factor demand technical change and inter fuel substitution in africa abstract the translog production function has been widely used in applied production analysis due to its flexibility and superiority over other functional forms this study develops a translog production function for a group of african countries the random effects model is estimated using generalized least squares estimator the main findings are first output in africa is driven by a more intensive use of petroleum and electricity and to a lesser extent capital labor and coal relative to technological progress second african production technology exhibits increasing returns to scale suggesting a path towards market entry barriers third technical change is scale biased and factor augmenting albeit very slow fourth all energy inputs are substitutes indicating africa s potential to proportionally switch towards cleaner fuels without adversely affecting economic growth finally and perhaps more generally the study reinforces the assertion that imposing restrictions like homotheticity homogeneity or separability on the production technology is unrealistic and should rather be a testable hypothesis within any applied analysis in view of the documented findings relevant implications for africa are discussed

prospective exploration of future renewable portfolio standard schemes in china via a multi sector cge model abstract the shortage of traditional energy sources and environmental pollution caused by the consumption of fossil fuels have become increasingly prominent and many countries regard the development of renewable energy as important for ensuring energy conservation and emission reductions in addition renewable portfolio standard is important for china to achieve energy transition the chinese government is actively promoting the construction of a renewable portfolio standard system considering different renewable energy development targets for renewable portfolio standards this paper establishes a dynamic computable general equilibrium cge model to research the impacts of achieving various policy targets the main simulation results are as follows promoting renewable sources would have a slightly negative impact on macroeconomics for each additional percentage point in the share of renewable energy generation in 2030 the loss of gdp would increase by approximately 9 11 billion rmb a renewable energy policy could be also conducive to carbon emission reduction and energy structure adjustment certainly the proportion of renewable energy in the total power generation should be approximately 34 to achieve the government target for non fossil fuels to account for approximately 20 of the primary energy consumption by 2030

patents or prizes monopolistic r d and asymmetric information abstract in this paper a model of r d regulation is analysed to compare the effect of two types of asymmetric information on the welfare properties of patents and prizes as r d incentive instruments when there is a technological leader using the case of full information as a benchmark it is found that the trade off between patents and prizes does not change if the innovator s r d costs are private information whereas the relative efficiency of patents decreases if the government is less informed about the market for the innovation

tying and innovation a dynamic analysis of tying arrangements this paper analyses the effects of tying arrangements on r d incentives it shows that tying is a means through which a firm can commit to more aggressive r d investment in the tied goods market tying also has the strategic effect of reducing rivals incentives to invest in r d the strategy of tying is a profitable one if the gains via an increased share of dynamic rents in the tied goods market exceed the losses that result from intensified price competition in the market the welfare implications of tying and consequently the appropriate antitrust policy are discussed

energy consumption and economic growth in south africa reexamined a nonparametric testing apporach this paper is an effort to investigate claims concerning granger causality relationship from energy consumption to economic growth in south africa we adopt a nonparametric bootstrap method to reassess evidence supporting granger causality and unravel findings of long run unidirectional causality running from energy consumption to economic growth this implies that energy conservation policies will negatively impact economic growth in south africa in addition the results of this study have implications on co2 emissions in south africa given that coal accounts for about 72 of energy this suggests that energy use would have a long run effect of raising the country s co2 emission levels hence there might be a need to develop a more balanced energy structure which will include higher share of renewable energy a further monte carlo experiment performed reveals that asymptotic granger causality test suffers size distortion problem for south african data these findings provide support for use of a bootstrap methodology and also imply that the results presented in this study are likely to be more reliable

estimates of inter fuel substitution possibilities in chinese chemical industry abstract the chemical sector is a key driver of china s remarkable growth record and accounts for about 10 of the country s gdp this has made the industry energy intensive and consequently a major contributor to greenhouse gas emissions ghg and other pollutants this study has attempted to investigate the potential for inter fuel substitution between coal oil natural gas and electricity in chinese chemical sector by employing a translog production and cost function ridge regression procedure was adopted to estimate the parameters of the function estimation results show that all energy inputs are substitutes in addition the study produces evidence that the significant role of coal in the chinese chemical fuel mix converges over time albeit slowly these results suggest that price based policies coupled with capital subsidy programs can be adopted to redirect technology use towards cleaner energy sources like electricity and natural gas hence retaining the ability to fuel the chemical sector while also mitigating ghg emissions notwithstanding one must understand that the extent to which substituting electricity for coal will be effective depends on the extent to which coal or oil is used in generating electricity the findings of this study provide general insights and underscore the importance of chinese government policies that focus on installed capacity of renewable electricity energy intensity targets as well as merger of enterprises

causal independence between energy consumption and economic growth in liberia evidence from a non parametric bootstrapped causality test abstract this contribution investigates causal interdependence between energy consumption and economic growth in liberia and proposes application of a bootstrap methodology to better reflect causality employment is incorporated as additional variable the study demonstrates evidence of distinct bidirectional granger causality between energy consumption and economic growth additionally the results show that employment in liberia granger causes economic growth and apply irrespective of the short run or long run evidence from a monte carlo experiment reveals that the asymptotic granger causality test suffers size distortion problem for liberian data suggesting that the bootstrap technique employed in this study is more appropriate given the empirical results implications are that energy expansion policies like energy subsidy or low energy tariff for instance would be necessary to cope with demand exerted as a result of economic growth in liberia furthermore liberia might have the performance of its employment generation on the economy partly determined by adequate energy therefore it seems fully justified that a quick shift towards energy production based on clean energy sources may significantly slow down economic growth in liberia hence the government s target to implement a long term strategy to make liberia a carbon neutral country and eventually less carbon dependent by 2050 is understandable

use of eu structural funds for sustainable energy development in new eu member states more wide use of renewable energy sources res and increase in energy supply and use efficiency can make a valuable contribution to the meeting sustainable energy development targets the article presents a detailed overview of possibilities to use the eu structural funds available for new member states nms to finance sustainable energy projects and to overcome market failures related with negative externalities of pollution positive externalities of knowledge and adoption of new pollution reduction technologies and incomplete information the analysis of current situation of the use of eu structural funds sf for the implementation of sustainable energy projects in lithuania poland and check republic was performed based on ruse project results the proposals to enhance use of sf for sustainable energy projects in nms were developed

a real options valuation of chinese wind energy technologies for power generation do benefits from the feed in tariffs outweigh costs abstract in order to assess the viability of wind energy projects in china this paper takes a real options approach by accounting for flexibility over deployment of the technology in response to a stochastic non renewable energy cost the difference between the latter and the r d enhanced cost of renewable energy operation may be thought of as a benefit from using wind on the other hand the chinese government provides feed in tariffs to encourage further adoption of wind which should be included as a cost this work thus shows that there is substantial options value to china s wind energy program which is bolstered if the cost of carbon dioxide emissions is internalized moreover by varying the rate of feed in tariffs the model may be used to show plausible ranges for the feed in tariffs which could be a useful policy insight furthermore the study hypothesizes that with the likelihood of renewable energy to replace non renewable energy wind power in china can potentially reduce co2 emissions by approximately 6 4 by 2020 comparing to the 2005 level and highlights the significant role of wind power in china s emission targets and energy security this is a relevant paper especially given the importance of a sustainable energy transition for china more generally using the real options approach from a policy perspective could provide insights about the viability of renewable energy programs and robustness of feed in tariffs rates

renewable energy policy evaluation using real option model the case of taiwan abstract this study presents a policy benefit evaluation model that integrates cost efficiency curve information on renewable power generation technologies into real options analysis roa methods the proposed model evaluates quantitatively the policy value provided by developing renewable energy re in the face of uncertain fossil fuel prices and re policy related factors the economic intuition underlying the policy making process is elucidated while empirical analysis illustrates the option value embedded in the current development policy in taiwan for wind power in addition to revealing the benefits that re development provides when considering real options analytical results indicate that roa is a highly effective means of quantifying how policy planning uncertainty including managerial flexibility influences re development in addition to assessing the policy value of current re development policy this study also compares policy values in terms of internalized external costs and varying feed in tariff fit simulation results demonstrate that the re development policy with internalized co2 emission costs is appropriate policy planning from sustainability point of view furthermore relationship between varying fit and policy values can be shown quantitatively and appropriate fit level could be determined accordingly

r d support programs in developing countries the turkish experience in this study the determinants of private r d investment are examined at the level of firms in the turkish manufacturing industry we focus our attention on the effect of public r d support programs our findings indicate that public r d support significantly and positively affects private r d investment there seems to be even an acceleration effect on firm financed r d expenditures smaller r d performers benefit more from r d support and perform more r d in addition technology transfer from abroad and domestic r d activity show up as complementary processes given the scarcity of studies on r d support in technologically weaker economies our hope is that the less developed countries can exploit these findings in constructing socially beneficial technology policies

refined oil import subsidies removal in ghana a triple win abstract in this study claims and counterclaims that fossil fuel subsidies removal yields benefits in terms of budget deficits energy efficiency and mitigation are assessed in order to do this a global computable general equilibrium cge model has been estimated to evaluate the impact of subsidies removal on imported refined oil in ghana on prices carbon dioxide co 2 emissions households demand firm s production and real gdp the simulation experiment points to evidence that subsidy removal raises prices increases the rate of co 2 emissions reduces households demand reduces aggregate output and affects various sectors differently the increased rate of co 2 emissions due to the removal of subsidies is indicative of the existence of the so called green paradox these results underscore the fact that a removal of subsidies on fossil fuels may win in some regards but fail in others a general implication from the applied model therefore is one which supports the assertion that removal of subsidies on fossil fuels removal on energy should be implemented along with policies aimed at stimulating economic activities and reducing the level of co 2 emissions especially where there is evidence of the green paradox

estimates of energy subsidies in china and impact of energy subsidy reform abstract for a transitional economy such as china some energy subsidies are reasonable and sometimes even necessary for achieving social goals however with rising energy prices and environmental concerns we see conflicts emerging between energy subsidies energy demand supply fundamentals and climate change considerations energy subsidies have important implications for sustainable development through their effects on energy use efficiency and the choice of fuel source this paper applies the price gap approach to estimate china s energy subsidies results indicate that china s energy subsidies amounted to cny 356 73 billion in 2007 equivalent to 1 43 of gdp subsidies for oil products consumption are the largest followed by subsidies for the electricity and coal sectors furthermore a cge model is used to analyze the economic impacts of energy subsidy reforms our findings show that removing energy subsidies will result in a significant fall in energy demand and emissions but will have negative impacts on macroeconomic variables we conclude that offsetting policies could be adopted such that certain shares of these subsidies are reallocated to support other sustainable development measures which could lead to reducing energy intensity and favoring the environment

vertical foreclosure with the choice of input specifications we develop an equilibrium model of vertical foreclosure with the choice of input specifications vertical foreclosure occurs as the upstream division of the integrated firm makes a specialized input for its sister downstream division while it would as an independent firm provide a generalized input the changes in incentives with vertical integration can be explained by the externalities the choice of a specialized input entails vertical integration allows the upstream firm to internalize the benefit of raising the rival firm s costs at the downstream level we derive conditions for equilibrium vertical foreclosure to occur and discuss its welfare consequences

optimal carbon taxes for china and implications for power generation welfare and the environment abstract china is expected to constitute about half of the world s emissions between 2010 and 2040 as concerns about climate change intensify the chinese government is poised to commit to a low carbon economy these conditions make china a suitable case in which to study how emission policies impact on energy supply welfare and the environment to achieve this purpose we incorporate abatement technologies into the gtap computable general equilibrium model and show that optimal taxes range between 0 03 for services and 2 02 for manufacturing in most cases simulated tax rates are by far higher than pollution taxes stipulated in the new chinese environmental tax law furthermore despite a decline in output of many sectors including the electricity sector overall welfare gains exist from introducing carbon taxes moreover these taxes reduce environmental pollution by approximately 62 5 in general carbon taxes are insufficient for mitigation in china and due to a coal dominant energy structure implementing these taxes leads to a decline in power generation hence the chinese aggressive investment strategy for renewable electricity technologies as stipulated in its 13th five year plan is understandable

is public r d a complement or substitute for private r d a review of the econometric evidence is public r d spending complementary and thus additional to private r d spending or does it substitute for and tend to crowd out private r d conflicting answers are given to this question we survey the body of available econometric evidence accumulated over the past 35 years a framework for analysis of the problem is developed to help organize and summarize the findings of econometric studies based on time series and cross section data from various levels of aggregation laboratory firm industry country the findings overall are ambivalent and the existing literature as a whole is subject to the criticism that the nature of the experiment s that the investigators envisage is not adequately specified we conclude by offering suggestions for improving future empirical research on this issue

a real option model for renewable energy policy evaluation with application to solar pv power generation in china abstract this study proposes a policy evaluation model from the perspective of government and investors the proposed model which integrates american option method and two factor learning curve method can be used to evaluate the unit decision value and save path rate for renewable energy development and examine the existence of balance point of interest several uncertain factors including non renewable energy cost carbon price renewable energy cost and price subsidy are all considered in this model the model has been applied to evaluate the solar photovoltaic pv power generation in china our empirical results show that real option analysis roa is more effective than net present value analysis npv when handling uncertainty under current level of subsidy the government would suffer loss and the investors could benefit so that it is difficult to achieve the balance of interest during the planning period with the reduction of subsidy rate they can achieve the balance of interest

the simple economics of research portfolios this article identifies biases in market portfolios of parallel research projects arising from the noncongruence of social goals and private aspirations occasioned by those circumstances where the market rewards only the winner and where the winner is awarded the entire social surplus it is shown that under risk neutrality this noncongruence implies that t he market encourages the development of too many discoveries too lar ge a spread in the distribution of the quality of discoveries and an excessive occurrence of multiple discoveries copyright 1987 by royal economic society

application of real options valuation for analysing the impact of public r d financing on renewable energy projects a company s perspective abstract this paper contrasts the financial benefit of grants given to research and development projects with the reduction in managerial flexibility they impose which implies a loss in the value of the project to quantify this loss of value real options analysis has been adopted as the most suitable framework to assess and quantify managerial flexibility this idea is illustrated by the case of a research and development project in renewable energy specifically concentrated solar power our results show that the value added by the grants is less than the nominal incentives received as a result of the loss of flexibility for managers they cannot apply certain options such as deferral nor can they abandon the project therefore a break even grant is proposed that equals the financial incentive with the loss of managerial flexibility under this break even point the grant should be rejected this paper will create awareness for both policy makers and private companies regarding a more accurate assessment of grants to research and development funding as well as provide insights to improve grant schemes without increasing the amount of public funds

table games slot machines and casino revenue the main focus of this study is to assess the influence of table games on slot machine and total casino revenues the subjects of the analysis are 24 rierboat casinos in the midwestern states of illinois iowa and missouri and three racinos in iowa a racino is a parimutuel racetrack which also offers slot machine gaming to its customers two econometric models were developed one for slot machine revenue and one for total slot machine plus table game revenue at riverboats and racinos of particular interest is the effect on slot machine and total revenue of adding table games to the gaming operation slot machine revenue was found to increase with the number of slot machines and decrease with the number of table games slot machine revenue was estimated to decrease by 11 5 in the presence of 40 table games the mean number of table games over the sample total win was found to increase with an increase in both slot machines and table games the elasticity of total win with respect to the number of slo

financing investments in renewable energy the impacts of policy design abstract the costs of electric power projects utilizing renewable energy technologies rets are highly sensitive to financing terms consequently as the electricity industry is restructured and new renewables policies are created it is important for policymakers to consider the impacts of renewables policy design on ret financing this paper reviews the power plant financing process for renewable energy projects estimates the impact of financing terms on levelized energy costs and provides insights to policymakers on the important nexus between renewables policy design and financing we review five case studies of renewable energy policies and find that one of the key reasons that ret policies are not more effective is that project development and financing processes are frequently ignored or misunderstood when designing and implementing renewable energy policies the case studies specifically show that policies that do not provide long term stability or that have negative secondary impacts on investment decisions will increase financing costs sometimes dramatically reducing the effectiveness of the program within u s electricity restructuring proceedings new renewable energy policies are being created and restructuring itself is changing the way rets are financed as these new policies are created and implemented it is essential that policymakers acknowledge the financing difficulties faced by renewables developers and pay special attention to the impacts of renewables policy design on financing as shown in this paper a renewables policy that is carefully designed can reduce renewable energy costs dramatically by providing revenue certainty that will in turn reduce financing risk premiums

output and substitution elasticities of energy and implications for renewable energy expansion in the ecowas region abstract this study estimates output and substitution elasticities of renewable energy and nonrenewable energy for the economic community of west african states ecowas and discusses implications for expanding the former the results show that nonrenewable energy promises greater benefits for ecowas economic transition with output elasticities averaging between 0 052 0 579 and 0 055 to 0 223 for nonrenewable energy and renewable energy respectively overall estimated technological progress is low 0 5 to 2 6 the bulk coming from input efficiency substitution elasticities 0 02 0 94 suggest potential for switching towards renewable energy notwithstanding scale economics and sitting problems inherent in renewable power generation challenge the opportunities for energy substitution a sustainable policy solution therefore appears to be one favoring scaled and efficient electricity generation from fossil energy in the short run with a gradual switch towards renewable power in the long run in general the applied model provides insights that energy efficiency enhances sustainable growth by propelling technological advancement especially when technical change is scale biased and factor augmenting the study also provides insights that impacts of exogenous shocks to inputs are temporary and hence do not jeopardize efforts aimed at scaling output through increased and efficient use of labor capital and energy especially nonrenewable energy

can african countries efficiently build their economies on renewable energy abstract the translog production model is estimated to provide insights on the effectiveness of renewable energy for africa the analysis shows that capital labor renewable energy and nonrenewable energy drive output in african countries with renewable energy being a higher driver of growth than the conventional fossil fuels over the sample period this finding is reflective of the fact that renewable sources like wind hydro and solar account for a greater share of power generation in most african countries output elasticities computed for both energy types reaffirm the results and suggest that eastern and central african countries are more renewable energy dependent than the other three regions in addition technological progress is driven mainly by the efficiency with which various factors and energy inputs are used while africa has great potential of facing out conventional fossil energy the discussion provided in this study suggests that such transition is limited in practice due to issues of scale economics and sitting problems

options for mitigating the adverse effects of fossil fuel subsidies removal in ghana abstract conventional wisdom holds that without environmental benefits and revenue recycling fossil fuel subsidies removal would lead to welfare losses first this study tests the usefulness of general equilibrium theory for validating these claims and draws similar conclusion subsequently the model is readjusted to reflect simulation with two non traditional policy options this time the results suggest that removing subsidies on fossil fuels would create opportunities provided that such is done in tandem with complementary policies in particular we show that a mix of agricultural productivity improvement and a reduction in trade transaction costs at 15 in each case would provide benefits for fossil fuel subsidies removal in ghana these results underscore the need for structural reforms in ghanaian agricultural sector especially those aimed at promoting mechanized agriculture

the demand for casino gaming in this study an econometric model is developed to examine the determinants of the demand for casino gaming specifically the demand for slot machine wagering at riverboats and racinos in addition to examining the effects of traditional demand variables the effect on wagering of variables such as location of a wagering facility and of government restrictions is examined a unique measure of accessibility of market area customers to a facility and to competing facilities was developed the demand for wagering at a facility was found to increase as access by customers in its market area increases and to decrease as access by its customers to competing riverboats racinos or indian casinos increases government restrictions were found to have an adverse effect on wagering at a riverboat on the other hand wagering at a riverboat was found to increase when such restrictions were imposed on competing riverboats the presence of total loss limits and restrictions on boarding times at a riverboat were found

equilibrium and optimal size of a research joint venture in an oligopoly with spillovers this paper analyzes a simple oligopoly model with information spillovers firms spend on r d to affect their costs of production the main finding is that depending on the magnitude of the spillover the market may not provide enough incentives for the optimum degree of cooperation to take place it is shown that the equilibrium size of a research joint venture is usually less than the optimum size which requires all firms to participate in the research joint venture the policy implications of this result are that there should be encouragement for firms competing in high technology industries to form industry wide cooperative agreements copyright 1995 by blackwell publishing ltd

impact of flexibility in public r d funding how real options could avoid the crowding out effect abstract this paper explores new mechanisms to ensure grants are additional to private research and development investment with no displacing or crowding out effect our results indicate that by studying the flexibility embedded in these type of projects using the real options framework it is possible to reduce the size of grants given by financing bodies while remaining equally attractive to companies this result is reached due to the higher flexibility provided in potential new grant schemes in addition to the obvious consequence of less expensive public r d funding there are other side benefits to this new scheme such as avoiding the crowding out effect while also allowing more honest and sincere research and development investment by companies because they are sharing the risk with the funding body this paper presents a case study an r d project carried out in the concentrated solar power sector in which we propose and calculate the effect of providing the grant 2 years earlier with a sensitivity analysis performed over the discount rate volatility and first commercial revenue this paper may encourage funding bodies to consider implementing alternative grant schemes valuing the flexibility embedded in r d projects

overconfidence ceo selection and corporate governance we develop a model that shows that an overconfident manager who sometimes makes value destroying investments has a higher likelihood than a rational manager of being deliberately promoted to ceo under value maximizing corporate governance moreover a risk averse ceo s overconfidence enhances firm value up to a point but the effect is nonmonotonic and differs from that of lower risk aversion overconfident ceos also underinvest in information production the board fires both excessively diffident and excessively overconfident ceos finally sarbanes oxley is predicted to improve the precision of information provided to investors but to reduce project investment

impacts of removing fuel import subsidies in nigeria on poverty abstract the petroleum sector contributes substantially to the nigerian economy however the potential benefits are diminished due to the existence of significant subsidies on imports of petroleum products subsidies on imported petroleum products are considered to be an important instrument for keeping fuel prices and hence the cost of living low the costs of these subsidies however has risen dramatically in recent years due to increased volatility in world petroleum and petroleum product prices and increased illegal exportation of subsidized petroleum products into neighboring countries removing the subsidy on fuel is one of the most contentious socio economic policy issues in nigeria today in this paper an economy wide framework is used to identify the impact of removing the fuel subsidy on the nigerian economy and investigates how alternative policies might be used to meet socio economic objectives related to fuel subsidies the results show that while a reduction in the subsidy generally results in an increase in nigerian gdp it can have a detrimental impact on household income and in particular on poor households accompanying the subsidy reduction with income transfers aimed at poor households or domestic production of petroleum products can alleviate the negative impacts on household income

strategic differentiation and strategic emulation in games with uncertainty when players who choose a common strategy face a common shock while players who choose different strategies face independent or imperfectly correlated shocks equilibrium choices exhibit differentiation respectively emulation when the sign of the cross partial derivative of the firms profit functions with respect to the realizations of the uncertain variables is negative respectively positive i consider a variety of applications including technology choice brand investments and r d races many of which can be characterized as two stage games in such games i demonstrate that differentiation is more likely to occur when the second stage game is a game of strategic substitutes

the impact of r d subsidies during the crisis this study investigates the impact of r d subsidies on r d investment during the past financial crisis we conduct a treatment effects analysis and show that r d subsidies increased r d spending among subsidized small and medium sized firms in germany during the crisis years in the first crisis year the additionality effect induced by public support was however smaller than in other years this temporary decrease may be caused by an altered innovation subsidy scheme in crisis years or by a different innovation investment behavior of the subsidy recipients we do not find support for the countercyclical innovation subsidy scheme having caused the smaller additionality effect and conclude that it is likely to be driven by subsidy recipient behavior

the economics of casino gambling america s casino industry expanded rapidly in the 1990s spreading from nevada and atlantic city to mining towns riverboats race tracks and tribal lands and moving from isolated resort settings to urban and suburban venues this article examines economic characteristics of the casino industry including the evolution of major casino markets pricing of gaming products market structures regulatory constraints and social and economic impacts attributable to casinos when competitive casinos show strong economies of scale and scope but many new jurisdictions limit the number or size of operations thus creating substantial economic rents allocation of these rents are fundamentally politically determined

portfolio choice in research and development we analyze the effects of a winner take all patent mechanism on the riskiness of the research strategies chosen by competingfirms as well as on thefirms incentives to duplicate research projects nash equilibrium choices are compared with the social optimum in a oneshot simultaneous move game in which competitors choose the riskiness or correlation of their research performances we show that neither society nor firms have any preference for correlation per se while the divergence between social and privately optimal levels of risk depends on skewness characteristics of the probability distribution over discovery dates and on levels of risk aversion

property rights and entrepreneurship in science this paper examines the evolving relationship in science between the reward structure and entrepreneurial activity we draw a distinction between two types of property rights basic science is fostered by a mechanism of reputational rights technological advances and the products and processes they produce are fostered by a mechanism of proprietary rights the two forms of property rights differ markedly in terms of the incentives they provide to share information in a timely fashion we argue that because of a host of factors university based scientists in certain fields are more likely to privatize knowledge today than in the past trading reputational rights for proprietary rights events in the life sciences serve as a case study a discussion of how privatization affects basic science follows although the evidence is far from complete we conclude that the movement towards privatization may be more beneficial to product development and the scientists engaged in the activity than to basic science

rivals search for buried treasure competition and duplication in r d we model an r d race in which each fi rm decides in each period between two research projects only one of which has positive success probability and it is not known which there is symmetric information and hence scope for strategic search if the prize is shared when discovery is simultaneous there is too much duplication of projects if neither is rewarded in this event then equilibrium is efficient unless projects have asymmetric costs in which case there is a bias toward the high cost project or asymmetric success probabilities in which case too little duplication is possible if one firm is informed it may choose the wrong project to put the other off the scent

assessing the effect of public subsidies on firm r d investment a survey this survey examines the empirical literature on the relationship between public r d subsidies and private r d investment over the past five decades the survey reveals a considerable heterogeneity of empirical results that cannot be explained fully by methodological issues we aim to provide further explanations of the possible causes of that heterogeneity in particular we emphasise a set of issues that in our view are critical to understanding the potential effect of public r d subsidies on private r d spending special attention is paid to the dynamic aspects and composition of firm r d the constraints faced by the firm such as financial constraints and the amount and source of public subsidies none of these issues have been investigated in depth we formulate a set of research assumptions to guide future empirical research in this field

does improved environmental quality prevent a growing economy abstract a major concern for sustainable development is how countries can lower pollution while avoiding adverse output and energy shocks since economic activities change with time we develop a dynamic applied equilibrium model to study the dynamics of co2 emissions and evaluate how the pursuit of environmental policy objectives can influence output and productivity in a surrogate country in transition under an optimal environmental policy which ensures mitigation between 38 and 50 we show that productivity projected towards the year 2075 increases slightly from between 3 8 and 6 2 to between 5 7 and 7 6 respectively the required carbon tax begins from 5 29 ton in 2020 and grows on average by 3 5 reaching up to 35 83 per ton carbon towards the year 2075 even though these tax rates ensure huge benefits for mitigation they represent marginal productivity growth and substantial output and consumption costs in other words improved environmental quality presents opportunities for multifactor productivity mfp but this productivity improvement is too marginal to offset the compliance costs of the carbon tax thereby causing output to decline hence to ensure maximum economic dividend from carbon pricing especially in transitional economies measures are required to improve the innovation benefits of carbon taxes towards levels that offset the compliance costs of environmental regulations otherwise caution should be taken by developing countries in their environmental policy designs especially when boosting consumption and economic growth is a major priority

oil price fluctuation volatility spillover and the ghanaian equity market implication for portfolio management and hedging effectiveness abstract this study attempts to contribute to the literature on stock markets and energy prices by examining the dynamic volatility and volatility transmission between oil and ghanaian stock market returns in a multivariate setting using the recently developed var garch var agarch and dcc garch frameworks in turn the models results are used to compute and analyze the optimal weights and hedge ratios for oil stock portfolio holdings for comparison purposes and to put the paper more in the perspective of west africa the nigerian stock market is also included in the analysis our findings point to the existence of significant volatility spillover and interdependence between oil and the two stock market returns while spillover effects are stronger for nigeria the transmission of volatility is much more apparent from oil to stock than from stock to oil in the case of ghana also the study demonstrates evidence of short term predictability in oil and stock price changes through time and reveals that conditional volatility changes more rapidly as result of substantial effects of past volatility rather than past news shocks for all market returns moreover we show that there is a slightly more effective hedge in the two stock markets under the dcc garch framework our preferred model compared to the other two models although hedging effectiveness is much greater for ghana on the whole our findings for optimal hedge ratios are consistent with other studies and particularly the view that oil assets should be an integral part of a diversified portfolio of stocks and suggest that a better understanding of volatility links is crucial for portfolio management in the presence of oil price risk finally the existence of multivariate asymmetric effects and dynamic conditional correlations as revealed by the var agarch and dcc garch models make it clear that the assumptions of symmetric effects and constant conditional correlations are not supported empirically

r d portfolio and market structure this article analyses how firms allocate their resources when they compete for multiple patents in heterogeneous research projects simultaneously a simple model shows that firms resource allocation is biased away from risky and basic research even when imitation is not possible and firms are fully rational therefore a market may lack major innovations despite large aggregate research expenditure and strong patent protection this article also shows that as a market becomes more competitive firms invest relatively less in basic research but more in risky research these results provide a novel explanation for an ambiguous empirical relationship between innovation and market concentration

delving into liberia s energy economy technical change inter factor and inter fuel substitution abstract the industrial energy mix of liberia is dominated by petroleum products this has generated serious environmental problems contributing immensely to co 2 emissions and other pollutants in the country this study has attempted to investigate the potential for inter factor and inter fuel substitution between capital labor petroleum and electricity in liberia by employing a translog production and cost function approach ridge regression procedure has been adopted to estimate the parameters of the function due to multicollinearity in the data estimation results show that all inputs are substitutes these suggest that price based policies coupled with capital subsidy programs can be adopted to redirect technology use towards cleaner energy sources like electricity hence retaining the ability to fuel the economy while also mitigating greenhouse gas ghg emissions substitution between energy and labor and energy and capital implies that removal of price ceilings on energy in liberia would tend to reduce energy use and increase capital and labor intensiveness notwithstanding the study seems to show no evidence of convergence in relative technological progress of the four inputs implying that petroleum will continue to play a dominant role in the energy consumption mix of liberian industry while labor investment will continue to outweigh capital inputs finally the findings of this study provide general insights and underscore the importance of policies that focus on installed capacity of renewable electricity energy intensity targets as well as merger of enterprises

the option value of advanced r d existing tools for making r d investment decisions cannot properly capture the option value in r d since many new products are identified as failures during the r d stages the possibility of refraining from market introduction may add a significant value to the npv of the r d project this paper presents new theoretical insight by developing a stochastic jump amplitude model in a real setting the option value of the proposed model depends on the expected number of jumps and the expected size of the jumps in a particular business the model is verified with empirical knowledge of current research in the field of multimedia at philips corporate research this way the gap between real option theory and the practice of decision making with respect to investments in r d is diminished

toward an optimal u s ethanol fuel subsidy abstract enhanced environmental quality fuel security and economic development along with reduced prices of ethanol gasoline blends are often used as justifications for the u s federal excise tax exemption on ethanol fuels however the possible effect of increased overall consumption of fuel in response to lower total price mitigating the environmental and fuel security benefits are generally not considered taking this price response into account the optimal u s ethanol subsidy is derived estimated values of the optimal subsidy reveal that the subsidy s environmental and security benefits are questionable however positive environmental and security benefits from the ethanol tax exemption subsidy may be obtained if the subsidy is combined with an increase in the excise tax on gasoline

financial subsidies to the australian fossil fuel industry abstract a common claim during international greenhouse gas reduction negotiations has been that domestic emissions cuts will harm national economies this argument fails to consider the distorting effect of existing financial subsidies and associated incentives to fossil fuel production and consumption provided by governments in most developed countries these subsidies support a fossil fuel energy sector that is the major contributor to global greenhouse gas emissions and conflict with attempts to expand the role of sustainable energy technologies reform of these types of subsidies has the potential to provide substantial gains in economic efficiency as well as reductions in carbon dioxide emissions a no regrets outcome for the economy and the environment this paper examines financial subsidies to fossil fuel production and consumption in australia and estimates the magnitude of the subsidies subsidies and associated incentives to fossil fuel production and consumption in australia are similar to those in the united states and the other countries that have pushed for increased flexibility during international negotiations

the main support mechanisms to finance renewable energy development considering that the major part of greenhouse gases is carbon dioxide there is a global concern aimed at reducing carbon emissions additionally major consumer countries are looking for alternati

renewable energy technologies as beacon of cleaner production a real options valuation analysis for liberia abstract the importance of energy consumption for growth and development calls for improved decision support for a sustainable energy transition given africa s dependence on fossil fuels the economic and environmental savings from research development and deployment of renewable energy technologies may be substantial although the benefits of renewable energy technologies research development funding may appear to be low assuming immediate deployment the uncertainty in the non renewable energy price and the flexibility over timing makes research development program more appealing this study develops different scenarios in order to quantify benefits provided by research development funding for renewable power generation in liberia by using real options pricing approach to estimate the value of renewable energy technologies while taking into account the uncertainty of fossil fuel prices and learning by doing in renewable energy technologies the optimal solution shows that renewable energy technologies are economically attractive especially when external costs are internalized however annual research development funding is low and should be raised significantly in order to guarantee the highest possible investment incentives with minimal expenditures the study also hypothesizes that with the likelihood of renewable energy to replace non renewable energy renewable power use in liberia can potentially reduce carbon dioxide emissions by approximately 13 9 by 2015 compared to the 2008 levels the key insight provided by the real options analysis in this study is that while renewable energy may have inherent limitations such as seasonality of supply low energy content and capacity factor issues they still hold a significant amount of value which can only be detected when externalities are internalized thus underscoring the need for external costs related policies

and the winner is acquired entrepreneurship as a contest yielding radical innovations new entrants to a market tend to be superior to incumbents in originating radical innovations we provide a new explanation for this phenomenon based on markets for technology it applies in industries where successful entrepreneurial firms or their technologies are acquired by incumbents that then commercialize the innovation to this end we analyze an innovation game between one incumbent and a large number of entrants in the first stage firms compete to develop innovations of high quality they do so by choosing at equal cost the success probability of their rd the bigger the number of entrants the more radical the most radical project generally entrants tend to choose more radical r d approaches and generate the highest value innovation in case of success we illustrate our theoretical findings by a qualitative empirical study of the electronic design automation industry and derive implications for research and management

valuing chinese feed in tariffs program for solar power generation a real options analysis newhuadu business school research fund china sustainable energy program g 1305 18257 national social science foundation of china 12zd059 ministry of education 10gbj013

the role of knowledge in r d efficiency past research has recognized that both demand and capability influence the allocation of r d resources scholars have had an easier time getting a grip on demand than on capability while it has been recognized that knowledge is an important part of capability to date formalization of knowledge and its role in r d activity has been unsatisfactory this paper models the role of knowledge in r d various sources of such knowledge are considered the model throws a different light on analyses that employ a knowledge capital stock and also illuminates the dual private and public nature of technological knowledge

high tech r d subsidies estimating the effects of sematech abstract sparked by concerns about their shrinking market share 14 leading u s semiconductor producers with the financial assistance of the u s government in the form of 100 million in annual subsidies formed a joint r d consortium sematech in 1987 using compustat data on all u s semiconductor firms we estimate the effects of sematech on members r d spending profitability investment and productivity in so doing we examine two hypotheses the commitment hypothesis that sematech obligates member firms to spend more on high spillover r d and the sharing hypothesis that sematech reduces duplication of member r d spending whereas the commitment hypothesis provides a rationale for the government subsidies the sharing hypothesis does not we find that sematech induced members to cut their overall r d spending on the order of 300 million per year providing support for the sharing hypothesis

unkind roll of the dice drivers of lottery crimes in the united states using data on u s states this paper studies the factors driving lottery related crimes focusing on spillovers from other gambling and corruption although state sponsored lotteries have become q