tying and innovation a dynamic analysis of tying arrangements this paper analyses the effects of tying arrangements on r d incentives it shows that tying is a means through which a firm can commit to more aggressive r d investment in the tied goods market tying also has the strategic effect of reducing rivals incentives to invest in r d the strategy of tying is a profitable one if the gains via an increased share of dynamic rents in the tied goods market exceed the losses that result from intensified price competition in the market the welfare implications of tying and consequently the appropriate antitrust policy are discussed

joint estimation of multiple cvm scenarios under a double bounded questioning format contingent valuation surveys frequently ask the same respondent for willingness to pay wtp for either different programs or different levels of provision of a single program when multiple scenarios are considered by the respondent the errors in the estimates of wtp are likely to be correlated across scenarios failing to account for correlation may lead to erroneous inferences concerning differences in wtp this paper presents a technique that can be used to jointly estimate wtp for multiple scenarios proposed within a survey when the double bounded questioning format is used monte carlo simulations are employed to show that estimates derived from the joint model provide lower parameter variances as well as tighter confidence intervals surrounding wtp the model is used to estimate wtp values for data collected in telephone interviews of california residents concerning wtp for fire reduction programs in oregon and california variance properties of these estimates are shown to be similar to those estimated using simulated data

statistical efficiency of double bounded dichotomous choice contingent valuation the statistical efficiency of conventional dichotomous choice contingent valuation surveys can be improved by asking each respondent a second dichotomous choice question which depends on the response to the first question if the first response is yes the second bid is some amount greater than the first bid while if the first response is no the second bid is some amount smaller this double bounded approach is shown to be asymptotically more efficient than the conventional singlebounded approach using data from a survey of californians regarding their willingness to pay for wetlands in the san joaquin valley we show that in a finite sample the gain in efficiency can be very substantial

implications of bid design and willingness to pay distribution for starting point bias in double bounded dichotomous choice contingent valuation surveys we examine starting point bias in double bounded dichotomous choice contingent valuation surveys we investigate 1 the seriousness of the biases for the location and scale parameters of the willingness to pay wtp in the presence of starting point bias 2 whether or not these biases depend on the distribution of wtp and on the bid design and 3 how well a commonly used diagnostic for starting point bias a test of the null that bid set dummies entered in the right hand side of the wtp model are jointly equal to zero performs under various circumstances monte carlo simulations suggest that the effect of ignoring starting point bias depends on the bid design and on the true distribution of wtp a well balanced symmetric bid design may result in very modest biases even when the anchoring mechanism is very strong the power of bid set dummies in detecting starting point bias is low they tend to account for misspecifications in the distribution assumed by the researcher for the latent wtp rather than capturing the presence of starting point bias

comment on cameron s censored logistic regression model for referendum data abstract t a cameron a new paradigm for valuing non market goods using referendum data maximum likelihood estimation by censored logistic regression j environ econom management 15 355 379 1988 presents what she terms a new paradigm for interpreting referendum data derived from contingent valuation surveys for nonmarket resources we show that since her model is a reparameterization of the usual logistic regression model asymptotic standard errors can be derived for the maximum likelihood estimators of the parameters in either model from the other we also argue that computational convenience in deriving demand relationships or elasticities depends more on the choice of welfare measure than on the choice of a parameterization

durable goods theory for real world markets the early 1970s witnessed three major advances in durable goods theory swan 1970 1971 and sieper and swan 1973 on optimal durability coase 1972 on time inconsistency and akerlof 1970 on adverse selection this paper surveys durable goods theory starting with these three contributions where much of the focus is on recent literature and on models that explain real world phenomena in addition to the ideas found in the contributions of swan coase and akerlof topics covered include why producers sometimes practice planned obsolescence the role of adverse selection in new car leasing and reasons for aftermarket monopolization

analysis of contingent valuation data with multiple bids and response options allowing respondents to express uncertainty a comment abstract alberini et al j environ econom management 45 40 62 2003 propose using a random effects probit model to estimate the coefficient of correlation between responses from the same individual to different costs presented in multiple bounded discrete choice mbdc contingent valuation elicitation formats in an empirical application they report that the correlation coefficient from the random effects probit is close enough to zero to warrant treating the responses from the same individual as independent such a finding would call into question the viability of this elicitation method and past mbdc modeling efforts however our reestimation of the random effects probit using their data as well as two other mbdc datasets available to us suggests that the individual s wtp responses are driven by a single or at least highly correlated underlying wtp distribution our results imply models that assume perfect correlation between responses are more appropriate for modeling mbdc responses

estimation using contingent valuation data from a dichotomous choice with follow up questionnaire reply abstract our original article proposed that the two yes no willingness to pay wtp responses produced by this survey format should be viewed as a pair of jointly distributed correlated discrete random variables the comparison model the conventional approach to estimation using these types of data contained a programming error correction alters the results from the comparison model but our original claim that estimation by conventional methods can produce misleading inferences if ours is the appropriate specification still stands this is especially true if negative wtp is precluded when e wtp is calculated

preemptive r d rent dissipation and the leverage theory this paper provides a new perspective on the validity of the so called leverage theory in a model of preemptive innovation in systems markets i examine the effect of bundling on r d incentives i find that bundling provides a channel through which monopoly slack in one component market can be shifted to another with the effect of mitigating rent dissipation in the systems market bundling can be profitable if this beneficial effect of reduced rent dissipation outweighs the negative effect of intensified price competition after demonstrating the private optimality of bundling its welfare implications are considered finally the results can be reinterpreted to analyze the relationship between compatibility decisions and r d incentives in mix and match models

global warming irreversibility and learning a number of economists have argued that the literature on the irreversibility effect implies that current abatement of greenhouse gas emissions should be greater when there is the possibility of obtaining better information in the future about the potential damages from global warming than when there is no possibility of obtaining better information in this paper we show that even the simplest model of global warming does not satisfy either of epstein s 1980 sufficient conditions so it is not possible to use epstein s analysis to tell whether the irreversibility effect applies to models of global warming we derive an alternative sufficient condition for the irreversibility effect to hold

on platforms incomplete contracts and open source software abstract we analyze investment incentives for a firm a owning a software platform and an application and a firm b deciding whether to develop a new application for the platform while b s entry helps the success of the platform b fears ex post expropriation by a and is hence reluctant to enter and invest we show that different platform governance structures prevalent in the information and communication technology industry integrated proprietary standardized open source platform serve to balance investment incentives for the platform and for the applications

first party content and coordination in two sided markets the strategic use of first party content by two sided platforms is driven by two key factors the nature of buyer and seller expectations favorable versus unfavorable and the nature of the relationship between first party content and third party content complements or substitutes platforms facing unfavorable expectations face an additional constraint their prices and first party content investment need to be such that low zero participation equilibria are eliminated this additional constraint typically leads them to invest more less in first party content relative to platforms facing favorable expectations when first and third party content are substitutes complements these results hold with both simultaneous and sequential entry of the two sides with two competing platforms incumbent facing favorable expectations and entrant facing unfavorable expectations and multi homing on one side of the market the incumbent always invests weakly more in first party content relative to the case in which it is a monopolist this paper was accepted by bruno cassiman business strategy

incentive incompatibility and starting point bias in iterative valuation questions we test for incentive incompatibility and starting point bias to describe the effects of iterative valuation questions on willingness to pay we compare double triple and multiplebounded models with data from two surveys with similar designs of the valuation questions we find that incentive incompatibility is present in both sets of data and starting point bias is present in one the efficiency of the willingness to pay estimate is improved in only one set of data the potential loss from using iterative questions without controlling for both incentive incompatibility and starting point bias is biased willingness topay estimates

precautionary principle and the optimal timing of environmental policy under ambiguity i consider a problem in environmental policy design in which i focus on stock pollutants in particular i consider stock pollutants that cause severe damage on the environment and do not depreciate at all once they are released into the atmosphere and the ocean the purposes of this paper are 1 to provide an economic foundation for environmental policies based on the precautionary principle and the 1992 rio declaration on environment and development and 2 to show that this optimal timing rule has a reservation property furthermore i analyze the effect of an increase in ambiguity on the optimal timing of adopting some environmental policy and show that an increase in ambiguity decreases the optimal timing of adopting the environmental policy

application of sample selection model to double bounded dichotomous choice contingent valuation studies modeling households behavior with the data from a contingentvaluation cv survey is often complicated by samplenon response which can cause non response bias and sampleselection bias leading to inconsistent parameter estimates and adistorted mean willingness to pay estimate this paper reportsthe results of empirical tests for both biases using householdsurvey data in which the double bounded dichotomous choice cvquestion involved the benefit of a tap water quality improvementpolicy in korea no non response bias but sample selection bias is detected in the sample to correct for sample selection bias a sample selection model is employed the authors also discusshow failure to correct for bias may distort aggregate benefitestimates

using factor analysis to identify consumer preferences for the protection of a natural area in portugal abstract this paper focuses on the application of factor analysis so as to identify consumer preferences for the protection of a natural area we combine the use of factor analysis with the valuation data obtained by contingent valuation survey the survey conducted via in person questionnaires in 1997 is targeted at the economic valuation of the protection benefits of the parque natural alentejano e costa vicentina a natural protected area along the southwest coastline of portugal factor analysis results show that the consumer is characterized by a three factor motivational structure use warm glow and non use motivation factor respectively we introduce these motivation factors together with the respondent s socio economic characteristics in the economic valuation function of such natural protected area estimation results show that consumer motivation factors have an econometrically robust role therefore consumer motivations are interpreted as crucial information for accurate social cost benefit analysis of alternative protection scenarios and thus serve as an important cornerstone in designing an effective and broadly accepted management policy for the parque natural alentejano e costa vicentina

valuation of natural resource improvements in the adirondacks for 20 years acid rain in the adirondack park has been a central issue in the debate about clean air regulation based on a contingent valuation survey of new york residents our study quantifies the total economic value of expected ecological improvements in the park from forthcoming policies our preferred estimates of the mean household willingness to pay range from 48 to 107 annually which imply total statewide benefits ranging from 336 million to 749 million annually alternative assumptions about ecological changes yield benefits up to 1 1 billion the instrument passes external scope sensitivity to bid and sample selection tests

looking for a guide to protect the environment the development of the precautionary principle abstract if the precautionary principle is to become the guide of the international community for environmental protection policies an economic interpretation of the principle is in order the analysis of case studies and a survey of the recent decision theoretic literature show the lack of a fully satisfactory economic model more generally various theoretical and empirical results show that the principle cannot be assumed to apply a priori though it has been proposed by international treaties as a rule of thumb for situations of scientific uncertainty the precautionary principle could actually be inefficient

a bayesian approach to double bounded contingent valuation in this paper we propose a bayesian approach to model double bounded contingent valuation data the double bounded elicitation method is interpreted as a two tier iterated process in which the subject is allowed to have a second thought about his her valuation for the environmental good prior information is modelled from the answers to the first dichotomous choice question the model is quasi bayesian q b in that the prior distribution refers to mean willingness to pay while the likelihood function refers to the proportions of a multinomial distribution this model is applied to empirical data from a contingent valuation survey involving the valuation expressed by european tourists for access to natural areas in the canary islands results show that point estimate of consumer surplus computed with the q b model does not differ substantially from single bounded model estimation in addition double bounded seems to be quite robust to the choice of the prior model of willingness to pay responses comparison with open ended suggests that the q b model might be useful to control for strategic response and starting point biases

complementary goods creating capturing and competing for value this paper studies the strategic interaction between firms producing strictly complementary products with strict complements a consumer derives positive utility only when both products are used together we show that value capture and value creation problems arise when such products are developed and sold by separate firms nonintegrated producers although the firms tend to price higher for given quality levels their provision of quality is so low that in equilibrium prices are set well below what an integrated monopolist would choose when one firm can mandate a royalty fee from the complementor producer as often occurs in arrangements between hardware and software makers we find that the value capture problem is mitigated to some extent and consumer surplus rises however because royalty fees greatly reduce the incentives of the firm paying them to invest in quality the arrangement exacerbates the value creation problem and leads to even lower total quality surprisingly this result can reverse with competition specifically when the firm charging the royalty fee faces a vertically differentiated competitor the value creation problem is greatly reduced opening the door for the possibility of a pareto improving outcome in which all firms and consumers benefit it is worth noting that this outcome cannot be achieved by giving firms the option of introducing a line of product variants competition serves as a necessary commitment ingredient

innovation in vertically related markets we examine the impact of vertical industry structure on upstream process innovation we find that vertical integration vi generally enhances innovation under downstream cournot competition but can diminish innovation under downstream bertrand competition we also find that under bertrand competition vi can increase innovation when the direct incentives for innovation are limited but can reduce innovation when the direct incentives are pronounced

a new paradigm for valuing non market goods using referendum data maximum likelihood estimation by censored logistic regression abstract this paper challenges the w m hanemann amer j agr econom 66 332 341 1984 and c sellar j p chavas and j r stoll j environ econom management 13 382 390 1986 utilizations of logit models to estimate the value of non market resources from referendum survey data these data are more informative than conventional choice data the random utility interpretation of logit models is therefore too restrictive bypassing the utility function entirely it will be shown that parameters and standard errors for utility theoretic inverse hicksian demand functions can be extracted directly and much more simply estimated demand functions need not be limited to those corresponding to the linear in parameters utility difference specifications which can be handled by packaged logit programs

improving environmental valuation estimates through consistent use of revealed and stated preference information abstract environmental valuation data from stated and revealed preference methods are integrated into a unified model of preferences for environmental quality improvement that identifies the use and nonuse components of the total value estimate this articulates clearly what parts of the total value estimate come from each type of data and permits tests of whether estimated preferences satisfy weak complementarity between the environmental good of interest and related private goods the statistical advantages of using more information for the valuation problem are exploited while retaining flexibility to identify value estimates from any individual method of analysis

optimists pessimists and the precautionary principle the precautionary principle has emerged as a leading guide to public decision making about environmental risks under irreversibility and uncertainty in this paper we adopt a two period model with irreversibility and agents differentiated by their degree of optimism to characterize the conditions under which the precautionary principle applies we show in particular that it is more often applied if the decision maker has an intermediate optimism index if scientific research is more effective at reducing uncertainty and if the same decision maker makes the decisions for both periods moreover we show that socially optimal decisions lead to apply the precautionary principle more often than an elected decision maker does

household willingness to pay for green electricity in urban and peri urban tigray northern ethiopia determinants and welfare effects abstract this paper set out to estimate household willingness to pay for green electric services and welfare gains attributed to such schemes for this purpose contingent valuation survey was conducted on 300 urban and peri urban households in northern ethiopia a bivariate probit model was used to elicit willingness to pay and analyze determinants of household willingness to pay on the other hand welfare gains were analyzed using consumer and producer surpluses the mean willingness to pay was estimated to be birr 12 5 0 66 usd per month per household for five years on top of monthly electricity bill among others income played positive role on willingness to pay while difference in willingness to pay behavior was observed between male and female headed households in addition distance to wood and charcoal alternative energy markets played encouraging role for willingness to pay results from the welfare analysis show that there is significant societal gain to be made both in terms of surplus for households and producers government if the previously untapped green electricity service was implemented the revenue producer surplus for the state would be instrumental in contributing to the state s endeavor to generate a much needed capital for investment in and expansion of renewable energy

how much are people willing to pay for silence a contingent valuation study despite its major importance in the urban environment the problem of noise has received little attention from environmental economists in this paper the economic value of a noise reduction programme is evaluated the chosen technique is contingent valuation using the recently proposed one and one half bound question format this new question format reduces the potential for response bias in multiple bound formats such as the double bound model while maintaining much of its efficiency through the estimations it is found that urban residents generally value noise negatively that is households are willing to pay for a noise reduction in particular it is found that households are willing to pay approximately four euros per decibel per year a further finding is that interviewees show scope sensitivity that is households display a different willingness to pay for different degrees of noise reduction most are willing to pay more for larger decreases in the level of disturbance from noise

stated preferences real behaviour and anchoring some empirical evidence we compare different contingent valuation question formats with each other and with observed behaviour for a non monetary estimation task the expected number of kilometers travelled by automobile open ended questions open ended follow up questions dichotomous choice dc questions and double bound dc questions are included the single and double bound dc questions result in an estimated mean about twice as high as the actual value and the open ended mean the dc question overestimation seems to be due to an anchoring effect leading to yea saying behaviour our results about the difference between dc questions and open ended questions is consistent with the pattern observed in contingent valuations studies of the willingness to pay our results indicates that dc questions seem to be associated with a general overestimation problem that is present even for simple non monetary estimation tasks

competition and integration among complements and network market structure this article analyzes the competition and integration among complementary products that can be combined to create composite goods or systems the model generalizes the cournot duopoly complements model to the case in which there are multiple brands of compatible components it analyzes equilibrium prices for a variety of organizational and market structures that differ in their degree of competition and integration the model applies to a variety of product networks including automatic teller machines real estate multiple listing services and airlines crs as well as to nonnetwork markets of compatible components such as computer cpus and peripherals hardware and software and long distance and local telephone services copyright 1992 by blackwell publishing ltd

appropriability mechanisms and the platform partnership decision evidence from enterprise software we examine whether ownership of intellectual property rights ipr or downstream capabilities is effective in encouraging entry into markets complementary to a proprietary platform by preventing the platform owner from expropriating rents from start ups we study this question in the context of the software industry an environment where evidence of the efficacy of ipr as a mechanism to appropriate the returns from innovation has been mixed entry in our context is measured by an independent software vendor s isv s decision to become certified by a platform owner and produce applications compatible with the platform we find that isvs with a greater stock of formal ipr such as patents and copyrights and those with stronger downstream capabilities as measured by trademarks and consulting services are more likely to join the platform suggesting that these mechanisms are effective in protecting isvs from the threat of expropriation we also find that the effects of ipr on the likelihood of partnership are greater when an isv has weak downstream capabilities or when the threat of imitation is greater such as when the markets served by the isv are growing quickly this paper was accepted by gerard p cachon information systems

gender specific starting point bias in choice experiments evidence from an empirical study abstract in this paper we test whether preferences and willingness to pay estimates obtained in a choice experiment study are susceptible to starting point bias as is often the case in dichotomous choice contingent valuation studies on the basis of a multinomial probit model we find that preferences are indeed susceptible to starting point bias in a split sample design our results suggest that varying the price levels displayed in a so called instructional choice set presented prior to the actual preference eliciting choice sets significantly impacts respondents preferences and willingness to pay for protecting danish nature areas from new motorway development in particular our results show that the bias is gender specific only female respondents are significantly affected results further reveal that the impact of the starting point bias decays as respondents evaluate more and more choice sets this supports the discovered preference hypothesis and on the basis of this we suggest a number of ways to potentially mitigate the starting point bias

innovation rent extraction and integration in systems markets author s farrell joseph katz michael abstract we consider innovation incentives in markets where final goods comprise two strictly complementary components one of which is monopolized we focus on the case in which the complementary component is competitively supplied and in which innovation is important we explore ways in which the monopoly may have incentives to confiscate efficiency rents in the competitive sector thus weakening or destroying incentives for independent innovation we discuss how these problems are affected if the monopolist integrates into the competitive sector

tying compatibility and planned obsolescence according to the hypothesis of planned obsolescence a durable goods monopolist without commitment power has an excessive incentive to introduce new products that make old units obsolete and this reduces its overall profitability in this paper i reconsider the above hypothesis by examining the role of competition in a monopolist s upgrade decision i find that when a system add on is competitively supplied a monopolist chooses to tie the add on to a new system that is only backward compatible even if a commitment of not introducing the new system is available and socially optimal tying facilitates a price squeeze

product improvement and technological tying in a winner take all market in a winner take all duopoly market for systems in which rms invest to improve their products a vertically integrated monopoly supplier of an essential system component may have an incentive to advantage itself by technological tying that is by designing the component to work better in its own system if the vertically integrated rm is prevented from technologically tying then there is an equilibrium in which the more e cient rm invests and serves the entire market however another equilibrium may exist in which the less e cient rm invests and captures the market technological tying enables a vertically integrated rm to foreclose its rival the welfare implications of technological tying are ambiguous and depend on the asymmetric qualities of the system suppliers and on equilibrium selection

invention under uncertainty and the threat of ex post entry abstract this article proposes a theoretical framework for studying the invention of new products when demand is uncertain in this framework under general conditions the threat of ex post entry by a competitor can deter invention ex ante asymmetric market power in the ex post market exacerbates the problem the implications of these general results are examined in a series of examples that represent important markets in the computer industry the first is a model that shows how an operating system monopolist by its mere presence can deter the invention of complements to its own detriment as well as that of society the implications of policies such as patent protection price regulation and mandatory divestiture are considered three additional examples consider the ability of a monopolist in one market to commit to bundling an unrelated product a pair of horizontally differentiated firms that can add a new feature to their products and a platform leader that can be challenged in its base market by the supplier of a complementary product

controlling starting point bias in double bounded contingent valuation surveys in this paper we study starting point bias in double bounded contingent valuation surveys this phenomenon arise in applications that use multiple valuation questions indeed response to follow up valuation questions may be influenced by the bid proposed in the initial valuation question previous research have been conducted in order to control for such an effect however they find that efficiency gains are lost when we control for undesirable response effects relative to a single dichotomous choice question contrary to these results we propose a way to control for starting point bias in double bounded questions with gains in efficiency

difficulties in valuing street light improvement trust surprise and bound effects previous empirical research has demonstrated an internal inconsistency that may occur in response strategies between the first and second valuations made to closed ended contingent valuation questions one possible explanation for this bound effect is the surprise of being asked the second valuation question which may be enhanced where there is a lack of trust this paper considers the use of closed ended contingent valuation to estimate non market benefits for an improved street lighting scheme where there is a lack of trust in the agency responsible for provision the results provide confirmation that surprise is an important determinant of bound effects however efforts to reduce such bias using a prior statement of the bid range were found to be ineffective in increasing trust and reducing surprise given the importance of this area of research directions for future research are considered

tying foreclosure and exclusion in recent years the leverage theory of tied good sales has faced heavy and influential criticism in an important sense though the models used by its critics are actually incapable of addressing the leverage theory s central concerns here the author reconsiders the leverage hypothesis and argues that tying can indeed serve as a mechanism for leveraging market power the mechanism through which this leverage occurs its profitability and its welfare implications are discussed in detail copyright 1990 by american economic association

precautionary principle as a rule of choice with optimism on windfall gains and pessimism on catastrophic losses abstract the paper investigates a decision making process involving both risk and ambiguity differently from existing papers basili m chateauneuf a fontini f 2005 choices under ambiguity with familiar and unfamiliar outcomes theory and decision 58 195 207 chichilnisky g 2000 axiomatic approach to choice under uncertainty with catastrophic risks resources and energy economics 22 221 231 chichilnisky g 2002 in el shaarawi a h piegorsch w w eds catastropic risks encyclopedia of environmetrics vol 1 john wiley sons ltd chichester uk pp 274 279 we assume that in a choquet expected utility framework the decision maker is pessimistic with respect to unfamiliar catastrophic losses optimistic with respect to unfamiliar windfall gains and ambiguity neutral with respect to the familiar world a representation of the decision maker s choice is obtained that mimics the restricted bayes hurwicz criterion in this way a characterization of the precautionary principle is introduced for decision making processes under ambiguity with catastrophic losses and or windfall gains

exploring preference anomalies in double bounded contingent valuation double bounded dichotomous choice dbdc contingent valuation offers increased efficiency of willingness to pay wtp estimates compared with the single bounded format however evidence suggests dbdc generates anomalous respondent behaviour this paper provides the first investigation and explanation of these anomalies in health results suggest the incentives for truthful preference revelation are altered in the presence of a follow up question this result is found using both regression techniques and analysis of raw responses although findings suggest very certain respondents exhibit less anomalous behaviour inconsistencies remain across bounds the results of this study question the use of iterative valuation formats

local network externalities and market segmentation this paper models interaction between groups of agents by means of a graph where each node represents a group of agents and an arc represents bilateral interaction it departs from the standard katz shapiro framework by assuming that network benefits are restricted only amongst groups of linked agents it shows that even if rival firms engage in bertrand competition this form of network externalities permits strong market segmentation in which firms divide up the market and earn positive profits the analysis also shows that some graphs or network structures do not permit such segmentation while for others there are easy to interpret conditions under which market segmentation obtains in equilibrium c 2009 elsevier b v all rights reserved

durable products time inconsistency and lock in many durable products cannot be used without a contingent consumable product e g printers require ink ipods require songs razors require blades etc for such products manufacturers may be able to lock in consumers by making their products incompatible with consumables that are produced by other firms we examine the effectiveness of such a strategy in the presence of strategic consumers who anticipate the future prices of both the durable product and the contingent consumable under a lock in strategy the manufacturer has pricing power over the contingent consumable which she can use to extract additional rents from higher valuation consumers but such pricing power may also reduce consumers willingness to pay for the durable because it subjects them to being held up with higher consumables prices in the future restricting our attention to linear pricing policies we find that if the manufacturer can commit to shutting down production of her durable after an initial one time sale then competition from another consumable of an appropriately degraded level of quality can benefit the manufacturer by mitigating consumers fears of being held up on the other hand when the manufacturer cannot commit to shutting down production of her durable then her own output of additional durables gives her an incentive to keep consumables prices low and competition in the consumables market is less beneficial this paper was accepted by pradeep chintagunta and preyas desai special issue editors this paper was accepted by pradeep chintagunta and preyas desai special issue editors

estimating compensation payments for on farm conservation of agricultural biodiversity in developing countries article i nfo this paper examines the role of direct compensation payments for agrobiodiversity conservation using minor millet landraces in india as an example the cost of farmer participation in a hypothetical payments for agrobiodiversity conservation services pacs scheme is estimated using a stated preference valuation approach significant inter crop and inter varietal differences are observed with respect to consumption values upon which the compensation demanded by farm households is shown to primarily depend drawing on a categorisation of consumption values and farmer preferences the paper points to the importance of si multaneously considering a range of potential interventions in order to conserve a priority portfolio of agrobiodiverse resources in predominantly subsistence based agricultural systems

procedural invariance testing of the one and one half bound dichotomous choice elicitation method the contingent valuation method for estimating willingness to pay for public goods typically adopts a single referendum question format which is relatively statistically inefficient as an alternative cooper hanemann and signorello 2002 propose the one and one half bound oohb format allowing researchers to question respondents about both a lower and higher limit on project costs thereby securing substantial gains in statistical efficiency using an experimental design we find that responses to oohb valuation questions fail crucial tests of procedural invariance we test various competing models of observed response patterns including strategic misrepresentation of standard preferences and nonstandard models of preference formation

bounded awareness heuristics and the precautionary principle the precautionary principle has been proposed as a basis for making decisions about environmental issues but remains controversial using a model of inductively justified propositions about awareness this paper shows how the precautionary principle may be interpreted as a heuristic guide for boundedly rational decision makers faced with the possibility of unfavorable surprises

discrete choice under preference uncertainty an improved structural model for contingent valuation abstract this paper is concerned with discrete choice contingent value estimation in the presence of response errors we attempt to extend the theoretical frameworks developed by hanemann 1984 amer j agric econom 66 332 341 and cameron 1988 j environ econom management 15 355 379 by introducing preference uncertainty with individual respondents we assume that respondents have incomplete knowledge about their true valuation of a nonmarket resource and thus may give wrong yes no answers on whether or not to pay a given bid amount for the resource a post decisional confidence measure for each observed yes no answer is elicited for characterizing the degree of preference uncertainty with the help of this confidence measure we develop an improved structural model for deriving value estimates data from a forest environment valuation survey are used for the empirical estimations

benefit evaluation of the country of origin labeling in taiwan results from an auction experiment this research is aimed at investigating the consumer s preference for food produced in taiwan and the economic benefits for the country of origin labeling cool the study used vickrey second price sealed bid auction to elicit the consumer s willingness to pay wtp for products under cool the study compared the bid functions estimated with tobit model and the premium functions estimated with ordinary least squares ols due to price affiliation it is more reliable to use the estimated premium functions the estimated premiums are 67 5 84 7 and 99 for taiwan products over their alternatives of china olives china oolong tea and vietnam oolong tea respectively the study concludes that enacting and rigorously enforcing a cool law would increase economic benefits to consumers in taiwan and at the same time placing the imported products in the leveled playing field

addressing negative willingness to pay in dichotomous choice contingent valuation this paper has four purposes first we outline the controversy surroundingthe issue of negative willingness to pay wtp in contingent valuation cv studies second we use monte carlo simulation to examine theperformance of alternative distributionalassumptions in estimating wtp in the presenceof varying proportions of the populationholding negative wtp values we focus ondichotomous choice cv dc cv where negativewtp values may be especially difficult todetect third we extend the simulation toinvestigate the performance of the mixturemodels that have recently been proposed forhandling identifying non positive wtp values fourth we extend the simulation to investigatethe performance of the nonparametric lowerbound turnbull approach results indicate thatthe relative performance of the dc cv modelingalternatives evaluated here which assumepositive wtp varies across the simulationsetting e g proportion of negative wtp butnone can be said to reasonably solve theproblem ex post this underscores theimportance of ex ante efforts to identify ifnegative wtp is likely to be prominent in agiven valuation setting in such cases appropriately handling negative wtp must beaddressed through ex ante survey design andmodeling choices that allow negative wtp

scientific progress and irreversibility an economic interpretation of the precautionary principle abstract we consider the problem of the optimal use of a good whose consumption can produce damages in the future scientific progress is made over time that provides information on the distribution of the intensity of damages we show that this progress induces earlier prevention effort only if prudence is larger than twice absolute risk aversion this paper thus identifies the class of quite restrictive but plausible conditions such that scientific uncertainties justify an immediate reduction of the consumption of a potentially toxic substance

efficient estimation methods for closed ended contingent valuation surveys closed ended contingent valuation surveys can be very useful in the evaluation of nonmarket resources respondents merely state whether they would accept or reject a hypothetical threshold amount either as payment for giving up access to the resource or as a fee for its use the authors develop a maximum likelihood procedure which exploits the variation in the threshold values to allow direct and separate point estimates of regression like slope coefficients and error standard deviations without truncation bias their illustration uses data from a survey of recreational fisherman to examine factors which influence individuals willingness to pay copyright 1987 by mit press

learning design contingent valuation ldcv noaa guidelines preference learning and coherent arbitrariness we extend the contingent valuation cv method to test three differing conceptions of individuals preferences as either i a priori well formed or readily divined and revealed through a single dichotomous choice question as per the noaa cv guidelines k arrow r solow p r portney e e leamer r radner h schuman report of the noaa panel on contingent valuation fed reg 58 1993 4601 4614 ii learned or discovered through a process of repetition and experience j a list does market experience eliminate market anomalies q j econ 2003 41 72 c r plott rational individual behaviour in markets and social choice processes the discovered preference hypothesis in k arrow e colombatto m perleman c schmidt eds rational foundations of economic behaviour macmillan london st martin s new york 1996 pp 225 250 iii internally coherent but strongly influenced by some initial arbitrary anchor d ariely g loewenstein d prelec coherent arbitrariness stable demand curves without stable preferences q j econ 118 1 2003 73 105 findings reject both the first and last of these conceptions in favour of a model in which preferences converge towards standard expectations through a process of repetition and learning in doing so we show that such a learning design cv method overturns the stylised facts of bias and anchoring within the double bound dichotomous choice elicitation format

paired comparison estimates of willingness to accept versus contingent valuation estimates of willingness to pay estimating empirical measures of an individual s willingness to accept that are consistent with conventional economic theory has proven difficult the method of paired comparison offers a promising approach to estimate willingness to accept this method involves having individuals make binary choices between receiving a particular good or a sum of money willingness to accept can be inferred from the ranking of dollar amounts and the good of interest using the paired comparison approach mean median willingness to accept for a private good is estimated at 59 52 contingent valuation estimate of willingness to pay for the same good yields a mean median of 28 28 while these estimates are statistically different the ratio of willingness to accept to willingness to pay is less than in most previous studies and closer to ratios found in actual cash experiments

competition in communication networks pricing and regulation by any measure the communication sector is important it is no surprise then that the communication sector has attracted the attention of both policy makers and economists in this paper we argue that four characteristics of the networks that deliver communication services make this area of particular interest we analyse the implications of networks cost structures the strong complementarity between their components the demand side externalities that arise from consumption of their services and the social obligations attached to them despite the attention that the communication sector has received many aspects of competition between networks are still poorly understood we identify some of the key issues that will continue to trouble regulators and interest academics

reducing gain loss asymmetry a virtual reality choice experiment valuing land use change abstract in the majority of choice experiments ces the attributes of non market goods are conveyed to respondents as a table of numeric and or categorical data recent research suggests that respondents may have difficulties evaluating data in this format in the context of a ce eliciting preferences for changes in coastal land use this study uses a split sample experiment to compare standard presentations with virtual reality vr visualisations conveying objectively identical information we find that compared to the standard presentation preferences elicited in vr treatments are less variable and exhibit a significant reduction in asymmetry between willingness to pay wtp for gains and willingness to accept wta for corresponding losses we conjecture that the greater evaluability of the vr presentation reduces respondent judgement error and moderates reliance on the loss aversion heuristic

some issues in the application of closed ended willingness to pay studies to valuing health goods an application to antenatal care in scotland limited resources coupled with unlimited demands means that decisions have to be made concerning the allocation of scarce health care resources the economic instrument of willingness to pay wtp is one instrument that can be used to help this decision making process recommendations from the environmental economics literature suggest that the closed end ce wtp approach should be used this approach is just beginning to be used to value health goods this paper addresses the sensitivity of the closed ended wtp approach to three issues the design of the bid vector the upper and lower limits of integration and the method of analysis these are discussed with reference to a study looking at the value of alternative models of ante natal care in scotland the results are discussed and conclusions made concerning the use of the ce wtp instrument for valuing health goods

choice under uncertainty with the best and worst in mind neo additive capacities the concept of a non extreme outcome additive capacity neo additive capacity is introduced neo additive capacities model optimistic and pessimistic attitudes towards uncertainty as observed in many experimental studies moreover neo additive capacities can be applied easily in economic problems as we demonstrate by examples this paper provides an axiomatisation of choquet expected utility with neo capacities in a framework of purely subjective uncertainty

upgrades switching costs and the leverage theory of tying this article investigates the role of product upgrades and consumer switching costs in the tying of complementary products previous analyses have found that a monopolist of one product will not increase its profits and reduce social welfare by tying and leveraging its monopoly position into a complementary market if the initial monopolised product is essential where essential means that all uses of the complementary good require the initial monopolised product we show that this is not true in settings characterised by product upgrades and consumer switching costs we also discuss various extensions including the role of the reversibility of tying

product boundary vertical competition and the double mark up problem we develop a model in which a main product called product a provides a performance quality z by itself whereas a complementary product called product b is useless by itself but enhances the main product s performance quality to q z this asymmetric complementarity gives rise to the following results first if z is relatively small then firms a and b behave as if the products are symmetrically complementary with the usual double marginalization problem second if z is sufficiently large then firms a and b price their products as if they are independent third over a certain range of intermediate z no pure strategy nash equilibrium exists

should good patents come in small packages a welfare analysis of intellectual property bundling abstract intellectual property owners often hold the rights to several patents each of which is essential to make or use a product we compare the welfare properties of package licenses under which a licensee pays the same fee regardless of the number of technologies licensed with component licenses under which each technology is licensed separately and there is no quantity discount a central finding is that a long term package license can induce incentives to invent around patents and invest in complementary assets that are closer to their socially optimal levels than are those induced by a long term component license we also identify settings in which a short term license is a partial substitute for a package license and a prohibition on package licensing induces parties to adopt contracts that result in less efficient complementary investment because of hold up

affordability of energy cost increases for korean companies due to market based climate policies a survey study by sector this paper estimates the affordability of energy cost increases for energy intensive companies due to the introduction of market based climate policies in korea data were collected from 62 respondents from iron steel cement and petrochemical industries over 90 of which are under control of the target management scheme an ongoing mandatory system limiting the greenhouse gases ghg emissions of large energy consuming entities the affordable energy cost increase was estimated using the multiple bounded discrete choice mbdc format results of which show that a mean energy cost increase of 2 6 is acceptable for all the entities sampled companies from the three sectors had similar affordability with an average acceptable energy cost increase of 2 5e2 8 the affordable policy induced energy cost in creases equate to carbon prices of 2500e4000 krw t co2 about 2 3e3 5 usd t co2 for the companies surveyed econometric analysis confirmed a strong correlation between energy price level and company ownership with cost affordability with a view to developing carbon tax policy and a domestic ghg emissions trading scheme in korea this research provides a basis from an industrial perspective for carbon pricing

valuing the recreational benefits from the creation of nature reserves in irish forests abstract data from a large scale contingent valuation study are used to investigate the effects of forest attributes on willingness to pay for forest recreation in ireland in particular the presence of a nature reserve in the forest is found to significantly increase the visitors willingness to pay a random utility model is used to estimate the welfare change associated with the creation of nature reserves in all the irish forests currently without one the yearly impact on visitors economic welfare of new nature reserves approaches half a million pounds per annum exclusive of non recreational values

repeated dichotomous choice formats for elicitation of willingness to pay simultaneous estimation and anchoring effect repeated dichotomous choice contingent valuation data are generated from responses to a succession of binary questions regarding alternative prices for an environmental good in this paper we propose a simultaneous equation model that allows for endogeneity and error correlation across the responses at each stage of the bidding process the model allows us to study the evolution of anchoring effects after the second dichotomous choice question estimation involves the bayesian techniques of gibbs sampling and data augmentation and the application focuses on the preservation value of a natural area the results for a data set involving up to four successive dichotomous choice questions show that restricted multiple bounded models are rejected by the data with the general model in addition willingness to pay tends to stabilize after the second stage in the elicitation process for the general unrestricted model when taking anchoring effects into consideration it is revealed that individuals responses in the latter stages are influenced by the sequence of bid prices offered in earlier questions nevertheless they do not have a significant effect on welfare estimates

vertical integration and innovation abstract innovation is a driving force for most industries where it moreover affects many stages of the vertical chain we study the impact of vertical integration on innovation in an industry where firms need to undertake risky r d investments at both production and distribution stages vertical integration brings better coordination within the integrated firm which boosts its investment incentive at both upstream and downstream levels however it is only mutually beneficial for firms to integrate when both upstream and downstream innovations are important when innovation is irrelevant at one level firms favor instead vertical separation the analysis provides insights for the wave of mergers and r d outsourcing observed in the pharmaceutical industry and other vertically related industries