the causes of preference reversal observed preference reversal cannot be adequately explained by violations of independence the reduction axiom or transitivity the primary cause of preference reversal is the failure of procedure invariance especially the overpricing of low probability high payoff bets this result violates regret theory and generalized nonindependent utility models preference reversal and a new reversal involving time preferences are explained by scale compatibility which implies that payoffs are weighted more heavily in pricing than in choice copyright 1990 by american economic association

a multiobjective approach to vendor selection abstract purchases from vendors involve significant costs for many firms decisions related to these purchases include the selection of vendors and the determination of order quantities to be placed with the selected vendors such decisions are frequently multiobjective in nature that is they are evaluated by more than one criterion at least 23 criteria for various vendor selection problems have been identified in this article we present a multiobjective approach to systematically analyze the inherent tradeoffs involved in multicriteria vendor selection problems the approach is motivated by and demonstrated with an actual purchasing problem facing a division of a fortune 500 company

preferences for proxy attributes a proxy attribute is an indirect measure of an ultimate decision objective keeney and raiffa keeney r l h raiffa 1976 decisions with multiple objectives preferences and value tradeoffs john wiley new york argued that assessing utility functions over proxy attributes requires complex inferences that may exceed the human capacity for consistent judgment thus biasing utility assessments this hypothesis was tested in an experimental study of preferences for pollution control alternatives each decision maker made two sets of utility assessments the first regarding outcomes described by the fundamental attributes pollution control cost and pollution related illness the second regarding outcomes described by the fundamental attribute pollution control cost and the proxy attribute pollution emissions level which served as an indirect measure of illness the subjects displayed a near universal bias to overweight the proxy attribute relative to the prescriptions of expected utility theory the bias was large resulting in a substantial loss of expected utility in a simulated policy decision making scenario to account for this bias we developed three heuristic models of preferences for proxy attributes the best guess worst case and relative importance models the results strongly favored the relative importance model according to which decision makers assess scaling constants by relying on general attitudes regarding the relative importance of different decision objectives rather than on well articulated preferences for rates of substitution between pairs of attributes

preference anomalies preference elicitation and the discovered preference hypothesis there is wide ranging evidence much of it deriving from economics experiments of anomalies in behaviour that challenge standard preference theories this paper explores the implications of these anomalies for preference elicitation methods because methods that are used to inform public policy such as contingent valuation are based on standard preference theories their validity may be called into question by the anomaly data however on a new interpretation these anomalies do not contradict standard theory but are errors in stated preference that can be expected to disappear as people become more experienced in relevant decision environments we explore the evidence for this interpretation and what implications follow for preference elicitation methodology

hybrid revenue caps and incentive regulation abstract this paper analyzes the incentive effects of a hybrid revenue cap on a regulated monopolistic firm using non discriminatory two part pricing it is shown that the fixed and the variable part of the cap have different meanings in terms of regulation the fixed part of a hybrid revenue cap should be used to control the profit level of the regulated firm while the variable part should be used to control the social efficiency level since detailed information about the firm s cost function is required to determine the revenue cap parameters the overall conclusion is that revenue caps are a rather bad idea in the area of incentive regulation

interpreting the macroeconomic time series facts the effects of monetary policy existing theory and evidence on the effects of monetary policy are reviewed substantial room for disagreement among economists remains new evidence based on multivariate time series studies of several countries is presented while certain patterns in the data consistent with effective monetary policy are strikingly similar across countries others particularly the tendency of interest rate increases to predict high inflation are harder to reconcile with effective monetary policy

issues in the use of ratings based versus choice based conjoint analysis in operations management research conjoint analysis has played an important role in helping make a number of operations management decisions including product and service design supplier selection and service operations capacity many recent advances in this area have raised questions about the most appropriate form of conjoint analysis for this research we review recent developments in the literature and provide new evidence on how the choice between ratings and choice based conjoint models might affect the estimates of customer demand used in operations management models the biggest systematic difference between ratings based rb and choice based cb parameters is consistent with the compatibility effect i e some enriched attributes like brand name tend to be more important in rb models and some comparable attributes like price are likely to be more important in cb models still there were reasonably small differences between choice and ratings based parameters parameter similarity was also seen in the lack of differences both in the choice share validations when the keep on shopping alternative was not considered and in the profiles that were predicted to maximize choice shares this suggests that the two approaches will produce similar estimates of the relative importance of various attributes in spite of demonstrated success with each method several reasons lead us to recommend the use of hierarchical bayesian choice based conjoint models first the slightly higher individual hit rate validations give us greater confidence in predictive accuracy overall as well as an increased ability to target individual customers additionally the greater ease of modeling both changes in market size and competitive reactions are attractive benefits of choice based models

multiattribute utility analysis the case of filipino rice policy major uncertainties and conflicting objectives often arise in public policy analysis this paper advances a framework that is appropriate for public policy problems frequently encountered in agriculture and food systems among other possible benefits its principal value is to provide focus on the major conflicts trade offs and subjective perceptions among affected groups it can be used to isolate major disagreements needed empirical evidence appropriate degrees of risk aversion equity value judgments and consensus solutions in an empirical setting the framework is used to evaluate price policy for rice in the philippines

eternal quest for the best sequential vs simultaneous option presentation undermines choice commitment a series of laboratory and field experiments reveals a detrimental effect of presenting options sequentially one at a time versus simultaneously all at once on choosers satisfaction with and commitment to their chosen option this is because choosers presented with their options simultaneously tend to remain focused on the current set of options comparing them among each other whereas choosers presented with their options sequentially tend to imagine a better option hoping it will become available this feeling of hope undermines how choosers subsequently experience their selected option resulting in lower satisfaction and commitment levels sequential choosers consequently exhibit lower outcome satisfaction regardless of which option they choose whether sequentially passed up options remain available and whether they have equivalent option information to simultaneous choosers thus enjoying the most satisfaction from one s choice might require being willing to give up the eternal quest for th

the dynamic effects of aggregate demand and supply disturbances we interpret fluctuations in gnp and unemployment as due to two types of disturbances disturbances that have a permanent effect on output and disturbances that do not we interpret the first as supply disturbances the second as demand disturbances demand disturbances have a hump shaped mirror image effect on output and unemployment the effect of supply disturbances on output increases steadily over time peaking after two years and reaching a plateau after five years

dynamics of global business cycle interdependence abstract in this paper we provide a comprehensive analysis of the time varying interdependence among the economic cycles of the major world economies during the post great moderation period we document a significant increase in the global business cycle interdependence occurred in the early 2000s such increase is mainly attributed to the emerging market economies since their business cycles became more synchronized with the rest of the world around that time moreover we find that the increase in global interdependence is highly related to decreasing differences in sectoral composition among countries

multicriteria analysis for agricultural resource management a critical survey and future perspectives abstract this paper reviews multicriteria analysis applied to agricultural resource management the applications utilize either methods for selecting multiattribute discrete alternatives including multiattribute utility theory or methods for solving multiobjective planning problems including goal programming our main purpose is to classify and evaluate the criteria attributes objectives used for modeling agricultural systems and to identify the difficulties for practitioners in applying the methodology the fields of study in agricultural decisions requiring further investigation are also discussed

multiattribute risky choice behavior the editing of complex prospects this investigation draws upon concepts from prospect theory kahneman and tversky kahneman d a tversky 1979 prospect theory an analysis of decisions under risk econometrica 47 263 291 and multiattribute utility theory keeney and raiffa keeney r l h raiffa 1976 decisions with multiple objectives preferences and value tradeoffs wiley new york in an examination of the multiattribute risky choice behavior of 128 managers the questions of how managers edit multiattribute prospects and how editing relates to various independence assumptions were explored the major result is that managers appear to violate attribute independence in its general form and especially in the form of the marginality assumption the most common form of behavior observed was multiattribute risk aversion for prospects involving only gains and multiattribute risk seeking for prospects involving only losses this result reinforces the importance of a target reference point or aspiration level that has been f

global business cycles convergence or decoupling we analyze the evolution of the degree of global cyclical interdependence over the period 1960 2008 using a dynamic factor model we decompose macroeconomic fluctuations in output consumption and investment into a global factor factors specific to country groups and country specific factors we find that during 1985 2008 there is some convergence of business cycle fluctuations among industrial economies and among emerging market economies surprisingly there is a concomitant decline in the relative importance of the global factor we conclude that there is evidence of business cycle convergence within each of these two groups of countries but divergence or decoupling between them

modeling synergies in multi criteria supplier selection and order allocation an application to commodity trading abstract we propose a novel meta approach to support collaborative multi objective supplier selection and order allocation ssoa decisions by integrating multi criteria decision analysis and linear programming lp the proposed model accounts for suppliers performance synergy effects within a hierarchical decision structure it incorporates both heterogeneous objective data and subjective judgments of the decision makers dms representing various groups with different voting powers vps we maximize the total value of purchasing tvp by optimizing order quantity assignment to suppliers and taking into consideration their synergies encountered in different time horizons we apply the proposed model to a contractor selection and order quantity assignment problem in an agricultural commodity trading act company we maximize the strategic effectiveness of both the customers and the suppliers minimize risks increase the degree of cooperation between trading partners on all levels of supply chain integration enhance transparent knowledge sharing and aggregation and support collaborative decision making

risk preferences for gains and losses in multiple objective decision making payne laughhunn and crum payne j w d j laughhunn r crum 1984 an experimental study of multiattribute risky choice management sci 30 1350 1361 found that managers were multiattribute risk averse for gains but multiattribute risk prone for losses a pattern that is inconsistent with both the additive and the multiplicative multiattribute utility models in this paper we develop the reference risk value rrv model which is simple in structure yet capable of representing the kinds of multiattribute reference effects observed by payne et al we also report the results of two experiments that compare the descriptive validity of the rrv model with that of the additive and multiplicative utility models experiment 1 involved choices between risky multiperiod cash flows experiment 2 choices between risky job alternatives described by change in salary and change in type of work in experiment 1 subjects were multiattribute risk averse for gains but multiattribute risk neutral for losses in e

supplier selection order allocation a two stage multiple criteria dynamic programming approach this paper proposes a two stage multiple criteria dynamic programming approach for two of the most critical tasks in supply chain management namely supplier selection and order allocation in the first stage to address multiple decision criteria in supplier ranking the analytic hierarchy process ahp is employed in the second stage supplier ranks are fed into an order allocation model that aims at maximizing a utility function for the firm as well as minimizing the total supply chain costs subject to constraints on demand capacity and inventory levels a dynamic programming approach is crafted to solve the proposed bi objective model

prominence versus dominance how relationships between alternatives drive decision strategy and choice this article argues that the structure of a choice set can influence the extent to which consumers weight a given attribute the results of seven experiments suggest that the relationship between options under consideration can influence preference ordering by shifting the decision strategy people adopt when constructing their preference in decisions in which people afford greater importance to one attribute versus another preference for an option that scores high on this prominent attribute may decrease when decoy options that are clearly better or worse than the focal options are inserted into the choice set the authors posit that this effect arises because decision makers initially and spontaneously use dominance cues rather than prominence when evaluating options and they continue to use this strategy even when it does not enable them to differentiate the alternatives under consideration the authors moderate this effect by prompting respondents to consider prominence and by manipulating the ord

verifiable and non verifiable anonymous mechanisms for regulating a polluting monopolist abstract optimal regulation of a polluting natural monopolist must correct for both external damages and market power to achieve a social optimum existing non bayesian regulatory methods require knowledge of the demand function while bayesian schemes require knowledge of the underlying cost distribution we introduce mechanisms adapted to use less information our p rice based s ubsidy ps mechanisms give the firm a transfer that matches or approximates the incremental surplus generated each period the regulator need not observe the abatement activity or know the demand cost or damage functions of the firm all of the mechanisms induce the firm to price at marginal social cost either immediately or asymptotically

some implications of investment cost reduction policies in energy markets employing green certificate systems around the world green certificate systems are widely employed as support mechanisms for the promotion of renewable energy production due to large initial capital costs for renewable energy projects investment cost reduction policies are often employed by policy makers as complementary support measures in this note we study some implications of the use of investment cost reduction policies in an energy market operated under a green certificate system we demonstrate that paradoxically use of or intensification of investment cost reduction policies results in increased emissions from fossil fuel black producers welfare effects depend on the distribution of costs and benefits to the relevant interest groups however if the policy objective requires maintaining a constant level of emissions investment cost mitigation must be accompanied by a simultaneous upward adjustment in the renewables target

multi objective models for lot sizing with supplier selection abstract in this paper two multi objective mixed integer non linear models are developed for multi period lot sizing problems involving multiple products and multiple suppliers each model is constructed on the basis of three objective functions cost quality and service level and a set of constraints the total costs consist of purchasing ordering holding and backordering and transportation costs ordering cost is seen as an ordering frequency dependent function whereas total quality and service level are seen as time dependent functions the first model represents this problem in situations where shortage is not allowed while in the second model all the demand during the stock out period is backordered considering the complexity of these models on the one hand and the ability of genetic algorithms to obtain a set of pareto optimal solutions we apply a genetic algorithm in an innovative approach to solve the models comparison results indicate that in a backordering situation buyers are better able to optimize their objectives compared to situations where there is no shortage if we take ordering frequency into account the total costs are reduced significantly

structuring resource allocation decisions a framework for building multi criteria portfolio models with area grouped options multi criteria portfolio modelling has been extensively employed as an effective means to allocate scarce resources for investment in projects when considering costs benefits and risks some of these modelling approaches allow the grouping of projects into organisational areas thus also supporting the decision of resource allocation among organisational units in a way that is collectively efficient for the organisation however structuring in practice a portfolio model using this latter type of approach is not a trivial task how should areas be defined where should new projects be included how should one define the criteria to evaluate performance as far as we know there is very little indication in the operational research and decision sciences literatures on how to structure this type of model this paper suggests different ways to structuring portfolio models where projects are divided into areas and evaluated by multiple criteria and illustrates their use in two action research projects drawing on these experiences it then suggests a general framework for the structuring of such models in practice directions for future research are also identified

preference programming for robust portfolio modeling and project selection in decision analysis difficulties of obtaining complete information about model parameters make it advisable to seek robust solutions that perform reasonably well across the full range of feasible parameter values in this paper we develop the robust portfolio modeling rpm methodology which extends preference programming methods into portfolio problems where a subset of project proposals are funded in view of multiple evaluation criteria we also develop an algorithm for computing all non dominated portfolios subject to incomplete information about criterion weights and project specific performance levels based on these portfolios we propose a project level index to convey i which projects are robust choices in the sense that they would be recommended even if further information were to be obtained and ii how continued activities in preference elicitation should be focused the rpm methodology is illustrated with an application using real data on road pavement projects

the exchange rate a shock absorber or source of shocks a study of four open economies abstract the paper provides svar estimates for the uk canada sweden and denmark making explicit a monetary policy reaction function and taking account of exchange rate targeting practices it examines the role of the exchange rate as shock absorber as opposed to a source of its own and destabilizing shocks we find that in all countries but the uk real shocks are predominantly symmetric relative to the neighbor implying little need for the exchange rate to act as shock absorber the shocks arising in the exchange market appear to have played a more important role in denmark than in the other countries

the total cost of logistics in supplier selection under conditions of multiple sourcing multiple criteria and capacity constraint abstract little attention is given in the literature to decisions on the appropriate selection of suppliers and on assigning order quantities to these suppliers in the case of multiple sourcing with multiple criteria and with suppliers capacity constraints only a few mathematical programming models to analyse such decisions have been published to date and these have tended to consider only net price as the cost of purchasing although the costs of transportation ordering and storage may be significantly important to the decision in this paper a mixed integer non linear programming model is presented to solve the multiple sourcing problem which takes into account the total cost of logistics including net price storage transportation and ordering costs buyer limitations on budget quality service etc can also be considered in the model an algorithm is proposed to solve the model and the model is illustrated using a numerical example

common mistakes in making value trade offs value trade offs define how much must be gained in the achievement of one objective to compensate for a lesser achievement on a different objective value trade offs that adequately express a decision maker s values are essential both for good decision making in multiple objective contexts and for insightful analyses of multiple objective decisions this paper identifies and illustrates 12 important mistakes frequently made that limit one s ability to determine useful value trade offs it then suggests how to avoid making these mistakes the intent is to provide practical advice for making good value trade offs and hence better decisions

goal based construction of preferences task goals and the prominence effect preferences inferred from choice are more likely to favor the alternative that is superior with respect to the prominent most important or salient attribute than are preferences inferred from matching direct tradeoff judgments this prominence effect violates standard models of rational choice and complicates the task of measuring preferences in this article we propose a new task goal hypothesis regarding the prominence effect the prominent attribute receives more weight in tasks whose goal is to differentiate among options than in tasks whose goal is to equate options we use this hypothesis to generalize the prominence effect beyond choice and matching to several additional tasks including the choice based matching and difference comparison methods that are widely employed in decision analysis the results of three studies provide strong support for the task goal account of the prominence effect and cast doubt on competing explanations we discuss the implications of these findings for descriptive decision theory and for preference measurement in decision analysis public policy and marketing

regulating without cost information the incremental surplus subsidy scheme the authors propose a regulatory mechanism called the incremental surplus subsidy iss scheme that can be implemented even when the regulato r has no knowledge of the monopolist s cost structure the regulator need only share the firm s knowledge of demand which may be imperfec t and be able to observe with a lag the firm s expenditures the i ss scheme induces the firm to set marginal cost prices to minimize p roduction costs and to undertake efficient investment levels it als o severely limits the firm s rents and eliminates them altogether if the firm s discount rate is known copyright 1988 by economics department of the university of pennsylvania and the osaka university institute of social and economic research association

a comparative evaluation of multiattribute consumer preference models in this paper the theory and estimation procedures for several consumer preference models are discussed predictive accuracy in the form of internal consistency of these models is compared in an empirical application consumer decision situations are classified into two classes decisions under certainty and decisions under uncertainty for each of the two classes of decision situations two modeling strategies have been used statistical estimation and algebraic solution an additive conjoint an additive and a multiplicative measurable value and an additive and a multiplicative utility model are considered our main finding is that the statistical estimation procedures outperform their algebraic counterparts on the criterion of predictive accuracy the utility model provides better predictions for decisions under uncertainty than the widely used conjoint models the relationship between models for decisions under certainty and decisions under uncertainty is discussed it is shown how a conjoint or a mea

identifying monetary policy in a small open economy under flexible exchange rates abstract previous empirical study on the effects of monetary policy shocks in small open economies has generated puzzling dynamic responses in various macroeconomic variables this paper argues that these puzzles derive from an identification of monetary policy that is inappropriate for such economies to remedy this it is proposed that a structural model be estimated to explicitly account for the features of the small open economy such a model is applied to canada with tightly estimated results overall the dynamic responses to the identified monetary policy shock are consistent with standard theory and highlight the exchange rate as a transmission mechanism

product category familiarity and preference construction marketers often base decisions about marketing strategies on the results of research designed to elicit information about consumers preferences a large body of research indicates however that preferences often are labile that is preferences can be reversed depending on factors such as how the preference is elicited in three studies we examine the effect of familiarity in two preference elicitation tasks choice and matching judgments we provide evidence of an interaction between familiarity and response mode choice or matching in each study in study 3 we test the explanation that preference reversals may occur when the interaction of response mode with product category familiarity leads to systematic changes in attribute weighting

the third round of euro area enlargement are the candidates ready abstract in this paper we study the readiness of bulgaria croatia and romania to adopt the common monetary policy of the ecb in the context of the third round of euro area enlargement following the optimal currency area oca theory literature we focus on the coherence of economic shocks between candidate countries on the one hand and the euro area on the other and analyse the relevance of euro area shocks for key macroeconomic variables in these countries our results based on a novel empirical approach show that the overall importance of those shocks that are relevant for the ecb is fairly similar in candidate countries and the euro area the cost of joining the euro area should therefore not be pronounced at least from the aspect of the adoption of the common counter cyclical monetary policy this conclusion holds for all three candidates despite important differences in their monetary and exchange rate regimes

on efficiency inducing taxation for a non renewable resource monopolist the problem of using taxes to induce a monopolist supplier of a non renewable resource to extract efficiently has been solved under the assumption that the government has perfect information about the monopolist s cost function and reserves and is able to precommit to an entire sequence of taxes over time we extend this literature by constructing an efficiency inducing tax mechanism that does not require the government to have any information about the cost function or reserves and which does not require it to precommit to a sequence of taxes over time

a mechanism to induce ramsey pricing for natural monopoly firms this paper considers a model with m independent natural monopoly firms it then proposes a taxation subsidy scheme that the regulator can implement to induce the m price setting firms acting independently to jointly adopt ramsey pricing the scheme has the following desirable features 1 the regulator needs only book keeping data on quantities prices and profits 2 the scheme induces cost minimization behaviour 3 the firms will not behave strategically 4 at each step of the convergence process to optimum each firm earns a non negative return and welfare is improved

choice based on reasons the case of attraction and compromise effects building on previous research this article proposes that choice behavior under preference uncertainty may be easier to explain by assuming that consumers select the alternative supported by the best reasons this approach provides an explanation for the so called attraction effect and leads to the prediction of a compromise effect consistent with the hypotheses the results indicate that 1 brands tend to gain share when they become compromise alternatives in a choice set 2 attraction and compromise effects tend to be stronger among subjects who expect to justify their decisions to others and 3 selections of dominating and compromise brands are associated with more elaborate and difficult decisions

the shape of utility functions and organizational behavior based on measurements among 332 owner managers we investigate how theglobal shape of the utility function i e s shaped versus concave or convex over the total range of outcomes relates to choice behavior we find that the global shape of the utility function differs across decision makers about one third of the owner managers exhibit an s shaped utility function and that the global shape is linked to organizational behavior i e the production system employed a result that does not change when using different methods to identify the decision maker s global shape of the utility function the decision maker s risk attitude risk averse or risk seeking does not affect the choice of the production system whereas the degree of risk aversion based on thelocal shape of the utility function may be important in explaining owner managers trading behavior pennings and smidts 2000 more structural organizational behavior appears to be linked to theglobal shape of the utility function

monetary policy and foreign price disturbances under flexible exchange rates a stochastic approach the analysis of monetary policy under flexible exchange rates has received extensive treatment during recent years particular attention has been devoted to the role of exchange rate expectations with a general conclusion being that many of the propositions of the traditional static flemingmundell model see fleming 8 and mundell 19 require substantial modification once such expectations are taken into account see 5 21 24 with few exceptions the analysis has been carried out in a deterministic framework the usual assumption made is that any monetary expansion that is introduced is initially ex ante unanticipated but having taken place it is then ex post expected to be permanent this assumption underlies for example the recent contribution by dornbusch 5 and much of the subsequent work that stems from it l this assumption while very natural is also a polar one in practice agents in the economy may attempt to anticipate monetary policy and the policies themselves

incommensurate resources not just more of the same abstract the pricing literature is replete with research that focuses on how consumers respond to sales promotions when both the reference level and the change are expressed in dollar terms i e discounts the psychophysics of pricing suggests that changes in monetary magnitude are not based on their absolute level but rather on their deviation from some reference level or how the change is framed often however a promotion is presented in nonmonetary terms e g a premium when two resources are delivered simultaneously but in different currencies e g receive a free razor with the purchase of a can of shaving cream the marginal value of the nonmonetary incremental benefit may be difficult to evaluate in relation to the focal product or its price therefore the value of the premium may be less likely than a comparable discount to be viewed in a relative sense and thus less likely to suffer from diminishing marginal returns this research explores how people often fail to exhibit the sam

specification seeking how product specifications influence consumer preference we offer a framework about when and how specifications e g megapixels of a camera and number of air bags in a massage chair influence consumer preferences and report five studies that test the framework studies 1 3 show that even when consumers can directly experience the relevant products and the specifications carry little or no new information their preference is still influenced by specifications including specifications that are self generated and by definition spurious and specifications that the respondents themselves deem uninformative studies 4 and 5 show that relative to choice hedonic preference liking is more stable and less influenced by specifications

focusing on the forgone how value can appear so different to buyers and sellers we propose that buying and selling price estimates reflect a focus on what the consumer forgoes in the potential exchange and that this notion offers insight into the well known difference between those two types of value assessment buyers and sellers differ not simply in their valuation of the same item but also in how they assess the value buyers tend to focus on their sentiment toward what they forgo typically the expenditure and buying prices are thus heavily influenced by variables such as salient reference prices by the same token sellers tend to focus on their sentiment toward surrendering the item and selling prices are hence more heavily influenced by variables such as benefits of possessing the item four studies examining buying and selling price estimates of tickets for national collegiate athletic association basketball games offer consistent support for these ideas the studies show that naturally occurring differences among respondents in attitudes relating to the tickets that sellers forgo e g significance of the game corresponded more closely to variation in selling prices than in buying prices conversely measures relating to the expenditure e g respondents concern with money corresponded more closely to buying prices than to selling prices using controlled manipulations we then showed that changes in aspects relating to the game e g expected climate in the stadium affected selling prices more than buying prices but changes relating to the expenditure e g list price of the ticket influenced buying prices more than selling prices we also showed that drawing attention to the benefits of possessing a ticket before asking for the price estimates influenced buying prices more than selling prices supporting our claim that otherwise these benefits are naturally more salient to sellers than buyers similarly drawing attention to alternative uses of money before asking for price estimates influenced selling prices more than buying prices

spillover effects from euro area monetary policy across europe a factor augmented var approach i analyze spillover effects from a euro area monetary policy shock to fourteen european countries outside the euro area the analysis is based on a factor augmented var model with two blocks which exploits a large cross country data set after a euro area monetary policy expansion production increases in most non euro area countries whereas short term interest rates and financial uncertainty decline these effects are on average comparable to the responses in the aggregate euro area however the size of spillover effects varies with country characteristics spillovers on production are larger in non euro area economies with higher trade openness whereas financial variables react to a higher extent in countries with higher financial integration regarding the exchange rate regime countries with fixed exchange rates show stronger spillovers both in terms of production and interest rates finally prices increase in western european economies outside the euro area but decline or do not respond in central and eastern europe

intertemporal tradeoffs for gains and losses an experimental measurement of discounted utility this article provides a parameter free measurement of utility in intertemporal choice and presents new and more robust evidence on the discounting of money outcomes intertemporal utility was concave for gains and convex for losses consistent with a hypothesis put forward by loewenstein and prelec 1992 discount rates declined over time but less so than previously observed under the assumption of linear utility for approximately 40 of our subjects constant discounting provided the best fit the remaining 60 were most consistent with harvey s 1986 power discounting our data provide little support for the popular quasi hyperbolic model which is widely used in economics today we observed an asymmetry in the discounting of gains and losses that unlike earlier findings cannot be explained by a framing effect

consumer choice between hedonic and utilitarian goods abstract in this article the authors examine how consumer choice between hedonic and utilitarian goods is influenced by the nature of the decision task building on research on elaboration the authors propose that the relative salience of hedonic dimensions is greater when consumers decide which of several items to give up forfeiture choices than when they decide which item to acquire acquisition choices the resulting hypothesis that a hedonic item is relatively preferred over the same utilitarian item in forfeiture choices than in acquisition choices was supported in two choice experiments in a subsequent experiment these findings were extended to hypothetical choices in which the acquisition and forfeiture conditions were created by manipulating initial attribute level reference states instead of ownership finally consistent with the experimental findings a field survey showed that relative to market prices owners of relatively hedonic cars value their vehicles more than do owners of relat

the relative importance of foreign and domestic disturbances for aggregate fluctuations in the open economy switzerland 1964 1981 abstract this paper studies whether the advent of floating exchange rates served to insulate switzerland from economic shocks of foreign origin it estimates a vector autoregression comprising four swiss and three world aggregate time series and interprets the results in terms of the properties of the vector moving average representation implied by the estimates the chief finding is that foreign shocks explain most of the systematic variation of the swiss variables in both regimes

a little paradox in the design of regulatory mechanisms several incentive mechanisms have been suggested in the literature to induce regulated monopolists to choose welfare maximiz ing prices and cost levels for their services among the desirable pr operties of such mechanisms is that their application should be contr ollable by third parties verifiability a mechanism recently de signed by sappington and sibley 1988 incremental surplus subsidy which is otherwise ideal in its properties fails to be verifiable a verifiable crude first order approximation to this mechanism retains some but lacks other of the nice properties possessed by increment al surplus subsidy this paper therefore analyzes closer second orde r approximations to incremental surplus subsidy paradoxically thes e approximations in a crucial sense are shown to perform worse than t he cruder approximation copyright 1988 by economics department of the university of pennsylvania and the osaka university institute of social and economic research association