exchange rate adjustment and oligopoly pricing behaviour this paper sets out a general theoretical structure for analyzing price adjustments to cost changes within asymmetric oligopolistic markets the theory implies that contrary to the usual assumption exchange rate changes may leave prices unaltered this is explored by an empirical examination of the european car market intracountry changes in car prices and the huge differences in u k and european car prices are both examined the empirical results are in line with the theoretical implications changes in relative supply costs are more likely to be converted into changes in price cost margins than prices within a national oligopolistic market copyright 1989 by oxford university press

exchange rate changes and inflation in post crisis asian economies vector autoregression analysis of the exchange rate pass through macro economic consequences of large currency depreciations among the crisis hit asian economies varied from one country to another inflation did not soar after the asian currency crisis of 1997 98 in most crisis hit countries except indonesia where high inflation followed a very large nominal depreciation of the rupiah the high inflation meant a loss of price competitive advantage a key for economic recovery from a crisis this paper examines the pass through effects of exchange rate changes on the domestic prices in the east asian economies using a vector autoregression analysis the main results are as follows i the degree of exchange rate pass through to import prices was quite high in the crisis hit economies ii the pass through to consumer price index cpi was generally low with a notable exception of indonesia and iii in indonesia both the impulse response of monetary policy variables to exchange rate shocks and that of cpi to monetary policy shocks were positive large and statistically significant thus indonesia s accommodative monetary policy coupled with the high degree of cpi responsiveness to exchange rate changes was an important factor in the inflation depreciation spiral in the wake of the currency crisis

on measuring the quality of life abstract it is widely recognized that per capita income is not an adequate indicator of aggregate well being it has thus become customary to use a range of socioeconomic indices for assessing the quality of life in a society in this article we extend measures of general well being in current use by including ordinal indices of political and civil liberties and we provide a ranking of the world s poorest countries on the basis of the borda rule we then compare improvements in socioeconomic performance with the availability of political and civil liberties during the decade of the 1970s and observe that improvements in per capita national income life expectancy at birth and infant mortality are positively correlated with the extent of political and civil liberties enjoyed by citizens while improvements in literacy are negatively correlated with these liberties

exchange rate pass through in developing and emerging markets a survey of conceptual methodological and policy issues and selected empirical findings abstractglobal integration has increased the international linkages of financial markets for emerging market countries a key channel for the international transmission of inflation and economic cycles is from exchange rate movements to domestic prices known as exchange rate pass through erpt this article reviews the conceptual methodological and policy issues connected with erpt in emerging market and developing countries and critically surveys selected empirical studies a key contribution is to categorise and compare the heterogeneous methodologies used to extract erpt measures in the empirical literature single equation models and systems methods are contrasted frequent misspecifications that produce unreliable erpt estimates are highlighted the discerning policy maker needs to ascertain by which methods erpt measures were calculated the controls and restrictions applied and the time frame and stability of the estimates

the interaction of foreign exchange and market power effects on german domestic prices this paper illustrates the importance of international influences on domestic markets a model is presented in which changes in a country s terms of trade pass through to industrial prices in varying degrees depending on import penetration and seller concentration empirical results suggest that the 8 4 percent decline in the real external value of the deutsche mark from 1977 to 1983 allowed upward movement of about 2 percent in domestic producer prices of traded goods relative to the gnp price deflator increased market concentration led to a reduced effect while increased import penetration led to some increase in the exchange rate passthrough standard industrial organization models stress the impact of market power and entry conditions on economic performance with particular interest in price effects at the industry level greater concentration is expected to lead to higher prices ceteris paribus while greater ease in entry or a larger competitive fringe implies lower prices the international economics literature indicates that in the absence of trade barriers transactions and transportation costs and market power foreign exchange rate changes will be fully passed through to import and export prices implying that domestic prices of traded goods for an appreciating currency will be adjusted downward by the full amount of the exchange rate change the dramatic changes in exchange rates since the early 1970s provided exporters with new opportunities to enter markets of nations that had a strong currency west germany has been regarded as one such country this paper investigates the effect of exchange rate movements on particular german industrial prices i test to see whether the prominence of imports

compliance path and impact of ethanol mandates on retail fuel market in the short run past studies have examined the impact of ethanol mandates with a long run perspective and were thus able to assume away short run rigidities and some of the specifics of the biofuel mandates these studies have been of limited use in informing current policy debates because the short to medium run reality is one of strong regulatory and infrastructure rigidities that restrict how ethanol can be consumed in the united states our objectives in this paper are to provide a more coherent framework than currently exists to model and understand how compliance with ethanol mandates in the short run cannot be met with conventional gasoline blends how compliance impacts fuel prices and consumer and producer welfare and also to measure the size of the transfer that occurs between refineries and ethanol producers through the market s renewable identification numbers rins in a model calibrated to 2015 data we find that the effects of increasing ethanol mandates that are physically feasible are close to zero on the retail price of gasoline this result is robust to different gasoline prices supply elasticities and export demand elasticities increased mandates can have a large negative effect on the price of high level ethanol gasoline blends such as e85 if the mandates are increased to approach consumption capacity

migration regional equilibrium and the estimation of compensating differentials in this study we have developed an improved model of net migration that encompasses both equilibrium and disequilibrium components instrumental variables fixed effects estimates of the model with time series data for 51 areas in the united states over the period 1971 1988 support the importance of both equilibrium and disequilibrium factors in migration excerpt

exchange rate pass through into import prices revisited what drives it a large sample of developed and emerging economies is utilized to investigate import exchange rate pass through panel models reveal that various economic aspects of the destination country can explain about one third of the total variation in pass through elasticities and the remaining variation comes largely in the form of unobserved country specific effects inflation exchange rate volatility openness and relative wealth play a clear role as drivers of emerging markets pass through whereas the output gap and protectionism appear influential more generally nonlinearity regarding large versus small changes in the exchange rate is quite pervasive our evidence challenges the widely held view that pass through has been universally falling in developed markets and that it is higher for emerging markets the economic drivers are shown to play a role as out of sample predictors of pass through the findings confirm pricing to market theories and have implications for the optimal conduct of monetary policy

external adjustments and exchange rate flexibility some evidence from u s data this paper examines the role of the exchange rate in u s external adjustments the results show that the exchange rate is an important transmission channel of influence on prices and with longer lags on income and the trade balance the effects of the exchange rate and relative prices on the trade balance are not symmetric even in the long run exchange rate feedback is insignificant and makes little difference in trade balance adjustment there are also indications that the response of relative prices to the exchange rate shifted in recent years such changes seem to help explain the persistence of the u s trade deficit in recent years for multilateral trade but not bilateral trade with japan or germany copyright 1991 by mit press

symmetric pass through of tariffs and exchange rates under imperfect competition an empirical test abstract this paper examines the effect of tariffs and exchange rates on u s prices of japanese cars trucks and motorcycles in particular we test whether the long run pass through of tariffs and exchange rates are identical the symmetry hypothesis we find that this hypothesis is easily accepted in our sample we also find that the pass through relation varies across products ranging from about 0 6 for trucks to unity for motorcycles these coefficients have very different implications for trade policy we explain the results based on demand cost and institutional conditions in each industry

a cointegration analysis of agricultural energy and bio fuel spot and futures prices this article features an analysis of the cointegration relationships among agricultural commodity ethanol and cushing crude oil spot and future prices the use of grains for the creation of bio fuels has sparked fears that these demands are inflating food prices we analyse approximately 10 years of daily spot and futures prices for corn wheat sugar ethanol and oil prices from datastream for the period 19 july 2006 to 2 july 2015 the analysis features engle granger pairwise cointegration and partial cointegration pairs of series that are cointegrated are analysed using markov switching vecm and impulse response analysis which confirms that these markets have significant linkages that vary according to whether they are in low or high volatility regimes

the effects of foreign exchange movements on u s domestic prices this paper draws on the fields of international economics and industrial organization to model and empirically examine the relationship between currency value fluctuations and domestic producer prices the major focus is the issue of whether and why domestic industries differ systematically in their response to exchange rate changes the major findings are that changes in the external value of the u s dollar between 1974 and 1987 passed most fully into domestic prices of industries heavily reliant on imported inports and producing goods highly substitutable for imports highly capital intensive and concentrated industries and those protected by extensive barriers to entry both from domestic and foreign sources have exhibited less domestic price change from the exchange rate movements copyright 1989 by mit press

price discrimination by u s and german exporters the insensitivity of the u s trade balance to the sharp depreciation of the dollar in the past three years has revived interest in the relationship between exchange rates and the trade balance a central issue in most analyses of the relation between the current account and the exchange rate concerns the price adjustment process the simple integrated competitive market model predicts that local currency prices should change in proportion to the nominal exchange rate for a country too small to influence world prices the relationship between local currency import prices and exchange rates has been referred to as the pass through relationship in the empirical literature in international economics if the proportional relationship between import prices and exchange rates holds pass through is said to be complete accounts of recent u s experience cite the failure of dollar prices of imported goods to rise in proportion to exchange rates i e incomplete pass through as an important factor in explaining the persistence of the trade deficit unfortunately observations on pass through alone provide limited insight into the behavior of markets since incomplete pass through is consistent with at least two fundamentally different paradigms one is the standard competitive model of trade in which the law of one price holds but exchange rate fluctuations are associated with large changes in import demand due to other factors for example if dollar appreciation is correlated with increases in world demand and industry marginal cost is increasing then pass through will be less than complete the other is an imperfectly competitive model in which exporters are capable of price discriminating across destination markets a phenomenon paul krugman 1987 has labeled pricing to market in this model incomplete pass through is typically associated with fluctuations in the markup of price over marginal cost on exports 2 these fluctuations in markups are believed to be countryspecific they do not reflect the behavior of prices to other export destinations both models are plausible explanations of recent u s experience unfortunately it is impossible to distinguish between these competing models using only information on import prices and exchange rates for a single country in order to distinguish between the competing models an empirical analysis of goods prices and exchange rates must be capable of measuring either marginal cost or the markup over marginal cost either of these tasks poses formidable empirical problems much of the empirical literature in industrial organization has been concerned with precisely these issues since markups are an important measure of the competitiveness of industries

multiple currencies and hedging this paper presents a model of a competitive exporting firm confronting multiple currency risks future markets do not exist for the firm s own currency but do exist between currencies of two countries to which the firm exports its entire output we provide analytical insight into optimal cross hedging and its implications on production and on trade flows we show that the unbiasedness of the cross currency futures market does not imply non random profits furthermore the availability of cross hedging opportunities has no effects on production but does have effects on exports

the long run relationship between the real exchange rate and terms of trade in oecd countries using the null hypothesis of cointegration it is shown that the real exchange rate and the terms of trade of the seven major oecd countries are cointegrated in the long run our results also confirm the granger proposition that there is granger causality in at least one direction when two variables are i 1 and cointegrated we find that exchange rate changes granger cause changes in the terms of trade for five out of the seven oecd countries while the causation runs in the opposite direction for the remaining two countries

the relevance of the invoicing currency in intra firm trade transactions abstract this paper extends the invoicing currency literature to the theory of multinational firms even with strong tax credit provisions net payments and receipts associated with intra firm trade usually do not consolidate to zero the statistical behavior of the resulting transactional value is affected by the decision on the invoicing currency thus a carefully chosen invoicing currency can create foreign exchange exposure which offsets some other risks of the firm the paper examines how and under what conditions this insight is relevant to a risk averse multinational enterprise a preliminary empirical study generates evidence which supports our ideas

the dynamics of uncertainty or the uncertainty of dynamics stochastic j curves that the u s trade account will improve in response to a depreciation is not generally in doubt the key questions are by how much and by when addressing these questions involves studying the distribution of trade account responses to a depreciation given a depreciation of the dollar the paper generates this distribution by simulating a trade model with random drawings of both innovations and elasticity estimates unlike previous studies this analysis explains trade on a bilateral basis and uses the full information maximum likelihood estimator for parameter estimation according to the findings the dispersion of trade account responses grows over time and is directly related to the magnitude of the depreciation furthermore the probability of a slow adjustment of the trade account is relatively high and the 95 percent confidence intervals are too wide to be useful for policies that target a given trade account path copyright 1991 by mit press

the interaction between food prices and oil prices this paper provides a statistical methodology to estimate the impact of oil price uncertainty on food prices in doing so it examines the joint impact of oil price and food price uncertainties and their correlation on the food price also the theoretical model was applied to the oil based trinidad and tobago and the empirical results confirm the theoretical predictions the empirical results indicate that a higher oil price increases food price also a higher oil price volatility yields a higher food price moreover an increase in the oil supply reduces the food price

exchange rate pass through at the product level we use a detailed database to investigate exchange rate pass through at the product level for a large number of countries the empirical analysis suggests that pricing behaviours are dichotomous with complete pass through in around 25 of sectors and significant pricing to market in the remaining ones average long run pass through coef ficient is close to 80 this result hides a strong heterogeneity of pass through behaviours across sectors even when composition effects are controlled for average pass through varies across importing countries the econometric analysis shows that pass through tends to be higher in volatile environments in less developed countries in weakly integrated markets jel classification f12 f31 f41

the empirical role of the exchange rate on the crude oil price formation this paper adopts a novel empirical approach to the crude oil price formation for the purpose of understanding the price reactions of opec member countries to changes in the exchange rate of the us dollar against other major currencies and prices of other members the results are broadly consistent with the view of the absence of a unified opec determined price in the international crude market literature in addition the results also highlight a cross regional dimension of the crude oil market

the choice of exchange rate index and domestic price passthrough this paper finds that the extent of real appreciation and real depreciation in the external value of the dollar since the late 70s has been overstated for most industries by the federal reserve board s 10 country index and is better proxied by the dallas fed s 101 country index earlier findings seem robust to the choice of index namely changes in the real external value of the dollar have passed most fully into domestic prices of industries heavily reliant on imported inputs and producing import substitutes and least fully into capital intensive and concentrated industries and those protected by entry barriers copyright 1991 by blackwell publishing ltd

exchange rate pass through and international pricing strategy a conceptual framework and research propositions the extent to which exchange rate fluctuations affect international prices is called exchange rate pass through this paper develops a conceptual model in explaining how exchange rate fluctuations are channeled into international pricing strategy and offers research propositions our model posits that the extent of exchange rate pass through in international pricing is affected by the firm s pricing orientation performance orientation distribution policy and brand equity as well as by exchange rate uncertainty and competitive symmetry

a model of exchange rate pass through abstract exchange rate pass through is the phenomenon whereby changes in the value of foreign exchange are reflected in changes in import prices this paper presents a partial equilibrium model in which firms are price setters who anticipate exchange rate changes in equilibrium firms strategies incorporate expectations about the exchange rate consistently and are best responses to the strategies of all others in the world market it is shown that exchange rate changes give rise to import price changes but the degree of exchange rate pass through depends upon domestic and foreign market structures and the exchange rate regime in general exchange rate pass through is higher if the home market is monopolistic or if the foreign market is competitive

declining exchange rate pass through to u s import prices the potential role of global factors this paper documents a robust and sustained decline in exchange rate pass through to u s import prices from well above 0 5 during the 1970s and 1980s to around 0 2 over the last decade we attribute this decline to the rising prominence of competition from china a shift in import pricing behavior since the asian financial crisis and the reduced share of material intensive goods in u s imports we also find evidence that foreign exporters are increasingly setting their prices with an eye on u s prices these results in turn suggest a new and more general hypothesis linking the decline in pass through to the evolving nature of competition in global markets and structural changes in international production patterns

hyteresis in import prices the beachhead effect this paper shows that temporary real exchange rate fluctuations can have persistent hysteretic effects on trade specifically when market entry costs are sunk sufficiently large exchange rate shocks alter domestic market structure and thereby induce hysteresis this simple result has strong implications for exchange rate theory t rade policy and estimation of trade equations empirical evidence su ggests that the recent dollar overvaluation induced hysteresis in u s import prices namely the aggregate pass through equation of exchange rates to import prices shifted in the 1980s the shift s nature and timing is broadly consistent with the hysteresis hypothesis copyright 1988 by american economic association

new estimates of climate demand evidence from location choice abstract we develop and apply to census data a new method for estimating climate demand the method is useful for ranking quality of life based upon a willingness to pay criterion our two major findings are that the willingness to pay quality of life index is correlated with the hedonic approach s ranking but that the migration approach generates much larger estimates of willingness to pay for a more moderate climate this finding is relevant for evaluating the economic impact of global warming

voting with your feet and the quality of life index abstract this paper develops a new technique that uses the utility maximizing migration decisions of rational voters consumers to construct qol rankings we apply our technique to canadian inter provincial migration data for 1970 1990

the links between international parity conditions and granger causality a study of exchange rates and prices this article investigates granger causality between exchange rates and prices for the us and four of its trading partners canada germany japan and the uk we emphasize the distinction between direct and indirect granger causality exchange rates directly cause prices if movements in exchange rates lead movement in prices and exchange rates indirectly cause prices if deviations from the purchasing power parity ppp condition can help forecast movement in prices but only by including the interest rate differential in our error correction model do we obtain results that align with economic theory the economic theory of ppp suggests that exchange rates and prices are cointegrated with exchange rates moving proportionally to prices in the long run in general we find either direct or indirect feedback mechanisms between exchange rates and prices

worldwide acreage and yield response to international price change and volatility a dynamic panel data analysis for wheat rice corn and soybeans this study estimates a worldwide aggregate supply response for key agricultural commodities namely wheat rice corn and soybeans by employing a newly developed multi country crop and calendar specific seasonally disaggregated model with price changes and price volatility applied accordingly the findings reveal that although higher output prices serve as incentives to improve global crop supply as expected output price volatility acts as a disincentive depending on the crop the results show that own price supply elasticities range from about 0 05 to 0 40 output price volatility however has negative correlations with crop supply implying that farmers shift land other inputs and yield improving investments to crops with less volatile prices simulating the impact of price dynamics since 2006 we find that price risk has reduced the production response of wheat in particular and to a lesser extent rice thus dampening price incentive effects the simulation analysis shows that the increase in own crop price volatility during the 2006 2010 period has dampened yield by about 1 2 for the crops considered

unfair trade the increasing gap between world and domestic prices in commodity markets during the past 25 years the early literature on international trade has debated extensively the constraints facing exporting countries in the major commodity markets this article goes one step further by suggesting that the final demand for these products can not have increased because the declines in world commodity prices were not transmitted or were transmitted imperfectly to domestic consumer prices in contrast upward movements in world prices were clearly passed on to domestic prices as a result the spread between world and domestic prices almost doubled in all major commodity markets during 1975 94 this asymmetry seldom discussed in the literature does not seem to be caused at least systematically by changes in trade and tax policies or factors such as transport processing and marketing costs this article argues therefore that a special effort should be made to better understand the transmission from world to domestic prices especially the role of large international trading companies that may have the capability to influence such spreads through one or several stages of processing in most major commodity markets

wages rents and the quality of life this study focuses on the role of wages and rents in allocating workers to locations with various quantities of amenities the theory demonstrates that if the amenity is also productive then the sign of the wage gradient is unclear while the rent gradient is positive the theory is extended to include the housing market and nontraded goods these extensions require little modification of the conclusion the empirical work on wages shows that the regional wage differences can be explained largely by these local attributes with the use of site price data implicit prices are estimated and quality of life rankings for the cities are computed

exchange rate pass through to bilateral import prices abstract this paper estimates exchange rate pass through for a unique set of bilateral us import prices over the period 1992 2006 it finds evidence of a significant decline in pass through to us import prices from some but not all of the trading partners in the sample these differences rule out a universal decline in pass through rates to bilateral us import prices they further indicate a growing divergence in the import price response to a uniform dollar decline

exchange rates and import prices in the united states a varying parameter estimation of exchange rate pass through this article estimates the import price function in the united states using a varying parameter model the results show that the short run nonoil import price changes have become relatively less responsive to exchange rate changes than to foreign cost changes since the generalized floating began in the early 1970s concomitantly the markup has varied significantly falling when the dollar fell and rising when it rose thus pricing to market is confirmed even for overall u s imports

new estimates of quality of life in urban areas implicit markets capture compensation for intraurban and interregional differe nces in amenities and yield differences in housing prices and wages these pecuniary differences become preference based weights in a qual ity of life index hedonic equations are estimated using microdata fr om the 1980 census and assembled county based amenity data on climati c environmental and urban conditions ranking of 253 urban counties reveals substantial variation within as well as among the 185 urba n areas the quality of life differences across counties within one s msa is almost one half of the difference between the top and bottom ranked counties in the nation copyright 1988 by american economic association

microeconomic implications of exchange rate variations this paper investigates the effect of exchange rate variations on the equilibrium of an industry in which domestic firms are competing with foreign suppliers the paper is designed as an expository survey it discusses the perfectly competitive industry exchange rate pass through under imperfect competition entry exit and hysteresis with fixed costs and exchange rate uncertainty copyright 1990 by oxford university press

exchange rates and import prices for a small open economy the case of ireland as a further contribution to the growing international literature on exchange rate pass through pt this study assesses the extent of pt for irish import prices over the period 1963 to 1995 it fills two important gaps in the literature by making due allowance for the time series properties of the data and by concentrating on the case of a small open economy in order to assess the extent of pt a mark up model for aggregate import unit values is employed it is argued that the usual single equation mark up estimation technique leads to seriously biased and inefficient estimates of the degree of pt as it ignores the strong simultaneity of import prices and domestic competing prices this study makes use of the johansen technique to allow for such simultaneity and uncovers two long run equilibrium relationships among the data for import unit values and domestic competing prices and confirms the existence of very close to full pt for both previous results in the literature demonstrating substantially

cost pass through in the u s automobile market we study cost pass through in the u s automobile market using a framework that incorporates the effects of cost changes on input decisions we find that accounting for firms factor market decisions significantly increases measured cost pass through although we reject the hypothesis of full cost pass through and constant markups in addition our evidence suggests that cost shocks common to all manufacturers have a greater effect on prices than do model specific cost shocks finally we examine how pass through varies with manufacturer nationality finding that u s firm cost pass through exceeds that of european and asian firms

price adjustments by a gasoline retail chain we use daily data to examine price responses in the swedish gasoline market to changes in the rotterdam spot price exchange rates and taxes the distribution of price adjustments by a leading retail chain for the period january 1980 to december 1996 is symmetric with no small adjustments an error correction model shows that in the short run prices gradually move towards the long run equilibrium in response to cost shocks there is some evidence that also in the short run prices are stickier downwards than upwards prices respond more rapidly to exchange rate movements than to the spot market price our analysis emphasizes that to fully understand price adjustments it is necessary to examine data sets where the sample frequency at least matches that of price adjustments

pricing to market in european automobile exports to oecd countries a panel data approach this paper investigates pricing to market behaviour using data for european auto exports the empirical analysis uses forward instead of spot exchange rates cross country and cross product analyses reveal that pricing behaviour depends mainly on the class of product while the country of origin and destination appears as less important furthermore the data do not usually reject the hypothesis of a symmetric response of export prices to depreciations and appreciations of the exporter s currency finally although the point estimates confirm the combined influence of the business cycle and the direction of the exchange rate movements on pricing to market in most cases formal tests seldom provide statistical significance for this result

exchange rate pass through in a small open economy the anglo irish case bilateral import unit values are constructed to investigate the extent and speed of exchange rate and production cost pass through into the unit values of irish imports total and sectoral from the uk using menon s 1996 mark up model the approach used to measure exchange rate pass through is based on cointegration and error correction modelling and the period of analysis is from 1979 to 1995 full pass through from the bilateral irish pound sterling exchange rate and from uk producer costs could not be rejected for total and sectoral import unit values for the sample period 1979q1 1995q4 this implies no role for domestic competing prices in explaining the long run relationship determining unit values of irish imports from the uk the results indicate that for aggregate and sectoral unit values of irish imports from the uk pass through is incomplete in the short run

asymmetric effects of oil prices and exchange rates on china s industrial prices abstract this paper explores the impacts of positive and negative changes in crude oil price and exchange rate variables on raw material procurement prices and product ex factory prices of china s industrial enterprises we run the nonlinear autoregressive distributed lag nardl model for the full sample from january 2000 to june 2019 and find the existence of the cointegrating relationships and the asymmetries of the long run effects from positive and negative changes in oil price and exchange rate variables then we run the ols and quantile regressions for the two subsamples through the analysis of the estimates in different quantities in the latter model we obtain rich and novel findings the main findings include the inconsistency between the practice of oil price and exchange rate transmissions in china and the usual theoretical explanations and the active roles of china s oil product mechanism and exchange rate policy reforms in mitigating transmission distortions in addition we also find other asymmetries such as the asymmetric effects in different locations of dependent variable s conditional distribution and the different effects on raw material prices and product ex factory prices from the same independent variables

pass through of exchange rates and competition between floaters and fixers this paper studies how a rise in the share of u s imports from china or any country with a fixed exchange rate could disproportionately lower pass through of exchange rates to u s import prices we develop a theoretical model showing how changes in the competitive environment induce exporters from other countries to lower markups in response to a dollar depreciation thereby moderating pass through the model indicates that a particular local bias condition is necessary for this effect and that free entry amplifies it the model also produces an approximately log linear structural equation for pass through regressions including the china share panel regressions over 1993 2006 indicate that the rising share of trade from china or from all countries with fixed exchange rates can explain a decline in pass through by about onefifth of its size

cointegration and unit roots this paper provides an updated survey of a burgeoning literature on testing estimation and model specification in the presence of integrated variables integrated variables are a specific class of non stationary variables which seem to characterise faithfully the properties of many macroeconomic time series the analysis of cointegration develops out of the existence of unit roots and offers a generic route to test the validity of the equilibrium predictions of economic theories special emphasis is put on the empirical researcher s point of view

stickiness synchronization and passthrough in intrafirm trade prices about forty percent of all u s international trades occurs between related parties or intra rm such as trades between a parent and subsidiary of the same multinational corporation this paper uses a transaction level dataset that distinguishes arm s length

the degree and determinants of exchange rate pass through market structure non tariff barriers and multinational corporations this study investigates the exchange rate pass through for australian imports of manufactures pass through elasticities are estimated for total manufactures and forty product categories by applying an econometric procedure which avoids the pitfalls in previous studies to a carefully assembled data set the determinants of pass through are analyzed by relating the pass through elasticities to variables representing foreign control nontariff barriers product characteristics and market structure the author finds that pass through is incomplete for most products with significant variation across products unlike previous studies he finds that most of the variation in pass through is explained by the presence of multinational corporations and nontariff barriers copyright 1996 by royal economic society

game theoretic models of mixed oligopoly abstract in this paper we review various models that have been proposed for the study of mixed oligopoly that is markets in which private and public firm compete on equal basis using only market instruments

economic freedom and migration flows between u s states a modified gravity model is estimated using a cross section of data drawn from the u s census bureau survey of 2000 in order to analyze the impact of economic freedom on gross migration flows among the lower 48 states spatial econometric methods are utilized in order to capture spatial effects not detected by distance in addition the economic freedom of north america index is decomposed to determine the individual impact of various policies results show that states with higher relative economic freedom experience greater migration inflow through its direct impact on income and employment growth in aggregate the findings indicate that individuals migrate toward states with relatively higher government consumption expenditures relatively lower tax burdens and states with more freedom with respect to labor decisions in the form of less restrictive minimum wages less concentration of unions and less dependence on public employment

goods prices and exchange rates what have we learned import prices typically change by a smaller proportion than the exchange rate between the exporting and importing country recent research indicates that common currency relative prices for similar goods exported to different markets are highly correlated with exchange rates between those markets this evidence suggests that incomplete pass through is a consequence of third degree price discrimination while distance matters for market segmentation borders have independent effects the source of the border effect has not been clearly identified furthermore there is little evidence yet to suggest substantial market power is implied by the observed price discrimination

long run price effects of exchange rate changes in finnish pulp and paper exports this paper presents long run exchange rate elasticities of finnish newsprint and pulp export prices in the united kingdom uk and germany over the period 1980 94 the elasticities were estimated for a markup pricing model using johansen s cointegration method the magnitudes of the elasticity estimates obtained by imposing price homogeneity indicate that pass through of exchange rate changes to export prices has been incomplete in both markets for newsprint the pass through elasticity was 0 60 in the uk and 0 46 in germany which means that about one half of the changes in the exchange rates is reflected in prices as expressed in the destination countries currencies and about a half in prices measured in finnish markka instead in pulp exports the pass through elasticities differed from each other between the two destination countries more clearly than in newsprint exports indicating a different pricing behaviour of finnish pulp exporters in the uk and germany when exchange rate changes pass throug

exchange rate pass through abstract the resilience of trade balances of the major industrialized economies to changes in their exchange rates has evoked interest in the exchange rate pass through relationship so far there has not been a comprehensive survey of this literature the paper aims to fill this gap in two ways first it pieces together the theoretical literature on exchange rate pass through second it provides a critical survey of the empirical literature on exchange rate pass through emphasis is placed on the data and methodology employed in previous work this is done in order to guide future work in this growing area of research

time frequency dynamics of return spillover from crude oil to agricultural commodities we explore return spillover from crude oil to ethanol corn soybean and wheat on daily data during 17 may 2005 27 june 2018 this study is unique in capturing the time frequency dynamics of return

introduction to a special section on exchange rate pass through in developing and emerging markets abstractthe interest in exchange rate pass through erpt in emerging market and developing economies has burgeoned in the last two decades small open and trade dependent economies embody special features that can make it difficult to obtain reliable estimates of erpt this special section includes a survey of recent research in developing and emerging market countries on erpt focusing on the monetary policy relevance of erpt the frequent misspecifications that produce unreliable erpt estimates are highlighted many empirical issues raised in the survey are illustrated by the macro and the micro economic empirical studies on south africa sa included in this special section and an earlier published jds paper on erpt in sa

regime switching model of us crude oil and stock market prices 1859 to 2013 this paper examines the relationship between us crude oil and stock market prices using a markov switching vector error correction model and a monthly data set from 1859 to 2013 the sample covers the entire modern era of the petroleum industry which typically begins with the first drilled oil well in titusville pennsylvania in 1858 we estimate a two regime model that divides the sample into high and low volatility regimes based on the variance covariance matrix of the oil and stock prices we find that the high volatility regime more frequently exists prior to the great depression and after the 1973 oil price shock caused by the organization of petroleum exporting countries the low volatility regime occurs more frequently when the oil markets fell largely under the control of the major international oil companies from the end of the great depression to the first oil price shock in 1973 using the national bureau of economic research business cycle dates we also find that the high volatility regime more likely occurs when the economy experiences a recession

exchange rate pass through for strategic pricing and advertising abstract this paper builds a model in the new empirical industrial organization framework bresnahan t 1989 industries and market power in schmalensee r willig r eds handbook of industrial organization north holland amsterdam to estimate exchange rate pass through in price and advertising price cost margins market structure and firm conduct are estimated endogenously allowing for precise estimation of the degree of and reasons for incomplete pass through i demonstrate that price and advertising pass through are functions of demand cost and market conduct in the short run in the long run the market conduct and cost technologies are in turn determined by the exchange rate movements 1997 elsevier science b v

composite indices of physical quality of life basic needs fulfilment and income a principal component representation abstract in the context of international comparisons the multivariate method of principal components is suggested for computing composite indices of economic development that capture per capita income basic needs fulfilment and other possible indicators of well being the method is conceptually appealing easy to apply and seems promising in several directions two illustrative applications are given one develops a composite index based on the three pqli constituents and per capita gnp for 147 countries in the other a composite index of basic needs fulfilment is first computed for 82 countries and then a more inclusive measure that also takes account of per capita gnp is derived

risk spillover between energy and agricultural commodity markets a dependence switching covar copula model abstract unlike previous studies we employ a relatively newer modelling technique a time varying copula with a switching dependence to characterise the conditional dependence between energy and agricultural commodity markets in a more realistic way because the dependence may switch between positive and negative correlation regimes over time a dependence switching copula more appropriately and realistically captures a dependence structure than a single copula regime our findings indicate that the lower tail dependence is much stronger in a bearish regime than in a bullish regime highlighting the importance of systematic risk spillovers during extreme downward movements furthermore the significant risk spillovers from energy to agricultural commodities are verified by measuring the conditional value at risk covar and delta covar finally some useful implications are summarized for investors portfolios and risk avoidance

exchange rate pass through abstract the pass through relationship between exchange rate and prices of manufactured exports is examined for korea it is found that exporters take competitors prices at the prime mover of price setting and let profits bear the brunt of adjustment to the exchange rate changes

pricing to market behaviour and exchange rate pass through in japanese exports this paper examines the relationship between exchange rate changes and japanese export pricing behavior employing a methodology which permits the separate measurement of pricing to market behavior and the cost impact of exchange rate changes the results suggest that incomplete pass through of exchange rate changes is a pervasive phenomenon but rejects the widely held view that japanese export firms have relied more heavily on pricing to market strategies during the period of yen appreciation in order to maintain market shares there is also evidence that estimates which capture only pricing to market behavior may over emphasise the degree of pass through to the extent that cost of production is sensitive to exchange rate changes copyright 1994 by royal economic society

a new look at pass through abstract this paper examines the relationship between exchange rates and prices rather than assuming exchange rate changes are exogenous shocks that affect prices i use a long run restrictions var to identify shocks and explore the way domestic prices import prices and exchange rates react to a variety of shocks consumer price pass through is nearly complete in response to some shocks but low in response to others alternatively import prices and exchange rates typically respond in the same direction and pass through seems quick this supports the idea that import prices are set in the producer s currency and that lower cpi pass through is a result of changes in quantities or margins further down the supply chain

the adjustment of global external balances does partial exchange rate pass through to trade prices matter abstract this paper assesses whether partial exchange rate pass through to trade prices has important implications for the prospective adjustment of global external imbalances to address this question we develop and estimate an open economy dsge model in which pass through is incomplete due to the presence of local currency pricing distribution services and a variable demand elasticity that leads to fluctuations in optimal markups we find that the overall magnitude of trade adjustment is similar in a low and high pass through environment with more adjustment in a low pass through world occurring through movements in the terms of trade rather than real trade flows and through a larger response of the exchange rate

export price responses to exogenous exchange rate movements the export price responses to three different exogenous exchange rate movements are investigated using data on swedish exports of automobiles and kraft paper to three destination countries a pric

vegetable oil market and biofuel policy an asymmetric cointegration approach abstract the present paper analyses the long run relationship between vegetable oil prices and conventional diesel prices in the eu for the period 2005 2007 we applied recent developments in the threshold cointegration approach to investigate the presence of asymmetric dynamic adjusting processes between the prices of rapeseed oil sunflower oil and soybean oil and the price of a mineral oil diesel the results presented suggest a two regime threshold cointegration model only for the rapeseed oil diesel price pair thus the rapeseed oil price adjusts rapidly to its long run equilibrium determined by fossil diesel prices but this adjustment is asymmetric it differs if the divergence between the two prices is above or below a critical threshold consequently rapeseed oil appears particularly exposed to external shocks deriving from global political scenarios suggesting the reassessment of the high quota 80 of eu biodiesel represented by this vegetable oil

can exchange rate pass through explain the asymmetric gasoline puzzle evidence from a pooled panel threshold analysis of the eu abstract this study contributes to the literature since it tries to link the exchange rate pass through erpt with the rockets and feathers hypothesis using a panel of eu 28 countries allowing for the existence of an endogenous threshold variable our empirical findings indicate that the threshold model is better suited to this analysis than the baseline linear adjustment model this is the case since the latter restricts the threshold to be centered around zero and the dynamic response to cumulative shocks cannot be properly identified the empirical findings reveal that the threshold variable expressed by the trade weighted dollar exchange rate index is statistically significant only in the sample above the threshold high regime this means that for the net eu exporting countries fluctuations in the real effective exchange rate of the us against its major eu trading partners do affect the level of pre tax retail gasoline prices with the relevant elasticity exceeding unity complete erpt moreover all the statistical tests reject the null hypothesis that there is no significant threshold and thus an asymmetric adjustment gasoline mechanism prevails the impulse response functions confirm our empirical findings that erpt can explain asymmetric gasoline pricing within the eu periphery

exchange rate reform and its inflationary consequences an empirical analysis for china in examining china s exchange rate policy in the reforming years the study finds empirical evidence of its long run inflationary consequences but the effects appear not to be sizable in the short run while changes in the devaluation rate are positively correlated with the increase in the growth rate of inflation the inflation inertia is also modest the moderate inflationary cost of devaluations provides some explanation of the smooth transition of exchange rate policy regime in china and the authorities ability to put more weight on external competitiveness

exchange rates and prices the adjustment of relative prices to exchange rate movements is explained in an industrial organization approach given labor costs in the respective currencies exchange rate movements change costs for firms selling in the home market and thus disturb the industry equilibrium the extent of absolute and relative price adjustment is shown to depend on market integration product substitutability the relative number of domestic and foreign firms and the market structure the impact of exchange rates on prices is illustrated in a variety of approaches including the cournot a dixit and j stiglitz 1977 and s salop 1979 models some empirical evidence is offered in support of the theory copyright 1987 by american economic association