taking the high road compliance with commuter tax allowances and the role of evasion spillovers abstract this paper provides evidence of evasion in the context of a widely used commuter tax allowance and explores evasion spillovers as a determinant of the individual compliance decision for this purpose we exploit discontinuities in the commuter allowance scheme and employ a research design resting on a large panel of individual tax returns we find that around 30 of all allowance claims are overstated and consistent with deliberate tax evasion we observe sharp reactions of taxpayers to thresholds where the allowance discretely jumps to a higher amount further we use variation in job changes to uncover spillover effects from the work environment on the individual compliance decision these effects appear to be asymmetric job changers moving to companies with a higher fraction of cheaters increase their cheating in contrast movers to companies with a lower fraction of cheaters tend not to alter their reporting behavior we provide suggestive evidence that the spillover has more to do with an information environment but can ultimately not reject other behavioral explanations such as asymmetric persistence of norms

estate and gift taxes and incentives for inter vivos giving in the us abstract this paper describes the current estate and gift tax rules that apply to intergenerational transfers in the us it summarizes the incentives for inter vivos giving gifts from a donor to a recipient while the donor is alive as a strategy for reducing estate tax liability it shows that the current level of intergenerational transfers is much lower than the level that would be implied by simple models of dynastic utility maximization moreover even among elderly households with net worth in excess of 2 5 million roughly four times the net worth at which us households became liable for estate tax in 1995 only about 45 take advantage of the opportunity for tax free inter vivos giving cross sectional regressions using the 1995 survey of consumer finances suggest that transfers rise with household net worth possibly reflecting the impact of progressive estate taxes households with a preponderance of their net worth in illiquid forms such as a private business are less likely to make transfers than their equally wealthy counterparts with more liquid wealth those with substantial unrealized capital gains for whom the benefits of basis step up at death under the income tax are greatest are less likely to make large inter vivos transfers than similarly wealthy households with higher basis assets

who participates in tax avoidance evidence from swedish microdata abstractthis article empirically examines why not all individuals participate in tax avoidance we use rich swedish administrative panel data on all taxpayers with a link between corporate and individual tax returns and document that few individuals utilize legal and observable tax avoidance opportunities our results show that there are several frictions in tax avoidance participation in addition to monetary benefits from tax avoidance incentives the opportunity to participate in tax avoidance access as well as information and knowledge about these opportunities awareness are important factors for the individual s tax avoidance decision we further show that tax avoidance spreads within communities the impact of the local network is stronger for non commuters who live and work in the same municipality

gift taxes and lifetime transfers time series evidence the tax treatment of lifetime transfers was altered on a number of occasions since the enactment of gift tax six decades ago trends in gifts by the wealthy show a dramatic response to these changes in this paper i examine this trend and gauge its response to taxes transitory and permanent over a period of 65 years results suggest that gifts are highly elastic with respect to taxes particularly in the short run tax minimization seems to be an important consideration in the timing of intergenerational transfers published by elsevier b v jel classification d19 h31

how should capital be taxed this survey discusses how capital should be taxed in advanced economies we review the theoretical optimal tax literature survey empirical studies on the distribution of capital and the distortion

behavioral responses to inheritance tax evidence from notches in france abstract for the first time we exploit quasi experimental variation to investigate the impact of inheritance taxation on wealth accumulation using bunching and difference in differences methods we directly estimate several behavioral responses during lifetime rather than relying solely on observations at death our empirical findings shed new light upon wealth accumulation and bequest motives taken together the small responses to inheritance tax estimated cannot be supported by the desire to retain control over wealth

on the desirability of tax coordination when countries compete in taxes and infrastructure in our paper we demonstrate that when countries compete in taxes and infrastructure coordination through a uniform tax rate or a minimum rate does not necessarily create the welfare effects observed under pure tax competition the divergence is even worse when the competing jurisdictions differ in institutional quality if tax revenues are used to gauge the desirability of coordination our model demonstrates that imposing a uniform tax rate is pareto inferior to the non cooperative equilibrium when countries compete in taxes and infrastructure this result is completely reversed under pure tax competition if the countries are sufficiently similar in size if a minimum tax rate is set within the range of those resulting from the non cooperative equilibrium the low tax country will never be better off finally the paper demonstrates that the potential social welfare gains from tax harmonization crucially depend on the degree of heterogeneity among the competing countries

wealth inequality and intergenerational links previous work has had difficulty generating household saving behaviour that makes the distribution of wealth much more concentrated than that of labour earnings and that makes the richest households hold onto large amounts of wealth even during very old age i construct a quantitative general equilibrium overlapping generations model in which parents and children are linked by accidental and voluntary bequests and by earnings ability i show that voluntary bequests can explain the emergence of large estates while accidental bequests alone cannot and that adding earnings persistence within families increases wealth concentration even more i also show that the introduction of a bequest motive generates lifetime savings profiles more consistent with the data

inter vivos transfers and intended bequests abstract empirical work on intergenerational transfers has focused on distinguishing between altruistic and exchange motivated behavior however these two models are unable to explain the strong tendency for inter vivos transfers to be negatively related to the income of the recipient while bequests bear no relationship to income this paper presents a new framework for analyzing transfers from parents to children that is more consistent with observed behavior than are the altruistic and exchange models alone in particular the model developed here predicts differing behavior with respect to inter vivos transfers and bequests due to liquidity constraints and uncertainty about the recipient s permanent income the empirical work uses data from the health and retirement study and the asset and health dynamics study the patterns observed in these data are consistent with earlier findings that inter vivos transfers go disproportionately to less well off children while bequests are divided equally across children further the results support the predictions of the model in that differences in inter vivos transfers arise from differences in current income while differences in bequests result when indicators of the children s permanent incomes differ

inequality leverage and crises the paper studies how high leverage and crises can arise as a result of changes in the income distribution empirically the periods 1920 1929 and 1983 2007 both exhibited a large increase in the income share of the rich a large increase in leverage for the remainder and an eventual financial and real crisis the paper presents a theoretical model where these features arise endogenously as a result of a shift in bargaining powers over incomes a financial crisis can reduce leverage if it is very large and not accompanied by a real contraction but restoration of the lower income group s bargaining power is more effective

on the long run evolution of inheritance france 1820 2050 this paper attempts to document and account for the long run evolution of inheritance we find that in a country like france the annual flow of inheritance was about 20 25 of national income between 1820 and 1910 down to less than 5 in 1950 and back up to about 15 by 2010 a simple theoretical model of wealth accumulation growth and inheritance can fully account for the observed u shaped pattern and levels using this model we find that under plausible assumptions the annual bequest flow might reach about 20 25 of national income by 2050 this corresponds to a capitalized bequest share in total wealth accumulation well above 100 our findings illustrate the fact that when the growth rate g is small and when the rate of return to private wealth r is permanently and substantially larger than the growth rate say r 4 5 vs g 1 2 which was the case in the 19th century and early 20th century and is likely to happen again in the 21st century then past wealth and inheritance are bound to play a key role for aggregate wealth accumulation and the structure of lifetime inequality contrarily to a widely spread view modern economic growth did not kill inheritance

analysing the technical efficiency of the spanish football league first division with a random frontier model this article analyses technical efficiency of football clubs in the spanish football league division 1 primera liga from the seasons 1995 1996 to 2004 2005 with an unbalanced panel data the random frontier model is used allowing the identification of random variables in the cost frontier it is concluded that the price of capital investment the number of points won and attendance are heterogeneous variables therefore no common public policy aiming to improve efficiency can embrace all of the clubs so that policies by clusters are required

bequest and tax planning evidence from estate tax returns i study bequest and wealth accumulation behavior of the wealthy subject to the estate tax shortly before death the onset of a terminal illness leads to a very significant reduction in the value of estates reported on tax returns fifteen to twenty percent with illness lasting months to years and about five to ten percent in the case of illness reported as lasting days to weeks i provide evidence suggesting that these findings cannot be explained by real shocks to net worth such as medical expenses or lost income but instead reflect deathbed estate planning the results suggest that wealthy individuals actively care about disposition of their estates but that this preference is dominated by the desire to hold on to their wealth while alive

the efficiency of mozambique soccer league the mocambola abstractthis paper analyses the technical efficiency of the mozambique football league from 2008 to 2014 using a bayesian stochastic frontier model with exponential specification covariates include contextual characteristics such as location identification as a muslim club and sporting performance the results uncover that mozambique sports clubs display varying efficiency revealing distinct managerial incentives in the mozambique football league policy implications are derived including efficiency scores deemed to be acceptable to the league and reconsideration of the rationale for national investment in all league s clubs

a bayesian stochastic frontier of italian football this study analyses the technical efficiency of serie a italian football clubs during the 2004 2012 seasons with a bayesian stochastic frontier model using unique data extracted from clubs annual reports specifically the focus of the study is on assessing the impact effects on clubs efficiency whether they are big clubs they employ several foreign player they compete in european competitions and their involvement with football scandals in the italian football the empirical results reveal that efficiency varies among the clubs analysed and policy implications are derived

cost efficiency of french rugby clubs this article analyses the cost efficiency of french first league rugby clubs using a stochastic frontier model the frontier estimation confirmed that the model fits the data well with all coefficients correctly signed and in line with the theoretical requirements the results show that one of the clubs is operating efficiently with the majority of clubs clustered around 20 inefficiency policy implications are derived

are americans saving optimally for retirement we solve each household s optimal saving decisions using a life cycle model that incorporates uncertain lifetimes uninsurable earnings and medical expenses progressive taxation government transfers and pension and social security benefits with optimal decision rules we compare household by household wealth predictions from the life cycle model using a nationally representative sample we find making use of household specific earnings histories that the model accounts for more than 80 percent of the 1992 cross sectional variation in wealth fewer than 20 percent of households have less wealth than their optimal targets and the wealth deficit of those who are undersaving is generally small

semiparametric censored regression models aregression model is censored when the recorded data on the dependent variable cuts off outside a certain range with multiple observations at the endpoints of that range when the data are censored variation in the observed dependent variable will understate the effect of the regressors on the true dependent variable as a result standard ordinary least squares regression using censored data will typically result in coefficient estimates that are biased toward zero traditional statistical analysis uses maximum likelihood or related procedures to deal with the problem of censored data however the validity of such methods requires correct specification of the error distribution which can be problematic in practice in the past two decades a number of semiparametric alternatives for dealing with censored data have been proposed in a semiparametric approach part of the functional form of the model usually the regression function is parametrically specified by the researcher based upon plausible assumptions while the rest of the model is not parameterized 1 while the theoretical literature has produced several semiparametric estimators for the censored data model published applications of these estimators to empirical problems in economics have lagged far behind this paper reviews the intuition and computation of a handful of semiparametric estimators proposed for the censored regression model the various estimators are used to examine changes in black white earnings inequality during the

inheritance and wealth inequality evidence from population registers we use new population wide register data on inheritances and wealth in sweden to estimate the causal impact of inheritances on wealth inequality we find that inheritances reduce relative wealth inequality e g the gini coefficient falls by 5 10 percent but that absolute dispersion increases examining different parts of the wealth distribution we find that the top decile s wealth share decreases substantially whereas the wealth share of the bottom half increases from a negative to a positive share in essence wealthier heirs inherit larger amounts but less wealthy heirs inherit more relative to their pre inheritance wealth we also find that post inheritance behavioral adjustments mitigate the equalizing effect of inheritances because less wealthy heirs consume larger shares of their inheritances moreover we find that the swedish inheritance tax reduced the equalizing inheritance effect but that the redistribution of tax revenues could reverse this result finally we show that inheritances increase wealth mobility

charitable bequests and wealth at death charitable bequests are a major source of income for charities but surprisingly little is known about them we propose a multi stage framework for analysing the bequest decision and examine the evidence for britain provided by new data on estates the novelty of the framework is that it distinguishes between five different steps that lead to a charitable bequest our new data for britain have the advantages of covering the whole population of non trivial estates in contrast to much of the us literature based on the small fraction of the population covered by estate tax returns and of containing fuller information on charitable intent we use this unique data set to explore the relationship with wealth at death of testacy of leaving a charitable bequest and of the form of the bequests

the global concentration of wealth this paper compares changes in relative and absolute wealth concentrations to establish whether both processes have followed similar trajectories the findings indicate that while the relative wealth concentration level has increased in recent times it is not extraordinarily high from a historical perspective in contrast the absolute wealth concentration level is most likely higher than has ever previously occurred due to the growth of per capita wealth holdings and the population size of high net worth individuals hnwis the available data also suggest that hnwis recovered very quickly from the losses that they experienced in the financial crisis of 2008 as a result hnwis wealth holdings in 2013 were at least 30 higher than they were in 2007 the post crisis recovery of billionaires was even stronger with their 2014 net wealth holdings more than 85 higher than 2007 levels

deathbed tax planning abstract we estimate the extent of inheritance tax avoidance among married decedents in sweden following kopczuk 2007 we compare estates of decedents who pass away from terminal illness and those of decedents who pass away suddenly the assumption being that the onset of terminal illness triggers planning extending on kopczuk 2007 we also use exogenous variation in the incentives for tax planning created by an inheritance tax repeal in sweden which allows us to account for factors related to illness that may affect the estate value but are unrelated to tax planning e g increased medical expenditures and lost income unlike earlier studies we find no evidence of end of life inheritance tax planning suggesting that this was of little importance in the setting we study

performance evaluation of the english premier football league with data envelopment analysis this paper uses data envelopment analysis dea to evaluate the performance of english premier league football clubs from 1998 99 to 2002 03 combining sport and financial variables the paper evaluates how close the clubs are relative to the frontier of best practices analysing how they manage sport as well as financial results managerial implications of the research are devised

women wealth and mobility using estate tax returns data we observe that the share of women among the very wealthy in the united states peaked in the late 1960s at nearly one half and then declined to one third we argue that this pattern reflects changes in the importance of dynastic wealth with the share of women proxying for inher ited wealth if so wealth mobility decreased until the 1970s and rose thereafter such an interpretation is consistent with technological change driving long term trends in mobility and inequality as well as the recent divergence between top wealth and top income shares documented elsewhere jel d31 j16 j62 033 the extent of and changes in intergenerational mobility of wealth are central to understanding dynamics of wealth inequality but are hard to measure in this paper we argue that the share of women among the wealthiest americans can be used as a proxy for the importance of inherited rela tive to self made wealth this approach assumes that women tend to inherit rather than make great fortunes if so a higher share of women among the wealthy would reflect a rise in inherited wealth at the top and thus lower wealth mobility conversely higher wealth mobility where self made wealth replaces inherited wealth would result in more men at the top of the wealth distribution judged by this proxy and corroborated by various data sources wealth mobility decreased in the period 1925 1969 and increased thereafter such a pattern is consistent with an important role for technological change in shaping the wealth distribution and can provide an explanation for why wealth concentra tion has remained stable despite increasing income concentration in the last three decades over the past century the share of women among the very wealthy followed an inverse u pattern peaking in the late 1960s according to estate tax returns in 1925 one quarter of the wealthiest 0 01 percent were women this fraction rose rapidly through world war ii wwii and then more slowly to peak in 1969 when women neared parity with men since then the decline has been marked by 2000 women s share had fallen to one third its prewar level while the rise was evident among all wealth groups in the top 1 percent of the wealth distribution the decline was confined to the very top figure ia graphs the share of women for four different groups in the top 1 percent among decedents by year figure ib does the same for the living population with the help of estate multipliers a method that treats death as a random sampling device and uses mortality rates by age and gender to infer the distribution of wealth among the living as described in the data appendix while the rise in the share of women among the wealthy until the 1960s could reflect improve ments in women s economic status labor market gains work against the recent decline for instance since the 1970s the share of women among top earners top 0 1 percent has risen by

optimal mandates and the welfare cost of asymmetric information evidence from the u k annuity market much of the extensive empirical literature on insurance markets has focused on whether adverse selection can be detected once detected however there has been little attempt to quantify its welfare cost or to assess whether and what potential government interventions may reduce these costs to do so we develop a model of annuity contract choice and estimate it using data from the u k annuity market the model allows for private information about mortality risk as well as heterogeneity in preferences over different contract options we focus on the choice of length of guarantee among individuals who are required to buy annuities the results suggest that asymmetric information along the guarantee margin reduces welfare relative to a first best symmetric information benchmark by about 127 million per year or about 2 percent of annuitized wealth we also find that by requiring that individuals choose the longest guarantee period allowed mandates could achieve the first best allocation however we estimate that other mandated guarantee lengths would have detrimental effects on welfare since determining the optimal mandate is empirically difficult our findings suggest that achieving welfare gains through mandatory social insurance may be harder in practice than simple theory may suggest

the importance of bequests and life cycle saving in capital accumulation a new answer as the workhorse of consumption and saving research for the past four decades the life cycle model has proved flexible and useful for examining a variety of questions in a classic paper albert ando and franco modigliani 1963 p 56 stated a key assumption of the basic model t he individual neither expects to receive nor desires to leave any inheritance although the authors contended that the absence of a bequest motive was not critical to the heart of their results the assumption set off a long standing battle over the relative importance of different motives for saving in an influential study laurence kotlikoff and laurence summers 1981 estimated that a large fraction of the u s capital stock was attributable to intergenerational transfers modigliani and his collaborators vigorously disagreed and based on their own empirical work claimed that life cycle saving was the primary source of capital accumulation modigliani 1988 subsequent work has failed to reach a consensus since this debate began an important advance in the consumption literature has been the incorporation of uncertainty in life cycle models see e g r glenn hubbard et al 1995 we argue that allowing for uncertainty resolves the controversy over the importance of life cycle and bequest saving by showing that these motives for saving are overlapping and cannot generally be distinguished a dollar saved today simultaneously serves both a precautionary life cycle function guarding against future contingencies such as health shocks or other emergencies and a bequest function because in the likely event that the dollar is not absorbed by these contingencies it will be available to bequeath to children or other worthy causes under this view households have a bequest motive but bequests are given i e the motive is operative in only some states of the world wealth is something like traveler s checks you take them along on vacation just in case but odds are they will remain uncashed and available for sundry goods after the journey is complete we first demonstrate the result using a simple model and then argue that this approach reconciles the apparent importance of bequests with households declared focus on life cycle saving finally we consider implications of our analysis

financial constraints on sport organizations cost efficiency the impact of financial fair play on italian soccer clubs we analyze the effect of the introduction of stricter financial constraints on the trade off between sporting and economic results we apply a stochastic cobb douglas production frontier model to a

the role of bequests in shaping wealth inequality evidence from danish wealth records using danish administrative data we estimate the impact of bequests on the level and inequality of wealth we employ an event study design where we follow the distribution of wealth over time of people who are 45 50 years old and divided into treatment group and control group depending on whether a parent dies or not bequests account for 26 percent of the average post bequest wealth 1 3 years after parental death and significantly affect wealth throughout the distribution we find that bequests increase measures of absolute wealth inequality variance but reduce relative inequality top wealth shares following the receipts of bequests variance of the distribution censored at the top bottom 1 increases by 33 percent but the top 1 share declines by 6 percentage points from an initial level of 31 percent and the top 10 share declines by 10 percentage points from a base of around 81 percent

the effect of succession taxes on family firm investment evidence from a natural experiment this paper provides causal evidence on the impact of succession taxes on firm investment decisions and transfer of control using a 2002 policy change in greece that substantially reduced the tax on intrafamily transfers of businesses i show that succession taxes lead to a more than 40 decline in investment around family successions slow sales growth and a depletion of cash reserves furthermore succession taxes strongly affect the decision to sell or retain the firm within the family i conclude by discussing implications of my findings for firms in the united states and europe

secular stagnation theory and remedies abstract to investigate secular stagnation i add two features to a standard ramsey model with money i households have a preference for wealth ii wages are downward rigid in this framework there exists a frictionless neoclassical steady state equilibrium characterized by a low natural real interest rate in addition if wages are sufficiently rigid and the natural real interest rate sufficiently low then there also exists a keynesian secular stagnation steady state characterized by under employment low inflation and a binding zero lower bound on the nominal interest rate as wages become more flexible the keynesian steady state diverges away from the neoclassical steady state until wages are so flexible that it ceases to exist if monetary policy is excessively restrictive then the secular stagnation steady state is the unique steady state equilibrium of the economy the optimal policy response to secular stagnation is to move the economy to the neoclassical steady state this can either be achieved by raising the central bank s inflation ceiling or by taxing wealth and subsidizing investment in physical capital this optimal tax policy is revenue neutral

wealth inequality in the united states since 1913 evidence from capitalized income tax data this paper combines income tax returns with flow of funds data to estimate the distribution of household wealth in the united states since 1913 we estimate wealth by capitalizing the incomes reported by individual taxpayers accounting for assets that do not generate taxable income we successfully test our capitalization method in three micro datasets where we can observe both income and wealth the survey of consumer finance linked estate and income tax returns and foundations tax records wealth concentration has followed a u shaped evolution over the last 100 years it was high in the beginning of the twentieth century fell from 1929 to 1978 and has continuously increased since then the rise of wealth inequality is almost entirely due to the rise of the top 0 1 wealth share from 7 in 1979 to 22 in 2012 a level almost as high as in 1929 the bottom 90 wealth share rst increased up to the mid 1980s and then steadily declined the increase in wealth concentration is due to the surge of top incomes combined with an increase in saving rate inequality top wealth holders are younger today than in the 1960s and earn a higher fraction of total labor income in the economy we explain how our ndings can be reconciled with survey of consumer finances and estate tax data

do estate and gift taxes affect the timing of private transfers abstract proposals to alter the estate tax are contentious and have been considered largely in an empirical vacuum this paper examines time series and cross sectional variation to identify the effects of estate and gift taxation on the timing of private transfers the analysis is based on data from the 1989 1992 1995 1998 and 2001 surveys of consumer finances legislative activity during this period reduced the tax disadvantage of bequests relative to gifts moreover the magnitude of this reduction differed systematically across identifiable household categories we find that households experiencing larger declines in the expected tax disadvantages of bequests reduced inter vivos transfers relative to households experiencing small declines in the tax disadvantages of bequests this finding is consistent with the hypothesis that the timing of transfers is responsive to applicable gift and estate tax rates the results also provide evidence of a systematic bequest motive for high wealth households

born with a silver spoon danish evidence on wealth inequality in childhood we study wealth inequality in childhood using danish wealth records from three decades while teenagers have some earnings we estimate that transfers account for at least 50 percent of wealth at age 18 and much more so for the rich children inheritance from grandparents does not appear quantitatively important but we do find evidence that children receive inter vivos transfers while wealth holdings are small in childhood they have strong predictive power for future wealth in adulthood asset holdings at age 18 are more informative than parental wealth in predicting wealth of children many years later when they are in their 40s hence childhood wealth reveals significant heterogeneity in the intergenerational transmission of wealth which is not simply captured by parental wealth alone we investigate why this is the case and rule out that childhood wealth in itself can accumulate enough to explain later wealth inequality our evidence indicates that childhood wealth is a proxy for a broad set of circumstances related to intergenerational transmission and future wealth accumulation including savings investment behavior and additional transfers