do national soccer results really impact on the stock market this study is a response to klein et al 2008 which was highly critical of earlier work by ashton et al 2003 this work considering the link between international soccer results and stock market returns was challenged by klein et al 2008 who reject the presence and importance of this link in response this work provides a reassessment of the link between international soccer results and stock market returns within ashton et al 2003 this new analysis extends the original work by using a larger dataset employing an extended range of tests and allowing for outliers it is reported that contrary to the findings of klein et al 2008 the link between international soccer results and stock market prices does indeed exist particularly within the sample period 1984 2002 used by ashton et al 2003 after extending the dataset to include observations from 2002 until 2009 it is reported that the effect on stock market returns has declined in importance over this period particularly the impact

effects of the minimum wage on the employment status of youths an update the large decline in the relative value of the minimum wage during the 1980s makes that period a valuable one for identifying the impact of variation in the minimum wage on youth employment this study produces the robust finding that when the experience of the 1980s is included a 10 percent increase in the minimum wage is estimated to reduce teen employment by less than 1 percent the lower end of the range of previous estimates because this small employment effect is offset by a labor force withdrawal effect the study finds no discernible effect on measured unemployment the study also finds no apparent effect of the minimum wage on the employment of young adults aged 20 24

stock price clustering and discreteness stock prices cluster on round fractions clustering increases with price level and volatility and decreases with capitalization and transaction frequency clustering is pervasive price clustering will occur if traders use discrete price sets to simplify their negotiations exchange regulations require that most stocks be traded on eighths clustering on larger fractions will occur if traders choose to use discrete price sets based on quarters halves or whole numbers an econometric model of clustering is derived and estimated projections from the results suggest that traders would frequently use odd sixteenths when trading low price stocks if exchange regulations permitted trading on sixteenths article published by oxford university press on behalf of the society for financial studies in its journal the review of financial studies

scoring on the stock exchange the effect of football matches on stock market returns an event study we analyse the effect of results of football matches on the stock market performance of football teams we analyse 1274 matches of eight teams in the national and european competition during 2000 2004 we find that the stock market response is significant and positive for victories and negative for defeats the response is significantly stronger in the case of defeat the response is stronger for matches in the european competition than for those in the national competition unexpected results have a stronger impact for european matches than expected ones but this is not the case in the national competition

an analysis of stock price reaction to management change in distressed firms abstract this study analyzes excess returns to shareholders at announcement of a change in senior management of distressed firms excess returns are significantly positive which is consistent with the internal corporate control hypothesis that management change following poor performance is associated with gains to shareholders cross sectional tests of the effects reveal a significant title effect and significant interactions between title and appointment of an outside successor and title and firm size these findings present new insights into the circumstances in which external vs internal markets for managers will affect shareholder wealth

employment effects of minimum and subminimum wages panel data on state minimum wage laws using panel data on state minimum wage laws and economic conditions for the years 1973 89 the authors reevaluate existing evidence on the effects of a minimum wage on employment their estimates indicate that a 10 increase in the minimum wage causes a decline of 1 2 in employment among teenagers and a decline of 1 5 2 in employment for young adults similar to the ranges suggested by earlier time series studies the authors also find evidence that youth subminimum wage provisions enacted by state legislatures moderate the disemployment effects of minimum wages on teenagers

market reaction to public information the atypical case of the boston celtics abstract the publicly traded boston celtics limited partnership shares provide a unique means of studying the impact of information on equity prices the results of the celtics basketball games significantly affect partnership share returns trading volume and volatility controlling for the expectedvalue of the signal using betting market point spreads has little effect on these relations investors respond asymmetrically to wins and losses and playoff games have a larger impact on returns than regular season games opening prices do not fully reflect game results consistent with previous findings that significant volatility is caused by traders acting on private information

the distributional and efficiency effects of increasing the minimum wage a simulation the generally accepted goal of minimum wage laws is to alter the distribution of income in favor of low income households however since a minimum wage will also disrupt low wage labor markets causing inefficiencies and imposing costs on some of the same workers the law is intended to help an evaluation of the policy requires a weighing of the distributional benefits against the efficiency costs quantification of these benefits and costs is clearly important to this evaluation while much effort has been devoted to estimating the employment effects of minimum wage laws relatively little work has been done to estimate the distributional benefits our simulations focus on this efficiency equity tradeoff by developing estimates of the impact of an increase in the minimum wage on the level and distribution of real income across households previous work has concluded that minimum wages are not as beneficial in their distributional impact as generally supposed

the effects of statutory minimum rates of pay on employment in great britain estimates of the employment effects of statutory minimum rates of pay are derived for great britain using a constant elasticity of substitution production function the author estimates the partial elasticities of substitution in those industries covered by statutory minimum rates to be between 0 45 and 0 85 he then develops a bargaining model and estimates that the elasticity of the average wage rate in these industries with respect to the statutory minimum rate is zero for men and between 0 07 and 0 15 for women combining these estimates yields 0 06 as the approximate total employment elasticity of statutory minimum rates copyright 1989 by royal economic society

union membership in the united states 1973 1981 this paper reports estimates of union membership gathered from may current population surveys from 1973 to 1981 the authors present data by occupation industry selected states and smsas race gender and educational attainment the paper both extends and differs from that by freeman and medoff which presents unionism estimates for the private sector for 1968 75 to facilitate longitudinal analysis this paper reports three year moving averages of occupational and industry data and annual estimates of demographic classifications the data include public sector as well as private sector workers and they exclude workers not covered by the national labor relations act also the authors provide only union membership estimates not estimates on workers covered by union contracts this paper suggests that the percentage of all workers that are unionized in the united states remained fairly constant over the 1973 81 period

beyond ecolabels what green marketing can learn from conventional marketing ecolabels have emerged as one of the main tools of green marketing although a great deal of effort has been invested in making them more effective and efficient the market share of ecolabelled products is still low partly because they have been addressed mainly to green consumers in a theoretical exposition of marketing theory we find that green marketing could learn from conventional marketing in discovering other means than labelling to promote green products examples include addressing a wider range of consumers working with the positioning strategies of price place and promotion and actively engaging in market creation

do stock markets react to soccer games a meta regression analysis this study applies meta regression analysis to aggregate a sample of 1126 empirical estimates of the stock market reaction to soccer matches collected from 37 primary studies our results indicate

how markets process information news releases and volatility we examine the impact of scheduled macroeconomic news announcements on interest rate and foreign exchange futures markets we find these announcements are responsible for most of the observed time of day and day of the week volatility patterns in these markets while the bulk of the price adjustment to a major announcement occurs within the first minute volatility remains substantially higher than normal for roughly fifteen minutes and slightly elevated for several hours nonetheless these subsequent price adjustments are basically independent of the first minute s return we identify those announcements with the greatest impact on these markets we examine the impact on interest rate and foreign exchange markets of scheduled macroeconomic news releases such as the employment report the consumer price index cpi and the producer price index ppi many market participants believe that such announcements have a major impact on financial markets indeed a small industry devoted to predicting the figures to be released in upcoming releases has evolved in recent years with the exception of the weekly money supply figures however the impact of such announcements on financial markets has received scant attention 1 this is doubly surprising given the considerable research interest in market volatility since these news releases are a potential source of much of this volatility consider for instance figure 1 as shown there prices in interest rate and foreign exchange futures markets are much more volatile between 8 30 and 8 35 a m eastern time et than during any other five minute trading period including

product reliability and firm value the experience of american and japanese automakers 1973 1992 in a typical month several recall campaigns of motor vehicles are announced by automobile manufacturers they are carried out to correct defective vehicles whether safetyor pollution related recalls imply that the products made available to consumers are not what they were supposed to be a question arises then as to whether and how much the offending automakers are affected by these recall campaigns the answer to this question has been ambiguous in the literature we have two purposes in this paper first on the basis of a longer and broader database we offer additional and more conclusive evidence that documents significant and negative market reactions to automobile recall announcements our finding therefore helps to resolve the ambiguity in the literature on this question second we offer new evidence on japanese automobile companies they too suffer from significant and negative stock market reactions but the incidence of recalls is less frequent perhaps as a result the magnitude of the stock market reaction to each recall is somewhat larger nevertheless because recalls are much less frequent the total losses

time series evidence of the effect of the minimum wage on youth employment and unemployment our updated estimates indicate that a 10 percent increase in the federal minimum wage or the coverage rate would reduce teenage 16 19 employment by about 1 percent which is at the lower end of the range of estimates from previous studies because of substantial labor force withdrawal the unemployment effects are practically zero these minimum wage effects differ very little by sex and there is no strong evidence that the effects vary by race the study also finds a significant albeit small unemployment impact for young adults 20 24 and examines the consequences of numerous alternative statistical and mathematical specifications of the estimating model

minimum wages and the demand for labor i formulate measures of the effective minimum wage based on broad definitions of the labor costs that face employers and use these measures in reestimating some simple equations relating the relative employment of youths and adults to the u s minimum wage using aggregate data for 1954 78 i then ground the model more closely in the theory of factor demand first by adding the relative wages of youths and adults to the equation describing their relative employment and then by specifying a complete system of demand equations for these two types of labor teen employment responds quite robustly to changes in the effective minimum in these specifications with an elasticity of 0 1 a translog cost function defined over young workers adults and capital shows that the effective minimum wage reduces employers ability to substitute other factors for young workers using both sets of results i find that a subminimum wage for youths would have increased their employment with at most a small loss of jobs among adults this abstract was borrowed from another version of this item

the degree of inefficiency in the football betting market statistical tests abstract this paper tests the hypothesis that the football betting market is efficient our statistical tests are stronger than those in previous studies and we examine both nfl and college data over a sample period of fifteen years our statistical tests detect two specific biases in the nfl market and an unspecified bias in the college market we examine the year to year consistency and magnitudes of the biases and find that the nfl bias against home teams has been nearly eliminated while the bias against underdogs has increased profitable exploitation of the biases depends upon transaction costs

stock market structure and volatility the procedure for opening stocks on the nyse appears to affect price volatility an analytical framework for assessing the magnitude of the structurally induced volatility is presented the ratio of variance of open to open returns to closeto close returns is shown to be consistently greater than one for nyse common stocks during the period 1982 through 1986 tbe greater volatility at the open is not attributable to the way in which public information is released since both the opento open return and the close to close return span the same period of time instead the greater volatility appears to be attributable to private information revealed in trading and to temporaryprice deviations induced by specialist and other traders the implied cost of immediacy at the open is significantly higher than at the close other empirical evidence in this article documents the volume of trading at the open the time delays between the exchange opening and the first transaction in a stock the difference in daytime volatility versus overnight volatility and the extent to which volatility is related to trading volume

state level estimates of minimum wage effects research using state level data to estimate minimum wage effects on employment follows the textbook treatment of minimum wages assuming that minimum wages are binding and that labor markets are competitive we present an alternative method of estimating minimum wage effects using similar data that relaxes these assumptions using a disequilibrium approach applying this approach to the data and sample period used in many earlier state level studies suggests that simple state level reduced form estimates of minimum wage effects on employment depend on the sample used and may badly understate the disemployment effects of a binding minimum wage

minimum wage laws are they overrated l minimum has been fixed in nominal terms at about 55 percent of the current average wage rising wages in the rest of the economy gradually erode the real minimum wage and eventually the process is repeated sometimes the increase in the nominal minimum is accompanied by a permanent reduction in those businesses exempted from the law proposals for a lower minimum wage for young workers or to index the minimum wage to the average wage have been debated but not adopted the minimum wage was last increased to 3 35 in 1981 since then average hourly wages have risen by 25 percent eliminating any momentum for a lower minimum wage for youth but reviving proposals for another increase in the nominal minimum economists are fascinated by the minimum wage because we have strong theoretical predictions about the direction of the effect of the minimum wage on employment and fairly widely accepted methods to estimate the size of that impact it probably didn t hurt that the earliest and later estimates lined up well with the predictions but that is not the only reason for our fascination with the topic depending on whether we include those who say they earn less than the minimum wage minimum wage workers account for 6 to 12 percent of those employed gilroy 1981 p 157 and less than 5 percent of wage and salary income the minimum wage gives economists a relatively rare opportunity to study the impact of an exogenous increase in the price of labor and thus a chance to refine our thinking

employment and labour supply effects of the minimum wage some pooled time series estimates from canadian provincial data in this paper the effect of minimum wages on employment and labour supply and hence on unemployment is examined using canadian provincial data for the period 1975 9 the analysis here differs from most previous studies in several important ways for example the minimum wage variable in the regression analysis is the minimum wage rate only rather than a composite of the minimum wage rate and coverage the demand variation variable here is real output rather than the endogenous prime age male unemployment rate and the analysis includes the impact of the minimum wage on the employment and supply of adult age groups as well as teenagers our results show that the minimum wage has a significant negative effect on the employment and labour force levels of most age sex groups and a significant positive effect on the unemployment rates of all age sex groups we conclude that the employment and unemployment effects of the minimum wage are stronger and more broadly felt than was previously realized les effets d emploi et d offre de travail du salaire minimum certaines calibrations a partir d une composition des series chronologiquesprovinciales au canada ce memoire examine a partir de donnees provinciales pour la periode 1975 9 l effet de salaires minima sur l emploi et l offre de travail et donc sur le chomage l analyse differe de celles presentees dans les etudes anterieures de multiples fagons par exemple la variable salaire minimum retenue dans l analyse de regression est le taux de salaire minimum plutot qu une variable composant le taux de salaire minimum et sa couverture la variable qui enregistre la variation de la demande est le niveau de production reelle plutot que le taux de chomage endogene de la population masculine dans la force de l age et l analyse calibre l impact du salaire minimum sur l emploi et l offre de travail tant des groupes adultes que des jeunes gens les resultats montrent que le salaire minimum a un effet negatif significatif sur l emploi et l offre de travail de la plupart des groupes selon l age et le sexe et un impact positif significatif sur le taux de chomage de tous les groupes on conclut que les effets d emploi et de chomage du salaire minimum sont plus forts et plus repandus qu on ne l avait cru this paper is both an extension and abridgement of the authors university of victoria department of economics discussion paper 82 6 entitled an empirical analysis of the employment and labour supply effects of the minimum wage in canada 1975 79 this research has been supported in part by a university of victoria faculty research grant we would like to acknowledge with thanks the research assistance of neil muth mark muth and ingrid strauss and the helpful comments of the editor and two anonymous referees of this journal canadian journal of economics revue canadienne d economique xvi no 1 february f6vrier 1983 printed in canada imprime au canada 0008 4085 83 0000 0086 01 50 1983 canadian economics association this content downloaded from 157 55 39 176 on sat 09 apr 2016 07 05 12 utc all use subject to http about jstor org terms employment and labour supply effects 87

federal minimum wage laws and the employment of minority youth numerous studies have emerged over the past decade dealing with the employment effects of minimum wage legislation for example see jacob mincer and edward gramlich these studies uniformly show that some amount of disemployment results from the imposition of a minimum wage above a wage that would prevail in the absence of such legislation though there is considerable dispute concerning the magnitude of the effect in addition most if not all of the recent studies indicate a greater employment sensitivity to changes in the minimum wage on the part of teenagers nonwhites and the low skilled generally than is true for other groups job losses due to higher minimum wages may contribute to high unemployment rates among youth in general and minority youth in particular this paper presents no direct evidence on the impact of the minimum wage on teenage unemployment its results do suggest however that previous studies of the impact of the minimum wage on employment loss were probably biased towards overstatement of the effect of the minimum wage in the case of nonwhite teenagers the results presented here indicate that over the period 1954 to 1979 cyclical factors affected nonwhite teenage employment to a far greater extent than did changes in the minimum wage

adoption of green electricity by german small and medium sized enterprises smes a qualitative analysis abstract the german government aims at generating 80 percent of the country s electricity from renewable sources by 2050 in the german liberalized electricity market customers can support this target by purchasing green electricity ge i e electricity produced from renewable energy sources yet the demand for ge has remained low among small and medium sized enterprises smes which represent the country s biggest electricity customer group based on a review of the relevant literature this article investigates factors that determine smes decisions whether to adopt ge for this purpose thematic interviews with ge providers and representatives of smes are performed and qualitatively analyzed the results of the interview analysis form the basis for a conceptual framework that reflects the ge adoption decisions of german smes and lay the groundwork for future analysis in this area

energy practices among small and medium sized tourism enterprises a case of misdirected effort abstract discussion of sustainable tourism has become dominated by the issue of climate change as a major source of emissions the tourism sector has a vital role to play in efforts to mitigate the effects of climate change within the current body of knowledge and among major policy discourses the prevailing paradigm has been to encourage action reduced emissions will follow innovations in managerial practices and the uptake of the latest most resource efficient technologies this paper examines energy practices among small and medium sized tourism enterprises smtes reporting empirical research conducted as part of a five year programme although energy was a significant cost of production it did not feature prominently in the business administration of most smtes a major knowledge gap was exposed regarding how energy was consumed and administered by individual businesses the paper argues for a major shift in thinking away from the number of actions as the key success criterion action alone is no guarantee of emissions reductions in a sector where growth is the dominant imperative instead a crucial reorientation towards stimulating higher levels of energy literacy among smtes is necessary in parallel to rebalancing of attention towards energy generation

green energy market development in germany effective public policy and emerging customer demand this paper reviews the development of renewable energy in germany from 1973 to 2003 it investigates the relative importance of energy policy and green power marketing in shaping the renewable energy market more than a decade of consistent policy support for renewables under the feed in law streg and its successor eeg has been an important driver for increasing renewable electricity generation to date putting the country in a better position than most of its peers when it comes to achieving european union targets for renewable energy green power marketing driven by customer demand on the other hand is growing but has had limited measurable impact so far we discuss potential intangible benefits of green power marketing and scenarios for future market development the paper concludes with lessons that can be learned from the german case for policy design and market development in other countries

anticipated effects of the minimum wage on prices there is little empirical evidence on the effect of minimum wage increases on prices particularly for developing countries this paper provides estimates of this effect using monthly brazilian household and firm data over 18 years as minimum wage increases in brazil sare large and frequent they have a potentially important impact on aggregate prices rational agents in anticipation of such price effects may take minimum wage increases as a signal for future price and wage bargains we find that the minimum wage raises overall prices not only on the month of the increase but also in the two months prior to the change as well as after the change

improving the parkinson method of estimating security price volatilities the author proposes a new method for estimating the volatility parameters of security prices which is an improvement of the estimation method by m parkinson 1980 the author assumes that the security prices follow the geometric brownian motion however contrary to the setting of parkinson the geometric brownian motion may have nonzero drift terms the author shows that the efficiency of his estimator is about 10 in comparison with the standard sample variance estimator since the efficiency of the estimator by parkinson is about 4 91 his estimation method may considerably improve the estimation methods already known in financial economics copyright 1992 by university of chicago press

estimating the structure of market reaction to news information events and lumber futures prices we develop a new event study technique the distributional event response model derm appropriate to relatively slowly evolving information events we apply the model to twelve years of daily lumber futures prices and analyze the effects of three different types of information releases a monthly housing starts estimates b aperiodic administrative and judicial announcements about u s canada trade disputes and c novel and unprecedented court decisions related to the endangered species act esa the information releases are different in ways that predict their relative speeds of impoundment in prices we find that housing start events are absorbed more quickly than trade events which are absorbed more quickly than esa events

the minimum wage and teenage employment a reanalysis with attention to serial correlation and seasonality we examine the effects of minimum wage legislation in canada over the period 1975 93 for teenagers we find that a 10 increase in the minimum wage is associated with roughly a 2 5 decrease in employment we also find that this result is driven by low

minimum wages and poverty will a 9 50 federal minimum wage really help the working poor using data drawn from the march current population survey we find that state and federal minimum wage increases between 2003 and 2007 had no effect on state poverty rates when we then simulate the effects of a proposed federal minimum wage increase from 7 25 to 9 50 per hour we find that such an increase will be even more poorly targeted to the working poor than was the last federal increase from 5 15 to 7 25 per hour assuming no negative employment effects only 11 3 of workers who will gain live in poor households compared to 15 8 from the last increase when we allow for negative employment effects we find that the working poor face a disproportionate share of the job losses our results suggest that raising the federal minimum wage continues to be an inadequate way to help the working poor

estimation bias induced by discrete security prices commonly equilibrium security prices are modeled by continuous state stochastic processes while observed prices are rounded into discrete units this paper models the rounding mechanism and examines the probabilistic structure of the resultant rounded process we provide accurate and simple estimates of the inflation in estimated variance and kurtosis induced by ignoring rounding in particular the maximum likelihood estimate of security price volatility using rounded prices is developed and a simulation analysis is performed to examine the small sample properties of this estimator for many practical applications a simple correction for rounding becomes available

current challenges of germany s energy transition project and competing strategies of challengers and incumbents the case of direct marketing of electricity from renewable energy sources electricity generated by renewable energies res e already accounts for 25 of germany s electricity supply this has led to recent discussions for a better market integration of res e the paper examines how competing actors and their ideas on market integration developed new services for direct marketing according to their respective origins and tried to shape the regulatory framework the paper analyses this process and explains the current shape of the field of direct marketing medium sized structured actors who favoured res e integration via the conventional wholesale power markets and who formed early close coalitions with res e power producers at the same time have been most successful in terms of market shares moreover they have been very successful for different reasons in building up coalitions with governance units and influencing the field rules and routines based on those findings the paper will conclude with some policy advices for the future adjustment of the current regulative frameworks as long as there is no evidence of how res e can be integrated most effectively and efficiently policies should maintain a competition between different direct marketing strategies to find out which strategies serve the best in terms of achieving a successful energy transition

a model for analyzing youth labor market policies this article formulates a general equilibrium model for analyzing the youth labor market at the heart of the model is an interplay between a labor force with heterogeneous ability levels and a minimum wage restriction ability affects performance on skilled jobs and to a lesser extent on unskilled jobs workers are less productive as youths than as adults the model is applied to rationalize several results from available studies and to analyze the effects of three representative policies a youth subminimum wage subsidies paid to firms that hire youths and subsidies that offset the costs of on the job training

standard poor s 500 index futures volatility and price changes around the new york stock exchange close we examine the effects of the closing of the new york stock exchange nyse on volatility and price changes in the standard poor s s p futures market which trades for 15 more minutes each day when the nyse closes volatility in the futures market drops significantly only to increase at the close of the futures market thus exhibiting a u shaped pattern after the nyse closes we also find that friday s close is the period of highest volatility in the futures market also in the final minutes on friday the s p futures price anticipates the well known weekend effect found in equities copyright 1995 by university of chicago press

regional effects of the minimum wage on teenage employment previous research on the minimum wage using national level data concludes that the minimum wage has a small effect on the employment of teenagers this paper provides new evidence that there is substantial regional variation in the effect of the minimum wage and in some regions it has a decidedly larger impact on teenage employment than previously measured estimates from a panel data set of the us states suggest that the minimum wage may cause almost a 7 reduction in teenage employment in some regions this results is robust to different econometric specifications and holds whether a relative or real specification of the estimating equation is used

comment on david neumark and william wascher employment effects of minimum and subminimum wages panel data on state minimum wage laws in their article published in the minimum wage research symposium in the october 1992 issue of this journal industrial and laborrelations review volume 45 number 1 pp 55 81 david neumark and william wascher claim to find empirical support for three propositions 1 a higher minimum wage leads to a lower teenage employmentpopulation rate 2 the effect of the minimum wage on employment can be seen within a year but becomes stronger after two years and 3 in states with legal subminimum wages a significant fraction of teenage employees are paid a subminimum wage and the availability of a subminimum wage blunts the disemployment effect of the minimum wage the same symposium contains three papers by us that present empirical evidence suggesting conclusions opposite those of neumark and wascher 1 since neumark and