off floor trading disintegration and the bid ask spread in experimental markets this article uses experimental methods to establish that greater uncertainty in the environment increases the naturally emerging bid ask spread in double auction trading the opportunity to trade off floor is then introduced off floor trading is greater in the environment with a wider bid ask spread increases with block trading and increases still more with increasing subject experience finally the authors find that the preponderance of off floor trades are inside the bid ask spread supporting the hypothesis that a motive for such trades is to split privately the gain represented by the bid ask spread without revealing publicly a willingness to make price concessions coauthors are shawn lamaster vernon l smith and mark van boening copyright 1991 by university of chicago press

asset transformation and the challenges to servitize a utility business model abstract the traditional energy utility business model is under pressure and energy services are expected to play an important role for the energy transition experts and scholars argue that utilities need to innovate their business models and transform from commodity suppliers to service providers the transition from a product oriented capital intensive business model based on tangible assets towards a service oriented expense intensive business model based on intangible assets may present great managerial and organizational challenges little research exists about such transitions for capital intensive commodity providers and particularly energy utilities where the challenges to servitize are expected to be greatest this qualitative paper explores the barriers to servitization within selected swiss and german utility companies through a series of interviews with utility managers one of them is asset transformation the shift from tangible to intangible assets as major input factor for the value proposition which is proposed as a driver for the complexity of business model transitions managers need to carefully manage those challenges and find ways to operate both new service and established utility business models aside policy makers can support the transition of utilities through more favorable regulatory frameworks for energy services and by supporting the exchange of knowledge in the industry

experimental tests of core theory and the coase theorem inefficiency and cycling abstract we examine experimentally the bargaining process and the final allocation of payoffs in games that differ in terms of whether the core exists and in the initial allocation of property rights among the players this paper highlights the interaction among property rights transaction costs and the empty core our experimental results indicate that the existence of the core is an important determinant of bargaining generally and the coase theorem in particular they confirm our conjecture that when the core is empty and property rights are ill defined coasean efficiency breaks down among other results our experiments show that the number of inefficient non pareto optimal agreements and bargaining rounds with cycling are significantly greater when the core is empty than when the core exists especially when property rights are ill defined our results suggest an economic role for specific property right arrangements to resolve the empty core

the effects of rent asymmetries in experimental auction markets abstract we report the results of twelve double auction market experiments designed to analyze the effects of asymmetric induced supply and demand configurations on the price convergence path toward a competitive equilibrium the proposition convergence bias that prices tend to approach the competitive equilibrium from above below when consumer surplus is greater less than producer surplus cannot be rejected we do however reject the proposition convergence symmetry that these convergence biases are of equal absolute magnitude excesses of producer over consumer surplus are found to have a more pronounced effect on the sequence of contract prices

going beyond best technology and lowest price on renewable energy investors preference for service driven business models abstract renewable energy is becoming increasingly important for economies in many countries but still in an emerging industry renewable energy requires supportive energy policy helping firms to develop and protect competitive advantages in global competition as a guideline for designing such policy we consult well informed stakeholders within the renewable energy industry investors their preferences serve as explorative indicator for assessing which business models might succeed in competition to contribute to only limited research on renewable energy investors preferences we ask which business models investment managers for renewable energy prefer to invest in we report from an explorative study of 380 choices of renewable energy investment managers based on the stated preferences we modelled three generic business models to calculate the share of investors preferences we find exiting evidence a customer intimacy business model that proposes best services is much more preferred by investors than business models that propose lowest price or best technology policy makers can use those insights for designing policy that supports service driven business models for renewable energy with a scope on customer needs rather than technology or price additionally we state important implications for renewable energy entrepreneurs managers and research

business models for model businesses lessons from renewable energy entrepreneurs in developing countries against the background of mounting research suggesting entrepreneurship as a means of increasing the uptake of renewable energy technologies rets in developing countries this paper presents the findings of an exploratory investigation into the business models used by renewable energy entrepreneurs in such countries forty three entrepreneurs were interviewed in 28 developing countries and secondary information about country and regional conditions was analysed we chose the business model canvas as an analytical tool and the findings shed new light on established renewable energy business types three different types of businesses were identified consultants distributors and integrators yet there is also some overlap between these types these business types appeared to parallel the life cycle progression of the business but this requires further research a key component of the study was to assess whether the types of businesses were related to country level conditions to assess the impact of regional differences these comparisons revealed consistencies between country level characteristics and the entrepreneurs choice of business model conclusions suggest that different regions may support certain business models more than others due to differing levels of government interest in renewables governance and policy support and the relative ease of doing business

income velocity and the variability of money growth evidence from less developed countries this paper examines whether the variability of money growth caused changes in income velocity of money in 30 less developed countries time series data show year to year variations in income velocity of money in these countries for the 1961 1990 period empirical results based on causality but complemented by variance decomposition tests show that money growth is the most important determinant in explaining the variability in income velocity in at least 20 of the 30 developing countries examined in this study in addition the causality results show that inflation rate granger causes income velocity of money in 21 countries but the variance decomposition results show inflation rate to be relatively more important in explaining the variability of velocity in eight countries similarly while real income granger causes velocity of money in 18 countries the results of the variance decomposition tests show real income to be relatively more important as a determinant of income velocity in two countries over

bubbles crashes and endogenous expectations in experimental spot asset markets1 spot asset trading is studied in an environment in which all investors receive the same dividend from a known probability distribution at the end of each of t 15 or 30 trading periods fourteen of twenty two experiments exhibit price bubbles followed by crashes relative to intrinsic dividend value when traders are experienced this reduces but does not eliminate the probability of a bubble the regression of changes in mean price on lagged excess bids number of bids minus the number of offers in the previous period p pt a f b 1 o l supports the hypothesis that a e d the one period expected value of the dividend and that f 0 where excess bids is a surrogate measure of excess demand arising from homegrown capital gains losses expectations thus when bt 1 o goes to zero we have convergence to rational expectations in the sense of fama 1970 that arbitrage becomes unprofitable the observed bubble phenomenon can also be interpreted as a form of temporary myopia tirole 1982 from which agents learn that capital gains expectations are only temporarily sustainable ultimately inducing common expectations or priors tirole 1982 four of twenty six experiments all using experienced subjects yield outcomes that appear to the chart s eye to converge early to rational expectations although even in these cases we get 0 and small price fluctuations of a few cents that invite scalping

renewable micro generation of heat and electricity review on common and missing socio technical configurations abstract a widespread adoption of distributed generation dg technologies in energy systems can play a key role in creating clean reliable energy and support the targets of emission reduction a transition from current modes of production to a significant deployment of renewable energy technologies can fundamentally affect the structure of the industry and change the way energy is produced transmitted and sold the current paper provides an extended review of the socio technical configurations of micro generation based on journal publications and reports during the 21st century the paper analyses currently existing and missing configurations and discusses technology and policy implications to support proliferation of micro generation technology and local energy production from renewable sources the potential for new configurations can be found particularly in heat producing micro generation with solar heat heat pumps and biomass developing further the operations and maintenance of distributed generation technologies and business models appears an area that calls for further innovation and corresponding innovation policy measures third party service and community driven deployment models can aide the proliferation of distributed generation and further innovation therein justifying the introduction of feed in tariffs to attract such models during their early diffusion

the disposition effect and investor experience we examine whether investing experience can dampen the disposition effect that is the fact that investors seem to hold on to their losing stocks to a greater extent than they hold on to their winning stocks to do so we devise a computer program that simulates the stock market we use the program in an experiment with two groups of subjects namely experienced investors and undergraduate students the inexperienced investors as a control procedure we consider random trade decisions made by robot subjects we find that though both human subjects show the disposition effect the more experienced investors are less affected

velocity and the variability of monetary growth in the united kingdom this paper uses the granger causality method to test on united kingdom data friedman s hypothesis for the united states that the volatility of monetary growth has caused the decline in income velocity the paper concludes that for the united kingdom the volatility of monetary growth does not cause velocity in the granger sense

the impact of wind farm visibility on property values a spatial difference in differences analysis today s investment decisions in large scale onshore wind projects in germany are no longer determined only by the investment s economic benefit but also by concerns associated to social acceptance despite a mostly positive attitude towards the expansion of wind power local public concerns often stem from the belief that the proximity to large scale wind farms may lead to a decrease in property prices in particular the change in landscape caused by the construction of a wind farm may have an adverse impact on the view from some properties and thus may negatively affect their price to investigate the potential devaluation of properties in germany due to wind farms we use a quasi experimental technique and apply a spatial difference in differences approach to various wind farm sites in the federal state of north rhine westphalia we adopt a quantitative visual impact assessment approach to account for the adverse environmental effects caused by the wind turbines to properly account for spatial dependence and unobserved variables biases we apply augmented spatial econometric models the estimates indicate that the asking price for properties whose view was strongly affected by the construction of wind turbines decreased by about 9 14 in contrast properties with a minor or marginal view on the wind turbines experienced no devaluation

supporting renewable energy on liberalised markets green electricity between additionality and consumer sovereignty abstract the german feed in regulation has been perhaps the most effective promotional policy for green electricity however with the growing momentum of the liberalisation process the current regulation is challenged by structural problems about how to address the demand side price regulation lefts only little room for private green electricity market activities moreover the success of the feed in regulation depends on a strict differentiation of the political segment and the emerging green electricity markets the question therefore is about the role green electricity markets can or should perform in general in order to evaluate green electricity markets the additionality criteria is frequently used implying that markets are only desirable if they lead to additional environmental effects the additionality criteria has two implications first transformed into individual behaviour additionality implies that consumers are assumed to act as pure altruists however there is evidence from empirical studies that green electricity consumers behave more as impure altruists they are not so much interested in the objective environmental impact of their behaviour but more objected to receive a private satisfaction from buying an environmental friendly product whereas theoretical models in the case of pure altruism suggest that private activities crowd out totally when policy becomes active in supporting the public good this crowding out disappears in the case of impure altruism second using end state criteria such as the additionality principle as pre condition and neglecting process criteria such as consumer sovereignty means to prevent establishing competitive market process right at the outset in principle

monetary variability united states and japan note many economists have criticized the federal reserve because of the high variability of monetary growth in the united states since the change in operating procedures on october 6 1979 chairman paul volcker has responded to this criticism in congressional testimony november 19 1980 and in a letter to senator garn february 18 1982 by asserting that international comparisons all appear to demonstrate the same point u s monetary aggregates rank at or near the top of the league in terms of low variability and this is true even allowing for the technical difficulties involved in making such international comparisons

price formation in double auction markets abstract this paper reports 14 laboratory experiments that examine existing theories of the price formation process in the continuous double auction the experiments feature random values and costs and therefore a new price formation observation each period we find that efficiency is high and rises with experience in this environment we also find that trades with greater exchange surplus tend to occur earlier in the period that increased trader experience reduces an anomalous intertemporal arbitrage opportunity observed previously and that only when traders are very experienced does exchange surplus accrue disproportionately to the side of the market with a smaller number of traders

allocating uncertain and unresponsive resources an experimental approach we identify an important class of economic problems that arise naturally in several applications the allocation of multiple resources when there are uncertainties in demand or supply unresponsive supplies no inventories and fixed capacities and significant demand indivisibilities rigidities examples of such problems include scheduling job shops airports or supercomputers zero inventory planning and the allocation and pricing of nasa s planned space station using experimental methods we show that the two most common organizations used to deal with this problem markets and administrative procedures can perform at very low efficiencies 60 65 efficiency in a seemingly robust example thus there is a need to design new mechanisms that more efficiently allocate resources in these environments we develop and analyze two mechanisms that arise naturally from auctions used to allocate single dimensional goods these new mechanisms involve computer assisted coordination made possible by the existence of networked computers both mechanisms significantly improve on the performance of administrative and market procedures

nonspeculative bubbles in experimental asset markets lack of common knowledge of rationality vs actual irrationality we report the results of an experiment designed to study the role of speculation in the formation of bubbles and crashes in laboratory asset markets in a setting in which speculation is not possible bubbles and crashes are observed the results suggest that the departures from fundamental values are not caused by the lack of common knowledge of rationality leading to speculation but rather by behavior that itself exhibits elements of irrationality much of the trading activity that accompanies bubble formation in markets where speculation is possible is due to the fact that there is no other activity available for participants in the experiment

making the shift moving from ethics pays to an inter systems model of business for several decades business has operated according to the tenets of neoclassical economic theory where the primary obligation of corporations is to maximize profit for shareholders however the larger social mandate for business has changed represented by the rise of language such as sustainable development corporate social responsibility csr and stakeholder groups nevertheless the theoretical shift implied by the use of such language has not occurred issues of sustainable development and csr continue to be justified in the terms of neoclassical economic theory through the rationalization of doing well by doing good

business model innovation in electricity supply markets the role of complex value in the united kingdom this research investigates the new opportunities that business model innovations are creating in electricity supply markets at the sub national scale these local supply business models can offer significant benefits to the electricity system but also generate economic social and environmental values that are not well accounted for in current policy or regulation this paper uses the uk electricity supply market to investigate new business models which rely on more complex value propositions than the incumbent utility model nine archetypal local supply business models are identified and their value propositions value capture methods and barriers to market entry are analysed this analysis defines complex value as a key concept in understanding business model innovation in the energy sector the process of complex value identification poses a challenge to energy researchers commercial firms and policymakers in liberalised markets to investigate the opportunities for system efficiency and diverse outcomes that new supplier business models can offer to the electricity system

responding to policy change new business models for renewable energy cooperatives barriers perceived by cooperatives members abstract renewable energy cooperatives recs in germany have received considerable attention in recent years their number having risen to nearly a thousand since 2004 this growth has resulted largely from germany s feed in tariff system recent changes in this policy however have made the previous rec business models mostly unprofitable so recs are looking for new business models our study aims at identifying those new models and characterizing the implementation barriers recs face to this end we interviewed rec members and management and observed rec annual general meetings we found three significant barriers first risk aversion on the part of both members and management second concerns about the environmental impacts or the ethics of certain models that while legal are not felt to align with the intentions of lawmakers finally the lack of competencies and time of the mostly unsalaried rec management these barriers could put the future of recs at risk and so threaten the contributions recs make to the german energy transition professionalization partnerships and other strategies can help mitigate this risk if recs are to continue to play an important role in the energy transition policy makers would be wise to consider measures to support their continued growth

don t let your robots grow up to be traders artificial intelligence human intelligence and asset market bubbles abstract researchers who have examined markets populated by robot traders have claimed that the high level of allocative efficiency observed in experimental markets is driven largely by the intelligence implicit in the rules of the market furthermore they view the ability of agents artificial or human to process information and make rational decisions as unnecessary for the efficient operation of markets this paper presents a new series of market experiments that show that markets populated with standard robot traders are no longer efficient if time is a meaningful element as it is in all asset markets while simple two season markets with human subjects reliably converge to an efficient equilibrium markets with minimally intelligent robot traders fail to attain this equilibrium instead these markets overshoot the equilibrium and then crash below it in addition to firmly establishing the role of trader intelligence in asset market equilibrium these experiments also provide insights into why bubbles and crashes are consistently observed in many asset market laboratory experiments using human subjects

momentum and overreaction in experimental asset markets abstract price volatility and investor overreactions are commonplace in experimental asset markets understanding the price dynamics in these markets is crucial for designing successful new trading institutions we report on a series of experiments to test the predictions of a new momentum model using a dynamical systems approach this model is then pitted against several standard models to predict prices as well as against expert human forecasters the comparative results suggest that each model has its advantages and regions of best performance overall the best predictive methods are the momentum model and expert human forecasters

how renewables will change electricity markets in the next five years photovoltaic pv cells onshore wind turbines internet technologies and storage technologies have the potential to fundamentally change electricity markets in the years ahead photovoltaic cells are the most disruptive energy technology as they allow consumers of all sizes to produce power by themselves new actors in the power market can begin operating with a new bottom up control logic unsubsidised pv markets may start to take off in 2013 fuelling substantial growth where pv power is getting cheaper than grid or diesel backup electricity for commercial consumers managing loads and achieving a good match between power consumption and weather dependent power production will likely become a key issue this consumption production balance may trigger massive innovation and investment in energy management technologies involving different kinds of storage and controls increasing autonomy and flexibility of consumers challenges the top down control logic of traditional power supply and pushes for a more decentralised and multi layered system how rapidly and smoothly this transformation occurs depends to a large extent on the adaptation speed of the regulatory framework and on the ability of market players to develop appropriate business models the paper discusses conflicts of interest hurdles and drivers opportunities and traps for this perspective

avoidable cost ride a double auction roller coaster the double auction trading institution has been highly efficient across diverse marginal cost market structures whether human subjects or zero intelligence robots populated those markets accordingly many researchers suspect that double auction performance transcends market structure and agent strategy but the authors show that large avoidable costs undermine the efficiency and stability of human subject double auctions and these low human efficiencies are simultaneously well above zero intelligence efficiencies their results dramatically illustrate the potential havoc wrought by highly competitive institutions when they must cope with nonconvex technologies copyright 1996 by american economic association

allocative efficiency of markets with zero intelligence traders market as a partial substitute for individual rationality we report market experiments in which human traders are replaced by zero intelligence programs that submit random bids and offers imposing a budget constraint i e not permitting traders to sell below their costs or buy above their values is sufficient to raise the allocative efficiency of these auctions close to 100 percent allocative efficiency of a double auction derives largely from its structure independent of traders motivation intelligence or learning adam smith s invisible hand may be more powerful than some may have thought it can generate aggregate rationality not only from individual rationality but also from individual irrationality

a simple testable model of double auction markets abstract we propose a model of price formation in double auction markets which employs the strong simplifying assumption that agents neglect strategic feedback effects and regard themselves as playing a game against nature agents otherwise are strict expected utility maximizers employing bayesian updating procedures we prove the optimality of simple aggressive reservation price strategies in our general model and propose a parametric form that yields very detailed and computable predictions of market behavior

whatever the customer wants the customer gets exploring the gap between consumer preferences and default electricity products in germany abstract in liberalized electricity markets residential customers can choose their preferred provider and select among a variety of different electricity products including green power options successful product design and marketing strategies for green electricity may provide electricity providers with a competitive advantage while at the same time contributing to energy policy objectives this requires however a thorough understanding of customer preferences we investigate the relative importance of different product attributes in creating customer value and find that price and electricity mix are the two most important attributes the german electricity customers we surveyed in 2009 expressed an implicit willingness to pay a premium of about 16 for electricity from renewable sources we conclude that consumers are willing to pay a significant price premium for an upgrade from the current default electricity mix in germany to a more environmentally friendly default electricity mix and discuss implications for marketing strategy and energy policy our findings are based on a dataset of 4968 experimental choices made by 414 german residential consumers collected in a stated preference survey

the buffer stock notion in monetary economics not the least of harry johnson s contributions to our discipline was the series of survey papers on aspects of monetary economics which he produced during the 1960s and 1970s it is no exaggeration to say that the way in which the literature of monetary economics is organised even now follows the design which johnson first set out in 1962 and built on in the subsequent decade nevertheless the subject has not stood still and one of the more interesting developments of the last few years has involved the introduction of what has been variously described as the disequilibrium money shock absorber or as i prefer to call it the buffer stock notion into monetary economics the development of this line of thought was getting underway before johnson s untimely death much of it indeed under the auspices of his own research programme at the lse even so this did not happen early enough for the relevant ideas to be put in their proper niche by johnson himself and the buffer stock approach is not yet fully integrated into the mainstream of monetary economics much of the relevant literature is empirical concerned with modelling particular aspects of the monetary experience of specific countries hence it is fragmented and contains few papers which attempt a coherent account of just what this approach is and how it relates to other approaches to monetary analysis although essays by goodhart 1982a b and judd and scadding 1982a contain important discussions of these issues to the best of my knowledge only jonson 1976a and knoester 1979a have devoted entire papers solely to this central issue and these are relatively inaccessible and hence less widely known than they deserve to be in this lecture i shall attempt to give a brief account of the essentials of this approach first i shall sketch out its microeconomic background and then i shall discuss those theoretical characteristics which differentiate it from the neo austrian analysis of robert e lucas jr and his associates as well as from the conventional keynesian approach to monetary economics last but by no means least i shall argue that it yields simple theoretical insights into important empirical and policy related issues which are troublesome for alternative approaches in short my tribute to harry

comparing drivers barriers and opportunities of business models for renewable energies a review abstract this article systematically reviews the emerging field of research on business models for renewable energies differentiating between developing and industrialized countries the key findings on developing countries are as follows first there is a lack of quantitative data second opportunities are driven primarily by unfulfilled basic needs and micro finance whereas corruption and weak electricity grids are the main barriers and third business models should be replicable the key findings on industrialized countries are as follows first opportunities are driven primarily by climate change mitigation and energy efficiency improvements second stuck thought patterns and high costs of energy storage are important barriers and third cooperation is a key in future business models to handle increasing complexity this review reveals implications for researchers and policy makers promising avenues for future research are the analysis of intermodal business models and opportunities concerning energy self supply and renewable district heating policy makers are advised to design legal frameworks that account for the global nature of the renewable energy challenge and are simultaneously adapted to regional disparities

what are community energy companies trying to accomplish an empirical investigation of investment motives in the german case community energy has become an increasingly important issue in academia and in energy policy circles worldwide citizens jointly investing in and operating renewable energy installations have played an essential role in countries such as germany or denmark building on and extending previous studies we collect survey data on investment motives for a stratified random sample of german community energy companies structural variables are selected using a socio ecological technical systems framework this study aims to identify differences within the community energy sector to better understand investment behaviour and the effects of policy changes despite the small sample coverage at the individual member level the preliminary results of this study suggest that first community energy forms a specific type of social investment and that second there are significant differences between community energy companies especially regarding the assessment of the return motive this motive plays a more prominent role in limited partnerships than in cooperatives and for community wind than for companies focusing on solar or biomass while these and other factors are highly interrelated our data indicate that the social setting and geographical and climatic conditions are the critical ones here these findings may guide further research

financial innovation and monetary control the economic conjuncture of the 1970s and 1980s was extremely disturbed with high and volatile inflation interest and exchange rates this led the monetary authorities of most western coun tries to adopt monetary targets as a financial discipline to constrain inflationary pressures but this same conjuncture also encouraged the process of financial innovation which subsequently eroded the stability of the links between certain monetary aggregates and nominal incomes which had provided the empirical basis for such targetry thus in his recent book financial in novations and the money supply podolski 1986 argues that

utilities business models for renewable energy a review abstract the transformation of today s electric power sector to a more sustainable energy production based on renewable energies will change the structure of the industry consequently utilities as the major stakeholders in this transformation will face new challenges in their way of doing business they will have to adapt their business models to remain competitive in the new energy landscape the present review of business model literature shows that two basic choices exist utility side business models and customer side business models the two approaches follow a very different logic of value creation while the former is based on a small number of large projects the latter is based on a large number of small projects the article reveals that blueprints for utility side business models are available whereas customer side business models are in an early stage of development applying the business model framework as an analytical tool it is found that existing utility side business models comprise a series of advantages for utilities in terms of revenue potential and risk avoidance this study provides new insights about why utilities will favor utility side business models over customer side business models and why they also should engage in customer side business models in their quest for more sustainable future business models

market power in oral double auctions this paper reports the results of a series of oral double auction experiments in which some traders possess market power a market is set up in which the configuration of the supply and demand curves leads to an asymmetry between buyers and sellers in their abilities to influence transactions prices this market structure does not always lead to convergence to the competitive equilibrium price despite the competitive nature of the oral double auction institution the nonconvergence occurs most frequently in the experiments involving experienced subjects

business structure in renewable energy industry key areas abstract diffusion of renewable energy utilization is difficult because of its entrepreneurial nature and related technological investment political and market uncertainties therefore evaluation of business structure based on traditional business models is difficult in this industry although many countries have actively developed renewable energy technologies by both governments and private sector business professionals are not still assured about participation and investment understanding the areas of business structure that lead to successful commercialization of renewable technologies has suitable research scope in this industry the objective of this article is to identify key areas of business structure to allow newcomers to enter successfully in the renewable energy industry from engineering policy and business aspects the innovative analysis leads to identification of seven sides of renewable energy business