output dynamics in real business cycles models the time series literature reports two stylized facts about output dynamics in the united states gnp growth is positively autocorrelated and gnp appears to have an important trend reverting component this paper investigates whether current real business cycle rbc models are consistent with these stylized facts many rbc models have weak internal propagation mechanisms and must rely on external sources of dynamics to replicate both facts models that incorporate labor adjustment costs are partially successful they endogenously generate positive autocorrelation in output growth but they need implausibly large transitory shocks to match the trend reverting component in output

changing income inequalities within and between nations new evidence fresh data sources on cross national income are examined to document recent changes in the composition of world income inequality within and between nations new evidence shows that during the 1980s and 1990s the composition of world income inequality experienced a fundamental change characterized by the diminishing significance of between nation income differences and the growing prominence of within nation inequalities two competing trends account for this change 1 steady growth in the average level of income inequality within nations and 2 a decline in income inequality between nations these recent trends signify a reversal in one of the major legacies of the industrial revolution the internationalization of world income inequality across national borders the findings raise important questions for future studies of cross national inequality and development

is there a penalty for registered women is there a premium for registered men evidence from a sample of transsexual workers abstract in this paper we study the earnings of transsexual workers using a large administrative sample drawn from the dutch labor force in particular we make two comparisons first we compare transsexual workers to other women and men and find that they earn more than women and less than men second we compare transsexual workers before and after their administrative gender transition and find that male to female transsexual workers earn less as registered women and female to male transsexual workers earn as much if not marginally more as registered men these patterns hold for annual and hourly earnings and do not change when we account for individual fixed effects together our results are consistent with a labor market model in which transsexual workers are discriminated against as a registered female as well as a lgbt worker

an equilibrium model of the business cycle with household production and fiscal policy the authors estimate a dynamic general equilibrium model of the u s economy that includes an explicit household production sector and stochastic fiscal variables they use their estimates to investigate two issues first the authors analyze how well the model accounts for aggregate fluctuations they find that household production has a significant impact and reject a nested specification in which changes in the home production technology do not matter for market variables second the authors study the effects of some simple fiscal policy experiments and show that the model generates different predictions for the effects of tax changes than similar models without home production copyright 1997 by economics department of the university of pennsylvania and the osaka university institute of social and economic research association

time to build and aggregate fluctuations some new evidence this paper presents maximum likelihood estimates and tests of a model similar to one kydland and prescott 1982 suggested for this purpose it derives equilibrium laws of motion for a set of aggregate variables as functions of the model s parameters and the innovation to the technology shock the paper shows that a single unobservable index can explain the variability in the observed series but identifying the single index with the innovation to the technology shock implies that per capita hours is not well explained it also shows that time separable preferences with respect to leisure are consistent with the data copyright 1989 by economics department of the university of pennsylvania and the osaka university institute of social and economic research association

a method for taking models to the data abstract this paper develops a method for combining the power of a dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model with the flexibility of a vector autoregressive time series model to obtain a hybrid that can be taken directly to the data it estimates this hybrid model via maximum likelihood and uses the results to address a number of issues concerning the ability of a prototypical real business cycle model to explain movements in aggregate output and employment in the postwar us economy the stability of the real business cycle model s structural parameters and the performance of the hybrid model s out of sample forecasts

a method for estimating the timing interval in a linear econometric model with an application to taylor s model of staggered contracts abstract this paper describes and implements a procedure for estimating the timing interval in any linear econometric model the procedure is applied to taylor s model of staggered contracts using annual averaged price and output data the fit of the version of taylor s model with serially uncorrelated disturbances improves as the timing interval of the model is reduced

economic inequality and intolerance attitudes toward homosexuality in 35 democracies using hierarchical linear models fitted to data from the world values survey and national statistics for 35 countries this article builds on the postmaterialist thesis by assessing the impact of economic inequality across and within nations on attitudes toward homosexuality it provides evidence that tolerance tends to decline as national income inequality rises for professionals and managers the results also support the postmaterialist argument that economic development leads to more tolerant attitudes on the other hand attitudes of the working class are generally less tolerant and contrary to expectations of the postmaterialist thesis are seemingly unaffected by economic development in other words economic development influences attitudes only for those who benefit most these findings have political implications suggesting that state policies that have the goal of economic growth but fail to consider economic inequality may contribute to intolerant social and political values an attribute widely considered detrimental for the health of democracy i nglehart s 1987 1990 1997 postmaterialist thesis suggests that liberal values result from democracy economic development and modernization important to this argument is the idea that the prosperity of modern societies allows people to shift their attentionfrommaterialconcernstoso called postmaterialist concerns such as social issues and self expression this shift to postmaterialist values allegedly results in greater social tolerance moreover by focusing on average value differences across country and time the postmaterialist thesis implies that economic prosperity affects the attitudes of citizens in all economic positions within a given nationinmuchthesameway althoughinequalitywithin nationsisnotentirelydiscounted thetheoryassumesthat once economic development reaches a particularly high level inequality lessens to the point that it no longer influences values inglehart 1987 the present research takes issue with the assumption that national economic prosperity affects all members within a nation in a similar manner given the vast differences in economic conditions and life chances according to income group social class and occupation even within rich democracies it is not controversial to argue

time to build and aggregate fluctuations abstract this paper studies the contribution of time to build to the explanation of business cycle phenomena using a simple version of the neoclassical model the analysis shows that it is not evident that multiperiod construction is crucial to the theory of fluctuations

regional social capital why it matters malecki e j regional social capital why it matters regional studies social capital refers to a culture of interaction among people with productive economic outcomes social capital promotes regional learning both within a region and beyond as it reinforces openness to the ideas of others regional cultures vary in the degree to which people individually and within their organizations trust and interact with one another which is why regional outcomes vary innovation learning and entrepreneurship key processes of regional development take place largely within and among people as members of companies and territorial organizations innovative milieus industrial districts and knowledge economies are among the regions with extraordinary pools of social capital malecki e j

local social capital and entrepreneurship we aim to contribute to the analysis of the role that spacebound social capital plays in local regional entrepreneurship we compare social capital with other forms of capital the conclusion is that in the main social capital can be analyzed in the same way as other capital but it has some important special attributes with these attributes as starting point we sketch an outline model of how the spatially defined producer surplus and consumer surplus form a place surplus and of the role played by social capital in the creation of the producer surplus a rereading of schumpeter shows that he was aware of several aspects of what we denominate entrepreneurship inhibiting and facilitating aspects of social capital finally we discuss some formal economic modeling approaches to the theoretical relationship between social capital and entrepreneurship

a new data set measuring income inequality this article presents a new data set on inequality in the distribution of income the authors explain the criteria they applied in selecting data on gini coefficients and on individual quintile groups income shares comparison of the new data set with existing compilations reveals that the data assembled here represent an improvement in quality and a significant expansion in coverage although differences in the definition of the underlying data might still affect inter temporal and international comparability based on this new data set the authors do not find a systematic link between growth and changes in aggregate inequality they do find a strong positive relationship between growth and reduction of poverty

constructing and estimating a realistic optimizing model of monetary policy abstract a dynamic stochastic general equilibrium dsge model with real and nominal both price and wage rigidities succeeds in capturing some key nominal features of u s business cycles additive technology shocks as well as multiplicative shocks are introduced and shown to be crucial monetary policy is specified as an interest rate targeting rule following developments in the structural vector autoregression var literature the interaction between real and nominal rigidities is essential to reproduce the liquidity effect of monetary policy the model is estimated by maximum likelihood on u s data and its fit is comparable to that of an unrestricted first order var besides producing reasonable impulse responses and second moments this model replicates a feature of u s business cycles never captured by previous research with dsge models that an increase in interest rates predicts a decrease in output two to six quarters in the future

personal liberties religiosity and effort abstract in this paper we study the role of religiosity in influencing the choice of labor effort many religions promote restrictions on personal liberties such as divorce abortion gender parity or gay marriage often regulated by law we assume that the higher the degree of religiosity of an individual the less he enjoys such personal liberties and the less he likes to be in a society which allows them while seculars enjoy such liberties by standard consumer theory the differential valuation induced by religiosity influences individual decisions on other dimensions as well notably labour supply we show empirically that this nexus holds and that the size of the effect is large specifically we construct an index of personal liberties and find solid evidence in support of the joint effect of religiosity and liberties on labor effort our empirical results indicate that religiosity interacted with the legal level of liberties has a significant and strong negative effect on labor supply and that increases in the cap on liberties have a negative effect on the labor supply of the religious individuals and positive for the secular

the macroeconomic effects of distortionary taxation abstract prescott 1986 estimates that technology shocks account for 75 of the fluctuations in the postwar u s economy this paper reestimates the contribution of technological change for a standard business cycle model that includes a public sector and fiscal disturbances i find that a significant fraction of the variance of aggregate consumption investment output capital stock and hours of work can be explained by disturbances in labor and capital tax rates and government consumption i also use the model to quantify the welfare costs of capital and labor taxation for both the time series and welfare calculations maximum likelihood estimates of taste technology and policy parameters are used

overtime effort and the propagation of business cycle shocks abstract this paper presents and estimates a variant of hansen and sargent s 1988 real business cycle model with straight time and overtime the model presented has only one latent variable the state of technology yet it does a better job propagating and magnifying shocks than the labor hoarding models which incorporate unobserved effort this model as well as a version of burnside eichenbaum and rebelo s 1993 labor hoarding model is estimated using maximum likelihood the maximum likelihood parameter estimates are compared to those using gmm

measuring enterprises investments in social capital a pilot study westlund h and nilsson e 2005 measuring enterprises investments in social capital a pilot study regional studies 39 1079 1094 research into the impact of social capital on economic growth has focused mainly on the social capital related to the civic society social capital related to business enterprises has received little attention this pilot study aims to develop a method of measuring investment by enterprises in social capital and to study possible connections between the enterprises investments in social capital and their economic growth based on a network approach the paper makes a distinction between the networks links and the norms values etc that are created and sustained by the nodes i e the enterprises and other actors and distributed via the links the study has been limited to measurement of the links three types of link are analysed 1 direct investment in social links 2 investment in economic links forming the basis of social links and 3 investment in social li

social capital economic growth and regional development iyer s kitson m and toh b 2005 social capital economic growth and regional development regional studies 39 1015 1040 this paper examines the relationships between social capital economic performance and regional development and it stresses the complexity and variability across space of such relationships in contrast to the conventional macroeconomic approach of using indicators of social capital in formal growth models what is required is a more nuanced analysis that evaluates the impact of social capital by region to support this argument the paper examines social capital data from the social capital community benchmark survey 2000 which provides social capital data for more than 24 000 individuals living in 40 communities grouped into nine regions in the usa these data show remarkable diversity of social capital by region multivariate analysis is used to examine the impact of economic and social determinants of social capital and shows that education is important for nearly all ind

estimating and testing rational expectations models when the trend specification is uncertain abstract this paper explores various strategies for estimating and testing rational expectations models when the trend specification is uncertain one approach seeks to make estimators and tests robust to trend misspecification by reducing the influence of low frequency dynamics however contrary to intuition the effects of trend specification errors are not confined to low frequencies but are spread across the entire frequency domain thus operations that damp low frequency components do not remove trend specification errors and are not sufficient for constructing robust estimators and tests another approach seeks representations of approximating models that do not condition on a specification of the trend and it uses gmm to estimate parameters and test over identifying restrictions because these methods do not condition on assumptions about trends they are robust to errors in that part of the approximating model

technology shocks and the business cycle on empirical investigation abstract this paper uses maximum likelihood to estimate a prototypical real business cycle model under several different assumptions regarding the stochastic process governing technological change the estimation approach permits the use of formal statistical hypothesis tests to help discriminate between competing specifications the approach also allows each specification to be evaluated based on its ability to generate accurate out of sample forecasts overall the results indicate that the data prefer a version of the model in which technology shocks are extremely persistent but still trend stationary

maximum likelihood in the frequency domain the importance of time to plan abstract we illustrate the use of various frequency domain tools for estimating and testing dynamic stochastic general equilibrium models we show how to exploit the well known fact that the log gaussian density function has a linear decomposition in the frequency domain we also propose a new resolution to the problem that the phase angle between two variables is not uniquely determined these methods are applied to the analysis of business cycles our substantive findings confirm existing results in the literature which suggest that time to plan in the investment technology has a potentially useful role to play in business cycle analysis

real business cycles in this paper we demonstrate how certain very ordinary economic principles lead maximizing individuals to choose consumption production plans that display many of the characteristics commonly associated with business cycles our explanation is entirely consistent with i rational expectations ii complete current information iii stable preferences iv no technological change v no long lived commodities vi no frictions or adjustment costs vii no government viii no money and ix no serial dependence in the stochastic elements of the environment we also provide a completely worked out example of the type of artificial economy we have in mind the time series properties of the example exhibit some major features of observed business cycles although this type of model may not be capable of explaining all of the regularities in actual business cycles we believe that it provides a useful well defined benchmark for assessing the relative importance of factors e g monetary disturbances

is tolerance good or bad for growth we investigate how tolerance as measured by attitudes toward different types of neighbors affects economic growth in a sample of 54 countries unlike previous studies by richard florida and others we find that tolerance toward homosexuals is negatively related to growth for tolerance toward people of a different race we do not find robust results but the sign of the estimated coefficients is positive suggesting that inclusion of people irrespective of race makes good use of productive capacity we propose mechanisms to explain these divergent findings which clarify why different kinds of tolerance may be of different economic importance