divergent reactions to convergent strategies investor beliefs and analyst reactions during technological change an important outcome of technological change is industry convergence as a new technology spurs competition between established firms from different industries we study the reactions of securities analysts as important sources of institutional pressures for firms to the similar product market strategies undertaken by firms from different prior industries responding to industry convergence our empirical setting is the convergence between the wireline telecommunications and cable television industries in the period following the advent of voice over internet protocol technology controlling for firm financial performance and capabilities we find that analysts were consistently more positive toward the cable firms than toward the wireline telecom firms our findings further show that this divergence in reactions arises from differences in existing investor expectations and preferences concerning how firms create value stocks owned by investors with a greater preference for growth receive more positive reactions than those owned by investors with a greater preference for margins however this divergence in reactions shrinks over time as convergence unfolds and as investors shift their shareholdings in response to misalignment between their preferences and firms strategic changes reactions from analysts reflecting inertial expectations of investors may persist for a time despite changes to firms strategies thus creating challenges for some firms in responding to technological change and industry convergence while legitimating and enabling similar responses from their competitors

the environment and emerging development issues development economics for the most part has failed to recognize renewable environmental resources as economic goods yet the lives of the poor in developing countries are intimately tied to the fate of their local common property resources soil fuel wood water and so on ignoring the loss of common property renewable resources via degradation centralization or privatization in calculations of net national product can mask the destruction of resources available to a country s poor behind the false appearance of a growing national economy this paper describes the difference between the problem of managing local common property resources in developing countries and the problem of protecting the global commons such as the atmosphere and oceans it outlines the calculations that would include the local commons in the national income accounting of capital assets and argues that the interests of those most dependent on the increasingly scarce local commons will be best served by placing control in their hands while the central government provides infrastructure and educational support to control the pollution of the global commons on the other hand the paper sketches a plan in which most countries would have a high incentive to participate a global allocation of limited tradable permits to discharge defined pollutants

interbank networks in prewar japan structure and implications forthcoming as interbank networks in prewar japan structure and implications with michiru sawada industrial and corporate change 2011

interorganizational determinants of promotion client leadership and the attainment of women attorneys explanations of gender inequality typically emphasize individual characteristics the structure of internal labor markets or pressures from the institutional environment extending the structuralist and institutional perspectives this article argues that the demographic composition of an organization s exchange partners can influence the demographic composition of the focal organization when the focal organization is dependent upon its partners specifically law firms with women led corporate clients increase the number of partners who are women attorneys data on elite law firms and their publicly traded clients support a bargaining power hypothesis whereby law firms promote women attorneys when their corporate clients have women in three key leadership positions general legal counsel chief executive officer and board director these effects are stronger when the law firm has few clients reinforcing the hypothesis that interorganizational influence is more vital when a focal organization is depe

the two faces of governance responses to legal uncertainty in u s firms 1955 to 1985 recent neoinstitutional analyses have associated the rapid diffusion of due process governance mechanisms in the american workplace with government pressure for equal employment opportunity and affirmative action we carry the argument forward in three ways first we focus on grievance procedures and employment at will clauses to show that the legalization process produces both rights enhancing and rights negating rules second we focus on the private for profit economic sector to test more effectively the efficiency and labor control theories that have fared poorly in previous neoinstitutional studies third we explore the interactions among personnel professionals lawyers and the state in the adoption of legalistic governance mechanisms results sustain the neoinstitutional argument but also offer new support for efficiency and labor control hypotheses

terror as a bargaining instrument a case study of dowry violence in rural india this ethnographic study examined the sociocultural context of domestic violence and dowry in india and describes a theoretical model and econometric methodology the model was tested with survey data collected from a sub caste of 149 potter families from 3 villages in karnataka state in south india interviews were conducted among 139 adult married women and 130 married men the case studies demonstrate that violence can be used as a way to redistribute resources bargaining over dowry amounts occurs twice once before the marriage and renegotiations after the wife had moved to the husbands family domestic violence may be a weapon in order to obtain higher transfers at the renegotiation stage the model assumes that the level of dowry and the occurrence of violence are determined simultaneously hypotheses tested whether increases in husbands family wealth in the dowry paid and husbands cost of violent behavior reduces the incidence of violence tests determined whether increases in wifes familys wealth and increases in wifes human capital husbands human capital or wifes cost of violence increase violence 23 reported wife beating at some time a 10000 rupee increase in the wifes parents income increased the risk of violence by 4 a 10000 rupee increase in the husbands parents income reduced the risk of violence by 10 a 10000 rupee increase in dowry reduced the risk by 5 an additional male child reduced the risk by 11 female sterilization increased the risk by 16 findings suggest that husbands beat wives when the wifes family is rich and when dowries are small

why dowry payments declined with modernization in europe but are rising in india in contrast to most dowry oriented societies in which payments have declined with modernization those in india have undergone significant inflation over the last five decades this paper explains the difference between these two experiences by focusing on the role played by caste the theoretical model contrasts caste and non caste based societies in the former there exists an inherited component to status caste that is independent of wealth and in the latter wealth is the primary determinant of status modernization is assumed to involve two components increasing average wealth and increasing wealth dispersion within status or caste groups the paper shows that in caste based societies the increases in wealth dispersion that accompany modernization necessarily lead to increases in dowry payments whereas in non caste based societies increased dispersion has no real effect on dowry payments and increasing average wealth causes the payments to decline

institutional sources of boundary spanning structures the establishment of investor relations departments in the fortune 500 industrials the authors analyze the coercive and mimetic conditions leading to the establishment of investor relations departments among fortune 500 industrial firms during the 1984 1994 period the results show that antimanagement resolutions brought to a vote by social movement activists significantly contributed to the establishment of investor relations departments intense scrutiny by financial analysts also impelled firms to create such departments whereas social movement activists framed shareholder rights as a problem and compelled organizations to uphold them professional analysts subtly coerced organizations to signal their commitment to investor rights by creating boundary spanning structures that solution was transmitted through board interlocks to other organizations

analyzing the analysts career concerns and biased earnings forecasts this paper examines the career concerns of security analysts we relate long histories of their earnings forecasts to job separations we find that relatively accurate past forecasts lead to favorable career outcomes such as remaining at or moving up to a high status large prestigious brokerage house controlling for accuracy optimistic forecasts relative to the consensus increase the chances of favorable job separations job separations depend much less on accuracy for analysts who cover stocks that are underwritten by their brokerage houses such analysts are also much more likely to be rewarded for optimistic forecasts than other analysts furthermore job separations were much less sensitive to accuracy and somewhat more sensitive to optimism during the stock market mania of the late 1990s these findings suggest that the well documented analyst forecast optimism bias is likely due to incentives to promote stocks

sect subsidy and sacrifice an economist s view of ultra orthodox jews israeli ultra orthodox men study full time in yeshiva until age 40 on average why do fathers with families in poverty choose yeshiva over work draft deferments subsidize yeshiva attendance yet attendance typically continues long after exemption fertility rates are high tfr 7 6 and rising a social interaction approach explains these anomalies yeshiva attendance signals commitment to the community which provides mutual insurance to members prohibitions strengthen communities by effectively taxing real wages inducing high fertility historically the incursion of markets into traditional communities produces ultra orthodoxy subsidies induce dramatic reductions in labor supply and unparalleled increases in fertility illustrating extreme responses social groups may have to interventions

the role of financial analysts in the strategy formation process of business firms increasingly financial analysts are influencing the strategy formation process of corporations but so far little attention has been paid to the complex processes of interaction and the corresponding strategic outcomes this article discusses these influences through different theoretical lenses strategic management finance and accounting theory and economic sociology institutional and systems theory based on case study evidence from three companies we describe how the interactions between financial analysts and business firms take place and formulate several propositions on the relationship between financial analysts and business firms as well as on its influence on the strategic outcome of business firms the results suggest that the influence of financial analysts is indeed significant but depends on a number of contextual factors such as the financial situation of the company or the need for capital practicing managers can learn how to handle a turbulent environment such as the financial analyst community and how they can change their planning processes to absorb as much information as possible

information content of equity analyst reports abstract we catalog the complete contents of institutional investor all american analyst reports and examine the market reaction to their release including the justifications supporting an analyst s opinion reduces and in some models eliminates the significance of earnings forecasts and recommendation revisions analysts both provide new information and interpret previously released information the information in a report is most important for downgrades target prices and the analyst s justifications are the only significant elements for reiterations no correlation exists between valuation methodology and either analyst accuracy or the market s reaction to a report our adjusted r 2 s are much larger than those of studies using only summary measures

a general equilibrium analysis of state and private colleges and access to higher education in the u s abstract we develop a general equilibrium model of the market for undergraduate higher education that captures the coexistence of public and private colleges the large degree of quality differentiation among them and the tuition and admission policies that emerge from their competition for students a quantitative version of the model matches well estimates of enrollment elasticities variation in need based and merit based institutional aid with respectively student income and ability and aggregate characteristics of u s higher education including college attendance in public and private schools tuition levels and the provision of federal aid predictions about the provision of federal aid and the distribution of students across colleges by ability and income match the empirical counterparts well we use the model to examine the consequences of federal and state aid policies a one third increase in the maximum federal aid increases college attendance by 6 of the initial college population most of the increase being in state colleges and mainly of poor students elite private colleges reduce institutional aid and use the net funding gain to spend more on educational inputs and to substitute some highly able poor students for less able rich students reductions in federal or state aid result in substantially reduced attendance mainly by poor students reductions of support to state colleges induce private colleges to increase enrollments modestly and improve in quality as demand shifts toward them

analysts conflicts of interest and biases in earnings forecasts analysts earnings forecasts are influenced by their desire to win investment banking clients we hypothesize that the equity bull market of the 1990s along with the boom in investment banking business exacerbated analysts conflicts of interest and their incentives to strategically adjust forecasts to avoid earnings disappointments we document shifts in the distribution of earnings surprises and related changes in the market s response to surprises and forecast revisions the evidence for shifts is stronger for growth stocks where conflicts of interest are more pronounced however shifts are less notable for analysts without ties to investment banking and in international markets

do analysts generate trade for their firms evidence from the toronto stock exchange abstract it has generally been assumed that the potential commission revenue is an important determinant of a sell side analyst s decision of what firms to cover and what information to publicly release however because stock volume has not been disaggregated on a brokerage firm level uncertainty remains regarding the economic importance of the relation between analyst coverage and brokerage firm volume using a unique data set that identifies the broker s involved in each trade i find that brokerage volume is significantly higher in covered stocks than in uncovered stocks on average brokers increase their market share in covered stocks by 3 8 relative to uncovered stocks

economic growth and environmental degradation the environmental kuznets curve and sustainable development abstract in this paper we critically examine the concept of the environmental kuznets curve ekc it proposes that there is an inverted u shape relation between environmental degradation and income per capita so that eventually growth reduces the environmental impact of economic activity the concept is dependent on a model of the economy in which there is no feedback from the quality of the environment to production possibilities and in which trade has a neutral effect on environmental degradation the actual violation of these assumptions gives rise to fundamental problems in estimating the parameters of an ekc the paper identifies other econometric problems with estimates of the ekc and reviews a number of empirical studies the inference from some such ekc estimates that further development will reduce environmental degradation is dependent on the assumption that world per capita income is normally distributed when in fact median income is far below mean income we carry out simulations combining ekc estimates from the literature with world bank forecasts for economic growth for individual countries aggregating over countries to derive the global impact within the horizon of the bank s forecast 2025 global emissions of so 2 continue to increase forest loss stabilizes before the end of the period but tropical deforestation continues at a constant rate throughout the period

development aid and climate finance this paper discusses the implications of climate change for official transfers from rich countries the north to poor countries the south when the motivation for transfers is ethical rather than strategic traditional development transfers to increase income and reduce poverty are complemented by new financial flows to reduce greenhouse gas emissions mitigation transfers and become climate resilient adaptation transfers we find that in the absence of barriers to adaptation mitigation or development climate change will make isolated transfers less efficient a large part of their intended effect to increase income reduce emissions or boost climate resilience dissipates as the south reallocates its own resources to achieve the mitigation adaptation and consumption balance it prefers only in the case of least developed countries which are unable to adapt fully due to income constraints will adaptation support lead to more climate resilience in all other cases if the north wishes to change the balance between mitigation adaptation and consumption it should structure its transfers as matching grants which are tied to the south s own level of funding alternatively the north could provide an integrated climate compatible development package that recognizes the combined climate and development requirements of the south if the aim is to increase both mitigation and adaptation in the south development assistance that increases the income level can be an effective measure but only if there is an international agreement and the recipient country is not income constrained if the recipient country is very poor development aid may reduce adaptation effort

the population problem theory and evidence this study is concerned with the relationships among population growth poverty and environmental degradation with particular focus on the situation in developing countries the author rejects the concept of a general theory of fertility behavior in favor of an interpretation of these relationships which might be applicable to certain situations in the poorest parts of the indian subcontinent and sub saharan africa such situations include unacceptable risks of maternal death for poor illiterate women and a condemnation to extreme poverty in conditions of the deterioration of local resources and of the environment the author concludes that population growth rates are too high in certain specific areas and that an appropriate policy reaction to such conditions would be to try to change the options that men and women face so that their reasoned choice would be to lower their fertility

selection on observed and unobserved variables assessing the effectiveness of catholic schools in this paper we measure the effect of catholic high school attendance on educational attainment and test scores because we do not have a good instrumental variable for catholic school attendance we develop new estimation methods based on the idea that the amount of selection on the observed explanatory variables in a model provides a guide to the amount of selection on the unobservables we also propose an informal way to assess selectivity bias based on measuring the ratio of selection on unobservables to selection on observables that would be required if one is to attribute the entire effect of catholic school attendance to selection bias we use our methods to estimate the effect of attending a catholic high school on a variety of outcomes our main conclusion is that catholic high schools substantially increase the probability of graduating from high school and more tentatively attending college we find little evidence of an effect on test scores

kin groups and reciprocity a model of credit transactions in ghana this paper studies kinship band networks as capital market institutions membership in a community where individuals are dynastically linked has two effects on informal credit first the nonanonymity of the dynastic link allows to sanction the defaulters offspring and induce compliance even in short term interactions social enforcement second preferential agreements can arise in which kin members condition their behavior on the characteristics of a player s predecessor expecting others to do the same with their offspring reciprocity these effects are incorporated in an olg game with endogenous matching between lenders and borrowers and tested using household level data from ghana

watta satta bride exchange and women s welfare in rural pakistan in a setting where husbands wield considerable coercive power forms of marriage should adapt to protect the interests of women and their families the authors study the pervasive marriage custom of watta satta in rural pakistan a bride exchange between families coupled with a mutual threat of retaliation they show that watta satta may be a mechanism to coordinate the actions of two sets of in laws each of whom wish to restrain their sons in law but who only have the ability to restrain their sons the authors empirical results support this view the likelihood of marital inefficiency as measured by estrangement domestic abuse and wife s mental health is significantly lower in watta satta arrangements as compared with conventional marriages but only after properly accounting for selection

intra generational equity and sustainable welfare a time series analysis for the uk and sweden this paper discusses the importance of intra generational equity to sustainable development it outlines a number of methodologies for measuring income inequality in the economy and presents several possible ways of incorporating the impact of distributional effects into measures of welfare in the economy the authors highlight in particular an index developed by atkinson atkinson a b 1970 distributive politics and economic growth q j econ may 465 490 based on the social welfare model this method possesses two main advantages over other methods firstly it is expressed directly in terms of social well being secondly value judgements incorporated into the measure are made explicit through the parameter o which expresses society s degree of aversion to income inequality the paper calculates the value of the atkinson index for two case study countries sweden and the uk between 1950 and 1996 for a central estimate of o0 8 the results show that the welfare loss due to inequalities in the distribution of income varied between 5 and 10 for sweden and between 6 and 14 for the uk with the higher values coming towards the end of the period the paper explores the sensitivity of these results to changes in the value of o for the case of the uk and discusses the relevance of the work to the measurement of sustainable welfare 2000 elsevier science b v all rights reserved

marriage institutions and sibling competition evidence from south asia using data from south asia this article examines how arranged marriage cultivates rivalry among sisters during marriage search parents with multiple daughters reduce the reservation quality for an older daughters groom rushing her marriage to allow sufficient time to marry off her younger sisters relative to younger brothers younger sisters increase a girls marriage risk relative to younger singleton sisters younger twin sisters have the same effect these effects intensify in marriage markets with lower sex ratios or greater parental involvement in marriage arrangements in contrast older sisters delay a girls marriage because girls leave school when they marry and face limited earning opportunities when they reach adulthood the number of sisters has well being consequences over the life cycle younger sisters cause earlier school leaving lower literacy a match to a husband with less education and a less skilled occupation and marginally lower adult economic status data from a broader set of countries indicate that these cross sister pressures on marriage age are common throughout the developing world although the schooling costs vary by setting

finance capital in chandlerian capitalism alfred chandler wrote a great deal on finance capital in the development of big business in making bold and provocative statements he provided scholars with a variety of stimulating ideas to a large extent however we still do not know whether chandler s assertions were correct ultimately the value of revisiting chandler s research on finance capital in the rise of us big business is to understand how much research needs to be done and the questions it needs to address copyright 2010 the author 2010 published by oxford university press on behalf of associazione icc all rights reserved oxford university press

the intra country distributional impact of policies to fight climate change a survey abstract in this paper we present a survey of distributional impact analysis of environmental policies with emphasis on taxes envisaged or implemented to reduce greenhouse gas emissions ghg these policies usually aim at reducing ghg directly or indirectly however they can produce important changes in factor allocation relative prices in specific countries as well as on world markets when adopted by a large number of countries changes in welfare can be important for vulnerable groups of population in developing countries this survey reviews the evidence on the incidence of these policies in the process it shows that the computable general equilibrium cge microsimulation approach has not been fully exploited in the context

poverty income distribution and policy making this paper deals with the key distributional issues arising from the regulation of the environment and the management of natural resources the paper is divided into a section dealing with poverty and a section dealing with broader income distribution effects although there is much discussion of the linkages of poverty to environmental degradation empirical studies establishing these linkages are few the relationship is critically dependent on the institutional structures in the countries concerned and how they respond to changing environmental pressures on the broader distributional impacts the papers focusses on the analysis of ganiers and losers from environmental regulations the analysis is complex because the direct incidence is not the same as the final incidence much of the work has looked only at the former in addition the political economy of regulation needs to pay greater attention to impacts on key and vulnerable groups more so than can be done by looking at broad income bands

financial market reactions following technological discontinuities a non event study in two industries a large body of literature has explored the challenges of technological change for established firms much of this work has focused on factors internal to firms such as inertial routines or managers cognitive limitations that constrain incumbents development of new capabilities and response to new technologies but institutional pressures arising from financial markets and the securities analysts who mediate such markets likely also play a role in whether and how incumbent firms respond to technological change we know little about how financial markets and securities analysts react as an incumbent firm is faced with a radical technological discontinuity that threatens to substitute for the existing technology understanding such reactions is critical as they further influence whether and how incumbents respond to technological discontinuities in this article i explore securities analysts reactions to incumbent firms faced with technological discontinuities in two industries digital technology in photography and voice over internet protocol voip technology in wireline telecommunications i find that these discontinuities go largely unmentioned in analysts reports and appear to have little influence on analysts recommendations or stock prices even for several years the findings suggest further that analysts and investors continue to reward incumbents for cash flows arising from focusing on the existing business and technology despite the increasing certainty of technological obsolescence copyright 2008 oxford university press

environmental degradation and economic openness in ldcs the poverty linkage the connection between growth economic policies and the environment in developing countries has become a primary concern for economists and policy makers this is because of the fact that environmental degradation in the third world has accelerated dramatically over the last few decades deforestation biomass degradation and air emissions in developing countries are now a serious concern for the industrialized world the world ecological system has been able to tolerate well the almost total elimination of natural forests and biomass as well as the massive generation of air and water pollution by the developed countries but it is not clear that a duplication of this process in the developing world would not induce radical changes could imply significant costs in terms of human lives public health and other investments in the industrialized countries 18 refs

predation reputation and entry deterrence abstract economists often argue that predatory practices are irrational since there exist cheaper or more certain means to gain or maintain a monopoly our gametheoretic equilibrium analysis suggests that if a firm is threatened by several potential entrants then predation may be rational against early entrants even if it is costly when viewed in isolation because it yields a reputation which deters other entrants asymmetric information plays a crucial role in our analysis since it provides the rationale for entrants to base their expectations of the firm s future behavior on its past actions the analysis also suggests methods to treat general reputational phenomena

assessing poverty deforestation links evidence from swat pakistan abstract this paper contributes to the debate on the links between poverty and forestry degradation the view that due to poverty and the meeting of subsistence needs the poor use natural resources more intensively and hence cause them to degrade using the case of the forest rich swat district pakistan the paper addresses the issue empirically historically and institutionally we do not find empirical support for the poverty environment nexus in that the poor and other income groups are equally resource dependent and also show that resource degradation is not associated with poverty our historical and institutional analyses provide alternative explanations for resource degradation selective and rotating ownership patterns starting with the 17th century provided limited incentive for resource conservation it also created tension between de jure and de facto owners that has persisted and is one source of forest degradation ill defined resource rights have also exacerbated the impacts of several other factors contributing to forest degradation which is compounded by poor management corruption and perverse incentives

household bargaining over fertility theory and evidence from malaysia we develop and test a model of household bargaining over fertility when transfers between spouses are possible the model makes precise how the fertility preferences of each spouse translate into fertility outcomes we show this depends on whether or not spouses can commit to their future actions within marriage if couples bargain with commitment fertility outcomes take account of both spouses fertility preferences and do not depend on the threat point in marital bargaining if couples bargain without commitment the influence of each spouse s fertility preference on fertility outcomes depends on the relevant threat point in marital bargaining and the distribution of bargaining power we test the models using household data from the malaysia family life survey this data set contains information on each spouse s desired fertility level as well as fertility outcomes we exploit differences in threat points in marital bargaining across ethnic groups to help identify the underlying bargaining model the evidence suggests couples bargain without commitment

understanding how income influences willingness to pay for joint programs a more equitable value measure for the less wealthy the preponderance of evidence from many studies is that less wealthy households are subjected to greater exposure per capita and in aggregate to air pollution water pollution and toxic wastes it also is the case that the less wealthy are provided with a disproportionately low amount of other programs to enhance amenities provided by the natural environment such as recreational resources and high quality esthetic opportunities both quality and quantity however to date no study has quantified the scale of this effect on the less wealthy as compared to their more wealthy counterparts when it comes to policy choices made on the basis of benefits analysis this study provides a new equity adjustment method to measure quantitatively the effect of this inequity in the case of public goods

debt poverty and resource management in a rural smallholder economy this paper develops a model to capture the key features of poverty credit constraints and resource management faced by poor rural households we assume that due to the existence of asymmetric information and moral hazard the household faces an increasing cost of credit as its debt equity ratio rises a household exploiting a natural resource may fall into a poverty trap but only if it is unable to afford the increasing borrowing costs implied by increasing debt to allow it to avoid such a trap or if it discounts future utility so much that a balanced growth path cannot be financed at any level of long run borrowing in contrast along an optimal balanced growth path the household s asset wealth purchased inputs resource stock and consumption increase at the same constant rate however over the long run there may be carrying capacity limits that prevent the resource from improving further the household may then direct its savings to accumulating financial assets and eventually under certain conditions may become a net creditor with resource exploitation becoming a less and less important source of its income

striking for a bargain between two completely informed agents this paper models the wage contract negotiation procedure between a union and a firm as a sequential bargaining process in which the union must decide in each period whether or not to strike for the duration of that period we show that there exist subgame perfect equilibria in which the union engages in several periods of strikes prior to reaching a final agreement although both parties are completely rational and fully informed this has implications for other inefficient phenomena such as tariff wars debt negotiations and wars in general we characterize the set of equilibria show that strikes can occur in real time and discuss extensions of the model such as lockouts and the possibility of multiple recontracting opportunities copyright 1991 by american economic association

bargaining with surplus destruction in a two player alternating offer bargaining model if one player can destroy the surplus to be allocated then the value to bargain for is endogenous except at the beginning even with complete information the model has perfect equilibria with delayed agreement and or surplus destruction the model therefore explains inefficiency and destruction that may appear irrational we characterize the set of equilibrium payoffs and its limiting be haviour as the time between offers vanishes real time delay remains possible even in the limit we also consider the case of surplus destruction that is exogenously limited by the

market power and price discrimination in the u s market for higher education the main purpose of this paper is to estimate an equilibrium model of private and public school competition that can generate realistic pricing patterns for private universities in the u s we show that the parameters of the model are identified and can be estimated using a semi parametric estimator given data from the npsas we find substantial price discrimination within colleges we estimate that a 10 000 increase in family income increases tuition at private schools by on average 210 to 510 a one standard deviation increase in ability decreases tuition by approximately 920 to 1 960 depending on the selectivity of the college discounts for minority students range between 110 and 5 750

effects of social capital and power on surviving transformational change the case of initial public offerings we examined how social capital and the power of venture capitalists and founderceos affect ipo firm survival using data from 218 u s initial public offerings conducted in 1992 we found that average management team tenure and an ipo deal s network embeddedness decreased the likelihood of failure during a firm s first five years as a public entity founder ceo presence at the time of an ipo interacted with ceo ownership to decrease the likelihood of failure and ceo ownership and venture capitalist ownership concentration also decreased that likelihood evolutionary perspectives on organizations are often accompanied by the presumption that organizations face an increased risk of failure early in their lives owing to liabilities of newness aldrich 1999 stinchcombe 1965 as organizational goals and patterns of activity become routinized over time increased reliability in performance and accountability for actions taken enhance a firm s survival chances hannan freeman 1984 this process however also generates strong inertial pressures that not only discourage organizational change but also because of the potential for disruption to existing internal and external routines make change hazardous research findings suggest that even in older better established firms significant transformational events during their life cycles can effectively reset the clock and reintroduce risks associated with the liability of newness as firms struggle to adapt strategies internal operational and administrative processes and or external ties and relationships amburgey kelly barnett 1993 thus transformational change in organizational operations decreases efficiency and increases failure rates at least in the short term as resources and attention are diverted from normal routinized operating functions to processes involving adaptation and reorientation haveman 1992

morals or economics institutional investor preferences for corporate social responsibility this article presents the results of a study that analysed whether social responsibility had any bearing on the decision making of institutional investors being that institutional investors prefer socially aligned organizations this study explored to what extent the corporate actions and or social environmental investments influenced their decisions our results suggest that there are specific variables that affect the perceived value of the organization leading to decisions to not only invest but whether to hold or sell the shares and therefore having a consequential impact on the capital market s valuation

dowry and wife s welfare a theotrical and empirical analysis becker attributes the existence of marital transfers to inflexibility in the division of joint product within the marriage if that were the only reason we would not have observed the coexistence of dowries and bride prices this paper offers an alternative analysis while becker s interpretation is retained for bride prices a dowry is now represented as a premortem bequest by altruistic parents for a daughter it not only increases the wealth of the new conjugal household but also enhances the bargaining power of the bride in the allocation of the output within the household thereby safeguarding here welfare using micro data from taiwan we found that a dowry improves the bride s welfare whereas a bride price has no effect these empirical results support the theoretical predictions of the model

conflict of interest and the credibility of underwriter analyst recommendations brokerage analysts frequently comment on and sometimes recommend companies that their firms have recently taken public we show that stocks that underwriter analysts recommend perform more poorly than buy recommendations by unaffiliated brokers prior to at the time of and subsequent to the recommendation date we conclude that the recommendations by underwriter analysts show significant evidence of bias we show also that the market does not recognize the full extent of this bias the results suggest a potential conflict of interest inherent in the different functions that investment bankers perform

financialization of the global economy the instability of the world financial system starkly revealed in the recent debacle is not the only problem it poses its secularly increasing dominance over the real economy is in itself a phenomenon that needs examining the article traces the source of this increasing dominance not just to the increasingly leveraged and increasingly incomprehensible forms of intermediation between savers and those in the real economy who need credit and insurance but also to the increasingly universal doctrine that maximizing shareholder value is the sole raison d etre of the firm and the promotion by governments of an equity culture some of the social consequences of financialization are exacerbating inequalities greater insecurity misdirection of talent and the erosion of trust copyright 2008 oxford university press

the stock market and innovative capability in the new economy the optical networking industry the purpose of this paper is to analyze the impact of the stock market on the innovative capabilities of high technology companies that have been central to what in the last half of the 1990s came to be called the new economy the empirical focus is on equipment suppliers in optical networking an industry that integrates the bandwidth potential of fiber optics with the data communications potential of the internet the study covers the period from 1996 to 2003 during which the optical networking industry was first central to the new economy boom and then from 2001 ensnared by the bursting of the new economy bubble this paper shows how responding to the new economy business model brought into the industry by cisco systems three old economy companies nortel networks lucent technologies and alcatel sought to use their corporate stock as a currency to acquire technology companies and compensate talented people and thus accumulate innovative capability to understand the relation between the stock market and innovative capability in the cisco growth through acquisition and integration model and in the creative responses of the old economy companies to the cisco challenge we apply an analytical framework that links four functions of the stock market control combination compensation and cash with three social conditions of innovative enterprise strategic control the abilities and incentives of strategic decision makers to allocate resources to uncertain investments in innovative capabilities organizational integration the structure of incentives that motivates employees to apply their skills and efforts to collective learning processes and financial commitment the availability to the enterprise of resources to sustain cumulative learning processes until by accessing markets they can generate financial returns using this framework we show that the ways in which the old economy companies used their stock to accumulate innovative capability in the new economy boom of 1998 2000 made them more vulnerable to the stock market collapse and the slowdown in the optical networking industry in 2001 2003

herding among security analysts the paper shows that the buy or sell recommendations of security analysts have a signi cant positive in uence on the recommendations of the next two analysts this in uence can be traced to short lived information in the most recent revisions in contrast the in uence of the prevailing consensus is not stronger if the consensus accurately forecasts subsequent stock price movements this indicates consensus herding consistent with models in which analysts herd based on little information the consensus also has a stronger in uence when market conditions are favorable the resulting poorer information aggregation could cause bull markets to be intrinsically more fragilea e g bikhchandani et al j political economy 100 5 1992 992 1026 2000 elsevier science s a all rights reserved jel classixcation g11 g14 g24

change in domestic network centrality uncertainty and the foreign divestment decisions of firms abstract we investigate the role of domestic interfirm networks for the foreign divestment decisions of firms we argue that firms foreign operations risk being divested when a firm becomes more central in its domestic network positive changes in firm centrality at home facilitate access to information about new business opportunities but they may also lead firms to consider reconfiguring their value chain activities and resources across locations the resulting opportunity costs of maintaining foreign operations could subsequently lead to their divestment moreover we argue that the positive association between an increase in firm centrality in the domestic network and foreign divestment is stronger under higher uncertainty as pursuing new business opportunities at home becomes more appealing we distinguish between firm specific uncertainty and domestic market uncertainty we test and get support for our hypotheses using foreign subsidiary data from u s firms in the ict industry

the economics of polygyny in sub saharan africa female productivity and the demand for wives in cote d ivoire polygyny is still practiced throughout much of sub saharan africa with important social consequences this paper makes the first attempt to link african polygyny directly to the productivity of women in agriculture using micro data i develop a structural model of the demand for wives that disentangles wealth and substitution effects using a large household survey from cote d ivoire i find that marked geographic diversity in cropping patterns leads to regional variation in female labor productivity i also find that conditional on wealth men do have more wives when women are more productive that is cheaper this substitution effect may explain why polygyny declined in rural areas of cote d ivoire during agricultural development

separate spheres bargaining and the marriage market this paper introduces the separate spheres bargaining model a new model of distribution within marriage it differs from divorce threat bargaining models e g manser brown mcelroy horney in that the threat point is not divorce but a noncooperative equilibrium within marriage this noncooperative equilibrium reflects traditional gender roles the predictions of our model thus differ from those of divorce threat bargaining models in the separate spheres model cash transfer payments to the mother and payments to the father can but need not imply different equilibrium distributions in existing marriages in the long run the distributional effects of transfer policies may be substantially altered by changes in the marriage market equilibrium

security analysts career concerns and herding of earnings forecasts several theories of reputation and herding see e g scharfstein and stein 1990 suggest that herding among agents should vary with career concerns our goal in this paper is to document whether such a link exists in the labor market for security analysts specifically we look at the relationship between an analyst s job tenure a proxy for career concerns and various measures of stock earnings forecast performance we establish the following key results 1 older analysts are more likely to produce earnings forecasts of firms before younger ones 2 their forecasts also deviate more from the consensus forecast than their younger counterparts we argue that these results are consistent with some reputational models of herding we also establish a number of auxiliary findings regarding the relationship between forecast accuracy and frequency of forecast revisions with job tenure

securities analysts and incumbent response to radical technological change evidence from digital photography and internet telephony a large body of research has explored the factors that impede established firms responses to radical technological changes while it is widely acknowledged that managers face pressures from financial markets to choose strategies that maximize shareholder value little work in the technological change literature has considered the possible influences of public equity markets and the securities analysts who mediate them on incumbent firms challenged with technological change in this paper i begin to address the topic by empirically exploring how securities analysts react to the different strategies undertaken by incumbent firms faced with radical technological change i study the question in two settings the shift to digital technology in photography and the advent of voice over internet protocol voip technology in wireline telecommunications i find evidence that analysts are more attentive and positive toward incumbents strategies that extend and preserve the existing technology than toward strategies that respond directly to the new technology in these settings analysts largely ignore incumbents strategies that directly incorporate the new technology for several years following the discontinuity this study provides insights into the nature and direction of analysts reactions to firms strategies in the context of technological change and is a first step toward better understanding of the potential role of analysts and financial markets in incumbent adaptation

estimating intergenerational distribution preferences resource management decisions influence not only the output of the economy but also the distribution of utility between groups within the community the theory of cost benefit analysis provides a means of incorporating distributional changes into the decision making calculus through the application of distributional or welfare weights however this practice has not been widely adopted in part due to difficulties in the estimation of distributional weights this paper addresses this problem by using the stated preference method of choice modelling to estimate distributional weights suitable for inclusion in a cost benefit analysis framework the findings of a choice modelling experiment designed to estimate community preferences with respect to intergenerational utility distribution illustrate the potential of this method in addressing distributional issues

firm characteristics and analyst following abstract this paper examines the major determinants of the number of analysts following a firm a simple model of analyst following is proposed and several firm characteristics are suggested that are likely to influence the extent of a firm s analyst following by either affecting the aggregate demand for or supply of analyst services or both for the firm almost all of these characteristics are found to be strongly significant in affecting the extent of analyst following of firms and the empirical results generally accord well with economic intuition

should we write prenuptial contracts abstract a successful marriage requires for both parties to make investments in their relationship and marital assets how such assets would be divided if and when the parties divorce is an important factor determining each party s ex ante investment incentives using the incomplete contracting approach we characterize the optimal asset division rule one that provides the parties with the best investment incentives we then discuss the circumstances under which the spouses would agree in equilibrium to contract out state imposed rules governing the allocation of marital assets upon divorce we conclude by exploring the implications of our results in the context of various asset division rules currently discussed by policy makers

the economics of consanguineous marriages the institution of consanguineous marriage a marriage contracted between close biological relatives has been a basic building block of many societies in different parts of the world this paper argues that the practice of consanguinity is closely related to the practice of dowry and that both arise in response to an agency problem between the families of a bride and a groom when marriage contracts are incomplete dowries transfer control rights to the party with the highest incentives to invest in a marriage when these transactions are costly however consanguinity can be a more appropriate response since it directly reduces the agency cost the paper s model predicts that dowry transfers are less likely to be observed in consanguineous unions it also emphasizes the effect of credit constraints on the relative prevalence of dowry payment and consanguinity an empirical analysis using data from bangladesh delivers robust results consistent with the predictions of the model

testing a causal model of corporate risk taking and performance the determinants of organizational risk taking and its impact on economic performance are critical issues in strategic management using a model that included risk performance performance expecta

an institution based view of executive compensation a multilevel meta analytic test we offer a multilevel meta analytic study of the firm performance executive compensation relationship comprising prior tests derived from 332 primary studies nested in 29 countries although our work modestly supports the optimal contracting theory based expectation that compensation is positively associated with performance it also reveals considerable cross country variability in this relationship we trace this variance to differences in the level of development of the formal and informal institutions protecting investors against managerial overcompensation and underperformance in terms of intentionally devised and enforced formal institutions we find significant positive moderating effects on the focal relationship of the rule of law and strength of investor protection variables for self enforcing informal institutions we find similar effects for concentrated ownership and compensation related entries in codes of good corporate governance we also find that formal and informal institutions function in a complementary manner in shaping the performance sensitivity of executive compensation the focal relationship becomes stronger when concentrated owners have access to well functioning courts and when informal norms of good governance are supported by shareholder protection laws our study thus suggests that optimal contracting theory must be supplemented with an institution based view to account for the conditioning effects of institutions on national contracting environments