pulling up the tarnished anchor the end of silver as a global unit of account abstract we use the demise of silver based standards in the 19th century to explore price dynamics when a commodity based money ceases to function as a global unit of account we develop a general equilibrium model of the global economy with gold and silver money calibration of the model shows that silver ceased functioning as a global price anchor in the mid 1890s the price of silver is positively correlated with agricultural commodities through the mid 1890s but not thereafter in contrast to fisher 1911 and friedman 1990 both of whom predict greater price stability under bimetallism our model suggests that a global bimetallic system in which the gold price of silver fluctuates has higher price volatility than a global monometallic system we confirm this result using agricultural commodity price data for 1870 1913

are public sector workers more risk averse than private sector workers available evidence suggests that stability of employment is greater in the public sector than in the private sector the value that individuals place on tbis stability depends on tbe individual s degree of risk aversion economic reasoning suggests tbat otber tbings equal tbose individuals witb a high degree of aversion to risk will be more likely tban otbers to seek employment in the public sector this paper tests tbat hypothesis tbrougb tbe use of probit analysis and a measure of risk aversion developed in ibe university of micbigan s panel study of income dynamics the results tend to confirm tbe bypotbesis implying tbat a policy of intersectoral equality of pay for comparable jobs would result inanexcesssupplyof workers to tbe public sector

on the determinants of direct foreign investment evidence from east and southeast asia abstract a model of derived demand for foreign capital by a multiple product monopolist is estimated for seven asian countries direct foreign investment dfi inflows are estimated to be less elastic with respect to the costs of capital including taxes than to wages and to be more elastic with respect to aggregate demand in export markets than domestic demand the output deterrent effect of higher wages is estimated to outweigh any substitution toward greater capital intensity the estimates also suggest that dfi rises with greater costs within the investors home countries no similar effect occurs with respect to costs in rival host countries and concerns for political stability have overlain economic determinants

the nexus between sectoral fdi and institutional quality empirical evidence from pakistan abstractthis study investigates short and long run bidirectional causality between institutional quality and sectoral level fdi in pakistan by using the ardl technique the results confirm that long run bidirectional causality exists between institutional quality and aggregate fdi the in depth sectoral level fdi analysis substantiates the presence of long run bidirectional causality between institutional quality and fdi in services and manufacturing sectors while no long run causality is observed between institutional quality and fdi inflows in primary sector furthermore the results in the study reveal short run bidirectional causality only between institutional quality and manufacturing fdi and report insignificant short run causal link between institutional quality and fdi in primary and services sectors the overall findings of the study suggest that in the long run institutional quality attract fdi and fdi inflows particularly to manufacturing and services sectors significantly enhance the qual

was the emergence of the international gold standard expected evidence from indian government securities abstract the emergence of the gold standard has for a long time been viewed as inevitable we analyze agents expectations using the spread between gold and silver bonds issued by the indian government we find that bimetallism was credible until france surprised markets by suspending domestic operation of bimetallism triggering a run away from silver thereafter markets began demanding a premium to hold silver bonds indicating their belief that silver would depreciate in the future as more countries moved on gold

foreign currency for long term investors conventional wisdom holds that conservative investors should avoid exposure to foreign currency risk even if they hold foreign equities they should hedge the currency exposure of these positions and hold only domestic treasury bills this paper argues that the conventional wisdom may be wrong for long term investors domestic bills are risky for long term investors because real interest rates vary over time and bills must be rolled over at uncertain future interest rates this risk can be hedged by holding foreign currency if the domestic currency tends to depreciate when the domestic real interest rate falls empirically this effect is important

wto membership and the shift to consumption taxes abstract this paper explores tax policy effects and revenue implications of joining the world trade organization wto and its predecessor the general agreement on tariffs and trade gatt it documents that countries joining gatt wto after 1990 have implemented tariff cum tax reforms lowering tariff rates and raising consumption tax rates in particular through reform or introduction of a value added tax vat employing a panel of 97 developing and transitional countries 31 of which joined gatt wto between 1990 and 2011 using robust difference in difference specifications as well as the synthetic control method we find a statistically and economically significant decline in revenues from import duties this finding supports concerns about revenue losses but also corroborates the efficacy of the late uruguay gatt and the wto trade regimes in promoting free trade among new members regarding consumption taxes we find robust evidence that revenue substitution was successful since revenue losses from import duties were more than compensated for by enhanced revenues from consumption taxes with regard to the timing of the revenue effects our results show that revenue losses in import duties mostly take place at the time of membership or later changes in consumption taxation however exhibit pre membership effects as revenues are increased and vat is adopted often a few years ahead of losses in import duties no such effects are found before the start of the accession negotiations indicating that consumption tax reforms are initiated once a country is on the road to gatt wto membership

public private sector wage differentials in canada evidence from the 1991 and 1982 surveys of consumer finance this paper extends the work of gunderson and shapiro and stelcner that considered wage differentials between public and private sector workers in canada using the 1971 and 1981 censuses respectively here the survey of consumer finances from 1991 and 1982 is used which allows for better distinction between public and private sector workers the estimated public sector premium is decomposed into an endowments component and a residual term estimates are corrected for sample selection bias with respect to the choice between full time and part time work in the two sectors tests for bias caused by self selection into the private and public sectors revealed no such bias as a benchmark the overall wage premium calculated for 1981 compares very well with that of shapiro and stelcner during the 1980s no significant increases in the public sector wage premium for males are found but the female premium increased significantly this may be due to changes in pay equity legislation in the public sector relative

what drives capital flows to emerging markets a survey of the empirical literature this paper reviews the rapidly growing empirical literature on the drivers of capital flows to emerging markets the empirical evidence is structured based on the recognition that the drivers of capital flows vary over time and across different types of capital flows the drivers are classified using the traditional push vs pull framework which is augmented by a distinction between cyclical and structural factors push factors are found to matter most for portfolio flows somewhat less for banking flows and least for fdi pull factors matter for all three components but most for banking flows a historical perspective suggests that the recent literature may have overemphasized the importance of cyclical factors at the expense of longer term structural trends

fiscal paradise foreign tax havens and american business the tax haven affiliates of american corporations account for more than 20 percent of u s foreign direct investment and nearly a third of the foreign profits of u s firms american companies report extraordinarily high profit rates on their tax haven investments in 1982 this behavior implies that the revenue maximizing tax rate for a typical haven is around 5 8 percent american and foreign investment in tax havens has an uncertain effect on u s tax revenue but since low tax rates encourage american companies to shift profits out of high tax foreign countries it is possible that low foreign tax rates ultimately enhance u s tax collections

determinants of foreign direct investment in spain this study utilizes panel data as a means of examining the determinants of foreign direct investment fdi in spain data that are taken in the period 1993 2002 are used in order to estimate the determinants of fdi at the sectoral level by differentiating the manufacturing sectors and at the regional level the analysis investigates the sectoral regional and macroeconomic variables that have successfully attracted fdi inflows from those that have not empirical results suggest that the differential between labour productivity and the cost of labour has been an important determinant of fdi in spain during the period 1993 2002 factors related to demand the evolution of human capital the export potential of the sectors and certain macroeconomic determinants that measure the differential between spain and the european union average also play a very important role in attracting flows of fdi certain policy issues that are relevant to the results are also discussed

corruption and the role of information several studies have explored how certain economic and cultural variables affect a country s corruption level this study extends previous research by not only considering these variables but also taking into account the impact that information and communication technology can have on corruption the results indicate that the greater the access to information the lower the corruption levels therefore bridging the digital disparity across countries can also serve to lessen national corruption levels

does the quality of institutions limit the mena s integration in the world economy using a large sample of countries over the 1990s this paper examines the extent to which institutions functioning disables a greater participation of the middle east and north africa mena in the world economy it focuses on the impact on manufactured exports and fdi attractiveness and considers a broad index of political risk as well as indices targeted toward specific aspects of governance corruption government effectiveness and the rule of law the results are robust to different econometric approaches and lend strong support to the hypothesis that the functioning of institutions may disable the participation of mena countries in the world economy they suggest that the impact of an improvement in the quality of institutions may result in a sensitive increase of fdi inflows and manufactured exports that increase is comparable to the one resulting from liberalisation policies hence although institutional reforms can take time they deserve the necessary efforts given their outcomes as compared to other reforms

global capital markets in the long run a review of maurice obstfeld and alan taylor s global capital markets written by maurice obstfeld and alan taylor global capital markets integration crisis and growth was a much needed book that will be cited extensively by those with interests in the long run evolution of the world financial capital market the book does not simply assess changes in the efficiency of global capital markets over the past 150 years but rather adds significantly to debates about instability and crisis asymmetry between rich and poor countries in the costs of going open the lucas paradox the connections between foreign exchange and financial capital market regimes and much more the book makes far better use of the comparative evidence generated by the three epochs since 1850 the first global century before 1914 the second global century after 1950 and the autarchy in between than do competitors that focus solely on one regime whether the gold standard post world war ii breton woods or the float since in addition while the financial literature rarely assesses in any useful empirical way the connection between financial markets and the real economy this book makes that connection absolutely clear global capital markets is a stimulating book with a very wide and deep reach

human capital and fdi inflows to developing countries new empirical evidence abstract despite the dramatic increase in total foreign direct investment fdi flows to developing countries in the last few years the bulk of the inflows has been directed to only a limited number of countries it has been argued that developing countries might enhance their attractiveness as locations for fdi by pursuing policies that raise the level of local skills and build up human resource capabilities nevertheless the empirical evidence in the literature in support of this recommendation for a large sample of developing countries is scant this paper evaluates this argument in the light of the evolution in the structural characteristics of fdi and empirically tests the hypothesis that the level of human capital in host countries may affect the geographical distribution of fdi the empirical findings are a human capital is a statistically significant determinant of fdi inflows b human capital is one of the most important determinants and c its importance has become increasingly greater through time

whose greed whose grievance and whose opportunity effects of foreign direct investments fdi on internal conflict abstract this paper investigates the influence of foreign direct investments on the probability of civil conflict onset contributing to the debate on globalization and civil conflict i relax the common assumption that all forms of globalization are equivalent in their effects on civil conflict i also incorporate the cross sectoral heterogeneity of investments in existing arguments about the socioeconomic externalities of foreign direct investments as determinants of conflict with long time horizons and managerial control of their foreign affiliates foreign direct investors are strategic players aiming to maximize profits and uniquely able to alter their environment through socio political channels this distinguishes fdi from trade and foreign portfolio investments through a combination of political agency and socio economic influences on grievance and greed among domestic groups some types of fdi are likely to alleviate the risk of civil conflict service sector fdi while others exacerbate it primary sector fdi analyses using a new data set of sector specific fdi stock 1980 2013 lend empirical support to the argument showing that economic globalization can have simultaneous positive and negative externalities these findings are informative for the current dialogue on the role of global markets in sustainable development

the politics of foreign direct investment into developing countries increasing fdi through international trade agreements the flow of foreign direct investment into developing countries varies greatly across countries and over time the political factors that affect these flows are not well understood focusing on the relationship between trade and investment we argue that international trade agreements gatt wto and preferential trade agreements ptas provide mechanisms for making commitments to foreign investors about the treatment of their assets thus reassuring investors and increasing investment these international commitments are more credible than domestic policy choices because reneging on them is more costly statistical analyses for 122 developing countries from 1970 to 2000 support this argument developing countries that belong to the wto and participate in more ptas experience greater fdi inflows than otherwise controlling for many factors including domestic policy preferences and taking into account possible endogeneity joining international trade agreements allows developing countries to attract more fdi and thus increase economic growth

the reductionist gamble open economy politics in the global economy international political economy ipe should transition to third wave scholarship because open economy politics oep which dominates current american ipe scholarship can generate inaccurate knowledge oep can produce inaccurate knowledge because it studies domestic politics in isolation from international or macro processes this methodological reductionism is often inappropriate for the phenomena ipe studies because governments inhabit a complex social system as a result the political choices that oep strives to explain are typically a product of the interplay between domestic politics and macro processes when oep omits causally significant macro processes from empirical models the models yield biased inferences about the domestic political relationships under investigation although scholars tolerated such errors when the gains from oep were large these errors are less tolerable now that oep has matured consequently the field should transition toward research that is nonreductionist problem driven and pluralistic

the role of foreign currency debt in financial crises 1880 1913 versus 1972 1997 abstract we show that exposure to foreign currency debt does not necessarily increase the risk of having a financial crisis some countries do not suffer from financial fragility despite original sin before 1913 british offshoots and scandinavia afflicted with it avoided financial meltdowns today many advanced countries have original sin but few have had crises in both periods aggregate balance sheet mismatches are associated with a greater likelihood of a crisis the evidence suggests that foreign currency debt is dangerous when mis managed this is part of the difference between developed countries and emerging markets both of which borrow in foreign currency

what if alexander hamilton had been argentinean a comparison of the early monetary experiences of argentina and the united states abstract the contrast between the early nineteenth century argentinean experience of high inflation and the american experience of low inflation is interpreted in terms of an optimal taxation model it is argued that the two countries experiences diverged because of the different constraints they faced in financing wartime government expenditures in the presence of frequent wars ever tightening access to foreign capital and an inadequate tax base argentina s use of the inflation tax may be viewed as an optimal solution to its wartime problems by contrast with the exception of the revolutionary war the absence of such constraints in the united states required full tax smoothing with only a temporary use of the inflation tax during wartime such policies were embodied in alexander hamilton s fiscal package of 1790 which allowed the united states to bond finance most subsequent wartime expenditures

understanding foreign direct investment in the southern african development community an analysis based on project level data this article uses a uniquely rich project level data set to analyze determinants and trends of foreign direct investment fdi flows to the southern african development community region we control for the source of the investment the sector in which the investment is undertaken and the investment type in addition to project size the results indicate market size to have a positive impact on fdi flows under all specifications a result consistent with earlier studies other variables are unstable depending on specification and the subset of the data used furthermore we find no significant differences in factors that drive fdi flows by source country while greenfield investments are seen to respond more to the growth potential of the market relative to other forms of investment in general we find macroeconomic variables to be poor at explaining project level fdi in the region the descriptive analysis of the data points us more in the direction of the gravity model with factors such as colonial ties and proximity of the investing country appearing to matter limited flows and minimal sectoral diversity call for enhanced investment promotion and collaborative efforts among member states

one money one market the effect of common currencies on trade currency unions their dramatic effect on international trade a gravity model is used to assess the separate effects of exchange rate volatility and currency unions on international trade the panel data bilateral observations for five years during 1970 90 covering 186 countries includes 300 observations in which both countries use the same currency i find a large positive effect of a currency union on international trade and a small negative effect of exchange rate volatility even after controlling for a host of features including the endogenous nature of the exchange rate regime these effects statistically significant imply that two countries sharing the same currency trade three times as much as they would with different currencies currency unions like the european emu may thus lead to a large increase in international trade with all that that entails andrew rose

do taxes matter for foreign direct investment the tax sensitivity offoreign direct investment fdi has important policy implications if fdi is not responsive to taxation then it may be an appropriate target for taxation by the host country this question is examined for mexico by estimating the response of fdifrom retained earnings and transfers from abroad to the tax regimes in mexico and the home country the credit status of multinationals country risk factors and regulatory and trade regimes in mexico fdi in mexico is found to be sensitive to the tax regimes in mexico and the united states the credit status of multinationals country credit ratings and the regulatory environment thus mexico s current policies to dismantle regulations and employ a tax system competitive with the united states are expected to have salutory effects on fdi in mexico the 1980s have seen a remarkable growth in foreign direct investment fdi which has sparked a renewed interest in the effect of fdi on the economic performance of both the host and the home country and in the appropriate government policy toward fdi not surprisingly a critical consideration in this discussion is the responsiveness of fdi to taxation of the income that it generates if fdi is not responsive to taxation then it may be an appropriate target for taxation by the host country which can raise revenue without sacrificing the economic benefits of fdi if however the volume of fdi declines with taxation the host country must consider the trade off between the possible revenue gains from increased taxation and the economic costs of discouraging fdi this issue is very important for countries in which the degree of fdi penetration is large and the revenue raised from taxing fdi represents a significant fraction of total tax revenue for example in ecuador egypt indonesia nigeria peru and trinidad and tobago tax payments by u s corporations alone as a share of host country corporate tax revenues exceed 10 percent alworth 1988 p 33 because of the ready availability of data on investment to and from the united states most of the recent empirical literature on the tax sensitivity of fdi has focused on u s inward fdi in this article we extend the standard methodology used in these studies to examine the effect of taxation on fdi in mexico the recent empirical literature on fdi in the u s is reviewed the salient features of

central banks at war war is expensive troops must be equipped and weapons must be procured when the enormous borrowing requirements of war make the sovereigns credibility problem more difficult central banks enhance a government s ability to borrow by being the sole direct purchaser of government debt the central bank increases the effective punishment that can be imposed on the government for defaulting on the marginal lender this increases lenders confidence that the government will be punished in case of default making lenders willing to purchase the debt at a lower rate of interest the sovereign dependent on the low borrowing costs offered by the central bank has an incentive to retain the bank data covering the nineteenth and early twentieth centuries reveal that possessing a central bank lowers the sovereign s borrowing costs particularly during times of war

who recovers first banking crises resolution in developing countries this article evaluates conditions that facilitate banking crises resolution using data from 67 developing countries from 1980 to 1995 in particular the author examines explanatory variables under three categories external macroeconomic constraints the role of the international monetary fund imf and domestic political conditions the principal results of the analyses are twofold first imf credits decrease the probability of resolving banking crises this result holds controlling for potentially confounding variables and in a test for endogeneity second the decisiveness of a political regime significantly influences the probability of emerging from systemic distress specifically in cases of moderate banking distress decisiveness facilitates resolution of crisis but during periods of severe crises less decisive governments i e governments constrained by accountability groups are likely to recover more quickly than are those with less constrained executives

would nonprofit workers accept to earn less evidence from france this article focuses on wage differentials between french nonprofit for profit and public sectors considering the public sector allows testing more extensively the labour donation theory preston 1989 the findings support this theory because nonprofit workers accept to earn significantly less than they would earn in the for profit and public sectors they also suggest differences in the motivations of workers in these sectors nonprofit workers are attracted to their work for reasons transcending material compensation

stability without a pact lessons from the european gold standard 1880 1914 stability pacts european lessons from the gold standard the gold standard was a system of fixed exchange rates that offered little opportunity for carrying out monetary policies short of suspending gold convertibility trade integration and capital mobility were very high it is worthwhile asking whether there are useful lessons to draw for emu from european experience during that period one clear lesson is that debts matter another basic finding is that the stability of the european gold standard depended on the underlying price trend deflation prior to 1895 resulted in rising public debt burdens which forced some countries to leave the system once gold was discovered and deflation gave way to inflation real interest service fell debts grew more slowly and a high degree of convergence allowed most countries to return to gold for emu this result implies that stability will hinge on the ecb s policy not being too restrictive other lessons concern the fragility of institutions in the face of deep public finance difficulties the risks for the single market of leaving out countries that have not fully converged and the existence of a virtuous cycle including low real interest rates fast growth and debt reduction marc flandreau jacques le cacheux and frederic zumer

do taxes matter the impact of the tax reform act of 1986 do taxes matter is the first systematic examination of the actual effects of the tax reform act of 1986 the most important u s income tax reform of the last four decades it presents basic information on and an analysis of a variety of different aspects of economic behavior in order to discover whether the observed changes coincide with the predictions of standard public finance models prior to implementation of the new law supporters and opponents made numerous forecasts about its effect on savings corporate investment and other major determinants of the country s economic health the general finding of these original contributions is that the effects of tax reform turned out to be smaller than had been anticipated commissioned by the office of tax policy research of the university of michigan eight of the studies focus on different sectors of the economy reviewing the predictions and carefully analyzing the evidence to determine actual effects the ninth study draws together the results to find lessons for future changes in tax policy joel slemrod is professor of business economics and public policy and director of the office of tax policy research at the university of michigan contents the economic impact of tax reform act of 1986 joel slemrod investment tax policy and the tax reform act of 1986 alan j auerbach kevin hassett the impact of the 1986 tax reform on personal saving jonathan skinner daniel feenberg effects of the tax reform act of 1986 on corporate financial policy and organizational form roger h gordon jeffrey k mackie mason taxation and housing markets preliminary evidence on the effects of recent tax reforms james m poterba the impact of the tax reform act of 1986 on foreign direct investment to and from the united states joel slemrod the impact of tax reform on charitable giving a 1989 perspective charles t clotfelter the impact of the tax reform act of 1986 on state and local fiscal behavior paul n courant edward m gramlich foreign responses to u s tax reform john whalley lessons for tax reform henry j aaron

the taxman tools up an event history study of the introduction of the personal income tax abstract the introduction of income taxation was a landmark in the historical development of the fiscal state of the now developed world this paper presents an event history study of the adoption of the income tax in 17 countries from western europe north america oceania and japan between 1815 and 1939 we find evidence that spending pressures reductions in tax collection costs and to a lesser extent social learning played a significant role for the adoption decision we also find evidence that the extension of the franchise at first reduced the likelihood of adoption of the income tax but eventually as universal suffrage was approached increased the likelihood

wage determination of registered nurses in proprietary and nonprofit nursing homes this study explores why registered nurses employed in nonprofit nursing homes earn higher wages than those employed in proprietary facilities previous studies have explained this finding in a property rights context where higher wages were posited to result from the weaker incentives for cost minimization accompanying nonprofit status this paper tests an alternative explanation of sectoral wage differences which is predicated on the reason for the coexistence offor profit and nonprofit firms in a given industry informational constraints concerning the quality of care are posited to cause the long term health care market to fail to provide care at the upper levels of a quality of care continuum nonprofits are viewed as a response to this form of market failure acting to fulfill customers demand for higher quality and higher cost long term care with attendant demand for higher quality nurses than in for profit homes both the observed sectoral pattern in selectivity and wage decompositions based on selectivity corrected wage regressions call into question the property right explanation yet are consistent with an asymmetric information explanation

stuck on gold real exchange rate volatility and the rise and fall of the gold standard 1875 1939 abstract did the gold standard diminish macroeconomic volatility supporters thought so critics thought not and theory offers ambiguous messages hard regimes like the gold standard limit monetary shocks by tying policymakers hands but exchange rate inflexibility compromises shock absorption in a world of real disturbances and nominal stickiness a model shows how lack of flexibility affects the transmission of terms of trade shocks evidence from the late nineteenth and early twentieth century exposes a dramatic change the classical gold standard did absorb shocks but the interwar gold standard did not supporting the view that the interwar gold standard was a poor regime choice

capital controls and foreign direct investment abstract this paper examines the effect of three types of capital control policies on fdi a the existence of multiple exchange rates b restrictions on capital account and c restrictions on the repatriation of export proceeds we find that the impact of capital controls on fdi varies by region and has changed over time in the 1970s and 1980s none of the policies had a significant impact on fdi in the 1990s all three were significant furthermore capital controls have no effect on fdi to sub saharan africa and the middle east but affects fdi to east asia and latin america adversely

reversal of fortunes democratic institutions and foreign direct investment inflows to developing countries does increased democracy promote or jeopardize foreign direct investment fdi inflows to less developed countries we argue that democratic institutions have conflicting effects on fdi inflows on the one hand democratic institutions hinder fdi inflows by limiting the oligopolistic or monopolistic behaviors of multinational enterprises facilitating indigenous businesses pursuit of protection from foreign capital and constraining host governments ability to offer generous financial and fiscal incentives to foreign investors on the other hand democratic institutions promote fdi inflows because they tend to ensure more credible property rights protection reducing risks and transaction costs for foreign investors hence the net effect of democracy on fdi inflows is contingent on the relative strength of these two competing forces our argument reconciles conflicting theoretical expectations in the existing literature empirical analyses of fifty three developing countries from 1982 to 1995 substantiate our claims we find that both property rights protection and democracy related property rights protection encourage fdi inflows after controlling for their positive effect through property rights protection democratic institutions reduce fdi inflows these results are robust against alternative model specifications statistical estimators and variable measurements

exchange rate regimes and international trade evidence from the classical gold standard era in this paper we show that the spread of the classical gold standard in the late nineteenth century increased international trade flows this positive effect was compounded whenever a group of countries formed a monetary union applying the gravity model of trade to more than 1 100 country pairs during the 1870 1910 period we find that two countries on gold would trade 60 percent more with each other than with countries on a different monetary standard moreover a monetary union would more than double bilateral trade flows our findings are relevant for current discussions on alternative monetary arrangements for the twenty first century

host country reforms and fdi inflows how much difference do they make summary this study examines the effects of various policies on foreign direct investment fdi flows from the perspective of the eclectic theory of international investment and hence the advantages of foreign ownership host country location and internationalization host country policies can influence fdi flows primarily through their influence on the advantages of location in the host country pooled cross section and time series data for 49 less developed countries ldcs over 1970 95 are used to examine the effects of several different types of policy institutional variables including corporate tax rates tariff rates the degree of openness to international capital flows exchange rate distortions contract enforcement nationalization risk bureaucratic delay and corruption a multivariate analysis of the effects on fdi flows of each type of policy with and without controls for other relevant determinants is conducted two different sources of fdi data are employed as well as two different measures of capital controls although there are methodological problems in estimation and especially collinearity problems and relatively severe availability constraints for some of the relevant measures the results demonstrate the relevance and importance for fdi flows of many of the policy institutional variables under study they also indicate that the results from panel methods yield results that differ rather significantly from those obtained from pure cross section analysis because of complementarity between the various elements of a healthy investment climate the effects of some policy reforms estimated from models which do not control for changes in other policies may overstate the effectiveness of individual policy reforms

do electoral rules matter political institutions and foreign direct investment in latin america despite the growing importance of domestic institutions in the political economy literature few studies explore the effects of disaggregated measures of political institutions specifically electoral rules and systems on foreign direct investment fdi building on institutional accounts this articles tests the effects of electoral rules on fdi inflows for 16 latin american countries from 1978 to 2000 using panel data and controlling for common explanations in the fdi literature the authors find that candidate centered electoral systems increase political access for voters and industries supportive of fdi inflows the results show the benefits of unpacking political institutions to explain fdi inflows paving the way for many new research avenues

working in the for profit versus not for profit sector what difference does it make an inquiry on preferences of voluntary and involuntary movers we investigate the drivers of the for profit not for profit wage differential by comparing judgments of job characteristics of workers who voluntarily or involuntarily moved from the former to the latter sector we define voluntary movers as those who applied for a job in a not for profit organization and when successful resigned from a for profit position while involuntary movers have either been laid off by their company or resigned without already having a job offer in the not for profit sector we observe that a large share of voluntary movers do not end up with higher wages but surprisingly do have higher job satisfaction after the change the vast majority of voluntary movers find significantly higher time flexibility improved relationships with stakeholders and closer conformity to educational skills in their new jobs our findings support the forprofit not for profit compensating differential hypothesis and shed light on mechanisms that are beyond the job donation behavior of intrinsically motivated workers

institutions and inflows of foreign direct investment a fuzzy set analysis this study addresses the essential question of causal complexity and diversity related to the influence of institutions on the direct investments fdi of multinational enterprises using a relatively new methodological approach of fuzzy set analysis and 47 host countries from the period 1999 to 2003 the paper analyses how and why countries with different degrees of membership in different institutional constraints either attract or do not attract fdi the findings show that institutional factors have diverse influences similar institutions may even be associated with different outcomes if different regional categories of countries are examined countries may neither be attractive nor unattractive owing to the presence or absence of a single institutional factor instead the outcome usually results from a combination of institutional conditions moreover there typically are several possible paths to a specific outcome the study confirms some of the propositions of previous theory but most importantly it explains why earlier research has provided conflicting conclusions related to institutional factors the study also offers an approach for future international business research to apply fuzzy set methods and develop mid range theories

tax incentives for business investment a primer for policy makers in developing countries abstract the use of tax incentives is widespread even though the available empirical evidence on the cost effectiveness of such incentives in stimulating investment is highly inconclusive this paper is primarily intended as a primer on the use of tax incentives for policy makers especially those in developing countries it discusses the objectives cost effectiveness and transparency of implementing tax incentives assesses the comparative merits of alternative forms of such incentives and provides a review of the empirical literature its main conclusions are that the justification for the use of tax incentives should be limited to the rectification of market failures and that the preferred form of tax incentives are those that provide for faster recovery of investment costs

an evaluation of the investment environment in international logistics zones a taiwanese manufacturer s perspective abstract with the rapid development of international logistics the role of international logistics zones has become increasingly important this study evaluated the importance of investment environment factors namely political infrastructure cost and market factors for firms intention to invest in international logistics zones a structural equation modeling sem approach was employed to analyze respondents foreign direct investment fdi intention results indicated that market cost and infrastructure factors have a positive effect on firms intention to invest in international logistics zones the influence of political factor on firms investment intention was not supported in this study theoretical and practical implications of the findings for firms foreign direct investment in international logistics zones are discussed

collateral damage trade disruption and the economic impact of war abstract conventional wisdom in economic history suggests that conflict between countries can be enormously disruptive of economic activity especially international trade we study the effects of war on bilateral trade with available data extending back to 1870 using the gravity model we estimate the contemporaneous and lagged effects of wars on the trade of belligerent nations and neutrals controlling for other determinants of trade as well as the possible effects of reverse causality we find large and persistent impacts of wars on trade national income and global economic welfare we also conduct a general equilibrium comparative statics exercise that indicates costs associated with lost trade might be at least as large as the conventionally measured direct costs of war such as lost human capital as illustrated by case studies of world wars i and ii

identifying the effects of an exchange rate depreciation on country risk evidence from a natural experiment a natural experiment is used to study exchange rate depreciation and perceived sovereign risk france suspended coinage of silver in 1876 provoking a significant exogenous depreciation of all silver standard countries versus gold standard currencies like the british pound the currency in which their debt was payable the evidence suggests an exchange rate depreciation can significantly increase sovereign risk if a country is exposed to foreign currency debt we implement a difference in differences estimator and find that the average silver country s spread on hard currency debt increased over ten percent relative to non silver countries

altered states taxes and the location of foreign direct investment in america this paper compares the distribution between u s states of investment from countries that grant foreign tax credits with investment from all other countries the ability to apply foreign tax credits against home country tax liabilities reduces an investor s incentive to avoid high tax foreign locations state corporate tax rate differences of 1 percent are associated with differences of 9 11 percent between the investment shares of foreign tax credit investors and the investment shares of all others suggesting that state taxes significantly influence the pattern of foreign direct investment in the united states copyright 1996 by american economic association

effects of property rights on labor costs of nonprofit firms an application to the day care industry this paper estimates differences in labor costs between nonprofit and for profit firms in the day care industry a theoretical model which draws on the property rights literature as well as recent theo ries of nonprofit labor markets predicts that the magnitude and sign of the nonprofit salary differential will depend on specific characteristics of the samples analyzed empirical results reveal that in th e most competitive segment of the day care industry the nonprofit salary differential is insignificant however in the less competitive government subsidized segment of the industry the nonprofit different ial is significantly positive it ranges from 5 percent to 10 percent copyright 1988 by blackwell publishing ltd

economic effects of currency unions we develop a new instrumental variable iv approach to estimate the effects of different exchange rate regimes on bilateral outcomes the basic idea is that the characteristics of the exchange rate between two countries are partially related to the independent decisions of these countries to peg explicitly or de facto to a third currency notably that of a main anchor this component of the exchange rate regime can be used as an iv in regressions of bilateral outcomes we apply the methodology to study the economic effects of currency unions the likelihood that two countries independently adopt the currency of the same anchor country is used as an instrument for whether they share a common currency we find that sharing a common currency enhances trade increases price comovements and decreases the comovement of real gross domestic product shocks

institutional impact of foreign direct investment in china summary we provide firm level empirical evidence that the presence of foreign direct investment fdi has positively affected the institutional quality of the host regions in china specifically chinese domestic firms located in regions with a higher level of fdi tend to enjoy a lower level of tax and fee burdens less arbitrariness in such burdens as well as better legal protection to address the potential issue of endogeneity we adopt the instrumental variable approach in addition we explore the specific mechanisms through which the institutional impact is materialized and provide various extensions of the empirical findings that offer further support for the fdi induced institutional improvement argument

trade and empire we employ a new database of over 21 000 bilateral trade observations from 1870 1913 to assess the contemporaneous effects of empire on trade our analysis shows that belonging to an empire roughly doubled trade relative to those countries that were not part of an empire the use of a common language the establishment of currency unions the monetisation of recently acquired colonies and the establishment of preferential trade agreements and customs unions help to account for the observed increase in trade associated with empire

a new world order explaining the international diffusion of the gold standard 1870 1913 abstract the gold standard gradually became an international monetary regime after 1870 similarly some nations in the european union are waiting to adopt the euro while others have joined immediately what explains the timing of exchange rate regime adoption to find out the international diffusion of the gold standard is analyzed duration analysis shows that network externalities operating through trade channels the desire to decrease borrowing costs on international capital markets and the level of development matter some evidence shows that the level of exchange rate volatility or inflationist agricultural interests did not matter for the timing of adoption

ex tridenti mercatus sea power and maritime trade in the age of globalization this paper tests an implication of the hypothesis that hegemons provide increased global stability and thus promote international commerce specifically we measure the influence of naval power projections on global trade during the latter 19th and early 20th centuries a time of relative peace and robust commercial activity we use archival data on the navies of britain france the united states and germany capturing longitudinal measures of ship deployment tonnage and ship personnel first we develop an empirical naval arms race model and demonstrate that the navies of britain and france in particular responded rigorously to each other we then use our estimates of naval power projected around the world by britain and france to measure their effects on bilateral trade in a panel data gravity model results indicate that while navies had some positive impact on their own nation s trade other nations trade suffered our results show that rather than bolster globalization the first global arms race damaged commercial interests and lowered trade potential around the world

public and private sector wages of male workers in germany we analyze several statistical assumptions used in empirical models on public private sector wage structures based on data for germany which contain a large range of background variables usually not available in other studies we investigate the sensitivity of results to various specification and identification assumptions the standard switching regression model is extended to allow for endogeneity of education level experience and hours worked these extensions lead to considerably different parameter estimates we compare conditional and unconditional wage differentials between the public and the private sector for the various specifications these differentials are sensitive to identification assumptions but robust across specifications which do and do not allow for endogeneity of education experience and hours worked

productivity wages and intrinsic motivations there is a long standing debate in labour economics on the impact of workers intrinsic motivations on equilibrium wages one direction in economic theory suggests that intrinsically motivated workers are willing to accept lower wages and donate work for example in terms of unpaid overtime the donative labour hypothesis in the other direction intrinsic motivations are expected to increase worker productivity and in turn wages the intrinsic motivation productivity hypothesis using a new database of a sample of workers in the cooperative non profit sector we find that consistently with the motivation productivity hypothesis more motivated workers earn significantly higher wages which signals higher productivity evidence supporting the donative labour hypothesis is weaker even though a generally positive connection between motivations and work donation is confirmed we interpret these findings by arguing that the impact of the donative labour effect is dominated by the intrinsic motivation productivity effect

property rights and wages the case of nursing homes in this paper we develop the implications of the property rights theory of the firm for wage determination and test the model using data from the u s nursing home industry the main theoretical prediction is that any attenuation of property rights will lead to higher wage rates for the firm s employees the empirical evidence indicates that indeed profit maximizing nursing homes do pay the lowest wage rates for given quality labor and that the stronger the cost minimizing incentives provided by medicaid reimbursement programs the lower the wage rate paid by these nursing homes

public and private sector wages in the netherlands there is much debate in the netherlands about underpayment of public sector workers relative to private sector workers in this paper we analyze the wage structures in both sectors using an endogenous switching regression model unlike previous dutch studies we find that the earnings prospects of public sector workers are better in the public sector than in the private sector for private sector workers we find the exact opposite their earnings prospects are better in the private sector moreover the allocation over sectors points to comparative advantages

an institutional approach to cross national distance cross national distance is a key concept in the field of management previous research has conceptualized and measured cross national differences mostly in terms of dyadic cultural distance and has used the euclidean approach to measuring it in contrast our goal is to disaggregate the construct of distance by proposing a set of multidimensional measures including economic financial political administrative cultural demographic knowledge and global connectedness as well as geographic distance we ground our analysis and choice of empirical dimensions on institutional theories of national business governance and innovation systems in order to overcome the methodological limitations of the euclidean approach we calculate dyadic distances using the mahalanobis method which is scale invariant and takes into consideration the variance covariance matrix we empirically analyze four different foreign expansion choices of us companies to illustrate the importance of disaggregating the distance construct and the usefulness of our distance calculations which we make freely available to managers and scholars

foreign direct investment regulations and growth this paper explores the linkage between income growth rates and foreign direct investment fdi inflows so far the evidence is rather mixed as no robust relationship between fdi and income growth has been established the authors argue that countries need a sound business environment in the form of good government regulations to be able to benefit from fdi using a comprehensive data set for regulations they test this hypothesis and find evidence that excessive regulations restrict growth through fdi only in the most regulated economies this result holds true for different specifications of the econometric model including instrumental variable regressions

the power of the buckley and casson thesis the ability to manage institutional idiosyncrasies recent patterns of rapid internationalization in sectors characterized by strong public interest and both government and domestic capital constraints seem at first inconsistent with the drivers of internationalization identified by buckley and casson 1976 for manufacturing industries in the postwar era a more microanalytic perspective however identifies the ability to manage institutional idiosyncrasies as a firm level capability akin to research or advertising that can drive internalization across national borders and thereby internationalization these arguments are examined using evidence from the independent power production sector

compensation in the nonprofit sector we investigate the determinants of pay in the nonprofit sector using data for 25 55 year olds from the 1994 88 current population survey outgoing rotation groups our results are consistent with the hypothesis that compensation is primarily determined in competitive markets without labor donations to nonprofit employers one implication is that nonprofit workers receive virtually the same wages as observationally equivalent employees in similar positions with profit seeking enterprises we cannot rule out the possibility of nonprofit penalties or premiums for selected groups however the differentials are generally small and competition appears to play a dominant role in nonprofit wage setting

the effect of population health on foreign direct investment inflows to low and middle income countries this paper investigates the effect of population health on gross inflows of foreign direct investment fdi we conduct a panel data analysis of 74 industrialized and developing countries over 1980 2000 our main finding is that gross inflows of fdi are strongly and positively influenced by population health in low and middle income countries our estimates suggest that raising life expectancy by one year increases gross fdi inflows by 9 after controlling for other relevant variables these findings are consistent with the view that health is an integral component of human capital for developing countries

international trade and finance complementaries in the united kingdom 1870 1913 and the united states 1920 1930 abstract do international trade and finance flow together in a variety of theoretical models trade and finance can be shown to have the potential to be substitutes or complements so the matter must be resolved empirically we study trade and financial flows from the united kingdom from 1870 to 1913 and the united states in the interwar years these were the two major capital exporters and key financial centers in each era we find that trade and finance were robustly correlated for each case we consider simultaneity issues we also discuss evidence from the british empire which casts doubt on the idea that trade is a punishment device in the event of a default

an analysis of public and private sector wages allowing for endogenous choices of both government and union status a general selection model is estimated in which workers select across four labor markets private nonunion private union public nonunion and public union evidence is found of positive selection bias in the private nonunion sector and of negative selection bias in the public union sector union wage differentials in the public and private sectors as well as public private wage differentials are then calculated two different types of wage differentials are contrasted we discuss when it is appropriate to use each type of differential

nonprofit and proprietary sector behavior wage differentials among lawyers this paper focuses on earnings differentials in the for profit and private nonprofit sectors with specific reference to lawyers an earnings equation for private lawyers is estimated and is used to predict what the nonprofit sector public interest lawyers could earn in the private sector the finding is that the public interest lawyers are paid substantially less that they know this and that the financial sacrifice is permanent next a job choice equation is estimated which suggests that those lawyers who choose public interest work have different preferences from those who choose private law practices the difference may help to account for the willingness of the public interest lawyers to accept lower monetary rewards further research is needed to determine whether the differences found for lawyers in the two sectors are also found in other industries and whether such differences are found only at the level of management or at lower levels the goal is improved understanding of behavioral diff

the global economy as instituted process the case of central and eastern europe i argue that economic globalization indicated by the tremendous rise in world foreign direct investment fdi in recent decades is not driven simply by investor considerations of economic risk and return but is significantly shaped by the construction of demand for foreign capital by receiving states states signal this demand through the levels of formal and substantive legitimacy they grant to fdi they institutionalize globalization in formal rule as a normatively desirable development strategy states substantiate this commitment by providing domestic and foreign actors with ideational and organizational resources to facilitate fdi to illustrate this argument i use the case of central and eastern europe which was largely closed to global capital before the collapse of communism analyses of quantitative and qualitative data show that substantive legitimacy granted to fdi by host states more than formal regulations determined the size of foreign capital flows into postsocialist countries in the

international investment location decisions abstract in international location tournaments governments compete for foreign investment with tax and other short run incentives such tournaments can be won if agglomeration economies are sufficiently powerful to overcome investors desire to spread investments as a hedge against risk we focus on manufacturing investments by u s multinationals in the 1980s our econometric results suggest that agglomeration economies are indeed the dominant influence on investor calculations paradoxically short run incentives have limited apparent impact on location choice we conclude that high cost tournament play is unnecessary for countries with good infrastructure development specialized input suppliers and an expanding domestic market

firm and country level trade offs and contingencies in the evaluation of foreign investment the semiconductor industry 1994 2002 this paper examines the joint impact of firm and country level factors on the international plant location decisions of semiconductor firms from 1994 2002 we find that these factors interact to influence the location decisions of firms investing abroad in a given host country firms with more advanced technological capabilities are more likely to make investments in countries with greater technological sophistication but not in politically hazardous countries where they face greater expropriation hazards firms with less advanced technology are more willing to accept a trade off between country level political hazards and technological sophistication firms also trade off own versus other firm experience as sources of critical knowledge regarding the foreign investment environment

explaining the differential distribution of clean development mechanism projects across host countries the clean development mechanism cdm of the kyoto protocol represents an opportunity to involve all developing countries in the effort to reduce greenhouse gas emissions while also promoting sustainable development to date however the majority of cdm projects have gone to emerging markets such as china india brazil and mexico while very few least developed countries have hosted projects this paper investigates the differential distribution of cdm activities across countries we develop a conceptual model for project profitability which helps to identify potential country level determinants of cdm activity these potential determinants are employed as explanatory variables in regression analysis to explain the actual distribution of projects human capital and greenhouse gas emission levels influenced which countries have hosted projects and the amount of certified emission reductions cer created countries that offered growing markets for cdm co products such as electricity were more likely to be cdm hosts while economies with higher carbon intensity levels had greater cer production these findings work against the least developed countries and help to explain their lack of cdm activity

does post ante investment experience matter lessons from fdi in china ample efforts of fdi literature have researched on the motives and determinants of fdi flows based on ex ante conditions little has been studied with regard to the effects of post ante behaviour in determining future investment decisions post ante experience of fdi decisions with regard to foreign investors satisfaction or dissatisfaction and future profit expectations on recurrent decisions are critical this paper thus attempts to investigate fdi in the context of an emerging market environment with emphasis on how environmental and institutional factors and the micro firm effects of how investors post ante views on profits expectations and investment experience would affect mncs decisions on recurrent investment and firm relocation empirical results show that decisions in the short and long run were affected differently by the factors under study specifically the short run decisions were more affected by profit expectations while the long run by post ante experience on investment satisfaction dissatisfaction and environmental and institutional determinants