industry characteristics and interest group formation an empirical study the role of interest groups in the political process has been the subject of much analysis in both political science and economics however few studies have examined directly the factors which influence the variation in interest group formation across industrial sectors and between countries using data on 75 industrial sectors in 10 countries we examine the way in which variations in interest group formation are explained by variations in industrial and political characteristics in cross sectional empirical relationships we test for the significance of a variety of industry and political variables our results indicate that industry characteristics such as the proportion of total demand purchased by households and the concentration ratio are related to variations in interest group formation we discuss the implications that our results have for recent theoretical work on the effect of interest groups on economic policy

some aspects of the taxation of capital gains abstract the analysis of the effects of capital gains taxation requires a careful modelling both of the details of the tax code and the imperfections in the capital market under the standard assumptions concerning perfect capital markets and under the standard idealizations of the tax code there are several strategies by which rational investors can avoid note only all taxes on their capital income but also all taxes on their wage income these strategies leave individuals consumption and bequests in each state of nature and at each date unchanged from what they would have been in the absence of taxes although certain detailed provisions of the tax code may limit the extent to which rational investors can avail themselves of these tax avoidance activities there are ways in a perfect capital market by which the effects of these restrictions can be ameliorated accordingly any analysis of the effects of capital taxation must focus on imperfect capital markets if individuals face limitations on the amounts which they can borrow and or if there are limitations on short sales then under some circumstances there is a locked in effect individuals do not sell securities which they would have sold in the absence of taxation but under other circumstances individuals are induced to sell securities that they otherwise would have held in order to take advantage of the asymmetric treatment of short term losses and long term gains a policy of realizing gains as soon as they become eligible for long term treatment dominates the policy of postponing the realization of capital gains provided the gains are not too large a simple general equilibrium model is constructed within which it is shown that the taxation of capital gains may increase the volatility of asset prices and lead individuals not to trade when they otherwise would while the analysis casts doubt on the significance of the welfare losses resulting from these exchange inefficiencies there are circumstances in which the tax leads to production inefficiencies e g terminating projects at other than the socially optimal date finally we argue that the focus of some recent policy debates on the short run revenue impact of a decrease in the tax rate on capital gains is misplaced even when the short run revenue impact is positive consumption may increase thus exacerbating inflationary pressures and private savings may decrease thus leading to a lower level of investment in the private sector moreover there is some presumption that the long run revenue impact is negative our analysis has some important implications for empirical research in particular it suggests that the impact of the tax is not adequately summarized by a single number such as the effective tax rate representing the average ratio of tax payments to capital gains moreover the impact of the tax cannot be assessed by looking only at reported capital gains and losses

interest groups and the rise and decline of growth interest groups are known to exert a sclerotic impact on mean growth a la olson 1982 it is unknown however what impact if any groups exert on the volatility of growth an important hindrance to development in this article we first consider what impact we should expect olson groups to have on the volatility of growth we then estimate the relation between groups and growth volatility in a cross country panel using system generalized method of moments the findings indicate that groups are associated with growth stability in addition the findings suggest that interest groups may be a source of the stability observed in democracies

democracy creeping socialism and ideological socialism in rent seeking societies rent seeking societies suffer from a serious distortion of incentives incentives to engage in distributional struggles to seek contrived transfers are strong but incentives to engage in productive work are too weak stagnation and some unemployment should be expected long lasting democracies within unchanged borders create a permissive environment for rent seeking the provision of rents very much depends on government the stronger the governmental involvement in the economy the higher social security spending the more rents the government is likely to generate therefore creeping socialism understood as increased government control of the economy should reinforce the rent seeking society and the corresponding negative effects on growth and employment whether such creeping socialism is backed by ideological socialism or not should make little difference for growth or employment these ideas have been tested and partially supported by a 19 nation sample of industrial democracies using data from the sixties and seventies by and large the rent seeking approach is fairly successful in explaining national differences in economic growth rates but receives ambiguous support or less for unemployment olson s 1982 1983 proposition about the negative impact of long lasting democracy within unchanged borders on economic growth is much better supported than the growth retarding effects of government revenues or social security spending are

ex day behavior tax or short term trading effects this study examines the behavior of share prices around the ex dividend dates before and after the introduction of the 1988 income and corporation taxes act that reduced substantially the tax differential between dividends and capital gains in the united kingdom we find that in the pre 1988 period when the differential taxation of dividends and capital gains is high ex day returns are positive and significant in contrast in the post 1988 period ex day returns are in most cases negative and insignificant further analysis reveals that while ex day returns are significantly related to dividend yield and to the length of the settlement period they are not affected by the commonly used measures of transaction costs such as the bid ask spread and trading volume or by the day of week month of the year type of dividend distribution or number of days to the actual receipt of the cash dividend we conclude that taxation affects significantly ex day share prices in the previous studies have documented that the risk adjusted abnormal returns on the ex dividend dates are positive and significantly related to the dividend yield the interpretation of these findings is however controversial the question relates to what category of investors sets ex day prices elton and

trade liberalization antidumping and safeguards evidence from india s tariff reform abstract this paper is the first to use product level data to examine empirically whether countries use antidumping and safeguard exceptions to unwind commitments to lower tariffs in the face of domestic political economic pressure we focus on the case of india a country that underwent a major exogenous tariff reform program in the early 1990s and subsequently initiated substantial use of safeguard and antidumping import restrictions we first estimate structural determinants of india s import protection using the grossman and helpman 1994 model and provide evidence from its pre reform tariff data of 1990 that is consistent with the theory we then re estimate the model on the indian tariff data after the trade liberalization is complete and find that the model no longer fits a result consistent with theory and evidence provided in other settings that india s 1991 1992 imf arrangement can be interpreted as resulting in an exogenous shock to india s tariff policy however when we re estimate the model on data from 2000 2002 that more completely reflects india s cross product variation in import protection by including both its post reform tariffs and its additional non tariff barriers of antidumping and safeguard import protection the significance of the grossman and helpman model determinant estimates is restored we interpret these combined results as evidence that india unwound its commitment to reduce tariffs through use of antidumping and safeguard protection in the face of political economic pressure the estimates are also economically important and provide one explanation for separate results in the literature that the magnitude of import reduction associated with india s use of antidumping is similar to the initial import expansion associated with its tariff reform finally we interpret the implications of our results for the burgeoning research literature examining the effects of liberalization on india s micro level development

a test of the law of one price in retail banking this paper investigates the level and the determinants of retail banking interest rate differences among spanish banks in the period 1989 2003 we find that the interest rates of twenty five different bank loan and deposit products adjust rather rapidly to their long term values in response to external shocks as the relative version of the law of one price predicts but the evidence runs contrary to the absolute version of the law credit risk premium part of the marginal cost of the loans granted by a particular bank is an important source of interest rate dispersion across banks and loan products both before and after spain joined the euro zone therefore differences in credit risk policies across banks must be taken into account when forming expectations about european retail banking integration

transaction taxes in a search model of the housing market abstract we incorporate transaction taxes in a housing market search model with endogeneous house prices and show that these taxes unambiguously create lock in effects that reduce welfare the lock in effects are larger at low vacancy rates seller taxes raise prices and buyer taxes lower them and this asymmetry helps to explain the differences in the welfare effects of the two taxes lock in effects are smaller with a buyer tax since the price reduction dampens the negative effect on search effort caused by the tax

symposium on organizations and economics m t r ost production in modern economies occurs within organizations and this production is regulated only to a limited extent by prices the size of some of the largest organizations like general motors or ibm or att if managers didn t they would be replaced and firms that didn t maximize value wouldn t survive accordingly what went on inside the black box was mere detail the behavior of the firm could be described completely without knowledge of those details

taxation of capital gains on owner occupied homes the paper compares taxation on realization with taxation on accrual in the context of owner occupied housing it considers a model where the utility a household derives from housing relative to other consumption varies over the life cycle as there are sizeable transaction costs housing consumption will not even in the absence of taxes be adjusted continuously but at discrete intervals the focus of the paper is on tax effects on the length of these intervals the following results are shown u taxing true economic appreciation at the same rate as imputed rental income and other capital income will lead to a shortening of the intervals if the capital gains are taxed on accrual an increase in this tax rate holding other rates constant will lead to a shortening of the intervals if the capital gains are taxed only as they are realized an increase in this tax rate holding other rates constant may either lead to a lengthening or a shortening of the holding period shortening is more likely if transaction costs are large whereas lengthening will occur if the rate of price increase is high

interest groups and economic performance some new evidence mancur olson s theory of the decline of nations is path breaking in political economics it has been tested cross sectionally in numerous empirical studies we survey the existing results briefly with a special focus on studies using the number of lobbies as an exogenous variable using data from the period 1973 2006 we then present the field s first time series analysis of the effects of the number of interest groups on the german lobby list and macroeconomic performance gauged in terms of economic growth and inflation the number of interest groups as a proxy for their influence is shown to have an important impact on macro variables interest group activity significantly leads to a decline in the growth rate and a rise in the inflation rate

new perspectives on public finance recent achievements and future challenges abstract the advances in the economics of the public sector during the past quarter century have been as pronounced as in any field within economics public finance has become a rigorous branch of applied microeconomics incorporating the best thinking and most advanced tools of both theoretical economics and econometrics in the remarks below i will focus on a few key areas in applied and theoretical tax and expenditure policy drawing both upon the academic work of myself and others and my experiences in the policy arena both as chairman of the council of economic advisers and as chief economist of the world bank i shall address both the questions of what we have learned in the past few decades as well as the questions where further research is needed

banking deregulation allocational consequences of relaxing entry barriers abstract we present an equilibrium analysis to predict the long run allocational consequences and risk implications of banking deregulation loan demand and deposit supply functions are derived from primitive assumptions about the preferences of individuals and banks are viewed as differentiated competitors in a spatial context we find that a relaxation of entry barriers into banking improves the welfare of borrowers and savers at the expense of bank stockholders equilibrium loan interest rates fall and equilibrium deposit interest rates rise as banking becomes more competitive despite this the equilibrium debt equity ratios of banks increase as entry barriers are relaxed we also examine the implications of capital standards and find that an increase in the minimum capital requirement benefits borrowers but hurts depositors

on the contagion effect in the us banking sector by using the spatial econometrics methodology this paper investigates the contagion of the risk taking by banks in the us banking sector during 2001 to 2012 in addition the contagion signals up to the subprime crisis in 2008 are analyzed and different channels of contagion are studied in order to identify fragile groups of banks our analysis reveals that there is no significant contagion transmitted to the whole banking system however we observe that the bank contagion is significantly spread locally and for the group of banks that share similar characteristics related to size and bank regulations

pareto optimality and competition there is a general consensus that u s financial markets are very competitive and efficient with prices quickly reflecting the available information there is also a widespread belief that these competitive and efficient markets enable the efficient allocation of scarce capital among alternative investment opportunities this belief is not based on direct observation it is virtually impossible to obtain the data concerning the joint probability distribution of returns to all possible projects which would be required for a direct assessment of the efficiency of the resource allocations to which the market gives rise rather it is based on the well known result that perfectly competitive markets generate pareto efficient resource allocations the object of this paper is to question that conclusion to show that even with apparently competitive and efficient markets resource allocations may not be pareto efficient

the effects of formal and informal contracting in credit availability this paper investigates how the use of collateral formal contracting along with the market power of banks which facilitates relational contracts affects the availability of credit for business firms using loan data from the spanish credit register we show that the average credit quality of borrowers in a provincial market decreases with market concentration and the availability of collateral additionally the marginal effect of each variable decreases with the higher values of the other variable we also find that credit line interest rates increase with the availability of collateral although the increase is lower for banks operating in more concentrated credit markets therefore market power relations and collateral formal contracting act as substitutes to increase the availability of bank finance under asymmetric information

measuring permanent responses to capital gains tax changes in panel data the authors use panel data and information about differences in state tax rates to separate the effects of transitory and permanent tax rate changes on capital gains realizations behavior the estimated effect of permanent change is substantially smaller than the effect of transitory change the difference is even larger than differences between estimates from past micro data studies which have primarily measured the transitory effect and time series studies which have primarily measured the permanent effect the authors results resolve a long standing conflict between micro data and time series studies of how marginal tax rates affect capital gains realizations behavior copyright 1994 by american economic association

the effects of taxation on the selling of corporate stock and the realization of capital gains this study provides the first econometric analysis of the effect of taxation on the realization of capital gains the analysis thus extends and complements the earlier study by feldstein and yitzhaki 1978 of the effect of taxation on the selling of corporate stock the present analysis using a large new body of data obtained from individual tax returns supports the earlier finding that corporate stock sales are quite sensitive to tax rates and then shows that the effect on the realization of capital gains is even stronger

accrual equivalent marginal tax rates for personal financial assets this paper shows that the appropriate approach to calculating accrual equivalent marginal tax rates for nonaccrual taxes on personal financial investments is the relative reduction in the internal rate of return approach which equates the present values from the after tax returns from an investment under an accrual and a nonaccrual tax detailed comparisons are made with alternative approaches proposed by boadway bruce and mintz 1984 and by king and fullerton 1984 for the capital gains tax both find accrual tax rates that equate the present values of accrual and actual tax revenues fundamental problems are found with both alternative approaches

do after tax returns affect mutual fund inflows abstract this paper explores the relationship between the after tax returns that taxable investors earn on equity mutual funds and the subsequent cash inflows to these funds previous studies have documented that funds with high pretax returns attract greater inflows this paper presents evidence based on a large sample of retail equity mutual funds over the period 1993 1999 that after tax returns have more explanatory power than pretax returns in explaining inflows in addition funds with large overhangs of unrealized capital gains experience smaller inflows all else equal than funds without such unrealized gains a large capital gain overhang discourages both gross fund inflows and gross outflows but the inflow effect dominates the outflow effect

determinants of interest group formation it is widely recognized that interest groups affect both microeconomic and macroeconomic outcomes however few researchers have attempted to discern empirically the factors that contribute to interest group activity this paper provides a test of several theories of group formation in a panel setting a nation s stability socioeconomic development political system size and diversity all appear to contribute to interest group formation as predicted by theory

the determinants of capital gains tax compliance evidence from the rjr nabisco leveraged buyout abstract inability to observe both actual and reported capital gains has impeded studies of capital gains tax compliance this study overcomes such limitations through access to both confidential tax returns and internal shareholder records tests are conducted at the individual taxpayer level for associations between compliance rates for capital gains taxes generated by rjr nabisco shareholders during its leveraged buyout and income marginal tax rates socioeconomic characteristics and measures of the taxpayer s perception of the noncompliance penalty we find noncompliance decreasing in taxable income including rjr nabisco capital gains first dollar marginal tax rates self employment income rental income and other interest paid

deregulation market power and risk behaviour in spanish banks abstract this paper provides empirical evidence on the effects of regulatory changes in the market power of spanish banks it also analyses the response of banks in terms of risk taking behaviour as a result of a reduction in economic profits we find that liberalisation measures have increased competition and eroded banks market power we observe that banks with lower charter values tend to have lower equity assets ratios lower solvency and to experience higher credit risk the last evidence is new in the literature and calls for strengthening regulatory concerns about credit risk management by banks in situations of increased competition

interest rates risk and imperfect markets puzzles and policies traditional theory emphasizes the key role that monetary policy can play through the manipulation of interest rates but there are several puzzles that cannot be reconciled with standard models these include the apparent constancy in interest rates over extended periods and changes at other times which appear unrelated to changes in technology and demography the cyclical pattern of movements in real interest rates the impact of nominal not real interest rate changes on real variables and the cyclical pattern of movements in interest rate spreads this paper reaches beyond the standard competitive equilibrium perfect information model of credit markets towards imperfect information models particularly those that focus on the determinants of bank behaviour of the standard models the money demand model is most deficient in understanding these puzzles the loanable funds theory and a generalized version of real productivity theory can be reconciled with imperfect information and markets and the consequent credit and equity rationing regimes help to explain the puzzles specifically banks may be insensitive to changes in monetary stance owing to risk aversion there are strong policy implications it is argued for instance that in east asia raising interest rates exacerbated economic decline and rather than contributing to exchange rate stability may have induced capital flight as default risk increased lowering risk adjusted expected returns

do more competitive banks have less market power the evidence from central and eastern europe abstract studies that have explored the competitive behaviour of banks frequently arrive at divergent conclusions because they use different measures of competition this study first discusses these various measures of competition and their divergence from a theoretical perspective and then employs them to measure the competitiveness of central and eastern european banks and to investigate whether more competitive banks really have less market power we find that these banks increase their market power when there is low banking concentration and do not necessarily become less competitive moreover a more concentrated banking market does not enhance the market power of banks and does not make them less competitive and more competitive banks do not necessarily have less market power this latter outcome ensues because revenue and production reactions to cost evolution are either positively related or completely unrelated to the competitive behaviour of banks

how burdensome are capital gains taxes abstract this paper uses capital gain realization data from individual tax returns to evaluate recent claims that sophisticated portfolio strategies permit investors to avoid capital gains taxes the results suggest important investor heterogeneity twenty percent of taxpayers with capital gains or losses face binding loss offset constraints another significant group of investors evades the capital gains tax prior to recent legislative changes forty percent of capital gains were unreported finally about forty percent of capital gains accrue to investors who report capital gains and face significant tax burdens as the traditional analysis of the capital gains tax suggests

effective tax rates and tobin s q abstract this paper clarifies the relation between the average and marginal effective tax rates using the notion of the change in tobin s average q the equation connecting the effective rates shows that corporate taxation can be represented by a mixture of two extreme tax rules one being a distorting pure corporate tax and the other a nondistorting cash flow tax the paper proposes new measures representing this feature

tax motivated trading by individual investors we study the stock trades of a large number of individual investors to investigate how tax incentives affect the realization of capital gains and losses we compare investors realization behavior in their taxable and tax deferred accounts and thereby identify the effect of taxes on trading decisions we reach four conclusions first we find clear evidence of a lock in effect for capital gains in taxable accounts relative to tax deferred accounts we find evidence of the disposition effect the tendency for investors to hold losses and sell gains in both types of accounts and especially at short holding periods the lock in effect is stronger for large stock transactions than for small ones second we find tax loss selling throughout the calendar year though it is most pronounced in december tax loss trading is more pronounced among investors who have realized capital gains elsewhere in the portfolio during the year third we observe substantial heterogeneity in individual investors propensity to trade controlling for this heterogeneity however does not alter the relation between a stock s past performance and the realization decision finally we find that relatively few investors repurchase stocks that they have sold at a loss even after the 30 day wash sale holding period has expired

distributional coalitions state strength and economic growth toward a comprehensive theory of economic development high performing economies in the asia pacific region together with only mediocre economic development in latin america prompts the question of what explains differential economic growth rates among developing countries combining a statist perspective with olson s theory of interest group formation this research hypothesizes that nations with weak distributional coalitions will more likely experience high growth and state intervention will be effective using a longitudinal research design this secondary analysis involves a comparative and interactive examination of eight asian pacific and twelve latin american countries by considering the role of the state in interaction with distributional coalitions in society the results indicate that approximately two thirds of the variance in national economic growth is explained

arbitration is no substitute for state courts it is often conjectured that non state dispute resolution blossoms when state courts are not independent or are perceived as low quality this conjecture implies a substitutive relationship between state and non state dispute resolution this is the first study that puts these hypotheses to an empirical test we estimate a multilevel model based on more than 10 000 surveyed firms in some 50 countries we find that perceived quality of state courts and the frequency with which firms resort to non state dispute resolution are positively correlated and that hence state courts and non state dispute resolution are complements rather than substitutes the hope of some policy makers that development can be spurred by improving the conditions for non state dispute resolution thus appears to be in vain

optimal portfolio choice with wash sale constraints abstract we analytically solve the portfolio choice problem in the presence of wash sale constraints in a two period model with one risky asset our results show that wash sale constraints can heavily affect portfolio choice of investors with unrealized losses the trading behavior of such investors is to a large extent driven by the desire to realize those losses either immediately by sharply decreasing the holding of assets carrying unrealized losses or indirectly by increasing such holdings in order to prepare for a decrease in a future period to earn the tax rebate payment our findings are robust to increasing the number of trading dates and introducing a second risky asset and a correlation structure

regulation and market power in the spanish liquefied petroleum gas industry progress or failure this paper presents a detailed study of the structure market power and competition in the distribution sector for liquefied petroleum gas lpg within spain it is a segment of energy consumption and supply that is not often given serious attention despite the fact that lpg is a crucial source of energy to many households in many countries in europe and in the rest of the world despite formally being an open and liberalized sector the spanish lpg market is characterized by high concentration within the industry repsol butano the dominant operator practically controls the entire value chain these structural characteristics probably justify state intervention in the form of price fixing in order to guarantee accessible prices for final consumers nevertheless applying this tool has had negative effects on the opening and liberalization process on the one hand it fails to encourage entry or an increase in the participation of new operators on the other it has considerably deteriorated the economic and financial performance of the distribution agents that are subjected to two strong forces first the dominant operator looks after its own interests and its income and second the government tries to defend the interests of final consumers by fixing prices that inadequately remunerate the activity this shows the contradictory regulatory actions that try to promote competition and then establish mechanisms to regulate activity by fixing prices that act as price limits these government set prices discourage new competitors from entering

imperfect competition risk taking and regulation in banking abstract we asses the welfare implications of banking competition under various deposit insurance regimes in a model of imperfect competition with social failure costs and where banks are subject to limited liability we study the links between competition for deposits and risk taking incentives and conclude that the welfare performance of the market and the appropriateness of alternative regulatory measures depend on the degree of rivalry and the deposit insurance regime specifically when competition is intense and the social failure costs high deposit rates are excessive both in a free market and with risk based insurance if insurance premiums are insensitive to risk then the same is true even if there is no social cost of failure we find also that in an uninsured market with nonobservable portfolio risk or with flat premium deposit insurance deposit regulation rate regulation or deposit limits and direct asset restrictions are complementary tools to improve welfare in an uninsured market with observable portfolio risk or with risk based insurance deposit regulation may be a sufficient instrument to improve welfare

government special interest groups and economic growth in descending order of robustness and strength the four major conclusions are i the experience of industrial countries in the postwar period indicates that a large welfare state has been associated with a high rate of economic growth ii the olson thesis that powerful special interest groups impede growth receives empirical support iii the relation between growth and the welfare state is non linear with increases in the size of the welfare state beyond some critical level one sixth of gdp according to our estimates resulting in reductions rather than increases in the growth rates and iv the strength of the growth promoting properties of the welfare state is positively related to the strength of special interest groups as proxied by the proportion of the work force unionized one possible interpretation of these results runs as follows a large welfare state may retard economic growth by reducing the incentives to work to save to move and to change on the other hand in a situation where special interest groups have aquired significant power to block change if they so desire the welfare state which offers assistance to those who are the victims of change may play a growth enhancing role in reducing the incentive to block change the fourth conclusion just stated supports this view the welfare state may also foster economic growth through favourable effects on social consensus political stability and labour management relations the results suggest that the growth promoting forces predominate as long as the welfare state is not too large but beyond a certain point which corresponds more or less to the median situation among developed countries today the growth retarding elements come to the fore

effects of capital gains taxation on life cycle investment and portfolio management we examine the impact of capital income taxation both accrual forms of taxation and taxation of realized capital gains on total savings and the demand for corporate financial instruments we find that investors may hold both debt and equity in the face of effective collection of capital gains taxation even in a flat tax system we also find that the two taxes will have substantially different effects on saving and consumption behavior making it unlikely that the tax structure can be summarized by any single equivalent accrual tax rate this paper examines the impact of income taxation on the demand for various corporate financial instruments focusing on unique features due to taxation of realized capital gains we take a life cycle view of investment behavior and examine how accrual and realization taxation jointly affect an individual s allocation of intertemporal resources we shall consider the impact on his demand for debt and equity showing that taxation of realized capital gains generates an intrapersonal tax clientele effect at any one point of time an individual will strictly prefer either to buy debt or equity but that choice may be different at different ages therefore many individuals will simultaneously hold both debt and equity we also find that any attempt to measure the effective capital gains tax rate will be difficult and that existing approaches appear flawed since they do not correspond to the pattern of distortions which we find in this explicit model of asset demand and saving this analysis deviates from earlier work on capital gains taxation in several substantial dimensions whereas much of the capital gains taxation literature focuses on how capital gains tax regulations generate arbitrage opportunities in perfect capital markets the analysis used below essentially assumes effective enforcement of the intent of capital gains taxation this is desirable since contrary to the perfect capital market implication capital gains tax revenues are nontrivial therefore in examining the nature of asset demand and choice it is reasonable to assume somewhat effective collection of the capital gains tax liabilities our analysis will assume completely effective enforcement to highlight the impact of capital gains taxation it will be clear that several types of leakages will not substantially alter the qualitative conclusions

capital gains taxation in an economy with an austrian sector abstract this paper examines the effects of a proportional capital gains in an economy with an austrian sector with wine and trees and an ordinary sector we analyze the effect of capital gains taxation on both an accrual and a realization basis on the efficiency with which resources are used within the austrian sector since time is the only input which can be varied in the austrian sector this amounts to looking at the effect of capital gains taxation on the harvesting time or selling time of assets accrual taxation decreases the selling time of austrian assets realization taxation decreases the selling time of some austrian assets and leaves it unchanged for others inflation further reduces the selling time of assets taxed on an accrual basis often but not always inflation increases the selling time of austrian assets taxed on a realization basis we also examine the effect of the special tax treatment of capital gains at death and find that the current u s tax system under which capital gains taxes are waived at death encourages investors to hold assets longer in contrast to these results which suggest that the capital gains tax can reduce the holding period of an asset we show that there is a sense in which such taxes at least when levied on a realization basis discourage transactions and increase holding periods it is never profitable to change the ownership of an austrian asset between the time of the original constraint and the ultimate harvesting of the asset for final use capital gains taxation diverts resources from the austrian sector to the ordinary sector the effects on the efficiency of the allocation of investment between sectors are complicated and not easy to summarize

tax evasion and capital gains taxation this paper uses time series data to investigate how changes in capital gains tax rates affect taxpayer compliance it finds that a one percent increase in the marginal tax rate reduces voluntary compliance by between one half and one percent these results confirm the findings of previous studies based on individual household data they also suggest that at least one quarter of the observed capital gain realization response to changes in marginal tax rates is due to changes in reporting behavior rather than portfolio behavior this abstract was borrowed from another version of this item this abstract was borrowed from another version of this item this abstract was borrowed from another version of this item this abstract was borrowed from another version of this item this abstract was borrowed from another version of this item this abstract was borrowed from another version of this item this abstract was borrowed from another version of this item this abstract was borrowed from another version of this item this abstract was borrowed from another version of this item this abstract was borrowed from another version of this item this abstract was borrowed from another version of this item this abstract was borrowed from another version of this item this abstract was borrowed from another version of this item this abstract was borrowed from another version of this item this abstract was borrowed from another version of this item this abstract was borrowed from another version of this item this abstract was borrowed from another version of this item this abstract was borrowed from another version of this item

determinants of the increase in the number of interest groups in western democracies theoretical considerations and evidence from 21 oecd countries mancur olson s theory of institutionalsclerosis is based on the notion that thenumber of interest groups within a countryincreases with the duration of itspolitical stability the following paperargues that the increase in the number ofinterest groups over time could also be aconcomitant of economic development theoretically both explanations provetenable an empirical cross sectionalregression analysis using data from 21oecd countries finds no evidence for asignificant impact of the duration ofpolitical stability on the number ofinterest groups a significantly positiveeffect is however reported for the degreeof economic development

economic value competition and financial distress in the european banking system abstract in this paper we examine the impact of a large number of factors at the bank level liquidity and credit risks asset size income diversification and market power at the industry level banking concentration and macro level real gdp growth on bank financial distress using an unbalanced panel of 308 european commercial banks between 1996 and 2009 the observations falling below a given threshold of the empirical distribution of the shareholder value ratio proxy bank financial distress we employ a panel probit regression and given the presence of overlapping data giving rise to residual autocorrelation we use the bertschek and lechner 1998 robust estimator of the covariance matrix of parameters we show that credit risk liquidity risk and bank market power are the most influential determinants of distressed shareholder value ratio finally we evaluate the model out sample forecasting performance over the 2008 2009 crisis period

bank size and risk taking under basel ii this paper discusses the relationship between bank size and risk taking under pillar i of the new basel capital accord using a model with imperfect competition and moral hazard we find that small banks and hence small borrowers may profit from the introduction of an internal ratings based irb approach if this approach is applied uniformly across banks however the banks right to choose between the standardized and the irb approaches unambiguously hurts small banks who are pushed towards higher risk taking due to fiercer competition this may even lead to higher aggregate risk in the economy

tax arbitrage and labor supply we examine how tax avoidance in the form of trade in well functioning asset markets affects the basic labor supply model we show that tax arbitrage has dramatic implications for positive normative and econometric analysis of how taxes affect work incentives

evidence on tax motivated securities trading behavior tax loss selling by investors in common stocks near the end of calendar years has been proposed as an explanation for the turn of the year effect in stock returns past analyses of this hypothesis have relied on inferential data we provide here some direct data from a compilation of over 80 000 actual common stock investment round trips by a sample of 3000 individual investors we find strong evidence of a concentration of loss taking trades late in the year and milder evidence of a concentration just prior to the dates when investments become eligible for long term tax treatment the question as to whether and in what manner the impostion of a tax on realized capital gains affects the securities trading behavior of investors who are subject to the tax has been a longstanding topic of research in the financial ecomonics literature the original attention devoted to the matter was motivated primarily by a concern about resource allocation and federal tax revenue consequences and was directed toward the phenomenon of what has been termed the lock in effect of a gains tax that issue has remained an important public policy one and continues today as part of the ongoing debate about appropriate strategies for reducing the federal budget deficit particular additional interest in the topic has emerged in recent years however because securities transactions undertaken systematically for tax reasons have also been proposed as part of the explanation for certain observed anomalies in historical common stock returns most prominently the well documented turn of the year effect our purpose here is to provide some new evidence that decisions by investors as to the timing of the realization of capital gains and losses from their common stock investments are significantly affected by tax considerations this evidence indicates that a difference in the tax rates applicable to realizations classified as short and long term influences the timing of individual investors trades and further that there is a clear tendency for trades by individuals which give rise to losses to be concentrated near the end of calendar which for them are also tax years while we cannot conclude that

tax arbitrage and the redistributive properties of progressive income taxation abstract contrary to the popular view this paper shows that tax arbitrage may reduce inequality we also show that tax arbitrage is likely to benefit individuals located at the tails of the income distribution at the expense of those located at the center

deregulation and bank financial policy the standard view that banks can value maximize by exploiting non risk rated deposit insurance ignores the potential loss of a valuable bank charter due to insolvency recognition of this effect changes the bank s optimal financial policy and can induce extreme risk averting as well as risk taking behavior however as the value of the bank charter falls the risk taking strategy is more apt to dominate therefore current deregulation of the banking industry by easing entry and devaluing charters holds the potential for increases in the incidence of insolvency unless offsetting policies are instituted

model unvertainty political learning and institutions a broader view on mancur olson s theory of institutional sclerosis in his rise and decline of nations mancur olson argues that politically stable countries suffer from declining growth rates caused by the growing influence of distributional coalitions that accumulate over time the empirical literature supports the notion of a negative relationship between a country s duration of political stability and its growth rates but finds only weak support for a negative influence of distributional coalitions on growth this paper sketches a simple model of party competition under model uncertainty which may explain this mixed empirical picture it shows that politically stable democracies are less well equipped to adjust to shifts in their economic environment than democracies with a shorter history of political stability in a further step the paper relates the major theme of this theory and olson s theory to the more recent literature on institutions and growth directions for further research are discussed

capital gains taxes and equity trading empirical evidence individual investors have an incentive to defer selling appreciated stock until it qualifies for tax favored long term capital gains treatment shackelford and verrecchia 2002 show that these incentives can affect equity trading around public disclosures this article provides some empirical support for their theory with evidence of price increases and equity constrictions around announcements of quarterly earnings and additions to the s p 500 index we find share returns rise and trading volume falls with the incremental taxes saved by deferring the sale of appreciated property the price increases however are temporary reversing in subsequent trading days the results are consistent with buyers believing the compensation to sell before long term qualification through higher prices is less costly than holding an inappropriately weighted portfolio this finding that personal capital gains taxes affect equity trading adds to a growing literature that challenges longstanding assumptions that firm value is independent of shareholders and their taxes

special interest groups and growth this paper explores empirically the relation between special interest groups and economic growth our analysis exploits new data on the number of groups observed across countries and time in order to mitigate the identification problems associated with earlier studies also in contrast to earlier work we examine the impact of groups on two sources of growth capital accumulation and technological change in addition to the impact of groups on output growth the findings are consistent with olson s the rise and decline of nations the political economy of economic growth stagflation and social rigidities new haven yale 1982 claim that societies with greater numbers of interest groups grow slower accumulate less capital and experience reduced productivity growth relative to others

spatial competition in the banking system localization cross subsidies and the regulation of deposit rates abstract the paper analyses a spatial competition model of the banking sector banks offer two kind of services deposits and credit and can either borrow or lend on the money market we investigate the consequences of the regulation of rates paid on deposits the main conclusions are as follows regulation first increases network size beyond social optimum in the long run it results in lower equilibrium credit rates because of increased competition secondly regulation generates tied sales contracts by which banks propose bundles of credit and deposit services tied sales in turn motivate the introduction of cross subsidies between the two activities the rent levied upon regulated deposits financing lower rates in the credit market finally it is shown that in a regulated environment the effectiveness of monetary policy is reduced in the sense that fluctuations of money market rates are less than fully transmitted in credit rates

information reusability competition and bank asset quality this paper explains the recent decline in bank asset quality using the notion of information reusability banks are viewed as information processors they exist because of their advantage in extracting the surplus associated with the reusability of borrower specific information it is shown that a bank s incentive to screen loan applicants and hence maintain the quality of its assets depends on the surplus this screening can produce which in turn depends on information reusability two recent changes in banks operating environment are increased competitition and greater temporal volatility in borrower credit risks the former has directly reduced banks informational surplus while the latter has impaired information reusability hence screening expenditures have been reduced and the diminution of screening has lowered the quality of bank assets it is also shown that an increase in deposit insurance premia has an effect similar to that of narrowing interest spreads and therefore will result in reduced asset screening and impaired asset quality

dynamic asset pricing effects and incidence of realization based capital gains taxes abstract many analyses of capital gains taxation assume that realization based taxes are economically similar to accrual based taxes in equilibrium however the distinctive implications of realization taxes for asset trading through the lock in effect are associated with distinctive dynamic asset pricing effects asset prices are increased by the current realization tax to partly offset the sale disincentive that the tax would otherwise impose the resulting division of the tax burden between buyers and sellers of assets is similar to traditional public finance models of excise tax incidence in product markets

consistent estimates of the impact of special interest groups on economic growth empirical studies designed to testolson s 1982 theory of institutional sclerosis aretypically forced to rely upon proxies to measure theability of special interest groups to engage inredistributive activities which in turn areexpected to hinder economic growth this note showsthat reliance on proxies biases the estimates towardzero here instrumental variable routines areutilized which increase the estimated impact ofspecial interests on the economy

deposit rate ceilings and the market value of banks the case of france 1971 1981 the objective of this paper is to develop an empirical methodology to assess the relationship between the market value and the asset liability structure of banks a simple bank valuation model is suggested and empirically tested on a sample of french banks the paper attempts to evaluate the effect of corporate taxation the rent on deposits subject to interest rate ceilings and the determinants of the 1974 drop in banks market values copyright 1992 by ohio state university press

the taxpayer relief act estate planning and resource mobility in u s agriculture agricultural resources tend to be owned by individuals in the later stages of their economic life if older agricultural resource owners tend to use resources less productively than younger owners then much of the resource base in agriculture may be inefficiently employed this article argues that u s capital taxation laws may be partly responsible for resource immobility capital gains taxation tends to reduce resource mobility as does the family business estate tax exemption the 1997 taxpayer relief act could exacerbate the immobility problem

is fairly priced deposit insurance possible we analyze risk sensitive incentive compatible deposit insurance in the presence of private information and moral hazard without deposit linked subsidies it is impossible to implement risk sensitive incentive compatible deposit insurance pricing in a competitive deregulated environment except when the deposit insurer is the least risk averse agent in the economy we establish this formally in the context of an insurance scheme in which privately informed depository institutions are offered deposit insurance premia contingent on reported capital the result holds for alternative sorting instruments as well this suggests a contradiction between deregulation and fairly priced risk sensitive deposit insurance this paper exposes a conflict between a deregulated competitive financial services industry on the one hand and fairly priced risk sensitive deposit insurance on the other we show that if depository institutions dis are perfectly competitive i e each makes zero profits on average then it is impossible to implement incentive compatible risk sensitive deposit insurance pricing recent distress among dis has fueled debate about reform of the existing deposit insurance system many believe that the prevailing risk insensitive premium structure encourages dis to choose excessively risky assets and that it should be replaced by deposit insurance premia linked to the dis choices of risk 2 risk sensitive deposit insurance pricing however imposes greater informational demands on the deposit insurer and runs afoul of both

exploring the nexus between banking sector reform and performance evidence from newly acceded eu countries abstract the aim of this study is to examine the relationship between banking sector reform and bank performance measured in terms of efficiency total factor productivity growth and net interest margin accounting for the effects through competition and bank risk taking to this end we develop an empirical model of bank performance which is consistently estimated using recent econometric techniques the model is applied to bank panel data from ten newly acceded eu countries the results indicate that both banking sector reform and competition exert a positive impact on bank efficiency while the effect of reform on total factor productivity growth is significant only toward the end of the reform process finally the effect of capital and credit risk on bank performance is in most cases negative while it seems that higher liquid assets reduce the efficiency and productivity of banks

does the investment interest limitation explain the existence of dividends abstract miller and scholes have shown that under certain conditions the federal income tax taxes dividend income at a rate no higher than the rate on capital gains tabulations of actual 1977 tax returns show that the special circumstances under which this can occur apply to recipients of two and one half percent of dividend income and that no dominant role may therefore be ascribed to their hypothesis in the determination of corporate dividend policy

volume for winners and losers taxation and other motives for stock trading capital gains taxes create incentives to trade our major finding is that turnover is higher for winners stocks the prices of which have increased than for losers which is not consistent with the tax prediction however the turnover in december and january is evidence of tax motivated trading there is a relatively high turnover for losers in december and for winners in january we conclude that taxes influence turnover but other motives for trading are more important we were unable to find evidence that changing the length of the holding period required to qualify for long term capital gains treatment affected turnover investors responding to the tax incentives in the capital gains laws should produce predictable patterns in the volume of trading in a stock but not necessarily in its price this study uses past price patterns as a proxy to measure the incentives to sell or avoid selling a stock and observes trading volumes to estimate the extent to which investors respond to these incentives past price patterns may influence trading volumes for other non tax related reasons as well these are also considered we find that past prices influence current incentives to trade through both tax and non tax motives winners tend to have higher abnormal volumes than losers this would be expected if non tax related motives were predominant however the influence of tax related motives on trading volume is shown by seasonal variations in the relationship between past price changes and turnover as predicted by tax induced trading theories the volume of losers is higher than normal in december and the volume of winners is higher than normal in january we found no evidence that trading volume was affected by changes in the length of the holding period required to qualify for long term capital gains investors reactions to capital gains taxes are important for several reasons first a comprehensive understanding of investor behavior would include both price and volume understanding the relationship between taxes and volume is a fruitful and convenient method of contributing to this subject the resource allocation consequences of capital gains taxes are controversial in part because

policy watch cutting capital gains taxes from 1922 to 1986 long term capital gains were taxed at lower rates than other income generally by allowing a portion of long term capital gains to be excluded from taxable income while taxing capital gains at the same rates as other income has been hailed by some as a major accomplishment of tax reform it has been criticized by others as one of its main flaws as a result there have been proposals each year since 1986 to restore some type of capital gains preference these proposals have sparked a lively debate centered on three main questions would reducing the capital gains tax lower or raise federal revenues who benefits most from cutting the capital gains tax would lower tax rates on capital gains improve economic performance

bequest taxes and capital gains realizations abstract contrary to popular view capital gains do not escape taxation at death as they are subject to the estate tax the presence of the step up in basis increases the lock in effect of capital gains taxes as individuals are induced to hold assets until death this effect however is mitigated by the estate tax which applies to assets passed to heirs using a sample of matched income and estate tax records in a period that straddles significant changes in capital gains and estate tax rates the estate tax is found to have an unlocking effect on capital gains realizations the realization elasticity with respect to the estate tax rate is estimated at 0 36 in the basic model

banking deregulation in europe banking deregulation ernst baltensperger and jean dermine deregulation of financial services is well under way in many european countries this has led to fears that economies are now more vulnerable to macroeconomic shocks the authors focus on one aspect of financial deregulation namely liberalization of the banking system they show that measures such as the abolition of reserve requirements increase macroeconomic variability under some circumstances but reduce it under others no general macroeconomic case can be made for banking regulation or for its liberalization analysis of microeconomic issues is more fruitful asymmetric information and the risks of contagion in a panic can lead to runs against the banking system to the extent that these are socially inefficient public intervention may be justified this presumption is stronger since the risks of bank runs have grown recently with the increased maturity mismatch the finance of illiquid loans by liquid short term deposits to meet this danger the authors recommend regulation of deposit contracts whilst preserving incentives for bank monitoring by private parties specifically they propose an ex post liability of current and former depositors when banks default thereby offsetting the incentive to withdraw funds at the onset of a crisis being quick off the mark would no longer be sufficient and sophisticated depositors would press for greater disclosure and fuller monitoring of bank activities the authors also recommend that remaining controls on deposit interest rates should be scrapped and that supervision of international banking should be cooperatively conducted by host and parent authorities

trading volume for winners and losers on the tokyo stock exchange this paper examines trading volume on the tokyo stock exchange traditional theory suggests that taxes create strong incentives to delay realization of capital gains and accelerate realization of losses contrary to the theory we find strong evidence that turnover is higher for stocks with gains winners than for stocks with losses losers in particular the winner stocks of keiretsu firms tend to have high end of fiscal year turnover this is true even when realizing gains could result in higher tax liabilities we conclude that capital gains taxes have only a small impact on turnover in japan other non tax related motives especially window dressing appear to dominate investor behavior we find strong evidence that this window dressing is concentrated in the stock of keiretsu firms

deposit rates credit rates and bank capital the klein monti model revisited abstract the paper expands the klein monti model with bankruptcy risk and deposit insurance the well known result of independence between deposit and credit rates is shown to be lost the causal relationship becomes recursive and the direction of the recursivity depends on the existence or the absence of a deposit insurance mechanism

competition policy in banking this paper summarizes some of the arguments relating competition and banking instability draws connections between regulation and competition policy and surveys and analyses the role of competition policy in the banking sector in a financial crisis it is argued that a trade off between competition and stability is bound to persist despite improvements in regulation that the banking sector specificity should be recognized by competition policy and that competition policy and regulation need close coordination copyright 2011 oxford university press

capital gains tax policy and the behavior of common stock returns abstract consistent with the lock in effect empirically documented in the economic literature and developed in theoretical work by stiglitz we find evidence of an increase in stock market volatility following an increase in the capital gains tax rate we further observe a corresponding decrease in volatility subsequent to a reduction in the capital gains tax rate we also note an inverse relationship between stock market trading volume and the tax rate on capital gains that is further consistent with the lock in effect

shareholder value creation in japanese banking this paper advances the study of fiordelisi and molyneux 2010 by examining the shareholder value efficiency and its determinants for a large sample of japanese banks between 1999 and 2011 a new specifically tailored measure of the economic value added approach based on the shadow price of equity is developed in order to account for specific characteristics of the japanese banking system this new shareholder value measure is then used in a dynamic panel data model as a linear function of various bank risk bank specific and macroeconomic variables this study finds that cost efficiency gains credit risk and bank size are the most important factors in explaining the shareholder value creation in japanese banking cost efficiency changes are also found to significantly influence cost of equity capital

an examination of the factors affecting the formation of interest groups in oecd countries perhaps the best way to summarize the empirical results is to classify the hypotheses into three groups those which can be readily accepted because they are supported in all tests those which can be readily rejected because no test results support them and those upon which one should remain agnostic because the test results are not consistent in the first group are population pop decentralization of government dcnt and length of time of modernization date one can state quite confidently that these three variables are determinants of interest group activity in the second group are the variables measuring characteristics of the political system poly dem1 dem2 pfrc one can with ease reject the hypotheses to which these variables are relevant there is a large group of variables which stand in the middle group however for these variables there are gradations of success in the tests the variables on socioeconomic development inc agri news and number of industries and political subdivisions nind regp are only significant in the one variable tests especially important is their failure to obtain the correct signs in the tests reported in table 3 the variables on ethnic fractionalization efrc and olson s hypothesis on destruction of groups ndfo have the correct signs in table 3 and are significant in table 1 thus it is more difficult to reject efrc and ndfo as determinants of interest group activity than inc nind and regp finally it should be mentioned that once appropriate simultaneous equations techniques are applied government size is no longer supported as a significant variable this paper will conclude with comments of a more conjectural nature on the implications of the results in the case of three specific variables first the results on hypothesis 3 suggest that population affects the number of interest groups independently of indirect effects through other variables this direct effect occurs because groups become proportionately smaller and more homogeneous as population increases hence one can expect the political economy of larger countries to be significantly different from that of smaller countries the results suggest that larger countries will have a denser array of interest groups and that these groups because of their homogeneity will find it easier to decide on and pursue policies in the narrow interests of their members secondly the results support olson s claim that there will be a gradual accumulation of interest groups in developed democracies given that olson attributes to interest groups a large role in determining the economic fortunes of a country the fact that his accumulation hypothesis is supported is a result of some significance finally if one accepts the two stage least squares results it has been shown that changes in government size do not induce changes in interest group activity an important conclusion can be reached when this result is taken in combination with the results of other studies which show that interest groups induce changes in the size of government mccormick and tollison 1981 and mueller and murrell 1983 these results do not support the capture theory of government that governmental institutions are created perhaps in the public interest and then dominated by interest groups rather the results support the theory that the institutions themselves are the creatures of interest group activity

tax exempt investors and the asset allocation puzzle abstract investors frequently hold equity in pensions and other tax exempt savings plans despite the prediction of the standard model that they hold only bonds we provide a new explanation for this empirical puzzle based on differences between tax exempt and taxable assets in the tax treatment of capital losses we show how limits on refundability of losses on taxable equities leads to diversity of investors preferences for corporate leverage on the basis of tax rates in the simplest equilibrium of the model tax exempt savers hold risky highly levered equities while low bracket taxable savers hold bonds and high bracket taxpayers hold relatively safe unlevered equities we discuss the implications of tax exempts for risk taking and agency costs within the firm

explaining the rain the rise and decline of nations after 25 years in the quarter century since the publication of mancur olson s rise and decline of nations a large literature has evolved testing the central hypothesis regarding olson s thesis on institutional sclerosis these tests have taken the form of both econometric regression analysis involving a sample of various nations and detailed narrative case studies of specific nations tests have appeared in both economics and political science journals as well as in collected volumes and independent books performed primarily by authors from america and europe a review of over 50 separate works reveals that on the whole the theory of institutional sclerosis is generally but certainly not universally supported no systematic bias in favor of or opposition to olson is found to have arisen on the basis of methodology publication outlet or authorship location

tax induced trading the effect of the 1986 tax reform act on stock market activity the end of favorable tax treatment for long term capital gains caused investors to reassess traditional tax induced trading strategies this study compares trading behavior in december 1986 and january 1987 with previous years our results indicate that these tax code changes had a powerful effect on trading behavior relative trading volume was considerably higher in december 1986 for long term winners but not significantly lower for long term losers results also indicate altered trading patterns based on shortterm gains in december 1986 and for long term winners in january 1987 the most sweeping revision of the united states tax code in many years became law in september 1986 one key aspect of that law was the elimination of the favorable tax treatment of long term capital gains under prior law capital gains on assets held at least six months were generally1 taxed at only forty percent of the rate applied to ordinary income under the new tax law assets sold after december 31 1986 are to be taxed with a few exceptions 2 at the same rate at which ordinary income is taxed this change represented the largest capital gains tax rate increase in at least half a century the purpose of this study is to assess the short run investor reaction to this change in the tax treatment of capital gains the nearly four month lag between the passage of the legislation and the effective date of the tax rate change gave investors ample opportunity to assess the law s consequences for their portfolios and adjust their behavior accordingly since investors are seeking to maximize the risk adjusted after tax return on their portfolio this record increase in capital gains tax rates is likely to induce significant changes in investment strategy the extreme sensitivity of capital gains realizations to the capital gains tax rate by holders of common stock has been frequently demonstrated a permanent or long term and recurring investor response is evidenced by the findings of