game shows and economic behavior risk taking on card sharks this paper studies individual risk taking behavior with a unique data set risky decisions of contestants during the threeyear history of the television game show card sharks in the bonus round of the game individuals choose how much to wager on positive expected value gambles with known and varying probabilities and large possible payouts since no special skills or knowledge are involved empirical analysis is not complicated by a contestant s superior information about her own abilities stakes can reach 16 000 and average 3 200 few experimental budgets permit even one observation of this magnitude first i simply estimate how risk averse contestants behave under the assumption of expected utility maximization i estimate a lower bound for the coefficient of absolute risk aversion of 0 00031 which when multiplied by per capita u s personal income gives an estimate of relative risk aversion of 4 8 this estimate is higher than most econometric estimates of risk aversion contestants however do not act in a manner consistent with expected utility maximization so this number should not be given a structural interpretation rather it is simply a useful way to summarize average willingness to bear risk of individuals on the show second i explore how individual behavior is inconsistent with expected utility theory the amount a contestant wishes to wager depends critically on the amount of wealth she has accumulated in the bonus round and therefore on the size of the stakes this is at odds with expected utility theory since the size of the stakes although far from insignificant is small relative to a person s wealth contestants should then have close to constant absolute risk aversion with respect to accumulated winnings in the game a more striking result deals with contestants who had previ

energy conservation more effective with rebound policy this article sketches the problem of indirect energy use effects also known as rebound of energy conservation there is widespread support for energy conservation especially when it is voluntary as this seems a cheap way to realize environmental and energy climate goals however this overlooks the phenomenon of rebound the topic of energy rebound has mainly attracted attention from energy analysts but has been surprisingly neglected in environmental economics even though economists generally are concerned with indirect or economy wide impacts of technical change and policies this paper presents definitions and interpretations of energy and environmental rebound as well as four fundamental reasons for the existence of the rebound phenomenon it further offers the most complete list of rebound pathways or mechanisms available in the literature in addition it discusses empirical estimates of rebound and addresses the implications of uncertainties and difficulties in assessing rebound suggestions are offered for strategies and public policies to contain rebound it is advised that rebound evaluation is an essential part of environmental policy and project assessments as opposed to earlier studies this paper stresses the relevance of the distinction between energy conservation resulting from autonomous demand changes and from efficiency improvements in technology equipment in addition it argues that rebound is especially relevant for developing countries

innovation and growth supply and demand factors in the recent us expansion it is widely held that the social economic context of the us characterised by labour market flexibility and deregulation of product and capital markets lies at the basis of the innovative capacity displayed by the country s productive system in the 1990s thus accounting for the growth differential with europe starting from a different interpre tative model of innovation and growth the paper focuses on both supply institutional and technological and demand factors it is argued that when their interaction is taken into account there is no strong evidence that more deregulated labour and product markets are among the factors allowing for us growth in accordance with the view that there is no single road to innovation and growth this leaves room for the exploration and implementation of policies that might reconcile innovation and growth with safeguards such as those provided by europe s social institutions

games with unique mixed strategy equilibria an experimental study abstract the results of an experiment studying the choices of subjects playing mixed extensions of three variants of simple 2 2 non constant sum strictly competitive games of the same form matching pennies are presented subjects exhibited a variety of behavioral adaptive learning strategies this heterogeneity of individual behavior produced aggregate dynamics whose estimated steady states are quite different from those predicted by the nash equilibria of those stage games with asymmetrical payoff functions the observed aggregative dynamics are well accounted for both by a quantal equilibrium model of mckelvey and palfrey and by a learning model of roth and erev journal of economic literature classification number c72

social skills from mass higher education rethinking the company based initial training paradigm ulis is an essay in the literal sense that it is tentative i wantto argue in it that we need to rethink the relationship in the uk between education initial vocational training and the functioning of labour markets this is because the reality of dra matic recent and on going changes in post 16 education towards sharply increasingpost 16 stay ing on and university participation rates and in skills requirements of companies in the uk towards broad social and organizational skills bears little relation to the focus of labour market policy and of much academic debate on initial training particularly for 16and 17 year old school leavers the basic mistake in uk policy development has been a failure to understand that the uk does not have the underlying socio eco n mic institutions which both germany and japan have and which are needed for an effective system of company based initial training nor for that matter does the us and it is suggested here that we should look closely at america as an economy with similar underlying socio economic institu tions to our own if we are to understand recent changes in uk education and labour maiket pat te ns what the uk has to learn from the us is the

the failure of training in britain analysis and prescription in the last decade education and training et reform has become a major issue in many of the world s industrial powers one theme which runs throughout these reform initiatives is the need to adapt et systems to the changing economic environment these changes include the increasing integration of world markets the shift in mass manufacturing towards newly developed nations and the rapid development of new technologies most notably information technologies education and training are seen to play a crucial role in restoring or maintaining international competitiveness both on the macro level by easing the transition of the workforce into new industries and at the micro level where firms producing high quality specialized goods and services require a well qualified workforce capable of rapid adjustment in the work process and continual product innovation this paper will highlight the need for policy makers and academics to take account of the two way nature of the relationship between et and the economy

creating self sustaining high skill ecosystems geographic clusters of high technology companies are an increasingly important source of wealth and job creation in the advanced industrial countries this article provides a framework for understanding the conditions that give rise to these self sustaining high skill ecosystems hses that is based on the cases of the highly successful biomedical and computer hardware and software firms clustered in northern and southern california the framework identifies four requirements that hses share in common with natural ecosystems a catalyst to trigger the start of their development ongoing nourishment a supportive host environment and a high degree of interdependence among the actors in the system the framework is then applied to the uk identifying those policy options that are necessary for gaining greater returns from the uk s strong research base

economic development strategies and macro and micro level human resource policies the case of india s outsourcing industry this detailed case study of india s outsourcing industry illustrates the challenges in linking macro and micro human resource policies with an economic development strategy based on export oriented services the rapid expansion in the outsourcing of services to india has raised the possibility that this sector will be a key engine of india s economic growth based on extensive field research carried out over a four year period the authors of this study argue that four interrelated human resource policy challenges threaten the outsourcing industry s growth two macro problems current skill shortages and the inability of the country to produce higher levels of skills for the long term growth and sustainability of the industry and two micro problems very high levels of employee turnover and rapidly increasing employee costs the authors evaluate current policy responses and suggest options

measurement of energy rebound effect in households evidence from residential electricity consumption in beijing china abstract energy efficiency improvement policies have special significance for carbon emissions reduction and the mitigation of the effects of climate change however the energy rebound effect caused by technological progress will indirectly increase energy consumption the magnitude of the rebound effect largely determines the effectiveness of energy efficiency in mitigating energy consumption this study reviews the main theory behind estimated methods of energy rebound effect measurement focuses on constructing a double logarithm energy demand model and an error correction model of the asymmetric demand responses of electricity price changes to empirically analyse the direct rebound effect on residential electricity use in beijing it integrates consumer s demand theory with the embodied electricity of household spending from a seven sector environmental energy input output e i o analysis to estimate the indirect rebound effect the three income elasticity weight change and proportional re spending scenario simulation results show that residential electricity use in beijing exhibits a partial rebound effect and the long term direct and indirect rebound effects are 46 to 56 and the short term direct rebound effect is 24 to 37 finally the direct and indirect energy rebound effect for various income groups needs further research an appropriate policy mix should be adopted to mitigate effectively the rebound effect in china s current lower energy price and lower energy efficiency market

an experiment on risk taking and evaluation periods does the period over which individuals evaluate outcomes influence their investment in risky assets results from this study show that the more frequently returns are evaluated the more risk averse investors will be the results are in line with the behavioral hypothesis of myopic loss aversion which assumes that people are myopic in evaluating outcomes over time and are more sensitive to losses than to gains the results have relevance for the equity premium puzzle and also for the marketing strategies of fund managers

environmental rebounds backfires macroeconomic implications for the promotion of environmentally friendly products abstract this paper develops a dynamic two good clean and dirty goods two sector model to explore the implications of the macroeconomic environmental rebound backfire effect for environmentally friendly product promotions on not only the demand side a subsidy on the clean good consumption but also the supply side a technology promotion in the clean good production the macroeconomic environmental rebound backfire is decomposed into three effects the substitution wealth and sectoral reallocation effects we show that the steady state pollution stock exhibits a u shaped relationship with either demand side or supply side green promotions our calibrated result indicates that in terms of pollution the macroeconomic rebound effectfor the economy as a whole appears to be substantial more pronounced rebound effects are present when the elasticity of substitution between the clean and dirty good consumption is lower the labor supply is more elastic the environmental efficiency of clean goods is lower and the technology level in the clean good production is higher we also show that a pollution rebound can result in a social welfare improvement implying that the rebound effect somewhat improves economic efficiency and so policies aimed at mitigating the rebound effect may be counterproductive from a welfare perspective

dealing with environmental savings in a dynamical economy how to stop chasing your tail in the pursuit of sustainability abstract in most countries people are urged to change their pattern of consumption and lifestyle in a less energy consuming and more environmental friendly direction but gains in ecoefficiency are likely to be annihilated by a larger consumption the so called rebound effect resulting in an increased throughput in the economy here is an obvious contradiction another contradiction entails from the fact that most governments strive to promote economic growth which includes increased consumption the paper takes a look at various means to handle these contradictions in order to avoid or balance the rebound effect environmental policies including such measures as green taxes may redirect consumption from one kind to another but this demands that the alternative spending is less harmful than the one dissuaded from two other tested means are to alter the sector mix of the economy and to shorten the working hours work sharing to match the increasing efficiency

global policy developments towards industrial policy and skills skills for competitiveness and growth there is a rising interest in both skills policy and industrial policy in oecd countries following the economic downturn but how can skills policy best support industrial growth in the uk the coalition government is arguing for an industrial policy which is bottom up supporting networks of employers and helping to build productive local supply chains there is simultaneous investment in a more employer led skills policy in order to better tackle skills shortages and gaps but is an employer led skills policy the best way of boosting industrial growth in all uk regions are there potential market failures in employer led policies of which the public sector should be aware this article warns against taking an overly simplistic approach to skills development arguing that while skills policies should be flexible to the needs of employers there is still justification for investing in a broad educational curriculum at the local level further policy makers may need proactively to help employers to better use skills in some regions in order to boost productivity and growth

an assessment of the singapore skills development system does it constitute a viable model for other developing countries abstract in this paper we briefly describe the institutional background of singapore s successful national skills development model we devise a tentative framework to evaluate national level skills development efforts and we use it to assess the singapore model we argue that the model has the potential to move constantly toward higher skills equilibria we question however the long term sustainability of the model and whether it is transferable to other developing countries we conclude with some principles that other countries might use in organizing their own skills development systems

impact caps why population affluence and technology strategies should be abandoned abstract this paper classifies strategies to reduce environmental impact according to the terms of the i pat formula policies limiting resource depletion and pollution impact by heavily taxing resources or rationing them on a country basis are thus called direct or left side strategies other policies to achieve the environmental goal of lowering impact strive to limit population and affluence or to use technology to lower the ratio of resource inputs to goods and services outputs next it is shown that lowering any of these right side factors causes or at least enables the other two to rise or rebound this has two consequences 1 since i pat does not express these interdependencies on the right side it is more accurately written i f p a t and 2 success in lowering any of the right side factors does not necessarily lower impact rationing or pigouvian taxation of resources or pollution on the other hand necessarily lower impact and are therefore preferable to population consumption and technological environmental strategies finally lifestyle and technology changes towards more sufficiency and efficiency would follow the caps as consumers and producers work to retain the greatest amount of welfare within the limits given

the evolution of preferences and competition a rationalization of veblen s theory of invidious comparisons we examine how preferences evolve by natural selection in a competitive environment similar to that characterizing much of our evolutionary past we find that the evolutionarily stable preferences in this context exhibit a concern not only for absolute payoffs but also for relative payoffs and that this intensifies the degree of competition relative to what obtains when players consider only absolute payoffs we argue that this has consequences for the equilibrium population size we argue that the premise of this analysis is consistent with the available anthropological evidence and that the prediction is broadly consistent with the findings of experimental game theory

continuity and evolution in an old industrial region the labour market dynamics of the rise and fall of northern rock dawley s marshall n pike a pollard j and tomaney j continuity and evolution in an old industrial region the labour market dynamics of the rise and fall of northern rock regional studies the northern rock mortgage bank was a high profile casualty of the credit crunch in 2007 an evolutionary geographical political economy approach demonstrates that northern rock s growth and decline was shaped by its location in an old industrial region and echoes the historical position of the peripheral region in the spatial division of labour a longitudinal investigation focuses on the labour market dynamics of northern rock s rapid growth and decline on the north east of england the northern rock case highlights the enduring occupational structure of the region s labour market and shows how older industrial regions suffer from a process of occupational disadvantage that restricts their ability to adapt to economic change

happy degrowth through more amateur economy abstract this paper outlines a simple aggregate descriptive model of what is here termed a whole economy covering all human involvement in the economy from ultimate means or ecological sacrifices to the ultimate ends of human satisfaction the model embraces not only the formal professional economy driven by money but also the parallel non paid voluntary economy here termed amateur economy driven by peoples affective motivations the input of work to the economy plays an essential role in the paper s analysis of options for reducing ecological sacrifices hence part of the paper is devoted to a brief historical overview of the role of work including turning points in the 1930s in the united states when work sharing was displaced by work creation through consumerism and in the post war economy when gdp became the dominant economic indicator the paper proposes the aim of a happy and sustainable degrowth for affluent countries implying the transfer of some activities from the professional economy to the less labor productive amateur economy this will tend to reduce overall labor productivity and hence resource throughput but increase satisfaction and happiness a key element in the analysis is combining a reduction in consumption with a reduction in production which is obtainable through lowering either working time or work productivity and turning some of the leisure time into voluntary activities economic growth is not a law of nature but the consequence of explicit political decisions taken hence growth is also open to new political decisions in recognition of physical limits to growth and the human quest for replacing economic growth with life satisfaction including increased free time

imperfect information and the meltzer richard hypothesis standard majority voting models predict that redistribution is positively linked to the mean to median income ratio but empirical evidence is mixed this paper shows that the different empirical reactions to rising mean to median income ratios can be rationalized in a simple romer roberts meltzer richard framework with imperfect information in such a model it is important to consider the source of rising mean to median ratios income growth of the poor can lead to less redistribution as more agents perceive themselves to be rich which tends to reduce the support for redistribution an empirical application reveals that the model can explain a substantial part of the first reagan tax cut

contextual inference in markets on the informational content of product lines context can influence decisions this malleability of choice is usually invoked as evidence that people do not maximize stable preference orderings in a market equilibrium however context conveys payoff relevant information to consumers consequently these consumers rationally violate naive formulations of standard choice theoretic principles i identify informational asymmetries under which apparently anomalous behaviors namely the compromise effect and choice overload arise as market equilibria firms respond to consumers contextual inference in case of the compromise effect a firm may introduce premium loss leaders expensive goods of overly high quality that increase the demand for other goods

choice based on reasons the case of attraction and compromise effects building on previous research this article proposes that choice behavior under preference uncertainty may be easier to explain by assuming that consumers select the alternative supported by the best reasons this approach provides an explanation for the so called attraction effect and leads to the prediction of a compromise effect consistent with the hypotheses the results indicate that 1 brands tend to gain share when they become compromise alternatives in a choice set 2 attraction and compromise effects tend to be stronger among subjects who expect to justify their decisions to others and 3 selections of dominating and compromise brands are associated with more elaborate and difficult decisions

why are so many goods priced to end in nine and why this practice hurts the producers abstract the widespread phenomenon of goods being priced at d dollars and 99 cents is explained without abandoning the assumption of full rationality and it is shown that as a consequence of such pricing it is the producers who are generally worse off

positive and negative feedback in consequential life cycle assessment abstract in this paper we develop a typology of consequences that can be used for environmental assessments of investment in technologies as an illustration we estimate how the inclusion of different cause effect chains could affect the estimated greenhouse gas emissions resulting from buying and using a fuel cell bus today in contrast to earlier studies we include cause effect chains containing positive feedback from adoption e g economies of scale and learning we discuss how our findings affect the usefulness and limitations of consequential life cycle assessment lca and how lca methodology in more general can be used to support strategic technology choice a major conclusion is that environmental assessments of investment in emerging technologies should not only include effects resulting from marginal change of the current system but also marginal contributions to radical system change

the local low skills equilibrium moving from concept to policy utility it is more than three decades since the publication of finegold and soskice s 1988 influential article the failure of training in britain analysis and prescription this widely cited publicati

rank as an inherent incentive evidence from a field experiment abstract money is the prime incentive considered in economic models however recent evidence indicates that people are also greatly concerned about their social rankings is this solely because rank brings tangible benefits or because in addition people have an inherent preference for high rank this paper deployed a field experiment that provides evidence for an inherent preference in the experiment vietnamese students enrolled in an english course performed significantly better on the official standardized international final test when they were told their rankings on practice tests than when they were not this result held even when this ranking information could not be reliably communicated thus severely attenuating the potential to bring tangible or status benefits

cognitive dissonance status and growth of the underclass we present a model of cognitive adaptation to examine the growth and behaviours of the underclass in the model individuals experiencing cognitive dissonance between status seeking and social recognition adapt their attitudes regarding what is deemed status worthy this yields the endogenous formation of an underclass in which non pecuniary social returns counteract the effect of traditional incentives i e wages in motivating behaviour by gaining insight into the process of psychological adaptation of those living in poverty the paper sheds light on economic policies that mitigate the disenfranchisement and hence the growth of the underclass

a time use perspective on the materials intensity of consumption abstract the ecological requirements to drastically increase the productivity of materials use call for improvements in the efficiency of consumption this eco efficiency discussion often takes a functional view on consumption noting that present consumption is inefficient and that it is not the products that the consumers want but the services that the products yield however contemporary consumption serves many needs that are not functional and universal but subjective and obscured from the producers this paper develops a time use approach towards consumption which makes allowance for the subjectivity of needs while still enabling the analysts to approach the concept of a sustainable lifestyle a distinctive premise of the analysis is that it assumes time and money not to be interchangeable and consumption to be limited by available consumption time instead of purchasing power this approach is demonstrated by linking the direct and the indirect energy use of finnish two person households to the data of a national time use survey the results are used to point out some of the potential time use rebound effects of such new eco efficient services that transfer activities from private households to the market actors

a natural experiment in jeopardy this paper uses the television game show jeopardy as a natural experiment to analyze behavior under uncertainty and the ability of players to choose strategic best responses the results suggest that while most players bet in a rational manner the failure rate for choosing best responses increases as the betting problem grows more complex and that players choices are affected by the frame of the problem however suboptimal betting tends to decrease as inferior players are driven from the game the data also allow for estimation of the extent of risk aversion the results imply near risk neutrality jel c72 c93

last place aversion evidence and redistributive implications we present evidence from laboratory experiments showing that individuals are last place averse participants choose gambles with the potential to move them out of last place that they reject when randomly placed in other parts of the distribution in modified dictator games participants randomly placed in second to last place are the most likely to give money to the person one rank above them instead of the person one rank below last place aversion suggests that low income individuals might oppose redistribution because it could differentially help the group just beneath them using survey data we show that individuals making just above the minimum wage are the most likely to oppose its increase similarly in the general social survey those above poverty but below median income support redistribution significantly less than their background characteristics would predict jel codes h23 d31 c91

the sufficiency strategy would rich world frugality lower environmental impact abstract one alleged weapon against unsustainable environmental impact is for the wealthy to consume less this sufficiency strategy is to complement the efficiency strategy of lowering ratios of resource inputs to economic outputs the former would reduce the affluence factor in i pat the latter the technology factor that the latter strategy suffers from a consumption rebound is widely recognized this paper identifies a similar rebound when the affluence factor is autonomously lowered the lower initial demand lowers prices which in turn stimulates new demand by others the strategy moreover addresses only the rich raising questions of its theoretical maximum efficacy its proponents usually conflate frugality with the north south dichotomy and intra generational with inter generational equity moreover there are difficulties with the supporting arguments that frugality is good for one s own sake as well as for the environment and that the rich should lead the way to living more lightly personal behaviour change is furthermore not a substitute for international political efforts finally since all changes in right side factors of the i pat equation change other right side factors such indirect attacks on impact should be abandoned in favor of supply and emissions quotas