causality between fdi and financial market development evidence from emerging markets this paper studies the causal relationship between foreign direct investment fdi and financial market development fmd using panel data from emerging markets most studies of the relationship between fdi and fmd have focused on the role of fmd in the link between fdi and economic growth with no deep understanding of direct causality between fdi and fmd especially in emerging markets where financial markets are in the development stage we document bidirectional causality between fdi and stock market development indicators for banking sector development indicators the relationship is ambiguous and inconclusive care is therefore needed when analysing the relationship between fmd and fdi as results may depend on whether the fmd variables used to evaluate causality are stock market or banking sector development indicators

efficiency performance of current account bop flows in advanced world economies considering ghg emissions abstract current account ca imbalances reveal the unequal trade and foreign direct investment t fdi flows between various countries this paper investigates the performance of the ca component of the balance of payments bop of major advanced economies following the recent global financial and economic crisis 2013 2017 using a data envelopment analysis dea second stage approach slack based inefficiency sbi dea models are proposed using both a conventional perspective and a sustainability perspective that consider greenhouse gas ghg emissions as an undesirable output the efficiency assessment aims to identify output slacks i e exports and income inflows shortfalls as well as input slacks i e import and income outflows excesses in the second stage explanatory factors of the observed ca inefficiencies have been investigated using regression models under frequentist and bayesian frameworks although some differences exist between the conventional and sustainability scenarios regarding the negative effects of trade diversification and external debt and energy dependency on ca inefficiency in both scenarios the results indicate links between ca inefficiency and geographical regions socio economic development and the burden of customs procedures

fiscal paradise foreign tax havens and american business the tax haven affiliates of american corporations account for more than 20 percent of u s foreign direct investment and nearly a third of the foreign profits of u s firms american companies report extraordinarily high profit rates on their tax haven investments in 1982 this behavior implies that the revenue maximizing tax rate for a typical haven is around 5 8 percent american and foreign investment in tax havens has an uncertain effect on u s tax revenue but since low tax rates encourage american companies to shift profits out of high tax foreign countries it is possible that low foreign tax rates ultimately enhance u s tax collections

on the causal links between fdi and growth in developing countries we analyse the granger causal relationships between foreign direct investment fdi and gdp in a sample of 31 developing countries covering 31 years using estimators for heterogeneous panel data we find bi directional causality between the fdi to gdp ratio and the level of gdp fdi has a lasting impact on gdp while gdp has no longrun impact on the fdi to gdp ratio in that sense fdi causes growth furthermore in a model for gdp and fdi as a fraction of gross capital formation gcf we also find long run effects from fdi to gdp this finding may be interpreted as evidence in favour of the hypotheses that fdi has an impact on gdp via knowledge transfers and adoption of new technology

some macro data on the regionalisation globalisation debate a comment on the rugman verbeke analysis this paper critiques an earlier contribution by rugman and verbeke 2004 and it does so by considering the global distribution of foreign direct investment fdi it also adds several new dimensions to the regionalisation globalisation debate noticeably by i the incorporation of inward multinational enterprise mne activity ii evaluating changes in the geography of fdi between 1990 and 2003 and iii the introduction of the concept of revealed investment comparative advantage rica of countries and regions while broadly supporting the findings of rugman and verbeke our paper shows that much of the explanation for the regional concentration of fdi and mne activity reflects that of the gross domestic product gdp and trade of the countries concerned rather than any distinctive strategy on the part of investing firms

optimal economic policy and the problem of instrument instability it has been said that in a world of perfect knowledge regarding the structure of the economic system and the values of all exogenous variables policy making becomes a trivial problem 1 this is true in the sense that it is always possible with full knowledge and perfect foresight to choose the appropriate policy for the following period but it ignores the fact that the correct policy on a period to period basis may turn out to be impractical or even impossible in the longer run current policy decisions do not ordinarily have their impact solely in the current period but rather over a number of periods in the future thus in addition to offsetting the undesired effects of changes in exogenous variables current policy decisions must offset the current impact of past policy

why and how fdi stocks are a biased measure of mne affiliate activity many international business ib studies have used foreign direct investment fdi stocks to measure the aggregate value adding activity of multinational enterprises mne affiliates in host countries we argue that fdi stocks are a biased measure of that activity because the degree to which they overestimate or underestimate affiliate activity varies systematically with host country characteristics first most fdi into countries that serve as tax havens generate no actual productive activity thus fdi stocks in such countries overestimate affiliate activity second fdi stocks do not include locally raised external funds funds widely used in countries with well developed financial markets or volatile exchange rates resulting in an underestimation of affiliate activity in such countries finally the extent to which fdi translates into affiliate activity increases with affiliate labor productivity so in countries where labor is more productive fdi stocks also result in an underestimation of affiliate activity we test these hypotheses by first regressing affiliate value added and affiliate sales on fdi stocks to calculate a country specific mismatch and then by regressing this mismatch on a host country s tax haven status level of financial market development exchange rate volatility and affiliate labor productivity all hypotheses are supported implying that fdi stocks are a biased measure of mne affiliate activity and hence that the results of fdi data based studies of such activity need to be reconsidered

how trade and investment agreements affect bilateral foreign direct investment results from a structural gravity model the paper develops a new stand alone structural gravity model for explaining bilateral fdi patterns we employ the model to analyse the impact of preferential trade agreements ptas bilateral investment treaties bits and other policies on bilateral foreign direct investment fdi we use the unctad global database on bilateral fdi stocks and flows to control for the heterogeneous nature of ptas we employ two different indicators of pta depth we find that on average signing a pta increases bilateral fdi stocks by around 30 nevertheless we also find that deeper or comprehensive ptas e g including provisions on investment public procurement and intellectual property rights provisions do not have a significantly different impact than signing regular ptas belonging to the eu single market on the other hand has a strong impact and increases bilateral fdi by around 135 and signing a bit has an effect that is comparable to signing a pta

game theoretic methods in general equilibrium analysis list of figures list of authors introduction j f mertens a the core and the bargaining set i general equilibrium and cooperative games basic results e allen s sorin ii core convergence in perfectly competitive economies r m anderson iii economies with atoms j f mertens iv bargaining sets r vohra b the value v the shapley value r j aumann vi value of games with a continuum of players a neyman vii the tu value the non differentiable case j f mertens addendum the shapley value of a perfectly competitive market may not exist f lefevre viii the harsanyi value s hart ix value equivalence theorems the tu and ntu cases s hart x economic applications of the shapley value r j aumann c the cooperative approach to large markets and games xi an axiomatic approach to the equivalence phenomenon p dubey a neyman xii large games and economies with effective small groups m h wooders d the non cooperative approach xiii strategic market games a survey of some results p dubey xiv from nash to walras equilibrium e allen h polemarchakis xv correlated and communication equilibria j f mertens xvi notes on correlated equilibrium and sunspot equilibrium j peck xvii implementation with plain conversation s sorin

is the relationship between financial development and economic growth monotonic evidence from a sample of middle income countries summary we revisit the relationship between financial development and economic growth in a panel of 52 middle income countries over the 1980 2008 period using pooled mean group estimations in a dynamic heterogeneous panel setting we show that there is an inverted u shaped relationship between finance and growth in the long run in the short run the relationship is insignificant this suggests that too much finance can exert a negative influence on growth in middle income countries the finding of a non monotonic effect of financial development on growth is confirmed by estimating a threshold model

whose greed whose grievance and whose opportunity effects of foreign direct investments fdi on internal conflict abstract this paper investigates the influence of foreign direct investments on the probability of civil conflict onset contributing to the debate on globalization and civil conflict i relax the common assumption that all forms of globalization are equivalent in their effects on civil conflict i also incorporate the cross sectoral heterogeneity of investments in existing arguments about the socioeconomic externalities of foreign direct investments as determinants of conflict with long time horizons and managerial control of their foreign affiliates foreign direct investors are strategic players aiming to maximize profits and uniquely able to alter their environment through socio political channels this distinguishes fdi from trade and foreign portfolio investments through a combination of political agency and socio economic influences on grievance and greed among domestic groups some types of fdi are likely to alleviate the risk of civil conflict service sector fdi while others exacerbate it primary sector fdi analyses using a new data set of sector specific fdi stock 1980 2013 lend empirical support to the argument showing that economic globalization can have simultaneous positive and negative externalities these findings are informative for the current dialogue on the role of global markets in sustainable development

a perspective on regional and global strategies of multinational enterprises multinational enterprises mnes are the key drivers of globalization as they foster increased economic interdependence among national markets the ultimate test to assess whether these mnes are global themselves is their actual penetration level of markets across the globe especially in the broad triad markets of nafta the european union and asia yet data on the activities of the 500 largest mnes reveal that very few are successful globally for 320 of the 380 firms for which geographic sales data are available an average of 80 3 of total sales are in their home region of the triad this means that many of the world s largest firms are not global but regionally based in terms of breadth and depth of market coverage globalization in terms of a balanced geographic distribution of sales across the triad thus reflects a special and rather unusual outcome of doing international business ib the regional concentration of sales has important implications for various strands of mainstream ib research as well as for the broader managerial debate on the design of optimal strategies and governance structures for mnes journal of international business studies 2004 35 3 18 doi 10 1057 palgrave jibs 8400073

foreign direct investment and economic growth an increasingly endogenous relationship summary this paper investigates whether foreign direct investment fdi affects economic growth based on a panel of data for 84 countries over the period 1970 99 both single equation and simultaneous equation system techniques are applied to examine this relationship a significant endogenous relationship between fdi and economic growth is identified from the mid 1980s onwards fdi not only directly promotes economic growth by itself but also indirectly does so via its interaction terms the interaction of fdi with human capital exerts a strong positive effect on economic growth in developing countries while that of fdi with the technology gap has a significant negative impact

the contribution of foreign direct investment to clean energy use carbon emissions and economic growth the paper investigates the contributions of foreign direct investment fdi net inflows to clean energy use carbon emissions and economic growth the paper employs cointegration tests to examine a long run equilibrium relationship among the variables and fixed effects models to examine the magnitude of fdi contributions to the other variables the paper analyzes panel data of 19 nations of the g20 from 1971 to 2009 the test results indicate that fdi has played an important role in economic growth for the g20 whereas it limits its impact on an increase in co2 emissions in the economies the research finds no compelling evidence of fdi link with clean energy use given the results the paper discusses fdi s potential role in achieving green growth goals

foreign direct investment in the united states an analysis by country of origin given the large size and rapid growth of foreign direct investment in the united states this subject is a central concern of u s firms and u s government policymakers this study explores the factors that contribute to the explanation of fdi in the united states by country of origin of investment evidence from the past twelve years shows that the main significant positive influences are home country s exports to the united states and home country market size significant negative influences include the home country s imports from the united states the cultural and geographic distances of the home country from the united states and the exchange rate fx

entry by foreign firms in the united states under exchange rate uncertainty this paper tests the effects that real exchange rate fluctuations had on foreign direct investment into the united states during the 1980s using a sample of foreign investments in sixty one four digit sic u s wholesale industries this paper finds exchange rate volatility to be negatively correlated with the number of foreign investments that occur in these industries this negative effect is most pronounced for industries where sunk investments in physical and intangible assets are relatively high although exchange rate volatility deters investment from all countries its effect was most significant for investments by japanese companies copyright 1993 by mit press

economic reforms fdi and economic growth in india a sector level analysis summary booming foreign direct investment fdi in post reform india is widely believed to promote economic growth we assess this proposition by subjecting industry specific fdi and output data to granger causality tests within a panel cointegration framework it turns out that the growth effects of fdi vary widely across sectors fdi stocks and output are mutually reinforcing in the manufacturing sector whereas any causal relationship is absent in the primary sector most strikingly we find only transitory effects of fdi on output in the services sector however fdi in the services sector appears to have promoted growth in the manufacturing sector through cross sector spillovers

global capital flows and financing constraints firms often cite financing constraints as one of their primary obstacles to investment global capital flows by bringing in scarce capital may ease the financing constraints of host country firms but if incoming foreign investors borrow heavily from domestic banks foreign direct investment may exacerbate financing constraints by crowding host country firms out of domestic capital markets combining a unique cross country firm level panel with time series data on restrictions on international transactions and capital flows harrison love and mcmillan find that different measures of global flows are associated with a reduction in firm level financing constraints first the authors show that one type of capital inflow foreign direct investment is associated with a reduction in financing constraints second they test whether restrictions on international transactions affects the financing constraints of firms the results suggest that only one type of restriction those on capital account transactions negatively affects firms financing constraints the authors also show that multinational firms are not financially constrained and do not appear to be sensitive to the level of foreign direct investment this implies that foreign direct investment eases financing constraints for non multinational firms finally the authors show that 1 foreign direct investment only eases financing constraints in the non g7 countries and 2 other kinds of flows such as portfolio investment have no impact on financing constraints

unintended consequence of trade on regional dietary patterns in rural india abstract this paper investigates how trade liberalisation has contributed to a dietary shift from one dominated by traditional staples to one high in animal products a trend that is associated with both improved intake in micronutrients and higher rates of obesity and other diet related diseases in developing countries in the context of india s trade liberalisation in 1991 we examine whether the difference in consumption of cereals and animal products across rural regions before and after the reforms can be attributed to their differential degree of exposure to tariff reductions the estimates reveal that trade reforms have a negative impact on cereal consumption through reducing edible oil prices and a positive effect on the consumption of animal products through enhancing consumer tastes towards these foods these findings provide evidence for the role of trade in supporting dietary diversity and highlight the need for complementary policies to enhance the coherence between trade policy and nutrition actions

trends in foreign direct investment flows a theoretical and empirical analysis this paper seeks to provide a rationale for changing trends in the flow and determinants of foreign direct investment fdi as a result of macro economic and firm strategy considerations we identify several factors that impact on such trends and develop propositions that could explain the phenomenon generically the study then provides preliminary empirical support for the propositions presented and outlines the path for further research needed to investigate more causal links the statistical analysis of investments by us multinational enterprises mnes reveals significant changes in the regional distribution of fdi and a change in some of its traditional determinants results show that us mnes are now making increasing investments into asia to exploit low wage levels and to secure entry into new markets

multinationals multi plant economies and the gains from trade a general equilibrium model of a multinational enterprise based on economies of multi plant operation is developed these economies are modelled as arising from the existence of a joint input whose productivity in each production facility is independent of the number of facilities maintained by a firm the multinational thus offers the world increased technical efficiency by eliminating the duplication of the joint input that would occur with independent national firms since this technical efficiency may come at the expense of increased market power the full determinants of home country host country and world welfare are considered

talk softly but carry a big stick transfer pricing penalties and the market valuation of japanese multinationals in the united states corporate income tax law in oecd countries requires multinational enterprises mnes to set their transfer prices according to the arm s length standard in 1990 the united states us government introduced a transfer pricing penalty for cases where mnes deviated substantially from this standard more than two dozen other governments have followed suit our paper uses event study methodology to assess the impact of the us transfer pricing penalty on the stock market valuation of japanese mnes with us subsidiaries in the 1990s we find that the penalty caused a drop in their cumulative market value of 56 1 billion representing 12 6 of their 1997 market value

research on international business problems and prospects this paper reflects on the general problems and specific opportunities faced by contemporary research on multinational enterprise the general problems include controlling properly for the firm s opportunities when testing the effectiveness of its policy choices avoiding biases that result from studying surviving business units and ignoring those that disappeared and mobilizing longitudinal data and exploiting the many census based data sets now coming available

the liberalization of retail services in india summary despite the recent controversy about opening up the distribution sector to foreign retailers there is political will that remains in favor of pushing through reforms in india in this paper we quantify the economic impact of the removal of barriers to foreign investment in multi brand retailing on different stakeholders using a newly developed general equilibrium model the model accounts explicitly for both foreign direct investment and the activities of foreign affiliates using heterogeneous production technologies we find that the unilateral reduction of barriers to fdi in distribution services in india benefits the economy as a whole consumers and foreign producers but hurts domestic distributors nevertheless when we consider the associated productivity improvements documented in the literature to downstream and upstream industries we find that domestic producers are expected to benefit from the liberalization of the distribution sector as well

impacts of supermarkets on farm household nutrition in kenya summary many developing countries experience a food system transformation with a rapid growth of supermarkets we analyze impacts of supermarkets on farm household nutrition with survey data from kenya participation in supermarket channels is associated with significantly higher calorie vitamin a iron and zinc consumption we use simultaneous equation models to analyze impact pathways supermarket supplying households have higher incomes a higher share of land under vegetables and a higher likelihood of male control of revenues furthermore income and the share of land under vegetables have positive impacts while male control of revenues has negative impacts on dietary quality policy and further research implications are discussed

does human capital constrain the impact of foreign direct investment and remittances on economic growth in ghana this article empirically investigates whether human capital constrains the impact of foreign direct investment fdi and remittances on economic growth in ghana an economic growth model for ghana is specified and estimated using fully modified ordinary least squares fmols estimator and employing annual data spanning the period 1965 to 2008 empirical results indicate that fdi and remittances are key determinants of economic growth in ghana results indicate that human capital enhances the impact of fdi and remittances on economic growth although both government expenditure and trade openness are growth enhancing government expenditure appears to crowd out private investment empirical results also indicate that domestic inflationary pressures unstable political environment and volatile global economy exert a negative impact on economic growth in ghana

the impact of institutional hazards on foreign multinational activity a contingency perspective prior studies have shown that institutional hazards in the form of formal governance deficiencies and informal cultural distance are both negatively related to the amount of foreign multinational activity in countries we argue that the strength of these negative relationships varies systematically with the type of foreign activity horizontal or vertical and the type of institutional hazard governance or cultural because institutional hazards striking vertical affiliates generally also have negative consequences for other parts of a multinational enterprise mne while those striking horizontal affiliates do not we hypothesize that institutional hazards are more negatively related to vertical foreign activity than to horizontal foreign activity since cultural hazards can generally be reduced or resolved once they materialize while governance hazards cannot we also hypothesize that the impact of governance hazards on each type of foreign activity is more negative than the impact of cultural hazards on that type of activity a panel data analysis of sales by us foreign affiliates to affiliated and local unaffiliated customers over the period 1996 2004 lends support to these hypotheses our findings thus show that the impact of institutional hazards on foreign mne activity is more complex than previously assumed

banks and macroeconomic disturbances under predetermined exchange rates abstract as the recent mexican crisis vividly illustrates latin american countries often go through boom bust cycles caused by both domestic policies and external shocks such cycles are typically magnified by weak banking systems which intermediate large capital inflows this paper develops a simple optimizing model to analyze how the banking sector affects the propagation of shocks in particular we show how the world business cycle and shocks to the banking system affect output and employment through fluctuations in bank credit we also analyze the countercyclical use of reserve requirements econometric evidence for chile and mexico supports the main predictions of the model

job creation or destruction labor market effects of wal mart expansion this paper estimates the effect of wal mart expansion on retail employment at the county level using an instrumental variables approach to correct for both measurement error in entry dates and endogeneity of the timing of entry i find that wal mart entry increases retail employment by 100 jobs in the year of entry half of this gain disappears over the next five years as other retail establishments exit and contract leaving a long run statistically significant net gain of 50 jobs wholesale employment declines by approximately 20 jobs due to wal mart s vertical integration no spillover effect is detected in retail sectors in which wal mart does not compete directly suggesting wal mart does not create agglomeration economies in retail trade at the county level

private foreign investment in india pain or panacea private foreign capital whose presence in indian industry was long regarded with concern and suspicion is now presented as a panacea for india s poor industrial and export performance this paper examines available evidence to compare the behaviour and performance of domestic and foreign controlled firms in india over the last five decades it discusses the contribution of foreign capital to aggregate investment balance of payments and economic growth we assess the effects of government policy towards foreign investment review recent changes and outline implications for the future

financial development growth and the distribution of income a paradigm is presented in which both the extent of financial intermediation and the rate of economic growth are endogenously determined financial intermediation promotes growth because it allows a higher rate of return to be earned on capital and growth in turn provides the means to implement costly financial structures thus financial intermediation and economic growth are inextricably linked in accord with the goldsmith mckinnon shaw view on economic development the model also generates a development cycle reminiscent of the kuznet hypothesis in particular in the transition from a primitive slow growing economy to a developed fast growing one a nation passes through a stage in which the distribution of wealth across the rich and poor widens

foreign direct investment and growth in india a cointegration approach the two way link between foreign direct investment and growth for india is explored using a structural cointegration model with vector error correction mechanism the existence of two cointegrating vectors between gdp fdi the unit labour cost and the share of import duty in tax revenue is found which captures the long run relationship between fdi and gdp a parsimonious vector error correction model vecm is then estimated to find the short run dynamics of fdi and growth our vecm model reveals three important features a gdp in india is not granger caused by fdi the causality runs more from gdp to fdi b trade liberalization policy of the indian government had some positive short run impact on the fdi flow and c fdi tends to lower the unit labour cost suggesting that fdi in india is labour displacing

liberalization fdi and growth in developing countries a panel cointegration approach using a panel cointegration framework the article explores the two way link between fdi and growth for a panel of 23 developing countries in addition it investigates the impact of liberalization on the dynamics of the fdi and gdp relationship a long run cointegrating relationship is found between fdi and gdp after allowing for heterogeneous country effects the cointegrating vectors reveal a bidirectional causality between gdp and fdi for more open economies for relatively closed economies long run causality appears unidirectional and runs from gdp to fdi implying that growth and fdi are not mutually reinforcing under restrictive trade and investment regimes

foreign direct investments environmental externalities and capital segmentation in a rural economy this paper examines the possible effects of external investment inflows on the development of local rural economies taking into account two recurrent features of many developing countries capital market segmentation and environmental externalities to investigate this issue we examine a model with two sectors the local sector and the external sector physical capital accumulation in the latter sector is driven by foreign direct investments while in the former sector it follows a solow type accumulation mechanism we assume that the production activity of the external sector damages the environment while the local sector relies on natural resources in this context we give the conditions under which capital inflows can promote diversification of host economy while improving welfare of local populations if these conditions are not satisfied external investments fuel a welfare reducing process for the local community and a self enforcing growth of the external sector at the expense of the local one

causal relationships between energy consumption foreign direct investment and economic growth fresh evidence from dynamic simultaneous equations models this paper examines the interrelationships between energy consumption foreign direct investment and economic growth using dynamic panel data models in simultaneous equations for a global panel consisting of 65 countries the time component of our dataset is 1990 2011 inclusive to make the panel data analysis more homogenous we also investigate this interrelationship for a number of sub panels which are constructed based on the income level of countries in this way we end up with three income panels namely high income middle income and low income panels in the empirical part we draw on the growth theory and augment the classical growth model which consists of capital stock labor force and inflation with foreign direct investment and energy generally we show mixed results about the interrelationship between energy consumption fdi and economic growth

stability vs flexibility the effect of regulatory institutions on opportunity type how entrepreneurial opportunities are formed and exploited depends upon the institutional environment in which they are embedded the varying amounts of risk and uncertainty across and within heterogeneous institutional environments have important implications for the types of opportunity developed while the international business and entrepreneurship literatures consider the effect of environmental risk and uncertainty on firms risk and uncertainty are often treated as interchangeable or synonymous and rarely are both considered to be present together to address this we develop a new theoretical model based on institutional economics describing how institutional arrangements promoting stability thus supporting an entrepreneur s ability to assess risk will lead to more imitative opportunities while institutions promoting flexibility thus supporting an entrepreneur s ability to respond to uncertainty by iterating will foster more innovative opportunities we test this framework using cross national data across 40 countries from the gem survey finding that institutional arrangements that promote stability do lead to more imitation while institutions that promote flexibility foster more innovation by treating risk and uncertainty as distinct constructs our study makes theoretical contributions to research on institutional environments and opportunity types with implications for future research on subsidiary initiatives the evolution of mnes and born global firms

foreign direct investment in india s retail bazaar opportunities and challenges despite encouraging signs india s retail market remains largely off limits to large international retailers like wal mart and carrefour opposition to liberalising foreign direct investment in this sector raises concerns about employment losses unfair competition resulting in large scale exit of incumbent domestic retailers and infant industry arguments to protect the organised domestic retail sector that is at a nascent stage based on international evidence we suggest that allowing entry by large international retailers into the indian market may help tackle inflation especially in food prices moreover technical know how from foreign firms such as warehousing technologies and distribution systems can improve supply chain efficiency in india in particular for agricultural produce better linkages between demand and supply have the potential to improve the price signals that farmers receive and also serve to enhance agricultural and other exports

does foreign direct investment reduce poverty in africa and are there regional differences summary this paper re examines the relationship between foreign direct investment fdi inflows and welfare or poverty reduction in africa using fdi net inflows per capita and the united nations development program s human development index as the principal variables our analyses confirm the positive and strongly significant relationship between fdi net inflows and poverty reduction in africa but find significant differences among african regions we also find that fdi has a greater impact on welfare in poorer countries than it does in wealthier countries for instance while the relationship between fdi and poverty reduction is positive and significant for economic communities in central and east africa it is non significant in northern and southern africa furthermore the relationship was found to be ambiguous in west africa our results are robust to many model specifications

financial market development in host and source countries and their effects on bilateral foreign direct investment we study an underexplored research question namely whether financial market development in both host and source countries has an effect on bilateral stocks of foreign direct investment fdi and particularly whether the effect of financial market development in one member of the country pair conditions the effect of financial market development in the other member we estimate gravity type models in a global sample of 43 source and 137 host countries over the period 2001 12 we address reverse causality concerns by restricting the sample to observations where reverse causality if existent should be less relevant our major and robust findings are that bilateral fdi increases with better developed financial markets in both the host and the source country and that for developing host countries financial market development in source and host countries functions as substitutes for each other

does foreign direct investment promote growth exploring the role of financial markets on linkages abstract do multinational companies generate positive externalities for the host country the evidence so far is mixed varying from beneficial to detrimental effects of foreign direct investment fdi on growth with many studies that find no effect in order to provide an explanation for this empirical ambiguity we formalize a mechanism that emphasizes the role of local financial markets in enabling fdi to promote growth through backward linkages using realistic parameter values we quantify the response of growth to fdi and show that an increase in the share of fdi leads to higher additional growth in financially developed economies relative to financially under developed ones

do multinationals operate flexibly theory and evidence do multinational enterprises operate flexibly i e do they shift production in response to currency changes three theoretical perspectives are developed flexibility optimism premised on information and sunk cost advantages takes a macro efficiency perspective and predicts sizable responses flexibility pessimism premised on inertia and internal opportunism takes an organizational perspective and predicts sticky responses flexibility realism premised on the view that to be flexible in the current period multinational enterprises need to have planned and invested accordingly in previous periods predicts positive but relatively modest responses empirical analysis spanning the period 1977 1993 finds that multinational enterprises systematically exploit currency shifts but even in the face of large exchange rate changes their operational responses are relatively modest the results appear most consistent with flexibility realism and this hypothesis is selected over the alternatives considered

intellectual property rights fdi r d and economic growth a cross country empirical analysis this paper aims to empirically examine how intellectual property rights iprs protection foreign direct investment fdi and research and development r d along with other possible variables may affect the economic growth of the host country using the panel data of 92 countries during 1970 2007 i conclude from the system generalised method of moments estimation that domestic investment share fdi r d capacity openness to trade human capital and iprs protection all have statistically significant and positive impacts on economic growth a further investigation of countries at different levels of development suggests two striking findings first besides the domestic investment openness human capital and iprs protection r d is the key to drive economic growth in the higher income countries while fdi is the engine of growth in both higher income and middle income countries second a positive and significant impact of iprs protection on economic growth is found in both higher income and lower income countries however such an impact is not detected in the middle income countries

latent transversality conditions in macroeconomic stabilization policies abstract while the dutch economy was characterized by seemingly unimpeded growth in the period before 1970 the end of the 60s brought various disequilibria which are now held responsible for the structural problems of the 70s optimization over the periods 1964 70 and 1971 77 using the year to year projections of the central economic plans shows that economic policies in those years correspond most with short term stabilization objectives and that indirect real wage control could have been used as an efficient substitute for such policies sequential open loop optimizations employing sliding windows of different width then suggest that adding real wage control to the conventional objectives of economic policy may reduce the sensitivity for the choice of the planning horizon to a large extent moreover this result could form a start for obtaining a compromise between short run stabilization and moderately ambitious medium term targetting

the mnc as an agent of change for host country institutions fdi and corruption most empirical research examines how the institutional environment of corruption shapes the behavior of multinational corporations mncs in this study we would like to highlight the other side of the picture how the presence of mncs may shape the institutional environment of corruption over time we propose three avenues through which the mncs may have an impact on its host institutions regulatory pressure effect demonstration effect and professionalization effect based on extensive data on foreign direct investment and corruption for a large sample of countries over the last 30 years the empirical results are generally consistent with our hypothesis such findings provide a glimmer of hope for the future of the host country where corruption is prevalent

fdi and financial market development in africa the literature on the relationship between foreign direct investment fdi financial market development fmd and economic growth focuses mainly on two aspects the relationship between fdi and economic growth and the role played by fmd in that linkage the literature is almost silent on the relationship and the direction of causality between fdi and fmd although it has been established that fdi contributes more to growth in countries with a more developed financial market it is not clear how fdi and fmd interact with each other the aim of this paper is to fill this gap in the african context particularly in africa where stock markets experience low liquidity and less transparency fdi can be an impetus for financial market reforms and serve as a mechanism to improve the transparency and the depth of the financial markets also well functioning financial markets can help channel foreign investments more efficiently into productive sectors and therefore create more value for investors hence making the countries more attractive to fdi in short both fdi and fmd will impact each other simultaneously which is confirmed by our findings we document a bidirectional causality between fdi and fmd furthermore the multivariate regression results of the system of simultaneous equations also confirm the positive relationship between fdi and fmd in africa we also find that fdi contributes to economic growth in africa after controlling for endogeneity between fdi fmd and economic growth

growth by destination the role of trade in africa s recent growth episode summary over the period 1990 2009 africa has experienced a distinct and favorable reversal in its growth fortunes in stark contrast to its performance in the preceding decades leading to a variety of hypotheses seeking to explain the phenomenon this paper presents both cross country and panel data evidence on the causal factors driving the recent turnaround in africa s growth and takes the unique approach of disaggregating the separate growth impacts of africa s bilateral trade with china europe and america the empirical analysis presented in this paper suggests that the primary and most robust causal factors driving africa s recent growth turnaround are private sector and foreign direct investment although empirical evidence of the role of bilateral trade openness in africa s recent growth emerges within a fixed effect estimation setting these results are not as robust when endogeneity and other issues are fully accounted for among the three major bilateral partners africa s bilateral trade with china has been a relatively important factor spurring growth on the continent and especially so in resource rich oil producing and non landlocked countries the econometric results are not as supportive of growth inducing effects of foreign aid these findings emerge after applying a variety of panel data specifications to the data including the recent fixed effects filtered fef estimator introduced by pesaran and zhou 2014 and the dynamic panel generalized method of moments gmm estimator which allows for endogeneity between trade and growth

bilateral investment treaties and fdi does the sector matter summary developing and transition countries have increasingly engaged in the signing of bilateral investment treaties bits in order to attract fdi based on the widely shared view that fdi can contribute significantly to economic development and poverty reduction however the degree to which foreign investments can be expected to generate employment offer access to international technology and know how and ultimately create growth varies considerably depending on the type of investment it is therefore important to determine what type of fdi is attracted by bits by providing a legal commitment to the fair and equitable treatment of foreign investors bits aim to decrease investment risk and to attract foreign investors we argue that bits can be expected to be most effective in those sectors of the economy with a larger risk of expropriation i e sectors characterized by large sunk costs relatively low levels of firm specific know how and in sectors that are politically sensitive to foreign ownership this paper represents the first attempt to empirically study the heterogeneous effect that bits may have across different sectors of investments we analyze investments made in 13 countries in the former soviet union and central and eastern europe disaggregated over seven sectors we indeed find the effect of bits to differ considerably across sectors of investment using capital intensity as a proxy we confirm that fdi in those sectors with higher sunk costs responds more strongly to the signing of bits given the considerable differences in the development impact that can be expected from fdi in different sectors it remains to be shown whether bits are an effective tool to attract those types of investments that are most beneficial for the development of the host economy

foreign direct investment in oecd countries a special focus in the case of greece foreign direct investment fdi is considered as an important instrument for economic development all over the world the aim of this paper is to examine the fdi inflows determinants for 24 oecd co

the causes and consequences of wal mart s growth wal mart is the largest company in the world yet little is known about its economic impact this essay discusses what is known about wal mart s competitive advantage and its economic impact on local communities as well as the national and global economy and highlights the open questions to be addressed by future research

does fdi improve economic development in north african countries this article examines the relationship between fdi inflows and welfare improvement in north african countries using net per capita fdi inflows and the united nations development program s human development index as the principal variables our analyses confirm the positive and strongly significant relationship between net fdi inflows and welfare improvement in north africa although we do find significant differences among the countries in the region this relationship holds even after we control for government size country indebtedness macroeconomic instability infrastructural development institutional quality political risk openness to trade education and financial market development hence at the aggregate level fdi contributes to economic growth in north africa in turn generating additional revenues for governments and populations in the region through fiscal policies and jobs creation we also found that fdi received by countries in the region are mainly concentrated in very few industries

china s catch up to the us economy decomposing tfp through investment specific technology and human capital we implement a neoclassical growth model that incorporates investment specific technology ist modifying capital investment in the law of motion of capital and bifurcates productivity into human capital and total factor productivity tfp in the production function we focus on the role of changes in the quality adjusted price of investment goods on china s growth by comparing the effects of ist and human capital on the decomposition of us and chinese productivity the results show that both human capital and ist play an important role in the decomposition of us tfp for china human capital accounts for an increasingly higher portion of chinese tfp for the period 1952 2009 however ist contributes to the explanation of tfp only after the 1979 reforms the analysis is extended by considering the impact of ist in the consumer s investment decision and by projecting both countries gdp while modelling unbalanced chinese growth using catch up our model predicts that the chinese economy will surpass the us

risk assessment and profit sharing in business networks abstract nowadays network is the preferred governance form to conduct economic transactions network solution allows to reach flexibility maintaining cost and quality level since network concept refers to a great variety of organizational hybrids it is possible to choose the one that fits better market requirements the new trends in inter organization relationships push towards network solutions companies are interested in relationships with partners and customers to overcome resource dependence to enter too risky market or simply differentiate their business portfolio the proposed research focuses on the network concept aiming at highlighting threats and opportunities to investigate the double nature of the risk concept network structures offer flexibility and higher profit as a consequence and business risk sharing opportunity these two aspects profit and risk are strictly related and have to be considered together to depict a complete scenario this implies that risk assessment and management in network environment cannot neglect profit sharing or in other words that profit sharing mechanisms should use risk as driver in this context our research proposes a methodology to measure risk taking into account network peculiarities risk estimation is a basic step to evaluate the opportunity cost of capital needed to compute the network net present value npv that is assumed as base in the profit sharing process the profit sharing process has been tackled using the shapley value approach that is inspired to the fairness principle while the opportunity cost of capital is assessed using the capital asset pricing model capm

a cge analysis of the impact of foreign direct investment and tariff reform on female and male workers in tanzania summary this study analyzes the impact on female and male workers of tariff reform and the reduction of regulatory barriers faced by domestic and foreign firms operating in business services it develops a data set that distinguishes labor by gender for 52 sectors and four skill categories the model is the first to incorporate modern trade theory to assess its gender implications the dixit stiglitz framework results in productivity gains which increase remunerations across all worker categories however this is less beneficial for women because the less skilled workers and the ones that are less involved in business services gain less

the location choices of foreign investors a district level analysis in india this paper analyzes the determinants of the location choices made by foreign investors at the district level in india to gauge the relative importance of economic geography factors local business conditions and the presence of previous foreign investors we employ a discretechoice model and poisson regressions to control for the potential violation of the assumption of independence of irrelevant alternatives our sample includes about 19 500 foreign investment projects approved in 447 districts from 1991 2005 we find that foreign investors strongly prefer locations where other foreign investors are they are also attracted to industrially diverse locations and those with better infrastructure we conclude that the concentration of fdi in a few locations could fuel regional divergence in post reform india

governance infrastructure and us foreign direct investment this paper examines the statistical importance of governance infrastructure as a determinant of us foreign direct investment fdi in broad terms governance infrastructure represents attributes of legislation regulation and legal systems that condition freedom of transacting security of property rights and transparency of government and legal processes our econometric analysis uses a two stage estimation procedure in the first stage the probability that a country is an fdi recipient is estimated the results indicate that countries that fail to achieve a minimum threshold of effective governance are unlikely to receive any us fdi countries that receive no us fdi are typically countries that do not promote free and transparent markets that have ineffective governments and that often have legal systems that are not rooted in english common law in the second stage the analysis is restricted to those countries that did receive fdi flows the estimated equations focus on the determinants of the amount of fdi received given that a country is a recipient of us fdi governance infrastructure including the nature of the legal system is an important determinant of the amount received

policy and non policy determinants of u s equity foreign direct investment this study examined the effects of policy and non policy variables on the location of new u s direct investment abroad as distinct from reinvested earnings of existing affiliates using 1977 and 1982 benchmark data the data revealed statistically significant effects for investment incentives positive performance requirements negative and host country effective tax rates negative with interesting differences between the two time periods and between developed versus developing countries significance was also found for non policy variables such as political stability cultural distance gdp per capita and infrastructure

aid and growth what does the cross country evidence really show abstract we examine the effects of aid on growth in cross sectional and panel data after correcting for the possible bias that poorer or stronger growth may draw aid contributions to recipient co

does foreign direct investment lead to productivity spillovers firm level evidence from indonesia this paper examines whether spillovers from foreign direct investment fdi make any contribution to productivity growth in the indonesian chemical and pharmaceutical firms using plant level panel data the spillover effects from fdi are analyzed using a stochastic frontier approach and productivity growth is decomposed using a generalized malmquist output oriented index the results show positive productivity spillovers from fdi higher competition is associated with larger spillovers and domestic firms with r d gain more spillover benefits compared to those without r d fdi spillovers are found to be positive and significant for technological progress and positive but not significant for technical and scale efficiency change

factors determining energy consumption evidence from indonesia malaysia and thailand abstract the aim of this study is to verify empirically the impact of various factors on energy consumption in three asean countries namely indonesia malaysia and thailand over the period 1980 to 2012 after using sundry appropriate diagnostic tests for checking time series data the method of least square as an analytical technique is used for parameters estimation the findings validate that fdi inflows economic growth trade openness and human development index have positive and statistically significant impacts on energy consumption the other variable urbanization has positive and statistically significant impacts on energy consumption for thailand and indonesia only while the empirical results reveals that population growth rate has a positive and statistically significant relationship with energy consumption only in the case of malaysia so in the light of determinations of the study the policy implication is that energy policy needs to be orientated in favor of expanding the supply of energy to reach an enhanced degree of sustainable economic growth and development

impact of foreign direct investment volatility on economic development in the indian subcontinent using annual data over forty years from 1975 to 2014 this study investigates the gross domestic product gdp growth and the conditional volatility of foreign direct investment fdi in the indian subcontinent the study reports the rising trends of both fdi and gdp and documents that the greater than expected fdi due to innovative shocks or policy innovations positively influences conditional volatility of fdi which in turn positively contributes to the economic growth development the conditional volatility used in the study is the variance derived from the diagnostically selected exponential garch egarch model the study also reports the causality of both the fdi and its volatility across borders more specifically it reports bidirectional causality of fdi between india and pakistan but unidirectional causality from bangladesh to both india and pakistan it further documents that this volatility is persistent in all the economies and that it spillovers from both india and pakistan to bangladesh the evidence attributes the economic development in the indian subcontinent to the economic or policy innovations in attracting fdi the findings of this study thus contribute to the literature by documenting the contrasting evidence that the volatility along with the trend of fdi contributes to the economic development and by reconciling the contrasting evidence

the effect of financial development on convergence theory and evidence we introduce imperfect creditor protection in a multicountry schumpeterian growth model the theory predicts that any country with more than some critical level of financial development will converge to the growth rate of the world technology frontier and that all other countries will have a strictly lower long run growth rate we present evidence supporting these and other implications in the form of a cross country growth regression with a significant and sizable negative coefficient on initial per capita gdp relative to the united states interacted with financial intermediation in addition we find that other variables representing schooling geography health policy politics and institutions do not affect the significance of the interaction between financial intermediation and initial per capita gdp and do not show any independent effect on convergence in the regressions our findings are robust to removal of outliers and to alternative conditioning sets estimation procedures and measures of financial development

multinational enterprises and wage costs vertical fdi revisited abstract this study explores how wage costs for high skilled and less skilled labor in host countries affect the level of affiliate activities conducted by foreign mnes we find support for vertical fdi in the sense that more fdi is conducted in countries where less skilled labor is relatively cheap in addition we find that skilled wage cost premia also affect fdi activities previously associated with horizontal fdi i e local affiliate sales consequently the potential effects of relative wage costs on mne activities are large rough calculations suggest that more than 20 percent of us affiliate sales in 1998 can be attributed to skilled wage cost premia

flexible and fixed target stabilisation in an open economy abstract this paper contains a comparison in an applied framework of the effectiveness of implementing two alternative stabilisation strategies in an open economy in particular the familiar optimisation flexible target technique is compared with the newly developed dynamic tinbergen fixed target technique the fixed target approach allows for the exact achievement of targets over time when there are more targets than instruments provided the planning authorities are prepared to anticipate the target path alternatively the flexible target approach imposes the constraint of compromising all targets when the number of targets exceeds the number of instruments

game theoretic models of wage bargaining this paper aims at being a tool to help apply game theoretic bargaining models to wage negotiations in this perspective we review a number of articles which explicitly deal with wage determination as well as purely game theoretical models which we believe can be fruitfully extended to account for specific features of labour markets we discuss some common shortcomings in the wage negotiation literature and suggest possible lines of research worth pursuing to deal with such weaknesses