co2 emissions energy consumption and economic growth in china a panel data analysis this paper examines the causal relationships between carbon dioxide emissions energy consumption and real economic output using panel cointegration and panel vector error correction modeling techniques based on the panel data for 28 provinces in china over the period 1995 2007 our empirical results show that co2 emissions energy consumption and economic growth have appeared to be cointegrated moreover there exists bidirectional causality between co2 emissions and energy consumption and also between energy consumption and economic growth it has also been found that energy consumption and economic growth are the long run causes for co2 emissions and co2 emissions and economic growth are the long run causes for energy consumption the results indicate that china s co2 emissions will not decrease in a long period of time and reducing co2 emissions may handicap china s economic growth to some degree some policy implications of the empirical results have finally been proposed

financial development income inequality and the redistributive effects of monetary policy abstract how should financial systems be designed to limit income inequality does the redistributive impact of inflation depend on the extent of financial development should optimal monetary policy vary across countries with different levels of financial development in order to address these questions we develop a monetary growth production model with heterogeneous agents in our economy optimal policy needs to weigh the effects of policy across two groups capital owners and individuals who hold liquid assets in this environment we compare various economies that are identical in every aspect except for their level of financial development interestingly we generally find that economies at the highest stages of financial development economies in which money bonds and claims to capital are traded experience the highest amount of capital formation and social welfare as long as inflation is low yet regardless of the extent of financial development there are generally redistributive consequences from inflation moreover the model tends to predict that economies with relatively small stock markets produce the highest levels of income inequality empirical work examining the role of money growth and the implications of financial development across countries is consistent with predictions from the model

a growth model of inflation tax evasion and financial repression abstract this paper studies the relation between policies of financial repression inflation rates and long term growth we set up a model which shows that governments might want to express the financial sector because this sector is an easy source of resources for the public budget the inflation tax to the extent that the financial sector increases the efficiency of the allocation of savings to productive investment the choice of the degree of financial development will have real effects on the growth rate of the economy in countries where tax evasion is large the government will optimally choose to repress the financial sector in order to increase seigniorage taxation this policy will then reduce the efficiency of the financial sector increase the costs of intermediation reduce the amount of investment and reduce the growth rate of the economy financial repression will therefore be associated with high tax evasion low growth and high inflation

executive compensation strategic competition and relative performance evaluation theory and evidence we examine compensation contracts for managers in imperfectly competitive product markets we show that strategic interactions among firms can explain the lack of relative performance based incentives in which compensation decreases with rival firm performance the need to soften product market competition generates an optimal compensation contract that places a positive weight on both own and rival performance firms in more competitive industries place greater weight on rival firm performance relative to own firm performance we find empirical evidence of a positive sensitivity of compensation to rival firm performance that is increasing in the degree of competition in the industry

co2 emissions energy consumption and economic growth in bric countries abstract this paper examines dynamic causal relationships between pollutant emissions energy consumption and output for a panel of bric countries over the period 1971 2005 except for russia 1990 2005 in long run equilibrium energy consumption has a positive and statistically significant impact on emissions while real output exhibits the inverted u shape pattern associated with the environmental kuznets curve ekc hypothesis with the threshold income of 5 393 in logarithms in the short term changes in emissions are driven mostly by the error correction term and short term energy consumption shocks as opposed to short term output shocks for each country short term deviations from the long term equilibrium take from 0 770 years russia to 5 848 years brazil to correct the panel causality results indicate there are energy consumption emissions bidirectional strong causality and energy consumption output bidirectional long run causality along with unidirectional both strong and short run causalities from emissions and energy consumption respectively to output overall in order to reduce emissions and not to adversely affect economic growth increasing both energy supply investment and energy efficiency and stepping up energy conservation policies to reduce unnecessary wastage of energy can be initiated for energy dependent bric countries

determinants of emissions growth in oecd countries abstract this paper analyses the sources of growth in energy related greenhouse gas emissions for oecd countries over the period 1982 1997 it employs a decomposition formula that separates out the effects of changes in population economic growth energy intensity of output in aggregate and by sector primary energy use in final energy consumption the share of fossil fuels and the carbon intensity of fossil fuel combustion it is shown that in general growth in emissions depends on how effectively energy use can be changed to offset the effects of economic growth across the oecd as a whole growth in emissions has been mainly due to economic growth both gdp per capita and population growth as well as an increase in primary energy required for final energy consumption offset by falling energy intensities and a declining share of fossil fuels overall the large fall in the energy intensity of oecd economies over 1982 1997 has been driven primarily by falling energy intensities in the services and industry sectors of the usa and the services sector of the european union but these have been offset somewhat by rising energy intensity of services in japan the influence of falling energy intensities and the declining share of fossil fuels weakened in the five year period 1992 1997 resulting in faster emissions growth there were sharp difference between countries with population growth and worsening fuel mix playing a much stronger role in the usa compared to the eu and japan but with the us making much larger reductions in energy use per unit of gdp the analysis suggests that opportunities to reduce emissions are more limited in germany the uk and japan with more opportunities in the usa canada the netherlands and australia

the effects of monetary policy at different stages of economic development abstract the effects of monetary policy vary significantly across countries in particular recent empirical work finds evidence of a tobin effect in high income countries and a reverse tobin effect in less developed economies we present a neoclassical growth model where money is required for investment and consumption purposes in contrast to standard cash in advance models the reliance on cash is inversely related to the extent of capital formation in this setting we demonstrate that the effects of monetary policy depend on the level of development in particular inflation adversely affects capital formation at low levels of income because there is a high reliance on cash and a high cost of capital by comparison the financial system operates more efficiently in advanced countries consequently monetary policy generates a tobin effect

same financial development yet different economic growth why we re study the relationship between financial development and real gdp per capita growth in 48 countries what we find is an interesting evidence that only stock market development has positive effects on growth and that banking development has an unfavorable if not negative effect on growth we examine whether or not these impacts are a product of various financial and economic conditional variables our conditional variables consist of financial liberalization two sets of country development dummies crises in banking and currency dummies the creditor protection index as well as the anti director and corruption indices our results clearly show that the conditional variables of financial liberalization high income level and good shareholder protection mitigate the negative impacts of banking development on growth in contrast the conditional variables of middle income level regional latin american sub saharan african and east asian dummies banking and currency crises good creditor protection and higher corruption strengthen the negative impacts of banking development on growth next the conditional variables of middle income level latin american sub saharan african and east asian dummies strengthen the positive impacts of stock market development on growth whereas the conditional variables of financial liberalization mitigate the positive impacts of stock market development on growth last we find that the relationship between growth and bank development is better described as a weak inverse ushape this inverse u shape becomes stronger when additional stock market variables are squared thus financial development and growth may in fact be in a nonlinear form

taking a financial position in your opponent in litigation before filing suit a plaintiff can take a financial position in a defendant firm a short position benefits the plaintiff by transforming a negative expected value claim into a positive expected value one and by enhancing the claim s settlement value if the capital market is less than strong form efficient the plaintiff also benefits directly from the decline in the defendant s stock price when the defendant is privately informed about the case s merits bargaining failures can arise while aggressive short selling benefits the plaintiff at the expense of the defendant moderate levels of short selling can benefit the defendant and raise the settlement rate

opening a stock exchange abstract a large body of theoretical and empirical literature has established a positive relationship between levels of stock market development and economic growth however previous empirical work has been based on samples of approximately 40 countries with the most highly developed financial systems since 1950 over 70 countries have opened their first national stock exchanges can such exchanges increase economic growth i present a data set of my construction that describes the exchange openings that occurred between 1960 and 1998 and find that these exchanges have generated increases in growth during their first 5 years of existence although the longer term results are ambiguous

monetary fiscal and reserve requirement policy in a simple monetary growth model the authors consider an otherwise conventional monetary growth model in which spatial separation and limited communication create a transactions role for currency and stochastic relocation gives rise to financial intermediaries in this framework they consider how changes in fiscal and monetary policy and in reserve requirements affect inflation capital formation and nominal interest rates there is also considerable scope for multiple equilibria the authors show how reserve requirements that never bind along actual equilibrium paths can play an important role in avoiding undesirable equilibria finally they demonstrate that changes in apparently nonbinding reserve requirements can have significant real effects coauthors are mark g guzman elisabeth huybens and bruce d smith copyright 1997 by economics department of the university of pennsylvania and the osaka university institute of social and economic research association

long run neutrality high inflation and bank insolvencies in argentina and brazil abstract using long low frequency data on money and output over 1884 1996 for argentina and over 1912 1995 for brazil it is found that money is long run neutral but not long run superneutral with regard to real output a rise in money growth is associated with a decline in output the opposite of the tobin effect the introduction of dummy variables for 1930s or to capture recent periods of financial disruption associated with bank insolvencies does not restore long run superneutrality for either country however results indicate that bank insolvency episodes have a distinct and negative influence on output

predatory pricing and the acquisition cost of competitors this paper investigates whether predatory price cutting reduces a trust s cost of acquiring its competitors a variant of the litzenberger rao valuation model is estimated with the expenditures for 43 rival firms purchased by the old american tobacco company between 1891 and 1906 the coefficient estimates indicate that ceteris paribus alleged predation significantly lowered the acquisition costs of the tobacco trust both for asserted victims and through reputation effects for competitors that sold out peacefully although qualified by data limitations these results support the classical view of predatory pricing as a systematic business practice

inflation thresholds and the finance growth nexus abstract the robustness of the cross sectional relationship between the size of a country s financial sector and its rate of economic growth is by now well established in this article we examine whether the strength of this relationship varies with the inflation rate using five year averages of standard measures of financial development inflation and growth for 84 countries from 1960 to 1995 a series of rolling panel regressions show that there is an inflation threshold for the finance growth relationship that lies between 13 and 25 percent when inflation exceeds the threshold finance ceases to increase economic growth we also find that the level of financial depth varies inversely with inflation in low inflation environments and that disinflation is associated with a positive effect of financial depth on growth

who is afraid of the friedman rule in this paper we explore the connection between optimal monetary policy and het erogeneity among agents we study a standard monetary economy with two types of agents in which the stationary distribution of money holdings is non degenerate sans type specific fiscal policy we show that the zero nominal interest rate policy the friedman rule does not maximize type specific welfare it may not maximize aggregate social welfare either indeed one or more surprisingly both types may benefit if the central bank deviates from the friedman rule our results suggest a positive explanation for why central banks around the world do not implement the friedman rule

electrification and energy productivity abstract energy productivity is crucial for sustainable development we use cointegration analyses to investigate the effect of electricity on energy productivity in swedish industry from 1930 to 1990 electricity augmented energy productivity in those industrial branches that used electricity for multiple purposes this productivity effect goes beyond book keeping effects i e it is not only the result of electricity being produced in one sector taking the energy transformation losses and consumed in another receiving the benefits

how ambitious are china and india s emissions intensity targets abstract several developing economies have announced carbon emissions targets for 2020 as part of the negotiating process for a post kyoto climate policy regime china and india s commitments are framed as reductions in the emissions intensity of the economy by 40 45 and 20 25 respectively between 2005 and 2020 how feasible are the proposed reductions in emissions intensity for china and india and how do they compare with the targeted reductions in the us and the eu in this paper we use a stochastic frontier model of energy intensity to decompose energy intensity into the effects of input and output mix climate and a residual technology variable we use the model to produce emissions projections for china and india under a number of scenarios regarding the pace of technological change and changes in the share of non fossil energy we find that china is likely to need to adopt ambitious carbon mitigation policies in order to achieve its stated target and that its targeted reductions in emissions intensity are on par with those implicit in the us and eu targets india s target is less ambitious and might be met with only limited or even no dedicated mitigation policies

predation by public enterprises abstract this paper demonstrates that in addition to the usual niskanen type losses generated by excess production by public firms there is an unrecognized second type of loss in order to sell their excess production public firms have to price their output below the competitive price and thereby cause more efficient firms at the margin to be eliminated the discussion is then extended to include the case where public enterprises finance additional expansions of output by price discriminating against inframarginal customers but then face the threat of competition for these inframarginal customers from new potential entry public enterprises are further shown to provide more credible threats to potential entrants since unlike private firms they value the increased output associated with predation and not merely the higher future benefits produced by it

regulation by prices quantities or both a review of instrument choice choosing appropriate policy instruments is an important part of successful regulation once objectives are agreed and suitable targets adopted policy makers can employ command and control regulation and or economic instruments and choose between fixing a price or a quantity this paper examines the relative advantages of price quantity and hybrid instruments according to their efficiency under uncertainty the trade off between credible commitment and flexibility implementation international considerations and political economy various illustrations of the theory are provided with two detailed applications to climate change and transport policy specifically congestion and safety pricing

environmental kuznets curve for co2 in canada abstract according to the environmental kuznets curve hypothesis the relationship between per capita gdp and per capita pollutant emissions has an inverted u shape this implies that past a certain point economic growth may actually be profitable for environmental quality most studies on this subject are based on estimating fully parametric quadratic or cubic regression models while this is not technically wrong such an approach somewhat lacks flexibility since it may fail to detect the true shape of the relationship if it happens not to be of the specified form we use semiparametric and flexible nonlinear parametric modeling methods in an attempt to provide more robust inferences we find little evidence in favour of the environmental kuznets curve hypothesis our main results could be interpreted as indicating that the oil shock of the 1970s has had an important impact on progress towards less polluting technology and production

on inflation as a regressive consumption tax abstract evidence on the portfolio holdings and transaction patterns of households suggests that the burden of inflation is not evenly distributed we build a monetary growth model consistent with key features of cross sectional household data and use this framework to study the distributional impact of inflation at the aggregate level our model economy behaves similar to standard monetary growth models within the representative agent abstraction inflation has however important distributional effects since it is effectively a regressive consumption tax thus neglecting the distributional consequences of inflation may prove misleading in assessing the effects of inflation in our economy

the effects of inflation on economic growth lessons from latin america this paper investigates the relationship between inflation and long run growth it presents an endogenous growth model that illustrates the channels through which inflation affects growth the model highlights the effects of inflation on the productivity of capital and the rate of capital accumulation the reduction in growth is caused by a diversion of resources away from activities that lead to faster rates of growth toward activities associated with reducing the costs of inflation the negative association between inflation and growth is assessed empirically for a sample group of latin american countries this abstract was borrowed from another version of this item

profiting from induced changes in competitors market values the case of entry and entry deterrence the authors resurrects an idea due to j hirshleifer 1971 by examining how one firm might profit by trading in the securities of other firms whose values are dependent upon the first firm s actions they focus on the case of entry can an entrant profit from trading in the securities of an incumbent firm and how does the availability of such trading profits affect the economics of entry and entry deterrence the authors results have implications for antitrust policy insider trading rules the williams act short selling rules whether companies should be publicly or privately held and the degree of diversification for companies copyright 1995 by blackwell publishing ltd

optimal cross holding with externalities and strategic interactions we analyze a two period setting where firms first choose equity positions in each other and second engage in operating activities that cause externalities firms facing positive externalities optimally choose long equity positions to increase their profits firms facing negative externalities encounter a prisoners dilemma where each firm optimally chooses short positions in the first period committing to a more aggressive operating stance that results in lower profits in contrast to the prior literature regulation restricting cross holdings reduces consumer surplus and economic welfare when the number of firms is fixed however such regulation can increase entry improving net welfare

economic organization with limited communication this paper presents formal stylized representations of communication accounting systems oral assignment portable object written message and telecommunication systems are considered the environments that allow this formalization are characterized by spatial separation private information and a need to keep track of past actions transfers and shocks in environments that have spatial separation and private information beneficial multilateral arrangements can depend critically on agents ability to communicate to one another values of contemporary shocks and to keep track of histories of past transfers or past announced shocks this paper formalizes this idea and focuses on com

equity markets and growth cross country evidence on timing and outcomes 1980 1995 abstract the rapid expansion of organized equity exchanges in both emerging and developed markets has prompted policymakers to raise important questions about their macroeconomic impact yet the need to focus on recent data poses implementation difficulties for econometric studies of dynamic interactions between stock markets and economic performance in individual countries this paper overcomes some of these difficulties by applying recent developments in the analysis of panels with a small time dimension to estimate vector autoregressions for a set of 47 countries with annual data for 1980 1995 after describing recent theories on the role of stock markets in growth and considering a pure cross sectional empirical approach our panel vars show leading roles for stock market liquidity and the intensity of activity in traditional financial intermediaries on per capita output the findings underscore the potential gains associated with developing deep and liquid financial markets in an increasingly global economy

resolving differences over the optimal quantity of money optimal steady state monetary policy in models of infinitely lived agents calls for a deflation of the fiat money stock at a rate that equates the rates of return of fiat money and capital this prescription for the optimal quantity of money holds whether the demand for money springs from placing money in the utility function friedman 1969 a cash in advance constraint grandmont and younes 1973 or spatial separation townsend 1980 in contrast monetary models of overlapping generations have counseled the golden rule optimality of a fixed stock of fiat money 1 this model has often been criticized for its lack of a transactions role for money that would distinguish itself from other assets 2 the seeming difference in this model s implications concerning the optimal quantity of money thus raises an obvious question 3 does the overlapping generations model obtain different welfare implications because it assumes a finite lifespan or because it lacks a special transactions role for money recent work has reexamined the optimal quantity of money in overlappinggenerations models featuring transactions roles for money abel 1987 who takes the broadest and clearest look finds that the golden rule optimal monetary policy

measuring structural change and energy use decomposition of the us economy from 1997 to 2002 abstract the steadily increasing focus on energy production and consumption has led to growing research attention to patterns of energy use within economies of particular interest has been comparing the driving forces of increasing efficiency and economic structural change input output analysis ioa and decomposition analysis have become critical tools for performing such analyses this study analyzes aggregate energy use in the united states in 1997 and 2002 to discover the causes of changing energy usage and flows results show that rising population and household consumption acted to drive up energy demand but this driving force was offset by considerable structural change within the economy particularly related to a quickly increasing trade deficit in manufacturing goods thus while total energy intensity the ratio of energy use to economic output declined by approximately 12 between 1997 and 2002 changes in the structure of the economy explain this drop more than increased energy efficiency the level of aggregation at which decomposition analyses are run was identified as a crucially sensitive parameter for the determination of structural change and future studies should specifically address the amount of detail necessary to adequately measure changes in economic structure

money banking and capital formation we consider a monetary growth model in which banks arise to provide liquidity in addition there is a government that issues not only money but interest bearing bonds these bonds compete with capital in private portfolios when the government fixes a constant growth rate for the money stock we show that there can exist multiple nontrivial monetary steady states one of these steady states is a saddle while the other can be a sink moreover paths approaching a steady state can display damped endogenous fluctuations and development trap phenomena are common across different steady states low capital stocks are associated with high nominal interest rates the latter signal the comparative inefficiency of the financial system also increases in the steady state inflation rate can easily reduce the steady state capital stock journal of economic literatureclassification numbers e13 e44 e50 g20 o16

co2 emissions and economic activity short and long run economic determinants of scale energy intensity and carbon intensity we analyze the short term and the long term determinants of energy intensity carbon intensity and scale effects for eight developed economies and two emerging economies from 1973 to 2007 our results show that there is a difference between the short term and the long term results and that climate policy are more likely to affect emission over the long term than over the short term climate policies should therefore be aimed at a time horizon of at least 8 years and year on year changes in emissions contains little information about the trend path of emissions in the long run capital accumulation is the main driver of emissions productivity growth reduces the energy intensity while the real oil price reduces both the energy intensity and the carbon intensity the real oil price effect suggests that a global carbon tax is an important policy tool to reduce emissions but our results also suggest that a carbon tax is likely to be insufficient decouple emission from economic growth such a decoupling is likely to require a structural transformation of the economy the key policy challenge is thus to build new economic structures where investments in green technologies are more profitable

the world distribution of income falling poverty and convergence period we estimate the world distribution of income by integrating individual income distributions for 138 countries between 1970 and 2000 country distributions are constructed by combining national accounts gdp per capita to anchor the mean with survey data to pin down the dispersion poverty rates and head counts are reported for four specific poverty lines rates in 2000 were between one third and one half of what they were in 1970 for all four lines there were between 250 and 500 million fewer poor in 2000 than in 1970 we estimate eight indexes of income inequality implied by our world distribution of income all of them show reductions in global inequality during the 1980s and 1990s

financial development growth and the distribution of income a paradigm is presented in which both the extent of financial intermediation and the rate of economic growth are endogenously determined financial intermediation promotes growth because it allows a higher rate of return to be earned on capital and growth in turn provides the means to implement costly financial structures thus financial intermediation and economic growth are inextricably linked in accord with the goldsmith mckinnon shaw view on economic development the model also generates a development cycle reminiscent of the kuznet hypothesis in particular in the transition from a primitive slow growing economy to a developed fast growing one a nation passes through a stage in which the distribution of wealth across the rich and poor widens

the sherman antitrust act and the railroad cartels a lthough it is ninety years since the railroad cartels were ruled in violation of the sherman antitrust act of 1890 in the trans missouri 1897 and joint traffic 1898 decisions there is no agreement concerning the effect of these cases on collusion by the railroads 2 gabriel kolko and paul macavoy conclude that the supreme court decisions caused a permanent breakdown of the railroad cartels 3 other observers however argue that the effect on railroad collusion was negligible 4 this article uses stock price revaluations since trans missouri was largely unanticipated and estimates of railroad rates to measure the ef

strategic deterrence of sequential entry into an industry industrial entry deterrence is typically studied in a setting where an established firm or firms confront and attempt to deter a single potential competitor during the evolution of most industries however a sequence of firms enters or attempts to enter at distinct points in time consideration of issues arising from sequential entry fundamentally alters the qualitative nature of the deterrence decision undertaken by incumbent firms within a sequential setting counterintuitive behavior may be observed specifically numerous government policies designed to decrease industrial concentration penalties for anticompetitive practices subsidization of entry consent decrees restructuring industries may have the opposite effect

decomposition of co2 emissions over 1980 2003 in turkey abstract there is a multi dimensional need for studying the energy situation in turkey and to obtain insight into the development of co2 emissions on the one hand recent projections of the oecd show that turkey has a yearly gdp growth potential of over 7 on the other hand recent projections of undp and world bank indicate that the level of co2 emission is going to rise six fold by 2025 with respect to the level of emissions in 1990 it is a great challenge to both meet the growth target and keep the co2 under control thereupon this paper tries to unfold factors that explain co2 emissions by undertaking a complete decomposition analysis for turkey over the period 1980 2003 the analysis shows as is common to relatively fast growing economies that the biggest contributor to the rise in co2 emissions is the expansion of the economy scale effect the carbon intensity and the change in composition of the economy which nearly move in tandem also contribute to the rise in co2 emissions albeit at a slower rate the energy intensity of the economy which is decreasing is responsible for a modest reduction in co2 emissions hence in congruence with the scale effect a decoupling of carbon emissions and economic growth is not found in turkey over the period 1980 2003

swedish business cycles 1861 1988 abstract we examine swedish business cycle data for 1861 1988 in the time domain as well as in the frequency domain there is evidence of a business cycle in the form of considerable spectral mass for cycles between three and eight years the variability of the series varies considerably over time for most series it is highest in the inter war period relative variability is fairly stable over time cross section ratios between moving standard deviations for the series do not change much comovements are also stable over time correlation coefficients do not change much either

china s strategy for carbon intensity mitigation pledge for 2020 evidence from a threshold cointegration model combined with monte carlo simulation methods abstract this paper specifies a nonlinear threshold cointegration to analyze the nonlinear relationship between carbon intensity and economic growth in china the tests and estimated results clearly confirm that fast paced economic growth that is the growth rate of gross domestic product gdp is greater than 9 053 impede the reduction of carbon intensity because it weakens the negative effects of tertiary industry development and energy efficiency on carbon intensity while it also increases the positive effect of unclean energy mix on carbon intensity in order to find a moderate range of economic growth rate that is both beneficial for industrial structuring and energy mix transformation and at the same time facilitate reduction in carbon intensity monte carlo simulations are employed the results show when the growth rate of gdp is between 7 and 8 4 it can promote structural bonus of industrial structure and energy consumption structure on carbon intensity and carbon intensity in 2020 would decline by about 40 60 compared to 2005 level these conclusions mean it is necessary for china to carefully set its economic growth target through transformation and optimization of its economic structure and energy mix in order to continuously reduce carbon intensity

inflation and the poor using polling data for 31 869 households in 38 countries and allowing for country effects the authors show that the poor are more likely than the rich to mention inflation as a top national concern this result survives several robustness checks also direct measures of improvements in well being for the poor the change in their share of national income the percentage decline in poverty and the percentage change in the real minimum wage are negatively correlated with inflation in pooled cross country samples high inflation tends to lower the share of the bottom quintile and the real minimum wage and tends to increase poverty

a guide to wavelets for economists abstract wavelet analysis although used extensively in disciplines such as signal processing engineering medical sciences physics and astronomy has not fully entered the economics discipline yet in this survey article wavelet analysis is introduced in an intuitive manner and the existing economics and finance literature that utilizes wavelets is surveyed and explored extensive examples of exploratory wavelet analysis are given most using canadian us and finnish industrial production data finally potential and possible future applications for wavelet analysis in economics are discussed

are small stock markets different abstract recent literature has established a positive correlation between financial development and economic growth while papers such as bencivenga et al j econom theory 67 1995 53 identify potential nonlinearities in this relationship empirical research to date has allowed for only linear relationships this paper uses regression tree techniques to investigate whether the partial correlation between growth and financial development differs based on countries levels of financial and economic development as in previous studies growth and financial development are positively correlated in countries with high levels of market capitalization however this relationship does not appear to hold for countries with low levels of market capitalization

passive cross holding as a strategic entry deterrence this paper builds a duopoly model to study the strategic effects of cross holding on entry deterrence we show that in equilibrium the incumbent optimally chooses strictly positive cross holdings in each other to deter entry for the potential entrant

economic development and structural change the role of the service sector this paper provides evidence on patterns of structural change during development examining in particular how cross section studies can accommodate the recent evidence on de industralisation in many developed countries it is argued that functional forms used previously are now inappropriate and new functional forms are proposed it is found using these functional forms that empirical evidence supports the existence of clear patterns of structural change across developed and developing countries

transactions costs technological choice and endogenous growth abstract hicks a theory of economic history clarendon press oxford 1969 argues that an important aspect of industrial development is the adoption of technologies requiring highly illiquid capital investments the adoption of such technologies becomes economically viable in the presence of low cost financial markets that provide liquidity to investors this observation provides a mechanism by which the costs of transacting in financial markets affect the equilibrium choice of technology productive efficiency and by implication growth we analyze how the costs of financial market transactions affect the set of technologies in use and the equilibrium growth rate transactions cost reductions may depending on the capital structure enhance or reduce growth journal of economic literature classification numbers d90 e13 g14

the stock market monetary policy and economic development author affiliation edgar a ghossoub department of economics university of texas at san antonio san antonio tx 78249 usa e mail edgar ghossoub utsa edu robert r reed dagger department of economics finance and legal studies 200 alston hall university of alabama tuscaloosa al 35487 e mail rreed cba ua edu corresponding author acknowledgment we thank two anonymous referees and the co editor kent kimbrough for their insightful comments 1 introductiona vast amount of research in macroeconomics studies the role of financial markets for economic development for example king and levine 1993 document that active banking systems help economies achieve higher rates of growth 1 in addition to banking systems other measures of financial development are important notably levine and zervos 1998 conclude that stock market liquidity promotes activity 2 however minier 2003 identifies nonlinearities in the relationship between stock market activity and growth in particular minier concludes that there are threshold effects from financial development to economic performance beyond a threshold level of financial development growth and stock market activity are positively related however the correlation is not observed in countries with small stock markets consequently access to a stock market may result in a significant increase in economic activity or it may have little impact 3in addition to the stage of financial development monetary policy also affects the development process while initial studies indicate that inflation is generally associated with slower economic progress more recent research concludes that the effects of monetary policy vary across countries bae and ratti 2000 observe that higher rates of money growth are correlated with lower levels of output in argentina and brazil in contrast bullard and keating 1995 point out that inflation may be associated with an increase in output in low inflation countries in particular the recent work of ahmed and rogers 2000 finds evidence of a tobin effect for the united states 4 5why does the impact of financial development vary across countries furthermore why does the effect of monetary policy also differ across countries in this article we demonstrate that the impact of financial development depends on the services provided by various financial markets that is the economic functions of banks may be substantially different than stock markets although different types of financial markets fulfill unique allocative functions there has been surprisingly little attention devoted to studying the ways in which asset markets collectively interact from a general equilibrium perspective 6 furthermore previous work does not address how the role of monetary policy depends on the extent of financial market development we attempt to fill this gap by developing a monetary growth model that incorporates money bank deposits and equity 7 as in schreft and smith 1998 spatial separation and limited communication create a role for money and commercial banks in our economy young individuals are subject to random relocation shocks as money is the only asset that can cross locations relocated agents must liquidate all their asset holdings into currency thus random relocation is analogous to the liquidity preference shocks in diamond and dybvig 1983 as a result our model illustrates the risk pooling role of financial intermediaries in contrast to banks we consider that the stock market promotes economic development by establishing a market in which capital can be transferred across time for example this may reflect specialization of factor inputs to illustrate such ideas we consider the following motivation individuals in the economy have specialized production technologies

what can new survey data tell us about recent changes in distribution and poverty it has been claimed that in recent times the poor have lost ground both relatively and absolutely even when average levels of living have risen this article tests that claim using household surveys for 67 developing and transitional economies over 1981 94 it finds that changes in inequality and polarization were uncorrelated with changes in average living standards distribution improved as often as it worsened in growing economies and negative growth was often more detrimental to distribution than positive growth overall there was a small decrease in absolute poverty although with diverse experiences across regions and countries almost always poverty fell with growth in average living standards and rose with contraction

a cross country database for sector investment and capital this article presents a new database of investment and capital in agriculture manufacturing and the overall economy it covers 62 industrial and developing countries for the years 1967 92 a common method is used in the calculations to facilitate comparisons across countries and sectors the sensitivity of the calculations to choices of parameters and estimation methods is tested collectively the data show that as economies grow capital stocks accumulate but the composition of capital changes together and individually capital stocks in agriculture and manufacturing constitute a smaller share of the total capital stock than they did 20 years ago capital labor ratios show that agriculture has become more capital intensive m most countries the composition of agricultural capital has changed as well capital from investments in orchards and livestock has declined relative to capital from fixed investments in machinery irrigation and buildings

liquidity risk economic development and the effects of monetary policy abstract empirical evidence indicates that monetary policy is not super neutral in many countries in particular in high inflation economies inflation is negatively related to economic activity by comparison inflation may be positively correlated with output in low inflation countries we present a neoclassical growth model with money in which the incidence of liquidity risk is inversely related to aggregate capital formation interestingly there may be multiple monetary steady states where the effects of monetary policy vary in poor economies the financial system is highly distorted and higher rates of money growth are associated with less capital formation in contrast in advanced economies a tobin effect is observed since inflation exacerbates distortions from a coordination failure in the low capital steady state individuals become much more exposed to liquidity risk consequently optimal monetary policy depends on the level of development

impact of inter sectoral trade on national and global co2 emissions an empirical analysis of china and us abstract this paper attempts to discuss the co2 emissions embodied in sino us international trade using a sector approach based on an input output model established in this study we quantify the impact of sino us international trade on national and global co2 emissions our initial findings reveal that in 2005 the us reduced 190 13 mt co2 emissions through the consumption of imported goods from china while increasing global co2 emissions by about 515 25 mt similarly china reduced 178 62 mt co2 emissions through the consumption of us goods while reducing global co2 emissions by 129 93 mt sino us international trade increased global co2 emissions by 385 32 mt as a whole of which the chemical fabricated metal products non metallic mineral products and transportation equipment sectors contributed an 86 71 share therefore we suggest that accelerating the adjustment of china s trade structure and export of us advanced technologies and experience related to clean production and energy efficiency to china as the way to reduce the negative impact of sino us trade on national and global co2 emissions this behavior should take into account the processing and manufacturing industries as a priority especially the chemical fabricated metal products non metallic mineral products and transportation equipment sectors

how urbanization affects energy use in developing countries abstract this paper identifies mechanisms whereby urbanization affects energy consumption industrialization and urbanization accompany each other during economic development but urbanization exerts a number of independent influences on energy use it permits economies of scale in production but requires more transportation food must be transported to urbanized populations and relatively smaller agricultural populations must modernize entailing considerable increases in agricultural energy use in cities a number of production activities which were domestically provided in rural areas using human or animal energy shift to sources outside the household using modern energy sources the largest single source of change in energy use is personal transportation passenger transport in cities is heavily weighted towards fuel using modes particularly as incomes increase to assess the overall impact a regression analysis of 59 developing countries for 1980 is conducted holding constant per capita income and the extent of industrialization the elasticity of energy consumption per capita and per dollar of gdp is between 0 35 and 0 48

financial markets in development and the development of financial markets what is the relationship between markets and development it is argued that markets promote growth and that growth in turn encourages the formation of markets two models with endogenous market formation are presented to analyze this issue the first examines the role that financial markets banks and stock markets play in allocating funds to the highest valued use in the economic system it is shown that intermediation will arise under weak conditions the second focuses on the role that markets play in supporting specialization in economic activity the consequences of perfect competition in market formation are highlighted

a nonparametric analysis of energy environmental kuznets curve in chinese provinces energy resources are an important material foundation for the survival and development of human society and the relationship between energy and economy is interactive and complementary this paper analyzes the energy consumption economic growth nexus in chinese provinces using novel and recent nonparametric time series as well as panel data empirical approaches the dataset covers 30 provinces over the period of 1980 2018 the empirical analysis indicates the presence of a nonlinear functional form and smooth structural changes in most of the provinces the nonparametric empirical analysis validates the presence of a nonlinear unit root problem in energy consumption and economic growth and nonlinear cointegration between the variables additionally the nonparametric panel cointegration test reports evidence of convergence in energy consumption and economic growth patterns across the provinces the nonparametric regression analysis finds economic growth to have a positive effect on average on energy consumption in all provinces except for beijing further the energy environmental kuznets curve exists between economic growth and energy consumption in 20 out of 30 chinese provinces the granger causality analysis reveals the presence of a mixed causal relationship between economic growth and energy consumption the empirical findings have important implications for chinese authorities in planning for improving energy efficiency decoupling between economic growth and energy consumption and reducing the environmental footprint of provinces

financial development and economic growth views and agenda this critique argues that the preponderance of theoretical reasoning and empirical evidence suggests a positive first order relationship between financial development and economic growth the body of work would push even most skeptics toward the belief that the development of financial markets and institutions is a critical and inextricable part of the growth process and away from the view that the financial system is an inconsequential sideshow responding passively to economic growth many gaps remain however and the paper highlights areas in acute need of additional research