individual and aggregate labor supply with coordinated working times i analyze two extensions to the standard model of life cycle labor supply that feature operative choices along both the intensive and extensive margin one assumes that individuals face continuous wage hours schedules while the other assumes that all work must be coordinated across individuals though similar qualitatively the two models have very different implications for aggregate labor supply responses to tax policy in the first model curvature in the individual utility from leisure function plays relatively little role but in the second model it is of first order importance the second model also has important implications for what data are best able to provide evidence on the extent of curvature in the utility from leisure function

intertemporal labor supply and human capital accumulation we solve and estimate a dynamic model that allows agents to optimally choose their labor hours and consumption and that allows for both human capital accumulation and savings estimation results and simulation exercises indicate that the intertemporal elasticity of substitution is much higher than the conventional estimates and the downward bias comes from the omission of the human capital accumulation effect the human capital accumulation effect renders the life cycle path of the shadow wage relatively flat even though wages increase with age hence a rather flat life cycle labor supply path can be reconciled with a high intertemporal elasticity of substitution

2018 klein lecture individual and aggregate labor supply in heterogeneous agent economies with intensive and extensive margins we study business cycle fluctuations in heterogeneous agent general equilibrium models featuring intensive and extensive margins of labor supply a nonlinear mapping from time devoted to work to labor services generates operative extensive and intensive margins our model captures the salient features of the empirical distribution of hours worked including how individuals transit within this distribution we study how various specifications influence labor supply responses to aggregate technology shocks and find that abstracting from intensive margin adjustment can have large effects on the volatility of aggregate hours even if fluctuations along the intensive margin are small

dependence distorted development and fertility trends in noncore nations a structural analysis of cross national data to evaluate the hypothesis that dependence on developed nations distorts demographic development in less developed countries ldcs a researcher used panel regression analysis to study variables from 62 nations multinational corporate penetration an estimate of the shares of both a nations capital and its labor that are controlled by developed country based transnational corporations was used as a measure of the level of dependence the analysis demonstrated that school enrollment was highly correlated with level of development social insurance program history and both family planning effort fpe measures in addition countries that underwent the most economic growth the most concerted fpes etc had the most rapid decline in fertility rates conversely those with high levels of multinational corporate penetration dependency experienced either an increase in fertility or a slow decline for example south koreas 1965 cbr was 36 below the population mean of 45 in 1984 the cbr dropped to 20 even further below the population mean of 39 a dramatic absolute and relative fertility decline south korea also had the highest rate of economic growth and its increase in family planning program effort was dramatic from no measurable effect in 1972 to the nation with the highest fpe score in 1982 in addition the level of multinational penetration was modest in conclusion this research supports the view that intranational economic phenomena such as rate of economic growth and concerted fpes contribute significantly to fertility decline on the other hand multinational corporate penetration distorts development and impedes fertility reduction

micro and macro elasticities in a life cycle model with taxes we build a life cycle model of labor supply that incorporates changes along both the intensive and extensive margin and use it to assess the consequences of changes in tax and transfer policies on equilibrium hours of work we find that changes in taxes have large aggregate effects on hours of work moreover we find that there is no inconsistency between this result and the empirical finding of small labor elasticities for prime age workers in our model micro and macro elasticities are effectively unrelated our model is also consistent with other cross country patterns

bounds on elasticities with optimization frictions a synthesis of micro and macro evidence on labor supply how can price elasticities be identified when agents face optimization frictions such as adjustment costs or inattention i derive bounds on structural price elasticities that are a function of the observed effect of a price change on demand the size of the price change and the degree of frictions the degree of frictions is measured by the utility losses agents tolerate to deviate from the frictionless optimum the bounds imply that frictions affect intensive margin elasticities much more than extensive margin elasticities i apply these bounds to the literature on labor supply the utility costs of ignoring the tax changes used to identify intensive margin labor supply elasticities are typically less than 1 of earnings as a result small frictions can explain the differences between micro and macro elasticities extensive and intensive margin elasticities and other disparate findings pooling estimates from existing studies i estimate a hicksian labor supply elasticity of 0 33 on the intensive margin and 0 25 on the extensive margin after accounting for frictions

an empirical model of labor supply in a life cycle setting this paper formulates and estimates a structural intertemporal model of labor supply using theoretical characterizations derived from an economic model of lifetime behavior a two step empirical analysis yields estimates of intertemporal and uncompensated substitution effects which provide the information needed to predict the response of hours of work to life cycle wage growth and shifts in the lifetime wage path

labor supply hours constraints and job mobility if hours can be freely varied within jobs the effect on hours of changes in preferences for those who do change jobs should be similar to the effect on hours for those who do not change jobs conversely if employers restrict hours choices then changes in preferences should affect hours more strongly when the job changes than when it does not change for a sample of married women we find that changes in many of the labor supply preference variables produce much larger effects on hours when the job changes

the estimation of a joint wage hours labor supply model in this paper the standard cross sectional static model of labor supply is modified to make the wage endogenous and a joint wage hours model is estimated the econometric technique addresses the non linearity of the budget constraint by approximating the constraint by a series of discrete points the results show that the budget constraint is indeed nonlinear that hours affect the wage quadratically that true wage elasticities are lower as a result and that the model fits the hours distribution much better than the standard tobit model

status in the world system income inequality and economic growth this paper addresses recent challenges to fundamental world system research findings by using methods and measures suggested by critics of these findings reanalysis of income and economic growth data using a categorical indicator of world system status derived from snyder and kick suggests that dependency does increase income inequality and retard per capita economic growth net of initial development this offers renewed support for world system theory by rebutting weede s criticism of rubinson and jackman s criticism of snyder and kick

indivisible labor lotteries and equilibrium abstract this paper considers an economy where labor is indivisible and agents are identical although the discontinuity in labor supply at the individual level disappears as a result of aggregation it is shown that indivisible labor has strong consequences for the aggregate bahavior of the economy it is also shown that optimal allocations involve lotteries over employment and consumption

heterogeneity and aggregation implications for labor market fluctuations we demonstrate that aggregate employment and consumption can increase without a corresponding movement in productivity in a model with heterogeneous agents where the only aggregate disturbance is a productivity shock the interaction between incomplete capital markets and indivisible labor results in a low employment productivity correlation and creates a time varying wedge between the marginal rate of substitution for commodity consumption and hours and productivity our results caution against viewing the measured wedge as an inefficiency due to a failure of labor market clearing or as a fundamental driving force behind business cycles jel d31 e32 j22 j24 j31

indivisible labor and the business cycle abstract a growth model with shocks to technology is studied labor is indivisible so all variability in hours worked is due to fluctuations in the number employed we find that unlike previous equilibrium models of the business cycle this economy displays large fluctuations in hours worked and relatively small fluctuations in productivity this finding is independent of individuals willingness to substitute leisure across time this and other findings are the result of studying and comparing summary statistics describing this economy an economy with divisible labor and post war u s time series

individual and aggregate labor supply in heterogeneous agent economies with intensive and extensive margins we develop a heterogeneous agent general equilibrium model that incorporates both intensive and extensive margins of labor supply a nonconvexity in the mapping between time devoted to work and labor services distinguishes between extensive and intensive margins we consider calibrated versions of this model that dier in the value of a key preference parameter for labor supply and the extent of heterogeneity the model is able to capture the salient features of the empirical distribution of hours worked including how individuals transit within this distribution we then study how the various specications inuence labor supply responses to aggregate technology shocks we nd that abstracting from intensive margin adjustment has large eects on the volatility of aggregate hours even if intensive margin uctuates relatively little

the effect of part time work on wages evidence from the social security rules this article identifies the part time wage effect using hours variation caused by the social security rules we show that work hours and wages drop sharply at ages 62 and 65 we argue that the hours decline causes the wage decline resulting in a 25 wage penalty for men who cut their work week from 40 to 20 hours however we find little evidence for such an effect among women we also show that models that fail to account for the joint determination of hours and wages will understate the labor supply response to a tax change by about 26

intertemporal substitution in labor supply evidence from micro data the sensitivity of the supply of labor to intertemporal variation in the wage is an important issue in macroeconomics the analysis of social security and pensions and the study of life cycle patterns of work this paper explores two approaches to the measurement of intertemporal substitution that have appeared in the literature the first approach is to use consumption to control for wealth and unobserved expectations about future wages in the labor supply equation the second approach is to estimate a first difference equation for hours in which labor supply from the previous period serves as a control for wealth and wage expectations the results indicate that intertemporal substitution elasticity for married men is positive but small

urban bias dependence and economic stagnation in noncore nations this paper contributes to the growing body of research that assesses the effects of patterns of urbanization on economic growth in less developed countries ldcs regression analysis of data for 65 80 nations including analyses of influential cases suggests that both urban bias and dependency have independent simultaneous and negative effects on economic growth further analyses reveal a strong positive relationship between dependency and urban bias these findings show that understanding urbanization and development in the third world requires the consideration of both external international and internal intranational factors and a combination of the insights gained from dependency world system human ecology and modernization theories

divergence and convergence in international development a decomposition analysis of inequality in the world system the convergence hypothesis of conventional modernization theory suggests that the nations of the world are becoming more similar critics have argued that nations are diverging and becoming dissimilar over time this paper brings unique data analytic procedures and a world system perspective to bear on this debate we suggest that world system theory provides a framework for explaining the simultaneous occurrence of both convergence and divergence specifically the logic of world system theory suggests that divergence occurs between the three zones of nations core semiperiphery and periphery whereas convergence occurs within them with respect to economic development our analyses indicate that predictions concerning divergence were partially supported and predictions concerning convergence held only for the core trends within the periphery and semiperiphery question the utility of world system theory

the effects of health wealth and wages on labour supply and retirement behaviour this paper estimates a life cycle model of labour supply retirement and savings behaviour in which future health status and wages are uncertain individuals face a fixed cost of work and cannot borrow against future labour pension or social security income the method of simulated moments is used to match the life cycle profiles of labour force participation hours worked and assets that are estimated from the data to those that are generated by the model the model establishes that the tax structure of the social security system and pensions are key determinants of the high observed job exit rates at ages 62 and 65 removing the tax wedge embedded in the social security earnings test for individuals aged 65 and older would delay job exit by almost one year by contrast social security benefit levels health and borrowing constraints are less important determinants of job exit at older ages for example reducing social security benefits by 20 would cause workers to delay exit from the labour force by only three months

adjustment costs firm responses and micro vs macro labor supply elasticities evidence from danish tax records we show that the effects of taxes on labor supply are shaped by interactions between adjustment costs for workers and hours constraints set by firms we develop a model in which firms post job offers characterized by an hours requirement and workers pay search costs to find jobs we present evidence supporting three predictions of this model by analyzing bunching at kinks using danish tax records first larger kinks generate larger taxable income elasticities second kinks that apply to a larger group of workers generate larger elasticities third the distribution of job offers is tailored to match workers aggregate tax preferences in equilibrium our results suggest that macro elasticities may be substantially larger than the estimates obtained using standard microeconometric methods

labor supply preferences hours constraints and hours wage tradeoffs in a labor market with tied hours wage packages and wage dispersion for a particular type of job constrained workers may be willing to sacrifice wage gains for better hours when changing jobs likewise workers may accept jobs offering undesirable hours only if the associated wage gains are large we investigate this issue empirically by examining whether overemployment and underemployment on the initial and new job affects the relation between hours changes and wage changes for quitters our results generally support the view that an individual requires compensation to work in a job that given the individual s particular preferences offers unattractive hours

interpreting labor supply regressions in a model of full and part time work we construct a family model of labor supply that features adjustment along both the intensive and extensive margin intensive margin adjsutment is restricted to two values full time work and part time work using simulated data from the steady state of the calibrated model we examine whether standard labor supply regressions can uncover the true value of the intertemporal elasticity of labor supply parameter we find positive estimated elasticities that are larger for women and that are highly significant but they bear virtually no relationship to the underlying preference parameters

geographic poverty traps a micro model of consumption growth in rural china how important are neighbourhood endowments of physical and human capital in explaining diverging fortunes over time for otherwise identical households in a developing rural economy to answer this question we develop an estimable micro model of consumption growth allowing for constraints on factor mobility and externalities whereby geographic capital can influence the productivity of a household s own capital our statistical test has considerable power in detecting geographic effects given that we control for latent heterogeneity in measured consumption growth rates at the micro level we find robust evidence of geographic poverty traps in farm household panel data from post reform rural china our results strengthen the equity and efficiency case for public investment in lagging poor areas in this setting copyright 2002 john wiley sons ltd