the bond old bond spread abstract i document the profits on a trade that is long the old 30 year treasury bond and short the new 30 year treasury bond and is rolled over every auction cycle from june 1995 to november 1999 despite the systematic convergence of the spread over the auction cycle the average profits are close to zero the difference in repo market financing rates between the two bonds is a significant cost of carry in this trade i show that variation in the bond old bond spread is driven by the treasury supply of 30 year bonds as well as aggregate factors affecting investors preference for liquid assets

bond liquidity premia recent asset pricing models of limits to arbitrage emphasize the role of funding conditions faced by financial intermediaries in the us the repo market is the key funding market then the premium of on the run u s treasury bonds should share a common component with risk premia in other markets

stochastic equilibria existence spanning number and the no expected financial gain from trade hypothesis stochastic equilibria under uncertainty with continuous time security trading and consumption are demonstrated in a general setting a common question is whether the current price of a security is an unbiased predictor of the future price of the security plus intermediate dividends this is the hypothesis of no expected financial gains from trade the relevance of this hypothesis in multi good economies is called into question by the following demonstrated fact for each set of probability assessments there exists a corresponding equilibrium one with the original agents original equilibrium allocations and no expected financial gains from trade under the given probability assessments the spanning number of the economy is defined as the fewest number of security markets required to sustain a complete markets equilibrium in a dynamic sense made precise in the paper the spanning number is linked directly to agent primitives in particular the manner in which new information resolves uncertainty over time the spanning number is shown to be invariant under bounded changes in expectations several examples are given in which the spanning number is finite even though the number of potential states of the world is infinite

idiosyncratic variation of treasury bill yields i document a dramatic increase in the importance of two types of variation in treasury bill yields beginning in the early 1980s the first is idiosyncratic variation in individual short maturity less than three months bill yields the second is a common component in treasury bill yields that is not shared by yields on other instruments such as short maturity privately issued instruments or longer maturity treasury notes and bonds some evidence suggests the first type reflects increased market segmentation these results have important implications for the calibration and testing of no arbitrage term structure models and interpreting tests of the expectations hypothesis united states treasury bill yields play a central role in economists efforts to understand the behavior of financial markets the focus on treasury bills is driven by the belief that bill yields can be viewed as benchmarks from which yields on other debt instruments are derived for example in no arbitrage models of the default free term structure the stochastic properties of the hypothetical instantaneous interest rate determine bond prices researchers often construct and evaluate these models using short maturity bill yields as proxies for instantaneous interest rates similarly bill yields are frequently used to test the expectations hypothesis of the term structure 2 economists standard pricing models for default risky securities also view treasury yields as building blocks in such models yields on default risky securities depend at least in part on the yields of default free securities and the underlying stochastic default process therefore yields on treasury bills have been used in studies of the effects of monetary policy on the business cycle not because bills are intrinsically critical to the economy but because

the mispricing of u s treasury bonds a case study this article documents an apparent pricing anomaly involving 94 percent 30 year treasury bonds during the months of may and june 1986 during this period the price of the 94s rose sharply relative to the prices of other long term treasury bonds and created a potential arbitrage opportunity in addition owners of the 94 bonds were able to borrow at a zero interest rate bypledging their bonds detailed examination reveals that this relative pricing anomaly cannot be attributed to changes in the level or term structure of interest rates or to differences between the bonds with respect to liquidity taxation or duration

salomon brothers and the may 1991 treasury auction analysis of a market corner abstract in may 1991 the treasury sold 12 29 billion in two year notes through improper bidding salomon brothers gained control of at least 86 percent of the issue this study investigates the impact of salomon s attempted corner by examining the postauction price behaviour of the two year note based on a no arbitrage relation the results show that the two year note was substantially overpriced for approximately six weeks following the auction the typical mispricing during this period is estimated at 0 16 to 0 25 percent of par in dollar terms the aggregate misvaluation averaged 20 30 million and by controlling the supply of the issue salomon stood to gain substantially from the squeeze

pricing default swaps empirical evidence in this paper we compare market prices of credit default swaps with model prices we show that a simple reduced form model outperforms directly comparing bonds credit spreads to default swap premiums we find that the model yields unbiased premium estimates for default swaps on investment grade issuers but only if we use swap or repo rates as proxy for default free interest rates this indicates that the government curve is no longer seen as the reference default free curve we also show that the model is relatively insensitive to the value of the assumed recovery rate

agency relationships in family firms theory and evidence does owner management necessarily eliminate the agency costs of ownership drawing on agency literature and on the economic theory of the household we argue that private ownership and owner management expose privately held owner managed firms to agency threats ignored by jensen s and meckling s 1976 agency model private ownership and owner management not only reduce the effectiveness of external control mechanisms they also expose firms to a self control problem created by incentives that cause owners to take actions which harm themselves as well as those around them jensen 1994 p 43 thus shareholders have incentive to invest resources in curbing both managerialand owner opportunism we extend this thesis to the domain of the family firm after developing hypotheses which describe how family dynamics and specifically altruism exacerbate agency problems experienced by these privately held owner managed firms we use data obtained from a large scale survey of family businesses to field test our hypotheses and find evidence which suggests support for our proposed theory finally we discuss the implications of our theory for research on family and other types of privately held owner managed firms

on arbitrage free pricing of interest rate contingent claims unlike most interest rate claim models the ho lee model utilizes full information on the current term structure unfortunately the model has a major deficiency in that negative interest rates can occur this article modifies the model such that interest rates are well behaved

arbitrage and the expectations hypothesis this paper shows that all traditional forms of the expectations hypothesis can be consistent with the absence of arbitrage if markets are incomplete a key implication is that the validity of the expectations hypothesis is purely an empirical issue the expectations hypothesis cannot be ruled out on a priori theoretical grounds one of the oldest and best known models in finance is the expectations hypothesis of the term structure introduced by fisher 1896 more than a century ago the expectations hypothesis has become a standard framework for explaining how yields of different maturities are related and it provides an important empirical benchmark from a theoretical perspective however the expectations hypothesis is not generally viewed as a viable model of the term structure in particular cox ingersoll and ross 1981 show that the traditional expectations hypothesis is actually a set of mutually exclusive propositions and offer a proof that most forms of the expectations hypothesis admit arbitrage recently mcculloch 1993 and fisher and gilles 1998 present counterexamples to the cox et al proof showing that the traditional forms of the expectations hypothesis can be consistent with the absence of arbitrage they acknowledge however that their counterexamples are somewhat contrived and view them as economically implausible these results leave the impression that the expectations hypothesis is only consistent with the absence of arbitrage in pathological cases of little practical interest in this paper we argue that the expectations hypothesis is much more theoretically defensible than commonly believed an important point often overlooked is that the cox et al 1981 results are developed in an economic setting where bonds are redundant securities in the more realistic case where bond prices display security specific variation and there is mounting evidence of this traditional forms of the expectations hypothesis can hold quite generally without arbitrage only weak conditions guaranteeing the existence of an equivalent martingale measure need be satisfied for the various forms of the expectations hypothesis to hold without arbitrage a key

on viable diffusion price processes of the market portfolio the assumption that the market portfolio follows a specified diffusion process implies in a simple equilibrium framework that the representative individual must have a certain utility function which is identified in the paper not every diffusion process is viable i e can be endogenized to be the market portfolio s price process in such an equilibrium model the paper provides necessary and sufficient conditions for viability which imply that viable diffusion processes constitute a rather restricted family it is common in financial economics especially in the option pricing literature to take a certain price dynamics of an underlying asset as a primitive assumption the results are then seemingly preference free but it is known that if one wishes to embed such a partial equilibrium model in a general equilibrium framework this can be obtained only with certain individuals preferences for example the black scholes 1973 model in which the underlying asset follows a geometric brownian motion is known to be consistent with utility functions which exhibit constant proportional risk aversion cpra see rubinstein 1976 breeden and litzenberger 1978 brennan 1979 stapleton and subrahmanyam 1984 and bick 1987 by this we mean that if the market portfolio follows a geometric brownian motion then necessarily the utility function of the representative individual exhibits cpra conversely one can construct a simple economy with a stock and a riskless bond where identical individuals have cpra type utility functions and where the endogenous stock price enumerated by the bond follows a prespecified geometric brownian motion however the utility function which corresponds in equilibrium to a general diffusion process has never been identified this was the initial motivation for this paper the problem loosely stated is as follows suppose we are told that in a simple equilibrium model as above the market portfolio follows a given diffusion process what does it imply regarding individuals preferences it is clear that the problem is not well formulated if a dividend process is also postulated e g as in merton 1973 1977 in this case consistency with two processes the price process and the dividend process is to be required this

internationalization of western venture capitalists into emerging markets risk assessment and information in india this paper provides the first analysis of the internationalization of venture capital firms through an examination of risk assessment and information usage by firms in india personal interviews were conducted with executives in 31 84 of the active venture capital firms the paper extends previous research by comparing perceptions of the behavior of domestic venture capital firms in india foreign primarily u s venture capital firms in india and u s venture capital firms in their domestic markets foreign firms in india place significantly greater emphasis on product market factors and accountants reports than domestic firms in india they place significantly less emphasis on financial contributions of management in assessing risk and own due diligence and information from entrepreneurs than do u s firms in their domestic market they make more use of information from trade publications and relating to production capacity and technology and information from accountants reports than do domestic venture capital firms in india the evidence is consistent with venture capital firms adapting to local market conditions rather than implementing recipes from their domestic markets

on the consistency of the black scholes model with a general equilibrium framework we construct a simple economy with consumption only at the final date in which we endogenize the stochastic behavior of prices assumed in the black scholes model certain preferences constant proportional risk aversion and beliefs are shown to be sufficient and necessary in certain respects for the existence of such an equilibrium the analysis is then generalized to a continuous consumption framework in which we embed the merton proportional dividend model

venture capitalists as principals contracting screening and monitoring there is a large academic literature on the principal agent problem in financial contracting this literature focuses on the conflicts of interest between an agent who is an entrepreneur with a venture that needs financing and a principal who is the investor providing the funds for the venture theory has identified a number of ways that the investor principal can mitigate these conflicts first the investor can structure financial contracts i e the allocation of cash flow and control rights between the entrepreneur and investor to provide incentives for the entrepreneur to behave optimally second the investor can engage in information collection before deciding whether to invest in order to screen out ex ante unprofitable projects and bad entrepreneurs and third the investor can engage in information collection and monitoring once the project is under way despite the large volume of theory empirical work has lagged behind in comparing the contracts and actions of real world principals to their counterparts in financial contracting theory in this paper we describe recent empirical work and its relation to theory for one prominent class of such principals venture capitalists vc s in our view vc s are real world entities that closely approximate the investors of theory vc s invest in entrepreneurs who need financing to fund a promising project or company vc s have strong incentives to maximize value but at the same time receive few or no private benefits of control although they are intermediaries vc s typically receive at least 20 percent of the profits on their portfolios see paul gompers and josh lerner 1999 in addition to being interesting from a theoretical perspective vc actions and contracts of are interesting from a practical perspective vc s have been extremely successful in the last several years i they have been associated with a number of the prominent corporate successes like ariba cisco ebay and yahoo ii they have generated substantial returns and wealth for their investors and iii they have raised and invested record amounts of money

reprint of central bank collateral frameworks abstract this paper seeks to inform about a feature of monetary policy that is largely overlooked yet occupies a central role in modern monetary and financial systems namely central bank collateral frameworks their importance can be understood by the observation that the money at the core of these systems central bank money is injected into the economy on terms not defined in a market but by the collateral frameworks and interest rate policies of central banks using the collateral framework of the eurosystem as a basis of illustration and case study the paper brings to light the functioning reach and impact of collateral frameworks a theme that emerges is that collateral frameworks may have distortive effects on financial markets and the wider economy they can for example bias the private provision of real liquidity and thereby also the allocation of resources in the economy as well as contribute to financial instability evidence is presented that the collateral framework in the euro area promotes risky and illiquid collateral and more generally impairs market forces and discipline the paper also emphasizes the important role of ratings and government guarantees in the eurosystem s collateral framework

why are excess returns on china s treasury bonds so predictable the role of the monetary system abstract it is well documented that the time varying bond excess returns can be explained by predetermined variables such as information in the term structure and macro economic variables recent studies suggest that demand and supply of bonds influence bond excess returns we extend the literature and find that monetary system attributes affect return dynamics in the bond market by introducing a theoretical model to forecast excess returns on treasury bonds in the context of china s unique monetary system this paper attributes the predicted components of bond excess returns mainly to the inflexible term structures of official interest rates set by china s central bank

pricing stock and bond options when the default free rate is stochastic we derive formulas for the valuation of call options on stocks and bonds when the defaultfree rate is stochastic the formulas highlight the role of the correlation between the unanticipated returns on the underlying security and the changes in the short term rate in determining the options value our numerical analysis indicates that option prices predicted by the proposed formula differ from those predicted by the black and scholes formula when this correlation is relatively large and the short term rate s instantaneous variance is relatively large as well moreover the proposed formula predicts higher lower stock option prices than those predicted by the black and scholes formula for correlation values that are lower higher than some positive critical value

the end of the month as a preferred habitat a test of operational efficiency in the money market this paper argues that an aggregate preferred habitat for investors exists on or about the last day of the calendar month due to standardizations in the nation s payments system resulting in a concentrated flow of funds on this date thus equilibrium yield discounts are predicted for securities maturing on such dates empirical tests on monthly and daily treasury bill data support the principal hypothesis as well as several ancillary hy potheses the results have implications for treasury debt management for the short term cash and debt management practices of businesses and banks and for the empirical esti mation of daily weekly or monthly return premiums on risky securities

the effect of transaction size on off the run treasury prices this paper examines intra day trading data from the inter dealer broker market for u s treasury securities and measures the degree of price pressure in the off the run treasury market as is well known securities that would appear to be very close substitutes i e on the run and off the run treasury bonds behave as if there is some degree of market segmentation this is the first systematic study of the off the run treasury note and bond market focused entirely on a price pressure effect using intra day data the paper analyzes price pressure through matched pairs of securities that differ only in liquidity

treasury auction bids and the salomon squeeze recent press accounts claim that collusion is common practice in treasury auctions and that as a result the auction profits are excessive but this paper finds that the auction prices are on average marginally higher than the secondary market bid prices the auction profits however are systematically related to the total fraction of winning bids tendered by banks and dealers the postauction prices of the two year notes in which salomon brothers had a 94 percent holding are also examined the secondary market prices of these notes were significantly higher than the estimated competitive prices in the four week postissue period

special repo rates this article provides the causes and symptoms of special repo rates in a competitive market for repurchase agreements a repo rate is in effect an interest rate on loans collateralized by a specific instrument a special is a repo rate significantly below prevailing market riskless interest rates this article shows that specials can occur when those owning the collateral are inhibited whether from legal or institutional requirements or from frictional costs from supplying collateral into repurchase agreements specialness increases the equilibrium price for the underlying instrument by the present value of savings in borrowing costs associated with the repo specials this article characterizes competitive repurchase or repo markets and the equilibrium relationship between repo rates and the underlying cash market prices repurchase markets are often called financing markets since they are effectively vehicles for collateralized borrowing that are often used to finance the purchase of the underlying collateral this article provides causes and effects of specials meaning specific repo rates significantly below prevailing market interest rates for loans of similar maturity and credit risk the example of united states treasury instruments is emphasized because of the extensive use of the treasury repo market as a means of hedging against or speculating on changes in u s interest rates and because of the high incidence of specials in treasury repo rates numerous specific instru

variants of agency contracts in family financed ventures as a continuum of familial altruistic and market rationalities abstract funding is a critical dimension of new creation although instances of family involvement in new venture financing are common ironically their role has been largely ignored in much of the mainstream business and economics literature when family members invest in the ventures of other family members they must make many choices either explicitly or implicitly about organizational form and governance consequently the governance of these exchange relationships tends to be highly variable this paper explores the primary rationalities governing the exchange relationships in family investment decisions during the early stages of new venture creation it presents activities as variants of agency contracts occurring within a continuum of familial altruistic and business market rationalities existing venture capital theory is extended through the introduction of rationalities and more comprehensive models of decision making

liquidity maturity and the yields on u s treasury securities the efrect8 of aaaet liquidity on expected retuma for ts with infinite maturities toc ka are eumined for bonda treuury notes and bills with matched maturities of lellll than 6 months the yield to maturity ill higher on notes which have lower liquidity the yield di1ferential between notes and billa is a decreuing and convex function of the time to maturity the results provide a robult confirmation of the liquidity effect in auet pricing this paper studies empirically the effects of the liquidity of capital assets on their prices amihud and mendelson 1986 1989 proposed that liquidity affects asset prices because investors require a compensation for bearing transaction costs transaction costs paid whenever the asset is traded form a sequence of cash outflows the discounted value of this cost stream proxies for the value 1088 due to illiquidity which lowers the asset s value for any given cash flow that the asset generates 1 as a result the return on assets should be an increasing function of their illiquidity other things equal for stocks the illiquidity effect is expected to be strong because their transaction cost sequence is infinite amihud and mendelson 1986 1989 demonstrated that common stocks with lower liquidity yielded significantly higher average returns after controlling for risk and for other factors these results on the importance of liquidity in the pricing of stocks raise additional questions i does the liquidity effect depend on the specific controls used by amihud and mendelson 1986 1989 1 ii does illiquidity have a similarly strong effect on the pricing of bonds whose maturities are finite and iii if liquidity affects bond yields how is this effect related to the bond s time to maturity

an intertemporal general equilibrium model of asset prices this paper develops a continuous time general equilibrium model of a simple but complete economy and uses it to examine the behavior of asset prices in this model asset prices and their stochastic properties are determined endogenously one principal result is a partial differential equation which asset prices must satisfy the solution of this equation gives the equilibrium price of any asset in terms of the underlying real variables in the economy in this paper we develop a general equilibrium asset pricing model for use in applied research an important feature of the model is its integration of real and financial markets among other things the model endogenously determines the stochastic process followed by the equilibrium price of any financial asset and shows how this process depends on the underlying real variables the model is fully consistent with rational expectations and maximizing behavior on the part of all agents our framework is general enough to include many of the fundamental forces affecting asset markets yet it is tractable enough to be specialized easily to produce specific testable results furthermore the model can be extended in a number of straightforward ways consequently it is well suited to a wide variety of applications for example in a companion paper cox ingersoll and ross 7 we use the model to develop a theory of the term structure of interest rates many studies have been concerned with various aspects of asset pricing under uncertainty the most relevant to our work are the important papers on intertemporal asset pricing by merton 19 and lucas 16 working in a continuous time framework merton derives a relationship among the equilibrium expected rates of return on assets he shows that when investment opportunities are changing randomly over time this relationship will include effects which have no analogue in a static one period model lucas considers an economy with homogeneous individuals and a single consumption good which is produced by a number of processes the random output of these processes is exogenously determined and perishable assets are defined as claims to all or a part of the output of a process and the equilibrium determines the asset prices our theory draws on some elements of both of these papers like merton we formulate our model in continuous time and make full use of the analytical tractability that this affords the economic structure of our model is somewhat similar to that of lucas however we include both endogenous production and

determinants of required return in venture capital investments a five country study abstract using two complementary theoretical perspectives we develop hypotheses regarding the determinants of the return required by venture capitalists and test them on a sample of over 200 venture capital companies vccs located in five countries consistent with resource based theory we find that early stage specialists require a significantly higher return than other vccs when investing in later stage ventures consistent with financial theory we find that acquisition buyout specialists require a significantly lower return than other vccs when investing in expansion companies furthermore in comparison to specialists highly stage diversified vccs require a significantly higher return for early stage investments independent vccs require a higher rate of return than captive or public vccs in general higher required returns are associated with vccs who provide more intensity of involvement have shorter expected holding period of the investment and being located in the us or uk in comparison to those in france belgium and the netherlands

negative nominal interest rates and the liquidity premium abstract this paper investigates the phenomenon whereby the most recently issued on the run us treasury bond is more heavily traded and thereby accrues a liquidity premium this premium is shown to be related to the time the asset will remain heavily traded and sufficient to cause negative forward nominal interest rates when compared with the prices of similar less liquid bonds

are larger treasury issues more liquid evidence from bill reopenings this paper makes use of a natural experiment of the u s treasury department to examine the relationship between treasury security issue size and liquidity treasury bills that were first issued with 52 weeks to maturity and then reopened at 26 weeks are shown to be more liquid than comparable maturity bills that were first issued with 26 weeks to maturity the relationship is less pronounced when bills are on the run the most recently auctioned bills of a given maturity than when they are off the run and persists when controlling for other factors that affect liquidity the reopened bills are found to have higher yields lower prices than comparable maturity bills showing that the indirect liquidity benefits of reopenings are more than offset by the direct supply costs

trading in derivatives when the underlying is scarce abstract regulatory restrictions and market frictions can constrain the aggregate quantity of long and short positions in a security when these constraints bind we refer to the security as scarce and its price becomes distorted relative to its value in a frictionless market we show that an otherwise redundant derivative can reduce the price distortion of the underlying security by relaxing its scarcity we also show that it is especially important to analyze the underlying and derivative markets jointly when evaluating the impact of regulation such as short sales bans and position limits in derivatives that restricts trade

the relative pricing of u s treasury strips empirical evidence abstract we investigate pricing relations and the potential for arbitrage in the u s treasury strips market stressing the importance of reconciling quoted treasury data with actual market pricing conventions we document that stripping and reconstitution profits in the strips market are fleeting and rarely economically significant that matched maturity principal and coupon strips generally have different prices due at least in part to richness or cheapness in the underlying note or bond and that apparent negative forward rates in the strips market are concentrated in certain long maturity strips that do not actually exist at the time

y2k options and the liquidity premium in treasury markets financial institutions around the world expected the millennium date change y2k to cause an aggregate liquidity shortage responding to the concern the federal reserve bank of new york auctioned y2k options to primary dealers the options gave the dealers the right to borrow from the fed at a predetermined interest rate using the implied volatilities of y2k options and the on off the run spread we demonstrate that the fed s action eased the fears of bond dealers contributing to a drop in the liquidity premium of treasury securities our analysis shows the link between the microstructure of government debt markets and the central bank s provision of liquidity we argue that y2k options and their effects on liquidity premium broadly conform to the economic theory on public provision of private liquidity

securities markets diffusion state processes and arbitrage free shadow prices this paper develops the parametric restrictions imposed on diffusion state processes by the requirement of arbitrage free asset pricing using the equivalent martingale measure as a starting point the diffusion property is exploited to specify the shadow pricing func tion which takes conditional state variable probabilities under the reference measure into arbitrage free contingent claim prices the main results of the paper provide differential equations associated with the shadow price function that are used to identify restrictions on the parameters of assumed diffusion processes the paper concludes with an application to the cir model where the state variable the instantaneous interest rate is assumed to follow a square root process calculations are also provided for the parametric restrictions imposed on the brownian bridge and ou state variable processes

robust financial contracting and the role of venture capitalists we derive a role for inside investors such as venture capitalists in resolving various agency problems that arise in a multistage financial contracting problem absent an inside investor the choice of securities is unlikely to reveal all private information and overinvestment may occur an inside investor however always makes optimal investment decisions if and only if he holds a fixed fraction contract where he always receives a fixed fraction of the project s payoff and finances that same fraction of future investments this contract also eliminates any incentives of the venture capitalist to misprice securities issued in later financing rounds in this article we develop a model of financial contracting with multiple investment decisions and show how conflicts of interest and informational asymmetries can be effectively resolved by an inside investor i e an investor who not only provides capital but also works closely with the firm monitors it frequently and is generally very well informed about the firm s prospects and investment opportunities venture capitalists are obvious examples of inside investors and their function has been an important motivation for this article banks especially in japan and germany are also involved in monitoring and can be viewed as playing the role of inside investors in this article we examine the potential benefits of inside investors in a context where there are no restrictions beyond limited liability on the type of financial contracts that can be written we address a basic financial contracting problem involving an entrepreneur who has an idea for a project but does not have sufficient capital to fund it an important assumption is that there are several stages in the project s development and that a decision must be made at each stage whether the project should be continued or abandoned if the project is continued the amount of additional capital to be invested must also be determined we assume that the entrepreneur as an insider observes private information about the project s profitability at each stage this information is not

private firms and corporate governance an integrated economic and management perspective this article provides a definition of corporate governance and highlights the challenges in adapting understanding of governance to the privately held firm we emphasize the need to develop the scope of governance in privately held firms beyond the traditional agency theory focus in the financial economics literature relating to large publicly listed corporations there is a need to draw on and integrate an array of theoretical perspectives from both economics and other social science disciplines as well we present a schematic model of corporate governance which places the contributions presented in the special issue in context and which serves as a guide to highlighting gaps in the research base we review the principal issues relating to corporate governance in privately held firms which relate to governance in different organizational contexts institutional context the industrial sector within which the firm finds itself the ownership context of the firm and the stage within the firm s life cycle the scope of corporate governance and other internal governance mechanisms to be considered we identify areas for further research on corporate governance in privately held firms with respect to processes of governance organizational contexts assumptions about the owners executive remuneration financial reporting the nature of the dependent variable relating to the expected outcome of different approaches to governance and various methodological issues we suggest a need to develop governance codes for privately held firms that are flexible enough to take account of the different types of governance needs of firms at different stages in their life cycle

the term structure of interbank risk we infer a term structure of interbank risk from spreads between rates on interest rate swaps indexed to the london interbank offered rate libor and overnight indexed swaps we develop a tractable model of interbank risk to decompose the term structure into default and non default liquidity components from august 2007 to january 2011 the fraction of total interbank risk due to default risk on average increases with maturity at short maturities the non default component is important in the first half of the sample period and is correlated with measures of funding and market liquidity the model also provides a framework for pricing hedging and risk management of interest rate swaps in the presence of significant basis risk

on equilibrium asset price processes in this article we derive necessary and sufficient conditions that must be satisfied by equilibrium asset price processes in apure exchange economy we examine a world in which asset prices follow a diffusion process asset markets are dynamically complete all investors maximize their state independent expected utility of consumption at some future date and investors have nonrandom exogenous income we show that it is necessary and suffcient that the coefficients of an equilibrium diffusion price process satisfy a partial differential equation and a boundary condition we also examine how the dynamics of asset prices are related to the shape of the representative investor s utility function through the boundary condition for example in a constant volatility economy the expected instantaneous return of the market portfolio is mean reverting if and only if the relative risk aversion of the representative investor is decreasing in terminal wealth

strategic trading behavior and price distortion in a manipulated market anatomy of a squeeze abstract this paper investigates an attempted delivery squeeze in a bond futures contract traded in london using cash and futures trades of dealers and customers we analyze their strategic trading behavior price distortion and learning in a market manipulation setting we argue that marked differences in settlement failure penalties in the cash and futures markets create conditions that favor squeezes we recommend that regulators require special flagging of forward term repurchase agreements on the key deliverables that span futures contract maturity dates and that exchanges mark to market their contract specifications more frequently or consider a cash settled contract on a basket of bonds

exploiting the conditional density in estimating the term structure an application to the cox ingersoll and ross model we propose an empirical method that utilizes the conditional density of the state variables to estimate and test a term structure model with known price formulae using data on both discount and coupon bonds the method is applied to an extension of a two factor model due to cox ingersoll and ross 1985 cir our results show that estimates based on only bills imply unreasonably large price errors for longer maturities we reject the original cir model using a likelihood ratio test and conclude that the extended cir model also fails to provide a good description of the treasury market

beyond segmentation the case of china s repo markets this paper explores the reasons behind the discrepancy between interest rates in china s two repurchase agreement repo markets the interbank repo market and the exchange traded repo market the repo rates in the exchange market are at times significantly higher than those in the interbank market especially in the first three years of the 2000 2005 sample period while market segmentation clearly hinders arbitrage the causes of the repo rate discrepancy are related to the alternative investment opportunities available to market participants and to the volatility differences in the repo rates

the cost of short selling liquid securities standard models of liquidity argue that the higher price for a liquid security reflects the future benefits that long investors expect to receive we show that short sellers can also pay a net liquidity premium if their cost to borrow the security is higher than the price premium they collect from selling it we provide a model free decomposition of the price premium for liquid securities into the net premiums paid by both long investors and short sellers empirically we find that short sellers were responsible for a substantial fraction of the liquidity premium for on the run treasuries from november 1995 through july 2009

investment horizon and repo in the over the counter market this paper presents a three period model featuring a short term investor in the over the counter bond market a short term investor stores cash because of a need to pay cash at some future date if a short term investor buys bonds then a deadline for retrieving cash lowers the resale price of bonds for the investor through bilateral bargaining in the bond market ex ante this hold up problem explains the use of a repo by a short term investor the existence of a haircut and the vulnerability of a repo market to counterparty risk this result holds without any uncertainty about bond returns or asymmetric information

central bank collateral frameworks abstract this paper seeks to inform about a feature of monetary policy that is largely overlooked yet occupies a central role in modern monetary and financial systems namely central bank collateral frameworks their importance can be understood by the observation that the money at the core of these systems central bank money is injected into the economy on terms not defined in a market but by the collateral frameworks and interest rate policies of central banks using the collateral framework of the eurosystem as a basis of illustration and case study the paper brings to light the functioning reach and impact of collateral frameworks a theme that emerges is that collateral frameworks may have distortive effects on financial markets and the wider economy they can for example bias the private provision of real liquidity and thereby also the allocation of resources in the economy as well as contribute to financial instability evidence is presented that the collateral framework in the euro area promotes risky and illiquid collateral and more generally impairs market forces and discipline the paper also emphasizes the important role of ratings and government guarantees in the eurosystem s collateral framework

quantitative easing auctions of treasury bonds abstract the federal reserve uses reverse auctions to implement its purchases of treasury bonds in quantitative easing qe to evaluate dealers offers across multiple bonds the fed relies on its internal yield curve model fitted to secondary market bond prices from november 2010 to september 2011 a one standard deviation increase in the cheapness of a treasury bond how much the market price of the bond is below a model implied value increases the fed s purchase quantity of that bond by 276 million and increases the auction costs on that bond by 2 6 cents per 100 par value controlling for standard covariates our results suggest that the fed harvests gains from trades by purchasing undervalued bonds but strategic dealers extract some profits because the fed s relative values can be partly inferred from price data

the puzzling price behavior of treasury bills that mature at the turn of calendar months abstract this paper documents the unusual price behavior of treasury bills that mature at the turn of calendar months there is a kink in the yield curve as it crosses calendar months and this kink is most pronounced as the yield curve crosses between calendar years potential seasonality in the spot rate of interest could not explain these results nor could they be explained by the mispricing of either the last bill or first bill in a month the exceptionally large premium on the first bill in a month tended to be earned throughout the lifetime of the bill

an intertemporal general equilibrium asset pricing model the case of diffusion information this paper provides sufficient conditions for the equilibrium price system and a vector of exogenously specified state variable processes to form a diffusion process in a pure exchange economy the conditions involve smoothness of agents utility functions and certain nice properties of the aggregate endowment process and the dividend processes of traded assets in place of the dynamic programming a martingale representation technique is utilized to characterize equilibrium portfolio policies this technique is useful even when there does not exist a finite dimensional markov structure in the economy and thus the markovian stochastic dynamic programming is not applicable a gents are shown to hold certain hedging mutual funds and the riskless asset in contrast to earlier results the market portfolio does not have a special role in hedging since the markets are dynamically complete when there exists a finite dimensional markov system in the economy the dimension of the hedging demand identified through the markovian dynamic programming may be much larger than that identified by the martingale method copyright 1987 by the econometric society

the intersection of market and credit risk abstract economic theory tells us that market and credit risks are intrinsically related to each other and not separable we describe the two main approaches to pricing credit risky instruments the structural approach and the reduced form approach it is argued that the standard approaches to credit risk management creditmetrics creditrisk and kmv are of limited value when applied to portfolios of interest rate sensitive instruments and in measuring market and credit risk empirically returns on high yield bonds have a higher correlation with equity index returns and a lower correlation with treasury bond index returns than do low yield bonds also macro economic variables appear to influence the aggregate rate of business failures the creditmetrics creditrisk and kmv methodologies cannot reproduce these empirical observations given their constant interest rate assumption however we can incorporate these empirical observations into the reduced form of jarrow and turnbull 1995b drawing the analogy risk 5 63 70 model here default probabilities are correlated due to their dependence on common economic factors default risk and recovery rate uncertainty may not be the sole determinants of the credit spread we show how to incorporate a convenience yield as one of the determinants of the credit spread for credit risk management the time horizon is typically one year or longer this has two important implications since the standard approximations do not apply over a one year horizon first we must use pricing models for risk management some practitioners have taken a different approach than academics in the pricing of credit risky bonds in the event of default a bond holder is legally entitled to accrued interest plus principal we discuss the implications of this fact for pricing second it is necessary to keep track of two probability measures the martingale probability for pricing and the natural probability for value at risk we discuss the benefits of keeping track of these two measures

efficiency and the bear short sales and markets around the world we analyze cross sectional and time series information from 46 equity markets around the world to consider whether short sales restrictions affect the efficiency of the market and the distributional characteristics of returns to individual stocks and market indices we find some evidence that prices incorporate negative information faster in countries where short sales are allowed and practiced a common conjecture by regulators is that short sales restrictions can reduce the relative severity of a market panic we find strong evidence that in markets where short selling is either prohibited or not practiced market returns display significantly less negative skewness

toward a theory of agency and altruism in family firms surprisingly the majority of u s family firms offer employed family members short and long term performance based incentive pay we draw on the household economics and altruism literatures to explain why family firms might feel compelled to do so and develop theory that predicts when this practice will be beneficial results based on data obtained from 883 family firms show that altruism as reflected by the parents estate and share transfer intentions moderates the effect of these pay incentives as our theory predicts as such this article helps explain both how altruism influences agency relationships in family firms and why business practice in family firms differs from those found in other types of firms

the relation between price changes and trading volume a survey this paper reviews previous and current research on the relation between price changes and trading volume in financial markets and makes four contributions first two empiri cal relations are established volume is positively related to the magnitude of the price change and in equity markets to the price change per se second previous theoretical research on the price volume relation is summarized and critiqued and major insights are emphasized third a simple model ofthe price volume relation is proposed that is consis tent with several seemingly unrelated or contradictory observations and fourth several directions for future research are identified

liquidity taxes and short term treasury yields this article investigates differences in yields on identical treasury notes and bills and shows that they reflect differences in liquidity immediacy risk and taxes it proposes an empirical measure for differences in the liquidity risk of notes and bills the volatility ofthe underlying rate times the ratio of bills turnover to notes turnover because differential taxes affect sellers but not buyers of bills and notes the results reject free of informational problems the hypothesis that the notes demand curve is horizontal note bill yield differences also decrease with inventories of notes the less liquid asset

bond returns liquidity and missing data this paper examines holding period returns to constant duration portfolios of u s govern ment notes and bonds and measures the return premium generated by liquidity differences in bonds the approach compares constant duration portfolios constructed in two distinct ways one using only bonds issued in the most recent treasury auction one using all other bonds comparisons of the resulting series are made meaningful by choosing narrow du ration ranges in the portfolio formation procedure this in turn induces a missing data problem in the created time series parameters of return distributions are therefore estimated employing a maximum likelihood framework that explicitly accounts for the missing data it is estimated that recently issued bonds are priced to return a premium of around 55 basis points per annum over otherwise equivalent instruments

on the feasibility of arbitrage based option pricing when stochastic bond price processes are involved abstract there are many options which are based on interest rate sensitive assets for example debt options and currency options are best priced when a stochastic bond price process is included however not all stochastic bond price processes are feasible for use in pricing options by standard arbitrage techniques this work draws on the results of harrison and kreps j econ theory 20 1979 381 408 and relates them to pricing in the presence of stochastic bond price processes examples of feasible and infeasible bond price processes are given

differences between private firms owned by novice serial and portfolio entrepreneurs implications for policy makers and practitioners w esthead p u cbasaran d and w right m 2003 differences between private firms owned by novice serial and portfolio entrepreneurs implications for policy makers and practitioners reg studies 37 187 200 policy makers can target hard i e financial and soft i e technical assistance to firms some policy makers and practitioners are considering whether resources could be more effectively utilized if they were targeted towards habitual entrepreneurs rather than in the form of additional initiatives to increase the pool of pure nascent entrepreneurs and novice entrepreneurs to inform this policy debate similarities and differences between 354 firms owned by novice serial and portfolio entrepreneurs in scotland are highlighted with regard to the process of financing businesses organizational capabilities as well as the size and performance of the surveyed businesses presented empirical evidence confirms that portfolio entrepreneurs have more diverse experiences and more resources than

the on the run liquidity phenomenon abstract we test the implications of a model of multi asset speculative trading in which liquidity differentials between on the run and off the run u s treasury bonds ensue from endowment shocks in the presence of two realistic market frictions information heterogeneity and imperfect competition among informed traders and a public signal our evidence suggests that i off on the run liquidity differentials are economically and statistically significant even after controlling for several of the bonds intrinsic characteristics such as duration convexity repo rates or term premiums and ii off on the run liquidity differentials are smaller immediately following bond auction dates and larger when the uncertainty surrounding the ensuing auction allocations is high when the dispersion of beliefs across informed traders is high and when macroeconomic announcements are noisy consistent with our model

does the liquidity of a debt issue increase with its size evidence from the corporate bond and medium term note markets to investigate the liquidity of large issues this study tests for yield differences between corporate bonds and medium term notes mtns in the sample mtns have an average issue size of 4 million compared with 265 million for bonds among mtns that have the same issuance date the same maturity date and the same corporate issuer we find no relation between size and yields moreover bonds and mtns have statistically equivalent yields thus rather than suggesting that large issues have greater liquidity these findings indicate that large and small securities issued by the same borrower are close substitutes the objective of this study is to test for a relation between the size of corporate debt offerings and their yields if investors value large offerings for their greater liquidity then large issues will have lower yields than small issues alternatively if investors view securities of the same borrower as close substitutes there may be no relation between issue size and yields to investigate whether issue size is a significant determinant of liquidity we test for yield differences between medium term notes mtns and bonds of the same corporate issuers in most respects mtns are similar to corporate bonds however mtns have an average issue size of around 5 million in contrast most offerings in the bond market raise at least 100 million thus if liquidity increases with issue size bonds will have lower yields than mtns and large mtns will have lower yields than small mtns the data we use consist of 4 182 mtns and 68 bonds offered by four large borrowers between october 1987 and december 1992 the issues in the sample range in size from 102 000 to 1 2 billion a disperse distribution that allows us to make reliable inferences about the relation between issue size and yields to test for a size effect within the mtn market we create subsamples of mtns that have the same issuance date the same maturity date and the same corporate issuer mtns in these subsamples are identical except for their yields and size on average yields on large mtns in the subsamples are 0 35 basis point higher than yields on small mtns a finding that is inconsistent with the liquidity hypothesis we also test for a yield difference between bonds

novice serial and portfolio entrepreneur behaviour and contributions policy makers and practitioners are considering whether to allocate resources towards portfolio and serial entrepreneurs as well as the provision of additional initiatives to increase the pool of novice entrepreneurs to inform this policy debate univariate statistical tests were used to test for differences between 354 firms owned by novice serial and portfolio entrepreneurs in scotland also univariate tests were conducted to compare responses made by pairwise groups of entrepreneurs no significant differences were detected between the three types of entrepreneurs with regard to several entrepreneur and firm demographic characteristics additional analysis revealed that portfolio entrepreneurs have more diverse experiences and more resources than serial or novice entrepreneurs on average portfolio entrepreneurs appear to offer more attractive growth prospects than other entrepreneurs

the decline in idiosyncratic values of us treasury securities abstract unique features and market frictions can lead to idiosyncratic pricing for some us treasury securities this study uses a linear programming lp model to measure aggregate idiosyncratic pricing of t notes and t bonds from 1980 to 2016 we document an average idiosyncratic pricing of 0 11 per 100 par as compared to an average bid ask spread of 0 08 further idiosyncratic pricing declined dramatically from the early 1980s to the 2010s empirical evidence suggests that the 1986 tax reform act increasing issue sizes and improving market liquidity contribute to the decline at the individual security level we identify factors contributing to and mitigating idiosyncratic pricing

special repo rates an empirical analysis duffie 1996 examines the theoretical impact of repo specials on the prices of treasury securities and concludes that all else the same an issue on special will carry a higher price than an otherwise identical issue we examine this hypothesis and find strong evidence in support of it we also examine whether the liquidity premium associated with on the run issues is due to repo specialness and find evidence of a distinct effect finally we investigate whether auction tightness and percentage awarded to dealers are related to subsequent specialness and find that both variables are generally significant underlying the cash market for u s treasury securities is the financing or repo market at any given time the repo rate for most treasury issues the general collateral rate is the same but a few issues are typically on special an issue on special has associated with it a repo rate that is less than the prevailing general collateral rate as a result the owner of a security that is on special is able to obtain below market financing rates via a repurchase agreement duffie 1996 examines the theoretical causes of repo specials and their impact on the prices of treasury securities in the context of a general equilibrium model his primary conclusion is that specialness will be priced in the cash market meaning that all else the same an issue on special or likely to go on special will carry a higher price than an otherwise identical issue we investigate this hypothesis using data on repo specials and find clear evidence in support of it we conclude that specialness is priced and that the magnitude of the cash market premium reflects both the future duration and magnitude of repo specialness we also examine whether the liquidity premium associated with on therun issues is due to repo specialness and find evidence of a distinct effect finally as a test of duffie s model we investigate whether auction tightness and percentage awarded to nonbank primary dealers are related to subsequent specialness the evidence is consistent with predictions with both variables generally significant

credit swap valuation this review of the pricing of credit swaps a form of derivative security that can be viewed as default insurance on loans or bonds begins with a description of the credit swap contract turns to pricing by reference to spreads over the risk free rate of par floating rate bonds of the same quality and then considers model based pricing the role of asset swap spreads as a reference for pricing credit swaps is also considered

further evidence on segmentation in the treasury bill market abstract this paper shows that differences in supplies of 13 and 12 week treasury bills have statistically significant and economically meaningful effects on their yield differentials from january 1985 through october 1991 controlling for the general slope of the treasury bill yield curve the tendency of bills maturing at month ends to have lower yields and the tendency of bills whose supply is augmented by cash management bills to have higher yields the finding that market participants do not arbitrage away yield differentials that owe to differences in supplies indicates that demand curves for individual bills are downward sloping and that segmentation in the treasury bill market is more pervasive than previously documented

the term structure of very short term rates new evidence for the expectations hypothesis abstract empirical researchers have frequently rejected the expectations hypothesis the expectations hypothesis however has seldom if ever been tested at the extreme short end of the term structure where maturities are measured in days or weeks using overnight weekly and monthly repo rates i find that term rates are almost unbiased estimates of the average overnight rate this evidence provides new support for the expectations hypothesis

anticipated and repeated shocks in liquid markets we show that treasury security prices in the secondary market decrease significantly before subsequent auctions and recover shortly after this price pattern implies a large issuance cost for the treasury department which is estimated to be between 9 and 18 basis points of the auction size for example this cost amounts to over half a billion dollars for issuing treasury notes alone in 2007 our results appear to be consistent with the hypothesis of primary dealers limited risk bearing capacity and the imperfect capital mobility of end investors in the treasury market e g federal agencies sovereign wealth funds pension funds and etc highlighting the important role of capital mobility even in the most liquid financial markets

information sharing price negotiation and management buy outs of private family owned firms perspectives relating to agency theory information asymmetries and game theory were utilized to explore two outcomes associated with the management buy out mbo or management buy in mbi of former private firms whether information was shared equally between vendors i e family firm owners and purchasers i e mbo i management teams and whether a mutually agreed price was achieved with reference to the themes of company ownership structure governance structure and company objectives several hypotheses were derived survey evidence was gathered from the managers of 114 former private family owned firms located across europe that recently reported an mbo i multiple logistic regression analysis detected that respondents in founded first generation family firms and those reporting a high focus on the strategic importance of the market value increment were more likely to report that information was shared equally between vendors and purchasers respondents reporting no suitable family successor had been identified a high focus on the strategic importance of the market value increment and the involvement of venture capitalists in succession planning were more likely to report that a mutually agreed sale price had been achieved implications for practitioners and researchers are discussed

presidential address asset price dynamics with slow moving capital i describe asset price dynamics caused by the slow movement of investment capital to trading opportunities the pattern of price responses to supply or demand shocks typically involves a sharp reaction to the shock and a subsequent and more extended reversal the amplitude of the immediate price impact and the pattern of the subsequent recovery can reflect institutional impediments to immediate trade such as search costs for trading counterparties or time to raise capital by intermediaries i discuss special impediments to capital formation during the recent financial crisis that caused asset price distortions which subsided afterward after presenting examples of price reactions to supply shocks in normal market settings i offer a simple illustrative model of price dynamics associated with slow moving capital due to the presence of inattentive investors i address the implications for asset price dynamics of the apparent slow movement of investment capital to trading opportunities the arrival of new capital to an investment opportunity can be delayed by fractions of a second in some markets for example an electronic limit order book market for equities or by months in other markets such as that for catastrophe risk insurance accordingly prices respond to supply or demand shocks with a sharp reaction because of the relatively small subset of capital and thus risk bearing capacity that is immediately available to absorb a shock on short notice such a price impact is substantially reversed over time as additional capital becomes available the amplitude of the immediate price impact and the pattern of the subsequent recovery can reflect many sorts of attention costs to trade as well as institutional impediments to capital movement such as search costs for trading

repo market effects of the term securities lending facility the term securities lending facility tslf was recently introduced by the federal reserve to promote liquidity in the financing markets for treasury and other collateral we evaluate one aspect of the program the extent to which it has narrowed repo spreads between treasury collateral and lower quality collateral we find that tslf operations have precipitated a significant narrowing of repo spreads more refined tests indicate the market conditions and types of operations associated with the program s effectiveness various additional tests including a split sample test suggest that our findings are robust

supply contraction and trading protocol an examination of recent changes in the u s treasury market we investigate liquidity and trader behavior in the u s treasury market during recent supply contractions as in the precontraction period dealers employ expandable order strategies to achieve greater than posted depth at the posted price and use expandable orders more often when expected information asymmetry is greater overall however dealers are less likely to discover greater than quoted depth during the supply contraction regimes we find that even after substantial losses in their market share of coupon treasury trading brokers reporting voice brokered trading through govpx provide an important protocol for depth discovery we investigate liquidity and trader behavior in the u s treasury market during recent supply contractions as in the precontraction period dealers employ expandable order strategies to achieve greater than posted depth at the posted price and use expandable orders more often when expected information asymmetry is greater overall however dealers are less likely to discover greater than quoted depth during the supply contraction regimes we find that even after substantial losses in their market share of coupon treasury trading brokers reporting voice brokered trading through govpx provide an important protocol for depth discovery

an international examination of affine term structure models and the expectations hypothesis we examine the yield curve behavior and the relative performance of affine term structure models atsms using government bond yield data from canada germany japan the u k and the u s we find strong predictability of forward rates for excess bond returns and reject the expectations hypothesis in all five countries a three factor model is sufficient to capture movements in the yield curve of canada japan the u k and the u s but may not be enough for germany an exhaustive comparison among atsms with no more than three factors reveals that the three factor essential affine model a 1 3 e with only one factor affecting the volatility of the short rate but with all three factors affecting the price of risk performs best in all five countries simulations provide inconclusive evidence on whether this best affine model can successfully generate the rich yield curve behavior observed in the data

venture capital and management led leveraged buy outs a european perspective abstract management and leveraged buy outs became phenomena of the 1980s from beginnings in the u s they quickly traversed the atlantic spreading first to the u k and then throughout europe the venture capital industry has played a crucial role in the development of buy outs in europe particularly in smaller deals in the u k the netherlands and france this paper examines three aspects of the market for venture and development capital funded management led buy outs in europe it provides a framework for analysis of the different levels of development of each country s market it examines performance of u k buy outs and addresses the extent and nature of exits throughout the paper use is made of the extensive database of european buy outs developed by the authors the main conclusions to emerge are as follows european experience can not be compared to that in the u s as a single economy there are important differences between european countries in respect of the level of buy out activity and the extent to which conditions are or will be favourable for the development of such transactions conceptually a buy out market may be considered as requiring three main factors to be present if it is to develop the generation of buy out opportunities the infrastructure to complete a transaction and opportunities for the investors in a buy out to realise their gains these broad groups may be further sub divided the generation of opportunities will be heavily influenced by attitudes to entrepreneurial risk and hence willingness of managers to buy the ownership structure of industry and hence the generation of entities which are for sale and the state of development of mergers and acquisition markets the infrastructure to complete transactions includes sources of funding both in respect of venture capital availability and the ability of banks to fund transactions the nature of legal and taxation regimes and the existence of intermediaries and advisors who can both identify and negotiate buy outs the existence of suitable exit routes comprises stock market flotation sale to another group and recapitalisation possibly through a secondary buy out many of these factors are similar to the conditions necessary for venture capital deals to develop the generation of entities for sale may take various forms with succession issues in family firms divestment of unwanted divisions privatization of public sector activities and going privates of companies quoted on a stock market being the most important this framework was used to analyze european buy out markets through a combination of interview and desk research the evidence shows that the most highly developed buy out markets and those with the greatest short term potential are not necessarily to be found in the largest economies u s investors who turn towards europe to develop their markets at a time when the u s buy out market is experiencing a downturn and european investors seeking to broaden their activities need to be aware of these differences as in comparable studies in the u s u k lbos on the evidence from our survey of 182 buyouts on average produce performance improvements u k lbos appear to undertake a greater level of new product development and asset purchase after buy out than do their counterparts in the u s and have placed less emphasis on asset disposals than u s lbos managers buying out frequently tightened up their control of working capital the results of our survey indicate support for both the entrepreneurial and agency cost reduction perspectives about buy outs with the former perhaps being somewhat more in evidence exit routes are an important aspect of the buy out market but evidence presented here indicates that buy outs are unlikely to exit in the way in which they originally envisaged in particular buy outs that initially were aiming for flotation on a secondary tier stock market have almost invariably been sold to third parties

private business sales environments in the united kingdom abstract when an owner manager of a business firm decides to sell the company it is not a trivial decision whether it is a sale forced by circumstances outside company control or a positive strategic choice it is certainly significant moreover the method of exit the advice taken and the deal that is eventually struck will clearly affect the nature of the owner s eventual lifestyle in such circumstances there are four choices open to the owner 1 sale to a third party 2 sale to the management and or employees 3 public quotation on the stock exchange 4 liquidation this research first analyzes the magnitude of activity in the united kingdom in each of the above categories during the five year period 1983 1987 the results show very clearly that there is a strategic loosening taking place in the corporate marketplace more firms are being sold and more owner managers are choosing to exit from ownership of their firms moreover the most frequently used exit route by far is that of the private advertized sale the second part of this paper analyzes in detail the data for the private advertized sale by means of principal component analysis and cluster analysis seven ecological incubator environments were constructed at a county level significant differences were observed between the environments in respect to private advertized sales private advertized sales rates and industrial structure these results show clearly that the nature of the supply of owner managers wishing to realize their ownership is geographically biased and is in part a reflection of the existing industrial and commercial base

collateral values by asset class evidence from primary securities dealers using data on repurchase agreements by primary securities dealers we show that three classes of securities treasury securities securities issued by government sponsored agencies and mortgage backed securities can be formally ranked in terms of their collateral values in the general collateral gc market we then show that gc repurchase agreement repo spreads across asset classes display jumps and significant temporal variation especially at times of predictable liquidity needs consistent with the safe haven properties of treasury securities these jumps are driven almost entirely by the behavior of the gc repo rates of treasury securities estimating the collateral rents earned by owners of these securities we find such rents to be sizable for treasury securities and nearly zero for agency and mortgage backed securities finally we link collateral values to asset prices in a simple no arbitrage framework and show that variations in collateral values explain a significant fraction of changes in short term yield spreads but not those of longer term spreads our results point to securities role as collateral as a promising direction of research to improve understanding of the pricing of money market securities and their spreads jel g12 g23

future lending income and security value i test the duffie g rleanu and pedersen hypothesis that security prices incorporate expected future securities lending income to determine whether institutional investors anticipate gains from future lending of securities i examine their trading behavior around loan fee increases the evidence suggests that institutions buy shares in response to an increase in lending fees and that this could explain the premium associated with high lending fee stocks expected future lending income affects stock prices although the effect seems to be attenuated by the negative information that arises from short selling