financial development and barriers to the cross border diffusion of financial innovation this paper explores the determinants of financial development by focusing on the role played by barriers to the diffusion of financial technology these barriers are measured using human genetic distance from the technology frontier the results based on cross sectional data for 123 countries suggest that genetic distance to the global frontier has an economically and statistically significant effect on financial development in that countries that are genetically far from the technology leader tend to have lower levels of financial development genetic distance is found to have the largest effect even after controlling for other determinants of financial development established in the literature these findings indicate that cultural barriers to the diffusion of financial technology across borders impact financial development by influencing the follower countries ability to adopt and adapt innovations from the frontier

corporatism and unemployment in the 1980s and 1990s a number of studies have found an association between corporatist institutions and low unemployment in the 1970s and or 1980s three gaps in our understanding of corporatism s labor market effects are addressed here 1 which of the two principal forms of corporatism corporatist wage setting or union participation in economic policymaking or both generates these effects 2 what are the causal mechanisms 3 did these effects continue in the 1990s in the face of globalization restrictive monetary policy growing dissension within labor movements and related developments the impact of corporatism across 16 affluent oecd countries in the 1980s and 1990s is assessed using pooled time series cross section analysis the results suggest that wage coordination was conducive to low unemployment in the 1980s because it fostered moderation in labor costs spurred faster economic growth and encouraged governments to more aggressively pursue policies to reduce unemployment in the 1990s this effect disappeared largely because unemployment outcomes in low wage coordination countries improved rather than because unemployment outcomes in high wage coordination countries deteriorated union participation in economic policymaking was associated with low unemployment throughout the two decades conditional on the presence of leftist government union participation appears to have had this effect mainly via government policy

what type of finance matters for growth bayesian model averaging evidence this paper examines the effect of finance on long term economic growth using bayesian model averaging to address model uncertainty in cross country growth regressions the literature largely focuses on financial indicators that assess the financial depth of banks and stock markets these indicators are examined jointly with newly developed indicators that assess the stability and efficiency of financial markets once the finance growth regressions are subjected to model uncertainty the results suggest that commonly used indicators of financial development are not robustly related to long term growth however the findings from the global sample indicate that one newly developed indicator the efficiency of financial intermediaries is robustly related to long term growth

are modern financial systems shaped by state antiquity we demonstrate that existing differences in financial development between countries can be explained by the cumulative variations in their levels of state experience since 1 ad this dimension of early historical development has not been considered so far in studies that analyze the determinants of financial development the estimation allows for all major theories established in the literature as possible explanations for the disparity of financial development across the globe significance of state antiquity is robust to the use of alternative indicators of financial development the consideration of different lengths and periods of statehood and controlling for a range of variables or country characteristics our results highlight the important role of statehood in propelling financial system development and thus provide some support to the view that historically determined differences in the early start developmental advantage provide the basis for explaining the fundamental sources of variations in financial development between countries today

agriculture diffusion and development ripple effects of the neolithic revolution are the effects of the neolithic revolution still impacting on incomes across the world today i find strong support for this proposition using new country specific estimates of the timing of the agricultural transition and provide evidence that the differences are due to how technological diffusion is accounted for a correction for world migrations since 1500 significantly improves the fit transition year also helps to explain income in 1500 itself and an alternative measure of pre modern development state history has similar ability to predict income in 1500 and 1997

post 1500 population flows and the long run determinants of economic growth and inequality we construct a matrix showing the share of the year 2000 population in every country that is descended from people in different source countries in the year 1500 using this matrix we analyze how post 1500 migration has influenced the level of gdp per capita and within country income inequality in the world today indicators of early development such as early state history and the timing of transition to agriculture have much better predictive power for current gdp when one looks at the ancestors of the people who currently live in a country than when one considers the history on that country s territory without adjusting for migration measures of the ethnic or linguistic heterogeneity of a country s current population do not predict income inequality as well as measures of the ethnic or linguistic heterogeneity of the current population s ancestors an even better predictor of current inequality in a country is the variance of early development history of the country s inhabitants with ethnic groups originating in regions having longer histories of agriculture and organized states tending to be at the upper end of a country s income distribution however high within country variance of early development also predicts higher income per capita holding constant the average level of early development

early starts reversals and catch up in the process of economic development early states like china and india have been experiencing more rapid economic growth in recent decades we show that more rapid growth by early starters has been the norm in economic history and that the reversal of fortune associated with the european overseas expansion was both exceptional and temporary not only was the post 1500 reversal in the process of being reversed after 1960 but also the advantage conferred by early development in the latter period was considerably greater than the growth rate disadvantage that it conferred during 1500 1960 implying a rapid undoing of the first reversal

the dynamics of trade unionism and national economic performance i test two theories of the political processes of trade unions the first argues that wage moderation depends on a centralized labor movement the second contends that institutional conditions permitting unions coordination of bargaining strategies is sufficient coordination is most likely to he achieved when there are small number of unions that do not compete for members that is when union monopoly is high important empirical anomalies may be resolved by analyzing the effects of union centralization and monopoly separately rather than combining them into a composite index of corporatism reanalyzing comparative data from organization of economic cooperation and development countries between 1963 and 1985 largely corroborates the hypothesis that monopoly is more important than either centralization or composite indices of corporatism for national economic performance the conceptual rationale underlying indices of corporatism should be reexamined

destructive competition factionalism and rent seeking in iran summary the literature on the resource curse suggests that the quality of institutions determines a country s ability to transform resource wealth into economic development this article explores the link between resource rents institutions and economic performance by focusing on the case of iran a key feature of iran s institutional environment is its factionalized political system we give an introduction to the main actors vying for control over the country s resources and analyze the effect of their destructive competition using a theoretical model we study how oil revenues and the relative strength of interest groups affect private investment and economic efficiency

politics and economics in weak and strong states abstract while much research in political economy points out the benefits of limited government political scientists have long emphasized the problems created in many less developed nations by weak states which lack the power to tax and regulate the economy and to withstand the political and social challenges from non state actors i construct a model in which the state apparatus is controlled by a self interested ruler who tries to divert resources for his own consumption but who can also invest in socially productive public goods both weak and strong states create distortions when the state is excessively strong the ruler imposes such high taxes that economic activity is stifled when the state is excessively weak the ruler anticipates that he will not be able to extract rents in the future and underinvests in public goods i show that the same conclusion applies in the analysis of both the economic power of the state i e its ability to raise taxes and its political power i e its ability to remain entrenched from the citizens i also discuss how under certain circumstances a different type of equilibrium which i refer to as consensually strong state equilibrium can emerge whereby the state is politically weak but is allowed to impose high taxes as long as a sufficient fraction of the proceeds are invested in public goods the consensually strong state might best correspond to the state in oecd countries where taxes are high despite significant control by the society over the government

the origins of state capacity property rights taxation and politics economists generally assume that the state has sufficient institutional capacity to support markets and levy taxes this paper develops a framework where policy choices in market regulation and taxation are constrained by past investments in legal and fiscal capacity it studies the economic and political determinants of such investments demonstrating that legal and fiscal capacity are typically complements the results show that among other things common interest public goods such as fighting external wars as well as political stability and inclusive political institutions are conducive to building state capacity some correlations in cross country data are consistent with the theory

what drives the historical formation and persistent development of territorial states the importance of the length of state history for understanding variations in income levels and growth rates across countries has received a lot of attention in the recent literature on long run comparative development the literature however is silent about its origins this paper explores the determinants of statehood by considering the potential roles of an early transition to fully fledged agricultural production the adoption of state of the art military innovations and the opportunity for economic interaction with the regional economic leader the results demonstrate that only the association between economic interaction and the rise and development of the state is statistically robust

a survey of recent developments in the literature of finance and growth this paper provides a survey of the recent progress in the literature of financial development and economic growth the survey highlights that most empirical studies focus on either testing the role of financial development in stimulating economic growth or examining the direction of causality between these two variables although the positive role of finance on growth has become a stylized fact there are some methodological reservations about the results from these empirical studies several key issues unresolved in the literature are highlighted the paper also points to several directions for future research

selected works of michael wallerstein centralized bargaining and wage restraint the literature on corporatism has presented much evidence associating highly centralized systems of collective bargaining with wage restraint and relatively successful macroeconomic performance in addition centralized bargaining is associated with relatively small wage differentials this paper presents a model of the impact of centralized wage setting on both real wages and relative wages the central assumption is that the centralization of wage setting at the national level unites unions who are complements in production since a wage increase for one group of workers negatively affects the welfare of other workers who are complements in production centralized wage setters choose wages below the equilibrium of decentralized wage setting it is also shown that if the union confederation maximizes a utilitarian welfare function with equal weights centralized wage setting decreases wage dispersion while low paid workers clearly gain from centralized bargaining high paid workers may prefer that bargaining be decentralized

institutions and the long run impact of early development we study the role of institutional development as a causal mechanism of history affecting current economic performance several indicators capturing different dimensions of early development in 1500 ad are used to remove the endogenous component of the variations in institutions these indicators are adjusted with large scale movements of people across international borders using the global migration matrix of putterman and weil 2010 to account for the fact that the ancestors of a population have facilitated the diffusion of knowledge when they migrate the exogenous component of institutions due to historical development is found to be a significant determinant of current output by demonstrating that the relationship between early development and current economic performance works through the channel of institutions and that better institutions can be traced back to historical factors the results of this paper shed some light on how history has played a role in shaping long run comparative development

in search of economic well being worker power and the effects of productivity inflation unemployment and global trade on wages in ten wealthy countries theory the theory addresses the forces that determine the real wages which workers receive it is proposed that in the free market system worker power plays a crucial mediating role between economic considerations involving labor supply and productivity and the real wages available to workers in the economy hypotheses in moderate and weak worker power countries real wages will vary inversely with the labor supply in terms of domestic unemployment and international trade in strong worker power countries real wages will vary with changes in productivity and inflation methods separate regression analyses are developed for 10 countries varying in their level of worker power over a 30 year time frame results in moderate and weak worker power countries changes in real wages were best predicted by levels of unemployment and changes in global trading in strong worker power countries changes in real wages were best predicted by changes in productivity and inflation although in one case of a strong worker power country a significant positive association occurred between global trading and real wages

the wage curve a review in the wage qurve david g blancflower and andrew j oswald argue that there is a fundamental negative relation between wages and the unemployment rate in a worker s local labor market blancflower and oswald use large scale micro data sets to estimate this relation for the united states britain and 10 other countries i review their empirical methods and findings and provide some further evidence on the nature of the wage curve relationship in the united states i conclude that there is a strong statistical correlation between rates of pay and local unemployment although the interpretation of this correlation remains unresolved this abstract was borrowed from another version of this item

the role of social capital in financial development to identify the effect of social capital on financial development we exploit social capital differences within italy in high social capital areas households are more likely to use checks invest less in cash and more in stock have higher access to institutional credit and make less use of informal credit the effect of social capital is stronger where legal enforcement is weaker and among less educated people these results are not driven by omitted environmental variables since we show that the behavior of movers is still affected by the level of social capital of the province where they were born

the colonial origins of comparative development an empirical investigation comment abstract acemoglu johnson and robinson s 2001 seminal article argues property rights institutions powerfully affect national income using estimated mortality rates of early european settlers t

institutions and the resource curse countries rich in natural resources constitute both growth losers and growth winners we claim that the main reason for these diverging experiences is differences in the quality of institutions more natural resources push aggregate income down when institutions are grabber friendly while more resources raise income when institutions are producer friendly we test this theory building on sachs and warner s influential works on the resource curse our main hypothesis that institutions are decisive for the resource curse is confirmed our results contrast the claims of sachs and warner that institutions do not play a role

statehood experience legal traditions and climate change policies this study investigates how the implementation of modern climate change policies is related to former colonies length of state history and their legal heritage we argue that countries with longer statehood experience around the time of colonization were better equipped to implement the legal philosophies transplanted by their colonial powers therefore the implications of receiving british common law versus french civil law should be particularly important in countries with a greater accumulated history of statehood using a cross section of up to 78 former colonies our results provide support for this hypothesis in particular our estimates demonstrate that common law countries have weaker modern climate change policies than civil law countries and the difference is inflated by a longer statehood experience measured by the length of state history from 1 to 1800 ad legal origin has no effect in areas which by the time of colonization had no statehood experience finally we report similar results for the pattern of labor market regulations jel k15 k31 k32 o44 q54 q58

culture legal origins and financial development this study proposes that countries with a cultural orientation toward individualism tend to enjoy a higher level of financial development estimates based on cross country data lend strong support to this hypothesis specifically the results indicate that existing disparity in the level of financial development is significantly correlated with variation in the extent of individualism across countries where a one standard deviation increase in individualism is associated with 0 631 standard deviations improvement in the level of financial development the results are robust to a number of considerations additional results provide some support to the notion that individualistic culture and legal origin may serve as complements rather than substitutes to each other jel o40 o50 z10

culture openness and finance abstract differences in culture proxied by differences in religion and language cannot be ignored when examining why investor protection differs across countries we show that a country s principal religion predicts the cross sectional variation in creditor rights better than a country s natural openness to international trade its language its income per capita or the origin of its legal system catholic countries protect the rights of creditors less well than protestant countries a country s natural openness to international trade mitigates the influence of religion on creditor rights culture proxies are also helpful in understanding how investor rights are enforced across countries

the effect of financial development on convergence theory and evidence we introduce imperfect creditor protection in a multicountry schumpeterian growth model the theory predicts that any country with more than some critical level of financial development will converge to the growth rate of the world technology frontier and that all other countries will have a strictly lower long run growth rate we present evidence supporting these and other implications in the form of a cross country growth regression with a significant and sizable negative coefficient on initial per capita gdp relative to the united states interacted with financial intermediation in addition we find that other variables representing schooling geography health policy politics and institutions do not affect the significance of the interaction between financial intermediation and initial per capita gdp and do not show any independent effect on convergence in the regressions our findings are robust to removal of outliers and to alternative conditioning sets estimation procedures and measures of financial development

financial liberalization financial sector development and growth evidence from malaysia abstract the objective of this paper is to examine whether financial development leads to economic growth or vice versa in the small open economy of malaysia using time series data from 1960 to 2001 we conduct cointegration and causality tests to assess the finance growth link by taking the real interest rate and financial repression into account the empirical evidence suggests that financial liberalization through removing the repressionist policies has a favorable effect in stimulating financial sector development financial depth and economic development are positively related but contrary to the conventional findings our results support robinson s view that output growth leads to higher financial depth in the long run

financial development and economic growth views and agenda this critique argues that the preponderance of theoretical reasoning and empirical evidence suggests a positive first order relationship between financial development and economic growth the body of work would push even most skeptics toward the belief that the development of financial markets and institutions is a critical and inextricable part of the growth process and away from the view that the financial system is an inconsequential sideshow responding passively to economic growth many gaps remain however and the paper highlights areas in acute need of additional research