scale diversity and determinants of labour migration in europe while global migration is increasing internal eu migration flows have only increased slowly this paper contributes to a better understanding of the determinants and scale of european migration it surveys previous historical experiences and empirical findings including the recent eastern enlargements the determinants of migration before and after the 2004 enlargement and in the eu15 and eu10 countries are analysed using individual data on migration intentions in addition perceptions about the size of migration after the enlargement are studied the potential emigrant from both old and new eu member states tends to be young better educated and to live in larger cities people from the eu10 with children are less likely to move after enlargement in comparison to those without family there exists a correlation between individual perceptions about the scale of migration and actual flows better educated and left oriented individuals in the eu15 are less likely to perceive these flows as important

taxation and international migration of superstars evidence from the european football market we analyze the effects of top tax rates on international migration of football players in 14 european countries since 1985 both country case studies and multinomial regressions show evidence of strong mobility responses to tax rates with an elasticity of the number of foreign domestic players to the net of tax rate around one around 0 15 we also find evidence of sorting effects low taxes attract highability players who displace low ability players and displacement effects low taxes on foreigners displace domestic players those results can be rationalized in a simple model of migration and taxation with rigid labor demand jel f22 h24 h31 j44 j61 l83

do potential migrants internalize migrant rights in oecd host societies this paper analyzes how countries provision of migrant rights affects potential migrants destination choice combining data on bilateral migration desires from over 140 origin countries and data on migrant rights in 38 mainly oecd destination countries over the period 2007 2014 we find that potential migrants tend to favour destinations that are more open to the inclusion of immigrants into their society in particular better access to and conditions on the labour market as well as access to nationality and to permanent residency significantly increase the perceived attractiveness of a destination country these results are robust across different specifications and hold for subsamples of origin countries as well as of destinations moreover some results vary across types of respondents educational opportunities for migrants for instance affect the migration desires of individuals aged 15 to 24 years but less so of individuals in other age groups

multilateral resistance to migration the rate of migration observed between two countries does not depend solely on their relative attractiveness but also on the one of alternative destinations following the trade literature we term the influence exerted by other destinations on bilateral flows as multilateral resistance to migration and we show how it can be accounted for when estimating the determinants of migration rates in the context of a general individual random utility maximization model we propose the use of the common correlated effects estimator pesaran 2006 and apply it to high frequency data on the spanish immigration boom between 1997 and 2009 compared to more restrictive estimation strategies developed in the literature the bias goes in the expected direction we find a smaller effect of gdp per capita and a larger effect of migration policies on bilateral rates

relativity mobility and optimal nonlinear income taxation in an open economy abstract recent evidence suggests that globalization has reduced the barriers to international labor mobility and induced more cross country social comparisons in an open economy with tax driven migration and consumption externalities relativity we derive an optimal tax formula that subsumes existing ones obtained under a maximin social objective and additively separable utility and sign the second best mirrleesian marginal tax rates for all skill levels we establish the thresholds of the elasticity and level of migration to determine when relativity and inequality act as complements or substitutes in shaping the optimal top tax rate under both nash and stackelberg tax competition if the migration probability of top income workers is approximately 50 numerical calculation using parameter estimates from empirical studies shows that the country with labor inflow outflow implements over 10 lower higher marginal tax rates than suggested by the autarky equilibrium of kanbur and tuomala 2013

the determinants of international migration unbundling the role of economic political and social institutions international migrants may relocate because of economic political and social factors in their origin or destination countries using global bilateral migration flows from 103 countries over the period 1990 2000 we explore whether emigrants self select based on economic political and social institutions our study adds social dimension as a potential determinant of migration and separates the pull and push effects of political economic and social institutions our results indicate that economic political and social institutions are significant pull factors of migration economic freedom has the most substantial pull effect followed by the political institutions social institutions have the weakest pull effect on migration moreover economic and social institutions are significant push factors of migration while political institutions do not show any push effect furthermore educated migrants are more sensitive to the destination economic political and social institutions than less educated migrants and less educated migrants are more sensitive to the social institutions at the origin

tax harmonization and tax competition in the european union lessons from switzerland abstract this paper presents empirical evidence on individual income tax competition in switzerland tax competition has some influence on the spread of people with high income over the cantons and it is partly capitalised in dwelling rents however it neither leads to a collapse of public good supply nor makes redistribution by the fiscal authorities impossible thus if tax competition works well in switzerland there is no reason why it should have disastrous effects in a future european union

selection and network effects migration flows into oecd countries 1990 2000 abstract this paper presents empirical evidence on immigration flows into the oecd countries during the period 1990 2000 our results indicate that network effects are strong but vary between different groups of welfare states and between countries according to the type of immigration policy being applied network effects seem to be less important in the nordic countries which also seem to attract immigrants from the lowest income level source countries we do not find clear evidence that selection effects measured by migration flows being sensitive to differences in public social expenditures have had a major influence on the observed migration patterns until now this may partly be explained by restrictive migration policies which may have dampened the potential selection effects

migration and institutions evidence from internal eu mobility despite the formal achievement of the free movement of labour within the eu the institutional characteristics of the labour markets of the member states may influence european mobility the paper seeks empirical evidence of the relationship between labour market institutions and intra eu migrations estimating a gravity model for bilateral migration for the period 2001 11 the results indicate that trade union density negatively correlates with the size of bilateral migrations destinations with relatively high union density are associated with lower migration inflows since these countries tend to have a relatively flat earnings distribution it is also investigated whether their earnings structure reduces their attractiveness as destinations hindering the access to their labour market even if a dependence between the earnings dispersion and migrations is found trade union density remains the main driver of migration patterns clear effects of employment protection on eu mobility are not found

costly search and recruiting a labor market model with costly search and recruiting is constructed it incorporates many features found in other models and provides new insights into the effects of externalities and transaction costs the model possesses a continuum of equilibria some of which may be pareto ranked with different rates of unemployment despite the multiplicity of equilibria comparative statics results are obtained copyright 1987 by economics department of the university of pennsylvania and the osaka university institute of social and economic research association

a practitioners guide to gravity models of international migration the use of bilateral data for the analysis of international migration is at the same time a blessing and a curse it is a blessing because the dyadic dimension of the data allows researchers to address a number of previously unanswered questions but it is also a curse for the various analytical challenges it gives rise to this paper presents the theoretical foundations of the estimation of gravity models of international migration and the main difficulties that have to be tackled in the econometric analysis such as the nature of migration data how to account for multilateral resistance to migration or endogeneity we also review some empirical evidence that has considered these issues

the elasticity of taxable income with respect to marginal tax rates a critical review this paper critically surveys the large and growing literature estimating the elasticity of taxable income with respect to marginal tax rates using tax return data first we provide a theoretical framework showing under what assumptions this elasticity can be used as a sufficient statistic for efficiency and optimal tax analysis we discuss what other parameters should be estimated when the elasticity is not a sufficient statistic second we discuss conceptually the key issues that arise in the empirical estimation of the elasticity of taxable income using the example of the 1993 top individual income tax rate increase in the united states to illustrate those issues third we provide a critical discussion of selected empirical analyses of the elasticity of taxable income in light of the theoretical and empirical framework we laid out finally we discuss avenues for future research jel h24 h31 j22

welfare reform in european countries a microsimulation analysis this article compares the effects of increasing traditional welfare to introducing in work benefits in the 15 pre enlargement countries of the european union we use a labour supply model encompassing responses to taxes and transfers along both the intensive and extensive margins and the euromod microsimulation model to estimate current marginal and participation tax rates we quantify the equity efficiency trade off for a range of elasticity parameters in most countries because of large existing welfare programmes with high phase out rates increasing traditional welfare is undesirable unless the redistributive tastes of the government are extreme in contrast the in work benefit reform is desirable in a very wide set of cases

immigrant selection in the oecd in this paper we examine the determinants of educational selectivity in immigration using immigrant stock data for 70 source countries and 21 oecd destination countries as observed in the year 2000 2001 we develop a variant of the roy model to estimate the determinants of educational selectivity two key findings emerge first the effect of the skill premium which is at the core of the roy model can be observed only after we take into account the poverty constraints operating in the source countries second cultural similarities colonial legacies and physical distance are often more important determinants of educational selectivity than wage incentives or selective immigration policy

bunching at the kink implications for spending responses to health insurance contracts abstract a large literature in empirical public finance relies on bunching to identify a behavioral response to non linear incentives and to translate this response into an economic object to be used counterfactually we conduct this type of analysis in the context of prescription drug insurance for the elderly in medicare part d where a kink in the individual s budget set generates substantial bunching in annual drug expenditure around the famous donut hole we show that different alternative economic models can match the basic bunching pattern but have very different quantitative implications for the counterfactual spending response to alternative insurance contracts these findings illustrate the importance of modeling choices in mapping a compelling reduced form pattern into an economic object of interest

climatic factors as determinants of international migration we examine environmental change as a potential determinant of international migration we distinguish between unexpected short run factors captured by natural disasters as well as long run climate change and climate variability captured by deviations and volatilities of temperatures and rainfall from and around their long run averages starting from a simple neo classical model we use a panel dataset of bilateral migration flows for the period 1960 2000 that allows us to control for numerous time varying and time invariant factors we find no direct impact of climatic change on international migration across our entire sample these results are robust when conditioning on characteristics of origin countries as well as when further considering migrants returning home and the potential endogeneity of our network variable in contrast there is evidence of indirect effects of environmental factors going through wages we further find strong evidence that natural disasters beget greater flows of migrants to urban environs

income maximization and the selection and sorting of international migrants abstract two prominent features of international labor movements are that the more educated are more likely to emigrate positive selection and more educated migrants are more likely to settle in destination countries with high rewards to skill positive sorting using data on emigrant stocks by schooling level and source country in oecd destinations we find that a simple model of income maximization can account for both phenomena results on selection show that migrants for a source destination pair are more educated relative to non migrants the larger is the absolute skill related difference in earnings between the destination country and the source results on sorting indicate that the relative stock of more educated migrants in a destination is increasing in the absolute earnings difference between high and low skilled workers we use our framework to compare alternative specifications of international migration estimate the magnitude of migration costs by source destination pair and assess the contribution of wage differences to how migrants sort themselves across destination countries

self selection and the earnings of immigrants this paper analyzes the way in which the earnings of the immigrant population may be expected to differ from the earnings of the native population because of the endogeneity of the decision to migrate the empirical study shows that differences in the u s earnings of immigrants with the same measured skills but from different home countries are attributable to variations in political and economic conditions in the countries of origin at the time of migration excerpt

modeling heterogeneity and state dependence in consumer choice behavior in frequently purchased consumer goods markets consumer brand choices exhibit substantial persistence across purchase occasions in this article i estimate a choice model that admits of both heterogeneity in preferences and true state dependence as sources of this persistence using nielsen scanner data on ketchup i find evidence for true state dependence in the choice process even after controlling for a rich heterogeneity structure simulation of the model indicates that the long term effect of a promotion induced purchase on future purchase probabilities is positive but small

the regulation of labor author s botero juan djankov simeon la porta rafael lopez de silanes florencio shleifer andrei abstract we investigate the regulation of labor markets through employment collective relations and social security laws in 85 countries we find that the political power of the left is associated with more stringent labor regulations and more generous social security systems and that socialist french and scandinavian legal origin countries have sharply higher levels of labor regulation than do common law countries however the effects of legal origins are larger and explain more of the variation in regulations than those of politics heavier regulation of labor is associated with lower labor force participation and higher unemployment especially of the young these results are most naturally consistent with legal theories according to which countries have pervasive regulaory styles inherited from the transplantation of legal systems

using notches to uncover optimization frictions and structural elasticities theory and evidence from pakistan we develop a framework for nonparametrically identifying optimization frictions and structural elasticities using notches discontinuities in the choice sets of agents introduced by tax and transfer policies notches create excess bunching on the low tax side and missing mass on the high tax side of a cutoff and they are often associated with a region of strictly dominated choice that would have zero mass in a frictionless world by combining excess bunching observed response attenuated by frictions with missing mass in the dominated region frictions it is possible to uncover the structural elasticity that would govern behavior in the absence of frictions and arguably capture long run behavior we apply our framework to tax notches in pakistan using rich administrative data while observed bunching is large and sharp optimization frictions are also very large as the majority of taxpayers in dominated ranges are unresponsive to tax incentives the combination of large observed bunching and large frictions implies that the frictionless behavioral response to notches is extremely large but the underlying structural elasticity driving this response is nevertheless modest this highlights the inefficiency of notches by creating extremely strong price distortions they induce large behavioral responses even when structural elasticities are small

earnings determination and taxes evidence from a cohort based payroll tax reform in greece author s saez emmanuel matsaganis manos tsakloglou panos abstract this paper analyzes the response of earnings to payroll tax rates using a cohort based reform in greece all individuals who started working on or after 1993 face permanently a much higher earnings cap for payroll taxes creating a large and permanent discontinuity in marginal payroll tax rates by date of entry in the labor force for upper earnings workers using full population administrative social security data and a regression discontinuity design we estimate the long term incidence and effects of marginal payroll tax rates on earnings standard theory predicts that in the long run new regime workers should bear the entire burden of the payroll tax increase relative to old regime workers in contrast we find that employers compensate new regime workers for the extra employer payroll taxes but not for the extra employee payroll taxes we do not find any evidence of labor supply responses around the discontinuity suggesting low efficiency costs of payroll taxes the non standard incidence results are the same across firms of different sizes tax incidence however is standard for older workers in the new regime as they bear both the employee and employer tax those results combined with a direct small survey of employers can be explained by social norms regarding seniority based pay which create a growing wedge between pay and productivity as workers age

migration and imperfect labor markets theory and cross country evidence from denmark germany and the uk we investigate the labor market effects of immigration in denmark germany and the uk three countries which are characterized by considerable differences in labor market institutions and welfare states institutions such as collective bargaining minimum wages employment protection and unemployment benefits affect the way in which wages respond to labor supply shocks and hence the labor market effects of immigration we employ a wage setting approach which assumes that wages decline with the unemployment rate albeit imperfectly we find that the wage and employment effects of immigration depend on wage flexibility and the composition of the labor supply shock in germany immigration involves only moderate wage but large unemployment effects since immigrants are concentrated in labor market segments with low wage flexibility the reverse is true for the uk and denmark

adjustment costs firm responses and micro vs macro labor supply elasticities evidence from danish tax records we show that the effects of taxes on labor supply are shaped by interactions between adjustment costs for workers and hours constraints set by firms we develop a model in which firms post job offers characterized by an hours requirement and workers pay search costs to find jobs we present evidence supporting three predictions of this model by analyzing bunching at kinks using danish tax records first larger kinks generate larger taxable income elasticities second kinks that apply to a larger group of workers generate larger elasticities third the distribution of job offers is tailored to match workers aggregate tax preferences in equilibrium our results suggest that macro elasticities may be substantially larger than the estimates obtained using standard microeconometric methods

tax avoidance and the deadweight loss of the income tax traditional analyses of the income tax greatly underestimate deadweight losses by ignoring its effect on forms of compensation and patterns of consumption the full deadweight loss is easily calculated using the compensated elasticity of taxable income to changes in tax rates because leisure excludable income and deductible consumption are a hicksian composite good microeconomic estimates imply a deadweight loss of as much as 30 of revenue or more than ten times harberger s classic 1964 estimate the relative deadweight loss caused by increasing existing tax rates is substantially greater and may exceed 2 per 1 of revenue

migration and optimal income taxes abstract the issue addressed in this paper is the optimal taxation of incomes earned in the home economy and of incomes earned abroad when people can migrate as a preliminary the optimal taxation of home incomes when there is migration and no taxation of foreign incomes is discussed then in a more general setting we deal with optimal taxation of different kinds of labour when another kind of labour is not taxable and show how this bears on the taxation of foreign incomes the last sections of the paper analyse a simple model in which people choose between taxable labour at home taxable labour abroad and untaxable labour a condition is found implying that the optimal tax on foreign income is higher than on the home income of a person of equal utility

relocation of the rich migration in response to top tax rate changes from spanish reforms a spanish reform granted regions the authority to set income tax rates resulting in substantial tax differentials using administrative data we find that conditional on moving taxes have a signi

devolving fiscal policy migration and tax yields abstractdevolution of taxes to sub national jurisdictions could reduce expected tax revenue if some households move to lower tax regimes constraining devolved government policy this paper develop

jeux sans frontieres tax competition and tax coordination when countries differ in size closer international integration is putting increasing pressure on existing national tax structures this paper uses a simple two country model to address a range of consequent policy concerns focusing particularly on the role of country size differences in size exacerbate the inefficiency from noncooperative behavior harming both countries the smaller country loses from harmonization to any tax rate between those set in the noncooperative equilibrium but both countries gain from the imposition of a minimum tax anywhere in that range the fully optimal response to freer cross border trade however may be to do nothing jel h20 h77

migration and wage effects of taxing top earners evidence from the foreigners tax scheme in denmark this paper analyzes the eects of income taxation on the international migration and earnings of top earners using a danish preferential foreigner tax scheme and populationwide danish administrative data this scheme introduced in 1991 allows new immigrants with high earnings to be taxed at a preferential at rate for a duration of three years we obtain two main results first the scheme has doubled the number of highly paid foreigners in denmark relative to slightly less paid and therefore ineligible foreigners this translates into a very large elasticity of migration with respect to 1 minus the average tax rate on foreigners between 1 5 and 2 second we nd compelling evidence of a negative eect of the scheme induced reduction in the average tax rate on pre tax earnings of foreign migrants at the individual level this nding can be rationalized by a matching frictions