learning to believe in sunspots a number of authors have shown that competitive economies may possess sunspot equilibria that is rational expectations equilibria in which purely extrinsic uncertainty affects equilibrium prices and allocations 2 such results demonstrate that it does not require a lack of faith in the rationality of market participants to believe that competitive markets may be subject to purely speculative fluctuations driven solely by expectations 3 the mere existence of sunspot equilibria as solutions to a system of marketclearing conditions however might not be judged sufficient to indicate that competitive markets with rational participants could ever be subject to speculative instability the sunspot equilibria represent states of affairs in which agents act differently in the case of different realizations of the sunspot variable and it is rational for each agent to do so but it might be thought unlikely that the beliefs of all the participants in the market could ever come to be coordinated so as to bring about an equilibrium of that kind it is rational to believe that sunspots convey information about future states of affairs once the economy is in a sunspot equilibrium but why would rational agents ever begin to believe in such a thing so as to create the conditions under which the belief is rational in order to address such a question one must go beyond the mere statement of the conditions for equilibrium and discussion of what states of affairs satisfy them one must specify an explicit dynamic process according to which the beliefs of agents adjust when out of equilibrium any exercise of this kind is necessarily unsatisfactory as there is no univocal meaning for the postulate of rational behavior outside of an equilibrium it may well be the case that

an overview of hofstede inspired country level culture research in international business since 2006 kirkman lowe gibson s 2006 jibs article summarized and critiqued international business research inspired by the most cited book in the field hofstede s 1980 culture s consequences international differences in work related values hofstede 1980 2001 they identified a number of issues in this research and offered several recommendations for improving it in the future thus laying a strong foundation for hofstede related work since 2006 in this commentary we assess kirkman et al s 2006 impact on the field our review shows that their ideas have informed and inspired their own and other scholars work and have led to significant progress in the way in which hofstede s framework has been used in international business in the last decade here we specifically focus on the country level culture studies and assess how research has implemented kirkman et al s three main recommendations to explore cultural dimensions beyond those introduced by hofstede to distinguish between country effects and cultural effects and to show not only if culture matters but also how much it matters in addition to the overview we provide a comprehensive test of these recommendations showing how they can be put into research practice underscoring the theoretical and empirical relevance of the original 2006 article our commentary concludes with additional ideas on further strengthening hofstede inspired research at the country level of analysis

inflation output growth and nominal and real uncertainty empirical evidence for the g7 abstract we use univariate garch models of inflation and output growth and monthly data for the g7 covering the 1957 2000 period to test for the causal effect of real and nominal macroeconomic uncertainty on inflation and output growth and the effect of inflation on inflation uncertainty our evidence supports a number of important conclusions first inflation is a positive determinant of uncertainty about inflation second output growth uncertainty is a positive determinant of the output growth rate third there is mixed evidence regarding the effect of inflation uncertainty on inflation and output growth hence uncertainty about the inflation rate is not necessarily detrimental to economic growth finally there is not much evidence supporting the hypothesis that output uncertainty raises inflation

capital budgets borrowing rules and state capital spending abstract this paper compares the level and composition of government spending in u s states that maintain separate budgets for capital and operating expenditures with that in states that employ unified budgets it also investigates the effects of pay as you go financing rules for capital projects the empirical findings suggest that states with separate capital budgets spend more on public capital projects than comparable states with unified budgets there is no evidence that the presence or absence of a capital budget affects the level of non capital spending pay as you go requirements for financing capital projects are associated with lower levels of both capital and non capital spending

government policy and the firm s capital structure abstract the purpose of this paper is to examine the effects of commonly observed forms of government intervention on the firm s capital structure we show that since market claims against the firm are always properly priced the firm is forced to take market claimants interests into account on the other hand since government claims are usually not adjusted for risk the firm can take advantage of the government it does so by choosing strategies that extract maximum value minimum cost from these policies in particular the firm uses its capital capital structure to maximize the value of the policy thus leading to a determinate capital strucure

economic development institutional change and the political economy of agricultural protection an econometric study of belgium since the 19th century this empirical study uses 100 years of annual data on 11 agricultural commodities from belgium to measure the impact of structural changes coinciding with economic development and changes in political institutions on agricultural protection the analysis shows that changes in agricultural protection are caused by a combination of factors governments have increased protection and support to farmers when world market prices for their commodities fell and vice versa offsetting market effects on producer incomes other economic determinants were the share of the commodities in total consumer expenditures negative effect and in total output of the economy positive effect with belgium a small economy there was no impact of the trade position changes in political institutions have affected agricultural protection democratic reforms which induced a significant shift in the political balance towards agricultural interests such as the introduction of the one man one vote system led to an increase in agricultural protection the integration of belgian agricultural policies in the common agricultural policy in 1968 coincided with an increase in protection ceteris paribus both institutional factors related to changes in access to and information about the decision making at the eu level and structural changes in the agricultural and food economy may explain this effect

setting efficient incentives for agricultural research lessons from principal agent theory a conceptual analysis of important issues in the organization and management of academic research is presented principal agent theory is applied to derive optimal compensation schemes for scientists when they differ in ability risk aversion cost of effort and reservation utility and to show the optimal trade off between institutional risk and scientists abilities implications for an efficient organization of research are derived including how scientists incentives should be structured to elicit optimal research efforts and direction whether research direction should be centralized or decentralized and whether the organization of research should be through external competitive grantsor program and institutional funding copyright 2000 oxford university press

modeling nonlinearity of business cycles choosing between the cdr and star models nonlinear modeling has become popular in applied macroeconomics successful attempts include beaudry and koop s cdr current depth of the recession model of real gnp and various star smooth transition autoregression models of industrial production however these models have not been directly compared we compare cdr and star models of u s real gnp and industrial production we find i within sample the cdr model fits slightly better than the star model ii out of sample the cdr model forecasts better than the star model and iii the cdr model generates very different dynamics than the star model

economic principles and incentives structure management and funding of agricultural research in the united states the problems faced by public agricultural research and land grant system in the us is discussed in the context of its response to public pressure and criticism several proposals are put forward to address these problems which are related to the following issues grant funding versus formula funding breakdown of organized science in agriculture privatization of the land grant system harnessing the efficiencies of competition in public agricultural research and long term social productivity modelling

group cultural values and political skills a situationist perspective on interpersonal citizenship behaviors drawing on mischel s 1968 situationist perspective we theorized that in a weak situation one created by a group culture of low power distance pd or low uncertainty avoidance ua political skills increase the display of interpersonal citizenship behaviors in a strong situation one created by a high group pd or high group ua the application of political skills is constrained in a sample comprising of supervisor employee groups from canada and india we highlight group culture as an important boundary condition on interpersonal citizenship behaviors and recommend that leaders carefully consider the cultures that they create in their groups

firm capabilities technological dynamism and the internationalisation of innovation a behavioural approach we develop a behavioural framework of bounded rational decision making under uncertainty to analyse the role of technological dynamism in the firm s environment for its decision to internationalise innovation applying prospect theory we argue that technological uncertainty in the firm s environment affects its risk preferences differently depending on its technological capabilities a key prediction is that firms with low capabilities will internationalise innovation when faced by technological uncertainty while firms with high capabilities will concentrate their innovation at the home base we also argue that our behavioural approach based on prospect theory is not a stand alone programme but benefits from the integration with traditional concepts in ib in particular we make a case that organisational measures fostering absorptive capacity such as intensive personnel exchange between headquarters and subsidiaries can help to attenuate the high capability firms tendency to concentrate innovation at the home base when faced by high uncertainty we corroborate the predictions of our framework based on data from the german part of the community innovation survey

the fischer black hypothesis some time series evidence we estimate an arch m model to analyze the relationship between the conditional standard deviation of real gross national product gnp and its growth rate for the period 1871 1993 we find that variability significantly increases output growth rates in addition impulse response functions show that the effect of variability on growth rates is dynamic these results provide evidence in favor of black s 1987 business cycle hypothesis

macroeconomic uncertainty and performance in the european union abstract we use a very general bivariate garch m model and monthly data on eu countries covering the 1962 2003 period to test for the impact of real output growth and nominal inflation macroeconomic uncertainty on inflation and output growth our evidence supports a number of important conclusions first in the majority of countries uncertainty regarding the output growth rate is related to the average growth rate and the effect in several countries is negative second in half of the cases there is no significant relationship between inflation uncertainty and output growth performance third inflation and output uncertainty have a mixed effect on inflation nevertheless considerable evidence for the cukierman meltzer hypothesis is obtained our conclusions are based on adopting both a structural and a reduced form bivariate garch model finally we also find statistically significant evidence of regime switching for both inflation and output growth volatility throughout the sample

uncertainty avoidance moderates the relationship between transformational leadership and innovation a meta analysis transformational leadership is commonly assumed to facilitate employee innovation in all cultures drawing upon field studies from 17 countries this meta analysis revealed that supervisor transformational leadership is positively related to individual and team level innovation regardless of national boundaries however the relationship trended somewhat more strongly in countries with higher levels of uncertainty avoidance these findings suggest that employee innovation in most countries can be enhanced by investing in supervisor transformational leadership but organizations operating in countries with higher levels of uncertainty avoidance may benefit more from this strategy

measuring the response of macroeconomic uncertainty to shocks recent research documents the importance of uncertainty in determining macroeconomic outcomes but little is known about the transmission of uncertainty across such outcomes this paper examines the response of uncertainty about inflation and output growth to shocks documenting statistically significant size and sign bias and spillover effects uncertainty about inflation is a determinant of output uncertainty whereas higher growth volatility tends to raise inflation volatility both inflation and growth volatility respond asymmetrically to positive and negative shocks negative growth and inflation shocks lead to higher and more persistent uncertainty than shocks of equal magnitude but opposite sign

the great moderation and the relationship between output growth and its volatility this study examines the effect of the great moderation on the relationship between u s output growth and its volatility over the period 1947 to 2006 first we consider the possible effects of structural change in the volatility process in so doing we employ garch m and arch m specifications of the process describing output growth rate and its volatility with and without a one time structural break in volatility second our data analyses and empirical results suggest no significant relationship between the output growth rate and its volatility favoring the traditional wisdom of dichotomy in macroeconomics moreover the evidence shows that the time varying variance falls sharply or even disappears once we incorporate a one time structural break in the unconditional variance of output starting 1982 or 1984 that is the integrated garch effect proves spurious finally a joint test of a trend change and a one time shift in the volatility process finds that the one time shift dominates

budgetary policy with unified and decentralized appropriations authority the divestiture of the house appropriations committee in the1880 s has received considerable attention of an empiricalnature this paper presents a formal model of legislativedecisionmaking using a common agency formulation to representinterest group lobbying of legislators this framework is usedto analyze the effects of decentralizing appropriationsauthority the conditions under which decentralization leadsto higher spending are characterized it is argued that theconventional view that divestiture caused higher levels ofspending only holds if decentralization created barriers tolobbying and political bargaining across different committees in addition the role of specialized committee knowledge isexamined

a dynamic analysis of university agricultural biotechnology patent production this article examines the factors that account for agricultural biotechnology patenting success among universities using a dynamic count data model it builds a theoretical and econometric model to capture the inherently dynamic and nonlinear process of technological innovation wherein a feedback mechanism from previous success partially determines current patent counts the econometric estimates reveal the importance to agricultural biotechnology patent production of land grant infrastructure quality faculty patent oriented technology transfer offices as well as dynamic feedback effects the advent of exclusive property rights for university research specifically the bayh dole act has created the potential for major changes in the missions of u s universities especially among land grant universities lgus as well as in the overall system of technology creation and distribution in agriculture at the same time new genetic and cloning technologies along with the recently created ability to patent plants and living organisms are profoundly changing the range of agricultural technologies that are likely to be available in the united states and internationally indeed as zilberman yarkin and heiman argue these new agricultural biotechnologies ag biotech and their associated intellectual property rights appear to be creating a new paradigm a veritable revolution in the organization and interaction of university research and the agricultural sector under this new paradigm universities emphasize patenting innovations and then granting at times

a retrospective on culture s consequences the 35 year journey abstract our 2006 journal of international business studies article a quarter century of culture s consequences a review of the empirical research incorporating hofstede s cultural values framework provided a comprehensive review of 180 empirical journal articles and edited volume chapters published between 1980 and june 2002 that incorporated hofstede s cross cultural values framework we examined empirical research that positioned culture as either a main or moderating effect the review attempted to make sense of the almost quarter century of research examining the impact of culture at the individual group organization and country levels in the present commentary we provide a a summary of the progress that has been made in the intervening decade and most importantly b a new set of recommendations for the next decade to guide those wishing to study the role of national culture in organizations

pricing and regulating affect environmental ethics effluent charges and tradeable permits are economically efficient but rarely used a new explanation for this discrepancy is offered pricing may crowd out environmental ethics in the pricing and via spillovers also in non pricing sectors pricing may therefore increase pollution providing a reason why decision makers tend to reject environmental pricing five propositions showing the conditions for counterproductive effects are advanced they are consistent with available empirical evidence regulation by setting standards and subsidies damage environmental ethics less than pricing because pollution is condoned damaging environmental ethics may prevent political action in favor of the environment

ideological conviction and persuasion in the rent seeking society abstract the paper develops a model of rent seeking in a democratic political context where voting as well as rent seeking matters in this context the paper demonstrates that voter ideology is a constraint on the rent seeking game as well as a possible avenue of rent seeking in a setting where there are both rent seeking and ideological interest groups rent seekers can free ride on the efforts of ideologues which tends to reduce rent seeking effort in a setting where complementary economic and ideological interest groups coordinate their efforts both rent seeking and ideological conflict tend to increase

voting and paying for public goods an application of the theory of the core abstract let any coalition with a majority of all voters have the power to choose the quantities of public goods under rule i a majority coalition bears a cost of its decision that is proportional to its size under rule ii it must bear the whole cost of its decision thus rule i imposes costs on minorities although they have no power to choose the quantities of public goods while rule ii allows goods to have some attributes of semiprivate goods it is shown that a nonempty core under rule i implies a nonempty core under rule ii but not conversely necessary and sufficient conditions in terms of the properties of the von neumann morgenstern characteristic function are given

country familiarity in the initial stage of foreign market selection focusing on the initial stage of foreign market selection i e narrowing a set of potential countries from which to make a final choice we theorize that manager s country familiarity influences both the decision making process and outcome we hypothesize that with increasing country familiarity a manager investment of cognitive effort process first increases and then decreases and b the likelihood of a country being included for further consideration outcome also increases and then decreases we further hypothesize that the effects of country familiarity are contingent on the managers international experience empirical evidence from verbal protocol analyses of managers provides strong support to our arguments these findings contribute to the emergent literature on the critical role of cognition in decision making about foreign markets manager cognition potentially influences sequential non sequential entry decision making possibly explaining some previously observed exceptions to internationalization process theory the contingent role of international experience further stresses that the influence of cognition in internationalization decision making is both important and complex involving at least innate cognitive processes idiosyncratic knowledge and international experience we discuss the theoretical implications along with practice implications of country familiarity and intuitive decision making in foreign market selection

the bias in favor of pro tariff lobbies abstract we show that the probability of success of the pro tariff lobby defined as a decreasing function of the ratio of consumer loss to producer gain rent generated by the tariff rises with the tariff under very general conditions this appears as an exception to becker s view that less distortionary measures tend to be adopted over their more distortionary counterparts we then provide a micro foundation for our probability definition using the imperfectly discriminating lobbying framework

does organizational formalization facilitate voice and helping organizational citizenship behaviors it depends on national uncertainty norms prosocial work behaviors in a globalized environment do not operate in a cultural vacuum we assess to what extent voice and helping organizational citizenship behaviors ocbs vary across cultures depending on employees perceived level of organizational formalization and national uncertainty we predict that in contexts of uncertainty cognitive resources are engaged in coping with this uncertainty organizational formalization can provide structure that frees up cognitive resources to engage in ocb in contrast in contexts of low uncertainty organizational formalization is not necessary for providing structure and may increase constraints on discretionary behavior a three level hierarchical linear modeling analysis of data from 7 537 employees in 267 organizations across 17 countries provides broad support for our hypothesis perceived organizational formalization is weakly related to ocb but where uncertainty is high formalization facilitates voice significantly helping ocb to a lesser extent our findings contribute to clarifying the dynamics between perceptions of norms at organizational and national levels for understanding when employees may engage in helping and voice behaviors the key implication is that managers can foster ocb through organizational formalization interventions in uncertain environments that are cognitively demanding

involvement work systems and operational effectiveness exploring the moderating effect of national power distance work practices that involve employees are generally assumed to be less effective in more hierarchical societies where employees values are not aligned with such practices in this study we challenge this assumption by developing a theory that differentiates between the symbolic and instrumental aspects of involvement work systems and proposing that their symbolic impact will be more pronounced in egalitarian societies whereas their instrumental impact will be more pronounced in hierarchical societies in particular we draw on the symbolic action perspective and theories on culture to test the relationship between involvement work systems and operational effectiveness by incorporating organizational climate of participation and national cultural differences in power distance using multi source multilevel data from 260 facilities of a multinational company operating in 22 countries we found that the mediated relationship between involvement work systems and operational effectiveness through climate of participation i e the symbolic impact was stronger among facilities located in lower power distance societies on the other hand the direct relationship between involvement work systems and operational effectiveness i e the instrumental impact was stronger in higher power distance societies overall our study resolves a seeming cultural dilemma with regard to how involvement work systems operate cross culturally

are output fluctuations transitory according to the conventional view of the business cycle fluctuations in output represent temporary deviations from trend the purpose of this paper is to question this conventional view if fluctuations in output are dominated by temporary deviations from the natural rate of output then an unexpected change in output today should not substantially change one s forecast of output in say five or ten years our examination of quarterly postwar united states data leads us to be skeptical about this implication the data suggest that an unexpected change in real gnp of 1 percent should change one s forecast by over 1 percent over a long horizon

the asymmetric effects of uncertainty on inflation and output growth we study the effects of growth volatility and inflation volatility on average rates of output growth and inflation for post war us data our results suggest that increased growth uncertainty is associated with significantly lower average growth while higher inflation uncertainty is significantly negatively correlated with lower output growth and lower average inflation both inflation and growth display evidence of significant asymmetric response to positive and negative shocks of equal magnitude copyright 2004 john wiley sons ltd

random errors dirty information and politics rational voters assessments of candidates and policy proposals are unbiased but affected by random errors clean information decreases these errors while dirty information increases them in politics most voting procedures weigh random individual errors asymmetrically thus such errors do not counterbalance one another in the aggregate they systematically affect politics this illuminates the roles of political propaganda and interest groups it helps to explain various puzzles in public choice e g the frequent use of inefficient policy instruments institutional conditions are identified that shape the aggregate impact of individual errors and the politicians incentives to produce dirty information

are empirical measures of macroeconomic uncertainty alike there is a plethora of time series measures of uncertainty for inflation and real output growth in empirical studies but little is known whether they are comparable to the uncertainty measure reported by individual forecasters in the survey of professional forecasters are these two measures of uncertainty inherently distinct this paper shows that compared with many uncertainty proxies produced by time series models the use of real time data with fixed sample recursive estimation of an asymmetric bivariate generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity model yields inflation uncertainty estimates which resemble the survey measure there is however overwhelming evidence that many of the time series measures of growth uncertainty exceed the level of uncertainty obtained from survey measure our results highlight the relative merits of using different methods in modelling macroeconomic uncertainty which are useful for empirical researchers

do recessions permanently change output abstract this paper examines whether negative innovations to gnp are more or less persistent than positive innovations we find that once we allow for the impulse response of gnp to be asymmetric negative innovations to gnp are observed to be much less persistent than positive ones in particular the effect of a recession on the forecast of output is found to be negligible after only eight to twelve quarters while the effect of a positive shock is estimated to be persistent and amplified over time our results may therefore help reconcile two antagonistic views about the nature of business cycle fluctuations

rent seeking market structure and growth we study the role of productive and unproductive entrepreneurship in economic growth in a setting where firms compete in both economic and political markets specifically firms compete for market share through cost reducing technological innovation and they vie for influence over government transfer policy through rent seeking activities we find that rent seeking affects growth in two ways it allows firms to ignore economic competition leading to less innovation and it alters the number of firms that are supported in equilibrium the former effect is negative while the latter is ambiguous we show how these effects depend on various characteristics of economic and political markets

appropriation violent enforcement and transaction costs a critical survey this paper focuses on the extension of transaction costs to appropriative activity and coercive power in the property rights approach it has been argued that including the costs of appropriation and violent enforcement in transaction costs is based on the assumption that coaseian bargaining can be extended to any institutional scenario i e voluntary as well as coercive exchange however voluntary transactions cannot capture the logic of coercive power this means that the assumption of an efficient political market is not valid and that the political coase theorem lacks the logical consistency to provide a cornerstone for political theory

searching for a better proxy for business cycles with supports using us data this study revises the original current depth of recession cdr to prove that the modified cdr mcdr is more suitable as a threshold variable than the cdr we rebuild the cdr indicator and adjust its positive and negative ranges with the estimation results of the threshold autoregressive tar model we construct two tar models utilizing cdr and mcdr as threshold variables respectively estimation and test results of the root mean square error theil s inequality coefficient and the diebold mariano dm 1995 test suggest that mcdr performs better as a threshold variable than cdr

stability vs flexibility the effect of regulatory institutions on opportunity type how entrepreneurial opportunities are formed and exploited depends upon the institutional environment in which they are embedded the varying amounts of risk and uncertainty across and within heterogeneous institutional environments have important implications for the types of opportunity developed while the international business and entrepreneurship literatures consider the effect of environmental risk and uncertainty on firms risk and uncertainty are often treated as interchangeable or synonymous and rarely are both considered to be present together to address this we develop a new theoretical model based on institutional economics describing how institutional arrangements promoting stability thus supporting an entrepreneur s ability to assess risk will lead to more imitative opportunities while institutions promoting flexibility thus supporting an entrepreneur s ability to respond to uncertainty by iterating will foster more innovative opportunities we test this framework using cross national data across 40 countries from the gem survey finding that institutional arrangements that promote stability do lead to more imitation while institutions that promote flexibility foster more innovation by treating risk and uncertainty as distinct constructs our study makes theoretical contributions to research on institutional environments and opportunity types with implications for future research on subsidiary initiatives the evolution of mnes and born global firms

transaction costs institutional design and the separation of powers abstract the internal organization of the government can be used as a constraint on the capture of political decision makers in a setting where multiple interest groups try to influence policy outcomes centralization i e the choice of a single agency dealing with all interest groups is costly because it induces a better coordination of their influences the choice of specialized agencies is better because it increases the overall transaction costs of capture making agencies more immune to capture by interest groups more generally we discuss how an institutional design relying on separation of powers among specialized agencies may improve policy outcomes

the economics of special interest politics the case of the tariff this paper investigates the interaction of politicians and special interest lobbies the goal is to model the equilibrium levels of redistributive policies such as taxes subsidies tariffs and regulatory decisions the model is applied throughout to the setting of tariffs by contributing to political campaigns special interest lobbies generate economic returns higher tariffs generate revenue for import competing industries through higher product prices higher milk support prices raise dairy farm income and so forth the lobby invests to maximize these net economic returns in evaluating their chances of election politicians weigh the favorable effects of special interest money against the unfavorable association with the lobby and the social cost of the redistributive policy section i explores the lobby s problem it describes a formalization of mancur olson s discussion of the voluntary provision of public goods and optimal contributions by lobbies to political campaigns section ii describes determination of the equilibrium tariff positions of each politician in a political campaign

output growth and its volatility the gold standard through the great moderation this study examines the relationship between u s output growth and its volatility over the period 1876 i to 2012 ii we adjust the data for outliers and structural breaks we employ generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity garch and exponential garch egarch specifications normality and homoskedasticity appear only in the garch or egarch model that corrects for the outliers when including the break in the mean equation high volatility persistence remains after also accommodating the breaks in the variance equation the integrated garch effect proves spurious either for the symmetric or the asymmetric model finally our empirical results suggest that the finding of higher output growth volatility stimulating output growth and higher output growth reducing its volatility obtained from the symmetric garch in mean garch m model also proves spurious as a result of the emergence of an asymmetric effect our more appropriately specified asymmetric egarch m model suggests positive volatility in mean and level effects in the long period real gross national product series

assessing public priorities for experiment station research contingent value and public preferences for agricultural research laws concerning government accountability mandate that agencies weigh constituent interests in setting priorities this study extends literature on the value of research by considering the public s stated preferences for scientist effort allocated across an agricultural experiment station s research portfolio over 75 of respondents expressed a willingness to pay exceeding 20 per household for allocations of at least 139 scientist months the mean household is willing to pay about 25 for a 25 increase in effort marginal analysis identifies topic areas where an additional scientist month provides above or below average benefits the distribution of effort across research topics significantly affects respondents values

national culture the missing country level determinant of corporate governance it is well known that firm level corporate governance practices vary mainly between rather than within countries but country level factors such as legal and financial institutions explain less than 50 of this cross country variation in this article we show that two dimensions of national culture individualism and uncertainty avoidance capture about 90 of the country fixed effects and outperform the country level explanatory variables used in prior literature we argue that culture works through a tradeoff between managerial expertise and certainty of control a tradeoff largely overlooked by prior literature that captures a country s preference for the anglo saxon approach versus the direct control approach for governance consistent with this argument we find that the effect of culture on corporate governance varies across firms with different needs for managerial expertise and certainty of control we also find that culture interacts with other factors to determine firm level governance

values schemas and norms in the culture behavior nexus a situated dynamics framework international business ib research has predominantly relied on value constructs to account for the influence of societal culture notably hofstede s cultural dimensions while parsimonious the value approach s assumptions about the consensus of values within nations and the generality and stability of cultural patterns of behavior are increasingly challenged we review two promising alternatives the constructivist approach centering on schemas and the intersubjectivist approach centering on norms and the evidence that demonstrates their usefulness in accounting for international differences in the behavior of managers employees and consumers we propose a situated dynamics framework specifying the role of values schemas and norms in accounting for cultural differences and delineating conditions under which each causal mechanism is operative values play a more important role in accounting for cultural differences in weak situations where fewer constraints are perceived schemas play a more important role when situational cues increase their accessibility and relevance and norms play a more important role when social evaluation is salient directions for future research based on this integrative framework and its implications for the measurement of culture and application in ib are discussed

leader openness nationality dissimilarity and voice in multinational management teams we argue that leader directed voice i e communicating critical suggestions for change to the leader is a relational phenomenon and that it is affected by an inherent feature of multinational teams members dis similarities in nationality we tested our hypotheses in a sample of middle managers who were working in multinational teams the results of this study show that leaders of multinational teams are more likely to profit from the local know how of employees from underrepresented nationalities when they are open to their ideas and when they have the same nationality the study also shows that the effects of being open to employees ideas and sharing the same nationality are mediated by affective commitment and psychological safety respectively we discuss how even though the current relational demography perspective with its dichotomous understanding of dis similarity is not suited to capture the dynamics of cultural differences it does set the stage for future studies to examine the cultural dynamics behind an individual s experience of being different from other team members in multinational teams we also discuss the practical implications of these findings for multinational companies

perceived organizational support pos across 54 nations a cross cultural meta analysis of pos effects the authors meta analyze relationships of perceived organizational support pos with attitudinal and behavioral outcomes in western i e horizontal individualistic and eastern i e vertical collectivistic cultures the social exchange perspective suggests that pos effects are stronger in western cultures because employees are more likely to see the self as independent and understand their relationship with the organization in terms of reciprocity however the social identity perspective suggests that pos effects are stronger in eastern cultures because employees are more likely to see the self as interdependent and are more attuned to organizational support as an identity related cue addressing these competing hypotheses meta analytic results from 827 independent samples n 332 277 across 54 countries show support for both perspectives in the west pos was more strongly associated with social exchange processes than organizational identification processes in contrast in the east pos was more strongly associated with organizational identification processes than social exchange processes overall pos was more strongly related to job attitudes and performance in the east than in the west cultural differences in pos effects on attitudinal outcomes were found to be increasing over time we discuss the implications of these findings for organizational support theory and research

explaining price policy bias in agriculture the calculus of support maximizing politicians a model is developed to explain observed patterns of policy intervention in agriculture we analyze the interaction between political support seeking politicians and supportsupplying citizens society consists of a rural and urban group we determine the effects on transfers of relative group size disparities in income endowments between groups and the deadweight loss of redistribution the framework advanced is an alternative to that of the interest group model and is used to explain for example why the export sectors in developing countries are taxed more and why the united kingdom is less adamant for higher price supports than germany

allocation of goods by lottery i introduction many goods such as hunting permits oil drilling leases cellular telephone licenses and rights to fishing berths as well as some buds such as the military draft jury duty and who is to be thrown overboard on a sinking life raft are or have been allocated by lotteries in neo classical welfare economics the random distribution of property rights does not affect allocative efficiency as long as transferability is allowed and the transactions costs are non prohibitive lottery allocations however are generally not transferable thus lottery allocations are inefficient since the goods are not ultimately allocated to the users who value them the most a number of authors such as aubert 1959 fienberg 1971 eckhoff 1989 and elster 1989 36 122 have argued that lotteries are chosen as the allocative instrument because it represents a fair or just means of allocating the goods rawls 1971 374 and eckhoff 1989 have noted that where it is impractical to divide the goods equally among those who desire them a lottery serves to satisfy both the requirement that the process be fair and that the allocation problem be resolved relatively costlessly elster 1989 113 however notes that lotteries are not the only fair allocation mechanism for example he points out that in jewish ethics the problem of allocating an indivisible good such as life saving resources is resolved by denying it to everyone even economists would probably prefer a lottery to this resolution the fairness hypothesis has a rich history in the old testament lotteries are deemed a fair way of allocating goods such as the inheritance of land numbers 33 54 lotteries are also used to allocate bads in perhaps the most famous biblical example of use of lots jonah was chosen by lot to be sacrificed to appease god who had brought a storm that threatened to wreck the ship the story goes that the lot selected jonah because he was shirking his duties elsewhere and should not have even been on the vessel jonah 1 6 1 notice that fair here is taken to mean just given this theological foundation it is not surprising that the lottery has seen frequent use in legal history as well one of the most interesting cases occurred in swedish and finnish trials in the 17th and 18th centuries in cases where a man was murdered by a mob lotteries were used to allocate punishment since the law required an eye for an eye no more and no less eckhoff says that if it was impossible to ascertain which of them had dealt the mortal blow the courts determined that one of the responsible parties be sentenced to death and that the person be selected by lottery 1989 19 a similar use of lotteries occurs in military history to deal with cases of mass desertion in roman armies every tenth man was executed decimated and the remainder pardoned in more modern times the lottery has been used in u s law 2 first of course is the use of a lottery to decide who shall sit on a jury a connection between fairness and lotteries however has also appeared in the common law in an 1842 case u s v holmes which has been discussed by fienberg 1971 eckhoff 1989 and elster 1989 a ship sank in a heavy storm and the lone surviving life raft was in grave danger of sinking the crew threw overboard fourteen male passengers in an effort to save the rest when back in port after being rescued a crewman named holmes the only crew member who had not disappeared upon arrival to port was brought to trial for the deaths of the passengers the court ruled that the non essential members of the crew should have been thrown overboard before any passengers and if that was not sufficient then passengers should have been selected by lot which is the fairest mode elster 1989 65 the fact that a human life presumably a large cost was at stake ex post did not affect the decision 3 the environmental economics literature contains a number of references to the social preferences for and benefits of lottery allocations

interest group politics under majority rule abstract we develop a model of interest group politics in which the groups and coalitions that arise and the form of redistributive policies sought are jointly determined the model generates three key results first programs intended to reduce income inequality are more likely to involve direct payments than are programs that redistribute wealth across groups with similar incomes second nonequalizing redistribution is unlikely unless the various participants in the political process face significantly different political and economic costs of obtaining transfers third many policies that induce asymmetries among interest groups also impose significant deadweight costs stable nonequalizing redistribution will therefore tend to involve indirect and economically inefficient methods of transferring income

a theory of competition among pressure groups for political influence this paper presents a theory of competition among pressure groups for political influence political equilibrium depends on the efficiency of each group in producing pressure the effect of additional pressure on their influence the number of persons in different groups and the deadweight cost of taxes and subsidies an increase in deadweight costs discourages pressure by subsidized groups and encourages pressure by taxpayers this analysis unifies the view that governments correct market failures with the view that they favor the politically powerful both are produced by the competition for political favors

studying the role of political competition in the evolution of government size over long horizons here we argue for the use of cointegration and error correction analysis to combine economic factors that are nonstationary with political factors that are stationary into an empirical model of the evolution of public policy over long periods the approach is applied to disentangle the contributions of economics and politics to the evolution of public expenditure by the government of canada over 130 years political competition emerges as the primary political factor affecting government size

nonlinear business cycle dynamics cross country evidence on the persistence of aggregate shocks i introduction economists have long been interested in the dynamics of business cycles particularly regarding the symmetry of expansions and contractions more recently the specification of stochastic trends in economic growth has generated concerns about the relative persistence of positive and negative shocks to the economy several papers have looked at the persistence of business cycles including nelson and plosser 1982 campbell and mankiw 1987 cochrane 1988 diebold and rudebusch 1989 balke and fomby 1990 zelhorst and de haan 1994 and bradley and jansen 1995 while results vary especially on the issue of a unit root in output the overarching result is that output fluctuations are highly persistent one question not asked by the above authors is whether business cycle dynamics are asymmetric this issue has been investigated by neftci 1984 falk 1986 delong and summers 1986 hamilton 1989 diebold and rudebusch 1990 and terasvirta and anderson 1991 these authors take a variety of approaches but they reach a general conclusion that there is some evidence of asymmetric business cycle dynamics however most of these studies ask if contractions are shorter and steeper than expansions except hamilton 1989 they do not ask if there is a difference in persistence due to the asymmetries in a recent paper beaudry and koop 1993 propose a set of methods for simultaneously examining these two questions specifically beaudry and koop bk recommend the augmentation of the standard arma representation of real output growth through the inclusion of a nonlinear term that captures the relative state of the economy this augmentation provides for nonlinear dynamics and the possibility of asymmetric dynamic responses to positive and negative shocks in addition calculation of the implied impulse responses permits detection of the relative persistence implied by the combination of asymmetric cycle dynamics and stochastic trend based upon their analysis of u s data bk conclude that the response of the economy to positive and negative shocks is indeed asymmetric and the imposition of symmetry on impulse responses has likely led to misleading measures of persistence bk p 162 as a result bk conclude we find that the effects of negative shocks to be mainly temporary and the effects of positive shocks to be very persistent bk p 162 if bk s results are correct they have strong implications for the way macro economists view economic fluctuations and will in their words contribute to a reappraisal of some macroeconomic theories that is bk s results suggest that macroeconomic models must be revised to provide for temporary effects of negative shocks but permanent effects of positive shocks because of the potential importance of bk s results we examine the robustness of those results by modifying and extending bk s proposed methods of testing not only do we extend the analysis to the other six g7 countries besides the united states but also we redefine in a sensible way the nature of the nonlinear dynamics overall our results from other economies provide only mixed support for the asymmetry of cyclical dynamics and the lack of persistence of negative shocks ii the model to be estimated in the bk framework the estimated model includes an asymmetric response term the asymmetry is generated by a variable that measures the strength of a recession the variable is calculated as the distance between current real gdp and the previous peak level of real gdp that is bk define a measure they call current depth of the recession cdr where 1 cdr sub t max y sub t j sub j greater than or equal to 0 y sub t with this definition in place bk recommend augmenting an autoregressive model of real gdp growth as 2 phi l delta y sub t delta omega l 1 cdr sub

the effect of recessions on the relationship between output variability and growth this paper investigates the relationship between output volatility and growth using post war real gdp data for the united states we expand on recent research by beaudry and koop 1993 documenting the asymmetric effect of recessions on output growth the results presented in this paper suggest that output volatility is highest when the economy is contracting while we find that the economy expands most rapidly following a recession this expansion is offset by the negative impact of output uncertainty

grand missions of agricultural innovation abstract this paper discusses three related examples of mission oriented agricultural institutional innovations associated with substantial crop yield increases in the 20th century it begins with the implementation of the united states land grant system and then discusses in turn the planning and implementation of the two grand missions that led successively to the yield increases in wheat and rice that heralded the onset of the green revolution it notes the remarkable role of the rockefeller foundation in identifying these two missions and selecting personnel developed within the land grant system to execute them with remarkable effectiveness

team personal life inclusion in socially versus task oriented countries a cross cultural study of chinese versus german teams team personal life inclusion team pli refers to socialization with fellow team members in the private domain while pli is an expected behavior in the socially oriented chinese work context it is generally seen as unfavorable in task oriented contexts like germany we investigate the relative impact of team pli on the performance of chinese and german teams based on data from 130 chinese and 124 german teams we show that team pli has opposing consequences in china and germany while it increases german teams performance the reverse relationship was observed for chinese teams

international business responses to institutional voids for nearly two decades scholars in international business and management have explored the implications of institutional voids for firm strategy and structure although institutional voids offer both opportunities and challenges they have largely been associated with firms efforts to avoid or mitigate institutional deficiencies and reduce the transaction costs associated with operating in settings subject to those institutional shortcomings the goal of this special issue is to advance scholarship on this topic by a exploring institutional voids that are new to the literature b providing a deeper assessment of the different ways in which firms respond to these voids and c utilizing diverse disciplines and theoretical approaches to do so in this introduction we first review and synthesize extant research on institutional voids tracking the evolution of institutional void scholarship since the inception of the concept khanna palepu journal of economic literature 45 2 331 372 1997 and providing our perspective on its contributions and limitations we then summarize the contributions of the articles included in this special issue in addition to identifying an array of institutional voids economic and social the articles highlight four different strategies for responding to them internalization substitution borrowing and signaling drawing on these we develop new insights on the implications of institutional voids for firm behavior we conclude with suggestions for future research

cross country evidence on the link between volatility and growth this paper presents empirical evidence against the standard dichotomy in macroeconomics that separates growth from the volatility of economic fluctuations in a sample of ninety two countries as well as a sample of oecd countries the authors find that countries with higher volatility have lower growth the addition of standard control variables strengthens the negative relationship the authors also find that government spending induced volatility is negatively associated with growth even after controlling for both time and country fixed effects copyright 1995 by american economic association

the political economy of farmland ownership regulations and land prices one of the most ubiquitous forms of agricultural regulation is a restriction on farmland ownership one canadian example of a farmland ownership restriction is the saskatchewan farm security act fsa passed in 1974 the purpose of this article is to explain using a political economy framework why the fsa was implemented and to estimate the effect of the fsa on saskatchewan farmland values a present value pv model is used to estimate the relationship between land values rents and the regulation the hausman endogeneity test reveals that the regulation variable is endogenous with the land price the sign of the regulation variable is negative which fits with the theory i e the more stringent the regulation the lower the land value we estimate that the regulation lowered saskatchewan farmland prices by an average of 4 to 34 us acre depending on whether ordinary least squares ols or two stage least squares tsls is employed in the estimation over the period of 1974 2001