the carbon footprint of uk households 1990 2004 a socio economically disaggregated quasi multi regional input output model this paper presents a socio economically disaggregated framework for attributing co2 emissions to people s high level functional needs based around a quasi multi regional input output qmrio model the study in theory takes into account all co2 emissions that arise from energy used in production of goods and services to satisfy uk household demand whether the emissions occur in the uk or abroad results show that co2 emissions attributable to households were 15 above 1990 levels in 2004 and that although absolute decoupling occurred between household expenditure and co2 during the uk s switch from coal to gas in the early 1990s since then only slight relative decoupling is evident the proportion of co2 that arises outside uk borders in support of uk consumption is rising and reducing these emissions is particularly problematic in a global trading system investigation into the carbon footprint of different segments of the uk population shows wide variation the segment with the highest carbon footprint emits 64 more co2 than the segment with the lowest results show that recreation and leisure are responsible for over one quarter of co2 emissions in a typical uk household in 2004 we conclude that expanding lifestyle aspirations are significant factors in driving household co2 emissions but the study also emphasizes that attention must be paid to the infrastructures and institutions that result in considerable amounts of co2 being locked up in basic household activities through which people meet their everyday needs for subsistence protection and communication with family and friends the findings highlight the sheer scale of the challenge facing uk policy makers and suggest that policies should be targeted towards segments of society responsible for the highest carbon footprints

household carbon inequality in urban china its sources and determinants designing mitigation policies for households requires knowledge of household carbon distributions this study surveys the household carbon inequality in urban china and analyzes its sources and determinants using weighted household survey data different from existing literatures studying carbon inequality on the international or regional level we focus on the household aspect and first survey its characteristics by some comparisons by ascribing household carbon emissions calculated by the consumer lifestyle approach to several consumption categories with the method of gini coefficient decomposition we find that residential consumption with high carbon intensity is the most important source of household carbon inequality in urban china food consumption and the consumption of educational cultural and recreational services are the next largest sources because of the consumed quantities or carbon intensity the application of shapley decomposition shows the determinants of household carbon inequality in urban china and their contributions which are household demographic characteristics 59 74 household employment and income 24 31 household burdens 8 00 and household assets and financial plans 7 95 the policy implications of these results are also discussed

tax policy uncertainty and corporate investment abstract the anticipatory effects of a corporate tax reform of the tax cut cum base broadening variety are analyzed in a dynamic stochastic adjustment model of firm behavior focusing on the case where the firm is uncertain both about the timing and the contents of the expected reform the value of the firm is solved prior to and after the reform the existence of investment spurts prior to the implementation of the tax reform is established rigorous results are derived under constant returns and the effects of diminishing returns are explained the expectation of a future tax cut causes the firm to accelerate optimal investment while the expectation of a reduction in the tax base the rate of fiscal depreciation has the opposite effect for a firm which updates information timing uncertainty interacts with the expectation effect moreover increased timing uncertainty may accelerate or decelerate investment as an optimal response to an expected tax cut futhermore for reasonable assumptions it is shown that a rate cut cum base broadening tax reform of the type implemented in several oecd countries in the 1980s and 1990s cannot be revenue neutral

the relative importance of social and institutional conditions in the planning of wind power projects abstract governments around the world try to stimulate the development and use of renewable energy technologies like wind energy while wind turbines are increasingly being implemented however a lack of social acceptance at the local level remains an important challenge for developers of wind power plants this article aims to explore the relative importance of social and institutional conditions and their interdependencies in the operational process of planning wind power schemes the article not only focuses on how negative local social conditions can frustrate public policy cf nimby syndrome but also on how positive local social conditions can compensate for a negative public policy framework we analyzed the cases of implementing wind power of two actors the regional energy distributor and small private investors in the municipality of zeewolde the netherlands both cases illustrate that the formal institutional framework formal rules procedures and instruments is neutral in a certain sense social conditions management styles interests and informal contacts put meaning in this framework the way stakeholders deal with the prevailing institutional structure clarifies social acceptance and therewith implementation

wind power price trends in the united states struggling to remain competitive in the face of strong growth the amount of wind power capacity being installed globally is surging with the united states the world leader in terms of annual market share for three years running 2005 2007 the rapidly growing market for wind has been a double edged sword however as the resulting supply demand imbalance in wind turbines along with the rising cost of materials and weakness in the u s dollar has put upward pressure on wind turbine costs and ultimately wind power prices two mitigating factors reductions in the cost of equity provided to wind projects and improvements in project level capacity factors have helped to relieve some of the upward pressure on wind power prices over the last few years because neither of these two factors can be relied upon to further cushion the blow going forward policymakers should recognize that continued financial support may be necessary to sustain the wind sector at its current pace of development at least in the near term though this article emphasizes developments in the u s market for wind power those trends are similar to and hold implications for the worldwide wind power market

inequality of opportunity in energy consumption in china abstract this paper proposes an empirical implementation of the concept of inequality of opportunity in energy consumption expenditure and applies this to data from chinese general social survey cgss we examine the role played by circumstances beyond the control of individuals for instance gender hukou status family background and region of birth in generating inequality in energy consumption expenditure in china this study shows that the relative share of inequality of opportunity ior in energy consumption expenditure in china is 10 02 for the entire sample ior turns out to be larger for the older cohort peaking at 14 40 for the 1955 64 cohort a shapley value decomposition presents that hukou status and region of birth are the two largest contributors to inequality of opportunity across birth cohorts a heterogeneity analysis further shows that more disadvantaged groups for instance female individuals born in the west of rural china with worse family backgrounds are facing more unequal opportunities in energy consumption in china these results suggest that energy policies focused on zero discrimination in opportunities should be encouraged

the deadweight loss from non neutral capital income taxation abstract this paper develops an overlapping generations general equilibrium model that treats explicitly the role of capital goods in the production process and uses the model to measure the relative magnitudes of different distortions associated with capital income taxation across industries assets and time one of the main results is that uniform capital income taxation is almost certainly suboptimal theoritically but that optimal deviations from uniform taxation are empirically inconsequencial the paper also introduces and applies a general technique for distinguishing intergenerational transfers from efficiency gains in the analysis of the impact of policy changes on long run welfare

income distribution and environmental quality in china a spatial econometric perspective abstract paying heed to a surge of concern about the serious and continuous environmental degradation that is currently being witnessed in china in this paper we investigate whether income distribution contributes to environmental deterioration environmental degradation can be linked not only to income growth we argue but also to increases in income inequality the study calculated the gini coefficient of 31 province using a data set of 403 city level data in mainland china and estimated the linkage between income distribution and environmental deterioration utilizing balanced data for 31 chinese provinces during the period 1996 2015 first the degree of environmental pollution was calculated by constructing a comprehensive index system which was formulated using the entropy method based on six environmental indicators then a spatial panel regression model was also employed in order to estimate whether income inequality is likely to be a relevant factor in environmental deterioration in china the estimation results showed that using the index and spatial analysis techniques significant spatial positive agglomeration were found existing between chinese provinces in terms of their levels of environmental degradation the influencing factors estimation results substantiated the existence of an invert u shaped relation lending support to the environmental kuznets curve theory more importantly the study found that income inequality played a significant role in preventing environmental degradation suggesting that an appropriate level of income inequality over a delimited period is beneficial to improving environmental quality it should however also be emphasized that optimizing the country s income distribution is remains an important long term task for the chinese government other factors were found to exert different types and magnitudes of impacts on environmental pollution results showed that many factors for instance energy intensity the share of secondary industry population density and foreign direct investment contribute to environmental deterioration conversely our findings also indicate that rising urbanization levels can have a positive effect on environmental quality in addition no clear evidence was found to suggest that local government expenditure is related to environmental degradation

engel functions panel data and latent variables a system of consumer expenditure functions is estimated from norwegian household budget data specific features of the approach are i panel data from individual households are used which offer far richer opportunities for identification estimation and testing than cross section data ii measurement errors are carefully modelled total consumption expenditure is modelled as a latent variable purchase expenditures on different goods and two income measures are used as indicators of this basic latent variable the usual assumption of no measurement error in total expenditure is clearly rejected iii the distribution of latent total expenditure across households and its evolution over time is estimated and important properties tested iv the distribution of individual differences in preferences represented by individual time invariant latent variables are modelled estimated and tested v we test the hypothesis that preferences are uncorrelated with total consumption expenditure which is basic to virtually all cross section studies of consumer demand functions

examining the global environmental impact of regional consumption activities part 2 review of input output models for the assessment of environmental impacts embodied in trade this paper offers a detailed review of recently described single and multi region input output models used to assess environmental impacts of internationally traded goods and services it is the second part of a two part contribution in part 1 turner k lenzen m wiedmann t and barrett j in press examining the global environmental impact of regional consumption activities part 1 a technical note on combining input output and ecological footprint analysis ecological economics we describe how to enumerate the resource and pollution content of inter regional and inter national trade flows with the aim to illustrate an ideal accounting and modelling framework for the estimation of ecological footprints a large number of such environment economic models have been described but only in the last few years models have emerged that use a more sophisticated multi region multi sector input output framework this has been made possible through improvements in data availability and quality as well as computability we identify six major models that employ multi sector multi region input output analysis in order to calculate environmental impacts embodied in international trade results from the reviewed studies demonstrate that it is important to explicitly consider the production recipe land and energy use as well as emissions in a multi region multi sector and multi directional trade model with global coverage and detailed sector disaggregation only then reliable figures for indicators of impacts embodied in trade such as the ecological footprint can be derived

intertemporal lifestyle changes and carbon emissions evidence from a china household survey abstract this paper examines the endogenous evolution of household consumption patterns and household carbon emissions hces by integrating the analysis methods of income distribution with climate change based on a large scale household survey spanning from 2012 to 2016 in china we estimated the direct and indirect hces observed inverse u shaped carbon kuznets curves ckc and significant changes in hces over the period at the household level applying the oaxaca blinder method we decomposed factors causing the changes in hces and found that income and demographic effects contribute only 25 1 to the total increase of hces the other 74 9 remain unexplained and we define them as the effect of intertemporal lifestyle changes further analysis from multiple perspectives illustrates that the lifestyles of households across various social strata are becoming increasingly higher carbon intensive over time even though the income remains unchanged the findings indicate that existing modeling and projections of carbon emissions based on income and household characteristics may underestimate the future emissions pressure from the household sector hence we conclude that in order to reach more meaningful results the increasing effect of lifestyles should be taken into account when conducting climate change studies and formulating climate policies

income inequality and co2 emissions in the g7 1870 2014 evidence from non parametric modelling abstract we examine whether income inequality effected carbon emissions in what are now the world s wealthiest countries over the period 1870 2014 employing a non parametric panel estimation method with cross sectional and time varying coefficients we find that the relationship between income inequality and co2 emissions is highly non linear in terms of signs and significance the nonparametric coefficient function for income inequality is found to vary over the period 1870 2014 income inequality exhibits a significant positive effect from 1870 to 1880 and a significant negative impact from 1950 to 2000 on co2 emissions we also find that for extended periods between 1881 and 1949 and between 2000 and 2014 there is no significant relationship between the two variables

residential consumers in the cape peninsula s willingness to pay for premium priced green electricity a number of studies have explored the willingness i e stated willingness as opposed to actual willingness of consumers to pay a premium for green electricity in developed countries however little is known about how this translates into an emerging economy context this study investigates the level of willingness of residential households in south africa s cape peninsula to pay a premium for electricity from renewable energy it methodologically drew on recent contributions in the literature on norm motivated behaviour used to identify testable factors that could influence residential consumers willingness to pay wtp interestingly the study found a significant positive link between household income and wtp for green electricity contrary to the findings of some previous studies not only are higher income households more likely to pay a premium but typically they are also willing to pay a bigger premium it was also further established that the view that green electricity is reliable involvement in the recycling of waste and the belief that everyone should contribute to green electricity generation drive the wtp

redefining recs part 2 untangling certificates and emission markets abstract renewable energy and greenhouse gas emissions markets are currently in a state of confusion regarding the treatment of renewable energy certificate recs how should emission trading schemes treat recs how can emission mitigation policies provide real incentives for renewable generation the objective of rec markets should be to promote additional renewable energy investments the author asserts that defining recs in terms of attributes especially off site attributes does not further this goal ambiguous language such as environmental attribute or environmental benefit creates confusion in the marketplace while failing to address the relevant coordination issues with renewable portfolio standard compliance markets voluntary emission offset markets or emission cap and trade markets specifically defining recs in terms of off site attributes creates a number of problems including that once an emissions cap and trade scheme is in place such definitions of a rec can become indefensible the author proposes to redefine recs in terms of on site attributes which resolves the aforementioned problems and allows compliance and voluntary renewable energy and emission markets to function without conflicts ideally environmental commodities should be homogeneous first best measures of the relevant environmental good as well as easily measured and verified the author proposes tradable environmental commodities that achieve these characteristics

lumpy investment and corporate tax policy in the presence of both convex and nonconvex capital adjustment costs in a dynamic general equilibrium model corporate tax policy generates both intensive and extensive margin effects via the channel of marginal q i ts impact is determined largely by the strength of the extensive margin effect which in turn depends on the cross sectional distribution of firms depending on the initial distribution of firms the economy displays asymmetric responses to tax changes moreover an anticipated increase in the future investment tax credit reduces investment and adjustment rate initially

are younger generations higher carbon emitters than their elders inequalities generations and co2 emissions in france and in the usa abstract proper understanding of the determinants of household co2 emissions is essential for a shift to sustainable lifestyles this paper explores the impacts of date of birth and income on household co2 emissions in france and in the usa direct co2 emissions of french and american households are computed from consumer budget surveys over the 1980 2000 time period age period cohort estimators are used to isolate the generational effect on co2 emissions i e the specific effect of date of birth independent of the age the year and other control variables the paper shows that french 1935 55 cohorts have a stronger tendency to emit co2 than their predecessors and followers the generational effect is explained by the fact that over their lifespan french baby boomers are better off than other generations and live in energy and carbon inefficient dwellings in the usa the absence of a generational effect on co2 emissions can be explained by the fact that intergenerational income inequalities are weaker than in france persistence of the generational effect once income and housing type is controlled for in france can be explained by the difficulty for french 1935 55 cohorts to adapt to sober energy consumption patterns

how responsive is business capital formation to its user cost an exploration with micro data abstract the response of business capital formation to its user cost is critical to evaluating tax reform deficit reduction and monetary policy evidence for a substantial user cost elasticity however is sparse most evidence has been based on aggregate data although several recent studies with firm level data report substantial effects with a particularly rich micro dataset containing over 26 000 observations this paper explores what can be learned about the user cost elasticity while the results depend to some extent on the specification and econometric technique various diagnostics lead us to prefer a precisely estimated but small elasticity of approximately 0 25 this paper is dedicated to the memory of robert eisner who labored early and ably on uncovering the determinants of investment spending and highlighting the importance of the question found in the title of this paper

applying quantile regression and shapley decomposition to analyzing the determinants of household embedded carbon emissions evidence from urban china abstract as co2 emissions differ in households with different characteristics mitigation policies still address the contributions of these characteristics and their effects on specific households using a representative resident survey in urban china this paper compares how household characteristics differ in their associations with household embedded carbon emissions heces at different levels by quantile regression then this paper analyzes the contributions of these characteristics by shapley decomposition the findings include the following i household income is the most important contributor to the difference of heces and its positive effect increases as heces rise ii the use of wealth has different effects on heces because household housing ownership and deposits contribute little to heces but the positive effects of household car ownership contribute 25 8 iii young people and children will emit more heces than adults the employed emit more than persons who are unemployed or retired iv education increases heces overall but mainly at the low quantiles the negative effect of the marriage increases as heces rise v income car ownership marital status size and constitution of households with high heces should be addressed to reduce the inequality of heces indeed education on the low carbon concept is another way forward

is income inequality a driver for renewable energy consumption abstract although many initiatives have been made to research the effect of income inequality on environmental issues the question of whether income inequality affects renewable energy consumption hasn t been answered this gap in the literature raises an important question that needs to be answered by researchers can the income inequality affect renewable energy consumption as far as is known the study is the first attempt to discover this relationship therefore the impact of income inequality on renewable energy consumption is examined theoretically and empirically in 43 developed and developing countries for 2000 2015 in order to avoid the omitted variable problem economic environmental and institutional variables such as gdp per capita corruption co2 emissions and trade openness are included in the model the results demonstrate that the decline in income inequality will enhance renewable energy consumption in other words policymakers have the opportunity to reduce income inequality and environmental degradation at the same time similarly corruption control and raise co2 emissions will increase also renewable energy consumption otherwise economic determinants such as economic growth and trade openness have no meaningful effect on renewable energy consumption

impact of marginal and intergenerational effects on carbon emissions from household energy consumption in china abstract as an important part of urban carbon emissions the carbon emissions from household energy consumption are increasing with the continuous improvement of chinese urbanization this study divides family population into 4 groups adolescents aged 0 17 young people aged 18 44 middle aged people aged 45 59 and elderly people aged 60 and older and develops a calculation model for carbon emissions of household energy consumption in accordance with the latest standards of the world health organization based on chinese family panel studies in 2016 results showed that the marginal and intergenerational effects coexist in various types of household energy consumption families with 3 5 people have the most economical consumption scale and the largest marginal sharing effect multigenerational families or families with a large proportion of middle aged and older people are beneficial in reducing household energy consumption this paper suggests it is important to fully consider the impact of the intergenerational effect marginal effect and cultural shock caused by the electronic information age on household energy consumption when formulating standards of household energy consumption

stoking the fires co2 emissions and economic growth abstract we examine the relationship between economic development and carbon dioxide emissions a greenhouse gas central to global warming predictions estimates derived from global panel data suggest a diminishing marginal propensity to emit mpe carbon dioxide as gdp per capita rises despite this global carbon dioxide emissions growth will continue at 1 8 percent per annum for the foreseeable future a result that is not sensitive to average output growth instead emissions growth continues because output and population will grow most rapidly in lower income nations with high mpes this latter feature emphasizes the distributional consequences of policies to reduce emissions

does government expenditure affect environmental quality empirical evidence using chinese city level data abstract with rapid economic development the chinese government expenditures at various levels have increased sufficiently at the same time the environmental pollution in china has deteriorated significantly in this study the city level panel data of 106 chinese cities over the 2002 2014 period are utilized to investigate the impacts of government expenditure on the emissions of three typical pollutants specifically the total effects are divided into two types direct effects through which government expenditure affects pollution directly and indirect effects which refer to the indirect influences of government expenditure on environmental pollution through its impacts on gdp per capita to control for potential endogeneity and introduce dynamics the generalized method of moments gmm method is utilized the estimation results indicate that the total effects of government expenditure on these three pollutants are very different for sulfur dioxide so 2 soot and chemical oxygen demand cod the total effects are decreasing inverted u and u shaped respectively furthermore the indirect effects dominate the direct effects

indirect carbon emissions of urban households in china patterns determinants and inequality abstract the urban household sector is considered to be an essential source of climate change in order to obtain detailed information concerning the description of household consumption activities this paper combined consumer lifestyle approach and input output analysis to estimate indirect carbon emissions of urban household from 2002 to 2012 besides we further analysed the driving forces and inequality of indirect carbon emissions the results showed that the total indirect carbon emissions during the study period increased rapidly rising from 894 08 mtco2 to 1957 03 mtco2 more than 58 of carbon emissions were from 40 of the high income population the highest income group 10 of total urban households deduced 21 of urban indirect carbon emissions the per capita carbon emissions of different households showed a remarkable disparity and the per capita carbon emissions of high income groups decreased from 2011 to 2012 the effective mitigation efforts should focus on reducing carbon intensity and shifting consumption structure for high inequality consumption activities caused by rich households rich urban households should consume less goods and services from this consumption activities for high inequality consumption activities caused by low income households the redistribution of income from rich to poor and low carbon intensity lifestyles may be better options to reduce carbon emissions and inequalities of urban households

does income inequality facilitate carbon emission reduction in the us abstrct considering the short and long term impacts of income inequality on carbon emissions as well as the heterogeneity of the emission distribution this paper employs panel ardl and quantile regression models to analyze the effect of income inequality on carbon emissions across us states the findings suggest that higher income inequality increases us carbon emissions in the short term whereas it promotes carbon reduction in the long term furthermore we find that the absolute values for the coefficients on income inequality in the states from the 70th to the 90th quantiles are larger than those from the 10th to the 40th quantiles this indicates that income inequality reduces more carbon emissions in states with higher per capita carbon emissions the results provide important insights for policy makers to improve the quality of economic development and address climate change

green expectations current effects of anticipated carbon pricing i report evidence that an anticipated strengthening of environmental policy increased emissions i find that the breakdown of the u s senate s 2010 climate effort generated positive excess returns

primary energy and greenhouse gases embodied in australian final consumption an input output analysis input output modeling of primary energy and greenhouse gas embodiments in goods and services is a useful technique for designing greenhouse gas abatement policies the present paper describes direct and indirect primary energy and greenhouse gas requirements for a given set of australian final consumption it considers sectoral disparities in energy prices capital formation and international trade flows and it accounts for embodiments in the gross national expenditure as well as the gross domestic product primary energy and greenhouse gas intensities in terms of mj and kg co2 e are reported as well as national balances of primary energy consumption and greenhouse gas emissions

chinese investment in the eu renewable energy sector motives synergies and policy implications abstract this paper addresses three questions how have trade and investment in wind and solar sectors evolved between the eu and china in recent years is there a link between rising trade conflicts and trade and investment trends and what wider motivations and synergies can be identified in chinese investments in the eu s re sector to address these questions we analyze trade and investment data as well as qualitative data including information from media and company reports large increases in trade and investment were followed by rapid falls since 2012 13 trade tensions have not led to increases in investment rather the inverse we find that chinese investment in these two sectors is very concentrated in germany the key motivation for investment is market seeking although r d is also important especially for wind most investments are greenfield a preference that has persisted over time our qualitative analysis of several key acquisitions indicates that technology integration and the consolidation of capacities across the supply chain were key motivations in most of the cases studied we conclude with some policy orientations

energy requirements of sydney households supporting the lifestyles of the populations of modern cities requires vast quantities of natural resources and leads to environmental stresses such as air and water pollution research into the metabolism of cities therefore aims at understanding the physical flows into within and out of cities with a view to reducing the use of resources and the environmental impacts one important physical indicator is energy use most studies on cities only consider direct or end user energy consumption since the function of cities is to serve the lives of their residents indirect energy use in cities or energy embodied in the consumption of goods and services by its residents can be regarded as being as important as direct energy use however physical models of cities are extremely complex and have difficulty in dealing with boundary issues and hence the indirect resource requirements in this paper we use input output analysis and detailed household expenditure data to yield comprehensive energy use breakdowns for the 14 statistical subdivisions of sydney multivariate regression and structural path analysis spa are used to interpret the results clear correlations can be drawn between energy use and income household size age and degree of urbanity the structural path analysis is used to demonstrate how significant differences in lifestyles between inner and outer areas of sydney leads to different energy use characteristics this final consumption based approach to analysing the energy requirements for households has important implications for measures aimed at reducing energy use which tend to only consider direct energy use d 2004 elsevier b v all rights reserved

how does income inequality affect energy efficiency empirical evidence from 33 belt and road initiative countries abstract at present income distribution and environmental pollution are serious issues faced by the belt and road initiative bri countries and exploring the impact of income inequality on energy efficiency is meaningful for the sustainability of bri countries using the panel data of 33 bri countries from 2000 to 2016 we first evaluate the energy efficiency of the countries by dynamic dea model and then adopt the tobit regression model to investigate the nonlinear effect of income inequality on energy efficiency the results suggest that first during 2000 2016 the overall energy efficiency of 33 bri countries is relatively low falling to 0 38 while the overall energy efficiency of high income bri countries is much higher than that of the middle and low income bri countries second the average energy efficiency of the bri countries has declined since year 2013 third there is an inverted u type effect of income inequality on energy efficiency in the whole sample but the impact of income inequality on energy efficiency is heterogeneous for countries at different income levels specifically in high income bri countries income inequality shows a u type effect on energy efficiency while in middle and low income bri countries the relationship between income inequality and energy efficiency is an inverted u type moreover economic growth positively impacts the energy efficiency while industrialization and energy structure negatively influence the energy efficiency

probabilistic decision model of wind power investment and influence of green power market this paper presents results from a model of a representative wind power investor s decision making process using a monte carlo simulation of a project financial analysis data in the form of probability distribution functions pdfs for key input variables were collected from interviews with investors and other professionals active in the u s wind power industry using a formal expert elicitation protocol this study presents the first quantitative estimates of the effect of the u s voluntary renewable energy certificate rec market on renewable energy generation the results indicate that the investment decisions of wind power project developers in the united states are unlikely to have been altered by the voluntary rec market the problem with the current voluntary rec market is that it does not offer developers a reliable risk adjusted revenue stream consequently the claims by u s green power retailers and promoters that voluntary market recs result in additional wind power projects lack credibility even dramatic increases in voluntary market rec prices in the absence of long term contracts were found to have only a small effect on investor behavior

averages of forecasts some empirical results an alternative to using a single forecasting method is to average the forecasts obtained from several methods in this paper we investigate empirically the impact of the number and choice of forecasting methods on the accuracy of simple averages it is concluded that the forecasting accuracy improves and that the variability of accuracy among different combinations decreases as the number of methods in the average increases thus combining forecasts seems to be a reasonable practical alternative when as is often the case a true model of the data generating process or a single best forecasting method cannot be or is not for whatever reasons identified

production efficiency and the design of temporary investment incentives the attainment of production efficiency requires that tax incentives equalize pretax rates of return on different assets at each point in time to achieve this objective the conventional theory of investment tax credits itcs prescribes significantly lower credit rates on shorter lived assets however this result is valid only for permanent itcs we show that the credit rates for temporary itcs should be much closer to uniform than the conventional theory prescribes this result is robust to the presence and specification of adjustment costs

fiscal foresight and information flows news or foresight about future economic fundamentals can create rational expectations equilibria with non fundamental representations that pose substantial challenges to econometric efforts to recover the structural shocks to which economic agents react using tax policies as a leading example of foresight simple theory makes transparent the economic behavior and information structures that generate non fundamental equilibria econometric analyses that fail to model foresight will obtain biased estimates of output multipliers for taxes biases are quantitatively important when two canonical theoretical models are taken as data generating processes both the nature of equilibria and the inferences about the effects of anticipated tax changes hinge critically on hypothesized information flows different methods for extracting or hypothesizing the information flows are discussed and shown to be alternative techniques for resolving a non uniqueness problem endemic to moving average representations

fiscal news and macroeconomic volatility abstract this paper analyzes the contribution of anticipated capital and labor tax shocks to business cycle volatility in an estimated new keynesian business cycle model while fiscal policy accounts for about 15 of output variance at business cycle frequencies this mostly derives from anticipated government spending shocks tax shocks both anticipated and unanticipated contribute little to the fluctuations of real variables however anticipated capital tax shocks do explain a sizable part of inflation fluctuations accounting for up to 12 of its variance in line with earlier studies news shocks in total account for about 50 of output variance further decomposing this news effect we find permanent total factor productivity news shocks to be most important when looking at the federal level instead of total government the importance of anticipated tax and spending shocks significantly increases suggesting that fiscal policy at the subnational level typically counteracts the effects of federal fiscal policy shocks

the impact of production tax credits on the profitable production of electricity from wind in the u s a spatial financial model using wind data derived from assimilated meteorological condition was developed to investigate the profitability and competitiveness of onshore wind power in the contiguous u s it considers not only the resulting estimated capacity factors for hypothetical wind farms but also the geographically differentiated costs of local grid connection the levelized cost of wind generated electricity for the contiguous u s is evaluated assuming subsidy levels from the production tax credit ptc varying from 0 to 4 kwh under three cost scenarios a reference case a high cost case and a low cost case the analysis indicates that in the reference scenario current ptc subsidies of 2 1 kwh are at a critical level in determining the competitiveness of wind generated electricity compared to conventional power generation in local power market results from this study suggest that the potential for profitable wind power with the current ptc subsidy amounts to more than seven times existing demand for electricity in the entire u s understanding the challenges involved in scaling up wind energy requires further study of the external costs associated with improvement of the backbone transmission network and integration into the power grid of the variable electricity generated from wind

us consumers willingness to pay for green electricity abstract we analyze us consumers demand for environmental attributes of deregulated residential electricity services using results from a survey designed to elicit consumers willingness to pay for such attributes and using results from a hedonic analysis of actual price premiums charged for green electricity in several deregulated markets survey results suggest that many population segments are willing to pay for decreased air emissions even if there is no alteration in fuel source furthermore several groups are willing to pay significantly more when emissions reductions stem from increased reliance upon renewable fuels the hedonic analysis suggests that several product features not considered in the survey help explain real price premiums including fuel mix from newly created renewable generation capacity green e certification brand name and state of offer while survey and hedonic results are not easily compared due to limitations of the survey both point to similar values for key environmental attributes though the survey results are likely to overstate actual willingness to pay in sum the results suggest that consumer driven purchases can in part support the future of renewable generation capacity in the united states though reliance upon other policy alternatives may be needed if energy prices spike

spatial effects of economic performance on the carbon intensity of human well being the environmental kuznets curve in chinese provinces abstract this study analyzes the interdependent relationship between economic development and environmental and human well being in china we evaluate panel data of the carbon intensity of human well being ciwb to measure environmental sustainability and human well being for 30 chinese provinces from 1995 to 2016 we then employ a spatial model to test the environmental kuznets curve the ciwb is an important indicator that incorporates the environmental social and economic dimensions of sustainability the coefficients of gdp squared gdp and cubic gdp are 1 043 0 123 and 0 0045 respectively indicating that the relationship between ciwb and economic growth is an inverted n shape in other words as gdp increases from low to high the ciwb first decreases then increases for a long period until it reaches a turning point and declines thereafter gdp per capita at the two turning points are 850 yuan and 110 000 yuan respectively in the long run economic growth is expected to have a positive effect on sustainable development however currently environmental policies are needed to offset unintended environmental harm analysis of spatial evolution and multiplier spatial effects show that spatial disparity and clustering exist simultaneously this suggests that overall planning for the big picture and cooperative development between adjacent provinces could help to handle regional environmental problems

explaining the investment boom of the 1990s real equipment investment in the united states boomed in the 1990s led by soaring investment in computers we find that traditional aggregate econometric models completely fail to capture the magnitude of this growth mainly because these models neglect to address two features that were crucial and unique to the 1990s investment boom first the pace at which firms replace depreciated capital increased second investment was more sensitive to the cost of capital we document that these two features stem from the special behavior of investment in computers and therefore propose a disaggregated approach this produces an econometric model that successfully explains the 1990s equipment investment boom

understanding wind turbine price trends in the u s over the past decade understanding wind turbine price trends in the u s over the past decade mark bolinger and ryan wiser lawrence berkeley national laboratory pre print of article submitted to energy policy abstract on a per kw basis wind turbine prices in the u s have declined by nearly one third on average since 2008 after having previously doubled over the period from 2002 through 2008 these two substantial and opposing trends over the past decade and particularly the earlier price doubling run counter to the smooth gradually declining cost trajectories predicted by standard learning curve theory taking a bottom up approach we examine seven possible drivers of wind turbine prices in the u s with the goal of estimating the degree to which each contributed to the doubling in turbine prices from 2002 through 2008 as well as the subsequent decline in prices through 2010 in aggregate these seven drivers which include changes in labor costs warranty provisions manufacturer profitability turbine scaling raw materials prices energy prices and foreign exchange rates explain from 70 to 90 depending on the year of empirically observed wind turbine price movements in the u s through 2010 turbine scaling is found to have been the largest single contributor to the price doubling through 2008 although the incremental cost of scaling has been justified by greater energy capture resulting in a lower cost of wind generation acknowledgments the work described in this article was funded by the u s department of energy s wind water power program within the office of energy efficiency and renewable energy under contract no de ac02 05ch11231 disclaimer this document was prepared as an account of work sponsored by the united states government while this document is believed to contain correct information neither the united states government nor any agency thereof nor the regents of the university of california nor any of their employees makes any warranty express or implied or assumes any legal responsibility for the accuracy completeness or usefulness of any information apparatus product or process disclosed or represents that its use would not infringe privately owned rights reference herein to any specific commercial product process or service by its trade name trademark manufacturer or otherwise does not necessarily constitute or imply its endorsement recommendation or favoring by the united states government or any agency thereof or the regents of the university of california the views and opinions of authors expressed herein do not necessarily state or reflect those of the united states government or any agency thereof or the regents of the university of california ernest orlando lawrence berkeley national laboratory is an equal opportunity employer

stuck between a roc and a hard place barriers to the take up of green energy in the uk abstract this paper examines the uk mechanisms for ensuring future investment in renewable energy through consumer adoption of green energy tariffs and the renewable obligation certificate roc system using a national survey and focus groups the stated willingness by uk customers to pay a premium for renewable or green energy and actual take up of such tariffs is assessed substantial differences between willingness to pay for and the adoption of green energy tariffs are reported this disparity is linked to a range of factors including consumer confusion lack of supply complexities of constructing green source tariffs under the roc system and a lack of customer trust it is concluded that the re definition of the green energy market in favour of green source tariffs greater direct compliance with the renewable obligation by addressing supply constraints and efforts in providing clearer information and choices for consumers via a compulsory green energy accreditation scheme are required if willing consumers are to contribute to investment in renewable energy

different types of environmental regulations and heterogeneous influence on green productivity evidence from china this paper attempts to examine if the strong version of porter hypothesis is supported in china by investigating how different regulatory instruments and the relative stringency impact green productivity we use a slacks based measure sbm and luenberger productivity index accounting for undesirable outputs to evaluate the industrial green productivity growth rates of china s 30 provinces the estimates imply an unsustainable development model in china with significant regional differences by employing a panel threshold model and a province level panel dataset during 2000 2012 empirical results show that both command and control and market based regulation have a non linear relationship with and can be positively related to green productivity but with different constrains on regulation stringency there are double thresholds with the command and control and exists an optimal range of stringency for productivity improvement while a single threshold has been found with the market based regulation and its current stringency is reasonable for most of provinces moreover based on china s reality the productivity effect driven by market based regulation is much stronger than that of the command and control the mechanism of informal regulation is much more complicated consequently we find evidence to support the strong porter hypothesis that reasonable stringency of environmental regulations may enhance rather than lower industrial competitiveness

climate change policy market structure and carbon leakage abstract the 1997 kyoto protocol on climate change obliges the industrialized countries to initiate the international effort of abating anthropogenic greenhouse gas ghg emissions if such an initiative is to be taken the associated competitive effects may lead to significant relocation of developed countries energy intensive production this paper examines this issue i adopt an oligopolistic structure combined with increasing returns to scale production technologies to represent the strategic interaction among the firms producing energy intensive products this representation is then embedded within a multi regional computable general equilibrium model which in turn is used for quantifying these relocational effects the results suggest that significant relocation of energy intensive industries away from the oecd may occur depending on the type of market structure with leakage rates as high as 130 in which case ghg control policies in the industrialized countries actually lead to higher global emissions

convergence of carbon emissions at the household level in china a distribution dynamics approach abstract since household carbon emissions hces have become a new growing source and a significant contributor to global emissions the reduction of hces is crucial to formulate targeted and effective emission mitigation policies we need to fully understand the characteristics of the distribution and evolution of per capita hces and their urban rural and regional heterogeneity this paper explores the transitional dynamics of per capita hces in china by employing the distribution dynamics approach with panel data compiled at the household level we find that the overall per capita hces are unimodal distribution in the long run and the distribution dynamics of the per capita hces between the urban and rural areas or among the regional subgroups are quite different however the speed of convergence has accelerated over time moreover our findings indicate that the per capita hces in the urban areas will achieve convergence to an emission level much higher than that of the rural areas meantime the per capita hces in northeast china will converge to an emission level much higher than those of the other three regions these findings provide valuable insights for policymakers in implementing differentiated environmental policies for different regions and between urban and rural households in china

identifying the impacts of income inequality on co2 emissions empirical evidences from oecd countries and non oecd countries abstract the emergence of environmental quality challenges is rooted in social problems which mainly come from income inequality and power gap income inequality and climate change have been highlighted as hindering the achievement of sustainable development and environmental protection globally though existing literature has estimated the influences of income inequality on co2 emissions relatively little is known about the long run and short run effects from a cross national perspective therefore the aim of this study is to shed light on the long run and short run relationships between income inequality and per capita co2 emissions based on balanced country level panel dataset for 78 countries from 1990 to 2017 in order to understand how a country s economic level affects the link between inequality and co2 emissions this study classified the sample countries into three groups oecd countries low income non oecd countries and high income non oecd countries the fmols and dols model is applied to examine the relationship between the income inequality and per capita co2 emission meanwhile the estimates of an ardl model revealed the long run and short run effects our empirical results indicate that there is a long term cointegration relationship between income inequality and per capita co2 emissions higher income inequality promotes emission reductions in oecd countries and high income non oecd countries while the influences are insignificant in low income non oecd countries in the long run per capita income carbon intensity population size and urbanization were also considered in this study the estimates of an ardl model indicate that whilst income inequality does not have a significant impact on co2 emissions in the short run per capita national income positively affects co2 emissions meaning that income growth will accelerate emissions carbon intensity positively affects co2 emissions in the long term indicating that increased income facilitates increased energy use and emissions but that progress in co2 recycling technology may ultimately reduce emissions neither population size nor urbanization rate exerted any obvious effects on per capita co2 emissions from a policy perspective governments have an onerous task ahead of them in balancing economic efficiency and distributary justice lastly we provide insights for policy makers that in order to realize the goal of emission reductions in the long run it may be best to proceed by making reasonable national income redistribution policies and by adjusting the welfare system

energy requirements of households in brazil abstract in this study we determine the total direct plus indirect energy requirements of a given set of brazilian households we use a generalized input output model in order to calculate the energy embodied in goods and services purchased by households of different income level in 11 capital cities of brazil our results show that on average the total energy intensity of household expenditure increases with income level although there is a considerable spread in energy intensities within income classes as well as disparities between regions of the country the total yearly average energy requirement per household in brazil in 1995 96 was 173 6 gj 61 of which was indirect with 32 8 gj for the lower income level 66 of which was indirect and 602 2 gj for the higher income level 62 of which was indirect of this total average energy requirement 76 was required for only three consumption categories utilities 31 mobility 28 and shelter 17 this analysis calls for the attention that has to be given not only to the direct energy consumption as motor fuels and electricity for example but also to the consumption categories that encompass an important part of the indirect energy requirement of households in capital cities in brazil

redefining recs part 1 untangling attributes and offsets abstract renewable energy and greenhouse gas emissions markets are currently in a state of confusion regarding the treatment of renewable energy certificates recs should consumers buy recs or emission offsets after examining this question the author concludes that recs are not equivalent to emission offset credits and as currently defined the retiring of a rec may have no impact on emissions from electric power generation consumers who purchase recs in voluntary green power markets are providing financial assistance to renewable generators in the form of a production subsidy generators that sell recs are not transferring emission reductions since they are unlikely to have ownership or the ability to quantify reductions using a commonly accepted standard more importantly recs currently sold in voluntary markets do not pass credible additionality tests and can at best be expected to have a market demand effect which will be less than the supply of recs on the market rec definitions that use the term environmental attributes or environmental benefits are almost universally ambiguous providing the mistaken impression that consumers are purchasing a good instead of subsidizing a public good

anticipated tax reforms and temporary tax cuts a general equilibrium analysis macroeconomic studies of tax policy in dynamic general equilibrium usually assume that reforms hit the economy unexpectedly and last forever here we explore how previous results change when we allow policy changes to be pre announced and of finite duration and when these facts are anticipated by households and firms quantitatively we demonstrate a headstart advantage from pre announcement that is never caught up by a surprising reform the welfare gain stemming from a 5 year announcement phase of a corporate tax cut for example is estimated to be around 10 percent of the total gain from the reform we show that impulse responses of important variables like firm value dividends and investment differ qualitatively depending on whether the reform comes expected or not we are also able to demonstrate a genuine welfare gain from temporary tax cuts impulse responses generated by our numerical method can be retraced by phase diagram analysis which facilitates explanation and interpretation of the produced results

a carbon footprint proportional to expenditure a case for norway abstract motivated by the importance of consumption as an underlying driver of co 2 emissions we examine the link between consumption and co 2 emissions for norwegian households the main goal is to investigate whether there is a decoupling of consumption expenditures and the environmental impact as we move up the income ladder by combining a 2007 norwegian consumer expenditure survey with emission coefficients from an environmental input output model reflecting emissions embodied in both domestically produced and imported goods and services we calculate the per capita carbon footprint the results from the analysis suggest that the per capita carbon footprint is directly proportional to expenditure with an estimated elasticity close to unity implying no decoupling the finding is partly driven by a near zero emission power sector which leads to comparatively low emissions embodied in domestically produced goods and services

impacts of household income change on co2 emissions an empirical analysis of china abstract sustained increase in chinese household income has exerted positive impact on the consumption of goods and services this paper aims to analyze the unequal impacts of household consumption across different income households on the whole co2 emissions by utilizing a semi closed input output model and hypothetical extraction method the semi closed input output model moves household consumption activities into the intermediate use along with dividing urban and rural households to several groups by their income levels and the hypothetical extraction method hem is used to estimate the reductions of co2 emissions relative to total emissions after extracting the consumption of each household group the results show that 1 the impact on co2 emissions generated by urban households consumption are 1 8 times as much as that of rural ones 2 excluding consumption of higher income households from the economy would cause greater co2 emission reductions than lower ones specifically urban highest income households have the most relative reductions of co2 emissions which are 12 2 in 2007 and 13 8 in 2012 while for rural highest income households are 5 1 in 2007 and 5 1 in 2012 and urban and rural highest income households are respectively 3 8 and 1 8 times on the relative reductions of the lowest income ones 3 the relative reductions of household co2 emissions from food sectors is the most while from residence sectors is the least based on the above conclusions this paper puts forward consumption based policy implications

what drives renewable energy development abstract this viewpoint reviews renewable energy development in 14 markets that differ in market structure restructured vs not restructured use of feed in tariff fit yes vs no transmission planning anticipatory vs reactive and transmission interconnection cost allocated to a renewable generator high vs low we find that market restructuring is not a primary driver of renewable energy development renewable generation has the highest percent of total installed capacity in markets that use a fit employ anticipatory transmission planning and have loads or end users paying for most if not all of the transmission interconnection costs in contrast renewable developers have been less successful in markets that do not use a fit employ reactive transmission planning and have generators paying for most if not all of the transmission interconnection costs while these policies can lead to higher penetration of renewable energy in the short run their high cost to ratepayers can threaten the economic sustainability of renewable energy in the long run

the kyoto protocol and developing countries abstract under the kyoto protocol the world s wealthier countries assumed binding commitments to reduce greenhouse gas emissions the agreement requires these countries to consider ways to minimize adverse effects on developing countries of these actions transmitted through trade using a general equilibrium model of the world economy we find that adverse effects fall mainly on energy exporting countries for some even greater than on countries that are assuming commitments removing existing fuel taxes and subsidies and using international permit trading would greatly reduce the adverse impacts and also reduce economic impacts on the countries taking on commitments another approach preferential tariff reduction for developing countries would benefit many developing countries but would not target those most adversely affected if instead oecd countries directly compensated developing countries for losses the required annual financial transfer would be on the order of 25 billion 1995 us in 2010

a future for carbon taxes abstract carbon taxes have been frequently advocated as a cost effective instrument for reducing emissions however in the practice of environmental policies only six countries have implemented taxes based on the carbon content of the energy products in this paper we evaluate carbon taxes with regard to their competitiveness distributional and environmental impacts the evidence shows that carbon taxes may be an interesting policy option and that their main negative impacts may be compensated through the design of the tax and the use of the generated fiscal revenues

the aggregate and distributional effects of the tax reform act of 1986 on firm valuation the authors examine the aggregate and distributional effects of the tax reform act of 1986 on equity values of publicly traded corporations the results show that the effect of the act on the aggregate equity value of corporations was consistent with the present value of the projected added tax collection from the corporate sector the cross sectional variation in the magnitude and direction of the stock price response to the tax reform act of 1986 was a function of both the direct and indirect consequences of the act on the firms future cash flows copyright 1991 by university of chicago press

income and energy use in bangladesh a household level analysis abstract we examine how energy use at the household level moves with income in bangladesh using the 2010 wave of bangladesh household income and expenditure survey data our analyses indicate a u shaped relationship of both electricity use and other types of energy use combined with household expenditure the findings imply that as income grows households increase their energy expenditure less than proportionally up to a threshold level of income beyond the threshold income energy use increases as a proportion of income particularly for electricity use we identify the threshold turning point for both electricity and other types of energy use based on the current level of expenditure and its growth reaching the turning point would require 17years for the former category but only 7years for the latter group

the nexus between income inequality and co2 emissions in turkey abstract environmental degradation and income inequality are two of the most important international debates that await immediate resolution despite that their interaction in the environmental economics literature has been very little analysis the aim of this study is to examine the impact of income distribution on the co2 emissions in turkey during 1984 2014 an autoregressive distributed lag model ardl test is employed to determine possible long term and short term nexus among the series the ardl test results show that the series are cointegrated and that income inequality has a positive effect on co2 emissions we also find that the environmental kuznets curve ekc is valid in turkey the toda yamamoto causality test denotes that gini coefficient is the granger cause of co2 emission the results show that deterioration in income distribution will reduce environmental quality in turkey which validates that political economy approach is valid in turkey study results can be an important guide for policymakers reducing income inequality for a new strategy in the fight against environmental problems may lead to a win win situation for turkey and the international community

generalized cash flow taxation abstract we show the unique form that must be taken by a tax system based entirely on realization accounting to implement a uniform capital income tax or equivalently a uniform wealth tax this system combines elements of an accrual based capital income tax and a traditional cash flow tax having many of the attributes of the latter while still imposing a tax burden on marginal capital income like the traditional cash flow tax this system may be integrated with a tax on labor income we also show how such a tax can be supplemented with an optional accounting for a segregated subset of actively traded securities subjected separately to mark to market taxation at the uniform capital income tax rate to permit a fully graduated tax system applicable to labor income

when outcomes are the reflection of the analysis criteria a review of the tradable green certificate assessments abstract the tradable green certificates tgc framework is a prevalent policy support scheme enacted to stimulate investments in electricity from renewable energy sources res e in several countries including sweden and norway the tgc framework is currently under reevaluation in this process academic literature plays a crucial role in reflecting the outcomes of this policy framework the outcomes however are often limited by the analysis criteria which reflect what has been accounted for or disregarded when assessing the performance of the tgc framework the analysis criteria also stress what is considered as a successful outcome given the importance of such criteria this paper presents an extensive and systemic literature review of academic publications assessing the performance of the tgc framework the findings are to provide an overview of the publications analysis criteria and outline their outcomes we also provide descriptive statistics for the publications and examine the average citation record of the publications that use various analysis criteria in order to explore their relative impact on later studies these findings can help policymakers put the assessments into perspective when reevaluating a country s tgc system they also suggest several intriguing directions for future studies in this field

tax reform and adjustment costs the impact on investment and market value this paper provides an effective tax rate measure that is valid in the presence of adjustment costs and anticipated tax changes and a measure of the impact of tax changes on market value that may be decomposed into the effects on discounted pure profits and normal returns to capital changes in the value of capital may in turn be decomposed further into changes in the marginal value of new capital and changes in the relative value of new and existing capital these new measures are used to evaluate tax changes similar to those introduced by the recent u s tax reform copyright 1989 by economics department of the university of pennsylvania and the osaka university institute of social and economic research association

foreign trade and declining pollution in sweden a decomposition analysis of long term structural and technological effects this article examines whether there exists any causal relationship between foreign trade and declining pollution in developed countries in other words do developed countries outsource their problems to less developed countries rather than solve them the case study is the swedish economy and the two environmental indicators employed are energy consumption and co2 emissions no causal relationships are found since sweden has long been a net exporter of embodied energy and co2 and continues to be so after 1970 when energy consumption stabilizes and co2 emissions decline in addition the ratios of net exported energy and co2 to total consumption remain stable which means there were no effects on the energy intensity or co2 intensity either these results suggest that internal forces like efficiency improvements changed consumption patterns and transformation of the energy system have been crucial for relative environmental improvement in sweden while foreign trade has played no role

the role of education in the environmental kuznets curve evidence from australian data abstract this paper is based on the underlying idea that the use of energy resources in a society significantly depends on their level of education then it is hypothesized that education might directly affect environmental quality by worsening it at early stages and improving it once education expands from its certain level thus we pursue an extension of the standard environmental kuznets curve by including an indicator of the evolution of citizens education this empirical strategy might avoid bias on income coefficients and in turn assess the value of education as environmental policy an application for australia is given to illustrate this possibility by using higher education data for a large time span 1950 2014 empirical results suggest that in most of the studied period expansion in education rate has increasingly compensated the rise of per capita co 2 emissions stemming from the economic growth moreover only in recent years both per capita income and education expansion have been proved to reduce emissions however provided that income growth is difficult to manage it would be worth considering the possibility of promoting education in order to achieve environmental objectives

the impact of depreciation savings on investment evidence from the corporate alternative minimum tax over the past decade the united states has offered investment incentives in the form of larger depreciation savings namely bonus depreciation the neoclassical investment model implies that investment responds to changes in depreciation savings but there have been few direct attempts to investigate this implication this paper examines investment patterns surrounding the 1999 shortening of the alternative minimum tax amt depreciation recovery periods finding strong evidence that firms subject to the amt increase investment in response to the amt reform the empirical results show that firms subject to the amt increase their investment measured as the ratio of capital expenditures to capital stock by around 0 0418 to 0 0622 compared to firms subject to the regular tax given their average annual investment rate of approximately 0 27 during this period the results imply a relative increase in investment of 15 23 by contrast i find that the 2002 introduction of bonus depreciation available both for firms subject to the regular tax and for firms subject to the amt affects both groups of firms similarly the estimation uses an empirical specification developed from the summers 1981 tax adjusted q model and the results imply that the responsiveness of investment to the tax term is somewhat larger than previously estimated

income inequality and carbon dioxide emissions the case of chinese urban households abstract this paper draws on chinese survey data to investigate variations in carbon dioxide emissions across households with different income levels rich households generate more emissions per capita than poor households via both their direct energy consumption and their higher expenditure on goods and services that use energy as an intermediate input an econometric analysis confirms a positive relationship between emissions and income and establishes a slightly increasing marginal propensity to emit mpe over the relevant income range the redistribution of income from rich to poor households is therefore shown to reduce aggregate household emissions suggesting that the twin pursuits of reducing inequality and emissions can be achieved in tandem

impact of income inequality and environmental regulation on environmental quality evidence from china abstract china s environmental pollution is of widespread concern and environmental governance has become the country s main method of achieving high quality development environmental quality is a comprehensive indicator which includes many factors such as air water and solid waste pollution this study did not use a single pollutant as a substitute variable for environmental quality firstly we used principal component analysis to construct a comprehensive environmental quality index secondly the stochastic impacts by regression on population affluence and technology and panel quantile regression models were used with data from 30 chinese provinces in china from 1998 to 2017 to analyze the effect of income inequality and environmental regulation on environmental quality the constructed comprehensive index revealed that china s environmental quality had an m type trend over time the mean regression results showed that income inequality and environmental regulation improved environmental quality but higher income inequality reduced environmental quality the panel quantile regression model results revealed that the coefficient of income inequality was positively significant at the 10 30 quantiles and negatively significant at the 70 90 quantiles the coefficients of the absolute value of income inequality at the 10 30 quantiles were less than those at the 70 90 quantiles this implied that higher income inequality reduced environmental quality whereas higher environmental regulations improved environmental quality considering the possible impact of environmental quality on income inequality and environmental regulations we designed a simultaneous equation model to overcome the deviation caused by bilateral causality the conclusions of this study provide policymakers with a new perspective on environmental governance and new paths for achieving high quality development

green productivity growth in china s industrial economy abstract this paper uses a directional distance function ddf and the malmquist luenberger productivity index to estimate the changing patterns of green total factor productivity gtfp growth of 38 chinese industrial sectors during the period 1980 2010 unlike the measures of traditional total factor productivity tfp growth the ddf incorporates carbon dioxide emissions as an undesirable output directly into the production technology which credit sectors for simultaneously reducing their emissions and increasing their output our estimates of aggregate and sector level gtfp growth reveal that chinese industry is not yet on the path towards sustainable low carbon growth a dynamic panel data analysis of the determinants of gtfp across sectors is used to identify factors that might rectify this situation including state owned enterprise soe reform the growth of small private enterprises continued openness to foreign investment and higher spending on r d particularly in emission intensive sectors

tax policy and business fixed investment in the united states abstract this paper derives and estimates models of nonresidential investment behavior in which current and future tax conditions directly affect the incentive to invest the estimates suggest that taxes have played an independent role in affecting postwar u s investment behavior particularly for investment in machinery and equipment in addition the paper develops a method for assessing the impact of tax policy on the volatility of investment when such policy is endogenous illustrative calculations using this technique based on the paper s empirical estimates suggest that tax policy has not served to stabilize investment in equipment or nonresidential structures during the sample period

distributional incidence of green electricity price subsidies in china abstract distributional incidences are fundamental to environmental and energy policies a condition that has led to controversies on the equity of environmental and energy policy using data from china s urban household income and expenditure survey data from 2007 this study quantified the distributional effects of the green electricity price subsidy policy among chinese urban household and compared its effects by using lifetime income and annual income to classify households respectively the results show that total electricity subsidies are mainly driven by indirect electricity subsidies by using lifetime income to classify households subsidies to households in the poorest two groups accounted for less than 10 2 of the total subsidies whereas money distributed to households in the top two deciles reached 35 4 the comparison using annual income to group households also demonstrated the similar impact of the green electricity price subsidy policy china s future market reforms should allow electricity prices to reflect pollution abatement costs additionally a multi step block electricity price schedule can reduce the regressivity of the policy

quantifying the global and distributional aspects of american household carbon footprint abstract analysis of household consumption and its environmental impact remains one of the most important topics in sustainability research nevertheless much past and recent work has focused on domestic national averages neglecting both the growing importance of international trade on household carbon footprint and the variation between households of different income levels and demographics using consumer expenditure surveys and multi country life cycle assessment techniques this paper analyzes the global and distributional aspects of american household carbon footprint we find that due to recently increased international trade 30 of total us household co 2 impact in 2004 occurred outside the us further households vary considerably in their co 2 responsibilities at least a factor of ten difference exists between low and high impact households with total household income and expenditure being the best predictors of both domestic and international portions of the total co 2 impact the global location of emissions which cannot be calculated using standard input output analysis and the variation of household impacts with income have important ramifications for polices designed to lower consumer impacts on climate change such as carbon taxes the effectiveness and fairness of such policies hinges on a proper understanding of how income distributions rebound effects and international trade affect them

impact of public policy uncertainty on renewable energy investment wind power and the production tax credit abstract it is generally understood that the pattern of repeated expiration and short term renewal of the federal production tax credit ptc causes a boom bust cycle in wind power plant investment in the us this on off pattern is detrimental to the wind industry since ramp up and ramp down costs are high and players are deterred from making long term investments it is often assumed that the severe downturn in investment during off years implies that wind power is unviable without the ptc this assumption turns out to be unsubstantiated this paper demonstrates that it is not the absence of the ptc that causes the investment downturn during off years but rather the uncertainty over its return specifically it is the dynamic of power purchase agreement ppa negotiations in the face of ptc renewal uncertainty that drives investment volatility with contract negotiations prevalent in the renewable energy industry this finding suggests that reducing uncertainty is a crucial component of effective renewable energy policy the ptc as currently structured is not the only means existing or potential for encouraging wind power investment using data from a survey of energy professionals various policy instruments are compared in terms of their perceived stability for supporting long term investment

the role of co2 embodiment in us china trade abstract this study examines the influence of us china trade on national and global emissions of carbon dioxide co2 the three basic questions are as follows 1 what amount of co2 emissions is avoided in the us by importing chinese goods 2 how much are co2 emissions in china increased as a result of the production of goods for export to the us and 3 what are the impacts of us china trade on global co2 emissions our initial findings reveal that during 1997 2003 1 us co2 emissions would have increased from 3 to 6 if the goods imported from china had been produced in the us 2 about 7 14 of china s current co2 emissions were a result of producing exports for us consumers and 3 us china trade has increased global co2 emissions by an estimated 720 million metric tons we suggest that the export of us technologies and expertise related to clean production and energy efficiency to china could be a win win strategy for both countries for reducing their trade imbalance and mitigating global co2 emissions improved international accounting methodologies for assigning responsibility for co2 emissions must be designed to account for the dynamic nature of international trade

simulating fundamental tax reform in the united states this paper uses a new large scale dynamic life cycle simulation model to compare the welfare and macroeconomic effects of transitions to five fundamental alternatives to the u s federal income tax including a proportional consumption tax and a flat tax the model incorporates intragenerational heterogeneity and a detailed specification of alternative tax systems simulation results project significant long run increases in output for some reforms for other reforms namely those that seek to insulate the poor and initial older generations from adverse welfare changes long run output gains are modest

on the effects of investment tax credits on economic efficiency and growth abstract this paper explores the overall efficiency effects of itcs in the context of a disaggregated dynamic general equilibrium simulation model of the u s economy this model postulates forward looking investment decisions and allows for optimal government borrowing and financial crowding out simulation results confirm the conventional wisdom that itcs are distortionary but challenge the equally conventional wisdom that itcs necessarily spur investment and gdp in addition results point to an important policy trade off introducing itcs without neutralizing their budgetary effects would lead to low efficiency losses but would reduce investment and gdp due to financial crowding out in turn imposition of itcs while blocking their budgetary effects would lead to relatively large efficiency losses while minimizing the negative impact on investment and gdp

green power voluntary purchases price elasticity and policy analysis abstract green power schemes offer electricity from renewable energy sources to customers for a higher price than ordinary electricity this study examines the demand characteristics of green power in australia and policies which could increase its sales a sample of 250 pooled time series and cross sectional observations was used to estimate a statistically significant elasticity of demand for green power with respect to price of 0 96 with a 95 confidence interval of 68 the wide variation in market penetration between jurisdictions and between countries for green power and the low awareness of green power found by surveys indicate that green power sales could be increased by appropriate marketing and government policies the most cost effective means to increase sales was found to be advertising campaigns although only one australian example was found in the state of victoria in 2005 it was also found that full tax deductibility of the green power premium to residential customers exemption from the goods and services tax and a tax rebate for green power are all probably less cost effective for promoting sales than direct government purchase of green power in terms of cost per unit of increased sales