banking in computable general equilibrium economies abstract in this paper we develop a computable general equilibrium economy that models the banking sector explicitly banks intermediate between households and between the household sector and the government sector households borrow from banks to finance their purchases of houses and they lend to banks to save for retirement banks pool households savings and they purchase interest bearing government debt and non interest bearing reserves we use this structure to answer two sets of questions one normative in nature that evaluates the welfare costs of alternative monetary and tax policies and one positive in nature that studies the real effects of following a procyclical interest rate policy rule

constrained efficiency in the neoclassical growth model with uninsurable idiosyncratic shocks we investigate the welfare properties of the one sector neoclassical growth model with uninsurable idiosyncratic shocks we focus on the notion of constrained efficiency used in the general equilibrium literature our characterization of constrained efficiency uses the first order condition of a constrained planner s problem this condition highlights the margins of relevance for whether capital is too high or too low the factor composition of income of the consumption poor using three calibrations commonly considered in the literature we illustrate that there can be either over or underaccumulation of capital in steady state and that the constrained optimum may or may not be consistent with a nondegenerate long run distribution of wealth for the calibration that roughly matches the income and wealth distribution the constrained inefficiency of the market outcome is rather striking it has much too low a steady state capital stock

on electricity consumption and economic growth in china abstract the invention and application of the electric power technology triggered the second industrial revolution in human history which marked the human society entered the age of electricity electricity provides the sustainable power for economic and social development with the rapid development of economy the electricity consumption is also increasing the increase of electricity consumption has further promoted the progress of the industrial economy in order to achieve the goal of improving the level of economic development while reducing energy consumption it is necessary to reveal the relationship between electricity consumption and economic growth this study is an extensive overview of the literature surrounding this topic in this paper we focus on the relationship between electricity consumption and economic growth in china we first analyze the general situation of china s electricity consumption and economic development then we explore the relationship between china s electricity consumption and economic growth from three dimensions i e the time dimension the regional dimension and the industrial dimension finally we study the key issues in the research of the relationship between electricity consumption and economic growth including variable selection model construction and results discussion this work suggests that the nature of the nexus in china should and can be explored from a wider perspective by developing a suitable integrated methodological framework

policy options in a liquidity trap the specter of a liquidity trap originally proposed as a theoretical possibility by john maynard keynes 1936 but long considered to be of doubtful practical relevance has recently created alarm among the world s central banks in japan the overnight rate has been essentially at zero for most of the time since february 1999 making further interest rate cuts impossible yet until well into 2003 growth remained anemic while prices continued to fall suggesting a need for further monetary stimulus since march 2001 the bank of japan has supplemented its zero interest rate policy with a policy of quantitative easing under which additional bank reserves are supplied beyond those needed to keep overnight interest rates at zero yet an increase in base money of more than 50 percent failed to halt the deflation suggesting a liquidity trap more recently other central banks including the fed have come close enough to the zero bound to worry about how they would deal with a similar predicament here we first discuss whether monetary policy should actually become ineffective when the zero bound on interest rates is reached we argue that open market operations even of unconventional types will be ineffective if they do not change expectations about the future conduct of policy in this sense a liquidity trap is possible nonetheless a credible commitment regarding future policy can largely mitigate the distortions created by the zero bound we fully characterize the optimal commitment in a simple example

national cultural distance and cross border acquisition performance previous theoretical research has argued that national cultural distance hinders cross border acquisition performance by increasing the costs of integration this article tests the alternative hypothesis that national cultural distance enhances cross border acquisition performance by providing access to the target s and or the acquirer s diverse set of routines and repertoires embedded in national culture using a multi dimensional measure of national cultural distance and controlling for other effects we examine a sample of 52 cross border acquisitions that took place between 1987 and 1992 and find a positive association between national cultural distance and cross border acquisition performance

the role of key stakeholders in the international joint venture negotiations case studies from eastern europe recent literature has suggested that a key stakeholder may be able to shift the balance of bargaining power during a joint venture negotiation and thus change the outcome of the process this paper explores the role of central and eastern european transitional governments as key stakeholders and how they influence international joint venture negotiations this role is described and analyzed by examining eight dyads of western european and central eastern european enterprises that have recently negotiated agreements the findings suggest that transitional governments as key stakeholders intervene at different stages of the negotiation process have both direct and indirect influences on the process and that they can change the balance of power in the negotiations sometimes to the detriment of their own state owned enterprise

building international business theory a grounded theory approach the field of international business ib is in need of more theory development as such the main focus of our manuscript was to provide guidance on how to build ib specific theory using grounded theory gt moreover we contribute to future theory development by identifying areas within ib where gt can be applied and the type of research issues that can be addressed using this methodology finally we make a noteworthy contribution by discussing some of gt s caveats and limitations particularly those relevant to ib this effort is intended to spur further interest in the development of ib theory

debt deleveraging and the liquidity trap a fisher minsky koo approach in this paper we present a simple new keynesian style model of debt driven slumps that is situations in which an overhang of debt on the part of some agents who are forced into rapid deleveraging is depressing aggregate demand making some agents debt constrained is a surprisingly powerful assumption fisherian debt deflation the possibility of a liquidity trap the paradox of thrift a keynesiantype multiplier and a rationale for expansionary fiscal policy all emerge naturally from the model we argue that this approach sheds considerable light both on current economic difficulties and on historical episodes including japan s lost decade now in its 18th year and the great depression itself

modeling climate feedbacks to electricity demand the case of china this paper is an empirical investigation of the effects of climate on the use of electricity by consumers and producers in urban and rural areas within china it takes advantage of an unusual combination of temporal and regional data sets in order to estimate temperature as well as price and income elasticities of electricity demand the estimated positive temperature electric power feedback implies a continually increasing use of energy to produce electric power which in china is primarily based on coal in the absence of countervailing measures this will contribute to increased emissions increased atmospheric concentrations of greenhouse gases and increases in greenhouse warming

political economic context and sensitivity to equity differences between the united states and the transition economies of central and eastern europe recent labor economics studies suggest that low enterprise productivity in former socialist economies can be corrected by adopting reward systems emphasizing compensation for performance we used t

is the long run relationship between economic growth electricity consumption carbon dioxide emissions and financial development in gulf cooperation council countries robust the relationship between carbon dioxide emissions economic growth electricity consumption and financial development in the gulf cooperation council gcc countries is investigated in this study using panel data for the period of 1980 2012 a number of econometric techniques dynamic ordinary least squares dols fully modified ordinary least squares fmols and the dynamic fixed effect model dfe are applied in order to estimate the long run relationship between the variables the long run relationship is found to be robust across these different econometric specifications no significant short run significant relationship was observed electricity consumption and economic growth have a positive long run relationship with carbon dioxide co2 emissions whilst a negative and significant relationship was found between co2 emissions and financial development the findings imply that electricity consumption and economic growth stimulate co2 emissions in gcc countries while financial development reduces it granger causality results reveal that there is a bidirectional causal link between economic growth and co2 emissions and a unidirectional causal link running from electricity consumption to co2 emissions however there is no causal link between financial development and co2 emissions also impulse response and variance decomposition analysis outline forecasted impacts of economic growth and electricity consumption on future co2 emissions

why is electricity consumption inconsistent with economic growth in china studies have indicated that there exists a relatively stable and positive correlation between electricity consumption and economic growth and there should not be a large deviation between them however the deviation between electricity consumption and economic growth in china during the asian financial crisis and global economic crisis sparks intense debates we attempt to explain the deviation from the perspective of inventory investment adjustment in the business cycle using the svar model in this paper the results show that the effects of inventory investment adjustment shock and electricity consumption structure shock on the deviation are positive but tend to be negative for electricity efficiency shock the results of historical decomposition of these shocks also show that the inventory investment adjustment shock is the main factor that influences the deviation during the global economic crisis economic fluctuation in the short term can not change the economic development pattern and the characteristics of electricity demand once the economy returns to stable growth the deviation between electricity consumption and economic growth will shrink and disappear soon

the optimum quantity of debt abstract we find that the welfare gains to being at the optimum quantity of debt rather than the current us level are small and therefore concerns regarding the high level of debt in the us economy may be misplaced this finding is based on a model of a large number of infinitely lived households whose saving behavior is influenced by precautionary saving motives and borrowing constraints this model incorporates a different role for government debt than is found in standard models and it captures different cost benefit trade offs on the benefit side government debt enhances the liquidity of households by providing an additional means of smoothing consumption and by effectively loosening borrowing constraints on the cost side the implied taxes have adverse wealth distribution and incentive effects in addition government debt crowds out capital via higher interest rates and lowers per capita consumption

optimal debt endogenous fertility and human capital externalities in a model with altruistic bequests abstract this paper explores optimal debt in a model with altruistic bequests endogenous fertility and human capital externalities because of such externalities education investment is too low and fertility is too high while education subsidies are the conventional means to deal with these problems we show that the optimal policy also comprises debt even when distortionary taxes are used the reason is that debt tips the usual trade off between children s quantity and quality in favor of the latter by increasing the bequest cost of children the optimal debt output ratio exceeds 10 for plausible parameterization

on the nexus of financial development economic growth and energy consumption in china new perspective from a gmm panel var approach abstract this paper studies the endogenous relationships among financial development energy consumption and economic growth in china by applying a gmm panel var approach with a panel data of 30 chinese provinces over the period 1996q1 2015q4 financial development is measured by six individual indicators and by a comprehensive indicator obtained through the pca method we also account for regional heterogeneity by dividing our sample into three regions eastern region central region and western region we underline our findings in three aspects first financial development measured by most individual indicators m2 credit revenue of the insurance industry and stock market value and the comprehensive one has a significantly negative impact on economic growth second energy consumption can significantly contribute to economic growth in all regions while no feedback effect is found except in the western region this result is further supported by the granger causality tests last financial development in the sense of m2 credit stock turnover and the comprehensive indicator can significantly lessen energy consumption in all regions but this inhibitory effect is found to be largest in the western region followed by the eastern region and be smallest in the central region the granger causality tests confirm further the existence of heterogeneity across regions a bidirectional granger causality between the two variables is found in the eastern region a unidirectional granger causality running from energy consumption to financial development is identified in the central region and no significant causal relationship shows up in the western region our findings provide valuable policy implications for china heading for a green economic growth

energy consumption and gdp causality relationship in g 7 countries and emerging markets abstract the causality relationship between energy consumption and income is a well studied topic in energy economics this paper studies the time series properties of energy consumption and gdp and reexamines the causality relationship between the two series in the top 10 emerging markets excluding china due to lack of data and g 7 countries we discover bi directional causality in argentina causality running from gdp to energy consumption in italy and korea and from energy consumption to gdp in turkey france germany and japan hence energy conservation may harm economic growth in the last four countries

the fiscal multiplier in a liquidity constrained new keynesian economy we study the effects of fiscal policy on the macroeconomy using a liquidity constrained new keynesian model in which government bonds are liquid and private financial assets are only partially liquid we find that the fiscal multipliers in this economic environment are large enough for fiscal policy to be highly effective in this model a bond financed fiscal expansion can stimulate output because higher public borrowing improves liquidity by increasing the proportion of liquid assets in private sector wealth

a divisible search model of fiat money this paper extends the kiyotaki wright search model of fiat money to allow for divisible money and goods the extension allows me to examine the standard issues in monetary economics such as the neutrality and superneutrality of money by severing the artificial link in the kiyotaki wright model between the money supply and the number of money holders it is shown that money is neutral but not superneutral money growth generates a trading opportunity effect it changes the fraction of different agents in the economy and hence changes the probability with which agents have a successful match in addition money growth has a negative effect on the real money balance that is familiar in walrasian monetary models the balance of the two effects can imply a positive optimal money growth rate

a risk centric model of demand recessions and speculation we provide a continuous time risk centric representation of the new keynesian model which we use to analyze the interactions between asset prices financial speculation and macro economic outcomes when output is determined by aggregate demand in principle interest rate policy is highly effective in dealing with shocks to asset valuations however in practice monetary policy faces a wide range of constraints if these constraints are severe a decline in risky asset valuations generates a demand recession this reduces earnings and generates a negative feedback loop between asset prices and aggregate demand in the recession phase average beliefs matter not only because they affect asset valuations but also because they determine the strength of the amplification mechanism in the ex ante boom phase belief disagreements or heterogeneous asset valuations matter because they induce investors to speculate this speculation exacerbates the crash by reducing high valuation investors wealth when the economy transitions to recession which depresses wealth weighted average beliefs macroprudential policy that restricts speculation in the boom can pareto improve welfare by increasing asset prices and aggregate demand in the recession

fiscal sustainability using growth maximizing debt targets this article highlights the importance of debt related fiscal rules and derives growth maximizing public debt ratios from a simple theoretical model on the basis of evidence on the productivity of public capital we estimate public debt targets that governments should maintain if they wish to maximize growth for panels of oecd eu and euro area countries these are not arbitrary numbers but are founded on long run optimizing behaviour assuming that governments implement the golden rule of financing that is they contract debt only to finance public investment our estimates suggest that the euro area should target debt levels of around 50 of gdp if member states are to have common targets that is about 15 points lower than the estimate for the growth maximizing debt ratio in our oecd sample and comfortably within the stability and growth pact s debt ceiling of 60 of gdp we also indicate how forward looking budget reaction functions fit into a debt targeting framework

sectoral analysis of the causal relationship between electricity consumption and real output in pakistan this study uses the annual data from 1972 to 2010 to assess the causal relationship between electricity consumption and real output at the aggregate and sectoral levels in pakistan this study covers three main economic sectors in pakistan namely agricultural manufacturing and services sectors our cointegration results reveal that the variables are cointegrated at the aggregate and sectoral levels at the aggregate level we find that there is uni directional granger causality running from electricity consumption to real output in pakistan at the sectoral level we find that electricity consumption granger causes real output in the manufacturing and services sectors however there is no causal relationship between electricity consumption and real output in the agricultural sector the policy implication of these results is that electricity conservation policies in general would deteriorate the process of economic growth as well as the real output in the manufacturing and services sectors in pakistan nevertheless we suggest the pakistani government to implement the electricity conservation policies merely to the agricultural sector because such policies may have less or no adverse impact on its real output

inconsistency of economic growth and electricity consumption in china a panel var approach abstract china has the largest electricity system in the world which is undergoing a critical market reform based on the panel data in 2000 to 2016 of china this paper tries to explain theinconsistency between electricity consumption and economic growth for example in 2015 gdp growth rate was close to 6 9 but with only 2 9 growth in electricity consumption however in 2018 a 6 6 growth in gdp required an 8 5 electricity growth the results explain the reasons for inconsistency and identify the key factors we find that the increase in inventory fixed capital and industrial electricity consumption will narrow the gap when economy grows faster than electricity consumption and widen the gap on the contrary heterogeneity exists among regions the model and variables seem most convincing in explaining the situation in the western region which is most similar to the full sample of china feedback effect is also observed between electricity consumption and economic growth in most parts of china by granger test the findings provides suggestions for the policy makers in making power planning in an effort to avoid large power shortage or surplus

toward to economic growth without emission growth the role of urbanization and industrialization in china and india abstract the contradiction between economic growth and carbon emissions in china and india is the most prominent in the world both countries have faced tremendous pressures to curb carbon emissions because they are major source of new added emission sources meanwhile both countries have faced greater pressures to achieve industrialization and urbanization in order to eradicate poverty better understanding the decoupling status and its drivers can serve to develop effective policy to achieve economic growth without an increase in emission this paper comparatively analyses the decoupling effect of the economic growth from the carbon emissions as well as its drivers during the period 1980 2014 in china and india the tapio decoupling model was used to analyze the decoupling status and the co integration theory and the impulse response functions were applied to investigate the effects of urbanization industrialization per capita gdp and carbon emission intensity to decoupling the results show that china mainly performed a weak decoupling of economic growth from carbon emissions in 1980 2014 while the decoupling status of india was no regular in china carbon emission intensity is the biggest contributor of decoupling followed by urbanization per capita gdp and industrialization in india the biggest driver of decoupling is also the carbon emission intensity followed by urbanization industrialization and per capita gdp therefore improving energy efficiency is the best policy to toward economic growth without emission growth in china and india

quantitative modelling of electricity consumption using computational intelligence aided design abstract high electricity consumption is of concern to the world for a variety of reasons including its social economic environmental coupled impacts on well being of individuals social life and the federal energy policies this paper proposes a quantitative model to examine the long term relationship between annual electricity consumption and its major macroeconomic variables including gross domestic product electricity price efficiency economic structure and carbon dioxide emission using computational intelligence aided design ciad it develops a firefly algorithm with variable population favp to obtain the parameters of the electricity consumption model through optimising two proposed trend indices moving mean of the average precision mmap and moving mean of standard derivation mmstd the model is validated with empirical electricity consumption data in china between 1980 and 2012 based on which the error of approximations between 1980 and 2009 is 15 and the error of predictions between 2010 and 2012 is 8 5 the main contributions of this research are to develop 1 a novel quantitative model that can accurately predict the social economic and environmental coupled impacts on the annual electricity demands 2 the conceptual ciad framework 3 favp algorithm and 4 two new trend indices of mmap and mmstd the findings of this research can assist the decision makers in resolving the conflict between energy consumption growth and carbon emission reduction without dooming the economic prosperity in the long run

do country level institutional frameworks and interfirm governance arrangements substitute or complement in international business relationships interfirm relationships among partners from institutionally distant environments are subject to governance difficulties owing to the paucity of shared cognitive and regulatory frameworks we examine the potential of formal contracting and relational governance developed at the partnership level to overcome the formal and informal institutional gap at the country level empirical results from a sample of 184 international partnerships of large us firms support an overall substitutive relationship between informal institutional frameworks and interorganizational relational arrangements whereby the performance benefits of relational governance are reinforced at higher degrees of informal institutional distance contrastingly formal institutional frameworks and contractual governance are found to have a complementary relationship with performance gains from formal contracting undermined at higher degrees of formal distance

dynamics of electricity consumption oil price and economic growth global perspective this study uses the data from 157 countries from 1960 to 2014 to analyze the relationship between economic growth electricity consumption oil prices capital and labor the economic growth of developing countries with industrial infrastructure has a more significant association with electricity consumption than oil prices we use oil prices and electricity consumption jointly to study highly predictive observations for economic growth the data are categorized by income oecd and regional levels the panel cointegration long run parameter estimation and pool mean group tests are used to analyze the cointegration and short run and long run relationships between the variables the empirical results indicate the presence of cointegration between the variables the presence of feedback effects between electricity consumption and economic growth oil prices and economic growth is valid these findings confirm that in spite of the oil prices developing countries rely heavily on electricity consumption for economic growth in the short run growth and feedback effects suggest that more vigorous electricity policies should be implemented to attain sustainable economic growth for the long term

random earnings differences lifetime liquidity constraints and altruistic intergenerational transfers abstract this paper develops a model of private savings behavior in which households care about their descendants cannot have negative net worth and have lifetime earnings depending on random draws from an exogenous distribution of abilities the elements interact very lucky parents are likely to leave large estates constrained children are unusually likely to receive intergenerational transfers the paper proves the existence of a stationary cross sectional distribution of wealth endogenously determines where liquidity constraints will bind and shows that the long term interest rate must be such that ricardian neutrality fails its last section generates several illustrative numerical simulations

hungarian western partnerships a grounded theoretical model of integration processes and outcomes international cooperative ventures icvs are known to be strongly influenced by the parent firms values practices and systems vpss however less clear is whether and why vpss actually adopted by an icv are those of either parent singly both parents jointly or neither parent this question is especially timely in the transition economies of central and eastern europe where cooperative activity with western multinationals is growing rapidly and where decades old legacies of communism abound in this exploratory study we used a multiple case study methodology to examine 17 hungarian western icvs results show that a majority of the icvs adopted the vpss of the western partner we develop a theoretical model of integration process and outcomes and suggest future research directions

distributional incentives in an equilibrium model of domestic sovereign default the european debt crisis shares features of historical episodes of outright default on domestic public debt about which little research has been done this paper proposes a theory of domestic sovereign default in which a government chooses debt and default optimally responding to distributional incentives affecting the welfare of risk averse agents who are split into debt holders and non holders equilibria with debt do not exist if the government is utilitarian and default is costless adding exogenous default costs the model supports equilibria with debt exposed to default risk in which debt falls as the fraction of agents who own the debt falls debt can also be sustained if the government s welfare weights are biased in favor of bond holders resulting in equilibria in which debt rises as debt ownership is more concentrated these results are robust to adding a second asset opening the economy to foreign investors or introducing taxes as an alternative redistributive policy instrument

theorising from case studies towards a pluralist future for international business research the literature on case studies both in the field of international business ib and in the social sciences more generally has tended to focus on the methods of data production and analysis suited to this research strategy in contrast in this paper we investigate methods of theorising from case studies we seek to understand how case researchers theorise and how future ib research might utilise case studies for theorising by means of a qualitative content analysis of case studies published in journal of international business studies academy of management journal and journal of management studies we construct a typology of theorising from case studies two dimensions of the case study namely causal explanation and contextualisation form the basis for our typology we distinguish four methods of theorising inductive theory building interpretive sensemaking natural experiment and contextualised explanation only the first of which has been widely used in jibs in the period that we investigate on the basis of our own qualitative analysis we show the limitations of inductive theory building and argue that greater utilisation of the other methods of theorising would enhance the case study s explanatory power and potential for contextualisation we argue for a more pluralist future for ib research

a note on the electricity growth nexus in lao pdr abstract this paper investigates the relationship between electricity consumption and economic growth in laos by applying the ardl bounds testing approach to cointegration and granger causality tests our results confirm the existence of a long run relationship between electricity consumption and economic growth in addition we found unidirectional causality running from economic growth to electricity consumption in the long run supporting the conservation hypothesis

the impact of managerial networking intensity and market based strategies on firm growth during institutional upheaval a study of small and medium sized enterprises in a transition economy varying institutional environments provide the foundation for a great deal of international business research yet relatively little empirical work has examined the determinants of small and medium sized enterprise sme growth during institutional upheaval although the importance of sme development for economic transition and growth is widely acknowledged our paper addresses this gap in the literature by examining how the competitive strategies of smes evolve during institutional transitions and assessing the implications for firm growth using data collected from 135 smes in 1993 and 200 smes in 2001 we find that managerial networking intensity i e developing and maintaining relationships that may be used for business purposes declines markedly over time whereas the importance of market based strategies increases managerial networking intensity is strongly associated with firm growth early in the institutional transition process but not later market based strategies are not associated with firm growth in either time period drawing on convergent insights from multiple theoretical perspectives we argue that changes in strategy are concurrently driven by socially constructed norms that legitimize new ways of competing and delegitimize old ones and by knowledge acquisition and learning which provide managers with a more diverse set of tools with which to exercise their strategic choices

understanding the differences in korean and u s executives strategic orientations competitive positioning in a global market requires an understanding of the decision processes and behavioral attributes of executives from different countries these attributes reflect the executives cultural background the national policies under which they have worked and their home country s level of economic development institutional context the current research compared strategic decision models of u s and korean executives and the results suggest that criteria employed by the executives from the two countries differ differences in institutional context between korea and the u s a were reflected in the weightings of objective criteria used by the executives korean executives emphasized industry attractiveness sales and market share because of policies that encourage growth and u s executives emphasized projected demand discounted cash flow and roi because of policies and institutions that focus on profitability the results suggest the importance of understanding the strategic orientations of international competitors partners in international strategic alliances and managers of international subsidiaries or divisions 1997 by john wiley sons ltd

a political theory of government debt and deficits in a neo ricardian framework in the presence of different abilities and therefore different bequests some individuals are bequest constrained even in a neo ricardian world such individuals vote for taxes on future generations through the issuance of bonds thereby increasing their current consumption this produces some crowding out of capital reduces wage rates and increases the interest rate as a consequence even unconstrained individuals are no longer indifferent to the size of government debt the paper derives conditions that are conducive to larger debt and deficits when each of the living generations determines current taxes social security benefits and the national debt by majority rule copyright 1989 by american economic association

risk premia and the real effects of money this paper proposes a flexible price theory of the role of money in an economy with incomplete idiosyncratic risk sharing when the risk premium goes up money provides a safe store of value that prevents interest rates from falling reducing investment investment is too high during booms when risk is low and too low during slumps when risk is high monetary policy cannot correct this money is superneutral and ricardian equivalence holds the optimal allocation requires the friedman rule and a tax subsidy on capital the real effects of money survive even in the cashless limit

intertemporal optimization of the coal production capacity in china in terms of uncertain demand economy environment and energy security abstract as coal is the main energy source in china coal overcapacity and undercapacity have negative impacts on the economy environment and energy security to reveal the optimal production capacity opc an intertemporal optimization model under uncertainty is established by a combined dynamic programming influence factor scenario analysis monte carlo method dp if sa mc the opcs in 1990 2025 are solved to minimize the expected cost to the economy and environment driven by the production capacity pc under energy security in addition we define and calculate the pc deviation pcd or the deviation of the actual pc apc from the opc the results show that compared with the apc the opc has advantages of more stable development more timely adjustment and lower cost and it provides cost savings of 302 857 billion yuan in 1990 2017 according to pcd china s coal industry existed under the risk of overcapacity in 1990 1999 and 2009 2017 and undercapacity in 2000 2008 and it can experience overcapacity for most of the time without capacity reduction policies in future the optimal management of the pc should be based on the opc and pcd over the next 5 10 years rather than the current capacity utilization rate and focus on overcapacity management in the long run

the optimal public and private provision of safe assets abstract we develop a theory of optimal government debt in which publicly issued and privately issued safe assets are substitutes while government bonds are backed by future tax revenues privately issued safe assets are backed by the future repayment of pools of defaultable private loans we find that a higher supply of public debt crowds out privately issued safe assets less than one for one and reduces the interest spread between borrowing and deposit rates our main result is that the optimal level of public debt does not fully crowd out private lending and maintains a positive interest spread moreover the optimal level of public debt is higher the more severe are financial frictions

complementarity status similarity and social capital as drivers of alliance formation using data on u s investment banking firms syndication in underwriting corporate stock offerings during the 1980s this study explores the factors that drive alliance formation between two specific firms we compare resource complementarity status similarity and social capital as a basis of alliance formation the findings indicate that the likelihood of investment banks alliance formation is positively related to the complementarity of their capabilities as well as their status similarity social capital arising from banks direct and indirect collaborative experiences also plays a very important role in alliance formation the number of deals given by a lead bank to a potential partner over the past three years has an inverted u shaped relationship to the probability that the lead bank will invite the potential partner to form an alliance our findings indicate that status similarity and social capital have a stronger effect on alliance formation in initial public offering deals than in secondary offering deals as the former are more uncertain than the latter using these findings we discuss the role of complementarity status similarity and social capital in alliance formation copyright 2000 john wiley sons ltd

the role of unemployment insurance in an economy with liquidity constraints and moral hazard the potential welfare benefits of unemployment insurance along with the optimal replacement ratio are studied using a quantitative dynamic general equilibrium model to provide a role for unemployment insurance agents in our economy face exogenous idiosyncratic employment shocks and are unable to borrow or insure themselves through private markets in the absence of moral hazard replacement ratios as high as 65 are optimal and the welfare benefits of unemployment insurance are quite large however if there is moral hazard and the replacement ratio is not set optimally but is instead set to an empirically plausible value the economy can be much worse off than it would be without unemployment insurance

energy consumption and economic growth nexus in portugal italy greece spain and turkey an ardl bounds test approach 1965 2009 abstract the paper examines the nexus between primary energy consumption and growth in portugal italy greece spain and turkey pigst with annual time series data from 1965 to 2009 pigst are southern european economies which have experienced several episodes that make them of particular interest to the study of periods of economic expansion and stagnation an ardl bounds test approach is a suitable technique to examine energy growth nexus within the context of countries with both sporadic shocks outliers and permanent shocks structural breaks empirical results suggest bidirectional causality between energy and growth in both the long run and short run supporting the feedback hypothesis the results reveal themselves to be robust to panel framework an energy conservation policy will reduce gdp growth while a saving phenomenon is observed since one additional unit of product requires less than one unit of energy

china s energy demand and its characteristics in the industrialization and urbanization process a reply zhang and qin 2013 argued that in jiang and lin 2012 the equation form and variable selection should be altered and it was problematic to use regression equation to project the future in this reply we disagree with and will refute some of the points raised in their comments the model that we established was based on the mature economic theory with the variable selections all having economic implications considering the economic development stage china s urbanization will speed up and this will have significant effect on energy consumption therefore urbanization is an indispensable variable for analyzing energy demand in china the scenario design only in terms of the gdp is sufficient for illustrating energy demand trend in china to be understood in a way by most of the people although energy forecast is not that precise it has an important implication for energy policy design especially for china which is in transition and china s energy demand will keep high growth in the mid term

the case for a financial approach to money demand the distribution of money across households is much more similar to the distribution of financial assets than to that of consumption levels even controlling for life cycle effects this is a puzzle for theories which directly link money demand to consumption such as cash in advance cia money in the utility function miuf or shopping time models this paper shows that the joint distribution of money and nancial assets can be explained by an incomplete market model when frictions are introduced into financial markets money demand is modeled as a portfolio choice with a fixed transaction cost in financial markets

interfirm diversity organizational learning and longevity in global strategic alliances organizational theorists have correctly argued that the emergence and maintenance of robust cooperation between global strategic alliance partners is related to the diversity in the partners characteristics yet previous research has failed to systematically delineate the important dimensions of interfirm diversity and integrate the dimensions into a unified framework of analysis this paper develops a multilevel typology of interfirm diversity and focuses on organizational learning and adaptation as critical processes that dynamically moderate diversity s impact on alliance longevity and effectiveness

existence of steady states with positive consumption in the kiyotaki wright model we prove the general existence of steady states with positive consumption in an n goods and fiat money version of the kiyotaki wright model by admitting mixed strategies we also show that there always exists a steady state in which everyone accepts a least costly to store object in particular if fiat money is one such object then there always exists a monetary steady state we also establish some other properties of steady states and comment on the relationship between steady states and incentive feasible allocations

linear and nonlinear causality between sectoral electricity consumption and economic growth evidence from taiwan this study investigates the linear and nonlinear causality between the total electricity consumption tec and real gross domestic production rgdp unlike previous literature we solve the undetermined relation between rgdp and electricity consumption by classifying tec into industrial sector consumption isc and residential sector consumption rsc as well as investigating how tec isc and rsc influence taiwan s rgdp by using the granger s linear causality test it is shown that i there is a bidirectional causality among tec isc and rgdp but a neutrality between rsc and rgdp with regard to the linear causality and ii there is still a bidirectional causality between tec and rgdp but a unidirectional causality between rsc and rgdp with regard to the nonlinear causality on the basis of i and ii we suggest that the electricity policy formulators loosen the restriction on isc and limit rsc in order to achieve the goal of economic growth

on the future of international joint venture research international joint ventures ijvs are an important type of international strategic alliance isa and have been studied by scholars for decades resulting in a plethora of empirical studies publications and reviews yet an inadequate accumulation of knowledge exists as a closer look reveals much more than providing a summary and critical assessment of past contributions this paper develops an expansive research agenda based upon a deep understanding of past research and comprehensive frameworks that distill this research we identify a number of research opportunities that would not only advance ijv research but also closely related literatures and disciplines such as isas theories of the multinational firm international business research and strategic management

complexity context and governance in biotechnology alliances this study explores the effect of coordination needs on alliance governance we examine coordination needs that arise as a consequence of the characteristics and the context of the alliance we posit that alliance characteristics and contextual factors influence alliance form and equity investment levels we evaluate the effects of the complexity of technology transfer and strategic complexity of the alliance we also study contextual factors represented by the distance between the intellectual property protection regimes of the home countries of the participants the focal firm s prior presence in the alliance country and its primary expertise in the industry we offer contrasting predictions based on appropriation and coordination perspectives our results demonstrate support for a dominant coordination perspective with alliance characteristics and some contextual factors influencing alliance form appropriation concerns play a weaker role and receive less support

re investigating the electricity consumption and economic growth nexus in portugal in the previous decades a number of studies have been conducted to analyse the causal relationship between electricity consumption and economic growth in the portuguese economy however the evidence remains controversial because the previous studies do not provide clear causality evidence this might be attributed to the omitted variables bias because most previous studies only focus on the relationship between electricity consumption and economic growth in a bi variate model this paper attempts to re investigate the relationship between electricity consumption and economic growth in portugal using a multivariate model based on the bounds testing approach to cointegration and the granger causality test within the vector error correction model vecm our empirical results confirm the presence of cointegration among the variables moreover there is evidence of bi directional causality between electricity consumption and economic growth in the short and long run this suggests that energy is an important source of economic growth in portugal therefore energy conservation policies should not be implemented because it would deteriorate the process of economic growth and development of the portuguese economy

electricity consumption and metropolitan economic performance in guangzhou 1950 2013 abstract this study analyzes the relationship between electricity consumption and metropolitan economic growth for guangzhou china using 64 years of annual frequency data the capital stock is used as a control variable because of its role in mediating the relationship between energy utilization and economic output empirical results indicate unidirectional granger causality from electricity consumption to metropolitan economic performance in the short run this is consistent with the argument that dependable electricity infrastructure and service can play a vital role in facilitating economic growth implications for conservation efforts and regional development are discussed

electricity consumption and economic growth in nigeria a revisit of the energy growth debate abstract this paper examines the dynamic causal linkages between electricity consumption and economic growth in nigeria within a trivariate vecm for the period 1971 2011 the paper obviates the variable omission bias and the use of cross sectional techniques that characterise most existing studies the results show that there is a distinct causal flow from electricity consumption to economic growth both in the short run and in the long run this finding supports the electricity led growth hypothesis that has been conjectured in the literature the paper urges policy makers in nigeria to implement policies which enhance the generation and consumption of electricity in order to engineer economic growth appropriate monetary policies must also be put in place in order to moderate inflation thus enhancing growth

production function with electricity consumption and policy implications in portugal using a sample of quarterly data we investigate the effect of electricity consumption capital formation and financial development on economic growth in portugal a positive negative shock of electricity consumption is estimated to have increased decreased economic growth economic growth is positively affected by positive shock stems in capital a positive negative shock in financial development declines increases economic growth these findings reveal that a portugal is still an energy dependent economy b energy is one of the major inputs for economic growth and development c a conservation energy policy should not be implemented because energy is an important driver of growth d economic growth enhances capital formation and not the opposite hence it appears more relevant to boost economic growth before enhancing capital formation e financial development does not appear to be an important catalyst for economic growth findings also highlight f the relevance of the recent energy policy implemented in portugal and g the need to limit energy imports by means of producing electricity through renewable energy to reduce the external debt level in portugal especially after the 2008 crisis

electricity consumption and economic growth nexus in beijing a causal analysis of quarterly sectoral data abstract traditional energy economy nexus analysis is limited to aggregated and annual data because more detailed energy consumption data are usually not available however probing the disaggregated sectoral data usually provides a deep insight of energy economy nexus at sectoral level which is vital for governments to make proper policies in a timely manner this paper developed a deep research to find detailed quarterly and sectoral nexus between electricity consumption and economic growth sectoral data of electricity consumption and economic growth from 2005q1 to 2016q3 in beijing were exploited to model with granger causality analysis the results show that at the aggregated level there is a unidirectional causality running from economic growth to electricity consumption at sectoral level for the primary sector the electricity consumption impacts its added value with two quarter lagged for the secondary sector and the tertiary sector there is a unidirectional causality running from economic growth to electricity consumption at cross sector level the economic growth of the secondary sector has no impact on that of the tertiary sector while the economic growth of the tertiary sector strongly affects that of the secondary sector in terms of energy saving and emission reduction different policies should be employed in the three sectors beijing should encourage the electrification of the primary sector to stimulate its development beijing should make more efforts on tertiary sector to reduce electricity consumption however these policies should be more prudent while for the secondary sector improving energy efficiency and technological innovation should be paid more attention to

globalization and the shifting centers of gravity of world s human dynamics implications for sustainability abstract world s human dynamics can be parameterized with metrics that explain the current model of economic growth and its sustainability changes in the world s human dynamics are crucial for understanding the current state of the world which is faced with increasing challenges related to globalization in this paper we propose to analyze the shifting locations of centers of gravity of four basic global indicators these are gross domestic product carbon dioxide emissions population and urban population for the period 1960 2016 the spatial locations of the respective centers of gravity one per year draw some traces that explain at least partially relevant changes on different world s human dynamics at a global level these traces and dynamics are further discussed in addition these traces are fundamental for predicting upcoming trends for the next few years results shown here may help political leaders and policymakers for solving upcoming and future global challenges related to the current economic system and its impact on the environment

anticipated inflation and the capital stock in a cash in advance economy abstract an economy is constructed in which the steady state capital stock is inversely related to the rate of inflation as a result that is directly opposite the usual conclusion

the welfare cost of inflation under imperfect insurance abstract this paper examines the welfare cost of inflation in an economy where agents hold money in order to smooth consumption in the face of income variability for which there is no insurance the findings indicate that for the type of economies considered here the area under the empirical money demand curve is a poor measure of the welfare cost of inflation this area accounts for only one fourth of the true costs in the case of 5 inflation

a unified framework for monetary theory and policy analysis search theoretic models of monetary exchange are based on explicit descriptions of the frictions that make money essential however tractable versions of these models typically make strong assumptions that render them ill suited for monetary policy analysis we propose a new framework based on explicit micro foundations within which macro policy can be studied the framework is analytically tractable and easily quantifiable we calibrate the model to standard observations and use it to measure the cost of inflation we find that going from 10 percent to 0 percent inflation is worth between 3 and 5 percent of consumption much higher than previous estimates

fiscal policy with heterogeneous agents and incomplete markets i undertake a quantitative investigation into the short run effects of changes in the timing of proportional income taxes for model economies in which heterogeneous households face a borrowing constraint temporary tax changes are found to have large real effects in the benchmark model a temporary tax cut increases aggregate consumption on impact by around 29 cents for every dollar of tax revenue lost comparing the benchmark incomplete markets model to a complete markets economy income tax cuts provide a larger boost to consumption and a smaller investment stimulus when asset markets are incomplete copyright 2005 wiley blackwell

unemployment insurance in a three state model of the labor market abstract the paper extends the model of krusell et al 2010 to study the welfare effects of unemployment insurance the model unemployment insurance program includes four realistic features 1 a 50 replacement rate up to a benefit cap 2 finite duration of eligibility during a jobless spell 3 limited eligibility and 4 and an imperfectly monitored job search requirement the model is parameterized to fit the size of scope of unemployment insurance in the united states removing unemployment insurance from the model leads to only a 0 1 consumption equivalent increase in average welfare simplifying assumptions about the structure of unemployment insurance such as allowing all job losers to receive benefits lead to much larger welfare effects similar to the effects found in the past literature understanding the welfare effects of unemployment insurance requires careful modeling of the structure of the program

trivariate causality between economic growth urbanisation and electricity consumption in angola cointegration and causality analysis abstract this paper investigates the causal relationship between economic growth urbanisation and electricity consumption in the case of angola while utilizing the data over the period of 1971 2009 we have applied lee and strazicich 2003 the review of economics and statistics 63 1082 1089 2004 working paper department of economics appalachian state university unit root tests to examine the stationarity properties of the series using the gregory hansen structural break cointegration procedure as a complement we employ the ardl bounds test to investigate long run relationships the vecm granger causality test is subsequently used to examine the direction of causality between economic growth urbanisation and electricity consumption our results indicate the existence of long run relationships we further observe evidence in favour of bidirectional causality between electricity consumption and economic growth the feedback hypothesis is also found between urbanisation and economic growth urbanisation and electricity consumption granger cause each other we conclude that angola is energy dependent country consequently the relevant authorities should boost electricity production as one of the means of achieving sustainable economic development in the long run

a test of environmental kuznets curve for haze pollution in china evidence from the penal data of 27 capital cities abstract the mounting environmental crisis especially the large scale and continuous haze pollution is the most pressing challenge for china during rapid urbanization process this study is aimed at examining the relationship between haze pollution and economic growth and its turning points for different regions in china based on the panel data of 27 capital cities and municipalities in china during 2011 2015 we constructed the parameter estimation model after conducting the unit root cointegration and hausman tests based on the basic and extended models we find that the relationship between haze pollution and economic growth in china is not a typical inverted u shaped environmental kuznet curve ekc by introducing variables such as industrial structure foreign trade and energy intensity this study demonstrates that adjusting industrial structure and improving energy efficiency are effective means for haze pollution control grouping regressions reveal that regional differences exist in the relationships between haze pollution and economic growth and their tuning points for instance there was a u shaped relationship for the central region while there were inverted n shaped relationships for eastern western and northeastern regions policy implications are thus summarized for different regions in terms of balancing economic growth and environmental protection

enhancing the obsolescing bargain theory a longitudinal study of foreign ownership of u s and european multinationals this research attempts to enhance the obsolescing bargain theory for manufacturing companies by statistically testing the effects of nine explanatory variables on the static and dynamic manifestations of bargaining success with longitudinal firm level data in order to highlight those effects it develops a conceptual framework that provides a broader context in which the primary variables operate it demonstrates that the obsolescing bargain took effect in india over a fifteen year period following restrictive legislation unlike previous research this study measures the effect of benefits received by multinationals from the host government in exchange for equity dilution american companies are found to retain a smaller share of their foreign ownership over time than british and other european multinationals some explanatory variables that have previously been found to influence level of foreign ownership static bargaining success are found to be less important or have a different effect in explaining proportion of foreign ownership retained dynamic bargaining success

from nonrenewable to renewable energy and its impact on economic growth the role of research development expenditures in asia pacific economic cooperation countries abstract this study disaggregates energy i e non renewable and renewable energy consumption and investigates its effect on economic growth the period of 1990 2015 is used to examine asia pacific economic cooperation apec countries this paper determines the cross sectional dependence and employs a second generation panel unit root test for precise estimation westerlund cointegration test is used to examine the long run equilibrium relationship between the variables and confirm the presence of cointegration in the long run the continuously updated fully modified ordinary least square cup fm approaches are applied to investigate long term output elasticities between the variables the results show the stimulating role of energy renewable and nonrenewable consumption in economic growth research and development expenditures and trade openness have a positive effect on economic growth moreover the time series individual country analysis also confirms that renewable energy has a positive impact on economic growth the heterogenous causality analysis reveals the feedback effect i e bidirectional causal associations among economic growth renewable energy consumption and nonrenewable energy consumption this empirical evidence suggests that countries should increase investment in renewable energy sectors and plan for development in renewable energy for sustainable energy growth

shaping china s energy security the impact of domestic reforms this paper is a subsequent study of china s energy security situation which concludes that china s energy security has not improved over 30 years of economic reform the objective of the study is to explore qualitatively why the energy security situation has not improved to answer the why question the study opens up a new perspective by analyzing the relationship between energy security and energy policies from the macroeconomic reform perspective this study discusses major reforms that took place over 30 years it is found that china s macroeconomic reform has restricted the formation of china s energy policies and determined its energy security situation in essence china s energy policies are only a reaction to the macroeconomic measures in other words china s energy policies are not originally intended to improve energy security but passive reactions to china s macroeconomic reform this explains why china did not improve its energy security situation despite 30 years of reform

cost of business cycles with indivisibilities and liquidity constraints it is almost universally agreed that individuals face incomplete insurance markets and cannot perfectly insure against the idiosyncratic risk in this paper simple general equilibrium models with incomplete insurance markets are examined in order to assess the impact of imperfect insurance on the magnitude of the welfare costs of business cycles two versions of incomplete insurance markets are considered and certain statistical properties of the equilibrium stochastic processes in these environments are compared with those of a perfect insurance economy

uncertainty shocks and balance sheet recessions this paper investigates the origin and propagation of balance sheet recessions i first show that in standard models driven by tfp shocks the balance sheet channel disappears when agents can write contracts on the aggregate state of the economy optimal contracts sever the link between leverage and aggregate risk sharing eliminating the concentration of aggregate risk that drives balance sheet recessions i then show that uncertainty shocks can help explain this concentration of aggregate risk and drive balance sheet recessions even with contracts on aggregate shocks the mechanism is quantitatively important and i explore implications for financial regulation

evidence on the insurance effect of redistributive taxation copyright 2010 by the president and fellows of harvard college and the massachusetts institute of technology

optimal taxation of capital income in general equilibrium with infinite lives this paper analyzes the optimal tax on capital income in general equilibrium models of the second best agents have infinite lives and utility functions which are extensions from the koopmans form the population is heterogeneous the important property of the models is the equality between the social and the private discount rates in the long run i find that the optimal tax rate is zero in the long run for a special case of additively separable utility functions i then determine the tax rates along the dynamic path and conditions that are sufficient for the local stability of the steady state

fiscal policy and asset prices with incomplete markets we study the simultaneous impact of fiscal policy decisions on macroeconomic activity wealth distribution and asset prices we consider a general equilibrium overlapping generations model with incomplete markets and heterogeneous agents where government debt and capital are imperfect substitutes increases in public debt lead to significant increases in the riskless rate and to a reduction in the equity premium while higher capital income tax rates lead to a higher equity premium the crowding out effects on capital and output are much higher than in models where government debt and capital are perfect substitutes which thus ignore households portfolio reallocation decisions the author 2012 published by oxford university press on behalf of the society for financial studies all rights reserved for permissions please e mail journals permissions oup com oxford university press

capturing the impact of shocks on the electricity sector performance in the oecd abstract this paper focuses on the responses of electricity performance to shocks arising from structural reform policies with a dynamic panel vector autoregression pvar model that allows endogeneity we decompose the responses of electricity performance measures to shocks generated by the inclusion of structural reform indicators capturing the effect of competition regulation and privatization the sample spans the period from 1975 to 2011 including 30 oecd countries the empirical findings do confirm that a robust independent regulatory scheme must be implemented in order to achieve a competitive electricity market finally the dynamic pvar results using impulse response functions and variance decomposition analysis further support the validity of these results

optimal public debt redux abstract we examine the role played by government investment in infrastructure in determining the optimal quantity of public debt in a heterogeneous agent economy with incomplete insurance markets calibrating our model to the key aggregate and distributional moments of the u s economy for the period 1990 2015 we show that i the inclusion of infrastructure and ii transitional dynamics between stationary states critically affect the characterization of the optimal level of public debt our results indicate that the inclusion of public infrastructure in the model specification implies a lower optimal debt level relative to the specification without infrastructure both when comparing stationary equilibria and when accounting for transitional dynamics when welfare comparisons are made by comparing stationary equilibria we find that it is optimal for the government to accumulate assets public surplus however once transitional dynamics are accounted for accumulating debt becomes optimal with the optimal share implied by our model being significantly higher than the average public debt gdp ratio for the u s observed during our sample period

managerial behaviors and job performance a successful manager in los angeles may not succeed in hong kong few studies have attempted to examine how american managers actually manage while on assignment in foreign countries or the effectiveness of these managerial behaviors this study compared the self reported managerial behaviors of american expatriate managers in hong kong to a sample of american managers in the u s and hong kong chinese managers in hong kong the results from the study indicated that american expatriate managers in hong kong exhibit very similar managerial behaviors to the sample of managers in the u s however while these managerial behaviors were positively related to job performance for the managers in the u s they were not related to job performance for the expatriates in hong kong nor were these managerial behaviors related to job performance for hong kong chinese managers in hong kong

a cross national study of managerial values this study investigated cross national differences in managerial values a total of 567 managers from twelve nations participated in the study managerial values were assessed by means of rokeach s value survey factor analysis of the eighteen instrumental values included in rokeach s value survey revealed four underlying value dimensions the value dimension that included the instrumental values broadminded capable and courageous was ranked as the most important value dimension by managers from all twelve nations national differences were found on three of the four value dimensions

a literature survey on energy growth nexus abstract this paper provides a survey of the recent progress in the literature of energy consumption economic growth and electricity consumption economic growth causality nexus the survey highlights that most empirical studies focus on either testing the role of energy electricity in stimulating economic growth or examining the direction of causality between these two variables although the positive role of energy on growth has become a stylized fact there are some methodological reservations about the results from these empirical studies a general observation from these studies is that the literature produced conflicting results and there is no consensus neither on the existence nor on the direction of causality between energy consumption electricity consumption and economic growth as a policy implication to avoid from conflicting and unreliable results the authors may use the autoregressive distributed lags bounds test two regime threshold co integration models panel data approach and multivariate models including new variables such as real gross fixed capital formation labor force carbon dioxide emissions population exchange rates interest rates etc thus the authors should focus more on the new approaches and perspectives rather than by employing usual methods based on a set of common variables for different countries and different intervals of time