scientific ambiguity and climate policy economic evaluation of climate policy traditionally treats uncertainty by appealing to expected utility theory yet our knowledge of the impacts of climate policy may not be of sufficient quality to be described by unique probabilistic beliefs in such circumstances it has been argued that the axioms of expected utility theory may not be the correct standard of rationality by contrast several axiomatic frameworks have recently been proposed that account for ambiguous knowledge in this paper we apply static and dynamic versions of a smooth ambiguity model to climate mitigation policy we obtain a general result on the comparative statics of optimal abatement and ambiguity aversion and then extend our analysis to a more realistic dynamic setting where we introduce scientific ambiguity into the well known dice model of the climate economy system for policy relevant exogenous mitigation policies we show that the value of emissions abatement increases as ambiguity aversion increases and that this ambiguity premium can in some plausible cases be very large in these cases the effect of ambiguity aversion on welfare is comparable to that of other much studied welfare parameters thus ambiguity aversion may be an important neglected aspect of climate change economics and seems likely to provide another argument for strong abatement policy

the probability of sale and price premiums in withdrawn auctioned properties this paper examines the impact of the auction process of residential properties that whilst unsuccessful at auction sold subsequently the empirical analysis considers both the probability of sale and the premium of the subsequent sale price over the guide price reserve and opening bid the findings highlight that the final achieved sale price is influenced by key price variables revealed both prior to and during the auction itself factors such as auction participation the number of individual bidders and the number of bids are significant in a number of the alternative specifications

a note on national income in a dynamic economy abstract we review the properties of the static measure of changes in economic welfare national income in a dynamic economy it is possible to establish attractive welfare properties by rather simple arguments and this can be estimated from current data its welfare properties are preferable to those of net national product and comparable to those of the state valuation function

organizational efficiency and monopoly power the case of french industrial groups abstract in this paper we examine the respective roles of efficiency and of market power considerations in explaining why industrial groups are the predominant form of organization in specific industries our econometric analysis of french industrial groups suggests that administrative and organizational efficiency is an adequate explanation for the existence of these groups and that rivalry between groups differently integrated and diversified is more likely to be the case than collusion

competition from specialized firms and the diversification performance linkage in this study we show that the effect of diversification on performance is not homogeneous across industries and explore analytically and empirically the implications of this finding for the diversification literature diversified firms perform better in industries with a small number of nondiversified competitors or equivalently when specialized firms have a small combined market share but worse as the presence of specialized firms increases in the industries in which they compete the results are robust to the use of methods that alleviate the self selection problem and call for a reassessment of the diversification performance relationship

optimal growth resource amenities and the preservation of natural environments this paper examines the conditions for which it is optimal to permanently preserve natural environments in which a productive natural resource is found the conditions are more restrictive than those previously indicated in the literature on the economics of natural environments increasing consumption and declining commodity prices are not sufficient to warrant permanent preservation the initial capital stock can be an important determinant of the optimal level of preservation in addition resource amenity values will increase the initial resource price and decrease the rate of growth of the resource price the natural world provides a variety of services to the human community natural resources are essential inputs in the production of goods and services in addition the natural world generates a variety of amenity services including the scientific recreational and aesthetic value of preserved natural environments krutilla 1967 krutilla and fisher 1975a this paper examines the impact of resource amenity values on the optimal growth of an economy which depends upon natural resource inputs for the production of goods and services in particular the paper examines the conditions under which it is optimal to permanently preserve some natural environments in which the productive resource is found the conditions which warrant permanent preservation are more restrictive than previously indicated by the literature on the economics of natural environments increasing consumption and declining commodity prices are not sufficient to warrant permanent preservation in addition the initial capital endowment can be an important determinant of the optimal level of preservation

climate change policy what do the models tell us very little a plethora of integrated assessment models iams have been constructed and used to estimate the social cost of carbon scc and evaluate alternative abatement policies these models have crucial flaws that make them close to useless as tools for policy analysis certain inputs e g the discount rate are arbitrary but have huge effects on the scc estimates the models produce the models descriptions of the impact of climate change are completely ad hoc with no theoretical or empirical foundation and the models can tell us nothing about the most important driver of the scc the possibility of a catastrophic climate outcome iam based analyses of climate policy create a perception of knowledge and precision but that perception is illusory and misleading jel c51 q54 q58

explaining interfirm cooperation and performance toward a reconciliation of predictions from the resource based view and organizational economics interfirm cooperation and its performance implications are examined in the context of two widely cited theoretical approaches to organizations broadly speaking the resource based view suggests that firms seek to capitalize on and increase their capabilities and endowments whereas organizational economics asserts that firms focus on minimizing the costs of organizing although these perspectives agree on managers likely actions in many areas their predictions diverge when interfirm cooperation is considered we take a step toward reconciling these differences by positing that firms place resource based concerns in front of considerations from organizational economics when deciding whether or not to engage in interfirm cooperation we examined this prediction using data from 94 publicly held restaurant chains the results support our integrated view but also suggest that giving primacy to resource concerns detracts from the performance of some firms we derive several implications of these findings in an effort to guide subsequent inquiry copyright 1999 john wiley sons ltd

stock auction bidding behavior and information asymmetries an empirical analysis using the discriminatory auction model framework abstract this paper empirically analyzes bidding behavior and information asymmetries of stock auctions using a discriminatory auction model framework analyzing stock auctions using auction theory is important because it provides a logical framework for explaining observable behaviors and a solid foundation for empirical testing because of limited availability of stock auction data existing empirical research based on auction theory focus mainly on treasury auctions away from the treasury markets however there is a significant paucity of literature on this subject in this study we make use of a detailed stock auction data set from the taiwan stock exchange to empirically examine the behaviors of the taiwan stock auction market within the framework of the auction theory our results show that the level of competition the dispersion of opinion among bidders and the bidder s risk aversion are significant in determining auction prices results also show that if the offering prices are set equal to the average offering prices the first day post initial public offering abnormal return will be equal to zero additionally we find institutional bidders possess superior bidding skills compared to small bidders and that underwriter s characteristics influence the bidding results

the if how and where of assessing sustainable resource use in today s economies those who sustain the burden of resource use those using resources and those providing resources are not necessarily identical with this separation come three fundamental but interrelated decision making perspectives on the sustainability assessment of resource use these three perspectives correspond to the three assessment questions if how and where resources should be used most sustainability assessment approaches do not make their underlying assessment perspectives explicit the goal of this paper is to provide structure and organisation to existing approaches this structuring suggests that any discussion on the appropriateness and validity of different assessment approaches and their results must take into account the underlying assessment perspective the three questions if how and where resources should be used correspond to the requirements of a sustainable resource use while existing assessments do address the three questions in isolation it is all the more important that the limitations and implications of focusing on a single perspective are spelled out as the main contribution the paper distinguishes the rationale of each assessment perspective and develops on their interlinkages and thus provides the context and structure for a more informed and fruitful debate on the assessment of sustainable resource use

multiproduct technology and market structure a recent line of research has exposed some technological determinants of the structure of industries that produce more than one good the analyses of both multiproduct perfect competition and natural monopoly require a generalized notion of average cost and in addition several newly identified technological characteristics pertinent only to joint production this paper provides an overview of these new results and suggests a unifying framework in which the theory can be further developed

treasury auction bids and the salomon squeeze recent press accounts claim that collusion is common practice in treasury auctions and that as a result the auction profits are excessive but this paper finds that the auction prices are on average marginally higher than the secondary market bid prices the auction profits however are systematically related to the total fraction of winning bids tendered by banks and dealers the postauction prices of the two year notes in which salomon brothers had a 94 percent holding are also examined the secondary market prices of these notes were significantly higher than the estimated competitive prices in the four week postissue period

the impact of order and mode of market entry on profitability and market share market share performance and profitability of overseas business activities has long been an important issue in international business in this study we explore the impact of order and mode of market entry into an overseas market we find that early entrants have significantly higher market shares and profitability than late followers we also find that equity joint ventures have a higher profitability than either wholly owned operations or contractual joint ventures a significant interaction exists between order and mode of market entry as expected firm efficiency and size affect the performance of firms these results are based on the business activities of a sample of 14 466 foreign firms in china in 1995

will u s agriculture really benefit from global warming accounting for irrigation in the hedonic approach will u s agriculture really benefit from global warming accounting for irrigation in the hedonic approach wolfram schlenker w michael hanemann and anthony c fisher there has been a lively debate about the potential impact of global climate change on u s agriculture most of the early agro economic studies predict large damages see for example richard m adams 1989 harry m kaiser et al 1993 and adams et al 1995 in an innovative paper robert mendelsohn william d nordhaus and daigee shaw 1994 hereafter mns propose a new approach using the variation in temperature and precipitation across u s counties to estimate a reduced form hedonic equation with the value of farmland as the dependent variable a change in temperature and or precipitation is then associated with a change in farmland value which can be interpreted as the impact of climate change adams et al 1998 characterize the hedonic approach as a spatial analogue approach and acknowledge that the strength of the spatial analogue approach is that structural changes and farm responses are implicit in the analysis freeing the analyst from the burden of estimating the e ects of climate change on particular region speci c crops and farmer responses on the other hand one of the potential disadvantages of the hedonic approach is that it is a partial equilibrium analysis i e agricultural prices are assumed to remain constant 1 while year to year uctuations in annual weather conditions certainly have the potential to impact current commodity prices especially for crops produced only in a relatively localized area such as citrus fruits which are grown mainly in california and florida changes in long run weather patterns i e changes in climate might have a smaller e ect on commodity prices because of the greater potential for economic adaptation particularly shifts in growing regions 2 the hedonic approach as implemented by mns predicts that existing agricultural land on average might be more productive and hence result in bene ts for u s farmers 3 the hedonic approach has received considerable attention in our judgment in part because the conclusions are at variance with those of some other studies

aggregation of heterogeneous time preferences we examine an economy whose consumers have different discount factors for utility possibly not exponential we characterize the properties of efficient allocations of resources and of the shadow prices that would decentralize such allocations we show in particular that the representative agent has a decreasing discount rate when as is usually posited all of a group s members have a constant discount rate and decreasing absolute risk aversion preferences we also identify conditions that lead the representative agent to have a rate of impatience that decreases with gross domestic product per capita

labour and productivity it has long been commonplace to claim that trade unions and worker attitudes are important constraints upon the level and growth of productivity such problems are seen to be especially acute in britain arguments of this kind are to be found in the early stages of the industrial rev olution and have been voiced on numerous occasions ever since the debate over the relation ship between labour and productivity has been considerable over the last two decades first with moves to reform workplace industrial relations and more recently with a variety of legislative and market based initiatives drawing upon a variety of theories this paper seeks to explore a number of organisational characteristics which may help to explain the relationship between labour and productivity

the convergence of economic systems and the m form abstract this paper draws together two areas of economic theory williamson s transactional analysis of the capitalist corporation and the role of technology in comparative economic systems it considers the m form as an organizational innovation under capitalism central planning and self management and comes to the conclusion that this new technology does not seem to have promoted the convergence of economic systems rather the m form s experience suggests that new technology has an impact consistent with ambivalence theory which sees new technologies as being adapted to suit the status quo

an advantage of the multiproduct firm the transferability of firm specific capital abstract in a world of uncertainty particular benefits of multiproduct organization arise out of a need to revise production plans when transactions for inputs are costly production involves inputs which are firm specific the ability to transfer firm specific inputs withi n the multiproduct firm yields benefits not available to the single product firm these benefits to firm diversification are not dependent on the assumption of managerial risk aversion and cannot be replicated by investors diversifying their portfolios

financial services and the urban system an exploration financial services have come to represent an increasingly important sector in the economies of developed nations although a substantial literature has accumulated on this topic relatively little attention has been given to the locational aspects of nancial services an attempt is made here to examine the spatial structure of this sector in terms of the urban system drawing on the principles of central place theory the limitations and applicability of which are considered this is followed by a discussion of the salient features of financial services within the overall urban system after describing the differentiation of financial services in frequency terms the hierarchical structure of the uk urban system is outlined these two aspects are then related in order to demonstrate the ordered nature of the spatial structure of financial services there follows a brief discussion of the findings and their implications for future work

the expected stop out price in a discriminating auction abstract optimal bidding strategies and expected seller revenues in price discriminating auctions have been derived in previous studies we extend this research by characterizing the behavior of the expected stop out price for such auctions

signalling by underwriter retention rate in the ipo market underwriters in taiwan have to purchase 10 25 of shares offered in initial public offerings ipos for their own accounts we present a signalling model showing that the underwriter retention rate can serve as a signal of firm value to investors because underwriters are investors as well this mechanism can reduce information asymmetry between issuers and investors the model shows that when underwriters retain more proportion of ipo shares in equilibrium the initial return is greater and the subscription success rate is lower we further test the propositions using 616 ipo firms in taiwan for the period 1998 2004 overall the empirical results support the propositions developed from the signalling model

capital market information and industrial performance the role of west german banks in orthodox theory external capital markets play a dual role supplying various forms of investment finance and disciplining firms which are inefficient or fail to pursue profit goals an extensive literature speaks of the efficiency of external capital markets meaning that firms can make production investment decisions and investors can choose among the securities that represent ownership of firms activities under the assumption that security prices at any time fully reflect all available information fama i970 1 however this concept of efficiency is purely technical it depends critically on what information is available and we know there are problems of appropriability and failure in information markets deriving ultimately from certain peculiarities of information as a commodity arrow i962 thus another growing literature focusses on problems of achieving equilibrium in markets where agents are imperfectly or asymmetrically informed amongst other things this literature shows that informational failures of the kind in question can lead to capital rationing in loan and credit markets and the use of strict collateral requirements as screening devices jaffee and russell i976 stiglitz and weiss i98i cable and turner i983 these may then be expected to affect the efficiency of individual firms and the system as a whole capital shortage implies that some profitable investment opportunities are foregone and production choices may also be distorted by the need to satisfy additional financial constraints contrived to elicit signals of creditworthiness of the firms undertaking them similarly the disciplining role of external capital markets can be impaired by information impactedness williamson i975 and the costs of mobilising and giving effect to shareholders preferences thus in the principal agent framework developed by jensen and meckling i976 and fama i980 the degree of constraint on managerial pursuit of non profit goals as posited by managerial theorists depends on the transactions costs of stock owner intervention the result is an optimal degree of departure from cost minimising profit maximising behaviour determined by the level of transactions costs institutional factors which affect the way information is distributed amongst agents can therefore have an important bearing on allocative and technical efficiency and the west german system of industrial finance provides an in

the demand for stocks an analysis of ipo auctions we analyze a unique dataset that includes the full demand schedules of 27 israeli ipos that were conducted as nondiscriminatory uniform price auctions to the best of our knowledge this is the first time the whole demand schedule for any asset is described the demand schedules are relatively flat around the auction clearing price the average elasticity is 27 the elasticity is low when the return distribution contains a large unique component we also find a significant average abnormal return of 4 5 on the first trading day and a positive correlation between the abnormal return and the elasticity of demand article published by oxford university press on behalf of the society for financial studies in its journal the review of financial studies

merger policy and competition an analysis of the monopolies and mergers commission s decisions the way in which the monopolies and mergers commission views effective competition when reaching decisions involving referred merger bids is examined the objective is to identify issues which the commission has highlighted as important and hence is concerned with subjective rather than objective characteristics it is argued that an expected decrease in competition was a critical reason for having a bid disallowed whereas bids which were expected to either increase competition or leave it unaffected were likely to be allowed the analysis then examines the cause of these differing competition conclusions in particular those relating to avoiding the commission concluding that competition was likely to decrease probit analysis was used to estimate the relationships and it was found that for the increase decrease competition sample the important variables were market share and price in the decrease no change in competition sample the significant variables were efficiency the balance of payments pr

the global configuration of a speculative trading operation an empirical study of foreign exchange trading this paper proposes a theory of firm boundaries based on fore knowledge development and exploitation in speculative or informed trading foreign exchange trading provides this study s empirical context from research on information economics we suggest optimal speculative trading operations are multiunit and globally dispersed alternatively transaction cost economics suggests atomistic actors prevail in the market for fungible commodities like currencies we also develop competing hypotheses about information technology s effects on foreign exchange trading operations speculation arguments predict that the global scope of trading operations will expand after the introduction of generic information technologies transaction cost economics proposes that when atomistic actors do not prevail trading operations will contract after this introduction we test competing predictions with models of the expansion contraction and net change in a firm s global dispersion we estimate these models with data from the population of banks worldwide engaged in interbank foreign exchange currency fx trading from 1974 to 1993 our results uncover two types of firms those that approach the atomistic actor of transaction cost economics and those that resemble the globally dispersed multiunit configuration from our speculation discussion these results encourage reflection on how the theory of the firm differs when firms trade to produce versus speculate

strategy structure and performance of korean business groups a transactions cost approach the authors use the transactions cost approach to analyze the diversification strategy and the resulting structure chosen by korean business groups to overcome market imperfections prevalent in developing countries business groups that have multidivisional struc ture are thought to show superior economic performance because such s tructure reduces transactions costs arising from organizational failure also major korean business groups have a relational structure showing both vertical integration and the characteristics of the conglomerate the authors modify the model of r e caves and m uekusa 1976 used for japan to obtain the empirical result tha t group affiliated firms show superior economic performance copyright 1988 by blackwell publishing ltd

a review of the stern review on the economics of climate change the stern review calls for immediate decisive action to stabilize greenhouse gases because the benefits of strong early action on climate change outweighs the costs the economic analysis supporting this conclusion consists mostly of two basic strands the first strand is a formal aggregative model that relies for its conclusions primari ly upon imposing a very low discount rate concerning this discount rate aspect i am skeptical of the review s formal analysis but this essay points out that we are actual ly a lot less sure about what interest rate should be used for discounting climate change than is commonly acknowledged the review s second basic strand is a more intuitive argument that it might be very important to avoid possibly large uncertain ties that are difficult to quantify concerning this uncertainty aspect i argue that it might be recast into sound analytical reasoning that might justify some of the review s conclusions the basic issue here is that spending money to slow global warming should perhaps not be conceptualized primarily as being about consump tion smoothing as much as being about how much insurance to buy to offset the small change of a ruinous catastrophe that is difficult to compensate by ordinary savings

the entrepreneurial m form strategic integration in global media firms many researchers believe that bounded rationality prevents ceos in large complex multidivisional m form corporations from personally formulating division level strategies instead ceos are seen as guiding a bottom up process whereby division managers propose strategies for review and approval by the corporate office contrary to this view we argue that ceos in global media firms frequently drive strategy in a top down manner especially when their firms seek to expand by integrating the activities of two or more existing divisions we refer to such firms as entrepreneurial m forms and maintain that their reliance on an activist ceo offers benefits 1 in turbulent environments when the use of slow bottom up planning processes risks forfeiting first mover advantages and 2 when expansion entails major capital commitments and division managers may be reluctant to accept the career risks associated with sponsorship of bet the company projects

climate clubs overcoming free riding in international climate policy notwithstanding great progress in scientific and economic under standing of climate change it has proven difficult to forge inter national agreements because of free riding as seen in the defunct kyoto protocol this study examines the club as a model for international climate policy based on economic theory and empirical modeling it finds that without sanctions against non participants there are no stable coalitions other than those with minimal abatement by contrast a regime with small trade penalties on non participants a climate club can induce a large stable coalition with high levels of abatement jel q54 q58 k32 k33

opportunism incentives and the m form hypothesis a laboratory study abstract opportunism is one central premise of the m form hypothesis this premise is investigated in a laboratory experiment using m form and u form organizations under incentives based on corporate profit and divisional profits there was greater opportunism under u form organization than under the m form and under divisional profit than under corporate profit incentives additionally a misguided altruism lead a number of individuals to misrepresent information the m form yields higher performance than the u form also corporate profit incentives yield higher total profit than divisional profit incentives the results partially explain why empirical studies do not strongly support the m form hypothesis

is knowledge power knowledge flows subsidiary power and rent seeking within mncs in recent years as multinational corporation mnc subsidiaries have become more closely linked to international networks their knowledge intensity has risen and some of their r d has gained a more creative role simultaneously and often connectedly many subsidiaries have acquired considerable strategic independence in all aspects of their operations and therefore are able to exercise considerable intra firm bargaining power to influence the distribution of the firm s resources in this context we suggest that intra mnc knowledge flows are a key determinant of subsidiary bargaining power we argue that subsidiary managers can exploit such power to pursue their own ends such rent seeking behavior is implicit in much of the literature on managerialism but our analysis suggests that such behavior can now occur in headquarters subsidiary and subsidiary subsidiary relations thus subsidiary strategic independence designed to enhance the competitiveness of outputs market knowledge and inputs asset seeking and learning can be corroded when the pursuit of subsidiary objectives encourages rent seeking empirical analysis of a sample of high technology subsidiaries in the uk provides strong support for the theory we examine several avenues whereby the incentives of units within the mnc can be aligned

the valuation of complex derivatives by major investment firms empirical evidence this article examines the auction of a portfolio of collateralized mortgage obligations cmos to major broker dealers and institutional investors the unique data set allows us to analyze a number of important empirical questions related to the valuation of cmos by the bidders and the elasticity of demand for the securities the results reveal that the valuations differ substantially implying a significant elasticity of demand this article is designed to shed light on two related questions first it extends the work of bagwell 1991 1992 brown and ryngaert 1990 and bradley desai and kim 1988 among others on shareholder heterogeneity and the elasticity of the demand for financial assets to date the empirical research on investor heterogeneity has focused on common stock this article supplements previous work by examining an auction of another class of securities complex collateralized mortgage obligations cmos to major securities dealers and institutional investors second it provides perspective on fixed income valuation models in the spirit of cox ingersoll and ross 1985 and black derman and toy 1990 virtually all of these models even those that specify relatively complex interest rate processes assume homogeneous beliefs this implies that within the constraints imposed by estimation error sophisticated investors should place equal values on fixed income securities bagwell observes that investors can be heterogeneous along several dimensions first heterogeneity can be induced by tax rules to the extent that different investors are taxed in different ways their demand for securities will be affected second transaction costs can cause heterogeneity by driving a wedge between buyers sellers and owners of a security third investors can differ in their assessments of the value of a security either because they possess different information or because they analyze that information in different ways fourth investors can face different nontradeable risks and thus can have different assessments of the value of a security depending on how it interacts with these risks finally it has been suggested by lee shleifer and thaler 1991 among others that investors may differ for idio

resource security competition for global resources strategic intent and governments as owners we develop a resource security theory by examining the intent of acquisitions of scarce resources by multinational firms results suggest that owners of firms can shape the intent of resource acquisitions specifically state owned enterprises soes tend to acquire and pay more for resources for exploration rather than exploitation this is because soes owners governments are most concerned with securing their country s future we contribute to the literature by suggesting that ownership influences resource acquisitions that resource security is of importance to multinational enterprises and that soes invest abroad to safeguard both their own and their home countries future

managerial incentives and investment in r d in large multiproduct firms incentives for division managers in large firms affect their risk orientation and thus their decisions to invest in r d this paper reviews theory and hypothesizes that division managers incentive compensation that is based on financial performance is negatively related to risk taking as measured by r d intensity results of a study of 184 major u s firms suggest that incentives based on short term annual division financial performance are negatively related to total firm r d intensity after controlling for industry r d intensity firm diversification size and group structure furthermore the results suggest that an emphasis on long term financial incentives may mitigate the negative relationship between these incentives and r d intensity but does not promote risk taking the results suggest the importance of emphasizing strategic controls evaluating division managers based on operational understanding of strategies proposed strategic criteria as opposed to the use of financial controls evalua

the economics of the climate i review the economic characteristics of the climate problem focusing on the choice of discount rates in the presence of a stock externality risk and uncertainty ambiguity and the role of integrated assessment models iams in analyzing policy choices i suggest that iams can play a role in providing qualitative understanding of how complex systems behave but are not accurate enough to provide quantitative insights arguments in favor of action on climate issues have to be based on aversion to risk and ambiguity and the need to avoid a small but positive risk of a disastrous outcome

as the left foot follows the right the dynamics of strategic and structural change this study empirically tested the contingency relationship between strategy and structure proposed by chandler and others with hypotheses linking the probability timing and magnitude of changes i

are we consuming too much this paper articulates and applies frameworks for examining whether consumption is excessive we consider two criteria for the possible excessiveness or insufficiency of current consumption one is an intertemporal utility maximization criterion actual current consumption is deemed excessive if it is higher than the level of current consumption on the consumption path that maximizes the present discounted value of utility the other is a sustainability criterion which requires that current consumption be consistent with non declining living standards over time we extend previous theoretical approaches by offering a formula for the sustainability criterion that accounts for population growth and technological change in applying this formula we find that some poor regions of the world are failing to meet the sustainability criterion in these regions genuine wealth per capita is falling as investments in human and manufactured capital are not sufficient to offset the depletion of natural capital

internal capital market controls and financial performance in multidivisional firms it is proposed that within the population of m form firms the control systems necessary to realize economic benefits from interrelationships between subunits o f a firm are incompatible with the systems necessary to realize benef its from an m form type internal capital market this hypothesis is t ested on 156 large u k firms questionnaire data are used to classif y the firms according to their internal control characteristics the findings provide tentative support for the hypothesis copyright 1988 by blackwell publishing ltd

how should the distant future be discounted when discount rates are uncertain abstract the so called weitzman gollier puzzle is the fact that two seemingly symmetric and equally plausible ways of dealing with uncertain future discount rates appear to give diametrically opposed results the puzzle is resolved when agents optimize their consumption plans the long run discount rate declines over time toward its lowest possible value

determinants of venture capital firms preferences regarding the industry diversity and geographic scope of their investments abstract competition is intensifying in the venture capital industry in the u s the number of venture capital firms vcfs tripled from 1980 to 1989 supplier power in the form of institutional investors such as pension funds continues to grow foreign venture capital has grown to the extent that commitments to foreign vcfs exceeded domestic commitments in both 1988 and 1989 further alternative sources of financing for entrepreneurs such as individual investors angels corporations and strategic alliances are increasingly viable options vcfs face pressure to seek lower risk investments improve rates of return and provide value to new venture development surprisingly few scholarly studies have begun to investigate the strategies vcfs are aiming to implement in order to deal with this increasing pressure building on the premise that decisions regarding product market scope are a key component of firm strategy hofer and schendel 1978 this study examined 169 domestic vcfs in order to identify factors that might explain variations in preferences regarding the industry diversity and geographic scope of their investments the sample drawn from california massachusetts and texas represented about 27 of all u s based vcfs in 1987 the year in which the data were gathered in terms of the total size of investment portfolio the average for these 169 vcfs was 69 8 million which is statistically indistinguishable from the u s average of 65 million results indicate that 1 vcfs specializing in early stage ventures prefer less industry diversity and narrower geographic scope relative to other vcfs 2 corporate vcfs i e those owned by non financial corporations prefer less industry diversity but broader geographic scope relative to non corporate vcfs 3 larger vcfs prefer greater industry diversity and broader geographic scope than do smaller vcfs and 4 provision of small business investment companies sbic financing by the vcf has no impact on preferences regarding industry diversity but is associated with a preference for narrower geographic scope one implication of these results is that vcfs in the u s are not homogeneous as regards the intended product market scope of their portfolios this in turn holds implications not only for vcfs but also for their suppliers limited partners buyers entrepreneurs and policy makers vcfs can no longer rely on haphazard investment schemes they need to attract investors by virtue of the benefits offered by their portfolio strategy and they need to attract superior investments via offering valueadded services and know how potential investors in venture capital will want to examine for example the impact on risk and return of investing smaller amounts in several vcfs at one extreme versus making one large investment in a very diversified vcf at the other extreme the results of this and other studies suggest that outcomes timing magnitude and riskiness of returns of choosing such alternatives will vary widely and will depend in great part on the strategies of the vcfs involved it will not be possible for investors to make wise choices without a full examination of their own objectives and of the profiles of vcfs entrepreneurs with the most attractive ventures have alternative sources of financing to consider and should weigh the benefits of being financed and supported by various vcfs as part of the vcfs portfolios knowing a vcf s preferences regarding product market scope improves their chances of approaching and selecting the right fit and for those entrepreneurs with a narrower set of options such knowledge may make the difference between receiving and not receiving financing in a timely manner finally policy makers may be able to make use of knowledge of the forces that influence the investment strategies of vcfs presently concerns for policy makers may include the gap in seed capital increased foreign presence in the u s market and the export of promising innovative technology via alliances with foreign firms all of these factors are influenced by the strategies pursued by vcfs as they jockey for position in the increasingly competitive venture capital market

the adoption of the m form organizational structure a test of imitation hypothesis the study of organizational adoption of administrative innovations has been generally guided by the imitation hypothesis this hypothesis states that within a relevant population of firms an innovation is first adopted by a select few innovators who communicate and influence others to adopt it resulting in a predictable diffusion pattern using data on the adoption of the m form organizational structure this paper reexamines this hypothesis based on the reported results we cannot reject the null hypothesis that organizational adoption of administrative innovations is characterized by a white noise process this result brings into question the appropriateness of the imitation hypothesis limitations and implications of the results are discussed

internal organization and economic performance an empirical analysis of the profitability of principal firms business historians have long been aware that organizational innovations have had remarkable productivity ramifications a h cole has asserted that if changes in business procedures and practices were patentable the contributions of business change to the economic growth of the nation would be as widely recognized as the influence of mechanical inventions 9 pp 61 62 some economists have come to recognize the role of organizational innovation kenneth arrow noting that truly among man s innovations the use of organization to accomplish his ends is among both his greatest and earliest 2 p 2441 oliver williamson 271 has further championed the study of organizational innovation doing much to provide the theoretical underpinnings necessary to bring the topic into the corpus of economic theory furthermore richard caves has observed that both corporate strategy and organizational structure influence the economic performance of the firm and the market in which it sells 6 p 641 however structural parameters are absent from the neoclassical theory of production which masquerades as the economic theory of the firm developments in the theory of the firm are unlikely to accommodate organizational structure considerations until connections between structure and performance have been demonstrated empirically the purpose of this paper is to explore the relationships between a particular kind of decentralized and divisionalized internal hierarchical structure what oliver williamson has called the m form innovation 27 ch 81 and firm profitability in essence the methodology involves examining the differential performance between the m form innovator in an industry and its principal rival application of two non parametric statistical tests the sign test and the wilcoxon matched pairs signed ranks test is supportive of the hypothesis that the m form structure is associated with superior firm

corporate strategy and the management of innovation and technology this paper explores the evolution of corporate organization with special attention to the organization of r d more specifically the paper addresses the comparative long term organizational dynamics of management of innovation and technology in two different types of technology based industrial companies the related diversifier pursuing synergistic economies and the vertical integrator pursuing vertical economies these types of companies are illustrated by case studies of two large danish manufacturing companies the analysis aligns the strategic management literature on strategy and structure in large companies with the literature on management of innovation and technology it is argued that the organizational design for managing innovation and technology is contingent on both the overall strategy structure profile and dynamics of the companies and on key characteristics of their particular innovation and technology strategies

an analysis of bidding in the japanese government bond auctions we examine the bidding patterns and auction profits in the japanese government bond jgb auctions and empirically test the predictions of auction theory we find that the average profit in jgb auctions is not reliably different from zero and the degree of competition and the level of uncertainty are insignificant in determining auction profits the winning shares of the u s dealers are positively related to auction profits whereas the winning shares of their japanese counterparts show a negative association we also find that the share of winnings of japanese dealers tends to be correlated with the share of winnings of their compatriot dealers but a similar relation is not found for u s dealers

global cities and multinational enterprise location strategy we combine the concept of location derived by economic geographers with theories of the multinational enterprise mne and the liability of foreignness developed by international business scholars to examine the factors that propel mnes toward or away from global cities we argue that three distinctive characteristics of global cities global interconnectedness cosmopolitanism and abundance of advanced producer services help mnes overcome the costs of doing business abroad and we identify the contingencies under which these characteristics combine with firm attributes to exert their strongest influence consistent with these arguments our analysis of a large sample of mne location decisions using a multilevel multinomial model suggests not only that mnes have a strong propensity to locate within global cities but also that these choices are associated with a nuanced interplay of firm and subsidiary level factors including investment motives proprietary capabilities and business strategy our study provides important insights for international business scholars by shedding new light on mne location choices and also contributes to our understanding of economic geography by examining the heterogeneous strategies and capabilities of mnes the primary agents of economic globalization that shape the nature of global cities

assessing the economic cost of greenhouse induced sea level rise methods and application in support of a national survey the potential cost of sea level rise has dominated many of the recent estimates of the economic damage that greenhouse warming might inflict on the united states over the course of the next century the cost of coastal protection and abandonment accounted for more than 80 of the early nordhaus estimate of likely damages part of a review of the then existing evidence which suggested that an effective doubling of atmospheric carbon concentrations might cost 0 26 of annual gdp the proportion of total cost attributed to sea level rise was a much smaller 11 in cline but the sea level rise costs that he quoted were among the most broadly accepted of his longer list of damages the relative importance of sea level rise in assessing the potential cost of greenhouse warming and thus in evaluating the potential benefit of any mitigating strategy has brought the original damage estimates under closer scrutiny a series of integrated assessments of aggregate damages has begun each has noted that the titus estimates were based on the assumptions that all developed property would be protected and that all undeveloped property including wetlands would be abandoned these assumptions were supported by comparisons of the economic vulnerability estimatesmore produced by yohe and protection cost estimates produced by weggel but they are clearly too simplistic some of each type of property will be abandoned though in which case the true future economic cost of sacrificed property must also be added to the damage calculus across an equally diverse collection of coastal sites moreover the decision of when whether and for how long to protect any piece of property will involve accurately weighing the tradeoff between the cost of its protection and the economic cost of its abandonment a balancing calculation which must be conducted on a site by site basis the key is to consider the world as it is likely to be and not necessarily as it is now 26 refs 1 fig 7 tabs less

discriminatory versus uniform treasury auctions evidence from when issued transactions abstract we use when issued transactions data to assess the treasury s current experiment with uniform auctions when issued volume is higher under uniform as compared to discriminatory auctions suggesting a higher information release which should reduce pre auction uncertainty and the winner s curse under uniform auctions when issued volatility falls after the auction and again after the outcome announcement the pattern is the opposite for discriminatory auctions this is further evidence that uniform auctions increase pre auction information and lower the short squeeze a direct comparison of markups in uniform and discriminatory auctions yields mixed results

product complementarities capabilities and governance a dynamic transaction cost perspective the organization and governance of the transactions that comprise a bundling arrangement depend on the distribution of capabilities among firms and the amount of time during which the window of opportunity for earning rents is expected to remain open firms engaged in inter firm collaboration must undertake support transactions related to billing marketing customer support and product repair these support transactions differ from the core transactions that have traditionally been perceived as sufficient to provide a product bundle since support transactions create costs of their own the market may turn out to be an expensive means of governing collaborative arrangements undertaken for bundling purposes the telecommunications service sector provides an illustration copyright 1997 by oxford university press

hierarchies and markets abstract whereas previous empirical studies have found performance gains from the adoption of multidivisional organization in u s and u k companies this paper reports a reduction in profitability for german m form firms for several years following reorganization with no sign of an eventual positive gain these results emerge from a cross section analysis of 48 among the top 100 german companies we suggest the constrasting results may flow from certain legal and institutional features not present in the u s and u k attenuating potential gains and enlarging short run transactions costs these include the role of the banks the relative concentration of shareholdings and the dual system of company boards

a review of the stern review on the economics of climate change how much and how fast should we react to the threat of global warming the stern review argues that the damages from climate change are large and that nations should undertake sharp and immediate reductions in greenhouse gas emissions an examination of the review s radical revision of the economics of climate change finds however that it depends decisively on the assumption of a near zero time discount rate combined with a specific utility function the review s unambiguous conclusions about the need for extreme immediate action will not survive the substitution of assumptions that are consistent with today s marketplace real interest rates and savings rates

internal organization and firm performance an analysis of large uk firms under conditions of economic uncertainty the relationship between firm performance and internal characteristics is examined in a sample of large uk firms the way in which organizational form internal control mechanisms and transitional costs affect profitability is examined performance is measured relative to the industry average with firms earning in excess of this being identified as being profit driven a sensitivity analysis is undertaken using two and three times industry average profits as alternative dependent variables logit analysis was used to estimate the relationships it was found that organisational form had no significant effect on profitability the separation of decision management from decision control increased the probability of earning more than twice industry average profits however for firms which had undertaken a structural reorganization within the three previous years the probability of earning more than twice industry average profits is reduced it was also found that firms which had a majority of executive direc

towards an economic theory of the multiproduct firm this paper outlines a theory of the multiproduct firm important building blocks include excess capacity and its creation market imperfections and the peculiarities of organizational knowledge including its fungible and taut character a framework is adopted in which profit seeking firms are seen to diversify in order to avoid the high transactions costs associated with using various markets to trade the services of various specialized assets neoclassical explanations of the multiproduct firm are shown to be seriously deficient

diffusion of the m form structure in the u k rate of imitation inter firm and inter industry differences abstract this paper presents the results of an empirical investigation of the diffusion of the multidivisional form structure among a sample of large u k quoted companies it is shown that the diffusion process resembles that reported for complex capital embodied innovations in the literature in cross sectional analyses the determinants of the delay in adoption are examined it is found that size diversification and less clearly merger intensity are significantly positively related to the speed of imitation in confirmation on the m form hypothesis inter industry differences are not generally found to be important apart from a manufacturing service distinction

organizational learning about new international markets exploring the internal transfer of local market knowledge this study examines the transfer of local market knowledge within the diversified firm as its divisions expand into a new host country within the u s based corporations in our sample both the nature of local market knowledge itself and differences in organizational structures significantly influence the extent of internal knowledge transfer among divisions the results suggest that as firms expand into new international markets their organizational learning processes differ significantly

the incredible economics of geoengineering the focus of climate policy so far has been on reducing the accumulation of greenhouse gases that approach however requires broad international cooperation and being expensive has been hindered by free riding so far little action has been taken an alternative approach is to counteract climate change by reducing the amount of solar radiation that strikes the earth geoengineering in contrast to emission reductions this approach is inexpensive and can be undertaken by a single country unilaterally but geoengineering also has worrying consequences it may harm some countries it would not address ocean acidification it would pose new risks the fundamental challenge posed by this new technology is not free riding but governance who should decide if and under what circumstances geoengineering should be used

technology strategy governance structure and interdivisional coordination abstract this paper studies how various organizational forms compare in their capacities to solve coordination problems created by technological interdependence between firms divisions i contrast the organizational mechanisms used by two firms ibm and general motors to address these problems while it is widely recognized that centralization distorts incentives facing division managers this paper highlights its benefits when there are large potential gains from agreement on technological standards the examples show how a centralized governance structure supported by lower powered incentives facilitates interdivisional coordination this suggests a refinement of the theory of organizational form based on how firms resolve the tensions between strategic planning and the measurement of organizational units performances