies abstract a number of recent empirical studies of technical change at the level of the individual firm have concluded that market demand is the dominant influence upon the innovation process calling forth innovations in market economies the pace of innovation in the private sector heavily influences the growth of national output and productivity and these studies and their conclusions have therefore received much attention having been extensively quoted in discussions of appropriate government policy for the encouragement of innovation this paper reviews a number of these studies and concludes that their findings and the interpretations of their findings in the secondary literature are seriously flawed and in many cases invalid the proposition that market demand governs the innovation process is by no means conclusively demonstrated in these studies and they are therefore inadequate and inappropriate guides for the formulation of policy most of the studies examined employ a working definition of demand factors which is so broad as to embrace a range of possible influences upon innovation which should more properly be classified elsewhere the concept of demand utilized in these studies bears little resemblance to the more restrictive and precise definition of market demand found in economics in addition the phenomena analyzed in these studies are a very heterogeneous lot the studies do not address identical empirical questions and their findings are as a result neither uniform nor unambiguous both demand and supply side influences are crucial to understanding the innovation process and it is the exclusive preoccupation with only one set of these forces which is criticized in this paper some implications of the criticism for government policy toward innovation are discussed in the conclusion

hierarchies markets and power in the economy an economic perspective this paper adopts the transaction cost economics perspective for purposes of examining hierarchies markets and power in the economy transaction cost economics works out of an economizing perspective in which markets and hierarchies are alternative modes of governance and the object is to ascertain which transactions go where and why the role of power in this setup is strictly limited partly because power tends to be myopic transactions are not examined in their entirety and partly because it is tautological power needs to be operationalized whereupon the refutable implications that accrue to this perspective can be derived copyright 1995 by oxford university press

quota prices as indicators of comparative advantage in supply managed industries the canadian farm products agencies act 2012 requires that comparative advantage be used to guide the allocation of new quota under supply management this requirement however has not been met in practice agricultural economists have proposed several ways of making this legal requirement operational we review and evaluate these proposed approaches and find that quota prices are the only direct measure of comparative advantage in supply managed industries we develop an agent based general equilibrium model of quota exchange to illustrate the use of quota prices as indicators of comparative advantage our approach complements the proposal by meilke 2009 to use quota prices as indicators of comparative advantage in supply managed industries and also addresses the concerns of larue and gervais 2008 that quota prices may not be theoretically consistent with comparative advantage we also discuss potential practical challenges of using quota prices as indicators of comparative advantage in the canadian supply managed industries finally we provide an example of calculating provincial shares of new quota using recent quota price data according to two prototype decision rules this abstract was borrowed from another version of this item

matching with contracts we develop a model of matching with contracts which incorporates as special cases the college admissions problem the kelso crawford labor market matching model and ascending package auctions we introduce a new law of aggregate demand for the case of discrete heterogeneous workers and show that when workers are substitutes this law is satisfied by profit maximizing firms when workers are substitutes and the law is satisfied truthful reporting is a dominant strategy for workers in a worker offering auction matching algorithm we also parameterize a large class of preferences satisfying the two conditions

frank knight on risk uncertainty and the firm a new interpretation we attempt to interpret frank knight by taking him on his own terms among our conclusions are the following 1 knight s distinction between risk and uncertainty is not solely a distinction between insurable and uninsurable risk 2 knight s explanation for the existence of firms does not reduce to a moral hazard theory except perhaps in the broadest and least interesting sense and 3 knight s treatment of the problem of the separation of ownership from control is not as obviously wrong as commentators have made it out to be

a naturalistic approach to the theory of the firm the role of cooperation and cultural evolution one reason why firms exist this paper argues is because they are suitable organizations within which cooperative production systems based on human social predispositions can evolve in addition we show how an entrepreneur given these predispositions can shape human behavior within a firm to illustrate these processes we will present a model that depicts how the biased transmission of cultural contents via social learning processes within the firm influence employees behavior and the performance of the firm these biases can be traced back to evolved social predispositions humans lived in tribal scale social systems based on significant amounts of intra and even intergroup cooperation for tens if not a few hundred thousand years before the first complex societies arose firms rest upon the social psychology originally evolved for tribal life we also relate our conclusions to empirical evidence on the performance and size of different kinds of organizations modern organizations have functions rather different from ancient tribes leading to friction between our social predispositions and organization goals firms that manage to reduce this friction will tend to function better

tourism forecasting to combine or not to combine abstract existing non tourism related literature shows that forecast combination can improve forecasting accuracy this study tests this proposition in the tourism context by examining the efficiency of combining forecasts based on three different combination methods the data used for this study relate to tourist arrivals in hong kong from the top ten tourism generating countries regions the forecasts are derived from four different forecasting models autoregressive integrated moving average arima model autoregressive distributed lag model adlm error correction model ecm and vector autoregressive var model all forecasts are ex post and the empirical results show that the relative performance of combination versus single model forecasts varies according to the origin destination tourist flow under consideration which parallels previous findings regarding the relative performance of individual forecasting methods the results also vary with the combination techniques used furthermore although the combined forecasts do not always outperform the best single model forecasts almost all the combined forecasts are not outperformed by the worst single model forecasts this suggests that forecast combination can considerably reduce the risk of forecasting failure this conclusion also implies that combined forecasts are likely to be preferred to single model forecasts in many practical situations

local governments as industrial firms an organizational analysis of china s transitional economy despite widespread skepticism about government ownership in transitional economies china s rapid industrial growth has been led by public enterprises kornai s theory of soft budbet constraints born of the failure of earlier hungarian reforms fosters such skepticism but it assumes as fixed organizational characteristics that in fact vary widely across government jurisdictions local governments with smaller industrial bases have clearer financial incentives and constraints fewer nonfinancial interests in enterprises and a greater capacity to monitor them in china s vast public sector the fastest growth in output and productivity has occurred where government ownership rights are clearest and most easily enforced which enables officials to manage public industry as a diversified market oriented firm

soft budget constraints and regional industrial policy reinterpreting the rise and fall of delorean the rise and fall of delorean motor cars limited has traditionally been interpreted as either the result either of john delorean s psychological flaws or as confirming the supposed limitations of activist industrial policy however when the episode is examined in greater historical detail neither of these interpretations is compelling the reinterpretation outlined here draws on institutional analysis as well as a range of archival sources much of it previously unreleased the inefficiencies within the original contractual agreement are highlighted the lack of credibility associated with this agreement was in turn traceable to the institutional environment with its associated risk reward implications under which industrial policy operated this environment had a political element it had been distorted by the troubles and the resulting fears policymakers had of a cumulative causation relationship between violence and unemployment officials in belfast against treasury opposition advocated state led entrepreneurship as a policy response

towards an economic theory of the multiproduct firm this paper outlines a theory of the multiproduct firm important building blocks include excess capacity and its creation market imperfections and the peculiarities of organizational knowledge including its fungible and taut character a framework is adopted in which profit seeking firms are seen to diversify in order to avoid the high transactions costs associated with using various markets to trade the services of various specialized assets neoclassical explanations of the multiproduct firm are shown to be seriously deficient

developing an early warning system to predict currency crises abstract the purpose of this paper is to develop an early warning system to predict currency crises in this study a data set covering the period of january 1992 december 2011 of turkish economy is used and an early warning system is developed with artificial neural networks ann decision trees and logistic regression models financial pressure index fpi is an aggregated value composed of the percentage changes in dollar exchange rate gross foreign exchange reserves of the central bank and overnight interest rate in this study fpi is the dependent variable and thirty two macroeconomic indicators are the independent variables three models which are tested in turkish crisis cases have given clear signals that predicted the 1994 and 2001 crises 12 months earlier considering all three prediction model results turkey s economy is not expected to have a currency crisis ceteris paribus until the end of 2012 this study presents uniqueness in that decision support model developed in this study uses basic macroeconomic indicators to predict crises up to a year before they actually happened with an accuracy rate of approximately 95 it also ranks the leading factors of currency crisis with regard to their importance in predicting the crisis

random walks and sustained competitive advantage strategy is concerned with sustained interfirm profitability differences observations of such sustained differences are often attributed to unobserved systematic a priori differences in firm characteristics this paper shows that sustained interfirm profitability differences may be very likely even if there are no a priori differences among firms as a result of the phenomenon of long leads in random walks even a random resource accumulation process is likely to produce persistent resource heterogeneity and sustained interfirm profitability differences a cournot model in which costs follow a random walk shows that such a process could produce evidence of substantial persistence of profitability the results suggest that persistent profitability does not necessarily provide strong evidence for systematic a priori differences among firms nevertheless since the phenomenon of long leads is highly unrepresentative of intuitive notions of random sequences such evidence may still be persuasive

pushing the boundaries of climate economics critical issues to consider in climate policy analysis abstract climate policy choices are influenced by the economics literature which analyses the costs and benefits of alternative strategies for climate action this literature in turn rests on a series of choices about the values and assumptions underlying the economic analysis the methodologies for treating dynamics technological change risk and uncertainty and the assumed interactions between economic systems society and the environment including institutional constraints on climate policy we identify and discuss such critical issues pushing at the boundaries of current climate economics research new thinking in this area is gathering pace in response to the limitations of traditional economic approaches and their assumptions on economic behaviour ecological properties and socio technical responses we place a particular emphasis on the role of induced technological change and institutional setups in shaping cost effective climate action that also promotes economic development and the alleviation of poverty

substitutes and stability for matching with contracts we consider the matching problem with contracts of hatfield and milgrom 2005 and we introduce new concepts of bilateral and unilateral substitutes we show that bilateral substitutes is a sucient condition for the existence of a stable allocation in this framework however the set of stable allocations does not form a lattice under this condition and there does not necessarily exist a doctor optimal stable allocation under a slightly stronger condition unilateral substitutes the set of stable allocations still does not necessarily form a lattice with respect to doctors preferences but there does exist a doctor optimal stable allocation and other key results such as incentive compatibility and the rural hospitals theorem are recovered

the role of public policy in emerging green power markets an analysis of marketer preferences abstract green power marketing has been heralded by some as a means to create a private market for renewable energy that is driven by customer demand for green products this article challenges the premise sometimes proffered in debates over green markets that profitable sizable credible markets for green products will evolve naturally without supportive public policies relying primarily on surveys and interviews of us green power marketers the article examines the role of specific regulatory and legislative policies in enabling the green market and searches for those policies that are believed by marketers to be the most conducive or detrimental to the expansion of the green market we find that marketers 1 believe that profitable green power markets will only develop if a solid foundation of supportive policies exists 2 believe that establishing overall price competition and encouraging customer switching are the top priorities 3 are somewhat leery of government sponsored or mandated public information programs and 4 oppose three specific renewable energy policies that are frequently advocated by renewable energy enthusiasts but that may have negative impacts on the green marketers profitability the stated preferences of green marketers shed light on ways to foster renewables by means of the green market because the interests of marketers do not coincide perfectly with those of society however this study also recognizes other normative perspectives and highlights policy tensions at the heart of current debates related to green markets by examining these conflicts we identify three key policy questions that should direct future research to what extent should price competition and customer switching be encouraged at the expense of cost shifting what requirements should be imposed to ensure credibility in green products and marketing how should the green power market and broader renewable energy policies interact

transaction cost economics the natural progression abstract this manuscript provides the nobel laureate s reflections on transaction cost economics the overview section frames governance as the overarching concept and transaction cost economics as the means by which to breathe operational content into governance and organization the vertical integration section identifies efficiency factors associated with determining when a firm produces a good or service to its own needs rather than outsource a discussion of the rudiments of transaction cost analysis is subsequently provided puzzles and challenges that require pushing the logic of efficient governance to completion are examined and followed by concluding remarks

is western europe losing the technological race abstract using a variety of indicators this paper compares technological levels in japan the usa and w europe there is no justification for assuming general european technological backwardness whilst it lags in electronics and since 1975 has had a relatively slow rate of growth of innovative activities it also has sectors of strength chemicals machinery production engineering and countries whose relative commitments of resources to innovative activities are at least equal and sometimes superior to those of japan and the usa frg sweden switzerland its main policy challenges are to increase the rate of growth of innovative activities in lagging countries and to ensure pervasive applications of information technology similarly there is no convincing evidence that w europe is relatively backward in converting technology into economically efficient innovations some policy problems are significant in all three regions skill shortages whilst others are in the usa and w europe short term planning horizons of top management particular european problems are the effects of social legislation on worker flexibility and mobility of national regulations on intra european competition and of slow rates of growth of output on the growth of innovative activities japan and the usa have their problems with the latter continuously under challenge from the former and increasingly specialised in defence and raw materials related technologies

breaking the mould an institutionalist political economy alternative to the neo liberal theory of the market and the state the paper criticises the currently dominant neo liberal discourse on the role of the state and proposes an alternative approach that will allow us to overcome its shortcomings especially its inadequate analyses of the role of institutions and politics it argues that the central problem with the neo liberal framework lies not in its excessively anti interventionist policy conclusions as some of its critics believe but in the very ways it envisages the modus operandi of the market the state institutions and their interrelationships the paper then discusses how we may construct the alternative approach of institutionalist political economy

r d appropriability opportunity and market structure new evidence on some schumpeterian hypotheses one of the largest bodies of literature in the field of industrial organization is devoted to the interpretation and testing of several hypotheses advanced by joseph schumpeter 1950 concerning innovation and industrial market structure one set of hypotheses focuses on the role of firm size as a determinant of r d spending and the rate of technological advance another set focuses on the effect of market concentration on r d and technological advance in this paper we reexamine the latter set of hypotheses at the industry level using new data on r d appropriability and technological opportunity collected by levin et al 1984 in a survey of r d executives in 130 industries

assessing the relative merits of development charges and transferable development rights in an uncertain world traditionally regulatory instruments have been used to achieve planning objectives however emerging market based policy instruments such as transferable development rights a quantity based app

averages of forecasts some empirical results an alternative to using a single forecasting method is to average the forecasts obtained from several methods in this paper we investigate empirically the impact of the number and choice of forecasting methods on the accuracy of simple averages it is concluded that the forecasting accuracy improves and that the variability of accuracy among different combinations decreases as the number of methods in the average increases thus combining forecasts seems to be a reasonable practical alternative when as is often the case a true model of the data generating process or a single best forecasting method cannot be or is not for whatever reasons identified

addressing global environmental externalities transaction costs considerations is there a way to understand why some global environmental externalities are addressed effectively whereas others are not the transaction costs of defining the property rights to mitigation benefits and costs is a useful framework for such analysis this approach views international cooperation as a contractual process among country leaders to assign those property rights leaders cooperate when it serves domestic interests to do so the demand for property rights comes from those who value and stand to gain from multilateral action property rights are supplied by international agreements that specify resource access and use assign costs and benefits including outlining the size and duration of compensating transfer payments and determining who will pay and who will receive them four factors raise the transaction costs of assigning property rights i scientific uncertainty regarding mitigation benefits and costs ii varying preferences and perceptions across heterogeneous populations iii asymmetric information and iv the extent of compliance and new entry these factors are used to examine the role of transaction costs in the establishment and allocation of property rights to provide globally valued national parks implement the convention on the international trade in endangered species of wild fauna and flora execute the montreal protocol to manage emissions that damage the stratospheric ozone layer set limits on harvest of highly migratory ocean fish stocks and control greenhouse gas emissions jel d23 p14 q22 q51 q54 q58

labor markets and institutions in economic development new developments in development in the 1980 s contravened several widely held tenets about how labor markets and other institutional arrangements affect the performance of low income countries if you believe that massive urban rural earnings differentials due to urban bias plague developia new evidence will ease your concerns urban workers suffered mightily in the lost growth decade in many countries if you fear that government or union interventions in labor markets impede stabilization or structural adjustment think again countries with diverse interventions reduced real wages under the gun of economic crisis if you believe that clear property rules and privatization are necessary for rational economic behavior and transition to a market economy the decade s growth success china should challenge your priors if you fear that industrial policy is the road to disaster state interventions in taiwan korea and singapore tell a different story finally if you think that military dictatorships that suppress labor necessarily produce high income inequality the income distributions of korea and taiwan should give you pause these emerging patterns and facts run so counter to conventional views on development as to raise major doubts about the depth of our knowledge and the extent to which narrow perfect competition or political economy perspectives illuminate the growth process

revisiting legal realism the law economics and organization perspective the contrast between american legal realism which ran itself into the sand schlegel 1979 p 459 and the law and economics movement which is perhaps the most important development in legal thought in the last quarter century posner 1986 p xix is dramatic that the one foundered while the other flourished is explained in large measure by the absence of an intellectual framework for legal realism and the use by law and economics of the powerful framework of neoclassical economics

a review of the recent literature on the institutional economics analysis of the long run performance of nations this paper reviews the recent post 2000 literature which assesses the importance of institutions as a factor determining cross country differences in growth rates or in the contemporary level of prosperity it first sketches how institutional economics has evolved it then examines critically the methods of analysis employed in the recent literature the paper finds that this literature has made a major contribution to the analysis of the causes of economic growth but the relative importance of institutions as a determinant of long run growth and prosperity is still a wide open question

appropriation violent enforcement and transaction costs a critical survey this paper focuses on the extension of transaction costs to appropriative activity and coercive power in the property rights approach it has been argued that including the costs of appropriation and violent enforcement in transaction costs is based on the assumption that coaseian bargaining can be extended to any institutional scenario i e voluntary as well as coercive exchange however voluntary transactions cannot capture the logic of coercive power this means that the assumption of an efficient political market is not valid and that the political coase theorem lacks the logical consistency to provide a cornerstone for political theory

information and economic analysis a perspective ten years ago i delivered a paper before this group with the title information and economic analysis i chose the title deliberately i did not call the subject on which i was speaking the economics of information because to do so would have been to suggest that my topic like the economics of agriculture or the economics of industry or the economics of labour represented another branch of specialisation within economics i wanted to suggest that informational considerations were in fact central to the analysis of a wide variety of phenomena that they constituted a central part of the foundations of economic analysis at the time though economists had long paid lip service to the importance of information there was little formal literature the last decade has seen a burgeoning of the literature it has become to the late 7o s and early 8o s what growth theory was to the early 6o s and it has been greeted with some of the same scepticism there seems to be a myriad ofspecial cases and few general principles the little examples are often contrasted unfavourably with the generality of general equilibrium theory what have we learned have diminishing returns set in are there fruitful directions for future research and if so what are they these are the questions which i wish to address here the work of the past decade has made i think a fundamental and lasting contribution to economic analysis the contributions have been both negative and positive we have learned that much of what we believed before is of only limited validity that the traditional competitive equilibrium analysis though having the superficial appearance of generality in terms of superscripts and subscripts is indeed not very general the theory is not robust to slight alterations in the informational assumptions it is but a special and not very plausible example among the possible set of informational assumptions which can be employed to characterise an economy at the same time the theory has been able to provide insights into phenomena about which the traditional model had nothing to say or which seemed inconsistent or inexplicable within the competitive paradigm it has provided some of the micro foundations for macro economics it has provided the basis of a new theory of the firm of a new new welfare economics and of a theory of economic organisation including a comparison of economic

the r d performance through time of young high technology firms methodology and an illustration abstract this paper summarizes the pilot stage of a microeconomic study of the innovation performance through time of young high technology israeli firms it reports some results for a successful firm designing producing and selling electronic instruments and systems the paper begins by surveying some of the difficulties surrounding the collection and organization of data on r d projects one of them concerns the definition of the unit for analysis the r d project three criteria are suggested for dividing the stream for innovative activities into r d projects and these are applied to group the tens of products accessories and systems included in the analysis into nine projects the paper subsequently defines a measure of direct project performance or profitability estimate discounted operating profits per unit of fixed costs and provides estimates based on r d and sales data for the products of each project the final sections analyze the variation of project profitability through time the increasing profitability observed across generations of a product class is attributed to the adaptability of the firm to changes in the environment particularly to the availability of new technology which requires the swift design and sale of more complex products the qualitative history of the various projects suggests that this adaptability is due to a large extent to the skills infrastructure and reputation of the firm accumulated from prior projects i e that the indirect profitability of the latter is high some estimates of the indirect profitability of early projects are presented a comparison of the spin off mechanisms observed in the firm analyzed with those observed in firms of other industries is also undertaken

economic history and the modern economist in this book nine economists and economic historians express their concern for the present state of economics and its development in the future from a variety of different approaches these scholars reassert the importance of economic history in the training of economists and urge that this perspective should not be lost in the future

bringing economic opportunity into line with environmental influence a discussion on the coase theorem and the porter and van der linde hypothesis environmental concerns and tightened environmental policy parameters have been associated with the notion of additional costs of compliance rather than with innovation and sustainability the contrary has also been suggested claiming that strict environmental legislation merely serves as a catalyst for firms to retain obvious economic and environmental mutual gains so called win wins laying around waiting to be collected such implications can be seen from the porter and van der linde writings heavily criticised by palmer et al as being built on faulty examples this paper supports that conclusion and uses property rights and transactions costs theories to find private incentives to explore the win wins for those actors who have the largest potentials to diminish the pressure on our environment by applying the coase theorem emphasising transaction costs and property rights this paper argues that strong public support is needed to create private incentives for exploring economic and environmental win win innovations the public support suggested is to a extend producer responsibilities where the same costs which may be neglected by the end consumers will if transferred to the design owner be viewed as a production cost and to b enforce environmental public procurement both may be combined with a support to c actors such as non governmental organisations and consumer agencies positioning themselves as information bridges by informing the consumers the negative effects of asymmetric information among actors can thereby be diminished as well as the low interest to primarily care for the environment among common consumers

the consequences of voluntary traceability system for supply chain relationships an application of transaction cost economics this paper analyses the effects of voluntary traceability on vertical relationships within food supply chains using a transaction cost perspective the analysis makes reference to the italian situation where the national standard organization has introduced a private standard for traceability that provides a higher degree of information associated with the individual product than the european mandatory traceability system a survey was conducted by questionnaire to assess changes in transaction characteristics costs and governance after the introduction of voluntary traceability the sample represents all italian firms applying this standard factorial and cluster analyses were applied to find the different reorganizations of transactions the results highlight an increase in asset specificity and a decrease in the uncertainty level throughout the supply chains the introduction of voluntary traceability shows increased vertical coordination for firms that previously used oral agreements and variation in transactions conditions for firms using contracts instead vertically integrated firms do not reveal any variation in the governance of transactions as they are already internally safeguarded

interregional inventor networks as studied by patent coinventorships we study the structure of the interregional inventor networks in sweden by examining the residence of inventors and coinventors involved in swedish patent applications to the european patent office several factors are found to influence the spatial affinity of regions we find that spatial affinity extends beyond the region if it has less own rd if it is close to the other region and if it is relatively small the resources of that other region plays a positive role if in analogue fashion that region has more r d related resources

taxes institutions and innovation theory and international evidence we develop an international model of the design of institutions for regulating innovative activities of private corporations informational limitations faced by the social planner preclude complete contracting with private firms corporate innovation creates positive and negative externalities the social planner in each country takes into account the legal system in place and designs an umbrella of institutions that include a menu of organizational forms liability structures corporate taxes and subsidies we show that limited liability may be accompanied by excessive innovation however when the nonmonetized benefits are very high private firms may be too conservative in innovation policies firms choose their organizational form and level of innovation consistent with private optimality with the optimal institutional design for each country we demonstrate that private innovation choices are aligned with social optimality in particular we show that the optimally designed corporate tax rate in each country is a decreasing function of its legal effectiveness using data from 63 countries over 2003 2018 we document supporting evidence mncs can take advantage of differential liability and corporate tax structures across national boundaries to circumvent institutional design constraints however when mncs generate positive externalities to host countries their governments may provide subsidies and incentives