assessing the performance of renewable electricity support instruments abstract the performance of feed in tariffs and tradable certificates is assessed on criteria of efficacy efficiency equity and institutional feasibility in the early stage of transition to an energy system based entirely on renewable energy supplies renewable electricity can only thrive if support takes into account the specific technical economic and political problems which result from embedding this electricity in conventional power systems whose technology organizational structure environmental responsibility and general mission differ profoundly from the emerging renewable based system support schemes need to capture the diversity of power supplies the variable nature of some renewable supplies and their different attributes for the purposes of public policy they must take into account the variety of generators including small decentralized generation emerging in a renewable based system and the new relationships between generators and customers renewable energy policies need a clear point of reference because the incumbent power systems are not sustainable they must adapt to the requirements of the renewable ones not the other way round incumbent systems carry the responsibility of paying the transition something that corresponds best with the polluter pays principle

on the use of econometric models for policy simulation in marketing abstract in this article the author discusses the properties of useful econometric models for marketing phenomena with particular attention on models for policy simulations the author addresses model diagnostics parameter stability exogeneity and the lucas critique he also presents the results of a search through the 1998 2003 issues of the journal of marketing research finally the author offers practical guidelines

litigation and settlement in patent infringement cases a patent grants its owner the right to sue intruders that have been identified the patentholder must then supervise the market and react in case of infringement his reaction may be to go to court to settle or to accept entry we investigate how intensive the monitoring effort should be and how it will influence the entry decision in a simultaneous game even if the penalty paid by the infringer in case of a finding of liability is high the patentholder may prefer a settlement to a trial the likelihood of entry may increase with the penalty in sequential games regardless who plays first entry occurs comparatively less often than in the simultaneous game

patenting in the shadow of competitors this article empirically examines the patenting behavior of new biotechnology firms that have different litigation costs i show that firms with high litigation costs are less likely to patent in subclasses with many other awards particularly those of firms with low litigation costs this pattern is consistent with the literature on costly litigation which suggests that firms that have high litigation costs will take greater precautions to avoid litigation these results are robust to a variety of control variables and modifications that seek to test alternative explanations

endogeneity in brand choice models applications of random utility models to scanner data have been widely presented in marketing for the last 20 years one particular problem with these applications is that they have ignored possible correlations between the independent variables in the deterministic component of utility price promotion etc and the stochastic component or error term in fact marketing mix variables such as price not only affect brand purchasing probabilities but are themselves endogenously set by marketing managers this work tests whether these endogeneity problems are important enough to warrant consideration when estimating random utility models with scanner panel data our results show that not accounting for endogeneity may result in a substantial bias in the parameter estimates

investment risks in power generation a comparison of fossil fuel and renewable energy dominated markets abstract due to their high capital intensity weather dependent renewable energies res such as solar and wind face considerable investment risks in power markets in addition their uncertain production volumes also affect the investment risks of other plant types through the impact on power prices and residual demand increasing res shares thus potentially increase overall investment risks in power markets which many analysts consider to be a potential problem against this background this paper compares investment risks of different technologies in markets with increasing shares of variable res it further analyses how generation mixes are affected by these investment risks if the risks are evaluated on a stand alone basis or in a plant portfolio context of a private firm for this purpose a stylized investment and dispatch model is used to conduct monte carlo simulations from which risk measures are derived the results show that capital intensive res face the highest stand alone risks since their profits are most affected by the power price risk however the results further indicate that the stand alone risks of variable res decrease with their share in the market because of a negative correlation of output and price risk in addition res have a risk benefit in firm plant portfolios in terms of constituting a hedge against losses of fossil fuel plants this positive portfolio effect however rapidly decreases and becomes negative with increasing res shares in the market

towards a sustainable electrification in ghana a review of renewable energy deployment policies abstract ghana has been facing perennial power rationing over the years due to fuel supply challenges the country s energy system is likely to suffer additional strain from rising energy demand fueled by population growth rapid urbanization and economic development fortunately there are enormous renewable energy resources which can provide sustainable electrification as backbone to socioeconomic development while curbing global warming ghana s energy strategy targets 100 access to electricity and 10 share of sustainable power in national generation mix by 2020 despite the existence of numerous policies and a renewable energy act current contribution of non conventional renewable energy to electricity generation is less than 1 the right mix of policies to address the unique domestic conditions and achieve its specific development goals remains insufficient this study reviews the regulatory framework financing incentives and other provisions of ghana s renewable energy act it critically examines the policy s strengths weaknesses opportunities and treats based on comparative analysis and lessons drawn from failed and successful implementation of similar policies around the world the study also assesses the impact of policy on project development it was found that the performance of ghana s renewable energy policy on grid connected electricity has been poor compared to its target the fundamental reasons for this unsatisfactory performance may be attributed to partial implementation of policies lack of market driven support schemes lack of pricing policy framework weak grid network limited access to funds and inconsistencies in renewable energy development strategies this study proposes the following countermeasures i ghana should comprehensively harmonize renewable energy regulatory and fiscal policies with domestic electricity pricing regime ii market driven support schemes should be prioritized for cost effectiveness and minimum governmental influence these reforms can help eliminate some of the major barriers to sustainable electrification in ghana while the lessons provide a learning curve for other african countries

tilting the table the use of preliminary injunctions abstract this paper examines the economic role of preliminary injunctions in legal disputes we present a model in which differences in financing costs drive the use of preliminary injunction and explore the implications of this legal remedy for ex post efficiency and ex ante incentives controlling for the nature of the dispute we examine the relationships between the financial status of litigating parties and whether a preliminary injunction is requested the empirical analysis uses detailed data compiled for a sample of 252 patent suits and reveals patterns generally consistent with those suggested by the model

innovation and firm value an investigation of the changing role of patents 1985 2007 abstract this paper examines how the relationship between firm value and patent based indicators of inventive activity has changed over time we use data from more than 33 000 mergers and acquisitions deals between 1985 and 2007 and distinguish between american uspto and european epo patents our results indicate that over time epo patents have become the dominant indicator of innovative activity while uspto patents have no effect on firm value near the end of the sample period the results are robust to controlling for citations and are especially strong for small firms for firms operating in the drug and chemical industries and when target and acquiring firms operate in different industries or countries

marketing models and the lucas critique the lucas critique has been largely ignored in the marketing literature we present a number of conditions under which the critique is most likely to also apply in marketing settings next we provide some perspectives on how to diagnose and accommodate the lucas critique and identify various avenues for future research

protecting intellectual property rights are small firms handicapped this paper studies the determinants of patent suits and settlements during 1978 99 by linking information from the u s patent office the federal courts and industry sources we find that litigation risk is much higher for patents that are owned by individuals and firms with small patent portfolios patentees with a large portfolio of patents to trade or other characteristics that facilitate cooperative resolution of disputes are much less likely to prosecute infringement suits however postsuit outcomes do not depend on these characteristics these findings show that small patentees are at a significant disadvantage in protecting their patent rights because their greater litigation risk is not offset by more rapid resolution of their suits our empirical estimates of the heterogeneity in litigation risk can help in developing private patent litigation insurance to mitigate the adverse affects of high enforcement costs

outlier robust bayesian multinomial choice modeling summary a bayesian method for outlier robust estimation of multinomial choice models is presented the method can be used for both correlated as well as uncorrelated choice alternatives and guarantees robustness towards outliers in the dependent and independent variables to account for outliers in the response direction the fat tailed multivariate laplace distribution is used leverage points are handled via a shrinkage procedure a simulation study shows that estimation of the model parameters is less influenced by outliers compared to non robust alternatives an analysis of margarine scanner data shows how our method can be used for better pricing decisions copyright 2015 john wiley sons ltd

worldwide venture capital intellectual property rights and innovation this study based on the historical data of venture capital vc investment and patenting for 99 countries and 83 industries explores the effects of vc investment on firms innovation in different intellectual property rights ipr environments worldwide utilizing large data sets and various empirical models our negative binomial and panel data analysis presents the significant and positive impacts of vc investment and ipr parameters on firms innovation controlling for cultural regulatory and economic and market conditions of the business environment however vc investment is more effective in weaker ipr environments this effect is robust to a number of different specifications for endogeneity among other things the economic effect is pronounced the impact of vc on patents is up to five times more pronounced between the weakest and strongest ipr regime in the sample

letting rivals come close or warding them off the effects of substitution threat on imitation deterrence a resource based theory postulate is that firms must defend their resources against imitation to sustain competitive advantage however by deterring imitation firms may induce rivals to create su

the effect of environmental regulation on optimal plant size and factor shares the method for measuring the effects of environmental regulation on the size distribution of industrial plants and the distribution of factor shares described in this paper focuses on the 20 industries with highest per unit pollution abatement costs and the 20 with the lowest costs the study finds that compliance with environmental laws has not only reduced the number of plants in the affected industries but has placed a greater burden on small rather than on large plants besides redistributing within industry market shares environmental regulation has increased the use of capital relative to labor although the disproportionate burden placed on small plants in the high abatement cost industries may have been unintended it is likely that large firms will be less vocal opponents of environmental regulation than are small firms 22 references 12 tables

patent office in innovation policy nobody s perfect abstract the number of patent applications and bad patents issued has been rising rapidly in recent years based on this trend we study the overload problem within the patent office and its consequences on the firms r d incentives we assume that the examination process of patent applications is imperfect and that its quality is poorer under congestion depending on policy instruments such as submission fees and the toughness of the non obviousness requirement the system may result in a high r d equilibrium in which firms self select in their patent applications or in an equilibrium with low r d opportunistic patent applications and the issuance of bad patents multiple equilibria often co exist which deeply undermines the effectiveness of policy instruments we investigate the robustness of our conclusions as to how the value of patent protection is formalized taking into consideration the introduction of a penalty system for rejected patent applications as well as the role of commitment to a given patent protection policy

the relative effectiveness of patents and secrecy for appropriation abstract changes in patent law global competition and the rise of several new technologies suggest that patents could be of greater value than secrecy for many innovative firms particularly small firms that are unable to use market power or other factors to appropriate their investments in innovation data from the 1993 european community innovation survey cis for up to 2849 r d performing firms is analysed to determine the relative importance of secrecy vs patents this particular combination of appropriation methods is interesting because secrecy can act as a mutually exclusive alternative to patents the results show that a higher percentage of firms in all size classes rate secrecy as more valuable than patents however ordered logit regressions show that the probability that a firm rates secrecy as more valuable than patents declines with an increase in firm size for product innovations while there is no relationship for process innovations the firm s r d intensity has no effect on the relative value of secrecy vs patents there is weak evidence to show that participation in cooperative r d increases the value of patents over secrecy for product innovations the results are relevant to ongoing debates over changes to the patent system and the need for policies to encourage small firms to patent more

a survey of the economics of patent systems and procedures the last several decades have seen increases in patenting activity worldwide as well as growing issues related to patent quality in response to these quality issues a recent patent literature has emerged that investigates the behavior and incentives of patent examiners applicants and third parties in this paper we provide an overview of patent procedures patent systems and a survey of the new economic literature on patent systems both theoretical and empirical papers are considered policy implications coming from this literature are presented

impact of renewables on electricity markets do support schemes matter abstract rising renewable shares influence electricity markets in several ways among others average market prices are reduced and price volatility increases therefore the missing money problem in energy only electricity markets is more likely to occur in systems with high renewable shares nevertheless renewables are supported in many countries due to their expected benefits the kind of support instrument can however influence the degree to which renewables influence the market while fixed feed in tariffs lead to higher market impacts more market oriented support schemes such as market premiums quota systems and capacity based payments decrease the extent to which markets are affected this paper analyzes the market impacts of different support schemes for this purpose a new module is added to an existing bottom up simulation model of the electricity market in addition different degrees of flexibility in the electricity system are considered a case study for germany is used to derive policy recommendations regarding the choice of support scheme

litigation and settlement an empirical approach litigants in civil lawsuits involving monetary damages often find an out of court settlement preferable to a trial most theoretical models of settlement choice employ an expected utility maximizing framework that emphasizes the importance of risk preferences litigation costs and the distribution of trial awards an empirical model of settlement choice is used to examine whether the variables prominent in the theoretical literature are statistically useful in explaining the occurrence and monetary value of settlements estimates from a sample of civil filings provide new empirical evidence of how the legal system affects the behavior of litigants during the settlement process copyright 1989 by mit press

the settlement of patent litigation in this article i develop a model to analyze patent licensing that is induced as part of a settlement agreement to avoid litigation of the issue of patent validity the patentee possesses private information about patent validity and makes a take it or leave it settlement offer to a single potential rival an essentially unique sequential equilibrium exists if out of equilibrium beliefs are restricted appropriately the model analyzes the effect of the probability of settlement and litigation

the costs of inefficient bargaining and financial distress abstract this study provides the first large sample analysis of the stock market reactions to interfirm litigation when a suit is filed the common stock of the typical defendant declines by about 1 while the plaintiff experiences no significant gains for the average pair of firms the combined drop in value upon filing is 21 million much of the loss is regained if the suit is settled the findings suggest that bargaining among firm claimants sometimes leads to very inefficient outcomes part of the leakage is explained by the costs of increased financial distress imposed on the defendant

the sense and non sense of holdout sample validation in the presence of endogeneity market response models based on field generated data need to address potential endogeneity in the regressors to obtain consistent parameter estimates another requirement is that market response models predict well in a holdout sample with both requirements combined it may seem reasonable to subject an endogeneity corrected model to a holdout prediction task and this is quite common in the academic marketing literature one may be inclined to expect that the consistent parameter estimates obtained via instrumental variables iv estimation predict better than the biased ordinary least squares ols estimates this paper shows that this expectation is incorrect that is if the holdout sample is similar to the estimation sample so that the regressors are endogenous in both samples holdout sample validation favors regression estimates that are not corrected for endogeneity i e ols over estimates that are corrected for endogeneity i e iv estimation we also discuss ways in which holdout samples may be used sensibly in the presence of endogeneity a key takeaway is that if consistent parameter estimates are the primary model objective the model should be validated with an exogenous rather than endogenous holdout sample

unobserved retailer behavior in multimarket data joint spatial dependence in market shares and promotion variables marketing scholars and practitioners frequently infer market responses from cross sectional or pooled cross section by time data such cases occur especially when historical data are either absent or are not representative of the current market situation we argue that inferring market responses using cross sections of multimarket data may in some cases be misleading because these data also reflect unobserved actions by retailers for example because the opportunity costs of doing so do not outweigh the gains retailers are predisposed against promoting small share brands as a consequence local prices and promotion variables depend on local market shares the higher the local share the higher the local observed promotion intensity we refer to this reverse causation as an endogeneity ignoring it will inflate response estimates because both the promotion effects on share as well as the reverse effects are in the same direction in this paper we propose a solution to this inference problem using the fact that retailers have trade territories consisting of multiple contiguous markets this implies that the unobserved actions of retailers cause a measurable spatial dependence among the marketing variables the intuition behind our approach is that by accounting for this spatial dependence we account for the effects of the retailer s behavior in this context our study hopes to make the following contributions at the core of which lies the above intuition first we separate the market response effect from the reverse retailer effect by computing responses to price and promotion net of any spatial and therefore retailer influence second underlying this approach is a new variance decomposition model for data with a panel structure this model allows to test for endogeneity of prices and promotion variables in the cross sectional dimension of the data this test aims to complement the one developed by villas boas and winer 1999 who test for endogeneity along the temporal dimension third to illustrate the approach we use information resources inc iri market share data for brands in two mature and relatively undifferentiated product categories across 64 iri markets whereas we only use data with very short time horizons to estimate price and promotion responses with the spatial model we do have data over long time windows we use the latter to validate the approach specifically within market estimates of price and promotion response are not subject to the same endogeneity because we hold the set of retailers constant therefore comparing within and across market estimates of price and promotion responses is a natural way to validate the approach consistent with our argument ignoring the reverse causation in the cross sectional data leads to inferences of price and promotion elasticities that are farther away from zero than the elasticities obtained from within market analysis in contrast cross sectional spatial estimates and time series estimates show convergent validity from a practical point of view this means it is possible to obtain reasonable within market estimates of price and promotion elasticities from predominantly cross sectional data this may benefit marketing managers the manager who would act on the inflated elasticities will over allocate marketing resources to promotions because she ignores retailers censorship of promotions on the basis of already existing high share we explore other approaches to correct for the inference bias and discuss further managerial issues and future research

what makes companies pursue an open science strategy whereas recent scholarly research has provided many insights about universities engaging in commercial activities there is still little empirical evidence regarding the opposite phenomenon of companies disseminating scientific knowledge our paper aims to fill this gap and explores the motivations of firms that disclose research outcomes in a scientific format besides considering a dimension internal to the firm we focus particularly on knowledge sourcing from academic institutions and the appropriability regime we conduct an econometric analysis with firm level data from the fourth edition of the french innovation survey cis and matched scientific publications for a sample of 2512 rd performing firms from all manufacturing sectors this analysis provides evidence that firms are more likely to adopt academic principles if they need to access scientific knowledge that is considered important for their innovation development whereas the mere existence of collaborative links with academic institutions is not a strong determinant furthermore the results suggest that the inclination of firms to publish is sensitive to the level of knowledge spillovers in a sector and the effectiveness of legal appropriation instruments c 2013 elsevier b v all rights reserved

new empirical generalizations on the determinants of price elasticity abstract the importance of pricing decisions for firms has fueled an extensive stream of research on price elasticities in an influential meta analytical study tellis 1988 summarized price elasticity research findings until 1986 however empirical generalizations on price elasticity require modifications because of 1 changes in market characteristics i e characteristics of brands product categories and economic conditions and 2 changes in the research methodology used to assess price elasticities therefore the authors present a meta analysis of price elasticity with new empirical generalizations on its determinants across a set of 1851 price elasticities based on 81 studies the average price elasticity is 2 62 a salient finding is that over the past four decades sales elasticities have significantly increased in magnitude whereas share and choice elasticities have remained fairly constant the authors find that accommodating price endogeneity has a strong magnitude increasing impa

optimal over installation of wind generation facilities abstract this paper evaluates the economic benefits to over installing turbines on capacity constrained wind farm sites in order to capture more energy at low wind speeds although this implies curtailment at high wind speeds we show that over installing generation facilities can increase returns to investors and reduce system costs a detailed model based analysis is developed using british data with variations in the range of over installation the renewable policy support systems fixed feed in tariffs or green certificate premia to wholesale energy prices and the extent of replacement of fossil generation in the technology mix with wind in the cases of premia to market prices we use agent based computational learning and risk simulation to model market prices not only is over installation beneficial under fixed feed in tariffs but is more so under premia to market prices and increasingly so as wind replaces fossil generation

the firm strikes back non compete agreements and the mobility of technical professionals this study explores how firms shape labor markets and career paths using employee non compete agreements the sociology of work has overlooked non competes but data indicate that nearly half of technical professionals in the united states are asked to sign such employment contracts fearing loss of investments in talent and trade secrets firms use non competes to strike back against technical professionals increased mobility following the decline of internal labor markets in depth interviews with 52 randomly sampled patent holders in a single industry coupled with a survey of 1 029 engineers across a variety of industries reveal that ex employees subject to non competes are more likely to take career detours that is they involuntarily leave their technical field to avoid a potential lawsuit moreover firms strategically manage the process of getting workers to sign such contracts waiting for workers bargaining position to weaken these findings inform our understanding of the social organizati

patents and cumulative innovation causal evidence from the courts cumulative innovation is central to economic growth do patent rights facilitate or impede such follow on innovation this paper studies the effect of removing patent protection through court invalidation on the subsequent research related to the focal patent as measured by later citations we exploit random allocation of judges at the u s court of appeal for the federal circuit to control for the endogeneity of patent invalidation we find that patent invalidation leads to a 50 percent increase in subsequent citations to the focal patent on average but the impact is highly heterogeneous patent rights appear to block follow on innovation only in the technology fields of computers electronics and medical instruments moreover the effect is entirely driven by invalidation of patents owned by large patentees that triggers entry of small innovators suggesting that patents may impede the democratization of innovation

endogeneity and heterogeneity in a probit demand model estimation using aggregate data two issues that have become increasingly important while estimating the parameters of aggregate demand functions to study firm behavior are theendogeneity of marketing activities typically price andheterogeneity across consumers in the market under consideration ignoring these issues in the estimation of the demand function parameters can lead to biased and inconsistent estimates for the effects of marketing activities endogeneity and heterogeneity have achieved prominence in large measure because of the increasing popularity of logit models to characterize demand functions usingaggregate data the logit model accounts for purchase incidence and brand choice by including a no purchase alternative in the consumer s choice set this allows for category sales to change as a function of the marketing activities of brands in the category there are three issues with using the logit model with the no purchase option to characterize demand when studying competitive interactions among firms 1 the marketing literature dealing with brand choice behavior at the consumer level has found that the iia restriction is not appropriate as each brand in the choice set is more similar to some brands than it is to others 2 studies have found that the purchase incidence decision is distinct from the brand choice decision hence it may not be appropriate to model the no purchase decision as just another alternative in the choice set with the iia restriction holding across all brands and the no purchase option 3 even if the distinction between the purchase incidence and brand choice decisions is accounted for via for example a nested logit specification accounting for the purchase incidence decision with aggregate data requires assumptions for computing the share of the no purchase alternative which is otherwise unobserved in this paper we propose a probit model as an alternative to the logit model to specify the aggregate demand functions of firms competing in oligopoly markets the probit model avoids the iia property that affects the logit model at the individual consumer level furthermore the probit model can naturally account for the distinction between the purchase incidence and brand choice decisions due to the general covariance structure assumed for the utilities of the alternatives we demonstrate how the parameters of the proposed model can be estimated using aggregate time series data from a product market in the estimation we account for the endogeneity of marketing variables as well as for heterogeneity across consumers our results indicate that both endogeneity as well as heterogeneity need to be accounted for even after allowing for a non iia specification at the individual consumer level specific to our data we also find that ignoring endogeneity has a bigger impact on the estimated price elasticities than ignoring the effects of heterogeneity a comparison of the elasticities obtained from the probit model with those from the corresponding logit specification indicates that therange of elasticities obtained from the probit model across brands is larger than that obtained from the logit the results have implications for issues such as firm level pricing in addition to specifying a probit model and providing comparisons with the logit model the paper also addresses the third issue raised above we propose a simple alternative to the purchase incidence brand choice specification by decomposing the demand for a brand into a category demand equation and a conditional brand choice share equation we provide a comparison of results from this specification to those from the specification that includes the no purchase alternative and find that estimated elasticities are sensitive to the specification used we also estimate the demand function parameters using a traditional specification such as the double logarithmic model here we find that the estimated elasticities could be signed in such a manner as to be not useful for firm level pricing decisions one of the key limitations of the proposed model is that while it accounts for the purchase incidence and brand choice decisions of households it does not account for differences across consumers in their purchase quantities the model and analysis are best suited for product categories in which consumers typically make single unit purchases another limitation is more practical in nature while recent advances have been made in computing probit probabilities it could nevertheless be a challenge to do so when the number of alternatives is large

secrecy versus patenting we develop an equilibrium search model of innovation with the possibility of multiple independent discovery we distinguish innovations from ideas and we view patents as probabilistic property rights that are constrained by the innovators option to keep the innovation secret we find that the patent system can simultaneously stimulate innovation information disclosure and welfare an optimal patent may provide more or less protection than secrecy and in many cases it provides less suggesting that its main function is information spreading rather than rewarding the costs of the innovative activity

the progressive inefficiency of replacing renewable obligation certificates with contracts for differences in the uk electricity market abstract this paper looks at the emerging risk return profile for new renewable assets as a conventional wholesale electricity market progressively decarbonises using a detailed fundamental model of price formation risks under increasing replacement of fossil fuel facilities with onshore and offshore wind we show that the risk return profile becomes less attractive over time and may therefore need sustained and possibly increasing policy support furthermore we show that green certificate trading may become progressively more attractive as a supplementary support to wholesale prices compared to fixed feed in tariffs this is because the increasingly negative correlation between renewable output and wholesale prices reduces its revenue risk compared to fixed feed in tariffs if other factors remain constant and thereby improves conventional financial performance risk metrics in particular this suggests that the recent energy policy change in britain to move away from green certificates and into contracts for differences may have been ill founded

regulation and firm size fda impacts on innovation this article estimates the highly differential impacts of fda regulations on pharmaceutical firms of various sizes where size is measured as scale of r d expenditures estimation is performed using the method of maximum quasi likelihoods using productivity trends of the united kingdom as a control to isolate fda regulatory effects in the united states it is shown that smaller u s pharmaceutical firms suffered devastating reductions in research productivity because of fda regulations in contrast the largest u s pharmaceutical firms apparently benefited from regulation as sales gains due to reduced competition more than offset their quite moderate declines in research productivity

litigation liability and incentives for care abstract in this paper potential injurers are subject to a negligence standard and differ in cost of taking care in the event of accident the injurer s degree of care is private information in litigation that follows award of damages for pain and suffering will lead to a general increase in care and hence reduce the likehood of accident a tighter negligence standard will lead some potential injurers to take more care and others to take less adoption of a rule under which the loser at trial must pay the litigation costs of the winner will reduce the pressure for punitive damages

what is behind the recent surge in patenting abstract we investigate the cause of an unprecedented surge of us patenting over the past decade conventional wisdom points to the establishment of the court of appeals of the federal circuit by congress in 1982 we examine whether this institutional change which has benefited patent holders explains the burst in us patenting using both international and domestic data on patent applications and awards we conclude that the evidence is not favorable to the conventional view instead it appears that the jump in patenting reflects an increase in us innovation spurred by changes in the management of research

the case against patents evidence that they serve to increase innovation and productivity unless productivity is identifi ed with the number of patents awarded which as productivity is identifi ed with the number of patents awarded which as evidence shows has no correlation with measured productivity this disconnect is evidence shows has no correlation with measured productivity this disconnect is at the root of what is called the patent puzzle in spite of the enormous increase in at the root of what is called the patent puzzle in spite of the enormous increase in the number of patents and in the strength of their legal protection the us economy the number of patents and in the strength of their legal protection the us economy has seen neither a dramatic acceleration in the rate of technological progress nor a has seen neither a dramatic acceleration in the rate of technological progress nor a major increase in the levels of research and development expenditure major increase in the levels of research and development expenditure both theory and evidence suggest that while patents can have a partial equiboth theory and evidence suggest that while patents can have a partial equilibrium effect of improving incentives to invent the general equilibrium effect on librium effect of improving incentives to invent the general equilibrium effect on innovation can be negative the historical and international evidence suggests that innovation can be negative the historical and international evidence suggests that while weak patent systems may mildly increase innovation with limited side effects while weak patent systems may mildly increase innovation with limited side effects strong patent systems retard innovation with many negative side effects more generstrong patent systems retard innovation with many negative side effects more generally the initial eruption of innovations leading to the creation of a new industry from ally the initial eruption of innovations leading to the creation of a new industry from chemicals to cars from radio and television to personal computers and investment chemicals to cars from radio and television to personal computers and investment banking is seldom if ever born out of patent protection and is instead the fruit of a banking is seldom if ever born out of patent protection and is instead the fruit of a competitive environment it is only after the initial stage of rampant growth ends that competitive environment it is only after the initial stage of rampant growth ends that mature industries turn toward the legal protection of patents usually because their mature industries turn toward the legal protection of patents usually because their internal growth potential diminishes and they become more concentrated these internal growth potential diminishes and they become more concentrated these observations supported by a steadily increasing body of evidence are consistent with observations supported by a steadily increasing body of evidence are consistent with

historic paths and future expectations the macroeconomic impacts of the offshore wind technologies in the uk abstract offshore wind power osw plays a key role within the uk strategy for a transition towards a low carbon economy offering vast potential for establishing a high tech manufacturing industry previous experiences in the onshore sector owp suggest the uk might fail in fully capturing these macroeconomic benefits in this work we investigate the history of uk renewable policies comparing its national strategy to those of other major osw export countries through the use of a numerical general equilibrium model we quantify the macroeconomic impacts under three scenarios a baseline which relies on previous estimates and foresee limited local content a contamination scenario where the uk content reaches the same levels of owp and a non myopic scenario where investors expect governmental support to decrease or disappear replicating a common path of past renewable policies we identify the uk as a fdi oriented country our results suggest that increasing the share of locally sourced capital goods in osp to owp level could generate larger income and employment effects in the uk economy we find that under forward looking investors the economic benefits are significantly lower than the case of myopic agents our results show an inherent conflict with stated purposes of uk policy for osw

the merit order effect a detailed analysis of the price effect of renewable electricity generation on spot market prices in germany the german feed in support of electricity generation from renewable energy sources has led to high growth rates of the supported technologies critics state that the costs for consumers are too high an important aspect to be considered in the discussion is the price effect created by renewable electricity generation this paper seeks to analyse the impact of privileged renewable electricity generation on the electricity market in germany the central aspect to be analysed is the impact of renewable electricity generation on spot market prices the results generated by an agent based simulation platform indicate that the financial volume of the price reduction is considerable in the short run this gives rise to a distributional effect which creates savings for the demand side by reducing generator profits in the case of the year 2006 the volume of the merit order effect exceeds the volume of the net support payments for renewable electricity generation which have to be paid by consumers

endogeneity in marketing decision models there are many critical concerns including the accounting for endogeneity when one is properly estimating response functions however it is sometimes certainly not always better to leave some variables exogenous when building mathematical models intended to help decision makers the exogenous variables allow the decision maker to better adapt the mathematical model to different situations and to incorporate myriad variables and constraints outside of the model

logit demand estimation under competitive pricing behavior an equilibrium framework discrete choice models of demand have typically been estimated assuming that prices are exogenous since unobservable to the researcher product attributes such as coupon availability may impact consumer utility as well as price setting by firms we treat prices as endogenous specifically prices are assumed to be the equilibrium outcomes of nash competition among manufacturers and retailers to empirically validate the assumptions we estimate logit demand systems jointly with equilibrium pricing equations for two product categories using retail scanner data and cost data on factor prices in each category we find statistical evidence of price endogeneity we also find that the estimates of the price response parameter and the brand specific constants are generally biased downward when the endogeneity of prices is ignored our framework provides explicit estimates of the value created by a brand i e the difference between consumers willingness to pay for a brand and its cost of production we develop theoretical propositions about the relationship between value creation and competitive advantage for logit demand systems and use our empirical results to illustrate how firms use alternative value creation strategies to accomplish competitive advantage

unintentional unavoidable and beneficial knowledge leakage from the multinational enterprise knowledge leakage as an undesirable outcome for mnes is an accepted view in ib literature we challenge this view and argue that knowledge leakage is often unintentional unavoidable and beneficial for the mne in a highly networked and information rich society knowledge leakage from mnes 1 happens naturally due to interfirm relationships interactions and socialization 2 is unavoidable due to employee mobility and 3 facilitates knowledge inflows due to the reciprocity nature of knowledge exchange and hence is beneficial for mnes in addition the costs of protecting knowledge incurred by an mne will often outweigh the benefits

the value of intellectual property rights to firms and society economists view intellectual property rights iprs as policy tools for encouraging innovation but they recognize that they can also inhibit competition there are many types of iprs and institutions concerned with their administration we begin by outlining how these complex and varied rights are supposed to work and how they interact with other characteristics of firms and markets we then survey the available literature on patents trade marks and copyright to assess the value of these iprs to firms and the costs to firms of acquiring and defending their rights the paper concludes with suggestions for topics requiring further research to inform public policy better

the patent paradox revisited an empirical study of patenting in the u s semiconductor industry 1979 1995 we examine the patenting behavior of firms in an industry characterized by rapid technological change and cumulative innovation recent survey evidence suggests that semiconductor firms do not rely heavily on patents to appropriate returns to r d yet the propensity of semiconductor firms to patent has risen dramatically since the mid1980s we explore this apparent paradox by conducting interviews with industry representatives and analyzing the patenting behavior of 95 u s semiconductor firms during 1979 1995 the results suggest that the 1980s strengthening of u s patent rights spawned patent portfolio races among capital intensive firms but it also facilitated entry by specialized design firms

learning from experience the development of the renewables obligation in england and wales 2002 2010 abstract the uk has enviable renewable resources both onshore wind and offshore wind wave and tidal the offshore valuation group 2010 the government has had policy mechanisms in place since 1990 to encourage these resources to be developed the current mechanism the renewables obligation ro was specifically designed to emphasise competition and therefore to fit in with the uk s overall strategic approach to energy policy however as yet it has not delivered the capacity that it was designed to do and as a result the uk faces a difficult challenge in attempting to meet european wide renewable energy targets for 2020 as well as longer term decarbonisation targets this paper explores some of the major reasons why the ro has performed so poorly to date and considers the prospects for improvement up to 2020 it concludes that the strategic emphasis on competition in the support mechanisms has played a key role in limiting renewables development but that the mechanism has changed significantly since it was introduced however these changes together with proposals for electricity market reform still do not address important elements of risk in comparison with a standard feed in tariff

r d spillovers patents and the incentives to innovate in japan and the united states national surveys of r d labs across the manufacturing sectors in the us and japan show that intraindustry r d knowledge flows and spillovers are greater in japan than in the us and the appropriability of rents due to innovation less patents in particular are observed to play a more central role in diffusing information across rivals in japan and appear to be a key reason for greater intraindustry r d spillovers there suggesting that patent policy can importantly affect information flows uses of patents differ between the two nations with strategic uses of patents particularly for negotiations being more common in japan

what will china s carbon emission trading market affect with only electricity sector involvement a cge based study abstract on december 29 2017 china s carbon trading scheme ets was officially launched and it may be the largest emission trading platform in the world this paper establishes 5 counter measured scenarios based on the recently launched china s national ets market and constructs a dynamic recursive computable general equilibrium model to study the impact of national ets on the economy energy and environment we find that the national ets will have a negative impact on gdp by 0 19 1 44 the national ets can significantly increase the price of electricity however the increase in the prices of other commodities will be much lower than that of electricity as long as the mechanism of the ets market remains unchanged emission reduction per year will increase linearly economic output and co2 emission are sensitive to annual decline factor adf this paper argues that china s national ets market is an effective tool to reduce co2 emission and we suggest that adf could be 0 5 when allocating carbon allowance for the electricity sector this could balance economic output and co2 reduction also it is easy to achieve the goal of double control total amount and intensity in china

determining commercially viable two way and one way contract for difference strike prices and revenue receipts abstract in this article we investigate the role that a contract for difference cfd might play in increasing investment in renewable energy in australia two cfd schemes are investigated two way and one way cfd a financial model is developed that determines commercially viable cfd strike prices account is taken of revenue from wholesale electricity market and renewable energy certificate sales capital and operational costs of the project including distribution of funds to holders of equity and debt are also included findings based on analysis of the solar array located at the university of queensland gatton campus in australia is presented employing a typical meteorological year framework the major finding was that government will prefer a two way cfd scheme and single axis tracking solar pv array technology in contrast project proponents will strongly prefer a one way cfd design

the economics of product patents this paper develops a model of product patents in which the patent changes the nature of market entry behavior rather than preventing entry entirely the model incorporates three levels of action namely the innovator s patenting decision the potential entrant s location decision and possible court action the analysis demonstrates how the characteristics of the patents system and the enforcement framework can influence rivals variety choices and thus the market equilibrium it also considers how the system can in principle be adjusted to improve social welfare copyright 1990 by american economic association

a control function approach to endogeneity in consumer choice models abstract endogeneity arises for numerous reasons in models of consumer choice it leads to inconsistency with standard estimation methods that maintain independence between the model s error and the included variables the authors describe a control function approach for handling endogeneity in choice models observed variables and economic theory are used to derive controls for the dependence between the endogenous variable and the demand error the theory points to the relationships that contain information on the unobserved demand factor such as the pricing equation and the advertising equation the authors approach is an alternative to berry levinsohn and pakes s 1995 product market controls for unobserved quality the authors apply both methods to examine households choices among television options including basic and premium cable packages in which unobserved attributes such as quality of programming are expected to be correlated with price without correcting for endogeneity aggregate d

josh lerner recipient of the 2010 global award for entrepreneurship research this article describes the academic contributions of the 2010 recipient of the global award for entrepreneurship research professor josh lerner of the harvard business school lerner s empirical research on the inter relationship between venture capital innovation and entrepreneurship has greatly extended and improved our understanding of one of the major drivers of growth in modern economies the first part of this article explains lerner s contributions as regards the structure and organization of the venture capital industry later his most important publications on entrepreneurship innovation and intellectual property rights are surveyed several aspects of lerner s policy oriented work are then outlined before the article closes with a brief conclusion

patent pools and innovation in substitute technologies evidence from the 19th century sewing machine industry patent pools which combine complementary patents of competing firms are expected to increase overall welfare but potentially discourage innovation in substitutes for the pool technology this article exploits a new historical data set on changes in patenting and firm entry for a clearly defined pool technology and substitutes in the 19th century sewing machine industry this analysis reveals a substantial increase in innovation for an albeit technologically inferior substitute technology historical evidence suggests that the creation of a pool diverted innovation toward an inferior substitute technology by creating differential license fees and litigation risks

the effectiveness of field price discretion empirical evidence from auto lending in many markets it is common for headquarters to create a price list but grant local salespeople discretion to negotiate prices for individual transactions how much if any pricing discretion headquarters should grant is a topic of debate within many firms we investigate this issue using a unique data set from an indirect lender with local pricing discretion we estimate that the local sales force adjusted prices in a way that improved profits by approximately 11 on average a counterfactual analysis shows that using a centralized data driven pricing optimization system could improve profits even further up to 20 over those actually realized this suggests that centralized pricing if appropriately optimized can be more effective than field price discretion we discuss the implications of these findings for auto lending and other industries with similar pricing processes this paper was accepted by serguei netessine operations management

the administrative costs of corporate bankruptcy a note in this paper we present evidence on the direct administrative costs of corporate bankruptcy the investigation is directed toward providing evidence that may be helpful in answering questions about the role of bankruptcy costs as a determinant of corporate capital structures the importance of bankruptcy costs as a determinant of corporate financing policy has been extensively debated in the finance literature the origins of the debate can be traced to modigliani and miller 8 and robichek and myers 9 under the assumption that debt is default free and interest payments are taxdeductible modigliani and miller demonstrated that firms will maximize their market values by maximizing their use of debt financing robichek and myers demonstrated that this conclusion also holds when debt is not default free but bankruptcy is costless to explain observed corporate debt to total value ratios which typically fall in the range of 20 percent to 30 percent robichek and myers 9 and baxter 1 appealed to the existence of bankruptcy costs as a possible counterweight to the tax deductibility of interest payments subsequently kraus and litzenberger 5 scott 10 lee and barker 6 kim 4 and turnbull 13 developed formal models in which firms maximize value by increasing their use of debt financing to the point where the marginal present value of future tax shields equals the marginal present value of future bankruptcy costs the bankruptcy cost literature has identified three types of costs as potentially relevant to the determination of a firm s optimal mix of debt and equity financing 1 the direct administrative expenses paid to various third parties involved in the bankruptcy proceedings 2 the shortfall in realized value when assets are sold in liquidation or the indirect costs of reorganization and 3 the loss of tax credits which the firm would have received had it not gone bankrupt contrarily haugen and senbet 3 and to a lesser extent miller 7 and warner 14 have argued that the only bankruptcy costs relevant to the determination of a firm s optimal capital structure are the direct administrative costs of bankruptcy the crux of their argument is that the shortfall costs of liquidation the indirect costs of reorganization and the loss of tax credits which occurs upon dissolution of the firm are in fact relevant to the liquidation investment decisions of the firm these costs would be borne by the security holders of a failing firm

patent enforcement a review of the literature without the confidence that patent rights can be enforced quickly and efficiently when needed the patent system will not stimulate innovation for this reason governments academics international institutions and the private sector have poured significant resources into gathering and analysing statistics on patent enforcement over the last two decades this paper reviews these studies and finds that while infringement is relatively common much enforcement occurs informally and less than 1 2 of patents incur litigation new strategic uses of the enforcement system especially by nonpracticing entities are the major emerging enforcement issue especially in the united states while the old problem of litigation costs attracts the lion s share of empirical attention it has produced remarkably few solutions to date

policy interactions risk and price formation in carbon markets carbon pricing is an important mechanism for providing companies with incentives to invest in carbon abatement price formation in carbon markets involves a complex interplay between policy targets dynamic technology costs and market rules carbon pricing may under deliver investment due to r d externalities requiring additional policies which themselves affect market prices also abatement costs depend on the extent of technology deployment due to learning by doing this paper introduces an analytical framework based on marginal abatement cost mac curves with the aim of providing an intuitive understanding of the key dynamics and risk factors in carbon markets the framework extends the usual static mac representation of the market to incorporate policy interactions and some technology cost dynamics the analysis indicates that supporting large scale deployment of mature abatement technologies suppresses the marginal cost of abatement sometimes to zero whilst increasing total abatement costs however support for early stage r d may reduce both total abatement cost and carbon price risk an important aspect of the analysis is in elevating risk management considerations into energy policy formation as the results of the stochastic modelling indicate wide distributions for the emergence of carbon prices and public costs around the policy expectations

product liability research and development and innovation product liability ideally should promote efficient levels of product safety but misdirected liability efforts may depress beneficial innovations this paper examines these competing effects of liability costs on product r d intensity and new product introductions by manufacturing firms at low to moderate levels of expected liability costs there is a positive effect of liability costs on product innovation at very high levels of liability costs the effect is negative at the sample mean liability costs increase r d intensity by 15 percent the greater linkage of these effects to product r d rather than process r d is consistent with the increased prominence of the design defect doctrine

commentary assumptions explanation and prediction in marketing science it s the findings stupid not the assumptions in his july august 2007 editorial of marketing science steven shugan argues that the realism of assumptions does not matter as long as a theory or model produces satisfactory predictions and claims further that unrealistic assumptions breed good theories this commentary discusses the problems of his argument and presents a very different view about the realism of assumptions assumptions need not be realistic if the only goal of science is prediction however a major function of theory is also to explain and not just to predict the role of explanation is more important in the social sciences because it is far more difficult to produce accurate predictions in the social than the natural sciences assumptions especially core assumptions often constitute the foundation of the mechanismic explanations provided by a theory unrealistic assumptions may lead to faulty explanations and false predictions contrary to shugan s view the realism of an assumption cannot be assessed just based on the output of a theory it has to be tested independently of or in conjunction with the hypotheses of the theory also contrary to shugan s claim more realistic assumptions result in better theories as theory development advances efforts should be directed toward making assumptions more realistic

tax incentives and r d activity firm level evidence from taiwan this paper investigates the effect of tax incentives on r d activities in taiwanese manufacturing firms specifically we assess the potential r d enhancing effect on recipients of r d tax credits compared with their non recipient counterparts moreover the potential difference in the r d enhancing effect between high tech and non high tech firms is also examined utilizing a firm level panel dataset during 2001 and 2005 empirical results obtained by propensity score matching show that recipients of r d tax credits appear on average to have 93 53 higher r d expenditures and a 14 47 higher growth rate for r d expenditures than non recipients with similar characteristics the r d enhancing effect of r d tax credits is not found to be particularly relevant to high tech or non high tech firms we further employ a generalized method of moment gmm of the panel fixed model to control for the endogeneity of r d tax credits and firm heterogeneity in determining r d expenditure various estimates based on the entire sample and high tech firms are quite similar and there is a significantly r d enhancing effect of r d tax credits this result suggests that the r d preferential policy has induced more r d expenditure by firms in taiwan while the existence of the r d enhancing effect brought on by tax incentives is intuitive the estimates can provide insightful implications for the r d tax policy

secrecy the patent puzzle and endogenous growth abstract endogenous growth models typically assume that innovations are protected solely by patents consequently they predict that strengthening patent protection stimulates innovation by increasing the private return to r d this contrasts with empirical evidence that 1 firms routinely employ a combination of patents and secrecy and 2 stronger patent regimes have been associated with increased patenting but not increased innovation a finding referred to as the patent puzzle in this paper i develop a novel model of endogenous growth that is consistent with this evidence successful innovators choose an appropriation strategy in the form of a patent secrecy mix both protection methods are imperfect and innovators face a trade off between secrecy s superior protection against imitation and patenting s protection against rival innovation i demonstrate that growth oriented policy changes generate important economic effects through their impact on the endogenous appropriation strategies of innovators

supporting the externality of intermittency in policies for renewable energy abstract we analyse the joint problem of supporting renewables and resource adequacy in a liberalised electricity market and present a detailed model based comparison of two alternative policies we undertake this in the context of the british market we show how ceteris paribus the progressive replacement of coal with wind imposes extra costs of reserve and evaluate alternative way to meet this whether through capacity payments funded by customers or a reliability requirement on wind generators with capital cost or energy feed in subsidies we consider the reality of market concentration and the extent to which pragmatic regulation could allow prices to rise above marginal cost to reduce the extent of direct subsidies and complex market designs we also evaluate the implied cost of carbon reduction in a progressive replacement of coal with wind when the security is maintained by extra peaking gas we find that support through capital allowances rather than the energy market is more efficient