environmental regulation and u s economic growth in this article we quantify the costs of pollution controls by reporting the results of simulations of the growth of the u s economy with and without regulation for this purpose we have constructed a detailed model of the economy that includes the determinants of long term growth we have also analyzed the interaction between industries in order to capture the full repercussions of environmental regulations however we have not attempted to assess the benefits resulting from a cleaner environment we find that pollution abatement has emerged as a major claimant on the resources of the u s economy the cost of emission controls is more than 10 of the total cost of government purchases of goods and services

a note on the malmquist productivity index in recent years the malmquist index has gained in popularity as a measure of productivity change we demonstrate that in the presence of non constant returns to scale the malmquist productivity index does not accurately measure productivity change the bias is systematic and depends on the magnitude of scale economies

can a carbon trading system promote the transformation of a low carbon economy under the framework of the porter hypothesis empirical analysis based on the psm did method abstract global warming is one of the issues of great concern in the world the large scale use of fossil fuels has led to the continuous increase in carbon emissions resulting in global energy shortages and environmental pollution reasonable and strict environmental regulation promotes technological innovation by enterprises to achieve a win win situation between the economy and environment which is the core idea of the porter hypothesis the choice of china as the world s largest energy consumer and carbon emitter is not only related to the country s own mode of economic growth but also determines the development of the world s low carbon economy we used the panel data from 2000 to 2016 of 30 provincial level administrative regions in china and adopted the propensity score matching difference in differences method to test the impact of china s carbon trading pilot system on the transformation of a low carbon economy the empirical results show that under the constraints of the established resources and environment there is a positive relationship to some extent between china s carbon trading system and low carbon economic transformation this relationship can realize the win win situation of environmental and economic benefits as advocated by the porter hypothesis and further verify the applicability of the porter hypothesis

plant vintage technology and environmental regulation abstract we use data on productivity and pollution abatement costs at individual pulp and paper mills to test whether the impact of environmental regulation on productivity differs by plant vintage and technology plants with higher pollution abatement costs have significantly lower productivity levels this relationship differs greatly based on a plant s technology with productivity at integrated mills being greatly affected by abatement costs while the impact at non integrated mills is negligible plant vintage does not seem to matter with older and newer plants showing similar impacts reported abatement costs appear to substantially understate the true costs of abatement accounting for the impact of technology differences makes some difference in the estimated overall impact of environmental regulation

incentives contracts and markets a general equilibrium theory of firms1 this paper takes steps toward integrating firm theory in the spirit of alchian and demsetz 1972 and grossman and hart 1986 contract theory in the spirit of holmstrom 1979 and general equilibrium theory in the spirit of arrow and debreu 1954 and mckenzie 1959 in the model presented here the set of firms that form and the contractual arrangements that appear the assignments of agents to firms the prices faced by firms for inputs and outputs and the incentives to agents are all determined endogenously at equilibrium agents choose consumption but they also choose which firms to join which roles to occupy in those firms and which actions to take in those roles agents interact anonymously with the large market but strategically within the small firms they join the model accommodates moral hazard adverse selection signaling and insurance equilibria may be pareto ranked

the efficiency and equity consequences of two part tariffs in electricity pricing ahstrat t this paper evaluates electricity two part tariffs with both efficiency and equity criteria the efficiency of tariffs is analyzed by studying the relation between price and marginal cost for both customer connection and variable output the equity of tariffs is addressed by an analysis of cross subsidization to address these issues this paper presents a multiproduct cost function that can provide information on output and connection marginal costs for each customer class using a 1980 cross section of electric utilities it is shown that prices are not set in a first best efficient manner and least favor the commercial class

environmental regulations and industrial competitiveness evidence from china economic activities are closely related to real world environmental issues currently more attention is paid to the association between environmental regulations and industrial competitiveness ic because of pressures on economic development and environmental protection in this study we identify and explain the association between environmental regulations and ic in china as the largest developing country in the world china has the unavoidable responsibility of protecting the environment and promoting global economic development we analyse the mechanisms behind environmental regulations and industrial competiveness at the provincial level and conclude that the impact of environmental regulations upon ic is not a simple linear one but a u shaped relationship it is argued that the crucial intervention to activate the u shaped relationship or porter s hypothesis is innovation which can be triggered by stringent regulations and well designed policies

cost functions and nonlinear prices estimating a technology with quality differentiated inputs the paper is concerned with developing a production theory for the case when some inputs have nonlinear prices because the price depends on endogenous quality this involves extending the notion of a cost function to the case where nonlinear prices are parameters of costs after developing the appropriate theory we apply our results to the case of coal fired electric power generation where fuel quality depends on sulfur and ash impurities environmental regulations induce a negative value on sulfur whereas ash impurities degrade performance and thus reduce production possibilities a number of empirical results emerge including significant rates of technological change that are sulfur and ash saving though capital using this change may explain in part the recent drop in the price of sulfur allowances in the united states

another day another collar an evaluation of the effects of nyse rule 80a on trading costs and intermarket arbitrage in 1990 the new york stock exchange amended its rule 80a to restrict stock index arbitrage on days of large price movements the authors find that rule 80a significantly curtails or collars index arbitrage activity in spite of this curtailment in index arbitrage volume they find that rule 80a appears to have had little overall impact on trading costs and intermarket linkage although pricing discrepancies between the markets do appear to be eliminated less quickly the authors results are consistent with the hypothesis that information is conveyed from one market to the other by means other than formal arbitrage copyright 1998 by university of chicago press

the short and long run benefits of financial integration there is an extensive economics and finance literature that addresses the potential benefits of financial integration although theory predicts significant gains due to portfolio diversification decreased cost of equity capital and reduced financing constraints empirical models have so far yielded estimates of negligible welfare gains models used to estimate the welfare effects of financial integration do not explain both prices and quantities in order to address this point we propose a general equilibrium model that is able to simultaneously explain i the volatility of exchange rate and stochastic discount factors and both ii the volatility of net exports and iii the amount of cross country correlation and persistence of consumption growth rates in our economy agents have risk sensitive preferences in the sense of hansen and sargent 1995 this implies that investors have a preference for the timing of the resolution of uncertainty we conduct our analysis for the case in which consumption is a cobb douglas aggregation of domestic and foreign goods both of which are tradable furthermore we let the dynamics of the growth rate of the endowments of the two countries be characterized by the presence of two slowly moving predictive factors these components denoted as long run risks alter the intertemporal distribution of income risk by producing slow swings in the the short and long run benefits of financial integration

environmental regulation and competitiveness empirical evidence on the porter hypothesis from european manufacturing sectors abstract this paper investigates the weak and strong versions of porter hypothesis ph focusing on the manufacturing sectors of 17 european countries between 1997 and 2009 the hypothesis that well crafted and well enforced regulation would benefit both the environment and the firm was originally proposed by porter 1991 and porter and van der linde 1995 to date the literature has analyzed the impact of environmental regulation on innovation and on productivity mostly in separate analyses and focusing on the usa the few existing contributions on europe study the effect of environmental regulation either on green innovation or on performance indicators such as exports we instead look at overall innovation and productivity impacts first focusing on overall innovative activity allows us to account for potential opportunity costs of induced innovations second productivity impacts are arguably the most relevant indicators for the strong ph as a proxy of environmental policy stringency we use pollution abatement and control expenditures pace one of the few sectoral level indicators available we remedy upon its main drawback namely potential endogeneity by adopting an instrumental variable estimation approach we find evidence of a positive impact of environmental regulation on the output of innovation activity as proxied by patents thus providing support in favor of the weak ph this result is in line with most of the literature on the other front we find no evidence in favor of the strong ph as productivity appears to be unaffected by the degree of pollution control and abatement efforts

the economic costs of environmental regulation in u s dairy farming a directional distance function approach analyses of the costs of regulating greenhouse gas emissions from dairy production which could be used to assess the effectiveness of alternative policy measures is a missing link in the literature this article addresses this gap by establishing the economic impact associated with a hypothetical greenhouse gas environmental regulatory regime across major dairy producing counties in the united states in doing so the article makes three important contributions to the literature first it develops a comprehensive pollution index based on environmental protection agency methodologies which contrasts with previous studies that rely on partial measures based only on surplus nitrogen stemming from the over application of fertilizer second the article uses a directional output distance function an approach that has not been employed previously to evaluate polluting technologies in the u s dairy sector third the article incorporates a four way error approach that accounts for unobserved county heterogeneity time invariant persistent technical efficiency time varying transient technical efficiency and a random error the results indicate that regulating greenhouse gas emissions from dairy farming would induce a 5 percentage point increase in average technical efficiency in addition the economic costs of implementing this hypothetical regulatory framework exhibit significant spatial variation across counties in the united states

the value of shorting abstract this paper assesses the effects of short sale constraints on asset prices the analysis focuses on a particular period in sweden during which shorting stocks was impossible but stock options were traded firstly the effect on both stock options and the underlying stock was investigated jointly by considering deviations from put call parity secondly the effects on only the derivatives were investigated by considering their implied volatilites the main findings are i the impact on pricing are consistent with a short sale constraint ii these effects are much more pronounced when shorting is not possible iii these effects are not solely attributable to the mispricing of the stock as previous research indicates and iv access to international shorting markets can alleviate local short sale constraints

environmental regulations and productivity growth the case of fossil fueled electric power generation this paper measures and analyzes the effect of sulfur dioxide emission restrictions on the rate of productivity growth in the electric power industry over the 1973 79 business cycle a firm specific measure of regulatory intensity is developed which depends on the severity of the emission standard the extent of enforcement and the unconstrained emission rate relevant to each utility the results indicate that emission regulations result in significantly higher generating costs primarily from the increased use of low sulfur fuels the average rate of productivity growth was reduced by 0 59 percentage points per year for constrained utilities

the impacts of the clean air act on production cost and the substitution between inputs in the electric utility industry abstract the paper examines how having to comply with phase 1 of title iv of the 1990 clean air act affected production cost and the substitution between fuel and non fuel labor capital inputs phase 1 required firms to reduce their sulfur dioxide emissions enacting procedures to reduce sulfur dioxide emissions using lower sulfur content coal or other fuel sources could lead to higher cost and impact the substitution between fuel and non fuel inputs using a 1992 2000 panel of 34 u s electric utilities empirical results indicate that the procedures electric utilities enacted to comply with phase 1 contributed to small increases in both marginal cost and total cost firms having to comply with phase 1 were more willing than firms not subject to phase 1 to substitute from fuel to non fuel labor capital inputs following an increase in the price of fuel utilities subject to phase 1 that had a fuel clause were more willing than phase 1 firms without a fuel clause to substitute from non fuel inputs to fuel when the price of the non fuel input increased

why there are organized futures markets i shall present an explanation of the existence of organized futures markets with more predictive power than the two prevailing rival views my explanation briefly is this an organized futures market facilitates trade among strangers one of the rival prevailing views is a defense of futures trading it asserts that an organized futures market furnishes legitimate businessmen with a means of hedging so that they can obtain insurance against price risk the other prevailing view is an attack on organized futures markets it asserts that such markets enable speculators to manipulate prices to the detriment of outsiders who are less well informed and to the detriment of legitimate businessmen such as farmers the attack on organized futures markets likens them to gambling casinos the defense sees them as a form of insurance neither the attack nor the defense is valid the correct explanation is closely related to why we conduct trade using money instead of by barter

the asian financial crisis the role of derivative securities trading and foreign investors in korea abstract this paper is part of a larger research program pertaining to the role of derivatives during financial crisis and also part of the research pertaining to the causes of the asian financial crisis the korean market is studied because of two reasons 1 it is an important example of the asian financial meltdown and 2 there is a detailed data set available of all transactions by different types of protagonists including foreign investors the results in this paper indicate that futures markets and trading by foreign investors played a key role during the korean stock market turbulence in 1997

natural versus manufactured capital win lose or win win a case study of the finnish pulp and paper industry abstract the effect of investments on environmental variables has been discussed through the win win rhetoric specifically in micro level analysis on the macro level the win win rhetoric has been replaced by the arguments for and against the substitutability of natural and manufactured capital here these two concepts belonging to different levels of analysis are linked by looking at the environmental and economic effects of chosen investment strategies in a traditionally capital intensive industry over time the paper shows that rather than generalise the existence of win win situations or the substitutability of capital these positions are determined by purely situational factors as a result in the assessment of substitutability the specific operating context of the industry needs to be taken into account this implies also that environmental policy needs to be designed to be adaptive and responsive to those situational factors to create beneficial outcomes for the economy and for the environment

the dynamics of stock index and stock index futures returns in rational efficiently functioning markets the returns on stock index and stock index futures contracts should be perfectly contemporaneously correlated this study investigates the time series properties of 5 minute intraday returns of stock index and stock index futures contracts and finds that sp however the effect is not completely unidirectional with lagged stock index returns having a mild positive predictive impact on futures returns

the contribution of environmental regulations to the slowdown in productivity growth abstract the radical slowdown in productivity growth since 1965 is often attributed to environmental regulations several studies varying widely in method have attempted to assess this contribution here these analyses are reviewed and critiqued and a summary appraisal of the likely contribution of environmental regulations to the observed decrease in productivity growth is offered

enforcement leverage when penalties are restricted in the united states empirical studies of the enforcement of continuous compliance with environmental regulations especially air and water pollution regulations have repeatedly demonstrated the following i for most sources the frequency of surveillance is quite low ii even when violations are discovered fines or other penalties are rarely assessed in most states iii sources are nonetheless thought to be in compliance a large part of the time the evidence for the apparently low level of enforcement activity is found in a number of case studies of state and local enforcement of air and water quality regulations conducted jointly by the environmental protection agency epa and council on environmental quality ceg together with periodic surveys of implementation of air and water quality legislation conducted by the general accounting office gao these surveys show

one market stocks futures and options during october 1987 we provide new evidence regarding the degree of integration among markets for stocks futures and options prior to and during the october 1987 market crash where previous analyses have resulted in recommendations for the implementation of circuit breakers the coordination of margin requirements across markets and changes in regulatory jurisdiction our analysis indicates that delinkage between markets during the crash was primarily caused by an antiquated mechanism for processing stock market orders the results suggest that market integration may be better served by efficient order execution than by further restricting markets

toward a new conception of the environment competitiveness relationship accepting a fixed trade off between environmental regulation and competitiveness unnecessarily raises costs and slows down environmental progress studies finding high environmental compliance costs have traditionally focused on static cost impacts ignoring any offsetting productivity benefits from innovation they typically overestimated compliance costs neglected innovation offsets and disregarded the affected industry s initial competitiveness rather than simply adding to cost properly crafted environmental standards can trigger innovation offsets allowing companies to improve their resource productivity shifting the debate from pollution control to pollution prevention was a step forward it is now necessary to make the next step and focus on resource productivity

arbitrage nontrading and stale prices october 1987 this article explains a puzzle created by the standard and poor s 500 cash and futures prices during the crash of october 1987 the cash index appears to be a moving average of the futures but nontrading in constituent stocks explains only the initial period of delayed openings however execution of stale limit buy orders given the high volume and nyse market mechanisms at the time resulted in extraordinary levels of stock prices that were not caused by nontrading the model is supported in aggregate s p data and transactions data for individual stocks copyright 1992 by university of chicago press

export performance and productivity growth the case of taiwan the hypothesis that rapid growth of exports accelerates economic growth has been widely discussed and tested the empirical evidence that supports the hypothesis includes studies by m michaely b balassa p heller and r porter w tyler g feder r kavoussi and r ram using macrodata and m nishimizu and s robinson using two digit industry level data feder found that exports contribute to economic growth because the export sector is not only more productive than the nonexport sector but also generates some external effects that enhance the productivity of the nonexport sector as exports expand both the resource reallocation effect and externality effect lead to an economy wide productivity increase nishimizu and robinson also found the existence of a significant correlation between productivity growth and export expansion on a theoretical level there are at least two interpretations of the correlation between productivity growth and export expansion one stresses scale economies the other stresses competitive forces the scale economies argument emphasizes the benefits that can be derived by means of expanding the scale of operations in the case of countries whose domestic markets are small in size exporting becomes an essential part of achieving scale economies j bhagwati considered scale economies to be a plausible explanation for the superiority of the export promotion trade strategy as opposed to the import substitution trade strategy but warned against the lack of convincing evidence 2 the study by j kwon on the korean manufacturing industry also found that scale economies are a main factor contributing to total fac

the arbitrage principle in financial economics abstract the importance of arbitrage conditions in financial economics has been recognized since modigliani and miller s classic work on the financial structure of the firm they showed that if a f

s p 100 index option volatility using transaction data on the s p 100 index options we study the effect of valuation simplifications that are commonplace in previous research on the timeseries properties of implied market volatility using an american style algorithm that accounts for the discrete nature of the dividends on the s p 100 index we find that spurious negative serial correlation in implied volatility changes is induced by nonsimultaneously observing the option price and the index level negative serial correlation is also induced by a bid ask price effect if a single option is used to estimate implied volatility in addition we find that these same effects induce spurious and unreasonable negative cross correlations between the changes in call and put implied volatility an important area of current research is the estimation and behavior of market volatility implied by option pricing models for example stein 1989 concludes that the s p 100 index option market is inefficient because longer term options overreact to changes in the implied volatility of short maturity options day and lewis 1988 document an increase in volatility around the quarterly expiration cycle schwert 1990 draws conclusions about the behavior of volatility around the stock market crash of 1987 by using implied volatility all of these studies use a simplified option pricing framework to estimate implied market volatility previous research generally assumes that the s p 100 index option is european style this option is actually american style it is also common to assume that the dividend yield is constant the dividends are not constant and exhibit distinct seasonal patterns harvey and whaley 1991b show that large pricing errors can be induced in the option prices if the american feature and the discrete dividends are ignored option pricing errors translate into errors in the implied volatility estimates this paper uses s p 100 index call and put transactions and an american style option pricing model with the exact discrete dividend series to calculate a time series of implied volatilities this valuation method

multilateral productivity comparisons when some outputs are undesirable a nonparametric approach multilateral productivity comparisons of firms producing multiple outputs some of which are undesirable are obtained by making two modifications to the standard farrell approach to efficiency measurement the restriction that production technology satisfy strong disposability of outputs is relaxed to allow for the fact that undesirable outputs may be freely disposable and the efficiency measures are modified to allow for an asymmetric treatment of desirable and undesirable outputs performance measures that satisfy these requirements are calculated as solutions to programming problems the methodology is applied to a sample of mills producing paper and pollutants

the impact of regulatory reforms on cost structure ownership and competition in indian banking this paper evaluates the impact of financial sector reforms on the cost structure characteristics and on the ownership cost efficiency relationship in indian banking it also examines the impact of reforms on the dynamics of competition in the lending market we find evidence that deregulation improves banks performance and fosters competition in the lending market results suggest technological progress once indian commercial banks have adjusted to the new regulatory environment this however does not translate in efficiency gains there is also evidence of an ownership effect on the level and pattern of efficiency change finally competition keeps building pace even in the re regulation period and technological improvements are not hampered by the tightening of prudential norms

can position limits restrain rogue trading this paper studies the imposition of position limits on commodity futures from the perspective of curbing excessive speculation and thus manipulation we present a simple general equilibrium model in a static rational expectations framework and agent heterogeneity to illustrate that excessive speculation serves to enrich other agents at the expense of the speculator position limits on the contrary are not only superfluous but also counter productive as they exacerbate market power and lead to a deterioration in efficiency position limits not only reduce social welfare but also cannot restrain market manipulation

options resilience during extreme volatility evidence from the market events of may 2010 abstract using intraday trades and quotes data we study the stock options market before during and after the market events of may 6 2010 focusing on the s p 500 and s p 100 stock options we explore if the options market provided any discernible signals that forewarned the extreme volatility on that day and whether the recovery was fast and without a permanent impact we find that the options market reacted to the volatility rather than predicting it and almost all of the variables are indistinguishable from their previous levels in the next few trading days intraday empirical analysis suggests that most of the impact was over within a few hours from the peak of market volatility

productivity growth and environmental regulation in mexican and u s food manufacturing many argued during the nafta debate that trade liberalization would favor mexican over u s food processors especially because of lax environmental laws south of the border we find through an examination of profit functions that productivity growth in mexico has outstripped that in the united states suggesting free trade indeed will benefit mexican suppliers u s pollution regulations have had no impact on the profitability or productivity of u s food manufacturing in contrast mexico s swiftly rising environmental standards have enhanced food processors productivity growth corroborating the porter hypothesis pollution law therefore has favored mexican over u s food processing but for reasons few had anticipated

environmental innovations and profitability how does it pay to be green an empirical analysis on the german innovation survey much of the empirical literature analysing the relation between environmental innovation and competitiveness has focused on the question whether it pays to be green we differentiate between different types of environmental innovations which will be disentangled in those aiming at reducing the negative externalities and those allowing for efficiency increases and cost savings what we analyze is at first the extent to which these two typologies have impacts on firms profitability with opposite signs and secondly whether the motivations driving the adoption of those innovations make the difference in terms of economic gains we find empirical evidence that both the typology of environmental innovation and the driver of their adoption affect the sign of the relationship between competitiveness and environmental performance the empirical strategy is based on a sample of german firms and makes use of a merge of two waves of the mannheim innovation panel in 2011 and 2009 that allow overcoming some endogeneity issues which may arise in a cross section setting

risk and global economic architecture why full financial integration may be undesirable integration of global financial markets was supposed to lead to greater financial stability as risks were spread around the world the finan cial crisis has thrown doubt on this conclusion a failure in one part of the global economic system caused a global meltdown the recent crisis has shown that in the absence of appro priate government intervention privately profit able transactions may lead to systemic risk this paper provides a general analytic framework within which we can analyze the optimal degree and form of financial integration within this general framework full integration is not in general optimal indeed faced with a choice between two polar regimes full integration or autarky in the simplified model autarky may be superior

box spread arbitrage profits following the 1987 market crash real or illusory we examine market efficiency before and after the 1987 market crash using the box spread strategy implemented with european style s p 500 index spx options before the crash apparent arbitrage opportunities were rare and simulated trades were unprofitable assum ing a one minute execution delay after the crash apparent arbitrage opportunities were frequent and simulated trades were profitable even assuming a five minute execution delay our analysis makes the routine assumption that quotes are good until updated to construct a time series of prevailing quotes sampled at 30 second intervals if this assumption is valid then arbitrage profits were actually available if this assumption is invalid then such profits could have been illusory either scenario however implies that spx market effi ciency decreased following the crash prevailing price quotes repeatedly failed to satisfy the fundamental parity relation underlying the box spread

how do environmental regulation and environmental decentralization affect green total factor energy efficiency evidence from china abstract green development is critical for china s economic transformation enhancing green total factor energy efficiency hereafter gtfee is vital to emission reduction and to win win industrial development this study uses the panel data of 30 chinese provinces for the period 2005 2016 to investigate the relationship between environmental regulation and china s gtfee the spatial durbin model is employed to control for the possible spatial spillover effect a dynamic threshold panel model that can effectively address the endogeneity problem and regional heterogeneity is utilized to examine the potential non linear relationship between environmental regulation and gtfee under different conditions of environmental decentralization the estimation results indicate that there is a significant u shaped relationship between environmental regulation and china s gtfee with the further expansion of environmental decentralization the local government s autonomous choice of pollution control is improved the improvement of environmental decentralization can lead to negative moderating effect of environmental regulation on gtfee additionally the regression results of dynamic threshold model show that environmental decentralization can increase the negative influences of environmental regulation on gtfee interestingly the non linear impact of environmental regulation on gtfee is dependent on the specific type of environmental decentralization higher degree of environmental decentralization can lead to an increase in the restraining effect of environmental regulation on gtfee however an improvement in the decentralization of environmental supervision and environmental monitoring can increase the negative influences of environmental regulation on gtfee

strategic trading behavior and price distortion in a manipulated market anatomy of a squeeze abstract this paper investigates an attempted delivery squeeze in a bond futures contract traded in london using cash and futures trades of dealers and customers we analyze their strategic trading behavior price distortion and learning in a market manipulation setting we argue that marked differences in settlement failure penalties in the cash and futures markets create conditions that favor squeezes we recommend that regulators require special flagging of forward term repurchase agreements on the key deliverables that span futures contract maturity dates and that exchanges mark to market their contract specifications more frequently or consider a cash settled contract on a basket of bonds

adaptive expectations and stock market crashes a theory is developed that explains how stocks can crash without fundamental news and why crashes are more common than frenzies a crash occurs via the interaction of rational and naive investors naive traders believe that prices follow a random walk with serially correlated volatility their expectations of future volatility are formed adaptively when the market crashes naive traders sell stock in response to the apparent increase in volatility since rational traders are risk averse as well a lower price is needed to clear the market the crash is a self fulfilling prophecy frenzies cannot occur in this model

productivity growth and pollution in state manufacturing the directional output distance function chambers chung fare 1996 is used to construct a malmquist luenberger index of total factor productivity growth for manufacturing when both good and bad outputs are jointly produced the index is constructed using information on good and bad output quantities and input quantities circumventing the problem of recovering shadow price information for the bad output needed for the fisher or tornqvist type of productivity indices accounting for toxic releases in manufacturing productivity growth averages 1 4 an nually during 1988 1994 the findings also suggest that the failure to account for toxic releases in manufacturing results in a significant under statement of total factor productivity growth

the effect of within sector upstream and downstream energy taxes on innovation and productivity the aim of this paper is to investigate the effect of environmental regulatory stringency on innovation and productivity using a panel of 8 european countries for 13 manufacturing sectors over the years 2001 2007 this research topic falls under the heading of the porter hypothesis ph of which different versions have been tested we consider both the strong and the weak versions of the ph while also adding some peculiar features to the analysis firstly we assess the role played by environmental taxes that is an instrument rarely tested as a factor which can support the ph secondly we analyse not only the effect of environmental taxes within a given sector within sector but also the role played by environmental taxes in upstream and downstream sectors in terms of input output relationships thirdly we test these relationships also indirectly by verifying whether innovation is one of the channels through which higher sectoral productivity can be achieved by imposing tighter environmental regulations our main findings suggest that downstream stringency is the most relevant driver of innovation and productivity while within sector regulations only affect productivity but not innovation moreover the effect of regulations on productivity is mostly direct while the part of the effect mediated by induced innovations as measured by patents is relevant only for what concerns downstream regulations

different types of environmental regulations and heterogeneous influence on green productivity evidence from china this paper attempts to examine if the strong version of porter hypothesis is supported in china by investigating how different regulatory instruments and the relative stringency impact green productivity we use a slacks based measure sbm and luenberger productivity index accounting for undesirable outputs to evaluate the industrial green productivity growth rates of china s 30 provinces the estimates imply an unsustainable development model in china with significant regional differences by employing a panel threshold model and a province level panel dataset during 2000 2012 empirical results show that both command and control and market based regulation have a non linear relationship with and can be positively related to green productivity but with different constrains on regulation stringency there are double thresholds with the command and control and exists an optimal range of stringency for productivity improvement while a single threshold has been found with the market based regulation and its current stringency is reasonable for most of provinces moreover based on china s reality the productivity effect driven by market based regulation is much stronger than that of the command and control the mechanism of informal regulation is much more complicated consequently we find evidence to support the strong porter hypothesis that reasonable stringency of environmental regulations may enhance rather than lower industrial competitiveness

firms compliance to environmental regulation is there really a paradox it has often been claimed that firms compliance to environmental regulations is higher than predicted by standard theory a result labeled the harrington paradox in the literature enforcement data from norway presented here appears at first glance to confirm this stylized fact firms are inspected less than once a year detected violators are seldom fined but still serious violations seem relatively rare however at a closer look the pattern seems less paradoxical enforcement of minor violations is lax but such violations do flourish serious violations on the other hand are subject to credible threats of harsh punishment and such violations are more uncommon this seems quite consistent with predictions from standard theory we argue that the empirical existence of the harrington paradox is not well documented in the international literature the claim that firms compliance with environmental regulations is generally higher than predicted by standard theory should thus be regarded as a hypothesis rather than an established fact

monopoly manipulation and the regulation of futures markets in the textbook model of competition all buyers and sellers are tiny compared with the market as a whole these people trade fungible commodities in an ongoing auction every seller s product is the same as every other s all participants in the market are sophisticated every buyer continues to purchase so long as the price is less than the value he places on the commodity every seller continues to sell so long as the price is greater than the marginal cost of production new buyers and sellers can jump in at an instant s notice and if they find the going rough they can jump out again no one can take advantage of a trading partner because someone else will offer the prospective victim a better deal information about bids and offers spreads instantly to all participants and would be entrants every beneficial trade takes place the trading leads to an outcome that is best for each buyer each seller and society as a whole of course textbook economies occur only in textbooks it is commonplace to lament the fact that traders are not microscopic compared with the market traders are gullible entry and exit

environmental compliance and economic and environmental performance evidence from handicrafts small businesses in mexico this research aims to fill a major gap in the relevant literature on small businesses in developing countries specifically concerning the development of models to better explain economic and environmental performance as a result of environmental compliance thus moving toward an explanation of the sustainable behavior of these businesses data from 186 pottery craft businesses located in three mexican states oaxaca puebla and tlaxcala reveal that environmental compliance significantly influences economic and environmental performance with the mediating role of environmental innovation confirming the porter hypothesis in the context of small businesses in an emerging economy environmental compliance is an important factor in improving the economic and environmental performance of small businesses in emerging economies

risk aversion wealth and background risk we use household survey data to construct a direct measure of absolute risk aversion based on the maximum price a consumer is willing to pay for a risky security we relate this measure to consumer s endowments and attributes and to measures of background risk and liquidity constraints we find that risk aversion is a decreasing function of the endowment thus rejecting cara preferences we estimate the elasticity of risk aversion to consumption at about 0 7 below the unitary value predicted by crra utility we also find that households attributes are of little help in predicting their degree of risk aversion which is characterized by massive unexplained heterogeneity we show that the consumer s environment affects risk aversion individuals who are more likely to face income uncertainty or to become liquidity constrained exhibit a higher degree of absolute risk aversion consistent with recent theories of attitudes toward risk in the presence of uninsurable risks jel d1 d8

the simultaneous determination of spot and futures prices in a simple model with production risk this paper deals with properties of a rational expectations equilibrium when there is futures trading a simple two good model is analyzed where one of the goods is produced subject to production risk although the futures market provides insurance against price risk to producers it is income risk that concerns them whether they hedge in equilibrium is shown to depend on the price and income elasticity of demand for their output as well as on the degree to which consumers the other party in the futures transaction are risk averse

a theory of commodity price fluctuations this paper studies the price fluctuations of storable commodities that are traded in open markets and are subject to random shocks to demand or more particularly to supply it relaxes the common assumption that the shocks are identically and independently distributed in favor of temporally dependent and periodic disturbances the existence of a unique stationary rational expectations equilibrium is demonstrated for each of the models analyzed and testable implications of the models are derived an illustrative empirical investigation is then undertaken for the model with periodic disturbances using monthly time series observations for seven commodities over the period 1960 93

case study evidence that direct regulation remains the main driver of industrial pollution avoidance and may benefit operational efficiency abstract environmental regulation is required to reduce industrial pollution to levels that are socially acceptable and economically efficient but there is debate over the most efficient form of such regulation typically a limited range of environmental and economic parameters are accounted for in the econometric studies that inform that debate this paper integrates evidence from two separate studies to assess a broad range of parameters related to the efficiency of industrial environmental regulation questionnaire responses from 25 italian manufacturers of building chemicals and 28 irish pharmaceutical manufacturers provided evidence on the environmental effectiveness and operational impacts of different regulatory instruments combined with extensive emissions data from irish pharmaceutical manufacturers survey results enabled a quantitative estimation of pollution avoidance specifically attributable to direct regulation the monetised social benefit of avoided pollution was found to be equal to direct compliance costs chemical manufacturers in italy and ireland stated that direct regulation is a more important driver of industrial environmental performance than economic or voluntary regulation and their responses indicated that direct compliance costs may be countered somewhat by stimulated operational improvements it was concluded that direct regulation is an effective approach for multi pollutant control in an industrial context and that the efficiency of such regulation may be underestimated in studies that do not consider the full range of pollutants and operational effects

do environmental regulations hamper productivity growth how accounting for improvements of plants environmental performance can change the conclusion abstract many economists maintain that environmental regulations hamper productivity growth a view supported by several empirical studies on industry or state level data however there is little research of the relationship between the stringency of environmental regulation and productivity growth at the plant level and the results of the few existing studies are ambiguous moreover the measures of productivity growth applied in previous studies do not credit plants for emission reductions and this may result in understatement of productivity growth we perform regression analyses of productivity growth on regulatory stringency using plant level data to credit a plant for emission reductions we include emissions as inputs when calculating an environmental malmquist productivity index emi and do not include emissions when calculation the traditional malmquist productivity index mi the regression analyses show that the overall effect of the regulatory stringency faced by plants on plants productivity growth is statistically insignificant when mi is applied to measure productivity growth however when we apply emi the effect is positive and statistically significant this indicates that not accounting for emission reductions when measuring productivity growth can result in too pessimistic conclusions regarding the effect of regulatory stringency on productivity growth

order imbalances and stock price movements on october 19 and 20 1987 on october 19 1987 nyse stocks in the s p index declined seven percentage points more than nyse stocks not in this index in the first hour of trading on october 20 the s p stocks virtually recovered to the level of the non s p stocks there is a strong relation between order imbalances and stock price movements both in analyses of time series and cross sections thus in addition to the breakdown in the linkage between future prices and the spot index on these two days there were also breakdowns in the linkage among nyse stocks

the self regulation of commodity exchanges the case of market manipulation influential economists argue that government regulation of manipulative practices in financial markets is unnecessary because exchanges have incentives to take nearly first best precautions against the exercise of market power this article shows that the theoretical arguments underlying this proposition are weak because exchange members are likely to ignore the effects of manipulation on inframarginal traders and price informativeness competition between exchanges may be limited and collective action problems preclude efficient exchange intervention for these reasons exchanges will likely take few precautions against market power an examination of the history of self regulation at 10 exchanges prior to the passage of laws proscribing manipulation shows that they took few if any measures to curb manipulation since the characteristics of manipulation imply that it can be deterred efficiently through the use of harm based sanctions this theory and evidence strongly suggest that self regulation is a

differential environmental regulation effects on electric utility capital turnover and emissions this paper tests the hypothesis that differential regulations reduced the rate of capital turnover in the electric utility industry resulting in increased emissions of sulfur dioxide based on a sample of forty four privately owned electric utilities operating over the period 1969 83 the authors results indicate that 1 regulation increased the age of capital by an average of 3 29 years 24 6 percent 2 increases in the age of capital have no statistically significant impact on emissions and 3 in the absence of regulation emissions would have increased by 3 79 tons per million kwhs 34 6 percent copyright 1993 by mit press

mean reversion of standard poor s 500 index basis changes arbitrage induced or statistical illusion mean reversion in stock index basis changes has been presumed to be driven by the trading activity of stock index arbitragers we propose here instead that the observed negative autocorrelation in basis changes is mainly a statistical illusion arising because many stocks in the index portfolio trade infrequently even without formal arbitrage reported basis changes would appear negatively autocorrelated as lagging stocks eventually trade and get updated the implications of this study go beyond index arbitrage however our analysis suggests that spurious elements may creep in whenever the price change or return series of two securities or portfolios of securities are differenced mean reversion in stock index basis changes has been amply documented mackinlay and ramaswamy 1988 find significant negative first order autocorrelation in normalized intraday basis changes of the s p 500 index futures traded on the chicago mercantile exchange cme yadav and pope 1990 find similar behavior using financial times stock exchange ftse 100 index futures data from the london international financial futures exchange liffe as does lim 1990 using nikkei 225 index futures from the singapore international monetary exchange simex the trading activity of stock index arbitragers has been presumed to be driving this elastic realignment of stock index and index futures prices when the basis widens beyond its theoretical level arbitragers simultaneously sell index futures and buy the index portfolio pulling the difference between the futures and index

a general index of technical change this paper outlines a procedure for estimating a general index of technical change within the context of a quite general production technology specifically when panel data are available for firms in an industry time specific dummies can be combined in a nonlinear estimation procedure to yield a general index of technical change that may be both nonneutral and scale augmenting this approach offers numerous advantages over the traditional time trend representation of technical change for example the general index can serve as the basis for analysis of the determinants of technical change results for a sample of 30 electric utilities over the period 1951 78 show that the productivity decline of the 1970s can be attributed primarily to sulphur oxide restrictions and secularly declining capacity utilization due to rapidly increasing peak load demands

environmental regulation and environmental productivity the case of china abstract constrained by the dual mission of supporting industrial growth and reducing emissions china s traditional emission reduction oriented environmental policies unavoidably face a dilemma this study adopts the gml index to calculate china s industrial productivity by considering environmental factors in addition based on the assumption of industry heterogeneity the author examines the non linear relationship between china s environmental regulation and environmental productivity and calculated the optimal regulation environment for industries according to this study when impact of undesirable outputs pollutant emissions is considered environmental regulation and environmental productivity are positively correlated which to some degree validates the porter hypothesis at present environmental regulation has significant positive effects on clean production industries but shows a lag effect on pollution intensive industries the degree of environmental regulation and environmental productivity show an inverted u shaped relation and display three thresholds it should be noted however that the relationship between regulation and productivity may vary across industries these findings have clear policy implications rather than continually increasing the level of environmental regulation the government should establish standards for individual industries that emphasize flexibility

an activity analysis model of the environmental performance of firms application to fossil fuel fired electric utilities the productivity of firms when some outputs pollution are undesirable has been studied in the literature for some time in this paper we introduce an environmental performance indicator based on the decomposition of overall factor productivity into a pollution index and an input output efficiency index this indicator is compared to the more conventional jaggi and freedman 1992 model results are given for illustrative purposes using data from u s fossil fuel fired electric utilities the rankings of the utilities obtained with the two models show significant divergence which is due to the different ways in which the undesirable outputs are dealt with as well as due to the different possible tradeoffs between the pollutants released into the atmosphere and the resources used as inputs

the october 1987 s p 500 stock futures basis five minute changes in the s p 500 index and futures contract are examined over a ten day period surrounding the october 1987 stock market crash since nonsynchronous trading problems are severe in these data new index estimators are derived and used the estimators use the complete transaction history of all 500 stocks nonsynchronous trading explains part of the large absolute futures cash basis observed during the crash the remainder may be due to disintegration of the two markets even after adjustment for nonsynchronous trading the index displays more autocorrelation than does the futures and the futures leads the index

intraday price change and trading volume relations in the stock and stock option markets this study investigates intraday relations between price changes and trading volume of options and stocks for a sample of firms whose options traded on the cboe during the first quarter of 1986 after purging the price change series of the effects of bid ask spreads multivariate time series analysis is used to estimate the lead lag relation between the price changes in the option and stock markets the results indicate that price changes in the stock market lead the option market by as much as fifteen minutes the analysis of trading volume indicates that the stock market lead may be even longer the intense trading activity in and in fact the very existence of organized stock option markets attest to the economic benefits that these financial contracts provide reduced transaction costs and increased financial leverage are two reasons why trading in the stock option market may be more attractive than trading in the market for the underlying stock in addition these cheaper and more flexible trading opportunities attract new and differently informed investors to the marketplace the resulting increase in trading activity together with the inextricable arbitrage linkage between stock and option prices imply an increase in market efficiency this study investigates empirically the intraday price change and trading volume relations between stocks and options for a sample of firms whose options were actively traded on the chicago board options exchange during the first quarter of 1986 in particular intraday call option price changes are translated into implied stock price changes using the american call option pricing model these intraday implied stock price changes are then compared with the actual stock price changes to identify which if either market leads the other in perfectly functioning capital markets there should be complete simultaneity between the series that is new information disseminating into the marketplace should be reflected in the prices and the trading activity of both securities simultaneously institutional factors however may make the stock option market more attractive to information traders this may cause price changes and trading activity due to new information to be observed in the option market first followed by price

environmentally sensitive productivity analysis of the canadian pulp and paper industry 1959 1994 an input distance function approach abstract this study employs a parametric input distance function that incorporates both desirable and undesirable outputs to provide a more complete representation of the production technology from which environmentally sensitive productivity and efficiency measures can be generated this framework also generates pollution abatement cost estimates that are useful for policy making an input based malmquist index of productivity growth that appropriately credits the producer not only for increases in marketable or desirable outputs but also for the production of improved environmental quality through pollution abatement activities is derived from the input distance function the method was applied to time series data from the canadian pulp and paper industry our shadow price estimates indicate that the marginal cost to producers of pollution control has been rising the main conclusion of this study is that productivity improvement from the social viewpoint has been stronger than conventional measures would suggest

how to define illegal price manipulation the term illegal price manipulation is difficult to define current us law does not explicitly define it the finance and econom ics literature uses the term manipulation in an imprecise manner this paper proposes that a trading strategy not be classified as illegal price manipulation unless the violator s intent is to pursue a scheme that undermines eco nomic efficiency both by making prices less accurate as signals for efficient resource allo cation and by making markets less liquid for risk transfer since price effects are market wide we treat the terms price manipulation and market manipulation as synonyms our definition applies equally to financial and com modities markets

the market impact and the cost of environmental policy evidence from the swedish green car rebate we quantify the effects of the swedish gcr a program to reduce oil dependence and greenhouse gas emissions in the automobile industry we find the gcr to increase the market shares of green cars and its cost to be 109 tonco2 saved thus 5 times the price of an emission permit since the main green cars in sweden are ffvs flexible fuel vehicles which can switch between petrol gasoline and ethanol we also account for fuel choice which increases the cost of the program finally we show that consumers would have purchased ffvs regardless of the rebate provided by the gcr

anomalies the winner s curse abstract next time that you find yourself a little short of cash for lunch try the following experiment in your class take a jar and fill it with coins noting the total value of the coins now a

economic efficiency and frontier techniques abstract most of the literature related to the measurement of economic efficiency has based its analysis either on parametric or on non parametric frontier methods the choice of estimation method has been an issue of debate with some researchers preferring the parametric and others the non parametric approach the aim of this paper is to provide a critical and detailed review of both core frontier methods in our opinion no approach is strictly preferable to any other moreover a careful consideration of their main advantages and disadvantages of the data set utilized and of the intrinsic characteristics of the framework under analysis will help us in the correct implementation of these techniques recent developments in frontier techniques and economic efficiency measurement such as bayesian techniques bootstrapping duality theory and the analysis of sampling asymptotic properties are also considered in this paper

pricing for the clean air evidence from chinese housing market abstract air pollution is widely believed to cause healthy risks and influence nations economic dimensions this paper investigates the impact of air pollution on housing prices in china s 286 prefectural level cities during 2005 2013 to address the endogeneity problem of pm2 5 concentrations in our regression we propose an instrument variable strategy based on ventilation coefficient the estimation results suggest that a 10 increase in pm2 5 concentrations causes a 2 4 reduction in local housing prices air pollution also hinders the progress of urbanization limits cities human capital formation and changes people s expectations of housing prices that we interpret as three potential mechanisms behind our main findings

productivity scale economies and technical change reconsidered recently several writers have presented theoretical arguments and empirical evidence that suggests that an electric utility s long run productivity growth rate can be decomposed into a variety of factors for example gollop and roberts 12 decompose a utility s total factor productivity growth rate into three distinct components 1 technical change 2 a scale effect and 3 an environmental regulatory factor results for the 1970s indicate that declining rates of technical change and output growth coupled with increased regulatory intensity lead to a noticeable decline in the firm s long run productivity growth rate similarly nelson and wohar 15 examine the impact of technical change scale economies and rate of return regulation on an electric utility s longrun productivity growth rate evidence suggests that the technical change and scale components behaved in a manner similar to the gollop and roberts 12 findings the evidence concerning the impact of the regulatory factor was less convincing due to the difficulty in obtaining reliable estimates of the regulatory constraint parameter a common characteristic of this literature is that the firms under investigation are assumed to employ all inputs at their long run cost minimizing levels as such the productivity decomposition model is primarily concerned with distinguishing between shifts in the production function versus movements along the production structure according to caves christensen and swanson 5 a violation of the long run equilibrium assumption adds an equally important factor to the decomposition of productivity growth specifically the movement toward or away from longrun equilibrium as a consequence researchers must further distinguish between long run and short run productivity growth estimates 2 in a recent article 9 daly and rao illustrate theoretically and empirically using a long run cost function and data pertaining to ontario hydro that a firm s long run productivity growth rate can be decomposed into 1 technical change 2 non constant returns to scale and 3 a capacity

the impact of environmental regulations on industry productivity direct and indirect effects abstract the paper develops an approach to measuring the impact of environmental regulations on total factor productivity growth which is less restrictive than a simple growth accounting approach environmental regulations have a direct impact on productivity growth due to the diversion of resources toward required abatement capital there can be a further indirect effect however as conventional inputs and production processes are changed in response to requirements to purchase abatement capital we estimate this indirect effect using a flexible functional form cost function total factor productivity and the direct and indirect productivity effects of environmental regulations are presented for five polluting industries we find that the indirect effect can be either positive or negative and in all industries is energy using the net impact of environmental regulations on total factor productivity growth is fairly small given that these are the most polluting industries they account for about 10 30 of the productivity decline of the 1970s in these industries

a theory of price limits in futures markets abstract the existence of price limits in certain futures markets is explained by demonstrating that price limits may act as a partial substitute for margin requirements in ensuring contract performance their effectiveness is a decreasing function of the amount of information available to traders about the equilibrium futures price which is unobservable in the event of a limit move and the theory predicts that no limits will exist in the markets for financial futures actual limits are broadly consistent with the theory his interpretation plausible as it was was totally misleading with the dangerous verisimilitude of a theory which will fit all or nearly all the facts and yet more entirely miss the truth by a mere accident then would a frank perplexity heritage v sackville west