a theory of corporate financial decisions with liquidity and solvency concerns this paper studies the impact of both liquidity and solvency concerns on corporate finance i present a tractable model of a firm that optimally chooses capital structure cash holdings dividends and default while facing cash flows with long term uncertainty and short term liquidity shocks the model explains how changes in solvency affect liquidity and also how liquidity concerns affect solvency via capital structure choice these interactions result in a dynamic cash policy in which cash reserves increase in profitability and are positively correlated with cash flows the optimal dividend distributions implied by the model are smoothed relative to cash flows i also find that liquidity concerns lead to a decrease of dispersion of credit spreads

costly arbitrage evidence from closed end funds arbitrage costs lead to large deviations of prices from fundamentals using a sample of closed end funds i find that the market value of a fund is more likely to deviate from the value of its assets 1 for funds with portfolios that are difficult to replicate 2 for funds that pay out smaller dividends 3 for funds with lower market values and 4 when interest rates are high these factors are related to the magnitude of the deviation as opposed to the direction i e whether discount or premium and explain a quarter of cross sectional mispricing variation these findings are consistent with noise trader models of asset pricing

strategic price complexity in retail financial markets abstract there is mounting empirical evidence to suggest that the law of one price is violated in retail financial markets there is significant price dispersion even when products are homogeneous also despite the large number of firms in the market prices remain above marginal cost and may even rise as more firms enter in a non cooperative oligopoly pricing model i show that these anomalies arise when firms add complexity to their price structures complexity increases the market power of the firms because it prevents some consumers from becoming knowledgeable about prices in the market in the model as competition increases firms tend to add more complexity to their prices as a best response rather than make their disclosures more transparent because this may substantially decrease consumer surplus in these markets such practices have important welfare implications

measuring natural capital towards accounts for the uk and a basis for improved decision making the paper describes the ongoing project begun by the uk office for national statistics and the department for the environment food and rural affairs in 2011 to compile comprehensive natural capital accounts for the uk it describes the basis on which the accounts have been constructed discusses key issues which have arisen and presents the results to date it also sets out how restoration accounts for individual projects can not only facilitate conventional cost benefit analysis but also add to relevant material for decision makers more widely the paper describes how natural capital accounts can underpin well based decision making for example in implementation of the uk government s new 25 year plan for the environment in addition by providing information on one of the missing capitals such accounts can augment analysis of the behaviour of the economy generally

accounting technologies and sustainability assessment models abstract within ecological economics there is recognition of the need for new approaches to decision making to support sustainable development initiatives there is an increasing acknowledgement of the limitations of cost benefit analysis approaches as a measure of the un sustainability of organizational activities these are viewed as particularly inappropriate within the participatory settings that sustainable development proponents seek to foster they also fail to deal with the highly contested nature of sustainable development discourse in contemporary pluralist democracies while advances have been made in the field of multi criteria decision making there is still a relative dearth of versatile models that accommodate monetization in a way that recognizes the limits of calculative technologies this article introduces readers to developments within the accounting discipline designed to support sustainable development decision making and evaluation in particular it proposes sustainability assessment models as a viable alternative to cost benefit analysis sustainability assessment models are based on an inter disciplinary approach that recognizes the need for accountings that facilitate more participatory forms of decision making and accountability as such they address many of the weaknesses in current approaches to cost benefit analysis the authors first experiences with sustainability assessment models were with bp and the united kingdom oil and gas sector where models were developed as a means of making previously external costs more central to organizational decision making later work has included exploration of a range of decision making situations in private and public sector organizations in both the united kingdom and new zealand this has involved more explicit attention to plural values and issues of participation dialogue and democracy

competition risk and managerial incentives this paper examines how the degree of competition among firms in an industry affects the optimal incentives that firms provide to their managers a central assumption is that there is free entry and exit in the industry which implies that changes in the nature of competition lead to changes in the equilibrium market structure the main result is that as the intensity of product market competition increases as a result of greater product substitutability or greater market size principals unambiguously provide stronger incentives to their agents to reduce costs at the same time more intense competition also leads to more volatile firm level profits consequently managers incentives are positively correlated with firm level risk consistent with empirical evidence a decrease in the cost of entering the market has the opposite effect on incentives but still induces a positive correlation between risk and incentives

temporary versus permanent shocks explaining corporate financial policies we investigate corporate financial policies in the presence of both temporary and permanent shocks to firms cash flows in our framework cash flows can be negative and are imperfectly correlated with firm value and earnings volatility differs from asset volatility these results are consistent with empirical stylized facts they are also contrary to the implications of existing dynamic capital structure models that allow only for permanent shocks to cash flows temporary shocks increase the importance of financial flexibility and may provide an intuitively simple and realistic explanation of empirically observed financial conservatism and low leverage phenomena the theoretical framework developed in this article general enough to be used in various corporate finance applications jel g12 g32 g33

modeling the experimentally organized economy complex dynamics in an empirical micro macro model of endogenous economic growth abstract the swedish micro to macro model moses is used to show how complex economic behavior emerges from interacting boundedly rational agents the simulation model has been calibrated using business firm data non linearities arise in its specification of technology the distribution of firm characteristics and in the rules that govern entry and exit the model economy is characterized by a restless competitive growth process that is normally robust but that now and then generates phases of local disorderly behavior including for some parameter settings the collapse of entire sectors the model explains why government agents have difficulty predicting the reactions of the economy to policies suggesting that government treads cautiously in order not to do more harm than good

mr smith and the preachers the economics of religion in the wealth of nations the extension of economic analysis to problems beyond the domain of formal markets and explicit prices represents a major recent intellectual development but economic imperialism is not new and was not invented in chicago adam smith in his wealth of nations extended economic reasoning to a variety of nonmarket exchange problems one example is his analysis of religious behavior smith viewed participation in religion as a rational device by which individual enhanced the value of their human capital he also explained the behavior of the clergy and other suppliers of religious services from an economic perspective

product market competition and analyst forecasting activity international evidence abstract in this study we investigate how product market competition affects the extent of analyst following and the properties of analyst forecasts using a broad sample of firms from 37 countries over the 1990 2008 period we find that firms that operate in more concentrated industries and with stronger pricing power are associated with greater analyst following higher forecast accuracy and lower forecast dispersion moreover the effect of product market power on analyst following and forecast properties is more pronounced in countries with less effective competition laws and higher entry costs these findings suggest that high industry concentration and a dominant market position enhance the earnings predictability of firms and lower their information uncertainty and that country level institutions that promote competition effectively constrain the power in product markets

the economic organization of the english east india company abstract alfred chandler and oliver williamson pioneered the argument that the invention of the multidivisional firm in the 1920 s in the u s was a major organizational innovation in this paper we argue that the organizational principles underlying the multidivisional firm appeared much earlier in history specifically in the organization of the english east india company we document the presence of multidivisional principles in the east india company and we argue that most likely the company evolved to a divisionalized basis because of its monopoly status with respect to the sale of asian goods in england

an empirical equilibrium model of a decentralized asset market i estimate a search and bargaining model of a decentralized market to quantify the effects of trading frictions on asset allocations and asset prices and to quantify the effects of intermediaries that facilitate trade using business aircraft data i find that relative to the walrasian benchmark 12 4 percent of the assets are misallocated and prices are approximately 27 3 percent lower dealers play an important role in reducing frictions in a market with no dealers 15 7 percent of the assets would be misallocated perhaps surprisingly in a market with no dealers prices would increase by 2 8 percent because sellers outside options improve relative to buyers thus counteracting the effects of higher search costs and slower trade on asset prices

evidence that the zero earnings discontinuity has disappeared abstract discontinuities in earnings distributions at zero have been widely cited as evidence of earnings management but not without controversy recent research suggests discontinuities may be mere artifacts of certain research design choices we find that the well known zero earnings discontinuity disappears soon after passage of the sarbanes oxley act sox and has not returned we also find that neither the discontinuity nor its disappearance require the effects of widely cited alternative non earnings management explanations for the zero earnings discontinuity

why company specific risk changes over time company specific risk climbed steadily between 1962 and 1999 in the u s market but fell sharply between 2000 and 2003 this article explores the hypothesis that three factors are primarily responsible for observed changes in company specific risk changes in the market weights of riskier industries changes in the relative role of small capitalization stocks in the market and measurement error associated with changes in within industry concentration empirical tests reveal that each factor contributes to changes in company specific risk over time and that combined these three factors largely explain changes in company specific risk over the past 40 years

can equity volatility explain the global loan pricing puzzle we examine whether equity volatility can explain the difference in syndicated corporate loan spreads paid by u s and european borrowers first documented by carey and nini 2007 we argue that ols estimates of the association between equity volatility and loan spreads are biased and inconsistent we suggest instrumental variables that potentially identify consistent estimates our instrumental variable results indicate that there is no statistically significant difference in loan spreads paid by u s and european borrowers and that ols estimates of the association between idiosyncratic equity volatility and corporate loan spreads are biased downward by about a factor of 5

towards a political theory of the firm abstract the revenues of large companies often rival those of national governments and some companies have annual revenues higher than many national governments among the largest corporations in 2015 some had private security forces that rivaled the best secret services public relations offices that dwarfed a us presidential campaign headquarters more lawyers than the us justice department and enough money to capture through campaign donations lobbying and even explicit bribes a majority of the elected representatives the only powers these large corporations missed were the power to wage war and the legal power of detaining people although their political influence was sufficiently large that many would argue that at least in certain settings large corporations can exercise those powers by proxy yet in economics the commonly prevailing view of the firm ignores all these elements of politics and power we must recognize that large firms have considerable power to influence the rules of the

the idiosyncratic volatility puzzle time trend or speculative episodes campbell lettau malkiel and xu 2001 document a positive trend in idiosyncratic volatility during the 1962 1997 period we show that by 2003 volatility falls back to pre 1990s levels furthermore we show that the increase and subsequent reversal is concentrated among firms with low stock prices and high retail ownership this evidence suggests that the increase in idiosyncratic volatility through the 1990s was not a time trend but rather an episodic phenomenon at least partially associated with retail investors results from cross sectional regressions conditional trend estimation stock split events and attention grabbing events are consistent with a retail trading effect the author 2009 published by oxford university press on behalf of the society for financial studies all rights reserved for permissions please email journals permissions oxfordjournals org oxford university press

the ecology of natural capital accounting natural capital is increasingly widely discussed and included in corporate and governmental accounts using a variety of different approaches and metrics here i argue that natural capital is fundamentally an emergent feature of structures and functions of the natural environment therefore its valuation and metrics for reporting on its condition and the way that it is represented in accounts need to reflect these defining features and not rest solely on measurable flows of goods and services natural capital is an asset and its many contributions to the economy and society often called ecosystem services are both malleable and adaptable their value changes with time and context as they become more or less important and relevant for particular purposes unlike most produced assets natural assets are multifunctional adaptable and resilient and within limits they have the capacity to regrow or reorganize themselves maintaining this capacity is therefore the key priority for a responsible owner or manager of natural assets currently most metrics for natural capital are based on the quality or quantity of flows of goods and services on the geographical distribution of particular ecosystems or land sea uses and by reference to ecosystem services delivered by particular ecosystems the advantages and disadvantages of these different approaches are discussed but i propose instead using the quality of fundamental ecological processes and functions which properly represent the functioning and capabilities of the natural capital system upon which society and the economy depend

how important is financial risk we explore the determinants of equity price risk of nonfinancial corporations operating and asset characteristics are by far the most important determinants of risk for the median firm financial risk accounts for only 15 of observed stock price volatility furthermore financial risk has declined over the last 3 decades indicating that any upward trend in equity volatility was driven entirely by economic risk factors this explains why financial distress as opposed to economic distress was surprisingly uncommon in the nonfinancial sector during the 2007 2009 crisis even as measures of equity volatility reached unprecedented highs

idiosyncratic return volatility cash flows and product market competition over the past 40 years the volatility of the average stock return has drastically outpaced total market volatility thus idiosyncratic return volatility has dramatically increased we estimate this increase to be 6 per year consistent with an efficient market this result is mirrored by an increase in the idiosyncratic volatility of fundamental cash flows we argue that these findings are attributable to the more intense economy wide competition various cross sectional and time series tests support this idea economic competitiveness facilitates reinterpretation of the results from the cross country r2 literature as well as the us idiosyncratic risk literature jel g12 g14

qualitative similarity and stock price comovement abstract i introduce a method for gauging the qualitative similarity of firm specific information based on linguistic commonality in newswire text i show that this new qualitative similarity measure predicts future cross firm return correlation even after accounting for the pair s contemporaneous price comovement common exposures to systematic risk firm liquidity price index membership text volume headquarters location product similarity shared mutual fund or institutional ownership common analyst following and newswire co mentions i also demonstrate that content produced solely by journalists cannot predict an economically meaningful portion of future comovement out of sample tests confirm that knowledge of qualitative similarity can also reduce portfolio risk

choosing the precision of performance metrics there is a standard trade off in compensation contracts between the provision of incentives and insurance we hypothesize that this trade off influences the precision with which firm performance is measured we find that firm outcomes are measured less precisely when chance plays a large role in these outcomes further this precision is determined through the choice of shares outstanding this has several novel implications nominal stock prices can remain constant over time and firms with unpredictable cash flows should have more shares and lower stock price levels all else equal we find evidence consistent with these implications

why have measures of earnings quality changed over time the properties of earnings have changed dramatically over the past 40 years prior studies interpret this trend as a decline in earnings quality but disagree on whether it results from changes in the real economy or changes in accounting standards i find that each new cohort of listed firms exhibits lower earnings quality than its predecessors mainly because of higher intangible intensity i conclude that the trend of decline in earnings quality is due more to changes in the sample of firms than to changes in generally accepted accounting principles gaap or in the earnings quality of previously listed firms

comovement information production and the business cycle abstract recent theoretical research suggests that information production is a positive externality of aggregate economic activity veldkamp 2005 both the quantity and quality of information increase during periods of economic expansion and decrease during periods of contraction based on this insight we hypothesize and confirm that time varying information production drives the comovement patterns observed in stock returns we examine stock return comovement in 36 countries from 1980 to 2007 and show that consistent with the theory comovement patterns are countercyclical that is when information production is high low comovement is low high we also find that the relation between comovement and the business cycle is stronger in countries that experience large intertemporal swings in information production finally we show that the relation between business cycle and comovement is stronger in poor countries countries with less developed financial markets and countries with weaker accounting and transparency standards these results suggest that financial development and transparency are conducive to a steady flow of financial information over the business cycle

adam smith s analysis of joint stock companies we defend adam smith s theory of the firm from the standpoint of positive economics we argue that his evaluation of the joint stock firm was not moralistic but instead based on available empirical evidence the record showed that joint stock companies had a poor survivorship record even when granted legal monopoly status his analysis contained an explanation of the role of agency costs within the firm finally he did not discuss the east india company as an ordinary joint stock firm but rather as an aberrant form created by government

william j baumol an entrepreneurial economist on the economics of entrepreneurship william j baumol is the 2003 winner of the international award for entrepreneurship and small business research throughout his career baumol has urged the profession to pay attention to the instrumental role of entrepreneurship in economic renewal and growth at the same time he has insisted that economists continue to use their usual tool box when the purview of analysis is extended to entrepreneurship hence baumol can be characterized as a revolutionary from within in this article we present and discuss baumol s research contribution in the areas of entrepreneurship and small business economics notably from a growth perspective in addition to placing his work in these areas into the wider context of his full contribution we emphasize baumol s findings that growth cannot be explained by the accumulation of various factors of production per se human creativity and productive entrepreneurship are needed to combine the inputs in profitable ways as a result an institutional environment that encourages productive entrepreneurship and human experimentation becomes the ultimate determinant of economic growth

natural capital assets systems and policies natural capital is a concept whose time has come but is in danger of being greenwashed to suit vested interests as has happened to sustainability it is a hard concept based upon assets rather than utility natural capital assets provide the foundations for positive freedom by providing for future generations capabilities and choices this is especially the case for renewable natural capital which can provide nature s bounty forever provided the assets are not driven below critical thresholds natural capital assets lend themselves to accounting to balance sheets and risk registers and require capital maintenance cost benefit analysis being partial and on a project by project basis has a limited role since the natural environment comes in systems and is less amenable to marginal analysis three principles are core to the design of natural capital policies these are public goods with public monies polluter pays and compensation in the form of net environmental gain

the evolution of environmentally responsible investment an adam smith perspective abstract this paper demonstrates that adam smith has common ground with contemporary social scientists who study the management of the common pool resources from an evolutionary perspective contrary to the caricature of smith presented by neoliberals as a promoter of self interest he recognized the value of other regarding behavior specifically focus is given to how such behavior can contribute to constructing institutional arrangements that can help to avoid damaging market excesses a study of the development of a process to encourage investment behavior that is environmentally responsible establishes that smith s work has relevance for addressing environmental issues in our contemporary complex market system

corporate natural capital accounting accounting is an important practical mechanism by which corporations are held to account for their performance and impact this is consequential for corporate responsibility for the conservation of natural capital while there is clear evidence of increasing corporate accounting and reporting with respect to aspects of natural capital however such efforts are at best nascent this is in part because the purpose and meaning of corporate natural capital accounting is not in itself well established and in part because existing institutional structures and incentives do not lend themselves to giving a full account of natural capital impact in this context the paper argues that there is essentially a need for natural capital accounting and reporting systems that serve two distinct purposes the first which is the more likely to be satisfied by existing market structures is oriented towards the informational needs of shareholders and is concerned with supporting a transition towards environmentally sustainable business models the second in contrast acknowledges that a shareholder oriented perspective constrains natural capital to be important if and only if its conservation privately affects shareholders which is unlikely to ensure an accounting that contributes to the conservation of natural capital as an end in itself this second purpose of strengthening corporate natural capital accountability is unlikely to be satisfied within existing market structures instead it stands in need of a regulatory solution

does product complexity matter for firms output volatility abstract with this paper we provide the first micro level evidence on the linkage between firm complexity and volatility by defining product complexity a la hausmann and hidalgo 2009 we find that a higher complexity level of a firm s product basket is associated to a reduction of its output fluctuations this evidence is robust to the control for omitted variables sample selection and to the use of alternative volatility and complexity indicators across similar firms active in different sectors and regions both technological factors and product market conditions explain the effect of complexity on volatility however within narrowly defined sectors and locations the complexity volatility nexus fully reflects the role of the human capital content of firms product baskets

varying heterogeneity among u s firms facts and implications abstract u s firms stock return volatility rose fivefold from 1971 through 2000 and then reverted to near 1971 levels by 2006 this was driven mainly by a rise and fall in the firm specific rather than systematic component of volatility firm level total factor productivity growth volatility exhibited a similar pattern we hypothesize that firm heterogeneity reflected in firm specific volatility rises as a new general purpose technology gpt propagates across the economy and then ebbs once the gpt is widespread measuring gpt adoption by information technology capital intensity we find robust cross industry empirical evidence supporting the hypothesis