multiregional oligopoly with capacity constraints we develop a model of cournot competition between capacity constrained firms that sell a single good to multiple regions we provide a novel characterization for the unique equilibrium allocation o

grain transport and rural credit in mozambique solving the space time problem this paper shows how credit market failures can lead to large welfare losses in grain markets by inducing increased transport for seasonal storage in locations with low credit costs the burden of these welfare losses falls primarily on rural households these conclusions are obtained from a spatial temporal model solved using a mixed complementarity formulation that easily handles interest rate differentials across space efforts to address credit market failures and to improve the efficiency of rural storage should be given priority as opposed to the creation of large formal sector grain collection centers

monetary union in west africa and business cycles synchronicity new evidence in the light of the initiative of the west african monetary zone wamz to introduce a common currency by 2020 this paper investigates the intricacies of the business cycles synchronicity among the six countries given i the rising importance of trade and cooperation with china ii the consideration of the euro as a potential anchor currency and a vehicle for trade with the eurozone and iii the importance of nigeria as the largest country of the group and the main supplier of oil we investigate the relative importance of these three major players in having their business cycles linked with the group in addition we investigate the underlying determinants of the business cycles synchronicity among the wamz countries on a pairwise basis results show a clear dominance of china s business cycle synchronicity with the wamz over europe s and nigeria s trade integration emerges as the key underlying factor of the common cycle observed

spatial competition and vertical integration cement and concrete revisited reply in this review 1983 mark mcbride reconsiders the federal trade commission s ftc enforcement policy toward vertical mergers between cement and ready mix concrete firms in response to a significant increase in acquisitions of ready mix concrete firms by cement manufacturers during the 1960 s the ftc undertook a series of legal actions to block or dissolve the mergers the actions of the ftc constituted one of the most intensive efforts undertaken to date to challenge vertical mergers in a single industry mcbride p 1012 notes that the actions of the ftc provoked considerable debate concerning the motivation for the mergers both in the industry and in academe a significant number of articles were published advancing various reasons for the mergers in addition to the ftc s main contention that the mergers were motivated by a desire for captive markets it has been suggested that there were economies of integration or that the mergers were the outcome of an erroneous view of the potential benefits to foreclosure held by executives in the beleaguered cement industry 2 mcbride s 1983 paper offers another explanation for the mergers his argument is that vertical integration was undertaken to avoid rigid oligopolistic pricing in the cement industry 3 the empirical results presented by mcbride suggest that vertical integration was a significant factor in the decline of cement prices in the 1960 s the purpose of this comment is to point out some of the problems with mcbride s analysis in particular we show that the experimental design of his testing equation is faulty and does not offer a test of his hypothesis as a result mcbride s analysis does not provide convincing evidence on whether cement firms vertically integrated to avoid rigid oligopolistic pricing or if cement firms were merely reacting to prices that had already begun to decline our intent however is not to challenge mcbride s contention that vertical integration can provide lower prices to consumers rather we would argue that the evidence presented at the ftc hearings involving cement and ready mix concrete firms as well as mcbride s and others analyses illustrate the problems in discerning the motives for mergers 4

when does growth trickle down to the poor the indian case a theoretical analysis and several econometric tests have been undertaken to examine whether the trickle down effect took place in rural india over a long time period we found little evidence to suggest that the trickle down effect had occurred at all our analysis suggests that the emergence of capital labour substitution was primarily responsible for preventing growth from reducing poverty the decline in poverty and a higher growth rate that took place during the late 1970s and 1980s were largely a result of government anti poverty measures teamed with the more equitable distribution of credit and inputs to smaller and marginal farmers

an empirical investigation of rationing constraints in rural credit markets in india abstract the literature on rural credit markets has generally assumed that households are rationed in their access to subsidized formal credit the validity of this assumption depends on the level of effective demand for formal credit in turn a function of the demand for credit and its availability from informal sources this paper estimates the demand and the sector specific costs of credit and hence the extent of formal sector rationing through an analysis of household participation in both the formal and the informal credit sectors the results show that the extent of rationing is considerably less than what is conventionally assumed

the impact of transport and transaction cost reductions on food markets in developing countries evidence for tempered expectations for burkina faso reductions in transport and transaction costs are expected to have a major effect on the functioning of food markets in developing countries for burkina faso this is a relevant issue as it may have important consequences for the food markets in urban and rural deficit areas a partial equilibrium model is presented to analyze the short term effects of reduced costs on price formation inter regional cereal trade and farmers and traders storage strategies our results show that the high expectations with regard to the direct effects of cost reductions on food prices and food availability require some nuance the effects of a reduction of transport costs will be small moreover also the unintended negative consequences on the competitive position of farmers and traders in other regions that do not profit from road construction should be taken into account finally it is concluded that only if transport and transaction costs are reduced simultaneously will both the consumers and farmers benefit significantly c 2004 elsevier b v all rights reserved

facilitating the provision of farm credit the role of interlocking transactions between traders and zamindars in crop marketing systems in sindh abstract formal credit institutions in pakistan have largely failed to provide access to farm credit to small and medium scale landowners or zamindars this paper examines interlocked transactions between traders and landowners in the cotton and wheat markets in sindh that facilitate the provision of credit by traders it is concluded that the case examined provides an example where traders lend to landowners in a segment of the credit market that approximates competitive behavior without surplus extraction by traders key conditions resulting in this favorable outcome are the existence of both competition for market share and information sharing on borrowers between traders whether this outcome is also beneficial for other rural groups who may borrow from landowners in particular sharecropping tenants is independent of market relations between landowners and traders and is not determined here

alternative models of spatial competition the concept of a spatial price equilibrium underlies most studies of spatial movement and competition however this concept is based upon a notion of perfectly competitive markets that is often unrealistic for many markets such as the markets for oil and coal and ignores the existence of local spatial monopolies this paper presents alternative economic models of spatial competition and shows how all of these models can be solved with essentially the same solution algorithm specifically after reformulating the classical spatial price equilibrium model and two extensions of takayama and judge s monopoly model we state and analyze a cournot nash model and discuss solution algorithms we then generalize these models and algorithms to multiple commodities and networks with transshipment nodes we conclude with a brief discussion of possible extensions of this class of models and associated algorithms

selling at the farmgate or traveling to market using detailed survey data from uganda this article examines whether coffee producers sell to itinerant traders or directly to markets where they can get a higher price but must incur a transport cost we find that selling to the market is more likely when the quantity sold is large and the market is close by wealthy farmers are less likely to sell to the market possibly because the shadow value of their time is higher but if they have a large quantity of coffee for sale they are more likely to sell it to the market they are also more likely to travel to a distant market these findings are consistent with their better ability to pay for public transportation we find no evidence that the decision to sell at the farmgate is driven by a self control motive

market segmentation and wind curtailment an empirical analysis abstract china s wind power has experienced explosive growth and reshaped the overall energy mix since 2009 however increasing investment in the wind power industry has been accompanied by persistent and serious wind curtailment since 2010 leading to significant efficiency loss this paper argues that the interprovincial market segmentation which is driven by political motivations is a key factor contributing to wind curtailment we first construct an interprovincial electricity market segmentation index this is then used as an independent variable to explain the variation in wind curtailment rates a panel dataset of 28 provinces during the 2009 2016 period is used for empirical analysis the results clearly show that market barriers positively contribute to wind power curtailment specifically a 10 decrease in the market segmentation index will lead to a 4 3 5 3 decrease in wind power curtailment

imperfect competition in the international energy market a computerized nash cournot model this paper describes the conceptual structure properties and solution approach of a computerized model of the international energy market the model treats energy producers as players in a multistage noncooperative game the goal of each player or cartel of players is assumed to be maximization of discounted profit subject to technical political and resource constraints the model calculates that collection of intertemporal extraction and price paths from which a player can unilaterally deviate only at a loss the open loop nash equilibrium the model integrates the theory of exhaustible resources due to hotelling and the theory of oligopoly due to nash and cournot although useful as a teaching device to illustrate theoretical results its main function is to facilitate analysis of real world resource problems the model is flexible allowing the user to specify not only cost demand and reserve information but also assumptions about who belongs to what coalition two shortcomings deserve note t

using evidence of household income diversification to inform study of the rural nonfarm labor market in africa abstract the labor market literature in developing countries has seldom drawn on the studies of rural household income diversification this paper draws on such studies to inform future study of the rural nonfarm labor market in africa the review of evidence provides some surprising departures from traditional images of nonfarm activities of rural households among the most striking is the dominant importance in the majority of case study areas of nonfarm wage labor as compared to self employment of nonfarm sector earnings as compared to farm sector wage earnings and of local nonfarm earnings as compared to migration earnings the most worrying finding was the poor distribution of nonfarm earnings in rural areas despite the importance of these earnings to food security and farm investments this poor distribution implies significant entry barriers and market segmentation it is probable that this will lead over time to an increasingly skewed distribution of land and other assets in rural africa

panterritorial versus regional pricing for maize in zimbabwe abstract this paper presents a spatial equilibrium model of zimbabwe s maize market designed to compare the current system of panterritorial prices with the pareto optimal pattern of regional price variation that would occur in a competitive market the model shows that under baseline 1988 conditions competitive pricing would raise aggregate welfare by about us 14 million annually about 4 of producer plus consumer surplus while improving income distribution by favoring the majority of smallholder farmers in southern deficit areas and urban consumers in northern surplus areas thus the model suggests that liberalization could improve both efficiency and equity administered regional prices in a controlled market could yield some of these gains to the extent that production and processing were brought closer to consumers

formal and informal sector credit institutions and interlinkage abstract nationalized banks in poor countries often ration rural credit this creates demand for loans from monopolistic landlord moneylenders who often interlink credit and product contracts allowing the latter to extract more of the tenant s consumer surplus in the presence of asymmetric information such arrangements can be inefficient we find that increasing the fixed credit allocation to the rural sector at a subsidized rate does not reduce that inefficiency the entire benefit of the subsidy is extracted by the moneylender an alternative policy of providing credit at subsidized rates but in a flexible manner is more effective in reducing the inefficiency

the management of risk informal trade in indonesia abstract small traders face risk and uncertainty in carrying out their business activities on the basis of a large scale survey on informal sector trade in central java indonesia the economic conditions of the informal trade sector and risk avoidance strategies of traders are analyzed in particular petty traders have to solve the traders dilemma by extracting themselves from the moral obligations of sharing and redistribution to relatives and neighbors inventory minimization by daily replenishment of stocks avoidance of long term credit and formalization of relations with government agencies are among the risk reduction strategies policy measures to aid petty traders in their endeavor to reduce risk and maintain their businesses are outlined

the digital provide information technology market performance and welfare in the south indian fisheries sector when information is limited or costly agents are unable to engage in optimal arbitrage excess price dispersion across markets can arise and goods may not be allocated efficiently in this setting information technologies may improve market performance and increase welfare between 1997 and 2001 mobile phone service was introduced throughout kerala a state in india with a large fishing industry using microlevel survey data we show that the adoption of mobile phones by fishermen and wholesalers was associated with a dramatic reduction in price dispersion the complete elimination of waste and near perfect adherence to the law of one price both consumer and producer welfare increased

do husbands and wives pool their resources evidence from the united kingdom child benefit common preference models of family behavior imply income pooling a restriction on family demand functions such that only the sum of husband s income and wife s income affects the allocation of goods and time testing the pooling hypothesis is difficult because most family income sources are not exogenous to the allocations being analyzed in this paper we present an alternative test based on a natural experiment a policy change in the united kingdom that transferred a substantial child allowance to wives in the late 1970s using family expenditure survey data we find strong evidence that a shift toward greater expenditures on women s clothing and children s clothing relative to men s clothing coincided with this income redistribution

consumer s surplus without apology reply i began my article consumer s surplus without apology henceforth cswa with the words the purpose of this paper is to settle the controversy surrounding consumer s surplus p 589 that is my purpose here as well however george mckenzie s published comments have taught me that if articles and careful analyses settle controversies they only do so very slowly mckenzie makes sweeping and attacking statements about cswa but fails to substantiate them he scatters birdshot criticisms at cswa that are based on misreadings of rather clear material he offers an example in which he miscalculates multiproduct consumer s surplus finally he contends that his own with ivor f pearce approach to welfare analysis is preferable to the consumer s surplus approach in this reply to keep the record straight i show in section i that each of mckenzie s strongly worded attacks is unsubstantiated and invalid and that each of his more technical sounding criticisms rests only on misreadings of cswa more interestingly in section ii i summarize some of the theory of multiproduct consumer s surplus that is needed to understand the calculatiop error in and proper interpretation of the example that mckenzie proffers in section iii i argue that the approach to welfare analysis advocated by mckenzie and pearce is far less useful than the consumer s surplus methodology

convenience yield without the convenience a spatial temporal interpretation of storage under backwardation a mathematical programming model of the wheat marketing system of western australia manifests a typical pattern of regionwide stocks held at a negative intertemporal spread measured at the port no stocks are held at a monetary loss in terms of local prices any apparent loss is an illusion from spatial aggregation of stocks and attribution of incentives at one locality to storers at all locations moreover as the premium for immediate delivery at the port rises stocks increase at relatively inaccessible inconvenient locations where prices are low allowing more to be shipped from locations more convenient to the port

why institutional credit agencies are reluctant to lend to the rural poor a theoretical analysis of the indian rural credit market abstract this paper examines why institutional credit facilities remain unable to extend credit to the rural poor analysis indicates that poor peasants at best can offer an entitlement set as a mortgage comprised only of future shares of their harvest which itself is subject to risk consequently lenders can not advance loans without risking extensive loss of loanable funds as the landlords income is subject to the same risk as that of peasants they advance loans to ensure that their own income is not affected by the peasants financial situation an extension of institutional credit to peasants results only in subsidization of landlords

economic and climate impacts of reducing china s renewable electricity curtailment a comparison between cge models with alternative nesting structures of electricity abstract to mitigate climate change impacts and achieve low carbon transformation china has accelerated the development of renewable energy which is severely challenged by the curtailment of renewable electricity this study uses a dynamic multi sectoral cge model with alternative nesting structures and substitution elasticities for electricity with different power sources to capture the economic and environmental feasibility of reducing renewable electricity curtailment across all economic sectors in china the reduction of renewable electricity curtailment is simulated during 2021 2030 from the curtailment rates of 2015 2017 we found that the reduction of renewable electricity curtailment would lead to a significant expansion in the output of renewable electricity and a moderate decrease in non renewable electricity production among the renewable electricity wind power has the most significant output gain over 9 with solar power and hydropower outputs rising by over 5 and 1 5 respectively however without the cost neutrality assumption the impacts of reducing electricity curtailment would be largely over estimated with cge models simulated by improved technology the disparity between results from the models with alternative nesting constant elasticity of substitution ces functions for electricity sectors is highly dependent on the difference between their substitution elasticities accompanying the changes in electricity generation the reduction of renewable electricity curtailment would bring multiple green co benefits like significantly reducing co2 and air pollutants emitted from electricity sectors and improvements in real gdp and employment

networks distance and trust telecommunications development and changing trading practices in ghana summary ghana liberalized its telecommunications sector in 1995 this article examines the impact of the phenomenal growth in access to cell phones on informal traders business practices the study demonstrates how these telecommunication pioneers have changed their mode of operation to reduce both transportation and transaction costs it is argued that traders with access to tools for more efficient communication over long distances provide better services and create a higher profit potential than others it is further argued that adoption of new technology enhances trust building in trade networks thus facilitating a higher number of transactions in an uncertain economic environment

is microcredit a blessing for the poor a meta analysis examining development outcomes and contextual considerations abstract increasing efforts aim at economic development and the reduction of poverty in developing countries through microcredit enabled entrepreneurship following the award of the nobel peace prize to prof yunus microcredit lending has risen to prominence and the volume of microcredit loans has increased substantially however theory on the outcomes of this financing form is controversial furthermore the academic community lacks conclusive empirical evidence about the impact of such programs primary empirical studies report fragmented and to a large extent contradictory results in this meta analysis we empirically synthesize a total of 545 quantitative empirical findings from 90 studies conducted to date our findings reveal a positive impact of microcredit on key development outcomes at the level of the client entrepreneurs additionally we scrutinize how the development context influences the effectiveness of microcredit and find that microcredit generally has a greater impact in more challenging contexts with our findings we contribute to research on the nexus of entrepreneurship and economic development and offer recommendations for practitioners and academics working on this promising frontier

sensitivity analysis for the general spatial economic equilibrium problem we consider the general spatial economic equilibrium problem where the supplies and demands at each market for each commodity may depend on the price on this as well as other prices of other commodities at other markets and the transportation cost on each link for each commodity may depend on the flow on this as well as other flows of other commodities on other links in the network for this model we perform stability and sensitivity analysis assuming that the supply demand and transportation cost functions are monotone we first show that the multicommodity equilibrium price pattern depends continuously upon the market supply and demand functions and the multicommodity equilibrium shipment pattern depends continuously upon the transportation cost functions we then focus on the delicate question of predicting the direction of the change in the price and shipment pattern and the incurred supplies demands and transportation costs resulting from changes in the supply demand and transportation cost fu

delayed formal credit bribing and the informal credit market in agriculture a theoretical analysis abstract the paper presents a theory of interest rate determination in the informal credit market in backward agriculture the market for informal credit is created by the delay in disbursement of formal credit the delay is controlled by the official of the formal credit agency and he is bribed by the farmer to reduce the delay the official and the moneylender play a non cooperative game in choosing the bribing rate and the informal interest rate respectively the informal sector interest rate and the effective formal sector interest rate incorporating the bribe are equal in equilibrium agricultural price and credit subsidy policies may raise the interest rate in the informal credit market

peasant household behaviour with missing markets some paradoxes explained a model of peasant household behavior under varying degrees of household specific food and labor market failures is constructed to show that these structural features can explain several well known patterns of peasant response which have often been attributed to peculiar motives presumed specific to peasants the model explains sluggish response to cash crops prices and high instability in perceived food and labor scarcities the key role of manufactured consumer goods prices in stimulating peasants effort in cash crops production the effectiveness of taxation as opposed to incentives in stimulating cash crops production and the key role of technological change in food production to enhance cash crop production results are obtained analytically in the case of one market failure and by numerical simulation with more than one

the seasonal and spatial dimensions of sorghum market liberalization in mexico mexico s attempt to deregulate its sorghum market in 1990 was unsuccessful because policy analysts failed to consider the seasonal and spatial dimensions of trade in this paper i present a detailed seasonal and spatially dissaggregated nonlinear programming model of the mexican sorghum market calibrated with survey data of storage and transport costs in mexico and compare the results obtained with models that ignore these characteristics the comparison demonstrates that the failure to incorporate these costs in trade models may lead to misleading conclusions and inappropriate policies

on risk transactions and economic development in the semiarid tropics recent interest in the institutions and production relations of tropical agriculture seem to hold promise for increased collaboration between economists and anthropologists in efforts to explain existing patterns of production and socioeconomic interaction this focus on customs and on the more formal institutional arrangements is encouraging given the continuing concern for food production in much of the semiarid tropics two recent papers are particularly germane to this growing literature h p binswanger and m r rosenzweig have offered a foundation for addressing the production relations in agriculture with a general focus on conditions in south asia more recently binswanger and j mcintire provide an explanation for the major institutions and customary features of production relations in three agroclimatic subzones of the land abundant tropics that have simple technology and high transport costs 2 they also offer predictions of how these institutions and features might change in response to the opening up of subsistence economies and to population growth our approach here is consistent with this recent work in several respects first it is explanatory in that we offer possible explanations for observed behavior in the land abundant tropics where agriculture is a mixture of cropping and livestock management second it is predictive in that we draw on economic theory to hypothesize likely changes in behavior in the face of institutional change finally it is offered in the interest of stimulating a concern for the institutional preconditions of economic development by such preconditions we have in mind the institutional arrangements that can stimulate the economic development process in particular we focus on the role of transactions in the economy we do not believe that there is anything intrinsically undesirable about transactions that are restricted to a circle of family and acquaintances on the contrary such transactions play an important

economic curtailment of intermittent renewable energy sources abstract in a power system featuring a large share of intermittent renewables and inflexible thermal generators efficiency gains could be achieved by curtailing the production of renewables however as renewables feature very low variable production costs over curtailment can be costly in this article we use a stylised analytical model to assess this trade off we show that while curtailing renewables when their variability is high and the system flexibility is low can reduce generation costs the different stakeholders will not necessarily benefit from such measures as a consequence leaving this decision to generators will lead to a sub optimal level of curtailment either incentives to provide accurate res availability forecasts or alternatively centralised forecasting should be put into place to solve the resulting problem of asymmetry of information

the role of feed in tariff in the curtailment of wind power in china abstract while china s wind power initiative has experienced rapid growth serious curtailment issues persist though some studies have investigated this matter we explain this phenomenon from the novel perspective of excess capacity we first set up a theoretical model to explore the mechanism behind excess investment and find that the sticky feed in tariff fit and declining costs of wind power generate high mark up for wind power investors leading to a higher probability of excessive investment the theoretical prediction is empirically tested with a probit and tobit model using provincial level data between 2009 and 2016 the estimation results show that a 0 1 yuan increase in the mark up leads to a 2 3 increase in the rate of curtailed wind power based on the estimation results we simulate several scenarios to assess quantitatively how an improved policy design could have alleviated the curtailment issue simply increasing the frequency of the fit rate adjustment while maintaining the same subsidy reduction level between 2009 and 2016 could have reduced the curtailed wind power by 23 to 27 billion kwh accounting for 15 17 of actual curtailed wind power if the policy were better designed to reflect the declining trend of wind power costs more accurately the curtailment rates could have been further reduced by 2 81 corresponding to a reduction in wasted wind energy of 43 billion kwh or 28 of actual curtailment although accepting curtailment for a certain period could help to accelerate renewable energy deployment our analysis shows that the fit policy design could have been improved to reduce welfare loss these findings can not only assist the chinese government in framing effective policies but also may be applied to other emerging technologies or industries that require subsidy support

disneyland monopoly interlinkage and usurious interest rates abstract interlinkage between labour and credit markets is interpreted as a consequence of a monopolistic moneylender s attempt to extract consumer s surplus from the borrower by levying a two part tariff this analogy enables us to draw on the literature on non linear pricing to high light issues in agrarian structure the consequence of policy interventions like taxes and minimum wage legislation is studied it is shown that the moneylender will charge usurious interest rates if wages are rigid downwards or there is a tax on agricultural income or borrowers have heterogeneous preferences some geometry for analysing interlinkage is developed and used for deriving some of the results

a spatial analysis of maize marketing policy reforms in zambia in this study we analyze recent and proposed maize marketing reforms in zambia to capture the effects of changing transport systems we use a continuous space model in place of the traditional point representation model of takayama and judge this method permits us to use prereform data on supply demand and transport costs to infer both intra and interregional effects of liberalization and shows that the welfare gains from liberalization are larger than commonly thought these results provide policy makers with estimates of the magnitude of change associated with alternative reform programs beyond what would be available from a conventional approach

transactions costs and agricultural household supply response we develop and estimate a model of supply response when transactions costs create a situation where some producers buy others sell and others do not participate in markets we present two rationales for why producing households may have different relationships to the market proportional and fixed transactions costs using data on mexican corn producers we estimate an empirical model that allows for separate tests of the significance of both types of transactions costs revealing that both fixed and proportional transactions costs matter for the estimation the results provide consistent estimates of supply elasticity and measures of the relative importance of factors determining both proportional and fixed transactions costs

an ordered tobit model of market participation evidence from kenya and ethiopia do rural households in developing countries make market participation and volume decisions simultaneously or sequentially this article develops a two stage econometric method to test between these two competing hypotheses regarding household level marketing behavior the first stage models the household s choice of whether to be a net buyer autarkic or a net seller in the market the second stage models the quantity bought sold for net buyers sellers based on observable household characteristics using household data from kenyan and ethiopian livestock markets we find evidence in favor of sequential decision making the welfare implications of which we discuss

credit and sharecropping in agrarian societies this paper considers a model of linkage between land labor and credit transactions in the context of sharecropping the paper s objectives are a to derive and characterize the equilibrium in a model of a land scarce labour abundant economy under sharecropping given an infinitely elastic supply of identical sharecroppers at a reservation utility and b to demonstrate that in an imperfect market a landlord may offer credit to his tenant sometimes even at a subsidized rate of interest without necessarily insisting that the sharecropper borrow only from him precluding an involuntary linkage between credit and land transations it has been demonstrated that regardless of the presence or absence of linkage or any other control by the landlord as long as he can vary the size of the plot given to a tenant and there are enough potential tenants in equilibrium contracts a tenants utility under sharecropping will be the same as that which he could have obtained as a full time wage laborer this result implies that policies other than land reform will not affect the welfare of tenants

a spatial equilibrium model for imperfectly competitive milk markets a generalization of takayama and judge s spatial equilibrium model that allows for any degree of market structure is presented the model is applied to the japanese dairy industry to examine interregional milk movements generated under alternative assumed degrees of market competition the results indicate that the perfect competition and monopoly equilibrium solutions result in a lower and a higher price respectively than actual price levels on the other hand the cournot nash equilibrium solutions are the most similar to actual observations and the actual interregional milk movements are best explained by imperfectly competitive behavior

gender agricultural production and the theory of the household virtually all models of the household assume that the allocation of resources is pareto efficient within many african households agricultural production occurs on many plots controlled by different members of the household pareto efficiency implies that factors should be allocated efficiently across these plots i find in contrast that plots controlled by women are farmed much less intensively than similar plots within the household controlled by men the estimates imply that about 6 percent of output is lost because of inefficient factor allocation within the household the paper suggests a new approach to modeling intrahousehold allocation consistent with the empirical results

linkage heterogeneity and income determinants in petty trading the case of calcutta abstract to understand the income determinants of the various subgroups and to identify the most vulnerable groups in low income activities the analysis of backward linkages has to be combined with an analysis of the different survival strategies adopted and the sociodemographic composition of the sector this is because as the petty traders show individuals and groups choose a set of allegiances which maximize gains and minimize survival risks the methodological implication of this argument is that attempts to identify vulnerable groups in low income activities must be multidimensional so as to incorporate the interaction of production relations with the demographic structure of the sector social links ethnicity and class

impact of sms based agricultural information on indian farmers this study estimates the benefits that indian farmers derive from market and weather information delivered to their mobile phones by a commercial service called reuters market light rml we conduct a controlled randomized experiment in 100 villages of maharashtra treated farmers associate rml information with a number of decisions they have made and we find some evidence that treatment affected spatial arbitrage and crop grading but the magnitude of these effects is small we find no statistically significant average effect of treatment on the price received by farmers crop value added crop losses resulting from rainstorms or the likelihood of changing crop varieties and cultivation practices although disappointing these results are in line with the market take up rate of the rml service in the study districts which shows small numbers of clients in aggregate and a relative stagnation in take up over the study period jel codes o13 q11 q13 the purpose of this study is to ascertain whether agricultural information distributed through mobile phones generates economic benefits to farmers we implement a randomized controlled trial of a commercial service entitled reuters market light rml offered by the largest and best established private provider of agricultural price information in india at the time of the experiment operating in maharashtra and other indian states rml distributes price weather and crop advisory information through sms messages we offered a one year free subscription to rml to a random sample of farmers to test whether they obtain higher prices for their agricultural output

beyond export led growth abstract in light of the adverse conditions in the current international economic environment this paper reassesses the feasibility of continuing to rely on manufacturing export led growth as the major development dynamic for most ldcs during the next decade this paper argues that after the initial stages of industrial development the emphasis in policy toward agriculture should shift from surplus extraction to surplus creation and to the generation of demand linkages with the rest of the economy the author compares the relative merits of two alternative open development strategies export led industrialization and agricultural demand led industrialization adli by means of several simulation experiments the experiments are performed with a computable general equilibrium model of a small low income semi industrial open economy which is a stylization of south korea of 1963 they are carried out in an international environment assumed to represent the next decade based on a rate of growth of international demand for imports of about half the 1960 1973 rate the results support the adli approach on all counts

regional effects of taxes in canada an applied general equilibrium approach this paper reports on an applied general equilibrium regional model for canada which is used to investigate the regional effects of taxes earlier literature on regional tax effects is reviewed and the main features of the model are briefly described existing literature on regional tax effects is largely non quantitative and does not discuss several important regional features of taxes such as taxes which are predominantly on products or industries located in particular regions results suggest that regional effects of taxes can be significant and in the canadian case at least do not tend to counterbalance one another in general richer regions tend to lose and poorer regions gain from federal taxes but other regional characteristics such as manufacturing non manufacturing or resource non resource can be important this abstract was borrowed from another version of this item

transaction costs information technologies and the choice of marketplace among farmers in northern ghana using a transactions costs framework we examine the impact of information and communication technologies mobile phones and radios use on market participation in developing country agricultural markets using a novel transaction level data set of ghanaian farmers our analysis of the choice of markets by farmers suggests that market information from a broader range of markets may not always induce farmers to sell in more distant markets instead farmers may use broader market information to enhance their bargaining power in closer markets finally we find weak evidence on the impact of using mobile phones in attracting farm gate buyers

marketing margins and agricultural technology in mozambique improvements in agricultural productivity and reductions in marketing costs in mozambique are analysed using a computable general equilibrium cge model the model incorporates detailed marketing margins and separates household demand for marketed and home produced goods individual simulations of improved agricultural technology and lower marketing margins yield welfare gains across the economy in addition a combined scenario reveals significant synergy effects as gains exceed the sum of gains from the individual scenarios relative welfare improvements are higher for poor rural households while factor returns increase in roughly equal proportions an attractive feature when assessing the political feasibility of policy initiatives

spousal control and intra household decision making an experimental study in the philippines i elicit causal effects of spousal observability and communication on financial choices of married individuals in the philippines when choices are private men put money into their personal accounts when choices are observable men commit money to consumption for their own benefit when required to communicate men put money into their wives account these strong treatment effects on men but not women appear related more to control than to gender men whose wives control household savings respond more strongly to the treat ment and women whose husbands control savings exhibit the same response changes in information and communication interact with underlying control to produce mutable gender specific outcomes

consumer s surplus without apology the purpose of this paper is to settle the controversy surrounding consumer s surplus and by so doing to validate its use as a tool of welfare economics i will show that observed consumer s surplus can be rigorously utilized to estimate the unobservable compensating and equivalent variations the correct theoretical measures of the welfare impact of changes in prices and income on an individual i derive precise upper and lower bounds on the percentage errors of approximating the compensating and equivalent variations with consumer s surplus these bounds can be explicitly calculated from observable demand data and it is clear that in most applications the error of approximation will be very small in fact the error will often be overshadowed by the errors involved in estimating the demand curve the results in no way depend upon arguments about the constancy of the marginal utility of income consequently this paper supplies specific empirical criteria which can replace the apologetic caveats frequently employed by those who presently apply consumer s surplus moreover the results imply that consumer s surplus is usually a very good approximation to the appropriate welfare measures to preview below i establish the validity of these rules of thumb for a

look who s talking the impacts of the intrahousehold allocation of mobile phones on agricultural prices abstract using data from the philippines we study the impact of mobile phones on the prices agricultural producers receive for their cash crop we first look at the impact on price of mobile phone ownership at the household level because this masks a considerable amount of heterogeneity we then look at the impact on price of the intrahousehold allocation of mobile phones we find that whether the household owns a mobile phone has no impact on price but whether a farmer or spouse owns a mobile phone is associated with a 5 to 8 per cent increase in price

optimal storage and marketing over space and time borrowing from the theory of optimal resource extraction we develop the mechanism guiding efficient commodity storage and marketing over producing regions through the crop year optimal storage occurs at producing areas and time in storage varies directly with distance to market prices grow with interest rates in locations where storage is efficient but more slowly elsewhere which explains why market prices i e prices at the market grow more slowly than interest rates the model is empirically supported by examining storage in the corn belt rates of price growth at various points and quarterly grain marketings

stackelberg nash cournot equilibria characterizations and computations the supply side of an oligopolistic market supplying a homogeneous product noncooperatively is modeled in this market there is one leader and n followers the followers operate under the cournot assumption of zero conjectural variation and are accordingly called cournot firms the leader called a stackelberg firm specifically takes into account the reaction of the cournot firms to its output for this situation we study the behavior and implications of the joint cournot reaction curve as generated by plausible economic market assumptions in particular we study the existence and uniqueness of a stackelberg nash cournot equilibrium in addition we prescribe an efficient algorithm to determine a set of equilibrating output quantities for the firms

intra household resource allocation an inferential approach if household income is pooled and then allocated to maximize welfare then income under the control of mothers and fathers should have the same impact on demand with survey data on family health and nutrition in brazil the equality of parental income effects is rejected unearned income in the hands of a mother has a bigger effect on her family s health than income under the control of a father for child survival probabilities the effect is almost twenty times bigger the common preference or neoclassical model of the household is rejected if unearned income is measured with error and income is pooled then the ratio of maternal to paternal income effects should be the same equality of the ratios cannot be rejected there is also evidence for gender preference mothers prefer to devote resources to improving the nutritional status of their daughters fathers to sons

formal informal sector interaction in rural credit markets abstract the majority of small cultivators in the less developed countries are not regarded as credit worthy by the formal sector financial institutions and are forced to borrow from the moneylenders in the informal credit market this paper shows that when such borrowers differ in their likelihood of default and the moneylenders are asymmetrically informed about the client specific degree of risk the policy of providing cheap credit through the formal sector can generate adverse composition effects which worsen the terms of credit and the availability of loans in the informal sector

export liberalization and household welfare the case of rice in vietnam vietnam has rapidly become one of the three largest rice exporters in the world in spite of a binding export quota this article uses a multimarket spatial equilibrium model to examine the effect of further liberalization on regional rice prices household data are then used to calculate the welfare impact of these price changes on different household groups the results suggest that although rice export liberalization would raise food prices and exacerbate regional inequality it would also increase average real income and reduce slightly the incidence and severity of poverty we explore several explanations of these apparently paradoxical results

off the hook measuring the impact of mobile telephone use on economic development of households in uganda using copulas it is now widely understood that mobile phone use has beneficial effects on development in developing countries but little is known about the effects at the household level we examine the impact of mobile telephone use on household income using a unique cross sectional data set from uganda we use a novel econometric technique to handle endogeneity which models the correlation between the endogenous regressor and the error term with copulas to the best of our knowledge this is the first time that the copula method has been applied in the economic development literature we find a positive impact of mobile phone use on income

choice welfare and development a festschrift in honour of amartya k sen professor amartya sen has been a distinguished and influential scholar in development economics for over twenty years and this edited volume seeks to reflect his interests and the inspiration he has provided for others the editors have succeeded in creating a coherent and stimulating set of papers from well known contributors the volume deals with the enduring themes of amartya sen s work ranging through theoretical issues of development economics to the philosophical foundation of welfare systems and ethics in society contributors kenneth arrow a b atkinson pranab bardhan j l coles rajat deb jean dreze louis gevers peter hammond ravi kanbur eric maskin robert nozick siddiq osmani martin ravallion kevin roberts robert solow s wibaut

competitive storage and commodity price dynamics by buying cheap and selling dear risk neutral commodity speculators can smooth commodity prices and induce serial dependence in price even when none would exist under a simple process of supply and demand commodity prices are variable and strongly positively correlated from one year to the next the variability is often explained by supply factors and the autocorrelation by the activities of speculators we show that this explanation is not consistent with the evidence speculation can substantially increase autocorrelation for prices that are weakly autocorrelated in its absence but not to the high levels that are observed in the data

potential impacts of the proposed west african monetary zone on cowpea trade member countries of the economic community of west african states ecowas are expected to form a west african monetary zone wamz by december 2009 whereby members would use a common currency in an attempt to promote regional integration evidence suggests that reduction in transaction cost as a result of a decrease or elimination of nontariff barriers ntbs and real interest rates in response to elimination of exchange rate differentials positively influence trade the objective of this study is to quantify the effects of a a 7 real interest rate on capital and b zero ntbs within ecowas countries on cowpea vigna unguiculata l walp trade to provide a measure of the potential impacts of the wamz on grain trade the study applies a spatial and temporal price equilibrium model formulated in a mixed complementary programming mcp framework and solved using gams path the focus is on the nigerian cowpea grainshed ncg comprising benin burkina faso cote d ivoire ghana mali niger nigeria and togo in ecowas and cameroon chad and gabon in the central african economic and monetary community caemc the results show that if wamz results in reduced real interest rates within ecowas the larger of the two monetary unions consumers in the relatively larger coastal economies and producers in the smaller sahelian economies would benefit while all others lose however net social welfare would increase by 0 19 over the base case of 6 3 billion us bus removing ntbs among countries in the larger trading bloc may alter the pattern of cowpea flows with total trade volume increasing by 3 but inter bloc trade decreasing by about 8 the net total regional social welfare would increase by 0 14 or 15 million us mus benefiting only consumers in importing countries and producers in exporting countries the results emphasize the importance of specialization based on regional comparative advantage but also draw attention to the need to devise ways to ensure acceptable welfare distribution among producers and consumers in line with policy objectives of the individual countries within the proposed wamz finally this article contributes to the literature on the application of spatial and temporal models incorporating both ad valorem tariffs and differential interest rates in developing economies

urban bias in price risk the geography of food price distributions in low income economies the geography of agricultural marketing has important implications for the stochastic distribution of agricultural commodity prices this article proposes that objective food price risk differs between rural and urban areas of infrastructure poor economies characterised by spatially concentrated patterns of foodgrains storage this difference implies an urban bias having adverse welfare effects for peasants who seasonally switch between net food seller and net food buyer positions empirical analysis of rice price data from madagascar suggests that price variability and skewness indeed differ between rural and urban areas in ways that adversely influence the relative welfare of rural peasants

wind and solar energy curtailment a review of international experience greater penetrations of variable renewable generation on some electric grids have resulted in increased levels of curtailment in recent years studies of renewable energy grid integration have found that curtailment levels may grow as the penetration of wind and solar energy generation increases this paper reviews international experience with curtailment of wind and solar energy on bulk power systems in recent years with a focus on eleven countries in europe north america and asia it examines levels of curtailment the causes of curtailment curtailment methods and use of market based dispatch as well as operational institutional and other changes that are being made to reduce renewable energy curtailment

transfer costs spatial arbitrage and testing for food market integration conventional tests for food market integration ask often misleadingly whether prices in different locations move together in this paper an alternative methodology the parity bounds model pbm is developed which uses information on transfer costs in addition to food prices to assess the efficiency of spatial arbitrage monte carlo experiments using data generated by a point space spatial price equilibrium model show the pbm to be statistically reliable an application to philippine rice markets demonstrates that the pbm detects efficient arbitrage when other tests do not

investments time preferences and public transfers paid to women abstract the literature suggests that men and women may have different preferences this paper exploits a social experiment in which women in treatment households were given a large public cash transfer progresa in an effort to disentangle the effect of additional income in the household from the effect of changing the distribution of income within the household the impact of progresa income on savings and investments decisions is compared with all other income sources after taking into account participation in the program additional money in the hands of women is spent on small livestock which are traditionally managed and cared for by women improved nutrition and child goods particularly clothing among single headed households progresa income is not treated differently from other income direct evidence on intertemporal preferences gathered in the mexican family life survey indicates that women are more patient than men when thinking about the future taken together the results suggest t

network models of spatial oligopoly with an application to deregulation of electricity generation because of the existence of transmission costs and significant scale economies in power production deregulation of electricity generation would lead to spatial oligopolistic markets this paper uses linear programs to obtain short run spatial price equilibria for a deregulated bulk power market in upstate new york these models unlike most previous models of imperfect competition capture spatial variations in production costs and demand functions we present two models one calculates a nash bertrand equilibrium in which each firm believes that rivals will not react to price changes this equilibrium represents the most intense level of competition to be expected the other model yields limit prices that are designed to discourage new firms from entering the market

the performance of village intermediaries in rural credit delivery under changing penalty regimes evidence from senegal this article concerns the use of village intermediaries to mitigate asymmetric information problems in rural credit delivery we consider an example from senegal and examine the intermediaries screening of loan applicants the results show that when the intermediaries expected to incur a substantial penalty in the event of borrower default they engaged in appropriate screening allocating credit to borrowers likely to repay their loans when the default penalty was lowered however the intermediaries engaged in opportunistic screening emphasising political affiliation and consanguinity in their lending decisions these results reveal both the potential efficacy of village intermediaries in allocating credit and their extreme sensitivy to penalty regimes

debt in rural south india fragmentation social regulation and discrimination this micro level study combines multivariate and qualitative analyses to highlight the fragmented nature of debt in southern indian rural households it finds that debt is socially regulated in the sense that social interactions shape the cost use and access to debt caste social class and location affect how individuals borrow varying amounts from distinct money providers for varied purposes and at differing costs debt thus is not purely an economic but first and foremost a social transaction which inscribes debtors and creditors into local systems of hierarchies furthermore we find that debt is an illustration and catalyst of broader socio economic and political trends namely a lack of social protection persistent under employment and rising consumerism in terms of policy implications the study highlights the ambiguities and illusions inherent to financial inclusion policies aiming to eradicate informal debt

interactions between institutional and informal credit agencies in rural india in an attempt to expand rural credit and displace the village moneylender india created a system of rural cooperatives in the 1950s and expanded branch banking into rural areas in the 1970s this article examines how these measures affected the rural market it begins with the question of how large the expansion of institutional credit has been and the extent to which it has dislodged the village and nonresident moneylenders a detailed comparison of three major surveys of the indian rural credit market suggests that in various guises the moneylender is still a major source of loans the article also examines the weak evidence on intermediation between the formal and informal sectors a formal model of the interaction between the informal moneylender and institutional lender is constructed under a variety of assumptions about the exclusivity of loan contracts and the competitive structure of the informal sector the conclusions are drawn together in the form of five proposals for public policy

spatial price efficiency in mozambique s post reform maize markets maize zea mays shortages and maize price instability continue to occur in mozambique in spite of policy reforms and great capacity for increased production in northern mozambique this study measured the efficiency of spatial maize price arbitrage in mozambique s post reform period spatial price inefficiency does not seem to explain why food shortages continue to occur in mozambique suggesting nonprice market constraints such as poor infrastructure and poor market institutions as more likely explanations baulch s spatial efficiency test indicated that it is not profitable to ship maize from northern surplus maize regions to southern mozambique records of interregional maize shipments show that indeed grain is not being shipped from the north to the south market liberalization may have improved spatial price efficiency but high transfer costs still limit trade and potential benefits from freeing markets under these circumstances food shortages and price instability are likely to continue

missing women and the price of tea in china the effect of sex specific earnings on sex imbalance economists have long argued that the sex imbalance in developing countries is caused by underlying economic conditions this paper uses exogenous increases in sex specific agricultural income caused by post mao reforms in china to estimate the effects of total income and sex specific income on sex differential survival of children increasing female income holding male income constant improves survival rates for girls whereas increasing male income holding female income constant worsens survival rates for girls increasing female income increases educational attainment of all children whereas increasing male income decreases educational attainment for girls and has no effect on boys educational attainment