political support and tax reforms with an application to italy in 2001 the italian government introduced a personal income tax reform to be implemented in successive phases in 2004 taxes were reduced to all income levels with higher gains for low income and high income individuals than for middle income ones a large debate arised this paper explores the political economy reasons under this tax reform mainly the attempt of the government to attract the uncertain voters swing voters a probabilistic voting model is introduced to capture the importance of swing voters the model predicts that the average personal income tax rate tends to be lower for groups of lower income higher preference for leisure and containing more politically mobile voters swing voters however data from italian polls show that while the tax reform was a good strategy to attract swing voters the specific design of the reform which favored high income and low income individuals but not the middle class was not the more appropriate strategy

entry into pharmaceutical submarkets a bayesian panel probit analysis summary we study entry into pharmaceutical submarkets by using a dynamic panel probit model we develop a bayesian version of wooldridge s approach to dealing with unobserved heterogeneity we distinguish between greenfield entry entry with first product and undifferentiated entry which may take the form of introducing further products we extend the standard reduced form model to consider company size in the submarket and across all submarkets we find that greenfield and undifferentiated entries have different determinants that global and submarket size measures have different effects and that sunk costs often have positive effects on entry due to a commitment mechanism copyright 2012 john wiley sons ltd

tests of a rational theory of the size of government in many countries the political party holding power changes more frequently than the trend growth rates in government spending and taxes shifts of political power are often preceded by rhetoric about meeting needs or cutting taxes which post election performances rarely match yet changes in the size of government up and down occur on average the size of government measured by the share of taxes or spending to output has increased in many countries during the past century but changes in size occur at diffrent rates and at times the relative size of government declines

the role of informal capital on new venture formation and growth in china this study examines the nature and role of informal capital used by micro firms in the dynamic emerging market of china using a unique source of data for 260 urban entrepreneurs this study provides empirical evidence that entrepreneurs personal savings and family funding are important sources of start up capital however household income was found to be the most important funding source in driving firm growth over time this research directly addresses the lacuna of studies on entrepreneurship in emerging economies and contributes to our understanding of the critical role informal capital plays in the chinese entrepreneurial process overall findings suggest that informal capital is still predominantly used over formal capital sources for financing firm start up underscoring the slow transition in china from an emerging to a modern economy

unemployment with observable aggregate shocks a general equilibrium model of optimal employment contracts is developed where firms have better information about labor s marginal product than workers it is optimal for the wage to be tied to the level of employment to prevent the firm from falsely stating that the marginal product is low and cutting the wage it is shown that an observed aggregate shock that leads to an interindustry shift in labor demand and that would have no effect on total employment under symmetric information leads to a reduction in employment when firms and workers have asymmetric information

do price earnings ratios explain investment decisions better than tobin s q evidence from german firm level data abstractthis article tests the additional information content of price earnings ratios with respect to tobin s q in explaining firms investment behaviour while tobin s q describes the expected future earnings related to those projected by the book value the price earnings ratio compares future growth of earnings based on the projection of current earnings in other words a high price earnings ratio might indicate that investors are willing to rely on future earnings growth even though current earnings are low by using an unbalanced panel of about 500 listed firms from germany over the period 1987 2007 we find that including the price earnings ratio in the investment equation does not change the explanatory power of tobin s q most notably the price earnings ratio exerts a positive and significant impact on investment these results are robust to the inclusion of a measure of the firm s internal funds and of fixed effects and also to the use of different estimators

financial systems financing constraints and investment empirical analysis of oecd countries this paper investigates the influence of cash flow on corporate investment in 11 oecd countries we find that the sensitivity of investment levels to internally available funds differs significantly across countries and is lower in countries with predominantly close bank firm relationships than in countries with predominantly arm s length bank firm relationships at the same time we find no relationship of the levels of financial constraints to indicators of overall financial development our results are consistent with the view that information and incentive problems in the capital market have important effects on corporate investment and that close bank firm relationships can reduce these problems and thus improve the access of firms to external finance

a study of the impact of sectoral shifts on aggregate unemployment in canada the recent trend in macro economic literature has been to explain cycles in aggregate output and employment in terms of unexpected nominal shocks only in these models the natural rate of unemployment is constant this paper diverges from this approach and following a recent paper by david lilien 1982 considers the impact of real as well as nominal variables the main findings are 1 a significant part of the fluctuations in the canadian unemployment over the 1957 83 period was caused by real shocks to the economy and 2 most of the transmission of the business cycle from the united states to canada is effected through real variables as well une etude de limpact de deplacements sectoriels sur le niveau de ch6mage agrege au canada dans la litterature macroeconomique recente on a eu tendance a expliquer les cycles dans le niveau de la production et de l emploi a peu pres strictement en termes de chocs nominaux non anticipes dans ces modeles le taux de ch6mage naturel est constant ce memoire prend des distances par rapport a cette approche et suit pluto t la direction suggeree par un memoire recent de david lilien qui considere l impact des variables reelles tout autant que celui des variables nominales les resultats principaux sont 1 une portion significative des fluctuations dans le niveau du chomage canadien entre 1957 et 1983 a et causee par des chocs reels subis par l economie 2 le gros de h1 transmission du cycle economique des etats unis vers le canada se fait par le truchement des variables reelles

firm growth and liquidity constraints a dynamic analysis using a large unbalanced panel data set of portuguese manufacturing firms surviving over the period from 1990 to 2001 the purpose of this paper is to examine whether liquidity constraints faced by business firms affect firm growth we use a gmm system to estimate a dynamic panel data model of firm growth that incorporates cash flow as a measure of liquidity constraints and persistence of growth the model is estimated for all size classes including micro firms our findings reveal that smaller and younger firms have higher growth cash flow sensitivities than larger and more mature firms this is consistent with the suggestion that financial constraints on firm growth may be relatively more severe for small and young firms nevertheless the same finding can be interpreted in a different way if we consider the more recent literature which interpret the higher investment cash flow sensitivity of younger and smaller firm in absence of financial market imperfection as the outcome of these firms reaction to the fact that realisation of their cash flows reveals them the direction to go in presence of uncertainty of their growth prospect besides firms that were small and young at the beginning of the sample period exhibited more persistent growth than those that were large and old finally these results have significant policy implications

are there non linearities between sme growth and its determinants a quantile approach this article uses quantile regressions to study the relationship between the growth of portuguese small and medium enterprises smes and its determinants to control a sample selection bias we use a two step estimation in the first stage we verified that past growth size age rd ii debt and rd iii age is a restrictive factor of portuguese sme growth only when there is an increase in size and iv cash flow although a determinant promoting portuguese sme growth regardless of the level of growth takes on greater importance when there is a reduction in size copyright 2010 the author 2010 published by oxford university press on behalf of associazione icc all rights reserved oxford university press

resistance to reform status quo bias in the presence of individual specific uncertainty comment why do governments so often fail to adopt policies which economists consider to be efficiency enhancing our answer to this question relies on uncertainty regarding the distribution of gains and losses from reform we show that there is a bias towards the status quo and hence against efficiency enhancing reforms whenever some of the individual gainers and losers from reform cannot be identified beforehand there are reforms which once adopted will receive adequate political support but would have failed to carry the day ex ante the argument does not rely on risk aversion irrationality or hysteresis due to sunk costs jel d72 f13 why do governments so often fail to adopt policies that economists consider to be efficiency enhancing this is one of the fundamental questions of political economy the answer usually relies on what may be

the optimal elasticity of taxable income abstract the strength of the behavioral response to a tax rate change depends on the environment individuals operate in and may be manipulated by instruments controlled by the government we first derive a measure of the social benefit to affecting this elasticity the paper then examines this effect in the solution to the optimal income taxation problem when such an instrument is available first in a general model and then in an example when the government chooses the income tax base

no deep pockets some stylized empirical results on firms financial constraints this paper is a survey of recent empirical work on financial constraints faced by firms it is organized as a series of stylized results which mirror what is generally understood about the severity of financial constraints and the effects that they have upon firms the review of the literature shows that a financial constraints are a widespread key concern for firms hindering their ability to carry out their optimal investment and growth trajectories and b the severity of such constraints depends on institutional and firm specific characteristics as well as on the nature of investment projects

majority voting with single crossing preferences we clarify and extend a number of sufficient conditions for the existence of a majority voting equilibrium on one dimensional choice domains these conditions variously stated in the previous literature all impose order restrictions on voter preferences for instance monotone marginal rates of substitution which we show to imply or be equivalent to a general ordinal version of the single crossing condition this simple property is economically intuitive and easily checked in applications this ease of application is demonstrated through an examination of voting models of redistributive income taxation and trade union bargaining behaviour

majority voting and the welfare implications of tax avoidance abstract a benchmark result in the political economy of taxation is that majority voting over a linear income tax schedule will result in an inefficiently high tax rate whenever the median voter has a below average income the present paper examines the role of tax avoidance for this welfare result for a right skewed distribution of taxed income we show that the political distortion from majority voting is increasing in the median voter s avoidance vice versa keeping the decisive voter s avoidance constant the political inefficiency is decreasing in the average level of avoidance in the economy

r d investment of electricity generating firms following industry restructuring abstract since electricity market restructuring questions over adequate levels of r d investments persisted using an unbalanced panel data of 70 electricity generating firms across 15 organisations of economic co operation and development countries from 1990 to 2008 this paper empirically examines the impacts of entry liberalization allowing third party access establishing a wholesale market and deregulating a retail market vertical unbundling privatization and firm size on r d investments entry liberalization is associated with a decline in r d investment establishing a wholesale market exhibits the greatest negative effects on r d investment regulated tpa and retail market deregulation also decrease r d the effect of privatization is not independently salient but interacts with a wholesale pool to lower r d investments large firms spend more on r d investment than small firms results indicate that the restructuring of the electricity industry reduces r d investment which may be detrimental to the reliability and the efficiency of the electricity system as well as to the creation and maintenance of the innovation capabilities necessary to address demand and environmental concerns

sectoral shifts unemployment and vacancies an empirical analysis for the netherlands abstract in this paper the correlation between sectoral dispersion of employment growth and unemployment is analyzed empirical results for the netherlands indicate that fluctuations in unemployment are due to aggregate demand factors with no substantial influence of shifts in sectoral demand

sectoral shifts and cyclical unemployment a substantial fraction of cyclical unemployment is better characterized as fluctuations of the frictional or natural rate than as deviations from some relatively stable natural rate shifts of employment demand between sectors of the economy necessitate continuous labor reallocation since it takes time for workers to find new jobs some unemployment is unavoidable this paper presents evidence that most of the unemployment fluctuations of the seventies unlike those in the sixties were induced by unusual structural shifts within the u s economy simple time series models of layoffs and unemployment are constructed that include a measure of structural shifts within the labor market these models are estimated and a derived natural rate series is constructed

where do financial constraints originate from an empirical analysis of adverse selection and moral hazard in capital markets despite the voluminous and growing literature on financial constraints the origins of the constraints are hardly ever empirically analyzed this paper offers such an analysis we study in particular the empirical prevalence of adverse selection and moral hazard in capital markets using a unique survey data on finnish small and medium sized enterprises smes the survey data suggest that adverse selection is empirically more prevalent than moral hazard in the capital markets that the smes face we also find that of the variables indicating the presence of adverse selection and moral hazard the former has more explanatory power in regressions modeling the availability of external finance to the smes than the latter finally we document that our proxies for adverse selection and moral hazard are inversely related to the age of firms just like peter diamond s 1989 model predicts

uncertainty and the employment dynamics of small and large businesses we examine the impact of uncertainty on employment dynamics alternative measures of uncertainty are constructed based on the survey of professional forecasters and regression based forecasting models for gdp growth inflation sp the impact on large businesses are generally non existent or weaker our results suggest that to truly understand the effects of uncertainty on employment dynamics we need to focus on the relatively smaller and entrepreneurial businesses we discuss implications for the framing of economic policy

sectoral shocks and structural unemployment abstract this paper is a first empirical application of the 1988 riordan and staiger paper which showed that in the presence of informational asymmetries between current and potential employees about workers quality abilities sectoral unemployment need not be monotonic in sectoral shocks we find weak evidence in favor of the riordan and staiger model in that the favored sector fills more vacancies the greater is the number of layoffs in the injured sector making use of the empirical implications of the r s model provides no evidence to the suggestive hypothesis that government measures that reduce the number of unemployed workers raise the duration of those who are unemployed in sweden

on income tax avoidance the case of germany abstract we present a micro estimate determining taxed income as a function of gross income and all major deduction options depending on household and asset categories it shows that tax savings strongly increase with increasing income resulting in an effective marginal tax rate 16 percentage points below the legislated one for the highest income groups this calls into question the intended distributional impact of progressive income taxation our estimate suggests aggregate income tax losses to the german fiscal authorities in the order of magnitude of 34 of wage and income taxes paid in 1983 relative to 1994 tax proceeds this percentage would amount to dm 105 b

capital market information and industrial performance the role of west german banks in orthodox theory external capital markets play a dual role supplying various forms of investment finance and disciplining firms which are inefficient or fail to pursue profit goals an extensive literature speaks of the efficiency of external capital markets meaning that firms can make production investment decisions and investors can choose among the securities that represent ownership of firms activities under the assumption that security prices at any time fully reflect all available information fama i970 1 however this concept of efficiency is purely technical it depends critically on what information is available and we know there are problems of appropriability and failure in information markets deriving ultimately from certain peculiarities of information as a commodity arrow i962 thus another growing literature focusses on problems of achieving equilibrium in markets where agents are imperfectly or asymmetrically informed amongst other things this literature shows that informational failures of the kind in question can lead to capital rationing in loan and credit markets and the use of strict collateral requirements as screening devices jaffee and russell i976 stiglitz and weiss i98i cable and turner i983 these may then be expected to affect the efficiency of individual firms and the system as a whole capital shortage implies that some profitable investment opportunities are foregone and production choices may also be distorted by the need to satisfy additional financial constraints contrived to elicit signals of creditworthiness of the firms undertaking them similarly the disciplining role of external capital markets can be impaired by information impactedness williamson i975 and the costs of mobilising and giving effect to shareholders preferences thus in the principal agent framework developed by jensen and meckling i976 and fama i980 the degree of constraint on managerial pursuit of non profit goals as posited by managerial theorists depends on the transactions costs of stock owner intervention the result is an optimal degree of departure from cost minimising profit maximising behaviour determined by the level of transactions costs institutional factors which affect the way information is distributed amongst agents can therefore have an important bearing on allocative and technical efficiency and the west german system of industrial finance provides an in

voting on income tax exemptions most itemized tax exemptions lead to significant deductions for a minority of the population only this raises the question why the majority does not vote for the abolition of these tax privileges in exchange for lower tax rates in this paper we show that a reform proposal may be voted down even when the majority uses the exemption at stake below the average turning to an empirical application we simulate the voting outcome on the proposal to abolish the tax deductibility of commuting expenses in germany our model predicts that this proposal would be rejected even though a comfortable majority has below average deductions

testing uncertainty s effect in real options with multiple capital goods the irreversible investment theory with heterogeneous capital predicts a negative relationship between uncertainty and the investment extensive margin we empirically explore this prediction using plant level data for investment across multiple fixed assets and employ a discrete ordered choice model our results indicate that uncertainty even after controlling for financial constraints induces a negative effect on the extensive margin thereby decreasing the likelihood of investment triggering in more types of capital this effect takes the form of both a higher probability of investment inactivity but also a lower probability of investment triggering in a higher number of capital types

capital markets and corporate control a study of france germany and the uk this paper examines the relation between capital markets and corporate control in france germany and the uk it compares levels of takeover activity in the three countries and describes the degree to which takeovers are associated with changes in corporate control the paper examines the influence of regulation on forms of corporate ownership and control it compares regulation pertaining to the rights of employees managers and shareholders in the three countries and finds that regulatory rules are related to patterns of ownership and control changes the paper suggests that a fundamental objective of control changes is to correct managerial failure and that takeovers are suited to the correction of particular classes of managerial failure that cannot be readily rectified by contracts thus markets with low levels of takeovers may suffer from a low level of correction of managerial failure however by changing ownership takeovers may give rise to an inability of owners to commit themselves to the long term interests of managers and employees as a consequence financial systems with active takeover markets may be associated with inadequate investment in firm specific assets and an unduly short term investment horizon there is therefore a tradeoff between alternative methods of correcting managerial failure this is particularly important for european countries facing an extension of uk takeover activity to the continent the process is being encouraged by the european commission which aims to harmonize regulation on a uk style takeover code harmonization of regulation may have far reaching consequences for the structure of different countries capital markets and in view of the tradeoff is of uncertain merit

outsourcing labor market pooling and labor contracts this paper considers the interaction between input sharing and labor market pooling in urban areas in particular it examines the impact of the size of a city and business risks on the organizational structures of firms located in urban agglomerations and it also discusses the impact of organizational structure on incentives to insure workers against income risks it is shown that manufacturing firms suffer from a coordination game in their decision to outsource production the existence of idiosyncratic risks causes manufacturers to refrain from outsourcing the incentives to offer wage and employment protection to workers are more pronounced when manufacturers outsource the production of their inputs to a local market which mitigates the impact of labor market pooling

a stochastic frontier approach to modelling financial constraints in firms an application to india we propose the use of stochastic frontier approach to modelling financial constraints of firms the main advantage of the stochastic frontier approach over the stylised approaches that use pooled ols or fixed effects panel regression models is that we can not only decide whether or not the average firm is financially constrained but also estimate a measure of the degree of the constraint for each firm and for each time period and also the marginal impact of firm characteristics on this measure we then apply the stochastic frontier approach to a panel of indian manufacturing firms for the 1997 2006 period in our application we highlight and discuss the aforementioned advantages while also demonstrating that the stochastic frontier approach generates regression estimates that are consistent with the stylised intuition found in the literature on financial constraint and the wider literature on the indian credit capital market

tobin s q and financial policy abstract recent research in macroeconomics has emphasized the importance of linking the financial and real sectors and working with optimizing models tobin s q model of investment would appear to provide a framework satisfying these two criteria in contrast to the original presentation of the q model the formal development has not recognized that the firm actively participates in a number of financial markets in this broader context q may be an uninformative and possibly misleading signal for investment expenditures we then endeavor to turn this negative theoretical result to positive advantage in resolving a number of empirical problems with q models

on the public choice critique of welfare economics the public choice literature urges the welfare economist to anticipate how political forces will shape the levels of new policy instruments when government intervenes in a new way this paper argues that the welfare economist should also recognize that new interventions may impact the politically determined levels of existing policy instruments it shows how the introduction of a new instrument can lead to shifts in political coalitions or compromises in existing areas of conflict that can produce significant changes in existing policies such spillover effects can provide new arguments for introducing particular policy interventions even a policy instrument without an obvious welfare economic rationale can change voter coalitions and shift the policy equilibrium in a welfare improving direction

when is gibrat s law a law the purpose of this article is to investigate if the industry context matters for whether gibrat s law is rejected or not using a dataset that consists of all limited firms in five digit nace industries in sweden during 1998 2004 the results reject gibrat s law on an aggregate level since small firms grow faster than large firms however gibrat s law is confirmed about as often as it is rejected when industry specific regressions are estimated it is also found that the industry context e g minimum efficient scale market concentration rate and number of young firms in the industry matters for whether gibrat s law is rejected or not

income tax deductions for losses as insurance the federal income tax allows deductions for some categories of personal losses notably for casualty losses such as destruction of one s home or car and medical expenses above a threshold the latter even with lower marginal rates and further restrictions brought about by the 1986 tax reform involves more than a 3 billion annual revenue loss office of management and budget 1990 1 deductions like these act as partial insurance individuals receive a tax benefit equal to their marginal rate multiplied by the magnitude of their loss however this form of insurance is unnecessary when private insurance is available moreover as will be emphasized here these deductions have a perverse effect because they are allowed only for the uninsured portion of losses this induces individuals to be less protected against risk in the aggregate than if the implicit insurance provided by the tax system were unavailable if the tax rate is sufficiently high individuals would forgo insurance coverage altogether 2 it will be demonstrated that a tax system with no deductions for personal losses pareto dominates the current system these conclusions are demonstrated in section i using a simple model in which risk averse individuals may purchase actuarially fair insurance against loss and individual behavior does not affect the risk of loss no moral hazard section ii considers the applicability of the results when one allows for moral hazard administrative costs and other imperfections it also discusses the applicability of traditional notions of tax equity

investment internal funds and public banking in germany abstract previous studies supposed that low investment cash flow sensitivities of german firms may be caused by a dominance of public banking the paper addresses this assumption and applies a unique accounting dataset of german firms results from a dynamic version of the sales accelerator model show that the dependence of investment spending on internal funds does not significantly differ among firms attached to savings banks cooperative banks or commercial banks thus the importance of the public banking sector in germany may not explain the rather low dependence of german firms on internal funds and public ownership of banks does not seem to be important for reducing financing constraints

investment default propensity score and cash flow sensitivity in six eu member states evidence based on firm level panel data abstractusing a panel data set covering six european countries and 119700 firms 582153 observations over the period 2008 2013 we analyse the cash flow sensitivity of investment spending as most

on the determinants of credit rationing firm level evidence from transition countries abstract using survey data for firms from eastern european transition economies we investigate the determinants of credit rationing our rationing definition incorporates firms whose loan application was rejected but also discouraged potential borrowers we employ a bivariate probit with censoring approach that accounts for the underlying selectivity since rationed firms are a subset of those without a loan we include firm specific attributes related to the alleviation of informational asymmetries and therefore expected to affect credit rationing we find that credit rationing depends on firm size profitability sales growth ownership type legal status sectoral heterogeneity and the country specific level of domestic credit

do liquidity constraints matter in explaining firm size and growth some evidence from the italian manufacturing industry the paper investigates whether liquidity constraints affect firm size and growth dynamics using a large longitudinal sample of italian manufacturing firms we run standard panel data gibrat regressions suitably expanded to take into account liquidity constraints proxied by cash flow scaled by firm sales moreover we characterize the statistical properties of fi rms size growth age and scaled cashflow distributions pooled data show that i liquidity constraints engender a negative statistically significant effect on growth once one controls for size ii smaller firms grow more and experience more volatile growth patterns after controlling for liquidity constraints iii the stronger liquidity constraints the more size negatively affects firm growth we find that pooled size distributions depart from log normality and growth rates are well approximated by fat tailed tent shaped laplace densities we also study the evolution of growth size distributions over time our exercises suggest that the strong negative impact of liquidity constraints on firm growth which was present in the pooled sample becomes ambiguous when one disaggregates across years finally firms who were young and strongly liquidity constrained at the beginning of the sample period grew persistently more than those who were old and weakly liquidity constrained

accounting for unemployment a labour market perspective i examine whether prolonged high unemployment in canada can be attributed to various structural causes rather than to demand deficiency as found by macro econometric models the answer is largely negative neither the dispersion of sectoral growth rates nor excessive and rigid real wages can convincingly account for most unemployment contentions to the contrary are based upon inappropriately partial analyses enduring shifts in industrial structure have if anything been declining labour mobility is high much unemployment lasts too long to be frictional fuller quantitative understanding of the nature of unemployment can be achieved only in a more general framework

tax bases tax rates and the elasticity of reported income abstract tax reforms usually change both tax rates and tax bases using a panel of income tax returns spanning the two major u s tax reforms of the 1980s and a number of smaller tax law changes i find that the elasticity of income reported on personal income tax returns depends on the available deductions this highlights that this key behavioral elasticity is not an immutable parameter but rather that it can be to some extent controlled by policy makers one implication is that base broadening reduces the marginal efficiency cost of taxation the results are very similar for all income categories indicating that the rich are more responsive to tax rates because tax rules that apply to them are different their tax base is narrower the point estimates indicate that the tax reform act of 1986 reduced the marginal cost of collecting a dollar of tax revenue with roughly half of this reduction due to the base broadening and the other half due to the tax rate reduction as a by product the analysis in this paper offers a reconciliation of disparate estimates obtained by previous studies of the tax responsiveness of income

bank loan terms and conditions for eurozone smes the evolution of bank loan price and non price terms and conditions t cs for the 2009 2011 period are investigated using firm level survey data for a sample of eurozone small and medium sized enterprises the raw firm responses which are of a discrete nature denoting tightening or easing of the t cs or no change at all are modeled by a bivariate ordered probit model according to the results obtained there are sizeable differences between countries with the protagonists of the sovereign debt crisis greece ireland portugal spain exhibiting predicted probabilities of tightening that are considerably above the eurozone average in addition price t cs exhibit a substantial tightening over time finally firms net interest expenses and profitability emerge as important determinants in explaining the cross sectional variation in bank loan t cs that they face

loan availability and investment can innovative companies better cope with loan denials this study examines the consequences of loan denials for the investment performance of small and medium sized german enterprises as a consequence of a loan denial innovative companies experience a smaller drop in the share of actual to planned investment than noninnovative companies the nonrandomness of loan denials is controlled for with a selection equation employing the intensity of banking competition at the district level as an exclusion restriction we can explain the better performance of innovative companies by their ability to increase the use of external equity financing such as venture capital or mezzanine capital when facing a loan denial

does firm size matter evidence on the impact of liquidity constraints on firm investment behavior in germany abstract this paper examines the link between liquidity constraints and investment behavior for german firms of different sizes from 1970 to 1986 results indicate that medium sized firms appear to be more liquidity constrained in their investment behavior than either the smallest or largest firms in the study suggesting that the unique german infrastructure designed to assist the small firm has indeed succeeded in alleviating to some degree such liquidity constraints findings also support the hypothesis that the emerging competition and internationalism which characterized the german financial markets in the 1980s have been improving access to capital for some groups of firms

the political economics of not paying taxes this paper considers redistributive as well as political consequences of tax avoidance when tax avoidance is possible the official tax rate does not necessarily correspond to what individuals actually pay this affects both redistributive outcomes as well as political attitudes towards taxation depending on the avoidance technology different political equilibria emerge when the avoidance possibilities are limited the classical conflict between rich and poor is sustained if the tax avoidance technology is more effective however the equilibrium outcome can change to a situation where a coalition of poor and the very richest favor a higher tax rate comparing the model predictions with data on income inequality and evidence of avoidance activity it comes surprisingly close to actual observations

a positive model of tax reform this paper is devoted to the explanation of tax policy from a behavioural theoretic point of view it for the first time brings together within a unified framework behavioural determinants of government expenditure taxation and tax reform administrative and compliance costs associated with taxation factors generally neglected in models of taxation as well as tax avoidance evasion deadweight losses and the costs that are involved in the tax reform process itself play a crucial role in the model the paper investigates how these factors influence the development of taxation and expenditure and the occurrence of tax reform

tax reform as political choice public choice theory explains and interprets politics as the interaction among constituents and agents seeking to advance or to express their own interests applied to an observed political event like the 1986 tax reform legislation any such analysis must identify the effects on separate interests and make some presumption concerning the perception of these effects the linkage between assigning gains and losses from the 1986 tax changes and explaining these changes depends critically on the model of political choice political reality presumably embodies some mix of models of consensus conflict and agents discretion these three models are examined separately with features from each retaining some explanatory value a consensual calculus all taxpayers secure utility gains the salient features of the 1986 tax legislation are rate reduction and base broadening for both individual and corporate taxpayers the overall revenue neutrality constraint implies that the trade off or exchange between lower rates and a broader tax base occurs within the inclusive set of taxpaying units there is no direct cross budget exchange with expenditure program beneficiaries within aggregate revenue neutrality there may be gainers and losers in terms of estimated tax payments before and after the change although the gains of low income earners whose income tax liabilities are eliminated by the reform are exaggerated in the political rhetoric due to the neglect of how increased corporate taxes affect them these low income

political economy of commuting subsidies abstract we study the political economy of commuting subsidies in a model of a monocentric city with two income classes depending on housing demand and transport costs either the rich or the poor live in the central city and the other group in the suburbs commuting subsidies increase the net income of those with long commutes or high transport costs they also affect land rents and therefore the income of landowners the paper studies how the locational pattern of the two income classes and the incidence of landownership affects the support for commuting subsidies

sectoral shifts and canadian unemployment in this paper lilien s 1982 hypothesis that sectoral shifts in employment raise aggregate unemployment is tested using canadian quarterly data lilien s framework is extended to investigate regional labour market rigidities and to distinguish between industry shifts that are correlated with changes in aggregate activity and those which are exogenous to the overall level of activity the robustness of the results to various changes in model specification is also investigated i find that in canada exogenous shifts in employment between sectors do not have a significant effect on the aggregate unemployment rate this abstract was borrowed from another version of this item

sectoral shifts employment specialization and the efficiency of matching an analysis using uk regional data robson m 2006 sectoral shifts employment specialization and the efficiency of matching an analysis using uk regional data regional studies 40 743 754 over the past 30 years the industry composition of unemployment in the uk has been subject to considerable structural change the degree of which has varied significantly across regions this paper uses lilien s index of sectoral shifts to document the incidence of structural change across regions and in addition follows the work of wren and taylor 1999 by computing measures of the degree of specialization in regional employment it then uses these data to examine the effect of sectoral shifts and employment specialization on the efficiency of the process with which unemployed workers are matched to available job vacancies in regional labour markets robson m 2006 l evolution sectorielle la specialisation de l emploi et l adequation du travail une analyse de donnees regionales du royaume uni regional studies 40 743 754 pendant les trente

margins of imports forward looking firms and exchange rate movements abstract this paper presents theory and evidence on firms import responses to current and future exchange rates along both intensive and extensive margins the paper first builds a dynamic heterogeneous firm model to study how firms adjust their import decision by taking into account both current and future exchange rates in the model individual firms pay a fixed sunk cost and face a probability of failure when searching for foreign intermediate suppliers the impact of future exchange rate on import is different from that of current exchange rate spot exchange rate appreciation would increase both the intensive margin import value of individual firm and the extensive margin the number of importing firms while future exchange rate appreciation increases the extensive margin rather than the intensive margin of imports the model predictions are strongly supported by an empirical analysis using disaggregated data on china s imports from the united states and forward rates between us dollar usd and chinese yuan cny on the non deliverable exchange market

dynamic competition in technological investments an empirical examination of the lcd panel industry abstract when are technological laggards more likely to try to catch up with leaders we offer empirical evidence on firm level data of plant investments in the tft lcd panel industry where technological competition has been intense and dynamic we find that the followers level of technology has a non monotonic effect on technology improving investments with intermediate followers the most apt to invest in catch ups this result is a puzzle given the existing theory on technology race we also find that followers catch up investments increase with the capacity of the leader that employs the state of the art technology these results are robust to variations in specification and alternative accounts of effects we discuss our findings and contributions in light of the technology race literature

voting over taxes the case of tax evasion this paper studies majority voting on taxes when tax evasion is possible we characterize the voting equilibrium where the agent with median taxed income is pivotal since the ranking of true incomes does not necessarily correspond to the ranking of taxed incomes the decisive voter can differ from the median income receiver in this case we find unconventional patterns of redistribution e g from the middle class to the poor and the rich

the importance of equity finance for r d activity this article analyzes the importance of equity finance for the r d activity of small and medium sized enterprises we use information on almost 6 000 german smes from a company survey using the intensity of banking competition at the district level as an instrument to control for endogeneity we find that a higher equity ratio is conducive to a higher r d intensity owners may only start r d activities if they have the financial resources to sustain them until successful completion we find a larger influence of the equity ratio for young companies equity may be more important for young companies which have to rely on the original equity investment of their owners since they have not yet accumulated retained earnings and can rely less on bank financing