stayers as workers and savers the classic selection effect posits that deferred wages attract stayers the results in this paper suggest an alternative explanation deferred wage contracts attract savers all else constant savers are better workers than nonsavers a firm naturally works harder to retain better workers and thus is led to pay them higher wages thereby encouraging savers to remain in the firm s employ this process creates a confluence of deferred wages high levels of compensation and low quit propensities in this explanation staying is merely the result of a selection process and not the underlying factor that drives selection

pension portability and labor mobility evidence from the survey of income and program participation abstract the evidence presented in this paper casts doubt on the proposition that pension backloading is responsible for the low job mobility rates observed for pension covered workers it corroborates earlier findings by the authors based on different data that pension covered jobs offer higher levels of compensation than workers can obtain elsewhere and it is this compensation premium rather than non portability that accounts for lower turnover among pension covered workers this evidence is further bolstered by the finding that defined contribution plans which are not backloaded and defined benefit plans bear similar negative relations to mobility

a price based approach to generation investment planning in electricity markets a generation planning framework is developed for a competitive energy only electricity market the framework developed combines decentralized merchant investment plans stemming from market signals and technological preferences with centralized resource planning concepts to decide optimal time ordered investment decisions the investment decisions maximize the new entrants net surpluses and minimize the consumer interruption cost accounting for many uncertain variables and technical details the optimal plan given by the main centralized framework represents the system planner s solution derived from the set of decentralized plans an illustrative case study is given in the paper applying the proposed framework to the queensland region of the national electricity market of australia

determinants of energy productivity in 39 countries an empirical investigation abstract this paper uses three types of analysis to investigate the drivers of energy productivity changes occurring in 39 countries during 1995 2009 we find that increases in sectoral energy productivity were the primary driver behind economy wide energy productivity improvements structural economic shifts away from industry and towards service oriented sectors played a lesser role in aggregate energy productivity improvements nations with similar demographic and economic characteristics showed similar levels of energy productivity and rates of improvement most notably former communist countries and nations undergoing economic liberalization exhibited the highest rate of improvement although they are still less energy productive than developed nations moreover the econometric analysis reinforces the long standing hypothesis that higher levels of income per capita and higher energy prices are associated with greater energy productivity while a greater share of output from industry is associated with lower energy productivity levels in particular higher energy prices and income levels are associated with improvements in sectoral energy productivity

coordinated price maker operation of large energy storage units in nodal energy markets in this paper a new optimization framework is proposed to coordinate the operation of large price maker and geographically dispersed energy storage battery systems in a nodal transmission constrained energy market the energy storage units are assumed to be investor owned and independently operated seeking to maximize their total profit various design factors are taken into consideration such as the location size efficiency and charge and discharge rates of the energy storage units as well as the joint impact of the energy storage operations on the locational marginal prices while the formulated optimization problem is originally nonlinear and hard to solve nonlinearities are tackled both in the objective function and in the constraints and the problem is transformed into a tractable mixed integer linear program for which the global optimal solutions are found for the charge and discharge schedules of each energy storage unit both deterministic and stochastic design scenarios are addressed various case studies are presented it is observed that transmission line congestion is often but not always desirable for the coordinated storage systems locational diversity practice of arbitrage robust design self scheduling versus economic bidding and the overall power system performance are also investigated

min max regret bidding strategy for thermal generator considering price uncertainty the electricity price volatility brings challenges to bidding strategies in the electricity markets in this paper we propose a minimax regret approach for a market participant to obtain an optimal bidding strategy and the corresponding self scheduled generation plans motivated by recently proposed robust optimization approaches our approach relies on the confidence intervals of price forecasts rather than point estimators we reformulate the minimax regret model as a mixed integer linear program milp and solve it by the benders decomposition algorithm moreover we design a bidding strategy based on the price forecast confidence intervals to generate the offer curve finally we numerically test the minimax regret approach in comparison with the robust optimization approach on three types of thermal generators by using real electricity price data from pjm to verify the effectiveness of our proposed approach

the illusory effects of saving incentives on saving the authors evaluate research on how tax based saving incentives iras and 401 k s affect saving previous research overstates the impact of the incentives on saving by failing to account for several issues households with saving incentives have stronger tastes for saving than others saving incentives have interacted with debt nonfinancial assets financial markets and pensions and saving incentives represent pretax balances whereas taxable accounts represent posttax balances accounting for these issues essentially eliminates the impact of saving incentives on saving the authors conclude that little if any of the contributions to existing saving incentives have raised saving

risky business the decline of defined benefit pensions and firms shifting of risk since the early 1980s employment in the united states has undergone significant transformation as the large corporations that once safeguarded employees with stable jobs and rewards for loyalty have replaced these employment relationships with ones based on cost containment and flexibility one important consequence of these developments is that firms have abdicated their role as a critical risk bearer in society although evidence suggests that firms have increasingly shifted market risks onto their workforce to date there have been few detailed analyses exploring what factors have driven this phenomenon this study adds to our understanding of why firms have transferred risk to their employees by examining the decline of a highly institutionalized practice wherein large u s firms used to bear retirement risk the defined benefit db pension plan through a detailed analysis i show that variance in the presence power and interests of shareholders and employees at the firm level differentially affect a firm s willingness to shift the risk of retirement onto its workers specifically i demonstrate empirically that different types of shareholders have differential effects on a firm s retirement practices suggesting that the changing equity ownership structure of large u s firms has played a key role in how risk is allocated between workers and firms declines in employee power have also played a role because firm levels of unionization positively affect rates of db participation for both unionized and nonunionized workers

a multiperiod generalized network flow model of the u s integrated energy system part i model description this paper is the first of a two part paper presenting a multiperiod generalized network flow model of the integrated energy system in the united states part i describes the modeling approach used to evaluate the economic efficiencies of the system wide energy flows from the coal and natural gas suppliers to the electric load centers under the proposed problem formulation fuel supply and electricity demand nodes are connected via a transportation network and the model is solved for the most efficient allocation of quantities and corresponding prices the methodology includes physical economic and environmental aspects that characterize the different networks part ii of this paper provides numerical results that demonstrate the application of the model

optimal response of a power generator to energy agc and reserve pool based markets the electric power industry all over the world is undertaking major regulatory and operational changes the understanding of power supply as a public service is being replaced by the notion that competitive markets constitute a more appropriate framework to supply reliable and cheap electric energy to consumers as mandated by ferc orders 888 and 889 this paper considers simultaneously energy agc and reserve markets in a pool framework it provides a tool to enable a power generator to determine optimally its degree of involvement in each one of these markets a real world case study is analyzed and results are presented

evaluation of alternatives for power system coordination and pooling in a competitive environment the paper defines and classifies essential issues that relate the need for electric power system coordination with the increasing development of competition principles are formulated and a coordination model and a market structure are proposed emphasizing the need for economic dispatch in the wholesale market a detailed comparison is made of the market and pooling implementations developed in argentina and chile countries that have pioneered the creation of competitive markets in the electric energy sector an evaluation of strengths and weaknesses of those two implementations is included

fuzzy adaptive particle swarm optimization for bidding strategy in uniform price spot market in a deregulated electricity market generators have to optimally bid to maximize their profit under incomplete information of other competing generators this paper addresses an optimal bidding strategy of a thermal generator in a uniform price spot market considering a precise model of nonlinear operating cost function and minimum up down constraints of unit commitment the bidding behaviors of other competing generators are described using normal probability distribution function bidding strategy of a generator for each trading period in a day ahead market is solved by fuzzy adaptive particle swarm optimization fapso where inertia weight is dynamically adjusted using fuzzy evaluation fapso can dynamically follow the frequently changing market demand and supply in each trading interval the effectiveness of the proposed approach is tested with examples and the results are compared with the solutions obtained using genetic algorithm ga approach and other versions of pso

risk based electricity procurement for large consumers in a competitive electricity market consumers seek strategies to procure their energy needs from different resources pool bilateral contracts and their own generation facilities at minimum cost while controlling the risk in this paper a novel method is proposed to address the electricity procurement problem of large consumers using the concept of information gap decision theory the method can be used as a tool for assessing the risk levels considering whether a large consumer is risk taking or risk averse regarding its midterm procurement strategies in the proposed method procurement decisions are evaluated by means of two criteria the first criterion is the robustness of the decision against experiencing high procurement costs and the second one is the opportunity of taking advantage of low procurement costs the pool price is considered an uncertain variable and it is assumed that the large consumer has an estimate of the prices in this study two models of uncertainty are addressed for the pool price based on the concept of weighted mean squared error using a variance covariance matrix and the expected procurement cost is modeled using a joint normal probability distribution function a case study illustrates the working of the proposed technique

energy research and r d indicators an lmdi decomposition analysis for the iea big 5 in energy research abstract the literature has always shown that there are two important factors in the improvement of a country s research output gross domestic product gdp and r d expenditures taking the discussion a step further and in an effort to provide policy recommendations on what is needed to boost research capacity this paper aims at decomposing the change in energy research papers of five countries australia canada germany uk and us into four factors gdp r d intensity ratio of total r d to gdp energy r d rate of return or productivity number of energy related papers per unit of energy r d expenditure and energy r d priority share of energy r d to total r d expenditure the findings show a general trend in the sign of the four effects on research for all five countries energy r d productivity energy r d priority and gdp are mostly found to be positive contributors while the r d intensity a negative one this pattern has exceptions that are more prominent during periods where economic growth is constrained for example during 2008 09 the results have policy implications not only for these five countries but also for developing countries low gdp that aim at contributing more to the energy related research output globally

do pensions increase the labor supply of older men this paper investigates the relationship between pension coverage and the retirement behavior of older men pensions are associated with higher work involvement for males in their late fifties and early sixties but with lower rates of job holding for those aged 65 69 age of entry into pension employment is shown to be positively correlated with future labor supply when combined with evidence on age specific changes in labor force participation rates this pattern casts doubt on the hypothesis that broadened pension coverage explains a substantial portion of the trend towards earlier male retirement

price taker offering strategy in electricity pay as bid markets the recent increase in the deployment of renewable energy sources may affect the offering strategy of conventional producers mainly in the balancing market the topics of optimal offering strategy and self scheduling of thermal units have been extensively addressed in the literature the feasible operating region of such units can be modeled using a mixed integer linear programming approach and the trading problem as a linear programming problem however the existing models mostly assume a uniform pricing scheme in all market stages while several european balancing markets e g in germany and italy are settled under a pay as bid pricing scheme the existing tools for solving the trading problem in pay as bid electricity markets rely on nonlinear optimization models which combined with the unit commitment constraints result in a mixed integer nonlinear programming problem in contrast we provide a linear formulation for that trading problem then we extend the proposed approach by formulating a two stage stochastic problem for optimal offering in a two settlement electricity market with a pay as bid pricing scheme at the balancing stage the resulting model is mixed integer and linear the proposed model is tested on a realistic case study against a sequential offering approach showing the capability of increasing profits in expectation

quantifying co2 abatement costs in the power sector co2 cap and trade mechanisms and co2 emission taxes are becoming increasingly widespread to assess the impact of a co2 price marginal abatement cost curves maccs are a commonly used tool by policy makers providing a direct graphical link between a co2 price and the expected abatement however such maccs can suffer from issues related to robustness and granularity this paper focuses on the relation between a co2 emission cost and co2 emission reductions in the power sector the authors present a new methodology that improves the understanding of the relation between a co2 cost and co2 abatement the methodology is based on the insight that co2 emissions in the power sector are driven by the composition of the conventional power portfolio the residual load and the generation costs of the conventional units the methodology addresses both the robustness issue and the granularity issue related to maccs the methodology is based on a bottom up approach starting from engineering knowledge of the power sector it offers policy makers a new tool to assess co2 abatement options the methodology is applied to the central western european power system and illustrates possible interaction effects between e g fuel switching and renewables deployment

government employment and the provision of fringe benefits this study uses individual level data from the united states to examine the influence of government employment on the provision of five major fringe benefits four of the five benefits are more likely to be provided to government workers than to their private sector counterparts unlike wage comparisons which typically find substantial overpayment only for federal workers the findings suggest that past wage differentials underestimate the true compensation advantage enjoyed by government workers

application of information gap decision theory to risk constrained self scheduling of gencos in a competitive electricity market a generation company genco optimizes its operation schedules referred to as self scheduling in order to maximize its profit however various sources of uncertainty such as market price fluctuations or forced outage of generating units may impact the genco s profit in this paper a non probabilistic information gap model is proposed to model the uncertainties in short term scheduling of a genco the self scheduling problem is formulated for risk neutral risk averse and risk seeker gencos robustness of the decisions against low market prices are evaluated using a robustness model furthermore windfall higher profit due to unpredicted higher market prices is modeled using an opportunity function the proposed models are applied to a 54 unit thermal genco

technological gap scale economy and china s industrial energy demand abstract the industrial sector in china is energy intensive and accounts for more than 60 of the nation s total energy consumption demand narrating the story behind the growth of china s industrial energy consumption could help us understand the past and prepare for the future this paper aims to investigate the factors affecting china s industrial energy consumption in the 21st century by using an extended production theoretical decomposition approach pda with considering the technological gap and scale of the economy effects the new proposed decomposition framework includes four new factors namely the energy technological gap the output technological gap energy scale efficiency and output scale efficiency the results show that in the 21st century the energy consumption of china s industry increased by more than one billion tons of standard coal the expansion of the industrial economy is a dominant driver of china s industrial energy consumption while potential energy intensity energy technology and output technology are the three largest energy saving factors in addition to the conventional factors the newly proposed factors also have important effects on china s industrial energy consumption specifically output scale efficiency is an energy saving factor while the energy technological gap output technological gap and energy scale efficiency are drivers of energy consumption this suggests that china s industry is at the stage of returns to scale that is beneficial to output performance but harmful to energy performance meanwhile the widening of the industrial technological gaps has negative impacts on china s industrial energy conservation the proposed decomposition approach can provide information that cannot be obtained from traditional approaches and it can also be applied to many other cases for investigating feasible paths of energy saving and emissions reduction

costly employment contract renegotiation and the labor mobility of young men the distinction of quits and permanent layoffs remains a contentious issue in the labor economics literature basically there appear two contrasting views of such turnover while both interpretations of turnover are derived from job matching models that assume wealth maximizing behavior of workers and firms each involves different assumptions about the feasibility of individual labor contract negotiations following hire on the one hand application of the coase theorem to employment contracts implies that turnover will occur only when the value of the worker s product in some alternative employment exceeds current job productivity since the actual division of the job match rent is assumed costlessly renegotiable only the presence of a truly more productive job assignment would prevent the renegotiation of the current rent sharing contract to the mutual benefit of both worker and firm the likelihood of a job change is thus directly related to the level of total match productivity irregardless of whether the worker in response to some later survey question characterizes the separation as a quit or permanent layoff according to this formulation of worker and firm attachments quits and permanent layoffs are at least in any sense relevant to actual resource allocation indistinguishable an implication of this model is of course that mobility enhances productivity see gary becker elisabeth landes and robert michael 1977 counter to this view stand models of job matching that suggest that the presence of transactions costs in the form of costly contract renegotiations preclude any easy application of the coase theorem to employment contracts most forcefully advocated by masanori hashimoto 1981 these models of job matching imply that quits and permanent layoffs are different the difference results from the fact that with costly contract renegotiation mobility is to a large extent determined by the actual rent sharing agreement formulated at the beginning of employment according to this view then the total value of the match does not exclusively determine job change and thus not all mobility is productivity augmenting this paper offers a model of job matching with costly post hire negotiations in some aspects similar to that of hashimoto but with particular relevance to the population of young workers only beginning their labor force participation while hashimoto s discussion concentrates on longer term firmspecific training decisions the current model focuses on the period immediately following hire when worker productivity is to a large extent governed by endowed capabilities rather than determined by learning on the job the theoretical focus on inexperienced workers as well as the corresponding youthful composition of the empirical sample are motivated to control for unobserved factors such as firm specific human capital stocks as much as possible in further contrast to hashimoto s emphasis the model yields empirical implications concerning the role of wages in the determination of mobility that contrast to the implications of an otherwise similar zero negotiations cost model of job matching derivation of the empirical implications concerning the relationship of wages to quits and layoffs represents the primary contribution of this paper finally empirical results are presented that at least for a sample of very young men over a short period of time department of economics university of houston houston tx 77004 i thank finis welch dan mitchell and the referee for comments on an earlier version of this paper

the future natural gas consumption in china based on the lmdi stirpat plsr framework and scenario analysis abstract due to the growing pollution concerns in china there have been major efforts to design interrelated environmental protection policies as the policy of reducing coal consumption is implemented china s natural gas consumption is expected to commensurately rise such a trend may lead to the significant impacts on china s energy security and the global gas market this paper empirically investigates the relationship between the natural gas consumption and influencing factors in a comprehensive lmdi stirpat plsr framework it is found that fossil energy structure and non clean energy structure are the most important factors followed by urbanization per capita gdp industrialization and industrial energy intensity and then these factors from lmdi decomposition are innovatively divided into economic development and cleaning indicators when using scenario analysis to forecast china s natural gas consumption the prediction results suggest that economic development with high clean energy system would make a significant increase in gas consumption a commensurate increase in demand even the system of economic energy under scenario of low economic development and low clean as china would depend on gas imports to meet this demand there may be a serious supply shortage by 2020 therefore the government should consider the future energy security issue in making economic and environmental policies

an improved approach to estimate direct rebound effect by incorporating energy efficiency a revisit of china s industrial energy demand abstract the rebound effect or the response to energy efficiency improvement has drawn considerable attention from economists and policymakers however the magnitude remains quite controversial because of the differences in the definitions and methods being used originating from the definition of direct rebound effect we develop an improved approach incorporating energy efficiency the main advantages of the proposed approach are twofold first it enables us to estimate the demand elasticity of useful energy service with respect to energy service price the estimates are more consistent with the definition of rebound effect and are more effective second it decomposes direct rebound effect into substitution and output channels enabling us to further understand the microeconomic mechanisms applying this method we assess the direct energy rebound effect in china s industrial sectors we find that the direct rebound effect for the industry is 37 0 and the substitution and output channels contribute to 13 1 and 23 9 respectively substantial variations in the magnitudes and mechanisms occur by sector for heavy industry most energy rebound is induced by output expansion because of its sizeable cost decrease from efficiency improvements unlike heavy industry most energy rebound in light industry comes from substituting energy service for other inputs because firms in light industry are more flexible in adjusting production inputs our results provide evidences for the importance of energy efficiency measures and highlight the necessity of differentiated measures according to the sectoral characteristics

risk constrained self scheduling of a thermal power producer this paper addresses the self scheduling problem of a price taker power producer it focuses on risk modeling emphasizing the tradeoff existing between maximum profit and minimum risk the paper analyzes a self scheduling model that considers simultaneously profit and risk this model is formulated as a mixed integer quadratic programming problem which is solved using commercially available software relevant results from a realistic case study are discussed

what are corporate pension liabilities analyses of corporate pension plans often make unstated assumptions about an implicit labor contract an example of the effect of such an assumption is that many mistakenly believe that if a worker s benefits are tied to final salary he is protected against inflation until retirement also the value of a worker s claims is often considered to be independent of the status of the firm s pension fund these implicit contract assumptions are examined and questioned the implications of analyzed pension liabilities in a manner consistent with the analysis of other corporate liabilities are explored

a study of wages and reliability this article studies the role of reliability on the wage rate reliability is defined in the sense of showing up for scheduled work over an extended period just as reliability is an important determinant of product prices a worker s reliability ought to be an important determinant of his or her wage moreover while workers are not conveniently packaged by brand name firms form expectations about reliability across identifiable groups of workers and thus effectively attach brand names to workers based on their observable characteristics a worker s wage depends on his own track record and the reputation for reliability of his identifiable group using robust measures of reliability i find that observed reliability and expected reliability substantially affect the wage rate and that about half of the gender wage gap can be explained by differences in expected reliability between men and women in the workforce

opportunistic behavior by firms in implicit pension contracts several studies have established that under the most common form of pension coverage benefits accrue disproportionately near the end of a worker s career such backloading establishes a penalty for early quitting but may also create an incentive for opportunistic firm behavior because benefits generally are a function of highest earnings when nominal earnings are expected to rise an employer can reduce pension liabilities by discharging workers prior to retirement this paper uses the national longitudinal survey of mature men to test whether such actions by employers are systematic we estimate that pension covered workers with mean losses are less likely to be discharged unexpected increases in pension losses due to increases in inflation however raise the risk of discharge we find no evidence that the minimum vesting standards of the employees retirement income security act reduces the likelihood of discharge for older workers who previously were not vested these results are consistent with an implicit pension contract under which employer compliance is enforced by reputation

how to boost energy productivity in china s industrial sector an integrated decomposition framework based on multi dimensional factors abstract the industrial sector is a pillar for china s economy improving the energy productivity is of great significance to mitigate the discrepancy between energy use and energy supply as well as the economic development and environmental friendliness this paper extended the previous decomposition method by introducing six new components energy output oriented regional efficiency energy output oriented scale economy energy output oriented pure technical efficiency these new factors can uncover the impacts of regional balance development scale economy optimization and resource allocation efficiency change on energy productivity the main research results indicate that during the 2000 2016 period 1 industrial energy productivity yield progressively increased and the discrepancies of energy productivity in different regions were obvious eastern region represented the best energy productivity performance followed by the central and western regions 2 technological progress in both energy saving and production were two principal contributors to energy productivity growth overall the pure technical efficiency also promoted energy productivity suggesting that resource allocation efficiencies were performed well in both the energy market and the output market 3 by contrast both the energy and output oriented scale economy effect failed to promote energy productivity growth besides the energy oriented and output oriented regional efficiency had opposite impacts on energy productivity the former one had the inhibiting effects while the last one had the promoting effects finally several relevant suggestions for policymakers were provided

gender differences in pensions the causes of gender differences in pensions are examined for retirees and employees using the 1982 newly entitled beneficiary survey and the 1979 and 1988 may current population surveys for both retirees and the employed population much of the gender gap in coverage is accounted for by gender differences in labor market characteristics while children and marriage have a negative effect on female coverage among retirees even after controlling for labor market characteristics the negative effect is not observed among more recent groups of female employees finally recent convergence of male and female labor market characteristics contributed to a decline in the coverage gap during the 1980s

the role of pensions in the labor market a survey of the literature because employer sponsored group pension plans entail agreements between workers and their employers explicitly linking future payment and employment they offer an unusual window into long term employment relationships this review of recent research on pensions explores how pensions influence employee compensation retirement turnover and other matters central to the determination of labor s price and quantity over time the authors also outline some unanswered questions and difficult to reconcile findings because the pension promise involves an explicit and relatively well documented set of statements regarding future contingent payment and employment an examination of the design and operation of employersponsored group pension plans can yield important insights into the long term employment relationship specifically pension research illuminates some important labor market questions in two ways it offers insight into an important element of compensation in its own right and it furthers our understanding of labor markets in which long term

fringe benefits and labor mobility interindustry factor mobility is a crucial determinant of the income distribution effects of exogenous changes in relative commodity prices this examination of interindustry variation in wages and profits using data from manufacturing industries from

weekly self scheduling forward contracting and pool involvement for an electricity producer an adaptive robust optimization approach abstract this paper addresses the optimization under uncertainty of the self scheduling forward contracting and pool involvement of an electricity producer operating a mixed power generation station which combines thermal hydro and wind sources and uses a two stage adaptive robust optimization approach in this problem the wind power production and the electricity pool price are considered to be uncertain and are described by uncertainty convex sets to solve this problem two variants of a constraint generation algorithm are proposed and their application and characteristics discussed both algorithms are used to solve two case studies based on two producers each operating equivalent generation units differing only in the thermal units characteristics their market strategies are investigated for three different scenarios corresponding to as many instances of electricity price forecasts the effect of the producers approach whether conservative or more risk prone is also investigated by solving each instance for multiple values of the so called budget parameter it was possible to conclude that this parameter influences markedly the producers strategy in terms of scheduling profit forward contracting and pool involvement these findings are presented and analyzed in detail and an attempted rationale is proposed to explain the less intuitive outcomes regarding the computational results these show that for some instances the two variants of the algorithms have a similar performance while for a particular subset of them one variant has a clear superiority

network constrained multiperiod auction for pool based electricity markets of hydrothermal systems network constrained market clearing procedures in pool based electricity markets of hydropower systems have traditionally neglected the constraints associated with physical and operating aspects of hydroelectric generation hydraulic constraints such constraints are generally taken into account by means of expost procedures which may lead to suboptimal results regarding social welfare function this paper proposes a network constrained auction model for hydrothermal systems that represents the hydraulic constraints in detail the objectives of the paper are twofold the analysis of the impact of hydraulic constraints on market clearing prices and on generation consumption scheduling and the analysis of the influence of strategic offering of hydro plants in the operation of a hydraulic cascade as some of the hydraulic constraints are nonlinear and intertemporal linearization techniques are applied resulting in a mixed integer linear programming problem

arima models to predict next day electricity prices price forecasting is becoming increasingly relevant to producers and consumers in the new competitive electric power markets both for spot markets and long term contracts price forecasts are necessary to develop bidding strategies or negotiation skills in order to maximize benefit this paper provides a method to predict next day electricity prices based on the arima methodology arima techniques are used to analyze time series and in the past have been mainly used for load forecasting due to their accuracy and mathematical soundness a detailed explanation of the aforementioned arima models and results from mainland spain and californian markets are presented

day ahead financial loss gain modeling and prediction for a generation company in an electricity market the main goal of a generation company genco is to maximize its profit while encountering the uncertainty of the electricity price forecast different risk measures have been proposed to cope with this source of uncertainty however those are usually before the fact performance indices and cannot give a measure for the financial loss gain flg of a genco considering the electricity prices actually realized in the market this paper focuses on this matter the time series of flg is first constructed given the real conditions of the electricity market then the flg time series is quantized using silhouette criterion and k means clustering approach subsequently based on the historical values of the quantized flg time series and relevant exogenous variables its day ahead values are predicted the method proposed for day ahead flg prediction consist of conditional mutual information and sequential forward search as the feature selection technique and extreme learning machine as the forecasting engine the effectiveness of the whole proposed approach including the flg time series construction quantization approach and the prediction method is shown for a typical genco using the real data of the pjm and ontario electricity markets

pensions and wage premia i introduction despite the widespread acceptance of the theory of compensating differences empirical efforts to estimate the magnitude of these differences have met with only mixed success 1 with the exception of fatal risks economists have not been able to consistently find a significant relationship between wages and other job characteristics the failure to find consistent evidence on compensating differentials has been attributed to either poor measures of non wage characteristics or inadequate controls for worker productivity 2 studies by gunderson hyatt and pesando 1992 montgomery shaw and benedict 1992 and moore 1987 which have been able to explicitly address these issues have had greater success in finding significant compensating differentials in this paper we focus on an alternative explanation for the variation in estimated compensating differentials that the magnitude of the compensating differential varies systematically across different sectors in the labor market the theory of compensating differentials predicts that the implicit price or cost of providing a job attribute such as pensions will be a function of firm or industry technological differences and that the value attached to that attribute will also vary across workers depending on their tastes if workers and firms are not randomly assigned to sectors this will lead to systematic variations in the size of the estimated compensating differential across sectors or markets the result of this variation is that studies using different subsamples of the labor force will yield very different estimates of the size of the compensating differential the few studies that have addressed sources of heterogeneity in compensating differentials have concentrated on testing for individual differences in tastes for risk 3 in contrast our emphasis is on firm side differences in technologies or market power we estimate the compensating differential between annual pension accruals and wage rates and let this tradeoff vary by firm size and union status with corrections for selectivity bias the implicit cost of pensions and hence the size of the compensating differential may vary by finn size or union status for a number of reasons greater ability to spread fixed administrative costs across a large work force more difficulty monitoring worker effort or the presence of market power thus the cost of fringe benefits to the firm may be lower in large or unionized firms than in small nonunion firms we find empirical evidence supporting this view the estimated wage pension compensating differentials are smaller in unionized and large firms than in small nonunion firms the results from this paper are significant for several reasons 1 they provide evidence that compensating differentials vary across markets this evidence could account for some of the differences in estimates of tradeoffs across studies that have used different nonrandom samples 4 more importantly these sectoral differences serve as a reminder that the labor market is in fact a multitude of markets and that technological differences that vary across markets should be considered when addressing issues ranging from estimating the returns to human capital investment to the impact of the minimum wage 5 2 these results also deepen our knowledge of the relationship between pensions and wages a relationship that has important implications for the shape of workers wage earnings profiles or for the mechanisms for motivating workers and for the returns to human capital and for the distribution of income regarding the latter pensions are a large component of compensation and work by even and macpherson 1990 mccarthy and turner 1983 and moore 1987 suggests that coverage rates and returns are smaller for women and blacks our analysis suggests that an element of the differences could be sectoral choices

pensions and household wealth accumulation abstract economists have long suggested that higher private pension benefits crowd out other sources of household wealth accumulation we exploit detailed information on pensions and lifetime earnings for older workers in the 1992 wave of the health and retirement study and employ an instrumental variable iv identification strategy to estimate crowd out the iv estimates suggest statistically significant crowd out each dollar of pension wealth is associated with a 53 67 cent decline in nonpension wealth with less precision we use an instrumental variable quantile regression estimator and find that most of the effect is concentrated in the upper quantiles of the wealth distribution

economic consequences of a capacity market implementation the case of poland abstract this paper investigates the potential economic consequences of setting up a capacity market in poland a computable model of the polish power generation system is developed and employed to analyse the impact of this mechanism two scenarios are designed for this study i a reference scenario that reflects the energy only market and ii a capacity market scenario that assumes the implementation of such an instrument to assess the economic consequences the following parameters are estimated i annual electricity prices ii loss of load hours iii expected energy not served and only for the capacity market scenario iv market clearing price v total budget of the capacity market and vi increase in electricity price due to the introduction of the capacity market the findings of the study indicate that the long term maintenance of the energy only market results in higher electricity prices when compared to putting a capacity market into operation introducing a capacity market enables existing resources to be used effectively without excessive capital expenditure the methods and conclusions presented in this paper provide valuable findings and policy insights regarding the potential economic consequences of a capacity mechanism in a power system mostly dominated by coal and undergoing an energy transition

the labor contract and true economic pension liabilities most pension covered workers in the united states are covered solely or primarily by defined benefit plans in these plans workers are typically promised a pension that is proportional to their years of service in the firm and their final wage depending upon how workers pay for it the existence of a pension in the labor contract may play either an important role or no role at all in the worker firm relationship this paper addresses the issue how workers pay for the cumulating pension benefit over their tenure cycle in the firm and derives several economic implications for the worker firm contract while the theory itself has ambiguous implications the data confirm the longstanding presumption that pensions offer strong incentives for the worker to complete the normal tenure cycle in the firm not to quit early but if this intuitive notion is accepted it is shown that a perhaps less intuitive notion is also true firms make workers longterm bondholders in the firm the same flow of worker pension savings that tie workers to the firm are not accounted for in the pension trust fund pension plans are significantly underfunded in a true economic sense this is a peculiar characteristic of the labor contract which raises several unanswered questions the paper also shows that the nature of the pension contract can play an important role in determining the wage service profile and the capitalized value of the firm recent contributions to the literature pose an interesting and unconventional view of pensions one which leads to the conclusion that pensions play a relatively minor role in the worker firm contract the argument has been implicitly made by burt barnow and ronald ehrenberg 1979 and william sharpe 1976 but has recently been stated more directly by jeremy bulow 1982 2 in essence their views rest on a legal interpretation of pension liabilities namely since the firm can legally terminate its pension plan anytime the firm s pension liabilities cannot exceed the present value of the nominal pension promises it would owe workers if the firm terminated the plan immediately if workers believe the firm will exercise its legal right it is intuitively apparent and easy to show that workers will deposit only that amount of compensation into the pension plan that they expect to receive upon immediate termination using this interpretation of pension plan liabilities pensions have no influence on whether the worker leaves or remains in the firm moreover it will be shown that if the pension contract is written in nominal terms reflecting the legal view workers are not bondholders in the firm pension plans are excessively overfunded an alternative view is that the pension plan is an implicit contract between the worker and the firm see for example jack treynor 1977 an implicit contract theory implies that workers anticipating careers with a firm will consider the package of wage and pension benefits they expect to collect over their life cycle it is shown that these expectations lead quite directly to several implications that the pension contract is written in real terms that firms intend to meet their pension promises and that the firm will re u s department of labor s 4521 washington d c 20210 the views expressed in this paper are my own and do not necessarily represent the views of the department of labor the paper has substantially benefited from the comments of pauline ippolito and discussions with jeremy bulow i am also indebted to robert clark gary fields alan gustman olivia mitchell james pesando john turner michael ward and participants at the labor relations workshop at cornell university and the law and economics workshop at the university of chicago for comments see my 1985a book 2 the argument is also implicit in other related papers see for example martin feldstein and randall morck 1982

insuring unit failures in electricity markets an electric energy producer participates in futures markets in the hope of hedging the risk of trading in the pool however this producer is required to supply the energy associated with all its signed forward contracts even if some of its units are forced out due to unexpected failures in this case the producer must purchase some of the energy needed to meet its futures market commitments in the pool which may result in high losses if the pool prices happen to be higher than the forward contract prices to mitigate these losses the producer can take out insurance against the forced outages of its units using a stochastic programming model this paper analyzes the convenience of signing an insurance against unit failure by an electric energy producer and its impact on forward contracting decisions results from a realistic case study are provided and analyzed

employment tenure and earnings profiles in japan and the united states comments the relationship between job tenure and annual earnings in japan has received considerable attention from social scientists examining employment contracts and the japanese compensation system in their widely cited article masanori hashimoto and john raisian 1985 using data for 1980 showed that japanese men have greater job tenure than comparable workers in the united states and that the earnings of japanese men rise more rapidly with increased tenure they found that an additional year of tenure increases earnings in both small and large firms in japan more than does an additional year of general market experience their results for the united states indicate that general market experience increases earnings more than an additional year of job tenure the 1970 s and 1980 s were a period of substantial change in japanese labor markets due to the rapid aging of the population and the restructuring of the economy following the oil crisis the present analysis extends the work of hashimoto and raisian by estimating earnings equations for japanese men for the years 1971 1976 1981 and 1986 specifically we wish to investigate whether hashimoto and raisian s findings have been stable over time or whether changes in the labor market have altered the importance of tenure relative to total labor market experience in the japanese labor market i changes in the labor market

optimal self scheduling of thermal units during commissioning this paper addresses the problem of the self scheduling of thermal generating units during commissioning a 0 1 mixed integer linear formulation is presented which allows an accurate and realistic modeling for the scheduling of the commissioning tests that should be performed once the construction of the thermal unit has been completed and prior to entering its commercial operation a flexible contract between the producer and the contractor regarding the performing period of the commissioning tests is proposed the model presented can be used by a producer with thermal units in commissioning who acts either as a price taker or a price maker in the day ahead energy market test results on a medium scale real test system address the effect that the implementation of the proposed model has on the producer profits as well as on the day ahead market clearing prices

priced based operation in an auction market structure open transmission access is a new legal requirement within the electric power industry interchange will require evaluation of the existing conditions to determine if the product can be delivered at the time required and at the level awarded through the bidding or negotiation process this paper seeks to identify the likely deregulation details for a full market implementation when native load is considered equal to any other third party load comparability this paper seeks to identify the technical issues such as standards and algorithms necessary for changing the national infrastructure from a vertically integrated industry to a horizontally integrated industry

the effects of employer provided health insurance on worker mobility the authors use data from the 1984 survey of income and program participation sipp to investigate whether employer provided health insurance reduced worker mobility a phenomenon termed job lock the sipp provides information on variables particularly pension receipt job tenure and spouse job change that were omitted from previous studies and are the authors argue key to the estimation of welldefined mobility models for dual earner married men and women the authors estimate a model that accounts for the interaction between husbands and wives job change decisions for both married and single individuals the results provide fairly strong evidence ofjob lock among women but only weak indications of job lock among men the authors speculate that this finding reflects higher health care use by women than by men

the importance of lifetime jobs in the u s economy though the u s labor market is justly notorious for high turnover and consequent high unemployment it also provides stable near lifetime employment to an important fraction of the labor force this paper investigates patterns of job duration by age race and sex with the following major conclusions 1 the typical worker today is holding a job which has lasted or will last about eight years over a quarter of all workers are holding jobs which will last twenty years or more sixty percent hold jobs which will last five years or more 2 the jobs held by middle aged workers with more than ten years of tenure are extremely stable over the span of a decade only twenty to thirty percent come to an end 3 among workers aged thirty and above about forty percent are currently working in jobs which eventually will last twenty years or more three quarters are in jobs which will last five years or more 4 the duration of employment among blacks is just as long as among whites even though the jobs held by blacks are worse in almost every other dimension they are no more unstable than those held by whites 5 women s jobs are substantially shorter than men s on the average only about a quarter of all women over the age of thirty are employed in jobs which will last over twenty years whereas over half of men over thirty are holding these near lifetime jobs this abstract was borrowed from another version of this item

the implementation of an energy brokerage system using linear programming the authors focus on the economics involved in energy transfers the function of an energy brokerage system is to establish interchange schedules between participating utilities in such a manner as to maximize the resulting savings a brokerage system that uses linear programming lp is presented to maximize the savings or profits to each utility subject to import and export constraints the cost quotations can also be determined using an lp formulation two examples to illustrate this formulation are given

economic valuation of reserves in power systems with high penetration of wind power this paper proposes a methodology to determine the required level of spinning and nonspinning reserves in a power system with a high penetration of wind power the computation of the required reserve levels and their costs is achieved through a stochastic programming market clearing model spanning a daily time horizon this model considers the network constraints and takes into account the cost of both the load shedding and the wind spillage the methodology proposed is illustrated using an example and a realistic case study some conclusions are finally drawn

the impact of pension benefits on the distribution of earned income using standard measures of income inequality and detailed pension benefit information on participants in the 1983 survey of consumer finances scf the authors investigate how pension benefits affected the distribution of earned income the results suggest that private pensions increased annual income inequality relative to inequality observed in the distribution of wage income by only about 2 among all employed individuals but by 21 among unionized workers further analysis indicates that private pensions raised annual income inequality primarily by increasing the rate of return to tenure possibly through pension backloading setting accruals to grow when earnings rise near retirement and the increasing incidence of pensions with age private pensions had little effect on estimates of the distribution of expected lifetime income but the addition to the analysis of social security benefits public pensions strongly reduced inequality in that distribution a renewed interest in the distribution of income has developed recently as new evidence suggests that income inequality has worsened over the past twenty years researchers suggest several reasons for rising inequality including an increase in the incomes of well educated men relative to other groups for example juhn murphy and pierce 1993 demographic changes resulting from the entrance of the baby boom generation into the work force lawrence 1982 and a sectoral shift away from manufacturing and toward the ser

employer size and labor turnover the role of pensions the well documented lower labor turnover in large firms than in smaller firms has been cited as evidence that large firms pay workers above their opportunity wage this study investigates whether t

simulating oligopolistic pool based electricity markets a multiperiod approach this paper simulates a pool based electricity market and identifies equilibrium patterns a multiperiod framework that requires the use of continuous and binary variables is considered producers can be either price takers or price makers although price makers and their behavior characterize the market the elasticity of the loads is modeled through piecewise constant price demand curves the market operator uses a detailed network constrained market clearing auction that results in hourly market clearing prices the behavior of the market participants and the market itself are characterized through a repetitive simulation procedure the tool presented in this paper is particularly useful for the market regulator that may use it to monitor the market and to identify the exercise of market power by producers results from a realistic case study are presented and discussed

why are there large differences in performances when the same carbon emission reductions are achieved in different countries great interest has been in unilateral climate policies given present difficulty of establishing stable global coordinated agreements in this paper we investigate underlining factors explaining large differences in performances when the same carbon emission reductions are achieved in different abating countries to this end we develop a new multi country general equilibrium model incorporating six countries or world regions two goods six production inputs capital mobility energy mobility and international trade meanwhile we adopt two performance indicators with carbon leakage representing environmental efficiency and carbon emission abatement costs revealing cost effectiveness our findings are as follows firstly there are large differences in performances among these unilateral climate policies as evidenced by large differences in leakage rates and carbon emission abatement costs secondly the new global climate treaties to replace the kyoto protocol should be able to induce more carbon emission reductions in countries with low carbon emission reduction costs since such setting contributes to global cost savings finally developed countries have high carbon emission abatement costs compared with large developing countries china and india in this paper implying that there should be trade off mechanisms between efficiency and equity regarding how to allocate carbon emission reductions among countries

forecasting next day electricity prices by time series models in the framework of competitive electricity markets power producers and consumers need accurate price forecasting tools price forecasts embody crucial information for producers and consumers when planning bidding strategies in order to maximize their benefits and utilities respectively this paper provides two highly accurate yet efficient price forecasting tools based on time series analysis dynamic regression and transfer function models these techniques are explained and checked against each other results and discussions from real world case studies based on the electricity markets of mainland spain and california are presented

pensions and indenture premia the implicit pension contract has provided a theoretical basis for the observed relation between pensions less quitting and earlier retirement but it also has encountered difficulty explaining why wages seem too high in pension firms this anomaly has been taken by some to imply that efficiency wages not pension capital losses explain why quitting is abnormally low in defined benefit pensions in this paper i pursue an alternative explanation that the implicit contract model is oversimplified because it ignores supply conditions facing long tenure firms i show that once an allowance is made for compensation required by workers for entering long term labor contracts numerous anomalous empirical observations in the pension market are explicable

multi area unit scheduling and reserve allocation under wind power uncertainty this paper proposes a decentralized methodology to optimally schedule generating units while simultaneously determining the geographical allocation of the required reserve we consider an interconnected multi area power system with cross border trading in the presence of wind power uncertainty the multi area market clearing model is represented as a two stage stochastic programming model the proposed decentralized procedure relies on an augmented lagrangian algorithm that requires no central operator intervention but just moderate interchanges of information among neighboring regions the methodology proposed is illustrated using an example and a realistic case study

price taker bidding strategy under price uncertainty this paper provides a framework to obtain the optimal bidding strategy of a price taker producer an appropriate forecasting tool is used to estimate the probability density functions of next day hourly market clearing prices this probabilistic information is used to formulate a self scheduling profit maximization problem that is solved taking advantage of its particular structure the solution of this problem allows deriving a simple yet informed bidding rule results from a realistic case study are discussed in detail

factor substitution and energy productivity fluctuation in china a parametric decomposition analysis abstract technical research on energy productivity can support government officials as they evaluate practical energy policies for the future this study proposed a parametric method to decompose china s energy productivity rate of change into six factors based on a theoretical stochastic frontier analysis the method was applied to conduct an empirical study using inter provincial panel data in china from 1995 to 2012 the results highlighted three key points first the general rate of change in energy productivity was mainly influenced by a steady positive rate of change in technical progress combined with a steady negative rate of change in technical efficiency the core factors causing fluctuations in energy productivity included a positive rate of change in the substitution of capital and energy and a negative rate of change in the substitution of labor and energy second from a geographic perspective provinces with a high rate of change in technical progress experienced a weaker deterioration in technical efficiency however the rate of change in technical efficiency tends to decline as the rate of change in technical progress increases third there is a similar changing trend between the substitution of capital and energy and the substitution of labor and energy

fuzzy self scheduling for gencos this letter presents a comprehensive fuzzy approach for maximizing a genco s profit in a competitive electricity market considering uncertainties the market uncertainties considered are the demand spinning and nonspinning reserves market prices and probability that reserves are called and generated the proposed technique produces an optimal profit fuzzy function that reflects the market uncertainties and helps for hedging risks

a simulation model for a competitive generation market the simulation of a wholesale electricity market should go beyond a simple optimization based on the operating costs of the generating units a model of a competitive electricity market must consider the market structure the strategy of the market participants and any other factor that lead to prices different from costs this paper presents cosmee a model of a wholesale electricity market based on simple bids that estimates expected bid prices and quantities system hourly prices and generation schedules taking into account the bidding strategies of generators and the structure of the market the model reflects the profit maximizing behavior of the market agents subject to different types of constraints cosmee has been used to simulate a real wholesale market

price maker self scheduling in a pool based electricity market a mixed integer lp approach this paper addresses the self scheduling problem faced by a price maker to achieve maximum profit in a pool based electricity market an exact and computationally efficient mixed integer linear programming milp formulation of this problem is presented this formulation models precisely the price maker capability of altering market clearing prices to its own benefits through price quota curves no assumptions are made on the characteristics of the pool and its agents a realistic case study is presented and the results obtained are analyzed in detail

pensions bonding and lifetime jobs a well known if underappreciated finding in the mobility literature is that turnover is much lower in jobs covered by pensions than in other jobs this could result from capital losses for job changes created by most benefit formulas the tendency of turnover prone individuals to avoid jobs covered by pensions or higher overall compensation levels in such jobs a switching bivariate probit model of pension coverage and turnover is developed to estimate the effect of each of these factors the results show that capital losses are the main factor responsible for lower turnover in jobs covered by pensions but self selection and compensation levels also play an important role this is the first direct evidence that bonding is important for understanding long term employment relationships

environmentally sensitive productivity analysis of the canadian pulp and paper industry 1959 1994 an input distance function approach abstract this study employs a parametric input distance function that incorporates both desirable and undesirable outputs to provide a more complete representation of the production technology from which environmentally sensitive productivity and efficiency measures can be generated this framework also generates pollution abatement cost estimates that are useful for policy making an input based malmquist index of productivity growth that appropriately credits the producer not only for increases in marketable or desirable outputs but also for the production of improved environmental quality through pollution abatement activities is derived from the input distance function the method was applied to time series data from the canadian pulp and paper industry our shadow price estimates indicate that the marginal cost to producers of pollution control has been rising the main conclusion of this study is that productivity improvement from the social viewpoint has been stronger than conventional measures would suggest

risk constrained bidding and offering strategy for a merchant compressed air energy storage plant electricity price forecasts are imperfect therefore a merchant energy storage facility requires a bidding and offering strategy for purchasing and selling the electricity to manage the risk associated with price forecast errors this paper proposes an information gap decision theory igdt based risk constrained bidding offering strategy for a merchant compressed air energy storage caes plant that participates in the day ahead energy markets considering price forecasting errors price uncertainty is modeled using igdt the igdt based self scheduling formulation is then used to construct separate hourly bidding and offering curves the theoretical approach to develop the proposed strategy is presented and validated using numerical simulations

optimal self scheduling of a thermal producer in short term electricity markets by milp this paper addresses the problem of the self scheduling of a thermal electricity producer in day ahead energy and reserves markets a 0 1 mixed integer linear formulation of the producer self scheduling problem is provided which allows a realistic and accurate modeling of the unit s operating phases a novel unit start up modeling is presented in which three different start up types are modeled hot warm and cold each with distinct start up cost synchronization time soak time and predefined start up power output trajectories all dependent on the unit s prior reservation time test results address the effect of the energy and reserves market clearing prices on the producer units day ahead commitment status and profits

a discrete model for optimal operation of fossil fuel generators of electricity abstract this paper presents a new discrete approach to the price based dynamic economic dispatch pbded problem of fossil fuel generators of electricity the objective is to find a sequence of generator temperatures that maximizes profit over a fixed length time horizon the generic optimization model presented in this paper can be applied to automatic operation of fossil fuel generators or to prepare market bids and it works with various price forecasts the model s practical applications are demonstrated by the results of simulation experiments involving 2009 nyiso electricity market data branch and bound and tabu search optimization techniques

multiperiod auction for a pool based electricity market this paper presents a market clearing tool for the market operator of a pool based electricity market for energy this tool is transparent and fair for the market participants and simple to implement and to interpret it preserves the privacy of the corporate information of the participants and provides the right signals to achieve economic efficiency furthermore it recognizes and properly models the technical physical and inter temporal constraints of the participant thermal power generators from a mathematical point of view the proposed tool results in a mixed integer linear programming problem that can be efficiently solved using currently available branch and cut software to illustrate the adequate functioning of the proposed market clearing procedure different realistic case studies are analyzed in detail

risk constrained bidding strategy with stochastic unit commitment this paper develops optimal bidding strategies based on hourly unit commitment in a generation company genco that participates in energy and ancillary services markets the price based unit commitment problem with uncertain market prices is modeled as a stochastic mixed integer linear program the market price uncertainty is modeled using the scenario approach monte carlo simulation is applied to generate scenarios scenario reduction techniques are applied to reduce the size of the stochastic price based unit commitment problem and postprocessing is applied based on marginal cost of committed units to refine bidding curves the financial risk associated with market price uncertainty is modeled using expected downside risk which is incorporated explicitly as a constraint in the problem accordingly the proposed method provides a closed loop solution to devising specific strategies for risk based bidding in a genco illustrative examples show the impact of market price uncertainty on genco s hourly commitment schedule and discuss the way gencos could decrease financial risks by managing expected payoffs

strategic bidding in an energy brokerage this focus of this paper is to present a framework in which strategies may developed for the individual participants in an energy brokerage such a framework is expected to be important with the increasing interest in electricity market structures such as the energy brokerage that deregulation has produced to illustrate the process of strategic bidding a simple suboptimal bidding strategy is presented with the aid of a numerical example the bidding strategy must be suboptimal because of the amount of unknown information about the other bidders further tuning of this strategy will be required before application to realistic scenarios

the effects of pension funds on markets performance a review the worldwide reforming process of pension systems triggered by the demographic transition and globalization has led several countries to implement multi pillar pension systems and enhance pension funds for this reason the studies on the effects that pension funds exert on markets performance have been flourishing in the last decades in this paper we provide an updated review of the empirical advances in this field of study with particular focus on the effects that pension funds produce on labour markets financial markets and economic growth

optimal response of a thermal unit to an electricity spot market this paper addresses the optimal response of a thermal unit to an electricity spot market the objective is to maximize the unit profit from selling both energy and spinning reserve in the spot market the paper proposes a 0 1 mixed integer linear programming approach that allows a rigorous modeling of i nonconvex and nondifferentiable operating costs ii exponential start up costs iii available spinning reserve taking into account ramp rate restrictions and iv minimum up and down time constraints this approach overcomes the modeling limitations of dynamic programming approaches and is computationally efficient results from realistic case studies are reported