exchange rate changes and inflation in post crisis asian economies vector autoregression analysis of the exchange rate pass through macro economic consequences of large currency depreciations among the crisis hit asian economies varied from one country to another inflation did not soar after the asian currency crisis of 1997 98 in most crisis hit countries except indonesia where high inflation followed a very large nominal depreciation of the rupiah the high inflation meant a loss of price competitive advantage a key for economic recovery from a crisis this paper examines the pass through effects of exchange rate changes on the domestic prices in the east asian economies using a vector autoregression analysis the main results are as follows i the degree of exchange rate pass through to import prices was quite high in the crisis hit economies ii the pass through to consumer price index cpi was generally low with a notable exception of indonesia and iii in indonesia both the impulse response of monetary policy variables to exchange rate shocks and that of cpi to monetary policy shocks were positive large and statistically significant thus indonesia s accommodative monetary policy coupled with the high degree of cpi responsiveness to exchange rate changes was an important factor in the inflation depreciation spiral in the wake of the currency crisis

exchange rate pass through in developing and emerging markets a survey of conceptual methodological and policy issues and selected empirical findings abstractglobal integration has increased the international linkages of financial markets for emerging market countries a key channel for the international transmission of inflation and economic cycles is from exchange rate movements to domestic prices known as exchange rate pass through erpt this article reviews the conceptual methodological and policy issues connected with erpt in emerging market and developing countries and critically surveys selected empirical studies a key contribution is to categorise and compare the heterogeneous methodologies used to extract erpt measures in the empirical literature single equation models and systems methods are contrasted frequent misspecifications that produce unreliable erpt estimates are highlighted the discerning policy maker needs to ascertain by which methods erpt measures were calculated the controls and restrictions applied and the time frame and stability of the estimates

exchange rate pass through to consumer prices in south africa evidence from micro data abstracta sizeable literature examines exchange rate pass through to disaggregated import prices but few micro studies focus on consumer prices this article explores exchange rate pass through to consumer prices in south africa for 2002 2007 using a unique data set of highly disaggregated data at the product and outlet level the empirical approach allows pass through to be calculated over various horizons for different goods and services the heterogeneity of pass through for food sub components is considerable switches between import and export parity pricing of maize are found significant for five out of ten food sub components using actual weights from the cpi basket overall pass through to the almost 63 per cent of the cpi covered is about 30 per cent after two years and higher for food

exchange rate pass through in south africa panel evidence from individual goods and services abstract this study estimates pass through for south africa using samples of final goods and services and homogenous imports estimated pass through to consumer goods prices is low roughly 16 per cent in the two years following an exchange rate change surprisingly it is somewhat higher for services deviations from long run ppp appear to disappear relatively quickly with a half life of about 16 months for imports pass through estimates are much higher averaging around 60 per cent but with wide source country variation finally there is virtually no support for a simple linear trend change in either pass through or in reversion to ppp during the sample

the impact of federal incentives on the adoption of hybrid electric vehicles in the united states abstract starting in 2004 the federal government in the united states offered several nationwide incentives to consumers to increase the adoption of hybrid electric vehicles this study assesses the effectiveness of the energy policy act of 2005 in this regard using econometric methods and data between 2000 and 2010 our model accounts for network externalities by using lagged sales as an independent variable this approach helps to capture the exponential initial growth associated with the diffusion of new technologies and avoids overestimating the effect of the policy incentives our results show that the energy policy act of 2005 increased the sales of hybrids from 3 to 20 depending on the vehicle model considered in addition we find that this incentive is only effective when the amount provided is sufficiently large

exchange rate pass through into import prices revisited what drives it a large sample of developed and emerging economies is utilized to investigate import exchange rate pass through panel models reveal that various economic aspects of the destination country can explain about one third of the total variation in pass through elasticities and the remaining variation comes largely in the form of unobserved country specific effects inflation exchange rate volatility openness and relative wealth play a clear role as drivers of emerging markets pass through whereas the output gap and protectionism appear influential more generally nonlinearity regarding large versus small changes in the exchange rate is quite pervasive our evidence challenges the widely held view that pass through has been universally falling in developed markets and that it is higher for emerging markets the economic drivers are shown to play a role as out of sample predictors of pass through the findings confirm pricing to market theories and have implications for the optimal conduct of monetary policy

the structuralist theory of imported inflation an application to south africa this study emphasizes the importance of identifying the origin of inflation in the present context of inflation targeting by many emerging market and transition economies the analysis shows based on south african data how structural supply and demand inflation can be distinguished the results indicate that south africa s inflation experience between 1973q1 and 1998q4 is characterized by two monetary regimes during the first regime 1973q1 1984q4 the long run cause of inflation is demand pull the second regime 1987q1 1998q4 represents major changes to structural imported and cost push inflation the two year period 1985 1986 signifies structural change from the first to the second regime moreover the results in the second regime remain robust when the inflation model is subjected to new out of sample data until 2001q2 evidence of structural imported inflation in the second regime suggests that inflation should not entirely be squeezed out of the system nor should it necessarily be k

invoice currency choice nonlinearities and exchange rate pass through estimating time varying thresholds as a proxy for exporter s predicted exchange rates this study proposes a new approach to analyse possible asymmetric behaviour of exchange rate pass through erp

low inflation pass through and the pricing power of firms abstract recently there has been a significant decline in the degree to which firms pass through changes in costs to prices a decline that is frequently characterized as a reduction in the pricing power of firms the decline appears to be associated with the decline in inflation in many countries the decline has important implications for monetary policy because it affects both forecasts of inflation and the effects of changes in monetary policy on inflation some have argued that the decline in pricing power helped to keep inflation low in the face of apparently strong demand pressures in the united states in the late 1990s this paper puts forth the view that the decline in pass through or pricing power is due to the low inflation environment that has recently been achieved in many countries first a microeconomic model of price setting is used to show that lower pass through is caused by lower perceived persistence of cost changes evidence is then presented showing that inflation is positively correlated with persistence of inflation suggesting that the low inflation itself has caused the low pass through an economy wide model consistent with the micromodel is then presented to illustrate how such changes in pricing power affect output and inflation dynamics in favorable ways but can disappear quickly if monetary policy and expectations change

new directions for stochastic open economy models the paper develops a simple stochastic new open economy macroeconomic model based on sticky nominal wages explicit solution of the wage setting problem under uncertainty allows one to analyze the effects of the monetary regime on welfare expected output and the expected terms of trade despite the potential interplay between imperfections due to sticky wages and monopoly the optimal monetary policy rule has a closed form solution to motivate our model we show that observed correlations between terms of trade and exchange rates are more consistent with our traditional assumptions about nominal rigidities than with a popular alternative based on local currency pricing 2000 elsevier science b v all rights reserved

classifying exchange rate regimes deeds vs words abstract most of the empirical literature on exchange rate regimes uses the imf de jure classification based on the regime announced by the governments despite the recognized inconsistencies between reported and actual policies in many cases to address this problem we construct a de facto classification based on data on exchange rates and international reserves from all imf reporting countries over the period 1974 2000 which we believe provides a meaningful alternative for future empirical work on the topic the classification sheds new light on several stylized facts previously reported in the literature in particular we find that the de facto pegs have remained stable throughout the last decade although an increasing number of them shy away from an explicit commitment to a fixed regime hidden pegs we confirm the hollowing out hypothesis but show that it does not apply to countries with limited access to capital markets we also find that pure floats are associated with only relatively minor nominal exchange rate volatility and that the recent increase in the number of de jure floats goes hand in hand with an increase in the number of de facto dirty floats fear of floating

ppp strikes back aggregation and the real exchange rate we show the importance of a dynamic aggregation bias in accounting for the ppp puzzle we prove that the aggregate real exchange rate is persistent because its components have heterogeneous dynamics established time series and panel methods fail to control for this using eurostat data we find that when heterogeneity is taken into account the estimated persistence of real exchange rates falls dramatically its half life for instance may fall to as low as eleven months significantly below the consensus view of three to five years

exchange rate pass through to domestic prices does the inflationary environment matter abstract the paper tests a hypothesis suggested by j taylor 2000 low inflation pass through and the pricing power of firms european economic review 44 7 1389 1408 that a low inflationary environment leads to a low exchange rate pass through to domestic prices to test this hypothesis the paper derives a pass through relation based on new open economy macroeconomic models a large database that includes 1979 2000 data for 71 countries is used to estimate this relation there is strong evidence of a positive and significant association between the pass through and the average inflation rate across countries and periods the inflation rate moreover dominates other macroeconomic variables in explaining cross regime differences in the pass through

who bears the cost of a change in the exchange rate pass through accounting for the case of beer abstract nominal exchange rates are remarkably volatile they ordinarily appear disconnected from the fundamentals of the economies whose currencies they price these facts make up a classic puzzle about the international economy if prices do not respond fully to changes in the nominal exchange rate who bears the cost of such large and unpredictable changes foreign firms domestic firms or domestic consumers this study presents a new analysis of the sources of incomplete pass through and then uses this analysis to re examine its implications for social welfare i develop and estimate a structural model that analyzes the sources of local currency price stability for a particular industry the model enables counterfactual simulations that quantify the relative importance of firms local cost components and markup adjustments in the incomplete transmission of exchange rate shocks to prices and the effect of the exchange rate shock on domestic and foreign firms profits and on consumer surplus the model is applied to a panel dataset of one industry with retail and wholesale prices for upc level products i find that markup adjustments by manufacturers and the retailer explain roughly half of the incomplete transmission and local cost components account for the other half foreign manufacturers generally bear a greater cost or reap a greater benefit following an exchange rate induced marginal cost shock than do domestic consumers domestic manufacturers or the domestic retailer

is price adjustment asymmetric evaluating the market share and marketing bottlenecks hypothesis abstract export price adjustment is asymmetric with respect to currency fluctuations in at least two circumstances if firms face capacity constraints in distribution networks or quantitative trade restrictions then pricing to market may be greater during depreciations of the exporter s currency if firms attempt to build market share subject to the threat of trade restrictions then pricing to market may be greater during appreciations of the exporter s currency this paper tests for asymmetries using panel data on german and japanese 7 digit industry exports the data seldom reject the hypothesis of a symmetric response of prices to exchange rates

declining exchange rate pass through to u s import prices the potential role of global factors this paper documents a robust and sustained decline in exchange rate pass through to u s import prices from well above 0 5 during the 1970s and 1980s to around 0 2 over the last decade we attribute this decline to the rising prominence of competition from china a shift in import pricing behavior since the asian financial crisis and the reduced share of material intensive goods in u s imports we also find evidence that foreign exporters are increasingly setting their prices with an eye on u s prices these results in turn suggest a new and more general hypothesis linking the decline in pass through to the evolving nature of competition in global markets and structural changes in international production patterns

pass through in retail and wholesale this paper studies how prices comove across products firms and locations to gauge the relative importance of retailer versus manufacturer level shocks in determining prices i make use of a large panel data set on prices for a cross section of retailers in the u s i analyze prices at the barcode or universal product code upc level for individual stores i find that only 16 of the variation in prices is common across stores selling an identical product 65 of the price variation is common to stores within a particular retail chain but not across retail chains while 17 is completely idiosyncratic to the store and product product categories with frequent temporary sales exhibit a disproportionate amount of completely idiosyncratic price variation my results suggest that most of the observed price variation arises from retail level rather than manufacturer level demand and supply shocks however the behavior of prices is difficult to relate to observed variation in costs and demand at the retail level this suggests that retail prices may vary largely as a consequence of dynamic pricing strategies on the part of retailers or manufacturers rather than static demand and supply shocks this abstract was borrowed from another version of this item

globalization macroeconomic performance and monetary policy the paper argues that many of the exaggerated claims that globalization has been an important factor in lowering inflation in recent years just do not hold up globalization does however have the potential to be stabilizing for individual economies and has been a key factor in promoting economic growth the paper then examines four questions about the impact of globalization on the monetary transmission mechanism and arrives at the following answers i has globalization led to a decline in the sensitivity of inflation to domestic output gaps and thus to domestic monetary policy no ii are foreign output gaps playing a more prominent role in the domestic inflation process so that domestic monetary policy has more difficulty stabilizing inflation no iii can domestic monetary policy still control domestic interest rates and so stabilize both inflation and output yes iv are there other ways besides possible influences on inflation and interest rates in which globalization may have affected the transmission mechanism of monetary policy yes

exchange rate pass through to import prices and monetary policy in south africa abstractunderstanding how import prices adjust to exchange rates helps anticipate inflation effects and monetary policy responses this article examines exchange rate pass through to the monthly import price index in south africa during 1980 2009 short horizon pass through estimates are calculated using both single equation equilibrium correction models and systems johansen models controlling for both domestic and foreign costs average pass through is incomplete at about 50 per cent within a year and 30 per cent in six months and in the long run from the johansen analysis including feedback effects is about 55 per cent there is evidence of slower pass through under inflation targeting pass through is found to decline with recent exchange rate volatility and there is evidence for asymmetry with greater pass through occurring for small appreciations

asymmetric effects of oil prices and exchange rates on china s industrial prices abstract this paper explores the impacts of positive and negative changes in crude oil price and exchange rate variables on raw material procurement prices and product ex factory prices of china s industrial enterprises we run the nonlinear autoregressive distributed lag nardl model for the full sample from january 2000 to june 2019 and find the existence of the cointegrating relationships and the asymmetries of the long run effects from positive and negative changes in oil price and exchange rate variables then we run the ols and quantile regressions for the two subsamples through the analysis of the estimates in different quantities in the latter model we obtain rich and novel findings the main findings include the inconsistency between the practice of oil price and exchange rate transmissions in china and the usual theoretical explanations and the active roles of china s oil product mechanism and exchange rate policy reforms in mitigating transmission distortions in addition we also find other asymmetries such as the asymmetric effects in different locations of dependent variable s conditional distribution and the different effects on raw material prices and product ex factory prices from the same independent variables

exchange rate pass through in emerging countries do the inflation environment monetary policy regime and central bank behavior matter abstract in this paper we estimate the exchange rate pass through erpt to import and consumer prices for a sample of 14 emerging countries over the 1994q1 2015q3 period to this end we augment the traditional bivariate relationship between the nominal effective exchange rate and inflation by accounting for monetary stability proxied by the inflation environment monetary policy regime and central bank behavior we show that both the level and volatility of inflation as well as adopting an inflation target or the transparency of monetary policy decisions clearly reduce erpt to consumer prices however uncertainty about domestic monetary policy seems less relevant in explaining the pass through to the price of imports

the degree and determinants of exchange rate pass through market structure non tariff barriers and multinational corporations this study investigates the exchange rate pass through for australian imports of manufactures pass through elasticities are estimated for total manufactures and forty product categories by applying an econometric procedure which avoids the pitfalls in previous studies to a carefully assembled data set the determinants of pass through are analyzed by relating the pass through elasticities to variables representing foreign control nontariff barriers product characteristics and market structure the author finds that pass through is incomplete for most products with significant variation across products unlike previous studies he finds that most of the variation in pass through is explained by the presence of multinational corporations and nontariff barriers copyright 1996 by royal economic society

revisiting the exchange rate pass through a general equilibrium perspective abstract a large literature estimates the exchange rate pass through to prices erpt using reduced form approaches whose results are an important input for central banks we show two shortcomings of these empirical measures for monetary policy analysis which are quantitatively important and may lead to imprecise and biased inflation predictions first while the literature describes a single erpt which we will label unconditional there are different erpt conditional on each shock that hits the economy second these crucially depend on expected monetary policy so that empirical erpt measures should not be taken as given in evaluating policy actions we use a simple model of a small and open economy to understand the intuition behind these two critiques showing that these results seem to hold under many alternative specifications we then highlight the quantitative relevance of these distinctions using a large scale dsge model of a small open economy

brics how important is the exchange rate pass through this paper analyses the exchange rate pass through erpt into domestic consumer prices in brics brazil russia india china and south africa countries from mid 1990s onwards by using three different econometric approaches i e the single equation approach the var approach and the time varying parameter approach it is also studied the role of macroeconomic determinants in erpt our results suggest that a erpt is higher for the emerging markets with mostly floating exchange rates brazil russia and south africa than for the other brics countries b exchange rate explains on average around the 40 of the price variance for brazil russia and south africa and c inflation volatility exchange rate volatility and openness seem to be the key macroeconomic determinants in brics countries

exchange rate pass through when market share matters the authors investigate the pass through from exchange rates to import prices when firms future demands depend on their current market shares they show that profit maximizing foreign firms may either raise or lower their dollar export prices when the dollar appreciates temporarily i e the pass through may be perverse and that current import prices may be more sensitive to expected future exchange rates than to current exchange rates they present evidence that suggests the behavior of expected future exchange rates may provide a clue to the puzzling recent behavior of u s import prices copyright 1989 by american economic association

the franc shock and swiss gdp how long does it take to start feeling the pain abstractthe article addresses the question on what is the typical time horizon over which a full transmission of movements in the real exchange rate takes place into real economy we base our analysis on the mixed frequency small scale dynamic factor model dfm proposed by siliverstovs in 2012 fitted to the swiss data in this article we augment the benchmark model with the real exchange rate of the swiss franc vis a vis currencies of its 24 trading partners while keeping the rest of model specification intact we are interested in investigating the relationship between the common latent factor representing the swiss business cycle and the real exchange rate we explore the temporal relationship between these two variables by varying the time lag with which the real exchange rate enters the factor model by recording the magnitude and statistical significance of the factor loading coefficient in the equation pertaining to the real exchange rate variable our main conclusion is that the fluctuations in

the dynamics of exchange rate regimes fixes floats and flips the impermanence of fixed exchange rates has become a stylized fact in international finance the combination of the mirage view that pegs do not really peg with the fear of floating view that floats do not really float generates the conclusion that exchange rate regimes are in practice unimportant for the behavior of the exchange rate this is consistent with evidence on the irrelevance of exchange rate regimes for general macroeconomic performance recent studies however show that the exchange rate regime matters this can be understood by considering the dynamics of exchange rate regimes we demonstrate that the mirage view is somewhat misleading and incomplete pegs frequently break but many do last also there is a high degree of flipping that is the re formation of pegs that have broken thus a fixed exchange rate today is a good predictor that one will exist in the future we also investigate the quantitative effect of fixed exchange rates while the fear of floating view suggests little actual difference in fixed and floating rates with respect to exchange rate volatility we show that fixed exchange rates exhibit considerably greater bilateral exchange rate stability than flexible rates both today and in the future 2007 elsevier b v all rights reserved

variations in output volatility evidence from international historical data abstract the paper investigates variations in output volatility in 38 oecd and non oecd countries over the last two centuries our tests reveal significant structural changes in output volatility in all countries a more than 70 of detected structural changes indicates a reduction in volatility suggesting that output volatility has been declining over the last two centuries in general the results however reveal different patterns of output volatility across countries

goods prices and exchange rates what have we learned import prices typically change by a smaller proportion than the exchange rate between the exporting and importing country recent research indicates that common currency relative prices for similar goods exported to different markets are highly correlated with exchange rates between those markets this evidence suggests that incomplete pass through is a consequence of third degree price discrimination while distance matters for market segmentation borders have independent effects the source of the border effect has not been clearly identified furthermore there is little evidence yet to suggest substantial market power is implied by the observed price discrimination

exchange rate pass through abstract the resilience of trade balances of the major industrialized economies to changes in their exchange rates has evoked interest in the exchange rate pass through relationship so far there has not been a comprehensive survey of this literature the paper aims to fill this gap in two ways first it pieces together the theoretical literature on exchange rate pass through second it provides a critical survey of the empirical literature on exchange rate pass through emphasis is placed on the data and methodology employed in previous work this is done in order to guide future work in this growing area of research

price adjustment and exchange rate pass through abstract this paper develops a simple theoretical model that can be used to account for the determinants of exchange rate pass through to consumer prices while recent evidence has found low estimates of pass through in many countries there is little consensus on an explanation for this our paper argues that sticky prices represent a key determinant of exchange rate pass through we make this argument in two stages first holding the frequency of price change constant we show that our model calibrated to data from low inflation countries can reproduce the estimates of very low pass through for these countries the principal determinant of low pass through in this case is the slow adjustment of prices we then extend the model to allow the frequency of price change to be endogenous calibrating to a wider set of countries including both low inflation and high inflation countries we show that our model implies that exchange rate pass through is increasing in average inflation but at a declining rate performing the identical exercise on the data we find a striking correspondence between the predictions of the model and those of the data

introduction to a special section on exchange rate pass through in developing and emerging markets abstractthe interest in exchange rate pass through erpt in emerging market and developing economies has burgeoned in the last two decades small open and trade dependent economies embody special features that can make it difficult to obtain reliable estimates of erpt this special section includes a survey of recent research in developing and emerging market countries on erpt focusing on the monetary policy relevance of erpt the frequent misspecifications that produce unreliable erpt estimates are highlighted many empirical issues raised in the survey are illustrated by the macro and the micro economic empirical studies on south africa sa included in this special section and an earlier published jds paper on erpt in sa

accounting for incomplete pass through recent theoretical work has suggested a number of potentially important factors in causing incomplete pass through of exchange rates to prices including markup adjustment local costs and barriers to price adjustment we empirically analyze the determinants of incomplete passthrough in the coee industry the observed pass through in this industry replicates key features of pass through documented in aggregate data prices respond sluggishly and incompletely to changes in costs we use microdata on sales and prices to uncover the role of markup adjustment local costs and barriers to price adjustment in determining incomplete pass through using a structural oligopoly model that nests all three potential factors the implied pricing model explains the main dynamic features of short and long run pass through local costs reduce long run pass through by a factor of 59 relative to a ces benchmark markup adjustment reduces pass through by an additional factor of 33 where the extent of markup adjustment depends on the estimated super elasticity of demand the estimated menu costs are small 0 23 of revenue and have a negligible eect on long run pass through but are quantitatively successful in explaining the delayed response of prices to costs we nd that delayed passthrough in the coee industry occurs almost entirely at the wholesale rather than the retail level

has exchange rate pass through really declined evidence from canada several empirical studies suggest that exchange rate pass through has declined in recent years among industrialized countries results for canada also indicate that import and consumer prices have become less responsive to exchange rate movements in the 1990s these findings are based on reduced form regressions that are typically motivated by partial equilibrium models of pricing this paper uses instead a structural general equilibrium approach to test the premise that exchange rate pass through has decreased in canada our approach consists in estimating a dynamic stochastic generalequilibrium model for canada over two sub samples which cover the periods before and after the adoption of inflation targeting by the bank of canada we then use impulseresponse analysis to assess the stability of exchange rate pass through across the two sub samples our results indicate that pass through to canadian import prices has been rather stable while pass through to canadian consumer prices has declined in recent years counterfactual experiments reveal that the change in monetary policy regime is largely responsible for this decline

accounting for u s real exchange rate changes this study measures the proportion of u s real exchange rate movements that can be accounted for by movements in the relative prices of nontraded goods the decomposition is done at all possible h

a structural approach to explaining incomplete exchange rate pass through and pricing to market the continuing depreciation of the dollar against other major currencies coupled with concerns about the impact of china s exchangerate policy on domestic prices has spurred new interest in the exchange rate pass through literature a recent study by economists at the federal reserve board of governors see mario marazzi et al 2005 attracted wide attention by documenting a steady decline over the past decade in the pass through of exchange rates into us import prices this finding was later challenged by a study published by the federal reserve bank of new york hellerstein deirdre daly and christina marsh 2006 which demonstrated that the finding of such a decline depends crucially on the specification of the pass through regression and in particular the inclusion of commodity prices this exchange highlights the need to understand the structural determinants of exchange rate pass through not only because such understanding is important when trying to forecast future pass through patterns but also because it provides guidance regarding the specification of the appropriate reduced form regression and more generally measurement of pass through the increased availability of micro data on prices and quantities means that research uncovering these determinants is more promising than sources of international price stickiness

frequency of price adjustment and pass through we empirically document using u s import prices that on average goods with a high frequency of price adjustment have a long run pass through that is at least twice as high as that of low frequency adjusters we show theoretically that this relationship should follow because variable mark ups that reduce long run pass through also reduces the curvature of the proflt function when expressed as a function of the cost shocks making the flrm less willing to adjust its price lastly we quantitatively evaluate a dynamic menu cost model and show that the variable mark up channel can generate signiflcant variation in frequency equivalent to 37 of the observed variation in the data on the other hand the standard workhorse model with constant elasticity of demand and calvo or state dependent pricing has di culty matching the facts

emerging floaters pass throughs and some new commodity currencies in spite of early skepticism on the merits of floating exchange rate regimes in emerging markets 8 of the 25 largest countries in this group have now had a floating exchange rate regime for more than a decade using parsimonious var specifications covering the period of floating exchange rates this study computes the dynamics of exchange rate pass throughs to consumer price indices we find that pass throughs have typically been moderate even though emerging floaters have seen considerable nominal and real exchange rate volatilities previous studies that set out to estimate exchange rate pass throughs ignored changes in policy regimes making them vulnerable to the lucas critique we find that within the group of emerging floaters estimated pass throughs are higher for countries with greater nominal exchange rate volatilities and that trade more homogeneous goods these findings are consistent with the pass through model of floden and wilander 2006 and earlier findings by campa and goldberg 2005 respectively furthermore we find that the indonesian rupiah the thai baht and possibly the mexican peso are commodity currencies in the sense that their real exchange rates are cointegrated with international commodity prices

the modern history of exchange rate arrangements a reinterpretation we develop a novel system of reclassifying historical exchange rate regimes one key difference between our study and previous classifications is that we employ monthly data on market determined parallel exchange rates going back to 1946 for 153 countries our approach differs from the imf official classification which we show to be only a little better than random it also differs radically from all previous attempts at historical reclassification our classification points to a rethinking of economic performance under alternative exchange rate regimes indeed the breakup of bretton woods had less impact on exchange rate regimes than is popularly believed

exchange rates and prices the adjustment of relative prices to exchange rate movements is explained in an industrial organization approach given labor costs in the respective currencies exchange rate movements change costs for firms selling in the home market and thus disturb the industry equilibrium the extent of absolute and relative price adjustment is shown to depend on market integration product substitutability the relative number of domestic and foreign firms and the market structure the impact of exchange rates on prices is illustrated in a variety of approaches including the cournot a dixit and j stiglitz 1977 and s salop 1979 models some empirical evidence is offered in support of the theory copyright 1987 by american economic association