testing dependence between gdp and tourism s growth rates abstract the main aim of this paper is to link the economic behaviour and statistical properties of gdp and tourism receipts growth rates through modelling the dependence to that end two developed economies such as the united kingdom non tourist oriented and spain tourist oriented and an emerging economy such as croatia tourist oriented are considered as case studies therefore a copula based garch approach is employed to describe the dependence structure between gdp and tourism receipts growth rates in this respect any causality and cointegration between tourism and gdp could justify public policies that promote a more efficient public resource allocation in the tourism industry additionally evidence of dependence between growth rates can justify the extent and direction of these policies results indicate that there is a significant asymmetric and positive dependence between tourism and gdp growth rates for the three countries studied though only for croatia is it time varying over time

the gender gap fertility and growth changes in fertility have long been recognized as important correlates of economic growth with the relationship between the level of fertility and the level of income per capita being one of the strongest observable correlations in cross country data this paper examines the linkages between fertility and growth theory the structure of the model is presented in sections on production couples decision making system dynamics and steady state equilibria the first component of the model is that increases in capital per worker raise womens relative wages since capital is more complementary to womens labor input than to mens the second component is that increasing womens relative wages reduces fertility by raising the cost of children more than household income finally lower fertility raises the level of capital per worker a positive feedback loop generates demographic transition a rapid decline in fertility accompanied by accelerated output growth

exports and economic growth evidence from 19th century europe abstract cointegration and granger causality tests on data for six european countries from around the middle of the 19th century to 1913 show that exports and gnp were cointegrated and granger causally related with export led growth in italy norway and sweden

bequest as a public good within marriage a note bequest to and marriage of children can lead to a pareto inefficient allocation the inefficiency or market failure arises because one family making a bequest to its own child ignores the contribution to the utility of the other family whose child enters the marriage this note shows that an assortative mating rule based on bequests can improve or even restore pareto efficiency when parents take account of the rule in deciding the amount of bequests to their own children

does tourism effectively stimulate malaysia s economic growth abstract this study attempts to further verify the validity of the tourism led growth hypothesis in malaysia using a multivariate model derived from the solow growth theory it employs annual data from 1975 to 2011 we find that economic growth tourism and other determinants are cointegrated specifically tourism has a positive impact on malaysia s economic growth both in the short run and in the long run the granger causality test indicates that tourism granger causes economic growth all this provides the empirical support for the tourism led growth hypothesis in malaysia in light of this any policy initiative that promotes tourism could contribute to malaysia s economic growth

the price of marriage net vs gross flows and the south asian dowry debate the rise in dowry payments in india has been taken as evidence that women increasingly are at a disadvantage on the marriage market and must pay for marriage moreover high dowries it is argued add to the plight of parents of daughters and have thus contributed to the scarcity of women brides however the logic is curious and this paper argues flawed the term dowry can mean different things and it may be useful to distinguish between the assets the bride brings at the time of marriage gross dowry and those netted against the groom payments net dowry the former is what is generally meant by dowry while the latter is a concept used mainly by economists i show that there is no evidence of an increase in real net dowries post 1950 in the icrisat data set a data set that has featured prominently in the literature i take this to suggest that the widespread reports of dowry inflation refer to an increase in gross dowry a development which may merely reflect greater parental affluence jel j12 j16

tourism development and economic growth a closer look at panels abstract this paper applies the new heterogeneous panel cointegration technique to re investigate the long run comovements and causal relationships between tourism development and economic growth for oecd and nonoecd countries including those in asia latin america and sub sahara africa for the 1990 2002 period on the global scale after allowing for the heterogeneous country effect a cointegrated relationship between gdp and tourism development is substantiated it is also determined that tourism development has a greater impact on gdp in nonoecd countries than in oecd countries and when the variable is tourism receipts the greatest impact is in sub sahara african countries additionally the real effective exchange rate has significant effects on economic growth finally in the long run the panel causality test shows unidirectional causality relationships from tourism development to economic growth in oecd countries bidirectional relationships in nonoecd countries but only weak relationships in asia our empirical findings have major policy implications

tourism and economic development the beach disease abstract this paper analyses empirically the danger of a dutch disease effect in tourism dependent countries in the long run data on 134 countries of the world over the period 1970 2007 is used in a first step the long run relationship between tourism and economic growth is analysed in a cross country setting the results are then checked in a panel data framework on gdp per capita levels that allows to control for reverse causality non linearity and interactive effects it is found that there is no danger of a beach disease effect on the contrary tourism dependent countries do not face real exchange rate distortion and deindustrialisation but higher than average economic growth rates investment in physical capital such as for instance transport infrastructure is complementary to investment in tourism

is the tourism economic growth nexus time varying bootstrap rolling window causality analysis for the top 10 tourist destinations this article explores the time varying causal nexus between tourism development and economic growth for the top 10 tourist destinations in the world namely china france germany italy mexico t

dowry and wife s welfare a theotrical and empirical analysis becker attributes the existence of marital transfers to inflexibility in the division of joint product within the marriage if that were the only reason we would not have observed the coexistence of dowries and bride prices this paper offers an alternative analysis while becker s interpretation is retained for bride prices a dowry is now represented as a premortem bequest by altruistic parents for a daughter it not only increases the wealth of the new conjugal household but also enhances the bargaining power of the bride in the allocation of the output within the household thereby safeguarding here welfare using micro data from taiwan we found that a dowry improves the bride s welfare whereas a bride price has no effect these empirical results support the theoretical predictions of the model

legal origins and female hiv more than one half of all people living with hiv are women and 80 percent of all hiv positive women in the world live in sub saharan africa this paper demonstrates that the legal origins of these formerly colonized countries significantly determine current day female hiv rates in particular female hiv rates are significantly higher in common law sub saharan african countries compared to civil law ones this paper explains this relationship by focusing on differences in female property rights under the two codes of law in sub saharan africa common law is associated with weaker female marital property laws as a result women in these common law countries have lower bargaining power within the household and are less able to negotiate safe sex practices and are thus more vulnerable to hiv compared to their civil law counterparts exploiting the fact that some ethnic groups in sub saharan africa cross country borders with different legal systems we are able to include ethnicity fixed effects into a regression discontinuity approach this allows us to control for a large set of cultural geographical and environmental factors that could be confounding the estimates the results of this paper are consistent with gender inequality the feminization of aids explaining much of its prevalence in sub saharan africa

from polygyny to serial monogamy a unified theory of marriage institutions consider an economy populated by males and females both rich and poor the society has to choose one of the following marriage institutions polygyny strict monogamy and serial monogamy divorce and remarriage after having identified the conditions under which each of these equilibria exists we show that a rise in the share of rich males can explain a change of regime from polygyny to monogamy the introduction of serial monogamy follows from a further rise in either the proportion of rich males or an increase in the proportion of rich females strict monogamy is a prerequisite to serial monogamy as it promotes the upward social mobility of females more than polygyny we also show that polygyny is compatible with democracy

the tourism economy causality in the united states a sub industry level examination abstract this study analyzes the relationships between the performance of four tourism related industries airlines casinos hotels and restaurants and gdp in the u s using cointegration and granger causality tests the results show no cointegration between economic growth and industry performance in the u s this suggests that mechanisms to increase the revenue of tourism related industries can potentially be successful in the long run even in the face of sustained economic stagnation the results also indicate a temporal causal hierarchy among industry performance which could be a good tool for timing and prioritizing the allocation of resources among industries to ensure better overall tourism and economic outcomes investors and managers could also use this temporal hierarchy to identify the best timing for investments and business strategies by observing performance trends of industries higher on the temporal hierarchy

altruism cooperation and efficiency agricultural production in polygynous households abstractaltruism toward others can inhibit cooperation by increasing the utility players expect to receive in a noncooperative equilibrium to test this we examine agricultural productivity in west african polygynous households we find cooperation as evidenced by more efficient production is greater among co wives than among husbands and wives using a game theoretic model we show that this outcome can arise because co wives are less altruistic toward each other than toward their husbands we present a variety of robustness checks which suggest results are not driven by selection into polygyny greater propensity for cooperation among women or household heads enforcing others cooperative agreements

growth effects of leisure tourism and the level of economic development abstractthis study examines 1 whether leisure tourism can contribute to economic growth and 2 if it does whether its growth effects are constant across levels of economic development leisure tourism differs from business tourism in the causal relation with economic growth in addition the natural and heritage related resources for leisure tourism are limited and not reproducible this notion has a significant implication for the relationship between the growth effects of leisure tourism and the level of economic development thus the current study focuses on leisure tourism and controls for the effects of business tourism as an economy grows the growth effects of leisure tourism are expected to diminish due to a lack of continued productivity improvement in the tourism industry the empirical findings in this research reveal that leisure tourism contributes to economic growth at an early stage of economic development but its contribution becomes weaker as the economy develops

impacts of tourism and fiscal expenditure on remote islands in japan a panel data analysis japan consists of many small inhabited islands in addition to four main islands we examine the impact of fiscal expenditure and the number of tourists on per capita taxable income in remote islands using panel data analyses the results show that both fiscal expenditure and population size have significant positive impacts on per capita taxable income whereas the number of tourists does not have statistically significant impact they indicate that tourism development would not work as a substitute for financial support from the government in other words continuous financial support may be needed to maintain the islands economies

universal coverage with supply side reform the impact on medical expenditure risk and utilization in thailand abstract we estimate the impact on out of pocket oop medical expenditure of a major reform in thailand that greatly extended health insurance coverage to achieve universality while implementing supply side measures intended to deliver cost effective care from an increased but modest public health budget difference in differences comparison of groups to whom coverage was extended or deepened with those whose coverage did not change indicates that the reform reduced oop expenditure by 28 on average and by 42 at the 95th percentile of the conditional distribution simulations suggest that exposure to medical expenditure risk was reduced by three fifths on average generating a social welfare gain equivalent to 80 200 of the approximate deadweight loss from financing the reform estimated effects on health care access suggest that the policy managed to reduce households medical expenses while also raising their utilization of both inpatient and ambulatory care

differential fertility human capital and development using micro data from 48 developing countries this paper studies changes in crosssectional patterns of fertility and child investment over the course of the demographic transition before 1960 children from larger families obtained more education in large part because they had richer and more educated parents by century s end these patterns had reversed consequently fertility differentials by income and education historically raised the average education of the next generation but they now reduce it while the reversal is unrelated to changes in gdp per capita women s work sectoral composition or health roughly half is attributable to rising aggregate education in the parents generation the results support a model in which rising skill returns lowered the minimum income at which parents invest in education

modelling the domestic and foreign tourist arrivals to tamil nadu india in recent years due to the indian federal government s and tamil nadu state government s various initiatives and promotional activities foreign and domestic tourist arrivals in tamil nadu are on the increase this article aims to model the monthly tourist arrivals foreign as well as domestic in tamil nadu for monthly time series data during the period 1998 to 2002 using univariate time series models as both time series show strong seasonal patterns we also investigate the possibility of seasonal unit roots in the domestic and foreign tourist arrivals series the results show that significant growth in domestic and foreign arrivals takes place during the months december to january growth rate for domestic tourist arrivals is positive during april and may but is negative for the foreign tourist arrivals during april and insignificant during may such information would be very useful to the tamil nadu government and the tourism industry in maximizing the usage of available tourist spot infrastructure

troubling tradeoffs in the human development index the 20th human development report has introduced a new version of its famous human development index hdi the hdi aggregates country level attainments in life expectancy schooling and income per capita each year s rankings by the hdi are keenly watched in both rich and poor countries the main change in the 2010 hdi is that it relaxes its past assumption of perfect substitutability between its three components however most users will probably not realize that the new hdi has also greatly reduced its implicit weight on longevity in poor countries relative to rich ones a poor country experiencing falling life expectancy due to say a collapse in its health care system could still see its hdi improve with even a small rate of economic growth by contrast the new hdi s valuations of the gains from extra schooling seem unreasonably high many times greater than the economic returns to schooling these troubling tradeoffs could have been largely avoided using a different aggregation function for the hdi while still allowing imperfect substitution while some difficult value judgments are faced in constructing and assessing the hdi making its assumed tradeoffs more explicit would be a welcome step

investigating the influence of tourism on economic growth and carbon emissions evidence from panel analysis of the european union the study investigates the influence of tourism on economic growth and co2 emissions in the empirical analysis unit root and cointegration tests using panel data of european union countries from 1988 to 2009 are performed to examine the long run equilibrium relationship among tourism co2 emissions economic growth and foreign direct investment fdi results from panel cointegration techniques and fixed effects models indicate that a long run equilibrium relationship exists among these variables furthermore tourism co2 emissions and fdi have high significant positive effect on economic growth economic growth in turn shows a high significant positive impact on co2 emissions while tourism and fdi incur a high significant negative impact on co2 emissions

measurement of inequity in health care with heterogeneous response of use to need we propose a method of measuring and decomposing inequity in health care utilisation that allows for heterogeneity in the use need relationship this makes explicit inequity that derives from unequal treatment response to variation in need as well as that due to differential effects of non need determinants under plausible conditions concerning heterogeneity in the use need relationship and the distribution of need existing methods that impose homogeneity will underestimate pro rich inequity this prediction is confirmed for four middle income asian countries in those countries around one half of the observed socioeconomic inequality is due to utilisation being more responsive to need among the higher wealth and urban dwelling individuals

economies of scale in the australian tourism industry the measurement of economies of scale in the tourism industry has not been done to this point as tourism is not a specific industry according to international statistical standards among many industries related to tourism four sectors accommodation transport retail trade and recreational services across six states and two territories from 1997 to 2007 are studied as they contribute nearly 70 of tourism output in australia by comparing regression results from the cobb douglas c d production function and the translog production function we find that there is evidence of increasing returns in transport retail trade and recreational services at the industry level however accommodation is characterized by constant returns to scale at the industry level as accommodation is responsible for the biggest share of tourism output this suggests that overall the tourism sector is not characterized by increasing returns we also find that the degrees of returns to scale from the c d and translog product

measuring and forecasting regional environmental and economic efficiency in italy abstractenvironmental and economic efficiency has being receiving growing attention among researchers in general terms this concept is related to the capability of the economic systems to employ natural resources efficiently so as to increase economic and human wealth this clearly implies that both the economic and ecological aspects of decisions ought to be considered bearing this in mind this article considers economic and ecological performance together by applying data envelopment analysis and the malmquist productivity index to investigate the efficiency of the 20 italian regions from 2004 to 2011 the results reveal that the northern regions have been more efficient than the southern ones highlighting the strong geographical differences between the two furthermore this article uses the grey system theory to forecast regional economic and environmental efficiency the results of the forecasting analysis show that the north south duality remains strong and will possibly increase since the r

exploring the effects of international tourism on china s economic growth energy consumption and environmental pollution evidence from a regional panel analysis abstract this study explores the effects of international tourism on china s economic growth energy consumption and environmental pollution as proxied by co 2 emissions in a multivariate framework using regional panel data over the period 1995 2011 our findings suggest that the tourism induced ekc hypothesis does not exist in central china and is merely weakly supported in eastern and western china however results show that tourism has a negative impact on co 2 emissions in the eastern region which contradicts with our perception to some extent panel causality tests show that the directions of causality in both short and long runs are mixed among regions nevertheless our findings reveal that tourism causally affects economic growth and co 2 emissions in the long run thus tourism led growth hypothesis is verified under all three scenarios our findings also suggest that in all three regions there is bidirectional causality between economic growth and co 2 emissions overall these results imply that low carbon tourism in china should be continuously supported which provides significant insights to policy makers at various government levels

inequality aversion health inequalities and health achievement this paper addresses two issues the first is how health inequalities can be measured in such a way as to take into account policymakers attitudes towards inequality the gini coefficient and the related concentration index embody one particular set of value judgements by generalising these indices alternative sets of value judgements can be reflected the other issue addressed is how information on health inequality can be used together with information on the mean of the relevant distribution to obtain an overall measure of health achievement

efficiency with endogenous population growth in this paper we generalize the notion of pareto e ciency to make it applicable to environments with endogenous populations two di erent e ciency concepts are proposed p e ciency and a e ciency the two concepts di er in how they treat people that are not born we show how these concepts relate to the notion of pareto e ciency when fertility is

a panel data analysis of the effect of corruption on tourism this study empirically tests the hypothesis that corruption has a negative effect on tourism having to pay bribes while on holiday or a business trip increases the costs of travelling to a country where corruption is prevalent tourists are thus more likely to travel to countries where these additional costs do not need to be incurred this hypothesis is tested using a panel data set of over 100 countries and 16 years the results indicate that a 1 point increase in the corruption perception index implying a decrease in corruption results in a 2 to 7 increase in tourist inflows in addition tourist inflows rise with gdp per capita openness and growth and are higher in countries with a temperate climate

the demand for international tourism in the mediterranean region the paper studies the demand for international tourism in the mediterranean region first a review of the most important attempts to model econometrically the demand for international tourism in the past is given followed by a formal presentation of the proposed theoretical model in particular a version of the almost ideal demand system aids is adopted and a description of the variables involved and their sources together with the estimation procedure are provided the diagrammatic analysis performed contributes to a better understanding of the evolution of the dependent variable over time the results with respect to the expenditure as well as to the own and cross price elasticities may be regarded as econometrically satisfactory and a reasonable economic explanation is given

marriage institutions and sibling competition evidence from south asia using data from south asia this article examines how arranged marriage cultivates rivalry among sisters during marriage search parents with multiple daughters reduce the reservation quality for an older daughters groom rushing her marriage to allow sufficient time to marry off her younger sisters relative to younger brothers younger sisters increase a girls marriage risk relative to younger singleton sisters younger twin sisters have the same effect these effects intensify in marriage markets with lower sex ratios or greater parental involvement in marriage arrangements in contrast older sisters delay a girls marriage because girls leave school when they marry and face limited earning opportunities when they reach adulthood the number of sisters has well being consequences over the life cycle younger sisters cause earlier school leaving lower literacy a match to a husband with less education and a less skilled occupation and marginally lower adult economic status data from a broader set of countries indicate that these cross sister pressures on marriage age are common throughout the developing world although the schooling costs vary by setting

oil prices tourism income and economic growth a structural var approach for european mediterranean countries abstract in this study a structural var model is employed to investigate the relationship among oil price shocks tourism variables and economic indicators in four european mediterranean countries in contrast with the current tourism literature we distinguish between three oil price shocks namely supply side aggregate demand and oil specific demand shocks overall our results indicate that oil specific demand shocks contemporaneously affect inflation and the tourism sector equity index whereas these shocks do not seem to have any lagged effects by contrast aggregate demand oil price shocks exercise a lagged effect either directly or indirectly to tourism generated income and economic growth the paper does not provide any evidence that supply side shocks trigger any responses from the remaining variables results are important for tourism agents and policy makers should they need to create hedging strategies against future oil price movements or plan for economic policy developments

women s liberation what s in it for men the nineteenth century witnessed dramatic improvements in the legal rights of married women given that these changes took place long before women gained the right to vote they amounted to a voluntary renouncement of power by men in this paper we investigate men s incentives for sharing power with women in our model women s legal rights set the marital bargaining power of husbands and wives we show that men face a tradeoff between the rights they want for their own wives namely none and the rights of other women in the economy men prefer other men s wives to have rights because men care about their own daughters and because an expansion of women s rights increases educational investments in children we show that men may agree to relinquish some of their power once technological change increases the importance of human capital we corroborate our argument with historical evidence on the expansion of women s rights in england and the united states

is the tourism led growth hypothesis valid after the global economic and financial crisis the case of spain 1957 2014 abstract since the first paper on the subject was published in 2002 the tourism led growth hypothesis tlgh has constituted one of the most predominant topics in tourism literature spain is a leading country in the tourism industry and one where this hypothesis has been tested with several studies confirming the relationship between spain s tourism development and its economic growth however the existing studies for spain do not take into account recent turbulences such as the global financial and economic crisis and the arab spring uprisings that have shocked tourism markets this paper re examines the tlgh for the spanish case in the light of these events in order to investigate the robustness of the relationship between tourism and economic growth

investigating causality in international air freight and business travel the case of australia few studies have examined the link between air cargo and business travel despite there being a generally accepted understanding that these two variables are inextricably related to each other thi

is tourism an engine for economic recovery theory and empirical evidence abstract the purpose of this study is to examine the causal relationships between tourism development and economic growth for this purpose the dumitrescu and hurlin 2012 technique was employed to analyze the casual link between tourism development and economic growth in seven european countries the results showed that there is bidirectional causality between growth in tourism receipts and economic growth suggesting that economic growth and tourism development are interdependent and that tourism development stimulates economic growth and vice versa in these countries theoretical and practical implications are discussed within the realms of growth conservation feedback and neutrality hypotheses

the economics of global health an assessment the international community through the millennium development goals and now the sustainable development goals has long recognized the critical role of improved global health in achieving social and economic development this edition of the oxford review of economic policy explores whether this importance has been mirrored in the field of economics it does so by bringing together the voices of 28 economists working on widely varying aspects of global health economics to confront three key policy questions how do we build better more equitable health systems how are global commons health problems to be overcome and how might we improve evaluation and priority setting in global health this assessment considers the degree to which these questions have been answered and extracts the key thrusts of a research agenda it suggests that as in global health itself while much has been achieved many challenges and potential achievements await in the field of global health economics

does a common currency promote countries growth via trade and tourism the main aim of this study is to contribute to the debate on the effects of a common currency in particular the impact of a common currency on growth via trade and tourism is explored for a panel dataset which includes 179 countries as destination and 30 oecd countries as origin over the period 1995 2006 this research contributes to previous work in three ways i tourism is included as an additional channel for a common currency to promote growth ii the heterogeneity of countries is addressed by dividing the sample into three groups of countries by income and iii up to date data including the case of the euro are considered the results obtained suggest that a common currency strengthens economic growth by promoting not only international trade but also tourism

the bounds test approach for cointegration and causality between financial development international trade and economic growth the case of cyprus this study employs the bounds test for co integration and granger causality tests to investigate the long run equilibrium relationship and the direction of causality between financial development international trade and real income growth for the cyprus economy the results of the study reveal that financial development as measured by broad money m2 international trade and real income growth are cointegrated thus a long run equilibrium relationship can be inferred among these three variables on the other hand granger causality test results suggest that in cyprus the growth in real income stimulates the growth of international trade both exports and imports and the growth of money supply furthermore growth in imports of goods and services also stimulates a growth in exports of goods and services of cyprus although this result contradicts our initial expectations it indicates the importance of capital inflows in cyprus that plays a major role in financing the investments mainly in the tourism

how women s rights affect fertility evidence from nigeria using data from the demographic and health surveys dhs this paper estimates the effect on fertility of a legal reform in nigeria in 1999 that lowered the value of women s testimony in court i find that the yearly probability of giving birth of women exposed to the reform did not change in general for women exposed to the enforced reform this probability increased by at least 0 04 using stated preferences on fertility i find that fertility increased among women who want fewer children than their husband does but decreased among women who want more children than their husband does i examine the hypothesis that the reform increased for women the value of being married and hence decreased their intra household bargaining power consequently shifting fertility decisions in the direction of husbands preferences jel j13 j18 k10

effects of universal health insurance on health care utilization and supply side responses evidence from japan abstract we investigate the effects of a massive expansion in health insurance coverage on health care utilization and supply side responses by focusing on universal health insurance introduced in japan in 1961 there are two major findings first health care utilization measured in terms of admissions inpatient days and outpatient visits to hospitals increased significantly second we also find a supply response but the size of the supply response differs across service types while the number of beds increases effects on the number of medical institutions physicians and nurses are either negligible or inconclusive our results suggest that countries planning a large expansion in health insurance coverage would need to generate sufficient financial resources to cover the surge in health care expenditures both in the short and long run our results also indicate that any slowdown in the supply side response may constrain the ability of the health care system to meet increased demand

tourism as a long run economic growth factor the spanish case this paper examines the role of tourism in the spanish long run economic development the tourism led growth hypothesis is confirmed through cointegration and causality testing the results indicate that at least during the last three decades economic growth in spain has been sensible to persistent expansion of international tourism the increase of this activity has produced multiplier effects over time external competitivity has also been proved in the model to be a fundamental variable for spanish economic growth from the empirical analysis it can be inferred the positive effects on income that government policy in the adequacy of supply as well as in the promotion of tourist activity may bring about

the contribution of tourism development to economic growth in the korean economy abstract this study investigates the causal relations between tourism growth and economic expansion for the korean economy by using engle and granger two stage approach and a bivariate vector autoregression var model two principle results emerge from this study first the results of a cointegration test indicate that there is no long run equilibrium relation between two series second the outcomes of granger causality test imply the one way causal relationship of economic driven tourism growth the hypothesis of tourism led economic growth is not held in the korean economy this consequence is supported by testing the sensitivity of causality test under different lag selections along with the optimal lag

tourism and economic growth nexus revisited a panel causality analysis for the case of the mediterranean region abstract tourism is perceived as an important source of foreign exchange that is used for financing economic growth this study offers a modern approach to tourism led growth and investigates the causal relationship between tourism and economic growth in the european asian and african countries that border the mediterranean sea the study uses panel data for the period 1998 2011 and adopts a panel granger causality analysis developed by dumitrescu and hurlin 2012 to assess the contribution tourism makes to economic growth in each country the results indicate that the direction of causality between tourism and economic growth depends on the country group and tourism indicator furthermore the european countries are better able to generate growth from tourism in the mediterranean region

bride price and fertility decisions evidence from rural senegal abstractthis paper provides evidence about the relationship between bride price payments and fertility decisions in senegal higher bride price payments reduce the fertility pressure for women with results being robust to confounding socio economic and contextual factors the fertility reducing impact is greater for women who are economically dependent on their husbands in polygamous households and for arranged marriages a lower bride price increases fertility pressure while in monogamous households and for non arranged marriages the bride price does not affect fertility as bride price payments have less power over economically independent women empowerment will give leeway to girls in traditional societies

why dowry payments declined with modernization in europe but are rising in india in contrast to most dowry oriented societies in which payments have declined with modernization those in india have undergone significant inflation over the last five decades this paper explains the difference between these two experiences by focusing on the role played by caste the theoretical model contrasts caste and non caste based societies in the former there exists an inherited component to status caste that is independent of wealth and in the latter wealth is the primary determinant of status modernization is assumed to involve two components increasing average wealth and increasing wealth dispersion within status or caste groups the paper shows that in caste based societies the increases in wealth dispersion that accompany modernization necessarily lead to increases in dowry payments whereas in non caste based societies increased dispersion has no real effect on dowry payments and increasing average wealth causes the payments to decline

how resilient is la reunion in terms of international tourism attractiveness an assessment from unit root tests with structural breaks from 1981 2015 even if local policymakers increasingly claim that tourism is one of the key factors of future economic development for the french small island la reunion international tourist arrivals are observed to be locked in a stagnation phase since the beginning of the 2000s starting from this stylised fact this article aims to study if this phenomenon results from major external events hurting this economy regularly next by using univariate unit root procedures with structural breaks we test for evidence of permanent or transitory effects of external shocks on international tourist inflows total by source markets and by category over the period 1981 2015 finally the empirical analysis allow us to reject the null of a unit root then stagnation of tourism arrivals to la reunion is not due to exogenous shocks but probably results from endogenous impediments within the domestic tourism industry and unsuitable public policies

time varying linkages between tourism receipts and economic growth in south africa the causal link between tourism receipts and gdp has recently become a major focus in the tourism economics literature results obtained in recent studies about the causal link appear to be sensitive with respect to the countries analysed sample period and methodology employed considering the sensitivity of the causal link we use rolling window and time varying coefficient estimation methods to analyse the parameter stability and granger causality based on a vector error correction model vecm when applied to south africa for the period 1960 2011 the findings are as follows results from the full sample vecm indicate that there is no granger causality between tourism receipts and gdp while the findings from the time varying coefficients model based on the state space representation show that tourism receipts have positive predictive content for gdp for the entire period with the exception of the period between 1985 and 1990 full sample time varying causality tests show bidirectional strong causal

accounting for racial differences in marriage and employment what can account for the differences in marriage and employment decisions across blacks and whites to answer this question i develop a dynamic equilibrium model of marriage two explanations for the racial differences in behavior are considered differences in population supplies and wages black white differences in population supplies explain one fifth of the difference in marriage rates and between one fifth and one third of the differences in employment rates across race removing the racial gap in wages eliminates the differences in employment but increases the differences in marriage rates

assessing the importance of international tourism for the turkish economy a social accounting matrix analysis abstract the international tourism sector has grown rapidly in turkey since the 1980s and turkey ranks among the top ten countries in terms of tourist arrivals and receipts previous studies on international tourism in turkey are partial equilibrium studies which emphasized the importance of the sector for foreign exchange earnings employment creation and economic growth the social accounting matrix sam modeling approach is superior to partial equilibrium analysis as it takes into account intersectoral linkages this paper analyzes the contribution of international tourism to the turkish economy using two sams for 1996 and 2002 respectively two analyses are conducted using the sam impact model i sectoral comparison of gdp elasticities and ii sam impact analysis of international tourism on output value added and employment the results show that the gdp elasticity of international tourism is relatively low and the impact of foreign tourist expenditures on domestic production value added gdp and employment in turkey are modest the results imply the possibility of leakage of foreign tourist expenditures out of the economy

income and the substitution pattern between domestic and international tourism demand this article analyses the role of income in the decision of participating in the tourism demand within 1 year the tourists who are participating can travel to domestic destinations only abroad destinations only or to both of them such a substitution pattern is modelled using a bivariate probit model the analysis is carried out to the regional level using a survey conducted in 15 european eu 15 countries in addition to the traditional socioeconomic variables the analysis adds new variables to the outbound tourism demand modelling such as the attributes of the place of residence the results show that tourism demand is income elastic however there are marked differences in the income elasticities of the probabilities of travelling domestically or abroad above certain income threshold the substitution pattern between destinations takes part the probability of travelling domestically only remains constant whereas the probability of travelling abroad keeps growing additionally the article prov

quality and endogenous tourism an empirical approach abstract we propose a theoretical model and an empirical study that highlight the role of quality of tourism services and endogenous tourism in long run economic growth we study a theoretical growth model of international trade where tourism is the growth engine and quality of tourism services has a positive impact on long term growth we also provide an empirical analysis to test the relation between tourism quality and economic growth in spain over the period 1970 2010 our results show that in the long run tourist arrivals quality of tourism accommodations and foreign gdp have a positive effect on spanish gdp in the short term changes in economic growth appear to lead to growth in tourist arrivals our findings support a two way causal relationship between real gdp growth and tourism growth in spain

tourism expansion tourism uncertainty and economic growth new evidence from taiwan and korea abstract this study examines the causal relationship between tourism expansion and economic growth in two asian countries taiwan and south korea an egarch m model with uncertainty factors is employed to examine the direction of causality between tourism expansion and economic growth as well as the impulse impacts of uncertainty on both variables the results indicate that the tourism led economic growth hypothesis is supported for taiwan while a reciprocal causal relationship is found for south korea the significant impacts of uncertainty on growth are also identified

strategic choices in polygamous households theory and evidence from senegal this paper proposes a strategic framework to account for fertility choices in polygamous households a theoretical model specifies the main drivers of fertility in the african context and describes how the fertility of one wife might impact the behavior of her co wives it generates predictions to test for strategic interactions exploiting original data from a household survey and the demographic and health surveys in senegal empirical tests show that children are strategic complements one wife raises her fertility in response to an increase by the other wife because children are the best claim to resources controlled by the husband this result is the first quantitative evidence of a reproductive rivalry between co wives it suggests that the sustained high level of fertility in africa does not merely reect women s lack of control over births as is often argued but also their incentives to have many children this paper also contributes to the literature on household behavior as one of the few attempts to open the black box of non nuclear families

international tourism higher education and economic growth the case of north cyprus this study investigates the long run equilibrium relationship between international tourism higher education growth real income growth and the direction of causality among these variables for the turkish republic of northern cyprus which is not recognised by any country other than turkey results reveal that international tourism and higher education are in a long run equilibrium relationship with real income growth international tourism and higher education have an inelastic yet positively significant impact on real income growth in the long run period finally the results of the present study reveal that both the tourism led growth and the higher education led growth hypotheses are confirmed for north cyprus

optimal taxation critical level utilitarianism and economic growth abstract we analyze tax policies in an intertemporal economy with endogenous fertility under critical level utilitarianism both from a positive and a normative standpoint on the positive side we analyze the effects of a change in the tax on capital income and on fertility both separately and combined so as to keep the per capita public debt constant on the normative side we characterize the first and second best optimal tax structures for both exogenous and endogenous labor supply

causality between exports and economic growth abstract this paper utilizes granger causality tests in investigating the relationship between exports and national income from a consistent data set for 47 developing countries in africa new empirical results as well as suggestions for future research are presented

museum and monument attendance and tourism flow a time series analysis approach this article takes a time series analysis approach to evaluate the directions of causality between tourism flows on the one side and museum and monument attendance on the other we consider italy as a case study and analyse monthly data over the period january 1996 to december 2010 all the considered series are seasonally integrated and co integration links emerge we focus on the error correction mechanism among co integrated time series to detect the directional link s of causality clear cut results emerge bi directional causality exists in the long run dynamics but it is the long run dynamics of visits to museums and monuments that mainly adjust to tourism variables arrivals overnights average stays in the short run there are some causal effects going from the cultural sites attendance to tourism dynamics the nonstationary nature of time series their co integration relationships and the direction of causal links suggest specific implications for tourism and cultural policies

lifestyles of the rich and polygynous in cote d ivoire abstract this paper investigates whether the sources of income not just the levels determine whether an individual is monogamous our results support the idea that polygyny stunts development by allowing wealthy men to acquire wives rather than investing in child quality

differntial fecundity markets and gender roles women are fecund for a shorter period of their lives than men this paper investigates how differential fecundity interacts with marriage labor and financial markets to affect gender roles the main findings of the paper are as follows i fecund women are relatively scarce men will behave differently than women in response to this scarcity in the most fundamental way demand and supply conditions in the marriage market affect gender roles ii differential fecundity does not have any market invariant gender effect gender roles depend on the way in which marriage labor and financial markets interact iii gender differences in the labor market can occur without corresponding differences in labor market opportunities productivities in child rearing or social norms iv with uncertainty in human capital accumulation and no insurance against this uncertainty the model s predictions are consistent with observed gender roles

europe and central asia s great post communist social health insurance experiment aggregate impacts on health sector outcomes abstract the post communist transition to social health insurance in many of the central and eastern european and central asian countries provides a unique opportunity to try to answer some of the unresolved issues in the debate over the relative merits of social health insurance and tax financed health systems this paper employs regression based generalizations of the difference in differences method on panel data from 28 countries for the period 1990 2004 we find that controlling for any concurrent provider payment reforms adoption of social health insurance increased national health spending and hospital activity rates but did not lead to better health outcomes

polygyny fertility and savings sub saharan africa has a high incidence of polygyny it is also the poorest region of the world in this paper i ask whether banning polygyny could play any role for development using a quantitative model of polygyny i find that enforcing monogamy lowers fertility shrinks the spousal age gap and reverses the direction of marriage payments polygyny leads to high bride prices to ration women which makes buying wives and selling daughters a good investment thus crowding out investment in physical assets for reasonable parameter values i find that banning polygyny decreases fertility by 40 percent increases savings by 70 percent and increases output per capita by 170 percent

does tourism influence economic growth a dynamic panel data approach on average tourism specialized countries grow more than others this is not consistent with the core of modern economic growth theory that suggests that economic growth is linked to sectors with high tech intensity and large scale in this article we use appropriate panel data methods to study the relationship between tourism and economic growth in general we show that tourism is a positive determinant of economic growth both in a broad sample of countries and in a sample of poor countries however contrary to previous contributions tourism is not more relevant in small countries than in a general sample this is a fully modified version of a working paper co authored by one of the authors

the impacts of tourism energy consumption and political instability on economic growth in the mena countries using panel data of 24 countries in the middle east and north african mena region from 2001 to 2009 the purpose of this study is to examine the impacts of tourism energy consumption and political instability on economic growth within the neoclassical growth framework to address the objective of this study we utilise both the static panel data approach as well as the dynamic generalised method of moments gmm estimator to examine the impact of candidate variables our results show that energy consumption and tourism significantly contribute to the economic growth of countries in the mena region hence our study lends some support to the existence of the tourism led growth and energy led growth hypotheses in the region in line with our expectation our estimation results also reveal that political instability impedes the process of economic growth and development in the mena region therefore macroeconomic policies to promote expansion in tourism and energy consumption will directly stimulate economic growth additionally efforts to help the region overcome its history of political instability would attract more international tourist arrivals and further invigorate economic growth

revisiting the tourism led growth hypothesis for turkey using the bounds test and johansen approach for cointegration abstract this paper empirically revisits and investigates the tourism led growth tlg hypothesis in the case of turkey by employing the bounds test and johansen approach for cointegration using annual data from 1960 2006 although gunduz and hatemi j 2005 is the tourism led growth hypothesis valid for turkey applied economics letters 12 499 504 support the tlg hypothesis for turkey suggesting unidirectional causation from tourism to economic growth by making use of the leveraged bootstrap causality tests and ongan and demiroz 2005 the contribution of tourism to the long run turkish economic growth ekonomick casopis journal of economics 53 9 880 894 suggest bidirectional causality between international tourism and economic growth in turkey this study does not find any cointegration between international tourism and economic growth in turkey therefore unlike the findings of gunduz and hatemi j 2005 and ongan and demiroz 2005 this study rejects the tlg hypothesis for the turkish economy since no cointegration was found and error correction mechanisms plus causality tests cannot be run for further steps in the long term

on the empirical relationship between tourism and economic growth abstract this paper studies the dynamics of economic growth and tourism evolution for 80 countries during the period 1995 2016 the variables representing economic and tourism growth are growth rates of per capita gdp and international tourist arrivals per inhabitant respectively using the concept of economic regime the paper introduces a notion of distance between the dynamical paths of different countries then a minimal spanning tree and a hierarchical tree are constructed to detect groups of countries sharing similar performance the two main clusters we find can be interpreted as two groups of countries with high and low performance in the tourism sector and are coherent with the business cycle the evolution of such clusters shows three main stylized facts certain countries move across clusters the low performance cluster tends to span while the high performance one tends to be more compact the distance between the two groups increases in time

sex equality and growth abstract we set up a model of economic and demographic long run development where inequality in income and reproductive success polygynous mating plays a central role the model generates a slow and gradual compression of the income gap between landholders and landless together with rising levels of human capital this process spurts at some stage as society endogenously transits into sustained growth simultaneously inequality in income and reproductive success drops society becomes monogamous

equity and equality in health and health care this paper explores four definitions of equity in health care equality of utilization distribution according to need equality of access and equality of health we argue that the definitions of need in the literature are inadequate and propose a new definition we also argue that irrespective of how need and access are defined the four definitions of equity are in general mutually incompatible in contrast to previous authors we suggest that equality of health should be the dominant principle and that equity in health care should therefore entail distributing care in such a way as to get as close as is feasible to an equal distribution of health

tourism led growth hypothesis in the top ten tourist destinations new evidence using the quantile on quantile approach this paper examines the empirical validity of the tourism led growth hypothesis in the top ten tourist destinations in the world china france germany italy mexico russia spain turkey the united kingdom and the united states using the quantile on quantile qq approach and a new index of tourism activity that combines the most commonly used tourism indicators this methodology recently introduced by sim and zhou 2015 provides an ideal framework with which to capture the overall dependence structure between tourism development and economic growth the empirical results primarily show a positive relation between tourism and economic growth for the ten countries considered with substantial variations across countries and across quantiles within each country the weakest links are noted for china and germany possibly because of the limited importance of the tourism sector relative to other major economic activities in those countries important country specific policy implications may be drawn from these findings

marriage laws and growth in sub saharan africa many sub saharan african countries are extremely poor it has been argued that the marriage system in particular polygyny is one contributing factor to the lack of development in this region polygyny leads to low incentives to save depressing the capital stock and output enforcing monogamy might seem like an obvious solution however such a law will have winners and losers in this paper we investigate the transition from a polygynous to a monogamous steady state we find that the initial old men will be big losers the reason is that they had married many wives in anticipation of the brideprice that future daughters will fetch however due to the marriage reform the value of daughters depreciates rapidly as the brideprice changes from positive to negative this increases savings and thereby the aggregate capital stock the interest rate falls and the initial young suffer a loss in capital income thus all men alive during the reform period experience a loss in utility young women and all future generations will benefit however the future gains are not enough to compensate the losers this may explain why many african countries experience strong resistance to changing their marriage laws

tourism trade and growth the case of cyprus although the relationship between international trade and economic growth has found a wide application area in the literature over the years this can not be said about tourism and growth or trade and tourism this study employs the bounds test for cointegration and granger causality tests to investigate a long run equilibrium relationship between tourism trade and real income growth and the direction of causality among themselves for cyprus results reveal that tourism trade and real income growth are cointegrated thus a long run equilibrium relationship can be inferred between these three variables on the other hand granger causality test results suggest that real income growth stimulates growth in international trade both exports and imports and international tourist arrivals to the island furthermore growth in international trade both exports and imports also stimulates an increase in international tourist arrivals to cyprus and finally real import growth stimulate growth in real export

corporate governance tourism growth and firm performance evidence from publicly listed tourism firms in five middle eastern countries this study explores the under researched relationship between corporate governance and firm performance in tourism companies we employ instrumental variable modelling using 2sls for publicly listed firms in five countries in the middle east board independence is found to be positively related to firm performance and stock performance suggesting that having independent directors among board members will improve overall firm performance board size shows opposing results large boards enhance firm profitability however small boards exhibit more efficient stock performance finally we support the tourism led growth hypothesis in our selected sample these findings have empirical implications for policy makers governments and academics

equity in the finance and delivery of health care some tentative cross country comparisons textabstractequity is widely acknowledged to be an important goal in the field of health care indeed mclachlan and maynard 1982 have gone so far as to suggest that the vast majority of the population would elect for equity to be the prime consideration p 556 a view endorsed by mooney 1986 p 145 several researchers have investigated how successful their own country s delivery and or financing system is in achieving its stated equity goals in general the strategy of these studies is to compare the current situation with some ideal or target situation le grand 1978 for example in what has become a classic study in the field compares the distributions across socio economic groups of illness and public expenditure on health care in britain in 1972 and concludes that the national health service nhs has failed to achieve equity in the delivery of health care

the oregon health insurance experiment evidence from the first year in 2008 a group of uninsured low income adults in oregon was selected by lottery to be given the chance to apply for medicaid this lottery provides an opportunity to gauge the effects of expanding access to public health insurance on the health care use financial strain and health of low income adults using a randomized controlled design in the year after random assignment the treatment group selected by the lottery was about 25 percentage points more likely to have insurance than the control group that was not selected we find that in this first year the treatment group had substantively and statistically significantly higher health care utilization including primary and preventive care as well as hospitalizations lower out of pocket medical expenditures and medical debt including fewer bills sent to collection and better self reported physical and mental health than the control group

foreign informational lobbying can enhance tourism evidence from the caribbean there exist legal channels for informational lobbying of u s policymakers by foreign principals foreign governments and private sector principals frequently and intensively use this institutional channel to lobby on trade and tourism issues this paper empirically studies whether such lobbying effectively achieves its goal of trade promotion in the context of caribbean tourism and suggests the potential for using foreign lobbying as a vehicle for development panel data are used to explore and quantify the association between foreign lobbying by caribbean principals and u s tourist arrivals to caribbean destinations a variety of sensitivity analyses support the finding of a strong association the policy implications are obvious and potentially important for developing countries

the mystery of monogamy we examine why developed societies are monogamous while rich men through out history have typically practiced polygyny wealth inequality naturally pro duces multiple wives for rich men in a standard model of the marriage market however we demonstrate that higher female inequality in the marriage market reduces polygyny moreover we show that female inequality increases in the process of development as women are valued more for the quality of their chil dren than for the quantity consequently male inequality generates inequality in the number of wives per man in traditional societies but manifests itself as inequality in the quality of wives in developed societies jel j12 j16 j24 z13

exploring the regional distribution of tourism and the extent to which there is convergence abstract in this paper we test the hypothesis of convergence in a set of twelve of the main tourism source markets of spain over a time period that ranges from january 2000 to september 2015 we analyse the potential convergence by following an econometric strategy consisting of three different methodologies firstly we test for the presence of full convergence in the dataset by means of the panel stationary test developed by hadri 2000 next we conduct a robustness check for the full convergence hypothesis by considering the potential existence of structural breaks in the dataset through the test proposed by carrion i silvestre et al 2005 finally the hypothesis of club convergence philips and sul 2007 is also tested the results point to absence of full convergence even when controlling for structural breaks while three different clubs of convergence are found we discuss potential policy implications that can be extracted from these results

measuring progress towards universal health coverage with an application to 24 developing countries the last few years have seen a growing commitment worldwide to universal health coverage uhc yet there is a lack of clarity on how to measure progress towards uhc this paper proposes a mashup index that captures both aspects of uhc that everyone irrespective of their ability to pay gets the health services they need and that nobody suffers undue financial hardship as a result of receiving care service coverage is broken down into prevention and treatment and financial protection into impoverishment and catastrophic spending nationally representative household survey data are used to adjust population averages to capture inequalities between the poor and better off nonlinear tradeoffs are allowed between and within the two dimensions of the uhc index and all indicators are expressed such that scores run from 0 to 100 and higher scores are better in a sample of 24 countries for which there are detailed information on uhc inspired reforms a cluster of high performing countries emerges with uhc scores of between 79 and 84 brazil colombia costa rica mexico and south africa and a cluster of low performing countries emerges with uhc scores in the range 35 57 ethiopia guatemala india indonesia and vietnam countries have mostly improved their uhc scores between the earliest and latest years for which there are data by about 5 points on average however the improvement has come from increases in receipt of key health interventions not from reductions in the incidence of out of pocket payments on welfare

polygyny women s rights and development many sub saharan african countries are extremely poor it has been argued that the marriage system in particular polygyny is one contributing factor to the lack of development in this region however enforcing monogamy has proved to be very difficult in this paper i argue that transferring the right of choosing a husband from fathers to daughters might be an alternative policy that could potentially be easier to enforce i use a calibrated general equilibrium model of polygyny to analyze such a policy i find that giving daughters more choices has similar economic effects as a ban on polygyny both policies decrease the return on wives for men and thereby raise the incentive to invest in alternative assets this increases the capital stock and hence gdp per capita quantitatively however i find that enforcing monogamy has much larger effects jel e0 o11 o55 j12 j13