general linear formulations of stochastic dominance criteria abstract we develop and implement linear formulations of general n th order stochastic dominance criteria for discrete probability distributions our approach is based on a piece wise polynomial representation of utility and its derivatives and can be implemented by solving a relatively small system of linear inequalities this approach allows for comparing a given prospect with a discrete set of alternative prospects as well as for comparison with a polyhedral set of linear combinations of prospects we also derive a linear dual formulation in terms of lower partial moments and co lower partial moments an empirical application to historical stock market data suggests that the passive stock market portfolio is highly inefficient relative to actively managed portfolios for all investment horizons and for nearly all investors the results also illustrate that the mean variance rule and second order stochastic dominance rule may not detect market portfolio inefficiency because of non trivial violations of non satiation and prudence

environmental policy under oligopoly with endogenous market structure emission taxes under both fixed number oligopoly and endogenous market structure which are the most relevant market structures for policy issues are examined in the latter case and contrary to what is expected under imperfect competition the optimal tax could exceed marginal external damages which implies that externalities generated by oligopolistic firms could be optimally controlled by overinternalizing environmental damages under endogenous market structure a scheme consisting of a license fee and a second best underinternalizing emission tax can increase social welfare as compared to the use of a single emission tax exceeding marginal damages copyright 1995 by the editors of the scandinavian journal of economics

are rich people smarter abstract we formulate a general stochastic process of wealth accumulation by capital investment and analyze the conditions required to ensure convergence to the empirically observed pareto wealth distribution while homogeneous investment talent leads to the pareto distribution under very general conditions even a mild degree of differential investment talent results in a non pareto wealth distribution this finding suggests that chance rather than differential investment talent is the dominant factor in the process of wealth accumulation by financial investment our findings conform with market efficiency and may have implications regarding the origins the economic significance and the social desirability of wealth inequality at the high wealth range

environmental quality competition and eco labeling abstract a three stage game of investment environmental quality provision and price competition is developed to study the impact of green technology investment eco labeling in a duopoly model of vertical product differentiation the firms incentives to invest in green technologies depend on their relative cost structure when firms are identical with respect to fixed costs both firms will always invest but if one firm is more efficient in investing then the other firm may or may not invest depending on the level of unit cost of investment quality competition will be tighter when the low quality firm is more efficient and looser when the high quality firm is more efficient in investing socially optimal investment for both firms is always positive but lower than in the duopoly solution in the absence of environmental externalities the quality dispersion chosen by profit maximizing firms may be too high or too low while environmental externalities increase the possibility low quality dispersion that is too low within the market solution finally and importantly ecolabeling can be used as a means of reducing excessive investment and increasing environmental quality that is too low

aging population retirement and risk taking the increase in life expectancy spells disaster at retirement one can solve this problem by investing in the maximum geometric mean mgm portfolio which is empirically composed from equity for a t 30 year horizon or more the mgm portfolio dominates other investment strategies by almost first degree stochastic dominance the mgm portfolio also maximizes the expected value of the commonly employed preferences and prospect theory value function for various loss aversion parameters and various reference points for t 10 life cycle funds would increase virtually all investors welfare by shifting to the mgm portfolio so long as the investment horizon is at least 10 years this paper was accepted by amit seru finance

on exact and approximate stochastic dominance strategies for portfolio selection abstract one recent and promising strategy for enhanced indexation is the selection of portfolios that stochastically dominate the benchmark we propose here a new type of approximate stochastic dominance rule which implies other existing approximate stochastic dominance rules we then use it to find the portfolio that approximately stochastically dominates a given benchmark with the best possible approximation our model is initially formulated as a linear program with exponentially many constraints and then reformulated in a more compact manner so that it can be very efficiently solved in practice this reformulation also reveals an interesting financial interpretation we compare our approach with several exact and approximate stochastic dominance models for portfolio selection an extensive empirical analysis on real and publicly available datasets shows very good out of sample performances of our model

toward a theoretical model of voluntary overcompliance abstract we explain why some firms voluntarily overcomply with environmental regulation in our model all consumers value environmental quality but differ in their willingness to pay which depends on their income levels publicly available information on environmental performance of firms enables consumers to identify clean firms firms participate in a two stage duopoly game where they first choose their levels of cleaning technology and next engage in price competition the market gets segmented by income levels a minimum standard binding on the dirty firm has the effect of improving the performance of the cleaner firm a subsidy obtains the same competitive outcome

self selection of emigrants theory and evidence on stochastic dominance in observable and unobservable characteristics the roy model has more precise predictions about the self selection of migrants than previously realised the conditions shown to result in positive or negative selection in terms of expected earnings also imply a stochastic dominance relationship between the earnings distributions of migrants and non migrants we test these predictions using the danish full population administrative data we find strong evidence of positive self selection of emigrants in terms of pre emigration earnings and residual earnings the income distribution for the migrants almost stochastically dominates the distribution for the non migrants decomposing the self selection in total earnings reveals that unobserved abilities play the dominant role

taxation within cournot oligopoly abstract when the production of output causes pollution we often consider taxation as a means to reduce it this paper examines various forms of taxation to control pollution within cournot oligopoly it shows that two commonly used forms can actually increase pollution in contrast both of these forms unambiguously reduce pollution within the competitive model the paper provides conditions in terms of demand and technology that make taxation effective in the cournot oligopoly case another implication of the analysis is that outside the price taking framework asymmetry of cost functions is particularly important and deserves careful attention when we examine the effect of taxation

almost stochastic dominance and stocks for the long run abstract the geometric mean argument and the recently developed almost stochastic dominance criterion have been employed to make the case for stocks for the long run we show that almost stochastic dominance and the geometric mean argument do not necessarily support long run investment in equities in fact for standard preferences bonds may be preferred to stocks for the long run while stocks are preferred for shorter horizons

tax incidence in differentiated product oligopoly abstract we analyze the incidence of ad valorem and unit excise taxes in an oligopolistic industry with differentiated products and price setting bertrand firms both taxes may be passed on to consumers by more than 100 percent and an increase in the tax rate can increase short run firm profits and hence the long run number of firms we provide summary conditions for these effects to arise the conditions depend on demand curvatures and are written in elasticity form surprisingly the analysis largely corroborates cournot results with homogeneous demand

effects of carbon taxes in an economy with prior tax distortions an intertemporal general equilibrium analysis abstract this paper analyzes the costs of carbon taxes in a model that recognizes interactions between this tax and pre existing taxes first we examine the extent to which costs of a u s carbon tax are reduced when its revenues finance cuts in income taxes such use of revenues significantly reduces but does not eliminate the overall policy costs the positive overall costs reflect the carbon tax s focus on intermediate inputs and its relatively narrow base in comparison with income taxes we also examine the sensitivity of the carbon tax s costs to the level of pre existing taxes for any given use of revenues welfare costs rise significantly with pre existing tax rates indicating that models disregarding pre existing taxes may substantially understate the costs of new environmental tax initiatives

allocative efficiency in russian agriculture the case of fertilizer and grain during russia s economic transition the amount of fertilizer as well as other tradable inputs such as fuel used in agricultural production has fallen substantially mineral fertilizer use in 2000 was 86 lower than in 1990 while since the mid 1990s russia has exported more than 80 of its fertilizer output this paper examines the allocative efficiency of russian use of mineral fertilizer to produce grain assessed from the point of view of both domestic and trade prices we use the results to examine whether fertilizer is being used at its optimal level and whether the major changes in the volumes of fertilizer use and trade during transition have been economically rational implications for agricultural policy in russia are then discussed methods and data

carbon leakage from unilateral environmental tax reforms in europe 1995 2005 abstract studies of the effects of the kyoto protocol have shown carbon leakage typically from tax and permit schemes with lump sum revenues recycling to be in the range of 5 20 using static computable general equilibrium models however in practice researchers have found that carbon leakage from the implementation of the eu ets is unlikely to be substantial because transport costs local market conditions product variety and incomplete information all tend to favour local production this study investigates potential carbon leakage from six eu member states mss that implemented environmental tax reform etrs unilaterally over the period 1995 2005 the study uses the large scale multisectoral integrated energy environment economy e3 model of 27 european countries energy environment economy model of europe e3me to undertake a dynamic comparative analysis to assess any carbon leakage effects over the longer term 1995 2012 a counterfactual reference case is constructed assuming that the six countries did not introduce etrs then alternative scenarios are developed to assess the effects of the etrs including effects on co2 emissions for the eu25 economies most mss recorded a reduction in co2 emissions when comparing the baseline case to the reference case the results show that carbon leakage is very small and in some cases negative due to technological spillover effects

environmental policy in a green market this paper studies the impact of some frequently used environmental policies in a duopolistic market where purchasers are willing to pay more for less polluting goods when consumers differ in their environmental awareness a cleaner and a dirtier variant coexist in equilibrium the higher the average willingness to pay for the good the lower are variants unit emissions but the higher are industrial aggregate effluents a maximum unit emission standard reduces unit emissions of both variants but boosts firms sales and consequently increases industrial aggregate emissions as a result social welfare may be reduced we also explore the effects of technological subsidies and product charges including differentiation of charges

almost marginal conditional stochastic dominance marginal conditional stochastic dominance mcsd developed by shalit and yitzhaki 1994 gives the conditions under which all risk averse individuals prefer to increase the share of one risky asset over another in a given portfolio in this paper we extend this concept to provide conditions under which most and not all risk averse investors behave in this way instead of stochastic dominance rules almost stochastic dominance is used to assess the superiority of one asset over another in a given portfolio switching from mcsd to almost mcsd amcsd helps to reconcile common practices in asset allocation and the decision rules supporting stochastic dominance relations a financial application is further provided to demonstrate that using amcsd can indeed improve investment efficiency

decision making under uncertainty when preference information is incomplete we consider the problem of optimal decision making under uncertainty but assume that the decision maker s utility function is not completely known instead we consider all the utilities that meet some criteria such as preferring certain lotteries over other lotteries and being risk averse s shaped or prudent these criteria extend the ones used in the first and second order stochastic dominance framework we then give tractable formulations for such decision making problems we formulate them as robust utility maximization problems as optimization problems with stochastic dominance constraints and as robust certainty equivalent maximization problems we use a portfolio allocation problem to illustrate our results this paper was accepted by dimitris bertsimas optimization

on the taxation of polluting products in a differentiated industry this paper studies the provision of environmental quality in an imperfectly competitive market it uses a vertical differentiation model in which the free entry equilibrium results in an under provision of quality the following main results are obtained first a commodity tax may have a significant impact on the market structure in this setting it tends to increase the number of active firms second through its impact on market structure a commodity tax may be welfare improving even though quality creates a positive externality third a commodity tax may bring about an equilibrium that is arbitrarily close to a pareto efficient allocation

which is a better investment choice in the hong kong residential property market a big or small property the relationship between property size and property investment yield is an interesting issue in the real estate market previous studies usually use the mean variance criterion to compare the return risk profiles of the yields of different property sizes in the united states however this criterion has a few shortcomings this article provides the first attempt to use a stochastic dominance approach to analyse this issue we adopt two powerful stochastic dominance tests to compare the yields of five property size classes in the hong kong residential property market in our study we analyse two possible investment outcomes 1 investors could not rent out their properties and thus they would gain lose from the appreciation depreciation of residential property prices 2 investors could also gain from rental incomes our empirical results provide strong evidence to show that the yields of smaller property classes stochastically dominate the yields of bigger property classes suggesting that buying smal

a note on price and quantity competition in differentiated oligopolies abstract in this note we show that the results developed in n singh and x vives 1984 rand j econ 15 546 554 are sensitive to the duopoly assumption if there are more than two firms prices may be higher under price competition than under quantity competition this will be the case if quality differences are large and goods are complements if goods are substitutes high quality firms may earn higher profits under price competition than under quantity competition hence it is not evident which kind of competition is more efficient journal of economic literature classification numbers d43 l13

conservation payments under risk a stochastic dominance approach conservation payments can be used to preserve forest and agroforest systems to explain landowners land use decisions and determine appropriate conservation payments it is necessary to focus on revenue risk marginal conditional stochastic dominance rules are used to derive conditions for determining the conservation payments required to guarantee that the environmentally preferred land use dominates an empirical application to shaded coffee protection in the biologically important choco region of west ecuador shows that conservation payments required for preserving shaded coffee areas are much higher than those calculated under risk neutral assumptions further the extant distribution of land has strong impacts on the required payments

impacts of economic reform in poland incidence and welfare changes within a consistent framework the costs of shortages and rationing are not captured by standard consumer price indices thus the change in real gdp per capita is an overestimate of welfare losses in transition economics in this study virtual prices are used to calculate new cost of living indices clis the results for polant show that from 1987 to 1992 the cli ignoring the rationing effects is biased upward from 1 53 to 3 71 percentage points per year compared to the estimates of welfare loss that neglect the rationing effects during the prereform period the estimated welfare losses that reflect the rationing are reduced by 50 using hausman virtual prices and by 75 using external proxy virtual prices

stochastic dominance and expected utility survey and analysis while stochastic dominance has been employed in various forms as early as 1932 it has only been since 1969 1970 that the notion has been developed and extensively employed in the area of economics finance agriculture statistics marketing and operations research in this survey the first second and third order stochastic dominance rules are discussed with an emphasis on the development in the area since the 1980s

portfolio choice based on third degree stochastic dominance we develop an optimization method for constructing investment portfolios that dominate a given benchmark portfolio in terms of third degree stochastic dominance our approach relies on the properties of the semivariance function a refinement of an existing superconvex dominance condition and quadratic constrained programming we apply our method to historical stock market data using an industry momentum strategy our enhanced portfolio generates important performance improvements compared with alternatives based on mean variance dominance and second degree stochastic dominance relative to the center for research in security prices all share index our portfolio increases average out of sample return by almost seven percentage points per annum without incurring more downside risk using quarterly rebalancing and without short selling this paper was accepted by lauren cohen finance

climate change policy market structure and carbon leakage abstract the 1997 kyoto protocol on climate change obliges the industrialized countries to initiate the international effort of abating anthropogenic greenhouse gas ghg emissions if such an initiative is to be taken the associated competitive effects may lead to significant relocation of developed countries energy intensive production this paper examines this issue i adopt an oligopolistic structure combined with increasing returns to scale production technologies to represent the strategic interaction among the firms producing energy intensive products this representation is then embedded within a multi regional computable general equilibrium model which in turn is used for quantifying these relocational effects the results suggest that significant relocation of energy intensive industries away from the oecd may occur depending on the type of market structure with leakage rates as high as 130 in which case ghg control policies in the industrialized countries actually lead to higher global emissions

performance versus design standards in the regulation of pollution abstract this paper presents a model of pollution regulation in an oligopolistic market two forms of regulation are considered performance standards which regulate pollution directly by an upper limit on emissions and design standards which regulate pollution indirectly by a minimum usage requirement of an enissions control input equilibria under each regulatory regime are characterized a welfare analysis reveals that performance standards are preferred to design standards if the objective is minimization of emissions plus pollution damage costs however the comparison is indeterminate if the regulator s objective is total surplus less pollution damage an equivalence between emissions taxes and performance standards is established so the above welfare comparisons also apply to emissions taxes versus design standards

environmental taxation and strategic commitment in duopoly models in this paper we address the issue of optimalenvironmental taxation under imperfect competition the problem is analysed for three different types ofduopoly models the cournot open and closed loopmodels and the stackelberg model we explicitlyanalyse the role of strategic behaviour each firm hasto make a choice of output level and of the level ofa strategic variable the choice of this strategicvariable affects both marginal cost and emissions wecompare the properties of these three duopoly models and derive and compare optimal environmental taxes weshow that whether the optimal tax is lower or higherthan marginal environmental costs depends on theinformation transmission and the effect of thestrategic variable on marginal costs in addition thedifferences in market shares and the influence of thetax on the cost structure play important roles indetermining optimal emission taxes

comparing policies to combat emissions leakage border carbon adjustments versus rebates we explore conditions determining which anti leakage policies might be more effective complements to domestic greenhouse gas emissions regulation we consider four policies that could be combined with unilateral emissions pricing to counter effects on international competitiveness a border charge on imports a border rebate for exports full border adjustment and domestic output based rebating each option faces different potential legal hurdles in international trade law each also has different economic impacts while all can support competitiveness none is necessarily effective at reducing global emissions nor is it possible to rank order the options effectiveness depends on the relative emissions rates elasticities of substitution and consumption volumes we illustrate these results with simulations for the energy intensive sectors of three different economies the united states canada and europe although most controversial full border adjustment is usually most effective but output based rebating for key manufacturing sectors can achieve many of the gains

success and failure of reform insights from the transition of agriculture this paper analyzes the linkages between the reform strategies in transition countries and economic performance the authors focus on agriculture because of the sharpness of the policy changes fundamental differences among countries and relative simplicity of agricultural relationships the authors document post reform performance in the transition countries of asia and europe the authors show how a pricing reform and subsidy reductions b land rights reform and policies that affect farm restructuring and c the presence institutions that facilitate exchange either markets or market substitutes affect output and productivity the paper ends with general lessons on reforms and transition

agricultural output and productivity in the former soviet republics the paper reviews agricultural development in the fifteen former soviet republics over the period 1965 1997 production functions are estimated and productivity differences and changes calculated large differences were found in terms of productivity and growth between the republics the differences grew after 1990 reflecting variation in reform policies

stochastic dominance via quantile regression with applications to investigate arbitrage opportunity and market efficiency abstract tests for stochastic dominance constructed by translating the inference problem of stochastic dominance into parameter restrictions in quantile regressions are proposed they are variants of the one sided kolmogorov smirnoff statistic with a limiting distribution of the standard brownian bridge the procedure to obtain the critical values of our proposed test statistics are provided simulation results show their superior size and power they are applied to the nasdaq 100 and s p 500 indices to investigate dominance relationship before and after major turning points results show no arbitrage opportunity between the bear and bull markets our results infer that markets are inefficient and risk averters are better off investing in the bull rather than the bear market

bonds versus stocks investors age and risk taking abstract it has become increasingly popular to advise investors to relocate their funds from a primarily stock portfolio to a primarily bond portfolio as they get older however the well known decision rules such as mean variance or stochastic dominance rules are unable to explain this common practice almost stochastic dominance asd and almost mean variance amv approaches are used to examine the dominance of stock and bond portfolios asd and amv rules unambiguously support the popular practice of advising higher stock to bond ratio for long investment horizons hence we provide an explanation to the practitioners recommendation within the expected utility paradigm

stocks for the log run and constant relative risk aversion preferences abstract almost stochastic dominance implies that stocks are preferred over bonds in the long run by all preferences with bounded marginal utility unfortunately this analysis excludes the very central constant relative risk aversion crra preferences which have unbounded marginal utility we derive a simple closed form solution for the portfolio choice problem of crra investors which with the empirical parameters implies that stocks are preferred over bonds for all crra investors with relative risk aversion smaller than 3 9 as a by product the analysis offers an alternative derivation of the continuous time capm that does not rely on dynamic programming and allows for ambiguous investment horizons

preferred by all and preferred by most decision makers almost stochastic dominance while most decision makers may prefer one uncertain prospect over another stochastic dominance rules as well as other investment criteria will not reveal this preference due to some extreme utility functions in the case of even a very small violation of these rules such strict rules relate to all utility functions in a given class including extreme ones which presumably rarely represents investors preference in this paper we establish almost stochastic dominance asd rules which formally reveal a preference for most decision makers but not for all of them the asd rules reveal that choices which probably conform with most decision makers also solve some debates e g showing as practitioners claim an asd preference for a higher proportion of stocks in the portfolio as the investment horizon increases a conclusion which is not implied by the well known stochastic dominance rules

catching up with the economy in his presidential address five years ago zvi griliches 1994 called attention to the severe difficulties that beset current attempts to measure the growth of labor productivity in the american economy because of these difficulties it is likely that the true rate of economic growth is substantially underestimated the root of the problem is the difficulty in measuring output in the service sector which now represents two thirds of the economy in such sectors as health care and information services the contribution to gross domestic product gdp is measured by inputs rather than outputs a procedure that makes it impossible to gauge accurately improvements in the quality of output thus in the case of computers which are transforming american society economists have been unable so far to find a measurable contribution of computers to the rise in labor productivity an astonishing paradox i want to follow up on this problem of mismeasurements my thesis is that the profession

theories of risk testing investor behaviour on the taiwan stock and stock index futures markets investor behavior towards risk lies at the heart of economic decision making in general and modern investment theory and practice in particular this paper uses both the mean variance mv criterion and stochastic dominance sd procedures to analyze the preferences for four of the most widely studied investor types in the taiwan stock and stock index futures market we find that risk averters concave utility function prefer spot to futures whereas risk seekers convex utility function prefer futures to spot our findings also show that investors with s shaped utility functions prefer spot futures to futures spot when markets move upward downward finally our results imply that investors with reverse s shaped utility functions prefer futures spot to spot futures when markets move upward downward these results are robust with respect to sub periods spot returns including dividends and diversification although we do not check whether risk averters risk seekers and investors with s shaped and reverse sshaped utility functions actually exist in the market we do show that their existence is plausible the implications of our findings on market efficiency and the existence of arbitrage opportunities are also discussed in this study

endogenous quality choice price vs quantity competition two versions of a vertical product differentiation model one with fixed and the other with variable costs of quality are analyzed to study how the hypotheses of price versus quantity competition affect equilibrium solutions product differentiation arises under all the scenarios considered contrasting previous findings of symmetric quality choices under cournot behavior however to relax harsher market competition firms differentiate more under bertrand than under cournot a simple welfare measure also indicates that the economy is better off when firms compete on prices with fixed costs of quality not only consumer but also producer surplus is higher under price competition copyright 1993 by blackwell publishing ltd

carbon tax emission standards and carbon leak under price competition we consider a two country model of price competition with one polluting firm in each country and differentiated products assuming away to simplify abatement efforts and input substitution we compare the impact on output leakages and trade volumes of a carbon tax versus an emission standard policy unilaterally enacted by the home country under the tax the two firms set their prices simultaneously in a bertrand game under the standard the home firm s price is conditioned on the price of the foreign firm so as to abide the emission constraint as a result the tax leads to higher leakages and global emissions than the standard the standard also implies a better trade balance for the home country than the tax

a note on almost stochastic dominance abstract both the expected utility maximization and the hierarchy property are very important properties in stochastic dominance for almost stochastic dominance leshno and levy 2002 propose a definition and tzeng et al 2013 modified it to give another definition this note provides more information on the two definitions the former has the hierarchy property but not the expected utility maximization whereas the latter has the expected utility maximization but not the hierarchy property

the switching effect of environmental taxation within bertrand differentiated duopoly we investigate second best optimal taxation of the polluting variety of a product in a bertrand duopoly with differentiated varieties the analysis provides novel insight on a useful social function of environmental regulation besides internalizing the environmental externality the taxation of the polluting variety improves the matching of consumers and product varieties and so creates a socially desirable business switching between the differentiated varieties

duopoly and quality standards abstract in the absence of sunk costs a low quality producer benefits from a mildly restrictive quality standard whereas a high quality producer suffers from it consumers welfare increases if the firm producing the higher quality does not increase its quality significantly in response to the increase in quality by its rival a sufficiently severe standard causes exit from the industry when there are no sunk cost the high quality producer exits first

emissions taxes versus intensity standards second best environmental policies with incomplete regulation the best emissions tax or emissions cap may be an inferior instrument under incomplete regulation leakage without leakage an intensity standard regulating emissions per unit of output is inferior due to an implicit output subsidy this inefficiency can be eliminated by an additional consumption tax with leakage an intensity standard can dominate the optimal emissions tax since the implicit output subsidy prevents leakage the addition of a consumption tax improves an intensity standard s efficiency may prevent leakage and may be efficient comparing intensity standards to output based updating shows that the latter dominates if updating is sufficiently flexible