china as a final market the gabon timber and thai cassava value chains rapid economic growth in china has boosted its demand for commodities in many commodities sectors this has been associated with declining demand from high income northern economies this paper examines two hypotheses of the resulting outcomes for the organization of global value chains in general and for the role played by low income producers in particular the importance of standards in global value chains and the space available for low income producers to upgrade into higher value niches in their chains the detailed case studies of the thai cassava industry and the gabon timber sector both confirm these hypotheses

structural change and the bop constraint why did latin america fail to converge this paper discusses why latin america failed to achieve sustainable convergence with the developed world since 1960 and analyses different phases of convergence and divergence using a structuralist keynesian approach first it is argued that there are critical differences between latin america the developed economies and the asian economies as regards the evolution of the income elasticity of the demand for imports the rate of growth of exports and the balance of payments constrained rate of growth the income elasticity of the demand for imports in latin america showed an upward trend particularly after the mid 1970s which was not matched by a similar increase in exports a pattern in sharp contrast with that of the east asian countries the evolution of and exports are used to set forth a typology of latin american economic growth since 1960 in addition the paper relates elasticities and the less favourable latin american performance to the intensity and direction of structural change using a broad sample of developed and developing economies it is shown that the developing countries that succeed in reducing the income gap are those that transformed their economic structures in favour of sectors with higher schumpeterian and keynesian efficiency copyright the author 2009 published by oxford university press on behalf of the cambridge political economy society all rights reserved oxford university press

the dispersion of employees wage increases and firm performance previous studies examining intra firm wage dispersion and firm performance have focused on wage levels the authors of this study argue that for purposes of comparing wage dispersion s positive inc

new silicon valleys or a new species commoditization of knowledge work and the rise of knowledge services clusters this paper explores knowledge services clusters kscs as a distinct and increasingly important form of geographic cluster in particular in developing countries kscs are defined as geographic concentrations of lower cost skills serving global demand for increasingly commoditized knowledge services based on prior research on clusters and services offshoring and data from the offshoring research network orn major properties and contingencies of ksc growth are discussed and compared with both high tech clusters and low cost manufacturing clusters special emphasis is put on the ambivalent effect of commoditization of knowledge work on ksc growth it is proposed that kscs attract most client projects if service commoditization is medium whereas higher or lower commoditization either increases global competitive pressure or lowers demand and economies of scale and scope ksc attractiveness is further related to the perceived availability of skills at relatively low costs and cluster connectedness with client economies through corporate networks and professional communities findings not only advance current debates on clusters global services sourcing and the geography of knowledge production but also have important policy implications

openness and wage inequality in developing countries the latin american challenge to east asian conventional wisdom the experience of east asia in the 1960s and 1970s supports the theory that greater openness to trade tends to narrow the wage gap between skilled and unskilled workers in developing countries in latin america since the mid 1980s however increased openness has widened wage differentials this conflict of evidence is probably not the result of differences between east asia and latin america instead the conflict is probably the result of differences between the 1960s and the 1980s specifically the entry of china into the world market and perhaps the advent of new technology biased against unskilled workers

gift giving and worker productivity evidence from a firm level experiment abstract we present results from a field experiment designed to measure worker response to a monetary gift from their employer the experiment took place inside a tree planting firm paying its workforce incentive contracts firm managers told a crew of tree planters they would receive a pay raise for one day as a result of a surplus not attributable to past planting productivity we compare planter productivity the number of trees planted per day on the day the gift was handed out with productivity on previous and subsequent days of planting on the same block and thus under similar planting conditions we find direct evidence that the gift had a significant and positive effect on daily planter productivity controlling for planter fixed effects weather conditions and other random daily shocks

determinants of patent rights a cross national study abstract this paper presents an index of patent rights for 110 countries for the period 1960 1990 the index is used to examine what factors or characteristics of economies determine how strongly patent rights will be protected the evidence does indicate that more developed economies tend to provide stronger protection but the underlying factors which influence patent protection levels are the country s level of research and development r d activity market environment and international integration which are correlated with its level of development the results qualify however that r d activity influences patent protection levels after a nation s research sector reaches a critical size an implication of this is that to raise patent protection levels in weakly protecting countries it is important to foster a significant research base in those countries and thereby create incentives for protecting patent rights

allocation under dictatorship research in stalin s archives we survey recent research on the soviet economy in the state party and military archives of the stalin era the archives have provided rich new evidence on the economic arrangements of a command system under a powerful dictator including stalin s role in the making of the economic system and economic policy stalin s accumulation objectives and the constraints that limited his power to achieve them the limits to administrative allocation the information flows and incentives that governed the behavior of economic managers the scope and significance of corruption and market oriented behavior and the prospects for economic reform

does stronger patent protection increase export variety evidence from us product level data proponents of global intellectual property rights iprs reforms have argued that developing countries weak iprs limit their access to foreign innovative products and technologies central to our understanding of the effects of iprs on product access is the influence of national differences in patent protection on corporate behavior and business strategy of multinational firms using detailed product data on us exports from 1990 to 2000 this research note assesses the impact of strengthening iprs in developing countries on product variety of us exports colonial origin and cross industry variation in patent effectiveness serve to identify the impact the results show that the strengthening of iprs increased exports of new products in patent sensitive industries the expansion in product variety accounted for the entire increase in us exports the findings substantiate claims that ratification of trips by developing countries promotes access to new foreign products and technologies additionally the results demonstrate that patent protection is a significant institutional factor in us firms business decisions over the introduction of new products and processes into a developing country marketplace

the growing economic presence of china in the caribbean china s economic presence in the caribbean has grown significantly in the last decade the growing economic presence of china in the caribbean is evident in china s exports and development assistance to the region caribbean exports to china have not significantly increased in fact they declined during the period 2006 09 this is in contrast to the growth of exports from latin america and the rest of the world and represents a missed opportunity for caribbean exporters the potential for further growth in economic relations between china and the caribbean lies in trade including services foreign investment and tourism the pattern of trade investment and development assistance in the caribbean is very different from that in latin america and therefore it is misleading to conflate the two regions and draw an inference of similarity beyond very broad trends as is the case of the literature on the economic presence of china in latin america the contrast is vividly evident in the fact that china is now the largest trade partner of some latin american countries but remains a small fraction of the caribbean s trade

diverse twins analysing china s impact on italian and german exports using a multilevel quantile regressions approach abstractgermany and italy are the largest manufacturing producers in europe and export over 70 of their products to oecd countries while they share many characteristics they are also diverse in term of specialization and destination markets italy has a productive structure largely based on labour intensive sectors while germany is mainly specialized in high tech goods we study whether these characteristics make the two countries vulnerable in different ways to the competitive pressure by emerging economies especially china which experienced the strongest increase in export market share during the last decades we discuss the impact of china on the export performance of italy and germany on oecd markets using data for the period 1995 2009 we implement a novel model to account for two important data characteristics their hierarchical hidden structure captured by a multilevel model and the heterogeneity of the export shares captured by a quantile approach results show that chinese competition

the impact of china on latin america and the caribbean summary the rapid growth of china and its increased integration with the global economy is having both direct and indirect effects on the latin american and caribbean region the paper focuses on the impacts of china on latin american trade and foreign direct investment flows it identifies the main channels through which china s growth is affecting the region and undertakes a preliminary analysis of the impacts on development it is shown that there are winners and losers in the region both at the country and sector level

incomplete contracts and the boundaries of the multinational firm a b s t r a c t using data on u s intra firm and arm s length imports for 5705 products imported from 220 countries we examine the determinants of the share of u s imports that are intra firm we examine two predictions that arise from antras 2003 antras and helpman 2008 and antras and helpman 2004 first we find that consistent with the implicit logic of antras 2003 and the explicit predictions of antras and helpman 2008 vertical inte gration is increasing in the importance of non contractible headquarter inputs relative to non contractible supplier inputs in other words we show that only non contractible head quarter inputs affect the firm s make or buy decision second we also provide empirical support for the antras and helpman 2004 prediction that intra firm trade is largest where non contractible headquarter inputs are important and productivity is high

trade law and product complexity abstract how does the quality of national institutions that enforce the rule of law influence international trade anderson and marcouiller argue that bad institutions located in the importer s country deter international trade because they enable economic predators to steal and extort rents at the importer s border we complement this research and show how good institutions located in the exporter s country enhance international trade in particular trade in complex products whose characteristics are difficult to fully specify in a contract we argue that both exporter and importer institutions affect international as well as domestic transaction costs in complex and simple product markets international transaction costs are a part of the costs of trade domestic transaction costs affect complex and simple products differently thereby changing a country s comparative advantage in producing such goods we find ample empirical evidence for these predictions countries that have good institutions tend to

international patent protection 1960 2005 abstract this note provides an update to the index of patent protection published in this journal in 1997 the original paper presented the index for 1960 1990 for 110 countries the index has now been updated to 2005 and extended to 122 countries the adoption of stronger patent laws and the composition of patent rights vary across countries by level of economic development

is work special justice and the distribution of employment i investigate from an egalitarian welfarist standpoint the issue of whether state guaranteed employment should be offered as a matter of right to able bodied poor citizens who suffer chronic or persistent unemployment an affirmative answer is defended one consideration supporting this right to work is that provision of transfer aid in the form of jobs rather than cash screens nonneedy bohemians from the class of beneficiaries the main conclusion of the essay is defended from one objection based on efficiency wage models of the labor market and from another based on the alleged impossibility of maintaining the self respect and self esteem of able bodied individuals who fail to earn their own keep independently in a market economy

a contribution to a multidimensional analysis of trade competition international trade grew substantially throughout the last decades and international relations became more important for the economic performance of the countries simultaneously new poles emerged in the international arena leading to growing competition for higher market shares therefore trade competition is a critical dimension of analysis for applied international trade studies we propose a conceptual framework for measuring this phenomenon by combining some critical previous contributions to build a multidimensional and more comprehensive concept which defines trade competition as a function of the degree of both structural similarity and total exports overlap moreover structural similarity should take into account three elements sectoral shares similarity inter sectoral similarity evaluating how different the distinct sectors are and intra sectoral similarity proximity in terms of quality ranges exported several measures are proposed to empirically capture the concept suggested finally we present an example including the exports of the three largest european economies to 122 destination markets in order to illustrate the application of the concept and the measures suggested this abstract was borrowed from another version of this item

a theory of dual labor markets with application to industrial policy discrimination and keynesian unemployment this paper develops a model of dual labor markets based on employers need to motivate workers in order to elicit effort from their workers employers may find it optimal to pay more than the going wage this changes fundamentally the character of labor markets the model is applied to a wide range of labor market phenomena it provides a coherent framework for understanding the claims of industrial policy advocates it also can provide the basis for a theory of occupational segregation and discrimination that will not be eroded by market forces finally the model provides the basis for a theory of involuntary unemployment

workers trust funds and the logic of wage profiles this paper defines a concept a worker s trust fund which is useful in analyzing optimal age earnings profiles the trust fund represents what a worker loses if dismissed from a job for shirking in considering whether to work or shirk a worker weighs the potential loss due to forfeiture of the trust fund if caught shirking against the benefits from reduced effort this concept is used to show that the implicit bonding in upward sloping age earnings profiles is not a perfect substitute for an explicit up front performance bond or employment fee it is also shown that the second best optimal earnings profile in the absence of an up front employment fee pays total compensation in excess of market clearing in a variety of stylized cases

interindustry wage differentials and the gender wage gap using data from the march 1988 current population survey the authors find that the wages of female workers differ significantly by industry even when the analysis controls for workers productivity related characteristics although these interindustry wage differentials are at least as large as men s and are highly correlated with them as well there are statistically significant differences between the two of the overall gender wage gap the average female worker earns about 65 as much as the average male worker 12 22 can be explained by differences between the patterns of interindustry wage differentials of men and women and 15 19 by differences in the distribution of male and female workers across industries thus the combined industry effects explain about one third of the overall gender wage gap

a test of dual labor market theory despite substantial differences in their views of the appropriate policy response to the existence of poverty neither the proponents of dual market theory nor its critics have proposed potentially conclusive tests of the dual market hypothesis this paper presents a test of the two central propositions of dual market theory 1 the existence of two distinct labor markets with different wage setting mechanisms and 2 the existence of barriers to mobility between the labor markets we find considerable support for both hypothesis estimation of a switching model of wage determination with unknown regimes yields two distinct wage equations the one which most workers are associated with closely resembles the standard human capital regression with significant returns to education and experience the other equation is flat with no returns to human capital these two equations resemble the predictions of dual market theory for the primary and secondary markets respectively further we present evidence that at least some non white workers are involuntarily confined to the secondary market this crowding of minority workers into the low wage labor market accounts for a substantial portion of white non white wage differences we interpret these results as providing empirical support for the dual market hypothesis and for recent theoretical work on efficiency wagemodels in addition combining the efficiency wage argument with the observation that much of the white non white wage difference is explained by the exclusion of non whites from the primary sector suggests an explanation for the persistance of wage differences this abstract was borrowed from another version of this item

globalization outsourcing and wage inequality there is considerable debate over whether international trade has contributed to the declining economic fortunes of less skilled workers one issue that has become lost in the current discussion is how firms respond to import competition and how these responses in turn are transmitted to the labor market in previous work we have argued that outsourcing by which we mean the import of intermediate inputs by domestic firms has contributed to an increase in the relative demand for skilled labor in the united states if firms respond to import competition from low wage countries by moving non skill intensive activities abroad then trade will shift employment towards skilled workers within industries in this paper we extend our previous work by combining new import data from the revised nber trade database with disaggregated data on input purchases from the census of manufactures we construct industry by industry estimates of outsourcing for the period 1972 1990 and reexamine whether outsourcing has contributed to an increase in relative demand for skilled labor our main finding is that outsourcing can account for 31 51 of the increase in the relative demand for skilled labor that occurred in u s manufacturing industries during the 1980s compared to our previous estimate of 15 33 this abstract was borrowed from another version of this item

do stronger patent rights raise high tech exports to the developing world abstract despite over 20 years of debate the trips agreement remains very contentious this paper evaluates the impact of strengthening patent rights prs in developing countries on developed countries exports over the 1962 2000 period colonial origin is used to isolate exogenous variation in prs the impact is then identified by examining the cross industry difference in sensitivity to prs i find that the increase in prs made in response to the trips agreement added about 35 billion 2000 us dollars to the value of developed countries patent sensitive exports into 18 developing countries this amount is equivalent to an 8 6 increase in these developing countries annual value of patent sensitive imports the increase in the value of exports was driven by a quantity rather than a price increase

how many us jobs might be offshorable using detailed information on the nature of work done in over 800 us bureau of labor statistics occupational codes this paper ranks those occupations according to how easy hard it is to offshore the work either physically or electronically using this ranking it is estimated that somewhere between 22 and 29 of all us jobs are or will be potentially offshorable within a decade or two no estimate is made of how many jobs will actually be offshored since the rankings are subjective two alternatives are presented one is entirely objective the other is an independent subjective ranking in general they corroborate the rankings albeit not perfectly it is found that there is little or no correlation between an occupation s offshorability and the skill level of its workers as measured either by educational attainment or wages however it appears that controlling for education the most highly offshorable occupations were already paying significantly lower wages in 2004

the effects of china s growth on the food prices and the food exports of other developing countries this article explores the impacts of china s growth in the international markets of agricultural products along two dimensions food price inflation and export growth in other developing countries china s food imports of vegetable oils have grown dramatically over the last decade linking china s economic growth to the recent increases in global food prices if china is a source of global food price inflation exporting countries will benefit whether they sell directly to china or not these direct and indirect linkages are explored using a short run partial equilibrium model of international trade in agricultural products in which consumer prices and trade costs are derived from bilateral trade flows china s effects on food prices and exports are estimated by reducing chinese food expenditures in 2007 by half roughly china s level of expenditures in 1995 results indicate that food prices as measured by ces price indexes in developing asia africa and latin america would have been reduced by 1 27 0 32 and 0 22 respectively china has been an important source of growth for exporters selling directly to china there is no evidence of export growth due to an overall increase in food prices caused by china s growth

measuring the impact of china s export growth on its asian neighbours the rise of china as an economic power has led to concern in many countries especially among asian countries that this development poses a serious threat to their own economic performance and in particular their ability to export the empirical support for this view remains inconsistent however with mixed evidence for the view that chinese exports has harmed or helped exports by other asian economies and which countries are more or less affected one explanation for these inconsistencies might include the various biases that follow from the use of a gravity model that is specified in an a theoretical manner in this paper we study the effect of the chinese exports growth on those by other asian countries using the empirical framework outlined by baldwin and taglioni 2006 the disadvantage of this approach is that we capture the relative effect rather than its direction that is when using the theoretically robust gravity model we are able to identify which countries are more or less harmed by chinese exports and not whether the effect is positive or negative to identify that we use instead trade on parts and components and final goods taken together we evidence of a positive relation between chinese and its asian neighbours exports with countries with greater endowments of human capital and capital labour ratio benefiting most from this growth

changing trade structure and its implications for growth there is a long tradition in the development literature that what a country exports matters for its growth prospects recent work has refocused on this issue by attempting to produce numerical scores for different types of product to identify the complexity or sophistication of a country s export basket based on the insight that the type of product an economy exports can have important implications for its economic performance and that goods exported predominantly by rich countries will have different characteristics from those exported by poor countries lall et al 2006 put forward a means of classifying commodities based on the income levels of a product s main exporters at around the same time hausmann et al 2006 following a similar approach put forward a slightly different form of product classification and rodrik 2006 applied this specifically to an analysis of china this paper highlights the difference between the approaches and its implications for the analysis of china which appears less special using the approach of lall et al it argues that the classification of products at a disaggregate level is a helpful starting point for assessing issues of trade competitiveness and that further work using either or both forms of classification is justified

patent protection and the industrial composition of multinational activity evidence from u s multinational firms using data on u s firms technology licensing to local agents in developing countries this paper examines the impact of patent protection on internal and arms length technology transfer the effects of protection vary across products according to their complexity consistent with theories of internalization we find that patent reforms enable local firms to attract more arms length technology transfer especially of simple products which are relatively easy to imitate affiliated licensing also rises among simple products but falls among complex products the results withstand several robustness checks including controlling for endogeneity by using colonial origin as an instrument and are equally strong whether patent protection is measured by its intensity or by the timing of reforms the results have significance for patent policy in the developing world where access to knowledge is critical through arms length technology contracts proprietary knowledge diffuses beyond firm boundaries enabling local agents to access not only the protected technology but also know how

evidence on the impact of minimum wage laws in an informal sector domestic workers in south africa what happens when a previously uncovered labor market is regulated we exploit the introduction of a minimum wage in south africa and variation in the intensity of this law to identify increases in wages for domestic workers and no statistically significant effects on employment on the intensive or extensive margins these large partial responses to the law are somewhat surprising given the lack of monitoring and enforcement in this informal sector we interpret these changes as evidence that strong external sanctions are not necessary for new labor legislation to have a significant impact on informal sectors of developing countries at least in the short run

revisiting the revisited terms of trade will china make a difference in challenging the conventional wisdom at the time singer and prebisch posited a number of explanations for declining terms of trade of developing economies including both country and product specific factors over the past decade we have begun to witness a simultaneous process of price differentiation within commodities with the prices of some commodities increasing and within manufacturing with the price of many manufactures falling these price changes may reverse the decline in the terms of trade of commodity producers the entry of china into the global market has played an important role in this augmenting the demand for many hard commodities its role as an exporter of manufactures coupled with concentration in global buying may undermine the prices of many manufactures

intellectual property rights product complexity and the organization of multinational firms this paper studies how the intellectual property right ipr regime in destination countries influences the way multinationals structure the international organization of their production in particular we explore how multinationals divide tasks of dierent complexities across countries with dierent levels of ipr protection the analysis studies the decision of firms between procurement from related parties and outsourcing to independents suppliers at the product level it also breaks down outsourcing into two types by distinguishing whether or not they involve technology sharing between the two parties we combine data from a french firm level survey on the mode choice for each transaction with a newly developed complexity measure at the product level our results confirm that firms are generally reluctant to source highly complex goods from outside firm boundaries by studying the interaction between product complexity and the ipr protection we obtain that i for technology sharing outsourcing iprs promote outsourcing of more complex goods to a destination country by guaranteeing the protection of their technology ii for non technology related outsourcing iprs attract the outsourcing of less complex products that are more prone to reverse engineering and simpler to decodify and imitate

trade related intellectual property rights industry variation and technology diffusion the wto inspired strengthening of intellectual property rights iprs in developing countries remains highly controversial even more than 15 years after the 1994 trips agreement this paper assesses how a strengthening of iprs aects international technology diusion by altering the volume of high tech exports into developing countries a simple north south general equilibrium model in which industries dier in their imitation rates is developed stronger iprs encourage northern rms in a wider range of industries to start exporting exports in industries with the highest risk of imitation rise while exports in other industries may fall international technology diusion does not necessarily fall with stronger iprs more technology diuses to the south because new high tech products are introduced in the southern market this works against the reduction in technology diusion caused by limited imitation