why are corrupt countries less successful in consolidating their budgets following the financial crisis many countries introduced fiscal stimulus packages making budget consolidations in the future rather challenging using a data set for 28 oecd countries spanning the period 1978 2007 we contribute to the literature on success probabilities of consolidation attempts by exploring the impact of corruption and in particular the interplay of corruption and the choice of the policy instrument we find that corruption significantly reduces the success rate when controlling for the change in government expenditures however the impact of corruption is insignificant or at least becomes less pronounced we therefore relate the choice of the fiscal instrument to corruption and find that corrupt countries rely significantly less on expenditure cuts during periods of consolidation attempts we conclude that international organizations should be careful in observing what corrupt countries do when trying to consolidate their budgets

resource degradation and adoption of land conservation technologies in the ethiopian highlands a case study in andit tid north shewa abstract this paper reports results from a study of resource degradation and conservation behavior of peasant households in a degraded part of the ethiopian highlands peasant households choice of conservation technologies is modeled as a two stage process recognition of the erosion problem and adoption and level of use of control practices an ordinal logit model is used to explain parcel level perception of the threat of the erosion problem and the extent of use of conservation practices results show the importance of perception of the threat of soil erosion household land and farm characteristics perception of technology specific attributes and land quality differentials in shaping conservation decisions of peasants furthermore where poverty is widespread and appropriate support policies are lacking results indicate that population pressure per se is unable to encourage sustainable land use the challenge of breaking the poverty environment trap and initiating sustainable intensification thus require policy incentives and technologies that confer short term benefits to the poor while conserving the resource base

does right or left matter cabinets credibility and fiscal adjustments abstract this paper tests the widely held assumption that left wing cabinets favor higher public spending and examines whether cabinet ideology affects the persistence of major fiscal adjustments in a panel of large fiscal adjustments in oecd countries during the last 40 years we find evidence that left wing and right wing cabinets are partisan the left tends to reduce the deficit by raising tax revenues while the right relies mostly on spending cuts our testable hypothesis is that cabinets can signal commitment by undertaking fiscal adjustments in ways that are not favored by their constituencies in other words the left gains credibility when it cuts spending while the right becomes more credible when it increases tax revenues probit estimates of the determinants of persistence in fiscal adjustments confirm that spending cuts by the left and tax increases by the right are associated with persistent adjustments the effect is significant for cuts in public spending public consumption wage or nonwage increases in total revenues direct taxes on businesses and other taxes we test for the role of several other determinants of persistence confirming that coalition and majority cabinets are associated with less persistence while periods of high or rising levels of indebtedness favor persistence the estimates of the impact of ideology and other variables on gdp and its components show that it is the size of the spending cut rather than cabinet ideology that is most important

the impact of integrated aquaculture agriculture on small scale farms in southern malawi sustainable agricultural intensification is an urgent challenge for sub saharan africa one potential solution is to rely on local farmers knowledge for improved management of diverse on farm resources and integration among various farm enterprises in this article we analyze the farm level impact of one recent example namely the integrated aquaculture agriculture iaa technologies that have been developed and disseminated in a participatory manner in malawi based on a 2004 survey of 315 respondents 166 adopters and 149 nonadopters we test the hypothesis that adoption of iaa is associated with improved farm productivity and more efficient use of resources estimating a technical inefficiency function shows that iaa farms were significantly more efficient compared to nonadopters iaa farms also had higher total factor productivity higher farm income per hectare and higher returns to family labor

political and institutional determinants of fiscal policy in the european community in recent theoretical and empirical research the variation in political and institutional arrangements which may affect the process of national policy formation is examined in order to explain cross country differences with respect to fiscal policies pursued in this paper we build upon this literature and examine whether and how cross country differences in debt accumulation and public sector size of member countries of the european community during the 1980s can be explained we conclude that the growth of government debt is positively related to the frequency of government changes and negatively to sound budgetary procedures in countries with left wing governments the growth of the share of government spending in total output generally tends to be higher

biogas energy from family sized digesters in uganda critical factors and policy implications dependence on fossil energy sources is increasingly becoming unsustainable due to ecological and environmental problems and rapid depletion biogas energy could augment these conventional energy sources but despite its advantages and favourable conditions for its production biogas energy use in uganda remains low due to technical economic and socio cultural impediments based on primary data on households in central and eastern uganda and the use of logistic regression this study analyses factors affecting the adoption of biogas energy in uganda the empirical results suggest that the probability of a household adopting biogas technology increases with decreasing age of head of household increasing household income increasing number of cattle owned increasing household size male head of household and increasing cost of traditional fuels in contrast the likelihood of adoption decreases with increasing remoteness of household location and increasing household land area policy options and recommendations including educational and awareness campaigns on biogas benefits and successes the provision of financial and non financial incentives to households and establishment of an institutional framework could bolster wider biogas energy acceptance in uganda

public sector efficiency leveling the playing field between oecd countries in this paper we seek a robust methodology for the measurement of the relative public sector efficiency of 19 oecd countries over the period 1980 2000 we estimate relative efficiency scores for five disaggregated accounts of public spending as well as for aggregate public spending then we use a semi parametric econometric method to isolate the impact of government inefficiency from the inefficiency arising from the socioeconomic environment and luck to verify the validity of our index we use it to examine a number of well established relationships in the public choice literature which have only been tested using local government data

the impact of perception and other factors on the adoption of agricultural technology in the moret and jiru woreda district of ethiopia the objectives of this study are to examine both the significance of the impact of farmers perceptions regarding new technology for the adoption decision and how perceptions themselves are influenced by the decision to adopt new technology the study is based on data from 96 wheat farms in the moret and jiru woreda district of ethiopia the probit approach is used to analyse the adoption decision while the variables relevant to farmers perceptions are modelled using the ordered probit methodology a simultaneous equations model combining the probit and ordered probit approaches provides a useful approach to modelling the two way relationship between perception and adoption variables such as farm size farm income and soil type have a key role to play in the model perception is measured by eight different components and as there is a strong collinearity among these various measures a principal components analysis is attempted to draw the best possible linear combination of variables

rating politics partisan discrimination in credit ratings in developed economies how does government partisanship influence sovereign credit ratings of developed countries given the convergence of fiscal and monetary outcomes between left and right governments in the past deca

the effect of fiscal performance on local government election results in israel 1989 1998 abstract we discuss the circumstances under which voters in local elections will reward fiscal responsibility and suggest that such circumstances evolved in israel in the mid 1990s we present empirical evidence that indeed fiscal performance of mayors substantially affected their reelection probability in the 1998 campaign but not in the 1989 and 1993 campaigns changes in the political environment enforcement of audit and financial reporting requirements tougher imposition of hard budget constraints and the development of local media are proposed as explanations the hypotheses that the fiscal variables reflect the income level at the locality or the mayor s success in extracting resources from the central government are tested and rejected

a household hedonic model of rice traits economic values from farmers in west africa abstract new crop varieties often have been promoted in developing countries based upon superior yield vis a vis locally available varieties this research presents a hedonic price model for upland rice by drawing upon the input characteristics and consumer good characteristics model literature model specification tests determine that a combination of production and consumption characteristics best explains the willingness to pay for new upland rice varieties the household model specification determined that five traits explain the willingness to pay for new rice varieties plant cycle length plant height grain colour elongation swelling and tenderness yield was not a significant explanatory variable of the willingness to pay for seed the implications of this model are two fold first varietal development and promotion must include post harvest characteristics in addition to production traits when determining which varieties to promote for official release secondly non yield production characteristics such as plant height and cycle length are significant factors in producer s assessments of the value of a new variety overall this paper provides an alternative explanation for limited adoption of modern upland rice varieties in west africa varietal evaluation programs have focused too narrowly on yield evaluation and have not promoted varieties with superior non yield characteristics than locally available varieties

indian farmers valuation of yield distributions will poor farmers value pro poor seeds abstract potential poverty traps among the rural poor suggest a need to reduce poor farmers vulnerability by stabilizing crop yields and limiting yield losses advances in biotechnology will help address this need directly with crops that tolerate climate fluctuation or resist biotic stresses evaluating ex ante how farmers will value these pro poor seeds is important for delivery design but also challenging this paper describes an experimental economic approach to understanding farmers valuation of such seeds using data from a survey and experiment i assess indian farmers valuation of changes in the mean variance and skewness of payoff distributions these farmers value increases in expected value but seem indifferent about higher moment changes in payoff distributions farmer traits such as wealth and risk exposure affect their valuation of these changes only mildly while various limitations to the experimental approach must qualify practical implications of these findings the experiment demonstrates the viability of conducting valuation experiments with open ended questions in developing countries

adoption of agricultural innovations in developing countries a survey this paper reviews various studies which have provided a description and possible explanation to patterns of innovation adoption in the agricultural sector the survey points out that the tendency of many studies to consider innovation adoption in dichotomous terms adoption nonadoption may not be appropriate in many cases where the actual decisions are defined over a more continuous range more attention needs to be given to the socio cultural and institutional environment in area studies so that their interrelation with economic factors affecting adoption can be inferred the presence of several interrelated innovations is another aspect that needs to be considered more carefully in future research since a number of simultaneous decisions may be involved furthermore the possibility of regular sequential patterns in adopting components of a new technological package should be specifically addressed in future studies finally the impact of differential adoption rates on land holding distribution merits attention in future research

soil fertility management and socio economic factors in crop livestock systems in burkina faso a case study of composting technology abstract the relation between technology adoption and farmers socio economic characteristics has increasingly been given attention in developing countries however most of the studies conducted by economists dealt with the adoption of external technologies here we test the determinants of compost adoption an alternative indigenous technology for soil fertility management the results of analysis of data from burkina faso using logit model strongly support the hypothesis that farmers socio economic characteristics and their agro ecological location significantly affect their adoption decisions there are two main conclusions of this study first the agro ecological location of farmers influence their decision to widely adopt compost technology second among farmers characteristics affecting compost adoption three groups can be distinguished the most important socio economic characteristics are farmers age their comparative perception on the yield effect of compost with regards to other fertilizers and their annual agricultural income a second group of characteristics include the institutional factors which are represented by the farmers participation in extension workshops a third group of factors comprises the farmer s labor force participating rate the number of ruminants owned and farmers gender

political fractionalization and delay in fiscal stabilizations a duration analysis this article employs a duration analysis approach to empirically investigate whether political fractionalization leads to delayed fiscal stabilizations using a broad sample of both developed and developing countries for the period 1975 2011 we consistently find strong evidence that political fractionalization is significantly associated with longer delays in stabilizing high deficits in particular political fractionalization has a greater impact on delays in periods of macroeconomic distress we also show that while the fractionalization of government parties delays fiscal stabilization the fractionalization of opposition parties tends to facilitate fiscal stabilization

consequences of debt capitalization property ownership and debt versus tax choice public debts capitalize into property prices thus they are a burden to the present generation who owns the devalued property this largely neglected fact has important consequences for the tax versus debt choice property owners suffer more from the debt burden and thus have a stronger preference for tax financing of government spending than tenants as a consequence of the resulting democratic struggle between property owners and tenants higher property ownership rates in a jurisdiction lead to less debt financing we provide empirical support for this hypothesis by analyzing a cross section of the 171 communities in the swiss canton of zurich in the year 2000

market oriented institutions and policies and economic growth a critical survey this paper surveys recent evidence suggesting that market oriented institutions and policies are strongly related to economic growth focusing on studies using the economic freedom ef indicator of the fraser institute this index is critically discussed also various serious shortcomings of empirical studies using this index are identified nevertheless there are strong indications that liberalization i e an increase in the ef index stimulates economic growth this paper also reviews studies on the determinants of ef political liberalization is often found to enhance economic liberalization whereas there is less evidence for causality running in the other direction

fragmented government effects on fiscal policy new evidence most industrialized countries entered the 1980s with their public finances in disarray at the time persistent deficits pushed up public debt to gdpratios despite such similarities deficit spending varies substantially between countries and within countries over time recent theoretical and empirical research has considered how differences in political arrangements affecting national policy formation might explain variation in fiscal policies pursued using a panel of 22 oecd countries over the 1971 1996 period this paper extends previous literature on the effects of fragmented government on fiscal policy outcomes in various directions first we focus on data relating to central government instead of general government as all theories refer to central government second not only do we analyze the effect of size fragmentation of government we also examine government s position vis a vis parliament and government s political fragmentation we find evidence that more fragmented government defined in terms of the number of political parties in a coalition or the number of spending ministers have higher deficits there is also some evidence that governments that dispose of excess seats in parliament have lower deficits right wing governments appear to have been fiscally more responsible in the seventies political fragmentation does not affect government s budget deficit

success and failure of fiscal consolidation in the oecd a multivariate analysis this paper tests five hypotheses explaining the success and failure of fiscal consol idation in a multivariate regression framework these hypotheses concern i the composition of the consolidation programme ii its size and persistence iii the gravity of the debt situation iv the influence of the international macroeconomic environment and v the con tribution of a preceding devaluation to test for composition effects we use cyclically adjusted data although many conclusions of the existing empirical literature are confirmed some do not survive a popular hypothesis that to succeed consolidation should rely on cutting the government wage bill is rejected a new empirical result is that the contribution of a devalu ation to the success of fiscal consolidation depends on the composition of the consolidation programme

why are stabilizations delayed when a stabilization has significant distributional implications e g tax increases to eliminate a large budget deficit socioeconomic groups may attempt to shift the burden of stabilization onto other groups the process leading to stabilization becomes a war of attrition each group attempting to wait the others out and stabilization occurring only when one group concedes and bears a disproportionate share of the burden the authors solve for the expected time of stabilization in a model of rational delay and relate it to several political and economic variables they motivate this approach and its results by comparison to historical and current episodes copyright 1991 by american economic association

role of education and extension in the adoption of technology a study of upland rice and soybean farmers in central west brazil strauss j barbosa m teixeira s thomas d and junior r g 1991 role of education and extension in the adoption of technology a study of upland rice and soybean farmers in central west brazil agric econ 5 341 359 this paper explores reduced form determinants of the adoption of certain technologies by upland rice and soybean farmers in the center west region of brazil we merge community level data on the availability and quality of publicly provided infrastructure principally extension to the farm level data containing information on farmer human capital as well as land quantity and quality by using community level measures of availability and quality of extension we avoid problems of endogeneity of farm level measures of extension use we find positive impacts of farmer education on the diffusion process in accordance with other studies we also isolate effects of the quality in regional extension investment as measured by the average experience of technical extension staff these results indicate that investments in human capital of extension workers does have a payoff in terms of farmer adoption of improved cultivation practices

do political variables affect fiscal policy adjustment decisions new empirical evidence we test eight hypotheses on political factors influencing the likelihood that a fiscal policy adjustment occurs we employ a panel discrete choice model for 20 oecd countries for the period 1970 2003 two different definitions of fiscal adjustments are used to capture the differences between rapid and gradual adjustments we find that these types of fiscal adjustment are primarily driven by economic factors and are hardly affected by political variables the likelihood that a rapid adjustment takes place is only influenced by upcoming elections while the likelihood that a gradual adjustment takes place increases in case of broad policy reform

consumer demand for rice grain quality and returns to research for quality improvement in southeast asia abundant world rice supply has led to renewed interest in improving grain quality of modem rice varieties implicit prices of grain characteristics are estimated for thailand indonesia and the philippines these prices are used to evaluate rice breeding goals and to estimate returns to research for quality improvement results indicate that the past focus on physical quality improvement was appropriate and future welfare gains are possible from chemical quality improvement returns to quality improvement are substantial and indicate underinvestment in this type of research as asian rice production grew faster than population from 1965 to 1980 the real price of rice declined in world markets and several asian countries flinn and unnevehr greater supply and falling prices have increased concern for rice grain quality improvement in national and international research programs in tropical asia khush in this article the consumer goods characteristics model develo ed bv ladd and suvannunt is used to estimaie thedimplicit prices of rice grain quality characteristics in thailand indonesia and the philippines these estimated implicit prices answer three questions a do observed consumer preferences correspond to measures of quality used to screen material in breeding programs b are consumer preferences similar across countries so that quality improvement can be undertaken at the international level c what are the returns to re

adoption of improved chickpea varieties kribhco experience in tribal region of gujarat india abstract the study aims to track adoption of improved chickpea varieties and assess their on farm benefits in some remote and backward tribal villages in gujarat india where few newly developed varieties were introduced by a non government organization it also determines key factors which were influencing their adoption the study found that adoption of improved chickpea varieties was gradually increasing by replacing a prominent local variety duration of crop maturity farm size yield risk and farmers experience of growing chickpea crop were significantly influencing their adoption the on farm benefits as a result of improved varieties were realized in terms of increased yield levels higher income and labor productivity more marketable surplus price premium and stabilized yields in fluctuating weather breeding short duration varieties with stable yield levels under varying weather and organizing seed multiplication and dissemination in regions where moisture stress is a problem during maturity of chickpea are the major suggestions

fragmented fiscal policy abstract this paper explores on a panel of 19 oecd countries the role of fragmentation in determining fiscal outcomes over the 1970 95 period we first define the notion of fragmentation of fiscal policy making as the degree to which the costs of a dollar of aggregate expenditure are internalized by individual decision makers empirically this notion has two key logical components the number of decision makers and the rules of the game or the budget process in turn the number of decision makers can refer to the number of parties in a coalition or the number of ministers in the cabinet we test all these determinants against each other and against perhaps the oldest explanation of all ideology we show that cabinet size and to a lesser degree coalition size and ideology are significant and robust determinants of fiscal outcomes in particular transfers are the budget items most affected by these factors

the aggregate and distributional effects of financial globalization evidence from macro and sectoral data we take a fresh look at the aggregate and distributional effects of policies to liberalize international capital flows financial globalization both country and industry level results suggest that such policies have led on average to limited output gains while contributing to significant increases in inequality that is they pose an equity efficiency trade off behind this average lies considerable heterogeneity in effects depending on country characteristics liberalization increases output in countries with high financial depth and those that avoid financial crises while distributional effects are more pronounced in countries with low financial depth and inclusion and where liberalization is followed by a crisis difference indifference estimates using sectoral data suggest that liberalization episodes reduce the share of labor income particularly for industries with higher external financial dependence those with a higher natural propensity to use layoffs to adjust to idiosyncratic shocks and those with a higher elasticity of substitution between capital and labor the sectoral results underpin a causal interpretation of the findings using macro data

a double hurdle model of cigarette consumption this paper shows the importance of the double hurdle approach for modelling individuals cigarette consumption using data from the uk general household survey and argues that participation and consumption should be treated as separate individual choices the likelihood function for the full double hurdle is derived and it is shown how restrictions on the stochastic specification of the model and auxillary information which identifies ex smokers allow it to be decomposed the empirical results highlight the value of the sample separation information and the need to model starting and quitting as separate decisions

agricultural technology adoption and child nutrition enhancement improved maize varieties in rural ethiopia adoption of improved crop varieties can lead to multiple benefits to farm households including increased productivity incomes and food consumption however possible impacts of adoption on child nutrition outcomes are rarely explored in the literature this article helps bridge this gap through an impact assessment of the adoption of improved maize varieties imvs on child nutrition outcomes using a recent household survey from rural ethiopia the conceptual linkage between imv adoption and child nutrition is first established using an agricultural household model instrumental variable estimation suggests the overall impacts of adoption on child height for age and weight for age z scores to be positive and significant quantile instrumental variable regressions further reveal that such impacts are largest among children with poorest nutrition outcomes finally by combining a decomposition procedure with system of equations estimation it is found that the increase in own produced maize consumption is the major channel through which imv adoption affects child nutrition

utilizing conjoint analysis to design modern crop varieties empirical example for groundnut in niger abstract preferences for monetary and non monetary plant traits influence modern crop variety adoption decisions of farmers to enhance adoption probability of modern crop varieties it is necessary to identify and focus research on traits that significantly contribute to utility while de emphasizing insignificant plant attributes this paper illustrates the potential for applying conjoint analysis to aid the design and targeting of client responsive modern crop varieties farmers ranked eight orthogonally derived plant trait combinations used in an illustrative example utilities were estimated using the choice probability based method of ordered probit results showed that conjoint analysis can differentiate significant and non significant traits of modern crop varieties the usefulness of applying conjoint analysis over identifiable disaggregated groups of a sample was also evident future application of conjoint analysis to the design and targeting of modern crop varieties should carefully consider sample composition and size to permit the estimation of relevant sub models for desired farmer segments

coalition governments versus minority governments bargaining power cohesion and budgeting outcomes recent empirical work investigating the role of minoritygovernments in the selection of fiscal policies has shown thatthe majority status does not affect the budget size thispaper presents an analytical framework which accounts for thisresult it combines a government formation game and a budgetgame involving cabinet and parliament a general indifferenceresult applies an exogenous shock to the bargaininigenvironment which absorbes the cohesion of the governmentincreases the demand for expenditures at the same time theconditions for the formation of a minority government arefulfilled if the formateur is strong a minority governmentcan be a device for cutting expenditures

the effect of development aid unpredictability and migrants remittances on fiscal consolidation in developing countries summary we use panel data on 74 developing countries for the period 1980 2007 to examine the effects of aid unpredictability and migrants remittances on fiscal consolidation in these countries using two definitions of fiscal adjustment and a conditional logit model to perform our analysis evidence is shown that except for the case of low income countries especially gradual fiscal retrenchment remittances increase the likelihood of fiscal consolidation be the latter gradual or rapid surprisingly we observe that aid unpredictability does not affect the adoption of fiscal consolidation measures in all the groups considered

farmers perceptions and adoption of new agricultural technology evidence from analysis in burkina faso and guinea west africa economists investigating consumer demand have accumulated considerable evidence showing that consumers generally have subjective preferences for characteristics of products and that their demand for products is significantly affected by their perceptions of the product s attributes however the role of farmers preferences in adoption decisions have received very limited attention in adoption studies conducted by economists this paper tests the hypothesis that farmers perceptions of technology characteristics significantly affect their adoption decisions the analysis conducted with tobit models of modern sorghum and rice varietal technologies in burkina faso and guinea respectively strongly supports this hypothesis our results provide a strong case for future adoption studies to expand the range of variables used away from the broad socio economic demographic and institutional factors to include farmers subjective perceptions of the characteristics of new agricultural technologies