education poverty and terrorism is there a causal connection the paper investigates whether there is a connection between poverty or low education and terrorism we review evidence on hate crimes which are closely related to terrorism the occurrence of hate crimes is largely independent of economic conditions we analyze data on support for attacks against israeli targets from public opinion polls conducted in the west bank and gaza strip support for violent attacks does not decrease among those with higher education and higher living standards the core contribution of the paper is a statistical analysis of the determinants of participation in hezbollah militant activities having a living standard above the poverty line or a secondary or higher education is positively associated with participation in hezbollah we also find that israeli jewish settlers who attacked palestinians in the west bank in the early 1980s were overwhelmingly from high paying occupations although our results are tentative and exploratory they suggest that neither poverty nor education has a direct causal impact on terrorism

cleaner energy for sustainable future this special issue of the journal of cleaner production focuses on energy for sustainable future it is designed to mirror the increasing relevance of renewable energy sources and improved efficiency as crucial topics for practitioners in industry for governmental policy makers as well as for civic service providers researchers and educators the purpose of this special issue is to serve as a catalyst for dialogue the global warming related to co2 emissions coupled with steeply rising energy prices and the recent global financial institutional melt down are causing massive societal concerns and give rise to increasing demand for ways to improve societal and individual energy efficiency and for ways to shift increasingly to alternative low or non carbon based energy systems until recently industrial energy efficiency improvements have focused on improvements on efficiency rather than on the integration of renewable sources the aim of this special issue is the identification of policies to support the development and implementation of technologies and management approaches we can employ to make the transition to more sustainable societies the collection of papers in this special issue provide a foundation for students researchers scholars practitioners and policy makers interested in making sustainable development more than a metaphor the papers include focus upon ways for a improving industrial process to achieve improvements in energy efficiency b minimising waste disposals and reducing their impact through better management c reducing co2 emissions by making progress toward lower carbon renewable energy based systems d improving production of biofuels and hydrogen production systems facilitated by employing cleaner production and novel lca tools e improving integration of advanced materials and energy efficient equipment in different industrial sectors current and future developments in national and world economies are closely connected to sustainable efficient and safe usage of raw materials and upon energy based on cleaner production concepts and approaches that are ecologically and economically appropriate for the short and for the long term future of society these challenges have received considerable attention in the media and scientific journals over the last several years the idea of developing a specialised conference focussed upon them was put forward on various occasions focus upon them became reality on the 5th and 6th may 2008 in the historic castle of veszprem hungary the current premises of the hungarian academy of science which hosted the workshop the workshop was a stimulating event and an overwhelming success with nearly 100 contributors from africa north america asia and europe representing 28 countries after a comprehensive selection and thorough reviewing procedure 11 papers were selected for this special issue

evaluating welfare reform in the united states this paper reviews the economic literature on welfare reform over the 1990s a brief summary of the policy changes is followed by a discussion of the methodological techniques that analyze the effects of these changes on outcomes the paper then critically reviews the econometric and experimental literature on caseload changes labor force changes poverty and income changes and family formation changes a growing body of evidence suggests that recent policy changes have influenced economic behavior and well being one particular set of new style welfare programs seems to show especially promising results with significantly increased work and earnings and reduced poverty

cost push impact of taxing carbon in china a price transmission perspective abstract this paper aims to provide a comprehensive look at the potential price effects of a carbon tax at the sectoral level in chinese economy from a production perspective the sectors subjected to the levy are discussed based on sectoral linkage characteristics and then the tax induced repercussions of output prices are simulated using an extended i o price model the results based on the chinese economy for the year 2012 show that levying a carbon tax on sectors with above average co2 emission linkages and non significant production linkages will increase their output prices by an average of 1 93 while induce relatively slight price increases in the encouraged group 0 30 and the other group 0 34 the household is the least affected sector 0 28 in the economy this means that an appropriate tax design tends to shift intermediate inputs and expenditure toward less co2 intensive goods and services by its uneven cost push impacts on production sectors and the entire economy will ultimately get affected by establishing techniques for policy evaluation our analysis highlights the value of linkage analysis in the design of a carbon tax and brings more clarity to price transmission after the imposition of a carbon tax in the economy consequently the indirect effect of carbon tax on household can be better understood

analysing pollution by way of vertically integrated coefficients with an application to the water sector in aragon in this paper we adopt pasinetti s approach of vertically integrated sectors in order to disaggregate pollution into its most significant components vertical integration allows us to obtain five components and at least five measurement indices corresponding to each sector and each type of pollution these indices overcome some of the deficiencies of the traditional rasmussen type coefficients the empirical application is carried out by reference to the water sector in aragon a region which lies in north eastern spain for five polluting factors namely water returns biological oxygen demand at five days bod5 suspended solids ss nitrates and phosphates copyright 2003 oxford university press

examining the global environmental impact of regional consumption activities part 2 review of input output models for the assessment of environmental impacts embodied in trade this paper offers a detailed review of recently described single and multi region input output models used to assess environmental impacts of internationally traded goods and services it is the second part of a two part contribution in part 1 turner k lenzen m wiedmann t and barrett j in press examining the global environmental impact of regional consumption activities part 1 a technical note on combining input output and ecological footprint analysis ecological economics we describe how to enumerate the resource and pollution content of inter regional and inter national trade flows with the aim to illustrate an ideal accounting and modelling framework for the estimation of ecological footprints a large number of such environment economic models have been described but only in the last few years models have emerged that use a more sophisticated multi region multi sector input output framework this has been made possible through improvements in data availability and quality as well as computability we identify six major models that employ multi sector multi region input output analysis in order to calculate environmental impacts embodied in international trade results from the reviewed studies demonstrate that it is important to explicitly consider the production recipe land and energy use as well as emissions in a multi region multi sector and multi directional trade model with global coverage and detailed sector disaggregation only then reliable figures for indicators of impacts embodied in trade such as the ecological footprint can be derived

finnish consumer perceptions of carbon footprints and carbon labelling of food products abstract the aim of this study was to explore how finnish consumers perceive the communication of carbon footprints for food products the study comprised five semi structured focus groups and an online survey of 1010 respondents the study showed that the term product carbon footprint is familiar to many but there is substantial misunderstanding of its meaning only 7 of the respondents linked product carbon footprint spontaneously to greenhouse gas emissions associated with the product and an additional 5 of the respondents linked it to climate change there are positive attitudes towards carbon labels 90 stated that a carbon footprint would have at least a little impact on their buying decision but the information became meaningful only when many other purchasing criteria such as price and taste were satisfied furthermore 86 preferred carbon labels that allow comparisons of carbon footprints to be made among food products but there is divergence on perceived needs for carbon label content

thailand green gdp assessment based on environmentally extended input output model abstract green gdp is an indicator of economic growth with the environmental impact on that growth factored into the traditional gdp this study aims to develop a green gdp model for thailand using the eio lca method green gdp is calculated by subtracting environmental costs from the traditional gdp environmental cost can be further divided into three components based on the system of environmental economic accounting seea which include depletion cost degradation cost and defensive cost life cycle assessment is a tool for evaluating the environmental impact which in this study focuses on ghg emissions the total direct ghg emissions for thailand are calculated for 1990 2020 based on the 2006 ipcc guidelines and thailand public statistical data for each economic sector it was found that the amount of ghg emissions are 242 459 million tonnes co2eq yr which come from 10 economic sectors comprised of agriculture mining manufacturing petroleum refinery power generation gas separation construction commercial residential and transportation more than 80 of the total direct emissions come from four sectors manufacturing 28 power generation 26 transportation 16 and agriculture 15 the portion of total ghg emissions direct and indirect emissions contributions is different from direct ghg emissions because the proportion of emissions from upstream processes in each sector is different the portion of total ghg emissions of manufacturing agriculture transportation and residential are 60 22 13 and 5 respectively the total thailand green gdp is consolidated from the results of each sector s green gdp the difference between thailand s gdp and green gdp is about 2 due to the degradation cost of ghg emissions with variability in the ratio of gdp to green gdp across different sectors the forecast of green gdp by sector for 2015 2020 can be used as business as usual bau scenarios to support policy making as well as the nama and indc action plan for thailand

american education research changes tack for a quarter century american education researchers have tended to favour qualitative and descriptive analyses over quantitative studies using random assignment or featuring credible quasi experimental research designs this has now changed in 2002 and 2003 the us department of education funded a dozen randomized trials to evaluate the efficacy of pre school programmes up from one in 2000 in this essay i explore the intellectual and legislative roots of this change beginning with the story of how contemporary education research fell out of step with other social sciences i then use a study in which low achieving high school students were randomly offered incentives to learn to show how recent developments in research methods answer ethical and practical objections to the use of random assignment for research on schools finally i offer a few cautionary notes based on results from the recent effort to cut class size in california copyright 2004 oxford university press

perspectives on finland s sustainable consumption and production policy abstract the finnish approach that is starting from the basic human needs of food housing mobility and related lifestyles enables us to address the social dimension of sustainable development alongside the ecological and economic dimensions in this context environmental problems cannot be resolved in isolation from people s everyday lives as can happen if environmental policies are based purely on emissions but it is also worth questioning the potential for national scp programmes in today s global markets over the last ten years domestic material flows within the finnish economy have remained fairly constant with gains in material efficiency cancelled out by increasing levels of material consumption however external material flows and the consequent environmental impacts have steadily increased and the magnitude and environmental impacts of both imports and exports are approximately the same as for domestic flows this means that the role of external material flows can no longer be ignored in national scp policies it is also important to integrate scp with climate policies finland s national climate and energy strategy is mainly based on the need to reduce co 2 emissions from energy production and industrial installations but there is also a need for complementary actions to reduce the carbon footprints caused by private and public consumption

super efficiency and dea sensitivity analysis abstract this paper discusses and reviews the use of super efficiency approach in data envelopment analysis dea sensitivity analyses it is shown that super efficiency score can be decomposed into two data perturbation components of a particular test frontier decision making unit dmu and the remaining dmus as a result dea sensitivity analysis can be done in 1 a general situation where data for a test dmu and data for the remaining dmus are allowed to vary simultaneously and unequally and 2 the worst case scenario where the efficiency of the test dmu is deteriorating while the efficiencies of the other dmus are improving the sensitivity analysis approach developed in this paper can be applied to dmus on the entire frontier and to all basic dea models necessary and sufficient conditions for preserving a dmu s efficiency classification are developed when various data changes are applied to all dmus possible infeasibility of super efficiency dea models is only associated with extreme efficient dmus and indicates efficiency stability to data perturbations in all dmus

the cost of fear the welfare effect of the risk of violence in northern uganda although the effects of insecurity are believed to be important these have never been directly measured previous estimates of the costs of conflict have only captured the joint effect of violence and insecurity the distinction is important for understanding the origins of the costs and for policy design spatially disaggregated measures of insecurity are created based on the spatial temporal variation in the placement of violence these are used to generate the first estimates of the relative causal contributions of the risk and experience of violence the article also provides the first micro data based counterpart to the cross country literature on the costs of conflict

economic response to a guaranteed annual income experience from canada and the united states this article reviews research from the five income maintenance experiments in canada and the united states after sketching the historical and political context of the experiments we compare their designs and discuss some important analytic difficulties our primary focus is the work incentive issue both nonstructural estimates of the experimental effects and elasticity estimates of structural labor supply functions we provide initial estimates of nonstructural and structural models for the canadian experiment we discuss more briefly some non work response findings associated with a guaranteed annual income and offer some personal comments on social experimentation and the policy process

estimating the peace dividend the impact of violence on house prices in northern ireland this article exploits data on the pattern of violence across regions and over time to estimate the impact of the peace process in northern ireland on house prices after establishing a negative correlation between killings and house prices we estimate the parameters of a markov switching model with conflict and peace as latent states we use the model to estimate the size of the peace dividend as captured in house price changes jel d74 r23 r31 conflict in ireland has a long history even after the republic of ireland was created as an independent state in 1920 the status of the mainly protestant north remained contested from the late 1960s a violent conflict flared up which claimed around 3 500 lives only more than two decades later from 1993 onwards emerged a peace process which while initially fragile culminated in a cessation of violence and a return to devolved government by 2007 the conflict was a major source of social and economic dislocation but as peace took hold this has begun to be repaired this paper assesses the impact of peace by using variation in violence within northern ireland to study one important economic aspect of the peace process and the dividend that it brought to residents of northern ireland the impact on house prices houses are assets whose prices reflect the present and future expected attrac tiveness of living in an area even during the height of the conflict in northern ireland violence was not uniform for example belfast the capital city of the province of northern ireland was particularly hard hit looking for economic consequences of the peace process we would therefore expect benefits to be concentrated among areas where violence was most prevalent we exploit within region variability in violence and house prices over time having such variation is rare in studies of the economic consequences of conflict our specific measure of violence is conflict related deaths these have been well documented by sutton 1994 and the conflict archive on the

a literature study for dea applied to energy and environment abstract this study systematically summarizes previous research efforts on data envelopment analysis dea applied to energy and environment in the past four decades including concepts and methodologies on dea environmental assessment industrial developments are very important for all nations in terms of their economic prosperities a problem is that the development produces various pollutions on air water and other types of contaminations all of which are usually associated with our health problems and climate changes thus it is necessary for us to consider how to make a balance between economic success and pollution mitigation to maintain a high level of social sustainability in the world it is widely considered that dea is one of the methodologies to examine the level of sustainability this study examines a recent research trend on dea applications from 1980s to 2010s nowadays many researchers have paid serious attention on how to combat various difficulties in the areas of energy and environment as a result the number of articles on dea applications on energy and environment has dramatically increased particularly after 2000s however it is true that dea has strengths and drawbacks in the applications therefore it is very important for us to carefully use dea for guiding large policy issues and business strategies such as the global warming and climate change an underlying premise of this study is that technology innovation in engineering and natural science may solve various problems by linking it with political and managerial efforts the use of dea provides a methodological linkage among them so enhancing the practicality in mitigating problems due to climate change and environmental pollutions this literature study along with a summary on conceptual and methodological developments provides us with guidelines for our future research works on dea on energy and environment issues

a review of recent multi region input output models used for consumption based emission and resource accounting abstract the interest in consumption based emission and resource accounting has grown significantly many studies juxtapose consumer emissions carbon footprint and producer territorial emissions of greenhouse gases in order to demonstrate the effects of trade on the national emission budget to this end a respectable number of studies have been undertaken worldwide in order to estimate emissions embedded in international trade of numerous countries and world regions input output approaches and increasingly multi region input output mrio models are commonly chosen as they provide an appropriate methodological framework for complete carbon footprint estimates at the national and supra national level with increasing processing capabilities of computers and a wider availability of economic accounts environmental accounts and trade data such models are now being implemented on a wide scale after a brief overview of salient single region input output studies i provide an in depth review of the most recent multi region input output models used for the purpose of consumption based environmental accounting the main methodological features and important results are described for around twenty studies covering the years 2007 to 2009 this is followed by a detailed review of studies dealing with uncertainty in mrio analysis an area which has not received a lot of attention so far i conclude that further research is mainly needed in two areas a improvements in data availability and quality and b improvements in the accuracy of mrio modelling

the cycle of violence an empirical analysis of fatalities in the palestinian israeli conflict thomas c schelling s the strategy of conflict 1960 laid the groundwork for thinking about conflicts as non zero sum games in which each side may choose to exercise or threaten violence in order to deter or incapacitate the opponent or simply to exact revenge it has been difficult however to test many of the predictions formulated by schelling and others because of the lack of data on the strategic choices of the two sides engaged in a conflict observed at a high enough frequency for statistical tests to have any power this paper uses daily frequency data to analyze the dynamics of violence during four years of the second intifada the most recent outburst of the palestinian israeli conflict

eco efficiency assessment of eu manufacturing sectors combining input output tables and data envelopment analysis following production and consumption based accounting approaches abstract assessing the footprint of anthropogenic activities has become particularly challenging in today s globalized markets where a large number of economic transactions taking place across the globe need to be disentangled before the most critical sectors are identified in this work we present an approach to quantify the eco efficiency of economic activities that combines multi regional environmentally extended input output tables and data envelopment analysis we employ this method to assess the european union manufacturing sectors in terms of three inputs global warming potential potential acidifying equivalent and tropospheric ozone forming potential and one output economic wealth following both production and consumption based accounting approaches our approach classifies economic sectors as efficient and inefficient and for the latter it provides improvement targets that if attained would make them efficient we find that there is a significant mismatch at the sectorial level between both accounting schemes each providing complementary information for policy making in the production based case targets allow identifying sectors and pollutants requiring more stringent regulations and or higher investments in cleaner technologies conversely the consumption based accounting allows identifying the ultimate sources of impact an insight that can assist in the selection of alternative cleaner suppliers via eco labelling of products services and proper taxation schemes

co2 emissions and poverty alleviation in china an empirical study based on municipal panel data abstract industrial transition and climate change regulation to reduce co2 emissions will affect employment and further influence social poverty in this study we measured co2 emissions and the poverty alleviation index based on socio economic and energy consumption statistic data from 286 municipal cities in china for 2007 2014 analyzed relationships between co2 emissions employment rate and poverty alleviation index using simultaneous equations and interpreted the mechanism by which co2 emissions influence social poverty at the municipal level the results indicate that average co2 emissions from china increased by 32 9 with a rapid initial rise and then steady growth from 2007 to 2014 while the average poverty alleviation index increased by 25 19 during the same period co2 emissions had a significant positive relationship with employment rate in all industries in addition employment rate was negatively correlated with poverty alleviation in primary industry and positively correlated with poverty alleviation in non agricultural industry studying the mechanisms for co2 emission impacts on poverty alleviation can provide important references for adapting to global climate change promoting sustainable development and safeguarding the legitimate development rights of all countries especially developing countries

water use in the spanish economy an input output approach against the background of the water limitations that often appear in spain the aim of this paper is to study the behaviour of the productive sectors of the spanish economy as direct and indirect consumers of water to that end we employ input output analysis with the particular methodology being based on the linkages analysis known as the hypothetical extraction method hem we have introduced three modifications to this method first the valuation is made in terms of water consumption secondly we obtain the components of the impacts of each block of activity into which the economy is divided with these components being described as the internal effect mixed linkage net or external backward linkage and net or external forward linkage thirdly this methodology is used to detect key sectors our results confirm the marked importance of the agriculture food and other services blocks as regards the direct and indirect consumption of water in general we also find that other services chemicals metals and electronics and agriculture blocks play an important role in explaining the consumption of drinking water moreover the hem analysis allows us to classify productive sectors according to their forward or backward linkage character in a way that is more precise than that permitted by earlier methods finally this methodology can be extended to other types of environmental pressures 2002 elsevier science b v all rights reserved

economic growth and the evolution of water consumption in spain a structural decomposition analysis abstract the aim of this paper is to examine how technology processes of input substitution and changes in final demand all of which underlie economic growth influence water consumption this analysis is undertaken for spain during a significant socio economic period from 1980 the beginning of the democratic era to 2007 the onset of the current economic crisis to this end we construct water consumption series linked to a time series of input output tables generated for the spanish economy and we develop a structural decomposition analysis to study mainly changes in water consumption embodied in final demand we find that the growth in spanish demand all other things being constant would have implied an increase in water consumption almost three times the growth actually observed however this demand effect is largely offset by technology and intensity effects mainly due to changes in agricultural crops given the importance of the demand growth the final demand effect is also analyzed in detail broken down by categories as well as level and composition household demand and the increase of exports appear as key explicative factors

international comparison of resource use and its relation to economic growth the development of total material requirement direct material inputs and hidden flows and the structure of tmr abstract resource flows constitute the materials basis of the economy at the same time they carry and induce an environmental burden associated with resource extraction and the subsequent material flows and stocks which finally end up as waste and emissions a reduction of this material throughput and the related impacts would require a reduction of resource inputs and breaking the link between resource consumption and economic growth would require an increase in resource productivity material flow analysis mfa can be used to quantify resource flows and indicate resource productivity in this article we study the available empirical evidence on the actual de linkage of material resource use and economic growth we compare resource use with respect to total material requirement tmr and direct material input dmi for 11 and 26 countries respectively and the european union eu 15 the dynamics of tmr as well as of the main components are analysed in relation to economic growth in order to show whether there is a decoupling relative or absolute from gdp and a change of the metabolic structure in the course of economic development dmi cap so far only decoupled from gdp cap in relative terms that is in most countries it reached a rather constant level but with the exception of czech republic showed no absolute decline yet tmr cap was reduced in two high income countries and one low income country due to political influence changes in tmr were more influenced by hidden flows hf than by dmi we analyse the dynamics of the structure and composition of tmr in the course of economic development in general the economic development of industrial countries was accompanied by a shift from domestic to foreign resource extraction different relations can be discovered for the share of biomass fossil fuel resources construction resources and metals and industrial minerals

tailored advice and services to enhance sustainable household consumption in finland abstract household consumption for housing mobility food goods and services accounts for about 70 of finland s carbon footprint greenhouse gas emissions caused by the domestic final use of products therefore climate change mitigation calls for changes in human behaviour and consumption patterns opinion polls indicate that finns are concerned about climate issues at the same time the carbon footprint of household consumption in finland is high on a global scale it is clear that environmentally sustainable behaviour and decisions at the household level require knowledge motivation and services that support actions to tackle unsustainable consumption patterns action models promoting households environmental sustainability were developed and piloted in finland the action research approach was applied to study the process of development and piloting of the action models with key intermediaries and target groups involved in the process these action models were designed specifically to help households decrease their energy consumption and carbon footprint the action models provide tailored feedback and advice to address sustainable consumption from two perspectives 1 everyday sustainable choices and practices and 2 long term home renovation decisions in the action models the focus is on the most significant consumption choices therefore they also supplement finland s programme for sustainable consumption and production the pilot work demonstrates the role of the interactive process and feedback from target groups and intermediaries in significantly improving the action models the importance of personal contact for supporting household interpretation of numerical data and provision of tailored advice the role of intermediaries in disseminating research based knowledge and tools and that sustainability based perspectives in the renovation and housing maintenance sector can provide new and supplementary business opportunities

driving fatalities after 9 11 a hidden cost of terrorism we show that the public s response to terrorist threats can have unintended consequences that rival the attacks themselves in severity driving fatalities increased significantly after the 11 september 2001 terrorist attacks events that prompted many travellers to substitute road transportation for safer air transportation after controlling for time trends weather road conditions and other factors we find that travellers response to 9 11 resulted in 327 driving deaths per month in late 2001 moreover while the effect of 9 11 weakened over time as many as 2300 driving deaths may be attributable to the attacks

tax policy reform the role of empirical evidence to understand the role of evidence in tax policy design this paper organizes the empirical analysis of reform under five loosely related headings i key margins of adjustment ii measurement of effective tax rates iii the importance of information and complexity iv evidence on the size of responses and v implications from theory for tax design the context for the discussion is the recently published mirrlees review of tax reform although the review focused on all aspects of tax reform this paper highlights the taxation of earnings it also comments on earnings taxation in the context of vat base broadening reforms and the taxation of capital

non parametric estimates of the labor supply effects of negative income tax programs this article reports nonparametric estimates of the effect of labor supply behavior on the payments to families enrolled in the seattle denver income maintenance experiment the randomized assignment of families to the treatment groups in this experiment was designed to permit the calculation of these nonparametric estimates however the nonparametric estimates have never been reported even though they are easy to construct using a simple weighting procedure unfortunately responses to the data collection instrument which depended on costly surveys were not random and this opens up some ambiguity in the results

case study on initial allocation of shanghai carbon emission trading based on shapley value abstract carbon emission trading is an effective measure to reduce greenhouse gas emissions worldwide china has publicized plans to initiate the demonstration of carbon emission trading in seven regions as of 2013 initial allocation is fundamental but it proposes difficulty in the mechanism design of the carbon emission trading system benchmark grandfathering and the shapley value have been employed to simulate a specific case which consists of the initial allocation of carbon emission allowances of three power plants in shanghai china the results of the shapley value are regarded as a theoretical equitable reference the results of benchmark are similar to those of the shapley value however it is apparent that the allocation regarding grandfathering is inequitable considering other factors we proposed the following at the introduction of experimental stage free allocation pertaining to grandfathering can be adopted meanwhile benchmark should be prepared and adopted at the appropriate time furthermore a portion of the initial allowances can be reserved for auction and this portion for auction will escalate to the extent of 100 upon entering the formal stage in addition the tiered price mechanism and the subsidy policy are also suggested

a multiple objective model to deal with economy energy environment interactions abstract an economy energy environment multiple objective model based on the linear structure of inter industry production linkages is presented axes of evaluation consistent with sustainable energy strategies economic growth social welfare and environmental friendliness are explicitly considered the aim of this study is to provide decision makers with a comprehensive model which allows to assess environmental burdens global warming potential and acidification potential with respect to changes in economic activities consistent with distinct policy measures

water pollution in the spanish economy analysis of sensitivity to production and environmental constraints abstract in this paper we discuss the relationships between production processes and water pollution based on the recent satellite water accounts swa ine spanish national statistics institute 2002 and the 1997 input output tables for the spanish economy the study focuses on four pollutants biological oxygen demand bod metals nitrogen and phosphorus and seven sector blocks firstly we identify the roles of the various sector blocks as generators and consumers of each type of pollution secondly we examine how pollution responds to changes in unit coefficients of pollution and final demand patterns to obtain the shadow prices for the different pollutants the results obtained provide a sound basis for the design of improvements in environmental policy

estimation and control of spanish energy related co2 emissions an input output approach this article uses input output methods to obtain the energy related co2 intensities for the spanish economy in 1992 based on those intensities it yields a structural decomposition of spanish energy related co2 emissions and an estimation of the price effects of several hypothetical carbon taxes levied on fossil fuel consumption these results are related to the ongoing discussion within eu circles and member states about the consequences of carbon energy taxes and to the simulated effects of such taxes in various countries the paper also responds to the lack of reliable disaggregated data on spanish co2 emissions and to the growing awareness on the limited effectiveness of spanish climate change policies

assassinations evaluating the effectiveness of an israeli counterterrorism policy using stock market data since the outbreak of the intifada in september 2000 the israeli government has extensively employed a policy of assassinating members of palestinian terrorist organizations theoretically the net effect of an assassination on future terrorism is indeterminate because it embodies two conflicting effects the assassination of a terrorist hurts his organization s capabilities but may increase the motivation for future attacks our indirect empirical evaluation of the effectiveness of assassinations for isreali counterterrorism is based on israeli stock market reactions to news of such operations we rely on the fact that terrorism has had significant adverse effects on the israeli economy and claim that the stock market should react positively to news about effective counterterrorism measures but negatively to news about counterproductive ones we find that the market does not react to assassinations of low ranked members of palestinian terrorist organizations the market does react strongly however to the assassinations of senior leaders of terrorist organizations it declines following assassinations targeting senior political leaders but rises following assassinations of senior military leaders to the extent that these reactions reflect expectations regarding future levels of terrorism they imply that the market perceives the first type of assassinations as counterproductive but the second as an effective measure in combating terrorism

retaliating against terrorism rational expectations and the optimality of rules versus discretion the application of rational expectations theory to policies of retaliation against terrorism suggests that only unexpected retaliations will be effective in causing terrorist attacks to deviate from their natural rate and that there is a time inconsistency problem in responding to terrorism since the optimal response rate to terrorism would never be believable to the terrorists the first best policy may be for the government retaliating against terrorism to have its response rate constrained by an externally imposed rule a time series intervention model of terrorist attacks against israel supports the natural rate hypothesis and therefore also the desirability of a retaliatory rule over policy discretion israeli retaliation for the 1972 munich massacre was the first israeli retaliation of unexpectedly large magnitude and it produced a temporary deviation of terrorist attacks from the natural rate retaliation has no long term deterrent or escalation effect

electoral terms and terrorism many terror attacks occur at the beginning of electoral terms we present a game theoretical model with incomplete information to account for this empirical pattern both terrorists and governments can be of weak or strong types we find that the risk of terror attacks is highest at the beginning of electoral terms because striking early allows the terrorists to collect valuable information about the government s type and also because terrorists know that even initially weak governments sometimes retaliate to show toughness closer to an upcoming election the model s predictions are consistent with anecdotal evidence

examining industrial structure changes and corresponding carbon emission reduction effect by combining input output analysis and social network analysis a comparison study of china and japan abstract industrial structure adjustment is one solution for responding economic slowdown and environmental problems occurred during china s rapid industrialization such an adjustment may also lead to carbon emission reduction since it encourages industrial innovation and resource efficiency however few studies have been conducted on examining the effect of industrial structure adjustment on carbon emission reduction under such a circumstance this study develops an integrated evaluation model based on input output analysis and social network analysis to quantify the evolutionary trends of industrial structure demonstrate the inner relationship between different sectors and investigate the industrial structure related carbon emissions china and japan were selected as case study countries results show that industrial structure was gradually improved in china and various connections were established between different sectors for japan the industrial network densities were lower than for china and exhibited a downward trend that reflected the weakened relationship between different industries service sectors dominated the japanese economy as shown by the relatively higher degree centrality and betweenness centrality of service sectors the electricity and heat production sector was further investigated to illustrate the industrial structure related carbon emissions finally this study concluded that compared to the industrial structure features in a developed country such as japan china s industrialization is still in its infancy thus it is crucial to prepare industrial structure adjust policies so that the overall social economic performance can be improved

dynamic environmental performance analysis a malmquist index approach abstract this article presents a general framework for dynamic environmental performance analysis by generalizing the approach proposed by kuosmanen and kortelainen kuosmanen t kortelainen m 2005 measuring eco efficiency of production with data envelopment analysis journal of industrial ecology 9 4 59 72 from a static to a dynamic setting for this purpose we construct an environmental performance index epi by applying frontier efficiency techniques and a malmquist index approach compared to other dynamic environmental productivity and efficiency analysis approaches based on these methods our approach builds on the standard definition of eco efficiency as it is presented in the ecological economics literature recognizing the importance to analyze the sources of environmental performance changes we show how changes in overall environmental performance can be decomposed into changes in relative eco efficiency and shifts in environmental technology respectively we apply the presented technique at the macro level to dynamic environmental performance analysis of 20 member states of the european union in 1990 2003 according to the results environmental technical change mostly explains the improvement in overall environmental performance while relative eco efficiency change has been minor for most countries during the sample period

decoupling the lock in effect between economic growth and co2 emissions by structure adjustment a final demand perspective abstract this study incorporates demand emission sensitivity into a programming model to explore the issue of decoupling the lock in effect between economic growth and co2 emissions through structure adjustment from a final demand perspective as a demonstration the proposed methodology is applied to data from china for the year 2012 the most relevant productive linkages and the most sensitive components of final demand in terms of co2 emissions were identified the results indicate that to formulate better carbon mitigation policies we should pay more attention to the main internal linkages in terms of co2 emissions within the economy

combinations of policy instruments to decrease the climate impacts of housing passenger transport and food in finland policy instruments and measures already target the global warming impacts of housing and transport in many countries although many of those instruments were not originally developed for the purpose however the challenge of curbing climate change calls not only for innovative and improved instruments but for integrated policy packages that address consumption across the entire product life cycle recognize links between different consumption sectors and identify and harness synergies between instruments to this end we first evaluate the effectiveness of existing policy instruments targeted at housing passenger transport and food in finland the results show large impacts on greenhouse gas emissions second we integrate instruments into packages which minimize potential negative interferences while strengthening synergies and complementarities between instruments we estimate the potential of the consequent emission reductions to be considerable by 2020 housing and passenger transport emissions are estimated to decline by 4 2 million tons mt integrated food related policy packages are estimated to reduce emissions 0 3 mt in finland and life cycle based emissions by 0 5 mt altogether the emission reduction would be 4 5 mt in finland which is over 6 of finland s average emissions 68 mt for years 2008 2012 in conclusion though greenhouse gas emissions of household consumption have already been affected by policy instruments it is better to develop policy packages by which the synergies between measures can be reinforced and hence overall effectiveness can be improved we found acceptability of policy instruments to be a key issue necessitating careful implementation long term consistency and research showing evidence of their effectiveness the full realization of the policy package potential requires improved co operation across relevant ministries and public authorities which can be facilitated by common policy programs and objectives for all related public authorities the project results were used in the preparation of a revision of finland s program for sustainable consumption and production we propose that similar policy package development processes in other countries would increase further our understanding about effective policy packages reinforce each other and speed up the changes for more sustainable consumption

a consumption based approach to carbon emission accounting sectoral differences and environmental benefits in recent years there has been growing concern about the emission trade balances of countries this is due to the fact that countries with an open economy are active players in international trade trade is not only a major factor in forging a country s economic structure but contributes to the movement of embodied emissions beyond country borders this issue is especially relevant from the carbon accounting policy and domestic production perspective as it is known that the production based principle is employed in the kyoto agreement the research described herein was designed to reveal the interdependence of countries on international trade and the corresponding embodied emissions both on national and on sectoral level and to illustrate the significance of the consumption based emission accounting it is presented here to what extent a consumption based accounting would change the present system based on production based accounting and allocation the relationship of co2 emission embodied in exports and embodied in imports is analysed here international trade can blur the responsibility for the ecological effects of production and consumption and it can lengthen the link between consumption and its consequences input output models are used in the methodology as they provide an appropriate framework for climate change accounting the analysis comprises an international comparative study of four european countries germany the united kingdom the netherlands and hungary with extended trading activities and carbon emissions moving from a production based approach in climate policy to a consumption based principle and allocation approach would help to increase the efficiency of emission reductions and would force countries to rethink their trading activities in order to decrease the environmental load of production activities the results of this study show that it is important to distinguish between the two emission accounting approaches both on the global and the local level

unequal raw material exchange between and within countries galicia nw spain as a core periphery economy abstract a global multi regional input output model with sub national resolution for galicia north west spain was used to study physical and value added trade balances between galicia the rest of spain and the world within the framework of ecologically unequal exchange theory we argue that a region such as galicia can play a twofold role as core and periphery in the global division of extractive activities we show that galicia is a sink i e net importer of natural resources from middle and low income economies and that the lower the income of the trade partner the more raw material intensive the imports measured as upstream kg per usd imported value added however this physical deficit is less accentuated than for the rest of spain and galicia s material footprint is significantly lower 14 2 compared with 24 5 t capita moreover galicia is a source i e net exporter of raw materials compared with more thriving european union economies and even for some key trade partners such as germany uk and the rest of spain it is a net importer of value added

changing industrial structure to reduce carbon dioxide emissions a chinese application abstract increasing concern about carbon dioxide co2 emission reduction demands knowledge about the production structure of an economy information on productive linkages yields insight about forward and backward emission effects associated with sectoral inputs and outputs and serves as an essential starting point to identify the optimised industrial structure under the constraint of co2 emission this paper proposes a combined linkage analysis and multi objective programming approach to identify the key co2 emission sectors and the optimised production structure with respect to emission reduction target as a demonstration the proposed approach is applied to data from china in 2007 the result shows that to reduce co2 emissions from 5707 16 to 5452 12 million tonnes china needs to change its industrial structure by focussing on industrial groups as defined by linkage characteristics which would lead to a subsequent gdp decrease of 82 59 billion yuan from a policy standpoint the analytical techniques described in this paper can provide valuable information for planners and decision makers to formulate feasible and practical industrial polices with implications for co2 emissions

global warming agreements international trade and energy carbon embodiments an input output approach to the italian case abstract in the kyoto protocol the absence of green house gases ghgs commitments of developing countries non annex i and the more flexible terms of implementation which are allowed to countries shifting toward a market economy transition economies naturally lead to the absence or to less constraining national measures and policies of reduction of the ghgs emissions which in turn may determine a comparative advantage in the production of the highest energy carbon intensive commodities for these countries these arguments are valid also considering the future implementation of the european emission allowance trading scheme eats thus developing countries may become a haven for the production of not environmental friendly commodities in this case the so called pollution haven hypothesis stating that due to freer international trade the comparative advantage may change the economic structure and consequently the trade patterns of the countries linked by trade relationships could occur this would lead to the increase of the transfers of energy and carbon embodied in traded commodities from developing countries and transition economies toward kyoto or eats constrained countries the aim of this paper is to verify if for italy as a kyoto and eats complying country evidence of a change in the trade patterns occurred on the basis of the pollution haven hypothesis does exist and to estimate the magnitude of the under estimation of the carbon actually emitted the carbon leakage the input output model has been used to calculate the intensities of energy consumption and the related green house gases emission for each italian economic sector

a goal programming model for environmental policy analysis application to spain abstract sustainable development has become an important part of international and national approaches to integrate economic environmental social and ethical considerations so that a good quality of life can be enjoyed by current and future generations for as long as possible however nowadays sustainable development is threatened by industrial pollution emissions which cause serious environmental problems due to a lack of adequate quantitative models for environmental policy analysis there is a strong need for analytical models in order to know the effects of environmental policies in the present paper a goal programming model based on an environmental input output linear programming model is developed and applied to the spanish economy the model combines relations between economic energy social and environmental effects providing valuable information for policy makers in order to define and examine the different goals that must be implemented to reach sustainability

macroeconomic consequences of terror theory and the case of israel abstract this paper analyzes the effect of terror on the economy terror endangers life such that the value of the future relative to the present is reduced hence due to a rise in terror activity investment goes down and in the long run income and consumption go down as well governments can offset terror by putting tax revenues into the production of security facing a tide in terror a government that acts optimally increases the proportion of output spent on defense but does not fully offset the tide thus when terror peaks the long run equilibrium with an optimizing government is of lower output and welfare next we show that this theory of terror and the economy helps to understand changes in trend and business cycle of the israeli economy the estimates show that terror has a large impact on the aggregate economy continued terror at the level of the death toll by about the same size as due to car accidents is expected to decrease annual consumption per capita by about 5 in 2004 had israel not suffered from terror during the last 3 years we estimate that the output per capita would have been 10 higher than it is today

international trade and shared environmental responsibility by sector an application to the spanish economy abstract the aim of this paper is to define a shared responsibility criterion for analysing the impact of international trade on co 2 emissions applied to sectors with the approach proposed it is possible for sectors in a country to account for only a part of the emissions associated with exported and imported goods the agents considered as responsible for pollution are sectors two fold as producers and suppliers of intermediate inputs and final demand accounting for direct emissions linked to production and as consumers of intermediate inputs required for production accounting for direct and indirect emissions linked to consumption of inputs and the countries and foreign sectors that trade with these industries the responsibility of emissions is shared by all the participants along the global product chain depending on the value added of each step the criterion is applied to the spanish economy for the period 2000 to 2005 and proves useful for determining what economic policies may be suitable for mitigating anthropogenic impact on the environment and for including all the agents of the supply chain in the development of sustainable supply chain management

a new frontier approach to model the eco efficiency in european countries abstract this study aims to evaluate the resource and environment efficiency problem of european countries we specify a new stochastic frontier model where gross domestic product gdp is considered as the desirable output and greenhouse gases ghg emissions as the undesirable output capital labor fossil fuels and renewable energy consumption are regarded as inputs gdp ghg ratio is maximized given the values of the other four variables the study is divided into two distinct periods 2000 2004 and 2005 2011 this division is related to the implementation of the kyoto protocol in 2005 and will allow us to evaluate the difference between the levels of efficiency before and after the establishment of environmental targets since stochastic frontier models are typically ill posed a new maximum entropy approach to assess technical efficiency which combines information from the data envelopment analysis and the structure of composed error from the stochastic frontier approach without requiring distributional assumptions is presented in this work

carbon dioxide co2 emissions during urbanization a comparative study between china and japan as the world s largest emitter of co2 china is facing increasing domestic and international pressures on emissions mitigation considering japan s leading position in energy conservation this paper conducts a comparative study between china and japan at the urbanization stages to analyze the similarities as well as differences of influencing factors of co2 emissions results indicate that although co2 emissions in japan and china showed the similar characteristics of rigid growth during the urbanization processes significant differences exist in factors such as co2 emissions per capita energy structure and energy intensity between the two countries which are the determinants for co2 emissions growth a cointegration model is constructed to examine the long run equilibrium relationship between co2 emissions and factors including gdp urbanization level energy intensity and cement manufacture empirical results show that there is a quadratic relationship between income growth and co2 emissions granger causality test is then adopted to explore the causal relationships among the variables the future co2 emissions and emission reduction potentials in china are estimated based on scenario analysis finally japan s valuable experience of reducing energy intensity and optimizing energy structure is concluded to provide important policy implications for china s strategic low carbon planning and low carbon transition

size and linkages of the spanish construction industry key sector or deformation of the economy until its recent end the spanish construction industry enjoyed a decade of unprecedented growth absorbing labour and capital from other sectors of the economy in huge amounts using the input output methodology we compare the picture for different countries in order to seek patterns and identify possible distortions associated with the extraordinary growth of the construction sector in spain we find that the sector is plainly oversized in spain in comparison to its closest benchmarks namely a group of oecd advanced economies the available input output data for spain covering several years also provide evidence of a process of deformation of the economy on this basis we provide an initial estimate of the impact a hypothetical adjustment in the industry would have on total income and employment in the economy copyright the author 2010 published by oxford university press on behalf of the cambridge political economy society all rights reserved oxford university press

an in depth economic restructuring framework by using particle swarm optimization abstract the aim of this paper is the development of an integrated framework based on environmental input output analysis for optimizing the economic structure of an economy the restructuring process is approached as a constraint optimization problem where the optimized variables are the elements of the matrix of domestic technical coefficients a method for determining the optimal level of the productive linkages of an economy in order to maximize its output with the minimal greenhouse gas emissions the possible is suggested the proposed methodology is able to join both environmental and economic policy targets in the form of predefined constraints the objective function which is going to be minimized expresses the greenhouse gas emissions ghg intensity or ghg emissions per unit of output a particle swarm algorithm is employed for the solution of the optimization problem an illustrative application to the greek economy was carried out the experimental results revealed that if the greek economy will apply policies for boosting the sectors of high and medium high r d intensity then the greenhouse gas emission per unit of gross domestic product of greece would be reduced furthermore the promotion of high and medium high r d intensity sectors is connected with an important improvement of the production linkages to a wide range of sectors highlighting the important spillover effect of the suggested restructuring process

investigating multi regional cross industrial linkage based on sustainability assessment and sensitivity analysis a case of construction industry in china abstract construction industry is one of the most energy intensive industries and its output value plays a vital role in economic growth of china it s expected to be valuable to investigate its sustainability and improvement paths under the background of environment friendly and conservation minded development at first we adopted a non radial data envelopment analysis incorporating both natural and managerial disposability to study regional differences regards comprehensive performance of construction industry in china and then a multi regional cross industrial linkage analysis was carried out embodiment in the sustainable assessment and sensitivity analysis based on the ghosh model accordingly we intended to provide a systematic relational network focusing on the key provinces and industries which play important roles in improving the comprehensive performance of construction industry in detail hebei shanghai hubei yunnan and gansu were found to be the most inefficient on account of the results from sustainable assessment in 2007 in accordance with the results from the sensitivity analysis based on the regional input output model the adjustment of rationing in mining processing of ores manufacture of non metallic mineral products and smelting pressing of metals will effectively increase the comprehensive performance of construction industry in the above mentioned provinces emphatically the method integration used in this study which could also be applied in other sectors and countries is a new try to study an industry from the multi regional and cross industrial perspective

energy and carbon embodied in the international trade of brazil an input output approach abstract all goods and services produced in an economy are directly and or indirectly associated with energy use and according to the type of fuel utilized with co2 emissions as well international trade is an important factor in shaping the industrial structure of a country and consequently in affecting a country s energy use and co2 emissions this study applies input output techniques to the brazilian economy to evaluate the total impacts of international trade on its energy use and co2 emissions a commodity by industry io model in hybrid units energy commodities in physical units and non energy commodities in monetary units is applied to the brazilian economy in 1995 results show that total energy embodied in the exports of non energy goods of brazil equals 831 pj while total carbon embodied is 13 5 mtc these amounts are larger than the relevant amounts embodied in the imports of non energy goods respectively 679 pj and 9 9 mtc these figures are better understood by contrasting them with the total energy use and the corresponding total carbon emissions of the brazilian economy in 1995 estimated by this work 6781 pj and 99 4 mtc respectively this means that international inflows and outflows of energy embodied in non energy goods are in the order of 10 and 12 of the total energy use while inflows and outflows of carbon embodied in non energy goods are approximately 10 and 14 of the corresponding total carbon emissions of the brazilian economy in 1995 the general picture is that brazil is not only a net exporter of energy 153 pj and of carbon 3 6 mtc embodied in the non energy goods internationally traded by the country in 1995 but also that each dollar earned with exports embodied 40 more energy and 56 more carbon than each dollar spent on imports these findings suggest that brazilian policy makers should be concerned about the extra impacts international trade policy may have on energy use and carbon emissions of the country

the political economy under monetary union has the euro made a difference economic and monetary union emu has transformed europe and has created an integrated pan european economy much research has focused on understanding this integration process and what benefits and costs it entails this paper identifies a political economy channel of emu as the monetary union implies that member states had to transfer or at least curtail their policy autonomy in several areas such as monetary policy and fiscal policy the paper shows that emu has helped reduce the impact of political shocks on the domestic economy of member states but magnified the transmission of political shocks within the euro area equally importantly economies with weak domestic policies and institutions exhibited a significantly higher sensitivity to domestic political shocks before emu but not thereafter while this may entail that emu has brought benefits to countries with weaker policies and institutions by insulating them from adverse political developments at home a potential drawback is that it may provide weaker market discipline for domestic political stability marcel fratzscher and livio stracca

small investment and large returns terrorism media and the economy the study investigates the role of the media in the impact of terrorism on the economy a unique data set of the newspaper articles that reported terrorist attacks during 2002 is used to evaluate their impact on the tel aviv stock exchange an econometric analysis is performed in order to understand how a newspaper decides to cover a terrorist attack i e the number of articles positioning of articles whether to include photos and the size of headlines it was found that media coverage is an important channel through which terrorism produces economic damage the findings also showed that the economic damage caused by terrorist attacks increases monotonically with the amount of media coverage it was also found that the economic impact of the media coverage diminishes over time

eco efficiency measurement of industrial sectors in china a hybrid super efficiency dea analysis abstract eco efficiency is of great significance in the attainment of a sustainable society and is the most severe issue facing industrial sectors in china in this work a hybrid super efficiency data envelopment analysis dea was conducted to measure eco efficiency and analyze the problem of inefficiency facing industrial sectors in china dea has been widely used in eco efficiency analysis however existing dea models focus on the evolution and comparison of eco efficiency values and do not consider the evolution characteristics of the input nor undesirable output inefficiency and neglect the radial and non radial classifications of input and output indices simultaneously thus this work proposes a hybrid super efficiency dea model which combines hybrid dea with super efficiency dea separating the input and undesirable output variables into radial and non radial parts using variable correlations for the panel data of the industrial sectors the malmquist index is introduced in this approach subsequently this approach is illustrated using a real data set from 22 industrial sectors in china corresponding to the period of 2006 2015 results show that eco efficiencies of the 22 industrial sectors increased consistently from 2006 to 2015 due to a lack of momentum in sustained growth technological progress regarding the improvement of eco efficiency requires acceleration more and more sectors have achieved rapid enhancements in input and undesirable output inefficiencies but 10 traditional sectors with high resource consumption and heavy emissions of pollutants remain inefficient

advancing factors influencing resource productivity through the use of the material utility framework abstract in this paper we propose material utility as a new concept for analyzing the influencing factors of resource productivity rp we demonstrate the application of this concept by empirically analyzing direct and indirect factors influencing rp results indicate the following 1 rp is essentially an aggregate of the efficiency of a material s major utility for different resource categories by weight of their respective utility coefficients 2 the direct factors influencing rp are utility coefficient c intensity of utility use in economic sectors t and economic structure s whereby c t and s respectively contribute 7 119 and 26 to the decline of fossil energy intensity the inverse of rp for fossil energy in china during the period of 1980 2010 3 the indirect factors influencing rp are resource quality technology and economic structure specifically rp can be increased by using higher quality resources e g metal ore with higher ore grade one unit 1 increase in research and development r d expenditure intensity and percentage of tertiary industry will result in 427 us ton and 40 us ton increase in rp respectively this research suggests new avenues for improving the accuracy of rp as an indicator and for policy measurement for increasing rp

multi criteria model for sustainable development using goal programming applied to the united arab emirates abstract sustainable development requires implementing suitable policies integrating several competing objectives on economic environmental energy and social criteria multi criteria decision analysis mcda using goal programming is a popular and widely used technique to study decision problems in the face of multiple conflicting objectives mcda assists policy makers by providing clarity in choosing between alternatives for strategic planning and investments in this paper we propose a weighted goal programming model that integrates efficient allocation of resources to simultaneously achieve sustainability related goals on gdp growth electricity consumption and ghg emissions we validate the model with application to key economic sectors of the united arab emirates to achieve sustainable development goals by the year 2030 the model solution provides a quantitative justification and a basis for comparison in planning future energy requirements and an indispensable requirement to include renewable sources to satisfy long term energy requirements

to each their own the greenhouse gas impacts of intra household sharing in different urban zones abstract decreasing household size is a global trend driven by urbanization and multiple other socioeconomic trends going solo poses a great environmental challenge as the possibility to benefit from scale economies in consumption and its greenhouse gas impacts is not taken advantage of in other words understanding of intra household sharing patterns of different consumption categories is increasingly important in climate change mitigation this paper explores the relationship between household sizes urban structures and greenhouse gas impacts of lifestyles when urban areas grow outwards the household sizes also grow as a result of this the increase in intra household sharing seems to alleviate the negative ghg implications of urban sprawl which is highly logical but yet not comprehended thus the rise of collaborative consumption offers potential to reduce the greenhouse gas emissions of solo dwellers and compensate for the lower intra household sharing with inter household sharing

environmental efficiency and abatement cost of china s industrial sectors based on a three stage data envelopment analysis abstract china has gained the reputation of global factory due to its phenomenal industrial growth over the past decades at the same time its industrial energy consumption has resulted in serious environmental problems accordingly there is an urgent and critical need to reduce industrial carbon emissions at a minimum cost without hampering the country s economic development the dual targets for carbon emission intensity and amount from the 12th five year 2011 2015 plan make it necessary to investigate the environmental efficiency and reduction costs of different sectors this study employs a three stage data envelopment analysis model based on a directional distance function approach with radial and non radial slacks of desirable and undesirable outputs considered to measure the environmental efficiency and marginal co2 emission abatement costs of china s 37 two digit industries during 2005 2014 based on the environmental efficiency and abatement cost of the industrial sectors we reached the following conclusions first the adjusted estimates differ significantly from the results that do not consider the influence of environmental factors and it is essential to consider the heterogeneity of industries in proposing emission reduction strategies in addition the stimuli for the smelting and pressing of metal industries result in cost reduction and the supervision on the top nine emitters and the equipment manufacturing industries should be strengthened finally the industrial sectors with large abatement potential are classified into short term and long term key target industries according to the emission abatement cost analyses

assessing the eco efficiency of u s manufacturing industries with a focus on renewable vs non renewable energy use an integrated time series mrio and dea approach abstract this study investigated the global supply chain linked renewable and nonrenewable energy use impacts and economic output of u s manufacturing industries over a twenty year period considering energy use impacts and economic outputs together within the scope of a global trade linked cradle to gate life cycle provides a comprehensive understanding of the environmental and economic impacts of industrial activities in the first phase of the methodology twenty multi region input output models were built to assess the energy and economic output nexus using a time series approach sixteen energy carriers were considered and aggregated in terms of renewable and nonrenewable energy use impacts the second phase of the methodology focused on benchmarking u s manufacturing industries eco efficiency considering renewable to nonrenewable energy use and economic output to accomplish this data envelopment analysis dea models were developed and two benchmarking eco efficiency measures were proposed namely renewability ratio rr and economic output induced renewability ratio e rr the results indicated that the economic output of the manufacturing industries exhibited a steady sustainable growth similar growth was observed in nonrenewable energy use in contrast the trend in renewable energy use was seen to be stagnant no statistically significant improvement was observed in either the rr or e rr measures which were found to parallel the multi region input output analysis mrio results although an increase in both the mean rr 0 3 0 4 and the mean e rr 0 38 0 52 scores was recorded from 1995 to 2014 this was concluded to be unsatisfactory since the majority of the industries eco efficiency results were still below 0 5 such an unsatisfactory result could be attributed to an imbalanced growth in nonrenewable energy use and economic output relative to renewable energy use the findings of this study suggest that substantial policy changes are required immediately to shift the negative trend in renewable energy use to comply with un sustainability development goals 7 and 13

asset market perspectives on the israeli palestinian conflict this paper locates turning points in the israeli palestinian conflict since the late 1980s using asset market data from israel and the palestinian authority pa we find that major escalations in violence such as the outbreak of the intifada in 2000 lead to significant declines in asset prices in both israel and the pa conversely major peace initiatives such as the oslo accords in 1993 and the road map plan in 2003 lead to substantial increases in asset prices on both sides of the conflict an additional novel finding is that asset markets respond positively to the success of politicians who favour a negotiated settlement to the conflict

the economics of counterterrorism a survey we provide a review of theoretical and empirical contributions on the economic analysis of terrorism and counterterrorism we argue that simple rational choice models of terrorist behavior in the form of cost benefit models already provide a well founded theoretical framework for the study of terrorism and counterterrorism we also hint at their limitations which relate to the failure of accounting for the dynamics between terrorism and counterterrorism that may produce unintended second order effects as well as for the costs associated with counterterrorism and its international dimension we reevaluate previously proposed counterterrorism strategies accordingly finally in the light of our findings we discuss interesting areas of future research

viewpoint empirical evidence and tax policy design lessons from the mirrlees review this paper examines the role of evidence in drawing up the recommendations for tax reform in the mirrlees review the arguments are organised loosely under five related headings i key margins of adjustment ii measurement of effective tax rates iii the importance of information and complexity iv evidence on the size of responses v implications from theory for tax design although the mirrlees review focuses on all aspects of tax reform the focus is this paper is on the taxation of earnings with some examples drawn from the taxation of consumption and savings ce memoire examine le role des resultats dans la confection des recommandations pour la reforme fiscale dans l enquete mirrlees les arguments sont regroupes sous cinq rubriques i les importantes marges d ajustement ii la mesure des taux d imposition effective iii l importance de l information et de la complexite iv constat sur la taille des reponses et v les implications pour la theorie du design des politiques d imposition meme si l enquete mirrlees a examine tous les aspects de la reforme fiscale ce texte met l accent sur l impot sur les remunerations avec quelques exemples portant sur l impot sur la consommation et l epargne

the european union balancing between co2 reduction commitments and growth policies decomposition analyses abstract this article is an empirical study of the whole energy system development in the european union the analysis covers the years 1960 1998 the decomposition analysis of energy and co 2 intensities of the different eu countries and norway reveal large differences between the individual countries the reasons for the differences in energy intensity changes are explained by the structural changes of the economies the changes in co 2 intensities are explained by the energy intensity changes and by the changes is fuel switching the study verifies the conclusion that there are still big challenges in the harmonisation of energy and climate policy in the eu

an assessment of greenhouse gas emissions and material flows caused by the finnish economy using the envimat model abstract an environmentally extended input output ee io analysis environmental impacts of material flows caused by the finnish economy was carried out in order to improve data on production and consumption in finland the study resulted in the envimat model which can be used to analyze the relationship between material flows environmental impacts and the economy the model is based on monetary and physical input output tables and an environmental life cycle impact assessment this article summarizes the main methodological aspects and findings regarding the material flows and climate impacts caused by the finnish economy in 2002 and 2005 the finnish model has relatively detailed input data with 150 industries and 918 products and the data on imports was assessed according to a mixed approach with the help of life cycle inventory data the results of the model showed that the finnish economy uses imported material resources as much as domestic resources life cycle greenhouse gas ghg emissions caused by imports were equivalent to 70 80 of domestic emissions the ghg emissions embodied in imports emissions abroad and exports emissions within finland were of the same magnitude the analysis showed that the service sector accounted for 44 of ghg emissions caused by the domestic final use of products analysis of the results also showed that the indicator of total material requirement tmr should not be used for environmental impact comparisons of products and services in the future the aim is to use the envimat model for assessing temporal changes in the economy for monitoring sustainable development for planning climate change mitigation and for identifying important factors in the economy and assessing their impacts

china s income gap and inequality under clean energy transformation a cge model assessment abstract to achieve nationally determined contribution ndc targets china has developed a series of low carbon development plans among them the clean energy transformation is very crucial this study evaluates the impact of a set of policies including the development of renewable energy upgrading heavy industry and energy efficiency improvement on china s income gap between 2012 and 2050 a dynamic computable general equilibrium cge model with detailed representations of economic activity an upgraded labor market and disaggregated labor types based on statistical and survey data is used our research provides support for the necessity of low carbon policies to achieve ndc targets results show some key findings first low carbon policies have the greatest impact on employment across all energy industries with negative impacts in most traditional energy sectors and positive impacts in most renewable power sectors second labor will continue to migrate from rural to urban areas with the transformation of the economic structure and the urbanization rate will further increase reaching a maximum of around 70 the reduction of the rural population will bring new opportunities for the modernization of agriculture increasing the income of rural residents and realizing the equitable development between urban and rural areas third the income gap among urban residents will widen due to the different level of labor demand for employees with different education levels

a combined input output and sensitivity analysis approach to analyse sector linkages and co2 emissions abstract this paper proposes a methodology which identifies the main productive linkages between activity branches in terms of co2 emissions and applies this methodology to the spanish case it suggests that emissions are related to the input output productive relationships within an economy to the co2 emissions intensity of sectors and to the structure of final demand of different sectors a formal analysis of these factors is carried out by means of an input output framework combined with sensitivity analysis and lineal programming the most co2 emissions intensive productive relationships in spain are shown this consideration of the main linkages contributes to the identification of the key sectors and facilitates the design of effective policy measures aimed at co2 emissions abatement

industrial output restriction and the kyoto protocol an input output approach with application to canada the objective of this paper is to assess the economic impacts of reducing greenhouse gas emissions by decreasing industrial output in canada to a level that will meet the target set out in the kyoto protocol the study uses an ecological economic input output model combining economic components valued in monetary terms with ecologic components ghg emissions expressed in physical terms economic and greenhouse gas emissions data for canada are computed in the same sectoral disaggregation three policy scenarios are considered the first one uses the direct emission coefficients to allocate the reduction in industrial output while the other two use the direct plus indirect emission coefficients in the first two scenarios the reduction in industrial sector output is allocated uniformly across sectors while it is allocated to the 12 largest emitting industries in the last one the estimated impacts indicate that the results vary with the different allocation methods the third policy scenario allocation to the 12 largest emitting sectors is the most cost effective of the three as the impacts of the kyoto protocol reduces gross domestic product by 3 1 compared to 24 and 8 1 in the first two scenarios computed economic costs should be considered as upper bounds because the model assumes immediate adjustment to the kyoto protocol and because flexibility mechanisms are not incorporated the resulting upper bound impact of the third scenario may seem to contradict those who claim that the kyoto protocol would place an unbearable burden on the canadian economy c 2008 elsevier b v all rights reserved

sustainability assessment of u s manufacturing sectors an economic input output based frontier approach abstract due to increasing concerns related to emerging environmental problems as a result of industrial activities sustainable manufacturing has become a topic of considerable interest worldwide in this study economic input output life cycle assessment eio lca and data envelopment analysis dea a linear programming based mathematical optimization model were integrated to analyze the eco efficiency of manufacturing sectors in the united states this integration was achieved by aggregating different environmental pressures into a single eco efficiency score first greenhouse gas emissions energy use water withdrawals hazardous waste generation and toxic releases of each manufacturing sector were quantified using the eio lca model second an input oriented dea multiplier model was developed third eco efficiency scores and rankings target and performance improvement values of each environmental category were determined finally the sensitivity of each environmental impact category was analyzed analysis results showed that five industrial sectors such as petroleum and coal products manufacturing food manufacturing printing and related support activities ordinance and accessories manufacturing and motor vehicle manufacturing were 100 eco efficient compared to other manufacturing sectors on the other hand approximately 90 of u s manufacturing sectors were found to be inefficient and require significant improvements in their life cycle performance among the environmental impact categories energy use had the highest sensitivity on the eco efficiency of u s manufacturing sectors and therefore improved energy efficiency in industrial processes and successful policy making toward increasing the share of renewable energy utilization were highly recommended

rockets the housing market effects of a credible terrorist threat abstract this paper explores the economic costs of conflict using a unique experiment we analyze the effects of hezbollah s massive surprise rocket attack against northern israel during the 2006 second lebanon war and the continued threat posed by the organization s expanding rocket arsenal on the housing market the labor market and patterns of migration flows and sorting relying on hedonic and repeat sales approaches and using a difference in differences identification strategy for 2000 2012 we show that the attack led to a 6 7 decline in house prices and rents in the most severely hit localities relative to other localities in northern israel these effects persisted until 2012 suggesting that the public continued to view the rocket threat as credible in contrast we find practically no effect on labor market conditions migration flows and sorting