valuing the attributes of renewable energy investments increasing the proportion of power derived from renewable energy sources is becoming an increasingly important part of many countries s strategies to achieve reductions in greenhouse gas emissions however renewable energy investments can often have external costs and benefits which need to be taken into account if socially optimal investments are to be made this paper attempts to estimate the magnitude of these external costs and benefits for the case of renewable technologies in scotland a country which has set particularly ambitious targets for expanding renewable energy the external effects we consider are those on landscape quality wildlife and air quality we also consider the welfare implications of different investment strategies for employment and electricity prices the methodology used to do this is the choice experiment technique renewable technologies considered include hydro on shore and off shore wind power and biomass welfare changes for different combinations of impacts associated with different investment strategies are estimated we also test for differences in preferences towards these impacts between urban and rural communities and between high and low income households

assessing employment in renewable energy technologies a case study for wind power in brazil abstract environmental concerns and the search for climate change mitigation have led to the deployment of renewable energy technologies ret in several countries the adoption of incentive policies especially those based on heavy subsides has motivated the discussion of social and economic benefits brought about by these technologies mainly on the impact on employment rates in this context several studies have been conducted to quantify job creation by ret concluding that the latter are more labor intensive than traditional fossil fueled technologies however results for different assessments vary largely due to distinct methodological approaches and are frequently highly aggregated thus results are not comparable or applicable to other contexts previous studies have failed to quantify the effects of imports and exports of ret equipment in total employment usually associating employment and installed capacity in the year studied this study has aimed to address these issues creating an index for employment quantification based on production instead of installed capacity we have estimated both direct jobs in manufacture construction and operation and management and indirect jobs both in the upstream supply chains of materials and inputs to manufacture of wind turbines and construction of wind farms we have also performed an assessment of jobs created in wind energy projects which are expected to begin operation in brazil until 2017 the resulting job potential in brazil corresponds to13 5 persons year equivalent for each mw installed between manufacture and first year of operation of a wind power plant and 24 5 persons year equivalent over the wind farm lifetime results show that major contribution from wind power for job creation are in the construction stage and despite of the low amount of jobs created in operation and maintenance relative to new installed capacity those stable jobs stand out as they persist over the entire wind farm s life time

assessing the impact of renewable energy deployment on local sustainability towards a theoretical framework renewable energy sources res have a large potential to contribute to the sustainable development sd of specific territories by providing them with a wide variety of socioeconomic and environmental benefits however the existing literature has put much emphasis on the environmental benefits including the reduction of global and local pollutants while socioeconomic impacts have not received a comparable attention these include diversification of energy supply enhanced regional and rural development opportunities creation of a domestic industry and employment opportunities with the exception of the diversification and security of energy supply these benefits have usually been mentioned but their analysis has been too general i e mostly at the national level and a focus on the regional and even more so the local level has been lacking at most studies provide scattered evidence of some of those regional and local benefits but without an integrated conceptual framework to analyse them this paper tries to make a contribution in this regard by developing an integrated theoretical framework which allows a comprehensive analysis of the impact of renewable energy on local sustainability and which can be empirically applied to identify these benefits in different territories

measuring globalization of industries using a national industry approach empirical evidence across five countries and over time this paper presents an objective measurement of industry globalization although crucial in understanding firm strategies industry globalization has been largely subjectively measured consisting of mostly case studies this research develops a two pronged measure of industry globalization based on a the extent of an industry s international linkages lit and b the integration of value added activities within the industry iit in addition of providing a quantitative equivalent to porter 1986 and bartlett and ghoshal s 1989 conceptual industry categorizations this measure permits the examination of important but previously untested notions regarding globalization using data for chemical and manufacturing industries for five major trading nations we find that 1 chemical industries are less global than manufacturing industries despite high levels of fdi found in chemical industries 2 u s globalization frequently assumed to be representative of worldwide globalization of industries is less than that of other major industrial countries and 3 industries in both sectors are globalizing over time consistent with the literature

how natural is canada s high unemployment rate abstract a reduced form price equation for canada 1956 1984 yields a stable estimate of 4 9 percent for the natural unemployment rate of men aged 25 and over with strong evidence against hysteresis once structural influences are accounted for the resulting profile for the aggregate natural unemployment rate rises smoothly from 5 5 percent in 1961 to a maximum of 8 0 percent in 1977 1978 and then declines rapidly to 6 4 percent in 1985 calculations based on an estimated production structure for the aggregate non energy sector of canada provide additional evidence against the excess real wage hypothesis and for the view that the recent fluctuations in canada s unemployment rate are mostly of the keynesian variety

ex post analysis of economic impacts from wind power development in u s counties wind power development has surged in recent years in the united states policymakers and economic development practitioners to date have typically relied upon project level case studies or modeled input output estimates to assess the economic development impacts from wind power often focusing on potential local state wide or national employment or earnings impacts building on this literature we conduct an ex post econometric analysis of the county level economic development impacts of wind power installations from 2000 through 2008 in a large wind rich region in the country taking into account factors influencing wind turbine location we find an aggregate increase in county level personal income and employment of approximately 11 000 and 0 5 jobs per megawatt of wind power capacity installed over the sample period of 2000 to 2008 these estimates appear broadly consistent with modeled input output results and translate to a median increase in total county personal income and employment of 0 2 and 0 4 for counties with installed wind power over the same period

commercial policy and intra industry trade abstract this paper constructs a model of intra industry trade within a multi product industry whose output range is limited to that obtainable from a particular type of capital intra industry trade is a natural outcome in this structure without requiring increasing returns to scale or imperfectly competitive markets and with its pattern determined along traditional relative factor abundance lines the volume of this trade will vary inversely with the level of trade restrictions as observed empirically other policies are then considered for their influence on the range rather than the level of domestic production since the former is the more likely policy objective under these circumstances

deriving natural rates of unemployment for sub national regions the case of canadian provinces in order to pursue informed stabilization policies it is vital for policy markers to have estimates of how much of the total unemployment rate can be classified as cyclical rather than natural unemployment this paper describes a method for generating regional natural rate estimates and applies this method to the case of canadian provinces results indicate that unemployment insurance generosity and relative minimum wages play an important role in determining natural unemployment rates in canadian provinces one of the enduring characteristics of the canadian labour market has been substantial and peresistent unemployment rate disparities across provinces the results of this study indicate that these disparities are primarily explained by differences in provincial values of structural variables such as unemployment generosity and by differences in provincial sensitivities to these structural variables a furher result is that variation in cyclical unemployment rates is substantially less in the traditio

eu participation and the external trade of greece an appraisal of the evidence this paper investigates the trade effects caused by the accession of greece to the eu a large part of the analysis is in terms of trade flows disaggregated by the 21 categories of the greek tariff schedule these series are original data sets which have been constructed by the author to be used here for the first time the main message is that after 1981 events took a turn closer to the pessimistic pre accession predictions our findings indicate that during the post integration period the external trade of greece has been reoriented towards the eu countries and greece lost part of its comparative advantage in those sectors in which such an advantage exists we also suggest that as far as imports are concerned eu participation has caused gross trade creation for imports from the eu countries and gross trade diversion for imports from the rest of the world as far as exports are concerned the results indicate that eu participation has caused only a modest increase in greek exports to the eu market

unemployment in canada and the united states reduced form unemployment equations containing aggregate demand structural and frictional variables are estimated for canada and the united states post 1981 increases in unemployment rates are explained almost entirely by aggr egate demand variables although structural sectoral variables make i mportant contributions to changes in the gap between the two countrie s unemployment rates for both countries the results support the fo llowing monetarist propositions monetary variables are the prime determinants of the business cycle exogenous investment shocks are typically of minor importance and macro policy has tended to be dest abilizing

canadian regional cycles the quebec ontario case revisited canadian economists have devoted some attention to the study of regional cycles in the quebec ontario case the wid ening hypothesis has emerged as the empirical consensus this hypot hesis states that the gap between the two regional economies increase s in a recessionary period this paper reexamines this question using recent data and bayesian vector autoregression models the results o btained monthly data on total employment 1966 84 do not support th e prevailing position a u s recession rapidly and strongly affects the ontario economy while the impact on quebec is much weaker conseq uently a recession narrows the gap between the two provinces

hysteresis in unemployment evidence from 48 u s states i introduction one central idea in macroeconomics is the equilibrium unemployment rate hypothesis 1 in many macroeconomic models which allow for some degree of price stickiness fluctuations in demand and supply may lead to deviations of the actual unemployment rate from its equilibrium value these deviations in turn trigger changes in the inflation rate there is nothing in the equilibrium unemployment rate literature which even vaguely suggests such a rate is constant indeed many studies have analyzed the factors which cause the equilibrium unemployment rate to change over time or across areas for example summers 1986 presents evidence of an increased normal u s unemployment rate since the mid 1960s and argues that this increase has in large part resulted from high and growing noncompetitive wage differentials barro 1988 addresses the issue of persistence of unemployment in various countries over a number of time periods and relates measures of persistence to variables that matter theoretically for the economy s speed of adjustment blanchard and summers 1986 1987 propose the so called hysteresis hypothesis of unemployment hysteresis is the term used to describe the long lasting influence of history on the natural rate a recession potentially has permanent effects if it changes attitudes and or characteristics of the unemployed and particularly the long term unemployed furthermore the latter may exert less pressure on the wage setting because they will become outsiders in the labor market the insiders union members or currently employed workers have much incentive to keep wages from falling 2 the hysteresis hypothesis of unemployment has important policy implications it suggests that high unemployment if left by itself may persist and continue to be a serious problem in the economy even in the long run this possibility leaves more room for active government policies to fight recessions and manage the economy the fact that the actual unemployment rate may not fluctuate around some natural rate suggests the possibility of nonstationarity in the unemployment series this relationship can be illustrated with a simple model from wyplosz 1987 or brunello 1990 consider the following phillips curve 1 mathematical expression omitted where p sub t is the current inflation rate e sub t i p sub t is the expected inflation rate of time t given information at time t 1 u sub t is the current unemployment rate mathematical expression omitted is the natural unemployment rate beta is the slope of the phillips curve and xi sub t is an error term the possibility of hysteresis arises when the natural rate is a function of past unemployment rates this can be expressed as follows 2 mathematical expression omitted where c and alpha are constants and zeta sub t is an error term substituting 2 into 1 yields 3 u sub t c alpha u sub t 1 epsilon sub t where epsilon sub t 1 beta e sub t 1 p sub t p sub t xi sub t zeta sub t hysteresis requires the parameter alpha in 3 to be equal to one 3 it implies that once disturbed the unemployment rate tends to wander around without returning to a mean value in this case the unemployment rate and also the natural rate contain a unit root in contrast when alpha is between zero and one the natural rate evolves towards its steady state level c 1 alpha and the weak version of the natural rate hypothesis holds as long as alpha is larger than zero there is persistence in unemployment rate in the sense that past unemployment affects the natural rate we however seek to test for the existence of hysteresis the extreme version of persistence finally when the parameter alpha equals zero the natural rate stays at a constant level c

accounting for unemployment a labour market perspective i examine whether prolonged high unemployment in canada can be attributed to various structural causes rather than to demand deficiency as found by macro econometric models the answer is largely negative neither the dispersion of sectoral growth rates nor excessive and rigid real wages can convincingly account for most unemployment contentions to the contrary are based upon inappropriately partial analyses enduring shifts in industrial structure have if anything been declining labour mobility is high much unemployment lasts too long to be frictional fuller quantitative understanding of the nature of unemployment can be achieved only in a more general framework

intra industry specialization in a multi country and multi industry framework the paper tests alternative hypotheses as to the factors determining the extent of intra industry trade defined as the share of this trade in total trade in a multi country and multi industry framework the empirical results show that the extent of intra industry trade in a particular industry between any two countries depends on the characteristics of the industry and the countries concerned the explanatory power of the regressions for the entire group of countries exporting manufactured goods as well as for trade among the developed countries is relatively high and practically all the hypotheses concerning the impact of industry trade are supported by the empirical results lower coefficients of determination have been obtained for trade between developed and developing countries and for trade among developing countries but the estimates generally support the hypotheses put forward in the paper in these cases also

the impact of wind power on the brazilian labor market abstract wind power is an important source of renewable energy beyond the environmental dimension the wind energy may contribute to the local development due to its weather conditions brazil emerges as one of the leading countries in the generation of wind power this study estimates the impact of wind farms on the brazilian labor market through the exploration of the staggered nature of the sequential process of wind farm implantation between 2004 and 2016 we estimate the treatment effect parameters using a difference in differences did approach with i multiple time periods ii variation in treatment timing and iii dynamic treatment effects through an event study design we aggregate information from several data sources into a panel and we analyze the impact on employment and wages by considering economic sectors educational levels firm sizes and types of jobs direct or indirect jobs our findings suggest that wind farms increase employment in the industry agriculture and construction and increase the wages in all economic sectors and we find evidence that this effect occurs on indirect jobs additionally we find positive effects on the employment and wages of less educated workers and of small and medium sized firms the impact of this intervention can last for up to two years after the implementation of wind farms in the municipalities our results suggest that wind power may generate significant social impacts through the labor market by contributing to local development and increasing social welfare in developing economies

unemployment insurance meets the classical labor supply model abstract through making average income dependent on the breakdown of non employment into frequency and duration the classical labor supply model with unemployment insurance has important implications for labor force participation the duration of employment and unemployment and modes of worker behavior that are by and large consistent with empirical knowledge

the determinants of intra european trade in manufactured goods abstract the determinants of intra european trade in manufactured goods are examined using three models the first model tests whether inter industry specialization between pairs of countries can be explained in terms of inter industry differences in factor intensities and inter country differences in factor endowments the second model tests the effects of country and industry characteristics in the extent of intra industry specialization the third model combines the first two to analyse the determinants of bilateral gross trade in individual industries the empirical results support the specific hypotheses put forward to specify the models

eec integration towards 1992 some distributional aspects gains and losses from 1992 damien j neven this paper examines how the benefits and costs of the internal market programme will be shared across member states the main conclusion is that the northern european countries stand to gain little from 1992 the only exception is the uk which will benefit from integration because initially it is less integrated than its northern neighbours the main beneficiaries will be the southern european countries they will benefit both from a better exploitation of their comparative advantage in labour intensive commodities and from the gains from unexploited scale economies which have already been substantially exploited in northern europe although northern countries have a comparative advantage in goods which are intensive in human capital southern markets for these goods are relatively small that is why it is the southern countries which stand to gain most even if in addition ec trade with the rest of the world is liberalized at the same pace as within the ec labour intensive production especially clothing and footwear in the south could increase by as much as 14 after 1992 areas in the north where such industries are concentrated may be the largest losers from 1992

the long term effect of renewable electricity on employment in the united kingdom abstract assessment of the employment impact of renewable electricity technologies is generally implemented through either complex and data intensive methods such as computable general equilibrium models or simplistic approaches normally focused on specific energy generation technologies such as employment factors in contrast this article proposes a transparent and easily reproducible econometric methodology based on the vector error correction model that uses aggregated and widely available data the model is applied to the power generation sector in the united kingdom using annual data from 1990 onwards and provides evidence that the long term employment impact of renewable technologies is much higher than the impact arising from deploying nuclear or natural gas technologies the impulse response function analysis indicates that a permanent 1 gigawatt hours increase in annual electricity supply generated by renewable technologies creates 3 5 jobs in the long term period finally this study derives the implications of the findings in the context of decarbonisation scenarios for the power sector in the united kingdom and assesses the extent to which decarbonisation pathways based on renewable electricity contribute to stimulating employment in the generation sector