energy consumption and economic growth relationship evidence from panel data for low and middle income countries abstract this paper uses the panel data of energy consumption ec and economic growth gdp for 51 countries from 1971 to 2005 these countries are divided into three groups low income group lower middle income group and upper middle income group countries firstly a relationship between energy consumption and economic growth is investigated by employing pedroni 1999 panel cointegration method secondly panel causality test is applied to investigate the way of causality between the energy consumption and economic growth finally we test whether there is a strong or weak relationship between these variables by using pedroni 2001 method the empirical results of this study are as follows i energy consumption and gdp are cointegrated for all three income group countries ii the panel causality test results reveal that there is long run granger causality running from gdp to ec for low income countries and there is bidirectional causality between ec and gdp for middle income countries iii the estimated cointegration factor is not close to 1 in other words no strong relation is found between energy consumption and economic growth for all income groups considered in this study the findings of this study have important policy implications and it shows that this issue still deserves further attention in future research

does foreign direct investment impede environmental quality in high middle and low income countries abstract under a multivariate framework this paper aims to investigate the nonlinear correlation between foreign direct investment and environmental degradation for high middle and low income countries with economic growth and energy consumption as additional determinants of environmental degradation all variables were found to be nonstationary and cointegrated based on recent panel data unit root tests and cointegration techniques on applying fully modified ordinary least squares fmols the long run results suggest the presence of an environmental kuznets curve in turn foreign direct investment increases environmental degradation thus confirming the pollution haven hypothesis phh moreover the bidirectional causality between co2 emissions and foreign direct investment is observed globally the findings are sensitive to different income groups and regional analyses in particular these empirical findings aid sound economic policymaking for improving environmental quality and sustainable economic development

investment horizon risk and compensation in the banking industry this paper examines the relation between the investment horizon of banks and their ceo compensation and its consequences for risk and performance we find that banks with short term investment intensity pay more cash bonus exhibit higher risk and perform more poorly than banks with longer term investment intensity this evidence is broadly consistent with the view that short term means of compensation encouraged a short term investment focus which in turn led to both higher risk and resulted in poorer performance culminating in the sub prime crisis the inverse risk performance relation suggests pay schemes were incongruent with shareholders interest moreover pay arrangements used in banks prior to the subprime crisis exposed banks to the ex post settling up problem the clawback problem

asymmetric benchmarking in compensation executives are rewarded for good luck but not penalized for bad abstract principal agent theory suggests that a manager should be paid relative to a benchmark that removes the effect of market or sector performance on the firm s own performance recently it has been argued that such indexation is not observed in the data because executives can set pay in their own interests that is they can enjoy pay for luck as well as pay for performance we first show that this argument is incomplete the positive expected return on stock markets reflects compensation for bearing systematic risk if executives pay is tied to market movements they can only expect to receive the market determined return for risk bearing this argument however assumes that executive pay is tied to bad luck as well as to good luck if executives can truly influence the setting of their pay they will seek to have their performance benchmarked only when it is in their interest namely when the benchmark has fallen using industry benchmarks we find significantly less pay for luck when luck is down in which case pay for luck would reduce compensation than when it is up these empirical results are robust to a variety of alternative hypotheses and robustness checks and they suggest that the average executive loses 25 45 less pay from bad luck than is gained from good luck

exploring the relationship among co2 emissions real gdp energy consumption and tourism in the eu and candidate countries evidence from panel models robust to heterogeneity and cross sectional dependence a major criticism to the existing energy growth environment literature we notice is the selection of methodology panel estimation techniques that fail to consider both heterogeneity and cross sectional dependence across countries may cause forecasting errors the other concern related to the literature is that only a small number of studies analyze the influence of tourism on co2 emissions even though tourism sector has potential for affecting the environment to fulfill the mentioned gaps in the literature this study analyzes the relationship among carbon emissions real income energy consumption and tourism for a panel of the eu and candidate countries over the period 1995 2011 by using heterogeneous panel estimation techniques with cross sectional dependence results from the cadf and the cips panel unit root tests show that the analyzed variables become stationary at their first differences the lm bootstrap panel cointegration test indicates the presence of a long run relationship among the analyzed variables results from the ols with fixed effects the fmols the dols and the group mean estimator reveal that energy consumption contributes to the level of emissions while real income and tourism mitigate co2 emissions the emirmahmutoglu kose panel granger causality test suggests that there is one way causality running from tourism to carbon emissions and two way causality between co2 emissions and energy consumption and between real income and co2 emissions policy implications are further discussed

environmental degradation and real per capita output new evidence at the global level grouping countries by income levels abstract the objective of this research is to examine the relationship between real per capita output and carbon dioxide emissions both globally and by groups of countries we used panel data from 151 countries for the period 1980 2016 the countries are classified according to income levels using the world bank atlas method the argument behind this classification is that the strength of the relationship between the two variables differs according to the income levels of countries based on the theoretical framework of the kuznets environmental curve we found that there is a strong u shaped relationship between the two variables in middle high and low income countries the hypothesis of the kuznets environmental curve holds true in high income and middle high income countries the inclusion of additional covariants shows that urbanization has a positive and significant relationship with carbon dioxide emissions middle high and middle low income countries energy consumption and manufacturing have a positive and statistically significant relationship with carbon dioxide emissions in all the groups of countries a possible implication of economic policy derived from our research is that incentives to production should focus on activities that use environmentally friendly technologies to limit the irreversible damage caused by contamination

the renewable energy growth and environmental kuznets curve in turkey an ardl approach abstract this study examines the potential of renewable energy sources in reducing the impact of ghg emissions in turkey using autoregressive distributed lag ardl approach the relationship between co 2 emissions electricity generated using renewables and gdp in turkey has been investigated during 1961 2010 moreover the validity of environmental kuznets curve ekc hypothesis has been tested model results show that the coefficient of electricity production from renewable sources hydro power excluded with respect to co 2 emissions is negative and significant in the long run although this effect is positive and statistically significant in the short run since the ecm term is 0 82 it becomes negative around 1 year this means that renewable electricity production will contribute to environmental enhancement with a one year lag our results also suggest a u shaped ekc relationship between per capita ghgs and income estimations from a long run regression show that although the peak point of gdp per capita has been calculated to be 9920 us dollars this turning point was outside of the observed sample period therefore ghg emissions start to decrease with an increase in per capita gdp in the following years model research implies the potential and the importance of renewable energy sources in controlling of emissions in turkey

environmental kuznets curve in romania and the role of energy consumption abstract the aim of present study is to probe the dynamic relationship between economic growth energy consumption and co 2 emissions for period of 1980 2010 in case of romania in doing so ardl bounds testing approach is applied to investigate the long run cointegration between these variables our results confirm long run relationship between economic growth energy consumption and energy pollutants the empirical evidence reveals that environmental kuznets curve ekc is found both in long and short runs in romania further energy consumption is major contributor to energy pollutants democratic regime shows her significant contribution to decline co 2 emissions through effective implementation of economic policies and financial development improves environment i e reduces co 2 emissions by redirecting the resources to environment friendly projects

empirical evidence on the relation between stock option compensation and risk taking abstract we examine whether executive stock options esos provide managers with incentives to invest in risky projects for a sample of oil and gas producers we examine whether the coefficient of variation of future cash flows from exploration activity our proxy for exploration risk increases with the sensitivity of the value of the ceo s options to stock return volatility eso risk incentives both eso risk incentives and exploration risk are treated as endogenous variables by adopting a simultaneous equations approach we find evidence that eso risk incentives has a positive relation with future exploration risk taking additional tests indicate that eso risk incentives exhibits a negative relation with oil price hedging in a system of equations where eso risk incentives and hedging are allowed to be endogenously determined overall our results are consistent with esos providing managers with incentives to mitigate risk related incentive problems

co2 emissions non renewable and renewable electricity production economic growth and international trade in italy abstract this paper applies the autoregressive distributed lag ardl bounds testing approach to cointegration to investigate the dynamic causal relationships between co2 emissions per capita real gdp per capita per capita non renewable electricity production and per capita renewable electricity production and international trade in the case of italy from 1960 to 2011 we find cointegration among these variables in the presence of possible structural breaks and we overcome the problem of multicollinearity in the research design the environmental kuznets curve ekc hypothesis is validated analytically because the estimated pollution model indicates that economic growth leads to less pollution over time per capita renewable electricity production reduces the level of co2 emissions per capita in the short run and in the long run whereas international trade only impacts positively upon carbon dioxide emissions per capita in the long run international trade granger causes co2 emissions per capita and non renewable electricity production per capita moreover the results depict the existence of the long run unidirectional granger causality relation running from output per capita to renewable electricity production per capita and from non renewable electricity production per capita to renewable electricity production per capita the findings indicate that renewable electricity production is a key solution in reducing pollutant emissions over time this result should be of concern to policy makers

electricity consumption real gdp causality nexus evidence from a bootstrapped causality test for 30 oecd countries the goal of this paper is to examine any causal effects between electricity consumption and real gdp for 30 oecd countries we use a bootstrapped causality testing approach and unravel evidence in favour of electricity consumption causing real gdp in australia iceland italy the slovak republic the czech republic korea portugal and the uk the implication is that electricity conservation policies will negatively impact real gdp in these countries however for the rest of the 22 countries our findings suggest that electricity conversation policies will not affect real gdp

ceo compensation and bank efficiency an application of conditional nonparametric frontiers the paper investigates in a dynamic context the effect of chief executive officer ceo bonus and salary payments on banks technical efficiency levels our methodological framework incorporates the latest developments on the probabilistic approach of efficiency measurement as introduced by b din et al 2012 we apply time dependent conditional efficiency estimates to analyse a sample of 37 us banks for the period from 2003 to 2012 the empirical evidence reveals a non linear relationship between ceo bonus and salary payments and banks efficiency levels more specifically it is reported that salary and bonus payments affect differently banks technological change and technological catch up levels finally the empirical evidence suggests that higher salary and bonus payments are not always aligned with higher technical efficiency levels

renewable energy consumption in eu 28 countries policy toward pollution mitigation and economic sustainability abstract a major challenge facing humans in the 21st century is how to strike a balance between the mitigation of environmental degradation and the achievement of sustainable economic growth on this note this investigation applies an autoregressive distributed lag ardl methodology to a panel data of 28 european union eu 28 countries over the period 1995 2015 the study confirms the existence of positive and significant long run nexus among environmental sustainability renewable energy consumption and economic growth in the eu 28 countries in addition empirical results indicate that real gross fixed capital formation carbon emissions and other environmental factors are principal determinants of long run growth in the eu using dumitrescu and hurlin 2012 granger non causality in heterogeneous panel results show long run bidirectional causal relationships among renewable energy consumption economic growth and other growth determinants based on these results we infer that the exploitation of renewable energy sources in the eu 28 countries is a reliable pathway toward environmental pollution mitigation consequently achieving sustainable development goals sdgs by the year 2030 through renewable energy consumption and carbon emission mitigation is very much achievable in the eu 28 countries and should also be adopted by all countries as an effective global policy

the relationship between economic growth and electricity consumption from renewable and non renewable sources a study of turkey abstract the main objective of this study is to analyze the short and long run estimates as well as the causality relationships between economic growth gr electricity consumption from renewable sources relc and electricity consumption from non renewable sources nrelc for turkey in a multivariate model wherein capital k and labor l are included as additional variables using the autoregressive distributed lag ardl approach to cointegration the johansen cointegration test and the gregory hansen cointegration test with structural break we show that gr relc nrelc k and l are cointegrated although nrelc has a long run positive effect on gr the long run estimate of relc is negative but insignificant at 5 level of significance the granger causality test based on the vector error correction model reveals the evidence of neutrality hypothesis between relc and gr and between nrelc and gr in turkey in the short run in addition the granger causality runs from relc nrelc k and l to gr as well as from gr relc k and l to nrelc in the long run which supports the existence of growth hypothesis between relc and gr and feedback hypothesis between nrelc and gr in the long run it is advised that policy makers in the turkish government should continue to reduce the share of electricity consumption from renewable sources and encourage the usage of electricity from non renewable sources to have sustainable long run growth rates it is also essential to promote the investment projects to increase the efficiency of electricity generation from non renewable sources

on the causal dynamics between emissions nuclear energy renewable energy and economic growth this paper examines the causal relationship between co2 emissions nuclear energy consumption renewable energy consumption and economic growth for a group of 19 developed and developing countries for the period 1984 2007 using a panel error correction model the long run estimates indicate that there is a statistically significant negative association between nuclear energy consumption and emissions but a statistically significant positive relationship between emissions and renewable energy consumption the results from the panel granger causality tests suggest that in the short run nuclear energy consumption plays an important role in reducing co2 emissions whereas renewable energy consumption does not contribute to reductions in emissions this may be due to the lack of adequate storage technology to overcome intermittent supply problems as a result electricity producers have to rely on emission generating energy sources to meet peak load demand

the federal reserve s new operating procedures a post mortem abstract although money stock targeting has been the strategic focus of federal reserve policy since the mid 1970 s operating policy the tactics whereby the longer run strategy is implemented over short term intervals has been changed by the federal reserve at least twice over this period a particularly dramatic change in operating policy was announced by the federal reserve in october 1979 this paper provides empirical evidence that settles questions about the nature of this change and suggests that the new operating procedures may have contributed to the heightened interest rate volatility experienced over the 1979 to 1982 period

investigating the influence of tourism on economic growth and carbon emissions evidence from panel analysis of the european union the study investigates the influence of tourism on economic growth and co2 emissions in the empirical analysis unit root and cointegration tests using panel data of european union countries from 1988 to 2009 are performed to examine the long run equilibrium relationship among tourism co2 emissions economic growth and foreign direct investment fdi results from panel cointegration techniques and fixed effects models indicate that a long run equilibrium relationship exists among these variables furthermore tourism co2 emissions and fdi have high significant positive effect on economic growth economic growth in turn shows a high significant positive impact on co2 emissions while tourism and fdi incur a high significant negative impact on co2 emissions

private sector involvement in the resolution of financial crises how do markets react abstract to correct the disincentives of liquidity assistance during financial crises the official sector attempts to involve the private sector in the resolution of debt crises this paper empirically tests the reaction of investors to announcements of private sector involvement psi for this purpose we disentangle shifts in risk premia incorporated in excess returns on emerging market bonds into changes in risk and shifts in the price of risk a regime switching arch m model is employed to separate two regimes with respect to the market price of risk while psi has no effect on risk it is shown that the likelihood of switching to a state with a high price of risk rises in response to psi announcements thus the results indicate that burden sharing was credible and hence effective

derivatives regulation implications for central banks abstract we review aspects of derivatives markets that affect central bank operations we focus on how derivatives affect monetary policy and bank supervision and argue that derivatives have no material adverse impact on the conduct of monetary policy our analysis suggests that both derivatives users and dealers face relatively small default risks from derivatives systemic risk the risk of widespread default has been largely exaggerated policy debates have neglected incentives of employees the nature of this agency risk suggests that internal controls are more likely to reduce these problems than derivatives regulation

bail out or work out theoretical considerations this paper assesses various crisis resolution proposals using a theoretical model of liquidity and solvency crisis the model suggests that payments standstills and last resort lending are an equally efficient means of dealing with liquidity crises while coordinated lending through creditor committees is second best debt write downs are preferred to subsidised imf financing when dealing with solvency crises because of the negative moral hazard implications of the latter tool finally the model suggests that international bankruptcy court proposals may be superior to existing contractual approaches in securing such write downs on many measures the incidence of international financial crises increased in the last part of the twentieth century bordo et al 2001 but it is not just the incidence of financial crises that has altered in recent years so too has their nature the recent crises in mexico across south east asia russia brazil turkey and argentina were clearly rooted in the capital rather than current account of the balance of payments we appear to have entered an era of capital account crises imf 2002 theoretical models of financial crisis have developed in lockstep with crisis experience a third generation of models of financial crisis has emerged chang and velasco 1998 krugman 1999 these models combine imperfections in fundamentals as suggested by so called first generation models and fragility in expectations as suggested by second generation models to explain crises under the third generation approach capital account crises can originate in either fundamentals or expectations we have solvency as well as liquidity capital account crises

tourism trade and growth the case of cyprus although the relationship between international trade and economic growth has found a wide application area in the literature over the years this can not be said about tourism and growth or trade and tourism this study employs the bounds test for cointegration and granger causality tests to investigate a long run equilibrium relationship between tourism trade and real income growth and the direction of causality among themselves for cyprus results reveal that tourism trade and real income growth are cointegrated thus a long run equilibrium relationship can be inferred between these three variables on the other hand granger causality test results suggest that real income growth stimulates growth in international trade both exports and imports and international tourist arrivals to the island furthermore growth in international trade both exports and imports also stimulates an increase in international tourist arrivals to cyprus and finally real import growth stimulate growth in real export

on the relationships between co2 emissions energy consumption and income the importance of time variation abstract the environment that governs the relationships between energy consumption carbon dioxide co2 emissions and gross domestic product gdp in the g7 countries changes over time due to variations in economic growth regulatory policy and technology using a novel approach that may detect causalities when the time constant hypothesis is rejected we find significant time varying granger causalities among the variables under consideration there is bidirectional causality between gdp and energy consumption for japan unidirectional causality running from gdp to energy consumption for italy and unidirectional causality running from energy consumption to gdp for the resource country canada moreover the results also show a bidirectional time varying causality between energy consumption and co2 emissions for the united states and causality from energy consumption to co2 emissions for france finally while we find significant time varying causalities running from gdp to co2 emissions for italy and japan the finding of inverted n shaped curves italy and japan lends no support to the traditional environmental kuznets curve ekc hypothesis for these countries it implies that environmental policy and economic growth should go hand in hand other policy implications of the empirical results have been proposed

tourism development and economic growth a closer look at panels abstract this paper applies the new heterogeneous panel cointegration technique to re investigate the long run comovements and causal relationships between tourism development and economic growth for oecd and nonoecd countries including those in asia latin america and sub sahara africa for the 1990 2002 period on the global scale after allowing for the heterogeneous country effect a cointegrated relationship between gdp and tourism development is substantiated it is also determined that tourism development has a greater impact on gdp in nonoecd countries than in oecd countries and when the variable is tourism receipts the greatest impact is in sub sahara african countries additionally the real effective exchange rate has significant effects on economic growth finally in the long run the panel causality test shows unidirectional causality relationships from tourism development to economic growth in oecd countries bidirectional relationships in nonoecd countries but only weak relationships in asia our empirical findings have major policy implications

exploring the effects of international tourism on china s economic growth energy consumption and environmental pollution evidence from a regional panel analysis abstract this study explores the effects of international tourism on china s economic growth energy consumption and environmental pollution as proxied by co 2 emissions in a multivariate framework using regional panel data over the period 1995 2011 our findings suggest that the tourism induced ekc hypothesis does not exist in central china and is merely weakly supported in eastern and western china however results show that tourism has a negative impact on co 2 emissions in the eastern region which contradicts with our perception to some extent panel causality tests show that the directions of causality in both short and long runs are mixed among regions nevertheless our findings reveal that tourism causally affects economic growth and co 2 emissions in the long run thus tourism led growth hypothesis is verified under all three scenarios our findings also suggest that in all three regions there is bidirectional causality between economic growth and co 2 emissions overall these results imply that low carbon tourism in china should be continuously supported which provides significant insights to policy makers at various government levels

the implications of tourism specialisation in the long run an econometric analysis for 13 oecd economies abstract the paper aims to illumine the longrun impact of specialisation in tourism it is shown that specialisation in tourism may not be deleterious for economic welfare once the terms of trade are considered conditions for an improvement in welfare are laid out and their existence tested by econometric methods within an almost ideal demand system formulation of tourist expenditure for 13 oecd economies the analysis uses cointegration techniques and novel sequential break dating procedures evaluated where the time dimension is small the values of the estimated parameters suggest that long run growth may not be harmed by tourism specialisation

the volatility and price sensitivities of managerial stock option portfolios and corporate hedging we use estimates of the black scholes sensitivity of managers stock option portfolios to stock return volatility and the sensitivity of managers stock and stock option portfolios to stock price to test the relationship between managers risk preferences and hedging activities we find that as the sensitivity of managers stock and stock option portfolios to stock price increases firms tend to hedge more however as the sensitivity of managers stock option portfolios to stock return volatility increases firms tend to hedge less one of the agency costs associated with the corporate form of ownership comes from the risk aversion of the firm s managers the typical corporate manager has a significant portion of his or her wealth invested in the corporation both through portfolio holdings and the value of firm specific human capital as a result managers have an incentive to reduce firm risk more than may be desirable from the perspective of an unaffiliated diversified shareholder one way to mitigate managerial risk aversion is to provide the manager with contracts that have a payoff structure that is a convex function of the firm s stock price smith and stulz 1985 guay 1999 finds that stock options are an important way in which convexity is added to managers portfolios however as recognized by carpenter 2000 and lambert larcker and verrecchia 1991 stock options create two opposing effects on managerial incentives the first effect is sensitivity to stock return volatility due to the convex payoff structure of options the value of a manager s stock option portfolio increases with the volatility of the firm s stock returns this sensitivity to stock return volatility should ceteris paribus give the manager an incentive to take more risk the second effect is sensitivity to stock price this effect comes from the direct link between the payoff of an option and

on the income nuclear energy co2 emissions nexus revisited this paper seeks to contribute to the debate over the income nuclear enery co2 emissions nexus by taking specific account of the possible endogeneity of income which has been largely ignored by early studies a multivariate cointegrated vector autoregression cvar is applied to top six nuclear generating countries we find that nuclear energy tends to reduce co2 emission for all countries it is also found that income has a beneficial effect on the environment only in some countries finally we find that co2 emissions and income are indeed determined simultaneously while nuclear energy acts exogenously indicating that nuclear energy is the driving variable which significantly influences the long run movements of co2 emissions and income but is not affected by co2 emissions and income in the model

stock market volatility and the crash of 1987 evidence from six emerging markets abstract this paper studies volatility risk premia and the persistence of volatility in six emerging stock markets before and after the 1987 stock market crash the empirical investigation is conducted by means of the garch in the mean model garch m and monthly data from argentina greece india mexico thailand and zimbabwe between january of 1976 and august of 1994 results indicate changes in the arch parameter risk premia and persistence of volatility before and after the 1987 crash but these noted changes are not uniform and depend upon the individual markets factors other than the 1987 crash may also be responsible for the changes

tourism expansion tourism uncertainty and economic growth new evidence from taiwan and korea abstract this study examines the causal relationship between tourism expansion and economic growth in two asian countries taiwan and south korea an egarch m model with uncertainty factors is employed to examine the direction of causality between tourism expansion and economic growth as well as the impulse impacts of uncertainty on both variables the results indicate that the tourism led economic growth hypothesis is supported for taiwan while a reciprocal causal relationship is found for south korea the significant impacts of uncertainty on growth are also identified

environmental kuznets curve for carbon emissions in pakistan an empirical investigation this study investigates the relationship between carbon emissions income energy consumption and foreign trade in pakistan for the period 1972 2008 by employing the johansen method of cointegration the study finds that there is a quadratic long run relationship between carbon emissions and income confirming the existence of environmental kuznets curve for pakistan moreover both energy consumption and foreign trade are found to have positive effects on emissions the short run results have however denied the existence of the environmental kuznets curve the short run results are unique to the existing literature in the sense that none of the long run determinants of emissions is significant the contradictory results of short and long run give policy makers the opportunity to formulate different types of growth policies for the two terms taking environmental issues into consideration in addition the uni directional causality from growth to energy consumption suggests that the policy makers should not only focus on forecasting future demand for energy with different growth scenarios but also on obtaining the least cost energy furthermore the absence of causality from emissions to growth suggests that pakistan can curb its carbon emissions without disturbing its economic growth

the other side of the trade off the impact of risk on executive compensation the principal agent model of executive compensation is of central importance to the modern theory of the firm and corporate governance yet the exiting empirical evidence supporting it is quite wea

tourism development energy consumption and environmental kuznets curve trivariate analysis in the panel of developed and developing countries abstract the study investigates the relationship between economic growth carbon dioxide emissions tourism development energy demand domestic investment and health expenditures with an aim to test the validity of the environmental kuznets curve ekc hypothesis in the panel of three diversified world s region including east asia pacific european union and high income oecd and non oecd countries the study covers the period of last nine years i e 2005 2013 the study used the principal component analysis pca to construct tourism development index which is the amalgamation of number of tourists arrivals tourism receipts and international tourism expenditures the results validate the inverted u shaped relationship between carbon emissions and per capita income in the region the results further substantiate the following causal relationships i e i tourism induced carbon emissions ii energy induced emissions iii investment induced emissions iv growth led tourism v investment led tourism and vi health led tourism development in the region

environmental kuznets curve in an open economy a bounds testing and causality analysis for tunisia the environmental kuznets curve hypothesis posits that in the early stages of economic growth environmental degradation and pollution increase however as a nation reaches a certain level of incom

energy consumption and economic growth nexus in portugal italy greece spain and turkey an ardl bounds test approach 1965 2009 abstract the paper examines the nexus between primary energy consumption and growth in portugal italy greece spain and turkey pigst with annual time series data from 1965 to 2009 pigst are southern european economies which have experienced several episodes that make them of particular interest to the study of periods of economic expansion and stagnation an ardl bounds test approach is a suitable technique to examine energy growth nexus within the context of countries with both sporadic shocks outliers and permanent shocks structural breaks empirical results suggest bidirectional causality between energy and growth in both the long run and short run supporting the feedback hypothesis the results reveal themselves to be robust to panel framework an energy conservation policy will reduce gdp growth while a saving phenomenon is observed since one additional unit of product requires less than one unit of energy

the tenuous trade off between risk and incentives empirical work testing for a negative trade off between risk and incentives has not had much success the data suggest a positive relationship between measures of uncertainty and incentives rather than the posited negative trade off i argue that the existing literature fails to account for an important effect of uncertainty on incentives through the allocation of responsibility to employees when workers operate in certain settings firms are content to assign tasks to workers and monitor their inputs by contrast when the situation is more uncertain they delegate responsibility to workers but to constrain their discretion base compensation on observed output

international tourism energy consumption and environmental pollution the case of turkey abstract this study investigates the long run equilibrium relationship between tourism energy consumption and environmental degradation as proxied by carbon dioxide co 2 emissions in turkey which attracts more than 30 million tourists per year making it the sixth most visited country in the world the study results reveal that tourism and energy consumption are in a long term equilibrium relationship with co 2 emissions in the tourism induced model co 2 emissions converge to the long term equilibrium path by a 91 01 percent speed of adjustment every year through the channels of tourism energy consumption and aggregate income further the results of the impulse response and variance decompositions reveal that the reaction of energy consumption and therefore co 2 emissions to changes in tourism development is positive and gains strength in the longer periods this implies that tourism development in turkey has resulted not only in considerable increases in energy use but also considerable increases in climate change as demonstrated by the econometric analysis of this study

energy consumption carbon emissions and economic growth nexus in bangladesh cointegration and dynamic causality analysis abstract the paper investigates the possible existence of dynamic causality between energy consumption electricity consumption carbon emissions and economic growth in bangladesh first we have tested cointegration relationships using the johansen bi variate cointegration model this is complemented with an analysis of an auto regressive distributed lag model to examine the results robustness then the granger short run the long run and strong causality are tested with a vector error correction modelling framework the results indicate that uni directional causality exists from energy consumption to economic growth both in the short and the long run while a bi directional long run causality exists between electricity consumption and economic growth but no causal relationship exists in short run the strong causality results indicate bi directional causality for both the cases a uni directional causality runs from energy consumption to co 2 emission for the short run but feedback causality exists in the long run co 2 granger causes economic growth both in the short and in the long run an important policy implication is that energy electricity as well can be considered as an important factor for the economic growth in bangladesh moreover as higher energy consumption also means higher pollution in the long run policy makers should stimulate alternative energy sources for meeting up the increasing energy demand

energy consumption and gdp causality a three step analysis for emerging european countries abstract the established european targets should play a leading role in the complex economic process of energy consumption and the emerging countries have to consider their implications for adjusting the energy policies at national level this paper develops investigations on the causality relationship between energy consumption and gdp in the context of emerging european countries covering the period 1980 2013 this research covers the limits identified by previous researchers by detailing the energy consumption by sources and by referring to five emerging countries in europe unlike most of the previous studies it has a double approach long and short run bidirectional relationships a detailed analysis on the impact of economic growth on the energy consumption by country is conducted in order to contribute to the enrichment of the research field towards this objective a three step analysis is performed stationarity cointegration and causality tests are considered the empirical study shows mixed results there is a balance in confirming conservation growth and neutrality hypotheses in some specific cases results imply that energy consumption and economic growth are jointly determined however a comparative analysis for different significance levels draws attention on the differences in judgment of results for this type of studies discussions on the results in terms of causality are conducted in order to identify future trends for research

environmental kuznets curve and financial development in pakistan abstract in this study we analyzed the effects of financial development per capita real income the square of per capita real income per capita energy consumption and openness on per capita co 2 emissions for pakistan during 1972 2013 the bound f test for cointegration yielded evidence of a long term relationship among these variables the results confirm the existence of an environmental kuznets curve in pakistan for both the short and long term this finding indicates that at the initial stage of development the level of co 2 increases with income and after some threshold level of income this relationship may change from positive to negative as more efficient infrastructure and energy efficient technology are implemented during the development process of the country the findings of this study also reveal a significantly positive sign for the coefficient of financial development suggesting that financial development has occurred at the expense of environmental quality the results further indicate that the key contributing factors to carbon emissions in pakistan are income energy consumption and financial development in addition the openness variable has no significant influence on carbon emission in either the short or long term

panel estimation for co2 emissions energy consumption economic growth trade openness and urbanization of newly industrialized countries abstract this paper empirically examines the dynamic causal relationships between carbon dioxide emissions energy consumption economic growth trade openness and urbanization for the panel of newly industrialized countries nic using the time series data for the period 1971 2007 using four different panel unit root tests it is found that all panel variables are integrated of order 1 from the johansen fisher panel cointegration test it is found that there is a cointegration vector among the variables the granger causality test results support that there is no evidence of long run causal relationship but there is unidirectional short run causal relationship from economic growth and trade openness to carbon dioxide emissions from economic growth to energy consumption from trade openness to economic growth from urbanization to economic growth and from trade openness to urbanization it is found that the long run elasticity of carbon dioxide emissions with respect to energy consumption 1 2189 is higher than short run elasticity of 0 5984 this indicates that over time higher energy consumption in the newly industrialized countries gives rise to more carbon dioxide emissions as a result our environment will be polluted more but in respect of economic growth trade openness and urbanization the environmental quality is found to be normal good in the long run

crisis costs and debtor discipline the efficacy of public policy in sovereign debt crises abstract recent debate on the reform of the international financial architecture has highlighted the potentially important role of the official sector in crisis management we examine how such public intervention in sovereign debt crises affects efficiency ex ante and ex post our results shed light on the scale of capital inflows and the implications for debtor country output of such a regime the efficacy of measures such as officially sanctioned stays on creditor litigation depend critically on the quality of public sector surveillance and the size of the costs of sovereign debt crises

empirical study on the environmental kuznets curve for co2 in france the role of nuclear energy this paper attempts to estimate the environmental kuznets curve ekc in the case of france by taking the role of nuclear energy in electricity production into account we adopt the autoregressive distributed lag ardl approach to cointegration as the estimation method additionally we examine the stability of the estimated models and investigate the granger causality relationships between the variables in the system the results from our estimation provide evidence supporting the ekc hypothesis and the estimated models are shown to be stable over the sample period the uni direction running from other variables to co2 emissions are confirmed from the casualty tests specifically the uni directional causality relationship running from nuclear energy to co2 emissions statistically provides evidence on the important role of nuclear energy in reducing co2 emissions

asymmetric sensitivity of ceo cash compensation to stock returns abstract we document that ceo cash compensation is twice as sensitive to negative stock returns as it is to positive stock returns since stock returns include both unrealized gains and unrealized losses we expect cash compensation to be less sensitive to stock returns when returns contain unrealized gains positive returns than when returns contain unrealized losses negative returns this is consistent with boards of directors exercising discretion to reduce costly ex post settling up in cash compensation paid to ceos

rational expectations econometric analysis of changes in regime an investigation of the term structure of interest rates abstract this paper is of interest both for its methodological contribution of new tools for analyzing rational expectations models and for its substantive conclusions concerning the term structure of interest rates during the monetary experiment of october 1979 the paper studies systems subject to changes in regime interpreted here as occasional discrete shifts in the parameters governing the time series behavior of exogenous economic variables the specification is shown to be quite tractable both theoretically and empirically the technique is used to analyze yields on three month treasury bills and ten year treasury bonds during 1962 to 1987 a constant parameter linear model for short term rates is shown to be inconsistent both with the univariate time series properties of short rates and with the observed bivariate relation between long and short rates under the expectations hypothesis of the term structure an alternative nonlinear model that admits the possibility of changes in regime affords a much better description of the univariate process for short rates moreover the cross equation restrictions implied by the expectations hypothesis of the term structure are consistent with the nonlinear specification indeed the residuals of the restricted relation have a standard error of only 0 8 basis points this is a third less than that of a completely unrestricted linear regression of long rates on short rates and compares with an unconditional standard deviation of long rates of 142 basis points i conclude that once the recognition by bond traders of changes in regime is taken into account the expectations hypothesis of the term structure of interest rates holds up fairly well for these data

a panel bootstrap cointegration test this paper proposes a bootstrap test for the null hypothesis of cointegration in panel data the test is general enough to allow for dependence both within and between the cross sectional units and is shown to work well in small samples

sovereign liquidity crises the strategic case for a payments standstill is sovereign borrowing so different from corporate debt that there is no need for bankruptcy style procedures to protect debtors with the waiver of immunity sovereign debtors who already face severe disruption from short term creditors grabbing their currency reserves are also exposed to litigious creditors trying to seize what assets they can in a race of the vultures shielding sovereign debtors from inter creditor conflict by authorised standstills on payments doubt less runs some risk of debtor s moral hazard but the lack of an orderly procedure for resolving sovereign liquidity crises means that the imf is de facto forced to bail out countries in trouble this leads to both debtor and creditor moral hazard as investors lend without monitoring knowing that their investments are essentially guaranteed the strategic case for legalising standstills is to rescue the international financial system from this time consistent trap

energy consumption and gdp revisited a panel analysis of developed and developing countries this paper applies a new panel data stationarity testing procedure first developed by carrion i silvestre et al 2005 econometrics journal 8 159 175 with panel vars that employ the generalized method of moment techniques in order to re investigate the dynamic interactions between energy consumption per capita lec and real gdp per capita lry in 22 developed and 18 developing countries when multiple breaks in the series are taken into account there is convincing evidence of panel stationarity for lec and lry in both groups the energy crises evidently had a substantive impact on both lec and lry in all sample countries furthermore our panel vars attest to bidirectional causality between lec and lry in developed countries but there is uni directional causality from lry to lec in developing countries finally from the orthogonalized impulse response functions all of the variables in the panel vars have a positive effect on each other but their impact is greater and more persistent in developing countries some important policy implications do emerge

estimating the value of employee stock option portfolios and their sensitivities to price and volatility the costs associated with compiling data on employee stock option portfolios is a substantial obstacle in investigating the impact of stock options on managerial incentives accounting choice financing decisions and the valuation of equity we present an accurate method of estimating option portfolio value and the sensitivities of option portfolio value to stock price and stock return volatility that is easily implemented using data from only the current year s proxy statement or annual report this method can be applied to either executive stock option portfolios or to firm wide option plans in broad samples of actual and simulated ceo option portfolios we show that these proxies capture more than 99 of the variation in option portfolio value and sensitivities sensitivity analysis indicates that the degree of bias in these proxies varies with option portfolio characteristics and is most severe in samples of ceos with a large proportion of out of the money options however the proxies explanatory power remains above 95 in all subsamples

the paradox of liquidity the more liquid a firm s assets the greater their value in a short notice liquidation it is generally thought that a firm should find it easier to raise external finance against more liquid assets this paper focuses on the dark side of liquidity greater asset liquidity reduces the firm s ability to commit to a specific course of action as a result greater asset liquidity can in some circumstances reduce the firm s capacity to raise external finance firms with excessively liquid assets are in the best position to finance illiquid projects this leads us to a theory of financial intermediation and disintermediation based on the liquidity of assets

incentive contracting and value relevance of earnings and cash flows accounting performance measures such as earnings and cash flows are useful for both valuation and performance evaluation purposes however little evidence exists on whether there is any association between these two roles in this study we provide large sample empirical evidence that the value relevance of earnings explains a significant amount of the cross sectional variation in the pay sensitivity of earnings and the incremental value relevance of cash flows explains variation in the marginal pay sensitivity of cash flows we document that while both value relevance and compensation weight on earnings decline from the subperiod of 1993 to 1997 to the subperiod of 1998 to 2003 both value relevance and compensation weight on cash flows increase from the earlier subperiod to the later subperiod overall our results provide additional evidence that value relevance of a performance measure plays a significant role in its use for performance evaluation

threshold cointegration and nonlinear adjustment between co2 and income the environmental kuznets curve in spain 1857 2007 abstract article history received 9 march 2011received in revised form 24 february 2012accepted 2 march 2012available online 14 march 2012jel classi cation c2q4keywords environmental kuznets curveco 2 emissionsnonlinear relationshipthreshold cointegration inthispaper wemodelthe long run relationship between per capita co 2 and per capita income for the spanisheconomy over the period 1857 2007 according to the environmental kuznets curve eck the relationshipbetween the two variables has an inverted u shape however previous studies for the spanish economy onlyconsidered the existence of linear relationships such an approach may lack exibility to detect the trueshape of the relationship our empirical methodology accounts for a possible non linear relationship throughthe use of threshold cointegration techniques our results con rm the non linearity of the link between thetwo above mentioned variables pointing to the existence of an environmental kuznets curve for the spanishcase 2012 elsevier b v all rights reserved

why do emerging economies borrow short term the authors argue that emerging economies borrow short term due to the high risk premium charged by international capital markets on long term debt they first present a model where the debt maturity structure is the outcome of a risk sharing problem between the government and bondholders by issuing long term debt the government lowers the probability of a liquidity crisis transferring risk to bondholders in equilibrium this risk is reflected in a higher risk premium and borrowing cost therefore the government faces a tradeoff between safer long term borrowing and cheaper short term debt second the authors construct a new database of sovereign bond prices and issuance they show that emerging economies pay a positive term premium a higher risk premium on long term bonds than on short term bonds during crises the term premium increases with issuance shifting toward shorter maturities this suggests that changes in bondholders risk aversion are important to understand emerging market crises

the investigation of environmental kuznets curve hypothesis in the advanced economies the role of energy prices the aim of this research is to examine the effect of energy prices on pollution and investigate the existence of environmental kuznets curve ekc hypothesis in 27 advanced economies the panel non stationary techniques were used to examine the selected economies taking the period of 1990 2012 the panel kao and fisher cointegration results showed that co2 emission co2 gross domestic product gdp renewable energy consumption re non renewable energy consumption nr trade openness td urbanization ur and energy prices pc are cointegrated moreover the panel fully modified ordinary least square and the vector error correction granger causality results revealed that gdp nr and ur increase co2 emission while re td and pc reduce it furthermore the inverted u shaped relationship between gdp and co2 emission was confirmed which signifies the presence of the ekc hypothesis from the obtained results multiple policy implications were provided for the investigated countries to help them control and reduce air pollution without harming their economic growth and development

a markov model of switching regime arch in this article i present a new approach to model more realistically the variability of financial time series i develop a markov arch model that incorporates the features of both hamilton s switching regime model and engle s autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity arch model to examine the issue of volatility persistence in the monthly excess returns of the three month treasury bill the issue can be resolved by taking into account occasional shifts in the asymptotic variance of the markov arch process that cause the spurious persistence of the volatility process i identify two periods during which there is a regime shift the 1974 2 1974 8 period associated with the oil shock and the 1979 9 1982 8 period associated with the federal reserve s policy change the variance approached asymptotically in these two episodes is more than 10 times as high as the asymptotic variance for the remainder of the sample i conclude that regime shifts have a greater impact on the properties of the data and i ca

ceo compensation and bank risk is compensation in banking structured to promote risk taking abstract this paper examines whether executive compensation in banking is structured to promote risk taking we find that on average bank ceos receive less cash compensation are less likely to participate in a stock option plan hold fewer stock options and receive a smaller percentage of their total compensation in the form of options and stock than do ceos in other industries cross sectional differences in the structure of compensation contracts within banking are also examined we find a positive and significant relation between the importance of equity based incentives and the value of the bank s charter this result is inconsistent with the hypothesis that compensation policies promote risk taking in banking

the relationship between energy consumption energy prices and economic growth time series evidence from asian developing countries this paper estimates the causal relationships between energy consumption and income for india indonesia the philippines and thailand using cointegration and error correction modelling techniques the results indicate that in the short run unidirectional granger causality runs from energy to income for india and indonesia while bidirectional granger causality runs from energy to income for thailand and the philippines in the case of thailand and the philippines energy income and prices are mutually causal the study results do not support the view that energy and income are neutral with respect to each other with the exception of indonesia and india where neutrality is observed in the short run c 2000 elsevier science b v all rights reserved jel classifications c22 q43 q48

analysis on the nexus of economic growth fossil fuel energy consumption co2 emissions and oil price in africa based on a pmg panel ardl approach abstract in this study the causal link amid economic growth fossil fuel energy consumption carbon emissions and oil price was empirically tested from 1990 to 2015 by using a panel of 22 african countries the sample of african countries was divided into two subgroups namely oil exporters and non oil exporters using the pmg panel ardl and panel econometric methods heterogeneity and cross sectional dependence were considered to examine the long and short term dynamic relationships as well as validity of a proposed model findings from the pesaran yamagata homogeneity test pesaran cd test cips and cadf panel unit root tests and westerlund edgerton bootstrap panel cointegration indicated the panel time series data has heterogeneity and cross sectional dependence analysed variables are stationary and cointegrated respectively with respect to the pmg panel ardl estimation method it was evidenced that there exist i a bilateral causal link flanked by fossil fuel energy consumption and economic growth as well as fossil fuel energy consumption and carbon emissions in long and shot terms for all panels ii a unilateral causality from carbon emissions to economic growth in long term and short term for non oil exporters nonetheless a bilateral causal relationship only in long term for oil exporting countries and iii a unilateral cause and effect link from oil prices to economic growth energy consumption fossil fuel and carbon emission across all country groups in long and short terms policy recommendations are further discussed

changing risk premia evidence from a small open economy little is known about the differences in the relation between risk and return in large economies such as the u s compared with smaller less studied markets in this paper sweden serves as a representative for small open economies the price of risk on the swedish stock market is estimated using a conditional asset pricing model that allows for time variation in the risk four different garch m models are used in the econometric specification the estimates of the price of risk are invariably positive and significant and we conclude that there exists a time varying risk premium in the swedish stock market our results show that there are small differences in the preferences towards risk of representative investors in small and large economies

co2 emissions energy consumption and output in france abstract this paper examines the dynamic causal relationships between pollutant emissions energy consumption and output for france using cointegration and vector error correction modelling techniques we argue that these variables are strongly inter related and therefore their relationship must be examined using an integrated framework the results provide evidence for the existence of a fairly robust long run relationship between these variables for the period 1960 2000 the causality results support the argument that economic growth exerts a causal influence on growth of energy use and growth of pollution in the long run the results also point to a uni directional causality running from growth of energy use to output growth in the short run

the impact of foreign direct investment on environmental quality a bounds testing and causality analysis for turkey abstract this study aims to investigate the impact of foreign direct investment fdi together with gross domestic product gdp the square of gdp and energy consumption on carbon dioxide co2 emissions in turkey over the period 1974 2010 we employ both the bounds test approach which has superior properties especially in small samples and the hatemi j test which takes structural breaks into consideration in the co integration analysis due to the co integration relationship between co2 emissions and other variables the autoregressive distributed lag ardl model is used in order to investigate short and long run elasticity between the variables the long run coefficients of the ardl model indicate that the effect of fdi on co2 emissions is positive but relatively small while the effects of the gdp and energy consumption on co2 emissions are quite considerable moreover the short run coefficients obtained by the error correction model ecm are found to be similar to those of the long run model the findings support the validity of the environmental kuznets curve ekc hypothesis in both time horizons the vector ecm based granger causality test is also applied to investigate the causal link the causality test results indicate the existence of a causality running from all explanatory variables to co2 emissions in the long run overall the findings suggest that turkey should promote energy efficiency with sustainable growth and encourage more fdi inflows particularly in technology intensive and environment friendly industries to improve environmental quality

the causal relationship between energy consumption and economic growth in lebanon this paper investigates the dynamic causal relationship between energy consumption and economic growth in lebanon over the period 1980 2009 within a bivariate framework imposed on us due to data limitations and in an effort to increase the robustness of our results we employ a variety of causality tests namely hsiao toda yamamoto and vector error correction based granger causality tests we find strong evidence of a bidirectional relationship both in the short run and in the long run indicating that energy is a limiting factor to economic growth in lebanon from a policy perspective the confirmation of the feedback hypothesis warns against the use of policy instruments geared towards restricting energy consumption as these may lead to adverse effects on economic growth consequently there is a pressing need to revise the current national energy policy that calls for a 5 energy conservation target also to shield the country from external supply shocks given its substantial dependence on energy imports policymakers should emphasize the development of domestic energy resources further the most pertinent implication is that relaxing the present electric capacity shortages should be made a national priority in view of its potential positive effect on the economy

a literature survey on energy growth nexus abstract this paper provides a survey of the recent progress in the literature of energy consumption economic growth and electricity consumption economic growth causality nexus the survey highlights that most empirical studies focus on either testing the role of energy electricity in stimulating economic growth or examining the direction of causality between these two variables although the positive role of energy on growth has become a stylized fact there are some methodological reservations about the results from these empirical studies a general observation from these studies is that the literature produced conflicting results and there is no consensus neither on the existence nor on the direction of causality between energy consumption electricity consumption and economic growth as a policy implication to avoid from conflicting and unreliable results the authors may use the autoregressive distributed lags bounds test two regime threshold co integration models panel data approach and multivariate models including new variables such as real gross fixed capital formation labor force carbon dioxide emissions population exchange rates interest rates etc thus the authors should focus more on the new approaches and perspectives rather than by employing usual methods based on a set of common variables for different countries and different intervals of time