corporate finance and monetary policy we develop a general equilibrium model where entrepreneurs finance random investment opportunities using trade credit bank issued assets or currency they search for bank funding in over the counter markets where loan sizes interest rates and down payments are negotiated bilaterally the theory generates pass through from nominal interest rates to real lending rates depending on market microstructure policy and firm characteristics higher banks bargaining power for example raises pass through but weakens transmission to investment interest rate spreads arise from liquidity regulatory and intermediation premia and depend on policy described as money growth or open market operations

measuring the efficiency of energy intensive industries across european countries abstract this study evaluates the energy efficiency trends of five energy intensive industries in 23 european union eu countries over the period 2000 2009 in particular the performance of the construction electricity manufacturing mining and quarrying and transport sectors is examined the analysis is based on data envelopment analysis dea combined with the malmquist productivity index mpi which allows for distinctions between efficiency and technology changes over time at the second stage of the analysis cross classified multilevel modelling is applied to analyse the main drivers behind efficiency performance using a number of sector and country characteristics based on dea results an overall improvement in efficiency is observed in all sectors over the period the decomposition of the mpi indicates that technology change is primarily responsible for the improvements achieved in most sectors the results obtained by the cross classified model show among other things that the high electricity prices energy taxes and market share of the largest generator in the electricity market have a negative effect on industrial energy efficiency

emissions trading and competitiveness pros and cons of relative and absolute schemes emissions trading is a hot issue at national as well as supranational levels proposals for introduction of emissions trading schemes have been made this paper assesses alternative emissions trading schemes at domestic level 1 schemes where the total level of emissions is fixed absolute cap and trade 2 schemes where the allowable level of emissions per firm is related to some firm specific indicator relative cap and trade and 3 mixed schemes which combine elements of the above alternatives we present a quantitative assessment of these alternatives for climate change policy in the netherlands it is concluded that while relative cap and trade would avoid negative effects on competitiveness it would not reduce emissions at the lowest costs besides the addition of a trade system to existing relative standards does not result in additional emission reduction it should be combined with other policy measures such as energy taxes in order to realise further reduction absolute cap and trade leads to efficient emissions reduction but implemented at the national level its overall macroeconomic costs may be significant the mixed scheme has as drawback that it treats firms unequal which leads to high administrative costs we conclude that none of the trading schemes is an advisable instrument for domestic climate policy

should a carbon tax be differentiated across sectors abstract if some but not all countries are cooperating to reduce co2 emissions one could make the following argument a high carbon tax for carbon intensive tradeable sectors in the cooperating countries will reduce the production of goods from these sectors and therefore co2 emissions in the cooperating countries however this will to a large extent be counteracted by increased production of such goods in the countries that have no climate policy and since it is only total co2 emissions from all countries that are relevant for the climate there is no point in a policy that simply relocates co2 emissions from the cooperating countries to the countries that have no climate policy according to this line of reasoning carbon intensive tradeable sectors should thus face a lower carbon tax than other sectors of the economy this paper shows that a carbon tax should not be differentiated across sectors in the economy provided one can use import and export tariffs on all traded goods it is also shown that such a differentiation of carbon taxes is optimal for the cooperating countries if they are prevented from using tariffs on the traded goods however informational or political factors constraining the use of tariffs are likely also to constrain the possibility of differentiating carbon taxes between sectors

brokerage pricing under competition abstract this paper reexamines the popular assumption that real estate commissions are fixed over time it shows how the competitively determined commission rate responds to changes in the housing market and broker cost conditions one testable implication is that competition promotes counter cyclical changes in the commission rate the empirical analysis of commission rate determinants using data covering an entire urban housing market through its downturn and expansion phases reveals the counter cyclical movement in commission rates predicted by the competitive model

the changing landscape of accrual accounting a fundamental property of accrual accounting is to smooth temporary timing fluctuations in operating cash flows indicating an inherent negative correlation between accruals and cash flows we show that the overall correlation between accruals and cash flows has dramatically declined in magnitude over the past half century and has largely disappeared in more recent years the adjusted r 2 from regressing changes in accruals on changes in cash flows drops from about 70 90 in the 1960s to near zero under 20 in more recent years in exploring potential reasons for the observed attenuation we find that increases in non timing related accrual recognition as proxied by one time and nonoperating items and the frequency of loss firm years explain the majority of the overall decline on the other hand temporal changes in the matching between revenues and expenses and the growth of intangible intensive industries play only a limited role in explaining the observed attenuation finally the relative decline of the timing role of accruals does not appear to be associated with an increase in the asymmetrically timely loss recognition role

are unemployment and out of the labor force behaviorally distinct labor force states this paper tests the hypothesis that the classifications unemployed and out of the labor force are behaviorally meaningless distinctions this hypothesis is rejected distinct behavioral equations govern transitions from out of the labor force to employment and from unemployment to employment the evidence reported in this paper is broadly consistent with versions of search theory in which unemployment is a state that facilitates the job search process in an appendix we demonstrate that log concavity of the wage offer distribution implies that the exit rate from unemployment is an increasing function of the rate of arrival of job offers

research in accounting for income taxes abstract this paper comprehensively reviews the accounting for income taxes afit literature we begin by identifying four distinctive aspects of afit and briefly covering the rules surrounding afit we then review the existing studies in detail and offer suggestions for future research we emphasize the research questions that have been addressed most of which relate to whether the tax accounts are used to manage earnings and whether the tax accounts are priced by equity market participants we also highlight areas that have not received much research attention and that warrant future analysis

equity and time to sale in the real estate market evidence from the boston condominium market of the early 1990s reveals that an owner s equity position determines his experience as a seller an owner of a property with a high loan to value ratio sets a higher asking price has a higher expected time on the market and if he sells receives a higher price than an owner with proportionately less debt the down payment requirement for purchasers but not incumbent owners provides a simple explanation for this phenomenon among owner occupants the results provide supporting evidence for equity based aggregate theories of price volume movements in the housing market copyright 1997 by american economic association

the transition to chlorine free pulp revisited nordic heterogeneity in environmental regulation and r d collaboration the purpose of this paper is to analyze the development paths leading to the transition to cleaner bleaching technologies in the pulp industry it devotes particular attention to the key features o

structural innovation and efficiency effects of environmental regulation evidence from china s carbon emissions trading pilot conventional wisdom argues that environmental regulation can trigger both structural adjustments and enhanced innovation we test this conjecture by using a difference in differences approach to analyze the impacts of china s carbon emission trading cet pilot policy on energy consumption we find that compliance with the cet regulation has triggered statistically significant adjustments in energy structure industrial structure and technological innovation adjustments in industrial structure also contribute to enhanced total factor energy efficiency whereas increased technological innovation has mixed effects on energy efficiency we show that in the short run government led innovation does not immediately contribute to improvement in energy efficiency whereas enterprise led innovation has a negative impact it indicates that cet regulation can affect energy efficiency through industrial structure and technological innovation overall our results provide new evidence for the strong version of the porter hypothesis our results also provide strong scientific support for china s recent transition towards market based carbon mitigation strategies

unemployment and nonemployment heterogeneities in labor market states abstract the determination of how to distinguish between unemployment and nonparticipation is important and controversial the conventional approach employs a priori reasoning together with self reported current behavior this paper employs an evidence based classification of labor force status using information about the consequences of the behavior of the nonemployed we find that marginal attachment defined as desiring work although not searching is a distinct labor market state lying between those who do not desire work and the unemployed furthermore important heterogeneities exist within these nonemployment states two subsets of nonparticipants both engaged in waiting display behavior similar to the unemployed

climate policy instruments and industry effects and potential responses in the swedish context efficient policy instruments for reducing the emission of greenhouse gases are essential for the realization of a successful climate policy general economic policy instruments have the potential for providing efficient emission reduction as they equalise marginal costs for emission reduction between different actors they also provide incentives for a great variety of responses such as energy efficiency improvements fuel substitution and reduced consumption of carbon intensive products however as a result of the fact that it has so far been impossible to implement policy instruments on a global scale these instruments are often adapted in such a way that some of their potential advantages are eliminated in this paper the possibility of different policy instruments to contribute to reductions in industrial co2 emissions while preserving the competitiveness of industry is evaluated theoretically the consequences of increasing the cost of co2 emission in various industrial sectors are also discussed attention is directed towards carbon taxes emission trading and regulation co2 taxes without tax reductions and emission trading with allocation through auctioning have theoretical advantages in a global climate regime but may lead to significant disadvantages if implemented in a single or a small groups of countries emission trading with free intensity based allocation would in this case have a major advantage in combining incentives for emission reductions through efficiency improvements and fuel substitution with little impact on production levels less

effects of carbon taxes on different industries by fuzzy goal programming a case study of the petrochemical related industries taiwan abstract implementation of a carbon tax is one of the major ways to mitigate co2 emission however blanket taxes applied to all industries in a country might not always be fair or successful in co2 reduction this study aims to evaluate the effects of carbon taxes on different industries and meanwhile to find an optimal carbon tax scenario for taiwan s petrochemical industry a fuzzy goal programming approach integrated with gray prediction and input output theory is used to construct a model for simulating the co2 reduction capacities and economic impacts of three different tax scenarios results indicate that the up stream industries show improved co2 reduction while the down stream industries fail to achieve their reduction targets moreover under the same reduction target i e return the co2 emission amount to year 2000 level by 2020 scenario swe induces less impact than fin and eu on industrial gdp this work provides a valuable approach for researches on model construction and co2 reduction since it applies the gray envelop prediction to determine the boundary values of the fuzzy goal programming model and furthermore it can take the economic interaction among industries into consideration

are declining effective tax rates indicative of tax avoidance insight from effective tax rate reconciliations abstract effective tax rates etrs are often used to compare tax avoidance across firms and time using firms detailed tax footnote data we find that the effect of valuation allowances va related to prior period losses biases gaap etrs this downward bias explains almost all of the downward trend in domestic firms etrs over the last 20 years we also find that vas explain cross sectional differences in etrs for both domestic and multinational firms we show this bias extends to cash etrs and the henry and sansing 2018 tax avoidance measure we develop a methodology for substantially reducing the bias in both time series and cross sectional analyses of cash and gaap etrs overall our results suggest firms loss histories and gaap rules influence inferences from tax avoidance proxies

equilibrium search unemployment endogenous participation and labor market flows the sustainability of welfare states requires high employment and high participation to raise the tax base to analyze labor supply in a world with market frictions we propose and solve a macro model of the labor market with unemployment and labor force participation as endogenous and distinct states in our world workers decisions of participating are determined by an entry decision and an exit decision a calibration of the model improves the usual representations of labor markets since it quantitatively accounts for the observed flows between employment and nonparticipation the paper investigates also the effect of payroll taxes and unemployment benefits on participation decisions taxes reduce entries and increase exits whereas unemployment benefits at a given job finding rate raise entries and have ambiguous effects on exits jel j2 j6

production optimization considering environmental performance and preference in the cap and trade system abstract many countries like china are in a dilemma between economic growth and environmental deterioration e g smog weather simultaneously a growing people concern the product s environmental performance along with their improving environment awareness this paper focuses on the impacts of carbon footprint and low carbon preference on the production decision of emission dependent firms in the cap and trade system the cap and trade system uses the total cap to attain environmental goals and allows trade to achieve the effective scheduling through market regulation under this mechanism through analyzing the influence of carbon footprint and low carbon preference on the market supply and demand we build a production optimization model and develop the optimal decisions several interesting management insights on environmental preference and policy are concluded

search liquidity and the dynamics of house prices and construction the dynamics of house prices sales construction and population growth in response to city specific income shocks are characterized for 106 us cities a dynamic model of search in the housing market in which construction the entry of buyers house prices and sales are determined in equilibrium is then developed the theory generates dynamics qualitatively consistent with the observations and a version calibrated to match key features of the us housing market offers a substantial quantitative improvement over models without search in particular variation in the time it takes to sell induces transaction prices to exhibit serially correlated growth jel d83 r21 r23 r31 we explore the consequences of time consuming search and matching for the dynamics of house prices sales and construction at the city level first we char acterize the impact of city specific income shocks on the short run dynamics of average house prices home sales construction and population growth for a panel of us cities we then develop a model in which the entry of new buyers and the construction of new houses in response to such shocks are endogenously determined our theory generates serial correlation in the growth rates of house prices and construction even if income is strictly mean reverting following shocks 1 when calibrated to data on us cities our model accounts for over 80 percent of the variance of house price movements driven by city specific income shocks and nearly half of the observed autocorrelation of house price growth in our empirical analysis we estimate a structural panel vector autoregressive var model using city level observations on the variables listed above we focus

tradeable carbon permit auctions how and why to auction not grandfather abstract an auction of carbon permits is the best way to achieve domestic carbon caps designed to limit global climate change to minimize administrative costs permits would be required at the level of oil refineries natural gas pipe lines natural gas liquid sellers and coal processing plants to maximize liquidity in secondary markets permits would be fully tradable and bankable the government would conduct quarterly auctions a standard ascending clock auction in which price is gradually raised until there is no excess demand would provide reliable price discovery an auction is preferred to grandfathering giving companies permits based on historical output or emissions because it allows reduced tax distortions provides more flexibility in distribution of costs provides greater incentives for innovation and reduces the need for politically contentious arguments over the allocation of rents

the macroeconomics of labor and credit market imperfections labour market frictions are not the only possible source of high unemployment credit market imperfections driven by microeconomic frictions and influenced by macroeconomic factors could also be to blame to develop this idea in a simple and tractable macroeconomic model we treat credit and labour market imperfections in a symmetrical way accordingly we introduce specificity in credit relationships and assume that credit to potential entrepreneurs is rationed due to endogenous search frictions in the spirit of diamond 1990 these imperfections mirror job search frictions in the labour market we study the determination of equilibrium unemployment in the presence of credit market frictions both with exogenous and endogenous wages we explore a number of possible extensions endogenous destruction monetary policy and the short run effects of financial liberalization

why have measures of earnings quality changed over time the properties of earnings have changed dramatically over the past 40 years prior studies interpret this trend as a decline in earnings quality but disagree on whether it results from changes in the real economy or changes in accounting standards i find that each new cohort of listed firms exhibits lower earnings quality than its predecessors mainly because of higher intangible intensity i conclude that the trend of decline in earnings quality is due more to changes in the sample of firms than to changes in generally accepted accounting principles gaap or in the earnings quality of previously listed firms

emission taxes and tradable permits a comparison of views on long run efficiency we compare three different views on the long runefficiencies of emission taxes which includethresholds inframarginalexemptions and of tradeable emission permitswhere some permits areinitially free the differences are caused bydifferent assumptions aboutwhether thresholds and free permits should besubsidies given only to firmsthat produce or full property rights treatingtax thresholds as well asfree permits as property rights would departfrom the conventional view but would allow greater flexibility in makingeconomic instruments bothefficient and acceptable such flexibilitycould be very important inachieving efficient control of greenhouse gasemissions

why has house price dispersion gone up we calibrate a dynamic general equilibrium island model to investigate the 30 year increase in the level of house prices and their dispersion across u s metropolitan areas the model is based on two main assumptions households o w in and out metropolitan areas in response to local productivity shocks and the housing supply cannot adjust instantly because of technological and regulatory constraints the calibration reveals that the observed tightening of housing supply regulation cannot quantitatively account for the rise in the level and dispersion of house prices in equilibrium workers o w out of tightly regulated towards less regulated metropolitan areas undoing most of the price impact of local supply restrictions in contrast the observed increase in wage dispersion across metropolitan areas does create the observed increase in the level and dispersion of house prices workers o w towards exceptionally productive metropolitan areas and drive house prices up the calibration also suggests that the welfare eects of housing supply regulation are large when wages become more dispersed

the cyclical behavior of the beveridge curve in the housing market abstract this paper develops a business cycle model of the housing market with search frictions and entry of both buyers and sellers the housing market exhibits a well established cyclical component which features three stylized facts prices move in the same direction as sales and the number of houses for sale but opposite to the time it takes to sell a house these stylized facts imply that in the data housing vacancies and the number of buyers are positively correlated i e that the beveridge curve is upward sloping a baseline search and matching model of the housing market is unable to match these stylized facts because it inherently generates a downward sloping beveridge curve with free entry of both buyers and sellers our model reproduces the positive correlation between prices sales and vacancies and matches the stylized facts qualitatively and quantitatively

trading frictions and house price dynamics we model liquidity in housing markets the model provides a simple characterization for the joint process of prices sales and inventory we compare the implications of the model to certain properties of housing markets the model can generate the large price changes and the positive correlation between prices and sales that we see in the data unlike the data prices are negatively autocorrelated and high inventory predicts price appreciation we investigate several amendments to the model informational frictions show promise

changes in corporate effective tax rates over the past 25 years abstract we investigate systematic changes in corporate effective tax rates over the past 25 years and find that effective tax rates have decreased significantly contrary to conventional wisdom the decline in effective tax rates is not concentrated in multinational firms effective tax rates have declined at approximately the same rate for both multinational and domestic firms moreover within multinational firms both foreign and domestic effective rates have decreased finally changes in firm characteristics and declining foreign statutory tax rates explain little of the overall decrease in effective rates

impacts of climate policy on the competitiveness of canadian industry how big and how to mitigate competitiveness concerns have been at the forefront of climate policy debates in canada particularly as a result of its high energy intensity and significant exposure to international markets this paper uses a dynamic computable general equilibrium model to assess the likely impacts on sectoral competitiveness that would accompany efforts to meet greenhouse gas mitigation targets that have been set by the canadian government additionally it evaluates several design mechanisms that could be used to reduce the negative competiveness impacts associated with adoption of domestic climate policies the analysis suggests that several sectors would likely face significant competiveness challenges under a reference scenario in which permits are given to emitters in lump sum however it finds that competiveness impacts can be minimized by using output based recycling of permits or by using border tax adjustments

the measurement of unemployment an empirical approach although the unemployment rate is one of the most widely cited and closely monitored economic statistics the definition and measurement of unemployment remain controversial an important issue is whether non employed persons who display a marginal attachment to the labor force for example those who are available for and desire work but are not searching for work should be classified as unemployed or non participants although this issue has been extensively debated it has never been tested empirically this paper carries out empirical tests of this and related hypotheses using a unique longitudinal data set from canada we find within the marginally attached a waiting group whose behavior indicates that they would be more appropriately classified as unemployed rather than out of the labor force the remainder of the marginally attached exhibit behavior between that of the unemployed and the balance of non participants suggesting that the desire for work among non searchers conveys substantial information about labor force attachment and future employment status our methods also apply to heterogeneity within the unemployed and we investigate behavioral variation linked to differences in job search methods and reasons for entry into unemployment although those using passive job search do exhibit behavior somewhat distinct from active searchers our results reject the practice of classifying passive job searchers as out of the labor force overall our results indicate that the non employed are very heterogeneous so that any single division into unemployment and out of the labor force is unlikely to fully capture the variety of degrees of labor force attachment this abstract was borrowed from another version of this item

search liquidity and the dynamics of house prices and construction corrigendum in the course of our ongoing research we have discovered two substantive errors in this article these mistakes do not affect significantly either the qualitative nature of the results or any of the principal conclusions stated in the paper they do however affect the specific quantitative results one error affects the empirical findings presented primarily in section i and the online appendix the other involves the calculation of sales of existing houses in artificial data generated by the model this affects both the calibration section iv and the equilibrium dynamics in section v principally with regard to the dynamics of sales the article s quantitative results are presented through tables of statistics and figures depicting impulse responses virtually all of the specific numerical values in these tables and figures are affected most only trivially but some significantly in this corrigendum we describe the two errors and present corrected values and new versions for the statistics and figures most affected we number the tables and figures as in the original article and the revised online appendix updated correct programs have replaced those containing the mistakes on the aer s website and the revised online appendix contains a complete set of corrected tables and figures

long term effects of feed in tariffs and carbon taxes on distribution systems in deregulated electricity sector climates such as in ontario the production of clean or renewable energy by small power producers through distributed generation dg is encouraged this paper examines the policies that can be used to encourage dg investment and incorporates them into a mathematical model this model is then used to create scenarios for examining the economic and environmental supply side effects of policies to a distribution system over a ten year period the policies analyzed include a combination of feed in tariffs co2 tax and cap and trade schemes the results are discussed in the context of the ontario market and its standard offer program implemented on a 32 bus radial distribution system

hot and cold seasons in the housing market every year housing markets in the united kingdom and the united states experience systematic above trend increases in prices and transactions during the spring and summer hot season and below trend falls during the autumn and winter cold season house price seasonality poses a challenge to existing housing models we propose a search and matching model with thick market effects in thick markets the quality of matches increases rising buyers willingness to pay and sellers desire to transact a small deterministic driver of seasonality can be amplified and revealed as deterministic seasonality in transactions and prices quantitatively mimicking seasonal fluctuations in uk and us markets

a cross country comparison of seasonal cycles and business cycles in a recent paper barsky and miron 1989 examine the seasonal fluctuations in the u s economy they show that the key stylized facts about the business cycle characterize the seasonal cycle as well and they suggest that the interpretation of many of these stylized facts over the seasonal cycle is easier than interpretation over the business cycle the reason is that the ultimate sources of seasonal cycles are more readily identifiable than those of business cycles this paper uses the cross country variation in seasonal patterns to pin down the ultimate sources of seasonal variation more precisely than is possible from examination of u s data alone we conclude that a christmas shift in preferences and synergies across agents are the key determinants of the seasonal patterns around the world the paper also establishes that across developed countries the key observations about aggregate variables that characterize the business cycle also characterize the seasonal cycle thus the similarity of the seasonal cycle and the business cycle demonstrated by barsky and miron 1989 for the united states is a robust stylized fact this abstract was borrowed from another version of this item this abstract was borrowed from another version of this item this abstract was borrowed from another version of this item this abstract was borrowed from another version of this item this abstract was borrowed from another version of this item this abstract was borrowed from another version of this item this abstract was borrowed from another version of this item

infrequent housing adjustment limited participation and monetary policy this paper asks why monetary contractions have strong effects on the housing market the paper presents a model with staggered housing adjustment in which monetary policy has real effects in the absence of any rigidity in producer pricing or wages limited participation in financial markets leads to a rise in the real mortgage rate following an increase in the nominal short rate since households must take on a mortgage to consume housing the rise in the real interest rate reduces the share of residential investment in output

review of policies and measures for energy efficiency in industry sector abstract energy efficiency in industry plays key roles in improving energy security environmental sustainability and economic performance it is particularly important in strategies to mitigate climate change the evidence of great potential for cost effective efficiency derived reductions in industrial energy use and greenhouse gas ghg emissions have prompted governments to implement numerous policies and measures aimed at improving their manufacturing industries energy efficiency what can be learned from these many and varied initiatives this paper provides foundation for policy analysis for enhancing energy efficiency and conservation in industry by surveying more than 300 policies encompassing about 570 measures implemented by governments in iea countries brazil china india mexico russia and south africa it outlines the measures main features their incidence of use and their connections with specific technical actions and key stakeholders i e how and where measures affect the energy efficiency of industry it also examines the key features underlying the measures success 1 potential to reduce energy use and co2 emissions cost efficiently 2 ease of policy development execution and assessment and 3 ancillary societal effects