a review of the recent empirical literature on displaced workers this article reviews the empirical literature on job displacement job displacement is widespread and strongly countercyclical tending to peak during economic downturns but concentrated in indus

national industrial structure and the global system various forms of participation in the global system have been hypothesized to distort the structure of industrialization in developing countries influencing the relations between industrial capital labor and output we operationalize kuznets s 1965 theoretical definition of industrialization utilizing energy consumption per capita percent of the labor force employed in industry and percent of gdp accountedfor by industry to test several predictions about the effects of a country s involvement in the global system on the structure of its industrialization we first estimate a measurement model for 1970 that includes these three basic indicators as influenced by the latent variable of industrialization elaborations of the basic model allow us to measure the influence of the world system on the structure of industrialization types of goods imported and exported affect the structure of industrialization position in the world system and direct foreign investment have no net direct effects a marxist leninist regime has an independent influence on the structure of industrialization in some years we replicate the model using data from 196s 1980 and 1986

advance notice and job search the value of an early start recent studies of the effect of advance notice on jobless duration following displacement misspecify the relationship between these two variables by treating advance notice as a dummy regressor in conventional survival time models job search theory however suggests that the major impact of advance notice is not to alter the efficiency of search after job loss but rather to allow workers to begin search before job loss the authors develop a sequential regimes job search model which allows search prior to displacement for workers with advance knowledge of layoff with different search intensities before and after layoff maximum likelihood estimates of the model are then computed using a pooled data set from the 1984 and 1986 displaced worker surveys advance knowledge is found to significantly shorten jobless duration for most labor force groups using these estimates the authors simulate the effect of various levels of advance knowledge on jobless duration their results indicate that relatively modest advance notice substantially benefits many displaced workers

post layoff earnings among semiconductor workers this study uses administrative data from california s unemployment insurance program to analyze the post layoff earnings of displaced and recalled workers in silicon valley s semiconductor industry

what happens to wages after displacement faced with limited resources policymakers need to know when and where to target support for displaced workers the academic literature offers little support presenting wide ranging results with no consistent explanation for the observed differences in wages after workers are displaced in this paper we demonstrate that the heterogeneity found in the literature is consistent with varying market conditions the results suggest that support for displaced workers can be more efficiently allocated by considering the timing and location of displacement

wage loss following displacement the role of union coverage using two canadian data sets the authors explore the role of union coverage in displaced workers wage losses while only 32 of the workers had unionized jobs prior to displacement the wage loss suffered by these workers represented about 80 of the wages lost by all displaced workers in both samples losing union status was associated with large losses whether or not a worker switched industries after displacement extrapolating the results to the united states the authors estimate that one third to one half of u s displaced workers wage losses may be due purely to the loss of union coverage

job tenure and joblessness of displaced workers selective search where unemployed job losers confine their job seeking efforts to matches in the pre separation sector has attracted considerable attention as a possible source of high and persistent unemployment however this idea is questionable

the long term costs of job displacement for young adult workers using nlsy data the authors estimate the long term costs of job displacement for young adults earnings and wage losses were large for the first three years following displacement compared to earnings losses found by other studies for more mature workers however earnings losses for these young adults were short lived with differences between observed and expected earnings narrowing considerably five years after job loss at that point the shortfall in annual earnings relative to what would have been expected absent job loss was 9 for men and 12 5 for women and the shortfall in hourly wages was 21 2 for men young workers also apparently differ from more established workers in the composition of total earnings losses for older workers total losses largely represent actual immediate earnings losses whereas for young workers the loss of opportunities for rapid earnings growth is more important

the effect of advance notification of plant closings on unemployment using data from the 1984 displaced worker survey the authors model the determinants of time without work following job displacement for a large sample of workers laid off because of plant shutdowns between 1979 and 1984 the major focus of the paper is on the role of advance notification in mitigating unemployment the estimating procedure accommodates right censored observations stemming from continuing or open ended spells of unemployment advance notification is found to have significantly reduced the duration of unemployment of those notified workers who did not draw unemployment insurance benefits and in particular of those who left the plant prior to termination advance notice had much less effect on the time without work of notified workers whose spell length of unemployment was long enough for them to collect unemployment insurance benefits

the impact of advance notice of plant closings on earnings and the probability of unemployment the authors analyze data from the 1988 cps displaced workers survey to assess the effects of written advance notice of plant closings on post displacement employment and earnings the results sugge

advance notice and postdisplacement joblessness this article investigates whether prenotification decreases postdis placement joblessness reduced form estimates indicate that lengthy written notice is associated with small increases in the probability of avoiding nonemployment but with no decline in average durations significant reductions are found however for household heads women nonwhites and in local labor markets with high unemploy ment rates a new method is developed to control for the endogeneity of voluntarily provided advance notice this procedure suggests that previous research substantially overstates the degree to which preno tification reduces nonemployment and indicates that the actual de crease is between 2 and 5 working days

wage losses for displaced workers many studies have shown that displaced workers experience substantial wage reductions that are strongly related to their predisplacement job tenure and experience this paper is an assessment of whether firm closures or downturns in more broadly defined labor markets drive the extreme wage losses of high tenure high experience displaced workers i show that the relatively high wage losses of high experience displaced workers are primarily due to their heightened sensitivity to downturns in their state industry and occupation however the large wage losses of high tenure displaced workers are not explained by their sensitivity to these local downturns one interpretation of these facts is that firm specialization is linked primarily to firm specific experience but not to general labor market experience

is unemployment really scarring effects of unemployment experiences on wages joblessness leaves permanent scars on individuals they not only lose income during periods of joblessness they are also further scarred by these experiences when they find employment a spell of unemployment is found to carry a wage penalty of about 6 on re entry in britain and after three years they are earning 14 less compared to what they would have received in the absence of unemployment the scars are also carried into their second employment spell the first spell of joblessness is found to cause the most damage redundancy seems to be less stigmatising

storms and jobs the effect of hurricanes on individuals employment and earnings over the long term hurricanes katrina and rita devastated the us gulf coast in 2005 we use job level data to compare the evolution of earnings for affected workers in four states with workers from matched control co

optimal welfare to work programs a welfare to work wtw program is a mix of government expenditures on various labour market policies targeted to the unemployed e g unemployment insurance m job search monitoring m social assistance sa wage subsidies this paper provides a dynamic principal agent framework suitable for analysing chief features of an optimal wtw program such as the sequence and duration of the different policies the dynamic pattern of payments along the unemployment spell and the emergence of taxes subsidies upon re employment the optimal program endogenously generates an absorbing policy of last resort social assistance characterized by a constant lifetime payment and no active participation by the agent human capital depreciation is a necessary condition for policy transitions to be part of an optimal wtw program the typical sequence of policies is quite simple the program starts with standard ui then switches into monitored search and finally into sa the optimal benefits are decreasing during unemployment insurance and constant during both jm and sa whereas taxes subsidies can be either increasing or decreasing with duration during ui they must decrease increase during a phase of jm in a calibration exercise we use our model to analyse quantitatively the features of the optimal program for the u s economy with respect to the existing u s system the optimal wtw scheme delivers sizeable welfare gains to unskilled workers because the incentives to search for a job can be retained even while delivering more insurance and using costly monitoring less intensively

earnings losses and unemployment of displaced workers in germany data from the german socio economic panel are used to examine the experiences of german workers following job displacement due to plant closure in the year of displacement annual earnings decline

sectoral transformation and labour market flows in this chapter we examine the dynamics of adjustment in the labour market and in particular the movement of workers between industries it is often assumed that the speed with which the labour market must adjust has increased due to globalisation and or technological change if this is the case then these forces may be responsible for greater instability in the workplace the displacement of growing numbers of especially unskilled workers from declining sectors longer periods of unemployment and wage losses

common marketing agency as a device for facilitating collusion in a variety of markets firms voluntarily and independently delegate control over certain aspects of marketing to common agents in this article we present an explicit model of agency delegation where firms noncooperatively select agents name output prices and choose compensation schemes we exhibit an equilibrium in which all strategic variables not merely the marketing choices delegated to agents but prices as well are selected perfectly cooperatively this cooperative equilibrium is very simple and attractive each firm sets the collusive output price and employs a commission scheme to compensate the agent although each

job displacement relative wage changes and duration of unemployment using special cps data on displaced workers this article investigates the wage consequences of job displacement in a framework that emphasizes the effects of past job duration s and unemployment duration s on postdisplacement wages our model also attempts to take account of the simultaneity between unemployment duration and the postdisplacement wage it is found that duration strongly reduces subsequent earnings and that considerable overstatement of the loss in firm specific training investments is implied by conventional routes to measuring wage losses

privatization in latin america what does the evidence say privatization is under attack criticisms run from corrupt deals to abuse of market power and social welfare losses we evaluate the empirical record on privatization relying on recent comprehensive studies from latin america the paper presents four main results first the increased profitability of privatized firms is not explained by sample selection biases second in the quest to identify the sources of increased profitability after privatization we find little evidence that validates concerns of generalized market power abuses exploitation of workers and lack of fiscal benefits third the manner in which privatization is carried out matters transparency and homogeneity in procedures speed and limited restructuring prior to privatization lead to better outcomes and less room for corruption and discretion finally privatization s success is enhanced by two complementary policies deregulation or reregulation of industries previously shielded from competitive forces and an effective corporate governance framework that facilitates privatized firms access to capital at lower cost overall the empirical record shows that privatization leads to increased profitability and productivity firm restructuring fiscal benefits output growth and even quality improvements most cases of privatization failure can be linked to poor contract design opaque processes with heavy state involvement lack of reregulation and a poor corporate governance framework

preunemployment job search and advance job loss notice preunemployment search is the fundamental labor market process generating beneficial effects of advance notice yet theory indicates that workers receiving notice may not search whereas others may search even without advance notice our weighted results indicate that over one third of all nonnotified workers still search and over 40 of workers receiving notice do not respond by searching further preunemployment search determinants differ for notified nonnotified workers and men women for notified men search is strongly increased by longer notice and strongly decreased by higher unemployment insurance benefits but neither factor affects the employed search decisions of notified women

labor market conditions and the reemployment of displaced workers the authors of this study use data from the january 1984 current population survey to examine the impact of local labor market conditions on the financial losses of displaced manufacturing workers they find that strong overall growth in the local economy reduced the economic losses of white collar workers whose industry of displacement was declining but not of blue collar workers in the same situation most older poorly educated blue collar workers with long tenure at their pre layoff job suffered large financial losses even when displaced in a growing local economy all workers including those who were young and well educated suffered large financial losses when located in a depressed local economy

choosing a control group for displaced workers the vast majority of studies on the earnings of displaced workers use a control group of continuously employed workers to examine the effects of initial displacements this approach implies long lived earnings reductions following displacement even if these effects are not persistent overstating the losses relative to the true average treatment effect this paper s approach isolates the impact of an average displacement without imposing continuous employment on the control group in a comparison of the standard and alternative approaches using psid data the estimated long run earnings losses fall dramatically from 25 percent to 5 percent model simulations reinforce these empirical findings

earnings losses of displaced workers revisited recent literature reviews conclude that job displacement results in sustained earnings losses bruce c fallick 1996 lori g kletzer 1998 and that estimates of the size of those reductions vary with the type of data used in the analysis the industry within which displacement occurs and business cycle conditions the largest estimated losses were obtained using administrative data from pennsylvania during the 1970s and 1980s louis s jacobson robert j lalonde and daniel g sullivan 1993a the data covered a period of high unemployment in a heavily indus trialized state characterized by disproportionate job losses in manufacturing thus the ability to generalize those results to more favorable economic times and states with a greater reliance on service sector employment has been questioned to address these issues administrative data are used to similarly examine the impact of job displacement on earnings losses of workers in connecticut from 1993 to 2004 the work of jacobson lalonde and sullivan jls also provided important methodologi cal advancement by adapting analytical techniques developed for program evaluation james j heckman and v joseph hotz 1989 to the context of job displacement the same techniques fixed effects and time trend estimators as those used in the original jls publication are initially employed here then the methods are extended to include matching estimators developed since their publication both nearest neighbor estimators of average treatment on the treated att and differenced average treatment on the treated datt are adapted to the context of this study heckman hidehiko ichimura and petra todd 1997 heckman et al 1998 and rajeev h dehejia and sadek wahba 1999 2002 the results presented here for connecticut differ in some ways from those found in the work of jls using data from pennsylvania in the period immediately following job loss regardless of the technique employed earnings reductions for workers displaced through mass layoff range from 32 percent to 33 percent jls reported immediate losses of more than 40 percent six years later using the same estimators as jls earnings reductions in connecticut range from 13 percent to 15 percent they report sustained losses in pennsylvania of 25 percent the smaller long term impacts in connecticut demonstrate that under more ordinary economic times esti mated losses from administrative data lie within the range observed using other data sources this finding resolves a long standing conflict among the results of high quality studies that have used differing data sources to study earnings reductions following job loss 1 using two different matching estimators earnings losses six years after mass layoff are 12 percent the matching estimators compare those who experienced mass layoff to compari sons with the same ex ante probability of the event these smaller losses are consistent with the

interindustry variation in the costs of job displacement job displacement entails a substantial wage reduction for most displaced workers we show that the mean reduction the tenure profile of reductions and the experience profile of reductions all vary substantially across industries we then link this interindustry variation to analogous variation in firm size unionization wage levels and the incidence of employer provided training while these industry characteristics explain some of the interindustry variation in mean wage reductions they do not explain variation in the tenure or experience profiles of wage reductions

the industrial mobility of displaced workers this article uses a two industry model of unemployment duration and job search to estimate rates of transition of displaced workers from unemployment to employment distinguishing between employment in a worker s previous industry and in other industries the competing risks model allows inferences about search strategies to be drawn from data concerning employment outcomes and allows tests of some fundamental implications of search theory there is evidence that improvements in the prospects for employment in their previous industry induce displaced workers to reduce search intensity or increase reservation wages in other industries

displacement induced joblessness previous research examining the nonemployment of displaced workers suffers from methodological flaws which reinforce widely held but substantially incorrect views about the pattern of postseparation joblessness in particular adjustment difficulties have been overstated for nonwhites long tenure workers and those terminated during periods of high unemployment and underestimated for persons in manufacturing industries or white collar occupations

risk of labor displacement and cross industry labor mobility a well supported conclusion of previous research is that displacement entails large and persistent costs for workers it therefore seems reasonable to expect workers to try to anticipate and respond to the risk of displacement using 1983 93 data from the panel survey of income dynamics and the displaced workers supplement to the current population survey the author investigates whether industry specific measures of job loss risk are correlated with workers propensity to cross industry lines for new jobs she finds that a one standard deviation increase in the risk of job loss an 86 increase from the mean level increased the probability of inter sectoral mobility by 10 5 in a sample of white men three factors that appreciably increased the likelihood of inter sectoral mobility in response to job insecurity were voluntary separation from the previous job high educational attainment and being currently employed as opposed to temporarily laid off

the firm strikes back non compete agreements and the mobility of technical professionals this study explores how firms shape labor markets and career paths using employee non compete agreements the sociology of work has overlooked non competes but data indicate that nearly half of technical professionals in the united states are asked to sign such employment contracts fearing loss of investments in talent and trade secrets firms use non competes to strike back against technical professionals increased mobility following the decline of internal labor markets in depth interviews with 52 randomly sampled patent holders in a single industry coupled with a survey of 1 029 engineers across a variety of industries reveal that ex employees subject to non competes are more likely to take career detours that is they involuntarily leave their technical field to avoid a potential lawsuit moreover firms strategically manage the process of getting workers to sign such contracts waiting for workers bargaining position to weaken these findings inform our understanding of the social organizati

political regimes and economic growth arguments that relate regimes to growth focus on property rights pressures for immediate consumption and the autonomy of dictators while everyone seems to agree that secure property rights foster growth it is controversial whether democracies or dictatorships better secure these rights the main mechanism by which democracy is thought to hinder growth is pressure for immediate consumption which reduces investment only states that are institutionally insulated from such pressures can resist them and democratic states are not the main argument against dictatorships is that authoritarian rulers have no interest in maximizing total output these views are summarized in turn

how destructive is creative destruction effects of job loss on job mobility withdrawal and income we analyze short and long term effects of worker displacement our sample consists of male workers displaced from norwegian manufacturing plants we find that displacement increases the probability of leaving the labor force by 31 the drop out rate from the labor force is particularly high in the first years following displacement the average earnings effects for those who remain in the labor force are moderate a 3 loss relative to non displaced workers after seven years splitting displaced workers on within and between firm movers we find that the estimated earnings loss is entirely driven by between firm movers who experience a 3 6 loss transfers to other plants within multi plant firms upon displacement are quite common our results support the view that human capital is partly firm specific and partly industry specific we find no evidence suggesting that human capital is plant specific

the diffusion of regime contention in european democratization 1830 1940 this article goes beyond the established literature s focus on domestic conditions by examining the impact of external impulses on european democratization from 1830 to 1940 specifically it analyzes the diffusion of regime conflict that arose from the cross national spread of situational judgments about the feasibility of political change striking precedents of regime collapse such as the overthrow of french kings in 1830 and 1848 tended to produce dramatic waves of political contention across europe but because the actual distribution of power in polities that experienced such externally stimulated episodes of regime contention often differed from the front runner these conflicts produced various types of results the article distinguishes four outcomes of diffusion namely a successful replication b preemptive reform c abortive replication and d blockage of replication efforts the latter two outcomes help explain why in european history not only did political liberalism and democracy

optimal unemployment insurance with human capital depreciation and duration dependence this paper studies the effect of human capital depreciation and duration dependence on the design of an optimal unemployment insurance ui scheme our results partially confirm those obtained in most previous studies benefits should decrease with unemployment duration the optimal program also generates two main novel features which are not present in stationary models first if human capital depreciates rapidly enough during unemployment ui transfers are bounded below by a minimal assistance level that arises endogenously in the efficient program second we study the optimality of imposing a history contingent wage tax after reemployment our numerical simulations based on the spanish and us economies show that the wage tax should decrease with the length of worker s previous unemployment spell and become a wage subsidy for long term unemployed workers as a by product of our study we develop a systematic approach suitable for studying recursively a wide range of dynamic moral hazard problems and other models with similar characteristics

the worker adjustment and retraining notification act effects on notice provision the worker adjustment and retraining notification act warn of 1988 requires that covered firms provide affected employees with 60 days advance notice of plant closings and large scale layoffs the authors use data from the three most recent displaced worker surveys to compare the extent of notice under voluntary 1983 88 and mandatory 1989 91 notice regimes they find that the legislation has had at most a small impact on the provision of notice of the length stipulated under the act this non event is at least partially due to the liberal firm size and layoff thresholds for determining coverage under warn

advance notice job search and postdisplacement earnings three to 5 years after job displacements workers receiving the advance notice mandated by current law earn approximately 10 more than their nonnotified counterparts this differential is not the result of firms systematically notifying persons with favorable reemployment prospects early warnings are disproportionately obtained by individuals expected to earn relatively low wages in subsequent employment it is not clear however whether prenotification has a causal effect the notification differential may occur because the advance notice is frequently provided by employers offering other kinds of adjustment assistance such as job counseling skill retraining supple mental unemployment benefits or outplacement assistance

employment hours and earnings consequences of job loss us evidence from the displaced workers survey data are used from the 1984 2016 displaced workers surveys dws to investigate the incidence and consequences of job loss 1981 2015 these data show a record high rate of job loss in the great re

in the right place at the wrong time the role of firms and luck in young workers careers we examine administrative data on young german workers and their employers to study the long term effects of an early career job loss to account for nonrandom sorting of workers into firms with different turnover rates and for selective job mobility we use changes over time in firm and age specific labor demand as an instrument for displacement we find that wage losses of young job losers are initially 15 percent but drop to zero within five years only workers leaving very large establishments suffer persistent losses a comparison of estimators implies that initial sorting negative selection and voluntary job mobility biases ordinary least squares estimates toward finding permanent negative effects of early displacements

migration and employment after an economic shock regional characteristics and migration patterns this study addresses the migration dynamics of workers after their workplace has closed it analyses to what extent migration responses differ between regions with different characteristics for ind

worker displacement and the added worker effect this article examines the added worker effect which is the labor supply response of wives to their husbands job losses unlike past studies which focused on the husbands current unemployment status this article analyzes wives responses before and after job losses to examine the life cycle labor supply adjustments using panel study of income dynamics data reveals small predisplacement effects and large persistent postdisplacement effects the timing of the responses differs with type of displacement possibly because of differences in the information acquired before job loss long run labor supply increases compensate for over 25 of the husbands lost income

diffusion development and democracy 1800 1999 while a trend of growth in democratization over the past two centuries has been generally observed it is the remarkable growth in the democratization of the world over the past 30 years that has truly captured the imagination of social scientists policymakers and the general public alike two major sets of factors have dominated studies attempting to predict democratization one set characterizes endogenous or internal features of countries and may be referred to as socioeconomic development the other set less often tested characterizes exogenous variables that influence democratization via forces at work globally and within the region in which a country resides this set may be referred to as diffusion processes this study provides the first systematic comparison of these two sets of variables when assessed alone development indicators are robust predictors of democracy but their predictive power fades with the inclusion of diffusion variables in particular diffusion predictors of spatial pr

advance notice and unemployment new evidence from the 1988 displaced worker survey this paper examines how advance notice of layoff affects the incidence and duration of unemployment following displacement the authors use the displaced worker survey for 1988 which unlike earlier surveys in the series contains information on written notice the results are mixed longer written notice may more than double the proportion of white collar workers who move directly to new employment but written notice has no such positive effects for blue collar workers regardless of its length informal unwritten notice benefits male workers either by improving their chances of avoiding unemployment white collar men or by reducing the average spell of unemployment blue collar men

lost in transition the costs and consequences of sectoral labour adjustment this paper uses an equilibrium search and matching model to study canada s sectoral labour adjustment in 2002 2006 during an increase in global commodity prices and exchange rate appreciation i estimate economically significant adjustment costs for the aggregate economy in this episode and demonstrate that difficulty in transferring skills between jobs for individual workers can be an important contributor to these aggregate costs the analysis also demonstrates that the level of unemployment benefits impacts the economy s sectoral composition its aggregate productivity and the speed of its adjustment to shocks ce texte utilise un modele d equilibre de la recherche et de l arrimage pour etudier les ajustements sectoriels du travail au canada dans la periode 2002 2006 une periode d appreciation des prix globaux des produits de base et du taux de change j estime que les couts d ajustement sont economiquement significatifs pour l economie agregee au cours de cet episode et que la difficultea transferer les competences entre emplois pour les travailleurs individuels peut etre une source importante de ces couts agreges les analyses montrent aussi que le niveau des prestations d assurance emploi a un impact sur la composition sectorielle de l economie sur la productivite et sur la vitesse des ajustements aux chocs

job changing after displacement a contribution to the advance notice debate considerable research effort has been devoted to modeling the effects of advance notice on postdisplacement outcomes within the framework set by the biennial displaced worker surveys yet the mechanisms through which advance notice achieves the benefits attributed to it have been little explored in the literature the standard argument that notice facilitates job finding by bringing forward search is of course consistent with the empirical conclusion from first generation studies that broadly defined notice reduced postdisplacement joblessness but had no discernible impact on postdisplacement wages but as an explanation it fails to address the empirical suggestion of time varying effects 1 8 while glossing over the sensitivity of the unemployment result to sample construction and model specification the picture has become more clouded with the publication of results from second generation studies using more recent data that are virtually the reverse of those first reported that is to say analyses of the 1988 and 1990 displaced worker surveys report that that extended intervals of notice appear at best to be associated with minor reductions in joblessness but to lead to substantive earnings improvement 5 7 10 11 12 there is then a pressing need to inquire into mechanisms the present paper is offered as a contribution to this line of investigation focusing as it does on job changing in the aftermath of the displacement event we investigate the correlates of job changing in the wake of displacement and the relationship between number of postdisplacement jobs and end of survey earnings advance notice being a determinant of both turnover and earnings to anticipate our results we find evidence to suggest that formally notified workers though they do not experience lower unemployment than their non notified counterparts or have better overall reemployment prospects do appear to make better job matches and thereby enjoy higher

heterogeneous agents and uninsurable idiosyncratic employment shocks in a linearized dynamic general equilibrium model this paper proposes an analytical solution method for a dynamic general equilibrium model with heterogeneous agents and uninsurable idiosyncratic employment shocks the solution method yields an approximate balanced growth path which depends on the unemployment rate and the unemployment risk but which is independent of the ever changing wealth distribution

skill accumulation in the market and at home abstract an evolving outside option is introduced into a stochastic directed search model with skill loss during non employment using multi spell data from the sipp i show that average reemployment wages are only mildly sensitive to unemployment duration while the job finding probability is highly sensitive to duration with evidence of true duration dependence in both variables though untargeted the model produces a quantitatively accurate decline in the job finding probability and starting wage improving over a model with a fixed outside option the addition of aggregate shocks leads to an nonlinear response of the unemployment and participation rates during and after recessions with more severe recessions resulting in stronger hysteresis

the role of selective job search in uk unemployment selective search where unemployed job losers confine their job seeking efforts to matches in the pre separation sector has attracted consid erable attention as a possible source of high and persistent unemployment however this idea is questionable those opting for selection may do so because this strategy is more effective at gener ating an acceptable offer using uk microdata i find evidence in support of the latter view selective searchers cannot account for the persistence of high unemployment since the early 1980s

returning to work regional determinants of re employment after major redundancies abstractusing matched employer employee data on roughly 429 000 workers made redundant from large plant closures or major downsizing in sweden between 1990 and 2005 this paper analyses the role of the regional industry mix specialization related and unrelated variety in the likelihood of returning to work the results show that a high presence of same or related industries speeds up the re employment process while high concentrations of unrelated activities do not the role of related activities is particularly evident in the short run and in regions with high unemployment consequently the prospect of successful diversification is enhanced in regions with related industries

sectoral shifts and the mobility of displaced workers when are microdata useful we show that reallocation shocks that change sectoral job offer probabilities can induce negative sectoral mobility unemployment co movements this challenges murphy and topel s nber macroeconomics annual 1987 2 11 58 interpretation that such patterns in us microdata constitute evidence against sectoral shifts in driving unemployment

from opt out to blocked out the challenges for labor market re entry after family related employment lapses in today s labor market the majority of individuals experience a lapse in employment at some point in their careers most commonly due to unemployment from job loss or leaving work to care for fam

life course risks mobility regimes and mobility consequences a comparison of sweden germany and the united states1 the analysis of intergenerational mobility has primarily used measures of social position that are functions of an individual s occupation occupation based models of social mobility however have limitations that arguably have grown in recent decades meta analysis of available evidence for sweden western germany and the united states concerning occupational mobility household income mobility job displacement union dissolution and poverty dynamics shows the limitations of the individual level occupation based career trajectory approach to life course mobility this article develops an alternative formulation at the household level which focuses on cross national variation in the extent to which societal institutions influence the rate of events with the potential to change a household s life conditions via the manipulation of incentives for mobility generating events and the extent to which they mitigate the consequences of these events through social insurance the combination of these institut

political rights and income inequality a cross national test among contemporary nations the relationship between income equality and national wealth exhibits an inverted u shape low among the richest and poorest nations and high for nations with intermediate wealth to examine the reasons for this relationship i hypothesize that both political democracy and educational enrollment are related in a similar way to income inequality two data sets are used in this analysis modified version of muller s set of 62 nations circa 1965 1975 and hoover s data set multiple regression reveals that measures of political democracy and the educational enrollment levels have an inverted u relationship with income inequality national wealth gnp had no consistent direct effect on income inequality a satisfactory specification of national levels of income inequality must include the polynomial functions of political democracy and education

international trade and the labor market experience of displaced workers using data from the displaced workers survey and the national bureau of economic research trade and immigration dataset the author of this study finds that among manufacturing workers displaced in 1979 83 the average duration of joblessness varied directly with the rise in their industry s import share since 1972 74 this relationship appears to be due in large part to the fact that the work force in industries with rising import shares tends to have demographic characteristics associated with labor market adjustment difficulties such as higher proportions of women and blue collar workers than are found in other industries

are workers permanently scarred by job displacements this paper investigates whether workers suffer lasting scars following job displacements using david t ellwood s 1982 terminology scars represent persistent effects whereas blemishes are transitory adjustments which dissipate over time more precisely dislocated individuals are defined as scarred if they continue to earn less or to be unemployed more than their nondisplaced counterparts even after the conclusion of a several year adjustment period

unemployment history and frictional wage dispersion abstract recent evidence shows that baseline search models struggle to match the observed levels of wage dispersion this paper studies a random matching search model with human capital losses during unemployment wage dispersion increases as workers accept lower wages to avoid long unemployment spells the model explains between a third and half of the observed residual wage dispersion when adding on the job search the model accounts for all of the residual wage dispersion and generates substantial dispersion even for high values of non market time the paper thus addresses the trade off between explaining frictional wage dispersion and the cyclical behavior of unemployment