do high taxes lock in capital gains evidence from a dual income tax system the purpose of this paper is to study whether investors willingness to realize capital gains falls when the marginal tax rate on capital gains is raised we use a rich register based panel data set covering almost 8 of the swedish population the results indicate that a 10 increase in capital gains tax rate reduces the number of realizations of capital gains with 8 7 and the realized amount given the decision to realize with 1 9 in addition we find that wealthy individuals seem to respond more to changes in capital gains tax rates than less wealthy

a lack of insight do venture capitalists really understand their own decision process abstract what decision criteria do venture capitalists vcs use to make their investment decisions this question has received much attention within entrepreneurship literature i e wells 1974 poindexter 1976 tyebjee and bruno 1984 macmillan seigel and subba narasimha 1985 macmillan zeman and subba narasimha 1987 robinson 1987 timmons et al 1987 sandberg schweiger and hofer 1988 hall and hofer 1993 zacharakis and meyer 1995 for a number of reasons first vc backed ventures achieve a higher survival rate than non vc backed businesses kunkel and hofer 1990 sandberg 1986 timmons 1994 second a better understanding of the decision process may lead to even better survival rates finally entrepreneurs seeking venture funding benefit if they understand what factors are most important to the vc although past research has greatly contributed to our understanding of the decision it may be biased and somewhat misleading the majority of past studies rely on post hoc methodologies e g interviews and surveys to capture the decision process post hoc methods assume that vcs can accurately relate their own decision processes but studies from cognitive psychology suggest that people in particular experts are poor at introspecting introspection is subject to rationalization and post hoc recall biases using social judgment theory and the associated lens model as a framework the current study investigates how well vcs introspect about their own decision process and by extension whether the past research efforts are biased the current research uses policy capturing a real time method common in cognitive psychology to capture the vc s actual theories in use versus their espoused theories hitt and tyler 1991 policy capturing requires that vcs make a series of real time decisions based on various information factors regression analysis of each vcs decision captures how important each of the information factors is to her his actual decision process after the vcs make their decisions they provided a weighting of how they believe they used the information factors comparing the captured decision policies to stated decision policies provides a measure of vc insight the findings suggest that vcs are not good at introspecting about their own decision process even within the confines of a controlled experiment which greatly reduces the amount of information considered vcs lacked strong understanding of how they made decisions most decision makers would like to have all relevant information available for their decision however as more information becomes available insight diminishes finally this study finds that vcs are very consistent in their decision process even though they do not necessarily understand how they make their decisions vcs face a plethora of information when making an investment decision i e business plan outside consultants due diligence etc it may be difficult for vcs to truly understand their intuitive decision process because of all the noise caused by this information overload this lack of systematic understanding impedes learning vcs cannot make accurate adjustments to their evaluation process if they do not truly understand it therefore vcs may suffer from a systematic bias that impedes the performance of their investment portfolio the methodology used in this experiment can be modified and used as a training tool for active vcs in addition the consistent nature of vc decision making even if they do not have a strong understanding of that process is favorable to the development of decision aides decision aides can minimize the danger of salient information e g the lead entrepreneur is a winner clouding the vc s judgment past research also needs to be interpreted in a new light although vcs undoubtedly use some of the information cited in past studies the relative importance of that information needs to be reevaluated vcs may not for instance rely most on the background of the entrepreneurial team in addition it is likely that the past studies provide more information factors than vcs actually use people have a tendency to overstate the information they believe they relied upon and to use far less information typically three to seven factors to make a decision than they actually think they use the methodology used in this experiment has the potential to identify the more relevant information factors cited in previous work even though vcs are experts in the new venture funding realm their decision process has room for improvement almost 40 of all backed ventures fail to provide a return to the vc considering the billions invested each year a modest improvement in the failure rate can have a substantial impact on venture portfolio returns that improvement starts by better understanding the decision process this study is a step in that direction

in search of smoking guns what makes income inequality vary over time in different countries we investigate the forces affecting the distribution of income by analyzing an unbalanced panel of information for 16 industrialized countries for the years 1966 through 1994 income inequality is measured with the gini coefficient of equivalent disposable income individuals are the unit of analysis the statistical analysis uses panel methods the results suggest that many factors affect the development of income inequality some factors are strictly economic a decreased industrial sector generally fosters inequality and some support is found for the view that increased trade of manufactured goods from developing countries is also a factor other forces are outside a strictly defined market sphere low inequality is found when a large proportion of the labor force belongs to a trade union and also when there is a large public sector in addition demographic circumstances are important since the proportion of the population under age 15 has a positive effect on inequality we find however no association between the unemployment rate and inequality

rent seeking and the transformation of employment relationships the effect of corporate restructuring on wage patterns determinants and inequality a key debate in research on corporate restructuring is whether this widespread and extensive transformation process made contemporary employment relationships more open with firms relying largely o

globalization and the great u turn income inequality trends in 16 oecd countries the debate on the resurgence of income inequality in some advanced industrial societies has often focused on the impact of an increasingly integrated world economy typified by growing capital mobility heightened international competition and an increase in migration this study represents one of the first systematic cross national examinations of the role of globalization in the inequality u turn results indicate on the one hand that total inequality variation is principally affected by the percentage of the labor force in agriculture followed by the institutional factors union density and decommodification and only then by globalization on the other hand longitudinal variation in inequality while still dominated by the percentage of the labor force in agriculture is also principally affected by aspects of globalization such as southern import penetration and direct investment outflow and to a lesser extent by migration in other words globalization explains the longitudinal trend of inc

new venture teams assessment of learning assistance from venture capital firms abstract prior research examining whether venture capital firms vcs add value to the ventures in their portfolios by advising their new venture teams nvts has led to inconclusive results whereas most prior studies have assumed that nvts value vc assistance this study tests for the possibility that they differentially value two different types of vc assistance business management and operational we collected data by surveying 837 firms identified in the venture capital journal that had received financing from venture capital firms only firms that received first round financing were included in our analysis which reduced our sample size to 205 firms our central finding is that systematic differences exist among nvts in their evaluation of learning assistance from vcs even though vcs can chose their own level of involvement with an nvt successfully improving venture performance through nonfinancial assistance at least partially depends upon the extent to which the nvt values vc input our results indicate that nvts with more industry experience and longer team tenure in the current venture are negatively related to both business management advice and operational assistance offered by their vcs however when an nvt has previously worked together and when its primary experience is from another industry it tends to welcome business management advice from its vc one interpretation of this finding is that an advanced level of operational specialization already exists in such a team which reinforces established operating patterns changing established operating patterns could make it more costly to adopt vc input on operational issues however business management advice may be more welcome because the nvt is still learning how to compete in a new industry these findings add to the growing literature that suggests that vcs play a particularly important role in entrepreneurial ventures when they pursue the development of new technologies ehrlich et al 1994 sapienza 1992 however business management advice is not highly valued by nvts that pursue more technical innovations these findings in combination with those of sapienza and amason 1993 suggest that conflict in the vc nvt relationship may be the greatest when the parties attempt to resolve critical differences which ironically appear to be the ones where the nvt could derive the greatest benefit from listening to its vc finally current firm performance is not related to the nvt s evaluation of vc assistance although cross sectional measures of performance have obvious limitations particularly with new ventures these results indicate that the nvt evaluation of vc assistance is not driven by short term performance past research has shown that vcs vary widely in their preferred level of involvement with the managers of firms in their portfolio some vcs prefer a laissez faire approach whereas others think that they must be more involved if they are to ultimately receive high rewards the central finding from this study is that significant differences exist among nvts in their evaluation of business management and operational assistance for vcs that are more involved these findings suggest that the optimal level of involvement is also partially contingent upon the nvts openness to learning ignoring the contingent nature of the vc nvt relationship vcs could reduce their influence as a tool to improve firm performance and to ensure the ultimate survival of the venture

skill biased technological change and rising wage inequality some problems and puzzles the recent rise in wage inequality is usually attributed to skill biased technical change sbtc associated with new computer technologies we review the evidence for this hypothesis focusing on the implications of sbtc for overall wage inequality and for changes in wage differentials between groups a key problem for the sbtc hypothesis is that wage inequality stabilized in the 1990s despite continuing advances in computer technology sbtc also fails to explain the evolution of other dimensions of wage inequality including the gender and racial wage gaps and the age gradient in the return to education

a life course trajectory framework for understanding the intracohort pattern of wage inequality much research has been devoted to cross sectional and intercohort patterns of wage inequality but relatively little is known about the mechanisms for the intracohort pattern of wage inequality to fill this intellectual gap this article establishes a life course trajectory lct framework for understanding the intracohort pattern of wage inequality first the author proposes and conceptualizes three essential properties of the lct framework random variability trajectory heterogeneity and cumulative advantage that are used to establish a mathematical formalization of the lct framework both the conceptualization and the formalization imply that intracohort wage inequality will increase over the life course due to random variability trajectory heterogeneity and cumulative advantage finally the author combines the lct framework with the multilevel growth curve model then applies the model to data from the nlsy79 and finds support for the significance of random variability trajectory heterogenei

the rise of intra occupational wage inequality in the united states 1983 to 2002 wage inequality has increased dramatically in the united states since the 1980s this article investigates the relationship between this trend and occupational structure measured at the three digit level using the current population survey from 1983 to 2002 we find that the direct association between occupations and wage inequality declined over this period as within occupational inequality grew faster than betweenoccupational inequality we estimate multilevel growth models using detailed occupational categories as the unit of analysis to assess how the characteristics of occupations affect changes in mean wages and levels of wage inequality across this time period the results indicate that changes in mean wages across occupations vary depending on the characteristics of individuals in those occupations and that intraoccupational inequality is difficult to predict using conventional labor force data these findings seem largely inconsistent with the common sociological view of occupation as the most fundamental feature of the labor market correspondingly a more comprehensive approach one that incorporates the effects of organizational variables and market processes on rising wage inequality in the new economy is warranted

heterogeneous vertical tax externalities and macroeconomic effects of federal tax changes the role of fiscal advantage abstract how do state tax rates respond to federal tax shocks this paper presents a novel mechanism of heterogeneous vertical tax externalities across state levels of fiscal advantage showing that tax increases can be expansionary even without their reinvestment states rich in natural resources have a fiscal advantage in the inter state competition over production factors which allows them to respond better to increases in federal taxes and consequently attract capital from other parts of the nation we add heterogeneity in fiscal advantage levels to an otherwise standard model of vertical tax externalities and horizontal tax competition the model shows that irrespective of federal redistribution the contractionary effect of a federal tax increase can be overturned in fiscally advantaged states through an increase in their tax base using the case of the u s and narrative based measures of federal tax shocks a la romer and romer 2010 we provide empirical evidence for the various aspects of this mechanism specifically our baseline estimates indicate that controlling for federal transfers a 1 increase in the gdp share of capital related federal taxes at the beginning of a year increases the growth rate of the per capita tax base by approximately 0 7 in high fiscal advantage states at the end of it

the living dead phenomenon in venture capital investments abstract living dead investments represent the middle ground of venture capital investing outcomes lying between winners that produce adequate multiples of return on investment and losers that result in loss of invested funds living dead investments are typically mid to later stage ventures that are economically self sustaining but that fail to achieve levels of sales growth or profitability necessary to produce attractive final rates of return or exit opportunities for their venture capital investors this article reports the results of a survey of 80 u s venture capital firms that investigated the living dead phenomenon and strategies used by venture capital investors to deal with living dead companies venture capital managers reported that living dead conditions were usually caused by deficiencies in investee management particularly in responding to market conditions as well as markets that were too small or two slow growing missed opportunities and unanticipated competition the timeframe of this phenomenon is typically after product development and initial sales have been achieved and during the rollout stage of pushing for rapid growth and market share the key characteristic of living dead companies in the eyes of their investors is their very poor prospects for producing a successful exit for their investors usually because of more limited growth than originally anticipated or inadequate profitability although the rate of return boundaries for living dead companies were wide ranging from a rate of return ror of 0 on the low side to 10 on the high side most were described by venture capital managers as economically self sustaining in the near term and a number of living dead companies had reached 5 m to 15 m in revenues thus the concept of a living dead investment is specific to the context of venture capital backed investing and represents primarily a failure of investor expectations as distinct from an economic failure of the venture overall the 80 venture capital firms projected that 20 6 of their investments would end up as living dead companies by the point of final distribution when living dead situations occur venture capital managers use a number of strategies to attempt to turnaround these companies or to achieve an exit the most often used strategy was to attempt to sell or merge the company but usually only after one or more preliminary steps to turnaround the company had been attempted first including replacing investee management repositioning the product and making revisions to the venture opportunity strategy firms that projected lower percentages of living dead investments at distribution as well as firms using high rate of return targets for their portfolios were slightly more likely to use active intervention strategies to turnaround or liquidate living dead investments than firms that expected higher percentages of living dead companies at distribution or firms that used lower rate of return targets overall venture capital managers were able to achieve a successful turnaround or exit in only 55 9 of living dead situations and these results were unrelated to the age of the venture capital firms their size or the relative availability of investor personnel for monitoring investees this result in conjunction with the high number of causal factors identified for living dead situations that involved adverse market factors suggests that successful or unsuccessful outcomes with living dead investments may be largely determined by the underlying causation of the living dead problems and whether or not these causal factors are controllable by the venture capital investors inadequate investee management and internal operational problems can potentially be remedied by venture capital investors whereas markets that are too small or too slow growing or severe industry oversupply conditions are largely outside of their control

measuring permanent responses to capital gains tax changes in panel data the authors use panel data and information about differences in state tax rates to separate the effects of transitory and permanent tax rate changes on capital gains realizations behavior the estimated effect of permanent change is substantially smaller than the effect of transitory change the difference is even larger than differences between estimates from past micro data studies which have primarily measured the transitory effect and time series studies which have primarily measured the permanent effect the authors results resolve a long standing conflict between micro data and time series studies of how marginal tax rates affect capital gains realizations behavior copyright 1994 by american economic association

the care economy gender economic restructuring and job polarization in the u s labor market the u s job structure became increasingly polarized at the turn of the twenty first century as high and low wage jobs grew strongly and many middle wage jobs declined prior research on the sourc

the fallacy of only the strong survive the effects of extrinsic motivation on the persistence decisions for under performing firms abstract under performing firms persist even though existing theoretical perspectives indicate that they should be selected out of the market building upon threshold theory gimeno j folta t cooper a woo c 1997 survival of the fittest entrepreneurial human capital and the persistence of underperforming firms administrative science quarterly 42 750 783 and using staw s staw b m 1981 the escalation of commitment to a course of action academy of management review 6 4 577 587 theoretical model of commitment to a course of action we explore and test the factors that lead entrepreneurs to persist with under performing firms we found environmental munificence personal investment personal options previous organizational success and perceived collective efficacy impact the decision to persist with an under performing firm in addition extrinsic motivation moderates those relationships this research adds to the growing literature on highly persistent under performing firms and complements and extends threshold theory

the impact of marginal tax rates on taxable income evidence from state income tax differentials the relationship between marginal tax rates and taxable income is analyzed with a large cross section of income tax returns filed by individuals who face different marginal tax rates because of state income tax differentials the empirical results suggest that an increase in the marginal tax rate reduces taxable income primarily because taxpayers claim larger deductions high income taxpayers are found to be more responsive to tax rate changes than lower income individuals the findings are compared to those of other recent studies incorporating a wider range of taxpayer responses to tax rate changes than considered in this study

the gender gap in earnings at career entry we propose a new approach to analyzing gender differences in wages this approach identifies several alternative explanatory mechanisms to account for the sorting of women and men into different types of jobs that offer different levels of reward because labor market rewards derive from labor market positions we study matching processes operating at the micro level that sort workers into existing slots in a given macro level structure of jobs and associated wages we focus on the explanation of gender differences in wages at career entry analyzing data from the national longitudinal survey of youth collected between 1979 and 1991 we find that at career entry women earn 84 cents for every dollar men earn gender differences in worker characteristics account for only about 30 percent of this wage gap gender differences in occupational aspirations have the most important effect accounting for 16 percent of the wage gap and gender differences in job related skills and credentials account for about 14 percent of the wage gap gender differences in adult family roles have little direct effect our analysis further suggests that the external influences of employing organizations and network processes on gender differences in occupational and industrial placement at career entry account for another 42 percent of the wage gap t is well established that in the united states on average women s wages are lower than those of men data on the 1992 annual earnings of full time year round workers ages 16 and older indicate that on average women earned 71 cents for every dollar earned by men u s bureau of the census 1993 we analyze gender differences in wages at career entry when market con

what do we really know about wages the importance of nonreporting and census imputation in the most frequently used microdata sets over a quarter of all respondents now refuse to answer some questions about their incomes the census bureau has dealt with this problem which has been increasing in severity over time by imputing incomes of non respondents their imputation procedure called the hot deck essentially matches nonrespondents with demographically similar donors in this paper we evaluate the census imputation methodology and raise some questions first the census procedure is tied to commonality of events in the population rather than the more appropriate informational content of regressors clearly the census procedure severely understates income in certain occupations because it is based on the apparently invalid assumption that income does not affect reporting propensities it most likely understates average incomes as well

the structure of disadvantage individual and occupational determinants of the black white wage gap this study is motivated by the idea that the racial gap in earnings is generated not only by individual differences but also by systematic variation in the occupational structure that attenuates or exacerbates the effects of race using data from the 1990 census and the dictionary of occupational titles a hierarchical linear modeling approach is employed that allows the simultaneous exploration of the mechanisms of income inequality operating both within and between occupations among private sector employees striking evidence shows that racial disparities increase in both absolute and percentage terms as one moves up the occupational earnings hierarchy the association between average occupational earnings and within occupation racial disadvantage reveals an overlooked source of racial earnings inequality which constrains the opportunities available to upwardly mobile black men in the private sector this association cannot be explained by measured individual characteristics or by the status demographic composition or skill demands of occupations in the public sector on the other hand racial inequality in earnings is not systematically associated with average occupational earnings and is instead more closely tied to individual human capital and occupational placement the implications of these results are considered and directions for future research are suggested

the polarization of the u s labor market this paper analyzes a marked change in the evolution of the u s wage structure over the past fifteen years divergent trends in upper tail 90 50 and lower tail 50 10 wage inequality we document that wage inequality in the top half of distribution has displayed an unchecked and rather smooth secular rise for the last 25 years since 1980 wage inequality in the bottom half of the distribution also grew rapidly from 1979 to 1987 but it has ceased growing and for some measures actually narrowed since the late 1980s furthermore we find that occupational employment growth shifted from monotonically increasing in wages education in the 1980s to a pattern of more rapid growth in jobs at the top and bottom relative to the middles of the wage education distribution in the 1990s we characterize these patterns as the u201cpolarization u201d of the u s labor market with employment polarizing into high wage and low wage jobs at the expense of middle wage work we show how a model of computerization in which computers most strongly complement the non routine abstract cognitive tasks of high wage jobs directly substitute for the routine tasks found in many traditional middle wage jobs and may have little direct impact on non routine manual tasks in relatively low wage jobs can help explain the observed polarization of the u s labor market this abstract was borrowed from another version of this item

income inequality in the united states 1913 1998 this paper presents new homogeneous series on top shares of income and wages from 1913 to 1998 in the united states using individual tax returns data top income and wages shares display a u shaped pattern over the century our series suggest that the large shocks that capital owners experienced during the great depression and world war ii have had a permanent effect on top capital incomes we argue that steep progressive income and estate taxation may have prevented large fortunes from fully recovering from these shocks top wage shares were flat before world war ii dropped precipitously during the war and did not start to recover before the late 1960s but are now higher than before world war ii as a result the working rich have replaced the rentiers at the top of the income distribution

constructing labor markets the valuation of black labor in the u s south 1831 to 1867 in the u s south a free labor market rapidly although in some cases only nominally replaced the plantation system of slave labor in the years following the american civil war drawing on data comprising 75 099 transactions in the antebellum period as well as 1 378 labor contracts in the postbellum era i examine how the valuation of black labor was transformed between the 1830s and the years of emancipation i trace the process of valuation through four markets for labor moving from slave purchases and appraisals within the plantation economy to the antebellum system of hiring out to wage setting for black labor under the auspices of the freedmen s bureau comparative analysis of labor pricing across these markets reveals systematic differences slave markets placed price premiums on children and young women and occupational skills emerged as the most salient influence in the pricing of wage labor i conclude by theorizing how transvaluation of labor occurs when markets for unfree and free worker

capital gains taxation and realizations evidence from interstate comparisons this paper documents the interstate variation in capital gains taxation and examines the relation between the marginal tax rate on capital gains and aggregated state level realizations between 1979 and 1990 using state level aggregated data rather than data on individual taxpayers alleviates the problem that the marginal tax rate is endogenous to the amount of capital gains realized the estimated elasticity of realizations with respect to the tax rate is 0 65 smaller than that found by most researchers using panel data this finding is robust to a variety of alternative specifications copyright 1995 by mit press

not by productivity alone how visibility and specialization contribute to academic earnings the popular adage publish or perish has long defined individual career strategies as well as scholarly investigations of earnings inequality in academe as researchers have relied heavily on rese

inequality income growth and mobility the basic facts during the 1950s and 1960s mean wages in the united states grew rapidly and the dispersion around this growing mean changed very litde starting in the 1970s and continuing into the 1980s and 1990s these patterns were reversed mean wages grew slowly and inequality increased rapidly these changes in labor markets were reflected in changes in the distribution of family income the mean of the distribution of family income did increase after 1973 in spite of the near constancy of mean real wages as family members increased the number of hours they worked however the increase in inequality of wages was mirrored by an increase in the dispersion of family income a large descriptive literature has documented the rise in inequality while a smaller behavioral literature has sought to delineate the causes of this rise these changes in the distribution of family income a fected rates of poverty directly during the 1950s and 1960s temporary increases in poverty during recessions were more than offset by declines in poverty during economic expansions as long as the poor gained along with everyone else fi om the secular growth in the mean one could be confident that poverty rates would ratchet down this is exactly what happened as poverty rates fell from 22 4 percent in 1959 to 11 1 percent in 1973

educational expansion skills diffusion and the economic value of credentials and skills examining the economic value of education has been a central research agenda of social scientists for decades however prior research inadequately accounts for the discrepancy between educational

economic segmentation worker power and income inequality how economic segmentation generates income inequality constitutes a central question for theories of economic and social organization and of socioeconomic achievement previous research emphasizes two sources of the structural variation in income 1 employers with large amounts of resources for a variety of reasons may find it in their interests to pay workers higher wages and 2 some workers are able to acquire power against their employers as well as against other workers and can therefore extract higher earnings in this paper we investigate several issues involved in the links among economic segmentation worker power and income inequality we argue that the structure of economic segmentation is multidimensional and reflects such distinct concepts as concentration economic scale state intervention in the market capital intensity and organization size worker power also is derived from diverse sources such as union membership occupational skill and licensing class position and tenure wi

shareholder wealth and wages evidence for white collar workers we present empirical evidence on the relationship between individual wages conditional on worker characteristics and equity returns using a unique survey from the bureau of labor statistics equity returns affect the wages only of workers with three or more years of tenure a 4 percent increase in a firm s market value raises pay by 0 3 percent within three years our estimates suggest that each 10 increase in shareholder wealth raises the present value of a firm s wage bill by 1 the elasticity of white collar wages with respect to equity returns is one third smaller than the ceo salary elasticities in our sample

organizational differentiation and earnings dispersion this article analyzes earnings distribution within organizations a formal model specifies mechanisms through which the hierarchical structure of organizations is likely to influence the extent of earnings dispersion the predictions derived from the model are confronted with data on the pay structure and formal organizational structure of 5 600 swedish manufacturing establishments the empirical analyses largely confirm the predictions derived from the model the extent of earnings dispersion within an organization is closely related to the vertical and horizontal differentiation of its formal structure this conclusion holds true even when the sex education and work experiences of those populating the organizational structures are controlled for

early rates of return of 131 venture capital funds started 1978 1984 abstract the organized venture capital industry is now more than 40 years old in the last decade the pool of venture capital has increased almost tenfold to a current total of about 30 billion despite its comparative maturity there has been no systematic tracking of the financial performance of the industry an extensive search of the scholarly literature found that published information on rates of return was skimpy and not very reliable in response to the need for valid and reliable industrywide rates of return venture economics launched a data base in 1985 that records the rates of return of venture capital funds quarterly for the period 1970 1984 there are 131 different funds in the data base for the period 1970 1978 the data base covers 15 of all new capital committed to private funds for the period 1981 1982 it covers 50 venture economics adds funds to the data base on an ongoing basis preliminary analysis of the compound annual rates of return for the period 1978 1985 shows that funds started in 1978 1979 performed magnificently with returns well in excess of the oft quoted industry expectation of 25 30 funds started in the later part of the period did not perform nearly as well however it is much too early to make any predictions about the final rates of return of the funds because the oldest fund for which the rates are presented in this paper was 7 years old and the youngest was 15 months because they will have a life of at least 10 years these funds have a long way to go before their portfolios are fully harvested and their final rates of return are known the implications of the work reported in this paper will be derived from the following fact the rates of return of venture capital are being recorded in a systematic way for the first time in the history of the organized industry it is now possible to study the performance of venture capital with valid and reliable data we expect that those studies will cover a range of applications from pragmatic analyses such as the performance of investment portfolios to theoretical questions such as the efficiency of the market in allocating venture capital

stratification by regulation are bootleggers and baptists biased this paper investigates whether and to what extent regulation may be associated with wage inequality using regulation measures created by al ubaydli and mclaughlin regul govern 11 109 123 2017 i find that regulation is associated with larger within occupation wage inequality specifically i show that a worker at the 90th wage percentile realizes a raise of 1 19 per hour relative to the 10th percentile earner for each standard deviation increase in regulation that represents a 3 5 raise for a worker at the 90th percentile overall increases in the regulatory burden are associated with 42 45 of the change in the 90th 10th percentile wage ratio from 2002 through 2014

why do some occupations pay more than others social closure and earnings inequality in the united states1 this article elaborates and evaluates the neo weberian notion of social closure to investigate positional inequality in the united states it argues that social and legal barriers around occupations raise the rewards of their members by restricting the labor supply enhancing diffuse demand channeling demand or signaling a particular quality of service hypotheses derived from the closure perspective are evaluated using new data that map five institutionalized closure devices licensing educational credentialing voluntary certification association representation and unionization onto 488 occupations results from multilevel models demonstrate that closure practices particularly those that generate tangible restrictions on the labor supply shape the contemporary structure of occupational earnings returns to these strategies vary across occupations but are not tightly linked to the complexity of the occupation s knowledge base if suitably elaborated closure theory thus offers a promising complemen

the new closed shop the economic and structural effects of occupational licensure during the past few decades licensure a state enforced mechanism for regulating occupational entry quickly became the most prevalent form of occupational closure broad consensus among researchers holds that licensure creates wage premiums by establishing economic monopolies this article demonstrates that contrary to established wisdom licensure does not limit competition nor does it increase wages results are based on a new occupational dataset covering 30 years that exploits interstate variability in licensure across the 300 census identified occupations i argue that licensure instead of increasing wages creates a set of institutional mechanisms that enhance entry into the occupation particularly for historically disadvantaged groups while simultaneously stagnating quality

accounting for the recent decline in global income inequality following nearly two centuries of growth global income inequality declined in the last decades of the 20th century to determine the causes of that historic decline we focus on income inequality across nations and find that the major equalizing force is faster than world average income growth in china and south asia industrializing regions where 40 of the world s people live apparently what matters most about economic globalization thus far is its role in the spread of industrialization throughout populous poor regions of the world if so then globalization most likely has reduced global income inequality this decline is anticipated to continue over the next few decades first because of the continued industrialization of poor regions and second because most of the growth in the world s working age population will occur in poor regions

school to work linkages educational mismatches and labor market outcomes a recurring question in public and scientific debates is whether occupation specific skills enhance labor market outcomes is it beneficial to have an educational degree that is linked to only one

the potential of actuarial decision models abstract venture capitalists vcs are considered experts in identifying high potential new ventures gazelles vc backed ventures survive at a much higher rate than those ventures backed by other sources kunkel and hofer 1991 sandberg 1986 timmons 1994 thus the vc decision process has received tremendous attention within the entrepreneurship literature nonetheless vc backed firms still fail at a surprisingly high rate 20 moreover another 20 of the vc s portfolio fails to provide any return to the vc therefore there is room for improvement in the vc investment process the three staged investment process often begins with venture screening first vcs screen the hundreds of proposals they receive to assess which deserve further consideration those ventures that survive the initial stage are then subjected to extensive due diligence finally the vc and entrepreneur negotiate terms of the investment considering the amount of time that due diligence and negotiation of terms may take it is imperative that vcs minimize their efforts during screening so that only those ventures with the most potential proceed to the next stage yet at the same time the screening process should also be careful not to eliminate gazelles prematurely vcs are in a quandary how can they efficiently screen venture proposals without unduly rejecting high potential investments the answer may be to use actuarial decision aides to assist in the screening process actuarial decision aides are models that decompose a decision into component parts or cues and recombine those cues to predict the potential outcome for example an actuarial model about the vc decision might decompose a venture proposal into decisions about the entrepreneurial team the product the market etc the sub component decisions are than recombined to reach an overall assessment of the venture s potential such models have been developed in a number of decision domains e g bank lending psychological evaluations etc and been found to be very robust specifically these models often outperform the very experts that they are meant to mimic the current study had 53 practicing vcs participate in a policy capturing experiment the participants examined 50 ventures and judged each venture s success potential would the venture ultimately succeed or fail likewise identical information about each venture was input into two different types of actuarial models one actuarial model a bootstrap model used information factors that vcs had identified as being most important to making a good investment decision the second actuarial model was derived by roure and keeley 1990 the roure and keeley model best distinguished between success and failure in a study of 36 high technology ventures the bootstrap model outperformed all but one participating vc he achieved the same accuracy rate as the bootstrap model the roure and keely model although less successful than the bootstrap model outperformed over half of the participating vcs the implications of this study are that properly developed actuarial models may be successful screening decision aides the success of the actuarial models may be attributed to their consistency across different proposals and time the models always weight the information cues the same vcs as are all human decision makers may often be biased by differing salient information cues that cause them to misinterpret or ignore other important cues for example a vc may overlook product weaknesses if s he is familiar with the entrepreneur putting forth a particular proposal although the current study developed a generalized actuarial model each vc firm could create screening models that fit it s particular decision criteria the models could then be used by junior associates or lower level employees to perform an initial screen of received venture proposals thereby freeing senior associates time

the three worlds of inequality1 recent inequality scholarship fixates on trends in the amount of inequality and largely ignores trends in the form of inequality the authors describe three ideal typical inequality regimes big class microclass and gradational and identify the mechanisms driving a shift toward or away from each of them using gss and cps data on 39 measures of life chances attitudes and behaviors the authors find that big class inequality is in decline whereas microclass inequality has remained stable moreover big classes are simplifying into largely economic aggregates whereas microclasses remain more complicated moral configurations that cannot be understood in terms of economic standing

does firm size matter anymore the new economy and firm size wage effects researchers have long known that large firms pay higher wages than small firms for workers with similar measured characteristics however an agreed upon explanation for this firm size wage effect fswe has not been reached recent changes in the economy provide new leverage for testing competing theories for the effect while questions about the existence and nature of the new economy provide new motivation for exploring this topic this study uses the 1988 2003 current population survey and finds that the fswe has declined by about one third over the study period examining the competing explanations for the fswe this study finds that while the sorting of workers by traits unions and industry factors all contribute to some portion of the effect in cross section they fail to explain why it has declined over time market power explanations also fail to find support shifts in organizational structures particularly a decline of internal labor markets appear to best fit the results these findings

occupations and the structure of wage inequality in the united states 1980s to 2000s occupations are central to the stratification systems of industrial countries but they have played little role in empirical attempts to explain the well documented increase in wage inequality that occurred in the united states in the 1980s and 1990s we address this deficiency by assessing occupation level effects on wage inequality using data from the current population survey for 1983 through 2008 we model the mean and variance of wages for each occupation controlling for education and demographic factors at the individual level to test three competing explanations for the increase in wage inequality 1 the growth of between occupation polarization 2 changes in education and labor force composition and 3 residual inequality unaccounted for by occupations and demographic characteristics after correcting for a problem with imputed data that biased kim and sakamoto s 2008 results we find that between occupation changes explain 66 percent of the increase in wage inequality from 1992 to 2008

leaving a legacy position imprints and successor turnover in young firms this article considers how local firm histories influence individual turnover rates in organizations we argue that position imprints the legacies left by the first incumbents of particular functional positions constrain subsequent position holders we show that the functional experience of the person who creates a position influences the turnover rate of successors who later occupy that position when the first position holder has an atypical background all successors experience high turnover rates individuals who are both typical with respect to the normative environment and similar to the position imprint have the lowest turnover rates surprisingly we find lower turnover rates among individuals who match the position imprint even if they violate normative expectations thus contrary to institutional theory predictions we find that local firm histories dominate in revealing how social structures emerge within firms and affect individual outcomes our research revisits core topics of bureaucratiza

the payoff to skill in the third industrial revolution1 is the third industrial revolution indeed driven by rising payoffs to skill this simple but important question has gone unanswered because conventional models of earnings inequality are based on exceedingly weak measurements of skill by attaching occupational skill measurements to the 1979 2010 current population surveys it becomes possible to adjudicate competing accounts of the changing returns to cognitive creative technical and social skill the well known increase in between occupation inequality is fully explained when such skills are taken into account while returns to schooling prove to be quite stable once correlated changes in workplace skills are parsed out the most important trend however is a precipitous increase in the wage payoff to synthesis critical thinking and related analytic skills the payoff to technical and creative skills often touted in discussions of the third industrial revolution is shown to be less substantial

performance pay and wage inequality an increasing fraction of jobs in the u s labor market explicitly pay workers for their performance using bonus pay commissions or piece rate contracts using data from the panel study of income dynamics we show that compensation in performance pay jobs is more closely tied to both observed and unobserved productive characteristics of workers than compensation in non performance pay jobs we also find that the return to these productive characteristics increased faster over time in performance pay than in non performance pay jobs we show that this finding is consistent with the view that underlying changes in returns to skill due for instance to technological change induce more firms to offer performance pay contracts and result in more wage inequality among workers who are paid for performance thus performance pay provides a channel through which underlying changes in returns to skill get translated into higher wage inequality we conclude that this channel accounts for 21 of the growth in the variance of male wages between the late 1970s and the early 1990s and for most of the increase in wage inequality above the eightieth percentile over the same period

on the market for venture capital we propose a theory of the market for venture capital that links the excess return to venture equity to the scarcity of venture capitalists vcs high returns make the vcs more selective and eager to terminate nonperforming ventures because they can move on to new ones the scarcity of vcs enables them to internalize their social value and the competitive equilibrium is socially optimal moreover the bilaterally efficient contract is a simple equity contract we estimate the model for the period 1989 2001 and compute the excess return to venture capital which turns out to be 8 6 percent finally we back out the return of solo entrepreneurs which is increasing in their wealth and ranges between zero and 3 5 percent

sources of racial wage inequality in metropolitan labor markets racial ethnic and gender differences research on racial inequality has become increasingly specialized often focusing on a single explanation and subgroup of the population in a diverse society a broader comparative framework for interpreting the causes of wage inequality for different racial ethnic and gender groups is called for the effects of a range of different factors on the wages of latinos asians and blacks relative to whites and separately for women and men are examined new sources of racial wage inequality are also considered significant differences are found in the sources of wage inequality across race ethnicity and gender differences are generally greater between racial and ethnic groups than between men and women key findings include a large negative effect of immigration on the relative wages of latinos and asians and only a small effect on the relative wages of black women and no effect on black men in contrast the relative wages of blacks remain most affected positively by the presence of manufacturing employment and unions new economy indicators of high skill services and flexible employment conditions play only a secondary role in explaining metropolitan racial wage inequality

investment risk allocation and the venture capital exit market evidence from early stage investing abstract this study provides evidence on how venture capitalists vcs allocations of capital to riskier investments as measured by the proportion of early versus late stage investment in an industry are linked to exit market conditions prior research has primarily focused on how vcs adjust aggregate investment to public equity market conditions we develop a more inclusive measure of exit market conditions that accounts for recent secular changes that have affected the industry return structure specifically the sharp rise in the number of failures and m a relative to ipo exits we show that the dollars gained relative to dollars lost in recent exits and failures are significantly positively related to vcs allocations to early stage companies over the period 1990 2008 the changes in allocations are large enough to have an effect on the availability of funding for early stage companies in sum our evidence shows that exit market conditions have a significant and economically meaningful influence on vcs allocations to riskier investments

is it worth it the rates of return from informal venture capital investments despite growing interest in venture capital there is a paucity of information on the rate of return to these investments and the limited research that is available refers almost entirely to portfolio returns for venture capital funds the investment returns to business angels have been virtually ignored this paper provides the first attempt to analyse the returns to informal venture capital investment using data on 128 exited investments from a survey of 127 business angel investors in the uk the paper finds that the distribution of returns is highly skewed with 34 of exits at a total loss 13 at a partial loss or break even but with 23 showing an irr of 50 or above trade sales are the main way in which business angels harvest their investments the median time to exit for successful investments was 4 years large investments large deal sizes involving multiple coinvestors and management buyouts mbos were most likely to be high performing investments