household demand in rural china a two stage les aids model a complete demand system of chinese rural households is estimated using a two stage les aids model and pooled provincial and time series data from 1982 to 1990 for commodity groups food clothing fuel housing and other commodities demand is price inelastic housing and other commodities are luxury goods while clothing and food are necessities within the food group price elasticities range from 0 005 to 0 63 expenditure elasticities are lower for grains and higher for meat tobacco and alcohol the results imply a gap between food demand and supply growth therefore china will face pressure to import food

population dynamics and consumer demand the authors analyze the effects on consumption in the united states of 11 demographic variables including regional location and the urban rural base of the household its age size race sex and marital characteristics and the education and the employment status of the household head and the spouse data are from the 1972 1973 consumer expenditure survey the expenditure functions are first specified followed by descriptions of the data sources and the empirical estimates of expenditure functions for various items of consumption spending excerpt

on the harm from mergers in input markets abstract this paper examines the additional social harm done by mergers in input markets that lead to higher prices when those increases are then passed downstream through other distribution stages that are themselves imperfectly competitive it is shown that measures of deadweight loss coming from simply looking at the derived upstream demand curve as usually done in merger cases can greatly understate the true deadweight loss generated through the distribution channel these results have important implications for competition authorities reviewing mergers particularly when they trade off the harm to competition added deadweight loss and merger generated efficiencies

are there multiple bubbles in the ethanol gasoline price ratio of brazil this paper tests for the existence of bubbles in the ethanol gasoline price ratio in brazil from 2000 to 2012 using right tailed adf tests results suggest the existence of two bubbles one which has already burst during the re election of president lula and one which has been ongoing since 2010 thus corroborating empirical and anecdotal evidence in the brazilian sugarcane industry freezing gasoline prices not only depressed ethanol prices but also depressed investments in new sugarcane crops and distillation plants

a generalization of working s model abstract working s 1943 model states that budget shares are linear functions of the logarithm of income it implies constant differences between corresponding marginal and budget shares a one parameter generalization is proposed which allows each marginal share to be a linear function of the corresponding budget share this model can be further extended with one extra parameter so that all goods are either specific substitutes or specific complements

a micro analysis of business travel demand this study tests two hypothesis 1 that tax deductibility and the dual benefit nature of goods on the business pleasure borderline increases the demand for business travel and 2 that this dual benefit decreases price elasticity the study uses expenditure microdata and contrasts the behaviour of business travellers and pleasure travellers both groups are assumed to have indentical tastes but the expenditure behaviour of business travellers is modified by the role of the business trip as a factor of production the linear expenditure system les allocation model is applied to expenditures on individual goods at a particular tourist destination business travellers are shown to have higher expenditures than pleasure travellers for food lodging and local transportation minimum quantities estimated by the les are also higher for business travellers uncompensated price elasticities of business travellers are significantly smaller than that of pleasure travellers for local transportation clothing a

a household production specification of demographic variables in demand analysis empirical investigations into the expenditure and time allocation decisions of households usually allow the variation in demographic characteristics across households in particular the number and ages of dependent children to affect these decisions the motivation for allowing such demographic effects is two fold first it permits the researcher to pool observations from households with differing demographic characteristics secondly it has been argued that it allows the researcher to construct an index normally called an equivalence scale to show the full income required by a household with some given composition to attain the same level of utility as some reference household and hence permits comparisons of welfare levels across households there are two areas of controversy surrounding this literature which directly relate to its two sources of motivation first what is the appropriate demographic specification second can the estimated parameters be used to undertake welfare comparisons a series of demand studies including barten 1964 blundell 1980 blundell and walker 1982 gorman 1976 muellbauer 1974 1977 hurd and pencavel 1981 pollak and wales 1978 1981 and ray 1983 have attempted to answer the first problem by considering the current allocation of goods and in some cases household time conditional on demographic structure this literature treats demographic variables as exogenous whereas in contrast the neoclassical fertility literature see for example the contributions in schultz 1973 treats the numbers and ages of children as endogenous nonmarket goods within a lifecycle optimising framework the second problem has been raised by pollak and wales 1979 who argue convincingly whether household composition is the result of endogenous decisions or not it is impossible to compare the welfare of households with different compositions using the results of empirical demand analysis since market decisions do not reveal how the households feel about the presence or absence of children thus estimated equivalence scales are necessarily based on the households preferences conditional on their demographic compositions the object of this paper is to suggest a new approach to the problem of demographic specification and to show that this approach both highlights the problem of making welfare comparisons and at least in part resolves it

bidding models of housing markets abstract the bid rent model which is the standard bidding model of housing markets fails to take account of three important characteristics of the bidding process that operates in these markets the prices of houses are established through sequential bidding so that sellers do not necessarily accept the highest bids that might be made for their houses ignorance of the market may lead potential buyers to make bids that are either higher or lower than the ones they would make if they had complete information and the distribution of bids for a house is truncated at the seller s asking price this paper describes a bidding model that incorporates these characteristics of housing markets the new model and the standard model are estimated econometrically and tested against one another using data from the baltimore maryland area the test results indicate strong rejection of the standard model it is concluded that the new model provides a better description of the operation of housing markets than does the standard model

aggregate consumer behaviour and the measurement of inequality this paper presents an approach to inequality measurement based on an econometric model of aggregate consumer behaviour the novel feature of this model is that systems of individual demand functions can be recovered uniquely from the system of aggregate demand functions we present methods for evaluating social welfare based on an explicit social welfare function this social welfare function incorporates measures of individual welfare based on indirect utility functions for all consumer units we develop indexes of inequality based on actual and potential levels of social welfare

household food demand in rural china this article explores rural household food consumption behaviour in china using a large household data set from jilin province data are classified into four main food groups grain vegetable products animal products and other foods a household food demand system incorporating four household characteristics is estimated using an la aids model assuming a three stage budgeting procedure expenditure elasticities for a range of food groups are estimated with a particular focus on animal products the inclusion of household characteristics did not have a big impact on the elasticity values in any of the three stages of the budgeting process the total expenditure elasticity for grain stage ii was 0 64 suggesting substantial future growth in household demand for fine grains such as rice and wheat as per capita incomes continue to grow in rural areas the highest conditional and total expenditure elasticity values were for the animal products stage ii group 1 22 and 0 76 respectively within this

an emprical model of the demand for a varied diet this study attempts to measure some aspects of the household s demand for a varied die by invesigaing how he number of individual foods consumed b he household is affeced b is preferences and food expendiure a heoriical model suggesed b household production theory is adopted to empirical data from a cross section of households it is found that the number of individual foods consumed is strongly responsive to househjold expenditure on all foods

prices and quality effects in cross sectional demand analysis a conceptual clarification of the sources and meaning of cross sectional price variability is used to motivate a theoretical and econometric framework for the estimation of cross sectional demand functions quality effects are distinguished from supply related price variability to identify cross sectional demand for disaggregated food commodities an empirical application using data from the 1977 78 nationwide food consumption survey indicates that parameter differences resulting from a failure to adjust cross sectional prices for quality effects are likely to be small for relatively homogenous disaggregated food commodities in demand analysis with cross sectional household budget data it is usually assumed that prices are constant allen and bowley prais and houthakker george and king given this assumption engel functions are estimated where expenditure or quantity is regressed on income or total expenditures family size and other demographic characteristics the assumption that cross sectional price effects are absent or are captured adequately by spatial and temporal dummy variables has not been evaluated empirically whether cross sectional price effects can be treated in this manner has implications for the specification of cross sectional demand functions as well as the estimation of engel functions there is a considerable literature on estimating price elasticities with cross sectional data most of the applications utilize timeseries cross sectional data annual or quarterly household consumption surveys and

the efficiency of demand oriented housing programs generalizing from experimental findings typical production oriented housing programs offer potential recipients a highly limited set of previously unattainable commodity bundles from the household s viewpoint such programs have been highly inefficient from society s viewpoint such housing programs are generally horizontally inequitable and inefficient given that housing programs are not likely to be fully cashed out and incorporated into general income maintenance could housing programs be restructured to increase their efficiency this paper examines this question results indicate that demand oriented housing programs are substantially more efficient than are production oriented programs in fact in the aggregate the former programs approach unrestricted cash payments in their transfer efficiency

demand function estimation and the law of one price this paper shows that the method of estimating of demand functions may contain an erroneous implicit assumption when aggregated data are used this assumption revealed by the choice of regressors yields estimates of own price elasticity and other coefficients that are inconsistent it can also cause heteroscedasticity in the second stage of two stage least squares estimation where none would otherwise exist

modelling demand systems with demographic effects based on the modifying function approach abstract we follow review of economic studies 52 1985 1 approach to modify the standard consumer demand theory so that socio demographic variables can be formally incorporated into the demand systems our modified theory not only includes all previous approaches to this problem as special cases but also allows the useful interpretations of household production and subsistence expenditure

on using linear regressions in welfare economics this article consists of two parts the first part shows that the ordinary least squares regression coefficient is a weighted average of slopes between adjacent sample points when applied to a linear regression with income as the independent variable the regression coefficient depends heavily on the slopes of high income groups the weight of the highest income decile may well exceed that of the other nine deciles this may be undesirable especially if the regression is used for welfare analysis because the marginal propensities to consume attributed to the commodities are determined by the high income groups the second part of the article proposes alternative estimators the extended gini estimators that enable investigators to control the weighting scheme and to incorporate their social views into the weighting scheme of the estimators

the demand for site specific recreational activities a characteristics approach abstract a model of constrained utility maximizing behavior is developed to explain how a representative individual allocates his ski days among alternative sites the physical characteristics of the ski areas and the individual s skiing ability are explicit arguments in the utility function the budget allocation is given along with the parametric costs to ski including travel costs entrance fees equipment costs and the opportunity cost of his time shares a site s share being the proportion of ski days that the individual spends at that site are derived and assumed multinomially distributed a stochastic specification which maintains the inherent properties of the shares maximum likelihood estimation confirms the basic hypothesis that costs ability and characteristics all are important determinants of the sites shares the model explains a large proportion of the skier s allocation of ski days a multinomial logit model of skier behavior is also developed and maximum likelihood estimates of its parameters are obtained examination of the summary statistics from my model and the logit model indicates that my model predicts the skier s choice of sites better than the logit model

distinguished fellow houthakker s contributions to economics h t endrik houthakker s contributions to economics defy capsule description a better strategy than providing abstracts of the books and articles on his long and impressive vita is discussing one or two topics in detail placing at least some of his contributions in perspective and discussing their relevance for current research the first topic i have chosen revealed preference needs no justification houthakker made his professional reputation with his 1950 economica article on revealed preference theory the article that introduced the strong axiom of revealed preference the second topic is the dynamics of demand a more idiosyncratic choice which reflects both the importance of houthakker s contributions and my own interests the dynamics of demand is an appropriate choice not only because demand analysis has been a major recurrent theme in houthakker s work but also because like so much of his work it is at the interface between theoretical and empirical analysis houthakker has coauthored two important and influential books on demand analysis the analysis of family budgets 1955 1971 with s j prais and consumer demand in the united states 1966 1970 with lester d taylor and has written as they say numerous articles his 1961 econometrica survey article the present state of consumption theory is a classic a durable and prescient article that foresaw and influenced the developments in demand analysis during the next decades other economists would have chosen different topics thereby revealing different preferences some would choose his work in international economics energy eco

the welfare effects of disarmament on the united states under nato and the warsaw pact this paper develops a model of disarmament by incorporating rationing theory into the economic theory of alliance in order to provide an econometric measure of welfare gain from a disarmament treaty the author employs the cost functions predicated on rationed and unrationed demand systems by combining the economic theory of foreign aid with that of alliance the author examines the impact of disarmament on the developed economies foreign aid to developing countries as a peace dividend the model is applied to the case of the u s economy under mutual disarmament between nato and the warsaw pact copyright 1996 by mit press

the testing and estimation of complete demand systems on household budget surveys a recent demand system aids is extended to include family size explicitly and then estimated on indian budget data the estimation using non linear fiml is performed first on pure time series and then on pooled cross section data within and across equation restrictions are imposed and tested the principal results include u a significant price and family size effects on the budget share of an item b sensitivity of test results on homogeneity and symmetry to i rural urban data ii time series cross section and iii inclusion omission of family size c considerable difference between pure time series and pooled cross section estimates and d difference between the expenditure responses of the rural and urban consumer

comparison of alternative nonmarket valuation methods for an economic assessment of a public program abstract this paper contributes to the discussion of the problem of integrating ecological and economic costs of public programs for mosquito abatement the study illustrates the economic optimum level that could equate marginal cost to marginal benefit the case study of a texas gulf coast county demonstrates that the current largely chemical control program has an estimated benefit cost ratio of about 1 9 whether based on the expenditure function approach or the contingent valuation method costs of short and long run damages to public health and the environment have not been estimated however residents would be willing to pay nearly double the current program cost for ecologically sensitive control measures as they are developed

recovering individual preferences for non market goods a collective travel cost model traditional recreation demand models do not make a distinction between a household and an individual as the reference decision making unit thus assuming that a family maximizes a single utility function even if the family consists of different individuals such models ignore the possibility of family members divergent preferences for non market goods this study proposes a novel approach the collective travel cost model ctcm to eliciting individual preferences for a non market good such as a recreation site by using revealed preference data this approach accounts for the intra household resource allocation and the role of each household member s preferences we show that the collective travel cost model can be applied to estimating a recreation demand model that yields individual welfare estimates appropriate for policy analysis of non market goods such as the willingness to pay to access a recreation site we find that how resources are distributed within the household reflects significant differences in welfare measures

linear household technologies this paper discusses estimates and formally compares the best known procedures for incorporating demographic variables into complete demand systems in particular a class of general procedures belonging to gorman s family of general linear household technologies is introduced estimation and comparison of different procedures make use of italian household budget data for the years 1973 1992 incorporating a single demographic variable family size into a generalized quadratic almost ideal demand system in our empirical example however even the most general household technologies are unable to fully capture the behavioural heterogeneity shown by the data copyright 2000 john wiley sons ltd

household demand for convenience and nonconvenience foods states the budget shares are generally more responsive to prices than to real total expenditure additionally the quantities demanded of convenience and nonconvenience foods are generally more sensitive to changes in income and own prices than to changes in cross prices with regard to demographic variates primary users of convenience foods are white households with employed household managers less than 35 years of age

energy consumption in australia evidence from a generalized working model abstract the paper reports an application of the generalized working model as proposed by laitinen theil raparla 1981 to australian household expenditure data to obtain estimates of income elasticities for four types of energy electricity gas other fuels and petrol the evidence indicates some gain in the laitinen theil raparla model but this gain is insufficient in terms of the atkinson 1973 test to significantly discriminate it from the linear expenditure system

efficiency and equity in the provision of public education the paper focuses on the benefits derived from public elementary and secondary education monetary values of households perceived benefits from operating expenditures are estimated information concerning the preference mappings of citizens is obtained using a random utility model to analyze micro voting data the estimated model in turn provides information concerning the efficiency and distributional consequences of public education expenditures the conclusion is that operating expenditures exceed the estimated efficient level furthermore it may be difficult to justify the inefficiently large expenditures on equity grounds since the estimated distribution of households perceived benefits net of local taxes is pro rich g overnment provision of goods and i j services has the potential of greatly affecting the welfare of citizens this paper focuses on the benefits derived from one such service public elementary and secondary education monetary values of households perceived benefits from public education expenditures are estimated information concerning the preference mappings of citizens is obtained using a multinomial probit random utility model to analyze micro voting data the estimated model in turn provides information concerning the efficiency and distributional consequences of public education expenditures the conclusion is that operating expenditures exceed the estimated efficient level furthermore it may be difficult to justify the inefficiently large expenditures on equity grounds since the estimated distribution of households perceived benefits net of local taxes is pro rich in contrast to this study a number of studies employ ad hoc rules to measure citizens benefits from public elementary and secondary education initially total benefits are assumed to equal the cost of educational services this input cost measure of benefits is then allocated to households using some unproven rule of thumb when an ad hoc rule is used to allocate a questionable measure of total benefits the results are even more suspect conceptually it is quite odd to determine assume total benefits and then allocate the total to individuals or households the correct method is first to obtain estimates of individuals or households benefits these estimates can then be used to determine the magnitude of total benefits and analyze how the benefits are distributed across the population aaron and mcguire 1970 criticize ad hoc benefit measures and propose the income value measure for x units of the politically allocated good x this measure is iv mrsj x where mrsj is the marginal rate of substitution of x for a composite commodity evaluated at x and one s aftertax income this measure is comparable to measures of the income values of goods purchased in private markets while aaron and mcguire argue for preferencebased benefit measures the lack of information concerning preference mappings necessitates that they assume the shape of the utility function even though the results by maital 1973 based on a similar method are slightly less restrictive a number of restrictive assumptions are common to both studies not only are households assumed to have identical separable utility functions but the existing levels of politically allocated goods are assumed to be efficient implying the total income value equals the input cost also the allocation of benefits from mixed goods e g public education between public and private components is based on ad hoc rules the major contribution of the current study is that the benefit estimates are based on information concerning the preference mappings of individuals as revealed through referenda voting 2 the estireceived for publication march 9 1983 revision accepted for publication june 4 1984 state university of new york albany this paper was improved as a result of the advice and encouragement of kenneth wertz john akin david guilkey and james wilde as well as the helpful comments of two referees financial support for this research was in part provided by a dissertation research fellowship from the brookings institution 1 an example is the 1967 tax foundation study 2nmicro voting data are also used by rubinfeld 1977 to obtain information about citizens preferences for public school expenditures he uniquely estimates the parameters of a demand function up to an unknown multiplicative constant a micro demand function for education is uniquely estimated by bergstrom rubinfeld and shapiro 1982 using a different type of survey data while the method used here is to directly estimate preference mappings the information concerning such mappings embedded in such a demand function provides an

cartel damages claims and the passing on defense we develop a general framework for computing cartel damages claims we decom pose a direct purchaser plainti s lost pro ts in three parts the price overcharge the pass on eect and the output eect the output eect is usually neglected it is the lost business resulting from passing on the price overcharge to evaluate the relative importance of the three eects we introduce various models of imperfect competition for the plainti s industry we show that the passing on defense generally remains jus ti ed after accounting for the output eect provided that the cartel aects a su cient number of rms we derive exact discounts to the price overcharge and illustrate how to compute these in the european vitamin cartel we nally extend our framework to measure the cartel s total harm i e the total damages to direct purchasers and their consumers

the distribution of harm in price fixing cases we consider a vertically related industry and analyze how the total harm due to a price increase upstream is distributed over downstream firms and final consumers for this purpose we develop a general model without making specific assumptions regarding demand costs or the mode of competition we consider both the case of homogeneous and differentiated goods markets and illustrate how basic intuition from the tax incidence literature carries over to the distribution of harm furthermore we discuss data requirements and suggest explicit formulas and regression specifications that can be used to estimate the relevant terms in the harm distribution in practice

a cross country tabulation of own price elasticities of demand abstract this paper tabulates frisch slutsky and cournot own price elasticities for each of 10 goods at the per capita real income levels of 30 countries ranging from india to the united states

fiscal and spending behavior of local governments identification of price effects when prices are not observed this paper analyzes local public fiscal andspending behavior in a setting where localgovernments represented by the dominantparty or coalition are treated as utilitymaximizing agents the econometricanalysis which is based on a modifiedversion of eles recognizes total spendingas well as total income as endogenousvariables identification of the priceeffects is achieved by utilizing data onenvironmental cost factors and localtastes the performance of the estimatedmodel is investigated by testing itsability to make out of sample predictionsof local government behavior

semiparametric estimation of lifetime equivalence scales pashardes 1991 and banks et al 1994 use parametric methods to estimate lifetime equivalence scales their approaches put parametric restrictions on the differences in within period expenditure needs across household types the intertemporal allocation of expenditure and the shapes of commodity demand equations this paper puts parametric structure only on the differences in within period expenditure needs across household types this implies structure on the intertemporal allocation of expenditure but leaves the shapes of commodity demand equations unrestricted semiparametric methods are used to estimate within period and lifetime equivalence scales with canadian expenditure data and to test the restrictions imposed on within period expenditure functions estimated lifetime equivalence scales are similar in size to those estimated by banks et al 1994 and exhibit equal lifetime costs for first and second children copyright 2005 john wiley sons ltd

demographic variables in demand analysis in this paper the authors discuss five procedures for incorporating demographic variables into theoretically plausible demand systems translating scaling and the gorman reverse gorman and implicit prais houthakker procedures these five procedures are used to incorporate a single demographic variable the number of children in a household into the generalized ces demand system using household budget data for the united kingdom for the period 1966 1972 excerpt

determinants of bargaining outcome in single family housing transactions an empirical examination using a hedonic regression model this paper examines determinants of bargaining outcome in single family housing transactions it divides potential factors into three broad categories dwelling attributes site amenities and seller s and buyer s characteristics results with use of 1990 data for the reno sparks area in nevada show that bargaining outcome is determined by seller s asking price buyer s household income and some of the dwelling attributes and site amenities this paper concludes that factors affecting housing price do not necessarily affect bargaining outcome and first time home buyers do not statistically bargain less than repeat home buyers

the estimation of marginal utility of income for application to agricultural policy analysis abstract a quality of life index qli a proxy measure of utility is constructed by factor weighted and simple summation weighted aggregation of socio psychological measures of well being the socio psychological measures were constructed from quality of life domains taken from selected years of the general social surveys general social surveys 1972 1993 cumulative code book principal investigator james a davis director and co principal investigator tom w smith chicago national opinion research center 1993 national data program for the social sciences series no 13 the quality of life indices qli indices are regressed on selected socio demographic variables using quadratic cobb douglas square root and semilog functional forms qli is much influenced by income education and health as measured here qli is not much influenced by year of measurement sector or by region of residence much variability in the qli is unique to individuals and our results are suited to predict group rather than individual well being practitioners computing the benefit cost ratio for a public program project or policy can weight dollars by income groups with marginal utilities derived from this study that methodology will matter even the conservative quadratic equation indicates that the marginal utility of income mui for families with very low incomes is half as large as for families with median incomes

green recovery policies for the covid 19 crisis modelling the impact on the economy and greenhouse gas emissions the covid 19 pandemic induces the worst economic downturn since the second world war requiring governments to design large scale recovery plans to overcome this crisis this paper quantitatively assesses the potential of government investments in eco friendly construction projects to boost the economy and simultaneously realise environmental gains through reduced energy consumption and related greenhouse gas emissions the analysis uses a computable general equilibrium model that examines the macroeconomic impact of the covid 19 crisis in a small open economy belgium subsequently the impact of the proposed policy is assessed through comparative analysis for macroeconomic parameters as well as co2 equivalent emissions for four scenarios our findings demonstrate that the covid 19 pandemic damages economies considerably however the reduction in emissions is less than proportionate still well designed public policies can reverse this trend achieving both economic growth and a disproportionally large decrease in emissions moreover the positive effect of such a decoupling policy on gdp is even stronger during the pandemic than compared to the pre covid 19 period this is the result of a targeted investment induced green transition towards low energy intensive economic activities finally this paper describes how the net effect on the government budget is positive through the indirect gains of the economic uptake

measuring the true harm from price fixing to both direct and indirect purchasers legal actions by direct and indirect purchasers to recover damages from price fixing common in the united states for years are now appearing in a number of other countries traditional measures of damages are flawed as measures of the true harm suffered and will often significantly understate that true harm this paper provides measures of the degree of understatement of the true harm when traditional approaches are used and shows how the size of the error depends on the degree of competitiveness of downstream markets the paper also provides measures of distribution of the true harm between direct and indirect purchasers

determinants of food consumption in rural sierra leone abstract this paper reports the application of a quadratic expenditure system with demographic variables to the household consumption leisure choice component of a household firm model a system of seven commodities is estimated including five foods non food and leisure appropriate for such a level of disaggregation a demand system is used the quadratic expenditure system which allows for a flexible relationship between full income and commodity expenditures without sacrificing parsimony in parameters demographic data on households are explicitly incorporated into the model allowing for a richer specification than can be achieved by using per capita variables the data are from a cross section survey of households in rural sierra leone price variation exists by region permitting estimation of a complete demand system engel curves are found to be significantly non linear with marginal expenditure on rice the major staple declining with higher income most foods are found to be reasonably price responsive with sizeable own price substitution effects declining with higher income aggregate labor supply is found to be price inelastic

determinants of price elasticities for private labels and national brands of cheese an almost ideal demand system model is developed and used to estimate price elasticities for us cheese sold at retail growing consumption of cheese coupled with fierce competition between private labels and national brands serves as motivating factors for this study per capita consumption of cheese grew by 75 during 1980 2004 and private labels captured a rising share of this growth private labels today account for 35 of market share national brands for the remaining 65 kraft accounts for 45 of national brands but price increases for kraft brands led to a sizeable price gap between its brands and private labels this gap helped to stimulate growth of private labels marketing managers seek to capitalize on both growing cheese sales and price gaps for brands relevant information for marketing managers is consumer sensitivity to price changes this study uses 69 weeks of scanner data with consumers segmented by income levels to derive price elasticities for both lower and higher income consumer

household labour supply with rationing in spain this paper provides new empirical evidence on household labour supply with rationing to that end we use the latest spanish data in order to estimate three flexible functional forms namely the nles the quadratic and the hausman ruud forms and calculate the income and wage elasticities we find that the number of dependants has a negative effect on the labour supply of the female moreover the north and the east spanish regions have a clearly positive effect on the labour supply of the female whilst the north has the same effect on that of the male the elasticities of three functional forms are very similar male labour supply is slightly decreasing with the wage whilst for the female it is increasing leisure is a normal good for both spouses as expected whilst the labour hours are net substitutes

the effects of price aggregation bias in systems of demand equations this article illustrates the importance of maintaining consistent levels of aggregation between prices and quantities when estimating consumer demand functions the impact of violating this condition is quantified by using summary performance measures and estimates of demand elasticity biases results derived from an application of 1972 1973 consumer expenditure survey data and supported with a quasi monte carlo experiment consistently indicate that the point estimates of demand elasticities are significantly biased thus the study indicates the importance of developing and maintaining price indexes disaggregated to the same level as the expenditure data in consumer expenditure and budget surveys

demographic effects in demand analysis estimation of the quadratic expenditure system using microdata the purpose of this paper is to estimate a complete theoretically plausible system of demand equations on microdata using the rich detail of these data to investigate the impact of demographic variables on demand behavior the system which we estimate is the quadratic expenditure system qes introduced by howe pollak and wales we evaluate four methods for incorporating demographic variables into the demand system three of these procedures imply parameter restrictions while the fourth does not tests on the restrictions imply that for our data unrestricted estimation yields significantly greater explanatory power

sustainable and integrated bioenergy assessment for latin america caribbean and africa sibyl lacaf the path from feasibility to acceptability abstract uncertainties in evaluating bioenergy projects have lead policymakers to adopt a restrictive approach or even refuse to evaluate projects when the available information is limited or a clear perception of its benefits and impact is lacking indeed despite its potential advantages a bioenergy system poses several conceptual and operational challenges for academic as well as practical scrutiny because the inherent relationship and the intersection of areas related to energy production and agricultural activity requires a deeply integrated assessment the aim of this paper is to review the available works in this field and propose an approach for supporting policymakers in the taking decision process of deploying sustainable bioenergy systems the sibyl lacaf framework provides a comprehensive framework for addressing the inherent complexity of the subject and its sustainability and acceptability as part of the evaluation process with this approach different and complementary evaluation methods are reviewed and set in a logical and sequential structure to draw a group of indicators used for assessing a given project with the help of a strengths weaknesses opportunities and threats swot matrix when acceptability is identified as an issue a public consultation and communication pc c scheme can complement this process the suggested application for mozambique indicate that an acceptable outcome is possible even when considering the data requirements and constraints of developing countries thus the potential of this integrated approach outweighs such limitations

market structure and the price of housing services while many aspects of housing markets have been extensively analysed little empirical work has been undertaken on the supply of housing services despite this dearth of information many researchers have characterised the supply of housing as being competitive it is the intent of this article therefore to open up the discussion of the supply of housing services and to examine the extent of sellers market concentration over a set of multifamily rental housing submarkets new data on sellers concentration are presented a model to determine the effect of non competitive firm behaviour on the price of housing services is specified and estimated results support the hypothesis that the supply of housing services may not be perfectly competitive

forecasting fuel ethanol consumption in brazil by time series models 2006 2012 this article analysed scenarios for brazilian consumption of ethanol for the period 2006 to 2012 the results show that if the country s gdp sustains a 4 6 a year growth domestic consumption of fuel ethanol could increase to 25 16 billion liters in this period which is a volume relatively close to the forecasted gasoline consumption of 31 billion liters at a lower gdp growth of 1 22 a year gasoline consumption would be reduced and domestic ethanol consumption in brazil would be no higher than 18 32 billion liters contrary to the current situation forecasts indicated that hydrated ethanol consumption could become much higher than anhydrous consumption in brazil the former is being consumed in cars moved exclusively by ethanol and flex fuel cars successfully introduced in the country at 2003 flex cars allow brazilian consumers to choose between gasoline and hydrated ethanol and immediately switch to whichever fuel presents the most favourable relative price

horizontal equity income taxation and self selection with an application to income tax credits abstract this paper investigates the relationship between utilitarianism and horizontal equity in models of income taxation in particular and self selection in general an example involving well behaved individual preferences is constructed in which a maximization of a utilitarian social welfare function leads via income taxation to horizontal inequities sufficient conditions for utilitarianism to bring horizontal equity are derived the results are applied to the question of whether income tax credits are an appropriate way to treat differences in family size

is there curvature in the slutsky matrix d o the poor substitute among commodities more flexibly than the rich when relative prices change even when compensated for the income effects of the price changes is it necessary to add a third dimension to the slutsky substitution matrix to identify household income in short do the terms of the slutsky elasticity matrix curve smoothly from poor households to rich households in such a way that equation 1 is meaningful

theory and estimation in the economics of housing demand the main purpose of this paper is to review recent theoretical and empirical developments in the economics of housing demand in particular we ask what is known concerning the permanent income elasticity of housing demand vis a vis the current or measured income elasticity what is known concerning price elasticities what is the appropriate functional form for housing demand equations what is the role of demographic variables what is known concerning dynamic aspects of housing demand what appear to be the major sources of bias in existing estimates of demand equations

engel curves for fair trade consumption and development perspectives for producers evidence from data on real fairtrade purchases while fairtrade sales have exhibited two digit growth rates over recent decades their capacity to become large enough to generate substantial gains for producers is still uncertain estimating fai

food expenditures and household demographic composition in the us a demand systems approach food expenditures and subsistence quantities of poverty status and non poverty status us households are analysed within a linear expenditure system that postulates subsistence quantities to be linear combinations of demographic variables using the us bureau of labor statistics 1992 consumer expenditure survey and detailed monthly consumer price indices this article obtains expenditure elasticities own price elasticities and subsistence quantities for each income group across nine broadly aggregated food commodity groups elasticity estimates and subsistence quantity estimates differ across income groups supporting the premise that policies targeted at specific income groups should be based on the target group s elasticity estimates rather than average population elasticities parameter estimates are then used to simulate how subsistence quantities and own price elasticities can be expected to vary according to the demographic composition of the household within a specific income group

a trigonometric flexible consumer demand system this paper proposes the first ever empirical specification of a trigonometric demand system the new model is potentially useful because of some attractive features it is flexible amenable to exact aggregation over consumers possessed of trigonometric engel curves which can oscillate and able to have an unusually large regular region with comparisons between the new model and two other popular models an illustration is given for japanese demand for non durables and services the new model shows relatively gentle engel curves with an inflection point on each of them which seem reasonable given that aggregate expenditure is used in parameter estimation jel classification c51 d12 un systeme trigonometrique flexible de demande des consommateurs ce memoire propose une premiere specification empirique d un systeme de demande trigonometrique le nouveau modele est potentiellement utile a cause de certaines caracteristiques interessantes il est flexible se prete a l agregation exacte des consommateurs donne lieu a des courbes d engels trigonometriques qui peuvent osciller et couvrir une region reguliere singulierement vaste a partir de comparaisons entre le nouveau modele et deux autres modeles populaires on illustre ces avantages dans le cas de la demande japonaise pour les biens non durables et les services le nouveau modele revele des courbes d engels relativement douces avec un point d inflexion en chacune d elle ce qui semble raisonnable compte tenu du fait que la depense agregee est utilisee dans la calibration des parametres

local governments in kind transfers and economic inequality abstract we examine how in kind transfers provided by local governments affect economic inequality the allocation of in kind transfers to households and the adjustment for differences in needs are derived from a model of local government spending behavior the model distinguishes between fixed and variable costs in production as well as mandatory programmatic spending components versus discretionary spending on different service sectors and target groups to estimate the model we combine norwegian data from municipal accounts and administrative registers for the period 1982 2013 we find that economic inequality is considerably lower when taking in kind transfers into account while the poor benefit from receiving a relatively large share of public services the equalizing effect of in kind transfers tends to be smaller than the equalizing contribution from public cash transfers when examining the time trends in inequality we find that local governments attenuated the growth in cash income inequality by re allocating in kind transfers to low income families this reduction in inequality is mostly due to changes in spending priorities across service sectors and target groups while the contribution from re allocation of resources across municipalities is much smaller

the household s decision to accept or reject a conditional transfer offer households deemed by society to have insufficient resources to purchase an adequate commodity bundle are often offered aid i e additional resources conditional upon the households purchasing a given level of some commodity e g food fuel or housing such conditional transfers attempt to modify the households normal behavior i e if the households would normally purchase the required level of the designated commodity upon receipt of the transfer the constraint would not be necessary how these incentives and constraints interact to affect the households behavior determines in large part the number and type of eligibles aided by the program aggregate program costs given payment levels and the types of commodity bundles purchased by the recipient households clearly understanding the decision to accept or reject a conditional transfer offer has widespread implications for the costs of the transfer program the impact on eligible households and the attainment of society s objectives numerous studies have investigated the size and distribution of recipient benefits in conditional transfer programs 1 3 6 8 9 14 16 21 to this author s knowledge however no analysis has estimated a model of the household s decision to participate in a conditional transfer program using household data and a theoretically appropriate measure for the household s net gain to overcome this gap in our understanding of the household s

estimation of complete demand systems from household budget data the linear and quadratic expenditure systems in this paper we explore two issues in empirical demand analysis the estimation of complete systems of demand equations using household budget data section i and the incorporation of demographic characteristics into such systems section ii although there are numerous studies which use time series data to estimate complete demand systems and many which estimate engel curves from household budget data there are virtually none which combine budget data from different periods to estimate complete systems since each budget study corresponds to a single price situation one might conjecture that estimation of complete systems would not be possible unless budget studies were available from a large number of periods this is incorrect in section i we argue that interesting complete demand systems can be estimated from a small number of budget studies despite the limited price variability represented in such data to demonstrate this we use budget study data for two periods to estimate a pair of related demand systems the familiar linear expenditure system les and a quadratic expenditure system qes a generalization of les in which the demand equations are quadratic in total expenditure the inclusion of demographic variables in the analysis of household consumption patterns is desirable because there are likely to be systematic differences in the consumption behavior of households with different demographic characteristics but the effects of demographic characteristics have seldom been studied within the framework of complete demand systems in section ii we propose translating as a general method for incorporating demographic variables into complete systems of demand equations this method has not previously been discussed as a general technique for bringing demographic variables into demand systems although it has been employed in several studies to improve the estimates of the les and the qes presented in section i we reestimate these two systems using translating to incorporate family size

participation behavior and distributional consequences under a multiple constrained housing program abstract a distinguishing feature of supply side housing subsidy programs is that potential participants must jointly accept the multiple constraints imposed by the programs in order to get the subsidy this paper investigates how information about this feature and the characteristics of the participants can be used to model the conditional probability of participation and to determine the sources of equity inequity in the distribution of benefit from such programs the benefit is explicitly estimated in terms of the hicksian consumer surplus measure using data from the section 8 new construction program among other findings it is shown that the probability of participation is a positive function of the perceived benefit but a negative function of the participants income

what do we learn about consumer demand patterns from micro data the aim of this paper is to assess the importance of using micro level data in the econometric analysis of consumer demand to do this we utilize a time series of repeated cross sections covering some 4 000 households in each of 15 years employing a number of different aggregation procedures we conclude that aggregate data alone are unlikely to produce reliable estimates of structural price and income coefficients however once certain aggregation factors as well as trend and seasonal components are included an aggregate model is not necessarily outperformed across all demand equations in terms of forecasting ability jel d12 c52 c31 the purpose of this paper is to develop a complete consumer demand system based on a time series of individual household data and to use it to measure the biases introduced into the study of consumer de mand behavior when aggregate data are used in place of the appropriate microeco nomic data we assess the suitability of ag gregate data through the impact on income and price elasticities and by evaluating the ability of both micro and aggregate based models to forecast aggregate consumer de mand the biases introduced by the use of aggregate data depend upon the way that household characteristics interact with in come and price effects and on departures of demand systems from linearity we explore the structure of microeconomic demand sys tems and the role of household characteris tics in the behavior of consumer demand both for the light this may shed on the pattern of future demands and for the im plications this behavior has for issues of aggregation consumer demand patterns typically found in micro data sets vary considerably across households with different household characteristics and with different levels of income we model this variability by making intercept and slope parameters in the budget share equations of our demand sys tem depend on household characteristics and by allowing for nonlinear total log expenditure terms in fact in theory consistent demand systems it is total ex penditure rather than disposable income that is allocated across goods we find that this general framework leads to a well specified data coherent demand system which is a quadratic extension of the popu lar almost ideal model of angus s deaton and john muellbauer 1980 the micro level estimates are shown to be sensitive to the treatment of endogeneity of total expen diture and to the specification of interaction terms with household characteristics in ad dition this specification is also shown to possess many attractive features for the evaluation of aggregate models

the efficiency of housing search previous research in the housing market has largely focused on housing market outcomes e g the quantity of housing services demanded or supplied or the determination of equilibrium prices scant attention has been directed at the processes producing these outcomes recently economists have developed models of buyer and seller search processes in housing markets 6 22 but almost no empirical testing of these models has been done the importance of search in economic markets has been discussed by lippman and mccall 15 the difficulties encountered by deterministic theories of economic markets in explaining different prices for identical commodities and persistent positive levels of unemployed resources are overcome when search is introduced search may be of even greater importance in housing markets than in most other economic markets housing generally accounts for the largest item of consumption for most households for homeowners housing is usually the household s largest asset housing is a heterogeneous commodity that is traded in highly decentralized markets 2 the costs of moving can be substantial reducing the gains from relocation the consumption of housing also involves externalities that add to the heterogeneity of the consumption bundle finally recent theoretical work by courant 6 suggests that the rational search behavior of households facing discrimination in housing markets might act to perpetuate adverse market conditions facing such households given the importance of housing as a consumption commodity and as an asset and the above characteristics of housing and housing markets previous descriptive examinations

aggregate behavior and microdata abstract it is shown how one can effectively use microdata in modelling the change over time in an aggregate e g mean consumption expenditure of a large and heterogeneous population the starting point of our aggregation analysis is a specification of explanatory variables on the micro level typically some of these explanatory variables are observable and others are unobservable based on certain hypotheses on the evolution over time of the joint distributions across the population of these explanatory variables we derive a decomposition of the change in the aggregate which allows a partial analysis to isolate and to quantify the effect of a change in the observable explanatory variables this analysis does not require an explicit treatment of the unobservable variables

equivalence scales horizontal equity and optimal taxation under utilitarianism abstract this paper analyzes the question of how differences in family size should be treated by the income tax system in order to achieve horizontal equity family size is incorporated into the demand system by the procedure of demographic scaling horizontal equity is defined as equal treatment of equals it is shown that when lump sum taxes are not available and the government has to rely on income taxation then the only way to entail equal utilities for household of different size is to equate the labor supplies and the per standard adult consumptions of these households

price and income elasticities of residential energy demand in germany we apply a quadratic expenditure system to estimate price and expenditure elasticities of residential energy demand electricity and heating in germany using official expenditure data from 1993 to 2008 we estimate an expenditure elasticity for electricity of 0 3988 and of 0 4055 for space heating the own price elasticity for electricity is 0 4310 and 0 5008 in the case of space heating disaggregation of households by expenditure and demographic composition reveals that the behavioural response to energy price changes is weaker stronger for low income top income households there are considerable economies of scale in residential energy use but scale effects are not well approximated by the new oedc equivalence scale real increases in energy prices show a regressive pattern of incidence implying that the welfare consequences of direct energy taxation are larger for low income households the application of zero elasticities in assessments of welfare consequences of energy taxation strongly underestimates potential welfare effects the increase in inequality is 22 smaller when compared to the application of rich and disaggregated behavioural response patterns as estimated in this paper