a minimum wage can be welfare improving and employment enhancing abstract we examine whether minimum wages can fulfill a useful role as part of an optimal tax transfer scheme the government cannot observe household abilities only their incomes and is constrained to ensure that those working are at least as well off as those not working a minimum wage combined with the institutional features of typical welfare systems allows the incentive constraint to be severed at the ability level associated with the minimum wage if such a scheme can be enforced the government can increase the amount of redistribution from those working to those not working and possibly lower the number of unemployed

income inequality in france 1901 1998 this paper uses data from income tax returns 1915 98 wage tax returns 1919 98 and inheritance tax returns 1902 94 in order to compute homogeneous yearly estimates of income wage and wealth inequality for twentieth century france the main conclusion is that the decline in income inequality that took place during the first half of the century was mostly accidental in france and possibly in a number of other countries as well wage inequality has been extremely stable in the long run and the secular decline in income inequality is for the most part a capital income phenomenon holders of large fortunes were badly hurt by major shocks during the 1914 45 period and they were never able to fully recover from these shocks probably because of the dynamic effects of progressive taxation on capital accumulation and pretax income inequality

the ramsey problem for congestible facilities abstract in recent years a new set of models drawing on vickrey 1969 has been developed to analyze the economics of congestible facilities these models are structural in that they derive the cost function from consumers time of use decisions and the congestion technology standard models in contrast simply assume the general form of the cost function we apply the new approach to analyze the ramsey problem for a congestible facility and show that the solution generally entails cost inefficiency standard models have failed to reveal this result because they treat the cost function as completely determined by technology

equity and efficiency in public sector pricing a case for stochastic rationing a view still widely held among economists is that given the objective of maximizing a paretian social welfare function rationing of private goods is inferior to transfers and subsidies hence existing rationing e g in housing programs involving rent regulation subsidized medical treatment to needy individuals distribution of day care for children according to need etc is often interpreted as a reflection of paternalistic objectives on the part of the government or simply as bad policy see tobin 1970 the purpose of this paper is to challenge the general validity of this conventional wisdom in the context of a traditional model of public sector pricing supplemented by an anonymous rationing scheme which affects individuals consumption patterns significantly as is often the case a government cannot achieve distributional equity i e situations where the social value of marginal utility of income is equal for all individuals by means of taxes and transfers because the use of these instruments is subject to various constraints this is a common feature of many taxation models cf atkinson and stiglitz 1980 from a purely technical point of view there is scope for improving on social welfare in such situations by means of other measures such as rationing but since the use of rationing as well as taxes and transfers is likely to be restricted by the same underlying factors e g information about consumers preferences and endowments or administrative costs it may be questioned whether rationing qualifies as an efficient policy instrument the type of rationing considered in this paper is stochastic rationing when prices are set at levels which generate excess demand some of the potential consumers are randomly barred from the markets entirely so that demand equals supply from the point of view of implementation such a rationing scheme has the desirable property of not requiring the government to have information about preferences and endowments at the individual consumer level nor is extensive administration required another interesting aspect of such a scheme is that in a sense it represents a lower bound on rationing schemes since in most cases actual rationing can be based on some information about consumers therefore if there are cases where a market clearing equilibrium can be improved upon by reducing prices below market clearing levels combined with elimination of excess demand by means of stochastic rationing the argument for rationing as a potentially efficient policy tool is in fact fairly strong in this paper we show that such cases do exist we also indicate that stochastic rationing may still be efficient even in situations where prices can be highly differentiated among different groups of individuals e g income groups we conclude that the absence of costless redistribution of income which indeed seems to be consistent with real world situations is crucial for the results two kinds of policy changes are considered the first involves eliminating a marginal excess demand by means of rationing in the model in this paper there is a continuum of consumers therefore while such a marginal rationing affects some consumers in a nonmarginal fashion it only affects an infinitesimal group of consumers hence it only

implicit contracts moral hazard and unemployment this paper considers a firm whose marginal revenue product of labor is a random variable we derive the form of an optimal long term contract between workers and the firm under the assumption that labor s marginal product is observed by the firm but not by the workers we show that the existence of asymmetric information causes unemployment to be greater than in a situation where information about labor s marginal product is public or where employment is determined in spot markets in particular unemployment can occur when the marginal product of labor exceeds the reservation wage

the evolution of high incomes in northern america lessons from canadian evidence this paper uses tax statistics to construct new series on canadian top income shares from 1920 to 2000 and provides a systematic comparison with the u s experience as in the united states top income shares in canada display a ushaped pattern over the century with a precipitous drop during world war ii followed by a slower decline until 1970 since the late 1970s top income shares have been increasing dramatically and the very top shares are now as high as in the pre war era as in the united states the recent increase in top income shares is the consequence of a surge in top wages and salaries the canadian experience since the late 1970s does not appear to be well explained by tax changes suggesting that the upward trend in canada derives from the united states perhaps because many high income canadians have an emigration option this in turn suggests that the recent increase in u s personal income top shares is not merely a change in tax reporting behavior the recent sharp increase in top income shares in canada is of the same magnitude at the individual and family level and is not due to an increase in income mobility

in kind transfers self selection and optimal tax policy abstract this paper examines the role of public provision of goods as a redistributive mechanism when tax policies are designed optimally on the basis of the information available to the government we characterize pareto efficient allocations that are attainable through the tax policy and derive the conditions under which public provision will enhance welfare above the maximum that can be achieved through a mix of a general income tax and commodity taxes price subsidies first when there are two produced goods we prove that public provision is always pareto improving the improvement is achieved through changing individuals actual consumption levels second with no restrictions on the number of goods we derive a sufficient condition for public provision to be pareto improving this is achieved by weakening self selection constraints so that welfare improving tax changes are made possible suitable examples include provision of day care basic health care and rights to a minimum old age pension

the political economy of publicly provided private goods abstract this paper integrates two different approaches to the analysis of public provision of private goods education health care day care etc while normative public economics has established an efficiency case for such provision the commonly held political economy view has been that it is an economically inefficient phenomenon generated by the political process we establish a political economy framework which in general yields an efficient choice of distributional policy it follows that the central mechanism studied in the normative theory is equally relevant to voting models of decisions on public provision it is shown that under plausible information constraints economically efficient public provision of private goods will be part of politically rational decisions the result is established both within a median voter process and a representative democracy of political parties

demand and innovation schmookler re examined schmookler s demand pull hypothesis implying that innovation is a function of market demand has been widely accepted re reading schmookler s invention and economic growth we discover a statistical inadequacy re estimating his cross section results in a different way we find somewhat lower coefficients moreover the direction of causality appears to be far from obvious an independent cross sectional test of the schmookler hypothesis in the netherlands based on r d instead of patent data shows similar results the relationship between indicators of demand and innovation turns out to be generally weaker but in most cases still significant and the results suggest that there is a simultaneous relationship between demand and innovation the latter may be explained by the concept of the innovation multiplier which has implications for macro economic modelling 1 re reading schmookler schmookler s 13 finding of a strong relationship between investment in capital goods users industries and patent applications by capital goods producing sectors has been generally accepted by economists as evidence that patenting is a function of effective demand demand pull hypothesis quite a number of case studies have followed schmookier s seminal work but there have been

innovations and r d in northern ireland manufacturing a schumpeterian approach harris r and trainor m 1995 innovations and r d in northern ireland manufacturing a schumpeterian approach reg studies 29 593 604 given the importance of r d and innovative outputs and the change in regional policy in the 1980s to encourage an enterprise culture based inter alia on a high rate of innovations this paper attempts to explain the determinants of inventive activities in one of the most disadvantaged regions of the united kingdom a model incorporating the impact of market structure is estimated and it is found that in northern ireland higher r d spending leads to a higher probability of innovating while r d itself is positively affected by higher post innovation price cost margins thus r d spending and innovation outputs are beneficial to profitability and thus presumably the long term growth of firms however while market structure is important the direct effects of monopoly power are if anything negative thus the results presented by geroski 1990 are support

tariffs quotas and piecemeal policy reform abstract this paper extends recent results on the welfare implications of piecemeal tariff adjustments to include cases where the initial trade distortions involve both tariffs and quotas it shows that the standard prescriptions for piecemeal tariff reform are largely unaffected by the presence of unalterable quotas on other goods prescriptions for piecemeal quota reform are also derived although they are constrained by the presence of unalterable tariffs

transfers in cash and in kind theory meets the data we review theoretical explanations for in kind transfers in light of the limited empirical evidence after reviewing the traditional paternalistic arguments we consider explanations based on imperfect information and self targeting we then discuss the large literature on in kind programs as a way of improving the efficiency of the tax system and a range of other possible explanations including the samaritan s dilemma pecuniary effects credit constraints asymmetric information amongst agents and political economy considerations our reading of the evidence suggests that paternalism and interdependent preferences are leading overall explanations for the existence of in kind transfer programs but that some of the other arguments may apply to specific cases political economy considerations must also be part of the story

welfare improving user charges for publicly provided private goods it is argued that free provision of publicly provided goods or services is rarely optimal the argument is simple if optimal lump sum transfers are not available then the government will wish to use all handles which provide information about the distribution of welfare one such handle may be the usage of publicly provided goods and services as long as this is not uniform then it is a potentially valuable index for redistributive purposes this is illustrated using two models one in which usage of the publicly provided good is legislated by the government and another in which it is determined in part by the private costs of consuming public services

innovative activity over the business cycle this paper examines cyclical patterns of innovative activity in the united kingdom over the period 1948 83 innovative activity turns out to have many of the properties of a random walk but does show a tendency to cluster during booms there is clear evidence of a long term secular relation between the level of innovative activity and the level of economic activity although this may have changed in the 1980s finally the data provide no reason for thinking that these clusters of innovation cause cyclic variations in economic activity but variations in economic activity do granger cause changes in innovative activity copyright 1995 by royal economic society

topping up or opting out the optimal design of public provision schemes there is extensive public provision of private goods in all developed countries the public provision scheme is often designed so that individuals can opt out but not top up supplement the publicly provided quantity quality using an optimal income ta

public procurement and innovation resurrecting the demand side abstract demand is a major potential source of innovation yet the critical role of demand as a key driver of innovation has still to be recognised in government policy this article discusses public procurement as one of the key elements of a demand oriented innovation policy the paper starts by signaling the new significance of public procurement for innovation policy strategies at the eu level and in a range of european countries it then defines the concept of public procurement and embeds this concept within a taxonomy of innovation policies the rationales and justifications of public procurement policies to spur innovation are discussed followed by a consideration of the challenges and potential pitfalls as well as appropriate institutional arrangements and strategies including some recent empirical examples of good practice it concludes by confronting the public procurement approach with two of the most common objections to it and by considering future prospects

wealth inequality and intergenerational links previous work has had difficulty generating household saving behaviour that makes the distribution of wealth much more concentrated than that of labour earnings and that makes the richest households hold onto large amounts of wealth even during very old age i construct a quantitative general equilibrium overlapping generations model in which parents and children are linked by accidental and voluntary bequests and by earnings ability i show that voluntary bequests can explain the emergence of large estates while accidental bequests alone cannot and that adding earnings persistence within families increases wealth concentration even more i also show that the introduction of a bequest motive generates lifetime savings profiles more consistent with the data

the level and distribution of global household wealth the level of average household wealth in all countries is estimated via the determinants of assets and debts for 39 countries which have balance sheet or survey data the distribution of wealth in all countries is inferred from information on the pattern of wealth ownership for 20 countries covering 59 of world population combining the level and distribution figures suggests that median global wealth was ppp 8 635 in the year 2000 and that ppp 518 361 was needed to belong to the top percentile the top decile owned 71 of world wealth and the global gini value was 0 802

viewpoint innovations in the theory and practice of redistribution policy we present a survey of key results from second best optimal redistribution theory and their implications for tax transfer policy the core results include the corlett hague theorem the deaton conditions the production efficiency theorem the atkinson stiglitz theorem and the mirrlees saez characterization of the optimal non linear income tax system these have been augmented in recent years by optimal participation tax rates the implications of involuntary unemployment the use of unconventional instruments such as minimum wages in kind transfer and workfare and the optimal taxation of capital income and bequests l auteur presente un survol des principaux resultats theoriques de la redistribution optimale de second ordre et de leurs implications pour les politiques d imposition et de transferts les resultats fondamentaux incluent le theoreme de corlett hague les conditions de deaton les theoremes d efficacite en production le theoreme d atkinson stiglitz ainsi que la caracterisation du systeme optimal d imposition non lineaire du revenu a la mirrlees saez ces derniers resultats ont ete enrichis au cours des dernieres annees par certains autres portant sur les taux d imposition decoulant des allocations conditionnelles les implications du chomage involontaire l usage d instruments non conventionnels tels que le salaire minimum les transferts en nature le workfare ainsi que l imposition optimale des revenus du capital et des legs ces resultats sont exposes et leurs implications pour les politiques d imposition et de transferts sont discutees

inequality leverage and crises the paper studies how high leverage and crises can arise as a result of changes in the income distribution empirically the periods 1920 1929 and 1983 2007 both exhibited a large increase in the income share of the rich a large increase in leverage for the remainder and an eventual financial and real crisis the paper presents a theoretical model where these features arise endogenously as a result of a shift in bargaining powers over incomes a financial crisis can reduce leverage if it is very large and not accompanied by a real contraction but restoration of the lower income group s bargaining power is more effective

optimal redistribution with productive social services publicly provided private goods are conventionally considered consumer goods departing from this perspective we analyze the public provision of inputs that improve household productivity e g education and childcare in a two class economy with distorting taxation public provision is always welfare improving with respect to pure taxation given that the public input directly affects household productivity moreover the case for public provision strengthens as households heterogeneity in input demand fades out contrary to consolidated results in the literature the features of optimal provision schemes depend on the nature of publicly provided input namely if it substitutes household productive capacity or just helps households to exploit it

minimum wage legislation and unemployment insurance as instruments for redistribution the use of minimum wages and unemployment insurance as instruments for redistributing income is analyzed the government is assumed to be able to implement an optimal income tax in an economy consisting of two types of individuals who differ in ability the effect of introducing a minimum wage which induces involuntary unemployment will be to improve social welfare under weak conditions circumstances under which combining unemployment insurance with the minimum wage will be welfare improving are also considered

the new economy in europe 1992 2001 despite the fast catching up in ict diffusion experienced by most eu countries in the last few years information technologies have so far delivered little productivity gains in europe in the second half of the past decade growth contributions from ict capital rose in six eu countries only the uk denmark finland sweden ireland and greece quite unlike the united states this has not generally been associated to higher labour or total factor productivity growth rates the only exceptions being ireland and greece particularly worrisome the large countries in continental europe germany france italy and spain showed stagnating or mildly declining growth contributions from ict capital together with definite declines in tfp growth compared to the first half of the 1990s it looks like that the celebrated solow paradox on the lack of correlation between ict investment and productivity growth has fled the us to migrate to europe

large cash transfers to the elderly in south africa we examine the social pension in south africa where large cash sums about twice the median per capita income of african households are paid to people qualified by age but irrespective of previous contributions we present the history of the scheme and use a 1993 nationally representative survey to investigate the redistributive consequences of the transfers documenting who receive the pensions their levels of living and those of their families we also look at behavioural effects particularly the effects of the cash receipts on the allocation of income to food schooling transfers and savings in south africa a large social pension about twice the median per capita income of african households is paid in cash to people qualified by age irrespective of previous contributions we present the history of the scheme and explain how such large transfers could come about in an economy in which the recipients were not only politically weak but without any political representation whatsoever we then use a 1993 nationally representative survey to investigate the redistributive consequences of the transfers documenting who receive the pensions their levels of living and those of their families we also look at behavioural effects particularly the effects of the cash receipts on the allocation of income to food schooling transfers and savings the pressing policy issue for south africans is whether it makes sense to target seven billion rand nearly 2 billion of social expenditure through the current pension schemes our analysis contributes to the discussion by documenting the redistributive and behavioural effects of the transfers we find that at least as far as immediate incidence is concerned and without allowance for behavioural effects the social pension is an effective tool of redistribution and that the households it reaches are predominantly poor because so many of the elderly among south africa s african population live with children the social pension is also effective in putting money into house

income inequality in the united states 1913 1998 this paper presents new homogeneous series on top shares of income and wages from 1913 to 1998 in the united states using individual tax returns data top income and wages shares display a u shaped pattern over the century our series suggest that the large shocks that capital owners experienced during the great depression and world war ii have had a permanent effect on top capital incomes we argue that steep progressive income and estate taxation may have prevented large fortunes from fully recovering from these shocks top wage shares were flat before world war ii dropped precipitously during the war and did not start to recover before the late 1960s but are now higher than before world war ii as a result the working rich have replaced the rentiers at the top of the income distribution

the optimal public provision of private goods abstract this paper sets out conditions for the optimal public provision of in kind transfers rules are derived governing their marginal and optimal use in the presence of linear taxes because of the difficulty of using these conditions to examine what impact optimal transfers would have on optimal tax systems a simple two good simulation model is used to illustrate the problem

accounting for the u s earnings and wealth inequality we show that a theory of earnings and wealth inequality based on the optimal choices of ex ante identical households that face uninsured idiosyncratic shocks to their endowments of efficiency labor units accounts for the u s earnings and wealth inequality almost exactly

distributional consequences of rural food levy and subsidized urban rations abstract governments in many developing countries have imposed food levies on farmers to provide subsidized food to urban consumers the resulting price discrimination between individuals has general equilibrium effects so that the welfare consequences of such a policy for different socio economic groups have been controversial we relate the distributional consequences to the parameters of the economy and identify systematic relationships among different partitions of the outcomes we show for instance that if the policy helps hurts richer city dwellers then it hurts helps poorer farmers

estimating labour supply disequilibrium with fixed effects random coefficients regression long term contracting adjustment costs or efficiency wages can make a worker supply fewer more hours than desired at the current economic opportunity set a regression model with cross correlated random coefficients is used to obtain new theoretically based measures of the direction and relative intensity of labour supply disequilibrium among prime aged male hourly paid workers in the united states during 1978 82 evidence of widespread underemployment is found among primeaged male salaried workers some overemployment appears regressions incorporating person specific fixed effects are consistent with a life cycle labour supply model for salaried workers and suggest a need for fresh ways to include short run labour demand forces in micro labour supply models of hourly paid workers

subsidies versus public provision of private goods as instruments for redistribution the literatures on differential commodity taxes and on quantity controls to supplement income taxation have developed separately this paper combines these two strands in the standard framework of optimal non linear income taxation we use a model with two types of households where the government has access to both subsidy policy and public provision of a good substitutable for leisure and households can supplement the publicity provided good from the market we present conditions under which policy should involve one or both of these two instruments alongside income taxation the model is extended to many ability types

optimal minimum wage policy in competitive labor markets this paper provides a theoretical analysis of optimal minimum wage policy in a perfectly competitive labor market and obtains two key results first we show that a binding minimum wage while leading to unemployment is nevertheless desirable if the government values redistribution toward low wage workers and if unemployment induced by the minimum wage hits the lowest surplus workers first importantly this result remains true in the presence of optimal nonlinear taxes and transfers in that context a binding minimum wage enhances the effectiveness of transfers to low skilled workers as it prevents low skilled wages from falling through incidence effects second when labor supply re sponses are along the extensive margin only the co existence of a minimum wage with a positive tax rate on low skilled work is always second best pareto ineffcient a pareto improving policy consists of reducing the pre tax minimum wage while keeping constant the post tax minimum wage by increasing transfers to low skilled workers and financing this reform by increasing taxes on higher paid workers overall our results imply that the minimum wage and subsidies for low skilled workers are complementary policies pa

demographic variables in demand analysis in this paper the authors discuss five procedures for incorporating demographic variables into theoretically plausible demand systems translating scaling and the gorman reverse gorman and implicit prais houthakker procedures these five procedures are used to incorporate a single demographic variable the number of children in a household into the generalized ces demand system using household budget data for the united kingdom for the period 1966 1972 excerpt

nonparametric methods and local time based estimation for dynamic power law distributions summary this paper introduces nonparametric econometric methods that characterize general power law distributions under basic stability conditions these methods extend the literature on power laws in the social sciences in several directions first we show that any stationary distribution in a random growth setting is shaped entirely by two factors the idiosyncratic volatilities and reversion rates a measure of cross sectional mean reversion for different ranks in the distribution this result is valid regardless of how growth rates and volatilities vary across different economic agents and hence applies to gibrat s law and its extensions second we present techniques to estimate these two factors using panel data third we describe how our results imply predictability as higher ranked processes must on average grow more slowly than lower ranked processes we employ our empirical methods using data on commodity prices and show that our techniques accurately describe the empirical distribution of relative commodity prices we also show that rank based out of sample forecasts of future commodity prices outperform random walk forecasts at a 1 month horizon

modelling the innovation value chain innovation events the introduction of new products or processes represent the end of a process of knowledge sourcing and transformation they also represent the beginning of a process of exploitation which may result in an improvement in the performance of the innovating business this recursive process of knowledge sourcing transformation and exploitation comprises the innovation value chain modelling the innovation value chain for a large group of manufacturing firms in ireland and northern ireland highlights the drivers of innovation productivity and firm growth in terms of knowledge sourcing we find strong complementarity between horizontal forwards backwards public and internal knowledge sourcing activities each of these forms of knowledge sourcing also makes a positive contribution to innovation in both products and processes although public knowledge sources have only an indirect effect on innovation outputs in the exploitation phase innovation in both products and processes contribute positively tocompany growth with product innovation having a short term disruption effect on labour productivity modelling the complete innovation value chain highlights the structure and complexity of the process of translating knowledge into business value and emphasises the role of skills capital investment and firms other resources in the value creation process

in kind versus cash transfers in the presence of distortionary taxes in kind transfers can pareto dominate cash transfers as a means of income redistribution if in kind transfers and leisure are hicks substitutes and leisure is a normal good the result holds when redistributive instruments also include a linear income tax the paper proves that if the poor receive more in kind transfers and the rich less than what they would choose for themselves then compared to cash transfers there will be a higher labor supply by the poor a lower labor supply by the rich and higher levels of aggregate pre tax income and tax revenues

the genealogy of modern theoretical public economics from first best to second best abstract the development of second best modelling in the seventies has shaped modern theoretical economics the paper discusses some key changes in the economists conceptions the first two sections examine the efficiency equity dilemma the study of non convexities has shown that counterintuitive efficiency enhancing income redistribution might occur the introduction of asymmetric information has shed doubts on virtues of lump sum compensation the last sections focus on the intricate geometry of second best optimisation and the ambiguous value of the signals provided by the price system outside a first best world

in kind transfers cash grants and the supply of labour abstract this paper corrects the notion that somehow benefits given in kind interfere less with the work leisure choice than cash grants of equivalent monetary value in a simple model the analysis proves that the true effect depends on the extent of the in kind transfer and the substitutability of the good in question with leisure

employment with asymmetric information in an economy without informational and other distortions entrepreneurs and workers can write labor contracts that support a pareto optimal allocation of resources this paper is an attempt to characterize contracts when enterpreneurs are better informed about the state of nature than are their workers asymmetric information generally results in a suboptimal allocation of both risk and worker effort in particular if consumption and leisure are perfect substitutes employment will be less than fully pareto optimal in all but the most favorable states of nature

firm characteristics and the cyclicality of r d investments the aim of this study is to combine micro aspects of firm behavior with macro aspects of business development and identify market conditions e g price competition and firm characteristics e g type of r d partners that enable a firm to have a pro cyclical anti cyclical or non systematic r d investment behavior the empirical results confirm to large extent a series of hypotheses as to innovation relevant firm characteristics that underline the three different behavior categories and allow us to make profiles of the three types of r d behavior

income and wealth heterogeneity in the macroeconomy how do movements in the distribution of income and wealth affect the macroeconomy we analyze this question using a calibrated version of the stochastic growth model with partially uninsurable idiosyncratic risk and movements in aggregate productivity our main finding is that in the stationary stochastic equilibrium the behavior of the macroeconomic aggregates can be almost perfectly described using only the mean of the wealth distribution this result is robust to substantial changes in both parameter values and model specification our benchmark model whose only difference from the representative agent framework is the existence of uninsurable idiosyncratic risk displays far less cross sectional dispersion and skewness in wealth than u s data however an extension that relies on a small amount of heterogeneity in thrift does succeed in replicating the key features of the wealth data furthermore this extension features aggregate time series that depart significantly from permanent income behavior

is demand pulled innovation equally important in different groups of firms previous empirical literature has tested the demand pull hypothesis and found that innovation may be driven by output using a balanced panel of 216 italian manufacturing firms 1995 2000 and checking for the path dependent nature of r d we find a role of sales in inducing r d however the demand pull effect plays a varying role for different sub samples of firms exporting firms liquidity constrained firms not subsidised firms and those not heading a group seem to be sensitive to sales in deciding r d these results have been obtained using a least squares dummy variable corrected estimator a recent panel data technique suitable for small samples

the distribution of wealth and fiscal policy in economies with finitely lived agents we study the dynamics of the distribution of wealth in an overlapping generation economy with finitely lived agents and intergenerational transmission of wealth financial markets are incomplete exposing agents to both labor and capital income risk we show that the stationary wealth distribution is a pareto distribution in the right tail and that it is capital income risk rather than labor income that drives the properties of the right tail of the wealth distribution we also study analytically the dependence of the distribution of wealth of wealth inequality in particular on various fiscal policy instruments like capital income taxes and estate taxes and on different degrees of social mobility we show that capital income and estate taxes can significantly reduce wealth inequality as do institutions favoring social mobility finally we calibrate the economy to match the lorenz curve of the wealth distribution of the u s economy

top incomes in the long run of history a recent literature has constructed top income shares time series over the long run for more than twenty countries using income tax statistics top incomes represent a small share of the population but a very significant share of total income and total taxes paid hence aggregate economic growth per capita and gini inequality indexes are sensitive to excluding or including top incomes we discuss the estimation methods and issues that arise when constructing top income share series including income definition and comparability over time and across countries tax avoidance and tax evasion we provide a summary of the key empirical findings most countries experience a dramatic drop in top income shares in the first part of the twentieth century in general due to shocks to top capital incomes during the wars and depression shocks top income shares do not recover in the immediate postwar decades however over the last thirty years top income shares have increased substantially in english speaking countries and in india and china but not in continental european countries or japan this increase is due in part to an unprecedented surge in top wage incomes as a result wage income comprises a larger fraction of top incomes than in the past finally we discuss the theoretical and empirical models that have been proposed to account for the facts and the main questions that remain open

the evolution of income concentration in japan 1886 2005 evidence from income tax statistics abstract this paper studies the evolution of income concentration in japan from 1886 to 2005 by constructing long run series of top income shares and top wage income shares using income tax statistics we find that i income concentration was extremely high throughout the pre wwii period during which the nation underwent rapid industrialization ii a drastic de concentration of income at the top took place in 1938 1945 iii income concentration remained low during the rest of the century but shows some sign of increase in the last decade and iv top income composition in japan has shifted dramatically from capital income to employment income over the course of the twentieth century we attribute the precipitous fall in income concentration during wwii primarily to the collapse of capital income due to wartime regulations and inflation we argue that the change in the institutional structure under the occupational reforms made the one time income de concentration difficult to reverse in contrast t

minimum wage legislation as a second best policy mass unemployment is a striking phenomenon of the present economic situation of european market economies although the profession of economists has been criticized for not providing satisfactory cures it has produced a number of different explanations either complementary or contradictory for the occurrence of mass unemployment in this paper we examine the argument that unemployment is the consequence of minimum wage legislation which is socially desirable the observation of current wage legislations suggests that the above argument is broadly at least partly accepted by policy makers curiously enough a defence of this argument meeting the rigorous requirements of modern theory seems to be missing symmetrically attacks against minimum wage legislation often rely upon reasonings of dubious relevance i e the obvious remark that unemployment is a waste with first best efficiency criteria the present paper proposes a second best analysis where second best stems from informational asymmetries which prevent the implementation of lump sum transfers needed for a first best redistribution policy the question under scrutiny can be reformulated in a more precise way as follows does a second best optimal redistribution policy lead to minimum wage legislation and unemployment our elements of answer are gathered in 3 sections in section 2 the principles of the analysis of the desirability of quantity controls and existing results are recalled in section 3 the analysis of section 2 is specified to a simple prototype model for the study of linear income taxation in section 4

multilateral policy reforms and quantity restrictions on trade abstract we specify a many nation many commodity model of international trade involving tariff and quota distortions we derive conditions for the existence of strict pareto improving multilateral reforms of quotas and obtain recommendations for specific directions of such quota reforms given a mild rank condition on the world trade matrix all directions of quota reform that attain a strict pareto improvement using international lump sum compensation remain strict pareto improving even without lump sum compensation provided that the quota reform is accompanied by a multilateral reform of tariffs the precise nature of the tariff reform that accomplishes the redistribution task is determined

assigning resources to budget constrained agents this article studies different methods of assigning a good to budget constrained agents schemes that assign the good randomly and allow resale may outperform the competitive market in terms of utilitarian efficiency the socially optimal mechanism involves random assignment at a discount an in kind subsidy and a cash incentive to discourage low valuation individuals from claiming the good copyright oxford university press

market size and substitutability in imperfect competition a bertrand edgeworth chamberlin model competition is often associated with the idea that there are many traders in the market or that each price maker is small as compared to the market this paper introduces this notion of market size in a model of price competition with imperfect substitutes by constructing a model which creates a bridge between the chamberlin and bertrand edge worth lines of work on price competition we investigate the role of two fundamental parameters in the existence of an equilibrium the market size given by the number n of competitors and the degree of substitutability we prove that a for a given number of n 2 of competitors a sufficiently large but finite degree of substitutability entails nonexistence this thus generalizes the bertrand edgeworth nonexistence result which applies only to perfect substitutes b conversely for a given upper bound on the degree of substitutability a sufficiently large number of competitors ensures existence which thus introduces a significant role for market size in models of imperfect competition we finally investigate the proximity of an equilibrium when it exists to a competitive outcome and we find that both high substitutability and large market size are a condition for competitiveness

shadow prices and public policies in a disequilibrium model of an open economy the paper focuses on the interaction between the goals of optimal stabilization and of allocative efficiency in project evaluation in an economy that is small as an exporter which must maintain trade balance and where some disequilibrium may prevail on goods and labour markets the criteria that are developed reflect an aggregation of profitability and reduction of unemployment additional foreign demand foreign currency savings should be evaluated in welfare terms after weighting by the gap between the relevant market and shadow prices the shadow prices also lead to the definition of an optimal taxation system

thomas piketty and the rate of time preference using a standard model in which the individual consumption path is computed solving an optimal control problem we investigate central claims of piketty 2014 rather than r g confirmed in the data r g with being the rate of time preference matters if this condition holds and the elasticity of substitution in the production function is larger than one the capital share converges to one in the long run nevertheless this does not have major impact on the distribution of wealth the latter however converges to maximum inequality for heterogeneous time preferences or rates of interest either persistent or stochastic for the latter the presence of finite life times leads to a distribution with finite wealth inequality featuring fat tails

public economics and the theory of public policy when james mirrlees and william vickrey were awarded the nobel prize in economics last year it marked only the third time that the award had gone to scholars of public sector economics in contrast to the reception given to the previous two winners ronald coase and james buchanan the news was greeted with some bewilderment by policy specialists once removed from the academic literature who are mirrlees and vickrey and what have they done that has been of lasting benefit to the study of public economics let alone of practical benefit to policy makers this seems to me to be a fair question coase after all had set out a conceptual approach to the study of externalities and transaction costs that has become an implicit part of the methodological baggage carried around by policy economists and policy makers alike buchanan was in part responsible for the welcome emphasis on institutions in public sector decision making and for insisting that politicians bureaucrats and voters are human beings with human motives the legacy of mirrlees and vickrey is less well known but i would argue it is every bit as profound their approach to the theory of economic policy which is grounded on the importance of imperfect information as a constraint on public policy has changed the very nature of public economics research and of its implications for economic

the case for a progressive tax from basic research to policy recommendations the fair distribution of the tax burden has long been a central issue in policyhe fair distribution of the tax burden has long been a central issue in policymaking a large academic literature has developed models of optimal tax making a large academic literature has developed models of optimal tax theory to cast light on the problem of optimal tax progressivity in this theory to cast light on the problem of optimal tax progressivity in this paper we explore the path from basic research results in optimal tax theory to paper we explore the path from basic research results in optimal tax theory to formulating policy recommendations formulating policy recommendations models in optimal tax theory typically posit that the tax system should maximize a models in optimal tax theory typically posit that the tax system should maximize a social welfare function subject to a government budget constraint taking into account social welfare function subject to a government budget constraint taking into account that individuals respond to taxes and transfers social welfare is larger when resources that individuals respond to taxes and transfers social welfare is larger when resources are more equally distributed but redistributive taxes and transfers can negatively are more equally distributed but redistributive taxes and transfers can negatively affect incentives to work save and earn income in the fi rst place this creates the clasaffect incentives to work save and earn income in the fi rst place this creates the classical trade off between equity and effi ciency which is at the core of the optimal income sical trade off between equity and effi ciency which is at the core of the optimal income tax problem in general optimal tax analyses maximize social welfare as a function of tax problem in general optimal tax analyses maximize social welfare as a function of individual utilities the sum of utilities in the utilitarian case the marginal weight for individual utilities the sum of utilities in the utilitarian case the marginal weight for a given person in the social welfare function measures the value of an additional dollar a given person in the social welfare function measures the value of an additional dollar of consumption expressed in terms of public funds such welfare weights depend on of consumption expressed in terms of public funds such welfare weights depend on the level of redistribution and are decreasing with income whenever society values the level of redistribution and are decreasing with income whenever society values more equality of income therefore optimal income tax theory is fi rst a normative more equality of income therefore optimal income tax theory is fi rst a normative theory that shows how a social welfare objective combines with constraints arising from theory that shows how a social welfare objective combines with constraints arising from limits on resources and behavioral responses to taxation in order to derive specifi c limits on resources and behavioral responses to taxation in order to derive specifi c

instability and concentration in the distribution of wealth abstract we consider a setup in which infinitely lived households face idiosyncratic investment risk and show that in this case the equilibrium distribution of wealth becomes increasingly right skewed over time until wealth concentrates entirely at the top the households in our setup are identical in terms of their patience and their abilities and we assume that there are no redistributive mechanisms neither explicit in the form of government tax or fiscal policies nor implicit in the form of limited intergenerational transfers our results demonstrate that the presence of such redistributive mechanisms alone ensures the stability of the distribution of wealth over time

idiosyncratic production risk growth and the business cycle we introduce a neoclassical growth economy with idiosyncratic production risk and incomplete markets each agent is an entrepreneur operating her own technology with her own capital stock the general equilibrium is characterized by a closed form recursion in the cara normal case incomplete markets introduce a risk premium on private equity which reduces the demand for investment as compared to complete markets the steady state can thus have both a lower capital stock due to investment risk and a lower interest rate due to precautionary savings furthermore the anticipation of high real interest rates in the future feeds back into high risk premia and low investment in the present thus slowing down convergence to the steady state our results highlight the importance of private risk premia for capital accumulation and business cycles

repeated interaction and the public provision of private goods the literature suggests that governments can use in kind transfers to design efficient and targeted redistribution schemes if individual incomes are not directly observable we investigate the extent to which the self selection property of in kind transfers carries through if redistributive transfers are made repeatedly in a two period setting the government may gain information about the individuals incomes in the first period and exploit this information for making targeted transfers in the second period this however also triggers changes in the individuals behavior if the government can commit to its future policy the least cost policy may involve randomization between cash and in kind transfers without commitment the dynamic setting works against the government s interest it may no longer be able to use in kind transfers to generate information about the individuals types jel classification h42 h2

testing whether unemployment represents intertemporal labour supply behaviour in the lucas rapping 1969 model of the labour market fluctuations in unemployment represent individuals optimally adjusting their labour supply behaviour in response to fluctuations in wage rates over the business cycle in this paper i propose and implement a misspecification test of the lucas rapping treatment of unemployment as labour supply behaviour using panel data this test extends previous such work with micro data by simultaneously allowing for intertemporal substitution uncertainty and endogenous unemployment using the standard specification of intertemporal labour supply behaviour i find strong evidence against this interpretation of unemployment there are two possible interpretations of the test results the first is that it is necessary to turn to alternative models of the labour market in which unemployed workers are off a supply function the second is that the test results indicate the necessity of moving to more complex models of intertemporal substitution however given current econometric techniques and data sets these alternative models of intertemporal substitution will be extremely difficult to test

how important is discount rate heterogeneity for wealth inequality abstract this paper investigates the role of discount rate heterogeneity for wealth inequality the key idea is to infer the distribution of preference parameters from the observed age profile of wealth inequality the contribution of preference heterogeneity to wealth inequality can then be measured using a quantitative life cycle model i find that discount rate heterogeneity increases the gini coefficient of wealth by around 0 07 to levels that are close to the data the share of wealth held by the richest 1 of households rises by around 0 04 but falls short of the data by more than 10 percentage points discount rate heterogeneity also helps to account for the large wealth inequality observed among households with similar lifetime earnings

openness and innovation home and export demand effects on manufacturing innovation panel data evidence for ireland and switzerland abstract recent studies in the tradition of schmookler have re emphasised the potential role of demand in stimulating innovation here we reconsider the role of home and export market demand in stimulating manufacturing innovation using comparable panel data for two small open economies ireland and switzerland our analysis is based on the estimation of reduced form innovation production functions using panel data estimators over the sample period 1994 2005 for a range of innovation indicators however we find little evidence of any significant market demand effects with innovation performance instead determined largely by firm level capability effects and characteristics in policy and strategy terms this suggests the continued value of measures to improve innovation capability regardless of market demand conditions in more methodological terms our results suggest the validity of the usual assumption implicit in modelling innovation outputs that supply side factors predominate

variety and size regulation in discrete choice oligopoly imperfectly competitive markets for a differentiated product may underprovide brand variety when consumer tastes for brands are highly heterogeneous we show that when the brands in question are indivisible in consumption and each consumer buys a customized quantity or size of the preferred brand only a welfare improvement can be obtained by regulating the size of purchase we study neutral size regulation which requires that the size of purchase be set equal to the size that would prevail in the absence of regulation this improves brand variety and consumer surplus provided consumer tastes are sufficiently heterogeneous

patent replacement and welfare gains abstract patents were chosen in an era when modern public finance tools were unavailable the same innovation outcomes can be achieved with higher welfare if patent elements are replaced by modern features this paper constructs two theoretical models of product innovation and simulates the welfare effects of replacing patents with an intertemporal bounty arrangement we find that replacing patents with this alternative has the potential to increase welfare in the united states through reform of pharmaceutical patents by 43 9 194 billion when measured in present value terms this is 0 3 1 3 of annual gdp based on simulations involving four selected drug sectors the potential to increase welfare would be higher if applied to the larger sector of drugs as a whole in principal patents could be replaced in other sectors as well

effective demand enterprise reforms and public finance in china economic reform in china athar hussain and nicholas stern this paper examines some problems of transition from a command to a market economy through an analysis of the most important example to date the reforms in the chinese economy since the late 1970s our focus is on the links between enterprise reforms effective demand and public finance the reforms have created a curious and problematic hybrid of market and command economies with serious problems of coordination they have concentrated almost exclusively on the delegation of decision making to enterprises from the higher to lower tiers of the government without taking into account its implications for investment consumption and public finance an understanding of future policy and lessons for other countries requires a careful examination of the effects of these past policies granting discretion to enterprises over investment and wages has resulted in both an investment and consumption boom but paradoxically a fall in profits there are strong reasons to suppose that the investment ratio has been too high in recent years fuelling inflation and slowing additions to supply by prolonging the gestation period of investment there has been a large increase in liquid assets in the hands of households which makes their expectations increasingly important for macroeconomic policy there is need for concerted financial innovation to diversify household wealth away from liquid assets finally the changes in the composition of government revenue and expenditure are disturbing there is an urgent need for a flexible and broad based tax system and for reducing price subsidies and subsidies to loss making enterprises