who would be left behind by enhanced private school choice abstract debate over school choice is central to many discussions of public elementary and secondary educational reform the debate has largely focused on conceptual arguments rather than careful empirical research that attempts to sort out competing claims an important unresolved issue is the question of cream skimming who will move and who will be left behind as a result of enhanced school choice this paper uses data from the national educational longitudinal survey nels 88 to estimate a model of public private school choice which is used to simulate who would likely leave public schools as a result of enhanced private school choice building upon the work of k train et al 1987 the review of economics and statistics 69 383 391 we employ a probit model with latent explanatory variables to account for the unobserved attitudes of parents and their children regarding education the model allows us to consider such latent interests in education as well as the academic and socioeconomic characteristics of those students who would likely switch to private schools our findings indicate that concerns about bright flight or academic cream skimming in response to increased school choice appear to be overstated however we estimate that there would be substantially more economic and racial segregation of students as movers tend to be white and have higher incomes than those who are left behind

contests with multiple rounds this paper studies contests where players have the flexibility to add to their previous efforts after observing their rivals most recent effort in an intermediate stage it is found that 1 contrary to previous findings the stackelberg outcome where the underdog leads and the favorite follows cannot be an equilibrium 2 there are multiple subgame perfect equilibria all occurring on the underdog s usual one shot reaction function in between and including the one shot cournot nash and stackelberg outcome with the favorite leading 3 the total equilibrium effort is typically greater than or equal to what a one shot cournot nash play would predict and 4 in settings where players can choose whether or not to disclose their early actions to the rival both the favorite and the underdog disclose in equilibrium applications in sports lobbying and r d races are discussed

efforts in two sided contests the degree of rent dissipation is studied in extended two sided contests that in volve two types of efforts while usual contestants expend resources in trying to win the contested prize potential recipients of the rent seeking efforts also participate in the con test this is due to uncertainty regarding the source of power in the contest that induces the bureaucrats to expend resources to increase their share in the rent seeking efforts by try ing to appear as the party controlling the allocation of the prize we show that the existing theoretical and empirical studies are incomplete and may underestimate the extent of rent dissipation

the economic design of sporting contests what is the optimal number of entrants in a race or the optimal number of teams in a baseball league what is the optimal structure of prizes for a golf tournament or degree of revenue sharing for a football championship how evenly balanced should the competing teams be in the nascar or formula one championships what is the maximum number of entrants per nation to the olympic games that should be permitted what quota of qualifying teams to the soccer world cup should be allocated to the developing nations

rural nonfarm employment and income diversification in colombia abstract using data for rural households from colombia we find that off farm employment contributes a significant share 45 on average to household income but that the importance of off farm income and returns to household labor vary over the income distribution analysis reveals significant gains from specialization but for households able to specialize no systematic differences in returns to labor between farm and nonfarm sources we conclude that in colombia there is no conflict between development of the farm and the nonfarm sector but that to maximize gains from nonfarm development and reduce the scope for undesirable distributional consequences policies enabling households to specialize might be called for

the dynamics of majoritarian blotto games abstract we study colonel blotto games with sequential battles and a majoritarian objective for a large class of contest success functions the equilibrium is unique and characterized by an even split each battle that is reached before one of the players wins a majority of battles is allocated the same amount of resources from the player s overall budget as a consequence a player s chance of winning any particular battle is independent of the battlefield and of the number of victories and losses the player has accumulated in prior battles this result is in stark contrast to equilibrium behavior in sequential contests that do not involve either fixed budgets or a majoritarian objective we also consider the equilibrium choice of an overall budget for many contest success functions if the sequence of battles is long enough the payoff structure in this extended game resembles an all pay auction without noise

access to water women s work and child outcomes abstractpoor rural women in the developing world spend considerable time collecting water do women living in places where more time is needed for water collection tend to participate less in income earning market based activities do the education outcomes of their children tend to be worse we use micro data for nine developing countries to help address these questions our primary aim is to describe the patterns in the data rather than to infer causality although we do treat the household level access to water as endogenous assuming that community level access is exogenous conditional on a wide range of geographic factors better access to water is not found to be associated with greater off farm paid work but is associated with less unpaid work for women in countries where substantial gender gaps in schooling exist both boys and girls enrollments also tend to be better

orchestrating rent seeking contests contests have different sometimes quite complex organisational structures in particular while most of the existing literature focusses on simultaneous contests multistage contests are also quite frequently encountered this paper seeks to provide a rationale for the latter by endogenising the choice of a contest structure which is made by an organiser of a contest interested in maximising the efforts expended by the contenders

nonfarm employment and rural welfare evidence from the himalayas the potential importance of nonfarm employment for the welfare of rural households has long been recognized but whether the nonfarm sector offers prospects for improving the welfare of the rural poor remains a contentious issue we examine distributional and well being effects of nonfarm employment of rural households in the himalayas we account for heterogeneity of nonfarm employment and estimate a system of structural equations to better understand the causal linkages between nonfarm employment and household well being the results confirm that disaggregating nonfarm employment activities matters for understanding the relationship between nonfarm employment and rural welfare while low return nonfarm employment is associated with lower income inequality high return nonfarm activities have a disequalizing effect on the distribution of household incomes we also find that the ability to engage in high return nonfarm activities is associated with higher economic well being poor households on the other hand tend to rely on low return activities that do not contribute to improved well being

contests with stochastic abilities we consider the properties of perfectly discriminating contests in which players abilities are stochastic but become common knowledge before efforts are expended players whose expected ability is lower than that of their rivals may still earn a positive expected payoff from participating in the contest which may explain why they participate we also show that an increase in the dispersion of a player s own ability generally benefits this player it may benefit or harm his rival but cannot benefit the rival more than it benefits himself we also explore the role of stochastic ability for sequential contests with the same opponent multibattle contests and with varying opponents elimination tournaments and show that it reduces the strong discouragement effects and holdup problems that may otherwise emerge in such games high own ability dispersion selects such players into the contest and favors them in elimination contests jel d72 d74 i introduction manytournamentsarecharacterizedbymultiple rounds with or without the elimination of some candidates in earlier stages of the process of determining a final winner in the political context electionprocessesthatdetermineparty leadersorpoliticalleadersmoregenerallyconsist ofmultipleconteststages intheracefortheu s presidency severalcompetitionstagesgradually narrowdownthenumberofcompetitors 1 inter

incentives versus competitive balance abstract when players compete repeatedly prizes won in earlier contests may improve the players abilities in later contests this paper determines the allocation of prizes within and across contests that maximizes the weighted sum of aggregate efforts

nonfarm employment and poverty in rural el salvador abstract this paper analyzes two complementary data sets to study poverty and the nonfarm sector in rural el salvador we find that rural poverty in el salvador remains acute and significantly higher than in urban areas while the rural poor are mainly agricultural laborers and marginal farmers some nonfarm activities are also of importance to the poor in fact nonfarm activities in el salvador account for a significant share of rural employment and income for both the poor and the nonpoor the poor on the one hand are engaged in last resort nonfarm activities that are not associated with high levels of labor productivity the nonpoor on the other are engaged in productive nonfarm activities which are likely to present a potent force for upward mobility significant correlates of these high productivity occupations include education infrastructure location and gender while most of the analysis is at the household level the data also permit some focus on small scale rural enterprise activities it appears that in el salvador very few rural enterprises report utilizing formal credit in setting up their activities in addition a significant proportion of enterprises are engaged in subcontracting arrangements with some larger often urban based firm

contest design and optimal endogenous entry this paper derives the effort maximizing contest rule and the optimal endogenous entry in a context where potential participants bear fixed entry costs the organizer is allowed to design the contest under a fixed budget with two strategic instruments he sets the value of the prize purse and arranges a monetary transfer entry subsidy or fee for each participating contestant in other words the budget can either be used to subsidize participation or an entry fee can be charged to fund the prize purse the results show that the optimally designed contest attracts exactly two participating contestants in its unique subgame perfect equilibrium when there is a positive fixed entry cost and extracts all the surplus from participating contestants the study also shows that the direction and amount of the monetary transfer depend on the magnitude of the entry cost the contest organizer subsidizes entry when contestants bear substantial entry costs but charges an entry fee to fund the prize purse whenever the entry cost is sufficiently low

intersectoral transfer growth and inequality in rural ecuador abstract in this paper we study intersectoral transfer and its impact on the distribution of income in ecuador we find that income shares between farm and nonfarm activities are roughly equal on average although the rich in rural areas typically receive a greater share of income from nonfarm sources thus decomposing inequality by income source reveals that a rise in nonfarm incomes increases inequality drawing on a new method to estimate local level distributional outcomes growth of the high productivity nonfarm sector is observed to have a strong and positive association with average consumption and inequality growth of the low productivity nonfarm sector is associated with little change in either average income or income inequality irrespective of subsector growth of the nonfarm sector is associated with a substantial fall in poverty

a probit latent variable model of nutrition information and dietary fiber intake nutrition information and intake data for a sample of u s household meal planners are used to estimate the effects of fiber specific information on dietary fiber intake the information variables are measured using survey questions on fiber content of foods attitude toward consuming fiber rich foods and awareness of fiber health links the evidence confirms the influence of nutrition information on fiber intake household income meal planner age smoking status vegetarian status race and ethnicity are major determinants of both information and intake education exerts a sizable intake effect by enhancing the information level direct and indirect effects of exogenous variables are reported

the value of commitment in contests and tournaments when observation is costly we study the value of commitment in contests and tournaments when there are costs for the follower to observe the leader s behavior in a contest the follower can pay to observe the leader s effort but cannot observe the effectiveness of that effort in a tournament the follower can pay to observe the effectiveness of the leader s effort but not the effort itself we show that this distinction matters significantly when observation is costly the value of commitment vanishes entirely in sequential and endogenous move contests regardless of the size of the observation cost by contrast in tournaments the value of commitment is preserved completely provided that the observation costs are sufficiently small

rent creation and rent seeking in environmental policy rents and political motives are present in many aspects of public policy this article considers the role of rents rent seeking and the political choice of environmental policy rents are introduced into the political choice of price and quantity regulation under conditions of uncertainty the model shows how political economy aspects affect the choice between price and quantity regulation the contesting of rents associated with different policies affects the regulatory structure and influences the political choice of an environmental policy target the primary conclusion is that the political choice of environmental policy depends on the interaction between the efficiency of rent transfer and the size of rent seeking groups within the economy

real time pricing when some consumers resist in saving electricity successful real time electricity pricing depends firstly upon consumers willingness to subscribe to such terms and secondly on their ability to curb consumption levels the present paper addresses both issues by considering consumers differentiated by their electricity saving costs half of whom resist saving electricity we demonstrate that when consumers are free to adopt real time prices producers prefer charging inefficient prices and in so doing discriminate against that portion of the consumer population which faces no saving costs we also find that efficient marginal cost pricing is feasible but is incompatible with mass adoption of real time prices

uptake and usage of cost reflective electricity pricing insights from psychology and behavioural economics abstract the australian electricity industry like many other countries globally is currently facing the complex challenge of reforming electricity tariffs momentum is growing for transitioning residential consumers toward more cost reflective pricing that better reflects the true costs of generation and supply and sends a price signal that presumably incentivises reduced consumption during peak periods under such tariffs customers pay more for electricity used during times of peak demand unlike traditional flat rate tariffs where the price remains stable regardless of time or demand pilot trials indicate that cost reflective tariffs might succeed in reducing peak demand but often only for a small minority of customers such that population wide demand response is minimal or insignificant in this paper we apply insights from psychology and behavioural economics to identify how cost reflective pricing can be designed depicted and delivered to enhance customer uptake and optimal usage thereby facilitating appropriate demand response for a larger cross section of the population by carefully considering the likely impact of relevant cognitive biases and psychological factors which routinely shape human decision making and behaviour we are able to propose practical strategies that industry can adopt to maximise the prospect of cost reflective pricing achieving significant population level peak demand reductions while providing shared benefits for customers retailers networks and regulators alike

optimal prizes in dynamic elimination contests theory and experimental evidence abstract this paper investigates the implications of different prize structures on effort provision in dynamic two stage elimination contests theoretical results show that for risk neutral participants a structure with a single prize for the winner of the contest maximizes total effort while a structure with two appropriately chosen prizes a runner up prize and a final prize ensures incentive maintenance across stages in contrast a structure with two prizes may dominate a winner takes all contest in both dimensions if participants are risk averse evidence from laboratory experiments is largely consistent with these predictions suggesting that contest design should account for risk attitudes of participants

the selection efficiency of tournaments abstract we discuss tournaments in terms of their efficiency as probabilistic mechanisms that select high quality alternatives players in a noisy environment we characterize the selection efficiency of three such mechanisms contests binary elimination tournaments and round robin tournaments depending on the shape of the distribution of players quality the number of players and noise level the results have implications as to how and under what circumstances the efficiency of tournament based selection can be manipulated

axiomatizing multi prize nested lottery contests a complete and strict ranking perspective abstract multiple prizes are usually awarded in contests e g internal promotions school admissions sports etc and players exert effort to increase their chances for winning a higher prize a multi prize contest model must provide each player s probabilities of winning each prize as functions of all players efforts we find that the key notion of hypothetical subcontests in the contest axiomatization literature initiated by skaperdas 1996 can be appropriately interpreted and precisely defined from a ranking perspective as well as the relevant axioms of subcontest consistency and independence of irrelevant contestants iic when there are less than four contestants exclusive a set of axioms properly adapted from those in skaperdas 1996 and clark and riis 1998a are sufficient and necessary for axiomatizing the widely adopted multi prize nested lottery contest of clark and riis 1996a when there are more than four contestants inclusive including a new axiom of independence of irrelevant ranks iir is necessary and sufficient

experimental comparison of multi stage and one stage contests this article experimentally studies a two stage elimination contest and compares its performance with a one stage contest contrary to the theory the two stage contest generates higher revenue than the equivalent one stage contest there is significant over dissipation in both stages of the two stage contest and experience diminishes over dissipation in the first stage but not in the second stage our experiment provides evidence that winning is a component in a subject s utility a simple behavioral model that accounts for a non monetary utility of winning can explain significant over dissipation in both contests it can also explain why the two stage contest generates higher revenue than the equivalent one stage contest

a tug of war team contest this paper analyzes a tug of war contest between two teams in each round of the tug of war a pair of agents from the opposing teams competes in a private value all pay auction with asymmetric value distributions and effort effectiveness whichever team arrives first at a given lead in terms of battle victories over the opponent wins the tug of war there exists a unique markov perfect equilibrium in bidding strategies which depend on the respective player s valuation and the current state of the tug of war we derive rich comparative statics for this equilibrium by using the fact that the state of the tug of war evolves according to a time homogeneous absorbing markov chain

anticipated vs actual synergy in merger partner selection and post merger innovation past research has primarily focused on what happens after a merger this research attempts to determine whether anticipated benefits from the merger actually accrue we characterize the effects of observed variables on whether pairs of firms merge vis a vis roommate matching and then link these factors to post merger innovation i e number of patents we jointly estimate the two models using markov chain monte carlo methods with a unique panel data set of 1 979 mergers between 4 444 firms across industries and countries from 1992 to 2008 we find that similarity in national culture and technical knowledge has a positive effect on partner selection and post merger innovation anticipated synergy from subindustry similarity however is not realized in post merger innovation furthermore some key synergy sources are unanticipated when selecting a merger partner for example financial synergy from higher total assets and complementarity in total assets and debt leverage as well as knowledge synergy fr

the design of rent seeking competitions committees preliminary and final contests the paper examines the common practice in multi contest rent seeking competitions where finalists are selected based on rent seekers efforts in a preliminary contest we find that for any single contest design rent seeking expenditures could be reduced by introducing a preliminary contest if the marginal returns to rent seeking effort in the preliminary contest is sufficiently low in addition to other reasons the paper argues that this may explain why such multi contest designs are common we argue that rent seeking expenditure in the preliminary stage represents the cost of reducing the number of contestants we also find that the practice of setting a higher quality standard in the final contest than the quality standard in the preliminary contest reduces rent seeking waste we derive an expression for the optimal number of finalists under certain conditions we find that the optimal number of finalists is directly proportional or equal to the square root of the number of potential contestants finally we show that whether rent seeking expenditures rise or fall when the rent is awarded by a committee instead of a single administrator depends on the sensitivity of the committee relative to that of the single administrator

risk averse rent seekers and the social cost of monopoly power there is now quite general recognition that the social cost of monopoly power encompasses the resources expended by individuals seeking to become the beneficiaries of monopoly rents however since the activity of rent seeking is generally not observable direct estimates of resources expended in quests to acquire monopoly power are usually impossible to come by 1 as a consequence the indirect approach of taking the observed value of monopoly rents as indicative of the unobserved value of the resources expended in rent seeking is quite generally adopted in approaches to evaluation of the social cost of such activity

optimal prize structures in elimination contests abstract we consider multi stage elimination contests where agents efforts at different stages generate some output for the principal depending on the output function various prize structures can be optimal if the output function depends much more on efforts applied at later stages than on those applied at the earlier ones the optimal prize structure can be non monotone that is at some stages prizes fall and the agents who are more successful may earn less necessary and sufficient conditions for the optimality of such structures are provided we also show that for any increasing prize shape there exists an output function such that this prize shape is optimal further we consider the case of limited liability where the principal is not allowed to use negative prizes but can choose a contest success function csf there is always an efficient equilibrium under which the principal is able to extract the full surplus from the agents and the corresponding optimal prize structure is always increasing moreover under some plausible assumptions the optimal csf is necessary convex which corresponds to the most frequently used prize schemes in practice

risk aversion in rent seeking and rent augmenting games the effects of risk aversion are examined for two types of expenditures in rent seeking contests a rent seeking expenditures which improve the probability that the rent is obtained and b rent augmenting expenditures which increase the size of the rent to be awarded risk aversion is shown to reduce expenditures of type b unambiguously while having an indeterminate effect on those of type a these two contrasting results are shown to derive from the very different effects rent seeking and rent augmenting expenditures have on the riskiness of a player s position

entrepreneurial opportunities in peripheral versus core regions in chile governmental policies tend to support and boost entrepreneurship in peripheral regions in many countries this research revives the debate about specific regional policies designed to foster local new business creation and the entrepreneurial framework conditions needed at the regional level for emerging regions such as latin america we applied one of the global entrepreneurship monitor s methodologies the national experts survey to a sample of 695 key informants in chile at eight regions of which six are classified as peripheral using non parametric statistics we compared the differences between peripheral and core regions the main results indicate that peripherally located entrepreneurship experts perceive their regions as in a worse position than centrally located experts in terms of finance access and physical infrastructure on the other hand the results indicate that peripheral entrepreneurship experts detect more market dynamism in their regions and surprisingly perceive general policy and government programs as supporting entrepreneurship although the chilean government had not promoted many regional policies

strategic behavior in contests comment almost by definition contests involve strategy this is especially true in contests between unevenly matched contenders in a recent article avinash dixit 1987 explored strategic commitment in contests between a favorite and an underdog the favorite is defined as the player whose chance of victory exceeds one half at the nash equilibrium an underdog s chance is less than one half dixit concludes that if the favorite has the opportunity to move first then he will overcommit effort compared with the nash equilibrium an important implication of the favorite overcommitting effort is that strategic behavior leads to greater social costs see gordon tullock 1980 the opposite holds if the underdog has the opportunity to move first this paper demonstrates that the favorite will never overcommit effort given endogenous order of moves the favorite finds it advantageous to wait until the underdog moves surprisingly the underdog s best strategy is not to wait but to make the first move throwing the first punch the equilibrium order of play is for the underdog to move before the favorite in this equilibrium one never observes overcommitment of effort consequently extending dixit s model to allow for endogenous order of moves suggests that strategic behavior in contests will lead to undercommitment compared with nash behavior

the optimal allocation of prizes in tournaments of heterogeneous agents tournaments are widely used in organizations explicitly or implicitly to reward the best performing employees for example by promotion or bonuses and or to penalize the worst performing employees for example by demotion withholding bonuses or unfavorable job assignments these incentive schemes can be interpreted as various prize allocations based on the employees relative performance while the optimal prize allocation in tournaments of symmetric agents is relatively well understood little is known about the impact of the allocation of prizes on the effectiveness of tournament incentive schemes for heterogeneous agents we show that while multiple prize allocation rules are equivalent when agents are symmetric in their ability the equivalence is broken in the presence of heterogeneity under a wide range of conditions loser prize tournaments that is tournaments that award a low prize to relatively few bottom performers are optimal for the firm the reason is that low ability agents are discouraged less in such tournaments as compared to winner prize tournaments awarding a high prize to few top performers and hence can be compensated less to meet their participation constraints jel m52 j33 j24

tournaments with midterm reviews in many tournaments investments are made over time the question whether to conduct a review once at the end or additionally at points midway through the tournament is a strategic decision if the latter course is chosen then the designer must establish both a rule for aggregating the results of the different reviews and a rule for determining compensations we first study the case of a fixed exogenously given prize and then extend the analysis to the case where the prize is not fixed but may vary with the tournament s outcome it is shown that 1 it is always optimal to assign a higher weight to the final review 2 this weight increases with the dominance of the first stage effort in determining the final review s outcome when the prize is not fixed the optimal design generates an asymmetric tournament in the second stage that favors the winner of the midterm review

two stage group rent seeking with negatively interdependent preferences the purpose of this paper is to compare the rate of rent dissipation in a group rent seeking contest in which rent seeking activities take place in two stages with those of a one stage individual contest specifically the effect of the extension by introducing rent seekers with negatively interdependent preferences is analyzed focusing on the relationship between contest structure and preference type we find that rent dissipation given absolute as opposed to relative payoff maximization is lower in a two stage contest than in a one stage contest given players with negatively interdependent preferences we find the reverse

how to split the pie optimal rewards in dynamic multi battle competitions abstract multi battle competitions are ubiquitous in real life in this paper we examine the effort maximizing reward design in sequentially played multi battle competitions between two players the organizer has a fixed prize budget and rewards players contingent on the number of battles they win in a three battle contest a full spectrum of contest technologies in the tullock family is accommodated we find that the optimal design varies with the discriminatory power of the contest technology in particular when it is in the low range winner take all is optimal for the intermediate range as discriminatory power increases the optimal prize structure evolves continuously from winner take all to the proportional division rule due to the need to mitigate the growing momentum discouragement effect for the high range a wide span of prize structures extracts full surplus and is thus optimal several robustness checks confirm that mitigating the momentum discouragement effect is essential for effort maximizing prize design in dynamic multi battle contests

commercial industrial customer response to time of use electricity prices some experimental results this article analyzes a time of use pricing experiment involving over 700 small and medium size commercial industrial firms two basic rate structures were implemented one with time varying demand kw charges and a flat energy kwh charge and the other with time varying energy charges and a flat kw charge a small but statistically significant elasticity of substitution between peak and offpeak kwh consumption is estimated for the summer season in the overall sample for firms facing the time of use demand rate a substantially larger response is estimated in the summer season for the subgroup of large firms in the experiment that faced a time of use demand rate and this response translates into a welfare gain that in just the first year more than offsets the additional metering costs involved under mandatory implementation

influencing rent seeking contests this paper shows that a policy that uniformly increases contestants effort costs can lead to an increase in total effort in asymmetric settings this levels the playing field and therefore encourages weaker players who otherwise would have stayed out to enter paradoxically a contest designer whose only objective is to maximize total effort may thus wish to make rent seeking more difficult these results suggest that the often lamented bureaucratic red tape might in fact be a rational response to the problem of attracting lobbyists to participate in a contest

institutional change climate risk and rural vulnerability cases from central mexico summary a multiscalar multistressor assessment of rural vulnerability is presented illustrating how globalization market liberalization and climatic risk simultaneously structure the livelihood strategies of mexican smallholders ethnographic data collected in three communities are used to argue that farmers capacities to manage climatic risk are circumscribed by the ways in which they are able to negotiate changes in agricultural policy four livelihood strategies are explored in detail to show that market integration does not necessarily improve risk management capacity and that subsistence maize production while highly sensitive to hazards may actually serve to enhance livelihood stability the dominance of economic uncertainty over environmental risk in households decision making implies a continued role for government intervention to help households adapt to climatic stress

the design of rent seeking competitions in the standard tullock model of rent seeking as a noncooperative game aggregate expenditures by seekers can equal exceed or fall short of total rents depending on what is assumed about the number of seekers and the marginal return to a seeker s investment if the supply of an input into the rent seeking process is controlled by a politician who receives payment from seekers for it the indeterminacy of the process becomes a less serious problem he supplies it and designs the rent seeking game to maximize his wealth the author derives expressions for the number of seekers and the marginal return parameter which maximize the politician s wealth in one input and two input rent seeking processes

contests with multi tasking the standard contest model in which participants compete in a single dimension is well understood and documented multi dimension extensions are possible but are liable to increase the complexity of the contest structure mitigating one of its main advantages simplicity in this paper we propose an extension in which competition ensues in several dimensions and a competitor that wins a certain number of these is awarded a prize the amount of information needed to run the contest is hence limited to the number of dimensions won by each player we look at the design of this contest from the point of view of maximising effort in the contest per dimension and totally and show that there will be a tendency to run small contests with few dimensions the standard tullock model and its results are encompassed by our framework

asymmetric two stage group rent seeking comparison of two contest structures two variations of a two stage rent seeking contest areconsidered in the first stage of the between groupmodel groups compete through the expenditure of resources bytheir members based on group expenditures one winning groupis probabilistically determined on the second stage membersof the winning group compete with one another for an exogenousprize in the semi finals model a player is chosen fromeach group and then these players compete for the prize groups differ in size or in their valuation of the prize subgame perfect equilibrium solutions are constructed forthese two contest structures

rural nonfarm employment and incomes in the himalayas abstract nonfarm activities generate on average about 60 of rural households incomes in the himalayas this article analyzes the determinants of participation in nonfarm activities and of nonfarm incomes across rural households a unique data set collected in the himalayan region of india allows us to deal with the heterogeneity of rural nonfarm activities by using aggregations into categories that are useful both analytically and for policy purposes we conduct an empirical inquiry that reveals that education plays a major role in accessing more remunerative nonfarm employment other household assets and characteristics such as land social status and geographical location also play a role

income smoothing and consumption smoothing one way that risk averse households protect consumption levels is to borrow and use insurance mechanisms another way common in low income economies is to diversify economic activities and make conservative production and employment choices households thus tend toward limiting exposure only to shocks that can be handled with available credit and insurance typically both types of mechanisms are studied independently but much more can be learned by studying them together first we obtain a more complete picture of risks costs and insurance possibilities second it opens the way to considering biases in standard tests of credit and insurance

symmetric two stage contests with budget constraints the impact of a budget constraint on individual expenditures is examined in two models of two stage contests with homogenous and risk neutral players competing to win a single indivisible commonly valued rent the set of players is partitioned into equally sized groups in the first model one contestant from each group survives to compete on the second stage against the other survivors in the second model one group survives the first stage and its members compete against each other on the second stage we derive and discuss the symmetric subgame perfect equilibrium solution for each model

legal harmonization institutional quality and countries external positions a sectoral analysis abstract motivated by the action plan for a european capital markets union cmu this paper analyzes the potential for legal harmonization and convergence in institutional quality to affect capital market integration based on hand collected data on the implementation of eu directives our analysis yields three key insights first legal harmonization promotes portfolio equity holdings second discrepancies in institutional quality matter primarily for cross border debt positions third the relationship between external investments and harmonization varies significantly across sectors the non bank financial corporations which account for a large share of portfolio positions react more to institutional harmonization than do banks and the non financial private sector

the rural non farm sector issues and evidence from developing countries abstract the rural non farm sector has traditionally been viewed as a low productivity sector which produces low quality goods it is often expected to wither away as a country develops recent years have seen a shift away from this position towards recognition that the rural non farm sector can and often does contribute to economic growth rural employment poverty reduction and a more spatially balanced population distribution this paper reviews the literature on the conceptual and empirical underpinnings of this more recent perspective focussing on the experience in developing countries the paper documents the size and heterogeneity of the sector pointing to evidence that in many countries the sector is expanding rather than declining the issues associated with measuring the sector s economic contribution are discussed followed by empirical assessments for several countries and regions the distributional impact of non farm earnings is examined and it is found that a pro poor impact while by no means inevitable can be considerable the sector s trajectory over time in different settings is reviewed and the scope for and experience of various policy interventions is discussed

rigging the lobbying process an application of the all pay auction textabstractin a world where a politician can explicitly auction off a prize to the high bidder the standard auction literature can be used to analyse political behavior the justice system however precludes politicians from explicitly selling the prize to the highest bidder thus politicians cannot let it become public knowledge that they are in the business of selling political favors an institution has emerged in political markets to overcome this constraint which are termed as lobbying lobbyists make implicit payments to the politician through campaign contributions if these up front payments were rebated to those failing to receive the prize it would be clear that the politician was selling favors this article has examined an interesting principle arising in all pay auctions this principle states that a politician wishing to maximize political rents may find it in his best interest to exclude certain lobbyists from participating in the lobbying process particularly lobbyists valuing most the political prize

decision by sortition a means to reduce rent seeking this essay gives an overview of how arandomized decision mechanism sortition can be expected to reduce the intensity ofself interested activity by rent seekingfactions within democracies the socialcosts of rent seeking are briefly reviewed i then make the case that randomization ofcollective decision making proceduresattenuates rent seeking expenditures iillustrate the argument by reference to thehighly contested presidential election of2000 finally i buttress that argument bycomparing plurality voting and sortitionwithin the context of tullock s efficient rent seeking model 1980

do complicated tax systems prevent foreign direct investment the negative relationship between tax rates and fdi is well known this paper looks at how complexity of the tax system affects fdi fulfilling tax requirements can be time consuming and this implies a cost for more complex tax systems alternatively complexity may provide opportunities to reduce the overall tax bill we find that measures of tax complexity have a significant inhibiting effect on the presence of fdi for a country pair but have little impact on the level of fdi flows a 10 reduction in tax complexity is comparable to a one percentage point reduction in effective corporate tax rates

investment credit and child labour it is generally assumed that credit has a positive effect on children s schooling among poor households this article shows that need not be the case when households obtain credit for investment purposes in fact investment loans may not have any effect on the likelihood of schooling for children who work in their family business our estimates confirm that this is the case credit used to finance investments has no effect on the odds of schooling for employed children this may be because investment loans increase children s labour productivity which in turn increases the opportunity cost of schooling the results of this study suggest that improving access to credit may not by itself constitute a solution to the problem of child labour in developing countries

contests a comparison of timing and information structures we study a model of imperfectly discriminating contests with two ex ante symmetric agents we consider four institutional settings contestants move either sequentially or simultaneously and in addition their types are either public or private information we find that an effort maximizing designer of the contest prefers the sequential to the simultaneous setting from an ex ante perspective moreover the sequential contest pareto dominates the simultaneous one when the contestants types are sufficiently negatively correlated regarding the information structure the designer ex ante prefers private information while the contestants prefer public information

contest design and heterogeneity i show that the effect of heterogeneity on contest investments depends on the structure of the competition which implies that heterogeneity matters for optimal contest design this insight helps to explain empirical evidence on the comparison of different contest structures

contest efforts in light of behavioural considerations this study shows that distortion of probabilities is a possible reason for rent under dissipation incontests with relatively small number of participants such distortion may also result however inover dissipation of the contested rent focusing on contests with homogeneous contestants and thecommonly studied contest success function our main results clarify under what circumstances i rents are more under dissipated relative to the standard situation where probabilities are notdistorted ii rents are under dissipated yet less intensely relative to the standard situation whereprobabilities are not distorted iii rents are over dissipated and iv the contest does not possess asymmetric interior equilibrium in pure strategies

best of three all pay auctions abstract we study a best of three all pay auction it is shown that with values of winning and without values of losing this auction is less productive the players total expected effort is smaller than the one stage all pay auction however with different values of losing over the contest s stages it may be more productive than the one stage all pay auction

an endogenous policy model of hierarchical government endogenous policy models usually neglect that government policies are frequently the result of decisions taken at different tiers by different agents each enjoying some degree of autonomy in this paper policies are the outcome of the choices made by two agents within a hierarchy a legislator decides on the budget to be successively spent by a bureaucrat both agents are lobbied by one or two interest groups the combination of sequential decisionmaking and lobbying implies that the interaction between the agent at one tier and the interest group s depends on the exchange between the same interest group s and the agent at the other tier our results concerning multi tier lobbying and legislatorial oversight substantially qualify the conventional wisdom related to one tier lobbying in particular the reaction of the legislator to lobbying at the bureaucratic tier may make lobbying wasteful even when there is no competition from other lobbies moreover the legislator benefits from lobbying only when there is competition between interest groups at the upper tier it is also shown that competition for influence at the bureaucratic tier may work as a perfect substitute for legislatorial oversight extensions of the model indicate its usefulness for the analysis of decisionmaking in other multilevel governance structures like federations or firms

rural nonfarm employment and incomes in latin america overview and policy implications abstract rural nonfarm employment rnfe and incomes rnfi are crucial to latin american rural households the 11 rural household income studies in this volume reviewed in this paper use 1990s data and show that rnfi averages 40 of rural incomes rnfi and rnfe have grown quickly over the past three decades the review of evidence provided some surprising departures from traditional images of nonfarm activities of latin american rural households in terms of shares of rural incomes 1 nonfarm wage incomes exceed self employment incomes 2 rnfi far exceeds farm wage incomes 3 local rnfi far exceeds migration incomes 4 service sector rnfi far exceeds manufactures rnfi these findings suggest the need for more development program attention to wage employment in the service sector versus the traditional focus on small enterprise manufactures moreover poor households and zones tend to have higher shares in their incomes but lower absolute levels of rnfi as compared to richer households and zones the rnfe of the poor tend to be the low paid nonfarm equivalent of semi subsistence farming raising the capacity of the poor to participate in the better paid types of rnfe is crucial via employment skills training education infrastructure credit finally rnfe has grown fastest and been most poverty alleviating where there are dynamic growth motors in particular in the agricultural sector but also in tourism links to urban areas mining and forestry this means that developing rnf jobs cannot be done at the expense of programs promoting agricultural development

some results on rent seeking contests with shortlisting we show that rent seeking contests with shortlistinghave comparative static properties which depend on thestage of the contest by generalising the argument inamegashie 1997 we show that well known comparativestatic results in single stage rent seeking contestsdo not necessarily carry over to contests withshortlisting the analysis suggeststhat policy prescriptions for reducing rent seekingexpenditures in contests with shortlisting cannot begiven without taking into account the stage of thecontest we also extend the model in amegashie 1997 to the case of unequal class sizes finally theshortlisting method in amegashie 1997 is comparedwith that in clark and riis 1996

impact of off farm income on food expenditures in rural bangladesh an unconditional quantile regression approach this study examines the effects of off farm income on food expenditures of rural bangladeshi households our analysis yields unbiased estimates of the unconditional impact of off farm income on food expenditures and reveals the heterogeneous effects that occur across the distribution of total food consumption expenditures the findings suggest that the impacts of off farm income are uniformly positive across the unconditional quantile regression and significantly increase food consumption expenditures for all quantiles except for the 25th quantile in addition we found that schooling experience and location of the household increase the food expenditures of rural households most importantly this article argues that female headed rural households in which the female works off the farm tend to have significantly lower food expenditures

transfer benefits from public works employment evidence for rural india current knowledge provides little guidance on one of the key questions in evaluating public employment schemes aimed at directly reducing poverty what are the net income gains to participating workers this paper offers an answer for rural public employment in two villages in the state of maharashtra in india a model of intrahousehold time allocation is proposed and estimates are made using household data over six years the empirical implementation indicates that the projects induce significant behavioral responses transfer benefits are large and are greatly underestimated using prevailing market wage rates for similar work to estimate forgone incomes copyright 1994 by royal economic society

risk crop choice and savings evidence from tanzania rural households engaged in agricultural activities face considerable risks in their income process these income risks are especially important if they result in consumption fluctuations this is likely if insurance and credit markets are absent one possible strategy for household is to take up low risk activities even if they imply lower returns such response cannot be viewed independently from the other options available to households to reduce consumption fluctuations this paper focuses on the importance of liquid asset formation for risk taking behaviour by households an intertemporal model of consumption under liquidity constraints is developed in which households can choose between income activities with different returns and riskiness it shows that if liquid asset holdings are large providing a buffer for consumption shortfalls then households will be more willing to take up high risk activities evidence based on survey data from shinyanga district tanzania is presented consistent with this prediction this abstract was borrowed from another version of this item

political culture and discrimination in contests abstract many economic and political decisions are the outcome of strategic contests for a given prize the nature of such contests can be determined by a designer who is driven by political considerations with a specific political culture the main objective of this study is to analyze the effect of political culture and of valuation asymmetry on discrimination between the contestants the weights assigned to the public well being and the contestants efforts represent the political culture while discrimination is an endogenous variable that characterizes the mechanism allocating the prize we consider situations under which the optimal bias of the designer is in favor of the contestant with the larger or smaller prize valuation and examine the effect of changes in the political culture and in valuation asymmetry on the designer s preferred discrimination between the contestants focusing on the two most widely studied types of contest success functions deterministic all pay auctions and logit csfs we show that an all pay auction is always the preferred csf from the point of view of the contest designer this result provides a new political economic micro foundation to some of the most commonly used models in the contest literature

dynamic multi activity contests in many contests players can influence the outcome through efforts in multiple activities several of which can be chosen before others in this paper we develop a model of dynamic multi activity contests players simultaneously choose efforts in long run activities observe each other s efforts in these activities and then simultaneously choose efforts in short run activities a player s long run and short run efforts complement each other in determining the player s probability of winning we compare the outcomes of this two stage model to those of the corresponding model in which players do not observe each other s first stage efforts before the second stage and thus effectively choose efforts in all activities simultaneously interestingly effort expenditures are always lower in the sequential multi activity contest than in the simultaneous multi activity contest the implications of this result for the organization of military litigation innovation academic and sporting contests are highlighted

domestic politics foreign interests and international trade policy reply this paper incorporates the foreign interest in the determination of a country s international trade policy into a model of political competition between candidates contesting elective office we envisage foreign and domestic producer interests as expressing political support for a candidate via campaign contributions and candidates as making trade policy pronouncements to maximize political support from producer interests tariffs are divisive but vers are consistent with conciliatory policy positions yielding mutual gain to foreign and domestic interests no candidate has an interest in formulating a trade policy position using a tariff if a ver is a policy option protection in the developed countries has in recent years often taken the form of bilaterally negotiated voluntary export restraints vers rather than the more traditional unilaterally imposed import restrictions the use of voluntary export restraints has been paralleled by interest in the theoretical literature the effects of vers have been compared with tariffs and quotas and vers have been examined in a political economy framework with a view to identifying the gainers and losers from this form of restric

gone with the storm rainfall shocks and household well being in guatemala this paper investigates the causal consequences of tropical storm agatha 2010 the strongest tropical storm ever to strike guatemala since rainfall records have been kept on household welfare the analysis reveals substantial negative effects particularly among urban households per capita consumption fell by 12 6 percent raising poverty by 5 5 percentage points an increase of 18 percent the negative effects of the shock span other areas of human welfare households cut back on food consumption 10 percent or 43 to 108 fewer calories per person per day and reduced expenditures on basic durables these effects are related to a drop in income per capita 10 percent mostly among salaried workers adults coped with the shock by increasing their labor supply on the intensive margin and simultaneously relying on the labor supply of their children and withdrawing them from school impact heterogeneity is associated with the intensity of the shock food price inflation and the timing of agatha with respect to the harvest cycle of the main crops the results are robust to placebo treatments household migration issues of measurement error and different samples the negative effects of the storm partly explain the increase in poverty seen in urban guatemala between 2006 and 2011 which national authorities and analysts previously attributed solely to the collateral effects of the global financial crisis

collective rent dissipation the theory of rent seeking was initiated by tullock 1967 1980 followed by krueger 1974 and posner 1975 and more recently extended in various directions by allard 1988 appelbaum and katz 1986a b c gradstein and nitzan 1989 hillman and katz 1984 1987 hillman and samet 1987 hillman and riley 1989 katz et al 1990 long and vousden 1987 ursprung 1990 and varian 1989 the purpose of this paper is to extend this theory by introducing the possibility of collective group rent seeking with voluntary individual decisions regarding their extent of participation in the collective rent seeking efforts

seeking rents by setting rents the political economy of rent seeking in recent years there has been a large number of papers on the subject of rent seeking most such works on rent seeking have taken the rent as exogenously determined by regulators regulators howeve r may also be expected and indeed have been shown to be rent seeke rs and hence the determination of the rent itself should be endogeniz ed to reflect the fact that the rent setters are themselves rent se ekers in this paper the authors do this by presenting an analysis o f the interaction of regulators firms and consumers within a rent s eeking framework where all three groups are assumed to be self motiva ted the analysis is carried out under alternative assumptions regard ing the nature of the market and the reaction functions of the partic ipants policy implications are drawn where appropriate copyright 1987 by royal economic society

corporate tax elasticities a reader s guide to empirical findings corporate taxes exert a variety of effects on business behaviour a wealth of empirical evidence assesses the magnitude of these behavioural margins of taxation this article offers an up to date review and aims to provide common ground by computing for each distortion the semi elasticity of the corporate tax base we pay particular attention to international investment where it is not a priory clear whether marginal investment decisions or discrete locations are most important using anextension of the meta analysis of de mooij and ederveen 2003 we explore the extent to which existing studies reveal differences in effect size between the intensive and extensive margins of international investment

round robin tournaments with a dominant player we analyze the subgame perfect equilibrium of the round robin tournament with one strong dominant and two weak players and we compare this tournament and the one stage contest with respect to the players expected payoffs expected total effort and their probabilities of winning we find that if the contest designer s goal is to maximize the players expected total effort then if the asymmetry between the players is relatively low the one stage contest should be used however if the asymmetry is relatively high then the round robin tournament should be used

optimal lottery design for public financing this article develops a model of optimal lottery design for public financing on the assumption that economic agents view buying lottery tickets as a form of entertainment given that lotteries are optimally designed it offers two findings 1 the fundraising potential of a lottery is independent of its type specifically of whether it is a fixed prize type or a pari mutuel and 2 the ratio of the optimal winning prize amount in each prize class to total lottery sales is equalised to the elasticity of demand for lottery ticket purchases with respect to the winning prize in each prize class

environmental regulation of households an empirical review of economic and psychological factors abstract the literature on sustainable consumption and environmental regulation of household behavior is dominated by conceptual and normative approaches as a result many suggestions lack a firm empirical basis to overcome this deficiency econometric studies in three areas of environmentally relevant activities of households are reviewed residential use of energy generation of solid waste and recycling and residential use of water next to price and income elasticities attention is devoted to individual socio economic features and psychological factors such as attitudes knowledge perceptions and values potential psychological determinants and related insights are further examined by discussing a range of representative and illustrative statistical psychological studies of environmental behavior one important general finding is that there are very few empirical studies that systematically combine socio economic and psychological determinants a range of insights for environmental policy is derived and research recommendations are offered

consumer attitudes and voluntary rate schedules for public utilities attitudes enter as latent explanatory variables in a model of consumers choice among optional rate schedules offered by a public utility a consistent estimator of the choice model is described that utilizes the distribution of the latent attitude variables conditional on manifest indicator variables the model is applied to households choice between time of use and non time differentiated rates for electricity to determine the impact of attitudes about energy conservation copyright 1987 by mit press

the determinants of nonfarm income diversification in rural peru abstract this paper shows that in peruvian rural areas there has been substantial growth over the past decade in household employment outside of own farming at present 51 of the net income of rural households comes from these off farm activities and thus they certainly cannot be considered as marginal the reasons households diversify their incomes are several access to public assets such as roads and private assets such as education and credit is an important factor in diversification increasing access to these assets will help rural households to increase their self employment as well as wage employment in the nonfarm sector

the impact of group based credit programs on poor households in bangladesh does the gender of participants matter this paper estimates the impact of participation by gender in the grameen bank and two other group based micro credit programs in bangladesh on labor supply schooling household expenditure and assets the empirical method uses a quasi experimental survey design to correct for the bias from unobserved individual and village level heterogeneity we find that program credit has a larger effect on the behavior of poor households in bangladesh when women are the program participants for example annual household consumption expenditure increases 18 taka for every 100 additional taka borrowed by women from these credit programs compared with 11 taka for men

common value contests with asymmetric information abstract we consider two player perfectly discriminatory common value contests or all pay auctions in which one player knows the value of the contested object with certainty and the other knows only its prior distribution we show among other things that in equilibrium the players win with equal probability this contrasts with a large class of imperfectly discriminatory contests in which the uninformed player wins with a strictly greater probability than the informed player

rural nonfarm activities and poverty in the brazilian northeast abstract this paper combines two complementary data sets to present a disaggregated spatial profile of poverty in the brazilian northeast and to investigate the importance of nonagricultural activities for its rural dwellers we present both univariate and multivariate profiles of nonagricultural employment and discuss its determinants while the main occupational difference between the rural poor and the rural nonpoor in brazil seems to be the greater reliance of the former on paid agricultural employment vis a vis own cultivation rather than access to nonagricultural activities the evidence nevertheless suggests that diversification into this growing sector provides both an important complement to the budgets of the poor and possibly a self insurance mechanism against negative shocks despite the substantial heterogeneity of the sector two general findings are robust returns to education are comparatively high and location in relation to urban areas is an important determinant of both employment and earnings in rural nonagricultural activities

rainfall uncertainty and occupational choice in agricultural households of rural nepal abstract although agriculture is the main occupation in rural nepal evidence suggests that households strive to diversify their sources of income this paper investigates why this is the case using household data from the world bank and information on rainfall for the various rural districts of nepal we find that occupational choice is highly correlated to the uncertainty associated with historical rainfall patterns where the head is employed in agriculture other family members are less likely to choose agriculture as an occupation in districts where rain is more uncertain estimates indicate that for a 1 per cent increase in the coefficient of variation of rain there is a 0 61 per cent decrease in the probability of choosing the same occupation as the household head where the head is classified as self employed in agriculture the negative effect of rainfall uncertainty on occupational choice is less evident in households that have access to credit and in households with relatively high levels of

salt or sludge exploring preferences for potable water sources decision makers often use information about public preferences to guide public policy several disciplines gather information on preferences through surveys by asking respondents to make hypothetical choices over potential policies however the context of the choice question differs between approaches with some failing to make the full consequences of the respondent s choice explicit in the question in this study we investigate whether question context matters by exploring whether economic and psychology approaches yield a similar understanding of community preferences towards a large scale recycled wastewater scheme we find that stated preferences differ depending on whether the preference question is contextualised using economic incentives the findings provide insight into the implications of inappropriately contextualised preference questions methodological considerations in attitude identification and estimation and the diversity of values and public attitudes towards recycled wastewater

consumer demand for time of use electricity tariffs a systematized review of the empirical evidence abstract time of use tou tariffs if widely adopted could help make electricity more secure clean and affordable however quite little is known about whether consumers will switch to a tou tariff or what might increase uptake if switching rates are lower than required this paper presents the results of a systematized review and meta analysis combining the results of 66 measures of uptake to a variety of tou tariffs across 27 studies conducted in six countries it provides the first robust estimate of consumer demand and correlates of demand for tou tariffs that is not based on the results from just a single study or tariff four main conclusions emerge first if consumers are left to opt in to tou tariffs uptake could be as low as 1 unless efforts are made to close the intention action gap otherwise enrolment could reach 43 second if enrolment is opt out uptake could approach 100 third whilst national surveys indicate the potential appetite for tou tariffs in a population they are insufficient for predicting future tou tariff adoption rates the median proportion of domestic energy bill payers who say they would be willing to switch to a tou tariff in national surveys is five times higher than the median enrolment rate to tou tariffs offered by utilities fourth real time pricing tariffs in which the price of electricity varies freely throughout the day are less popular than static tou tariffs which have fixed peak and off peak rates this paper discusses the limitations of opt out enrolment for tou tariffs and presents results suggesting that small upfront payments bill protection and automation are promising alternative methods of increasing opt in enrolment policymakers and researchers should now consider how recruitment will be performed weighing up the benefits to society as a whole against the distributional impacts for individuals and groups