union coverage and profitability among u s firms this paper utilizes unique survey data on labor union coverage at the firm level to examine union effects on the profitability of 705 u s companies during the 1970s market value and earnings are estimated to be about 10 15 percent lower in an average unionized company than in a nonunion company following extensive control for firm and industry characteristics deleterious union effects on firm profitability are sizable throughout the 1972 80 period but vary considerably across industries the relatively poor profit performance of unionized companies may help explain the recent decline in u s union membership the author thanks the w e upjohn institute for employment research for financial support elizabeth gregory for assistance with the union coverage survey zvi griliches for providing access to the rd donald deere terry seaks and anonymous referees for helpful suggestions and seminar participants at connecticut florida state harvard texas a m and william and mary for comments on earlier versions of this research

inequality and the dynamics of public opinion the self reinforcing link between economic inequality and mass preferences this article assesses the influence of income inequality on the public s policy mood recent work has produced divergent perspectives on the relationship between inequality public opinion and government redistribution one group of scholars suggests that unequal representation of different income groups reproduces inequality as politicians respond to the preferences of the rich another group of scholars pays relatively little attention to distributional outcomes but shows that government is generally just as responsive to the poor as to the rich utilizing theoretical insights from comparative political economy and time series data from 1952 to 2006 supplemented with cross sectional analysis where appropriate we show that economic inequality is in fact self reinforcing but that this is fully consistent with the idea that government tends to respond equally to rich and poor in its policy enactments

in search of smoking guns what makes income inequality vary over time in different countries we investigate the forces affecting the distribution of income by analyzing an unbalanced panel of information for 16 industrialized countries for the years 1966 through 1994 income inequality is measured with the gini coefficient of equivalent disposable income individuals are the unit of analysis the statistical analysis uses panel methods the results suggest that many factors affect the development of income inequality some factors are strictly economic a decreased industrial sector generally fosters inequality and some support is found for the view that increased trade of manufactured goods from developing countries is also a factor other forces are outside a strictly defined market sphere low inequality is found when a large proportion of the labor force belongs to a trade union and also when there is a large public sector in addition demographic circumstances are important since the proportion of the population under age 15 has a positive effect on inequality we find however no association between the unemployment rate and inequality

globalization and the great u turn income inequality trends in 16 oecd countries the debate on the resurgence of income inequality in some advanced industrial societies has often focused on the impact of an increasingly integrated world economy typified by growing capital mobility heightened international competition and an increase in migration this study represents one of the first systematic cross national examinations of the role of globalization in the inequality u turn results indicate on the one hand that total inequality variation is principally affected by the percentage of the labor force in agriculture followed by the institutional factors union density and decommodification and only then by globalization on the other hand longitudinal variation in inequality while still dominated by the percentage of the labor force in agriculture is also principally affected by aspects of globalization such as southern import penetration and direct investment outflow and to a lesser extent by migration in other words globalization explains the longitudinal trend of inc

the transition to the knowledge economy labor market institutions and income inequality in advanced democracies the transition from fordism to the knowledge economy in the world s advanced democracies was underpinned by the revolution in information and communications technology ict the introduction and rapid diffusion of ict pushed up wages for college educated workers with complementary skills and allowed top managers and ceos to reap greater rewards for their own talents despite these common pressures income inequality did not rise to the same extent everywhere income in the anglo saxon countries remains particularly unequally distributed to shed new light on this puzzle the authors carry out a panel data analysis of eighteen oecd countries between 1970 and 2007 their analysis stands apart from the existing empirical literature by taking a comparative perspective the article examines the extent to which the relationship between the knowledge economy and income inequality is influenced by national labor market institutions the authors find that the expansion of knowledge employment is positively associated with both the 90 10 wage ratio and the income share of the top 1 percent but that these effects are mitigated by the presence of strong labor market institutions such as coordinated wage bargaining strict employment protection legislation high union density and high collective bargaining coverage the authors provide robust evidence against the argument that industrial relations systems are no longer important safeguards of wage solidarity in the knowledge economy

the long run determinants of inequality what can we learn from top income data this paper studies determinants of income inequality using a newly assembled panel of 16 countries over the entire twentieth century we focus on three groups of income earners the rich p99 100

distribution and redistribution in postindustrial democracies this paper analyzes the processes of distribution and redistribution in post industrial democracies we combine a pooled time series data base on welfare state effort and its determinants assembled by huber ragin and stephens 1997 with data on income distribution assembled in the luxembourg income survey lis archive in the case of the lis data we re calculate the micro data in order to remove the distorting influence of pensioners on pre tax pre transfer income distribution we examine the determinants of three dependent variables pre tax pre transfer income inequality post tax post transfer income inequality and the proportional reduction in inequality from pre to post tax and transfer inequality we hypothesized that pre tax pre transfer income inequality would be determined by labor market institutions union density bargaining centralization labor market conditions unemployment and economic structures post industrialism third world imports we hypothesized that the reduction in inequality would be determined by political configurations directly by left government and indirectly via their effect on welfare state generosity by left government and christian democratic government post tax and transfer income inequality was hypothesized to be a product of the combination of labor market variables and political variables the results broadly confirms our hypotheses and the overall fit is very good

a life course trajectory framework for understanding the intracohort pattern of wage inequality much research has been devoted to cross sectional and intercohort patterns of wage inequality but relatively little is known about the mechanisms for the intracohort pattern of wage inequality to fill this intellectual gap this article establishes a life course trajectory lct framework for understanding the intracohort pattern of wage inequality first the author proposes and conceptualizes three essential properties of the lct framework random variability trajectory heterogeneity and cumulative advantage that are used to establish a mathematical formalization of the lct framework both the conceptualization and the formalization imply that intracohort wage inequality will increase over the life course due to random variability trajectory heterogeneity and cumulative advantage finally the author combines the lct framework with the multilevel growth curve model then applies the model to data from the nlsy79 and finds support for the significance of random variability trajectory heterogenei

the rise of the super rich power resources taxes financial markets and the dynamics of the top 1 percent 1949 to 2008 the income share of the super rich in the united states has grown rapidly since the early 1980s after a period of postwar stability what factors drove this change in this study we investigate the institutional policy and economic shifts that may explain rising income concentration we use single equation error correction models to estimate the long and short run effects of politics policy and economic factors on pretax top income shares between 1949 and 2008 we find that the rise of the super rich is the result of rightward shifts in congress the decline of labor unions lower tax rates on high incomes increased trade openness and asset bubbles in stock and real estate markets

compensation benchmarking leapfrogs and the surge in executive pay scholars frequently argue whether the sharp rise in chief executive officer ceo pay in recent years is efficient or is a consequence of rent extraction because of the failure of corporate governance in individual firms this article argues that governance failure must be conceptualized at the market rather than the firm level because excessive pay increases for even relatively few ceos a year spread to other firms through the cognitively and rhetorically constructed compensation networks of peer groups which are used in the benchmarking process to negotiate the compensation of ceos counterfactual simulation based on standard and poor s execucomp data demonstrates that the effects of ceo leapfrogging potentially explain a considerable fraction of the overall upward movement of executive compensation since the early 1990s

inequality leverage and crises theory and evidence revisited rajan points to rising income inequality as a root cause of the recent financial crisis through high household leverage the rajan hypothesis has ignited debate over the relationship between inequality leverage and crises kumhof ranciere and winant prove the validity of this hypothesis with a theoretical formulation but empirical studies provide mixed evidence using different samples and estimators to clarify this controversy we re examine the issue by using the same data as in the literature and provide additional evidence after taking into account the role of asset bubbles and policy interventions our regression is based on a new tractable theoretical model that is supported by key stylised facts and all our analyses confirm the existence of the inequality leverage crisis nexus

union strength neoliberalism and inequality contingent political analyses of u s income differences since 1950 do historically contingent political accounts help explain the growth in family income inequality in the united states we use time series regressions based on 60 years to detect such relationships

social class and income inequality in the united states ownership authority and personal income distribution from 1980 to 2010 this study outlines a theory of social class based on workplace ownership and authority relations and it investigates the link between social class and growth in personal income inequality since the 1980s inequality trends are governed by changes in between class income differences changes in the relative size of different classes and changes in within class income dispersion data from the general social survey are used to investigate each of these changes in turn and to evaluate their impact on growth in inequality at the population level results indicate that between class income differences grew by about 60 since the 1980s and that the relative size of different classes remained fairly stable a formal decomposition analysis indicates that changes in the relative size of different social classes had a small dampening effect and that growth in between class income differences had a large inflationary effect on trends in personal income inequality

income inequality in the united states 1913 1998 this paper presents new homogeneous series on top shares of income and wages from 1913 to 1998 in the united states using individual tax returns data top income and wages shares display a u shaped pattern over the century our series suggest that the large shocks that capital owners experienced during the great depression and world war ii have had a permanent effect on top capital incomes we argue that steep progressive income and estate taxation may have prevented large fortunes from fully recovering from these shocks top wage shares were flat before world war ii dropped precipitously during the war and did not start to recover before the late 1960s but are now higher than before world war ii as a result the working rich have replaced the rentiers at the top of the income distribution

fiscal policy and class income inequality the distributional consequences of governmental revenues and expenditures in the united states 1949 1976 despite the vast expansion in governmental spending during the post second world war era few researchers have sought to analyze the income distributional consequences of state fiscal policies the present research initially elaborates three abstract perspectives on the state and on united states budgetary practices then using factor share income as a proxy for broad class groupings this research provides a time series regression analysis of the impact of state expenditures and revenue extraction on the distribution of income in the united states for the years 1949 1976 results suggest that governmental revenue policies have had a procapital bias while state expenditures have tended to favor labor relative to capital the net impact of these contradictory tendencies has left the market based income distribution relatively unchanged despite the sizeable growth of the public sector during the period under study

human capital risk contract enforcement and the macroeconomy we use data from the survey of consumer finance and survey of income program participation to show that young households with children are under insured against the risk that an adult member of the household dies we develop a tractable macroeconomic model with human capital risk age dependent returns to human capital investment and endogenous borrowing constraints due to the limited pledgeability of human capital limited contract enforcement we show analytically that consistent with the life insurance data in equilibrium young households are borrowing constrained and under insured against human capital risk a calibrated version of the model can quantitatively account for the life cycle variation of life insurance holdings financial wealth earnings and consumption inequality observed in the us data our analysis implies that a reform that makes consumer bankruptcy more costly like the bankruptcy abuse prevention and consumer protection act of 2005 leads to a substantial increase in the volume of both credit and insurance

social democracy christian democracy constitutional structure and the welfare state the literature on the determinants of welfare state effort displays many inconsistencies and contradictins this article takes imoprtant stepts toward resolving these issues with the use of pooled

when unionization disappears state level unionization and working poverty in the united states although the working poor are a much larger population than the unemployed poor u s poverty research devotes much more attention to joblessness than to working poverty research that does exist o

back rooms or ballot boxes candidate nomination in argentina how political parties select their candidates for public office profoundly affects the types of people who are elected as well as how these people behave in office this selection process also provides important insights on how parties function internally and on where political power is located within a country only a few comparative studies of nomination procedures exist and none explain why some parties at some points in time select candidates via direct primaries and others do not the authors analyze an original data set of 610 district level nomination processes for the biennial argentine chamber of deputies elections held between 1983 and 2001 they conclude that several specific institutional and partisan features have a prominent effect on the probability that a political party will choose its candidates at the ballot box direct primary rather than in a smoke filled back room elite arrangement

do taxes matter lessons from the 1980 s the response of the economy to two major although in important respects offsetting tax reforms has been much smaller than ardent supply side revolutionaries expected thus suggesting that a reassessment of the grounds for revolt is in order this paper offers such a reassessment by first discussing how the evidence from the tax reforms of 1981 and 1986 reflects on our understanding of the response to taxation with particular reference to savings and capital gains realizations i then reconstruct a 1992 view about how taxes affect behavior a unifying theme is that the tax system does much more than alter the relative prices of real variables it also provides incentives to misreport income restructure financial claims time transactions change the legal form of organization and so on for this reason observed low tax elasticities of real variables may be due to either low elasticities of substitution or the fact that tax policy changes opportunity sets in complex ways disentangling these explanations requires an emphasis on the transaction based nature of the tax system and the administration and enforcement of tax laws this abstract was borrowed from another version of this item

money supply class power and inflation monetarism reassessed recent sociological work shows that pro market neoliberal policies across advanced capitalist countries are due to distributional struggle between classes in the 1970s and 1980s the orthodox monetarist view alternatively sees neoliberal reform as a nonpolitical attempt to end the stagflation crisis of the 1970s from this perspective monetary and fiscal expansions brought high inflation and central bank discipline and government austerity is the solution but the recent trend of low inflation despite accelerating money growth and government spending contradicts this view analyses of time series cross section data for 23 oecd countries from 1960 to 2009 support the thesis that the rise and fall of inflation is more about distribution of power between labor and capital than about monetary and fiscal discipline inflation in the 1970s originated from a strong working class and hurt capital more than it did workers while neoliberal repression of workers power has kept inflation low from the 1980s onwa

politics institutions and welfare spending in industrialized democracies 1960 82 electoral turnout as well as left and center governments increase welfare effort that the welfare efforts of governments led by particular types of parties show significant differences and vary notably with the strength of oppositional and junior coalitional parties and that relatively neocorporatist centralized and traditionalistic polities are high on welfare effort overall our findings suggest that contrary to many claims both partisan and nonpartisan facets of democratic politics and political institutions shape contemporary social welfare effort

income distribution in the united states political action has affected postwar income distribution in the united states mainly through policy induced variations in macroeconomic activity and government transfer benefits in proportion to total income we present a small dynamic model of the connections among the partisan balance of power macroeconomic fluctuations transfer spending trends and income distribution outcomes the model is based on the premise that the parties have different distributional goals and it is designed to identify how shifts in party control of the presidency and the strength of the parties in congress have affected the distribution of after tax after transfer income by influencing cyclical economic performance and the flow of resources to transfer programs we therefore extend the partisan theory of macroeconomic policy to the domain of income distribution outcomes

top incomes in the long run of history a recent literature has constructed top income shares time series over the long run for more than twenty countries using income tax statistics top incomes represent a small share of the population but a very significant share of total income and total taxes paid hence aggregate economic growth per capita and gini inequality indexes are sensitive to excluding or including top incomes we discuss the estimation methods and issues that arise when constructing top income share series including income definition and comparability over time and across countries tax avoidance and tax evasion we provide a summary of the key empirical findings most countries experience a dramatic drop in top income shares in the first part of the twentieth century in general due to shocks to top capital incomes during the wars and depression shocks top income shares do not recover in the immediate postwar decades however over the last thirty years top income shares have increased substantially in english speaking countries and in india and china but not in continental european countries or japan this increase is due in part to an unprecedented surge in top wage incomes as a result wage income comprises a larger fraction of top incomes than in the past finally we discuss the theoretical and empirical models that have been proposed to account for the facts and the main questions that remain open

taking time seriously dramatic world change has stimulated interest in research questions about the dynamics of politics we have seen increases in the number of time series data sets and the length of typical time series but three shortcomings are prevalent in published time series analysis first analysts often estimate models without testing restrictions implied by their specification second researchers link the theoretical concept of equilibrium with cointegration and error correction models third analysts often do a poor job of interpreting results the consequences include weak connections between theory and tests biased estimates and incorrect inferences we outline techniques for estimating linear dynamic regressions with stationary data and weakly exogenous regressors we recommend analysts 1 start with general dynamic models and test restrictions before adopting a particular specification and 2 use the wide array of information available from dynamic specifications we illustrate this strategy with data on congressional approval and tax rates across oecd countries

optimal taxation and optimal tax systems the theory of optimal taxation has for the pas two decades been the reigning normative approach of taxation this paper argues that in its current state optimal tax theory is incomplete as a guide to action concerning many critical issues in tax policy it is incomplete because it has not yet come to terms with taxation as a system of coercively collecting revenues from individuals who will tend to resist the coercive nature of collection taxes implies that the resource cost of implementing a tax system have been and will continue to be a critical determinant of appropriate tax policy the paper first presents the three cornerstone propositions of optimal tax theory and then it discusses the influence of these propositions on recent tax policy developments it concludes by sketching an alternative to optimal taxation called the theory of optimal tax systems which embraces the insights of optimal taxation but also considers the technology of raising taxes and the constraints placed upon tax policy by that technology the optimal tax systems perspective is shown to shed light on the choice of tax instruments the problem of tax evasion and the appropriate tax treatment of capital income this abstract was borrowed from another version of this item

taxation income redistribution and debt dynamics in a seven equation model of the business cycle abstract in this paper we investigate the economic dynamics of a seven equation model of the business cycle the main distinctive features of the model are related to a the role played by the public sector in redeploying income between workers and capitalists since it is assumed that the bargaining power of the two classes affects tax rates and transfers levied upon them b the influence that past events have on the agents current behavior with particular regard to consumption patterns c the specification of firms investment function which incorporate keynesian and harrodian elements by assuming that investments are a function of both the difference between interest and profit rate and the discrepancy between actual and desired capital to output ratio since all these assumptions imply possible balance sheets disequilibrium particular regard is dedicated to the analysis of macroagents debt dynamics special emphasis is placed on the analysis of the destabilization of equilibria via hopf bifurcations which leads to the emergence of an interesting and rich cyclical dynamics

macroeconomic structure and labor s share of income united states 1950 to 1980 we test several hypotheses derived fr om marxist crisis theories regarding the impact of macroeconomic performance on the distribution of income between labor and capital in the united states during the period 1950 to 1980 using annual data on compensation profits and employment we estimate the short term effects of cyclical variations in unemployment inflation growth and capacity utilization on labor s income share with an additive decomposition of labor s income share we then estimate the extent to which the observed effects can be attributed to changes in compensation output and employment we find little support for the hypothesis that tight labor markets increase labor s income share by increasing the bargaining position of labor the hypothesis that labor compensation lags behind profits over the business cycle is supported our results therefore favor the realization failure rather than the reserve army theory of cyclical crisis

the kuznets curve and the great u turn income inequality in u s counties 1970 to 1990 the authors examine the determinants of inequality in the distribution of family income in approximately 3 100 counties of the united states in 1970 1980 and 1990 such a study provides a window on global trends in social inequality during the period which spans the tail end of the kuznets curve and the more recent upswing in income inequality results from random effects regression models that control for unmeasured heterogeneity among states reveal the continued importance of the kuznetsian pattern of declining inequality with economic development a positive effect of urbanization on inequality a declining positive impact of sector dualism an increasing positive effect of educational heterogeneity and a persistent effect of racial dualism several variables associated with the recent upswing in inequality have significant effects female labor force participation negative female headed households positive percent of the population over age 65 changes from positive to negative over the period manufacturing employment negative and unemployment ambiguous they also discuss methods of estimating the gini coefficient for income inequality at the county level and measures of sector farm nonfarm dualism racial black white dualism and educational heterogeneity

determinants of relative poverty in advanced capitalist democracies using relative poverty measures based on micro level data from the luxembourg income study in conjunction with pooled time series data for 14 advanced capitalist democracies between 1970 and 1997 the authors analyze separately the rate of pretax transfer poverty and the reduction in poverty achieved by systems of taxes and transfers socioeconomic factors including de industrialization and unemployment largely explain pre tax transfer poverty rates of the working age population in these advanced capitalist democracies the extent of redistribution measured as poverty reduction via taxes and transfers is explained directly by welfare state generosity and constitutional structure number of veto points and the strength of the political left both in unions and in government

political choice public policy and distributional outcomes i address the functioning of the u s governing system by analyzing distributional outcomes from 1947 to 2000 the key question is whether public policy influences distributional outcomes the macropolitics model and power resource theory suggest that left policies should equalize the distribution of income i utilize single equation error correction models to assess the impact of policy on income inequality through two mechanisms market conditioning and redistribution since nearly every government action influences markets in some way i examine policy in the aggregate rather than focusing only on policies explicitly designed to redistribute income the analysis indicates that policy influences inequality through both mechanisms with left policy producing more equality the results are consistent with power resource theory and strongly support the macropolitics model furthermore i find that market conditioning is as important as and works in tandem with explicit redistribution

a more efficient estimate of the effects of macroeconomic activity on the distribution of income the effects of unemployment and inflation on quintile shares of family income in the united states are estimated by means of generalized least squares inflation is found to have a significant progressive impact on the distribution of income the results also lend support to earlier findings regarding the regressive effects of unemployment copyright 1994 by mit press

good times bad times postwar labor s share of national income in capitalist democracies this article returns to a classic question of political economy the zero sum conflict between capital and labor over the division of the national income pie a detailed description of labor s shar

millionaire migration and taxation of the elite evidence from administrative data a growing number of u s states have adopted millionaire taxes on top income earners this increases the progressivity of state tax systems but it raises concerns about tax flight elites migrating from high tax to low tax states draining state revenues and undermining redistributive social policies are top income earners transitory millionaires searching for lower tax places to live or are they embedded elites who are reluctant to migrate away from places where they have been highly successful this question is central to understanding the social consequences of progressive taxation we draw on administrative tax returns for all million dollar income earners in the united states over 13 years tracking the states from which millionaires file their taxes our dataset contains 45 million tax records and provides census scale panel data on top income earners we advance two core analyses 1 state to state migration of millionaires over the long term and 2 a sharply focused discontinuity anal