long term intergenerational persistence of human capital an empirical analysis of four generations most previous studies of intergenerational transmission of human capital are restricted to two generations how parents influence their children in this study we use a swedish data set that links individual measures of lifetime earnings for three generations and data on educational attainment for four generations we find that estimates obtained from data on two generations severely underestimate long run intergenerational persistence in both labor earnings and educational attainments long run social mobility is hence much lower than previously thought we attribute this additional persistence to dynastic human capital the influence on human capital of more distant family members than parents

efficient responses to targeted cash transfers we estimate and test the restrictions of a collective model of household consumption using z conditional demands in the context of a large conditional cash transfer program in rural mexico the model can explain the impacts of the program on the structure of food consumption we use two plausible and novel distribution factors the random allocation of a cash transfer to women and the relative size and wealth of the husband s and wife s family networks our structure does better at predicting the effect of exogenous increases in household income than an alternative unitary structure we cannot reject efficiency of household decisions

welfare loss redistribution effect and restriction of output due to monopoly in banking abstract although several studies have estimated the welfare loss due to monopoly for manufacturing no such estimate has been made for banking this study seeks to fill that gap by estimating the deadweight welfare loss the redistribution effect total monopoly profits and restriction of output due to monopoly in banking for 1978 the analysis is based on 6 500 banks and over 2 000 markets results indicate that the deadweight welfare loss in banking is very small however the redistribution effect total monopoly profits and restriction of output in banking is quite large

market structure and performance in european banking it is a peculiar feature of european banking markets that in almost every country a handful of large banks tend to emerge over time whether through government encouragement or the workings of the market mechanism from a general perpec tive however it is difficult to evaluate the competitive implications of increased concentration the traditional structure conduct performance scp paradigm would suggest that increased concentration fosters collusion and anti competitive practices whereas the efficiency hypothesis suggests otherwise this paper presents tests of the two hypotheses with respect to the european banking industry using pooled and annual date for the period 1986 to 1989 the results generally support the traditional scp paradigm as an explanation for the market behaviour of european banks

macroeconomic policy in a two party system as a repeated game this paper considers the interaction of two parties with different objectives concerning inflation and unemployment and rational and forward looking wage setters if discretionary policies are followed an economic cycle related to the political cycle results in equilibrium this cycle is significantly different from the traditional political business cycle reputational mechanisms due to the repeated interaction of the two parties and the public or commitments to a common policy rule can improve upon the discretionary outcome by reducing or eliminating the magnitude of the economic fluctuations

the economics of worldwide stagflation the last fifteen years have witnessed dramatic changes in economics not only in the manner in which the economics profession views economics but also in the manner in which the general public views economics and economists by the late 1960 s there had emerged more or less a consensus macroeconomic framework that is an agreed upon structure to be used to study economic problems at the aggregate level robert solow stated as quoted in leijonhufvud 1968

what caused the rise of conservatism a french view conservatism daniel cohen existing theories of political cycles fail to provide an adequate explanation for the widespread shift to conservative economic policies on one view political parties merely court the median voter but this theory is incomplete because it fails to explain why the median voter has become conservative other theories differentiate parties by their ideologies but they wholly fail to explain where changes of ideology come from this author proposes an explanation that does not need to rely on changes in the underlying preferences of voters or parties but in which changing economic conditions lead to different policy choices thus while ends remain unchanged the means to achieve these ends may vary over time the distinction between right and left is still portrayed by the classical trade off between economic efficiency and equity in order to promote equity the government can always redistribute wealth but in order to preserve economic efficiency wealth redistribution should not be expected to be repeated systematically hence the median voter will prefer a laissez faire to an interventionist government when the economy is understood to be affected by a persistent disturbance and the converse when disturbances are temporary thus the shift to conservatism is seen as the result of the sometimes belated realization by the electorate that the shocks of the 1970s were long lasting current forecasts that unemployment in europe is unlikely to fall suggest the continuation of conservative policies irrespective of whether they are implemented by the right or the left

profitability and product differentiation in greek food industries this paper explains the increasing difference between the profit margins of differentiated and undifferentiated greek food manufacturing industries between 1988 and 1994 using panel data the 2sls results for the fixed effects model show important differences across the high medium and low differentiated industry groups the increasing difference between the margins of the highly differentiated group which includes the most profitable industries and the other groups can be mainly attributed to the greater sensitivity of margins in differentiated industries to advertising and demand changes

the determinants of earnings a behavioral approach we survey the determinants of earnings and propose a framework for understanding labor market success we suggest that the advantages of the children of successful parents go considerably beyond the benefits of superior education the inheritance of wealth or the genetic inheritance of cognitive ability we suggest that noncognitive personality variables such as attitudes towards risk ability to adapt to new economic conditions hard work and the rate of time preference affect both earning and the transmission of economic status across generations

time consistent fiscal policy and government cash flow abstract this short paper provides an interpretation and some extensions of lucas and stokey s results on optimal fiscal policy the discussion relies heavily on the concept of government cash flow which is related but not equal to the budget surplus time consistency of the optimal policy requires that a positive cash flow is used to buy up some debt of each maturity and contingency

the economics of schooling production and efficiency in public schools n recent years public and professional interest in schools has been heightened by a spate of reports many of them critical of current school policy these policy documents have added to persistent and long standing concerns about the cost effectiveness and fairness of the current school structure and have made schooling once again a serious public issue as in the past however any renewed interest in education is likely to be short lived doomed to dissipate as frustration over the inability of policy to improve school practice sets in this frustration about school policy relates directly to knowledge about the educational production process and in turn to underlying research on schools although the educational process has been extensively researched clear policy prescriptions flowing from this research have been difficult to derive 2 there exists however a consistency to the research findings that does have an immediate application to school policy schools differ dramatically in quality

the effects of reform on china s bank structure and performance abstract this paper investigates the relationship between market structure and performance in china s banking system from 1985 to 2002 a period when this sector was subject to gradual but notable reform using panel data estimation techniques both the market power and efficient structure hypotheses are tested in addition the model is extended to consider issues such as the impact of bank size ownership and whether the big four banks enjoy a quiet life on average x efficiency declined significantly and most banks were operating below scale efficient levels estimation of the structure performance models lends some support to the relative market power hypothesis in the early period the reforms had little impact on the structure of china s banking sector though the joint stock banks became relatively more x efficient there was no evidence to support the quiet life hypothesis probably because strict interest rate controls prevented the state banks from earning monopoly profits thus the ongoing liberalisation of interest rates should be accompanied by reduced concentration overall to improve competitive structure new policies should be directed at encouraging market entry and increasing the market share of the most efficient banks

on the relationship among efficiency capitalization and risk does management matter in local banking market abstractby employing a granger causality methodology in a panel data framework this article explores the relationship among efficiency capitalization and credit risk within the local italian banking system focusing the attention on cooperative banks we specifically test whether managers take more risks in highly concentrated markets i e monopoly than in partially competitive markets i e duopoly the evidence shows that in more concentrated markets management efficiency generates a decrease in risk taking rejecting the bad management hypothesis with respect to the partially competitive markets results are consistent with the idea that banks with less local competition are able to increase their profits by indulging more freely in rent seeking behaviour minimizing their risk taking and consequently improving the quality of their assets through additional screening processes the financial crisis does not seem to affect the conduct of management in terms of bank investment decisions and risk

mrs thatcher s economic policies 1979 1987 mrs thatcher s economic policies 1979 87 kent matthews and patrick minford mrs thatcher inherited a weak economy whose poor performance she attributed to policies of cosy consensus lax discipline high inflation and pervasive inefficiency these she sought to banish forever the authors stress the astuteness with which this radical programme was pursued rather than launching an immediate and grand assault on all fronts mrs thatcher picked off enemies one by one each victory consolidating her position for the next attack only when inflation was clearly under control could more radical supply side measures be introduced matthews and minford argue that the recession of 1980 81 was caused not by tight domestic demand but by external and supply side shocks subsequently tight monetary and fiscal policy did have powerful effects both in achieving rapid inflation reduction and in holding unemployment above its equilibrium level once serious supply side policies were introduced they had a significant effect on productivity growth and on the equilibrium rate of unemployment matthews and minford conclude that the latter was halved between 1981 and 1986 by which date it stood at 1 6 million or roughly half of actual unemployment whilst unemployment may slowly fall towards its equilibrium level the authors do not recommend fiscal or monetary expansion to accelerate this adjustment rather they advocate further supply side measures and deregulation to help markets achieve this transition

the compelling effects of compulsory schooling evidence from canada abstract compulsory school laws have existed for more than a hundred years and policies to mandate further education continue to be discussed the implications of these laws however are not well understood historical changes to compulsory schooling in canada permit an examination of their effects on would be dropouts under very different circumstances than those during changes in other countries mandating education substantially increased adult income and substantially decreased the likelihood of being below the low income cut off unemployed and in a manual occupation these findings suggest significant gains from this legislation which seem unlikely offset by the costs incurred while having to remain in school jel classification i20 i28

the economic consequences of president mitterrand france under mitterrand jeffrey sachs and charles wyplosz while french economic performance has not conformed to the enthusiastic promises of early 1981 this paper argues that the widely held view that it has been an unmitigated failure is unwarranted first the general deterioration can largely be dated back to the early seventies second the early and unfortunate attempt at a demand led expansion was both moderate in size and quickly reversed finally the post 1983 anti inflationary policies have been successful so that overall the disappointing french performance has been on a par with and in some ways better than the rest of europe but the main theme of the paper is the emphasis on the supply side the analysis is organized around the nairu the threshold rate of unemployment below which inflation rises in an attempt to explain the factors which have led to a continuous rise of the nairu since 1973 the paper focuses on labour costs particularly on the wedge between the costs borne by employers and net take home pay to achieve and sustain a significantly lower level of unemployment labour taxes must be cut thus reducing the wedge and the nairu and there must be a corresponding demand stimulus so that actual unemployment can fall to this level

family networks and school enrolment evidence from a randomized social experiment we present evidence on whether and how a household s behavior is influenced by the presence and characteristics of its extended family using data from the progresa program in mexico we exploit information on the paternal and maternal surnames of heads and spouses in conjunction with the spanish naming convention to identify the inter and intra generational family links of each household to others in the same village we then exploit the randomized research design of the progresa evaluation data to identify whether the treatment effects of progresa transfers on secondary school enrolment vary according to the characteristics of extended family we find progresa only raises secondary enrolment among households that are embedded in a family network eligible but isolated households do not respond the mechanism through which the extended family influences household schooling choices is the redistribution of resources within the family network from eligibles that receive de facto unconditional cash transfers from progresa towards eligibles on the margin of enrolling children into secondary school

identity and schooling some lessons for the economics of education abstract this review culls noneconomic literature on education by sociologists anthropologists and practitioners to present a new economic theory of students and schools this theory elaborates two themes that have eluded economic analysis first is the student as decision maker whose primary motivation is her identity second is a conception of the school as a social institution this framework suggests a new perspective on questions such as resource allocation and school reform it explains why some educational policies succeed and others fail we show how sociological variables may affect outcomes and suggest ways economists can incorporate them into theoretical and empirical research

the effects of class size on student achievement new evidence from population variation abstract i identify the effects of class size on student achievement using longitudinal variation in the population associated with each grade in 649 elementary schools i use variation in class size driven by idiosyncratic variation in the population i also use discrete jumps in class size that occur when a small change in enrollment triggers a maximum or minimum class size rule the estimates indicate that class size does not have a statistically significant effect on student achievement i rule out even modest effects 2 to 4 percent of a standard deviation in scores for a 10 percent reduction in class size

does an endogenous relationship exist between environmental and economic performance a resource based view on the horticultural sector the aim of this paper is to analyse the relationship between environmental and economic performance from the resource based theory within firms of the fresh fruit and vegetables sector this study considers that the adoption of environment friendly practices has a greater influence on firms opportunities and abilities in the agricultural sector than in manufacturing sectors and leads to closer links between performance variables the reference for this empirical analysis is a panel data of horticultural farming marketing firms in spain the voluntary environmental programmes and the heterogeneity of their application lead us to regard acquiring a competitive advantage as a relevant driver to improve environmental performance in this sector a simultaneous equations model is suggested reflecting the differential environmental effect and the assumption of endogeneity among variables the results show a positive impact of environmental differentiation on profitability and market share also suggesting that the perception of this positive experience implies greater environmental performance

all in the extended family effects of grandparents aunts and uncles on educational attainment while a substantial body of research analyzes the relationship between family background and schooling the influences of extended family members have received little attention extended family members can affect schooling by serving as role models by sanctioning or encouraging particular patterns of behavior and by introducing adolescents to experiences and interactions not available through parents siblings or peers this paper shows that older extended family members aunts uncles and grandparents independently affect the schooling of their younger relatives this finding can shed light in many areas for example gender differences in relationships with extended family members may partly explain schooling differences among siblings extended family members may also account for intergenerational influences not directly tied to observed nuclear family characteristics in the policy arena countervailing extended family influences may lower achievement gains from programs that move adolescents to more advantageous neighborhoods and schools on the other hand if adult extended family members can improve adolescent choices nonparent adult mentors in programs such as big brothers big sisters may also provide effective guidance for teens