labor market institutions and inflation volatility in the euro area despite having had the same currency for many years emu countries still have quite different inflation dynamics in this paper we explore one possible reason country specific labor market institutions giving rise to different inflation volatilities when unemployment insurance schemes differ as they do in emu reservation wages react differently in each country to area wide shocks this implies that real marginal costs and inflation also react differently we report evidence for emu countries supporting the existence of a cross country link over the cycle between labor market structures on the one side and real wages and inflation on the other we then build a dsge model that replicates the data evidence the inflation volatility differentials produced by asymmetric labor markets generate welfare losses at the currency area level of approximately 0 3 of steady state consumption

quality competition with motivated providers and sluggish demand we study incentives for quality provision in markets where providers are motivated semi altruistic prices are regulated and firms are funded by a combination of block grants and unit prices competition is based on quality and demand adjusts sluggishly health or education are sectors in which the mentioned features are the rule we show that the presence of motivated providers makes dynamic competition tougher resulting in higher steady state levels of quality in the closed loop solution than in the benchmark open loop solution if the price is sufficiently high however this result is reversed if the price is sufficiently low and below unit costs sufficiently low prices also imply that a reduction in demand sluggishness will lead to lower steady state quality prices below unit costs will nevertheless be welfare optimal if the providers are sufficiently motivated

the role of market forces in assuring contractual performance the conditions under which transactors can use the market repeat purchase mechanism of contract enforcement are examined increased price is shown to be a means of assuring contractual performance a necessary and sufficient condition for performance is the existence of price sufficiently above salvageable production costs so that the nonperforming firm loses a discounted steam of rents on future sales which is greater than the wealth increase from nonperformance this will generally imply a market price greater than the perfectly competitive price and rationalize investments in firm specific assets advertising investments thereby become a positive indicator of likely performance

reap what you sow agricultural technology urbanization and structural change abstract this paper studies how productivity enhancing agricultural technology affects urbanization by provoking structural change we investigate these issues using a natural experiment in the united states the results show that technologies which improve crop productivity lead to a less urbanized economy as economic activity relocates from manufacturing and services towards agriculture the effects are highly persistent and are driven by the technology increasing agricultural labor demand our findings highlight the potentially unintended disruptive force of innovative technologies

agricultural productivity and structural transformation evidence from brazil we study the eects of the adoption of new agricultural technologies on structural transfor mation to guide empirical work we present a simple model where the eect of agricultural productivity on industrial development depends on the factor bias of technical change we test the predictions of the model by studying the introduction of genetically engineered soybean seeds in brazil which had heterogeneous eects on agricultural productivity across areas with dierent soil and weather characteristics we nd that technical change in soy production was strongly labor saving and lead to industrial growth as predicted by the model

tastes and technology in a two country model of the business cycle explaining international trade on international financial markets allows people to insure country specific risk and smooth consumption intertemporally equilibrium models of business cycles with trade on global financial markets typically yield international consumption correlations near one and excessive volatility of investment the authors incorporate nontraded goods in the model and find that the implications for aggregate consumption investment and the trade balance are consistent with business cycle properties of industrialized countries however the model driven by technology shocks alone yields counterfactual implications for comovements between consumption and prices at the sectoral level taste shocks produce price quantity relationships more consistent with the data copyright 1995 by american economic association

legitimizing research technology and innovation policies for transformative change combining insights from innovation systems and multi level perspective in a comprehensive failures framework abstract the recent policy debates about orientating research technology and innovation policy towards societal challenges rather than economic growth objectives only call for new lines of argumentation to systematically legitimize policy interventions while the multi level perspective on long term transitions has attracted quite some interest over the past years as a framework for dealing with long term processes of transformative change but the innovation systems approach is still the dominant perspective for devising innovation policy innovation systems approaches stress the importance of improving innovation capabilities of firms and the institutional settings to support them but they are less suited for dealing with the strategic challenges of transforming systems of innovation production and consumption and thus with long term challenges such as climate change or resource depletion it is therefore suggested to consider insights from transition studies more prominently in a policy framework that is based on the innovation systems approach and the associated notion of failures we propose a comprehensive framework that allows legitimizing and devising policies for transformative change that draws on a combination of market failures structural system failures and transformational system failures

international business cycles and financial frictions abstract in this study i build a two country dsge model to investigate the impact of financial integration on business cycle co movements with financial frictions in this model the investor can borrow but faces a collateral constraint that is tied to the value of her capital and real estate holdings i show quantitatively that the degree of financial integration and real exchange rate adjustment are important for understanding business cycle synchronization under different types of shocks with the technology shock greater financial integration leads to lower cross country correlations while with the financial shock greater financial integration leads to stronger cross country correlations these findings are consistent with the empirical evidence from the literature

patients trust and the quality of physicians patients are uncertain of physicians quality but learn about the quality of particular physicians through experience in treatment patients come to trust physicians who have served them well this paper explores the economic consequences of patients learning and trust within a model of the market for physicians services in a market equilibrium there are too many incompetent physicians in practice surprisingly even the more competent physicians have an interest in preventing patients from judging quality except through experience as we show all physicians including the most competent may oppose steps to inform patients of physicians quality

quality competition with profit constraints abstract firms in markets such as health care and education are often profit constrained due to regulation or their non profit status and they are often viewed as being altruistic towards consumers we use a spatial competition framework to study incentives for cost containment and quality provision by altruistic firms facing profit constraints if prices are regulated profit constraints lead to lower cost containment efforts but higher quality if and only if firms are sufficiently altruistic under price competition profit constraints reduce quality and cost containment efforts but lead to lower prices if and only if firms are sufficiently altruistic profit constrained firms cost containment efforts are below the first best while their quality might be too high or too low if prices are regulated profit constraints can improve welfare and be a complement or substitute to a higher regulated price depending on the degree of altruism

the effect of entry regulation in the health care sector the case of home health the consequences of government regulation in the post acute care sector are not well understood we examine the effect of entry regulation on quality of care in home health care by analyzing the universe of hospital discharges during 2006 for publicly insured beneficiaries about 4 5 million and subsequent home health admissions to determine whether there is a significant difference in home health utilization hospital readmission rates and health care expenditures in states with and without certificate of need laws con regulating entry we identify these effects by looking across regulated and nonregulated states within hospital referral regions which characterize well defined health care markets and frequently cross state boundaries we find that con states use home health less frequently but system wide rehospitalization rates overall medicare expenditures and home health practice patterns are similar removing con for home health would have negligible system wide effects on health care costs and quality

quality incentives in a regulated market with imperfect information and switching costs capitation in general practice we model a system akin to the british national health service nhs in which general practictioners gps are paid by capitation from general taxation gps are horizontally and vertically differentiated and compete for patients via their imperfect observed quality we show that for any given capitation fee quality is lower and the incentive effects of the fee on quality are smaller when there is imperfect information there are diminishing welfare gains from improving patient information but increasing welfare gains from reducing switching costs gps do not act efficiently to improve patient information via advertising or to reduce the costs of switching

does the number of countries in international business cycle models matter until the 1980s standard models with two large open economies i e the united states and europe provided plausible representations of the world economy however with the emergence of many developing countries since the 1990s this approach no longer seems reasonable in line with this change to the global economic environment cross country output correlations between the united states and other countries have risen this paper extends the standard two country model to many countries to show that doing so produces closer cross country correlations to the data in particular based on analytical investigation with a simple model and quantitative analysis with a more general model i show that the cross country output correlation rises and the cross country consumption correlation falls as the number of countries in the two models increases jel f40 f41 f44

measuring sovereign risk spillovers and assessing the role of transmission channels a spatial econometrics approach abstract we contribute to the literature on international risk spillovers by developing a unified framework based on spatial econometrics that enables us to address the following questions i what are the effective transmission channels real linkages and informational channels of international risk spillovers across countries and or regions ii what are the most dominant ones and iii which countries are most at risk for their environment and which are suffering the most from international exposure our analysis based on 41 advanced and emerging economies from 2008q1 to 2012q4 shows that among the considered channels for explaining international spillovers of sovereign bond spreads the informational channel is of utmost importance our results challenge previous findings from the literature in which the empirical strategy did not accommodate altogether important features of country spillovers such as the co existence of multiple transmission channels in the presence of contemporaneous and time lagged interactions ultimately our stress testing analysis reveals important insights on countries prone either to international spillovers international exposure or both at the regional and the worldwide level

on doctors mechanics and computer specialists the economics of credence goods most of us need the services of an expert when our apartment s heating or our washing machine breaks down or when our car starts to make strange noises and for most of us commissioning an expert to solve the problem causes concern this concern does not disappear even after repair and payment of the bill on the contrary one worries about paying for a service that was not provided or receiving some unnecessary treatment this article studies the economics underlying these worries under which conditions do experts have an incentive to exploit the informational problems associated with markets for diagnosis and treatment what types of fraud exist what are the methods and institutions for dealing with these informational problems under which conditions does the market provide incentives to deter fraudulent behavior and what happens if all or some of those conditions are violated

identification of physician induced demand whether market failure exists in the health care sector because physicians induce demand in their own self interest has not been clearly addressed because of identification problems a model is developed which includes the patient s financial burden as a limiting factor on demand inducement new data from a national survey are used to test the demand inducement hypothesis and identify physician initiated expenditures when individual health insurance and other factors are held constant additional corroboration of the physician induced demand hypothesis is found but the magnitude of the effect is very small and is statistically significant only for more discretionary expenditures

bertrand supertraps we study oligopoly price competition between multiproduct firms firms whose products interact in the profit function specifically we focus on the impact of intrafirm product interactions on the level of equilibrium profits this impact may be decomposed in two different ways a a direct effect keeping the competitors actions fixed plus a strategic effect i e through the competitors actions or alternatively b a competitive advantage effect change in firmi only plus an imitation effect change in all other firms we derive conditions such that a the strategic effect more than outweighs the direct effect and conditions such that b the imitation effect more than outweighs the competitive advantage effect bertrand supertraps for example an increase in the degree of economies of scope would increase profits if prices were fixed or if the change were limited to firmi s cost function however if all firms increase the degree of economies of scope then all firms receive lower profits a variety of other applications is considered including learning curves core competencies demand synergies systems competition compatibility bundling network effects switching costs durable goods long term contracts

financial integration and international business cycle co movement international business cycle transmission through integrated financial markets occurs through wealth and balance sheet effects balance sheet effects lead to business cycle convergence but wealth effects lead to divergence this paper shows empirically that debt market integration has a positive effect on co movement implying that balance sheet effects are the main conduit for international transmission through integrated debt markets equity market integration has a negative effect implying that wealth effects are the main channel for international transmission through integrated equity markets distinguishing between wealth and balance sheet effects resolves some key discrepancies between empirical and theoretical findings in international macroeconomics

the enduring impact of the american dust bowl short and long run adjustments to environmental catastrophe the 1930 s american dust bowl was an environmental catastrophe that greatly eroded sections of the plains analyzing new data collected to identify low medium and high erosion counties the dust bowl is estimated to have immediately substantially and persistently reduced agricultural land values and revenues during the depression and through at least the 1950 s there was limited reallocation of farmland from activities that became relatively less productive agricultural adjustments such as reallocating land from crops to livestock recovered only 14 to 28 of the initial agricultural cost the economy adjusted predominately through migration rather than through capital inows and increased industry

international business cycles with endogenous incomplete markets backus kehoe and kydland 1992 baxter and crucini 1995 and stockman and tesar 1995 find two major discrepancies between standard international business cycle models with complete markets and the data in the models cross country correlations are much higher for consumption than for output while in the data the opposite is true and cross country correlations of employment and investment are negative while in the data they are positive this paper introduces a friction into a standard model that helps resolve these anomalies the friction is that international loans are imperfectly enforceable any country can renege on its debts and suffer the consequences for future borrowing to solve for equilibrium in this economy with endogenous incomplete markets the methods of marcet and marimon 1999 are extended incorporating the friction helps resolve the anomalies more than does exogenously restricting the assets that can be traded

financial frictions and the choice of exchange rate regimes i introduction this article provides a quantitative assessment of the role of financial frictions for the choice of exchange rate regimes in a two country model the standard new open economy model neglects the role that financial frictions can play for the international transmission of shocks and for the optimal choice of exchange rate regimes however several historical episodes such as the global financial crises during the gold standard regime or the exchange rate crisis during the european monetary system ems have shown the dangers of a close association between financial instability and pegged exchange rates in general pegged exchange rates tend to reduce monetary policy flexibility and those constraints become even more stringent when the domestic economy faces credit frictions nowadays those issues have acquired policy relevance for the euro area as some accession countries entered a system of managed exchange rates with the euro zone known as the erm ii central bank agreement 1 the relinquishing of part of their monetary policy flexibility might be a concern as some of those countries are still characterized by unstable financial markets to analyze the above mentioned issues i use an artificial two country economy characterized by imperfect financial integration in the market for international securities and sticky prices in an imperfectly competitive framework the introduction of sticky prices is particularly helpful for comparing different monetary arrangements to this economy otherwise similar to those analyzed in some of the recent open economy macro literature 2 i add borrowing constraints on investment associated with balance sheet effects in both countries 3 doing so adds realism to the model and moves a step forward toward integrating the analysis of the domestic and the international transmission mechanisms i simulate the calibrated economy under monetary and productivity shocks and i compare three different exchange rate regimes that is hard pegs managed exchange rates and floating exchange rates to evaluate the relative performance of the different regimes i rely on the comparison of volatilities for the main macro variables and on a simple welfare metric i first consider shocks originated in the foreign country in the absence of financial frictions floating exchange rates deliver good stability properties under both productivity and monetary policy shocks this result confirms milton friedman s 1953 case for flexible exchange rate he argued that in presence of sticky prices floating exchange rates deliver better insulation properties from foreign shocks as they allow relative prices to adjust faster in presence of financial frictions such insulating property is strengthened further the intuition runs as follows under fixed or managed exchange rates an external shock with devaluation pressures forces the monetary authority to raise interest rates with a consequent increase in the cost of loans the presence of borrowing constraints on investment exacerbates the tightening effect to highlight the impact of borrowing constraints on investment i compare the dynamic properties of the economy with and without agency costs both the absolute value for the volatilities of the main macro variables output investment inflation consumption asset prices and return on capital and the difference in the same volatilities between the two regimes are higher when credit frictions are introduced into the model fixed and managed exchange rate regimes also appear to steepen the typical trade off between inflation and output volatility this effect is shown by illustrating the fact that the sacrifice ratio the output inflation volatility ratio raises when moving from floating to fixed exchange rate regimes and that such an increase is higher in presence of credit frictions i therefore test the robustness of the results by analyzing the model with financial frictions under domestic shocks and under symmetric and correlated shocks

financial openness financial frictions and optimal monetary policy increasing financial integration challenges the optimality of inward looking strategies for optimal monetary policy those issues are analyzed in an open economy where foreign net lending and the current account are determined by a collateral constraint durables represent collateral the current account features persistent imbalances but can deliver a long run stationary equilibrium the comparison between floating and managed exchange rate regimes shows that the impossible trinity is reversed higher financial integration increases the persistence and volatility of the current account and calls for exchange rate stabilization in this context the ramsey plan too prescribes stabilization of the exchange rate alongside with domestic inflation

debt priority structure market discipline and bank conduct we examine how debt priority structure affects bank funding costs and soundness leveraging an unexplored natural experiment that changes the priority of claims on banks assets we document asymmetric effects that are consistent with changes in monitoring intensity by various creditors depending on whether creditors move up or down the priority ladder the enactment of depositor preference laws which confer priority on depositors reduces deposit rates but increases non deposit rates importantly subordinating non depositor claims reduces bank risk taking consistent with market discipline this insight highlights a role for debt priority structure in the regulatory framework

innovation and firm growth does firm age play a role this paper explores the relationship between innovation and firm growth for firms of different ages we hypothesize that young firms undertake riskier innovation activities which may have greater performance benefits if successful or greater losses if unsuccessful using an extensive spanish community innovation survey sample for the period 2004 2012 we apply panel quantile regressions to study the effect of r d activities on firm growth i e sales growth productivity growth and employment growth our results show that young firms face larger performance benefits from r d at the upper quantiles of the growth rate distribution but face larger decline at the lower quantiles r d investment by young firms therefore appears to significantly riskier than r d investment by more mature firms which suggests some policy implications

wages rents and the quality of life this study focuses on the role of wages and rents in allocating workers to locations with various quantities of amenities the theory demonstrates that if the amenity is also productive then the sign of the wage gradient is unclear while the rent gradient is positive the theory is extended to include the housing market and nontraded goods these extensions require little modification of the conclusion the empirical work on wages shows that the regional wage differences can be explained largely by these local attributes with the use of site price data implicit prices are estimated and quality of life rankings for the cities are computed

financial globalization and real regionalization over the period 1972 1986 the correlations of gdp employment and investment between the united states and an aggregate of europe canada and japan were respectively 0 76 0 66 and 0 63 for the period 1986 to 2000 the same correlations were much lower 0 26 0 03 and 0 07 real regionalization at the same time u s international asset trade has significantly increased for example between 1972 and 1999 united states gross fdi and equity assets in the same group of countries rose from 4 to 23 percent of the u s capital stock financial globalization we argue that these two trends are intimately related we document that the correlation of real shocks between the u s and the rest of the world has declined we then present a model in which international financial market integration occurs endogenously in response to less correlated shocks financial integration further reduces the international correlations in gdp and factor supplies we find that both less correlated shocks and endogenous financial market development are needed to account for all the changes in the international business cycle

optimal dynamic volume based price regulation abstract we consider a model of optimal price regulation in markets where demand is sluggish and asymmetric providers compete on quality using a spatial model which is suitable to investigate the health care and education sector we analyse within a dynamic set up the scope for price premiums or penalties on volume under the assumption of symmetric cost information we show that the socially optimal time path of quality provision off the steady state can be replicated by a simple dynamic pricing rule where the dynamic part of the rule is ex ante non discriminatory in the sense that the price premium or penalty on volume is common across providers despite their differing production costs whether the price schedule involves a penalty or a premium on volume relates to two concerns regarding production costs and consumer benefits which go in opposite directions price adjustments over time occur only through the price penalty or premium not time directly which highlights the simplicity and thus applicability of this regulation scheme

hospital competition and quality with regulated prices we analyse the effect of competition on quality in hospital markets with regulated prices considering the effect of both introducing competition monopoly versus competition and increasing competition through either lower transportation costs increased substitutability or a higher number of hospitals with semi altruistic providers and a fairly general cost structure we show that the relationship between competition and quality is generally ambiguous in contrast to the received body of theoretical literature this is consistent with and potentially explains the mixed empirical evidence

evolving comparative advantage and the impact of climate change in agricultural markets evidence from 1 7 million fields around the world a large agronomic literature models the implications of climate change for a variety of crops and locations around the world the goal of the present paper is to quantify the macro level consequences of these micro level shocks using an extremely rich micro level data set that contains information about the productivity both before and after climate change of each of 10 crops for each of 1 7 million fields covering the surface of the earth we find that the impact of climate change on these agricultural markets would amount to a 0 26 percent reduction in global gdp when trade and production patterns are allowed to adjust since the value of output in our 10 crops is equal to 1 8 percent of world gdp this corresponds to about one sixth of total crop value

finance and international business cycles abstract business cycles are more correlated among countries that have similar financial structures we first document this empirical regularity using oecd data and then build a two country dsge model with financial frictions that replicates it alternative monetary policy regimes and parameter values are explored output co movements increase when the countries involved are linked by a credible exchange rate peg and when they open up to trade they decrease when their financial openness increases the model also accounts for a number of stylized facts of international business cycles such as the positive international correlation of output investment and employment

market segmentation and the diffusion of quality enhancing innovations the case of downhill skiing we report econometric results concerning the diffusion of detachable chairlifts in the united states that provide the first empirical evidence that the adoption of a technological innovation by a firm decreases the likelihood that a local competitor will also adopt it we model the effect that an innovation in service speed has on a f s incentive to differentiate the quality of its service from that of its competitors in our model the incentive to adopt is negatively related to the number of competitors who have already adopted our empirical results support this hypothesis

technological innovations and sectoral change transformative capacity adaptability patterns of change an analytical framework following up on recent debates about sectoral systems of innovation and production the paper introduces a heuristic framework for analyzing and explaining distinct patterns of technology based sectoral change the concept is based on two interrelated influencing factors the first is the sectoralspecific transformative capacity of new technologies themselves that is their substantial or incremental impact on socioeconomic and institutional change in a given sectoral system the second is the sectoral adaptability of socioeconomic structures institutions and actors confronted with the opportunities presented by new technologies the first factor the sectoral transformative capacity of new technologies enables us to identify the technology based pressure to change and adjust the structural institutional and organizational architectures of the sectoral system the second complementary factor sectoral adaptability helps us to discern the distinct social patterns of anticipating and adopting this technology based pressure the specific interplay between the two influencing factors creates distinguishable modes of sectoral transformation ranging from anticipative and smooth adjustments to reactive and crisis ridden patterns of change even processes of radical sectoral change continue over longer periods of mismatch and are characterized by numerous and mostly gradual organizational structural and institutional transformations

global implications of national unconventional policies abstract financial integration in the markets for banks assets and liabilities makes balance sheet constraints highly correlated across countries resulting in a high degree of financial and macroeconomic interdependence likewise under financial integration unconventional policies aimed at stabilizing domestic financial and credit conditions could entail large international spillovers therefore stabilization by one country will also benefit other countries reducing incentives to implement credit policies in a classic free riding problem especially when these policies entail domestic costs we show that this outcome can emerge in an open economy model featuring financial intermediaries that face endogenously determined balance sheet constraints

estimation of dsge models when the data are persistent dynamic stochastic general equilibrium dsge models are often solved and estimated under specific assumptions as to whether the exogenous variables are difference or trend stationary however even mild departures of the data generating process from these assumptions can severely bias the estimates of the model parameters this paper proposes new estimators that do not require researchers to take a stand on whether shocks have permanent or transitory effects these procedures have two key features first the same filter is applied to both the data and the model variables second the filtered variables are stationary when evaluated at the true parameter vector the estimators are approximately normally distributed not only when the shocks are mildly persistent but also when they have near or exact unit roots simulations show that these robust estimators perform well especially when the shocks are highly persistent yet stationary in such cases linear detrending and first differencing are shown to yield biased or imprecise estimates

the elixir or burden of youth exploring differences in innovation between start ups and established firms despite the widely acknowledged role of start ups in economic development little is known about their innovative activities compared with those of established firms drawing on a sample of 12 209 uk firms we differentiate between services and manufacturing firms and using a matching estimator approach demonstrate that start ups differ significantly from established firms in their innovation activities we find that in services being a start up increases the likelihood of product innovations however in manufacturing we find no significant differences in the likelihood of product innovation between start ups and established firms when examining the returns to innovation we find that start ups have a significant advantage both in services and in manufacturing we explore the implications of these results for theory and policy

dynamics and stagnation in the malthusian epoch this paper examines the central hypothesis of the influential malthusian theory according to which improvements in the technological environment during the pre industrial era had generated only temporary gains in income per capita eventually leading to a larger but not significantly richer population exploiting exogenous sources of cross country variations in land productivity and the level of technological advancement the analysis demonstrates that in accordance with the theory technological superiority and higher land productivity had significant positive effects on population density but insignificant effects on the standard of living during the time period 1 1500 ce

comparing shocks and frictions in us and euro area business cycles a bayesian dsge approach this paper estimates a dsge model with many types of shocks and frictions for both the us and the euro area economy over a common sample period 1974 2002 the structural estimation methodology allows us to investigate whether differences in business cycle behaviour are due to differences in the type of shocks that affect the two economies differences in the propagation mechanism of those shocks or differences in the way the central bank responds to those economic developments our main conclusion is that each of these characteristics is remarkably similar across both currency areas copyright 2005 john wiley sons ltd

agricultural productivity growth rural economic diversity and economic reforms india 1970 2000 a salient theme in d gale johnson s work is the importance of agricultural development for general prosperity and for economic diversification e g johnson 2000 johnson has also noted that most of the world s poor are engaged in farming so that a key focus of development policy is to raise the incomes of farmers from a global perspective increasing the productivity of agriculture given the fixity of land is necessary for both poverty reduction and the development of the nonagricultural sector at the level of the world agricultural productivity gains poverty reduction and the growth of the nonfarm sector are complements however the question remains whether these observations imply that every poor country should focus its public resources on agricultural development in order to raise the incomes of people now engaged in farming and whether such a policy is necessary for obtaining economic diversity in this article we use the experience of india over the past 30 years to address the issue of whether agricultural technical change actually leads to economic diversification and income growth within the rural sector in the context of an open economy country in which there are cross area trade and capital flows we focus in particular on the rural sector because this is the sector in which linkages between agricultural and nonagricultural sectors are thought to be the strongest we exploit the fact that india has maintained a policy of openness with respect to agricultural technology over this period permitting and actively supporting agricultural development and has moved to a reformed regime in which goods are traded and capital is more mobile in the 1990s evidence on the relationship between agricultural growth and nonfarm

international transmission of the business cycle in a multi sector model abstract standard multi country models do not replicate important features of the international transmission of business cycles predicting cross country correlations of output and consumption which are respectively too low and too high in this paper we modify the supply side of a two country model by adding multiple sectors and trade in intermediate goods the model generates a higher cross country correlation of output than standard one sector models it also predicts cross country correlations of employment and investment that are closer to the data we analyze the relative impact of multiple sectors trade in intermediate goods imperfect substitution between domestic and foreign goods home preference capital adjustment costs and capital depreciation in order to pinpoint the features which move the model s predictions closer to the data

who wants a good reputation we examine a market in which long lived firms face a short term incentive to exert low effort but could earn higher profits if it were possible to commit to high effort there are two types of firms inept firms who can only exert low effort and competent firms who have a choice between high and low effort there is occasional exit and competent and inept potential entrants compete for the right to inherit the departing firm s reputation consumers receive noisy signals of effort choice and so competent firms choose high effort in an attempt to distinguish themselves from inept firms a competent firm is most likely to enter the market by purchasing an average reputation in the hopes of building it into a good reputation than either a very low reputation or a very high reputation inept firms in contrast find it more profitable to either buy high reputations and deplete them or buy low reputations

the effect of internal migration on local labor markets american cities during the great depression the great depression offers a unique laboratory to investigate the causal impact of migration on local labor markets we use variation in the generosity of new deal programs and extreme weather events to instrument for migrant flows to and from u s cities in migration had little effect on the hourly earnings of existing residents instead in migration prompted some residents to move away and others to lose weeks of work or access to relief jobs for every 10 arrivals we estimate that 1 9 residents moved out 2 1 were prevented from finding a relief job and 1 9 shifted from full time to part time work

competition and equity in health care markets we provide a model where hospitals compete on quality under fixed prices to investigate how hospital competition affects i quality differences between hospitals and as a result ii health inequalities across hospitals and patient severities the answer to the first question is ambiguous and depends on factors related to both demand and supply of health care whether competition increases or reduces health inequalities depends on the type and measure of inequality health inequalities due to the postcode lottery are more likely to decrease if the marginal health gains from quality decrease at a higher rate whereas health inequalities between high and low severity patients decrease if patient composition effects are sufficiently small we also investigate the effect of competition on health inequalities as measured by the gini and the generalised gini coefficients and highlight differences compared to the simpler dispersion measures

two kinds of consumer switching costs in this article i introduce a distinction between two kinds of consumer switching costs transaction costs and learning costs while transaction costs are incurred by a consumer at every switch between suppliers learning costs are incurred only at a switch to a supplier that is new to him in a multiperiod duopoly model i examine the effects of changing the proportion of each kind of consumer switching costs while holding total switching costs constant i show that an increase in transaction costs relative to learning costs increases the price offered to loyal consumers this then has the further effect of decreasing the introductory price in the market it also leads to a decrease in welfare

international real business cycles we ask whether a two country real business cycle model can account simultaneously for domestic and international aspects of business cycles with this question in mind we document a number of discrepancies between theory and data the most striking discrepancy concerns the correlations of consumption and output across countries in the data outputs are generally more highly correlated across countries than consumptions in the model we see the opposite

demand for maize hybrids and hybrid change on smallholder farms in kenya kenya is a globally recognized maize success story as the overall percentage of maize farmers growing hybrids tops 80 and the seed industry matures the slow pace of hybrid replacement on farms and the continued dominance of the seed industry by kenya seed company may dampen productivity our econometric analysis identifies the factors that explain farmer demand for hybrid seed and the age of hybrids they grow considering hybrid seed ownership male headed households with more education more assets and more land plant more hybrid seed scale of seed demand per farm is differentiated by agroecology we find a strong farmer response to the seed to grain price ratio which we interpret as evidence of a commercial orientation even on household farms however despite the dramatic increase in the number of hybrids sold and the breadth of seed suppliers as seed markets liberalize an older hybrid still dominates national demand

computing productivity firm level evidence we explore the effect of computerization on productivity and output growth using data from 527 large us firms over 1987 1994 we find that computerization makes a contribution to measured productivity and output growth in the short term using one year differences that is consistent with normal returns to computer investments however the productivity and output contributions associated with computerization are up to five times greater over long periods using five to seven year differences the results suggest that the observed contribution of computerization is accompanied by relatively large and time consuming investments in complementary inputs such as organizational capital that may be omitted in conventional calculations of productivity the large long run contribution of computers and their associated complements that we uncover may partially explain the subsequent investment surge in computers in the late 1990s

competition and quality in health care markets a differential game approach we investigate the effect of competition on quality in health care markets with regulated prices taking a differential game approach in which quality is a stock variable using a hotelling framework we derive the open loop solution health care providers set the optimal investment plan at the initial period and the feedback closed loop solution providers move investments in response to the dynamics of the states under the closed loop solution competition is more intense in the sense that providers observe quality in each period and base their investment on this information if the marginal provision cost is constant the open loop and closed loop solutions coincide and the results are similar to the ones obtained by static models if the marginal provision cost is increasing investment and quality are lower in the closed loop solution when competition is more intense in this case static models tend to exaggerate the positive effect of competition on quality

quality incentives for gps in a regulated market abstract this paper analyses whether gps in a capitation system have incentives to provide quality even though health is a credence good a model is developed where the quality of the service varies due to inherent differences between the gps and rational patients make choices based on the outcome of treamtent we find that it is difficult to provide appropriate incentives since the search activity of patients offsets direct effects of a change in reimbursement variation in the inherent ability of the gps is good since it increases the search activity of the patients and the optimal reimbursement scheme is inversely proportional to the dispersion in types finally we find that offering a menu of contracts can potentially increase social welfare above the level of a simple capitation regime but it tends to lead to a higher variation in quality levels