prospective exploration of future renewable portfolio standard schemes in china via a multi sector cge model abstract the shortage of traditional energy sources and environmental pollution caused by the consumption of fossil fuels have become increasingly prominent and many countries regard the development of renewable energy as important for ensuring energy conservation and emission reductions in addition renewable portfolio standard is important for china to achieve energy transition the chinese government is actively promoting the construction of a renewable portfolio standard system considering different renewable energy development targets for renewable portfolio standards this paper establishes a dynamic computable general equilibrium cge model to research the impacts of achieving various policy targets the main simulation results are as follows promoting renewable sources would have a slightly negative impact on macroeconomics for each additional percentage point in the share of renewable energy generation in 2030 the loss of gdp would increase by approximately 9 11 billion rmb a renewable energy policy could be also conducive to carbon emission reduction and energy structure adjustment certainly the proportion of renewable energy in the total power generation should be approximately 34 to achieve the government target for non fossil fuels to account for approximately 20 of the primary energy consumption by 2030

competitive cross subsidization this paper analyzes competitive pricing policies by multiproduct firms facing heterogeneous buying patterns we show that cross subsidization arises when firms have comparative advantages on different products but are equally efficient overall firms earn a profit from multi stop shoppers by charging positive margins on their strong products but as price competition for one stop shoppers drives total margins down to zero they price weaker products below cost banning below cost pricing leads to higher profits and higher prices for one stop shoppers and may reduce consumer surplus as well as total social welfare

the economics of the internet infrastructure and regulation the purpose of this article is to inform users regulators and economists about the basic economics of the internet focusing on regulation of its infrastructure it defines the internet and describes its development and organization it analyses the regulatory and competition issues associated with conveyance on the internet it then discusses three current puzzles of economic interest while the article reaches several conclusions the overall message is that much more work is needed in this area

competitive non linear pricing and bundling we examine the impact of multiproduct nonlinear pricing on profit consumer surplus and welfare in a duopoly when consumers buy all their products from one firm the one stop shopping model nonlinear pricing leads to higher profit and welfare but often lower consumer surplus than linear pricing by contrast in a unit demand model where consumers may buy one product from one firm and another product from another firm bundling generally acts to reduce profit and welfare and to boost consumer surplus in a more general model where consumers may buy from more than one firm and where consumers have elastic demands for each product nonlinear pricing has ambiguous effects compared with linear pricing nonlinear pricing tends to raise profit but harm consumer surplus when i demand is elastic ii there is substantial product differentiation iii there is substantial heterogeneity in consumer demand iv consumers face substantial shopping costs when visiting more than one firm and v a consumer s brand preference for one product is strongly correlated with her brand preference for another product nonlinear pricing is more likely to lead to welfare gains when i ii iv and v hold but iii does not

residual load renewable surplus generation and storage requirements in germany abstract i examine the effects of increasing amounts of fluctuating renewable energy on residual load which is defined as the difference between actual power demand and the feed in of non dispatchable and inflexible generators i draw on policy relevant scenarios for germany and make use of extensive sensitivity analyses whereas yearly renewable surplus energy is low in most scenarios analyzed peak surplus power can become very high decreasing thermal must run requirements and increasing biomass flexibility substantially reduce surpluses i use an optimization model to determine the storage capacities required for taking up renewable surpluses allowing curtailment of 1 of the yearly feed in of non dispatchable renewables would render storage investments largely obsolete until 2032 under the assumption of a flexible power system further restrictions of curtailment as well as lower system flexibility strongly increase storage requirements by 2050 at least 10 gw of storage are required for surplus integration of which a sizeable share is seasonal storage results suggest that policy makers should work toward avoiding surplus generation in particular by decreasing the must run of thermal generators concerns about surpluses should not be regarded as an obstacle to further renewable expansion the findings are also relevant for other countries that shift toward fluctuating renewables

unemployment growth and taxation in industrial countries unemployeement and taxes do taxes affect the rate of umemployeement to the layman the upward trend in european unemployment is related to the slowdown of economic growth we argue that the layman s view is correct the increase in european unemployment and the slowdown in economic growth are related because they stem from a common cause an excessively rapid growth in the cost of labour in europe labour costs have gone up for many reasons but one is particularly easy to identify higher taxes on labour if wages are set by strong and decentralized trade unions an increase in labour taxes is shifted onto higher real wages this has two effects first it reduces labour demand and thus creates unemployment secondly as firms substitute capital for labour the marginal product of capital falls over long periods of time this in turn diminishes the incentive to invest and to grow the data strongly support this view according to our estimates the observed rise of 14 percentage points in labour tax rates between 1965 and 1995 in the eu could account for a rise in eu unemployment of roughly 4 percentage points a reduction of the investment share of output of about 3 percentage points and a growth slowdown of about 0 4 percentage points a year francesco daveri and guido tabellini

exploring future hydrogen development and the impact of policy a novel investment led approach it is generally recognised that the primary tools being utilised today for hydrogen energy forecasting and policy development take a least cost approach while useful for comparing the viability of different technologies from a cost perspective it is argued that these models fail to capture the potential value contribution such technologies could offer companies and in consequence the likelihood of their receiving investment the authors propose a novel model for forecasting the deployment of hydrogen energy systems based on a company value maximisation approach designed to assist governments in the development of appropriate policy instruments in this paper a theoretical relationship between market sector valuations and investment activity is presented using 3 value metrics namely net present value npv earnings per share eps and sum of the parts sop it is shown that as the electricity and transport fuel markets begin to converge examination of the effects of different policy measures through the value led model can highlight otherwise hidden counter incentives the model further recognises that the propensity to invest in hydrogen differs according to the characteristics of the company looking to make the investment and the implications for policy makers regarding levels of support are also discussed in the paper

on the desirability of compatibility with product selection the paper analyses a three stage game where two integrated system suppliers first decide whether to provide compatible system components then choose the product specifications of their two offered components and finally set prices contrary to results with exogenous product characteristics the achievement of compatibility does not improve social welfare here given the assumed distribution of the consumers preferences on the product space consumers losses from the changed product designs under compatibility outweigh the gains from these changes and from the availability of two additional system goods nevertheless one firm ensures compatibility if compatibility costs do not exceed a certain threshold

compatibility and bundling of complementary goods in a duopoly this paper presents a simple model of compatibility and bundling in industries where consumers assemble several necessary components into a system that is close to their ideal the authors show that for a wide range of parameters firms will choose to produce compatible components but will offer discounts to consumers who purchase all components from the same firm however firms would be better off if they could commit not to provide such discounts furthermore the equilibrium tends to involve socially excessive bundling finally mixed bundling strategies tend to increase the range of parameters over which socially excessive standardization occurs copyright 1992 by blackwell publishing ltd

standardization and the stability of collusion we characterize the interplay between firms decision in terms of product standardization and the nature of their ensuing market behaviour we prove the existence of a nonmonotone relationship between firms decision at the product stage and their intertemporal preferences c 1998 elsevier science s a

desirability of compatibility in the absence of network externalities i compare the incentives firms have to produce individual components compatible with components of other manufacturers instead of systems composed of components that are incompatible with components of competing manufacturers i show that even in the absence of positive consumption externalities network externalities prices and profits will be higher in the regime of compatibility equilibrium total surplus could be higher in either regime both regimes overprovide variety compared to the surplus maximizing solution in today s environment many products are complex specified by a long array of characteristics part of the decision of the firm is to choose if it should break this long array of features into two or more smaller parts and produce the products corresponding to the smaller arrays instead of the product that embodies the full array we will call the products that correspond to these smaller arrays components and the product that corresponds to the full array a system note that components are by their definition complements components produced by different manufacturers are compatible if it is feasible for the consumers to combine them costlessly into a working system in this paper we will assume that there are two components which make up a system we will discuss competition under full compatibility when components produced by all firms are compatible with each other and under incompatibility when no components produced by different firms are compatible and no hybrid systems can exist 2 assuming availability of the same

do consumers search for the highest price oligopoly equilibrium and monopoly optimum in differentiated products markets we develop a model of search among substitutes for the best combination of commodity variant and price in which the structure of search costs is manipulable by the suppliers of these variants e g by joining an existing market or opening a new one we analyze the subgame perfect equilibria arising in a multistage game involving specialized firms choice of entry variant and price and we compare them to a multiproduct monopolist s optimal choice we show that equilibrium prices increase in the number of substitutes sold in one market and that in the situation considered here monopoly increases welfare

complementarity coordination and compatibility the role of fixed costs in the economics of systems abstract we analyze industry equilibrium and incentive to compatibility when goods produced by different producers generate utility only when consumed as component parts of a system we assume the presence of two systems each composed of some basic component and a set of differentiated complementary products the combination of complementarity between the two components of the system and of fixed costs in the production of the complementary product results in a form of network effect we focus on the role played by the size of the fixed costs in the production of the complementary products in determining the size of this system effect and by this means the structure and types of equilibria that may be observed monopolistic or duopolistic symmetric or asymmetric we also highlight the consequence of the same fixed costs for the private and social incentives to render the systems compatible

a study of cartel stability the joint executive committee 1880 1886 this article employs weekly time series data on the joint executive committee railroad cartel from 1880 to 1886 to test empirically the proposition that observed prices reflected switches from collusive to noncooperative behavior an equilibrium model of dynamic oligopoly with asymmetric firms together with explicit functional form assumptions about costs and demand determines the estimating equations and stochastic structure of the econometric model the hypothesis that no switch took place so that price and quantity movements were solely attributable to exogenous shifts in the demand and cost functions is then tested against this alternative and rejected

quality coordination and complementary products this article models the choice of price and quality where products are complementary and components can be provided by either one or two monopolists the firms have to choose price and quality simultaneously but can coordinate in the latter dimension we consider two specifications for the quality of the composite good bottleneck and additive set ups in both cases a single monopolist may produce lower quality as compared to dual ownership if the latter is modelled as a single stage quality and price setting game when separate markets for components of the composite good are added to the model we provide an example where dual ownership leading to higher quality also yields higher consumer surplus but not total welfare than a single monopolist

effects of patent protection on optimal corporate income and consumption taxes in an r d based growth model does reducing the corporate income tax accompanied by an increase in the consumption tax to meet the government s budget constraint improve welfare to respond we examine the welfare maximizing corporate income tax and consumption tax rates in an r d based growth model under the constraint that the government s budget is balanced at each point of time further we consider how welfare maximizing tax rates change as patent protection becomes stronger as seen in many countries the results show that as patent protection becomes stronger the corporate income tax rate should be higher and the consumption tax rate should be lower this implies that under stronger patent protection recovering production at the expense of innovation by raising corporate income tax and reducing consumption tax improves welfare

product differentiation in successive vertical oligopolies this is a successive oligopoly model with two varieties of a final product downstream firms choose one variety to sell on a final market upstream firms specialize in the production of one input specifically designed for one variety but they also produce the input for the other variety at an extra cost we show that as more downstream firms choose one particular variety more upstream firms specialize in the input specific to that variety and vice versa multiple equilibria may result and the softening effect of product differentiation on competition might not be strong enough to induce maximal differentiation jel classification l11 l13 l23

competitive price discrimination we model firms as supplying utility directly to consumers the equilibrium outcome of competition in utility space depends on the relationship u between profit and average utility per consumer public policy constraints on the deals firms may offer affect equilibrium outcomes via their effect on u f rom this perspective we examine the profit utility and welfare implications of price discrimination policies in an oligopolistic framework we also show that an equilibrium outcome of competitive nonlinear pricing when consumers have private information about their tastes is for firms to offer efficient two part tariffs

compatibility standardization and network effects some policy implications given the dramatic growth of the internet and information technology industries in general and the importance of interconnection in these networks the economics of compatibility and standardization has become mainstream economics in this paper i examine several key policy aspects of standard setting in industries with network effects copyright 2002 oxford university press

a discrete continuous model for multicategory purchase behavior of households abstract this article provides an integrated utility maximizing framework for households multicategory purchase incidence brand choice and purchase quantity decisions on a store visit households maximize utility across several categories subject to an overall budget constraint then they choose to purchase a subset of categories in which they select a specific brand and an associated quantity level under their assumptions for the stochastic terms in the specification the authors obtain closed form expressions for the household demands the marginal and joint purchase incidence and the brand choice probabilities along with conditional purchase quantities the authors show that the modeling framework accounts for both coincidence and complementarity substitutability across categories in addition it accounts for unobserved heterogeneity in the estimation thus the three key features of multicategory models proposed in the literature are all reflected in the framework the authors provide an empi

how does incompatibility affect prices evidence from atm s if consumers value mix and match combinations of network complements incompatibility between different sellers components should affect prices in atm markets a 1996 governance change exogenously generated such incompatibility by allowing banks to impose surcharges when other banks deposit customers use their atm s in our data incompatibility makes the relationship between deposit account pricing and own atm s more positive and makes the relationship between deposit account pricing and competitors atm s more negative the level effect on prices is positive the pattern of results is more pronounced in high population density markets where customers may care more about atm s

spatial differentiation and vertical mergers in retail markets for gasoline this paper studies an empirical model of spatial competition applied to gasoline markets the main feature is to specify commuting paths as the locations of consumers in a hotelling style model as a result spatial differentiation depends in an intuitive way on the structure of the road network and the direction of traffic flows the model is estimated using panel data on the quebec city gasoline market and used to evaluate the consequences of a recent vertical merger difference in difference and counterfactual simulation methods are compared and the results to a large extent validate the assumptions of the demand model jel g34 l13 l42 l81 q41 r41

on the ineffectiveness of tax policy in altering long run growth harberger s superneutrality conjecture abstract in 1964 harberger conjectured that although theory predicts that changes in tax rates affect investment and growth in the long run in practice tax policy is an ineffective instrument to influence growth this paper provides theoretical and empirical evidence in favor of this view the growth effects of tax policy in the class of endogenous growth models driven by human capital accumulation are examined and numerical simulations of these models confirm the results harberger predicted cross country panel regressions estimated using a new method for measuring effective tax rates produce significant investment effects from taxes that are consistent with negligible growth effects these results are robust to the introduction of other growth determinants

marketing information a competitive analysis selling information that is later used in decision making constitutes an increasingly important business in modern economies jensen jensen fred o 1991 information services congram friedman eds the ama handbook of marketing for the service industries chapter 22 ama com new york 423 443 information is sold under a large variety of forms industry reports consulting services database access and or professional opinions given by medical engineering accounting financial and legal professionals among others this paper is the first attempt in marketing to study competition in the rapidly emerging information sector specifically we are interested in answering the following questions 1 is competition fundamentally different when competing firms sell information rather than traditional goods and services and if yes why 2 what are the implications of such differences for decision makers marketers and regulators 3 can we explain some of the observed marketing strategies in the information industry as such the audience of the paper includes academics as well as professionals who are interested in understanding what is specific about competition in information markets familiarity with the practical implications of such differences and understanding of the mechanisms that drive them is essential for those who are faced with the problem of marketing information to answer the above research questions we build a simple game theoretic model that consists of two firms selling information to a population of consumers who are heterogeneous in their willingness to pay for the quality of information the most important features of the model are the following information products sold by the two firms are modeled as random draws from two normal distributions having equal mean the variances of these distributions and their correlatedness constitute the product attribute space which is assumed to be common knowledge consumers are interested in assessing the mean of the distributions and to do so they can buy the sample from any of the firms or they can buy both samples and combine them to obtain a more accurate estimate quality of information is linked to the accuracy of consumers estimate of the mean which in turn is influenced by the accuracy of each sample as well as by their correlatedness consumers utility depends on the quality of information they purchased on their inherent utility for quality taste and on the total price they paid to acquire information knowing consumer preferences firms simultaneously price their information products the main finding of the paper is that information markets face unique competitive structures in particular the qualitative nature of competition changes depending on basic product characteristics while traditional products and services compete either as substitutes or as complements in the relevant product attribute space information may be one or the other depending on its position within the same product attribute space said differently the nature of competition changes qualitatively with a continuous change in basic product attribute levels the intuition behind this finding is the following when purchasing information consumers facing important decisions may find it beneficial to purchase from several information sellers this is more likely to happen when the reliability of information is low and the sources of information are independent under such conditions information products tend to be complements and as a result competition between sellers is relatively mild in the opposite case when information is reliable and or sellers sources are highly correlated consumers are satisfied after consulting a single source in this case information products are substitutes and sellers tend to undercut one another s prices to induce consumers to choose their brand understanding this discontinuity in competitive structures has important implications for decision makers as very different strategies are optimal under different product characteristics under substitution traditional strategies to avoid competition e g differentiation are recommended when the competing products reliability is generally low they are complements firms are better off accommodating competition in fact we find that a firm may benefit from inviting a competitor finally our findings are also important for regulators of information markets as the literature on complementarity suggests price fixing agreements between firms offering complementary products may benefit firms as well as consumers

intraconnectivity and interconnectivity when value creation may reduce profits this paper analyses firms decisions to provide connectivity to their customers we distinguish between intraconnectivity the ability of one firm s customers to connect to each other and interconnectivity the ability of one firm s customers to connect with another firm s customers the profitability implications of allowing connectivity are not a straightforward consequence of the consumer value of connectivity because connectivity affects not only the customer value but also the intensity of competition by creating or changing network externality we find that if sales are driven by brand switching rather than by category expansion a firm may find it optimal not to provide intraconnectivity even if providing it is not costly and may find it optimal to provide interconnectivity even at a cost exceeding the consumer value of connectivity on the other hand if category expansion is possible providing intraconnectivity may be profitable in this case either the equilibrium intraconnectivity provision may be asymmetric or both firms may find it individually optimal to provide intraconnectivity under certain conditions in the latter case the firms choice of intraconnectivity is a prisoner s dilemma game

do converters facilitate the transition to a new incompatible technology a dynamic analysis of converters abstract this paper analyzes the process of transition in standards between incompatible technologies when converters are available contrary to a common presumption that converters facilitate the transition from an old technology to an otherwise incompatible new technology i find circumstances in which the possibility of transition is blockaded by the existence of converters in the welfare analysis of converters a distinction is made between ex ante and ex post efficiency effects finally i also analyze the equilibrium behavior in the provision of converters and compare it to the socially optimal outcome

a time series test of innovation driven endogenous growth this article finds evidence that ideas and innovation are a key force explaining postwar growth in the u s economy utilizing data on patents issued since 1851 i construct a measure of the growth rate of knowledge capital stock estimates human capital estimates and real gross domestic product per worker growth rates are combined with the knowledge growth series to construct a time series test of endogenous innovation growth models the results support the endogenous innovation approach but suggest that the accumulation of the per worker capital stock and changes in average human capital per worker are at least as important jel 030 c32

modeling consumer demand for variety consumers are often observed to purchase more than one variety of a product on a given shopping trip the simultaneous demand for varieties is observed not only for packaged goods such as yogurt or soft drinks but in many other product categories such as movies music compact disks and apparel multinomial mn choice models cannot be applied to data exhibiting the simultaneous choice of more than one variety the random utility interpretation of either the mn logit or probit model uses a linear utility specification that cannot accommodate interior solutions with more than one variety alternative chosen to analyze data with multiple varieties chosen requires a nonstandard utility specification standard demand models in the economics literature exhibit only interior solutions we propose a demand model based on a translated additive utility structure the model nests the linear utility structure while allowing for the possibility of a mixture of corner and interior solutions where more than one but not all varieties are selected we use a random utility specification in which the unobservable portion of marginal utility follows a log normal distribution the distribution of quantity demanded the basis of the likelihood function is derived from these log normal random utility errors the likelihood function for this class of models with mixtures of corner and interior solutions is a mixed distribution with both a continuous density portion and probability mass points for the corners the probability mass points must be calculated by integrals of the log normal errors over rectangular regions we evaluate these high dimensional integrals using the ghk approximation we employ a bayesian hierarchical model allowing household specific utility parameters our utility specification related to the approach of wales and woodland 1983 who employ a translated quadratic utility function wales and woodland were only able to study at the most three varieties because there was no practical way to evaluate the utility function at that time in addition the quadratic utility specification is not a globally valid utility function making welfare computations and policy experiments questionable hendel 1999 and dube 1999 present an alternative approach in the utility function which is constructed by summing up over unobservable consumption occasions while only one variety is consumed on each occasion the marginal utilities of varieties change over the consumption occasions giving rise to a simultaneous purchase of multiple varieties our bayesian inference approach allows us to obtain individual household estimates of utility parameters household utility estimates are used to compute the value of each variety we compute a compensating value for the removal of each flavor that is we compute the monetary equivalent of the household s loss in utility from removal of a flavor these calculations show that households highly value popular flavors and would incur substantial utility losses from removal of these flavors from the yogurt assortment next we consider the implications of our model for retailer assortment and pricing policies given limited shelf space only a subset of the possible varieties can be displayed for purchase at any one time if consumers value variety then a retailer with lower variety must compensate the consumers in some way such as a lower price level we see this trade off between price and variety across different retailing formats discount or warehouse format retailers often have both lower variety and lower prices to measure this trade off we explore the utility loss from reduction in variety and find the reductions in price that will compensate for this utility loss these price reduction calculations must be based on a valid utility structure heterogeneity in tastes is critical in these utility computations and policy experiments we find that a relatively small fraction of households with extreme preferences dominate the compensating value computations that is some households are observed to purchase mostly or exclusively one variety these households must be heavily compensated for the removal of this variety from the assortment in some retailing contexts customization of the assortment is possible at the customer level we show that such customization virtually eliminates any utility loss from reduction in variety

economic and climate impacts of reducing china s renewable electricity curtailment a comparison between cge models with alternative nesting structures of electricity abstract to mitigate climate change impacts and achieve low carbon transformation china has accelerated the development of renewable energy which is severely challenged by the curtailment of renewable electricity this study uses a dynamic multi sectoral cge model with alternative nesting structures and substitution elasticities for electricity with different power sources to capture the economic and environmental feasibility of reducing renewable electricity curtailment across all economic sectors in china the reduction of renewable electricity curtailment is simulated during 2021 2030 from the curtailment rates of 2015 2017 we found that the reduction of renewable electricity curtailment would lead to a significant expansion in the output of renewable electricity and a moderate decrease in non renewable electricity production among the renewable electricity wind power has the most significant output gain over 9 with solar power and hydropower outputs rising by over 5 and 1 5 respectively however without the cost neutrality assumption the impacts of reducing electricity curtailment would be largely over estimated with cge models simulated by improved technology the disparity between results from the models with alternative nesting constant elasticity of substitution ces functions for electricity sectors is highly dependent on the difference between their substitution elasticities accompanying the changes in electricity generation the reduction of renewable electricity curtailment would bring multiple green co benefits like significantly reducing co2 and air pollutants emitted from electricity sectors and improvements in real gdp and employment

the effectiveness of energy service demand reduction a scenario analysis of global climate change mitigation abstract a reduction of energy service demand is a climate mitigation option but its effectiveness has never been quantified we quantify the effectiveness of energy service demand reduction in the building transport and industry sectors using the asia pacific integrated assessment computable general equilibrium aim cge model for the period 2015 2050 under various scenarios there were two major findings first a 25 energy service demand reduction in the building transport and basic material industry sectors would reduce the gdp loss induced by climate mitigation from 4 0 to 3 0 and from 1 2 to 0 7 in 2050 under the 450 ppm and 550 ppm co 2 equivalent concentration stabilization scenarios respectively second the effectiveness of a reduction in the building sector s energy service demand would be higher than those of the other sectors at the same rate of the energy service demand reduction furthermore we also conducted a sensitivity analysis of different socioeconomic conditions and the climate mitigation target was found to be a key determinant of the effectiveness of energy service demand reduction measures therefore more certain climate mitigation targets would be useful for the decision makers who design energy service demand reduction measures

competition and integration among complements and network market structure this article analyzes the competition and integration among complementary products that can be combined to create composite goods or systems the model generalizes the cournot duopoly complements model to the case in which there are multiple brands of compatible components it analyzes equilibrium prices for a variety of organizational and market structures that differ in their degree of competition and integration the model applies to a variety of product networks including automatic teller machines real estate multiple listing services and airlines crs as well as to nonnetwork markets of compatible components such as computer cpus and peripherals hardware and software and long distance and local telephone services copyright 1992 by blackwell publishing ltd

competitive price discrimination strategies in a vertical channel using aggregate retail data we explore opportunities for targeted pricing for a retailer that only tracks weekly store level aggregate sales and marketing mix information we show that it is possible using these data to recover essential features of the underlying distribution of consumer willingness to pay knowledge of this distribution may enable the retailer to generate additional profits from targeting by using choice information at the checkout counter in estimating demand we incorporate a supply side model of the distribution channel that captures important features of competitive price setting behavior of firms this latter aspect helps us control for the potential endogeneity generated by unmeasured product characteristics in aggregate data the channel controls for competitive aspects both between manufacturers and between manufacturers and a retailer despite this competition we find that targeted pricing need not generate the prisoner s dilemma in our data this contrasts with the findings of theoretical models due to the flexibility of the empirical model of demand the demand system we estimate captures richer forms of product differentiation both vertical and horizontal as well as a more flexible distribution of consumer heterogeneity

mix and match compatibility with vertical product dimensions this article considers a duopoly in which each firm produces two components of a system if the components are compatible consumers may mix and match the firms components the system components and consumer tastes are assumed to differ with regard to vertical characteristics in the model one firm may be the quality leader in one or both characteristics moreover a consumer s taste for the quality of one component may be perfectly correlated with or independent of his taste for the quality of the other component it is shown that in all cases the sum of each producer s component prices is weakly higher if the components are compatible the same is true of producer profits

measuring market power in the ready to eat cereal industry the ready to eat cereal industry is characterized by high concentration high price cost margins large advertising to sales ratios and numerous introductions of new products previous researchers have concluded that the ready to eat cereal industry is a classic example of an industry with nearly collusive pricing behavior and intense nonprice competition this paper empirically examines this conclusion in particular i estimate price cost margins but more importantly i am able empirically to separate these margins into three sources i that which is due to product differentiation ii that which is due to multi product firm pricing and iii that due to potential price collusion the results suggest that given the demand for different brands of cereal the first two effects explain most of the observed price cost margins i conclude that prices in the industry are consistent with noncollusive pricing behavior despite the high price cost margins leading firms are able to maintain a portfolio of differentiated products and influence the perceived product quality it is these two factors that lead to high price cost margins

the division of markets is limited by the extent of liquidity spatial competition with externalities liquidity considerations will limit the number of markets in a competitive economy welfare implications are ambigious since liquidity is a positive externality there may be too little liquidity per market at a noncooperative equilibrium and too many markets compared to the surplus maximizing market structure but liquidity is also self reinforcing given an existing equilibrium new markets may not open because nobody wants to use a new market with low liquidity there may be too few markets to achieve efficiency a nondiscriminating monopolist will operate smaller and more numerous markets compared to optimality as well as to the equilibrium of independent auctioneers copyright 1988 by american economic association

strategic incompatibility in atm markets abstract we test whether firms use incompatibility strategically using data from atm markets high atm fees degrade the value of competitors deposit accounts and can in principle serve as a mechanism for siphoning depositors away from competitors or for creating deposit account differentiation our empirical framework can empirically distinguish surcharging motivated by this strategic concern from surcharging that simply maximizes atm profit considered as a stand alone operation the results are consistent with such behavior by large banks but not by small banks for large banks the effect of incompatibility seems to operate through higher deposit account fees rather than increased deposit account base

symmetric equilibrium existence and optimality in differentiated product markets abstract equilibrium existence and optimality are analysed in a market for products differentiated by their variety a game of three stages is analysed firms enter in the first stage choose varieties in the second stage and choose prices in the third stage the existence of subgame perfect equilibria is established at equilibrium products are symmetrically located in the space of characteristics and are offered at equal prices the surplus maximizing solution is characterized and it is shown that surplus maximizing product diversity is lower than the equilibrium one

integrated product architecture and pricing for managing sequential innovation science and technology advances drive firms to continually enhance their product s performance and launch sequentially improving offerings firms face challenges in marketing such improving products to well informed forward looking consumers who anticipate product improvements and seek to delay their purchase timing product design specifically a modular upgradable architecture in which improving and stable subsystems of a product are separated and selectively upgraded can be a valuable approach for marketers to alleviate consumer concerns about product obsolescence however such an architecture based approach can present new challenges as well and dealing with them requires carefully coordinated cross functional decision making by the firm in this paper we identify and formalize the notion of design inconsistency which refers to the monopolist firm s inability to commit to future product design architectures we find that firms experience design inconsistency even when they are able to commit to future prices and design inconsistency lowers firm profits as well as consumer surplus we then derive a joint product architecture and pricing approach to solve this problem this enables an innovating firm to optimally and in a time consistent manner launch modular upgradable products the modeling and analysis in the paper lends insight into types of markets and products for which modular upgradability is most appropriate and offers guidelines on making pricing and product design decisions jointly for managing sequential innovation this paper was accepted by preyas desai marketing

the growth and welfare effects of deficit financed dividend tax cuts the dividend tax cut enacted in 2003 with the job growth and taxpayer relief reconciliation act jgtrra has generated a heated public debate and prompted a new wave of research in public and corporate finance supporters argue that the act has reduced the corporate cost of capital and thus raised investment growth and employment critics focus on its distributional implications and on the budget deficits that it has generated given the government s failure to reduce public spending as a large scale experiment in fiscal policy the act provides a unique research opportunity for modern growth economics since one of the central ideas perhaps the central idea driving the field is precisely that policy matters the theory of endogenous innovation in particular has produced novel analytical insights that appear well suited to make a significant contribution to a debate spurred by a drastic change in the taxation of corporate source income and heavily loaded on both sides

multi category competition and market power a model of supermarket pricing in many competitive settings consumers buy multiple product categories and some prefer to use a single firm generating complementary cross category price effects to study pricing in supermarkets an organizational form where these effects are internalized we develop a multi category multi seller demand model and estimate it using uk consumer data this class of model is used widely in theoretical analysis of retail pricing we quantify crosscategory pricing effects and find that internalizing them substantially reduces market power we find that consumers inclined to one stop rather than multi stop shopping have a greater pro competitive impact because they generate relatively large cross category effects

consumer myopia standardization and aftermarket monopolization abstract in this paper i show that the standard bertrand competition argument does not apply when firms compete for myopic consumers who optimize period by period i develop the model in the context of aftermarket with overlapping generations of consumers simultaneous product offerings in the primary market and aftermarket establishes a price floor for the primary good this constraint prevents aftermarket rents from being dissipated by the primary market competition duopoly firms earn positive profits despite price competition with undifferentiated products nonetheless government interventions to reinforce aftermarket competition such as a standardization requirement may lead to the partial collapse of the primary market

demand systems and frequency of purchase models understanding the frequencies of purchase and the average purchased quantities is important for marketing strategies such as the loss leader pricing strategy we develop a framework for analysing a

valuing new goods in a model with complementarity online newspapers many important economic questions hinge on the extent to which new goods either crowd out or complement consumption of existing products recent methods for studying new goods rule out complementarity by assumption so their applicability to these questions has been limited i develop a new model that relaxes this restriction and use it to study competition between print and online newspapers using new micro data from washington dc i estimate the relationship between the print and online papers in demand the welfare impact of the online paper s introduction and the expected impact of charging positive online prices

structural analysis of manufacturer pricing in the presence of a strategic retailer consumer goods manufacturers usually sell their brands to consumers through common independent retailers theoretical research on such channel structures has analyzed the optimal behavior of channel members under alternative assumptions of manufacturer retailer interaction vertical strategic interaction research in empirical industrial organization has focused on analyzing the competitive interactions between manufacturers horizontal strategic interaction decision support systems have made various assumptions about retailer pricing rules e g constant markup category profit maximization the appropriateness of such assumptions about strategic behavior for any specific market however is an empirical question this paper therefore empirically infers 1 the vertical strategic interaction vsi between manufacturers and retailer 2 the horizontal strategic interaction hsi between manufacturers simultaneously with the vsi and 3 the pricing rule used by a retailer the approach is particularly appealing because it can be used with widely available scanner data where there is no information on wholesale prices researchers usually have no access to wholesale prices even manufacturers who have access to their own wholesale prices usually have limited information on competitors wholesale prices in the absence of wholesale prices we derive formulae for wholesale prices using game theoretic solution techniques under the specific assumptions of vertical and horizontal strategic interaction and retailer pricing rules we then embed the formulae for wholesale prices into the estimation equations while our empirical illustration is using scanner data without wholesale prices the model itself can be applied when wholesale prices are available early research on the inference of hsi among manufacturers in setting wholesale prices using scanner data e g kadiyali et al 1996 1999 made the simplifying assumption that retailers charge a constant margin this assumption enabled them to infer wholesale prices and analyze competitive interactions between manufacturers in this paper we show that this model is econometrically identical to a model that measures retail price coordination across brands hence the inferred cooperation among manufacturers could be exaggerated by the coordinated pricing category management done by the retailer we find empirical support for this argument this highlights the need to properly model and infer vsi simultaneously to accurately estimate the hsi when using data at the retail level functional forms of demand have been evaluated in terms of the fit of the model to sales data but recent theoretical research on channels lee and staelin 1997 tyagi 1999 has shown that the functional form has serious implications for strategic behavior such as retail passthrough while the logit and linear model implies equilibrium passthrough of less than 100 lee and staelin call this vertical strategic substitute vss the multiplicative model implies optimal passthrough of greater than 100 vertical strategic complement vsc because passthrough rates on promotions have been found to be below or above 100 chevalier and curhan 1976 armstrong 1991 we empirically test the appropriateness of the logit vss and the multiplicative vsc functional form for the data we perform our analysis in the yogurt and peanut butter categories for the two biggest stores in a local market we found that the vss implications of the logit fit the data better than the multiplicative model we also find that for both categories the best fitting model is one in which 1 the retailer maximizes category profits 2 the vsi is manufacturer stackelberg and 3 manufacturer pricing hsi is tacitly collusive the fact that the retailer maximizes category profits is consistent with theoretical expectations the inference that the vsi is manufacturer stackelberg reflects the institutional reality of the timing of the game retailers set their retail prices after manufacturers set their wholesale prices note that in the stores and product categories that we analyze the two manufacturers own the dominant brands with combined market shares of about 82 in the yogurt market and 65 in the peanut butter market the result is also consistent with a balance of power argument in the literature the finding that manufacturer pricing is tacitly collusive is consistent with the argument that firms involved in long term competition in concentrated markets can achieve tacit collusion managers use decision support systems for promotion planning that routinely make assumptions about vsi hsi and the functional form the results from our analysis are of substantive import in judging the appropriateness of assumptions made in such decision support systems

supermarket choice and supermarket competition in market equilibrium multi store firms are common in the retailing industry theory suggests that cross elasticities between stores of the same firm enhance market power to evaluate the importance of this effect in the u k supermarket industry we estimate a model of consumer choice and expenditure using three data sources profit margins for each chain a survey of consumer choices and a data set of store characteristics to permit plausible substitution patterns the utility model interacts consumer and store characteristics we measure market power by calculating the effect of merger and demerger on nash equilibrium prices demerger reduces the prices of the largest firms by between 2 and 3 8 depending on local concentration mergers between the largest firms lead to price increases up to 7 4

estimating multiple discrete choice models an application to computerization returns buyers in many markets face multiple discrete choices they can purchase multiple units as well as multiple brands at the same time this paper presents a multiple discrete choice model for the analysis of differentiated products demand users maximize profits by choosing the number of units of each brand they purchase i estimate the model using micro level data on the demand for personal computers i use the estimated demand structure to assess the welfare gains from computerization and technological innovation in peripherals the estimated return on investment in personal computers is 92 moreover a 10 increase in the performance to price ratio of microprocessors leads to a 2 2 gain in the estimated user surplus the personal computer pc market is of interest to industrial organization economists because of its size the continual technological change and above all because of the farreaching implications of pcs on the economy as a whole several distinct features make pc demand difficult to model pcs are a differentiated durable good in constant technological evolution moreover buyers make multiple discrete choices firms according to our data spread their purchases of pcs over different brands at the same time they buy pcs in blocks several units of each brand that they have chosen the aim of the paper is to present a model that captures these features and to use this model to estimate the welfare gains from computerization classical discrete choice models allow one choice among mutually exclusive alternatives in contrast the proposed framework allows users to demand multiple units and multiple brands the model can be applied to other cases of multiple discrete choices e g the composition of airline fleets car holdings per household the fields of the faculty in economics departments household cereals consumption or any other good consumed in more than one variety during a relevant time period although pervasive multiple discrete choice problems have received little attention because of their complexity a central issue regarding the pc market is the current controversy in the economics literature about the computerization puzzle this puzzle stems from the empirical finding that computerization has had no effect on firm productivity griliches and siegel 1991 and morrison and berndt 1990 contrary to those results hendel 1994 and lichtenberg 1995 using more disaggregate data than most previous studies report excess returns to computerization this indicates that data aggregation may have created the computerization puzzle in this paper i present a model consistent with the basic

durable products time inconsistency and lock in many durable products cannot be used without a contingent consumable product e g printers require ink ipods require songs razors require blades etc for such products manufacturers may be able to lock in consumers by making their products incompatible with consumables that are produced by other firms we examine the effectiveness of such a strategy in the presence of strategic consumers who anticipate the future prices of both the durable product and the contingent consumable under a lock in strategy the manufacturer has pricing power over the contingent consumable which she can use to extract additional rents from higher valuation consumers but such pricing power may also reduce consumers willingness to pay for the durable because it subjects them to being held up with higher consumables prices in the future restricting our attention to linear pricing policies we find that if the manufacturer can commit to shutting down production of her durable after an initial one time sale then competition from another consumable of an appropriately degraded level of quality can benefit the manufacturer by mitigating consumers fears of being held up on the other hand when the manufacturer cannot commit to shutting down production of her durable then her own output of additional durables gives her an incentive to keep consumables prices low and competition in the consumables market is less beneficial this paper was accepted by pradeep chintagunta and preyas desai special issue editors this paper was accepted by pradeep chintagunta and preyas desai special issue editors

gains from emission trading under multiple stabilization targets and technological constraints abstract this study quantified the effectiveness of emission trading by considering multiple technological constraints burden sharing schemes and climate stabilization targets we used a global computable general equilibrium model and evaluated the effectiveness of emission trading using welfare losses associated with climate mitigation for scenarios with and without emission trading as measured by the hicksian equivalent variation hev we found that emission trading contributed to a reduction in the economic losses associated with climate mitigation for all technological assumptions burden sharing schemes and stabilization targets the net global welfare losses in scenarios without emission trading ranged between 0 7 and 1 9 whereas emission trading reduced the losses by 0 1 to 0 5 the range depended on the assumptions in the burden sharing schemes technological constraints and stabilization targets the percentage change in welfare gain from emission trading varied regionally and was relatively high in low income or middle income countries 0 2 to 1 0 and 0 1 to 1 2 respectively compared to high income countries 0 1 to 0 3 some regions displayed negative values with regard to the effectiveness of emission trading which might be due to the change in goods and service trades associated with emission trading if the usage of carbon capture and storage was constrained welfare loss became large and the effectiveness of emission trading ultimately increased the use of a burden sharing scheme was a significant factor in changing the effectiveness of emission trading and the per capita emission convergence in 2050 was more effective for emission trading than a per income convergence

how to promote the growth of new energy industry at different stages abstract china is currently the world s largest emitter of carbon dioxide co2 vigorously developing new energy sources has become an important way to reduce co2 emissions therefore more and more scholars have studied effective ways to promote the development of new energy industry however most of the existing research use single equation linear models or static models to study the driving forces of the new energy industry this not only ignores the large number of dynamic relationships between economic variables but also produces endogeneity problems in order to overcome the shortcomings of existing research this paper uses vector autoregressive model to study the new energy industry the results show that energy consumption structure has a positive effect on the new energy industry in the short run but the effect is limited in the long run the impact of the agriculture industry is gradually narrowing over time due to the gradual reduction of crop acreage however the influence of economic growth is positive both in the short and long run this is due to the gradual optimization of industrial structure technological progress produces a similar impact owing to continued investment in research and development funding as well as research and development personnel

investigating consumers purchase incidence and brand choice decisions across multiple product categories a theoretical and empirical analysis we propose a framework to investigate consumers brand choice and purchase incidence decisions across multiple categories where both decisions are modeled as an outcome of a consumer s basket utility maximization we build the model from first principles by theoretically explicating a general model of basket utility maximization and then examining the reasonable restrictions that can be placed to make the solution tractable without sacrificing its flexibility comparing with prior models we show why prior multicategory purchase incidence models overemphasize the role of the cross effects of a market mix of brands in other categories on the purchase incidence decision of a given category additionally we show that prior single category models are a special case of the proposed model when further restrictions are placed on the basket utility structure we estimate the model on household basket data for the laundry family of categories we show i why prior single category and multicategory models would systematically bias the estimates of the own and cross price promotional purchase incidence elasticities and ii how the market mix of each brand in each category affects the purchases across all categories which can help retailers make promotional decisions across a portfolio of products

fragmented duopoly a conceptual and empirical investigation where wireline distribution networks compete each network typically has some customers over which it competes and others for which it is the sole provider this paper conceptually and empirically assesses the effects of such competition on market prices demand and service quality for cable television service the results suggest that the effectiveness of competition in lowering prices is contingent on the degree of system overlap in particular in equilibrium an increase in overlap substantially reduces prices the conceptual model of fragmented duopoly developed in the paper may be useful in analyzing emerging competition in other network distribution industries

competing compatibility standards and network externalities in the pc software market this paper is an empirical study of the value of four file compatibility standards for transferring data in the personal computer software market the results are that only the lotus file compatibility standard is significant in explaining price variations and it is significant in both the spreadsheet and database management system markets this supports the hypothesis that the personal computer software market exhibits complementary network externalities copyright 1995 by mit press

vancouver s gasoline price wars an empirical exercise in uncovering supergame strategies this paper uses a unique data set to determine which dynamic model of tacit collusion best describes behaviour in a particular industry the area investigated is a region of the vancouver british columbia retail gasoline market players are service station managers who compete daily firms choose price in each period using strategies that depend on prices chosen in the previous period periodically unanticipated demand shocks precipitate price wars when shocks occur the firms in the market must determine the new demand conditions and adjust their strategies from an econometric point of view slopes of intertemporal reaction functions are latent variables the resulting system of equations with time varying parameters is estimated via the kalman filter different repeated game oligopoly models correspond to different transition matrices for the latent variables the models can thus be assessed in terms of their power to explain firm behaviour in this market

modeling the evolution of markets with indirect network externalities an application to digital television the usefulness of a technology product for an end user often depends on the availability of complementary software products and services computers require software cameras require film and dvd players require movie programming in order for customers to value the whole product this phenomenon where the demand for hardware products is mediated by the supply of complementary software products is called an indirect network externality indirect network externalities create a two way contingency between the demand for the hardware product and the supply of software products and result in a strategic interdependence between the actions of hardware manufacturers and the actions of software providers indirect network externalities are gaining economic significance in technology markets because hardware and software are typically provided by independent firms and both sets of firms have an incentive to free ride on each others demand creation efforts despite the ubiquity of this phenomenon it has largely been ignored in the marketing science literature we present a conceptual and operational model for the evolution of markets with indirect network externalities the key feature of our framework is to model the market mediated dependence between the actions of hardware manufacturers and software complementors created by the direct dependence of consumer demand for the whole product on the actions of manufacturers as well as complementors in addition we incorporate marketing mix effects on consumer response aswell as heterogeneity in consumer preferences for hardware and software attributes we model consumer response usinga latent class choice model to estimate the complementor response functions we use a modified delphi technique that allows us to convert qualitative response data into quantitative response functions we integrate the consumer and complementor response models to create a simulation modelthat generates forecasts of market shares and sales volumes for competing technologies as a function of marketing mix effects and exogenously specified regulatory scenarios the modeling framework is of interest to new product modelers interested in creating empirical models and decision support systems for forecasting demand in technology markets characterized by indirect network externalities the decision support aspects of the modeling framework should appeal to managers interested in understanding and quantifying the complex interplay between hardware manufacturers and software complementors in the evolution of markets with indirect network externalities we present an application of the modeling framework to the u s digital television industry and use the framework to characterize the competition among analog and digital tv technologies our results suggest that complementor actions play an important role in the acceptance of digital tv technologies in general and high definition television hdtv in particular we find that forecasts that ignore the influence of indirect network externalities would be seriously biased in favor of hdtv we illustrate how the modeling framework can be used to identify and profile customer segments in the digital tv market based on their utility for hardware related features as well as programming related features we also illustrate the decision support capabilities of the modeling framework by evaluating the sensitivity of the forecasts to varying marketing regulatory and complementor response scenarios we derive implications for marketing and public affairs policies of the hardware manufacturers the developments in the digital tv industry generally support our finding that hdtv will be a niche product and will diffuse slower than originally expected due in part to the lack of programming the delays in the introduction of digital tv to the marketplace also suggest that most forecasts for infrastructure intensive technologies like digital tv may be too optimistic simply because they underestimate the delays in agreeing upon technology standards and resolving regulatory debates

open architecture and r d incentives in open systems firms give up their property rights to technologies and permit other companies to use these technologies we ask how an incumbent s architecture choice affects social welfare by altering r d competition among firms more specifically we ask whether an incumbent by adopting an open system can establish its socially inefficient technology as the market standard while an entrant is developing a more efficient technology it is shown that an incumbent has an incentive to preempt an entrant s competing technology by choosing an open system but that the open system might result in a premature market standard

spatial price competition a semiparametric approach we investigate the nature of price competition among firms that produce differentiated products and compete in markets that are limited in extent we propose an instrumental variables series estimator for the matrix of cross price response coefficients demonstrate that our estimator is consistent and derive its asymptotic distribution our semiparametric approach allows us to discriminate among models of global competition in which all products compete with all others and local competition in which products compete only with their neighbors we apply our semiparametric estimator to data from u s wholesale gasoline markets and find that in this market competition is highly localized

vertical relationships between manufacturers and retailers inference with limited data in this paper different models of vertical relationships between manufacturers and retailers in the supermarket industry are compared demand estimates are used to compute price cost margins for retailers and manufacturers under different supply models when wholesale prices are not observed the purpose is to identify the set of margins compatible with the margins obtained from estimates of cost and to select the model most consistent with the data among non nested competing models the models considered are 1 a simple linear pricing model 2 a vertically integrated model and 3 a variety of alternative strategic supply scenarios that allow for collusion non linear pricing and strategic behaviour with respect to private label products using data on yogurt sold in several stores in a large urban area of the u s the results imply that wholesale prices are close to marginal cost and that retailers have pricing power in the vertical chain this is consistent with non linear pricing by the manufacturers or high bargaining power of the retailers

why firms may prefer not to price discriminate via mixed bundling abstract we analyze a simple model of joint purchase discounts using a discrete choice framework to characterize consumer choices the model suggests that mixed bundling is more likely to be associated with monopoly this is due to the benefits reaped via price discrimination in a duopoly environment however only pure components pricing may be offered in equilibrium since firms fear the extra degree of competition inherent in mixed bundling

uniform pricing in us retail chains we show that most u s food drugstore and mass merchandise chains charge nearly uniform prices across stores despite wide variation in consumer demographics and competition demand estimates reveal substantial within chain variation in price elasticities and suggest that the median chain sacrifices 16 million of annual profit relative to a benchmark of optimal prices in contrast differences in average prices between chains are broadly consistent with the optimal benchmark we discuss a range of explanations for nearly uniform pricing highlighting managerial inertia and brand image concerns as mechanisms frequently mentioned by industry participants relative to our optimal benchmark uniform pricing may significantly increase the prices paid by poorer households relative to the rich dampen the response of prices to local economic shocks alter the analysis of mergers in antitrust and shift the incidence of intranational trade costs

patents r d subsidies and endogenous market structure in a schumpeterian economy this study explores the different implications of patent breadth and r d subsidies on economic growth and endogenous market structure in a schumpeterian growth model we find that when the number of firms is fixed in the short run patent breadth and r d subsidies serve to increase economic growth as in previous studies however when market structure adjusts endogenously in the long run r d subsidies increase economic growth but decrease the number of firms whereas patent breadth expands the number of firms but reduces economic growth therefore in accordance with empirical evidence r d subsidy is perhaps a more suitable policy instrument than patent breadth for the purpose of stimulating long run economic growth

networks and compatibility implications for antitrust in this paper we draw crucial parallels between the concepts of compatibility and networks and the more traditional concepts of complementarity and vertical relationships we also develop the important distinctions between two way networks and one way networks we then apply our framework to a number of current antitrust issues

robust endogenous growth abstract this paper studies a generalization of the schumpeterian models with endogenous market structure that allows the overall production structure to be more than linear in the growth driving factor and yet generates endogenous growth defined as steady state constant exponential growth of income per capita this version of modern growth theory therefore is robust in the sense that its key result obtains for a thick set of parameter values instead of as often claimed for a set of measure zero the paper moreover pays close attention to transitional dynamics showing not only the existence but also the global stability of the endogenous growth steady state

the causes and consequences of wal mart s growth wal mart is the largest company in the world yet little is known about its economic impact this essay discusses what is known about wal mart s competitive advantage and its economic impact on local communities as well as the national and global economy and highlights the open questions to be addressed by future research

corporate taxes growth and welfare in a schumpeterian economy abstract i take a new look at the long run implications of taxation through the lens of modern schumpeterian growth theory i focus on the latest vintage of models that sterilize the scale effect through a process of product proliferation that fragments the aggregate market into submarkets whose size does not increase with the size of the workforce i show that the following interventions raise welfare a granting full expensibility of rd b eliminating the corporate income tax and or the capital gains tax c reducing taxes on labor and or consumption what makes these results remarkable is that in all three cases the endogenous increase in the tax on dividends necessary to balance the budget has a positive effect on growth a general implication of my analysis is that corporate taxation plays a special role in schumpeterian economies and provides novel insights on how to design welfare enhancing tax reforms

supermarket competition the case of every day low pricing every day low pricing edlp strategy has proved to be a successful innovation resulting in higher profits to supermarkets adopting it in competition with promotional pricing promo conventional wisdom attributes this success either to lower costs or to edlp better serving time constrained consumers while discouraging cherry pickers who seek promotions however it is unclear that such cost savings are being fully realized since edlp stores also engage in price promotions also continued existence of promo stores means that costs are not the only factor and they compete effectively without relying just on the cherry pickers furthermore experimental evidence suggests that a supermarket cannot obtain higher profits by merely setting constant low prices leading to the question exactly what makes edlp successful this question is of particular relevance to both academics and practitioners who have been intrigued by the success of this retailing strategy more generally the retailing issues addressed in this paper the economic analysis of competition and the empirical findings should be of interest to the broader community of researchers and managers we investigate the factors contributing to edlp s success by analyzing the competition between supermarkets through a game theoretic analysis of a market consisting of both time constrained consumers and cherry pickers key features of our model are consumers shop and purchase a basket of goods based on price announcements by stores and rational expectations of unannounced prices stores carry more than one good and compete through prices service convenience and appropriate communication strategies and no exogenous cost asymmetries we derive the conditions under which retailers choosing different strategies edlp and promo is a perfect nash equilibrium our analysis shows that the edlp store s offering of constant every day low prices is an equilibrium outcome endogenously determined successful implementation of the edlp strategy involves communication of relative basket prices implying that merely setting constant low prices is not viable we further demonstrate that while time constrained consumers find every day low prices at edlp attractive and cherry pickers the promotions at promo clientele effects are in fact more complicated specifically in equilibrium the promo store offers a higher service level as desired by time constrained consumers and the edlp store a lower service level in keeping with the needs of cherry pickers this choice of service by the two stores results in a cleaner segmentation of the market the higher relative basket price and service at the promo store results in a larger base of time constrained consumers to shop at the promo store and a larger base of cherry pickers to shop at the edlp store even though some cherry pickers continue to visit the promo store to avail of the price specials in this way our results contradict the conventional wisdom on edlp strategy as being mainly geared towards time constrained consumers finally industry profits are higher in an edlp promo equilibrium than when stores adopt identical strategies our analysis and results also offer a more complete characterization of the edlp and promo strategies indeed we show that edlp and promo strategies are positioning strategies rather than merely pricing strategies with different elements price promotions service and communications while the edlp store uses basket prices to attract both segments the promo store uses service and price specials to compete in the time constrained and cherry picking segment respectively given these different approaches of the two stores the communication strategies of the edlp and the promo stores emphasize these differences as well in this way we show as suggested by corstjens and corstjens 1994 that positioning in a retail context involves developing multidimensional strategies appealing to all segments while each element of the strategy may focus on a different consumer segment this is in contrast to the traditional view of segmentation in which different products in a product line for example are designed to appeal to different segments we complete the analysis by examining the data from the trade press and a survey conducted in a major metropolitan area these data while limited in scope support our theoretical results

systems competition and network effects this paper discusses firm behavior market performance and the public and private institutions that arise in systems markets i e markets where consumers use compatible components together to generate benefits in such markets which include communications networks and hardware software networks popular products are inherently more valuable these network effects can drive corporate strategies and are critical in understanding innovation in many high technology markets the discussion here emphasizes the dynamics of consumer adoption decisions in the presence of network effects competition between incompatible systems and how suppliers choose which components are compatible and which are not

what do we learn about consumer demand patterns from micro data the aim of this paper is to assess the importance of using micro level data in the econometric analysis of consumer demand to do this we utilize a time series of repeated cross sections covering some 4 000 households in each of 15 years employing a number of different aggregation procedures we conclude that aggregate data alone are unlikely to produce reliable estimates of structural price and income coefficients however once certain aggregation factors as well as trend and seasonal components are included an aggregate model is not necessarily outperformed across all demand equations in terms of forecasting ability jel d12 c52 c31 the purpose of this paper is to develop a complete consumer demand system based on a time series of individual household data and to use it to measure the biases introduced into the study of consumer de mand behavior when aggregate data are used in place of the appropriate microeco nomic data we assess the suitability of ag gregate data through the impact on income and price elasticities and by evaluating the ability of both micro and aggregate based models to forecast aggregate consumer de mand the biases introduced by the use of aggregate data depend upon the way that household characteristics interact with in come and price effects and on departures of demand systems from linearity we explore the structure of microeconomic demand sys tems and the role of household characteris tics in the behavior of consumer demand both for the light this may shed on the pattern of future demands and for the im plications this behavior has for issues of aggregation consumer demand patterns typically found in micro data sets vary considerably across households with different household characteristics and with different levels of income we model this variability by making intercept and slope parameters in the budget share equations of our demand sys tem depend on household characteristics and by allowing for nonlinear total log expenditure terms in fact in theory consistent demand systems it is total ex penditure rather than disposable income that is allocated across goods we find that this general framework leads to a well specified data coherent demand system which is a quadratic extension of the popu lar almost ideal model of angus s deaton and john muellbauer 1980 the micro level estimates are shown to be sensitive to the treatment of endogeneity of total expen diture and to the specification of interaction terms with household characteristics in ad dition this specification is also shown to possess many attractive features for the evaluation of aggregate models

the impacts on climate mitigation costs of considering curtailment and storage of variable renewable energy in a general equilibrium model abstract the curtailment and storage associated with the fluctuation of electricity supplied by variable renewable energy vre may limit its penetration into electricity systems therefore these factors need to be explicitly treated in the integrated assessment models iams this study improves the representation of curtailment and storage of vre in a computable general equilibrium cge model with the data generated from an hourly power sector model curtailment and storage of vre electricity are treated as a function of the shares of solar and wind in the electricity mix this relationship is incorporated into a cge model and we also updated the vre costs and resource potential the results show that with such improvement by 2100 in a 450 ppm atmospheric co 2 equivalent concentration henceforth ppm scenario some electricity generated from vre is either curtailed 2 1 or needs to be stored 2 9 in contrast if vre fluctuation is not considered the long term global economic cost of carbon mitigation is significantly underestimated by 52 in the same scenario conversely updating the vre costs and resource potential leads to a decrease in mitigation costs our simulation implies that the fluctuation of vre cannot be ignored and needs to be incorporated into cge models moreover in addition to storage with batteries many other options are available to reduce curtailment of vre the top down type cge model has limitations to fully incorporate all aspects due to its limited spatial temporal and technological resolution