should finland and sweden form a monetary union aims to shed light on the choice of exchange rate system facing finland and sweden by using theories of optimum currency areas as framework review of theories dealing with optimum currency areas relationship of finland and sweden and between these two countries and other industrial countries advantages of a finnish swedish monetary union over membership within the european monetary union

the economics of exchange rate regimes a review essay the exchange rate regime issue has taken centre stage in discussions of international economic policy much of the profession appears to have been converted to the hypothesis of the vanishing middle regime for countries well integrated into world capital markets there is little if any middle ground between floating exchange rates and monetary unification this paper considers the exchange rate regime issue in the context of recent books on the subject by w max corden and morris goldstein both authors prescribe managed floating exchange rates supplemented with inflation targeting for emerging market economies under managed floating and with a credible monetary policy the public finances in order and strengthened debt management and prudential regulation the exchange rate is free to act as a market gauge for assessing policies and as a mode of conflict resolution both authors also argue however that no exchange rate regime is a holy grail ultimately a credible exchange rate regime depends upon the trust evoked by governments there is no exchange rate regime whether of the managed floating or hard fix variety that can eradicate a history of failed stabilisation attempts

the global implications of regional exchange rate regimes abstract we examine the implications of a regional fixed exchange rate regime for global exchange rate volatility the concept of the optimum currency area turns out to play an important role the formation of a regional regime tends to decrease global volatility when countries are symmetric the effects tend to be ambiguous in the case of asymmetries the reduction in global volatility is larger when the rest of the world has more rigid labor markets than the peggers and when the exchange rate management is done mostly by countries with relatively more flexible labor markets and in the presence of a negative correlation in productivity shocks across countries

on the equilibrium properties of locational sorting models abstract important to many models of location choice is the role of local interactions or spillovers whereby the payoffs from choosing a location depend in part on the number or attributes of other individuals or firms that choose the same or nearby locations in equilibrium this paper develops the equilibrium properties of a broadly applicable and readily estimable class of sorting models that allow location decisions to depend on both fixed local attributes including unobserved attributes and local interactions describes the conditions under which equilibria exist and are unique and provides a test for uniqueness in empirical analyses of sorting equilibrium

partial identification of amenity demand functions this paper presents a new hedonic framework for reduced form estimation of the demand for spatially delineated nonmarket amenities we begin from a conventional model of market equilibrium where an amenity is conveyed to homeowners by virtue of their residential location choices different housing markets may have different hedonic price functions due to variation across markets in the joint distribution of preferences income regulations and technology in this setting taste based sorting within and across markets confounds point identification of reduced form descriptions for amenity demand curves however we demonstrate that basic knowledge of the sorting process is sufficient to construct instruments that identify bounds on demand curves bounds on demand curves can be translated into ranges of welfare measures for non marginal changes in amenities we find these ranges to be potentially informative in a demonstrative application to evaluating the benefits of improved lake water clarity in the northeast

meta analysis in model implementation choice sets and the valuation of air quality improvements this research illustrates how the methods developed for meta analysis can serve to document and summarize voluminous information derived from repeated sensitivity analyses our application is to the sensitivity of welfare estimates derived from discrete choice models to assumptions about the choice set these assumptions affect welfare estimates through both the estimated parameters of the model and conditional on the parameters the substitution among alternatives in our specific application the evaluation is in terms of estimated benefits of air quality improvements in los angeles based on discrete choices of neighborhood and housing copyright 2007 john wiley sons ltd

school finance reform assessing general equilibrium effects abstract in 1994 the state of michigan implemented one of the most comprehensive school finance reforms undertaken to date in any of the states understanding the effects of the reform is thus of value in informing other potential reform initiatives in addition the reform and associated changes in the economic environment provide an opportunity to assess whether a simple general equilibrium model can be of value in framing the study of such reform initiatives in this paper we present and use such a model to derive predictions about the effects of the reform on housing prices and neighborhood demographic compositions broadly our analysis implies that the effects of the reform and changes in the economic environment are likely to have been reflected primarily in housing prices and only modestly on neighborhood demographics we find that evidence for the detroit metropolitan area from the decade encompassing the reform is largely consistent with the predictions of the model

the impact of climate change on internal migration in brazil abstract business as usual climate change forecasts point to sharp temperature rises and agriculture yield losses in many regions of brazil we study the impact of these changes on internal migration and population distribution we employ a spatial equilibrium model in which the climate shapes workers locational choices through the usual amenity value channel and the novel indirect channel via agriculture wages our simulations reveal that migration rates are 9 65 higher and that 0 9 million more people migrate inter regionally under future climate conditions furthermore climate change will likely exacerbate the country s regional inequalities as the most developed regions gain population and welfare while the least developed regions lose

amenity values versus land constraints the spatial effects of natural landscape features on housing values when local amenities are tied to natural land use features that cannot be developed for physical or regulatory reasons the corresponding implicit price estimates from a hedonic housing model may reflect local supply constraints and confound estimation of natural amenity values using a spatial simultaneous equations model of housing values and migration we examine whether local supply constraints from natural or preserved features have influenced the housing market results indicate that constraints associated with the presence of water bodies and some types of open space preservation have contributed to higher housing prices offsetting local demand for these natural amenities jel c31 r23

the amenity cost of road noise this article reports a complete two stage hedonic analysis for road noise for the estimation of the hedonic price function i develop a spatial research design which simultaneously reduces the risk of omitted variable bias and the risk of measurement error in the noise measure the preference parameters are identified following the approach developed in bajari and benkard 2005 by using a simple functional form for utility preferences are very heterogeneous and observable demographic characteristics explain 30 percent of the variation in taste for quiet results are used to discuss willingness to pay for noise reductions from two policy measures

confronting price endogeneity in a duration model of residential subdivision development summary spatial equilibrium implies that distant factors are correlated with local prices through market mechanisms using this logic we develop a novel approach for handling price endogeneity in land use models we combine a control function approach with a duration model to identify the impact of prices in influencing land conversion we find that failure to control for endogeneity results in large differences in elasticities specifically we find an elasticity of 2 06 compared to 0 67 in a model without instrumentation this difference is significant as it suggests that price based policies such as green taxes are likely more effective in altering development patterns than would be expected from a naive estimation that ignores price endogeneity copyright 2016 john wiley sons ltd

why the middle is unstable the political economy of exchange rate regimes and currency crises the contribution of sticky exchange rates to the rash of currency crises over the past decade has become a major topic of international monetary analysis and policy discussion while there is widespread agreement among economists that the middle of the exchange rate spectrum adjustable pegs is highly crisis prone in a world of substantial capital mobility jeffrey frankel has recently argued that surprisingly we lack a clear theoretical rationale for why this is so this paper attempts to fill that void it argues that frankel is correct in terms of economic analysis alone but that when political economy considerations are introduced then a satisfactory explanation is at hand key aspects of this political economy perspective are laid out and implications for exchange rate policy are considered the analysis suggests that for promoting currency stability the traditionally debated distinctions between crawling bands and managed floats are likely less important than the political environments in which they are operated

monetization of health damages from road noise with implications for monetizing health impacts in life cycle assessment abstract there are decision situations where environmental impacts need to be compared with other costs or benefits that by their nature are expressed in terms of money supporting these decisions may require the expression of environmental impacts in monetary units using the example of health impacts from road noise we apply five different monetization approaches and quantify the monetary values of one year of sleep disturbance chf 2500 16 000 and interference with communication 1500 10 000 in life cycle assessment many health endpoints need to be evaluated at the same time therefore we illustrate here the transferability problem between health impacts measured in disability adjusted life years dalys and monetized health impacts using the example of health impacts due to 1000 truck kilometres it is concluded that available monetization methods need careful adaptation for their use to monetize environmental health impacts that the daly accounting system may support the systematic monetization and the selection of relevant health endpoints and that it may well be justified for lca purposes to perform some novel primary willingness to pay studies

the gcc s fixed exchange rate a major anomaly for oca analysis from the standpoint of traditional optimal currency area oca analysis the gulf cooperation council gcc countries are a major anomaly they successfully maintained pegged exchange rates among themselves for two decades while failing to meet a number of major oca criteria contrary to the optimistic predictions of some of the most enthusiastic advocates of endogenous oca analysis intra regional trade has remained low and there is little synchronisation of their business cycles or harmonisation of their fiscal positions we argue that their success in operating a fixed rate regime has been due to a combination of high oil revenue the heavy use of foreign workers and the limited extent to which their economies rely on market forces these are conditions that are not met by most other countries

the new theory of optimum currency areas highbrow opinion is like a hunted hare if you stand long enough it will come back to the place it started from dennis robertson

capital market imperfections and the theory of optimum currency areas this paper studies how within and cross country capital market imperfections affect the welfare effects of forming a currency union the analysis considers a bank only world where intermediaries compete in cournot fashion and monitoring and state verification are costly the first part determines the credit market equilibrium and the optimal number of banks prior to joining the union the second part discusses the benefits from joining a currency union a competition effect is identified and related to the added monitoring costs that banks may incur when operating outside their home country through an argument akin to the brander krugman reciprocal dumping model of bilateral trade however in our framework whether joining a union raises welfare of the home country is ambiguous it depends on the relative strength of investment creation and intermediation diversion effects

agri environmental policy and urban development patterns a general equilibrium analysis this paper investigates the spatial effects that the provision of environmental public goods have on residential location choices in a suburban context specifically a spatial general equilibrium framework is developed to analyze the consequences of adopting an agri environmental policy promoting the provision of positive farming externalities we use a static monocentric model of an open city where agricultural bid rents and agricultural amenities vary endogenously in space and where the positive externalities associated with agricultural production are valued by households consistent with empirical evidence of the potential side effects that conservation policies may have in terms of urbanization patterns and land price changes we show that under certain conditions implementing an agri environmental policy may promote additional suburban development moreover we demonstrate that the emergence of disconnected suburban areas may be significantly influenced by the location of land regulated by an agri environmental policy finally we discuss distributional aspects and show that while introducing an agri environmental policy has a negative impact on most residential land value it can have positive effects on farmland and residential land located within the regulated areas suggesting the non neutrality of such policies regarding the agents assets

who can adjust to the euro this study estimates potential exchange rate variation among 26 european countries during 1992 1998 as a proxy for the potential magnitude of adjustment they face to euro block membership using the instrumental variable iv method applying least squares cross section regression analysis based on optimal currency area theory a currency union among belgium denmark france germany ireland malta the netherlands and slovenia is found to entail a relatively light burden of adjustment for its members the current membership of other countries in the euro block is potentially very demanding on their societies in the long term this study also compares currency boards and independent central banks as alternative monetary frameworks for disinflation policies based on a pooled time series cross section dataset of the same countries and years currency boards are found to be more effective in reducing inflation in all countries except belgium balancing emu s credibility gains against its adjustment costs finland greece italy portugal and spain seem like unstable members of the euro block for all new eu member states except the czech republic malta slovenia and slovakia the advice is to stay out of the euro block until their economies are liberalised and flexible enough to withstand major adjustments and their societal interest groups supportive enough of these adjustments

on the theory of growth controls numerous empirical studies have examined the effect of growth controls on housing prices these studies have used many different techniques ranging from hedonic price model estimation to paired comparisons but have all come to the same conclusion growth controls raise the price of housing in theory there are both demand and supply side explanations which need not be mutually exclusive for these observed price differences on the supply side housing caps zoning restrictions limitations on the amount of developable land and other forms of growth control may reduce the supply of housing over time this in turn may produce scarcity effects which manifest as shifts or other changes in the housing supply curve and attendant price increases on the demand side to the extent that growth controls may reduce or internalize expected negative externalities and or congestion costs associated with growth controls may also produce amenity effects such amenity effects manifest as changes in the demand curve and likewise may be capitalized in land values and wages e g the price of a house rises as commute time falls

a political economic critique on the theory of optimum currency areas and the implications for east asia in recent years dynamic debate has arisen as to the desirability and feasibility of creating a monetary union in east asia while the debate has relied heavily on the theory of optimum currency areas this theory has weaknesses in explaining the actual formation of monetary unions at this point political economy analysis appears to demonstrate stronger explanatory power this paper provides a systematic review of the main developments in the literature on optimum currency area theory and in the political economy literature on monetary union in addition it addresses the feasibility of an east asian monetary union by applying the findings in these two academic strands to the region it finds that even though formation of an east asian monetary union may be to some extent feasible from an economic perspective the region s political situation does not appear favourable for the creation of one

democratic institutions and exchange rate commitments since the collapse of the bretton woods system countries have been able to choose from a variety of exchange rate arrangements we argue that politicians incentives condition the choice of an exchange rate arrangement these incentives reflect the configuration of domestic political institutions particularly electoral and legislative institutions in systems where the cost of electoral defeat is high and electoral timing is exogenous politicians will be less willing to forgo their discretion over monetary policy with a fixed exchange rate in systems where the costs of electoral defeat are low and electoral timing is endogenous politicians are more likely to adopt a fixed exchange rate regime consequently differences in domestic political systems can help account for variations in the choice of exchange rate arrangements we test this argument using constrained multinomial logit and binomial logit on a sample of twenty democracies over the period 1974 95 domestic political institutions have a significant effect on exchange rate regime choice even after controlling for systemic macroeconomic and other political variables

learning in a hedonic framework valuing brownfield remediation incomplete information in property value hedonic models can bias estimates of marginal willingness to pay mwtp using brownfield remediation as an application this article recovers hedonic values from a dynamic neighborhood choice framework that allows households to learn about brownfield contamination in a bayesian fashion before choosing where to live i find that ignoring learning yields nontrivial biases to the mwtp estimate this has important implications for hedonic valuation if agents are imperfectly informed estimates are used to calculate information s value had it been withheld from the public and to assess heterogeneity in information s value along site and homebuyer demographics

inflation and the demand for money in israel abstract this paper examines the impacts of rational price expectations and foreign exchange reform in addition to adaptive price expectations on money demand in israel the regression results are used to determine the upper limit on the amount of seigniorage

business cycle convergence in emu a first look at the second moment we analyse the dynamics of the standard deviation of demand and supply shocks as well as of the demand component of gdp across countries in the european monetary union emu this analysis allows us to evaluate the patterns of cyclical comovement in emu and compare them the cyclical performance of the new members of the eu and other oecd countries we make use of sigma convergence methods to identify synchronization patterns in business cycles the eurozone has converged to a stable lower level of dispersion across business cycles during the end of the 80s and the beginning of the 90s the new eu members have also experienced a strong pattern of convergence from 1998 to 2005 when a strong divergence trend appears an enlargement of the emu to 22 members would not significantly decrease its optimality as a currency area there is evidence for some europe specific characteristics as compared to global comovements in business cycles authors abstract

decomposing the structural identification of non market values abstract this paper addresses the issue of transparency in structural modeling by investigating how the assumptions of a structural model contribute to its identification of non market values assumptions about the form of the utility function the depiction of preference heterogeneity and the definition for the choice set are shown to jointly identify a partition of preference space which explains observed behavior the borders of the partition reflect substitution patterns the regions in the partition set identify preferences assumptions about the distribution of preferences within each region point identify partial equilibrium welfare measures together these observations provide a framework for decomposing the structural identification of non market values the new framework allows analysts to explain how their modeling assumptions influence estimates for benefits and costs this addresses federal guidelines for quantifying uncertainty in the modeling assumptions which enter benefit cost analysis the framework is demonstrated by decomposing estimates of the mwtp for air quality

sorting over flood risk and implications for policy reform abstract do individuals sort across flood risk this paper applies a boundary discontinuity design to a residential sorting model to provide novel estimates of sorting across flood risk by race ethnicity and income we find clear evidence that low income and minority residents are more likely to move into high risk flood zones we then highlight the overall and distributional implications of proposed price and information reforms to the u s national flood insurance program while such reforms are likely welfare increasing overall heterogeneous behavioral responses yield significant distributive effects that also alter the composition of residents in harm s way

the efficiency and distributional impacts of alternative anti sprawl policies this paper develops an analytical and numerical general equilibrium model to compare the efficiency and distributional impacts of development taxes urban growth boundaries property taxes and gasoline taxes from an overall efficiency perspective development taxes and urban growth boundaries are equivalent instruments and the most effective anti sprawl policies if the choice of anti sprawl instruments is influenced by distributional considerations our results suggest the preferred instrument is closely related to the location of land we present distributional impacts of the four policies at the urban city core the urban suburbs and rural area

european monetary union adjustment and exchange rate variability abstract this paper uses a three country three good factor specific model of trade with wage rigidities to investigate how european monetary union is likely to affect exchange rate variability focusing on international macroeconomic adjustment under both exogenous and optimizing monetary policies it shows that the relative variability against external currencies of the euro and a basket of predecessor currencies depends on the relative sizes and specialization patterns of countries and the relative importance of different shocks monetary union is likely to decrease increase aggregate european exchange rate variability for shocks to industries in which large small euro area countries specialize

feebates for dealing with trade offs on fertilizer subsidies a conceptual framework for environmental management abstract approximately half of today s annual worldwide crop yields can be attributed to the application of mineral fertilizers globally we rely and depend on additional yields as a cornerstone of present and future global food security in areas with very low nutrient loads subsidies for appropriate and responsible fertilizer use may help farmers to increase their yields and improve soil fertility in many countries of the world fertilizer subsidies are applied as direct payments however they have also become an environmental risk factor we deliberate in what way s maximizing the farmer s economic yield conflicts with maximizing societal interests we show mathematically that from the perspective of a single farmer under the assumption that crop yields increase monotonically with the application of fertilizers any fertilizer subsidy provides an economic incentive to increase the application of fertilizer independent of the amount that has already been applied we suggest feebate systems i e fee and rebate based mechanisms like penalty taxes and subsidies based on a specific reference point or borderline as an economic strategy for regulating both over and under fertilization this acknowledges the various roles that subsidies have played historically ranging from agricultural systems that have generally over fertilized such as urban agriculture in china vietnam or indonesia to countries where fertilizer subsidies are provided to compensate for significant land degradation in order to connect feebates to fertilization based on a sustainable reference or borderline we provide a conceptual multilevel environmental and sustainability assessment that is linked to conventional and market based economic means such as farm specific feebates or cap and trade

time consistency and the feasibility of alternative exchange rate regimes abstract in a stochastic cash in advance model of an open economy a fixed exchange rate regime is dynamically inconsistent and hence economically infeasible in a cournot nash equilibrium if there are no exogenous constraints imposed on government behaviour and nominal interest rates are strictly positive on the other hand a perfectly floating exchange rate regime is feasible but it cannot sustain any international asset trade however a noncooperative equilibrium with nonzero asset trade and a fixed exchange rate regime may become feasible when we allow policymakers to employ trigger retaliation strategies

a theory of development controls in a small city abstract this paper analyzes the implications of an institutional structure in which current residents of an urban area have the power to exercise control over the level and pattern of new residential development we develop a general equilibrium spatial model of a small urban area in which the current residents can control new residential development through a zoning policy determined by majority vote the current residents are modeled explicitly as home owners and are allowed to be arbitrarily different in tastes and endowments the urban government is assumed to provide a public good for its residents the level of which is also determined by majority vote the optimal development control policy from the point of view of a particular current resident is determined and the allocation resulting from a majority vote of the current residents is described for both head tax and property tax systems efficient development control policies are also analyzed

interjurisdictional housing prices in locational equilibrium abstract in this study we discuss how to construct interjurisdictional housing price indexes that are consistent with locational equilibrium theory in theoretical models housing is assumed to be homogeneous which provides problems in empirical analysis we provide conditions that allow us to treat heterogeneous housing as if it were homogeneous the same conditions that allow us to develop a quantity index for housing also imply that we can estimate interjurisdictional housing price indexes using hedonic price regressions locational equilibrium models impose a number of restrictions regarding the co movement of housing price indexes local public goods and mean income levels we propose to use these properties of locational equilibrium models to evaluate the different price index estimates we estimate a variety of price indexes using a unique panel data set of housing transactions in southern california our empirical results by and large support our approach

how property markets determine welfare outcomes an equilibrium sorting model analysis of local environmental interventions this paper examines the pivotal role played by property markets in determining the magnitude and distribution of welfare changes resulting from localised environmental change we address that issue using an equilibrium sorting model esm calibrated by way of example to the circumstances of a road infrastructure project in the english town of polegate previous esm research has tended to assume that all households rent property from a fixed property stock the narrative that arises from those models concerns environmental gentrification wherein access to environmentally improved locations is appropriated by the relatively wealthy through their ability to out compete the less wealthy in the rental property market our research shows that to be only part of a much more complex story we develop a model that extends the sophistication with which esms replicate property market dynamics allowing for households to choose whether to rent or purchase their home and introducing greater realism into housing supply responses to changing market conditions our research shows that property markets redistribute welfare gains across the population in complex ways in which tenure choice and housing supply constraints play central roles

an integrated model of regional and local residential sorting with application to air quality we examine the interconnectedness of demand for regionally and locally varying public goods using a residential sorting model we propose a version of the model that describes household choices at the city msa level and conditional on city the neighborhood census tract level we use a two stage budgeting argument to develop an empirically feasible sorting model that allows us to estimate preferences for regionally varying air quality while accounting for sorting at the local level our conceptual and empirical approach nests previous sorting models as special cases allowing us to assess the importance of accounting for multiple spatial scales in our predictions for the cost of air pollution furthermore our preferred specification connects the city and neighborhood sorting margins to the upper and lower elements of a nested logit model thereby establishing a useful correspondence between two stage budgeting and nested logit estimation empirically we find that estimates from a conventional model of sorting across msas imply a smaller marginal willingness to pay for air quality than estimates from our proposed model we discuss how the difference is attributable in part to the omitted variable problems arising when tract level sorting is ignored

is a monetary union feasible for east asia the empirical suitability of the east asian economies for potential monetary integration is assessed the structural vector autoregression var method is employed to identify the underlying shocks using a three variable var model across the east asian economies the estimates of the eec are used as a benchmark to compare the size of the underlying shocks and the speed of adjustment to shocks in both regions to determine the feasibility of forming an optimum currency area oca in east asia the empirical results do not display strong support for forming an oca in the east asian region the results do imply however that some small subregions are potential candidates for ocas since their disturbances are correlated and small and these economies adjust rapidly to shocks

real output co movements in east asia any evidence for a monetary union of integration in the region would greatly shape the economic structure of each individual economy an d has direct implications for the effectiveness of domestic stabilisation policy and policy coordination this paper empiricall y examines the feasibility of forming a monetary union in east asia by assessing the real output co movements among these economies as suggested by the optimum curr ency area oca theory that losing monetary independence would be the major cost for adopting

limit theorems for estimating the parameters of differentiated product demand systems we provide an asymptotic distribution theory for a class of generalized method of moments estimators that arise in the study of dierentiated product markets when the number of observations is associated with the number of products within a given market we allow for three sources of error sampling error in estimating market shares simulation error in approximating the shares predicted by the model and the underlying model error it is shown that the estimators are can provided the size of the consumer sample and the number of simulation draws grow at a large enough rate relative to the number of products we consider the implications of the results for berry levinsohn and pakes 1995 random coecient logit model and the pure characteristic model analyzed in berry and pakes 2002 the required rates dier for these two frequently used demand models a small monte carlo study shows that the dierence in asymptotic properties of the two models are reflected in quite a striking way in the models small sample properties moreover the limit distributions provide a good approximation to the actual monte carlo distribution of the parameter estimates the results have important implications for the computational burden of the two models

phoenix risen the resurrection of global finance of all the many changes of the world economy since world war ii few have been nearly so dramatic as the resurrection of global finance a review of five recent books suggests considerable diversity of opinion concerning both the causes and the consequences of financial globalization leaving much room for further research competing historical interpretations stressing the contrasting roles of market forces and government policies need to be reexamined for dynamic linkages among the variables they identify likewise impacts on state policy at both the macro and micro levels should be explored more systematically to understand not just whether constraints may be imposed on governments but also how and under what conditions and what policymakers can do about them finally questions are also raised about implications for the underlying paradigm conventionally used for the study of international political economy and international relations more generally

examining for evidence of the leapfrog effect in the context of strict agricultural zoning while strict agricultural zoning policies or greenbelts are implemented to reduce urban sprawl such policies may result in the leapfrog effect which could cause sprawl to extend further this paper outlines a theoretical explanation for the occurrence of the leapfrog effect due to developent restrictions imposed by agricultural zoning this theory is then applied empirically to a setting where agricultural zoning has been implemented ontario s greenbelt the results provide evidence that the leapfrog effect has occurred around the greenbelt as farmland values just beyond the outer boundary have increased extensive sensitivity analysis supports this result jel q15 r52

spatial cost of living indices and the distribution of public goods this paper develops cost of living col indices that vary across space while conventional indices adjust for differences in prices the col defined here also reflects access to public goods this analysis relies on the structure of a residential sorting model to estimate the col index for each of 226 metropolitan statistical areas msas in 1990 and 2000 in the united states empirical results show signifi cant differences in the col across the spatial landscape this paper focuses on the gini coefficient as a measure of inequality to demonstrate the distribution of public goods across the population

the advantage of tying one s hands ems discipline and central bank credibility abstract it is often argued that the ems is an effective disciplinary device for inflation prone countries in europe since it forces the respective policy makers to pursue more restrictive monetary policies than they would otherwise it is not clear however why these countries should submit themselves to such discipline this paper argues that to answer this question appropriately one must consider that ems membership brings potentially large credibility gains policy makers in inflation prone countries the reason is that not only it attaches an extra penalty to inflation in terms of real appreciation but makes the public aware that the policy maker is faced with such penalty and thus helps to overcome the inefficiency stemming from the public s mistrust of the authorities

the benefits and costs of monetary union in southern africa a critical survey of the literature with the 14 members of the southern african development community sadc having set the objective of adopting a common currency for the year 2018 an expanding empirical literature has emerged evaluating the benefits and costs of a common currency area in southern africa this paper reviews that literature focusing on two categories of studies 1 those that assume that a country s characteristics are invariant to the adoption of a common currency and 2 those that assume that a monetary union alters an economy s structure resulting in trade creation and credibility gains the literature reviewed suggests that a relatively small group of countries typically including south africa satisfies the criteria necessary for monetary unification the literature also suggests that in a monetary union comprising all sadc countries and a regional central bank that sets monetary policy to reflect the average economic conditions e g fiscal balances in the region the potential losses i e higher inflation from giving up an existing credible national central bank a relevant consideration for south africa could outweigh any potential benefits of trade creation resulting from a common currency

to be or not to be in monetary union a synthesis article i nfo monetary union can benefit countries suffering from policy credibility problems if it eliminates the inflation bias and also allows for more efficient management of certain shocks but it also carries costs as some stabilization may be feasible even in the absence of credibility and this may be more than what an individual country can hope for in a monetary union in this paper we combine the stabilization and credibility branches of the currency union literature and construct a simple welfare criterion that can be used to evaluate alternative monetary arrangements we produce examples where monetary union may be welfare improving even for low modest levels of inflation bias 2 3 as long as business cycles are not too a synchronized across countries

one money for europe lessons from the us currency union currency union barry eichengreen the creation of a monetary union in europe is often justified by the desire to reap the full benefits of economic integration the complete removal of capital controls raises a large number of issues the case for free capital mobility is strong but not overwhelming it hinges on issues of technology transport costs market structure and labour mobility and in the end is an empirical matter for which us experience may provide useful information policy making institutions differ in important respects however the us tradition of fiscal federalism for example has no ec wide counterpart yet its functions seem a desirable feature of a monetary union in particular it is shown to play an important role in absorbing regional disturbances mostly via the tax system us experience also suggests that a currency union creates pressure for fiscal policy harmonization affecting both taxes and spending although a currency union fundamentally alters the balance of payments adjustment process the potential problem of depressed regions remains a serious one given the increased tightness of the external constraint the limited extent of labour mobility and other features of european labour markets solutions based on us experience include extensive swap facilities and a european version of fiscal federalism

valuing open space in a residential sorting model of the twin cities abstract we present an analysis of how open space amenities affect residential location choices using a horizontal sorting model to estimate household preferences for open space to parameterize the model a new and rich dataset spanning 17 years of home sales in the seven county twin cities area of minnesota was assembled heterogeneity across types of open space and across households is shown to be a critical determinant of the welfare impacts of open space conservation our general equilibrium simulations allow housing prices to re equilibrate in response to policy induced demand shifts demonstrating that as the scale of intervention becomes larger general equilibrium and partial equilibrium welfare measures increasingly diverge finally we find that the spatial structure of policy is an important component of policy design suggesting open space policy should be place specific in its design and implementation

congestion land use and job dispersion a general equilibrium model abstract in dispersed cities congestion tolls would drive up central wages and rents and would induce centrally located producers to want to disperse closer to their workers and their customers paying lower rents and realizing productivity gains from land to labor substitution but the tolls would also induce residents to want to locate more centrally in order to economize on commuting and shopping travel in a computable general equilibrium model we find that the centralizing effect of tolls on residences dominates on the decentralizing effect of tolls on firms causing the dispersed city to have more centralized job and population densities under stylized parameters we find that efficiency gains from levying congestion tolls on work and shopping travel are 3 0 of average income about 80 of such gains come from road planning and 20 from tolls

is all space created equal uncovering the relationship between competing land uses in subdivisions abstract evaluating the importance of different forms of open space to households requires an evaluation of the service flows provided by each type of open space for many non market goods these flows occur over multiple spatial scales and require analysis that simultaneously accounts for capitalization at each scale to meet this often overlooked need we apply a newly developed extension to the hausman taylor model that treats multiple housing transactions occurring in a spatial location as a panel this methodology allows us to account for omitted variables within a subdivision while instrumenting for variables identified through differences between subdivisions we measure capitalization of open space at three distinct spatial extents adjacency walkability and subdivision wide we find that the interactions between subdivision open space and private open space in the form of lot size change from complementarity at small scales to substitutability at large scales these results confirm much of the intuition developed by ecologists and public planners on the likely service flows associated with open space and show how our approach to accounting for multiple spatial scales of capitalization in the evaluation of non market goods could be beneficial to other areas of applied research

the current impasse in research on optimum currency areas abstract the only visible advance in the theory of the optimum currency area oca since mundell wrote in 1961 is the proposal of new criteria for determining the optimal size of a currency area the paper first tries to substantiate this general assessment and then argues that the fault lies in the profession s unwillingness to adopt a formal analysis of the subject divorced from the policy aspects we could make considerable progress in analysing the oca by merely following our usual procedure of defining a general welfare function to be compared if not maximised under different well specified conditions furthermore any move in this direction would take us far beyond the current enumeration of criteria for an oca

wage rigidity and monetary union we compare monetary union to flexible exchange rates in an asymmetric threecountry model with active monetary policy unlike the traditional oca literature we find that countries with a high degree of nominal wage rigidity benefit from monetary union specially when they join other similarly rigid countries countries with relatively more flexible wages tend to be worse off in unions with countries that have more rigid wages we examine france germany and the uk and find that the welfare implications of alternative monetary arrangements depend more on the degree of wage asymmetry than on other types of asymmetries in shocks monetary policy etc and that higher degree of wage flexibility in the uk relative to france and germany would make its participation in emu costly

land use worker heterogeneity and welfare benefits of public goods we show that investments in public goods change the optimal land use in their vicinity leading to additional welfare benefits this occurs through two sorting mechanisms first availability of public goods leads to higher population densities second population groups sort according to their preferences for public goods we develop a structural spatial general equilibrium model that accounts for these effects the model is estimated using data on transport infrastructure commuting behaviour land use and land rents for some 3000 zip codes in the netherlands and for three levels of education welfare benefits of investments in public transport infrastructure are shown to differ sharply by workers educational attainment welfare gains from changes in land use account for up to 30 of the total benefits of a transport investment

estimating equilibrium models of sorting across locations while there is growing interest in measuring the size and scope of local spillovers it is well understood that such spillovers cannot be distinguished from unobservable local attributes using solely the observed location decisions of individuals or firms we propose an empirical strategy for recovering estimates of spillovers in the presence of unobserved local attributes for a broadly applicable class of equilibrium sorting models our approach relies on an iv strategy derived from the internal logic of the sorting model itself we show practically how the strategy is implemented provide intuition for our instruments discuss the role of effective choice set variation in identifying the model and carry out a series of monte carlo simulations to demonstrate performance in small samples

anchored in the past persistent price effects of obsolete vineyard ratings in france abstract although abundant evidence for anchoring in economic valuations has been produced in experimental settings there have been relatively few studies testing for anchoring in actual markets we analyze data on grape and vineyard prices in the champagne region of france to determine whether current prices are anchored on past prices set under a discontinued price setting system the key feature of this system is a vineyard quality rating called the echelle des crus edc the econometric challenge is to separately identify anchoring effects from the effects of relevant information edc era prices may convey about grape and vineyard quality our empirical approach controls for observable attributes of vineyards and time invariant unobserved determinants of vineyard quality that may be revealed to market participants through edc era prices in addition we use an instrumental variables strategy to mitigate confounding influences of time varying unobservables we find strong evidence that anchoring has large effects on prices for grapes and vineyards we also examine whether the anchoring effect is diminishing over time as market participants come to rely more on objective information to determine prices we find instead a persistent effect of the edc many years after it became obsolete

exploring mortgage interest deduction reforms an equilibrium sorting model with endogenous tenure choice in most equilibrium sorting models esms of residential choice across neighborhoods the question of whether households rent or buy their home is either ignored or else tenure status is treated as exogenous of course tenure status is not exogenous and households tenure choices may have important public policy implications particularly since higher levels of homeownership have been shown to correlate strongly with various indicators of improved neighborhood quality indeed numerous policies including that of mortgage interest deduction mid have been implemented with the express purpose of promoting homeownership this paper presents an esm with simultaneous rental and purchase markets in which tenure choice is endogenized and neighborhood quality is partly determined by neighborhood composition the public policy relevance of the model is shown through a calibration exercise for boston massachusetts which explores the impacts of various reforms to the mid policy the simulations confirm some of the arguments made about reforming mid but also demonstrate how the complex patterns of behavioral change induced by policy reform can lead to unanticipated effects the results suggest that it may be possible to reform mid while maintaining the prevailing rates of homeownership and reducing the federal budget deficit

a revealed preference approach to the measurement of congestion in travel cost models abstract travel cost models are regularly used to determine the value of recreational sites or particular site characteristics yet congestion a key site attribute is often excluded from such analyses one reason for this omission is that congestion is determined in equilibrium by the process of individuals sorting across sites and thus presents significant endogeneity problems this paper illustrates this source of endogeneity describes how previous research has dealt with it using stated preference techniques and describes an instrumental variables approach to address it in a revealed preference context we demonstrate that failing to address the endogeneity of congestion leads one to dramatically understate its costs we apply our technique to the valuation of a large recreational fishing site in wisconsin lake winnebago which if eliminated would induce significant re sorting of anglers amongst remaining sites ignoring congestion leads to an understatement of the lake s value by more than 50

what do demand and supply shocks say about caribbean monetary integration this study seeks to ascertain whether the member states of the caribbean community caricom share similar supply and demand shocks if so an argument can be made for the suitability of said countries being part of a currency union the results show that no significant correlation exists for the majority of countries studied and as such no economic justification for the monetary union can be made based on the methodology used however the eastern caribbean currency union eccu whose members are a part of caricom is supported by the results

public open space conservation under a budget constraint abstract this paper analyzes the fiscal and land value impacts of public open space conservation in a budget constrained city it derives the necessary and sufficient conditions for open space conservation to increase the level of municipal services and the total land value within the city the theoretical results together with the empirical evidence found in the literature suggest that open space conservation can increase the level of municipal services and total land value in a significant share of american cities even if it generates no amenities open space conservation will likely increase total land values and municipal services in metropolitan areas that have stringent land use regulations high development densities and relatively little open space but will likely reduce municipal services and total land values in small lightly regulated cities surrounded by rural land and fiscally constrained in providing essential public goods h4 r3 q2

migration and household adaptation to climate a review of empirical research abstract this paper reviews empirical research on migration and land use impacts associated with climate change household migration arises due to changes in economic opportunities and climate amenities resulting from climate change throughout the paper efforts are made to highlight key empirical findings as well as areas in need of additional research the existing literature is discussed through the lens of reduced form and structural approaches paying particular attention to preference heterogeneity and the often complex interconnections between economic sectors in determining household migration areas in need of additional research include improving our understanding of the coupling between human and natural systems accounting for endogenous attributes and payoffs and incorporating richer characterizations of the tradeoffs driving migration across multiple economic sectors

an optimum currency area odyssey abstract the theory of optimum currency areas was conceived and developed in three highly influential papers written by mundell 1961 mckinnon 1963 and kenen 1969 those authors identified characteristics that potential members of a monetary union should ideally possess in order to make it feasible to surrender a nationally tailored monetary policy and the adjustment of an exchange rate of a national currency we trace the development of optimum currency area theory which after a flurry of research into the subject in the 1960s was relegated to intellectual purgatory for about 20 years we then discuss factors that led to a renewed interest into the subject beginning in the early 1990s milton friedman plays a pivotal role in our narrative friedman s work on monetary integration in the early 1950s presaged subsequent optimum currency area contributions mundell s classic formulation of an optimal currency area was aimed in part at refuting friedman s strong case for floating exchange rates and friedman s work on the role of monetary policy had the effect of helping to revive interest in optimum currency area analysis the paper concludes with a discussion of recent analytical work using new keynesian models which has the promise of fulfilling the unfinished agenda set out by the original contributors to the optimum currency area literature that is providing a consistent framework in which a country s characteristics can be used to determine its optimal exchange rate regime

limits to the value of external costs based on recent insights from the field of risk analysis this paper examines some of the difficulties encountered in attempts to characterise the environmental effects of energy options as monetary externalities more than 20 different dimensions of environmental appraisal are identified and discussed in relation to the historic literature on risk assessment and a number of recent influential environmental valuation studies a survey is conducted of the results obtained over more than a decade for the external environmental costs of electricity supply options theoretical and methodological criticisms are lent support by the finding that environmental valuation results vary over a very wide range of values yielding a variety of rank orderings for the different generating options in addition the values derived for energy externalities are found to be vulnerable to the possible influence of a price imperative the paper concludes by pointing to approaches to the social appraisal of generating technologies which offer greater transparency rigour and accessibility in addressing plural and intrinsically subjective value judgements concerning the different forms and dimensions of environmental effects

spatial preference heterogeneity in forest recreation abstract in this study we analyze the preferences for recreational use of forests in lorraine northeastern france applying stated preference data our approach allows us to estimate individual specific preferences for recreational use of different forest types these estimates are used in a second stage of the analysis where we test whether preferences depend on access to recreation sites we find that there is significant preference heterogeneity with respect to most forest attributes the spatial analysis shows that preferences for forests with parking and picnic facilities are correlated with having access to such forests while for the other attributes considered dominant tree species trekking paths and presence of lake and rivers we find no correlation between stated preferences and accessibility this implies that the problem of endogenous distances in the travel cost method parsons 1991 may be present in the estimation of welfare economic values for parking and picnic facilities in the analyzed model the results underline the importance of considering spatial heterogeneity of preferences carrying out economic valuation of spatial delineated environmental goods and that the spatial variation in willingness to pay for such goods is not only explained by the users transport costs of accessing the sites

a discrete choice equilibrium approach to valuing large environmental changes abstract this study develops a discrete choice locational equilibrium model to evaluate the benefits of the air quality improvements that occurred in the los angeles area following the 1990 clean air act amendments caaa the discrete choice equilibrium approach accounts for the fact that air quality improvements brought about by the 1990 caaa will change housing choices and prices the study also provides new evidence for the distributional welfare impacts of the 1990 caaa in the los angeles area findings suggest that the air quality improvements that occurred in the los angeles area between 1990 and 2000 provided substantial general equilibrium benefits to households the analysis reveals noticeable differences between partial and general equilibrium welfare gains demonstrating that ignoring equilibrium effects will likely misrepresent the benefits of large environmental changes in addition we find that the equilibrium welfare impacts of the 1990 caaa in the los angeles area varied significantly across income groups