debt leases taxes and the endogeneity of corporate tax status we provide evidence that corporate tax status is endogenous to financing decisions which induces a spurious relation between measures of financial policy and many commonly used tax proxies using a forward looking estimate of before financing corporate marginal tax rates we document a negative relation between operating leases and tax rates and a positive relation between debt levels and tax rates this is the first unambiguous evidence supporting the hypothesis that low tax rate firms lease more and have lower debt levels than high tax rate firms many theories of capital structure imply that all else equal the incentive to use debt financing increases with a firm s marginal tax rate due to the tax deductibility of interest expense e g modigliani and miller 1963 deangelo and masulis 1980 conversely leasing models generally predict that firms with low marginal tax rates employ relatively more leases than do firms with high marginal tax rates the logic behind the leasinlg prediction is that leases allow for the transfer of tax shields from firms that cannot fully utilize the associated tax deduction lessees to firms that can lessors e g myers dill and bautista 1976 smith and wakeman 1985 ross westerfield and jaffe 1996 despite these straightforward predictions empirically testing for tax effects is difficult because a spurious relation exists between the financing decision and many commonly used tax proxies specifically both interest expense and lease payments are tax deductible thus a firm that finances its operations with debt or leases reduces its taxable income potentially lowering its expected marginal tax rate if not properly addressed this endogeneity of the tax rate can bias an experiment in favor of finding a negative

attitudes toward risk and the risk return paradox prospect theory explanations this study attempted to explain bowman s risk return paradox in terms of recent research in behavioral decision theory and prospect theory the research emphasized the role of reference or target

evidence on corporate hedging policy this paper provides empirical evidence on the determinants of corporate hedging decisions the paper examines the evidence in light of currently mandated financial reporting require ments and in particular the constraints placed on anticipatory hedging data on hedging are obtained from 1992 annual reports for a sample of 3 022 firms out of the 771 firms classified as hedgers 543 firms disclose information in their annual reports on their hedging activities the remaining 228 firms report use of derivatives but no information on hedging activities based on the evidence i draw the following conclusions with respect to the models of hedging evidence is inconsistent with financial distress cost models evidence is mixed with respect to contracting cost capital market imperfections and tax based models and evidence uniformly supports the hypothesis that hedging activities exhibit economies of scale

determinants of corporate leasing policy the existing finance literature assumes the real operating cash flows from leasing or owning are invariant to the ownership of the asset and focuses on tax related incentives for corporate leasing policy our analysis suggests that taxes are important in identifying potential lessees and lessors but are less important in identifying the specific assets leased we provide a unified analysis of the various incentives affecting the lease versuspurchase decision we then show how these incentives explain the use of contractual provisions such as maintenance clauses deposits options to purchase the asset and metering when a firm buys an asset it obtains both the right to the services of that asset over the period it is owned plus the right to sell the asset at any future date with a lease the firm acquires only the right to the asset s services for a period specified in the contract the existing finance literature analyzing corporate leasing policy concentrates on the tax related incentives to lease or buy e g see miller and upton 19 myers et al 21 lewellen et al 13 franks and hodges 11 and brealey and young 4 we believe that taxes play an important role in explaining certain dimensions of leasing policy for example the choice between manufacturer and third party leasing however taxes provide only a limited explanation of why specific assets are leased rather than owned and for the choice of provisions in lease contracts in this paper we want to accomplish two things 1 to provide a unified analysis of the various incentives affecting the lease versus buy decision and 2 to employ that analysis to explain observed variation in corporate leasing policy in deriving testable hypotheses about the characteristics of lessees lessors the assets leased and provisions in lease contracts we extend the standard leaseversus buy analysis found in corporate finance textbooks e g brealey and myers

prospect theory and the risk return relation some belgian evidence in this study fiegenbaum and thomas s application of prospect theory to empirically derived risk return relations was replicated and extended with belgian accounting data four profitability varia

the value of embedded real options evidence from consumer automobile lease contracts under the common assumption of constant interest rates we show that penalties for early termination of a lease are often structured in such a way that the cancellation option embedded in consumer automotive leases has little value furthermore our estimates drawn from a sample of three popular car models over 1990 to 2000 indicate that the stand alone value of the lease end purchase option is on average about 16 of the market value of underlying used vehicles or about 1 462 per contract finally we examine the sensitivity of our option value estimates to model parameters and default risk recent years have witnessed a dramatic growth in the leasing of automobiles for instance overall industry sales data indicate that about a third of the new vehicles and trucks sold in the united states are leased hendel and lizzeri 2002 and miller 1995 and the federal reserve board survey of family finances reports that the use of leased vehicles by individuals nonbusiness consumers has risen from 2 9 to 5 8 over the 1992 to 2001 period azicorbe kennickell and moore 2003 consumer automobile lease contracts for new cars often include two embedded options that are not associated with a typical debt contract the first is a cancellation option that allows the lessee to terminate the lease early the second is a european call option which gives the lessee the right but not the obligation to purchase the leased used vehicle at the scheduled termination of the lease at a predetermined exercise price both of these options are simple examples of real options because the asset underlying these options is a used car that is a real asset however these options constitute a special case of real options since they are embedded in the lease contract which is a financial credit instrument theoretical analyses of lease contracts show that the cancellation option is quite valuable schallheim and mcconnell 1985 with respect to the purchase option hendel and lizzeri 2002 argue that they can play an important role in

a new measure of financial development theory leads measurement abstract this study presents a new measure of financial development that is directly derived from theory our measure the marginal utilization of debt hereafter mud comes from the seminal work of myers 1984 myers and majluf 1984 and shyam sunder and myers 1999 further it is directly related to the development facts of gurley and shaw 1955 mud is a global measure that reflects conditions in both debt and equity markets it varies enormously across nations from 0 23 in australia at one extreme to 0 96 in turkey at the other cross country variations in mud are not random they are related to special purpose measures of debt and equity market advancement from the financial development literature richer more advanced nations have smaller average muds we argue that the mud may be useful for a variety of purposes and provide three example applications

prospect theory and the risk return association an empirical examination in 85 industries a new sample of 85 industries about 3 300 firms defined in terms of homogenous products provides strong evidence that prospect theory can explain the tradeoff between two of the most researched parameters in evaluating organizations namely risk and return in particular organizations below their target level are found to be risk takers hl while organizations above their target level are risk averters h2 moreover the below target tradeofl was generally steeper than the above target with a median below to above slope ratio of about 3 l h3 risk and return are probably the two single parameters most researched by the various and related disciplines of economics finance and management although each one of them has looked at these two parameters from different aspects and for different purposes they have provided a wide understanding of these two factors in the contest of the theory of the firm the purpose of this study is to look closely at the relationship between these two important parameters in order to understand firm s competitive behavior using the recent development in behavioral decision theory namely prospect theory kahneman and tversky 1979 although march 1988 has criticized the discipline of management for its later adaptation in considering risk elements for evaluating organization performance and decision making processes recent studies e g bettis 1981 rumelt 1974 singh 1986 jemison 1987 and baird and thomas 1986 have paid considerable attention to risk aspects in evaluating the performance of firms in general these studies have concluded that the characteristics of the firms environment strategy and implementation processes have significant and important influence on the firm s risk level and its associated rate of return bowman 1980 has looked closely at 85 u s industries and explored the

determinants of target capital structure the case of dual debt and equity issues abstract we examine whether market and operating performance affect corporate financing behavior because they are related to target leverage our focus on firms that issue both debt and equity enhances our ability to draw inferences consistent with dynamic trade off theories dual issuers offset the deviation from the target resulting from accumulation of earnings and losses our results also imply that high market to book firms have low target debt ratios on the other hand consistent with market timing high stock returns increase the probability of equity issuance but have no effect on target leverage

toward a model of risk in declining organizations an empirical examination of risk performance and decline scholars who study organizational decline have argued that declining organizations reduce or eliminate their riskier activities such as innovation further they cite reduced risk taking as a primary contributor to further decline scholars with an interest in risk per se come to the opposite conclusion low performing firms often take more risks than other firms and such risks reduce subsequent performance this study attempts to resolve these conflicting views by examining the risk of firms in decline our model based on cyert march s cyert r m j g march 1963 a behavioral theory of the firm prentice hall englewood cliffs nj behavioral theory of the firm includes six basic variables 1 performance 2 slack 3 aspirations 4 expectations 5 risk income stream uncertainty and 6 organization size as a measure of decline the estimated model includes prior levels of risk and performance in the risk and performance equations respectively as controls this study uses data on 34

a barrier option framework for corporate security valuation abstract this paper proposes a framework for corporate security valuation based on path dependent barrier option models instead of the commonly used path independent approach we argue that path dependency is an intrinsic and fundamental characteristic of corporate securities because equity can be knocked out whenever a legally binding barrier is breached a direct implication of this framework is that equity will be priced as a down and out call option we provide empirical validation of the barrier model by showing that implied barriers are statistically and economically significant for a large cross section of industrial firms additional robustness tests confirm that barriers remain significant over a wide range of input variable estimates and finally we apply the barrier option framework to bankruptcy prediction and find that implied failure probabilities dominate z scores in most cases

the term structure of lease rates with endogenous default triggers and tenant capital structure theory and evidence this paper focuses on the defaultable lease rate term structure with endogenous default we combine the competitive lease market argument proposed by grenadier 1996 and the endogenous default structural model proposed by leland and toft 1996 to examine the interaction between the lessee s capital structure and the equilibrium lease rate under this framework determining the lease rate is a simultaneous equation problem that captures the tradeofi between debt and lease flnancing using data on 2 482 real estate lease transactions we empirically conflrm the predictions derived from the numerical analysis of the model

bankruptcy priority for bank deposits a contract theoretic explanation over the past decade several countries including the us have introduced or redesigned legislation that confers priority in bankruptcy upon all or some bank deposits we argue that in the presence of contracting costs such rules can increase efficiency we first show in a private information model that a borrower can reduce overall costs of finance by letting informationally heterogeneous lenders choose between junior and senior debt in particular we find that debt priorities reduce socially wasteful information gathering by investors we then argue why particularly in banking legal standardization of debt priorities may be superior to bilateral private arrangements article published by oxford university press on behalf of the society for financial studies in its journal the review of financial studies

deregulation disintermediation and agency costs of debt evidence from japan abstract many japanese firms reduced dependence on banks following financial deregulation in the 1980s the financial architecture of japanese firms after liberalization provides an opportunity to investigate the choice of financing with public bonds versus monitored bank loans examination of accounting and stock price data for a sample of japanese firms in the late 1980s suggests that debt structure is related to variables that serve as proxies for agency costs of debt in particular we find that the proportion of bond debt is inversely related to growth opportunities while the proportion of bank debt is positively related to growth opportunities

does social trust affect international contracting evidence from foreign bond covenants abstract building on rational choice institutionalism theory and williamson s j econ lit 38 3 595 613 2000 four level social analysis framework we investigate the influence of the informal institution of social trust on debt contract design in an international setting using a sample of non u s firms that issue bonds in the u s debt market we find that yankee bond creditors impose fewer covenants on bond issuers domiciled in countries with a high degree of social trust we further show that the inverse relationship between debt covenants and the informal institution of social trust is more pronounced for firms from countries with weak formal institutions as well as for firms with poor corporate governance and greater information opacity these findings are robust to endogeneity tests within country analysis various empirical models and measures of trust and alternative hypotheses we also show that while a lower level of informal social trust is associated with higher borrowing costs this relationship weakens when formal covenants are added to the debt contract i e a substitution effect our paper contributes to the international business literature by providing new insights into the role of informal institutions social trust in cross border debt contracting

capital structure and debt structure using a novel dataset that records individual debt issues on the balance sheets of public firms we demonstrate that traditional capital structure studies that ignore debt heterogeneity miss substantial capital structure variation relative to high credit quality firms lowcredit quality firms are more likely to have a multi tiered capital structure consisting of both secured bank debt with tight covenants and subordinated non bank debt with loose covenants we discuss the extent to which these findings are consistent with existing theoretical models of debt structure in which firms simultaneously use multiple debt types to reduce incentive conflicts jel g32

fixed versus variable reference points in the risk return relationship abstract researchers using prospect theory in explaining bowman s risk return paradox have typically assumed a single fixed reference point normally the industry median in defining two decision contexts gain and loss our findings suggest this reference point is elevated above industry median performance and varies over time and across industries independent of industry performance consistent with the prospect theory firms above this reference point were risk averse and those below it were risk seeking we found no evidence of a second survival reference point for firms in trouble

performance feedback and firm risk taking the moderating effects of ceo and outside director stock options we contribute to the behavioral theory of the firm and the behavioral agency model by developing a theoretical framework that predicts the differential interaction effects of performance feedback and values of stock option grants of multiple agents on firm risk taking we explain how chief executive officers ceos versus outside directors awarded with stock option grants perceive negative or positive deviations from prior performance we argue that in a negative attainment discrepancy context high values of option grants will increase the risk aversion of ceos who already bear excessive employment and compensation risks resulting in less risk taking however it will enhance the risk taking propensity of influential outside directors who increase monitoring and support for risky projects because their risk preferences are better aligned with those of shareholders in a positive attainment discrepancy context high values of option grants will amplify risk aversion in both ceos and outside directors who

optimal priority structure capital structure and investment we study the interaction between financing and investment decisions in a dynamic model where the firm has multiple debt issues and equityholders choose the timing of investment jointly optimal capital and priority structures can virtually eliminate investment distortions because debt priority serves as a dynamically optimal contract examining the relative efficiency of priority rules observed in practice we develop several predictions about how firms adjust their priority structure in response to changes in leverage credit conditions and firm fundamentals notably financially unconstrained firms with few growth opportunities prefer senior debt while financially constrained firms with or without growth opportunities prefer junior debt moreover lower rated firms are predicted to spread priority across debt classes finally our analysis has a number of important implications for empirical capital structure research including the relations between market leverage book leverage and credit spreads and tobin s q the influence of firm fundamentals on the agency cost of debt and the conservative debt policy puzzle the author 2011 published by oxford university press on behalf of the society for financial studies all rights reserved for permissions please e mail journals permissions oup com oxford university press

operating leases and the assessment of lease debt substitutability operating leases are estimated in the current paper to be approximately thirteen times larger than finance leases on average in recognition of this the paper investigates the degree of substitutability between leasing and non lease debt using a comprehensive measure of leasing improving on the partial measures used in prior research operating lease liabilities are estimated using the constructive capitalisation approach suggested by imhoff lipe and wright 1991 accounting horizons 5 pp 51 63 modified to incorporate company specific and uk relevant assumptions the results imply that leasing and debt are partial substitutes with 1 of leasing displacing approximately 0 23 of non lease debt on average consistent with the argument that lessors bear some risks which are not inherent in debt contracts these findings suggest that substitution effects are not uniform across lease types

the intersection of market and credit risk abstract economic theory tells us that market and credit risks are intrinsically related to each other and not separable we describe the two main approaches to pricing credit risky instruments the structural approach and the reduced form approach it is argued that the standard approaches to credit risk management creditmetrics creditrisk and kmv are of limited value when applied to portfolios of interest rate sensitive instruments and in measuring market and credit risk empirically returns on high yield bonds have a higher correlation with equity index returns and a lower correlation with treasury bond index returns than do low yield bonds also macro economic variables appear to influence the aggregate rate of business failures the creditmetrics creditrisk and kmv methodologies cannot reproduce these empirical observations given their constant interest rate assumption however we can incorporate these empirical observations into the reduced form of jarrow and turnbull 1995b drawing the analogy risk 5 63 70 model here default probabilities are correlated due to their dependence on common economic factors default risk and recovery rate uncertainty may not be the sole determinants of the credit spread we show how to incorporate a convenience yield as one of the determinants of the credit spread for credit risk management the time horizon is typically one year or longer this has two important implications since the standard approximations do not apply over a one year horizon first we must use pricing models for risk management some practitioners have taken a different approach than academics in the pricing of credit risky bonds in the event of default a bond holder is legally entitled to accrued interest plus principal we discuss the implications of this fact for pricing second it is necessary to keep track of two probability measures the martingale probability for pricing and the natural probability for value at risk we discuss the benefits of keeping track of these two measures

can an islamic model of housing finance cooperative elevate the economic status of the underprivileged abstract a formal home loan is onerous to subprime borrowers in efficient markets this can deter home ownership for financially strapped individuals leading to a market failure this paper proposes a special form of cooperative mortgage financing practiced in oman to overcome this market failure we integrate the literature of mortgage design with that of informal savings schemes i e roscas ascras to illustrate that this mode of financing dissipates credit risk better than the

adaptive behavior and economic theory the relationship between psychological and economic views of behavior once a subject of heavy dispute is now understood in a very similar way by practitioners of both these disciplines and of our sister social sciences in general terms we view or model an individual as a collection of decision rules rules that dictate the action to be taken in given situations and a set of preferences used to evaluate the outcomes arising from particular situation action combinations these decision rules are continuously under review and revision new decision rules are tried and tested against experience and rules that produce desirable outcomes supplant those that do not i use the term adaptive to refer to this trial anderror process through which our modes of behavior are determined if one is interested in modeling particular decisions in any very explicit way it is obviously necessary to think about rather narrow aspects of an individual s entire set of decision rules his or her personality experimental psychology has traditionally focused on the adaptive process by which decision rules are replaced by others in this tradition the influence of the subject s or as an economist says the agent s preferences this essay uses a series of examples to illustrate the use of rationality and adaptation in economic theory it is argued that these hypotheses are complementary and that stability theories based on adaptive behavior may help to narrow the class of empirically interesting equilibria in certain economic models an experiment is proposed to test this idea

variable risk preferences and adaptive aspirations abstract observations of human decision making indicate that risk preferences depend on the values of possible outcomes relative to levels of aspiration a model of such variable risk preference is specified it suggests that some risk averse behavior may result from a human tendency to focus on targets and from the adaptation of those targets to experience rather than from a fixed trait of risk aversion in addition the model shows how risk preferences varying around adaptive aspirations produce both a greater long run likelihood of survival and a higher average return for survivors than do fixed risk preferences

proxies for the corporate marginal tax rate abstract this paper focuses on how best to measure the corporate marginal tax rate which is an important input into financial analysis of the cost of capital financing policy corporate hedging and corporate reorganizations the results indicate that the simulated tax rate used by shevlin 1990 and graham 1996 although difficult to calculate is the best available proxy for the true marginal tax rate if the simulated rate is unavailable an easy to calculate trichotomous variable or the statutory marginal tax rate which captures the progressivity in the tax schedule are reasonable alternatives better than most commonly used tax variables

budget deficit persistence and the twin deficits hypothesis abstract this paper gauges the twin deficits hypothesis i e a positive causal relationship between the external and budget deficits this relationship is measured by the responses of the external deficit to changes in the budget deficit induced by blanchard s model these responses are positively affected by the birth rate and by the degree of persistence of the budget deficit empirical results for the canadian and us economies reveal that although the relevant birth rates are small the great persistence of the budget deficits yields responses that are numerically large and statistically positive this contrasts with previous tests of the twin deficits hypothesis which have never formally taken into account the stochastic properties of the budget deficit

variable organizational risk preferences tests of the march shapira model march and shapira s 1987 1992 model of managers risk preferences allows for shifts in attention between survival and aspiration levels our study provides initial empirical tests of their model

the determinants of contract terms in bank revolving credit agreements the paper examines the determinants of contract terms on bank revolving credit agree ments revolvers of medium large publicly traded companies we model the duration maturity secured status and pricing decisions within a simultaneous decision frame work thereby overcoming the biased and inconsistent estimates in prior single equation studies of debt contract terms we find strong interrelationships between contract terms with significant bi directional relationships between duration and secured status and be tween the all in spread and commitment fees and a unidirectional relationship from both duration and secured status to all in spread we also illustrate how several single equa tion studies of contract terms draw incorrect conclusions because of their inappropriate assumption that other contract terms and leverage were exogenous finally our results sup port the hypothesis that the setting of contract terms plays an important role in alleviating contracting problems

the maturity structure of corporate debt we provide an empirical examination of the determinants of corporate debt maturity our evidence offers strong support for the contracting cost hypothesis firms that have few growth options are large or are regulated have more long term debt in their capital structure we find little evidence that firms use the maturity structure of their debt to signal information to the market the evidence is consistent however with the hypothesis that firms with larger information asymmetries issue more short term debt we find no evidence that taxes affect debt maturity

tests of the rational expectations hypothesis this paper reviews evidence on the structure of anticipation from a number of empirical studies jack muth s rational expectations hypothesis is compared with a variety of alternative models including ferber s law the implicit expectations model of edwin mills and muth s new errors in the variables model the cumulative evidence is of such strength as to compel the suspension of belief in the concept of rational expectations this implies that it is a mistake to proceed under the maintained hypothesis that expectations are rational instead it is necessary to test the sensitivity of empirical and theoretical results to alternative assumptions about the structure by which anticipations are generated copyright 1986 by american economic association

the priority structure of corporate liabilities most discussions of corporate capital structure effectively assume that all debt is the same yet debt differs by maturity covenant restrictions conversion rights call provisions and priority here we examine priority structure across a sample of 4995 compustat industrial firms from 1981 to 1991 we analyze the variation in the use of capital leases secured debt ordinary debt subordinated debt and preferred stock both as a fraction of the firm s market value and as a fraction of total fixed claims our evidence provides consistent support for contracting cost hypotheses mixed support for tax hypotheses and little support for the signaling hypothesis

testing a causal model of corporate risk taking and performance the determinants of organizational risk taking and its impact on economic performance are critical issues in strategic management using a model that included risk performance performance expecta