does trade credit boost firm performance abstractsome firms have achieved good performance in developing countries where the financial sector is far from established one explanation in the literature is that these firms benefit from trade credit a form of informal financing using a survey of firms in china conducted by the world bank in early 2003 this article examines whether trade credit indeed boosts firm performance our ordinary least squares results show that trade credit is significantly and positively correlated with firm performance however using the instrumental variable approach to address endogeneity we find that the statistical significance disappears the results are robust to a series of robustness checks casting doubt on the claim that trade credit boosts firm performance

trade costs and deviations from the law of one price the link between relative prices across countries and trade costs requires a theoretical foundation that is absent in the literature to date empirical tests on the law of one price are based on an arbitrage equation which is of very limited relevance in understanding this link the application of a new set of arbitrage equations to the tin trade market yields results that are consistent with our theoretical expectations we find evidence in favor of the law of one price between the united states and japan however evidence of price discrimination is also found for the los angeles market

does trade credit play a signalling role some evidence from smes microdata using micro data on small and medium sized enterprises this paper empirically investigates the signalling hypothesis formulated on the role of trade credit biais and gollier in rev financ stud 10 903 937 1997 burkart and ellingsen in am econ rev 94 569 590 2004 the research method adopted allows evaluation of the impact of suppliers credit on bank debt accounting for the strength duration of bank firm relationships our main finding is that trade credit seems to have an information content for banks especially when the latter do not dispose of adequate soft information on firms which is likely the case at the beginning stages of bank firm relationships an implication of our results is that the availability of suppliers credit might be crucial to foster access to institutional funding for new firms entering the market our evidence also suggests that banks seem to consider suppliers a reliable source of information on firms financial conditions even after several years of lending relationships

on the transmission of world agricultural prices two questions are asked about the relationship between domestic prices and world prices of agricultural commodities are variations in world prices transmitted to domestic prices domestic prices are regressed on world prices in various forms taking into account the possible effects of exchange rates and inflation the empirical analysis is based on data from the food and agriculture organization of the united nations for 58 countries from 1968 78 and for the countries of the european community from 1961 85 the results show that most of the variations in world prices are transmitted and that they constitute the dominant component in the variations of domestic prices

trade credit bank lending and monetary policy transmission this paper investigates the role of trade credit in the transmission of monetary policy most models of the transmission mechanism allow the firm to access only financial markets or bank lending according to some net worth criterion in our model we introduce trade credit as an additional source of funding we predict that when monetary policy tightens there will be a reduction in market and bank lending and an increase in trade credit this is confirmed with an empirical investigation of 16 000 manufacturing firms

the economics of small business finance the roles of private equity and debt markets in the financial growth cycle abstract this article examines the economics of financing small business in private equity and debt markets firms are viewed through a financial growth cycle paradigm in which different capital structures are optimal at different points in the cycle we show the sources of small business finance and how capital structure varies with firm size and age the interconnectedness of small firm finance is discussed along with the impact of the macroeconomic environment we also analyze a number of research and policy issues review the literature and suggest topics for future research

accounts receivable management policy theory and evidence this paper develops and tests hypotheses that explain the choice of accounts receivable management policies the tests focus on both cross sectional explanations of policy choice determinants as well as incentives to establish captives we find size concentration and credit standing of the firm s traded debt and commercial paper are each important in explaining the use of factoring accounts receivable secured debt captive finance subsidiaries and general corporate credit we also offer evidence that captive formation allows more flexible financial contracting however we find no evidence that captive formation expropriates bondholder wealth firms typically sell merchandise on credit rather than requiring immediate cash payment such credit sales generate accounts receivable although credit terms and credit collection procedures have been studied see smith 1980 there has been little systematic analysis of the organizational and financial structures employed to manage the firm s accounts receivable these decisions merit more careful attention for two reasons first receivables are a substantial fraction of corporate assets for example 1986 compustat data indicate that accounts receivable are 21 0 of u s manufacturing corporations total assets second we observe substantial diversity in firms use of specialized contracts and intermediaries in their accounts receivable management policies firms can 1 establish a captive finance subsidiary 2 issue accounts receivable secured debt 3 factor 4 employ a credit reporting firm 5 retain a credit collection agency or 6 purchase a credit insurance policy 1 in this paper we demonstrate that accounts receivable management policy offers opportunities for both the development of a robust theory as well as empirical testing of the theory s implications although the data necessary to

evidence on the determinants of credit terms used in interfirm trade trade credit is created whenever a supplier offers terms that allow the buyer to delay payment in this paper we document the rich variation in interfirm credit terms and credit policies across industries we examine empirically the firm s basic credit policy choices whether to extend credit or to require cash payment and if credit is extended whether to adopt simple net terms or terms with discounts for prompt payment we also examine determinants of variations in two part terms results are supportive primarily of theories that explain credit terms as contractual solutions to information problems concerning product quality and buyer creditworthiness trade credit has important economic significance from both micro and macroeconomic perspectives during the 1990s vendor financing has accounted for an average 1 5 trillion of the book value of all assets of u s corporations and has represented approximately 2 5 times the combined value of all new public debt and primary equity issues during a given year as a component of the money supply trade credit in the form of accounts payable exceeds the primary money supply mi by a factor of 1 5 on average 1 clearly efforts to control economic growth through monetary policy can be confounded by aggregate decisions of businesses to increase or decrease reliance on trade credit financing several recent empirical studies examine determinants of firm reliance on trade credit 2 these studies model supply and demand for trade credit using financial statement data accounts receivable and payable 3 however many aspects of trade credit practice are unexplored most notably little is known about the types of credit terms e g net 30 2 10 net 30 and credit policies that are observed across firms and industries the only comprehensive doc

purchasing power parity yet again evidence from spatially separated commodity markets abstract this paper examines the empirical validity of the law of one price by exploiting the non stationarity of prices set in us dollars of varieties of wheat that are traded simultaneously in the usa rotterdam and japan we demonstrate the crucial role of transport costs in achieving cointegration long run ppp although systematic short run deviations from ppp occur we show that this does not imply profitable arbitrage opportunities jel c5 f3 g1

profit efficiency among basmati rice producers in pakistan punjab farm specific profit inefficiency among basmati rice producers was estimated from a variable coefficient profit frontier the mean level of inefficiency at farm resources and price levels was 28 with a wide range 5 87 average loss of profit was rs 1 222 per hectare socioeconomic factors related to profit loss were the farm household s education nonagricultural employment and a credit constraint institutional determinants of profit loss were a water constraint and the late application of fertilizer punjab wide benefits of increasing farmer s profit efficiency are large a 25 reduction in profit loss among basmati rice producers may generate over rs 240 million in extra profits each rice season rice is a major export commodity for pakistan generating about 2 5 billion pakistan rupees rs annually or 20 of foreign exchange earnings from commodity trade in the early 1980s two varieties dominate in pakistan s international trade in rice basmati 370 a high quality long grained aromatic variety and the medium long grained irri 6 distinct export markets exist for these rices over 90 of the basmati is exported to oil rich middle eastern nations while the mediumlong varieties are mainly marketed in southeast asia in 1983 the export price of basmati was about rs 7 900 per ton while the price of medium long grained varieties averaged rs 2 700 per ton pakistan has a comparative advantage in the international market for basmati but probably not for medium long grained rices azhar and mamhud historically pakistan had a near monopoly in international trade in basmati but now faces increased competition from thailand and the united states efferson therefore pakistan must strive to increase the efficiency of basmati production to retain its comparative advantage and competitive edge in foreign rice markets basmati 370 is a pure line selection made in

interfirm relationships and informal credit in vietnam trading relations in vietnam s emerging private sector are shaped by two market frictions the difficulty of locating trading partners and the absence of legal enforcement of contracts examining relational contracting we find that a firm trusts its customer enough to offer credit when the customer finds it hard to locate an alternative supplier a longer duration of trading relationship is associated with larger credit as is prior information gathering customers identified through business networks receive more credit these network effects are enduring suggesting that networks are used to sanction defaulting customers

a review of trade credit literature opportunities for research in operations abstract trade credit arises when a buyer delays payment for purchased goods or services its nature has predominantly been an area of inquiry for researchers from the disciplines of finance marketing and economics but it has received relatively little attention in other domains in our article we provide an integrative review of the existing literature and discuss conflicting study outcomes we organize the relevant literature into seven areas of inquiry and analyze four in detail trade credit motives order quantity decisions credit term decisions and settlement period decisions additionally we derive a detailed agenda for future research in these areas

weak instruments diagnosis and cures in empirical econometrics what is the weak instruments wi problem and what causes it universal agreement does not exist on these questions we define weak instruments by two features i two stage least squares 2sls analysis is badly biased toward the ordinary least squares ols estimate and alternative unbiased estimators such as limited information maximum likelihood liml may not solve the problem and ii the standard first order asymptotic distribution does not give an accurate framework for inference thus a researcher may estimate bad results and not be aware of the outcome the cause of wi is often stated to be a low r or f statistic of the reduced form equation in the most commonly occurring situation of one right handside endogenous variable we find the situation is more complex with an additional factor the correlation between the stochastic disturbances of the structural equation and the reduced form that needs to be taken into account we discuss in this paper a specification test hahn and hausman 2002a for wi a caution against using no moments estimators such as liml in the wi situation and suggestions for different estimators an approach to inference of frank kleibergen 2002 for wi we end with a caution of how small biases can become large biases in the wi situation we begin with the limited information structural model under the assumptions of hausman 1983

trade credit and informational asymmetry commonly used trade credit terms implicitly define a high interest rate that operates as an efficient screening device where information about buyer default risk is asymmetrically held by offering trade credit a seller can identify prospective defaults more quickly than if financial institutions were the sole providers of short term financing the information is valuable in cases where the seller has made nonsalvageable investments in buyers since it enables the seller to take actions to protect such investments traditional explanations for the widespread use of trade credit fall into two categories the financing motive holds that capital market imperfections enable sellers to finance buyer purchases at lower cost than financial institutions ferris 4 argues that trade credit provides payment flexibility and thus reduces the overall need for buyers and sellers to maintain precautionary balances emery 3 contends that noncompetitive rents of financial institutions can be circumvented by sellers and buyers through provision of trade credit however the financing motive is not sufficient to explain why small suppliers offer trade credit the wide cross sectional variation in terms or why large buyers often take the prompt payment discount late a second set of explanations is best described as pricing motivations for trade credit provision nadiri 10 argues that availability of alternative payment terms can increase product demand but does not indicate why the offered terms could not be duplicated by financial institutions schwartz and whitcomb 14 argue that trade credit is used to circumvent robinson patman and similar prohibitions on price discrimination the correctness of this position depends on the charge to users of trade credit exceeding the cost of provision by the seller although the explanation is possible in principle an empirical question remains as to why variations in actual credit terms appear to be based on product market rather than buyer characteristics the literature also contains analyses of the impact of changing macroeconomic conditions on trade credit terms and aggregate credit flows schwartz 13 for example employs a financing motive for trade credit to conclude that restrictive monetary policy can be partly mitigated by liberalization of trade credit terms by firms with relatively easy access to capital markets however a microeconomic

financial development bank discrimination and trade credit non state owned firms in china grow tremendously with limited support from banks this provides a unique setting to test how firms in a country with poorly developed financial institutions fund their prosperous growth opportunities this paper compares the use of an important non formal financial channel trade credit between state and non state owned firms in china we find that compared to state owned firms non state owned firms use more trade credit we further show that this higher usage is primarily for financing rather than transactional purposes the results suggest that in a country with a poorly developed formal financial sector firms can support their growth through non formal financial channels that largely rely on implicit contractual relation

institutional adjustment and transaction costs product and inputs markets in the tanzanian coffee system abstract commodity market liberalization can improve incentives for production of export crops by reducing the total costs of transforming products through space form and time or by reducing the costs of arranging and completing transactions while liberalization often leads to reduced costs in output exchange it can remove opportunities for linked input output transactions that sometimes lowered the costs of providing finance in state controlled markets assessments of liberalization that focus on output exchange alone obscure the impact of rising transaction costs in finance this study of liberalization in the tanzanian coffee market documents declining costs in output marketing rising transaction costs for financing farm activities and differential but generally positive net impacts on growers

an incentive compatible solution for trade credit term incorporating default risk abstract this paper studies the optimal trade credit term decision in an extended economic ordering quantity eoq framework that incorporates a default risk component a principal agent bilevel programming model with costs minimization objectives is set up to derive the incentive compatible credit term the supplier determines the credit term as the leader in the first level programming by balancing her his financing capacity with the retailer s default risk order behavior and cost shifting at the second level the retailer makes decisions on ordering and payment time by reacting on the term offered by the supplier a first order condition solution procedure is derived for the bilevel programming when credit term is confined within the practically feasible interval two key results are obtained the condition to derive incentive compatible credit term and an equation system to derive threshold default risk criterion filtering retailers suitable for credit granting numerical experiments show that the capital cost of the supplier is the most important factor determining the credit term default risk acts like a filtering criterion for selecting retailers suitable for credit granting empirical evidence supporting our theoretical considerations is obtained by estimating three panel econometric models using a dataset from china s listed companies

the effect of economic uncertainty on inventory and working capital for manufacturing firms abstract this paper develops an empirical model to investigate the impact of macro economic risk on working capital and the various types of inventory our analysis helps manufacturing firms anticipate the implications of high macro economic risk measured through the economic policy uncertainty epu index on their operations using a sample of 6503 us manufacturing firms during the period 1990 2018 we show that epu drives high levels of inventory thus corroborating existing theories about random disruptions raising safety stock levels we also show that increased economic uncertainty yields higher trade credits payables and working capital thus requiring firms to tie more capital to their operations our results are statistically significant yet these effects are small at the firm level the results are robust when applying the monetary policy uncertainty mpu index to the subsample of the data from 1990 to 2007 instead of the epu index to the same data set

bank information monopoly and trade credit do only banks have information about small businesses according to previous studies a bank can set a higher interest rate for small firms by establishing a lending relationship since information asymmetry limits competition between banks therefore the bank can acquire monopoly rent from small firms however if small firms can use trade credit which is another financial source the bank cannot extract monopoly rent in this article we examine whether small firms can use trade credit if the bank sets a higher interest rate using panel data of small firms in japan our analysis shows that when the interest rate the bank sets is too severe or worsened for the borrower the ratio of trade payables increases and the bank loses its amount of loans this result implies that trade creditors alleviate the problems of bank information monopolies in japan

trade credit and bank relationships evidence from pre world war i belgium we investigate the determinants of trade credit granted by suppliers in a historical environment which was characterized by high information asymmetries and strong banks focusing on the role of bank firm relationships our results which are based on a unique sample of 535 firm year observations for 125 listed belgian firms in four dominant industries in the period 1905 to 1909 are generally consistent with the financing role of trade credit they suggest that trade credit was a tool for channelling funds from firms with close bank ties to other firms which is consistent with findings for contemporary developing countries

trade credit and the effect of macro financial shocks evidence from u s panel data using disaggregated panel data we examine how firms change trade credit in response to a monetary tightening we find that both accounts payable and accounts receivable increase with tighter monetary policy implying that trade credit helps firms absorb the effect of a credit contraction further both s p 500 firms and a comparison group of smaller firms increase net trade credit accounts receivable minus payable making up for the reduced liquidity associated with tighter policy however we find no evidence that large firms play this role more actively than smaller firms

the latte revolution regulation markets and consumption in the global coffee chain abstract coffee is a truly global commodity and a major foreign exchange earner in many developing countries the global coffee chain has changed dramatically as a result of deregulation new consumption patterns and evolving corporate strategies from a balanced contest between producing and consuming countries within the politics of international coffee agreements power relations shifted to the advantage of transnational corporations a relatively stable institutional environment where proportions of generated income were fairly distributed between producing and consuming countries turned into one that is more informal unstable and unequal through the lenses of global commodity chain analysis this paper examines how these transformations affect developing countries and what policy instruments are available to address the emerging imbalances

trade credit and credit rationing asymmetric information between banks and firms can preclude financing of valuable projects trade credit alleviates this problem by incorporating in the lending relation the private information held by suppliers about their customers incentive compatibility conditions prevent collusion between two of the agents e g the buyer and the seller against the third e g the bank consistent with the empirical findings of petersen and rajan 1995 firms without relationships with banks resort more to trade credit and sellers with greater ability to generate cash lows provide more trade credit finally small firms react to monetary contractions by using trade credit consistent with the empirical results of nilsen 1994 article published by oxford university press on behalf of the society for financial studies in its journal the review of financial studies

trade credit and the bank lending channel the bank lending channel theory posits that during monetary contractions banks restrict some firms loans thus reducing their desired investment independently of interest rates previous research finds small firms reduce while large firms accelerate loan growth we find that small firms increase trade credit a substitute credit indicating a strong loan demand it supports the bank lending channel they do not voluntarily cut bank loans since they increase a less desirable alternative using trade credit is propitious since unlike commercial paper investigated by previous researchers it is widely used by the small firms suffering the loan decline surprisingly we also find large firms increase trade credit a puzzle since they are typically assumed to have wide access to other credit using individual manufacturing firm data we find the reasons large firms use trade credit are financial in nature those without a bond rating increase trade credit that is without access to open market credit as relatively few firms have this mark of quality it implies that more firms are affected by credit constraints than previously believed

trade credit and productive efficiency in developing countries abstract in developing countries credit shortages are often so severe as to impact a firm s day to day production decisions using firm level data from five african countries i show supplier credit is positively correlated with capacity utilization the result continues to hold when credit access is instrumented using supplier characteristics i claim that this is because firms lacking credit likely face inventory shortages leading to lower rates of capacity utilization this explanation yields several further predictions that are supported by the data there is a positive relationship between supplier credit and inventory holdings moreover raw materials stockouts are positively correlated with capacity utilization particularly in inventory intensive industries

in kind finance a theory of trade credit it is typically less profitable for an opportunistic borrower to divert inputs than to divert cash therefore suppliers may lend more liberally than banks this simple argument is at the core of our contract theoretic model of trade credit in competitive markets the model implies that trade credit and bank credit can be either complements or substitutes among other things the model explains why trade credit has short maturity why trade credit is more prevalent in less developed credit markets and why accounts payable of large unrated firms are more countercyclical than those of small firms

focusing the financial flow of supply chains an empirical investigation of financial supply chain management the objective of this paper is to establish a theoretical foundation for financial supply chain management fscm in order to strengthen managerial decisions concerning financial flows in supply chains although such decisions are made frequently and partial aspects of fscm are already understood in business practice empirical knowledge about fscm is in its early stages the study provides fundamental information derived from eight case studies based on 40 interviews the analysis extends previous studies of the interface between operations management and finance by i contributing to a mid range theory of fscm by exploring two distinct but not exclusive fscm categories their antecedents and performance effects ii empirically deriving a testable framework for fscm iii relating fscm to established theories in the field of scm and iv basing the analysis on transaction cost economics managerial insights reveal that weak working capital causes firms to focus on fscm more specifically the study identifies two fscm categories pre shipment fscm before invoice release and post shipment fscm after invoice release managers can improve upstream supply chain working capital with pre shipment fscm whereas post shipment fscm strengthens the buying firm s working capital position based on transaction cost economics we analyze how these improvements stem from risk reductions which are more effective if firms are integrated internally and externally

law finance and firm growth we investigate how differences in legal and financial systems affect firms use of external financing to fund growth we show that in countries whose legal systems score high on an efficiency index a greater proportion of firms use long term external financing an active though not necessarily large stock market and a large banking sector are also associated with externally financed firm growth the increased reliance on external financing occurs in part because established firms in countries with well functioning institutions have lower profit rates government subsidies to industry do not increase the proportion of firms relying on external financing the corporate finance literature suggests that market imperfections caused by conflicts of interest and informational asymmetries between corporate insiders and investors constrain firms in their ability to fund investment projects the magnitude of these imperfections depends in part on the effectiveness of the legal and financial systems because these systems differ across countries the literature implies that there should exist systematic cross country differences in firms ability to obtain external capital to finance investment in this paper we examine whether the underdevelopment of legal and financial systems does prevent firms in some countries from investing in potentially profitable growth opportunities in particular we focus on the use of long term debt or external equity to fund growth see our earlier work demirgut kunt and maksimovic 1996a which compares firms financial structures in developed and developing countries and finds the greatest difference to be in the provision of long term credit we estimate a financial planning model to obtain the maximum growth rate that each firm in our thirty country sample could attain without access to long term financing we then compare these predicted growth rates to growth rates realized by firms in countries with differing degrees of development in their legal and financial systems our approach enables us to identify specific characteristics of the legal and financial systems that are associated with long term financing of firm growth thus we provide a micro level test of the hypoth

ethnicity and credit in african manufacturing abstract this paper investigates whether market interaction can by itself perpetuate the lack of ethnic diversity that is observed in the business communities of many developing countries using case study data on manufacturing firms in kenya and zimbabwe we find no evidence that blacks or women are disadvantaged in the attribution of bank credit once we control for firm size and other observable characteristics in contrast an ethnic and gender bias is noticeable in the attribution of supplier credit although we cannot rule out the presence of discrimination the bulk of the evidence indicates that network effects play an important role in explaining this bias

coffee value chains on the move evidence in ethiopia abstract important changes have happened to the upstream segment of the coffee sector in ethiopia africa s biggest in the last decade as illustrated by the increasing adoption of improved production harvest and post harvest practices upstream marketing has also improved and there have been large investments in processing capacity shown by the extended coverage of wet mills these improved practices are shown to be associated with positive impacts on coffee productivity and prices changes appear to be linked with multiple factors including local market reform greater presence of public extension agents high international prices and a push for certification by international buyers on the other hand a combination of production lack of improved seedlings weather and disease shocks as well as institutional issues saving constraints and lack of vertical integration and traceability have seemingly impeded more widespread uptake of improved practices and therefore better farm performance the study illustrates the significant complexity in obtaining transformation at the farm level in these settings

the legal environment banks and long run economic growth this paper examines the relationship between the legal system and banlding development and traces this connection through to long run rates of per capita gdp growth capital stock growth and productivity growth the data indicate that countries where the legal system 1 emphasizes creditor rights and 2 rigorously enforces contracts have better developed banks than countries where laws do not give a high priority to creditors and where enforcement is lax furtherrnore the exogenous component of banking development the component defined by the legal environment is positively and robustly associated with per capita growth physical capital accumulation and productivity growth this paper addresses two questions first do crosscountry differences in the legal rights of creditors the efficiency of contract enforcement and the origin of the legal system explain cross country differences in the level of banking development second do better developed banks cause faster economic development that is is the component of banking development defined by the legal environment positively associated with long run rates of economic growth capital accumulation and productivity growth examining the relationship between the legal system and banking development is valuable irrespective of issues associated with long run growth first banks may influence the level of income per capita and the magnitude of cyclical fluctuations bernanke and gertler 1989 1990 second many economists stress that understanding the evolution of legal and financial systems is essential for understanding economic development north 1981 engerman and sokoloff 1996 consequently quantitative information on the relationship between the legal environment and banks will improve our understanding of business cycles and the process of economic development furthermore examining the causal links between banks and economic growth has both conceptual and policy implications on the conceptual front a long literature debates the importance of banks in economic development starting as early as bagehot 1873 economists have argued that better banks banks that are better at identifying creditworthy firms mobilizing savings pooling risks and facilitating transactions

trade credit collateral liquidation and borrowing constraints assuming that firms suppliers are better able to extract value from the liquidation of assets in default and have an information advantage over other creditors the paper derives six predictions on the use of trade credit 1 financially unconstrained firms with unused bank credit lines take trade credit to exploit the supplier s liquidation advantage 2 if inputs purchased on account are sufficiently liquid the reliance on trade credit does not depend on credit rationing 3 firms buying goods make more purchases on account than those buying services while suppliers of services offer more trade credit than those of standardized goods 4 suppliers lend inputs to their customers but not cash 5 greater reliance on trade credit is associated with more intensive use of tangible inputs 6 better creditor protection decreases both the use of trade credit and input tangibility

the price of reverse factoring financing rates vs payment delays reverse factoring a financial arrangement where a corporation facilitates early payment of its trade credit obligations to suppliers is increasingly popular in industry many firms use the scheme to induce their suppliers to grant them more lenient payment terms by means of a periodic review base stock model that includes alternative sources of financing we explore the following question what extensions of payment terms allow the supplier to benefit from reverse factoring we obtain solutions by means of simulation optimisation we find that an extension of payment terms induces a non linear financing cost for the supplier beyond the opportunity cost of carrying additional receivables furthermore we find that the size of the payment term extension that a supplier can accommodate depends on demand uncertainty and the cost structure of the supplier overall our results show that the financial implications of an extension of payment terms need careful assessment in stochastic settings

the museum pass game and its value we discuss a subscription game in which service providers e g museums team up in offering a limited time subscription or access pass allowing unlimited usage of their services in this game a natural way to allocate the subscription income among the service providers is by using the shapley value we show that for the particular game considered the shapley value takes a very intuitive and computationally simple form

international commodity agreements an obituary notice abstract it is widely believed that international commodity agreements have lapsed because they have failed the reality is more complex the tin agreement did collapse but for sugar and cocoa adverse market conditions and lack of general support made stabilization impractical control of the coffee market ceased largely because of disagreements both between and within the producing countries on the division of the benefits resulting from higher prices overall commodity control fits uneasily in an increasingly globalized and competitive world and this perception has resulted in a diminished willingness to resolve the practical difficulties of price stabilization

credit contagion from counterparty risk standard credit risk models cannot explain the observed clustering of default some times described as credit contagion this paper provides the first empirical analysis of credit contagion via direct counterparty effects we find that bankruptcy announce ments cause negative abnormal equity returns and increases in cds spreads for credi tors in addition creditors with large exposures are more likely to suffer from financial distress later this suggests that counterparty risk is a potential additional channel of credit contagion indeed the fear of counterparty defaults among financial institu tions explains the sudden worsening of the credit crisis after the lehman bankruptcy in september 2008

a transactions theory of trade credit use this paper derives a transactions theory of trade credit use from the motives of trading partners to economize on the joint costs of exchange in the formal analysis uncertain delivery time is used to generate a demand by firms to hold inventories of both goods and money trade credit is viewed as a mechanism that separates the exchange of money from the uncertainty present in the exchange of goods by forewarning both trading partners of the timing of money flows credit permits a reduction in precautionary money holdings and the more effective management of net money accumulations

coffee market liberalisation and the implications for producers in brazil guatemala and india the standard approach to modelling the relationship between world and producer prices of coffee does not incorporate the effects of changing government policies and market structures these changes have led to large structural breaks in the relationship between the prices implying the standard estimates are biased we model coffee prices in brazil guatemala and india allowing for the structural breaks and show that the liberalisation of coffee markets has benefited producers substantially both in terms of a higher share of the world price of coffee and higher real prices this suggests that calls to re regulate coffee markets may be misplaced

growth opportunities and trade credit evidence from chinese listed firms abstractprivate firms in china have led the explosive growth of the country s economy but with restricted or no access to formal financing it is puzzling that these firms use relatively less trade credit than their counterparts in developed countries we argue that firms with more growth opportunities should rely mainly on internal financing owing to high asymmetric information especially in a financial market environment biased towards state owned enterprises soes such as china to explore growth opportunities these firms may reduce their level of trade credit in the trade off they face in deciding where to invest using panel data of chinese non financial listed firms for the period 2003 2013 we find that the relationship between growth opportunities and trade credit both accounts receivable and payable is significantly negative and is more pronounced in private firms than in soes furthermore we also find that subsequent to the new receivable pledge policy being introduced chinese firms with

trade credit and monetary policy transmission recently an increasing number of papers have investigated the role of trade credit as an external source of finance when analyzing the monetary transmission mechanism these works support the balance sheet channel view and at the same time explain the difficulties encountered when looking for evidence in favor of the bank lending channel this paper presents a survey of the emerging literature on the role of trade credit in the transmission of monetary policy trying to link it with the well established credit channel literature copyright blackwell publishers ltd 2005

weighted bankruptcy rules and the museum pass problem abstract in this paper we introduce and characterize some allocation rules for weighted bankruptcy problems we illustrate the relevancy of weighted bankruptcy by applying it to analyse the museum pass problem introduced by ginsburgh and zang 2003 this application is completed with the analysis of real data for the card musei of the municipality of genova

the commitment problem of secured lending the paper presents a new theory of trade credit in which firms buy inputs on credit from suppliers to restore the benefits of secured bank financing impaired by contract incompleteness in a setting where investment is endogenous and unobservable to financiers we show that a bank secured credit contract is time inconsistent upon being granted credit the entrepreneur has an incentive to alter the original input combination jeopardizing the bank s revenues anticipating the entrepreneur s opportunism the bank offers an unsecured credit contract reducing the surplus from the venture one way for the entrepreneur to commit to the contract terms is to purchase inputs on credit from the supplier the supplier observes the input investment and acts as a guarantor that inputs will be purchased as contracted thus facilitating access to secured bank financing the commitment role of trade credit still holds in a multi period extension that investigates the impact of bank relationship lending on secured debt and trade credit our model provides novel testable predictions on optimal financial contracts in both one period and repeated lending relationships

the value of private sector business credit information sharing the us case this paper investigates the value added by private information exchanges that share information on business payment performance we discuss how this information is collected and disseminated by the worlds largest private information broker dun bradstreet we provide the first empirical examination of the importance of this information at the lending decision level our findings indicate that exchange generated information provides significant explanatory power in failure prediction models controlling for other credit information that is easily available to lenders our study complements the work of jappelli and pagano information sharing lending and defaults cross country evidence centre for economic policy research discussion paper 2184 1999 who find in cross country macro level tests that information exchanges add value 2003 elsevier science b v all rights reserved

responding to the coffee crisis what can we learn from price dynamics an econometric model of coffee price dynamics is specified and estimated to capture the evolution of coffee prices at the farm wholesale and retail levels it investigates the historical influence of the international coffee agreement ica through its effects on yield and planting decisions in the short run the ica caused brazilian farm prices to become disconnected from international prices the ica helped coffee producers to better incorporate current world price information into planting decisions this created a price cycle that did not exist in non ica periods the low coffee prices experienced since the disintegration of the ica are consistent with low supply response to price information asymmetric price transmission at the retail level helped roasters and retailers benefit from upstream price interventions our results urge caution when considering future coffee price interventions

the challenge of revenue sharing with bundled pricing an application to music bundling can increase revenue and profits relative to selling products on a standalone basis and this is an especially attractive strategy for zero marginal cost information products despite the clear benefits of bundling it has one major problem bundling produces revenue that is not readily attributable to particular pieces of intellectual property creating a revenue division problem the shapley value provides a well motivated solution to this problem and we use unique survey data to create measures of bundle value and in turn to estimate shapley values for each of 50 bundle elements we then evaluate feasible revenue sharing schemes including equal sharing proportional sharing and the modified shapley value of ginsburgh and zang 2003 2004 we first document that the shapley value is highly incentive compatible all bundle elements fare better inside the bundle than they do outside on a standalone basis we then evaluate the feasible schemes according to both their incentive compatibility and their similarity with the shapley value we find not surprisingly that the feasible schemes are less incentive compatible than the shapley value among the feasible schemes the gz scheme performs best while equal sharing performs worst

does trade credit redistribution thwart monetary policy evidence from italy italy is an ideal candidate for testing the credit view of the transmission mechanism because of a bank centred financial structure a sizeable trade debt and an economy titled towards small firms an empirical analysis of trade credit and debt on averaged panel data shows that small firms act as financially constrained and cycle sensitive whereas large ones aim at smoothing sales adopt an integrated management of inventories and receivables and have a higher trade debt to purchases elasticity on balance the net trade credit channel does not as implied by the credit view shield small firms from a monetary squeeze

an optimal financial response to variable demand this paper develops a positive theory of trade credit based on its use as a financial response to deterministic variations in demand the operating alternatives to trade credit which include the use of storage or additional capacity are modeled using results from the peak load pricing literature the paper shows that the extension of credit partitions the buyer s inventory cost and permits specialization at incurring the components of this cost this specialization is economical when the seller has an advantage at incurring the financial cost and does not have an advantage at incurring the operating cost of accommodating variable demand conditions that provide these necessary and sufficient cost relationships are described the paper also shows that a reduction in costs rather than an increase in revenues is the source of both the buyer s and seller s increase in wealth

the source of fluctuations in money evidence from trade credit abstract this paper tests the relative importance of technology shocks and financial shocks as sources of fluctuations in money the model extends the theory of king and plosser 1984 by recognizing that both money and trade credit provide transactions services under certain conditions the co movements between money and trade credit can reveal the nature of the underlying shocks the empirical results strongly suggest that shocks to the financial system account for most of the fluctuations in money in the long run and at business cycle frequencies on the other hand technology shocks appear to be more important at seasonal frequencies

counter cyclical substitution between trade credit and bank credit abstract this paper explores the substitution relationship between trade credit and bank credit and its counter cyclic dynamic pattern through economic cycles we propose a new theoretical model using a mechanism design method which predicts the substitution between the two credits and its counter cyclic behavior subject to the condition of technological efficiency not less than one this model also helps explain the somewhat contradictory evidence in the literature on the relationship between the two credits we present empirical evidence on the substitution effect and its counter cyclic behavior by using a balanced panel data set of 284 listed chinese companies for the period 1998 2006 we further find that the substitution behaves counter cyclically with respect to the coincident macroeconomic indicator namely gdp our empirical analysis also has some new features such as treating endogeneity carefully and incorporating the lag effect of trade credit coherently

trade credit and supplier competition abstract this paper examines how competition among suppliers affects their willingness to provide trade credit financing trade credit extended by a supplier to a cash constrained retailer allows the latter to increase cash purchases from its other suppliers leading to a free rider problem a supplier that represents a smaller share of the retailer s purchases internalizes a smaller part of the benefit from increased spending by the retailer and as a result extends less trade credit relative to its sales in consequence retailers with dispersed suppliers obtain less trade credit than those whose suppliers are more concentrated the free rider problem is especially detrimental to a trade creditor when the free riding suppliers are its product market competitors leading to a negative relation between product substitutability among suppliers to a given retailer and trade credit that the former provide to the latter we test the model using both simulated and real data the estimated relations are consistent with the model s predictions and are statistically and economically significant

does the law of one price really hold for commodity prices in spite of the empirical failure of the law of one price it is usually assumed that commodity prices are perfectly arbitraged at least in the long run this paper argues that this assumption is counterfactual and that much of the empirical evidence provided to support it is flawed and affected by econometric shortcomings spurious regressions nonstationarity in the data inappropriate use of first differences an alternative methodology co integration by which a long run relationship between nonstationary series can be tested is proposed tests of nonstationarity and co integration for a group of commodities show quite uniformly that the law of one price as a long run relationship fails and that deviations from the pattern are permanent

market reforms and commodity price volatility the case of east african coffee market the goal of this paper is to examine the impact of commodity market reforms on producer price volatility using evidence from the east african coffee market the results based on time varying volatility models and key summary statistics show that coffee market reforms in the east african community eac are associated with changes in producer price volatility and volatility persistence at both country and regional levels however reforms were not the only cause of changes in price volatility the study further shows that reforms had different effects on prices volatilities of arabica and robusta varieties of coffee grown in individual eac countries these findings have wider implication for commodity market reforms and producer price stabilisation policies in the eac and coffee producing countries in sub sahara africa

trade credit in small and medium size firms an application of the system estimator with panel data financing through suppliers is a subject that has been little studied in the economic literature in general and in corporate finance in particular although several hypotheses have been put forward to explain the different reasons behind this phenomenon trade credit is not based on a general theory

inventories and risk in african manufacturing using a panel data set for zimbabwe which includes firm specific measures of contractual risk we show that contractual risk has a major effect on the holding input stocks and to a lesser extent the constitution of cash reserves this is consistent with inventories being a hedge against stockout risk by contrast firms facing more inter annual market risk hold less inventories this suggests that african manufacturers prefer adapting to long term market fluctuations as they materialise rather than building up inventories this interpretation is consistent with the finding that high market risk firms also have a low capacity utilisation rate

an agency model to explain trade credit policy and empirical evidence this article explains trade credit policy based on the agency theory according to this theory we have developed an agency model based on the adverse selection and moral hazard phenomena arising from the relation between sellers and buyers this model has been estimated by using panel data methodology applied to uk companies our findings strongly support the model proposed we find that smaller firms those with a smaller proportion of fixed assets and those that are less profitable extend more trade credit whereas firms with a high proportion of variable costs and high percentage of bad debts extend less

finance and the sources of growth the authors evaluate whether the level of development in the banking sector exerts a causal impact on economic growth and its sources total factor productivity growth physical capital accumulation and private saving they use 1 a pure cross country instrumental variable estimator to extract the exogenous component of banking development and 2 a new panel technique that controls for country specific effects and endogeneity they find that banks do exert a large causal impact on total factor productivity growth which feeds through to overall gdp gross domestic product growth the long run links between banking development and both capital growth and private savings are more tenuous

corporate trade credit and inventories new evidence of a trade off from accounts payable and receivable abstract trade credit is an important source of finance for firms and has been well researched but the focus has been on financial trade offs in this paper we consider the trade offs with inventories and develop a simple model that recognizes the incentives a firm faces to offer and receive trade credit our model identifies the response of accounts payable and accounts receivable to changes in the cost of inventories profitability risk and liquidity and importantly this influence operates through a production channel our results support the model and complement many existing studies focused on explaining the financial terms of trade credit

trade credit in zimbabwean manufacturing abstract credit from suppliers is an important but often neglected source of finance for manufacturing firms zimbabwe is no exception unlike credit from financial institutions trade credit does not rely on formal collateral but on trust and reputation contract enforcement is flexible network effects and statistical discrimination affect the screening of trade credit applicants black entrepreneurs are disadvantaged by their lack of business contacts and by the difficulty of distinguishing themselves from the mass of financially insecure and short lived african owned businesses in zimbabwe a vicious circle is created between weak financial base unreliability as a debtor and inability to gain access to credit