how integrated are the money market and the bank loans market within the european union abstract this paper estimates cointegration vectors of the time series of money market interest rates and bank lending rates the study includes six member countries of the european union eu and covers a period of 10 years from 1985 to 1994 during this period significant steps were taken that intensified financial integration in the eu including the free flow of capital a system of stable exchange rate parities and the implementation of a single market for banking services we conclude that the domestic money markets are closely linked but the domestic banking markets are segmented preliminary investigation of international differences in the capital structure of firms on the one hand and of domestic business cycle conditions on the other hand do not seem to explain differences in bank spreads across countries the results point to other directions presumably to local market power and to differences in the role of lender monitoring

the exchange rate and the term structure of interest rates in mexico abstract mexico adopted a floating exchange rate regime in december 1994 the bank of mexico s monetary policy gives attention to maintain orderly conditions in foreign exchange markets the bank of mexico relies primarily on the control of the overnight interest rate in conducting its monetary policy the question arises whether this extremely short term interest rate is the relevant instrument to achieve exchange rate objectives theory suggests that the relationship between the exchange rate and the term structure of interest rates can be complicated and counterintuitive when investors are risk averse in this paper we pursue an empirical investigation on the effect of the term structure of interest rates on the exchange rate for mexico this information could be useful to understand and manage the operation of the mexican floating exchange rate regime

money supply announcements and foreign exchange futures prices for five countries since the federal reserve began targeting money supply growth in october 1979 the effects of fed money supply announcements on financial markets have been intensively examined studies have considered the impacts on financial assets including yields on short term and long term treasury securities forward interest rates exchange rates stock prices and commodity prices these studies suggest that money supply announcements have had significant effects on all these financial assets the effects however have not been consistent across time assets or countries this study adds to the money supply announcement literature focusing on foreign exchange spot and currency future prices mussa 23 provides a justification for this approach he demonstrates that exchange rates move in accord with the efficient markets theory of asset price determination in addition he finds most exchange rate changes are unexpected thus exchange rate changes generally should be related to news since unexpected changes must be due to new information how exchange rates respond to news depends on how that information alters expectations those expectations however depend on economic agents historical experience and on policymakers anticipated reactions thus the effects may vary across countries and across policymaking regimes we believe this study makes four contributions to the money announcement literature first we develop a model of money announcements where expected announcements may be important even when markets are efficient while we consider money announcements in particular the model suggests a general result even expected announcements may affect financial market variables simply by confirming prior expectations second we extend and update the prior literature by examining whether recent money supply announcements have an impact on exchange rates and whether recent impacts differ from those found through 1985 the results suggest the impact of money announcements may have diminished marginally third we extend the analysis to exchange rate currency futures comparing the reactions of spot and futures rates yields further evidence on the policy anticipation versus the expected inflation effects and fourth most prior studies of unanticipated money growth do not distinguish between positive and negative surprises if positive and negative surprises influence market prices asymmetrically however

real exchange rates and real interest rate differentials a present value interpretation although the real exchange rate real interest rate reri relationship is central to most open economy macroeconomic models empirical support for the relationship is generally found to be rather weak in this paper we re investigate the reri relationship using bilateral us real exchange rate data spanning the period 1978 2007 instead of testing one particular model we build on campbell and shiller 1987 cointegration tests of present value models journal of political economy 95 1062 1088 to propose a metric of the economic significance of the relationship our empirical results provide robust evidence that the reri link is economically significant and that the real interest rate differential is a reasonable approximation of the expected rate of depreciation over longer horizons

designing supply contracts contract type and information asymmetry this paper studies the value to a supplier of obtaining better information about a buyer s cost structure and of being able to offer more general contracts we use the bilateral monopoly setting to analyze six scenarios three increasingly general contracts wholesale pricing schemes two part linear schemes and twopart nonlinear schemes each under full and incomplete information about the buyer s cost structure we allow both sides to refuse to trade by explicitly including reservation profit levels for both for the supplier this is implemented through a cutoff policy we derive the supplier s optimal contracts and profits for all six scenarios and examine the value of information and of more general contracts our key findings are as follows first the value of information is higher under two part contracts second the value of offering two part contracts is higher under full information and third the proportion of buyers the supplier will choose to exclude can be substantial

breaking the wave the contested legitimation of an alien organizational form organizational forms imbued with values of modernity that is rationality efficiency and equity diffuse rapidly around the world nonetheless when sustained by beliefs norms and regulations contrasting with those prevalent in the receiving country their adoption may be delayed and within country legitimation may not proceed smoothly we study the diffusion of multiplex cinemas a form conceived in the us and attuned to the cinema as commerce logic across europe where the cinema as art logic prevails our findings reveal that the cultural meanings embodied by multiplexes shaped the founding rates of this organizational form in three ways first countries with larger normative and regulative distance from the us retarded the adoption of the first multiplex second camouflaged entries and at increasing density opposition from local interest groups were observed third the embodiment of global cultural scripts of progress and modernity allowed multiplexes to overcome local opposition the normative distance of the country from the us amplified the fluctuating dynamics of within country legitimacy a new specification of density dependent legitimation is presented to model the cultural cognitive legitimacy of rationalized but alien organizational forms

implicit understandings in channels of distribution formal agreements can be used to achieve coordination among channel members these agreements work by exerting explicit control over the members who make the agreements however implicit understandings can be used as a partial substitute for more formal agreements in this paper we show that implicit understandings can develop as channel members learn about each other s behavior we show that this learning leads to the use of the implicit influence each channel member has over the other s behavior the learning leading to an implicit understanding requires some form of experimentation or historical observation this learning results in an oscillating retail price when only one channel member learns the other s behavior both channel members obtain greater profits than when neither member learns and both channel members obtain less profits than when both members learn however the member who does not learn obtains more profits than the member who learns we also show that implicit understandings r

pricing and the news vendor problem a review with extensions in the newsvendor problem a decision maker facing random demand for a perishable product decides how much of it to stock for a single selling period this simple problem with its intuitively appealing solution is a crucial building block of stochastic inventory theory which comprises a vast literature focusing on operational efficiency typically in this literature market parameters such as demand and selling price are exogenous however incorporating these factors into the mode l can provide an excellent vehicle for examining how operational problems interact with marketing issues to influence decision making at the firm level in this paper we examine an extension of the newsvendor problem in which stocking quantity and selling price are set simultaneously we provide a comprehensive review that synthesizes existing results for the single period problem and develop additional results to enrich the existing knowledge base we also review and develop insight into a dynamic inventory extension of this problem and motivate the applicability of such models

collective institutional entrepreneurship and contestations in wind energy in india with 21 136 mw of wind energy installed in 2014 india is considered a success story in terms of net installed capacity few existing studies on indian wind energy have highlighted the important role of institutions and how they stemmed from the work of advocacy groups studies also tend to focus on short time periods this paper uses the notion of collective institutional entrepreneurship to analyze indian wind energy across three time periods 1985 1995 1995 2003 and 2003 2013 the analysis shows that indian wind power development was driven by collective efforts of institutional entrepreneurs using two aggregated strategies that is supportive techno economic and socio political networks and an indigenous innovation infrastructure the paper highlights setbacks controversies and tensions between various entrepreneurship groups and argues that actions must be taken for including actors who have been marginalized

oil prices and the rise and fall of the us real exchange rate abstract questions of the relative importance of real vs monetary shocks in explaining exchange rate movements still have no widely accepted answer despite their importance both for the research agenda and for policy questions we examine this issue using a variety of empirical techniques for the us effective exchange rate we find that a stable link exists between oil price shocks and the us real effective exchange rate over the post bretton woods period the results suggest that oil prices may have been the dominant source of persistent real exchange rate shocks and that energy prices may have important implications for future work on exchange rate behavior

managing channel profits a channel of distribution consists of different channel members each having his own decision variables however each channel member s decisions do affect the other channel members profits and as a consequence actions a lack of coordination of these decisions can lead to undesirable consequences for example in the simple manufacturer retailer consumer channel uncoordinated and independent channel members decisions over margins result in a higher price paid by the consumer than if those decisions were coordinated in addition the ensuing suboptimal volume leads to lower profits for both the manufacturer and the retailer this paper explores the problems inherent in channel coordination we address the following questions what is the effect of channel coordination what causes a lack of coordination in the channel how difficult is it to achieve channel coordination what mechanisms exist which can achieve channel coordination what are the strengths and weaknesses of these mechanism what is the role of nonprice variables e g manufacturer advertising retailer shelf space in coordination does the lack of coordination affect normative implications from in store experimentation can quantity discounts be a coordination mechanism are some marketing practices actually disguised quantity discounts we review the literature and present a simple formulation illustrating the roots of the coordination problem we then derive the form of the quantity discount schedule that results in optimum channel profits this article was originally published in marketing science volume 2 issue 3 pages 239 272 in 1983

tests of the performance of reduced form exchange rate models this study analyzes the performance of reduced form exchange rate models through a number of tests of specification stability and prediction it confirms earlier tests showing that monetary models do not perform well but it finds more positive results for other models some portfoliobalance models are sufficiently stable to do better than a random walk in post sample tests the study concludes that monetary models are unduly restrictive in the way they incorporate purchasing power parity and perfect asset substitutability

regime linkages in the us uk real exchange rate real interest differential relation abstract using a multivariate regime switching framework and focusing on the period 1921 2002 which is characterized by different nominal exchange rate regimes and monetary regimes we find supportive evidence of the us uk real exchange rate real interest differential relation in terms of volatility regime dependence the two variables are jointly characterized by high volatility during periods of floating exchange rates and by low volatility during periods of fixed exchange rates thereby suggesting that the nominal exchange rate regime is the driving force behind the volatility regime switching thus allowing for regime switching in the real exchange rate real interest differential relation bridges the gap between popular theories of real exchange rate determination which predict such a relation and previous empirical studies which failed to uncover such a relation for the us uk real exchange rate

global and country specific movements in real effective exchange rates implications for external competitiveness abstract using the bayesian factor model we decompose real effective exchange rates which are considered a measure of external competitiveness into global and country specific factors among several findings we report a particular global trend in real exchange rates but a substantial proportion of their variation is found to be country specific in line with this finding we find that structural shifts when they do exist are contained in country specific factors furthermore consistent with economic theory this global factor is closely related to a trend in the global interest rate while country specific factors are closely related to idiosyncratic movements in the countries own interest rates such a decomposition results in better understanding of the exchange rate interest rate relationship and therefore our results can be interpreted as evidence that external competitiveness is heterogeneous among countries and that economic policies can influence countries competitiveness

the impact of stakeholder power on corporate reputation a cross country corporate governance perspective corporate reputation has roots in national beliefs about the role of the business corporation in society these beliefs are constructed in accordance with the preferences of powerful stakeholders building on a stakeholder power approach to corporate governance we investigate whether differences in the legal rights and protections of shareholders creditors and workers across countries affect the general public s reputation assessments of business corporations using a sample of 593 of the largest publicly traded companies in the world from 32 countries during 2007 to 2011 we find that in societies where shareholders enjoy a high degree of legal rights the impact of stock market returns on corporate reputation becomes more positive likewise the negative relationship between earnings volatility and reputation becomes greater when creditor rights are stronger contrary to expectations we found no evidence of an interaction effect between labor rights and corporate social performance on corporate repu

currency fluctuations in the post bretton woods era the international monetary landscape that has emerged since the felling of bretton woods is characterized by a hybrid exchange rate system that lies somewhere between the textbook polar cases of a gold standard and a pure float this system has relatively flexible exchange rates between major countries active central bank intervention in the market for the major currencies and predominantly fixed exchange rates relative to the dollar or to some basket of currencies for less developed countries and newly industrializing nations the majority of research on currency markets since the early 1970s has focused on the characteristics of flexible exchange rates under this hybrid regime my thesis is that this research has been unsuccessful the proportion of monthly or quarterly exchange rate changes that current models can explain is essentially zero even after the fact forecasts that use actual values instead of forecasted values of the explanatory variables cannot explain major currency movements over the post bretton woods era this result is quite surprising since exchange rate changes would be entirely unpredictable only in very special cases of the theoretical models discussed as the discussion below will argue it is not a general implication of market efficiency that exchange rates follow a random walk process 1

a re assessment of the relationship between real exchange rates and real interest rates 1974 1990 abstract this paper uses cointegration techniques and error correction models to re examine the link between real exchange rates and real interest rate differentials the results show that real exchange rates and real interest rates are nonstationary however they are not cointegrated with each other on the other hand the dynamic models indicate that there might be a long run relationship between these variables but this cannot be verified the final conclusion is that there is little empirical evidence in support of a systematic relationship and this result is robust across exchange rates time periods and measures of expected inflation

some empirical evidence on the production level and production cost smoothing models of inventory investment the production smoothing model of inventories has long been the basic paradigm within which empirical research on inventories has been conducted the basic hypothesis embedded in this model is that inventories of finished goods serve primarily to smooth production levels in the face of fluctuating demand and convex cost functions however once we allow for shocks to technology and the costs of producing output firms will also use inventories to shift production from periods in which production costs are relatively high to periods in which production costs are relatively low in this sense inventories can serve to smooth production costs rather production levels in this paper we examine the empirical plausibility of the production level and production cost smoothing models of inventories our basic strategy is to derive and contrast a set of unconditional moment restrictions implied by these models in a way that minimizes the role of auxiliary assumptions regarding market structure and industry demand we find overwhelming evidence against the production level smoothing model and very little evidence against the production cost smoothing mode1 we conclude that the variance of production exceeds the variance of sales in most manufacturing industries because the production cost smoothing role of inventories is quantitatively more important than the production level smoothing role of inventories this abstract was borrowed from another version of this item

managerial cognition and the mimetic adoption of market positions what you see is what you do managers planning to abandon a market position need to find a promising alternative and face a choice of inventing a new market position or entering an existing one the great uncertainty on the consequences of different actions leads them to rely on other organizations for information on how to compete making adoption of existing market positions likely their wish to avoid direct rivalry and maximize growth leads them to seek out information on new market positions with few incumbents as a result recently innovated market positions are mimetically adopted by organizations that can easily observe previous adoptions and see them as relevant to their market situations increasing the market differentiation this theory is tested and supported by analysis of the spread of new radio formats in the united states 1998 john wiley sons ltd

commodity trade and the carry trade a tale of two countries persistent interest rate differentials account for much of the currency carry trade profitability commodity currencies offer high interest rates on average while countries that export finished goods tend to have low interest rates we develop a general equilibrium model of international trade and currency pricing where countries have an advantage in producing either basic inputs or final goods in the model domestic production insulates commodity producing countries from global productivity shocks forcing final good producers to absorb them commodity currency exchange rates and risk premia increase with productivity differentials and trade frictions these predictions are strongly supported in the data this article is protected by copyright all rights reserved

is there a world real interest rate abstract this study uses panel data techniques to estimate a common component to the ex post real interest rates of nine countries with liberal capital markets over the past 16 years we show that the residuals from such a regression have almost no serial correlation and that each country s real interest rate is highly correlated with the estimated world real interest rate the primary exception to these findings is the behavior of the us real interest rate which exhibits large and persistent deviations from the estimated world real interest rate although it is still highly correlated with the world real interest rate

was it real the exchange rate interest differential relation over the modern floating rate period in this paper we explore the relationship between real exchange rates and real interest rate differentials in the united states germany japan and the united kingdom contrary to theories based on the joint hypothesis that domestic prices are sticky and monetary disturbances are predominant we find little evidence of a stable relationship between real interest rates and real exchange rates we consider both in sample and out of sample tests one hypothesis that is consistent with our findings is that real disturbances such as productivity shocks may be a major source of exchange rate volatility this paper investigates the empirical relationship between major currency real exchange rates and real interest rates over the modern post march 1973 flexible rate experience the exchange rates examined here include the dollar mark dollar yen and dollar pound rates our two major findings are as follows first the data do not indicate a strong correspondence between real interest rate differentials short term or long term and real exchange rates this finding appears to conflict with the predictions of most monetary and portfolio balance models of exchange rate determination though the conflict can be substantially reconciled if aggregate disturbances are primarily real in nature i e changes in productivity tastes etc it is true that in many cases the sign of the estimated exchange rate interest rate differential relationship is consistent with the possible predominance of financial market disturbances but the relationship is not stable enough to be statistically significant second although one does find some evidence of a unit root in both real exchange rates and long term but not shortterm real interest differentials these two series do not appear to be linearly cointegrated hence the nonstationarity or near nonstationarity in the two series cannot be attributed to the same factor in section i we briefly describe a class of small scale monetary models of exchange rate determination the importance of this class of models for empirical work derives from its strong predictions about how the exchange rate will move

convergence of real capital market interest rates evidence from inflation indexed bonds this paper investigates the convergence of long term ex ante real interest rates rirs obtained from canadian french uk and u s inflation indexed government bonds in contrast to previous research our evidence suggests full convergence in the long run and hence capital market integration for the same sample period global convergence is rejected for rirs measured in conventional terms from these results we conclude that previous tests of the long run real interest rate parity might have suffered from weak measurement of real capital market interest rates

real exchange rates and real interest rates once again a multivariate panel cointegration analysis this paper employs multivariate panel cointegration techniques to re examine the empirical relationship between bilateral real exchange rates and real interest rates the results from a panel of 1470 quarterly observations on canada france germany italy japan uk and usa over the period 1977 to 1994 indicate the absence of any long run relationship between the two variables

a comparison of two sourcing tactics for a new component abstract we compare two sourcing tactics for a manufacturer to purchase a new component to be used in a one time production run of a new product with uncertain and price elastic demand one alternative is to issue a request for quote rfq which is where the manufacturer requests a price quantity schedule from suppliers the manufacturer uses this information to determine a production quantity and the number of components to purchase from each supplier the other alternative is to post a bid specifying how the manufacturer s purchase quantity will depend on the supplier s component price the suppliers use this information to compete on quantity we find that relative to rfq which is more challenging for the manufacturer to characterize the supplier response due to the possibility of supplier interaction the benefit to the manufacturer from posting a bid increases with the number of suppliers due to increased intensity of competition if the new component is from an emerging industry where there is little mutual awareness among candidate suppliers then regardless of number of suppliers expected manufacturer profit is higher under rfq posting a bid is more likely to benefit the manufacturer when the new component is from a more established industry with a high degree of awareness among candidate suppliers

does the real interest parity hypothesis hold evidence for developed and emerging markets we present empirical evidence on the real interest parity hypothesis for a set of emerging and developed countries this is done by carrying out a set of unit root tests on the real interest differentials with respect to the us our results support the hypothesis of a rapid reversion towards a zero differential for developed countries and towards a positive one for emerging markets mean reversion is faster for emerging market economies we also find that this adjustment tends to be highly asymmetric and markedly different for developed and emerging markets our evidence reveals a high degree of market integration for developed countries and highlights the importance of risk premia for emerging markets

policy as myth and ceremony the global spread of stock exchanges 1980 2005 we examine the antecedents and consequences in developing countries of creating a national stock exchange a core technology of financial globalization we study local conditions and global institutional pressures in the rapid spread of exchanges since the 1980s and examine how conditions at the point of adoption affected exchanges subsequent vibrancy little prior research connects the process of diffusion with the operational performance of adopted policies we find that international coercion was associated with more ceremonial adoption but that contrary to expectations common in institutional research contagion processes via peer groups and normative emulation of prestigious actors enhanced vibrancy economic globalization provides a generative context in which to consider the policy implications of organizational theory and research globalization creates both opportunities and challenges for countries on the periphery of the world economy the central question for policy makers is what structures and institutions they should adopt to promote economic and social vibrancy notably waves of alternative theories and associated packages of reforms have swept over the globe in recent decades observing this process of global diffusion and often abandonment of policies and practices meyer boli thomas and raminrez 1997 extended analyses of myth and ceremony at the organization level to the nation state in their world society approach a core idea in this work is that coercion and mimicry of peers or competitors typically based in a substrate of network ties often

changing monetary policy rules learning and real exchange rate dynamics when the exchange rate is priced by uncovered interest parity and central banks set nominal interest rates according to a reaction function such as the taylor rule the real exchange rate will be determined by expected inflation and the output gap or the unemployment gap of the home and foreign countries this paper examines the implications of these taylor rule fundamentals for real exchange rate determination because the true parameters in central bank policy rules are unknown to the public and change over time the model is presented in the context of a least squares learning environment this simple learning model captures the volatility and the major swings in the real deutschemark euro dollar exchange rate from 1976 to 2007

developing difference social organization and the rise of the auto industries of south korea taiwan spain and argentina theories of economic development as diverse as modernization dependency world system and market reform take a critical factor view proponents of each theory argue that countries fail to develop because of an obstacle to economic growth we argue instead that neither a critical factor nor a single path leads to economic development viable paths vary economic growth depends on linking a country s historically developed patterns of social organization to the opportunities of global markets we formulate a sociological theory of cross national comparative advantage including not only economic factor endowments but also institutionalized patterns of authority and organization such patterns legitimize certain actors and certain relationships among those actors which facilitate development success in some activities but not in others we illustrate this approach to understanding development outcomes with a comparative analysis of the difficult rise of the automobile assembly and components industries in south korea taiwan spain and argentina

exchange rate intervention with options abstract we consider the problem of a central bank that has exchange rate goals in a partial equilibrium setting we compare direct intervention through sale purchase of reserves in the currency market with an alternative strategy of intervention with options the investment bank the central bank deals with will have to hedge its position and therefore buy or sell the underlying security the foreign currency and bonds intervention through options seems to perform better but the value of the cross elasticity exchange rate interest rate is crucial we provide some grounds for the construction of a full equilibrium model

why do central banks intervene abstract intervention by central banks in terms of buying and selling foreign currency has been a major activity in recent years this paper investigates the motivations for such policy and the evidence for its effectiveness we use high quality daily data on the dollar amounts of intervention by the central banks of the us and germany we also use information on agreed g7 target levels for the dm and yen nominal exchange rates daily nominal dollar exchange rate returns are well described as a martingale garch process and we find little evidence that the different types of intervention have had much effect on the conditional mean of exchange rate returns there is some evidence that intervention is associated with slight increases in the volatility of exchange rate returns while little evidence is found for the effectiveness of intervention the motivations are more clear in particular from the application of probit analysis we find that the probability of intervention is determined by the magnitude of the deviation of the nominal exchange rate from the agreed target level and to a lesser extent by the current volatility of exchange rates

organizational susceptibility to institutional complexity critical events driving the adoption and implementation of the ethics and compliance officer position the institutional environment is complex this complexity is characterized by forces that ebb and flow in wavelike patterns as societal expectations evolve with attention coalescing around specific events and then dissipating some of these critical events are broad and affect many firms whereas others are narrow and affect individual firms in either case when they occur these events elevate organizational susceptibility to societal demands but encourage different kinds of behavior in response this study seeks to model this complexity in an area of growing interest for organization scholars business ethics in particular i examine how firms respond to shifting societal pressures for greater ethical behavior by adopting and implementing the ethics and compliance officer position from 1990 to 2008 results demonstrate that although firms decide when to adopt in response to broad fieldwide critical events it is narrower firm specific critical events that determine resource commitments in implementation

internalizing sustainable practices a configurational approach on sustainable forest management of the dutch wood trade and timber industry a number of environmental labels and certificates have been developed to inform consumers of the environmental impacts this paper explored different configurations of institutional and organizational conditions for the internalization of sustainable practices for the institutional conditions the level of institutional pressures were considered for the organizational conditions the following elements were taken into account 1 the timing of adoption 2 the willingness to cannibalize existing capabilities and routines to incorporate institutional demands for sustainability 3 the degree of implementation of these demands 4 the internal representation of environmental concerns and 5 the type of organization the paper analyzed sustainable forestry practices in wood trade and timber factories in the netherlands using a fuzzy set qualitative comparative analysis from the analysis three configurations were found 1 concerned internalization for early adopting wood trade companies 2 forced internalization for late adopting wood trade companies and 3 lagged internalization for late adopting timber factories the configurations revealed that important conditions for explaining internalization of sustainable practices are high levels of implementation and high levels of willingness to cannibalize the findings reaffirm the relevance of institutional and organizational conditions in explaining the internalization of environmental friendly practices they also showed that the interplay between a firm s internal and external environments influence the internalization of environmental practices the results imply that practice internalization is more subtle than previously understood in the literature

investor protection and corporate governance recent research has documented large differences among countries in ownership concentration in publicly traded firms in the breadth and depth of capital markets in dividend policies and in the access of firms to external finance a common element to the explanations of these differences is how well investors both shareholders and creditors are protected by law from expropriation by the managers and controlling shareholders of firms we describe the differences in laws and the effectiveness of their enforcement across countries discuss the possible origins of these differences summarize their consequences and assess potential strategies of corporate governance reform we argue that the legal approach is a more fruitful way to understand corporate governance and its reform than the conventional distinction between bank centered and market centered financial systems

the globalization of liberalization policy diffusion in the international political economy one of the most important developments over the past three decades has been the spread of liberal economic ideas and policies throughout the world these policies have affected the lives of millions of people yet our most sophisticated political economy models do not adequately capture influences on these policy choices evidence suggests that the adoption of liberal economic practices is highly clustered both temporally and spatially we hypothesize that this clustering might be due to processes of policy diffusion we think of diffusion as resulting from one of two broad sets of forces one in which mounting adoptions of a policy alter the benefits of adopting for others and another in which adoptions provide policy relevant information about the benefits of adopting we develop arguments within these broad classes of mechanisms construct appropriate measures of the relevant concepts and test their effects on liberalization and restriction of the current account the capital account and the exchange rate regime our findings suggest that domestic models of foreign economic policy making are insufficient the evidence shows that policy transitions are influenced by international economic competition as well as the policies of a country s sociocultural peers we interpret the latter influence as a form of channeled learning reflecting governments search for appropriate models for economic policy

weaving together the normative and regulative roles of government how the norwegian sovereign wealth fund s responsible conduct is shaping firms cross border investments based on institutional theory i extend research on the regulative role of national government in society and suggest that government exerts important influences on firms actions through the diffusion of norms i suggest that the norwegian government by instituting an ethical council that publicly censors and certifies the cross border investments of the norwegian sovereign wealth fund government pension fund global contributes to the professionalization of responsible investment principles and thus plays a normative role in shaping firms investments employing a quasi natural experiment i find that focal norwegian firms are more likely to make responsible cross border investments following the formation of the council on ethics in 2004 and its associated censorship announcements further i find that the normative pressure for responsible investments is mediated by firms imitation or overlap with the norwegian sovereign wealth fund s investments however the mediated effect of normative pressure on responsible investments becomes weaker for government owned firms these findings highlight the importance of normative mechanisms through which government can influence firms behavior especially in contexts where regulatory authority may not hold moreover these findings reveal the interplay among the normative mimetic and regulative pressures and the heterogeneity in the extent to which firms within the same country demonstrate institutional isomorphism

a stochastic and asymmetric information framework for a dominant manufacturer supply chain abstract consider a dominant manufacturer wholesaling a product to a retailer who in turn retails it to the consumers at p unit the retail market demand volume varies with p according to a given demand curve this basic system is commonly modeled as a manufacturer stackelberg ms game under a deterministic and symmetric information det sym i framework we first explain the logical flaws of this framework which are i the dominant manufacturer leader will have a lower profit than the retailer under an iso elastic demand curve ii in some situations the system s correct solution can be hyper sensitive to minute changes in the demand curve iii applying volume discounting while keeping the original ms profit maximizing objective leads to an implausible degenerate solution in which the manufacturer has dictatorial power over the channel we then present an extension of the stochastic and asymmetric information sto asy i framework proposed in lau and lau lau a lau h s 2005 some two echelon supply chain games improving from deterministic symmetric information to stochastic asymmetric information models european journal of operational research 161 1 203 223 coupled with the notion that a profit maximizing dominant manufacturer may implement not only ms but also pm i e using a manufacturer imposed maximum retail price we show that this new framework resolves all the logical flaws stated above along the way we also present a procedure for the dominant manufacturer to design a profit maximizing volume discount scheme using stochastic and asymmetric demand information using our sto asy i framework to resolve the logical flaws of the det sym i framework also reveals two noteworthy points i the attractiveness of the perfectly legal but overlooked channel coordination mechanism pm and ii volume discounting as a means for the dominant manufacturer to benefit from information known only to the retailer

real interest parity rip over the 20th century new evidence based on confidence intervals for the largest root and the half life abstract in this paper we employ local to unity asymptotics to investigate the validity of real interest parity rip for three countries relative to the us using long span data we find that deviations from parity are corrected quickly and this is what could in principle be expected to happen in an integrated world where economic forces act rapidly so that discrepancies do not grow systematically over time moreover the observed speed of reversion raises important issues for policy in that the tendency for rates to converge implies that the impact of the domestic authorities stabilization polices might be limited finally there is no clear cut difference in the adjustment to shocks across fixed and floating regimes

is there convergence across countries a spatial approach we analyze convergence across countries over the last half century as a result of globalizing forces drawing on theories of modernization dependency the world system political trade blocs and the world society we consider economic demographic knowledge financial and political dimensions of convergence using a new methodology we calculate the minimum volume ellipsoid encompassing different groupings of countries finding that during the 1960 2009 period countries have not evolved significantly closer or similar to one another although groups of countries based on their core periphery status or membership in trade blocs exhibit increasing internal convergence and divergence between one another

burgernomics the economics of the big mac standard abstract in the course of ppp research much of the debate over the validity has been over the choice of an appropriate basket for making purchasing power comparisons the different compositions of goods and services in these baskets across countries have resulted in arguments against their usefulness for ppp purposes this problem is augmented by the existence of productivity differentials in traded and non traded goods across countries therefore we consider the use of the big mac as the international monetary standard as being a more palatable alternative it is produced locally in over 80 countries around the world with only minor changes in recipe and thus has the flavour of the perfect universal commodity our results indicate that the big mac index is surprisingly accurate in tracking exchange rates over the long term which is consistent with previous ppp research findings we subsequently enhance our ppp comparisons by taking into account the productivity differentials between countries and excluding non traded goods from the big mac index to derive the no frills index

stochastic trends and economic fluctuations in a large open economy abstract this study examines the role of stochastic trends in real exchange rates and foreign output in explaining economic fluctuations in the united states while many of the results are consistent with recent closed economy studies the evidence shows that external shocks have significant short run effects on economic fluctuations even in a large country a real appreciation of the dollar leads to permanent decreases in net exports and temporary decreases in output permanent shocks to real exchange rates have surprisingly large effects on output over the course of the normal business cycle

diffusion development and democracy 1800 1999 while a trend of growth in democratization over the past two centuries has been generally observed it is the remarkable growth in the democratization of the world over the past 30 years that has truly captured the imagination of social scientists policymakers and the general public alike two major sets of factors have dominated studies attempting to predict democratization one set characterizes endogenous or internal features of countries and may be referred to as socioeconomic development the other set less often tested characterizes exogenous variables that influence democratization via forces at work globally and within the region in which a country resides this set may be referred to as diffusion processes this study provides the first systematic comparison of these two sets of variables when assessed alone development indicators are robust predictors of democracy but their predictive power fades with the inclusion of diffusion variables in particular diffusion predictors of spatial pr

competing for capital the diffusion of bilateral investment treaties 1960 2000 over the past forty five years bilateral investment treaties bits have become the most important international legal mechanism for the encouragement and governance of foreign direct investment the proliferation of bits during the past two decades in particular has been phenomenal these intergovernmental treaties typically grant extensive rights to foreign investors including protection of contractual rights and the right to international arbitration in the event of an investment dispute how can we explain the widespread adoption of bits we argue that the spread of bits is driven by international competition among potential host countries typically developing countries for foreign direct investment we propose a set of hypotheses that derive from such an explanation and develop a set of empirical tests that rely on network measures of economic competition as well as more indirect evidence of competitive pressures on the host to sign bits the evidence suggests that potential hosts are more likely to sign bits when their competitors have done so we find some evidence that coercion and learning play a role but less support for cultural explanations based on emulation our main finding is that the diffusion of bits is associated with competitive economic pressures among developing countries to capture a share of foreign investment we are agnostic at this point about the benefits of this competition for development for useful comments on earlier drafts of this article we thank bill bernhard bear braumoeller frank dobbin robert franzese jeffry frieden geoffrey garrett tom ginsburg jude hays lisa martin bob pahre mark ramsayer steven ratner susan rose ackerman and john sides for research assistance we thank elizabeth burden raechel groom and alexander noonan

political bias in policy convergence privatization choices in latin america since the early 1980s privatization has spread in latin america under both right wing rulers and populist presidents this regional convergence toward privatization seemed to announce the end of partisan policy making however not all governments implement privatization in the same way even in the context of policy convergence technocrats propose similar policy options in countries where capital dearth creates pressures for convergence yet politicians build the electoral and government coalitions that make these policies possible and their preferences shape the institutions chosen at implementation the bias introduced by politicians depends on their prior beliefs and constituencies which shape their institutional preferences beliefs about economic nationalism and state intervention influence the selection of regulations at the time of privatization whereas coalition building with political constituencies shapes the definition of selling conditions in privatized companies this political bias which is contingent on the privatizing government explains that the regional policy convergence toward privatization did not extend to its implementation that is although politicians may be losing influence about whether to privatize they still have a say in the choice of how to privatize this article analyzes the impact of this political bias by focusing on the choice of regulatory institutions and selling conditions in five cases of privatization of electricity and telecommunications in latin america

vertical strategic interaction implications for channel pricing strategy this paper examines two strategic pricing decisions within channels using foresight i e price leadership and considering category implications i e product line pricing are price leadership and product line pricing always the best pricing strategies for a channel member if not when does this occur and why by investigating these questions we address some major concerns of both marketing practitioners and scholars interested in channel management issues in addition this study provides an indepth discussion on why previous analytic studies produced answers to these questions that depend upon the choice of the form of demand functions as such this study should significantly resolve the debate among analytic marketing modelers about the right demand specification at the core of our discussion lies the concept of vertical strategic interaction which is defined in terms of the direction of a channel member s reaction to the actions of its channel partner within a given demand structure specifically if a channel member s best reaction is to reduce its margin when its channel partner increases its margin the type of vertical strategic interaction is referred to as vertical strategic substitutability vss if the best reaction is to increase the margin the environment is referred to as vertical strategic complementarity vsc if the best reaction is no margin change it is referred to as vertical strategic independence vsi using a game theoretic approach we demonstrate that these three types of vertical strategic interactions represent a key driving force for optimal decisions on channel price leadership and product line pricing our investigation involves mathematical analyses of an industry model composed of two manufacturers selling competing products both carried by two competing retailers as such the model allows for retailer product line pricing as well as manufacturer and retailer level competition in addition this general model can be used to analyze three more restrictive industry settings often found in the channels literature i e a bilateral monopoly jeuland and shugan jeuland abel steven m shugan 1983 managing channel profits marketing sci 2summer 239 72 two competing manufacturers selling through competing franchised retailers mcguire and staelin mcguire timothy w richard staelin 1983 an industry equilibrium analysis of downstream vertical integration marketing sci 2spring 161 92 and two competing manufacturers selling through one common retailer using product line pricing choi choi s chan 1991 price competition in a channel structure with a common retailer marketing sci 10fall 271 96 unlike many other channel studies most of our analyses are performed without assuming particular functional forms of demand curves thus this paper provides greater assurance that the insights from this stream of research are broadly applicable not only across industry structures but also across demand conditions the paper starts out by defining three different rules for how prices are set the manufacturer uses foresight the retailer uses foresight and neither channel member uses foresight we then show a one to one mapping between the type of vertical strategic interaction and the optimality of channel price leadership specifically a channel member finds it profitable to be a price leader for vss but prefers to be a follower for vsc for vsi channel members are indifferent to the channel price leadership issue as it has no effect on channel member profits we also show that there exist conditions under which a retailer might see a reduction in profits when it changes its policy from non product line pricing to product line pricing such conditions arise when the retailer is not a price leader and the environment is characterized by vss or vsc at a more general level this study suggests not only the value but also the cost to a firm for using superior knowledge i e foresight and or product line pricing in making strategic marketing decisions in this way ignorance can be bliss we also explore the link between demand characteristics and the three types of vertical strategic interaction we show that the type of vertical strategic interaction present in a given environment is closely related with the convexity of the demand curve and the level of demand for a given price interestingly we find that linearity of demand is not a necessary condition for any of the three types of vertical strategic demand function consequently in evaluating the robustness of analytic analyses it may be more important to determine the type of vertical strategic interaction assumed instead of whether the demand is linear or nonlinear finally our results are limited to situations where the channels are not coordinated and the retailer s precommitment to particular pricing policy and decision is credible although such situations still capture a significant portion of reality we acknowledge that the insights from this study might not be applicable in all situations

the exchange rate interest differential relationship in six east asian countries abstract this study shows that the real exchange rate real interest differential relation in six east asian economies changes with the nominal regime positive time varying correlations characterize the relation during pegged regimes correlations are negative during freely falling regimes

extracting inflation from stock returns to test purchasing power parity relative purchasing power parity ppp holds for pure price inflations which affect prices of all goods and services by the same proportion while leaving relative prices unchanged pure price inflations also affect nominal returns of all traded financial assets by exactly the same amount recognizing that relative ppp may not hold for the official inflation data constructed from commodity price indices because of relative price changes and other frictions that cause prices to be sticky we provide a novel method for extracting a proxy for realized pure price inflation from stock returns we find strong support for relative ppp in the short run using the extracted inflation measures

perceived organizational support pos across 54 nations a cross cultural meta analysis of pos effects the authors meta analyze relationships of perceived organizational support pos with attitudinal and behavioral outcomes in western i e horizontal individualistic and eastern i e vertical collectivistic cultures the social exchange perspective suggests that pos effects are stronger in western cultures because employees are more likely to see the self as independent and understand their relationship with the organization in terms of reciprocity however the social identity perspective suggests that pos effects are stronger in eastern cultures because employees are more likely to see the self as interdependent and are more attuned to organizational support as an identity related cue addressing these competing hypotheses meta analytic results from 827 independent samples n 332 277 across 54 countries show support for both perspectives in the west pos was more strongly associated with social exchange processes than organizational identification processes in contrast in the east pos was more strongly associated with organizational identification processes than social exchange processes overall pos was more strongly related to job attitudes and performance in the east than in the west cultural differences in pos effects on attitudinal outcomes were found to be increasing over time we discuss the implications of these findings for organizational support theory and research

globalization pressures and the state the worldwide spread of central bank independence the authors examine the impact of globalization on state structures in the specific instance of the central bank following the world system world society and neoinstitutional perspectives in sociology they assume that states are in cultural political and economic competition with each other thereby seeking to maintain their position and status frequently by adopting organizational forms or practices that make them isomorphic with their environment the authors predict that countries boost the independence of their central bank from the political power as their exposure to foreign trade investment and multilateral lending increases they also model the cross national dynamic process of diffusion of central bank independence by examining the impact of cohesive and role equivalent trade relationships between countries they find support for their hypotheses with information on 71 countries between 1990 and 2000

ideological purity vs hybridization trade off when do islamic banks hire managers from conventional banking organizations that compete in institutional environments in which oppositional logics compete for dominance face a risk return trade off between maintaining ideological purity versus pragmatism by borrowing template elements from the rival ideology deviating from ideological purity might improve a firm s competitive strength however at the same time it might also undermine its very identity and legitimacy although such decisions are of strategic importance research about why how and where these trade offs are made is still limited we develop the argument that organizations will be more likely to deviate from ideological purity when the potential return of borrowing from the oppositional template exceeds the perceived risk of doing so the more organizations aspire to be ideologically pure the more they are constrained by the moral codes that define the category and therefore the higher the risk associated with deviating from purity however given the potential benefits of pragmatism pure or

interdependence in comparative politics substance theory empirics substance interdependence is ubiquitous and often central across comparative politics indeed as the authors show first theoretically any situation involving externalities from one unit s actions on others implies interdependence positive or negative externalities induce negative or positive interdependence which spurs competitive races or free riding with corresponding early or late mover advantages and thus strategic rush to act or delay and inaction the authors show next how to model interdependent processes empirically how not doing so risks omitted variable biases favoring domestic and exogenous external accounts over interdependence but how doing so naively risks simultaneity biases with the opposite substantive implications they then discuss how to estimate properly specified interdependence models and finally how to interpret and present estimated spatio temporally dynamic effects response paths and long run steady states with associated standard errors they illustrate by replicating a not

what moves oecd real interest rates this paper conducts a structural time series analysis of ex ante real interest rates of the five major oecd economies the relationships of rates to permanent and temporary real and nominal shocks appear to be qualitatively consistent with predictions of stochastic general equilibrium business cycle models u s real and nominal shocks are found to be the most important causes of persistence in rates but only nominal shocks cause dynamic movements that are coherent across all countries the rise in real interest rates in the early 1980s was mainly due to nominal shocks real shocks played little or no role

real exchange rates and real interest differentials implications of nonlinear adjustment in real exchange rates abstract this paper investigates the relationship between real exchange rates and real interest differentials while sticky price exchange rate theories predict a relationship empirical evidence on the hypothesized link has proved elusive our conjecture is that the empirical difficulty is due to a failure to recognize nonlinearity in real exchange rate adjustment when we introduce threshold nonlinearity into a traditional model to take account of a transaction cost induced band of inaction for price adjustment only outside the band will the real exchange rate exhibit mean reversion and bear an association with real interest differentials our estimated nonlinear models provide evidence supporting this view

financial integration in the pacific basin region rip by panic attack abstract we exploit advances in panel data econometrics to test whether real interest parity holds in the pacific basin region we test for a unit root in the difference between either the us japanese or euro area real interest rate and the real interest rates from a panel of eleven pacific basin economies unlike extant studies that test for rip using panel data we use bai and ng s 2004 panic test which allows for a very general model of cross section dependence including the possibility of cross unit cointegration ignoring the possibility of cross unit cointegration can lead to severe size distortions and to an over rejection of the null hypothesis of a unit root we overturn earlier findings based on first generation panel tests and demonstrate that cross unit cointegration leads to incorrect conclusions we find that rip holds in the pacific region real interest rates converge to the us rate we find no support for the hypothesis that pacific basin real interest rates converge to either the japanese or euro area rates

macroeconomic determinants of exchange rates a frequency specific analysis this paper applies a new methodology rolling spectral regression to investigate currency movements at various frequencies this technique generates efficient and frequency band estimates of the regression coefficients between three major exchange rates and their determinants from a generic monetary model empirical results reported in this study suggest that the variations of the yen dollar and pound dollar exchange rates can be explained by changes in monetary policy in the long run and fluctuations in economic growth and long term interest rates in the medium run

a long run view of the european monetary system abstract this papaer analyzes the exchange rates and consumer price indices of six countries participating in the european monetary system ems during the entire period of floating exchange rates the analysis shows that most of these real exchange rates have unit roots even when one allows for the possibility of a structural break at the time of the advent of the ems further proces and exchange rates are not co integrated during the ems period the data suggest that the 12 realignments of the ems have not served fully too offset the member countries inflation differentials

oppositional logics and the antecedents of hybridization a country level study of the diffusion of islamic banking windows 1975 2017 little is known about when and where hybrid organizations diffuse we argue that neo institutional perspectives which stress the constraining role of market categories and institutional logics ha

a re examination of the exchange rate interest differential relationship evidence from germany and japan abstract this paper presents empirical evidence which links the exchange rate interest differential relation over the recent floating rate period using johansen s cointegration test we find a long run relationship between real exchange rates and expected real interest differentials in addition empirical evidence is provided to show that our error correction framework leads to real exchange rate forecasts that are superior to those generated by a random walk forecasting model moreover this superiority in out of sample predictability is supported statistically by the test of diebold and mariano

convergence of interest rates around the pacific rim this article applies the panel data unit root tests provided by im pesaran and shin discussion paper 1997 to examine the interest rate convergence of small open asian countries with major financial centres with monthly data from 1988 1 to 1997 6 it was found that the nominal interest rates of these countries converge to the us rates rather than to japan s this finding is consistent with the view that the monetary authorities of non japan asian economies pegged their exchange rates overwhelmingly to the dollar rather than the yen before the financial crisis of 1997

the international diffusion of public sector downsizing network emulation and theory driven learning we examine change in the size of the public sector between 1980 and 1997 across twenty six organization for economic cooperation and development oecd member nations with particular attention to diffusion dynamics general method of moments gmm analyses demonstrate imitation of shifts in government employment within the united states and mutual influence among nations that are geographically proximate and that trade extensively disaggregated analyses show that downsizing is contagious while upsizing is not proximate downsizers but not upsizers are imitated and states act on evidence that downsizing is economically beneficial while ignoring evidence that it is harmful we argue that these asymme tries in emulation and learning are a product of the dominance of neoliberal and managerialist discourses that legitimate and theorize shrinking the public sector the twentieth century as a whole and particularly the three decades after world war ii witnessed steady growth in government size and responsibility states devel oped extensive social safety nets actively managed aggregate demand and regu lated a widening swath of economic and social life this trajectory of expansion was linked to powerful forces of economic development and demographic change and anchored in a broad political consensus 1 the 1980s and 1990s saw a sea change in the rate of public sector growth brit ish prime minister margaret thatcher and u s president ronald reagan led the way with privatization outsourcing and load shedding of public responsibilities but the shift in direction was not limited to radicals on the right country reports

trade globalization since 1795 waves of integration in the world system the term globalization as used by social scientists and in popular discourse has many meanings we contend that it is important to distinguish between globalization as a contemporary political ideology and what we call structural globalization the increasing worldwide density of large scale interaction networks relative to the density of smaller networks we study one type of economic globalization over the past two centuries the trajectory of international trade as a proportion of global production is trade globalization a recent phenomenon a long term upward trend or a cyclical process using an improved measure of trade globalization we find that there have been three waves since 1795 we discuss the possible causes of these pulsations of global integration and their implications for the early decades of the twenty first century

testing the relative purchasing power parity hypothesis the case of korea abstractthis study examines the relative purchasing power parity ppp hypothesis using the data from the korean won us dollar and the korean won japanese yen foreign exchange markets we extract proxies for inflation from stock market returns of korea the united states and japan based on the method used by chowdhry roll and xia in 2005 we explicitly test the relative ppp hypothesis in light of the short run price volatility using monthly bimonthly and quarterly data from 1 january 1998 to 31 december 2012 our findings suggest that the empirical test results from the entire sample period do not support the relative ppp hypothesis however the results from the sample period excluding the asian financial crisis period show that the relative ppp hypothesis holds for the korean won us dollar market with a moderate magnitude of inflation impact but not for the korean won japanese yen market abrupt changes in exchange rates during the crisis period may have affected the relationship between inflation an