occupational choice and the process of development this paper models economic development as a process of institutional transformation by focusing on the interplay between agents occupational decisions and the distribution of wealth because of capital market imperfections poor agents choose working for a wage over self employment and wealthy agents become entrepreneurs who monitor workers only with sufficient inequality however will there be employment contracts otherwise there is either subsistence or self employment thus in static equilibrium the occupational structure depends on distribution since the latter is itself endogenous we demonstrate the robustness of this result by extending the model dynamically and studying examples in which initial wealth distributions have long run effects in one case the economy develops either widespread cottage industry self employment or factory production employment contracts depending on the initial distribution in the other example it develops into prosperity or stagnation

banking development socioeconomic structure and income inequality abstract using rich unique data from the italian local credit markets provinces this paper investigates the impact of local banking development on income inequality and the role of the socioeconomic structure in this link exploiting the italian historical banking regulation to instrument for the local presence of bank branches we find that local banking development mitigates income inequality however the finance inequality nexus manifests itself only in relatively advanced areas when we study the structural channels of influence we uncover evidence that banking development can reduce inequality by affecting geographical mobility and urbanization while it has modest effects through the development of material infrastructures and human capital

inequality democracy and the protection of property rights motivated by the observed relevance of institutional quality such as strong property rights for economic performance this research considers the emergence of property rights protection as a political outcome it argues that the support for such protection is greater the more equal income distribution and the smaller political bias when these conditions initially hold the politically influential rich elite may prefer to relinquish its power through democratisation in order to commit future policy makers to the enforcement of property rights thus ensuring larger investment and faster growth along the transition path in a very unequal economy however such democratisation will not take place

from the fringe to the fore labor unions and employee compensation conventional wisdom suggests that labor unions raise worker wages while the newer empirical literature finds only negligible earnings effects i reconcile this apparent contradiction by arguing th

income distribution political instability and investment abstract this paper successfully tests on a sample of 71 countries for the period 1960 85 the following hypotheses income inequality by fuelling social discontent increases sociopolitical instability the latter by creating uncertainty in the politico economic environment reduces investment as a consequence income inequality and investment are inversely related since investment is a primary engine of growth this paper identifies a channel for an inverse relationship between income inequality and growth we measure socio political instability with indices which capture the occurrence of more or less violent phenomena of political unrest and we test our hypotheses by estimating a two equation model in which the endogenous variables are investment and an index of socio political instability our results are robust to sensitivity analysis on the specification of the model and the measure of political instability and are unchanged when the model is estimated using robust regression techniques

why did male pension coverage decline in the 1980s this analysis of 1979 and 1988 may current population survey data suggests explanations for why male pension coverage declined during the 1980s and why the decline was particularly pronounced among young workers during the 1980s employment shifted toward jobs with lower pension coverage and this shift was more pronounced among young workers than among older workers more important than the reduction in the percentage of workers offered pensions however was reduced participation in pension plans one factor contributing importantly to declining participation rates was the growing share of pensions that were 401 k plans under such plans participation is more voluntary than it is under other plans and young workers are more likely than older workers to decline to participate

the retirement wealth of the baby boom generation abstract the paper compares the well being of the baby boom generation ages 40 55 in 2001 with the same age group in 1983 i find little evidence that their relative position deteriorated over the period by some indicators this generation has seen an improvement in terms of income the 40 55 age group was at about the same relative position in 2001 as in 1983 in terms of conventional wealth there was some slippage over the period in terms of mean augmented wealth net worth plus pension and social security wealth their relative position improved somewhat but in terms of median augmented wealth there was again some slippage

markets for medical care and medical education an integrated long run structural approach this paper investigates the relationship between the market for medical care and the market for medical education within a standard supply and demand framework the capacity of medical schools is considered as an endogenous element within a complete structural system of the market for physicians services the parameters of the model are estimated using data from the postwar period the estimated system is then simulated both to compare it to alternative time series forecasting approaches and to examine the nature of earnings cycles in medicine the results of this exercise support the applicability of traditional economics to this sector of the economy

income distribution and macroeconomics this paper analyzes the role of wealth distribution in macroeconomics through investment in human capital it is shown that in the presence of credit markets imperfections and indivisibilities in investment in human capital the initial distribution of wealth affects aggregate output and investment both in the short and in the long run as there are multiple steady states this paper therefore provides an additional explanation for the persistent differences in per capita output across countries furthermore the paper shows that cross country differences in macroeconomic adjustment to aggregate shocks can be attributed among other factors to differences in wealth and income distribution across countries

new ways of looking at old issues inequality and growth abstract the paper uses new cross country data on income and asset land distribution to show that i there is a strong negative relationship between initial inequality in the asset distribution and long term growth ii inequality reduces income growth for the poor but not for the rich and iii available longitudinal data provide little support for the kuznets hypothesis policies that increase aggregate investment and facilitate acquisition of assets by the poor might thus be doubly beneficial for growth and poverty reduction

new evidence on pensions social security and the timing of retirement using a unique dataset that links the economic and demographic information of households with the details of their pension formulas i estimate the combined effect of social security and pension benefits on the probability of retirement in a cross section of the population near retirement age the accrual rate of retirement wealth is shown to be a significant determinant of the probability of retirement simulations of extensions in pension coverage comparable to those that occurred in the early postwar period can account for one fourth of the contemporaneous decline in labor force participation rates 1998 elsevier science s a all rights reserved

finance and income inequality what do the data tell us although there are distinct conjectures about the relationship between finance and income inequality little empirical research compares their explanatory power we examine the relationship between finance and income inequality for 83 countries between 1960 and 1995 because financial develop ment might be endogenous we use instruments from the literature on law finance and growth to control for this our results suggest that in the long run inequality is less when financial development is greater consistent with galor and zeira 1993 and banerjee and newman 1993 although the results also suggest that inequality might increase as financial sector development increases at very low levels of financial sector development as suggested by greenwood and jovanovic 1990 this result is not robust we reject the hypothesis that financial development benefits only the rich our results thus suggest that in addition to improving growth financial development also reduces inequality

explaining international and intertemporal variations in income inequality this paper explores the propositions that income inequality is relatively stable within countries and that it varies significantly among countries a new and expanded data set provides broad support for both propositions drawing on a political economy and capital market imperfection arguments to explain the intertemporal and international variation in inequality the empirical analysis shows that the predicted variables associated with the first argument a measure of civil liberties and the initial level of secondary schooling and the second argument a measure of financial depth and the initial distribution of land are indeed important determinants of inequality this paper explores two propositions regarding income inequality they are first income inequality is relatively stable within countries and second it varies significantly across countries to illustrate note that the gini coefficient in india remained almost constant for forty years 1951 92 with mean 32 6 and standard deviation 2 0 2 in contrast the variation in gini coefficients across countries is large 61 9 in honduras in 1968 compared with 17 8 in bulgaria in 1976 if substantiated these propositions have potentially significant implications for poverty the significance of the first is obvious barring any fundamental socio political change poverty reduction will depend crucially on the rate of economic growth given this the significance of the second is that in inegalitarian economies the poor will enjoy a smaller share of any national increment in income than in more egalitarian ones drawing on a new and expanded data set on inequality deininger and squire 1996a the first of the paper s three sections conducts standard statistical tests of the two propositions the sample comprises 573 observations on the most common measure of inequality the gini coefficient for 49 developed and developing countries covering the period 1947 94 the results broadly confirm our two propositions specifically analysis of variance anova shows that about 90 of the total variance in the gini coefficients

a new data set measuring income inequality this article presents a new data set on inequality in the distribution of income the authors explain the criteria they applied in selecting data on gini coefficients and on individual quintile groups income shares comparison of the new data set with existing compilations reveals that the data assembled here represent an improvement in quality and a significant expansion in coverage although differences in the definition of the underlying data might still affect inter temporal and international comparability based on this new data set the authors do not find a systematic link between growth and changes in aggregate inequality they do find a strong positive relationship between growth and reduction of poverty

insurance demand and country risks a nonlinear panel data analysis abstract this paper investigates the impact of country risks including political financial and economic risks on the income elasticity of insurance demand using the panel smooth transition regression model we find that there is a significant regime switching effect concerning the impact of country risks on the income elasticity of insurance demand a full sample analysis shows that the income elasticity of insurance demand decreases when country risks diminish in a subsample analysis based on income level legal origin and restriction on banks participation in insurance activities we find that the elasticity diminishes in general when economic risk drops when political risk is lower the elasticity decreases in countries with high income common law origin and insurance activities permitted by banks whereas a clear pattern cannot be identified in the case of financial risk

cohort size and the academic labor market educational policymakers have long been concerned that baby booms and busts alternately cause shortages and surpluses in academic labor markets these concerns have been supported by models which purport to forecast the effects of change in cohort size on the academic labor market in this paper it is argued that policymakers should be more skeptical of such forecasts the basis for the argument is a detailed analysis of a model of the academic labor market for economists the inescapable conclusion is that forecasts from such models provide little if any support for policies designed to offset the impact of change in cohort size on the academic labor market

growth inequality and poverty looking beyond averages the evidence is compelling that the poor in developing countries do typically share in the gains from rising aggregate affluence and in the losses from aggregate contraction but how much do poor people share in growth do they gain more in some settings than others do some gain while others lose does pro poor growth mean more or less aggregate growth recent theories and evidence suggest some answers but deeper microeconomic empirical work is needed on growth and distributed change only then will we have a firm basis for identifying the specific policies and programs needed to complement and possibly modify growth oriented policies

a new database on the structure and development of the financial sector this article introduces a new database of indicators of financial structure and financial development across countries and over time the database is unique in that it combines a wide variety of indicators that measure the size activity and efficiency of financial intermediaries and markets it improves on previous efforts by presenting data on the public share of commercial banks introducing indicators of the size and activity of nonbank financial institutions and constructing measures of the size of bond and primary equity markets this article introduces a new database the first to provide comprehensive measures of the development structure and performance of the financial sector this database is the first to define and construct indicators of the size and activity of nonbank financial intermediaries such as insurance companies pension funds and non deposit money banks it is also the first to include indicators of the size of primary equity markets and primary and secondary bond markets in constructing the database authors carefully deflate measures and match stock and flow variables

a closer look at financial development and income distribution this paper analyzes the under investigated relationship uniting financial development and income distribution we use a novel approach taking into account for the first time the specific channels linking banks capital markets and income inequality the time varying nature of the relationship and reciprocal causality we construct a set of annual indicators of banking and capital market size robustness efficiency and international integration we then estimate the determinants of income distribution using a panel bayesian structural vector autoregressive svar model for a set of 49 countries over the 1994 2002 period we uncover a significant causality running from financial sector development to income distribution in addition the banking sector seems to exert a stronger impact on inequality finally the relationship appears to depend on characteristics of the financial sector rather than on its size

financial development growth and the distribution of income a paradigm is presented in which both the extent of financial intermediation and the rate of economic growth are endogenously determined financial intermediation promotes growth because it allows a higher rate of return to be earned on capital and growth in turn provides the means to implement costly financial structures thus financial intermediation and economic growth are inextricably linked in accord with the goldsmith mckinnon shaw view on economic development the model also generates a development cycle reminiscent of the kuznet hypothesis in particular in the transition from a primitive slow growing economy to a developed fast growing one a nation passes through a stage in which the distribution of wealth across the rich and poor widens

legal theories of financial development this paper describes and empirically ex amines legal theories of international differences in financial development the law and finance theory stresses that legal traditions differ in terms of 1 their emphasis on the rights of private property owners vis a vis the state and 2 their ability to adapt to changing commercia l and financial conditions so that historically determined legal traditions shape financial deve lopment today other theories reject the centrality of legal tradition in accounting for cross country differences in financial development the results are broadly consistent with legal th eories of financial development though it is difficult to identify the precise channel through which legal tradition influences financial development

fringe benefits and inequality in the labor market 1 introduction wage inequality has been the topic of much recent empirical research similarly inequality in the distribution of fringe benefits has also been studied 1 on the whole the vast majority of research on inequality has examined wages and fringe benefits separately even though the cross sectional relationship between the two has been emphasized and analyzed in terms of the theory of equalizing differences rosen 1986 states the equalizing difference model is built upon the simple and intuitively compelling idea that it is the combination of wages and job attributes that constitute the relevant price of labor for market analysis of jobs thus inequality analysis based on either wages or fringe benefits alone can overlook the interaction between them and be misleading given equal productivity workers would trade fringe benefits for higher wages and vice versa however across different levels of productivity skilled workers will demand more fringe benefits simply because the benefits are normal goods moreover fringe benefits unlike wages are not taxed and skilled workers who face higher marginal tax rates are likely to demand more fringe benefits overtime one can expect the discrepancy between wages and compensation to grow because wages represent a smaller fraction of compensation 2 a few studies show potential biases in measured inequality when wages are used instead of compensation 3 however the inequality of fringe benefits at the level of the individual workers can be analyzed by focusing on the coverage rate of health insurance and pensions without knowing the monetary value of them due to data availability 4 moreover even though compensation inequality can be analyzed when the monetary values of fringe benefits are available it can be analyzed only at the level of the industry or job not at the level of the individual worker this research is different in that it uses individual level data with imputed monetary values for fringe benefits to analyze inequality in the labor market at a point in time and its growth over time deeper investigation has been conducted within the distribution to ascertain how each group is affected when fringe benefits are accounted for several alternative explanations of the observed discrepancies between wage inequality and compensation inequality are further assessed the remainder of this article is organized as follows section ii describes in detail the data used in this study section iii supplies the empirical results possible explanations for which are explored in section iv section v provides a conclusion ii data the lack of suitable data has precluded analysis of compensation inequality despite widespread interest in the topic until now no data set has contained information on both the demographic characteristics of workers and the monetary value of fringe benefits however such a data set has been created by merging individual level data from the current population survey cps and industry level data from the chamber of commerce s employee benefits survey bbs the march supplement of the cps for 1988 to 1995 supplies information on age gender years of schooling occupation of employment industry of employment wages weeks worked health insurance and pension coverage and imputed monetary value of health insurance for the year preceding the march survey year this annual survey is the largest source of information on fringe benefits and first included questions on health insurance and pension coverage in 1980 although the questionnaire items regarding health insurance were changed twice in survey years 1988 and 1995 i mitigate the problem by restricting the sample to workers ages 25 to 54 the group that the census bureau reports is the least likely to be affected gruber and poterba 1994 and by restricting the survey years to 1988 onward to focus on employer provided own health insurance coverage which is also less likely to be affected by the changes in the cps questionnaire on health insurance coverage

the impact of pension benefits on the distribution of earned income using standard measures of income inequality and detailed pension benefit information on participants in the 1983 survey of consumer finances scf the authors investigate how pension benefits affected the distribution of earned income the results suggest that private pensions increased annual income inequality relative to inequality observed in the distribution of wage income by only about 2 among all employed individuals but by 21 among unionized workers further analysis indicates that private pensions raised annual income inequality primarily by increasing the rate of return to tenure possibly through pension backloading setting accruals to grow when earnings rise near retirement and the increasing incidence of pensions with age private pensions had little effect on estimates of the distribution of expected lifetime income but the addition to the analysis of social security benefits public pensions strongly reduced inequality in that distribution a renewed interest in the distribution of income has developed recently as new evidence suggests that income inequality has worsened over the past twenty years researchers suggest several reasons for rising inequality including an increase in the incomes of well educated men relative to other groups for example juhn murphy and pierce 1993 demographic changes resulting from the entrance of the baby boom generation into the work force lawrence 1982 and a sectoral shift away from manufacturing and toward the ser

the implications of job matching for retirement health insurance and leave benefits this paper focuses on potential reasons for variations in benefit packages in particular variations in the availability of retirement health insurance and leave an important feature of our analysis is that we do not start with heterogeneity in workforces to explain fringe benefit differences across employers it would be straightforward to say that differences across employers in fringe benefit packages simply represent differences in the preferences of their workforces rather we focus on heterogeneity across employers as an important source of differences in fringe benefit packages preliminary evidence is found supportive of the predicted differences in the likelihood of such fringe benefits as retirement health insurance and leave based upon two variables the extent of on the job training offered by the employer and the size of the employers we also examine the implied links between these fringe benefits and such variables as average tenture and the proportion of the workforce that is female

predicted future earnings and choice of college major using data from the national longitudinal survey of young men the author of this paper examines the relationship between predicted future earnings for five broad fields of study and college students choice of major conditional logit models of major choice that incorporate alternative predicted earnings variables are specified and estimated the results indicate that holding family background characteristics constant individuals are likely to choose majors offering greater streams of future earnings rather than as some have argued majors with higher beginning earnings at the time of the choice it is also found that earnings profiles corrected for self selection bias have flattened for more recent graduates in business liberal arts and education the life cycle earnings in these disciplines appear to be more severely depressed than those in science and engineering

the simultaneous evolution of growth and inequality research on inequality and growth can be divided into two strands one deriving from kuznets and lewis has tried to identify a mechanistic relationship between growth or level of income and inequality the other has tried to find causal explanations of growth and inequality treating each independently in this paper we draw from both strands to test whether growth and inequality are the joint outcomes of other variables and processes we find that simultaneous examination of growth and inequality yields significantly different results and has different consequences for policy from previous independent studies the empirical literature on growth and inequality can be divided into two broad strands one following the pioneering work of kuznets and lewis is motivated by the pessimistic conjecture that the process of growth and development somehow requires increasing inequality at least in the early stages this has led to many efforts to identify a mechanical relationship between the level of development and inequality anand and kanbur 1993 or to determine whether faster growth requires higher or lower inequality the second strand has sought to identify the causal factors influencing the evolution of growth and inequality independently this research has looked either at growth for example barro and sala i martin 1995 or at inequality li et al 1997 but has not tried to identify those factors that might simultaneously influence both growth and inequality 2 thus the literature that looks simultaneously at growth and inequality descending most notably from kuznets 1955 relates them in a mechanistic manner that ignores or minimises the role of other causal factors including policy while the literature that incorporates other causal factors including policies looks independently at growth and inequality neither approach is particularly convincing from a theoretical standpoint the evolution of growth and inequality must surely be the outcome of similar processes in addition neither approach is particularly useful for the policy maker who needs to balance the impact of policies on both growth and distribution in this paper we investigate whether growth and inequality are simultaneously determined and if so whether or not they are subject to

financial development income inequality and country risk abstract this study explores the non linear effects of both finance development and country risks on income inequality when countries risk changes through a broad sample of 59 countries over the period 1985 2015 using the panel smooth transition regression model our results present evidence of the different relationships among income inequality finance development and country risks under different degrees of country risk for the full sample we find evidence of the inequality widening hypothesis under unstable economic stable financial and stable political environments for the sub samples under stable economic and financial environments high income countries income inequality can be improved through financial development moreover we find a positive relationship between financial development and income inequality for low income countries

finance and the sources of growth the authors evaluate whether the level of development in the banking sector exerts a causal impact on economic growth and its sources total factor productivity growth physical capital accumulation and private saving they use 1 a pure cross country instrumental variable estimator to extract the exogenous component of banking development and 2 a new panel technique that controls for country specific effects and endogeneity they find that banks do exert a large causal impact on total factor productivity growth which feeds through to overall gdp gross domestic product growth the long run links between banking development and both capital growth and private savings are more tenuous

financial development and economic growth views and agenda this critique argues that the preponderance of theoretical reasoning and empirical evidence suggests a positive first order relationship between financial development and economic growth the body of work would push even most skeptics toward the belief that the development of financial markets and institutions is a critical and inextricable part of the growth process and away from the view that the financial system is an inconsequential sideshow responding passively to economic growth many gaps remain however and the paper highlights areas in acute need of additional research

rationality and the decision to invest in economics in the study reported here we develop a theoretical model of occupational choice which is then specifically tailored to fit the market for economists over time economists typically assume that the world is relatively free of informational barriers and that agents carefully process vast amounts of information in making decisions this study reveals whether economists own occupational decisions are consistent with this world of rational calculating agents results suggest that tests for the internal consistency of rational expectations and our model of occupational choice cannot be rejected while the model provides a better explanation of the observed pattern of enrollments than does an alternative that assumes agents naively base decisions only on current wage conditions