digestibility and asymmetric information in the choice between acquisitions and joint ventures where s the beef in response to our empirical findings that contrary to the predictions of the information asymmetry hypothesis joint ventures are not more but instead less likely when parents belong to different industries balakrishnan and reurer argue that 1 the information asymmetry and the indigestibility hypotheses are theoretically complementary and 2 our results may be affected by the characteristics of our sample in fact the goal of our study was not to deny the theoretical validity of alternative theories of joint ventures but only to ascertain their relative explanatory power we therefore agree that both theories are complementary but show that our findings are not explained by our sample but instead by the way we test the information asymmetry hypothesis copyright 2000 john wiley sons ltd

is the stock market sticker shocked a study of market response to recent cafe regulations in the us in response to increasing environmental concerns to improve energy security and to conserve energy use the us government has proposed a new round of corporate average fuel economy cafe standards many studies have focused on how the cafe standard can be met by various automakers that have sales in the us market and the costs and benefits of the companies meeting the standard however the stock markets view on the impact of the standard on automakers profitability is largely absent we study the more recent episode of the cafe regulation in an effort to try to detect the market response using the standard event study method our empirical findings suggest that while the stock market had some responses to the regulation the large scale and systematic reaction to the regulation is absent in addition the market response pattern to the regulation appears to be tied to the individual company s compliance condition if there is any significant response at all

decision specific experience in foreign ownership and establishment strategies evidence from japanese firms in this paper we examine the importance of decision specific experience for a multinational firm s foreign ownership structure and establishment mode decisions a unique procedure to measure the decision specific experience construct is developed based on data for the period 1969 1991 we find strong empirical evidence from experiences of japanese firms to support the hypotheses that firms tend to select ownership structures and establishment modes based on their experiences with similar ownership structures and establishment modes in the past

foreign direct investment mode choice entry and establishment modes in transition economies in this study we bridge two streams of foreign direct investment literature specifically studies on establishment mode choice i e the choice between an acquisition and a greenfield establishment and studies on entry mode choice i e the choice between a wholly owned outlet and a subsidiary with shared ownership we arrive at a conceptual synthesis for an examination of the effects of the same predictors on the dual entry establishment mode choice made in the context of a single foreign investment we demonstrate that a parent firm s technological intensity international strategy and experience determine both establishment and entry mode choices moreover we apply williamson s new institutional economics to investigate the influence of institution building on multinational enterprises dual investment choice in the context of transition economies we test empirically the possible moderating effect of a host country s institutional environment we conclude that the degree of the host country s institutional advancement moderates the effect of both technological intensity and international strategy on the establishment and entry mode choice

acquisition or greenfield start up institutional cultural and transaction cost influences in this paper we develop and test a model of diversification mode choice how firms decide between acquisitions and greenfield start up ventures which includes institutional cultural and transaction cost variables using a sample of japanese firms entering western europe our results show the model correctly predicts over eighty seven percent of the mode choices thus we provide strong initial evidence to support using institutional cultural and transaction cost variables to predict firms choices between acquisitions and greenfield start ups in international expansion our findings also suggest that organizations which have developed strong intangible capabilities may be able to more readily leverage these capabilities through greenfield start ups copyright 2000 john wiley sons ltd

ownership based entry mode strategies and international performance this study examines the relationship between ownership entry modes and performance the ownership entry modes examined are the wholly owned modes of acquisition and new venture entry and the non wholly owned mode of joint venture entry a theoretical relationship is developed for international entry modes that is based on the contingency characteristics of resource requirements and organizational control factors this model suggests that different entry modes have different performance outcomes based upon their resource and organizational control demands the theoretical model although developed using the eclectic theoretical approach is based largely on concepts and relationships previously delineated in contingency theory our hypotheses suggest that new ventures should outperform joint ventures and joint ventures should outperform acquisitions an empirical test using a sample of 321 japanese firms entering the north american market provides supporting evidence

political risk institutions and foreign direct investment how do they relate in various european countries this paper examines theoretically and empirically the extent to which the decision by foreign firms to invest in a group of countries is influenced by economic factors as opposed to political risk and institutional performance we consider the importance of these factors as drivers of foreign direct investment fdi for 32 european countries subsequently divided into three pooled clusters by means of panel regression techniques in two specifications over the 1995 2008 period our results suggest that risk and institutional factors considered in both static and dynamic perspectives significantly influence the behaviour of investors policies and institutions that vary widely between countries modify their decision making so that the purely economic factors have different statistical significance and impacts on the intensity of fdi as was revealed by clustering countries into three groups according to levels of economic maturity additionally not all factors of risk have an identical impact on fdi decisions in particular groups of countries however we find that as measures of political risk monetary discipline low regulation effective government and good education prove to be highly significant for most country groupings all of these measures reduce political risk and positively affect the level of fdi this abstract was borrowed from another version of this item

impacts of long range increases in the fuel economy cafe standard i introduction and background in 1975 the u s government enacted legislation regulating the fuel efficiency of new motor vehicles the apparent objective of this law is to reduce american dependence on foreign oil after large increases in the price of petroleum in the late 1990s and with continued conflict in the middle east corporate average fuel economy cafe standards once again became a topic of interest a number of proposals for changing the cafe standards were discussed in congress in early 2002 culminating in a defeat in the senate of an amendment that would have required a 50 increase in the relevant cafe standards in place of that increase the senate voted to require the executive branch to examine the impact of further increases in the cafe standard this work evaluates the long term economic implications of raising the standard by 3 0 miles per gallon mpg above current levels in industry parlance this approach is sometimes referred to as technology forcing i choose 3 0 mpg because it reflects the focus of a may 2001 report by the vice president s task force on energy policy and because it reflects several legislative proposals in congress 1 the long term refers to a length of time such that manufacturers can adjust vehicle technologies and powertrain designs to reduce the amount of fuel required to move a given amount of mass or to achieve a given amount of performance or acceleration per gallon of fuel consumed previous work on cafe standards such as kleit 1990 and thorpe 1997 focused on short term responses to higher cafe standards where technology forcing was not an option for manufacturers the analysis is conducted under two different scenarios the first scenario is that cafe standards are not binding in the current marketplace the second scenario takes account of the current impact of cafe standards and then analyzes the costs and benefits of increasing the standards the costs of cafe standards are broken down into two areas the changes in consumer and producer surplus and the increase in externalities caused by the increased driving that higher cafe standards induce the plan of this article is as follows section ii reviews the history of cafe standards and briefly discusses the rationale for the regulation section iii develops a model in which the current cafe standard is assumed to be nonbinding section iv provides estimates of the impacts for a long term 3 0 mpg cafe increase under the assumption that the current standard is not binding section v then revises the model to take into account the arguably more realistic assumption that the existing cafe standard was in fact binding it then reports estimates for a long term 3 0 mpg increase section vi provides a brief cost benefit analysis of cafe increases and section vii provides a summary and conclusion ii background on automobile fuel economy standards a brief history of the cafe program the cafe program as enacted in 1975 called for all manufacturers selling more than 10 000 autos per year in the united states to reach the mandated cafe levels cafe levels rose from 19 0 mpg in 1978 to 27 5 mpg in 1985 and later years a manufacturer s domestic and foreign cars are placed in separate cafe categories based on the domestic context of the vehicle if a car has over 75 american context it is considered domestic and placed in the domestic pool otherwise it is placed in the foreign car pool see kleit 1990 for a discussion light trucks pickup trucks sport utility vehicles suvs and minivans were placed in a different cafe pool than cars when cafe standards were originally passed these vehicles represented a small fraction of the relevant market by 2001 however such vehicles made up approximately one half of the sales of personal vehicles in 2001 light trucks were required to reach 20 7 mpg there is no domestic and foreign division in the cafe regulation for light trucks

clearing the air the costs and consequences of higher cafe standards and increased gasoline taxes abstract concerns about energy security and climate change have sparked legislators interest in reducing gasoline consumption by increasing corporate average fuel economy cafe standards using an empirically rich simulation model and cost estimates for anticipated fuel economy technologies we estimate annual costs of reducing long run gasoline consumption by 10 via a 3 8 miles per gallon increase in the standards and the potential cost savings from allowing manufacturers to buy and sell fuel economy credits maximum gasoline savings would be realized only after all existing vehicles were replaced or 14 years in our model a gasoline tax would produce greater immediate savings by encouraging people to drive less and eventually to choose more fuel efficient vehicles we demonstrate the advantage of a tax by comparing the cost of the higher cafe standards over the first 14 years against the cost of a gasoline tax that would save the same amount of gasoline over that time

missing miles evasion responses to car taxes abstract we study a tax evasion response to car taxes in finland where used car importers overstate the mileage to reduce tax liability first we develop a tax evasion measure by comparing reported mileage upon import with subsequent information from vehicle inspections and find that a decline in mileage missing miles occurs frequently second we analyze a tax rate increase and observe a reduction in the number of imported used cars but only among non evaders finally we analyze an rct informing some potential importers about a program of inspections that uncovers true odometer readings and the results suggest that third party reporting reduces evasion

economic distance and the survival of foreign direct investments taking a theoretical perspective contrasting resource exploitation with resource exploration we argue that foreign direct investments fdis hazard rates are lower in countries that are either m

wholly owned subsidiary versus technology licensing in the worldwide chemical industry this paper empirically analyzes the determinants of the choice between wholly owned subsidiary and technology licensing as a strategy for expansion abroad we use a new and comprehensive database on worldwide plant level investments in the chemical industry during the 1981 1991 period we find that both cultural distance and the presence of other potential licensors favor the use of licensing as a strategy for expanding abroad whereas prior experience favors the choice of wholly owned subsidiary an implication of this study is that competition in the market for technology can foster the international diffusion of technology through the use of arm s length agreements

when tax incentives drive illicit behavior the manipulation of fuel economy in the automobile industry abstract this study examines and identifies the underlying incentives for falsifying fuel economy on the part of the automobile industry using novel microdata on on road fuel consumption in japan we find a discontinuous increase in the fuel economy gap the disparity between official test results and real world fuel economy of 6 percent at the tax incentive eligibility thresholds further evidence suggests that much of the observed gap remains unexplained by driver or vehicle characteristics and that no gap is observed at similar levels of fuel economy when they are not tied to the large tax incentive eligibility our findings suggest that feebates large incentive schemes based on fuel economy levels may in turn incentivize automakers to cook the books on fuel economy figures

pounds that kill the external costs of vehicle weight heavier vehicles are safer for their own occupants but more hazardous for other vehicles simple theory thus suggests that an unregulated vehicle fleet is inefficiently heavy using three separate identification strategies we show that controlling for own vehicle weight being hit by a vehicle that is 1000 pounds heavier generates a 40 50 increase in fatality risk these results imply a total accident related externality that exceeds the estimated social cost of us carbon emissions and is equivalent to a gas tax of 0 97 per gallon 136 billion annually we consider two policies for internalizing this external cost a weight varying mileage tax and a gas tax and find that they are similar for most vehicles the findings suggest that european gas taxes may be much closer to optimal levels than the us gas tax language en

analyzing foreign market entry strategies extending the internalization approach a new fully integrated analysis of the foreign market entry decision is presented encompassing the choice between exporting licensing joint venturing and wholly owned foreign investment the choice between acquisition and greenfield investment is examined and so too are options based on subcontracting and franchising the model extends the insights of internalization theory and draws on concepts from the economics of industrial organization a special feature of the model is the distinction between investment in production facilities and investment in distribution facilities an important practical distinction that has been overlooked in much of the international business literature the strength of competition from indigenous rivals is emphasized as a determinant of entry strategy into both production and distribution

nexus of fuel consumption car features and car prices evidence from major institutions in ibadan abstract this study examined the nexus of fuel consumption car characteristics and prices in ibadan it also ascertained whether car buyers undervalue fuel savings a sample of 600 car owners drawn from the six major institutions in ibadan was used in addition to the descriptive analysis the hedonic car price function was estimated using ols and iv estimation techniques the result of the iv estimations were preferred and interpreted empirical findings indicated that respondents do not undervalue fuel savings more explicitly 98 8 of the respondents indicated that they would pay additional naira to buy fuel efficient car if the additional naira is less than the present value of extra future cost of fuel for an inefficient car moreover when asked to rank the factors considered important when purchasing a car fuel consumption ranked third the estimated hedonic price model indicated that the impact of fuel consumption on car price was significantly negative implying that the respondents were willing to pay less for a fuel inefficient car moreover the security and luxury car features were found to increase the price of cars the study recommended that advocacy and orientations be carried out by the stakeholders in the car market to deepen users and potential buyers understanding on car price determinants

accounting for endogeneity when assessing strategy performance does entry mode choice affect fdi survival firms choose strategies based on their attributes and industry conditions therefore strategy choice is endogenous and self selected empirical models that do not account for this and regress performance measures on strategy choice variables are potentially misspecified and their conclusions incorrect i highlight how self selection on hard to measure or unobservable characteristics can bias strategy performance estimates and recommend an econometric technique that has been developed to account for this effect although this concern applies to a wide range of strategy questions to demonstrate its effect i empirically examine if entry mode choice acquisition versus greenfield influences foreign direct investment survival in specifications that do not account for self selection i find that greenfield entries have survival advantages compared to acquisitions this confirms previous findings however the significance of this effect disappears once i account for self selection of entry mode in the empirical estimates the results confirm that estimates from models that do not account for self selection of strategy choice can lead to incorrect or misleading conclusions

the boundaries of multinational enterprises and the theory of international trade this paper begins with a review of empirical evidence on multinational firms conceptual underpinnings of a theory are developed relying in particular on the notion of knowledge capital as a mobile joint input into geographically separated production facilities this idea is embedded in a simple two country general equilibrium model that supports multinational production in equilibrium under conditions consistent with the empirical evidence the final section examines internalization and shows why certain properties of knowledge capital also imply a preference for transferring technologies internally within the firm rather than through arm s length markets

local economic development agglomeration economies and the big push 100 years of evidence from the tennessee valley authority we study the long run eects of one of the most ambitious place based economic development policies in u s history the tennessee valley authority using a rich panel dataset of counties we conduct an evaluation of the dynamic eects of the tva on local economies in the seventy years following the program s inception we nd that the tva led to short run gains in agricultural employment that were eventually reversed while impacts on manufacturing employment continued to intensify well after the program s subsidies had lapsed a pattern consistent with the presence of strong agglomeration economies in the manufacturing sector economists have long cautioned that the local gains created by place based policies may be oset by losses elsewhere yielding ambiguous eects on the u s as a whole building on the framework in glaeser and gottlieb 2008 we develop a novel approach to assessing the aggregate consequences of shifting the spatial distribution of manufacturing employment our ndings suggest the aggregate productivity gains associated with relocating manufacturing activity to the tva region were probably minimal

rebound effect of efficiency improvement in passenger cars on gasoline consumption in canada abstract the fossil fuel driven transport sector has been one of the major contributors to co2 emission across the world keeping it on the energy policy agenda for the past three decades canada ranks second in gasoline consumption among oecd countries and canadian gasoline expenditure share has been increasing since the 1990s fuel efficiency policies aim to decrease gasoline consumption however the effect can be mitigated by changes in consumer behavior such as traveling more distances a rebound effect thus the effectiveness of fuel efficiency policy is dependent on the magnitude of the rebound effect in this paper we estimate the rebound effect for personal transportation in canada using data from the household spending survey for the period 1997 2009 the model includes a system of expenditure share equations for gasoline other energy goods and non energy goods specified by aids and quaids models and estimated by the nonlinear sur method our estimation results show a rather high average rebound effect of 82 88 but with significant heterogeneity across income groups provinces and gasoline prices specifically the rebound effect ranges from 63 to 96 across income groups and provinces and increases with gasoline prices

the motives for international acquisitions capability procurements strategic considerations and the role of ownership structures multinationals can start up greenfield entities or acquire existing firms to enter foreign nations regardless of the choice of greenfield investment vs acquisition they can control full equity i e wholly owned subsidiaries or share ownership with local partners i e joint ventures depending on the stake taken in the targets therefore international acquisitions can be classified into two major categories full or partial although this distinction is missing in most previous studies in this paper i propose that the motives for acquisitions vs greenfield investments are specific to whether entries are made through full or partial ownership in that full acquisitions are driven mostly by capability procurements whereas partial acquisitions are motivated by other strategic considerations by splitting a sample of japanese investments in the us into two sub regimes the study has found that the decision on joint ventures vs wholly owned subsidiaries dictates the determinants that shape the choice between greenfield and acquisitive entries there is also evidence that japanese investors self select the decision on full or partial ownership to justify the strategy that they have chosen to enter the us these findings offer new insights into the role of ownership structures in shaping the choice of entry strategies

simpler is better predicting consumer vehicle purchases in the short run abstract when agencies such as the us environmental protection agency epa establish future greenhouse gas emissions standards for new vehicles forecasting future vehicle purchases due to changes in fuel economy and prices provides insight into regulatory impacts we compare predictions from a nested logit model independently developed for us epa to a simple model where past market share predicts future market share using data from model years 2008 2010 and 2016 the simple model outperforms the nested logit model for all goodness of prediction measures for both prediction years including changes in vehicle price and fuel economy increases bias in forecasted market shares this bias suggests price increases are correlated with unobserved increases in vehicle quality changes in preferences or brand specific changes in market size but not cost pass through for 2010 past shares predict better than a nested logit model despite a major shock the economic disruption caused by the great recession observed share changes during this turbulent period may offer upper bounds for policy changes in other contexts the largest observed change in market share across the two horizons is 6 6 for manufacturers in 2016 and 3 4 for an individual vehicle in 2010

new vehicle characteristics and the cost of the corporate average fuel economy standard by 2016 the corporate average fuel economy cafe standard will increase by 40 this article focuses on the medium run effects of fuel economy regulation we estimate consumers willingness to pay for vehicle characteristics we employ a novel empirical strategy that accounts for the characteristics endogeneity by using variation of engine models used in vehicle models the results imply that consumers value an increase in power more than an increase in fuel economy simulations of the effects of an increase in the cafe standard suggest that regulatory costs are significantly smaller in the medium run than in the short run

short run pricing strategies to increase corporate average fuel economy short run pricing strategies to increase corporate average fuel economy i introduction in 1974 the average fuel efficiency of new automobiles sold in the united states reached a low of 14 2 miles per gallon mpg close on the heels of the arab opec oil embargo of 1973 74 and the ensuing petroleum price shocks congress passed the 1975 energy policy and conservation act the act required each manufacturer to meet sales weighted corporate average fuel economy cafe standards beginning with 18 mpg in 1978 and gradually increasing each year to 27 5 mpg in 1985 figure 1 the expressed purpose of the cafe standards was to stimulate the development of technology to improve fuel efficiency the possibility of raising the relative prices of the least energy efficient models as a strategy to meet the standards was considered but only as a last resort 1 although there continues to be intense debate as to whether fuel price increases or the cafe regulations drove the fuel economy improvements of the 1970s and 80s several studies agree that improvements in automotive engineering and design rather than pricing strategies played an overwhelmingly dominant role 2 no empirical evidence supports the effectiveness of using pricing strategies to increase the overall level of automotive fuel economy every year since 1985 automobile manufacturers have successfully petitioned the national highway traffic safety administration which determines the level of the cafe standard to reduce the target from 27 5 to 26 mpg in 1986 88 and 26 5 mpg in 1989 in each case at least one manufacturer argued that it would be unable to meet the original target with its planned product offerings and would have to resort to other strategies that would result in unacceptable economic costs this paper explores a method of estimating the costs of achieving fuel economy goals when pricing strategies are used to alter the distribution of sales the method employs the closed form equation for consumers surplus derived from the multinational logit model of discrete choice discussed by mcfadden 1973 and assumes that manufacturers must bear the full cost of meeting the fuel economy target the estimated cost represents an upper bound on the losses firms would incur by setting prices to minimize loss of profit using econometric estimates of the sensitivity of vehicle choice to vehicle price together with market shares and fuel efficiencies for 1986 i estimate the costs of short term improvements in average fuel economy using pricing strategies for general motors ford and chrysler minor adjustments of up to 1 mpg cost 1 2 percent of the price of a 10 000 car for improvements of 2 mpg or more however pricing strategies become a costly way to improve fuel economy the technique also estimates the market shares for each car line that correspond to the pricing solution it thereby identifies which car lines would be most affected the technique produces precise price changes and market shares for each car line readers should not place too much weight on the apparent precision but should consider the estimates as an approximation the usefulness of which lies in measuring the difficulty of meeting fuel economy targets via pricing strategies alone one can compare the size of these estimates to the fines for failing to meet the standards 50 per mpg per car or to typical manufacturer rebates to stimulate sales often 100 to 2 000 per car ii a formulation of the pricing problem faced with the cafe requirements a firm can respond with engineering and design improvements or by raising the prices of less efficient models and lowering the prices of those that exceed the standard technological improvements generally require a lead time of three to five years very large fluctuations in fuel prices have occurred in far shorter perids figure 1 creating the risk that a manufacturer s product offering could be out of step with the market

multinational experience and the creation of linkages with local firms evidence from the electronics industry the paper focuses on the nature and determinants of multinational firms creation of linkages with local firms with specific reference to the electronics industry the study of the recent evolution of international operations in this sector seems to highlight a relevant and somewhat generalisable pattern of industrial organisation and dynamics it is argued that the nature and intensity of multinational companies involvement into linkages with local counterparts are strongly influenced by a combination of factors that are partially inter dependent but still rely on different decision making centres on the one hand host countries long term investment policies in the field of human capital training and accumulation and on the other hand firms decisions to take roots in local contexts through the creation of foreign subsidiaries it is further suggested that human capital and subsidiaries will particularly favour the development of collaborative linkages with local firms compared to previous work of the authors on this subject this paper utilises an expanded and updated data set covering international operations of the top european and us electronics companies over the 1984 1995 period and attempts a more detailed and in depth analysis concerning the nature determinants and evolution in time of international growth strategies

internalization an event study test abstract the internalization theory of multinational firms proposes that direct international investment occurs when a firm has information related intangible assets with public good properties we find that firms with characteristics suggesting the presence of information based assets experience a significantly positive stock price reaction upon announcing a foreign acquisition on the other hand firms apparently lacking such assets experience at best zero abnormal returns upon announcing overseas acquisitions

does compulsory school attendance affect schooling and earnings we establish that season of birth is related to educational attainment because of school start age policy and compulsory school attendance laws individuals born in the beginning of the year start school at an older age and can therefore drop out after completing less schooling than individuals born near the end of the year roughly 25 percent of potential dropouts remain in school because of compulsory schooling laws we estimate the impact of compulsory schooling on earnings by using quarter of birth as an instrument for education the instrumental variables estimate of the return to education is close to the ordinary least squares estimate suggesting that there is little bias in conventional estimates every developed country in the world has a compulsory schooling requirement yet little is known about the effect these laws have on educational attainment and earnings 1 this paper exploits an unusual natural experiment to estimate the impact of compulsory schooling laws in the united states the experiment stems from the fact that children born in different months of the year start school at different ages while compulsory schooling laws generally require students to remain in school until their sixteenth or seventeenth birthday in effect the interaction of school entry requirements and compulsory schooling laws compel students born

the effect of national culture on the choice of entry mode characteristics of national cultures have frequently been claimed to influence the selection of entry modes this article investigates this claim by developing a theoretical argument for why culture should influence the choice of entry two hypotheses are derived which relate culture to entry mode choice one focusing on the cultural distance between countries the other on attitudes towards uncertainty avoidance using a multinomial logit model and controlling for other effects the hypotheses are tested by analysing data on 228 entries into the united states market by acquisition wholly owned greenfield and joint venture empirical support for the effect of national culture on entry choice is found

the effects of the corporate average fuel efficiency standards in the us this paper examines the effects of the corporate average fuel economy standards cafe on automobile sales prices and fuel consumption first a discrete choice model of automobile demand and a continuous model of vehicle utilization are estimated using micro data from the consumer expenditure survey for 1984 1990 next the demand side model is combined with a model of oligopoly and product differentiation on the supply side with these elements in place the effects of the cafe regulation are assessed through simulations and compared to the effects of alternative policy instruments such as an increase in gasoline tax

new ventures or acquisitions the choice of swedish multinational enterprises this study examines the factors influencing the multinational enterprises choice between the takeover of already existing firms and investments in new ventures as a means of entering a foreign market the results suggest that the degree of industrial diversification of the parent company and the host country s per capita income seems to have a positive influience on the propensity for takeovers this propensity appears to be negatively related to the rate of growth of industrial production in the industry entered further we found that the more recent the entry into a foreign market the greater the probability for choosing acquisition

what do consumers believe about future gasoline prices a full understanding of how gasoline prices affect consumer behavior frequently requires information on how consumers forecast future gasoline prices we provide the first evidence on the nature of these forecasts by analyzing two decades of data on gasoline price expectations from the michigan survey of consumers we find that average consumer beliefs are typically indistinguishable from a no change forecast justifying an assumption commonly made in the literature on consumer valuation of energy efficiency we also provide evidence on circumstances in which consumer forecasts are likely to deviate from no change and on significant cross consumer forecast heterogeneity

the influence of firm s size and international experience on the ownership structure of italian fdi in manufacturing the literature on foreign direct investment fdi has analysed the entry mode choice by multinational enterprises mnes from several theoretical viewpoints nevertheless previous studies have mainly focused on the behaviour of large and established mnes while little attention has been given to small and medium sized firms the paper aims at providing further empirical evidence on the role of firm size and international experience in influencing the ownership structure of fdi the main hypothesis is that smaller firms characterised by financial and managerial con straints as well as firms lacking experience in managing foreign operations suffer from a condition of adverse asym metry in information costs compared to their competitors therefore they are forced to act prudently minimising risk and thus preferring a less control arrangement of foreign sub sidiaries a binomial logistic model is developed with reference to manufacturing foreign direct investments undertaken by italian firms in the period 1986 1993

greenfield vs acquisition the strategy of japanese investors in the united states multinational firms can enter a foreign market by taking over existing local firms acquisitions or by setting up new ventures greenfield investments surprisingly there has been limited empirical work on this topic this paper examines the determinants of this choice by looking at japanese entries into the united states by focusing on firms of one country entering a single market we are able to separate the impact of a firm s strategy from that of the characteristics of the target industry or country this paper tests simultaneously a number of competing hypotheses the results suggest that acquisitions are used by japanese investors with weak competitive advantages while investors with strong advantages find that greenfield investments are a more efficient way to transfer these advantages to the u s acquisitions are also chosen to enter industries with either very high or very low growth rates when entry is at a scale that is large relative to the parent and when entry is into a different industry the japanese investor s previous experience of the u s market its financial situation and its status as a follower in an oligopolistic industry have no statistically significant impact on the entry mode neither do u s stock market conditions

how firms grow clustering as a dynamic model of internationalization this paper provides a methodology for identifying the dynamics of international firm expansion demonstrating systematic evidence of both toe in the water and concentrated bursts of internationalization by us multinational enterprises we use the methodology of statistical process control to analyze initial investments in host countries and develop a numerical measure of temporal clustering or bunching using this measure we identify two distinct patterns of growth whereas some firms cluster their investments over time others do not cluster their investments for firms that cluster three types of clustering strategy are identified concentrating hibernating and hybrid arguments based on internal firm architecture experience and learning are advanced to explain these findings

entry modes for direct investment determined by the composition of firm specific skills when undertaking direct investment in a foreign country a firm can choose between different modes of entry broadly speaking an investor may either acquire an existing firm or set up a new venture i e perform a greenfield investment the mainstream perspective on this choice stipulates that takeovers are less risky than greenfield investments but yield a lower expected rate of return cf caves 1982 consequently a firm would become more willing to perform greenfield investments as greater capabilities and international experience increase its ability to handle risks according to dubin 1976 and stopford 1976 firms with a large and geographically diversified portfolio of already established subsidiaries have a greater propensity to undertake greenfield investment the greater a firm s diversification in terms of industries and the faster its growth indicating less knowledge and experience per unit of activity the greater the propensity to use takeovers in the last decades however there has been a marked tendency towards more takeovers and less greenfield investments see un 1992 this is hardly consistent with the conventional view as the bulk of direct investment is established by a relatively small number of multinational corporations which continuously upgrade their experience and capabilities rather the riskiness as well as expected profitability of alternative modes of entry depend on the nature of skills and capabilities this analysis distinguishes between organizational and managerial skill on the one hand and skill which is related to specific technology on the other com

are tradeoffs inherent in diversification moves a simultaneous model for type of diversification and mode of expansion decisions drawing on the premise that the diversification decisions are driven by antecedent factors such as a firm s existing resources teece 1982 and industry structural conditions this paper develops formal hypotheses for reciprocity between the type of diversification and mode of expansion decisions we consider the specificity of antecedent resources that affect these two decisions and conceptually demonstrate that there is a contradictory tension in trying to optimize the decisions jointly implying that one or both diversification decisions have to be sub optimized i e there has to be a trade off we make a conceptual argument that this sub optimization is likely to be in the form of subordination of the mode decision subject to constraints impo sed by resources that are highly specific to the mode decision following this we empirically investigate this contradictory tension by using a simultaneous equation model sem on a large sample of firms between 1981 and 1989 the results suggest that one antecedent factor internal funds act as the key mediating influence in the joint optimization and leads to a subordination of the mode decision in the joint optimization process however the existence of time compression economies and market power benefits are the exceptions to this subordination and trade off process

the antecedents and performance implications of cooperative exchange norms our study investigates the antecedents and performance implications of cooperative exchange norms we argue that in early relationships the level of expected cooperative norms in an exchange is the result of a calculative process facilitated by transaction attributes joint transaction specific investments and observability the greater the level of these two exchange attributes the greater the level of cooperative exchange norms all else being equal we further argue that the realized level of cooperative exchange norms can deviate from the expected level because the development of such norms is the result of social processes that management cannot directly and fully control this gap between realized and expected norms affects exchange performance performance suffers when the realized level of cooperative exchange norms falls below the expected level but overshooting expectations lays a critical groundwork for repeat transactions the analysis of a survey of 182 collaborative r d alliances provides initial support for our theory

nonparametric instrumental variables estimation abstract in many economic models objects of interest are functions which satisfy conditional moment restrictions economics does not restrict the functional form of these models motivating nonparametric methods in this paper we review identification results and describe a simple nonparametric instrumental variables npiv estimator we also consider a simple method of inference in addition we show how the ability to uncover nonlinearities with conditional moment restrictions is related to the strength of the instruments we point to applications where important nonlinearities can be found with npiv and applications where they cannot

vehicle miles not traveled fuel economy requirements vehicle characteristics and household driving abstract a major concern with addressing the negative externalities of gasoline consumption by regulating fuel economy rather than increasing fuel taxes is that households respond by driving more this paper exploits a discrete threshold in the eligibility for cash for clunkers to show that fuel economy restrictions lead households to purchase vehicles that have lower cost per mile but are also smaller and lower performance whereas the former effect can increase driving the latter effect can reduce it results indicate that these households do not drive more suggesting that behavioral responses do not necessarily undermine the effectiveness of fuel economy restrictions at reducing gasoline consumption

comparative business failures of foreign controlled firms in the united states we explore the comparative business failures of foreign owned or controlled firms and domestically owned firms original data are collected regarding foreign controlled firms in the u s that filed for bankruptcy protection were involuntarily liquidated or ceased operations mainly due to poor financial performance during the 1978 1988 period our results show that foreign controlled firms fail less often than domestically owned firms the patterns of foreign controlled business failures and the impacts of entry modes ownership types and national culture on the failures of foreign controlled firms are also examined

the effect of own firm and other firm experience on foreign direct investment survival in the united states 1987 92 we argue that foreign firms operating in a host country generate information spillovers that have potential value for later foreign direct investment we test two predictions first we expect foreign direct investments by firms with experience in a host country to be more likely to survive than investments made by first time entrants second foreign direct investments will be more likely to survive the greater the foreign presence in the target industry at the time of investment subject to two contingencies the first contingency is that the relationship will be weak or nonexistent among firms with no experience in the host country because these firms have difficulty evaluating and taking advantage of the information spillovers the second contingency is that the presence of other foreign firms will not affect investment survival among firms that already have a presence in the target industry and undertake expansion these firms already possess general information about the target industries and are unlikely to gain additional benefit from information spillovers we find supportive evidence based on the survival to 1992 among 354 u s investments undertaken by foreign firms in manufacturing industries during 1987 1997 by john wiley sons ltd strat management j vol 18 811 824 1997 no of figures 1 no of tables 3 no of references 35

closure and divestiture by foreign entrants the impact of entry and post entry strategies we analyze the longevity of foreign entrants explicitly considering two possible ways of exit firm closure and capital divestiture we find that entry and post entry strategies affect the longevity of firms and of foreign equity holdings but in different manners while the ownership arrangements and organizational structure affect the likelihood of divestment they exert no significant effect upon closure the entry mode exerts opposite effects on the two modes of exit greenfield entrants being more likely to shutdown but less likely to be divested only human capital affects closure and divestment in the same manner firms with large endowments of human capital are less likely to exit irrespective of the exit mode considered copyright 2000 john wiley sons ltd

the post entry performance of new small firms in german manufacturing industries while recent years have witnessed a growing interest in research on market entry by new firms evidence regarding their postentry performance is scarce this paper uses longitudinal data for small firms that entered german manufacturing industries between 1979 and 1982 and monitors their performance until 1990 entrants face a high risk of failure hazard rates tend to increase during the first years and to decrease afterwards decline of employment in a cohort due to exits and shrinking firms is compensated by growing survivors no clear cut nexus between start up size and probability of survival shows up copyright 1994 by blackwell publishing ltd

the market impact and the cost of environmental policy evidence from the swedish green car rebate we quantify the effects of the swedish gcr a program to reduce oil dependence and greenhouse gas emissions in the automobile industry we find the gcr to increase the market shares of green cars and its cost to be 109 tonco2 saved thus 5 times the price of an emission permit since the main green cars in sweden are ffvs flexible fuel vehicles which can switch between petrol gasoline and ethanol we also account for fuel choice which increases the cost of the program finally we show that consumers would have purchased ffvs regardless of the rebate provided by the gcr

the effect of vehicle fuel economy standards on technology adoption abstract many countries are tightening passenger vehicle fuel economy standards this paper provides the first empirical evidence on the effects of fuel economy standards on technology adoption we investigate changes in the rate and direction of technology adoption that is the extent to which technology is used to increase fuel economy at the expense of other vehicle attributes we find that recent changes in u s and european standards have both increased the rate of technology adoption and affected the direction of technology adoption producers reduced horsepower and torque compared to a counterfactual in which fuel economy standards remained unchanged we estimate opportunity costs from reduced horsepower and torque to be economically significant relative to the gains from fuel savings

safety crises and r d outsourcing alliances which governance mode minimizes negative spillovers abstract this study examines how r d alliance governance affects both the probability and magnitude of negative spillovers triggered by a partner s safety crisis i show that hierarchical governance leads to a lower probability that a partner will suffer a crisis and thus trigger a negative spillover yet this governance mode leads to negative spillovers of greater magnitude should they happen because expected spillover costs are calculated as the probability of occurrence times the magnitude of such costs it is not clear which governance mode best minimizes expected spillover costs i combine transaction costs economics and signaling theory to develop a contingency model that identifies which effect is more likely to dominate as a way to address the reported dilemma i found evidence in support of the described dilemma and the contingency model in a sample of 296 r d outsourcing alliances in the biopharmaceutical industry

do multinationals really prefer to enter culturally distant countries through greenfields rather than through acquisitions the role of parent experience and subsidiary autonomy prior research has argued that multinational enterprises mnes prefer to enter culturally distant countries through greenfields rather than through acquisitions since acquisitions in such countries are costlier to manage this argument contains two hidden assumptions 1 the additional costs of acquisitions in culturally distant countries are the same for all mnes and 2 such acquisitions have no benefits over their greenfield counterparts in this paper we relax these two assumptions by arguing that an mne s preference for greenfields in culturally distant countries depends on its international and host country experience and on the level of autonomy it plans to grant the focal subsidiary analyzing 171 wholly owned greenfield investments and full acquisitions made by dutch mnes in 35 countries we find that these mnes prefer to enter culturally distant countries through greenfields but that this preference is lower when they have little international experience or plan to grant the focal subsidiary considerable autonomy in marketing

the entry mode choice of mnes an evolutionary approach abstract the literature on foreign direct investment fdi has recently analysed the nature of the firm s entry mode choice in a foreign market particularly the choice between a joint venture and a wholly owned subsidiary the paper aims at providing further empirical evidence on the influence of some key variables in explaining it the theoretical framework relates to the resource based view of the firm and to the more recent competence based theory it focuses on the concept of the firm as a collection of productive resources and assets built through internal learning processes in the form of evolutionary experimentation the inability of the firm to build internally all the needed knowledge and competencies forces it to acquire them outside influencing the growth strategy of the firm as resources and complementary assets are spread out the firm has to deal with constraints which become more crucial when the firm enters into unfamiliar markets and areas of activity in particular when deciding about the entry mode on foreign markets the firm has to face transaction costs concerning actors and potential partners and their opportunism and costs related to the need for acquiring information about new institutional environments and their working according to this view the resort to co operative solutions and joint ventures allows firms to reduce costs and uncertainty related to foreign markets and rises if technological opportunities tacit skills and competencies constitute an important source of competitive advantage for the firm an empirical analysis with reference to a representative sample of fdi undertaken by italian firms in mining and manufacturing industries over the period 1986 1993 has been developed in order to test the hypotheses

car notches strategic automaker responses to fuel economy policy notches where small changes in behavior lead to large changes in a tax or subsidy gure prominently in many policies but have been rarely examined by economists in this paper we analyze a class of notches associated with policies aimed at improving vehicle fuel economy we provide several pieces of evidence showing that automakers respond to notches in fuel economy policy by precisely manipulating fuel economy ratings so as to just qualify for more favorable treatment we then describe the welfare consequences of this behavior and derive a welfare summary statistic applicable to many contexts