the energy ladder theoretical myth or empirical truth results from a meta analysis abstract modern fuels are an important enabler of social and economic development still over 2 billion people rely on traditional biomass for their daily energy needs to overcome the negative effects of traditional energy on human health and the environment and to enhance the livelihood conditions of the poor a transition towards cleaner and more efficient forms of energy is needed understanding household fuel choice and fuel switching behaviour is of vital importance in search for policies to support such a transition process this paper adds to the existing energy transition literature in two ways first we provide a novel conceptual framework to analyze the decision environment underlying energy and fuel choices second we apply this framework in a meta analysis of existing choice models investigating energy switching and stacking behaviour in urban and rural areas in developing countries the meta analysis shows that socio economic household characteristics appear to receive most attention so far in identifying groups of fuel users while relatively little information is available on the impact of the external decision context on household energy choices

sequential bargaining as a noncooperative foundation for walrasian equilibrium allocation are weakly preferred to those obtainable from the initial endowments by means of the given set of net trades these conditions are similar to ones studied by schmeidler and vind 1972 and vind 1978 but here they are thought of as characterizing the set of net trades available in steady state equilibria of market games like those studied by douglas gale 1984 1985 1986a 1986b and 1986c the characterization result is used as a key step in the proof of results like gale s the allocations induced by steady state equilibria are walrasian for the economy given by the constant flow of new agents into the market our approach generalizes the one followed in gale 1986c and allows us to dispense with assumptions made in previous treatments for example gale s 1986a assumption of dispersed characteristics is dropped we also demonstrate that such a result depends on the assumption that agents cannot observe the past behavior of agents with whom they trade

household fuelwood demand and supply in nepal s tarai and mid hills choice between cash outlays and labor opportunity abstract subsistence households are a leading source of deforestation and their consumption of fuelwood in particular is important in many developing countries yet the empirical economic examinations of fuelwood consumption are sparse particularly for rural areas where the deforestation occurs and we would argue that forest policy is often designed without a good understanding of the potential responses of subsistence households to the new policy this paper addresses these issues with household evidence from the two major populated regions of nepal market prices labor opportunities the availability of substitutes and measure of access to the basic resource are the most reliable predictive variables for fuelwood consumption and production there are however regional differences and important distinctions between the elasticities of fuelwood collecting or purchasing households with respect to these predictive variables the difference between collecting and purchasing households is notable it recommends forestry policies that target the labor opportunity and the physical resource in regions where collecting households dominate and policies that affect the fuelwood market itself in regions where purchasing households are important a second interesting finding is that fuelwood is relatively scarcer prices are higher in the mid hills and both collecting and purchasing households in this region are beginning to respond to deforestation by using their own land for fuelwood production

forests fuelwood and livelihoods energy transition patterns in eastern indonesia the central thesis of the energy ladder model is a unidirectional transition from primitive to advance fuel with increased affluence of households although now largely discredited this assumption remains a foundation of laissez faire policies that anticipate energy transition resulting spontaneous forest recovery with economic development our results suggest that such policies can undermine broader policy objectives and actually worsen forest conditions in rural indonesia based on a case study of forest margin communities in eastern indonesia we demonstrate that fuel subsidy reform did little to reduce rural household demand for fuelwood while dramatically increasing fuelwood demand for processing agricultural products our results show how household decisions related to fuel sources are affected by non economic considerations and external factors such as opportunities to sell fuelwood we argue that policy interventions that encourage energy transition of households do not necessarily improve forest conditions as household fuelwood use may be a symptom rather than a driver of deforestation and forest degradation thus policies to improve forest conditions should focus more on addressing the market environment of forest margin communities providing energy alternatives to small industries that are often the larger consumers of fuelwood

an expository note on individual risk without aggregate uncertainty abstract in economies where agents bear some risk the analysis would often be facilitated by the assumption that the risks are i i d and disappear in the aggregate a formal appeal to the law of large numbers requires the consideration of a sequence of finite economies in an economy with a continuum of agents there are countable families of sets for which it is impossible for a law of large numbers to be valid with countably many agents and a finitely additive measure independence is compatible with the law of large numbers

analysis of the residential location choice and household energy consumption behavior by incorporating multiple self selection effects abstract it is expected that the residential location choice and household energy consumption behavior might correlate with each other besides due to the existence of self selection effects the observed inter relationship between them might be the spurious result of the fact that some unobserved variables are causing both these concerns motivate us to 1 consider residential location choice and household energy consumption behavior for both in home appliances and out of home cars simultaneously and 2 explicitly control self selection effects so as to capture a relatively true effect of land use policy on household energy consumption behavior an integrated model termed as joint mixed multinomial logit multiple discrete continuous extreme value model is presented here to identify the sensitivity of household energy consumption to land use policy by considering multiple self selection effects the model results indicate that land use policy do play a great role in changing beijing residents energy consumption pattern while the self selection effects cannot be ignored when evaluating the effect of land use policy based on the policy scenario design it is found that increasing recreational facilities and bus lines in the neighborhood can greatly promote household s energy saving behavior additionally the importance of soft policy and package policy is also emphasized in the context of beijing

daniel mcfadden and the econometric analysis of discrete choice this article describes the contributions of daniel mcfadden to the econometric analysis of discrete choice section i overviews the main elements of mcfadden s research on discrete choice analysis and notes some of his other contributions to economics section ii addresses the fundamental methodological breakthrough that mcfadden made in conditional logit analysis of qualitative choice behavior iii 1974 1 section iii discusses the subsequent development of discrete choice analysis into one of the foundations of modem econometrics section iv concludes

arbitrage and the flattening effect of large numbers abstract in a model of an exchange economy with a continuum of individuals we show that competitive equilibrium can be regarded as resulting from the elimination of arbitrage opportunities generically the elimination of such opportunities results in a phenomenon we call the flattening effect of large numbers the flattening effect provides a precise meaning to the statement that under perfect competition individuals cannot influence prices they face perfectly elastic demands and supplies the attractive geometry associated with arbitrage and the flattening effect is highlighted in several figures we also link the demonstration of equilibrium through arbitrage with the logic of marginalism journal of economic literature classification number d51

diffusion of rural innovations some analytical issues and the case of wood burning stoves abstract the literature on the diffusion of rural innovations in third world countries reveals a spectrum of approaches to the diffusion process it is argued here that the effectiveness of a particular approach in the diffusion of particular innovations would depend on the technical the economic and the social characteristics of the innovations a typology of innovations in terms of these characteristics has been drawn up this provides the analytical framework within which the instance of wood burning stoves is concerned a priori the characteristics of this innovation are seen to be such as to necessitate the close involvement of the users in the design process itself they point to the likely inappropriateness of the usual top down approach to diffusion available evidence relating to actual experience with promoting wood burning stoves is seen to bear this out

heating technology and energy use a discrete continuous choice approach to norwegian household energy demand abstract the aim of this paper is to describe the structure of the household s energy demand as a discrete continuous choice and on this basis establish an econometric model suitable for the data available in the norwegian energy surveys the discrete appliance choice is specified as a multinomial logit model with a mixture of appliance attributes operating costs and individual characteristics income housing unit characteristics etc as explanatory variables in the next step the continuous choice of energy use is modelled conditional on the appliance choice the energy prices turn out to be significant both when estimating the appliance choice and the conditional energy demand the estimated price elasticity for energy exceeds minus unity the paper discusses how this relatively strong price response should be interpreted in the context of other econometric analysis with no explicit appliance dependence finally the significance of the many household characteristics at both stages of the model signals a high degree of heterogeneity within the households which justifies the use of detailed micro data in the modelling of the energy demand

higher order expectations in asset pricing we examine formally keynes idea that higher order beliefs can drive a wedge between an asset price and its fundamental value based on expected future payoffs we call this the higher order wedge which depends on the difference between higher and first order expectations of future payoffs we analyze the determinants of this wedge and its impact on the equilibrium price in the context of a dynamic noisy rational expectations model we show that the wedge reduces asset price volatility and disconnects the price from the present value of future payoffs the impact of the higher order wedge on the equilibrium price can be quantitatively large

membership in citizen groups we analyze the coordination problem of agents deciding to join a group that uses membership revenues to provide a discrete public good and excludable benefits the public good and the benefits are jointly produced so that benefits are valued only if the group succeeds in providing the public good with asymmetric information about the cost of provision the static membership game admits a unique equilibrium and we characterize the optimal membership fee we show that heterogeneity in valuations for the excludable benefits is always detrimental to the group however in a dynamic contest in which heterogeneity arises endogenously returning members receive additional seniority benefits at the expense of junior members we show that in the ex ante optimal contract offering seniority benefits is beneficial for the group despite the heterogeneity in valuations created

bargaining and markets complexity and the competitive outcome abstract rubinstein and wolinsky rev econ stud 57 1990 63 78 consider a simple decentralised market game in which agents meet randomly or voluntarily and bargain over the terms of trade they show that any individually rational price can be sustained as a sequential equilibrium even though the model has a unique competitive outcome here i consider rubinstein and wolinsky s model and show that if complexity costs of implementing strategies enter players preferences together with the standard payoff in the game then every equilibrium is stationary markov and induces the unique competitive price thus i demonstrate that aversion to complexity may provide a justification for the competitive outcome

evaluating the relative strength of product specific factors in fuel switching and stove choice decisions in ethiopia a discrete choice model of household preferences for clean cooking alternatives switching from conventional stoves to modern clean safe and efficient stoves will improve health and social welfare for the 2 7 billion people worldwide that lack reliable access to modern energy services in this paper we critically review some key theoretical dimensions of household consumer behaviour in switching from traditional biomass cooking stoves to modern efficient stoves and fuels we then describe the results of empirical research investigating the determinants of stove choice focusing on the relative strength of product specific factors across three wealth groups a stated preference survey and discrete choice model were developed to understand household decision making associated with cooking stove choice in addis ababa ethiopia the study found that with the exception of price and usage cost factors for the high wealth group the product specific factors that were investigated significantly affect stove and fuel choices the relative strength of factors was assessed in terms of marginal willingness to pay and provides some evidence that consumer preference for higher quality fuels and stoves tends to increase with increasing wealth

from linear fuel switching to multiple cooking strategies a critique and alternative to the energy ladder model abstract promoting sustainable development requires evaluating the technical and policy options that will facilitate the adoption and use of energy efficient and less polluting cooking stoves and practices the transition from traditional to modern fuels and devices has been explained by the energy ladder model that suggests that with increasing affluence a progression is expected from traditional biomass fuels to more advanced and less polluting fuels in this paper we evaluate the energy ladder model utilizing data from a four year 1992 96 case study of a village in mexico and from a large scale survey from four states of mexico we show that an alternate multiple fuel model of stove and fuel management based on the observed pattern of household accumulation of energy options rather than the simple progression depicted in the traditional energy ladder scenario more accurately depicts cooking fuel use patterns in rural households the multiple fuel model integrates four factors demonstrated to be essential in household decision making under conditions of resource scarcity or uncertainty a economics of fuel and stove type and access conditions to fuels b technical characteristics of cookstoves and cooking practices c cultural preferences and d health impacts this model also allows better estimates of the expected fuelwood demand and indoor air pollution in rural households

household biomass energy choice and its policy implications on improving rural livelihoods in sichuan china abstract it is widely known that a switch from traditional biomass energy to modern clean safe and efficient energy could improve local rural livelihoods by enhancing the access to high quality energy and reducing the negative impacts of traditional biomass energy on health environment and living standards hence in this paper we used alternative specific conditional logit model asclm to examine the rural household energy choice behaviors in sichuan province of china from the perspective of revealed and stated preferences the results show that the fuel switching in our study region is not a simple unidirectional process from traditional biomass energy to modern fuels as incomes improve household energy choice behaviors could be not only affected by energy specific characteristics such as fuel price smoky level and safety risk but also influenced by household specific factors such as income level age and educational level of the decision maker household demographic structure number of people frequently eating at home distance to the nearest biomass collecting spot and household location suggesting that government should attach more importance to simultaneously improve energy quality control energy price and enhance household socio economic status

adoption of agricultural innovations in developing countries a survey this paper reviews various studies which have provided a description and possible explanation to patterns of innovation adoption in the agricultural sector the survey points out that the tendency of many studies to consider innovation adoption in dichotomous terms adoption nonadoption may not be appropriate in many cases where the actual decisions are defined over a more continuous range more attention needs to be given to the socio cultural and institutional environment in area studies so that their interrelation with economic factors affecting adoption can be inferred the presence of several interrelated innovations is another aspect that needs to be considered more carefully in future research since a number of simultaneous decisions may be involved furthermore the possibility of regular sequential patterns in adopting components of a new technological package should be specifically addressed in future studies finally the impact of differential adoption rates on land holding distribution merits attention in future research

dynamic matching and bargaining games a general approach this paper presents a new characterization result for competitive allocations in quasilinear economies this result is informed by the analysis of non cooperative dynamic search and bargaining games such games provide models of decentralized markets with trading frictions a central objective of this literature is to investigate how equilibrium outcomes depend on the level of the frictions in particular does the trading outcome become walrasian when frictions become small existing specifications of such games provide divergent answers the characterization result is used to investigate what causes these differences and to generalize insights from the analysis of specific search and bargaining games

preferences for domestic fuel analysis with socio economic factors and rankings in kolkata india abstract the choice of domestic fuel is a matter of great concern for households and policy makers in india this paper investigates the demand for domestic fuels when households face four choices fuelwood coal kerosene and lpg the study is based on a survey of 500 households in kolkata india the demand estimates are conducted using a two stage process where the first stage investigates choice and the second the quantity used determinants of fuel demand are identified and their relative importance shown extending the study the paper also analyses the choice of the main cooking fuel in terms of the households stated rankings of six fuels for five attributes the policy discussion indicates that subsidies have less potential to reduce polluting fuels such as coal and fuelwood due to weak cross price elasticities while increased availability of lpg and potentially also increased awareness of indoor air pollution have greater prospect

bargaining in dynamic markets abstract we study non stationary markets in which traders are randomly matched to bargain over the price of a heterogeneous good or the terms of a partnership the economy consists of a continuum of players drawn from a finite set of types players exogenously enter the market over time and exit upon trading at every date matching probabilities for each pair of types are determined by the endogenous distribution of trader types in the market the balance of bargaining power at any stage depends on variations in potential gains from trade the inflows of new traders the structure of agreements at future dates and the induced frequency of trading opportunities we establish that an equilibrium always exists moreover all equilibria that lead to the same evolution of the economy are payoff equivalent however we show that multiple self fulfilling expectations about the trajectory of the economy generating distinct equilibrium dynamics and payoffs may coexist

which factors are effective for farmers biogas use evidence from a large scale survey in china the chinese government since 1995 has carried out programs for the construction of household biogas digesters in the chinese countryside despite the large governmental spending in the building of household biogas digesters only 12 16 of the households suitable to produce and use biogas have built a digester li 2009 this article asks which factors on the household level may be important for the decision whether or not to build a biogas digester based on a survey with 1227 households from guangxi hubei shandong and gansu provinces results of a binary probit model show that the governmental promotion of biogas has a significant effect on households decision the question arises which households may if governmental programs were to be running out be most likely to construct a household biogas digester the household head s age the number of household members staying at home the total household income and the subjective discount rate of the respondents are significant factors in a farm household s decision to build a biogas digester however also agro climatic conditions reveal to be decisive which is why technical solutions for tackling the low productivity of biogas digesters in cold regions may need to be further considered

equilibrium in a market with sequential bargaining this paper considers a market where pairs of agents who are interested in carrying out a transaction are brought together by a stochastic process and upon meeting initiate a bargaining process over the terms of the transaction the basic bargaining problem is treated with the strategic approach the paper derives the steady state equilibrium agreements analyzes their dependence on market conditions such as the relative numbers of agents of different types and discusses their relations with the competitive equilibrium outcome and other results in the search equilibrium literature this paper considers a market that operates in the following way pairs of agents who have mutual interest in carrying out a transaction are brought together by a stochastic process when two agents meet they initiate a bargaining process over the terms of the transaction if two agents reach an agreement a transaction takes place and they leave the market of course the bargaining positions and hence the agreement reached in any particular meeting will be affected by the conditions prevailing in the market these will include the chances that each of the negotiating parties have of meeting other partners in the event that the agreement in the current negotiations is delayed also the expected length of time required to achieve an alternative transaction and the expected behavior of alternative partners the study of such a market mechanism is of interest for two reasons firstly it captures some realistic aspects of the trade in certain specific markets e g asset markets such as housing and some labor markets secondly it contributes to an understanding of the micro mechanisms of price formation and their role in shaping market outcomes in both cases the features studied are largely neglected in the traditional market equilibrium analyses the related literature includes the articles by diamond 4 5 diamond and maskin 6 mortensen 8 9 and zusman and bell 13 these articles consider markets of the type described above in which transactions are concluded at pairwise meetings of agents the major difference between our work and these articles is in the approach to the basic bargaining problem in the cited articles it is assumed that a meeting is concluded with an instantaneous agreement which divides the associated surplus in an arbitrary predetermined way when the surplus is assumed to be divided equally the division rule is in fact nash s axiomatic bargaining solution in contrast the present paper treats the basic bargaining problem with the strategic approach see rubinstein 19 which constitutes an attempt to look into the bargaining black box this approach explicitly models the time dimension of the bargaining process describes in detail the bargaining procedure and justifies the agreement as a perfect equilibrium in

walrasian allocations without price taking behavior abstract consider an exchange economy where agents are arbitragers in that they try to upset allocations imagining plausible beneficial trades with an introspective algorithm each agent constructs an interactive choice set ics i e a set of bundles that he considers achievable through a sequence of plausible trades with other agents we show that walrasian allocations can be characterized as those where each agent chooses optimally from his ics which is always contained in a budget set with differentiability both sets coincide our analysis provides a different behavioral assumption underlying walrasian allocations offers an explanation for the source of competitive prices and connects with the core convergence theorem journal of economic literature classification numbers d00 d51

stochastic cascades credit contagion and large portfolio losses abstract we analyze an interactive model of credit ratings where external shocks spread by a contagious chain reaction to the entire economy counterparty relationships along with discrete adjustments of credit ratings generate a transition mechanism that allows the financial distress of one firm to spill over to its business partners the spread of financial distress constitutes a source of intrinsic risk for large portfolios of credit sensitive securities that cannot be diversified away we provide a characterization of the fluctuations of credit ratings in large economies when adjustments follow a threshold rule and analyze the effects of downgrading cascades on credit portfolios

on the evolution of attitudes towards risk in winner take all games abstract a long standing conjecture is that winner take all games such as patent races lead to the survival of risk takers and the extinction of risk averters in many species a winner take all game determines the males right to reproduce and the same argument suggests that males will evolve to be risk takers psychological and sociological evidence buttresses the argument that males are more risk taking than females using an evolutionary model of preference formation we investigate to what extent evolution leads to risk taking in winner take all environments journal of economic literature classification numbers c7 d8

democracy as an equilibrium observation shows that while democracy is fragile in poor countries it is impregnable in developed ones to explain this pattern i develop a model in which political parties propose redistributions of incomes observe the result of an election and decide whether to comply with the outcome or to launch a struggle for dictatorship democracy prevails in developed societies because too much is at stake in turning against it more income can be redistributed in developed than in poor countries without threatening democracy limits on redistribution arise endogenously so that constitutions are not necessary for democracy to endure a democratic culture characterizes the equilibrium

rural residential energy transition and energy consumption intensity in china abstract this paper examines the impact of residential energy transition on residential energy consumption per capita recpc and identifies the underlying drivers in rural china based on province level panel data for years 1991 2014 in rural china it is shown that energy transition from traditional biomass energy tbe to traditional commercial energy tce significantly decreases recpc while energy transition from tbe or tce to advanced commercial energy ace significantly increases recpc as is revealed by the energy stacking model per capita income has a significantly negative impact on recpc and the impact of lagged recpc is opposite due to the regulation of energy price there exists price distortion in china s rural energy market and the price mechanism functions poorly besides factors including juvenile dependency ratio and education level significantly reduce recpc therefore it is vital to integrate rural energy into national energy strategic system facilitate energy transition process and introduce the market system reform of rural energy and continue to improve the education level of rural residents in rural china

determinants of households space heating type a discrete choice analysis for german households abstract considering the increasing attention on efficient use of energy it becomes vitally important to understand the energy related behavior of households this article presents empirical evidence on the determinants of the space heating technology applied by a household three sets of variables are examined as potential influences building socio economic and regional characteristics to highlight both the differences and similarities the results are obtained from a sample of house owners and from a sample including all households the influence of socio economic factors is similar across these groups income is found to exert only a minor impact on the system choice dwelling features are significant in determining the heating type particularly in the sample including all households regional effects are important clear differences prevail between east and west germany

demand for cooking fuels in a developing country to what extent do taste and preferences matter overreliance on biomass energy such as firewood and charcoal for cooking in developing countries has contributed to high rates of deforestation and resulted in substantial indoor pollution which has negatively impacted the health of many individuals however the effectiveness of public policies aimed at encouraging households to switch to cleaner fuels such as liquefied petroleum gas lpg and kerosene hinges on the extent to which they are mentally committed to specific fuels using data on four cooking fuels charcoal firewood lpg and kerosene from the ghana living standards survey we found strong evidence that the most preferred fuel is lpg followed by charcoal with kerosene the least preferred in addition with the exception of kerosene that has price elastic demand the price elasticities of demand for the fuel types examined are inelastic this finding suggests the so called fuel ladder is not robust

perceptions versus objective measures of environmental quality in combined revealed and stated preference models of environmental valuation abstract this study examines perceptions and objective attribute measures in discrete choice models of recreation site choice behavior these forms of attribute measurement are examined in individual and combined revealed preference stated preference models our results suggest that the model based on perceptions slightly outperforms the models based on objective attribute measures however issues such as the definition of the choice set and the measurement of welfare present significant challenges when using perceptions data

complexity and competition extensive form market games typically have a large number of noncompetitive equilibria in this paper we argue that the complexity of noncompetitive behavior provides a justification for competitive equilibrium in the sense that if rational agents have an aversion to complexity at the margin then maximizing behavior will result in simple behavioral rules and hence in a competitive outcome for this purpose we use a class of extensive form dynamic matching and bargaining games with a finite number of agents in particular we consider markets with heterogeneous buyers and sellers and deterministic exogenous sequential matching rules although the results can be extended to other matching processes if the complexity costs of implementing strategies enter players preferences lexicographically with the standard payoff then every equilibrium strategy profile induces a competitive outcome

combining revealed and stated preference data to estimate the nonmarket value of ecological services an assessment of the state of the science this paper reviews the marketing transportation and environmental economics literature on the joint estimation of revealed preference rp and stated preference sp data the rp and sp approaches are first described with a focus on the strengths and weaknesses of each recognizing these strengths and weaknesses the potential gains from combining data are described a classification system for combined data that emphasizes the type of data combination and the econometric models used is proposed a methodological review of the literature is pursued based on this classification system examples from the environmental economics literature are highlighted a discussion of the advantages and disadvantages of each type of jointly estimated model is then presented suggestions for future research in particular opportunities for application of these models to environmental quality valuation are presented

markov equilibria in dynamic matching and bargaining games abstract rubinstein and wolinsky rev econ stud 57 1990 63 show that a simple homogeneous market with exogenous matching has a continuum of non competitive perfect equilibria however the unique markov perfect equilibrium of this model is competitive by contrast in the more general case of heterogeneous markets even the markov property is not enough to guarantee the perfectly competitive outcome we define a market game that allows for heterogeneous values on both sides of the market and exhibit a number of examples of non competitive markov perfect equilibria with and without discounting unlike the homogeneous case these equilibria allow for inefficient trades and for trade at non uniform prices the non competitive equilibrium may be unique

analysis of the energy access improvement and its socio economic impacts in rural areas of developing countries abstract access to modern energy is one of the most basic requirements for development in rural areas of developing countries there are a large number of people who do not have access to lpg and depend on traditional biomass such as wood crop and dung for cooking in addition energy has numerous and complex links with poverty reduction therefore it is important to estimate the impacts of energy access improvement on socio economic situation in the rural areas of developing countries quantitatively this study focuses on socio economic impacts of cooking demand through changes in stoves adopted by the rural households we have developed an energy economic model of rural areas in india to analyze the links between energy income and health hazard applying both opportunity cost for using fuelwood and exposure to resipirable suspended particulate matter rspm as a result of the analysis there is a positive relation between the opportunity cost and the average rspm exposure of women in the rural areas following to increase in the opportunity cost that is income the cost of an improved wood stove becomes relatively lower first than that of a traditional wood stove and then a gas stove attains price competitiveness it is achieved that the average rspm exposure is below the who and japanese criteria for suspended particulate matter spm 190 and 100 g m3 at the opportunity cost of us 9 and 15 gj respectively

strategic electoral rule choice under uncertainty we study electoral rule choice in a multi party model with office motivated parties and electoral outcome uncertainty we show that when all dominant parties parties with positive probability of winning the election have sufficiently good chances of winning they agree to switch from the pr rule to a more majoritarian one in order to increase their chances of forming a single party government we identify the exact degree of disproportionality of the new rule and we prove that it is increasing in the expected vote share of the smaller parties parties with zero probability of winning otherwise the necessary and sufficient conditions for such collusion in favor of a majoritarian rule are a the high rents from a single party government and b sufficient uncertainty over the electoral outcome our theoretical predictions regarding the degree of the disproportionality of the electoral rule are supported by empirical evidence

the environmental impact of poverty evidence from firewood collection in rural nepal abstract we investigate determinants of household firewood collection in rural nepal using 1995 96 and 2002 3 world bank living standards measurement survey lsms data we incorporate village fixed effects endogenous censoring measurement error in living standards and heterogeneous effects of different household assets we find no evidence in favor of the poverty environment hypothesis the evidence for the environmental kuznets curve depends on the precise measure of living standards and time period studied firewood collections fall with a transition to modern occupations and rise with increasing population and household division the local interhousehold collection externality is negligible indicating that policy interventions are justified only by ecological considerations or nonlocal spillovers

convergence to perfect competition of a dynamic matching and bargaining market with two sided incomplete information and exogenous exit rate abstract consider a decentralized dynamic market with an infinite horizon and incomplete information in which buyers and sellers values for the traded good are private and independently drawn time is discrete each period has length and each unit of time a large number of new buyers and sellers enter the market within a period each buyer is matched with a seller and each seller is matched with zero one or more buyers every seller runs a first price auction with a reservation price and if trade occurs the seller and winning buyer exit with their realized utility traders who fail to trade either continue in the market to be rematched or exit at an exogenous rate we show that in all steady state perfect bayesian equilibria as approaches zero equilibrium prices converge to the walrasian price and realized allocations converge to the competitive allocation

bioenergy transition in rural china policy options and co benefits abstract this paper reviews the current situation of bioenergy development in china particularly on its relationship to sustainable rural development it argues that the current government strategy investment policy and industrial interest are over emphasized on biomass burning power generation as part of the clean energy development trajectories which may not lead to the most cost effective outcomes in terms of investments resource use and social development objectives it points out that there are large potentials in developing and disseminating household based biomass technologies in rural areas especially with energy efficient modern biomass stoves which can produce far more economic social and environmental benefits than biomass power plants it is a decentralized solution to use renewable energy resources for meeting multi objectives it is suggested that key incentive policies be provided by the government to encourage this technological transition or the leapfrogging from using traditional household stoves towards modern biomass stoves which will lead to a win win situation in global regional and local environmental protection sustainable resource management and related social benefits particularly for the poor in remote communities six policy recommendations are made 1 financial schemes development 2 preferable tax and carbon tax 3 regulatory policy reform 4 service industry support 5 market research training and capacity building for key stakeholders 6 development of methodologies and standards for cdm projects the potential co benefits brought up by this massive biomass technology transition will bring new perspectives to realizing millennium development goals mdgs and global co2 emissions reduction targets in china and also set an example to other developing countries

f o b pricing versus uniform delivered pricing a welfare analysis in a stochastic environment abstract under imperfect information but otherwise competitive assumptions spatial market equilibria are examined for two pricing structures under f o b pricing buyers face a price that reflects exactly the transportation cost between sellers and themselves under uniform delivered pricing u d p the seller charges the same price to all buyers inclusive of delivery under both buyers know only of sellers from whom they received ads sent randomly by sellers it is found that u d p equilibria may exist when f o b equilibria do not but not conversely also f o b equilibria are not always welfare superior to u d p ones these equilibria are not robust a new firm often succeeds in penetrating a market using a different pricing structure

energy consumption in rural china a household model for three villages in jiangxi province abstract in china fuelwood and coal are the most important energy sources for rural households in poor areas along with population and economic growth excessive fuelwood collection is a major cause of deforestation burning coal contributes to environmental problems such as air pollution acid rain and greenhouse gas emissions the purpose of this article is to analyze factors determining choice of energy source and labor input into fuelwood collection in poor forest rich regions and to provide policy recommendations on ways to affect these choices to this end a nonseparable household model reflecting choices in labor allocation and energy demand of rural households is estimated from available data for three villages in a poor forest rich region in jiangxi province southeast china innovative aspects of this article are the analyses of factors driving household substitution between forest and non forest fuels and of dissimilarities in household responses under different market access conditions

household energy preferences for cooking in urban ouagadougou burkina faso abstract an extensive survey on household expenditures in ouagadougou the capital of burkina faso was used to analyze the factors determining urban household energy choices using a multinomial logit model wood energy remains the preferred fuel of most urban households in the country though rational the choice is not sustainable as it portends a threat to the savanna woodlands and the economy many important policies have been adopted by public authorities to minimize household wood energy consumption and to substitute it by alternative fuel despite the magnitude of all these policies the depletion rate of the forest resource is increasing a kind of inertia is thus observed for household preferences for cooking fuel this model analyzes the sociological and economic variables of household energy preferences for cooking in ouagadougou the analyses show that the inertia of household cooking energy preferences are due to poverty factors such as low income poor household access to electricity for primary and secondary energy low house standard household size high frequency of cooking certain meals using woodfuel as cooking energy the descriptive analyses show that the domestic demand for wood energy is strongly related to household income the firewood utilization rate decreases with increasing household income in other words this fuel appears as a transition good for these households which aim for other sources of energy for cooking that are more adapted for urban consumption this implies that a price subsidy policy for liquid petroleum gas lpg and its cook stoves could significantly decrease the utilization rate of wood energy

institutionalizing uncertainty the choice of electoral formulas taken from an infinite set of divisors methods the d hondt formula is the unique rule that maximizes the minimum number of seats for parties exceeding average size but not surpassing an absolute majority of the votes this property is also shared in the quota set of methods by the droop formula at the same time these two methods are those most commonly observed in practice this paper relates the property stated to the observed facts if parties try to maximize the minimum number of seats for a given share of votes then the d hondt formula should be chosen this choice is consistent with rational parties that make institutional choices in an uncertain environment

renewable energy adoption in an ageing population heterogeneity in preferences for micro generation technology adoption abstract many countries are endeavouring to supply more of their energy from renewable resources such countries are also experiencing an aging population with a greater proportion of people aged 65 years this demographic shift may reduce the uptake of renewable energy if older person households are less inclined to accept change and adopt new technologies this paper assesses whether such households have different behavioural responses to energy efficiency compared to the rest of society and investigates whether micro generation renewable energy technologies are less likely to be adopted by these households it uses conditional logit and mixed logit models to investigate the impact of age of household on primary heating adoption and also to assess the impact of older households on the installation of discretionary micro generation technologies solar thermal solar voltaic and wind power to supplement existing heating and lighting systems results indicate that primary heating choice is not affected but that older person households are less inclined to adopt micro generation technologies

technological innovation and dispersion environmental benefits and the adoption of improved biomass cookstoves in tigrai northern ethiopia this paper empirically analyzes adoption and fuel savings efficiency of improved biomass cookstove technology using survey data from a cross section of 200 farm households from the highlands of tigrai northern ethiopia results indicate that these farm households are willing to adopt improved biomass cookstove innovations if this leads to economic savings moreover results suggest significant positive environmental externalities on a per household basis we found that adopters collect about 70 kg less wood and about 20 kg less dung each month the adoption of improved biomass cookstoves reduces harvest pressure on local forest stands assuming an average of 120 metric tons of biomass per ha we find the potential reduction in deforestation amounts to some 1400 ha per year an important saving further the reduced use of dung as a fuel has a positive impact on soil productivity in agriculture

willingness to pay for quality improvements should revealed and stated preference data be combined abstract in this article we propose theoretically consistent welfare measurement of use and nonuse values for an improvement in environmental quality with revealed and stated preference data an analytical model based on the comparative static analysis of the variation function that describes the relationship between recreation demand and dichotomous choice contingent valuation models is estimated our results show that revealed and stated data should not be combined under the same assumed preference structure unless the two decisions imply the same change in behavior induced by the quality change in addition our results indicate scope effects in willingness to pay measures estimated with stated preference data

fuel switching in slum and non slum households in urban india improving access to modern fuels is essential in developing countries for reducing adverse human health and environmental impacts caused by traditional fuels fuels use in developing countries is heterogeneous across households this paper estimates drivers of fuel switching in non slum and slum households in urban india using a discrete choice model on a nationally representative micro data the choices considered are three categories of cooking fuels traditional firewood dung crop residue and coal charcoal modern kerosene and liquefied petroleum gas lpg and mixed fuels the results suggest that the patterns of fuels use are consistent with the energy ladder theory in urban india in addition to income the major determinants of modern fuels uptake are fuels prices access to electricity and water supply and education attainment the increasing price of lpg affects the willingness to change fuels for low income non slum and the high income slum households negatively the analyses make a strong case for applying differential subsidies on modern fuels employing multidimensional aspects of poverty moreover there is a need for partial diversion of existing fuels subsidies on improving physical and social capitals which will result in uptake of modern fuels particularly among disadvantaged communities

decentralized markets and endogenous institutions this paper is concerned with decentralized models of market equilibrium in which the primary interest lies in the nature of the institutions that govern trade there are two separate branches in this literature in the first the institutions that govern trade are taken to be given exogenously the primary motivation for models in this class is essentially the study of comparative institutions in particular the papers are interested in whether there are specific institutions that will generate walrasian prices and allocations approximately when transactions costs are small in the second branch of the literature the institutions that govern trade themselves are made endogenous these models characterize the nature of these endogenously generated institutions and examine their efficiency in environments where transactions costs are small

modeling the choice to switch from fuelwood to electricity implications for giant panda habitat conservation despite its status as a nature reserve wolong nature reserve china has experienced continued loss of giant panda habitat due to human activities such as fuelwood collection electricity though available throughout wolong has not replaced fuelwood as an energy source we used stated preference data obtained from in person interviews to estimate a random utility model of the choice of adopting electricity for cooking and heating willingness to switch to electricity was explained by demographic and electricity factors price voltage and outage frequency in addition to price nonprice factors such as voltage and outage frequency significantly affect the demand thus lowering electricity prices and increasing electricity quality would encourage local residents to switch from fuelwood to electricity and should be considered in the mix of policies to promote conservation of panda habitat 2002 elsevier science b v all rights reserved

woodfuels livelihoods and policy interventions changing perspectives in the 1970s it appeared that fuelwood use was growing rapidly and this could have major adverse impacts on the resource and poor users by the mid 1980s revised assessments indicated that there was less of a problem than had been foreseen and much less of a need for forestry interventions to maintain supplies as a result many of the latter were sharply scaled back additional information and analysis that has become available since the 1980s support the view that there is no need for large scale interventions devoted just to provision of fuelwood however declining access to supplies or markets can raise significant problems in some areas and for particular categories of user growing urban demand for charcoal can also cause local problems in particular in africa the potentials for appropriate forms of intervention are discussed

retrading in market games when agents are not price takers they typically cannot obtain an efficient real location of resources in one round of trade this paper presents a non cooperative model of imperfect competition where agents can retrade allocations consistent with edgeworth s idea of recontracting we show a there are pareto optimal allocations including competitive equilibrium allocations that can be approximated arbitrarily closely when trade is myopic i e when agents play a static nash equilibrium at every round of retrading b any converging sequence of allocations generated by myopic retrading can be supported along some retrade proof subgame perfect equilibrium path when traders anticipate future rounds of trading

using discrete choice models with experimental design data to forecast consumer demand for a unique cultural event an approach is developed to forecast participation in unique events with long gestation periods experimental observations of choice are derived for conjoint measurement type multiattribute alternatives that describe possible event configurations the choice data are analyzed by means of discrete choice econometric models a multinomial logit choice model is applied to forecast the choice of attendance at various types of international expositions the empirical work was part of the planning efforts undertaken to investigate the potential demand for an international exposition to be held in eastern australia in conjunction with the australian 1988 bicentennial celebrations

a downward spiral research evidence on the relationship between poverty and natural resource degradation abstract many observers have conceptualised the link between rural poverty and environment as a downward spiral with population growth and economic marginalisation leading to environmental degradation recent micro scale empirical research challenges this model showing striking heterogeneity in environmental management by the rural poor their success in adapting to environmental change and the efficacy of policies in influencing outcomes local endowments conditions affecting the adoption of resource conserving technologies and local institutions supportive of the poor are key factors that condition poverty environment interactions and outcomes in relation to agriculture the main strategies to jointly address poverty and environmental improvement are to increase poor people s access to natural resources enhance the productivity of poor people s natural resource assets and involve local people in resolving public natural resource management concerns research is needed to support these strategies particularly to explore poverty environment agriculture interactions develop technologies for poor farmers and partner with local communities for action research on policies and programmes

market clearing and price formation abstract considered here is decentralized exchange of privately owned commodity bundles voluntary transactions take the form of repeated bilateral barters under broad and reasonable hypotheses the resulting process converges to competitive equilibrium price taking behavior is not assumed prices emerge over time they need neither be anticipated nor known at any interim stage

better technology better plots or better farmers identifying changes in productivity and risk among malagasy rice farmers we introduce a method for properly attributing observed productivity and risk changes among new production methods farmers and plots by controlling for farmer and plot heterogeneity results from madagascar show that the new system of rice intensification sri is indeed a superior technology although about half of the observed productivity gains appear due to farmer characteristics rather than sri itself the technology generates the estimated average output gains of more than 84 the increased estimated yield risk associated with sri would nonetheless make it unattractive to many farmers within the standard range of relative risk aversion