energy growth long term relationship under structural breaks evidence from canada 17 latin american economies and the usa abstract we study the relationship and the causal link between electric power consumption epc and gross domestic product gdp both per capita for 17 countries in latin america canada and the usa considering that many of these economies underwent important economic crises in the last three decades we therefore model the epc gdp relationship through a vec specification that allows for structural breaks along with a robust testing methodology of causal links based on the concepts of weak and super exogeneity rather than granger causality evidence favorable to the growth hypothesis epc gdp is found for eight countries while data of three countries support the conservation hypothesis gdp epc for three countries evidence is favorable to the neutrality hypothesis but should be considered with caution as for the remaining five countries the evidence is not conclusive

co2 emissions energy consumption economic growth and financial development in gcc countries dynamic simultaneous equation models abstract this study investigates the dynamic causal relationships among carbon emissions financial development economic growth and energy consumption for gulf cooperation council gcc countries from 1980 through 2011 annual time series data and an autoregressive distributed lag ardl model are used the main contribution of this paper is that it has investigated the causes of carbon emissions by taking into account the role of financial development and economic growth in gcc countries the results suggest long run and causal relationships among carbon emissions financial development gross domestic product gdp and energy use in all gcc countries except united arab emirates uae moreover there is long run unidirectional causality running from carbon emissions to energy use in the case of saudi arabia uae and qatar furthermore a one way causal relationship from financial development to carbon emissions in the context of uae oman and kuwait is found the evidence suggests that financial systems should take into account environmental aspects in their current operations in these countries the results of this study may be of great importance for policy and decision makers in developing energy policies for gcc countries that contribute to curbing carbon emissions while preserving economic growth

renewable energy non renewable energy and economic growth in brazil this study employs brazil s yearly statistics from 1980 to 2010 to explore the causal relationships between the real gdp and four types of energy consumption non hydroelectric renewable energy consumption nhrec total renewable energy consumption trec non renewable energy consumption nrec and the total primary energy consumption tec the cointegration test reveals a long run equilibrium among brazil s real gdp labour capital and each of the four types of consumption the development of the brazilian economy has close ties with capital formation and labour force the influence of nhrec trec on real output is positive and significant while the impacts by nrec tec are insignificant the results from the vector error correction models reveal a unidirectional causality from nhrec to economic growth a bidirectional causality between economic growth and trec and a unidirectional causality from economic growth to nrec or tec without feedback in the long run these findings suggest that brazil is an energy independent economy and that economic growth is crucial in providing the necessary resources for sustainable development expanding renewable energy would not only enhance brazil s economic growth and curb the deterioration of the environment but also create an opportunity for a leadership role in the international system and improve brazil s competition with more developed countries

the renewable energy growth and environmental kuznets curve in turkey an ardl approach abstract this study examines the potential of renewable energy sources in reducing the impact of ghg emissions in turkey using autoregressive distributed lag ardl approach the relationship between co 2 emissions electricity generated using renewables and gdp in turkey has been investigated during 1961 2010 moreover the validity of environmental kuznets curve ekc hypothesis has been tested model results show that the coefficient of electricity production from renewable sources hydro power excluded with respect to co 2 emissions is negative and significant in the long run although this effect is positive and statistically significant in the short run since the ecm term is 0 82 it becomes negative around 1 year this means that renewable electricity production will contribute to environmental enhancement with a one year lag our results also suggest a u shaped ekc relationship between per capita ghgs and income estimations from a long run regression show that although the peak point of gdp per capita has been calculated to be 9920 us dollars this turning point was outside of the observed sample period therefore ghg emissions start to decrease with an increase in per capita gdp in the following years model research implies the potential and the importance of renewable energy sources in controlling of emissions in turkey

energy consumption carbon emissions and economic growth in saudi arabia an aggregate and disaggregate analysis the objective of this study is to examine the relationship among economic growth carbon emissions and energy consumption at the aggregate and disaggregate levels for the aggregate energy consumption model we use total energy consumption per capita and co2 emissions per capita based on the total energy consumption for the disaggregate analysis we used oil gas and electricity consumption models along with their respective co2 emissions the long term income elasticities of carbon emissions in three of the four models are positive and higher than their estimated short term income elasticities these results suggest that carbon emissions increase with the increase in per capita income which supports the belief that there is a monotonically increasing relationship between per capita carbon emissions and per capita income for the aggregate model and for the oil and electricity consumption models the long and short term income elasticities of carbon emissions are negative for the gas consumption model this result indicates that if the saudi arabian economy switched from oil to gas consumption then an increase in per capita income would reduce carbon emissions the results also suggest that electricity is less polluting than other sources of energy

co2 emissions energy consumption and economic growth in bric countries abstract this paper examines dynamic causal relationships between pollutant emissions energy consumption and output for a panel of bric countries over the period 1971 2005 except for russia 1990 2005 in long run equilibrium energy consumption has a positive and statistically significant impact on emissions while real output exhibits the inverted u shape pattern associated with the environmental kuznets curve ekc hypothesis with the threshold income of 5 393 in logarithms in the short term changes in emissions are driven mostly by the error correction term and short term energy consumption shocks as opposed to short term output shocks for each country short term deviations from the long term equilibrium take from 0 770 years russia to 5 848 years brazil to correct the panel causality results indicate there are energy consumption emissions bidirectional strong causality and energy consumption output bidirectional long run causality along with unidirectional both strong and short run causalities from emissions and energy consumption respectively to output overall in order to reduce emissions and not to adversely affect economic growth increasing both energy supply investment and energy efficiency and stepping up energy conservation policies to reduce unnecessary wastage of energy can be initiated for energy dependent bric countries

monetary policy shifts and the stability of monetary policy models since the publication 1976 of the classic lucas critique researchers in empirical macroeconomics have endeavored to specify models that capture the underlying dynamic decision making behavior of consumers and firms who require forecasts of future events recently a number of researchers have developed simple models that have become the workhorses for monetary policy analysis the models vary considerably with regard to optimizing foundations and explicit treatment of expectations however relatively little effort has been devoted to testing the empirical importance of the lucas critique for these simple models can one find specifications that are policy invariant this paper develops and implements a set of tests for several monetary policy models used extensively in the literature in particular we attempt to test the robustness of optimizing versus nonoptimizing models to changes in the monetary policy regime we present evidence that shows that some forward looking models from the recent literat

co2 emissions non renewable and renewable electricity production economic growth and international trade in italy abstract this paper applies the autoregressive distributed lag ardl bounds testing approach to cointegration to investigate the dynamic causal relationships between co2 emissions per capita real gdp per capita per capita non renewable electricity production and per capita renewable electricity production and international trade in the case of italy from 1960 to 2011 we find cointegration among these variables in the presence of possible structural breaks and we overcome the problem of multicollinearity in the research design the environmental kuznets curve ekc hypothesis is validated analytically because the estimated pollution model indicates that economic growth leads to less pollution over time per capita renewable electricity production reduces the level of co2 emissions per capita in the short run and in the long run whereas international trade only impacts positively upon carbon dioxide emissions per capita in the long run international trade granger causes co2 emissions per capita and non renewable electricity production per capita moreover the results depict the existence of the long run unidirectional granger causality relation running from output per capita to renewable electricity production per capita and from non renewable electricity production per capita to renewable electricity production per capita the findings indicate that renewable electricity production is a key solution in reducing pollutant emissions over time this result should be of concern to policy makers

is there an environmental kuznets curve for south africa a co summability approach using a century of data abstract there exists a huge international literature on the so called environmental kuznets curve ekc hypothesis which in turn postulates an inverted u shaped relationship between environmental pollutants and output the empirical literature on ekc has mainly used test for cointegration based on polynomial relationships between pollution and income motivated by the fact that measured in per capita co 2 equivalent emissions south africa is the world s most carbon intensive non oil producing developing country this paper aims to test the validity of the ekc for south africa for this purpose we use a century of data 1911 2010 to capture the process of development better compared to short sample based research and the concept of co summability which is designed to analyze non linear long run relations among persistent processes our results however provide no support of the ekc for south africa both for the full sample and sub samples determined by tests of structural breaks implying that to reduce emissions without sacrificing growth policies should be aimed at promoting energy efficiency

clean energy non clean energy and economic growth in the mist countries abstract this paper explores the causal relationship between clean renewable nuclear and non clean energy consumption and economic growth in emerging economies of the mist mexico indonesia south korea and turkey countries the panel co integration tests reveal that there is a long term equilibrium relationship among gdp capital formation labor force renewable nuclear and fossil fuel energy consumption the panel causality results indicate that 1 there is a positive unidirectional short run causality from fossil fuel energy consumption to economic growth with a bidirectional long run causality 2 there is a unidirectional long run causality from renewable energy consumption to economic growth with positive bidirectional short run causality and a long run causality from renewable to fossil fuel energy consumption with negative short run feedback effects and 3 there is a bidirectional long run causality between nuclear energy consumption and economic growth and a long run causality from fossil fuel energy consumption to nuclear energy consumption with positive short run feedback effects these suggest that mist countries should be energy dependent economies and that energy conservation policies may depress their economic development however developing renewable and nuclear energy is a viable solution for addressing energy security and climate change issues and creating clean and fossil fuel energy partnerships could enhance a sustainable energy economy

a bootstrap panel granger causality analysis of energy consumption and economic growth in the g7 countries abstract the paper investigates the causality between energy consumption and economic growth in the countries which are members of the group of seven g7 during the period 1970 2012 by following the bootstrap panel granger causality approach the main aim of the paper is to identify the right policies to deal with the interaction between energy consumption and economic growth the findings show a bi directional causality between energy consumption and gdp in canada japan and united states gdp causes energy consumption in france and germany while no causality is found for the rest of the sample i e italy and united kingdom these outcomes are very sensitive to the cross sectional dependences between countries therefore their environmental and growth policies should be widely reconsidered when the level of interdependence dramatically decreases

economic growth and energy consumption the energy environmental kuznets curve for latin america and the caribbean abstract this paper investigates the relationship between economic growth and energy consumption using the hypothesis postulated for the energy environmental kuznets curve which assumes an inverted u shape relationship between income and energy consumption panel data for 22 latin american and caribbean countries for the period 1990 2011 were used absolute energy consumption was chosen as an environmental pressure indicator because energy consumption is the major contributor of emissions pollutants the results obtained in the estimations show that the hypothesis postulated for the energy environmental kuznets curve is not supported for the region on the contrary the results show an exponential growth as gross value added grows also notable differences are shown between the analyzed economies

why does the yield curve predict output and inflation the slope of the yield curve has been shown empirically to be a significant predictor of inflation and real economic activity but there is no standard theory as to why the relationship exists this article constructs an analytical rational expectations model to investigate the reasons for the empirical results the model suggests that the relationships are not structural but are instead influenced by the monetary policy regime however the yield curve should have predictive power for output and inflation in most circumstances various implications of the theoretical model are tested and confirmed empirically

the renewable energy and economic growth nexus in black sea and balkan countries the aim of this study is to explore the relationship between renewable energy consumption and economic growth within the framework of traditional production function for the period of 1990 2012 in 9 black sea and balkan countries for this purpose we use pedroni 1999 2004 panel cointegration pedroni 2000 2001 co integration estimate methods and dumitrescu and hurlin 2012 heterogeneous panel causality estimation techniques the study has concluded that there is a long term balance relationship between renewable energy consumption and economic growth and renewable energy consumption has a positive impact on economic growth heterogeneous panel causality analysis results support growth hypothesis in bulgaria greece macedonia russia and ukraine feedback hypothesis in albania georgia and romania neutrality hypothesis in turkey and according to the panel data set including all nine countries the results support feedback hypothesis with the findings it was concluded that there is a significant impact of renewable energy consumption on economic growth in balkan and black sea countries

review of economic growth and energy consumption a panel cointegration analysis for eu countries abstract this paper examines the long run relationship between energy consumption and real gdp including fixed capital and total employment for 18 eu countries from 1995 to 2012 the analysis was based on the panel unit root tests panel cointegration test and fully modified ordinary least squares fmols estimator and dynamic ordinary least squares dols estimator data were analyzed in three groups all sample visegrad countries v4 and old 14 eu countries indeed the results demonstrate that economic growth and the variables energy consumption gross fixed capital are cointegrated for the whole panel of countries as well as for the two selected groups of countries furthermore the panel fmols and dols estimators reveal that the relationship between energy consumption gross fixed capital and economic growth is positive

energy consumption and economic growth in the next 11 countries the bootstrapped autoregressive metric causality approach abstract departing from previous literature using bootstrapped autoregressive metric causality approach which is more robust against non stationarity and break problems than lag augmented tests this study analyzes causal relation between economic growth and energy consumption in the next 11 countries estimating a trivariate model consisting of gdp per capita energy consumption per capita and gross capital formation it was found that the neutrality hypothesis is valid for all of the countries except for turkey these findings imply that energy conservation oriented policies should be implemented in bangladesh egypt indonesia iran korea mexico pakistan and philippines in the case of turkey a unidirectional causal nexus was found from energy consumption to economic growth since the growth hypothesis is valid energy conservation policy poses an obstacle for economic growth in turkey

on the causal dynamics between hydroelectricity consumption and economic growth in latin america countries abstract the aim of this study is to examine the relationship between hydroelectricity consumption and economic growth in seven latin america countries including argentina brazil chile colombia ecuador peru and venezuela the analysis is conducted within a neoclassical model involving capital and labour force for the period of 1970 2012 we utilize a recently developed cointegration test to investigate the long run relationship in the variables having established that the variables are cointegrated the results indicate long run bidirectional causality between hydroelectricity consumption and economic growth in argentina and venezuela there is evidence for long run unidirectional causality from hydroelectricity consumption to economic growth in brazil chile colombia ecuador and peru the long run coefficients from the regression analyses suggest that hydroelectricity consumption positively affect the economies of these latin american countries however limited evidence of causality between the two variables is found in the short run the ensuing policy implications of the findings are discussed

exploring the environmental kuznets hypothesis theoretical and econometric problems focussing on the prime example of co2 emissions we discuss several important theoretical and econometric problems that arise when studying environmental kuznets curves ekcs an ekc refers to an inverse u shaped relationship between a pollutant and economic activity the dominant theoretical approach is given by integrated assessment modelling which consists of economic models that are combined with environmental impact models we critically evaluate the aggregation model dynamics and calibration aspects and their implications for the validity of the results we then turn to a discussion of several important econometric problems that go almost unnoticed in the literature the most fundamental problems relate to nonlinear transformations of nonstationary regressors and in a nonstationary panel context to neglected cross sectional dependence we discuss the implications of these two major and some minor problems that arise in the econometric analysis of kuznets curves our discussion shows that ekc modelling as performed to date is subject to major drawbacks at both the theoretical and the econometric level

the predictive power of the term structure of interest rates in europe and the united states implications for the european central bank abstract this paper examines the relationship of the term structure of interest rates to monetary policy instruments and to subsequent real activity and inflation in both europe and the united states the results show that monetary policy is an important determinant of the term structure spread but is unlikely to be the only determinant in addition there is significant predictive power for both real activity and inflation the yield curve is thus a simple and accurate measure that should be viewed as one piece of useful information which along with other information can be used to help guide european monetary policy

the nexus of electricity consumption economic growth and co2 emissions in the brics countries abstract this study reexamines the causal link between electricity consumption economic growth and co 2 emissions in the brics countries i e brazil russia india china and south africa for the period 1990 2010 using panel causality analysis accounting for dependency and heterogeneity across countries regarding the electricity gdp nexus the empirical results support evidence on the feedback hypothesis for russia and the conservation hypothesis for south africa however a neutrality hypothesis holds for brazil india and china indicating neither electricity consumption nor economic growth is sensitive to each other in these three countries regarding the gdp co 2 emissions nexus a feedback hypothesis for russia a one way granger causality running from gdp to co 2 emissions in south africa and reverse relationship from co 2 emissions to gdp in brazil is found there is no evidence of granger causality between gdp and co 2 emissions in india and china furthermore electricity consumption is found to granger cause co 2 emissions in india while there is no granger causality between electricity consumption and co 2 emissions in brazil russia china and south africa therefore the differing results for the brics countries imply that policies cannot be uniformly implemented as they will have different effects in each of the brics countries under study

the turning points of carbon kuznets curve evidences from panel and time series data of 164 countries with the dramatic economic development global warming caused by carbon emission has become increasingly serious and carbon emission reduction therefore comes to be the principle in most countries turning point tp which represents carbon emission turns from increasing to decreasing tendency with the economic growth has become a major focus of political and academic concern however previous studies on tp were contextualized only in individual countries or regions but barely from a global perspective which are insufficient for solving the carbon emission as a global issue therefore this study aims to provide a global picture of the carbon emissions by identifying the tps of 164 countries and five panel groups i e global high income upper middle income lower middle income and low income levels in the world and the patterns of them the results show that 123 individual countries and all the five panel groups accept the carbon kuznets curve ckc hypothesis then the tps of them are identified in particular three close correlations are identified throughout the study 1 the proportion of the ckc hypothesis and income level i e the higher income level the larger proportion of countries meeting the ckc hypothesis 2 the tps and income level i e the higher income level the higher tp and 3 the turning years and income level i e the higher income level the shorter turning years the identified tps in this study provide valuable references for not only individual countries but also countries at different income levels to tailor their strategies and policies to finally achieve global carbon emission reduction

the co2 growth nexus revisited a nonparametric analysis for the g7 economies over nearly two centuries abstract using a long dataset and some recently popularized nonparametric econometric techniques this study revisits the nexus between economic growth and carbon dioxide co 2 emissions for the g7 countries over nearly two centuries the use of nonparametric modelling is warranted by the fact that long historical time series are often subject to structural breaks and other forms of nonlinearity over the course of time we employ nonparametric cointegration and causality tests along with the cross validated local linear regression analysis and validate the existence of the environmental kuznets curve in six of the g7 countries canada france germany italy u k and the u s and the only exception is japan our empirical analysis also finds co 2 emissions and economic growth to be cointegrated and closely interrelated in the granger sense our results are robust and highlight the nonlinear causal relationship between the two variables

co2 emissions in australia economic and non economic drivers in the long run abstractaustralia has sustained a relatively high economic growth rate since the 1980s compared to other developed countries per capita co2 emissions tend to be highest amongst oecd countries creating new challenges to cut back emissions towards international standards this research explores the long run dynamics of co2 emissions economic and population growth along with the effects of globalization tested as contributing factors we find economic growth is not emission intensive in australia while energy consumption is emissions intensive second in an environment of increasing population our findings suggest australia needs to be energy efficient at the household level creating appropriate infrastructure for sustainable population growth high population growth and open migration policy can be detrimental in reducing co2 emissions finally we establish globalized environment has been conducive in combating emissions in this respect we establish the beneficial effect of economic globalization

renewable and non renewable energy consumption growth nexus evidence from a panel error correction model abstract unlike previous renewable energy consumption growth studies this study examines the relationship between renewable and non renewable energy consumption and economic growth for 80 countries within a multivariate panel framework over the period 1990 2007 the pedroni 1999 2004 heterogeneous panel cointegration test show a long run equilibrium relationship between real gdp renewable energy consumption non renewable energy consumption real gross fixed capital formation and the labor force with the respective coefficient estimates positive and statistically significant there is little difference in the elasticity estimates with respect to renewable and non renewable energy consumption the results from the panel error correction model reveal bidirectional causality between renewable and non renewable energy consumption and economic growth in both the short and long run also there is bidirectional short run causality between renewable and non renewable energy consumption indicative of substitutability between the two energy sources

the environmental kuznets curve ekc theory part a concept causes and the co2 emissions case abstract the main purpose of this study is to capture the main features of the environmental kuznets curve ekc concept according to the ekc theory the process of economic growth is expected eventually to limit the environmental degradation created in the early stages of development the ekc concept leads many researchers from the early 1990s to assume that each economy should focus on its growth and any environmental problems will be eventually eliminated by the process of economic growth several studies attempt to test empirically the ekc hypothesis using data on many countries and examining various types of environmental degradation while other studies examine the underlying factors that may drive such a relationship this article reviews the evolution of the ekc concept and the possible causes of an ekc pattern like the distribution of income the international trade pollution haven hypothesis structural changes technical progress and improvements in energy efficiency institutions and governance and consumer preferences as co2 emissions are a pollutant with global effects several studies deal with the possible ekc pattern for co2 emissions and these studies are discussed separately the various critiques on the ekc concept are reviewed in the second article of this work

time varying analysis of co2 emissions energy consumption and economic growth nexus statistical experience in next 11 countries this paper detects the direction of causality among carbon dioxide co2 emissions energy consumption and economic growth in next 11 countries for the period 1972 2013 changes in economic energy and environmental policies as well as regulatory and technological advancement over time cause changes in the relationship among the variables we use a novel approach i e time varying granger causality and find that economic growth is the cause of co2 emissions in bangladesh and egypt economic growth causes energy consumption in the philippines turkey and vietnam but the feedback effect exists between energy consumption and economic growth in south korea in the cases of indonesia and turkey we find the unidirectional time varying granger causality running from economic growth to co2 emissions thus validates the existence of the environmental kuznets curve hypothesis which indicates that economic growth is achievable at the minimal cost of environment the paper gives new insights for policy makers to attain sustainable economic growth while maintaining long run environmental quality

the influence of real output renewable and non renewable energy trade and financial development on carbon emissions in the top renewable energy countries due to tremendous increase in the level of carbon dioxide co2 emissions in the last several decades a number of studies in the energy growth environment literature have attempted to identify the determinants of co2 emissions a major criticism related to the existing studies we realize is the selection of panel estimation techniques almost all studies use panel methods that ignore the issue of cross sectional dependence even though countries in the panel are most likely heterogeneous and cross sectionally dependent in addition the majority of existing studies use aggregate energy consumption and thus fail to identify the impacts of energy consumption by sources on the environment in order to fulfill the mentioned gaps in the literature this empirical study analyzes the influence of the real income renewable energy consumption non renewable energy consumption trade openness and financial development on co2 emissions in the ekc model for the top countries listed in the renewable energy country attractiveness index by employing heterogeneous panel estimation techniques with cross section dependence we find that the analyzed variables become stationary at their first differences by using the cadf and the cips unit root tests and the analyzed variables are cointegrated by employing the lm bootstrap cointegration test by using the fmols and the dols we also find that increases in renewable energy consumption trade openness and financial development decrease carbon emissions while increases in non renewable energy consumption contribute to the level of emissions and the ekc hypothesis is supported for the top renewable energy countries

considering the effect of biomass energy consumption on economic growth fresh evidence from brics region abstract this paper investigates the relationship between biomass energy consumption and economic growth by incorporating capital and trade openness in production function for the case of brics countries in doing so unit root and cointegration tests have been used in order to examine unit root properties and long run relationship between the series for the period of 1991q1 2015q4 the results confirm the presence of long run equilibrium relationship between the variables moreover biomass energy consumption stimulates economic growth capital increments economic growth and trade openness spurs economic growth the feedback effect exists between biomass energy consumption and economic growth trade openness granger causes economic growth capital and biomass energy consumption the policy to adopt biomass as the primary source of renewable energy helps brics countries to achieve sustainable development goal in both short run and long run however the key innovative point of this study is to establish the sign for granger causality test

renewable energy output co2 emissions and fossil fuel prices in central america evidence from a nonlinear panel smooth transition vector error correction model abstract this study examines the determinants of renewable energy consumption per capita for a panel of seven central american countries over the period 1980 to 2010 specifically we find that a long run cointegrated relationship exists between renewable energy consumption per capita real gdp per capita carbon emissions per capita real coal prices and real oil prices with the respective coefficients positive and statistically significant a structural break in the cointegrating relationship appears in 2002 which coincides with the establishment of the energy and environment partnership with central america initiative to expand the use of renewable energy sources recognizing the regime shift in 2002 we estimate a nonlinear panel smooth transition vector error correction model to show that for the post 2002 period the influence of renewable energy consumption per capita upon real coal and oil prices strengthened relative to the pre 2002 period as well as a greater sensitivity of real gdp per capita to carbon emissions per capita

economic growth energy consumption financial development international trade and co2 emissions in indonesia this study examines the linkages among economic growth energy consumption financial development trade openness and co2 emissions over the period of 1975q1 2011q4 in the case of indonesia the stationary analysis is performed by using zivot andrews structural break unit root test and the ardl bounds testing approach for a long run relationship between the series in the presence of structural breaks the causal relation between the concerned variable is examined by the vecm granger causality technique and robustness of causal analysis is tested by innovative accounting approach iaa our results confirm that the variables are cointegrated it means that the long run relationship exists in the presence of structural break stemming in the series the empirical findings indicate that economic growth and energy consumption increases co2 emissions while financial development and trade openness compact it the vecm causality analysis has shown the feedback hypothesis between energy consumption and co2 emissions economic growth and co2 emissions are also interrelated i e bidirectional causality financial development granger causes co2 emissions the study opens up a new policy insights to control the environment from degradation by using energy efficient technologies financial development and trade openness can also play their role in improving the environmental quality

new keynesian economics and the phillips curve models with sticky prices are an important part of new keynesian economics the author shows that several of the new keynesian models imply a formulation that is similar to the expectations augmented phillips curve of milton friedman and edmund phelps he then presents new estimates of the new keynesian phillips curve the author uses two proxies for price expectations survey based measures and an econometric based measure originally developed by bennett mccallum 1976 overall the results are consistent with the model but the survey based results are more precise suggesting that the surveys may be better measures of actual expectations copyright 1995 by ohio state university press

short run long run and cross elasticities of gasoline demand in brazil gasoline is one of the most important of the oil derived products its importance is closely related to its participation in the value of imports of many countries and in a number of cases it is one of the determinants of their balance of payment deficit fiscal deficit and economic growth as opposed to most nations brazil has had a gasoline substitute since 1985 alcohol many studies have tried to estimate the income and price elasticities of the demand for gasoline in several countries this paper extends previous studies by estimating the cross price elasticity between gasoline and alcohol our findings indicate that alcohol is an imperfect substitute for gasoline even in the long run as a consequence the need for a new fuel substitution must be initiated long before petroleum reserves vanish

assessment of financial development on environmental effect implications for sustainable development abstract this study observes the causal relationships between globalization urbanization financial development consumption of renewable energy and emissions of co2 in order to asses the implications for sustainable development it employs panel data of the top ten co2 emitter countries japan usa south korea germany iran canada saudi arabia china india and russia from 1990 to 2016 panel co integration panel fully modified least squares pfmols and panel vector error correction model vecm tests are used to analyse the data of the study an empirical result of the panel vecm test reveals unidirectional long term causality from co2 to financial development fd and globalization glob to urban population up the results of the pfmols test show that there are significantly long term positive relationships of fd and up with co2 emissions renewable energy consumption has a significantly negative relationship with emissions of co2 furthermore it is recommended to enhance renewable energy consumption in order to lower carbon emissions for sustainable development in the top ten emitter countries

the taylor rule and optimal monetary policy where it denotes the fed s operating target for the federal funds rate pt is the inflation rate measured by the gdp deflator yt is the log of real gdp and y t is the log of potential output identified empirically with a linear trend the rule has since been subject to considerable attention both as an account of actual policy in the united states and elsewhere and as a prescription for desirable policy taylor argues for the rule s normative significance both on the basis of simulations and on the ground that it describes u s policy in a period in which monetary policy is widely judged to have been unusually successful taylor 1999 suggesting that the rule is worth adopting as a principle of behavior here i wish to consider to what extent this prescription resembles the sort of policy that economic theory would recommend i consider the question in the context of a simple but widely used optimizing model of the monetary transmission mechanism which allows one to reach clear conclusions about economic welfare the model is highly stylized but incorporates important features of more realistic models and allows me to make several points that are of more general validity out of concern for the robustness of the conclusions reached the analysis here addresses only broad qualitative features of the taylor rule and attempts to identify features of a desirable policy rule that are likely to hold under a variety of model specifications

energy consumption and economic growth in the light of meeting the targets of energy policy in the eu the bootstrap panel granger causality approach abstract the aim of the paper is to assess linkages between energy consumption and economic growth in the light of compliance with the eu energy policy targets stated in the climate and energy package for 2020 in the european union member states in the period 1993 2011 the study is divided into two main stages during the first one using cluster analysis methods four groups of countries which met three energy policy targets stated in the package at similar levels were identified during the second stage the bootstrap granger panel causality approach proposed by konya 2006 was used to verify the hypothesis of causality between energy consumption and economic growth in the countries from four groups created in the previous step the global financial crisis was also taken into account the results obtained reveal that the level of compliance with energy policy targets influences linkages between energy consumption and economic growth the results indicate causal relations in the group of countries with the greatest reduction of greenhouse gas emissions the highest reduction of energy intensity and the highest share of renewable energy consumption in total energy consumption in the remaining groups the results mostly confirm the neutrality hypothesis

bounds testing approach to analysis of the environment kuznets curve hypothesis abstract this paper examines the long run and the dynamic temporal relationships between economic growth energy consumption population density trade openness and carbon dioxide co 2 emissions in brazil china egypt japan mexico nigeria south korea and south africa based on the environment kuznets curve ekc hypothesis we employ the ardl bounds test to cointegration and cusum and cusumsq tests to ensure cointegration and parameter stability the estimated results show that the inverted u shaped ekc hypothesis holds in japan and south korea in the other six countries the long run relationship between economic growth and co 2 emissions follows an n shaped trajectory and the estimated turning points are much higher than the sample mean in addition the results indicate that energy consumption granger causes both co 2 emissions and economic growth in all the countries our results are consistent with previous studies that show that there is no unique relationship between energy consumption population density economic growth trade openness and the environment across countries

decoupling strategies co2 emissions energy resources and economic growth in the group of twenty abstract this study uses the group of twenty g20 as a representative sample of global economic development within a panel emissions energy output eeo framework over the period 1991 2016 to estimate the carbon kuznets curve ckc the clean fossil fuels energy consumption ce ff elasticity of demand for carbon emissions the causalities between emissions energy and economy and thus to propose strategy for decoupling environmental pressure from economic growth eg the results of the descriptive statistical analysis suggest an absolute decoupling effect seems to have occurred with the drop in related environmental pressure and the continuation of economic growth the panel cointegration test results show that there is a long run equilibrium relationship between carbon emissions ff real gdp and different types of ce i e new renewable ren hydropower hydro nuclear nuc the estimation results show that the ckc exists and emissions are positively elastic to ff and negatively inelastic to ren hydro nuc although ren s average per capita compound annual growth rate reached 14 the results of panel vector error correction models reveal that 1 the use of nuclear energy is a key means for dealing with carbon emissions 2 the substitutability symbiosis exists between ren hydro and ff 3 the feedback hypothesis between eg and ff ren and the hydro nuc led growth hypothesis are confirmed therefore energy saving policies may hurt eg a broad strategy for emissions energy consumption and economy decoupling are to support diversified sustainable energy consumption mix including shp ren and nuc and maintain stable economic growth thereby improving energy efficiency and safety reducing carbon dioxide intensity and thus leading the world to absolute decoupling absolute decoupling is the only way to achieve a truly sustainable future

re examining the environmental kuznets curve hypothesis in the economic community of west african states a panel quantile regression approach abstract this study investigates the validity of the environmental kuznets curve ekc hypothesis for six west african countries over 1970 2017 while using human capital and biocapacity as additional determinants of carbon emissions it uses the panel quantile regression method that provides robust results in case the classical econometric assumptions fail the empirical results revealed that a u shaped relationship between economic growth and carbon dioxide co2 emissions holds in the low middle and high emissions countries as opposed to the inverted u shaped ekc hypothesis trade openness reduces environmental performance in low emission countries financial development has mixed impacts on co2 emissions across the quantiles while financial development enhances environmental quality in the low emissions countries it exerts a detrimental impact in the middle and high emissions countries human capital has significantly positive effects on the lower middle and upper quantiles the obtained results highlight the need for raising environmental awareness and promoting green r d in addition relevant incentives are required to redirect private credits towards green projects and renewable energy development

hydroelectricity consumption and economic growth nexus evidence from a panel of ten largest hydroelectricity consumers abstract this paper explores the long run and causal relationships between hydroelectricity consumption and economic growth for a panel of the 10 largest hydroelectricity consuming countries over the period 1965 2012 the countries include brazil canada china france india japan norway sweden turkey and the u s a using the bai and perron 2003 9 tests for cointegration the results indicate that real gdp per capita and hydroelectricity consumption per capita appear to be cointegrated around a broken intercept granger causality results from a nonlinear panel smooth transition vector error correction model suggest different results depending on the regimes which we identified based on structural break tests the test identified three breaks at 1988 2000 and 2009 for the pre 1988 period there is evidence of unidirectional causality running from real gdp per capita to hydroelectricity per capita in both the short and long run over the post 1988 period there exists evidence of bidirectional causality between hydroelectricity energy consumption per capita and real gdp per capita in both the short and the long run the results imply the existence of a feedback hypothesis with both hydroelectricity consumption and growth promoting each other in more recent periods as the importance of hydroelectricity as a renewable energy has become more prominent

shifting endpoints in the term structure of interest rates abstract this paper links the term structure to perceptions of monetary policy long horizon forecasts of short rates required by no arbitrage term structure models are heavily influenced by the endpoints or limiting conditional forecasts of the short rate process common assumptions that the short rate is mean reverting or contains a unit root are shown to generate unrealistic yield predictions failures occur because these assumptions inadequately account for historical shifts in market perceptions of the policy target for inflation this paper links endpoint shifts to agent learning about shifts in long term policy goals shifting endpoints in short rate processes significantly improve yield predictions

income distribution and co2 emission a comparative analysis for china and india abstract the aim of this paper is to test whether income inequality contributes to environmental degradation in china and india where both countries are giving a great concern about the implications of their unsustainable energy consumption to the environment not only to themselves but also to the global environmental sustainability by applying the bounds test approach to cointegration we found in both countries a long run but not a statistically significant relationship between income inequality and co 2 emissions both in the long run and in the short run the robustness of our cointegration results is also ascertained by using three different long run tests furthermore applying the variance decomposition analysis to examine the dynamic causal relationship between the gini coefficient of income distribution and co 2 emissions we found that income inequality was the least important factor in determining co 2 emissions and that there was no causality running in any direction between co 2 emissions and income inequality in both countries still income and energy consumption are the major determinants of co 2 emissions in both countries nevertheless even though the evidence is not statistically significant in the case of china it indicates that reducing income inequality can have a positive impact on environmental quality while in india redistributing income to improve environmental degradation may not be effective

energy human capital and economic growth in asia pacific countries evidence from a panel cointegration and causality analysis this paper examines the cointegration and causal relationship between energy consumption and economic development in 16 asia pacific countries over the period 1970 2011 using the augmented production function which considers not only physical capital and labor but also human capital this is likely among the first of the energy growth nexus literature to include human capital in the multivariate framework using recently developed panel unit root test and cointegration test that allow for cross sectional dependence this paper finds a long run cointegrating relationship between these variables continuously updated fully modified cup fm estimates are subsequently compared with panel heterogeneous fully modified ordinary least squares fmols results to confirm the importance of accounting for interdependence across countries the bootstrap panel granger causality test results find economic growth granger cause energy use in the region but the relationship varies for individual countries

renewable energy consumption economic growth nexus for china abstract the aim of this paper is to investigate the relationship between renewable energy consumption and economic growth in china for the period 1977 2011 autoregressive distributed lag approach ardl to cointegration and johansen cointegration techniques are employed by including intermittent variables namely carbon dioxide emissions and labor we also employed granger causality test in order to determine the direction of the causality among the variables the results show that there is a bi directional long term causality between renewable energy consumption and economic growth this finding implies that growing economy in china is propitious for the development of renewable energy sector which in turn helps to boost economic growth we also find that labor influences renewable energy consumption in the short term however there is no evidence of long or short run causality between carbon emissions and renewable energy consumption this implies that actual level of renewable energy in china is still insignificant and not considerably exploited in order to contribute to the mitigation of carbon dioxide emissions

validating the environmental kuznets curve hypothesis in india and china the role of hydroelectricity consumption abstract the aim of this research is to examine the link between co 2 emissions hydroelectricity consumption urbanisation and real gdp in china and india during the period of 1965 2013 the long run cointegration is investigated by the autoregressive distributed lag ardl bounds testing approach which is augmented with structural breaks we employ the ardl cointegration test to establish long run relationship in the variables furthermore we use the ardl to show that real gdp and urbanisation have long run positive impact on emission while hydroelectricity consumption exerts long run negative impact on emission in both countries the results support the existence of environmental kuznets curve ekc hypothesis in china and india besides the paper assesses the causal link between the variables by using granger causality procedures and the results show that there is long run bidirectional relationship between the variables in both countries

role of renewable energy and non renewable energy consumption on ekc evidence from pakistan the main contribution of this study is to test the environmental kuznets curve ekc hypothesis at individual country analysis by the significance of renewable energy and non renewable energy consumption in the context of pakistan a series of econometric techniques is used for the period of 1970 2012 the findings provide strong support for the presence of the ekc in the case of pakistan the results show that renewable energy plays a dominant role in reducing carbon dioxide emission and non renewable energy consumption indeed the main culprit for promoting carbon dioxide emission it is also observed that bi directional causality exists not only between renewable energy consumption and co2 emission but also non renewable energy consumption and co2 emission granger cause each other sensitivity analysis is performed to prove that model of this study is stable and findings of the study are valid and reliable for policy implication these findings suggest that government needs to expand investment in renewable energy projects that might contribute to the efforts of climate mitigation

decoupling co2 emission and economic growth in china is there consistency in estimation results in analyzing environmental kuznets curve china is one of the highest growth economies in the world and it has experienced a significant rise in energy consumption and greenhouse gas emissions in recent decades its economic growth heavily depends on fossil fuels of coal and oil which led to huge amount of greenhouse gas emissions this study logically analyzes the nexus of co2 emissions economic growth and energy consumption by decoupling greenhouse gas emission of co2 and economic growth to provide more conclusive evidence on the phenomenon of the environmental kuznets curve ekc over the period 1970 2015 to achieve the objective of consistency in the estimation results the study applies different estimation techniques such as ardl auto regressive distributed lag model fmols fully modified ordinary least squares dols dynamic ordinary least squares and impulse response and variance decomposition in addition the business as usual inverted u shaped relationship between gdp per capita and an economy related co2 emission is hypothesized the result supports the environmental kuznets curve ekc hypothesis from different techniques the turning point hovers around 744665 the estimation result indicates that china ekc turning point shows some inconsistencies when compared to other turning points obtained from different studies the inconsistency of the ekc turning point is attributed to the sensitivity of the result to different data source variables selection different pollutants and scope of the data although the ekc turning point of this present research differs from other china ekc turning points it gives a clear policy roadmap on the pursuance of long run economic growth in favour of environmental quality besides significance of the turning point lies with the need to explore other structural policies such as articulated demographic and energy policies rather than passively waiting for the arrival of the inflexion point one interesting findings of the analysis is the consistency of the estimation results from the different estimation techniques

investigating the relationship between electricity consumption and economic growth evidence from south africa abstract this paper explores the causal relationship among electricity consumption economic growth financial development and co 2 emissions for south africa over the period 1971 2012 the autoregressive distributed lag ardl bounds test is used to test for the presence of cointegration whereas the toda and yamamoto augmented granger causality test is used for direction of causality the results of ardl bounds test validate the existence of cointegration among the included variables further the toda and yamamoto granger causality test affirms that there is no causality between electricity consumption and economic growth this signifies that neutrality hypothesis holds for south africa during the period under the study additionally there is a unidirectional causality running from co 2 emissions to electricity consumption as well as a unidirectional causality running from financial development to co 2 emissions the empirical finding suggests that policy makers should establish concrete plans to increase investment in the electricity sector to ensure reliability of supply moreover policy makers need to address the pressing environmental concern by tapping into the sizeable renewable energy potential of the country consequently it will assist in promoting sustainable economic growth and development

the energy metabolism of countries energy efficiency and use in the period that followed the global financial crisis this paper discusses how the deceleration of economic growth that followed the financial crisis of 2008 influenced the energy efficiency allocation and use of 18 european countries by using a multi scale integrated analysis of societal and ecosystem metabolism musiasem the relationships between energy requirements economic trends and population are investigated for the years 2008 and 2015 the analyses are performed for the entire society level n for the household and the paid sectors level n 1 and for the agricultural the industrial and the service activities level n 2 results show that two main groups of countries performed the largest energy reductions namely the country most affected by the global financial crisis such as greece romania and spain where the total energy throughput decreased by 19 6 15 8 and 12 1 respectively and the countries such as ireland and united kingdom that experienced the largest energy intensity reductions 38 7 and 19 2 together with the highest gdp increases 44 8 and 10 2 by providing an overview of the relationships existing between socio economic and energy variables this paper contributes to the debate around growth and efficiency and can support the design of policies oriented to promote the achievement of a more sustainable and competitive economy

liquidity constraints a cross section analysis of the housing purchase behavior of japanese this paper focuses on the existence of liquidity constraints on housing purchases by japanese households in order to assess the impact of liquidity constraints the author analyzes the housing purchase behavior of worker households which rent and in which the household head was under the age of forty five from the national survey of family income and expenditure compiled by the statistics bureau liquidity constraints emerge as the most important factor in determining housing purchase behavior copyright 1993 by mit press

the investigation of environmental kuznets curve hypothesis in the advanced economies the role of energy prices the aim of this research is to examine the effect of energy prices on pollution and investigate the existence of environmental kuznets curve ekc hypothesis in 27 advanced economies the panel non stationary techniques were used to examine the selected economies taking the period of 1990 2012 the panel kao and fisher cointegration results showed that co2 emission co2 gross domestic product gdp renewable energy consumption re non renewable energy consumption nr trade openness td urbanization ur and energy prices pc are cointegrated moreover the panel fully modified ordinary least square and the vector error correction granger causality results revealed that gdp nr and ur increase co2 emission while re td and pc reduce it furthermore the inverted u shaped relationship between gdp and co2 emission was confirmed which signifies the presence of the ekc hypothesis from the obtained results multiple policy implications were provided for the investigated countries to help them control and reduce air pollution without harming their economic growth and development

renewable energy carbon emission and economic growth a revised environmental kuznets curve perspective abstract renewable energy plays an important role in reducing global carbon co2 emission this paper builds a rer renewable energy consumption rate index to represent the energy structure of a country and proposes a u shaped rkc renewable energy kuznets curve hypothesis between rer and economic growth we also examine the dynamic relationship between rer and the environmental kuznets curve ekc hypothesis using two panel data sets of 17 major developing and developed countries as well as six geo economic regions of the world during 1990 2014 panel co integration tests indicate that a long run relationship exists among economic growth rer and carbon emission we employ the fully modified ordinary least squares fmols and the dynamic ordinary least squares dols techniques to estimate the co integration coefficients of the panels and individual countries regions respectively the results verify both the ekc and rkc hypotheses indicating that a 10 rise in rer would to a 1 6 carbon emission reduction it is also found that the rkc turning points of individual countries and the entire samples in general take place before the turning points of the respective ekcs it suggests that promoting renewable energy consumption to make rkc cross its turning point earlier can accelerate ekc to reach its turning point more quickly this finding has important policy implications with respect to the development and utilization of renewable energy and environmental protection

is energy transition promoting the decoupling economic growth from emission growth evidence from the 186 countries abstract a more comprehensive understanding the effects of energy transition on the decoupling economic growth from carbon emission growth at global and national scale can serve to develop more effective approaches towards to economic growth without emission growth this paper combined decoupling index model and decomposition approach to identify decoupling state and uncover factors driving decoupling process in the world and 186 countries divided into three groups upper middle income umi lower middle income lmi and high income hi between 1990 and 2014 regarding to decoupling state world experienced weak decoupling 1990 2000 expansive negative decoupling and expansive coupling 2000 2011 and weak decoupling 2011 2014 hi initially realized the most desirable strong decoupling while decoupling state of umi and lmi were rather not ideal enough especially lmi changed violently and appeared no clear improving trend turning to decomposition results energy transition had positively contributed to decoupling process of hi while not in umi and lmi hi enjoyed better energy utilization efficiency absolutely offsetting negative impact caused by economic scale to decoupling process more importantly umi and lmi had great economic potential and will definitely emit tremendous carbon emission without taking appropriate measurements consequently umi and lmi shall take more responsibility to reduce carbon emission and actively accelerate the process of energy transition so as to achieve economic growth strongly decouple from carbon emission

energy use international trade and economic growth nexus in australia new evidence from an extended growth model this study investigates the existence of either energy led growth hypothesis or trade led growth in australia for a 53 year period 1960 2012 using a multivariate extended growth model the econometric techniques used in this study are autoregressive distributed lag ardl bounds testing approach of cointegration the granger causality test and impulse response functions the study finds the evidence of no long run cointegration between the variables of interest granger causality test confirms bidirectional causal relationship between international trade and per capita gdp growth but does not find any granger causal relationship between energy use and per capita gdp growth thus this study provides an evidence of the trade led growth hypothesis over the energy led growth hypothesis for the australian macroeconomy

renewable energy and growth evidence from heterogeneous panel of g7 countries using granger causality abstract in this paper we examine the causal relationship between renewable energy consumption and economic growth across the g7 countries using annual data for the period of 1990 2011 by employing the causality methodology proposed by emirmahmutoglu and kose 2011 8 we investigate if there is a causal relationship between the variables the advantage of this methodology is that it takes into account possible slope heterogeneity and cross sectional dependency in a multivariate panel the empirical results support the existence of a bi directional causal relationship between economic growth and renewable energy for the overall panel however looking at the individual results for each country the neutrality hypothesis is confirmed for canada italy and the us while for france and uk there is a unidirectional causality from gdp to renewable energy and the opposite for germany and japan

the importance of renewable energy consumption and fdi inflows in reducing environmental degradation bootstrap ardl bound test in selected 9 countries abstract this study examines the relationship between renewable energy consumption non renewable energy consumption foreign direct investment economic growth and carbon emissions for the nine countries i e denmark finland france india italy morocco norway portugal sweden identified in the climate change performance index ccpi 2018 report this study mainly aims to demonstrate the role of renewable energy consumption and foreign direct investment on co2 emissions in countries with high scores in the ccpi using the newly developed bootstrap autoregressive distributed lag ardl approach for this purpose the unit root properties of the variables are determined by sharp and smooth structural break unit root test sor shahbaz et al 2018 we then conduct a bootstrap ardl test developed by mcnown et al 2018 to investigate the existence of cointegration we also use granger causality based on the bootstrap ardl approach to identify causal relationships between variables empirical analysis results show only a few cointegration relationships between variables exist however we have identified significant long term relationships between foreign direct investment renewable energy consumption and economic growth in some countries and our study includes important policy implications particularly for relationship among co2 emissions and foreign direct investment inflows

dynamic inconsistencies counterfactual implications of a class of rational expectations models a number of recent papers have developed dynamic macroeconomic models that incorporate rational expectations and optimizing foundations while the theoretical motivation behind these models is sound the dynamic implications of many of the specifications that assume rational expectations and optimizing behavior can be seriously at odds with the data for both inflation and real side variables exhibit gradual and hump shaped responses to real and monetary shocks for models that are intended for monetary policy analysis these dynamic shortcomings should be considered quite serious when monetary policy has only short run effects on real variables the inability to approximately capture the short run responses of inflation or real variables to policy shocks makes a model unsuitable for policy analysis this paper identifies a simple feature common to many dynamic specifications for prices and real variables that causes the problem the paper also discusses several potential solutions to the problem including alterations to the expectations assumption to the order of differencing implicit in the model and to the underlying behavioral assumptions this abstract was borrowed from another version of this item

co2 emissions energy consumption and output in france abstract this paper examines the dynamic causal relationships between pollutant emissions energy consumption and output for france using cointegration and vector error correction modelling techniques we argue that these variables are strongly inter related and therefore their relationship must be examined using an integrated framework the results provide evidence for the existence of a fairly robust long run relationship between these variables for the period 1960 2000 the causality results support the argument that economic growth exerts a causal influence on growth of energy use and growth of pollution in the long run the results also point to a uni directional causality running from growth of energy use to output growth in the short run

correlation analysis of co 2 emissions material stocks and economic growth nexus evidence from chinese provinces abstract a better understanding of the economy material emissions nexus is fundamental in order to reveal the interactions between human development and the natural environment and more importantly to design integrated de carbonization and de materialization policies in this paper we conducted a decoupling analysis of fossil fuel induced co2 emissions and in use material stocks in infrastructure to economic growth at the provincial level in china and investigated the trilateral causal relationships among the three indicators the results show that the average elasticity of co2 emissions and material stocks to economic growth was smaller than 1 representing a status of relative decoupling however in many less developed provinces in central and western china we observed increasing trends of elasticity in the past three decades which suggest their economic growth became more tightly linked to co2 emissions and the accumulation of material stocks granger tests suggest that in the long run there existed a unidirectional causality running from co2 emissions economic growth and urbanization to material stocks in the short run a bi directional causality between co2 emissions and economic growth and a unidirectional causality from material stocks to co2 emissions were detected policy implications for the de carbonization and de materialization transition include enhancing renewable energy utilization upgrading industries to less carbon intensive ones developing compact cities prolonging the lifespan of infrastructure and strengthening the life cycle carbon management of infrastructure

a literature survey on energy growth nexus abstract this paper provides a survey of the recent progress in the literature of energy consumption economic growth and electricity consumption economic growth causality nexus the survey highlights that most empirical studies focus on either testing the role of energy electricity in stimulating economic growth or examining the direction of causality between these two variables although the positive role of energy on growth has become a stylized fact there are some methodological reservations about the results from these empirical studies a general observation from these studies is that the literature produced conflicting results and there is no consensus neither on the existence nor on the direction of causality between energy consumption electricity consumption and economic growth as a policy implication to avoid from conflicting and unreliable results the authors may use the autoregressive distributed lags bounds test two regime threshold co integration models panel data approach and multivariate models including new variables such as real gross fixed capital formation labor force carbon dioxide emissions population exchange rates interest rates etc thus the authors should focus more on the new approaches and perspectives rather than by employing usual methods based on a set of common variables for different countries and different intervals of time

do population density economic growth energy use and exports adversely affect environmental quality in asian populous countries abstract this study aims to investigate the relationship between carbon dioxide co2 emissions energy use economic growth exports and population density for a panel of 11 asian populous countries over the period of 1960 2014 the panel cointegration tests and panel granger causality tests are employed to examine this relationship the fully modified ordinary least squares fmols and dynamic ordinary least squares dols methods are used to explore the long run effects of other variables on the co2 emissions the main results are i energy use exports and population density adversely affect environmental quality in the long run ii there exists a short run unidirectional granger panel causality running from energy consumption gross domestic product gdp and exports to co2 emissions from energy consumption and exports to gdp from exports to energy consumption from population density to exports and a bidirectional panel causality between gdp and population density and iii a long run bidirectional granger causality between these variables is also present important policy implications are noted based on these findings