state fiscal institutions and empty nest migration are tiebout voters hobbled abstract using the health and retirement study and a national panel of local fiscal data we test a lifecycle model of tiebout sorting on average cross state empty nest movers presumed to be out of fiscal equilibrium experience large fiscal gains in the form of reduced exposure to local school spending and property taxes while local empty nest movers experience no fiscal adjustment we find evidence that within state fiscal adjustment is constrained by state institutions that limit local discretion empty nest households moving within states with school finance equalization do not engage in tiebout consistent fiscal adjustment while those moving within states lacking school finance equalization adjust substantially

variations in trading volume return volatility and trading costs evidence on recent price formation models patterns in stock market trading volume trading costs and return volatility are examined using new york stock exchange data from 1988 intraday test results indicate that for actively traded firms trading volume adverse selection costs and return volatility are higher in the first half hour of the day this evidence is inconsistent with the admati and pfleiderer 1988 model which predicts that trading costs are low when volume and return volatility are high interday test results show that for actively traded firms trading volume is low and adverse selection costs are high on monday which is consistent with the predictions of the foster and viswanathan 1990 model academics investors and regulators alike are now intensively focused upon understanding the volatility of asset returns and its relation to trading volume this interest was undoubtedly piqued by the market break of october 1987 a time during which volatility and trading volume reached unprecedented levels but even beforehand researchers observed regular differences in the return process for various hours of the day and days of the week research concerning temporal patterns in stock market volatility and volume falls in two groups studies that document observed patterns and studies that develop models to predict patterns among the studies in the first group are oldfield and rogalski 1980 french and roll 1986 stoll and whaley 1990 harris 1986 and wood mcinish and ord 1985 who report evidence on seasonalities in daily and weekly return variances among the regularities that have been documented using interday data is that volatility is higher when the market is open than when it is closed oldfield and rogalski 1980 french and roll 1986 and stoll and whaley 1990 for example point out significant differences in return volatility between trading

state aid programs for equalizing spending across local school districts does the structure of the program matter or only it s size this paper provides interesting insights into an important causal mechanism underlying murray evans and schwab s am econ rev 88 4 789 812 1998 finding that court mandated reforms result in less inequality in spending per pupil levels across rich and poor school districts within a state treating the choice of an education program s structure as endogenous following the analysis of leyden public finance finances publiques 47 229 247 1992 public choice 115 1 2 83 107 2003 yields empirical results suggesting that court mandated reforms increase the likelihood that a program s structure will include a price effect and that the inclusion of a price effect in turn results in a decrease in spending inequality

distributional effects of a carbon tax in broader u s fiscal reform abstract this paper analyzes the distributional implications of an illustrative 15 carbon tax imposed in 2010 on carbon in fossil fuels we analyze its incidence across income classes and regions both in isolation and when combined with measures that apply the carbon tax revenue to lowering other distortionary taxes in the economy consistent with earlier findings we find that a carbon tax is regressive using tax swap simulations we then subtract the burden of other taxes the carbon tax revenue could displace and compute the net effect on households under three assumptions about how capital and labor income might be distributed

human capital accumulation in a federation abstract more than half of the variation across u s school districts in real k 12 education expenditures per student is due to differences between rather than within states i study the welfare implications of redistribution of education expenditures by the federal government using an analytically tractable model of human capital accumulation with heterogeneous agents and endogenous state policies the net welfare effect of federal redistribution depends on a trade off between the positive effect of redistributing resources toward poorer states and the negative effect resulting from misallocation of population across states federal redistribution increases welfare in a calibrated version of the model

data watch research data in the economics of education economists have developed a wide variety of policy relevant empirical research projects that address the role of education in promoting individual and social welfare recent examples include studies on the impact of school spending on educational outputs the differences between public and private schools the effects of competition among schools the determinants of teacher quality the impact of unions on schools and the consequences of education finance reform one reason for the proliferation of such empirical studies has been the emergence of high quality micro level data on education in this paper we discuss three broad types of data sets data on educational institutions data on educational outcomes at the individual level and data sets from school reforms and experiments in each section we summarize some of the leading surveys discuss the general availability of the data and identify some but certainly not all of the research that has utilized these data this review is by no means exhaustive we have restricted our attention to analyses of data sets describing primary and secondary education moreover we emphasize data sets that are excellent sources of information but are less wellknown and utilized by economists in particular two obvious omissions from this review are the national longitudinal survey of youth nlsy and the panel study of income dynamics psid both are broad based studies that track people over periods of time gathering information both on educational attainment and on many other issues as well

day of the week effects and asset returns the number of empirical studies using daily stock returns is rapidly increasing researchers generally assume that the distribution of stock returns is identical for all days of the week a convenient statistical assumption but not a necessary condition of market equilibrium nevertheless there are reasons to suspect that the distribution of returns may vary according to the day of the week the most obvious is the impact of weekends on monday s return since monday s return is calculated over three instead of one calender day the mean and variance may well be higher on monday compared with any other daily return perhaps three times as large previous research has examined the daily distribution of stock returns for a monday effect while fama 1965 does not compare daily mean returns he does report that monday s variance is about 20o greater than other daily returns with a traditional distributional assumption regarding the returns on a financial asset specifies that the expected returns are identical for all days of the week contrary to this plausible assumption this paper discovers that the expected returns on common stocks and treasury bills are not constant across days of the week the most notable evidence is for monday s returns where the mean is unusually low or even negative several explanations of the results are investigated but none proves satisfactory aside from documenting significant day of the week effects the implications of the results for tests of market efficiency are examined while market adjusted returns continue to exhibit day of the week effects these effects are no longer concentrated on monday during the last year we have had many conversations with our colleagues throughout the professions we are particularly thankful to the participants at sessions of the western and american finance associations where preliminary versions of this paper were presented special thanks are due to gene fama gailen hite jon ingersoll robert jarrow merton miller clifford smith and rex thompson the expert research assistance of frank rabinovitch and youngsup yun is gratefully acknowledged 1 the list of papers using daily stock returns is too long to name recent examples include charest 1978 dodd 1980 banz 1981 and reinganum 1981

inefficiencies from metropolitan political and fiscal decentralization failures of tiebout competition we examine the welfare effects of provision of local public goods in an empirically relevant setting using a multi community model with mobile and heterogeneous households and with flexible housing supplies we characterize the first best allocation and show efficiency can be implemented with decentralization using head taxes we calibrate the model and compare welfare in property tax equilibria both decentralized and centralized to the efficient allocation inefficiencies with decentralization and property taxation are large dissipating most if not all the potential welfare gains that efficient decentralization could achieve in property tax equilibrium centralization is frequently more efficient an externality in community choice underlies the failure to achieve efficiency with decentralization and property taxes poorer households crowd richer communities and free ride by consuming relatively little housing thereby avoiding taxes copyright oxford university press

distributional effects of taxing transport fuel this paper1 takes as its starting point the observation that fuel prices and thus taxes are important for good management of climate change and other environmental problems to economists this should be no surprise yet it seems that the role of fuel taxation as an instrument of climate policy has not been fully appreciated it is however one of the few policy instruments that since several decades has actually reduced fuel consumption appreciably thanks to taxation mainly in europe and japan carbon emissions are considerably lower than they would have been otherwise in future where carbon emissions are to be cut drastically this instrument will be crucial there is however much opposition to the instrument this opposition uses various arguments for instance that fuel taxes hurt the poor since they are strongly regressive we however find that the choice of country and methodology turns out to be of great consequence we study seven european countries france germany united kingdom italy serbia spain and sweden and do find some evidence of regressivity but the evidence is very weak it does not apply when lifetime income is used and it does not apply to the poorest country in the group the best one line summary is probably that the tax is approximately proportional

returns to individual traders of futures aggregate results by means of a data set previously unavailable for academic research actual trading histories of individual futures traders are examined with this more detailed data the author is able to 1 test the risk return hypothesis directly 2 include a much larger segment of the market than before and 3 use actual instead of hypothetical t rading strategies it is shown that the commercial hedging traders are most profitable while noncommercial speculative traders earn n egative or zero profits because speculators are not receiving reward s for the risks they willingly absorb the theory of normal backwarda tion and its extension can be rejected copyright 1987 by university of chicago press

economic growth and climate the carbon dioxide problem in contemplating the future course of economic growth in the west scientists are divided between one group crying wolf and another which denies that species existence one persistent concern has been that man s economic activities would reach a scale where the global climate would be significantly affected unlike many of the wolf cries this one in my opinion should be taken very seriously the present article will first give a brief overview of the climatic implications of economic activity with special reference to carbon dioxide and then will present possible strategies for control a more complete report with references to the literature on climatic change is contained in nordhaus 1976 it is thought that the economic activities which most affect climate are agriculture and energy of these the latter is probably more significant is certainly more easily analyzed and will be discussed here in the energy sector emissions of carbon dioxide particulate matter and heat are of significance for the global climate

lotteries litigation and education finance 1 introductionhistorically the finance of public education in the united states has been largely based on revenue raised locally through property taxation however this system has been routinely criticized on the grounds that the resulting distribution of educational opportunity is inequitable and that it may lead us to forgo socially productive investments in education over the past several decades these concerns have motivated extensive litigation in almost every state challenging the constitutionality of property based education finance to date the supreme courts in 17 of these states have encouraged increased state aid to school districts by concluding that their current systems of education finance were indeed unconstitutional however over this same period 37 states have also turned to new state lotteries as a way to increase state funding for services like education there are two shared reasons that these disparate approaches to directing new resources to education might prove to be ineffective first it is by no means clear that these reforms would actually increase state or local educational spending state legislatures may respond slowly if at all to a court ruling that encourages increased aid furthermore states that earmark new lottery revenues for education may simply choose to then reduce their education appropriations from other sources and even if these reforms do increase state aid the effect on educational spending may be undone by reductions in education revenues raised from local and federal sources 1 second even if new state aid were to increase local education spending it is not clear that these new resources would be allocated in ways that actually improved school quality the extensive though controversial literature on educational productivity suggests that new resources would not be used effectively e g burtless 1996 this study provides novel empirical evidence on these policy relevant concerns by examining the consequences of two of the most recent and noteworthy education finance reforms in 1993 tennessee began court ordered education finance reforms while the neighboring stale of georgia simultaneously initiated a lottery explicitly designed to promote educational spending these policy experiments are partly of interest simply because of their narrow consequences for the patterns of educational finance and spending within these states however they are also likely to be of more general interest because they provide evidence on a question of importance to policymakers and voters everywhere specifically the consequences of these reforms provide evidence on how plausibly exogenous increases in available educational resources are actually spent though there is an extensive literature on educational productivity there is surprisingly little evidence on how school districts allocate resources 2 furthermore these evaluations may also prove of more general interest because each of these states adopted rather unique and interesting strategies to earmark new state aid for specific educational expenditures in tennessee the court ordered education finance reforms were accompanied by broader educational reforms designed to ensure the efficacy of the new state aid these measures included accountability measures for schools and school districts based on controversial value added measures of student test performance the phasing in of mandatory class size regulations and a high profile initiative to promote technological investments in classrooms georgia also attempted to earmark new lottery revenues for specific educational spending by promising new and highly visible educational initiatives i e helping outstanding pupils educationally hope scholarships prekindergarten prek programs and technological investments for classrooms the absolute and comparative success of these earmarking attempts can provide evidence to other communities that hope to promote spending on specific educational functions

the rise of the states u s fiscal decentralization in the postwar period article i nfo article history one of the most dramatic changes in the fiscal federalism landscape during the postwar period has been the rapid growth in state budgets which almost tripled as a share of gdp and doubled as a share of government spending between 1952 and 2006 we argue that the greater role of states cannot be easily explained by changes in tiebout forces of fiscal competition such as mobility and voting patterns and are not accounted for by demographic or income trends rather we demonstrate that much of the growth in state budgets has been driven by changes in intergovernmental interactions restricted federal grants to states have increased and federal policy and legal constraints have also mandated or heavily incentivized state own source spending particularly in the areas of education health and public welfare these outside pressures moderate the forces of fiscal competition and must be taken into account when assessing the implications of observed revenue and spending patterns

education equity and intergenerational mobility quasi experimental evidence from court ordered school finance reforms starting from early seventies court ordered school finance reforms sfrs have fundamentally changed the landscape of primary and elementary education finance in the us this paper employs sfrs as quasi experiments to quantify the effects of education equity on intergenerational mobility within commuting zones first i use reduced form difference in difference analysis to show that 10 years of exposure to sfrs increases the average college attendance rate by about 5 2 for children with the lowest parent income the effect of exposure to sfrs decreases with parent income and increases with the duration of exposure second to directly model the causal pathways i construct a measure for education inequity based on the association between school district education expenditure and median family income using exposure to sfrs as the instrumental variable 2sls analysis suggests that one standard deviation reduction in education inequality will cause the average college attendance rate to increase by 2 2 for children at the lower end of the parent income spectrum placing the magnitudes of these effects in context i conclude that policies aimed at increasing education equity such as sfrs can substantially benefit poor children but they alone are not enough to overcome the high degree of existing inequalities key words public education finance intergenerational mobility school finance reforms quasi experiments

estimating permanent and transitory income elasticities of education spending from panel data abstract we use a twenty one year panel of data to examine the role of past income and aid and expectations of future income in regressions explaining state and local education spending we show that simple estimates of the elasticity of spending with respect to financial resources are not robust to specification changes because the variables are non stationary over time causing inconsistent estimation of model parameters estimation in first differences or equivalently in growth rates solves the time series problems and produces robust estimates of the model s parameters we then show that current spending by states responds to changes in expected future income this explains why using fixed effects in simpler models reduces estimated income elasticities fixed effects partially capture permanent income effects on spending estimates of lagged income are significant when used in models that do not explicitly model the expectations process but present and past aid both have no effect on education spending models with structural assumptions about expected income produce estimates very similar to simpler models which include lagged information on income as a control variable we conclude with recommendations for estimating models when only cross section data or only short panels are available

is the gasoline tax regressive in the twenty first century taking wealth into account abstract poterba 1991a has much influenced the literature on the distributional effects of carbon pricing poterba argues that the incidence of energy environmental taxes across households is better appreciated if the relative tax burdens are measured against total expenditure interpreted as a proxy for lifetime income instead of annual income this way however since the distribution of total expenditure is structurally more uniform the incidence of energy price increases is always less regressive than when annual income is used this outcome is often taken to lessen the relevance of equity concerns regarding carbon pricing almost twenty five years after poterba 1991a piketty 2014 revived the idea that wealth is a dimension of economic welfare constituting an increasingly important source of inequality we show that omitting wealth in measuring ability to pay means underestimating the regressivity of carbon pricing and its inequity towards younger people using household level data and statistical matching we revisit poterba s application and compare the distributional incidence of the us gasoline tax for different measures of ability to pay total expenditure income and wealth adjusted income regressivity is not a reason to forgo carbon pricing as a cost effective approach to climate mitigation but calls for consideration and compensation of the distributional effects

competition between private and public schools testing stratification and pricing predictions abstract when there are peer effects in education private schools have an incentive to vary tuition to attract relatively able students epple and romano american economic review 88 1 1998 33 develop a general equilibrium model characterizing equilibrium pricing and student selection into schools when peer effects are present the model predicts that competition will lead private schools to give tuition discounts to more able students and that this will give rise to an equilibrium exhibiting stratification by income and ability between the public and private sectors and to a hierarchy of schools within the private sector the model also yields a variety of comparative static predictions the predictions of the model are tested in this paper using a unique data set assembled by figlio and stone research in labor economics 1999 115 tests of equilibrium predictions of the model reveal that the propensity to attend private school increases with both income and ability and among private schools the propensity to attend the highest tuition schools rises with both income and ability within private schools tuition declines with student ability with a substantial number of even high income households paying little or no tuition the correlation between income and ability is greater in public than private schools tests of comparative static predictions of the model reveal that both income and ability become stronger predictors of private school attendance as public school expenditure falls income becomes increasingly important in determining placement in the private school hierarchy as public school expenditure falls discounts to ability in the lowest quality private school decline as public school expenditure rises while discounts to ability in the highest quality private school are little affected by changes in public school expenditure expenditure in private schools rises as expenditure in public schools increases these empirical results are consistent with the predictions of the theoretical model

immigration and spending on public education california 1970 2000 abstract the evolution of education spending in california has received plenty of attention from both academics and practitioners after this state s education finance reform in the 1970 s this paper quantifies the contribution of immigration to the relative decline in elementary and secondary public education spending per student in california in the period 1970 2000 a quantitative model of school choice and voting over public education is used to perform the counterfactual experiments of interest the model predicts that education spending per student in california would have been 24 higher in the year 2000 if u s immigration had been restricted to its 1970 level

the implications for households of environmental tax reform etr in europe abstract the paper discusses the distributional implications of environmental tax reform etr for households and presents new results from modelling the impacts of a major etr for the european union the distributional effects arise from the new environmental taxes any tax reductions made as part of the etr the wider macroeconomic impacts from the etr any special provisions in the etr and the environmental benefits from the etr the paper s literature review makes clear that while the impacts from taxes on the household use of energy are very often regressive transport taxes tend not to be although the impacts differ between urban and rural households moreover the net distributional impact is often less regressive or not at all once the wider distributional effects are taken into account residual regressive effects can in principle be removed by further adjustments in the tax or benefits system the modelling results suggest that an etr in europe will actually increase real incomes across the eu as a whole and will not be generally regressive although the results differ by country and for different socio economic groups the political acceptability of etr may depend on the worst effects on these groups being mitigated in some way

the effects of school spending on educational and economic outcomes evidence from school finance reforms since the coleman report many have questioned whether public school spending affects student outcomes the school finance reforms that began in the early 1970s and accelerated in the 1980s caused dramatic changes to the structure of k 12 education spending in the united states to study the effect of these school finance reform induced changes in public school spending on long run adult outcomes we link school spending and school finance reform data to detailed nationally representative data on children born between 1955 and 1985 and followed through 2011 we use the timing of the passage of court mandated reforms and their associated type of funding formula change as exogenous shifters of school spending and we compare the adult outcomes of cohorts that were differentially exposed to school finance reforms depending on place and year of birth event study and instrumental variable models reveal that a 10 increase in per pupil spending each year for all 12 years of public school leads to 0 31 more completed years of education about 7 higher wages and a 3 2 percentage point reduction in the annual incidence of adult poverty effects are much more pronounced for children from low income families exogenous spending increases were associated with notable improvements in measured school inputs including reductions in student to teacher ratios increases in teacher salaries and longer school years jel codes j10 i20 h7

effect of constraints on tiebout competition evidence from a school finance reform abstracteffect of constraints on tiebout competition evidence from a school finance reform regional studies michigan s school finance reform significantly increased state aid to low spending districts and placed restraints on the growth of spending in high spending districts it is noteworthy that there is no literature yet on the impact of such reforms on resource allocation by school districts this study begins to fill this gap it finds that the reform led the high spending districts to allocate a lower share of their total expenditure to support services and a higher share to instruction relative to the low spending districts to the extent that instructional expenditures are more productive and contribute to student achievement more than support services expenditures these results suggest that the reform led to a relative increase in productivity in the high spending districts

a theory of distributional conflict voluntarism and segregation along with the rise in income inequality in the us there is evidence of a simultaneous move towards fiscal devolution and increased government reliance on private provision of public goods this article argues that these phenomena are related we describe a model of jurisdiction and policy formation in which the structure of government provision is endogenous and public good provision levels are determined by a political process that can exploit private motives for voluntary giving the model predicts that an increase in income inequality leads to decentralisation with local jurisdictions becoming more income homogeneous than the population as a whole this reduction in local income heterogeneity combined with a reduced tax base results in increased reliance by government on private provision

education finance reform and the distribution of education resources between 1971 and 1996 opponents of local funding for public schools successfully challenged the constitutionality of school finance systems in sixteen states using the variation across states in the timing of these cases the authors investigate the impact of reform on the distribution of school resources their results suggest that court ordered finance reform reduced within state inequality in spending by 19 to 34 percent successful litigation reduced inequality by raising spending in the poorest districts while leaving spending in the richest districts unchanged thereby increasing aggregate spending on education reform led states to fund additional spending through higher state taxes copyright 1998 by american economic association

black white achievement differences and governmental interventions the estimates in the study considered whether any of the governmental or family factors individually could explain the magnitude and pattern of black white achievement gaps neither the level nor the distribution of school spending appears to provide much explanation for the gaps school spending levels show little consistent impact with any indication of differential impact on blacks being small direct analyses of the effects of spending equalization on performance similarly show little impact on the other hand governmental intervention through integration programs appears potentially more important

on the political economy of zoning abstract households choose a community in a metropolitan area and collectively set a minimum housing quality and a property tax to finance a local public good the collective imposition of a lower bound on housing consumption induces an income stratified equilibrium in a specification where meaningful community differentiation would not arise without zoning we show computationally that zoning restrictions are likely to be stringent with a majority facing a binding constraint in communities that permit it by inducing a stratified equilibrium zoning causes tiebout welfare gains in aggregate but with large welfare transfers relative to stratified equilibrium without zoning the zoning equilibrium is significantly more efficient as it reduces housing market distortions

energy and climate hand in hand financing res e support with carbon revenues abstract in italy the cost of support for renewable electricity res e is largely recovered through the a3 surcharge which weighs heavily on electricity bills using household survey data we show the a3 surcharge is markedly regressive carbon taxation in the non ets sector is envisaged as a means to reduce co2 emissions cost effectively and generate revenue to lower the a3 surcharge a non ets carbon tax would be less regressive than the a3 surcharge and its cost would be more evenly distributed across households we calculate the revenue of a 20 tco2 non ets carbon tax would have allowed a cut in the a3 surcharge of about 68 in 2011 and 39 in 2012 the impact of the carbon tax plus the reduced a3 surcharge would have been less regressive but the cost higher for most households the restrictions imposed in the simulations mean the results are only appropriate to render first round effects of the reform policy relevance in the vast majority of the eu member states the cost of res e support is largely paid by electricity consumers most often through specific surcharges rising electricity prices are a common concern given the implications for competitiveness and equity the member states facing this issue could conveniently address it through environmental tax reforms consistent with the climate and energy package replacing res e surcharges with carbon taxes in the non ets sector would permit cost effective reduction of co2 emissions while allocating the cost of res e support more equitably the difference in regressivity would stem from the different consumption patterns of home fuels including electricity and motor fuels across income distribution a cross country comparison of energy household budget shares proves the structural nature of this difference between home fuels and motor fuels moreover the notion that electricity consumers should pay for res e support is questioned on the grounds that electricity is a basic necessity good and res e support is a means of providing public goods notably energy security and climate protection

education spending in an aging america abstract in this paper we use a national panel of public school districts to study the impact of an aging population on public education spending in contrast to previous analyses that use state level data we find that the elderly have only a modest overall negative effect on education spending at the district level our results confirm however that a growing share of elderly at the state level tends to depress state spending on education these results are consistent with the hypothesis that the elderly believe only higher local spending is capitalized into house values

economic inequality and the value of nature abstract understanding what influences the value of nature is crucial for informing environmental policy from a sustainability perspective economic valuation should not only seek to determine a society s willingness to pay for environmental goods to devise an efficient allocation of scarce resources but should also account for distributional effects to ensure justice yet how economic inequality affects the value of non market environmental goods remains understudied combining recently developed theoretical results with empirical evidence this commentary shows that more equal societies have a higher valuation for environmental public goods and that non market benefits of environmental policy accrue over proportionally to poorer households on this ground we discuss implications for environmental valuation management and policy making and identify a number of fruitful areas for future research we conclude that environmental valuation should explicitly account for economic inequality and that encompassing assessments of the distributional effects of environmental policies must consider the distribution of non market environmental benefits

the economics of schooling production and efficiency in public schools n recent years public and professional interest in schools has been heightened by a spate of reports many of them critical of current school policy these policy documents have added to persistent and long standing concerns about the cost effectiveness and fairness of the current school structure and have made schooling once again a serious public issue as in the past however any renewed interest in education is likely to be short lived doomed to dissipate as frustration over the inability of policy to improve school practice sets in this frustration about school policy relates directly to knowledge about the educational production process and in turn to underlying research on schools although the educational process has been extensively researched clear policy prescriptions flowing from this research have been difficult to derive 2 there exists however a consistency to the research findings that does have an immediate application to school policy schools differ dramatically in quality

day of the week and intraday effects in stock returns abstract this study examines day of the week effects using hourly values of the dow jones industrial average we find that over the 1963 1983 period the weekend effect has sifted from characterizing active trading on monday to characterizing the non trading weekend over the early part of our sample period negative returns characterize each hour of trading on monday while the return from friday close to monday open is positive in the most recent subperiod monday average hourly returns after noon are all positive and the weekend effect is due to negative average returns from friday close to monday open

does parents money matter abstract this paper asks whether parents income per se has a positive impact on children s abilities previous research has established that income is positively correlated across generations this does not prove that parents money matters however since income is presumably correlated with ability this paper estimates the impact of parents income by focusing on income variation due to factors union industry and job loss that arguably represent luck i find that changes in parents income due to luck have a negligible impact on children s human capital for most families although parents money does matter for families whose father has low education

how did the increase in economic inequality between 1970 and 1990 affect children s educational attainment 1 this study estimates the effect of changes in economic inequality between 1970 and 1990 on children s educational attainment data on individual children from the panel study of income dynamics is combined with other data on state characteristics growing up in a state with widespread economic inequality increases educational attainment for high income children and lowers it for low income children most of the effect is due to factors unassociated with family income or economic segregation in the state these other factors include state spending for schooling and the increase in the returns to schooling over this period

interday variations in volume variance and participation of large speculators abstract we use data uniquely available from the commodity futures trading commission cftc to document the intraweek trading patterns of large speculators in five futures markets these markets include futures traded against the standard and poor s 500 stock index treasury bonds gold corn and soybeans we also examine the influence of large speculator trades on the patterns of volume and volatility for the contracts in our sample though we detect the familiar u shaped and inverted u shaped patterns across weekdays for volatility and aggregate volume the association between volume and volatility becomes stronger when we separate large speculator volume from volume associated with other traders the coefficient on large speculator volume is much larger than the coefficient on other volume in these regressions compared with total volume large speculator volume is greater on mondays than on the other days of the week in all five markets

distributional impacts of carbon pricing a general equilibrium approach with micro data for households article i nfo many policies to limit greenhouse gas emissions have at their core efforts to put a price on carbon emissions carbon pricing impacts households both by raising the cost of carbon intensive products and by changing factor prices a complete analysis requires taking both effects into account the impact of carbon pricing is determined by heterogeneity in household spending patterns across income groups as well as heterogeneity in factor income patterns across income groups it is also affected by precise formulation of the policy how is the revenue from carbon pricing distributed as well as the treatment of other government policies e g the treatment of transfer payments what is often neglected in analyses of policy is the heterogeneity of impacts across households even within income or regional groups in this paper we incorporate 15 588 households from the u s consumer and expenditure survey data as individual agents in a comparative static general equilibrium framework these households are represented within the mit usrep model a detailed general equilibrium model of the u s economy in particular we categorize households by full household income factor income as well as transfer income and apply various measures of lifetime income to distinguish households that are temporarily low income e g retired households drawing down their financial assets from permanently low income households we also provide detailed within group distributional measures of burden impacts from various policy scenarios

true world income distribution 1988 and 1993 first calculation based on household surveys alone the paper derives world income or expenditure distribution of individuals for two years 1988 and 1993 it is the first paper to calculate world distribution for individuals based entirely on household survey data from 91 countries and adjusted for differences in purchasing power parity between the countries measured by the gini index inequality increased from an already very high 63 in 1988 to 66 in 1993 the increase was driven more by rising differences in mean incomes between the countries than by rising inequalities within countries the most important contributors were rising urban rural differences in china and slow growth of rural incomes in south asia compared to several large developed market economies

does school quality matter returns to education and the characteristics of public schools in the united states this paper estimates the effects of school quality measured by the pupil teacher ratio average term length and relative teacher pay on the rate of return to education for men born between 1920 and 1949 using earnings data from the 1980 census we find that men who were educated in states with higher quality schools have a higher return to additional years of schooling rates of return are also higher for individuals from states with better educated teachers and with a higher fraction of female teachers holding constant school quality measures however we find no evidence that parental income or education affects average state level rates of return

the dependence between hourly prices and trading volume this study provides evidence on joint characteristics of hourly common stock trading vol ume and returns on the new york stock exchange average volume traded shows signifi cant differences across trading hours of the day and across days of the week average returns differ across hours ofthe day and to some extent across days ofthe week there is a strong contemporaneous relation between trading volume and returns and also a rela tion between trading volume and returns lagged up to four hours furthermore the trading volume returns relation is steeper for positive returns than for nonpositive returns

unintended consequence of centralized public school funding in michigan education 1 introductionin an effort to create greater equity among school districts a number of states have shifted the responsibility for school funding from local school districts to the state although many researchers have found that centralizing funding for public schools has been successful in creating greater equity murray evans and schwab 1998 moser and rubenstein 2002 other researchers have pointed out that centralizing funding can lead to unintended consequences for example fischel 1989 1992 suggests that families in wealthier districts which have a stronger demand for education are no longer able to match their preference for education under a system of equalized funding in some cases this may drive parents to seek private school alternatives downes and schoeman 1998 1 in other cases families meet their preferences by making private contributions to public schools sonstelie and brunner 1997 furthermore theobald and picus 1991 argue that centralizing funding forces education as a state service to compete with other state services for funds and as a result the growth rate of spending per pupil decreases over time 2 these articles illustrate that policies designed to centralize control of public school funding can produce unintended consequences in this article we introduce into the literature an additional consequence caused by centralizing control of school funding we argue that centralized control of public school funding with the objective to equalize operating expenditures i e salaries supplies and other ongoing expenses across school districts while leaving capital acquisitions i e purchases of school buildings and other facilities under local control results in resource rich school districts becoming more reliant on debt financing 3 we find empirical support for this theory using data in the state of michigan during its transition to a centralized school financing system in 1994 in the next section we present an overview of michigan s move to a centralized funding policy in the third section we present the regression model used to test the theory followed by the description of the data and the estimated results the final section of the study summarizes our findings 2 overview of michigan s educational systemin 1993 a legislative anomaly lead to an abrupt change in the method of financing public education in michigan prior to 1993 michigan had one of the most locally controlled school systems in the united states over 65 of school operating expenditures came from local revenues whereas the remaining 35 were derived from state and federal sources courant gramlich and loeb 1995 property owners argued that local reliance on property taxes created an excessive burden and voiced their complaints to state representatives attempts to lower these taxes were defeated annually until debbie stabenow a democrat senator and candidate for governor frustrated with the tax debate proposed an absurdity to eliminate all property taxes without suggesting an alternative funding mechanism courant and loeb 1997 astonishingly the legislature passed her bill leaving the public school system with no means of funding seizing an opportunity to create greater equity among school districts michigan officials quickly devised a centralized system of financing public school operations known as proposal a that reduces districts reliance on local property taxes by increasing the state s sales tax integrated into proposal a is a distribution formula that reduces the disparity in operating expenditures across high and low spending school districts in part by constraining the allocation of operating funds for high spending districts however proposal a does not affect local control of funding for capital projects watkins 2002 michigan s state operating budget typically provides less than 5 of the total revenue needed to service school debt and no revenue for capital expenditures

the individual investor and the weekend effect it is well known that stock returns on average are negative on mondays yet it is less well known that this finding is substantially the consequence of returns in prior trading sessions when friday s return is negative monday s return is negative nearly 80 percent of the time with a mean return of 0 61 percent when friday s return is positive the subsequent monday s mean return is positive 0 11 percent this relationship is stronger than for any other pair of trading days and is most acute in small and medium size companies the trading behavior of individual investors appears to be at least one factor contributing to this pattern individual investors are more active sellers of stock on mondays particularly following bad news in the market

the legacy of serrano the impact of mandated equal spending on private school enrollment 1 introduction the california supreme court decision in serrano v priest in 1971 was the first state supreme court ruling to declare a state s education finance system unconstitutional 1 the suit originally filed by a class of los angeles county public school children and their parents argued that the california public school finance system was unconstitutional because of its reliance on a local property tax system under this system large differences in property wealth created enormous variations in educational resources across the state in its subsequent 1976 serrano h decision the california supreme court found that the state legislature s response to the first serrano decision was insufficient the court ordered the state legislature to follow a trial court s requirement to implement a funding formula that reduces wealth related per pupil expenditure disparities i e property tax revenue exclusive of categorical aid and special needs to 100 across school districts the serrano ii decision resulted in a nearly complete shift of the fiscal responsibility for k 12 education in california from local to state government in the aftermath of the initial serrano decision suits were filed in several other states claiming unconstitutional inequities in the state education system many of these suits were successful between 1973 and 1983 six state supreme courts new jersey 1973 connecticut 1977 washington 1978 west virginia 1979 wyoming 1980 arkansas 1983 found their systems of educational finance unconstitutional similar rulings followed in 1989 in kentucky montana and texas in 1993 in massachusetts and tennessee in 1994 in arizona and in 1997 in new hampshire ohio and vermont a third of the states education finance systems now have been ruled unconstitutional as a result of these rulings and legislative based education reforms in a number of other states education expenditure inequality has been reduced 2 this in turn has left local districts with less latitude in determining spending levels parents in richer districts are expected to be especially frustrated with the limits on spending that accompany equalization changes in state educational finance systems to gain greater equity affected average spending on education in these states the initial research on this issue focused on the california experience where raw expenditure figures reveal the dramatic change in per pupil spending in california since the initial serrano decision in 1971 in academic year ay 1969 1970 per pupil spending in california s public elementary and secondary schools was slightly greater than the national average 106 25 of the national average ranking 14th among all states however by ay 1992 1993 education expenditures in california had fallen to 85 6 of the national average and its rank had dropped to 34th silva and sonstelie 1995 concluded that education spending in california in 1989 1990 was significantly lower than they would have otherwise predicted they attributed about half of the lowered spending to the legislation following serrano ii and the other half to the growth of the student population in california but the california experience of reduced expenditures appears to be atypical manwaring and sheffrin 1997 found spending to be higher in many states as a result of litigation or legislativebased educational finance reform downes and shah 1995 similarly estimated that school finance reform raised spending in some states and lowered spending in other states murray evans and schwab 1998 found state per pupil spending rose with successful state education finance litigation the variation across states in the spending effects of education finance reforms may be due to the source court ordered or legislative and or degree e g weak reform strong reform etc of the reforms in any case there should be greater interest in supplementing what the public schools do or opting out of the public system if reforms cause spending in a state to fall

the relation between price changes and trading volume a survey this paper reviews previous and current research on the relation between price changes and trading volume in financial markets and makes four contributions first two empiri cal relations are established volume is positively related to the magnitude of the price change and in equity markets to the price change per se second previous theoretical research on the price volume relation is summarized and critiqued and major insights are emphasized third a simple model ofthe price volume relation is proposed that is consis tent with several seemingly unrelated or contradictory observations and fourth several directions for future research are identified

the political economy of school choice linking theory and evidence abstract we derive an improved methodology for linking theoretical parameters of a political economy model of school choice to empirical values estimated by regressing local private enrollment shares on mean income the median to mean ratio religious and ethnic composition and other variables this leads us to reject the commonly maintained assumption that a coalition of ends against the middle determines local school funding and to conclude instead that the median income voter is decisive it also allows us to estimate the perceived relative efficiency advantage of private schooling which we find to be about 30 at the margin

legal constraints and the choice of educational grant structures recent empirical work suggests that legalconstraints are significant in choosingstate educational grant structures unfortunately the literature has not takensuch constraints into account thus callinginto question particular grant structurerecommendations this paper studies theconditions under which a legislature underorder to reform its educational grantstructure prefers foundation grants overdistrict power equalization grants atheoretical model is presented in which thechoice is shown to depend on the legalbasis of the court s decision and theempirical validity of this conclusion isdemonstrated using connecticut data and aseparate model of school districtexpenditure choice

the distributional implications of a carbon tax in ireland we study the effects of carbon tax and revenue recycling across the income distribution in the republic of ireland in absolute terms a carbon tax of 20 tco2 would cost the poorest households less than 3 week and the richest households more than 4 week a carbon tax is regressive therefore however if the tax revenue is used to increase social benefits and tax credits households across the income distribution can be made better off without exhausting the total carbon tax revenue

lifetime incidence and the distributional burden of excise taxes this implies that low income households in one year have some chance of being higher income households in other years and significantly affects the estimated distributional burden of excise taxes this paper shows that household expenditures on gasoline alcohol and tobacco as a share of total consumption a proxy for lifetime income are much more equally distributed than expenditures as a share of annual income from a longer horizon perspective excise taxes on these goods are therefore much less regressive than standard analyses suggest this abstract was borrowed from another version of this item this abstract was borrowed from another version of this item this abstract was borrowed from another version of this item this abstract was borrowed from another version of this item

empirical tests of the bias and efficiency of the extreme value variance estimator for common stocks this article examines the empirical bias and efficiency of michael parkinson s extreme value variance estimator for common stocks using an extensive nyse amex data base bias and efficiency are analyzed as a function of stock price level and trading volume the results are sensitive to outliers in daily high and low prices after an outlier screen is applied to the data the efficiency of the extreme value estimator significantly exceeds that of the close close estimator for most price and volume groups copyright 1991 by university of chicago press

crude oil equity and gold futures open interest co movements abstract the study is unique in its investigation of the co movements between trading activity on the equity crude oil and gold futures market proxied by open interest it provides empirical evidence that stock and crude oil futures demand for hedging is positively related but reacts negatively to sudden shocks in open interest on the other market furthermore gold futures open interest reacts positively to shocks in the crude oil futures trading activity the level of instantaneous linkage is related to external market conditions during periods of unstable financial markets the correlation between equity and energy futures open interest decreases and the correlation of the open interest on the equity and gold futures market turns weak negative this indicates hedging funds allocation toward gold market in periods of stock market uncertainty

event study methodologies and the size effect abstract this study of 862 press recommendations demonstrates that the size effect can distort longer term performance measures and hence event studies relative to similar sized companies post publication performance is neutral however market adjustments the capm and market model with equally or capitalization weighted indexes all produce biased results event studies are most exposed to such bias when the measurement interval is long event securities differ systematically in size or weighting from the index constituents the size effect is large and or volatile and when capm type methodologies are used these distortions are avoided by explicitly controlling for size

political economy of the inequality in school spending abstract this paper employs data from 45 states between 1972 and 1992 to investigate the basic forces affecting school resource inequality within a state we consider a wide range of determinants of inequality including voter preferences the tax and political structure within the state and the legal standing of education within the state constitution we find that state constitutional language regarding equity affects the degree of school spending equality in the state as does the political environment in the state and factors associated with the benefits and costs of tiebout sorting into school districts

federalism fertility and growth this paper analyses the effect of federalism on fertility and growth in a model with human capital accumulation and endogenous fertility two regimes of education finance are compared central and local i find that local education finance yields higher growth at the price of increased inequality the effect of federalism on total and differential fertility rates depends on the elasticity of substitution between children and consumption the paper also empirically examines the relationship between fertility rates and fiscal decentralisation on a panel of oecd countries and finds a weak negative effect of decentralisation on total and differential poor minus rich fertility

the effect of state education finance reform on total local resources abstract both the federal government and the states use intergovernmental grants to try to change the composition of local spending across different programs as well as the distribution of resources across localities many states are now under court order to use state education grants to reduce local disparities in education spending while a substantial body of literature suggests that these court orders increase the level and progressivity of state education spending there is little evidence on their broader effects on the total resources available not just for schools in low income districts but for other programs across all localities we find that states finance the required increase in education spending in part by reducing their aid to localities for other programs particularly for wealthier areas thus while court ordered school finance equalizations do increase total state aid to localities for education they do so at the expense of drawing state intergovernmental aid away from programs like public welfare health hospitals and general services these findings provide insight into the effectiveness of using earmarked funds to achieve redistribution

can carbon taxes be progressive abstract most studies have assessed the distributional impact of carbon taxes through their effects on commodity prices alone while ignoring their impact on individual welfare brought about by changes in factor prices yet the remunerations of capital and labor are not affected by these taxes similarly and their shares in earned incomes are not uniform across households this paper provides a comprehensive analysis of the incidence of carbon taxes on inequality by considering simultaneously the commodity and the income channels we propose a decomposition of the change in individual welfare metrics then we develop a general equilibrium model to assess the impact of carbon taxes on factor and commodity prices and subsequently their distributional impact on households using the lorenz and concentration curves and the gini index our results suggest that changes in factor prices and changes in commodity prices especially those of energy commodities have opposing effects on inequality carbon taxes tend to reduce inequality through the changes in factor prices and tend to increase inequality through the changes in commodity prices hence we find a non monotonic u shaped relationship between carbon taxes and inequality our results suggest that the traditional approach of assessing the impact of carbon taxes on inequality through changes in commodity prices alone may be misleading the findings cast light on the desirability of using both channels in the assessment of carbon taxes on inequality

an examination of stock market return volatility during overnight and intraday periods 1964 1989 this paper examines the variance of hourly market returns during 1964 89 results indicate that return volatility falls from the opening hour until early afternoon and rises thereafter and is significantly greater for intraday versus overnight periods market variance is also shown to change significantly over time rising after nasdaq began in 1971 rising after trading in stock options began in 1973 falling after fixed commissions were eliminated in 1975 rising after trading in stock index futures was introduced in 1982 and falling after margin requirements for stock index futures became larger in 1988 copyright 1990 by american finance association

a transaction data study of weekly and intradaily patterns in stock returns abstract weekly and intradaily patterns in common stock prices are examined using transaction data for large firms negative monday close to close returns accrue between the friday close and the monday open for smaller firms they accrue primarily during the monday trading day for all firms significant weekday differences in intraday returns accrue during the first 45 minutes after the market opens on monday mornings prices drop while on the other weekday mornings they rise otherwise the pattern of intraday returns is similar on all weekdays most notable is an increase in prices on the last trade of the day

volatility in the foreign currency futures market we examine the volatility implications of around the clock foreign exchange trading with transaction data on futures contracts from the chicago mercantile exchange and the london international financial futures exchange we find higher u s european and u s japanese exchange rate volatilities during u s trading hours and higher european cross rate volatilities during european trading hours while the diclosure of private information through trading may partly explain these volatility patterns we conclude that the increased volatility is more likely driven by macroeconomic news announcements an analysis of inter and intraday data also reveals that volatility increases at times that coincide with the release of u s macroeconomic news article published by oxford university press on behalf of the society for financial studies in its journal the review of financial studies

estimating the effects of school finance reform a framework for a federalist system abstract this paper models the effect of increased state involvement in school funding on education spending levels unlike previous studies that have assumed perfect sorting of voters into districts by income this analysis assumes demand sorting i thus am able to utilize the true distribution of wealth across districts to estimate tax price changes and to predict changes in district spending levels in response to a change in financing rules i look specifically at three types of state funding programs those in which districts receive a set per pupil grant from the state and are not allowed to raise additional funds those in which districts are allowed to raise unlimited additional funds and those in which this supplementation is capped both the model and the subsequent simulations indicate that the ostensible benefits of a system with unlimited local supplementation that it retains much local control over funding decisions on the margin while insuring an adequate level of financing for all districts may not be sustainable because high wealth districts have no incentive to support state funding additionally a system with no local supplementation may be politically difficult because it forces many voters far from their preferred spending levels capped supplementation provides a balance between local control and spending equity

using market valuation to assess public school spending abstract we examine whether school expenditures are valued by potential residents and whether the current level of public school provision is inefficient by estimating the effect of state education aid on residential property values we find evidence that overall state aid is valued by potential residents and that school districts do not overspend on education however we find that districts may overspend in areas where residents have fewer schooling options but find no difference in efficiency by the degree of district unionization one interpretation of these results is that increased competition may reduce overspending on public schools in some areas

the welfare effects and the distributive impact of carbon taxation on italian households in this work the welfare effects and the distributive impact on italian households of the italian carbon tax are calculated the carbon tax has been introduced in italy at the beginning of 1999 asking for smooth increases over a number of years in the prices of most fossil fuels its welfare effects have been calculated using true cost of living index numbers and the compensating variation the parameters have been obtained through estimation of a complete almost ideal demand system using households data from 1985 to 1996 the welfare loss turns out to be quite substantial and affects italian households in a non negligible way but the distribution of welfare losses across different levels of total monthly expenditures does not allow sustaining the regressivity of carbon taxation as the effect becomes bigger as we move up the income distribution this evidence might encourage the use of carbon taxes at least in the transport sector as cost effective instruments of environmental policy especially after the ratification of the kyoto protocol on climate change

changing roles of ability and education in u s intergenerational mobility using data on young adults from the 1979 and 1997 national longitudinal survey of youth we investigate the changing roles of ability and education in the transmission of economic status across generations we find that ability plays a substantially diminished role for the most recent cohort whereas education plays a much larger role the first finding results primarily from a smaller effect of children s ability on status the second from an increased correlation between parental status and educational attainment a replication of the analysis by gender reveals that the changes in the role of ability are largely driven by men whereas the changes in education s role are largely driven by women jel j62 i24

all school finance equalizations are not created equal school finance equalization has probably affected american schools more than any other reform of the last 30 years understanding it is a prerequisite for making optimal social investments in human capital yet it is poorly understood in this paper i explain why it differs from conventional redistribution because it is based on property values which are endogenous to schools productivity taste for education and the school finance system itself i characterize equalization schemes and show why some level down and others level up schemes that strongly level down have unintended consequences even poor districts can end up worse off i also show how school finance equalization affects property prices private school attendance and student achievement

the effects of spending on test pass rates evidence from michigan abstract this study uses data on standardized test scores from 1992 through 1998 at michigan schools to determine the effects of spending on student performance the years in the data set straddle 1994 when michigan dramatically changed the way that k 12 schools are funded and moved toward equalization of spending across schools focusing on pass rates for a fourth grade math tests the most complete and consistent data available for michigan i find that increases in spending have nontrivial statistically significant effects on math test pass rates and the effects are largest for schools with initially poor performance

the effect of increased funding on student achievement evidence from texas s small district adjustment abstract we leverage an obscure set of rules in texas s school funding formula granting some districts additional revenue as a function of size and sparsity we use variation from kinks and discontinuities in this formula to ask how districts spend additional discretionary funds and whether these improve student outcomes a 1000 annual increase in foundation funding or 10 increase in expenditures yields a 0 1 s d increase in reading scores and a near 0 08 increase in math in addition dropout rates decline graduation rates marginally increase as does college enrollment and to a smaller degree graduation these gains accrue in later grades and largely among poorer districts an analysis of budget allocations reveals that additional funding only marginally affects budget shares

where does voucher funding go how large scale subsidy programs affect private school revenue enrollment and prices using a new dataset constructed from nonprofit tax returns this paper explores how vouchers and other large scale programs subsidizing private school attendance have affected the fiscal outcomes of private schools and the affordability of a private education we find that subsidy programs created a large transfer of public funding to private schools suggesting that every dollar of funding increased revenue by a dollar or more turning to the incidence of subsidies and the impact of subsidies on enrollment our findings depend on the type of program introduced programs that restrict eligibility to certain groups of students create large enrollment gains but no change in price while programs that offer unrestricted subsidies lead to price increases but no change in enrollment we calculate elasticities of demand and supply for private schools and discuss welfare effects