nonrenewable resource scarcity nonrenewable resource theory often is summarized by hotelling s rule this paper reviews theoretical extensions and empirical investigations of resource extraction models observed data are often inconsistent with the hotelling rule suggesting that other characteristics of nonrenewable resource supply including exploration heterogeneous ore quality technological progress and capital investment are important determinants of the dynamic behavior of resource prices given the persistent recurrence of concern about nonrenewable resource scarcity measures of nonrenewable resource scarcity and the empirical evidence for the time trends of those measures are reviewed finally the implications of nonrenewable resource scarcity for economic growth are examined

imperfect competition and the keynesian cross abstract this paper presents a simple general equilibrium model in which the only non walrasian feature is imperfect competition in the goods market the model is shown to exhibit various keynesian characteristics in particular as competition in the goods market becomes less perfect the fiscal policy multipliers approach the values implied by the textbook keynesian cross

wicksell lindahl and the theory of public goods wicksell s and lindahl s ideas on public goods and decisions are reviewed in light of later developments in the theoretical economics literature i begin by discussing their normative ideals in particular the notion of justness and the sources of the difficulties in reaching them wicksell s and lindahl s ideal states as well as the obstacles that they perceive are compared to more recent views on free riding and on the behavior of elected representatives their views on political bargaining are then related to later concepts in particular to the core of the economy

empirical investigation of the long term movement of resource prices a preliminary report abstract this note reports the results of an investigation into the long run movements of natural resource prices and their relationship to interest rates and extraction costs the results do not support the equilibrium type hotelling rule but rather a more general asset market approach

non existence of market clearing wages when the output market is imperfectly competitive abstract in a sector in which oligopolistic firms face a sector specific labour supply constraint there may be no market clearing wage instead at some wages there can be two equilibria one with involuntary unemployment and one with unfilled vacancies

imperfect competition expectations and the multiple effects of monetary growth in a monetary overlapping generations model with an imperfectly competitive labor market in which output is below its full employment level it is shown that different backward looking rules for forecasting inflation lead to different steady states despite yielding no forecast errors in the steady state and in many cases none in the short or medium run either higher monetary growth raises output in some steady states in others has no effect and in others lowers it this contrasts with ad hoc or competitive macromodels where the absence of forecast errors in the steady state usually defines it and its properties uniquely copyright 1992 by royal economic society

equilibria and efficiency in the fixprice setting abstract the aim of this paper is to study efficiency under fixed price constraints and to define an equilibrium concept that extends to some degree the standard welfare analysis of general equilibrium theory this paper contains a description of the fixprice setting a study of the set of relatively pareto efficient allocations a definition of coupon equilibria the proof of their existence and an investigation into the structure of the set of coupon equilibria and of the set of economies admitting efficient coupon equilibria

the elephant in hotelling s room this paper questions the assumption commonly used in theoretical and policy research that scarcity rents make up a large proportion of market prices for oil and coal we show that the empirical literature simple calculations of historical and future scarcity rent shares and possible theoretical explanations all imply the same overall conclusions that scarcity rents seem to have been marginal or non existent historically that they almost certainly do not dominate fossil resource prices today and that there will be other factors shaping the prices in the upcoming decades we therefore argue that using the scarcity rent as the main or only basis for policy or for explaining empirical outcomes is ill advised

the objective demand curve in general equilibrium with price makers objective demand curves in general equilibrium with explicitly modeled price makers have been defined so far in a number of specific cases this paper gives a general definition of such an objective demand curve the associated general equilibrium concept is defined and sufficient existence conditions are given copyright 1987 by royal economic society

climate policy and energy intensive manufacturing a comprehensive analysis of the effectiveness of cost mitigation provisions in the american energy and security act of 2009 abstract in response to the ongoing climate policy debates this study examines the cost impacts of carbon pricing legislation on selected us energy intensive manufacturing industries specifically it evaluates output based rebate measures and the border adjustment provision specified in the bill and tests the effectiveness of cost containment features of the policy such as the international offsets under various market assumptions results of the examination confirm that in all policy cases or industries the output based rebates would effectively mitigate the manufacturers carbon pricing costs in the short to medium term however as the rebates decline after 2020 especially in a case where low carbon electricity generation or international offsets are not readily available or implemented these industries would suffer greater declines in profitability at the same time the study s findings were mixed concerning the effectiveness of the border adjustment measure in reducing cost impacts after 2020 while border adjustments could reduce costs to us manufacturing sectors at least temporarily they could create problems for domestic downstream producers and exports under cost pass along conditions however at best the output based rebates international offset and border adjustment and measures primarily buy time for manufacturers the only long term solution is for eite industries to invest in energy saving and next generation low carbon technologies

on the existence of conjectural equilibria with a priori chosen rationing patterns hahn s model of conjectural equilibrium hahn 1978 is investigated a proof of existence of non walrasian conjectural equilibrium for a regular economy is given the method used enables one to choose a priori and within a large class the rationing pattern to emerge in equilibrium for instance an equilibrium with a rationing pattern of general supply rationing is thereby shown to exist also it is possible to select a priori one commodity money which is never rationed these results are valid for the fix price model as well the method of our proof is basically a generalization of gale s method gale 1978

on monopolistic competition and involuntary unemployment in a simple temporary general equilibrium model it is shown that if the number of firms is small imperfect price competition in the markets for goods may be responsible for the existence of unemployment at any given positive wage in our examples involving two firms facing their true demand curves total monopolistic labor demand remains bounded as the wage rate goes to zero and unemployment prevails for a sufficiently large inelastic labor supply in the competitive case total labor demand would go to infinity and intersect labor supply at a positive wage

unions oligopoly and the natural range of employment a simple two sector general equilibrium macromodel is presented wi th oligopolistic price determination in the product market and a unionized labor market in the first stage unions set the nominal wage and in the second stage firms choose outputs given wages by altering the balance of fiscal policy between the two sectors the government can achieve a continuum of aggregate employment levels the natural range of employment a unique natural rate will occur only i f one requires fiscal policy to be the same in both sectors this indicates that the natural rate property of some single or representative sect or macromodels is a special case

economic growth and conflict over the distribution of income abstract a thorough analysis of economic growth inflation and fluctuations resulting from the class struggle is presented the paper begins with the formulation of an extended predator prey model and pays attention to population growth technical progress differential saving consumption out of wealth trade union activity inflation labour hoarding affluence and the inherent contradictions of capitalism the paper proceeds with a neo classical reformulation to allow for smooth substitution possibilities in production and for time taken to recruit and fire labour an alternative extension of the model based on maximising the reduction in unit costs subject to kaldor s technical progress function is also provided

interest rates and metal price movements further evidence abstract we offer a theory about the relationship between interest rates and metal price movements the theory is a version of the hotelling rule eq 8 the results obtained from prices of four different metals based on seasonally and unadjusted quarterly data over the period 1968 2 1982 2 suggest that a reformulated hotelling rule which has a dynamic structure can explain the relationship between metal prices and interest rates in view of this result it appears that the return on exhaustible resources is related to changes in rather than the levels of interest rates this result also confirms the results of g m heal and m m barrow rev econom stud 48 161 181 1979 econom lett 7 95 103 1981

resource prices and planning horizons abstract this paper shows that a seemingly simple assumption that agents use a rolling planning horizon can reconcile the puzzling long run price dynamics of exhaustible resources such as oil gas and metals a rolling horizon has the effect of removing the scarcity consideration of resource owners when stocks are large hence extraction will be non decreasing and resource prices non increasing for a long period of time and there will be no connection between the price growth and the interest rate in line with the trends of a majority of exhaustible resources in the last century a calibration of the model to the oil market yields a price which closely fits the gradually falling real oil price after wwii and the sharply increasing price after 1998 this suggests that while long run scarcity was not an important parameter on the oil market in the 20th century it has been important in shaping the oil price from around 1998 and onwards

involuntary unemplyment in imperfectly competitive general equilibrium models this paper is about involuntary unemployment in general equilibrium models with imperfect competition it surveys papers written after the seminal work of d aspremont dos santos ferreira and gerard varet 1984 this unemployment is called involuntary because it exists at any wage it results from imperfect competition in the product markets more specifically from firms excessive market power these papers have focussed their attention on the conditions required for involuntary unemployment in our presentation we characterise this form of unemployment through three elements consumers preferences price expectations and ford effects each element is important because it influences the demand for the good and hence its price elasticity the latter being central in the definition of firms market power jel classification d43 e24

a general equilibrium macro model with wage bargaining in a general equilibrium macro model with wage bargaining agents are divided into capitalists and workers the markets for produced goods and money are competitive but the wage rate is determined by negotiation between an employers union and a trade union unions are supposed to be long sighted and care about members utilities in stationary states nash bargaining equilibria are characterized by unemployment for certain parameter values this unemployment is persistent in the sense that it appears in an equilibrium with endogenous prices a neutrality result for monetary policy is also shown

concatenate coordination and mutual coordination abstract we tell of the evolving meaning of the term coordination as used by economists the paper is based on systematic electronic searches on coord etc of major works and leading journals the term coordination first emerged in professional economics around 1880 to describe the directed productive concatenation of factors or activities within a firm also transportation economists used the term to describe the concatenation of routes and trips of a transportation system these usages represent what we term concatenate coordination the next major development came in the 1930s from several lse economists hayek plant hutt and coase who extended that concept beyond the eye of any actual coordinator that is they wrote of the concatenate coordination of a system of polycentric or spontaneous activities these various applications of concatenate coordination prevailed until the next major development namely thomas schelling and game models here coordination referred to a mutual meshing of actions game theorists developed crisp ideas of coordination games like battle of the sexes coordination equilibria convention and path dependence this coordination was not a refashioning but rather a distinct concept one we distinguish as mutual coordination as game models became more familiar to economists it was mutual coordination that economists increasingly had in mind when they spoke of coordination economists switched so to speak to a new semantic equilibrium now mutual coordination overshadows the older notion of concatenate coordination the two senses of coordination are conceptually distinct and correspond neatly to the two dictionary definitions of the verb to coordinate both are crucial to economics we suggest that distinguishing between the two senses can help to clarify coordination talk also compared to talk of efficiency and optimality concatenate coordination allows for a richer more humanistic and more openly aesthetic discussion of social affairs the narrative is backed up by excel worksheets that report on systematic content searches of the writings of economics using the worldwide web and using jstor of quarterly journal of economics economic journal journal of political economy american economic review and economica

natural versus manufactured capital win lose or win win a case study of the finnish pulp and paper industry abstract the effect of investments on environmental variables has been discussed through the win win rhetoric specifically in micro level analysis on the macro level the win win rhetoric has been replaced by the arguments for and against the substitutability of natural and manufactured capital here these two concepts belonging to different levels of analysis are linked by looking at the environmental and economic effects of chosen investment strategies in a traditionally capital intensive industry over time the paper shows that rather than generalise the existence of win win situations or the substitutability of capital these positions are determined by purely situational factors as a result in the assessment of substitutability the specific operating context of the industry needs to be taken into account this implies also that environmental policy needs to be designed to be adaptive and responsive to those situational factors to create beneficial outcomes for the economy and for the environment

the impossibility of involuntary unemployment in an overlapping generations model with rational expectations abstract if there is unemployment no matter how low the wage rate becomes one speaks of involuntary unemployment this phenomenon has been shown to arise in a variety of temporary or atemporal macro models with imperfect competition in the goods markets in this paper we investigate whether the phenomenon of involuntary unemployment arises in a hartian overlapping generations model with rational expectations it does not neither in the short nor in the long run

economic indicators of resource scarcity a critical essay abstract the theoretical arguments of the conceptual and empirical literature on economic indicators of long run resource scarcity are logically flawed if resource allocators were informed of the nature of resource scarcity their behavior and the economic indicators it generates would reflect the scarcity but if they were so informed we could simply ask them if resources were scarce if they are not informed their behavior and economic indicators are as likely to indicate their ignorance as the reality unfortunately there is no way of knowing whether they are informed or not unless we already know whether resources are scarce

energy return on energy invested eroi oil prices and energy transitions very little work has been done so far to model test and understand the relationship between oil prices and eroi over time this paper investigates whether a declining eroi is associated with an increasing oil price and speculates on the implications of these results on oil policy a model of the relationship between eroi and oil market prices was developed using basic economic and physical assumptions and non linear least squares regression models to correlate oil production price with eroi using available data from 1954 1996 the model accurately reflects historical oil prices 1954 1996 and it correlates well with historical oil prices 1997 2010 if a linear extrapolation of eroi decline is assumed as eroi declines below 10 highly non linear oil price movements are observed increasing physical oil scarcity is already providing market signals that would stimulate a transition away from oil toward alternative energy sources but price signals of physical oil scarcity are not sufficient to guarantee smooth transitions to alternative fuel sources especially when there is insufficient oil extraction technology development a declining mark up ratio a non linear eroi cost of production relationship and a non linear eroi price relationship

the auctioneerless economics of axel leijonhufvud the dark forces of time and ignorance and the coordination of economic activity leijonhufvud focuses his analysis on the coordination of economic activities in a world tossed and torn by ever new episodes of instability macroeconomic theory must finally admit and properly analyse the limits of collective and individual rationality starting from the system s coordination leijonhufvud underlines the crucial role of information learning and institutions coming to individual choice he unremittingly rejects unbounded rationality methodologically however his use of general equilibrium as a benchmark seems to have conditioned his analysis in bringing to light the dark forces of time and ignorance leijonhufvud himself seems to have fallen under the influence of the siren represented by general equilibrium theory copyright 2006 oxford university press

imperfect knowledge and behaviour in the foreign exchange market this paper explores the consequences of imperfect knowledge for exchange rate dynamics within the monetary class of models the authors framework which they call the theories consistent expectations framework provides a particular formalization of a world in which agents use theories in order to look forward but in which these theories provide only qualitative knowledge rather than quantitative knowledge about the economy the authors find that as long as agents possess at least some degree of imperfect knowledge the monetary models of the exchange rate generate dynamics consistent with the behavior observed in the literature copyright 1996 by royal economic society

futures markets price stabilization and efficient exploitation of exhaustible resources markets for natural resource futures contracts and cash forward contracts experience a rapid growth according to theory this should result in more efficient resource depletion implying that price formation is more consistent with hotelling s rule the rationale of this stabilization effect is briefly discussed next we analyze the impact of expanding futures markets on the behaviour of individual resource owners trading on the cash market using a simple pulse extraction model we demonstrate that the expected time of depletion can shift to the present or the future and that utility of exploitation can go up or down as market prices are stabilized

stabilisation policy targets and unemployment in imperfectly competitive economies this paper argues that the rate of equilibrium unemployment depends on the objectives of the central bank in a model where the central bank uses monetary policy to stabilise the economy we show that unemployment and inflation will be lower with an inflation target than with targets for output money or nominal gdp the intuition for this is that the elasticities of demand in both the product and the labour markets are greater when there is an inflation target we show that this leads to a lower mark up of price over marginal cost and makes wages more sensitive to unemployment

effective demand differential information and the multiplier the paper develops a rigorous model of the interaction between employment income and demand it is shown that when agents are differently informed about the income generated in the economy aggregate demand shocks create a keynesian type unemployment moreover the model explains nominal wage price stickiness and a multiplier effect so as to imply that a larger burden of adjustment is taken by quantities rather than prices copyright 1987 by royal economic society

testing the efficiency of extraction from a stock resource the theoretical conditions for efficient extraction from a known stock resource by a competitive mining firm are reviewed these conditions are tested using proprietary data from a mining firm output price data and coefficient estimates from a translog cost system are used to compute the in situ value of the resource and the stock effect changes in the in situ value over time are then statistically compared with the expected price path the results reject the hypothesis that the data are consistent with the theoretical model and the maintained hypotheses variations of the basic model that incorporate a time varying discount rate an alternative expected price series and a constraint on the rate of output are also tested and rejected 46 references 10 tables

on the complexities of complex economic dynamics complex economic nonlinear dynamics endogenously do not converge to a point a limit cycle or an explosion their study developed out of earlier studies of cybernetic catastrophic and chaotic systems complexity analysis stresses interactions among dispersed agents without a global controller tangled hierarchies adaptive learning evolution and novelty and out of equilibrium dynamics complexity methods include interacting particle systems self organized criticality and evolutionary game theory to simulate artificial stock markets and other phenomena theoretically bounded rationality replaces rational expectations complexity theory influences empirical methods and restructures policy debates

rational fix price dynamics abstract we study a macroeconomic model where stabilization problems arise as the result of a dynamic game of income distribution between capitalists and workers the two agents control the supply sides of the goods and labor markets respectively using price changes as strategic variables and a static fix price model with money labor and one macro commodity to correctly predict the behaviour of the economy at each instant of time the resulting medium run price dynamics is consistent with major stylized facts on business cycles it accounts for an empirical regularity that has been left unexplained by other models and suggests a new relationship between the functional income distribution and the economy s sensitivity to shocks

contracts and externalities how things fall apart a single principal interacts with several agents offering them contracts the crucial assumption of this paper is that the outside option payoffs of the agents depend positively on how many uncontracted or free agents there are we study how such a principal unwelcome though he may be approaches the problem of contract provision to agents when coordination failure among the latter group is explicitly ruled out two variants are considered when the principal cannot re approach agents there is a unique equilibrium in which contract provision is split up into two phases in phase 1 simultaneousoffers at good though varying terms are made to a number of agents in phase 2 offers must be made sequentially and their values are discontinuously lower they are close to the very lowest of all the outside options when the principal can repeatedly approach the same agent there is a multiplicity of equilibria in some of these the agents have the power to force delay they can hold off the principal s overtures temporarily but they must succumb in finite time in both models despite beingable to coordinate their actions agents cannot resist an invasion by the principal and hold to their best payoff it is in this sense that things eventually fall apart

undominated prices in the three good model abstract any movement away from walrasian prices will make somebody worse off we ask which other prices share this property the paper characterizes the set of such prices called undominated prices for the three good economy output labor and a nonproduced good that is now well known from the work of barro grossman benassy and malinvaud we consider two groups of consumers workers and shareholders we show that under some conditions there exist prices and wages that generate unemployment and are undominated this requires that a workers be poorly endowed with the nonproduced good b there be little substitution in consumption between the produced and the nonproduced good and c the market for the produced good be balanced i e prices equal marginal costs

barriers within firms to energy efficient investments abstract many investments in energy efficiency fail to be made despite their apparent profitability internal hurdle rates are often set at levels higher than the cost of capital to the firm reasons for these practices include bounded rationality principal agent problems and moral hazard the policy implication is that government can simultaneously improve overall energy efficiency and increase private sector productivity by providing informational and organizational services that go beyond the traditional regulatory framework

emerging carbon constraints for corporate risk management abstract while discussions about global sustainability challenges abound the financial risks that they incur albeit important have received less attention we suggest that corporate risk assessments should include sustainability related aspects especially with relation to the natural environment and encompass the flux of critical materials within a company s value chain such a comprehensive risk assessment takes into account input as well as output related factors with this paper we focus on the flux of carbon and define carbon constraints that emerge due to the disposition of fossil fuels in the input dimension and due to direct and indirect climate change effects in the output dimension we review the literature regarding the financial consequences of carbon constraints on the macroeconomic sector and company level we conclude that a financial consequences seem to be asymmetrically distributed between and within sectors b the individual risk exposure of companies depends on the intensity of and dependency on carbon based materials and energy and c financial markets have only started to incorporate these aspects in their valuations this paper ends with recommendations on how to incorporate our results in an integrated carbon risk management framework

undominated wage rates in a unionized overlapping generations economy abstract an overlapping generations macro model where consumers are divided into workers and capitalists is analysed in each period the wage rate is negotiated between an employers union and a trade union other prices adjust competitively the solution concept used is cooperative the wage rate chosen by unions should be undominated i e there must not exist another wage rate leading to higher utilities for both workers and capitalists the resulting one period equilibria relative pareto optima rpo and also stationary equilibria stationary relative pareto optima srpo are analysed results are that full employment s rpo always exist and in some economies unemployment s rpo also exist sufficient conditions for the latter to be the case are stated and the existence of economies fulfilling these conditions is demonstrated

employment and other macroeconomic benefits of an innovation led climate strategy for the united states abstract climate protection policy and its analysis are pursued in the context of other societal goals among them the maintenance of economic growth and high employment too often however analysis of energy and climate policy does not realistically reflect technological conditions and the dynamics of technological change this tendency unnecessarily associates the decline in energy consumption or carbon emissions with the decline in national economic output or income but there is ample prima facie evidence to the contrary just as in the 19th century when the perceived need to reduce labor inputs as part of the production process spurred labor saving technological progress now the need to reduce energy and pollution costs could spur innovation and diffusion of efficient and clean energy technologies this in turn can increase overall growth in economic productivity energy technology analysts have identified many such existing and near term commercial technologies as well as innovations that can be foreseen beyond the immediate technological horizon which would become widely used if policies were developed to overcome market and institutional barriers this paper presents a macroeconomic analysis for a set of policies that would induce the adoption of more efficient and low carbon technologies and finds that overall employment and economic output could be increased by small amounts while significantly reducing carbon emissions

money supply variability in a macro model of monopolistic competition the effects of changes in money supply variability are examined for a macro model of monopolistic competition increases in money supply variability raise demand uncertainty causing individual firms to produce more for inventory in addition expected profits decrease inducing a number of firms to leave the economy aggregate income then falls in spite of an increase in firm level production the result on aggregate income is standard but the results on inventories and the number of firms in the economy distinguish this monopolistic macro model empirically from conventional macro models when changes in money supply variability occur

equilibrium selection in imperfectly competitive economies with multiple equilibria this paper investigates the selection of an equilibrium in an economy with multiple pareto ranked nash equilibria a history dependent selection criterion is proposed which induces correlated behavior in equilibrium even though agents are playing one shot games and disturbances are not correlated over time the model economy may experience prolonged periods in which a low productivity technology is in use and then as a consequence of a large real disturbance may switch to an alternative equilibrium in which a high productivity technology is utilized thus the model qualitatively matches observations of serially correlated movements in output and employment and generates procyclical productivity though there are no exogenous technology shocks copyright 1994 by royal economic society

multiplicity of cournot equilibria and involuntary unemployment abstract in an overlapping generations model with cournot competition on the goods market it is shown that a continuum of stationary states and perfect foresight trajectories exists with unemployment at arbitrary low wages decisive for this is the influence that different forecast functions have on the objective demand curve even though they are consistent with perfect foresight with an example it is shown that simple adaptive and constant memory forecast rules generate such unemployment equilibria the corresponding temporary equilibrium dynamics may display stable unemployment and unstable full employment equilibria journal of economic literatureclassification numbers d43 d51 e24

the microfoundations project in general equilibrium theory the author 1 argues that the long lived microfoundations project based on general equilibrium models has come to an end and 2 shows that non walrasian models intended to provide microfoundations for macroeconomics are inadequate the arguments are derived from the sonnenschein mantel debreu smd demonstration of the arbitrariness of aggregate excess demands in general equilibrium models of the walrasian arrow debreu mckenzie type the issues raised have significance for the proper method of modeling macroeconomic phenomena for instance the smd results have led a growing number of general equilibrium theorists to make assumptions concerning macroeconomic structure in order to analyze other regularities at the macro level these points validate the position that systematic macroeconomic phenomena are intrinsically macroeconomic copyright 1994 by oxford university press

microeconomic uncertainty and macroeconomic indeterminacy we propose a stylized intertemporal macroeconomic model wherein the combination of decentralized trading and microeconomic uncertainty taking the form of privately observed and uninsured idiosyncratic shocks creates an information problem between agents and generates indeterminacy of the macroeconomic equilibrium for a given value of the economic fundamentals the economy admits a continuum of equilibria that can be indexed by the sales expectations of firms at the time of investment the walrasian equilibrium is one of these possible equilibria but it is reached only if firms are optimistic enough with a weaker degree of optimism equilibrium output employment and real wages will be lower than in the walrasian equilibrium moreover the range of possible equilibria will depend positively on the wage elasticity of the labour supply and on the magnitude of the information problem between buyers and sellers in our case the variance of the idiosyncratic shocks stochastic simulations performed on a calibrated version of the model show that pure demand expectation shocks may generate business cycle statistics that are not inconsistent with the observed ones 2006 elsevier b v all rights reserved

examining trends of criteria air pollutants are the effects of governmental intervention transitory despite its growth in other areas of economics time series econometric methods have not beenwidespread in the area of environmental andresource economics we illustrate one use oftime series methods by examining the time pathof us nitrogen oxide nox emission dataover the period 1900 1994 the analysishighlights that proper time series methods canaid in optimal regulatory policy as well asdeveloping empirical verification of theoriesput forth to explain economic phenomena inaddition several interesting results emerge first we find that the emissions seriescontains both a permanent and random component second if one attributed all of the emissionsreductions to regulatory policy interventionanalysis suggests that the 1970 clean air act caa did not merely have transitory effects but permanently influenced the noxemission path in terms of total regulatoryimpact an upper bound on the emissions saveddue to the 1970 caa is in the range of27 48

imperfect competition and the suboptimality of rational expectations abstract this paper investigates whether nonrational expectations can lead to outcomes which other things being equal pareto dominate rational expectations outcomes in order to carry out this investigation we construct an intertemporal micro based macroeconomic model with the two following strong points a it accommodates both rational and non rational expectations b both prices and quantities are determined by optimizing agents in particular prices are determined by explicit price setters using objective demand curves in this model the first theorem of welfare holds so that the walrasian equilibrium with rational expectations cannot be pareto dominated this conclusion is extremely fragile however and we show that as soon as some degree of imperfect competition is present rational expectations are suboptimal in the sense that they are dominated by irrational expectations

endogenous imperfectly competitive business cycles abstract we investigate how imperfect competition affects the occurrence and the properties of endogenous rational expectations business cycles in an overlapping generations model with constant returns to scale in production the model has explicit product and labor markets all characterized by monopolistic competition an implicit assumption of barriers to entry justifies that the number of firms is fixed even when positive profits occur it turns out that both market power of firms on the product markets and market power of unions on the labor markets make the occurrence of cycles more likely in particular imperfect competition on the product markets and the positive profits associated with it may have the effect that there is a cycle even if the labor supply curve is increasing in the real wage rate for competitive cycles is required not only a decreasing labor supply curve but a wage elasticity below 1 2 at stationary equilibrium market power on the labor markets may have the effect that imperfectly competitive cycles are in accordance with certain empirical regularities some well known some reported in the paper concerning fluctuations in output and involuntary unemployment since involuntary unemployment does not occur under perfect competition such regularities are incompatible with competitive cycles

voluntary and efficient allocations are walrasian let f be a private ownership economy call an allocation w voluntary for a price vector p if no agent can benefit by trading less at p we prove that under differentiability and interiority if w is voluntary and pareto efficient it is a competitive equilibrium for w perhaps surprisingly production economies where some agents receive profit income require a stronger voluntariness condition than the one sufficient for exchange economies the stronger condition singles out a commodity as a medium of exchange

optimal fiscal policy in open economies with labour market distortions abstract we set up a general equilibrium model with unemployment owing to distortions in the labour market it is shown that a public expansion financed by a distortionary income tax may give rise to a decrease in unemployment even if public goods are pure waste such an expansion may give rise to an increase in welfare if it is associated with a decrease in unemployment since part of the gain from a fiscal expansion is achieved at the expense of welfare in other countries non cooperative policies tend to be too expansionary

on the efficiency of fixed price equilibrium abstract we study the efficiency properties of k equilibrium a species of fixed price equilibrium in particular we examine the interrelations among k equilibria and two of its properties order and voluntariness we also consider several alternative concepts of optimality

a model of imperfect competition with keynesian features the recent literature on the reappraisal of keynes has viewed keynesian equilibria as arising when prices are fixed and effective demands and supplies are equilibrated through the adjustment of quantities one problem with this approach is that it lacks a theory of price determination in particular of why prices are fixed in the present paper we show that a number of keynesian features arise in a model in which prices are fully flexible but where agents have some monopoly power one advantage of this approach is that it provides a theory of the determination of both prices and quantities

the time path of scarcity rent in the theory of exhaustible resources there is now a consensus in the literature on resource economics that a depletable resource should command a price in excess of its marginal extraction cost simply to reflect the opportunity cost of using a unit of it today rather that conserving it for the future but how this excess is to change along an optimal or competitive equilibrium path of resource use is still an unresolved question this might at first seem puzzling since according to the fundamental theorem of economics of exhaustible resources or hotelling i 93 i rule on an optimal path price minus marginal extraction cost also termed interchangeably as scarcity rent user cost or royalty should steadily grow over time at the social rate of discount however the literature contains sharply contrasting views on the subject for example kay and mirrlees 1975 have argued that since along an optimal path the scarcity rent grows exponentially as a finite stock of a resourcexnears exhaustion then situations in which the resource stock is still very large and yet the price greatly exceeds the marginal extraction cost should indicate that the price is significantly above its optimal level and that the resource is overconserved in stark contrast to this view heal i976 has argued that as the resource stock nears exhaustion the difference between price and marginal cost or what he termed social cost of extraction falls monotonically to zero hanson i980 analyses the same model as heal s but unlike heal who assumes the unit extraction cost to be convex he postulates it to be concave and yet like heal concludes that the scarcity rent will be monotonically declining over time solow and wan i976 analyse a still different situation where resource deposits differ in quality and the unit extraction cost increases as higher grade deposits are exhausted and extraction proceeds to lower grades they show that along an optimal path the shadow price of a resource must rise at the real rate of interest despite differential extraction costs but that the difference between price and the marginal extraction cost or what they call degradation charge declines monotonically over time to zero these sharply differing conclusions suggest that far from being resolved the question of how scarcity rent changes over time is much in want of a close scrutiny the need for such a scrutiny becomes even stronger once it is noted

imperfect competition and crowding out abstract this paper applies the central feature of imperfect competition in the goods market to examine the validity of the standard belief in international macroeconomics namely that policy effects in a small open economy are less effective than in a closed economy it is shown that the profit margin in imperfect competition and marginal propensity to leisure are the key factors in determining whether this standard belief is valid

income and co2 emissions evidence from panel unit root and cointegration tests abstract this paper re investigates the stationarity properties of per capita carbon dioxide co 2 emissions and real gross domestic product gdp per capita for 109 countries within seven regional panel sets covering 1971 2003 we apply the recent unit root test of the panel seemingly unrelated regressions augmented dickey fuller suradf test developed by breuer et al 2001 misleading inferences from panel unit root tests with an illustration from purchasing power parity review of international economics 9 482 493 2002 series specific unit root tests with panel data oxford bulletin of economics and statistics 64 527 546 the panel suradf test accounts for the presence of cross country correlations in the data and the parameters in the panel specification vary across countries more importantly this test allows us to identify how many and which members of the panel contain a unit root overall our empirical results illustrate that real gdp and co 2 emissions in these countries are a mixture of i 0 and i 1 processes and that the traditional panel unit root tests could lead to misleading inferences as well as the conduct of cointegration analysis being perhaps inappropriate the results of our analysis carry critical implications for the modeling of co 2 emissions and gdp because of the different orders of integration for the two variables

fixprice analysis in productive economies abstract the paper compares the definitions of fixprice equilibrium for productive convex economies due to dreze benassy and malinvaud younes it turns out that dreze s resp malinvaud younes notion is the strictest resp least strict one the three notions are however equivalent under smoothness and absence of intermediate goods they are in particular equivalent for the familiar fixprice model with three goods money labor and output studied among others by barro grossman benassy and malinvaud

imperfect competition and fixprice equilibria when goods are gross substitutes it is possible in principle that the price quantity pair generated by a model of imperfect competition may satisfy the conditions voluntary trading and absence of frictions for a fixprice equilibrium it is shown that imperfect competitors will typically satisfy voluntary trading provided that appropriate gross substitute assumptions are satisfied hence such assumptions are seen to ensure that the solutions of some well known imperfectly competitive general equilibrium models are indeed fixprice equilibria thus bringing together two important traditions in theoretical microeconomics copyright 1991 by the editors of the scandinavian journal of economics

economic instruments for environmental regulation our knowledge about economic incentive approaches to pollution control has grown rapidly in the two decades in which they have received serious analytical attention not only have the theoretical models become more focused and the empirical work more detailed but we have now had over a decade of experience with emissions trading in the u s and emission charges in europe as the world community becomes increasingly conscious of both the need to tighten environmental controls and the local economic perils associated with tighter controls in a highly competitive global marketplace it seems a propitious time to stand back and to organize what we have learned about this practical and promising approach to pollution control that may be especially relevant to current circumstances this paper draws upon economic theory empirical studies and actual experience with implementation to provide a brief overview of some of the major lessons we have learned about two economic incentive approaches emissions tradi copyright 1990 by oxford university press

monopolistic equilibrium and involuntary unemployment abstract this note provides a simple example of an economy in which involuntary unemployment may be the consequence of monopolistic behavior on the product market

impacts of market based climate change policies on the us pulp and paper industry abstract much of the policy debates on climate issues have centered on the optimal level and timing of policy interventions that cost effectively reduce greenhouse gas emissions we briefly review the range of policy issues in our paper and assess the impact that climate change policies may have on energy use and carbon emissions in the us pulp and paper industry we then present results from time series based analyses of changes in technologies and fuel mix and compare the results with engineering based technology analyses of us pulp and paper production for a copy of the model and software send e mail to mruth bu edu projections based on information for eight paper and paperboard categories are presented for the years 1995 2020 the findings indicate that under a wide range of specifications and policy assumptions carbon emissions from fossil fuel use per ton of product are likely to decline when combined with investment incentives an additional cost effective reduction in carbon emissions per ton of product will be realized however expected increases in output from the industry are likely to be higher than the reductions in energy and carbon intensities the policy implications of these findings are discussed

untested hypotheses in non renewable resource economics the present paper reviews the literature on the empirical implications of the hotelling rule and suggests directions for further research in this area

there may be unemployment when the labour market is competitive and the output market is not is unemployment always caused by union power or more generally downwards rigidity of wages the influential article by hart i 982 says yes there cannot be unemployment unless labour unions prevent wages from falling the more recent papers by d aspremont et al i 984 i989 a b and by dehez i 985 say no unemployment may occur when the labour market is perfectly competitive and the output market is not all this work assumes a fixed labour supply but the more recent models significantly depart from hart s formulation in other respects 2 one may ask which answer is the robust one this paper shows that hart s answer is based on a facilitating assumption on marginal revenue i replace it by a more realistic hypothesis and replicate hart s existence and comparative statics results except that now unemployment may occur when the labour market is perfectly competitive and the output market is not more precisely there can be unemployment at any nonnegative wage and perfect competition in the labour market may generate zero wages and unemployment labour becoming a free good in excess supply a useful costless resource is then wasted away and thus a gross form of inefficiency occurs in hart i982 on the contrary perfect competition in the labour market necessarily yields full employment and pareto efficiency labour does not often become a free good in excess supply in modern industrial economies but this possibility may help explain why labour markets have become noncompetitive wages are positive at an overall walrasian equilibrium but imagine that the output markets become oligopolistic and as a result the perfectly competitive wage drops to zero workers are now severely exploited in the sense of joan robinson i933 ch 25 and pigou i920 because the real wage is lower than the physical marginal product of labour unionisation can then be seen as providing countervailing power in

on the effectiveness of economic policy when competition is imperfect and expectations are rational abstract we study the consequences of imperfect competition in a macro model with only one imperfection that of labor market competition otherwise the model is clean agents are optimizers prices are endogenous and expectations are rational we show that although imperfect competition in itself can explain unemployment as is well known it does not in itself give strong support to the use of traditional fiscal policy in fighting unemployment fiscal policy will almost inevitably have real effects but only through a special effect that may be difficult to control in many cases fiscal policy cannot create full employment and it may very well have perverse effects

the elementary economics of social dilemmas a social dilemma is in essence a prisoners dilemma in a continuous strategy space i discuss a number of social dilemmas that have caught my attention offer an elementary diagrammatic synthesis of them and discuss some of the economic insights that the diagrams capture including incentives for pre commitment finally i model pre commitment via delegation and link results to the literature on the evolution of preferences l economie elementaire des dilemmes sociaux un dilemme social est essentiellement un dilemme du prisonnier dans un espace continu de strategie l auteur discute d un certain nombre de dilemmes sociaux qui ont retenu son attention il en propose une synthese graphique elementaire et discute certaines des suggestions economiques qui decoulent de ces diagrammes comme par exemple les incitations a se pre engager finalement l auteur construit un modele de pre engagement par delegation et relie ses resultats a la litterature sur l evolution des references