split award auctions for supplier retention to stay abreast of current supply market pricing it is common for procurement managers to frequently organize auctions among a pool of qualified suppliers the supply base sole awards can alienate losing suppliers and cause them to defect from the supply base to maintain the supply base and thereby control the high costs of finding and qualifying new suppliers buyers often employ split awards which in turn inflate purchase costs this results in a trade off that we investigate in an infinite horizon stationary setting in which the relative cost position of each supplier is randomly drawn in every period we characterize the optimal split award that minimizes long run costs purchasing and qualification and show that maintaining a constant supply base size using a qualify up to policy is optimal for the buyer we find that neither the extent of multisourcing nor the buyer s value of split awards compared with winner take all auctions are monotonic in the qualification cost and that split award auctions can increase ex ante system buyer and supplier benefits simultaneously to our knowledge this is the first paper studying split award auctions for supply base maintenance and it will hopefully galvanize further research on this important topic this paper was accepted by yossi aviv operations management

information competition and markets one of the dominant characteristics of modern capitalist economies is the important role played by competition not the peculiar static form of pure price competition embodied in the arrow debreu model but rather a dynamic competition more akin to the kind of competition represented by sports contests and other races including patent races in recent years there have been several attempts to explain why firms often base the pay of their workers and managers on relative performance see for example edward lazear and sherwin rosen 1981 such compensation schemes become desirable when three conditions are satisfied a the input effort of workers managers must not be directly observable at least without cost thus firms must either expend resources to monitor inputs or devise reward structures in which compensation is a function of variables such as output or profits which are themselves functions of inputs but are less costly to observe b the relationship between input and output must be stochastic so that by observing output one cannot perfectly infer what the input was c finally the stochastic disturbances which affect the relationship between input and output of different firms must be correlated by looking at the performance of one worker relative to that of others one can make better inferences about his effort than one can make without using this information not only can competition provide a basis of comparison which enables the design of reward structures that can simultaneously provide a high level of incentives with relatively low level risk but compensation schemes based on relative performance have the further advantage of automatically adjusting incentives to changes in the economic environment we refer to this as built in flexibility in a first best world with perfect information concerning the nature of the technology but where it is still costly to monitor individuals activities the compensation scheme would vary from time to time as the environment changed such changes in the compensation scheme are costly to implement and the information required to do so is seldom available when a task is easier the individual s rewards for performing the task should be reduced if pay is based on relative performance although all individuals perform better when they exert the same level of effort their compensation is automatically adjusted thus teachers frequently grade on the curve and a significant fraction of the pay of successful salesmen often consists of bonuses based on relative performance

market design the policy uses of theory the use of modern microeconomics in policy is illustrated by the markets for spectrum electricity greenhouse gas reductions defense procurement and treasury bills further examples are antitrust divestiture rules market based redistribution fishery conservation and privatization the limits of the use of theory are also discussed by reference to china s economy wide reforms lessons on the policy use of theory are drawn

towards a sustainable electrification in ghana a review of renewable energy deployment policies abstract ghana has been facing perennial power rationing over the years due to fuel supply challenges the country s energy system is likely to suffer additional strain from rising energy demand fueled by population growth rapid urbanization and economic development fortunately there are enormous renewable energy resources which can provide sustainable electrification as backbone to socioeconomic development while curbing global warming ghana s energy strategy targets 100 access to electricity and 10 share of sustainable power in national generation mix by 2020 despite the existence of numerous policies and a renewable energy act current contribution of non conventional renewable energy to electricity generation is less than 1 the right mix of policies to address the unique domestic conditions and achieve its specific development goals remains insufficient this study reviews the regulatory framework financing incentives and other provisions of ghana s renewable energy act it critically examines the policy s strengths weaknesses opportunities and treats based on comparative analysis and lessons drawn from failed and successful implementation of similar policies around the world the study also assesses the impact of policy on project development it was found that the performance of ghana s renewable energy policy on grid connected electricity has been poor compared to its target the fundamental reasons for this unsatisfactory performance may be attributed to partial implementation of policies lack of market driven support schemes lack of pricing policy framework weak grid network limited access to funds and inconsistencies in renewable energy development strategies this study proposes the following countermeasures i ghana should comprehensively harmonize renewable energy regulatory and fiscal policies with domestic electricity pricing regime ii market driven support schemes should be prioritized for cost effectiveness and minimum governmental influence these reforms can help eliminate some of the major barriers to sustainable electrification in ghana while the lessons provide a learning curve for other african countries

auctioning incentive contracts this paper draws a remarkably simple bridge between auction theory and incentive theory it considers the auctioning of an indivisible project among several fi rms the firms have private information about their future cost at th e bidding stage and the selected firm ex post invests in cost reduct ion the authors show that 1 the optimal auction can be implemented by a dominant strategy auction that uses information about both the first bid and the second bid 2 the winner faces a linear incenti ve contract 3 the fixed transfer to the winner decreases with his announced expected cost and increases with the second lowest announce d expected cost and 4 the share of cost overruns borne by the winn er decreases with the winner s announced expected cost copyright 1987 by university of chicago press

the energy efficiency situation in ghana abstract ghana s electricity sector has long been saddled with challenges regarding supply security and power quality the existing power plants are not able to attain full generation capacity due to fuel supply constraints as well as the uncertainty of rainfall and water inflows into the hydroelectric power plants there has been an imbalance between demand and supply in the country with a shortage of 25 of peak power reported in year 2014 2015 in dealing with the energy crises the focus of the country s energy sector has been on the installation of additional thermal power plants however capacity additions face a number of obstacles such as the requirement for high capital investments timely approvals to build new power plants and there has been increasing inflation problem therefore securing adequate supplies to meet rapidly growing demand remains a challenge at least in the short term coupled with this is the country s electrical appliance market which has been flooded with imports of used low efficiency appliances from overseas as the country achieves middle income status the number of households that can afford major household appliances is expected to increase with the prospect of many consumers buying inefficient appliances thereby unnecessarily burdening the national grid while energy efficiency ee is internationally recognised as a low cost readily available resource that could help improve electricity supply security its implementation in ghana has only recently been given serious attention this paper provides a review of energy efficiency initiatives undertaken by the regulating agencies responsible for energy issues it provides a comprehensive overview of the current energy efficiency status of three household appliances namely refrigerators air conditioners and lighting systems the review indicates that ee measures carried out especially in the replacement of incandescent lamp with compact fluorescent light cfl made significant savings that offset the national electricity peak demand by 200 240 mw

optimal bidding in auctions from a game theory perspective abstract the game theoretic perspective in auction bidding has provided a powerful normative framework for the analysis of auctions and it has generated an impressive volume of research contributions tracing this research we review key recent advances which have greatly expanded our understanding of the operation of auctions and produced a more accurate analysis of mechanism design and optimal bidding we follow various experimental studies which have shown that the predictive power of auction theory remains in many cases limited for this reason we concentrate on research themes which enhance the applicability of auction theory leading to more realistic descriptions of bidding behaviors we identify important innovations which expand the environment of auction bidding and carry us beyond rational decision making we conclude providing directions of future research and discussing their implications

an mcdm analysis of agricultural risk aversion abstract in modelling farm systems it is widely accepted that risk plays a central role furthermore farmers risk aversion determines their decisions in both the short and the long run this paper presents a methodology based on multiple criteria mathematical programming to obtain relative and absolute risk aversion coefficients we rely on multiattribute utility theory to elicit a separable additive multiattribute utility function and estimate the risk aversion coefficients and apply this methodology to an irrigated area of northern spain the results show a wide variety of attitudes to risk among farmers who usually exhibit decreasing absolute risk aversion and constant relative risk aversion

bargaining and regulation with asymmetric information about demand and supply abstract rate regulation is studied as a bargaining process in which consumers and the firm negotiate output and payments under asymmetric information the feasible set of transactions given incentive compatibility and individual rationality constraints is characterized the set of interim incentive efficient mechanisms for the direct revelation game is also characterized sufficient conditions are given for efficient mechanisms to be full information efficient efficient mechanisms are identified which correspond to nonlinear monopoly pricing monosony compensation schedules and the baron myerson regulation model

awarding monopoly franchises the authors analyze how to award a monopoly franchise when the objective is to maximize expected consumers surplus net of transfer payments to the producer potential producers initially possess independent private information about uncertain production costs only the chosen producer subsequently observes realized production costs after awarding the franchise to the producer with the lowest expected costs prices are optimally set above realized marginal cost these ex post distortions foster more competitive bidding ex ante the distortions for any bid cost pair are invariant to the number of bidders n though expected distortions and profits decline with n copyright 1987 by american economic association

the impacts of removing energy subsidies on economy wide rebound effects in china an input output analysis abstract facing with the increasing contradiction of economic growth energy scarcity and environmental deterioration energy conservation and emissions abatement have been ambitious targets for the chinese government improving energy efficiency through technological advancement is a primary measure to achieve these targets however the existence of energy rebound effects may completely or partially offset energy savings associated with technological advancement this paper adopted a modified input output model to estimate the economy wide energy rebound effects across china s economic sectors with the consideration of energy subsidies the empirical results show that the aggregate rebound effect of china is about 1 9 in 2007 2010 thus technological advancement significantly restrains energy consumption increasing removing energy subsidies will cause the aggregate rebound effect declines to 1 53 specifically removing subsidies for coal and nature gas can reduce the rebound effects signifcantly while removing the subsidies for oil products has a small impact on rebound effect the existence of rebound effects implies that technological advancement should be cooperated with energy price reform so as to achieve the energy saving target in addition the government should consider the diversity of economic sectors and energy types when design the reform schedule

the optimal allocation of prizes in contests we study a contest with multiple not necessarily equal prizes contestants have private information about an ability parameter that affects their costs of bidding the contestant with the highest bid wins the first prize the contestant with the second highest bid wins the second prize and so on until all the prizes are allocated all contestants incur their respective costs of bidding the contest s designer maximizes the expected sum of bids our main results are 1 we display bidding equlibria for any number of contestants having linear convex or concave cost functions and for any distribution of abilities 2 if the cost functions are linear or concave then no matter what the distribution of abilities is it is optimal for the designer to allocate the entire prize sum to a single first prize 3 we give a necessary and sufficient conditions ensuring that several prizes are optimal if contestants have a convex cost function

vertical contracting with informational opportunism we consider vertical contracting arrangements between a manufacturer and a retailing network when retailers have private information and the organization is run through bilateral contracts we highlight a new form of informational opportunism arising when the manufacturer manipulates information learned separately in each relationship we characterize the set of allocations robust to such opportunism by means of simple ex post incentive compatibility constraints those constraints limit the manufacturer s ability to use yardstick competition among retailers they simplify contracts and restore a rent efficiency trade off even with correlated information we show that sell out contracts are optimal under a wide range of circumstances

coordination in split award auctions we analyze split award procurement auctions in which a buyer divides full production between two suppliers or awards all production to a single supplier and suppliers have private cost information an intriguing feature of split awards is that the equilibrium bids are implicitly coordinated because a split award price is the sum of offered split prices each supplier can unilaterally veto a split award by bidding very high for the split the need to coordinate is reflected in a split price that does not vary with private information we also explore conditions under which split award auctions may be preferred to winner take all auctions

market design with correlated valuations the effects of information on market design are explored in a simple setting where firms have private information about their correlated fixed costs and the government aims to maximize its expected revenue conditional on achieving efficient allocations government revenues are higher when the costs are less correlated or are more of a private value the reduced correlation increases the firms information rents but a change in the information structure also changes the expected market structures with positive effects on government revenues if the government faces the no deficit constraint there are situations where efficient allocations are achieved under asymmetric information but not under symmetric information

repeated auctions of incentive contracts investment and bidding parity with an application to takeovers this article considers a two period model of natural monopoly and second sourcing the incumbent supplier invests in the first period after observing the incumbent s first period performance the buyer may break out in the second period the investment may or may not be transferable to the second source and it may be monetary or take the form of human capital we determine whether the incumbent should be favored at the reprocurement stage and how the slope of his incentive scheme should evolve over time we find that the gains from second sourcing are not so large as one might hope finally we reinterpret the second source as a raider and the breakout as a takeover we discuss the desirability of defensive tactics and obtain a rich set of testable implications concerning the size of managerial stock options the extent of defensive tactics the firm s performance and the probability of a takeover

the economics of renewable energy expansion in rural sub saharan africa accelerating development in sub saharan africa will require massive expansion of access to electricity currently reaching only about one third of households this paper explores how essential economic development might be reconciled with the need to keep carbon emissions in check the authors develop a geographically explicit framework and use spatial modeling and cost estimates from recent engineering studies to determine where stand alone renewable energy generation is a cost effective alternative to centralized grid supply the results suggest that decentralized renewable energy will likely play an important role in expanding rural energy access but it will be the lowest cost option for a minority of households in africa even when likely cost reductions over the next 20 years are considered decentralized renewables are competitive mostly in remote and rural areas while grid connected supply dominates denser areas where the majority of households reside these findings underscore the need to de carbonize the fuel mix for centralized power generation as it expands in africa

households willingness to pay for reliable electricity services in ghana abstract access to reliable electricity is important in increasing the living standards of households and promoting sustainable development however ghanaian households have had to grapple with frequent power outages and poor quality electricity services in recent times this study examines the factors influencing households willingness to pay for reliable electricity services in ghana using data collected from 950 households in the cape coast metropolitan area and the tobit regression technique it was revealed that monthly income prior notice on power outages business ownership separate meter ownership household size and education significantly affect willingness to pay for reliable electricity services on the average households were prepared to pay 44 percent gh 6 80 us 3 42 more relative to the mean monthly electricity bill in the sample to improve electricity services it is envisaged that the findings would be used by policy makers and utility companies to make electricity generation and distribution more sustainable and efficient

multiple sourcing and procurement process selection with bidding events we examine the procurement process selection problem of a large industrial buyer who employs reverse auctions for awarding procurement contracts we contrast two classes of commonly used strategies under multiple sourcing namely single stage reverse auctions and two stage processes where price quantity adjustments between the buyer and the suppliers follow a first stage reverse auction deriving bounds of efficiency for these two classes of procurement processes under convex supplier production costs we present insights on the conditions under which each class is preferable for the buyer considering the effect of contracting and processing costs a single stage process is likely to be preferable to a two stage process when the number of bidding suppliers is high especially when capacity is rigid a two stage process with one information transfer in the second stage may be the preferred procurement mode when production is highly scalable i e when the marginal production cost increase with increased production is small when the number of suppliers is low the effect of a decrease in production scalability depends on the current scalability level for high scalability levels a decrease in production scalability may decrease the efficiency of both single stage and simple two stage processes whereas for low scalability levels it tends to increase efficiency for both of these process classes a decrease in production costs makes employing simple processes more attractive when production is highly scalable or when supplier capacity is rigid for intermediate production scalability however a cost decrease may make employing two stage processes with multiple information transfers in the second round preferable for the buyer

the diagnosis of an electricity crisis and alternative energy development in pakistan abstract the electricity sector in pakistan is currently facing the formidable challenges of an insufficient installed capacity a suboptimal infrastructure circular debt and revenue shortage all of these problems hamper socioeconomic activities this paper diagnoses the overall condition of the electricity sector as well as the potential and recent progress in the implementation of alternative energy projects in the context of the targets set in the national energy security plan nesp the assessment reveals the unsatisfactory overall progress of the implementation of the nesp in general and alternative energy in particular we assess that if the short term measures contained in the nesp have been adequately executed were enough to bridge the existing electricity supply demand gap and the country might not be facing an ongoing electricity crisis further we investigated the specific alternative energy policy issues that hinder this sector s development in pakistan we conclude that fuel diversification by means of the maximum utilisation of alternative energy resources would help in solving the crisis and would also furnish the long term energy needs of the country finally we recommend a comprehensive strategy for revamping the electricity sector and developing the alternative energy resources needed to tackle the ongoing electricity crisis in pakistan

optimal departures from marginal cost pricing focuses on departures from marginal cost pricing optimal allocation or resources level of tax revenue that will be collected by the government theorems developed for resource allocation ebsco

electricity outages in ghana are contingent valuation estimates valid african countries experience persistent and serious energy outages but while multiple valuation studies provide estimates of the costs of electricity outages in high income countries evidence is scarce for lower and middle income countries the few studies that assess the value of reliable energy supply rely on the contingent valuation method that is under wide scrutiny this paper aims to provide new estimates of households willingness to pay to reduce electricity outages for ghana and contributes to the debate on the validity of contingent valuation results for energy reliability our results suggest that households are willing to pay ghs 67 17 per month for reliable electricity supply equivalent to 7 of respondents income the results of tests for hypothetical bias wtp wta disparity and income effects suggest that the contingent valuation estimates from this study are robust and can support decision makers in prioritizing energy policies and investments

a techno economic and environmental assessment of long term energy policies and climate variability impact on the energy system abstract this paper examines the impact of climate variability and change cv c and energy policies on the future energy system in australia scenarios were developed to represent cv c impacts and policy options which were analysed with the long range energy alternative and planning system for the period 2010 2050 the results indicate that although energy demand is likely to increase threefold in the business as usual scenario cv c further increases demand to 150 petajoule a combined policy option involving modal shift and penetration of electric and hydrogen fuel cell vehicles results in a 49 53 decrease in transport fuel demand and emissions the economic analysis reveals a substantial decline in sales revenue and increase in generation costs due to cv c impacts higher renewable energy integration results in lower wholesale electricity prices across independent electricity markets cumulative cost benefit analysis indicates that economic benefits increase to us 4 9 trillion in an advanced renewable energy scenario emissions and energy consumed increased under climatic conditions but decreased after policy intervention ignoring the influence of cv c may result in underestimation of future energy demand and installed capacity in australia therefore energy and climate policies should consider long term economic benefits over short term system costs

expanding versus greening long term energy and emission transitions in mozambique abstract mozambique is rapidly emerging as one of the leading energy producers in africa we develop a comprehensive scenario analysis to review the energy revolution in mozambique like much of africa mozambique features a competition between development of its vast reserves of renewable energy and fossil fuels we assess the implied energy and emissions transitions as well as the potential impact of a range of sustainable policy options our analysis reveals an emerging energy dichotomy where a spectacular expansion of energy production goes together with an only gradual energy consumption transition we find that over time the share of modern renewable energy sources tends to marginalize in the energy production mix while remaining stable in the energy consumption mix about one third of the ghg emissions associated with energy production can be linked to energy export also we find that sustainable energy policies at the supply side lead to far higher cumulative emission reductions than demand side policies finally we show that even in the long run a complete ban on thermal electricity generation capacity in mozambique would by no means lead to shortages in the domestic electricity market but only slightly limit potential electricity export

the existence of equilibrium in discontinuous economic games ii applications in part i of this study we established two existence theorems for mixed strategy equilibrium in games with discontinuous payoff functions see theorems 4 4 and 5 5 in dasgupta and maskin 1986 hereafter d m 1986 in this second part we use the second of these two theorems to prove the existence of mixed strategy equilibrium in some wellknown discontinuous economic games that fail to have pure strategy equilibria the models we analyse are the bertrand edgeworth example of price setting duopolists with capacity constraints see section 2 2 price competition among firms producing differentiated products hotelling 1929 and d aspremont gabszewicz and thisse 1979 see section 2 3 spatial competition eaton and lipsey 1975 and shaked 1975 see section 3 and models of market dependent information rothschild and stiglitz 1976 and wilson 1977 section 4 the paper concludes section 5 with a classification of these models

optimal combination of energy crops under different policy scenarios the case of northern greece energy crops production is considered as environmentally benign and socially acceptable offering ecological benefits over fossil fuels through their contribution to the reduction of greenhouse gases and acidifying emissions energy crops are subjected to persistent policy support by the eu despite their limited or even marginally negative impact on the greenhouse effect the present study endeavors to optimize the agricultural income generated by energy crops in a remote and disadvantageous region with the assistance of linear programming the optimization concerns the income created from soybean sunflower proxy for energy crop and corn different policy scenarios imposed restrictions on the value of the subsidies as a proxy for eu policy tools the value of inputs costs of capital and labor and different irrigation conditions the results indicate that the area and the imports per energy crop remain unchanged independently of the policy scenario enacted furthermore corn cultivation contributes the most to ifncome maximization whereas the implemented cap policy plays an incremental role in uptaking an energy crop a key implication is that alternative forms of motivation should be provided to the farmers beyond the financial ones in order the extensive use of energy crops to be achieved

split award contracts with investment abstract this paper studies procurement contracts where a buyer can either divide full production among multiple suppliers or award the entire production to a single supplier we examine the effect of using multiple suppliers on investment incentives in a framework of generalized second price auctions with pre auction investment we show that the optimality of split award depends on the socially efficient number of firms at the investment stage when that number is greater than one sole sourcing is buyer optimal when that number is one split award lowers the buyer procurement cost

designing a private industry government auctions with endogenous market structure abstract this paper considers government mechanisms for auctioning production rights in which both the winners and the market structure doupoly dual sourcing monopoly sole sourcing or government owned production are a function of the bids in designing the optimal mechanism the government considers the tradeoffs among consumer surplus producer surplus and revenue under incomplete information doupoly is implemented less frequently and government production more frequently than under complete information when bidders are symmetric the optimal mechanism can be implemented as a modified second price auction applications to privatization deregulation and defense procurement are discussed

income volatility of energy crops the case of rapeseed abstract the adoption of energy crops may generate significant benefits from reduced foreign energy dependence improved rural economies and achieved environmental goals nevertheless important issues arise as these crops are strongly competed by other presumably more standard uses of farmland and their choice will be restrictive unless profit becomes a powerful motive for farmers the abolishment of specific policies supporting first generation biofuels gives rise to the question whether the tactic of bioenergy land use change is just to be abandoned by european farmers the present paper endeavours to evaluate the reduction in income volatility in the case of the rapeseed energy crop a cultivation extensively used in biofuels in the european union employing the concept of entropy the results provide a vague picture regarding the limitations in rapeseed income volatility among the european member states consequently the issue of income uncertainties as a determinant of bioenergy cropland demand has been left pending the innovation of the study lies in the use of entropy concept and the kapetanios and shin unit root test in the case of income volatility for energy crops in the european context the estimation of the random components with the assistance of auto regressive integrated mean average models may provide a tool for confining income uncertainties with the assistance of other policy schemes including insurances within the common agricultural policy

improving electricity supply security in ghana the potential of renewable energy for decades ghana s economy has been fuelled by abundant inexpensive hydropower as a developing economy ghana s electricity demand has long been relatively low though rising in recent times due to increasing economic growth urbanization and industrial activities however the rapid demand growth as well as periodic hydrological shocks leaves the country increasingly reliant on expensive oil and gas based generation power plants with a resultant drain on the national economy the main electricity generation company the volta river authority is not able to generate enough electricity for all the demand sectors the electricity supply demand margins the difference between peak demand and available supply of the country fall short of the recommended engineering practice and thus presents a high supply security risk the country has been experiencing an increase in the frequency of power cuts over the last ten years it is clear that ghana will have to expand and diversify its generation capacity in order to improve supply security this paper provides a review of the assessed potential renewable energy resources their current exploitation status and their potential contribution to the electricity supply of the country the paper also presents the barriers to their utilization and the existing policy and regulatory instruments to overcome those barriers plus the current and expected future impacts of these instruments the results show that ghana has several res such as wind solar pv mini hydro and modern biomass that can be exploited for electricity production while their exploitation for electricity generation is currently very low providing just 0 13 of the country s generation the review shows a great potential for res generation to increase substantially over the next decade looking at the government commitment and legal frameworks that are being put in place

biomass energy production in agriculture a weighted goal programming analysis abstract energy production from biomasses can be an important resource that when combined with other green energies such as wind power and solar plants can contribute to reduce dependency on fossil fuels the aim of this study is to assess how agriculture could contribute to the production of bio energy a multi period weighted goal programming model mpwgp has been applied to identify the optimal land use combinations that simultaneously maximise farmers income and biomass energy production under three concurrent constraints water labour and soil availability alternative scenarios are considered that take into account the effect of climate change and social change the mpwgp model was tested with data from the rovigo county area italy over a 15 year time period our findings show that trade off exists between the two optimisation targets considered although the optimisation of the first target requires traditional agricultural crops which are characterised by high revenue and a low production of biomass energy the latter would be achievable with intensive wood production namely high energy production and low income our results also show the importance of the constraints imposed particularly water availability water scarcity has an overall negative effect and specifically affects the level of energy production

strategic procurement openness and market structure abstract we examine strategic procurement behaviour by governments and its effect on market structure in sectors such as defence and pharmaceuticals where the government is the dominant consumer in a world economy with trade between producer countries and between producers and non producers we use a modified dixit stiglitz utility function with an independent taste for variety there is free entry and exit by firms but by anticipating their participation constraint governments can indirectly choose the number of domestic firms and their size through its choice of procurement price unlike the standard model with no independent taste for variety and no external sector of non producer countries there are incentives for subsidies openness impacts on industrial structure and procurement coordination between producer countries affects firm numbers

techno economic and environmental analysis of power generation expansion plan of ghana this paper examines the current electrical generation expansion plan of ghana and compares it with proposed expansion pathways with higher penetration of renewable energy technologies an adaptation of schwartz s scenario methodology was used to develop the scenarios which were then analysed using the long range alternatives planning leap model each of the scenarios represents policy options for generation expansion in ghana up to 2040 energy economic and environmental analysis of the three alternative scenarios compared to the base scenarios was undertaken sensitivity results show that if the country were to follow the generation expansion path described in the renewable energy scenarios it could reap economic benefits of 0 5 13 23 depending on the developments in fuel prices and renewable technology capital cost the analysis further quantifies benefits to be derived from a reduction in greenhouse gases of the scenarios policy implications for the generation system of ghana based on the results are also discussed

deregulation and quality abstract this paper analyses within a static model the effect of quality concern on optimal market structure it focuses on cases where industry quality has public good like features and is not contractible it is shown that the introduction of competition raises a free rider problem which depresses quality the smaller producer free rides on its competitor investment which as a result underinvests to encourage the efficient producer to provide quality the regulator diminishes the market share of the opportunistic producer and chooses more often a monopoly however when quality is verifiable the introduction of competition entails no welfare loss whether the regulator observes total quality outcome or individual contributions

renewable energy electricity development in ghana observations concerns substitution possibilities and implications for the economy abstract can ghana build its economy on renewable energy is it possible to substitute nonrenewable for renewable energy what is the impact of renewable energy on the economy of ghana these questions are relevant and worth considering as far as the renewable energy development agenda in ghana is concern using the translog production function approach this study primarily investigates whether ghana can move away from nonrenewable electricity generation to renewable power generation in particular we provide estimates for the relationship between the two energy types and output the estimates are then used to calculate the output and substitution elasticities between renewable and nonrenewable energy our findings show that while the impact of nonrenewable energy on ghana s economy is negative that of renewable energy is insignificant with output elasticities for both energy types averaging 0 139 and 1 875 respectively even though substitution elasticity suggests the possibility of moving towards a renewable power generation system this study also highlights the limitations associated with such transition citing inherent problems such as scale cost and location based on the analysis done in the context of the findings this study recommends a policy that supports an optimal energy matrix with both renewable and nonrenewable sources

renewable based distributed generation in uganda resource potential and status of exploitation abstract uganda is gifted by nature with abundant energy resources mainly renewables which can potentially provide the country with sufficient capacity to meet future growth in energy demand surprisingly uganda has one of the lowest electricity penetration levels with only 9 12 of the total population having electricity access 2 3 of them living in rural communities there is multitude of challenges facing the energy sector of uganda forcing energy demand to always exceed the supply for decades hydropower has been and is still the base electricity supply of the country with a supplement of limited biomass diesel based thermal and solar electricity the objective of this paper is to review the potential and progress of renewable based distributed generation in uganda the potential of the country s natural renewable resources and existing distributed generation is described and existing government policies are assessed the challenges facing the energy sector and the suggested remedies are discussed various distributed generation systems that could be incorporated into the energy system of the country to improve renewable energy re utilization and possibly contribute to the electricity needs of the population are also proposed and discussed exploitation of abundant re resources through distributed energy generation around the region will not only improve the electricity needs of the country but also increase the economic welfare of the growing population

driving effect of technology innovation on energy utilization efficiency in strategic emerging industries abstract under the policy of energy saving and emission reduction technological innovation has become the key power driver to improve energy utilization efficiency by using the panel data of 21 industrial segments between 2000 and 2015 this paper investigates the driving effect of technological innovation on energy utilization efficiency in strategic emerging industries and analyzes the critical factors influencing the driving effect of technological innovation by the stochastic frontier analysis method the empirical result shows that technological innovation between 2000 and 2015 has had a significant positive driving effect on the energy utilization efficiency of strategic emerging industries and exhibits a development trend of year by year steady state growth on the whole the greater the value of the development expenditure of new green products and the investment in environmental pollution treatment the greater the technological efficiency the greater the value of the transformation expenditure of energy saving technology the greater the technological inefficiency finally the paper proposes the countermeasures and suggestions for the driving effect of technological innovation on energy utilization efficiency in strategic emerging industries an empirical study is made to analyze the driving effect of technological innovation on energy utilization efficiency the positive and negative factors of technological innovation are forgotten strategic emerging industries can select optimal innovation behavior to improve quality and efficiency of energy utilization based on the results

innovation market structure and the holdup problem investment incentives and coordination abstract i analyze the innovation incentives under monopoly and duopoly provision of horizontally differentiated products purchased via bilateral negotiations integrating the market structure and innovation literature with the holdup literature i show that competition can improve local incentives for non contractible investment because innovation levels are generally strategic substitutes however there can be multiple duopoly equilibria in some circumstances monopoly can provide a coordination device that can lead to greater expected welfare despite inferior local innovation incentives the conditions for this to be the case however are quite restrictive

compact bidding languages and supplier selection for markets with economies of scale and scope preference elicitation is a fundamental problem in single unit combinatorial auctions but it becomes prohibitive even for small instances of multi unit combinatorial auctions the bidders cannot express their preferences exactly as this would take a huge number of bids typically leading to inefficient allocations hence markets with economies of scale and scope require more compact and yet expressive bidding languages in this thesis we propose an expressive bidding language allowing bidders to describe the characteristics of their cost functions bidders in these auctions can specify various discounts and markups and specify pricing rules as logical functions finding the optimal allocation given these pricing rules is a strongly np hard optimization problem and we propose a mixed integer program to solve it based on field data we introduce a multi item cost function and provide extensive computational experiments to explore the computational burden and the impact of different language features on the computational effort and total spend of the auctioneer in addition we explore characteristics of the knowledge representation of the bidding language

the politico economics of electricity planning in developing countries a case study of ghana abstract off grid technologies are increasingly being proposed as a way of ensuring cost efficient universal access to electricity in many developing countries however many un electrified communities would prefer access to electricity via the national grid rather than off grid technologies electricity planning based on cost efficiency alone could therefore be undermined by political pressure from discontented communities that are assigned off grid technologies using a case study of un electrified communities in ghana we develop an electricity planning algorithm based on hierarchical lexicographic programming and consider specifications where the priorities are adjusted to give weight to 1 cost efficiency and 2 political economy considerations so that communities with larger populations and therefore votes are given priority in terms of grid electrification the results emphasise the need to incorporate the political economy considerations in the national planning of universal electrification showing significant regional differences in terms of where grid extensions ought to be placed incorporating a political economy perspective in national planning also suggests that the most important policy trade offs shift from considering the grid versus off grid balance to focussing more on the effectiveness of grid investment in providing universal access

strategic wholesale pricing in a supply chain with a potential entrant this paper develops an adverse selection model for a two stage supply chain with one supplier one retailer and a potential outside entrant supplier who makes a partially substitutable product the work is different from most research on entry deterrence that only considers a single stage model our main interest is to investigate how the incumbent supplier can strategically maximize her profit by a wholesale pricing policy when facing the potential entrant we focus on a model where the entrant supplier will sell her product through the same incumbent retailer we derive the optimal decisions for each player and study the comparative statics of the equilibrium to investigate how the supply chain structure may affect the deterrence strategy of the incumbent supplier we also consider three alternative models with different channel structures when both suppliers sell their products directly when the entrant has another independent retailer and when the entrant sells her product directly through the comparison we find that the existence of the common downstream retailer often enhances the deterring motivation of the incumbent supplier

the long term forecast of taiwan s energy supply and demand leap model application abstract the long term forecasting of energy supply and demand is an extremely important topic of fundamental research in taiwan due to taiwan s lack of natural resources dependence on energy imports and the nation s pursuit of sustainable development in this article we provide an overview of energy supply and demand in taiwan and a summary of the historical evolution and current status of its energy policies as background to a description of the preparation and application of a long range energy alternatives planning system leap model of taiwan s energy sector the taiwan leap model is used to compare future energy demand and supply patterns as well as greenhouse gas emissions for several alternative scenarios of energy policy and energy sector evolution results of scenarios featuring business as usual policies aggressive energy efficiency improvement policies and on schedule retirement of taiwan s three existing nuclear plants are provided and compared along with sensitivity cases exploring the impacts of lower economic growth assumptions a concluding section provides an interpretation of the implications of model results for future energy and climate policies in taiwan

energy poverty in ghana any progress so far abstract this paper investigates the dynamics of energy poverty in ghana using two nationwide cross sectional datasets ghana living standards surveys round 5 and round 6 employing the multidimensional energy poverty index mepi as a measure of energy poverty this paper estimates that the share of energy poor people decreased from 88 4 in 2005 2006 to 82 5 in 2012 2013 the results indicate that although there has been a significant decline in the overall energy poverty in ghana during the study periods the incidence of energy poverty remains high moreover the study findings show a large gap between urban and rural energy poverty over the two periods rural people are almost twice as energy poor as urban people these findings suggest the need for the incorporation of energy poverty reduction strategies into income poverty reduction strategies to help improve not only access to modern energy but also in terms of affordability

asymmetric bidding in second price common value auctions abstract two comparative static characterizations for common value auctions under second price rules are extended to heterogeneous bidders the willingness to pay of the two highest bidders is enhanced on average by the release of public information and best responses are less aggressive when facing more rival bidders

defence procurement theory and uk policy since the early 1980s competition as a means of obtaining best value for money has dominated uk defence procurement policy this paper describes the uk defense equipment market and the procurement problem there are sections on the economic theory of procurement contracting regulation and competition the conclusion evaluates uk defence procurement policy and assesses some of the policy issues for the 1990s copyright 1996 by oxford university press

collusion via signalling in simultaneous ascending bid auctions with heterogeneous objects with and without complementarities collusive equilibria exist in simultaneous ascending bid auctions with multiple objects even with large complementarities in the buyers utility functions the bidders collude by dividing the objects among themselves while keeping the prices low in the most collusive equilibrium the complementarities are never realized the scope for collusion however narrows as the ratio between the number of bidders and the number of objects increases

global land use implications of first and second generation biofuel targets recently an active debate has emerged around greenhouse gas emissions due to indirect land use change iluc of expanding agricultural areas dedicated to biofuel production in this paper we provide a detailed analysis of the iluc effect and further address the issues of deforestation irrigation water use and crop price increases due to expanding biofuel acreage we use globiom an economic partial equilibrium model of the global forest agriculture and biomass sectors with a bottom up representation of agricultural and forestry management practices the results indicate that second generation biofuel production fed by wood from sustainably managed existing forests would lead to a negative iluc factor meaning that overall emissions are 27 lower compared to the no biofuel scenario by 2030 the iluc factor of first generation biofuels global expansion is generally positive requiring some 25 years to be paid back by the ghg savings from the substitution of biofuels for conventional fuels second generation biofuels perform better also with respect to the other investigated criteria on the condition that they are not sourced from dedicated plantations directly competing for agricultural land if so then efficient first generation systems are preferable since no clear technology champion for all situations exists we would recommend targeting policy instruments directly at the positive and negative effects of biofuel production rather than at the production itself

how to split the pie optimal rewards in dynamic multi battle competitions abstract multi battle competitions are ubiquitous in real life in this paper we examine the effort maximizing reward design in sequentially played multi battle competitions between two players the organizer has a fixed prize budget and rewards players contingent on the number of battles they win in a three battle contest a full spectrum of contest technologies in the tullock family is accommodated we find that the optimal design varies with the discriminatory power of the contest technology in particular when it is in the low range winner take all is optimal for the intermediate range as discriminatory power increases the optimal prize structure evolves continuously from winner take all to the proportional division rule due to the need to mitigate the growing momentum discouragement effect for the high range a wide span of prize structures extracts full surplus and is thus optimal several robustness checks confirm that mitigating the momentum discouragement effect is essential for effort maximizing prize design in dynamic multi battle contests

auctions an introduction abstract this is a detailed introduction to auction theory it begins with a simple analysis of standard auctions and then uses a strikingly simple general solution of symmetric private values auctions to prove the payoff equivalence of many auction rules the basic framework is then modified to admit risk aversion multi unit and repeated auctions as well as collusion then follows an introduction to optimal auctions with and without stochastic entry and to common value auctions and the winner s curse problem the survey closes with a sample of applications from the regulation of natural monopolies to price competition in oligopoly and the government securities market

tacit collusion in auctions and conditions for its facilitation and prevention equilibrium selection in laboratory experimental markets the paper studies bidder behavior in simultaneous continuous ascending price auctions we design and implement a collusion incubator environment based on a type of public symmetrically folded and item aligned preferences tacit collusion develops quickly and reliably within the environment once tacit collusion developed it proved remarkably robust to institutional changes that weakened it as an equilibrium of a game theoretic model the only successful remedy was a non public change in the preference of participants that destroyed the symmetrically folded and item aligned patterns of preferences creating head to head competition between two agents reminiscent of the concept of a maverick

overuse of wood based bioenergy in selected sub saharan africa countries review of unconstructive challenges and suggestions excessive wood consumption for energy and over dependence on fossil fuel based energy are fundamental issues of importance regarding the destruction of environmental sanity in this respect international communities are seeking to explore opportunities on how to encourage aggressive deployment of technologies for clean and sustainable development and possibly renewable the kyoto protocol on climate change meeting in 1997 with about 160 countries in attendance has been used as one of the platform of discourse on carbon emissions reduction strategies advocated strategies agreed include increase in renewable energy consumption via modern techniques massive deployment of renewable energy systems on a global scale will ensure a reasonable displacement of oil based energy production which is the main source of anthropogenic greenhouse gases in sub saharan africa limited access to modern energy in the region has stepped up reliance on bioenergy consumption in form of wood fuel and charcoal resulting to attendant effects on human health environment and the biodiversity in general in view of the foregoing this study presents a review on the current situations of unconstructive effects in the overuse of fuel wood and its charcoal derivative for energy consumption in three selected sub saharan african countries nigeria ghana and uganda in conclusion suggestions on how to confront the challenges associated with the over exploitation conditions of fuel wood in the region are put forward the suggestions could be part of the pursuit to increase electricity availability reliability and security with lower level of emissions in the region

impact of perennial energy crops income variability on the crop selection of risk averse farmers abstract the uk government policy is for the area of perennial energy crops in the uk to expand significantly farmers need to choose these crops in preference to conventional rotations for this to be achievable this paper looks at the potential level and variability of perennial energy crop incomes and the relation to incomes from conventional arable crops assuming energy crop prices are correlated to oil prices the results suggests that incomes from them are not well correlated to conventional arable crop incomes a farm scale mathematical programming model is then used to attempt to understand the affect on risk averse farmers crop selection the inclusion of risk reduces the energy crop price required for the selection of these crops however yields towards the highest of those predicted in the uk are still required to make them an optimal choice suggesting only a small area of energy crops within the uk would be expected to be chosen to be grown this must be regarded as a tentative conclusion primarily due to high sensitivity found to crop yields resulting in the proposal for further work to apply the model using spatially disaggregated data

collusion in procurement auctions an experimental examination bart j wilson i introduction questioning the value of efforts to enforce federal anticonspiracy laws raises spirited debate among antitrust economists although everyone recognizes the welfare costs of successful conspiracies commentators such as armentano 1990 and cohen and scheffman 1989 argue that conspiratorial arrangements are pervasively ineffective and thus that social resources spent prosecuting cob lusion are wasted others including marvel et al 1988 express more ambivalence about the seriousness of conspiracies as a social problem but believe that the government manages to detect only the most ineffective arrangements still other economists clearly believe in the effectiveness of current government efforts see e g werden 1989 and froeb et al 1993 ultimately the pervasiveness of conspiratorial behavior and the magnitude of the consequent damages are empirical issues however the illegality of collusion complicates the collection of relevant data tip offs or complaints frequently expose conspiracies but good reasons exist for suspecting that conspiracies detected in this fashion tend to be the least profitable a conspirator likely rats on co conspirators only if he or she is disenchanted with the scheme suggesting that the conspiracy is about to collapse anyway similarly suspect are conspiracies that are sufficiently clumsy to raise the protests of buyers the detection problem would be vastly simplified if conspiracies could be identified in the absence of a smoking gun posner 1969 argues that such explicit evidence of conspiratorial behavior is unnecessary because conspiring firms exhibit identifiable patterns of activity that are alone sufficient to determine illegality kuhlman 1969 and gallo 1977 go still further and advocate the continuous computerized monitoring of pricing and sales data to detect conspiracies however as marshall and muerer 1998 observe a potentially condemning defect of any attempt to detect collusion via behavior is that depending on underlying conditions virtually any suspect pattern of behavior can be generated as a noncollusive nash equilibrium identical prices for example are often cited as an indication of coordinated activity e g mund 1960 1 but in games such as the one modeled by anton and yao 1992 agents submit identical bids in a nash equilibrium in the absence of collusion furthermore some evidence from collusion cases prosecuted by the department of justice suggests that identical prices are rarely part of collusive arrangements except when the industry is not very concentrated comanor and schankerman 1976 market rotations a second pricing scheme that is typically cited as a suspect pattern may also be consistent with a subgame perfect noncooperative nash equilibrium zona 1986 for example identifies a number of approximate equilibria involving contract rotations when sellers have steeply increasing cost structures also lang and rosenthal 1991 characterize a noncooperative static equilibrium for a multiproduct contracting environment where sellers both divide the market and submit noncompetitively high bids in the market where they do not expect to win 2 still other pricing patterns are possibly suspect porter and zona 1993 report evidence of bid rigging in procurement auctions from the pattern of losing bids the intuition is that in a competitive environment bids should be correlated with costs when prices are fixed however this correlation breaks down this article reports a laboratory experiment designed to explore the relationship between suspect behavior and collusion we focus on coordinated behavior in procurement auctions a context where collusion is often suspected and has been frequently observed 4 two environments are examined a set cost regime that contains some features critical to standard government procurement auctions for goods and an endogenous cost regime which exhibits some critical elements of procurement bidding for construction contracts

the role of renewable energy to validate dynamic interaction between co2 emissions and gdp toward sustainable development in malaysia abstract closing the gap between economy activity and environmental quality is one of the solutions for reaching sustainable development in malaysia to do so the cubic polynomial functional form of ekc is utilized by accommodating renewable energy into the base of the ekc model and validating its hypothesis between co 2 emissions and gdp growth for the 1971 2015 period the f bounds vecm granger causality cusum and cusumsq tests are utilized the estimated results consistently show that the inverted n shaped ekc hypothesis holds in malaysia ceteris paribus the co 2 emissions will be declined when the gdp reach rm2841 9 billion in 2030 which is beyond the sample period the renewable energy has a negative significant effect on co 2 emissions and the direction of causality is running from co 2 emissions to renewable energy also the gdp growth will be the remedy for environmental pollution problems and that renewable energy is one of important elements to be considered for improving environmental quality a tighter and concentrated environmental policy is needed to direct the environment economic growth nexus toward a downward trend consequently these results may help malaysian policymakers to establish an energy policy that guarantees a balance between economic growth and environmental prosperity

the importance of transnational impacts of climate change in a power market abstract we contribute to the discussion on transnational impacts of climate change by analysing the potential cross border impacts climate change driven changes in the hydropower potential we analyse this in the context of the nordic countries where norway and sweden are likely to gain hydropower potential and finland is likely to experience transnational impacts we use an economic simulation model and a dynamic optimization model to study the impact of climate change to the production mix the price of electricity consumption of electricity and emissions from electricity production we show that climate change might reduce prices through increased renewables supply which decreases the profitability of power production the changes in the inflow profile affect the hydropower profiles over the hydrological year such that the reduced inflow peak in the spring shifts the hydropower production from spring to autumn and winter in addition the larger inflow increases the share of hydropower in production mix over the year the emissions per consumed energy unit is going to be decreased because of the decreasing share of the thermal production in the system however increased hydropower production reduces prices which in turn increases the quantity demanded this rebound effect somewhat dampens the emission reduction

sustainable energy development in nigeria current status and policy options abstract sustainable energy development focuses on maintaining the provision of energy in a manner that can enhance the short medium and long term economic development of a country the provision of sustainable energy requires the development and implementation of technologies that can improve the energy situation of a given country such as renewable energy energy efficient technologies and the proper use of conventional energy resources to achieve this effective energy policy options must be instigated that can adjust to changing circumstances in nigeria the development of sustainable clean modern energy is an immense challenge as is the proper use of the country s conventional energy resources this is as due to the lack of effective support policies and poor participation by the government in clean energy development the energy situation in nigeria could be improved by the provision of adequate energy policy options designed to augment existing energy policies this study critically reviews the current status of energy resources in nigeria and the associated policies important policies unavailable under current government strategies are proposed and prioritised based on their likelihood of success in short medium and long term among the most important policies based on priorities are policies to address crude oil theft complete deregulation of the petroleum subsectors utilisation of associated gases creation of favourable business climate for private investors increase attraction for foreign direct investment in clean energy technology renewable portfolio standards development introduction of tendering schemes use of efficient fuel stoves development of demand side bidding and energy efficiency standard law we believe that these proposed policy options could improve the sustainable development of nigeria s energy resources

dynamic price competition with capacity constraints and a strategic buyer we analyze a simple dynamic durable good model two incumbent sellers and potential entrants choose their capacities at the start of the game we solve for equilibrium capacity choices and the necessarily mixed pricing strategies in equilibrium the buyer splits the order with positive probability to preserve competition making it possible that a high and low price seller both have sales sellers command a rent above the value of unmet demand by the other seller a buyer benefits from either a commitment not to make future purchases or by hiring an agent to always buy from the lowest priced seller

on delegating price authority to a regulated firm this article models a regulatory environment in which the regulated firm possesses better information about demand conditions than does the regulator the regulator would like to tie prices to the firm s private information in a socially optimal way to do so the regulator must induce the firm either truthfully to reveal private information or equivalently unilaterally to set socially optimal prices this is accomplished by assessing lump sum subsidies or taxes that depend in an appropriate way on the prices announced by the firm this mechanism can be reinterpreted as a two part tariff scheme whereby both the service fee and price per unit respond to shifting demand conditions

analyzing online b2b exchange markets asymmetric cost and incomplete information this research applies the discriminating auction to analyze the online b2b exchange market in which a single buyer requests multiple items and several suppliers having equal capacity and asymmetric cost submit bids to compete for buyer demand in the present model we examine the impact of asymmetric cost and incomplete information on the participants in the market given the complete cost information each supplier randomizes its price and the lower bound of the price range is determined by the highest marginal cost in addition the supplier with a lower marginal cost has a larger considered pricing space but ultimately has a smaller equilibrium one than others with higher marginal costs when each supplier s marginal cost is private information the lowest possible price is determined by the number of suppliers and the buyer s reservation price comparing these two market settings we find whether it is beneficial to buyers or suppliers depends on the scale of the bid process and the highest marginal cost when the number of suppliers and the difference between the highest marginal cost and the buyer s reservation price are sufficiently large each supplier can gain a higher profit if the marginal costs are private information on the contrary when the highest marginal cost approaches the buyer s reservation price complete cost information benefits the suppliers

introducing mozleap an integrated long run scenario model of the emerging energy sector of mozambique since recently mozambique is actively developing its large reserves of coal natural gas and hydropower against this background we present the first integrated long run scenario model of the mozambican energy sector our model which we name mozleap is calibrated on the basis of recently developed local energy statistics demographic and urbanization trends as well as cross country based gdp elasticities for biomass consumption sector structure vehicle ownership and energy intensity we develop four scenarios to evaluate the impact of the anticipated surge in natural resources exploration on aggregate trends in energy supply and demand the energy infrastructure and economic growth in mozambique our analysis shows that until 2030 primary energy production is likely to increase at least six fold and probably much more this is roughly 10 times the expected increase in energy demand most of the increase in energy production is destined for export as a result mozambique may well become one of the leading global producers of natural gas and coal we discuss the opportunities and challenges that this resource wealth poses for the country

split awards procurement and innovation in many procurement settings it is possible for a buyer to split a production award between suppliers in this article we develop a model of split award procurement auctions in which the split choice is endogenous we characterize the set of equilibrium bids and allocations for optimizing agents in an environment in which suppliers are fully informed about each other s costs split award equilibria simultaneously exhibit strong collusive features and cost efficiency properties despite the former property of the equilibria upstream investment considerations may lead a buyer to prefer a split award auction format to a winner take all auction format

when shakeout doesn t occur the evolution of the turboprop engine industry abstract a careful case study of the history of the turboprop engine industry 1948 1997 is offered as an example of non shakeout pattern the persistence of high concentration is not associated with the exit of smaller manufacturers but instead a stable coexistence of generalist and specialist strategies emerges in sharp contrast to the pattern observed in the otherwise similar jet engine industry this paper identifies the relevant variables of a more general theory of industry life cycle by taking into account the lack of creation of significant increasing returns in r d manufacturing or marketing all of which are commonly found in industries that produce systemic products

designing a market structure when firms compete for the right to serve the market in many industries a regulator designs an auction to select ex ante the firms that compete ex post on the product market this paper considers the optimal market structure when firms incur sunk costs before entering the market and when the government is not able to regulate firms in the market we prove that a free entry equilibrium results in an excessive entry when the entry costs are private information then we consider an auction mechanism selecting the firms allowed to serve the market and show that the optimal number of licences results in the socially optimal market structure when all the potential candidates are actual bidders the optimal number of firms in the market increases with the number of candidates and decreases with the social cost of public funds when the market size is small as the net profit in the market decreases with the number of selected firms entry is endogenous as increasing competition in the market reduces competition for the market the optimal structure is more concentrated than in the previous case

efficient division of profits from complementary innovations abstract many products including microprocessors telecommunications devices computer software and on line auction services make use of multiple technologies each of which is essential to make or sell the product the owner of one technology benefits from the existence of complementary technologies we show that despite this externality the structure of payoffs that support efficient r d investment by duopolists racing to discover a single innovation generalizes to the structure that supports efficient investment for complementary innovations the paper also examines how alternative intellectual property regimes and legal institutions affect r d investment in complementary technologies the results have policy implications for the organization of r d the assessment of damages for patent infringement and allocations of value in patent pools

a review of trends policies and plans for increasing energy access in ghana abstract the need to secure future energy in the forms of electricity and modern cooking fuels is recognized as critical to achieving the millennium development goals particularly poverty reduction ensuring improved education health water supply and environmental sustainability this paper presents a review of the trends policies plans and programmes for increasing energy access in ghana with primary focus on electricity cooking fuels and renewable energy the paper argues that even though governments over the years have had the provision of energy services high on the national development agenda past and existing policies and plans have not delivered effective results to accelerate energy access especially in the rural and peri urban areas where the services are badly needed the paper therefore calls for a coherent national energy policy with inputs from a wider section of the public that has precise targets and clearly laid down strategies including financing mechanisms to achieve the targets

2012 international year for sustainable energy for all african frontrunnership in rural electrification abstract 2012 has been declared the international year for sustainable energy for all by the un while africa remains the most underpowered continent the prognosis for a brighter future is looking good as key stakeholders governments private sector civil society and the donor community have mobilized at an unprecedented scale to experiment with new policies regulatory frameworks and business models to rapidly upscale access to sustainable energy the top down central grid expansion approach to increasing electricity access is very capital intensive and yet has gained considerable momentum at the expense of lower cost options that utilize decentralized off grid solutions a decentralized bottom up approach could also use indigenous renewable energy sources and foster more significant linkages with livelihood opportunities in the rural un served territories this paper evaluates the emerging experiments through the lenses of c k prahalad s bottom of the pyramid theory and clayton christensen s disruptive technologies perspective three front runner initiatives involving new business models innovative technologies and institutional capacity building will be analyzed in addition the paper examines a regulatory policy initiative designed to stimulate clean energy investments in ghana though the examples are all from ghana they illustrate general challenges to sub saharan africa as a whole

capacity and entry issues in online exchanges abstract with the advent of open standards and internet technologies the number of sellers who can participate in online exchanges is greatly increased we model the competition between identical sellers vying for the same business and find that there exists a mixed strategy equilibrium in prices the results help us understand the dynamics between a seller s capacity and his motivation to participate in an auction

competition and the reform of incentive schemes in the regulated sector abstract we consider a regulation problem with complete contracting in a principal agent model with adverse selection and review within this model the various channels by which external competition parameters affect incentives within the regulated firm the channels are the principal s information the principal s objective function the agent s incentive constraint the agent s participation constraint we consider in particular a better information structure a threat of liquidation a fight for talent a more efficient private sector and the existence of better substitutes we characterize in each case the conditions under which the effect on incentives is positive

energy models for demand forecasting a review abstract energy is vital for sustainable development of any nation be it social economic or environment in the past decade energy consumption has increased exponentially globally energy management is crucial for the future economic prosperity and environmental security energy is linked to industrial production agricultural output health access to water population education quality of life etc energy demand management is required for proper allocation of the available resources during the last decade several new techniques are being used for energy demand management to accurately predict the future energy needs in this paper an attempt is made to review the various energy demand forecasting models traditional methods such as time series regression econometric arima as well as soft computing techniques such as fuzzy logic genetic algorithm and neural networks are being extensively used for demand side management support vector regression ant colony and particle swarm optimization are new techniques being adopted for energy demand forecasting bottom up models such as markal and leap are also being used at the national and regional level for energy demand management

modeling energy and development an evaluation of models and concepts most global energy models are developed by institutes from developed countries focusing primarily on issues that are important in industrialized countries evaluation of the results for asia of the ipcc sres models shows that broad concepts of energy and development the energy ladder and the environmental kuznets curve can be observed in the results of the models however improvements can be made in modeling the issues that underlie these concepts like traditional fuels electrification economic structural change income distribution and informal economies given the rapidly growing importance of energy trajectories of developing countries for global sustainability the challenge for the future is to develop energy models that include all these aspects of energy and development

farm level constraints on the domestic supply of perennial energy crops in the uk abstract there are a number of estimates of the land area that could potentially be dedicated to perennial energy crops such as short rotation coppice src willow and miscanthus in the uk but little is known about how farmers will respond to the opportunities presented by these relatively novel crops perennial energy crops face competition from other arguably more flexible uses of farmland and if not seen as attractive propositions to individual farmers they will not be grown farmers decisions are therefore a key constraint on potential supply this paper reviews the policy background and considers whether policy is based on any consideration of likely supply response before presenting outcomes of focus groups composed of farmers who already grow or are considering growing perennial energy crops there appear to be a number of barriers to adoption in addition to concerns over the security of contracts the current high wheat price increases the opportunity cost of committing land to perennial energy crops there are also worries about the impact of willow roots on field drains and the cost of returning the land to other uses this paper outlines a number of issues of importance to policy makers and suggests future research needs

the impact of energy prices on the volatility of ethanol prices and the role of gasoline emissions abstract the contribution of renewable energy resources is vital for a country s economic growth by providing high efficiency in energy as well as an effective tool for the confrontation of climate change in particular concerning the eu an increase in the consumption of renewable energy resources as a proportion of the total energy consumption by its member states was set as an objective until 2020 ethanol has been widely used as a substitute to conventional energy like gasoline and oil the present paper surveys the role of alternative energy prices and gas emissions in the formation of the ethanol prices the results of the empirical survey confirmed the existence of a sole relationship among the variables employed according to the results obtained an increase in the volume of emissions or in gasoline prices results in an increase in ethanol prices while the opposite is confirmed in the case of crude oil he elasticity of ethanol prices to the increase of the emissions is another result worth mentioning indicative of the significant role of the emissions in the formation of ethanol prices

energy policy for low carbon development in nigeria a leap model application this paper applied a scenario based analysis to explore nigeria s future energy demand supply and associated ghg emissions from 2010 to 2040 using the long range energy alternative planning leap model the impact of different energy policies are analysed for the nigerian energy system by considering four scenarios the reference scenario ref the low carbon moderate scenario lcm the low carbon advanced scenario lca and the green optimistic scenario go by considering aggressive energy policies and strategies from lcm to lca and even more aggressive options in the go scenario we find that under the ref scenario energy demand is expected to reach 3 075 pj and a corresponding increase in ghg emissions of 201 2 mt co2e by 2040 more aggressive policy intervention by the nigerian government as in the go scenario would lead to a decrease in energy demand 2 249 pj and ghg emissions 124 4 mt co2e in 2040 a cost benefit and energy system analysis were also carried out in the study

electricity demand and supply scenarios for maharashtra india for 2030 an application of long range energy alternatives planning abstract forecasting of electricity demand has assumed a lot of importance to provide sustainable solutions to the electricity problems leap has been used to forecast electricity demand for the target year 2030 for the state of maharashtra india holt s exponential smoothing method has been used to arrive at suitable growth rates probable projections have been generated using uniform gross domestic product gdp growth rate and different values of elasticity of demands three scenarios have been generated which include business as usual bau energy conservation ec and renewable energy ren subsequent analysis on the basis of energy environmental influence and cost has been done in the target year 2030 the projected electricity demand for bau and ren has increased by 107 3 per cent over the base year 2012 and ec electricity demand has grown by 54 3 per cent the estimated values of green house gas ghg for bau and ec in the year 2030 are 245 2 per cent and 152 4 per cent more than the base year and for ren it is 46 2 per cent less sensitivity analysis has been performed to study the effect on the total cost of scenarios policy implications in view of the results obtained are also discussed

optimal incentive contracts with multiple agents abstract a setting in which a single principal contracts with two agents who possess perfect private information about their own productivity is considered with correlated productivities each agent s private information also provides a signal about the other agent s productivity in contrast to the setting in which there is only one agent it is shown that such private information may be of no value to the agents it is only if the agents are risk averse that their private information may allow them to command rents moreover when the agents are constrained only to reveal their private information truthfully as a nash equilibrium the pareto optimal incentive scheme may induce the agents to adopt strategies other than truth telling this leads to the consideration of truth telling equilibria that are not pareto dominated in the subgame played by the agents among all such equilibria the one preferred by the principal restricts one agent to tell the truth as a dominant strategy and the other as a nash response to truth

auctions for split award contracts the buyer of a homogeneous input divides his input requirements into two contracts that are awarded to different suppliers he uses a sequential second price auction to award a primary and a secondary contract with a fixed number of suppliers the buyer pays a higher expected price than with a sole source auction the premium paid to the winner of the secondary contract must also be paid to the winner of the primary contract as an opportunity cost when entry is endogenous we identify the conditions under which a secondary contract can increase the number of suppliers and lower the expected price

full extraction of the surplus in bayesian and dominant strategy auctions we consider auctions for a single indivisible object in the case where the bidders have information about each other which is not available to the seller we show that the seller can use this information to his own benefit and we completely characterize the environ ments in which a well chosen auction gives him the same expected payoff as that obtainable were he able to sell the object with full information about each bidder s willingness to pay we provide this characterization for auctions in which the bidders have dominant strate gies and for those where the relevant equilibrium concept is bayesian nash in both set ups the existence of these auctions hinges on the possibility of constructing lotteries with the correct properties we consider the situation in which an agent the seller possesses one indivisible unit of a good to which he attaches no value but the good has value to a number of potential buyers and its transfer to one of them would increase social welfare in particular the transfer to the buyer with the highest valuation maximizes social welfare in this paper we completely characterize environments in which the seller can design an auction that will enable him to capture for himself the full increase in social welfare induced by the transfer of the good to the bidder with the highest willingness to pay if the seller had full information about the reservation prices of potential buyers his optimal selling strategy would be very simple he would announce a price equal or very close to the highest reservation value the optimal strategy for the bidder with the highest evaluation would be to accept the offer note that we are treating a situation in which the seller can commit himself to a price as a result of the exchange the utility of the seller increases by the full amount of the increase in social welfare and he has been able to fully extract the surplus in many circumstances however a seller has only imperfect knowledge of the buyers willingnesses to pay in this case he must find some mechanism or auction which will enable him to maximize his benefit from the sale of the object the auction literature starts with this observation and shows how the seller can by an astute choice of auction extract the largest possible fraction of the surplus in general the literature has shown that this proportion is strictly less than one in some circumstances the bidders will have information about each other which is not available to the seller for instance in auctions for petroleum drilling rights bidders know the results of geological tests which they have

bidding for contests the procurement of product development and production services brings special strategic considerations to the buyer seller relationship in industrial and institutional markets multiple sourcing in particular dual sourcing is a likely way of dealing with the increased risks faced by buyers however there is lack of dual sourcing models that analyze the selection and control process in an integrated fashion this omission had led to apparently contradictory findings in agency and auction theory the paper models the strategic issues for a cost containment contest between two suppliers the suppliers are drawn from several vendors who participate in a bidding competition the supplier with the lower final cost in the contest wins a larger share of the pooled profit fee propositions are derived for the optimal cost plus contest and comparisons are made with the common incentive contract for the integrated selection and control model the larger the winner s share the greater the effort the buyer can make a credible commitment to the optimal winner s share as the winner s share rises however the bid prices increase due to increased contract risk this incentive risk tradeoff determines a the optimal winner s share that minimizes expected procurement price b the corresponding profit fee bid by suppliers c the ensuing cost control effort and d the final price for the procurement comparisons with the common incentive contract tell us when the cost plus contest induces more effort and when bidding for a contest results in a lower final procurement price

incomplete information and optimal market structure public purchases from private providers abstract market structure is endogenized in a normative model of public procurement featuring a social cost of profit product variety economies of scale and incomplete information about cost depending on parameters either sole sourcing or dual sourcing might be optimal however if the social cost of profit is positive but not too large incomplete information biases optimal market structure in favor of sole sourcing on the other hand this bias in favor of sole sourcing may be reversed if the social cost of profit is large an application to the publicly financed treatment for drug abuse motivates the analysis