willingness to pay for the green food in china abstract with use of payment card survey data of willingness to pay wtp for the green food a unique food certification in china this study finds that age and income are important for the wtp for the green food in china there are structural differences in consumer preference for green food between the large city and the small county consumers in china on average are willing to pay 47 more for green vegetables and 40 more for green meat than for their conventional counterparts compared with the real markets and the previous studies our results are very consistent and reliable

models for referendum data the structure of discrete choice models for contingent valuation abstract in 1979 bishop and heberlein introduced an appealing variant of the contingent valuation method which required only yes or no responses hanemann developed a utility theoretic interpretation of the yes no responses which has helped popularize the approach recently cameron has offered another interpretation also utility theoretic which she argues is more general than the hanemann random utility model this paper compares the deterministic models suggested by hanemann and cameron showing them to be dual to each other it shows that correct specification of either function must exclude endogenous variables such as quantity demanded it also demonstrates that using utility theoretic models allows one to compare travel cost models and contigent valuation models on the basis of their implied behavior not on the unobservable surplus or variation measure

organizational design decision rights and incentive contracts where should decision rights be lodged in organizations michael c jensen and william h meckling 1992 argue that moving a decision away from the inherently best informed party involves costs in communication and garbling but may lodge it with someone who has better incentives to make good decisions generally however we expect that incentives are part of the organizational design why not just provide incentives to those with the best information so that they make the right decisions one reason is that the available incentive instruments must serve multiple purposes and designing them to induce better decisions worsens performance against other organizational objectives our experience suggests that this is a common situation in actual organizations the means available to affect one sort of behavior or decision inevitably affect the incentives governing other choices then the design of incentive schemes and the allocation of decision rights become interlinked this paper looks at this idea in the specific context of a principal s problem of inducing agents to provide unobservable effort while also motivating the efficient selection of investments each of these problems has been extensively studied in isolation on inducing effort see e g bengt holmstrom 1979 and holmstrom and paul milgrom 1991 on decisions see e g eugene f fama and jensen 1983 milgrom and roberts 1990a b philippe aghion and jean tirole 1997 matthias dewatripont and tirole 1999 we thus know that motivating effort is done best by rewarding agents on precise measures of their effort not necessarily on the total value created in the firm at the same time it is clear that getting the right investment choices may require that the decision makers rewards be tied to total value created the difficulty is that the available measures do not allow doing both the only available performance measures are aggregates whose component pieces cannot be disentangled while contracts must be written in advance of learning about investment possibilities including many contingencies in the contracts ex ante is impossible and ongoing renegotiation in every ex post eventuality is prohibitively costly more formally we assume that it is not possible to contract on investment projects nor can the principal bargain with the agents over the adoption of these projects once they are identified instead returns to projects are reflected in the performance measures available for use in the effort incentive contracting then the incentives for effort and for decisions are inextricably tied together in this framework we explore the interactions among the design of jobs and assignment of individuals to tasks the shape and intensity of effort incentives and the allocation of authority over project selection we argue that it may indeed be optimal to assign decisions rights to someone other than the best informed party an authority based hierarchy then emerges endogenously with some agents being given the right to make organizational decisions over projects that others discovered moreover as in herbert simon 1951 those in authority will make the decisions in a self interested way simon emphasized that this discussants michael riordan columbia university bengt holmstrom massachusetts institute of technology w bentley macleod university of southern california

paired comparison and contingent valuation approaches to morbidity risk valuation abstract this research uses an experimental approach for eliciting consumer valuations of morbidity risk reductions associated with safter chemical products and introduces the paired comparison questions approach to non market valuation in four applications the paired comparisons approach yields higher morbidity valuations than the more familiar contingent valuation approach however both methodologies produce large values of morbidity reduction benefits in comparison to estimates derived from wage hedonic studies explanations for the difference in the estimates and their magnitudes are suggested along with the public policy implications

overt interfunctional conflict and its reduction through business strategy we study why production and sales departments tend to disagree with the former wanting long production runs and the latter wanting a broad product line we then analyze why these disagreements lead to overt conflict in which functional areas fight with each other by presenting arguments that damage each other s position we show how the firm benefits from the information generated by this conflict in spite of these benefits the equilibrium conflict can exceed its profit maximizing level finally we show that concentrating innovative talent in only one department can help reduce interfunctional conflict

competitive cheap talk we study a competitive cheap talk model with two senders each sender is responsible for a single project and observes its return exactly one project will be implemented both senders share some common interests with the principal but have own project biases under simultaneous communication all equilibria are shown to be partition equilibria but all the equilibria can no longer be ranked ex ante in terms of pareto efficiency the payoff of the principal depends on both the total conflict between the agents and the asymmetry in the own project biases in the equilibrium preferred by the principal the agent with a smaller bias always has veto power to determine which alternative is implemented and weakly more messages in any given equilibrium decreasing the own project bias of one agent improves the precision of communication by both agents finally sequential communication and simple delegation are shown to be essentially outcome equivalent to simultaneous communication

do ordering effects matter in willingness to pay studies of health care willingness to pay studies are increasingly being used in the evaluation of health care programmes however there are methodological issues that need to be resolved before the potential of willingness to pay can be fully exploited as a tool for the economic evaluation of health care programmes of particular methodological interest are the consequences of varying the order in which willingness to pay questions are presented to respondents in contingent valuation studies this paper examines the possibility of ordering effects in willingness to pay studies in health care that is when asking willingness to pay questions about three health care programmes within a single survey does the order the programmes are presented have an impact on the reported willingness to pay ordering effects are observed in the ranking of the programmes in the proportion of zero values reported and in the wtp for one of the programmes the results suggest that the best explanation for the ordering effects is one of fading glow whereby the first programme in any sequence captures much of the utility associated with giving

a utility consistent combined discrete choice and count data model assessing recreational use losses due to natural resource damage abstract a two stage budgeting approach can often be taken when analyzing consumer choice situations in this paper we examine the particular situation where a consumer makes purchases of a discrete commodity of which there are a number of brands in the first stage the consumer decides how many purchases to make in the second stage the consumer decides how to allocate these purchases across brands our econometric approach to this type of situation uses a utility consistent combined discrete choice and count data model the second stage which is specified as a multinomial choice model produces a price index for the commodity which is used to estimate the first stage which is specified as a count data model we apply the model to recreational demand behavior in alaska in order to estimate the welfare losses suffered by recreational users due to the exxon valdez oil spill these results may provide useful input to government agencies attempting to estimate the appropriate level of taxes fines or regulations for deterring damage to the environment

differences between continuous and discrete contingent value estimates in a split sample contingent valuation study of willingness to pay wtp for food safety improvements the dichotomous choice dc elicitation method consistently generated much larger estimates of wtp than did a continuous method little or none of these differences was due to bias introduced by the statistical techniques used with the dc data most or all of the difference was due to differences in respondent behavior in addition the continuous wtp responses showed a significant scope effect while the dc responses did not the observed difference in behavior may be attributable in part to yea saying by dc respondents

a comparison of contingent preference models i compare the informational efficiencies of contingent rating contingent ranking and two contingent paired comparison methods as alternatives to the referendum contingent valuation method the contingent rating method is hypothesized to be most efficient because ratings convey information on preference intensities and can uniquely represent respondent indifference or ambivalence survey data on hunters ratings of alternative hypothetical hunting trips are used to estimate four alternative indirect utility models from which marginal willingness to pay measures for individual trip attributes are derived model comparison wtp estimates and their confidence intervals confirm the relative efficiency of the contingent rating approach

monte carlo benchmarks for discrete response valuation methods this paper argues that the belief that discrete contingent valuation cv questions yield substantially larger estimates of the mean and the median willingness to pay wtp for nonmarket resources in comparison to open ended cv questions is unfounded monte carlo experiments estimate the factors influencing the performance of wtp estimates based on discrete response models most of the error arises from the specification errors common to the empirical models in the literature these experiments suggest models where wtp is dominated by nonuse or passive use values are likely to have smaller errors than where large use values influence these decisions

the impact of choice inconsistencies in stated choice studies a new test procedure revealing mutuallyinconsistent choices has been developed andapplied to stated choice data our analysisshows that inconsistent choices commonly occurin several stated choice tasks an applicationof the test to the norwegian value of timestudy data shows that failing to excludeinconsistent choices resulted in asubstantially higher value of time theinconsistent choices were made by less educatedparticipants as the tasks were undertaken inthe easy context of choosing travelalternatives with three attributes practitioners of more complex and cognitivedemanding designs should be particularilyconcerned with these results

comparative reliability of the dichotomous choice and open ended contingent valuation techniques abstract the comparative reliability of dichotomous choice and open ended contingent valuation methods cvm is evaluated by resurvey of the same households 9 months after their original survey test retest correlations on willingness to pay are statistically significant at the 1 level and range from 0 57 for the dichotomous choice cvm to 0 62 for the open ended cvm the test retest correlations were not statistically different between dichotomous choice and open ended cvm a likelihood ratio test for temporal stability of each method s willingness to pay functions indicates stability half of the time for both methods

discrete choice survey experiments a comparison using flexible methods abstract this study investigates the convergent validity of discrete choice contingent valuation cv and contingent rating ranking cr methods using flexible econometric methods our results suggest that cv and cr can produce consistent data achieve convergent validity when respondent s preferred choices and the same changes in environmental quality are considered we also find that cr models that go beyond modeling the preferred choice and include additional ranks cannot be pooled with the cv models accounting for preference heterogeneity via random coefficient models and their flexible structure does not make rejection of the hypothesis of convergent validity less likely but instead rejects the hypothesis to about the same degree or perhaps more frequently than fixed parameter models commonly used in the literature

a test of the equality of closed ended and open ended contingent valuations a test is developed to find whether open ended and closed ended contingent valuation mechanisms lead to significantly different results the test is based on joint estimation of willingness to pay responses to open and closed ended questions asked of the same sample of individuals in a public good example individuals do respond differently depending on question format possible explanations include different incentives for strategic behavior and respondents lack of familiarity with the open ended question type no differences in willingness to pay were found in a private good example

externally validating contingent valuation an open space survey and referendum in corvallis oregon abstract we ask whether respondents report the same decisions in non binding surveys as they do in real elections we study a corvallis or referendum to raise open space funds and find survey and election compatibility pivots on the characterization of undecided responses the survey and referendum percentage of yes votes match closely only if undecided responses are treated as no we compare survey based mean willingness to pay wtp estimates with election based estimates household wtp averages us 48 89 using election results while survey based wtp averages us 75 43 excluding undecided responses us 49 67 treating undecided responses as no and between us 49 96 and 80 05

valuing environmental commodities some recent experiments a general model of consumer behavior is proposed to assess six recent experiments that have attempted to reveal preferences for environmental goals each experiment used a mix of both the techniques and the theory of demand for non market commodities and each was designed to estimate a non market attitude associated with the environment and to analyze potential biases in the techniques the six cases show some consistency in results the linkage within the contingent market between the environmental attribute institutional setting and the bidding instrument must be realistic and accepted by the respondent to avoid biased results possibly the most important result is the replication of results using a traditional property value study and a contingent bidding approach all evidence obtained to date suggests that hedonic studies of property values or wages travel costs and survey techniques all yield values well one order of magnitude in accuracy 41 references 2 tables

payments settlement tiering in private and public systems what are the benefits provided by a payment system what are the trade offs in public versus private payment systems and in restricted versus open payments arrangements modern payment systems encompass a variety of institutional designs with varying degrees of counterparty protection we develop a framework that allows for an examination and comparison of payment systems and specification of conditions leading to their adoption we relate these conditions to the design of present large value payment systems fedwire chips target etc

comparing ranking and contingent valuation for valuing human lives applying nested and non nested logit models the aim of this paper is to investigate whetherrespondents perceive a discrete choice contingentvaluation dc cvm question differently from a rankingquestion we combine the two approaches to valuepublic projects that try to prevent people from dyingprematurely the combined valuation procedure enablesus to investigate the internal consistency of theutility structure between choices applying nested andnon nested logit models if the preference structureis allowed to shift the relative utility weights ofthe attributes differ between the valuation questions and the willingness to pay wtp estimate from thecombined procedure changes

a satisfactory benefit cost indicator from contingent valuation abstract standard economic concepts are used to develop a model of individual behavior when subject to the constraints of the contingent valuation choice context the model yields refutable consequences that are consistent with previously reported empirical findings including some that have been thought to be anomalous the model is used to show that different contingent valuation formats have predictably different performance characteristics notably the hicksian compensating measures are satisfactory benefit cost indicators when elicited using any one of several formats identified in the text of the formats examined one form of a policy referendum appears to have the most satisfactory characteristics overall we conclude that contingent valuation is a progressing research program

a bayesian approach to double bounded contingent valuation in this paper we propose a bayesian approach to model double bounded contingent valuation data the double bounded elicitation method is interpreted as a two tier iterated process in which the subject is allowed to have a second thought about his her valuation for the environmental good prior information is modelled from the answers to the first dichotomous choice question the model is quasi bayesian q b in that the prior distribution refers to mean willingness to pay while the likelihood function refers to the proportions of a multinomial distribution this model is applied to empirical data from a contingent valuation survey involving the valuation expressed by european tourists for access to natural areas in the canary islands results show that point estimate of consumer surplus computed with the q b model does not differ substantially from single bounded model estimation in addition double bounded seems to be quite robust to the choice of the prior model of willingness to pay responses comparison with open ended suggests that the q b model might be useful to control for strategic response and starting point biases

a model of tiered settlement networks this paper develops a model of settlement system to study the endogenous structure of settlement networks and the welfare consequences of clearing agent failure the equilibrium degree of tiering is endogenously determined by the cost structure and the information structure the degree of tiering is decreasing in the fixed cost of operating the second tier network and the availability of public credit history furthermore the welfare effects of clearing agent failure can be decomposed into operational inefficiency and the loss of private information

yea saying in contingent valuation surveys a number of recent papers have provided estimates of willingness to pay derived in contingent valuation surveys exceeding those revealed in experimental or real life markets one possible explanation for the overestimation of values is the presence of yea saying with the objective of reducing the occurrence of yea saying a new elicitation format referred to as the dissonance minimizing d m format is proposed an empirical comparison of the dm format with the conventional dichotomous choice dc format and the ambivalence reducing polychotomous choice pc format suggested by ready whitehead and blomquist 1995 is made results are encouraging for the dm

inside and outside money as alternative media of exchange we study a random matching model of money in which a subset of people called bankers have known histories and the rest called nonbankers have unknown histories earlier we showed that if there are no outside assets then an optimal arrangement has bankers issuing objects banknotes that are used in trades involving nonbankers here the same model is used to compare such exclusive use of inside money to the exclusive use of outside money we show that the set of implementable outcomes using outside money is a strict subset of the set using inside money

resolving conflicting ecological and economic interests in the korean dmz a valuation based approach abstract the demilitarized zone dmz between south and north korea has served as a sanctuary to diverse biological resources since the korean war ceased in 1953 during winter season flocks of cranes grus spp converge in the rice field along the dmz all other refuges for cranes that winter in south korea were destroyed due mainly to wilful industrial expansion in the past few decades the presence of cranes in this region is attributed to the residual rice grains left behind by harvesters this winter habitat is however very fragile for a number of reasons first the local formers regard the cranes as a potential threat in their livelihood rather than as an ecological member sharing the same ecosystem resources second exercising property rights the landholders have actively advocated an industrial development program third it is difficult to legally impose the notion of wildlife preservation even if there is a perception among the general public that the crane is worth preserving this study sought to formulate a policy measure to guide the local egalitarian farm economy to ecological economy in which farmers and cranes are the harmonized co users of the ecosystem resources valuation based approach is employed in our study to show that bio diversity is not in conflict with local economic well being but in fact essential to it

a new paradigm for valuing non market goods using referendum data maximum likelihood estimation by censored logistic regression abstract this paper challenges the w m hanemann amer j agr econom 66 332 341 1984 and c sellar j p chavas and j r stoll j environ econom management 13 382 390 1986 utilizations of logit models to estimate the value of non market resources from referendum survey data these data are more informative than conventional choice data the random utility interpretation of logit models is therefore too restrictive bypassing the utility function entirely it will be shown that parameters and standard errors for utility theoretic inverse hicksian demand functions can be extracted directly and much more simply estimated demand functions need not be limited to those corresponding to the linear in parameters utility difference specifications which can be handled by packaged logit programs

the noaa panel report a new beginning or the end of an era an account of the prospective contribution of some proposed project or policy to the satisfaction of human preferences the central focus on preference satisfaction led bc analysts to be concerned with economic surpluses and the values of nonmarketed goods and amenities matters that took the inquiry well beyond the prices and quantity changes that first attracted the analysts attention cv was specifically designed for enlisting survey research methods with their broad scope of potential applications to obtain benefit estimates consistent with a rigorous welfare change measurement framework samuelson s model for valuing public goods in which individual valuations were rigorously defined and aggregated to obtain the social value was applied directly in early cv applications i e through the 1970s the objective was to define a baseline or default situation and a proposed project and to ask respondents to report a valuation that would leave them indifferent between implementing the proposal or defaulting to the baseline situation for proposed projects that would improve things but at a cost respondents were asked to announce their maximum willingness to pay wtp alternatively to make sure that the full consumer s surplus was identified iterative bidding was used to drive the respondent all the way to the point of indifference the market analogy with only minimal concessions to the public goods context dominated the language of cv survey format and of communication among cv researchers these early excursions into cv encountered skepticism from economists who have traditionally argued despite the isolation paradox that undermines markets in public goods that real transactions are much more reliable indicators of value than self reported behavioral intentions many social scientists were skeptical or even hostile to cv for reasons quite different from those that worried economists they recognized that there are many different philosophical systems of valuing and many different institutions beyond the market for providing public amenities to these social scientists it seemed perverse to force the richness and diversity of human ways of valuing and providing public amenities into the rigid molds of bca and cv 1

a pilot test of a new stated preference valuation method continuous attribute based stated choice abstract a new stated preference nonmarket valuation technique is developed in an interactive computerized survey respondents move continuous sliders to vary levels of environmental attributes the total cost of the combination of attributes is calculated according to a preprogrammed cost function continuously updated and displayed as respondents move the sliders each registered choice reveals the respondent s marginal willingness to pay for each of the attributes the method is tested in a museum exhibit on global climate change two construct validity tests were conducted responses are sensitive to the shape of the cost function in ways that are consistent with expectations based on economic theory implied marginal willingness to pay values were similar to those estimated using a more traditional paired comparisons stated choice format however responses showed range effects that indicate potential cognitive biases

validation of empirical measures of welfare change a comparison of nonmarket techniques since the passing of the flood control act of 1936 the attention of many resource economists has been directed towards measuring the benefits and costs of alternative uses of natural resources increasingly it has been recognized that the value of some of these uses is not explicitly determined through market transactions this has led to the focus of much attention upon the development of nonmarket methods to estimate the value of these uses in the 1940s the groundwork for the travel cost method was established by hotelling prewitt 1949 following this in the 1960s davis initiated the basic foundation for bidding methods davis 1963 which were later to be subsumed under the heading of contingent valuation methods brookshire randall and stoll 1980 schulze d arge and brookshire 1981 thayer 1981 both of these methods will be further discussed below in addition to these two methods a third approach the unit day value method has been recognized as acceptable but not preferred for the valuation of recreational uses of water and related land resources dwyer kelley and bowes 1977 u s water resources council 1979 given the existence of alternative methods of estimating the value of resource uses several obvious questions arise one of the first of these is under what circumstances is each method most appropriate existing literature has focussed sufficiently on this question and pointed out limitations of each especially the travel cost method and unit day value methods brookshire ives and schulze 1976 dwyer kelly and bowes 1977 freeman 1979 mcconnell 1975 randall ives and eastman 1977 schulze d arge and brook

an empirical investigation of the consistency of nested logit models with utility maximization global conditions under which nested logit models are consistent with utility maximization are provided by daly and zachary and by mcfadden recently borsch supan and herriges and kling have provided conditions under which a nested logit model is locally consistent however previous work has not discussed implementation of these conditions here three alternative approaches to checking and formally testing for the consistency conditions using classical statistics are investigated in addition a bayesian approach to interpreting and imposing the local consistency conditions is provided the application is based on anglers choices regarding sportfishing alternatives in southern california

stated preferences real behaviour and anchoring some empirical evidence we compare different contingent valuation question formats with each other and with observed behaviour for a non monetary estimation task the expected number of kilometers travelled by automobile open ended questions open ended follow up questions dichotomous choice dc questions and double bound dc questions are included the single and double bound dc questions result in an estimated mean about twice as high as the actual value and the open ended mean the dc question overestimation seems to be due to an anchoring effect leading to yea saying behaviour our results about the difference between dc questions and open ended questions is consistent with the pattern observed in contingent valuations studies of the willingness to pay our results indicates that dc questions seem to be associated with a general overestimation problem that is present even for simple non monetary estimation tasks

the net benefit of saving the asian elephant a policy and contingent valuation study reports results from a contingent valuation cv survey of willingness to pay wtp for the conservation of the asian elephant of a sample of urban residents living in three selected housing schemes in colombo the capital of sri lanka face to face surveys were conducted using an interview schedule is a non linear logit regression model is used to analyse the respondents responses for the payment principle questions and to identify the factors that influence their responses we investigate whether urban residents wtp for the conservation of elephants is sufficient to compensate farmers for the damage caused by elephants we find that the beneficiaries the urban residents could compensate losers the fanners in the areas affected by human elephant conflict hec and be better off than in the absence of elephants in sri lanka therefore there is a strong economic case for the conservation of the wild elephant population in sri lanka however we have insufficient data to determine the optimal level of this elephant population in the kaldor hicks sense nevertheless the current population of elephant in sri lanka is kaldor hicks preferable to having none c 2003 elsevier b v all rights reserved

willingness to pay lip service applying a neuroscience based method to wtp for green electricity abstract consumers willingness to pay wtp represents a central question for providers of renewable energy most studies on the subject have used contingent valuation and choice experiments however all empirical designs employed to date suffer from serious biases such as strategic behavior we introduce a novel neuroscience based approach to renewable energy related wtp research neuropricing which eliminates some of these biases we tested consumers wtp for two different green electricity products and found wtp for these products to be about 15 above that for a non green electricity tariff our results suggest that neuropricing is indeed able to eliminate strategic behavior moreover this approach allows for wtp studies with much smaller sample sizes than traditional methods require the neuroscience methodology can be used by researchers and marketers alike not only for testing the effects of product attributes on wtp but also for evaluating wtp effects of specific messages in marketing communications thus it may lead to a better understanding of consumer behavior and hence facilitate more successful marketing of renewable energy

effects of norms and opportunity cost of time on household recycling social and moral norms and the opportunity cost of time will affect household recycling efforts a model is developed to describe how norms affect the recycling decision through feelings of self respect guilty conscience and warm glow as well as respect in and sanctions from the community we find that the opportunity cost of time has a significant negative effect on household recycling all indicators of warm glow social and moral norms increase household recycling efforts we find no evidence of crowding out neither when recycling is perceived as mandatory nor when economic incentives are introduced in the form of a differentiated garbage fee

transferability finality and debt settlement abstract payment fundamental to exchange in a decentralized economy often takes the form of transfers of inside money i e specialized forms of debt associated with each type of inside money is a set of rules that governs both the legitimacy of such transfers as means of extinguishing other debts and the allocation of the ensuing risks in this paper we develop a model of debt as inside money in a simple mechanism design framework we show that transferable debt that can be used to settle other debt obligations with finality can be a welfare improving arrangement in the presence of limited enforcement powers transferable debt has two advantages over simple chains of credit it allows for removal of less than perfectly reliable agents from the chain in a timely fashion and it allows agents to direct payments to the proper party without direct communication with other members of the credit chain

a convergent validity test within the payment card format using simulation techniques a convergent validity test is performed between two groups of versions of the payment card format the first group the classic payment card cpc asks respondents to report their willingness to p

does question format matter valuing an endangered species a three way treatment design is used to compare contingent valuation response formats respondents are asked to value an endangered species the red cockaded woodpecker and the restor ation of its habitat following a natural disaster for three question formats open ended payment card and double bounded dichotomous choice differences in survey response rates item non response rates and protest bids are examined bootstrap techniques are used to compare means across formats and to explore differences in willingness to pay wtp distribution functions convergent validity is found in a comparison of mean wtp values although some differences are apparent in the cumulat ive distribution functions differences across formats are also identified in item non response rates and proportion of protest bids overall the payment card format exhibits desirable properties relative to the other two formats

fat tails and truncated bids in contingent valuation an application to an endangered shorebird species a yes response function in a contingent valuation study is said to have fat tails if it has a high and slowly declining yes response rate at high bid levels truncated bids refer to the practice of dropping high bid offers before a yes response rate of near zero is reached this is a common practice in contingent valuation we explore the extent and implications of fat tails and truncated bids in a study of an endangered shorebird species we find among other things that mean willingness to pay is quite sensitive to the highest bid offered so much so that the choice of highest bid nearly dictates outcomes

an experimental testing of anchoring effects in discrete choice questions this paper re examines the openended dichotomous choice question in the lab it hasearlier been suggested that the dichotomous choiceformat suffers from anchoring and yea saying comparing actual economic commitments for a privategood with a significant market value we cannot rejectthe null hypothesis of equal wtp for the two formats we conclude that problems with dc might be due toissues of how the survey is framed not the dcquestion itself

welfare measurements using contingent valuation a comparison of techniques three commonly used techniques of asking contingent valuation questions are compared iterative bidding payment cards and dichotomous choice the results reveal that no single contingent valuation technique is neutral in the elicitation of hicksian surplus and each technique has its strengths and weaknesses the iterative bidding estimates contain a starting point bias while the payment card and dichotomous choice estimates were influenced by the interviewers soliciting the contingent values finally the analysis of dichotomous choice responses involves unresolved issues that warrant further investigation on the other hand dichotomous choice is the easiest technique to administer in a survey setting

valuing health care using willingness to pay a comparison of the payment card and dichotomous choice methods this paper compares willingness to pay wtp estimates generated from the dichotomous choice dc and payment card pc approaches in a split sample wtp experiment concerned with allocating scarce health care resources across three health care interventions the dc approach is shown consistently to generate larger welfare estimates than the pc observed difference between pc and dc experiments cannot be explained by the inclusion of non demanders or methods of statistical analysis but may be partly explained by yea saying no evidence of range bias or mid point bias was found with pc responses data were also collected on respondents ordinal rankings of the three interventions and person trade offs ptos neither of these approaches converged with wtp future work must address the decision heuristics individuals employ when responding to valuation experiments

rational inattention and organizational focus this paper studies optimal communication flows in organizations a production process can be coordinated ex ante by letting agents stick to a prespecified plan of action alternatively agents may adapt to task specific shocks in which case tasks must be coordinated ex post using communication when attention is scarce an optimal organization coordinates only a few tasks ex post those tasks are higher performing more adaptive to the environment and influential hence scarce attention requires setting priorities not just local optimization our results provide microfoundations for a central idea in the management literature that firms should focus on a limited set of core competencies

a box cox double hurdle model of wildlife valuation the citizen s perspective abstract a stated preference approach is used to elicit the attitudes of the general public towards coyote conservation the payment vehicle is presented in a way that explicitly prompts respondents to adopt a citizen perspective rather than a consumer perspective when responding to the survey to deal with the large numbers of zero responses a box cox double hurdle specification is used to model separately individuals choices about whether to support conservation or not and their choice about the level of support the results show that simpler analyses that do not account explicitly for these two different decisions would lead to misleading conclusions in the study of nuisance wildlife the study uses primary data from prince edward island canada

on the gap between payment card and closed ended cvm answers the paper presents contingent valuation cv estimates of benefits provided by a proposed kalkalpen national park in austria although descriptive results of welfare measures are presented the focus of the paper is on methodological questions concerning the analysis of cv answers evidence is given regarding the difference between payment card pc answers and closed ended question formats based on different estimation models for cv questions substantial differences are found between closed ended and payment card welfare measures on average pc willingness to pay wtp measures are below the closed ended figures since the evaluation models are based on different premises in the calculation of wtp figures a more precise disclosure of the underlying evaluation methods is required if different question formats are compared to one another identical assumptions on the probability distributions have to be assumed whenever open and closed ended cv welfare measures are compared taking theoretical argument

using choice experiments to value the environment this paper we outline the choice experiment approach to environmental valuation this approach has its roots in lancaster s characteristics theory of value in random utility theory and in experimental design we show how marginal values for the attributes of environmental assets such as forests and rivers can be estimated from pair wise choices as well as the value of the environmental asset as a whole these choice pairs are designed so as to allow efficient statistical estimation of the underlying utility function and to minimise required sample size choice experiments have important advantages over other environmental valuation methods such as contingent valuation and travel cost type models although many design issues remain unresolved applications to environmental issues have so far been relatively limited we illustrate the use of choice experiments with reference to a recent uk study on public preferences for alternative forest landscapes this study allows us to perform a convergent validity test on the choice experiment estimates of willingness to pay

exploring preference anomalies in double bounded contingent valuation double bounded dichotomous choice dbdc contingent valuation offers increased efficiency of willingness to pay wtp estimates compared with the single bounded format however evidence suggests dbdc generates anomalous respondent behaviour this paper provides the first investigation and explanation of these anomalies in health results suggest the incentives for truthful preference revelation are altered in the presence of a follow up question this result is found using both regression techniques and analysis of raw responses although findings suggest very certain respondents exhibit less anomalous behaviour inconsistencies remain across bounds the results of this study question the use of iterative valuation formats

conflicts and common interests in committees committees improve decisions by pooling members independent information but promote manipulation obfuscation and exaggeration of private information when members have conflicting preferences committee decision procedures transform continuous data into ordered ranks through voting this coarsens the transmission of information but controls strategic manipulations and allows some degree of information sharing each member becomes more cautious in casting the crucial vote than when he alone makes the decision based on own information increased quality of one member s information results in his casting the crucial vote more often committees make better decisions for members than does delegation

norwegian residential electricity demand a microeconomic assessment of the growth from 1976 to 1993 abstract the norwegian residential electricity consumption increased by an average of 3 annually during the period 1976 1993 political signals indicate that the growth in norwegian residential energy consumption should be reduced and that it may be necessary to increase energy taxes based on data for the sample of households from the annual consumer expenditure survey we study factors that are of importance explaining the growth in norwegian residential electricity demand during this period nearly half of the growth is due to an increase in the number of households while the rest reflects an increase in average consumption per household the increase in average consumption per household is due to an increasing number of households possessing electric household appliances such as dryers and dishwashers an increase in real disposable household income and in the floor space of dwellings

consumer s surplus without apology the purpose of this paper is to settle the controversy surrounding consumer s surplus and by so doing to validate its use as a tool of welfare economics i will show that observed consumer s surplus can be rigorously utilized to estimate the unobservable compensating and equivalent variations the correct theoretical measures of the welfare impact of changes in prices and income on an individual i derive precise upper and lower bounds on the percentage errors of approximating the compensating and equivalent variations with consumer s surplus these bounds can be explicitly calculated from observable demand data and it is clear that in most applications the error of approximation will be very small in fact the error will often be overshadowed by the errors involved in estimating the demand curve the results in no way depend upon arguments about the constancy of the marginal utility of income consequently this paper supplies specific empirical criteria which can replace the apologetic caveats frequently employed by those who presently apply consumer s surplus moreover the results imply that consumer s surplus is usually a very good approximation to the appropriate welfare measures to preview below i establish the validity of these rules of thumb for a

differences between willingness to pay estimates from open ended and discrete choice contingent valuation methods the effects of heteroscedasticity most comparative studies find that the discrete choice contingent valuation method dc cvm yields higher willingness to pay wtp estimates than the open ended oe format in this paper we discuss and test several hypotheses to explain why wtp estimates from oe and dc cvm questions differ we find that wtp estimates from discrete choice data are very sensitive to assumptions made about the random utility in particular violation of the homoscedasticity assumption may lead to biased wtp estimates if the error terms are correlated with the cost this violation was a main source of difference in wtp estimates in our studies

bounded rationality in contingent valuation empirical evidence using cognitive psychology abstract survey based valuation techniques like the contingent valuation method cvm rely particularly on the premise of respondents rationality when answering willingness to pay wtp questions results of cvm surveys have repeatedly put this fundamental assumption into question this study adopts a more realistic view of rationality accounting for respondents limited capacities to process information based on cognitive psychology a technique to detect and analyze the bounds of rationality inherent in wtp statements is developed using an empirical example the influence of bounded rationality on the validity of cvm results is analyzed it is shown that individual differences in information processing play a major role for the validity of cvm responses the results allow new insights into response behavior in dichotomous choice versus payment card elicitation formats from the results of this study recommendations for future survey designs taking into account respondents different information processing modes are developed

ordering effects in nested top down and bottom up contingent valuation designs abstract within a contingent valuation cv survey ordering effects are defined where responses to a given question vary in a theoretically unanticipated manner according to the positioning of that question relative to others in the survey instrument this paper employs a split sample cv design to investigate the potential for such ordering effects upon stated willingness to pay for nested goods in one top down design values are first elicited for protecting the whole of an endangered area after which values for a part sub area are elicited a second bottom up treatment reverses the order of valuation tasks with the part scheme valued prior to the whole results show that whole and part valuation responses are logically ordered and determined by a consistent set of factors irrespective of question order however variance to question order was observed in both the part and whole valuations the correspondence of these results to standard and non standard preference theories is explored and the difficulties and practical issues concerning valuing nested goods are highlighted

can defaults save the climate evidence from a field experiment on carbon offsetting programs individual preferences for environmental policies can be influenced by the frame in which choices and decisions are presented in this paper we present results of a field experiment on the contributions to carbon offsetting programs under two alternative treatments for the default option the opt in treatment asked subjects to pay for the policy proposal while the opt out treatment asked subjects if they wanted to be excluded from payment for the policy proposal the results show that the frame of the default option had a significant effect on the amount of money paid for the policy proposal subjects were more likely to accept the policy proposal if the default option was the opt out treatment the results have implications for the design of environmental policies

sequencing and the adding up property in contingent valuation of endangered species are contingent non use values economic values this paper presents tests of the theoretical validity of the contingent valuation cv method the validity of cv is especially a concern when involving environmental goods with a predominant non use value one test of theoretical validity is the adding up property that implies that a specific good should be equally valued irrespectively of it is being valued directly or built up sequentially in this cv study four independent sub samples stated willingness to pay for the same composite good or package using different sequences one sub sample valued the composite good directly while two sub samples faced built up sequences valuing first subsets of this composite good a fourth sub sample valued the composite good from a dividing out approach facing first the valuation of a larger multi package theoretically expected sequencing effects were observed the subset goods obtained higher values earlier in a sequence and the dividing out approach decreased the stated value for the composite good most importantly these cv data did pass the tests of the adding up property

elasticities of demand and willingness to pay for environmental services in sweden are environmental services luxuriesor necessities are low income groupsrelatively more willing to pay forenvironmental improvements than high incomegroups the discussion on the shape of theenvironmental kuznets curve and environmentaljustice call for analyses that approach thesequestions following a survey based approachfor modelling the demand for public goods thispaper provides estimates of income and priceelasticities of demand for reduced marineeutrophication effects in the case of thebaltic sea using data from five swedishcontingent valuation studies point estimatesindicate that reduced marine eutrophicationeffects can be classified as a necessity and anordinary and price elastic service confidenceintervals show however that the classificationas a necessity is not statisticallysignificant income elasticities of willingnessto pay not to be confused with incomeelasticities of demand are estimated for abroad range of environmental services insweden a basic finding is that income tends toinfluence willingness to pay positively andsignificantly the elasticity estimates are inmost cases greater than zero but less thanunity indicating that the benefits ofenvironmental improvements tend to beregressively distributed in a cost benefitanalysis of a project suggesting environmentalimprovements distributional concerns thereforecall for an introduction of weights or at leasta sensitivity analysis of how weighting wouldchange decisions about the project s socialprofitability

experimental valuation of food safety abstract nearly 60 of the sewage sludge in france is recycled in agriculture sludge serves as a fertilizer but contains micropollutants this could modify the consumer s perceived safety concerning the vegetables grown with sludge in the same way as nutritional value safety is an attribute of food food safety is a public good and in this respect has no explicit price a consumer is willing to pay for it if he perceives a risk to his health the purpose of this study is to give a value to food safety relative to the practice of sewage sludge disposal on agricultural soils experimental economics is a support to elicit the willingness to pay for safety risks linked to one heavy metal cadmium have been chosen they are supposed to be very low and difficult to assess because of the uncertainties involved in the food chain process

who wants a good reputation we examine a market in which long lived firms face a short term incentive to exert low effort but could earn higher profits if it were possible to commit to high effort there are two types of firms inept firms who can only exert low effort and competent firms who have a choice between high and low effort there is occasional exit and competent and inept potential entrants compete for the right to inherit the departing firm s reputation consumers receive noisy signals of effort choice and so competent firms choose high effort in an attempt to distinguish themselves from inept firms a competent firm is most likely to enter the market by purchasing an average reputation in the hopes of building it into a good reputation than either a very low reputation or a very high reputation inept firms in contrast find it more profitable to either buy high reputations and deplete them or buy low reputations

testing the consistency of nested logit models with utility maximization abstract this paper provides simple necessary conditions for testing the local consistency of nested logit models with stochastic utility maximization a graphical analysis illustrates the extent to which these conditions extend the range of admissible dissimilarity coefficients beyond the unit interval

modelling willingness to pay responses from dichotomous choice contingent valuation surveys with zero observations modelling household behaviour with the data from dichotomous choice contingent valuation dccv surveys is often complicated by zero willingness to pay wtp responses in the sample to deal with the zero responses a two equation model is considered which incorporates a two level decision structure a decision on whether to participate in having wtp and a decision on the wtp amount conditional on deciding to participate and two separate stochastic processes that determine the probability and conditional level of wtp are featured the model is empirically applied to household survey data in which the dccv questions concerned the benefits of air quality improvement in korea to put the issue of the two equation model in perspective this paper also experiments with economic and econometric specifications utility theoretic restriction and heteroscedasticity it is shown how failure to allow for the restriction distorts aggregate benefit estimates and the existence of heteroscedasticity in error term is

testing for misspecification in the referendum contingent valuation approach binary choice models are frequently used in the analysis of referendum contingent valuation data because omitted regressors heteroskedasticity and distribution asymmetry in these models result in inconsistent parameter estimates it is important that misspecification tests be undertaken in this article conditional moment tests for these problems are presented and applied to data from two referendum contingent valuation studies results show that some models have misspecification problems and that these problems affect the estimation of welfare measures

willingness to pay for environmental improvements in a large city evidence from the spike model and from a non parametric approach in this paper the contingent valuation method cvm is applied in order toestimate the social benefits of a set of environmental and urbanimprovements planned for the waterfront of the city of valencia spain asa consequence of the expansion and restructuring of its trading port asthe data show a high rate of zero responses we applied the spike model one of the most recent models in cvm literature since traditional models logit and probit are not suitable given the characteristics of our data the non parametric approach is also applied in order to test the validity ofthe spike model the results show certain similarities between the spikemodel and the non parametric approach

respondent uncertainty in a contingent market for carbon offsets abstract the main objective of this paper is to provide additional empirical evidence of what explains respondent uncertainty in contingent valuation cv and how this in turn affects stated willingness to pay wtp air travelers asked to pay a carbon travel tax to offset carbon emissions from flying were asked how likely it is that they will actually pay if the tax is voluntary when changing the market compliance imperative from a mandatory carbon tax to a voluntary contribution a third of all air travelers consider it unlikely they will actually pay their stated wtp amount an ordered probit estimation approach is applied to identify the sources of respondent uncertainty besides the bid price respondent sense of responsibility and belief in the effectiveness of the voluntary carbon market are among the main reasons for the experienced uncertainty

the payments system liquidity and rediscounting in an economy where fiat money serves both as a medium of exchange and the means by which debts are cleared it is shown that nonoptimal equilibria of constrained liquidity may arise optimality may be restored by temporary expansions of the monetary base e g an active central bank discount window copyright 1996 by american economic association

valuing public goods discrete versus continuous contingent valuation responses independent applications of open ended and dichotomous choice formats are compared using tests of means estimating joint likelihood functions and nonparametric tests of distributions the null hypothesis of no difference in the open ended and dichotomous choice estimates of central tendency cannot be rejected for two out of three data sets while estimated standard deviations are significantly different for all three data sets in addition actual dichotomous choice means and standard deviations exceed those from comparable synthetic dichotomous choice data sets suggesting either open ended questions underestimate values or dichotomous choice bid structures may lead to systematic overestimates

bias in discrete response contingent valuation abstract the empirical literature on discrete response contingent valuation has found that seemingly innocuous changes in the statistical models estimated result in significantly different point estimates of willingness to pay this paper hypothesizes and tests several potential explanations for these results first it investigates and compares the biases inherent in single bounded and double bounded maximum likelihood estimation procedures and examines how they react to various bid designs and sample sizes then it examines the presence and identification of outliers in binary choice data and how these outliers influence estimation finally it presents an alternative approach to addressing the issue of outliers which explicitly acknowledges the possibility of upwardly biased response probabilities

liquidity a new monetarist perspective this essay surveys the new monetarist approach to liquidity work in this literature strives for empirical and policy relevance plus rigorous foundations questions include what is liquidity is money essential in achieving desirable outcomes which objects can or should serve in this capacity when can asset prices differ from fundamentals what are the functions of commitment and collateral in credit markets how does money interact with credit and intermediation what can and should monetary policy do the research summarized emphasizes the micro structure of frictional transactions and studies how institutions like monetary exchange credit arrangements or intermediation facilitate the exchange process

comparing continuous and discrete contingent valuation questions this paper explores two commonly used methods to elicit an individual s willingness to pay wtp for a public good in contingent valuation studies currently the most preferred method is the take it or leave valuation question or discrete valuation question dvq where the respondent accepts or rejects a suggested cost for the good the traditional method the continuous valuation question cvq simply asks an individual to state his wtp for the suggested change in the provision of a public good like cleaner air we introduce a simple way to compare the results from these two methods we also test the anchoring behavior suggested in the psychological literature on choice under uncertainty the results do not support the anchoring hypothesis but suggest the hypothesis that people perceive the two tested valuation questions differently

statistical approaches to the fat tail problem for dichotomous choice contingent valuation if a cumulative density function esti mated from dichotomous choice data has an unre alistically fat right hand tail mean willingness to pay wtp will be overestimated truncating the range of integration results in a lower bound esti mate of the true mean wtp a normalization pro cedure proposed by boyle welsh and bishop 1988 unnecessarily depresses the estimate further a new statistical approach is presented that allows a best guess estimate of mean wtp because this estimate involves extrapolation beyond the range of the data it tends to be highly variable jel q21

causes and consequences of lexicographic choices in stated choice studies abstract stated choice sc methods and other choice experiments are now becoming increasingly popular for the valuation of environmental goods this paper shows that lexicographic choices lcs in an sc task or other types of choice experiments do not imply that the respondent has lexicographic preferences lcs may be a result of i study designs where differences between the alternatives are too great and ii simplification of the choice task a traditional approach that investigates motives for lexicographic choices mainly as a result of lexicographic preferences may therefore fail to reveal the whole motive range study designs that cause lcs whether such choices actually are based on non compensatory choices i e genuine lexicographic preferences or strategic behaviour or compensatory choices provide less information about preferences however providing they are not totally dominant such choices are not normally a serious modeling problem it is argued that simplification is a consequence of respondents differing abilities to choose such lcs contribute to the larger variances of sc data relative to less cognitively demanding valuation methods and might therefore have a significant impact on the implied valuation of non market goods if they are not handled in the analysis in data collection we should use survey designs that collect more signals and less noise and in data analysis we should use models that can separate signals from noise however there is obviously a limit to the amount of noise which can be separated from signals in a model and therefore how much noise such models can tolerate and still produce useful valuation estimates for the goods under consideration for further investigation of such limits a direct test procedure that can investigate whether each respondent has completed the task in a compensatory manner like the one presented in the current study is valuable

inducing incentives to understate and to overstate willingness to pay within the open ended and the dichotomous choice elicitation formats an experimental study the subject of this paper is a laboratory experiment in which nearly 300 students were asked to state their willingness to pay wtp for an actual market good two elicitation methods were used the open ended oe and the dichotomous choice dc formats the results indicate that individuals respond to incentives in the predicted direction further when an individual had an incentive to overstate his true wtp the dc format yielded higher estimates of wtp than the oe format when an individual is subjected to opposite incentives the tests suggest no behavioral differences between the two formats

a multilevel modelling approach to triple bounded dichotomous choice contingent valuation the use of dichotomous choice dc questions in the elicitation of willingness to pay wtp in contingent valuation studies is common practice at the present time recent research has shown that double bounded dc questions provide statistically superior results to single bounded questions given an appropriate sampling design this paper uses a relatively new multilevel modelling technique to analyze a triple bounded dc design which in addition includes an initial non monetary question on whether an individual accepts in principle a wtp some unspecified amount the theoretical basis of the multilevel model used is described and some of the possibilities of this potentially powerful and versatile technique are discussed the practical operation of the multilevel model is demonstrated using data from a contingent valuation study conducted in the norfolk broads england an internationally important wetland resource

construct validity of dichotomous and polychotomous choice contingent valuation questions in this note we conduct construct validity tests for dichotomous choice dc and polychotomous choice pc contingent valuation questions contrary to previous results we find that dc and pc estimates of willingness to pay are theoretically valid convergent valid and similar in terms of statistical precision similar to previous results pc respondents are less sensitive to information than dc respondents we conclude that dc and pc valuation questions are construct valid for this study sequential pc valuation questions could be used in studies where obtaining information about the certainty or intensity of respondent preferences would be useful

evaluating the effect of alternative risk communication devices on willingness to pay results from a dichotomous choice contingent valuation experiment two versions of a contingent valuation questionnaire that differ only in the device used to communicate risks from hazardous waste were sent to california households both risk communication devices provide wtp functions which vary in a statistically significant fashion with the absolute risk reduction however these empirical results also demonstrate that different risk communication devices produce statistically different logit equations and hence estimates of willingness to pay wtp for reductions in exposure to hazardous waste the pros and cons of using each risk communication device in cvm surveys is also discussed

digging for golden carrots an analysis of research tournaments contracting for research is often infeasible because research inputs are unobservable and research outcomes cannot be verified by a court sponsoring a research tournament can resolve these problems a model is presented in which contestants compete to find the innovation of highest value to the tournament sponsor the winner receives a prespecified prize the tournament game has a unique subgame perfect equilibrium free entry is not optimal because equilibrium effort by each researcher decreases in the number of contestants an optimally designed research tournament balances the probability of overshooting the first best quality level against the probability of falling short copyright 1995 by american economic association