the role of market forces in assuring contractual performance the conditions under which transactors can use the market repeat purchase mechanism of contract enforcement are examined increased price is shown to be a means of assuring contractual performance a necessary and sufficient condition for performance is the existence of price sufficiently above salvageable production costs so that the nonperforming firm loses a discounted steam of rents on future sales which is greater than the wealth increase from nonperformance this will generally imply a market price greater than the perfectly competitive price and rationalize investments in firm specific assets advertising investments thereby become a positive indicator of likely performance

theory based measurement of the saving investment correlation with an application to norway i introduction the findings of feldstein and horioka 19c 0 have led to numerous theoretical and empirical papers on the close correlation between domestic saving and domestic investment and its supposed implications for international capital mobility feldstein and horioka 1980 317 state that with perfect world capital mobility there should be no relation between domestic saving and domestic investment saving in each country responds to the worldwide opportunities for investment while investment in that country is financed by the worldwide pool of capital however in a cross country regression using period averaged saving and investment figures for sixteen oecd countries they obtain a significant coefficient close to unity and conclude that capital is rather immobile this result constitutes the feldstein horicka puzzle as it contradicts the widely held perception that capital is highly mobile across countries subsequent empirical work confirmed the close correlation though its implication for the degree of capital mobility is a moot point see tesar 1991 this paper contributes to the understanding of the puzzle on both theoretical and empirical counts first we present a theory based econometric specification for estimating saving investment correlations second we discuss the possible usefulness of the estimates for detecting capital mobility third we provide empirical results for the interesting case of norway we argue that feldstein and horioka s basic idea that the saving investment correlation contains information about international capital mobility is correct but that the interpretation of the estimated correlation value must be altered substantially in view of the results derived from modern macroeconomic models our research is motivated by the observation that various regression equations have been used to measure the saving investment correlation but that none of them has a firm theoretical foundation this in turn raises questions about the interpretation and comparability of the existing empirical results we propose an econometric specification that is founded in intertemporal general equilibrium models in which agents optimize under intertemporal budget constraints we show that time series studies have estimated misspecified equations and that cross section studies are seriously flawed because they neglect dynamics as a result the puzzle may turn out to be an artifact caused by measurement errors however the significance of reliable measurement of saving investment correlations goes beyond solving the feldstein horioka puzzle because they represent stylized facts open economy models should explain norway serves as a suitable example to cement our methodological arguments with empirical evidence thanks to its system of capital controls which were phased out during the 1970s and 1980s the oil discoveries and its small size we demonstrate that the failure to take structural breaks into account seriously distorts the picture making a strong case for careful diagnostic testing our main empirical result is that the feldstein horioka puzzle does not exist for norway the paper proceeds as follows in section ii we briefly summarize the state of the discussion regarding feldstein and horioka s findings in section iii we derive our specification from the theory compare it to the previous specifications and discuss how to make inferences about capital mobility in section iv we sketch major developments in the post war norwegian economy notably the abolition of capital controls and the emergence of the important oil sector section v presents the empirical results section vi summarizes and concludes ii the feldstein horioka puzzle many authors have confirmed feldstein and horioka s result of a high and stable correlation of saving and investment for oecd countries both in cross country studies and in time series studies

foreign direct investment and exports with growing demand we explore entry into a foreign market with uncertain demand growth a multinational can serve the foreign demand by two modes or by a combination thereof it can export its products or it can create productive capacityvia foreign direct investment fdi the advantage of fdi is that it allows for lower marginal cost than exporting does the disadvantage is that fdi is irreversible and hence entails the risk of creating under utilized capacity in the case that the market turns out to be small the presence of demand uncertainty and irreversibility gives rise to an interior solution where the multinational under certain conditions both exports its products and does fdi

international capital mobility net versus gross stocks and flows abstract feldstein and horioka 1980 observed that net capital flows have been small in relation to domestic saving and investment flows for oecd countries in the post war period which they interpreted as evidence of low capital mobility this paper argues that the correlation between gross domestic and international financial flows can be a better indicator of capital mobilitythan net capital flows contrary to the conventional wisdom among international economists gross flows have been small in relation to gross domestic asset creation for oecd countries although by this measure the degree of capital mobility increased in the 1980s

the multinational firm direct investment is incorporated into a simple general equilibrium model of international trade the analysis focuses on an attempt to endogenize the internalization decision it is argued that a reasonable approach assumes that arm s length contracts must be simple so that complex arrangements require internalization the model relates direct investment to the degree of underlying uncertainty and to fundamental trade determinants such as relative factor endowments the behavior of the model contrasts sharply with that of the markusen helpman model which takes internalization for granted

optimum tariffs for vertically differentiated products with an application to indian tea exports optimum export tariffs are typically related to the elasticity of demand for exports in homogeneous goods markets in this paper we set up a simple model for large exporters of quality differentiated products and estimate optimum tariffs based on the quality of the good restrictions on demand parameters implied by the theoretical model are used in estimating demands for different qualities of indian tea exports we use the estimated model to find optimum tariffs for two qualities of indian tea exports and find that optimum export tariffs for high quality teas should on average be 14 higher than the tariff on low quality tea exports

unionised labour market and strategic production decision of a multinational i show that a foreign firm may sell the same product through both foreign direct investment fdi and export and this decision depends on the size of the product market it happens irrespective of whether the labour market in the domestic country or in the foreign country is unionised unlike the existing works focusing on risk diversification in presence of demand or cost uncertainty i explain the co existence of fdi and export in a world with certainty the endogenous determination of the wage rate plays an important role for my results my analysis shows the effects of the fixed cost of fdi and competition in the product market on the production strategy of the foreign firm

trade and trade policy with imperfect competition the case of identical products and free entry abstract this paper analyses intra industry trade between economies containing an imperfectly competitive industry in which firms produce a homogeneous output production is subject to increasing returns to scale and there is free entry and exit of firms trade is shown to unambiguously increase welfare by reducing the degree of monopoly in each market and increasing firm size the effects of differences in technology and endowments on the pattern of trade and welfare are examined import tariffs are shown to raise welfare in the country employing the tariff and the welfare implications of various types of industry subsidy are examined

east west joint ventures and buyback contracts abstract contractual joint ventures cjvs and the buyback form of countertrade are popular methods that socialist countries use to attract foreign investment in this paper we explore some reasons why this is so and also explain two predominant characteristics of these contracts the existence of sharing rules and minimum standard requirements on inputs the model stresses the incentive problems involved when a socialist host country which does not allow foreign direct investment uses a cjv to obtain the fruits of some knowledge based production process from a multinational enterprise

foreign direct investment and intellectual property rights evidence from hollywood s global distribution of movies and videos abstract traditional thinking about intellectual property rights ipr suggests that as a country strengthens its ipr standards firms will move their governance structures away from equity based institutions such as foreign direct investment fdi towards more market based relations such as licensing agreements this hypothesis is explored by examining the behavior of hollywood studios in both the feature film and video markets in 40 foreign countries the analysis reveals that the behavior of hollywood studios is more complex than this although moderate iprs are associated with a high degree of licensing both high and low standards of ipr encourage more integrated governance structures

the tax treatment of r d expenditures of multinational enterprises abstract this paper investigates the tax treatment by national governments of r d expenditures of multinational enterprises in a noncooperative world the international tax system is generally shown to discourage r d investments by multinational firms for the special case of symmetric corporate tax rates the multinational is allowed to expense less than the total of its r d expenses worldwide internationalization of the firm s operations and ownership is demonstrated to lead to less generous expensing rules within individual countries and may even eliminate r d tax deductions altogether

international capital mobility in oecd countries the feldstein horioka puzzle revisited abstract we utilise the most recent time series techniques of dynamic ols and examine international capital mobility across 23 oecd countries we adopt the saving investment approach where the endogeneity problem is confronted our findings show that capital has been remarkably mobile in most countries over the last three decades

earning trajectories of highly educated immigrants does place of education matter the author compares the earnings and earning trajectories of u s college educated immigrants with those of similar immigrants who completed their education abroad using cross sectional and longitudinal data from the 1993 and 2003 national surveys of college graduates adjusting for demographics results based on cross sectional data suggest that the annual earnings of college educated foreign born men were 9 less than those of similar u s born men whereas the annual earnings of college educated foreign born women were 3 less than those of similar u s born women after further adjusting for place of education however the gap narrowed by 42 for men and vanished for women an analysis of longitudinal data reveals that in the first 15 years after arrival u s educated foreign born science and engineering s e professionals had higher earnings growth relative to native born s e professionals than their foreign educated counterparts evidence also indicates that attrition was associated with labor

solving the feldstein horioka puzzle with financial frictions unlike the prediction of a frictionless open economy model long term average savings and investment rates are highly correlated across countries a puzzle first identified by feldstein and horioka 1980 we quantitatively investigate the impact of two types of financial frictions on this correlation one is limited enforcement w here contracts are enforced by the threat of default penalties the other is limited spanning where the only asset available is noncontingent bonds we find that the calibrated model with both frictions produces a savings investment correlation and a volume of capital flows close to the data to solve the puzzle the limited enforcement friction needs low default penalties under which capital flows are much lower than those in the data and the limited spanning friction needs to exogenously restrict capital flows to the observed level when combined the two frictions interact to endogenously restrict capital flows and thereby solve the feldstein horioka puzzle

national tax policies towards product innovating multinational enterprises abstract this paper examines source and host country taxation towards multinational enterprises that engage in product development national tax policies are interdependent as they influence the range of products that the multinational enterprise develops worldwide for the case where private and public goods are perfect substitutes the source country optimally provides a tax credit and does not capture any tax revenue from the multinational s host country operations however the source country still gains from the multinational s foreign operations as they induce additional product development

political vs currency premia in international real interest differentials a study of forward rates for 24 countries abstract different approaches to quantifying the degree of capital mobility for a cross section of currencies particularly saving investment correlations and tests of real interest parity have appeared to show a surprisingly low degree of financial integration we use a new data set forward rate data for 24 countries including many small industrialized countries and seven ldcs to decompose the real interest differential into two parts the covered interest differential or political premium and the real forward discount or currency premium the latter in turn can be decomposed into the exchange risk premium and expected real depreciation we find a high degree of capital mobility across political boundaries for most of the g 11 countries plus hong kong and singapore for our sample period of 1982 to 1987 even for most of the other ldcs and smaller industrialized countries for which covered interest parity clearly fails the political premium is not as big a component of the real interest differential as the currency premium france would appear to have higher capital mobility than most by the criterion of real interest differentials but is seen in fact to have low capital mobility by the criterion of covered interest differentials a clear example of the superiority of the latter criterion

the boundaries of multinational enterprises and the theory of international trade this paper begins with a review of empirical evidence on multinational firms conceptual underpinnings of a theory are developed relying in particular on the notion of knowledge capital as a mobile joint input into geographically separated production facilities this idea is embedded in a simple two country general equilibrium model that supports multinational production in equilibrium under conditions consistent with the empirical evidence the final section examines internalization and shows why certain properties of knowledge capital also imply a preference for transferring technologies internally within the firm rather than through arm s length markets

the eclectic paradigm of international production a restatement and some possible extensions this article reviews some of the criticisms directed towards the eclectic paradigm of international production over the past decade and restates its main tenets the second part of the article considers a number of possible extensions of the paradigm and concludes by asserting that it remains a robust general framework for explaining and analysing not only the economic rationale of economic production but many organisational and impact issues in relation to mne activity as well

the optimal timing of a foreign direct investment analyses of the optimal timing of foreign direct investment fdi decisions have been curiously lacking in the general literature on multinational enterprises cf buckley 1979a b although comparative static analyses exist comparing exporting to the host country with market servicing from a production unit sited in the host country horst 1971 hirsh 1976 the only attempt to predict the timing of the switch from exporting to foreign based production is that of aliber 1970 although vernon 1966 gives a cost based rationale for the switch this chapter attempts to fill this gap in the theory of fdi section 2 1 outlines and criticises previous attempts to deal with the problem sections 2 2 4 present a simple model which ignores set up costs and sections 2 5 and 2 6 give a more detailed analysis including such costs further extensions of the theory are considered in section 2 7 and the conclusions are summarised in section 2 8 the problem emerges as being more complex than had previously been appreciated

immigrant earnings age at immigration matters a correlation between age at immigration and earnings is observed in canadian census data the evidence supports three underlying sources of the effect first work expe rience in the source country yields virtually no return in the host country second the return to education varies with age at immigration and finally an acculturation effect is observed for immigrants who are visible minorities or whose mother tongue is not english further it is found that educational attainment and relatedly earnings vary systematically across age at immigration with those arriving around age 15 to 18 obtaining fewer years of education

the quality of export products and optimal trade policy this paper demonstrates that voluntary export restraints may be socially desirable to upgrade the quality of export products when informational externalities in the recognition of quality result in suboptimal production of quality by competitive firms and the enforcement of socially desirable quality is very costly optimal trade policy calls for export restrictions these restrictions apply to both size and number of firms in the export industry export licenses combined with a specific production tax cum subsidy represent a suitable pair of instruments copyright 1987 by economics department of the university of pennsylvania and the osaka university institute of social and economic research association

licensing versus direct investment a model of internalization by the multinational enterprise a firm must decide whether to serve a foreign market by exporting building a foreign branch plant or licensing the production to an existing foreign producer the existence of reputations implies that any licensing agreement must provide a licensee with the incentive to maintain the reputation this creates a motive for the firm to internalize transactions by building a branch plant i e by becoming a multinational the model reflects a more general notion that the inability of the firm to control a licensee s agent s actions can provide incentives for multinational activity the paper explores the determinants of the firm s mode of operation as well as the consequences of certain government policies

markets with untraceable goods of unknown quality beyond the small country case when importing durables and nondurables consumers often cannot discern quality prior to purchase if they cannot also identify the individual producer exporters have diminished incentives to produce high quality goods to raise the quality of traded experience goods previous international literature has proposed consolidation of export firms and the imposition of export quotas policies that may be appropriate for tiny taiwan but not a colossus like china we contribute to this literature in three ways first we explicitly model the way in which consumers of experience goods rely on the reviews of previous buyers who in turn rely on the reviews of buyers before them when deciding whether to purchase an experience good second we endogenize the price of any given quality third we assume that firms may exercise market power as we show once the small country assumption is dropped policies advocated in the literature such as the merger of exporters or the imposition of export quotas can have adverse consequences on the profits of domestic exporters and on the welfare of all consumers on the other hand the unilateral imposition of minimum quality standards will increase the profits of domestic exporters while improving the welfare of all consumers

multinationals multi plant economies and the gains from trade a general equilibrium model of a multinational enterprise based on economies of multi plant operation is developed these economies are modelled as arising from the existence of a joint input whose productivity in each production facility is independent of the number of facilities maintained by a firm the multinational thus offers the world increased technical efficiency by eliminating the duplication of the joint input that would occur with independent national firms since this technical efficiency may come at the expense of increased market power the full determinants of home country host country and world welfare are considered

competing destinations gravity model an application to the geographic distribution of fdi the competing destinations formulation of the gravity model ensues from the fact that unlike the classical version this approach explicitly acknowledges the interdependence of the flows between a set of alternative locations i e country recipients are competing for foreign direct investment fdi this article examines empirically a range of theoretical hypotheses about the determinants of fdi location in a panel data regression framework the results of the estimation of a gravity model lend support to the proximity concentration and internalization hypotheses also the fact that fdi has been found to be decreasing in the competition posed by alternative locations is suggestive of the superiority of the competing destinations version of the gravity equation over its classical formulation

trade quality reputations and commercial policy this paper extends recent developments on the role of firm reputations in markets where product quality is unobservable at the time of purchase to an international trading context its primary motivation is to demonstrate the implications of this approach to the problem of quality uncertainty for commercial policy particularly the role of potential nontariff barriers such as origin labeling requirements and minimum quality standards copyright 1989 by economics department of the university of pennsylvania and the osaka university institute of social and economic research association

a model of expropriation with asymmetric information abstract incomplete information about a multinational enterprise s mne s technology may induce a host country to expropriate the mne s subsidiary even if other policy instruments are available the threat of expropriation does not always deter foreign direct investment so that expropriation may actually occur with nonzero probability perfect sequential equilibria are derived for vertically and for horizontally integrated mnes the model provides predictions regarding the probability of expropriation based on observable mne and host country characteristics countries would be better off if they could commit never to expropriate mnes

internalization and the mne a note on the spread of ideas this paper examines the reasons for the impact of buckley and casson s the future of the multinational enterprise 1976 on research in international business ib earlier work concentrated on ownership specific advantages or locational determinants rather than the central concept of internalization the few exceptions were incomplete or not well known internalization as applied to the mne spread rapidly because of the appeal to ib researchers of an analytically powerful idea that was based on institutional economics and involved an accessible methodology the spread was also helped by the parallel growth of transaction costs in the domestic theory of the firm and the publication activity of the authors and their associates

the impact of host country schooling on earnings a study of male immigrants in the united states immigrants in the united states who acquire u s schooling earn higher wages than other immigrants using data from the u s censuses and the national longitudinal survey of youth we show that this wage advantage results from both greater educational attainment and higher returns to education the higher returns are not the consequence of ability bias or greater english proficiency of those who acquire u s schooling returns to years of non u s education are higher for immigrants who complete their schooling in the united states consistent with the view that u s schooling upgrades or certifies education received in the source country for those without u s schooling returns are higher for immigrants from highly developed countries and countries for which english is an official language

determinants of japanese direct investment in us manufacturing industries abstract a hybrid model of direct investment is developed from an asset portfolio model and an industrial organization model of investment encompassing tests using disaggregated data validate the hybrid model while its two component models are rejected by at least some of the data the exchange rate is found to be an important explanatory variable for direct investment in some but not all of us industries equity purchase is more likely in r d intensive industries in privately held companies and in highly concentrated industries plant and equipment investment is more likely in industries with increasing returns to scale and in industries experiencing large net export deficits with japan jel f21

quality signaling through certification in developing countries this paper studies how signaling the credence attributes of consumer goods distorts their market equilibrium in developing countries costs of certification sunk in order to achieve credibility play a key role in producing an oligopolistic market leading to high prices that form a barrier for consumers in the south to lower the cost certification is better achieved by a single independent body which can be financed either by end consumers through a fee or by public subsidies the paper identifies the conditions under which each funding mechanism is most efficient taking into account the government s budget constraint the theoretical analysis is motivated with reference to agricultural seed certification

immigrant earnings assimilation estimates from longitudinal data analysis of longitudinal data for immigrants presents a more pessimistic portrait of immigrants economic success first the rate of growth of immigrant earnings was overstated in census based studies second the worsening of immigrant earnings for more recent arrival cohorts is deeper than previously suggested against these two negative findings one must keep in mind an important caveat the steeper cohort decline in earnings may be a sign of greater human capital investment by more recent immigrants longitudinal data suggest a strong degree of earnings convergence immigrants who start at lower earnings quickly make up a large part of the deficit relative to their immigrant counterparts

assimilation changes in cohort quality and the earnings of immigrants this paper reexamines the empirical basis for two facts that seem to be found in most cross section studies of immigrant earnings 1 the earnings of immigrants grow rapidly as they assimilate into the united states and 2 this rapid growth leads to many immigrants overtaking the earnings of the natives within 10 15 years after immigration using the 1970 and 1980 u s censuses this paper studies the earnings growth experienced by specific immigrant cohorts during the period 1970 80 it is found that within cohort growth is significantly smaller than the growth predicted by cross section regressions for most immigrant groups this differential is consistent with the hypothesis that there has been a secular decline in the quality of immigrants admitted to the united states

empirical age earnings profiles the human capital earnings function in which earnings are expressed as a quadratic in potential experience is probably the most widely accepted empirical specification in economics in spite of its widespread acceptance the human capital earnings function provides a very poor approximation of the true empirical relationship between earnings and experience the standard formulation understates early career earnings growth by about 30 50 and overstates midcareer growth by 20 50 however simple alternative specifications that fit the data are available

immigrant and emigrant earnings a longitudinal study this paper analyzes the relationship between earnings and the extent of assimilation cohort quality change and return migration experienced by the foreign born population the study uses the longitudinal data available in the survey of natural and social scientists and engineers the analysis reveals that there was a sizable decline in the skills of this population over the last two decades in addition the study shows that return migration is more likely among immigrants who did not perform well in the u s labor market

equity joint ventures and the theory of the multinational enterprise this paper extends the internalization approach to the theory of the multinational enterprise mne to include an expanded role for equity joint ventures using the transaction cost paradigm of williamson this paper explains why joint ventures may sometimes be preferred over wholly owned subsidiaries also presented is empirical work on joint venture performance in developing countries which demonstrates that under certain conditions joint ventures can be the optimal mode of foreign direct investment

quantification of sanitary phytosanitary and technical barriers to trade for trade policy analysis this paper presents promising methodologies for modeling and quantifying non tariff barriers ntb to trade in the agricultural and food sectors we limit the analysis to sanitary phytosanitary and technical regulations that can have an impact on trade and to methods that provide some quantitative estimates of the impact of such barriers on market equilibrium trade flows economic efficiency and welfare given the heterogeneous nature of these regulations a unifying methodology does not exist quantification of the effects of such measures has focused on a particular product and has relied on methods that belong to different fields of the economic literature we provide a concise description and evaluation of the various methods available for a more comprehensive assessment of the impact of ntbs on trade and welfare we conclude by identifying promising areas for future applied research

are weak patent rights a barrier to u s exports abstract this paper assesses whether how and to what extent u s exports are sensitive to national differences in patent rights i estimate bilateral trade equations that account for trade distortions related to patent rights using data on state to country manufacturing exports in 1992 i find that weak patent rights are a barrier to u s exports but only to countries that pose a strong threat of imitation e g china the stronger patent rights required under the wto agreement increase u s exports to these high threat markets alternatively strengthening patent rights in countries that pose a weak threat of imitation reinforces monopoly power and reduces u s exports to these markets

you can t take it with you immigrant assimilation and the portability of human capital the national origin of an individual s human capital is a crucial determinant of its value education and labor market experience acquired abroad are significantly less valued than human capital obtained domestically this difference can fully explain the earnings disadvantage of immigrants relative to comparable natives in israel variation in the return to foreign schooling across origin countries may reflect differences in its quality and compatibility with the host labor market the return to foreign experience is generally insignificant acquiring additional education following immigration appears to confer a compound benefit by raising the return to education acquired abroad

technology transfer with moral hazard abstract this paper develops an incomplete contract model of the licensing relationship that is susceptible to the moral hazard problem the optimal contractual form of licensing derived in the model generates predictions that seem to be consistent with actual practice for instance the introduction of inputs that are not contractible and costly explains the prevalence of royalty contracts in the licensing relationship moreover the model is able to relate the size of the royalty rate to the parameters that represent the environments under which the concerned parties operate finally the model can be naturally extended to analyze the choice of a technology holder between direct investment and licensing in an attempt to serve a foreign market

tax incentives for import substituting foreign investment abstract this paper constructs a game theoretic model to study host country policy to attract import substituting foreign direct investment fdi investors are assumed to be incompletely informed about local investment conditions and taxes and tariffs are determined endogenously we show that in certain situations countries will offer tax incentives while in others they will impose a tariff wall to induce fdi tax incentives are motivated by the need to signal favorable investment conditions the paper predicts that tax incentives are more likely to be used the larger is the investment risk the smaller is the local market the smaller is the stock of previous fdi and the lower are trade barriers moreover we conjecture that incentives are positively correlated with the number of jobs created by the investment we test these predictions using data from the us department of commerce benchmark survey of us foreign investment and find that they are supported by the empirical evidence

domestic savings intra national and intra european union capital flows 1971 1991 abstract this paper examines the relationship between savings and investment for the pre 1995 twelve members of the eu during the period 1971 1991 the results of the statistical analysis suggest that the capital market of the members of the eu resembles that of intra national regions implying a considerable degree of capital market integration this conclusion however is subject to several caveats the relationship between savings and investment in the case of portugal for example is unusual

reputational comparative advantage and multinational enterprise 1 introduction when cultivating a new export market or attempting to expand its share of an existing market an exporter is likely to find that it has been preceded by its reputation minus a readily identifiable brand name quality reputation may solely reflect the country of origin for example when consumers are presented with a large amount of complex product information they may use the country of origin as a heuristic in forming product impressions without considering other product attributes 1 in this article i show that this heuristic decision making process can affect a firm s quality decision and can therefore become self fulfilling hence any bias that consumers have may be well founded however it is only correct because firms respond rationally to it colombia s garment industry provides an interesting example of a self fulfilling unfavorable quality reputation in international trade as described by morawetz 1981 a single colombian garment firm took a contract for 50 000 men s suits that was beyond its capability the poor quality result so tarnished the american importer s name that other high quality importers become wary of colombian sewn garments with the payoff to high quality production reduced colombian garment firms then concentrated on low quality markets and the newly found unfavorable reputation was justified in the model constructed here consumers see only a noisy signal of the product s quality at the time of purchase therefore their posterior beliefs are based on this noisy signal and the country of origin reputations as will be made clear higher quality firms benefit more from an increase in their country s reputation so that a better reputation generates an increase in the percentage of high quality firms in this way the reputation becomes self fulfilling and ex ante identical countries can be correctly perceived as differing in their percentage of high quality producers i next introduce an economy with two sectors one sector produces more complex goods where high quality is not easily verified and is more essential to the product s performance these may be technology intensive products or they may consist of the design and marketing of the goods produced in the other sector in particular high quality production costs and the consumer s value for high quality goods is greater in this sector i show that this sector becomes more profitable as the country of origin reputation increases hence if one country s equilibrium reputation is low and the other country s equilibrium reputation is high then the pattern of specialization and international trade can be determined solely by reputational comparative advantage 2 finally i show that reputational comparative advantage can overshadow a small technological comparative disadvantage in determining the pattern of international trade given this pattern of trade and specialization based on reputational comparative advantage a high reputation firm may expend resources to establish a multinational enterprise mne in the low reputation country for example many mne products require the differing specializations of both the high and low reputation countries although differing in motivation this result accords well with more traditional models of vertical mne 3 however this impetus for mne as well as its more traditional counterparts does not explain why the mne would choose foreign direct investment fdi over a less costly licensing arrangement 4 the quality uncertainty in this model along with the difference in equilibrium reputations allows us to address this question in particular appropriable reputational rents are generated by fdi when the high reputation parent firm procures and internalizes production with a low reputation host firm this fdi breaks the low reputation equilibrium of the host firm and generates reputational rents

the economics of immigration this literature review concerns the impact of immigration on the economy of the host country focusing on the experience of the united states the emphasis is on the period from the 1970s to the 1990s the author shows that research earlier in this period generally concluded that the economic effects of immigration were positive but that more recent research on later migrations have generally concluded that immigration may be having an adverse effect on the earnings of native unskilled workers and be placing an increased burden on welfare programs the importance of such economic analysis for the formulation of appropriate migration policies is stressed

how trade related are intellectual property rights abstract there is little empirical evidence about whether differing international levels of patent protection influence trade flows if a nation strengthens its patent laws it could experience higher or lower imports we specify an empirical model in which deviations of bilateral sectoral imports from anticipated levels are related to income trade barriers and patent laws patent regulations in the importing country are corrected for endogeneity through the use of instrumental variables the results of the final equations indicate that increasing patent protection has a positive impact on bilateral manufacturing imports into both small and large developing economies

intra firm trade abstract the study analyses intra firm trade that is the estimated one third of world trade which is transacted between affiliated parties as firms realize the increasing potential for integrating their operations throughout the world they are contributing to significant shifts in the patterns of interntional trade and industrial development as emphasized here international trade is inextricably linked to the growing and substantial share of transactions between affiliated parties conveyed through multinational enterprises

new evidence on the economic progress of foreign born men in the 1970s and 1980s this study examines the economic progress of foreign born men in the united states europeans entered the united states with relatively high wages and earned wages comparable to natives over their life course japanese korean and chinese men entered with lower wages but quickly caught up with u s born workers mexicans and central americans entered with low wages and the wage gap between themselves and u s born workers has not shrunk disparities in completed years of education and whether education was received in the united states can explain a large share of the differences in the level of wages for immigrants from some countries it is found that more highly educated men assimilate more quickly the rate of economic progress has not improved for more recent arrivals from any country but this is most problematic among mexicans and central americans because of their relatively low rates of wage growth excerpt

does economic liberalisation endanger indigenous technological developments an analysis of the indian experience abstract india s recent economic liberalisation measures have raised concerns that enterprises will begin to neglect the development of indigenous technologies and will make increasing use of imported technologies and or of standardised technologies this paper argues that the comparative advantages of the different types of technologies will depend on certain enterprise level characteristics including age and size and consequently enterprises that use the technologies based on their in house r d efforts may perform well even under a liberalised regime empirical tests using data of enterprises in three major industry groups gave results consistent with these arguments over the period 1991 1998 the growth performance of enterprises that make products based on their in house r d efforts have compared favourably with those of other enterprises in two of the industries moreover the share of the r d based products in enterprises overall sales has been maintained in both the industries for which this test could be undertaken

the earnings of immigrant men in canada job tenure cohort and macroeconomic conditions using eleven cross sectional surveys spanning 1981 92 the authors compare the earnings of immigrant and native born men in canada apparently recent immigrant cohorts have suffered no decline in earnings job tenure is found to be a strongly significant determinant of earnings previous estimates of immigrant earnings differentials which have not incorporated job tenure information may partly reflect differences in tenure between immigrants and the native born when the sample is restricted to pairs of surveys that are close to the census survey years the estimates of cohort effects are sensitive to the choice of survey years one possible explanation for that sensitivity is suggested by the finding that macroeconomic conditions are a statistically significant determinant of the rate of assimilation of recent immigrants

determinants of foreign direct investment a tale of nine theoretical models abstract this paper presents a review of nine theoretical models of foreign direct investment fdi discussed are early studies of determinants of fdi 1 as well as determinants of fdi based on the neoclassical trade theory 2 ownership advantages 3 aggregate variables 4 the ownership location and internalization advantage framework 5 horizontal and vertical fdi models 6 the knowledge capital model 7 diversified fdi and risk diversification models 8 and policy variables 9 from each of the nine theories the relevant determinants of fdi are derived empirical studies indicate the importance of these determinants in the real world the paper shows that there is not one single theory of fdi but a variety of theoretical models attempting to explain fdi and the location decision of multinational firms therefore any analysis of determinants of fdi should not be based on a single theoretical model instead fdi should be explained more broadly by a combination of factors from a variety of theoretical models such as ownership advantages or agglomeration economics market size and characteristics cost factors transport costs protection risk factors and policy variables

savings investment and international capital flows abstract the high correlation between national savings and domestic investment rateshas been interpreted as evidence that capital is not internationally mobile this paper surveys the theory and evidence on the relationship between savings and investment in a sample of 23 oecd countries a positive correlation between savings and investment rates is found in both the short and long runs however a wide variety of models generate such co movements in savings and investment in response to exogenous disturbances even under conditions of complete financial markets thus the savings investment correlation provides little evidence on the question of international capital mobility

how do foreign patent rights affect u s exports affiliate sales and licenses abstract this paper analyzes how foreign patent rights fprs affect us exports affiliate sales and licenses our approach is distinctive in three ways we apply ownership location and internalization concepts to link fprs with servicing decisions we account for the simultaneity of servicing decisions we estimate the relative effects of fprs on exports affiliate sales and licenses empirical findings show strong fprs increase us affiliate sales and licenses particularly across countries with strong imitative abilities further fprs have a larger effect on us knowledge transferred outside the country and firm relative to knowledge located inside the country and internalized inside the firm

strategic investments and the development of multinationals a model of multinational behavior is presented in which either the existence or absence of multinationals can be a nash equilibrium outcome the key determinant is the relationship between plant scale economies a force for geographic centralization and multiplant economies plus transport costs leading to multinationality the model predicts that multinational enterprise production arises when firm specific and transportation costs are large relative to plant scale economies the latter are both a technological and a strategic variable in the entry decision copyright 1987 by economics department of the university of pennsylvania and the osaka university institute of social and economic research association

feldstein horioka meets a time trend abstract much of the literature relating to the feldstein horioka puzzle misses two major points it is obvious there should be a home bias and that this bias should be falling through time our empirical analysis is consistent with these points

intellectual property rights in china the changing political economy of chinese american interests we review the evolution of modern chinese intellectual property right ipr laws and enforcement and explore economic and political forces involved in international conflicts over chinese ipr protection our analysis considers why the us and china moved from conflict to cooperation over intellectual property rights structural and institutional aspects of the political economy of iprs within each country are considered and data on chinese us trade in intellectual property intensive goods are examined we conclude that although enforcement of iprs within china continues to be relatively weak chinese ipr institutions are converging on those in the oecd nations

intellectual property protection and the industrial composition of multinational activity in a north south model with endogenous fdi we examine the impact of southern ipr protection on the mode and industrial composition of international technology transfer a novel feature of the model is that due to technological reasons industries differ with respect to their susceptibility to imitation in equilibrium licensing occurs in industries where the risk of imitation is low and fdi where it is of intermediate magnitude stronger iprs in the south i alter the industrial composition of multinational activity towards licensing at the expense of fdi ii reduce local imitation and iii increase licensing and to a lesser extent fdi

intra industry trade and investment under oligopoly the role of market size this paper examines the factors which influence intra industry trade under oligopoly it argues that major determinants are the size of markets and the height of trade barriers if national markets are large and trade barriers high intra industry trade is replaced by cross investment between countries whereby firms serve the markets of their foreign rivals by investing abroad instead of exporting this result is established formally using a simple two country two firm game theoretic model the same model is also used to examine how barriers to trade influence prices and output the paper concludes with a brief discussion of how economic growth affects the volume of intra industry trade copyright 1992 by royal economic society

intellectual property rights and the mode of technology transfer abstract transferring technology in an environment where patent protection is uncertain can pose significant risks to an innovating firm s ability to appropriate rents this paper incorporates asymmetric information in a screening game where the innovating firm has the choices of licensing a new product at arm s length to a foreign firm exporting it or licensing it to a subsidiary subsidiary production avoids the risk of imitation but involves higher costs for the innovating firm the gains to the southern country from the lack of intellectual property right protection may be offset by strategic behavior by northern firms who opt for technology transfer via subsidiary or monopoly production

licensing versus direct investment implications for economic growth we develop a symmetric two country model of foreign direct investment fdi that captures the internalization decision and its implications for both the rate and magnitude of innovations when mode choice licensing versus fdi is fixed a subsidy to multinational production increases the rate but decreases the size of innovations when mode can switch the rate and size of innovations both increase provided the subsidy is not too large although innovation size decreases for industries where firms already were choosing fdi innovation size increases for industries where firms switch from licensing to fdi because multinationals choose larger innovations than licensors 2002 elsevier science b v all rights reserved