production flexibility as a motive for multinationality this paper examines how uncertainty in future operating costs at the time of undertaking long lived and irreversible capital investment projects may provide an incentive for multinational production this incentive may be present even if firms are risk neutral as long as they face a downward sloping demand curve the lower the international correlation between marginal cost shocks and the lower the elasticity of demand the greater the benefit to establishing plants in different countries however even if cost fluctuations are perfectly correlated internationally there may still be gains from multinational production

is tiger woods loss averse persistent bias in the face of experience competition and high stakes although experimental studies have documented systematic decision errors many leading scholars believe that experience competition and large stakes will reliably extinguish biases we test for the presence of a fundamental bias loss aversion in a high stakes context professional golfers performance on the pga tour golf provides a natural setting to test for loss aversion because golfers are rewarded for the total number of strokes they take during a tournament yet each individual hole has a salient reference point par we analyze over 2 5 million putts using precise laser measurements and find evidence that even the best golfers including tiger woods show evidence of loss aversion jel d03 d81 l83

adjusting input output models for capacity utilization in service industries abstract the input output i o models assume the stability of economic ratios and regional multipliers over the evaluation period for manufacturing sectors constant multipliers within a short term period may present a reasonable picture of the real world production function tourism industry however is composed of a variety of services in which total output and factor inputs are strongly influenced by capacity utilization cu a conceptual model is proposed in this paper which purports that shifts in cu for perishable services will lead to economies of scale in inputs price changes in the final output capacity constraint on domestic supply and substitution between input factors especially between capital and labor these factors simultaneously modify i o ratios and multipliers traditional i o analysis which assumes constant economic ratios and multipliers will therefore lead to biases in tourism impact estimates especially to value added components as it does not reflect the changing costs of operation in response to shifting supply and demand

nonparametric measures of scale economies and capacity utilization an application to u s manufacturing abstract an economic measure of scale efficiency is the ratio of the minimum average cost to the average cost at the actual output level of a firm it is easily measured by the ratio of the total cost of this output under the constant and variable returns to scale assumptions this procedure does not identify the output level where the average cost reaches a minimum this paper proposes a nonparametric method of measuring this output level using dea the relation between this efficient production scale the short run physical capacity output and the most productive scale size mpss is also discussed an empirical application using state level data from u s manufacturing is used to illustrate the procedure the dea findings are further analyzed using a smoothed bootstrap procedure

reference dependent preferences and labor supply the case of new york city taxi drivers i develop a model of daily labor supply where preferences are dependent on a reference daily income level and i apply this model to data on the labor supply of new york city taxi drivers i find that there may be a reference level of income on a given day that affects labor supply however there is substantial day to day variation in a given driver s reference level and most shifts end before reaching the reference income level this pattern is inconsistent with an important role for reference dependent preferences

primal and dual capacity utilization an application to productivity measurement in the u s automobile industry capacity utilization measures have traditionally been constructed as indexes of actual as compared to potential output this potential or capacity output y can be represented within an economic model of the firm as the tangency between the short and long run average cost curves economic theoretical measures of capacity utilization cu can then be characterized as y y where y is the realized level of output these quantity or primal cu measures allow for economic interpretation they provide explicit inference as to how changes in exogenous variables affect cu additional information for analyzing deviations from capacity production can be obtained by assessing the dual cost of the gap in this article the definitions and representations of primal output and dual cost cu measures are formalized within a dynamic model of a monopolistic firm as an illustration of this approach to characterizing cu measures a model is estimated for the u s automobile industry 1959 1980 and primal and dual cu

measuring and assessing capacity utilization in the manufacturing sectors of nine oecd countries following a tradition established by cassels klein and hickman we employ the economic theory of cost and production and define economic capacity output as that output at which short and long run average total cost curves are tangent to one another capacity utilization cu rates are then computed as the ratio of actual to capacity output we implement this framework empirically by specifying and estimating a translog variable cost function for the manufacturing sectors of nine oecd countries we find that by the end of the historical sample the early 1980s pervasive and chronic excess capacity exists while the average cost consequence of excess capacity was relatively modest in the 1960s the burden increased considerably after opec i and after opec ii the premium was as large as 15 of average total costs we also find that electricity and fuel price increases had small impacts on capacity output relative to that from labor or capital finally we adjust conventional measures of multifactor productivity growth for changes in cu and find that the adjusted growth is larger after 1973 than that based on traditional procedures

on the integration of production and financial hedging decisions in global markets we study the integrated operational and financial hedging decisions faced by a global firm who sells to both home and foreign markets production occurs either at a single facility located in one of the markets or at two facilities one in each market the company has to invest in capacity before the selling season starts when the demand in both markets and the currency exchange rate are uncertain the currency exchange rate risk can be hedged by delaying allocation of the capacity to specific markets until both the currency and demand uncertainties are resolved and or by buying financial option contracts on the currency exchange rate when capacity commitment is made a mean variance utility function is used to model the firm s risk aversion in decision making we derive the joint optimal capacity and financial option decision and analyze the impact of the delayed allocation option and the financial options on capacity commitment and the firm s performance we show that the firm s financial hedging strategy ties closely to and can have both quantitative and qualitative impact on the firm s operational strategy the use or lack of use of financial hedges can go beyond affecting the magnitude of capacity levels by altering global supply chain structural choices such as the desired location and number of production facilities to be employed to meet global demand

are professional basketball players reference dependent abstractmodels with reference dependent preferences suggest that agents exert considerable effort to avoid falling below a reference point and losing we provide visual and statistical evidence that player performances in the national basketball association nba bunch at salient normatively extraneous round numbers using data on nearly three million shot attempts with precise x y coordinates we find that players improve free throw accuracy and attempt shots closer to the hoop when shooting for a round number the results are strongest for players on home teams suggesting that the reference dependent enters preferences through an external social evaluation channel

on the utilisation controversy a theoretical and empirical discussion of the kaleckian model of growth and distribution this paper examines the utilisation controversy around the kaleckian model of growth and distribution we show that the federal reserve data on capacity utilisation which have been used by both sides of this debate are the wrong kind of data for the issue under examination instead a more appropriate measurement can be derived from the data on the average workweek of capital we argue that the long run dynamic adjustment proposed by kaleckian scholars lacks a coherent economic rationale we provide an alternative path towards the endogeneity of the desired utilisation at the micro and macro levels finally we examine the proposed adjustment mechanism econometrically our results verify the endogeneity of the normal utilisation rate

stochastic capacity investment and flexible vs dedicated technology choice in imperfect capital markets this paper analyzes the impact of endogenous credit terms under capital market imperfections in a capacity investment setting we model a monopolist firm that decides on its technology choice flexible versus dedicated and capacity level under demand uncertainty differing from the majority of the stochastic capacity investment literature we assume that the firm is budget constrained and can relax its budget constraint by borrowing from a creditor the creditor offers technology specific loan contracts to the firm after which the firm makes its technology choice and subsequent decisions capital market imperfections impose financing frictions on the firm our analysis contributes to the capacity investment literature by extending the theory of stochastic capacity investment and flexible versus dedicated technology choice to understand the impact of capital market imperfections and by analyzing the impact of demand uncertainty variability and correlation on the operational decisions and the performance of the firm under different capital market conditions we demonstrate that the endogenous nature of credit terms in imperfect capital markets may modify or reverse conclusions concerning capacity investment and technology choice obtained under the perfect market assumption and we explain why the theory developed in this paper suggests some rules of thumb for the strategic management of the capacity and technology choice in imperfect capital markets this paper was accepted by john birge focused issue editor

cost structure and capacity utilisation in multi product industries an application to the basque trawl industry to empirically study production structure and the capacity level at which vessels are harvesting a short run translog cost function is estimated from the estimated parameters two capacity utilisation measures are calculated ray returns to scale and a dual capacity utilisation measure both capacity utilisation measures suggest that there is excess capacity in the basque trawler fleet these measures are also estimated annually and they indicate the same conclusion the basque trawler fleet can therefore gain from increased production levels

operational flexibility and market valuation of earnings this paper examines the association between the stock returns and accounting earnings of firms that have different levels of operational flexibility operational flexibility is a firm s ability to respond profitably to environmental fluctuations by shifting factors of production within a multinational network of subsidiaries the geographic breadth and depth of a firm s multinational network are used as indicators of operational flexibility we find a significantly greater coefficient relating stock returns and accounting earnings for multinational firms that operate in many countries but limit their concentration in any one foreign country than for other multinational firms or domestic firms this coefficient is significantly smaller for multinational firms whose foreign subsidiaries are highly concentrated in a few countries when all multinational firms are pooled together we find their earnings returns association does not differ from that of domestic firms copyright 1999 john wiley sons ltd

valuation of the operating flexibility of multinational corporations the returns to multinationality are estimated as the value of operating flexibility empirical measures of the return of multinationality require a precise specification of the extensiveness of the mnc s transnational network to measure the degree of multinationality this precise empirically grounded definition of multinationality has been absent from the academic literature to date we address this omission and we find that two characteristics of the transnational network its breadth number of foreign countries in which the mnc has operations and depth the concentration of foreign subsidiaries in a few countries are significant in explaining the value of operating flexibility in particular we find that the returns to multinationality are maximized for firms with networks that have breadth but not depth the role of market intangibles such as r d and advertising on mnc market valuation is shown to depend on the flexibility regime

capacity utilization measures underlying economic theory and an alternative approach measures of industrial capacity utilization hereafter cu have been used extensively in helping to explain changes in the rate of investment labor productivity and inflation the cu measures have also been used to obtain indices of capital in use as distinct from capital stock in place a number of alternative measures of cu are periodically calculated and published the 1980 economic report of the president for example contains three series that by the federal reserve board the u s department of commerce bureau of economic analysis and the wharton school of finance other publicly available series are those prepared by mcgraw hill publishing company the u s department of commerce bureau of the census and rinfret boston associates inc although a host of cu measures is publicly available it is not at all clear how one should interpret changes over time in each measure or variations among them a principal reason underlying these interpretation problems is that the crucial link between underlying economic theory and the constructed measure of cu is weak one way in which this issue has manifested itself in the policy domain over the last five years has been with respect to the uncertain effects of dramatic increases in energy prices on capacity output and on cu each of the cu measures noted above is computed in such a way that explicitly ignores any role for energy prices yet several times during the last decade though growth to apparently high rates of cu had taken place investment and average labor productivity were much lower than expected and the rate of price increase much greater in brief during the last decade the explanatory power of alternative cu measures has dropped sharply some have conjectured that post opec energy price increases may have brought about major changes in the u s economy so that old quantitative relationships between measured cu and investment labor productivity and price inflation may have been altered substantially in order to assess effects of changes in pe on cu a re examination of the notion and measurement of cu is needed based on the framework of the economic theory of the firm that is the focus of this paper

how firms should hedge substantial academic research explains why firms should hedge but little work has addressed how firms should hedge we assume that firms can experience costly states of nature and derive optimal hedging strategies using vanilla derivatives e g forwards and options and custom exotic derivative contracts for a value maximizing firm facing both hedgable price and unhedgable quantity risks customized exotic derivatives are typically better than vanilla contracts when correlations between prices and quantities are large in magnitude and when quantity risks are substantially greater than price risks finally we discuss how our model may be applied in practice copyright 2002 oxford university press

persistent trade effects of large exchange rate shocks this paper presents a theoretical basis for the argument that large exchange rate shocks such as the 1980s dollar cycle may have persistent effects on trade flows and the equilibrium exchange rate itself we begin with a partial equilibrium model in which large exchange rate fluctuations lead to entry or exit decisions that are not reversed when the currency returns to its previous level then we develop a simple model of the feedback from hysteresis in trade to the exchange rate itself here we see that a large capital inflow which leads to an initial appreciation can result in a persistent reduction in the exchange rate consistent with trade balance

comparative performance of short run capacity utilization measures abstract we present parametric estimates for primal and dual capacity utilization and then evaluate their comparative performance empirical findings indicate that alternative capacity utilization ratios depending upon the reference variables are procyclically consistent with each other

on the measurement of capacity utilization capacity utilization is usually defined as the ratio of actual output to the output corresponding to 1 the minimum point on the short run average total cost curve and 2 the point of tangency between the long run average total cost and short run average total cost curves in practice however capacity utilization is often measured as the ratio of actual to the maximum potential output consistent with a given capital stock this paper demonstrates how to estimate the theoretical measures of capacity utilization and examines the correlation between three measures of capacity utilization and the mcgraw hill estimates of capacity utilization using data from a sample of u s privately owned electric utilities for 1961 83 copyright 1989 by blackwell publishing ltd

integrated operational and financial hedging with capacity reshoring abstract we consider a multinational corporation that employs capacity reshoring production switching and financial hedging to manage supply demand mismatches and currency risk we optimize mean conditional value at risk cvar by decomposing operations and finance operational flexibility maximizes expected profit subject to a cvar constraint whereas financial hedging minimizes cvar subject to a minimum expected profit we report three main findings first operational flexibility and financial hedging can be complements operational flexibility enhances profitability and reduces downside risk while financial hedging minimizes downside risk and can affect the feasible set of capacity portfolios albeit indirectly by relaxing a cvar constraint second operational flexibility and financial hedging are substitutes in risk reduction though the latter has greater risk reduction effects in cvar when used alone third coordinating operations and finance is crucial for minimizing substitution effects efficient financial hedging depends on rigorous estimation of cash flow distribution as shaped by operational flexibility and a capacity portfolio s feasibility relies on financial hedging because of the cvar constraint

economies of scale and utilization in the swiss electric power distribution industry economies of scale and utilization in the swiss electricity distribution industry are analysed a translog variable cost function was estimated using panel data for a sample of 39 municipal utilities over the period 1988 1991 economies of both scale and utilization appear to exist in the distribution of electricity both for small medium and large sized utilities thus the empirical evidence suggests sub additivity of the cost function over the relevant range of output for the swiss electricity distribution utilities a necessary condition for a natural monopoly to exist

resolving the exposure puzzle the many facets of exchange rate exposure theory predicts sizeable exchange rate fx exposure for many firms however empirical research has not documented such exposures to examine this discrepancy we extend prior theoretical results to model a global firm s fx exposure and show empirically that firms pass through part of currency changes to customers and utilize both operational and financial hedges for a typical sample firm pass through and operational hedging each reduce exposure by 10 15 financial hedging with foreign debt and to a lesser extent fx derivatives decreases exposure by about 40 the combination of these factors reduces fx exposures to observed levels

deciding when to quit reference dependence over slot machine outcomes abstract we conduct tests for reference dependent loss aversion using slot machine gamblers decisions on when to quit playing for a visit to a casino evidence for a lagged status quo reference po

capacity decisions with debt financing the effects of agency problem abstract this paper studies the capacity management problem for a firm that uses debt financing this is done by analyzing the effect of the associated agency problem when making capacity decisions the agency problem arises when there are potential conflicts of interest between the firm owner and the lender we show that this agency problem can constrain the firm s optimal capacity decision because the borrowing rate will increase as the risk of default increases with capacity level chosen the firm will therefore try to optimally choose the level so as to reduce the risk of bankruptcy which the lender will take into account and as a consequence the firm will try to control the risk associated with potentially high borrowing costs however even when the expected bankruptcy cost is carefully controlled the optimal capacity decision is still made at the risk of incurring considerable agency costs in addition the corporate tax level can also play a significant role in capacity choice we show that although a higher tax rate leads to bigger tax benefit of debt and lower agency cost it also gives rise to a higher tax liability after balancing the tax benefit of debt with the agency cost the firm can make an optimal decision on the capacity level required the efficacy of financial hedging for mitigating the agency cost is also analyzed finally we compare and contrast our analysis with existing studies and it appears that we have been able to obtain a deeper insight into the problem

real flexibility and financial structure an empirical analysis i examine the empirical relation between real flexibility and financial structure i test whether real flexibility increases debt capacity by lowering default risk and making assets more marketable or decreases debt capacity by facilitating risk shifting and asset substitution i measure real flexibility as the sensitivity of marginal production and investment decisions to variations in the economic environment i find that financial leverage is negatively related to production flexibility but positively related to investment flexibility this split in results suggests that although asset substitution facilitated by investment flexibility can be prevented contractually risk shifting facilitated by production flexibility is intractable copyright 2003 oxford university press

static efficiency decompositions and capacity utilisation integrating economic and technical capacity notions starting from existing static decompositions of overall economic efficiency on nonparametric production and cost frontiers this article proposes more comprehensive decompositions including several cost based notions of capacity utilization furthermore in case prices are lacking we develop additional decompositions of overall technical efficiency integrating a technical concept of capacity utilization these new efficiency decompositions provide a link between short and long run economic analysis and in empirical work avoid conflating inefficiency and differences in capacity utilization an empirical analysis using a monthly panel of chilean hydro electric power plants illustrates the potential of these decomposition proposals

capacity and capacity utilization in common pool resource industries excess capacity poses one of the most pressingproblems that arise when industries exploitcommon pool natural resources it entailsover investment in the capital stock andexcessive use of variable inputs and placesadditional exploitation pressures on theresource stocks confusion persists over theappropriate definition and measurement ofcapacity and capacity utilization for theseindustries but understanding capacity and itsmeasurement is necessary to properly design acapacity management program this paperaddresses these issues by overviewing theconceptual and theoretical bases for capacityand capacity utilization measurement identifying specific problems for common poolresources outlining alternative methodologiesfor their measurement and illustrating the useof these definitions and measurement methods ina fisheries case study

on the growth of foreign affiliates multinational plant networks joint ventures and flexibility we take a flexibility perspective to analyse employment growth in a large sample of japanese manufacturing affiliates in nine asian countries during the years leading up to and into the asian financial crisis 1995 1999 we find that joint ventures are less flexible than wholly owned affiliates in responding to changing environmental conditions in the focal country and underperform in high growth environments multinational enterprises mnes use the flexibility created by their multinational plant network to adjust affiliate employment in response to labour cost changes in other countries in which they operate plants however no evidence was found that the presence of joint ventures in multinational plant networks reduces this network flexibility our findings suggest that more research is needed on the heterogeneous responses of mnes and their affiliates to changing economic environments

an integrated model of multinational flexibility and financial hedging abstract we construct a model of a multinational firm with flexibility in sourcing its production and with the ability to use financial markets to hedge exchange rate risk agency costs generated by the firm s capital structure create a link between the firm s financial policy and its production decisions the firm s need for hedging is directly related to the degree of flexibility and the production plan it chooses is a function of the hedging strategy it employs consequently the firm s ability to exploit its competitive position depends upon the degree to which its flexibility is matched by the construction of an appropriate hedging strategy

hedging the value of waiting abstract we analyze the optimal hedging policy of a firm that has flexibility in the timing of investment conventional wisdom suggests that hedging adds value by alleviating the under investment problem associated with capital market frictions however our model shows that hedging also adds value by allowing investment to be delayed in circumstances where the same frictions would cause it to commence prematurely thus hedging can have the paradoxical effect of reducing investment we also show that greater timing flexibility increases the optimal quantity of hedging but has a non monotonic effect on the additional value created by hedging these results may help explain the empirical findings that investment rates do not differ between hedgers and non hedgers and that hedging propensities do not depend on standard measures of growth opportunities

new york city cab drivers labor supply revisited reference dependent preferences with rational expectations targets for hours and income this paper reconsiders whether cabdrivers labor supply decisions reflect reference dependent preferences following botond koszegi and matthew rabin 2006 we construct a model with targets for hours as well as income both determined by rational expectations estimating using henry s farber s 2005 2008 data we show that the reference dependent model can reconcile his 2005 finding that drivers stopping probabilities are significantly related to hours but not income with the negative wage elasticity of hours found by colin camerer et al 1997 and farber 2005 2008 the model yields sensible estimates that avoid farber s 2008 criticism that drivers income targets are too unstable to allow a useful reference dependent model of labor supply

multinational capital structure and financial flexibility abstract we address multinational capital structure decisions when firms have varying degrees of financial flexibility for shifting income and or tax shields between subsidiaries we find 1 firms can use leverage to dramatically reduce negative valuation effects from operating in a high tax country 2 financial flexibility is a key determinant of optimal capital structure acting as both a substitute and a complement for leverage 3 multinational firms derive a synergistic effect from financial flexibility which can enhance their value beyond that for a single country firm from a low tax jurisdiction and 4 optimal capital structure typically differs substantially across subsidiaries with each having positions in multiple currencies

the quantitative consequences of raising the u s saving rate the authors investigate the consequences of a permanent unphased increase in the u s gross saving rate they find that the sacrifice time the time that elapses until consumption surpasses the value it would have had under the initial saving rate is roughly six years and is insensitive to the percentage increase in the saving rate delta sub s the percentage gain in output at the end of decade the decade gain is roughly 26 of delta sub s while the percentage gain in consumption is roughly 8 of delta sub s the saving rate return the internal rate of return on a permanent increase in the saving rate is roughly 16 and is insensitive to delta sub s copyright 1991 by mit press

estimation of cost functions in a data poor environment the case of capacity estimation in fisheries fisheries economic analysis is often handicapped by the lack of adequate data to undertake robust econometric analyses in this study a translog cost function was required to estimate the potential direction of adjustment in a uk fleet segment if a new regulatory regime was introduced however the available data were not appropriate for such estimation data envelopment analysis dea was used to modify the data subsequently used in the estimation of the long run cost function the resulting model appears robust and is consistent with economic theory and the supporting evidence produced using dea

the effects of an increase in power rate on energy demand and output price in korean manufacturing sectors in korea price subsidies for industrial power are provided by the government in order to enhance industrial competitiveness and curb inflation however this repeatedly causes electricity shortages in the peak summer and winter seasons because of over consumption forcing a decline in the demand for electricity by raising power rates would thus help prevent a national blackout lowering dependence on foreign energy and reducing co2 emissions cost effectively this paper simulates the effects of a rise in power rate on demand for electricity and output price by estimating a restricted cost function in which the quantity of raw materials is set to its cost minimizing level jointly with an inverse supply relation for the top three electricity intensive manufacturing sectors the empirical results indicate that a 10 increase in electricity rate would result in 8 0 10 1 less demand across all three manufacturing sectors ceteris paribus the impact on output price is of little statistical significance in the basic metals sector while output price on average falls by 0 16 in the tv and communication equipment sector

exposure to exchange rate movements abstract this paper suggests an approach to measuring a firm s exposure which depends on the stochastic relationship between the firm s real rate of return and exchange rate movements using a simplified two country model exposure is shown to depend on the extent to which individual asset prices adjust with exchange rates the distribution of such adjustments between countries and the relationship between domestic inflation and exchange rate movements while the distribution of real and nominal positions across countries is also a determinant of exposure it is shown that purely domestic firms no foreign assets or liabilities will typically be exposed

models of the multinational enterprise flexibility is identified as the hallmark of recent modelling of the multinational enterprise the focus on flexibility is a response to the rationalization and restructuring of international business which has occurred since the end of the golden age of western economic growth flexibility has been south in factor markets intermediate product markets and markets for final products it has been sought by both governments and firms flexible firms are attracted to locations with flexible host governments this article contrasts the modern research agenda based on flexibility with the more traditional research agenda which predominates in the literature reviewed by caves 1996

capacity utilisation and profitability a decomposition of short run profit efficiency the principal aim of this paper is to measure the amount by which the profit of a multi input multi output firm deviates from maximum short run profit and then to decompose this profit gap into components that are of practical use to managers in particular our interest is in the measurement of the contribution of unused capacity along with measures of technical inefficiency and allocative inefficiency in this profit gap we survey existing definitions of capacity and after discussing their shortcomings we propose a new ray economic capacity measure that involves short run profit maximisation with the output mix held constant we go on to describe how the gap between observed profit and maximum profit can be calculated and decomposed using linear programming methods the paper concludes with an empirical illustration involving data on 28 international airline companies the empirical results indicate that these airline companies achieve profit levels which are on average us 815m below potential levels and that 70 of the gap may be attributed to unused capacity

measures of capacity utilization and its determinants a study of indian manufacturing we estimate capacity utilization cu rates in for selected industries in indian manufacturing for the 20 year period 1976 1996 we estimate a generalized leontief variable cost function with capital as a quasi fixed input to derive our cu measures using error component techniques we note substantial variations in cu both across industries and over time in general we find that cu rates were higher in the earlier time period dropped in the mid 80s and started rising again in the early 90s cu rates in our analysis are sensitive to input prices with the sole exception of the price of labor we also confirm the standard result that variations in demand are a significant driving force for variations in cu we find that cu is positively related to the magnitude of labor intensity in production this holds for both between industries and within industries empirical results also indicate that traditional measures of cu such as minimum capital output ratio and peak to peak are not appropriate proxies for

corporate risk management integrating liquidity hedging and operating policies we analyze the value created by a dynamic integrated risk management strategy involving liquidity management derivatives hedging and operating flexibility in the presence of several frictions we show that liquidity serves a critical and distinct role in risk management justifying high levels of cash we find that the marginal value associated with derivatives hedging is likely to be low though we explain why some empirical studies find a higher value we explore the complex interactions between operating flexibility and financial risk management finding that substitution effects are nonmonotonic and are affected by operating leverage the nature of operating flexibility and the effectiveness of the hedging instrument this paper was accepted by jerome detemple finance

deal or no deal decision making under risk in a large payoff game show we examine the risky choices of contestants in the popular tv game show deal or no deal and related classroom experiments contrary to the traditional view of expected utility theory the choices can be explained in large part by previous outcomes experienced during the game risk aversion decreases after earlier expectations have been shattered by unfavorable outcomes or surpassed by favorable outcomes our results point to reference dependent choice theories such as prospect theory and suggest that path dependence is relevant even when the choice problems are simple and well defined and when large real monetary amounts are at stake

firm entry excess capacity and endogenous productivity abstract we show that sluggish firm entry causes productivity to vary endogenously in response to technology shocks the endogenous productivity effect is caused by incumbent firms utilizing excess capacity as entry adjusts we develop a nonparametric model of endogenous sunk costs and monopolistic competition to show that imperfect competition and dynamic entry are necessary and jointly sufficient conditions for endogenous productivity fluctuations quantitatively we show the endogenous productivity effect is as large as that from a traditional capital utilization effect

taxation agency conflicts and the choice between callable and convertible debt abstract we analyze debt choice in light of taxes and moral hazard the model features an infinite sequence of nonzero sum stochastic differential games between equity and debt closed form expressions are derived for all contingent claims if equity can increase volatility without reducing asset drift callable bonds with call premia are optimal although callable bonds induce risk shifting call premia precommit equity to less frequent restructuring and are tax advantaged convertible bonds mitigate risk shifting but only induce hedging if assets are far from the default threshold convertibles are optimal only if risk shifting reduces asset drift sufficiently

decomposing capacity utilization in data envelopment analysis an application to banks in india abstract this paper briefly reviews the existing methods of capacity utilization in nonparametric framework from economic perspectives and then suggests an alternative in the light of limitations therein in the spirit of work by coelli et al coelli t j grifell tatje e perelman s 2002 capacity utilisation and profitability a decomposition of short run profit efficiency international journal of production economics 79 261 278 we propose two methods radial and non radial to decompose the input based physical technological capacity utilization into various meaningful components viz technical inefficiency ray economic capacity utilization and optimal capacity idleness a case study of indian banking industry is taken as an example to illustrate the potential application of these two methods of decomposition our two broad empirical findings are that first competition created after financial sector reforms generates high efficiency growth and reduces excess capacity second the cost gap of the short run cost from the actual cost is higher for the nationalized banks over the private banks indicating that the former banks though old do not reflect their learning experience in their cost minimizing behavior

cost structure and capacity in the norwegian pelagic fisheries the parameters of the short run cost function are estimated for three vessel types taking part in the norwegian pelagic fisheries purse seine vessels trawlers and coastal vessels the generalized translog functional form is used estimates of returns to scale are calculated and the results indicate that there are substantial economies of scale in all vessel classes it is further investigated whether excess capacity varies with vessel size and age the analysis suggests increased quotas per vessel to avoid rent dissipation with the total allowable catch given the number of participating vessels must be reduced

revenue based capacity utilisation measures and decomposition the case of danish north sea trawlers in fisheries capacity analysis has largely been limited to measuring physical capacity defined as the maximum amount of output that can be produced per unit of time given existing plant and equipment and unrestricted availability of variable inputs an economic measure of capacity can be defined as the maximum revenue attainable for the given fixed inputs using relevant outputs and output prices this paper examines these two approaches to capacity by applying data envelopment analysis to physical and economic input output data for danish north sea trawlers the economic and physical measures are compared and contrasted using correlation analysis an innovative analysis into the composition of possible revenue increments is also presented and reasons for economic inefficiency of vessels are identified

labor supply of new york city cabdrivers one day at a time life cycle models of labor supply predict a positive relationship between hours supplied and transitory changes in wages because such changes have virtually no effect on life cycle wealth previous attempts to test this hypothesis empirically with time series data have not been supportive estimated elasticities are typically negative or nonsignificant such analyses however are vulnerable to measurement error and other estimation problems we use data on daily observations of wages and hours for new york city cab drivers to estimate the supply response to transitory fluctuations in wages cab drivers decide daily how many hours to supply and face wages that are positively correlated within days but largely uncorrelated between days using these data our central finding is that wage elasticities are persistently negative from 5 to 1 in three different samples even after correcting for measurement error using instrumental variables these negative wage elasticities challenge the notion that cab drivers trade off labor and leisure at different points in time and question the empirical adequacy of life cycle formulations of labor supply

interpretation and measurement of capacity utilization the case of korean manufacturing this paper focuses attention on the conceptual difference between optimal ex ante and actual ex post capacity untilization cu the dynamic version of the efficient output approach to capacity untilization which this paper presents is theoretically superior to other alternative approaches our concept of optimal cu has been applied to estimate cu measures for korean manufacturing we fing that our measure of cu explains the trends and cycles in korean economy rather convincingly and that korean manufacturing has adjusted much more flexibly to market demand shocks than it has to exogenous changes in factor prices from the examination of the determinants of cu we find that while wages and material prices have positive effects on cu energy prices and capital stock have nagative effects the study also implies that overambitious government incentive policies to stimulate investment may have an adverse effect on capacity utilization

interactions of corporate financing and investment decisions the effects of agency conflicts abstract we examine interactions between flexible financing and investment decisions in a model with stockholder bondholder conflicts over investment policy we find that financial flexibility encourages the choice of short term debt thereby dramatically reducing the agency costs of under and overinvestment however the reduction in agency costs may not encourage the firm to increase leverage since the firm s initial debt level choice depends on the type of growth options in its investment opportunity set the model has a number of testable predictions for the joint choice of leverage and maturity and how these choices interact with a firm s growth opportunities

interrelated factor demands for manufacturing a dynamic translog cost function approach abstract in this paper we report the results of estimating a joint model for labour capital and energy using the transcendental logarithmic cost function of christensen jorgenson and lau 1973 this allows us to determine both the own price and cross elasticities of substitution between labour capital and energy we combine a model of factor shares with a dynamic adjustment process for each factor we also impose on the cross equation restrictions necessary to provide additivity homogeneity and symmetry since the covariance matrix in systems of share relationships is singular we follow the suggestions of anderson and blundell 1982 and employ a mullivariate error corrrection model the results suggest that additivity symmetry and homogeneity restrictions do hold and that there are short run increasing returns to scale

reference points and effort provision a key open question for theories of reference dependent preferences is what determines the reference point one candidate is expectations what people expect could affect how they feel about what actually occurs in a real effort experiment we manipulate the rational expectations of subjects and check whether this manipulation influences their effort provision we find that effort provision is significantly different between treatments in the way predicted by models of expectation based reference dependent preferences if expectations are high subjects work longer and earn more money than if expectations are low

capacity utilization and its determinants for a container shipping line theory and evidence under utilization of fleet capacity appears to be a long lasting issue in the container shipping industry also there are some difficulties unsolved while measuring the ratio of capacity utilization cu of a container shipping line from the perspective of an engineering approach the slots capacity installed is the most popular way to represent the capacity output since the slots capacity installed lacks theoretical support this study adopts an economics model to find the capacity output of a shipping line further the derived cu ratio identifies the realized utilization of fleet capacity for a shipping line focused on the three largest container shipping lines in taiwan this article shows that their fleet capacity are totally under utilized and the movement patterns of cu ratios are approximately identical in addition the variations of cu ratios also suggest that the enactment of ocean shipping reform act has contributed a positive effect on the capacity utilization of a container shipping line