the cost of pollution on longevity welfare and economic stability this paper presents an overlapping generations model where pollution private and public health expenditures are all determinants of longevity public expenditures financed through labour taxation provide both public health and abatement we study the role of these three components of longevity on welfare and economic stability at the steady state we show that an appropriate fiscal policy may enhance welfare however when pollution is heavily harmful for longevity the economy might experience aggregate instability or endogenous cycles nonetheless a fiscal policy which raises the share of public spending devoted to health may display stabilizing virtues and rule out cycles this allows us to recommend the design of the public policy that may comply with the dynamic and welfare objectives

natural resources national income and economic growth in africa abstract because standard measures of aggregate income such as gross domestic product gdp do not account for natural resource depletion their use as gauges of economic performance tends to exaggerate the benefits of resource extraction accounting for natural resource depletion in 18 african countries indicates different patterns of growth than those suggested by gdp figures use of the revised measures in analyses of the link between exports and growth suggests that export expansion may generate increases in measured gdp without stimulating increased production in contrast real exchange rate alignment is correlated with growth in both conventional gdp and the revised accounts

pollution abatement and balanced growth the analysis of endogenous growth models with pollution often concentrates on steady state trajectories under the assumption that the steady state is in some sense stable in the present note we provide examples showing that this issue should be dealt with carefully we use the rebelo ak model augmented with a stock of pollutants causing a negative externality it is found that optimal growth is not necessarily balanced contrary to the outcome of the standard rebelo model moreover the existence of the externality may affect long run optimal growth rates

capital markets and urban unemployment in this paper we investigate conditions under which reductions in distortions in one market improve national welfare despite the presence of distortions in another market the specific distortions we study are a differential between capital rentals and a rigid urban wage we also introduce a diagrammatic technique which may find use in the analysis of other problems

endogenous growth and the possibility of eliminating pollution abstract this paper studies the effect on optimal growth of the possibility that at some moment in the future a technology is discovered that eliminates pollution we formalize this possibility as a probability p per unit of time of discovering such a technology we focus on steady state behavior and show that the optimal rate of growth increases with the hope of eliminating pollution for an economy where there is no growth in the steady state of the optimal trajectory when p 0 a positive p may imply positive growth the higher the value of the probability the larger the endogenous rate of growth

the effects of taxation price control and government contracts in oligopoly and monopolistic competition abstract many government contracts with or policies towards oligopolistic sectors essentially involve private firms selling a given proportion or quantity of output to the government at a fixed price p r with the remainder being sold on the open market often this is combined with consumer rationing examples include cement and sugar in india and health housing and defence in many countries the paper investigates the effects of these schemes including sales and excise taxation on prices output and household welfare under oligopoly and monopolistic competition less government control reduced may raise prices and tax shifting can be above or below 100 percent

pollution control and the ramsey problem pollution is an inevitable by product of production and is only gradually dissolved by the environment it can be reduced by producing less and by cleaning up the environment but neither occur when they are left to the market cleaning activities and the optimal emission charges increase with the stock of pollutants when one allows for pollution of the environment in the classical ramsey problem the capital stock is less than in the market outcome and a fortiori less than under the golden rule the analysis distinguishes between stock and flow externalities arising from pollution an increase in impatience can lead to more capital accumulation even though this leaves less room for current consumption

household production and environmental kuznets curves examining the desirability and feasibility of substitution this paper provides a theoretical explanation for the widely debatedempirical finding of environmental kuznets curves i e u shaped relationships between per capita income and indicators of environmentalquality we present a household production model in which the degradationof environmental quality is a by product of household activities householdscan not directly purchase environmental quality but can reduce degradation by substituting more expensive cleaner inputs to production for less costlydirty inputs if environmental quality is a normal good one expectssubstitution towards the less polluting inputs so that increases in incomewill increase the quality of the environment it is shown that this onlyholds for middle income households poorer households spend all income on dirty inputs when they buy more as income rises the pollution also rises they do not want to substitute as this would reduce consumption ofnon environmental services for environmental amenities that are alreadyabundant thus as income rises from low to middle levels a u shape can result yet an n shape might eventually result as richer households spend all income on clean inputs further substitution possibilities are exhausted thus as income rises again pollution rises and environmental quality falls

interrupted work careers depreciation and restoration of human capital the quantitative effects and even the existence of a human capital depreciation phenomenon have been a subject of controversy in the recent literature prior work however was largely cross sectional and the longitudinal dimension if any was retrospective using longitudinal panel data on married women in nls we have now established that real wages at reentry are indeed lower than at the point of labor force withdrawal and the decline in wages is greater the longer the interruption another striking finding is a relatively rapid growth in wages after the return to work this rapid growth appears to reflect the restoration or repair of previously eroded human capital the phenomenon of depreciation and restoration is also visible in data for immigrants to the united states however while immigrants eventually catch up with and often surpass natives returnees from the nonmarket do not fully restore their earnings potential

wages experience and seniority in this paper we study the sources of wage growth we identify the contribution to such growth of general sector specific and firm specific human capital our results are interpretable within the context of a model where the returns to human capital may be heterogeneous and where firms may offer different combinations of entry level wages and firm specific human capital development we allow for the possibility that wages are match specific and that workers move jobs as a result of identifying a better match to estimate the average returns to experience sector tenure and firm specific tenure within this context we develop an identification strategy which relies on the use of firm closures our data source is a new and unique administrative data set for germany that includes complete work histories as well as individual characteristics we find positive returns to experience and firm tenure for skilled workers the returns to experience for unskilled workers are small and insignificant after 2 years of experience their returns to sector tenure are also zero however their returns to firm tenure are substantial in this paper we study the growth of wages of young workers in germany knowing the extent and reasons for individual wage growth over the life cycle is important for a number of areas in economics just to mention two examples first it is a key element to understanding and designing active labour market programmes many such programmes offer temporary and often subsidized work opportunities examples are the new deal in the u k and the swedish programmes as well as a number of programmes in germany these programmes are based on the assumption that general skills are sufficiently enhanced while working so as to render the workers employable without a wage subsidy thus the success of these programmes depends on how skills improve on the job for the target population and whether this skill enhancement is transferable across jobs second it is a key to understanding the benefits and costs of job mobility this in turn matters for a number of policy issues including the design of pension policies relating for example to final salary schemes as a result of this widespread interest a large body of empirical research has focused on obtaining estimates for the returns of experience and seniority 1 our study uses a new and unique administrative data set with a number of features that are important for our analysis and allow us to avoid many problems encountered in earlier work in this field in our model wages grow due to learning by doing which may be heterogeneous across individuals moreover since firms offer different career profiles and because we allow for match specific effects on wages investments take the form of searching for the firm with the most desirable learning by doing characteristics career structure 2

decomposing learning by doing in new plants the paper examines learning by doing in the context of a production function in which the other arguments are labor human capital physical capital and vintage as a proxy for embodied technical c

information order and knowledge in economic and ecological systems implications for material and energy use abstract ecological and economic systems are open systems that require energy to change the thermodynamic states of materials from naturally occurring to more valued forms these changes are accompanied by information flows and changes in the order of systems and their surroundings in this paper thermodynamics is used to assess these system changes and relate them to the knowledge present in a system particular emphasis is given to 1 the fundamental relationships among material energy and information flows and changes in order and knowledge 2 the role of equilibrium and non equilibrium thermodynamics in assessing system change 3 the increasing role of material and energy flows through economic systems and 4 the necessity for improved societal valuation of these flows

a positive theory of environmental quality regulation this paper demonstrates that environmental quality regulation may enhance producer wealth while simultaneously reducing an externality problem by restricting access to common property regulation not only corrects a resource misallocation but it creates a scarcity rent as well in the recent history of environmental quality the common access problem has been addressed by federal and state agencies through a standards based approach rather than through the enforcement of tradable property rights as a consequence rents from the right to use these assets have accrued to producers the data are convincing that there is a strong interplay between producers consumers and the victims of pollution each party has some influence on the outcome and one sided analysis neglects many important aspects of regulation environmental quality regulation is complicated but many of the observed perplexities are consistent with a rent seeking self interest theory of government 46 references 1 figure 7 tables

trade policies and welfare in a harris todaro economy in many developing countries rising unemployment is often attributed to increases in foreign imports triggered by declining foreign prices of imports to correct the chronic unemployment problem some developing countries chose an import substitution strategy by shutting off imports whereas others adopted an outward oriented policy by promoting exports north american free trade agreement nafta was favored by mexico but opposed by organized labor in this country because it was feared that nafta may increase unemployment in the u s which of these policies is more effective in reducing unemployment and raising domestic income protection has been ardently supported as a practical cure for unemployment in chile and argentina and many other ldcs in latin america similarly india adopted import substitution strategies behind high protection and a considerable bias against exports 1 the literature has also justified the use of tariffs for small countries under uncertainty and unemployment 10 9 but in general protection distorts the trade pattern and magnify the extent of the leontief paradox by limiting imports of capital intensive products into these developing countries that suffer from high labor unemployment 7 in the literature there have been two types of models that analyze trade problems in the presence of unemployment the generalized unemployment models have been developed by brecher 5 6 and batra and seth 3 2 in these models wage rigidity is ubiquitous and unemployment exists in all sectors and they are appropriate to analyze the impact of trade policies on unemployment in developed economies the harris todaro ht hereafter model 13 on the other hand assumes sector specific wage rigidity and permits unemployment only in the urban sector thus the ht model is appropriate for investigating the impacts of trade policies of ldcs that suffer

learning by doing and investment in training a synthesis of two rival models of the life cycle this paper provides a theoretical synthesis of recent discussions of learning by doing and investment in training as alternative forms of human capital accumulation these theoretical notions relate to essentially different phenomena in particular pace becker and mincer investment in training does not completely encompass learning by doing the paper then develops a model in which human capital accumulation occurs via both training and learning by doing the joint training learning model since it is more general then pure models in which all accumulation occurs via either training or learning avoids certain restrictive and seemingly implausible implications of either kind of pure model however the joint model also has implications that while compatible with stylized facts about the life cycle are sharper than those of either kind of pure model for example the joint model implies that market time and earnings must rise early in the life cycle while neither pure model without corners does so finally the notion of learning by doing provides a rationale for an empirical finding that has recently received attention to the effect that the rate of depreciation of human capital is not constant but rather depends on the extent to which it is used in market activities

committee assignments constituent preferences and campaign contributions committee assignments constituent preferences and campaign constributions the familiar economic model of regulation as developed by stigler 1971 peltzman 1976 and becker 1983 posits an essentially frictionless market process for regulatory policy formation in which a single regulator legislator chooses policy to maximize net support from competing groups in this paper we extend the supply side of this model by considering the effect of legislative institutions and unorganized constituent preferences on the ability of incumbents in the house of representatives to serve specific interest groups we then test this formulation by examining the recent history of interest group campaign contributions to these legislators our theoretical model concentrates on how a legislator allocates time between serving specific interest groups outside his district and serving his constituency we do not model interest group decisions directly assuming simply that they purchase their desired amount of service from the lowest cost suppliers our model sorts legislators by the supply price at which they can serve a particular group this price depends on the preferences of the voters in the legislators district and the productivity of the legislator in producing policy service for each group 1 the empirical section tests the model by examining the pattern of interest group campaign contributions to house incumbents from 1978 through 1984 our regression analysis tends to confirm both implications of the theory first the pattern of campaign contributions from specific interest groups to legislators is shaped by the division of substantive legislative and regulatory jurisdictions represented by the system of house standing committees second voter preferences influence the pattern of contributions by affecting the supply price at which a legislator can offer policy to interest groups legislators with sympathetic or indifferent constituencies are able to offer a lower price and are therefore able to attract larger sums than those with hostile constituencies these results are important for two reasons first the influence of congressional institutions such as committees on policy is not widely accepted while several studies faith levins and tollison 1982 weingast and moran 1983 weingast 1984 grier 1989 and robert 1990 have documented the effects of changes in a particular committee on policies under its jurisdiction this work considers the jurisdiction of only a single committee in each case 2 by examining the linkages between congressional committees and political action committees pacs we investigate whether interest groups act as if committees have power second while the chicago model of regulation emphasizes correctly in our view that policy is the result of vote maximizing calculations and the incremental balancing nature of any equilibrium the model is imprecise about which sets of preferences are most important in determining the levels of policy or the size of changes in policies focusing on committees promotes a parsimonious specification of both the political players members of the relevant committee rather than the entire congress and the pivotal voters committee members constituencies more than the nation determining specific policy outcomes the paper is organized as follows section i reviews some issues on the nature and sources of committee influence in the u s congress the second section incorporates committee assignments into a theory of decision making by interest group investors sections iii and iv describe our data and estimation technique and present the empirical results the fifth and final section discusses some implications and conclusions of this research i committee power in congress legislators differ substantively by virtue of their committee assignments committees in congress and particularly in the house of representatives possess disproportionate power over the policy areas in their respective jurisdictions have the right to hold hearings and recommend budget allocations for the bureaus in their jurisdiction goodwin 1970

sustainable endogenous growth model of multiple regions reconciling or and economic perspectives abstract by combining the two sector endogenous growth model and the dynamic game of remediation utilization activities we propose a theoretical framework to investigate conflict in the sustainable growth path of multiple regions we analyze the effects of two types of activities that differ in externalities on other regions stock of natural resources in the case of inclusive remediation with a positive externality the region that moves firstly will pass all the remediation responsibility to the other region and enjoy faster growth however in the case of exclusive utilization with a negative externality both regions will experience the same growth rate because each region could adopt exclusive utilization and reduce the stock of common resources available to the other region in the next period which result in a symmetric equilibrium we also find that regions have a stronger incentive to implement exclusive utilization than inclusive remediation although exclusive utilization seems fair to regions it may deteriorate the social welfare because regions may fall into a prisoner s dilemma by using exclusive utilization three extensions of the model i e increasing number of regions asymmetric regions and knowledge as a public capital good are provided

the rybczynski theorem in the three factor two good model abstract this paper proves that if each factor is normal in the three factor two good model the expansion of a factor endowment always increases at constant commodity prices the output of the commodity which uses the expending factor most intensively

money and endogenous growth the ramsey romer model of endogenous growth is extended to allow for holdings of real money balances and government debt as well as capital and for non interconnected generations of households tax financed increases in government consumption and debt depress growth prospects and boost inflation as long as a positive birth rate ensures that future taxes are shouldered by future yet unborn generations debt financed increases in government consumption depress growth and boost inflation even more money financed increases in government consumption depress growth less but increase inflation by more giving subsidies through an increase in monetary growth is non neutral since this increases real growth and thus inflation increases by a lesser amount than monetary growth bond financed increases in monetary growth lead to a larger increase in real growth and a smaller increase in inflation if there are cost adjustment for investment cuts in monetary growth and increases in government debt and government consumption induce an increase in the real interest rate copyright 1994 by ohio state university press

a theoretical basis for the environmental kuznets curve abstract this paper attempts to explain the environmental kuznets curve ekc or inverted u shaped relationship between income and environmental degradation in the framework of endogenous growth model considering a closed economy one part of capital is used for commodity production which generates pollution that degrades existing environment and the remaining part is used for abating pollution i e upgrading environment sufficient abatement activity improves restores environmental quality a sufficient abatement activity associated with commodity production could only lead optimally towards steady state the ratio of allocation of capital between two sectors production and abatement is fixed along the optimal path but it varies along the non optimal path that exists in the off steady state in the economy allocation of capital for abatement activity varies over time thus a change from insufficient to sufficient allocation of capital i e investment for abatement activity is the basis for an inverted u shaped relationship between environmental quality and economic growth

a pareto comparison of ad valorem and unit taxes in noncompetitive environments abstract a literature that began with wicksell 1896 has shown that an ad valorem tax is welfare superior to an equal yield unit tax in both monopoly and oligopoly markets this paper proves a stronger result for any unit tax imposed on a monopoly there exists an ad valorem tax that pareto dominates it that produces larger profit tax revenue and consumer surplus the paper then considers whether this pareto result generalizes to all cournot nash oligopolies the paper shows that pareto dominance holds in such markets whenever the tax level exceeds a critical value that depends on various market parameters

the effects of interrupted schooling on wages data from the national longitudinal survey of youth reveal that 35 percent of white men who leave school between 1979 and 1988 return to school by 1989 this paper examines the wage effects of these nontraditional enrollment patterns i estimate a wage model which allows individuals to follow a different wage path before and after their reenrollment and an alternative model which does not account for school and work discontinuities i find that young men who delay their schooling receive wage boosts that are smaller than those received by their continuously schooled counterparts wage models that fail to account for delayed schooling tend to understate the returns to schooling received prior to the start of the career

urban rural structural adjustment urban unemployment with traded and non traded goods abstract this paper extends the harris todaro model to include non traded goods and to analyze structural adjustment in ldcs we assume that the urban region produces two goods a manufactured good and an urban non traded good and the rural region also produces two commodities an agricultural and a rural non traded good our results reveal an asymmetry in the behaviour of the urban and rural regions in response to parametric changes or external shocks the effects of such changes on the endogenous urban variables are completely determinate however the responses of the endogenous variables in the rural region are ambiguous a deterioration in the terms of trade increases the relative price of the urban non traded good and increases its output at the expense of the urban traded good thus structural adjustment in urban and rural areas may be in opposite directions non regional models of structural adjustment ignore the possibility of having opposite effects in the urban and rural areas our results also provide a generalization of the dutch disease type phenomenon to a model with migration and unemployment

effective climate policies in a dynamic north south model abstract the paper develops a two region endogenous growth model with climate change affecting the countries capital stocks negatively we compare two different policies aimed at supporting less developed countries climate mitigation by developed countries which moderates the increase in stock pollution and hence capital depreciation and income transfers in the tradition of development aid under a mild set of assumptions we find that active climate policies are more efficient for developed economies and also remarkably better for developing countries than additional development aid the main reason is the difference between the two policies with respect to their effects on economic growth the results are robust with respect to possible model extensions

technical progress terms of trade and welfare under variable returns to scale the implications of variable returns to scale vrs have been extensively studied by trade theorists e g batra 1968 jones 1968 kemp and negishi 1970 and eaton and panagariya 1979 it is however notable that virtually no efforts have been made to examine the welfare implications of growth for an open economy in the presence of vrs the only exception is a recent study by eaton and panagariya 1982 they derived sufficient conditions for growth rising either from factor accumulation or technical progress to improve the welfare of a small country characterized by vrs 1 the purpose of this paper is to analyse the welfare implications of economic growth identified specifically with hicks neutral technical progress for a small as well as a large country in the presence of vrs we obtain several alternative sufficient conditions for growth to be welfare increasing in addition the effects of growth on the terms of trade in the case of a large country as well as the effect of technical progress in both countries on the terms of trade are examined

the comparison between ad valorem and specific taxation under imperfect competition abstract this paper compares ad valorem and specific taxation in two models of oligopoly with and without free entry predominantly ad valorem taxation implies a relatively low consumer price high tax revenue and when entry is precluded low profits ad valorem taxation dominates specific taxation from the welfare perspective the set of circumstances under which with free entry specific taxation raises welfare is a strict subset of that in which ad valorem taxation is welfare improving and in both models the maximisation of consumer welfare subject to a binding revenue constraint requires maximum reliance on ad valorem taxation

an analysis of rural urban migration and protection in this paper a harris todaro migration model is developed with the urban manufacturing sector supplying a crucial input for the rural sector capital is region specific but flows freely between two urban sectors final goods are traded and have exogenously fixed prices if this economy imposes a tariff on the import competing manufacturing sector employment might go down even if the protected sector is labour intensive the paper describes how intersectoral linkages can play a significant role in determining the employment effects of a tariff summary in fre excerpt

free entry and social inefficiency our goal is to provide a simple yet general exposition of the conditions under which the number of entrants in a free entry equilibrium is excessive insufficient or optimal our analysis compares the number of firms that enter a market when there is free entry with the number that would be desired by a social planner who is unable to control the behavior of firms once they are in the market that is we consider the second best problem of choosing the welfare maximizing number of firms while we take as given their noncompetitive behavior after entry we demonstrate that the crucial conditions for establishing the presence of an entry bias can be stated quite simply in terms of the outcome of the postentry game played by entrants in contrast to previous work we do not need to model this postentry game explicitly

equilibrium number of firms and economic welfare in a spatial price discrimination model abstract we examine welfare implications of the equilibrium number of entering firms in a spatial price discrimination model in contrast to salop salop s 1979 monopolistic competition with outside goods bell journal of economics 10 141 156 the equilibrium number of firms can be either excessive or insufficient from the normative viewpoint

variable returns to scale urban unemployment and welfare the proposition that free trade is superior to no trade has a classical ancestry adam smith and ricardo were amongst the first proponents of free trade samuelson 26 proved and it is held by economists today that free trade is the optimal policy in the presence of standard paretoconditions it is also generally agreed amongst economists that lower trade intervention is superior to higher trade intervention given competitive conditions in a small country these propositions do not hold however in the presence of factor market imperfections such as wage differentials in a small country and therefore production or wage subsidies improves social welfare the two models which are generally used to investigate the positive as well as normative aspects of trade theory in the presence of unemployment are the uniform real minimum wage model which is based on the assumption of general rigidity of real wage in one or two sectors of production and the sector specific minimum wage model which focuses on the phenomenon of rural urban migration in the face of large scale urban unemployment these two models are commonly utilized by trade theorists to analyze trade and unemployment specifically studies by haberler 13 johnson 16 batra and seth 3 findlay 12 and brecher 6 7 investigate the consequences of rigid factor prices for a small country whereas the normative as well as positive aspects of sector specific unemployment have been explored by harris and todaro 15 bhagwati and srinivasan 4 5 and more recently by batra and naqvi 2 das 10 and kahn 19 it has been correctly observed that the introduction of an exogenously specified real minimum wage among other things generates unorthodox results concerning unemployment and gains from trade a large body of research has also been concerned with the welfare implications of different commercial policies in the context of variable returns to scale kemp and negishi 20 have pointed out the beneficial effects of trade in the presence of variable returns to scale production subsidy and consumption taxes eaton and panagariya 11 have analyzed the question of gains from trade in the presence of variable returns to scale and in the context of pareto welfare criterion whereas choi and yu 8 have examined the welfare implications of tariffs and consumption taxes as well as the welfare rankings of these policies under variable returns to scale while panagariya and succar 25 have modified the necessary and sufficient conditions for stability under increasing returns to scale in urban sector

wage subsidies and distortionary taxes in a mobile capital harris todaro model in prescribing policy to eliminate or mitigate the effects of labour market distortions some form of wage subsidy is usually among the highest ranking options rarely is the source of revenues for these subsidies treated as an explicit issue this omission has special significance for the harris todaro h t model of the labour market since the policy most frequently recommended whether capital is sector specific or intersectorally mobile is an across the board wage subsidy 2 this effectively eliminates the possibility of taxing one subset of sectors rather than subsidizing its complement an option often favoured by those theorists who concern themselves with revenue considerations the next section of this paper sets forth the model of a small open h t economy with mobile capital that is the basis for this analysis section ii re examines three wage subsidies on manufacturing wages on agricultural wages or on both sectors assuming that resources for the subsidies are raised by an across the board tax on profits this is in the tradition of cordenfindlay and we replicate their results though stating them in more precise form so that we might have a standard for later comparison the subsequent sections examine the effects of these subsidies on unemployment and resource allocation if they are financed by a tax on profits in the manufacturing sector section iii or by import tariffs section iv owing to the second best nature of the h t model it will be demonstrated that taxes normally considered distortionary in their own right can be superior to an across the board tax if revenues are constrained and can be very useful instruments if it is the variety of policy tools that is limited section v concludes with a ranking of the various subsidy tax packages

taxation and welfare in an oligopoly with strategic commitment this paper establishes comparative statics results for an oligopoly model with strategic commitment firms compete in two stages in the first stage firms decide on strategic cost reducing r d investment whereas they choose output in the second stage taking an excise tax subsidy as a shift parameter in the second stage game the short run as well as long run effects on output cost reducing r d investment and second best welfare will be examined the crucial role played by the strategic substitutability of outputs as well as cost reducing r d investments is clarified and a variant of the le chatelier samuelson principle in the authors game theoretic model is obtained copyright 1992 by economics department of the university of pennsylvania and the osaka university institute of social and economic research association

factor intensities and factor substitution in general equilibrium abstract this article examines how factor intensity rankings between industries and the economy wide asymmetry in the degree of factor substitution combine to influence the manner in which changes in relative commodity prices affect the factoral distribution of income the reciprocal influence of factor endowment changes on the composition of outputs is also discussed the analysis is undertaken in a general three factor two commodity framework the minimal sized model that allows both influences to affect factor prices and admits of the possibility of complementarity between factors factors which are good substitutes find their returns behave somewhat similarly when commodity prices change while factors which are complements experience strongly asymmetrical fortunes a crucial role is played by a comparison of the share of the middle factor in each sector

managing learning resources for consecutive product generations abstract in this paper we study how a firm should allocate its learning resources when it is concurrently producing two consecutive generations of one product we define learning resources as scarce firm specific resources that a firm allocates towards the improvement of the cost quality or timeliness of its existing products and processes we use empirically tested models for demand substitution and learning curves to formulate this problem and we present our results as propositions with regard to the optimal time at which a firm should direct all its learning resources to the newer product generation depending on the substitution rate of the two product generations the learning rate and the level of cross learning results indicate that learning resources should be managed through a firm wide coordination process that will spread rather than concentrate learning resources not in static but in a dynamic way to ensure continued high returns from these learning resources

capital markets urban unemployment and land abstract this paper shows that the remarkable result by khan and naqvi that a reduction in the capital rental differential always improves welfare despite the presence of a rigid urban wage can be obtained only for the 2 2 harris todaro model in an extended harris todaro framework incorporating a third specific factor a decrease in a distortion may not necessarily be welfare improving

oligopolistic competition and economic welfare a general equilibrium analysis of entry regulation and tax subsidy schemes abstract two contributions to the general equilibrium analysis of an oligopolistic economy with free entry are intended first we generalize the excess entry theorem to the effect that a marginal decrease in the number of oligopolistic firms from the free entry equilibrium level improves economic welfare second we explore the pareto improving tax subsidy schemes in an oligopolistic economy several self financing and pareto improving tax subsidy schemes will be identified in contrast with the preceding analysis by atkinson and stiglitz which focused on the long run incidence of corporate taxation we analyse the short run as well as long run welfare implications of various policies under generalized conditions

discount rates natural resources and the measurement of aggregate economic growth in africa abstract over the last decade there has been a growing interest in depreciation of natural capital in national income accounts within this literature there has been limited discussion of the sensitivity of measurement to the choice of discount rate and the effect of using depreciated measures of growth in empirical analyses without attempting to estimate or justify a specific discount rate this paper presents alternative sets of growth data for 18 african countries based on different assumptions of the appropriate discount rate to apply to natural capital the data sets are then used in a statistical test of the causes of economic growth results of the statistical analysis indicate sensitivity to the choice of discount rate

campaign contributions as investments the u s house of representatives 1980 1986 this paper treats the market for special interest campaign contributions and political favors as a simple asset market the model yields a simple equilibrium relationship among three variables the total amount of investor contributions a candidate receives the monetary value of the favors he has promised and his probability of winning using data on open seat races for the u s house of representatives i confront the model with a series of tests despite the starkness of the model the results of these tests are highly supportive

the locational choice for free trade zones rural versus urban options abstract urban and rural areas are compared as appropriate locations for a free trade zone within a developing country suffering from urban unemployment if domestic capital is mobile between the two regions then the rural area is shown to be preferable to the urban area and sufficient conditions for this conclusion are presented this conclusion may be reversed however if capital is sector specific the condition for this reversal is also discussed

urban development excessive entry of firms and wage inequality in developing countries this paper examines the short and long term effects of urbanisation via favourable urban development policies on income distribution and social welfare for a developing country in which the urban manufacturing sector is characterised by imperfect competition and free entry urbanisation shifts rural workers to the highly productive urban sector while causing production in urban firms to expand because of scale economies however urbanisation may worsen wage inequality between skilled and unskilled labour in the short term in the long term urbanisation can attract new firms to the urban sector and favourable urban development policies may result in excessive entry of firms which can amplify wage inequality in the economy this entry amplifying effect is confirmed empirically especially for low and lower middle income countries if the entry effect is not considered the impact of urbanisation on wage inequality could be understated by 13 for low and lower middle income countries

foreign aid economic structure and dependence abstract an inflow of foreign capital leads to structural changes in the economy by lowering the relative price of tradable to non tradable goods it induces a decline of the relative share of tradables in the country s production the effect on consumption shares is less obvious since price and income effects may tend to be offsetting the existence of foreign aid also establishes a dependence of the economy on the outside world estimates of the degree of such dependence through the use of national accounts aggregates would be biased by the afore mentioned effect on relative prices hence specifically estimates of time tends based on the use of current prices may lead to different conclusions from those which employ constant prices for comparison the inferences of this paper are derived in a simple two sector small country model the concreteness and probable relevance of the main propositions are then demonstrated by empirical illustrations

optimal localized production experience and schooling three factors of economic growth i e physical capital accumulation schooling and learning by doing are investigated the special relationship between the first factor and the other two is modeled through adjustment costs in production experience accumulation whenever the production technique changes this generates a nontrivial two state variable control problem necessary and sufficient conditions for optimality are given the steady state and the path to it are unique it is shown that among others technique changes deter whereas learning by doing enhances the speed of convergence to the steady state

a synthesis of the heckscher ohlin and the neoclassical models of international trade a comment abstract batra and casas 1976 have asserted that in the two sector three factor neoclassical model an increase in the supply of one factor at constant commodity prices will increase the output of the commodity using the expanding factor relatively intensively and thereby reduce the output of the other commodity the present note points out that there is a case against their assertion

urban unemployment and the gains from trade a welfare ranking of alternative commercial policies is constructed for the mobile capital harris todaro economy it is sh own that despite the presence of unemployment most noninterventioni st policies suggested by the competitive model of gains from trade ca rry over to the mobile capital harris todaro economy yet in contradi ction to the competitive model it is shown that all forms of trade i ntervention are not detrimental to welfare only those that reduce th e volume of trade are the export promotion policies so copiously fol lowed by developing countries are vindicated but their import substi tution policies are shown to be without justification copyright 1987 by the review of economic studies limited

a note on the stability of the harris todaro model with capital mobility the present note derives the exact stability condition for the harris todaro model with intersectoral capital mobility where land is explicitly included as a third scarce factor in agriculture while the previous study by neary states the difficulty of deriving a clear cut result in such a case this note demonstrates that if capital and land are never technologically substitutes in the agriculture production neary s condition that the urban sector is more capital abundant than the rural sector becomes a sufficient condition for local stability in an important article in this journal neary 1981 considered the stability of the harris todaro model with intersectoral capital mobility among other things neary showed that when relative commodity prices are fixed and capital and labour are subject to constant returns to scale in agriculture an unspecialized equilibrium is dynamically stable if and only if the urban sector is capital abundant relative to the rural sector however in the original work by harris and todaro 1970 the fixed availability of land is included in the agriculture production function hence strictly speaking the stability condition quoted above is not for the original harris todaro model with intersectoral capital mobility on this point neary concluded that the introduction of a third scarcefactor land in agriculture greatly complicates the analysis and makes it impossible to derive simple and clear cut results the present note argues that a definite result can be derived if the normality property of factors of production which was utilized by rader 1968 and suzuki 1985 is assumed

trade liberalization in oligopolistic competition with unemployment a general equilibrium analysis this paper examines the short and long run effects of partial trade liberalization through relaxation of quantity restrictions in an oligopolistically competitive economy with unemployment while the short run effects of the liberalization policy are ambiguous its long run impacts are clear the policy dampens the price of the imported goods raises firms output and reduces the number of firms furthermore the policy lowers the unem ployment ratio and hence improves welfare when the economy suffers from sector specific unemployment whereas the policy may aggravate underemployment and thus may lower welfare for a labour surplus economy

stability of the mobile capital harris todaro model some further results a necessary and sufficient condition for stability is derived for the mobile capital harris todaro model of rural to urban migration in developing countries when land is a scarce factor in agriculture the stability condition when land is ignored that the urban sector comprising manufacturing industry and the urban unemployed be more capital abundant is no longer either necessary or sufficient for stability nevertheless this condition always enhances stability and it is sufficient though not necessary for stability in many circumstances e g when land is separable in production from labour and capital intuitive explanations of these conditions are provided excerpt

growth and welfare in a small open economy the literature on trade and growth provides several examples in which factor augmentation or technical progress can reduce the welfare of an open economy the most famous example of such immiserizing growth is bhagwati s 1958 demonstration that growth that expands the export industry can reduce welfare by causing the terms of trade to deteriorate more recently examples have been provided in which growth due to either factor expansion or technical progress in the presence of domestic distortions can be immiserizing even in a small open economy johnson 1967 for example shows that technical progress in the import competing industry or growth of the factor used intensively in that industry can reduce welfare if the industry is protected by a tariff similarly bhagwati 1969 shows that the presence of factor market distortions also introduces the possibility of immiserizing growth he concludes more generally that growth may be immiserizing in the presence of any of several types of distortions while the possibility of immiserizing growth in the presence of distortions has been recognized little has been said about conditions under which growth is necessarily non beneficial or non harmful the present paper derives sufficient conditions for growth in the form of either factor augmentation or technical progress not to immiserize a small open economy characterized by variable returns to scale vrs production and consumption taxes tariffs and factor market distortions moreover in each case we provide an explicit condition for the effect of growth on welfare when growth takes the form of an infinitesimal increase in a factor supply or improvement in technology 1 our analysis departs from previous treatments of immiserizing growth by considering growth in an m factor n 1 commodity context with non traded goods rather than in the standard two factor two commodity model 2 this generalization allows us to consider for example the welfare effect of growth in the presence of tariffs when not all imports are affected in the same direction 3 we do however provide some additional results for the 2 x 2 case section i sets forth the general model that we use throughout our analysis here we show that under constant returns to scale crs in production and in the absence of commodity or factor market distortions growth cannot immiserize a small open economy while this result is not entirely new the proof provides a useful benchmark for our subsequent analysis section ii introduces vrs in production and considers their implications for the effect of growth on welfare a discussion of these results for the two commodity one factor case follows in section iii here we examine the relationship between factor growth or technical progress and the composition of output in section iv we return to the mr factor n 1 commodity model to analyse the implications of taxes for the relationship between growth and welfare

training and lifetime income this paper challenges the notion that on the job training investments are quantitatively important for workers welfare and argues that on the job training may not increase lifetime income by more than 1 percent i argue that it is very difficult to reconcile the slowdown in wage growth late in a worker s career with optimizing behavior unless the technology for learning on the job is such that it generates very low gains from training the analysis is based on a nonparametric methodology for estimating the learning technology from wage profiles the results are arrived at by comparing the lifetime income when the worker optimally invests in his human capital to the one where he does not make any investments jel e24 j24 j31

tariffs terms of trade unemployment and the real exchange rate the less developed countries ldcs have been subjected to major exogenous shocks and drastic domestic policy changes in recent years these shocks include changes in the terms of trade and or a policy shift away from the pervasive protectionism of the previous decades the implementation of trade liberalization programs is likely to follow in many more developing countries a large body of theoretical and empirical literature has developed which attempts to analyze the consequences of these changes utilizing models which explicitly incorporate the main structural and institutional characteristics of the ldc economies the behavior of the real exchange rate defined in various ways but most commonly as the relative price of tradeables to non tradeables has been identified as being of central analytical and policy importance while the literature on this subject recognizes the key link between the real exchange rate and domestic wages the analytical models used generally suffer from serious limitations in terms of their characterization of the labor markets the models used in the literature can be categorized into two groups a flex price models that give rise to full employment and b models that assume full or partial wage rigidity thereby generating some form of unemployment conventional wisdom suggests that a rise in import tariffs or an improvement in the terms of trade would always lead to an appreciation of the real exchange rate however it is shown by clague 3 and edwards and van wijnbergen 11 that the above result does not necessarily hold in more general models however these analyses were restricted to models with flexible wages wage rigidity is often ascribed to the existence of some form of wage indexation or other forms of government inter

entry barriers and economic welfare the relationship between economic welfare and the number of firms in a quasi cournot market is examined in the first place we presuppose the existence of a strong first best government that can enforce the marginal cost principle to the firms along with regulating the number of firms it is shown that there exist excessive number of firms at the free entry quasicournot equilibrium vis a vis the first best welfare maximizing number of firms the thrust of this result essentially survives even if we replace a utopian first best government by a secondbest government that leaves the firms to pursue their respective profit maximization freely and engages solely in regulating the number of firms it can be shown that the excess entry prevails again in this second best world recent studies in the theoretical industrial organization literature have uncovered several instances which cast serious doubt on the reasonableness of a widespread belief that increasing competition will increase welfare stiglitz 1981 p 184 it has been shown that there are cases which are not altogether unreasonable where social welfare will be increased by strengthening rather than weakening the protection of incumbent firms from the threat of potential entry this is in sharp contrast with the traditional belief 2 what is not known however is how robust these pathologies in fact are we intend to settle this problem by proving two excess entry theorems in the quasi cournot parametric conjectural variations homogeneous oligopoly model seade 1980a b in the first place we presuppose the existence of a strong first best government that could costlessly enforce the marginal cost pricing principle by firms in an oligopolistic market and regulate entry in pursuit of first best social welfare optimization it is shown that the number of firms at the free entry equilibrium exceeds the first best welfare optimizing number of firms the result has already been noted by von weizsacker 1980a b and others in terms of numerical examples our theorem 1 asserts that this phenomenon always holds true for the family of quasi cournot models at hand an implication of this result is that the existence of entry barriers which protect incumbent firms from potential competitors is not necessarily welfare decreasing in sharp contrast with the traditional belief a problem remains with theorem 1 however in that an omnipotent first best government does not exist in reality and the first best ideal is unrealizable in the actual economy therefore even if the intervention by a first best government with a view to restricting the number of firms within an industry may be welfare improving it does

the trade off between gnp and unemployment in a dual economy many developing nations frequently are reluctant to liberalize their domestic markets and or their trade regimes the effect on the distribution of income is a common rationale for avoiding the politically dangerous step of liberalization the costs to the policymaker of getting the prices right are usually associated with a depreciated capital stock specific human and physical capital and transitional unemployment the notion that urban unemployment may rise in the face of policies that one would normally judge helpful is well understood in the dual economy literature corden 6 uses the harristodaro 11 two sector dual economy model to show how an urban wage subsidy may perversely raise urban unemployment khan and chaudhuri 12 generalize this result to n rural sectors ethnic groups finally gang and gangopadhyay 10 show that under certain sets of realistic assumptions choosing a more labor intensive technique of production may aggravate urban unemployment a separate strand of the dual economy literature explores the issue of optimal policies in a dual economy harris and todaro 11 argue that a manufacturing sector wage subsidy combined with restrictions on labor migration are needed to achieve the first best competitive equilibrium in a dual economy characterized by an urban minimum wage bhagwati and srinivasan 4 elegantly demonstrate that a uniform wage subsidy would do the same job bhagwati 3 has also shown that reductions of an only distortion the urban minimum wage here are successively welfare increasing until the distortion is fully eliminated and for the harris todaro model basu 2 shows that the value of aggregate output gnp is a monotonically increasing function of the uniform wage subsidy secondary distortions related to financing the subsidy remain the primary argument against full implementation of the first best optimal wage subsidy 6 152 in this paper i use the harris todaro dual economy model to demonstrate two connected propositions although a large enough application of any first best policy a uniform wage subsidy or devaluation are but two examples must decrease urban unemployment a small one may raise unemployment 2 thus uncertainty about the appropriate sized policy can lead to

tariffs foreign capital and immiserizing growth with urban unemployment and specific factors of production abstract in this note we show that a recent observation of brecher alejandro as regards tariff induced capital inflows essentially extends to a setting with urban unemployment three factors of production and a variety of labor market conditions in the urban sector

final and intermediate goods taxation in an oligopolistic economy with free entry abstract optimal tax rules are analyzed in an oligopolistic economy with free entry the initial market allocation has two types of distortion price is set above marginal cost by the oligopolistic behavior and the advantage of increasing returns to scale is left to be unexploited by excessive entry of oligopolists with production subsidy accompanied by a self financing lump sum franchise tax on oligopolistic firms pareto efficient allocation could be restored without a lump sum tax on oligopolists however the second best optimum requires taxing intermediate inputs used in the oligopolistic industry the optimal intermediate goods taxation follows the production side ramsey rule to encourage the use of intermediate inputs elastic to output level and vice versa

climate change and uneven development in this paper using a theoretical model with endogenous capital depreciation we study the effects of climate change and adaptation on long run development we show that climate change affects economic growth depending on climate exposure and adaptation efficiency which are asymmetric between different countries poor countries are likely to be hurt more because of the negative effects of climate change on the rate of depreciation of the assets that represent the engine of growth these asymmetries generally induce growth deficits and unsustainability traps in less developed economies

relational knowledge transfers an expert must train a novice the novice initially has no cash so he can only pay the expert with the accumulated surplus from his production at any time the novice can leave the relationship with his acquired knowledge and produce on his own the sole reason he does not is the prospect of learning in future periods the pro t maximizing relationship is structured as an apprenticeship in which all production generated during training is used to compensate the expert knowledge transfer takes a simple form in the rst period the expert gifts the novice a positive level of knowledge which is independent of the players discount rate after that the novice s total value of knowledge grows at the players discount rate until all knowledge has been transferred the ine ciencies that arise from this contract are caused by the expert s arti cially slowing down the rate of knowledge transfer rather than by her reducing the total amount of knowledge eventually transferred we show that these ine ciencies are larger the more patient the players are finally we study the impact of knowledge externalities across players

why do low educated workers invest less in further training several studies document that low educated workers participate less often in further training than high educated workers this article investigates two possible explanations low educated workers invest less in training because of 1 the lower economic returns to these investments or 2 their lower willingness to participate in training controlling for unobserved heterogeneity we find that the economic returns to training for low educated workers are positive and not significantly different from those for high educated workers however low educated workers are significantly less willing to participate in training we show that this lesser willingness to train is driven by economic preferences and personality traits

friends in high places the wealth effects of jfk s assassination on the assets of lbj s supporters this paper uses anecdotal evidence to identify a group of firms that had significant ties to president lyndon johnson and determines the effect of johnson s unexpected rise to the presidency on the market value of these firms the unexpected nature of president kennedy s death eliminates the confounding event problem typically associated with election results we are able to identify four separate portfolios of firms that had political ties to lyndon johnson our research suggests that the market expected significant benefits to accrue to these firms as a result of johnson s becoming president

foreign capital inflows and welfare in an economy with imperfect competition abstract this paper examines the resource allocational and welfare effects of exogenous inflows of foreign capital in a general equilibrium model with oligopolistic competition and unemployment although the welfare impact for the short run is ambiguous and dependent upon the strength of excess profits and scale economies relative to unemployment in manufacturing in the long run additional inflows of foreign capital always improve national welfare with capital mobility hence attracting foreign capital remains a sound policy for economies characterized by imperfect competition scale economies and regional unemployment

financial development and the price of services this article explores the links between financial development and the low relative price of services in less developed countries ldcs the empirical phenomenon of services priced lower in ldcs than in developed countries dcs is now quite thoroughly documented in the data gathered by i kravis a heston and r summers in their important work with the united nations international comparison project following r mckinnon and e shaw recent work emphasizes the importance of financial development in successful economic growth 2 we use a simple three sector model with nontraded goods to trace causal connections between financial policies and the structure of relative prices using data on relative prices from the international comparison project study we show that the extent of financial repression is a significant predictor of the spread of relative service goods prices across nations at differing stages of development as well as among ldcs alone the term financial repression describes a set of policies that aim to extract revenue from the financial system and to use the financial system to funnel resources into specific sectors of the economy 3 governments can extract revenue via forced sales of government debt to the banking system this is usually accomplished through a variety of reserve requirements which in many ldcs exceed 50 of deposits 4 interest rate controls on both loan rates and deposit rates are used to channel credit to politically worthy sectors or to specific projects so that the implicit subsidy does not appear on the government s balance sheet rates of monetary growth inconsistent with sta

on the harris todaro model with intersectoral capital mobility n b professor neary was based at trinity college dublin when this article was first published the full text of the article is not available in ora at this time citation neary j p 1981 on the harris todaro model with intersectoral capital mobility economica 48 191 219 234

urban unemployment and non immiserizing growth abstract one purpose of this paper is to show that in the harris todaro economy economic expansion can not be immiserizing another purpose of this paper is to examine the implications of economic expansion for urban unemployment as well as sectoral outputs for the case of non neutral technical change finally it is shown that a damaging property of the harris todaro model that capital accumulation causes unemployment to rise whereas labor growth causes it to fall is at least partially rectified by the incorporation of land as a scarce factor in the agricultural sector

ramsey tax rules for economies with imperfect competition abstract this paper derives optimal commodity tax rules for a general equilibrium model with imperfect competition to achieve this functions are constructed that describe the effects of taxation upon the equilibrium prices and profit levels of imperfectly competitive industries the use of these functions allows existing tax rules to be generalised to accommodate imperfect competition

sector specific minimum wages economic growth and some policy implications abstract economic growth is introduced in the urban unemployment model of harris and todaro it is shown that in the steady state the optimal savings ratio is greater than the golden rule savings ratio under full employment also the optimal proportion of total investment allocated to the urban sector is not necessarily higher than the optimal proportion under full employment

an economic production and remanufacturing model with learning effects abstract managing inventory in reverse logistics has been receiving much attention in recent years one inventory problem that has been of interest to researchers is the production and remanufacturing model where used items are collected and remanufactured to satisfy customer demand the available models in the literature do not discuss the learning effects in production and remanufacturing processes this may not be true in industries where labour costs and learning costs are expensive by modelling these learning effects management may use established learning models to better utilize capacity manage inventories and coordinate production and distribution throughout the chain this paper extends the production remanufacture and waste disposal model by assuming learning to occur in both production and remanufacturing processes however this paper also assumes that improvements due to learning require capital investment mathematical models are developed numerical examples are provided and results are discussed

optimal trade policies for a small open economoy this paper investigates optimal trade policies for a small open economy with unemployment when factor prices are rigid random foreign prices result in random unemployment of resources the ranking of second best policies is investigated if the marginal propensity to consume the importable is positive and nonincreasing in income the optimal composite tariff dominates the optimal target price which in turn dominates the optimal quota copyright 1993 by the london school of economics and political science

urban unemployment international capital mobility and development policy abstract we introduce international capital mobility into the harris todaro model and examine the effectiveness of some policy tools the main message is such that a wage subsidy in manufacturing and a tariff are no longer effective to improve welfare while a wage subsidy in agriculture remains valid under the assumption of international capital mobility this is in sharp contrast to the result obtained for the original harris todaro model

possibility or impossibility of paradoxes in the small country harris todaro framework a unifying analysis abstract in this paper we argue that the harris todaro ht framework sometimes satisfies an envelope property which makes it work like a full employment heckscher ohlin samuelson hos model then the ht structure produces very similar results as one gets in the standard hos framework differences arise because the envelope condition may break down we show how several celebrated results in the ht structure can have this reinterpretation