a dynamic analysis of licensing the boomerang effect and grant back clauses this article develops an incomplete contract model of the licensing relationship to analyze the dynamic effects of licensing on r d competition in the innovation market and to examine the rationale for often observed grant back clauses of particular concern are how the consideration of future competition distorts the licensing relationship and how the grant back clause can mitigate this distortion i also evaluate the validity of the casual antitrust argument that grant back clauses may adversely affect competition because they reduce the licensee s incentive to engage in r d and thereby limit rivalry in innovation markets

hedging and coordinated risk management evidence from thrift conversions we provide an explanation for hedging as a means of allocating rather than reducing risk we argue that when increases in total risk are costly firms optimally allocate risk by reducing increasing exposure to risks that provide zero positive economic rents our evidence shows that mutual thrifts that convert to stock institutions increase total risk following conversion consistent with their increased abilities and incentives for risk taking they achieve this increase by hedging interest rate risk and increasing credit risk we provide some evidence that risk management activities are related to growth capacity and management compensation structure attained at conversion

trade credit bank lending and monetary policy transmission this paper investigates the role of trade credit in the transmission of monetary policy most models of the transmission mechanism allow the firm to access only financial markets or bank lending according to some net worth criterion in our model we introduce trade credit as an additional source of funding we predict that when monetary policy tightens there will be a reduction in market and bank lending and an increase in trade credit this is confirmed with an empirical investigation of 16 000 manufacturing firms

evolutionary theorizing in economics modern economic analysis oriented toward understanding the workings of economies that make extensive use of markets came into existence with three guiding questions all central in adam smith s 1776 1937 the wealth of nations one question concerned order without any central authority guiding and commanding action how is economic activity coordinated the second question was the challenge of explaining the prevailing constellation of prices inputs and outputs what explains the price of labor and the rent of land the third question addressed the processes of economic progress or development smith and other early economists clearly were impressed by the inventiveness the energy and the growing productivity generated by the evolving market economy how to understand its dynamics the first two questions have defined continuing central concerns of the discipline of economics since they first were posed over two centuries ago when not posed in the context of an economy that is understood as in the process of developing they seem to pull the focus of theorizing toward equilibrium conditions the third question concerned with the processes driving economic progress pulls the theorizing toward an evolutionary orientation the question of economic development has waxed and waned in centrality to the discipline as has the importance of evolutionary theorizing during the first several decades of the twentieth century evolutionary thinking and language was widespread in economics but as one contrasts the economic

building technological capability for industrialization analytical frameworks and korea s experience this paper first presents five analytical frameworks technology trajectory absorptive capacity technology transfer crisis construction and dynamic learning process that may be used to examine the process of technological learning at the firm level these frameworks are interrelated to develop an integrative model the korean experience is then discussed as a case in point to illustrate how the frameworks can be used to analyze the process of building technological capability for industrialization the paper also discusses many implications for public policy and corporate management in other countries copyright 1999 by oxford university press

endogenous growth and the emergence of equity finance abstract this paper characterises the development of equity markets as a dynamic process that both influences and is influenced by the development of the real sector of the economy in overlapping generations economy borrowers seek funds to run risky investment projects by drawing up contracts which may take the form of either equity or debt issue in the presence of information asymmetry between borrowers and lenders the optimal contract is determined by trading off information dilution costs against bankruptcy costs significantly the equilibrium choice of contract depends on the state of the economy which in turn depends on the contracting regime based on this analysis the paper provides a theory of the joint determination of real and financial development with the ability to explain the emergence of a stock market along the path of real development

modeling the co evolution of national industries and institutions important contributions within the realms of industrial dynamics and evolutionary economic theory have shown the need to explore the sources of industrial leadership in high tech industries several of these studies suggest that the co evolution between national industries and certain supporting institutions could play a fundamental role as a source of competitive advantage although an analysis of these processes still poses significant formal and theoretical challenges in this article we draw on previous contributions to formal evolutionary theorizing in order to build up a co evolution model suitable for the dynamic analysis of industrial leadership this model involves national firms competing on a worldwide level in a science based industry and co evolving with their respective national university systems certain national firms may influence university funding by institutional shaping while national university systems crucially affect the competitive advantage of said firms in the global market the model highlights important mechanisms through which institutional technological and market interrelated factors determine the dynamics of industrial leadership and eventually the emergence of industrial leadership shifts some of the implications regarding policy and future research on economic development follow

financial intermediation as a beliefs bridge between optimists and pessimists this paper proposes a new framework for understandingnancial intermediation in contrast to previous research we consider a setting in which intermediaries possess no inherent information processing or monitoring advantages instead in an economy with overly optimistic entrepreneurs who require funding from overly skeptical pessimistic investors we show that intermediaries can arise endogenously in such a setting only a rational intermediary will be su ciently optimistic tond it worthwhile to invest in a technology for screening entrepreneurs projects and yet be pessimistic enough to use this technology our framework produces implications consistent with heretofore unexplained stylized facts and a number of others which are as of yet untested

stock markets corporate finance and economic growth during the past decade the capitalization of emerging markets increased twentyfold in 1994 trading on these markets accounted for about 17 percent of the 9 6 trillion of shares traded on the world s stock markets up from a mere 3 percent of the much smaller 1 6 trillion in 1985 this rapid growth in emerging stock market activity raises critical questions for developing country policymakers what effect do stock markets have on economic growth how does stock market development affect firms financing decision and if stock markets are good for growth what policies can governments adopt to foster their development this note summarizes answers to these questions drawn from a recent research project

the impact of licenses on a late starter ldc chile in the 1990s the acquisition of technology through licenses is a potentially important means of accelerating productivity growth especially in late starter developing countries in the throes of catch up yet the literature has tended to focus on the potential benefits to the seller overlooking those to the purchaser our own concern we find that expenditures on licensing showed exceptionally high rates on return on the order of twice those for investment in physical capital this investment significantly improved firms performance and productivity in chilean industry during the 1990s we conclude that licensing can be an important instrument for speeding catch up in less developed countries

knowledge and venture funding complementarities and financial contracts in this article i analyse venture capital finance using the tools provided by the literature on the economics of innovation in particular the notion of localised technological knowledge and the resource based theory of the firm to build a model of financial contracting this entails that instead of looking exclusively at financial indicators or monetary incentives i will deepen the knowledge connection between the venture capitalist and the financed firm as the benchmark to understand the potential of this source of finance consistent with evidence regarding venture funding the model portrays a separation between a financial and a non financial part of the venture investment which is reflected in a dichotomy among the investors in fact the model shows that the success of a venture program is strictly linked to the knowledge flow inspired and reinforced by the complementarities between the knowledge bases of entrepreneur and venture capitalist instead to a particular financing scheme as sustained by most of the literature the model can also suggest a new methodology to analyse other intermediaries always exploiting the central role of knowledge in designing financial contracts copyright 2007 oxford university press

the agenda for growth theory a different point of view it is argued here that the basic assumptions of neoclassical growth theory inherently limit the ability of models within that theory to cast light on economic growth as we have experienced it this holds for the new growth theory as well as the older growth theory of the 1950s and 190js it is proposed that to make real headway with understanding economic growth a growth theory needs the following elements 1 the ability to treat technological advance as an essentially disequilibrium process 2 to incorporate a theory of the firm in which firm capabilities and differences across firms are central elements and 3 to incorporate into the theory a richer body of institutions than currently are treated in standard growth theory including at the least universities copyright 1998 by oxford university press

the information content of corporate merger and acquisition offers this paper explores the implications for the information content of acquisition offers in an economy with asymmetric information it is shown that mergers can be socially beneficial due to risk reduction and information asymmetry even when there are no productive syn ergies and when positive premia are paid the properties of equilibria with and without mergers are derived and contrasted in order to obtain a quantitative bound on potential merger premia theory is related to empirical evidence where our results show that ag gregate valuation gains can accrue on a purely informational basis moreover the model developed here has important implications for the reported differences in tender offer and merger studies

financial intermediary capital we propose a dynamic theory of financial intermediaries that are better able to collateralize claims than households that is have a collateralization advantage intermediaries require capital as they have to finance the additional amount that they can lend out of their own net worth the net worth of financial intermediaries and the corporate sector are both state variables affecting the spread between intermediated and direct finance and the dynamics of real economic activity such as investment and financing the accumulation of net worth of intermediaries is slow relative to that of the corporate sector the model is consistent with key stylized facts about macroeconomic downturns associated with a credit crunch namely their severity their protractedness and the fact that the severity of the credit crunch itself affects the severity and persistence of downturns the model captures the tentative and halting nature of recoveries from crises

disproportional control rights and the governance role of debt we examine the governance role of debt in the context of u s based dual class ownership structures we hypothesize that the use of debt alleviates the conflict between shareholder classes by balancing the power of controlling insiders we document that dual class firms have higher leverage and a greater propensity to issue private debt they also more frequently use cash sweeps and performance based covenants dual class firms with greater agency conflicts and a greater need to access the capital market appear to rely more extensively on debt these findings are consistent with controlling insiders bonding against the agency costs associated with dual class ownership the governance role of debt is further corroborated by the valuation effect of debt for dual class companies private debt issuances trigger greater positive market reactions to the inferior dual class stock in relation to both the superior dual class stock and a matched sample of single class firms further leverage attenuates the previou

imperfect information and the theory of government intervention in farm credit markets this paper describes some possible economic motivations for government intervention in farm credit markets these motivations are made possible by explicit departures from the perfect information and complete market assumptions that underlie both the neoclassical competitive paradigm and the fundamental theorems of welfare economics to be more precise the analysis focuses on three types of asymmetric information between farmers and prospective outside investors both of whom are assumed to be risk neutral arguably the three informational asymmetries examined here represent natural departures from perfect markets in that unlike the unencumbered neoclassical model each elicits farmers optimal use of debt contracts rather than equity instruments or other contractual forms to raise investment capital despite their consistency with observed contractual choices all three of the models analyzed below yield free market equilibria that diverge from first best perfect information outcomes given the inefficiency of these market equilibria the key question raised and discussed here is can government improve upon the derived competitive outcomes and if so how despite the enormity of the credit rationing literature only a few extant studies address this question in models that are consistent with debt contracts among them are demeza and webb 1987 1988 1989 and innes 1988 which focus on the third type of informational asymmetry considered below the other two information structures posited in this paper have been studied in several analyses of credit markets but with attention focused on positive attributes of the unfettered competitive equilibrium rather than on prospective implications for welfare enhancing government intervention in what follows th s literature is surveyed and for the first two information structures some new policy results a e presented a critical discussion of the paper s limitations concludes the article

welfare gains from financial liberalization financial liberalization has been a controversial issue as empirical evidence for growth enhancing effects is mixed here we find sizable welfare gains from liberalization cost to repression though the gain in economic growth is ambiguous we take the view that financial liberalization is a government policy that alters the path of financial deepening while financial deepening is endogenously chosen by agents given a policy and occurs in transition towards a distant steady state this history dependent view necessitates the use of simulation analysis based on a growth model our application is a specific episode thailand from 1976 to 1996

the emergence of technology systems knowledge production and distribution in the case of the emilian plastics district the emergence of technology systems is the result of interdependen t dynamics of generation and diffusion of complementary bits of localised technological knowledge technological communication is the crucial element assessing the collective conditions under which technological knowledge is accumulated and diffused the case study of the emerging emilian technological system in the plastics sector shows that the synchronic and diachronic localised interactions among industrial dynamics institutional r d efforts and technological interrelatedness are the determinants of the systematic production accumulation and distribution of localised technological knowledge in turn explaining the origin and development of the technology system itself

securitization and bank performance theory suggests that securitization provides financial institutions with an opportunity to lower the cost of funding improve credit risk management and increase profitability in practice however it might lead to adverse consequences through a number of indirect channels therefore the net impact of securitization on bank performance is ambiguous this study aims to evaluate whether banks improve their performance through the use of the securitization market by applying a propensity score matching approach in other words we build a counterfactual group of banks to assess what would have happened to the securitizing banks had they not securitized using us commercial banking data from 2001 to 2008 we first test these hypotheses using univariate analysis and find that securitizing banks are on average more profitable institutions with higher credit risk exposure and higher cost of funding however the propensity score matching analysis does not provide evidence of significant causal effects of securitization on the performance of banks therefore securitization does not seem to outperform alternative funding risk management and profitability improvement techniques used by banks that have ex ante similar characteristics to those securitizing our evidence raises important questions about the motives for banks increasing securitization activities and consequent implications for the banking system

what enables rapid economic progress what are the needed institutions abstract in recent years institutions have again become a central focus of economists and other scholars studying the processes of economic growth and the reasons why nations have differed so greatly in their achievements on this front however with few exceptions the exploration of the role of institutions has not been connected with a coherent analysis of the relationships between institutions and institutional change and technological advance this paper proposes a way of analyzing these relationships the concept of social technologies which support physical technologies plays a key role in the analysis

information reliability and a theory of financial intermediation this paper is an analysis of when it will be beneficial for agents engaged in the production of information to form coalitions the model is cast in a financial market framework thus leading to an identification of conditions sufficient for the existence of financial intermediaries intermediation is shown to improve welfare if informational asymmetries are present and the information generated to rectify these asymmetries is potentially unreliable the usual appeal to transactions costs to explain intermediation is not needed

discussion of the effects of corporate governance on firms credit ratings abstract ashbaugh skaife collins and lafond 2006 the effects of corporate governance on firms credit ratings journal of accounting and economics this issue find that better governed firms receive better credit ratings and poor governance costs the median speculative grade firm 38 million in excess interest they also find that managers choose to be poorly governed to expropriate wealth the results from the primary analysis are persuasive leaving little doubt on whether ratings agencies value corporate governance however the authors estimate of the economic costs of poor governance is likely to be overstated despite the evidence on the costs of poor governance the final analysis leaves the question as to why firms choose to be poorly governed largely unanswered

is relationship lending special evidence from credit file data in germany the german financial market is often characterized as a bank based system with strong bank customer relationships the corresponding notion of a housebank is closely related to the theoretical idea of relationship lending it is the objective of this paper to provide a direct comparison between housebanks and normal banks as to their credit policy therefore we analyze a new data set representing a random sample of borrowers drawn from the credit portfolios of five leading german banks over a period of five years we use credit file data rather than industry survey data and thus focus the analysis on information that is directly related to actual credit decisions in particular we use bank internal borrower rating data to evaluate borrower quality and the bank s own assessment of its housebank status to control for information intensive relationships the major results of our study support the view that housebanks are able to establish a distinct behavioral pattern consistent with the idea of long term commitment we find that housebanks do provide liquidity insurance in situations of unexpected deterioration of borrower ratings with respect to loan pricing we find no evidence for intra or intertemporal price differentiation related to housebanking

microprudential regulation in a dynamic model of banking this paper studies the quantitative impact of microprudential bank regulations on bank lending and value metrics of efficiency and welfare in a dynamic model of banks that are financed by debt and equity undertake maturity transformation are exposed to credit and liquidity risks and face financing frictions we show that 1 there exists an inverted u shaped relationship between bank lending welfare and capital requirements 2 liquidity requirements unambiguously reduce lending efficiency and welfare and 3 resolution policies contingent on observed capital such as prompt corrective action dominate in efficiency and welfare terms noncontingent capital and liquidity requirements

monetary policy bank leverage and financial stability abstract this paper shows that with limited liability banks lever up excessively to finance new loans lower monetary policy rates can worsen or reduce these incentives depending on the size of the shock when equity financing is ruled out when this constrained is relaxed but the bank faces costly dividend adjustment lower monetary policy rates always worsen risk taking incentives and the effect is persistent the reason is that costly dividend adjustment lowers the opportunity cost of lending in this model capital requirements are closer to the source of the distortion and thus work better than loan to value caps in reducing excessive risk taking

inward technology transfer and competitiveness the role of national innovation systems this paper examines the role of national innovation systems in the inward transfer of technology that has underpinned the transformation of japan and other east asian economies since 1945 the economies that have benefited most from inward technology transfer have national innovation systems that have strengthened their national absorptive capacity this capacity relies primarily on investments in scientific and technical training and on economic policies that enforce competition among domestic firms the particular channels for inward technology transfer the identity of any strategic industries targeted for public intervention and the overall level of a nation s trade restrictions are ail of secondary importance a central theme of global economic change during the postwar period has been the application in less developed countries of technologies developed within economically advanced regions this phenomenon underpinned the post 1945 transformation of japan and other east asian economies and influenced the reconstruction of western european economies after world war ii the application of externally developed technologies within latecomer economies is hardly unique to the postwar period however samuel slater s introduction of british textile manufacturing is but one example of inward technology transfer in the nineteenth century us economy and david 1992 traces the origins of patent monopolies to efforts by medieval european city states and nations to attract experts in industrial arts to practice their craft within these jurisdictions both international technology flows and government efforts to influence them for national competitive advantage thus have ample historical precedent several characteristics nevertheless distinguish the post 1945 era from earlier historical periods the influence of international technology transfer on national economic development has increased as the postwar development of such economies as taiwan and south korea has relied much less on natural resource endowments than nineteenth

do capital market imperfections exacerbate output fluctuations abstract we develop a dynamic general equilibrium macroeconomic model where a proportion of firms are credit constrained due to asymmetric information in general a macroeconomic shock has additional effects created by a reallocation of funds between credit constrained and unconstrained firms as they have different marginal productivities we show however that the output response to shocks is not necessarily amplified and can be dampened by the presence of asymmetric information this depends on the impact of the shock on the composition of external and internal funds for credit constrained firms

emerging stock markets portfolio capital flows and long term economie growth micro and macroeconomic perspectives abstract the paper examines two major components of financial liberalization stock market development and portfolio capital flows in the context of less developed countries the paper considers microeconomic and macroeconomic perspectives on their implications for long term development and economic growth it concentrates on 1 a the role of stock markets in financing corporate growth 2 b the implications of stock market volatility for resource allocation and productive efficiency and 3 c the interactions between the foreign exchange and stock markets in the context of economic shocks its policy recommendations are that ldcs should promote bank based systems influence the scale and composition of capital inflows and prevent a market for corporate control from emerging

steady change the 200 largest us manufacturing firms throughout the 20th century this paper discusses the existence of structural change in business activity and technological competence among the 200 largest us manufacturing companies throughout the 20th century the data were taken from chandler scale and scope 1990 and fortune magazine the analysis of corporate evolution in used to assess continuity versus turbulence of business organizations in the context of the neo schumpeterian long wave hypothesis the empirical results show that the giants of the late 20th century are not the same as those at the beginning of that period persistence in the sample is very limited moreover turbulence is not smooth but rather occurs by impulses that affect specific industries and it has increased over time overall the pattern of corporate entry and industry development is very indicative of the new opportunities emerging with information and communication technologies this process of open ended continuous transformation supports the case for putting change at the centre of economic analysis

do banks have a future abstract are banks special intermediaries do they play any unique role in the economy and if so will they retain their specialness in the ever faster changing world of finance the rapid evolution of finance over the last two decades and the breathtaking e age revolution have persuaded many that eventually banks will be indistinguishable from other financial intermediaries since all their functions can at least as efficiently be carried out by nonbanks this study re explores the issue of the specialness of banks in light of the large existing literature on the subject and presents an approach which identifies the banks specialness with their unique capacity to lend out claims on their own debt which the public accepts and uses as money the study discusses various structural and policy implications deriving from the approach and draws on it to point to the continuing relevance of banking in a world where nonbanks are taking business away from banks lending to production has become relatively less important and the use of e money may soon be dominating financial transactions

optimal managerial contracts and equilibrium security prices recent developments in economic theory have focused attention on efficient methods for providing incentives within a corporation especially to top management jensen meckling 12 have examined some implications of incentive or agency problems for corporate finance in this paper we combine a simple model of security market equilibrium with that of an optimal managerial incentive contract using results of harris raviv 8 and holmstrom 9 we provide a rationale for including security prices in the managerial incentive contracts of publicly held firms in this model we also show that non systematic diversifiable risks will be considered in the capital budgeting decisions of a managerial firm operated in the interests of its stockholders this is in contrast to the implication of the arbitrage pricing theory a similar result follows from the capital asset pricing model which abstracts from incentive problems and suggests that only systematic risks ought to be considered the optimal contract model of the corporation takes the following view of the firm since decision makers within a firm are not sole owners of the business but employed agents the decisions which they make depend on the incentives which the organization provides these incentives are embodied explicitly in employment contracts and implicitly through the threat of dismissal or effect on reputation the contract whether explicit or not describes the decision maker s anticipation of the consequences to him conditional on various observable outcomes these outcomes are used to provide information useful in determining whether he did his job properly in the simplest optimal contract scenario there is a single principal and a single agent whose decision concerns the level of effort he expends the level of effort affects the level of output of the firm but not unambiguously because the output is also governed by other stochastic elements as a result some information about the agent s level of effort can be inferred

the dynamics of technological change in uk retail banking services an evolutionary perspective abstract the purpose of this paper is to elaborate an evolutionary perspective on the process of structural change that has characterized the banking industry in the united kingdom uk for this purpose the evolution of retail financial services is contrasted against the backdrop of the implementation and development of information and communication technologies icts the paper delves into the sources and the effects of technological change in banking over a long term perspective 1840s 1990s to point out the significance of the opportunities and the constraints that have shaped the growth and development of this industry this is interpreted as a three stage evolutionary process driven by intertemporal coordination across several complementary domains including activities of production business organization consumption and the underlying regulatory setting it is concluded that the evolution of uk retail banking displays the characteristics of a distributed process of innovation in which developers of technologies service suppliers and customers contribute to the process of structural change of the industry

financial development and economic growth the role of stock markets utilizing time series methods and data from five developed economies we examine the relationship between stock market development and economic growth controlling for the effects of the banking system and stock market volatility our results support the view that although both banks and stock markets may be able to promote economic growth the erects of the former are more powerful they also suggest that the contribution of stock markets on economic growth may have been exaggerated by studies that utilize cross country growth regressions

inadequacy of technology and innovation systems at the periphery inadequacy of technology is a child of structuralism the concept of a national system of innovation nsi is a child of evolutionary theory a dialogue between these concepts can enrich our understanding of the problems involved in building nsis at the periphery celso furtado explains the structural roots of modernisation marginalisation polarisation and how the orientation of technology of underdeveloped countries is embedded in income concentration the formation of welfare states at the periphery provides nsis with a new focusing device helping to break the marginalisation side of the process the combined formation of nsis and welfare systems is an institutional response to modernisation marginalisation polarisation

social connections and group banking lending to the poor is expensive due to high screening monitoring and enforcement costs group lending advocates believe lenders overcome this by harnessing social connections using data from finca peru i exploit a quasi random group formation process to find evidence of peers successfully monitoring and enforcing joint liability loans individuals with stronger social connections to their fellow group members i e either living closer or being of a similar culture have higher repayment and higher savings furthermore i observe direct evidence that relationships deteriorate after default and that through successful monitoring individuals know who to punish and who not to punish after default

what factors drive systemic risk during international financial crises abstract we analyze the determinants of the contribution of international banks to both global and local systemic risk during prominent financial crises we find no empirical evidence supporting conjectures that bank size leverage non interest income or the quality of the bank s credit portfolio are persistent determinants of systemic risk across financial crises in contrast our results show that global systemic risk in particular is predominantly driven by characteristics of the regulatory regime we also confirm for the subprime crisis that the banks contribution to moderately bad tail events in the past predicts the financial sector s crash risk

financial intermediation and delegated monitoring this paper develops a theory of financial intermediation based on minimizing the cost of monitoring information which is useful for resolving incentive problems between borrowers and lenders it presents a characterization of the costs of providing incentives for delegated monitoring by a financial intermediary diversification within an intermediary serves to reduce these costs even in a risk neutral economy the paper presents some more general analysis of the effect of diversification on resolving incentive problems in the environment assumed in the model debt contracts with costly bankruptcy are shown to be optimal the analysis has implications for the portfolio structure and capital structure of intermediaries

a bargaining model of financial intermediation abstract in a financial market the investor searches for investment projects and bargains with the entrepreneur about the financial contract alternatively he may delegate search and bargaining to a financial intermediary delegation generates a commitment advantage in bargaining it may however induce excessively risky investments because the investor cannot monitor the intermediary s search behavior this restricts the parameter constellations under which equilibrium intermediation occurs competition may not reduce the intermediaries profits to zero because of incentive restrictions

agency problem institutions and technology policy explaining taiwan s semiconductor industry development abstract taiwan has made significant progress in the semiconductor industry with government agencies and bureaucrats as the driving forces over the past 30 years taiwan s impressive achievement in the semiconductor industry clearly indicates that the government failures and agency problem usually associated with deep government involvement did not occur in taiwan why is that the case this paper proposes a principal agent framework for technology policy and applies the framework to discuss the institutional arrangements through which bureaucrats were controlled effectively in executing the semiconductor industry policies in taiwan by analyzing the institutional and organizational arrangements taiwanese leaders made to mitigate the agency problem this paper brings bureaucrats into the popular developmental state theory and emphasizes that the success of state intervention should not be taken for granted and it also brings politics into technology policy analysis and stresses the importance and complexity of agency problem in technology policy

revisiting international business theory a capabilities based theory of the mne an introduction to this issue of the journal of international business studies in which the author discusses a capabilities based theory of multinational enterprises mne is presented

differences between learning processes in small tigers and large dragons learning processes of two color tv ctv firms within china abstract the main purpose of this paper is to describe the firm level learning processes by indigenous firms in china identify the differences between learning processes in small tigers and large dragons such as china this paper first sketches the history of the china s color tv ctv industry in which learning processes take place to put the companies case studies into context then this paper examines closely the actual experience of two major chinese firms in their practice of technological learning finally this paper finds that the most significant difference between learning processes in chinese firms and these four other tigers firms is that firms from four other tigers usually rely almost exclusively on export markets but chinese firms are mostly local market focused a novel contribution of this paper is its analysis of the issue the two chinese firms have followed not an export growth path but an local market focused path which proved to be much less successful in countries such as india latin america africa and former soviet union the success of this process in china hinges on the five critical factors 1 a number of multinational firms are increasing their presence in china 2 there is vibrant competition among domestic firms 3 the huge domestic market is a key incentive for local firms to invest in technological learning 4 chinese central government takes a phased approach to liberalization of the domestic market 5 there have a number of risk taking entrepreneurs with strategic version who make investment decisions on learning these factors should not be easily available to other developing countries in this regard china s experience has limited application to other developing countries

a theory of anticipated utility abstract a new theory of cardinal utility with an associated set of axioms is presented it is a generalization of the von neumann morgenstern expected utility theory which permits the analysis of phenomena associated with the distortion of subjective probability

the agent ss ethics in the principal agent model this paper evaluates the current use of the principal agent model pam in accounting and finance focusing on the agent ss use of private information the agent ss behavioral norms in the the pam deviate from commonly held ethical values in society from models of man in conventional economic theory and also from behavioral foundations of related business school fields like corporate strategy business ethics and human resource management still it would be unwise to reject the pam solely because of its distasteful ethical assumptions the model does appear to have predictive power but its descriptive or normative qualities remain unexplored the popularity of the pam with its extreme model of man raises fundamental questions about the impact of this model on business school stakeholders and society at large

financial development growth and the distribution of income a paradigm is presented in which both the extent of financial intermediation and the rate of economic growth are endogenously determined financial intermediation promotes growth because it allows a higher rate of return to be earned on capital and growth in turn provides the means to implement costly financial structures thus financial intermediation and economic growth are inextricably linked in accord with the goldsmith mckinnon shaw view on economic development the model also generates a development cycle reminiscent of the kuznet hypothesis in particular in the transition from a primitive slow growing economy to a developed fast growing one a nation passes through a stage in which the distribution of wealth across the rich and poor widens

do bank loan relationships still matter james 1987 and lummer and mcconnell 1989 find that during the 1970s and 1980s the market responded positively to announcements of bank lending agreements however many of the advantages associated with bank lending relationships have largely disappeared since the 1980s due to financial system changes and greater availability of and less costly financial information we find that bank loan announcements produced positive abnormal returns in the 1980s but by the latter part of our sample period those announcement returns disappear entirely we do find that bank loan relationships may still be valuable to smaller poorer performing firms or during periods of high credit risk spreads

decentralisation and supply efficiency the case of rural water supply in central india demand for decentralisation of provision of public services is gaining ground in developing countries also the policy advice to decentralise given by international agencies to the developing countries is turning into pressure however the benefits of decentralisation are not as obvious as the standard theory of fiscal federalism predicts this article examines the effect of decentralisation of provision of drinking water in central india the efficiency of water utilities under the control of the state government and those under the local governments is compared in terms of expense and asset utilisation it is found that the decentralised provision of water supply is less efficient the possible reasons for this counter intuitive result are analysed

sectoral regularities of productivity growth in developing countries a kaldorian interpretation this paper provides a kaldorian interpretation for empirical regularities of product ivity growth at the sectoral level of the economy the statistical evidence is based on a dataset drawn from internationally compatible time series for employment and value added in 30 developing countries based on novel non linear statistical techniques the findings show i a regular pattern of positive sectoral employment elasticities with respect to output growth ii robust differences across sectors in the magnitude of the employment elasticities and iii employment elasticities for all sectors that are signifi cantly less than unity suggesting strong evidence for increasing returns at the sector level of the economy

a critical realist interpretation of evolutionary growth theorising the article discusses a critical realist interpretation of evolutionary growth theorising by focusing on some of its basic characteristics the evolutionary ontology is complex differentiated structured systemic open ever changing and radically uncertain its methodology tends to be increasingly based on appreciative theorising retroductive explanations and interdisciplinary analysis after discussing these features the article suggests that critical realism may indeed constitute an important philosophical and methodological foundation for the future development of evolutionary theories of economic growth

option price without expected utility abstract we consider the meaning of the option price commonly acknowledged as the preferred ex ante welfare measure in the rank dependent expected utility rdeu framework the importance of this pertains to performing benefit cost analysis when rdeu maximizers are prevalent in society

making sense of institutions as a factor shaping economic performance abstract there has recently been a resurgence of interest in how institutions affect economic performance a review of this literature reveals that the concept of an institution means different things to different scholars both within economics and across the social sciences we discuss what factors unify the different definitions of institutions and develop a concept of institutions useful for the analysis of economic performance and economic growth in particular specifically we develop the notion of institutions as standard social technologies economic growth results from the co evolution of physical and social technologies

the variety of maturities offered by firms and institutional investment in corporate bonds we study how a firm s decision to offer bonds of various maturities affects the portfolio allocations of institutional investors we argue that because of lower information collection costs institutional investors tilt their portfolios towards firms that offer bonds of various maturities we show that this translates into lower bond yields both in the primary and in the secondary bond markets

bank acquisition and stockholders wealth abstract bank mergers are a control mechanism for reallocating resources because regulation has a pervasive influence on bank decision making unlike industrial firms bank mergers are subject to regulatory approval bank shareholder returns are analyzed at the time of federal reserve approval of mergers to assess whether regulation reduces differential information between bank managers and outsiders or reduces managers ability to take advantage of differential information empirical tests indicate there are negative returns to acquiring banks for external mergers but normal returns for internal mergers emergency mergers generate positive returns before and upon announcement more negative results occur in states with branching restrictions and in cases when equity financing is used

technology transfer with moral hazard abstract this paper develops an incomplete contract model of the licensing relationship that is susceptible to the moral hazard problem the optimal contractual form of licensing derived in the model generates predictions that seem to be consistent with actual practice for instance the introduction of inputs that are not contractible and costly explains the prevalence of royalty contracts in the licensing relationship moreover the model is able to relate the size of the royalty rate to the parameters that represent the environments under which the concerned parties operate finally the model can be naturally extended to analyze the choice of a technology holder between direct investment and licensing in an attempt to serve a foreign market

local test bed market demand in the transition to leadership the case of the korean mobile handset industry this article proposes that a potentially significant dimension of technological catching up and the transition to leadership lies in the quality and dynamics of the local market rather than in the export market demand as traditionally stressed in catch up studies based on an exploratory analysis of the korean mobile handset industry over the period of the late 1980s to 2005 the paper shows that a transition to leadership in handsets was shaped and driven by domestic users local service suppliers mobile telecommunications operators favorable government policies and strong producer user links forged by manufacturers and operators traditionally local demand in latecomer economies has been considered too small and unsophisticated to stimulate innovation and to enable catching up however in this case local demand evolved and acted as an important test bed for new products services and technologies shaping the rate and direction of the technological development of both local suppliers and operators the conclusion argues that while direct implications for other developing countries cannot be drawn from a single case future research could identify whether under certain circumstances the role of local demand and test bed markets could have wider relevance for other advanced developing nations and other sectors approaching the technology frontier

financial market imperfections labour market imperfections and business cycles a greenwald stiglitz 1993a style rational expectations business cycle model is introduced in which uncorrelated productivity shocks or monetary shocks generate autocorrelated employment fluctuations due to financial constraints the propagation mechanism is carefully modelled because of capital market imperfections only standard debt contracts are traded firms labour demand changes in response to changes in their balance sheet position because of labour market imperfections efficiency wages employment and unemployment fluctuate in response to shifts in labour demand the virtue of the model is its simplicity despite the fact that unemployment is endogenous the dynamic behaviour of the model under rational expectations can be characterised analytically

developments in non expected utility theory the hunt for a descriptive theory of choice under risk this article reviews recent developments in the economic theory of individual decision making under risk since the 1950s it has been known that individual choices violate the standard model of expected utility in predictable ways considerable research effort has now been devoted to the project of developing a superior descriptive model following an overview of non expected utility theories which distinguishes between conventional and non conventional approaches the paper seeks to assess these alternative models in terms of empirical success using laboratory and field data and theoretical usefulness the closing sections reflect on some new directions emerging in this literature

on the positive role of financial intermediation in allocation of venture capital in a market with imperfect information this paper develops a theory of financial intermediation that highlights the contribution of intermediaries as informed agents in a market with imperfect information we consider a venture capital market where the entrepreneurs select the qualities of projects and their perquisite consumptions about which the investors are imperfectly informed it is shown that when all investors have positive search costs the entrepreneurs are induced to offer the unacceptable inferior projects lemons only and the investors will not enter the venture capital market but put their funds in other low return investments an undesirable allocation of resources beginning with an initial undesirable situation the financial intermediaries may evolve as informed agents that induce a pareto preferred allocation leading the investors to a higher welfare state we focus our analysis on the existence of intermediation equilibra when the market for intermediation services is competitive the distribution of returns on projects the fees charged by intermediaries and the fraction of institutional holdings are all endogenous in equilibrium it is shown that i there cannot be a competitive intermediation equilibrium with very high institutional holdings and ii in other cases multiple equilibra may exist but the one with the highest institutional holdings dominates the others in a pareto sense

option price estimates for water quality improvements a contingent valuation study for the monongahela river abstract we present the findings from a contingent valuation survey designed to estimate the option price bids for the improved recreation resulting from enhanced water quality in the pennsylvania portion of the monongahela river the findings are based on a survey design that used professional interviewers to conduct personal interviews determined from a representative sample of 393 households in addition the research suggests that protest bids and outliers be viewed similarly accordingly a new technique for identifying outlying responses is proposed the findings suggest that the question format affects the option price estimates and that criteria for determining the final sample of responses can have an important influence on contingent valuation results

some stronger measures of risk aversion in the small and the large with applications the arrow pratt measures of risk aversion for von neumann morgenstern utility functions have become workhorses for analyzing problems in the microeconomics of uncertainty they have been used to characterize the qualitative properties of demand in insurance and asset markets to examine the properties of risk taking in taxation models and to study the interaction between risk and life cycle savings problems to name just a few applications equally importantly they have generated the linear risk tolerance class of utility functions which has provided canonical examples in such diverse areas as portfolio theory and the theory of teams despite these successes there have been a number of areas for which the results have been weaker than hoped it is natural to use the risk aversion measures to compare the behavior of individuals in risky choice situations for example consider the individual portfolio choice problem in a two asset world with a riskless asset and a risky asset if individual a has a uniformly higher arrow pratt coefficient of risk aversion than individual b then b will always choose a portfolio combination with more wealth invested in the risky asset but suppose that both assets are risky now there is no obvious sense in which the more risk averse individual can be said to hold a less risky portfolio but it seems strange that such a simple alteration should destroy the analytics which support the basic intuition similarly consider the basic insurance problem if one individual a is more risk averse than another b in the arrow pratt sense it follows that a will pay a larger premium to insure against a random loss than will b typically though an individual evaluates partial rather than total insurance that is only some gambles can be insured against and others must be retained in this case even when the gambles which are retained are independent from those which are insured it is no longer true that the individual whose arrow pratt measure of risk aversion is higher will pay a larger insurance premium the situation is no better when we consider comparative statics exercises for a single individual decreasing absolute risk aversion in the sense of arrow and

temporal risk and the nature of induced preferences abstract it has been known since the work of h markowitz portfolio selection efficient diversification of investments yale univ press 1959 and j mossin amer econ rev 59 1969 172 174 that even an individual whose underlying preferences satisfy the von neumann morgenstern axioms will not choose over delayed i e temporal risky prospects in a manner which can be modelled as expected utility maximizing since most economically important instances of risk taking insurance real investment agriculture career training involve delayed as opposed to immediately resolved risk the standard use of expected utility theory to model such decisions must be questioned in this paper the technique of generalized expected utility analysis m j machina econometrica 50 1982 277 323 and the theory of support functions r t rockafellar convex analysis princeton univ press 1970 are applied to exactly model and hence determine the nature of preferences over temporal risky prospects

how loan portfolio diversification affects risk efficiency and capitalization a managerial behavior model for austrian banks abstract the aim of this paper is to analyze how diversification of banks across size and industry affects risk cost and profit efficiency and bank capitalization for large austrian commercial banks over the years 1997 2003 employing a unique dataset provided by the austrian central bank we test for several different types of managerial hypotheses formalized according to a modified version of the berger and deyoung model berger a n deyoung r 1997 problem loans and cost efficiency in commercial banks journal of banking and finance 21 849 870 we find that although diversification negatively affects cost efficiency it increases profit efficiency and reduces banks realized risk finally diversification seems to have a positive impact on banks capitalization

technology policy for industrialization an integrative framework and korea s experience abstract first this article reviews three policy perspectives 1 the market mechanism perspective includes the demand for and supply of technology and the linkage between the two 2 the technology flow perspective consists of technology transfer diffusion and r d 3 the dynamic perspective refers to technological trajectory it then integrates these three perspectives to develop a new three dimensional framework that may be useful to analyze technology policy for industrialization second this article applies the framework to analyze korea s technology policy as a case in point conclusions are 1 technology policies on foreign technology transfer technology diffusion and r d should change over time in response to changing external environment 2 technology policies become effective only when three major components policies to promote the demand side of technology policies to promote the supply side of technology and policies to provide effective links between demand and supply sides are well balanced finally it discusses implications for other developing countries

making reform work institutions dispositions and the improving health of bangladesh we examine whether local governance can improve social development empirically using good and bad cases of public health outcomes in bangladesh we explore the institutional underpinnings of service provision digging down beneath the rules of the game to analyze the beliefs understandings and dispositions that drive social behavior changes in deep social attitudes led to improvements in social indicators regional variation in health outcomes is explained by the presence or absence of a dense web of relationships that enmeshed reformers in local systems of authority and legitimacy strengthening their actions and making local society more susceptible to change

the certification value of private debt renegotiation and the design of financial contracts empirical evidence from europe abstract by using a sample of bank loan renegotiations by european firms i show that the renegotiation of financial contracts bears a certification value while deeply changing the contractual features of the loan over time to the benefit of shareholders i find that amendments to financial covenants and to loan amounts increase the cumulative abnormal returns of a borrowing firm by 10 15 early and less frequent renegotiations of bilateral loans with short maturities also imply a positive stock market reaction amendments signaling the early accrual of new and positive information allow increasing firm value

deregulation technological change and the business lending performance of large and small banks according to deyoung et al journal of financial services research 2004 deregulation and technological change has divided the us banking industryinto two primarysize based groups verylarge banks specializing in the use of hard information to make standardized loans and smaller banks specializing in the use of soft information and relationship development to make non standardized loans we evaluate business lending performance for small and large banks over the 1993 2001 period small business lending bysmall banks is characterized byrelationship development and non standardized loans consistent with deyoung et al s model we find that after controlling for market concentration cost of funds and a variety of other factors that might influence yields smaller banks perform better than larger banks in the small business lending market however larger banks appear to have the advantage in credit card lending a market characterized byimpersonal relationships and standardized loans interestingly we find evidence that larger banks have been making inroads in the market for the smallest business loans a result consistent with the use of credit scoring bylarge banks to make

does economic liberalisation endanger indigenous technological developments an analysis of the indian experience abstract india s recent economic liberalisation measures have raised concerns that enterprises will begin to neglect the development of indigenous technologies and will make increasing use of imported technologies and or of standardised technologies this paper argues that the comparative advantages of the different types of technologies will depend on certain enterprise level characteristics including age and size and consequently enterprises that use the technologies based on their in house r d efforts may perform well even under a liberalised regime empirical tests using data of enterprises in three major industry groups gave results consistent with these arguments over the period 1991 1998 the growth performance of enterprises that make products based on their in house r d efforts have compared favourably with those of other enterprises in two of the industries moreover the share of the r d based products in enterprises overall sales has been maintained in both the industries for which this test could be undertaken

is there news in the prime rate using intraday data we find that bank announcements of changes in the prime rate have significant effects on dow jones stock price indexes and yields in the treasury bill futures market we find comparable effects using daily data for indexes of share prices of banks and financial firms as well as interest rates on various maturities of government securities our evidence is consistent with the view that banks have a comparative advantage in processing private information gained through bank borrower relations and the regulatory supervision process

effect of the number of banking relationships on credit availability evidence from panel data of spanish small firms this paper investigates how the choice between single or multiple banking relationships affects credit availability for a complete panel of small and medium sized spanish firms the results seem to indicate the existence of rationing since a substitution relation has been found between trade and bank credit we also analyse the relationship between the level of indebtedness and the interest rate for each group of firms the results show that those smes that work with fewer financial intermediaries obtain fewer funds for the same increase in the interest rate which indicates that these companies have more financial restraints

refinancing mfis with market power theory and evidence this paper presents a model of the complete microcredit financing chain investor miv mfi micro borrower in which social minded mivs provide funds only to those mfis which do not exploit their bargaining power towards micro borrowers the mfis with the highest bargaining power do not use miv capital since eschewing their market power is most costly for them consistent with this prediction of the theoretical model we find empirically that the net interest margin as a measure of mfi market power negatively affects the likelihood of using miv finance this lends support to the view that social criteria play an effective role in mivs investment policies thereby also impacting mfis lending behavior