tax policy uncertainty and corporate investment abstract the anticipatory effects of a corporate tax reform of the tax cut cum base broadening variety are analyzed in a dynamic stochastic adjustment model of firm behavior focusing on the case where the firm is uncertain both about the timing and the contents of the expected reform the value of the firm is solved prior to and after the reform the existence of investment spurts prior to the implementation of the tax reform is established rigorous results are derived under constant returns and the effects of diminishing returns are explained the expectation of a future tax cut causes the firm to accelerate optimal investment while the expectation of a reduction in the tax base the rate of fiscal depreciation has the opposite effect for a firm which updates information timing uncertainty interacts with the expectation effect moreover increased timing uncertainty may accelerate or decelerate investment as an optimal response to an expected tax cut futhermore for reasonable assumptions it is shown that a rate cut cum base broadening tax reform of the type implemented in several oecd countries in the 1980s and 1990s cannot be revenue neutral

capital allocation how the us compares with other major industrialized nations data for the seven major industrialized nations spanning two decades provide evidence that capital formation as a percentage of gross domestic product differs significantly among the major industrialized nations comparatively the us ranks among the leaders in residential structures and among the lowest in commercial structures however us private sector allocation of capital to machinery and equipment appears to be in line with other major trading nations the rate of capital cost recovery appears to affect the amount of capital allocated to commercial structures but not to residential structures or machinery and equipment likewise changes in the capital cost recovery provisions under the economic recovery tax act of 1981 seem to have led to an increase in capital allocated to commercial structures and to a marginal increase in capital allocated to machinery and equipment

the role of subsidies in promoting italian joint ventures in least developed and transition economies this paper analyses the impact of subsidies to promote italian joint ventures jvs with firms in ldc and transition economies the empirical analysis is carried out on a unique dataset of 172 jvs interviewed during 1998 by means of a closed answer qualitative quantitative questionnaire the main finding of the study is that although there is a significant deadweight component in incentive policy subsidised firms are significantly more likely to grow moreover jvs comprising new firms which need to grow to survive also achieve a higher than average employment performance and so too do labour intensive jvs motivated by the search for lower labour costs and jvs in east european countries

reversing urban bias in african rice markets evidence from senegal summary urban bias constitutes an important institutional impediment to economic development in poor countries some african governments now recognize that they should invest in agricultural productivity in order to reverse urban bias but often forget the equally important objective of investing in quality tailored to consumers so as to reverse urban bias footprint on food markets we conduct framed field experiments in two major urban markets in senegal and find that the majority of urban consumers are willing to pay quality premiums for local rice suggesting that investment in post harvest rice quality is a priority in the reversal of urban bias 2012 elsevier ltd all rights reserved

do tax allowances stimulate investment considerable empirical work on investment behavior makes use of a capital cost variable to capture the effects of various corporate tax allowances the assumption behind most of this work is that all available tax allowances may be claimed by the firms however there are several reasons why this may not be true one purpose of this paper is to explore the effect on capital cost of assuming that firms have unused tax allowances and that the investment funds system if system is not used to finance marginal investments during periods of if releases another purpose is to construct econometric investment functions in order to compare the performance of alternative definitions of capital cost in fact the hypothesis that tax allowances do not have the effect on capital cost implied by a mechanical interpretation of statutory tax rules cannot be rejected in particular if releases may raise the return on intramarginal investment rather than create investment incentives

business political power the case of taxation we examine contending views about the forms and mechanisms of business power in u s politics by estimating time series models explaining taxation and redistribution taxation and redistribution constitute strong cases for theories about business and class power since all firms have an interest in reducing taxation we find that changes in corporate taxation and in redistribution between capital gains income and earned income and between corporate taxation and individual taxation are strongly influenced by political partisanship with democratic administrations increasing the tax burden on firms and their owners how far corporations engage in electoral financing measured through the establishment of corporate political action committees is also influential the models show some evidence consistent with the understanding of class power conceptualized by bowles gordon and weisskopf and the presence of election cycle effects but inconsistent with implications arising from the structural dependence of the state on capital and asset concentration in the largest corporations as a mechanism of class power

cereals demand in the sahel and potential impacts of regional cereals protection abstract recent policy debate in the sahel has focused on a regional protection zone for cereals this paper discusses crosscountry evidence of consumption patterns and the sensitivity of these to policy variables and considers potential income distribution and efficiency impacts of a rice tariff increase a tariff would hurt the poor in the short term because the poor depend to a large extent on rice as a fast food purchased from street vendors the trend toward rice consumption is a long term structural phenomenon linked to urbanization rather than to short term price changes maize and millet sorghum are substitutes in consumption which should serve to encourage development of maize in the guinean zone to help assure sahel food security in drought years

regional policy incentives and the relative costs of capital in assisted areas in britain and germany bennett r j and krebs g 1989 regional policy incentives and the relative costs of capital in assisted areas in britain and germany reg studies 23 201 218 regional policies of various forms have been employed in most european countries both as means of stimulating investment in problem regions and as an attempt to limit the pace of industrial contraction this paper evaluates the resulting incentives to capital in britain and germany and compares the stimulus provided by the different packages of incentives over time and between the two countries it is demonstrated that pre tax real rates of return and fiscal wedges between pre and post tax real rates of return are affected very markedly by the incentive packages in britain fiscal wedges of 3 derive from regional policy up to the late 1970s but decline to 1 6 in the mid 1980s in germany fiscal wedges increase from 3 to 3 5 over the same period on a standardized basis of comparison thus declines in the significance of regional po

wealth and portfolio composition theory and evidence we examine a survey of 6010 u s households and estimate a model for household portfolio allocation we extend the conventional portfolio choice model in order to capture the observed incompleteness of household portfolios we show that the empirical specification of the joint discrete and continuous choice that characterizes household portfolio behavior is a switching regressions model with endogenous switching we go on to examine the impact of taxes on portfolio composition using detailed survey data to calculate precisely the marginal tax rate facing each household finally we estimate wealth elasticities of demand for a range of assets and liabilities

taxes tariffs and transfer pricing in multinational corporate decision making three interrelated aspects of u s multinational corporation activity are analyzed here the ability to shift profits from high tax countries to low tax countries the impact of host country taxes and tariffs on the distribution of real capital and the influence of these policies on international trade patterns of the united states and host countries the cross sectional empirical analysis indicates that the observed pattern of reported profits in high and low tax countries is consistent with income shifting behavior and that real investment responds to host country effective tax rates and tariffs the united states appears both to import more from and export more to low tax countries where mnc investment is greater but this bilateral focus must be amplified to consider multilateral effects if trade benefits are to be projected copyright 1991 by mit press

taxes and transaction costs in asset market equilibrium abstract this paper examines the effects of capital taxation in an imperfect capital market in which acquiring risky assets incurs costs individual portfolio choice has two distinct aspects the extensive choice of which assets to hold in the portfolio and the intensive choice of what fraction of wealth to invest in each asset held the traditional assumption of zero transaction costs obscures the extensive choice this paper shows that if trading in assets is costly capital taxes have extensive effects as well as the intensive effects previously studied

tax asymmetries the cost of capital and investment some evidence from united kingdom panel data a measure of the cost of capital is developed that incorporates the dynamic effects of tax changes and tax asymmetries estimates of the cost of capital are made using an unbalanced panel of 1987 u k quoted companies over the period 1971 to 1984 there is wide cross sectional variation in the cost of capital the measure is used in estimating an equation where this cross sectional variation is found to be a significant determinant of the level of company investment copyright 1989 by royal economic society

uncertainty welfare cost and the adaptability of u s corporate taxes alternative corporate tax systems differ in their ability to adapt to changes in the rate of inflation in the absence of complete indexing of depreciation allowances policymakers may use a particular expected inflation rate to set accelerated depreciation allowances in a way that minimizes the welfare loss from the misallocation of capital this welfare loss is a nonlinear function of the assumed inflation rate however so the welfare loss at the expected inflation rate may be quite different from the expected welfare loss we compute these two welfare concepts for each of three alternative corporate tax schemes in the u s and for two different relationships between inflation and interest rates one important finding is that the auerbach jorgenson first year recovery plan is not equivalent to indexing as is often claimed if uncertainty about inflation implies uncertainty about the real after tax discount rate

how effective are fiscal incentives for r d a review of the evidence this paper surveys the econometric evidence on the effectiveness of fiscal incentives for r d we describe the effects of tax systems in oecd countries on the user cost of r d the current position changes over time and across different firms in different countries we describe and criticize the methodologies used to evaluate the effect of the tax system on

the vanishing harberger triangle this paper shows that the double taxation of corporate dividends or profit repatriations implies a nucleus theory of the corporation after the firm is set up with a small stock of original capital it enters a phase of purely internal growth during which no dividends are paid and no shares are issued the phase terminates when an efficient stock of capital has been accumulated and dividends are paid during the growth phases the tax distortion is inversely related to the tax burden and it is larger than conventional formulae for the cost of internal and external equity finance suggest

the repatriation incentive of the foreign dividend exemption system abstractdue to the high taxation of domestic corporate income japanese multinational enterprises have avoided to repatriate foreign profits to japan for quite some time as a consequence the japanese government introduced a new taxation system in 2009 the so called dividend exemption system which was aimed at reducing the effective tax burden of foreign dividends of japanese multinational companies in order to increase tax revenue and stimulate economic growth applying a theoretical framework which allows comparing the repatriation incentive of the old and new japanese tax systems we find that in the long run the tax regime change fails to incentivize foreign subsidiaries to repatriate foreign profits especially subsidiaries with high leverage located in countries with low corporate taxes and low dividend taxes might reinvest rather than distribute their earnings in the dividend exemption method

differential income taxation and household asset allocation this article empirically investigates the effects of differential income taxation on households portfolio choice and asset allocation applying a two stage budgeting model of asset demand to german survey data the model is structured into the discrete and the continuous asset choice cross sectional variation in marginal tax rates appropriately instrumented as well as over time variation from a major tax reform are used to identify the tax effects households with higher tax rates are found to have relatively greater demand for tax privileged assets such as nonowner occupied housing mortgage repayments building society deposits stocks insurances and consumer credits than households with lower tax rates demand at higher tax rates is lower for owner occupied housing bank deposits and bonds

measuring the deadweight loss from taxation in a small open economy a general method with an application to sweden the paper develops a simple general equilibrium framework for calculating the marginal deadweight loss from taxation in a small open economy the framework allows a decomposition of the deadweight loss from each tax instrument into the losses stemming from the contraction of the different tax bases the paper describes a method of calibrating the model which exploits the links between the various factor supply elasticities implied by the standard life cycle model it also develops a method of estimating effective tax rates that is consistent with optimising household and firm behaviour to illustrate how the model works it is calibrated to a data set for sweden the quantitative results highlight the importance of accounting for the interaction between the major tax bases when estimating deadweight loss

stockholding behavior of u s households evidence from the 1983 1989 survey of consumer finances most households persistently invest in riskless assets but not stocks and may do so because they perceive information required for market participation to be costly relative to expected benefits in a consumption capital asset pricing model ccapm increased risk aversion income risk and lower resources reduce the information expense sufficient to deter stockholding bivariate probit analysis using the 1983 1989 survey of consumer finances shows that households with lower risk aversion higher education and greater wealth who were nonstockholders in 1983 had an increased conditional probability of entering by 1989 whereas 1983 stockholders with lower resources more limited education and greater risk aversion were more likely to be nonstockholders by 1989

how should capital be taxed this survey discusses how capital should be taxed in advanced economies we review the theoretical optimal tax literature survey empirical studies on the distribution of capital and the distortion

share repurchases the new view and the cost of capital this paper counters the view that the possibility of share repurchases invalidates the predictions of the new or trapped equity view of corporate taxation it is shown that the new view s basic cost of capital expression which distinguishes it from the old view remains valid regardless of the proportions in which corporate distributions of earnings split into share repurchases and ordinary dividend payments it is widely held that the new view of corporate taxation put forward by auerbach 1979 1983 l3radford 1981 king 1977 fullerton and king 1984 and others is incompatible with the phenomenon of share repurchases share repurchases it is maintained undermine this view s basic premise that the corporate firm is an equity trap and thus invalidate its predictions of the firm s investment behavior in my letter i argue that this verdict may be premature while i certainly do not want to claim to have isolated the forces that determine the firm s choice between dividend payments and share repurchases i hesitate to accept the argument that the invalidity of one of a theory s assumptions will necessarily render its predictions incorrect to be precise i will show that the new view s basic cost of capital expression that distinguishes it from the old view stays valid regardless of the proportions in which corporate distributions of earnings split into share repurchases and ordinary dividend payments consider a stylized class of capital income tax systems that resembles the class operative in the 0ecd countries let 7r be the rate of corporate tax on retained earnings rd the rate of corporate tax on dividends which equals rr in the us rc the effective rate of tax on accrued capital gains rdp the rate of personal tax on dividend income and 7 the rate of personal tax on interest income where

the implications of risk and irreversibility for the measurement of marginal effective tax rates on capital the implications of risk and irreversibility for the measurement of marginal effective tax rates on capital are examined it is shown that when capital is irreversible the marginal effective tax rate is an increasing function of systematic and unsystematic capital and income risk the tax system may thus distort investments in risky capital to a much greater extent than is implied by previous research that ignored irreversibilities marginal effective tax rate calculations based upon the canadian corporate tax system are provided

measuring marginal income tax rates for individuals in canada averages and distributions over time average marginal tax rates amtrs and the dispersion of marginal tax rates across income groups for canada over 1947 91 are reported federal amtrs fluctuated with little trend from 1947 to the mid 1960s rose to the mid 1970s fell and then rose from the early 1980s through to 1991 federal plus provincial amtrs trended upward after 1949 increasing fastest from the mid 1960s to the mid 1970s relative dispersion of mtrs shows a strong downward trend over the sample period this compression has been due partly to a decline in top mtrs but the main influence has been the steady increase in the portion of the population and of income subject to tax the amtr time series is quite volatile difference stationarity is not rejected

growth effect of taxes in an endogenous growth model to what extent do taxes affect economic growth abstract this paper presents an endogenous growth model comprising of financial human and physical capital and incorporating major features of a general tax system technology and preference parameter values in the model are chosen to fit the actual growth experiences of the united states and a rapidly growing east asian nic using the calibrated model i assess the role of differences in taxes and other variables in explaining the difference in growth rates the main findings are i the difference in tax systems across countries explains a significant proportion around 30 of the difference in growth rates ii the difference in preferences explains at most 4 and iii differences in labor income tax debt equity ratio and inflation can be important in explaining the growth difference further i evaluate the contribution of the monetary factor to the growth rate gap and the growth effect of us tax reforms e g revenue neutral changes in relative tax structure

the investment funds system reconsidered this paper studies the effects of the swedish investment funds system if on the cost of capital it is shown that the incentive effects critically depend on which regime the firm is in when the funds are released by the government and which regime it expects to be in in the future for quite reasonable assumptions if releases turn on to have much less impact on the incentive to invest than conventionally assumed

precautionary motives and portfolio decisions theory predicts that under certain restrictions on preferences prudent consumers will allocate relatively more funds to riskless assets when there is uninsurable background risk this paper analyzes empirically the relevance of precautionary motives for the structure of household wealth to this end a new and rich data source from the netherlands is exploited the question of primary concern is what impact if any does the presence of income uncertainty have on the structure of dutch households portfolios we employ various semi parametric estimators both for cross sections and for panel data to assess the response of households portfolios to uninsurable background risk we find some but not unanimous support for the view that portfolios become less risky as income uncertainty increases

assessing systemic risks and predicting systemic events abstract the paper develops a framework for assessing systemic risks and for predicting systemic events i e periods of extreme financial instability with potential real costs it contributes to the literature on the prediction of financial crises mainly in two ways first it uses a financial stress index for identifying the starting date of systemic financial crises second it uses discrete choice models that combine both domestic and global indicators of macro financial vulnerabilities to predict systemic financial crises the performance of the models is evaluated in a framework that takes into account policy maker s preferences between missing crises and issuing false alarms our analysis shows that combining indicators of domestic and global macro financial vulnerabilities substantially improves the models ability to forecast systemic financial crises our framework also displays a good out of sample performance in predicting the ongoing global financial crisis

evaluating the minimum asset tax on corporations an option pricing approach abstract king fullerton methodology cannot assess the minimum asset tax because it cannot handle uncertainty we present an alternative based on option pricing and show how carryover rules depreciation conventions and uncertainty affect the mat burden using brazilian data we show a because of the high intersectoral variance of returns on capital the mat does not reduce sectoral distortions b while high variance raises the mat burden high risk firms are not hit harder by the mat high risk firms also have a high rate of return which reduces the impact of the mat

saving accounts versus stocks and bonds in household portfolio allocation we study the structure of household portfolios of financial wealth by analyzing both the determinants of total financial wealth and the choice between risky stocks and bonds and riskfree assets saving accounts the econometric specification is a generalized trivariate tobit model estimated on a cross section of 3 077 households in the netherlands in 1988 we account for endogeneity of financial wealth and for selectivity due to nonreporting results show that the level of financial wealth and the marginal tax rate are major determinants of the allocation between riskfree and risky assets

a portrait of the individual investor abstract behavioral finance models often rely on a concept of noise traders who are prone to judgment and decision making errors what do noise traders do we review prior research and present new survey evidence on the behavior of small individual investors who manage their own equity portfolios many people 1 discover naive patterns in past price movements 2 share popular models of value 3 are not properly diversified and 4 trade in suboptimal ways

welfare and optimum dynamic taxation of consumption and income abstract this paper estimates that the us could attain large welfare gains by implementing an optimal ramsey tax policy that taxes consumption and income it is also found that the welfare implications associated with taxing consumption are quantitatively more important than those associated with dynamically taxing income indeed replacing income taxes with a constant consumption tax leads to a welfare gain that is only slightly lower than that attained by a dynamic policy that taxes consumption and income in computing these welfare gains careful attention is given to the dynamic path of tax rates and the transitional dynamics associated with how the economy responds to a new tax policy

the taxation of corporate investment income in canada an analysis of marginal effective tax rates this paper reports estimates of marginal effective tax rates on corporate investment income in canada taking into account sales taxes as well as corporation personal and business property taxes marginal effective tax rates are found to vary widely depending upon the type of asset acquired the industry in which the asset is used the manner in which the investment is financed and the tax status of the investor supplying the funds an examination of the sensitivity of these estimates to various tax arbitrage assumptions reveals the pattern of marginal effective tax rates to be similar irrespective of the arbitrage assumption used l imposition des revenus dinvestissement des societes au canada une analyse des taux marginaux effectifs ce memoire evalue les taux marginaux effectifs d imposition des revenus d investissement des societes au canada en tenant compte des taxes de vente aussi bien que des impots personnels et des impots sur les profits et sur les actifs des societes i1 appert que les taux marginaux effectifs d imposition varient grandement selon le type d actif acquis l industrie dans laquelle cet actif est utilise la faqon dont cet

on policymakers loss functions and the evaluation of early warning systems comment abstract sarlin 2013 suggests that if a loss function approach is chosen to derive the optimal threshold for financial crisis early warning indicators the loss function specification should explicitly take into account the unconditional sample crisis probability in this comment we argue that this approach is not robust to small perturbations of the preference parameter and is not easy to use for policy purposes we suggest therefore to continue using a simpler loss function specification

the effect of the value of time on food consumption patterns in developing countries evidence from sri lanka this study shows that the opportunity cost of women s time can affect household food consumption patterns in developing countries demand equations for rice bread and the ratio of bread to total cereal consumption are estimated for urban sri lankan households the demand specification which is based on the new household economics includes as explanatory variables the woman s estimated market wage and the household s full income and alternatively observed income wages are estimated using the heckman procedure to correct for sample selection bias

personal taxation pension wealth and portfolio composition this paper emphasizes the roles played by personal taxation and pension wealth in portfolio choice and composition a theoretical discussion of the impacts of taxation and participation in social security and private pension systems on individual wealth allocation is followed by empirical evidence based on u s cross section data both effects prove to be significant anticipated social security and private pension benefits exert a measurable influence on household portfolio allocation their omission from an asset demand model may lead to a misinterpretation of the impact of taxation on portfolio composition

monitoring banking sector fragility a multivariate logit approach this article explores how a multivariate logit model of the probability of a banking crisis can be used to monitor banking sector fragility the proposed approach relies on readily available data and the fragility assessment has a clear interpretation based on in sample statistics the model has better in sample performance than currently available alternatives and the monitoring system can be tailored to fit the preferences of decision makers regarding type i and type ii errors the framework can be useful as a preliminary screen to economize on precautionary costs

why sweden s welfare state needed reform according to professor walter korpi the swedish economy would be in better shape if leading politicians had paid less attention to the advice from an influential group of swedish academic economists allegedly hostile to the welfare state their claim that high taxes and extensive social security programmes have strong adverse effects on aggregate economic performance rested on a politically biased reading of comparative international data in purporting to show that sweden had fallen behind other comparable countries the sclerosis diagnosis they set the stage for cutbacks in the welfare state and a major tax reform involving substantially lower marginal tax rates apart from creating inequality at a negligible gain in efficiency the very same reforms may also explain why sweden ran into a macroeconomic tailspin in the early i 990s rather than an instructive case study of the ultimate consequences of a long term obsession with income equality and social protection the exceptional economic crisis can be traced to severe macroeconomic policy blunders the views of professor korpi are quite familiar for anyone that has followed the swedish debate over the last decade supporters of the welfare state applaud professor korpi for revealing the ideological bias underlying the evidence presented in support of the sclerosis diagnosis some swedish economists rather thank of him as a modern day don quixote eager to pick a fight with imaginary villains being a swede and a professor of economics i can hardly claim the status of an impartial observer i certainly believe that harberger triangles convey information and i am convinced that most of the recently implemented reforms make sense nevertheless i believe that professor korpi raises important issues many of the accusations made against the welfare state in sweden and elsewhere rest on evidence which does not survive normal academic scrutiny in their capacity as policy advisors academic economists far from always live up to the standards of the seminar room speculation and sweeping generalisations are poor substitutes for facts and empirical investigations like professor korpi i doubt that very important insights on the harmfulness of the welfare state can be gained from comparative aggregate data over the period i970 90 swedish economic growth was below the oecd average at the same time the public sector was very large however

dividend taxes and international portfolio choice this paper investigates how dividend taxes influence portfolio choices using the response to the distinctive treatment of a subset of foreign dividends in the jobs and growth tax relief reconciliation act jgtrra of 2003 an open economy after tax capital asset pricing model is used to derive the hypothesis that jgtrra should lead to a portfolio reallocation by us investors towards equities in tax favored countries a difference in difference analysis that compares us equity holdings in affected and unaffected countries finds a substantial portfolio reallocation towards the former this effect cannot be explained by several potential alternative hypotheses including differential changes to the preferences of american investors differential changes in investment opportunities differential time trends in investment changed tax evasion behavior or changes in stock prices associated or contemporaneous with jgtrra

uk stock relief legislation and the short run tax elasticity of inventory investment abstract this paper analyzes the effects of uk stock relief legislation on the cost of capital for inventory investment taking account of the tax position of individual companies a sample of large uk companies representative of the uk non oil non financial corporate sector is used to make calculations of the cost of capital both for aggregate corporate inventory investment and for various industrial sectors stock relief legislation reduces the cost of capital by between 4 and 8 per annum the tax position of individual companies generally makes only a small difference to the aggregate cost of capital stock relief legislation induces a pronounced seasonality in the cost of capital due to the uneven distribution of the end date of company accounting years this seasonality is exploited in time series estimates of the short run elasticity on the pre tax and post tax cost of capital for six manufacturing subsectors there is some evidence of a significant effect from the pre tax cost of capital on inventory investment but no evidence of any response to the tax incentives created by the stock relief legislation

short run politicians and long run tax revenue an empirical assessment a life cycle growth model fit to the u s economy is used to calculate the tax rate that would maximize steady state tax revenue the rate that would be set by a short run politician interested in maximizing current period receipts is also calculated in the current period the capital stock is fixed but labor is a variable factor following the intuition of buchanan and lee 1982 it might be suspected that this fixity of capital would lead the short run politician to set taxes above the steady state revenue maximizing level however such a conclusion does not hold for the cases considered in this study

the social opportunity cost of capital in the presence of labour market distortions this paper examines the conditions under which the social opportunity cost of capital in a tax distorted economy is equal to the gross of tax return to capital plus the excess of the market over the shadow wage bill whenever public investment serves as an unpriced or underpriced input in the private sector s production process only part of the excess of the market over the shadow wage bill should be attributed to private sector capital in addition whenever some of the benefits of public investment are appropriated by owners of capital the gross of tax return to capital will tend to overstate the genuine marginal product of capital the overall implication is that the social discount rate may be less than the gross of tax rate of return to capital in the private sector even if public investment crowds out private investment dollar for dollar

unemployment collective bargaining and the demand for protection there is a widespread consensus among nonacademic observers that labor unions with large numbers of unemployed members have been central actors in political coalitions demanding protectionist trade policies since the mid 1970s in advanced industrial societies yet trade unions and unemployment are hardly mentioned in most theories of the politics of international trade the purpose of this paper is to develop a theoretical framework for understanding the importance of unemployment as a determinant of protectionist demands that is consistent with optimizing behavior on the part of union members and firms models of labor negotiations derived from cooperative bargaining theory are used to illustrate why the material benefits of protection received by union members and their employers in protected industries increase when union members are unemployed even when workers are risk neutral and capital is immobile

corporate tax holidays and investments governments of developing countries commonly adopt tax holidays to encourage investment this article evaluates the incentives provided by company income tax holidays and explains the importance of the timing of depreciation allowances in determining the effective tax rates and the cost of capital to firms considering additional investment during the holiday if an asset is long lived and depreciation allowances for tax purposes are accelerated the tax holiday by preventing depreciation deductions during the periods of peak profits may actually penalize a company for investing during the holiday the closer the investment to the end of the holiday period the more severe the penalty if instead depreciation allowances may be deferred until after the holiday this program of incentives is quite generous to the firm how these sharply contrasting results may emerge is illustrated through estimation of effective tax rates and user costs of capital under tax holiday systems in bangladesh cote d ivoire malaysia morocco and thailand

transaction costs and the pricing of assets the existence of transaction costs explains why investors do not fully diversify their portfolios this paper examines the implications of such limited diversification oi equilibrium asset prices in the framework of the capital asset pricing model in the pricing equation obtained here an asset s risk premium depends on a weighted average of its covariance with the market and its own variance the absence of transaction costs in the sharpe lintner capital asset pricing model capm is often claimed to be only a minor idealization which hardly affects the substantive implications of the model this paper aims to demonstrate that this is not the case incorporating transaction costs into the capm leads to a major reformulation of its basic asset pricing equation in contrast with the capm formula

capital income taxation and risk taking in a small open economy abstract how do capital income taxes affect household portfolio choice and growth we approach this question within the context of a stochastic model of a small open economy in which taxes on income from domestic capital equity and foreign bonds affect household portfolio choice welfare and the growth rate of the economy the theoretical and numerical analysis demonstrates the important role that risk plays in determining the mean and variability of growth as well as the conditions under which a higher tax rate can be welfare improving to shed more light on the complex theoretical interaction between taxes and risk taking we estimate a reduced form multinomial probit model of household portfolio choice using the method of simulated moments the empirical evidence is in stark contrast to the conventional wisdom we find that higher taxes make it less likely that the household will hold risky assets

marginal taxes and the asset portfolios of swedish households this paper focuses on the effects of marginal tax rates wealth income and a set of socioeconomic and demographic variables on the portfolio composition of households using detailed micro data on 2 000 swedish households in particular efforts are made to disentangle the effects of marginal tax rates on the portfolio behavior of households some econometric problems involved when estimating asset demand equations in the presence of incomplete portfolios are briefly discussed a final section examines the overall effect of marginal tax rates on asset demands by applying estimated discrete and continuous portfolio equations to compute different tax elasticities

the effectiveness of tax incentives for r d i in developing countries the case of argentina abstract there is increasing interest in developing countries in granting tax incentives in order to encourage private investment in research development and innovation r d i however evidence on the effectiveness of such schemes in achieving policy goals in weak innovation systems contexts is still very scarce this paper aims at narrowing this knowledge gap by focusing on the effects of a tax credit scheme for promoting firm level innovation investment in argentina the analysis applies dynamic panel data techniques to a novel dataset merging several waves of the national innovation survey collected by the national institute of statistics and censuses the results suggest that the elasticity of r d i investment to its user cost of capital is a greater than 1 in absolute terms which implies that the intervention has been effective in increasing firms innovation efforts however effects vary depending on the type of innovation investment being subsidized industrial sector and size of the firm moreover when innovation investment is divided into innovation related capital goods expenditures and only r d the results suggest that the absolute value of the elasticity for the r d component of the innovation investment is less than 1 these heterogeneous effects should be exploited for further policy design

tax arbitrage and labor supply we examine how tax avoidance in the form of trade in well functioning asset markets affects the basic labor supply model we show that tax arbitrage has dramatic implications for positive normative and econometric analysis of how taxes affect work incentives

the ineffectiveness of effective tax rates on business investment a critique of feldstein s fisher schultz lecture abstract in his fisher schultz lecture martin feldstein 1982 examined the effects of non neutral tax rules on business investment by estimating three econometric models and he concluded that the rising rate of inflation has because of the structure of existing u s tax rules substantially discouraged investment in the past 15 years in a detailed examination of feldstein s effective tax rate model and a less extensive review of his other formulations neoclassical and return over cost we advance a number of important and independent criticisms and find that these three models fail to support feldstein s conclusion that taxes have exerted a significantly depressing effect on net investment during the recent inflation episode

internationally mobile firms and tax policy abstract this paper analyses how the government should tax internationally mobile firms the analysis finds that if tax authorities are unable to observe firms true mobility and domestic and foreign profitability are uncorrelated then 1 information rents are acquired by immobile inefficient firms and 2 the optimal policy will stimulate investment in the immobile sector compared to the complete information case another result of the paper is that the optimal allocation is implementable within the framework of a corporate income tax system where mobile firms self select more unfavourable capital allowances than immobile firms

taxation and the portfolio structure of spanish households using a sample of 5962 spanish households from the survey of household finances eff undertaken by the bank of spain this article describes the structure of their portfolio and estimates both a probit model and a tobit model to test how taxation affects respectively the decision to invest in each asset and the relative importance of each asset within the household portfolio the influence of taxation is measured using the average marginal personal income tax rate of the household the estimations performed show that the marginal tax rate is significant and displays the sign expected to explain both the holding of tax favourable assets and their weight in the household portfolio

the incentives to capital in the uk enterprise zones this paper provides a systematic assessment of the incentives to capital investment in uk enterprise zones it compares different investment projects between industrial sectors types of asset sources of finance and type of investor using the costs of capital methodology in addition micro economic and macro economic effects are compared as are ezs in round 1 and round 2 and the relative importance of capital allowances and property tax relief is considered the paper demonstrates that capital allowances are the more important incentive particularly in round 2 ezs the greatest incentives are to building assets for commerce financed by debt and tax exempt institution the greatest benefits offer an increase of between 7 6 and 8 7 in real rates of return on investments

new findings on firm investment and monetary transmission in the euro area in this paper we present comparable results on the determinants of firms investment and their link to monetary policy the results have been obtained by the eurosystem monetary transmission network this network has produced a series of papers in which the use of micro data permits estimating and quantifying the relevance of two channels of monetary policy transmission the interest rate and the broad credit channel the research findings provide evidence of an operative interest rate channel in all countries examined moreover the results indicate that variables which proxy firms financial conditions play a role firms characterised by weaker balance sheets show higher liquidity sensitivity

internationalization and changes in tax policy in oecd countries the importance of domestic veto players this article examines the role that economic and political factors played in tax reform in organization for economic cooperation and development oecd countries from 1986 to 1990 some writers argue that economic integration forced states to reform their tax systems the authors findings indicate that economic openness had an indirect effect on the level of change in marginal tax rates the institutional structure of a country was most important countries that had only one veto player or only one institution or party whose approval was necessary for a bill to become law enacted more sweeping reform than states that had more than one veto player these results suggest that even when international or domestic economic factors might dictate a change in policy reform will not be as sweeping in countries in which agreement among several institutions and or parties is necessary

testing for short termism in the uk stock market this paper uses data on the stock market valuations of a large sample of uk companies to assess if that market displays short termism tests are undertaken of whether discount rates implicit in market valuations applied to cash flows which accrue in the longer term are too high both absolutely and relative to the rates applied to cash flows in the near term i find prima facie evidence that these longer term discount rates are too high a result consistent with the existence of short termism an alternative interpretation of the results is that risk premia applied to expected cash flows systematically increase with the maturity of those flows whether this interpretation is consistent with asset pricing theories is questionable copyright 1993 by royal economic society

taxation and inflation a new explanation for capital flows abstract in a world of mobile capital the current system of taxation implies that the after tax cost of capital and return to saving in each country are negatively correlated with the rate of inflation thus a country s net foreign asset position ought to be negatively correlated with its long run inflation rate the magnitude of these effects is shown to be potentially large for oecd countries cross section and time series regressions confirm that inflation rates are good predictors of net foreign assets the existing distribution of net foreign assets may therefore largely reflect tax distortions

the portfolio composition of asset holdings in the united kingdom an extensive literature has developed on theoretical aspects of portfolio selection one basic model which often serves as a convenient benchmark assumes that individuals choose their portfolio to maximise expected utility in a world of perfect information perfect capital markets and no taxes or transaction costs if these individuals exhibit constant relative risk aversion the optimal asset combination will be one in which the proportion of wealth invested in each type of asset is independent of total wealth the asset proportions are also independent of age if the analysis is extended to a lifecycle framework with an additively separable intertemporal utility function once the stringent preconditions of this benchmark model are relaxed it becomes progressively more difficult to derive any firm predictions regarding the structure of asset portfolios the recognition of such factors as transaction costs indivisibilities capital market imperfections and the vagaries of tax systems as well as the possibility that relative risk aversion may not be constant makes it unlikely that asset proportions will show stability across wealth and age groups but portfolio theory is generally ambiguous about how the pattern of asset holdings is affected 2 it follows that the further analysis of portfolio behaviour needs to be primarily empirically orientated unfortunately data on the asset holdings of individuals or households are notoriously poor in comparison with other important economic variables information is available from sample surveys but there are usually problems with the limited asset coverage suspect valuations and biases arising from the non randomness of response rates furthermore the sample sizes are generally low against these deficiencies has to be set the fact that the surveys contain a range of other economic variables and demographic characteristics whose relationship with asset holdings can be investigated projector and weiss i966 report asset shares for a sample of 2 557 households in the united states and these data have been subsequently used by feldstein i976 to examine the impact of the tax structures on asset holdings using another source uhler and cragg i97i present results on portfolio composition for 965 households focusing in particular on the holdings of money balances exploiting yet

what explains the lagged investment effect abstract the best predictor of current investment at the firm level is lagged investment this lagged investment effect is empirically more important than the cash flow and q effects combined we show that the specification of investment adjustment costs proposed by christiano et al 2005 predicts the presence of a lagged investment effect and that a generalized version of their model is consistent with the behavior of firm level data from compustat

structural dependence of the state on capital a central claim of both marxist and neoclassical political theory is that under capitalism all governments must respect and protect the essential claims of those who own the productive wealth of society this is the theory of structural dependence of the state on capital using a formal model the internal logic and the robustness of the theory is examined we conclude that in a static sense the theory is false virtually any distribution of consumption between wage earners and owners of capital is compatible with continual private investment once an appropriate set of taxes and transfers is in place yet the state may be structurally dependent in a dynamic sense policies that once in place redistribute income without reducing investment do reduce investment during the period in which they are anticipated but not yet implemented

local business taxes theory and practice local taxes which are borne by business are an aspect of local government revenue systems in almost all western countries these taxes cover a wide range of possible structures from the highly visible and direct such as taxes on business profits assets and wealth to the more indirect which bear on the inputs to a firm such as payroll property and resource rentals and severance taxes or taxes which bear on outputs such as sales taxes most local governments also employ in addition to taxes user fees and charges the range of local business tax is still further widened when we extend consideration beyond corporate business to include sole traders and partnerships in this case in addition to most of the above taxes we must also consider local taxes on personal income capital gains capital transfers and inheritance hence the range of taxes to be considered amongst local business taxes is both large and very complex

measuring the cost of capital when taxes are changing with foresight abstract the familiar hall jorgenson 1967 cost of capital perturbation is not a uniquely feasible one because of institutional features of actual tax systems the optimal holding time for an incremental unit of capital will generally be infinite the impossibility of an optimal rule for recapturing excess depreciation allowances on disposal is demonstrated when tax changes are foreseen the error in the traditional measure of cost of capital can become highly significant ignorance of this effect led to underestimates of the extent to which the radical changes to the u k corporation tax in 1984 would affect cost of capital and incentives to forestall planned investment

taxation and household portfolio composition us evidence from the 1980s and 1990s abstract this paper explores the relationship between household marginal income tax rates the set of financial assets that households own and the portfolio shares accounted for by each of these assets it analyzes data from the 1983 1989 1992 1995 and 1998 surveys of consumer finances and develops a new algorithm for imputing federal marginal tax rates to households in these surveys the empirical findings suggest that marginal tax rates have important effects on asset allocation decisions the probability that a household owns tax advantaged assets such as tax exempt bonds or assets held in tax deferred accounts is positively related to its tax rate on ordinary income in addition the portfolio share invested in corporate stock which is taxed less heavily than interest bearing assets is increasing in the household s ordinary income tax rate holdings of heavily taxed assets such as interest bearing accounts decline as a share of wealth as a household s marginal tax rate increases

ownership of stocks and mutual funds a panel data analysis this paper analyzes the ownership dynamics of stocks and mutual funds using representative household panel data the dutch center savings survey 1993 1998 a bivariate dynamic binary choice model is introduced allowing for interactions between the two types of assets we find that unobserved heterogeneity and state dependence play a large role for both types of assets the positive relation between ownership of one type in one period and the other type in the next period is explained by correlated unobserved heterogeneity a negative state dependence effect of lagged ownership of stocks on ownership of mutual funds is found which can be explained by the costs of shifting funds across the two forms of stockholding

marginal tax rates and tax favoured pension savings of the self employed evidence from sweden in recent years the study of how individuals respond to policies that aim at promoting pension savings has emerged as a vital area of economic research this paper adds to this body of literature by estimating the tax price elasticity of contributions to tax favoured pension savings accounts on a population of self employed individuals i exploit a unique total database over the swedish population that covers the years 19992005 using instrumental variables i obtain a tax price elasticity estimate of 0 51 and an income elasticity estimate of 0 13 whereas ordinary least squares ols produces estimates that conflict with consumer theory