corporate taxation and capital accumulation evidence from sectoral panel data for 14 oecd countries abstract we present new empirical evidence that sector level capital output ratios are strongly influenced by corporate tax incentives as summarised by the tax component of a standard user cost of capital measure we use sectoral panel data for the usa japan australia and eleven eu countries over the period 1982 2007 our panel combines internationally consistent data on capital stocks value added and relative prices from the eu klems database with corporate tax measures from the oxford university centre for business taxation our results for equipment investment are particularly robust and strikingly consistent with the basic economic theory of corporate investment

do r d tax credits work evidence from a panel of countries 1979 1997 this paper examines the impact of fiscal incentives on the level of r d investment an econometric model of r d investment is estimated using a new panel of data on tax changes and r d spending in nine oecd countries over a 19 year period 1979 1997 we find evidence that tax incentives are effective in increasing r d intensity this is true even after allowing for permanent country specific characteristics world macro shocks and other policy influences we estimate that a 10 fall in the cost of r d stimulates just over a 1 rise in the level of r d in the short run and just under a 10 rise in r d in the long run

an experimental examination of labor supply and work intensities estimated negative substitution effects on work hours question the empirical validity of the classical labor supply model estimates are reconciled by allowing a dual choice of hours and effort for piecerate workers in such a model these negative substitution effects result from substituting on and off the job leisure we test our model using controlled experimentation on human subjects these experiments while not naturally occurring environments represent real economic choices and can generate data unavailable elsewhere e g effort data the results support our model and they have implications both for labor management and for empirical research focusing only on the hours choice the classical static model of the labor leisure choice offers positive compensated wage effects on hours of work as its main testable implication previous attempts to test this hypothesis with field data have cast doubt on the empirical validity of the static labor supply model due to the frequency of negative estimated compensated wage elasticities a limitation of the model is that it views the choice of hours of work as the only

internal and external effects of r d subsidies and fiscal incentives empirical evidence using spatial dynamic panel models abstract most studies evaluating the macroeconomic effects of financial support policies on business funded r d use econometric methods that do not consider the existence of spatial effects and generate biased estimates in this paper we discus and address this problem using spatial dynamic panel data methods this allow us to provide new insights on the internal in country and external out of country effects of both research and development r d subsidies and fiscal incentives we use a database of 25 oecd countries for the period 1990 2009 in relation to internal effects for both instruments we find a non linear relationship between their effect on private r d and their level suggesting the possibility of leveraging and crowding out effects we also find a substitution effect between the r d subsidies and fiscal incentives implemented within a country concerning the spatial component we find evidence of positive spatial spillovers among private r d investments however our results suggest the existence of competition substitution effects between national r d policies

inter industry strategic r d and supplier demander relationships abstract this paper investigates if the r d of an industry changes due to the r d of an industry s suppliers and or demanders using an annual industry level panel of manufacturing r d in the united states i find that regressing the r d of an industry on the lagged values of another industry s r d suggests r d comovement between industries with a strong supplier demander relationship variance decompositions indicate that the r d of an industry has high forecasting power over the r d variance of another industry if the two industries share a strong supplier demander relationship

the direction of innovation abstract how do innovation policies affect the direction of research is market based innovation too radical or too incremental we construct a novel and tractable model of the direction of innovation firms pursue inefficient research directions because they race to discover easy yet less valuable projects and because they work on difficult inventions where they can appropriate a larger portion of the social value fixing these inefficiencies requires policy to condition on properties of inventions that could have been discovered but were not policies which do not do so like patents and prizes may fail to encourage firms to research in the efficient direction even if they obtain the optimal quantity of r d

unemployment labor market reform and monetary union monetary union such as the economic and monetary union in europe emu may affect incentives for labor market reform and thus equilibrium unemployment through several mechanisms if an inflation bias exists there is usually a stronger incentive to reduce equilibrium unemployment through national reform outside rather than inside the emu absent such a bias emu membership could lead to more reform one reason is that reform may increase wage flexibility which can substitute for monetary policy in the emu another reason could be a precautionary motive for low equilibrium unemployment to reduce the utility cost of increased macroeconomic variability in the emu

the behavioralist visits the factory increasing productivity using simple framing manipulations recent discoveries in behavioral economics have led to important new insights concerning what can happen in markets such gains in knowledge have come primarily via laboratory experiments a missing piece of the puzzle in many cases is parallel evidence drawn from naturally occurring field counterparts we provide a small movement in this direction by taking advantage of a unique opportunity to work with a chinese high tech manufacturing facility our study revolves around using insights gained from one of the most influential lines of behavioral research framing manipulations in an attempt to increase worker productivity in the facility using a natural field experiment we report several insights for example conditional incentives framed as both losses and gains increase productivity for both individuals and teams in addition teams more acutely respond to bonuses posed as losses than as comparable bonuses posed as gains the magnitude of this framing effect is roughly 1 that is total team productivity is enhanced by 1 purely due to the framing manipulation importantly we find that neither the framing nor the incentive effect lose their significance over time rather the effects are observed over the entire sample period moreover we learn that repeated interaction with workers and conditionality of the bonus contract are substitutes for sustenance of incentive effects in the long run this paper was accepted by gerard p cachon decision analysis

how effective are fiscal incentives for r d a review of the evidence this paper surveys the econometric evidence on the effectiveness of fiscal incentives for r d we describe the effects of tax systems in oecd countries on the user cost of r d the current position changes over time and across different firms in different countries we describe and criticize the methodologies used to evaluate the effect of the tax system on

patterns of internationalisation of corporate technology location vs home country advantages given the trends towards increasing globalisation of markets and of production the globalisation of technology remains a subject of considerable interest to analysts and policy makers in the 1990s this paper provides some new empirical observations for debate and discussion on the patterns of technological activities of large firms outside their home countries it is based on a systematic analysis of the us patenting activities of 220 of the most internationalised firms in terms of their technology in the 1990s although firms are active outside their home countries in the high technology fields such as computers pharmaceuticals telecommunications image and sound and materials quite a sizeable proportion of their foreign activities are concerned with process and machinery technologies moreover a comparison of the technological advantage of the company at home and the advantage of the location shows that in a large majority of cases firms tend to locate their technology abroad in their core areas where they are strong at home these results suggest that adapting products and processes and materials to suit foreign markets and providing technical support to off shore manufacturing plants remain major factors underlying the internationalisation of technology they are also consistent with the notion that firms are increasingly engaging in small scale activities to monitor and scan new technological developments in centres of excellence in foreign countries within their areas of existing strength however there is little evidence to suggest that even these most internationalised firms routinely go abroad to compensate for their weakness at home

how responsive is business capital formation to its user cost an exploration with micro data abstract the response of business capital formation to its user cost is critical to evaluating tax reform deficit reduction and monetary policy evidence for a substantial user cost elasticity however is sparse most evidence has been based on aggregate data although several recent studies with firm level data report substantial effects with a particularly rich micro dataset containing over 26 000 observations this paper explores what can be learned about the user cost elasticity while the results depend to some extent on the specification and econometric technique various diagnostics lead us to prefer a precisely estimated but small elasticity of approximately 0 25 this paper is dedicated to the memory of robert eisner who labored early and ably on uncovering the determinants of investment spending and highlighting the importance of the question found in the title of this paper

r d support programs in developing countries the turkish experience in this study the determinants of private r d investment are examined at the level of firms in the turkish manufacturing industry we focus our attention on the effect of public r d support programs our findings indicate that public r d support significantly and positively affects private r d investment there seems to be even an acceleration effect on firm financed r d expenditures smaller r d performers benefit more from r d support and perform more r d in addition technology transfer from abroad and domestic r d activity show up as complementary processes given the scarcity of studies on r d support in technologically weaker economies our hope is that the less developed countries can exploit these findings in constructing socially beneficial technology policies

entrepreneurial innovations and taxation stimulating entrepreneurship is high on the policy agenda of many countries we study the effects of tax policies on entrepreneurs choice of riskiness or quality of an innovation project and on their mode of commercializing the innovation market entry versus sale limited loss offset provisions in the tax system induce entrepreneurs innovating for entry to choose projects with inefficiently little risk the same distortion does not arise when entrepreneurs sell their innovation in a competitive bidding process to an incumbent before the uncertainty is revealed tax systems which systematically favor market entry of entrepreneurs can thus lead to welfare losses due to inefficient quality choices despite leading to more competition in the product market

complementing emu rethinking cohesion policy under emu the less competitive regions of the eu usually assumed to be peripheral have been widely expected to lose ground yet it is the core of the eu that so far has appeared to have suffered from the advent of the euro this paper looks at the processes behind regional divergence in the eu and presents evidence on recent and prospective trends as emu is consolidated bearing in mind that the imminent enlargement of the eu will radically change the political economy of the eu s efforts to assure cohesion policy issues are then discussed looking forward to the next renegotiation of the structural funds it is argued that difficult decisions have to be taken about the extent and character of eu policy the option of an open method of coordination for cohesion policy is put forward as a means of resolving some of the hard choices

market failures and the additionality effects of public support to private r d theory and empirical implications we extend the theoretical basis of the empirical literature on the effects of r d subsidies by providing an estimable model of strategic interaction among subsidy applicants and public and private sector r d financiers our model incorporates fixed r d cost and a cost of external finance we derive the optimal support rule at the intensive extensive margin the costs of external funding reduce increase the optimal subsidy rate we also establish necessary and sufficient conditions for the existence of additionality it turns out that additionality at the intensive margin is less likely with higher spillovers our results suggest that the relationship between additionality and welfare may not be straightforward

currency unions and trade the effect is large the impact of a common currency on trade can be grossly mismeasured if countries that belong to currency unions are systematically different from those that do not and if the relationship between trade and its observable determinants is complex i argue that such complications are plausible and likely to distort the empirical results of a recent economic policy paper by andrew rose issue 30 2000 pp 7 45 using techniques designed to be robust in this situation i find that the effects of common currency on international trade are considerably less dramatic and much less precisely estimated copyright cepr ces msh 2001

a theory of growth and volatility at the aggregate and firm level abstract we present an endogenous growth model that explains the evolution of the first and second moments of productivity growth at the aggregate and firm level during the post war period growth is driven by the development of both i idiosyncratic r d innovations and ii general innovations that can be freely adopted by many firms firm level volatility is affected primarily by the schumpeterian dynamics associated with the development of r d innovations the variance of aggregate productivity growth is driven by the arrival rate of general innovations ceteris paribus the share of resources spent on development of general innovations increases with the stability of the market share of the industry leader as market shares become less persistent the model predicts an endogenous shift in the allocation of resources from the development of general innovations to the development of r d innovations this results in an increase in r d an increase in firm level volatility and a decline in aggregate volatility the effect on productivity growth is ambiguous on the empirical side this paper presents new cross country evidence that r d subsidies are not significantly associated with higher growth but are associated with lower aggregate volatility it also documents an upward trend in the instability of market shares a positive association between firm volatility and r d spending and a negative association across sectors between r d and how correlated the sector is with the rest of the economy

multinationals and industrial policy are there benefits to the host country from multinational investments does potential value from these investments make active industrial policy worthwhile we answer the first question affirmatively having reviewed economic principles and evidence concerning the effects of projects locating in or not being off shored from a country on the second policy can have a limited effect in influencing location decisions but it is doubtful that it is cost effective implementation faces lack of information risk of capture and in many cases non rigorous processes competition between jurisdictions means that much policy is investment diversion not investment creation there is a case for supra national controls as with eu state aid regulations for policy to be used only for well defined market failures and for better implementation and more rigorous ex ante appraisal and ex post evaluation copyright 2013 oxford university press

is public r d a complement or substitute for private r d a review of the econometric evidence is public r d spending complementary and thus additional to private r d spending or does it substitute for and tend to crowd out private r d conflicting answers are given to this question we survey the body of available econometric evidence accumulated over the past 35 years a framework for analysis of the problem is developed to help organize and summarize the findings of econometric studies based on time series and cross section data from various levels of aggregation laboratory firm industry country the findings overall are ambivalent and the existing literature as a whole is subject to the criticism that the nature of the experiment s that the investigators envisage is not adequately specified we conclude by offering suggestions for improving future empirical research on this issue

global warming and endogenous technological change revisiting the green paradox one of the most pressing policy challenges facing the world today concerns how to mitigate global warming while improving people s well being the green paradox argues that increasing taxes on co2 emissions exacerbates global warming in the present because firms have the incentive to bring forward the extraction and sale of fossil fuels this paper shows that whenever technological progress allows the extraction costs of fossil fuels to be reduced over time and a positive r d subsidy is paid a growing tax on co2 emissions reveals a welfare maximizing policy

one money one market the effect of common currencies on trade currency unions their dramatic effect on international trade a gravity model is used to assess the separate effects of exchange rate volatility and currency unions on international trade the panel data bilateral observations for five years during 1970 90 covering 186 countries includes 300 observations in which both countries use the same currency i find a large positive effect of a currency union on international trade and a small negative effect of exchange rate volatility even after controlling for a host of features including the endogenous nature of the exchange rate regime these effects statistically significant imply that two countries sharing the same currency trade three times as much as they would with different currencies currency unions like the european emu may thus lead to a large increase in international trade with all that that entails andrew rose

national scientific capacity and r d offshoring abstract this paper presents new evidence regarding the role of national scientific capacity in driving patterns of r d offshoring using a larger and more comprehensive dataset than has hitherto been used and applying it in a gravity model framework our results unambiguously support the importance of inventor country scientific capacity in attracting offshored r d as expected the home country s scientific capacity is also found to play a positive role we find that in fact on average firms source technology from less technologically advanced nations suggesting that firms offshore to access niche skills

multiple wage bargaining systems in the single european currency area little attention in the emu literature has been paid to the interaction between central bank monetary rules and systems of collective wage bargaining analytically and empirically coordinated wage bargaining systems respond with real wage restraint to non accommodating monetary policy since wage determination is dominated by collective bargaining in all the emu member states and wage coordination within the member states has grown since 1980 this is a topic of potential importance in particular the replacement of the bundesbank directly targeting german inflation by an ecb targeting european inflation has removed a major institutional support of wage restraint in germany the consequences of this for emu are worked out under two scenarios that inflation expectations will be generated by ecb monetary policy and that they will reflect german inflation outcomes possible institutional developments are discussed including government union bargains the bundesbank has also played a major role in maintaining fiscal rectitude by targeting excess fiscal deficits in germany again its replacement by the ecb targeting if at all european rather than german fiscal policy loosens fiscal constraints for underlying structural reasons therefore it is possible that germany and other emu countries will move to a period of fiscal activism with wage restraint and low inflation purchased through social contract negotiations

effectiveness of r d tax incentives in small and large enterprises in quebec in this paper we evaluate the effectiveness of r d tax incentives in quebec using manufacturing firm data from 1997 to 2003 originating from r d surveys annual surveys of manufactures and administrative data the estimated price elasticity of r d is 0 10 in the short run and 0 14 in the long run with slightly higher elasticities for small firms than for large firms we show that there is a deadweight loss associated with level based r d tax incentives that is particularly acute for large firms for small firms it is not sizeable enough to suppress the r d additionality at least not for quite a number of years after the initial tax change incremental r d tax credits do not suffer from this deadweight loss and are from that perspective preferable to level based tax incentives

productivity under the 1997 2010 labour government what was the productivity record under the labour government of 1997 2010 i show that productivity growth and economic performance in general was good when the uk is compared with its main international peers only the us had stronger productivity growth and the uk did better than the us in terms of the jobs market much of this improved performance was a continuation of the pattern since 1979 which broke a century of relative decline some part of the improvement is directly linked to policies especially over human capital innovation and competition we discuss the recent productivity puzzle the disappointing productivity figures since the onset of the great recession in 2008 and argue that our conclusions are unchanged as most other oecd countries have also experienced poor measured productivity

motivating innovation the effect of loss aversion on the willingness to persist we investigate the willingness of individuals to persist at exploration when confronted by prolonged periods of negative feedback we design a two dimensional maze game and run a series of randomiz

inequality and convergence in europe s regions reconsidering european regional policies europe s regions income disparities and regional policies in this paper we take a critical look at current european regional policies first we document the motivation for such policies that is the large income disparities across the regions of the eu15 large disparities are certainly present second we illustrate the various instruments adopted and discuss their underpinnings in established economic theories next we look at available data searching for three kinds of evidence 1 if disparities are either growing or decreasing we conclude they are neither 2 which are the major factors explaining such disparities and in particular if they are the factors predicted by the economic models adopted by the commission to justify current policies we conclude this is most certainly not the case 3 if there are clear signs that eu policies as opposed to other social and economic factors are actually reducing such disparities we cannot find any clear sign of such desired impact our conclusion is that regional and structural policies serve mostly a redistributional purpose motivated by the nature of the political equilibria upon which the european union is built they have little relationship with fostering economic growth this casts a serious doubt on their social value and furthermore strongly questions extending such policies to future members of the european union a successful eu enlargement in our view calls for an immediate and drastic revision of regional economic policies michele boldrin and fabio canova

uncertainty and the dynamics of r d uncertainty varies strongly over time rising by 50 to 100 in recessions and by up to 200 after major economic and political shocks this paper shows that higher uncertainty reduces the responsiveness of r d to changes in business conditions a caution effect making it more persistent over time thus uncertainty will play a critical role in shaping the dynamics of r d through the business cycle and its response to technology policy i also show that if firms are increasing their level of r d then the effect of uncertainty will be negative while if firms are reducing r d then the effect of uncertainty will be positive

fiscal flows in the united states and canada lessons for monetary union in europe regional flows of federal taxes and transfers within the united states and canada are used to analyze long term fiscal flows the redistributive element and short term responses to regional business cycles the stabilization element in the united states long run flows amount to 22 cents in the dollar while the stabilization effect is 31 cents in the dollar in canada the redistributive effect is larger 39 cents and the stabilization effect smaller 17 cents federal flows appears to depend on the institutional structure of the country concerned however in both countries the redistributive element is considerably larger than the amounts involved in the ec structural funds program as for stabilization national fiscal policies in the ec appear to have been as effective as federal governments in the united states and canada in cushioning shocks to incomes

participation inertia in r d tax incentive and subsidy programs we examine how persistent firms participation is in rd the use of tax credits in contrast is unrelated to a firm s productivity our results suggest that r d tax incentives and r d subsidies are not substitutes and that any unintended misallocation of support is likely to persist

optimal design of research contests procurement of an innovation often requires substantial effort by potential suppliers motivating effort may be difficult if the level of effort and quality of the resulting innovation are unverifiable if innovators cannot benefit directly by marketing their innovations and if the buyer cannot extract up front payments from suppliers we study the use of contests to procure an innovation in such an environment an auction in which two suppliers are invited to innovate and then bid their prizes is optimal in a large class of contests if contestants are asymmetric it is optimal to handicap the most efficient one

what drives business research and development r d intensity across organisation for economic co operation and development oecd countries this paper empirically investigates the potential determinants of business sector r d intensity using a panel of oecd countries for the period of 1975 2002 with data measured as five year averages estimates using a system gmm estimator controlling for endogeneity show a high degree of persistence in business sector r d expenditures tax incentives for r d have a significant and positive impact on business r d spending regardless of the specification and estimation techniques furthermore we find that expenditures for r d performed by universities are significantly positively related to business enterprise sector expenditures on r d indicating that public sector r d and private r d are complements direct r d subsidies and the high tech export share are significantly positively related to business sector r d intensity but these effects are only significant using the first differenced gmm estimator the static fixed effects results show that countries characterised by strong patent rights appear to hav

you can lead a firm to r d but can you make it innovate uk evidence from smes the uk government introduced tax credits for smes to promote and support r d in 2000 since then the policy has become more generous in this respect particularly since 2008 in this paper we use the national systems of entrepreneurship as a conceptual framework in which to question whether smes take up of tax credits has actually led to an increase in product service or process innovations our evidence suggests that a sme engagement with the policy is fairly randomly distributed across the sector and b there is little additional product service innovation to justify the expenditure in foregone taxes given the current distribution of credits but c there is evidence of enhanced radical process innovations particularly when combined with strong capability and planning at the firm level

how effective are level based r d tax credits evidence from the netherlands this paper examines the impact of the r d fiscal incentive program on r d by dutch firms taking a factor demand approach we measure the elasticity of firm r d capital accumulation to its user cost econometric models are estimated using a rich unbalanced panel of firm data covering the period 1996 2004 with firm specific r d user costs varying with tax incentives using the estimated user cost elasticity we perform a cost benefit analysis of the r d incentive program we find some evidence of additionality suggesting that the level based program of r d incentives in the netherlands is effective in stimulating firms investment in r d however the hypothesis of crowding out can be rejected only for small firms the analysis also indicates that the level based nature of the fiscal incentive scheme leads to a substantial social dead weight loss

the effectiveness of tax incentives for r d i in developing countries the case of argentina abstract there is increasing interest in developing countries in granting tax incentives in order to encourage private investment in research development and innovation r d i however evidence on the effectiveness of such schemes in achieving policy goals in weak innovation systems contexts is still very scarce this paper aims at narrowing this knowledge gap by focusing on the effects of a tax credit scheme for promoting firm level innovation investment in argentina the analysis applies dynamic panel data techniques to a novel dataset merging several waves of the national innovation survey collected by the national institute of statistics and censuses the results suggest that the elasticity of r d i investment to its user cost of capital is a greater than 1 in absolute terms which implies that the intervention has been effective in increasing firms innovation efforts however effects vary depending on the type of innovation investment being subsidized industrial sector and size of the firm moreover when innovation investment is divided into innovation related capital goods expenditures and only r d the results suggest that the absolute value of the elasticity for the r d component of the innovation investment is less than 1 these heterogeneous effects should be exploited for further policy design

aspiring to succeed a model of entrepreneurship and fear of failure fear of failure can dominate the choices of individuals we model its role in the decision to become an entrepreneur and subsequent investments made in pursuit of success using the framework of loss aversion we show that when an individual s threshold for success is sufficiently high fear of failure motivates additional investment when the threshold for success is equal to the foregone outside option on the other hand fear of failure is always de motivating finally regardless of the success threshold fear of failure is negatively associated with entry into entrepreneurship our findings highlight the importance of the interaction between the degree of fear of failure and the aspirations of the would be entrepreneur

a controlled field experiment on corruption abstract this paper reports on a controlled field experiment on corruption designed to address two important issues the experimenter s scrutiny and the unobservability of corruption in the experiment a grader is offered a bribe along with a demand for a better grade we find that graders respond more favorably to bigger bribes while the effect of higher wages is ambiguous it lowers the bribe s acceptance but it fosters reciprocation monitoring and punishment can deter corruption but we cannot reject that it may also crowd out intrinsic motivations for honesty when intensified finally our results suggest several micro determinants of corruption including age ability religiosity but not gender

the two dimensions of policy impacts on economic cohesion concept and illustration for the cap abstract given the growing importance of cohesion policy within the european union eu during the last two decades public and scientific interest in the role of eu policies for regional disparities has risen continuously recent empirical studies on the impacts of the common agricultural policy cap on economic cohesion have been strikingly diverse in their principal findings whereas some studies suggest positive overall effects on economic cohesion others stress exactly the opposite one major reason for the ambiguous results is that a single agreed upon measure of economic cohesion is lacking we propose a concept that distinguishes between two dimensions of policy impacts on economic cohesion i the redistributive impact at a defined period of time and ii the change of the redistributive impact over time the first dimension addresses the question whether a policy makes the distribution of a target variable e g income more equal or unequal at one point of time the second dimension covers the impact of the policy on the disparity of the same variable over time i e the impact on convergence an empirical illustration of the concept for 13 nuts 1 regions in germany over the period 1991 2009 reveals that the two policy impacts of the cap are partly contradictory for the two dimensions it is shown that the cap fosters economic cohesion by reducing regional disparities in each individual year with regard to redistributive impacts over time we find that cap transfers leave income convergence largely unaffected for society as a whole within the agricultural sector it leads to a convergence of receipts per farm whereas it induces a divergence of farm receipts per hectare

tax incentives for business investment a primer for policy makers in developing countries abstract the use of tax incentives is widespread even though the available empirical evidence on the cost effectiveness of such incentives in stimulating investment is highly inconclusive this paper is primarily intended as a primer on the use of tax incentives for policy makers especially those in developing countries it discusses the objectives cost effectiveness and transparency of implementing tax incentives assesses the comparative merits of alternative forms of such incentives and provides a review of the empirical literature its main conclusions are that the justification for the use of tax incentives should be limited to the rectification of market failures and that the preferred form of tax incentives are those that provide for faster recovery of investment costs

the political economy of the european economic and monetary union political sources of an economic liability emu would be an economic liability a single currency would cause at most small trade and investment gains but would raise average cyclical unemployment and possibly raise inflation perpetuate structural unemployment and increase the risk of protectionism emu is nevertheless being pursued in order to create a political union fundamental disagreements among member states about economic policies foreign and military policies and the sharing of political power are likely to create future intra european conflicts a united europe would be a formidable participant in the twenty first century s global balance of power with uncertain consequences for world stability and peace

do tax credits stimulate r d spending the effect of the r d tax credit in its first decade abstract this paper examines the impact of the u s federal r d tax credit between 1981 1991 using confidential irs data from corporate tax returns the empirical analysis makes two key advances on previous work first it implements a new instrumental variables iv strategy based on tax changes that directly addresses the simultaneity of r d spending and marginal credit rates second the analysis makes use of new restricted access irs corporate return data describing r d expenditures estimates imply that a10 reduction in the user cost of r d leads the average firm to increase its research intensity the ratio of r d spending to sales by 19 8 in the short run long run estimates imply that the average firm faces adjustment costs and increases spending over time though small and young firms show evidence of reversing initial increases analysis of the components of qualified research shows that wages and supplies account for the bulk of the increase in research spending elasticities of qualified and total research intensities from a smaller sample suggest firms respond to user cost changes largely by increasing their qualified spending meaning that the type of r d the federal credit deems qualified research is an important margin on which the credit affects firm behavior

framing of incentives and effort provision a prospect theory model combining loss aversion and diminishing sensitivity predicts that the link between incentives framing and effort is ambiguous small penalties yield higher effort but isomorphic contracts with large penalties decrease effort we conduct two experiments a framed field and a conventional lab experiment in which economically equivalent contracts are framed as menus of either i bonuses ii penalties or iii bonuses and penalties the experimental results confirm the main intuition of the model as subjects performed best when bonuses and penalties are combined a follow up lottery experiment confirms that both loss aversion and diminishing sensitivity influenced the performance

appropriate intellectual property protection and economic growth in countries at different levels of development this paper examines how the role of patents and utility models in innovation and economic growth varies by level of economic development using a panel dataset of over 70 countries we find that patent protection is an important determinant of innovation and that patentable innovations contribute to economic growth in developed countries but not in developing instead in developing economies a minor form of intellectual property rights iprs namely utility models is conducive to innovation and growth controlling for other factors using korean firm level data as a case study we find that utility model innovations contribute to firm performance when firms are technologically lagging and that those minor innovations can be a learning device and thus a stepping stone for developing more patentable inventions later on upon reaching higher levels of technological capabilities firms become more reliant upon patents and less on utility models thus the lesson here is that patent protection enhances innovation and economic growth in countries where the capacity to conduct innovative research exists where this capacity is weaker a system that provides incentives to conduct minor incremental inventions is more conducive to growth the significance of this paper is to emphasize the importance not just of the strength of iprs but of the appropriate type of iprs for economic development

are firms that received r d subsidies more innovative this paper looks at the effectiveness of r d grants for canadian plants that already benefit from r d tax credits using a non parametric matching estimator we find that firms that benefited from both policy measures introduced more new products than their counterparts that only benefited from r d tax incentives they also made more world first product innovations and were more successful in commercializing their innovations

financing innovation evidence from rad grants abstract governments regularly subsidize new ventures to spur innovation this paper conducts the first large sample quasi experimental evaluation of r d subsidies i use data on ranked applicants

do the effects of r d tax credits vary across industries a meta regression analysis this paper presents a survey of the micro econometric literature on the effects of r d tax credits on firms innovation activities we focus on one specific aspect that has not received sufficient attention in previous research the sectoral dimension our meta regression analysis mra sets up a new database collecting a large number of firm level studies on the effects of r d tax credits and investigates the factors that may explain differences in the estimated effects that are reported in the literature the main result of the mra analysis is indeed that sectors matter specifically the additionality effect of r d tax credits is on average stronger for smes firms in the service sectors and firms in low tech sectors in countries with an incremental scheme the paper proposes a simple framework to investigate why the innovation and economic effects of r d tax credits vary across sectors and points out new directions and hypotheses for future research

the effectiveness of r d tax credits in order to measure the effect of tax credits on private r d investment researchers confront the difficult problem of finding an exogenous measure of tax policy that exhibits sufficient variation

currency unions and trade how large is the treatment effect currency unions and trade what can the data say the impact of a common currency on trade can be grossly mismeasured if countries that belong to currency unions are systematically different from those that do not and if the relationship between trade and its observable determinants is complex i argue that such complications are plausible and likely to distort the empirical results of a recent economic policy paper by andrew rose issue 30 2000 pp 7 45 using techniques designed to be robust in this situation i find that the effects of common currency on international trade are considerably less dramatic and much less precisely estimated torsten persson i have always maintained that the measured effect of a single currency on trade appears implausibly large but i am not convinced by torsten persson s diagnosis and proposed solution i apply a variety of estimation techniques to a new larger data set where many more instances of currency union creation and abandonment make it possible to rely on time series as well as cross sectional evidence the results are similar to my earlier ones the effect of a single currency on trade is large andrew rose

do r d tax credits work evidence from an international panel of countries 1979 1994 this paper examines the impact of fiscal incentives on the level of rd and just under a 10 per cent rise in r d in the long run

infrastructure and education as instruments of regional policy evidence from spain regional policy and spain infrastructure and education as instruments of regional policy evidence from spain governments have often tried to influence the regional distribution of economic activity through supply side measures such as investment in training and infrastructure using evidence from spain we examine whether such policies can have an impact and whether they have done so in the past our results indicate that disparities in the stocks of human and public capital account for a third of observed regional inequality about evenly split between the two factors hence public investment can in principle be used to reduce regional disparity its actual impact however will depend both on its overall volume and on the extent to which its regional allocation does indeed vary with regional need in spain investment in infrastructure has made only a small contribution to regional convergence primarily because it has not in practice been allocated to redistribute across regions to any great extent in contrast efrd transfers have clearly been allocated among regions with redistribution in mind the impact of the fund has been significant but it has been limited by the relatively small size of the programme angel de la fuente and xavier vives

who participates in r d subsidy programs the case of spanish manufacturing firms abstract empirical evidence on the effectiveness of r d subsidies to firms has produced mixed results so far one possible explanation is that firms and project selection rules may be quite heterogeneous both across agencies and across industries leading to different outcomes in terms of the induced additional private effort here we focus on the participation stage using a sample of spanish firms we test for differences across agencies and industries our results suggest that firms in the same industry face different hurdles to participate in different agencies programs that participation patterns may reflect a combination of agency goals and that patterns differ across high tech and low tech industries

overconfidence and excess entry an experimental approach psychological studies show that most people are overconfident about their own relative abilities and unreasonably optimistic about their futures e g shelly e taylor and j d brown 1988 neil d weinstein 1980 when assessing their position in a distribution of peers on almost any positive trait like driving ability ola svenson 1981 income prospects or longevity a vast majority of people say they are above the average although of course only half can be if the trait is symmetrically distributed this paper explores whether optimistic biases could plausibly and predictably influence economic behavior in one particular setting entry into competitive games or markets many empirical studies show that most new businesses fail within a few years for example using plant level data from the u s census of manufacturers spanning 1963 1982 timothy dunne et al 1988 estimated that 61 5 percent of all entrants exited within five years and 79 6 percent exited within 10 years most of these exits are failures see also dunne et al 1989a 1989b d shapiro and r s khemani 1987

framing manipulations in contests a natural field experiment abstract exploiting findings that losses loom larger than gains studies have shown that framing manipulations can increase productivity of workers using a natural field experiment that exogenously manipulates wage bonuses within contests in a chinese high tech manufacturing facility we show that how loss aversion affects worker behavior critically depends on the incentive scheme as well as the framing manipulation four sets of two identical teams competed against each other to win a bonus given to the team within a set with the higher average hourly productivity over the week in each set the bonus was framed as a reward or gain for one team and as a punishment or loss for the other average weekly productivity was slightly higher under the loss treatment but this increase was statistically insignificant however the team under the loss treatment was at least 35 more likely to win the contest as teams payoffs are based on relative productivity under a contest framing effect is much stronger in terms of relative productivity finally workers seemingly responded to the bonus by increasing the quality of production as well as quantity defect rate fell as productivity increased

what determines the location choice of r d activities by multinational firms abstract we analyse 446 location decisions of r d activities by multinational firms incorporated in the european union over 1999 2006 our results suggest that on average the location probability of a representative r d foreign affiliate increased with agglomeration economies from foreign r d activities human capital proximity to centres of research excellence and the research and innovation capacity of the region further our evidence suggests that in comparison to european multinational firms the effects of patents intensity and proximity to centres of research excellence were stronger in the case of north american multinational firms while government r d expenditure intensity increased the probability of location of r d activities by european multinational firms in the region it did not have a significant effect on the probability of location of r d activities by north american multinational firms

do r d tax incentives lead to higher wages for r d workers evidence from the netherlands this paper examines the impact of the dutch r d tax incentive scheme on the wages of r d workers we construct firm specific r d tax credit rates that vary over time following variations in the dutch r d tax incentive program using instrumental variables we estimate a wage sharing model with an unbalanced firm level panel data covering the period 1997 2004 the elasticity of the r d wage with respect to the fraction of the wage supported by the fiscal incentives scheme is estimated at 0 2 in the short run and 0 24 in the long run

public r d policies and cost behavior of the us manufacturing industries abstract this paper estimates and evaluates the contribution of r d tax incentives and publicly financed r d investment policies in promoting the growth of output and privately funded r d investment in us manufacturing industries publicly financed r d induced cost savings but crowds out privately financed r d investment while the incremental r d tax credit and immediate deductibility provision of r d expenditures have a significant impact on privately financed r d investment the optimal mix of both instruments is an important element for sustaining a balanced growth in output and productivity in the manufacturing sector

european tax harmonisation and production efficiency this paper analyses the impact on production efficiency of potential harmonisation of the taxation of income from capital in the european union it develops and applies a methodology for computing the cost of capital for transnational investments to assess the degree to which production efficiency holds in the eu it considers the impact of potential forms of corporation tax harmonisation the results indicate that some commonly advocated reforms e g harmonising tax rates or tax bases would not significantly move the tax system towards production efficiency but that other reforms which affect the taxation of cross border flows would have more impact

who captures value from science based innovation the distribution of benefits from gmr in the hard disk drive industry abstract we analyze the discovery of giant magneto resistance gmr and its development and commercialization by the global disk drive industry to answer the question of who captures the benefits from innovation in a global innovation system we assess the returns to the scientists firms and countries associated with gmr we find that the french and german scientists that discovered gmr and their labs benefited by receiving the nobel prize and small licensing fees the firm that first commercialized the technology ibm captured profits from selling hard disk drives and magnetic heads using gmr other hard disk drive and head manufacturers based in the u s and japan were able to quickly assimilate the technology and catch up with ibm france and germany reaped limited returns due to the lack of domestic firms with the absorptive capacity to commercialize gmr the u s and japan benefited from the success of their firms in commercializing gmr as did other countries which were part of the global value chains of those companies consumers and firms that incorporated hard drives in their products ultimately benefited from cheaper hard drives with greater capacity these findings illustrate the importance of absorptive capacity at the firm and national level in capturing benefits from innovation they also show that the benefits to first mover firms can be short lived in a competitive industry with open transfer of knowledge and limited appropriability regimes finally they show that the location of jobs and wages associated with innovative products depends on the structure of the global value chains of leading firms

corporate taxation and the choice of patent location within multinational firms corporate patents are perceived to be the key profit drivers in many multinational enterprises mnes moreover as the transfer pricing process for royalty payments is often highly intransparent they also constitute a major source of profit shifting opportunities between multinational entities for both reasons mnes have an incentive to locate their patents at affiliates with a relatively small corporate tax rate our paper empirically tests for this relationship by exploiting a unique dataset which links information on patent applications to micro panel data for european mnes our results suggest that the corporate tax rate differential to other group members indeed exerts a negative effect on the number of patents filled by a subsidiary the effect is quantitatively large and robust against controlling for affiliate size the findings prevail if we additionally account for royalty withholding taxes moreover binding controlled foreign company rules tend to decrease the number of patent applications

why is capital so immobile internationally possible explanations and implications for capital income taxation the evidence on international capital immobility is extensive including the lack of international portfolio diversification real interest differentials across countries and the high correlation between domestic savings and investment the authors develop a model with asymmetric information between countries that helps rationalize all the above observations and then examine the implications of this model for optimal domestic tax policy without asymmetric information past work showed that small open economies should not impose corporate income taxes with asymmetric information the optimal policy instead involves government subsidies to capital imports some omitted factors that argue against subsidizing capital imports are explored briefly copyright 1996 by american economic association

r d tax incentives in eu countries does the impact vary with firm size this paper studies the effect of r d tax incentives on the research activity of manufacturing firms based in france italy spain and the uk over the period 2007 2009 using a matching procedure we show that in all the examined countries but spain r d tax incentives induced a statistically significant increase in the intensity of r d expenses over sales however this effect is driven only by the behaviour of small firms by assessing the benefit cost ratio of r d tax policies we find evidence of substantial additional effects in italy and the uk

beggar thy neighbor the in state out of state and aggregate effects of r d tax credits abstract the proliferation of r d tax incentives among u s states in recent decades raises two questions i are these tax incentives effective in increasing in state r d ii how much of any increase is due to r d being drawn away from other states this paper answers i yes and ii nearly all the paper estimates an augmented r d factor demand model using state panel data from 1981 to 2004 i estimate that the long run elasticity of in state r d with respect to the in state user cost is about 2 5 while its elasticity with respect to out of state user costs is about 2 5 suggesting a zero sum game among states

tax incentives and r d activity firm level evidence from taiwan this paper investigates the effect of tax incentives on r d activities in taiwanese manufacturing firms specifically we assess the potential r d enhancing effect on recipients of r d tax credits compared with their non recipient counterparts moreover the potential difference in the r d enhancing effect between high tech and non high tech firms is also examined utilizing a firm level panel dataset during 2001 and 2005 empirical results obtained by propensity score matching show that recipients of r d tax credits appear on average to have 93 53 higher r d expenditures and a 14 47 higher growth rate for r d expenditures than non recipients with similar characteristics the r d enhancing effect of r d tax credits is not found to be particularly relevant to high tech or non high tech firms we further employ a generalized method of moment gmm of the panel fixed model to control for the endogeneity of r d tax credits and firm heterogeneity in determining r d expenditure various estimates based on the entire sample and high tech firms are quite similar and there is a significantly r d enhancing effect of r d tax credits this result suggests that the r d preferential policy has induced more r d expenditure by firms in taiwan while the existence of the r d enhancing effect brought on by tax incentives is intuitive the estimates can provide insightful implications for the r d tax policy

financing technology based small firms in europe what do we know this paper reviews the evidence on financing technology based small firms tbsfs in europe european tbsfs finance new investments by relying primarily on internal funds due to capital market failures induced by asymmetric information european venture capital has caught up with us venture capital but this is mainly because of the growth in uk venture investments it is unclear whether european venture capital has been able to certify the quality and enhance the growth of funded companies compared with the nasdaq there is little development of trading in high tech stocks in europe the so called new markets established in the 1990s collapsed in the wake of the internet bubble crash public venture capital and research and development r d tax incentives seem to have positively affected high tech firms

interest rates r d investment and the distortionary effects of r d incentives abstract this paper conducts the first analysis of how interest rates are related to firms allocation of investment between r d and non r d activities and how r d incentives alter this relationship it theoretically predicts that if firms receive incentives mostly in the form of grants and subsidies that reduce their dependence on external finance their share of r d spending increases decreases during a credit tightening easing conversely if tax credits are the primary incentive firms decrease increase their share of r d spending during a credit tightening easing the paper demonstrates empirical support for these predictions by using firm level financial and sector level r d incentives data and a unique methodology that focuses on the within firm allocation of investment

an empirical puzzle falling migration and growing unemployment differentials among italian regions abstract we investigate the causes behind the low and falling mobility levels in southern italy we argue that a combination of demographic factors high mobility costs and inefficiencies in the job matching process may account for the fall in interregional migration