is minsky s financial instability hypothesis valid in this article i reassess the validity of minsky s financial instability hypothesis and the main criticism about its internal coherence starting from this fundamental objection i study minsky s contribution within the scope of a highly simplified macro model it is shown that the financial instability hypothesis increasing debt ratios during economic expansion remains valid in numerous cases it appears amongst other things that a sufficient fall in the retention rate reinforces minsky s conclusions emphasising the destabilising role of shareholders in the distribution of net profits

banking technology and the existence of a consistent output aggregate abstract this paper addresses the question of the existence of a consistent output aggregate in banking specific necessary and sufficient conditions for output aggregation are developed and tested in the context of a second order approximation to any arbitrary multi product bank cost function the analysis provides evidence that a composite aggregate measure of output fails to provide a proper representation of banking technology and therefore previous studies that used aggregate output measures may well be subject to specification errors

efficiency analysis in banking firms an international comparison abstract the intensive process of financial european integration together with the profound transformation and deregulation that has taken place in the spanish banking system justifies the evaluation of its efficiency in comparison with that of other banking systems in this context the aim of this study is to analyze the productivity efficiency and differences in technology of several banking systems using a non parametric approach together with the malmquist index we compare the efficiency productivity and differences in technology of different european and us banking systems for the year 1992

turkish bank efficiency bayesian estimation with undesirable outputs this paper analyzes the productivity and efficiency of turkish banks from 2002 to 2010 we obtained estimates of efficiency productivity growth and efficiency growth using a bayesian stochastic frontier approach and focused on accounting for non performing loans npls for use in our model specifically we introduce npls as a bad output in an input distance function and estimate a system of non linear equations subject to endogeneity we confirm that the productivity growth of turkish banks was positive over the period of this study which was mainly due to the improvement in technology while efficiency growth continued to be negative over the same period methodologically we also prove that not accounting for npls in estimating the frontier model might seriously distort the efficiency and productivity results the study also provides measures of shadow prices for npl and discusses the results in terms of several interesting trends in turkish banking finally the paper provides efficiency and productivity comparisons between domestic and foreign banks

optimal commodity taxation and tax reform under unemployment this paper derives the optimal commodity tax formula and the tax reform rule which should be used in a situation of orthodox keynesian unemployment the setting considered is a four good one individual model with fixed real wage implying an excess supply of labor the presentation is very simple and based on intuitive and graphical arguments the emphasis is on comparing our results with the more traditional results derived under full employment

the nonparametric risk adjusted efficiency measurement an application to taiwan s major rural financial intermediaries in this article a nonparametric approach is used to incorporate risk into the measurement of technical efficiencies of the major financial intermediaries in rural taiwan risk is treated as a joint but undesirable output given the fact that various regulatory actions may prevent its free disposability three risk indicators nonperforming loans allowance for loan losses and risky assets are employed alternatively in the empirical work results suggest that all three risk constraints are binding regulations on controlling risky assets and loan loss reserves are effective but more burdensome than those on controlling loan quality

foreign bank entry deregulation and bank efficiency lessons from the australian experience abstract this study considers the impact of foreign bank entry on banking efficiency in australia during the post deregulation period 1988 2001 using data envelopment analysis malmquist indices and stochastic frontier analysis we find foreign banks more efficient than domestic banks which however did not result in superior profits major australian banks have used size as a barrier to entry to new entrants furthermore bank efficiency has increased post deregulation and the competition resulting from diversity in bank types was important to prompt efficiency improvements finally the recession of the early 1990s resulted in a distinct shift in the process of efficiency changes

sensitivity analysis of efficiency and malmquist productivity indices an application to spanish savings banks abstract hypothesis testing and statistical precision in the context of non parametric efficiency and productivity measurement have been investigated since the early 1990s recent contributions focus on this matter through the use of resampling methods i e bootstrapping techniques however empirical evidence is still practically non existent this gap is more noticeable in the case of banking efficiency studies where the literature is immense in this work we explore productivity growth and productive efficiency for spanish savings banks over the initial post deregulation period 1992 1998 using data envelopment analysis dea and bootstrapping techniques results show that productivity growth has occurred mainly due to improvement in production possibilities and that mean efficiency has remained fairly constant over time the bootstrap analysis yields further evidence as for many firms productivity growth or decline is not statistically significant with regard to efficiency measurement the bootstrap reveals that the disparities in the original efficiency scores of some firms are lessened to a great extent

a minsky crisis a model is developed to illustrate hyman minsky s financial crisis theories a key assumption is that the level of wealth in the economy is determined mac roeconomically with the value of firms assets responding to the state of confidence as reflected by discounted quasi rents on capital the second assumption is that there is high substitutability between liabilities of firms and money in the public s portfolio a downward shift in anticipated profits leads wealth to contract and the public to shift portfolio preferences toward money interest rates rise leading to further dampening of expected profits and a debt deflation crisis can occur

commodity taxation in welfare states i introduction while the nature of unemployment is diverse a substantial part of unemployment in many developed countries it is argued stems from generous social welfare systems meyer 1990 nickell and layard 1999 and see figure 1 1 in fact the organization for economic cooperation and development oecd data show that countries with generous unemployment insurance ui face high unemployment rates and tend to have high commodity tax rates see figure 2 this paper attempts to account for these empirical patterns in the optimal taxation framework in a general equilibrium context the unemployment mentioned above can be viewed as a result of a a low work incentive induced by generous social insurance welfare benefits combined with b the subsequent employment adjustment by firms e g not renewing employment contracts or hiring a portion of temporary part time workers as regular workers to raise labor productivity to deal with this type of unemployment the government may need to seek reforms of social insurance welfare systems including a reduction in unemployment benefits but the public s redistributive motives often do not permit implementation of such reforms 2 under this socioeconomic constraint this paper raises a question can commodity taxation help reduce unemployment and improve efficiency perhaps a slightly different but equally interesting question that concerns many welfare states in recent decades may be suppose that a society agreed on the expansion of welfare programs in financing the increased welfare expenditure which tax increase consumption taxes or income taxes is more relevant figure 1 omitted figure 2 omitted to address these questions we examine the role of commodity taxation in a general equilibrium model where a taking into account wage unemployment benefits and taxes workers choose work effort that the firm can observe only through costly monitoring and b firms use both wage and monitoring as effort eliciting devices and they fire those caught shirking therefore the chosen level of a worker s effort affects the probabilities of employment and unemployment and thus involuntary unemployment arises from moral hazard 3 in this contractual setting with imperfect information we consider the government s problem of maximizing the representative worker s expected utility using income and commodity taxes we derive new results on commodity taxation and present supportive results using quantitative analysis our key results suggest that commodity taxation can be used to alleviate moral hazard and hence unemployment which can account for why countries with generous social welfare systems tend to adopt high commodity tax rates see figure 2 this main result is based on the following feature of the model given the aforementioned environment optimal commodity and income tax rates can be determined in contrast to the indeterminacy result of atkinson and stiglitz 1976 henceforth as 4 therefore our results provide an explanation for the widely observed coexistence of direct and indirect taxation to illustrate the intuition behind our results consider a situation where a a society provides liberal unemployment benefits for unemployed workers and b the government sets the levels of income and commodity tax rates so as to finance the expenditures for ui and public goods liberal unemployment benefits are equivalent to treating the consumption of unemployed workers favorably i e between states consumption choice distortion which creates moral hazard in the supply of effort under imperfect information about effort obviously drastic reforms in social insurance systems e g cutting benefits can correct moral hazard but the public s redistributive motives do not permit such reforms in this setting we show that strengthening commodity taxation while lessening income taxation penalizes moral hazard which lowers the between states consumption choice distortion leading to a greater supply of effort

the effects of interbank networks on efficiency and stability in a macroeconomic agent based model we develop a macroeconomic agent based model that consists of firms banks unions and households who interact on labour goods credit and interbank markets the model endogenises pricing decisions by firms wage setting by unions and interest rate setting by banks on both firm and interbank lending banks also set leverage targets and precautionary liquidity buffers on the basis of internal risk models our model produces endogenous fluctuations driven by the pricing behaviour of firms and the wage setting behaviour of unions fluctuations lead to loan defaults which are exacerbated as lenders reduce lending and charge higher interest rates inducing a credit crunch we also study how making the inter banking network more connected affects the key outcomes of the economy and find that while the flow of funds from surplus banks to firms can be increased the latter effect is soon dominated by increasing instability in the real sector as firms default at higher rates while the banking sector experiences fewer defaults as a whole losses on the interbank market increase as a source of bank defaults

how responsive is business capital formation to its user cost an exploration with micro data abstract the response of business capital formation to its user cost is critical to evaluating tax reform deficit reduction and monetary policy evidence for a substantial user cost elasticity however is sparse most evidence has been based on aggregate data although several recent studies with firm level data report substantial effects with a particularly rich micro dataset containing over 26 000 observations this paper explores what can be learned about the user cost elasticity while the results depend to some extent on the specification and econometric technique various diagnostics lead us to prefer a precisely estimated but small elasticity of approximately 0 25 this paper is dedicated to the memory of robert eisner who labored early and ably on uncovering the determinants of investment spending and highlighting the importance of the question found in the title of this paper

the evolution of cost productivity and efficiency among us credit unions abstract advances in information processing technology have eroded the advantages of small scale and proximity to customers that traditionally enabled small lenders to thrive nonetheless the membership and market share of us credit unions have increased though their average size has also risen we investigate changes in the efficiency and productivity of us credit unions during 1989 2006 by benchmarking the performance of individual firms against an estimated order quantile lying near the efficient frontier we construct a cost analog of the malmquist productivity index which we decompose to estimate changes in cost and scale efficiency and changes in technology we find that cost productivity fell on average across all credit unions but especially among smaller credit unions smaller credit unions confronted a shift in technology that increased the minimum cost required to produce given amounts of output all but the largest credit unions also became less scale efficient over time

marginal tax reform externalities and income distribution the paper examines welfare improving and revenue neutral directions marginal policy reforms for an economy with nonidentical individuals and an externality that has a feedback effect on the consumption of taxed goods it considers three types of policy instruments the indirect taxes the uniform poll transfer and public abatement this extends the framework set up by ahmad and stern 1984 bovenberg and de mooij 1994 and schob 1996 the theoretical model is illustrated for a specific externality namely congestion caused by peak car transport

controlling for the use of extreme weights in bank efficiency assessments during the financial crisis we propose a method for bank efficiency assessment based on weight restricted dea that limits banks abilities to use extreme weights corresponding to extreme judgements of the risk adjusted prices on funding sources and assets based on a data set comprising the largest european banks during the financial crisis we illustrate the impact of the proposed weight restrictions in two different efficiency models one related to banks funding mix and one related to their asset mix the results show that using a more balanced set of weights tend to reduce the estimated efficiency scores more for those banks which were bailed out during the crisis which confirms the potential bias within standard dea that does not control for extreme weights applied by highly risky banks we discuss the use of the proposed method as a regulatory tool to constrain discretion when complying with regulatory capital benchmarks such as the basel regulatory capital ratios

the dominance of inefficiencies over scale and product mix economies in banking abstract this study measures and analyzes inefficiencies for all u s banks in 1984 inefficiencies are measured relative to a thick frontier cost function and are found to dominate measured scale and product mix economies most inefficiencies are operational in nature involving the overuse of physical inputs rather than financial involving overpayment of interest also technical inefficiencies proportionate overuse of all inputs dominate allocative inefficiencies improper mix of inputs these results suggest that competitive pressures in banking from deregulation will be focused primarily on banks that do not control costs rather than on those of a particular size or product mix

comparing malmquist and hicks moorsteen productivity indices exploring the impact of unbalanced vs balanced panel data abstract we explore the effect of balancing unbalanced panel data when estimating primal productivity indices using non parametric frontier estimators first we list a series of pseudo solutions aimed at making an unbalanced panel balanced then we discuss some intermediate solutions e g balancing 2 years by 2 years furthermore we link this problem with a variety of literatures on infeasibilities statistical inference of non parametric frontier estimators and the index theory literature focusing on the dynamics of entry and exit in industries we then empirically illustrate these issues comparing both malmquist and hicks moorsteen productivity indices on two data sets in particular we test for the differences in distribution when comparing balanced and unbalanced results for a given index and when comparing malmquist and hicks moorsteen productivity indices for a given type of data set the latter tests are crucial in answering the question to which extent the malmquist index can approximate the hicks moorsteen index that has a total factor productivity tfp interpretation finally we draw up a list of remaining issues that could benefit from further exploration

malmquist productivity index decompositions a unifying framework in two widely cited but unpublished working papers simar and wilson 1998 and zofio and lovell 1998 proposed an alternative decomposition of the malmquist productivity index which retained what seemed to be the strongholds of previous proposals with regard to the contribution of technological and efficiency change to productivity change namely a technical change term with regard to the best practice variable returns to scale vrs technology which is to be found in ray and desli 1997 and a scale efficiency change term that illustrates a firm s situation with regard to optimal scale benchmark technology fare et al 1994 attaining this objective required the introduction of an additional term in the malmquist productivity index decomposition which would reflect the scale bias of technical change it is our objective to provide economic rationale for this term within a theory of production context the existing decompositions and recent articles that further elaborate on this issue the ide

university library benchmarking an international comparison using dea abstract this paper proposes a framework for assessing the technical efficiency of 118 university libraries from australia austria canada germany switzerland and the united states the flexible non parametric approach of data envelopment analysis has been chosen to analyse the performance differentials of university libraries we also investigate whether the institutional settings affect the degree of library efficiency the findings of the intercountry efficiency comparison revealed that almost one third of the university libraries are technically efficient using environment specific frontiers to distinguish differences in managerial efficiency from differences in environmental efficiency we found considerable differences in technical efficiency between european and non european university libraries however as regards the environmental setting the non european best practice frontier outperforms the european best practice frontier

productivity growth in large us commercial banks the initial post deregulation experience abstract we explore productivity growth for a group of 201 large us commercial banks over the initial post deregulation period from 1984 to 1990 using data envelopment analysis dea we measure productivity growth using malmquist productivity indexes and isolate the contributions of technical change technical efficiency change and scale change to productivity growth we find overall productivity growth at the rate of about 4 5 per year on average but productivity declined by 7 61 between 1984 and 1985 and by 0 33 between 1988 and 1989 our second stage panel regressions reveal that larger asset size and specialization of product mix associate with higher productivity growth while higher equity to assets associates with lower productivity growth

industry performance and structural efficiency measures solutions to problems in firm models abstract it is shown that average unit structural efficiency measures do not measure the level of technical efficiency in a firm model of an industry alternative structural efficiency measures generalized to multiple input and multiple output technologies are presented as a solution to the problem of how to estimate the relative performance of an industry as a whole where reallocation of inputs across firms is not feasible compared to existing measures the proposed measures require additional information therefore the linear programming dea models needed to obtain this information are presented this non parametric approach to relative efficiency measurement is also used to obtain economic efficiency estimates for an industry as a whole without imposing a priori restrictions on the relative input and output weights

cash flow investment and keynes minsky cycles this paper analyzes a dynamic model with 1 an investment function that emphasizes cash flow 2 a keynesian macroeconomic framework that determines cash flow endogenously 3 a dynamic labor market model that drives wage and price adjustments and 4 boundedly rational expectations simulations from the calibrated model generate endogenous cycles with characteristics described in hyman minsky s research the cycle arises from the link between investment interest rates debt service and cash flow the amplitude and frequency of the cycle are related to the importance of cash flow for investment the dynamics of inflation and the distribution of income

energy and ghg emission efficiency in the chilean manufacturing industry sectoral and regional analysis by dea and malmquist indexes abstract global warming produced mainly by the emission of greenhouse gases is currently a worldwide concern in the last few decades since the 1950s many of the changes observed in the world climate have been meaningful this paper presents an analysis of energy efficiency and of greenhouse gas emissions in the chilean manufacturing industry by region and sector taking into consideration time sequences data envelopment analysis dea models are used for the analysis three ways to handle undesirable outputs are compared the source of inefficiency in each decision making unit dmu is calculated using scale efficiency and the evolution over time is analyzed using the malmquist index the results indicate that the industries located in the chilean regions of coquimbo la araucania and aysen were the most efficient while the industries in the regions of tarapaca antofagasta and biobio were less efficient the most efficient industrial sectors were those involving communications equipment base metals and clothing the least efficient were those concerned with food and beverages textiles and nonmetallic minerals due to the treatment of the undesirable outputs differences were found in the efficiency indexes obtained by the three models this finding suggests using a model better adapted to the characteristics of the outputs in question and the viability of improving industrial practices

budgetary rigour with stimulus in lean times policy advices from an agent based model abstract the 2008 financial crisis and the subsequent global recession triggered a wide spread economic and political debate on the proper policy combination to deal with the crisis and to prevent similar ones in the future probably the main dispute has been around the use of fiscal instruments in order to foster growth while keeping public debt under control the european union for instance endorsed austerity measures for fiscal consolidation but has been sharply criticized by several scholars this paper aims at contributing to the current debate by presenting the outcomes of a computational study performed with the eurace agent based model we set up an experiment with two base policy scenarios i e stability and growth pact and fiscal compact incrementally enriching them with complementary policies which relax fiscal rigidity and introduce quantitative easing results show that budgetary rigour performs well if and only if some mechanisms of fiscal relaxation and monetary accommodation are considered during bad times thus confirming in a richer and more realistic model setting the fundamental tenet of keynesian economics about the importance of sustaining aggregate demand during recessions

the technical efficiency of us banks abstract the paper uses a non parametric frontier approach to measure the technical efficiency of a sample of u s banks the results indicate that these banks could have produced the same level of output with only 70 of the inputs actually used in addition most of this inefficiency is due to pure technical inefficiency wasting inputs rather than scale inefficiency operating at non constant returns to scale finally regression analysis indicates that the technical efficiency of the banks is positively related to size negatively related to product diversity and not at all related to the extent to which branch banking is allowed

power industry restructuring and eco efficiency changes a new slacks based model in malmquist luenberger index measurement measuring variations in efficiency and its extension eco efficiency during a restructuring period in different industries has always been a point of interest for regulators and policy makers this paper assesses the impacts of restructuring of procurement in the iranian power industry on the performance of power plants we introduce a new slacks based model for malmquist luenberger ml index measurement and apply it to the power plants to calculate the efficiency eco efficiency and technological changes over the 8 year period 2003 2010 of restructuring in the power industry the results reveal that although the restructuring had different effects on the individual power plants the overall growth in the eco efficiency of the sector was mainly due to advances in pure technology we also assess the correlation between efficiency and eco efficiency of the power plants which indicates a close relationship between these two steps thus lending support to the incorporation of environmental factors in efficiency analysis

agricultural productivity revisited this paper describes production accounts for agriculture output is defined as gross production leaving the farm as opposed to real value added inputs are not limited to capital and labor but include intermediate inputs as well we derive index numbers of gross output capital labor and intermediate inputs these data are used to construct indexes of total factor productivity we then compare the contributions of input growth and productivity growth to economic growth the important role of productivity growth in agriculture becomes immediately apparent

multilateral productivity comparisons when some outputs are undesirable a nonparametric approach multilateral productivity comparisons of firms producing multiple outputs some of which are undesirable are obtained by making two modifications to the standard farrell approach to efficiency measurement the restriction that production technology satisfy strong disposability of outputs is relaxed to allow for the fact that undesirable outputs may be freely disposable and the efficiency measures are modified to allow for an asymmetric treatment of desirable and undesirable outputs performance measures that satisfy these requirements are calculated as solutions to programming problems the methodology is applied to a sample of mills producing paper and pollutants

pseudo goodwin cycles in a minsky model goodwin cycles result from the dynamic interaction between a profit led demand regime and a reserve army effect in income distribution the paper proposes the concept of a pseudo goodwin cycle we define this as a counter clockwise movement in output and wage share space which is not generated by the usual goodwin mechanism in particular it does not depend on a profit led demand regime to illustrate this a simple minsky type model is extended by a reserve army distribution adjustment in this model the cycle is generated by the interaction of financial fragility and demand the wage share rises at higher levels of output but this generates no feedback so that by design demand does not react to changes in income distribution but the model does exhibit a pseudo goodwin cycle in the output wage share space this holds true even if we introduce a wage led demand regime this demonstrates that the existence of a counter clockwise movement of output and the wage share cannot be regarded as proof of the existence of a goodwin cycle and a profit led demand regime

income distribution credit and fiscal policies in an agent based keynesian model this work studies the interactions between income distribution and monetary and fiscal policies in terms of ensuing dynamics of macro variables gdp growth unemployment etc on the grounds of an agent based keynesian model the direct ancestor of this work is the keynes meeting schumpeter formalism presented in dosi et al 2010 to that model we add a banking sector and a monetary authority setting interest rates and credit lending conditions the model combines keynesian mechanisms of demand generation a schumpeterian innovation fueled process of growth and minskian credit dynamics the robustness of the model is checked against its capability to jointly account for a large set of empirical regularities both at the micro level and at the macro one the model is able to catch salient features underlying the current as well as previous recessions the impact of financial factors and the role in them of income distribution we find that different income distribution regimes heavily affect macroeconomic performance more unequal economies are exposed to more severe business cycles fluctuations higher unemployment rates and higher probability of crises on the policy side fiscal policies do not only dampen business cycles reduce unemployment and the likelihood of experiencing a huge crisis in some circumstances they also affect positively long term growth further the more income distribution is skewed toward profits the greater the effects of fiscal policies about monetary policy we find a strong non linearity in the way interest rates affect macroeconomic dynamics in one regime with low rates changes in interest rates are ineffective up to a threshold beyond which increasing the interest rate implies smaller output growth rates and larger output volatility unemployment and likelihood of crises

decomposing the luenberger hicks moorsteen total factor productivity indicator an application to u s agriculture abstract this paper introduces a decomposition of the additively complete luenberger hicks moorsteen total factor productivity indicator into the usual components technical change technical inefficiency change and scale inefficiency change our approach is general in that it does not require differentiability or convexity of the production technology using a nonparametric framework the empirical application focuses on the agricultural sector at the state level in the u s over the period 1960 2004 the results show that luenberger hicks moorsteen productivity increased substantially in the considered period this productivity growth is due to output growth rather than input decline although the extent depends on the convexity assumption of the technology technical change is the main driver while the role of technical inefficiency change and scale inefficiency change also depends on the convexity assumption of the technology

malmquist indices of productivity growth during the deregulation of norwegian banking 1980 89 productivity growth during the deregulation of the norwegian banking industry is studied within the framework of data envelopment analysis which explicitly allows for multiple outputs introducing malmquist indices for productivity growth total growth can be decomposed into frontier growth and change in each bank s distance to the frontier both the total growth index and its components can be consistently chained over time we find productivity regress at the average bank prior to the deregulation but rapid growth when deregulation took place deregulation also led to less dispersion of productivity levels within the industry

indian bank efficiency and productivity changes with undesirable outputs a disaggregated approach the objective of this study is to examine technical efficiency and productivity growth in the indian banking sector over the period from 2004 to 2011 we apply an innovative methodological approach introduced by chen et al 2011 and barros et al 2012 who use a weighted russell directional distance model to measure technical inefficiency we further modify and extend that model to measure tfp change with npls we find that the inefficiency levels are significantly different among the three ownership structure of banks in india foreign banks have strong market position in india and they pull the production frontier in a more efficient direction spbs and domestic private banks show considerably higher inefficiency we conclude that the restructuring policy applied in the late 1990s and early 2000s by the indian government has not had a long lasting effect

investment confidence corporate debt and income fluctuations in this paper we present a macroeconomic model with new keynesian features which endogenously generates dynamic paths of income and the stock of corporate debt of a cyclic and chaotic nature from the market clearing condition on goods and money markets we derive the dynamic paths of income and corporate debt whose stability properties depend upon the propensity to invest out of the flow of internally generated funds which in turn is a positive function of income if it is relatively low the dynamic paths on income and corporate debt converge to their steady state long run values when the propensity to invest is neither too low nor too high the system can exhibit either bounded cycles or chaotic dynamics finally if it exceeds a critical upper value an explosive growth of debt occurs and a financial crisis is likely to ensue

what is the impact of bankrupt and restructured loans on japanese bank efficiency the japanese banking system provides a distinctive platform for the examination of the long lasting effect of problem loans on efficiency we measure technical efficiency by modifying a translog enhanced hyperbolic distance function with two undesirable outputs identified as problem loans and problem other earning assets our unique database allows us to distinguish between bankrupt and restructured loans to investigate the underlying causality between these loans and efficiency from the flexible panel vector autoregression specification primary results reveal that bankrupt loans have a positive impact on efficiency related to the moral hazard skimping hypothesis with the causality originating from bankrupt loans in contrast findings for the relationship between restructured loans and efficiency support the bad luck hypothesis

investment and the taylor rule in a dynamic keynesian model abstract we study monetary policy in a reduced form dynamic model with bounded rationality and an empirically motivated investment function investment has important dynamic effects in our model in particular the cost of capital effect on investment is more important for monetary transmission than the more widely studied intertemporal substitution parameter in consumption furthermore a strong taylor rule response to unemployment in this model is more effective in stabilizing demand induced fluctuations than a strong response to inflation indeed an excessively aggressive response to inflation destabilizes the simulated output and inflation fluctuations

determinants of bank market structure efficiency and political economy variables abstract this paper analyzes the influence of bank efficiency and political economy variables on bank market structure market share and market concentration using a panel data of 2 592 banks from 69 countries over the 1996 2002 period results indicate that the validity of the efficiency structure hypothesis to explain bank market structure varies across countries depending on national political economy variables in particular higher entry requirements more generous deposit insurance and higher extent of government bank ownership reduce the positive influence of bank efficiency on market share and market concentration however tighter restrictions on bank activities better quality of the contracting environment more market monitoring and more market orientation and development of the financial system increase the positive influence of bank efficiency on market share and market concentration jel classification g18 g21 g28 keywords banking structure efficiency regulations supervision institutions

total factor productivity growth technological progress and technical efficiency change dimensions of productivity change in yugoslavia 1965 1978 this article total factor productivity growth technological progress and technical efficiency change dimensions of productivity change in yugoslavia 1965 78 was reprinted with permission from the december 1982 issue of the economic journal this article proposes a methodology that decomposes total factor productivity change into two distinct elements technological progress and changes in technical efficiency technological progress is defined as the change in the best practice production frontier all other productivity change is attributed to technical efficiency change the article provides a theoretical framework for decomposing total factor productivity growth as well as a specification and estimation of the deterministic frontier production function it employs a programming technique to estimate a flexible functional form of the production frontier the paper then applies this technique to empirical data from yugoslavia of the period from 1965 to 1978 it concludes that for yugoslavia improvements to technical efficiency comprise the dominant contribution to total factor productivity change this agrees with accumulating evidence that in many developing economies productivity gain due to technological mastery of imported technology is substantial

technical scale and allocative efficiencies in u s banking an empirical investigation a nonparametric frontier approach is used to calculate the overall technical pure technical allocative and scale efficiencies for a sample of 322 independent banks the sample was drawn from the federal deposit insurance corporation tapes on the reports of condition and reports of income call reports for the year 1986 the results indicated a low level of overall efficiency the main source of inefficiency was technical in nature rather than allocative separate efficiency frontiers were constructed to test the effect of branching however the distributions of efficiency measures for branching and non branching banks were not found to be different

graph efficiency and productivity measures an application to us agriculture hyperbolic measures of efficiency and productivity change with respect to a graph representation of production technology allow researchers to consider output and input dimensions simultaneously in measuring producer performance hyperbolic efficiency measures have been proposed but empirical implementation has not followed either in efficiency analysis or in productivity analysis the objectives of this paper are to define hyperbolic performance measures on a graph representation of production technology to motivate their use by stating some of their advantages over their radial counterparts and to introduce a direct formulation to calculate them making use of data envelopment analysis techniques the ideas are illustrated by calculating hyperbolic efficiency and malmquist productivity indexes for a us agricultural panel data set

a political economy theory of fiscal policy and unemployment this paper presents a political economy theory of fiscal policy and unemployment the underlying economic model is one in which unemployment can arise but can be mitigated by tax cuts and public spending increases such policies are fiscally costly but can be financed by issuing government debt policy decisions are made by a legislature consisting of representatives from different political districts the theory provides a positive account of the simultaneous determination of fiscal policy and unemployment the most important implication of the theory is that debt and unemployment levels should be positively correlated some evidence in support of this prediction is provided using data from a panel of developed countries

minsky models a structured survey minsky s ideas have recently gained prominence in the mainstream as well as in the heterodox literature however there exists no agreement upon the formal presentation of minsky s insights the aim of this paper is to survey the literature and identify differences and similarities in the ways through which minskyan ideas have been formalised we distinguish between the models that focus on the dynamics of debt or interest with no or a secondary role for asset prices and the models in which asset prices play a key role in the dynamic behaviour of the economy within the first category of models we make a classification between i the kalecki minsky models ii the kaldor minsky models iii the goodwin minsky models iv the credit rationing minsky models v the endogenous target debt ratio models and vi the minsky veblen models within the second category of models we distinguish between i the equity price minsky models and ii the real estate price minsky models key limitations of the models and directions for future research are outlined

productivity in multiple output public service a quadratic frontier function and malmquist index approach abstract the purpose of this study is to analyse the development of productivity and structural efficiency for an extended period of time 1974 to 1987 in the production of public social insurance services in sweden the analysis is based on the estimation of a deterministic flexible single input multiple output frontier production function the findings indicate a productivity decrease for the entire period from 1974 to 1987 of 18 percent in the period 1974 to 1982 productivity decreased by approximately 30 percent but at the end of the period 1984 to 1987 there was a productivity recovery of about 11 percent

mergers and technical efficiency in spanish savings banks a stochastic distance function approach abstract the aim of this paper is to test the temporal variation of technical efficiency of spanish savings banks during the period 1985 1998 furthermore we test whether merged and non merged firms have different levels and temporal patterns of technical efficiency a stochastic output distance function r w shephard theory of cost and production functions princeton university press princeton nj is employed to accommodate multiple output technology the distance function provides the advantage that it does not need information about prices so it can accommodate the multi product nature of the financial sector only using the quantities as data an important point when the assumptions about perfectly competitive markets are unlikely to be met the temporal variation of efficiency is modeled extending the battese and coelli journal of productivity analysis 3 1992 153 169 approach in two ways relaxing the monotonicity of the temporal variation pattern of the efficiency term and allowing for different patterns of efficiency change between merged and non merged firms

cost efficiency in bangladesh banking does financial reform matter abstractthis article estimates the cost efficiency of the commercial banks of bangladesh in the context of financial reform employing the single stage stochastic frontier analysis sfa model the study uses a unique balanced panel data set comprising bank level annual data from the dominant commercial banks in bangladesh for the period 1983 2012 the results show that bank cost has fallen due to financial deregulation our results from the data envelopment analysis do not vary significantly that we obtained from the sfa in addition the presence of politically linked directors on the bank board has an adverse effect on efficiency these findings suggest that further reforms aiming at removing all sorts of political influence should continue to ensure competitive environment in order to achieve cost efficiency in the financial sector of the country

banking efficiency in the nordic countries abstract evidence of the relative competitiveness of the banking industries in three nordic countries is provided by applying data envelopment analysis of productivity on the national and the pooled data sets the analysis produces a detailed account of how well banks from different countries and different sizes may be prepared to meet the more intense competition of a common european banking market

evaluating the cost efficiency of the italian banking system what can be learned from the joint application of parametric and non parametric techniques abstract research on bank efficiency has developed in two separate streams econometric studies and data envelopment analysis a linear programming technique these two branches of literature have developed quickly but separately in this paper these two approaches have been tested on a common panel of 270 italian banks and this has suggested the following i econometric and linear programming results do not differ dramatically when based on the same data and conceptual framework ii when differences arise they can be explained by going back to the intrinsic features of the models moreover some findings on italian banks may be of interest also to the international reader i efficiency scores show a high variance ii the banking system is split in two between northern and southern banks iii there is a direct rather than inverse relationship between productive efficiency and asset quality iv the efficiency of italian banks did not increase over the period 1988 1992

the static and dynamic environmental efficiency of renewable energy a malmquist index analysis of oecd countries abstract in recent years renewable energy and environmental efficiency have been interesting issues for both academics and industry actors when discussing sustainable development against this background the present study examines the environmental efficiency of renewable energy from the static and the dynamic perspective in 31 oecd countries a study conducted to understand the impact of renewable energy across countries as a non parametric methodology data envelopment analysis is used to measure environmental efficiency through multiple inputs and outputs labor capital and renewable energy supply are the three inputs while gdp is the desirable output and carbon emissions are the undesirable output to measure the dynamic environmental efficiency of renewable energy the malmquist productivity index is applied to estimate the average efficiency change from 2004 to 2011 the results demonstrate geographical differences in environmental efficiency across the oecd countries in oecd america have the highest average environmental efficiency and those in oecd europe have the largest standard deviation we also find that dynamic efficiency is influenced by the global financial crisis triggered in the united states further we show that oecd countries implement both catch up and frontier shift strategies to improve environmental efficiency

rationality of energy efficiency improvement targets under the pat scheme in india a case of thermal power plants abstract the market based perform achieve and trade scheme was introduced in india to enhance the energy efficiency of energy intensive sectors and for thermal power plants by reducing their specific energy consumption within the framework of a tradable certificate scheme international experience suggests that effectiveness of such schemes is greatly influenced by the assigned targets of the obligated units setting rational targets is thus a key aspect of successful implementation of the scheme in the present study we examine the rationality of the targets set for the power sector of india based on comparing it with energy saving potential of the plants and the targets assigned to the respective plants data envelopment analysis models are used to determine relative efficiency and energy saving potential the study results indicate that in most cases i the targets are much less than the actual potentials of the thermal power sector ii there exist substantial inefficiencies within the system in both energy use and managerial dexterity and iii if the sector realizes its full potential then the energy saving certificate market may witness a surplus of 4 7 million certificates on account of thermal power sector alone

assessing eco efficiency through the dea analysis and decoupling index in the latin america countries abstract this study was developed according to a two step approach in the first step we provide an investigation of the changes in eco efficiency under constant and variable return to scale while on a second step the evaluation of the decoupling elasticity will be given the impacts of energy economic and environmental determinants inputs on the performance indicators of eco efficiency were calculated as the inverse of the carbon intensity ratio of the gdp over the co2 emissions both from the world development indicators database the changes in eco efficiency and the decoupling elasticity between co2 emissions and economic growth changes data was used for 16 latin america countries according to five year periods from 1994 to 2013 for all the five time span considered it is worth noting that the degree of technical efficiency for the latin america countries is lower than the degree of technological efficiency thus indicating that a portion of the overall inefficiency is due to the fact that these countries are producing below the production frontier rather than to an inefficient use of technology on average the results have confirmed that the technological scale change in energy production is the dominant factor influencing the optimal production frontier in the sample of countries under analysis complementarily according to the mixed results from the decoupling analysis we may conclude that the increase decrease of the co2 per capita emissions was due to other economic and environmental factors rather than to a negative positive effect of the gdp growth rate

is there a single frontier in a single european banking market abstract this paper attempts to estimate comparable efficiency scores for european banks operating in the single market in the eu using a data set of more than 5000 large commercial banks from all major european banking markets over the period 1993 2004 the application of meta frontiers enables us to assess the existence of a single and integrated european banking market we find evidence in favor of a single european banking market characterized by cost and profit meta frontiers however compared to the meta frontier estimations pooled frontier estimations tend to underestimate efficiency levels and correlate poorly with country specific frontier efficiency ranks

explaining efficiency differences among large german and austrian banks cost efficiency scale efficiency and productivity change are estimated by data envelopment analysis and cost efficiency is regressed on explanatory variables no evidence is found for average productivity responding to deregulation over the period studied state owned banks are found to be more cost efficient likely owing to cheaper funds and cooperative banks to be about as cost efficient as private banks increasing economies of scale but decreasing economies of scope provide rationale for m as among banks with similar product portfolios interbank and capital market funding is found to be more cost efficient than deposits when the cost of retail networks is controlled

the malmquist total factor productivity index the definitions of the malmquist output and input quantity indexes specified by d w caves l r christensen and w e diewert 1982 are applied in this study based on these indexes a malmquist total factor productivity index is derived for general production structures the definition maintains the fundamental characteristic of a productivity index as a ratio between an output quantity change index and an input quantity change index this index provides a remedy for the shortcoming of the traditional definition of the malmquist productivity index in that the latter does not correctly measure changes in productivity in the presence of changes in returns to scale copyright 1996 by the editors of the scandinavian journal of economics

bank profitability leverage and financial instability a minsky harrod model this paper develops a stock flow consistent macroeconomic model where bank profitability and bank leverage play a crucial role in the determination of firms liability structure the model assumes that banks credit supply depends on bank profitability as well as firms profit interest ratio our analysis suggests that a strong expansionary effect of bank profitability on credit supply tends to destabilise the economy leading to cycles driven by the interactions between firms and banks financial behaviour the formal framework is used to discuss hyman minsky s proposal in his stabilizing an unstable economy for the control over the permissible leverage ratios and payout ratios of banks copyright oxford university press

the effects of deregulation on the performance of financial institutions the case of spanish savings banks this paper examines the impact of regulatory reform on the performance of spanish savings banks the focus is whether increased competition brought on by deregulation affected performance of banks over time output technical efficiency which is defined in terms of the production possibility frontier is also examined empirical results show declining levels of output technical efficiency along with a significantly high rate of technical progress in spite of declining technical efficiency during this period evidence of an increasing trend in productivity growth is found

a note on banking efficiency in portugal new vs old banks following entry into the european community in 1986 portugal transformed rapidly its repressed banking system with deregulation the opening of borders the granting of new banking licenses and privatization in a more competitive banking system one would expect a priori an increase in operational efficiency this paper attempts to quantify the magnitude of efficiency gains over the years 1990 1995 moreover the paper documents the relative efficiency performance of new domestic banks not hampered by a legacy of inefficiency from the past they could operate nearer the efficiency frontier the case of portugal provides unique information on the joint effect of deregulation and the granting of new banking licenses on the change in operational efficiency of a previously repressed banking system

regional analysis across colombian departments a non parametric study of energy use abstract the analysis of energy use is important in emerging economies and especially in the manufacturing industries as energy is a key factor of sustainable development this research analyses and evaluates the features of regional energy use and efficiency across colombian departments in the manufacturing industries for the period between 2005 and 2013 by applying two malmquist data envelopment analysis models the results indicate significant difference in energy use and efficiency across colombian departments in the manufacturing industries the results of the malmquist indexes determine that various manufacturing industries across colombian departments have a high potential to increase energy efficiency several manufacturing industries across colombian departments have experienced gains in productivity a growth in efficiency an improvement in the relationship between inputs and outputs and scale production and advances in innovation through new technologies this technique allows to make comparisons and improves energy policies to increase energy efficiency and decrease co 2 emissions the application of panel data models indicate that increases in energy prices exports and productivity lead to better energy use while a higher presence of energy intensive sectors and small and medium enterprises across colombian departments reduce energy efficiency the methods selected in this research generated consistent robust and reliable estimates related to energy use and co 2 emissions for regional studies the findings of this study indicate that diverse energy policies should implement in the industrial sector across colombian departments and that they should contribute to improvements in energy use especially in small and medium companies and energy intensive sectors

theory and history behind business cycles are the 1990s the onset of a golden age the theory presented in this paper ties together profits investment credit stock prices inflation and interest rates the author discusses new estimates of profit and investment functions with important roles for growth and demand and productivity price and cost levels risk perception credit volume and credit difficulties the relationships among these endogenous variables are viewed as constituting an enduring core of business cycles the exogenous shocks and policy effects as more transitory and peripheral

malmquist type indices in the presence of negative data an application to bank branches in this paper we develop an index and an indicator of productivity change that can be used with negative data for that purpose the range directional model rdm a particular case of the directional distance function is used for computing efficiency in the presence of negative data we use rdm efficiency measures to arrive at a malmquist type index which can reflect productivity change and we use rdm inefficiency measures to arrive at a luenberger productivity indicator and relate the two the productivity index and indicator are developed relative to a fixed meta technology and so they are referred to as a meta malmquist index and meta luenberger indicator we also address the fact that vrs technologies are used for computing the productivity index and indicator a requirement under negative data which raises issues relating to the interpretability of the index we illustrate how the meta malmquist index can be used not only for comparing the performance of a unit in two time periods but also for comparing the performance of two different units at the same or different time periods the proposed approach is then applied to a sample of bank branches where negative data were involved the paper shows how the approach yields information from a variety of perspectives on performance which management can use

productivity growth technical progress and efficiency change in industrialized countries this paper analyzes productivity growth in 17 oecd countries over the period 1979 1988 a nonparametric programming method activity analysis is used to compute malmquist productivity indexes these are decomposed into two component measures namely technical change and efficiency change we find that u s productivity growth is slightly higher than average all of which is due to technical change japan s productivity growth is the highest in the sample with almost half due to efficiency change jel c43 d24 in this paper we apply recently developed

pesticide use environmental spillovers and efficiency a dea risk adjusted efficiency approach applied to dutch arable farming pesticides are widely used by crop producers in developed countries to combat risk associated with pests and diseases however their indiscriminate use can lead to various environmental spillovers that may alter the agricultural production environment thus contributing to production risk this study utilises a data envelopment analysis dea approach to measure performance of arable farms incorporating pesticides environmental spillovers and output variance as undesirable outputs in the efficiency analysis and taking explicitly into account the effect of pesticides and other inputs on production risk the application focuses on panel data from dutch arable farms over the period 2003 2007 a moment approach is used to compute output variance providing empirical representations of the risk increasing or decreasing nature of the used inputs finally shadow values of risk adjusted inputs are computed we find that pesticides are overused in dutch arable farming and there is a considerable evidence of the need for decreasing pesticides environmental spillovers

trends in efficiency in response to regulatory reforms the case of indian and pakistani commercial banks this paper attempts to estimate trends in the efficiency levels of indian and pakistani commercial banks between 1985 and 2003 a time period which encompasses two phases of significant change to the regulation of the financial sector in both countries our efficiency estimates show that during the initial years of the post reform period a reduction in efficiency is observed for banks in both countries however efficiency levels were found to have increased subsequently suggesting a period of initial adjustment throughout much of the 1990s followed by a subsequent correction in the latter part of the sample period

the dynamics of leverage in a demand driven model with heterogeneous firms abstract this paper introduces heterogeneous microeconomic behavior into a demand driven macroeconomic model in order to study the joint dynamics of leverage and capital accumulation by identifying the links between firm level variables and aggregate quantities the paper contributes toward a reformulation of the minskyan formal analysis that explicitly considers the role of microeconomic factors in generating macroeconomic instability the aggregation of heterogeneous agents is not only performed numerically as in traditional agent based models but also by means of an innovative analytical methodology originally developed in statistical mechanics and recently imported into macroeconomics the distinctive feature is in that the joint analysis of the numerical and analytical solutions of the model sheds light on the effects of financial fragility at the firm level on the dynamics of the macroeconomy in particular the analysis of steady state and stability properties of the system provide additional insights on the role of behavioral and size heterogeneity of firms for the stocks of aggregate debt and capital

debt driven growth wealth distribution and demand in oecd countries the paper investigates the effects of changes in the distribution of income and in wealth on aggregate demand and its components we extend the bhaduri and marglin 1990 model to include personal income inequality as well as asset prices and debt this allows for an evaluation of the wage or profit led nature of demand regimes of the expenditure cascade argument frank et al 2010 and several hypotheses regarding the effects of wealth and debt our estimates are based on a panel of 18 oecd countries covering the period 1980 2013 for the full panel the average demand regime is found to be wage led we fail to find effects of personal inequality but do find strong effects of debt and property prices which have been the major drivers of aggregate demand in the decade prior to the 2007 crisis

long waves and short cycles in a model of endogenous financial fragility this paper presents a stock flow consistent macroeconomic model in which financial fragility in firm and household sectors evolves endogenously through the interaction between real and financial sectors changes in firms and households financial practices produce long waves the hopf bifurcation theorem is applied to clarify the conditions for the existence of limit cycles and simulations illustrate stable limit cycles the long waves are characterized by periodic economic crises following long expansions short cycles generated by the interaction between effective demand and labor market dynamics fluctuate around the long waves

minsky from the bottom up formalising the two price model of investment in a simple agent based framework abstract this paper presents a fully formalised version of hyman minsky s two price model of capital investment embedded in a macroeconomic model consisting of an agent based sector of consumption goods firms as well as three strongly simplified aggregated sectors in an innovation to the literature on minsky models the model is calibrated empirically using moments drawn from us data demonstrating that it is capable of producing plausible time series simulations show that the individual investment and financing choices made by the agent based firms lead to the emergence of business cycles at the aggregate level key aspects of the model can be closely related to central concepts from the financial accelerator literature and moreover it is demonstrated through simulation experiments that expectations and sentiment dynamics play an important role being able to amplify or dampen the cycles it is also shown that the introduction of fiscal policy monetary policy or a restriction on firm dividend payouts can contribute to a stabilisation of the model

short and medium term financial real cycles an empirical assessment 2019 elsevier ltd theories such as minsky s financial instability hypothesis or new keynesian financial accelerator models assign a key role to financial factors in business cycle dynamics we propose a simple var based estimation framework to examine some of the financial real interaction mechanisms that are at the core of these theories we examine cycle frequencies in seven oecd countries over the period 1970 2015 and find that output contains short and medium business cycle frequencies while interest rates business debt and household debt exhibit short medium and long cycles respectively we find robust evidence for financial real interaction mechanisms i at high frequencies between interest rates and gdp in australia and the usa and ii at medium frequencies between business debt and gdp in canada and great britain the effect of interest rates and debt seems to operate via investment rather than consumption we find no evidence for an interaction mechanism between household debt and gdp our results provide support for minskyan and financial accelerator models in which output interacts with interest rates or corporate debt