mixed signals central bank independence coordinated wage bargaining and european monetary union plans for the european monetary union emu are based on the conventional postulate that increasing the independence of the central bank can reduce inflation without any real economic effects however the theoretical and empirical bases for this claim rest on models of the economy that make unrealistic information assumptions and omit institutional variables other than the central bank when signaling problems between the central bank and other actors in the political economy are considered we find that the character of wage bargaining conditions the impact of central bank independence by rendering the signals between the bank and the bargainers more or less effective greater central bank independence can reduce inflation without major employment effects where bargaining is coordinated but it can bring higher levels of unemployment where bargaining is less coordinated thus currency unions like the emu may require higher levels of unemployment to control inflation than their proponents envisage they will have costs as well as benefits and these will be unevenly distributed among and within the member nations depending on the changes they induce in the status of the bank and of wage coordination

energy backcasting a proposed method of policy analysis abstract there have recently emerged a number of analyses which suggest that there exists a large potential for soft energy policy paths it is difficult to illustrate this argument using conventional forecasting techniques therefore these analyses tend to use an alternative method called energy backcasting this involves setting policy goals and then determining how those goals could be met as yet however little attention has been paid to the theoretical aspects of backcasting techniques in this article a specific backcasting method is proposed which it is argued allows consideration of many factors obscured in traditional energy supply and demand forecasts

the impact of environmental policy instruments on innovation a review of energy and automotive industry studies various types of policy instruments have been implemented to reduce local and global emissions but the impact on innovation of different instruments has received less attention this paper reviews empirical studies of the innovation impact of four main types of policy instruments in two high emitting sectors the conclusions are threefold 1 policy plays a key role for the development and diffusion of environmental innovation in the studied sectors 2 different types of instruments promote different types of innovations general economic instruments has primarily encouraged incremental innovation general regulatory instruments has enforced improvements based on modular innovation and technology specific instruments appears to have been needed to support the development and deployment of radically new technologies 3 all types of policy instruments face challenges in design and implementation understanding the selection impact of the chosen instruments implementing increasing stringency levels committing to an appropriate scale and safeguarding policy stability

why are stabilizations delayed when a stabilization has significant distributional implications e g tax increases to eliminate a large budget deficit socioeconomic groups may attempt to shift the burden of stabilization onto other groups the process leading to stabilization becomes a war of attrition each group attempting to wait the others out and stabilization occurring only when one group concedes and bears a disproportionate share of the burden the authors solve for the expected time of stabilization in a model of rational delay and relate it to several political and economic variables they motivate this approach and its results by comparison to historical and current episodes copyright 1991 by american economic association

societal preferences partisan agents and monetary policy outcomes if different producer groups have divergent interests concerning macroeconomic policies how do societal preferences translate into state policy outcomes i develop and test a party as agent framework for understanding the importance of societal preferences with regard to monetary policy under capital mobility following the principal agent model political parties function as agents for different societal principals rightist parties tend to represent internationally oriented business groups with preferences for monetary convergence while leftist parties do the same for domestically oriented groups preferring monetary autonomy under capital mobility i present statistical evidence showing that oecd leftist governments have been associated with more monetary autonomy and currency variability than their rightist counterparts even after controlling for basic economic indicators such as inflation the statistical evidence also shows that societal group size tends not to explain either autonomous monetary policy choices or exchangerate stability thus even large and wealthy societal groups may be unable to obtain their preferred policy outcome when their respective partisan agents do not hold government power

overcoming barriers to innovation and diffusion of cleaner technologies some features of a sustainable innovation policy regime despite a deepening understanding of systems and processes by which the innovation and diffusion of cleaner technologies occurs relatively little attention has been given to the development of policy processes that reflect this deeper understanding a set of guiding principles for improving sustainable innovation policy processes has been formulated and disseminated by the authors and colleagues in research drawing on theoretical and empirical analysis including a case study of low carbon energy innovation in the uk and interactions with policy makers and other stakeholders through a series of workshops this paper elaborates on two of the guiding principles 1 stimulating the development of a sustainable innovation policy regime bringing together innovation and environmental policy regimes 2 applying systems thinking engaging with the complexity and systemic interactions of innovation systems and policy making processes to promote a transition to sustainability

the political economy of financial internationalization in the developing world in the last decade a growing number of developing countries have opened their financial systems by liberalizing capital flows and the rules governing the international operations of financial intermediaries one explanation of this rush toward greater financial internationalization is that increasing interdependence generates domestic and foreign political pressures for capital account liberalization while we find evidence for that hypothesis we find that the proximate cause in developing countries more frequently is found in balance of payments crises politicians perceive that financial openness in the face of crisis can increase capital inflows by indicating to foreign investors that they will be able to liquidate their investments and by signaling government intentions to maintain fiscal and monetary discipline the argument is explored through case studies of chile indonesia mexico and south korea

a review on global fuel economy standards labels and technologies in the transportation sector abstract globally the transportation sector is the second largest energy consuming sector after the industrial sector and accounts for 30 of the world s total delivered energy in 2008 the transportation sector accounted for about 22 of total world co2 emissions it is believed that this sector is currently responsible for nearly 60 of world oil demand within this sector road vehicles dominate oil consumption and represents 81 of total transportation energy demand the purpose of this paper is to highlight the possible opportunities to improve fuel economy and thus reduce global oil consumption and greenhouse gases there are three measures that have been reviewed passenger vehicle fuel economy and greenhouse gas emission standards fuel economy labels and improvement in vehicle fuel efficiency by advanced technologies fuel economy and greenhouse gas emission standards have proven to be one of the most effective tools in improving fuel economy japan and europe lead the world with the most stringent passenger vehicle fuel economy standards labeling is another measure that could play an important role in consumers vehicle purchasing decisions between similar vehicles labeling accompanied by standards of an appropriate type and level of stringency may yield synergistic results in this review several examples of fuel economy labels around the world have been presented such as in usa united kingdom canada china and australia finally advanced technologies have been discussed there are many technical opportunities to improve fuel efficiency and economy of motor vehicles in this review the possibilities of reducing vehicle power requirement advanced engine and transmission technology and alternative power plants have been reviewed it has been found that fuel economy standards labels and technologies offer a massive potential of energy saving that can be achieved in this sector and thus the authors promoted adopting these measures in the transportation sector

democracy and financial crisis existing scholarship attributes various political and economic advantages to democratic governance these advantages may make more democratic countries prone to financial crises democracy is characterized by constraints on executive authority accountability through free and fair elections protections for civil liberties and large winning coalitions these characteristics bring important benefits but they can also have unintended consequences that increase the likelihood of financial instability and crises using data covering the past two centuries i demonstrate a strong relationship between democracy and financial crisis onset on average democracies are about twice as likely to experience a crisis as autocracies this is an empirical regularity that is robust across a wide range of model specifications and time periods

innovation and diffusion of environmental technology industrial nox abatement in sweden under refunded emission payments we study the actual process of technical change in the case of nox abatement from large stationary sources that have been regulated by very forceful policies in sweden considerable progress has been made in lowering aggregate emissions and this paper seeks to disaggregate average industry improvements to study how much of it is due to innovations by first movers and how much is achieved by adoption and diffusion of technology we find both factors very important innovation has been rapid the best firms have cut emissions on the order of 70 in spite of this reductions have actually been even more rapid for the majority of firms so that the median firms have caught up with best practice we analyze various characteristics of the technological change observed

wec energy policy scenarios to 2050 abstract at the world energy congress held in sydney in september 2004 the world energy council wec decided in a follow up to the scenario work global energy perspectives last produced in 1998 to draw up new global energy scenarios for the period up to the year 2050 three fundamental changes were resolved compared with previous work policy scenarios were to be worked out bottom up based on the specific knowledge of the wec members from the various world regions second plausible basic assumptions were to be made for the scenarios to gear them to the wec s sustainability goals of accessibility availability and acceptability the three as finally the scenarios were to have a sufficiently long time horizon and contain clear recommendations for political measures designed to reach the outcomes aimed at by 2050

integrated resource planning irp and power sector reform in developing countries abstract the integrated resource planning irp approach is one that considers both supply and demand side options to meet the need for a resource while minimising the costs accruing to the firm and to society this paper focuses on irp as a tool for the power sector in the light of the existing problems and the ongoing reforms in developing countries it looks at the advantages that irp would afford juxtaposing these with the barriers to such a planning process those encountered in the past as well as the possibilities in view of structural changes it then discusses the policies that would enable the irp approach to be usefully employed to mitigate the problems of the power sector although irp has receded in importance in some areas of the world there are perceptible benefits for developing countries these could adopt such planning methods through the agents and the instruments suggested

examining the role of policy design and policy interaction in eu automotive emissions performance gaps in the wake of the 2015 dieselgate scandal the us and european governments publicly confronted automakers about their behaviour which raised concerns about the integrity of the current emissions legislation regimes in this article i argue that flexibilities within the eu s emissions legislative framework afforded automakers the opportunity to legally sidestep strict performance standards laid out in the law and resulted in a significant performance gap in real world driving emissions this article provides a timely examination of eu emission legislation policy design and policy interaction within the european union with the aim of explaining why the eu policy framework failed to regulate the regional automotive industry current research is mostly concerned with the typology and effectiveness of individual environmental policy instruments be it regulatory or economic incentives that aim to influence industry behaviour this article approaches the current eu policy regime in a more holistic manner and focuses on the exploitation of weaknesses in the regulatory framework by private firms which has received little academic attention in the innovation and transition literature a major contribution of this article therefore is a body of primary qualitative interview data from industry elites concerning relevant emissions policies

global horse trading imf loans for votes in the united nations security council we investigate whether temporary members of the united nations security council receive favorable treatment from the international monetary fund imf using panel data for 197 countries over the period from 1951 to 2004 our results indicate a robust positive relationship between temporary security council membership and participation in imf programs even after accounting for economic political and country specific factors there is also evidence that security council membership reduces the number of conditions included in imf programs imf loans seem to be a mechanism by which the major shareholders of the fund can win favor with voting members of the security council

the political economy of adjustment and rebalancing abstract debt and balance of payments crises are politically controversial in the aftermath of such crises conflict typically breaks out over how the burden of adjustment will be distributed there is international conflict between debtor nations and creditor nations over how outstanding debts will be resolved and there is conflict within nations over who will make the sacrifices necessary to get economies back on track these political conflicts often become so bitter and protracted that they impede productive bargaining over the adjustment process the characteristics of socio economic and political divisions within societies affect the battles over economic adjustment as well as who will emerge victorious from these battles and how difficult it may be to arrive at a productive resolution of the crisis

socio technical inertia understanding the barriers to electric vehicles it is widely accepted that electrification of the transport sector is one of several technological trajectories that could redress some of the environmental issues associated with the growth in travel demand including climate change and oil demand at a global scale and air quality and noise pollution at the urban scale electric vehicles have been considered a promising technology at repeated intervals over the last century but this promise has not been realised this paper is a contribution to understanding the key tools and strategies that might enable the successful introduction of new technologies and innovations by exploring the key barriers to electric vehicles encountered in two countries uk and germany where the automobile industry has been historically significant the study evaluates stakeholders opinions on relevant regulation infrastructure investment r d incentives and consumer incentives the key findings of the research are that the introduction and penetration of evs is confronted by several barriers that inhibit a larger market penetration under current conditions which in turn casts doubt on the assumptions of strategic niche management and transitions theory

real sources of european currency policy sectoral interests and european monetary integration in the thirty years before economic and monetary union was achieved european currency policies varied widely among countries and over time in this article i argue that the sectoral impact of regional exchange rate arrangements in particular their expected real effects on european trade and investment exerted a powerful influence on the course of european monetary integration the principal benefit of fixing european exchange rates was facilitation of cross border trade and investment within the european union eu the principal cost of fixed rates was the loss of national governments ability to use currency policy to improve their producers competitive position empirical results indeed indicate that a stronger and more stable currency was associated with greater importance of manufactured exports to the eu s hard currency core while depreciations were associated with an increase in the net import competition faced by the country s producers this suggests a powerful impact of real factors related to trade and investment and of private interests concerned about these factors in determining national currency policies

sectoral patterns of technical change towards a taxonomy and a theory abstract the purpose of the paper is to describe and explain sectoral patterns of technical change as revealed by data on about 2000 significant innovations in britain since 1945 most technological knowledge turns out not to be information that is generally applicable and easily reproducible but specific to firms and applications cumulative in development and varied amongst sectors in source and direction innovating firms principally in electronics and chemicals are relatively big and they develop innovations over a wide range of specific product groups within their principal sector but relatively few outside firms principally in mechanical and instrument engineering are relatively small and specialised and they exist in symbiosis with large firms in scale intensive sectors like metal manufacture and vehicles who make a significant contribution to their own process technology in textile firms on the other hand most process innovations come from suppliers these characteristics and variations can be classified in a three part taxonomy based on firms 1 supplier dominated 2 production intensive 3 science based they can be explained by sources of technology requirements of users and possibilities for appropriation this explanation has implications for our understanding of the sources and directions of technical change firms diversification behaviour the dynamic relationship between technology and industrial structure and the formation of technological skills and advantages at the level of the firm the region and the country

fiscal space and sovereign risk pricing in a currency union abstract we examine how membership in a currency union affects public debt sustainability and market assessments of default risk in eurozone countries we argue that there exist offsetting effects expectations of bailouts tend to make a given level of debt more sustainable lowering bond yields and cds rates but constraints on the use of monetary policy would tend to have the opposite effect pushing rates up especially as room for fiscal maneuver gets exhausted we develop a formal concept of fiscal space which takes account of the notion of fiscal fatigue under which there are limits to the government s ability to raise the primary surplus in response to higher debt and apply it to the eurozone countries investigating in particular how currency union membership affects cds and bond rates during both quiet and turbulent times for a given amount of fiscal space we find that in quiet times cds and bond rates for eurozone members were below what would be expected given their fiscal space a bonus from currency union membership but when the crisis erupted cds and bond yields rose more sharply for eurozone members than would be predicted based on their available fiscal space our interpretation is that sovereign bailouts did not occur with the hoped for alacrity in euro crisis countries generating sharper penalties for sovereigns that belong to a currency union

democratic institutions and exchange rate commitments since the collapse of the bretton woods system countries have been able to choose from a variety of exchange rate arrangements we argue that politicians incentives condition the choice of an exchange rate arrangement these incentives reflect the configuration of domestic political institutions particularly electoral and legislative institutions in systems where the cost of electoral defeat is high and electoral timing is exogenous politicians will be less willing to forgo their discretion over monetary policy with a fixed exchange rate in systems where the costs of electoral defeat are low and electoral timing is endogenous politicians are more likely to adopt a fixed exchange rate regime consequently differences in domestic political systems can help account for variations in the choice of exchange rate arrangements we test this argument using constrained multinomial logit and binomial logit on a sample of twenty democracies over the period 1974 95 domestic political institutions have a significant effect on exchange rate regime choice even after controlling for systemic macroeconomic and other political variables

preferences for international redistribution the divide over the eurozone bailouts why do voters agree to bear the costs of bailing out other countries despite the prominence of public opinion in the ongoing debate over the eurozone bailouts voters preferences on the topic are poorly understood we conduct the first systematic analysis of this issue using observational and experimental survey data from germany the country shouldering the largest share of the eu s financial rescue fund testing a range of theoretical explanations we find that individuals own economic standing has limited explanatory power in accounting for their position on the bailouts in contrast social dispositions such as altruism and cosmopolitanism robustly correlate with support for the bailouts the results indicate that the divide in public opinion over the bailouts does not reflect distributive lines separating domestic winners and losers instead the bailout debate is better understood as a foreign policy issue that pits economic nationalist sentiments versus greater cosmopolitan affinity and other regarding concerns

capital rules the domestic politics of international regulatory harmonization in the past fifteen years financial regulators from the developed world have attempted to create international regulatory standards in a variety of financial issue areas their negotiations are notable for the stark variation in the preferences of regulators toward international regulatory harmonization certain regulators actively resist any attempts at regulatory harmonization while others are vocal in their advocacy for an international agreement when will regulators seek to harmonize their rules with their foreign counterparts i propose a principal agent framework for analyzing regulator behavior that views international harmonization as a means of satisfying domestic political pressures the framework predicts that regulators are more likely to seek international regulatory harmonization when confidence in the stability of financial institutions is declining and when competitive pressures are increasing from foreign firms facing less stringent regulations i explore the consistency of the framework with two important cases in the history of international financial regulation the negotiations among bank regulators leading up to the 1988 basel accord on bank capital adequacy and the negotiations among securities regulators over capital adequacy for securities firms between 1988 and 1992 i thank gabe aguilera david bach ethan bueno de mesquita dan carpenter bill clark mark copelovitch jeff frieden dan gingerich dan ho devesh kapur joseph n r sanberg ross schaap allan stam matt stephenson two anonymous reviewers and the editors of io for helpful comments discussions and feedback i am also indebted to the thirty current and former regulators and financial industry executives who participated in interviews to advance this project finally i thank the weatherhead center for international affairs and the center for european studies for research funding

international negotiations in the shadow of national elections this study examines the role elections play in negotiations between states and the international monetary fund imf although loans made by the imf often require countries to introduce painful austerity measures that provoke a backlash from angry citizens some governments are able to negotiate more favorable terms than others original data on the substantive content of imf loans show that governments leverage imminent elections to obtain more lenient loan terms conditions that require labor market reforms in exchange for imf financing are relatively less stringent in loans negotiated within six months before a pending democratic election all else equal the further away elections are from loan negotiations the more stringent the labor conditions included in countries loan programs elections give governments leverage in their international negotiations and this leverage is effective even when states negotiate with unelected bureaucrats during times of economic crisis

energy the environment and innovation in this paper we review the theoretical and empirical literature on the role of policies in stimulating innovation that is designed to produce greener and more energy efficient technologies first we review the theoretical literature on the role of purely environmental policies in inducing firms to undertake environmental innovation the conclusion is that for a wide range of policies and in a wide range of circumstances one cannot prove that these policies necessarily induce greater innovation we then consider the empirical evidence which suggests that the effect of these policies is weak but that the largest effects come in the long run when through learning by doing firms better understand the scope and potential for new energy efficient technologies finally we consider the design of both environmental and technology policies and show that the interaction of these policies is complex and warrants considerable further research copyright 2002 oxford university press

the high politics of imf lending analysts have long suspected that politics affects the lending patterns of the international monetary fund imf but none have adequately specified or systematically tested competing explanations this paper develops a political explanation of imf lending and tests it statistically on the developing countries between 1985 and 1994 it finds that political realignment toward the united states the largest power in the imf increases a country s probability of receiving an imf loan a country s static political alignment position has no significant impact during this period suggesting that these processes are best modeled dynamically an analysis of two subsamples rejects the hypothesis that the imf has become less politicized since the end of the cold war and suggests that the influence of politics has actually increased since 1990 the behavior of multilateral organizations is still driven by the political interests of their more powerful member states

the globalization of liberalization policy diffusion in the international political economy one of the most important developments over the past three decades has been the spread of liberal economic ideas and policies throughout the world these policies have affected the lives of millions of people yet our most sophisticated political economy models do not adequately capture influences on these policy choices evidence suggests that the adoption of liberal economic practices is highly clustered both temporally and spatially we hypothesize that this clustering might be due to processes of policy diffusion we think of diffusion as resulting from one of two broad sets of forces one in which mounting adoptions of a policy alter the benefits of adopting for others and another in which adoptions provide policy relevant information about the benefits of adopting we develop arguments within these broad classes of mechanisms construct appropriate measures of the relevant concepts and test their effects on liberalization and restriction of the current account the capital account and the exchange rate regime our findings suggest that domestic models of foreign economic policy making are insufficient the evidence shows that policy transitions are influenced by international economic competition as well as the policies of a country s sociocultural peers we interpret the latter influence as a form of channeled learning reflecting governments search for appropriate models for economic policy

how responsive is saudi new vehicle fleet fuel economy to fuel and vehicle price policy levers abstract this paper investigates the drivers of recent improvements in saudi arabia s fleet fuel economy for new vehicles including passenger cars and light duty trucks vehicle choice models are estimated using both aggregate new vehicle sales data and disaggregate new vehicle buyer survey data the estimated models are used to simulate counterfactual policy scenarios simulation results suggest that the saudi gasoline price elasticity of demand for new vehicle fuel economy decreased slightly over recent years but it is still more elastic than that of the united states moreover the increase in domestic gasoline prices between 2014 and 2016 accounted for 42 of the increase in estimated new vehicle fleet fuel economy over that period finally the estimated elasticities and thus policy sensitivities vary by income and household size a revenue neutral household income and size based feebate policy could be more progressive than a gasoline price increase for improving the new vehicle fleet fuel economy

regulatory capture a review this article reviews both the theoretical and empirical literatures on regulatory capture the scope is broad but utility regulation is emphasized i begin by describing the stigler peltzman approach to the economics of regulation i then open the black box of influence and regulatory discretion using a three tier hierarchical agency model under asymmetric information in the spirit of laffont and tirole 1993 i discuss alternative modelling approaches with a view to a richer set of positive predictions including models of common agency revolving doors informational lobbying coercive pressure and influence over committees i discuss empirical work involving capture and regulatory outcomes i also review evidence on the revolving door phenomenon and on the impact that different methods for selecting regulators appear to have on regulatory outcomes the last section contains open questions for future research copyright 2006 oxford university press

the origins of persistent current account imbalances in the post bretton woods era why do some countries run persistent current account surpluses why do others run deficits often over decades leading to enduring global imbalances such persistent imbalances are the root cause of many financial crises and a major source of international economic conflict we propose that differences in wage bargaining institutions explain a large share of imbalances through their effect on the trade balance in countries with coordinated wage bargaining wage growth in export industries can be restrained to ensure competitiveness leading to persistent trade surpluses we estimate the contribution of these institutions to trade balances in organisation for economic co operation and development oecd member countries since 1977 and find ample support for our hypothesis contrary to much of the literature the choice of fixed or floating exchange rate regimes has only a small effect on trade or current account balances in other words internal adjustment in surplus countries via wage bargaining institutions trumps external adjustment by deficit countries

the european sovereign debt crisis the origin and propagation of the european sovereign debt crisis can be attributed to the flawed original design of the euro in particular there was an incomplete understanding of the fragility of a monetary union under crisis conditions especially in the absence of banking union and other european level buffer mechanisms moreover the inherent messiness involved in proposing and implementing incremental multicountry crisis management responses on the fly has been an important destabilizing factor throughout the crisis after diagnosing the situation we consider reforms that might improve the resilience of the euro area to future fiscal shocks

sovereign bond yield spreads a time varying coefficient approach abstract we study the determinants of sovereign bond yield spreads across 10 emu countries between q1 1999 and q1 2010 we apply a semiparametric time varying coefficient model to identify to what extent an observed change in the yield spread is due to a shift in macroeconomic fundamentals or due to altering risk pricing we find that at the beginning of emu the government debt level and the general investors risk aversion had a significant impact on interest differentials in the subsequent years however financial markets paid less attention to the fiscal position of a country and the safe haven status of germany diminished in importance by the end of 2006 two years before the fall of lehman brothers financial markets began to grant germany safe haven status again one year later when financial turmoil began the market reaction to fiscal loosening increased considerably the altering in risk pricing over time period confirms the need of time varying coefficient models in this context

the euro crisis the crisis in greece and other mainly southern eurozone countries has been discussed primarily as a fiscal issue current account deficits of the same countries have received less attention in spite of the relatedness of current account and fiscal deficits we argue that the failure of many countries within the eurozone to develop adequate internal adjustment mechanisms is also an important factor behind the crisis after reviewing the major perspectives that have been offered on the crisis we present data that support our argument by demonstrating the lack of price and cost convergence in the eurozone since 1999 ironically it seems that the surplus countries have carried out more of the adjustment pointed to by the endogenous optimum currency area oca theory than the deficit countries we recommend that the responsibility of a european debt surveillance authority should include surveillance of intra euro payment flows imbalances and adjustment in labour and goods markets and setting benchmarks for the eurozone guarantees of sovereign debt based on ability to adjust internally thereby a potential moral hazard problem of an implicit eurozone guarantee of countries sovereign debt could be avoided

reduction potential of co2 emissions in china s transport industry newhuadu business school research fund china sustainable energy program g 1311 19436 ministry of education 10 jbg 013 national social science foundation of china 71203186

a tale of two market failures technology and environmental policy abstract market failures associated with environmental pollution interact with market failures associated with the innovation and diffusion of new technologies these combined market failures provide a strong rationale for a portfolio of public policies that foster emissions reduction as well as the development and adoption of environmentally beneficial technology both theory and empirical evidence suggest that the rate and direction of technological advance is influenced by market and regulatory incentives and can be cost effectively harnessed through the use of economic incentive based policy in the presence of weak or nonexistent environmental policies investments in the development and diffusion of new environmentally beneficial technologies are very likely to be less than would be socially desirable positive knowledge and adoption spillovers and information problems can further weaken innovation incentives while environmental technology policy is fraught with difficulties a long term view suggests a strategy of experimenting with policy approaches and systematically evaluating their success

responsible mineral and energy futures views at the nexus societal prosperity is underpinned by access to the increasingly interdependent resources of minerals and energy in an era of mineral resource constraints and radical transition in the energy sector this paper reviews the extent to which a long term view of production and use is adopted in both fields a long term view including the mineral energy nexus is deemed to be necessary although not sufficient for managing future resource constraints and energy transitions alarmingly it identifies that the future of minerals resources and production is generally considered 5 10 years ahead rather than several decades or more as for energy additionally the sectors are generally studied independently rather than with a focus on the nexus with these findings as evidence of an unaddressed problem the paper then focusses on the current forces for change in the minerals industry namely community drivers regarding social licence to operate new technologies and consumer and government drivers on responsible minerals as discussions of sustainable development become displaced by the emerging discourse of responsible minerals what is adopted and discarded whilst responsible minerals considers chain of custody it does not adopt a long term view and overlooks the mineral energy nexus using three illustrative cases at the nexus of i rare earths renewables ii coal steel and iii uranium nuclear we extend the theoretical discussion on responsible with a range of contemporary examples from the perspectives of producing australia and consuming countries japan switzerland and propose a research agenda for an expanded notion of responsible minerals which recognises the complexity of the mineral energy nexus and connects it to progressing sustainable futures

uk innovation systems for new and renewable energy technologies drivers barriers and systems failures abstract a better understanding of the systemic processes by which innovation occurs is useful both conceptually and to inform policy making in support of innovation in more sustainable technologies this paper analyses current innovation systems in the uk for a range of new and renewable energy technologies and generates policy recommendations for improving the effectiveness of these innovation systems although incentives are in place in the uk to encourage innovation in these technologies system failures or gaps are identified in moving technologies along the innovation chain preventing their successful commercialisation sustained investment will be needed for these technologies to achieve their potential it is argued that a stable and consistent policy framework is required to help create the conditions for this in particular such a framework should be aimed at improving risk reward ratios for demonstration and pre commercial stage technologies this would enhance positive expectations stimulate learning effects leading to cost reductions and increase the likelihood of successful commercialisation

the innovation impact of the eu emission trading system findings of company case studies in the german power sector abstract this paper provides a detailed analysis of how the european emission trading system eu ets as the core climate policy instrument of the european union has impacted innovation towards this end we investigate the impact of the eu ets on research development and demonstration rd d adoption and organizational change in doing so we pay particular attention to the relative influences of context factors policy mix market factors and public acceptance and firm characteristics value chain position technology portfolio size and vision empirically our qualitative analysis is based on multiple case studies with 19 power generators technology providers and project developers in the german power sector which were conducted in 2008 09 we find that the innovation impact of the eu ets has remained limited so far because of the scheme s initial lack of stringency and predictability and the relatively greater importance of context factors additionally the impact varies significantly across technologies firms and innovation dimensions and is most pronounced for rd d on carbon capture technologies and organizational changes our analysis suggests that the eu ets on its own may not provide sufficient incentives for fundamental changes in corporate innovation activities at a level which ensures political long term targets can be achieved

comparative institutional advantage in the european sovereign debt crisis excessive fiscal spending is commonly cited as a root of the current european debt crisis this article suggests like others that the rise of competitiveness imbalances contributing to national imbalances in total borrowing is a better explanation for systemic differences toward economic and monetary union emu countries exposure to market speculation we identify one driver of this divergence a country s capacity to limit sheltered sector wage growth relative to wage growth in the manufacturing sector corporatist institutions that linked sectoral wage developments together in the surplus countries provided those with a comparative wage advantage vis a vis emu s debtor nations which helps explain why the emu core has emerged relatively unscathed from market speculation during the crisis despite the poor fiscal performance of some of the core countries during emu s early years using a panel regression analysis we demonstrate that rising differentials between public and manufacturing sector wage growth and wage governance institutions that weakly coordinate exposed and sheltered sectors are significantly correlated with export decline we also find that weak governance institutions are significantly associated with more prominent export decline inside as opposed to outside a monetary union

enforcing time inconsistent regulation i introduction passage of legislation is merely the beginning of the regulatory task the successful translation of policy from legislative debate into regulation is not guaranteed implementation may be especially problematic for regulations that are time inconsistent regulations have the potential for time inconsistency if the government cannot credibly commit itself to enforcement of the original legislation at every relevant point in time consider a law that sets a regulatory standard to be enforced several years in the future the regulation s implementation may take the following course for any given enforcement period first firms are expected to engage in long term investment to move towards meeting the standard second after that investment has been completed an enforcement agency reviews and has the opportunity to modify the standards shortly before the date at which they are to be enforced finally after the agency s review firms make short term investment to meet the standard this process may be repeated for subsequent enforcement periods this sequence of events presents inherent problems for the enforceability of a regulation during the long term investment stage regulated firms know that the relevant administrative agency may be unable to credibly bind itself to future actions given this firms may believe that the agency s enforcement posture depends on their own actions firms may therefore be able to act strategically to induce the regulatory agency to lower the relevant standard before its enforcement date facing such incentives firms may not undertake the desired long term investments upon review the enforcement agency could find that requiring firms to make short term investments to meet the standard may involve substantial social costs facing such costs the agency may grant regulatory relief and relax the standard in these circumstances society s welfare may be greater if firms engaged in the necessary long term investment to meet the standard prior to the enforcement date in order to force firms to make the necessary long term investment however the enforcement agency may need to threaten to punish firms by enforcing the original standard even if firms long term investments are below optimal levels the need to threaten this punishment places the agency in a difficult position if firms do not undertake the desired long term investments it may be in the agency s and society s interests to relax the initial standard to avoid the potentially higher costs associated with short term investments firms will understand this and thus make no ex ante investment towards meeting the standard the regulation is therefore time inconsistent and unenforceable in the case of automobile fuel economy regulations for example congress in 1975 set standards for model years 1978 and afterwards but provided the executive branch in the form of the national highway traffic safety administration nhtsa with discretion to modify the standard for model years after 1984 automobile manufacturers then undertook long term product investment that may have been initiated in order to meet the standards for model years 1985 1986 and 1989 however firms were able to gain regulatory relief from nhtsa at the start of the relevant model years if relief had not been granted there would have been insufficient time for further product innovation and firms would have had to meet the standard by eliminating less fuel efficient vehicles from their fleets a strategy that would have been costly not only to themselves but to their employees and customers as well see kleit 1990 and greene 1991 on the other hand in the 1970s the congress passed laws to be enforced by the environmental protection agency that required automobile companies to invest millions of dollars in pollution control devices while automobile firms achieved some delay in the implementation of the law the devices ultimately were installed

stimulating different types of eco innovation in the uk government policies and firm motivations in this paper we adopt a recent oecd framework and examine the role of external policy tools and internal firm specific factors for stimulating three different types of eco innovations that range on a spectrum of lower to higher technological and environmental impacts end of pipeline pollution control technologies integrated cleaner production technologies and environmental r d using a novel firm level dataset from a defra survey we estimate a tobit model which provides empirical evidence showing that these eco innovations are motivated by different external policy tools and internal firm specific factors our findings indicate that end of pipeline technologies and integrated cleaner production technologies are mainly driven by equipment upgrade motives with a view of improving efficiency while environmental regulations are effective in stimulating the end of pipeline technologies and environmental r d interestingly alongside government induced regulations we find that market factors mainly motivated by cost savings are effective in driving environmental r d finally iso14001 certification is effective in strengthening the positive impact of environmental management systems on both end of pipeline technologies and environmental r d while csr policies have no significant impact on motivating any of the eco innovations

the imf as a biased global insurance mechanism asymmetrical moral hazard reserve accumulation and financial crises a large literature has established that the international monetary fund imf is heavily politicized we argue that this politicization has important consequences for international reserve accumulation and financial crises the imf generates moral hazard asymmetrically reducing the expected costs of risky lending and policies for states that are politically influential vis a vis the institution using a panel data set covering 1980 to 2010 we show that proxies for political influence over the imf are associated with outcomes indicative of moral hazard lower international reserves and more frequent financial crises we support our causal claims by applying the synthetic control method to taiwan which was expelled from the imf in 1980 consistent with our predictions taiwan s expulsion led to a sharp increase in precautionary international reserves and exceptionally conservative financial policies

the political economy of monetary institutions in recent decades countries have experimented with a variety of monetary institutions including alternative exchange rate arrangements and different levels of central bank independence political economists have analyzed the choice of these institutions emphasizing their role in resolving both the time inconsistency problem and dilemmas created by an open economy this first generation work however suffers from a central limitation it studies exchange rate regimes and central bank institutions in isolation from one another without investigating how one monetary institution affects the costs and benefits of the other by contrast the contributors to this volume analyze the choice of exchange rate regime and central bank independence together and in so doing present a second generation of research on the determinants of monetary institutions the articles incorporate both economic and political factors in explaining the choice of monetary institutions investigating how political institutions democratic processes political party competition and interest group pressures affect the balance between economic and distributional policy objectives

ideology and voter preferences as determinants of financial globalization we propose that the global spread of ideas affects international economic openness policies and that to omit ideology as an explanatory variable for economic globalization is to risk omitted variable bias using voting data we create measures of global ideology regarding economic openness and propose that changes in both global and domestic ideology influence how open or closed to international finance an economy is we also test other influences on liberalization including proposed state centered diffusion mechanisms using pcsts and system gmm models we estimate the determinants of change in international capital account regulation for 82 countries 1955 to 1999 we thereby examine diffusion of both liberalizations 1950s and 1990s and closures 1960s and 1970s changes in both global and domestic ideology robustly influence liberalization and closure the capital account policies of neighboring countries positively and of the leading economies negatively also influenced a country s capital account liberalization

sovereign risk premiums in the european government bond market this paper provides a study of bond yield differentials among eu government bonds issued between 1993 and 2005 on the basis of a unique dataset of issue spreads in the us and dm euro bond market interest differentials between bonds issued by eu countries and germany or the usa contain risk premiums which increase with fiscal imbalances and depend negatively on the issuer s relative bond market size the start of the european monetary union has shifted market attention to debt service payments as the key measure of indebtedness and eliminated liquidity premiums in the euro area

japan s energy security predicament post fukushima if energy security is defined as the availability of energy at all times in various forms in sufficient quantities and at affordable prices without unacceptable or irreversible impact on the economy and the environment japan is facing an energy security predicament for a country that was already uneasy about energy security the march 11 2011 earthquake and tsunami which caused a nuclear catastrophe in tepco s fukushima daiichi nuclear power plant turned this unease into outright anxiety with the temporary and or permanent closure of many nuclear reactors japan has had to replace lost power tokyo has had no choice but to secure additional fossil fuels a strategy that has negatively affected japan s economy due to rising fuel costs the increase in japan s fossil fuel consumption has also caused a significant increase in greenhouse gas emissions and affected tokyo s commitment to kyoto targets this paper analyzes the consequences of the 2011 nuclear disaster for japan s energy security recognizing that japan s future energy policy choices are constrained and path dependent the paper outlines energy policy recommendations for japan s government

extended producer responsibility instruments and innovation in eco design an exploration through a simulation model abstract this paper presents an agent based simulation model that models both economical and physical relations between firms recyclers and consumers this framework allows an investigation into the connection between physical environmental variables waste flows virgin material flows and economic decisions of agents in the product chain i e firms innovation strategies consumers choices and development of recycling activities the paper highlights the value of using agent based modeling as an operational tool to investigate the effect of waste prevention policy on economic and technological decisions of agents we focus on three types of extended producer responsibility epr instruments which are recycling fees tax subsidy and norms the simulation results show that the impact of each instrument depends on the policy design in particular on the level of stringency and on the reward system which is implemented we show that only tax subsidy systems and stringent norms can lead to radical innovations and to significant changes in product designs in the case of tax subsidy the impact relies more on an innovation effect while in the case of norm it mainly relies on a selection effect

interdependence between energy and metals in china evidence from a nexus perspective abstract the lack of knowledge about the interdependence between energy and metals hinders sustainable management of the two essential resources in this study a hybrid framework which combines the environmentally extended input output analysis eeioa and ecological network analysis ena was constructed to evaluate energy metals use and flows within china s economic system in 2012 from the perspective of nexus furthermore the structural properties of nexus networks and mutual relationships between sectors were simultaneously explored the results show that hybrid energy direct energy metals related energy and hybrid metals direct metals energy related metals used by all the sectors were 1 22 and 1 05 times their direct energy and direct metals use respectively in both hybrid energy and metal networks mining industry and construction industry had a strong control and dependence relationship over 50 with other sectors reflecting the tight inter sectoral connection between energy use and metals use therefore stabilizing these main control and dependence pathways is essential to the system s effective operation in addition alleviating excess industrial capacity and optimizing economic structure are two effective measures to improve the currently low energy metals circulation efficiency within china s economy system by revealing the nexus between energy and metals in china this study provides important policy implications for trade offs and synergies between energy and metals use

linking induced technological change and environmental regulation evidence from patenting in the u s auto industry a b s t r a c t this article uses a carefully screened patent database in automobile emission control technologies and a detailed regulatory action analysis to examine firms innovation in response to u s technology forcing auto emissions standards enacted between 1970 and 1998 the study finds that under the performance based technology forcing pbtf auto emissions regulations both automakers and compo nent suppliers innovated and introduced more advanced emission control technologies for automobile applications the study also shows that stringent pbtf regulation temporarily induced domestic u s firms to become more innovative than foreign firms that operated in the local u s market during the early phase of the regulatory regime findings of this research strongly imply that government intervention in the form of technology forcing regulation can drive firms to invest in technological innovation

mobile capital domestic institutions and electorally induced monetary and fiscal policy the literature on global integration and national policy autonomy often ignores a central result from open economy macroeconomics capital mobility constrains monetary policy when the exchange rate is fixed and fiscal policy when the exchange rate is flexible similarly examinations of the electoral determinants of monetary and fiscal policy typically ignore international pressures altogether we develop a formal model to analyze the interaction between fiscal and monetary policymakers under various exchange rate regimes and the degrees of central bank independence we test the model using data from oecd countries we find evidence that preelectoral monetary expansions occur only when the exchange rate is flexible and central bank independence is low preelectoral fiscal expansions occur when the exchange rate is fixed we then explore the implications of our model for arguments that emphasize the partisan sources of macroeconomic policy and for the conduct of fiscal policy after economic and monetary union in europe

impact of public policy uncertainty on renewable energy investment wind power and the production tax credit abstract it is generally understood that the pattern of repeated expiration and short term renewal of the federal production tax credit ptc causes a boom bust cycle in wind power plant investment in the us this on off pattern is detrimental to the wind industry since ramp up and ramp down costs are high and players are deterred from making long term investments it is often assumed that the severe downturn in investment during off years implies that wind power is unviable without the ptc this assumption turns out to be unsubstantiated this paper demonstrates that it is not the absence of the ptc that causes the investment downturn during off years but rather the uncertainty over its return specifically it is the dynamic of power purchase agreement ppa negotiations in the face of ptc renewal uncertainty that drives investment volatility with contract negotiations prevalent in the renewable energy industry this finding suggests that reducing uncertainty is a crucial component of effective renewable energy policy the ptc as currently structured is not the only means existing or potential for encouraging wind power investment using data from a survey of energy professionals various policy instruments are compared in terms of their perceived stability for supporting long term investment

the contemporary european copper cycle 1 year stocks and flows abstract substance flow cycles can provide a picture of resource uses and losses through a geographic region allowing us to evaluate regional resource management and estimate gross environmental impacts this paper traces the flow of copper as it enters and leaves the european economy over 1 year and provides the numerical accounting of copper flows that are further analyzed in a companion paper in this issue we examine the major flows of copper from ore as it is extracted from the earth transformed into products and discarded or recycled a regional material flow model was developed to estimate patterns of copper use in the early 1990s in select european countries successive mass balance calculations were used to determine copper flows including the amount of metal that enters use in society and is deposited in waste repositories a database that records temporal and spatial boundary conditions and data quality was developed for continental substance flow analysis the majority of copper is mined smelted and refined outside of europe across the life cycle a net total of 1900 gg year of copper is imported into europe about 40 of cathode copper produced within the system is made from old and new scrap it is estimated that approximately 8 kg of copper per person enters use in society largely in infrastructure buildings industry and private households the majority of copper in finished products is contained in pure form 70 the remainder in alloy form the waste management system in europe recycles about 60 of the copper from waste the copper discard flow from post consumer waste is roughly five times higher than that from copper production waste this ratio would decrease if we consider production wastes generated outside of the european system boundary the net addition of copper to the stock in society in the system is about 6 kg person given the in service lifetime of the applications of copper identified in this model most of the copper processed during the last few decades still resides in society mostly in non dissipative uses

command and control revisited environmental compliance and technological change in swedish industry 1970 1990 this paper addresses the issue of environmental policy instrument choice for achieving deep emission reductions in the industrial sector specifically it provides a a theoretical and empirical

the effect of standards and fuel prices on automobile fuel economy an international analysis abstract there is an intense debate over whether fuel economy standards or fuel taxation is the more efficient policy instrument to raise fuel economy and reduce co 2 emissions of cars the aim of this paper is to analyze the impact of standards and fuel prices on new car fuel economy with the aid of cross section time series analysis of data from 18 countries we employ a dynamic specification of new car fuel consumption as a function of fuel prices standards and per capita income it turns out that standards have induced considerable fuel savings throughout the world although their welfare impact is not examined here if standards are not further tightened then retail fuel prices would have to remain at high levels for more than a decade in order to attain similar fuel savings finally without higher fuel prices or tighter standards one should not expect any marked improvements in fuel economy under business as usual conditions

invested interests the politics of national economic policies in a world of global finance capital moves more rapidly across national borders now than it has in at least fifty years and perhaps in history this article examines the effects of capital mobility on different groups in national societies and on the politics of economic policymaking it begins by emphasizing that while financial markets are highly integrated within the developed world many investments are still quite specific with respect to firm sector or location it then argues that contemporary levels of international capital mobility have a differential impact on socioeconomic groups over the long run increased capital mobility tends to favor owners of capital over other groups in the shorter run owners and workers in specific sectors in capital exporting countries bear much of the burden of adjusting to increased capital mobility these patterns can be expected to lead to political divisions about whether or not to encourage or increase international capital market integration the article then demonstrates that capital mobility also affects the politics of other economic policies most centrally it shifts debate toward the exchange rate as an intermediate or ultimate policy instrument in this context it tends to pit groups that favor exchange rate stability against groups that are more concerned about national monetary policy autonomy and therefore less concerned about exchange rate stability similarly it tends to drive a wedge between groups that favor an appreciated exchange rate and groups that favor a depreciated one these divisions have important implications for such economic policies as european monetary and currency union the dollar yen exchange rate and international macroeconomic policy coordination

do energy scenarios pay sufficient attention to the environment lessons from the uk to support improved policy outcomes scenario development is widely used to support the formation of energy policy but many energy scenarios consider environmental interactions only in terms of climate change we suggest that efforts to develop more holistic energy pathways going beyond post hoc analysis of environmental and social implications can usefully draw on environmental scenarios a detailed content analysis of uk energy and environmental scenarios was therefore undertaken with energy scenarios selected on the basis that they were recent had a direct link to energy policy and covered a range of scenario types the energy scenarios rarely considered societal drivers beyond decarbonisation and focused on quantifiable parameters such as gdp while the environmental scenarios provided a richer narrative on human behaviour and social change as socio economic issues remain fundamental to the success of energy policies this is a key area which should be better addressed within energy scenarios the environmental impacts of energy scenarios were rarely considered but could have a significant bearing on the likelihood of pathway outcomes being realised fuller evaluation of the environmental interactions of energy systems is therefore required although the analysis focuses on the uk some international scenarios show similar limitations suggesting that the conclusions are more widely applicable

the eurozone crisis how banks and sovereigns came to be joined at the hip the eurozone sovereign and banking crisis evolved in three phases following the onset of the subprime tremors in july 2007 the risk premia spreads on bonds issued by eurozone sovereigns rose from historically low levels but they rose largely in tandem across the eurozone membership along with global banking stresses the rescue of the us investment bank bear stearns in march 2008 oddly enough marked the start of a distinctively european banking crisis accompanied by increased differentiation of countries within the eurozone with the greater expectation of public support for distressed banks the spreads that a sovereign paid tended to rise following evidence of stress in its domestic financial sector this was especially so in countries with lower growth prospects and higher debt burdens but there was as yet no feedback from banks to sovereigns finally as the limits of fiscal support for domestic banks became clearer and coinciding with the nationalization of anglo irish in january 2009 but gathering steam with evidence of the greek sovereign s distress in may 2010 sovereign weaknesses also came to be quickly transmitted to a more pessimistic assessment of the financial sector s prospects creating the potential of mutual destabilization ashoka mody and damiano sandri

analysis of policies to reduce oil consumption and greenhouse gas emissions from the us transportation sector abstract even as the us debates an economy wide co 2 cap and trade policy the transportation sector remains a significant oil security and climate change concern transportation alone consumes the majority of the us s imported oil and produces a third of total us greenhouse gas ghg emissions this study examines different sector specific policy scenarios for reducing ghg emissions and oil consumption in the us transportation sector under economy wide co 2 prices the 2009 version of the energy information administration s eia national energy modeling system nems a general equilibrium model of us energy markets enables quantitative estimates of the impact of economy wide co 2 prices and various transportation specific policy options we analyze fuel taxes continued increases in fuel economy standards and purchase tax credits for new vehicle purchases as well as the impacts of combining these policies all policy scenarios modeled fail to meet the obama administration s goal of reducing ghg emissions 14 below 2005 levels by 2020 purchase tax credits are expensive and ineffective at reducing emissions while the largest reductions in ghg emissions result from increasing the cost of driving thereby damping growth in vehicle miles traveled

veto players and the choice of monetary institutions i argue that two types of veto players matter in the choice of monetary institutions party veto players and subnational governments which are strong in federal systems but weak in unitary systems a crucial issue is whether voters can readily identify the manipulation of the economy with party players a second issue concerns the national party veto player s ability to control either fiscal or monetary policy in one party unitary governments identification and control are clear parties where such governments are common prefer flexible exchange rates and dependent central banks in multiparty coalition governments in unitary systems identification is traditionally difficult and the ability to target benefits to specific constituencies under fiscal policy makes fiscal policy autonomy more attractive for coalition governments such governments prefer central banks that are politically independent but that finance government debt under federalism parties that constitute the central government have less control over fiscal policy and they prefer flexible exchange rates subnational governments do not support a dependent central bank that gives more power to the central government

the political economy of the euro crisis this article introduces the special issue on the political economy of the euro crisis which aims to improve our understanding of the causes consequences and implications of the highly unusual nature of this crisis a financial crisis among developed countries within a supranational monetary union the article provides a brief chronology of the crisis discusses its underlying causes and reviews the ways in which comparative and international political economy can help us understand the crisis the article then discusses the individual and collective contributions of the articles in the special issue and discusses possible future research paths on the political economy of the euro crisis we conclude with a brief discussion of how a political economy perspective informs our understanding of the long term prospects for the eurozone and european integration

passenger transport modal split based on budgets and implication for energy consumption approach and application in china transport will be the strongest growing energy demand sector in the future especially in developing countries like china and it needs more attention the evolution of transport structure is very important in the dynamic of transport development and therefore worth emphasis in this study a modal split model maximizing spatial welfare and constrained by travel money budget and time budget is developed this approach differs from the general econometric based approach used in most existing macro transport studies and deals with the cost and speed of transport modes as important variables explicitly the model is then applied to china s transport sector together with sensitivity test despite many data problems the decomposition of energy consumption generated from bottom up model based on this modal split identified the importance of modal split and turnover expansion in the next 30 years which should be a stronger area of focus in transportation studies

improving the energy efficiency of buildings the impact of environmental policy on technological innovation abstract this paper investigates the impact of alternative environmental policy instruments on technological innovations aiming to improve energy efficiency in buildings the empirical analysis focuses on three main types of policy instruments namely regulatory energy standards in buildings codes energy taxes as captured by energy prices and specific governmental energy r d expenditures technological innovation is measured using patent counts for specific technologies related to energy efficiency in buildings e g insulation high efficiency boilers energy saving lightings the estimates for seven european countries over the 1989 2004 period imply that a strengthening of 10 of the minimum insulation standards for walls would increase the likelihood to file additional patents by about 3 in contrast energy prices have no significant effect on the likelihood to patent governmental energy r d support has a small positive significant effect on patenting activities

sustainability in mining minerals and energy new processes pathways and human interactions for a cautiously optimistic future the supply of minerals and energy is critical to global society however this supply is associated with social and environmental impacts leading to concerns of generational and intergenerational equity in light of these concerns a call for papers for a special volume on the mining industry was issued with the view that such academic work could assist in reducing the negative impacts associated with this industry this paper introduces the special volume the sustainability agenda of the minerals and energy supply and demand network an integrative analysis of ecological ethical economic and technological dimensions the special volume contains 84 articles divided into several themes sustainability accounting and reporting corporate social responsibility future mining challenges integrative frameworks for sustainability management aspects mining in a developing context and new frontiers in the oil and gas industry the special volume also includes two letters on contemporary issues with commentaries on these from experts in the fields viz community conflict and land rehabilitation insights obtained across these themes are summarized and recommendations are made of what is needed to build upon the findings of this special volume a research agenda is proposed for the future from the gaps and synergies identified the overall contribution of this special volume is that it renews the debate on the sustainability challenges for the mining industry and provides transdisciplinary insights into resolving some of these challenges

what lessons have been learned in reforming the renewables obligation an analysis of internal and external failures in uk renewable energy policy abstract despite operating a delivery programme for res e since 1990 uk targets and policy goals have not been achieved in response the government reformed the ro this article re examines uk renewable energy policy by analysing the internal and external failures of the various mechanisms to determine if government has learnt from previous experience in reforming the ro government did not learn from their own actions during the nffo ro transition evidenced by high levels of similarity in internal external failures the reformed ro is expected to significantly increase deployment has provided a renewables package by comprehensively addressing both internal external failures but major internal failures price financial risk still remain resulting in contiguous failures over two decades and two mechanism changes nffo ro ro reformed ro success will again be heavily dependent on a select few technologies and new untested measures to combat external failures mechanism extension to 2037 is probably the single most important factor underlying potential deployment increases however introducing a fit like system via the sheer number of bolt on reforms to counter policy failures indicates loss of direction and clarity overall although government appears to have learnt some of its lessons from the past two decades significant doubt remains whether renewable energy policy objectives will be met via the latest mechanism change

golden fetters the gold standard and the great depression barry eichengreen oxford university press new york 1992 pp xix 448 39 95

failing forward the euro crisis and the incomplete nature of european integration the european union eu project of combining a single market with a common currency was incomplete from its inception this article shows that the incompleteness of the governance architecture of e

lock in vs critical masses industrial change under network externalities abstract where increasing returns to adoption play a role in the diffusion of a new technology technological lock in is now often claimed to occur however this result and the modeling approach that produces it are problematic further innovations could never have a chance of disseminating if lock in had occurred in the diffusion process of earlier innovations yet in reality industrial change does not come to a halt the paper offers a discussion of the apparent paradox from an alternative modeling approach conditions are derived under which a newly introduced technology can successfully disseminate in the market despite existing network externalities

the innovation effects of environmental policy instruments a typical case of the blind men and the elephant abstract in this paper we examine the innovation effects of environmental policy instruments in four literatures theoretical models on incentives for eco innovation econometric studies based on observed data survey analysis based on stated information and technology case studies the aim of this paper is to critically examine the methods and the results we argue that the case studies literature even when its results are specific and difficult to generalise is a necessary source of empirical evidence about policy impacts and the factors responsible for these impacts pointing to issues that are neglected in the theoretical and econometric literature such as the specifics of the innovation context and policy interaction effects the paper states five synthesised findings and makes a plea for multi method analysis one other important synthesised finding is that the influence of market based instruments on innovation such as emission trading and taxes is far weaker than assumed

checks and balances private information and the credibility of monetary commitments the authors develop and test several new hypotheses about the anti inflationary effect of central bank independence and exchange rate pegs in the context of different institutions and different degrees of citizen information about government policies theory provides strong reason to believe that while central bank independence will prove more effective as a commitment mechanism in countries where multiple players in government have veto power checks and balances the number of veto players will have no effect on the credibility of exchange rate pegs conversely the authors argue that central bank independence does not solve the problems of commitment that arise when citizens are imperfectly informed about the contribution of government policy to inflation exchange rate pegs however mitigate these problems the authors present extensive evidence from cross country tests using newly developed data that provide strong support for their propositions

ossified materialism introduction to the special volume on absolute reductions in materials throughput and emissions drawing from papers in this special volume sv this introductory paper on absolute reductions argues that the magnitude scope and urgency of the sustainability challenge require a drastic change in global civilisation including a radical transformation of the institutional arrangements and socio technical systems that facilitate the pursuit of wellbeing the authors of this paper identify four main challenges to absolute reductions including the resource intensive conventional template for development macroeconomic structures and trade policies creating burden shifting and inequality a resourceefficiency improvements fallacy and the dominant consumerist culture and lifestyles the paper demonstrates

reconceptualising the policy mix for innovation abstract recent years have seen the emergence take up and use of the term policy mix by innovation policy makers and by policy analysts and scholars alike imported from economic policy debates the term implies a focus on the interactions and interdependencies between different policies as they affect the extent to which intended policy outcomes are achieved however the meaning of the term remains ambiguous nonetheless we argue that the emergence of the policy mix concept into common use in the field of innovation policy studies provides us with a window of opportunity to reconsider some basic and often hidden assumptions in order to better deal with a messy and complex multi level multi actor reality we draw upon a range of literatures to re conceptualise the basic building blocks of innovation policy studies in order to arrive at a useful definition of policy mix tensions and interactions of different kinds across a series of dimensions we suggest that this reconceptualisation has important implications for the future scope and focus of prescriptive and analytical innovation policy studies

a critical review of china s rapidly developing renewable energy and energy efficiency policies renewable energy and energy efficiency reee policies have far reaching implications for energy security climate change economic competitiveness pollution and human livelihood for these reasons reee has become a national priority for the chinese government particularly since 2005 this paper aims to critically review china s reee policies in six sectors electricity industry transportation buildings and local government in addition to examining the progress china has made in the development and implementation of reee policies this review also identifies limitations and room for improvement finally five policy recommendations are presented

crisis politics in europe why austerity is easier to implement in some countries than in others when countries face balance of payments crises their policy responses vary widely this article argues that the choice between the two main options of internal adjustment i e austerity and stru

why should brazil to implement mandatory fuel economy standards for the light vehicle fleet abstract ethanol production and the diffusion of flex fuel vehicles are successful examples of renewable energy in the transportation sector in brazil despite these achievements challenges regarding the brazilian fleet composed of inefficient light duty passenger vehicles ldpv need to be addressed in this regard political measures have been implemented for instance voluntary labeling and fiscal incentives related to fuel economy targets however there is still room to improve these instruments to capture greater economic and environmental benefits related to fuel economy in this paper we present information regarding the brazilian ldpv fleet its fuel consumption its co2 emissions and a description of the historical evolution of policies concerning fuel economy in brazil furthermore we estimate impacts related to the adoption of mandatory fuel economy standards mfes in terms of fuel economy and co2 emissions reduction this analysis indicates that 18 626 million liters of gasohol e 22 and 16 274 million liters of ethanol e 100 can be saved up to 2035 the related reduction of co2 emissions is also significant about 62 gg of co2

dynamic incentives by environmental policy instruments a survey abstract in this paper i survey and discuss recent developments on the incentives provided by environmental policy instruments for both adoption and development of advanced abatement technology a main conclusion to be drawn from the literature is that under competitive conditions market based instruments usually perform better than command and control moreover taxes may provide stronger long term incentives than tradable permits if the regulator is myopic if the government can anticipate new technology or is able to react on it optimally regulatory policies by virtue of administered prices taxes and policies by setting quantities issuing tradable permits are almost equivalent the literature also shows that under competitive conditions there is no difference between auctioning permits and grandfathering moreover timing and commitment of environmental policy is not crucial for adoption under competitive conditions commitment has positive incentive effects however if an r d sector has market power in the presence of market imperfections the ranking of the different policy instruments is ambiguous

review on fuel economy standard and label for vehicle in selected asean countries abstract sustainable supply of energy at affordable prices is vital to ensure the human development asean is committed pursuing for a clean and green region with fully established mechanisms for sustainable development to ensure the protection of regional environment resources and the high quality of people s life nowadays energy use in the transportation sector represents an important issue in asean countries therefore it is believed that the introduction of fuel economy standards and labels is the key to save energy in this sector fuel economy standards and labels are relatively cheap measure to influence consumer behaviour and to induce car manufacturers to produce more efficient vehicles fuel economy standards and labels for vehicle are being implemented in many countries around the world to save fuel consumption and mitigate co2 emission this paper is a review on fuel economy standard and labels for vehicle in some selected asean countries such as singapore indonesia malaysia philippines thailand and vietnam it has been found that singapore is the leading country in asean that has implemented fuel economy standards and labels moreover it has been found that the implementation of cleaner fuels standard play a crucial role in protecting public health and the environment from transportation sector emissions the most common alternative fuels used in asean are biodiesel ethanol methanol propane hydrogen and natural gas

a new approach for determining exchange rate level preferences in research on the political economy of exchange rates a good understanding of who will endorse and who will oppose certain exchange rate policies is central to understanding how actual exchange rate policies are made and how the global exchange rate system changes over time since existing classifications of exchange rate level preferences have several shortcomings this article proposes a new and more nuanced strategy for identifying preferences on exchange rate valuation this approach takes into account the complex interrelationship between exchange rate and monetary policy and the effects of these policies on balance sheets in addition the approach accounts for the dynamics of preference formation and change comparative case studies of currency crises in hong kong south korea thailand and taiwan show that considering actors vulnerabilities to exchange rate and interest rate changes enhances understanding of their exchange rate level preferences the case studies also indicate that societal preferences affect policy outcomes exchange rate stability was maintained in countries where private actors vulnerabilities to depreciation were high however when pressure intensified exchange rates were subsequently depreciated in countries where vulnerabilities to a monetary tightening exceeded the potential costs of depreciation

environmental regulation with technology adoption learning and strategic behavior we analyze a model of environmental regulation with learning about environmental damages and endogenous choice of emissions abatement technology by a polluting firm we compare environmental policy under discretion in which policy is updated upon learning new information versus under rules in which policy is not updated when investment in abatement technology is made prior to the resolution of uncertainty neither discretion nor rules with either taxes or standards achieve an efficient solution except in special cases when there is little uncertainty rules are superior to discretion because discretionary policy gives the firm an incentive to distort investment in order to influence future regulation however when uncertainty is large discretion is superior to rules because it allows regulation to incorporate new information taxes are superior to standards under discretion regardless of the relative slopes of marginal costs and marginal damages for the case of quadratic abatement costs and damages