tracking distortions in agriculture china and its accession to the world trade organization this article examines the impacts of china s accession to the world trade organization wto on prices in its agricultural sector the analysis uses a new methodology to estimate nominal protection rates in china s agricultural sector before its accession to the wto these new measures account for differences in commodity quality within china and between china and world markets the analysis shows that some of china s agricultural commodities are well above world market prices and others are well below the article also assesses market integration and efficiency in china it finds high degrees of integration between coastal and inland markets and between regional and village markets the remarkable improvements in market performance in recent years mean that if increased imports or exports affect china s domestic price near the border producers throughout most of china will feel the price shifts

are emotions to blame the impact of non analytical information processing on decision making and implications for fostering sustainability policy advice based on a rationalist perspective to foster sustainable behaviour has approached its limits and gaps in the established models are becoming more and more obvious to better understand how unsustainable choices are made and to foster sustainable decision making alternatives to the rationalist models of human decision making need to be investigated such alternative models have already demonstrated their usefulness in other fields than ecological economics the paper begins with a presentation of conventional models of human behaviour as well as their advances and limitations in ecological and behavioural economics in most of these models the dominance of analytical thinking still prevails i identify this as problematic given the evidence for the influence of emotion and intuition in decision making to offer a perspective on human behaviour that acknowledges this influence dual process models are presented established applications of these models are then used to propose four basic types of explanations for unsustainable behaviour based on these explanations preliminary ideas to promote sustainable decision making are developed these ideas are considerably different from policy implications of the established economic model

design for the environment a quality based model for green product development green product development which addresses environmental issues through product design and innovation as opposed to the traditional end of pipe control approach is receiving significant attention from customers industries and governments around the world in this paper we develop a quality based model for analyzing the strategic and policy issues concerning the development of products with conflicting traditional and environmental attributes on the demand side of the problem we use the framework of conjoint analysis to structure the preferences of the ordinary and green customers on the supply side we apply the theories in optimal product design and market segmentation to analyze the producer s strategic decisions regarding the number of products introduced and their prices and qualities on the policy side we evaluate the effects of environmental standards on the economic and environmental consequences of green product development by jointly considering the interactions among the customers preferences the producer s product strategies and the environmental standards imposed by governments we present some interesting findings that can be used to manage and regulate the development of green products two major findings show that green product development and stricter environmental standards might not necessarily benefit the environment

china s sloping land conversion program does expansion equal success this paper uses a 2003 household survey to examine implementation and impacts of china s sloping land conversion program we find that land targeting has been strongly influenced by program goals but that mistargeting also occurred using a treatment effects approach to evaluate program impact we find evidence of positive impact on cropping husbandry and total income though the results are not robust enough to support government claims of huge gains we also find evidence that lack of participant choice could be dampening program impacts and that allowing households autonomy could lead to improvement in program cost effectiveness and outcomes

which factors influence the expansion of bioenergy an empirical study of the investment behaviours of german farmers the german government is planning to increase the share of renewable energy sources in this context it is important to understand the decision making behaviour of farmers regarding investments in renewable energy systems that generate energy from biomass and farmers reactions to investment support measures to study this behaviour we conduct a survey and confront farmers with a hypothetical opportunity to invest in a biogas plant our findings reveal that farmers have heterogeneous investment thresholds their investment decisions are mainly driven by capital costs and the subjective perception of the risk resulting from the investment other decision parameters like sustainability and non monetary objectives that are also examined in this paper play only minor roles however bounded rationality is an important factor moreover the influence of an investment subsidy was analysed only about half of the amount of the subsidy as expected according to normative forecast models is reflected in an increased willingness to invest furthermore farmers who have previously invested in bioenergy plants show lower investment thresholds and have stronger reactions to the subsidy regarding the expansion of renewable energies these findings are meaningful for policy impact analysis

an oligopoly model to analyze the market and social welfare for green manufacturing industry abstract as public concerns on sustainable economic development increase an increasing number of manufactured products have found their environmentally preferable alternatives in this study we propose an oligopoly game theoretical model to analyze the competition between the green and ordinary manufacturing sectors we identify cost efficiency and innovative design as key elements to the survival of green products we also find that the effectiveness of pigouvian tax and subsidy policies depend on product characteristics market structures as well as targeted results our small empirical examples on corolla vs prius and incandescent lamp vs compact fluorescent lamp cfl show that our modeling results are more optimistic than real market statistics we identify pre equilibrium market dynamics consumer bias towards green products and modeling limitations as the main reasons for such differences we also investigate the market competition and total societal welfare in the presence of tax and subsidy policy intervention the study results not only provide guidelines and managerial insights for green producers to understand the underlying factors that determine the competitiveness of green products in the market but also benefit policy makers by quantitatively showing the effectiveness of tax and subsidy policies in promoting green products

alternative models of individual behaviour and implications for environmental policy abstract most insights of environmental economics are in line with the standard neoclassical economic model of rational behaviour formulated in terms of maximization of utility in general or of profits in particular the standard theory of environmental policy is a case in point however the maximization hypothesis and its methodological foundation have been criticized on many grounds related to a lack of either logical or empirical content moreover over the years a great many alternative models of behaviour have been proposed both criticism and alternatives are surveyed here attention is devoted to relevant insights from the philosophy of science the notion of methodological individualism and other criticism the alternative behavioural models include bounded rationality and satisficing lexicographic preferences habitual behaviour incommensurability and multicriteria evaluation and various models of behaviour under uncertainty major implications of the criticism and alternative models of individual behaviour for environmental policy theory are outlined

impacts of climate change on self sufficiency of rice in china a cge model based evidence with alternative regional feedback mechanisms abstract climate change would pose a direct and severe challenge to china s rice production and self sufficiency here we use global trade analysis project gtap model to evaluate the impacts of climate change on the self sufficiency of rice in china due to 2 c rise in temperature and further analyze the impact and transmission mechanisms of climate change through market and trade our simulation method switches different regional mechanisms in the gtap model by employing alternative closures and scenarios our results suggest that the fluctuation in rice price is much larger than that of rice production the active regional feedback mechanism has much larger effects than the passive one in assessing climate change impacts with the passive regional feedback mechanism single regional general equilibrium srge and multi regional general equilibrium with china s shock mrge c china s rice export would decrease by more than 8 and import would increase by over 5 which leads to a decrease in rice self sufficiency by more than 0 06 percentage points with the active regional feedback mechanism multi regional general equilibrium with global shock mrge w climate change will increase china s rice export by 2 7 as rising rice exports to south korea overweight the export decrease to other countries concurrently china s rice import would decrease by 0 04 which leads to a slight increase in rice self sufficiency as a whole climate change will not severely threaten china s rice self sufficiency by the decomposition analysis climate change impacts on china s rice self sufficiency mainly depend on the changes in china s domestic rice production interestingly the source of china s rice import will switch from vietnam to pakistan under mrge w which derives from the input structure of paddy rice and rice sectors in different countries

some neglected social costs of government spending in farm programs economic welfare analyses of farm programs typically assume that the direct social opportunity cost of subsidy payments is one dollar per dollar of government spending recent literature suggests that the marginal opportunity cost of a dollar of u s federal government spending is more likely to be in the range of 1 20 to 1 50 this implies that the net social costs of farm programs that involve government spending are significantly greater than the typical estimates in addition the normative efficiency ranking of alternative policies is sensitive to the marginal opportunity cost of government spending

changes in trade and domestic distortions affecting china s agriculture this paper assesses the implications of china s trade and domestic policies for incentives to producers in china it uses a price comparison methodology nominal rates of assistance at the border and the farmgate with adjustments for exchange rate distortions in the first part of the sample period 1981 1994 on average distortions to agricultural incentives have been reduced in the early 1980s on average china s domestic prices were far below international prices there were substantial variations however between imported which were being protected and exported goods during the 1980s and 1990s the gap between domestic and international prices for both imports and exports narrowed initially mainly due to the elimination of domestic policy distortions between the mid 1990s and 2004 trade liberalization policy furthered narrowed the gap between world and china farmgate prices by the mid 2000s china s agriculture was operating with only small price distortions

a matter of opinion how ecological and neoclassical environmental economists and think about sustainability and economics abstract the differing paradigms of ecological and neoclassical environmental economics have been described in various articles and books and are also embedded in different professional associations however we cannot take for granted that the paradigm debates described in the literature are actually mirrored in exactly the same way in the perceptions and opinions of researchers looking at sustainability from an economic perspective this paper presents empirical results from a german case study on how economists and others involved in sustainability research from different schools of thought think about the issues of sustainability and economics how they group around these issues how they feel about the current scientific divide and what they expect to be future topics of sustainability research we analyze the data using cluster analysis based on a literature survey we generated forty sustainability economics related statements and asked 196 sustainability researchers about their degree of agreement or disagreement with these statements in evaluating our survey results we discuss to what extent the clusters that we identified do or do not represent the two schools of thought of ecological and neoclassical environmental economics we also propose some fields of research that can help to bridge the gaps amongst sustainability economics researchers while clearly marking others that are more suitable for a scientific competition of ideas key results of the study are we identify two primary scientific clusters one clearly confirming the existence of the ecological economics school of thought and the other largely capturing the neoclassical environmental view yet there are some surprising exceptions both schools of thought share a conceptual definition of sustainability that is integrative in considering ecological societal and economic dimensions three pillar concept and is geared at preserving the development potentials of society we also find a shared critique of pure economic growth strategies in our sample these shared opinions may provide bridging concepts between the schools of thought also both clusters agree with respect to a wide range of future fields of sustainability economics research yet the research agenda of the ecological economics cluster contains a large number of additional topics primarily related to social distributional and evolutionary aspects of sustainable development strong divides between the clusters that seem to be more suitable for a scientific competition of ideas are primarily related to the question of how to achieve sustainability including appropriate environmental policies

china s sloping land conversion program institutional innovation or business as usual abstract china s sloping land conversion program slcp is the largest land retirement reforestation program in the developing world having the goal of converting 14 67 million hectares of cropland to forests by 2010 4 4 million of which is on land with slopes greater than 25 and an additional soft goal of afforesting a roughly equal area of wasteland by 2010 pending successful completion it could represent a 10 20 increase in china s national forest area and a 10 decrease in current cultivated area in contrast to china s other forest sector policies slcp uses a public payment scheme that directly engages millions of rural households as core agents of project implementation and has the stated principals of volunteerism thus insofar as current or future de facto program implementation involves decentralized voluntary grassroots participation slcp represents an important departure from business as usual in how china manages its forest resources this work draws upon current available research of the program and uses a 2003 household and village level survey conducted by the center for chinese agricultural policy cas to examine program design implementation and outcomes to date results indicate that significant problems in design and implementation exist with these including shortfalls in subsidies delivered lack of respect of the principals of volunteerism and insufficient technical support and budgeting for local implementation costs more fundamentally some program goals appear to be based on common misperceptions regarding the linkages between forests and watershed services overall slcp contains both innovative elements volunteerism and the direct engagement of farmers as well as components that hark back to policies and mindsets of decades past the program s top down simplified contract structure lack of sufficient consultation with local communities and rural households and campaign style mobilization the paper concludes by providing four main suggestions to improve the program 1 increase local community input in design and implementation and ensure that households have full autonomy in participation choice 2 improve technical support and budgeting for local administrative costs and capacity building 3 clarify the environmental services targeted and verify the measures needed to acquire these services and 4 integrate slcp into an overall package of complementary policies aimed at the rural sector

environmental and distributional impacts of conservation targeting strategies abstract resource purchasing funds have become a major tool for environmental protection and resource conservation these funds use various strategies to target resources for conservation the choice of which may lead to striking differences in environmental performance this paper develops an analytical framework to analyze the impact of alternative targeting strategies on different interest groups including consumers producers labor and environmentalists we show that ignoring the output price effect of purchasing funds reduces environmental gain and in some cases may make a purchasing fund counterproductive and we argue that the optimal design of targeting criteria must consider the price feedback effect

why is there controversy regarding china s staple grain food market integration evidence and implication from price convergent club analysis there remains ongoing controversy regarding the degree to which chinese food markets are integrated some economists conclude that china s grain economy is well integrated while others argue that china s gradual reforms have led to fragmented domestic markets while others conclude that previous studies have produced mixed results to reconcile the debate this article models and analyses the behaviour of china s food grain retail markets by testing for the existence of the convergent price clustering clubs using appropriate econometric methods and price data over 1997 2010 the article finds evidence as to why the controversy remains by identifying a number of small divergent price clustering clubs where it is hard to conclude that china s food grain markets are fully integrated however given that large convergent clustering clubs were also identified it can be concluded that the degree to which chinese grain food retail markets are integrated is high this finding is important for those who plan to

behaviour in commons dilemmas homo economicus and homo psychologicus in an ecological economic model in mainstream economy behaviour is often formalised following the rational actor approach however in real life the behaviour of people is typified by multidimensional optimisation to realise this people engage in cognitive processes such as social comparison imitation and repetitive behaviour habits so as to efficiently use their limited cognitive resources a multi agent simulation program is being developed to study how such micro level processes affect macro level outcomes sixteen agents are placed in a micro world consisting of a lake and a gold mine each agent s task is to satisfy its personal needs by fishing and or mining whereby they find themselves in a commons dilemma facing the risk of resource depletion homo economicus and homo psychologicus are formalised to study the effects of different cognitive processes on the agents behaviour results show that for the h psychologicus the transition from a fishing to a mining society is more complete than for the h economicus moreover introducing diversity in agents abilities causes the h economicus on the average to decrease its time spent working whereas for the h psychologicus we observe an increase in the time spent working these results confirm that macro level indicators of sustainability such as pollution and fish harvest are strongly and predictably affected by behavioural processes at the micro level it is concluded that the incorporation of a micro level perspective on human behaviour within integrated models of the environment yields a better understanding and eventual management of the processes involved in environmental degradation 2000 elsevier science b v all rights reserved

grain for green versus grain conflict between food security and conservation set aside in china summary this paper examines the conflict that may exist between conservation and food security in china policymakers and scholars are debating whether or not conservation set aside programs threaten food security to address the debate we describe china s conservation set aside program known as grain for green and compare it with similar programs outside of china we then use data that we collected to measure the production and price impacts of the program on china s grain economy since 1999 our simulations find that grain for green has only a small effect on china s grain production and almost no effect on prices or food imports

volunteer and satisfied rural households participation in a payments for environmental services programme in inner mongolia using survey data from inner mongolia this paper explores the role of stakeholder engagement in the implementation of the sloping land conversion programme a payments for environmental services pes programme designed to restore forest in degraded land based on the idea that volunteerism and satisfaction with the programme s outcome are two important components of the programme s viability we successively analyse the intensity of households participation in the programme and their reported satisfaction with its economic achievement which we relate to their stated volunteerism we show that households participation intensity in the slcp is primarily driven by land and location characteristics and that these findings hold true whether or not the households voluntarily enrolled in the programme moreover as far as participants satisfaction can be interpreted as an indicator of potential long term support for the programme our findings also support plausible sustainability for the programme

feeding and fueling china in the 21st century abstract this paper addresses the questions to what extent will china become a significant net importer of food and fuel in the foreseeable future and what will be the impact of that import demand growth on international markets it first summarizes what standard trade and development economics and the experiences of other asian economies suggest we should expect of china and then examines china s experience to date before turning to some forecasts for the next decade or so our review suggests that before long china will become a significant net importer of both food and fuels especially petroleum contrary to chinese fears however becoming more interdependent with the rest of the world need not be threatening and it may even offer more supply security for china in the long run

migration and the sending economy a disaggregated rural economy wide analysis abstract most economic research on migration impacts focuses on the households that send the migrants and get the remittances ignoring linkages with others in the sending economies this paper offers an alternative disaggregated economy wide perspective on migration and its impacts data from the 2003 mexico national rural household survey are used to calibrate a series of interacting rural household models nested within a general equilibrium model of the whole rural economy simulations reveal that the impacts of international migration and remittances on sending areas depend critically on the ways in which local markets transmit influences among households

irrigation agricultural performance and poverty reduction in china the overall goal of our paper is to understand the impact that irrigation in china has had on grain production and incomes in general and income and poverty alleviation in poor areas in particular the paper seeks to meet three objectives first we describe the relationship among irrigation status yields and household crop revenue second we seek to understand the magnitude and nature of the effect that irrigation has on yields and crop revenue finally we seek to understand the impact that irrigation has on incomes in poor areas our analysis shows that irrigation contributes to increases in yields for almost all crops and in income for farmers in all areas the importance of crop income in poor areas and the strong relationship between crop revenue and irrigation provides evidence of the importance of irrigation in past and future poverty alleviation in china we also show that in the majority of the villages that invested in new irrigation returns are positive even after accounting for increases in capital and production costs 2005 elsevier ltd all rights reserved

teaching un sustainability university sustainability commitments and student experiences of introductory economics the three largest public universities in british columbia canada have signed the talloires declaration committing themselves to promoting sustainability and creating expectations that they will integrate sustainability across the curriculum in order to improve students environmental literacy and stewardship about 40 of north american university students take a mainstream introductory economics course few of these students take economics at more advanced levels as such introductory economics courses are an important vehicle for students to learn economic theory they have the potential to contribute to the knowledge that students can mobilize to foster sustainability interviews were held with 54 students who had recently completed an introductory level mainstream economics course at one of the three universities students reported that introductory economics courses place little emphasis on the environment and sustainability they recalled course content with normative connotations that are problematic from a sustainability perspective and they described how discussion of the limitations of mainstream theory was set aside student reports of the insights introductory economics offers into environmental problems imply that these courses are failing to substantively increase students understanding of sustainability and linkages between the environment and the economy findings suggest that current introductory economics curriculum undermines the universities sustainability commitments

prioritizing payment for environmental services using nonmarket benefits and costs for optimal selection abstract this article provides a practical applied analysis of optimal targeting in agricultural land preservation comparing the performance of four alternative targeting strategies nonmarket benefit data and hedonic cost estimates are used for parcels in sussex county delaware the results show that branch and bound optimization opt does not significantly outperform the much simpler benefit cost ratio targeting bcrt however significant losses of potential net benefits occur when applied methods overlook either benefits or costs in this application benefit targeting bt and cost targeting ct significantly underperform both opt and bcrt with bt underperforming all other methods

are green products over priced this article investigates conditions under which high prices in conjunction with low levels of pollution signal environmentally clean products it is shown that when consumers cannot ascertain the environmental performance of products the price must be distorted upward to signal a clean product a clean producer saves less from emitting pollution and so raises price and restricts output with less reluctance than does a dirty producer the theoretical result of over pricing is consistent with the evidence that green products receive higher prices than conventional products however optimistic prior beliefs of high environmental performance may cause signaling to fail

incremental reform and distortions in china s product and factor markets the purpose of economic reform is to reduce distortions and enhance efficiency however when reforms are partial and incremental individuals and local governments are often able to capture the rent inherent in the gradual transition process young 2000 warned that such rent seeking behavior might lead to increasing market fragmentation empirical studies have shown the opposite in the product market this article argues that as the rent from china s product market has been squeezed out due to deepening reforms rent seeking behavior may have shifted to the capital market further reforms are needed in the capital market to squeeze out these rent seeking opportunities just as those from the product and labor markets were squeezed out earlier

the sufficiency strategy would rich world frugality lower environmental impact abstract one alleged weapon against unsustainable environmental impact is for the wealthy to consume less this sufficiency strategy is to complement the efficiency strategy of lowering ratios of resource inputs to economic outputs the former would reduce the affluence factor in i pat the latter the technology factor that the latter strategy suffers from a consumption rebound is widely recognized this paper identifies a similar rebound when the affluence factor is autonomously lowered the lower initial demand lowers prices which in turn stimulates new demand by others the strategy moreover addresses only the rich raising questions of its theoretical maximum efficacy its proponents usually conflate frugality with the north south dichotomy and intra generational with inter generational equity moreover there are difficulties with the supporting arguments that frugality is good for one s own sake as well as for the environment and that the rich should lead the way to living more lightly personal behaviour change is furthermore not a substitute for international political efforts finally since all changes in right side factors of the i pat equation change other right side factors such indirect attacks on impact should be abandoned in favor of supply and emissions quotas

the spillover effects of biofuel policy on participation in the conservation reserve program abstract this paper studies the spillover effects of rising biofuel production on participation in the conservation reserve program landowner participation decisions are modeled using a real options framework we develop a land use decision model that captures biofuel driven structural changes in market demand and derive threshold conditions that trigger participation in the program we then quantify the impacts of biofuel production on participation at both the national and state levels using monte carlo simulations the model is also used to analyze how changes in the persistence of the biofuel production boom and in the volatility of farming returns affect conservation participation decisions policy implications of the results are discussed

efficiency equity tradeoffs in targeting payments for ecosystem services this article develops an analytic framework to analyze the tradeoff between economic efficiency and distributional equity in targeting payments for ecosystem services pes it also proposes an empirical procedure to trace out the efficiency equity frontier where the program is pareto optimal in the sense that it cannot be improved upon to achieve either higher efficiency or distributional equity without compromising the other we apply the procedure to the conservation reserve program crp the largest pes program in u s history to analyze a whether it is possible to improve both the efficiency and the distributional equity of the program and b what the choice made by crp administrators implies about the political economic balance results reveal that a crp administrators forfeited about 9 of efficiency for an 18 23 improvement in distributional equity depending on the equity indicator used in the eighteenth signup of the crp b reducing the maximum allowable rental rate for all contracts would improve efficiency at the cost of distributional equity c reducing the maximum county enrollment cap would reduce efficiency without generating much improvement in distributional equity and d the crp targeting criterion could be redesigned to achieve both higher efficiency and higher distributional equity

evolutionary psychology in ecological economics consilience consumption and contentment abstract this paper makes the case that if ecological economics seeks consilience with biology it must acquaint itself with evolutionary theories about social development and human behaviour the author reviews some of the literature in this area particular attention is paid to the newly emerging discipline of evolutionary psychology which sets out a neo darwinian view of human nature in which individual and social behaviour is dominated by the evolutionary strategies of the selfish gene the paper discusses the relevance of this perspective for two specific problem areas in ecological economics the first of these is the question of consumption and consumer behaviour the second is the problem of mismatch between the pursuit of economic growth and social well being or contentment these examples illustrate that evolutionary psychology may sometimes provide a natural ally for ecological economics in particular pointing up certain failures of conventional economics on the other hand it also offers harsh lessons concerning the difficulty of changing evolved behaviour patterns the paper suggests three possible avenues of response by ecological economists to the insights of evolutionary psychology

environmental valuation and rationality economic valuation of the envi structuring the empirical model or adding ronment is disputed in part due to the number auxiliary hypotheses the presumption is of anomalies reactions to these anomalies have that consistent preferences are there just included adding new auxiliary hypotheses to the to be uncovered thus errors are mea core model or dismissing the whole undertaking surement this paper takes a third route and uses observa biases to be corrected by retions made in valuation studies to improve choice fined methods mitchell and carson theory the paper covers the information prob 1989 certainly many studies can be critlem the issue of preference formation and under icized for being of low quality still the lines the role of the social sphere in defining what development of concepts like starting becomes individually rational while the findings point bias posit ion bias question ormay not simplify theory they may help us be der bias yea saying protest bids come more realistic and to understand errors pro and part whole bias all seem very ad duced by illegitimate simplifications

values ideology and politics in ecological economics abstract ecological economics is built on a value commitment to study environmental issues and to contribute constructively to a more sustainable development path however many ecological economists still hesitate it appears to depart too much from other scholars by openly addressing issues of values and ideology in this essay the role of the scholar s orientation with respect to values and ideology is addressed it is observed that not only scholars but also actors in society are guided by their ideological orientation this leads to the idea that some of the weaknesses of economic man and profit maximising firm assumptions can be mitigated by introducing a political economic person and a political economic organisation

economics and identity this paper considers how identity a person s sense of self affects economic outcomes we incorporate the psychology and sociology of identity into an economic model of behavior in the utility function we propose identity is associated with different social categories and how people in these categories should behave we then construct a simple game theoretic model showing how identity can affect individual interactions the paper adapts these models to gender discrimination in the workplace the economics of poverty and social exclusion and the household division of labor in each case the inclusion of identity substantively changes conclusions of previous economic analysis

opening of china s trade labour market reform and impact on rural wages government policy in china supports urban wages at the expense of returns to farm labour a model is developed to estimate how wto accession and complementary labour market reform will influence factor returns in china with wto membership a larger cut in manufacturing tariffs compared to agriculture will improve agriculture s terms of trade and will raise the agricultural wage complementary labour market reforms will further boost farm wages as labour exits agriculture in large numbers we estimate that wto membership and complementary labour market reforms will result in a decline in the agricultural labour force by about 25 per cent

beyond homo economicus evidence from experimental economics environmental policies are generally based on a model of the human actor taken from neoclassical economic theory this paper reports on laboratory experiments suggesting weaknesses in this model and describes alternative models correcting these weaknesses one finding is that economic actors tend to be hyperbolic as opposed to exponential discounters who discount the immediate future at a higher rate than the more distant future another finding is that economic actors are not self regarding but rather in many circumstances are strong reciprocators who come to strategic interactions with a propensity to cooperate respond to cooperative behavior by maintaining or increasing cooperation and respond to free riders by retaliating against the offenders even at a personal cost and even when there is no reasonable expectation that future personal gains will flow from such retaliation we discuss some implications for policy analysis 2000 elsevier science b v all rights reserved

bounded rationality in contingent valuation empirical evidence using cognitive psychology abstract survey based valuation techniques like the contingent valuation method cvm rely particularly on the premise of respondents rationality when answering willingness to pay wtp questions results of cvm surveys have repeatedly put this fundamental assumption into question this study adopts a more realistic view of rationality accounting for respondents limited capacities to process information based on cognitive psychology a technique to detect and analyze the bounds of rationality inherent in wtp statements is developed using an empirical example the influence of bounded rationality on the validity of cvm results is analyzed it is shown that individual differences in information processing play a major role for the validity of cvm responses the results allow new insights into response behavior in dichotomous choice versus payment card elicitation formats from the results of this study recommendations for future survey designs taking into account respondents different information processing modes are developed

success and failure of reform insights from the transition of agriculture this paper analyzes the linkages between the reform strategies in transition countries and economic performance the authors focus on agriculture because of the sharpness of the policy changes fundamental differences among countries and relative simplicity of agricultural relationships the authors document post reform performance in the transition countries of asia and europe the authors show how a pricing reform and subsidy reductions b land rights reform and policies that affect farm restructuring and c the presence institutions that facilitate exchange either markets or market substitutes affect output and productivity the paper ends with general lessons on reforms and transition

will the biosafety protocol hinder or protect the developing world learning from china s experience abstract uncertainties about the effect of biosafety protocol bsp on global agricultural trade have caused concern among those with a stake in agrifood imports and exports the primary goal of this paper is to analyze the potential economic impacts of the bsp on both importing countries with a specific emphasis on china and exporting countries of soybean and maize the results show that in absolute terms the bsp will require large investments internationally and will induce compliance costs the bsp will increase the international price and domestic production in importing countries and lower international trade and domestic production in the exporting countries in absolute terms the impacts are large amounting for each commodity into the tens of millions of dollars and varying largely among different scenarios but in the percentage the impacts are small much smaller impacts are found in china because china has already invested in a system that provides almost all of the services that could be required by the bsp other developing nations may need more help and that it will be more costly

emotional arousal as a source of bounded rationality abstract this paper proposes an alternative psychological explanation for bounded rationality according to herbert simon bounded rationality arises from human cognitive limitations following the suggestion of institutional economist john r commons i argue that extremes in emotional arousal also contribute to bounded rationality this idea is formalized and developed using the yerkes dodson law from psychology examples from the popular press and the academic literatures of law management and economics are presented to illustrate the impact of this type of bounded rationality on human behavior

how sustainable are sustainable development programs the case of the sloping land conversion program in china summary this paper undertakes a comprehensive assessment of the long run sustainability of one of the world s largest sustainable development programs the slopping land conversion program slcp in china under different plausible post slcp scenarios the analysis is based on farmer contingent behavior post program land and labor decisions as well as choice experiment data our econometric results highlight the main obstacles to the program s sustainability which include specific shortfalls in program implementation and certain institutional constraints namely tenure insecurity and poor land renting rights the use of a choice experiment also reveals unique evidence on rural households preferences over tenure reform in china

the evolution of preferences why sovereign preferences may not lead to sustainable policies and what to do about it abstract the conventional economic paradigm assumes that tastes and preferences are exogenous to the economic system and that the economic problem consists of optimally satisfying those preferences tastes and preferences usually do not change rapidly and in the short term this assumption makes sense sustainability is an inherently long term problem and in the long run it does not make sense to assume tastes and preferences are fixed and given if preferences are expected to change over time and under the influence of education advertising changing cultural assumptions etc the old assumption of consumer sovereignty is not adequate different criteria of optimality are needed how preferences change how they relate to the goal of sustainability and how they can or should be actively influenced to satisfy the new criteria needs to be determined ecological economics has emphasized the three rank ordered goals of ecological sustainability fair distribution and allocative efficiency this paper examines how preferences evolve and change over time and the implications of this for developing policies that meet these three goals in democratic societies

china s regional agricultural productivity growth in 1985 2007 a multilateral comparison1 in this study we estimate total factor productivity tfp growth as well as multilateral tfp index for 25 contiguous china provinces over the 1985 2007 period agricultural output growth for each province was decomposed into tfp growth and input growth where input growth was further disaggregated into contributions from growth of labor capital land and intermediate goods over the study period tfp growth contributed 2 7 percentage points to output growth annually which was slightly higher than the input growth contribution of 2 4 percentage points per annum on average the annual rate of productivity growth peaked during 1996 2000 at 5 1 it slowed in 2000 2005 to a rate of 3 2 per annum and declined in the most recent years 2005 2007 to 3 7 differences in productivity among regions persisted over the entire period the tendency toward faster tfp growth in relatively well off coastal regions may imply a widening of regional inequality

tax subsidy policies in the presence of environmentally aware consumers abstract we study policy measures to improve environmental quality in the presence of environmentally aware consumers we consider two sets of policy instruments uniform policies for the firms and policies that discriminate between the firms based on their environmental quality for the latter set either the better performer is rewarded with a subsidy or the worse performer is punished with a tax we find that while a uniform subsidy policy improves average environmental quality a uniform tax policy worsens it further while a discriminatory subsidy policy reduces total pollution and enhances aggregate welfare a discriminatory tax policy may increase total pollution and may reduce aggregate welfare

analysing decision behaviour in stated preference surveys a consumer psychological approach this paper applies a typology adapted from the consumer psychology literature to a contingent valuation method cvm survey we argue that the typology is helpful as a way of identifying responses that contain useful information on preferences for the environmental good in question relative to those which are unlikely to contain such information applying this framework to a cvm study of agri environmental payments in germany we find that some 90 of responses are preference revealing this distribution changes when the framing of the good is changed the typology may be of most use during the design stage of future cvm studies since it enables researchers to increase the fraction of responses that are useful

hotelling s theory enhancement and the taking of the redwood national park we estimate a reduced form model of the redwood timber industry that is consistent with hotelling s exhaustible resource theory the consequences for this theory of various assumptions about the elasticity of expectations are derived the estimated equations are used to test the hypotheses about expectations we also use these equations to find the amount that owners of redwood not taken for the redwood national park benefited from the park s establishment

the economics of a public fund for environmental amenities a study of crp contracts the problem of targeting crp purchases to buy environmental amenities under productivity and environmental heterogeneity is considered gini coefficients and lorenz curves are used to measure the effectiveness of spending under alternative targeting criteria the environmental benefits considered are water erosion wind erosion surface water quality and wildlife habitat the three alternative targeting criteria examined include purchasing land according to i the benefit to cost ratio ii the level of benefits and iii the level of cost results indicate that the degree of variability and correlation determine the extent to which suboptimal targeting achieves a significant portion of available environmental benefits

interactions between agricultural and environmental policies a conceptual framework agricultural policy has a well documented impact on farmers production decisions and those decisions land water and agricultural chemical use may in turn affect the environment there is a public perception that existing agricultural policies are linked to agricultural pollution as exemplified by the conclusions of the recent national research council report alternative agriculture 1989 there is only limited theoretical or empirical research addressing these linkages however this paper develops a conceptual framework that can be used to analyze the interactions between agricultural and environmental policies and pollution this framework integrates physical and economic models at a disaggregate level necessary to capture the heterogeneity of the physical environment and the economic behavior of farmers following e hochman and d zilberman 1978 the disaggregate units can be statistically aggregated to a level useful for policy analysis agricultural and environmental policies can be categorized according to their effects on the intensive and extensive margins combining the different policy instruments with the microeconomic heterogeneity we find that existing agricultural and environmental policies can have either positive or negative effects of nonpoint source pollution to infer an aggregate effect requires data that do not currently exist our framework provides a basis for empirical investigations of these effects given adequate data moreover we find that agricultural policy instruments can be used to mitigate pollution if used appropriately

a novel power market clearing model based on the equilibrium principle in microeconomics abstract clean energy dominant and electricity centric is the inevitable trend of the future energy development electric power industry has entered into an increasingly competitive era in recent years due to the deregulation of power systems however power market should not be fully competitive and need to be regulated strictly to satisfy the safe and reliable operation of power systems base on the market equilibrium principle in microeconomics a novel power market clearing model with limited competition was put forward in which the limited competition power satisfies the power flow adjustment and the network losses distribution further the free transaction ratio which can be regarded as the measurement of the degree of power market deregulation was analyzed according to the formulated market clearing model finally three case studies were made on the ieee 30 test system to verify the practicality and efficiency of the method the results show that different transaction ratio has significant influence on the operation of power systems and the optimal transaction ratio can be determined