occupational choice and the process of development this paper models economic development as a process of institutional transformation by focusing on the interplay between agents occupational decisions and the distribution of wealth because of capital market imperfections poor agents choose working for a wage over self employment and wealthy agents become entrepreneurs who monitor workers only with sufficient inequality however will there be employment contracts otherwise there is either subsistence or self employment thus in static equilibrium the occupational structure depends on distribution since the latter is itself endogenous we demonstrate the robustness of this result by extending the model dynamically and studying examples in which initial wealth distributions have long run effects in one case the economy develops either widespread cottage industry self employment or factory production employment contracts depending on the initial distribution in the other example it develops into prosperity or stagnation

the power of green defaults the impact of regional variation of opt out tariffs on green energy demand in germany abstract the present paper focuses on green defaults as demand side policies supporting the uptake of renewable energy in germany it sets out to gain a better understanding of whether and for whom green electricity defaults work the present study is one of the first to use a large scale data set to investigate this question we combine micro level data from the german socio economic panel gsoep covering private households including a wealth of individual information with macro level information such as population density of a region and proportion of energy suppliers in a given region that use a green opt out tariff within their basic supply we show that in germany green defaults automatically enrolling customers in renewable energy sources tend to stick especially but not only among those who are concerned about the problem of climate change this finding based on real world rather than experimental evidence attests to the power of automatic enrollment in addressing environmental problems in germany and potentially beyond including climate change and also adds to the growing literature on the substantial effects of shifting from opt in to opt out strategies

sufficiency and consumer behaviour from theory to policy abstract it is increasingly obvious that for safeguarding environmental sustainability eco efficiency measures will need to be complemented by sufficiency in particular by strong sustainable consumption the theory of planned behaviour tpb and social practice theory spt offer different views on consumer behaviour and on ways to change it this paper briefly describes the challenges discusses the applicability of both theories and their meaningfulness for policy recommendations we suggest an approach combining results of both bodies of theory complemented by ideas from political economy to substantiate the prism of sustainable consumption we introduce as a heuristic sufficiency policy tool it is useful to identify affordability criteria for change in each dimension as the basis for deriving suggestions for effective policy interventions we conclude that i effective interventions are possible ii they have to address several dimensions of affordability simultaneously and iii the sufficiency policy space prism can be a useful tool in structuring planned interventions

social norms and energy conservation beyond the us abstract the seminal studies by allcott and mullainathan 2010 allcott 2011 and allcott and rogers 2014 show that social comparison based home energy reports her are a cost effective climate policy intervention in the us our paper demonstrates the context dependency of this result in most industrialized countries average electricity consumption and carbon intensity are well below us levels consequently her interventions can only become cost effective if treatment effect sizes are substantially higher for germany we provide evidence from a large scale randomized controlled trial that effect sizes are in fact considerably lower than in the us we conclude by illustrating that targeting highly responsive subgroups is crucial to reach cost effectiveness and by identifying the few countries in which her are promising policy instruments

the misleading effect of energy efficiency information on perceived energy friendliness of electric goods the european union energy label informs consumers at the point of sale about the energy efficiency and electricity consumption of various electric goods the label should enable consumers to purchase energy friendly products i e products with low energy consumption thereby making a significant contribution to the reduction of overall energy consumption this paper offers a systematic analysis of consumers interpretation of the energy label the results of a set of experimental studies revealed that consumers tend to base their estimates of a product s energy consumption mainly on the energy efficiency class e g a communicated on the energy label and largely ignore information about annual electricity consumption e g 120 kwh year thereby consumers potentially overestimate the energy friendliness of a product assigned a high energy efficiency rating this also holds true when consumers directly compare two products in terms of energy friendliness thus participants chose a higher consuming product because it had a high energy efficiency rating high energy efficiency ratings e g a can distort consumers perceptions of product categories that consume excessively e g freezers participants were seduced into thinking that a high energy efficiency rating e g a means the energy consumption of energy hogs is no longer problematic this paper provides evidence that the energy label could have a contrary effect than the one intended due to people s susceptibility to an energy efficiency fallacy this misinterpretation of the energy label could further explain why overall energy demand is increasing despite enhanced energy efficiency finally implications for policy makers and further research for enhancement of the energy label are discussed

budgetary policy and unemployment dynamics in an olg model with collective bargaining we consider a dynamic general equilibrium model with capital accumulation and collective wage bargaining and investigate how unemployment responds to structural shocks under two stylised budgetary policies under balanced budgets tax adjustments lead to higher unemployment on impact but enable a quick recovery of employment by contrast unbalanced budgets mitigate unemployment effects on impact but dynamics are more persistent due to weaker capital accumulation and future fiscal consolidations these results are consistent with empirical evidence on a positive cross country relationship between government borrowing and unemployment persistence this paper starts out from the well known fact that many european countries have suffered from persistently high unemployment over the past two decades there is a large literature which attempts to explain this development as resulting from a combination of structural shocks and mechanisms which make the effects of any such shifts more persistent one prominent branch of this literature stresses that adverse structural shocks tend to induce a slowdown in capital accumulation which reinforces the employment losses and adds to unemployment persistence bean 1989 benassy 1997 blanchard 1997 burda 1988 caballero and hammour 1998 daveri and tabellini 2000 similarly these studies point out that when the shock is over the recovery of employment depends critically on the speed with which investments in capital respond to the new situation the purpose of this paper is to reconsider this capital shortage hypothesis by linking it explicitly to the stance of fiscal policy to see the importance of fiscal policy in this context consider a government which faces an adverse structural shock such as a drop in employment due to a wage setting shock and decides whether it should keep its budget balanced or not this decision will affect the overall structure of assets in the economy i e the mix between capital and government bonds and this mix will in turn be an important determinant of the speed with which the economy can create employment once the shock is over in particular according to the capital shortage hypothesis the recovery in terms of employment is likely to take longer under a policy which temporarily accepts structural budget deficits particularly when crowding out effects have been substantial

overcoming salience bias how real time feedback fosters resource conservation inattention and imperfect information bias behavior toward the salient and immediately visible this distortion creates costs for individuals the organizations in which they work and society at l

cognitive reflection and the valuation of energy efficiency abstract based on a stated choice experiment among about 3 600 german households heads on the purchase of electricity using durables this paper explores how cognitive reflection influences consumers valuation of energy efficiency and investigates the interaction with consumers response to the eu energy label our results indicate that consumers with low cognitive reflection value energy efficiency less furthermore we demonstrate that consumers with a low level of cognitive reflection primarily choose appliances based on grade like energy efficiency classes rather than detailed information on annual energy use

the short run and long run effects of behavioral interventions experimental evidence from energy conservation we document three remarkable features of the opower program in which social comparison based home energy reports are repeatedly mailed to more than six million households nationwide first initial reports cause high frequency action and backsliding but these cycles attenuate over time second if reports are discontinued after two years effects are relatively persistent decaying at 10 20 percent per year third consumers are slow to habituate they continue to respond to repeated treatment even after two years we show that the previous conservative assumptions about post intervention persistence had dramatically understated cost effectiveness and illustrate how empirical estimates can optimize program design jel d12 d83 l94 q41

real exchange rate and international reserves in an era of growing financial and trade integration abstract this paper evaluates the impact of international reserves terms of trade shocks and capital flows on the real exchange rate reer we observe that international reserves cushion the impact of terms of trade shocks on reer and that this effect is important for developing but not for industrial countries this buffer effect is especially significant for asian countries and for countries exporting natural resources financial depth reduces the buffer role of international reserves in developing countries developing countries reers seem to be more sensitive to changes in reserve assets whereas industrial countries display a significant relationship between hot money and reer

dualism and macroeconomic volatility this paper develops a simple macroeconomic model that shows that combining capital market imperfections together with unequal access to investment opportunities across individuals can generate endogenous and permanent euctuations in aggregate gdp investment and interest rates reducing inequality of access may be a necessary condition for macroeconomic stabilization moreover countercyclical escal policies have a role to play in our model savings are underutilized in slumps because of the limited debt capacity of potential investors therefore the government should issue public debt during recessions in order to absorb those idle savings and enance investment subsidies or tax cuts for investors the most important single fact about saving and investment activities is that in our industrial society they are generally done by different people and for different reasons for years there might tend to be too little investment leading to deeation losses excess capacity and unemployment for other years there might tend to be too much investment leading to periods of chronic ineation unless prudent and proper public policies in the escal and monetary eelds are followed paul a samuelson economics 8th edition 1970 pp 196 198

income distribution and macroeconomics this paper analyzes the role of wealth distribution in macroeconomics through investment in human capital it is shown that in the presence of credit markets imperfections and indivisibilities in investment in human capital the initial distribution of wealth affects aggregate output and investment both in the short and in the long run as there are multiple steady states this paper therefore provides an additional explanation for the persistent differences in per capita output across countries furthermore the paper shows that cross country differences in macroeconomic adjustment to aggregate shocks can be attributed among other factors to differences in wealth and income distribution across countries

behavioral economics and energy conservation a systematic review of non price interventions and their causal effects abstract research from economics and psychology suggests that behavioral interventions can be a powerful climate policy instrument this paper provides a systematic review of the existing empirical evidence on non price interventions targeting energy conservation behavior of private households specifically we analyze four nudge like interventions referred to as social comparison commitment devices goal setting and labeling in 44 international studies comprising 105 treatments this paper differs from previous systematic reviews by solely focusing on studies that permit the identification of causal effects we find that all four interventions have the potential to significantly reduce energy consumption of private households yet effect sizes vary immensely we conclude by emphasizing the importance of impact evaluations before rolling out behavioral policy interventions at scale

social comparison nudges without monetary incentives evidence from home energy reports abstract we explore the mechanisms driving the effectiveness of a widely used behavioral intervention that reduces energy consumption by repeatedly mailing social comparison based home energy reports hers to households with a randomized controlled trial we introduce hers in a college residence where tenants do not pay energy bills our results indicate that hers induced almost no behavioral changes for heating demand with precise estimates that allow us to rule out thermostat changes greater than 0 36 f to the extent that our findings can be extrapolated to other non dormitory residential contexts this suggests that behavioral channels such as competitiveness social norms or moral suasion may not motivate conservation in the absence of direct monetary incentives

for better or for worse empirical evidence of moral licensing in a behavioral energy conservation campaign isolated environmental campaigns focusing on defined target behaviors are rolled out to millions of households every year yet it is still unclear whether these programs trigger cross domain adoption of additional environment friendly behaviors positive spillover or reduced engagement elsewhere a thorough evaluation of the real net performance of these programs is lacking this paper investigates whether positive or perverse side effects dominate by exemplifying the impact of a water conservation campaign on electricity consumption the study draws on daily water 10 780 data points and weekly electricity 1386 data points consumption data of 154 apartments in a controlled field experiment at a multifamily residence the results show that residents who received weekly feedback on their water consumption lowered their water use 6 0 on average but at the same time increased their electricity consumption by 5 6 compared with control subjects income effects can be excluded while follow up research is needed on the precise mechanism of the psychological process at work the findings are consistent with the concept of moral licensing which can more than offset the benefits of focused energy efficiency campaigns at least in the short term we advocate the adoption of a more comprehensive view in environmental program design evaluation in order to quantify and mitigate these unintended effects

asset bubbles economic growth and a self fulfilling financial crisis abstract a tractable model in which asset bubbles can exist in spite of infinitely lived agents is presented an intrinsically useless asset has a positive value and raises welfare because it helps investors with idiosyncratic productivity to obtain more credit in imperfect financial markets however the bubbly equilibrium is only the second best moreover bubbles may burst and this leads to recessions the model s analytical solution allows for the study of many policies we find that a policy of purchasing the asset avoids financial crises but nevertheless results in the second best outcome a policy that taxes depositors and subsidizes investors both prevents crashes and achieves the first best outcome

living in an imaginary world that looks real abstract in the paper we show using standard approaches general equilibrium modeling and the assumption of complete rationality that the macroeconomic environment is endogenous and is indeterminate specifically it is argued without resorting to sunspot type arguments that microeconomic fundamentals do not suffice to characterize the economy at the macro level in particular we show how perceptions of rational agents of the workings of the economy a shape the environment b affect the environment sufficiently to ensure that rational economic agents find the observed environment consistent with their beliefs even though it is not as a by product we illustrate that endogenous macro uncertainty can arise as an outcome if rational economic agents whose expectations are anchored on endogenous variables expect them to arise finally we show that systematic errors can persist indefinitely under rationality

prices information and nudges for residential electricity conservation a meta analysis incentivising households to lower their electricity consumption is increasingly used as a tool to create a more flexible electricity demand previous reviews estimate that electricity savings of 6 4 7 4 can be achieved through monetary informational and behavioural incentives this papers argues that a more realistic estimate is of a 1 9 3 9 reduction in consumption based on the most recent experimental data from both peer reviewed and grey literature sources using data from 52 studies published during the smart grid era 2005 onwards the effects of incentives from 128 observations amounting to 713 002 households are analysed the results show that individual and real time feedback as well as personalised advice on how to save electricity are more effective than feedback on electricity costs and general electricity savings tips which lead to relative increases in consumption despite improvements in the quality of more recent studies the analysis highlights the importance of methodological rigour in carrying out and reporting effects of incentives an absence of a control group of socio demographic data and the self selection of participants into treatment leads to overestimation of effects

did financial frictions stifle r d investment in europe during the great recession abstract we investigate the role of financial frictions in r d spending in a large sample of european firms our identification strategy exploits the contraction in credit supply that followed the 2008 09 global financial crisis and 2012 euro area sovereign debt crisis together with differences in financial frictions across firms and industries to identify a causal effect of financial constraints on investment in innovation we show that firms that are more likely financially constrained in industries more dependent on external finance invest disproportionally less in r d during periods of tight credit supply smaller private firms with weaker balance sheets also have a lower share of r d in total investment suggesting r d drops more than total investment during these crisis episodes these results are robust to different proxies of financial constraints and fixed effects identification strategies

the influences of financial and non financial factors on energy saving behaviour a field experiment in japan abstract this study examines the influences of financial and non financial factors on electricity conservation behaviour a random sample of 236 japanese households participated in the field experiment and the participants were offered two interventions such as monetary rewards depending on their reduction in electricity consumption and comparative feedback the average saving rates of the i reward intervention group 5 9 and the ii reward with comparative feedback group 8 2 are statistically larger than those of the iii control group 1 7 our study demonstrates the following first our econometric analysis confirmed a significant response by households to financial incentives but a more inconclusive response to the treatment that provided non financial additional information second we found a positive influence of treatment externalities across time and households on energy saving third there is a heterogeneous treatment effect in the reward intervention group with the households having a high new ecological paradigm nep score being more likely to respond to the reward programme and save electricity than those that do not finally and most interestingly differences in responses to the questionnaire before and after the experiment suggest that the participants had underestimated the marginal costs of saving electricity before they actually started to do so

imperfect competition capital shortages and unemployment persistence we construct a model integrating the traditions of imperfect competition macroeconomics and real business cycles for this we study a dynamic economy with optimizing households firms and trade unions subject to stochastic shocks we can derive closed form solutions for the behaviour of all agents it is found that the combination of capital shortages and imperfect competition in labor markets can give rise to unemployment and that this unemployment is quite persistent even when the underlying shocks are not

site selection bias in program evaluation site selection bias can occur when the probability that a program is adopted or evaluated is correlated with its impacts i test for site selection bias in the context of the opower energy conservation programs using 111 randomized control trials involving 8 6 million households across the united states predictions based on rich microdata from the first 10 replications substantially overstate efficacy in the next 101 sites several mechanisms caused this positive selection for example utilities in more environmentalist areas are more likely to adopt the program and their customers are more responsive to the treatment also because utilities initially target treatment at higher usage consumer subpopulations efficacy drops as the program is later expanded the results illustrate how program evaluations can still give systematically biased out of sample predictions even after many replications jel codes c93 d12 l94 o12 q41

a model of focusing in economic choice we present a generally applicable theory of focusing based on the hypothesis that a person focuses more on and hence overweights attributes in which her options dier more our model predicts that the decisionmaker is too prone to choose options with concentrated advantages relative to alternatives but maximizes utility when the advantages and disadvantages of alternatives are equally concentrated in intertemporal choice because the relative concentrations of an option s costs and benets can be dierent from the perspective of a single period and the perspective of the entire choice problem the decisionmaker often exhibits a form of time inconsistency she is present biased when the costs of current misbehavior are distributed over many future dates such as in harmful consumption but future biased when the benet of many

the distributional consequences of tax reforms under capital skill complementarity this paper analyses wage inequality and the welfare effects of changes in capital and labour income tax rates for different types of agents to achieve this we develop a model that allows for capital skill complementarity given non uniform distributions of asset holdings and labour skills we find that capital tax reductions lead to the highest aggregate welfare gains but are skill biased and thus increase inequality however our analysis also shows that the inequality effects of capital tax reductions are lower over the transition period compared with the long run

the persistence of treatment effects with norm based policy instruments evidence from a randomized environmental policy experiment during a 1977 fireside chat president jimmy carter famously appealed to american hom eowners to set their thermostats at 65 degrees to help conserve supplies of natural gas and fuel oil norm based strategies are commonly used to influence a range of private behaviors with public consequences including alcohol and drug use gambling and resource consump tion in the last decade these strategies increas ingly emphasize the use of social comparisons to motivate behavioral changes efforts to use such comparisons build upon leon festinger s 1954 social comparison theory which posits that individuals validate the appropriateness of an action or thought through comparison to others a subsequent literature in social psychol ogy argues that strategies based on this theory provide an effective means to promote environ mental conservation see e g tim kurz ngaire donaghue and ian walker 2005 p wesley schultz et al 2007 noah j goldstein robert b cialdini and vladas griskevicius 2008 jessica m nolan et al 2008 in this literature the work by schultz et al 2007 has proven most influential and forms the basis of opower s well cited social comparison approach for

working capital and fixed investment new evidence on financing constraints this article presents new tests for finance constraints on investment by emphasizing the often neglected role of working capital as both a use and a source of funds the coefficient of endogenous working capital investment is negative in a fixed investment regression as expected if working capital competes with fixed investment for a limited pool of finance this finding addresses a criticism of previous research on finance constraints that cash flows may simply proxy shifts in investment demand in addition previous studies may have underestimated the impact of finance constraints on growth and investment because firms smooth fixed investment in the short run with working capital

optimal leverage and aggregate investment we analyze the optimal financing of investment projects when managers must exert unobservable effort and can also switch to less profitable riskier ventures optimal financial contracts can be implemented by a combination of debt and equity when the risk shifting problem is the most severe while stock options are also needed when the effort problem is the most severe worsening of the moral hazard problems leads to decreases in investment and output at the macroeconomic level moreover aggregate leverage decreases with the risk shifting problem and increases with the effort problem

asset bubbles endogenous growth and financial frictions this paper analyzes the effects of bubbles in an infinitely lived agent model of endogenous growth with financial frictions and heterogeneous agents we provide a complete characterization on the relationship between financial frictions and the existence of bubbles our model predicts that if the degree of pledgeability is sufficiently high or sufficiently low bubbles can not exist they can only arise at an intermediate degree this suggests that improving the financial market condition might enhance the possibility of bubbles we also examine whether bubbles are growth enhancing or growth impairing in the long run we show that when the degree of pledgeability is relatively low bubbles boost long run growth on the other hand when it is relatively high bubbles lower long run growth moreover we examine the effects of the burst of bubbles and show that the effects much depend on the degree of the pldgeability i e the quality of financial system

capital accumulation and unemployment a tale of two continents in contrast to much recent work regarding the causes of european unemployment in this paper we emphasize the importance of capital accumulation but unlike the few previous studies which have examined the relationship between capital accumulation and unemployment we argue that what matters for the evolution of employment and the unemployment rate is not the absolute growth rate of a country s capital stock but its evolution relative to other countries capital stock the empirical validity of the above statement is demonstrated for almost all oecd countries using quarterly time series data for the period 1961 1995 more detailed evidence is also presented for germany japan and the united kingdom

the hidden costs of nudging experimental evidence from reminders in fundraising abstract we document the hidden costs of a popular nudge and show how these costs distort policy making when neglected in a field experiment with a charity we find reminders increasing intended behavior donations but also increasing avoidance behavior unsubscriptions from the mailing list we develop a dynamic model of donation and unsubscription behavior with limited attention we test the model in a second field experiment which also provides evidence that the hidden costs are anticipated the model is estimated structurally to perform a welfare analysis not accounting for hidden costs overstates the welfare effects for donors by factor ten and hides potential negative welfare effects of the charity

procrastination on long term projects we investigate naive procrastination on projects with multiple stages in addition to classic procrastination in starting projects naive people might undertake costly effort to begin projects but then never finish procrastination is more likely when the costs of completing different stages are more unequal and it is when later stages are more costly that people start but do not finish projects moreover if the cost structure is endogenous people are prone to choose cost structures that lead them to start but not finish projects some extensions further illustrate how people may incur costs on projects they never complete

saving power to conserve your reputation the effectiveness of private versus public information environmental damage is often an unseen byproduct of other activities disclosing environmental impact privately to consumers can reduce the costs and or increase the moral benefits of conservation behaviors while publicly disclosing such information can provide an additional motivation for conservation cultivating a green reputation in a unique field experiment in the residence halls at the university of california los angeles we test the efficacy of detailed private and public information on electricity conservation private information was given through real time appliance level feedback and social norms over usage and public information was given through a publicly visible conservation rating our analysis is based on 7 120 daily observations about energy use from heating and cooling lights and plug load for 66 rooms collected over an academic year our results suggest that while private information alone was ineffective public information combined with private information motivated a 20 percent reduction in electricity consumption achieved through lower use of heating and cooling public information was particularly effective for above median energy users

goal setting and energy conservation abstract this paper develops a theoretical model of consumer demand for an energy conservation program that involves non binding self set goals we present evidence from a northern illinois goal setting program aimed at reducing residential electricity consumption which is difficult to reconcile with standard preferences and is broadly consistent with a model of present biased consumers with reference dependent preferences we find that the need for commitment is correlated with program adoption higher pre adoption consumption and lower responsiveness to goals consumers choosing realistic goals persistently save substantially more achieving savings of nearly 11 than those choosing very low or unrealistically high goals

competition and norms a self defeating combination this paper investigates the effects of information feedback mechanisms on electricity and heating usage at a student hall of residence in london in a randomised control trial we formulate different treatments such as feedback information and norms as well as prize competition among subjects we show that information and norms lead to a sharp more than 20 reduction in overall energy consumption because participants do not pay for their energy consumption this response cannot be driven by cost saving incentives interestingly when combining feedback and norms with a prize competition for achieving low energy consumption the reduction effect while present initially disappears in the long run this could suggest that external rewards reduce and even destroy intrinsic motivation to change behaviour

the dynamics of the wealth distribution and the interest rate with credit rationing are uniquely determined and wealth dispersion among individuals or firms is irrelevant introducing credit rationing into the solow model modifies these conclusions multiple stationary interest rates and wealth distributions can exist because higher initial rates can be self reinforcing through higher credit rationing and lower capital accumulation the wealth accumulation process is ergodic in every steady state but wealth mobility is lower with higher steady state interest rates aggregate output is higher in steady states with lower interest rates because credit is better allocated short run interest rate or distribution shocks can be self sustaining and can have long run effects on output through the induced dynamics of the wealth distribution and credit rationing

a theory of trickle down growth and development this paper develops a model of growth and income inequalities in the presence of imperfect capital markets and it analyses the trickle down effect of capital accumulation moral hazard with limited wealth constraints on the part of the borrowers is the source of both capital market imperfections and the emergence of persistent income inequalities three main conclusions are obtained from this model first when the rate of capital accumulation is sufficiently high the economy converges to a unique invariant wealth distribution second even though the trickle down mechanism can lead to a unique steady state distribution under laissez faire there is room for government intervention in particular redistribution of wealth from rich lenders to poor and middle class borrowers improves the production efficiency of the economy both because it brings about greater equality of opportunity and also because it accelerates the trickle down process third the process of capital accumulation initially has the effect of widening inequalities but in later stages it reduces them in other words this model can generate a kuznets curve

energy conservation nudges and environmentalist ideology evidence from a randomized residential electricity field experiment nudges are being widely promoted to encourage energy conservation we show that while the electricity conservation nudge of providing feedback to households on own and peers home electricity usage works with liberals it can backfire with conservatives our regression estimates predict that a democratic household that pays for electricity from renewable sources that donates to environmental groups and that lives in a liberal neighborhood reduces its consumption by 3 percent in response to this nudge a republican household that does not pay for electricity from renewable sources and that does not donate to environmental groups increases its consumption by 1 percent

the economic crisis of the 1990s in finland finland s depression a tale of bad luck and bad policies in the 1990s finland underwent a deep depression as its gdp dropped about 14 and unemployment rose from 3 to almost 20 this is a story of bad luck and bad policies bad luck took the form of external shocks the collapse of trade with the former soviet union in 1991 but also sharp cycles in the oecd area however bad luck is far from being the whole story in the absence of bad policies finland would have experienced a recession not a depression bad policies included a poorly designed financial regulation and mistaken reactions to the onset of the crisis of particular interest is the role of financial factors in triggering the crisis and aggravating the effects of bad policies not only were consumption and investment spending hurt by the credit crunch but there is evidence that the private sector s indebtedness has increased structural unemployment which explains why the recovery is proceeding with few job creations a number of general lessons emerge they concern the deregulation of financial markets the policy reaction to massive capital inflows and the role of employment policies seppo honkapohja and erkki koskela

one for all the impact of different types of energy feedback and goal setting on individuals motivation to conserve electricity abstract we investigate how different types of energy feedback combined with goal setting impact on consumers motivation to conserve electricity using an online survey we test the influence of energy feedback in physical units kwh monetary values eur and environmental values avoided co2 emissions we asked participants to set themselves either a high low or no energy conservation goal in addition we assess the respondents value types hedonic egoistic altruistic and biospheric to test predictions derived from goal framing theory in general individuals scoring high on biospheric values were more motivated to conserve electricity and their motivation did not increase in response to setting an energy conservation goal individuals with egoistic values seem less willing to reduce their electricity consumption unless in the monetary feedback or high goal conditions a high conservation goal was only found to be effective in combination with monetary feedback it increased the motivation to save electricity by 6 7 percentage points in comparison to the low goal condition and 6 6 percentage points in comparison to the control condition

dollars dollars everywhere nor any dime to lend credit limit constraints on financial sector absorptive capacity we exploit an unexpected inflow of liquidity in an emerging market to study how capital is intermediated to firms we find that backward looking credit limit constraints imposed by banks make it difficult for firms to borrow despite readily available bank liquidity healthy aggregate demand and a sharply falling cost of capital the resulting aggregate failure to extend and retain capital in the economy suggests that agency costs that force banks to rely on sticky balance sheet based credit limits prevent emerging economies from effectively intermediating capital

idiosyncratic production risk growth and the business cycle we introduce a neoclassical growth economy with idiosyncratic production risk and incomplete markets each agent is an entrepreneur operating her own technology with her own capital stock the general equilibrium is characterized by a closed form recursion in the cara normal case incomplete markets introduce a risk premium on private equity which reduces the demand for investment as compared to complete markets the steady state can thus have both a lower capital stock due to investment risk and a lower interest rate due to precautionary savings furthermore the anticipation of high real interest rates in the future feeds back into high risk premia and low investment in the present thus slowing down convergence to the steady state our results highlight the importance of private risk premia for capital accumulation and business cycles

the impacts of energy efficiency policies meta analysis abstract this paper attempts to quantitatively summarize the existing empirical evidence on the effects of energy efficiency policies on energy demand and on the price of associated durable goods as well as to identify the main factors that systematically affect the estimated impacts to this end a meta regression analysis of the effects of energy efficiency policies is carried out on the basis of an extensive review of the existing literature selecting those studies that analyze the impact of energy efficiency policies with respect to a business as usual setting taking into account the econometric problems associated with this type of analysis intra class correlation cross sectional dependence publication bias in pursuit of robust outcomes the results show that the studies analyzing the effects of energy efficiency policies estimate a significant impact of these policies on energy demand 10 5 8 8 and the price of related durable goods 7 9 6 the main factors that influence results are the policy instrument the targeted sector the type of country the analyzed period the consideration of free riders and the type of analysis data and publication energy demand and the sector and analyzed period price of durables

growth volatility and financial liberalization we examine the effects of both equity market liberalization and capital account openness on real consumption growth variability we show that financial liberalization is mostly associated with lower consumption growth volatility our results are robust surviving controls for business cycle effects economic and financial development the quality of institutions and other variables countries that have more open capital accounts experience a greater reduction in consumption growth volatility after equity market openings we also find that financial liberalizations are associated with declines in the ratio of consumption growth volatility to gdp growth volatility suggesting improved risk sharing our results are weaker for liberalizing emerging markets but we never observe a significant increase in real volatility moreover we demonstrate significant differences in the volatility response depending on the size of the banking and government sectors and certain institutional factors

credit constraints cyclical fiscal policy and industry growth this paper evaluates whether the cyclical pattern of fiscal policy can affect growth we first build a simple endogenous growth model where entrepreneurs can invest either in short run projects or in long term growth enhancing projects long term projects involve a liquidity risk which credit constrained firms try to overcome by borrowing on the basis of their short run profits by increasing firms market size in recessions a countercyclical fiscal policy will boost investment in productivity enhancing long term projects and the more so in sectors that rely more on external financing or which display lower asset tangibility second the paper tests this prediction using rajan and zingales 1998 s diff and diff methodology on a panel data sample of manufacturing industries across 17 oecd countries over the period 1980 2005 the evidence confirms that the positive effects of a more countercyclical fiscal policy on value added growth productivity growth and r d expenditure are indeed larger in industries with heavier reliance on external finance or lower asset tangibility

level and dynamics of financial depth consequences for volatility of gdp abstractthe existing literature documents positive but potentially non linear relationship between financial depth measured as private credit to gdp ratio and volatility of gdp in this paper we e