has job stability decreased population data from a small open economy we use a population based employer employee dataset to analyze changes in job stability in norway we first present descriptive analyses of tenure and separation rates followed by regression adjusted measures controlling for changes in demographics and the business cycle we see only weak evidence of changes in the tenure rates in particular for the public sector we find a slight increase in short tenures and a decrease in tenures above eight years however we do not find that this tendency towards less stable jobs leads to an increase in the flow to unemployment or out of the labor force

the impact of bank competition and concentration on industrial growth this paper studies whether bank competition affects growth of non banking industries we find that non cooperative bank competition and stability promote industrial growth robustly bank concentration may also affect growth positively the latter effect increases for higher levels of competition

banking deregulation and industry structure evidence from the french banking reforms of 1985 we investigate how the deregulation of the french banking industry in the 1980s affected the real behavior of firms and the structure and dynamics of product markets following deregulation banks are less willing to bail out poorly performing firms and firms in the more bank dependent sectors are more likely to undertake restructuring activities at the industry level we observe an increase in asset and job reallocation an improvement in allocative efficiency across firms and a decline in concentration overall these findings support the view that a more efficient banking sector helps foster a schumpeterian process of creative destruction many economies around the world are characterized by heavily regulated bank

social networks in the boardroom this paper provides empirical evidence consistent with the facts that 1 social networks may strongly affect board composition and 2 social networks may be detrimental to corporate governance our empirical investigation relies on a unique dataset on executives and outside directors of corporations listed on the paris stock exchange over the 1992 2003 period this data source is a matched employer employee dataset providing both detailed information on directors ceos and information on the firm employing them we first find a very strong and robust correlation between the ceo s network and that of his directors networks of former high ranking civil servants are the most active in shaping board composition our identification strategy takes into account 1 differences in unobserved directors abilities and 2 the unobserved propensity of firms to hire directors from particular networks irrespective of the ceo s identity we then show that the governance of firms run by former civil servants is relatively worse on many dimensions former civil servants are less likely to leave their ceo job when their firm performs badly secondly ceos who are former bureaucrats are more likely to accumulate directorships and the more they do the less profitable is the firm they run thirdly the value created by acquisitions made by former bureaucrats is lower all in all these firms are less profitable on average

united kingdom inflation targeting and the exchange rate the uk s monetary policy strategy is one of floating exchange rates and inflation forecast targeting with the targeted measure referring to consumer prices we consider whether it is welfare reducing to target inflation in the cpi rather than in a narrower index and the role of the exchange rate in the transmission of monetary policy actions to cpi inflation it is appropriate to model imports as intermediate goods rather than goods consumed directly by households this leads to a simpler transmission mechanism of monetary policy while also offering a sustainable explanation of the weakness of the exchange rate inflation relationship and making consumer price inflation an appropriate monetary policy target

the finance growth nexus evidence from bank branch deregulation this paper provides evidence that financial markets can directly affect economic growth by studying the relaxation of bank branch restrictions in the united states we find that the rates of real per capita growth in income and output increase significantly following intrastate branch reform we also argue that the observed changes in growth are the result of changes in the banking system improvements in the quality of bank lending not increased volume of bank lending appear to be responsible for faster growth

optimal monetary policy responses to relative price changes abstract an optimizing model with a flexible price sector and a sticky price sector is presented to analyze the effects of relative price changes on inflation fluctuations the relative price of the flexible price good represents a shift parameter of the new keynesian phillips curve the optimal monetary policy is to target sticky price inflation rather than a broad inflation measure although stabilizing the relative price around its efficient value is one of the appropriate goals of the central bank stabilizing sticky price inflation is sufficient for achieving this goal an optimal monetary policy for a small open economy is also discussed

finance and competition we investigate the role of financial constraints for product market competition in a general equilibrium model where firms may differ in terms of own wealth and or efficiency we find that in general the amelioration of financial constraints increases competition it lowers the lerner index of markups in financially dependent sectors even when other standard concentration indexes indicate otherwise our analysis implies that disruptions in financial markets such as the recent financial crisis may have adverse effects on competition in product markets a cost that has not been identified before does the existence of financial constraints hinder product market competition in financially dependent sectors do such constraints matter for the number and size of firms as well as for concentration indexes and markups in these markets there is a strong presumption based on the notion that financial constraints act as a barrier to entry expansion in financially dependent activities that a more developed financial system is conducive to greater product market competition surprisingly though there is no theory linking asset market development to competition and things are not better on the empirical front the empirical literature is quite meagre rajan and zingales 2003 and haber 2000 studied the effects of financial development and cetorelli and strahan 2006 and bertrand et al 2007 studied the effects of changes in the degree of competition in the banking sector on various measures of market structure and performance rajan and zingales find that financial development increases the number of firms while it has an ambiguous effect on average firm size in financially dependent industries haber compares the cotton industries in brazil and mexico during 1880 1930 a period of financial liberalisation and argues that concentration indexes decreased in particular in brazil the country that underwent the most effective financial market reform cetorelli and strahan study how market structure in non financial sectors was affected by the increase in competition lower bank concentration and looser statelevel restrictions following deregulation in state banking in the us they find that the number of firms increased average size number of employees per establishment and concentration decreased and the share of establishments in the smallest size group also increased similarly bertrand et al examine the effects of lower state intervention deregulation in the french banking industry on performance and competition in financially dependent sectors they find an increase in firm entry and exit rates and also a reduction in the level of product market concentration the theoretical literature on finance and product market competition is quite extensive but at the same time quite narrow in scope it has two key features first it is

can unemployment insurance spur entrepreneurial activity evidence from france we evaluate the effect of downside insurance on self employment we exploit a large scale reform of french unemployment benefits that insured unemployed workers starting businesses the reform significantly increased firm creation without decreasing the quality of new entrants firms started postreform were initially smaller but their employment growth productivity and survival rates are similar to those prereform new entrepreneurs characteristics and expectations are also similar finally jobs created by new entrants crowd out employment in incumbent firms almost one for one but have a higher productivity than incumbents these results highlight the benefits of encouraging experimentation by lowering barriers to entry

stabilising properties of discretionary monetary policies in a small open economy this article sets out a simple new keynesian open economy model and shows that the conduct of discretionary monetary policy in an open economy differs substantially from the closedeconomy framework the article shows analytically that the existence of the direct exchange rate channel in the open economy phillips curve impairs the perfect stabilising property of monetary policy in the face of demand side disturbances under domestic inflation targeting if cpi inflation is instead the target then the perfect stabilising property of monetary policy breaks down even in the absence of the direct exchange rate channel in the phillips curve

average inflation targeting the analysis of this paper demonstrates that when the phillips curve has forward looking components a goal for average inflation i e targeting a j period average of one period inflation rates will cause inflation expectations to change in a way that improves the short run trade off faced by the monetary policymaker average inflation targeting is thus an example of a modified loss function which when implemented in a discretionary fashion results in more efficient outcomes from the standpoint of the true social objective inflation targeting under commitment than the discretionary pursuit of the true objective itself in purely forward looking models average inflation targeting is dominated by price level targeting but we also demonstrate in a micro founded model where the phillips curve has both forward and backward looking components that there are cases when the average inflation target provides more efficient outcomes than both ordinary one period inflation targeting and price level targeting

optimal monetary policy in open versus closed economies an integrated approach in clarida et al 1999 hereafter cgg we presented a normative analysis of monetary policy within a simple optimization based closedeconomy framework we derived the optimal policy rule and among other things characterized the gains from commitment also we made precise the implications for the kind of instrument feedback rule that a central bank should follow in practice in this paper we show how our analysis extends to the case of a small open economy openness complicates the problem of monetary management to the extent the central bank must take into account the impact of the exchange rate on real activity and inflation how to factor the exchange rate into the overall design of monetary policy accordingly becomes a central consideration here we show that under certain conditions the monetary policy design problem for the small open economy is isomorphic to the problem of the closed economy that we considered earlier hence all our qualitative results for the closed economy carry over to this case openness does affect the parameters of the model suggesting quantitative implications though the general form of the optimal interest rate feedback rule remains the same as in the closedeconomy case for example how aggressively a central bank should adjust the interest rate in response to inflationary pressures depends on the degree of openness in addition openness gives rise to an important distinction between domestic inflation and consumer price inflation as defined by the cpi to the extent that there is perfect exchange rate pass through we find that the central bank should target domestic inflation and allow the exchange rate to float despite the impact of the resulting exchangerate variability on the cpi kosuki aoki 1999 gali and tommaso monacelli 2000

personal bankruptcy and credit market competition we document a link between u s credit supply and rising personal bankruptcy rates we exploit the exogenous variation in market contestability brought on by banking deregulation the relaxation of entry restrictions in the 1980s and 1990s at the state level we find deregulation explains at least 10 of the rise in bankruptcy rates we also find that deregulation leads to increased lending lower loss rates on loans and higher lending productivity our findings indicate that increased competition prompted banks to adopt sophisticated credit rating technology allowing for new credit extension to existing and previously excluded households the last quarter century saw a dramatic increase in the share of u s con sumers filing for personal bankruptcy thereby seeking a discharge of their unsecured debt in 2005 this increase led to the most comprehensive change to u s bankruptcy law since 1978 while several causes for the rise in bankruptcies have been advanced and it is the subject of ongoing research two potentially significant changes occurred during this period banking deregulation the relaxation of bank entry restrictions in the 1980s and 1990s and technological change in consumer lending banking deregulation by removing barriers to entry increases credit market competition and there fore affects the supply of credit new screening technologies change the way loans are made allowing for interest rates to better reflect underlying risk and thus facilitating lending to riskier borrowers in this paper we examine whether banking deregulation and technological change played a role in the increase in consumer bankruptcy the empirical literature has mostly focused on cross sectional differences in personal bankruptcy in particular it has revolved around legal institutions as a way to answer whether consumers file due to adverse events as part of a rational financial calculation or as a consequence of unfair or deceptive lending practices usually researchers have exploited the different asset exemptions across u s states i e the amount of personal assets protected from creditors

low inflation pass through and the pricing power of firms abstract recently there has been a significant decline in the degree to which firms pass through changes in costs to prices a decline that is frequently characterized as a reduction in the pricing power of firms the decline appears to be associated with the decline in inflation in many countries the decline has important implications for monetary policy because it affects both forecasts of inflation and the effects of changes in monetary policy on inflation some have argued that the decline in pricing power helped to keep inflation low in the face of apparently strong demand pressures in the united states in the late 1990s this paper puts forth the view that the decline in pass through or pricing power is due to the low inflation environment that has recently been achieved in many countries first a microeconomic model of price setting is used to show that lower pass through is caused by lower perceived persistence of cost changes evidence is then presented showing that inflation is positively correlated with persistence of inflation suggesting that the low inflation itself has caused the low pass through an economy wide model consistent with the micromodel is then presented to illustrate how such changes in pricing power affect output and inflation dynamics in favorable ways but can disappear quickly if monetary policy and expectations change

new directions for stochastic open economy models the paper develops a simple stochastic new open economy macroeconomic model based on sticky nominal wages explicit solution of the wage setting problem under uncertainty allows one to analyze the effects of the monetary regime on welfare expected output and the expected terms of trade despite the potential interplay between imperfections due to sticky wages and monopoly the optimal monetary policy rule has a closed form solution to motivate our model we show that observed correlations between terms of trade and exchange rates are more consistent with our traditional assumptions about nominal rigidities than with a popular alternative based on local currency pricing 2000 elsevier science b v all rights reserved

do political connections buffer firms from or bind firms to the government a study of corporate charitable donations of chinese firms do political connections buffer firms from or bind firms to the government to examine this theoretical puzzle we distinguish two types of managerial political connections ascribed and achieved

bank credit and trade credit evidence from natural experiments abstract prior studies find mixed evidence about the substitution relation between bank credit and trade credit in this paper using two bank interest rate deregulations in china we revisit the substitution hypothesis by examining how exogenous increases in the availability of bank credit affect trade credit we find that firms with higher credit risk increased their use of bank credit and reduced their use of trade credit after the 2004 bank interest rate ceiling deregulation whereas firms with lower credit risk increased their use of bank credit and reduced their use of trade credit after the 2013 bank interest rate floor deregulation our results provide supportive evidence for the substitution hypothesis that firms reduce their use of trade credit after the relaxation of bank credit and suggest that bank credit is more favorable short term financing than trade credit

repossession and the democratization of credit we exploit a 2004 credit reform in brazil that simplified the sale of repossessed cars used as collateral for auto loans we show that the reform expanded credit to riskier self employed borrowers who purchased newer more expensive cars the legal change has led to larger loans with lower spreads and longer maturities although the credit reform improved riskier borrowers access to credit it also led to increased incidences of delinquency and default our results shed light on the consequences of a credit reform and highlight the crucial role that collateral and repossession play in the liberalization and democratization of credit

a survey of recent developments in the literature of finance and growth this paper provides a survey of the recent progress in the literature of financial development and economic growth the survey highlights that most empirical studies focus on either testing the role of financial development in stimulating economic growth or examining the direction of causality between these two variables although the positive role of finance on growth has become a stylized fact there are some methodological reservations about the results from these empirical studies several key issues unresolved in the literature are highlighted the paper also points to several directions for future research

price level versus inflation targeting abstract this paper shows that price level targeting outperforms inflation targeting in the standard new keynesian model under the assumption that the central bank is forced to operate in an environment characterized by discretion in the benchmark case with no persistence in the shocks the commitment solution can be fully replicated intuitively price level targeting introduces history dependence and a stationary level of prices both of which are prominent features of the commitment solution

institutional and legal context in natural experiments the case of state antitakeover laws we argue and demonstrate empirically that a firm s institutional and legal context has first order effects in tests that use state antitakeover laws for identification a priori the size and direction of a law s effect on a firm s takeover protection depends on i other state antitakeover laws ii preexisting firm level takeover defenses and iii the legal regime as reflected by important court decisions in addition iv state antitakeover laws are not exogenous for many easily identifiable firms we show that the inferences from nine prior studies related to nine different outcome variables change substantially when we include controls for these considerations

the historical slave trade and firm access to finance in africa access to finance helps explain the link between the historical african slave trade and current gross domestic product we first present mistrust weakened institutions and ethnic fractionalization as plausible historical channels linking the slave trade to modern finance and development we then show i the slave trade is consistently linked to reduced access to the formal and trade credit needed by modern firms ii this shortage particularly reduces capital investment in smaller firms not in business groups and iii the slave trade cannot explain most other business obstacles suggesting that long term societal shocks are exceptionally important for finance received december 16 2014 editorial decision june 29 2017 by editor philip strahan

speed limit policies the output gap and optimal monetary policy in a standard new keynesian model a myopic central bank concerned with stabilizing inflation and changes in the output gap will implement a policy under discretion that replicates the optimal timeless perspective precommitment policy by stabilizing output gap changes the central bank imparts inertia into output and inflation that is absent under pure discretion even a fully optimizing i e non myopic central bank operating in a discretionary policy environment achieves better social outcomes if it focuses on inflation and changes in the output gap than are achieved under inflation targeting this abstract was borrowed from another version of this item

monetary policy for an open economy an alternative framework with optimizing agents and sticky prices the new open economy macroeconomics seeks to provide an improved basis for monetary and exchange rate policy through the construction of open economy models that feature rational expectations optimizing agents and slowly adjusting prices of goods this paper promotes an alternative approach for constructing such models by treating imports not as finished consumer goods but rather as raw material inputs to the home economy s productive process this treatment leads to a clean and simple theoretical structure that has some empirical attractions as well a particular small economy model is calibrated and its properties exhibited primarily by means of impulse response functions the preferred variant is shown to feature a pattern of correlations between exchange rate changes and inflation that is more realistic than provided by a more standard specification important recent events are interpreted in light of the alternative models

entrepreneurial finance credit cards and race this paper examines the impact of financial deregulation on entrepreneurship we assess the impact of credit card deregulation on transitions into self employment using state level removal of credit card interest rate ceilings following the us supreme court s 1978 marquette decision as a quasi natural experiment we find that credit card deregulation increases the probability of entrepreneurial entry with a particularly strong effect for black entrepreneurs we demonstrate that these effects are magnified in states with a history of racial discrimination and link the results to discriminationbased barriers to entry 2012 elsevier b v all rights reserved

pro market institutions and global strategy the pendulum of pro market reforms and reversals we review the literature analyzing the impact of pro market institutions on firms global strategy we propose that the ideological tension between whether the government or the market should drive economic development results in a pendulum of pro market reforms and reversals that drive changes in firm strategy and performance much progress has been made in the analyses of pro market reforms and their impact on firms international strategies and performance however there is a need to further learn about four areas 1 the concept of pro market institutions in particular the variety of institutional dimensions the measures and the influence of informal institutions on firm strategies 2 the drivers of changes in pro market institutions especially firms influences and the co evolution of firm strategies and institutional changes 3 the implications of changes in pro market reforms for the interactions among integration diversification and internationalization strategies the causality chains connecting institutions and strategies and the reconfiguration of activities globally and 4 the non traditional moderators that alter the impact of pro market institutional dynamics on firms strategies such as country level political systems industry level competitor reactions and individual level managerial capabilities and perceptions

the competitive effects of credit constraints in the global economy as credit constraints exclude some firms from external finance and thus from market entry they affect prices and markups by altering the degree of competition lower credit constraints allow less productive firms to enter with the following consequences on the one hand more competition tends to reduce average prices but on the other hand less productive firms charge above average prices the overall effect is thus ambiguous we therefore formulate and structurally estimate a quantitative multi country version of the model to gauge the direction and magnitude of the effects of credit constraints in a model with variable firm specific markups over marginal costs in a sample of 11 european countries manufacturing sectors between 2000 and 2005 we find that an abolishment of credit constraints reduces markups by about 6 1 on average while average prices are predicted to increase by 1 6 the latter indicates that the effect of credit constraints on productivity dominates the one on competition

do government owned banks trade market power for slack the quiet life hypothesis qlh posits that banks with market power have less incentives to maximize revenues and minimize cost especially government owned banks with a public mandate precluding profit maximization might succumb to a quiet life we use a unified approach that simultaneously measures market power and efficiency to test the quiet life hypothesis of german savings banks we find that average local market power declined between 1996 and 2006 cost and profit efficiency remained constant nonparametric correlations are consistent with a quiet life regarding cost efficiency but not regarding profit efficiency the quiet life on the cost side is negatively correlated with bank size quality of loan portfolio and local per capita income the last result indicates that the quiet cost life is therefore potentially due to benevolent excess consumption of local input factors by public savings banks

the timeless perspective vs discretion theory and monetary policy implications for an open economy abstract compared to the standard phillips curve an open economy version that features a real exchange rate channel leads to a markedly different target rule in a new keynesian optimizing framework under optimal policy from a timeless perspective tp the target rule involves additional history dependence in the form of lagged inflation the target rule also depends on more parameters notably the discount factor as well as two is and two phillips curve parameters stabilization policy in this open economy model is no longer isomorphic to policy in a closed economy because of the additional history dependence in an open economy target rule price level targeting is no longer consistent with optimal policy the gains from commitment are smaller in economies where the real exchange rate channel exerts a direct effect on inflation in the phillips curve

law finance and firm growth we investigate how differences in legal and financial systems affect firms use of external financing to fund growth we show that in countries whose legal systems score high on an efficiency index a greater proportion of firms use long term external financing an active though not necessarily large stock market and a large banking sector are also associated with externally financed firm growth the increased reliance on external financing occurs in part because established firms in countries with well functioning institutions have lower profit rates government subsidies to industry do not increase the proportion of firms relying on external financing the corporate finance literature suggests that market imperfections caused by conflicts of interest and informational asymmetries between corporate insiders and investors constrain firms in their ability to fund investment projects the magnitude of these imperfections depends in part on the effectiveness of the legal and financial systems because these systems differ across countries the literature implies that there should exist systematic cross country differences in firms ability to obtain external capital to finance investment in this paper we examine whether the underdevelopment of legal and financial systems does prevent firms in some countries from investing in potentially profitable growth opportunities in particular we focus on the use of long term debt or external equity to fund growth see our earlier work demirgut kunt and maksimovic 1996a which compares firms financial structures in developed and developing countries and finds the greatest difference to be in the provision of long term credit we estimate a financial planning model to obtain the maximum growth rate that each firm in our thirty country sample could attain without access to long term financing we then compare these predicted growth rates to growth rates realized by firms in countries with differing degrees of development in their legal and financial systems our approach enables us to identify specific characteristics of the legal and financial systems that are associated with long term financing of firm growth thus we provide a micro level test of the hypoth

economic consequences of deregulation evidence from the removal of voting cap in indian banks abstract we examine the effect of the 2005 banking regulation amendment bill and the 2011 banking laws amendment bill proposals for removal of the 10 percent voting rights cap in indian banks the 2011 banking laws bill was first introduced in 2005 but lapsed with the dissolution of the 14th lok sabha the bill was passed in december 2012 and raised the voting cap in private sector banks from 10 to 26 percent we present evidence that the removal of the voting cap enhances the value of votes of bank stocks by reducing the wedge between cash flow and control rights thus increasing monitoring and the probability of takeover post deregulation analysis reveals that the passage of the bill was followed by increasing blockholders number and percentage of shares held in larger and government banks furthermore a stronger negative relationship between banks profitability and size as well as share of non performing loans is observed this study makes an important contribution to the growing literature on the valuation impact and efficiency gains of liberalization of ownership restrictions in emerging markets as well as the rich literature on corporate governance and control relating to the value of voting privilege in companies with disparate voting rights

enjoying the quiet life under deregulation evidence from adjusted lerner indices for u s banks abstract the quiet life hypothesis posits that firms with market power incur inefficiencies rather than reap monopolistic rents we propose a simple adjustment to lerner indices to account for the possibility of forgone rents to test this hypothesis for a large sample of u s commercial banks we find that adjusted lerner indices are significantly larger than conventional lerner indices and trending upward over time instrumental variable regressions reject the quiet life hypothesis for cost inefficiencies however lerner indices adjusted for profit inefficiencies reveal a quiet life among u s banks

turgot founder of classical economics a r j turgot s capital theory is rightly famous this paper argues that his contribution to distribution theory should also be recogniz ed as a major achievement the interest rate or profit rate is equa lized between different activities and governed by returns at the agr icultural margin intensive and extensive returns decrease as the m argin moves out with capital accumulation this implies a rent theory and a theory of accumulation substantially equivalent to that of dav id ricardo and makes turgot who wrote before adam smith the origin al inventor of the main lines of classical economics copyright 1987 by the review of economic studies limited

should central banks target consumer prices or the exchange rate in this article we consider two arguments suggesting that monetary authorities in an open economy should target output price inflation and not consumer price inflation the first suggests that output price inflation corresponds to the distortions caused by price rigidity the second shows how policy rules involving consumer price inflation can induce instability because of the feedback from interest rates to consumer price inflation via the exchange rate we examine both arguments in the context of an open economy which is subject to a range of shocks we show that both arguments remain robust but that there is a case for including a terms of trade or real exchange rate gap term in the authorities welfare function alongside the output gap and output price inflation

targeting inflation with a role for money this paper demonstrates how a target for money growth can be beneficial for an inflation targeting central bank acting under discretion because the growth rate of money is closely related to the change in the interest rate and the growth of real output delegating a money growth target to the central bank makes discretionary policy more inertial leading to better social outcomes this delegation scheme is also compared with other schemes suggested in the literature the results indicate that stabilizing money growth around a target can be a sensible strategy for monetary policy although other delegation schemes are often more efficient

new keynesian economics and the phillips curve models with sticky prices are an important part of new keynesian economics the author shows that several of the new keynesian models imply a formulation that is similar to the expectations augmented phillips curve of milton friedman and edmund phelps he then presents new estimates of the new keynesian phillips curve the author uses two proxies for price expectations survey based measures and an econometric based measure originally developed by bennett mccallum 1976 overall the results are consistent with the model but the survey based results are more precise suggesting that the surveys may be better measures of actual expectations copyright 1995 by ohio state university press

the impact of firm entry regulation on long living entrants what is the impact of firm entry regulation on sustained entry into self employment how does firm entry regulation influence the performance of long living entrants in this paper i address these questions exploiting a natural experiment in firm entry regulation after german reunification east and west germany faced different economic conditions but fell under the same law that imposes a substantial mandatory standard on entrepreneurs who want to start a legally independent firm in one of the regulated occupations the empirical results suggest that the entry regulation suppresses long living entrants not only entrants in general or transient short lived entrants this effect on the number of long living entrants is not accompanied by a counteracting effect on the performance of long living entrants as measured by firm size several years after entry

financial deregulation in france in the past few years an extraordinary amount of financial deregulation has taken place in france only as recently as 1983 the country was under tight capital controls faced a wide range of administered and cartelised interest rates possessed a relative sparsity of financial instruments and had its banks strapped in a credit corset or credit ceiling arrangement known as the encadrement du credit today there is only a vestige of the capital controls the only administered interest rates that remain concern bank deposits a host of new financial instruments has emerged and there is no encadrement banking is no longer the secure business that it used to be quite significantly the first bank failure since world war ii occurred in 1987 a few other have followed since commission bancaire 1989 a couple of french bankers put the matter nicely in a recent assessment henceforth the french banking apparatus will need to show that it can manage risks instead of regulations levy lang and henrot 1987 this paper will provide a quick guide to the deregulation why it happened and what took place in addition some of the basic questions posed by the deregulation will be raised for lack of space a fundamental knowledge of general french conditions prior to the deregulation will be taken for granted the reform took sail under the socialists in 1984 85 after a period of socialist advance into opposite waters toward bank nationalisation and further regulation although the liberahsation was presented as necessary to assure the survival of paris as a financial center in view of deregulation abroad the move looks much more like a deliberate choice we see this best by comparing france and germany the german domestic financial environment is a fairly regulated one but as a country with free capital movements and the leader of monetary policy in the european monetary system ems germany has seen little cause to deregulate its financial markets what pressure to liberalise it has felt has come from the european commission following the white paper on european financial integration in june 1985 on the other hand france as a country which required capital controls to steer an independent course in macroeconomic policy in the ems turned toward financial deregulation before the white paper appeared when economic historians look back at this important juncture in european

reason for reserve reserve requirements and credit this paper considers the impact of a regulatory policy action on bank credit and traces its incidence across banks i make use of a reserve requirement increase in lebanon that was considerably greater on foreign currency deposits than on domestic currency deposits all banks cut lending as they scrambled to adjust portfolios but the policy shock disproportionately affected banks with a greater reliance on dollar funding and with low buffers of dollar liquid assets exposed domestic owned banks also adjusted more slowly than similar foreign owned banks that obtained outside funding descriptive firm bank matching evidence reveals a disproportionate impact on small firms

causes and consequences of hysteresis aggregate demand productivity and employment in this work we develop an agent based model where hysteresis in major macroeconomic variables e g gross domestic product productivity unemployment emerges out of the decentralized interactions of heterogeneous firms and workers building upon the schumpeter meeting keynes family of models cf in particular dosi et al 2016b 2017c we specify an endogenous process of accumulation of workers skills and a state dependent process of firms entry indeed hysteresis is ubiquitous however this is not due to market imperfections but rather to the very functioning of decentralized economies characterized by coordination externalities and dynamic increasing returns so contrary to the insider outsider hypothesis blanchard and summers 1986 the model does not support the findings that rigid industrial relations may foster hysteretic behavior in aggregate unemployment on the contrary this contribution provides evidence that during severe downturns and thus declining aggregate demand phenomena like decreasing investment and innovation rates skills deterioration and declining entry dynamics are better candidates to explain long run unemployment spells and reduced output growth in that more rigid labor markets may well dampen hysteretic dynamics by sustaining aggregate demand thus making the economy more resilient

dominance and competition we propose and test two possible explanations of envy and its opposite gloating one explanation views them as a learning process just as regret and rejoice are in the private domain envy is the social correspondent of regret the other explanation traces envy back to the natural tendency of individuals to seek higher positions in the social ranking that is a dominant position a tendency with very strong evolutionary motives we show experimentally that these two functional reasons for envy coexist competition is the product of the desire for dominance rather than the artificial output of social arrangements jel d12 d87

credit quantity and credit quality bank competition and capital accumulation in this paper we show that bank competition has an intrinsically ambiguous impact on capital accumulation we further show that it is also responsible for the emergence of development traps in economies that otherwise would be characterized by unique equilibria these results explain the conflicting evidence emerging from the recent empirical studies of the effects of bank competition on economic growth we obtain them developing a dynamic general equilibrium model of capital accumulation where banks operate in a cournot oligopoly more banks lead to a higher quantity of credit available to entrepreneurs but also to diminished incentives to offer relationship services that improve the likelihood of success of investment projects we also show that conditioning on one key parameter resolves the theoretical ambiguity in economies where intrinsic market uncertainty is high low less more competition leads to higher capital accumulation

financial consumption and the cost of finance measuring financial efficiency in europe 1950 2007 this paper proposes to assess financial intermediation efficiency in germany france the uk and europe more broadly over the past 60 years i rely on philippon s 2012 methodology which calculates the unit cost of financial intermediation through the ratio of financial consumption measured by financial income to financial output approximated by the sum of outstanding assets intermediated the contribution of this paper is threefold first because financial industry va ignores banks capital income capital gains dividends and interest on securities it is an imperfect measure of the consumption of financial intermediation so long as capital income generates wages and profits to financial intermediaries it is akin to an implicit consumption of financial services using banking income instead of banking va to measure the consumption of banking services i show that the gdp share of finance has increased continuously in germany france the uk and europe as a whole second the unit cost of financial intermediation increased over the past 40 years except in france where overall it stagnated in addition the european unit cost matches the us unit cost calculated by philippon 2012 finally because financial intermediaries deal with nominal stocks and ows and because the unit cost increases during periods of monetary troubles i focus here on nominal rates of interest to explain the evolution of unit cost i show that a rise in nominal rates of interest increases the spread of bank interest so that 1970s and 1980s high unit costs are statistically explained by increases in short term interest rates on the other hand post 1990s high unit cost seems to coincide with the development of new market based activities

targeting nominal income growth or inflation within a simple new keynesian model emphasizing forward looking behavior of private agents i evaluate optimal nominal income growth targeting versus optimal inflation targeting when the economy is mainly subject to shocks that do not involve monetary policy trade offs for society inflation targeting is preferable otherwise nominal income growth targeting may be superior because it induces inertial policy making which improves the inflation output gap trade off somewhat paradoxically inflation targeting may be relatively less favorable the more society dislikes inflation and the more persistent are the effects of inflation generating shocks jel e42 e52 f58

regulations market structure institutions and the cost of financial intermediation this paper examines the impact of bank regulations market structure and national institutions on bank net interest margins and overhead costs using data on over 1400 banks across 72 countries while controlling for bankspecific characteristics the data indicate that tighter regulations on bank entry and bank activities boost the cost of financial intermediation inflation also exerts a robust positive impact on bank margins and overhead costs while concentration is positively associated with net interest margins this relationship breaksdownwhencontrolling for regulatory impediments to competition and inflation furthermore bank regulations become insignificant when controlling for national indicators of economic freedom or property rights protection while these institutional indicators robustly explain cross bank net interest margins and overhead expenditures thus bank regulations cannot be viewed in isolation they reflect broad national approaches to private property and competition

monetary policy in a low pass through environment in a dynamic new keynesian optimizing model we introduce incomplete exchange rate pass through on import prices three results stand out first unlike canonical models with perfect pass through which emphasize a type of isomorphism incomplete pass through renders the analysis of monetary policy of an open economy fundamentally different from the one of a closed economy second productivity driven deviations from the law of one price assume the interpretation of endogenous cost push shocks third the optimal commitment policy relative to discretion entails a smoothing of the deviations from the law of one price and requires more stable nominal and real exchange rates

lending by example direct and indirect effects of foreign banks in emerging markets using a novel dataset that allows us to trace the bank relationships of a sample of mostly unlisted firms we explore which borrowers are able to benefit from foreign bank presence in emerging markets our results suggest that the limits to financial integration are less tight than the static picture of firm bank relationships implies even though foreign banks are more likely to engage large and foreign owned firms after an acquisition a bank is 20 less likely to terminate a relationship with a firm if the acquirer is foreign rather than domestic most importantly within a credit market firms appear to have the same access to financial loans and ability to invest whether they borrow from a foreign bank or not while foreign banks benefit all firms by indirectly enhancing credit access

changes in job security and their causes an empirical analysis for france 1982 2002 abstract in this paper we analyze the changes in the risks of involuntary job loss in france between 1982 and 2002 we find that these risks are higher in the 1990s than they were in the 1980s we develop an econometric analysis to separate the effects of institutional changes from the effects of new technologies our estimates show that the rise in job loss rates is significantly more pronounced in industries that have the largest share of r d workers and the largest rate of new technologies users these findings suggest that technological changes contribute to decreasing the incentive to keep workers for long period of time and to increasing job insecurity

to what extent did the economic stimulus package influence bank lending and corporate investment decisions evidence from china abstract using a panel of chinese firms over the period 2003 2013 we show that from the supply side perspective as a result of the implementation of the economic stimulus package in china state owned enterprises soes received more bank loans and invested more than non soes we further find that after the implementation of the economic stimulus package bank lending became less responsive to firm profitability and firm investments became less responsive to investment opportunities for soes non soes from favoured industries and regions and non soes with political connections overall our findings support the view that the stimulus package and the associated increase in bank loan supply in china resulted in more resources being allocated to soes