the environmental effects of agricultural trade liberalization in latin america an interpretation abstract the trade and environment debate has focused attention on the possible contradiction between promoting free markets while meeting domestic environmental objectives this paper takes a view from the south recent econometric models predict net effects of expanded agricultural trade to be positive for the global environment yet further pressure on degraded resources and marginal farmers and a reinforcement of sectoral policies that benefit commercial export crop growers as opposed to food producers may make increased trade more of a bane than a blessing for developing countries in the context of emerging regional trading blocks in latin america nafta and mercosur removal of trade barriers between participating nations has led to dislocation of production whose localized impacts it is hoped would be resolved through reconversion of agriculture in affected subregions it may be however that internalization of socio environmental costs of such dislocation would indicate that production despite competitive disadvantages would best have been left where it was to gain a better empirical understanding of the links between agricultural trade policy and the environment will require prediction of ecosystem stresses anticipated from alterations in how producers grow crops in specific geophysical settings rather than reliance on stylized facts

institutional constraints and deforestation an application to mexico 1 introduction in many tropical regions a key factor influencing deforestation is thought to be the lack of effective property rights and other institutional structures controlling access to and use of forests 1 where such institutions exist they limit access to and conversion of forest land thus acting as a deterrent to deforestation in the absence of formal ownership rules traditional common property regimes in some forested regions have also proven to be effective in controlling the open access deforestation problem gibson 2001 larson and bromley 1990 richards 1997 in short formal and informal institutions can influence the process of forest loss by imposing increased costs of conversion on farmers who clear forest land this article is concerned with analyzing the role of formal and informal institutions as constraints on the conversion of forest land to agriculture in developing countries the perspective on institutions adopted here follows the approach of north 1990 who defines institutions as humanly devised constraints that shape human interaction and that affect the performance of the economy by their effect on the costs of exchange and production in analyzing the relation between institutional constraints and the amount of forest land converted for use by smallholders this article makes several contributions first it demonstrates that if institutions raise the costs of land conversion then it is possible to utilize an agricultural household model to formalize the resulting impacts on the amount of converted land used by all farming households moreover the equilibrium level of land cleared will differ under conditions of no institutional constraints that is the pure open access situation compared to c onditions where effective institutions exist to control land conversion because institutions raise the cost of land clearing more land should be converted under pure open access 2 this in turn implies that the existence of institutional constraints prevents the adjustment of the stock of converted land to the long run equilibrium desired by agricultural households which is the amount of land that could be cleared under open access a dynamic panel analysis is therefore employed to test the hypothesis that the presence of institutions to control agricultural conversion can significantly affect deforestation the model of land expansion is applied to the case of mexico in the pre nafta north american free trade agreement reform era 1960 85 during this period the existence of ejido or communal land ownership for the vast majority of forest land meant that strong institutional controls may have restricted the rate of adjustment in the amount of new land converted and thus limited agricultural expansion sarukhan and larson 2001 the analysis also has direct relevance for the post nafta period particularly because the 1992 land reforms sanction changes in the traditional ejido land ownership structure ii a pure open access model of forest land conversion the following model of forest conversion is based on an approach similar to that of cropper et al 1999 lopez 1997 1998a and panayotou and sungsuwan 1994 assume that the economic behavior of all j rural smallholder households in the agricultural sector of a developing country can be summarized by the behavior of a representative jth household although the representative household is utility maximizing it is a price taker in both input and output markets farm and off farm labor of the household are assumed to be perfect substitutes such that the opportunity cost of the household s time i e its wage rate is exogenously determined the household s behavior is therefore recursive in the sense that the production decisions are made first and then the consumption decisions singh et al 1986 in any time period t let the profit function of the representative agricultural household s production decisions be defined as 1 max pi p w w

exploring benefit transfer disamenities of waste transfer stations the benefit transfer method was developed as an alternative way to value externalities using values from studies of similar circumstances carried out at similar sites somewhere else given the challenges and high costs inherent in assessing the actual cost specifically in order to test the performance of the benefit transfer method employing hedonic price models this study focused on estimates of disamenities associated with waste transfer stations at four different cities in israel the sites were intentionally selected to represent a variety of circumstances we transferred the estimated benefit function from a study site to a policy site the goodness of fit was examined by comparing the calculated value with actual data from the policy site to test the sensitivity of the benefit transfer function to socioeconomic and housing characteristics it was repeatedly applied to different sets of observations the findings suggest that a relatively large number of alternative benefit functions are transferable statistical inequality outcome regarding the degree of similarity between samples does not unequivocally rule out the appropriateness of transferring environmental values across studies transfer errors varied between 21 and 29 and the absolute average error for all transfers was 15 4 errors were lower for transfer between relatively similar cities in terms of size and location and between sub samples that were similar in socioeconomic characteristics and housing type however when a site with very dissimilar data was involved the average absolute error rose to 19

spatial sustainability trade and indicators an evaluation of the ecological footprint the search for frameworks and indicators of sustainable development has taken a prominent place in this journal however some specific aspects have received little or no attention notably the spatial dimension and the role of international trade in indicator development moreover many sustainable development indicators comprise implicit valuations weighting schemes and policy objectives which are insufficiently recognised as such this contribution tries to highlight these issues by means of a review of a recently proposed indicator for ecological economic analysis namely the ecological footprint that has been developed by wackernagel and rees its concept and calculation procedure are criticised on a number of points and it is concluded that the ecological footprint is not the comprehensive and transparent planning tool as is often assumed in explaining our position we will argue that spatial sustainability and regional sustainable development have not been precisely discussed so far neither in the literature on trade and environment nor in that on sustainable development we will defend the view that trade can contribute positively and negatively to environmental unsustainability consequently indicators and models are needed that allow for analysing interactions and trade offs between such opposite effects 1999 elsevier science b v all rights reserved

land clearance and social capital in mountain agro ecosystems the case of opuntia scrubland in ayacucho peru abstract opuntia scrublands are important ecological economic systems in rural andean areas they provide goods for peasants diet and animal feed as well as cochineal insects a highly valued source of dyes land clearance on these scrublands promotes changes in land use from nonproductive wilderness to cochineal and fruit harvest areas grazing lands and fuel wood supply zones here we empirically explore the role of social capital on land clearance based on a case study of the humanga region of ayacucho peru the literature on social capital is showing evidence of the positive effect of social capital on development actions and on environmental conservation in rural areas of developing countries such as participatory forest management here the notion of social capital is captured by the idea that some features of social organization such as networks facilitate coordination and cooperation within the peasant communities that help in managing different economic activities both on and off farm the habilitation of the scrublands in the andean mountain environment could be generating negative externalities as a consequence of altering the vegetation cover such as soil erosion because the benefits arising from land clearance activities are obtained by cochineal collecting households and the negative environmental effects are costs imposed upon noncochineal collectors the social capital associated with scrubland habilitation could be perverse from an agro environmental viewpoint and a revision of some government policies and of some ngos actions for rural development through the promotion of various community networks in this deprived area could be needed

deforestation and the rule of law in a cross section of countries relationships between deforestation and population pressure income growth and insecure property rights are examined with data from 120 countries insecure property rights are hypothesized to arise from two sources government instability or inability to enforce ownership and an absence of government accountability the former source is captured by measures of general lawlessness such as guerrilla warfare revolution and frequent constitutional change the latter is proxied by variables indicating the type of government executive frequency of political purges and the existence of an elected legislature general support is indicated for the property rights hypothesis and for the effects of population growth

optimal farm size in an uncertain land market the case of kyrgyz republic this article applies a real options model to the problem of land development making use of the 1998 2001 kyrgyz household budget survey we show that when the hypothesis of decreasing return to scale holds the relation between the threshold value of revenue per hectare and the amount of land cultivated is positive in addition the relation between the threshold and the amount of land owned is positive in the case of continuous supply of land and negative when there is discontinuous supply of land the direct consequence is that in the first case smaller farms will be more willing to rent land and exercise the option where in the second case larger farms will exercise first the results suggest three main conclusions i the combination of uncertainty and irreversibility is an important factor in land development decisions ii farmer behavior is consistent with the continuous profit maximization model and iii farming unit revenue tends to be positively related to farm size once uncertainty is properly accounted for

factor shares inequality and capital flows i present an endogenous growth model where innovations are factor saving and model the choice of technologies in an overlapping generations framework markets are competitive and factor prices are determined by marginal productivity of factors therefore the income share of reproducible factors increases with the stage of development beyond the standard results of this type of model i find that i without bequests long run growth is not possible ii if the economy presents long run growth then intrageneration inequality may last forever but if the economy does not present long run growth then in steady state there is no intrageneration inequality iii when the economy is open the pattern of capital flows depends not only on the relative abundance of factors but also on the technologies and for this reason capital may not flow from rich to poor economies and iv consistently capital flows may not help to break poverty traps

testing benefits transfer of forest recreation values over a twenty year time horizon we conduct a functional benefit transfer over 20 years of total willingness to pay based on carborne forest recreation in 52 forests using a mixed logit specification of a random utility model and geographic information systems to allow heterogeneous preferences across the population and for heterogeneity over space results show that preferences for some forest attributes such as species diversity and age as well as transport mode have changed significantly over the period updating the transfer model with present total demand for recreation improves the error margins by an average of 282 average errors of the best transfer model remain 25

intelligence social mobility and growth this study develops a model where the allocation of human resources intergenerational social mobility and technological growth are jointly determined high growth endogenously increases the equilibrium return to innate cognitive ability and makes the allocation of individuals depend more on innate ability and less on social background a social allocation based on innate ability and high growth will thus reinforce each other implying the possibility of multiple endogenous growth equilibria

environmental externalities in traditional agriculture and the impact of trade liberalization the case of ghana abstract this paper provides a framework for the evaluation of trade policies that explicitly considers the effects of such policies on the environmental resources biomass in doing this we estimate the effects of biomass as a factor of agricultural production and test the hypothesis that farmers efficiently exploit biomass a resource held in common property the main findings are i biomass is an important factor of production in ghanian agriculture ii the biomass resource is exploited beyond the socially optimal level iii a deepening of trade liberalization is likely to induce further losses of biomass and deforestation and iv national income is likely to fall in response to further trade liberalization

links between economic liberalization and rural resource degradation in the developing regions this paper examines evidence of the effects of economic liberalization and globalization on rural resource degradation in developing countries the principal resource effects of concern are processes of land use change leading to forestland conversion degradation and deforestation the main trends in globalization of interest are trade liberalization and economy wide reforms in developing countries that have opened up the agroindustrial sectors thus increasing their export orientation such reforms have clearly spurred agroindustrialization rural development and economic growth but there is also concern that there may be direct and indirect impacts on rural resource degradation the direct impacts may occur as increased agricultural activity leads to conversion of forests and increased land degradation from unsustainable production methods however there may also be indirect effects if agroindustrial development displaces landless near landless and rural poor generally who then migrate to marginal agricultural lands and forest frontier regions this paper explores these direct and indirect effects of globalization and agroindustrialization on rural resource degradation both generally plus through examining case study evidence the paper focuses in particular on the examples of structural adjustment trade liberalization and agricultural development in ghana and maize sector liberalization in mexico under north american free trade agreement nafta

deforestation and development in a small open economy abstract our economy faces world prices and starts with a large endowment of land in forest and a small endowment of land in agriculture clearing of forested land yields marketable timber and a unit of land for agriculture early the high price of agricultural land drives the clearing process later the profit from marketing timber from the cleared land drives the process dates of phase transitions are endogenous we also set out a submodel of perpetual cyclic clearing and reforesting and show that it when cyclical harvesting regrowing is optimal the extent of clearing can be relatively large

transition towards improved regional wood flows by integrating material flux analysis and agent analysis the case of appenzell ausserrhoden switzerland this paper discusses the integration of material flux analysis and agent analysis as the basis for a transition towards improved regional wood management in appenzell ausserrhoden ar a small swiss canton located in the pre alps of switzerland we present a wood flow analysis for forests wood processing industries and consumption in ar accounting for different wood products we find that the forest is currently significantly underutilized although there are sizeable imports of wood and fuel to this small region the underutilization of the forest contributes to a skewed age distribution jeopardizing long term sustainable development of the forest as the fulfillment of its protective and production function are likely to be at risk the wood resources however are capable of satisfying current wood demand among the population of ar and wood could even be exported underutilization has two main causes first wood prices are so low that harvesting trees is a money losing proposition second consumer wood demand and the current supply from forest owners are not aligned furthermore cultural values lifestyle trends and traditions make an alignment of supply and demand difficult consensus and strategy building with the relevant stakeholders on the basis of the results obtained from the wood flow analysis and agent analysis is a reasonable next step to take we conclude that wood flow analysis combined with agent analysis provide a useful and straightforward tool to be used as the basis of a transition process towards improved regional wood flows which in turn should contribute to sustainable forest management

workers machines and economic growth this paper models technology adoption as replacing workers by machines which perform the same job in the production process the paper shows that such modelling of technology adoption affects significantly the analysis of economic growth this model can explain large and persistent international differences in output levels and growth rates caused by small differences in underlying parameters

trade and agroindustrialization in developing countries trends and policy impacts there have been important changes in the international trade of processed and high value added food products from developing countries over the past several decades one of them has been the emergence of oilseeds and fruits and vegetables replacing traditional products such as sugar coffee and cocoa as the main exports from developing countries another trend has been the collapse of african agroindustrial exports and the increase of exports from asia the paper highlights key trends and explores possible reasons for the trends focusing on trade policies in less developed countries ldcs and developed countries dcs the paper argues that national trade policies and other economic policies appear to have been relatively supportive of agroindustrial production and exports in asia in contrast policies have had more mixed effects in latin america and the caribbean lac and seem to have been just one component in a larger array of forces inhibiting economic development in africa the performance of agroindustrial production and exports from ldcs may be now more dependent than ever on the completion of reforms in the agricultural trade policies of dcs for africa however a more supportive international environment and better macroeconomic and trade policies will not be enough to ensure a thriving agroindustrial sector within a broader process of economic development until military confrontations stop

new methodology for the ecological footprint with an application to the new zealand economy abstract sustainable development has become a primary objective for many countries throughout the world since the late 1980s a major difficulty associated with sustainable development objectives however is the absence of reliable indicators to measure progress towards the goal of sustainability the ecological footprint provides an estimate of the land area necessary to sustain current levels of resource consumption for a given population on an aggregate basis the ecological footprint may be compared with the amount of ecologically productive land available to give an indication of whether consumption patterns are likely to be sustainable this paper proposes the use of a modified form of input output analysis to calculate the ecological footprint the input output approach provides a consistent means of calculating an ecological footprint using data collected as part of the system of national accounts in most developed countries in addition it makes explicit the link between the level of economic activity in a country and its corresponding impact on the environment an application of this methodology to new zealand indicates that it takes 3 49 has of ecologically productive land per year to sustain the average new zealander s current level of consumption

using composition of land multiplier to estimate ecological footprints associated with production activity abstract ecological footprint ef a measure of sustainability represents the areas of land and water required to produce the goods and services for satisfying the consumption of a defined human population or economy and to provide environmental assimilation capacity for keeping its environmental quality at a given level production land footprint a main component of the ef represents the lands used by production sectors for producing the goods and services for the final consumption of a given human population there have been at least two alternatives in estimating the production land footprint one is based on the estimates of apparent consumption of each type of resource along the line of the methodology proposed by wackernagel and rees wackernagel m rees w e 1996 and its later refinement the other suggested by bicknell et al 1998 is based on the monetary values of products that are delivered to domestic final demand the information recorded in an input output table the former faces the challenge of distinguishing the commodities used as intermediate input from those as final consumption although its recent development has tried to calculate the raw materials used directly in traded manufactured products wackernagel m lewan l hansson c b 1999a it is not an easy job because the indirect input requirements are also involved using input output analysis which has been widely used to consider the direct and indirect input requirements of supporting final demand may alleviate this difficulty bicknell et al 1998 adopted input output analysis to estimate the footprint of new zealand in their calculation they used land multipliers to obtain the production land areas required to produce the outputs for domestic final consumption directly and indirectly and presented the estimates under three land categories agricultural land forest land and degraded land however this presentation causes errors in the concept and calculation this is because that the area requirement of sector j s production land is obtained by multiplying sector j s land multiplier with its output for domestic final consumption the result would contain not only sector j s own production land but also those of other sectors whose outputs sector j uses as inputs thus the ensuing estimates on sectoral production lands cannot be presented by land category using the hypothetical data in the article of bicknell et al 1998 this paper explains the reasons for using the composition of land multipliers instead of land multipliers in estimating the production land footprint so that the calculated areas can be expressed by land category the revised calculation is then applied to taiwan for estimating her two footprint components production land and energy land in 1991

economic growth and the elasticity of substitution two theorems and some suggestions at the beginning of the twentieth century the work of the swedish economist knut wicksell 1901 marked an important advance in our understanding of the relationship between the structure of production functions and income distribution wicksell had asked the following question among many others suppose that the marginal productivities are equal to the remuneration rates of each factor what then should be the form of the corresponding production function he pointed out p 125 that the general integral of the partial differential equation implied by this relationship was of the form y lf kil which meant in turn that the product y was necessarily a homogeneous of degree one function of capital k and labor l as an example he gave a function where the shares of k and l in y were constant and wrote down the function which would be rediscovered decades later by charles w cobb and paul h douglas 1928 however it is only half a century later in robert m solow s nobel prize winning 1956 essay that implications between the structure of the production function and long run equilibrium or disequilibrium of the economy were drawn in his classic article a contribution to the theory of economic growth solow had considered three cases analytically other cases were also discussed geometrically using a phase diagram he had labeled the two first cases 1hlarrod domar and cobb douglas respectively and he referred to the third type of production function as offering a bit of variety it was y ak 2 l 2 2 a particular case of y akp lp 1p in those early days solow had not pointed out to the reader that his cases could have been numbered 0 1 and 2 following the elasticity of substitution of the corresponding production function it would be only five years later in 1961 that with his coauthors kenneth j arrow et al he would find the general form of the two factor constant elasticity of substitution ces production function by integrating the differential equation corresponding to the observed relationship between output per capita and the wage rate solow s third case was indeed highly interesting since it allowed the possibility of everincreasing income per head even without any technical progress indeed solow showed that due to the efficiency of the system entailed by the particular production function he had chosen there existed a threshold for the savings rates s to generate investment per head large enough for income per head to grow forever that threshold was s nla2 where n is the growth rate of the population it was then natural to ask whether one could express that threshold in terms of the elasticity of substitution a the value of that threshold was determined by de la grandville 1989 to be equal to s no3 or where a is k s coefficient in a normalized ces function equal to a in solow s third case where u 2 for any s and n values this relationship gives also the threshold value in implicit form by the solution of ao1 1 log 3q or ilog nls by totally differentiating the last relationship one could observe that the threshold for the elasticity of substitution to entail ever sustained growth was an in klump faculty of mathematics and economics university of ulm helmholtzstrasse 20 d 89081 ulm germany de la grandville department of economics university of geneva 102 boulevard carl vogt ch 1211 geneva 4 switzerland we gratefully acknowledge the comments of seminar participants at stanford university and at the universities of stuttgart hohenheim and munich where parts of the paper were presented also we would like to thank without implicating in any way robert solow for his insightful remarks and an anonymous referee for very helnfuil supgestions wicksell cobb and douglas would no doubt burst with pride if they knew that one of our first year students wrote in a paper of his of course we recognize here a kirk douglas production function

economic growth and environmental degradation the environmental kuznets curve and sustainable development abstract in this paper we critically examine the concept of the environmental kuznets curve ekc it proposes that there is an inverted u shape relation between environmental degradation and income per capita so that eventually growth reduces the environmental impact of economic activity the concept is dependent on a model of the economy in which there is no feedback from the quality of the environment to production possibilities and in which trade has a neutral effect on environmental degradation the actual violation of these assumptions gives rise to fundamental problems in estimating the parameters of an ekc the paper identifies other econometric problems with estimates of the ekc and reviews a number of empirical studies the inference from some such ekc estimates that further development will reduce environmental degradation is dependent on the assumption that world per capita income is normally distributed when in fact median income is far below mean income we carry out simulations combining ekc estimates from the literature with world bank forecasts for economic growth for individual countries aggregating over countries to derive the global impact within the horizon of the bank s forecast 2025 global emissions of so 2 continue to increase forest loss stabilizes before the end of the period but tropical deforestation continues at a constant rate throughout the period

inequality income growth and mobility the basic facts during the 1950s and 1960s mean wages in the united states grew rapidly and the dispersion around this growing mean changed very litde starting in the 1970s and continuing into the 1980s and 1990s these patterns were reversed mean wages grew slowly and inequality increased rapidly these changes in labor markets were reflected in changes in the distribution of family income the mean of the distribution of family income did increase after 1973 in spite of the near constancy of mean real wages as family members increased the number of hours they worked however the increase in inequality of wages was mirrored by an increase in the dispersion of family income a large descriptive literature has documented the rise in inequality while a smaller behavioral literature has sought to delineate the causes of this rise these changes in the distribution of family income a fected rates of poverty directly during the 1950s and 1960s temporary increases in poverty during recessions were more than offset by declines in poverty during economic expansions as long as the poor gained along with everyone else fi om the secular growth in the mean one could be confident that poverty rates would ratchet down this is exactly what happened as poverty rates fell from 22 4 percent in 1959 to 11 1 percent in 1973

rediscovering place and accounting space how to re embed the human economy abstract this article proposes to move beyond monetary assessments of ecosystem services in order to counteract an important mechanism behind their current undervaluation the process of disembedding disembedding describes the influence of modernity on social relationships it also clarifies how human nature relationships have been affected modern societies have become disembedded from the context of local ecosystems resulting in diminishing knowledge of and attention to ecosystem services the emergence of general purpose money is presented as a key factor in the disembedding process because it has brought with it the message of substitutability and the possibility of an increasing appropriation of distant ecosystems the paper argues that in order to re embed societies instead of pursuing current trends the limits to human expansion in the biosphere have to be made visible therefore a strategy of re embedding the human economy into the life support context is put forward where bioregional thought and its intention of rediscovering mapping and re inhabiting local places is combined with the ecological footprint tool in contrast to monetary assessments of ecosystem services the ecological footprint assessment presents the limits of the services availability and thus clarifies the fact that increased appropriation of bio productive space normally involves increasing pressure on remaining ecosystems

the interaction of population growth and environmental quality an important question for policy is whether holding constant per capita income and other relevant factors population pressures have a significant effect upon environmental degradation the authors examine the effect of population pressures upon deforestation in 64 developing countries in an attempt to provide relevant empirical findings data on deforestation were drawn from the food and agriculture organizations production yearbook results suggest that a relationship exists between per capita income and deforestation and that for africa rural population density shifts the relationship upward the increase in the rate of deforestation levels off as income increases the rate of growth in per capita income also has a significant negative impact upon deforestation although the magnitude of the effect is small the authors close in stressing that reducing the rate of population growth is not necessarily the best way to reduce the rate of deforestation deforestation in developing countries is really a problem of market failure since property rights are often neither defined nor enforced there is essentially no private cost of deforestation with no long term stake in the land people have no incentive to use land efficiently this situation must be addressed in conjunction with the problems of poverty and population growth

ecologically unsustainable trade abstract international trade although balanced in monetary terms may be unequal in terms of the exchange of biomass and sink capacity it may also be unilaterally or mutually unsustainable if it implies the overuse of the biocapacity in either one or both of the trading partners in this article the ecological footprint concept is used to distinguish different types of ecologically unsustainable trade but the issue of the possible effects of trade on the ecological footprints is also raised we distinguish four such effects an allocative effect an income effect a rich country illusion effect and a terms of trade effect since international trade can be a subtle mechanism by which ecological sustainability is preserved locally by means of importing biomass and sink capacity from other countries it can also blur the view of responsibility for the ecological effects of production and consumption at the end of this article some ethical and political dilemmas related to these issues are raised

applying physical input output analysis to estimate land appropriation ecological footprints of international trade activities in the last few years some studies have been presented which link land use accounting and input output analysis based on monetary input output tables miots for the calculation of direct and indirect land appropriation of production and consumption activities the compilation of the first comprehensive physical input output tables piots for some western european countries in the 1990s opened new possibilities for linking physical accounting and input output analysis using a physical multiplier for this kind of calculation is more appropriate as the most land intensive sectors are also the sectors with the highest amounts of material flows physical input output analysis illustrates land appropriation in relation to material flows of each of the sectors which is more appropriate from the point of view of environmental pressures than land appropriation in relation to monetary flows of a miot physical input output analysis has so far not been applied for any land related studies based on a physical input output model of the eu 15 physical input output analysis is applied in this paper in order to calculate direct and indirect land requirements for the production of exports from eu 15 to the rest of the world

changing political regimes and tropical deforestation expansion of agriculture is a main cause of tropical deforestation government policies and weak property rights contribute to this process by encouraging landowners and landless to accelerate land clearing using panel data common to previous studies we add the dimension of new political regimes democratic and non democratic and investigate how the rate of agricultural land expansion in tropical countries depends on the nature and persistence of each regime we find that both new autocratic and democratic regimes have accelerated the expansion of agricultural land thus yielding support to some of the findings in the earlier literature interesting differences emerge between regions with the impact being most pronounced in latin america we interpret these results mainly in the context of increasing tenure and ownership insecurity which in turn is driven by the tendency of new regimes to implement land reforms as a form of social and economic policy or voter payback the argument is developed more formally using a simple competitive land use model that incorporates political regime dependent confiscation risk and agricultural subsidy policy

financial and legal constraints to growth does firm size matter using a unique firm level survey database covering 54 countries we investigate the effect of financial legal and corruption problems on firms growth rates whether these factors constrain growth depends on firm size it is consistently the smallest firms that are most constrained financial and institutional development weakens the constraining effects of financial legal and corruption obstacles and it is again the small firms that benefit the most there is only a weak relation between firms perception of the quality of the courts in their country and firm growth we also provide evidence that the corruption of bank officials constrains firm growth

the economics of tropical forest land use options tropical deforestation is generally characterized as conversion of forest land to alternative uses notably agriculture this would suggest the need for rational decision making concerning the optimal allocation of tropical forest land between competing uses the following paper explores this problem by devising rules for determining optimal land use allocation between timber and agriculture at the stand and forest levels a complementary intertemporal model for optimal allocation of forest land to agricultural conversion at the forest level is also developed and used to derive a demand relationship for agricultural conversion which is then approximated through empirical estimation

finite lifetimes and growth abstract in this paper we study the long run growth property of overlapping generations models it is shown that in one sector models with convex technologies the asymptotic growth rate must be zero this results because the young do not have sufficient income to purchase a large capital stock thus a policy of income redistribution to the young can generate growth even if financed by income taxation additionaly it is shown that two sector models and one sector models with nonconvex technologies are consistent with growth

dynamic inefficiency in an economy with land contrary to the belief that capital over accumulation is impossible in an economy with land i e a non reproducible factor of production this paper shows that the possibility of dynamic inefficiency depends on the income share of land and examines the historical tendencies of the income share of land in the u s

ecosystem service value and agricultural conversion in the amazon implications for policy intervention we explore the welfare implications of agricultural expansion in the brazilian amazon by comparing spatially explicit estimates of soybean rents and the value of ecosystem services although these estimates are generated from different datasets models and estimation techniques the values are comparable such that the value of ecosystem services is greater than soybean rents for about 61 of the total area and 24 of the area where soybean rents are positive if protected areas are well enforced based on the balance between the benefits and costs of conversion failure to value ecosystem services reduces total social welfare by 7 13 billion dollars annually relative to an optimum policy instruments that internalize the value of ecosystem services via protected lands land conversion taxes conservation subsidies or excise taxes can avoid much of this loss regardless of intervention regime policy makers should be cognizant of the diminishing net benefits of converting natural ecosystems to agriculture realizing the final 3 8 requires the conversion of an additional 15 natural ecosystems to soybean production

evaluating the performance of benefit transfer an empirical inquiry abstract benefit transfers are used by public agencies needing information on costs and benefits of policy decisions although scientific debate regarding the validity of benefit transfer is ongoing this article develops a methodology to evaluate the performance of direct benefit transfer and benefit function transfer and applies the methodology to two pairs of similar non market amenities empirical results indicate that benefit function transfer is more robust than transfer of average site benefits our results suggest that the circumstances under which benefit function transfer provides valid policy relevant information may be limited and that errors from applying benefit transfer can be quite large even across seemingly similar amenities

public open access and private timber harvests theory and application to the effects of trade liberalization in mexico a common popular assertion is that trade liberalization encourages deforestation but whether this is true depends on how trade policies affect the allocation of land among competing uses and how they influence illegal cutting of public forests a model is presented that allows for forests to be either public or private and public forests are divided into protected or managed and threatened categories effects of price changes are shown on each part of the forest an empirical version of the model is applied to the case of mexico with nafta most scenarios considered show that nafta will have positive long run effects on forest cover in mexico but that this is net of losses on private lands

benefits transfer of willingness to pay estimates and functions for health risk reductions a cross country study this paper provides a first application of the techniques of benefits transfer to the health economics literature these techniques seek to transfer the value of some good from one survey context to a new policy context so avoiding the need for new valuation surveys each time a new policy question arises two approaches to benefits transfer are assessed the simple transfer of mean values and the transferral of value functions we develop a new methodology for the latter approach in which value functions are iteratively built up from theoretical principles with transfer errors being tested each time a new variable is added through a novel application of advanced statistical tests we show that this approach outperforms the transferral of statistically driven best fit functions the case study presented focuses upon the transfer of contingent valuation cv willingness to pay wtp estimates and associated value functions for reducing the health risks associated with solar ultraviolet uv exposure common format studies are conducted in four countries with transfers between all of these being undertaken by calculating errors in predicted versus actual values across countries we show that when transferring between similar contexts simple mean value transfers outperform more complex value function transfers with the magnitude of the former errors being encouragingly small however this result is reversed when transfers are undertaken across dissimilar contexts where value functions partially adjust for these differences in summary these findings provide support and guidance for future applications

water scarcity and food import a case study for southern mediterranean countries abstract taking six southern mediterranean countries as a case study this paper addresses the water food challenges facing water scarce countries and the implications for the world food economy by accounting the volume of virtual water embedded in food imports into the countries concerned a close relationship between water endowment and food import dependence is elaborated a projection of the cereal demand suggests an increment of 40 60 percentage points in these countries by 2020 above their 1998 99 levels raising the aggregate volume of cereal imports to around 40 million tons the analysis also finds that the trend of shifting from staple grain crops to higher value cash crops was weak during the past two decades a deteriorating trade deficit for both cereal and noncereal agricultural products was evident in almost all the countries suggesting a rigid and persistent constraint of water scarcity on overall agricultural development the results of this case study highlight two important points a food imports are imperative for compensating water resource deficiency b water scarcity related food imports will continue to expand and impose increasing impacts on the global food economy

national natural capital accounting with the ecological footprint concept abstract there is a growing consensus among natural and social scientists that sustainability depends on maintaining natural capital however progress to put this ecological condition to practice has been slow not least because of the inability of making these objectives measurable therefore to overcome this obstacle assessment frameworks for natural capital are needed this study presents a simple framework for national and global natural capital accounting it demonstrates using the example of italy an accounting framework which tracks national economies energy and resource throughput and translates them into biologically productive areas necessary to produce these flows this calculation has been applied to over 52 countries with this framework based on the ecological footprint concept human consumption can be compared with natural capital production at the global and national level using existing data

permanent and temporary policy incentives for conservation under stochastic returns from competing land uses rapid conversion of private land for agricultural and urban use has raised concern worldwide over the loss of ecological services to inform conservation policy we model privately optimal land use decisions using a real options framework that assumes both the ecological and commercial values of land are stochastic and that land conversion is irreversible we analyze permanent and temporary land conservation policy incentives using this dynamic framework to guide policy makers interested in designing efficient payment mechanisms to achieve ecological preservation goals we find that while the financial cost of temporary policy incentives is generally much lower than permanent policy incentives this difference is very small in scenarios with high discount rates and lower uncertainties in conversion returns and lower expected trend in conservation returns alternately the financial cost of temporary conservation is substantially lower than that of permanent conservation when the expected trend in conservation returns and uncertainties in conservation and conversion returns is high and the discount rate is low comparison with net present value and single source uncertainty models indicates that the presence of a second uncertainty increases the option value of delaying conversion and shows that permanent and temporary policy incentives based on either of the two simpler models can be seriously misguided if multiple uncertainties are present we illustrate the analytical results with a case study of tropical deforestation in indonesia where private landowners can either conserve forests and earn carbon credits or convert to palm oil agriculture and earn profits from the sale of palm oil

land use and income diversification comparing traditional and colonist populations in the brazilian amazon this article compares and analyzes land use and income diversification among two distinct groups of farmers in the brazilian amazon recent colonists in ouro preto do oeste rondonia and traditional long term residents along the tapajos river para we investigate the hypothesis that farmers who diversify their cash income sources clear less forest on an annual basis and we compare these livelihood choices across colonist and traditional populations in particular we develop a conceptual model based on the household production framework and use econometric models to identify determinants of diversification and forest clearing we find that diversification of agricultural cash crops is negatively correlated with forest clearing by colonists providing limited evidence for the hypothesis other significant covariates of diversification and forest clearing include cash income levels stage in family life cycle cattle ownership and chemical inputs differences in these variables and differences in household response to these variables explain variation in diversification and forest clearing across the two populations

dynamic externalities multiple equilibria and growth abstract i consider an olg model with production and a single commodity i show that in such an environment unbounded growth of income per capita is not possible if the aggregate technology is of the constant returns to scale type i introduce an external effect in the aggregate production function and derive conditions under which persistent growth is an equilibrium outcome the introduction of an external effect also creates poverty traps and open sets of initial conditions for which there exists an infinite multiplicity of equilibria when such a multiplicity exists equilibria with the same initial position will display different asymptotic behaviors finally i show that by introducing appropriate tax schemes a unique equilibrium path can be selected

trade policies economic growth and the direct causes of deforestation by ramon lopez gregmar i galinato please send correspondence to ramon lopez 2200 symons hall university of maryland college park md 20742 email rlopez arec umd edu tel 301 405 1281 fax 301 314 9091 gregmar i galinato 2200 symons hall university of maryland college park md 20742 email ggalinato arec umd edu tel 301 405 0477 fax 301 314 9091

virtual land use and agricultural trade estimating environmental and socio economic impacts abstract liberalization has caused an increase in the global trade of goods and services in particular the value and physical volume of agricultural goods traded have largely increased as the environmental and social consequences of trade are complex they are rarely included in the national and international agricultural policies one reason is that there is a lack of concepts and methods for assessing the environmental and social impacts of trade policies in this paper we develop a method for quantifying and assessing the land use hidden in the export and import of agricultural goods for the case of switzerland for our analysis we focus on arable crops the first methodological step of our research illustrates the spatial relationship of switzerland with countries all over the world through the import and export of land use for arable crops the second step links this spatial dimension with a qualitative assessment of the environmental and socio economic impacts of agricultural land use we applied the method to the case of wheat cultivation within switzerland and import to switzerland the major problem we were confronted with was the availability of data which had both to be reliable and available for the countries wheat is imported from the results show that the calculation of land use is credible in spite of the problems related with data availability the assessment results for each indicator are in agreement with the current situation in the respective countries in addition the aggregation seems to accurately reflect the countries agricultural polices the developed method is used to estimate the overall environmental and socio economic impacts of an increase in wheat imports to switzerland we argue that this method could be applied for anticipating potential impacts of trade agreements still further research is required for fine tuning of the utility functions including a weighting procedure in the aggregation procedure for practical applications important aspects like water shortage should enlarge our limited set of indicators in addition the average impact on a country level was assessed to refine that different agricultural systems ranging from intensive to extensive to organic should be considered beyond our scope was to analyze impacts due to other life cycle stages than the agricultural production for informed decision however information on the whole life cycle of agricultural products is required

factor eliminating technical change endogenous growth requires that non reproducible factors of production be either augmented or eliminated attention heretofore has focused almost exclusively on augmentation in contrast we study factor elimination maximizing agents decide when to reduce the importance of non reproducible factors we use a cobb douglas production function with two factors of production one reproducible capital and one not labor there is no augmenting progress of any kind thus excluding the standard engine of growth what is new is the possibility of changing factor intensities endogenously by spending resources on r d the economy starts with no capital and no knowledge of how to use it by conducting r d the economy learns new technologies that use capital which then is built there are two possible ultimate outcomes the economy may achieve perpetual growth or it may stagnate with no growth the rst outcome is an asymptotic version of the ak model of endogenous growth and the second outcome is the standard solow model in the absence of any exogenous sources of growth which outcome is achieved depends on parameter values of saving and production and there always is a feasible saving rate that will give the perpetual growth outcome the model thus provides a theory of the endogenous emergence of a production technology with constant returns to the reproducible factors that is one that is capable of supporting perpetual economic growth the model also allows derivation of the full transition dynamics which have interesting properties one especially notable feature is that the origin is not a steady state an economy that starts with pure

rebound effects in agricultural land and soil management review and analytical framework abstract increasing the efficiency of production is the basis for decoupling economic growth from resource consumption in agriculture more efficient use of natural resources is at the heart of sustainable intensification however technical improvements do not directly translate into resource savings because producers and consumers adapt their behaviour to such improvements often resulting in a rebound effect where part or all of the potential resource savings are offset in extreme cases increases in efficiency may even result in higher instead of lower resource consumption the jevons paradox rebound effects are particularly complex in agricultural land and soil management where multiple resources are used simultaneously and efficiency gains aim to lower the need for farmland water energy nutrients pesticides and greenhouse gas emissions in this context quantification of rebound effects is a prerequisite for generating realistic scenarios of global food provision and for advancing the debate on land sparing versus land sharing however studies that provide an overview of rebound effects related to the resources used in agriculture or guidelines for assessing potential rebound effects from future innovations are lacking this paper contributes to closing this gap by reviewing the current state of knowledge and developing a framework for a structured appraisal of rebound effects as a test case the proposed framework is applied to emerging technologies and practices in agricultural soil management in germany the literature review revealed substantial evidence of rebound effects or even jevons paradox with regard to efficiency increases in land productivity and irrigation water use by contrast there were few studies addressing rebound effects from efficiency increases in fertilizer use pesticide application agricultural energy use and greenhouse gas emissions while rebound effects are by definition caused by behavioural adaptations of humans in agriculture also natural adaptations occur such as resistance of pests to certain pesticides future studies should consider extending the definition of rebound effects to such natural adaptations the test case revealed the potential for direct and indirect economic rebound effects of a number of emerging technologies and practices such as improved irrigation technologies which increase water productivity and may thereby contribute to increases in irrigated areas and total water use the results of this study indicated that rebound effects must be assessed to achieve realistic estimates of resource savings from efficiency improvements and to enable informed policy choices the framework developed in this paper is the first to facilitate such assessments

the validity of environmental benefits transfer further empirical testing this paper provides further empirical evidence of the validity of environmental benefits transfer based on cv studies by expanding the analysis to include control factors which have not been accounted for in previous studies these factors refer to differences in respondent attitudes traditional population characteristics were taken into account but these variables do not explain why respondents from the same socio economic group may still hold different beliefs norms or values and hence have different attitudes and consequently state different wtp amounts the test results are mixed the function transfer approach is valid in one case but is rejected in the 3 other cases investigated in this paper we provide further evidence that in the case of statistically valid benefits transfer the function approach results in a more robust benefits transfer than the unit value approach we also show that the equality of coefficient estimates is a necessary but insufficient condition for valid benefit function transfer and discuss the implications for previous and future validity testing

spatial transferability of hedonic house price functions mcarthur d p osland l and thorsen i spatial transferability of hedonic house price functions regional studies the aim of this paper is to investigate whether it is possible to use parameter estimates from a hedonic function estimated in one region to make reliable predictions in another region two regions in south west norway are taken as the example focus is placed on the stability and transferability of parameters attached to two measures of spatial structure proximity to the central business district cbd and accessibility to the labour market in making this judgement classical statistical tests are employed alongside equivalence testing the conclusions are that predictions made using transferred spatial structure parameters were equivalent given the chosen tolerance level mcarthur d p osland l et thorsen i la transferabilite geographique des fonctions hedoniques des prix du logement regional studies cet article cherche a examiner si oui ou non on peut employer des estimations p

amenity benefits and the optimal allocation of land agricultural land often yields sig nificant amenity benefits that may not be re flected in the prevailing allocation of land be tween agricultural and nonagricultural uses this paper introduces a simple supply demand model that incorporates these benefits in the de termination of optimal land allocation three stage least squares and county level data are used to estimate the supply and demand param eters these estimates confirm the plausibility of the conceptual model results from the con tingent valuation literature illustrate the extent of underallocation of land to agriculture due to existing institutional conditions some correc tive measures and their distributional effects are discussed and quantified jel q24

examining the global environmental impact of regional consumption activities part 1 a technical note on combining input output and ecological footprint analysis in recent years there have been a number of attempts to develop a more comprehensive approach to the issue of measuring resource use and or pollution generation embodied in trade flows including contributions that combine input output techniques and ecological footprint analysis in this two part paper we describe how to enumerate the resource and or pollution content of inter regional and inter national trade flows part 1 and we present a literature review of recent methodological and empirical developments part 2 it is straightforward in principle to extend the basic input output approach to capture international trade flows however in practice problems of data availability and compatibility and of computability of extended input output matrices mean that simplifying assumptions are generally applied but with the implications of these assumptions often not made fully explicit what appears to be absent from previous applications is an account of the analytical method by which ecological footprints should ideally be estimated in an international input output accounting analysis this allows an explicit analysis of the problems that prevent the application of the full method and identification of the most appropriate short cut methods in a transparent way the objective of this paper is to provide such an account

applying input output analysis to scenario analysis of ecological footprints abstract application of input output analysis to ecological footprints efs is shifting from an ex post static calculation toward an ex ante scenario analysis for enhancing the policy relevance of ef analysis this change in application prompts two issues requiring careful examination 1 what is measured by leontief inverses or extended environmental leontief inverses and 2 whether a sector s land multiplier or compositions of land multiplier can appropriately reflect the effect of delivering one unit of the sector s output to final demand on the required area s of production lands used by the sector itself and by other producing sectors whose products are contributed directly and indirectly to its production the underlying message of these two questions is whether the assumed linear marginal relationship between a sector s output and its intermediate inputs input output coefficients a critical assumption made by w leontief to transform a transactions table from an accounting framework into the input output model can be extended to assume that the marginal relationship between a sector s output and the area of production land it uses for generating output is fixed land output marginal coefficient equal to average coefficient by reviewing the literature on input output analysis and its application to environmental issues and by theoretically and empirically examining the relation between sector output and land appropriation this study advises against the use of land multipliers or their compositions in the ef scenario analysis to apply the input output model to ef scenario analysis for enhancing policy relevance with due attention to the relationship between sector output and land appropriation this study suggests a two stage ef calculation procedure in the first stage the input output application estimates only the required raw materials or generated pollutants for meeting a given consumption pattern which is the objective of environmental input output analysis in the second stage the estimated amount of raw materials or pollutants is converted into land water area and a choice of conversion methods is suggested according to the research questions and the availability of conversion methods and required data

consumption patterns and their effects on land required for food abstract vast amounts of land are required for the production of food but the area suitable for growing crops is limited in this paper attention is paid to the relationship between food consumption patterns and agricultural land requirements land requirements per food item that were determined in a previous study are combined with data on the per capita food consumption of various food packages varying from subsistence to affluent leading to information on land requirements for food large differences could be shown in per capita food consumption and related land requirements while food consumption expenditure and the physical consumption of specific foods change rapidly over time a difference of a factor of two was found between the requirements for existing european food patterns while the land requirement for a hypothetical diet based on wheat was six times less than that for an existing affluent diet with meat it is argued that in the near future changes in consumption patterns rather than population growth will form the most important variable for total land requirements for food trends towards the consumption of foods associated with affluent lifestyles will bring with them a need for more land lifestyle changes changes in consumer behavior on a household level can be considered as powerful options to reduce the use of natural resources such as agricultural land

tracing distant environmental impacts of agricultural products from a consumer perspective globally trade flows of agricultural products are increasing while value is typically added along the whole production chain certain environmental impacts such as land and water use biomass appropriation and soil degradation are intrinsically linked to where the primary products originate from when taking a consumer oriented approach on environmental problems bilateral trade statistics can help in providing a clearer picture about the location of impacts caused by consumption elsewhere however in today s increasingly globalized world consumer goods are often imported from countries other than where the primary product originated from for instance soybeans are transported from brazil to the netherlands where they are processed into soy oil which is shipped to austria where it is consumed utilizing bilateral trade matrices and matrix algebra we present a method that allows to clearly link consumption patterns to the origin of primary products in this the method can help to provide information about consumption related distant environmental impacts we employ the case of land and water use linked to austria s soy product consumption to demonstrate the approach s relevance finally we outline some possible applications of this method to show its potential in enhancing understanding for informed consumer based environmental decision making

tele connecting urban food consumption to land use at multiple spatial scales a case study of beef in taiwan abstract this study takes the first step to tele connect urban food consumption to land use at multiple spatial scales by taking beef consumption of taiwan during 1990 2016 as a test case the novelty of this study is to make a quantitative effort in advancing the methodological approach in urban studies and facilitates future research in the subject area our numerical results support the hypothesis of ult associated with beef consumption and suggest that the phenomena of beef related land teleconnection are more significant in urban areas from the time dynamic perspective moreover trade liberalization extends the spatial spectrum of implied land use associated with beef consumption it allows imports towards relative land saving origins and alleviates beef related ult finally income growth plays a key role in driving up the implied land use of beef consumption at earlier stage of urban development in contrast at the later stage the increase in expenditure intensity of beef accounts for surging beef consumption in cities

technological progress mobility and economic growth this paper analyzes the relationship between technological progress wage inequality intergenerational earnings mobility and economic growth in periods of major technological inventions a decline in the relative importance of initial conditions raises inequality enhances mobility and generates a larger concentration of high ability individuals in technologically advanced sectors stimulating future technological progress and growth however once technologies become more accessible mobility is diminished and inequality decreases but becomes more persistent the reduction in the concentration of ability in technologically advanced sectors diminishes the likelihood of technological breakthroughs and slows future growth user friendliness therefore becomes unfriendly to future economic growth copyright 1997 by american economic association

choice modelling and its potential application to tropical rainforest preservation abstract loss of rainforest occurs in part because of a global market failure problem markets routinely transmit signals about international demands for forest products such as timber but fail to transmit signals about demands for preservation to make efficient resource allocation choices decision makers need some framework to estimate the non use values that might be held by an international community for rainforest preservation non market valuation techniques can be used for this purpose but framing and other problems limit the application of the contingent valuation method cvm an alternative technique choice modelling cm appears to hold some promise because it can be used to model complex situations and to frame choices consistent with real life choices in this paper a cm experiment to assess the values that australians hold for rainforest conservation in vanuatu is reported the experiment disguises effectively the issue of interest rainforest conservation in vanuatu within a pool of other conservation locations also the experiment demonstrates that choice tradeoffs may involve a variety of environmental and socio economic factors rather than be concentrated on some monetary tradeoff the results demonstrate that a variety of predictive and valuation tools can be gained from a cm experiment and suggest that further development is warranted

trade liberalization economic specialization and the environment abstract a great deal has been written and a great deal of debate has raged on the effects of international trade and trade liberalization on the environment given that it is only recently that the general agreement on tariffs and trade has begun to address the interdependence of the international economy and the international environment in a systematic way it is likely that the debate will continue for quite some time it will be argued that the economic case for there being benign environmental consequences associated with trade liberalization is flawed in important ways this is due to statistical empirical and conceptual issues which affect the estimation of such effects moreover it will be argued that despite the intensity of the debate the effects of international trade on the environment have in fact only been addressed in an incidental manner rather the debate has concentrated on factors that may coexist with trade but not on the role of trade itself this has served to obscure the more fundamental environmental effects of trade liberalization through the homogenization and specialization of ecosystems

explaining forest transitions the role of governance abstract we analyze how governance may influence competing land uses for forests and thus the occurrence of forest transitions across different low and middle income countries we develop a model of competing land uses that allows for governance to impact the risk of future versus current agricultural and forested land allocations the resulting hypothesis on the relationship between governance and the likelihood of a forest transition is then tested using cross country data the empirical analysis offers strong support for the competing land use framework and indicates that rule of law forest policy and regulatory quality influence forest transitions these findings inform not only the ongoing debate on forest transitions but also policy options for managing such transitions in developing economies

factor shares and savings in endogenous growth in models of steady investment driven growth an individual s propensity to save depends on how much of his income is drawn from accumulated factors of production capital rather than from nonaccumulated factors when agents are heterogeneous in this respect growth oriented policies have distributional consequences and in the absence of lump sum redistribution their implementation faces political constraints if the median voter is capital poor relative to the economy s representative agent political interactions tend to slow down growth when policy acts on capital s income share and tend to accelerate it when investment subsidies are the policy instrument of choice copyright 1993 by american economic association

the transferability of benefit transfer contingent valuation of water quality improvements in costa rica abstract identical contingent valuation studies of willingness to pay wtp for improvements in coastal water quality were conducted in the town of jaco and city of puntarenas on the pacific coast of costa rica several common hypotheses for benefit transfer reliability were tested for the transfer of wtp estimates between the two communities as well as between districts within puntarenas this study finds no basis for the claim that the reliability of benefit transfer increases with proximity between the study site where wtp estimates are taken from and the policy site estimates are transferred to the claim that transfer of wtp adjusted by the benefit function outperforms transfers of unadjusted or simple income adjusted wtp is rejected for this particular study results also show that census type socio economic site characteristics are necessary but not sufficient to explain site specific differences in wtp the trade offs in designing valid and reliable benefit transfer studies with transferable results are discussed

benefit transfer via preference calibration prudential algebra for policy this paper proposes a new approach to benefit transfer the method assumes a specific form for preferences and uses available benefit information to identify and calibrate the preference parameters to match the existing benefit estimates this approach assures economic consistency of the transfers benefit measures can never be inconsistent with household income the logic also offers a series of potentially observable predictions that can be used to gauge the plausibility of benefit transfers when multiple benefit estimates from different methods are available such as hedonic property value travel cost demand and contingent valuation the framework uses the definition of the benefit concept from each method in a single preference function to reconcile differences it provides a specific way to take account of baseline conditions and scope effects i e the size of the proposed change consistently in the transfer the method is illustrated using estimates for benefit measure changes in water quality from three studies travel cost demand hedonic property value and contingent valuation analysis q26

choice experiments site similarity and benefits transfer choice experiments are designed to account for variations in environmental resources and site characteristics as well as potential implications of these variations for willingness to pay as a result choice experiment results may be well suited for benefits transfer it is unclear however whether the flexibility of choice experiments renders the similarity of study and transfer sites less critical for transfer validity drawing from identical choice experiments conducted in different rhode island communities this model assesses the extent to which error in function based benefits transfer is related to the similarity of communities across a variety of observable dimensions results suggest that site similarity at least across some dimensions influences the validity of choice experiment benefits transfers however the use of some measures of similarity as indicators of transfer error may provide misleading results

design and development of a measuring method for environmental sustainability in food production systems abstract these days sustainability is a key issue for many private companies that address their sustainable corporate performance scp the perspective is essential for their license to operate and forms the basis for business principles and practices the lack of internationally accepted reporting standards on what when and where to report makes it difficult to assess sustainability however moreover measuring tools providing information on scp are only the first step towards sustainability to prevent negative effects of operations being transferred from one company to another the second step is the development of a system based approach for all companies that contribute to an end product this paper presents the findings of a study about the use of environmental indicators for food production and proposes a measuring method for environmental sustainability in food production systems the study shows that environmental scp often focuses on events at a local level the enormous number of indicators found in the literature generates too much data that often provide no additional knowledge on the environmental sustainability of a system moreover although environmental research has addressed many aspects of sustainability it has often ignored interactions overall environmental implications of food production are therefore poorly understood the proposed measuring method uses three indicators that address global environmental issues the use of energy from both fossil and renewable sources land and water the systemic approach can calculate trade offs along supply chains that make up a production system the use of the method implies an extension of environmental scp towards the overall performance of a production system the final outcome is expressed in three performance indicators the total land energy and water requirement per kilogram of available food for companies the data generated can be used to compare trends over time to compare results with targets and to benchmark a company against others for consumers data can be used to compare the environmental effects of various foods the method is also applicable to other business sectors the study is part of a multidisciplinary project on the scientific modeling and measuring of scp involving economic social and environmental dimensions acceptance of the measuring methods developed may be a powerful contribution towards creating sustainable business practices

the spatial decay in commuting probabilities employment potential vs commuting gravity we show that an employment potential capitalisation model produces estimates of the spatial decay in employment impact on land prices that are very close to the decay observed in commuting data

the causes of tropical deforestation in ecuador a statistical analysis abstract this paper reports a statistical analysis of the causes of agricultural colonization and land clearing in eastern ecuador the results bolster many of the arguments that have been made about the social forces driving tropical deforestation in general the prospect of capturing agricultural rents stimulates settlement of tree covered hinterlands accordingly the presence of roads and urban centers attracts rural settlement colonists also prefer to go where soils are suitable for crop or livestock production all else remaining the same in addition to being a function of population pressure the extent of land clearing is shown to be a consequence of tenure insecurity these results suggest that institutional reform is needed to encourage conservation of tropical forests

a model of shifting cultivation can soil conservation reduce deforestation shifting cultivators manage soil not only by adjusting soil use on already cleared lands as in continuous cultivation but also by clearing forests to obtain new fertile soils this study examines the crucial link between on farm soil conservation and deforestation in shifting cultivation by modeling forest clearing as an investment in soil for a private farmer more generally by doing so the study attempts to integrate deforestation and soil conservation models which have been separately developed in the literature our policy goal is to arrest tropical deforestation as destruction of global commons caused by land degradation in shifting cultivation while improving the well being of poor shifting cultivators our integrated approach enables joint policy analyses of deforestation and land degradation three welfare enhancing policies are considered the first is agricultural and nonagricultural subsidies affecting farm and nonfarm income opportunities the second is fiscal and tenure policies affecting discount rates our question is whether the link between forest clearing and soil fertility alters the outcomes of these two standard macroeconomic policies commonly found in the literature the third policy or program is various soil conservation measures affecting soil regeneration and erosivity on already cleared lands this article examines a very important question which has received little attention in previous theoretical works can soil conservation reduce deforestation this study confirms anti deforestation effects of the promotion of nonfarming activities a common and often emphasized finding in previous works among shifting cultivators more importantly it also demonstrates that improving various soil conservation measures not only discourages forest clearing among shifting cultivators but also tends to have greater effects on forest protection than promoting nonfarming activities contrarily agricultural price subsidy or technological progress gives rise to the opposite outcome and lowering the farmer s discount rate or improving tenure security encourages him her to clear more forests just to accumulate soil

planning timber production with evolving prices and costs the traditional faustmann solution to the timber harvesting problem was developed for an environment in which prices costs and technology were constant recent contributions recognizing the evolution of economic institutions have developed solutions to optimal harvesting problems under a variety of more realistic assumptions nautiyal and fowler 1980 show that the socially desirable rotation in a monopolistic situation is longer than that which maximizes the monopolist s present worth but is shorter than the atomistic rotation p 213 heaps and neher 1979 derive the optimal rotation when the rate of harvest is constrained bare and waggener 1980 investigate the value of timberland when timber prices change using a traditional faustmann model murphy fortson and bethune 1977 deal with an imperfect capital market one problem not addressed by recent contributions concerns the violation of the assumption of constant price and cost functions for timber production this assumption clearly does not hold stumpage prices exhibit substantial short run fluctuations and systematic long run trends for southern pine and douglas fir two species that are potential crops for timber plantations historical evidence demonstrates that stumpage prices relative to other price have grown steadily for the period 1913 1978 the ratio of southern pine stumpage price to prices paid by farmers increased at a 4 annual rate while the same ratio for douglas fir increased at an annual rate of 5 7 1 for douglas fir and southern pine forecasts of prices and costs based on his

variable factor shares measurement and growth accounting abstract recent evidence shows that factor shares are not constant consequently growth accounting exercises rely on a false assumption and a measurement problem arises we propose an empirical methodology to solve the measurement issue and estimate tfp growth

factor shares in olg models of growth abstract in standard infinite horizon optimizing models of balanced growth aggregate savings are positively related to private rates of return on investment or for a given technology to the share of accumulated factors of production in aggregate income a relationship of opposite sign may however obtain in overlapping generations olg models where higher rates of return on older agents wealth imply lower disposable income for young laborers with high saving propensity this paper explores such issues in the context of a continuous time olg model deriving simple parametric restrictions conductive to results of either type and discussing how infinite horizon results may carry over to olg settings

deforestation and agricultural productivity in the cote d ivoire an optimal control model is used to determine the optimal steady state forest stock in the cote d ivoire this stock is shown to increase with increases in the forestry returns relative to those in agriculture technological progress in agriculture and increases in the social discount rate serve to lower the optimal steady state forest stock based on an estimated aggregate yield function the optimal forest stock is shown to be most sensitive to changes in the social rate of discount assuming current 1985 technology deforestation appears socially optimal only for values of the discount rate greater than 8

income distribution and the process of development abstract this paper examines the evolution of the role of income distribution in the process of development it presents a unified model that encompasses the transition between distinct regimes that have characterized the relationship between income inequality and the process of development this unified modeling provides an intertemporal reconciliation for conflicting viewpoints about the effect of inequality on economic growth the classical approach which argues that inequality stimulates capital accumulation and economic growth and the modern approach which suggests in contrast that for sufficiently wealthy economies equality stimulates investment in human capital and economic growth

diet and the distribution of environmental impact abstract this paper examines the relationship between scale and distribution issues it is argued that since achieving a sustainable scale requires economic activity to stay within biophysical limits considerations of equity should not be limited to the distribution of monetary measures such as income but should include the distribution of scarce environmental services as well in order to make this point this paper examines how differences in diet across populations lead to inequality in the distribution of environmental impact first the distribution of food consumption across the world s population is examined using national data next ecological footprints are estimated in order to ascertain how differences in diet affect the distribution of environmental impact the results show that the meat intensive diet enjoyed by many in the industrialized world leads to a greater degree of inequality in the use of environmental services than is apparent from examination of the distribution of food consumption across countries