disability employment and earnings an examination of heterogeneity this article uses information from an ad hoc module on disability in the 2002 uk labour force survey to identify the heterogeneity that exists within the disabled group and examine its impact on labour market outcomes after controlling for a range of personal characteristics the type severity duration and cause of the disability are found to be important determinants of employment but there is less evidence to support the influence of within group heterogeneity on earnings

the labor market status of immigrants effects of the unemployment rate at arrival and duration of residence combining current population survey samples from november 1979 april 1983 june 1986 and june 1988 all of which included data on country of birth and year of immigration the authors examine pat

skill biased technological change and rising wage inequality some problems and puzzles the recent rise in wage inequality is usually attributed to skill biased technical change sbtc associated with new computer technologies we review the evidence for this hypothesis focusing on the implications of sbtc for overall wage inequality and for changes in wage differentials between groups a key problem for the sbtc hypothesis is that wage inequality stabilized in the 1990s despite continuing advances in computer technology sbtc also fails to explain the evolution of other dimensions of wage inequality including the gender and racial wage gaps and the age gradient in the return to education

the product variety case for protection abstract the paper shows the existence of a case for protection in a small open economy in which there is preference diversity and potential product differentation with scale economies the optimal tariff gives partial protection only is a first best solution and must be sustained the welfare loss that is corrected by the tariff is that due to a sub optimal degree of product variety arising from market failure linked to economies of scale

replacement of agricultural price supports by area payments in the european union and the effects on pesticide use this article determines the contribution of recent european union agricultural policy reforms on the use of pesticides our theoretical model extends the multioutput generalization of the lichtenberg zilberman damage control technology model developed by chambers and lichtenberg our empirical analysis uses farm level data for a sample of french farms results suggest that price effects on the use of pesticides are always more elastic than area payment effects this indicates that policy reforms consisting of a reduction in price supports in favor of area payments may reduce application of crop protection inputs such policy changes which represent a certain degree of decoupling took place under the 1992 common agricultural policy reforms

immigrant participation in the welfare system this paper presents a systematic analysis of immigrant participation in the us welfare system using the 1970 and 1980 us censuses in contrast to the previous studies the researchers focused on changes in welfare use across immigrant cohorts over time for a single immigrant cohort as it assimilates to the us furthermore it develops a theoretical model of the migration decision that explicitly incorporates the income insurance aspect of the us welfare system the analysis revealed that recent immigrant cohorts use the welfare system more intensively than earlier immigrant waves also the immigrant welfare participation was greater the longer an immigrant household had resided in the us and those characteristics of the immigrants country of origin were important determinants of welfare participation in addition the theoretical model of the migration decision which explicitly incorporated the presence of a welfare system in the destination country and this model could account for some of the ways in which source country characteristics were found to affect immigrant welfare participation

the role of the family in immigrants labor market activity an evaluation of alternative explanations comment most research on the labor market outcomes of immigrants has studied the behavior of individuals focusing primarily on the wage assimilation process or the excess returns to experience which immigrants obtain in their destination country s labor market e g barry r chiswick 1978 george j borjas 1985 recently however attention has been directed to analyzing immigrant labor market outcomes in a family context an approach which combines information about an individual s own labor market opportunities and the family context in which labor market decisions take place in a previously published paper in this review michael baker and dwayne benjamin 1997 evaluate alternative explanations for the observed labor supply patterns of canadian immigrants in the 1986 1991 period specifically when immigrant husbands arrive in canada they typically work less than comparable natives however immigrant wives work more than natives other things equal with assimilation the labor supply of immigrant husbands eventually catches up to that of natives while immigrant wives labor supply falls relative to comparable natives and is ultimately overtaken by that of natives the authors take these patterns to be most consistent with a family investment model in this scenario upon arrival husbands invest in their human capital while wives work to provide the family with liquidity during this investment period with increased time in canada husbands labor supply increases rapidly due to their growing skills in the canadian labor market while wives labor supply falls off in part because they originally took dead end jobs upon arrival in order to finance their husbands investments in human capital interestingly while most of the findings reported by baker and benjamin are consistent with the family investment model their estimated wage equations are not although they do not comment on this in discussing the appropriateness of the family investment model specifically they find similar rates of wage assimilation for husbands and wives this finding suggests roughly equal propensities to invest in one s own human capital for both groups this is contrary to the family investment hypothesis and does not match their story of dead end jobs for wives and large human capital investments of their husbands an alternative possible explanation for the patterns observed by baker and benjamin involves a simple price model in which the observed labor supply patterns reflect laborsupply responses to each spouse s wages for example the initially high but eventually falling level of wives labor supply relative to comparable natives could be a response to their husbands initially low but rising wages while this reasoning like the family investment model is broadly consistent with the data the authors conclude that the simple price model cannot be the entire explanation since in order to explain the full labor supply patterns of immigrants it would require unrealistically high labor supply elasticities and further that the assimilation patterns noted above remain even when wages of husband and wife are controlled blau school of industrial and labor relations cornell university 265 ives hall ithaca ny 14853 and nber and cesifo kahn school of industrial and labor relations cornell university 264 ives hall ithaca ny 14853 and cesifo moriarty school of industrial and labor relations cornell university ilr graduate student mailboxes ives hall ithaca ny 14853 souza faculdade de economia administracao e contabilidade university of sao paulo avenida professor luciano gualberto 908 cidade universitaria predio fea 1 sao paulo sp 05508 brazil the authors thank three anonymous referees for helpful comments and suggestions portions of this paper were written while blau and kahn were visiting scholars at the russell sage foundation to which they are grateful for research support

the unemployment experience of male immigrants in england in this paper the unemployment experience of immigrant men in the english labour market is examined using 1993 1994 data from the quarterly labour force survey of the united kingdom hypotheses proposed by chiswick 1982 are investigated for both the claimant count and the ilo measures of unemployment using logistic regression analysis our results show that recent white and nonwhite immigrant men experience much higher levels of unemployment than earlier cohorts for whites this effect is transitory whereas for nonwhites unemployment rates adjust more slowly as the duration of stay increases immigrant unemployment rates also vary considerably with country of birth

macroeconomic consequences of farm support policies agricultural protectionism is a basic factor underlying the u s trade deficit third world debt and global underemployment yet despite the seriousness of the problem and attention given to it by many researchers little progress has been made in formulating and implementing policies to deal with it the scholars and experts here assembled present for the first time a quantification and analysis of the impact upon the world economy of reduction or elimination of agricultural protectionism they question why give the magnitude of the problem inferior policies endure despite the weight of evidence that they have failed the answer they derive is that there is no general understanding of the true cost of the failure and therefore it is necessary to initiate reform from outside agricultural circles

intertemporal market effect on gender earnings differentials lawyers in canada 1970 80 the conventional methodology for decomposition of cross sectional earnings differentials is extended to include a market effect on intertemporal changes in earnings and to analyse the changes in gender differentials over time the integrated cross sectional and intertemporal methodology is illustrated by a decomposition of the change in the earnings differential that occurred during the 1970s between male and female lawyers in canada an unprecedented rate of growth in the supply of lawyers during the 1970s in canada was associated with changes in the gender earnings differential in the legal profession this rapid supply growth had an almost negligible net impact on female earnings but a negative impact of 15 on the male earnings this explains the narrowing of the earnings differential by almost 30 over the decade although three fifths of the gender differential in 1970 and half of the differential in 1980 were attributable to the differences in the characteristics of the two groups these chang

the earnings of male immigrants in england evidence from the quarterly lfs in this paper we estimate earnings functions for native born and foreign born white and non white males in the english labour market using data from the quarterly labour force survey our results highlight the importance of distinguishing between native born and foreign born males when investigating the labour market experience of ethnic minorities furthermore the earnings performance amongst white immigrants varies considerably

the economic cost of the cap revisited this paper reports estimates of the domestic economic cost of the common agricultural policy cap from computable general equilibrium simulations which incorporate imperfect competition in the non primary sectors as well as explicit modelling of agricultural protection imperfect competition is characterised to include hierarchical preferences addressing the notion of varietal diversity as an important decision variable in consumer behaviour results indicate that repeal of the cap would reduce varietal diversity in food processing in the eu causing utility losses however these would be countered by positive varietal effects in other sectors and by strong allocative effects the net cost of the cap to the eu is estimated at 0 2 of gross domestic product gdp for an individual member state the cost can be considerably larger as with the uk where the estimate is above 0 5 of gdp

increasing earnings inequality and the gender pay gap in canada prospects for convergence this paper retraces the evolution of canadian women s labour force participation and of the gender earnings ratio across the generations to understand better the prospects for gender convergence in pay using data from the public use labour force surveys lfs and administrative annual earnings data from the longitudinal worker files lwf the paper assesses the role of increasing top earnings inequality in the persistence of the gender pay gap having identified a growing role for the under representation of women among top earners the paper then performs an evaluation and critical analysis of existing gender equality policies centred on horizontal occupational gender segregation and discusses alternative policies for the future

the effect of literacy on immigrant earnings we examine the impact of literacy on immigrant earnings and the sources of lower returns to education and experience among immigrants we find that the native born literacy distribution dominates that for immigrants however the two groups obtain similar returns to literacy skills contrary to discrimination based explanations for immigrant native born earnings differentials among the university educated literacy differences account for about two thirds of the earnings gap however low returns to foreign experience have a larger impact on this differential among the less educated literacy differences and differences in the returns to experience have similar effects on the earnings differential

social security eligibility and the labor supply of older immigrants the employment rate of native born men falls at a much faster rate than that of immigrants as the two groups approach the age of retirement the author draws on u s census data from 1960 2000 to examine how the eligibility requirements for social security benefits affect immigrants decisions to leave the labor market as they near retirement age because a person needs to have worked in the united states for at least ten years to qualify for benefits newly arrived immigrants may not yet have accumulated the requisite employment credits to do this and thus have greater employment rates than other comparably aged persons the probability that an older immigrant is employed falls once the ten year work rule is satisfied the implication of this finding is that immigration may affect the increase in retirement benefits that will inevitably occur as the baby boom generation retires

reform of the european union s common agricultural policy how to reach gatt compatibility abstract this paper studies the reform of the european union s common agricultural policy cap it examines three questions 1 1 do current reforms meet the targets specified in the uruguay round agreement 2 2 what additional reforms are needed to make cap gatt compatible and 3 3 does cap reform alleviate the eu s budgetary problem to investigate these issues we use a six region 13 sector computable general equilibrium model with explicitly modeled policies we find that cap reform worsens the eu s budgetary situation and does not meet the gatt targets we quantify support price reductions and quota increases needed to reach the targets

wage mobility of foreign born workers in the united states this paper presents new evidence on whether foreign born workers assimilate while the existing literature focuses on the convergence divergence of average wages this study extends the analysis to the distribution of wages by looking at wage mobility we measure the foreign native gap in year to year transition probabilities from one decile group to another of a wage distribution where the deciles are determined by native samples our results based on the current population survey for 1996 2008 suggest that immigrants in middle and bottom decile groups who are the majority of immigrants tend to fall behind relative to natives in the same decile groups

immigrants minorities and labor market competition this paper investigates the extent of labor market competition among immigrants minorities and the native population an analysis of 1980 u s census data reveals that immigrants tend to be substitutes for some labor market groups and complements for others the effects of shifts in immigrant supply on the earnings of native born men are however very small on the other hand increases in the supply of immigrants do have a sizable impact on the earnings of immigrants themselves an increase of 10 percent in the supply of immigrants for example reduces the immigrant wage by about 10 percent

should germany have built a new wall macroeconomic lessons from the 2015 18 refugee wave abstract in 2015 2016 germany experienced a wave of predominantly low skilled refugee immigration we evaluate its macroeconomic and distributional effects using a quantitative overlapping generations model calibrated using german micro data to replicate education and productivity differentials between foreign born and native workers workers are modelled as imperfect substitutes in aggregate production leading to endogenous wage differentials we simulate the dynamic effects of this refugee wave with specific focus on the welfare impact on low skilled natives our results indicate that the small losses this group suffers can be compensated by welfare gains of other parts of the native population

immigrant earnings age at immigration matters a correlation between age at immigration and earnings is observed in canadian census data the evidence supports three underlying sources of the effect first work expe rience in the source country yields virtually no return in the host country second the return to education varies with age at immigration and finally an acculturation effect is observed for immigrants who are visible minorities or whose mother tongue is not english further it is found that educational attainment and relatedly earnings vary systematically across age at immigration with those arriving around age 15 to 18 obtaining fewer years of education

equity and bond flows to latin america and asia the role of global and country factors abstract this paper investigates the factors motivating the large capital flows to a number of developing countries in recent years we use monthly us capital flows to nine latin american and nine asian countries to analyze the behavior of bond and equity flows employing a panel data approach we find that although global factors the drop in us interest rates and the slowdown in us industrial production are important in explaining capital inflows country specific developments are at least as important especially for asia we also find that equity flows are more sensitive than bond flows to global factors but that bond flows are generally more sensitive to a country s credit rating and secondary market debt price

global business cycles convergence or decoupling we analyze the evolution of the degree of global cyclical interdependence over the period 1960 2008 using a dynamic factor model we decompose macroeconomic fluctuations in output consumption and investment into a global factor factors specific to country groups and country specific factors we find that during 1985 2008 there is some convergence of business cycle fluctuations among industrial economies and among emerging market economies surprisingly there is a concomitant decline in the relative importance of the global factor we conclude that there is evidence of business cycle convergence within each of these two groups of countries but divergence or decoupling between them

international business cycles world region and country specific factors the paper investigates the common dynamic properties of business cycle fluctuations across countries regions and the world we employ a bayesian dynamic latent factor model to estimate common components in macroeconomic aggregates output consumption and investment in a 60 country sample covering seven regions of the world the results indicate that a common world factor is an important source of volatility for aggregates in most countries providing evidence for a world business cycle we find that region specific factors play only a minor role in explaining fluctuations in economic activity we also document similarities and differences across regions countries and aggregates jel f41 e32 c11 c32

the economic situation of first and second generation immigrants in france germany and the united kingdom a central concern about immigration is the integration into the labour market not only of the first generation but also of subsequent generations little comparative work exists for europe s largest economies france germany and the uk have all become perhaps unwittingly countries with large immigrant populations albeit with very different ethnic compositions today the descendants of these immigrants live and work in their parents destination countries this article presents and discusses comparative evidence on the performance of first and second generation immigrants in these countries in terms of education earnings and employment it is widely believed that many european countries have a serious problem with the integration of immigrants and their children leed 2006 many northern european countries have accumulated sizeable populations of immigrants but the lack of longterm strategies and policies to integrate these into societal structures and the labour market is often cited as one reason for social and economic exclusion of the children of these immigrants in the past decade southern european countries such as spain and italy have experienced similar if not larger immigrations than the large northern european economies france germany and the uk in the late 1950s to early 1970s again it seems that there is little thought devoted to long term strategies for immigrants and their descendants the experience of those countries that had large scale immigration in the last half of the twentieth century should be of importance for devising future immigration and integration policies however there is rather little hard evidence in the literature about the relative position of immigrants and their descendants in these countries in a manner that allows comparisons to be made in this article we aim to provide a comparative study of a number of outcomes education earnings and employment of both first and second generation immigrants of different origins in the three largest european economies france germany and the uk

modelling portfolio capital flows in a global framework multilateral implications of capital controls abstract in the aftermath of the global financial crisis many emerging market countries resorted to capital controls to tackle the excessive surge of capital inflows a number of recent research papers have suggested that the imposition of controls may have imposed negative externalities on other countries by deflecting flows our aim in the research reported in this paper is to assess the efficacy of capital controls and potential deflection effects on other countries by constructing a comprehensive global econometric model which captures the dynamic interactions of capital flows with domestic and global fundamentals the results suggest that capital controls are effective for some countries in the short run but have no lasting effects moreover there is only limited evidence of deflection effects for a small number of emerging market countries

credit constraints and the labour supply of immigrant families in canada the hours of work decisions in immigrant and nonimmigrant families are compared using an intertemporal labor supply model estimated over data from the 1981 and 1991 census of canada surveys the family investment hypothesis is evaluated the hypothesis states that the immigrant family is unable to borrow in the first years after migration and that the immigrant wife responds by working longer hours so as to support family consumption and her husband s labor market adjustment the empirical evidence in general supports the hypothesis since credit constraints are found to significantly distort the labor supply decisions of recently arrived immigrant families

crossing the border self selection earnings and individual migration decisions many empirical studies on the determinants of international migration flows rely exclusively on macro data and do not account for migrants self selection we analyze a very interesting episode in international migration for which we are able to gather individual level data covering all relevant countries namely the exodus of ecuadorians to spain and the us in the aftermath of the economic collapse of 1999 specifically we produce selection corrected predictions of counterfactual individual earnings and use them to estimate a discrete choice migration equation that allows for correlated errors across destinations and a rich structure of migration costs we find that earnings significantly shape individual migration decisions even in an episode in which ecuadorians mostly chose spain where earnings were lower than in the us and they contribute to explaining the observed composition of migration flows moreover our estimates show that changes in earnings at a particular destination have a larger effect on destination choice conditional on migration than on the scale of migration

how much energy do building energy codes save evidence from california houses regulations governing the energy efficiency of new buildings have become a cornerstone of us environmental policy california enacted the first such codes in 1978 and has tightened them every few years since i evaluate the resulting energy savings three ways comparing energy used by houses constructed under different standards controlling for building and occupant characteristics examining how energy use varies with outdoor temperatures and comparing energy used by houses of different vintages in california to that same difference in other states all three approaches yield estimated energy savings significantly short of those projected when the regulations were enacted

common and country specific economic uncertainty abstract we use a factor model with stochastic volatility to decompose the time varying variance of macroeconomic and financial variables into contributions from country specific uncertainty and uncertainty common to all countries we find that the common component plays an important role in driving the time varying volatility of nominal and financial variables the cross country co movement in volatility of real and financial variables has increased over time with the common component becoming more important over the last decade simulations from a two country dsge model featuring epstein zin preferences suggest that increased globalisation and trade openness may be the driving force behind the increased cross country correlation in volatility

assimilation changes in cohort quality and the earnings of immigrants this paper reexamines the empirical basis for two facts that seem to be found in most cross section studies of immigrant earnings 1 the earnings of immigrants grow rapidly as they assimilate into the united states and 2 this rapid growth leads to many immigrants overtaking the earnings of the natives within 10 15 years after immigration using the 1970 and 1980 u s censuses this paper studies the earnings growth experienced by specific immigrant cohorts during the period 1970 80 it is found that within cohort growth is significantly smaller than the growth predicted by cross section regressions for most immigrant groups this differential is consistent with the hypothesis that there has been a secular decline in the quality of immigrants admitted to the united states

the new wave of private capital inflows push or pull abstract this paper studies the determinants and sustainability of the widespread private capital inflows to middle income countries after 1989 the key question is whether these flows are mostly pulled by attractive domestic conditions or pushed by unfavorable conditions in developed countries an analytical model focusing on country risk is developed and used empirically it is argued that the observed improvement in country creditworthiness is mostly due to the decline in international interest rates and that therefore its importance as a proximate cause does not support the pull interpretation all things considered in most countries the key answer that emerges is push

labor market assimilation of immigrant women using 1970 1980 and 1990 u s census data the author examines the life cycle patterns of immigrant women s labor force participation he finds that the cross sectional approach that has been used in all previous studies leads to a substantial over estimate of the degree to which immigrant women s assimilation increases their labor force participation the effect of assimilation found by using the cohort approach however which acknowledges the possibility that patterns of labor force participation partly reflect the year of immigration is still sizable the effect is concentrated within the first 10 years after arrival there are substantial differences in participation and assimilation by country of birth immigrants from japan korea and china are found to have experienced the greatest degree of assimilation with an effect that raises the probability of working by 20 percentage points during the first 10 years after arriving in the united states

new developments in applied general equilibrium analysis 1 introduction john piggott 2 hidden challenges in recent applied general equilibrium exercises john whalley 3 the measurement of waste and welfare in applied general equilibrium models erwin diewert 4 sensitivity analysis for linearized computable general equilibrium models adrian pagan and john shannon 5 the european economic community general equilibrium computations and the economic implications of membership john spencer 6 economic interdependence in the pacific basin a general equilibrium approach glenn harrison and larry kimbell 7 regional impacts of tariffs in canada preliminary results from a small dimensional numerical general equilibrium model richard jones john whalley and randall wigle 8 agricultural protection and market insulation policies applications of a dynamic multisectoral model tony chisholm and rodney tyers 9 a general equilibrium model of taxation that uses micro unit data with an application to the impact of instituting a flat rate income tax joel slemrod 10 consumption taxes foresight and welfare a computable general equilibrium analysis charles ballard and larry goulder 11 special purpose versions of a general purpose multisectoral model tax issues and the australian wine industry tony meagher brian parmenter russel rimmer and ken clements 12 general equilibrium analysis of economic policy dale jorgenson and daniel slesnick 13 the welfare cost of interest rate ceilings in developing countries a general equilibrium approach hasan imam 14 general equilibrium with price rigidities trien nguyen 15 short run macroeconomic closure in applied general equilibrium modelling experience from orani and agenda for further research russel cooper keith mclaren and alan powell 16 new developments in the application of general equilibrium models to economic history john james

the transmission of international shocks to the uk estimates based on a time varying factor augmented var the aim of this paper is to gauge the importance of foreign demand supply and interest rate shocks on the uk economy and assess how their role has changed over time to that end we devise a time varying factor augmented var model that captures the relationship between 17 industrialised countries and the uk and accounts for any temporal evolution in this relationship the response of uk macroeconomic variables to a foreign interest rate shock is estimated to have changed significantly since the early 1990s international demand shocks play an important role in driving world and uk real activity especially during the recent recession

judging agricultural policies a survey this survey provides a structured picture of 40 years of literature which uses welfare economic tools to judge agricultural policy challenges and developments of normative agricultural policy analysis are discussed in an easily accessible graphical framework it is shown how the literature has gone from examining a very small discrete set of simple policies to a much broader often continuous set of policies that combine policy instruments simultaneously the importance of the pareto criterion used to explore the limits of how government can affect welfare is revealed moreover given the importance of the objective of income redistribution in agricultural policy agricultural economists have often departed from the purely efficiency oriented tradition in economics it is shown that they have tried to incorporate equity considerations by either adding these criteria as constraints to the social welfare function or directly incorporating these criteria in the functional form of the social welfare function

the transmission of international shocks a factor augmented var approach the empirical literature on the transmission of international shocks is based on small scale vars in this paper we use a large panel of data for 17 industrialized countries to investigate the international transmission mechanism and revisit the anomalies that arise in the empirical literature we propose a factor augmented var favar that extends the model in bernanke boivin and eliasz 2003 to the open economy the main results can be summarized as follows first the dynamic effects on the uk economy of an unanticipated fall of short term interest rates in the rest of the world are real house price inflation investment gdp and consumption growth peak after one year wages peak after two years cpi and gdp deflator inflation peak during the third year second a positive international supply shock makes the distribution of the components of the uk consumption deflator negatively skewed third in response to a domestic monetary shock we find no evidence of the exchange rate and liquidity puzzles and little evidence of the forward discount and price anomalies

immigrant and emigrant earnings a longitudinal study this paper analyzes the relationship between earnings and the extent of assimilation cohort quality change and return migration experienced by the foreign born population the study uses the longitudinal data available in the survey of natural and social scientists and engineers the analysis reveals that there was a sizable decline in the skills of this population over the last two decades in addition the study shows that return migration is more likely among immigrants who did not perform well in the u s labor market

removal of farm subsidies in a regional economy a computable general equilibrium analysis the purpose of this article is to analyse the importance of farm subsidies for the extremadura economy to this end a computable general equilibrium model for this region is presented with which we analyse the economic effects caused by a simulated removal of these subsidies different scenarios involving the labour market rigidities and tax compensation are considered model parameters are determined by the procedure known as calibration using a social accounting matrix constructed for this economy the results clearly show the negative effects that this elimination would produce on the main micro and macroeconomic variables

are refugees different from economic immigrants some empirical evidence on the heterogeneity of immigrant groups in the united states this paper analyzes how the implicit difference in time horizons between refugees and economic immigrants affects subsequent human capital investments and wage assimilation the analysis uses the 1980 and 1990 integrated public use samples of the census to study labor market outcomes of immigrants who arrived in the united states from 1975 to 1980 i find that in 1980 refugee immigrants in this cohort earned 6 less and worked 14 fewer hours than economic immigrants both had approximately the same level of english skills the two immigrant groups had made substantial gains by 1990 however refugees had made greater gains in fact the labor market outcomes of refugee immigrants surpassed those of economic immigrants in 1990 refugees from the 1975 1980 arrival cohort earned 20 more worked 4 more hours and improved their english skills by 11 relative to economic immigrants the higher rates of human capital accumulation for refugee immigrants contribute to these findings

an assessment of the human capital content of international migrants an application to us immigration mcdowell j m and singell l d jr 1993 an assessment of the human capital content of international migrants an application to us immigration reg studies 27 351 363 numerous studies have examined the flow of international migrants generally these studies measure the extent or magnitude of international migration by use of a simple numerical count this paper extends this analysis by providing a methodology for adding an economic dimension to the measure of the magnitude of international migration an earnings equation approach is used to attach an economic value to immigration applying our methodology to us immigration we find considerable variation across source regions in the value of immigrants moreover we find that simply comparing initial earnings without controlling for differences in the characteristics and migration patterns of immigrants from the various source regions can misrepresent the relative earnings potential or value of migrants mcdowell j m et singell l d jr 1993 un

immigrant earnings relative to what the importance of earnings function specification and comparison points immigrant relative earnings estimates are sensitive to the choice of comparison point and the specification of earnings non sample mean comparisons borjas 1985 understate relative earnings simple earnings specifications linear education quadratic experience overstate relative earnings for both poorly and well educated immigrants specifications which ignore omitted variables understate the relative earnings of poorly educated immigrants and overstate those of well educated ones although measures of assimilation and changes in immigrant quality are insensitive to earnings specification they indicate strong earnings growth for post 1964 immigrants an overall decrease in immigrant quality and an increase in mexican immigrant quality

global economic divergence and portfolio capital flows to emerging markets this paper studies the role of global and regional variations in economic activity and policy in developed world in driving portfolio capital flows pcfs to emerging markets ems results suggest that pcfs to ems depend mainly on economic activity at the global level and monetary policy in america and asia positively on the former and negatively on the latters pcfs are procyclical with respect to global activity but countercyclical to regional activity in aggregate regional variations contribute more than global variations this implies that economic divergence in the developed world can have significant effects on ems via pcfs

the effect of minimum wages on immigrants employment and earnings this study examines how minimum wage laws affect the employment and earnings of low skilled immigrants and natives in the u s minimum wage increases might have larger effects among low skilled immigrants than among natives because on average immigrants earn less than natives due to lower levels of education limited english skills and less social capital results based on data from the current population survey for the years 1994 2005 do not indicate that minimum wages have adverse employment effects among adult immigrants or natives who did not complete high school however low skilled immigrants may have been discouraged from settling in states that set wage floors substantially above the federal minimum jel classifications j23 j38 j15

access to citizenship and the economic assimilation of immigrants immigrants often have lower employment rates and earnings than natives our empirical analysis relies on two reforms generating exogenous variation in the waiting time for citizenship we find that faster access to citizenship improves the economic situation of immigrant women especially their labour market attachment with higher employment rates longer working hours and more stable jobs immigrants also invest more in host country specific skills like language and vocational training faster access to citizenship seems a powerful policy instrument to boost economic integration in countries with traditionally restrictive citizenship policies

capital flows to developing countries long and short term determinants this article focuses on the determinants of the large portfolio flows from the united states to latin american and asian countries during 1988 92 cointegration techniques reveal that both domestic and global factors explain bond and equity flows to developing countries and represent significant long run determinants of portfolio flows the article also investigates the dynamics of portfolio flows by estimating seemingly unrelated error correction models global and country specific factors are equally important in determining the long run movements in equity flows for both asian and latin american countries while global factors are much more important than domestic factors in explaining the dynamics of bond flows u s interest rates are a particularly important determinant of the short run dynamics of portfolio especially bond flows to developing countries copyright 1997 by oxford university press

new evidence on the economic progress of foreign born men in the 1970s and 1980s this study examines the economic progress of foreign born men in the united states europeans entered the united states with relatively high wages and earned wages comparable to natives over their life course japanese korean and chinese men entered with lower wages but quickly caught up with u s born workers mexicans and central americans entered with low wages and the wage gap between themselves and u s born workers has not shrunk disparities in completed years of education and whether education was received in the united states can explain a large share of the differences in the level of wages for immigrants from some countries it is found that more highly educated men assimilate more quickly the rate of economic progress has not improved for more recent arrivals from any country but this is most problematic among mexicans and central americans because of their relatively low rates of wage growth excerpt

job search and immigrant assimilation an earnings frontier approach this study examines labor market assimilation by measuring the information utilized by immigrants during job search assimilation is assumed to occur whenever such information increases with length of residence in the united states and repeated job searches the authors assert that information utilized during job search reduces differentials between actual and potential maximum attainable earnings coauthors are henry w herzog jr richard a hofler and alan m schlottmann copyright 1992 by mit press

is the new immigration really so bad this article reviews the recent evidence on us immigration focusing on two key questions 1 does immigration reduce the labour market opportunities of less skilled natives 2 have immigrants who arrived after the 1965 immigration reform act been successfully assimilated overall evidence that immigrants have harmed the opportunities of less educated natives is scant on the question of assimilation the success of the us born children of immigrants is a key yardstick by this metric post 1965 immigrants are doing reasonably well even children of the least educated immigrant origin groups have closed most of the education gap with the children of natives

hysteresis and the earnings of immigrants in the united states labour market the paper analyses the role of hysteresis in explaining the slow wage convergence between certain immigrant groups and native workers using the 1990 integrated public use microdata samples ipums the analysis reveals that past earnings history in the country of origin has a relatively smaller effect on post migration earnings when compared to past earnings history in the us in addition the paper suggests that the earnings history in the country of origin is more productive in the us labour market for immigrants from advanced economies as compared to those from less developed countries in particular we find that us labour market does not value the past earnings history of mexican immigrants as high as that of other ethnic groups with similar socioeconomic characteristics across successive cohorts

the employment of low skilled immigrant men in the united states using microdata from the 2000 census we analyze how the employment rates of foreign born and us born men vary with education after a period of adjustment during the first few years upon arrival the overall employment rate of immigrant men quickly approaches that of us natives among those with the lowest education levels immigrants exhibit substantially higher rates of employment than comparable natives this pattern is consistent with a simple theoretical model of migrant selectivity that jointly considers a potential migrant s decisions regarding where to locate and whether to work

gender source country characteristics and labor market assimilation among immigrants abstract using 1980 2000 census data to study the impact of source country characteristics on married adult immigrants labor supply assimilation profiles we find that immigrant women from countries with high female labor supply persistently work more than those from low female supply countries while both groups of women work less than comparable natives on arrival women from high female participation countries eventually close the gap with natives entirely and women from low female labor supply countries eliminate most of it men s labor supply is unaffected by source country female participation suggesting that the findings on women reflect notions of gender roles

the surge in capital inflows to developing countries an analytical overview after being excluded from world capital markets during the debt crisis many developing countries have experienced large capital inflows during the past five years the challenges that these inflows pose for domestic policy in recipient countries have generated a substantial literature this article presents an overview of that literature describing the characteristics of the new inflows analyzing the policy issues they raise assessing their causes and likely sustainability and evaluating potential policy responses the desirable policy response is tied to characteristics of the flows themselves as well as to the characteristics of the recipient economy

on the wage growth of immigrants israel 1990 2000 this paper develops a descriptive methodology for the analysis of wage growth of immigrants that is based on human capital theory the sources of the wage growth are 1 the rise of the return to imported human capital 2 the impact of accumulated experience in the host country and 3 the mobility up the occupational ladder in the host country the model implies a nonlinear wage function that includes interactions between imported skills and local wage growth using data on native israelis and immigrants from the former soviet union of israel we estimate wage equations jointly for the two groups we find that upon arrival immigrants receive non return for imported skills in the ten years following arrival wages of highly skilled immigrants grow at 8 percent a year rising prices of skills occupational transitions accumulated experience in israel and an economy wide rise in wages account for 3 4 1 1 1 5 and 1 5 percent each in the long run the return for schooling converges to 0 027 substantially below the 0 069 return for natives we do not reject the hypothesis that the return for experience converges to that of natives and that immigrants receive a higher return for their unmeasured skills we find that there is some downgrading in the occupational distribution of immigrants relative to that of natives moreover the average wages of immigrants approach but do not converge to the wages of comparable natives the main reason for this is the low return to their imported skills jel j24 j31 j60