fully absorbing dynamic compromise abstract i consider a repeated divide the dollar voting model with rejections leading to the implementation of the previous period s allocation see kalandrakis 14 i show that if proposals can be non exhaustive then equal division can be achieved as an absorbing steady state from any initial allocation given a large enough discount factor as a part of a markov perfect equilibrium this result is robust to changes in voting thresholds and persistence in proposal power outside of unanimity or total persistence

the rule of law and economic growth where are we summary it is widely assumed that the rule of law is essential for economic growth however the rule of law is clearly a multidimensional concept encompassing a variety of discrete components from security of person and property rights to checks on government and control of corruption we review the theory underlying these different causal mechanisms linking the rule of law to economic growth and provide an introduction to some outstanding measurement issues we find that the correlation among different components of the rule of law concept are not tight among developing countries and that some inferences about the effects of property rights protection may not be warranted

legislated protection and the world trade organization tariff bindings and administered protection are two characteristics of the world trade organization wto that are little understood tariff bindings place a ceiling on tariffs that is not always reached whereas administered protection provides all industries with some minimum import protection effectively creating a floor for protection how do these policies affect applied most favored nation mfn tariff rates that are enacted through the legislature i model tariffs determined by a dynamic legislative process and show that low applied mfn tariffs are less likely with tariff bindings and more likely with administered protection than under purely legislated protection

smuggling and price disparity abstract this paper proposes a model of smuggling consistent with the coexistence of smuggling legal trade and price disparity defined as a domestic price which exceeds is less than the return from legal export import these phenomena have been found to characterize indonesian smuggling a framework is presented in which legal trade is used to cloak smuggling activity with the implication that the greater the volume of legal trade the less the costs of smuggling this model is then used to explain the observation noted above and to show that smuggling may be welfare increasing vis a vis the non smuggling situation and that even if the suppression of smuggling is costless tax revenue maximization may require a positive level of smuggling in addition the model is applied to coffee and rubber exports from indonesia

distributed utility planning using probabilistic production costing and generalized benders decomposition summary form only given as follows regulatory changes and advances in distributed resources dr technology have lead utilities to consider drs as alternatives to central station generation and t d investments this paper presents a comprehensive planning and production simulation model that simultaneously evaluates central and local investments to determine the optimal mix for long term expansion the model can also be viewed as optimizing drs while simulating a perfectly competitive wholesale power market the model is a mixed integer linear stochastic program that enforces kirchhoff s current and voltage laws and is solved using generalized benders decomposition gbd the formulation includes multiarea probabilistic production costing as a subproblem drs and local distribution reinforcements are modeled as integer variables while transmission and central generation options are represented as continuous variables the model is applied to a ten year multi area example that suggests that drs are able to modify capacity additions and production costs by changing demand and power flows

foreign competition immigration and structural adjustment abstract the paper uses the ricardo viner r v model to investigate the relationship in a capital abundant economy between trade competition and immigration in doing so it derives new results for the r v model especially on the welfare implications of migration with and without an initial tariff

predatory versus productive government the case of u s agricultural policies this essay will argue that agricultural policy in the united states has led to both the enhancement of efficiency through productive policies and the transfer of wealth and income to special interests through redistributive or predatory policies these two activities can be labeled as pests and perts pest policies or political economic seeking transfers are meant to redistribute wealth from one social group to another and are not explicitly concerned with efficiency in contrast perts or political economic resource transactions are intended to correct market failures or to provide public goods these policies have neutral distributional effects at least in design a review of the history of public policy in agriculture reveals not only tension between the pert and pest roles of the public sector but also some coordination between these two types of activities as different interest groups pressure the political process the government trades off pests and perts in its attempts to acquire balance and secure political power at times this has led to combinations of programs that appear incoherent in such a world the challenge for economists is to design and advocate policies that are both economically productive and politically sustainable

endogenous insecurity and economic development abstract we explore the implications of endogenous credit market imperfections for the endogenous relationship between investment insecurity and the process of economic development in the initial stages of development the fraction of agents engaged in nonproductive diversionary activities e g rent seeking grows as the opportunities to gain from diversionary activities expand in later stages however diversion falls as capital market imperfections are overcome and productive activities become more secure and more profitable we detail the forces that determine whether the insecurity generated by an economy s early development will choke off the growth process we also compare the cost effectiveness of alternative policies designed to prevent diversion

interest profits and suboptimality in a demand constrained macro model keynes argues that under pessimistic expectations investment demand falls short of full employment savings consequently income adjusts to bring savings into line with investment resulting in unemployment and or excess capacity classical theory as reconstituted in postwar textbooks counters that investment and full employment savings are equilibrated by adjustment of the interest rate thus current output will obtain its optimal level at full employment and full capacity despite pessimistic expectations of future demand the only way this can fail is if some type of wage or price rigidity prevents the stock of real money balances from accommodating the demand for them at the fullemployment interest rate fig i illustrates the keynesian and classical views in a traditional loanable funds diagram here the full employment supply of savingsis given by s investment demand under optimistic expectations is i and the full employment interest factor unity plus the interest rate is r pessimistic expectations shift investment demand to it reducing the full employment interest factor to r in the classical model or reducing employment income and hence savings to s in the simplest keynesian model general equilibrium theory provides a third view on interest rate determination here competition over prospective profits leads the interest rate to adjust to the return on capital adjusted for risk so prospective profits are eliminated provided capital is mobile to reconcile this view with either the keynesian or classical view depicted in fig i it should first be noted that the general equilibrium model of interest rates is a multi period model while the textbook models of fig i are not they are one period models with views of the future imprecisely summarised in the investment demand function furthermore in those models views of the future are not analysed for prospective profits or their consequences graphically the inframarginal triangle between the investment demand curve and the interest rate line is not analysed or explained how can such prospective profits survive competitive activities the present paper proposes to examine this issue in as simple a model as possible the key simplifications are as follows first the simplest multi period

linear programming based analysis of marginal cost pricing in electric utility capacity expansion abstract this paper concerns methods for discretizing and approximating the annual load duration curve in the context of a linear programming model and its interpretation in electric utility expansion planning the emphasis is upon the interpretation of the linear programming dual variables and their relationship with classical results of peak load pricing in particular for capacity planning in which one can choose from a diverse number of technological alternatives we support the work of wenders by precisely characterizing how off peak periods bear partial responsibility of the capacity cost

bargaining in legislatures bargaining in legislatures is conducted according to formal rules specifying who may make proposals and how they will be decided legislative outcomes depend on those rules and on the structure of the legislature although the social choice literature provides theories about voting equilibria it does not endogenize the formation of the agenda on which the voting is based and rarely takes into account the institutional structure found in legislatures in our theory members of the legislature act noncooperatively in choosing strategies to serve their own districts explicitly taking into account the strategies members adopt in response to the sequential nature of proposal making and voting the model permits the characterization of a legislative equilibrium reflecting the structure of the legislature and also allows consideration of the choice of elements of that structure in a context in which the standard institution free model of social choice theory yields no equilibrium

dynamic bargaining and stability with veto players this note examines the structure of stationary bargaining equilibria in the finite framework of anesi 2010 the main result establishes a tight connection between the set of equilibrium absorbing points and the von neumann morgestern solutions assuming that players are patient that the voting rule is oligarchical and that there is at least one veto player with positive recognition probability a set of alternatives corresponds to the absorbing points of an equilibrium if and only if it is a von neumann morgenstern solution we also apply our analysis of ergodic properties of equilibria to the persistent agenda setter environment of diermeier and fong 2012 we show that all equilibria are essentially pure and we extend their characterization of absorbing sets to allow an arbitrary voting rule and by removing the restriction to pure strategy equilibira

bargaining in standing committees with an endogenous default committee voting has mostly been investigated from the perspective of the standard baron ferejohn model of bargaining over the division of a pie in which bargaining ends as soon as the committee reaches an agreement in standing committees however existing agreements can be amended this article studies an extension of the baron ferejohn framework to a model with an evolving default that reflects this important feature of policymaking in standing committees in each of an infinite number of periods the ongoing default can be amended to a new policy which is in turn the default for the next period the model provides a number of quite different predictions i from a positive perspective the key distinction turns on whether the quota is less than unanimity in that case patient enough players waste substantial shares of the pie each period and the size principle fails in some pure strategy markov perfect equilibria in contrast the unique markov perfect equilibrium payoffs in a unanimity committee coincide with those in the corresponding baron ferejohn framework ii if players have heterogeneous discount factors then a large class of subgame perfect equilibria including all markov perfect equilibria are inefficient

dynamic legislative policy making abstract we prove existence of stationary markov perfect equilibria in an infinite horizon model of legislative policy making in which the policy outcome in one period determines the status quo for the next we allow for a multidimensional policy space and arbitrary smooth stage utilities and we assume preferences and the status quo are subject to arbitrarily small shocks we prove that equilibrium continuation values are differentiable and that proposal strategies are continuous almost everywhere we establish upper hemicontinuity of the equilibrium correspondence and we provide weak conditions under which each equilibrium of our model determines an aperiodic transition probability over policies we establish a convergence theorem giving conditions under which the invariant distributions generated by stationary equilibria must be close to the core in a canonical spatial model finally we extend the analysis to sequential move stochastic games and to a version of the model in which the proposer and voting rule are determined by play of a finite perfect information game

on trust as a commodity and on the grammar of trust abstract i look at trust in the light of two constructions taken from economic science general competitive analysis and the theory of games i draw on baier s anti contractarian perspective as well as on one informed by wittgenstein s writings the former focuses on relations between inherently unequal and asymmetrical individuals while the latter draws on and revolves around the imperative in the philosophical investigations let the use teach you the meaning p 212 also p 220 i try to spell out how the choice of language has epistemological implications for an analysis of trust for the trustworthiness of the scientific constructions i use for analyzing trust and thereby more generally for defining ourselves and our form of life

money burning and multiple equilibria in bargaining abstract this paper synthesizes recent work on delay and multiple equilibria in complete information rubinstein bargaining we identify a general principle money burning underlying prior results and develop a general model of the phenomena money burning is a threat by one player to destroy surplus which can serve to enhance that player s bargaining power if it is credible our results show that the uniqueness and efficiency properties of the subgame perfect equilibrium of rubinstein bargaining are vulnerable to players ability to burn money journal of economic literature classification number 026

the effects of increased copyright protection an analytic approach previous authors who have considered partially nonexcludable goods have claimed that an increase in copyright protection will have the following two effects on social welfare first it will decrease the social welfare loss due to underproduction second it will increase the social welfare loss due to underutilization in this paper we investigate these claims in a formal setting by analyzing a model in which consumers vary only in terms of their costs of obtaining a reproduction our analysis provides partial support to the first claim of these previous authors while giving little or no support to the second claim

impossibility of collusion under imperfect monitoring with flexible production we show that it is impossible to achieve collusion in a duopoly when 1 goods are homogenous and firms compete in quantities 2 new imperfect information arrives continuously without sudden events and 3 firms are able to respond to this new information quickly the result holds even if we allow for asymmetric equilibria or monetary transfers the intuition is that the flexibility to respond to new information quickly unravels any collusive scheme and that signals about the aggregate behavior only cannot be used effectively to provide individual incentives via transfers our result applies both to a simple stationary model and a more complicated one with prices following a mean reverting markov process

the impact of corruption on investment predictability matters abstract this paper argues that it is not only level of corruption that affects investment but also the nature of corruption corruption regimes that are more predictable in the sense that those seeking favors from government do obtain those favors have less negative impact on investment than those that are less predictable using the data collected by world bank in preparing the world development report of 1997 we provide empirical support for the conjecture

how to avoid transferring a valuable asset many mechanisms such as auctions efficiently allocate an asset to the firm which values it most highly but sometimes the asset s owner may benefit from the transfer only if the asset is not too valuable to potential buyers in this setting we examine the efficiency of mechanisms when the potential buyers have private information about the asset s value we show that rent seeking and lobbying rather than merely wasting resources can lead to allocations which are close to efficient

rent seeking in a market with morality solving a puzzle about corporate social responsibility rent seeking by lobbying for government favors is generally thought to be wasteful in view of this wastefulness it is puzzling that rent seeking by corporations has not been criticized as a failure to be socially responsible or even as an unethical business practice this article examines the compatibility of rent seeking with corporate social responsibility by utilizing thomas dunfee s idea of a marketplace with morality this idea is useful for solving this puzzle because in considering whether rent seeking is compatible with corporate social responsibility it is necessary first to define rent seeking which this article argues is a normative concept and second to find some principled way of identifying rent seeking behavior it also solves the puzzle about rent seeking by revealing that the concept of rent seeking itself is of little use in determining whether certain conduct is or is not socially responsible since rent seeking activity cannot be identified without first evaluating which activity is rent seeking

does foreign aid promote the expansion of government building on the literature on public finance i seek to advance our understanding of variations in government size by exploring the impact of official development assistance on fiscal policy i hypothesize that foreign aid operates in accordance with the flypaper effect systematically generating incentives and opportunities for the expansion of government spending results from a time series cross sectional regression analysis of growth in government spending over the 1970 99 time period are consistent with the hypothesis for middle and lower income nations aid represents an important determinant of government expansion looking at the tax and revenue side of the equation however reveals a more perverse pattern of response aid promotes not only increased spending but also reduced revenue generation the results have important implications from both a theoretical and policy perspective inter alia they point to the potentially self defeating nature of efforts to promote market oriented programs of state retrenchment via development assistance as well as to the importance of incorporating international transfers into future research on government spending

historical legacies a model linking africa s past to its current underdevelopment abstract recent studies have found evidence linking africa s current under development to colonial rule and the slave trade given that these events ended long ago why do they continue to matter today i develop a model exhibiting path dependence which provides one explanation for why these past events may have lasting impacts the model has multiple equilibria one equilibrium with secure property rights and a high level of production and others with insecure property rights and low levels of production i show that external extraction when severe enough causes a society initially in the high production equilibrium to move to a low production equilibrium because of the stability of low production equilibria the society remains trapped in this suboptimal equilibrium even after the period of external extraction ends the model provides one explanation why africa s past events continue to matter today

directly unproductive profit seeking dup activities this paper propses directly unproductive profit seeking dup activities as a general concept that embraces a wide range of recently analyzed economic activities including the subset of rent seeking activities considered by krueger it then proceeds to provide a synthesis and generalization of the welfare theoretic analysis of such activities by developing a fourfold categorization of cases depending on the levels of distortions before and after the dup activity thus a unification and overview of the subject are achieved

does foreign aid distort incentives and hurt growth theory and evidence from 75 aid recipient countries foreign aid transfers can distort individual incentives and hence hurt growth by encouraging rent seeking as opposed to productive activities we construct a model of a growing small open economy that distinguishes two effects from foreign transfers i a direct positive effect as higher transfers allow the financing of infrastructure ii an indirect negative effect as higher transfers induce rent seeking competition by self interested individuals in this framework the growth impact of aid is examined jointly with the determination of rent seeking behavior we test the main predictions of the model for a cross section of 75 aid recipient countries there is evidence that aid has a direct positive effect on growth which is however significantly mitigated by the adverse indirect effects of associated rent seeking activities this is especially the case in recipient countries with relatively large public sectors

durable coalitions and communication public versus private negotiations abstract we present a laboratory experiment to study the effect of communication on durable coalitions coalitions that support the same allocation from one period to the next we study a bargaining setting where the status quo policy is determined by the policy implemented in the previous period our main experimental treatment is the opportunity for subjects to negotiate with one another through unrestricted cheap talk communication before a proposal is made and comes to a vote we compare committees with no communication committees where communication is public and messages are observed by all committee members and committees where communication is private and any committee member can send a private message to any other committee member we find that the opportunity to communicate has a significant impact on outcomes and coalitions when communication is public there are more universal coalitions and fewer majoritarian coalitions with private communication there are more majoritarian coalitions and fewer universal coalitions with either type of communication coalitions occur more frequently and last longer than with no communication the volume and content of communication is correlated with coalition type these findings suggest a coordination role for communication that varies with the mode of communication

learning adjustment and economic development transforming firms the state and associations in chile abstract this article views learning processes as key to successful economic adjustment it discusses results of research conducted in chile focused on the agroindustry and footwear sectors it identifies specific problems that large and small firms face to upgrade production and stresses the limits of focusing exclusively on market reforms for achieving growth the article discusses how institutions reshape to facilitate learning and improve performance in chile particularly the relations between firms the reorientation of trade associations and the state s role as facilitator of collective learning processes

privatization and economic growth an empirical investigation from a sample of developing market economies this paper explores the economic determinants of privatization programmes and the macroeconomic impact of this institutional reform on the growth rate of the gdp a sample of thirty five developing market economies is considered over the 1988 92 period probit and tobit models are used to identify the determinants of successful privatization programmes then regressions are run where probabilities probit and expected values tobit are successively included as additional regressors beside the potential influence of other economic policy variables a significant positive effect is highlighted giving evidence of the importance of divestiture the economic effect is found to be stronger when this institutional reform took place in industry or infrastructure

a three player dynamic majoritarian bargaining game this file contains two sets of calculations first we report the calculations of demands and continuation values of proposition 1 second the mixing probabilities of proposition 1 are shown to be well defined

market based coordination of transmission and generation capacity planning we propose an iso model for coordinating transmission expansion planning with competitive generation capacity planning in electricity markets the purpose of the model is a holistic simulation of generation and transmission capacity expansion in the market environment the solution represents an iterative process for simulating the interactions among gencos transcos and the iso which might be terminated by the iso based on a pre specified stopping criterion the proposed model adopts a joint energy and transmission auction market and a capacity mechanism the joint auction market enables competition to occur among generation and transmission resources the capacity mechanism offers incentives for market participant investments that reflect the locational values of additional capacity transmission capacity expansion decisions are made by merchant transmission lines that recover their capacity investments through transmission marginal pricing and capacity payments transmission network security is reflected in the proposed competitive resource planning model the examples illustrate a coordinated planning of generation and transmission in restructured power systems

estimating the performance effects of business groups in emerging markets business groups confederations of legally independent firms are ubiquitous in emerging economies yet very little is known about their effects on the performance of affiliated firms we conceive of business groups as responses to market failures and high transaction costs in doing so we develop hypotheses about the effects of group affiliation on firm profitability affiliation could either boost or depress firm profitability and members of a group are likely to earn rates of return similar to other members of the same group using a unique data set compiled largely from local sources we test for these effects in 14 emerging markets argentina brazil chile india indonesia israel mexico peru the philippines south africa south korea taiwan thailand and turkey we find evidence that business groups indeed affect the broad patterns of economic performance in 12 of the markets we examine group affiliation appears to have as profound an effect on profitability as does industry membership yet strategy scholars have a much clearer grasp of industries than of groups moreover membership in a group raises the profitability of the average group member in several of the markets we examine this runs contrary to the wisdom conventional in advanced economies that unrelated diversification depresses profitability overall our findings suggest that the roots of sustained differences in profitability may vary across institutional contexts conclusions drawn in one context may well not apply to another copyright 2001 john wiley sons ltd

a new paradigm for policy reform and economic development throughout much of the world significant institutional changes are in the air wind and water evidence is accumulating that democracy has won the political battle and that markets have won the economic battle some serious scholars have even argued that the history of thought about first principles including those governing political and social organizations has come to an end fukuyama for those who hold this view hegel was simply too early in forecasting the end of the evolution of thought about such first principles nearly two centuries ago the entire marxian experiment was nothing more than a 150 year detour which corroborated hegel s view that the end of history coincided with the emergence of liberal democratic states following the french and american revolutions regardless of whether the history of ideology is over a new consensus on economic political and civil freedoms has emerged this consensus means more than simply adjusting macroeconomic policy achieving stability and selling off a few government owned enterprises in an attempt to set developing countries on a path toward broad based economic growth instead it means creating a vision of an open economy underpinned by an open polity identifying and removing the obstacles to economic participation obstacles that lock the ordinary citizen out of the game enhancing the availability and utility of information resources by shaping incentives and helping to establish the basic rules of social transactions encouraging more efficient organization of economic activity whether by market hierarchy or hybrid modes williamson in ways that may lead to fundamental restructuring of an economy and fostering institutional frameworks that expand the role of human choice and promote the full panoply of entrepreneurial energies

rent seeking market structure and growth we study the role of productive and unproductive entrepreneurship in economic growth in a setting where firms compete in both economic and political markets specifically firms compete for market share through cost reducing technological innovation and they vie for influence over government transfer policy through rent seeking activities we find that rent seeking affects growth in two ways it allows firms to ignore economic competition leading to less innovation and it alters the number of firms that are supported in equilibrium the former effect is negative while the latter is ambiguous we show how these effects depend on various characteristics of economic and political markets

controls and the intersectoral terms of trade the indian case sectors the indian economy is substantially insulated from outside market forces and the direction of movement of the intersectoral terms of trade has therefore been regarded as having special policy importance industry is equated with the urban modern sector agriculture with the rural traditional sector while the debate on the north south terms of trade following singer i 950 and prebisch i 964 has prompted discussion of international trade arrangements between developing and developed economies the debate on the intersectoral trade seems to have played a comparable role in india 2 if growth as with singerprebisch causes a deterioration in the terms of trade of the traditional sector then policy measures to offset the associated redistributive effects are seen in india as justified these can take the form of subsidies to agriculture maintenance of the current tax free status of agriculture and other measures equally since extensive redistribution through tax transfer schemes is administratively infeasible an improvement in the agricultural industrial terms of trade in favour of agriculture is often seen as a substitute for other redistributive measures poverty is concentrated in rural areas and manipulating the terms of trade in favour of agriculture through price controls subsidies and the like is a widely supported policy stance in this paper we argue that existing statistical studies of the intersectoral terms of trade in india are misleading since they typically focus on the terms of trade at controlled prices price and other controls in india are so extensive that black market rather than controlled prices should clearly enter any assessment of changes in the intersectoral terms of trade we also argue that the problem with these studies is analytically deeper than simply whether black market or controlled drices should be used because of

the empirical measurement of rent seeking costs this survey focuses on the efforts carried out mainly by public choice scholars to measure the social cost of rent seeking the concept introduced by gordon tullock in 1967 and coined by anne krueger in 1974 is well known and accepted by the profession but its empirical measurement has fallen behind with respect to its theoretical formulation an often criticized lack in the literature although there are good general surveys none has specifically focused on reviewing the empirical efforts made to measure the phenomenon the purpose of this paper is to provide such a survey it could be said that the rent seeking concept has been fully integrated into economic jargon it is commonly used when some agent seeks to obtain an artificial transfer usually from government and covers all the actions efforts or expenses that the agent has to carry out to obtain the prize the key issue however is the possible social waste that arises in these situations the empirical efforts to measure such waste constitute the main purpose of this survey the concept of rent seeking was introduced by tullock 1967 although the term was first coined by krueger 1974 in a paper not related to the former in a recent paper tullock himself wrote of the history of the concept and the intellectual context within which it arose tullock 2003 starting with the pioneering work by harberger 1954 several studies were conducted during the 1950s in which the calculation of the social cost of monopolies and tariffs always gave the result of very modest figures the first response to these results was made by leibenstein 1966 and his x efficiency which refers to a hypothetical loss in efficiency due to the absence of competition shortly after leibenstein s paper appeared tullock argued that the deadweight costs of monopoly and tariffs understate the true social cost because the expenditures made to capture related rents have to be included so rectangles as well as harberger s triangles have to be included in the calculations let us see this argument once more figure 1 depicts the iconic tullock graphic analysis of rent seeking it represents the demand schedule d for a monopolized good where pm is the monopoly

import competition international factor mobility and lobbying responses the schumpeterian industry case abstract this paper analyzes the different responses of economic agents to import competition in seeking policy intervention economic agents are divided into three groups capitalists workers and the government the following output restoring policies are considered protection capital importation labour importation and technology importation the paper concentrates on capital intensive technologically progressive industries using both the heckscher ohlin samuelson and the jones neary factor specific models

the economics of special interest politics the case of the tariff this paper investigates the interaction of politicians and special interest lobbies the goal is to model the equilibrium levels of redistributive policies such as taxes subsidies tariffs and regulatory decisions the model is applied throughout to the setting of tariffs by contributing to political campaigns special interest lobbies generate economic returns higher tariffs generate revenue for import competing industries through higher product prices higher milk support prices raise dairy farm income and so forth the lobby invests to maximize these net economic returns in evaluating their chances of election politicians weigh the favorable effects of special interest money against the unfavorable association with the lobby and the social cost of the redistributive policy section i explores the lobby s problem it describes a formalization of mancur olson s discussion of the voluntary provision of public goods and optimal contributions by lobbies to political campaigns section ii describes determination of the equilibrium tariff positions of each politician in a political campaign

a policy preference function for government intervention in the u s wheat market this paper estimates a policy preference function that explains the government s choices of target prices government held wheat stocks and public wheat research funding the policy preference function depends on producers surplus consumers surplus and budget expenditures an important innovation in this paper is the inclusion of interactions between public research expenditures and other public policy variables results indicate that the government places a premium of 25 to 45 on the welfare of wheat producers of relative to budget expenditures while wheat consumers welfare is discounted as much as 50 relative to budget expenditures the purpose of this paper is to provide an explanation of government commodity programs stock accumulations and research expenditures in the u s wheat sector the explanation is based on a policy preference function ppf that depends on producers surplus consumers surplus and budget expenditures it is assumed that target prices reductions in or additions to government stocks and public research expenditures are chosen to maximize the policy preference function the central contribution of the paper is the estimation of a function that is consistent with the observed government interventions in the u s wheat market that is the paper explains the observed target prices government sales and public research expenditures as rational behavior by a government which seeks to maximize the estimated policy preference function the approach in this paper is based on the political interest group theories of peltzman and becker applications of these ideas to agriculture include rausser and freebairn s description of the beef industry gardner s 1985 analysis

on dynamic compromise abstract most legislatures require the consent of only a simple majority to pass a proposal so why don t legislative outcomes favor only a bare majority we show that compromise can be achieved if legislators are neither too impatient nor too patient and initial allocations are not too unequal the compromise is only sustainable if starting from the unequal allocations there is a possibility of spiraling towards a complete absence of compromise we find that the range of discount factors for which the equilibrium exists increases as the number of legislators increases in this sense compromise is easier in larger legislatures

corruption and microenterprises in russia abstract in russia compliance with the rules and regulations that govern almost all aspects of economic life has created a hostile environment for microenterprises more serious than the regulations per se however is the potential niche they create for opportunistic behavior by regulatory authorities in russia the regulatory state has created a corrupt cadre of government bureaucrats who frequently engage in rent seeking behavior while enforcing regulations firms are not uniformly affected by corruption however this paper shows empirical evidence of differential incidence of extortion based on firm and entrepreneurial characteristics corruption in russia is similar to a regressive tax and acts as a disincentive to innovation and growth it may induce technologically inefficient production decisions and can dilute economies of scale and scope

free trade and laissez faire has the wheel come full circle this paper notes that there is a need to get to a fourth stage in the evolution of the relationship of free trade to laissez faire going beyond the three stages identified in max cordon s magisterial book trade policy and economic welfare in the first stage free trade was a special case of the argument for laissez faire in the second stage many arguments for protection arose with various qualifications to the case of free trade and laissez faire in the third stage the link between free trade and laissez faire was broken and in the theory of domestic distortions it was noted that all arguments for protection except in the case of monopoly power in trade were second best arguments moreover it was possible to devise measures such as taxes and subsidies that reduced the distortion through government intervention but noting that government intervention itself carries with it problems of rent seeking and directly unproductive activities as well as the taking into the proper role of government laissez faire seems the best policy hence the need for a fourth stage in the evolution of free trade and laissez faire to link them together again

the design of rent seeking competitions committees preliminary and final contests the paper examines the common practice in multi contest rent seeking competitions where finalists are selected based on rent seekers efforts in a preliminary contest we find that for any single contest design rent seeking expenditures could be reduced by introducing a preliminary contest if the marginal returns to rent seeking effort in the preliminary contest is sufficiently low in addition to other reasons the paper argues that this may explain why such multi contest designs are common we argue that rent seeking expenditure in the preliminary stage represents the cost of reducing the number of contestants we also find that the practice of setting a higher quality standard in the final contest than the quality standard in the preliminary contest reduces rent seeking waste we derive an expression for the optimal number of finalists under certain conditions we find that the optimal number of finalists is directly proportional or equal to the square root of the number of potential contestants finally we show that whether rent seeking expenditures rise or fall when the rent is awarded by a committee instead of a single administrator depends on the sensitivity of the committee relative to that of the single administrator

stackelberg rent seeking in this paper i present a formal analysis of rent seeking games in which the players do not move simultaneously i consider rent seeking situations where the players are risk neutral and may value the prize differently the subgame perfect equilibrium outcome in this stackelberg game provides several surprising and interesting results i extend the problem to deal with cases of in complete information concerning the value a player has for the politically contestable rent

x efficiency and technical efficiency efficiency measurement has become a very popular field in applied economics in recent years and with this interest there has been a large intellectual investment in refining the empirical methods available to researchers in the area in this paper we relate these developments to harvey leibenstein s original 1966 insight into the psychological ideas underlying the notion that economic agents may not achieve maximal efficiency in their productive decisions and behaviour of course it is always possible to argue that apparent inefficiency only arises from a failure of the observer to realise what it is that is being maximized however we evade this easy escape route into non falsifiable hypothesizing and instead take at face value the fact that too many empirical studies have come up with substantial measures of inefficiency for us to ignore its importance for normative economics

structure of public support for national agricultural research systems a political economy perspective abstract this paper initiates development of a set of stylized facts concerning the structure of public support for national agricultural research systems nars within a neoclassical political economy framework the aim is to place public funding of nars in the broader context of the overall level of direct government assistance to agriculture using a newly constructed data set on nars expenditures over the 1970 1985 period we observe a growing disparity in agricultural research intensity ratios which measure the level of public support for nars in relation to agricultural gross domestic production aggdp between low and high income countries this growing disparity appears to be driven by much larger increases in support for agricultural research by high income countries coupled with a significantly slower growth in the size of their agricultural sector despite the propensity of low and middle income countries to increase real support to agricultural research as per capita incomes rise the public agricultural expenditure ratio which measures public expenditures on agriculture relative to the size of the agricultural sector aggdp increases substantially public expenditures on agriculture were indexed on agricultural and non agricultural populations to give a rough indication of the increasing incentives for rural distributional coalitions to seek a redistribution of public expenditures in their favor a relative research expenditure rre ratio is developed which measures the proportion of total public expenditure on agriculture spent on agricultural research it provides an indication of the relative importance given to research on agriculture within the constraints imposed by overall public spending on agriculture in contrast to the agricultural research intensity ratios the rre ratios suggest that agricultural research appears to command as large a share of the public purse devoted to agriculture in low and middle income countries as it does in high income countries expectations derived from the neoclassical political economy literature that research may have fared relatively better in high compared with low income countries were not supported by the data

the welfare consequences of directly unproductive profit seeking dup lobbying activities price versus quantity distortions abstract this paper is a contribution to the growing literature on the theory of what bhagwati 1982 has christened the theory of dup activities these are activities that use up real resources in making profits i e income without producing directly or indirectly a good they result therefore in the contraction of the availability set defined on goods for one generic subset of such dup activities namely distortion triggered lobbying activities the paper establishes asymmetrical propositions on the possibility of such dup lobbying resulting in a paradoxical improvement of welfare

a theory of competition among pressure groups for political influence this paper presents a theory of competition among pressure groups for political influence political equilibrium depends on the efficiency of each group in producing pressure the effect of additional pressure on their influence the number of persons in different groups and the deadweight cost of taxes and subsidies an increase in deadweight costs discourages pressure by subsidized groups and encourages pressure by taxpayers this analysis unifies the view that governments correct market failures with the view that they favor the politically powerful both are produced by the competition for political favors

infinitely repeated games with public monitoring and monetary transfers this paper studies infinitely repeated games with imperfect public monitoring and the possibility of monetary transfers it is shown that all public perfect equilibrium payoffs can be implemented with a simple class of stationary equilibria that use stick and carrot punishments a fast algorithm is developed that exactly computes the set of pure strategies equilibrium payoffs for all discount factors

bilateral bargaining with endogenous status quo abstract we consider a non cooperative bargaining game where in each round if a proposal is rejected with a probability the allocation implemented in the previous round is implemented as a status quo and the game proceeds to the next round and with the complementary probability no allocations are implemented and the negotiations break down we show that there exists a unique stationary subgame perfect equilibrium such that in any round a proposer offers a proposal such that the responder is indifferent between accepting and rejecting it and an agreement is achieved if the probability of breakdown is close to zero the sequence of equilibrium allocations evolves from the initial status quo to an allocation near the equilibrium allocation of the rubinstein bargaining game over time the effect of the initial status quo on the equilibrium allocations vanishes over time

signaling future actions and the potential for sacrifice we consider extensions of games where some players have the option of signaling future actions by incurring costs the main result is that in a class of games if one player can incur costs then forwards induction selects her most preferred outcome surprisingly the player does not have to incur any costs to achieve this the option alone suffices however when all players can incur costs one player s attempt to signal a future action is vulnerable to a counter signal by the opponent this vulnerability to counter signaling distinguishes signaling future actions from signaling types

mandatory versus discretionary spending the status quo eect do mandatory spending programs such as medicare improve eciency we analyze a model with two parties allocating a xed budget to a public good and private transfers each period over an innite horizon we compare two institutions that dier in whether public good spending is discretionary or mandatory we model mandatory spending as an endogenous status quo since it is enacted by law and remains in eect until changed mandatory programs result in higher public good spending furthermore they ex ante pareto dominate discretionary programs when parties are patient persistence of power is low and polarization is low

strategic bargaining with destructive power abstract this note studies a two player alternating offers bargaining model in which one of the agents has the ability to damage permanently the pie bargained over beside the rubinsteinian bilateral monopoly outcome i show that it is possible to select a harming equilibrium in which the sequence of damages to the pie is endogenously determined

can negotiations prevent fish wars abstract the standard alternating offer model is extended by integrating it with the levhari and mirman fish war model in order to investigate negotiations over fish quota the disagreement actions are endogenous the interior and linear markov perfect equilibrium mpe results in immediate agreement on an efficient path of fish quota this mpe is not analytically tractable numerical solutions show that patience is a disadvantage in this mpe and small differences in patience lead to large asymmetries in the bargaining outcome

anti lobbying gains from international agreements abstract i argue that an important potential benefit of international agreements is to reduce wasteful rent seeking activities by domestic and foreign special interest groups through a reduction in policy discretion the presence of foreign lobbying generates a novel type of international externality by inviting wasteful rent seeking by foreign lobbies the presence of policy discretion itself generates a negative international externality i examine the potential anti lobbying effects of three salient types of international rules exact policy commitments policy bounds and non discrimination rules unlike exact policy commitments which remove policy discretion and hence shut down ex post lobbying policy bounds may invite ex post lobbying and hence may forego part or all of the potential anti lobbying gains i also find that policy bounds may lead to mixed strategy equilibria of the rent seeking game a non discrimination rule can reduce rent seeking by foreign lobbies by injecting a free rider problem in the strategic interaction between these lobbies and under some conditions can achieve all the potential anti foreign lobbying gains

linear complementarity models of nash cournot competition in bilateral and poolco power markets two cournot models of imperfect competition among electricity producers are formulated as mixed linear complementarity problems lcps and a simple example is presented to illustrate their application the two models simulate bilateral markets the models include a congestion pricing scheme for transmission but other transmission pricing approaches can also be represented in this framework the two models differ from each other in that one has no arbitrage between nodes of the network while in the other model arbitragers erase any noncost based differences in price the latter bilateral model turns out to be equivalent to a cournot model of a poolco the models differ from other cournot market models in that they include both of kirchhoff s laws via a dc approximation can include arbitragers possess unique solutions and are readily solved by efficient lcp algorithms the key assumption that permits their formulation as lcps is that each producer naively assumes that its output will not affect transmission prices

dynamic collective choice with endogenous status quo we analyze a bargaining situation in which preferences evolve over time and the previous agreement becomes the next status quo the endogeneity of the status quo exacerbates the players conflict of interest players disagree more often than under exogenous status quo this leads to inefficiencies and status quo inertia under certain conditions the negotiations can come to a complete gridlock players never reach an agreement gridlock can occur between players with arbitrarily similar preferences provided they are sufficiently patient in legislative settings our model predicts polarization and explains why legislators may fail to react promptly to economic shocks

distributional coalitions and the politics of economic reform in latin america for much of the discipline of economics a closed economy is seen as the result of efforts of distributional coalitions and rent seekers to maintain sector specific protections accordingly economic liberalization is explained by the policy consistency of uncompromising reform elites students of the politics of economic adjustment in the developing world in turn have argued that reform programs concentrate costs in the present and disperse benefits in the future hence losers are prepared to engage in collective action whereas prospective winners facing uncertainty about payoffs remain disorganized they thus posit the cohesiveness and insularity of policymakers as the main variable for explaining successful reform both economists and political scientists therefore adopt a collective action approach that overlooks how groups organize in support of liberalization in the recent latin american experience however these reforms have preserved market reserves for firms that provided vital political support to and often colluded with policymaking elites this setting has thus reproduced incentives for rent seeking behavior even in the presence of comprehensive liberalization this evidence supports two interrelated theoretical claims first distributional coalitions may proliferate when the state withdraws from the economy not only when it intervenes second interest based variables retain explanatory power in political economy which state autonomy arguments disregard irrespective of whether the economy is closed or open which neoclassical perspectives overlook to highlight the centrality of interest groups favoring marketization therefore the article suggests modifications to the dominant theories of collective action and the literature on the politics of economic adjustment

distortion triggered lobbying and welfare a contribution to the theory of directly unproductive profit seeking activities abstract the paper considers the normative implications of lobbying for non exclusive income generated by an exogenously specified policy intervention such lobbying activities are a subset of what bhagwati has termed directly unproductive profit seeking dup activities it is demonstrated that the welfare effects of lobbying triggered by a policy distortion depend critically on whether the direct impact of the policy constraint is on price or an quantity it is also shown that several standard comparative static welfare analyses of alternative policy distorted states are significantly affected once the policy intervention is assumed to be continuously accompanied by lobbying for the associated non exclusive income

modeling long term electricity forward prices in contrast to forwards and futures on storable commodities prices of long term electricity forwards exhibit a dynamics different to that of short term and midterm prices we model long term electricity forward prices through demand and supply of electricity adjusted with a risk premium long term prices of electricity oil coal natural gas emission allowance imported electricity and aluminum are modeled with a vector autoregressive model var for estimation we use weekly prices of far maturity forwards relevant for the nordic electricity market although electricity prices experienced a few substantial shocks during the period we analyzed there is no evidence of a structural break cointegration analysis reveals two stationary long run relationships between all variables except the gas price indicating that these variables move together over time we find some influence of the risk premium however not on the long term electricity forwards at nord pool