investigating preferences for dynamic electricity tariffs the effect of environmental and system benefit disclosure dynamic electricity pricing can produce efficiency gains in the electricity sector and help achieve energy policy goals such as increasing electric system reliability and supporting renewable energy deployment retail electric companies can offer dynamic pricing to residential electricity customers via smart meter enabled tariffs that proxy the cost to procure electricity on the wholesale market current investments in the smart metering necessary to implement dynamic tariffs show policy makers resolve for enabling responsive demand and realizing its benefits however despite these benefits and the potential bill savings these tariffs can offer adoption among residential customers remains at low levels using a choice experiment approach this paper seeks to determine whether disclosing the environmental and system benefits of dynamic tariffs to residential customers can increase adoption although sampling and design issues preclude wide generalization we found that our environmentally conscious respondents reduced their required discount to switch to dynamic tariffs around 10 in response to higher awareness of environmental and system benefits the perception that shifting usage is easy to do also had a significant impact indicating the potential importance of enabling technology perhaps the targeted communication strategy employed by this study is one way to increase adoption and achieve policy goals

a review of wta wtp studies abstract willingness to accept wta is usually substantially higher than willingness to pay wtp these constructs have been studied for roughly 30 years and with a wide variety of goods this paper reviews those studies we find that the less the good is like an ordinary market good the higher is the ratio the ratio is highest for non market goods next highest for ordinary private goods and lowest for experiments involving forms of money a generalization of this pattern holds even when we account for differences in survey design ordinary goods have lower ratios than non ordinary ones we also find that ratios in real experiments are not significantly different from hypothetical experiments and that incentive compatible elicitation yields higher ratios

assessment of public acceptance and willingness to pay for renewable energy sources in crete abstract the aim of this study is to analyse and to evaluate the citizens public acceptance and willingness to pay wtp for renewable energy sources res in crete for this purpose a contingent valuation study was conducted using a double bound dichotomous choice format to elicit people s wtp and factors affecting it residents of 1440 households all over crete were interviewed face to face major conclusions can be used as a basis for sustainable energy planning for policies and the formulation of awareness campaigns and for res investment programs and projects in order to prepare implementation conditions and enhance public acceptance of renewable energy investments and programmes mean wtp per household was found to be 16 33 to be paid quarterly as an additional charge on the electricity bill larger willingness to pay was reported by those with high family income and residence size those having a higher level of energy information and awareness concerning climatic change those who have invested in some energy saving measures and those who suffer from more electricity shortages than others

electricity outages in ghana are contingent valuation estimates valid african countries experience persistent and serious energy outages but while multiple valuation studies provide estimates of the costs of electricity outages in high income countries evidence is scarce for lower and middle income countries the few studies that assess the value of reliable energy supply rely on the contingent valuation method that is under wide scrutiny this paper aims to provide new estimates of households willingness to pay to reduce electricity outages for ghana and contributes to the debate on the validity of contingent valuation results for energy reliability our results suggest that households are willing to pay ghs 67 17 per month for reliable electricity supply equivalent to 7 of respondents income the results of tests for hypothetical bias wtp wta disparity and income effects suggest that the contingent valuation estimates from this study are robust and can support decision makers in prioritizing energy policies and investments

modelling heterogeneity in response behaviour towards a sequence of discrete choice questions a probabilistic decision process model there is a growing body of evidence in the non market valuation literature suggesting that responses to a sequence of discrete choice questions tend to violate the assumptions typically made by analysts regarding independence of responses and stability of preferences decision processes or heuristics such as value learning and strategic misrepresentation have been offered as explanations for these results while a few studies have tested these heuristics as competing hypotheses none has investigated the possibility that each explains the response behaviour of a subgroup of the population in this paper we make a contribution towards addressing this research gap by presenting a probabilistic decision process model designed to estimate the proportion of respondents employing defined heuristics we demonstrate the model on binary and multinomial choice data sources and find three distinct types of response behaviour the results suggest that accounting for heterogeneity in response behaviour may be a better way forward than attempting to identify a single heuristic to explain the behaviour of all respondents

choice experiment study on the willingness to pay to improve electricity services abstract modern forms of energy are an important vehicle towards poverty alleviation in rural areas of developing countries most developing countries households rely heavily on wood fuel which impacts on their health and socio economic status to ease such a dependency other modern forms of energy namely electricity need to be provided however the quality of the electricity service namely reliability is an important factor in reducing this dependency this paper discusses a choice experiment valuation study conducted among electrified rural households located in kisumu kenya in which the willingness to pay wtp to avoid power outages or blackouts was estimated a mixed logit estimation was applied to identify the various socio economic and demographic characteristics which determine preferences in reducing power outages among a household s users in conclusion several of the socio economic and demographic characteristics outlined in this paper were identified and can assist service differentiation to accommodate the diverse households preferences towards the improvement of the electricity service

the importance of incorporating reliability of supply criteria in a regulatory system of electricity distribution an empirical analysis for austria abstract grid tariffs are the main source of income for distribution system operators dsos reductions of tariffs increase the cost pressure on dsos assuming they work efficiently tariff reductions potentially lead to a decrease of the electricity system s quality if no reliability of supply criteria are incorporated in the regulatory system our statistical analysis shows that the correlation between grid tariffs and electricity supply interruptions in a regulatory regime neglecting this incorporation is significant and that furthermore decreasing tariffs harm the reliability of supply even in the short run our econometric analysis of the influence of tariffs on reliability of supply shows a significant correlation between the grid tariffs and the duration of power outages in the austrian electricity grid an annual average interruption duration per installed capacity of a specific grid increases ceteris paribus by 1 36 min if the grid tariff of this specific grid is decreased in the previous year by 1 mwh

valuing the reliability of the electrical power infrastructure a two stage hedonic approach the reliability of electrical power supply is amongst the conditions that inform house purchase decisions in all urban areas reliability depends in part on the conditions of the power generation and distribution infrastructures involved and in part on environmental conditions its value to homeowners may be capitalised into the value of the house in this paper a hedonic pricing approach is used to estimate the capitalised value of the reliability offered by distribution infrastructures and the environmental conditions with which they interact in phoenix arizona a first stage estimates the impact of infrastructure and environmental conditions on reliability in a second stage the capitalised value of reliability from the marginal willingness to pay for reliability revealed by house purchase decisions is estimated and used to infer the value of both infrastructural characteristics and environmental conditions

determinants and policy implications for household electricity saving behaviour evidence from beijing china this research sets out to explore the possibilities for further saving in household electricity consumption through a study of the residents willingness and behavioural characteristics in electricity saving as applied within a chinese context based on an extensive literature review the authors argue that economic benefits policy and social norms and past experience may have a positive correlation with household electricity saving behaviour while the discomfort caused by electricity saving activities may exert a negative effect on it through a sample of 816 randomly selected residents in beijing the propositions are examined using logit regression analysis the conclusions support the ideas concerning both the positive influence of economic benefits policy and social norms and past experience as they affect broader electricity saving behaviour and the negative influence of the discomfort caused by electricity saving activities finally some inferences are drawn and suggestions are offered for policy makers and further studies

steady state of energy feedbacks and leverages for promoting or preventing sustainable energy system development abstract while energy demand has been growing over the last few decades and is projected to keep expanding the current energy system is pushing biophysical source and sink limits at the same time growing demand for energy globally is associated with an expansion of welfare to avoid undesired environmental and social implications of energy developments in the long run a systemic understanding of the dynamics promoting or preventing sustainable energy development is needed departing from daly s steady state economics theory this study conceptualizes a sustainable energy system using a systems thinking approach efficiency increase the central element of daly s theory defined as the service throughput ratio is put in the center of a conceptual analysis of a sustainable energy system and is carefully scrutinized meadows leverage points concept is used to facilitate an analysis of different policies that aim at promoting sustainable energy system development this study concludes that energy policies always need to be explored as part of the broader causality structure into which they are embedded otherwise their impacts on other variables in the system may be overlooked such as in the case of efficiency increase which is shown to have undesired side effects for the development of a sustainable energy system

are small firms willing to pay for improved power supply evidence from a contingent valuation study in india abstract this paper provides new estimates on indian small scale manufacturing firms willingness to pay wtp for reliable power supply almost half of indian manufacturing lies in the small scale sector and its productivity is severely affected by power outages however there is a surprising paucity of research on small firms wtp for avoiding outages we conduct a double bounded dichotomous choice contingent valuation experiment with a random sample of 260 small scale firms in the region around hyderabad we find that on average firms are willing to pay approximately 20 more for uninterrupted power supply the wtp estimates and the explanatory factors for the firms decisions were tested for robustness using both probit and bivariate probit models in addition a two step heckman correction was used to control for selection bias induced by protest responses our results are vital to understand behavior of small firms which are crucial to india s economic growth further the government s continued emphasis on power sector reforms makes the paper even more important as it provides realistic estimates for designing tariffs while keeping in mind the preferences of the small scale industry

valuing smart meters abstract this paper assesses to what extent consumers are willing to make use of the features and capabilities offered by smart meters via a choice experiment households are offered the choice between a set of smart meters described by six attributes impact on the comfort and privacy level functionality visibility cost savings and investment outlay we estimate a main effects conditional logit model and a main effects random parameter logit model including interactions with socio demographic characteristics the results show that households have heterogeneous preferences for some attributes but not for others the estimates are used to assess marginal willingness to pay values from a policy perspective our findings suggest that sufficient effort should be devoted to designing the smart metering devices and to informing households without careful preparation a mandatory or voluntary roll out of smart meters risks to be unsuccessful because device characteristics do not meet consumer needs

the value of continuous power supply for flemish households abstract this paper estimates the willingness to pay accept wtp wta of flemish households for continuous power supply based on a stated preference approach the data were collected via a choice experiment and were then used to estimate a main effects conditional logit model and a random parameter logit model with interaction effects and correlated preferences power outages are characterized by 6 attributes annual frequency duration peak or off peak announced or unannounced winter or summer and invoice impact all estimates have the expected sign the results are used to assess the marginal wtp wta for each of these attributes overall the outcome suggests that flemish households have heterogeneous preferences regarding power outage attributes and that due to a status quo bias only a relatively small share of them is willing to switch to a lower reliability level if this would be compensated by a bill discount

preference heterogeneity in energy discrete choice experiments a review on methods for model selection abstract discrete choice experiments are increasingly utilized to inform policy makers in various fields in energy on consumer preferences and willingness to pay values when translating the results into policy recommendations it is often difficult for non experts to understand the underlying implications of different models and associated behavioral assumptions in this paper i review proposed methods to compare the two most frequently applied models the random parameters logit model and the latent class logit model and investigate the challenges in and implications of model choice for policy makers and practitioners as an example application i use data from a discrete choice experiment on private households preferences for electricity supply quality in hyderabad india the procedures used in the comparative analysis measures of fit tests for non nested models kernel density estimates of conditional willingness to pay values and choice probabilities emphasize the difficulties in finding the correct model the methods presented here can be readily used by other researchers to better understand model performance which ultimately contributes to improving model choice in applied energy research

does it matter when a power outage occurs a choice experiment study on the willingness to pay to avoid power outages using a choice experiment survey the marginal willingness to pay wtp among swedish households for reductions in power outages is estimated the results from the random parameter logit estimation indicate that the marginal wtp increases with the duration of the outages and is higher if the outages occur during weekends and during winter months moreover the random parameter logit model allows us to estimate a sample distribution of wtp and we find a significant unobserved heterogeneity in some of the outage attributes given that households have negative welfare effects from outages it is important that policy makers consider these negative impacts on household utility when regulating the swedish electricity market

the willingness to pay by households for improved reliability of electricity service in north cyprus abstract this research examines households willingness to pay wtp for an improved electricity service households wtp is estimated using the payment ladder contingent valuation cv data from 350 in person interviews in north cyprus in order to avoid the cost of outages households are willing to incur a 13 8 increase in their monthly electricity bill a cost benefit analysis cba indicates that the annualized economic benefits of improved reliability of the electricity service would be approximately usd 35 6 million for the residential sector this figure is more than enough to finance the investments needed to completely eradicate any electricity outages in addition the fuel savings from substituting the generation of the new plants for the old plants would yield about usd 32 9 million per year in fuel savings hence a change from the current low reliability policy to one of providing a high quality service would yield an economic net present value to the residents of north cyprus of twice the investment costs or usd 173 3 million within five years

response bias in a conjoint analysis of power outages abstract a methodology is proposed for estimating status quo effects resistance to change and loss aversion willingness to pay is less than willingness to accept from consumer survey data conjoint data on israeli households attitudes to electricity outages reveal that both of these effects are pronounced and that they depend on the interviewees characteristics ordered conditional logit estimation indicates that while the estimates are rank sensitive the suggested methodology continues to be applicable finally the conjoint estimates are compared with those obtained by applying the method of contingent valuation

households willingness to pay for water service attributes water consumption and disposal are often taken for granted as essential services with required levels of service quality yet little is known about how much consumers are willing to pay for specific service levels as customers in many countries face changing levels of water availability especially shortages linked possibly to climate change and limited catchment capacity the need to assess the value and hence benefit to society of varying service levels and prices in an effort to secure the provision of and disposal of water has risen on public agendas in an attempt to establish how much customers are willing to pay for specific levels of service we use a series of stated choice experiments and mixed logit models to establish the willingness to pay to avoid interruptions in water service and overflows of wastewater differentiated by the frequency timing and duration of these events the empirical evidence is an important input into the regulatory process for establishing service levels and tariffs as well as useful planning information for agencies charged with finding cost effective ways of delivering services at prices that customers deem to be value for money

households willingness to pay for reliable electricity services in ghana abstract access to reliable electricity is important in increasing the living standards of households and promoting sustainable development however ghanaian households have had to grapple with frequent power outages and poor quality electricity services in recent times this study examines the factors influencing households willingness to pay for reliable electricity services in ghana using data collected from 950 households in the cape coast metropolitan area and the tobit regression technique it was revealed that monthly income prior notice on power outages business ownership separate meter ownership household size and education significantly affect willingness to pay for reliable electricity services on the average households were prepared to pay 44 percent gh 6 80 us 3 42 more relative to the mean monthly electricity bill in the sample to improve electricity services it is envisaged that the findings would be used by policy makers and utility companies to make electricity generation and distribution more sustainable and efficient

determinants of the price premium for green energy evidence from an oecd cross section using data from a survey of households in 11 oecd countries this paper investigates the determinants of preferences for a completely green residential electricity system three important questions are addressed i how much are households willing to pay to use only renewable energy ii does willingness to pay wtp vary significantly across household groups and countries and iii what drives the decision to enter the hypothetical market for green energy and given entry what drives the level of wtp the analysis here differs from previous studies on green energy in two ways first data and analyses are comparable across countries and second a comprehensive attempt is made to understand 0 wtp and to accommodate using a censored quantile regression cqr framework unobserved heterogeneity the survey data indicate a low wtp at 11 12 of current electric bill this study also addresses a key question how important is income for understanding wtp relative to more attitudinal determinants the effect of income overall appears ambiguous with tobit like models indicating that income is not significant while the cqr indicates that income exerts a significant effect near the center of the distribution of wtp across all frameworks used a key determinant of wtp appears to be environmental attitudes particularly membership in an environmental organization

estimating the willingness to pay for reliable electricity supply a choice experiment study abstract this research examines households willingness to pay wtp for an improved electricity service households stated wtp is estimated using the choice experiment ce method the data used in the estimations come from 350 in person interviews conducted during the period 5 22 august 2008 in north cyprus compensating variation cv estimates for a zero outage scenario are calculated using the parameter estimates from the mixed logit ml model these are 6 65 ytl turkish lira per month 3 02 usd for summer and 25 83 ytl per month 11 74 usd for winter in order to avoid the cost of outages households are willing to incur a 3 6 and a 13 9 increase in their monthly electricity bill for summer and winter respectively the wtp per hour unserved is 0 28 ytl 0 13 usd for summer and 1 08 ytl 0 49 usd for winter a preliminary cost benefit analysis indicates that the annualized economic benefits are approximately 42 7 million ytl 19 4 million usd for the residential sector this would justify an investment in additional generation capacity of approximately 268 mw which is far more than that which is needed to eliminate the service reliability problem

real exchange rate misalignment and agricultural export performance in developing countries the influence of fluctuating currency values on agricultural trade has been acknowledged especially since the demise of the bretton woods system of fixed exchange rates following g e schuh s pioneering articles linking exchange rates to country performance in the global agricultural market several attempts were made to quantify the effects of nominal and real exchange rate movements on agricultural trade recently another body of literature emerged aimed at quantifying the effects of exchange rate risk on trade 2 despite these studies inadequate attention has been directed toward analyses of underlying policies that directly influence real exchange rates and that indirectly affect trade performance specifically the issue of incorrect real exchange rate alignment has been ignored real exchange rate misalignment occurs in markets in which actual exchange rates are not allowed to adjust to changes in economic fundamentals unsustainable monetary fiscal and various trade and exchange control policies are its principal cause calculation of misaligned exchange rates is dependent on the ability to disentangle equilibrium from disequilibrium disturbances affecting movements in actual real exchange rates quantification represents a major challenge purchasing power parity ppp provides the simplest way to estimate misalignment however real exchange rate deviations from ppp often do not indicate incorrect alignment of the real exchange rate because the actual rate ought to vary in response to external or internal shocks that modify the equilibrium rate ideally misalignments are measured using real exchange rates that are permitted to vary in response to changed economic conditions the changing path of real equilibrium exchange rates is somewhat elusive and can be identified using a structural model