efficient diversification according to stochastic dominance criteria this paper develops the first operational tests of portfolio efficiency based on the general stochastic dominance sd criteria that account for an infinite set of diversification strategies the main insight is to preserve the cross sectional dependence of asset returns when forming portfolios by reexpressing the sd criteria int dimensional euclidean space with elements representing rates of return int different states of nature we characterize subsets of this state space that dominate a given evaluated return vector by first and second order sd this allows us to derive simple sd efficiency measures and test statistics computable by standard mathematical programming algorithms the sd tests and efficiency measures are illustrated by an empirical application that analyzes industrial diversification of the market portfolio

education and invention abstract modern growth theory puts invention on the center stage inventions are created by individuals raising the question of whether we can increase the number of inventors to answer this question we study the causal effect of msc engineering education on invention using data on u s patents finnish inventors and the distance to the nearest technical university as an instrument we find a positive effect of engineering education on the propensity to patent and a negative ols bias our counterfactual calculation suggests that establishing three new technical universities resulted in a 20 increase in the number of uspto patents by finnish inventors

patent trolls on markets for technology an empirical analysis of npes patent acquisitions abstract patent trolls or npes appropriate profits from innovation solely by enforcing patents against infringers they are often characterized as relying on low quality patents an assessment that if correct would imply that eradicating such patents would effectively terminate the npe business in this paper we shed light on this issue by empirically analyzing npes patent acquisitions we draw on a unique dataset of 392 u s patents acquired by known npes between 1997 and 2006 which we compare to three control groups of 784 u s patents each acquired by practicing firms we find that the probability that a traded patent is acquired by an npe rather than a practicing entity increases in the scope of the patent in the patent density of its technology field and contrary to common belief in the patent s technological quality our findings thus support recent theoretical propositions about the npe business model showing that npes procure patents that are more likely to be infringed harder to substitute for and robust to legal challenges the fact that npe acquired patents are of significantly higher quality than those in the control group implies that elevating minimum patent quality will not put an end to the npe business and suggests that this business is sustainable in the long run we furthermore discuss the fact that npes are peculiar players on markets for technology insofar as they are solely interested in the exclusion right not in the underlying knowledge we posit that transactions involving npes may only be the tip of the iceberg of patent only transactions a conjecture with strong implications for the efficiency and the study of markets for technologies managerial and policy implications are discussed

bayesian portfolio selection with multi variate random variance models we consider multi period portfolio selection problems for a decision maker with a specified utility function when the variance of security returns is described by a discrete time stochastic model the solution of these problems involves a dynamic programming formulation and backward induction we present a simulation based method to solve these problems adopting an approach which replaces the preposterior analysis by a surface fitting based optimization approach we provide examples to illustrate the implementation of our approach

mergers acquisitions and innovation performance in the telecommunications equipment industry the worldwide telecommunications equipment industry has experienced an enormous number of mergers and acquisitions m a this article examines the innovation determinants of m a activity a

stochastic dominance and mean variance measures of profit and loss for business planning and investment in this paper we first extend the stochastic dominance sd theory by introducing the first three orders of both ascending sd asd and descending sd dsd to decisions in business planning and investment to risk averse and risk loving decision makers so that they can compare both return and loss we provide investors with more tools for empirical analysis with which they can identify the first order asd and dsd prospects and discern arbitrage opportunities that could increase his her utility as well as wealth and set up a zero dollar portfolio to make huge profit our tools also enable investors and business planners to identify the third order asd and dsd prospects and make better choices to complement the stochastic dominance approach we also introduce an improved mean variance criterion to decisions in business planning or investment on both return and loss for risk averse and riskloving investors we then illustrate the superiority of the present approaches with well known examples in the literature and discuss the relationship between the improved stochastic dominance and mean variance criteria

the market evolution and sales takeoff of product innovations in contrast to the prevailing supply side explanation that price decreases are the key driver of a sales takeoff we argue that outward shifting supplyand demand curves lead to market takeoff our fundamental idea is that sales in new markets are initially low because the first commercialized forms of new innovations are primitive then as new firms enter actual and perceived product quality improves and prices possibly drop which leads to a takeoff in sales to provide empirical evidence for this explanation we explore the relationship between takeoff times price decreases and firm entry for a sample of consumer and industrial product innovations commercialized in the united states over the past 150 years based on a proportional hazards analysis of takeoff times we find that new firm entry dominates other factors in explaining observed sales takeoff times we interpret these results as supporting the idea that demand shifts during the early evolution of a new market due to nonprice factors is the key driver of a sales takeoff

technology as a complex adaptive system evidence from patent data this paper develops a theory of invention by drawing on complex adaptive systems theory we see invention as a process of recombinant search over technology landscapes this framing suggests that inventors might face a complexity catastrophe when they attempt to combine highly interdependent technologies our empirical analysis of patent citation rates supports this expectation our results also suggest however that the process of invention differs in important ways from biological evolution we discuss the implications of these findings for research on technological evolution industrial change and technology strategy 2001 elsevier science b v all rights reserved

technology gap global value chain and carbon intensity evidence from global manufacturing industries abstract the technological progress of a country may mean that its technology gap compared to the frontier has changed which will induce a change in its positioning in the global value chain and affect its carbon intensity using paten data input output database and the global value chain index we employ systematic generalized method of moments quantile regression with panel data and multilevel mediation analysis to measure empirically the impact of the technology gap on carbon intensity and positioning on the global value chain the empirical analysis shows that narrowing the technology gap will reduce significantly a country s carbon intensity further the effect of the technology gap on carbon intensity is more pronounced on industries with higher carbon intensity the mechanism test using the mediation effect model proves that the impact of the technology gap on carbon intensity is achieved by changing in the position of global value chain the findings suggest that a country s carbon intensity performance is not only affected by its own technological progress but also by global frontiers therefore a country should not only pay attention to its own technological progress but also to the development of global frontier technologies and speed of technological progress

gains from diversification on convex combinations a majorization and stochastic dominance approach by incorporating both majorization theory and stochastic dominance theory this paper presents a general theory and a unifying framework for determining the diversification preferences of risk averse investors and conditions under which they would unanimously judge a particular asset to be superior in particular we develop a theory for comparing the preferences of different convex combinations of assets that characterize a portfolio to give higher expected utility by second order stochastic dominance our findings also provide an additional methodology for determining the second order stochastic dominance efficient set

analysis of protection and pricing strategies for digital products under uncertain demand abstract we analyze pricing and protection digital rights management strategies in a two echelon supply chain that consists of a manufacturer and a retailer of digital products the demand for the legal non pirated product which depends on both price and monetary investment in protection is assumed to be uncertain three different supply chain models are analyzed manufacturer stackelberg retailer stackelberg and vertical integration we show that the retailer s utility function has no effect on the equilibrium strategies and suggest schemes to find these strategies for any utility function of the manufacturer further results are obtained under assumptions of either a multiplicative or an additive demand model we study the players strategies under different profit criteria reflecting different attitudes toward risk specifically the expectation criterion and the target criterion and for each criterion we obtain the dependence between the pricing and the protection investment we show that there are situations in which the manufacturer can increase his profit by giving up his leadership to the retailer even if the power balance is in his favor

innovation cycles and learning at the patent office does the early patent get the delay we study the relationship between the length of patent review and the importance of inventions we build a simple model of the u s patent review process among the model predictions are that controlling for a patent s position in a new technology cycle more important innovations would be approved more quickly also the approval delay is likely to decrease as an industry moves from the early stages of an innovation cycle to later stages these predictions are in line with the evidence we obtain from a data set on u s patents granted in the field of genetically modified crops from 1983 to 1999 we also show that failing to account for the innovation lifecycle as previous studies have done is likely to bias upwards the estimates of the relationship between delay and importance 2010 the authors journal compilation 2010 blackwell publishing ltd and the editorial board of the journal of industrial economics

publicly funded r d programs and survival of patents i apply a survival model to a detailed data set of swedish patents to estimate how different financing factors affect the likelihood of patent renewal since the owners know more about the patents than potential external financiers there is a problem of asymmetric information to overcome this sweden has for a long time relied on government support rather than private venture capital pvc in the empirical analysis two kinds of government loans are unbundled the empirical results show that patents which have received soft government loans in the r d phase have a higher probability of expiring than patents without such financing but patents that have received more market oriented government loans during the commercialization phase are renewed for as long as other commercialized patents this finding suggests that rather than bad choices of projects it is the nature of the contract terms that explains the low renewal of some patents with government financing

r d co practice and reverse knowledge integration in multinational firms this paper contributes to the developing literature on the management of distributed innovation in multinational firms we focus on a specific organizational mechanism r d co practice which we believe is an important facilitator of knowledge integration in multinationals with global innovation strategies in our formulation r d co practice joint technical activities between units increases levels of absorptive capacity and social capital among participating units thus increasing the likelihood that they will share knowledge at future time periods we find strong support for this hypothesis through an empirical analysis of reverse subsidiary to headquarters knowledge integration in two sectors automotive and pharmaceuticals over a 21 year period

almost stochastic dominance and stocks for the long run abstract the geometric mean argument and the recently developed almost stochastic dominance criterion have been employed to make the case for stocks for the long run we show that almost stochastic dominance and the geometric mean argument do not necessarily support long run investment in equities in fact for standard preferences bonds may be preferred to stocks for the long run while stocks are preferred for shorter horizons

on measuring the risk of common stocks implied by options prices a note this paper examines the implied standard deviation isd estimated from transactons data on options using the black scholes pricing model it was found that the distribution of the isd is symmetric though not normal also the isd based on the last daily observation deviates significantly from the daily average isd it is suggested that the daily average is a more reliable estimate of the standard deviation

a pseudo bayesian model in financial decision making with implications to market volatility under and overreaction abstract this paper develops a model of weight assignments using a pseudo bayesian approach that reflects investors behavioral biases in this parsimonious model of investor sentiment weights induced by investors conservative and representative heuristics are assigned to observations of the earning shocks of stock prices such weight assignments enable us to provide a quantitative link between some market anomalies and investors behavioral biases the seriousness of an anomaly can be quantitatively assessed by investigating into its dependency on weights new results other than the short run underreaction and long run overreaction can be derived and new hypotheses can be formed

the welfare analysis of product innovations with an application to computed tomography scanners the main goal of this paper is to put forward a methodology for the measurement of product innovations using a value metric that is equating the magnitude of innovations with the welfare gains they generate this research design is applied to the case of computed tomography scanners a revolutionary innovation in medical technology the econometric procedure centers on the estimation of a discrete choice model the nested multinominal logit which yields the parameters of a utility function defined over the changing quality dimensions of the innovative product the estimated flow of social gains from innovation is used to compute a social rate of return to r d to explore the interrelation between innovation and diffusion and to trace the time profile of benefits and costs the latter suggesting the possible occurrence of technological cycles

measuring innovative performance is there an advantage in using multiple indicators abstract the innovative performance of companies has been studied quite extensively and for a long period of time however the results of many studies have not yet led to a generally accepted indicator of innovative performance or a common set of indicators so far the variety in terms of constructs measurements samples industries and countries has been substantial this paper studies the innovative performance of a large international sample of nearly 1200 companies in four high tech industries using a variety of indicators these indicators range from r d inputs patent counts and patent citations to new product announcements the study establishes that a composite construct based on these four indicators clearly catches a latent variable innovative performance however our findings also suggest that the statistical overlap between these indicators is that strong that future research might also consider using any of these indicators to measure the innovative performance of companies in high tech industries

discontinuities and senior management assessing the role of recognition in pharmaceutical firm response to biotechnology despite an increasing emphasis on the role of senior management cognition in shaping organizational action there have been few attempts to link top management mental models to strategic choice in the face of discontinuous innovation this paper uses 23 years of data covering 15 major pharmaceutical firms to explore the degree to which each firm s response to the revolution in biotechnology was shaped by the senior team s recognition of biotechnology s importance controlling for a number of important alternative explanations we show that recognition may be an important predictor of action suggesting that cognition at the most senior level can play a critical role in shaping established firms response to discontinuities copyright 2003 oxford university press

what determines patent value insights from the semiconductor industry abstract this paper contributes to an understanding which impacts certain patent characteristics have on the value of patent rights in an exploratory study 127 individual patents from a semiconductor company were evaluated comprehensively by technical and marketing representatives the analysis of this rare data shows that for patents used as bargaining chips novelty and inventive activity are most important difficulty of inventing around and disclosure turn out to be of limited importance due to a selection bias the influence of patent age on its value cannot be determined the results hint at a differentiated theoretical plausibility of value indicators

implied interest rates one of the most important assumptions in financial economics models is the existence of a risk free rate available for borrowing and lending in any economy however the borrowing rate does not coincide with the lending rate even for the short run the difference between the rates is considered a compensation for intermediation that is necessary in the imperfect real world in a well functioning financial market this difference would be small and the smaller it is the better off is the economy the two short term rates that best approximate riskless lending and borrowing rates are the treasury bill rate and the brokers loan call rate respectively with the introduction of put and call options a new risk free instrument has been created using options alone or options combined with the underlying asset one could turn to these markets for his borrowing or lending needs thereby with the introduction of put and call options a new risk free asset has been created the objective of this study is to estimate the rate implied in option prices and compare it to other riskless instruments we have used transactions data on chicago board options exchange options taking into account the american feature of these options we find that options markets provide rates that are competitive with other short term rates these rates are closer to the borrowing rate than to the lending rate

do investors like to diversify a study of markowitz preferences we study rankings of completely and partially diversified portfolios and also of specialized assets when investors follow so called markowitz preferences it turns out that diversification strategies for markowitz investors are more complex than in the case of risk averse and risk inclined investors whose investment strategies have been extensively investigated in the literature in particular we observe that for markowitz investors preferences toward risk vary depending on their sensitivities toward gains and losses for example it turns out that unlike in the case of risk averse and risk inclined investors markowitz investors might prefer investing their entire wealth in just one asset this finding helps us to better understand some financial anomalies and puzzles such as the well known diversification puzzle which notes that some investors tend to concentrate on investing in only a few assets instead of choosing the seemingly more attractive complete diversification

gasoline prices and the used automobile market a rational expectations asset price approach this paper examines the impact of changes in gasoline price expectations on the market values of used automobiles an asset model of automobile valuation is used to relate year to year changes in market values to changes in the present discounted value of gasoline expenses econometric evidence from data covering the years 1972 through 1981 substantially confirms the hypothesis of the model that a gasoline price shock causes relative price changes across automobile types in proportion to the differences in their rates of fuel consumption

elasticity of risk aversion and international trade abstract this paper analyzes export production in the presence of exchange rate uncertainty under mean variance preferences we present the elasticity of risk aversion since this elasticity concept permits a distinct investigation of risk and expectation effects on exports counterintutitive results are possible e g although the home currency is revaluating devaluating exports by the firm increase decrease this fact may contribute to the explanation of disturbing empirical results

a dynamic analysis of university agricultural biotechnology patent production this article examines the factors that account for agricultural biotechnology patenting success among universities using a dynamic count data model it builds a theoretical and econometric model to capture the inherently dynamic and nonlinear process of technological innovation wherein a feedback mechanism from previous success partially determines current patent counts the econometric estimates reveal the importance to agricultural biotechnology patent production of land grant infrastructure quality faculty patent oriented technology transfer offices as well as dynamic feedback effects the advent of exclusive property rights for university research specifically the bayh dole act has created the potential for major changes in the missions of u s universities especially among land grant universities lgus as well as in the overall system of technology creation and distribution in agriculture at the same time new genetic and cloning technologies along with the recently created ability to patent plants and living organisms are profoundly changing the range of agricultural technologies that are likely to be available in the united states and internationally indeed as zilberman yarkin and heiman argue these new agricultural biotechnologies ag biotech and their associated intellectual property rights appear to be creating a new paradigm a veritable revolution in the organization and interaction of university research and the agricultural sector under this new paradigm universities emphasize patenting innovations and then granting at times

the ex ante and ex post price effects of quarterly earnings announcements reflected in option and stock prices the subject of this study is the effect of investors anticipations of impending informative disclosures on the behavior of option and stock prices our approach introduced in a previous paper patell and wolfson 1979 and substantially extended here represents the following significant departure from traditional information content studies instead of analyzing security price reactions to announcements we analyze preannouncement option prices in order to discern investors beliefs about the range of possible stock price reactions expected to accompany a forthcoming disclosure whose actual content is not yet known in the tests reported here we focus on quarterly earnings announcements as disclosure events whose timing is predictable and we attempt to detect their systematic influence on the relationship between stock and option prices our operational definition of information content emphasizes changes in the variability of common stock returns in response to earnings disclosures while market efficiency precludes investors from predicting the direction of the stock price change which will accompany a future earnings announcement it is likely that investors will anticipate increased price variability at the time of disclosure and indeed several studies have documented announcement date increases in stock price volatility

characteristics of patent litigation a window on competition we examine the patenting behavior of firms in an industry characterized by rapid technological change and cumulative innovation recent survey evidence suggests that semiconductor firms do not rely heavily on patents to appropriate returns to r d yet the propensity of semiconductor firms to patent has risen dramatically since the mid 1980s we explore this apparent paradox by conducting interviews with industry representatives and analyzing the patenting behavior of 95 u s semiconductor firms during 1979 1995 the results suggest that the 1980s strengthening of u s patent rights spawned patent portfolio races among capital intensive firms but it also facilitated entry by specialized design firms copyright 2001 by the rand corporation

patents learning by doing and market structure in the chemical processing industries for a sample of 24 chemical products count data models are used to evaluate firms propensity to patent and the link between patented process innovations and output prices the results show that process patenting was largely an outgrowth of learning by doing propensity to patent increased with firm size but decreased with market concentration reductions in output prices were strongly linked to learning by doing and more weakly to the rate of patenting producer firms appear to have been more successful than non producers in appropriating the value of patented process innovations

know how and asset complementarity and dynamic capability accumulation the case of r d dynamic capabilities enable firms to create new products and processes and respond to changing market conditions this empirical investigation of dynamic r d capabilities deals with the role of complementary know how and other assets in the context of changing conditions in the u s petroleum industry during the 1970s and early 1980s the analysis suggests that in response to rising oil prices firms with larger amounts of complementary technological knowledge and physical assets also undertook larger amounts of r d on coal conversion a synthetic fuels process 1997 by john wiley sons ltd

determinants of cross national knowledge transfer and its effect on firm innovation this study examines the determinants of international knowledge flow from a resource based perspective it evaluates the impact of cross national knowledge transfer on firm innovative performance based on 56 027 us patents owned by 53 selected firms in the us based pharmaceutical industry the results suggest that innovative performance is a curvilinear function of the international knowledge content used by a firm to innovate as hypothesized it was found that at 1 low and moderate levels of international knowledge content a firm s strategy to transfer international knowledge improves its innovative performance and at 2 higher levels of international knowledge content there are diminishing marginal returns to transferring knowledge from overseas

unbundling the structure of inertia resource versus routine rigidity i work to unbundle the structure of inertia into two distinct categories resource rigidity failure to change resource investment patterns and routine rigidity failure to change organizational p

two moment decision models and expected utility maximization two moment decision models are consistent with expected utility maximization only if the choice set or the agent s preferences are restricted this paper identifies a restriction which is sufficient to ensure this consistency and confirms that it holds in many economic models the implications for economic analysis are then derived two different approaches to representing an agent s preferences over strategies yielding random payoffs are in wide use under the mean standard deviation ms approach the agent is assumed to rank the alternatives according to the value of some function defined over the first two moments of the random payoff while the expected utility eu criterion assumes that the expected value of some utility function defined over payoffs is used instead the fact that there are these two competing approaches has generated a considerable literature some authors are concerned with the advantages and disadvantages of each while others deal with conditions under which the potentially different approaches would yield the same results or at least approximately so space does not

capabilities as real options strategy research consists of a balance between positive and normative theory normative theories suggest particular heuristics or cognitive representations to find appropriate solutions heuristics permit faster solutions to real time problems they also suffer from the potential of negative transfer to inappropriate applications the theory of real options provides the appropriate heuristic framing of competencies and exploratory search a real options approach marries the theory of financial options to foundational ideas in strategy organizational theory and complex systems we join these approaches to identify three pairs of concepts scarce factor and the underlying asset in option theory inertia and irreversibility and the ruggedness of landscape and option values strategic theories of resources largely define a core competence as unique and nonimmutable in doing so this definition has wrongly forgotten barney s initial insight into scarce factor markets as determining the valuation of a competitive asset financial theory of real options derives its heuristics of investing in exploratory search by inferring future value of today s investments from market prices we apply the three conceptual pairs to the evaluation of capabilities as real options through a formal descriptive model the valuation of core capabilities is derived from observing the price dynamics of correlated strategic factors in the market because of inertia managers cannot easily adjust the wrong set of organizational capabilities to the emergence of market opportunities however firms that have made investments in capabilities appropriate to these opportunities are able to respond from this description we define core competence as the choice of capabilities that permits the firm to make the best response to market opportunities the heuristic framing of capabilities as real options guides the normative evaluation of the balance between exploitation and exploration

on the coexistence of positive and negative externalities in the inter powertrain relationships abstract the green knowledge based economy has complicated the dynamical knowledge interactions in the multi technology sector of transportation that involves a constellation of interrelated powertrain technologies including the internal combustion engine hybrid and battery electric vehicles icev bev and hev based on the biological ecology perspective and the technological innovation system tis framework we explore the dynamical inter powertrain relationships in terms of knowledge diffusion over 1985 2016 we measure their knowledge diffusion by extracting patents and publications forward citations from the scopus and derwent databases respectively quantifying by the lotka volterra l v equations our results show that powertrains support and inhibit their knowledge diffusion growth by projecting positive and negative externalities which are carried through the tis co dynamics our results reveal these externalities are manifested in a mix of biological relationship modes such as symbiosis parasitism commensalism and amensalism we therefore challenge the assumed pure competition between icev and bev or their predator prey relationships with hev by elaborating on the notions of creative destruction and creative accumulation our research contributes to the innovation systems literature by accommodating knowledge diffusion co dynamics as an extension to the tis framework making it more outward oriented moreover the co existence of positive and negative externalities builds up a multi cross path interactions view that extends the conventional single path view in the path dependency literature our research drives insightful knowledge for strategising and policy making in regard with investing in new disruptive technologies sustaining the incumbent technology or hybridising them as a transitionary or stationary solution towards sustainable mobility transition

the dynamics of the transfer and renewal of patents this article explores new data on the transfer and renewal of u s patents and interprets this new evidence using a model of patent transfers and renewal we find that the proportion of transferred patents is large and differs across technology fields and especially type of patentees we also find that the probability of a patent being traded depends on a number of factors the age of the patent the number of citations received by a given age the patent generality and whether the patent has been previously traded or not these findings are consistent with the predictions of a model of patent transfers and renewals

stochastic dominance and risk measure a decision theoretic foundation for var and c var abstract is it possible to obtain an objective and quantifiable measure of risk backed up by choices made by some specific groups of rational investors to answer this question in this paper we establish some behavior foundations for various types of var models including var and conditional var as measures of downside risk in this paper we will establish some logical connections among vars conditional var stochastic dominance and utility maximization though supported to some extents with unanimous choices by some specific groups of expected or non expected utility investors vars as profiles of risk measures at various levels of risk tolerance are not quantifiable they can only provide partial and incomplete risk assessments for risky prospects we also include in our discussion the relevant vars and several alternative risk measures for investors these alternatives use somewhat weaker assumptions about risk averse behavior by incorporating a mean preserving spread for this latter group of investors we provide arguments for and against the standard deviation versus var and conditional vars as objective and quantifiable measures of risk in the context of portfolio choice

co ownership of intellectual property exploring the value appropriation and value creation implications of co patenting with different partners combining both interview data and empirical analyses at the patent and firm levels we explore the value appropriation and value creation implications of r d collaboration resulting in the co ownership of intellectual property i e co patents we make an explicit distinction between three different types of co patenting partners intra industry partners inter industry partners and universities our findings indicate that the value appropriation challenges of ip sharing are clearly evident with intra industry co patenting where partners are more likely to encounter overlapping exploitation domains co patenting with universities is associated with higher market value since appropriation challenges are unlikely to play a role and collaboration may signal novel technological opportunities although we find some evidence that co patenting corresponds to higher patent value patents co owned with firms are significantly less likely to receive self citations indicating constraints on the future exploitation and development of co owned technologies

exchange economies and loss exposure experiments exchange economies were created in which individuals faced losses if people are risk seeking in the losses as predicted by prospect theory then due to the nonconvexity the competitive equilibria are all on the boundaries of the edgeworth box the experimental results are that risk seeking behavior is observed in many people and appears in markets as predicted in addition market behavior is consistent with answers to hypothetical questionnaires contrary to prospect theory risk seeking seems to diminish with experience preferences in the market setting are not labile and risk seeking preferences are not simply a result of framing effects copyright 1997 by american economic association

the relationship between arbitrage and first order stochastic dominance this paper joins together two fields of research in financial economics the first field studies stochastic dominance while the second field studies arbitrage pricing the two fields are linked together through the derivation and the proof of a characterization theorem the characterization theorem gives necessary and sufficient conditions for the existence of arbitrage opportunities in terms of the existence of two assets one of which first order stochastically dominates the other and the price of a particular contingent claim examples are provided to demonstrate the theorem s content this paper joins together two fields of research in financial economics the first field studies portfolio choice from the perspective of stochastic dominance see hadar and russell 5 6 hanoch and levy 7 levy and kroll 13 the second field studies arbitrage pricing its characterization and implications see ross 15 kreps 12 harrison and kreps 8 harrison and pliska 9 in these fields it is well known that the existence of arbitrage opportunities implies first order stochastic dominance and that the converse does not hold this paper provides a set of conditions under which the converse is true given complete markets the existence of an arbitrage opportunity is characterized in terms of the existence of two traded assets one of which stochastically dominates the other along with one additional condition the additional condition is roughly that state contingent prices must be zero over the states where the first asset dominates the second the theorem has a qualification however it is applicable only in markets which are complete not in the arrow debreu sense but in a weaker sense in the sense that all contingent claims on the primary assets must trade in many applications especially with respect to continuous trading models this condition is usually satisfied see duffie 2 and harrison and pliska 9 in the case of stochastically dominated assets this paper shows that the relationship of the assets to the state contingent prices is important in identifying arbitrage opportunities in this sense this paper is related to a recent paper of jagannathan 10 jagannathan studies the relationship of second order stochastic dominance not first order to call option valuation this characterization theorem relating arbitrage opportunities to stochastic dominance should provide a valuable tool in the area of stochastic dominance this theorem specifies conditions under which two assets can be compared using first order stochastic dominance on an individual basis for inclusion in the

third degree stochastic dominance here f x and g x are less than cumulative probability distributionis where x is a continuous or discrete random variable representing the outcome of a prospect the closed interval a b is the sample space of both prospects the integral shown in rule 2 and those shown throughout the paper are stieltjes integrals recall that the stieltjes integral fb f x dg x exists if one of the functions f and g is continuous and the other has finite variation in a b let d1 d2 and d3 be three sets of utility functions x d1 is the set containing all utility functions with 4 x and 1 x continuous and 41 x 0 for all xe a b d2 is the set with x 1 x 2 x continuous and q j x 0 02 x o for all xc a b d3 is the set with x 1 x 2 x 3 x continuous and 1 x 04 2 x o o for all xc a b here 1 x denotes the ith derivative of x hadar and russell proved that rule 1 is valid for all cd1 and rutle 2 is valid for all ed2 the authors point out that the set of probability distributions that can be ordered by means of second degree stochastic dominance is in general larger than that which can be ordered by means of first degree stochastic dominance note that in rule 2 they assume that x is not only an increasing function of x but also exhibits weak global risk aversion a condition guaranteed by requiring the second derivative of x to be nonpositive in this paper a condition which will be called third degree stochastic dominance is considered it is based on the following assumption about the form of the utility function x from a normative point of view one expects the risk premium associated with an uncertain prospect to become smaller the greater is the individual s wealth the plausibility and implications of this assumption h ave been explored by john pratt as well as others the risk premium of an uncertain prospect is that amount by which the certainty equivalent of the prospect differs from its expected value in mathematical terms given the prospect f x with expected value a the corresponding risk premium t is obtained by solving the following equation rb

could the global financial crisis improve the performance of the g7 stocks markets abstractfinancial crises are normally associated with negative effects on financial markets in this article we investigate whether the most recent global financial crisis gfc had any positive impact on the g7 canada france germany italy japan the united kingdom and the united states indices to conduct the analysis we employ the mean variance mv analysis capm statistics hurst exponent runs test multiple variation ratio test and stochastic dominance sd tests our mv and capm results conclude that most of the g7 stock indices are significantly less volatile the results from hurst exponent run tests and multiple variation ratio confirm that efficiency improved in the post gfc period finally our sd results conclude that there is no arbitrage opportunity and the markets are efficient due to the gfc and in general investors prefer investing in the indices after the gfc overall we conclude that the gfc led to markets that are more efficient and mature confirming that crises can also

stochastic dominance and expected utility survey and analysis while stochastic dominance has been employed in various forms as early as 1932 it has only been since 1969 1970 that the notion has been developed and extensively employed in the area of economics finance agriculture statistics marketing and operations research in this survey the first second and third order stochastic dominance rules are discussed with an emphasis on the development in the area since the 1980s

diversification versus optimality is there really a diversification puzzle abstractin this paper we provide a general valuation of the diversification attitude of investors first we empirically examine the diversification of mean variance optimal choices in the us stock market during the 11 year period 2003 2013 we then analyze the diversification problem from the perspective of risk averse investors and risk seeking investors second we prove that investors optimal choices will be similar if their utility functions are not too distant independent of their tolerance or aversion to risk finally we discuss investors attitude towards diversification when the choices available to investors depend on several parameters

customer power strategic investment and the failure of leading firms why might firms be regarded as astutely managed at one point yet subsequently lose their positions of industry leadership when faced with technological change we present a model grounded in a study of the world disk drive industry that charts the process through which the demands of a firm s customers shape the allocation of resources in technological innovation a model that links theories of resource dependence and resource allocation we show that established firms led the industry in developing technologies of every sort even radical ones whenever the technologies addressed existing customers needs the same firms failed to develop simpler technologies that initially were only useful in emerging markets because impetus coalesces behind and resources are allocated to programs targeting powerful customers projects targeted at technologies for which no customers yet exist languish for lack of impetus and resources because the rate of technical progress can exceed the performance demanded in a market technologies which initially can only be used in emerging markets later can invade mainstream ones carrying entrant firms to victory over established companies

application specific r d capabilities and the advantage of incumbents evidence from the anticancer drug market this paper examines the proposition that during competence destroying technological changes incumbents are incompetent in researching in house a radically new technology they only retain market leadership if their undestroyed proprietary complementary assets compensate for their research incompetence in contrast to prior research i propose that there is not one but two sets of capabilities necessary to execute research and development r d sets that differ in their market specificity a technology specific set i e technological platforms that are non market specific and an application specific set i e knowledge of the application that is therefore market specific although all markets require both sets of capabilities to execute r d prior research has analyzed cases where the application was not as complex and therefore application specific capabilities did not represent strategic factors because at the start of a technological discontinuity application specific capabilities are undestroyed and have accrued only to incumbents when complex enough these capabilities can represent a source of competitive advantage for these firms even in the face of competition from diversifying entrants reusing previously acquired technological platforms i find evidence consistent with my proposition based on data on outcomes from drug discovery as estimated through clinical endpoints in phase i trials for firms competing in the anticancer drug market one of the most complex markets within pharmaceuticals as the market transitions into the biotechnology revolution the proposition in this paper implies that although technological platforms can help firms move across markets application specific r d capabilities can help firms retain leadership within a market across technological discontinuities

derivative ideas and the value of intangible assets we build a general equilibrium model where growth is driven by two invention types fundamental ideas that cause creative destruction and derivative ideas that enhance the value of existing inventions the model provides a new mapping from microeconomic patent data to aggregate total factor productivity growth and the aggregate value of privately owned knowledge we show how to measure the frequency of derivative ideas and the rate of creative destruction we estimate that derivative ideas account for 70 80 of all patents and their presence more than doubles the value of knowledge capital relative to what the measured innovation rate might otherwise imply

two moment decision models and expected utility maximization comment the two most common approaches to analyzing behavior under uncertainty are the expected utility model eu and the meanstandard deviation model ms jack meyer 1987 has recently established in this review that when the choice set consists of random variables which are represented by distribution functions that differ from one another only by location and scale parameters eu and ms are consistent in the sense that any eu ranking of elements of a choice set can also be represented by an ms ranking no claim has been made by meyer regarding the euand ms efficient sets however it can be easily shown that with no additional restrictions risk averters euefficient set is a subset in the weak sense of the ms efficient set in this note we extend meyer s work and prove that under a certain restriction on the support of the distribution random variables which are ms efficient are also eu efficient namely ms and eu yield identical efficient sets we analyze separately the relationship of msand eu efficient sets for all unrestricted u with u 0 and alternatively for all risk averse u with u 0 and u 0 only pairwise comparisons of risky options are considered

prospect theory much ado about nothing prospect theory is a paradigm challenging the expected utility paradigm one of the fundamental components of prospect theory is the s shaped value function the value function is mainly justified by experimental investigation of the certainty equivalents of prospects confined either to the negative or to the positive domain but not of mixed prospects which characterize most actual investments we conduct an experimental study withmixed prospects using for the first time recently developed investment criteria called prospect stochastic dominance psd and markowitz stochastic dominance msd we reject the s shaped value function showing thatat least 62 76 of the subjects cannot be characterized by such preferences we find support for the markowitz utility function which is a reversed s shaped function exactly the opposite of the prospect theory value function it is possible that the previous results supporting the s shaped value function are distorted because the prospects had only positive or only negative outcomes presenting hypothetical situations which individuals do not usually face and which are certainly not common in financial markets

the simulation of option prices with application to liffe options on futures we build a framework for modelling the deviation of observed option prices from the black scholes prices we use a flexible model for a density a two sided switching weibull to capture the implied volatility the model can be used to generate prices it can take into account no arbitrage bounds for option prices and is capable of generating such stylised facts as the smile effect we apply this methodology to liffe options on german government bond futures

market risk and the concept of fundamental volatility measuring volatility across asset and derivative markets and testing for the impact of derivatives markets on financial markets this paper proposes an unobserved fundamental component of volatility as a measure of risk this concept of fundamental volatility may be more meaningful than the usual measures of volatility for market regulators fundamental volatility can be obtained using a stochastic volatility model which allows us to filter out the signal in the volatility information we decompose four ftse100 stock index related volatilities into transitory noise and unobserved fundamental volatility our analysis is applied to the question as to whether derivative markets destabilise asset markets we find that introducing european options reduces fundamental volatility while transitory noise in the underlying and futures markets does not show significant changes we conclude that for the ftse100 index introducing a new options market has stabilised both the underlying market and existing derivative markets

a penny for your quotes patent citations and the value of innovations the use ofpatents in economic research has been seriously hindered by the fact that patents vary enormously in their importance or value and hence simple patent counts cannot be informative about innovative output the purpose of this article is to put forward patent counts weighted by citations as indicators of the value of innovations thereby overcoming the limitations of simple counts the empirical analysis of a particular innovation computed tomography scanners indeed shows a close association between citation based patent indices and independent measures of the social value of innovations in that field moreover the weighting scheme appears to be nonlinear increasing in the number of citations implying that the informational content of citations rises at the margin as in previous studies simple patent counts are found to be highly correlated with contemporaneous rd however here the association is within afield over time rather than cross sectional

intergenerational hybrids spillbacks spillforwards and adapting to technology discontinuities during technological discontinuities incumbents frequently develop hybrids of competing technical generations although some prior work implies that such intergenerational hybrids may be the result of organizational dysfunction we propose that in some cases hybrids may be sophisticated learning tools that shape organizational adaptation to a technological discontinuity in this paper we suggest two mechanisms through which intergenerational hybrids may affect organizational adaptation spillbacks and spillforwards in an empirical test among the population of automobile carburetor manufacturers during a technological discontinuity we observe that organizations developing intergenerational hybrids capture spillback benefits knowledge spillovers from an emerging technology generation to the current generation furthermore we find that these same organizations also capture spillforwards spillover benefits from developing higher performing intergenerational hybrids that improve their product performance in the future technology generation these results suggest that intergenerational hybrids may be stepping stones for organizations to learn about and adapt to technology discontinuities

implications of the discreteness of observed stock prices stock prices on the organized exchanges are restricted to be divisible by 1 8 therefore the true price usually differs from the observed price this paper examines the biases resulting from the discreteness of observed stock prices it is shown that the natural estimators of the variance and all of the higher order moments of the rate of returns are biased an approximate set of correction factors is derived and a procedure is outlined to show how the correction can be made the natural estimators of the beta and of the variance of the market portfolio on the other hand are nearly unbiased the behavior of stock prices has been an issue of interest to the financial economist for many years this interest resulted in a growing number of empirical studies which attempt to estimate this behavior e g blattberg and gonedes 2 fama 6 fama and roll 7 8 barnea and downes 1 to date stock price behavior is estimated under the assumption that the observed trading price is the true equilibrium price however observed stock prices and stock price changes on the organized exchanges are restricted to multiples of 1 8 of a dollar 1 therefore if the true distribution of stock prices is continuous an observed trading price can be different from the true price this paper examines the biases in estimating the moments of stock price changes caused by the discreteness of observed stock prices the major focus of the paper is in noting this problem providing a model which explains the source of these biases and quantifying their size section i demonstrates that due to the discrete nature of observed stock prices the natural estimators for the variance and for the higher order moments of the rate of returns are biased upward this bias is larger for stocks with lower prices and smaller standard deviation for instance assuming that the standard deviation a is 0 001 the stock price is one dollar the true probability distribution of stock prices is lognormal and the observed prices are as close as possible to the true prices then the natural estimator of r has expectation 0 01400 hence it is biased upward by 1300 significant biases have important implications in option pricing we derive an approximate set of correction factors which can be applied to the

stochastic dominance via quantile regression with applications to investigate arbitrage opportunity and market efficiency abstract tests for stochastic dominance constructed by translating the inference problem of stochastic dominance into parameter restrictions in quantile regressions are proposed they are variants of the one sided kolmogorov smirnoff statistic with a limiting distribution of the standard brownian bridge the procedure to obtain the critical values of our proposed test statistics are provided simulation results show their superior size and power they are applied to the nasdaq 100 and s p 500 indices to investigate dominance relationship before and after major turning points results show no arbitrage opportunity between the bear and bull markets our results infer that markets are inefficient and risk averters are better off investing in the bull rather than the bear market

var as a risk measure for multiperiod static inventory models abstract this paper explores the possibility to use value at risk var in the context of inventory management var is being used more and more in financial management as a natural measure of the risk taken with a given position in the framework of inventory management it can work as well after having built a decision model where the choice concerns the quantity to be ordered to face a random demand in order to optimize the expected result an expected cost to be minimized or an expected profit to be maximized the model explores the probability distribution of the result both via analytical methods and via simulation methods the analytical exploration of this problem has originated a general method to deduce from inequalities for distribution functions which are based on the expected value related tail inequalities which are particularly useful for var problems where only one tail is involved

stocks for the log run and constant relative risk aversion preferences abstract almost stochastic dominance implies that stocks are preferred over bonds in the long run by all preferences with bounded marginal utility unfortunately this analysis excludes the very central constant relative risk aversion crra preferences which have unbounded marginal utility we derive a simple closed form solution for the portfolio choice problem of crra investors which with the empirical parameters implies that stocks are preferred over bonds for all crra investors with relative risk aversion smaller than 3 9 as a by product the analysis offers an alternative derivation of the continuous time capm that does not rely on dynamic programming and allows for ambiguous investment horizons

on the valuation of american call options on stocks with known dividends both the roll and the geske equations for the valuation of the american call option on a stock with known dividends are incorrectly specified this note presents the corrected valuation formula explains the misspecifications and provides a numerical example

theories of risk testing investor behaviour on the taiwan stock and stock index futures markets investor behavior towards risk lies at the heart of economic decision making in general and modern investment theory and practice in particular this paper uses both the mean variance mv criterion and stochastic dominance sd procedures to analyze the preferences for four of the most widely studied investor types in the taiwan stock and stock index futures market we find that risk averters concave utility function prefer spot to futures whereas risk seekers convex utility function prefer futures to spot our findings also show that investors with s shaped utility functions prefer spot futures to futures spot when markets move upward downward finally our results imply that investors with reverse s shaped utility functions prefer futures spot to spot futures when markets move upward downward these results are robust with respect to sub periods spot returns including dividends and diversification although we do not check whether risk averters risk seekers and investors with s shaped and reverse sshaped utility functions actually exist in the market we do show that their existence is plausible the implications of our findings on market efficiency and the existence of arbitrage opportunities are also discussed in this study

patents as options some estimates of the value of holding european patent stocks in many countries holders of patents must pay an annual renewal fee in order to keep their patents in force this paper uses data on the proportion of patents renewed and the renewal fees faced by post world war ii cohorts of patents in france the united kingdom and germany in conjunction with a model of patent holders renewal decisions to estimate the returns earned from holding patents in these countries since patents are often applied for at a nearly stage in the innovation process the model allows agents to be uncertain about the sequence of returns that will be earned if the patent is kept inforce formally then the paper presents and solves a discrete choice optimal stochastic control model derives the implications of the model on aggregate behaviour and then estimates the parameters of the model from aggregate data the estimates enable a detailed description of the evolution of the distribution of returns earned from holding patents over their life spans and calculations of both the annual returns earned from holding the patents still in force or the patent stocks in the alternative countries and the distribution of the discounted value of returns earned from holding the patents in a cohort this abstract was borrowed from another version of this item

managerial commitments and technological change in the us tire industry this paper examines the response of the five largest american producers of automotive tires to a radical technological change the introduction of radial tires many theories attempt to explain firms response to radical technological change the effects of new technologies on economic incentives and on established firm capabilities are the factors highlighted in existing theory the tire producers invested heavily in radial technology despite the expected destruction of manufacturing competencies and the prospect of poor financial returns this paper suggests that an additional factor managerial commitments can also play an important role in shaping firms response to disruptive technology it argues that firms are more likely to adopt commitment enhancing than commitment destroying technologies and are likely to choose paths of implementation that are compatible with existing commitments copyright 1997 by oxford university press

unraveling the process of creative destruction complementary assets and incumbent survival in the typesetter industry when radical technological change transforms an industry established firms sometimes fail drastically and are displaced by new entrants yet other times survive and prosper drawing upon an unusually rich data set that covers the technological and competitive history of the typesetter industry from 1886 to 1990 this paper uses a combination of quantitative and qualitative analysis to unravel this process of creative destruction it argues that the ultimate commercial performance of incumbents vs new entrants is driven by the balance and interaction of three factors investment technical capabilities and appropriability through specialized complementary assets in this industry specialized complementary assets played a crucial role in buffering incumbents from the effects of competence destruction and an analysis that examined investment or technical capabilities in isolation would have led to misleading results this work thus highlights the importance of considering multiple perspectives when examining the competitive implications of technological change 1997 by john wiley sons ltd

the technological origins of radical inventions this paper aims to trace down the origins of radical inventions in spite of many theoretical discussions on the effect of radical inventions the specific nature of radical inventions has received much less attention in the theoretical and empirical literature we try to fill that void by an empirical investigation into the specific origins of radical inventions we explore this issue by a close examination of 157 individual patents which are selected from a pool of more than 300 000 patents in contrast to the conventional wisdom that radical inventions are based less on existing knowledge we find that they are to a higher degree based on existing knowledge than non radical inventions a further result that follows from our analysis is that radical inventions are induced by the recombination over more knowledge domains the combination of knowledge from domains that might usually not be connected seems to deliver more radical inventions

the value of u s patents by owner and patent characteristics abstract this paper uses renewal data to estimate the value of u s patents controlling for patent and owner characteristics estimates of u s patent value are substantially larger than estimates for european patents however the ratio of u s patent value to r d for firms is only about 3 contrary to a common assertion patents issued to small patentees are much less valuable than those issued to large corporations litigated patents are more valuable as are highly cited patents however patent citations explain little variance in value suggesting limits to their use as a measure of patent quality

the slow pace of rapid technological change gradualism and punctuation in technological change discussions of technological change have offered sharply contrasting perspectives of technological change as gradual or incremental and the image of technological change as being rapid even discontinuous these alternative perspectives are bridged using the punctuated equilibrium framework of evolutionary biology using this framework it is argued that the critical event is not a transformation of the technology but speciation the application of existing technology to a new domain of application as a result of the distinct selection criteria and the degree of resource abundance in the new domain a new technological form may emerge the new technological form may be able to penetrate other niches and in particular may precipitate a process of creative destruction and out compete prior technologies this framework is applied to an historical study of wireless communication from the early experimental efforts of hertz to the modern development of wireless telephony

securities analysts and incumbent response to radical technological change evidence from digital photography and internet telephony a large body of research has explored the factors that impede established firms responses to radical technological changes while it is widely acknowledged that managers face pressures from financial markets to choose strategies that maximize shareholder value little work in the technological change literature has considered the possible influences of public equity markets and the securities analysts who mediate them on incumbent firms challenged with technological change in this paper i begin to address the topic by empirically exploring how securities analysts react to the different strategies undertaken by incumbent firms faced with radical technological change i study the question in two settings the shift to digital technology in photography and the advent of voice over internet protocol voip technology in wireline telecommunications i find evidence that analysts are more attentive and positive toward incumbents strategies that extend and preserve the existing technology than toward strategies that respond directly to the new technology in these settings analysts largely ignore incumbents strategies that directly incorporate the new technology for several years following the discontinuity this study provides insights into the nature and direction of analysts reactions to firms strategies in the context of technological change and is a first step toward better understanding of the potential role of analysts and financial markets in incumbent adaptation

option pricing and implicit volatilities abstract this paper demonstrates that black scholes implied volatilities can be used to value options in many situations where the assumptions of the black scholes model are violated including i alternative stock processes ii stochastic interest rates and iii market frictions given its computational simplicity this procedure provides an attractive alternative to the more complex models with a direct estimation procedure

measuring patent s influence on technological evolution a study of knowledge spanning and subsequent inventive activity we introduce technological influence as a variable to measure an invention s direct and indirect impact on the evolution of technology this provides a novel means to study the short and long run effect of invention antecedents on technological evolution invention activity and economic growth a comparison between models of technological influence and direct technological impact is presented model estimations are based on data from semiconductor patents granted over a 5 year period results from quantile regression estimations show significant differences in the relationships between antecedents of technological influence and impact for example pioneering the spanning of knowledge boundaries has a positive relationship with the patent s influence while no relationship is found with direct citations these results have important implications for public policy and the management of technology they suggest the need for deeper understanding of the micro foundations of the technological evolution process and raise the question of whether inventors under current ip protection receive adequate economic incentives to promote actions driving economic growth

standard deviations implied in option prices as predictors of future stock price variability abstract standard deviations implied in option prices have recently been introduced as being better than average predictors of future stock price variability this article specifically studies the predictive ability of implicit standard deviations taking into account the dividend problem and the problem of optimal weighting schemes of the standard deviations when there are several options on the same stock transaction data information was used to study the importance of non simultaneities in observing stock and option prices

market efficiency of oil spot and futures a mean variance and stochastic dominance approach this paper examines the market efficiency of oil spot and futures prices by using both mean variance mv and stochastic dominance sd approaches based on the west texas intermediate crude oil data for the sample period 1989 2008 we find no evidence of any mv and sd relationships between oil spot and futures indices this infers that there is no arbitrage opportunity between these two markets spot and futures do not dominate one another investors are indifferent to investing spot or futures and the spot and futures oil markets are efficient and rational the empirical findings are robust to each sub period before and after the crises for different crises and also to portfolio diversification

can patent family size and composition signal patent value abstractrecent research has proposed a method of patent valuation based on weighting patent family size by the market size of the countries in the family the premise is that inventors tend to seek

making inefficient market indices efficient this paper uses the concept of marginal conditional stochastic dominance and a generalization of the 50 portfolio rule to develop a tractable and parsimonious methodology for constructing a second degree stochastic dominance ssd efficient portfolio from a given inefficient index because the ssd approach considers the entire probability distributions of asset returns the resulting portfolios are efficient with respect to all risk averse utility maximizing investors regardless of the form of their utility functions or the distributions of asset returns

mean risk analysis with enhanced behavioral content abstract we study a mean risk model derived from a behavioral theory of disappointment with multiple reference points one distinguishing feature of the risk measure is that it is based on mutual deviations of outcomes not deviations from a specific target we prove necessary and sufficient conditions for strict first and second order stochastic dominance and show that the model is in addition a convex risk measure the model allows for richer and behaviorally more plausible risk preference patterns than competing models with equal degrees of freedom including expected utility eu mean variance m v mean gini m g and models based on non additive probability weighting such as dual theory dt in asset allocation the model allows a decision maker to abstain from diversifying in a positive expected value risky asset if its performance does not meet a certain threshold and gradually invest beyond this threshold which appears more acceptable than the extreme solutions provided by either eu and m v always diversify or dt and m g always plunge in asset trading the model provides no trade intervals like dt and m g in some but not all situations an illustrative application to portfolio selection is presented the model can provide an improved criterion for mean risk analysis by injecting a new level of behavioral realism and flexibility while maintaining key normative properties

getting competition down to a science the effects of technological competition on firms scientific publications prior research about the interaction between private firms and the scientific community has largely viewed firms articles in scientific publications as a means to improve research and development productivity by encouraging their researchers to publish scientific papers firms can maintain linkages with the scientific community attract talent and access external knowledge on which they can build to create innovations this paper in contrast emphasizes the role of scientific publications in firms battles for market dominance and examines how competitive conditions shape firms propensities to publish scientific articles about their innovations focusing on the context of pharmaceutical drugs we develop propositions about how the competition that one drug faces from similar drugs and potential substitutes influences the innovating firm s inclination to publish articles in the top medical journals about that drug to facilitate its assessment by the u s food and drug administration and the medical community we also propose that scientific articles about competing drugs compel a firm to highlight its own drug in scientific papers to assert the drug s uniqueness and mitigate the threat of substitution whereas prior research has elucidated how science contributes to enhancing firms competence at creating innovations which is critical to their ability to compete in technology intensive environments this paper draws attention to how competition in turn permeates into the scientific arena creating inducements for firms to use scientific publications to position their innovations in the marketplace