fiscal policy expectation traps and child labor i introduction child labor is widespread in the contemporary world in fact the international labor organization ilo estimates that 246 million of the world s children aged 5 17 or 16 are child laborers most living in developing countries 1 recently there has been renewed interest in this topic among economists which has led to a series of theoretical studies with the aim of better understanding the causes and consequences of child labor in order to help guide appropriate policy responses as in grootaert and kanbur 1995 basu 1999 and basu and tzannatos 2003 for useful literature surveys typically theoretical models designed to address the important policy issues surrounding child labor posit that a family s decision to send a child to the labor market is taken only as a last resort in order to escape the dire consequences of poverty for example basu and van 1998 baland and robinson 2000 show that this response on the part of the family may be stronger in a dynamic setting because contracts between children and adults are not self enforcing and capital markets are incomplete 2 in this case an adult decision maker may not only send their children to work to escape poverty in the present but do so to escape poverty in the future as well this decision will hinder a child s ability to accumulate human capital and can lead to persistent cycles of poverty and child labor across generations 3 we begin by showing that a benevolent government can address the incidence of child labor that results from the non enforceability of intergenerational contracts and incomplete capital markets through the appropriate use of fiscal policy and that this policy is pareto improving it is then shown that if society s confidence in their government is incomplete this lack of confidence can render the same fiscal policy ineffective in other words if households do not believe that the government will follow through on their policy promise then in fact it is quite possible that the government will not be able to follow through on their promise as a result of these beliefs 4 this self reinforcing nature of fiscal policy in the presence of uncertainty can leave a country in an expectations trap with a low level of human capital and child labor 5 to formally demonstrate this fiscal policy expectations trap hypothesis we employ a three period overlapping generations model in which child labor exists 6 this stylized setup will keep the dynamics manageable and allow us to highlight the effects of uncertainty also within this framework we introduce a missing intergenerational contracts market in conjunction with a human capital production function that exhibits a threshold with respect to parental human capital which gives rise to two locally stable steady states there is a good equilibrium where there is a relatively high level of parental human capital which results in a high level of income and no child labor and there is a bad equilibrium where there is a relatively low level of parental human capital which results in a low level of income and positive child labor this low income child labor equilibrium is the standard poverty trap scenario that typically exists in a deterministic economy with multiple equilibria it is then shown that a benevolent government can replicate the missing intergenerational contracts market with a pay as you go social security program thereby eliminating this component of child labor in an economy with perfect foresight in addition it is also shown that this policy is pareto improving in the sense that all generations are strictly better off under this policy except the initial old who are no worse off the dynamics of this social security program are intuitive if child labor is one possible mechanism adults can use to redistribute resources from their children then the government can reduce this incentive by announcing a social security program that will begin during the current adults old age an institutional intergenerational contract

forecasting hourly electricity prices using armax garch models an application to miso hubs abstract the recent deregulation of the electricity industry and reliance on competitive wholesale markets has generated significant volatility in wholesale electricity prices given the importance of short term price forecasts in this new environment this paper estimates and evaluates the forecasting performance of four armax garch models for five miso pricing hubs cinergy first energy illinois michigan and minnesota using hourly data from june 1 2006 to october 6 2007 our empirical results reveal three important patterns a electricity price volatility is regional and the optimum volatility model depends in part on the hub location the forecast horizon and regulated versus unregulated status of the market b the aparch model performs well in hubs in deregulated states and c volatility dynamics in regulated states are better captured by a simple garch model and thus are less complex

welfare impact of a ban on child labor i introduction the issue of child labor has recently been the subject of a surge in formal economic analysis according to the international labor organization 2006 there has been a significant decrease in child labor and an even steeper decline in hazardous child labor nevertheless in 2004 there were still 218 million child laborers of whom 126 million were in hazardous work the increase in research around this topic is in part the result of the growing awareness of the persistence of child labor around the world and the importance of developing theoretical models that help us understand the incidence of child labor and its implications as only then can we recommend and implement effective policy interventions the economics literature is ambiguous on the desirability of a ban on child labor child labor is typically viewed as the result of some deeper problem in the economy and addressing child labor without solving the problem that leads to its occurrence can make children worse off for example dessy and pallage 2005 present an environment where although child labor has a negative direct impact on children s well being it is the best available choice for children hence a ban on child labor even on its worst forms deprives children of their best possible choice and can make children worse off standard arguments for the imposition of restrictions on child labor are based on the existence of externalities such as positive externalities from a well educated population see udry 2006 a ban on child labor leads children to allocate more resources to education brings the average levels of human capital closer to the optimal and consequently increases welfare constraining the amount of labor supplied by children is also often suggested as an instrument to move the economy toward a desired equilibrium in environments where multiple equilibria can emerge as in dessy and pallage 2001 and basu and van 1998 banning child labor can also be an instrument to achieve increases in efficiency in the presence of capital market imperfections in baland and robinson 2000 capital market imperfections do not allow altruistic parents to internalize the negative impact of child labor on children s human capital accumulation a restriction on the amount of time allocated to work by children is suggested to reduce the resulting inefficiently high levels of child labor finally rogers and swinnerton 2002 advance parents incomplete information on the type of work safe or hazardous their children perform as an argument for a ban on the worst forms of child labor 1 in this article i show that in a standard overlapping generations economy with parental altruism calibrated to the 1880s a ban on child labor increases parental transfers and raises children s as well as the average levels of welfare in the short run and in the long run this result introduces a new rationale for imposing restric ons on child labor adding to a debate still in its early stages of development 2 in an overlapping generations economy with altruism the unconstrained nash cournot equilibrium does not maximize the average welfare of currently living agents as was shown in bernheim 1989 nor the welfare of children and generates suboptimal levels of parental transfers by reducing the income earned by children a ban on child labor reduces children s consumption raising their marginal utility of consumption and parents respond by increasing transfers to children hence the ban places children at a point in their parents reaction function that results in a higher level of parental transfers by inducing an increase in parental transfers the ban on child labor moves the economy closer to the social optimal generating aggregate welfare gains children are made better off because they receive more transfers and do not work parents are made worse off because they need to decrease consumption and leisure to increase parental transfers however the raise in their children s lifetime utility partially offsets this effect

going nuts the effect of eu structural funds on regional performance the european union eu provides grants to disadvantaged regions of member states to allow them to catch up with the eu average under the objective 1 scheme nuts2 regions with a per capita gdp level below 75 of the eu average qualify for structural funds transfers from the central eu budget this rule gives rise to a regression discontinuity design that exploits the discrete jump in the probability of eu transfer receipt at the 75 threshold for identification of causal effects of objective 1 treatment on outcome such as economic growth of eu regions we find positive per capita gdp growth effects of objective 1 transfers but no employment growth effects

conditional cash transfers schooling and child labor micro simulating brazil s bolsa escola program a growing number of developing economies are providing cash transfers to poor people that require certain behaviors on their part such as attending school or regularly visiting health care facilities a simple ex ante methodology is proposed for evaluating such programs and used to assess the bolsa escola program in brazil the results suggest that about 60 percent of poor 10 to 15 year olds not in school enroll in response to the program the program reduces the incidence of poverty by only a little more than one percentage point however and the gini coefficient falls just half a point results are better for measures more sensitive to the bottom of the distribution but the effect is never large

mothers employment and their children s schooling a joint multilevel analysis for india this paper studies the relationship between mothers employment and children s schooling in india using the second national family health survey the results of a multilevel probit model show that the correlation between mothers employment and their children s schooling is negative women in poorer households are more likely to work but given the negative correlation their additional income does not seem sufficient to enable children s school attendance a sensitivity analysis on wealth deciles shows that this negative relationship disappears in urban areas and becomes weaker in rural areas at the top wealth deciles

child labor cause consequence and cure with remarks on international labor standards although the literature on child labor is enormous it lacks a common theoretical foundation in this paper analytical survey of this field is provided keeping in mind that this is an area where the primary reason for theorizing is ultimately to influence policy overall it is noted that the literature on child labor is an illustration of abundance and anarchy although empirical writings on child labor are numerous they are not usually founded on theory it is argued that there is much that can be done in curbing the issue of child labor several theories were studied in this paper including collaborative intervention such efforts include public action which alters the economic environment such that the parents of their own accord prefer to withdraw the child from labor force another strategy involves the government a legal intervention is enforcing a total ban on the subject although such interventions have good intentions some of them may not be feasible in general it is better to take economy wide measures against child labor and if there is to be a sector specific ban it should be based on the working conditions of that sector rather than the destination of the goods

a note on multiple general equilibria with child labor abstract it has been conjectured that the child labor market may exhibit multiple equilibria this paper develops the concept of a wage bill curve and establishes the multiple equilibrium result in a general equilibrium model thereby clarifying the circumstances where child labor should be banned

bounded rationality expectations and child labour this paper develops a model with overlapping generations where the household s optimal fertility child labour and education decisions depend on the parents expectations or beliefs about the return to education it is shown that there exists a range of parental income where the fertility rate is high and children participate in the labour market and receive an incomplete education if a parent believes the return to education is low the act of participating in the labour market reduces the child s ability to accumulate human capital thus the action of sending a child into the labour market is sufficient to ensure that the parents initially pessimistic expectations are fulfilled it is then shown that a one time policy intervention such as banning child labour and mandatory education can be enough to move a country from the positive child labour equilibrium to an equilibrium with no child labour rationalite limitee anticipations et travail des enfants ce memoire developpe un modele de chevauchement des generations ou la fecondite optimale du menage le travail des enfants et les decisions a propos de l education dependent des anticipations des parents ou de qu ils croient etre le rendement sur l education on montre qu il existe un eventail de revenus des parents pour lequel le taux de fecondite est eleve et les enfants participent au marche du travail et recoivent une education incomplete si un parent croit que le rendement sur l investissement en education est faible le fait d entrer sur le marche du travail reduit la capacite de l enfant a accumuler du capital humain et donc le fait de l envoyer sur le marche du travail est suffisant pour s assurer que les anticipations pessimistes du parent se realisent on montre qu une intervention ponctuelle de politique publique a un moment donne comme bannir le travail des enfants ou imposer l education obligatoire peut suffire pour deplacer un pays d un equilibre avec travail des enfants vers un equilibre sans travail des enfants

child labor and learning this paper uses a unique micro panel dataset of brazilian students to investigate the impact of working while in school on learning outcomes the potential endogeneity is addressed through the use of difference in difference and instrumental variable estimators a negative effect of working on learning outcomes in math and portuguese is found the effects of child work range from 3 to 8 percent of a standard deviation decline in test score which represents a loss of about a quarter to a half of a year of learning on average

fertility and the household s economic status a natural experiment using indian micro data abstract we model fertility as endogenous to the family s economic status because poor households choose to have large families in the absence of adequate social insurance because of a strong son preference in india having two girls first can proxy an exogenous increase in fertility and is therefore a good instrument for fertility in determining poverty of rural households the 1993 1994 indian quinquennial survey data shows that even though poverty rates are comparable 74 per cent of two girl families have a third child compared to 63 per cent of other families fertility significantly positively affects poverty when treated as exogenous but vanishes once endogenised these results are robust to omitting states with skewed sex ratios and to proxying economic status by expenditures

a theory of the worst forms of child labour although intuitive and morally compelling a ban on the worst forms of child labour in poor countries is unlikely to be welfare improving we show that harmful forms of child labour have an economic role by maintaining wages for child labour high enough they allow human capital accumulation in poor countries unless appropriate mechanisms are designed to mitigate the decline in child labour wages caused by reduced employment options for children a ban on harmful forms of child labour will likely prove undesirable we perform our analysis within a simple model of parental investment in children s education

the effect of intellectual property rights on agricultural productivity this article explores how the strengthening of intellectual property ip protection affects agricultural productivity in a panel of countries for the period 1961 2011 using an index of ip protection for plant varieties we study the effect of stronger intellectual property rights iprs on cereal yields and two different types of cereals open pollinated wheat and hybrid maize we found that the strengthening of iprs has a positive effect on productivity of cereals for high and low income countries however we found no significant effect for middle income countries in addition we found that becoming a member of the trade related aspects of intellectual property rights negatively affects cereal yields finally we found evidence of the existence of nonlinearities in the effect of iprs on agricultural yields which confirms a threshold effect of iprs that also varies for countries of different income level the findings support the hypothesis that country specificities are important in determining the effect of iprs and imply that there is no unique system that fits all

short term forecasting of electricity prices for miso hubs evidence from arima egarch models this study estimates three time series models arima arima egarch and arima egarch m for hourly real time electricity prices for each of the five hubs of the midwest independent system operator miso and examines the in and out of sample forecasting performance of the respective models the results from the arima models reveal the presence of autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity recognizing the possibility of asymmetric time varying volatility the egarch specification for the variance equation demonstrates the presence of an inverse leverage effect in electricity prices for each hub with respect to forecasts no one model clearly dominates the others in terms of in sample forecasting performance based on four forecast evaluation statistics however the arima egarch m model outperforms the other models michigan hub is the exception in terms of the out of sample forecasting performance

risk financial markets and human capital in a developing country this paper explores the link between financial market incompleteness and human capital accumulation we examine how child school attendance responds to seasonal fluctuations in the income of agrarian households using panel data from rural india to pinpoint market imperfections we study responses to aggregate and idiosyncratic as well as to anticipated and unanticipated income shocks our main finding is that seasonal fluctuations in school attendance are a form of self insurance but one which does not result in a substantial loss of human capital on average

child labor and household land holding theory and empirical evidence from zimbabwe summary the relationship between rural household productive assets and child labor in developing countries is complex some empirical evidence shows that child labor tends to increase as land holding increases or there is an inverted u shaped curve relationship between the probability of putting children to work and land holding this paper shows that the relationship between use of children as laborers and land holding is nuanced child labor generally decreases as per capita land holding increases but there can be an upward bump in the relationship between child labor and landholding near the middle of the range of land per capita the bump can be explained theoretically by the relationship between the marginal productivity of a child worker on the farm and the marginal value placed on his her education at different levels of wealth this pattern is repeated in three surveys conducted in zimbabwe in 2001 2007 8 and 2010 11 from the perspective of policy making the policy maker should be alerted that the programs to promote school retention should not necessarily focus only on the poorest households in rural areas there is a high probability that middle wealth households put their children to work and this probability may change by some other factors such as gender of child and agro ecological conditions

why does child labor persist with declining poverty we develop a dynamic overlapping generations model to highlight the role of income inequality in explaining the persistence of child labor under declining poverty differential investment in two forms of human capital schooling and health in the presence of inequality gives rise to a nonconvergent income distribution in the steady state characterized by multiple steady states of relative income with varying levels of education health and child labor the child labor trap thus generated is shown to preserve itself despite rising per capita income policy recommendations include public provision of education targeted toward reducing schooling costs for the poor or raising the efficacy of public health infrastructure jel i1 j2 o1 o2

population growth and human capital investments theory and evidence this paper presents evidence from empirical studies that test hypotheses derived from models of household behavior pertaining to the interrelationships among population growth human capital and economic development these studies have exploited quasi natural experiments embodied in the cross area variability in the wage rates of children in a number of low income countries the intercouple variation in the biological propensity to conceive and the geographically selective introduction of new high yielding seed varieties in india in the period 1961 71 the different varieties of evidence support the hypotheses that alterations in the returns to human capital associated with exogenous technical change lead simultaneously to increases in human capital investments and to reductions in fertility and that the costliness of fertility control is a significant but modest factor in inhibiting human capital investments

returns to investment in education a global update the author updates compilations of rate of return estimates to investment in education published since 1985 and discusses methodological issues surrounding those estimates some key patterns among the three main levels of education primary education continues to exhibit the highest social profitability in all world regions private returns are considerably higher than social returns because of the public subsidization of education the degree of public subsidy increases with the level of education which is regressive social and private returns at all levels generally decline by the level of a country s per capita income overall the returns to female education are higher than those to male education but at individual levels of education the pattern is more mixed the returns to the academic secondary school track are higher than the vocational track since unit cost of vocational education is much higher and the returns for those who work in the private competitive sector of the economy are higher than in the public noncompetitive sector and the returns in the self employment unregulated sector of the economy are higher than in the dependent employment sector controversies in the literature are discussed in the light of the new evidence the undisputable and universal positive correlation between education and earnings can be interpreted in many ways the causation issue on whether education really affects earnings can be answered only with experimental data generated by randomly exposing different people to various amounts of education given the fact that moral and pragmatic considerations prevent the generation of such pure data researchers have to make do with indirect inferences or natural experiments some have been attempted the author looks at the research on overeducation or surplus schooling the conclusions reinforce earlier patterns they confirm that primary education continues to be the number one investment priority in developing countries they also show that educating females is marginally more profitable than educating males that the academic secondary school curriculum is a better investment than the technical vocational tract and that the returns to education obey the same rules as investment in conventional capital that is they decline as investment is expanded

effects of economic shocks on children s employment and schooling in brazil abstract this paper uses longitudinal employment survey data to analyze the impact of household economic shocks on the schooling and employment transitions of young people in metropolitan brazil the paper uses data on over 100 000 children ages 10 16 from brazil s monthly employment survey pme from 1982 to 1999 taking advantage of the rotating panels in the pme we compare households in which the male household head becomes unemployed during a four month period with households in which the head is continuously employed probit regressions indicate that an unemployment shock significantly increases the probability that a child enters the labor force drops out of school and fails to advance in school the effects can be large implying increases of as much as 50 in the probability of entering employment for 16 year old girls in contrast shocks occurring after the school year do not have significant effects suggesting that these results are not due to unobserved characteristics of households that experience unemployment shocks the results suggest that some households are not able to absorb short run economic shocks with negative consequences for children

the inherent inefficiency of simultaneously feasible financial transmission rights auctions abstract empirical evidence from the new york iso shows that the clearing prices for point to point congestion revenue rights also known as financial transmission rights ftrs resulting from centralized auctions conducted by independent system operators differ significantly and systematically from the realized congestion revenues that determine the accrued payoffs of these rights the question addressed by this paper is whether such deviations are due to price discovery errors which will eventually vanish or due to inherent inefficiencies in the auction structure we show that even with perfect foresight of average congestion rents the clearing prices for the ftrs depend on the bid quantity and therefore may not be priced correctly in the financial transmission right ftr auction in particular we prove that quantity limits on the ftr bids may cause the auction clearing prices to differ from the bid prices this phenomenon which is inherent in the theoretical properties of the optimization algorithm used to clear the auction is further illustrated through numerical simulations with test systems we conclude that price discovery alone would not remedy the discrepancy between the auction prices and the realized values of the ftrs secondary markets or frequent reconfiguration auctions are necessary in order to achieve such convergence

does child labor decline with improving economic status between 1993 and 1997 child labor in vietnam declined by nearly 30 percent while the country s gdp grew by nearly 9 percent per year on average using a simple nonparametric decomposition i investigate the relationship between improvements in per capita expenditure and child labor with a panel data set that spans this episode of growth in vietnam improvements in per capita expenditure can explain 80 percent of the decline in child labor that occurs in households whose expenditures improve enough to move out of poverty this finding suggests a previously undocumented role for economic growth in the amelioration of child labor

child labor and agricultural shocks this paper examines the relationship between household income shocks and child labor in particular we investigate the extent to which transitory income shocks lead to increases in child labor and whether household asset holdings mitigate the effects of these shocks using data from a household panel survey in tanzania we find that both relationships are significant we investigate mechanisms that could account for these results including buffer stocks and borrowing

child labor and schooling response to changes in coca production in rural peru abstract coca eradication and interdiction are the most common policies aimed at reducing the production and distribution of cocaine in the andes but little is know about their impact on households this paper uses the shift in the production of coca leaves from peru to colombia in 1995 to analyze the indirect effects of the anti coca policy on children s allocation of time after different sensitivity checks the results indicate that a decrease in coca production is associated with increases in work and hours children living in coca growing states devote to work within and outside the household with no effects on schooling outcomes these findings suggest a previously undocumented indirect effect of drug policies on household behavior

child labour a review of recent theory and evidence with policy implications in recent years a growing number of authors have turned their attention to the question of why children work the purpose of this paper is to review some of the more recent theoretical and empirical research into the topic of child labour and to illustrate the fact that no one factor on its own can account for the phenomenon of child labour therefore policies aimed at eradicating child labour will need to address the broad range of underlying factors that contribute to the incidence of child labour such as poverty market imperfections and access to education

borrowing constraints and progress through school evidence from peru this paper investigates the effect of borrowing constraints on the timing of human capital investment in a developing country by looking at how quickly children with different family backgrounds progress through the primary school system in peru the main findings are that children start withdrawing from school earlier as indicated by repetition of grades in households with lower income and durable good holdings and when children are more closely spaced behavior also differs as predicted between children from households that appear to be borrowing constrained and those that appear unconstrained copyright 1994 by mit press

the effect of food price changes on child labour evidence from uganda abstractmost people in developing countries spend up to 60 per cent of their income on food even though the majority of them are farmers hence a change in food prices affects both their revenue

inequality and convergence in europe s regions reconsidering european regional policies europe s regions income disparities and regional policies in this paper we take a critical look at current european regional policies first we document the motivation for such policies that is the large income disparities across the regions of the eu15 large disparities are certainly present second we illustrate the various instruments adopted and discuss their underpinnings in established economic theories next we look at available data searching for three kinds of evidence 1 if disparities are either growing or decreasing we conclude they are neither 2 which are the major factors explaining such disparities and in particular if they are the factors predicted by the economic models adopted by the commission to justify current policies we conclude this is most certainly not the case 3 if there are clear signs that eu policies as opposed to other social and economic factors are actually reducing such disparities we cannot find any clear sign of such desired impact our conclusion is that regional and structural policies serve mostly a redistributional purpose motivated by the nature of the political equilibria upon which the european union is built they have little relationship with fostering economic growth this casts a serious doubt on their social value and furthermore strongly questions extending such policies to future members of the european union a successful eu enlargement in our view calls for an immediate and drastic revision of regional economic policies michele boldrin and fabio canova

urban influences on rural schooling in india abstract many believe that low levels of schooling in rural areas of developing economies are a consequence of the low rate of return to schooling in agriculture this belies the possibility that rural schooling decisions are undertaken in response to the possibility of employment in urban areas this paper tests this hypothesis using three cross sections of household data for rural india it finds that urban rates of return do influence rural schooling particularly amongst households who are most likely to seek urban employment such as the landless the results suggest that low levels of rural schooling may reflect not just conditions in the local village economy but also the functioning and size of the relevant labor market

credit program participation and child schooling in rural malawi summary we evaluate the impact of agricultural credit program participation on children s school attendance in rural malawi our paired site sampling survey reveals that credit uptake decreased school attendance by young girl children this finding raises concerns that young girl children are exploited as child labor either at home or in the field when working adults become more involved in income generating activities financed by credit the data however do not show clear evidence for young girls staying at home to do household chores or working in the fields in households that obtained credit but instead find simultaneous occurrence between attending school and taking responsibilities for domestic chores by young children it would appear therefore that credit uptake delays the realization of this concurrence among young girl children and leads to delayed school enrollment

convergence in the trends and cycles of euro zone income multivariate unobserved components structural time series models are fitted to annual post war observations on real income per capita in countries in the euro zone the aim is to establish stylized facts about convergence as it relates both to long run and short run movements a new model in which convergence components are combined with a common trend and similar cycles is proposed the convergence components are formulated as a second order error correction mechanism this ensures that the extracted components change smoothly thereby enabling them to be separated from transitory cycles copyright 2005 john wiley sons ltd

the macroeconomics of child labor regulation we develop a positive theory of the adoption of child labor laws workers who compete with children in the labor market support a child labor ban unless their own working children provide a large fraction of family income fertility decisions lock agents into specific political preferences and multiple steady states can arise the introduction of child labor laws can be triggered by skill biased technological change which induces parents to choose smaller families the theory can account for the observation that in britain regulations were first introduced after a period of rising wage inequality and coincided with rapid fertility decline

child labor urban proximity and household composition using detailed survey data from nepal this paper examines the determinants of child labor with a special emphasis on urban proximity we find that children residing in or near urban centers attend school more and work less in total but are more likely to be involved in wage work or in a small business the larger the urban center the stronger the effect is urban proximity is found to reduce the workload of children and improve school attendance up to 3 h of travel time from the city in areas of commercialized agriculture located 3 to 7 h from the city children do more farm work urban proximity effects are accounted for by a combination of local labor supply and demand conditions most notably the local importance of agriculture the education level of the parents and the local wage rate child servants which represent a small proportion of all children work much harder than other children and appear particularly at risk

convergence in the oecd transitional dynamics or narrowing steady state differences i introduction research on growth and convergence has proceeded through several stages that can be described as a process of accommodating cross country heterogeneity into the convergence equation in the first stage the world could be described as countries approaching to equal absolute convergence or to different conditional convergence steady states in both cases see baumol 1986 barro and sala i martin 1992 or mankiw et al 1992 the assumption of parameter homogeneity of the underlying production function was assumed and not tested later some researchers knight et al 1993 islam 1995 durlauf and johnson 1995 or caselli et al 1996 among others began to challenge the view that the productivity shift parameter of the underlying production function is homogeneous across countries from an econometric point of view the transition from the first to the second stage made researchers resort to panel data methods that exploit the time dimension of data sets a natural extension to accommodate heterogeneity was developed in lee et al 1997 in this third stage the authors extended the use of panel data methods to allow for differences not only in the initial conditions the constant term but also in other coefficients of the production function and in the rate of technological progress itself if there is widespread heterogeneity there are substantial econometric difficulties in obtaining precise estimates of the speed of convergence in particular the estimated rate of convergence is biased downward in cross section regressions see lee et al 1997 or caselli et al 1996 suggesting a slower convergence rate than is actually the case 1 the pooled fixed effect estimator would partially solve the problem of accommodating level effects across countries through heterogeneous intercepts but in dynamic panels heterogeneity in speeds of convergence renders this estimator inconsistent too pesaran and smith 0995 show that the mean group estimator i e estimating the convergence equation separately for each country using annual data and averaging the coefficients is appropriate in this case nevertheless as recognized by these authors this procedure may also be subject to a small sample bias that can be important even for time dimensions as large as 30 years in this article we do not discuss further the advantages or shortcomings of these different econometric methods to estimate convergence equations 2 our aim is not presenting an alternative econometric method to estimate consistently the parameters in growth regressions rather we focus on some implications of the different econometric techniques that so far have been extensively used in the convergence literature and that have been largely unexplored to this end we present three well established estimation approaches as a benchmark of the way the literature has estimated convergence equations in some fundamental contributions and we explore the implications of parameter heterogeneity within the standard mankiw romer and weil theoretical framework cross section and fixed effects models lead us to conclude that the observed reduction in the dispersion of per capita incomes that has taken place among organisation for economic co operation and development oecd countries since the 1960s is mostly a process of transitional dynamics according to this interpretation the dispersion of the long run steady state features of oecd economies has remained fairly stable during the past 40 years if the dispersion of incomes has narrowed it is because these countries started from very different initial conditions and have been approaching their own steady state this is in accordance with the predictions of the standard exogenous growth model mean group estimates tell us a different story namely that the process of transitional dynamics has been negligible oecd countries have never been too far from their steady states and the reduction of dispersion is mostly explained in terms of convergence in steady states themselves that is in the long run determinants of per capita income savings rates human capital accumulation etc

taxes inequality and the size of the informal sector abstract in this note we develop a simple heterogeneous agent model with incomplete markets to explain the prevalence of a large low productivity informal sector in developing countries in our model taxes levied on formal sector agents are used to finance the provision of a productive public infrastructure which creates a productivity premium from formalization our model offers endogenous differentiation of rich and poor countries complete formalization is an equilibrium only in countries with the appropriate initial conditions we discuss the existence of this equilibrium and highlight the ambiguous effect of taxes

does child labour displace schooling evidence on behavioral responses to an enrollment subsidy this brief summarizes the results of a gender impact evaluation study entitled does child labour displace schooling evidence on behavioral responses to an enrollment subsidy conducted between 1995 and 1996 in bangladesh the study observed that the subsidy increases schooling but its effect on child labour is ambiguous the subsidy increased schooling by far more than it reduced child labour substitution effects helped protect current incomes from the higher school attendance induced by the subsidy substitution effects helped protect current incomes from the higher school attendance induced by the subsidy the reduction in the incidence of child labour by boys girls represents about one quarter eighth of the increase in their school enrollment rate

school attendance child labor and local labor market fluctuations in urban brazil abstract while the income poverty effect on child labor is long established as a main determinant of child labor there is a growing body of literature considering the pull of the labor market this paper demonstrates that after controlling for household characteristics employment rates for 14 16 year old boys and girls in urban brazil increase as local labor market opportunities improve children are also more likely to leave school as local labor market conditions become more favorable the relationship between children s schooling and work and local labor market conditions changes in years of crisis compared to other years the effects of macroeconomic fluctuations on children s school and work behavior are examined with particular focus on whether the income effect or substitution effect dominates as macroeconomic conditions change over time the study uses data from the pesquisa nacional amostra de domicilios a large household survey that is conducted almost annually by the ibge we use variation in the urban areas of 25 states over 12 years to identify the aggregate effects

an economic analysis of child labor abstract this paper shows how poverty in combination with credit constraints can give rise to the phenomenon of child labor in developing countries it further shows how banning child labor can reduce the welfare of the households intending to send their children to work and suggests some alternative policies

higher education enrolment in bangladesh does the wage premium matter abstractthis paper empirically examines the decisions of individuals to enrol in a course of tertiary education in bangladesh focussing on the period 1999 to 2009 of particular interest is whethe

an exogeneity test for a simultaneous equation tobit model with an application to labor supply a test of weak exogeneity in the simultaneous equation tobit model is proposed and illustrated using a female labour supply model estimated using cross section data the test statistic can be simply output from any standard tobit maximum likelihood package and is asymptotically efficient the procedure provides consistent estimators for the simultaneous tobit model whose asymptotic covariance matrix is a simple extension of the usual tobit formula we also provide the lagrange multiplier test of weak exogeneity this abstract was borrowed from another version of this item

the impact of structural and cohesion funds on eurozone convergence 1990 2010 maynou l saez m kyriacou a and bacaria j the impact of structural and cohesion funds on eurozone convergence 1990 2010 regional studies ever since the launch of the european integration process and in particular in the context of economic and monetary union the european union has endeavoured to facilitate economic convergence across europe by providing funds to its poorer regions and countries the main objective of this paper is to analyse whether the structural and cohesion funds have contributed towards convergence between the eurozone countries during the past two decades 1990 2010 the results of the spatio temporal econometric model specified in this paper illustrate that these funds have positively contributed to the gross domestic product per inhabitant gdppc growth of receiving regions thus allowing them to reach conditional convergence

the effect of microenterprise lending on child schooling in guatemala many recent theoretical models which portray human capital investment as a primary engine of economic growth underemphasize the structure of the microeconomic decision making process which gives rise to human capital investment in both developed and developing countries human capital investment tends to be a household level decision made in the form of child schooling for families in developing countries which operate household enterprises the decision involves an economic trade off between future returns to schooling and the current return to childrens labor in the enterprise the author explores how access to credit in developing countries can affect the child schooling decision a 2 period household model is presented which endogenously generates an optimal level of child schooling by households accounting for the possibility of asymmetric information in credit and labor markets comparative statics are then conducted to show the conditions under which child schooling will increase or decrease when credit constraints are relaxed a brief background of the schooling system in guatemala and a brief description of the survey data collected in guatemala are provided followed by the presentation of empirical tests and a summary of empirical findings with suggestions made for further research

credit constraints and the phenomenon of child labor abstract this paper develops an overlapping generations general equilibrium model where inefficient child labor arises due to credit constraints it derives a positive relationship between inequality in the distribution of income and the incidence of child labor looking at policy implications it shows how trade sanctions against countries using child labor may fail to reduce the incidence of child labor it discusses some alternative policies to reduce the incidence of child labor

a defense of compulsive measures against child labor abstract this research characterizes policies likely to trigger the onset of a growth enhancing fertility transition even for an economy with initially a low per capita income the environment considered is one where children s time has an economic value and schooling and child labor are the main competing claims on a child s time using a one parent family overlapping generations model i argue that compulsive measures against child labor are justifiable as an integral part of an intervention that combines incentives and regulations in order to eliminate child labor the analysis highlights fertility and child labor dynamics as shaped by the relative cost of children

economic growth and the persistence of child labor evidence from an indian city abstract this paper examines features of child labor in an area of high economic growth in western india growth was associated with an increase in the number of child workers over the last 15 years the analysis shows that children work at simple repetitive manual tasks that do not require long years of training or experience the work is low paying involves drudgery and is hazardous work forecloses the option of school education for most children in this context i argue that economic growth alone is not sufficient to eradicate child labor

the economics of child labor if child labor as a mass phenomenon occurs not because of parental selfishness but because of the parents concern for the household s survival the popular argument for banning child labor loses much of its force however this assumption about parental decision making coupled with the assumption of substitutability in production between child and adult labor could result in multiple equilibria in the labor market with one equilibrium where children work and another where adult wage is high and children do not work the paper establishes this result and discusses its policy implications copyright 1998 by american economic association

speculation in the oil market the run up in oil prices since 2004 coincided with growing investment in commodity markets and increased price co movement among different commodities we assess whether speculation in the oil market played a role in driving this salient empirical pattern we identify oil shocks from a large dataset using a dynamic factor model this method is motivated by the fact that a small scale vector autoregression is not informationally sufficient to identify the shocks the main results are as follows i while global demand shocks account for the largest share of oil price fluctuations speculative shocks are the second most important driver ii the increase in oil prices over the last decade is mainly driven by the strength of global demand however speculation played a significant role in the oil price increase between 2004 and 2008 and its subsequent collapse iii the co movement between oil prices and the prices of other commodities is mainly explained by global demand shocks our results support the view that the recent oil price increase is mainly driven by the strength of global demand but that the financialization process of commodity markets also played a role

child labor the role of financial development and income variability across countries abstract in this article we examine the link between child labor and financial development using cross country data we show that child labor and financial development display a significant negative relationship which is particularly strong in the sample of low income countries and is robust for a wide range of specifications and estimators including fixed effects and instrumental variables we identify a plausible channel through which financial development affects child labor as we find that income variability has a sizable positive impact on child labor in countries where financial markets are underdeveloped although this is not the case when financial markets are developed our results suggest that policies aimed at widening access to credit could be effective in reducing the extent of child labor

is child labor inefficient we build a model of child labor and study its implications for welfare we assume that there is a trade off between child labor and the accumulation of human capital even if parents are altruistic and child labor is socially inefficient it may arise in equilibrium because parents fail to fully internalize its negative effects this occurs when bequests are zero or when capital markets are imperfect we also study the effects of a simple ban on child labor and derive conditions under which it may be pareto improving in general equilibrium we show that the implications of child labor for fertility are ambiguous

the policy analysis of child labor a comparative study the policy analysis of child labour c grootaert h a patrinos modelling the determinants of child labour c grootaert child labour in cote d ivoire k cartwright child labour in urban bolivia k cartwright h a patrinos child labour in the philippines c sakellariou a lall policies to reduce child labour c grootaert h a patrinos

child labor and coordination failures abstract in this note we show that a technology based coordination failure may explain the emergence of laws restricting child labor child labor may arise because of the lack of a coordination mechanism between parental decisions to invest in the human capital of their children and firms decisions to invest in skill biased technologies legislative intervention in many cases helps coordinate expectations towards a pareto superior outcome with investments both in human capital and in skill biased technologies

wealth crucial but not sufficient evidence from pakistan on economic growth child labor and schooling the relationship between wealth and child labor has been widely examined this paper uses three rounds of time series cross sectional data to examine the relationship between wealth and child labor and schooling the paper finds that wealth is crucial in determining a child s activities but that this factor is far from being a sufficient condition to enroll a child in school this is particularly the case for rural girls nonparametric analysis shows a universal increase in school enrollment for rural girls from 1998 to 2006 this increase is independent of wealth measured by per capita expenditure multinomial logit regression further shows that wealth is insignificant in determining rural girls activity decisions thus interventions to increase school enrollment should incorporate broad targeted demand side interventions as well as supply side interventions

child labour in indonesian small industries abstract we analyse the geographic incidence of child labour in small manufacturing firms in indonesia at the village level our unique data set covers virtually all indonesian villages and urban neighbourhoods it allows us to distinguish between demand and supply side determinants of child labour we show by correcting for sample selection that a number of counterintuitive results child labour being unaffected by credit access and school proximity are the result of an interplay between supply and demand side determinants credit access and school proximity reduce child labour supply but simultaneously constitute positive location factors for firms thereby increasing the demand for child labourers to effectively reduce child labour growth oriented policies such as enhancing school and credit facilities should be complemented by policies specifically geared towards increasing school attendance

school subsidies for the poor evaluating the mexican progresa poverty program abstract this paper evaluates how the progresa program which provides poor mothers in rural mexico with education grants has affected enrollment poor children who reside in communities randomly selected to participate in the initial phase of the progresa are compared to those who reside in other control communities pre program comparisons check the randomized design and double difference estimators of the program s effect on the treated are calculated by grade and sex probit models are also estimated for the probability that a child is enrolled controlling for additional characteristics of the child their parents local schools and community and for sample attrition to evaluate the sensitivity of the program estimates these estimates of program short run effects on enrollment are extrapolated to the lifetime schooling and the earnings of adults to approximate the internal rate of return on the public schooling subsidies as they increase expected private wages

gender and education impacts on employment and earnings in west africa evidence from guinea this study examines the determinants of labor force participation for men and women in guinea for three sectors and for earnings employment includes self employment private wage employment and public wage employment data were obtained from a survey of 1725 households in the capital city of conakry in 1990 labor force participation lfp was 40 for women aged 15 65 years and almost 100 for men aged 30 50 years men were engaged almost equally in all three sectors while women were mostly engaged in self employment self employed women tended to come from low income households all public sector employees were well educated about 10 12 years average levels of education among the self employed were very low 2 3 years in the private wage sector men averaged 5 years and women averaged 9 years of schooling 47 of men and 59 of women in the public sector were in professional or managerial jobs in the private sector over 50 of women were in professional managerial or clerical jobs compared to only 16 of men few women in the private sector were engaged in skilled trades or unskilled work most self employed women and only 50 of men tended to work in retail trade migration during the past 5 years was positively associated with mens entry in self employment and the private sector and negatively associated with their public sector employment determinants of womens self employment included residence near commercial areas of the center city electricity in the house and work activity during the rainy season of april september fulani and malinke women were less likely to be self employed for women the benefits of education and experience declined after a certain level returns to schooling were high for both genders men earned more than women there is a need to increase educational and employment opportunities for women

regional returns to education child labour and schooling in india abstract we offer evidence from india that higher regional returns to primary education not only increase the likelihood that boys and girls attend school but also decrease the likelihood that they work these relationships hold only for the top three quintiles of the income distribution and mostly for children in the age group 10 14 years the former result suggests that liquidity constraints may not allow poorer households to respond to the economic benefits of education policies that raise the economic benefits of education may increase human capital investments in households that do not rely on their children s incomes for survival however low schooling and high child labour will persist among credit constrained families unless these households are provided with the economic ability to respond to these benefits

the heterogeneous effects of a food price crisis on child school enrollment and labor evidence from pakistan using a panel survey this paper investigates how the increase in food prices in pakistan in 2008 2010 affected children s school enrollment and labor the causal identification relies on geographical variations in the price of food wheat the results show that the negative impacts of food price increase on school enrollment differ by gender economic status and the presence of siblings the negative effects on school do not directly correspond to the increase in child labor because the transition from being idle to labor activity or from school to being idle are significant particularly among the poor girls the results also show that children in households with access to agricultural land are not affected by higher food prices the analyses reveal a more dynamic picture of the impact of food price increase on child status and contribute to broader policy discussion to mitigate the impact of crises on children s education

education in a crisis abstract the year 1998 saw the onset of a major economic and financial crisis in indonesia gdp fell by 12 that year the effect on education of the next generation is examined on average household spending on education declined most dramatically among the poorest households spending reductions were particularly marked in poor households with more young children while there was a tendency to protect education spending in poor households with more older children the evidence on school enrollments mirrors these findings poor households apparently sought to protect investments in the schooling of older children at the expense of the education of younger children

within firm human capital externalities in tunisia this case study exploits matched firm employee tunisian data in order to underline the role played by within firm human capital in worker remuneration the estimated returns to human capital in wage equations remain unchanged when the dummies representing firm heterogeneity are replaced in the list of regressors with three firm variables a textile industry dummy within firm mean education and firm age we find that part of what is usually considered as return to education may be due to within firm externalities

child labor and household wealth theory and empirical evidence of an inverted u some studies on child labor have shown that at the level of the household greater land wealth leads to higher child labor thereby casting doubt on the hypothesis that child labor is caused by poverty this paper argues that the missing ingredient may be an explicit modeling of the labor market we develop a simple model which suggests the possibility of an inverted u relationship between land holdings and child labor using a unique data set that has child labor hours it is found that controlling for child household and village characteristics the turning point beyond which more land leads to a decline in child labor occurs around 4 ac of land per household c 2009 published by elsevier b v

market returns transfers and demand for schooling in malaysia 1976 89 if parents expect higher market returns to schooling or additional transfers from their children they invest more in their children s schooling results from models of schooling demand using data from the malaysian family life surveys of 1976 and 1989 suggest that market returns of mothers but not fathers positively affected schooling the propensity for parents to spend time with their parents had a small positive effect on education of daughters but other transfers had a weak negative effect the results suggest that if one generation perceives a low return to schooling then the next generation especially daughters pays the price of lower schooling

does globalization increase child labor abstract there is no empirical evidence that trade exposure per se increases child labor as trade theory and household economics lead us to expect the crosscountry evidence seems to indicate that trade reduces or at worst has no significant effect on child labor consistently with the theory a comparatively well educated labor force and active social policies appear to be conducive to a reduction in child labor for countries with a largely uneducated workforce the problem is not so much globalization as not being allowed to take part in it

political repression and child labour theory and empirical evidence most normative studies on child labour arrive at the conclusion that child labour is detrimental to social welfare child labour is however still prevalent in many developing countries even though in many of these countries it is forbidden by law in this paper we develop a political economic model that explains lenient enforcement of existing child labour legislation the most important implication of our model is that in countries with repressive political regimes enforcement is more lenient and child labour thus more prevalent than in countries enjoying political freedom we test this implication and find that it is confirmed by the data

efficiency of financial transmission rights markets in centrally coordinated periodic auctions electricity market design in the united states is increasingly dominated by locational marginal pricing lmp of energy and transmission lmp markets are typically coupled with periodic auctions of financial transmission rights ftrs to hedge transmission price risks while lmp designs offer considerable advantages forward price discovery in these markets requires participants to form efficient expectations on spot congestion price differences in this paper we examine trends in the efficiency of one of the early lmp markets the new york independent system operator nyiso analyzing a panel data set of over 9000 contracts over a six year period beginning september 2000 we show that nyiso ftr markets were inefficient in their early years but that market participants learned to predict forward prices and thus efficiency improved for ftrs not solely within the new york city long island sub region ftrs within this sub region which has a number of special characteristics remain relatively inefficient

limits to arbitrage in electricity markets a case study of miso abstract we study the case of financial traders in the midwest electricity market where they are expected to arbitrage price differences that result in inefficiencies using exogenous variation in financial trading from the financial crisis and a period of high transaction costs we show speculators had only a weak effect moreover while arbitrage was restricted by transaction costs imposed by regulation some financial players bet in exactly the opposite direction of the pricing gap sustaining large losses while doing so we show this is consistent with price manipulation intended to increase the value of a related instrument that bets on local price differences ftrs

the global child labor problem what do we know and what can we do the problem of child labor has moved from a matter of regional and national concern to one of international debate and possible global persuasion and policy intervention in crafting policy for mitigating this enormous problem of our times it is important to start with a proper theoretical and empirical understanding of the phenomenon what gives rise to child labor and what are its consequences what interventions might end child labor without hurting children a well meaning but poorly designed policy can exacerbate the poverty in which these laboring children live even leading to starvation the article surveys the large and rapidly growing literature on this subject focusing mainly on the new literature based on modern economic theory and econometrics it also looks at some of the broad policy implications of these new findings with the objective of contributing to better informed discussion and policy design

child labour and resistance to change we study the interaction between technological innovation investment in human capital and child labour in a two stage game first firms decide on innovation then households decide on education in equilibrium the presence of inefficient child labour depends on parameters related to technology parents altruism and the diffusion of firms property child labour is due either to firms reluctance to innovate or to households unwillingness to educate or both in some cases compulsory schooling laws or a ban on child labour are welfare reducing whereas a subsidy for innovation is the right tool to eliminate child labour and increase welfare

household labor supply in urban areas of bolivia we analyze labor supply behavior and the choice between formal and informal sector work of the two spouses in families in urban areas of a developing country using cross section data from bolivia drawn in 1989 the model generalizes the neoclassical family labor supply model nonmonetary returns of formal sector employment capture the fact that the choice between sectors is not exclusively based on wage differentials wage equations nonmonetary returns equations and labor supply equations are estimated jointly by smooth simulated maximum likelihood we find substantial cross wage elasticities of working hours of both partners and large substitution elasticities between the two sectors

economic growth a panacea for child labor summary in this paper we test whether economic growth decreases child labor by bringing together data from the national sample survey of india and state level macrodata to estimate a bivariate probit model of schooling and labor our results lead us to conclude that contrary to popular wisdom growth actually increases rather than decreases child labor because it increases the demand for child workers the level of state ndp village wages and household incomes are seen as the conduits through which growth influences the supply side of the child labor market

the global child labor problem the problem of child labor has moved from a matter of regional and national concern to one of international debate and possible global persuasion and policy intervention in crafting policy for mitigating this enormous problem of our times it is important to start with a proper theoretical and empirical understanding of the phenomenon what gives rise to child labor and what are its consequences what interventions might end child labor without hurting children a well meaning but poorly designed policy can exacerbate the poverty in which these laboring children live even leading to starvation the article surveys the large and rapidly growing literature on this subject focusing mainly on the new literature based on modern economic theory and econometrics it also looks at some of the broad policy implications of these new findings with the objective of contributing to better informed discussion and policy design

child labor and schooling decisions in urban and rural areas comparative evidence from nepal peru and zimbabwe summary this study sheds some light on the causes of child labor using crosscountry empirical data we find that while poverty is the main cause of child labor in rural areas there is a general lack of support for the poverty hypothesis in urban areas similarly improving access to credit has a greater potential for alleviating child labor and enhancing school attendance in rural areas on the other hand availability of alternative childcare options promises greater impact in urban areas finally the evidence from all countries suggests that efforts to bolster adult educational level and wage will help curb the prevalence and intensity of child labor and improve the likelihood that children stay in school

the medium run effects of educational expansion evidence from a large school construction program in indonesia this paper studies the medium run consequences of an increase in the rate of accumulation of human capital in a developing country from 1974 to 1978 the indonesian government built over 61 000 primary schools the school construction program led to an increase in education among individuals who were young enough to attend primary school after 1974 but not among the older cohorts 2sls estimates suggest that an increase of 10 percentage points in the proportion of primary school graduates in the labor force reduced the wages of the older cohorts by 3 8 10 and increased their formal labor force participation by 4 7 i propose a two sector model as a framework to interpret these findings the results suggest that physical capital did not adjust to the faster increase in human capital

schooling costs and child labour in rural pakistan a conventional argument in the child labour debate is that improvements in access to schools are an effective way to reduce the labour force participation of children it is argued that schooling competes with economic activity in the use of children s time and enhanced access to schools interpretable as reduction in schooling costs may raise school attendance at the expense of child labour in this article we draw a distinction between child labour within the household intra household and child work in the labour market extra household and examine the separate effects of schooling costs upon these two types of child labour in rural pakistan consistent at least in part with our theoretical framework we find that extra household child labour and schooling costs are positively related whereas intra household child labour is insensitive to changes in the costs of schooling our results suggest that reduction in schooling costs will have limited success in the abatement of child labour in rural p

schooling and labor market consequences of school construction in indonesia evidence from an unusual policy experiment between 1973 and 1978 the indonesian government engaged in one of the largest school construction programs on record combining differences across regions in the number of schools constructed with differences across cohorts induced by the timing of the program suggests that each primary school constructed per 1 000 children led to an average increase of 0 12 to 0 19 years of education as well as a 1 5 to 2 7 percent increase in wages this implies estimates of economic returns to education ranging from 6 8 to 10 6 percent

child labor child schooling and their interaction with adult labor empirical evidence for peru and pakistan using data from peru and pakistan this article tests two hypotheses there is a positive association between hours of child labor and poverty and there is a negative association between child schooling and poverty both of these hypotheses are confirmed by the pakistani data but not by the peruvian data the reduction in poverty rates due to income from children s labor is greater in pakistan than in peru the nature of interaction between adult and child labor markets varies with the gender of the child and the adult in peru rising men s wages significantly reduce the labor hours of girls whereas in pakistan there is a strong complementarity between women s and girls labor markets both data sets agree on the positive role that increasing adult education can play in improving child welfare

technological change and the distribution of schooling evidence from green revolution india abstract in this paper we develop a two strata general equilibrium model of human capital acquisition with endogenous school construction that permits an assessment of the relative impacts of technological change and school availability on schooling investments in landless and landed households and illuminates how these choices interact through the adult and child labor markets the implications of the model are tested using a unique household level panel data set which constitutes a representative sample of rural india during the peak period of agricultural innovation associated with the green revolution 1968 1982 the empirical results indicate that the operation of the market for child labor worsens the distributional impact of agricultural productivity on school investment across landless and landed households as landless child labor is used to replace landed child labor lost due to increased child school attendance in landed households the results also suggest however that the allocation of school construction diminishes the adverse impact of technical change on the gap between landless and landed schooling investment

explaining cross country differences in policy response to child labour we develop a model of child labour where poverty and inequality combine to determine policy response to child labour if there are strategic complementarities between parents decisions to educate their children and firms technology choice multiple school enrolment equilibria arise only rich countries and those that are not too poor and have a low wealth inequality benefit from adopting child labour laws this is because such laws commit an economy with either of those initial conditions to the full school enrolment equilibrium which pareto dominates all other equilibria moreover wealth redistribution is not sufficient to eliminate child labour jel classification i20 o33 une explication des differences d un pays a l autre dans la reaction des politiques au phenomene du travail des enfants les auteurs developpent un modele de travail des enfants dans lequel les niveaux de pauvrete et d inegalite se combinent pour determiner les politiques si des complementarites strategiques existent entre les decisions des parents d eduquer leurs enfants et le choix de technologie des entreprises de nombreux equilibres impliquant divers niveaux d inscription a l ecole sont possibles seuls les pays riches et ceux qui ne sont pas trop pauvres ou qui ont un degre d inegalite de la richesse relativement bas tirent profit de lois reglementant le travail des enfants c est le cas parce que de telles lois engagent une economie qui a ces caracteristiques a se diriger vers un equilibre d inscription totale des enfants a l ecole dans ces cas il s agit d un equilibre qui domine au sens de pareto tous les autres equilibres on note de plus que la redistribution de la richesse ne suffit pas pour eliminer le travail des enfants