the impact of ict investment and energy price on industrial electricity demand dynamic growth model approach the authors investigate the effects of information and communications technology ict investment electricity price and oil price on the consumption of electricity in south korea s industries using a logistic growth model the concept electricity intensity is used to explain electricity consumption patterns an empirical analysis implies that ict investment in manufacturing industries that normally consume relatively large amounts of electricity promotes input factor substitution away from the labor intensive to the electricity intensive moreover results also suggest that ict investment in some specific manufacturing sectors is conducive to the reduction of electricity consumption whereas ict investment in the service sector and most manufacturing sectors increases electricity consumption it is concluded that electricity prices critically affect electricity consumption in half of south korea s industrial sectors but not in the other half a finding that differs somewhat from previous research results reasons are suggested to explain why the south korean case is so different policymakers may find this study useful as it answers the question of whether ict investment can ultimately reduce energy consumption and may aid in planning the capacity of south korea s national electric power

policy watch infrastructure investment and economic growth in the late 1980s david aschauer 1989 triggered a long overdue dialogue among economists and political leaders when he published a study arguing that much of the decline in u s productivity that occurred in the 1970s was precipitated by declining rates of public capital investment my own work confirmed these results munnell 1990a spending advocates seized on these findings as support for increased public investment the enthusiasm among policymakers for the early aschauer results was matched if not surpassed by skepticism on the part of many economists critics of these studies charged that the methodology was flawed that the direction of causation between public investment and output growth is unclear and that even if the historical empirical relationships were estimated correctly they provide no clear indications for current policy who s right what do we know and not know about the link between public infrastructure and productivity and what are the implications of these results for policy

marriage market divorce legislation and household labor supply this paper provides a theoretical framework for analyzing the impact of the marriage market and divorce legislation on household labor supply in our approach the sex ratio in the marriage market and the rules governing divorce are examples of distribution factors these factors are defined as variables that affect the household members bargaining position but not preferences or the joint budget set we extend the collective labor supply model developed by chiappori to allow for distribution factors we show that our model imposes new restrictions on the labor supply functions and eases the identification of individual preferences and the intrahousehold decision process the model is estimated using psid data for the year 1988 our results do not reject the restrictions imposed by the model also the sex ratio and divorce laws deemed favorable to women are found to affect labor supply behavior and the decision process in the directions predicted by the theory and to have sizable effects

the ethiopian commodity exchange and spatial price dispersion abstract in this article we study the impact of an institutional intervention on market efficiency in ethiopia more specifically we analyze to what extent the ethiopian commodity exchange ecx in combination with regional warehouses have contributed to a reduction in price spreads between regional markets our hypothesis is that warehouses connected to the ecx reduce the dispersion between export prices and local retail prices in different coffee growing areas as well as the dispersion between export prices and local retail prices in different coffee growing areas by doing so the ecx has the potential to improve the market efficiency to identify the causal effect we combine retail price data with information on the gradual rollout of warehouses connected to the ecx from 2007 to 2012 our results suggest that when two markets both have access to an operating warehouse the average price spread is 0 86 1 78 etb lower than it is for markets where at least one part lacks warehouse access this is a substantial reduction considering that the average price spread over the full period is 3 33 etb the main results are robust to various econometric specifications and our analysis thus suggests that local warehouses connected to the ecx have indeed improved market efficiency

revealed preference analysis of non cooperative household consumption we develop a revealed preference approach to analyse non unitary household consumption behaviour that is not cooperative or pareto efficient we derive global necessary and sufficient conditions for data consistency with the model we show that the conditions can be verified by means of relatively straightforward mixed integer programming methods which is particularly attractive in view of empirical analysis our framework extends to tests for separate spheres and joint contribution to public goods an application to data drawn from the russia longitudinal monitoring survey demonstrates the empirical relevance of the non cooperative consumption model

efficient intra household allocations and distribution factors implications and identification this paper provides an exhaustive characterization of testability and identifiability issues in the collective framework in the absence of price variation it thus provides a theoretical underpinning for a number of empirical works that have been developed recently we first provide a simple and general test of the pareto efficiency hypothesis which is consistent with all possible assumptions on the private or public nature of goods all possible consumption externalities between household members and all types of interdependent individual preferences and domestic production technology the test is proved to be necessary and sufficient we then provide conditions for the identification of the sharing rule and the engel curves of individual household members for a variety of different observational schemes

infrastructure and development a critical appraisal of the macro level literature this survey reviews the existing macro level empirical literature on the link between infrastructure and development outcomes in a critical light after providing a general framework that casts the relevant terms of the controversy on the real effect of infrastructure on growth in the context of an aggregate production function it signals what are the relevant empirical questions to be addressed this guides the systematic review of a number of empirical studies and the discussion of the main econometric challenges to the identification of the effect of infrastructure on output and productivity finally building on related research in particular in contract theory and political economy the paper spells out several promising research avenues

causal relationship between telecommunications and economic growth in china and its regions shiu a and lam p l causal relationship between telecommunications and economic growth in china and its regions regional studies this paper studies the causal relationship between telecommunications development and economic growth of china its result indicates that there is a unidirectional relationship running from real gross domestic product gdp to telecommunications development at the national level causality running from telecommunications development to real gdp is found only in the provinces in the affluent eastern region but not in the low income central and western provinces the results imply that an improvement in telecommunications infrastructure alone is not sufficient for stimulating growth in the central and western provinces it is equally important for the chinese government to develop and enhance other complementary factors like business environments transportation networks education and manpower training in order to make the best use of the telecommunications systems in the ce

the economics of roscas and intrahousehold resource allocation this paper investigates individual motives to participate in rotating savings and credit associations roscas detailed evidence from roscas in a kenyan slum nairobi suggests that most roscas are predominantly composed of women particularly those living in a couple and earning an independent income to explain this phenomenon we propose an argument based on conflictual interactions within the household participation in a rosca is a strategy a wife employs to protect her savings against claims by her husband for immediate consumption the empirical implications of the model are then tested using the data collected in kenya

regional allocation of public infrastructure investment the case of greece lambrinidis m psycharis y and rovolis a 2005 regional allocation of public infrastructure investment the case of greece regional studies 39 1231 1244 this paper develops a model on the determinants of the regional allocation of public infrastructure investment and applies it to greece for 1982 94 using panel methods of estimation the principal conclusions are that regional allocations of infrastructure investment 1 were negatively associated with regional product per capita as well as with population size and population density 2 were positively associated with the existing stock of infrastructure capital as well as with the share of agriculture in regional gross domestic product and 3 were increased across prefectures in years preceding national elections these results are related to national and european regional policy

consumption inequality and intra household allocations the current literature on consumption inequality treats all adults within the household equally making the implicit assumption that all consumption inequality is between not within households however increased marital sorting on earnings and the subsequent rise in the share of women s income in the household may have important implications for consumption inequality measured at the individual level we use an extension of the collective framework of chiappori to estimate a rule for assigning resources to individual household members we then construct a measure of individual level inequality by looking at implied changes in intra household allocations and explore the implications of our framework for the measurement of individual level versus household level consumption inequality our analysis which is based on households comprising one or two adults suggests that the conventional approach of ignoring intra household allocations underestimates the level of cross sectional consumption inequality by 30 and overstates the trend by two thirds our findings also indicate that increases in marital sorting on wages and hours worked can simultaneously explain virtually all of the decline in within household inequality and a substantial fraction of the rise in between household inequality in the uk since the 1970s

linking local business with global growth opportunities the role of infrastructure infrastructure is instrumental when it comes to linking local businesses with their global growth opportunities this paper shows that by making this link the transport network can act as a catalyst for regional economic growth using a novel approach we find that firms in regions with a more developed transport infrastructure are better placed to benefit from positive growth opportunities than those in regions with a less well developed transport network this advantage is most pronounced in times of economic slack making a better transport network a key ingredient for economic recovery it is against this background that the recent slowdown in infrastructure investment in europe is worrisome but it is through this channel among others that the substantial ramp up of activity by the european investment bank is expected to foster growth and enhance competitiveness in europe

the regional allocation of infrastructure investment the role of equity efficiency and political factors abstract this paper analyses the main determinants of the regional allocation of infrastructure investment the estimated investment equation is derived from a general specification of the government s objective function berhman and craig am econom rev 77 1987 315 which accounts both for the equity efficiency trade off and for deviations from this rule that arise because of political factors the reaction of investment to changes in the regional output provides information about the strength of the equity efficiency trade off the main political factor considered is a measurement of the electoral productivity of funds invested in each region the equation is estimated from panel data on investment and the capital stock of transportation infrastructure i e roads rails ports and airports for the spanish departments nuts3 during the period 1987 1996 we use a dynamic specification of the equation that allows for slow adjustment and which is estimated by gmm methods arellano and bond rev econom stud 58 1991 277 the results suggest that efficiency criteria play only a limited role in the geographical distribution of government infrastructure investment specific regional infrastructure needs and political factors both appear to be factors that do explain the regional allocation of infrastructure investment

are schooling and roads complementary evidence from income dynamics in rural indonesia summary we examine the impact of spatial connectivity on household income growth and non agriculture labor supply in indonesia by combining household panel data and village census data during the period of 1995 2007 our empirical results show that the impacts of improved local road quality on income growth and the transition to non agricultural labor markets depend on household education and distance to economic centers in particular post primary education significantly increases the benefit from the improvement of local spatial connectivity in remote areas promoting labor transition to non agricultural sectors education and local road quality are complementary mutually increasing non agricultural labor supply and income in remote areas in contrast the initial landholding size does not affect the benefit from improved road quality

opening the black box of intra household decision making theory and non parametric empirical tests of general collective consumption models we provide revealed preference tests of general collective consumption models that account for public consumption and externalities within the household we further propose a novel approach to model special cases of this model which imply alternative assumptions regarding the sharing rule our application uses the panel data from the russia longitudinal monitoring survey we find that the general model together with a large class of special cases cannot be rejected by contrast we do reject the standard unitary model since our tests are entirely nonparametric this provides strong evidence in favor of models focusing on intrahousehold decision making

capital structure and investment in regulated network utilities evidence from eu telecoms this article analyzes the relationship between firm financial and investment decisions and regulatory outcomes in network industries where regulatory opportunism is often viewed to lead to underinvestment we develop a model to describe the effect of an increase in leverage on regulated rates retail as well as wholesale and company investment we then test the model s predictions using a panel of 15 eu public telecommunication operators ptos over the period 1994 2005 our results show that the data cannot reject the model s predictions that leverage positively affects regulated wholesale and retail rates as well as the ptos investment rate moreover since leverage does affect wholesale charges that alternative operators pay to access to the incumbent s network infrastructure we also find that an increase in leverage is followed by a decrease in the number of competitors and by an increase of the incumbent s market share this suggests that the use of debt to discipline the regulator s lack of commitment within a vertically integrated network industry may somewhat impair or delay retail market competition but has a favorable counterpart in mitigating the underinvestment problem

infrastructure investment a review essay economists try not to be faddists but they often cannot help themselves while work on a topic should mirror the prospective importance of the topic that situation seems to occur with disappointing frequency instead the usual pattern is that some reasonably important topic will be totally ignored for the longest time then recognized and then the subject of a flurry of work all out of proportion to its likely long run importance nowhere has this speculative bubble of economic research been more clearly illustrated than with infrastructure investment macroeconomists havelong felt that the stock of public capital is an important factor input in the production of total output macroeconomists have known that u s productivity growth slowed dramatically in about 1973 and macroeconomists should have known that united states investment in public capital has been down since the late 1960s yet analysis of the u s productivity slowdown completely ignored infrastructure investment for the first fifteen years of this slowdown concentrating instead on energy prices social regulation the composition of the work force research and development different rates of obsolescence of the private capital stock and any number of other matters the public capital stock was hardly ever even mentioned as a potential factor in the productivity slowdown aschauer changed all that he wrote a series of papers 1989a 1989b 1989c that put these two movements together econometrically infrastructure investment turned down and aggregate productivity turned down slightly later both in the united states and in some other developed countries his work hit the magic button those who had worried about the productivity puzzle for fifteen years welcomed a new suspect those who were worried about low rates of u s national saving welcomed a new way to make their argument even more forcefully than with official figures on saving and investment which do not count infrastructure investment as investment political liberals and liberal politicians saw a way to rescue government spending and projects from the assaults of reaganism and even a way to avoid oth

the micro economics of group behavior general characterization abstract we study the demand function of a group of s members facing a global budget constraint any vector belonging to the budget set can be consumed within the group with no restriction on the form of individual preferences the nature of individual consumptions or the form of the decision process beyond efficiency moreover only the group aggregate behavior summarized by its demand function is observable we provide necessary and locally sufficient restrictions that fully characterize the group s demand function with and without distribution factors we show that the private or public nature of consumption within the group is not testable from aggregate data on group behavior

do husbands and wives pool their resources evidence from the united kingdom child benefit common preference models of family behavior imply income pooling a restriction on family demand functions such that only the sum of husband s income and wife s income affects the allocation of goods and time testing the pooling hypothesis is difficult because most family income sources are not exogenous to the allocations being analyzed in this paper we present an alternative test based on a natural experiment a policy change in the united kingdom that transferred a substantial child allowance to wives in the late 1970s using family expenditure survey data we find strong evidence that a shift toward greater expenditures on women s clothing and children s clothing relative to men s clothing coincided with this income redistribution

telecommunications and economic growth an empirical analysis of sub saharan africa we examine the effect of mobile cellular phones on economic growth in sub saharan africa where a marked asymmetry is present between land line penetration and mobile telecommunications expansion this study extends previous research along two important dimensions first we allow for the potential endogeneity between economic growth and telecommunications expansion by employing a special linear generalized method of moments gmm estimator second we explicitly model for varying degrees of substitutability between mobile cellular and land line telephony so that greater expansion of mobile telecommunications can have a different impact whenever the level of land line penetration differs we find that mobile cellular phone expansion is an important determinant of the rate of economic growth in sub saharan africa moreover we find that the contribution of mobile cellular phones to economic growth has been growing in importance in the region and that the marginal impact of mobile telecommunication service

the microeconomics of efficient group behavior identification1 consider a group consisting of s members facing a common budget constraint p 1 any demand vector belonging to the budget set can be privately or publicly consumed by the members although the intragroup decision process is not known it is assumed to generate pareto efficient outcomes neither individual consumptions nor intragroup transfers are observable the paper analyzes when to what extent and under which conditions it is possible to recover the underlying structure individual preferences and the decision process from the group s aggregate behavior we show that the general version of the model is not identified however a simple exclusion assumption whereby each member does not consume at least one good is sufficient to guarantee generic identifiability of the welfare relevant structural concepts

ict and transport infrastructure development an empirical analysis of complementarity abstractthis paper provides an empirical framework to assess the nonlinear complementary linkage effects that arise from the interaction between motorway capital and information and communications

extended families and child well being studies of household behavior have established the distribution of resources among household members predicts spending and savings patterns however there is a paucity of evidence on the relationship between the well being of individual family members and the distribution of resources within an extended family including non co resident family members given the central role the family plays in many models of economic behavior this is an important gap in the literature using rich longitudinal survey data from the indonesia family life survey ifls evidence is presented on the relationship between three measures of health and education related human capital of children and the distribution of resources among extended family members ifls is ideally suited for this research since the survey collects detailed information about income and wealth from both coresident and non co resident family members the empirical model is founded on a natural extension of the collective model of household decision making chiappori 1988 1992 to the extended family the model is particularly appealing in this context because it places few restrictions on preferences of individual family members and does not specify a specific bargaining mechanism that underlies negotiations the collective model yields empirical tests of whether the behavior of family members is pareto efficient a special case of the model allows all family members to be completely altruistic which is observationally equivalent to a unitary model of family behavior that special case is rejected by the data however the restrictions of the efficient model are not rejected indicating that non co resident family members are able to co ordinate allocation decisions with respect to child human capital investments in such a way as to make no family member better off without another member being worse off

is a plumber or a new financial architect needed to end global international liquidity problems how one interprets volatility in the international financial markets and therefore chooses a policy stance regarding these markets depend on the underlying economic theory that one explicitly or implicitly utilizes to explain the role of financial markets in a market oriented entrepreneurial economy there are two major alternative theories of financial markets 1 the classical efficient market theory hereafter emt and 2 keynes s liquidity preference theory hereafter lpt each produces a different set of policy prescriptions emt advocates call for a liquidity plumber to patch up some short run stresses in today s efficient international financial flow system lpt proponents believe that the current system is structurally flawed consequently it will require an architect to build a new international financial structure on more solid foundations

mobile phone coverage and producer markets evidence from west africa mobile phone coverage has expanded considerably throughout the developing world particularly within sub saharan africa existing evidence suggests that increased access to information technology has improved agricultural market efficiency for consumer markets and certain commodities but there is less evidence of its impact on producer markets building on the work of aker 2010 this paper estimates the impact of mobile phone coverage on producer price dispersion for three commodities in niger the results suggest that mobile phone coverage reduces spatial producer price dispersion by 6 percent for cowpea a semi perishable commodity these effects are strongest for remote markets and during certain periods of the year the introduction of mobile phone coverage has no effect on producer price dispersion for millet and sorghum two staple grains that are less perishable and are commonly stored by farmers there are no impacts of mobile phone coverage on traders gross margins or producer price levels but mobile phone coverage is associated with a reduction in the intra annual price variation for cowpea these results are potentially explained by the fact that farmers engage in greater storage for storable commodities such as millet and sorghum

a cournot nash model of family decision making this paper models a two person family each family member is utility maximising yet family members are interdependent because of caring and public goods within the family the two family members interdependent utility maximisation problems are first solved using a non cooperative or cournot nash game theoretic framework the cournot nash equilibrium is then used as a threat point in a bargaining game the paper provides a rigorous derivation of the properties of household demands a full analysis of the determinants of intra household resource allocation including the effect of varying household bargaining power and consideration of policy implications

is the allocation of resources within the household efficient new evidence from a randomized experiment i study whether households make pareto efficient intrahousehold resource allocation decisions combining randomized variation in women s income generated by the evaluation of the mexican progresa program with variation attributable to localized rainfall shocks as distribution factors in the collective model i find evidence favoring pareto optimality more specifically female specific income changes have positive effects on children s goods expenditures whereas changes due to rainfall shocks have a smaller influence on household public goods expenditures the evidence is consistent with female partners having greater sensitivity to own income changes and norms that oblige women to devote their earnings to meet collective consumption needs

a new global index of infrastructure construction rankings and applications we construct comprehensive and comparable indices on the most relevant components of economic infrastructure an unobserved components model is employed to cover the largest possible number of developing and developed countries over the period 1990 2010 we map major findings from the new indices of infrastructure and provide country rankings which we also compare with subjective assessments of infrastructure in the world economic forum s global competitiveness report finally we exemplify possible applications related to trade and foreign aid by overcoming several data limitations our new global index can help assess the links between infrastructure and economic development more systematically

is infrastructure capital productive a dynamic heterogeneous approach this paper offers an empirical evaluation of the output contribution of infrastructure drawing from a large data set on infrastructure stocks covering 88 countries and spanning the years 1960 2000 and using a panel time series approach the paper estimates a long run aggregate production function relating gdp to human capital physical capital and a synthetic measure of infrastructure given by the first principal component of infrastructure endowments in transport power and telecommunications tests of the cointegration rank allowing it to vary across countries reveal a common rank with a single cointegrating vector which is taken to represent the long run production function estimation of its parameters is performed using the pooled mean group estimator which allows for unrestricted short run parameter heterogeneity across countries while imposing the testable restriction of long run parameter homogeneity the long run elasticity of output with respect to the synthetic infrastructure index ranges between 0 07 and 0 10 the estimates are highly significant both statistically and economically and robust to alternative dynamic specifications and infrastructure measures there is little evidence of long run parameter heterogeneity across countries whether heterogeneity is unconditional or conditional on their level of development population size or infrastructure endowments

household behavior and the marriage market abstract there is some controversy in the field of household economics regarding the efficiency of household decisions we make the point that a flexible specification of spousal preferences and the household production technology precludes the possibility of using revealed preference data on household time allocations to determine the manner in which spouses interact efficiently or inefficiently under strong but standard assumptions regarding marriage market equilibria marital sorting patterns can be used essentially as out of sample information that allows us to assess whether household behavior is efficient or not we develop a new likelihood based metric to compare marriage market fits under the two alternative behavioral assumptions we use a sample of households drawn from a recent wave of the panel study of income dynamics and find strong evidence supporting the view that household behavior is constrained efficient

optimal food price stabilization in a small open developing country in poor countries most governments implement policies aiming to stabilize the prices of staple foods which often include storage and trade measures insulating their domestic market from the world market it is of crucial importance to understand the precise motivations and efficiency of those interventions because they can have consequences worldwide this paper addresses those issues by analyzing the case of a small open developing country confronted by shocks to both the crop yield and foreign price in this model government interventions may be justified by the lack of an insurance market for food prices considering this market imperfection the authors design optimal public interventions through trade and storage policies they show that an optimal trade policy largely consists of subsidizing imports and taxing exports which benefits consumers at the expense of producers import subsidies alleviate the non negativity of food storage in other words when stocks are exhausted subsidizing imports prevents domestic price spikes one striking result an optimal storage policy on its own is detrimental to consumers since its stabilizing benefits leak into the world market and it raises the average domestic price by contrast an optimal combination of storage and trade policies results in a powerful stabilizing effect for domestic food prices

on the welfare effects and political economy of competition enhancing policies we analyse the welfare effects of policies that intensify product market competition and the channels through which they operate using a circular model of horizontal product differentiation with asymmetric costs we study the effects of increased price competition on market selection among incumbent firms cost reduction effort and entry of new firms the model also generates an endogenous demand for competition enhancing or retarding policies arising from cost heterogeneity and we demonstrate the possibility of a low competition political economy trap simulations of the model illustrate that the selection effects we analyse which traditional cost benefit analysis is unlikely to capture can be large

transaction costs telecommunications and the microeconomics of macroeconomic growth the sources of differences in growth rates across nations are unclear this observation constitutes one of the central intellectual challenges of our time why is the whole world not developed consequently a host of scholars offer various explanations for growth or nongrowth including cultural factors politics and economics 2 the objective of this article is to determine whether a link exists between transaction costs telecommunications and economic growth the article builds on recent research on the macroeconomic determinants of growth as well as on research regarding the significant economic effects of telecommunications on transaction costs it is organized as follows section i reviews the theory of transaction costs section ii the link between transaction costs and telecommunications section iii contains the empirical analysis and section iv some conclusions

regional economic growth and the role of high speed rail in china rapid development of high speed railways hsr in china has attracted serious research interest this paper proposes an endogenous economic growth model to explain how and why hsr may lead to faste

speeding up the internet regulation and investment in european fiber optic infrastructure in this paper we study how the coexistence of access regulations for legacy copper and fiber networks shapes the incentives to invest in network infrastructure to this end we develop a theoretical model explaining investment incentives by incumbent telecom operators and heterogeneous entrants and test its main predictions using panel data from 27 eu member states over the last decade our theoretical model extends the existing literature by among other things allowing for heterogeneous entrants in internet access markets as we consider both other telecom and cable tv operators as entrants in the empirical part we use a novel data set including information on physical fiber network investments legacy network access regulation and recently imposed fiber access regulations our main finding is that more stringent access regulations for both the legacy and the fiber networks harm investments by incumbent telecom operators but in line with our theoretical model do not affect cable tv operators

changing the rules midway the impact of granting alimony rights on existing and newly formed partnerships this article analyses the effect of a reform granting alimony rights to cohabiting couples in canada a collective household model with a matching framework predicts that changes in alimony laws would affect existing couples and couples to be differently for existing couples it benefits the intended beneficiary but for couples not yet formed it generates offsetting intra household transfers and lower intra marital allocations for the beneficiary our empirical analyses confirm these predictions among couples united before the reform obtaining the right to petition for alimony led women to lower their labour force participation but not among newly formed cohabiting couples

effects of economic conditions and policy interventions on oecd broadband adoption the positive effects of broadband networks and services on productivity and economic growth are well established looking at broadband as an engine of economic prosperity the oecd and its member states are seeking to foster its widespread adoption however which public policies best promote the adoption of broadband remains controversial this article contributes in two ways to this discussion it offers a comprehensive discussion of the factors that influence broadband adoption and uses an econometric approach that is well suited to overcome the challenges of modelling broadband adoption this framework allows drawing more robust and nuanced policy recommendations

children s resources in collective households identification estimation and an application to child poverty in malawi children s resources matter but they are hard to identify because consumption is typically mea sured at the household level modern collective household models permit some identication of indi vidual household member resources but these models typically either ignore children or treat them as attributes of adults we propose a collective household model in which children are people with their own utility functions possibly assigned to them by parents extending the frameworks of browning chiappori and lewbel 2007 and lewbel and pendakur 2008 we show identication of children s resource shares within households we invoke semiparametric restrictions on individual preferences and use data on the household level consumption of assignable private goods to achieve identication of each individual s resource share within the household we show this without being able to observe consumption by individual household members of goods that are partly or wholly shared goods within the household further we obtain identication using only engel curves and so do not require ob served price variation in the data we estimate our model using data from malawi andnd that as the number of children in a household grows women s resource shares fall and children s resource shares rise and men s resource shares are basically unchanged we alsond evidence of gender bias against girls and observe that the resource shares of mothers and children are increasing in the education level of the mother finally we use our estimates to construct poverty indices at the person level andnd that per capita poverty indices understate the incidence of child poverty in malawi

roads to prosperity assessing the link between public capital and productivity does the positive correlation between infrastructure and productivity reflect causation if so in which direction the author finds that when growth in roads the largest component of infrastructure changes productivity growth changes disproportionately in u s industries with more vehicles that vehicle intensive industries benefit more from road building suggests that roads are productive at the margin however road investments do not appear unusually productive intuitively the interstate system was highly productive but a second one would not be road building thus explains much of the productivity slowdown through a one time unrepeatable productivity boost in the 1950s and 1960s

the collective model of household consumption a nonparametric characterization we provide a nonparametric characterization of a general collective model for household consumption which includes externalities and public consumption next we establish testable necessary and sufficient conditions for data consistency with collective rationality that only include observed price and quantity information these conditions have a similar structure as the generalized axiom of revealed preference for the unitary model which is convenient from a testing point of view in addition we derive the minimum number of goods and observations that enable the rejection of collectively rational household behavior

telecommunications infrastructure and economic development a simultaneous approach in diesem beitrag wird untersucht welchen einflus die telekommunikations infrastruktur auf die wirtschaftliche entwicklung ausubt diese wichtige frage hat im zusammenhang mit der diskussion um informationsautobahnen aktualitat erlangt in der vorliegenden studie wird der einflus der telekommunikations infrastruktur fur 21 oecdlander fur die vergangenen 20 jahre analysiert es wird ein strukturgleichungsmodell geschatzt in dem investitionen in die telekommunikations infrastruktur als endogene variable erfast werden und in einem mikromodell angebot und nachfrage nach telekommunikations investitionen spezifiziert werden das mikromodell wird dann zusammen mit der makro wachstumsgleichung geschatzt als ergebnis stellen die autoren dann eine positive kausalbeziehung zwischen telekommunikations investitionen und wirtschaftlicher entwicklung fest wenn eine kritische masse an telekommunikations infrastruktur existiert

estimating the impact of low income universal service programs this policy study uses u s census microdata to evaluate how subsidies for universal telephone service vary in their impact across low income racial groups gender age and home ownership our demand specification includes both the subsidized monthly price lifeline program and the subsidized initial connection price linkup program for local telephone service our quasi maximum likelihood estimation controls for location differences and instruments for price endogeneity the microdata allow us to estimate the effects of demographics on both elasticities of telephone penetration and the level of telephone penetration based on our preferred estimates the subsidy programs increased aggregate penetration by 6 1 for households below the poverty line our results suggest that automatic enrollment programs are important and that linkup is more cost effective than lifeline which calls into question a recent fcc 2012 decision to reduce linkup subsidies in favor of lifeline our study can inform the evaluation of similar universal service policies for internet access

access pricing competition and incentives to migrate from old to new technology abstract in this paper we analyze the incentives of an incumbent and an entrant to migrate from an old technology to a new technology and discuss how the terms of wholesale access affect this migration we show that the coverage of the new technology varies non monotonically with the access price of the old technology a higher access charge on the legacy network pushes the entrant firm to invest more but has an ambiguous effect on the incumbent s investments due to two conflicting effects the wholesale revenue effect and the retail level migration effect when the new technology is also subject to access provision we find that migration from the old to the new generation network at the wholesale level can be incentivized if a positive correlation between the access prices to the two old and new generation networks is maintained

efficient intra household allocations a general characterization and empirical tests the neoclassical theory of demand applies to individuals yet in empirical work it is usually taken as valid for households with many members this paper explores what the theory of individuals implies for households that have more than one member we make minimal assumptions about how the individual members of the household resolve conflicts all we assume is that however decisions are made outcomes are efficient we refer to this as the collective setting we show that in the collective setting household demands must satisfy a symmetry and rank condition on the slutsky matrix we also present some further results on the effects on demands of variables that do not modify preferences but that do affect how decisions are made we apply our theory to a series of surveys of household expenditures from canada the tests of the usual symmetry conditions are rejected for two person households but not for one person households we also show that income pooling is rejected for two person households we then test for our collective setting conditions on the couples data none of the collective setting restrictions are rejected we conclude that the collective setting is a plausible and tractable next step to take in the analysis of household behavior

are grains of sand in the wheels of international finance sufficient to do the job when boulders are often required this paper criticises the effectiveness of a tobin tax in acting as a deterrent to short run round trip speculation on exchange rate movements it is demonstrated that given the usual magnitude of a proposed tobin tax the deterrent to short term speculation will be negligible and in all likelihood smaller than the deterrent to real trade flows and arbitrage activities finally an alternative proposal for preventing currency speculations while creating incentives for global full employment based on keynes s 1940s writings is proposed

impact of sms based agricultural information on indian farmers this study estimates the benefits that indian farmers derive from market and weather information delivered to their mobile phones by a commercial service called reuters market light rml we conduct a controlled randomized experiment in 100 villages of maharashtra treated farmers associate rml information with a number of decisions they have made and we find some evidence that treatment affected spatial arbitrage and crop grading but the magnitude of these effects is small we find no statistically significant average effect of treatment on the price received by farmers crop value added crop losses resulting from rainstorms or the likelihood of changing crop varieties and cultivation practices although disappointing these results are in line with the market take up rate of the rml service in the study districts which shows small numbers of clients in aggregate and a relative stagnation in take up over the study period jel codes o13 q11 q13 the purpose of this study is to ascertain whether agricultural information distributed through mobile phones generates economic benefits to farmers we implement a randomized controlled trial of a commercial service entitled reuters market light rml offered by the largest and best established private provider of agricultural price information in india at the time of the experiment operating in maharashtra and other indian states rml distributes price weather and crop advisory information through sms messages we offered a one year free subscription to rml to a random sample of farmers to test whether they obtain higher prices for their agricultural output

noncooperative household demand we study noncooperative household models with two agents and several voluntarily contributed public goods deriving the counterpart to the slutsky matrix and demonstrating the nature of the deviation of its properties from those of a true slutsky matrix in the unitary model we provide results characterising both cases in which there are and are not jointly contributed public goods demand properties are contrasted with those for collective models and conclusions drawn regarding the possibility of empirically testing the collective model against noncooperative alternatives and the noncooperative model against a general alternative

telecommunications and economic growth a panel data approach telecommunication investment is increasingly identified as one with a strong potential to improve economic productivity and growth the objective of this study is to investigate the long run relationship between telecommunications infrastructure and economic growth using data from 22 oecd countries a dynamic panel data method is used for estimation which corrects for omitted variables bias of single equation cross section regression the fixed effects specification accounts for country specific differences in aggregate production functions the results show a significant and positive correlation between telecommunications infrastructure and growth after controlling for a number of other factors

the engel curves of non cooperative households we provide a set of necessary and sufficient conditions for a system of engel curves to have been generated by a non cooperative model of family behaviour these conditions fully characterise the local behaviour of household level consumption in the cross section i e as a function of total income and distribution factors in this setting any demand system compatible with a non cooperative model is also compatible with a collective model but the converse is not true we describe how these nested conditions may be tested using standard instrumental variables strategies

externalities information costs and social benefit cost analysis for economic development an example from telecommunications the analytics of achieving a socially optimal allocation of investment resources has been a continuing problem in the field of economic development early work on this subject focused on externalities and on the need to include in the analysis a project s indirect promotional effects later research in what came to be called social benefit cost analysis sbca has added an emphasis on shadow prices on uncertainty and increasingly on income distribution effects 2 in principle these diverse concerns of social benefit cost analysis are complementary rather than competitive in the conditions of a less developed country ldc an investment project s side effects on income creation can be very significant 3 similarly an investment project s indirect impact on income distribution may also be substantial consequently an analysis incorporating externalities is necessary to take indirect social benefits and costs into account in practice however the more recent concerns of sbca have sometimes been accompanied by diminished interest in externalities 4 this paper presents an example that illustrates the importance of including externalities in considering both the efficiency and the equity consequences of investment choice our example analyzes the welfare effects of investment in telecommunications primarily telephone facilities in developing countries 5 investments that make available additional telephones in ldcs are often viewed as having welfare effects similar to increased availability of consumer durables like color television or air conditioning those goods are primarily an added convenience for the upper classes and their availability enlarges further the

is public expenditure productive abstract this paper considers the relationship between aggregate productivity and stock and flow government spending variables the empirical results indicate that i the nonmilitary public capital stock is dramatically more important in determining productivity than is either the flow of nonmilitary or military spending ii military capital bears little relation to productivity and iii a core infrastructure of streets highways airports mass transit sewers water systems etc has most explanatory power for productivity the paper also suggests an important role for the net public capital stock in the productivity slowdown of the last fifteen years

alimony rights and intrahousehold allocation of resources evidence from brazil can family policy affect well being of individuals without altering the resources available to their families this article examines the extension of alimony rights and obligations to cohabiting couples in brazil for women in intact relationships alimony rights upon dissolution should improve outside options strengthening their negotiating positions and increasing their influence over intrahousehold allocation of resources robust econometric evidence indicates that more decision power in the hands of women impacts hours worked by female adults and investments in the education of children this suggests that family policy and models of family decision making should take intrahousehold heterogeneity of preferences into account

financing off grid sustainable energy access for the poor this paper examines the role of public instruments in promoting private finance to achieve off grid sustainable energy access renewable energy technologies are increasingly becoming the cheapest solutions for off grid energy access the dramatic uptake of mobile phones in developing countries shows how quickly decentralized services can develop on a commercial basis under the right conditions and raises the prospect that private finance could also drive decentralized energy access for the poor indeed there are already a number of instances of clean energy solutions such as solar portable lights household biogas units or solar home systems that have managed to scale up through leveraging private finance however the experience gained from first generation market development projects show that in almost all cases significant public resources have been necessary to increase the affordability of clean energy technologies provide access to financing for the poor and remove non economic barriers such public interventions may be funded by international public finance domestic budgets and carbon finance despite mounting fiscal constraints facing governments worldwide the emergence of new sources of climate finance and the political momentum in support of energy subsidy reforms as well as new programming modalities offer opportunities to leverage additional resources to achieve universal energy access by 2030

income inequality and technology diffusion evidence from developing countries we study the effect of within country income inequality on the diffusion of mobile phones using data on market penetration in a sample of developing countries from 1985 to 1998 mobile phones are an example of international technology originating in industrialized countries and diffusing worldwide we find that income inequality as measured by the income share of the highest earning deciles has a positive effect on the early diffusion of mobile phones and that the estimated effect becomes greater when a measure of agricultural endowments is used as an instrument the instrumental variable results are robust to weak instruments our findings suggest that the diffusion of new technologies originating from industrialized countries may generate yet another channel that links inequality and development

distributional effects in household models separate spheres and income pooling we derive distributional eects for a non cooperative alternative to the unitary model of household behaviour we consider the nash equilibria of a voluntary contributions to public goods game our main result is that in general the two partners either choose to contribute to dierent public goods or they contribute to at most one common good the former case corresponds to the separate spheres case of lundberg and pollak 1993 the second outcome yields local income pooling a household will be in dierent regimes depending on the distribution of income within the household any bargaining model with this non cooperative case as a breakdown point will inherit the local income pooling we conclude that targeting bene ts such as child bene ts to one household member may not always have an eect on outcomes

intra household resource allocation an inferential approach if household income is pooled and then allocated to maximize welfare then income under the control of mothers and fathers should have the same impact on demand with survey data on family health and nutrition in brazil the equality of parental income effects is rejected unearned income in the hands of a mother has a bigger effect on her family s health than income under the control of a father for child survival probabilities the effect is almost twenty times bigger the common preference or neoclassical model of the household is rejected if unearned income is measured with error and income is pooled then the ratio of maternal to paternal income effects should be the same equality of the ratios cannot be rejected there is also evidence for gender preference mothers prefer to devote resources to improving the nutritional status of their daughters fathers to sons

the relative efficiencies of market and planned economies are planned economies systematically more or less productive than market economies this question provoked heated intellectual debate since the time of hayek 11 keynes 16 lange 19 lange and taylor 20 and lerner 22 the collapse of the communist systems of east europe since 1989 closed the debate planned economies were without doubt less efficient in utilizing economic resources than market economies but how much less efficient this question is of obvious scientific interest but it has not been answered some work addressing the broad question of comparative efficiency has been done by bergson 4 5 6 marer 25 26 moroney 28 and others all indicate comparatively lower efficiency in planned economies but none addresses the question by how much our contribution here is to answer this question using a novel methodology we estimate aggregate frontier production functions for two groups of countries 7 centrally planned economies in east europe and 17 predominantly market economies in west europe estimating frontier production functions enables two types of comparisons that have not

legal origins and female hiv more than one half of all people living with hiv are women and 80 percent of all hiv positive women in the world live in sub saharan africa this paper demonstrates that the legal origins of these formerly colonized countries significantly determine current day female hiv rates in particular female hiv rates are significantly higher in common law sub saharan african countries compared to civil law ones this paper explains this relationship by focusing on differences in female property rights under the two codes of law in sub saharan africa common law is associated with weaker female marital property laws as a result women in these common law countries have lower bargaining power within the household and are less able to negotiate safe sex practices and are thus more vulnerable to hiv compared to their civil law counterparts exploiting the fact that some ethnic groups in sub saharan africa cross country borders with different legal systems we are able to include ethnicity fixed effects into a regression discontinuity approach this allows us to control for a large set of cultural geographical and environmental factors that could be confounding the estimates the results of this paper are consistent with gender inequality the feminization of aids explaining much of its prevalence in sub saharan africa

growth in transition what we know what we don t and what we should abstract this essay surveys macroeconomic issues that marked the transition from planned to market economy in central and eastern european and former soviet union countries we first establish stylized facts of the transition so far we then critically survey the theoretical literature on transition discussing explanations for the initial output fall and mediumterm issues such as optimal speed of transition disorganization institutions and sectoral reallocation as source of output dynamics we review the empirical literature to assess how well it translates the theoretical models and explains the stylized facts we conclude with suggestions for future research

fertility and rural electrification in bangladesh we use a household level panel dataset from bangladesh to examine the household level relationship between fertility and the access to electricity we find that the household s access to electricity reduces the change in the number of children by about 0 1 to 0 25 children in a period of five years in most estimates this finding also applies to retrospective panel data and is robust to the choice of covariates and estimation methods our finding passes falsication test and corroborates with the predictions of our theoretical model on the households time use and consumption pattern

separate spheres bargaining and the marriage market this paper introduces the separate spheres bargaining model a new model of distribution within marriage it differs from divorce threat bargaining models e g manser brown mcelroy horney in that the threat point is not divorce but a noncooperative equilibrium within marriage this noncooperative equilibrium reflects traditional gender roles the predictions of our model thus differ from those of divorce threat bargaining models in the separate spheres model cash transfer payments to the mother and payments to the father can but need not imply different equilibrium distributions in existing marriages in the long run the distributional effects of transfer policies may be substantially altered by changes in the marriage market equilibrium

the politics of infrastructure investment the role of product market competition abstract in spatial competition public infrastructure plays a crucial role in determining product market outcomes in our model consideration of infrastructure s impact on the product market drives the preferences of consumers in their dual role as voter taxpayers the spatial heterogeneity of consumers produces conflicting political interests and in many cases inefficient outcomes however across both exogenous and endogenous market environments product market competition consistently leads to higher levels of publicly funded infrastructure than monopoly collusion furthermore competition s boost to the popular support for infrastructure investment is often excessive while monopoly leads to underinvestment

globalization and the connection of remote communities a review of household effects and their biodiversity implications abstract the remote regions of the world provide refuge to a disproportionate amount of the earth s biodiversity as globalization continues isolated human communities in these regions are increasingly connected to global market migration and technology networks we review the diffuse literature on the household effects of changing market access migration and technology adoption in remote regions and implications for native biodiversity market access affects biodiversity in remote communities through changes in household economics and social networks migration either to or from remote settlements affects biodiversity through changes in population remittances human capital and social networks finally we consider effects due to production public infrastructure and information and communication technologies there is much ambiguity surrounding these causal pathways and thus we also examine the roles of various ecological household community and institutional mediating factors in determining the impacts of global connection finally we explore the limitations of our current knowledge and research practices and propose directions for future work to address key uncertainties in theory and evidence as well as weaknesses in methodological approaches we recommend a broad and interdisciplinary mode of inquiry as the best means toward clarifying globalization s impacts on human settlements and the biodiversity harbored in the earth s remaining remote regions

institutions freedom and technical efficiency the impact of institutions on economic performance is currently the subject of much research in this study we use panel data to estimate a stochastic production frontier and the sources of inefficiency for a broad set of countries a maximum likelihood procedure is used to estimate the parameters for the stochastic production frontier and the determinants of inefficiency simultaneously our results show that institutions that promote greater economic freedom in turn promote efficiency

income and outcomes a structural model of intrahousehold allocation there is evidence from several sources that one cannot treat many person households as a single decision maker if this is the case then factors such as the relative incomes of the household members may affect the final allocation decisions made by the household we develop a method of identifying how incomes affect outcomes given conventional family expenditure data the basic assumption we make is that household decision processes lead to efficient outcomes we apply our method to a sample of canadian couples with no children we find that the final allocations of expenditures on each partner depend significantly on their relative incomes and ages and on the level of lifetime wealth

efficient responses to targeted cash transfers we estimate and test the restrictions of a collective model of household consumption using z conditional demands in the context of a large conditional cash transfer program in rural mexico the model can explain the impacts of the program on the structure of food consumption we use two plausible and novel distribution factors the random allocation of a cash transfer to women and the relative size and wealth of the husband s and wife s family networks our structure does better at predicting the effect of exogenous increases in household income than an alternative unitary structure we cannot reject efficiency of household decisions

the ussr before the fall how poor and why this essay appraises the scholarly findings on the level of consumption and output in the ussr compared with that in the west such aggregative calculations are onerous for any country and not very surprisingly have encountered particular difficulty where such a strange society as soviet communism has been in question predictably the results have been controversial but properly viewed they still provide illuminating perspective on the extraordinary events that have lately transpired in the ussr

network competition with income effects i generalize the workhorse model of network competition to include income effects in demand empirical work has shown income effects to be positive and statistically significant income effects deliver theoretical results consistent with regulatory concern about excessive termination rates unregulated network operators competing in nondiscriminatory retail contracts negotiate termination rates above cost for any positive income effect this also holds when operators discriminate between on net and off net calls if networks are differentiated operators profit from increasing termination rates above cost under second degree price discrimination if a sufficient share of consumers prefer on net off net contracts and their subscription demand is relatively inelastic