research development and firm growth empirical evidence from european top r d spending firms abstract following recent literature we present a model of endogenous firm growth with r d investment as one of the main mechanisms of growth our study evidences a positive effect of r d intensity on the sales growth by using ols quantile regressions and gmm system estimators for a sample of 754 european firms for the 2003 2007 period we also find this association is more intense in high growth firms and is especially significant when referring to high technology sectors this paper gives empirical support to those recommendations from policy makers and business leaders for maintaining the r d expenditures especially in high technology sectors even when facing a recession

why is the market for long term care insurance so small abstract long term care represents one of the largest uninsured financial risks facing the elderly in the united states we present evidence of supply side market failures in the private long term care insurance market in particular the typical policy purchased exhibits premiums marked up substantially above expected benefits it also provides very limited coverage relative to the total expenditure risk however we present additional evidence suggesting that the existence of supply side market failures is unlikely by itself to be sufficient to explain the very small size of the private long term care insurance market in particular we find enormous gender differences in pricing that do not translate into differences in coverage and we show that more comprehensive policies are widely available if seldom purchased at similar loads to purchased policies this suggests that factors limiting demand for insurance are also likely to be important in this market our evidence also sheds light on the likely nature of these demand side factors

cost reduction competition and industry performance in many markets firms compete over time by expending resources with the purpose of reducing their costs sometimes the cost reducing investments operate directly on costs in many instances they take the form of developing new products that deliver what customers need more cheaply therefore product development can have the same ultimate effect as direct cost reduction in fact if one thinks of the product as the services it delivers to the customer in the way that lancaster pioneered then product development often is just cost reduction

the international debt crisis and bank loan loss reserve decisions the signaling content of partially anticipated events the huge increases in loan loss provisions by major bank holding companies bhcs in 1987 were a signal of impending asset writedowns of loans to less developed countries ldcs 1 since loan loss reserve decisions like asset write downs are simply bookkeeping adjustments significant market reactions to such announcements should not be expected strong and meyer 1987 however found a positive and statistically significant cumulative average residual after the announcement of asset write downs 2 thakor 1987 argues that write downs have a price effect not because they mean much by themselves but because they signal events to come specifically he sees write downs as a signal of economic value enhancing corporate restructuring to come in the future p 662 we use event study methods to examine security returns for the twenty five largest u s bank holding companies surrounding citicorp s 3 billion loan loss

executive compensation strategic competition and relative performance evaluation theory and evidence we examine compensation contracts for managers in imperfectly competitive product markets we show that strategic interactions among firms can explain the lack of relative performance based incentives in which compensation decreases with rival firm performance the need to soften product market competition generates an optimal compensation contract that places a positive weight on both own and rival performance firms in more competitive industries place greater weight on rival firm performance relative to own firm performance we find empirical evidence of a positive sensitivity of compensation to rival firm performance that is increasing in the degree of competition in the industry

raising the returns to venture finance abstract investors in ventures that threaten to disrupt the markets of incumbents can use the options markets to add value to their investments by purchasing put options on the stock of the disrupted rivals on the basis of their asymmetric knowledge by making a profit on these derivative trades in the stock of the disrupted firms the investor innovator is able to recapture from the market extra and immediate profits equivalent to the value of the consumer surplus generated by the innovation these additional profits increase the incentive of investors to invest in disruptive ventures and so correct biases that have been observed against investing disruptive innovation our paper provides guidance as to how these effects arise and their value it also explores the ethical regulatory and practical constraints on undertaking the trades pointing out that it is effective and the legality seems to be robust provided certain conditions are met

information technology effects on firm performance as measured by tobin s q despite increasing anecdotal evidence that information technology it assets contribute to firm performance and future growth potential of firms the empirical results relating it investments to firm performance measures have been equivocal however the bulk of the studies have relied exclusively on accounting based measures of firm performance which largely tend to ignore it s contribution to performance dimensions such as strategic flexibility and intangible value in this paper we use tobin s q a financial market based measure of firm performance and examine the association between it investments and firm q values after controlling for a variety of industry factors and firm specific variables the results based on data from 1988 1993 indicate that in all of the five years the inclusion of the it expenditure variable in the model increased the variance explained in q significantly the results also showed that for all five years it investments had a significantly positive association with tobin s q value our results are consistent with the notion that it contributes to a firm s future performance potential which a forward looking measure such as the q is better able to capture

antitakeover charter amendments and stockholder wealth abstract many large corporations have recently adopted antitakeover charter amendments which make the transfer of corporate control more difficult this paper develops and tests competing theoretical explanations for the passage of these amendments in one view antitakeover provisions are adopted because incumbent management seeks job protection at stockholders expense the alternative hypothesis is that antitakeover provisions benefit stockholders perhaps by extracting greater payment in exchange for corporate control although inconclusive the evidence provides weak preliminary support for the hypothesis that antitakeover amendments are best explained as a device for managerial entrenchment

capacity investment and market power in the economic value of energy firms regulation of energy firms faces the complex problem of balancing private earning a fair rate of return on investment and public assure safe and reliable supply of energy at the lowest possible costs goals tobin s q is a forward looking indicator on investment opportunities and on market power of firms that energy regulators can use for more effective regulation this paper presents the empirical evidence on the determinants of differences in observed values of tobin s q for a sample of large listed energy firms from 10 different countries in the period 2000 2006 we find that adjustment costs represent around sixty percent of the difference between economic and book value of the assets for the representative firm while rents from market power represent the other forty percent therefore across countries there is room for regulatory actions aiming at reducing energy prices but less than what may be inferred from the observed average q values

impact of information technology capital on firm scope and performance the role of asset characteristics this research draws on transaction cost and resource based theory to examine how information technology it capital moderates the relationship between different types of assets and firm scope both vertical integration and diversification the analysis suggests that it capital enables firms with narrowly valuable assets to be less vertically integrated and less diversified and enables firms with broadly valuable assets to be more vertically integrated and more diversified the moderating influence of it capital on the relationship between different types of assets and firms vertical and product market scope is consistent with transaction cost as well as resource based traditions abstract from author

the effect of bond rating changes on common stock prices abstract the evidence in this paper suggests that downgrades by both moody s and standard and poor s are associated with negative abnormal stock returns in the two day window beginning the day of the press release by the rating agency significant negative abnormal performance can still be detected after eliminating observations containing obvious concurrent potentially contaminating news releases there is little evidence of abnormal performance on announcement of an upgrade significant abnormal returns are associated with announcements of additions to the standard and poor s credit watch list if either a potential downgrade or a potential upgrade is indicated

estimating product market competition methodology and application abstract in oligopolies firms behave strategically and commit to actions that elicit favorable responses from rivals firm actions consequently are a function of the nature of these strategic interactions in this paper we develop a methodology for the empirical estimation of strategic interactions in product markets we then apply our measure of strategic interactions to ceo compensation we use quarterly data on profits and sales from compustat to estimate the slope of firm s reaction function when the slope is negative and marginal profits decrease with an increase in the rival s actions the firm is classified as a strategic substitute when the slope is positive and marginal profits increase with an increase in the rival s actions the firm is classified as a strategic complement as predicted by theory we find significant evidence that strategic substitutes decrease the pay for performance incentives of their ceos on the other hand strategic complements significantly increase ceo pay for performance incentives the empirical measure developed can be used to test a wide variety of strategic models

publicly funded r d programs and survival of patents i apply a survival model to a detailed data set of swedish patents to estimate how different financing factors affect the likelihood of patent renewal since the owners know more about the patents than potential external financiers there is a problem of asymmetric information to overcome this sweden has for a long time relied on government support rather than private venture capital pvc in the empirical analysis two kinds of government loans are unbundled the empirical results show that patents which have received soft government loans in the r d phase have a higher probability of expiring than patents without such financing but patents that have received more market oriented government loans during the commercialization phase are renewed for as long as other commercialized patents this finding suggests that rather than bad choices of projects it is the nature of the contract terms that explains the low renewal of some patents with government financing

an analysis of stock price reaction to management change in distressed firms abstract this study analyzes excess returns to shareholders at announcement of a change in senior management of distressed firms excess returns are significantly positive which is consistent with the internal corporate control hypothesis that management change following poor performance is associated with gains to shareholders cross sectional tests of the effects reveal a significant title effect and significant interactions between title and appointment of an outside successor and title and firm size these findings present new insights into the circumstances in which external vs internal markets for managers will affect shareholder wealth

financial repression and firm self financing of investment empirical evidence from brazil analysis of 86 brazilian manufacturing firms operating during a period marked by some degree of financial repression demonstrates that investment spending influences the liquid asset holdings of firms this self finance motive is weaker than the transactions motive but in general remains statistically significant across a variety of model specifications small firms are more likely than large firms to finance investment spending through accumulation of liquid assets contrary to the complementarity hypothesis however there is some evidence that firms treat liquid assets and capital as substitutes specification tests comparing the shaw hypothesis with the mckinnon hypothesis weakly favour the complementarity model

the value of control in emerging markets when a developed country multinational firm acquires majority control of a firm in an emerging market there is an economically large and statistically significant increase in the acquiring firm s stock price in 1986 2006 developed market acquirers experienced positive and significant abnormal returns of 1 16 on average over a three day event window positive acquirer returns and dollar value gains appear unique to emerging market mergers and acquisitions and are not replicated when the same developed market acquirers take over firms in developed markets the size of the stock price increase is more pronounced a the weaker the contracting environment in the emerging market and b for industries with high asset intangibility the author 2009 published by oxford university press on behalf of the society for financial studies all rights reserved for permissions please e mail journals permissions oxfordjournals org oxford university press

victims and shareholders the dilemmas of presenting corporate policy during a crisis corporate crises such as accidents scandals and product safety incidents exacerbate stakeholder demands in such a way that conflict can arise between the interests of shareholders and crisis vict

interest rate restrictions and deposit opportunities for small savers in developing countries an analytical view this article argues that by forcing financial intermediaries fi to substitute implicit interest for monetary interest payments deposit rate ceilings may increase the cost of savings mobilisation especially from non wealthy households this mechanism may partially explain the lack of small savers deposit opportunities in developing countries a simple model is used to elucidate this mechanism as well as the effects of financial technology intensity of competition and external funding on an fi s savings mobilisation operations

persistent heterogeneity of r d intensities within sectors evidence and policy implications abstract do firms in the same sector converge towards the same r d intensities previous research has often assumed this to be true a closer examination using microdata from the eu industrial r d investment scoreboard for the years 2000 2015 shows considerable heterogeneity in r d intensities among firms in the same sector and that this heterogeneity persists over time statistical tests of convergence show that the variation in r d intensities does not decrease over time i e no convergence although firms with an r d intensity below the industry average do seem to catch up with the leaders i e evidence of convergence overall firms in the same industry do not converge to a common r d intensity policy implications are discussed

the impact of strategic interaction on earnings expectations associated with corporate product strategies abstract we examine how strategic interaction in an industry influences the earnings expectations of financial analysts with regard to new product strategies we find that following announcement of new products analysts revise earnings forecasts upward more for announcing firms competing in low strategic interaction industries than for firms competing in high strategic interaction industries for value enhancing value reducing product strategies earnings forecast revisions are more favorable for rivals competing under a high low degree of strategic interaction than for rivals competing under a low high degree of strategic interaction overall empirical evidence indicates that the nature of strategic competition within the industry is important in assessing the market expectations of earnings for new product announcers and their rivals

reaction of british bank share prices to citicorp s announced 3 billion increase in loan loss reserves abstract this study assesses the impact of citicorp s announcement of a 3 billion increase in loan loss reserves on may 19 1987 on the share prices of british banks the announcement may have had an impact on british banks because like citicorp the major british ones have a high degree of exposure to the debt of less developed countries ldcs musumeci and sinkey detected a favorable reaction of u s money center banks to the announcement because of disparate bank characteristics and regulations between the u s and the united kingdom share prices of british banks may be affected in a different manner than u s banks the results of our study indicate that british bank share prices were adversely affected by the announcement our findings confirm that 1 the strategy of a bank in one country may not only influence other banks in that country but foreign banks as well and 2 the effects on banks can be dependent on the country of origin

determinants of cross national knowledge transfer and its effect on firm innovation this study examines the determinants of international knowledge flow from a resource based perspective it evaluates the impact of cross national knowledge transfer on firm innovative performance based on 56 027 us patents owned by 53 selected firms in the us based pharmaceutical industry the results suggest that innovative performance is a curvilinear function of the international knowledge content used by a firm to innovate as hypothesized it was found that at 1 low and moderate levels of international knowledge content a firm s strategy to transfer international knowledge improves its innovative performance and at 2 higher levels of international knowledge content there are diminishing marginal returns to transferring knowledge from overseas

entry and patenting in the software industry to what extent are firms kept out of a market by patents covering related technologies do patents held by potential entrants make it easier to enter markets we estimate the empirical relationship between market entry and patents for 27 narrowly defined categories of software products during the period 1990 2004 controlling for demand market structure average patent quality and other factors we find that a 10 increase in the number of patents relevant to market reduces the rate of entry by 3 8 and this relationship intensified following expansions in the patentability of software in the mid 1990s however potential entrants with patent applications relevant to a market are more likely to enter it finally patents appear to substitute for complementary assets in the entry process because patents have both greater entry deterring and entry promoting effects for firms without prior experience in other markets this paper was accepted by bruno cassiman business strategy

intellectual capital in a q theory of ag biotech mergers tobin s q theory of investment has been linked to firm merger activity by jovanovic and rousseau jr they showed that firms with higher q values that is the ratio of market to book values tend to be the ones buying other firms and not the ones being acquired market values should theoretically equal book values a firm s assets as they appear on the balance sheet equal to their cost less accumulated depreciation in reality book value often differs from market value especially in knowledge intensive industries indicating the premium above measurable assets that shareholders are willing to pay for a company s unique combination of market position tangible and intangible capital goodwill and other favorable characteristics firms with greater q values are in a position to acquire more capital possibly through mergers and acquisitions to make further use of their advantages this article extends the jr analysis to consider the role of intellectual capital in merger activity we analyze the connection between intangible capital and the q theory of mergers in the agricultural biotechnology ag biotech industry this industry underwent significant technological change beginning in the late 1980s as new biotechnology techniques were integrated with plant breeding and other agricultural practices the number of patent applications in the field grew from less than a 100 a year in the late 1980s to more than 500 applications per year by the mid 1990s bennett et al along with this technological change

tobin s q and the importance of focus in firm performance using tobin s q as a measure of performance we seek to estimate the relative importance of industry focus and share effects in determining firm performance our methods are analogous to those of richard schmalensee and like him we find that industry effects account for the majority of the explained variance however we also find that firm effects exist in the form of focus effects that is narrowly diversified firms do better than widely diversified firms we interpret this finding as consistent with profit maximization by firms with different factor endowments

an analysis of the impact of deposit rate ceilings on the market values of thrift institutions this paper examines the impact of changes in deposit interest rate regulations on the common stock values of savings and loan institutions the analysis indicates that stockholder owned savings and loans s l s have experienced statistically significant declines in equity market values at the announcement of the removal of ceilings on certain consumer small saver certificate accounts and the introduction of short term variable rate money market certificates we find the evidence to be consistent with the hypothesis that s l s have earned economic rents from restrictions on interest rates paid to small saver accounts and that relaxation of interest rate ceilings has reduced these rents a central issue in the economics of regulation is whether regulators behave in a way that primarily benefits the economic agents whose actions they are supposed to regulate the proposition that regulation is demanded and acquired by the regulated and that regulations are designed and administered primarily for their benefit was originally put forth by stigler 19 and has come to be known as the capture theory of regulation an alternative view is that regulators adopt policies which serve some other perhaps public or possibly the regulators own interest and that administration of these policies does not benefit the regulated entities this paper examines the regulation of savings and loan associations deposit interest rates and reports evidence pertaining to the impact of the administration of regulation regulation of interest rates paid to depositors in federally insured savings and loan associations began in 1966 since that time several changes in the maximum allowed interest rates deposit rate ceilings have been made these changes present an opportunity to observe the impact of one form of regulatory action on savings and loan institutions deposit rate regulation has been the subject of extensive previous research the empirical investigations have focused primarily on two issues 1 the allocational efficiency and wealth redistribution effects of rate ceilings and 2 the impact of deposit rate ceilings on the flow of funds into the residential

optimal contracting with moral hazard and cascading in this article i identify optimal incentive contracts for managers of firms competing in the product market such firms often confront similar decisions and uncertainties managers can improve decision quality by generating private signals through costly effort however since signals are likely to be correlated firms that decide later get additional information from the actions of earlier firms this impacts effort choice decision quality is also affected if later managers disregard their own signals and blindly imitate preceding decisions in a competitive environment such cascading hurts profits contracts that solve both moral hazard and cascading problems typically put more weight on firm profits making them expensive contacts with more weight on decision quality are less expensive but result in cascades shareholders choose contracts that maximize their net surplus this results in testable implications about which industries may have more convergence in investment choices greater pay for profit sensitivity larger differences in observed contracts more innovation larger size firms and potential for overcompensation article published by oxford university press on behalf of the society for financial studies in its journal the review of financial studies

value implications of investments in information technology the year 2000 y2k countdown provided a uniquely visible instance of spending on information technology it by u s companies with public attention riveted on potential y2k malfunctions managers were forced to evaluate their it and make decisions about whether to modify or replace existing systems in the aftermath of y2k critics charged that the problem was overblown and that companies overspent on it in contrast we posit in this paper that efforts companies made to renew and upgrade their it may have positioned them to take advantage of new e business applications as y2k approached managers could invest opportunistically in it which would enable them to connect with customers and suppliers in new ways contrary to the alleged overspending we find that firm value increased on average with y2k spending by fortune 1000 companies in particular higher firm value and subsequent earnings were associated with y2k spending for firms in industries where it was considered to have a transforming influence altering traditional ways of doing business by redefining business processes and relationships we also test whether the positive association between firm value and y2k spending diminished with y2k spending by industry peer firms but we do not find support for this relative investment hypothesis

financial assets inflation hedges and capital utilization in developing countries an extension of mckinnon s complementarity hypothesis in a highly influential book mckinnon 1973 proposed that interest rate liberalization and low inflation can promote capital accumulation and economic growth in developing countries an important aspect of mckinnon s work is his formal argument that money broadly defined to include both cash and bank deposits and physical capital are more likely to be complements than substitutes under conditions of financial repression where interest rate controls or high inflation reduce the real yield on money balances to low or even negative levels mckinnon chapter 6 mckinnon s formal analysis assumes that household firms and other small enterprises in financially repressed developing economies are faced with significant capital indivisibilities and have no access to credit so that they are forced to accumulate substantial amounts of noncapital assets before undertaking productive investments under financial repression accumulation of inflation hedges commodity inventories for example may be the least cost method of building up these noncapital asset balances required for lumpy investments in physical capital even inflation hedges may have negative returns e g due to high storage costs thereby further reducing potential capital accumulation in this situation an increased yield to money balances via interest rate liberalization or lower inflation can lower the cost of accumulating funds for physical capital purchases so that increased money balances may be associated with a more rapid rate of capital accumulation and hence economic growth mckinnon s complementarity hypothesis thus emphasizes the use of cash and deposit balances as a conduit for physical capital accumulation by credit constrained enterprises however as noted by drake 1980 p 66

risk aversion uncertain information and market efficiency abstract this paper develops and tests the uncertain information hypothesis as a means of explaining the response of rational risk averse investors to the arrival of unanticipated information the theory predicts that following news of a dramatic financial event both the risk and expected return of the affected companies increase systematically and that prices react more strongly to bad news than good an empirical investigation of over 9000 marketwide and firm specific events produces results consistent with these predictions we conclude that the market reacts to uncertain information in an efficient if not instantaneous manner

new evidence on stock price effects associated with changes in the s p 500 index since october 1989 standard and poor s has when possible announced changes in the composition of the s p 500 index one week in advance because index funds hold s p 500 stocks to minimize tracking error index composition changes since this date provide an opportunity to examine the market reaction to an anticipated change in the demand for a stock using post october 1989 data the authors document significantly positive negative postannouncement abnormal returns that are only partially reversed following additions deletions these results indicate the existence of temporary price pressing and downward sloping long run demand curves for stocks and represent a violation of market efficiency copyright 1997 by university of chicago press

industry effects and appropriability measures in the stock market s valuation of r d and patents this paper examines the stock market s valuation of a firm s innovative activity we estimate the market s relative valuation of firms tangible and intangible assets focusing on knowledge capital in the form of accumulated stocks of r d and patents we tried to improve upon our estimates of the stock market s valuation of knowledge capital embodied in such stocks by bringing in measures of the appropriability environment facing a firm from the yale survey on industrial research and development the responses to survey questions about the effectiveness of patents as a mechanism for protecting the returns from innovation turn out to be of some use there is evidence of an interaction between industry level measures of the effectiveness of patents and the market s valuation of a firm s past r d and patenting performance as well as its current r d moves we find no evidence however that other appropriability mechanisms differ enough across industries to leave measurable traces in our data the structure of the yale survey makes it possible to estimate the sampling error in the appropriability measures derived from it this information was used by us in an errors in variables context but with little success in the absence of r d variables our estimates imply that a two standard deviation increase in our index of patent effectiveness would raise the value of a patent held by our average firm from 0 4 million to 1 0 million when r d variables are introduced into the equations the patents variables become insignificant r d expenditures are a better measure of input to the innovative function of firms than patents are of its output but we estimate that the same experiment would induce changes in q of between 10 and 27 percent for the average firm approximately doubling the market s valuation of this kind of capital this abstract was borrowed from another version of this item

the costs of antimerger lawsuits abstract this paper presents tests of the hypothesis that the relief imposed in antimerger cases is costly for defendant firms stockholders previous research on this subject suggests that defendants case related losses are due entirely to legal expenses and the disruption of productive activity in this paper it is shown that two out of five portfolios of defendant firms earn abnormal losses when final decisions in antimerger cases are announced these losses are consistent with the imposition of costly constraints on some defendants by government antitrust enforcers the tests also show that when acquisitions are canceled following antimerger complaints the losses to the target firms are substantial and completely offset the gains generated when the acquisitions are proposed

the rational nonpurchase of long term care insurance only a tiny fraction of the nonpoor population currently purchases private insurance coverage against long term care ltc costs studies generally attribute the failure to purchase private coverage to unawareness by potential purchasers of the benefits of coverage and a misperception that medicare currently covers long term care i explore alternative reasons for failure to purchase coverage by well informed expected utility maximizing risk averse individuals for whom ltc is associated with a large increase in mortality and for whom family members represent an alternative source of care there may be no demand for ltc insurance even if it is made available at actuarially fair premiums because the main consequence of coverage is to enhance the expected value of one s estate

bivariate risk attitudes informal care and saving abstractthe article examines choices of saving and caregiving for informal caregivers who will face uncertainty in health status of elderly parents the caregivers have a general form of utility with two attributes wealth and parental health informal care will substitute for future need of formal care when parents are in good health the article first studies the optimal levels of saving and of caregiving and the link between them comparative statics results depending on partial risk aversion or correlation attitude are then presented these results concern the effects of changes in the opportunity cost of caregiving the share of expected bequest the health status and the interest rate the analysis is also extended to investigate the role of cross prudence imprudence in wealth when a background health risk is introduced

endogenous market structures and contract theory delegation principal agent contracts screening franchising and tying abstract i study the role of unilateral strategic contracts for firms active in markets with price competition and endogenous entry traditional results change substantially when the market structure is endogenous rather than exogenous they concern 1 contracts of managerial delegation to non profit maximizers 2 incentive principal agent contracts in the presence of moral hazard on cost reducing activities 3 screening contracts in case of asymmetric information on the productivity of the managers 4 vertical contracts of franchising in case of hold up problems and 5 tying contracts by monopolists competing also in secondary markets firms use always these contracts to strengthen price competition and manage to obtain positive profits in spite of free entry

companies learning to innovate in recessions abstract innovating in downturns can affect corporate success by improving a firm s position relative to competitors during the recovery period however increased uncertainty and more binding financial constraints complicate such innovation activity i find that past experience with innovation during recessions improves a firm s ability to invest in r d when a new downturn hits this result holds controlling for traditional drivers of innovation as cumulated innovations and financial constraints as well as mitigating endogeneity and selection concerns moreover i find that past experience with innovation during recessions is beneficial to patent outcomes after a new recession overall the paper provides novel evidence on how business cycles shape innovative capabilities

does it matter who your buyer is the role of nonprofit mission in the market for corporate control of hospitals abstract the hospital industry is one of this country s largest mixed industries with for profit nonprofit and government hospitals operating in the same local markets but how do ownership types differ previous studies have compared costs among different hospitals however these studies have not been entirely successful because costs cannot be meaningfully compared without controlling for hard to measure quality of service in this study we look to the market for corporate control or takeovers for evidence of ownership related differences we find that nonprofit and for profit firms pay different prices and that these differences relate to the nonprofit s mission specifically nonprofits and for profits pay the same price when buying for profits but nonprofits pay less when buying a like minded nonprofit so religious nonprofits pay less for other religious nonprofits for example the resulting dual price equilibrium suggests that nonprofits have a different objective than do for profits but

dynamics of r d and investment uk evidence abstract the dynamic relationship between r d investment and stock market value for 185 uk firms over 1984 1992 is analyzed investment granger causes r d but not vice versa r d has an idiosyncratic shock and past r d and investment explain only 1 of excess returns

does firm investment respond to peers investment we study whether how and why the investment of a firm depends on the investment of other firms in the same product market using an instrumental variable based on the presence of local knowledge

anticipated inflation and the capital stock in a cash in advance economy abstract an economy is constructed in which the steady state capital stock is inversely related to the rate of inflation as a result that is directly opposite the usual conclusion

the relationship between the brazilian interest payments moratorium and bank equity returns evidence from the london stock exchange 1 this study examines the effects of the brazilian interest payments moratorium announcement on the equity return levels of several large us and european commericial banks traded on the london stock exchange the empirical evidence suggests that in general the equity prives of the sample banks immediately reflected the relevant information associated with the announcement however some degree of pricing inefficiency was determined to exist as the market was unable to discriminate among banks of the basis of exposure to brazilian loans

the impact of r d cooperations and mergers in pharmaceuticals on research activities and drugs offered on the market in the last 10 years the pharmaceutical industry has experienced steep unprecedented price increases which are frequently attributed to increasing drug development costs to cope with rocketing development costs companies engage in research and development r d cooperations we study the impact of r d cooperations on firms research activities and drugs offered on the market using a comprehensive dataset we find that r d cooperations formed at the early stage of the drug development process increase the number of r d projects and the number of drugs offered on the market late stage r d cooperations formed among larger firms in technology and product markets increase firms research activities but reduce the number of drugs launched on the product market results suggest that large firms cooperating in the late research stage re optimize their r d pipelines and eliminate similarly aligned research projects

diminishing marginal returns from r d investment evidence from manufacturing firms this study analyses the association between r d investment rdi and growth opportunities and show that there exists diminishing marginal returns in manufacturing firms extant literature has found that besides r d investment systematic risk financial leverage and complementary asset investment are also associated with growth opportunities accordingly we employ structural equation modelling to simultaneously estimate both a direct influence of rdi as well as indirect influences of rdi on growth opportunities via these three mediating effects we find that the direct effect of incremental rdi on growth opportunities is independent of r d intensity instead the heterogeneous effects of rdi on systematic risk financial leverage and complementary asset investment across firms with different r d intensity level accounts for the diminishing marginal returns to r d investment we specifically observe that the greatest indirect effect is via the financial leverage of the firm this study shows the importanc

the q theory of investment with many capital goods the q theory of investment which relates investment to the ratio of market to replacement value of capital has attracted considerable attention in a recent series of papers for instance a q variable has been used as an independent variable in empirical investment equations estimated by george von furstenberg 1977 von furstenberg et al 1980 burton malkiel et al 1979 and others these papers however leave somewhat unclear the theoretical rationale for using q as an investment determinant this has motivated work by hiroshi yoshikawa 1980 lawrence summers 1981 michael salinger and summers 1981 and fumio hayashi 1982 who show that under certain conditions the rate of investment of a sharevalue maximizing firm is indeed a function of q this is an important result because it shows that investment equations with q an independent variable are not ad hoc constructions rather they are grounded in a theory of the firm with an appealing behavioral hypothesis viz value maximization an important assumption underlying this research is that capital can be treated as a homogeneous good of course this is an extremely common assumption in the analysis of investment and is not particularly more bothersome in the q theory context than elsewhere nonetheless there are certain situations where it may be desirable or even essential to be able to study investment disaggregated by type of capital good thus the purpose of this paper is to examine whether and how the q theory can be extended to this more general case 1 intuitively one would expect some difficulty with the q theory in the many capitalgood context as already noted by james tobin and william brainard 1977 p 243 and by salinger and summers p 12 one way to see why is to recall the tobin brainard distinction between marginal and average q as hayashi writes

are acquisitions by utility firms beneficial utility firms are subject to peculiar regulatory characteristics that may allow for unique wealth effects resulting from acquisitions the wealth effects derived from acquisitions of utility firms is measured and the analysis reveals negative wealth effects for acquirers and positive wealth effects for targets however the wealth effects are generally less favorable for utility firm acquirers than other acquirer firms because of the regulatory barriers that prevent them from pursuing attractive targets

the gains to bidding firms from merger abstract this study examines the effect of mergers on the wealth of bidding firms shareholders bidding firms gain significantly during the twenty one days leading to the announcement of each of their first four merger bids these results fail to support the capitalization hypothesis that bidders gains are captured at the beginning of merger programs bidders abnormal returns are positively related to the relative size of the merger partners and the gains during the announcement period are larger for mergers which are successful though the gains are larger prior to 1969 merger bids after 1969 also significantly increase the wealth of bidding firms shareholders the results suggest that the inconclusive findings of the earlier studies may be due to methodological deficiencies the findings of this study are consistent with value maximizing behavior by the management of bidding firms

investment efficiency and product market competition does more competition lead to more information production and greater investment efficiency this question is largely unexplored in the finance literature this article provides both a model and a series of extensive empirical tests the model features a 2 stage bayesian game in differentiated products market competition we find that competition causes firms to acquire less information and investments to become more inefficient relative to a first best case with the same market structure empirically the panel regression analysis provides strong support for the theory and shows that investment is more efficient in concentrated industries

an empirical analysis of strategic competition and firm values the case of r d competition abstract we operationalize a firm s competitive strategy through a new empirical measure and develop a framework for empirical analysis of the market value of strategic behavior using this framework we study announcement effects of r d spending the announcing firm s stock prices are positively influenced by a change in spending and negatively by our competitive strategy measure csm competitors stock prices are positively influenced by the interaction between the market s reaction to the announcing firm and the csm our results are consistent with positive effects of accommodating competition with strategic substitutes and nonpositive effects of tough competition with strategic complements

the effect of discretionary price control decisions on equity values abstract the macro literature presents conflicting evidence on the effects of price controls in this study the fact that the macro economic effect of wage and price controls is the aggregation of the micro economic effects is used to implement a different approach to measure the effects of price controls the effect of price controls is inferred from examining the impact of discretionary regulatory decisions on the equity values of individual firms during phase ii of nixon s economic stabilization program the empirical results indicate that violators of the regulations incurred significant abnormal losses that were unrelated to the explicit penalties this suggests that implicit penalties were imposed on offending firms the analysis of price increase decisions provides weak evidence that these price commission decisions had an impact on equity values

do demand curves for stocks slope down since september 1976 stocks newly included into the standard and poor s 500 index have earned a significant positive abnormal return at the announcement of the inclusion this return does not disappear for at least ten days after the inclusion the returns are positively related to measures of buying by index funds consistent with the hypothesis that demand curves for stocks slope down the returns are not related to s p s bond ratings which is inconsistent with a plausible version of the hypothesis that inclusion is a certification of the quality of the stock

on insuring and caring for parents long term care needs when adult children are financially responsible for their parents they can take considerable interest in the amount of their parents long term care ltc insurance in this paper we look at the optimal levels of ltc insurance and of informal care and at the link between these two decisions when the child who provides informal care is also the decision maker with regard to ltc insurance interestingly results differ depending on the degree of both parental and child altruism and indicate either complementarity or substitutability between insurance and informal care in particular we show in the presence of child altruism that insurance stimulates the offer of informal care contrary to the case where the insurance decision is made by the elderly parent we also investigate how exogenous shocks with respect to the opportunity cost of informal care initial wealth levels and bequests modify simultaneously the optimal level of insurance and informal care

timing of technology adoption and product market competition abstract this paper examines how product market competition affects firms timing of adopting a new technology as well as whether the market provides sufficient adoption incentives it demonstrates that adoption dates differ not only among symmetric firms but also among markets with different market features more specifically technology adoption can occur earlier in a market with cournot competition than in a market with bertrand competition it can also occur earlier in a market in which goods are not too close substitutes therefore this paper shows that competition toughness does not always reinforce adoption incentives when goods are sufficiently differentiated adoption occurs later than is socially optimal

the incidence of regulatory rents in the motor carrier industry this article focuses on two questions in the debate over motor carrier regulation first did regulation create eliminate or have no effect on monopoly rents in the trucking industry second ifthere were rents what was their incidence were they received by owners oftrucking firms dissipated through higher costs or captured by the teamsters union data on share price responses to deregulation announcements reveal declines in expected profits of 8 19 of totalfirm value this suggests that regulation created monopoly profits and indicates that at least some of these rents accrued to owners of trucking firms firms responses to regulatory change are modelled as functions of company s operating characteristics and measures of unionization operating efficiency and service characteristics are shown to affect the impact of deregulation on share values

rationalizability learning and equilibrium in games with strategic complementarities we study a rich class of noncooperative games that includes models of oligopoly competition macroeconomic coordination failures arms races bank runs technology adoption and diffusion r d competition pretrial bargaining coordination in teams and many others for all these games the sets of pure strategy nash equilibria correlated equilibria and rationalizable strategies have identical bounds also for a class of models of dynamic adaptive choice behavior that encompasses both best response dynamics and bayesian learning the players choices lie eventually within the same bounds these bounds are shown to vary monotonically with certain exogenous parameters we study the class of noncooperative supermodular games introduced by topkis 1979 and further analyzed by vives 1985 1989 who also pointed out the importance of these games in industrial economics supermodular games are games in which each player s strategy set is partially ordered the marginal returns to increasing one s strategy rise with increases in the competitors strategies so that the game exhibits strategic complementarity 2 and if a player s strategies are multidimensional marginal returns to any one com ponent of the player s strategy rise with increases in the other components this class turns out to encompass many of the most important economic applications of noncooperative game theory in macroeconomics diamond s 1982 search model and bryant s 1983 1984 rational expectations models can be represented as supermodular games in each of these models more activity by some members of the economy raises the returns to increased levels of activity by others in oligopoly theory some models of bertrand oligopoly with differentiated products qualify as supermodu lar games in these games when a firm s competitors raise their prices the marginal profitability of the firm s own price increase rises a similar structure is present in games of new technology adoption such as those of dybvig and spatt 1983 farrell and saloner 1986 and katz and shapiro 1986 when more users hook into a communication system or more manufacturers adopt an interface standard the marginal return to others of doing the same often rises similarly in some specifications of the bank runs model introduced by diamond and dybvig 1983 when more depositors withdraw their funds from a bank it is more worthwhile for other depositors to do the same in the warrant exercise

the value of administered protection a capital market approach the focus of this paper i s on the escape clause petitions filed under the trade act of 1974 section 201 first the capital marketevent study method is used to analyze the effects of protection decisions then cross section regressions are performed to examine the influence of key variables on the observed market reaction the authors conc lude that while protection is beneficial to beleaguered industries the extent o f such benefits is quite narrowly circumscribed and is conditional on internal v ariables for each firm protection is thus not the panacea that its advocates cl aim copyright 1986 by mit press

swedish business research productivity sweden experienced an increase in the ratio of granted patents to research and development spending r d between 1989 and 1998 a period when r d spending grew rapidly the ratio of patents granted to r d spending research productivity increased by 40 over the period and the ratio of quality adjusted patents to r d exhibited an even more impressive increase of 60 sectors with especially high research productivity and quality adjusted research productivity include low and medium technology manufacturing chemicals and transportation however the growth in quality adjusted research productivity was primarily generated by the high tech pharmaceuticals and electronics industries the service based sectors experienced a significant increase in r d spending over the period but the research productivity decreased less

patent quality and research productivity measuring innovation with multiple indicators we analyse the determinants of the decline in research productivity using panel data on manufacturing firms in the us for the period 1980 93 we focus on three factors the level of demand the quality of patents and technological exhaustion we develop an index of patent quality using detailed patent information and show that using multiple indicators substantially reduces the measured variance in quality research productivity at the firm level is inversely related to patent quality and the level of demand as predicted by theory and patent quality is positively associated with the stock market value of firms

computing productivity firm level evidence we explore the effect of computerization on productivity and output growth using data from 527 large us firms over 1987 1994 we find that computerization makes a contribution to measured productivity and output growth in the short term using one year differences that is consistent with normal returns to computer investments however the productivity and output contributions associated with computerization are up to five times greater over long periods using five to seven year differences the results suggest that the observed contribution of computerization is accompanied by relatively large and time consuming investments in complementary inputs such as organizational capital that may be omitted in conventional calculations of productivity the large long run contribution of computers and their associated complements that we uncover may partially explain the subsequent investment surge in computers in the late 1990s