the effects of pension funds on markets performance a review the worldwide reforming process of pension systems triggered by the demographic transition and globalization has led several countries to implement multi pillar pension systems and enhance pension funds for this reason the studies on the effects that pension funds exert on markets performance have been flourishing in the last decades in this paper we provide an updated review of the empirical advances in this field of study with particular focus on the effects that pension funds produce on labour markets financial markets and economic growth

population growth and savings in ldcs a survey article both population growth and savings have traditionally taken a certain place of pride among models of growth and development the purpose of this paper is to examine the literature concerning the hypothesis that the savings rate itself is a function of the population growth rate and this effect exacerbates the negative effect of population on economic growth the evidence is examined from three perspectives i macroeconomic effects of variations in the age structure of the population ii choice theoretic models of family decision making particularly the joint determination of fertility decisions and savings decisions and iii market level interactions of variables which determine individual decisions the paper concludes that both population growth and savings rates are inextricably tied up in the process of economic development there are many ways in which the two variables may interact but no generalizations can be safely made across countries

financial development and economic growth a meta analysis we analyze 1334 estimates from 67 studies that examine the effect of financial development on economic growth taken together the studies imply a positive and statistically significant effect but the individual estimates vary widely we find that both research design and heterogeneity in the underlying effect play a role in explaining the differences in results studies that do not address endogeneity tend to overstate the effect of finance on growth while the effect seems to be weaker in less developed countries the effect decreases worldwide after the 1980s our results also suggest that stock markets support faster economic growth than other financial intermediaries

aggregate savings financial intermediation and interest rate there has been considerable controversy about the role of financial factors as determinants of savings in developing countries this paper explores the importance of two such factors namely real interest rate and financial intermediation using pooled time series cross section data a model of savings is estimated for asia latin america and for the total sample particular attention is paid to the error structure in estimation the results suggest that pooling is not justified further there is no unequivocal support for the effect of either of the two factors some qualified support is found for asia but none for latin america copyright 1987 by mit press

globalization as a development strategy in latin america abstract the swinging of the pendulum toward policies that enhance latin america s insertion into the world economy diverted attention from domestic policies that continue to be essential for growth and development broadly defined six domestic policy areas are identified here increasing domestic savings implementing countercyclical fiscal policies mobilizing public resources investing in education promoting employment and reducing income inequality the opportunity cost of not having devoted due attention to these issues throughout the 1990s is surely enormous and for those countries still underplaying domestic variables the longer the delay the greater the costs the imperative of devoting more political capital to domestic strategies of development cannot be overstated whether international financial institutions choose to emphasize them or not

determinants of household saving in taiwan growth demography and public policy this article examines the determinants of household saving in the process of economic development in the light of the taiwanese experience during the period 1952 99 the methodology involves the estimation of a saving rate function derived within the life cycle framework it is found that the household saving rate rises with both the level and the rate of growth of household disposable income the real deposit rate has a significant positive impact but the magnitude of the impact is modest public saving seems to crowd out private saving but less than proportionately while both old and young dependency in population have a negative impact on the saving rate the magnitude of the impact of the former is far greater than that of the latter increased availability of social security provisions and enhanced credit availability also seem to reduce saving as regards methodological implications the study casts doubt on the usual practice of lumping together public corporate and household savings in savin

the government financial system and large private enterprises in the economic development of south korea abstract the paper investigates the main characteristics of the government business relationship in south korea in the past three decades to find out how it may have contributed to south korea s economic development it proposes that the government and large private enterprises in south korea should be viewed as constituting an internal organization namely a quasi internal organization as such extensive intervention by the government with south korea s financial system can be viewed as an internal capital market and consequently it could have led to a more efficient allocation of credit than possible in a free market financial system it also argues that the quasi internal organization has made it possible for the government to efficiently implement its developmental policies it is however pointed out that for the quasi internal organization to be successful in accelerating the pace of economic development the country must have a political leadership committed to the goal of economic development and must adopt an outward oriented development policy

the scope and limits of financial liberalisation in developing countries a critical survey this article reviews the growing literature on financial reform in developing countries we draw both on the theoretical contributions outlining the case for and against liberalisation as well as on the experience of many developing countries with liberalisation we argue that the existence of market failures in financial markets hampers the liberalisation process and indeed suggests that the simple liberalising strategy envisaged in much of the literature is inappropriate we argue instead for an alternative strategy which integrates some aspects of liberalisation with the development of appropriate financial institutions designed to serve best the needs of the real economy

equilibrium interest rates and financial liberalisation in developing countries it is a central argument of the financial repression literature that interest rates should be determined by the market to reflect the true cost of capital this article suggests that the notion of an equilibrium interest rate may be undefined since the rate required to balance financial markets differs from that required to equilibrate savings and investment thus liberalisation introduces an intrinsic instability into the financial system as a result of portfolio adjustment the article examines the chilean and korean experiences and concludes that a sustainable reform requires positive but low real interest rates and broad regulation of the financial system to ensure macroeconomic stability

on the conservation of distance in international trade the volume of world trade has grown more than twice as fast as real world income since 1980 surprisingly the effect of distance on trade has increased during this period it could be that countries are trading greater volumes of goods that are highly sensitive to distance an alternative explanation is that distance has become more import for a significant share of goods using highly disaggregated bilateral trade data we find that adjustment in the composition of trade has not influenced the way in which distance affects trade in contrast for about 25 percent of industries distance has become more important this implies that the increased distance sensitivity of trade is a result of a change in relative trade costs that affects many industries as opposed to a shift to more distance sensitive products we also find that homogeneous products are twice as likely to have become more distance sensitive as compared with differentiated goods this is consistent with the hypothesis that falling search costs resulting from improvements in transport and communications are relatively more important for differentiated goods the results offer no evidence of the death of distance rather they suggest that distance related relative trade costs have remained unchanged or shifted in favor of proximate markets

a framework to update hofstede s cultural value indices economic dynamics and institutional stability this study offers an update of the hofstede cultural value dimensions we argue that changes in economic conditions are the source of cultural dynamics while the endurance of institutional characteristics provides the foundation for cultural stability it is found that national wealth measured by gdp per capita has a curvilinear relationship with individualism long term orientation and power distance scores relatively speaking uncertainty avoidance and masculinity mainly reflect some rather stable institutional traditions such as language religion climate ethnic homogeneity and legal origin and are less likely to change over time

financial development economic growth and banking sector controls evidence from india this paper uses newly collected data from the reserve bank of india to examine the effects of various types of banking sector controls on the process of financial deepening with the exception of a lending rate ceiling these controls are found to influence financial deepening negatively independently of the well known effect of the real interest rate exogeneity tests suggest that financial deepening and economic growth are jointly determined thus policies which affect financial deepening may also have an influence on economic growth the role of banking sector controls in the process of economic development has received considerable attention in the literature the traditional approach due to mckinnon i973 and shaw i973 postulates that government intervention in the pricing and allocation of loanable funds dubbed financial repression inhibits financial development by depressing real interest rates see

the determinants of private saving in india abstract this paper examines the determinants of private saving in the process of economic development in the light of the indian experience it is found that the saving rate rises with both the level and the rate of growth of disposable income the real interest rate on bank deposits has a significant positive impact but the magnitude of the impact is modest public saving seems to crowd out private saving but less than proportionately furthermore the spread of banking facilities in the economy and the inflation rate have a positive impact and changes in the external terms of trade a negative impact on private saving

terms of trade dynamics in asia an analysis of national saving and domestic investment responses to terms of trade changes in 14 asian ldcs abstract i estimate a three equation model of savings investment and growth on pooled time series data for 14 asian developing countries to explore terms of trade dynamic effects on the current account a terms of trade deterioration lowers aggregate saving and raises investment in the current year it also exerts a positive lagged effect on investment due to the unanticipated temporary nature of the terms of trade change the current account oscillates before returning gradually to its steady state level the model explains 65 per cent of the variance in the sample countries current accounts over the period 1962 1983

effects of transitory shocks to aggregate output on consumption in poor countries this paper provides instrumental variables estimates of the response of aggregate private consumption to transitory output shocks in poor countries to identify exogenous unanticipated idiosyncratic and transitory variations in national output we use year to year variations in rainfall as an instrumental variable in a panel of 39 sub saharan african countries during the period 1980 2009 our estimates yield a marginal propensity to consume out of transitory output of around 0 2 to explain this result we show using instrumental variables techniques that there is a significant negative effect of transitory output shocks on net current transfers and a significant positive and quantitatively large effect on the trade balance an important implication is that frictions to private financial flows do not necessarily imply large effects of transitory shocks to aggregate output on private consumption in poor countries

the interest elasticity of savings in developing countries the existing evidence abstract this paper presents a critical analysis of some of the most recent empirical work on the interest elasticity of savings in developing economies supported by a set of empirical results the paper argues that a the real interest elasticity of savings is not easily detected using the existing empirical models which generally yield insignificant interest rate parameters in the seventies b the existing models suffer from serious defects that make if very difficult to interpret the estimated parameters

sustainability policy of construction contractors a review abstract sustainability is an issue of concern in many industrial sectors the construction industry is no exception the study described in this paper adopts a critical qualitative approach to investigate sustainability policy practices in the construction industry this approach includes a statement of principles sustainability reporting incorporated within a financial report and a stand alone sustainability reporting system the top international contractors listed by engineering news record enr were examined the results show that sustainability policy development varies from case to case in these companies but trends are emerging on common issues addressed the findings show a trend of increasingly level of disclosure of corporation s commitmnets an achievements on sustainability similarly the energy efficiency and conservation greenhouse gas emission reduction and integration of renewable energy resources into projects are among the common themes of these sustainability policies disclosed by construction contractors the construcion industry can learn from the energy sector that is advanced in sustainability reporting

determinants of private savings behaviour in turkey this study investigates the effects on private saving rates of a number of policy and non policy variables the analysis covers the period 1968 1994 the empirical private saving model for turkey is estimated the findings support the hypothesis that private saving rates have strong inertia the evidence indicates that government saving does not tend to crowd out private savings and the ricardian equivalence does not hold strictly income level has a positive impact on private saving rate and growth rate of income is not statistically significant from a policy point of view financial depth and development measures in turkey suggest that countries with deeper financial systems tend to have higher private saving rates private credit and real interest rates try to capture the severity of the borrowing constraints and the degree of financial repression for turkey moreover the negative impact of life expectancy rate lends support to the life cycle hypothesis the precautionary motive for saving is suppor

the effect of financial liberalization on the efficiency of credit allocation some evidence from korea abstract this paper examines korea s recent experience with financial liberalization to find empirical evidence for the mckinnon shaw hypothesis regarding the effect of financial liberalization on the allocative efficiency of credit this involves analyzing changes in the variation of average borrowing costs across different sectors and industries using consolidated balance sheets and income statements from firms it demonstrates that there has been a substantial improvement in the efficiency of credit allocation since 1980 when the korean government started to implement various financial liberalization reforms

interest rates saving investment and growth in mexico 1960 90 tests of the financial liberalisation hypothesis the theory of financial liberalisation argues that rising real interest rates induces more saving and investment and therefore acts as a positive stimulus to economic growth this hypothesis is tested for mexico over the period 1960 90 making the important distinction between financial saving and total saving financial saving is found to be positively related to real interest rates partly through capital flows and partly through domestic asset substitution but total saving is invariant with respect to real interest rates investment is positively related to the supply of credit from the banking system but the net effect of interest rates on investment is negative furthermore taking mckinnon s virtuous circle model of economic growth shows no favourable effects of interest rates on economic growth it is concluded that any favourable effect of financial liberalisation and higher real interest rates on economic growth must come through raising the productivity of investment

financial liberalization in africa abstract recent evidence has shown that african economies are financially repressed and the underlying motives for perpetuating repressive policies still exist increasing real deposit rates mainly through lower inflation promotes financial savings investment and growth financial liberalization in africa has recorded limited success owing to a high and unstable inflation rate the high cost of financial intermediation low bank demand for deposits and persistent government interference in credit markets chronically high fiscal deficits and their adverse impacts on the balance of payments also constitute hurdles for financial deepening in africa

savings and the terms of trade under borrowing constraints the authors examine the extent to which permanent terms of trade shocks have an asymmetric effect on private savings using a simple three period model they show that if households expect to face binding constraints on borrowing in bad states of nature when the economy is in a long trough rather than a sharp peak savings rates will respond asymmetrically to favorable movements in the permanent component of the terms of trade in contrast with the predictions of conventional consumption smoothing models they test the asymmetric effects of terms of trade disturbances using an econometric model that controls for various standard determinants of private savings the results based on panel data for non oil commodity exporters of sub saharan africa for 1980 96 a group of countries for which movements in the terms of trade have traditionally represented a key source of macroeconomic shocks indicate that increases in the permanent component of the terms of trade measured using three alternative filtering techniques indeed tend to be associated with higher rates of private savings

explaining differences in the domestic savings ratio across countries a panel data study this article seeks to analyse the major determinants of differences in the domestic savings ratio between countries using panel data for 62 countries over the period 1967 95 a basic distinction is made between the determinants of the capacity to save and the willingness to save the capacity to save depends primarily on the level of per capita income but non linearly and the growth of income the life cycle hypothesis and the empirics strongly support these hypotheses the willingness to save is assumed to depend on financial variables such as the rate of interest the level of financial deepening and inflation we find no support for a positive interest rate effect but strong support for the level of financial deepening measured by the ratio of quasi liquid liabilities to gdp inflation exerts a mild positive effect on saving but soon turns negative total saving may also depend on tax effort but a surprisingly strong negative relation is found between the ratio of tax revenue to gdp and the domestic savings ratio

a survey of recent developments in the literature of finance and growth this paper provides a survey of the recent progress in the literature of financial development and economic growth the survey highlights that most empirical studies focus on either testing the role of financial development in stimulating economic growth or examining the direction of causality between these two variables although the positive role of finance on growth has become a stylized fact there are some methodological reservations about the results from these empirical studies several key issues unresolved in the literature are highlighted the paper also points to several directions for future research

a note on time preference and the tobin effect abstract this paper proposes an alternative time preference specification to uzawa preferences time preference is modeled as an increasing function of real wealth so that the tobin effect and stability rest on optimizing behavior as opposed to counterintuitive preference assumptions

business cycle fluctuations and household saving in oecd countries a panel data analysis abstract we investigate the cyclicality of the household saving to household disposable income ratio for a panel of 16 oecd countries over the period 1969 2012 we find evidence that the household saving ratio is countercyclical we empirically investigate whether the determinants of saving suggested by a standard buffer stock model of saving can explain this finding the three main determinants of household saving implied by such a model i e unemployment risk household wealth and credit constraints have a significant impact on the household saving ratio while their combined effect completely offsets its countercyclicality the saving regression results are robust to potential endogeneity of the regressors to making use of a reduced sample size that leaves out the period of the great recession and to the one by one addition of variables suggested by alternative theories that also predict a countercyclical saving ratio

financial development international capital flows and aggregate output abstract we develop a tractable two country overlapping generations model and show that cross country differences in financial development can explain three recent empirical patterns of international capital flows financial capital flows from relatively poor to relatively rich countries while foreign direct investment flows in the opposite direction net capital flows go from poor to rich countries despite its negative net international investment positions the united states receives a positive net investment income international capital mobility affects output in each country directly through the size of domestic investment and indirectly through the aggregate saving rate under certain conditions the indirect effect may dominate the direct effect so that international capital mobility raises output in the poor country and globally although net capital flows are in the direction to the rich country we also explore the welfare and distributional effects of international capital flows and show that the patterns of capital flows may reverse along the convergence process of a developing country our model adds to the understanding of the costs and the benefits of international capital mobility in the presence of domestic financial frictions

permanent household income and consumption in urban south america milton friedman s permanent income hypothesis pih is considerably more complex and difficult to test than it appears at first sight which is why certain of its postulates still cannot be accepted or rejected with certainty one of the chief difficulties is that of separating the effects on consumption of permanent income which is unobservable and of various observable household characteristics which may be highly correlated with permanent income but may also be presumed to affect consumption directly this difficulty can be overcome provided a variable can be found which is associated with permanent income but has no independent direct effect on the propensity to consume if households are grouped by classes of that variable the permanent consumption propensity or elasticity can be estimated from mean income and consumption in the groups this technique requires the assumption of zero mean transitory income in each group but does not depend on the postulate that transitory income is uncorrelated with consumption for these reasons it cannot be applied to individual households this paper presents and estimates a model which separates the direct and indirect effects on consumption of a series of observable characteristics using regression techniques on individual household observations this makes it possible to estimate all the parameters of the model both the consumption propensity or elasticity and the contribution to permanent income of each observable explanatory variable the technique still requires that at least one of the explanatory variables affect consumption only through permanent income but for all other variables both direct and indirect influences can be estimated and the propensity to consume a given income can vary among households with different characteristics another principal problem with the pih is the assumption that transitory income and consumption are uncorrelated efforts to test this postulate can lead to very different results ranging from agreement with the hypothesis to findings of high propensities to consume transitory income see robert ferber pp 1306 09 this inconsistency and continued controversy over the hypothesis is due to the fact that permanent income cannot be estimated exactly but can be known only with an error which is conceptually distinct from transitory income empirical work on the pih has uniformly overlooked this fact treating estimates of permanent income as exact and regarding the whole of the unexplained residual as transitory income the present model explicitly distinguishes the estimation error from the error of transitory income or consumption the two transitory components can then be assumed to be uncorrelated while the part of permanent income which is not explained is consumed exactly like the explained part whether residual income and consumption appear to be correlated or not then depends on the relative sizes of these two components the unexplained permanent part and the true transitory part this technique has the further advantage that estimating the variance of the error of estimation makes it possible to tell how well a set of observable variables explain permanentincome this explanation may be better than the brookings institution robert solow richard eckaus and robert hall supervised the dissertation 1974 on which this article is based i am particularly grateful to ross williams and robert hall for help in specifying and estimating the model and to denisard alves for a crucial suggestion william cline irwin friend ricardo ffrench davis and robert ferber provided helpful comments on earlier versions subsequent discussions with surjit bhalla and robert lawrence have been most useful i am also much indebted to the managing editor and to a referee for improvements in the final version

interest rates savings and growth in ldcs an assessment of recent empirical research abstract the mckinnon shaw proposition of a positive interest responsiveness of savings and the beneficial effects of financial liberalization policies on economic growth has been an issue of considerable debate and a foundation of policy practice in less developed countries ldcs this paper aims at assessing critically a number of recent contributions to the empirical literature dealing with this proposition the need to advance more knowledge in this field on empirical grounds is argued despite the data conceptual and methodological shortcomings faced in making these efforts the main conclusion of this paper is that the debate is far from being settled even for those countries on which empirical research has focused

the relationship between income inequality and aggregate saving an empirical analysis using cross country panel data abstractif the rich save more than the poor an increase in income inequality raises aggregate saving we investigate whether income inequality is positively related to aggregate saving ratio by estimating a fixed effect model based on a panel data of 48 countries for the period 1991 2010 we find evidence that aggregate saving ratio increases with income inequality using various inequality measures in particular the effect of income distribution on saving is greater and statistically more significant with in financially developed rich and oecd countries it suggests that the rich save much more than the poor under advanced financial system and in a rich country we also find that the relationship between income inequality and saving ratio is closer in the 2000s than the 1990s this finding may result from financial development and the high income level in the 2000s

assessing the impact of interest rates in less developed countries abstract empirical results obtained do not unambiguously support what one should expect on the basis of conventional economic theory cross country evidence on the average relationship for 64 ldcs during the period 1971 1980 between some of the macroeconomic variables such as rate of growth of real gdp real financial assets saving income and investment income ratios and rate of return on investment on the one hand and the level of the real interest rate on the other is analyzed by applying a non parametric mann whitney test it is found that there is no difference with any statistical significance between the two groups of ldcs above and below the mean real interest rate this implies that the level of the real interest rate by itself has little or no impact on the selected macroeconomic variables

household saving in developing countries first cross country evidence although most studies have relied on domestic or private sector saving data this article uses household data available from the u n system of national accounts for a sample of 10 countries household saving functions are estimated using combined time series and cross country observations in order to test households responses to income and growth rates of return monetary wealth foreign saving and demographic variables the results show that income and wealth variables affect saving strongly and in ways consistent with standard theories inflation and the interest rate do not show clear effects on saving which is also consistent with their theoretical ambiguity foreign saving and monetary assets have strong negative effects on household saving which suggests the importance of liquidity constraints and monetary wealth in developing countries

facilitating the transition to sustainable construction china s policies abstract china faces a challenge to balance its future urbanization process with resource conservation and environmental protection promoting sustainable construction is identified by the chinese government as an important strategy to tackle such challenges to promote sustainable construction the chinese government has released a large number of laws policies and regulations this paper investigates the policy system in china which aims to facilitate the transition to sustainable construction the related laws policies and regulations are analyzed and three main functions are identified namely regulation and control economic incentives and supporting activities the results show that the behaviours of various participants in the construction industry including the government developers builders suppliers and designers are regulated and controlled by these laws and regulations subsidy policies award policies and economic innovation policies are adopted by the government to promote renewable energy applications in buildings and infrastructure construction the key supporting activities for sustainable construction include strengthening technology innovation improving standards and evaluation establishing demonstration projects and publicity two emerging challenges of the current policy system are also identified they are a lack of considering social and economic dimensions of sustainable construction and the ineffectiveness of some key policies such as the environmental impact assessment policy this paper provides a useful reference for construction corporations and policy makers in china to facilitate sustainable construction in future urbanization process similarly policy makers in other emerging economies can understand how sustainable construction is promoted in china

does the quality of institutions enhance savings the case of sub saharan africa over the last three decades there has been increasing disparity in savings across regions and income groupings globally in this paper we investigate whether the quality of institutions explains

a comparison of saving rates microdata evidence from seventeen latin american and caribbean countries using microdata on expenditure and income for seventeen latin american and caribbean countries this paper presents stylized facts on saving behavior by age education income and place of residence counterfactual saving rates are computed by imposing the saving behavior the population distribution or the income distribution of two benchmark economies the united states and korea the results suggest that the difference in national saving rates between latin america and caribbean and the benchmark economies can mainly be attributed to differences in saving behavior of the population and to a lesser extent to differences in the distribution of the population by education levels other demographic or income distribution differences are not quantitatively important as explanations of saving rates

evolving theories of sustainability and firms history future directions and implications for renewable energy research abstract sustainability has become a critical perspective in managing firms via a holistic approach by considering economic environmental and social dimensions of firms with the rising significance of sustainable development the theories of sustainability in firms have evolved during the past six decades this article offers a critical review of the evolving theories linking sustainability to firms and discusses their implications for future renewable energy research the relationships among different theories are critically analysed and the directions for future research are discussed the paper shows that the main theories linking sustainability to firms in a chronological order are 1 corporate social responsibility 2 stakeholder theory 3 corporate sustainability and 4 green economics currently various innovative approaches and new theories emerged such as co evolution theory and multi level perspective reflecting three directions of theory development namely 1 shifting from what to how 2 growing use of interdisciplinary approach and 3 towards broader systems renewable energy studies associated with firms and future research opportunities in this area are also critically analysed the comprehensive review offered in this paper provides a useful reference for policy makers corporate managers and researchers interested in corporate sustainability and renewable energy related studies

capital mobility and the relationship between saving and investment rates in oecd countries abstract this paper considers tests that use data on saving and investment rates to determine the degree of international capital mobility two types of evidence are presented to show that a high correlation between saving and investment rates across oecd countries can be consistent with a high degree of capital mobility this evidence qualifies the conclusions of previous studies and casts doubt on the usefulness of testing hypotheses about capital mobility with data on saving and investment rates

the determinants of household and private savings in thailand a broad set of possible determinants of household and private savings behaviour is examined through an in depth case study of thailand during the period 1960 to 2004 results suggest that an increase in economic growth inflation and terms of trade all have a significant positive impact on household and private saving rates in contrast the availability of bank credit tends to reduce household and private saving rates while an increase in both old and young dependency has a negative impact on household and private saving rates the magnitude of the impact on the former is far greater than that on the latter furthermore public saving seems to crowd out household and private saving but less than proportionately this reflects a possible role of fiscal policy in increasing national savings in the economy over and above these variables corporate saving is another important determinant of household saving an increase in the former brings about a significant reduction in the latter

long live democracy the determinants of political instability in latin america abstract we investigate the underlying causes of political instability in a panel of 18 latin american countries from 1971 2000 we test whether regime type regime durability factionalism income inequality ethnic diversity ethnic discrimination regional spillover effects urban growth and macroeconomic variables matter for instability we find several important results 1 democracy has a significant negative effect on instability that is robust to several alternative specifications 2 factionalised political systems experience higher instability 3 income inequality ethnic fractionalisation and urban growth have important nonlinear effects on instability and 4 of the macroeconomic variables we study only openness to trade has a significant negative effect on instability

a technique for indicating comparative and perdicting changes in trade ratios this paper estimates relative differences in factor prices and thus industry comparative cost differences between the united states and each of eight country groups by relating differences in factor use requirements and actual bilateral export import ratios across industries predictions concerning changes in industry export import ratios are also made and tested against actual subsequent changes by comparing these trade ratios with those expected on the basis of the estimated average differences in factor costs and assuming that adjustment lags are the major reason for the differences between these ratios

institutions and savings in developing and emerging economies domestic savings are an important prerequisite for capital formation and growth in this paper we analyze a new channel through which institutions influence aggregate savings and economic development whereas research in the field of savings decisions concentrates largely on the level of the individual the literature on institutions and growth as well as on aggregate savings formation focuses on the aggregate national level first we develop a framework that brings together both lines of reasoning arguing that institutions may influence the individual savings decision as well as national savings in aggregate this potential for institutional quality to influence economic performance has been neglected so far second we build upon the empirical literature on aggregate savings formation and provide results supporting our hypothesis that better economic institutions drive aggregate savings formation upwards by contrast we do not find such effects in the case of the political environment our findings are robust when checked against a number of changes in explanatory variables estimation methods and the treatment of instruments

an eco critical perspective on business models the value triangle as an approach to closing the sustainability gap abstract despite business models having been discussed thoroughly by academics there are still some epistemological and ontological issues that have yet to be resolved business models seem to have stalled at the technological era and have not fully engaged with the era of sustainability the purpose of our paper is to add a new lens and richness to sustainable business model research by building on the need for more interdisciplinary approaches this paper applies an eco critical approach to analyse the 20 most often cited business model frameworks we explore the conventional understanding of the business models based on the language applied and reflect on gaps in the current perspectives of sustainability the analysis shows that existing business model frameworks exclude natural and social aspects of organisational environment from the discussion and tend to neglect the interrelationships between economic and not economic actors as well as the intertemporal trade offs based on the results of the analysis we propose a new sustainable business model framework named value triangle which explicitly includes as core elements society incorporating the natural environment and future generations and three types of co created and co delivered value public partner and customer the value triangle together with the corresponding canvas is presented through a business case for sustainability represented by italian company loccioni the results show that the proposed business model framework and canvas allow managers to understand analyse and evaluate their business models along all three dimensions of sustainability economic social and environmental simultaneously such an understanding helps drive the field towards making a meaningful contribution to solving the un global challenges and sustainability agenda

international evidence on how income inequality and credit market imperfections affect private saving rates abstract this paper empirically examines the hypothesis that income distribution exerts an independent effect on private saving rates across countries and tests particular channels for income inequality to affect private saving rates cross sectional and panel regression results show that inequality has a robust positive effect on private saving rates that depends on financial market development and credit available to the private sector the paper thus identifies credit market imperfections as the likely reason for the inequality private saving link the data provide no evidence supporting a subsistence channel for inequality to affect private saving as suggested by nonhomothetic utility functions

saving in the world abstract this paper presents new evidence on the behavior of saving in the world by extending previous empirical research in several dimensions after extensively surveying the relevant theoretical and empirical literature the paper reports estimates of saving determinants relying on the newly constructed and largest available database covering 165 countries over 1981 2012 the empirical specification includes determinants not considered in the literature explores differences in saving behavior nesting the 2008 10 crisis period and four different country groups searches for commonalities across key saving aggregates national private household and corporate saving rates and is subject to a robustness analysis based on different estimation techniques the results confirm in part existing research but also shed light on some ambiguous or contradictory findings and highlight the role of neglected determinants compared to the literature we find a larger number of significant determinants changes across periods and country groups and similarities across different saving aggregates

does income inequality raise aggregate saving this paper reviews analytically and empirically the links between income distribution and aggregate saving consumption theory brings out a number of direct channels through which income inequality can affect overall household saving positively in most cases however recent political economy theory points toward indirect negative effects of inequality through firm investment and public saving on aggregate saving on theoretical grounds the sign of the saving inequality link is therefore ambiguous this paper presents new empirical evidence on the relationship between income distribution and aggregate saving based on a new and improved income distribution database for both industrial and developing countries the empirical results using alternative inequality and saving measures and various econometric specifications on both cross section and panel data provide no support for the notion that income inequality has any systematic effect on aggregate saving these findings are consistent with the theoretical ambiguity q 2000 elsevier science b v all rights reserved

how should structural adjustment programs be designed abstract more than seven years have elapsed since the onset of the generalized debt crisis of 1982 yet the affected countries have still not managed to stabilize their economies these countries must now attempt structural adjustment in the midst of pervasive macroeconomic and political instability structural adjustment packages should be designed with this reality in mind this paper argues that structural adjustment programs should strive for sustainability rather than the economic liberalization that they presently stress illiberal policies which do not damage overall macro stability are preferable to liberal policies which are inherently unsustainable or engender macro instability liberalization programs that are not sustainable are likely to bring few benefits but have high costs in terms of private investment the paper discusses some of the chief implications of this opinion for the design of adjustment programs

the financial repression liberalization debate taking stock looking for a synthesis financial repression and liberalization became the object of fierce debates between academics and policy makers since the early 1970s as of the late 1980s financial liberalization became also part of the structural adjustment programs sponsored by the international monetary fund and the world bank however the literature on financial repression and liberalization remains controversial on its theoretical conclusions and policy implications given its importance for both the theory and policy of economic development and growth this paper looks for a possible synthesis after reviewing the theoretical contributions and empirical studies under the headings of the mckinnon shaw and new structuralists models the survey concludes that a new synthesis might be found in the post keynesian attempt to take an institutional perspective within a globalised financial and economic environment

investment spending and interest rate policy the case of financial liberalisation in turkey the purpose of the present study is to analyse the impact of interest rate policy on investment spending in turkey over a period which covers years of both financial repression and financial liberalisation the model presented suggests that investment will be positively correlated with below equilibrium interest rates and negatively correlated with above equilibrium rates the model is tested using a switching regime model with an unknown equilibrium rate of interest the results suggest that setting interest rates too high may be as detrimental to economic health as setting them too low moreover there is evidence of an autonomous downward shift in the investment function during the liberalisation period which may have resulted from heightened uncertainty during the period

the relation between savings and growth cointegration and causality evidence from asia the direction of causality between savings and growth remains unclear even though it is of critical importance for development policy in this paper granger causality analysis is undertaken for seven asian countries using the vecm engle and granger and var procedures we find that in most cases the direction of causality runs primarily from growth or income to savings although in some countries there is also evidence of a feedback effect from savings to income and growth thus development policy should focus less on promoting high savings rates and more on promoting high growth rates estimation of the savings functions are presented using engle and granger s static ols and stock and watson s dynamic ols dols procedures where appropriate the high savings rates in asia are found to be due to the high rate of growth of income per capita declining shares of dependent population and some special institutional features such as the high central provident fund rates in singapore interest rates ar

does financial liberalization really improve private investment in developing countries assuming that liquidity constraints exist in most developing countries the majority of analysts believe that increasing real interest rates will raise the volume of lending and hence private investment the author focusing on the demand for capital goods argues that the positive effect on the domestic credit market may be offset by the negative effect of a portfolio shift from capital goods and public bonds into monetary assets the author also demonstrates that a policy of financial liberalization could increase the public sector s demand for domestic credit thus limiting the funds available to the private sector this crowding out does not result from a change in the government s behavior but from a shift in the portfolio of private agents higher demand for bank deposits reduces the private sector s willingness to hold government bonds so the public sector must finance a given budget deficit with more domestic credit simulations for argentina for 1961 1982 suggest that the low response of private investors to changes in interest rate policy in those 20 years was attributable not to the low values of interest elasticities but to the interaction of the mechanisms allowed for in the model which tends to neutralize the impact of such policies the author concludes that the effect of changes in interest rate policy on the demand for capital goods is weak in argentina and might affect the quality of private investment more than its quantity

consumption puzzles and precautionary savings abstract when marginal utility is convex agents accumulate savings as a precautionary measure against labor income eventualities this paper shows that precautionary savings can go a long way in making the excess growth excess smoothness and excess sensitivity features of consumption consistent with the stochastic processes of labor income observed in the u s at the microeconomic level

understanding domestic savings an empirical approach abstractthere are two unusual and important features in the evolution of the savings rate in chile first the economy increased the average savings rate by 11 percentage points in the period 1985

barriers to formal saving micro and macroeconomic effects this paper examines different barriers to formal saving considering various interventions and their possible effects at microeconomic and macroeconomic levels it presents a comprehensive review of the literature based on a detailed classification of the barriers associated with supply side factors related to access to financial products and demand side barriers related to the use and frequency of use of those products the paper concludes that this classification and analysis contributes to a fuller understanding of the question of financial inclusion and how to achieve it

regional heterogeneity in the relationship between fiscal imbalances and foreign exchange market pressure summary the relationship between fiscal imbalances and other macroeconomic variables is complex and multifaceted however it remains important to understand it not least in order to facilitate the design of appropriate policy one central issue is whether the relationship varies across countries or groups of countries if it does an implication is that policy will also have to be differentiated this paper empirically explores the relationship between fiscal imbalances and pressures in the foreign exchange fx market in latin america caribbean lac and east asia the pacific eap regions using panel data over 1970 2000 it finds that fiscal imbalances have a significant effect on fx pressures in lac but not in eap

the saving collapse during the transition in eastern europe almost all of the transition economies in eastern europe and the former soviet union experienced a severe decline in their national saving rates the saving collapse could be explained by the elimination of involuntary saving a feature of central planning or by a change in equilibrium saving reflecting the new economic circumstances following the end of socialism the predicted saving rates of market economies with the same fundamentals as the transition economies before the transition are computed to test for the presence of involuntary saving the results provide some support for the hypothesis of consumption smoothing also considered is whether differences m the extent of liberalization affected saving rates in the cross section of transition economies this is found to be the case greater liberalization is association with lower saving with a one year lag to the extent that liberalization is associated with future growth this finding is consistent with smoothing m the face of output evolving along j curve

patience and prosperity abstract this paper introduces wealth dependent time preference into a simple model of endogenous growth the model generates adjustment dynamics in line with the historical facts on savings and economic growth in europe from the high middle ages to today along a virtuous cycle of development more wealth leads to more patience which leads to more savings and further increasing wealth savings rates and income growth rates are thus jointly increasing during the process of development until they converge towards constants along a balanced growth path during the transition to modern growth an economy in which the association of wealth and patience is stronger overtakes an otherwise identical economy and generates temporarily diverging growth rates

trade geography and the skill premium in u s manufacturing i introduction the discernible increase in wage inequality in developed countries over the past several decades has been a topic of considerable interest in both the international trade and labor economics literatures a number of studies have identified at least some role for international trade in these increasing wage disparities 1 recent contributions to the new economic geography literature by head and mayer 2006 hanson 2005 mion 2004 and redding and venables 2004 have emphasized the influence of the geography of trade on wages suggesting that countries or regions with access to larger markets have higher wages in this paper we unite these two strands of the literature by developing a model that examines whether the wage increases attributed to access to larger markets are non neutral redding and venables 2004 henceforth rv develop a structural model of trade relating access to larger markets to per capita incomes they estimate a generalized gravity equation using world trade data to construct empirical proxies for market and supplier access these are trade cost weighted measures of export demand and import supply respectively that take into account the geographical distribution of trade flows market access measures the size of the market that can be reached by firms positioned in a given country supplier access measures the ease at which firms in a given country can acquire intermediate inputs rv show that per capita incomes are increasing in both of these measures their model however does not differentiate between labor types and therefore does not address the issue of whether market access has different influences on skilled workers and unskilled workers there is a good reason to believe that the wage increases attributed to market and supplier access would be non neutral across both skill groups and industries first a number of recent theoretical contributions demonstrate a positive relationship between market size and the skill premium epifani and gancia 2006 2008 show that in the context of a new trade model scale itself is skilled biased under very reasonable assumptions and they provide supporting empirical evidence in addition the new economic geography models of epifani 2005 and amiti 2005 which explicitly account for factor endowment differences between countries suggest that the forward and backward linkages provided by agglomeration exacerbate the stolper samuelson effect leading to relative wages that overshoot the values that would be observed in the absence of such linkages second redding and schott 2003 provide empirical evidence suggesting that in countries with higher values of market and supplier access individuals have greater incentive to invest in skills leading to a higher return to education and a larger skill premium and third as feenstra and hanson 1999 henceforth fh demonstrate if production is fragmented changes in the parameters of the production function over time can shift the composition of activities that are performed abroad in a given industry leading to non neutral effects on productivity and factor prices countries and industries with better access to overseas production activities that is larger levels of supplier access would be more likely to observe such changes in this paper we augment the methodology in rv to examine the relationship between market and supplier access and the skill premium in u s manufacturing industries our analysis differs from rv in two principal ways first we develop a model that relates market and supplier access to value added prices rather than to wages this is the natural generalization to a model with more than one internationally immobile factor of production second we use industries as our unit of analysis rather than countries an industry level analysis allows us to gauge the effects of market and supplier access on industry value added prices which we can then decompose into mandated factor price adjustments

taxation and savings a neoclassical perspective this paper discusses recent neoclassical analyses of taxation and savings contrary to the popular view that fiscal policy has highly ambiguous impacts on savings neoclassical models admit a host of policies with clear and potentially quite powerful affects on the accumulation of wealth the paper considers four fundamental types of fiscal policies and compares their quantitative affect on savings the essential elements of these policies involve inter and intragenerational redistribution marginal and intra marginal taxation and the level of government consumption conventional accounting measures of taxes spending and deficits provide at best little guide to changes in underlying fiscal instruments and at worst precisely opposite indicators of the direction of such changes indeed the continued use of and concern with conventional fiscal measures is symptomatic of wide spread fiscal illusion these points are developed within the context of certainty models the paper also considers the role of fiscal policy in both mitigating and exacerbating economic risks facing the private sector since precaution is a major motivation for saving governments can greatly influence wealth accumulation either by using fiscal policy to pool private risks or by making fiscal policy itself highly uncertain this abstract was borrowed from another version of this item

declining public pensions in an era of demographic ageing will private provision fill the gap abstract demographic crisis and imprudent commitments have induced a crisis in public pension programmes in oecd countries will present and prospective cutbacks lead to greater private saving either in the form of private pension provision or in other forms of saving the paper surveys existing evidence and provides new results on three questions do individuals substitute private for public provision of savings when public pension programmes are cut back voluntarily do individuals respond to incentives to join sponsored or tax subsidised arrangements if encouraged by the government and if individuals are prepared to make such arrangements and where saving is voluntary do they save enough to replace previous prospective public pension flows

capital mobility in developing countries some measurement issues and empirical estimates an economy s financial integration with the outside world the extent of capital mobility across its borders is a key determinant of some of its most important macroeconomic properties yet little is known about this characteristic of many developing economies an important stumbling block in the empirical assessment of financial integration openness is the many approaches to measuring it the author describes and evaluates different tests of capital mobility surveys existing evidence and applies four tests of capital mobility to assess the degree to which the many developing countries tested have achieved integration with the world financial markets the four tests are the 1 magnitude of gross capital flows 2 uncovered interest rate parity 3 strength of saving investment correlations and 4 behavior of domestic consumption over time the evidence suggests that most developing countries can be considered to be financially open in only 18 of the 57 developing countries classified did the data fail to show financial openness and that many countries may be experiencing an increased degree of integration with world financial markets

saving in developing countries theory and review in the literature on economic development much of the interest in saving has been focused on the relation between saving and growth but saving is not only about accumulation it is about smoothing consumption in the face of volatile and unpredictable income and helping to ensure the living standards of poor people whose lives are difficult and uncertain this paper develops a model of households which cannot borrow but which accumulate assets as a buffer stock to protect consumption when incomes are low such households dissave as often as they save do not accumulate assets over the long term and have on average very small asset holdings but their consumption is markedly smoother than their income much of the evidence is as consistent with this view of saving as it is incosistent with standard views of smoothing over the life cycle and with explanations of the link between saving and growth in terms of life cycle saving behavior consumption smoothing is also a useful way of thinking about government policy where volatility in the world prices of taxed commodities can generate sharp fluctuations in government revenues as well as reallocations of revenue between the private and public sectors many important policy issues in developing countries hinge on issues of consumption and smoothing and research on these issues is currently likely to be more productive than work on the relation between saving and growth

financial liberalisations in latin america in the 1990s a reassessment this paper studies the experience of latin america latam with financial liberalisation in the 1990s the rush towards financial liberalisations in the early 1990s was associated with expectations that external financing would alleviate the scarcity of saving in latam thereby increasing investment and growth yet the data and several case studies suggest that the gains from external financing are overrated the bottleneck inhibiting economic growth is less the scarcity of saving and more the scarcity of good governance a possible interpretation for these findings is that in countries where private savings and investments were taxed in an arbitrary and unpredictable way the credibility of a new regime could not be assumed or imposed instead credibility must be acquired as an outcome of a learning process consequently increasing the saving and investment rates tends to be a time consuming process this also suggests that greater political instability and polarisation would induce consumers to be more cautious in increasing their saving and investment rates following a reform hence reaching a sustained take off in latin america is a harder task to accomplish than in asia

inequality saving and global imbalances a new theory with evidence from oecd and asian countries global imbalances are attributable to savings deficiency in some economies and savings glut in others the recent global crisis has triggered widespread social conflict over income inequality the inequality saving link has again become a pressing issue needing serious attention we present a new theory to explain why the link between inequality and saving is negative in oecd countries but positive in emerging asia we also offer an econometric analysis of differences in inequality saving links between those economies we find that aggressive financial services lead to a negative link by creating income illusion for overconsumption but imperfect financial markets contribute to a positive link by interacting with industrial policies as part of growth strategies while ignoring liquidity constraints on consumption

household saving behaviour in an extended life cycle model a comparative study of china and india abstract this paper examines the determinants of household saving in china and india over the last few decades using the life cycle model with appropriate modifications to account for the expected benefits of pension saving consistent with the predictions made in the life cycle model higher income growth promotes more household saving and higher age dependency does the opposite an increase in the inflation rate appears to encourage household saving interestingly the evidence suggests that an increase in expected pension benefits tends to discourage household saving in china in the long run but the reverse is found in india

why are latin america s savings rates so low an international comparative analysis abstract this paper presents a theoretical and empirical assessment of the determinants of savings rates with special emphasis on latin american savings rates the study is based on international comparisons using data from 36 countries for 1970 1992 a distinction is made between private and public savings the later are endogenously determined by economic and political variables per capita income growth is the most important determinant of private and public savings public savings are lower in countries with higher political instability public savings crowd out private savings but less than proportionately low latin american savings are due to the magnitudes of their determinants rather than structural differences

macroeconomic issues for latin america abstract recent macroeconomic issues in latin america are reviewed with an emphasis on theory topics covered include multiple equilibria from hysteresis or increasing returns exchange rate management and the output and asset market effects of devaluation speculation interest rate management and financial reform government behavior income distribution and growth inertial inflation and heterodox policy shocks and disequilibrium theories

trade technology and uk wage inequality this paper examines the impact of international trade and technical change on changes in the uk skill premium we first measure trade as changes in product prices and technical change as tfp growth then we relate price and tfp changes to a set of underlying forces among our results are a changes in prices not tfp were the major force behind the rise in inequality in the 1980s b changes in oecd prices and uk tariffs significantly raised 1980s skill premia through their effects on prices and that industry concentration significantly raised 1980s skill premia through its effect on tfp

what drives private saving around the world the authors investigate the policy and non policy factors behind saving disparities using a large panel data set and an encompassing approach including several relevant determinants of private saving they extend the literature in several dimensions by 1 using the largest data set on aggregate saving assembled to date 2 using panel instrumental variable techniques to correct for endogeneity and heterogeneity 3 performing robustness checks on changes in estimation procedures data samples and model specification their main empirical findings a private saving rates show considerable inertia are highly serially correlated even after controlling for other relevant factors b private sector rates rise with the level and growth rate of real per capita income so policies that spur development are in indirect but effective way to raise private saving rates c predictions of the life cycle hypothesis are supported in that dependency ratios generally have a negative effect on private saving rates d the precautionary motive for saving is supported by the finding that inflation conventionally taken as a summary measure of macroeconomic volatility has a positive impact on private saving holding other facts constant e fiscal policy is a moderately effective tool for raising national saving f the direct effect of financial liberalization are largely detrimental to private saving rates greater availability of credit reduces the private saving rate financial depth and higher real interest rates do not increase saving

on some estimates of an asian savings function abstract recent empirical studies have led many economists to argue that a number of countries in asia could stimulate savings if they permitted higher rates of interest and accepted less foreign aid this paper critically examines the econometric basis of these claims for this purpose the model specifications found in past work are encompassed within a more general model so that they may be replicated and tested as restricted forms