convergence to the law of one price without trade barriers or currency fluctuations using a panel of 51 prices from 48 cities in the united states we provide an upper bound estimate of the rate of convergence to purchasing power parity we find convergence rates substantially higher than typically found in cross country data we investigate some potentially serious biases induced by i i d measurement errors in the data and find our estimates to be robust to these potential biases we also present evidence that convergence occurs faster for larger price differences finally we find that rates of convergence are slower for cities farther apart however our estimates suggest that distance alone can only account for a small portion of the much slower convergence rates across national borders

technology agglomeration and regional competition for investment competition for firms by region has a long standing history and the academic literature has debated whether such competition is efficient we develop a model that explores technology development by firms facing regional competition for their invest ment and examine the endogenous determination of region policy firm technology and agglomeration externalities we find a new source of inefficiency regional competition leads firms to inefficiently distort their development and selection of production tech nology to improve their standing in the regional competition for their investment we show that these inefficient firm decisions on technology and location can also weaken agglomeration externalities jel classification h71 l2

tariff jumping antidumping duties abstract this paper examines the tariff jumping response of all firm and product combinations subject to us antidumping investigations from 1980 to 1990 using a newly constructed database previous studies have focused only on japanese fdi responses to antidumping protection and found large tariff jumping responses in contrast this paper finds quite modest tariff jumping responses and the evidence suggests that tariff jumping is only a realistic option for multinational firms from industrialized countries this may partially explain developing countries concerns about addressing ad protection in the wto despite high tariff jumping responses there is no evidence of a japanese specific propensity to tariff jump holding other economic factors constant

how to maximize domestic benefits from foreign investments the effect of irreversibility and uncertainty when a foreign monopolist facing uncertain future demand can either export to a host country or serve the market by undertaking an irreversible foreign direct investment the host government maximizes net domestic benefits by nearly fully subsidizing the investment cost in combination with taxing away benefits that exceed the gains from exporting without the subsidy maximization of domestic benefits leads to underinvestment from a world welfare point of view

inflation targeting rules and welfare in an asymmetric currency area abstract this paper studies the effect on monetary policy of differing degrees of competition and differing degrees of nominal rigidity between the members of a monetary union in particular we assess the welfare loss brought about by the use of a simple interest rate rule that does not take into account such structural differences our results show that ceteris paribus to maximize welfare the central bank should react more strongly to inflation pressure generated by the more competitive economies our work extends the results of benigno benigno p 2004 optimal monetary policy in a currency area journal of international economics 63 293 320 by showing that if the degree of competition differs between countries the optimal rule could involve placing a greater weight on the more flexible countries our study suggests that the size of the welfare losses generated by failure to take account of these asymmetries depends crucially on the actual combination of the various asymmetries as a consequence we show that if the optimal weights are chosen under incomplete information regarding the extent and type of asymmetries the resulting level of welfare could be lower than that produced by the symmetric rule

optimal monetary policy in a currency area abstract this paper investigates how monetary policy should be conducted in a two region general equilibrium model with monopolistic competition and price stickiness this framework delivers a simple welfare criterion based on the utility of the consumers that can be used to evaluate monetary policy in a currency area if the two regions share the same degree of nominal rigidity the terms of trade are completely insulated from monetary policy and the optimal outcome is obtained by targeting a weighted average of the regional inflation rates these weights coincide with the economic sizes of the region if the degrees of rigidity are different the optimal plan implies a high degree of inertia in the inflation rate but an inflation targeting policy in which higher weight is given to the inflation in the region with higher degree of nominal rigidity is nearly optimal

strategic trade and industrial policy towards dynamic oligopolies we characterise optimal trade and industrial policy in dynamic oligopolistic markets if governments can commit to future policies optimal first period intervention should diverge from the profit shifting benchmark to an extent which exactly offsets the strategic behaviour implied by fudenberg and tirole s animal spirits taxonomy of business strategies without government commitment there is an additional basis for intervention whose sign depends on the strategic substitutability between future policy and current actions we consider a variety of applications to rd spillovers consumer switching costs etc and also extensions to constrained second best policies

real wages over the business cycle evidence from panel data one topic on which keynes did not disagree with classical economists was the cyclical behavior of real wages keynes 1936 as well as various classical writers predicted that real wages should move countercyclically quoting the general theory p 17 in general an increase in employment can only occur through the accompaniment of a decline in real wages thus i am not disputing this vital fact which the classical economists have rightly asserted as indefeasible this prediction is based on the premise of competition and a given short run capital stock increases in employment then correspond to more intensive use of capital and through diminishing product lower real wages for this reason evidence by dunlop 1938 and tarshis 1939 that real wages move procyclically was viewed as paradoxical both dunlop and tarshis based their findings on an observed positive correlation between real and money wages which given the procyclical movement of money wages implies a positive correlation between

foreign direct investment with unemployment and endogenous taxes and tariffs it is well known that high tariffs can induce foreign direct investment or tariff jumping this paper analyzes tariff jumping in the context of a host government which can set specific tariffs and taxes subject to the credibility constraint that the chosen levels be optimal once capital is irreversibly in place the foreign multinational is assumed to choose its location and level of investment strategically taking into account the induced tax and tariff levels in the presence of unemployment the optimal tariff exceeds the optimal tax for any given level of capital investment leading to foreign direct investment

inflation differentials between spain and the emu a dsge perspective this paper estimates a dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model of a currency union with nominal rigidities to explain the sources of inflation differentials between the economic monetary union emu and one of its member countries spain the paper finds that productivity shocks account for 85 of the variability of the inflation differential demand shocks explain a large fraction of output growth volatility but not variability in inflation differentials in addition the estimated model finds evidence that inflation dynamics are different across countries in the nontradable sector only finally the balassa samuelson effect does not appear to be an important driver of the inflation differential during the emu period

a theory of expropriation and deviations from perfect capital mobility there are many reasons why commodity trade fails to equate the rewards to factors of production in different countries consequently there is an incentive for factor movements between countries while movements of factors especially capital are important in the world economy they have not been sufficient to equate factor returns among countries the failure of capital flows to equate returns to capital is frequently attributed to political risks and left outside the sphere of economic analysis specifically investments abroad especially in ldc s are said to be more subject to the risk of expropriation or at least to unpredictable changes in the tax and exchange control regime adopted by the host country fears of foreign investors have often been realised williams i975 estimates that about 20 of the value of foreign investments carried into or made during i956 72 in ldc s was expropriated without compensation in this period in the past researchers in disciplines other than economics have been responsible for most of the analysis of expropriations we argue that an important set of economic considerations affect the nature of these impediments to capital mobility and this paper provides a theory of expropriation based on maximising behaviour by host countries and investors we use this theory to identify industry and national characteristics increasing the threat of expropriation and implying large deviations from equal returns on capital and to examine host country and home country policies minimising distortions from the threat of expropriation three broad conclusions follow from the analysis first the threat of expropriation can significantly distort the international allocation of capital even if the act of expropriation is relatively rare in the extreme acts of expropriation would never occur in a world of perfect foresight and rational decision making yet actions by investors to ensure that countries do not expropriate would be distorting second the ability of a country s government to expropriate foreign investments may actually reduce its welfare furthermore a host may be better off if home governments can retaliate against an expropriating country indeed an increase in the penalty imposed on an expropriating country may increase its welfare a government s power to expropriate after investments are made may alasdair smith and an associate editor made numerous valuable suggestions we would also like to thank g m grossman r w jones l a sjaastad n h stern and j e stiglitz for comments much of eaton s work on this paper was completed while he was a visitor at the graduate institute for international studies geneva an earlier version of this paper appeared under the same title as rpds

the law of one price intranational evidence for canada this study investigates the behaviour of intranational prices for 45 specific consumer goods across 25 canadian cities it finds positive roles for distance and provincial borders in intercity price disparities while sizable the provincial border effect is an order of magnitude smaller than the estimates for the canada u s border a majority of the intercity relative price series are stationary around small mean values indicating that long run price differences are close to zero the intercity prices converge at rates considerably faster than the consensus estimates for international prices in fact half lives for intercity price deviations average well under a year jel classification f15 f31 la loi d un seul prix resultats intra nationaux pour le canada ce memoire examine le comportement des prix intra nationaux de 45 biens de consommation specifiques dans 25 villes canadiennes il semble que la distance et les frontieres inter provinciales ont un impact sur les differentiels de prix entre villes meme si l impact des frontieres inter provinciales est important il est beaucoupplus petit que l impact de la frontiere canada u s une majorite des series de prix relatifs entre villes sont stationnaires autour de petites valeurs moyennes ce qui suggere que les differences de prix a long terme s approchent de zero il est clair que les prix entre villes convergent a des taux considerablement plus rapides que ce qu on observe au niveau international en fait les deviations de prix entre villes ont une esperance de vie qui en moyenne est de moins d un an

the determinants of black white differences in early employment careers search layoffs quits and endogenous wage growth this paper studies the transition from school to full time employment and subsequent labor mobility during the first five postschooling years for several recent cohorts of black and white male terminal high school graduates using unique data from the 1979 youth cohort of the national longitudinal surveys of labor market experience a constrained optimization model of labor force dynamics is implemented empirically integrating features of models previously described in the literature the estimates of the model provide quantitative evidence on underlying structural differences in labor market constraints faced by blacks and whites for example while blacks have overall a substantially smaller wage return to work experience and face a less disperse wage offer distribution blacks face a higher probability of receiving job offers

taxes tariffs and the global corporation in this paper we develop some simple models of optimal tax and tariff policy in the presence of global corporations that operate in an imperfectly competitive environment the models emphasize two important differences in the practical application of tax and tariff policy tax but not tariff policy can apply to offshore output and tariff but not tax policy can be industryspecific recognizing that multinationals production decisions are endogenous to the tax and tariff policies they face we investigate how a government should tax or subsidize domestically owned firms and how government should set trade policy

regional tax coordination and foreign direct investment this paper analyses the effects of a regionally coordinated profit tax or location subsidy in a model with three active countries one of which is not part of the union and a globally mobile firm we show that regional coordination can lead to two types of welfare gain first for investments that would take place in the union in the absence of coordination a coordinated tax increase can transfer location rents from the firm to the union second by internalising all of the union s benefits from foreign direct investment a coordinated tax reduction can attract more welfare enhancing investment than when member states act in isolation depending on which motive dominates tax levels may thus rise or fall under regional coordination

the law of one price without the border the role of distance versus sticky prices we examine the role of nominal price rigidities in explaining the deviations from the law of one price lop across cities in japan focusing on intra national relative prices isolates the border eect and thus enables us to extract the pure eect of sticky prices a two city model with nominal rigidities and transportation costs predicts that the variation of lop deviations is lower for goods with less frequent price adjustment after controlling for the distance separating the cities using retail price data for individual goods and services collected in japanese cities we find strong evidence supporting this prediction adapting the engel and rogers 1996 regression framework to our theoretical setting we quantify the separate roles of nominal rigidities and trade costs proxied by distance in generating lop variability our estimates suggest that the distance equivalent of nominal rigidities can be as large as the width of the border typically found in the literature on international lop deviations the findings point to both the utility of the regression framework in identifying qualitative eects i e sign of a coecient and the challenges interpreting their quantitative implications

productivity bias hypothesis and the purchasing power parity a review article abstract productivity differentials among countries are said to be one of the major sources that contribute to the deviation of the purchasing power parity based exchange rate from the equilibrium rate hence the productivity bias hypothesis prior to last review article on the productivity bias hypothesis in 1976 almost all studies relied upon cross sectional regression analysis since then two groups of empirical studies have emerged while one group has employed time series data the other one has used panel data these two later groups have provided more support to the hypothesis than the earlier cross sectional studies this paper reviews and criticizes each group separately and provides tables that summarize main features of each study

competition for foreign direct investments abstract this paper models international competition for foreign direct investment as a common agency problem using the theory of menu auctions developed by bernheim and whinston in the model national governments act as principals and a multinational corporation as the single agent governments are assumed to maximize the net wage income generated by the corporation s investment it is shown that in the equilibrium of this game a high wage country may be able to attract investment even though all countries use subsidies furthermore it is shown that a country may choose to pay the highest subsidies even if it attracts less investment than in the unsubsidized regime our framework can also be used to study interregional subsidy competition within a country

incentives to create jobs regional subsidies national trade policy and foreign direct investment a national authority wishes to attract foreign direct investment fdi to create local jobs we analyse the optimal national trade policy when local authorities might offer subsidies to convince a multi national enterprise mne to invest in their jurisdiction with centralised decision making or with allocation of investment to particular localities the central authority s optimal policy is to use a high tariff to avoid payment of any subsidy to the mne despite this some socially undesirable but locally desirable fdi cannot be avoided if local authorities compete to offer subsidies to attract local investment then the central government s optimal policy is to try to discourage fdi by choosing a low tariff despite this some socially undesirable and even locally undesirable fdi prevails we conduct our analysis both assuming an upper bound on tariffs as would be consistent with trade liberalisation and allowing tariffs to vary freely the effect of increasing trade liberalisation depends heavily on the system of granting local subsidies if the system is centralised trade liberalisation decreases the range of parameters for which fdi occurs if the system is decentralised and competitive it increases this range

ec members fighting about surplus vers fdi and japanese cars the distribution of consumer and producer surplus among ec members of three different trade regimes free trade a voluntary export restraint ver and a ver in conjunction with foreign direct inv

the effect of implicit contracts on the movement of wages over the business cycle evidence from micro data in this paper we address the question of whether wages are affected by labor market conditions in a manner more consistent with a contract approach than with a standard spot market model from a simple implicit contract model we derive implications about the links between wages and past labor market conditions using individual data from the current population survey and the panel study of income dynamics we find that an implicit contract model with costless mobility describes these links better than either a simple spot market model or an implicit contract model with costly mobility

a model of expropriation with asymmetric information abstract incomplete information about a multinational enterprise s mne s technology may induce a host country to expropriate the mne s subsidiary even if other policy instruments are available the threat of expropriation does not always deter foreign direct investment so that expropriation may actually occur with nonzero probability perfect sequential equilibria are derived for vertically and for horizontally integrated mnes the model provides predictions regarding the probability of expropriation based on observable mne and host country characteristics countries would be better off if they could commit never to expropriate mnes

strategic trade policy and welfare foreign equity ownership is shown empirically to weaken significantly and occasionally reverse common strategic trade policy results existing levels of u s cross ownership for example reduce the average optimal export subsidy by 47 relative to the brander and spencer journal of international economics 1985 18 83 100 value in industries with particularly high cross ownership and relatively small imputed labor rents optimal subsidies fall to less than one seventh of their former level previous studies which overlook high rates of cross ownership overstate the effectiveness of strategic policies most sharply in sectors with above average expected profitability scope for strategic investments and barriers to rent dissipation

wages implicit contracts and the business cyle evidence from canadian micro data evidence of macroeconomic conditions impacting the earnings of men in canada in a manner consistent with an implicit contracting framework is found using data from eleven cross sectional surveys spanning the years 1981 1992 the estimates are similar to those found by beaudry and dinardo 1991 using u s data their analysis is extended to incestigate whether the effects of macroeconomic conditions differ by age evidence is found that the wages of young men and men near retirement are most sensitive to changes in the macroeconomic conditions over their job tenure this abstract was borrowed from another version of this item

determinants of japanese direct investment in us manufacturing industries abstract a hybrid model of direct investment is developed from an asset portfolio model and an industrial organization model of investment encompassing tests using disaggregated data validate the hybrid model while its two component models are rejected by at least some of the data the exchange rate is found to be an important explanatory variable for direct investment in some but not all of us industries equity purchase is more likely in r d intensive industries in privately held companies and in highly concentrated industries plant and equipment investment is more likely in industries with increasing returns to scale and in industries experiencing large net export deficits with japan jel f21

dynamic labour force participation of married women and endogenous work experience this paper presents and estimates a dynamic model of married women s labour force participation and fertility in which the effect of work experience on wages is explicitly taken into account because current participation alters future potential earnings the investment return to work will be an important factor in the current work decision in any forward looking behavioural model the model is estimated using the national longitudinal surveys mature women s cohort we use the estimates of our model to predict changes in the lifecycle patterns of employment due to changes in schooling fertility husband s income and the magnitude of the experience effect on wages we find that although work experience increases the disutility of further work the effect is overwhelmed by the positive effect of experience on wages leading to persistence in the employment patterns of these women in addition we find that an increase in young children and in husband s income substantially reduces participation while increased schooling has a powerful positive impact on participation this paper presents an estimable structural dynamic model of married women s labour force participation and fertility in which wages are stochastic and work experience or cumulative participation is endogeneous the model is structural in the sense that the parameters which are estimated are contained in the fundamental relationships governing behaviour namely the utility function and the constraints the model is contained in the class of models which describe the life cycle capital accumulation process with endogeneous labour supply such as weiss 1972 and heckman 1976 it is closest in spirit to that of weiss and gronau 1981 1 the basic feature of their model and ours is that labour market participation affects future wages which then affects future participation the investment return to current work will necessarily be taken into account in any forward looking optimizing model as weiss and gronau note estimates of labour supply models have ignored the inherent behavioural dynamics associated with a positive wageexperience profile there is no adequate empirical treatment of the human capital investment dimension of the labour force participation decision in the literature heckman and willis 1977 have studied a sequential discrete choice model of the labour force participation of married women in a reduced form framework their work

monetary and fiscal policy interactions in a micro founded model of a monetary union abstract this paper analyzes in detail the mechanisms behind fiscal stabilization policy and the role of policy commitment in a micro founded new keynesian model of a two country monetary union which is hit by supply shocks we also explore the determinants of the gains from fiscal stabilization while monetary policy with identical union members is concerned with stabilizing the union wide economy fiscal policy aims at stabilizing inflation differences and the terms of trade besides exploring optimal policies we also consider monetary and fiscal rules we study these rules both under coordination and non coordination by the fiscal authorities

tariff jumping fdi and domestic firms profits studies of the welfare implications of trade policy often do not take account of the potential for tariff jumping fdi to mitigate positive gains to domestic producers we use event study methodology to examine the market effects for u s domestic firms that petitioned for antidumping ad relief as well as the effect of announcements of fdi by their foreign rivals in the u s market on these u s petitioning firms on average affirmative u s ad decisions are associated with 3 abnormal gains to a petitioning firm when there is no tariff jumping fdi but no abnormal gains if there is tariff jumping fdi the evidence for this mitigating effect is strongest when announcements of the intended tariff jumping fdi have already occurred before an ad decision takes place which happened in fair number of cases we also find evidence that the announcements of plant expansions and to some extent new plants have significantly larger negative effects on u s domestic firms profits than other types of fdi including acquisitions and joint ventures

convergence of euro area inflation rates abstract we study the behavior of inflation rates among the 12 initial euro countries in order to test whether and when the group convergence initially dictated by the maastricht treaty and now by the ecb occurs we also assess the impact of events such as the advent of the euro and the 2008 financial crisis due to the small size of the estimation sample we propose a new procedure that increases the power of panel unit root tests when used to study group wise convergence applying this new procedure to euro area inflation we find strong and lasting evidence of convergence among the inflation rates soon after the implementation of the maastricht treaty and a dramatic decrease in the persistence of the differential after the occurrence of the single currency after the 2008 crisis euro area inflation rates follow the ecb s price stability benchmark although greece reports relatively higher inflation

multinational plant location as a game of timing we study the problem of when firms should switch from exporting to producing at an onshore plant which will cater to a local market the model incorporates factors such as rivalry differences between costs of domestic and offshore production differences in consumer preferences for offshore and domestically produced goods and the capital costs associated with switching to domestic production we find equilibrium timing patterns where there is a leader and a follower diffusion equilibria to be most typical furthermore we find that a firm with lower switching costs has a competitive advantage in the determination of which firm will lead it is found in the duopoly model that market growth and production and transportation unit costs have a relatively greater impact on the timing of the switch than do changes in demand elasticities or changes in the fixed costs of switching with more firms and increased competition however the effect of changes in fixed costs become relatively greater

job selection and wages over the business cycle we consider a model with on the job search where current wages depend only on current aggregate labor market conditions and idiosyncratic match specic productivities we show theoretically that the model replicates the ndings in bils 1985 and beaudry and dinardo 1991 on the history dependence in wages we develop a method to measure match qualities in the data and show empirically that various variables summarizing past aggregate labor market conditions have explanatory power for current wages only because they are correlated with match qualities they lose any predictive power once match qualities are accounted for

tax incentives for import substituting foreign investment abstract this paper constructs a game theoretic model to study host country policy to attract import substituting foreign direct investment fdi investors are assumed to be incompletely informed about local investment conditions and taxes and tariffs are determined endogenously we show that in certain situations countries will offer tax incentives while in others they will impose a tariff wall to induce fdi tax incentives are motivated by the need to signal favorable investment conditions the paper predicts that tax incentives are more likely to be used the larger is the investment risk the smaller is the local market the smaller is the stock of previous fdi and the lower are trade barriers moreover we conjecture that incentives are positively correlated with the number of jobs created by the investment we test these predictions using data from the us department of commerce benchmark survey of us foreign investment and find that they are supported by the empirical evidence

occupational mobility and wage inequality in this article we argue that wage inequality and occupational mobility are intimately related we are motivated by our empirical findings that human capital is occupation specific and that the fraction of workers switching occupations in the u s was as high as 16 a year in the early 1970 s and had increased to 21 by the mid 1990 s we develop a general equilibrium model with occupation specific human capital and heterogeneous experience levels within occupations we find that the model calibrated to match the level of occupational mobility in the 1970 s accounts quite well for the level of within group wage inequality in that period next we find that the model calibrated to match the increase in occupational mobility accounts for over 90 of the increase in wage inequality between the 1970 s and the 1990 s the theory is also quantitatively consistent with the level and increase in the short term variability of earnings copyright wiley blackwell

bargaining with commitment choice of techniques and direct foreign investment abstract once a firm has installed a plant in a host country the country will have an incentive to reopen negotiations concerning tax rates this paper examines the incentives for the country to commit to not reopening negotiations a commitment deters the firm from inefficiently reducing the capital intensity of its investment but apparently surrenders tax revenues by not exploiting the country s post entry bargaining power we show that commitment will be optimal as long as the tax system does not place too distortionary a burden on capital and the country has access to capital markets

efficiency wage models of unemployment keynesian economists hold it to be self evident that business cycles are characterized by involuntary unemployment but construction of a model of the cycle with involuntary unemployment faces the obvious difficulty of explaining why the labor market does not clear involuntarily unemployed people by definition want to work at less than the going wage rate why don t firms cut wages thereby increasing profits

the superiority of contingent rules over fixed rules in models with rational expectations the paper investigates the robustness of the proposition that in stochastic models contingent or feddback rules dominate fiped or openloop rules four arguments in favour of fixed rules are considere 1 the presence of an incompetent op malevolent policy maker 2 a trade off between flexibility and simplicity or credibility 3 the new classical proposition that only unanticipated stabilization policy has real effects 4 the time inconsistency of optimal plans in non causal models that is models in which the current state of the economy depends on expectations of future states the main conclusion is that the rational expectations revolution represented by arguments 3 and 4 does not affect the potential superiority of time inconsistent closed loop policies over time inconsistent open loop policies the case against conditionality in the design of policy must therefore rest on argument 1 or 2 which predate the new classical macroeconomics

occupational specificity of human capital we find that returns to occupational tenure are substantial everything else being constant 5 years of occupational tenure are associated with an increase in wages of 12 20 moreover when occupational experience is taken into account tenure with an industry or employer has relatively little importance in accounting for the wage one receives this finding is consistent with human capital being occupation specific

foreign direct investment under oligopoly profit shifting or profit capturing abstract in this paper a model of taxation of foreign source corporate income is developed when the output market is not perfectly competitive profit shifting policies similar to those in the new trade literature are also present in the case of foreign direct investment fdi there are however important differences to the new trade theory since in case of fdi i corporate taxation and double taxation relief are the policy instruments rather than output or revenue taxes ii countries are not symmetric in the sense that the host country has the first right to tax the multinational s profit and the home country reacts by providing double taxation relief and iii output but not corporate taxation is specific to imperfectly competitive industries it is argued that a variants of a tax credit are analogous to export subsidies b when the home country operates a tax credit system the host country s incentive to capture the multinational s profit is bounded under imperfect competition c when the host country offers a tax holiday the home country should imitate this policy and d in the presence of perfect competitive industries double taxation relief is a good instrument to target imperfectly competitive industries

identification of search models using record statistics this paper shows how record value theory a branch of statistics that deals with the timing and magnitude of extreme values in sequences of random variables can be used to recover features of the wage offer distribution in conventional search models using national longitudinal survey of youth nlsy wage data i show that the data are not compatible with specifications for the offer distribution characterized by extreme negative skewness in addition i show that my approach can be used to construct a bound on the returns to job seniority my results suggest that job seniority plays only a minor role in the wage growth of the workers surveyed in the nlsy copyright 2008 wiley blackwell

regional inflation spatial locations and the balassa samuelson effect evidence from japan we empirically analyse regional inflation using data from japan where there is no regulation to impede the free movement of labour capital goods and services across regions in particular our analysis will focus on the geographical location of regions and the productivity known as the balassa samuelson bs effect as explanations for the dynamics of regional inflation based on a spatial model which is consistent with the theoretical specification of the bs we have confirmed that while it is a relatively small country in terms of land area both spatial location and productivity are important determinants of regional inflation

the behaviour of relative prices in the european union a sectoral analysis using multivariate unit root test methods this paper investigates the purchasing power parity ppp hypothesis at the sectoral level across six european countries over the last 17 years evidence of mean reversion towards ppp is found for the relative prices of some sectors and countries mean reversion in relative prices is explained by cross country and cross sectoral characteristics such as the distance between countries nominal exchange rate volatility differences in gdp per capita non tariff barriers research and development advertising industrial concentration and tradeability of the products

international r d rivalry and industrial strategy this paper presents a theory of government intervention which provides an explanation for industrial strategy policies such as r d or export subsidies in imperfectly competitive international markets domestic net welfare is improved by the capture of a greater share of the output of rent earning industries although the subsidy ridden noncooperative international equilibrium is jointly suboptimal behaviour of governments and firms is modelled as a three stage subgame perfect nash equilibrium the assumption that the government is the first player in this game allows it to influence equilibrium outcomes by altering the set of credible actions open to firms

tax competition in imperfectly competitive markets abstract the literature on strategic trade policy has shown that in imperfectly competitive markets governments have an incentive to subsidize exports of their own firms yet the consequence of the departure from laissez faire is a wasteful subsidy race in contrast this paper shows that even in imperfectly competitive markets there is a strong tendency for laissez faire to prevail the driving force is the firms willingness to exploit tax or subsidy differentials by relocating production a small tax differential induces firms to change their place of production the change in market structure has a negligible effect on the oligopoly equilibrium but a non negligible impact on government revenues when tax policy is non discriminatory governments gain lose by attracting all firms when production is taxed subsidized hence laissez faire is the only equilibrium since from the point of view of the two producing countries laissez faire nondiscrimination pareto dominates the intervention equilibrium discrimination nondiscrimination is a simple device to result in a mutual beneficial outcome

industrial targeting experimentation and long run specialization abstract this paper emphasizes the experimental nature of industrial targeting policies under uncertainty in a small open economy a government promotes entry of new firms in selected industries and updates its beliefs about the country s comparative advantage in a bayesian way this selective targeting policy is analyzed in the framework of a special type of statistical decision problem known as the multi armed bandit the paper analyzes how the costs and benefits of learning about a country s comparative advantage depend on the characteristics of the targeted industries the framework suggests that even an optimally designed industrial targeting policy may eventually steer the country away from specializing according to its true comparative advantage

real business cycles in this paper we demonstrate how certain very ordinary economic principles lead maximizing individuals to choose consumption production plans that display many of the characteristics commonly associated with business cycles our explanation is entirely consistent with i rational expectations ii complete current information iii stable preferences iv no technological change v no long lived commodities vi no frictions or adjustment costs vii no government viii no money and ix no serial dependence in the stochastic elements of the environment we also provide a completely worked out example of the type of artificial economy we have in mind the time series properties of the example exhibit some major features of observed business cycles although this type of model may not be capable of explaining all of the regularities in actual business cycles we believe that it provides a useful well defined benchmark for assessing the relative importance of factors e g monetary disturbances

regional inflation persistence evidence from italy vaona a and ascari g regional inflation persistence evidence from italy regional studies regional patterns of inflation persistence have received attention only at the level of european monetary union member states however economic disparities within european monetary union member states are an equally important policy issue this paper considers a country with a large regional divide italy at a fine level of territorial disaggregation nuts 3 it is shown that economically backward regions display greater inflation persistence moreover higher persistence is linked to a lower degree of competitiveness in the retail sector finally the inflation persistence at the national level does not present any geographical aggregation bias because it equals the mean of inflation persistence of provincial data vaona a et ascari g la continuite de l inflation regionale des preuves provenant de l italie regional studies c est seulement par rapport aux pays membres de la zone euro que la distributio

technology agglomeration and regional competition for investment technology agglomeration the active courting of firms by municipalities regions and even nations has a long standing history and the competition for firm location through a wide variety of incentives seems to have escalated to new heights in recent years we develop a model that explores technology development by firms that face regional competition for their investment and examine the endogenous determination of regions policies firm technology and agglomeration externalities in particular we find that regional competition leads firms to inefficiently distort their research and development efforts in hopes of improving their standing in the competition amongst regions for their investment this loss in efficiency is aggravated by the agglomeration externalities that are inherently present in many industries we offer several case studies that provide evidence consistent with our theoretical conclusions