remittances and the informal economy abstract many developing countries are characterized by a large informal sector and are also often heavily dependent on remittance inflows from abroad we develop a general equilibrium framework to understand better the dynamic absorption of remittances in a two sector small open economy by incorporating many of the stylized features of the informal sector calibrating the model to yield a long run equilibrium consistent with sample averages for 56 developing countries for the period 1990 2014 we show that the effect of remittances depends critically on how they impinge on the recipient economy i e whether these inflows are i permanent or temporary ii associated with a collateral effect to securitize borrowing and iii exogenous or countercyclical we also identify the conditions under which remittances are associated with an expansion of the informal sector as well as the dutch disease effect

monetary policy and uncertainty in an empirical small open economy model this paper explores optimal policy design in an estimated model of three small open economies australia canada and new zealand within a class of generalized taylor rules we show that to stabilize a weighted objective of output consumer price in ation and nominal interest variation optimal policy does not respond to the nominal exchange this is despite the presence of local currency pricing and due in large part to observed exchange rate disconnect in these economies optimal policies that account for the uncertainty of model estimates as captured by the parameters posterior distrbution similarly exhibit a lack of exchange rate response in contrast to brainard 1967 the presence of parameter uncertainty can lead to more or less aggressive policy responses depending on the model at hand

remittances and the dutch disease abstract using data for el salvador and bayesian techniques we develop and estimate a two sector dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model to analyze the effects of remittances on emerging market economies we find that whether altruistically motivated or otherwise an increase in remittance flows leads to a decline in labor supply and an increase in consumption demand that is biased toward non tradables the higher non tradable prices serve as incentive for an expansion of that sector culminating in reallocation of labor away from the tradable sector a phenomenon known as the dutch disease quantitative results also indicate that remittances improve the welfare of households because they smooth income flows and increase consumption and leisure levels a bvar analysis provides results that are consistent with the dynamics of the model

time to build and aggregate fluctuations some new evidence this paper presents maximum likelihood estimates and tests of a model similar to one kydland and prescott 1982 suggested for this purpose it derives equilibrium laws of motion for a set of aggregate variables as functions of the model s parameters and the innovation to the technology shock the paper shows that a single unobservable index can explain the variability in the observed series but identifying the single index with the innovation to the technology shock implies that per capita hours is not well explained it also shows that time separable preferences with respect to leisure are consistent with the data copyright 1989 by economics department of the university of pennsylvania and the osaka university institute of social and economic research association

the effects of mongolia s booming mining industry on its agricultural sector a test for dutch disease dutch disease occurs when currency strengthening associated with a booming sector of an economy crowds out a lagging trade dependent sector in this study a keynesian style model is specified to deduce hypotheses about how increased foreign direct investment fdi aimed at mongolia s mining sector affects its agricultural sector a key finding is that while econometric results suggest the increased fdi strengthened mongolia s currency its adverse effect on mongolia s trade sensitive agricultural sector is not sufficiently strong to cause the sector to decline although dutch disease was not detected the posited mechanism clearly is important specifically when currency strengthening is ignored the reduced form elasticity of agricultural value added with respect to fdi is 2 7 times larger than when currency strengthening is taken into account 0 103 vs 0 038 also fdi induced currency strengthening causes the keynesian multiplier y g to drop from 2 40 to 2 00 and the fdi multiplier y fdi to drop from 3 05 to 1 89

remittances financial development and growth abstract despite the increasing importance of remittances in total international capital flows the relationship between remittances and growth has not been adequately studied this paper studies one of the links between remittances and growth in particular how local financial sector development influences a country s capacity to take advantage of remittances using a newly constructed dataset for remittances covering about 100 developing countries we find that remittances boost growth in countries with less developed financial systems by providing an alternative way to finance investment and helping overcome liquidity constraints this finding controls for the endogeneity of remittances and financial development does not depend on the particular measure of financial sector development used and is robust to a number of robustness tests including threshold estimation we also provide evidence that there could be an investment channel trough which remittances can promote growth especially when the financial sector does not meet the credit needs of the population

a method for taking models to the data abstract this paper develops a method for combining the power of a dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model with the flexibility of a vector autoregressive time series model to obtain a hybrid that can be taken directly to the data it estimates this hybrid model via maximum likelihood and uses the results to address a number of issues concerning the ability of a prototypical real business cycle model to explain movements in aggregate output and employment in the postwar us economy the stability of the real business cycle model s structural parameters and the performance of the hybrid model s out of sample forecasts

aid volatility and real business cycles in a developing open economy this article analyzes the impact of the unpredictability of foreign aid on macroeconomic fluctuations in the recipient country i build a small open economy business cycle model that accounts for foreign aid shocks with no preference shocks the model is calibrated to reflect the structural empirical regularities of cote d ivoire a typical aid dependent developing country the parameters of the exogenous shocks are estimated using bayesian methods and time series data for cote d ivoire the model produces business cycle patterns that are consistent with the data and key stylized facts specifically the excess volatility of consumption with respect to output is successfully replicated the results suggest that the unpredictability of foreign aid contributes to explain the volatility of business cycles in the recipient economy and has negative welfare effects

trade shocks and macroeconomic fluctuations in africa this paper examines the role of external shocks in explaining macroeconomic fluctuations in african countries we construct a quantitative stochastic dynamic multi sector equilibrium model of a small open economy calibrated to represent a typical african economy in our framework external shocks consist of trade shocks modeled as fluctuations in the prices of exported primary commodities imported capital goods and intermediate inputs and a financial shock modeled as fluctuations in the world real interest rate our results indicate that while trade shocks account for roughly 45 percent of economic fluctuations in aggregate output financial shocks play only a minor role we also find that adverse trade shocks induce prolonged recessions

motivations to remit evidence from botswana in this article a theory of motivations to send remittances is described and tested with data from botswana altruism is one of the motivations tested and found to be an insufficient explanation for remittances among migrants in botswana a refinement of the model stipulates a modified altruism or enlightened self interest in this model the relationship between the migrant and family is tempered by an implicit understanding of mutual benefit the household strategy may be to encourage some members to migrate as a means of spreading risk and sharing gains the household strategy is similar to an insurance policy where migration is to places where market potential is high the risks incurred might be high the example is given of migration during a drought in botswana migrant remittances were greater in households with more cattle or households with more to lose drought alone was not statistically related to remittances increases in remittances were related to increased levels of education it is suggested that repayment was the motive for parents investment in migrants education migrants gains are identified as the potential for an inheritance the security of channeling investments through a trusted family member and security in having a home to return to it is pointed out that the altruism and family remittances from urban migration were strategies that bridged the simple dynamic of either urban development or rural development impacting on family welfare it is suggested that household models of economy adopt some measure to express the relationship of household wealth to remittances from urban migrants

workers remittances and the real exchange rate a paradox of gifts abstract we test the impact of workers remittances on the real exchange rate using a panel of 13 latin american and caribbean countries the analysis reveals that workers remittances have the potential to inflict economic costs on the export sector of receiving countries by reducing its international competitiveness our findings raise concerns parallel to those raised by dutch disease or resource boom models where resource discoveries result in real exchange rate appreciation and shifting of resources from the traded to the nontraded sectors of the economy

immigration remittances and business cycles we use data on border enforcement and macroeconomic indicators from the united states and mexico to estimate a two country business cycle model of labor migration and remittances the model matches the cyclical dynamics of labor migration to the united states and documents how remittances to mexico serve an insurance role to smooth consumption across the border during expansions in the destination economy immigration increases with the expected stream of future wage gains but it is dampened by a sunk migration cost that reflects the intensity of border enforcement during recessions established migrants are deterred from returning to their country of origin which places an additional downward pressure on the wage of native unskilled workers thus migration barriers reduce the ability of the stock of immigrant labor to adjust during the cycle enhancing the volatility of unskilled wages and remittances we quantify the welfare implications of various immigration policies for the destination economy

remittances entrepreneurship and employment dynamics over the business cycle abstract we incorporate remittances and micro entrepreneurship self employment into a small open economy business cycle model with capital and labor market frictions countercyclical remittances moderate the decline of households consumption during recessions these remittances also are used to finance the start up costs of microenterprises that bolster households income during economic downturns we show that the positive income effect from countercyclical remittances also leads to a decrease in salaried labor supply which generates offsetting upward pressure on wages during recessions and adversely affects the recovery of the economy consistent with the microeconomic evidence the behavior of remittances decisively affects labor force participation and the composition of employment between non salaried and salaried employment over the business cycle the model delivers labor market and aggregate cyclical dynamics that are consistent with the mexican data including a highly volatile and countercyclical unemployment rate

remittances and working poverty abstractthis article shows that the level and the predictability of remittances reduce working poverty in receiving economies through their effects on labour market dynamics it takes advantage of the new cross country dataset ilo kilm 7th edition containing information on the share of individuals working for less than us 2 per day to identify the main impacts the article proposes a novel approach to deal with the endogeneity of remittances and migration in addition the results are robust to the possible error in measuring working poverty to the potential attrition bias and to the presence of various control variables

migration from nicaragua some recent evidence abstract i utilize two unique data sources to examine migration from and remittance flows to the capital city of managua nicaragua approximately 10 12 of the population has emigrated these emigrants tend to be disproportionately of working age better educated and more often white collar workers than nonmigrants in addition emigrants are more likely to come from larger premigration households and higher income households remittance flows to managua are quite large the second largest source of foreign exchange earnings after coffee in addition remittances have a negative income effect on labor force participation and a positive effect on self employment of nonmigrants

international migration workers remittances and permanent income hypothesis summary studies that examine the long run impact of remittances on economic growth in west africa and the caribbean show that remittances are not growth enhancing money has been used toward consumption rather than investment because migrants from these regions are mostly permanent immigrants who settle in the host countries we ask if there is a difference for south asia where migrant workers are flooding for short term temporary contracts in the middle eastern countries the permanent income hypothesis states that a permanent increase in income raises current consumption while transitory income increase is saved or smoothed over a life time we argue that the transitory income remitted by short term migrants is invested to generate future income when they return we examine a panel data of five south asian countries bangladesh india nepal pakistan and sri lanka for a period from 1975 to 2011 using panel cointegration and pooled mean group pmg estimation of dynamic heterogeneous panels we show that there is a long run significant impact of workers remittances on income while the impact on consumption is not significant a one percent increase in remittance receipt per person raises per capita income by approximately 0 23 the results are robust across different tests

nonparametric estimation of state price densities implicit in interest rate cap prices based on a multivariate extension of the constrained locally polynomial estimator of ait sahalia and duarte 2003 we provide one of the first nonparametric estimates of probability densities of libor rates under forward martingale measures and state price densities spds implicit in interest rate cap prices the forward densities and spds depend significantly on the slope and volatility of libor rates and mortgage markets activities have strong impacts on the shape of the forward densities the spds exhibit a pronounced u shape as a function of future libor rates suggesting that the state prices are high at both extremely low and high interest rates which tend to be associated with recessions and periods of high inflation respectively our results provide nonparametric evidence of unspanned stochastic volatility and suggest that the unspanned factors could be partly driven by activities in the mortgage markets the author 2009 published by oxford university press on behalf of the society for financial studies all rights reserved for permissions please e mail journals permissions oxfordjournals org oxford university press

remittances and competitiveness the case of the philippines summary the paper looks at the impact of migration and workers remittances on the competitiveness of the home economy it extends existing research that concentrated on the exchange rate effects of remittances the so called dutch disease effect by adding labor market effects the results show that the labor market effects of emigration and remittances have a significant impact on competitiveness that goes beyond the traditional exchange rate effect

dynamics of the trade balance and the terms of trade the j curve the authors provide a theoretical interpretation of two features of international data the countercyclical movements in net exports and the tendency for the trade balance to be negatively correlated with current and future movements in terms of trade but positively correlated with past movements they document the same properties in a two country stochastic growth model in which trade fluctuations reflect in large part the dynamics of capital formation the authors find that their general equilibrium perspective is essential the relation between the trade balance and the terms of trade depends critically on the source of fluctuations copyright 1994 by american economic association

international migration remittances and household investment evidence from philippine migrants exchange rate shocks how do households respond to overseas members economic shocks overseas filipinos in dozens of countries experienced sudden heterogeneous changes in exchange rates during the 1997 asian financial crisis appreciation of a migrant s currency against the philippine peso leads to increases in household remittances from overseas the estimated elasticity of philippine peso remittances with respect to the exchange rate is 0 60 positive migrant shocks lead to enhanced human capital accumulation and entrepreneurship in origin households child schooling and educational expenditure rise while child labour falls households also work more hours in self employment and become more likely to start relatively capital intensive household enterprises

is lumpy investment relevant for the business cycle the lumpiness of investment activity at the plant level is a well established fact previous research has suggested that such discrete and occasional adjustments have significant aggregate implications in particular it has been argued that changes in plants willingness to invest in response to aggregate shocks can at times generate large movements in total investment demand in this study i reassess these predictions in a general equilibrium environment specifically assuming nonconvex costs of capital adjustment i derive generalized s s adjustment rules yielding lumpy plant level investment within an otherwise standard equilibrium business cycle model in contrast to previous partial equilibrium analyses model results reveal that the aggregate effects of lumpy investment are negligible in general equilibrium households preference for relatively smooth consumption profiles offsets changes in aggregate investment demand implied by the introduction of lumpy plant level investment as a result

the dynamic implications of foreign aid and its variability abstract the paper examines the effects of aid and its volatility on consumption investment and the structure of production in the context of an intertemporal two sector general equilibrium model calibrated using data for aid dependent countries in africa a permanent flow of aid mainly finances consumption rather than investment consistent with the historical failure of aid inflows to translate into sustained growth large aid flows are associated with higher real exchange rates and smaller tradable sectors because aid is a substitute for tradable consumption aid volatility results in substantial welfare losses providing a motivation for recent discussions of aid architecture stressing the need for greater predictability of aid these results are also consistent with evidence from cross country regressions of manufactured exports presented later in the paper

booming sector and de industrialisation in a small open economy this paper presents a theoretical analysis of the dutch disease the phenomenon whereby a boom in one traded goods sector squeezes porfitability in other traded goods sectors both by directly bi

business tax policy the lucas critique and lessons from the 1980 s in 1976 robert lucas published a devastating critique of the then current practice for quantifying the effects of alternative policies he argued that in formulating plans economic agents necessarily look into the future and thus the decision rules guiding their actions depend on parameters describing the expectations of future variables as well as parameters of taste and technology lucas viewed economic policy as the selection of rules that generate the values of policy variables rather than the selection of arbitrary sequences of policy variables thus any change in policy will systematically alter the structure of econometric models 1981 p 126 and the estimated coefficients in the then current consumption wageprice or investment models could not be considered structural that is invariant to alternative policy regimes the important and damning implication for policy analysis is that these econometric relationships will prove unstable in precisely those situations in which they are called upon to analyze proposed policies this paper seeks to exploit the substantial variation in business tax policy during the 1980 s to shed some light on the quantitative importance of the lucas critique lc and to evaluate the ability of explicit theory to enhance econometric analysis in august of 1981 the economic agenda of the reagan revolution began to be put in place with the passage of the economic recovery tax act erta this was followed by the tax equity and fiscal responsibility act of 1982 the deficit reduction act of 1984 and the tax reform act of 1986 other changes such as the increase in defense spending and growth of and restrictions on the federal deficit indicate that expectations of the current and future course of fiscal policy were altered radically during the reagan administration maintained in this paper is the assumption that these changes in tax and other aspects of fiscal policy can be viewed as an unanticipated change in policy regime in regard to the 1981 legislation the economic report of the president claimed that t his tax policy is a sharp break from the policies of the recent past it reflects a different understanding of the way tax policy affects the u s economy 1982 p 109 under the assumption that the 1980 s witnessed a fundamental change in the stochastic process characterizing fiscal policy econometric equations susceptible to the lc should become temporally unstable those models that successfully address the lc by isolating expectation parameters should remain stable the quantitative importance of the lc is evaluated by examining the stability of four different econometric models of business investment that to varying degrees are vulnerable to the lc the neoclassical model studied extensively by robert hall and dale jorgenson 1967 robert eisner and m ishaq nadiri 1968 and their numerous collaborators the q model associated with james tobin the vector autoregressive model var s advanced by christopher sims 1982 and a hybrid var model var h used to study investment by robert gordon and john veitch 1986 since the four models differ in the extent to which they are guided by explicit theoretical frameworks these results will also be useful in assessing the impact of economic theory on econometric performance university of chicago chicago il 60637 i thank charles hulten robert lucas and allen sinai for critical comments on a preliminary draft all errors omissions and conclusions remain my sole responsibility

migration risk and liquidity constraints in el salvador abstract this article utilizes panel data from el salvador to investigate the use of transnational migration as an ex post risk management strategy i show that adverse agricultural conditions in el salvador increase both migration to the united states and remittances sent back to el salvador i show that in the absence of any agricultural shocks the probability that a household sent members to the united states would have decreased on average by 24 26 i also show that the 2001 earthquakes reduced net migration to the united states a one standard deviation increase in earthquake damage reduced the average probability of northward migration by 37 11 the evidence suggests that the effects of the earthquakes had more to do with households retaining labor at home to cope with the effects of the disaster than with the earthquakes disrupting migration financing

exchange rates and monetary policy in emerging market economies this paper investigates the effects of exchange rate regimes and alternative monetary policy rules for an emerging market economy that is subject to a volatile external environment in the form of shocks to world interest rates and the terms of trade in particular we highlight the impact of financial frictions and the degree of exchange rate pass through in determining the relative performance of alternative regimes in stabilizing the economy in the face of external shocks our results are quite sharp when exchange rate pass through is high a policy of non traded goods inflation targeting does best in stabilizing the economy and is better in welfare terms when exchange rate pass through is low however a policy of strict cpi inflation targeting is better in all cases a fixed exchange rate is undesirable in addition financial frictions have no implications for the ranking of alternative policy rules

remittances and public finances evidence from oil price shocks we study the effect of inflowing remittances a major source of capital for many countries on tax revenues and tax policy instrumenting remittances with changes in the oil price interacted with a country s distance to oil producing countries we find that remittances have a large positive effect on vat revenues but no effect on income tax revenues this suggests that remittances often escape the income tax but can be taxed via consumption we further show that tax policy is responsive to shocks in incoming remittances remittances make the adoption of vat systems more likely and they lead to lower vat rates and higher income tax rates

patience persistence and welfare costs of incomplete markets in open economies abstract we investigate the welfare implications of alternative financial market structures in a two country endowment economy model we obtain an analytic expression for the expected lifetime utility of the representative household when sovereign bonds are the only internationally traded asset and we compare this welfare level with that obtained under complete asset markets the welfare cost of incomplete markets is negligible if agents are very patient and shocks are not very persistent but this cost is dramatically larger if agents are relatively impatient and shocks are highly persistent for realistic cases in which agents are very patient and shocks are highly persistent the welfare cost of incomplete markets is highly sensitive to the specific values of these parameters

international migration remittances and schooling evidence from el salvador abstract we examine the effect of remittances from abroad on households schooling decisions using data for el salvador following the massive war related emigration of the 1980s remittances became a significant source of household income throughout the 1990s we use the cox proportional hazard model to examine the determinants of school attendance measuring income from a source that is uncorrelated with parental schooling remittances we find that remittances have a large significant effect on school retention we estimate that while household income net of remittances has a small though significant impact on the hazard of leaving school in rural and urban areas remittances have a much larger impact on the hazard of leaving school in urban areas the effect of remittances is at its smallest 10 times the size of the effect of other income in rural areas the effect of remittances is about 2 6 times that of other income our finding is of interest in that it suggests that subsidizing school attendance particularly in poor areas may have a large impact on school attendance and retention even if parents have low levels of schooling

the impact of international remittances on child outcomes and household expenditures in nepal abstractnepal has one of the highest ratios of international remittances to gross domestic product in the world we examine whether the massive inflow of international remittances affects child schooling child labour and household expenses controlling extensively for a host of observed characteristics of households and migrants and using an instrumental variable approach this research finds no effect of international remittances on child education or child labour in nepal however it does find a significant increase in non food expenditures including education spending due to international remittances despite increased expenditure on child education educational outcomes are not improving because of international remittances

an empirical analysis of remittance flows into west african economic and monetary union a panel time series approach abstractthe article empirically analyses the motivations and long run economic outcomes of remittance inflows into the west african economic and monetary union using westerlund s 2007 ecm for panel time series and data spanning 1975 2011 the results show that there is no evidence of a long run impact of remittances on income per capita in the region the inflows seem to be motivated by investment but the money may be used to promote consumption instead this phenomenon could be characterized by information asymmetry between migrants and the recipients

dutch disease and the mitigation effect of migration evidence from canadian provinces this article evaluates whether immigration can mitigate the dutch disease effects associated with booms in natural resource sectors we derive predicted changes in the size of the non tradable sector from a small general equilibrium model a la obstfeld rogoff using data for canadian provinces we find evidence that aggregate immigration mitigates the increase in the size of the non tradable sector in booming regions the mitigation effect is due mostly to interprovincial migration and temporary foreign workers there is no evidence of such an effect for permanent international immigration interprovincial migration also results in a spreading effect of dutch disease from booming to non booming provinces

what is the impact of international remittances on poverty and inequality in latin america workers remittances have become a major source of income for developing countries however little is still known about their impact on poverty and inequality using a large cross country panel dataset the authors find that remittances in latin american and caribbean lac countries have increased growth and reduced inequality and poverty these results are robust to the use of different instruments that attempt to correct for the potential endogeneity of remittances household survey based estimates for 10 lac countries confirm that remittances have negative albeit relatively small inequality and poverty reducing effects even after imputations for the potential home earnings of migrants

international remittances migration and primary commodities this paper documents the global crude oil market as a key driver of international migration and remittances structural estimation documents that crude oil supply and demand shocks induce sizeable remittances flows the sign and magnitude of remitter outflows differ across countries and structural shocks a multilateral global general equilibrium model is used to show how oil exporting remitters generate international remittance and migration spillovers from crude oil price movements remittees economic outcomes from remittances and migration channels are found to be dominated by terms of trade channels for shocks to the global market for crude oil due to this studies of remittance flows need to account for the source of the commodity price movement if using the correlation between remittee real gdp and remittance inflows

monetary and exchange rate policy under remittance fluctuations abstract using data for the philippines i develop and estimate a heterogeneous agent model to analyze the role of monetary policy in a small open economy subject to sizable remittance fluctuations i include rule of thumb households with no access to financial markets and test whether remittances are countercyclical and serve as an insurance mechanism against macroeconomic shocks when evaluating the welfare implications of alternative monetary rules i consider both an anticipated large secular increase in the trend growth of remittances and random cyclical fluctuations around this trend in a purely deterministic framework a nominal fixed exchange rate regime avoids a rapid real appreciation and performs better for recipient households facing an increasing trend for remittances a flexible floating regime is preferred when unanticipated shocks driving the business cycle are also part of the picture

are remittances insurance evidence from rainfall shocks in the philippines several facts motivate this study first life in developing countries is prone to many kinds of risk such as crop and income loss due to natural disasters weather insect infestations and fire and civil conflict second international migration and remittance flows are substantial and growing between 1965 and 2000 individuals living outside their country of birth grew from 2 2 to 2 9 percent of the world population totaling 175 million people in 2000 the remittances that these migrants send to their countries of origin are an important but poorly understood type of international financial flow this article examines a mechanism for coping with shocks ex post on which previous micro level studies have not focused remittances from family members overseas at the international level it is commonly posited that remittance flows from overseas buffer economic shocks in migrants home countries but there have been relatively few empirical tests of this claim with micro level household data related research on the role of domestic migration in pooling risk within extended families includes lucas and stark 1985 rosenzweig and stark 1989 and paulson 2000

revisiting the brain drain literature with insights from a dynamic general equilibrium world model the existing brain drain literature has found various mechanisms through which the high skilled south to north migration affects developing economies however some of the new found effects remain disputable due to limited evidence this study aimed to provide suggestive guidelines for future research by identifying the mechanisms that can generate larger economic impacts at the aggregate the analysis is based on a dynamic general equilibrium world model that is calibrated to published statistics and incorporates empirical estimates on the effects of brain drain it simulates short and long run impacts of increased brain drain on gdp per capita gni per capita and income inequality the results suggest that more studies should be conducted to further examine how the brain drain influences human capital formation and technology spillovers both have significant impacts on domestic production and national income a better understanding of different remitting patterns is also desirable to understand how to reduce inequality and promote recipients investment in productive assets

remittances output and exchange rate regimes theory with an application to latin america immigrant remittances have a broad effect on the receiving economies we show this impact on the main macroeconomic aggregates is dependent on the policy arrangements in place that manage capital flows we look at remittance inflows in a small open economy to examine their influence on output under alternative exchange rate regimes using a simple stochastic limited participation model we are able to reproduce dynamics consistent with the empirical literature we find that the dynamics of labor inflation and output are dependent on the parameterization of the utility function and on the monetary rule governing the evolution of the interest rate and in particular with respect to the response of interest rates to exchange rate movements we find that the initial drop of output resulting from a remittances shock is similar under alternative exchange rate regimes but the subsequent recovery of output is faster and stronger under more flexible exchange rate regimes we provide suggestive empirical evidence from a panel vector autoregression specification for 17 latin american countries that corroborates our results