trade liberalization wage inequality and endogenously determined nontraded goods abstract we examine the boundary between traded and nontraded goods as a channel for trade to impact factor prices in a two country two factor continuum good model tariffs generate a range of nontraded goods a tariff reduction has a direct effect to expand a country s import set and an indirect effect through terms of trade to expand its export set we show that the export expansion can dominate the import expansion raising the relative demand for the factor intensively used in production the result is useful in explaining observed rising wage inequality in developing countries following trade liberalization

why hasn t tax competition triggered a race to the bottom some quantitative lessons from the eu abstract the integration of european financial markets in the early 1980s created an environment of near perfect capital mobility across countries that had harmonized indirect taxes but maintained large differences in factor taxes the years that followed witnessed several rounds of competition in capital taxes with puzzling results instead of the dreaded race to the bottom in capital taxes the uk lowered its capital tax to a rate closer to those of france germany and italy while capital taxes changed slightly in these countries the uk increased its labor tax marginally but the other countries increased theirs sharply this paper shows that these results are consistent with the quantitative predictions of a dynamic neoclassical general equilibrium model of tax competition that incorporates the key international externalities of tax policy operating via relative prices wealth distribution and fiscal solvency tax competition is modeled as a one shot game over time invariant capital taxes with dynamic payoffs relative to a status quo calibrated to european data the calibration is preceded by an empirical analysis that shows that the relationship linking taxes to labor supply and the investment rate in the model are in line with empirical evidence and that domestic taxes seem to respond to foreign taxes the solutions of the games show that when countries compete over capital taxes adjusting labor taxes to maintain fiscal solvency there is no race to the bottom and the nash equilibrium is close to observed taxes in contrast if consumption taxes adjust to maintain fiscal solvency competition over capital taxes triggers a race to the bottom but this outcome entails large welfare gains surprisingly the gains from coordination are small in all of these experiments

state investment tax incentives a zero sum game abstract over the past four decades state investment tax incentives have proliferated this emergence of state investment tax credits itc and other investment tax incentives raises two important questions 1 are these tax incentives effective in achieving their stated objective to increase investment within the state 2 to the extent these incentives raise investment within the state how much of this increase is due to investment drawn away from other states to begin to answer these questions we construct a detailed panel dataset for 48 states for 20 years the dataset contains series on output and capital their relative prices and establishment counts the effects of tax variables on capital formation and establishments are measured by the jorgensonian user cost of capital that depends in a nonlinear manner on federal and state tax variables cross jurisdictional differences in state investment tax credits and state corporate tax rates entering the user cost combined with a panel that is long in the time dimension are key to identifying the effectiveness of state investment incentives two models are estimated the capital demand model is motivated by the first order condition for a profit maximizing firm and relates at the state level the capital output ratio to the relative user cost of capital the twin counties model exploits both the spatial breaks discontinuities in tax policy at state borders and our panel dataset to relate at the county level the relative user cost to the location of manufacturing establishments using the capital demand model we find that own state capital formation is substantially increased by tax induced reductions in the own state price of capital and more interestingly substantially decreased by tax induced reductions in the price of capital in competitive states similarly using our twin counties model we find that county manufacturing establishment counts around state borders are higher on the side of the border with the lower price of capital but the difference is economically small suggesting that establishments are much less mobile than overall capital extensions of the capital demand model also reveal that state capital tax policy appears to be a zero sum game among the states in that an equiproportionate increase in own state and competitive states user costs tends to have no effect on own state capital formation

nash equilibria in models of fiscal competition abstract this paper analyzes nash equilibria in a simple model of an economy with jurisdictions engaging in fiscal competition small number nash equilibria in which tax rates are the strategic variables are shown not to coincide with nash equilibria in which public expenditure levels are the strategic variables

decentralization and international tax competition abstract this paper models tax competition between two countries that are divided into regions in the first stage of the game the strategy variable for each country is the division of a continuum of public goods between central and regional government provision in the second stage the central and regional governments choose their tax rates on capital a country s decentralization level serves as a strategic tool through its influence on the mix of horizontal and vertical externalities that exists under tax competition in contrast to standard tax competition models decentralizing the provision of public goods may improve welfare

tax competition among u s states racing to the bottom or riding on a seesaw abstract dramatic declines in capital tax rates among u s states and european countries have been linked by many commentators to tax competition an inevitable race to the bottom and underprovision of local public goods this paper analyzes the reaction of capital tax policy in a given u s state to changes in capital tax policy by other states our study is undertaken with a novel panel data set covering the 48 contiguous u s states for the period 1965 to 2006 and is guided by the theory of strategic tax competition the latter suggests that capital tax policy is a function of foreign out of state tax policy preferences for government services and home state and foreign state economic and demographic conditions the slope of the reaction function the equilibrium response of home state to foreign state tax policy is negative contrary to casual evidence and many prior empirical studies of fiscal reaction functions this result which stands in contrast to most published findings is due to two critical elements that allow for delayed responses to foreign tax changes and responses to aggregate shocks omitting either of these elements leads to a misspecified model and a positively sloped reaction function our results suggest that the secular decline in capital tax rates at least among u s states reflects synchronous responses among states to common shocks rather than competitive responses to foreign state tax policy while striking given prior empirical findings these results are fully consistent with the implications of the theoretical model developed in this paper and presented elsewhere in the literature rather than racing to the bottom our findings suggest that states are riding on a seesaw consequently tax competition may lead to an increase in the provision of local public goods and policies aimed at restricting tax competition to stem the tide of declining capital taxation are likely to be ineffective

an empirical analysis of intergovernmental tax interaction the case of business income taxes in canada both federal and provincial governments in canada levy corporate taxes on busi nesses in their jurisdictions which potentially gives rise to horizontal and vertical tax exter nalities within the federation using a simple model of interdependent tax choices we estimate tax setting functions for the federal government ontario quebec and an aggregate of the remaining eight provinces we find evidence of significant vertical and horizontal tax inter actions provincial tax rates respond negatively to the federal tax rate while at least some provinces increase their tax rates in response to increases in the tax rates of other provinces

a theory of interregional tax competition a general equilibrium model is constructed to study tax competition where local governments compete for capital by holding down property tax rates and public expenditure levels an exact definition of tax competition is provided and both the existence and nonexistence of tax competition are shown to be theoretically possible it is argued however that tax competition must occur under empirically reasonable conditions inefficiency in public production is also explicitly modeled the amount of capital used to produce a given level of public service output is shown to be greater than that which is required to minimize costs evaluated at the prices facing private firms

international tax competition and the deficit bias i analyze the dynamic effects of tax competition on public budget deficits i find that stronger tax competition leads to a fiscal deficit bias at the early stages of financial liberalization when countries differ in terms of capital mobility further liberalization leads to external imbalances and diverging fiscal deficits while corporate tax rates converge consistent with theory i find that stronger tax competition increases deficits in a sample of oecd countries controlling for tax revenues and other standard determinants of fiscal deficits jel e62 f62

the impact of the corporate income tax evidence from state organizational form data abstract by taxing the income of corporate firms at a different rate than non corporate firms taxes can play an important role in a firm s choice of organizational form the sensitivity of the organizational form decision to tax rates provides a key indicator of the distortion created by the corporate income tax this paper uses new cross sectional data on organizational form choices across states compiled in the census of retail trade to estimate this sensitivity the results document a significant impact of the relative taxation of corporate to personal income on the share of real economic activity that is done by corporations and that the impact is many times larger than has been found in the previous empirical literature based on time series data the results show little impact however on the actual operations of firms such as their labor intensity wages and the like they do indicate that firms are able to exploit the progressivity of the corporate income tax system by dividing into numerous firms

income taxation and the diversity of consumer goods a political economy approach after tax income inequality has risen since the mid 1990s as increases in market income inequality have not been offset by greater fiscal redistribution we argue that the substantial increase in the diversity of consumer goods has mitigated mounting political pressures for redistribution within a probabilistic voting framework we demonstrate that if the share of diversified goods in the consumption bundle increases sufficiently with income then an increase in goods diversity can reduce the political equilibrium tax rate focusing on oecd countries we find empirical support for both the model s micro political foundations and the implied relation between goods diversity and fiscal policy outcomes

common factors and common breaks in panels an empirical investigation abstract unobserved common factors and common breaks are two important features in empirical studies using large panels recently baltagi feng and kao 2016 2019 extended pesaran s 2006 common correlated effects cce approach by allowing for common breaks and endogenous regressors in large heterogeneous panels in this note we empirically investigate these estimators and compare them with cce and bai s 2009 interactive fixed effects ife estimators in the context of china s provincial infrastructure investment

budget spillovers and fiscal policy interdependence evidence from the states abstract this paper formalizes and tests the notion that states expenditures depend on the spending of similarly situated states we find that even after allowing for fixed state effects year effects and common random shocks among neighbors a state government s level of per capita expenditure is positively and significantly affected by the expenditure levels of its neighbors ceteris paribus a one dollar increase in a state s neighbors expenditures increases its own expenditure by over 70 cents

wagner s hypothesis in time series and cross section perspectives evidence from real data for 115 countries internationally comparable data on income and government expenditure for 115 countries covering the period 1950 80 are used to assess the validity of wagner s hypothesis individual country time series data and several intercountry cross sections are studied besides a tremendous diversity in the position for various countries the results indicate that while there is support for the hypothesis in some time series data sets such support is lacking in most cross section estimates much of the support for the hypothesis reported in many earlier studies therefore was probably due to either use of limited samples or inadequate data comparability across the observations studied copyright 1987 by mit press

horizontal and vertical indirect tax competition theory and some evidence from the usa this paper provides a simple theoretical framework for analysing simultaneous vertical and horizontal competition in excise taxes and estimates equations informed by the theory on a panel of us state and federal excise taxes on cigarettes and gasoline we also examine the role played by smuggling the results are generally consistent with the theory when the characteristics of the markets for the goods are taken into account for neither good do federal excise taxes affect state taxes taxes in neighbouring states have a significant and large effect in the case of cigarettes and a much weaker effect in the case of gasoline we also find that in the setting of cigarette taxes concerns about cross border shopping play a more important role than concerns about smuggling

do local government fiscal spillovers exist evidence from counties municipalities and school districts abstract numerous theories posit that the fiscal decisions of one jurisdiction influence the fiscal decisions of its neighbors the main contribution of this paper is to address empirical difficulties in testing for spillovers using a regression discontinuity design on a newly collected dataset i utilize close elections from this large dataset of local referenda in ohio to isolate the effect of exogenous increases in taxation and spending of one jurisdiction on neighbors fiscal decisions for all jurisdictional types and referenda revenue sources bonds income property and sales tax there is no evidence of spillovers and relatively small effects can be ruled out

democrats republicans and taxes evidence that political parties matter i estimate the influence of political parties on state tax burdens over a forty year period 1960 2000 holding constant a large number of state and voter characteristic variables i find that i tax burdens are higher when democrats control the state legislature compared to when republicans are in control ii the political party of the governor has little effect after controlling for partisan influences in the state legislature i explain how both findings are consistent with median voter theory my results suggest that after five years of democratic control of the legislature state government would be approximately 3 to 5 percent larger than if republicans controlled the legislature during that same period with the better specifications producing estimates in the higher end of this range

commodity tax competition between member states of a federation equilibrium and efficiency we first describe regional market equilibria whereupon consumers of each region allocate their purchases of private goods between domestic and nondomestic ones according to the structure of relative prices taxes and transportation costs next regional optimal tax levels and public good quantities are derived the tax of the other region being held constant fiscal competition arises from the ability of one region in choosing its tax to alter the tax base of the other

fiscal competition and public debt the existing theoretical literature on fiscal competition has to a large extent ignored the role of government debt as a determinant of taxes and productive public spending we develop a simple model of fiscal competition with government borrowing if a default on government debt is no option initial debt levels play no role in fiscal competition this neutrality result is overturned when a default is possible a government that is constrained in its borrowing due to a possible default responds optimally by lowering spending on durable public infrastructure which in turn induces more aggressive tax setting a rise in exogenous firm mobility reinforces the link between legacy debt and fiscal competition our model may help explain the observation that highly indebted countries in europe have decreased corporate tax rates over proportionally our model may also be useful for evaluating decentralization reforms in which the power to tax firms is devolved to lower levels of overnments which differ in their initial debt levels

do countries compete over corporate tax rates this paper tests whether oecd countries compete with each other over corporate taxes in order to attract investment we develop two models with firm mobility countries compete only over the statutory tax rate or the effective average tax rate while with capital mobility countries compete only over the effective marginal tax rate we estimate the parameters of reaction functions using data from 21 countries between 1983 99 we find evidence that countries compete over all three measures but particularly over the statutory tax rate and the effective average tax rate this is consistent with a belief amongst governments that location choices by multinational firms are discrete we also find evidence of concave reaction functions consistent with the model outlined in the paper

pigou tiebout property taxation and the underprovision of local public goods abstract pigou s proposition that the use of distorting taxes rather than neutral head taxes reduces public service levels is examined in this paper a simple model with a national system of competing local governments is utilized to demonstrate that the use of a distorting property tax on mobile capital decreases the level of residential public services the case where public services are an intermediate producer good is also considered

incumbent behavior vote seeking tax setting and yardstick competition this paper develops a model of the political economy of tax setting in a multijurisdictional world where voters choices and incumbent behavior are determined simultaneously voters are assumed to make comparisons between jurisdictions to overcome political agency problems this forces incumbents into a yardstick competition in which they care about what other incumbents are doing we provide a theoretical framework and empirical evidence using u s state data from 1960 to 1988 the results are encouraging to the view that vote seeking and tax setting are tied together through the nexus of yardstick competition

an evaluation of alternative measures of corporate tax rates abstract this paper examines the ability of financial statement measures of average and marginal tax rates mtr to capture tax attributes utilizing firm level tax and financial data the results suggest commonly used average tax rate measures provide little insight about statutory tax burdens and may introduce substantial bias into analyses of tax incidence financial statement based proxies for mtr particularly those based on simulation methods are found to perform well in estimating current year tax rates both current year and present value mtr are found to be highly correlated with an easily constructed binary proxy of firms tax status

manipulation and the allocational role of prices it is commonly believed that prices in secondary financial markets play an important allocational role because they contain information that facilitates the efficient allocation of resources this paper identifies a limitation inherent in this role of prices it shows that the presence of a feedback effect from the financial market to the real value of a firm creates an incentive for an uninformed trader to sell the firm s stock when this happens the informativeness of the stock price decreases and the beneficial allocational role of the financial market weakens the trader profits from this trading strategy partly because his trading distorts the firm s investment we therefore refer to this strategy as manipulation we show that trading without information is profitable only with sell orders driving a wedge between the allocational implications of buyer and seller initiated speculation and providing justification for restrictions on short sales

how much do taxes discourage incorporation the double taxation of corporate income should discourage firms from incorporating we investigate the extent to which the aggregate allocation of assets and taxable income in the united states between corporate and noncorporate firms responds to the size of this tax distortion during the period 1959 1986 in theory profitable firms should shift out of the corporate sector when the tax distortion is large and conversely for firms with tax losses our empirical results provide strong support for these forecasts and imply that the resulting excess burden equals 16 percent of business tax revenue one of the most basic distortions created by the double taxation of corporate income in the united states is the disincentive to incorporate even in most countries with integrated or partially integrated tax systems there are differential taxes across organizational forms however obvious this distortion may be most articles investigating the distortions created by the corporate tax have taken as exogenous a firm s choice whether or not to incorporate assuming for example that some industries are inherently corporate while others are inherently noncorporate a variety of nontax factors described below can certainly influence a firm s choice of organizational form causing some to favor incorporating and others not but are these nontax factors so dominant that taxes do not in practice influence a firm s choice of organizational form as gravelle and kotlikoff 1989 1993 emphasize tax induced changes in firms choices of organizational form in principle can create large excess burdens the size of these excess burdens in practice depends on the extent to which firms respond to these tax incentives in this article we calculate how the tax distortion discouraging firms from incorporating has varied over time then estimate the extent to which the allocation of assets and taxable income between corporate and noncorporate

an unbalanced spatial panel data approach to us state tax competition abstract this paper assesses spatial competition in excise taxation among us states over the time period 1975 1999 we estimate the slope and shifters of the tax reaction curves using spatial panel data methods recently proposed by kapoor et al in press kapoor m kelejian h h prucha i r in press panel data models with spatially correlated error components j econ

jeux sans frontieres tax competition and tax coordination when countries differ in size closer international integration is putting increasing pressure on existing national tax structures this paper uses a simple two country model to address a range of consequent policy concerns focusing particularly on the role of country size differences in size exacerbate the inefficiency from noncooperative behavior harming both countries the smaller country loses from harmonization to any tax rate between those set in the noncooperative equilibrium but both countries gain from the imposition of a minimum tax anywhere in that range the fully optimal response to freer cross border trade however may be to do nothing jel h20 h77