economic growth and pollutant emissions in tunisia an empirical analysis of the environmental kuznets curve abstract this paper investigates the relationship between economic growth and pollutant emissions for a small and open developing country tunisia during the period 1961 2004 the investigation is made on the basis of the environmental kuznets curve hypothesis using time series data and cointegration analysis carbon dioxide co 2 and sulfur dioxide so 2 are used as the environmental indicators and gdp as the economic indicator our results show that there is a long run cointegrating relationship between the per capita emissions of two pollutants and the per capita gdp an inverted u relationship between so 2 emissions and gdp has been found with income turning point approximately equals to 1200 constant 2000 prices or to 3700 in ppp constant 2000 prices however a monotonically increasing relationship with gdp is found more appropriate for co 2 emissions furthermore the causality results show that the relationship between income and pollution in tunisia is one of unidirectional causality with income causing environmental changes and not vice versa both in the short run and long run this implies that an emission reduction policies and more investment in pollution abatement expense will not hurt economic growth it could be a feasible policy tool for tunisia to achieve its sustainable growth in the long run

environmental kuznets curve in romania and the role of energy consumption abstract the aim of present study is to probe the dynamic relationship between economic growth energy consumption and co 2 emissions for period of 1980 2010 in case of romania in doing so ardl bounds testing approach is applied to investigate the long run cointegration between these variables our results confirm long run relationship between economic growth energy consumption and energy pollutants the empirical evidence reveals that environmental kuznets curve ekc is found both in long and short runs in romania further energy consumption is major contributor to energy pollutants democratic regime shows her significant contribution to decline co 2 emissions through effective implementation of economic policies and financial development improves environment i e reduces co 2 emissions by redirecting the resources to environment friendly projects

services trade regulation and regional integration evidence from sectoral data we use new world bank services trade restrictiveness indices stris to measure the impact of regulation on cross border services trade at the sectoral level we find that policy barriers as measured by the overall stri for each sector have a negative and significant effect on total services trade as well as trade in business and financial services the effect in other sectors is not statistically significant however disaggregating the policy data by mode produces stronger results policy restrictiveness negatively impacts trade in all sectors except wholesale and retail trade there is thus considerable evidence of cross sectoral heterogeneity in the impact of regulations in addition we find evidence of cross modal substitution in total services trade but complementarity in business financial and insurance services finally we find that regional trade agreements tend to promote trade overall and in business and financial services however the effect seems to be primarily driven by the impact of the european union

u s presidential elections 1968 80 a spatial analysis a methodology is presented for empirical estimation of spatial models of voting in mass elections the basic choice model posits utility functions that depend on spatial distance and a random error term the parameters of the utility functions are estimated by a polytomous logit model which is applied to spatial maps of voters and candidates for all presidential elections since 1968 these maps indicate that presidential candidates take positions at the periphery of the distribution of voters results based on these maps support the hypothesis of sincere spatial voting in two candidate elections in three candidate elections the coefficients of the voter utility function adjust to proxy for the lesser viability of the minor party candidate in contrast to choice turnout shows only weak spatial effects the data are inconsistent with the proposition that turnout is low because voters are not offered distinct alternatives while the utility function used by voters appears stable through time and candidate and voter positions appear stable in the last few months prior to an election voter and candidate positions exhibit substantial change over longer time periods

does religious similarity matter in international trade in services impacts of religion on trade in services were examined using gravity models with two estimation methods poisson pseudo maximum likelihood ppml to correct for heteroscedasticity and bias due to the exclusion of zero trade flow and standard heckman correction to compensate for sample selection bias we found that religious similarity contributes to increased international trade in services by establishing trust related institutions second religious pluralism variety fosters trade even more than religious similarity suggesting that in facilitating trade religious openness matters more than religious similarity third a strong dominant religion discourages trade in services whereas the presence of religious minorities encourages trade in services a highly significant inverse mill s ratio imr result indicated the presence of sample selection bias indicating that controls are necessary to prevent estimation bias this study concluded that religion is an important determining factor for trade in services positively affecting interpersonal trust and thereby reducing institutional distance between countries

can natural gas fired power generation break through the dilemma in china a system dynamics analysis abstract recently the share of natural gas in the generation of electricity has shown a dramatic increase in china however the domestic natural gas source natural gas price and unclear policy environment are the barriers lying on the development way of natural gas power generation this paper aims to evaluate development pattern and constraints in the development of china s natural gas power generation by system dynamics methodology the natural gas price for generation is predicted by market netback pricing method which sets up price linkage mechanism and bundles the natural gas price with alternative energy price the downturn of international oil market pushes natural gas price down in spite of the over demand domestic natural gas market the long term take or pay clauses provide a guarantee for adequate gas supply hence the natural gas price and source are no longer the case meanwhile the promotion policies including subsidy and emission trade scheme are analyzed as a result the natural gas power generation will witness explosive development with an average annual growth rate of about 10 by 2030 natural gas generation installed capacity will reach 235 7 gw

services linkages and the value added content of trade services trade constitute roughly one third of trade on a value added basis and much of this is concentrated in margin services transport logistics linked to trade in goods however producer services are also part of the value added contained in traded goods this is especially true in high income countries where services account for roughly 70 percent of value added working with data a set of global social accounting matrices spanning intermittent years from 1992 to 2007 this paper examines the services embodied in trade on a value added basis this includes not only the direct and indirect contribution of services to value added contained in a given country s exports but also the extent to which third country value added in services through intermediate linkages of imported goods and services are also embodied in production and trade this exercise serves to highlight not only the importance of non tradables in trade but also by extension the importance that productivity foreign affiliates sales and trade and investment in services may hold for interdependence and cross border linkages

insecurity and the pattern of trade an empirical investigation corruption and imperfect contract enforcement dramatically reduce international trade this paper estimates the reduction using a structural model of import demand in which insecurity acts as a hidden tax on trade we find that inadequate institutions constrain trade as much as tariffs do we also find that omission of indices of institutional quality biases the estimates of typical gravity models obscuring a negative relationship between per capita income and the share of total expenditure devoted to traded goods finally we argue that cross country variation in the effectiveness of institutions and the consequent variation in the prices of traded goods offer a simple explanation for the stylized fact that high income capital abundant countries trade disproportionately with each other

firm heterogeneity in services trade micro level evidence from eight oecd countries this paper shows that smaller and less productive firms as well as first time exporters are overproportionally affected by services trade barriers using micro data from belgium finland germany italy japan sweden the united kingdom and the united states for these firms both the propensity to export and export volumes to less restrictive destinations are significantly higher than to more restrictive destinations in contrast policy barriers measured by the oecd services trade restrictiveness index stri do not affect export decisions of the largest most productive and experience services firms the pattern holds for two major modes of supply cross border services exports and foreign affiliate sales of services firms the findings are consistent with firm sorting mechanisms in trade models with heterogeneous firms and hysteresis of export participation in the presence of sunk export costs

environmental kuznets curve for co2 in canada abstract according to the environmental kuznets curve hypothesis the relationship between per capita gdp and per capita pollutant emissions has an inverted u shape this implies that past a certain point economic growth may actually be profitable for environmental quality most studies on this subject are based on estimating fully parametric quadratic or cubic regression models while this is not technically wrong such an approach somewhat lacks flexibility since it may fail to detect the true shape of the relationship if it happens not to be of the specified form we use semiparametric and flexible nonlinear parametric modeling methods in an attempt to provide more robust inferences we find little evidence in favour of the environmental kuznets curve hypothesis our main results could be interpreted as indicating that the oil shock of the 1970s has had an important impact on progress towards less polluting technology and production

the power of the states in u s presidential elections the electoral college is a uniquely american political institution yet its impact on both the power of the american states and the relative power of citizens living in different states is not well understood game theorists have broached the state power problem exclusively in terms of the size of each of the states empirical investigators have been less systematic basing their analyses solely on which states have been close in a single election in this paper we present a model of state power which combines the idea of the pivotal player from game theory with an empirical model of state voting in doing so we provide a theoretically derived and empirically meaningful assessment of state power in presidential elections we then trace the implications of the power of the states for the relative power of individual voters finding large disparities between voters from different states

the dynamic impact of renewable energy consumption on co2 emissions a revisited environmental kuznets curve approach this paper considers a revisited environmental kuznets curve ekc hypothesis with potential impact of renewable energy consumption on environmental quality to this end paper aims at investigating the validity of the ekc hypothesis employing the dependent variable of co2 emissions and regressors of gdp quadratic gdp and renewable energy consumption this paper hence analyzes this revisited ekc hypothesis to observe if i there exists an inverted u shaped relationship between environmental quality in terms of co2 emissions per capita income and per capita income squared and ii there exists a negative causality from renewables to co2 emissions within ekc model paper employs a panel data set of 17 oecd countries over the period 1977 2010 and launches panel fmols and panel dols estimations the findings support the ekc hypothesis for the panel and indicate that gdp per capita and gdp per capita squared have the impacts on co2 emissions positively and negatively respectively and that renewable energy consumption yields negative impact on co2 emissions another remark of this paper is that the validity of ekc does not depend on income level of individual countries of panel in which ekc hypothesis holds eventually paper argues that if countries carry out i policies i e for fair and easy access to the electricity from renewable sources and ii policies to increase renewables supply through i e improved renewable energy technologies they will be able to contribute to combating global warming problem as they increase their gdp s

time zone differences as trade barriers this paper estimates the impact of time zone differences between trading locations on trade costs and trade in general equilibrium using homogeneous bilateral trade data between us states and canadian provinces time zone differences are found to reduce bilateral trade by 11 on average which amounts to about one sixth of the international border effect between the us and canada

determinants of the global and regional co2 emissions what causes what and where using the stochastic impacts by regression on population affluence and technology stirpat model and an unbalanced panel dataset of 128 countries covering 1990 2014 this study aims to examine t

the impact of biomass consumption on co2 emissions cointegration analyses with regime shifts abstract the source of carbon dioxide co2 emissions has been of great interest to researcher s and or policy maker s within ongoing efforts to diminish the emissions in the world due to co2 s serious adverse environmental effect this paper investigates the possible existence of long run relationship between co2 emissions and biomass consumption in us for the period january 1990 september 2011 to this end paper first seeks for effect of biomass on co2 through energy literature and later follows cointegration analyses with structural breaks to reveal parameter estimates of long run equilibrium of co2 with fossil fuel consumption and biomass consumption eventually this paper explores that structural breaks are important to understand the course of co2 and that as expected fossil fuel and biomass effect co2 positively and negatively respectively alternative cointegration analyses with regime shifts confirm negative impact of biomass and positive impact of fossil fuel on co2 as well

factors affecting trade in services evidence from panel data in the course of economic development nations have typically progressed through stages in which agriculture then manufacturing and finally services predominate concerns around the sustainabili

the mean voter theorem necessary and sufficient conditions for convergent equilibrium formal models of elections have emphasized the convergence of party leaders towards the centre of the electoral distribution this paper attempts to resolve the apparent disparity between the formal result and the perception of political divergence by considering a model incorporating valence valence can be interpreted as the non policy basis of political judgement made by the electorate concerning the quality of political contenders the theorem presented here shows that there is a necessary condition for convergence the condition involves the difference in party valences and the electoral variance when the condition fails the low valence parties will be forced to adopt policy positions far from the electoral centre the inference appears to be substantiated by an empirical model of the israel election in 1996 copyright 2007 wiley blackwell

the long run and causal analysis of energy growth openness and financial development on carbon emissions in turkey abstract the aim of this paper is to examine the causal relationship between financial development trade economic growth energy consumption and carbon emissions in turkey for the 1960 2007 period the bounds f test for cointegration test yields evidence of a long run relationship between per capita carbon emissions per capita energy consumption per capita real income the square of per capita real income openness and financial development the results show that an increase in foreign trade to gdp ratio results an increase in per capita carbon emissions and financial development variable has no significant effect on per capita carbon emissions in the long run these results also support the validity of ekc hypothesis in the turkish economy it means that the level of co 2 emissions initially increases with income until it reaches its stabilization point then it declines in turkey in addition the paper explores causal relationship between the variables by using error correction based granger causality models

the importance of the logistics performance index in international trade logistics and transport increasingly play a pivotal role in international trade relations the logistics performance index lpi analyses differences between countries in terms of customs procedures logistics costs and the quality of the infrastructure for overland and maritime transport the aim of this article is to analyse the impact that each of these components has on trade in emerging economies using a gravity model furthermore the study also attempts to detect possible advances in logistics in developing countries which are grouped into five regions africa south america far east middle east and eastern europe by comparing the first lpi data published in 2007 with the most recent data released in 2012 the results obtained reveal that improvements in any of the components of the lpi can lead to significant growth in a country s trade flows specifically lpi components are becoming increasingly important for international trade in many countries in africa south america and eastern europe

threshold cointegration and nonlinear adjustment between co2 and income the environmental kuznets curve in spain 1857 2007 abstract article history received 9 march 2011received in revised form 24 february 2012accepted 2 march 2012available online 14 march 2012jel classi cation c2q4keywords environmental kuznets curveco 2 emissionsnonlinear relationshipthreshold cointegration inthispaper wemodelthe long run relationship between per capita co 2 and per capita income for the spanisheconomy over the period 1857 2007 according to the environmental kuznets curve eck the relationshipbetween the two variables has an inverted u shape however previous studies for the spanish economy onlyconsidered the existence of linear relationships such an approach may lack exibility to detect the trueshape of the relationship our empirical methodology accounts for a possible non linear relationship throughthe use of threshold cointegration techniques our results con rm the non linearity of the link between thetwo above mentioned variables pointing to the existence of an environmental kuznets curve for the spanishcase 2012 elsevier b v all rights reserved

reassessing the environmental kuznets curve for co2 emissions a robustness exercise the number of studies seeking to empirically characterize the reduced form relationship between a country economic growth and the quantity of pollutants produced in the process has recently increased significantly in several cases researchers have found evidence pointing to an inverted u benvironmental kuznetsq curve in the case of co2 however the evidence is at best mixed in this paper we reconsider that evidence by assessing how robust it is when the analysis is conducted in a different parametric setup and when using alternative emissions data from the international energy agency relative to the literature our contribution can be viewed as a robustness exercise in these two respects the econometric results lead to two conclusions firstly published evidence on the ekc does not appear to depend upon the source of the data at least as far as carbon dioxide is concerned secondly when an alternative functional form is employed there is evidence of an inverted u pattern for the group of oecd countries with reasonable turning point regardless of the data set employed not so for non oecd countries as the ekc is basically increasing slowly concave according to the iea data and more bellshaped in the case of cdiac data d 2005 elsevier b v all rights reserved

regional differences in the dynamic linkage between co2 emissions sectoral output and economic growth environmental degradation measured by co2 emissions is a significant challenge to sustainable economic development owing to significant differences in the empirical relationship between the economic growth and co2 emissions and policies adopted by different countries to overcome the challenge are not decisive this study aims to generalize our knowledge about the relationship between co2 emissions per capita and economic growth across the world for 1980 2009 periods besides it explores whether the transformation of different economies e g agrarian to industrial and industrial to sophisticated service economy over the past few decades yielded any significant positive impact towards sustainable economic development by reducing the level of co2 emission empirical results suggest that i except for high income countries environmental kuznets curve ekc is a general phenomenon across the world and ii the transformation of different economies towards a service economy has produced more pollution in high income countries and less pollution in low and middle income countries

a panel data heterogeneous bayesian estimation of environmental kuznets curves for co2 emissions this article investigates the environmental kuznets curves ekc for co2 emissions in a panel of 109 countries during the period 1959 to 2001 the length of the series makes the application of a heterogeneous estimator suitable from an econometric point of view the results based on the hierarchical bayes estimator show that different ekc dynamics are associated with the different sub samples of countries considered on average more industrialized countries show evidence of ekc in quadratic specifications which nevertheless are probably evolving into an n shape based on their cubic specification nevertheless it is worth noting that the eu and not the umbrella group led by us has been driving currently observed ekc like shapes the latter is associated to monotonic income co2 dynamics the eu shows a clear ekc shape evidence for less developed countries consistently shows that co2 emissions rise positively with income though there are some signs of an ekc analyses of future performance neverthe

energy consumption economic growth and co2 emissions in middle east and north african countries this article extends the recent findings of liu 2005 ang 2007 apergis et al 2009 and payne 2010 by implementing recent bootstrap panel unit root tests and cointegration techniques to investigate the relationship between carbon dioxide emissions energy consumption and real gdp for 12 middle east and north african countries mena over the period 1981 2005 our results show that in the long run energy consumption has a positive significant impact on co2 emissions more interestingly we show that real gdp exhibits a quadratic relationship with co2 emissions for the region as a whole however although the estimated long run coefficients of income and its square satisfy the ekc hypothesis in most studied countries the turning points are very low in some cases and very high in other cases hence providing poor evidence in support of the ekc hypothesis co2 emission reductions per capita have been achieved in the mena region even while the region exhibited economic growth over the period 1981 2005 the econometric relationships derived in this paper suggest that future reductions in co2 emissions per capita might be achieved at the same time as gdp per capita in the mena region continues to grow

longitude matters time zones and the location of foreign direct investment abstract using bilateral foreign direct investment fdi data we find that differences in time zones have a negative and significant effect on the location of fdi we show that this finding is robust across different specifications estimation methods and proxies for time zone differences time zones also have a negative effect on trade but this effect is smaller than that on fdi finally the impact of the time zone effect has increased over time suggesting that it is not likely to vanish with the introduction of new information technologies

does institutional quality matter for trade institutional conditions in a sectoral trade framework summary this article examines the extent to which national institutional quality affects bilateral sectoral trade flows as well as whether the conditioning role of institutions for trade has been waxing or waning with time based on a new trade theory framework we derive a sectoral gravity equation including novel variables corresponding to the exporter s labor competitiveness levels along with importer s price indices and sectoral incomes and analyze industry specific bilateral trade flows of 186 countries for the period 1996 2012 we address potential endogeneity and econometric drawbacks by means of the poisson pseudo maximum likelihood estimation methods the results indicate that both the institutional conditions at destination and the institutional distance between exporting and importing countries are relevant factors for bilateral trade moreover the effect associated with institutional conditions at destination moderately increases over time this is a robust outcome across economic sectors with higher values for agriculture and raw materials than for manufacturing and services

the eurasian landbridge and china s belt and road initiative demand supply of services and public policy rail links between china and europe are typically analysed in the context of china s belt and road initiative focusing on china s economic rise and the implications for international relations this paper argues that establishment of the china europe landbridge predated the bri and has been market driven as service providers identified and responded to demand for efficient freight services along pre existing railway lines governments role was trade facilitating that is reducing delays and costs at border crossing points rather than investing in hard infrastructure service providers responded by linking european and asian value chains e g in automobiles and electronic goods and reducing costs for traders shipping between china and europe the eurasian landbridge provides a case study of servicification as a component of increased trade in the twenty first century

the determinants of cross border equity flows abstract we explore a new panel data set on bilateral gross cross border equity flows between 14 countries 1989 1996 we show that a gravity model explains international transactions in financial assets at least as well as goods trade transactions gross transaction flows depend on market size in source and destination country as well as trading costs in which both information and the transaction technology play a role distance proxies some information costs and other variables explicitly represent information transmission an information asymmetry between domestic and foreign investors and the efficiency of transactions the geography of information is the main determinant of the pattern of international transactions while there is weak support in our data for the diversification motive once we control for the informational friction we broaden the scope of our results by presenting some evidence linking the results on equity transactions to equity holdings

people s opium religion and economic attitudes since max weber there has been an active debate on the impact of religion on people s economic attitudes much of the existing evidence however is based on cross country studies in which this impact is confounded by differences in other institutional factors we use the worldvalues surveys to id entify the relationship between intensity of religious beliefs and economic attitudes controlling for country fixed effects we study several economic attitudes towardcooperation the government working women legal rules thriftiness andthe market economy we also distinguish across religious denominations differentiating on whether a religion is dominant in a country we find that on average religious beliefs are associated with good economic attitudes where good is defined as conducive to higher per capita income andgrowth yet religious people tendto be more racist andless favorable with respect to working women these effects differ across religious denominations overall we find that christian religions are more positively associatedwith attitudes conducive to economic growth r 2003 elsevier science b v all rights reserved jel classification a1 e0 n4 z1

co2 emissions energy consumption trade and income a comparative analysis of china and india in order to prevent the destabilisation of the earth s biosphere co2 emissions must be reduced quickly and significantly the causes of co2 emissions by individual countries need to be apprehended in order to understand the processes required for reducing emissions around the globe china and india are the two largest transitional countries and growing economies but are in two entirely different categories in terms of structural changes in growth trade and energy use co2 emissions from the burning of fossil fuels have significantly increased in the recent past this paper compares china and india using the bounds testing approach to cointegration and the ardl methodology to test the long and short run relationships between growth trade energy use and endogenously determined structural breaks the co2 emissions in china were influenced by per capita income structural changes and energy consumption a similar causal connection cannot be established for india with regard to structural changes and co2 emissions because india s informal economy is much larger than china s india possesses an extraordinarily large number of micro enterprises that are low energy consumers and not competitive enough to reach international markets understanding these contrasting scenarios is prerequisite to reaching an international agreement on climate change affecting these two countries

environmental kuznet s curve for india evidence from tests for cointegration with unknown structuralbreaks this study revisits the cointegrating relationship between carbon emission energy use economic activity and trade openness for india using threshold cointegration tests with a view to testing the environmental kuznet s curve hypothesis in the presence of possible regime shift in long run relationship of the variables for the period 1971 to 2008 the article confirms the existence of regime shift or threshold cointegration among the variables and environmental kuznet s curve for india it challenges previous empirical works for india which fail to establish cointegrating relationship among these variables and explains its logical and econometric reasons the study finds that the carbon emission is highly elastic with respect to real per capita income and energy use in india this finding is critical and warns successful design and execution of energy and environmental policy framework which would pave the low carbon sustainable growth path inindia

investigation of the environmental kuznets curve for carbon emissions in malaysia do foreign direct investment and trade matter abstract environmental degradation has become a central issue of discussion among the economists and environmentalists in view of malaysia s position as one of the main contributors to co2 emissions in asia and its status as a fast growing economy it is vital therefore to conduct a study to identify the relationship between economic growth and co2 emissions for malaysia this study attempts to examine empirically the environmental kuznets curve hypothesis for malaysia in the presence of foreign direct investment and trade openness both in the short and long run for the period 1970 to 2008 the bounds testing approach and granger causality methodology are applied to test the interrelationships of the variables the results of our study indicate that the inverted u shaped relationship does exist between economic growth and co2 emission in both the short and long run for malaysia after controlling for two additional explanatory variables namely fdi and trade importantly the results of the study also provide some crucial policy recommendations to the policy makers

two moment decision models and expected utility maximization two moment decision models are consistent with expected utility maximization only if the choice set or the agent s preferences are restricted this paper identifies a restriction which is sufficient to ensure this consistency and confirms that it holds in many economic models the implications for economic analysis are then derived two different approaches to representing an agent s preferences over strategies yielding random payoffs are in wide use under the mean standard deviation ms approach the agent is assumed to rank the alternatives according to the value of some function defined over the first two moments of the random payoff while the expected utility eu criterion assumes that the expected value of some utility function defined over payoffs is used instead the fact that there are these two competing approaches has generated a considerable literature some authors are concerned with the advantages and disadvantages of each while others deal with conditions under which the potentially different approaches would yield the same results or at least approximately so space does not

the impact of services trade restrictiveness on trade flows this paper uses recent oecd data on services trade restrictions stri to analyse the relationship between services trade policies and cross border trade in services a standard gravity model is en

policy positions information acquisition and turnout this paper explores the relationship between policy positions information acquisition and turnout in particular information acquisition and turnout choices are characterized as a function of citizens policy positions it is found that middle of the road citizens are the most likely to both acquire political information and abstain comparative statics analysis of the information technology indicates that an increase in the effectiveness of information has a higher positive impact on information and turnout than a comparable decrease in the cost of information furthermore following a polarization information and abstention are found to increase

environmental kuznets curve in china new evidence from dynamic panel analysis this paper applies a panel of 28 provinces of china from 1996 to 2012 to study the impacts of economic development energy consumption trade openness and urbanization on the carbon dioxide waste water and waste solid emissions by estimating a dynamic panel model with the system generalized method of moments gmm estimator and an autoregressive distributed lag ardl model with alternative panel estimators respectively we find that the environmental kuznets curve ekc hypothesis is well supported for all three major pollutant emissions in china across different models and estimation methods our study also confirms positive effects of energy consumption on various pollutant emissions in addition we find some evidence that trade and urbanization may deteriorate environmental quality in the long run albeit not in the short run from policy perspective our estimation results bode well for chinese government s goal of capping greenhouse emissions by 2030 as outlined in the recent china us climate accord while containing energy consumption and harm effects from expanding trade and urbanization remains some environmental challenges that china faces

dynamic misspecification in the environmental kuznets curve evidence from co2 and so2 emissions in the united kingdom this study looks at the behaviour of emissions when in disequilibrium with respect to the environmental kuznets curve ekc relationship we use the non linear threshold cointegration and error correction methodology and a long dataset beginning in 1830 in an application to the united kingdom there is significant evidence that not only does the inverse u shape hold between per capita co 2 and so 2 emissions and gdp per capita but we also find that temporary disequilibrium from the long run ekc is corrected in an asymmetric fashion this may be due to the historical pressure of environmental regulation in the uk to reduce emissions that are higher than permitted however further analysis suggests that technological change can partially account for the asymmetric adjustment

does increasing investment in research and development promote economic growth decoupling from carbon emission growth an empirical analysis of brics countries abstract it is generally recognized that increasing research and development investment is an effective measure to promote economic and social progress an open question is if increasing research and development investment help economic growth decoupling from carbon emission this study investigates research and development investment and carbon emission in brics countries by using the fully modified ordinary least squares for empirical estimation from 1996 to 2014 the results show that every 1 increase in research and development investment carbon emissions will be decreased by 0 8122 for the brics as a whole which indicates increasing research and development investment has a positive impact on decoupling economic growth from environmental pressure for individual this impact is most significant in china weak in russia and india however it also should be noted that only increasing research and development investment cannot achieve the decoupling between economic growth and carbon emission because other factors such as economic activity industrialization and urbanization renewable energy also influences the decoupling economic growth from carbon emission the results also show that economic activity industrialization and urbanization pose negative impact on the decoupling whereas renewable energy consumption promote the decoupling

how much does geography deflect services trade canadian answers we estimate geographic barriers to trade in nine service categories for canada s provinces from 1997 to 2007 with novel high quality bilateral provincial trade data the border directly reduces average provincial trade with the united states relative to interprovincial trade to 2 4 of its borderless level incorporating multilateral resistance reduces foreign trade relative to interprovincial to 0 1 of its frictionless potential geography reduces services trade some seven times more than goods trade overall surprisingly intraprovincial local trade in services and goods is equally deflected upward implying that the border increases interprovincial trade much more in services than goods

partisan cycles in congressional elections and the macroeconomy in the postwar united states the president s party has always done worse in the midterm congressional elections than in the previous congressional election republican administrations exhibit below average and democratic administrations above average economic growth in the first half of each term whereas in the latter halves the two see equal growth our rational expectations model is consistent with these two regularities in presidential elections voters choose between two polarized candidates they then use midterm elections to counterbalance the president s policies by strengthening the opposition in congress since presidents of different parties are associated with different policies our model predicts a spurious correlation between the state of the economy and elections our predictions contrast with those of retrospective voting models in which voters reward the incumbent if the economy is doing well before the election our model performs empirically at least as well as and often better than alternative models

policy barriers to international trade in services evidence from a new database surprisingly little is known about policies that affect international trade in services previous analyses have focused on policy commitments made by countries in international agreements but in many cases these commitments do not reflect actual policy this paper describes a new initiative to collect comparable information on trade policies for services from 103 countries across a range of service sectors and relevant modes of service delivery the resulting database reveals interesting policy patterns although public monopolies are now rare and few services markets are completely closed the authors observe numerous second generation restrictions on entry ownership and operations even in instances in which there is little explicit discrimination against foreign providers market access is often unpredictable because the allocation of new licenses remains opaque and highly discretionary in many countries across regions some of the fastest growing countries in asia and the oil rich gulf states have restrictive policies in services whereas some of the poorest countries are remarkably open across sectors professional and transportation services are among the most protected industries in both industrial and developing countries whereas retail telecommunications and even finance tend to be more open

assessing income population and technology impacts on co2 emissions in canada where s the ekc abstract this study investigates the macroeconomic forces underlying carbon dioxide co2 emissions from fossil fuel use in canada in keeping with the relevant literature on environmental degradation three forces are expected to influence co2 emissions gross domestic product per capita gdp capita population and technological change while previous work has employed reduced form models that allow for non linear relationships between co2 and gdp capita it has been common practice to assume linear relationships between co2 and the latter two variables this study tests a more flexible model using a five region panel data set in canada over the period 1970 2000 findings indicate that gdp capita is unrelated to co2 that an inverted u shaped relationship exists with population and that a u shaped relationship exists with technology thus technological and population changes are supported over the commonly hypothesized environmental kuznets curve an inverted u shaped relationship between gdp capita and environmental degradation for affecting co2 emissions from fossil fuel use in canada

environmental kuznets curve hypothesis in pakistan cointegration and granger causality abstract the paper is an effort to fill the gap in the energy literature with a comprehensive country study of pakistan we investigate the relationship between co2 emissions energy consumption economic growth and trade openness in pakistan over the period of 1971 2009 bounds test for cointegration and granger causality approach are employed for the empirical analysis the result suggests that there exists a long run relationship among the variables and the environmental kuznets curve ekc hypothesis is supported the significant existence of ekc shows the country s effort to condense co2 emissions and indicates certain achievement of controlling environmental degradation in pakistan furthermore we find a one way causal relationship running from economic growth to co2 emissions energy consumption increases co2 emissions both in the short and long runs trade openness reduces co2 emissions in the long run but it is insignificant in the short run in addition the change of co2 emissions from short run to the long span of time is corrected by about 10 yearly

is there a turning point in the relationship between income and energy use and or carbon emissions abstract we analyze the effect of fuel mix model specification and the level of development on the presence and size of a turning point in the relationship between income and energy use and or carbon emissions the results indicate that fuel mix the specification for income and the level of economic development affect conclusions about whether there is a turning point in the relationship between economic activity and energy use and carbon emissions including fuel shares generally reduces the size of a turning point that is estimated from a panel that includes observations from both oecd and non oecd nations but this result varies according to the level of development for oecd nations there is limited support for a turning point in the relationship between income and per capita energy use and or carbon emissions for non oecd nations there is no turning point in the relationship between income and either energy use or carbon emissions instead the relationship is positive together the results indicate that forecasters and policy makers should not depend on a turning point in the relationship between income and energy use or carbon emissions to reduce either

natural gas consumption and economic growth the role of foreign direct investment capital formation and trade openness in malaysia the objective of this paper is to reinvestigate the relationship between natural gas consumption and economic growth by including foreign direct investment capital and trade openness in malaysia for the period of 1971 2012 the structural break unit root test is employed to investigate the stationary properties of the series we have applied combined cointegration test to examine the relationship between the variables in the long run for robustness sake the ardl bounds testing method is also employed to test for a possible long run relationship in the presence of structural breaks we note the validity of cointegration between the variables natural gas consumption foreign direct investment capital formation and trade openness have positive influence on economic growth in malaysia the results support the presence of feedback hypothesis between natural gas consumption and economic growth foreign direct investment and economic growth and natural gas consumption and foreign direct investment the policy implications of these results are provided

carbon dioxide emissions and economic growth panel data evidence from developing countries in this paper we test the environment kuznet s curve ekc hypothesis for 43 developing countries we suggest examining the ekc hypothesis based on the short and long run income elasticities that is if the long run income elasticity is smaller than the short run income elasticity then it is evident that a country has reduced carbon dioxide emissions as its income has increased our empirical analysis based on individual countries suggests that jordan iraq kuwait yemen qatar the uae argentina mexico venezuela algeria kenya nigeria congo ghana and south africa approximately 35 per cent of the sample carbon dioxide emissions have fallen over the long run that is as these economies have grown emissions have fallen since the long run income elasticity is smaller than the short run elasticity we also examine the ekc hypothesis for panels of countries constructed on the basis of regional location using the panel cointegration and the panel long run estimation techniques we find that only for the middle eastern and south asian panels the income elasticity in the long run is smaller than the short run implying that carbon dioxide emission has fallen with a rise in income

a new approach to the spatial theory of electoral competition in his unidimensional model of electoral competition downs argues that voters use party ideology as an informational short cut for forecasting the policies that a party will pursue if elected parties are perceived by voters as points on an ideological axis in the davis hinich multidimensional model on the other hand the axes are real issues and the principal actors are politicians who are modeled as points in the multi issue space this paper reformulates spatial voting theory in terms of a model that connects what we call predictive dimensions with political issues that are salient during a given election campaign this model is both a synthesis and an extension of the downs and davis hinich spatial models we obtain a median voter result for one predictive dimension that is similar to the downs result but with important differences we also obtain results showing the electoral advantage of incumbency and the tendency for incremental change when there is a great deal of heterogeneity in voter perceptions about the candidates

the effects of environmental regulation and technical progress on co2 kuznets curve an evidence from china based on environmental kuznets curve theory a panel data model which takes environmental regulation and technical progress as its moderating factors was developed to analyse the institutional and technical factors that affect the path of low carbon economic development the results indicated that there was a co2 emission kuznets curve seen in china environmental regulation had a significant moderating effect on the curve and the inflection of co2 emissions could come substantially earlier under stricter environmental regulation meanwhile the impact of technical progress on the low carbon economic development path had a longer hysteresis effect but restrained co2 emission during its increasing stage and accelerated its downward trend during the decreasing stage which was conducive to emission reduction strict environmental regulation could force the high carbon emitting industries to transfer from the eastern regions to the central or the western regions of china which would make the co2 kuznets curve higher in its increasing stage and lower in its decreasing stage than that under looser regulation furthermore energy efficiency energy structure and industrial structure exerted a significant direct impact on co2 emissions we should consider the above factors as essential in the quest for low carbon economic development

a directional theory of issue voting from stokes s 1963 early critique on it has been clear to empirical researchers that the traditional spatial theory of elections is seriously flawed yet fully a quarter century later that theory remains the dominant paradigm for understanding mass elite linkage in politics we present an alternative spatial theory of elections that we argue has greater empirical verisimilitude based on the ideas of symbolic politics the directional theory assumes that most people have a diffuse preference for a certain direction of policy making and that people vary in the intensity with which they hold those preferences we test the two competing theories at the individual level with national election study data and find the directional theory more strongly supported than the traditional spatial theory we then develop the implications of the directional theory for candidate behavior and assess the predictions in light of evidence from the u s congress

co2 emissions energy consumption and economic growth in turkey abstract this paper examines the long run and causal relationship issues between economic growth carbon emissions energy consumption and employment ratio in turkey by using autoregressive distributed lag bounds testing approach of cointegration empirical results for turkey over the period 1968 2005 suggest an evidence of a long run relationship between the variables at 5 significance level in turkey the estimated income elasticity of carbon emissions per capita is 0 606 and the income elasticity of energy consumption per capita is 1 375 results for the existence and direction of granger causality show that neither carbon emissions per capita nor energy consumption per capita cause real gdp per capita but employment ratio causes real gdp per capita in the short run in addition ekc hypothesis at causal framework by using a linear logarithmic model is not valid in turkish case the overall results indicates that energy conservation policies such as rationing energy consumption and controlling carbon dioxide emissions are likely to have no adverse effect on the real output growth of turkey

environmental kuznets curve for carbon emissions in pakistan an empirical investigation this study investigates the relationship between carbon emissions income energy consumption and foreign trade in pakistan for the period 1972 2008 by employing the johansen method of cointegration the study finds that there is a quadratic long run relationship between carbon emissions and income confirming the existence of environmental kuznets curve for pakistan moreover both energy consumption and foreign trade are found to have positive effects on emissions the short run results have however denied the existence of the environmental kuznets curve the short run results are unique to the existing literature in the sense that none of the long run determinants of emissions is significant the contradictory results of short and long run give policy makers the opportunity to formulate different types of growth policies for the two terms taking environmental issues into consideration in addition the uni directional causality from growth to energy consumption suggests that the policy makers should not only focus on forecasting future demand for energy with different growth scenarios but also on obtaining the least cost energy furthermore the absence of causality from emissions to growth suggests that pakistan can curb its carbon emissions without disturbing its economic growth

the environmental kuznets curve ekc theory part b critical issues according to the environmental kuznets curve ekc theory the process of economic growth is expected to limit the environmental degradation created in the early stages of development the first article of this study reviews the empirical studies examining various factors other than income that may lead to an ekc pattern the current article reviews in the first part the major critiques on the ekc speculation which relate to the following issues the normal distribution of world income the feedback from environmental degradation to economic growth the characteristics of the pollutant in question various econometric issues the evolution of consumption when income rises and the assumption about a common developmental pattern in all countries the second part discusses additional matters reported indirectly in the literature and or must be further examined there are doubts whether the gdp series captures the transition of production to the three productive sectors in empirical estimations and whether services are less polluting compared to industry activities finally the original kuznets theory which laid the groundwork for the ekc concept does not seem to solve income inequality problems

determinants of democracy a panel study of over 100 countries from 1960 to 1995 finds that improvements in the standard of living predict increase in democracy as measured by a subjective indicator of electoral rights the propensity for democracy rises with per capita gdp primary schooling and a smaller gap between male and female primary attainment for a given standard of living democaracy tends to fall with urbnization and with a greater reliance on natrual resources democracy has little relation to country size but rises with the middle class share of income the apparently strong relation of democracy to colonial heritage mostly disappears when the economic variables are held constant similarly the allowance for these economic variables weakens the interplay between democracy and religious affiliation however negative effects from muslim and non religious affiliations remain intact

impact of natural gas consumption on co 2 emissions panel data evidence from china s provinces abstract this study utilizes 1995 2014 panel data of the 30 provinces in china to investigate the existence of the environmental kuznets curve ekc for carbon dioxide co 2 emissions in china the potential impact of natural gas consumption on co 2 emissions is also analyzed according to the panel fully modified ordinary least squares fmols and panel dynamic ols dols estimation results in the long run an inverted u shaped ekc link exists between per capita co 2 emissions and per capita gross domestic product gdp in the panel fmols model and panel dols model with 99 261 yuan and 59 159 yuan for per capita gdp the ekc of china will reach its peak by around 2029 or 2019 respectively furthermore natural gas consumption has a significant negative impact on co 2 emissions which indicates that 1 increase in natural gas consumption for the panel fmols model and panel dols model will decrease co 2 emissions by 0 033627 or 0 054914 respectively at the provincial level provinces in which the ekc hypothesis holds are predominantly concentrated in central and eastern china and the energy consumption structure share of natural gas in total energy consumption may affect the occurrence of a significant negative impact of natural gas consumption on co 2 emissions another finding of this study is that both the existence of ekc and the occurrence of a positive negative impact of natural gas consumption on co 2 emissions are independent of the individual provincial per capita gdp

environment kuznets curve for co2 emissions a cointegration analysis for china abstract this study examines the long run relationship between carbon emissions and energy consumption income and foreign trade in the case of china by employing time series data of 1975 2005 in particular the study aims at testing whether environmental kuznets curve ekc relationship between co 2 emissions and per capita real gdp holds in the long run or not auto regressive distributed lag ardl methodology is employed for empirical analysis a quadratic relationship between income and co 2 emission has been found for the sample period supporting ekc relationship the results of granger causality tests indicate one way causality runs through economic growth to co 2 emissions the results of this study also indicate that the carbon emissions are mainly determined by income and energy consumption in the long run trade has a positive but statistically insignificant impact on co 2 emissions

economic growth and co2 emissions in malaysia a cointegration analysis of the environmental kuznets curve this paper attempts to establish a long run as well as causal relationship between economic growth and carbon dioxide co2 emissions for malaysia using data for the years from 1980 to 2009 the environmental kuznets curve ekc hypothesis was tested utilizing the auto regressive distributed lag ardl methodology the empirical results suggest the existence of a long run relationship between per capita co2 emissions and real per capita gross domestic product gdp when the co2 emissions level is the dependent variable we found an inverted u shape relationship between co2 emissions and gdp in both short and long run thus supporting the ekc hypothesis the granger causality test based on the vector error correction model vecm presents an absence of causality between co2 emissions and economic growth in the short run while demonstrating uni directional causality from economic growth to co2 emissions in the long run

decomposition of co2 emissions over 1980 2003 in turkey abstract there is a multi dimensional need for studying the energy situation in turkey and to obtain insight into the development of co2 emissions on the one hand recent projections of the oecd show that turkey has a yearly gdp growth potential of over 7 on the other hand recent projections of undp and world bank indicate that the level of co2 emission is going to rise six fold by 2025 with respect to the level of emissions in 1990 it is a great challenge to both meet the growth target and keep the co2 under control thereupon this paper tries to unfold factors that explain co2 emissions by undertaking a complete decomposition analysis for turkey over the period 1980 2003 the analysis shows as is common to relatively fast growing economies that the biggest contributor to the rise in co2 emissions is the expansion of the economy scale effect the carbon intensity and the change in composition of the economy which nearly move in tandem also contribute to the rise in co2 emissions albeit at a slower rate the energy intensity of the economy which is decreasing is responsible for a modest reduction in co2 emissions hence in congruence with the scale effect a decoupling of carbon emissions and economic growth is not found in turkey over the period 1980 2003

a spatial analysis of candidate competition in dual member districts the 1989 chilean senatorial elections this study uses empirical spatial theory to evaluate candidate and voter behavior in senate elections contested during the 1989 chilean general election the study evaluates whether senatorial candidates competing in dual member districts under chilean d hondt locate near the periphery or interior of the electoral space spatial analyses demonstrate the chilean senatorial electoral system is characterized by centrifugal forces in particular candidates of the right locate on the periphery of the space and face few incentives to pursue moderate electoral strategies the study also characterizes bases of party and candidate support and the underlying dimensions of political competition spatial analysis reveals both change and continuity in the pre and post authoritarian electoral universes

environmental kuznets curve time series application for turkey why controversial results exist for similar models abstract this paper investigates the environmental kuznets curve ekc hypothesis using 40 year spanned time series for the turkey case co 2 emission series representing environmental pressure and gdp per capita values representing economic development are used for the period 1968 2007 a cointegration has been determined among nonstationary series first phases of an inverted u form ekc relationship have been determined for turkey from the econometric estimations this result is conflicting with that of the similar models for turkey case on the other hand this conflict refers the important arguments in the literature and constitutes the main points of the paper sensitivity critiques for example ahking et al for cointegration tests johansen and engle granger tests have been supported in our study moreover we detected important diversion in results according to drift and trend assumptions both in ci vector and ekc model specifications we conclude that building ekc model according to cointegration ci equation restrictions can be important source for diversion when sensitivity exists in estimations and cointegration tests therefore ekc estimations should be held in non restrictive way the additional structural reasons have been also discussed for developing country ekc cases the most important one is that the narrow income sample of developing countries makes it possible to be defined by similar but different paths therefore policy implications to be drawn from those analyses should not ignore this feature of developing country analyses

co2 emissions energy consumption and economic growth in china a panel data analysis this paper examines the causal relationships between carbon dioxide emissions energy consumption and real economic output using panel cointegration and panel vector error correction modeling techniques based on the panel data for 28 provinces in china over the period 1995 2007 our empirical results show that co2 emissions energy consumption and economic growth have appeared to be cointegrated moreover there exists bidirectional causality between co2 emissions and energy consumption and also between energy consumption and economic growth it has also been found that energy consumption and economic growth are the long run causes for co2 emissions and co2 emissions and economic growth are the long run causes for energy consumption the results indicate that china s co2 emissions will not decrease in a long period of time and reducing co2 emissions may handicap china s economic growth to some degree some policy implications of the empirical results have finally been proposed

has the internet increased trade developed and developing country evidence developing countries export more to developed but not other developing countries when internet penetration is higher although this could be because internet penetration stimulates exports it could also be because trade openness encourages internet use to test the direction of causation we allow internet use to be determined endogenously using countries regulation of data services as an instrument the results suggest that access to the internet does improve export performance in developing countries although not in developed countries in other words improving internet access in a developing country will stimulate exports from that country to rich countries jel f15

the variable choice set logit model applied to the 2004 canadian election formal work on the electoral model often suggests that parties should locate at the electoral mean recent research has found no evidence of such convergence in order to explain non convergence the stochastic electoral model is extended by including a competence and sociodemographic valance in a country where regional and national parties compete in the election that is the model allows voters to face different sets of parties in different regions we introduce the notion of a convergence coefficient c for regional and national parties and show that when c is high there is a significant centrifugal tendency acting on parties an electoral survey of the 2004 election in canada is used to construct a stochastic electoral model of the election with two regions quebec and the rest of canada the survey allows us to estimate voter positions in the policy space the variable choice set logit model is used to built a relationship between party position and vote share we find that in the local nash equilibrium for the election the two main parties with high competence valence the liberals and conservatives locate at the national electoral mean and the bloc quebecois with the highest competence valence locates at the quebec electoral mean the new democratic party has a low competence valence but remains at the national mean the greens with lowest competence valence locate away from the national mean to increase its vote share

regional liberalisation of trade in services this paper investigates quantitatively the trade enhancing effect of regional trade agreements rtas under the general agreement on trade in services article v services rtas by applying a gravity regression analysis to four major services sectors financial business communication and transportation services while controlling for both country specific and time varying importer and exporter fixed effects the regression analysis covers bilateral imports in services consisting of 20 986 country pairs in total over six years 2000 05 our results indicate that sector specific trade creating effects of services rtas are significantly positive without incurring trade diverting effects excluding transportation services moreover we find that there is a significant cumulative effect of services rtas excluding communication services and a complementary relationship between goods and services imports in addition the trade creating effect of services rtas is stronger between developed members compared with between developed and developing countries

does natural gas consumption mitigate co2 emissions testing the environmental kuznets curve hypothesis for 14 asia pacific countries abstract this study aims to investigate the nexus of per capita carbon dioxide co2 emissions per capita gross domestic product gdp and per capita natural gas consumption by examining the validity of the environmental kuznets curve ekc hypothesis and analyzing the effectiveness of natural gas consumption for a panel of 14 asia pacific countries for 1970 2016 to do so a granger causality framework covering panel unit root cointegration estimation and causality tests allowing for cross sectional dependence is employed the main findings are i the augmented mean group amg estimates provide strong evidence in favor of the ekc hypothesis as the ekc holds in 13 of the 14 countries the ekc exists independent of the individual country s per capita gdp ii the turning points tps lie between 1937 23 bangladesh and 58 235 90 australia while the turning years tys are estimated to stay between 2019 australia and 2048 bangladesh per capita gdp positively and negatively affects the tps and tys respectively iii natural gas consumption has a significantly negative effect on co2 emissions the significantly negative effect of natural gas consumption on co2 emissions is also independent of per capita gdp but conversely may be affected by the proportion of natural gas in the primary energy mix and iv bidirectional causality runs between natural gas consumption and co2 emissions in both the short run and long run important policy implications are highlighted for asia pacific countries policymakers with respect to halting global warming and promoting growth in the natural gas industry

estimating the environment kuznets curve hypothesis evidence from latin america and the caribbean countries this study explores the effect of economic growth gdp renewable energy consumption re and financial development fd on co2 emission co2 in latin america and caribbean countries to achieve this goal a panel co2 model was built over the period 1980 2010 the kao cointegration test results revealed that the variables are cointegrated the fully modified ols fmols results indicated an inverted u shape relationship between co2 and gdp thus confirming the environmental kuznets curve hypothesis furthermore fmols results also revealed that fd can improve environmental quality by its negative long run effect on co2 however re has no long run effect on co2 indicating that the re does not contribute to co2 reduction the vecm granger causality results revealed feedback causality between gdp re fd and co2 in both short and long run additionally granger causality results also revealed that re gdp and fd can be a good solution to reduce environmental damage since they have a causal effect on co2 this study shows the investigated countries should increase their banking loans on green energy energy efficiency and energy saving projects to reduce environmental damage in addition the above recommendation can increase the contribution of renewable energy in reducing environmental damage

regulatory barriers to trade in services a new database and composite indices this paper presents new data on services trade regulation for 46 countries in 22 services sectors over 6 years 2014 2019 the data consist of qualitative information which is scored and weighted to produce composite indices they cover market access and national treatment restrictions with respect to all gats modes of supply but also behind the border domestic regulation such as licensing non transparent regulatory procedures and competition policy the database is updated annually the trade restrictiveness indices stris are significantly correlated with services trade flows but also with the performance of the sectors subject to the restrictions including logistics performance indicators interest spreads density of atms and secure servers broadband penetration and outcomes such as legal rights and the time to resolve insolvency

investigating the environmental kuznets curve hypothesis in vietnam this study investigates the existence of the environmental kuznets curve ekc hypothesis in vietnam during the period 1981 2011 to realize the goals of this study a pollution model was established applying the autoregressive distributed lag ardl methodology the results revealed that the pollution haven hypothesis does exist in vietnam because capital increases pollution in addition imports also increase pollution which indicates that most of vietnam s imported products are energy intensive and highly polluted however exports have no effect on pollution which indicates that the level of exports is not significant enough to affect pollution moreover fossil fuel energy consumption increases pollution while renewable energy consumption has no significant effect in reducing pollution furthermore labor force reduces pollution since most of vietnam s labor force is in the agricultural and services sectors which are less energy intensive than the industrial sector based on the obtained results the ekc hypothesis does not exist because the relationship between gdp and pollution is positive in both the short and long run

the turning points of carbon kuznets curve evidences from panel and time series data of 164 countries with the dramatic economic development global warming caused by carbon emission has become increasingly serious and carbon emission reduction therefore comes to be the principle in most countries turning point tp which represents carbon emission turns from increasing to decreasing tendency with the economic growth has become a major focus of political and academic concern however previous studies on tp were contextualized only in individual countries or regions but barely from a global perspective which are insufficient for solving the carbon emission as a global issue therefore this study aims to provide a global picture of the carbon emissions by identifying the tps of 164 countries and five panel groups i e global high income upper middle income lower middle income and low income levels in the world and the patterns of them the results show that 123 individual countries and all the five panel groups accept the carbon kuznets curve ckc hypothesis then the tps of them are identified in particular three close correlations are identified throughout the study 1 the proportion of the ckc hypothesis and income level i e the higher income level the larger proportion of countries meeting the ckc hypothesis 2 the tps and income level i e the higher income level the higher tp and 3 the turning years and income level i e the higher income level the shorter turning years the identified tps in this study provide valuable references for not only individual countries but also countries at different income levels to tailor their strategies and policies to finally achieve global carbon emission reduction

the impact of growth energy and financial development on the environment in china a cointegration analysis this article aims to investigate the impact of financial development economic growth and energy consumption on environmental pollution in china from 1953 to 2006 using the autoregressive distributed lag ardl bounds testing procedure the main objective is to examine the long run equilibrium relationship between financial development and environmental pollution the results of the analysis reveal a negative sign for the coefficient of financial development suggesting that financial development in china has not taken place at the expense of environmental pollution on the contrary it is found that financial development has led to a decrease in environmental pollution it is concluded that carbon emissions are mainly determined by income energy consumption and trade openness in the long run moreover the findings confirm the existence of an environmental kuznets curve in the case of china

estimating the gravity model without gravity using panel data this article examines the effects of zero trade on the estimation of the gravity model using both simulated and real data with a panel structure which is different from the more conventional cross sectional structure we begin by showing that the usual log linear estimation method can result in highly deceptive inference when some observations are zero as an alternative approach we suggest using the poisson fixed effects estimator this approach eliminates the problems of zero trade controls for heterogeneity across countries and is shown to perform well in small samples

room for improvement in low carbon economies of g7 and brics countries based on the analysis of energy efficiency and environmental kuznets curves abstract carbon emissions which are nowadays targeted for significant reduction cause global warming with climate change producing a series of side effects including economic losses and ecological extinction the data envelopment analysis approach has recently been employed for environmental estimations the target of this study is to introduce a new data envelopment analysis method in order to provide environmental improvement suggestions this study measures the room for improvements in low carbon economies of g7 group and brics group based on the analysis of energy efficiency and environmental kuznets curves the main findings are as follows i the g7 group has greater room for improvement in its carbonization value than the brics group before 2005 however the latter has greater room for improvement in carbonization value than the former after 2005 ii countries with the backfire effect of a high carbon economy include germany italy and south africa iii during the data period three environmental kuznets curves including energy intensity emission intensity and carbonization value do not satisfy the environmental kuznets curve hypothesis that the curves are inverted u shaped on the contrary the three environmental kuznets curves in this study are u shaped

time zones matter the impact of distance and time zones on services trade given the need for proximity in the provision of many services factors such as geographical distance place a higher cost burden on the delivery of services in foreign markets as compared to goods trade in addition differences in time zones add significantly to the costs of service transactions decomposing the impact of distance into a longitudinal and latitudinal component and accounting for differences in time zones it is possible to identify in detail the factors driving the impact of increasing coordination costs on the delivery of services through foreign affiliates working with a bilateral us data set on foreign affiliate sales in services this paper examines the impact of time zone differences and east west and north south distance on us outward affiliate sales by employing a hausman taylor model for services trade by foreign affiliates both distance components as well as time zone differences have a significant positive effect on foreign affiliate sales by decomposing the effect of distance the results show that increasing east west or north south distance by 100 km raises affiliates sales by 2 per cent regarding time zone differences the findings suggest that affiliate sales increase as hourly time zone differences get larger

a structural model of turnout and voting in multiple elections this paper develops a unified approach to study participation and voting in multiple elections the theoretical setting combines an uncertain voter model of turnout with a spatial model of voting behavior we apply our framework to the study of turnout and voting in u s presidential and congressional elections we structurally estimate the model using individual level data for the 2000 elections and quantify the relationships between observed individual characteristics and unobserved citizens ideological preferences information and civic duty we then use the estimated model which replicates the patterns of abstention selective abstention split ticket voting and straight ticket voting observed in the data to assess the effects of policies that may increase citizens information and sense of civic duty on their turnout and voting behavior

the internet and international trade in services the scope for growth of trade in services is vast although services currently make up over 60 percent of world production they account for only about 20 percent of world trade a primary reason why international trade in services has been limited is that the performance of many services necessitates physical contact between producers and consumers a condition that renders service provision to distant locations infeasible new technology in particular the internet provides a medium of exchange that overcomes such historical trading hurdles for many services effectively reducing transport costs from infinity to virtually nothing there is ample anecdotal evidence that the internet is having just this sort of an effect on services trade the accounting firm netlink maintains the books for 6 000 employees in reyanosa mexico from their offices in manhattan infosys of india provides softwareconsulting services to international clients including apple computers lucent technologies and microsoft a medical transcription company in south africa its receives digital recordings from abroad electronically and returns a transcribed text file the next day still the question remains as to whether electronic sharing of information is an important enough development to alter significantly the geography of service provision indeed many services need to be tailored to the consumer s needs and monitored for quality and these are likely to be more effective if the provider is close by and speaks the same language in addition in the event of a dispute resolution will be less complicated if both parties are subject to the same legal system finally there may be security concerns with allowing foreign access to some documents or systems thus for some services especially those where familiarity communication and non standardization contribute to quality the internet would not be expected to have a large impact on international trade to determine whether the internet has significantly affected international service provision in practice we estimate a general model of services trade across countries and examine whether the inclusion of data on internet penetration as measured by the number of internet hosts in a country is statistically significant overall our results offer evidence that the internet is related to growth in services trade after controlling for gdp and exchange rate movements we find that a 10 percent increase in internet penetration in a foreign country is associated with about a 1 7 percentage point increase in export growth and a 1 1 percentagepoint increase in import growth the results are robust to a number of alternative specifications

an ekc pattern in historical perspective carbon dioxide emissions technology fuel prices and growth in sweden 1870 1997 the environmental kuznets curve ekc has been subject to research and debate since the early 1990s this articleexamines the inverted u trajectory of swedish co2 emissions during an extended time

econometric analysis of trade exports imports energy consumption and co2 emission in six regions abstract the aim of this study is to explore the bi directional long run relationship between trade energy consumption trade co 2 emission exports energy consumption exports co 2 emission imports energy consumption and imports co 2 emission 189 countries from six different regions namely asia pacific eastern europe the americas middle east and north africa mena sub saharan africa ssa and western europe were selected the panel fully modified ols fmols was utilized taking the period of 1990 2011 the panel results show that all the regions excluding eastern europe show a long run positive relationship between the trade variables energy consumption and between the trade variable co 2 emission however at the country level the results reveal that the feedback long run positive relationship between the trade variables energy consumption and co 2 emission takes place in most cases when the share of trade of goods and services to gdp is significant and the level of the countries development is high however the negative or the non significant long run relationship between the variables takes place generally in countries when the trade variables do not play a large share in their gdp and when these countries are in early development stages

losing sleep at the market the daylight saving anomaly reply motivated by the recent flurry of activity in sleep research this paper explores the connection between sleep disruptions following spring and fall clock shifts associated with daylight savings time and equity returns it is shown that the weekend effect in the form of the lower than expected friday to monday returns is particularly pronounced for the two weekends involving daylight savings clock changes this abstract was borrowed from another version of this item