the political economy of clientelism in this paper we argue that the political commitment problem provides an explanation for why much income redistribution takes an inefficient form particularly employment in the public sector a job is a credible way of redistributing when it provides rents such as in situations with moral hazard and employment is optimal ex post moreover a job is selective and reversible and thus ties the continuation utility of a voter to the political success of a particular politician we show that the need to make offers of employment incentive compatible leads to inefficiencies in the supply of public goods we also show that such inefficient redistribution becomes relatively attractive in situations with high inequality and low productivity inefficiency is increased when the stakes from politics are high when inequality is high and when money matters less than ideology in politics

production and welfare progress in economic measurement while the gdp was intended by its originators as a measure of production the absence of a measure of welfare in the national accounts has led to widespread misuse of the gdp to proxy welfare measures of welfare are needed to appraise the outcomes of changes in economic policies and evaluate the results concepts that describe the income distribution such as poverty and inequality fall within the scope of welfare rather than production this paper reviews recent advances in the measurement of production and welfare within the national accounts primarily in the united states and the international organizations expanding the framework beyond the national accounts has led to important innovations in the measurement of both production and welfare

pro poor targeting and accountability of local governments in west bengal a commonly alleged pitfall of decentralization is that poverty socio economic inequality and lack of political competition allow local elites to capture local governments this hypothesis is empirically examined using a longitudinal sample of 89 west bengal villages concerning targeting of credit agricultural input kits employment programs and fiscal grants spanning the period 1978 98 higher poverty land inequality and low caste composition of the poor was associated with negligible adverse effects on targeting of private goods to the poor within villages but with lower employment generation out of allotted funds and significantly lower allocation of resources to the village as a whole political competition or literacy levels among the poor were not systematically related to targeting

inherited corporate control and returns on investment this paper contributes to the literature on management in family firms by investigating how succession in family firms affects returns on investment the identities of the chief executive officer ceo and the chairman of the board cob were used to establish whether the management of the firm can be characterized as founder descendant or external management a unique unbalanced panel data set on listed swedish firms covering the period from 1990 to 2005 was used in the analysis the results show that founder management has a positive effect on the returns on investment in family firms whereas descendant management has a negative impact an external ceo as a successor in family firms leads to more efficient investment policies with increased firm value as a result that is when studying corporate governance in family firms it is important to account for what type of management the firm has further studies are required to understand the relationship between ownership control management and firm performance

buying votes vs supplying public services political incentives to under invest in pro poor policies this paper uses unique survey data to provide for the first time in the literature direct evidence that vote buying in poor economies is associated with lower provision of public services that disproportionately benefit the poor various features of the data and the institutional context allow the interpretation of this correlation as the equilibrium policy consequence of clientelist politics ruling out alternate explanations such as for example poverty driving both vote buying and health outcomes the data come from the philippines a country context that allows for measuring vote buying during elections and services delivered by the administrative unit controlled by winners of those elections the data reveal a significant robust negative correlation between vote buying and the delivery of primary health services in places where households report more vote buying government records show that municipalities invest less in basic health services for mothers and children and quite strikingly as a summary measure of weak service delivery performance a higher percentage of children are severely under weight

oligarchic family control social economic outcomes and the quality of government wealthy families as opposed to small public shareholders characterize ownership of the large corporate sectors of many countries around the world this paper shows that greater oligarchic family control over large corporations is associated with worse social economic outcomes it also correlates with more bureaucratic and more interventionist governments and less developed financial markets further tests show that red tape price controls and the lack of shareholder rights protection are the paramount factors relating to the extent of family control of large firms these results are broadly consistent with olson and others who argue that economically entrenched wealthy insiders pursue rent seeking activities to preserve the status quo and that this increases corruption and impedes growth

a sequential choice model of family business succession management succession is a critical process especially in family owned businesses current models of management succession focus on elements such as personal development of potential successors and decision making processes by incumbents and governance bodies but do not account for interactions among actors this paper addresses this weakness using a game theoretic approach applied to the setting of family businesses we model a tournament style game in which two siblings pursue the ceo position of a family business in the course of our analysis we consider a variety of factors such as the predispositions of the founder to choose one sibling over the other the value placed on winning the top job by each sibling the cost for the siblings of pursuing the job and the possibility of first mover advantages we close the paper by discussing implications of our work for both family businesses and corporations

women as policy makers evidence from a randomized policy experiment in india this paper uses political reservations for women in india to study the impact of women s leadership on policy decisions since the mid 1990 s one third of village council head positions in india have been randomly reserved for a woman in these councils only women could be elected to the position of head village councils are responsible for the provision of many local public goods in rural areas using a dataset we collected on 265 village councils in west bengal and rajasthan we compare the type of public goods provided in reserved and unreserved village councils we show that the reservation of a council seat affects the types of public goods provided specifically leaders invest more in infrastructure that is directly relevant to the needs of their own genders

the more things change the more they stay the same the safety net and poverty in the great recession much attention has been given to the large increases in safety net spending during the great recession we examine the relationship between poverty the safety net and business cycles historically and test whether there has been a significant change in this relationship we find that post welfare reform temporary assistance for needy families did not respond during the great recession and extreme poverty is more cyclical than in prior recessions food stamps and unemployment insurance are providing more protection or no less protection in the great recession and there is some evidence of less cyclicality for 100 poverty

anticipation tax avoidance and the price elasticity of gasoline demand summary least squares estimates of the response of gasoline consumption to a change in the gasoline price are biased toward zero given the endogeneity of gasoline prices a seemingly natural solution to this problem is to instrument for gasoline prices using gasoline taxes but this approach tends to yield implausibly large price elasticities we demonstrate that anticipatory behavior provides an important explanation for this result gasoline buyers increase purchases before tax increases and delay purchases before tax decreases rendering the tax instrument endogenous including suitable leads and lags in the regression restores the validity of the iv estimator resulting in much lower elasticity estimates copyright 2016 john wiley sons ltd

capture and governance at local and national levels 135 despite the importance of this issue not much systematic research appears to have been devoted to assessing the relative susceptibility of national and local governments to interestgroup capture here we describe a model of two party electoral competition with probabilistic voting behavior and lobbying by specialinterest groups based on david baron 1994 and gene grossman and elhanan helpman 1996 that helps identify determinants of relative capture at different levels of government these include relative levels of voter awareness and interest group cohesiveness electoral uncertainty electoral competition heterogeneity of districts with respect to inequality and the electoral system while some of these uphold the traditional madisonian presumption others are likely to create a tendency for lower capture at the local level so the net effect is theoretically ambiguous this suggests that the extent of relative capture may be context specific and needs to be assessed empirically

elasticities of demand for gasoline in canada and the united states abstract fluctuations in the world price of oil the concern with greenhouse gas emissions and the efforts to revive the 1997 kyoto protocol have resulted in renewed interest in the estimation of elasticities of demand for gasoline in this paper a complete system of demand equations is estimated including an equation for the demand for gasoline canadian family expenditure famex and united states consumer expenditure cex survey data are used household level data permits estimation of elasticities for various household groups also differences in demand responsiveness to own price and income changes are estimated for different regions in canada and the united states demand is found to be own price and income inelastic on the whole as reported in earlier studies there is also variation in these elasticities across regions of canada and the united states however larger differences are observed with respect to household size and housing tenure than to region of residence

a transition cost rationale for transition of the firm within the family this paper is about the transition of ownership of shares in small and medium sized enterprises smes within the family i e from parents to children in spite of the fact that such successions are rather prevalent among smes there are no explanations in the literature as to why transitions are preferred to outright sale in this paper we assume that the decisive factor in the choice of succession mode is the desire for efficiency expressed as the highest possible firm value a firm should stay in the family if this is the most profitable transition alternative one reason for intergenerational succession to be the most profitable alternative is knowledge idiosyncrasy however the benefits of knowledge idiosyncrasy cannot be reaped without an institutional framework that constrains human activities in a proper way a part of an institutional framework are the laws that act as constraints in successions do these laws foster or prevent efficient transition of family firms this question is addressed in a study of the swedish inheritance and inheritance tax laws in the light of the policy recommendations on succession made by the european commission

enforcement for sale lobbying for water in pakistan s indus basin abstract surface irrigation is a common pool resource subject to over exploitation by upstream users we ask to what extent state enforcement of de jure water allocations designed to ensure adequate irrigation to downstream users is up for sale unique data on the land ownership of nearly a quarter million irrigators in pakistan s vast indus basin watershed provide a measure of political influence consistent with an influence driven model the decline in water availability and land values from head to tail is accentuated along channels having greater lobbying power at the head and attenuated along channels having greater lobbying power at the tail our paper shows how power disparities can be leveraged through the administrative state to capture valuable common resources

gasoline taxes or efficiency standards a heterogeneous household demand analysis abstract using detailed consumer expenditure survey data and a flexible semiparametric dynamic demand model this paper estimates the price elasticity and fuel efficiency elasticity of gasoline demand at the household level the goal is to assess the effectiveness of gasoline taxes and vehicle fuel efficiency standards on fuel consumption the results reveal substantial interaction between vehicle fuel efficiency and the price elasticity of gasoline demand the improvement of vehicle fuel efficiency leads to lower price elasticity and weakens consumers sensitivity to gasoline price changes the offsetting effect also differs across households due to demographic heterogeneity these findings imply that when gasoline taxes are in place tightening efficiency standards will partially offset the strength of taxes on reducing fuel consumption

identifying the disadvantaged official poverty consumption poverty and the new supplemental poverty measure few economic indicators are more closely watched or more important for ew economic indicators are more closely watched or more important for policy than the offi cial poverty rate it is used to gauge the extent of deprivapolicy than the offi cial poverty rate it is used to gauge the extent of deprivation in the united states and to determine how economic well being has tion in the united states and to determine how economic well being has changed over time the poverty rate is often cited by policymakers researchers changed over time the poverty rate is often cited by policymakers researchers and advocates who are evaluating social programs that account for more than half and advocates who are evaluating social programs that account for more than half a trillion dollars in government spending eligibility for some means tested transfer a trillion dollars in government spending eligibility for some means tested transfer programs is determined based on the poverty thresholds and local poverty rates programs is determined based on the poverty thresholds and local poverty rates affect the allocation of billions of dollars in federal funds affect the allocation of billions of dollars in federal funds the methods for calculating the current poverty measure largely unchanged the methods for calculating the current poverty measure largely unchanged since the 1960s have been criticized by many researchers in response the census since the 1960s have been criticized by many researchers in response the census bureau has led a two decade process of research and discussion of poverty measurebureau has led a two decade process of research and discussion of poverty measurement with an eye to revising the offi cial measure the process has involved hundreds ment with an eye to revising the offi cial measure the process has involved hundreds of papers dozens of offi cial census bureau publications u s census 2010 of papers dozens of offi cial census bureau publications u s census 2010 and two national academy of sciences reports citro and michael 1995 iceland and two national academy of sciences reports citro and michael 1995 iceland 2005 we will not summarize this vast literature here rather we will examine 2005 we will not summarize this vast literature here rather we will examine the properties of three measures of poverty the offi cial u s poverty rate the new the properties of three measures of poverty the offi cial u s poverty rate the new supplemental poverty measure fi rst released by the u s census bureau in fall 2011 supplemental poverty measure fi rst released by the u s census bureau in fall 2011 and a consumption based measure of poverty we will focus on two fundamental and a consumption based measure of poverty we will focus on two fundamental goals of these measures to identify the most disadvantaged and to assess changes goals of these measures to identify the most disadvantaged and to assess changes

decentralization and efficiency of subsidy targeting evidence from chiefs in rural malawi abstract lower income countries spend vast sums on subsidies beneficiaries are typically selected via either a proxy means test pmt or through a decentralized identification process led by local leaders a decentralized allocation may offer informational advantages but may be prone to elite capture we study this trade off in the context of two large scale subsidy programs in malawi for agricultural inputs and food decentralized to traditional leaders chiefs who are asked to target the needy using household panel data we find that nepotism exists but has only limited mistargeting consequences importantly we find that chiefs target households with higher returns to farm inputs generating an allocation that is more productively efficient than what could be achieved through strict poverty targeting this could be welfare improving since within village redistribution is common productive efficiency targeting is concentrated in villages with above median levels of redistribution

viewpoint further results on measuring the well being of the poor using income and consumption we evaluate the relative merits of income and consumption based measures of well being our results provide evidence that consumption better captures well being for those with few resources the bottom deciles of expenditures exceed those of income suggesting under reporting of income the under reporting rate for government transfers is high and rising overall non response is more severe in u s income data than in expenditure data furthermore a consumption data set requires fewer observations than an income data set to obtain the same level of precision for typical estimates finally very low consumption is more strongly related to other bad outcomes than very low income on evalue les merites relatifs des mesures de bien etre fondees sur le revenu et la consommation les resultats montrent que la consommation mesure mieux le bien etre de ceux qui ont peu de ressources les deciles au bas de la distribution des depenses depassent les deciles de la distribution des revenus ce qui suggere qu il y aurait des revenus non rapportes le taux de sous declaration des transferts gouvernementaux est eleve et croissant le taux global de non reponses est plus important aux etats unis pour les revenus que pour les depenses de plus les bases de donnees sur la consommation requierent moins d observations que celles sur le revenu pour obtenir le meme degre de precision des evaluations typiques finalement une tres basse consommation est plus fortement co reliee a d autres mauvaises conditions qu un tres bas niveau de revenu

green commuting and gasoline taxes in the united states abstract this paper analyzes how gasoline tax rates are related to the time workers in the united states spend commuting by private car public transport or with other physical modes of transport our identification strategy relies on both inter state differences and time variations in gasoline taxes using the american time use surveys for the years 2003 2015 we find that higher gasoline tax rates are related to less time spent in commuting furthermore higher gasoline taxes are related to less commuting by private car and more commuting by public transport and or a physical mode of transport walking or cycling our results highlight the importance of gasoline taxes in the consumption of energy for personal transport as higher gasoline taxes are related to a greater use of green modes of transport showing that fuel taxes are important for good environmental management

targeting the poor evidence from a field experiment in indonesia the brief summarizes the targeting the poor evidence from a field experiment in indonesia for the period december 2008 january 2009 this paper reports an experiment in 640 indonesian villages on three approaches to target the poor proxy means tests pmt where assets are used to predict consumption community targeting where villagers rank everyone from richest to poorest and a hybrid defining poverty based on ppp 2 per capita consumption community targeting and the hybrid perform somewhat worse in identifying the poor than pmt though not by enough to significantly affect poverty outcomes for a typical program elite capture does not explain these results instead communities appear to apply a different concept of poverty

the slave trade and the origins of mistrust in africa in a recent study nunn 2008 examines the long term impacts of africa s slave trade he finds that the slave trade which occurred over a period of more than 400 years had a significant negative effect on long term economic development although the article arguably identifies a negative causal relationship between the slave trade and income today the analysis is unable to establish the exact causal mechanisms underlying this reduced form relationship in this article we examine one of the channels through which the slave trade may affect economic development today combining contemporary individual level survey data with historical data on slave shipments by ethnic group we ask whether the slave trade caused a culture of mistrust to develop within africa initially slaves were captured primarily through state organized raids and warfare but as the trade progressed the environment of ubiquitous insecurity caused individuals to turn on others including friends and family members and to kidnap trick and sell each other into slavery sigismund wilhelm koelle 1854 p e h hair 1965 charles piot 1996 we hypothesize that in this environment a culture of mistrust may have evolved which may persist to this day we show that current differences in trust levels within africa can be traced back to the transatlantic and indian ocean slave trades combining contemporary individual level survey data with historical data on slave shipments by ethnic group we find that individuals whose ancestors were heavily raided during the slave trade are less trusting today evidence from a variety of identification strategies suggests that the relationship is causal examining causal mechanisms we show that most of the impact of the slave trade is through factors that are internal to the individual such as cultural norms beliefs and values jel j15 n57 z13

gasoline demand revisited an international meta analysis of elasticities meta analysis is used to determine if there are factors that systematically affect price and income elasticity estimates in studies of gasoline demand four econometric models are estimated using long run and short run price and income elasticity estimates from previous studies as the dependent variables explanatory variables include functional form lag structure time span national setting estimation technique and other features of the model structure elasticity estimates are found to be sensitive to the inclusion or exclusion of some measure of vehicle ownership static models appear to overestimate short run elasticities underestimate long run price elasticities but pick up the full long run income responsiveness there is variation in the elasticity of demand across countries especially in the short run and gasoline demand appears to be getting more price elastic and less income elastic over time

reaching the poor cash transfer program targeting in cameroon identifying and selecting poor households with efficient targeting methods is essential for effective poverty alleviation programs this paper assesses the ex post performance of two popular targeting mechanisms proxy means testing pmt and community based targeting cbt in a pilot cash transfer program in cameroon several indicators and metrics to measure each method s performance in terms of inclusion of poor households and exclusion of non poor households are employed results consistently show that cbt performs poorly in terms of selecting households with low per capita consumption when compared to pmt cbt appears to select households with low physical and human capital regardless of actual consumption level however cbt also shows more variability in the selection decision than pmt even when alternative poverty definitions are used as robustness tests the pmt method used in the pilot slightly outperforms other targeting methods hybrid alternative pmt and universal targeting with equal budget but errors remain high when selecting 35 of the population for program participation the results suggest caution is needed in employing cbt methods to select households with low per capita consumption in an environment where poverty levels are high and administrative capacities are limited cbt performance may be improved through more uniform and consistent guidance on program selection criteria and process including explicit criteria that enable cbt monitoring as well as a better integration between pmt and cbt

inherited trust and growth this paper develops a new method to uncover the causal effect of trust on economic growth by focusing on the inherited component of trust and its time variation we show that inherited trust of descendants of us immigrants is sig nificantly influenced by the country of origin and the timing of arrival of their forebears we thus use the inherited trust of descendants of us immigrants as a time varying measure of inherited trust in their country of origin this strategy allows to identify the sizeable causal impact of inherited trust on worldwide growth during the twentieth century by controlling for country fixed effects jel n11 n12 n31 n32 o47 z13

individual heterogeneity and average welfare individual heterogeneity is an important source of variation in demand allowing for general heterogeneity is needed for correct welfare comparisons we consider general heterogenous demand where preferences and linear budget sets are statistically independent we find that the dimension of heterogeneity and the individual demand functions are not identified we also find that the exact consumer surplus of a price change averaged across individuals is not identified motivating bounds analysis we use bounds on income effects to derive relatively simple bounds on the average surplus including for discrete continous choice we also sketch an approach to bounding surplus that does not use income effect bounds we apply the results with income effect bounds to gasoline demand we find little sensitivity to the income effect bounds in this application

heterogeneity in the response to gasoline prices evidence from pennsylvania and implications for the rebound effect abstract the consumer response to changing gasoline prices has long interested economists and policymakers for it has important implications for the effects of gasoline taxation and vehicle energy efficiency policies this study examines both the elasticity of driving with respect to changing gasoline prices and heterogeneity in this elasticity by geography the fuel economy of the vehicle and the age of the vehicle we use detailed annual vehicle level emissions inspection test data from pennsylvania that include odometer readings inspection zip codes and extensive vehicle characteristics we estimate a short run gasoline price elasticity of driving demand of 0 10 and find substantial heterogeneity in this responsiveness the elasticity is largely driven by low fuel economy vehicles as well as vehicles between 3 and 7 years old our findings help reconcile some of the recent literature and provide guidance on the magnitude of the direct rebound effect from light duty vehicle energy efficiency policies

cash transfers clientelism and political enfranchisement evidence from brazil abstract this paper uses brazil s bolsa familia to show that redistributive policies that are shielded from the influence of political intermediaries can reduce incumbency advantage for mayors increase both electoral competition and candidate quality reduce support for clientelistic parties and lead incumbents to increase redistributive spending the paper exploits a nonparametric multivariate regression discontinuity design and employs a novel identification strategy for the variation in program coverage the theory proposes that cash transfers by reducing the vulnerability of poor voters make clientelism a less attractive strategy to incumbent mayors consequently incumbents reallocate effort away from the practice into public good distribution

decentralizing antipoverty program delivery in developing countries we study the effects on accountability in government service delivery of decentralizing administration of an antipoverty program while governments at both central and local levels are vulnerable to antipoor policy biases owing to political capture centralized delivery systems are additionally prone to bureaucratic corruption owing to problems in monitoring bureaucratic performance decentralizing the delivery system promotes cost effectiveness and improves intraregional targeting at low program scales but interregional targeting may deteriorate as central grants to high poverty regions shrink owing to high capture of local governments by local elites in such regions

politician family networks and electoral outcomes evidence from the philippines we demonstrate the electoral importance of politician family networks and provide evidence of the mechanisms behind the relationship we use a 20 million person dataset allowing us to reconstruct intermarriage networks for over 15 000 villages in 709 municipalities in the philippines we show that politicians are disproportionately drawn from more central families and that controlling for candidate fixed e ects candidates receive a higher vote share in villages where their families are more central we present evidence that centrality confers organizational and logistical advantages that facilitate clientelistic transactions such as vote buying and do not operate through popularity name recognition or through the choice of policies more aligned with their constituents preferences

consumption and income inequality and the great recession abstract we examine changes in consumption and income inequality between 2000 and 2011 during the most recent recession unemployment rose and asset values declined sharply we investigate how the recession affected inequality while addressing concerns about underreporting in consumption data income inequality rose throughout the period from 2000 to 2011 the 90 10 ratio was 19 percent higher at the end of this period than at the beginning in contrast consumption inequality rose during the first half of this period but then fell after 2005 by 2011 the 90 10 ratio for consumption was slightly lower than it was in 2000

electoral competition with informed and uninformed voters i present a model of electoral competition in which candidates raise campaign contributions by choosing policies that benefit interest groups and then expend those contributions to influence voters who are uninformed about the policies informed voters however vote based on those policies so candidates face a trade off between choosing a policy to generate funds to attract the uninformed vote and choosing a policy to attract the informed vote electoral equilibria are characterized for two categories of policies particularistic and collective in the case of particularistic policies the equilibrium policies of the candidates are separated if the proportion of uninformed voters is sufficiently high and the degree of separation is an increasing function of that proportion the model is extended to include the public financing of elections and incumbency advantages for the case of collective policies the candidates locate at the median of the ideal points of the informed voters and contributions are zero

estimates from a consumer demand system implications for the incidence of environmental taxes abstract most studies suggest that environmental taxes are regressive making them less attractive policy options we consider the distributional effects of a gasoline tax increase using four incidence measures and under three scenarios for gas tax revenue use to incorporate behavioral responses we use consumer expenditure survey data to estimate a consumer demand system that includes gasoline other goods and leisure our estimates confirm that when revenues are not recycled a gasoline tax is regressive use of incidence measures that ignore demand responses however will substantially overstate this regressivity in contrast the differences between the equivalent variation and easier to implement consumer surplus measures are relatively small in addition our results suggest that using the additional gas tax revenue to fund labor tax cuts makes the policy substantially less regressive while using the revenue to fund lump sum transfers actually makes it progressive

the political economy of public goods some evidence from india we are interested in how public goods get allocated by a centralized state we use data on public goods and social structure from parliamentary constituencies in rural india to understand the allocation of these goods over the 1970s and 1980s national policies and political agendas during this period emphasized universal access to basic amenities and financed a rapid expansion in rural infrastructure we find evidence of considerable equalization in many of these facilities reflecting perhaps the importance of these commitments among the historically disadvantaged social groups those that mobilized themselves politically gained relative to the others measures of social heterogeneity that have been emphasized in the recent empirical literature on public goods are relevant but not overwhelming in their importance

revealed community equivalence scales abstract this paper estimates the equivalence scale revealed by discretionary community allocations of welfare benefits to poor households i apply the proposed approach to a subsidized rice program in indonesia in which villages designated program beneficiaries and estimate the equivalence scale implicit in the beneficiaries they selected i find that the revealed community equivalence scale for this program lies much closer to per capita expenditure than traditional demand based equivalence scales particularly in the poorest communities this suggests that per capita expenditure may be closer to how poor communities actually compare households when allocating aid than previously thought

on the measurement of tobin s q abstract we examine the methods commonly employed to estimate tobin s q ratios and find them to be flawed in design and arbitrary in implementation we propose an alternative procedure which is both simpler and more accurate the key to the procedure is an improved measure of fixed asset replacement costs through the proper identification of the vintages of fixed assets that are in place for a firm application of this procedure to a large sample of nonfinancial corporations indicates that existing methods generally produce downward biased measures of q and can result in errors in the ordering of firms by their q s

decentralization of governance and development all around the world in matters of governance decentralization is the rage even apart from the widely debated issues of subsidiarity and devolution in the european union and states rights in the united states decentralization has been at the center stage of policy experiments in the last two decades in a large number of developing and transition economies in latin america africa and asia the world bank for example has embraced it as one of the major governance reforms on its agenda for example world bank 2000 burki perry and dillinger 1999 take also the examples of the two largest countries of the world china and india decentralization has been regarded as the major institutional framework for the phenomenal industrial growth in the last two decades in china taking place largely in the nonstate nonprivate sector india ushered in a landmark constitutional reform in favor of decentralization around the same time it launched a major program of economic reform in the early 1990s on account of its many failures the centralized state everywhere has lost a great deal of legitimacy and decentralization is widely believed to promise a range of benee ts it is often suggested as a way of reducing the role of the state in general by fragmenting central authority and introducing more intergovernmental competition and checks and balances it is viewed as a way to make government more responsive and efe cient technological changes have also made it somewhat easier than before to provide public services like electricity and water supply relatively efe ciently in smaller market areas and the lower levels of government have now a greater ability to handle certain tasks in a world of rampant ethnic cone icts and separatist movements decentralization is also regarded as a way of diffusing social and political tensions and ensuring local cultural and political autonomy these potential benee ts of decentralization have attracted a very diverse range

quasi experimental taxation elasticities of us gasoline demand abstract taxation elasticities provide useful inputs in public policy aimed at raising revenues using the quasi experimental method this paper calculates gasoline taxation elasticities for the usa over 1952 1986 the median mean elasticity over this period is found to be 0 075 0 122 however the elasticity following the oil shock of 1973 is found to be statistically different from the pre shock elasticity reasons for this change in elasticity are discussed the implication of this analysis is that tax policies based on price elasticities rather than on tax elasticities might be using an inappropriate elasticity estimate and consequently misinterpreting the government s ability to raise tax revenues especially in the post embargo era

does family ownership structure affect investment cash flow sensitivity evidence from italian smes abstractthe aim of this article is to investigate whether family control family management and family ownership concentration affect the investment cash flow sensitivity of small and medium sized enterprises smes by analysing a sample of italian smes for the period 2004 2013 i find that family owned businesses are significantly associated with higher investment cash flow dependence this relation however is found to be driven by two distinct factors i the presence of a highly concentrated family ownership ownership concentration channel and ii the active involvement of the family in the business family management channel

land and power theory and evidence from chile many employment relationships concede rents to workers depending on the political institutions the presence of such rents allows employers to use the threat of withdrawing them to control their workers political behavior such as their votes in the absence of secret ballot we examine the effects of the introduction of the secret ballot in chile in 1958 on voting behavior before the reforms localities with more pervasive patron client relationships tended to exhibit a much stronger support for the right wing parties traditionally associ ated with the landed oligarchy after the reform however this difference across localities completely disappeared jel d72 n46 o13 o15 o17

average q marginal q and the relation between ownership and performance abstract using average performance measures as the literature does to investigate the relation between ownership structure and performance suffers from severe drawbacks we propose a marginal tobin s q and argue for its superiority

history institutions and economic performance the legacy of colonial land tenure systems in india we analyze the colonial land revenue institutions set up by the british in india and show that differences in historical property rights institutions lead to sustained differences in economic outcomes areas in which proprietary rights in land were historically given to landlords have significantly lower agricultural investments and productivity in the post independence period than areas in which these rights were given to the cultivators these areas also have significantly lower investments in health and education these differences are not driven by omitted variables or endogeneity problems they probably arise because differences in historical institutions lead to very different policy choices

the demand for gasoline evidence from household survey data summary in this paper we investigate the demand for gasoline in canada using recent annual expenditure data from the canadian survey of household spending over a 13 year period from 1997 to 2009 on three expenditure categories in the transportation sector gasoline local transportation and intercity transportation in doing so we use three of the most widely used locally flexible functional forms the almost ideal demand system aids of deaton and muellbauer 1980 the quadratic aids quaids of banks et al 1997 an extension of the simple aids model that can generate quadratic engel curves and the minflex laurent model of barnett 1983 which can also generate quadratic engel curves we pay explicit attention to economic regularity argue that unless regularity is attained by luck flexible functional forms should always be estimated subject to regularity as suggested by barnett 2002 and impose local curvature to produce inference consistent with neoclassical microeconomic theory our findings indicate that the curvature constrained minflex laurent model is the only model that is able to provide theoretically consistent estimates of the canadian demand for gasoline our estimates show that the own price elasticity for gasoline demand in canada is between 0 738 and 0 570 less elastic than previously reported in the literature copyright 2013 john wiley sons ltd

measuring the well being of the poor using income and consumption we examine the relative merits of consumption and income as measures of the material well being of the poor consumption offers several advantages over income because consumption is a more direct measure of well being than income and is less subject to underreporting bias measurement problems with income are problematic for analyses of changes in well being of the poor because the biases appear to have changed over time and are correlated with government policies on the other hand income is often easier to report and is available for much larger samples providing greater power to test hypotheses we begin by considering the conceptual and pragmatic reasons why consumption might be better or worse than income then we employ several empirical strategies to examine the quality of income and consumption data first we compare income and consumption reports for those with few resources as well as their assets and liabilities to examine measurement errors and under reporting second we examine other evidence on the internal consistency of reports of low income or consumption third we compare how well micro data in standard datasets weight up to match aggregates for classes of income and consumption that are especially important for low resource families fourth we validate income and consumption measures by comparing them to other measures of hardship or material well being although the evidence tends to favor consumption measures our analyses suggest that both measures should be used to assess the material well being of the poor

information transmission and ownership consolidation in aid programs we investigate the degree of leeway donors of foreign aid should grant to recipient governments when their preferences over how to implement the aid are different and both the donor and recipient possess some private information about the most effective policies intuitively our model shows that donors should stay in control of how their aid is spent when their own private information is more important than the private information of the recipient less obviously an increase in the difference of preferences between donors and recipients can increase rather than decrease the leeway that donors should grant the recipients as the recipients information gains in importance relative to those of the donors and recipients become less likely to communicate truthfully we test the model using dyadic data for 28 bilateral aid donors and 112 recipients over the 1995 2010 period our proxy for centralized aid is project aid while budget aid leaves more leeway to the recipient and thus proxies for decentralized aid in line with the model misaligned interests and informational asymmetries indeed influence the shares of aid given as budget and project aid jel c23 d82 f33 o1

persistence of power elites and institutions we construct a model to study the implications of changes in political insti tutions for economic institutions a change in political institutions alters the distribution of de jure political power but creates incentives for investments in de facto political power to partially or even fully offset change in de jure power the model can imply a pattern of captured democracy whereby a democratic regime may survive but choose economic institutions favoring an elite the model provides conditions under which economic or policy outcomes will be invariant to changes in political institutions and economic institutions them selves will persist over time jel d02 d72 the domination of an organized minority over the unor ganized majority is inevitable the power of any minority is irresistible as against each single individual in the majority who stands alone before the totality of the organized minor ity at the same time the minority is organized for the very reason that it is a minority

disentangling the incentive and entrenchment effects of large shareholdings this article disentangles the incentive and entrenchment effects of large ownership using data for 1 301 publicly traded corporations in eight east asian economies we find that firm value increases with the cash flow ownership of the largest shareholder consistent with a positive incentive effect but firm value falls when the control rights of the largest shareholder exceed its cash flow ownership consistent with an entrenchment effect given that concentrated corporate ownership is predominant in most countries these findings have relevance for corporate governance across the world

modeling gasoline demand in the united states a flexible semiparametric approach abstract the focus of this paper is on the modeling and estimation of quarterly state level gasoline demand in the united states the existing literature may not appropriately evaluate the price elasticity and income elasticity of gasoline demand most studies fail to address the possible heterogeneity in gasoline demand elasticities that may arise from a variety of sources the endogeneity issue of gasoline price has remained redundant throughout the literature i address these challenges using a flexible demand model and a recently developed estimation technique the econometric approach allows for functional coefficients to accommodate the heterogeneity in demand elasticities several instrumental variables are used to investigate the endogeneity of gasoline price the estimation results provide strong evidence of heterogeneous gasoline demand elasticities across states and over time some state level attributes along with income and macroeconomic shocks are the potential sources of heterogeneity

distributional effects of alternative vehicle pollution control policies abstract previous work shows that policies that subsidize new vehicles and tax size miles or gasoline efficiently reduce pollution less is known about their distributional effects this paper examines distributional effects by estimating the joint demand for vehicles and miles using the consumer expenditure survey greater price responsiveness among low income households enhances progressivity of gas or miles taxes across lower incomes and mitigates regressivity across upper incomes taxes on engine size or subsidies to new vehicles are significantly more regressive than gas or miles taxes

diverging identification of the poor a non random process chile 1992 2017 abstract this paper investigates the degree of association in the identification of the poor between the standard monetary fgt poverty measure and the alkire foster multidimensional poverty index for this purpose we use a measure of redundancy in the identification of the poor between the two poverty measures r0 in chile over the past 25 years r0 has declined at a rate of 1 5 per year the decline is unimportant during the 1990s a decade of rapid economic growth while it is notable thereafter in a period characterized by modest economic growth and the progressive introduction and deepening of social policies the conditional correlation between socio economic and demographic characteristics with r0 is examined at the province and household levels after controlling for the household non eligibility across some of the indicators of the multidimensional poverty index we find that the divergence in the identification of the poor seems to be a real process which is not randomly distributed across the population it is correlated with education improvements increasing urbanization and reduction in household size on the basis of our results we argue that this divergence may be a more general phenomenon that tends to occur in countries undergoing demographic transition urbanization and progress in education if so and given the fact that poverty alleviation strategies are adopted partly on the basis of poverty statistics the diverging identification of the poor might have distributive consequences for the poor

a bayesian sampling approach to measuring the price responsiveness of gasoline demand using a constrained partially linear model partial linear models provide an intuitively appealing way to examine gasoline demand because one can examine how response to price varies according to the price level and people s income however despite their intuitive appeal partial linear models have tended to produce implausible and or erratic price effects blundell et al 2012 propose a solution to this problem that involves using slutsky shape restrictions to improve the precision of the nonparametric estimate of the demand function they propose estimating a constrained partially linear model through three steps where the weights are optimized by minimizing an objective function under the slutsky constraint bandwidths are selected through least squares cross validation and linear coefficients are estimated using profile least squares a limitation of their three step estimation method is that bandwidths are selected based on pre estimated parameters we improve on the blundell et al 2012 solution in that we derive a posterior and develop a posterior simulation algorithm to simultaneously estimate the linear coefficients bandwidths in the kernel estimator and the weights imposed by the slutsky condition with our proposed sampling algorithm we estimate a constrained partially linear model of household gasoline demand employing household survey data for the united states for 1991 and 2001 and for canada for 2006 2009 and find plausible price effects

economies of scale household size and the demand for food household scale economies are plausibly attributed to shared household public goods that make larger households better off at the same level of per capita resources larger households should therefore have higher per capita consumption of private goods such as food provided that they do not substitute too much toward the effectively cheaper public goods the evidence shows exactly the opposite data from rich and poor countries indicate that at constant per capita total expenditure the per capita demand for food decreases with household size and that it does so most in the poorest countries where substitution should be the least

value for money vote buying and politician accountability abstract the prevalence of vote buying is widely identified as a cause of poor governance in the developing world potential mechanisms for this relationship include the selection of lower quality politicians and the reduced accountability experienced by politicians once elected in this paper we present the first experimental evidence in support of the second channel of reduced accountability using data from laboratory experiments conducted in the u s and kenya we find that vote payments reduce voters willingness to hold politicians accountable holding fixed politician identity voters who receive payments are less willing to punish the politician for rent seeking and this reduction in punishment is larger in magnitude when payments are widely targeted unsurprisingly the politician then engages in a higher level of rent seeking a simple model of multi faceted social preferences encompassing reciprocity and inequality aversion is consistent with these findings

do snap participants expand non food spending when they receive more snap benefits evidence from the 2009 snap benefits increase this study examines the expenditure response to the largest increase in supplemental nutrition assistance program benefits instituted in april 2009 investigating the effects in both food and non food spending categories i find that the rise in snap benefits increased not only food at home expenditures but also housing transportation and education expenditures of snap households relative to those of non snap households specifically the snap benefit increase leads to the reduced out of pocket spending on food for infra marginal snap recipients and the freed up resources allowed households with bounded budgets to fund other essential needs such as paying mortgage rent utility fee transportation expenses as well as tuition examining non food expenditures provides a more complete picture of the impact of the snap benefit increase by shedding light on the spillover effect of the policy change the result also derives policy implication on ongoing debate about snap allotment generosity

analysing gasoline demand elasticities a survey this paper is a survey of studies on gasoline demand although there are very many dxerent studies in this eld which sometimes appear to arrive at contradictory results we find that with proper stratification of studies by model and data type much of the contict turns to consensus in this survey we classtfy studies by data type and by ten d erent categories of model and with the exception of estimates on seasonal data which tend to be unstable and of certain inappropriate model formulations we find a fair degree of agreement concerning average short run and even long run income and price elasticities

household gasoline demand in the united states supported by the mit center for energy and environmental policy research the u s dept of energy and the national science foundation

gasoline demand and car choice estimating gasoline demand using household information in recent years calls for carbon taxes as a policy tool to combat global warming have kept a discussion of the price and income elasticities of gasoline demand alive to date gasoline demand elasticity estimates are almost exclusively based on aggregate data that are subject to aggregation problems and make distributional concerns impossible to address by using household level data from the panel study of income dynamics psid and imputed fuel efficiency measures and gasoline prices i estimate household demand for gasoline and the corresponding price and income demand elasticities an attempt is made to include data on the car stock in the estimation since car portfolio and gasoline demand decisions are closely related empirical results from a selection corrected gasoline demand regression suggest low short run price and income elasticities and clear differences in gasoline demand across the population these results suggest that a gasoline tax is not likely to result in large decreases in gasoline consumption while potentially imposing hardship on identifiable segments of the population

reviving leviathan fiscal federalism and the growth of government this article revisits the influential leviathan hypothesis which pos its that tax competition limits the growth of government spending in decentralized countries i use panel data to examine the effect of fiscal decentralization over time within countries attempting to distinguish between decentralization that is funded by intergovernmental transfers and local taxation first i explore the logic whereby decentralization should restrict government spending if state and local governments have wide ranging authority to set the tax base and rate especially on mobile assets in countries where this is most clearly the case decentralization is associated with smaller government second consistent with theoretical arguments drawn from wel fare economics and positive political economy i show that governments grow faster as they fund a greater portion of public expenditures through intergovernmental transfers

clientelism in indian villages abstract we study the operation of local governments panchayats in rural maharashtra india using a survey that we designed for this end elections are freely contested fairly tallied highly p

does better nutrition raise farm productivity household level data from sierra leone are used to test whether higher caloric intake enhances family farm labor productivity this is the notion behind the efficiency wages hypothesis which has found only weak empirical support a farm production function is estimated accounting for the simultaneity in input and calorie choice instruments include prices household demographic characteristics and farm assets the latter two sets of instruments are later dropped to explore the robustness of the results to different specifications of exogeneity the exercise shows a highly significant effect of caloric intake on labor productivity providing solid support for the nutrition productivity hypothesis the marginal effect on productivity falls drastically as calorie consumption rises but remains positive at moderately high levels of intake one result is a fall in the effective price of food a decline that is larger for households that consumer fewer calories

a meta analysis of the price elasticity of gasoline demand a sur approach abstract automobile gasoline demand can be expressed as a multiplicative function of fuel efficiency mileage per car and car ownership this implies a linear relationship between the price elasticity of total fuel demand and the price elasticities of fuel efficiency mileage per car and car ownership in this meta analytical study we aim to investigate and explain the variation in empirical estimates of the price elasticity of gasoline demand a methodological novelty is that we use the linear relationship between the elasticities to develop a meta analytical estimation approach based on a seemingly unrelated regression sur model with cross equation restrictions this approach enables us to combine observations of different elasticities and thus increase our sample size furthermore it allows for a more detailed interpretation of our meta regression results the empirical results of the study demonstrate that the sur approach leads to more precise results i e lower standard errors than a standard meta analytical approach we find that with mean short run and long run price elasticities of 0 34 and 0 84 respectively the demand for gasoline is not very price sensitive both in the short and the long run the impact of a change in the gasoline price on demand is mainly driven by responses in fuel efficiency and mileage per car and to a slightly lesser degree by changes in car ownership furthermore we find that study characteristics relating to the geographic area studied the year of the study the type of data used the time horizon and the functional specification of the demand equation have a significant impact on the estimated value of the price elasticity of gasoline demand

a semiparametric model of household gasoline demand gasoline demand studies typically generate a single price and income elasticity for a country it is however possible that these elasticities may differ among various socio economic groups at the same time parametric gasoline demand models may not be flexible enough to capture the changes in price elasticities with different levels of income this paper models us gasoline demand using more flexible semiparametric techniques accommodating the possibility of differences in responses among households the econometric model employs a non parametric bivariate smoothing for price and income and a parametric representation of other explanatory variables possible heterogeneity in price and income elasticities is modelled through interacting price and income with demographic variables results show that price responses do vary with demographic variables such as income multiple vehicle holding presence of multiple wage earners or rural or urban residential locations households responses to a price change decrease with higher income multiple vehicle and multiple earner households also show higher sensitivity to a price change households located in urban areas reduce consumption more than those in rural areas in response to an increase in price comparison of the flexible semiparametric model with a parametric translog model however reveals no significant differences between results and the parametric models have the advantage of lower computational requirements and better interpretability

accountability and decentralisation in government an incomplete contracts model this paper approaches the question of the appropriate level of decentralisation of power in government as a problem in the allocation of control rights under incomplete contracts the model of the paper compares allocations of power to local central and regional government as alternative means of motivating governments to act in the interests of citizens centralisation allows benefits from policy coordination but has costs in terms of diminished accountability which can be precisely defined as the reduced probability that the welfare of a given region can determine the re election of the government the model is extended to allow for conflicts of interest within regions and externalities between central and local governments in a federation it is also applied to determining levels of fiscal transfer between localities and to circumstances where governments may act as leviathans appropriating resources for their own use

direct and indirect effects of malawi s public works program on food security labor intensive public works programs are important social protection tools in low income settings intended to supplement income of poor households and improve public infrastructure in this evaluation of the malawi social action fund an at scale government operated program across and within village randomization is used to estimate effects on food security and use of fertilizer there is no evidence that the program improves food security and some negative spillovers to untreated households these disappointing results hold even under modifications to the design of the program to offer work during the lean rather than harvest season or increase the frequency of payments

the political class and redistributive policies we study the eect of the composition of the political class on the size of government first we use a citizen candidate model to show that the extension of surage may be inconsequential for government spending when there are pre existing stricter requirements for holding oce we then test this prediction empirically using data from the 13 u s original colonies we nd that the extension of the franchise did not aect government spending or the composition of the political class however the subsequent elimination of economic qualications to hold oce increased government spending and enriched the class heterogeneity

inside the family firm the role of families in succession decisions and performance this paper uses a unique dataset from denmark to investigate the impact of family characteristics in corporate decision making and the consequences of these decisions on firm performance we focus on the decision to appoint either a family or an external chief executive officer ceo the paper uses variation in ceo succession decisions that result from the gender of a departing ceo s first born child this is a plausible instrumental variable iv as male firstchild firms are more likely to pass on control to a family ceo relative to female first child firms but the gender of a first child is unlikely to affect firms outcomes we find that family successions have a large negative causal impact on firm performance operating profitability on assets falls by at least four percentage points around ceo transitions our iv estimates are significantly larger than those obtained using ordinary least squares furthermore we show that family ceo underperformance is particularly large for firms in high growth industries and for relatively large firms overall the empirical results demonstrate that professional non family ceos provide extremely valuable services to the organizations they head

clientelism and voting behavior evidence from a field experiment in benin the author conducted a field experiment in benin to investigate the impact of clientelism on voting behavior in collaboration with four political parties involved in the 2001 presidential elections clientelist and broad public policy platforms were designed and run in twenty randomly selected villages of an average of 756 registered voters using the survey data collected after the elections the author estimated the effect of each type of message by comparing voting behavior in the villages exposed to clientelism or public policy messages treatment groups with voting behavior in the other villages control groups the author found that clientelist messages have positive and significant effect in all regions and for all types of candidates the author also found that public policy messages have a positive and significant effect in the south but a negative and significant effect in the north in addition public policy messages seem to hurt incumbents as well as regional candidates finally the evidence indicates that female voters tend to have stronger preference for public policy platforms than male voters

gaining ground poverty in the postwar united states official measures of poverty in the united states are compiled by the bureau of the census by comparing a household s income level to a prespecified threshold from a theoretical perspective it is more appropriate to evaluate the level of poverty using a consumption based measure of household welfare in this paper i evaluate the level of poverty using expenditure data from the consumer expenditure survey i find that consumption based poverty rates are much lower than those based on income the trend in the poverty rate in the united states is sensitive to the price index and equivalence scales used to adjust the poverty thresholds

nonparametric estimation of exact consumers surplus and deadweight loss we apply nonparametric regression models to estimation of demand curves of the type most often used in applied research from the demand curve estimators we derive estimates of exact consumers surplus and deadweight loss which are the most widely used welfare and economic efficiency measures in areas of economics such as public finance we also develop tests of the symmetry and downward sloping properties of compensated demand we work out asymptotic normal sampling theory for kernel and series nonparametric estimators as well as for the parametric case the paper includes an application to gasoline demand empirical questions of interest here are the shape of the demand curve and the average magnitude of welfare loss from a tax on gasoline in this application we compare parametric and nonparametric estimates of the demand curve calculate exact and approximate measures of consumers surplus and deadweight loss and give standard error estimates we also analyze the sensitivity of the welfare measures to components of nonparametric regression estimators such as the number of terms in a series approximation

rates of return on corporate investment in the last two decades productivity has lagged in the united states markets have been lost to foreign competition real income per capita has grown slowly this experience has led to considerable discussion of possible causes 7 one possible cause often mentioned is the quality of managerial investment decisions managers have been accused of overinvesting in obsolete technologies of underinvesting in risky projects with long run payoffs of undertaking unprofitable mergers and of overall poor judgment in their investment policies 39 this paper presents evidence on the returns on investment over the 1970 88 period for a sample of 699 large corporations that is consistent with this view

chiefs economic development and elite control of civil society in sierra leone we study the effect of constraints on chiefs power on economic outcomes citizens attitudes and social capital a paramount chief in sierra leone must come from a ruling family originally recognized by british colonial authorities in chiefdoms with fewer ruling families chiefs face less political competition and development outcomes are significantly worse today variation in the security of property rights over land is a potential mechanism paradoxically with fewer ruling families the institutions of chiefs authority are more highly respected and measured social capital is higher we argue that these results reflect the capture of civil society organizations by chiefs

consumption versus expenditure previous authors have documented a dramatic decline in food expenditures at the time of retirement we show that this is matched by an equally dramatic rise in time spent shopping for and preparing meals using a novel data set that collects detailed food diaries for a large cross section of u s households we show that neither the quality nor the quantity of food intake deteriorates with retirement status we also show that unemployed households experience a decline in food expenditure and food consumption commensurate with the impact of job displacement on permanent income these results highlight how direct measures of consumption distinguish between anticipated and unanticipated shocks to income whereas measures of expenditures obscure the distinction

when do women use aid to families with dependent children and food stamps the dynamics of eligibility versus participation this paper investigates dynamic patterns in the relationship between eligibility and participation in the aid to families with dependent children afdc and food stamp programs using monthly longitudinal data from the survey of income and program participation the results indicate that there are many relatively short eligibility spells that do not result in program participation and end with increases in income participation is most likely to occur among women with lower current and future earnings opportunities and is affected by locational and policy parameters those who elect to participate in these programs tend to start receiving benefits almost immediately upon becoming eligible a substantial number of women exit these programs before their eligibility ends among at least some of these women it is likely that unreported changes in income are occurring in 1989 if all eligible single parent families had participated in afdc and food stamps benefit payments in these programs would have been 13 5 billion higher

clientelism and vote buying lessons from field experiments in african elections electoral clientelism and vote buying are widely perceived as major obstacles to economic development this is because they may limit the provision of public goods in this paper we review the literature on clientelism and vote buying and propose the use of field experiments to evaluate empirically the consequences of these phenomena we provide an overview discuss implementation and interpret the main results of recent field experiments conducted by the authors in west african countries clientelism and vote buying seem to be effective and to enjoy widespread electoral support the results suggest that increased access to information and political participation by women may limit clientelism in addition voter education campaigns may undermine the effects of vote buying on voting behaviour we argue that our findings may inform the design of development aid interventions as a way effectively to increase public good political accountability we also discuss directions for fruitful future research copyright 2009 oxford university press