social class family background and intergenerational mobility abstract this research examines the various approaches taken by economists and sociologists for analyzing intergenerational mobility social mobility models based on social classes arising from an occupational classification scheme are analysed a test for the statistical validity of classification schemes is proposed and tested using danish sample survey data that was first collected in 1976 and augmented in 2000 this is referred to as a homogeneity test and is a likelihood ratio test of a set of linear restrictions which define social classes for denmark it is shown that this test fails for an erikson goldthorpe classification system raising doubts about the statistical validity of occupational classification systems in general we also estimate regression models of occupational earnings household earnings and educational attainment using family background variables as covariates controlling for unobservables measurement error and simultaneous equation bias in these models homogeneity tests are also rejected we conclude from these results that the individual s family background has a small but significant impact on lifetime chances which is not captured by the erikson goldthorpe classification scheme

parental earnings and children s well being an analysis of the survey of income and program participation matched to social security administration earnings data i introduction in the aftermath of the great recession approximately one in five children in the united states lives in poverty making children the poorest age group in the united states children s defense fund 2010 land 2010 comprehensive measures of child well being have also begun to decline after showing steady improvement for most of the past 20 years given this backdrop efforts to improve the material conditions of children are likely to remain a salient issue for policymakers for many years an obvious target for policymakers is to improve the economic situation of parents indeed a vast literature in the social sciences has studied the association between parental income and children s outcomes to establish the importance of parental economic resources on children s well being one limitation of many of these studies is the lack of availability of parental income or earnings histories over long periods of time it is well established that the bias in using single year measures of parental income to proxy for long run income can be sizable and can vary by parental age solon 1992 mazumder 2005 haider and solon 2006 indeed a number of studies have shown that the estimated associations between parental income and child well being grow larger as parent income is measured over progressively longer time periods miller and korenman 1994 blau 1999 we further extend these findings using a unique dataset that includes a rich set of measures of child well being that is also linked to administrative data containing long term parental earnings histories for much larger samples of families than has typically been available specifically our dataset pools families from the 1984 1990 1993 1996 2001 and 2004 panels of the survey of income and program participation sipp each of these sipp samples were matched to earnings histories contained in social security administration ssa records we use the administrative data to construct long term time averages of parents earnings we use these time averages of parent earnings to estimate the association between parent earnings and childhood well being we use sipp topical modules on children s well being functional limitations and disability health status and utilization of health care and extended measures of well being to obtain a broad set of measures related to childhood health and well being we find that across virtually all of our indicators of childhood well being longer time averages lead to substantially larger estimates in some cases the associations more than double compared to using a single year of earnings in certain instances the estimates are only statistically significant when using the longer time averages among our substantive findings we show that a doubling of a 7 year average of earnings is associated with a 48 drop in the mean probability of a teenager reporting poor health a 39 drop in the mean probability of repeating a grade an 18 drop in the mean probability of being suspended a 75 percentage point drop in the mean probability of having insufficient food and a 6 percentage point increase in the mean number of times a child saw a doctor notably these estimates are 25 120 larger than those based on using a single year of earnings relative to the earlier studies that have shown similar patterns we use much larger samples and do not rely on self reported earnings we also exploit the very long earnings histories available in the ssa data to examine how the timing of parent earnings received during particular periods of the child s life is associated with adolescent health status the likelihood of enrolling in college and adult earnings we find suggestive evidence that for college enrollment and adult earnings parental earnings received during the school going years have a stronger association than earnings received earlier or later in the child s life we think that this is an important area for future research to further explore

intergenerational economic mobility in the united states 1940 to 2000 we estimate trends in intergenerational economic mobility by matching men in the census to synthetic parents in the prior generation we find that mobility increased from 1950 to 1980 but has declined sharply since 1980 while our estimator places greater weight on location effects than the standard intergenerational coefficient the size of the bias appears to be small our preferred results suggest that earnings are regressing to the mean more slowly now than at any time since world war ii causing economic differences between families to become more persistent however current rates of positional mobility appear historically normal

exploring the intergenerational persistence of mental health evidence from three generations this paper uses data from the 1970 british cohort study to quantify the intergenerational persistence of mental health and the long run economic costs associated with poor parental mental health we find a strong and significant intergenerational correlation that is robust to different covariate sets sample restrictions model specifications and potential endogeneity importantly the intergenerational persistence is economically relevant with maternal mental health associated with lasting effects on the child s educational attainment future household income and the probability of having criminal convictions these results do not disappear after controlling for children s own childhood and adulthood mental health

correlations of brothers earnings and intergenerational transmission correlations between parent and child earnings reflect intergenerational mobility and more broadly correlations between siblings earnings reflect shared community and family background these earnings relationships capture important aspects of relations in socioeconomic status more generally we estimate intergenerational transmission and sibling correlations of life cycle earnings jointly within a unified framework that nests previous models using data on the danish population of father first son second son triads we find that intergenerational effects account for on average 72 percent of sibling correlations this share is higher than all previous studies because we allow for heterogeneous intergenerational transmission between families sibling correlations exhibit a u shape over the working life consistent with differences in human capital investments between families

the intergenerational earnings and income mobility of canadian men evidence from longitudinal income tax data our objective is to obtain an accurate estimate of the degree of intergenerational income mobility in canada we use income tax information on about 400 000 father son pairs and find intergenerational earnings elasticities to be about 0 2 earnings mobility tends to be slightly greater than income mobility but nonparametric techniques uncover significant nonlinearities in both of these relationships intergenerational earnings mobility is greater at the lower end of the income distribution than at the upper end and displays an inverted v shape elsewhere intergenerational income mobility follows roughly the same pattern but is much lower at the very top of the income distribution

rising u s earnings inequality and family labor supply the covariance structure of intrafamily earnings this paper studies the labor supply contributions to individual and family earnings inequality during the period of rising wage inequality in the early 1980 s working couples have positively correlated labor market outcomes which are almost entirely attributable to permanent factors an intertemporal family labor supply model with this feature is used to estimate labor supply elasticities for husbands of 0 05 and wives of 0 40 this implies that labor supply explains little of the rising annual earnings inequality for married men but over 20 percent of the rise in family inequality and 50 percent of the modest rise in female inequality

decomposing intergenerational income elasticity the gender differentiated contribution of capital transmission in rural philippines summary using longitudinal data from rural philippines we decompose intergenerational income elasticity ige into five distinct pathways intergenerational transmissions of health education land and spouse education capital plus residual correlation in productivity intergenerational human capital transmissions from mothers are stronger than those from fathers maternal education is the parental capital most strongly associated with ige while naive ige estimates are indistinguishable for sons and daughters the pathways that generate these results differ strikingly for sons ige is entirely explained by parent to child capital transmission by contrast strong income correlation exists between daughters and parents even after controlling for parent and child capital endowments

an alternative measure of intergenerational income mobility based on a random coefficient model summary we propose an alternative measure of the degree to which income status is transmitted from one generation to another our indicator of intergenerational income mobility is based on a random coefficient model which allows for variation in intergenerational mobility across families due to multiplicative unobserved family specific characteristics this alternative measure suggests that intergenerational income persistence is typically stronger than when intergenerational income mobility is measured using the standard elasticity of sons income with respect to fathers income copyright 2011 john wiley sons ltd

family welfare cultures strong intergenerational correlations in various types of welfare use have fuelled a long standing debate over whether welfare receipt in one generation causes welfare participation in the next generation some claim a causal relationship in welfare receipt across generations has created a culture in which welfare use reinforces itself through the family others argue the determinants of poverty or poor health are correlated across generations so that children s welfare participation is associated with but not caused by parental welfare receipt however there is little empirical evidence to sort out these claims in this paper we investigate the existence and importance of family welfare cultures in the context of norway s disability insurance di system to overcome the challenge of correlated unobservables across generations we take advantage of random assignment of judges to di applicants whose cases are initially denied some appeal judges are systematically more lenient which leads to random variation in the probability a parent will be allowed di using this exogenous variation we find strong evidence that welfare receipt in one generation causes welfare participation in the next generation when a parent is allowed di their adult child s participation over the next five years increases by 6 percentage points this effect grows over time rising to 12 percentage points after ten years while these findings are specific to our setting they serve to highlight that welfare reforms can have long lasting effects on program participation since any original effect on the current generation could be reinforced by changing the participation behavior of their children as well the detailed nature of our data allows us to compare the intergenerational transmission with spillover effects in other networks and to explore mechanisms our findings point to a special link between parents and their children with little impact due to close neighbors di participation we find suggestive evidence that what may change as a result of a parent being allowed di is their children s beliefs about the efficacy of trying to get on to the di program or their attitudes about di participation and its stigma

intergenerational mobility and sample selection in short panels using data from the first 11 waves of the bhps this paper measures the extent of the selection bias induced by standard coresidence conditions bias that is expected to be severe in short panels on measures of intergenerational mobility in occupational prestige we try to limit the impact of other selection biases such as those induced by labour market restrictions that are typically imposed in intergenerational mobility studies by using different measures of socio economic status that account for missing labour market information we stress four main results first there is evidence of an underestimation of the true intergenerational elasticity the extent of which ranges between 12 and 39 second the proposed methods used to correct for the selection bias seem to be unable to attenuate it except for the propensity score weighting procedure which performs well in most circumstances this result is confirmed both under the assumption of missing at random data as well as under the assumption of not missing at random data third the two previous sets of results direction and extent of the bias and differential abilities to correct for it are also robust when we account for measurement error fourth restricting the sample to a period shorter than the 11 waves under analysis leads to a severe sample selection bias in the cases when the analysis is limited to eight waves this bias ranges from about 40 to 65 copyright 2006 john wiley sons ltd

trends in intergenerational income mobility previous studies of recent u s trends in intergenerational income mobility have produced widely varying results partly because of large sampling errors by making more efficient use of the available information in the panel study of income dynamics we generate more reliable estimates of the recent time series variation in intergenerational mobility our results which pertain to the cohorts born between 1952 and 1975 do not reveal major changes in intergenerational mobility

intergenerational earnings mobility and equality of opportunity in south africa summary the paper estimates the degree of intergenerational earnings persistence in south africa using microdata from the national income dynamics study nids the paper finds that intergenerational earnings mobility in south africa is low moreover a limited set of inherited circumstances explains a significant fraction of earnings inequality among male adults in particular race is shown to play a significant role the evidence provided for south africa is consistent with the hypothesis that low levels of intergenerational mobility and equality of opportunity are characteristic of high inequality emerging economies

biases in standard measures of intergenerational income dependence abstract estimates of the most common mobility measure the intergenerational elasticity can be severely biased if snapshots are used to approximate lifetime income however little is known about biases in other popular dependence measures using long swedish income series we provide such evidence for log linear and rank correlations and rank based transition probabilities attenuation bias is considerably weaker in rank based measures life cycle bias is strongest in the elasticity moderate in log linear correlations and small in rank based measures however there are important exceptions persistence in the tails of the distribution is considerably higher and long distance downward mobility lower than estimates from short run income suggest

nonlinearities in intergenerational earnings mobility consequences for cross country comparisons we show that the patterns of intergenerational earnings mobility in denmark finland and norway unlike those for the us and the uk are highly nonlinear the nordic relationship between log earnings of sons and fathers is flat in the lower segments of the fathers earnings distribution sons growing up in the poorest households have the same adult earnings prospects as sons in moderately poor households and is increasingly positive in middle and upper segments this convex pattern contrasts sharply with our findings for the us and the uk where the relationship is much closer to being linear as a result cross country comparisons of intergenerational earnings elasticities may be misleading with respect to transmission mechanisms in the central parts of the earnings distribution and uninformative in the tails of the distribution it is now a stylised fact that intergenerational earnings mobility is higher in the nordic welfare state economies than in more market oriented economies such as the us see

intergenerational income mobility in the united states social scientists and policy analysts have long expressed concern about the extent of intergenerational income mobility in the united states but remarkably little empirical evidence is available the few existing estimates of the intergenerational correlation in income have been biased downward by measurement error unrepresentative samples or both new estimates based on intergenerational data from the panel study of income dynamics imply that the intergenerational correlation in long run income is at least 0 4 indicating dramatically less mobility than suggested by earlier research copyright 1992 by american economic association

fortunate sons new estimates of intergenerational mobility in the united states using social security earnings data previous studies relying on short term averages of fathers earnings have estimated the intergenerational elasticity ige in earnings to be approximately 0 4 due to persistent transitory fluctuations these estimates have been biased down by approximately 30 or more using administrative data containing the earnings histories of parents and children the ige is estimated to be around 0 6 this suggests that the united states is substantially less mobile than previous research indicated estimates of intergenerational mobility are significantly lower for families with little or no wealth offering empirical support for theoretical models that predict differences due to borrowing constraints

do birth order and family size matter for intergenerational income mobility evidence from sweden previous studies of intergenerational income mobility have not considered potential birth order or family size effects in the estimated income elasticity this article uses a large sample of individuals born between 1962 and 1964 income elasticities with respect to parents incomes are estimated for individuals with different birth order positions and family sizes results based on labour income and total income for sons and daughters are reported separately the elasticity tends to decrease with family size as well as with birth order for a given family size especially in the labour income analysis of fathers and sons

does parents money matter abstract this paper asks whether parents income per se has a positive impact on children s abilities previous research has established that income is positively correlated across generations this does not prove that parents money matters however since income is presumably correlated with ability this paper estimates the impact of parents income by focusing on income variation due to factors union industry and job loss that arguably represent luck i find that changes in parents income due to luck have a negligible impact on children s human capital for most families although parents money does matter for families whose father has low education

a theory of intergenerational mobility we study the link between market forces cross sectional inequality and intergenerational mobility emphasizing complementarities in the production of human capital we show that wealthy parents i

intergenerational occupational mobility in rural economy evidence from nepal and vietnam abstract this paper presents evidence on intergenerational occupational mobility from agriculture to the nonfarm sector using survey data from nepal and vietnam in the absence of credible instruments the degree of selection on observables is used as a guide to the degree of selection on unobservables a la altonji et al 2005 to address the unobserved genetic correlations the results show that intergenerational occupational mobility is lower among women in both countries and is lower in nepal compared with vietnam in the case of nepal strong evidence favors a causal role played by the mother s nonfarm participation in the daughter s occupation choice possibly because of cultural inheritance in a traditional society

intergenerational mobility new evidence from consumption data the intergenerational persistence of consumption describes the extent to which children inherit the living standards of their parents evidence on this parameter is scarce due to limited data on the joint consumption of parents and children this paper identifies parents who participated in the danish expenditure survey links them to their children through population wide danish registries and estimates the intergenerational elasticity of consumption in denmark the results suggest that consistent with intergenerational consumption smoothing the persistence of consumption across generations is higher than the persistence of earnings and income

intergenerational talent transmission inequality and social mobility abstract the paper investigates the effects of intra family talent transmission when human capital exhibits indivisibilities and parental financing of education involves borrowing constraints positive talent correlation reduces social mobility but steady state inequality and macroeconomic history dependence are not affected

location matters historical racial segregation and intergenerational mobility abstract this paper explores historical patterns of racial segregation and its relationship with the observed spatial variation in contemporaneous economic mobility established in chetty et al 2014 we combined data from the equality of opportunity project with a novel measure of racial segregation developed in logan and parman forthcoming and find that past racial segregation explains a significant portion of the spatial variation in intergenerational mobility these findings are consistent with models showing that persistent institutional factors may drive long term outcomes across areas racial segregation and the environment that fosters it may diminish upward economic mobility by reducing access to networks labor and capital markets and political institutions if so then reducing the impact of these persistent processes may be key to mitigating current day gaps in wealth income and overall well being

an analysis of the impact of sample attrition on the second generation of respondents in the michigan panel study of income dynamics only a few studies have tried to estimate the trend in the elasticity of children s economic status with respect to parents economic status and these studies produce conflicting results in an attempt to reconcile these findings we use the panel study

grind or gamble an experiment on effort and spread seeking in contests we conduct a contest experiment to study if spread seeking and effort can be managed when participants can invest in increasing both the mean and the spread of an uncertain performance variable subjects are treated with different prize schemes and in accordance with theory we observe higher investments in spread for the winner take all scheme both types of investments can be controlled with a three level prize scheme however the control management is imperfect and behavior is characterized by inertia we also explore the correlation between effort and spread across subjects and find that is robustly positive

an examination of personality in occupational outcomes antagonistic managers careless workers and extraverted salespeople abstractthis article investigates the role of personality in the sorting of individuals between a number of occupations allowing for an extensive array of conditioning variables the focus is an examination of the relationship between occupational outcomes and personality using the five factor model we estimate a multinomial logit model using a panel data set from the household income and labour dynamics in australia hilda survey human capital variables are found to exhibit strong credentialism effects and there is evidence for some small dynasty hysteresis personality effects are found to be significant relatively large and persistent across all occupations the personality effects are strong enough to rival that of various education credentials these personality effects include but are not limited to managers being less agreeable and more antagonistic labourers being less conscientiousness and salespeople being more extraverted

another problem in the estimation of intergenerational income mobility abstract the current econometric model of intergenerational income mobility is premised on a simplified notion of permanent income analytical results and empirical evidence suggest that estimates are not robust to failure of this assumption

a longitudinal analysis of sibling correlations in economic status numerous previous studies have used sibling correlations to measure the importance of family background as a determinant of economic status the sibling correlations estimated in these studies however have been depressed by a failure to distinguish transitory and permanent income variation and in some cases by overly homogeneous samples this paper presents a methodology to address these problems and applies it to longitudinal data from the panel study of income dynamics our main conclusion is that family background exerts greater influence on economic status than has been indicated by most earlier research

patterns of intergenerational mobility in income and earnings this paper characterizes the patterns of intergenerational mobility in the united states using data for matched parent child pairs from the national longitudinal surveys in general what is found is far from the extremes of either perfect mobility or perfect immobility parents log income explains only about 9 percent to 11 percent of the variation in children s log incomes earnings exhibit more mobility than does total income and the difference is most striking for daughters the paper also identifies the influence of family background characteristics on mobility the addition of these background variables adds another 3 to 5 percent age points to the r2 in the intergenerational earnings and income regressions copyright 1992 by mit press

snapshots versus movies empirical studies of the intergenerational inheritance of economic status should use observations on complete lifetime status profiles of parents and children to be consistent with underlying theory but they cannot only snapshots rather than movies on status are currently available in samples estimates of the degree of intergenerational inheritance may therefore be subject to lifecycle biases the paper investigates these in the context of a lifecycle earnings model and shows that these biases may be large that their direction varies and that correction methods suggested hitherto have questionable reliability until more complete data sets become available researchers should be more temperate in the conclusions they draw

the production of human capital and the lifecycle of earnings variations on a theme in this work i enquire into the empirical validity and some implications of yoram ben porath s insights section ii answers the question are the shapes and magnitudes of growth in wage profiles largely attributable to human capital investments section iii tests the proposition that over the working age capacity wages decline before observed wages do implied timing of labor supply provides the test in section iv implications are drawn from ben porath s model for interpersonal differences and for the correlation between schooling and training

intergenerational earnings persistence and economic inequality in the long run evidence from french cohorts 1931 75 this paper analyses long term trends in intergenerational earnings persistence in france for male cohorts born between 1931 and 1975 this time period has witnessed important changes in the french labour market and educational system in particular an important compression of earnings differentials as well as a large expansion in access to secondary and higher education using a two sample instrumental variables approach i estimate two measures of intergenerational economic persistence the intergenerational earnings elasticity ige and the intergenerational correlation igc over the period the ige exhibits a v shaped pattern it falls from a high of value of 0 6 for cohorts born in the 1930s to around 0 4 for those born in the 1950s but subsequently rises to a level close to that at the beginning of the period in contrast the igc remains relatively stable over the period this suggests that changes in the ige are partly driven by transitory responses to changes in cross sectional inequality rather than long term changes in the degree of intergenerational persistence

earnings dynamics and inequality among canadian men 1976 1992 evidence from longitudinal income tax records using an extraordinary database drawn from longitudinal income tax records we decompose canada s growth in earnings inequality into its persistent and transitory components we find that the growth in earnings inequality reflects both an increase in long run inequality and an increase in earnings instability the canadian data strongly reject several restrictions commonly imposed in the u s literature and they also suggest that imposing these evidently false restrictions may lead to distorted inferences about earnings dynamics and inequality trends

intergenerational income mobility among daughters new evidence on daughters intergenerational mobility in a framework that encompasses women not in the labor force using broader measures of economic status than just the women s own earnings is presented and the role of husbands earnings is highlighted a parallel analysis of sons mobility is performed intergenerational transmission of income status may be weaker for daughters than for sons but is still quite substantial assortative mating is an important element in the intergenerational transmission process

changing roles of ability and education in u s intergenerational mobility using data on young adults from the 1979 and 1997 national longitudinal survey of youth we investigate the changing roles of ability and education in the transmission of economic status across generations we find that ability plays a substantially diminished role for the most recent cohort whereas education plays a much larger role the first finding results primarily from a smaller effect of children s ability on status the second from an increased correlation between parental status and educational attainment a replication of the analysis by gender reveals that the changes in the role of ability are largely driven by men whereas the changes in education s role are largely driven by women jel j62 i24

the inheritance of inequality how level is the intergenerational playing field what are the causal mechanisms that underlie the intergenerational transmission of economic status are these mechanisms amenable to public policies in a way that would make the attainment of economic success more fair these are the questions we will try to answer

decomposing economic mobility transition matrices the intergenerational mobility literature has consistently found that the distribution of adult economic outcomes differ markedly depending on parental economic status yet much remains to be understood about the drivers or determinants of this relationship existing literature on potential drivers focuses primarily on mean effects to help provide a more complete picture of the potential forces driving economic persistence we propose a method to decompose transition matrices and related indices specifically we decompose differences between an estimated transition matrix and a benchmark transition matrix into portions attributable to differences in characteristics between individuals from different households a composition effect and portions attributable to differing returns to these characteristics between individuals from different households a structure effect we also incorporate a detailed decomposition based on copula theory that decomposes the composition effect into portions attributable to specific covariates and their interactions we illustrate our method using data on white men from the 1979 national longitudinal survey of youth estimation is based on an extended mincer equation that includes cognitive and non cognitive measures to address the potential endogeneity of education we implement an iv strategy that allows us to estimate causal effects and investigate the role of unobserved ability

the political economy of intergenerational income mobility the intergenerational elasticity of income is considered one of the best measures of the degree to which a society gives equal opportunity to its members while much research has been devoted to measuring this reduced form parameter less is known about its underlying structural determinants using a model with exogenous talent endowments endogenous parental investment in children and endogenous redistributive institutions we identify the structural parameters that govern the intergenerational elasticity of income the model clarifies how the interaction between private and collective decisions determines the equilibrium level of social mobility two societies with similar economic and biological fundamentals may have vastly different degrees of intergenerational mobility depending on their political institutions we offer empirical evidence in line with the predictions of the model we conclude that international comparisons of intergenerational elasticity of income are not particularly informative about fairness without taking into account differences in politico economic institutions jel e24 j62 j68 p16