housing market responses to transaction taxes evidence from notches and stimulus in the uk we investigate housing market responses to transaction taxes using administrative data on all property transactions in the u k from 2004 to 2012 combined with quasi experimental variation from tax notches and tax stimulus we present two main findings first transaction taxes are highly distortionary across a range of margins causing large distortions to the price volume and timing of property transactions secondly temporary transaction tax cuts are an enormously effective form of fiscal stimulus a temporary elimination of a 1 transaction tax increased housing market activity by 20 in the short run due to both timing and extensive responses and less than half of the stimulus effect was reversed after the tax was reintroduced due to re timing because of the complementarities between moving house and consumer spending these stimulus effects translate into extra spending per dollar of tax cut equal to about 1 we interpret our empirical findings in the context of a housing model with downpayment constraints in which leverage amplifies the effects of transaction taxes

estimating the elasticity of intertemporal substitution using mortgage notches using a novel source of quasi experimental variation in interest rates we develop a new approach to estimating the elasticity of intertemporal substitution eis in the u k the mortgage interest rate features discrete jumps notches at thresholds for the loan to value ltv ratio these notches generate large bunching below the critical ltv thresholds and missing mass above them we develop a dynamic model that links these empirical moments to the underlying structural eis the average eis is small around 0 1 and quite homogeneous in the population this finding is robust to structural assumptions and can allow for uncertainty a wide range of risk preferences portfolio reallocation liquidity constraints present bias and optimization frictions our findings have implications for the numerous calibration studies that rely on larger values of the eis

empirical evaluation of bureaucratic models of inefficiency two separate but related strands of literature exist regarding the efficiency of public sector service provision the theoretical base developed in the bureaucratic models of supply and the methodological base developed in the operations research and economic literatures most analyses focus exclusively on either the measurement or causes of inefficiency this paper seeks to empirically test bureaucratic models of supply by drawing on the measurement literature in anticipation of the results it is found that there does exist empirical evidence supporting some of the implications of these models

electoral outcomes with probabilistic voting and nash social welfare maxima abstract this paper provides unexpected support to nash s view of how bargaining determines the social choice we first present a spatial model of electoral competition with probabilistic voting and a very close relation between voters preferences and their choice probabilities the outcome of the electoral competition game is then shown to be precisely the social alternative that maximizes a nash type social welfare function theorem 1 this electoral outcome is also interpreted as a unanimity likelihood maximum corollary 1 within our framework existence and uniqueness of such an outcome are guaranteed corollaries 2 and 3

the quality of schooling quantity alone is misleading although much research discusses the quantity of schooling as an effective impact on productivity and earnings most such research leaves out the idea of the quality of schooling which may cause biases in the estimated returns to schooling this paper consequently attempts to extend the standard mincerian approach to incorporate school quality as well as quantity it demonstrates how exclusion of quality in the standard procedure may cause biases in the estimated returns to years of schooling probably in the upward direction the paper explores the implications of this extension of the standard model for the case of young brazilian males it shows that the estimate of the private return to years of schooling using the preferred quality inclusive specification is only one half the estimate using the standard procedure indicating substantial upward bias in the standard estimates it further outlines a method for estimating a social return to quality and finds that it exceeds substantially the social return to quantity the paper then shows why this in turn suggests there may be an equity productivity trade off in schooling investments

do limits matter evidence on the effects of tax limitations on student performance abstract the goal of this research is to determine if limits on the revenue raising ability of school districts translate into constraints on the ability of these districts to affect student performance we use the recent imposition of property tax limitations on school districts in the chicago metropolitan area to determine if these limits have translated into slower growth in student performance we find only limited evidence that student performance in districts subject to the tax limitations has fallen relative to student performance in districts not subject to the limitations

electoral politics interest groups and the size of government electoral politics interest groups and the size of government i introduction interest groups have been considered main actors in the political drama for some time now by political scientists as in bentley 1908 schattschneider 1935 and truman 1951 and more recently by economist also such as olson 1965 and stigler 1975 despite the widespread consensus on their importance there have been few formal attempts to analyze their impact on public policies thus borooah and van der ploeg 1983 90 were moved to declare that theory based on the importance of different interest groups is badly needed in economics an important exception is becker s 1983 1985 analysis of interest group competition becker draws insights about the nature of the trade offs that occur when interest groups compete for political influence but becker consciously avoids incorporating into his model political institutions such as voting voting rules and candidates 1983 391 4 1985 330 rather he assumes that the political process operates as a veil through which the underlying strengths and demands of various interest groups are revealed this paper takes a different tack but one complementary to becker s approach the analysis is based on an explicit model of the political process that includes interest groups in the model interest group influence is a potential supply of votes for which parties or candidates compete each party seeks a winning coalition of voters and thus engages in implicit logrolling tullock 1959 572 an equilibrium exists in the competition for the support of interest groups and the nature of the equilibrium electoral platforms is identified below embodied in the characterization of the equilibria is a set of parameters that can be said to measure the strengths of the various interest groups and which enable one to identify how candidates change their policy positions in response to a change in the strength of an interest group it is therefore possible to analyze simultaneously the existence of an electoral equilibrium its nature including its normative properties and changes in equilibrium due to shifts in the balance of forces between competing groups 1 in contrast to becker 1983 1985 these analytical features are not assumed outright rather they are based on an underlying model of elections the theoretical underpinnings for this model are discussed in section ii interest groups are often alleged to be responsible in part for recent increases in the size of government in western democracies 2 therefore in sections iii and iv a model of the political process is used to study the impact of an increase in the influence of a particular interest group on government size in the simple models of the public sector considered here increasing group influence per se does not cause the size of the government to increase but an increase in the government s size does result when i there are constraints on the government s ability to change tax shares in response to a shift in group power or ii there is a publicly provided good which benefits one untaxed group and that group s sole concern with government policy is to maximize the amount of the good that it gets the paper concludes by considering some of the normative implications of the results ii interest groups in the electoral process there are two sets of actors in the model parties and interest groups and two sets of relationships which must be analyzed the relationships between interest groups and the parties and the relationship between the parties themselves with respect to the first question this paper investigates the determinants of each interest group s influence on the platforms proposed by the parties with respect to the second it explores whether the competition for votes between the parties produces an equilibrium and if so what its properties are

the role of expectations in adolescent schooling choices do youths respond to economic incentives i introduction over the postwar period the level of education attained by individuals in nations of the organisation for economic co operation and development has increased steadily this is especially true for the united states 1 in 1950 for example the average american aged 25 or older had 9 3 years of education by 2000 this had increased to 12 7 years this increase reflects sizable increases in the rate of high school completion in the cohort aged 16 24 in 1960 more than 27 were counted as high school dropouts by 2001 the proportion of high school dropouts in this age cohort had fallen to 10 7 although the proportion of whites in any given age cohort who graduated high school has exceeded that for african americans over this period this gap narrowed significantly during the 1970s and 1980s and by 2000 had nearly closed 2 observed trends in and patterns of educational attainment human capital accumulation and labor market success are determined by several factors in addition to changes in a wide variety of background factors such as ability motivation race and gender these involve decisions made by governments as reflected in school resources and macroeconomic performance and by parents e g parental education work effort and child care time also relevant are the choices made by adolescents themselves in response to the net economic returns of the options open to them in this article we explore the schooling choices of youths in response to their perception of these returns economic and sociological research on the determinants of the schooling outcomes of youths is extensive and distinguished 3 these studies focus primarily on the family neighborhood and peer group determinants of educational attainments and are largely reduced form in nature the role of youth preferences and the choices made in response to the economic incentives and constraints that young people face have not been systematically explored in these studies hence their results may attribute to background and family characteristics effects properly attributed to differences in youths own choices in response to the incentives that they face 4 in this study we address the role of youths own choice conditioned expectations in understanding their schooling choices by constructing a choice or switching model we emphasize the effect of individual student perceptions regarding the returns associated with graduating from high school versus dropping out while controlling for an extensive set of family and community factors youths are presumed to form their expectations by referring to the outcomes of a slightly older cohort of individuals who have characteristics similar to their own because these expected income returns are choice specific we require estimates of each youth s choice conditioned expected returns taken to be unobserved by the analyst but known by the youth 5 we focus on the high school graduation outcome for three reasons first individuals must complete high school to consider postsecondary schooling options hence the decision to complete high school carries with it an option value benefit 6 second high school completion the first schooling decision over which adolescents have some control plays a crucial role in understanding the declining labor market position of low skilled workers 7 finally our analysis of the high school graduation choice is nested within an extensive economic literature that addresses the determinants of this outcome by focusing on the role of youth s own expectations we have neglected other aspects of a complete analysis of the process of educational attainment for example we presume that our extensive set of family and neighborhood factors are exogenous to the outcome and independent of unobserved factors although we do not explicitly include school characteristics in our estimation our detailed neighborhood and family variables are likely to accurately proxy for neighborhood school quality

the link between pensions and retirement timing lessons from california teachers abstract i exploit a major unanticipated reform of the california teachers pension to provide quasi experimental evidence on the link between pension features and retirement timing using two large administrative data sets i conduct a reduced form analysis that leverages the nonlinearities in the return to work generated by the pension features and the reform induced shifts of these nonlinearities for identification the implied estimates of the elasticity of lifetime labor supply with respect to the return to work are centered around 0 04 in the medium run and are less than 0 1 in the long run

the response of firms to eligibility thresholds evidence from the japanese value added tax abstract it is common to define benefit eligibility for small business policies by restrictions on the firm size this paper documents the effects of the value added tax vat threshold in japan focusing on the incentives for a large firm to masquerade as many small firms by separately incorporating business segments a comparison of the corporate size distributions before and after the vat introduction of 1989 shows a clustering of corporations just below the threshold a pattern that is attributable to the behavioral responses to rule out the confounding influences of the changes in the company attributes over the years we applied a semiparametric density decomposition technique developed by dinardo fortin and lemieux dinardo j fortin n m lemieux t labor market institutions and the distribution of wages 1973 1992 a semiparametric approach econometrica 1996 64 1001 1044 this study suggests that the masquerading behavior by firms may be commonplace in other settings

budget constrained frontier measures of fiscal equality and efficiency in schooling equality and efficiency are key issues in educational reform here the authors analyze the efficiency and equality consequences of various school finance reforms using a cost indirect output distance function this function readily models multiple output production under conditions of budgetary constraint and provides a natural measure of performance that is closely related to farrell type measures of efficiency the analysis suggests that despite school district inefficiency finance reforms can affect student achievement however any potential gains in output from redistribution are dwarfed by the potential gains from increased efficiency more strikingly the analysis demonstrates that budgetary reforms designed to equalize expenditures could actually increase the inequality of student achievement

caveat emptor cross country data on education and the labor force abstract cross country data on education and the labor force frequently are used to describe important dimensions of development and to estimate models of economic growth and growth determinants the impact of education and related phenomena this investigation finds 1 there are serious intertemporal and inter country comparability problems with these data that may importantly affect inferences about labor force size trends and productivity and schooling investments and impact 2 data gaps are systematically related to levels of development and literacy and 3 conclusions about the determinants or consequences of development based on constructed data that have been made available to fill data gaps can be seriously misleading

valence politics and equilibrium in spatial election models spatial models of two party or two candidatecompetition almost never have pure strategy nashequilibria when the issue space has more than onedimension this paper shows that the introduction ofvalence issues can create conditions where equilibriaexist even in a multidimensional setting we derivesufficient conditions for the existence of equilibria and characterize the spatial locations of twocompeting parties or candidates when such equilibriaexist the party with the advantage on the valencedimension will generally take a moderate position onthe positional issues we consider the implications ofthese results for public perceptions of the parties incumbency advantages and realigning elections

the determinants of educational attainment modeling and estimating the human capital model and education production functions this paper develops and estimates a theoretical model of an individual s high school graduation choice the model incorporates the idea of a utility maximizing youth responding to the economic incentives associated with incremental education as posited by the human capital literature however it also allows for family neighborhood and school characteristics to affect the process of being educated as posited by the education production function literature estimation of the model using the panel study of income dynamics psid supplemented with neighborhood and school data indicates that indeed students respond to economic incentives in making education choices however most of the effects of background characteristics are working through the education process rather than affecting returns to schooling

an economic model of teaching effectiveness the literature on the determinants of good teaching performance has been largely devoted to empirical measurement a complete review of the publications in this area would require at least an entire issue the size of this journal yet it is virtually impossible to discover attempts to derive hypotheses about the determinants of good teaching from explicit models of behavior this has led researchers into the trap of exploring only the empirical determinants of good teaching performance typically the results of student evaluations are correlated with affective personality traits of the teachers with peer evaluations of psychological compositions or even with the results of various psychological tests examples are the works of robert isaacson et al frank costin et al and wilbert mckeachie et al in most of these studies no substantive conclusions are reached regarding the determinants of effective teaching in the few studies which do contain significant findings the independent variable in question is difficult to explain as a direct determinant of teaching effectiveness for example isaacson et al find that virtually the only statistically significant determinant of effective teaching is the personality characteristic which they label culture this may imply that simply wearing a tweed jacket and taking up pipesmoking is sufficient to improve teaching this paper takes a somewhat different approach to the analysis of teaching assume that the individual in question wishes to maximize teaching effectiveness clearly there are constraints on this maximization process one must necessarily be the time budget constraint a second constraint however adds a good deal of interest to the model this constraint is best described as the bundle of characteristics available to the individual these characteristics could be termed the components of the individual s personality such attributes include physical appearance psychological makeup speaking ability and a myriad of other variables thus this model bears a resemblance to the standard economic models of monopolistic competition see a michael spence before proceeding to a formal statement of the problem a philosophical issue must be addressed what is meant by teaching effectiveness generally this is interpreted as maximizing student evaluations of teachers however this is clearly not always equivalent to maximizing student learning unfortunately the latter variable is difficult but not impossible to measure preand posttesting with standardized tests is becoming increasingly accepted for example the meaning of teaching effectiveness in this paper must unfortunately remain ambiguous some teachers concerned perhaps with obtaining tenure will interpret good teaching as obtaining good evaluations the criterion by which they are judged others may take a more eclectic viewpoint since the problem below is an individual maximization problem the precise definition of effective teaching may simply vary from individual to individual see w r allen formally this problem is exactly analogous to one first addressed by kelvin lancaster he assumes that the consumer attempts to maximize satisfaction through purchase of bundles of attributes each commodity is possessed of certain of these characteristics by consuming various combinations of these commodities the consumer is assistant professor department of economics and director center for economic education california state university hayward i would like to thank alex cassuto nancy sanders and an anonymous referee for helpful discussion in a previously unreported experiment in the department of economics california state universitybakersfield faculty members were required to wear coats and ties in classes it was subsequently observed that teaching evaluations improved unfortunately no detailed statistical results of this experiment are available for analysis

probabilistic voting and equilibrium an impossibility result the introduction of voters uncertainty alone is in no way sufficient to guarantee an equilibrium outcome of a voting process what is needed in addition is the assumption that the voting probabilities depend strictly convex respectively concave of the utility losses caused by the proposed policies of the different parties this assumption is however not compatible with an unrestricted policy space and it has to be rejected for theoretical as well as empirical reasons thus using models of probabilistic voting we still have to accept that cycles can arise and electoral outcomes are prone to manipulation via agenda setting

production and innovation when techniques are tacit the case of education abstract the central theme of this paper is that the conventional economic theory of production does not hold even approximately in a field like education after examining the result of input output studies in education and the effect of government attempts to enhance education effectiveness we provide a sketch of a new production theory for sectors where techniques are poorly articulated and idiosyncratic

a model of political equilibrium in a representative democracy abstract this paper studies political equilibrium in a two party representative democracy in which the political parties are policy motivated and voters trade off their policy preferences against their party identity it is shown that the parties will in general adopt differing policy positions in equilibrium and that under certain qualifications the winning policy will lie between the more popular party s preferred policy and a certain utilitarian optimum the winning policy will be closer to this utilitarian optimum the less biased the electorate is in terms of party identification

modeling multiple outputs in educational production functions for some time now economists have conceptualized learning as a production process most educational production functions specify only one output usually a measure of cognitive achievement some recent studies have recognized the multidimensional aspects of schooling specifying outputs in both the cognitive and affective domains introducing multiple outputs into the production function raises interesting theoretical and empirical issues one issue is the manner in which various outputs are interrelated how one models output interactions in educational production functions may be important are the outputs multiple products if so are they independently or simultaneously produced or are the outputs joint products answers to these questions may affect empirical estimates of the educational production function s this paper briefly describes how one might approach this problem we argue on conceptual grounds that modeling outputs in the cognitive and affective domains as joint products is preferable in addition we compare the three approaches empirically to evaluate the sensitivity of educational production function parameter estimates to output specification

partial fiscal decentralization reforms and educational outcomes a difference in differences analysis for spain abstract several arguments derived from fiscal federalism theory suggest that decentralization may improve the provision of public goods and services however theory remains inconclusive regarding these effects under partial decentralization the aim of this study is to examine this hypothesis by evaluating the effects on educational outcomes of the partial fiscal decentralization reform that took place in spain during the 1980s since education competences were devolved to the regions at different points in time we can consistently estimate the effects of this reform by applying the differences in differences method and by using the non decentralized regions as the comparison group we find that the reform had a sizeable impact on the percentage of students dropping out early from school the effects are much stronger for regions with a high level of revenues we also find that the effects are concentrated in the high school program and that the reform was not able to improve educational outcomes in the vocational program we interpret these results as evidence that decentralization improved the match between education policy and population preferences

schools and housing markets an examination of school segregation and performance in connecticut this paper estimates a dynamic model of price level school performance and school racial and ethnic composition in the state of connecticut the paper finds that increasing minority representation in a labor market area reinforces the existing pattern of school segregation changes in segregation appear to be influenced by demographic trends in urban areas and by the labour market factors that determine those trends there is no evidence however to suggest that this process affects housing prices rather the housing market appears to adjust relatively quickly

schooling and economic well being the role of nonmarket effects standard estimates of the economic value of additional schooling based on earnings differences associated with differences in the level of schooling attained cover only a portion of the total effects of education that are valued by citizens we first identify a catalog of nonmarketed effects many of which have been recently studied by economists and then propose a procedure for estimating a willingness to pay value for these effects using empirical estimates of the magnitude of a selection of these effects found in the literature we calculate willingness to pay values using our proposed procedure these illustrative calculations suggest that standard estimates of the benefit of incremental schooling substantially understate the full value of such investments

teacher training teacher quality and student achievement abstract we study the effects of various types of education and training on the productivity of teachers in promoting student achievement previous studies on the subject have been hampered by inadequate measures of teacher training and difficulties in addressing the non random selection of teachers to students and of teachers to training we address these issues by estimating models that include detailed measures of pre service and in service training a rich set of time varying covariates and student teacher and school fixed effects we find that elementary and middle school teacher productivity increases with experience informal on the job training the largest gains from experience occur in the first few years but we find continuing gains beyond the first five years of a teacher s career in contrast we do not find a consistent relationship between formal professional development training and teacher productivity however this may be partly driven by estimation issues as we find more significant positive effects of formal training in the subject grade combination where estimates should be most precise middle school math there is no evidence that teachers pre service undergraduate training or college entrance exam scores are related to productivity

majority rule and election models abstract this paper surveys the theoretical work that has been done on majority rule and economic models of elections section i provides an overview of the topic section 2 reviews the most important results that have been obtained about majority rule as an abstract collective choice rule section 3 identifies some alternative inferences that can be made from those results section 4 covers some models that include additional features that are present in political institutions where majority rule is used section 5 concentrates on some alternative election models and equilibrium concepts section 6 focuses on election models with abstentions and or candidate uncertainty about voter behaviour section 7 compares and contrasts models where candidates are certain about what the voters choices will be contingent upon about the choices made by the candidates and models where they are uncertain about those choices section 8 closes the survey by identifying some emerging areas of research

anticipating the consequences of school reform a new use of dea we use dea type linear programming techniques to simulate a basic component of educational reform eliminating restrictions on the allocation of school personnel our technique allows us to identify potential output gains or equivalently potential cost savings from reform we can also identify which personnel groups are likely to gain and lose under this reform when we apply our model to a sample of texas school districts we find evidence that the educational establishment has substantial economic rents to protect from school reform and that the primary beneficiaries of reform are likely to be affluent school districts with few minority students the technique which relies on the relationship between the direct and indirect distance functions can be easily generalized to measure the potential gains from removing other input restrictions such as union work rules environmental regulations or deed restrictions

causal effects in education abstract in recent years a wave of new studies on the effects of educational interventions on student performance has emerged the realization that inputs in the education process are endogenous is important for the validity of traditional findings because of ignoring endogeneity bias all traditional estimates might be wrong recent studies exploit exogenous variation in interventions in education produced by controlled or natural experiments results generated by this methodological innovation differ substantially from the traditional findings this article reviews this new literature illustrates new methods for identifying causal effects of interventions in education and compares the findings with the traditional literature

using differences in knowledge across neighborhoods to uncover the impacts of the eitc on earnings we develop a new method of estimating the impacts of tax policies that uses areas with little knowledge about the policy s marginal incentives as counterfactuals for behavior in the absence of the policy we apply this method to characterize the impacts of the earned income tax credit eitc on earnings using administrative tax records covering all eitc eligible lers from 19962009 we begin by developing a proxy for local knowledge about the eitc schedule the degree of sharp bunching at the exact income level that maximizes eitc refunds by individuals who report self employment income the degree of self employed sharp bunching varies signi cantly

prescription drug use under medicare part d a linear model of nonlinear budget sets abstract medicare part d enrollees face a complicated decision they dynamically choose prescription drug consumption in each period given difficult to find prices and a nonlinear budget set we use part d claims data to estimate a flexible model of consumption that accounts for nonlinear prices dynamic responses and salience we use reduced form price responses from a linear regression of consumption on coverage range prices to compare performance under several models of behavior we find small price elasticities substantial myopia and that salient characteristics impact consumption beyond their effect on prices a hyperbolic discounting model with salience fits the data best

pareto optimality of policy proposals with probabilistic voting this paper studies the pareto optimality properties of policy proposals and electoral outcomes when there is probabilistic voting theorem 1 proves that when the position of one candidate is taken as fixed the other candidate will propose a pareto optimal alternative this implies that whenever there is an electoral equilibrium in pure strategies the electoral outcome is pareto optimal it also implies that even if there is no such equilibrium the electoral outcomes from a sequence of elections will be pareto optimal except possibly for an initial status quo

the economics of schooling production and efficiency in public schools n recent years public and professional interest in schools has been heightened by a spate of reports many of them critical of current school policy these policy documents have added to persistent and long standing concerns about the cost effectiveness and fairness of the current school structure and have made schooling once again a serious public issue as in the past however any renewed interest in education is likely to be short lived doomed to dissipate as frustration over the inability of policy to improve school practice sets in this frustration about school policy relates directly to knowledge about the educational production process and in turn to underlying research on schools although the educational process has been extensively researched clear policy prescriptions flowing from this research have been difficult to derive 2 there exists however a consistency to the research findings that does have an immediate application to school policy schools differ dramatically in quality

the response of drug expenditure to nonlinear contract design evidence from medicare part d we study the demand response to non linear price schedules using data on insurance contracts and prescription drug purchases in medicare part d we exploit the kink in individuals budget set created by the famous donut hole where insurance becomes discontinuously much less generous on the margin to provide descriptive evidence of the drug purchase response to a price increase we then specify and estimate a simple dynamic model of drug use that allows us to quantify the spending response along the entire non linear budget set we use the model for counterfactual analysis of the increase in spending from filling the donut hole as will be required by 2020 under the affordable care act in our baseline model which considers spending decisions within a single year we estimate that filling the donut hole will increase annual drug spending by about 150 or about 8 percent about one quarter of this spending increase reflects anticipatory behavior coming from beneficiaries whose spending prior to the policy change would leave them short of reaching the donut hole we also present descriptive evidence of cross year substitution of spending by individuals who reach the kink which motivates a simple extension to our baseline model that allows in a highly stylized way for individuals to engage in such cross year substitution our estimates from this extension suggest that a large share of the 150 drug spending increase could be attributed to cross year substitution and the net increase could be as little as 45 per year

school decentralization helping the good get better but leaving the poor behind abstract the decentralization of public services is a major feature of institutional innovation the main argument in support of decentralization is that it brings decisions closer to the people thereby alleviating information asymmetries and improving accountability however decentralization can also degrade service provision in poor communities that lack the ability to voice and defend their preferences in this paper we analyze the average and distributional effects of school decentralization on educational quality in argentina we find that decentralization had an overall positive impact on student test scores the decentralization gains however did not reach the poor thus although bringing decisions closer to the people may help the good get better the already disadvantaged may not receive these benefits

does school quality matter returns to education and the characteristics of public schools in the united states this paper estimates the effects of school quality measured by the pupil teacher ratio average term length and relative teacher pay on the rate of return to education for men born between 1920 and 1949 using earnings data from the 1980 census we find that men who were educated in states with higher quality schools have a higher return to additional years of schooling rates of return are also higher for individuals from states with better educated teachers and with a higher fraction of female teachers holding constant school quality measures however we find no evidence that parental income or education affects average state level rates of return

dollars and performance treating alcohol misuse in maine abstract if public funds are allocated efficiently then an increase in funding should improve the performance of substance abuse treatment programs in the data used in this paper performance measured as abstinence rates and expenditures per patient are not positively correlated one explanation is that funding is endogeneous i e programs treating more difficult patients receive more funding the data comes from all maine s outpatient drug free programs that received public funding between 1991 and 1994 after controlling for endogeneity this paper concludes that the marginal impact of expenditures per patient on abstinence rates is small and statistically insignificantly different from zero

bunching at the kink implications for spending responses to health insurance contracts abstract a large literature in empirical public finance relies on bunching to identify a behavioral response to non linear incentives and to translate this response into an economic object to be used counterfactually we conduct this type of analysis in the context of prescription drug insurance for the elderly in medicare part d where a kink in the individual s budget set generates substantial bunching in annual drug expenditure around the famous donut hole we show that different alternative economic models can match the basic bunching pattern but have very different quantitative implications for the counterfactual spending response to alternative insurance contracts these findings illustrate the importance of modeling choices in mapping a compelling reduced form pattern into an economic object of interest

the effect on black white wage differences of differences in the quantity and quality of education using data from the national longitudinal survey of youth for the years 1979 88 the author examines the extent to which black white differences in educational attainment educational quality and unmeasured individual ability can explain black white wage differences an analysis that corrects for both selectivity and ability biases inherent in estimating the education wage relationship shows that the main source of the black white wage differential is the racial difference in the quality rather than quantity of schooling in fact the author concludes closing the racial gap in the basic skills learned in school could reduce the wage differential by two thirds

using notches to uncover optimization frictions and structural elasticities theory and evidence from pakistan we develop a framework for nonparametrically identifying optimization frictions and structural elasticities using notches discontinuities in the choice sets of agents introduced by tax and transfer policies notches create excess bunching on the low tax side and missing mass on the high tax side of a cutoff and they are often associated with a region of strictly dominated choice that would have zero mass in a frictionless world by combining excess bunching observed response attenuated by frictions with missing mass in the dominated region frictions it is possible to uncover the structural elasticity that would govern behavior in the absence of frictions and arguably capture long run behavior we apply our framework to tax notches in pakistan using rich administrative data while observed bunching is large and sharp optimization frictions are also very large as the majority of taxpayers in dominated ranges are unresponsive to tax incentives the combination of large observed bunching and large frictions implies that the frictionless behavioral response to notches is extremely large but the underlying structural elasticity driving this response is nevertheless modest this highlights the inefficiency of notches by creating extremely strong price distortions they induce large behavioral responses even when structural elasticities are small

intergenerational transfers production and income distribution abstract we consider an overlapping generations economy where the aggregative production process uses physical capital and human capital intergenerational transfers from parents to their children are motivated by altruism we distinguish between two types of transfers investment of parents in the education of their offspring and capital transfer the gift bequest motive we show that the intensity of each type of altruism and hence the composition of the two types of transfers affect significantly the equilibrium output and the intragenerational income distributions comparing competitive equilibria from the same initial distributions of capital transfers and human capital we derive a the economy with the higher education inclined altruism attains lower output and more equal intragenerational income distributions if either the production function s elasticity of substitution is not large or the altruism is weak b for more bequest inclined altruism the effects are usually reversed c under public provision of education higher bequest inclined altruism results in lower output and less equal distribution of income in all dates

cellular service demand biased beliefs learning and bill shock by april 2013 the fcc s recent bill shock agreement with cellular carriers requires consumers be notied when exceeding usage allowances will the agreement help or hurt consumers to answer this question we estimate a model of consumer plan choice usage and learning using a panel of cellular bills our model predicts that the agreement will lower average consumer welfare by 2 per year because rms will respond by raising monthly fees our approach is based on novel evidence that consumers are inattentive to past usage meaning that bill shock alerts are informative and advances structural modeling of demand in situations where multipart taris induce marginal price uncertainty additionally our model estimates show that an

schools and housing values this study combines historical and quantitative methods to determine the market response to a major nineteenth century american urban architectural form the speculatively built row house the paper estimates a hedonic price index which decomposes the

adjustment costs firm responses and micro vs macro labor supply elasticities evidence from danish tax records we show that the effects of taxes on labor supply are shaped by interactions between adjustment costs for workers and hours constraints set by firms we develop a model in which firms post job offers characterized by an hours requirement and workers pay search costs to find jobs we present evidence supporting three predictions of this model by analyzing bunching at kinks using danish tax records first larger kinks generate larger taxable income elasticities second kinks that apply to a larger group of workers generate larger elasticities third the distribution of job offers is tailored to match workers aggregate tax preferences in equilibrium our results suggest that macro elasticities may be substantially larger than the estimates obtained using standard microeconometric methods

bunching and non bunching at kink points of the swedish tax schedule recent microeconometric studies of taxpayers responsiveness to taxation have shown that intensive margin labor supply and earnings elasticities typically are modest and sometimes equal to zero however a common view is that long run responses might still be large since micro estimates are downward biased owing to optimization frictions in this paper we estimate the taxable income elasticity at a very large kink point of the swedish tax schedule using the bunching method during the period of study the change in the log net of tax rate reached a maximum value of 45 6 interestingly we obtain a precise elasticity estimate of zero for wage earners at this large kink the size of the kink allows us to derive tighter bounds on the long run elasticity than previous studies if wage earners on average tolerate 1 of their disposable income in optimization costs the upper bound on the long run taxable income elasticity is 0 39 we also evaluate the performance of the bunching estimator by performing monte carlo simulations

do schools matter for high math achievement evidence from the american mathematics competitions this paper uses data from the american mathematics competitions to examine the rates at which different high schools produce high achieving math students there are large differences in the frequency with which students from seemingly similar schools reach high achievement levels the distribution of unexplained school effects includes a thick tail of schools that produce many more high achieving students than is typical several additional analyses suggest that the differences are not primarily due to unobserved differences in student characteristics the differences are persistent across time suggesting that differences in the effectiveness of educational programs are not primarily due to direct peer effects

expenditure response to health insurance policies evidence from kinks in rural china abstract this paper utilizes administrative data to analyze expenditure responses to the health insurance policy in rural china and clear visual evidence of bunching is observed at the kink point a static response model with optimization frictions estimates that a complete elimination of the reimbursement would cause the total expenditure per visit to decrease by 34 5 and approximately one third of the studied population makes decisions with errors heterogeneous expenditure responses and optimization frictions are observed across demographic groups cost benefit and counterfactual analyses indicate that the current policy generates the greatest welfare gains

on the contract curve a test of alternative models of collective bargaining the traditional model of collective bargaining confines unions to settlements constrained by the employer s labor demand curve but an alternative model places wage employment outcomes on a contract curve that extends beyond the labor demand curve this paper derives a multidimensional hedonic contract curve model in which employment security provisions are used to maintain efficient bargains outside the employer s demand curve and distinguishes empirically between the contract curve and demand constraint models using data for public school teachers in new york state estimates clearly support the contract curve model over the demand constraint model by linking the gap between compensation and the value of the marginal product to the strength of employment security provisions

human capital vs signalling explanations of wages increases wages by directly increasing the worker s productivity this learning explanation is usually associated with human capital theory however it seems unlikely that learning explains all the wage differences associated with schooling and work history better educated workers are not a random sample of workers they have lower propensities to quit or to be absent are less likely to smoke drink or use illicit drugs and are generally healthier it is unlikely that employers make full use of differences in propensities to quit or to be absent or sick when hiring workers these characteristics are often not directly observed and the americans with disabilities act precludes firms from using either poor health or the likelihood of future sickness as a hiring criterion unless it is directly related to job performance however if low levels of education are associated with these unfavorable employee characteristics and employers are allowed to take education into account when hiring workers we would expect employers to favor better educated workers as a means of reducing their costs of sickness and job turnover in turn students will take these hiring criteria into account when deciding how long to stay in school students will choose a length of schooling to signal their ability to employers and employers will demand a minimum level of schooling

the impact of educational standards on the level and distribution of earnings the goal of this paper is to present the following finding an egalitarian policy maker might prefer higher standards than would a policy maker whose goal was to maximize the sum of earnings the result is based on the observation that if workers are differentiated with respect to ability an increase in educational standards will increase the earnings of both the most able and the least able workers the only workers whose earnings fall are those workers who after the increase fail to continue meeting the standard

location and education in south african cities under and after apartheid we model a south african city during apartheid in which both schooling and mobility are restricted on the basis of race and after apartheid in which no restrictions are imposed we first show that the inequality between blacks and whites decreases when apartheid laws are removed indeed blacks are better off because of human capital externalities due to the possibility of mixing with white students whereas whites are worse off due to negative human capital externalities and intensified land market competition after apartheid we also show that reducing the commuting costs of black children always increases the utility of black families and may even increase that of whites

elections and income redistribution this paper has analyzed a model of elections in which each candidate selects a reputation for the distribution of income that can be expected if he is elected the first result established that whenever there are three or more groups of voters and no single group has half or more of the voters if the candidates believe that the voters choices are determined solely by the candidates redistributional reputations then there is no electoral equilibrium the candidates expectations about the voters choices were then reformulated using a qualitative response model the next result established that this alternative model leads to the existence of electoral equilibria the remainder of the paper analyzed the nature of these equilibria for any given electorate among other things the results established that there is always a unique equilibrium provided a simple procedure for finding the precise location of this equilibrium and showed that this location implicitly maximizes the sum of the voters utility functions on the possible income distributions the penultimate sections provided some simple examples which illustrate the main results in the paper and a discussion of these results in terms of the politics of redistribution