a review of the recent empirical literature on displaced workers this article reviews the empirical literature on job displacement job displacement is widespread and strongly countercyclical tending to peak during economic downturns but concentrated in indus

learning and wage dynamics we develop a dynamic model of learning about worker ability in a competitive labor market the model produces three testable implications regarding wage dynamics 1 although the role of schooling in the labor market s inference process declines as performance observations accumulate the estimated effect of schooling on the level of wages is independent of labor market experience 2 timeinvariant variables correlated with ability but unobserved by employers such as certain test scores are increasingly correlated with wages as experience increases and 3 wage residuals are a martingale we present evidence from the nlsy that is broadly consistent with the model s predictions

capital utilization economies of scale and technical change in the growth of total factor productivity an explanation of south korean manufacturing growth abstract this paper presents a method of interpreting the growth of total factor productivity directly linking the productivity growth to key parameters of a specific cost function it shows that the productivity index can be decomposed into effects due to a technical change b non constant returns to scale and c change in capital utilization the decomposition framework was applied to data on south korean manufacturing during the 1961 1980 period in south korean manufacturing the total factor productivity was found to have grown at 3 per annum scale economies contributed about 38 of the growth of tfp the technical change 45 and the change in the capital utilization rate 17 the results of this study support of the view that for growing less developed economies the growth in capital utilization rate is a source of growth in total productivity that is too significant to be ignored

economic growth and productivity a case study of south korea the economic performance that south korea has achieved over the past quarter century is often likened to a miracle recently much interest has been expressed in the driving forces behind the korean economic transformation using the valueadded measure of output christiansen and cummings have shown that technology measured by tfp accounts for about 43 of korean economic growth between 1960 and 1973 this figure is considerably high compared with recent major studies on japanese and singaporean economic growth we found that the value added framework is not appropriate for the description of the structure of the korean economy and re examined the sources of korean economic growth using the gross output framework surprisingly it has been discovered that only 7 of real output growth in the manufacturing sector during the 1962 1981 period is attributable to technological progress these findings parallel those for the japanese and singapore economies

the long term costs of job displacement for young adult workers using nlsy data the authors estimate the long term costs of job displacement for young adults earnings and wage losses were large for the first three years following displacement compared to earnings losses found by other studies for more mature workers however earnings losses for these young adults were short lived with differences between observed and expected earnings narrowing considerably five years after job loss at that point the shortfall in annual earnings relative to what would have been expected absent job loss was 9 for men and 12 5 for women and the shortfall in hourly wages was 21 2 for men young workers also apparently differ from more established workers in the composition of total earnings losses for older workers total losses largely represent actual immediate earnings losses whereas for young workers the loss of opportunities for rapid earnings growth is more important

the role of market forces in assuring contractual performance the conditions under which transactors can use the market repeat purchase mechanism of contract enforcement are examined increased price is shown to be a means of assuring contractual performance a necessary and sufficient condition for performance is the existence of price sufficiently above salvageable production costs so that the nonperforming firm loses a discounted steam of rents on future sales which is greater than the wealth increase from nonperformance this will generally imply a market price greater than the perfectly competitive price and rationalize investments in firm specific assets advertising investments thereby become a positive indicator of likely performance

collective marketing arrangements for geographically differentiated agricultural products welfare impacts and policy implications this paper examines the incentive of atomistic agricultural producers within a specific geographical region to differentiate and collectively market products we develop a model that allows us to analyze the market and welfare effects of the main types of real world producer organizations using it to derive economic insights regarding the circumstances under which these organizations will evolve and describing implications of the results obtained in the context of an ongoing debate between the european union and united states as the anticipated fixed costs of development and marketing increase and the anticipated size of the market falls it becomes essential to increase the ability of the producer organization to control supply in order to ensure the coverage of fixed costs whenever a collective organization allows a market with a new product to exist that otherwise would not have existed there is an increase in societal welfare counterintuitively stronger property right protection for producer organizations may be welfare enhancing even after a differentiated product has been developed the reason for this somewhat paradoxical result is that legislation aimed at curtailing the market power of producer organizations may induce large technological distortions

job displacement relative wage changes and duration of unemployment using special cps data on displaced workers this article investigates the wage consequences of job displacement in a framework that emphasizes the effects of past job duration s and unemployment duration s on postdisplacement wages our model also attempts to take account of the simultaneity between unemployment duration and the postdisplacement wage it is found that duration strongly reduces subsequent earnings and that considerable overstatement of the loss in firm specific training investments is implied by conventional routes to measuring wage losses

assessing the resource base of japanese and u s auto producers a stochastic frontier production function approach the resource based view of the firm has become an important conceptual framework in strategic management but has been widely criticized for lack of an empirical base to address this deficit we utilize a new method for identifying interfirm differences in efficiency within the context of stochastic frontier production functions using data on japanese and u s automobile manufacturers we develop measures of resources and capabilities and test for linkages with firm performance the results show the influence of manufacturing proficiency and scale economies at the firm and plant level we apply the parameter estimates to account for toyota s superior efficiency relative to other producers

klem substitutability a dynamic flexible demand system 1990 klem substitutability a dynamic flexible demand system applied economics vol 22 no 2 pp 275 283

worker mobility in a search model with adverse selection we analyze the effects of adverse selection on worker turnover and wage dynamics in a frictional labor market we consider a model of on the job search where firms offer promotion wage contracts to workers of different abilities which is unknown to firms at the hiring stage with sufficiently strong information frictions low wage firms offer separating contracts and hire all types of workers in equilibrium whereas high wage firms offer pooling contracts promoting high ability workers only low ability workers have higher turnover rates and are more often employed in low wage firms the model replicates the negative relationship between job to job transitions and wages observed in the u s labor market

consumer welfare and gm food labeling a simulation using an adjusted kumaraswamy distribution genetically modified gm food products and their labeling have become a major policy issue with impassioned public debates we explore the impact of different labeling regimes on consumer attitudes towards gm products and consumer welfare our experimental results illustrate that these consumer attitudes do not follow the uniform distribution as has often been assumed in the literature but instead fit an adjusted kumaraswamy distribution if a uniform distribution is assumed the advantage of mandatory labeling would be exaggerated using an adjusted kumaraswamy distribution our simulation results demonstrate that voluntary labeling is superior to mandatory labeling with the higher separation cost while mandatory labeling is not necessarily better with lower separation cost therefore the governments of china and other countries with similar consumer characteristics should consider voluntary labeling for gm food while encouraging innovations that reduce the price of gm food as well as controlling the opportunistic behavior of its producers so as to enhance the advantage of voluntary labeling

choosing a control group for displaced workers the vast majority of studies on the earnings of displaced workers use a control group of continuously employed workers to examine the effects of initial displacements this approach implies long lived earnings reductions following displacement even if these effects are not persistent overstating the losses relative to the true average treatment effect this paper s approach isolates the impact of an average displacement without imposing continuous employment on the control group in a comparison of the standard and alternative approaches using psid data the estimated long run earnings losses fall dramatically from 25 percent to 5 percent model simulations reinforce these empirical findings

long term effects of a recession at labor market entry in japan and the united states abstract we examine effects of entering the labor market during a recession on subsequent employment and earnings for japanese and american men using comparable household labor force surveys we find persistent negative effects of the unemployment rate at graduation for less educated japanese men in contrast to temporary effects for less educated american men the school based hiring system and the dismissal regulation prolong the initial loss of employment opportunities for less educated japanese men the effect on earnings for more educated groups is also stronger in japan although the difference between the two countries is smaller than for less educated groups

the risk and cost of job loss in canada 1978 2008 we assess the risk and cost of worker displacement in canada over the last three decades we show that neither the risk of job loss nor the short term earnings losses of displaced workers trended upwards during that period however short term earnings losses of workers displaced from manufacturing increased in recent years as a smaller proportion found a post displacement job in that sector in line with stevens 1997 and couch and placzek 2010 we find that high seniority workers and individuals with stable labour market attachment experienced five years after displacement earnings losses that ranged between 10 and 18 le risque et le cout d une perte d emploi au canada 1978 2008 on evalue le risque et le cout d un deplacement de travailleur au canada au cours des trois dernieres decennies on montre que ni le risque d une perte d emploi ni les gains perdus a court terme par les travailleurs deplaces n ont eu une tendance a la hausse au cours de cette periode cependant les pertes de gains a court terme des travailleurs deplaces dans le secteur manufacturier ont augmente au cours des annees recentes alors qu une proportion plus faible de ces deplaces ont retrouve un emploi dans ce secteur en coherence avec les resultats de stevens 1997 et de couch et placzek 2010 on decouvre que les travailleurs avec beaucoup de seniorite et les personnes avec un attachement stable au marche du travail ont enregistre cinq ans apres un deplacement des pertes de gains de l ordre de 10 a 18

convergence scale and the relative productivity performance of canadian us manufacturing industries this research is a comparative investigation of productivity performance within the manufacturing sectors of canada and the united states labour and multifactor productivity levels and growth rates are measured and analysed for an exhaustive sample of two digit level manufacturing industries an aggregate analysis is conducted by grouping industries in accordance with their degree of capital intensity the findings generally suggest that productivity in canadian manufacturing industries initially converged upon but has more recently diverged from those level displayed by their us counterparts an empirical analysis focuses on the convergence hypothesis and scale effects in explaining differences in measured productivity growth rates

measurement methods for technological change embodied in inputs abstract this paper shows how unmeasured quality change embodied in purchased materials input may be estimated as part of a cost function model the methods presented simultaneously incorporate quality adjusted price and quantity of the materials input into the model

earnings losses of displaced workers revisited recent literature reviews conclude that job displacement results in sustained earnings losses bruce c fallick 1996 lori g kletzer 1998 and that estimates of the size of those reductions vary with the type of data used in the analysis the industry within which displacement occurs and business cycle conditions the largest estimated losses were obtained using administrative data from pennsylvania during the 1970s and 1980s louis s jacobson robert j lalonde and daniel g sullivan 1993a the data covered a period of high unemployment in a heavily indus trialized state characterized by disproportionate job losses in manufacturing thus the ability to generalize those results to more favorable economic times and states with a greater reliance on service sector employment has been questioned to address these issues administrative data are used to similarly examine the impact of job displacement on earnings losses of workers in connecticut from 1993 to 2004 the work of jacobson lalonde and sullivan jls also provided important methodologi cal advancement by adapting analytical techniques developed for program evaluation james j heckman and v joseph hotz 1989 to the context of job displacement the same techniques fixed effects and time trend estimators as those used in the original jls publication are initially employed here then the methods are extended to include matching estimators developed since their publication both nearest neighbor estimators of average treatment on the treated att and differenced average treatment on the treated datt are adapted to the context of this study heckman hidehiko ichimura and petra todd 1997 heckman et al 1998 and rajeev h dehejia and sadek wahba 1999 2002 the results presented here for connecticut differ in some ways from those found in the work of jls using data from pennsylvania in the period immediately following job loss regardless of the technique employed earnings reductions for workers displaced through mass layoff range from 32 percent to 33 percent jls reported immediate losses of more than 40 percent six years later using the same estimators as jls earnings reductions in connecticut range from 13 percent to 15 percent they report sustained losses in pennsylvania of 25 percent the smaller long term impacts in connecticut demonstrate that under more ordinary economic times esti mated losses from administrative data lie within the range observed using other data sources this finding resolves a long standing conflict among the results of high quality studies that have used differing data sources to study earnings reductions following job loss 1 using two different matching estimators earnings losses six years after mass layoff are 12 percent the matching estimators compare those who experienced mass layoff to compari sons with the same ex ante probability of the event these smaller losses are consistent with the

r d production structure and rates of return in the u s japanese and german manufacturing sectors a non separable dynamic factor demand model abstract the focus of this paper is an analysis of the production structure the demand for factor inputs and the rates of return in the manufacturing sector of three major industrialized countries the united states japan and germany the analysis is based on a dynamic factor demand model with two variable inputs labor and materials and two quasi fixed inputs capital and rd also for all countries the speed of adjustment for capital is found to be higher than that for r d

job displacement s long run effect on access to employer provided health insurance and other fringe benefits abstract this paper investigates the effect of job displacement on access to employer provided fringe benefits we find that displacement is associated with lost access to all seven employer provided benefits investigated these losses increase the cost of displacement by 10 per year

how should food safety certification be financed an analytical framework where consumers are imperfectly informed about the safety of products is used to investigate the welfare effects of a public certification system several certification fees under alternative structures of certification cost are analyzed by maintaining competition among numerous sellers voluntary certification financed by a per unit fee is efficient and sufficient to signal product safety however mandatory certification linked with a fixed user fee may be necessary if a seller wields monopoly power further certification by a single private agency results in a distorted fee copyright 2001 oxford university press

scar effects of unemployment an assessment of institutional complementarities this article uses panel data from the survey of income and program participation sipp and the european community household panel echp for a comparative analysis of workers post unemployment earnings trajectories in the united states and 12 western european countries across the study sample of industrialized countries results of difference in difference propensity score matching show post unemployment earnings losses to be largely permanent and particularly significant for high wage and older workers as well as for women the analyses also show that negative effects of unemployment on workers subsequent earnings are mitigated through either generous unemployment benefit systems or strict labor market regulation these effects stem partly from favorable behavioral responses that prevent downward occupational and industrial mobility and partly from changes in the overall structure of labor markets favoring the transferability of worker skills between jobs these positive effects materialize despite t

input measurement and productivity growth in japanese and u s manufacturing in their article in this review j r norsworthy and david h malmquist 1983 have presented interesting comparisons of productivity growth in the japanese and u s manufacturing sectors their paper starts with the discussion of whether the conventional value added or gnp measurement of output is an appropriate framework for productivity analysis some confusion frequently arises as to whether a production function should be structured on the basis of gross output or value added output separability is a pivotal concept in the analysis of production structures especially in relation to the existence of a real value added aggregate it is well known that there are two types of separability which pertain to the existence of a real value added function weak local separability and strong partial separability the practical advantage of distinguishing these two different forms of separability is that the double deflation method in conventional gnp accounting is justified only when strong partial separability holds using the approximate separability tests of michael denny and melvyn fuss 1977 norsworthy and malmquist have shown that a value added aggregate does not exist in either u s or japanese manufacturing and they conclude that the appropriate output measure for joint investigation of both countries for purposes of productivity analysis is gross output p 953 the purpose of this comment is to indicate some deficiencies in norsworthy and malmquist s analysis in particular it will be demonstrated that the conditions for weak local and strong partial separability in norsworthy and malmquist s paper are incorrectly formulated and as a consequence their findings may not be used as conclusive evidence that a gross output measure is an appropriate basis for the analysis of capital labor substitutability and productivity growth in japan and the united states

pleasures of cockaigne quality gaps market structure and the amount of grading the article explores under what circumstances high quality producers would not voluntarily submit to grading when low quality firms would readily do so and under what conditions high quality firms would have a lesser proportion of their output graded than would their low quality counterparts it also investigates how market structure affects the decison to grade establishing that a competitive industry carries out the optimal amount of grading when some firms have finite market shares the industry engages in excessive grading

how destructive is creative destruction effects of job loss on job mobility withdrawal and income we analyze short and long term effects of worker displacement our sample consists of male workers displaced from norwegian manufacturing plants we find that displacement increases the probability of leaving the labor force by 31 the drop out rate from the labor force is particularly high in the first years following displacement the average earnings effects for those who remain in the labor force are moderate a 3 loss relative to non displaced workers after seven years splitting displaced workers on within and between firm movers we find that the estimated earnings loss is entirely driven by between firm movers who experience a 3 6 loss transfers to other plants within multi plant firms upon displacement are quite common our results support the view that human capital is partly firm specific and partly industry specific we find no evidence suggesting that human capital is plant specific

african american and white differences in the impacts of monetary policy on the duration of unemployment an emerging literature documents monetary policy s impacts on labor market outcomes for example willem thorbecke 200 and seth b carpenter and william m rodgers iii 2004 find that recursive vector autoregressions var and autoregressive distributed lag adl models indicate that the response of the employmentpopulation ratio unemployment rate and labor force participation rate to increases in the federal funds rate follows the hump shaped pattern in which the peak impact occurs several quarters after the initial shock carl e walsh 2003 an interesting dynamic occurs the drop in aggregate demand reduces the number of available jobs this reduction lengthens job search but not to the extent that job seekers leave the labor force an extension of this work is to identify the type of unemployment that contractionary monetary policy generates is the unemployment short or long term to answer this question rodgers 2007 uses published bureau of labor statistics bls data on unemployment duration and type of unemployment to estimate models to assess whether job loss is concentrated among shortor long term spells or whether a ripple

in the right place at the wrong time the role of firms and luck in young workers careers we examine administrative data on young german workers and their employers to study the long term effects of an early career job loss to account for nonrandom sorting of workers into firms with different turnover rates and for selective job mobility we use changes over time in firm and age specific labor demand as an instrument for displacement we find that wage losses of young job losers are initially 15 percent but drop to zero within five years only workers leaving very large establishments suffer persistent losses a comparison of estimators implies that initial sorting negative selection and voluntary job mobility biases ordinary least squares estimates toward finding permanent negative effects of early displacements

empirical age earnings profiles the human capital earnings function in which earnings are expressed as a quadratic in potential experience is probably the most widely accepted empirical specification in economics in spite of its widespread acceptance the human capital earnings function provides a very poor approximation of the true empirical relationship between earnings and experience the standard formulation understates early career earnings growth by about 30 50 and overstates midcareer growth by 20 50 however simple alternative specifications that fit the data are available

generic existence of completely revealing equilibria for economies with uncertainty when prices convey information conditions which imply the existence of strict rational expectations equilibria for most static pure exchange economies where prices convey information about the state of the world are analyzed information is aggregated and transmitted by prices because agents have different initial information and maximize the conditional expectation of state dependent utility functions major results state that if with probability one agents characteristics do not vary too much as the state of the world varies then generically there exist equilibrium price functions which reveal all initial information more precisely if the support of the image measure is contained in a compact c1 manifold satisfying some technical conditions which is of sufficiently low dimension relative to the number of commodities then existence of completely revealing equilibria is generic any economy satisfying these assumptions can be approximated by a sequence of economies which also obey these assumptions and have completely revealing equilibrium price functions slight perturbations do not destroy the existence property

urbanisation and regional productivity in korean manufacturing as the first study for korea we estimate the effects of urbanisation and localisation economies on the productivity of 19 korean manufacturing industries in 1983 1988 and 1993 based on the observation that material inputs contributed about 60 per cent of productivity growth in korea we consider gross output productivity which is an innovation that distinguishes our study from previous ones we find that localisation economies have been dominant features of korean manufacturing industries whereas korean manufacturing industries did not benefit much from locating in large cities more interestingly there are some indications of quadratic relations between city size and urbanisation economies

are children really inferior goods evidence from displacement driven income shocks abstract this paper explores the causal link between income and fertility by analyzing women s fertility response to the large and permanent income shock generated by a husband s job displacement i find that the shock reduces total fertility suggesting that the causal effect of income on fertility is positive a model that incorporates the time cost of children and assortative matching of spouses can simultaneously explain this result and the negative cross sectional relationship i also find that a husband s displacement accelerates childbearing which is consistent with lifecycle models of fertility in which the incentive to delay is driven by expected earnings growth

technology labor wars and producer dynamics explaining consolidation in beefpacking beefpacking underwent a dramatic transformation in the 1970s and 1980s as plants got much larger and industry concentration rose dramatically we use individual census bureau plant records to analyze the sources of the transformation we find that there were modest but extensive scale economies in packing plants covering the full range of plant sizes and that such economies became more important throughout the period of the study as production shifted to larger plants we estimate that the industry s aggregate processing costs fell by 35 3 by 2002 compared to what they would have been without consolidation

prices product qualities and asymmetric information the competitive case recent developments in the economics of information emphasize the informational content of prices we examine the degree to which prices convey information on product quality to uninformed agents under perfect competition we show that a rational expectations equilibrium may not exist when an equilibrium does exist the information on quality conveyed by prices depends on the shape of the average cost curves and the relative numbers of informed and uniformed agents

long run wage and earnings losses of displaced workers displacement related losses are estimated using national longitudinal survey of youth data that span the years 1979 2000 the typical displaced worker faces losses of 34 065 during the period 4 years prior through 5 years following displacement proportionally this represents a 10 8 loss compared to earnings of similar nondisplaced workers over the period considerable variation in losses is reported across worker types union male and more mature workers suffer greater losses respectively than do their nonunion female and younger counterparts college graduates and high school dropouts are found to suffer lower losses compared to high school diploma holders and those who completed some college

the east asia challenge to neoclassical orthodoxy abstract this article reviews the east asian miracle economic growth and public policy which concludes that east asian economic success has little to do with government using criteria similar to that used in the world bank report this study shows that contrary to world bank contention industrial policies used in east asian economies have been effective non neoclassical tools for economic development with government complementing market factors by creating an environment conducive to economic growth given that japan and korea are the most representative examples of industrial policies and that the report seems to acknowledge the success of the japanese industrial policies the present study confines itself largely to a discussion of korean evidence

are college graduates more responsive to distant labor market opportunities abstract are highly educated workers better at locating in areas with high labor demand to answer this question i use three decades of u s census data to estimate a mcfadden style model of residential location choice i test for education differentials in the likelihood that young workers reside in states experiencing positive labor demand shocks at the time these workers entered the labor market i find effects of changes in state labor demand on college graduate location choice that are several times greater than for high school graduates nevertheless medium run wage effects of entry labor market conditions for college graduates equal or exceed those of less educated workers

assessing a disaggregated energy input using confidence intervals around translog elasticity estimates the role of energy in the production of manufacturing output has been debated extensively in the literature particularly its relationship with capital and labor in an attempt to provide some clarification in this debate a two step methodology was used first under the assumption of a five factor production function specification we distinguished between electric and non electric energy and assessed each component s relationship with capital and labor second we calculated both the allen and price elasticities and constructed 95 confidence intervals around these values our approach led to the following conclusions that the disaggregation of the energy input into electric and non electric energy is justified that capital and electric energy and capital and non electric energy are substitutes while labor and electric energy and labor and non electric energy are complements in production and that capital and energy are substitutes while labor and energy are complements

the long term effects of youth unemployment using nlsy data we examine the long term effects of youth unemployment on later labor market outcomes involuntary unemployment may yield suboptimal investments in human capital in the short run a theoretical model of dynamic human capital investment predicts a rational catch up response using semiparametric techniques to control for the endogeneity of prior behavior our estimates provide strong evidence of this response we also find evidence of persistence in unemployment combining our semiparametric estimates with a dynamic approximation to the lifecycle we find that unemployment experienced as long ago as ten years continues to affect earnings adversely despite the catch up response

incentives information systems and competition we show how dierent competitive regimes aect the ability to provide incentives based on noisy information systems reduced com petition facilitates incentive provision this may rationalize both ver tical integration and horizontal integration as seen in many agricul tural markets with uncertain quality grading moreover if trading terms are settled before the information is observed a noisy infor mation system su ces to give proper incentives this may rationalize the use of long term conditional price contracts in the trading of many agricultural products

job displacement risk and the cost of business cycles this paper analyzes the welfare costs of business cycles when workers face uninsurable job displacement risk that has a cyclical component using a simple general equilibrium model with incomplete markets this paper shows the following result for sufficiently high degree of risk aversion at least one cyclical variations in the long term earnings losses of displaced workers can generate arbitrarily large cost of business cycles even if the second moments of the distribution of individual income changes are constant over the cycle thus the previous literature which has either disregarded long term earnings losses of displaced workers or dealt with them only indirectly using second moment analysis might have severely under estimated the welfare cost of business cycles in addition to the theoretical analysis this paper also conducts a quantitative study of the cost of business cycles using empirical evidence on the long term earnings losses of u s workers the quantitative analysis suggests that cyclical variations in job displacement risk generate sizable cost of business cycles

impacts of minimum quality standards imposed through marketing orders or related producer organizations we analyze the impacts of minimum quality standards mqs imposed by producers acting collectively through a producer organization such as a marketing order mqs imposed in a competitive market can never enhance social welfare because in general an mqs creates two deadweight losses one due to inefficient enhancement of product quality and a second due to wastage of the low quality product any mqs that a competitive industry implements based upon a profit criterion causes all consumers in the market to be harmed however an mqs may be preferred relative to supply control as a second best instrument for transferring income to producers