modelling the joint determination of household labour supplies and commodity demands in addition to choosing the allocation of total expenditure between commodities households may also be able to make decisions over the allocation of their time between market work and leisure in both theoretical and empirical work it has often been the case that these decisions have been analysed separately in this paper we stress the theoretical attractions of considering the joint determination of the allocation of time between work and leisure and the allocation of total expenditure between commodities in a utility maximising framework using a sample of individual households we attempt to evaluate the empirical importance of the joint determination model over the separate determination of labour supplies and commodity demands our approach follows that of abbott and ashenfelter i976 phlips i978 barnett i979 deaton and muellbauer i980 and atkinson and stern i980 here we pay particular attention to the following four important aspects of household decision making over commodity demand and labour supply the first concerns the commonly assumed restriction on the household s preferences of weak separability between goods and leisure this assumption allows the estimation of commodity demand systems and engel curves that exclude wage rate variables in cross section household budget data with large variation in wage rates across the sample the invalidity of this assumption would involve a serious mis specification any correlation between the excluded wage variable and the included price income and demographic variables would lead to biased parameter estimates and hence biased estimated elasticities similarly this assumption allows the estimation of labour supply curves that exclude relative price variables and its invalidity could produce biased labour supply elasticities a second aspect of household decision making which we wish to highlight arises from the suspicion commonly alluded to in labour economics texts that primary male workers may not be free to choose their hours of work thus we estimate a matched pair of rationed and unrationed systems following the work of neary and roberts i 980 and deaton and muellbauer i 979 the separability restriction is not unrelated to this point since without it we will see that the rationed hours of work enter demand systems in a complex fashion in effect

applied general equilibrium models of taxation and international trade an introduction and survey we wish to acknowledge the help of three referees and of john pencavel on several earlier drafts as well as the assistance of the modelers whose work is referred to in the paper they corrected our lack of understanding of their work and provided many other helpful comments excellent research and bibliographical assistance have been provided by debbie fretz radwan shaban and janet stotsky helpful comments have been made by charles ballard michael boskin lans bovenberg sylvester damus harvey galper glenn harrison gordon lenjosek jack mutti serena ng t n srinivasan charles stuart and eric toder the authors also acknowledgefinancial support from the national bureau of economic research the national science foundation international business machines and the social sciences and humanities research council ottawa canada

the influence of black markets on a queue rationed centrally planned economy abstract in centrally planned economies in which prices are fixed and the rationing mechanism is waiting line queues we show that an equilibrium of waiting times exists we then introduce a black market in which individuals can trade commodities that they have acquired through the official economy an equilibrium of black market prices and waiting times is shown to exist further the economy with a black market is queue efficient however the introduction of black markets is not necessarily a pareto improvement over an economy without black markets even when we allow winners to compensate losers

labour supply in italy an empirical analysis of joint household decisions with taxes and quantity constraints this study applies an econometric framework which allows for complex non convex budget sets highly non linear labour supply curves and imperfect markets with institutional constraints a married couple s version of the model is estimated on italian microdata the empirical results show that male labour supply is rather inelastic while labour supply among females especially participation is considerably more elastic the elasticities depend strongly on household income the largest elasticities are found for females living in poor households the results of the tax simulations suggest that there are only modest labour supply responses from replacing the 1987 system by proportional taxes copyright 1999 john wiley sons ltd

the rise and fall of the dollar a comment if readers of this paper were to ask themselves what the rates for the world s major currencies are likely to be in say three years time it is doubtful whether they would have much confidence in their predictions even conditional forecasts on the basis of particular assumptions about policy would be hard to make this state of ignorance and our admission of it owes much to the recent behaviour of the dollar which as koromzay llewellyn and potter so usefully discuss largely defies explanation in terms of conventional economic analysis even when full use is made of the luxury of hindsight that ignorance itself may however have important policy implications these comments relate to both the theoretical and policy aspects of the paper though the focus as in the paper itself is on the implications for policy a general difficulty may be stated at the outset the paper reasonably enough concentrates on the dollar in the i98os but though this is much the most dramatic illustration of the difficulties in explaining exchange rate movements it is not the only one thus ideally an explanation of dollar strength should be consistent with explanations given for previous dollar weakness see for example bliss i986 and for other recent major movements of exchange rates such as the apparently similar gravity defying rise in sterling in the late i970s and early 198os where theory and empirical analysis fail explanations tend to become ad hoc with a danger that false or over strong policy conclusions are drawn even a casual comparison with the united kingdom raises some questions as well as supporting the general thrust of this paper thus the monetary fiscal mix in the united kingdom was very different from that in the united states according to oecd figures the structural budget moved to surplus by some 6 of gdp between i979 and i982 which must at least suggest a cautious approach to some of the simpler stories that trace the rise in the dollar to united states fiscal irresponsibility the united states experience which as the paper demonstrates does not accord with conventional models of the overshootingtype also throws doubt in the other direction about applications of that kind of model to the united kingdom for example by buiter and miller i98i of course the united kingdom s situation was special because of north sea oil but if north sea oil was important the obvious reason would be due to its effect on relative current account positions which does not seem to work well for the united states and in any case most estimates suggest that oil should account for only a part of the rise in sterling see powell and horton i985 for a survey and as in the united states empirical models were notably unsuccessful in predicting the exchange rate haache and townend i98i

how much redistribution is possible through commodity taxes abstract this paper aims to quantify the redistribution which can be attained as the outcome of indirect taxation this question is of crucial relevance to many countries which are constrained to depend primarily on indirect taxes i assess the maximum possible redistribution by imposing the most redistributive indirect taxation the public budget is balanced and the real income gain to the worst off is taken as the metric of redistribution ceilings on this metric are first obtained within a general set up and then in a number of specific models the resulting redistribution is found to be meager as this is the outcome of the most redistributive taxation redistribution from any real world indirect taxation will be even smaller

general equilibrium analysis of black and white markets a computational approach abstract this paper explores the inter relationship between black and white markets and presents a formulation in which equilibrium conditions hold separately for each type of market for each product with linking conditions across market types using a traditional goods and factor general equilibrium model the simultaneous operation of price controls on white markets and surveillance with penalties for those caught trading on black markets is modelled a numerical example of such an economy is presented using data for india and equilibria under coexistence are reported

tax evasion and labor markets abstract concern with revenue losses inequities and inefficiency that may result from tax evasion has produced a number of formal analyses of taxpayer dishonesty most of this work has concentrated on the behavior of individual evaders and has ignored the interaction between evasion and labor market equilibrium to remedy this our analysis uses a model with two labor markets which differ in the potential for evasion to examine how changes in various tax parameters affect evasion and labor market equilibrium we also simulate the effect of switching from a proportional to a progressive tax system in order to evaluate the well known claim that progressivity encourages evasion

unemployment and female labour supply the definition of labour force participation in the standard labour supply model stands in sharp contrast to that used in compiling the labour force statistics in the labour supply models only those supplying positive hours of work are considered to be labour force participants on the other hand participation in the labour force statistics is often defined to include not only those supplying positive hours but also those actively searching for work this paper is an attempt to reconcile these concepts by allowing unemployed workers to enter a generalisation of the standard labour supply model this turns out to be a convenient way to enter demand side factors directly into the determination of an individual s labour market position the model is applied with some success to the working behaviour of married women in the uk family expenditure survey

evidence on the effect of bond covenants and management compensation contracts on the choice of accounting techniques the case of the depreciation switch back abstract provisions of bond indenture agreements and management compensation contracts are examined to derive testable implications concerning management s incentives to choose among alternative accounting techniques the hypotheses are subjected to empirical examination by investigating the voluntary change from accelerated to straight line depreciation for financial reporting purposes only the methodology utilized incorporates an expectations model of accounting earnings in an attempt to separate out of the effects of earnings announcements from accounting change announcements which are often concurrent the evidence from both price and non price data is not consistent with the general hypothesis that bond covenants and management compensation contracts are important determinants of the decision to change depreciation techniques five potential explanations for the results are offered

the ces utility function non linear budget constraints and labour supply results on female participation and hours the most recent efforts in the study of labour supply decisions have concentrated on the estimation of explicit utility indices as a means to overcome the specification and endogeneity problems created by non linear budget constraints the presence of non convexities and the interest in making welfare comparisons between individuals are additional reasons that make the use of explicit utility functions in either direct or indirect form an essential requirement for labour supply studies it is therefore important to consider carefully the available possibilities from a utility index we want flexibility and ease of estimation the stonegeary function has proved its relative worth in consumption studies but its performance has been disappointing when leisure is incorporated into the set of commodities abbot and ashenfelter i976 found that for part of their sample estimated available time was less than hours worked and these results have pervasively reappeared in subsequent studies using this function hausman i980 has recently proposed a utility function which yields a linear hours function this is an important contribution which facilitates the task of estimation enormously this paper argues that the ces utility function despite not generating a linear hours function is also very convenient for estimation purposes in fact it is shown below that to estimate the parameters of the utility function there is no need whatsoever for any explicit hours function labour supply responses by married women have been previously estimated with british data but none of the available results has taken full account of the joint decision on participation and hours and of the non linear shape of the budget constraint that the tax system generates layard et al i980 consider the joint decision in their estimation procedure but ignore the tax system greenhalgh i980 takes into account the non linearity of the budget constraint but estimates labour supply responses by a method which treats participation and hours of work as separate and independent decisions in the present paper on the other hand using an explicit utility index we propose an estimation method which takes into account both the tax system and the joint hours participation decision

theoretical and practical arguments for modeling labor supply as a choice among latent jobs models of labor supply derived from stochastic utility representations and discretized sets of feasible hours of work have gained popularity because they are more practical than standard approaches based on marginal calculus in this paper we argue that practicality is not the only feature that can be addressed by means of stochastic choice theory this theory also offers a powerful framework for developing a more realistic model for labor supply choices founded on individuals having preferences over jobs and facing restrictions on the choice of jobs and hours of work we discuss and clarify how this modeling framework deviates from both the conventional discrete approach van soest 1995 as well as the standard textbook approach based on marginal calculus hausman 1985 we furthermore discuss how the model based on job choice offers the possibility of conducting a richer set of simulations of alternative policies

cross sectional association between abnormal returns and firm specific variables abstract abnormal returns market model prediction errors are the subject of many event studies in accounting and finance literature conditional on the event of interest researchers have recently used cross sectional regressions to examine relations between abnormal returns and firm specific variables this paper demostrates that non constant variences and covariances in market model residuals across firms introduced bias in the estimated slope coefficients of the independent variables i e the expected signs of the estimated slope coefficients can be predicted a priori a method is develope to removed the bias in the estimated slope coefficiets and is found to be effective this method explicitly takes the dependence among abnormal returns across firms into account methods that assume abnormal returns across firms to be independent do not control for such bias

female labor supply with a discontinuous nonconvex budget constraint incorporation of a part time full time wage differential this paper incorporates the well documented part time full time wage differential into an empirical labor supply model with both a heterogeneity and a random error term and estimates that model fo

after work shopping employment effects of a deregulation of shop opening hours in the german retail sector abstract this study investigates the impact of a deregulation of shop opening laws on employment in the german retail sector exploiting the gradual change in the opening times of shops across states and using data from the german socio economic panel difference in differences estimates indicate an average increase in the employment probability driven by a rise in the likelihood of working marginal part time hours workers in small firms are likely to experience a reduction of their propensity to work for individuals facing high family related supply side constraints the change in shop opening hours has opposing effects on employment positive on lower and negative on upper parts of the hours distribution overall the deregulation is estimated to have raised the likelihood of working fewer hours than desired by the workers

controls and the intersectoral terms of trade the indian case sectors the indian economy is substantially insulated from outside market forces and the direction of movement of the intersectoral terms of trade has therefore been regarded as having special policy importance industry is equated with the urban modern sector agriculture with the rural traditional sector while the debate on the north south terms of trade following singer i 950 and prebisch i 964 has prompted discussion of international trade arrangements between developing and developed economies the debate on the intersectoral trade seems to have played a comparable role in india 2 if growth as with singerprebisch causes a deterioration in the terms of trade of the traditional sector then policy measures to offset the associated redistributive effects are seen in india as justified these can take the form of subsidies to agriculture maintenance of the current tax free status of agriculture and other measures equally since extensive redistribution through tax transfer schemes is administratively infeasible an improvement in the agricultural industrial terms of trade in favour of agriculture is often seen as a substitute for other redistributive measures poverty is concentrated in rural areas and manipulating the terms of trade in favour of agriculture through price controls subsidies and the like is a widely supported policy stance in this paper we argue that existing statistical studies of the intersectoral terms of trade in india are misleading since they typically focus on the terms of trade at controlled prices price and other controls in india are so extensive that black market rather than controlled prices should clearly enter any assessment of changes in the intersectoral terms of trade we also argue that the problem with these studies is analytically deeper than simply whether black market or controlled drices should be used because of

labour supply and commuting abstract we examine the effect of commuting distance on workers labour supply patterns distinguishing between weekly labour supply number of workdays per week and daily labour supply we account for endogeneity of distance by using employer induced changes in distance in germany distance has a slight positive effect on daily and weekly labour supply but no effect on the number of workdays the effect of distance on labour supply patterns is stronger for female workers but it is still small

the welfare cost of the underground economy this paper estimates the welfare cost of taxes that create an incentive for resources to flow to the underground or untaxed sector in the united states using a general equilibrium model of the american economy the welfare cost is found to be large and growing in absolute and relative terms over time in 1980 the welfare cost may be as much as 220 billion or over 9 percent of output even conservative estimates place the loss at nearly 100 billion it also is found that small reductions in tax rates substantially reduce the welfare cost

the importance of locational choice in an empirical labour supply model an estimation of labour supply is modelled using the theory of urban household behaviour the major purpose is to test the implicit assumption in previous labour supply studies that work travel and housing consumption are weakly separable from the hours of work the results which are obtained using swedish data imply that the hypothesis of weak separability is clearly rejected we also find that the choice of location affects policy relevant conclusions about the labour supply behaviour

children and household economic behavior this paper looks at some of the methodological issues that arise in modeling the effects of children on household behavior and presents some estimates for selected areas for our purposes household behavior will be taken to refer to household decisions on labor supply the allocation of expenditure to different periods and the decision as to what to do with the difference between income and expenditure i shall be concerned mainly with the effects of dependent children and i restrict attention largely to western societies excerpt

equilibrium under price controls with endogenous transactions costs abstract in this paper we present an equilibrium model for an exchange economy with fixed prices and endogenously determined search or transactions costs given the fixed prices endogenously determined equilibrium buying and selling prices which include transactions costs result these costs occur on either the demand or supply side of each market but not both we see an eventual application of this approach to an evaluation of welfare costs of either economy wide wage and price controls or sector specific price controls such as energy in the final section we present some simple numerical examples which illustrate the approach

a model of female labour supply in the presence of hours restrictions abstract we develop a discrete choice model of female labour supply in finland using a data set constructed by merging the 1980 labour force survey and housing and population census this contains observations on the perceived incidence of constraints in the labour market and allows us to identify the effects of such constraints on observed labour supply approximately one in five women appears to be seriously constrained in her choice of hours of work our estimated model implies that the response of labour supply to variation in tax and wage rates is rather small

the parallel market of illegal aliens a computational approach abstract this paper develops the notion of illegal aliens as a parallel market in coexistence with the regular market of legal labor in the presence of both price controls on legal labor by minimum wage legislation and quantity controls on illegal aliens by immigration laws illegal aliens involve not only rural urban migration but also tax evasion and deportation costs we develop an analytical equilibrium structure which links markets for legal labor and illegal aliens illustrate how much an equilibrium can be computed and explore some implications of the linkage using united states data

testing the predictive value of subjective labour supply data empirical implementation of labour supply theories is usually based on realized labour market behaviour this requires strong assumptions about the impact of labour demand a possibility to avoid these assumptions is to make use of subjective data on desired labour supply in this paper we investigate whether respondents answers to survey questions on the desired number of working hours contain additional information on the preferences of the individuals using panel data for the netherlands we analyze whether deviations between desired hours and actual hours of work help to predict future job changes or changes in hours worked we use parametric and recently developed nonparametric tests the results suggest that subjective information on desired working hours are helpful in explaining female labour supply for males the evidence is mixed

sectoral labour supply choice restrictions and functional form this is the authors submitted article version which is the pre peer reviewed version of the article the article changed title in the peer reviewing process from analyzing labor supply behavior with latent job opportunity sets and institutional choice constraints later published as discussion paper no 399 http brage bibsys no ssb handle urn nbn no bibsys brage 21006

hours restrictions and labor supply the authors estimate a labor supply model that permits hours restrictions of a simple but general form each individual chooses from among a finite set of jobs drawn at random f rom a market distribution each offering a fixed quantity of hours the polar cases of no constraints on hours worked and exogenous hours ar e nested within the general case the authors results are consistent with a substantial amount of rationing in the work hours of a sample of low income men most of whom are working less than they would like copyright 1993 by economics department of the university of pennsylvania and the osaka university institute of social and economic research association

estimation of a labour supply model with censoring due to unemployment and underemployment this study proposes and implements a method of labour supply estimation which is appropriate when the sample contains unemployed and underemployed workers the estimation method consists of excluding unemployed and underemployed workers from the sample and then using to avoid selection bias an extension of heckman s approach to the case where two correlated selection rules generate the sample hausman s specification test is then used to determine whether ignoring constrained workers has led to biases in traditional labour supply estimates and the empirical results suggest that previous estimates of several important parameters are biased since the biases go in the direction that would be predicted by the hypothesis that the unemployed and underemployed are constrained the results support this hypothesis