wealth volume and stock market volatility case of hong kong 1993 2001 this article attempts to answer the question of whether the gain and loss in property market speculations and rate of information flow play a significant role in stock market volatility in hong kong to test for our wealth volume volatility hypothesis two different measures of volatility absolute absolute value of sd from mean with monthly dimension and conditional egarch are used and results are compared in both measures we find evidence of a statistical presence of a wealth effect on stock market volatility particularly in the investment of luxury class of property in hong kong to account for this result we apply the prospect theory house money effect and the newly developed conditional confidence theory although we fail to establish a volume volatility relationship in our estimation we offer additional dimensions to the explanation of our observation

revenue maximizing dutch auctions with discrete bid levels abstract this paper is concerned with setting a predetermined number of bid levels in a dutch auction to maximize the auctioneer s expected revenue as a departure from the traditional methods used by applied economists and game theorists a novel approach is taken in this study to tackle the problem by formulating the auctioning process as a constrained nonlinear program and applying standard optimization techniques to solve it aside from proposing respective closed form formulae for computing the optimal bid levels and the auctioneer s maximum expected revenue we also show that the bid decrements should be increasing if there are two or more bidders in the dutch auction additionally the auctioneer s maximum expected revenue increases with the number of bidders as well as the number of bid levels finally managerial implications of the key findings as well as limitations of this research work are discussed

the probability of sale and price premiums in withdrawn auctioned properties this paper examines the impact of the auction process of residential properties that whilst unsuccessful at auction sold subsequently the empirical analysis considers both the probability of sale and the premium of the subsequent sale price over the guide price reserve and opening bid the findings highlight that the final achieved sale price is influenced by key price variables revealed both prior to and during the auction itself factors such as auction participation the number of individual bidders and the number of bids are significant in a number of the alternative specifications

answering the skeptics yes standard volatility models do provide accurate forecasts a voluminous literature has emerged for modeling the temporal dependencies in financial market volatility using arch and stochastic volatility models while most of these studies have documented highly significant in sample parameter estimates and pronounced intertemporal volatility persistence traditional ex post forecast evaluation criteria suggest that the models provide seemingly poor volatility forecasts contrary to this contention we show that volatility models produce strikingly accurate interdaily forecasts for the latent volatility factor that would be of interest in most financial applications new methods for improved ex post interdaily volatility measurements based on high frequency intradaily data are also discussed

temporary boycotts as self fulfilling disruptions of markets abstract this paper demonstrates how equilibrium involving anticipated boycotts and actual boycotts can occur even though consumers are negligible and only care about the price they pay and the timing of purchase the model is a two period durable goods monopoly game with demand uncertainty first a non boycott equilibrium is characterized under regularity assumptions ruling out multiplicative uncertainty there are additional equilibria in which the firm sets a low price in period 0 based on the anticipation that consumers will boycott whenever the price exceeds a threshold also the augmented game with a publicly observed sunspot has equilibria in which boycotts occur on the equilibrium path with positive probability

ownership based entry mode strategies and international performance this study examines the relationship between ownership entry modes and performance the ownership entry modes examined are the wholly owned modes of acquisition and new venture entry and the non wholly owned mode of joint venture entry a theoretical relationship is developed for international entry modes that is based on the contingency characteristics of resource requirements and organizational control factors this model suggests that different entry modes have different performance outcomes based upon their resource and organizational control demands the theoretical model although developed using the eclectic theoretical approach is based largely on concepts and relationships previously delineated in contingency theory our hypotheses suggest that new ventures should outperform joint ventures and joint ventures should outperform acquisitions an empirical test using a sample of 321 japanese firms entering the north american market provides supporting evidence

equivalence of auctions and posted prices abstract we determine the equilibrium in two transaction mechanisms auctions and posted prices agents choose whether to participate in markets where trades are consummated by auctions or in markets where sellers post prices we show that the selling mechanisms are practically equivalent previous studies have shown that auction markets emerge as a unique evolutionary stable equilibrium when compared to bargaining markets posted price markets dominate bargaining markets similarly journal of economic literature classification numbers c78 c73 d44

on the choice of pricing policies ex ante commitment and prisoners dilemma abstract i study the endogenous formation of pricing policies posted uniform versus negotiated pricing by using a version of a two stage pricing game in a duopoly context the model explains the prevalence of uniform pricing in some markets countries and identifies a typical prisoners dilemma in these cases the sellers commitment to a pre announced price under uniform pricing mitigates the fear of buyers that they might be exploited once they start price negotiations while such buyers anticipation induces sellers to adopt uniform pricing in an attempt to capture more buyers it results in intensified competition with lower seller payoffs

what goals do business leaders pursue a study in fifteen countries goals in use of successful businesspersons were rated by over 1 800 junior managers and professionals attending evening mba courses at local universities in 15 countries a hierarchical cluster analysis of perceived goals divided the countries into seven clusters the relative ordering of goals within these clusters suggested seven different archetypal business leader roles perceptions correlated significantly with national wealth as well as with dimensions of national culture

revenue management with forward looking buyers a seller wishes to sell multiple goods by a deadline for example the end of a season potential buyers enter over time and can strategically time their purchases each period the profit maximizing mechanism awards units to the buyers with the highest valuations exceeding a sequence of cutoffs we show that these cutoffs are deterministic depending only on the inventory and time remaining in the continuous time limit the optimal mechanism can be implemented by posting anonymous prices when incoming demand decreases over time the optimal cutoffs satisfy a one period look ahead property and prices are defined by an intuitive differential equation

managing online auctions current business and research issues the internet s computational power and flexibility have made auctions a widespread and integral part of both consumer and business markets though online auctions are a multi billion dollar annual activity with a growing variety of sophisticated trading mechanisms scientific research on them is at an early stage this paper analyzes the current state of management science research on online auctions it develops a broad research agenda for issues such as the behavior of online auction participants the optimal design of online auctions the integration of auctions into the ongoing operation of firms and the use of the data generated by online auctions to inform future trading mechanisms these research areas will draw from applied and theoretical work spanning management science economics and information systems

optimal auctioning and ordering in an infinite horizon inventory pricing system we consider a joint inventory pricing problem in which buyers act strategically and bid for units of a firm s product over an infinite horizon the number of bidders in each period as well as the individual bidders valuations are random but stationary over time there is a holding cost for inventory and a unit cost for ordering more stock from an outside supplier backordering is not allowed the firm must decide how to conduct its auctions and how to replenish its stock over time to maximize its profits we show that the optimal auction and replenishment policy for this problem is quite simple consisting of running a standard first price or second price auction with a fixed reserve price in each period and following an order up to basestock policy for replenishing inventory at the end of each period moreover the optimal basestock level can be easily computed we then compare this optimal basestock reserve price auction policy to a traditional basestock list price policy we prove that in the limiting case of one buyer per period and in the limiting case of a large number of buyers per period and linear holding cost list pricing is optimal list pricing also becomes optimal as the holding cost tends to zero numerical comparisons confirm these theoretical results and show that auctions provide significant benefits when 1 the number of buyers is moderate 2 holding costs are high or 3 there is high variability in the number of buyers per period

dynamic pricing strategies with reference effects we consider the dynamic pricing problem of a monopolist firm in a market with repeated interactions where demand is sensitive to the firm s pricing history consumers have memory and are prone to human decision making biases and cognitive limitations as the firm manipulates prices consumers form a reference price that adjusts as an anchoring standard based on price perceptions purchase decisions are made by assessing prices as discounts or surcharges relative to the reference price in the spirit of prospect theory we prove that optimal pricing policies induce a perception of monotonic prices whereby consumers always perceive a discount respectively surcharge relative to their expectations the effect is that of a skimming or penetration strategy the firm s optimal pricing path is monotonic on the long run but not necessarily at the introductory stage if consumers are loss averse we show that optimal prices converge to a constant steady state price characterized by a simple implicit equation otherwise the optimal policy cycles the range of steady states is wider the more loss averse consumers are steady state prices decrease with the strength of the reference effect and with customers memory all else equal offering lower prices to frequent customers may be suboptimal however if these are less sensitive to price changes than occasional buyers if managers ignore such long term implications of their pricing strategy the model indicates that they will systematically price too low and lose revenue our results hold under very general reference dependent demand models

conditional heteroscedasticity in time series of stock returns evidence and forecasts this article presents new evidence about the time series behavior of stock prices daily return series exhibit significant levels of second order dependence and they cannot be modeled as linear white noise processes a reasonable return generating process is empirically shown to be a first order autoregressive process with conditionally heteroskedastic innovations in particular generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedastic garch 1 1 processes fit to data very satisfactorily various out of sample forecasts of monthly return variances are generated and compared statistically forecasts based on the garch model are found to be superior copyright 1989 by the university of chicago

economic insights from internet auctions this paper surveys recent studies of internet auctions four main areas of research are summarized first we survey several studies that document and attempt to explain the frequently observed sniping or last second bidding behavior in these auctions second we summarize several methods proposed to quantify the distortions caused by asymmetric information in these markets most notably due to the winner s curse third we explore research about the role of reputation mechanisms installed to help combat these distortions finally we discuss what internet auctions have to teach us about auction design

firm specific strategic advantages and foreign direct investment behavior of firms the case of japanese semiconductor firms we examine the effects of firm specific strategic advantages on the fdi behavior of japanese semiconductor firms we investigate the strategic advantages necessary for undertaking fdi in this industry and show that these advantages are systematically associated with the variation in fdi behavior we identify technological innovation a broad product line and vertical linkages with down stream businesses as sources of such strategic advantages we also show that size of the firm influences its decision to go international

optimal dynamic auctions for revenue management we analyze a dynamic auction in which a seller withc units to sell faces a sequence of buyers separated intot time periods each group of buyers has independent private values for a single unit buyers compete directly against each other within a period as in a traditional auction and indirectly with buyers in other periods through the opportunity cost of capacity assessed by the seller the number of buyers in each period as well as the individual buyers valuations are random the model is a variation of the traditional single leg multiperiod revenue management problem in which consumers act strategically and bid for units of a fixed capacity over time for this setting we prove that dynamic variants of the first price and second price auction mechanisms maximize the seller s expected revenue we also show explicitly how to compute and implement these optimal auctions the optimal auctions are then compared to a traditional revenue management mechanism in which list prices are used in each period together with capacity controls and to a simple auction heuristic that consists of allocating units to each period and running a sequence of standard multiunit auctions with fixed reserve prices in each period the traditional revenue management mechanism is proven to be optimal in the limiting cases when there is at most one buyer per period when capacity is not constraining and asymptotically when the number of buyers and the capacity increases the optimal auction significantly outperforms both suboptimal mechanisms when there are a moderate number of periods capacity is constrained and the total volume of sales is not too large the benefit also increases when variability in the dispersion in buyers valuations or in the number of buyers per period increases

dynamic pricing behavior in perishable goods markets evidence from secondary markets for major league baseball tickets sellers of perishable goods increasingly use dynamic pricing strategies as technology makes it easier to change prices and track inventory this paper tests how accurately theoretical models of dynamic pricing describe sellers behavior in secondary markets for event tickets a classic example of a perishable good it shows that the simplest dynamic pricing models describe very accurately both the pricing problem faced by sellers and how they behave explaining why sellers cut prices dramatically by 40 percent or more as an event approaches the estimates also imply that dynamic pricing is valuable raising the average seller s expected payoff by around 16 percent

local knowledge transfer and performance implications for alliance formation in asia foreign firms in host country environments frequently face location based disadvantages this study proposes three means channels of overcoming local knowledge disadvantages based on a sample of 558 japanese joint ventures jvs located in southeast and east asia we find that partnering with local firms the first channel can be a primary strategy for accessing local knowledge and improving jv performance jv experience in the host country the second channel also mitigates local knowledge disadvantages and leads to increased jv performance the third channel the foreign parent s host country experience leads to increased performance in the absence of a local partner however when a jv is formed with a local partner increased parent experience in the host country leads to decreased performance suggesting that the need for a local partner declines as parent experience in a host country increases

fuzzy adaptive decision making for boundedly rational traders in speculative stock markets abstract the development of new models that would enhance predictability for time series with dynamic time varying nonlinear features is a major challenge for speculators boundedly rational investors called chartists use advanced heuristics and rules of thumb to make profit by trading or even hedge against potential market risks this paper introduces a hybrid neurofuzzy system for decision making and trading under uncertainty the efficiency of a technical trading strategy based on the neurofuzzy model is investigated in order to predict the direction of the market for 10 of the most prominent stock indices of u s a europe and southeast asia it is demonstrated via an extensive empirical analysis that the neurofuzzy model allows technical analysts to earn significantly higher returns by providing valid information for a potential turning point on the next trading day the total profit of the proposed neurofuzzy model including transaction costs is consistently superior to a recurrent neural network and a buy hold strategy for all indices particularly for the highly speculative emerging southeast asian markets optimal prediction is based on the dynamic update and adaptive calibration of the heuristic fuzzy learning rules which reflect the psychological and behavioral patterns of the traders

the impact of order and mode of market entry on profitability and market share market share performance and profitability of overseas business activities has long been an important issue in international business in this study we explore the impact of order and mode of market entry into an overseas market we find that early entrants have significantly higher market shares and profitability than late followers we also find that equity joint ventures have a higher profitability than either wholly owned operations or contractual joint ventures a significant interaction exists between order and mode of market entry as expected firm efficiency and size affect the performance of firms these results are based on the business activities of a sample of 14 466 foreign firms in china in 1995

trading mechanism selection with directed search when buyers are risk averse we endogenize the trading mechanism selection in a model of directed search with risk averse buyers and show that the unique symmetric equilibrium entails all sellers using fixed price trading mechanisms that prescribe the sale price as a function of the realized demand auctions bargaining discount pricing etc expose buyers to the price risk the uncertainty of not knowing how much to pay in advance fixed price trading eliminates the price risk which is why risk averse customers accept paying more to shop at such stores

an analysis of the spillover effects of exchange traded funds this article used the generalized autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity autoregressive moving average garch arma and the exponentially generalized autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity autoregressive moving average egarch arma models to study the impact of the spillover and the leverage effects on returns and volatilities of stock index and exchange trade fund etf for developed and emerging markets previous unexpected returns for developed and emerging markets which have an opposite influence pattern on etfs returns were identified the spillover effects from returns are excellent for hong kong followed by singapore meanwhile taiwan s stock index return was recorded to have a strong negative impact on etf return notably this article shows that the spillover effects on stock index and etf volatilities existed with bilateral influences despite a strong positive asymmetric volatility effect in korea s etf market the leverage effect appears to play important roles in the explana

auctions versus posted price selling two popular selling methods posted price selling and auctions are compared here in an independent private values model without auctioning costs auctioning is always optimal when auctioning is costly auctions are still preferable if the marginal revenue curve is sufficiently steep the global steepness of the marginal revenue curve is found to coincide with the dispersion around the mean for a number of standard distributions finally the prices of the monopoly seller and of the social optimum are compared copyright 1993 by american economic association

the bidder s curse traditional explanations for the popularity of auctions are efficiency and revenue maximization we argue that another reason is the potential for overbidding i e buyers bidding above their willingness to pay outside the auction the auction mechanism ensures that even if only few buyers overbid they affect prices and allocations we employ a novel approach to identify overbidding in the field comparing auction prices to simultaneous fixed prices for identical items on the same ebay webpage we argue that fixed prices provide an upper bound for auction bids in a detailed data set of board game auctions we find that the final price exceeds the simultaneous fixed price in 42 percent of the auctions the result is not explained by differences in item quality shipping costs or seller reputation prior auction experience does not eliminate overbidding the finding replicates in a second broad data set of a cross section of auctions 48 percent overbidding the substantial fraction of overbid auctions is induced by a small number of bidders only 17 percent ever bid above the fixed price using a simple model of second price auctions with alternative fixed prices we show that transaction costs of switching between auctions and fixed prices cannot explain the results given that even the expected auction price is higher than the fixed price consistent with limited attention the closer the fixed price is listed relative to an auction the less likely are overbids this effect is strongest for bidders first bids when they are likely to examine the auction and fixed price listings more closely

dynamic competition with random demand and costless search a theory of price posting this paper studies a dynamic model of perfectly competitive price posting under demand uncertainty firms must produce output in advance after observing aggregate sales in prior periods firms post prices for their unsold output in each period the demand of a new batch of consumers is randomly activated existing customers who have not yet bought and then new customers arrive at the market in random order observe the posted prices and either purchase at the lowest available price or delay their purchase decision we construct a sequential equilibrium in which the output produced and its allocation across consumers is efficient thus consumers endogenously sort themselves efficiently with the highest valuations purchasing first transaction prices in each period rise continuously as firms become more optimistic about demand followed by a market correction by the last period prices are market clearing

a structural model of competing sellers auctions and posted prices in an original data set of goods listed for sale online i observe that both auctions and posted prices are popular with buyers and sellers in the compact disc market to explain why these two mechanisms coexist i estimate a structural model of competing sellers who differ in the value of their outside options buyers are allowed to value auctioned and posted price goods differently but the estimated value distributions suggest that differences across buyers do not explain the mechanism coexistence that i observe in contrast differences across sellers outside options are important the value of the outside option segments the market with high outside option sellers choosing to post a fixed price there are two key forces at work that drive this empirical result first competition between sellers favors coexistence over an auction only or a posted price only marketplace because sellers prefer to be in a market with fewer rivals second sellers with more valuable outside options prefer the posted price mechanism because posted price goods sell less often than auctioned goods but at a higher price as a result a larger outside option reduces the loss from not selling and favors the posted price mechanism

constructive consumer choice processes consumer decision making has been a focal interest in consumer research and consideration of current marketplace trends e g technological change an information explosion indicates that this topic will continue to be critically important we argue that consumer choice is inherently constructive due to limited processing capacity consumers often do not have well defined existing preferences but construct them using a variety of strategies contingent on task demands after describing constructive choice consumer decision tasks and decision strategies we provide an integrative framework for understanding constructive choice review evidence for constructive consumer choice in light of that framework and identify knowledge gaps that suggest opportunities for additional research

the eclectic paradigm of international production a restatement and some possible extensions this article reviews some of the criticisms directed towards the eclectic paradigm of international production over the past decade and restates its main tenets the second part of the article considers a number of possible extensions of the paradigm and concludes by asserting that it remains a robust general framework for explaining and analysing not only the economic rationale of economic production but many organisational and impact issues in relation to mne activity as well

the survival of international new ventures international new ventures invs are a popular mode of entry into foreign markets invs those companies that enter foreign markets at inception often suffer the two liabilities of newness and foreignness which may increase the odds of their failure this paper empirically examines the survival of invs by comparing them with other sequential modes of international operations e g acquisitions data from 275 british firms show that invs have lower unconditional survival probabilities than other modes of foreign market entry our analyses also show that differences in survival probabilities disappear when the firms competitive strategies are considered

accounting for endogeneity when assessing strategy performance does entry mode choice affect fdi survival firms choose strategies based on their attributes and industry conditions therefore strategy choice is endogenous and self selected empirical models that do not account for this and regress performance measures on strategy choice variables are potentially misspecified and their conclusions incorrect i highlight how self selection on hard to measure or unobservable characteristics can bias strategy performance estimates and recommend an econometric technique that has been developed to account for this effect although this concern applies to a wide range of strategy questions to demonstrate its effect i empirically examine if entry mode choice acquisition versus greenfield influences foreign direct investment survival in specifications that do not account for self selection i find that greenfield entries have survival advantages compared to acquisitions this confirms previous findings however the significance of this effect disappears once i account for self selection of entry mode in the empirical estimates the results confirm that estimates from models that do not account for self selection of strategy choice can lead to incorrect or misleading conclusions

the hierarchical model of market entry modes in this study we propose and test a hierarchical model of market entry modes entry modes can first be viewed as equity based versus non equity based within equity based modes the choice is between wholly owned operations and equity joint ventures while within non equity based modes the choice is between contractual agreements and export empirically we demonstrate that there are factors that exert substantial influences at the equity versus non equity level but rather weak influences at the lower level of choice hierarchy the empirical results are based on a sample of over 10 000 foreign entry activities into china between 1979 to 1998 the findings provide supportive evidence for the hierarchical model of market entry modes

auctions with a buy price the case of reference dependent preferences abstract in an auction with a buy price the seller provides bidders with an option to end the auction early by accepting a transaction at a posted price this paper develops a model of an auction with a buy price in which bidders use the auction s reserve price and buy price to formulate a reference price the model both explains why a revenue maximizing seller would want to augment her auction with a buy price and demonstrates that the seller sets a higher reserve price when she can affect the bidders reference price through the auction s reserve price and buy price than when she can affect the bidders reference price through the auction s reserve price only the comparative statics properties of bidding behavior are in sharp contrast to equilibrium behavior in other models where the existence and size of the auction s buy price have no effect on bidding behavior

personalized prices and uncertainty in monopsony abstract we analyze personalized pricing by a monopsonist facing a finite number of ex ante identical capacity constrained suppliers with privately known costs when the distribution of costs is sufficiently smooth and regular the buyer chooses to make the same offer to all suppliers leading to a posted price when demand is sufficiently concave convex this price is lower higher than the classical monopsony price in the limit as the seller capacities tend to zero we obtain the classical monopsony price therefore our model provides a decentralized micro foundation for monopsony

selecting optimal selling format of a product in b2c online auctions with boundedly rational customers abstract the advancement of internet technology has enabled new formats for selling products in the b2c online auctions at present on the major online auction sites there exist three popular selling formats namely the posted price pure auction and buy price auction formats it is an important decision problem for a firm to select the most profitable format to sell its products through the internet the customer behavior is of course a crucial element of the decision process to the best of our knowledge most models available today assume that customers are perfectly rational to better understand the decision process in this paper we incorporate the concept of bounded rationality into consideration we first present a behavior choice function to characterize the behavior of the customers with bounded rationality then corresponding to each selling format we construct a revenue model based on the bounded rationality for analysis finally we conduct some elaborate computational experiments to investigate the performance of each revenue model for developing new managerial insights our computational results clearly demonstrate how the bounded rationality of customer behavior affects the choice of a preferable selling format for a b2c firm in an online auction

cross border takeovers corruption and related aspects of governance we use a panel of 4979 cross border and domestic takeovers to test the relation between host country corruption and premiums paid for local targets host country corruption is negatively associated with target premiums after correcting for other governance related factors such as political stability legal systems and financial disclosure standards we estimate that deterioration in the corruption index by one point on a 10 point scale is on average associated with a reduction of 21 of local targets premiums our results do not support the notion that local corruption constitutes a significant market barrier to foreign investors rather it represents a discount on local takeover synergies which affects foreign and domestic acquirers alike however we find that the major effects of corruption can alternatively be explained by government effectiveness pointing towards an endogenous relationship between bribery and bureaucracy

inferring ascending auction participation from observed bidders abstract participation in internet auctions goes well beyond those who place a bid participants arrive in random order and if the auction s standing price has already exceeded a participant s valuation she will not bid even so her unreported valuation is a relevant part of demand for the item and in an alternate random order her bid would have been registered i provide a method to estimate the average number of participants from the average number of bidders per auction this enables estimation of the distribution of participant valuations from either the distribution of closing prices or the distribution of all observed bids

the effectiveness of english auctions abstract we study the performance of the english auction under different assumptions about the seller s degree of bayesian sophistication we define the effectiveness of an auction as the ratio between the expected revenue it generates for the seller and the expected valuation of the object to the bidder with the highest valuation total surplus we identify tight lower bounds on the effectiveness of the english auction for general private values environments and for private values environments where bidders valuations are non negatively correlated for example when the seller faces 12 bidders who the seller believes have non negatively correlated valuations whose expectations are at least as high as 60 of the maximal possible valuation an english auction with no reserve price generates an expected price that is more than 80 of the value of the object to the bidder with the highest valuation

dual mechanism for an online retailer abstract while posted price and auction have typically been seen as alternatives to each other we observe web stores selling a product at a posted price and simultaneously running auctions for the identical product a phenomenon that has not been studied fully in this article we study a dual mechanism where an online retailer combines the two conventional mechanisms posted price and auction for multiple units of a product we demonstrate that the dual mechanism can be used to achieve market segmentation when customers discount the expected utility of auctions we characterize the customer s decision rule and formulate a retailer s profit function under the dual mechanism finally we compare the performance of three selling mechanisms posted price auction and dual through computational experiments

the globalization of service multinationals in the triad regions japan western europe and north america in this study we empirically investigate the determinants of foreign direct investment of service multinationals based in the triad regions japan western europe and north america foreign investment decisions of 168 of the largest service firms in nine service industries over the period 1976 1986 are analyzed and hypotheses that are developed based on findings of manufacturing fdi and studies of single service industries are tested using a logistic regression model the applicability of the mne fdi theories to service mnes is tested empirically over a broad range of mne home countries and service industries differences in the international behavior of service mnes based in different countries are uncovered and analyzed

pricing in the online invoice trading market first empirical evidence abstract in recent years online invoice trading has gained importance in providing smes with short term financing in this paper we present first empirical evidence concerning the question whether the risk of payment difficulties is appropriately reflected in the pricing variables to this end we investigate predictors of default of online invoice trading platforms we analyze both the probability of default and the loss rate and find that the interest rate the duration and the percentage funded have good predictive power furthermore we show that the pricing mechanism auction vs fixed prices helps to explain defaults on online invoice trading platforms

financial integration and the asean 5 equity markets the existence of long run relationships among the asean 5 equity markets is empirically investigated this study utilized weekly data spanning january 1988 to august 1999 the results of granger noncausality test due to toda and yamamoto journal of econometrics 66 225 50 1995 reveal that the singapore equity market was not affected by other markets except by the philippines in the long run this result shows that there exist opportunities for beneficial international portfolio diversification within the context of the asean 5 equity markets

analysis and design of business to consumer online auctions business to consumer online auctions form an important element in the portfolio of mercantile processes that facilitate electronic commerce activity much of traditional auction theory has focused on analyzing single item auctions in isolation from the market context in which they take place we demonstrate the weakness of such approaches in online settings where a majority of auctions are multiunit in nature rather than pursuing a classical approach and assuming knowledge of the distribution of consumers valuations we emphasize the largely ignored discrete and sequential nature of such auctions we derive a general expression that characterizes the multiple equilibria that can arise in such auctions and segregate these into desirable and undesirable categories our analytical and empirical results obtained by tracking real world online auctions indicate that bid increment is an important factor amongst the control factors that online auctioneers can manipulate and control we show that consumer bidding strategies in such auctions are not uniform and that the level of bid increment chosen influences them with a motive of providing concrete strategic directions to online auctioneers we derive an absolute upper bound for the bid increment based on the theoretical upper bound we propose a heuristic decision rule for setting the bid increment empirical evidence lends support to the hypothesis that setting a bid increment higher than that suggested by the heuristic decision rule has a negative impact on the auctioneer s revenue

market mechanisms in online peer to peer lending online peer to peer lending p2p lending has emerged as an appealing new channel of financing in recent years a fundamental but largely unanswered question in this nascent industry is the choice of market mechanisms i e how the supply and demand of funds are matched and the terms price at which transactions will occur two of the most popular mechanisms are auctions where the crowd determines the price of the transaction through an auction process and posted prices where the platform determines the price while p2p lending platforms typically use one or the other there is little systematic research on the implications of such choices for market participants transaction outcomes and social welfare we address this question both theoretically and empirically we first develop a game theoretic model that yields empirically testable hypotheses taking into account the incentive of the platform we then test these hypotheses by exploiting a regime change from auctions to posted prices on one of the largest p2p lending platforms consistent with our hypotheses we find that under platform mandated posted prices loans are funded with higher probability but the preset interest rates are higher than borrowers starting interest rates and contract interest rates in auctions more important all else equal loans funded under posted prices are more likely to default thereby undermining lenders returns on investment and their surplus although platform mandated posted prices may be faster in originating loans auctions that rely on the crowd to discover prices are not necessarily inferior in terms of overall social welfare this paper was accepted by chris forman information systems

the effect of national culture on the choice of entry mode characteristics of national cultures have frequently been claimed to influence the selection of entry modes this article investigates this claim by developing a theoretical argument for why culture should influence the choice of entry two hypotheses are derived which relate culture to entry mode choice one focusing on the cultural distance between countries the other on attitudes towards uncertainty avoidance using a multinomial logit model and controlling for other effects the hypotheses are tested by analysing data on 228 entries into the united states market by acquisition wholly owned greenfield and joint venture empirical support for the effect of national culture on entry choice is found

sorting versus screening search frictions and competing mechanisms in a market where sellers compete by posting trading mechanisms we allow for a general search technology and show that its features crucially affect the equilibrium mechanism price posting prevails when meetings are rival i e when a meeting by one buyer reduces another buyer s meeting probability under price posting buyers reveal their type by sorting ex ante only if the meeting technology is sufficiently non rival price posting is not an equilibrium multiple buyer types then visit the same sellers who screen ex post through auctions

psychic distance and organizational performance an empirical examination of international retailing operations we develop a reconceptualization and operationalization of psychic distance that broadens the concept we then empirically test this operationalization and investigate the relationship between psychic distance and organizational performance our results suggest that psychic distance as a summary construct explains a significant proportion of the variance in financial performance and strategic effectiveness however disaggregation of the construct substantially increases its explanatory power the results also support a psychic distance paradox where psychic distance has a positive relationship with organizational performance

buy price english auction abstract consider an english auction for a single object in which there is an option for a bidder to guarantee a purchase at a seller specified buy price b at any time we show that there exist v and v v such that a bidder purchases at the buy price immediately if his valuation v is no less than v or v v v and at least one other bidder is participating in the auction if b v v he purchases at the buy price once the current bid reaches a strategically chosen threshold price a properly set buy price increases expected social welfare and the expected utility of each agent when either buyers or seller are risk averse

foreign direct investment in the united states the state of knowledge in research this article categorizes and summarizes the major writings published during the 1970s concerning foreign direct investment in the united states it is based on the authors analysis of more than 100 works published in the english language in addition to analyzing what has been published the article also suggests directions for future research

all pay auctions with a buy price option all pay auctions this paper studies all pay auctions in which there is a buy price option for bidders to guarantee purchases at a seller specified price we analyze symmetric increasing bidding equilibria in the first and second price all pay auctions with the buy price option while the optimal buy price in the second price is higher than are those in the first price all pay auction both formats maintain the same expected profit with an endogenous entry process all pay auctions with the buy price can attract more consumers and ultimately reach a higher expected profit than does the uniform posted price selling mechanism jel d44 l11 l81

intraday volatility in the stock index and stock index futures markets we examine the intraday relationship between returns and returns volatility in the stock index and stock index futures markets our results indicate a strong intermarket dependence in the volatility of the cash and futures returns price innovations that originate in either the stock or futures markets can predict the future volatility in the other market we show that this relationship persists even during periods in which the dependence in the returns themselves appears to weaken the findings are robust to controlling for potential market frictions such as asynchronous trading in the stock index our results have implications for understanding the pattern of information flows between the two markets article published by oxford university press on behalf of the society for financial studies in its journal the review of financial studies

volatility spillovers for spot futures and etf prices in agriculture and energy abstract the agricultural and energy industries are closely related both biologically and financially the paper discusses the relationship and the interactions on price and volatility and on the covolatility spillover effects for these two industries the interaction and covolatility spillovers or the delayed effect of a returns shock in one asset on the subsequent volatility or covolatility in another asset between the energy and agricultural industries is the primary emphasis of the paper although there has already been significant research on biofuel and biofuel related crops only a few published papers have been concerned with volatility spillovers it must be emphasized that there have been numerous technical errors in the theoretical and empirical research which need to be addressed the paper considers futures prices as a widely used hedging instrument and also considers an interesting new hedging instrument etf which is regarded as index futures when investors manage their portfolios in the empirical analysis multivariate conditional volatility diagonal bekk models are estimated for comparing patterns of covolatility spillovers the paper provides a new way of analyzing and describing the patterns of covolatility spillovers which should be useful for the future empirical analysis of estimating and testing covolatility spillover effects

auctions versus posted price selling the case of correlated private valuations two popular selling methods are compared in a one period correlated private values model the seller of an object has to decide whether to sell it by posting a fixed price or by an auction without auctioning costs an auction with a reserve price is always preferable with positive auctioning costs the authors find that an auction is still preferable when the distribution of buyers valuations is sufficiently dispersed or when the object value is sufficiently high the relations between these and previous results are also discussed

stock returns and volatility an empirical study of the uk stock market abstract attempts to quantify the relationship between stock returns and volatility have produced conflicting conclusions in recent u s studies our paper examines this issue in the u k context for the first time using daily weekly fortnightly and monthly returns on the financial times all share index from january 1965 to december 1989 volatility estimates are obtained from monthly sample variances and arch models expected returns are shown to have had a positive though not statistically significant relationship with expected volatility the relationship between the unexpected components of the returns and volatility series is less clear we find evidence for a negative relationship but only when volatility expectations are represented by standard deviations

buybacks with costly participation abstract posted price offers and first price auctions along with the multi unit discriminatory auction extension are two widely used mechanisms for allocating conservation contracts the choice between the two typically hinges on the trade off between the posted price s simplicity and the potential revenue gains of the auction in this paper we introduce a novel mechanism that attempts to bridge the gap between the performance of posted price offers and auctions a two price and lottery schedule combines the simplicity of the former with some of the flexibility of the latter using a model that incorporates agents cognitive and information costs of bidding we analyze how the ranking of allocative efficiency and cost effectiveness between the mechanisms varies as the wedge of participation costs increases when the number of bidders is endogenously determined by participation costs bid shading associated with a lack of competition in the auction compromises its cost effectiveness vis a vis the posted price and the lottery schedule we use data from three recent buybacks for fishing licenses conducted in maryland to calibrate our model and identify conditions under which the two price schedule outperforms the other mechanisms

the impact of iso 9000 diffusion on trade and fdi a new institutional analysis the effects of iso 9000 diffusion on trade and foreign direct investment fdi have gone understudied we employ panel data reported by oecd nations over the 1995 2002 period to estimate the impact of iso adoptions on country pair economic relations we find iso diffusion to have no effect in developed nations but to positively pull fdi i e enhancing inward fdi and positively push trade i e enhancing exports in developing nations

foreignness and exit over the life cycle of firms received wisdom indicates that owing to a liability of foreignness foreign firms exit with greater likelihood than do comparable domestic firms and that the difference attenuates as firms age and overcome the liability we posit that foreign firms are also intrinsically more volatile and footloose than domestic ones and that this leads to an increasing divergence between the exit rates of foreign and domestic firms empirically we find that the difference between exit rates of foreign firms and domestic firms increases with age as exit of foreign firms increases with age while that of purely domestic firms decreases exit rates of domestic based multinationals do not change significantly with age they are between those of foreign and purely domestic firms but are closer to the latter this suggests that the footlooseness observed for foreign firms is due to foreignness more than to multinationality

the optimal listing strategies in online auctions this article proposes a unified framework to completely characterize the seller s optimal listing strategy in the online auction as a function of her rate of time impatience specifically the fixed price listing the regular auction and the buy it now bin auction are each a solution of the seller s single optimization problem under different values of the rate of intertemporal discount the perfectly patient seller adopts the regular auction the sellers with a medium range of time impatience adopt the bin auction and the most impatient of sellers adopt the fixed price listing moreover under mild conditions the reverse price is inversely related to the value of the seller s discount factor either within or across formats this in turn implies that the posted price in the fixed price sale is greater than the reserve price of the bin auction followed by that of the regular auction these predictions offer clear empirical implications

the order and size of entry into international markets abstract when entering markets managers must decide when to enter as well as how many resources to commit to the entry the study finds that larger initial resource commitments do not result in higher market share and market survival in international markets instead to improve performance in international markets managers should strive to be first entrants further first entrants typically commit fewer resources suggesting that this strategy can be pursued by firms with limited resources

modes of foreign entry a transaction cost analysis and propositions a frontier issue in international marketing is the appropriate choice of entry mode in foreign markets the objective of this paper is to offer a transaction cost framework for investigating the entry mode decision this framework provides 1 a theoretical basis for systematically interrelating the literature into propositions 2 propositions about interactions which resolve the apparently contradictory arguments advanced to date specifically the paper illustrates the feasibility of clustering 17 entry modes into the degree of control the mode provides the entrant proposes that the most appropriate i e most efficient entry mode is a function of the tradeoff between control and the cost of resource commitment advances testable propositions delimiting the circumstances under which each mode maximizes long term efficiency

competing trade mechanisms and monotone mechanism choice abstract we investigate the choice between posted prices and auctions of competing sellers with private valuations assuming that buyers face higher hassle costs in auctions we show the existence of monotone pure strategy equilibria where sellers offer posted prices rather than auctions if and only if they have a sufficiently high reservation value posted prices sell with lower probability but yield a larger revenue in case of trade using an empirical strategy to compare revenues of posted prices and auctions that takes selling probabilities explicitly into account we find our theoretical predictions supported by data from ebay auctions on ticket sales for the euro 2008 european football championship

comparative business failures of foreign controlled firms in the united states we explore the comparative business failures of foreign owned or controlled firms and domestically owned firms original data are collected regarding foreign controlled firms in the u s that filed for bankruptcy protection were involuntarily liquidated or ceased operations mainly due to poor financial performance during the 1978 1988 period our results show that foreign controlled firms fail less often than domestically owned firms the patterns of foreign controlled business failures and the impacts of entry modes ownership types and national culture on the failures of foreign controlled firms are also examined

effects of seller supplied prices on buyers product evaluations reference prices in an internet auction context a field experiment investigated the impact of two external reference points under the seller s control on the final price of an auction when an item s seller specified a high external reference price a reserve price the final bid was greater than when the seller specified a low external reference price a minimum bid when the seller provided both high and low reference prices the reserve influenced the final bid more the low reference price led to a lower outcome compared to when the seller did not communicate any reference price the number of bidders influenced outcomes in the absence of seller supplied reference prices

revenue management without commitment dynamic pricing and periodic flash sales a seller has a fixed number of goods to sell by a deadline at each time he posts a regular price and decides whether to hold a flash sale over time buyers privately enter the market and strategically time their purchases if a buyer does not purchase when she arrives she can pay an attention cost to recheck the regular price afterwards or she can wait for future flash sales where she may obtain a good at a discounted price in the unique markov perfect equilibrium the seller sporadically holds flash sales to lower the stock of goods a flash sale increases the willingness to pay of future buyers but decreases the willingness to pay of buyers who arrive early in the game when it is very likely that a buyer will obtain a good in a flash sale the seller holds a big initial flash sale for all but one unit of the good

resources of the firm russian high technology startups and firm growth abstract russia possessed many world class technologies prior to the break up of the soviet union entrepreneurial endeavors resulted from this technological ability as market forces encouraged individuals to leave the large state enterprises that produced those technologies founding characteristics of the firm impact the resources that are available to the startup firm this study investigates the extent to which founding factors in russia help high technology firms to prosper it was found that the team establishing the business mitigated the liability of newness however in contrast to the us the culture of russia does not produce negative results if the founding team grows very large additionally it was shown that firms that pursued more technological products and enter the market later performed best

auctions versus negotiations which is the more profitable way to sell a company an auction with no reserve price or an optimally structured negotiation with one less bidder we show under reasonable assumptions that the auction is always preferable when bidders signals are independent for affiliated signals the result holds under certain restrictions on the seller s choice of negotiating mechanism the result suggests that the value of negotiating skill is small relative to the value of additional competition the paper also shows how the analogies between monopoly theory and auction theory can help derive new results in auction theory jel d44 g34 there are close analogies between standard price theory and the theory of auctions in an absolute english auction in which the price rises continuously until only one bidder remains and the seller is required to accept the final bid the sale price equals the lowest competitive price at which supply equals demand in the theory of optimal auctions the seller is treated as a monopolist who can choose any

a model of competing selling mechanisms abstract a model where sellers choose sequentially between any two selling mechanisms is studied with monotonicity and minimum mechanism difference there exists a unique equilibrium where all sellers choose the mechanism of higher per seller surplus at a critical number of sellers

buy prices in online auctions irrationality on the internet abstract buy prices are puzzling it makes sense for a seller at auction to set a minimum bidding level i e a reserve price surely but a maximum we explore the use of maximum bidding levels buy prices in online auctions and provide a rational explanation for this seemingly irrational auction mechanism we show that augmenting an english auction with a buy price can improve the seller s profits by partially insuring and therefore increasing the expected payment from some risk averse bidders perhaps more surprising is that the english auction augmented with a buy price can also be superior even to the first price sealed bid and dutch auctions when bidders are risk averse

information costs and location of fdis within the host country empirical evidence from italy the literature on foreign direct investments fdis has analysed the location strategies of multinational enterprises across national borders but there have been few studies of location decisions by foreign investors within the borders of a single country the paper argues that the driving factors of these location choices have differing influences on indigenous and foreign investors specifically foreign investors suffer from a condition of adverse asymmetry in information costs compared to insiders thus foreign investors decisions on the location of their activities within a host country mainly reflect a rational responses to the existence of information costs

mechanism choice and the buy it now auction a structural model of competing buyers and sellers a striking feature of many online sales platforms is the coexistence of multiple sales mechanisms items on ebay for instance are frequently offered through auctions posted prices and buy it now auctions in this article i study how this mechanism multiplicity influences the welfare of buyers and sellers i specify and estimate a structural model of mechanism choice in online markets in which i consider both sides of the market on the demand side buyers choices among available listings are equilibrium outcomes of an entry game on the supply side sellers make equilibrium decisions when choosing sales mechanisms and prices i estimate this model using data from sales of baseball tickets on ebay and calculate consumer and seller rents in three markets the actual market with all three sales mechanisms and two counterfactual markets with auctions and fixed prices or only fixed price listings respectively i find that the addition of auctions to fixed price markets hurts sellers and risk averse buyers but benefits risk neutral buyers additionally the consumer surplus increases when buy it now auctions are offered but the seller surplus is reduced further i discuss the intuition for the cause of this result

pricing and allocation for quality differentiated online services we explore the problem of pricing and allocation of unique one time digital products in the form of data streams we look at the short term problem where the firm has a capacitated shared resource and multiple products or service levels we formulate the allocatively efficient generalized vickrey auction gva for our setting and point out the computational challenges in determining the individual discriminatory transfer payments we propose an alternative uniform price computationally efficient revenue maximizing knapsack formulation called the multiple vickrey auction mva while not incentive compatible the mva mechanism achieves bounded posterior regret and can be solved in real time it has the added benefit of realizing imputed commodity prices for the various services a feature lacking in the discriminatory gva approach for service providers that are concerned about the incentive compatibility but want imputed service prices we suggest a maximal mva mmva uniform pricing scheme that trades off revenue maximization for allocative efficiency for sake of completeness we discuss the properties of a first price pay your bid scheme while np hard and not incentive compatible this formulation has the perceived benefit of cognitive simplicity on the parts of sellers and bidders

heteroskedasticity in stock return data volume versus garch effects this paper provides empirical support for the notion that autoregressive conditional heterqskedasticity arch in daily stock return data reflects time dependence in the process generating information flow to the market daily trading volume used as a proxy for information arrival time is shown to have significant explanatory power regarding the variance of daily returns which is an implication of the assumption that daily returns are subordinated to intraday equilibrium returns furthermore arch effects tend to disappear when volume is included in the variance equation the autoregressive conditiqnal heteroskedasticity arch process of engle 1982 has been shown to provide a good fit for many financial return time series 1 arch imposes an autoregressive structure on conditional variance allqwing volatility shocks to persist over time this persistence captures the propensity of returns of like magnitude to clu ter in time and can explain the well documented nonnormality and nonstability of empirical asset return distributions see especially fama 1965 an appealing explanation for the presence of arch is based upon the hypothesis that daily returns are generated by a maiture of distributions in which the rate of daily information arrival is the stochastic mixing variable as suggested by diebold 1986 gallant hsieh and tauchen 1988 and stock 1987 1988 arch might capture the time series properties e g serial correlation of this mixing variable hqwever this linkage has not been broadly documented with the datia the objective of this study is to examine the validity of this explanation for daily stock returns the empirical strategy exploits the implication of the mixture model that the variance of daily price increments is heteroskedastic specifically positively related to the rate of daily information arrival using daily trading volume as a proxy for the mixing variable we show that for a sample of 20 common stocks arch effects vanish when volume is included as an explanatory variable in the conditional variance equation

arriving in time estimation of english auctions with a stochastic number of bidders we develop a new econometric approach for the estimation of second price ascending bid auctions with a stochastic number of bidders our empirical framework considers the arrival process of new bidders as well as the distribution of bidders valuations of objects being auctioned by observing the timing of bidder arrival the model is identified even when the number of potential bidders is stochastic and unknown the relevance of our approach is illustrated with an empirical application using a unique dataset of art auctions on ebay our results suggest a higher impact of sellers reputation on bidders valuations than previously reported in cross sectional studies but the impact of reputation on bidder arrival is largely insignificant interestingly a seller s reputation impacts not only the actions of the bidders but the actions of the seller as well in particular experience and a good reputation increase the probability of a seller posting items for sale on longer lasting auctions which we find inc

stock returns and volatility most asset pricing models postulate a positive relationship between a stock portfolio s expected returns and risk which is often modeled by the variance of the asset price this paper uses garch in mean models to examine the relationship between mean returns on a stock portfolio and its conditional variance or standard deviation after estimating a variety of models from daily and monthly portfolio return data we conclude that any relationship between mean returns and own variance or standard deviation is weak the results suggest that investors consider some other risk measure to be more important than the variance of portfolio returns

volatility spillovers and connectedness among credit default swap sector indexes this article studies volatility spill over effects and market connectedness using daily data of credit default swap spreads for u s companies over a period from 2007 to 2012 we quantify volatilit