interactions between renewable energy policy and renewable energy industrial policy a critical analysis of china s policy approach to renewable energies this paper analyzes china s policy approach to renewable energies and assesses how effectively china has met the ideal of appropriate interactions between renewable energy policy and renewable energy industrial policy first we briefly discuss the interactions between these two policies then we outline china s key renewable energy and renewable industrial policies and find that china s government has well recognized the need for this policy interaction after that we study the achievements and problems in china s wind and solar pv sector during 2005 2012 and argue that china s policy approach to renewable energies has placed priority first on developing a renewable energy manufacturing industry and only second on renewable energy itself and it has not effectively met the ideal of appropriate interactions between renewable energy policy and renewable energy industrial policy lastly we make an in depth analysis of the three ideas underlying this policy approach that is the green development idea the low carbon leadership idea and indigenous innovation idea we conclude that chinas policy approach to renewable energies needs to enhance the interactions between renewable energy policy and renewable energy industrial policy the paper contributes to a deeper understanding of china s policy strategy toward renewable energies

empirical evidence on inflation expectations in the new keynesian phillips curve abstract we review the main identification strategies and empirical evidence on the role of expectations in the new keynesian phillips curve paying particular attention to the issue of weak identi

evaluating unemployment policies what do the underlying theories tell us the paper surveys unemployment policies for advanced market economies and evaluates them by examining the predictions of the underlying macroeconomic theories the basic idea is that for the most part different unemployment policy prescriptions rest on different macroeconomic theories and our confidence in the prescriptions should depend at least in part on theories ability to predict some salient stylized facts about unemployment behavior the paper considers four types of policies laissez faire demand management policies supply side policies and structural policies copyright 1995 by oxford university press

exchange rate rules and macroeconomic stability this paper discusses exchange rate rules in their role as macroeconomic instruments we abstract throughout from the trend part of exchange rate behaviour a crawling peg necessitated by differences in trend inflation and emphasise instead the implications of exchange rate rules in providing flexibility of real wages or in affecting the stability of output or prices

the collapse of purchasing power parities during the 1970 s one of the striking facts concerning the relationship beiveen prices and exchange rates during the 1970 s has been the dismal performance of the predictions of the simple versions of the purchasing power parity doctrine ppp that doctrine in its absolute version states that the equilibrium exchange rate between domestic and foreign currencies equals the ratio of domestic to foreign price levels the relative version of the doctrine relates equilibrium changes in exchange rates to changes in the ratio of domestic to foreign prices during the 1970 s short run changes in exchange rates bore little relationship to short run differentials in national inflation rates and frequently divergences from purchasing power parities have been cumulative this paper reviews and analyzes the empirical record of exchange rates and prices during the 1970 s and the analysis is based on the experience of the dollar pound the dollar frecch franc and the dollar dm exchange rates section 2 presents the evidence on ppp during the 1970 s and contrasts it with the evidence from the 1920 s a period during which the doctrine held up reasonably well this analysis is relevant for assessing whether the flexible exchange rate system was successful in providing national economies with an added degree of insulation from foreign shocks and whether it provided policymakers with an added instrument for the conduct of macroeconomic policy the evidence regarding devia tions from purchasing power parities is also relevant for determining whether there is a case for managed float section 3 attempts to explain what went wrong with

optimal anti inflation programs in semi industrialized economies orthodox versus heterodox policies abstract the paper characterizes the optimal time consistent anti inflation program in a small open semi industrialized economy when policy makers choose the rate of exchange rate crawl the rate of change of fiscal spending and a wage and price control parameter to minimize deviations of output and inflation the optimal program involves a rapidly decelerating rate of crawl a sharp reduction in spending and a short initial period of wage and price controls the paper also assesses the importance of controls in helping to reduce the output loss associated with fighting inflation

reconciling the wage curve and the phillips curve the wage curve is the negative relationship that links wage levels to the unemployment rate it fits accurately with modern non competitive labour market models but goes against a phillips curve modelling because the latter ties wage growth to the unemployment rate in this article we present a comprehensive review of these non competitive models highlighting recent contributions that try to eliminate the possible gap that exists between the concepts of the wage curve on the one hand and the phillips curve on the other copyright blackwell publishers ltd 2005

monetary policy trend inflation and the great moderation an alternative interpretation with positive trend inflation the taylor principle does not guarantee a determinate equilibrium we provide new theoretical results on determinacy in new keynesian models with positive trend inflation and new empirical findings on the federal reserve s reaction function before and after the volcker disinflation to find that i while the fed likely satisfied the taylor principle before volcker the us economy was still subject to self fulfilling fluctuations in the 1970s ii the us economy switched to determinacy during the volcker disinflation and iii the switch reflected changes in the fed s response to macroeconomic variables and the decline in trend inflation jel e12 e23 e31 e32 e52

predetermined prices and the persistent effects of money on output this note illustrates a model of predetermined pricing where firms set a fixed schedule of nominal prices at the time of price readjustment based on the work of fischer 1977 this contrasts with the model of fixed pricing the specification underlying most recent dynamic sticky price models it is well known that predetermined pricing cannot generate substantial persistence in the real effects of monetary shocks when prices are set via fixed duration contracts unless the contracts are of long duration however we show that with a probabilistic model of price adjustment a predetermined pricing specification can produce almost as much persistence as the more conventional model of fixed prices without the assumption of long average contract duration

the new keynesian phillips curve revisited abstract several authors have questioned the evidence claimed by gali and gertler 1999 and gali et al 2001 that a hybrid version of the new keynesian phillips curve approximates european and us inflation dynamics quite well we re examine the evidence using the vector autoregressive framework and likelihood based methods paying particular attention to the stationary and nonstationary and possibly cointegrated nature of variables involved our results show that the exact as well as the inexact form of the hybrid nkpc are clearly at odds with the european data on the other hand gali and gertler 1999 finding that the inexact hybrid nkpc is a good first approximation to the us inflation dynamics seems less at odds with the data however the assumption of the model that the stochastic term forms a sequence of innovations may be problematic as we find indication of autocorrelation in the estimated residuals the exact form of the hybrid nkpc is firmly rejected by the us data

who wins from emissions trading evidence from california researchers and environmental policy advocates have raised questions regarding the distributional impacts of emissions trading programs a k a cap and trade while previous research has been careful to identify the causal effect of emissions trading on emissions reductions fowlie et al in am econ rev 102 2 965 993 2012 hereafter fhm we argue that existing estimates of differential impacts on demographic groups have relied on unrealistic assumptions regarding pollution dispersion in this paper we estimate the emissions reduction due to the reclaim cap and trade program in southern california following the identification strategy of fhm but we relax the assumption of uniform dispersion surrounding point sources we model the transport of effluents using a state of the science dispersion model to determine the areas impacted by emissions from each source importantly conditional on race and ethnicity we find that higher income areas receive larger reductions in pollution under cap and trade furthermore conditional on income or poverty rates we find that blacks benefit while hispanics lose relative to whites under reclaim

real and nominal shocks in a two country price setting world abstract this paper develops a two country model in which the law of one price does not hold in the short run and which is consistent with the stylized fact that exchange rates respond more quickly to news than prices this is done by assuming that firms face lumpy information costs in determining what price to charge both domestic and imported goods prices are therefore sticky with respect to news and deviations from the law of one price ppp are due to exchange rate surprises the model is used to analyze the domestic and international impact of real and nominal disturbances

selection and monetary non neutrality in time dependent pricing models for a given frequency of price adjustment monetary non neutrality is smaller if older prices are disproportionately more likely to change selection for the age of prices provides a complete characterization of price setting frictions in time dependent models selection for older prices is weaker and non neutralities are larger if the hazard function of price adjustment is less strongly increasing selection is weaker if there is heterogeneity in price stickiness finally selection is weaker if durations of price spells are more variable in particular the taylor 1979 model exhibits maximal selection for older prices whereas the calvo 1983 model exhibits no selection

multinational enterprises and climate change exploring institutional failures and embeddedness this paper explores how climate change affects multinational enterprises mnes focusing on the challenges they face in overcoming liabilities and filling institutional voids related to the issue climate change is characterized by institutional failures because there is neither an enforceable global agreement nor a market morality climate change is also a distinctive international business issue as its institutional failures materialize differently in different countries as governments are still highly involved mnes need to consider carefully their strategies to cope with non market forces including their embeddedness in multiple institutional settings using some illustrative examples of mne responses to climate related components in stimulus packages we explore mnes balancing act concerning their institutional embeddedness or lack thereof in home host and supranational contexts as input for further research on the dynamics of mne activities in relation to climate change

the distributional effects of pollution regulations do renters fully pay for cleaner air abstract changes in housing prices play an important role in determining the incidence of environmental regulations if the increase in value due to changes in environmental amenities is fully passed forward in the form of higher rental prices renters may receive no net benefit from the regulations to estimate the pass through of the value of an environmental amenity i exploit the reduction in suspended particulate matter pm 10 due to the 1990 clean air act amendments caaa using instrumental variables at varying levels of spatial aggregation i find that the 1990 caaa led to a significant increase in rents but the estimated percentage effect is about half as large as that of owner occupied housing values little of this difference is driven by income differences between renters and homeowners when stratifying by income and comparing the effect of the 1990 caaa on housing values and rents point estimates suggest that half of the increase in value is passed on to renters in the form of higher rents this suggests that pass through may be incomplete but landowners still capture much of the value of the air quality regulations

chinese investment in the eu renewable energy sector motives synergies and policy implications abstract this paper addresses three questions how have trade and investment in wind and solar sectors evolved between the eu and china in recent years is there a link between rising trade conflicts and trade and investment trends and what wider motivations and synergies can be identified in chinese investments in the eu s re sector to address these questions we analyze trade and investment data as well as qualitative data including information from media and company reports large increases in trade and investment were followed by rapid falls since 2012 13 trade tensions have not led to increases in investment rather the inverse we find that chinese investment in these two sectors is very concentrated in germany the key motivation for investment is market seeking although r d is also important especially for wind most investments are greenfield a preference that has persisted over time our qualitative analysis of several key acquisitions indicates that technology integration and the consolidation of capacities across the supply chain were key motivations in most of the cases studied we conclude with some policy orientations

empirical determinants of purchasing power parity deviations abstract this paper investigates the empirical determinants of purchasing power parity ppp deviations over the recent period of flexible exchange rates transitory ppp deviations arise in a world in which prices are sticky but where exchange rates respond instantaneously to news permanent ppp deviations occur when price indices differ across countries and the world is subject to real shocks regressions consistent with the hypothesis that current exchange rate changes create immediate ppp deviations which are slowly dissipated but not eliminated imply that both sticky prices and real shocks are responsible for the recent failure of ppp

tipping and the dynamics of segregation schelling dynamic models of segregation journal of mathematical sociology 1 1971 143 186 showed that extreme segregation can arise from social interactions in white preferences once the minority share in a neighborhood exceeds a tipping point all the whites leave we use regression discontinuity methods and census tract data from 1970 through 2000 to test for discontinuities in the dynamics of neighborhood racial composition we find strong evidence that white population flows exhibit tipping like behavior in most cities with a distribution of tipping points ranging from 5 to 20 minority share tipping is prevalent both in the suburbs and near existing minority enclaves in contrast to white population flows there is little evidence of nonlinearities in rents or housing prices around the tipping point tipping points are higher in cities where whites have more tolerant racial attitudes

a perspective on multinational enterprises and climate change learning from an inconvenient truth this paper explores whether and how an important environmental issue such as climate change can not only give multinational enterprises the opportunity to develop green firm specific advantages fsas but also help reconfigure key fsas that are viewed as the main sources of firms profitability growth and survival we examine the nature and geography of such fsa development and develop two organizing frameworks which are subsequently applied to climate change using information from global 500 firms implications and future directions for international business research are indicated

the politicisation of ec anti dumping policy member states their votes and the european commission this paper examines one political economy aspect of the european communities ec anti dumping policy that has tended to be overlooked in prior studies namely the role that member states play in deciding whether to impose definitive duties on imports that have been found to be dumped and that are deemed to have injured a european industry we find that in the late 1990s numerous disagreements between member states occurred over the merits of imposing anti dumping duties these disagreements may well have been partly responsible for the strong decline in the number of european anti dumping investigations initiated after 1999

the dynamics of the liability of foreignness a global study of survival in financial services we study the impact of foreignness on survival in interbank currency trading worldwide over the period 1974 93 in particular we develop hypotheses on the behavior of the liability of foreignness over time and on the consequences of evolving sources of firm level competitive advantage on this liability we test these hypotheses on the population of 2667 market making trading rooms located in 47 countries worldwide that either existed in 1974 or entered the industry between 1974 and 1993 the results show that there is a liability of foreignness and that it changes over time further strategic and organizational factors such as the adoption of technology by these firms and their mode of internal control significantly influenced survival as did location related factors such as the intensity of local and foreign competition 1997 by john wiley sons ltd

counterinflationary policy in a unionised economy with nonsynchronised wage setting a model of the determination of wages and employment in a unionised economy with nonsynchronised wage setting is presented in this paper it is shown that a monetary deflation can lead to prolonged unemployment even though the unions act rationally and with full information about the change in policy the model generates a statistical phillips curve in which the rate of change of money wages depends on the anticipated growth rate of the money supply and on disequilibrium unemployment conventional incomes policies are shown to have desirable social effects but run counter to the perceived self interest of the trade unions and are therefore likely to be resisted taxes on wage increases have desirable long run effects but do not appear able to reduce the transitional unemployment costs of monetary deflation

does the law of one price hold in a high inflation environment a tale of two cities in turkey this study addresses the price convergence in two cities in turkey istanbul and ankara using annual data over the three quarters of the twentieth century 1922 1998 characterized by prevailing high inflation rates for most of the period in contrast to the rest of the literature addressing convergence in price levels with a typical result of extremely slow convergence rates at best we argue that convergence is much easier detected in growth rates rather than levels of prices we suggest using the bounds testing procedure of pesaran et al 2001 for this purpose we find a clear cut evidence on the existence of a common driving force behind inflation dynamics in istanbul and ankara a finding that is in contrast with the results typically reported in related literature

transforming disadvantages into advantages developing country mnes in the least developed countries we analyze the advantages and disadvantages of developing country multinational enterprises mnes in comparison with developed country mnes developing country mnes tend to be less competitive than their developed country counterparts partly because they suffer the disadvantage of operating in home countries with underdeveloped institutions we argue that this disadvantage can become an advantage when both types of mne operate in countries with difficult governance conditions because developing country mnes are used to operating in such conditions the empirical analysis shows that although developing country mnes rarely appear among the largest mnes in the world they are more prevalent among the largest foreign firms in the least developed countries ldcs especially in ldcs with poorer regulatory quality and lower control of corruption

inertial inflation indexation and price stickiness evidence from brazil abstract this paper evaluates the inertial inflation hypothesis for brazil the hypothesis posits that indexation created a feedback mechanism such that one time supply shocks were fully transmitted into permanent changes in inflation a theoretical model is used to show that this outcome is based on the assumption of perfect price flexibility however with price stickiness indexation does not produce inertial inflation the degree of inertia is then compared for two periods one without indexation 1945 1963 and one with indexation 1969 1985 finally vector autoregressive representations are estimated for the latter period allowing for price stickiness the empirical results do not support the hypothesis

price adjustments in a general model of state dependent pricing we study the distribution of retail price adjustments under the assumption that firms are more likely to adjust their prices when doing so is more valuable our setup nests calvo 1983 at one extreme and a fixed menu cost model at the other all parameterizations are ranked by a measure of state dependence high state dependence implies counterfactually that there are no small price changes and that the variance of price changes falls sharply with trend inflation the parameterization that best fits microdata has low state dependence implying a phillips curve coefficient 60 as large as that of the calvo model but is nonetheless well behaved at high inflation rates

monetary targets real exchange rates and macroeconomic stability abstract in this paper i develop a model to determine the optimal degree of flexibility in attaining monetary targets in an economy that is affected by shocks in the labor and financial markets i then simulate the model to assess the optimal degree of monetary policy flexibility in spain a country that has adopted monetary targets rigidly since 1978 i show that the model supports the policy choice of that country i also show that the monetary authorities should attribute more importance to real exchange rate movements in choosing their policies if the spanish economy becomes more open to international trade or if the labor market becomes more flexible

what do emissions markets deliver and to whom evidence from southern california s nox trading program a perceived advantage of cap and trade programs over more prescriptive environmental regulation is that enhanced compliance flexibility and cost effectiveness can make more stringent emissions reductions politically feasible however increased compliance flexibility can also result in an inequitable distribution of pollution we investigate these issues in the context of southern california s reclaim program we match facilities in reclaim with similar california facilities also located in non attainment areas our results indicate that emissions fell approximately 24 percent on average at reclaim facilities relative to our counterfactual furthermore we find that observed changes in emissions do not vary significantly with neighborhood demographic characteristics

services inflation dynamics and persistence puzzle in brazil a time varying parameter approach this article analyses services inflation dynamics in brazil focusing on the services inflation persistence puzzle for monthly data from january 2004 to february 2016 we apply a time varying para

the return of the liquidity effect a study of the short run relation between money growth and interest rates in this article i use band pass filters to investigate the short run relationship between money growth and interest rates i find a negative correlation between short run movements in money growth and interest rates which i interpret as evidence that the liquidity effect dominates the anticipated inflation effect

price wage dynamics and inflation in socialist economies empirical models for hungary and poland this article analyzes the determinants of open inflation in transitional socialist economies with reference to recent experience in hungary and poland a simple inflation model is centered on the transmission process and on the short run dynamics of inflation further incorporating a number of features specific to socialist economies and working with quarterly data dynamic price and wage equations are estimated the estimated equations allow satisfactory exploration of the role and weight of foreign prices and domestic factors in propagating inflation foreign prices matter but developments on the cost side are critical in relating exogenous policy driven adjustments to the price level to increases in the rate of inflation the absence of conventional market based equilibrating mechanisms requires that nominal anchors particularly wage restraints feature prominently in any stabilization program adopted by reforming socialist economies copyright 1992 by oxford university press

contesting a place in the sun on ideologies in foreign markets and liabilities of origin this paper explores the role of ideology in attempts to influence public policy and in business representation in the eu china solar panel anti dumping dispute it exposes the dynamics of international activity by emerging economy multinationals in this case from china and their interactions in a developed country context the eu theoretically the study also sheds light on the recent notion of liability of origin in addition to the traditional concept of liability of foreignness explored in international business research in relation to firms market and political strategies and their institutional embeddedness in home and host countries through a qualitative analysis of primary and secondary materials and interview data with key protagonists we provide a detailed evolution of the case the key actors involved and their positions arguments and strategies this illustrates the complexities involved in the interaction between markets and ideologies in the midst of debates regarding different forms of subsidy regimes for renewable energy free trade versus protectionist tendencies by governments and the economic and sustainability objectives of firms and societies the case shows how relative newcomers to the eu market responded to overcome a direct threat to their business and became with support from their home government active participants in the public debate through interactions with local commercial partners and non governmental organisations firms adopted relatively sophisticated strategies to reduce their liabilities vis a vis host country institutions and local stakeholders including collective action to increase their legitimacy and reputation and counter ideologically based attacks we also discuss implications and limitations

trend inflation wage and price rigidities and productivity growth abstract what are the steady state implications of inflation in a general equilibrium model with real per capita output growth and staggered nominal price and wage contracts surprisingly a benchmark calibration implies an optimal inflation rate of 1 9 percent the analysis also shows that trend inflation has important effects on the economy when combined with nominal contracts and real output growth steady state output and welfare losses are quantitatively important even for low values of trend inflation further nominal wage contracting is found to be quantitatively more important than nominal price contracting in generating the results this conclusion does not arise from price dispersion per se but from an effect of nominal output growth on the optimal markup of monopolistically competitive labour suppliers finally accounting for productivity growth is found to be important for calculating the welfare costs of inflation indeed the presence of 2 percent productivity growth increases the welfare costs of inflation in the benchmark specification by a factor of four relative to the no growth case

segregation and tiebout sorting the link between place based investments and neighborhood tipping abstract segregation has been a recurring social concern throughout human history while much progress has been made to our understanding of the mechanisms driving segregation work to date has ignored the role played by location specific amenities nonetheless policy remedies for reducing group inequity often involve place based investments in minority communities in this paper we introduce an exogenous location specific public good into a model of group segregation we characterize the equilibria of the model and derive the comparative statics of improvements to the local public goods we show that the dynamics of neighborhood tipping depend on the levels of public goods we also show that investments in low public good communities can actually increase segregation

output persistence from monetary shocks with staggered prices or wages under a taylor rule we analytically examine output persistence from monetary shocks in a dsge model with staggered prices or wages under a taylor rule surprisingly while taylor style staggering never yields persistence calvo style staggering of wages does generate persistence under decreasing returns to labour c 2009 elsevier b v all rights reserved

unemployment as excess supply of labor implications for wage and price inflation abstract the introduction of both market clearing wages and nominal rigidities on wage setting can be used to rationalize unemployment as excess supply of labor in the new keynesian model as a result wage inflation dynamics are forward looking and depend negatively on the rate of unemployment moreover both price inflation and wage inflation evolve as indicated by equations equivalent to those obtained in erceg et al 2000 though with different slope coefficients in an equal volatility comparison the model with unemployment conveys less price stickiness and more wage stickiness

staggering the optimal monetary rule and persistence abstract the purpose of this paper is to show that persistence is not an attribute that derives from the characteristics of wage and price setting alone the structure of demand the monetary rule and the welfare loss function are also crucial determinants of the time series characteristics of the model

export pricing flexible exchange rates and divergence in the prices of traded goods abstract a model of firm pricing where customers adjust slowly to price differences is extended to an exporting firm under flexible exchange rates the foreign currency price the firm sets determines both current net revenue and the rate of investment in market share real exchange rate changes lead to price revisions but the protracted adjustment of customers prompts a smaller price response to transitory changes in the real exchange rate the model accounts for observed variations in traded goods prices across countries and the failure of exporting firms to pass through exchange rate changes but in contrast to static models does not predict frequent reallocation of traded goods production

money shocks and deviations from purchasing power parity abstract this paper applies the island economy framework of phelps 1970 to a small open economy under a flexible exchange rate to study the effects of nominal and real disturbances on the purchasing power parity relation incomplete information about the aggregate state of the economy and informational differences between agents implies that a monetary shock that has finite variance can induce deviations from purchasing power parity while also affecting production consumption and the current account the real effects of money however become smaller as the variance of money gets larger a type of lucas slope effect of money on deviations from purchasing power parity is obtained

surprise party estimating the consequences of unexpected presidential election results alesina s quarterly journal of economics 102 651 678 1987 influential model of presidential elections with ideologically motivated parties attributes higher growth and lower unemployment under democratic presidents to the surprise inflation a democratic victory entails in contrast to the published literature we test this hypothesis using calcula tions of presidential election surprises consistent with the assumption of rational economic actors we confront the econometric complications attending a time series approach tak ing into account economic growth dynamics we ultimately fail to confirm the hypothesis that the level of uncertainty associated with presidential election results has an effect on economic outcomes

going green trade specialisation dynamics in the solar photovoltaic sector abstract the present study aims at providing a comprehensive analysis of trade flows and the domestic value creation of the major solar photovoltaic industry at the world level solar technologies convert light and heat from the sun into useful energy the use of the sun s energy can not only reduce the consumption of conventional fuels thus reducing the emission of detrimental greenhouse gases but it can also enable a gain in enhanced fuel and energy security along with lessening costs in addition green technologies and industries can promote economic growth and international competitiveness and can offer new business and employment opportunities it becomes therefore extremely important to deeply explore the dynamics of the solar photovoltaic sector specifically the present work analyses the main global trends of this sector and sketches the key players on the world market including producers installers and top traders based on an analysis of trade flows at the 6 digit level the international specialisation patterns are investigated and the role of various market and trade drivers including subsidies in the uptake of solar technologies is identified and examined

the phillips curve the persistence of inflation and the lucas critique evidence from exchange rate regimes comment we present evidence from the united states and the united kingdom that the persistence of price inflation is significantly higher under managed exchange rate regimes than under gold based fixed exchange rate regimes these differences are also reflected in expectations augmented phillips curves we use a two country macro model with forward looking price setters to demonstrate that higher monetary accommodation of inflation and exchange rate accommodation of inflation differentials increase inflation persistence the evidence does not contradict this hypothesis it supports the hypothesis of forward looking price setters and highlights the empirical significance of the lucas critique jel e31 e42 f33