occupational choice and the process of development this paper models economic development as a process of institutional transformation by focusing on the interplay between agents occupational decisions and the distribution of wealth because of capital market imperfections poor agents choose working for a wage over self employment and wealthy agents become entrepreneurs who monitor workers only with sufficient inequality however will there be employment contracts otherwise there is either subsistence or self employment thus in static equilibrium the occupational structure depends on distribution since the latter is itself endogenous we demonstrate the robustness of this result by extending the model dynamically and studying examples in which initial wealth distributions have long run effects in one case the economy develops either widespread cottage industry self employment or factory production employment contracts depending on the initial distribution in the other example it develops into prosperity or stagnation

return migration the european experience labour immigration contributed strongly to europe s post war economic development in contrast to migration to north america or australia these movements of labour were always seen as temporary by sending and receiving countries and at least initially also by most migrants although many migrants stayed more permanently return migration is a highly relevant feature in practice its significant role and the underlying behavioural mechanisms are not well understood however it is therefore not too surprising that most policy measures taken in the 1970s and 1980s to encourage return migration failed the paper takes the view that much can be learned from recent european history temporary immigration schemes may be helpful to moderate illegal migration and to foster east west economic relationships given the tight policies in the european union short term migration seems to be the only channel to open the door slightly the paper reviews the european history of return migration and the policy regimes in important european labour migration receiving countries it also provides new empirical evidence on the determinants of return behaviour and successful return return propensities of migrants increase with the age at entry but decrease with the number of years of residence conditional on having decided to return however the remaining years in the country decrease with years of residence and keeping years of residence constant with entry age return incentives may cause dissatisfaction and reintegration problems in the home country the results support the view that economic benefits are the larger the earlier it is clear whether migration is temporary or permanent

labour migration and social networks participation in southern mozambique this paper investigates how social networks in poor developing settings are affected by migration using a unique household survey from southern mozambique we test the role of labour mobility in shaping participation in groups and interhousehold cooperation by migrant sending households in village economies at origin we find that migration cum remittances boosts household engagement in community based social networks our findings are robust to alternative definitions of social interaction and to endogeneity concerns suggesting that stable migration ties and higher income stability through remittances may decrease participation constraints and increase household commitment in cooperative arrangements in migrant sending communities

savings remittances and return migration abstract using a vast west german data set the paper shows that savings and remittances of migrants can be well explained by remigration plans and economic as well as demographic variables however the planned future duration of residence in germany has a negative and significant effect only on remittances

fear unemployment and migration we examine the impact on the uk economy of the flow of workers from ten east european countries after their accession to the european union we find evidence that those most susceptible to competition from these workers have seen weaker wage inflation we document that the presence of these foreign workers has increased the fear of unemployment and helped to contain wage pressure we argue that this inflow of workers has increased supply by more than it has raised demand and thus had the effect of reducing both inflationary pressures and the natural rate of unemployment the recent rise in migration to the uk from eight eu accession countries the czech republic estonia hungary latvia lithuania poland slovakia and slovenia the a8 countries which started in 2004 as well as subsequently from romania and bulgaria the a2 in 2007 has generated a good deal of controversy we will refer to these countries collectively as the a10 henceforth 1 how many of these eastern europeans are there currently in the uk which countries did they come from and when what impact has their influx had on the uk economy and what likely impacts will they have in the future

immigrant decisions concerning duration of stay and migratory frequency abstract the temporary and repetitive character of contemporary labor migration is explained by assuming that immigrants have a preference for location a life cycle model of immigrant behavior is developed to determine net lifetime income total time allocated to home country and foreign country residence and the number of migratory trips because of income effects home wages and foreign wages are not symmetric in their effect on the location of work effort it is also shown that changes in travelling costs have predictable consequences for the number of border crossings but not for the total time spent in the foreign labor market

observable and non observable data a reply my survey article wibe 1984a considered only the engineering production functions themselves the analysis would have been richer had i also included some uses of these studies notably the many modern pseudo data analyses referred to by professor smith however to the benefit of the readers professor smith has now removed this shortcoming with his penetrating note i agree with professor smith that the pseudo data studies have increased our understanding of the relations between economic and engineering models of production however there are two important problems associated with the pseudo data method the first is the statistical problem pointed out by maddala and roberts 1980 pseudo data are generated with an engineering plant or process model accordingly these data cannot be assumed to have the same properties as observable real world data when using pseudo data for a statistical adaptation with a specific function there is only one source of error the form of the chosen function a good statistical fit is therefore no guarantee of a true representation of the underlying technology on the contrary the deviations could be great incidently this was exactly what i found when i compared the engineering models with the corresponding statistical adaptations wibe 1984a pp 406 7 the second problem is perhaps more serious pseudo data are based on a collection of known processes this collection is carried out at prevailing prices from this collection conclusions are drawn regarding the choice of technology in case of price changes however a change in real world prices leads to responses in all parts of the economy in particular latent innovations known but not interesting technologies are brought on to the market if the change in prices is more than marginal it is highly unlikely that these changes are even approximately foreseen by an investigation of known techniques taking the steel plant model used by smith and kopp russel and cochrane 1976a russell and vaughan 1976b as an example one iron making technology the blast furnace is identified however my own investigation identified around 30 different iron making techniques most of them practised only on a laboratory scale wibe 1984b p 83 in the case of drastic price changes some of them would be less costly than the blast furnace empirical economics is about actual behaviour and the only reliable expression of this is observable real world data it is not at all clear to what extent actual behaviour can be predicted by pseudo data my own research regarding the correlation between actual industrial behaviour and the behaviour assumed by leif johansen s non parametric production functions suggests that non observable data are a poor guide to real behaviour wibe 1983 it is important to know the exact nature of the information we are given in empirical studies the relation between the engineering and the statistical

the return motivations of legal permanent migrants evidence from exchange rate shocks and immigrants in australia why do legal permanent migrants return to their home countries how do home country conditions influence this decision this paper uses exogenous home country exchange rate shocks arising from the 1997 asian financial crisis to distinguish return motivations of a national sample of australian immigrants on average a 10 favorable exchange rate shock a depreciation in the home country currency leads to a reduced likelihood of return of 0 37 percentage points for migrants the effect is found to be stronger for those who had pre existing intentions to return weaker for those undecided and zero for those who initially stated their desire to stay these results favor a life cycle explanation for migrant behavior and reject the theory that migrants are target earners who seek to invest upon return home

assessing the direct and spillover effects of shocks to refugee remittances abstract we examine the impact of exogenously shutting down remittances to kakuma refugee camp in northern kenya during 2015 we find that the remittance shutdown did not reduce refugee consumption on average however it did decrease consumption of households that previously received remittances through the networks that were closed while simultaneously increasing consumption for those who continued to receive remittances through other mechanisms the shutdown also resulted in decreases in the probability of consuming a variety of goods by the host population particularly those with livelihoods linked to the refugee camp these findings underscore the tight links between refugee camps and surrounding communities and are a testament to the multiplier effects of remittances

bilateral real exchange rates and migration abstractmigrants who move across borders are to a large extent motivated by the prospect of earning higher incomes at destination which can be partly transferred back to their countries of origin via remittances this suggests that the real exchange rate can influence the incentives to migrate as it determines the purchasing power of expected income in terms of the currency of the origin country this article investigates empirically how bilateral real exchange rate fluctuations influence international migration flows to do so we build a dataset of 30 oecd destination countries and 165 origin countries over the period 1980 2011 and estimate an equation derived from a micro founded random utility maximization model that allows for unobserved heterogeneity between migrants and non migrants our results show that migration flows are highly responsive to bilateral real exchange rates a 10 real appreciation of the currency of the destination country is associated with an 18 2 19 4 increase in migratio

temporary emigration and welfare the case of low skilled labor this article studies the implications of temporary emigration for the welfare of a source country the framework is one of general equilibrium where the economy s stocks of both capital and labor are endogenously determined by the saving and migration decisions of optimizing agents simulations of the model suggest that for realistic values of the parameters welfare of nonmigrants of the source country is maximized when the migrants are employed abroad for a period in the range of roughly 8 12 years the ideal duration is found to be an increasing function of the international wage differential migration costs and the degree to which the rights of migrants are protected in the host country

return migration wage differentials and the optimal migration duration in simple static models migration increases with the wage differential between host and home country in a dynamic framework and if migrations are temporary the size of the migrant population in the host country depends also on the migration duration this paper analyses optimal migration durations in a model which rationalises the decision of the migrant to return to his home country despite persistently higher wages in the host country the analysis shows that if migrations are temporary the optimal migration duration may decrease if the wage differential grows larger using micro data for germany the second part of the paper provides empirical evidence which is compatible with this hypothesis

exchange rate fluctuations and immigrants labour market outcomes new evidence from australian household panel data abstract in this paper we exploit plausibly exogenous changes in exchange rates across home countries over time and panel data to identify the causal impact of exchange rate fluctuations on australian immigrants labour market outcomes we present new and robust evidence that unlike immigrants in the us those in australia as a whole do not reduce their yearly labour market outcomes when the local currency appreciates while female immigrants don t adjust their labour activities male immigrants reduce their weekly labour supply and hence earn less when the australian dollar appreciates this work also highlights the importance of controlling for individual heterogeneity as well as gender when modelling the labour market behaviour of immigrants

a general equilibrium model of guest worker migration the source country perspective abstract this paper examines the problem of guest worker migration from an economy populated by identical utility maximizing individuals with finite working lives the decision to migrate the rate of saving while abroad as well as the length of a migrant s stay in the foreign country are all viewed as part of a solution to an intertemporal optimization problem in addition to studying the microeconomic aspects of temporary migration the paper analyses the determinants of the equilibrium flow of migrants the corresponding domestic wage and the level of welfare enjoyed by a typical worker effects of an emigration tax are also investigated

do high income or low income immigrants leave faster we estimate the impact of the income earned in the host country on return migration of labor migrants from developing countries we use a three state correlated competing risks model to account for the strong dependence of labor market status and the income earned our analysis is based on administrative panel data of recent labor immigrants from developing countries to the netherlands the empirical results show that intensities of return migration are u shaped with respect to migrants income implying a higher intensity in low and high income groups indeed the lowest income group has the highest probability of return we also find that ignoring the interdependence of labor market status and the income earned leads to an overestimating the income effect on departure keywords migration dynamics labor market transitions competing risks immigrant assimilation

crossing the border self selection earnings and individual migration decisions many empirical studies on the determinants of international migration flows rely exclusively on macro data and do not account for migrants self selection we analyze a very interesting episode in international migration for which we are able to gather individual level data covering all relevant countries namely the exodus of ecuadorians to spain and the us in the aftermath of the economic collapse of 1999 specifically we produce selection corrected predictions of counterfactual individual earnings and use them to estimate a discrete choice migration equation that allows for correlated errors across destinations and a rich structure of migration costs we find that earnings significantly shape individual migration decisions even in an episode in which ecuadorians mostly chose spain where earnings were lower than in the us and they contribute to explaining the observed composition of migration flows moreover our estimates show that changes in earnings at a particular destination have a larger effect on destination choice conditional on migration than on the scale of migration

remittances and financial inclusion evidence from el salvador this paper investigates the impact of remittances on financial inclusion this is an important issue given recent studies showing that financial inclusion can have significant beneficial effects on households using household level survey data for el salvador the authors examine the impact of remittances on households use of savings and credit instruments from formal financial institutions they find that although remittances have a positive impact on financial inclusion by promoting the use of deposit accounts they do not have a significant and robust effect on the demand for and use of credit from formal institutions if anything by relaxing credit constraints remittances might reduce the need for external financing from financial institutions while at the same time increasing the demand for savings instruments

energy security externalities and policies abstract in this paper we review conceptual arguments and empirical evidence related to two potential sources of market failure involving energy security in doing so we consider several questions involving the distinction between externality and market inefficiency and the distinction between market failures that are amenable or not amenable to correction given our current understanding of the workings of an economy several conclusions follow from our analysis regarding the potential sources of market failure and possible remedies the problem of excess wealth transfer from exporter market power may be an issue but current knowledge of oil market behaviour is too weak to support a strong conclusion other supposed costs of oil import dependence also are not well grounded including externalities related to the vulnerability of the economy to energy price shocks

the optimal migration duration and activity choice after re migration if migrants return to their origin countries two questions arise which are of immediate economic interest for both immigration and emigration country what determines their optimal migration duration and what are the activities migrants choose after a return little research has been devoted to these two issues this paper utilises a unique survey data set which records activities of returned migrants we first illustrate the activities of immigrants after returning we show that more than half of the returning migrants are economically active after return and most of them engage in entrepreneurial activities we then develop a model where migrants decide simultaneously about the optimal migration duration and their after return activities guided by this model we specify and estimate an empirical model where the after return activity and the optimal migration duration are simultaneously chosen

international migration remittances and household investment evidence from philippine migrants exchange rate shocks how do households respond to overseas members economic shocks overseas filipinos in dozens of countries experienced sudden heterogeneous changes in exchange rates during the 1997 asian financial crisis appreciation of a migrant s currency against the philippine peso leads to increases in household remittances from overseas the estimated elasticity of philippine peso remittances with respect to the exchange rate is 0 60 positive migrant shocks lead to enhanced human capital accumulation and entrepreneurship in origin households child schooling and educational expenditure rise while child labour falls households also work more hours in self employment and become more likely to start relatively capital intensive household enterprises

why do migrants return to poor countries evidence from philippine migrants responses to exchange rate shocks abstract this paper distinguishes between target earnings and life cycle motivations for return migration by examining how philippine migrants return decisions respond to major unexpected exchange rate changes in their overseas locations due to the asian financial crisis overall the evidence favors the life cycle explanation more favorable exchange rate shocks lead to fewer migrant returns a10 improvement in the exchange rate reduces the 12 month return rate by 1 4 percentage points however some migrants appear motivated by target earnings considerations in households with intermediate foreign earnings favorable exchange rate shocks have the least effect on return migration but lead to increases in household investment

reevaluating agricultural productivity gaps with longitudinal microdata recent research has pointed to large gaps in labor productivity between the agricultural and nonagricultural sectors in low income countries as well as between workers in rural and urban areas most estimates are based on national accounts or repeated cross sections of micro survey data and as a result typically struggle to account for individual selection between sectors this paper contributes to this literature using long run individual level panel data from two low income countries indonesiaand kenya accounting for individual fixed effects leads to much smaller estimated productivity gains from moving into the non agricultural sector or urban areas reducing estimated gaps by over80 percent per capita consumption gaps between non agricultural and agricultural sectors as well as between urban and rural areas are also close to zero once individual fixed effects are included estimated productivity gaps do not emerge up to five years after a move between sectors nor are they larger in big cities we evaluate whether these findings imply a re assessment of the currentconventional wisdom regarding sectoral gaps discuss how to reconcile them with existing crosssectional estimates and consider implications for the desirability of sectoral reallocation of labor

immigrant and emigrant earnings a longitudinal study this paper analyzes the relationship between earnings and the extent of assimilation cohort quality change and return migration experienced by the foreign born population the study uses the longitudinal data available in the survey of natural and social scientists and engineers the analysis reveals that there was a sizable decline in the skills of this population over the last two decades in addition the study shows that return migration is more likely among immigrants who did not perform well in the u s labor market

asylum applications and migration flows abstract we discuss an underutilized dataset to examine the causes of migration the united nations high commissioner for refugees publishes annual binational asylum applications and the resulting decisions asylum is granted to protect individuals from persecution they are a small part of overall migration patterns one tenth of overall migration flows into oecd countries the european union receives the largest share of asylum applicants and has a low acceptance rate but the rate increases when source countries have positive deviations from historic trends countries outside the eu and oecd receive almost all of the applications from neighbors with a contiguous land border

overshooting the savings target temporary migration investment in housing and development summary there are two seemingly competing branches of the literature on saving and duration of stay decisions of temporary migrants one relies on the target saving explanation and the other on utility maximization over a life cycle we attempt to reconcile the two approaches within a framework where a migrant has a well defined savings target in planning to purchase a new home at origin but also chooses the time of return and the consumption path to maximize lifetime utility our analysis highlights the role of property investment and savings repatriation in the relationship between temporary migration and development

the economics of temporary migrations many migrations are temporary a fact that has often been ignored in the economic literature on migration such omission may be serious in that expected migration temporariness can impart a distinct dynamic element to immigrants economic behavior generating possible consequences for nonmigrants in both home and host countries in this paper we provide a thorough examination of the various aspects of temporary migrations that matter for the analysis of economic phenomena we demonstrate the extent of temporary migrations in population movements we show how temporariness can affect the various economic choices and how better data have improved both the measurement of nonpermanent migrations and the analyses of various aspects of migrant behavior we propose a general theoretical framework for modeling temporary migration decisions based on which we outline the various motives for temporariness while simultaneously reviewing related literature and available data sources we discuss the possible consequences of migration temporariness for nonmigrants in both home and host countries jel f22 f24 j11 j61 k37 o15

income maximization and the selection and sorting of international migrants abstract two prominent features of international labor movements are that the more educated are more likely to emigrate positive selection and more educated migrants are more likely to settle in destination countries with high rewards to skill positive sorting using data on emigrant stocks by schooling level and source country in oecd destinations we find that a simple model of income maximization can account for both phenomena results on selection show that migrants for a source destination pair are more educated relative to non migrants the larger is the absolute skill related difference in earnings between the destination country and the source results on sorting indicate that the relative stock of more educated migrants in a destination is increasing in the absolute earnings difference between high and low skilled workers we use our framework to compare alternative specifications of international migration estimate the magnitude of migration costs by source destination pair and assess the contribution of wage differences to how migrants sort themselves across destination countries

unilateral facilitation does not raise international labor migration from the philippines significant income gains from migrating from poorer to richer countries have motivated unilateral source country policies facilitating labor emigration however their effectiveness is unknown the authors conducted a large scale randomized experiment in the philippines testing the impact of unilaterally facilitating international labor migration the most intensive treatment doubled the rate of job offers but had no identifiable effect on international labor migration even the highest overseas job search rate that was induced 22 percent falls far short of the share initially expressing interest in migrating 34 percent the paper concludes that unilateral migration facilitation will at most induce a trickle not a flood of additional emigration

non discriminatory discrimination special and differential treatment under the gatt for developing countries developing countries have long been strong supporters of a non discriminatory rule based multilateral system on the grounds that as economically small units they would otherwise be subject to bilateral pressure from larger powers at the same time they have equally been committed to special and differential s d treatment for themselves under gatt rules their approach has been to argue that trade problems of developing countries are special from those of developed countries balance of payments problems viewed by them as endemic to low income countries make liberalisation difficult and import substitution strategies suggest that liberalisation is anyway undesirable poor export prospects export pessimism imply they need different treatment from developed countries in order to grow that is trade preferences in developed country markets special and differential also became a bloc wide strategy jointly pursued reflecting the premise that developing countries are jointly and simultaneously special and differential in their trade problems this is however changing in the uruguay round developing countries have shown themselves remarkably adept at moving away from the earlier somewhat passive bloc wide s d approach in a surprising range of negotiating groups countries have actively pursued country over bloc wide interests and in an active way involving a willingness to take on new gatt disciplines while s d is far from having been abandoned as a principle of the trading system the approach seems to be one of protecting and preserving what is there rather than pushing for further enhancement the reasons for these changes are as always multi faceted strong growth performance in the more outward oriented developing countries korea and other nics has weakened the intellectual commitment to import substitution what exactly s d has yielded developing countries in concrete trade policy terms has also been queried and over the years the differences between developing countries large small middle income least developed industrialised commodity exports agricultural importers exporters and others have grown to the point that in the uruguay round a grand coalition of all developing countries does not exist in any active sense

long term effects of temporary income shocks on food consumption and subjective well being abstracta national level unconditional cash transfer programme bantuan langsung tunai blt in indonesia allows an empirical assessment on whether there are long term benefits in terms of food consumption and overall well being the results show that a positive albeit temporary income shock increases the quantity of food consumed by the poorest households and the overall subjective well being among the poorest recipients it is also found that poor households are more likely to invest in farm and non farm businesses which in turn helps them sustain a higher level of food consumption and overall satisfaction months after the end of the programme

the impact of remittances on investment and poverty in ghana summary this paper analyzes the impact of internal remittances from ghana and international remittances from african or other countries on investment and poverty in ghana it has three findings first when compared to what they would have spent without the receipt of remittances households receiving remittances spend less at the margin on food second households receiving remittances spend more at the margin on three investment goods education housing and health third the receipt of remittances greatly reduces likelihood of household poverty these findings support the growing view that remittances can reduce poverty and increase investment in developing countries

the impact of labour market dynamics on the return migration of immigrants using administrative panel data on the entire population of new labour immigrants to the netherlands we estimate the effects of individual labour market spells on immigration durations using the timing of events method the model allows for correlated unobserved heterogeneity across migration unemployment and employment processes we find that unemployment spells increase return probabilities for all immigrant groups while re employment spells typically delay returns

wages and health worker retention evidence from public sector wage reforms in ghana abstract can governments in developing countries retain skilled health workers by raising public sector wages we investigate this question using sudden policy induced wage variation in which the government of ghana restructured the pay scale for health workers employed by the government we find that a 10 increase in wages decreases annual attrition from the public payroll by 1 0 percentage point from a mean of 8 percentage points among 20 35 year old workers from professions that tend to migrate as a result the ten year survival probability for these health workers increases from 0 43 to 0 49 the effects are concentrated among these young workers and we do not detect effects for older workers or among categories of workers that do not tend to migrate given that ghana was a major source of skilled health professional migrants during this period and that our attrition measure correlates strongly with aggregate migration we interpret these results as evidence that wage increases in ghana improved retention mainly through reducing international migration

balance of payments and related issues in the uruguay round of trade negotiations little attention has been paid to the balance of payments provisions of the general agreement on tariffs trade gatt despite the fact that they directly influence the trade policies of the developing countries this article suggests that there is a need to reconsider these provisions in the context of the ongoing uruguay round of multilateral trade negotiations the article traces the historical evolution of gatt practices on trade restrictions for balance of payments purposes with the general introduction of more flexible exchange rate arrangements the original rationale for temporary barriers to safeguard a country s external financial position appears to have lost its force recent theoretical and empirical work has demonstrated that neutral or export promoting trade strategies are more effective for development than the import substitution frequently advocated by economists in the 1950s and 1960s the current debt problems of developing countries strengthen the argument for a relatively open trade and payments regime to attain balance of payments viability the article suggests that stronger international discipline over trade restrictions for balance of payments purposes would contribute to and presuppose other necessary improvements in the multilateral trading system which are already on the agenda of the uruguay round

estimating the impact of immigrants on the host country social security system when return migration is an endogenous choice in this paper i examine the impact of immigrants on the social security system in germany when return migration is an endogenous choice for this purpose i develop a dynamic stochastic model of joint return migration and saving decisions that accounts for uncertainty in future employment and income and estimate this model using a longitudinal dataset on immigrants from five different source countries i find that immigrants make positive net contributions to both the pension and unemployment insurance systems in germany regardless of their country of origin and age at entry moreover the magnitudes of the net contributions are remarkable for certain groups return migration plays a critical role in generating these positive net contributions in a counterfactual i examine how much exogenous modeling of the return decision which has been the practice of the literature so far changes immigrants net contributions such a restriction causes a serious misestimation of net contributions i also examine the impact of a counterfactual policy experiment in which financial bonuses are provided conditional on return to certain unemployed immigrants such a policy turns out to be ineffective in a number of dimensions

a theory of trickle down growth and development this paper develops a model of growth and income inequalities in the presence of imperfect capital markets and it analyses the trickle down effect of capital accumulation moral hazard with limited wealth constraints on the part of the borrowers is the source of both capital market imperfections and the emergence of persistent income inequalities three main conclusions are obtained from this model first when the rate of capital accumulation is sufficiently high the economy converges to a unique invariant wealth distribution second even though the trickle down mechanism can lead to a unique steady state distribution under laissez faire there is room for government intervention in particular redistribution of wealth from rich lenders to poor and middle class borrowers improves the production efficiency of the economy both because it brings about greater equality of opportunity and also because it accelerates the trickle down process third the process of capital accumulation initially has the effect of widening inequalities but in later stages it reduces them in other words this model can generate a kuznets curve

labor supply of new york city cabdrivers one day at a time life cycle models of labor supply predict a positive relationship between hours supplied and transitory changes in wages because such changes have virtually no effect on life cycle wealth previous attempts to test this hypothesis empirically with time series data have not been supportive estimated elasticities are typically negative or nonsignificant such analyses however are vulnerable to measurement error and other estimation problems we use data on daily observations of wages and hours for new york city cab drivers to estimate the supply response to transitory fluctuations in wages cab drivers decide daily how many hours to supply and face wages that are positively correlated within days but largely uncorrelated between days using these data our central finding is that wage elasticities are persistently negative from 5 to 1 in three different samples even after correcting for measurement error using instrumental variables these negative wage elasticities challenge the notion that cab drivers trade off labor and leisure at different points in time and question the empirical adequacy of life cycle formulations of labor supply

manila to malaysia quezon to qatar international migration and its effects on origin country human capital i estimate the effect of international migration on the human capital of children in the migrants origin country using administrative data containing all migrant departures from the philippines i exploit variation across provinces in destination country demand for migrants my estimates are at the local labor market level allowing for spillovers to nonmigrant households an average year to year percent increase in migration causes a 3 5 percent increase in secondary school enrollment the effects are likely driven by increased income rather than an increased expected wage premium for education abstract from author

are remittances insurance evidence from rainfall shocks in the philippines several facts motivate this study first life in developing countries is prone to many kinds of risk such as crop and income loss due to natural disasters weather insect infestations and fire and civil conflict second international migration and remittance flows are substantial and growing between 1965 and 2000 individuals living outside their country of birth grew from 2 2 to 2 9 percent of the world population totaling 175 million people in 2000 the remittances that these migrants send to their countries of origin are an important but poorly understood type of international financial flow this article examines a mechanism for coping with shocks ex post on which previous micro level studies have not focused remittances from family members overseas at the international level it is commonly posited that remittance flows from overseas buffer economic shocks in migrants home countries but there have been relatively few empirical tests of this claim with micro level household data related research on the role of domestic migration in pooling risk within extended families includes lucas and stark 1985 rosenzweig and stark 1989 and paulson 2000

remittance income volatility and labor supply in mexico author affiliation catalina amuedo dorantes camuedod mail sdsu edu corresponding authorsusan pozo susan pozo wmich edu acknowledgment we would like to thank the anonymous referees and the editor for their comments and suggestions on how to improve the manuscript 1 background and significancea significant body of academic and policy research analyzes the impact of international remittances the earnings that emigrants send home in economies around the globe studies have been carried out to ascertain the effect of remittances on a wide range of economic outcomes including household decisions concerning capital accumulation health and housing expenditures country exchange rates economic growth income distribution poverty rates and as we do in this study labor supply evidence of the impacts of remittances on the well being of recipients and on economic progress is mixed some studies find that countries and households reap positive benefits from these resource transfers e g adam and page 2005 while others find negative or ambiguous effects e g narayan narayan and mishra 2011 an overall consensus on the impacts of remittances is unlikely to emerge for some time given the complexity of this research topic not to mention the varying characteristics of countries under analysis 1we propose to contribute to this important debate using an expanded approach for assessing the effects of remittances on individual and household decision making our contribution is to note that while the level of resource transfers received by the household is likely to influence individual and household behaviors volatility with regard to the stream of inflows is also likely to play an important role to date research on the impact of remittances on remittance receiving households has tended to focus on the way in which the level of remittance inflows affects either individual or household behavior without considering the volatility surrounding these inflows however if the volatility that surrounds remittance inflows influences individual and household behaviors a strategy that only examines the level of inflows is likely to miss out on a more complete understanding of the effects of remittances on individual and household decision making and therefore of their impacts on remittance receiving economies amuedo dorantes and pozo 2010 in this study we focus on the labor market and investigate how volatility of remittance inflows influences male and female labor supply a crucial dimension in the influence of remittances on remittance receiving countries limited numbers of studies have examined the impact of the incidence and level of remittance income on labor supply patterns although conclusions differ owing in part to the various data sources and methodological approaches being used a majority of the studies have concluded that the receipt of remittances results in labor supply reductions for instance rodriguez and tiongson 2001 report that remittances lower employment in the philippines while funkhouser 1992 estimates that remittances reduce the employment likelihood of nicaraguan men and women by 2 and 5 percentage points respectively studies by amuedo dorantes and pozo 2006 and hanson 2007 found that the impact of remittances on the labor supply of mexicans is conditioned on gender they conclude that mexican women reduce labor supply on account of remittance inflows whereas men do not in contrast limiting their study to mexican households that receive persistent remittances cox edwards and rodriguez oreggia 2009 conclude that remittances have no impact on the labor supply of household members remaining in mexico with the exception of urban women in traditionally low migration states for whom labor supply rises however we still lack an understanding of the ways in which the volatility in remittance inflows can impact labor supply in remittance receiving countries

to remit or not to remit that is the question a remittance field experiment we conduct a remittance field experiment among salvadoran migrants in the metro dc area migrants need to decide whether or not to remit funds to a recipient in el salvador and if so how much we maintain a 2x2 design in which the remittance budget has a value of 400 or 200 and the remitted funds arrive as cash or grocery vouchers that are non transferable and applicable to basic necessities that do not include alcohol and cigarettes each migrant is randomly allocated to one of the resulting four treatments we test across these treatments whether control over remittance spending in the form of grocery vouchers affects remittance behavior we find the following our quantitative findings suggest that migrants prefer a remittance to arrive as cash than as groceries when stakes are high this result is robust to inclusion of a wide set of covariates and is consistent with a conceptual framework in which migrants have preferences over how recipients spend remittances our qualitative findings suggest that migrants integrate amounts sent in the experiment with the external environment for sending remittances we explore the mechanisms underlying the main effect and find that migrants who more recently sent a remittance and in certain specifications male migrants exhibit a greater preference for cash some implications of our findings are discussed

the elasticity of the migrant labour supply evidence from temporary filipino migrants the effect of immigration on host and origin countries is mediated by the way migrants take their labour supply decisions we propose a simple way of integrating the traditional random utility maximisation model used to analyse location decisions with a classical labour demand function at destination our setup allows us to estimate a general upper bound on the elasticity of the migrant labour supply that we take to the data using the evolution of the numbers and wages of temporary overseas filipino workers between 1992 and 2009 to different destinations we find that the migrant labour supply elasticity can be very large temporary migrants are very reactive to economic conditions in their potential destinations

moving forward looking back the impact of migration and remittances on assets consumption and credit constraints in the rural philippines abstract this paper investigates the impact of migration and remittances on asset holdings consumption expenditures and credit constraint status of households in origin communities using a unique longitudinal data set from bukidnon philippines taking into account the endogeneity of the number of migrants and remittances received a larger number of migrant children reduces the values of nonland assets and total expenditures per adult equivalent however remittances have a positive impact on housing consumer durables nonland assets total expenditures per adult equivalent and educational expenditures enabling asset accumulation and investment in human capital neither migration nor remittances affects current credit constraint status