liquidity constraints and labor supply abstract in this paper we shed some light on how restrictions in financial markets the so called liquidity constraints might act in affecting labour supply decisions of italian workers one way to neutralize the existence of binding liquidity constraints is simply by supplying additional labor instead of reducing consumption we estimate whether resorting to additional labor supply as a smoothing consumption device is at work by using the italian survey of households income and wealth shiw the longitudinal dimension of the shiw dataset allows us to control for individual unobserved heterogeneity we also use an iv strategy to address the endogeneity of our measure for credit constraints in labor supply equations due to time varying factors our results show that liquidity constraints increase the intensity in the supply of men s labor constrained men work on average 4 hours more than their unconstrained counterpart self employed workers turn out to be more sensitive to binding liquidity constraints possibly because they are more flexible in adjusting the intensity of their labor supply

women s access to credit does it matter for household efficiency studies that assess the impact of credit constraints on farm households efficiency have largely used the household as the unit of analysis this can be problematic when there are gender based market imperfections and asymmetries in how rights resources and responsibilities are distributed within the household constraints on women matter in addition to the efficiency loss associated with the husbands credit constraints when women are unable to meet their needs for capital their households experienced an additional 11 drop in efficiency this suggests that there are efficiency based arguments for enhancing women s access to capital and that studies based only on the household s head may significantly underestimate the true economic impact of credit constraints copyright 2008 oxford university press

nonmonetary effects of the financial crisis in propagation of the great depression this paper examines the effects of the financial crisis of the 1930s onthe path of aggregate output during that period our approach is complementary to that of friedman and schwartz who emphasized the monetary impact of the bank failures we focus on non monetary primarily credit related aspects of the financial sector output link and consider the problems of debtors as well as those of the banking system we argue that the financial disruptions of 1930 33 reduced the efficiency of the credit allocation process and that the resulting higher cost and reduced availability of credit acted to depress aggregate demand evidence suggests that effects of this type can help explain the unusual length and depth of the great depression this abstract was borrowed from another version of this item

earnings and ratings at google answers i introduction most research on internet transactions considers online markets as forums to facilitate the sale of physical goods ellison and fisher ellison 2009 goolsbee and chevalier 2003 sometimes the internet is analyzed as a market for matching workers and firms for an ordinary real world employment relationship kuhn 2004 but certain web sites can also supplement or even replace in person employment relationships this is the approach at google answers a web based service that facilitates paid matches between answerers who have answers or research skills and askers who offer payment for answers to their respective questions i analyze all questions and answers from the inception of the google answers service through november 2003 and i find notable trends in answerer behavior more experienced answerers provide answers with the characteristics askers most value receiving higher ratings as a result answerer earnings increases in experience consistent with learning on the job answerers who focus on particular question categories provide answers of higher quality but earn lower pay per hour perhaps reflecting a lack of versatility answers provided during the business day receive higher payments per hour a compensating differential for working when outside options are most attractive but more experienced answerers tend to forego these opportunities ii literature and context google answers is distinctive in that its entire service and entire employment relationship occur online in contrast most online sales processes anticipate offline functions such as packing and sending merchandise in some respects this online only environment eases analysis a researcher may see the answerer s entire service letting the researcher fully assess quality in contrast an ebay seller s quality generally is unobservable or only partially observer to a researcher nonetheless google answers does not provide all data researchers might seek for example although google answers receives answerers resumes and geographic locations as part of the application process google answers does not share this data with the general public chen ho and kim 2008 address these constraints through field experiments that pay google answers answerers to address questions posed by the authors allowing measurement of the effects of varying prices and gratuities parameters on answerers responses beyond chen ho and kim others have also examined google answers rafaeli raban and ravid 2005 present summary statistics of 2002 2004 answers regner 2005 finds that social preferences and reputation influence askers choice to provide optional gratuities to answerers adamic et al 2008 study answer quality and reputation at the competing though unpaid service yahoo answers iii methodology and data set all data for my analysis comes from the google answers web site http answers google com as it stood in november 2003 i wrote software to extract questions answers and profiles from the answers site forming a database of more than 40 000 questions and answers with only a few exceptions 1 i observe all google answers questions and answers posted through november 2003 2 for each question asked i observe the question itself text and title the question s categorization within google answers taxonomy the time at which the question was asked the payment amount offered by asker to answerer and the asker s username for answered questions i observe the time at which the question was answered the answer including length in characters and number of included urls and the answerer s username when the asker rated the answer i observe the rating when the asker offered a gratuity to the answerer i observe the amount of the gratuity google answers allows an answerer to lock a question obtaining the temporary exclusive fight to answer it for the following 4 8 hours depending on question price

women as policy makers evidence from a randomized policy experiment in india this paper uses political reservations for women in india to study the impact of women s leadership on policy decisions since the mid 1990 s one third of village council head positions in india have been randomly reserved for a woman in these councils only women could be elected to the position of head village councils are responsible for the provision of many local public goods in rural areas using a dataset we collected on 265 village councils in west bengal and rajasthan we compare the type of public goods provided in reserved and unreserved village councils we show that the reservation of a council seat affects the types of public goods provided specifically leaders invest more in infrastructure that is directly relevant to the needs of their own genders

implications of incomplete markets for international economies we develop a restriction that precludes implausibly high reward for risk in incomplete inter national economies to consider a theoretical problem that characterizes a lower bound on the covariance between stochastic discount factors sdfs subject to correct pricing the problem is analytically solvable and synthesizes domestic and foreign sdfs into spanned and unspanned components our novelty is that exchange rate growth need not equal the ratio of sdfs and that the sdf correlations are plausibly lowered exploiting the realities of cross country corre lations of macroeconomic quantities namely consumption wealth dividend growths and asset returns our empirical investigation refutes the speci cation of complete markets

banking development socioeconomic structure and income inequality abstract using rich unique data from the italian local credit markets provinces this paper investigates the impact of local banking development on income inequality and the role of the socioeconomic structure in this link exploiting the italian historical banking regulation to instrument for the local presence of bank branches we find that local banking development mitigates income inequality however the finance inequality nexus manifests itself only in relatively advanced areas when we study the structural channels of influence we uncover evidence that banking development can reduce inequality by affecting geographical mobility and urbanization while it has modest effects through the development of material infrastructures and human capital

the finance growth nexus evidence from bank branch deregulation this paper provides evidence that financial markets can directly affect economic growth by studying the relaxation of bank branch restrictions in the united states we find that the rates of real per capita growth in income and output increase significantly following intrastate branch reform we also argue that the observed changes in growth are the result of changes in the banking system improvements in the quality of bank lending not increased volume of bank lending appear to be responsible for faster growth

financial intermediation and endogenous growth an endogenous growth model with multiple assets is developed agents who face random future liquidity needs accumulate capital and a liquid but unproductive asset the effects of introducing financial intermediation into this environment are considered conditions are provided under which the introduction of intermediaries shifts the composition of savings toward capital causing intermediation to be growth promoting in addition intermediaries generally reduce socially unnecessary capital liquidation again tending to promote growth

financial integration capital mobility and income convergence recent studies have found that capital moves uphill from poor to rich countries and brings little or no growth dividend when it does flow into poor economies we show that europe does not conform to this paradigm in the european experience of financial integration capital has flown from rich to poor countries and such inflows have been associated with significant acceleration of income convergence analysing broader samples of countries we find that downhill capital flows tend to be observed above certain thresholds in institutional quality and financial integration but europe remains different even when allowing for such threshold effects and its experience is similar to that of interstate flows within the united states our findings are consistent with the notion that financial diversification reduces countries incentives to save in order to self insure against specific shocks abdul abiad daniel leigh and ashoka mody

asset prices and risk sharing in open economies this paper proposes a two good two country general equilibrium model with external habits and home biased preferences that addresses a number of international nance puzzles speci cally the model reconciles the high degree of international risk sharing implied by relatively smooth exchange rates with the modest cross country consumption growth correlations seen in the data resolving the brandt cochrane and santa clara 2006 puzzle furthermore the model matches the empirically observed low correlation between exchange

financial inclusion and poverty a tale of forty five thousand households abstractusing a new nationally representative survey data covering approximately 45 000 indian households we examine the effects of financial inclusion on poverty we construct a multidimensional

banking activities and local output growth does distance from centre matter ozyildirim s and onder z banking activities and local output growth does distance from centre matter regional studies in this paper the relation between local banking activities and local output growth is empirically studied in turkey during the period 1991 2000 although there is no legal restriction against regional banking the banking sector is spatially concentrated in turkey in this institutional structure the distance between headquarters and the local branches is argued to affect the role of financial intermediation in the development of provincial prosperity empirical findings suggest that banking activities have a significant positive impact on the per capita local output growth of regions especially on those that are distant from the financial centre however when bank loans are adjusted to the size of the local economy provincial gross domestic product gdp the relation between banking activities and the output per capita is found to be negative suggesting that these loans are us

why don t the poor save more evidence from health savings experiments using data from a field experiment in kenya we document that providing individuals with simple informal savings technologies can substantially increase investment in preventative health and reduce vulnerability to health shocks simply providing a safe place to keep money was sufficient to increase health savings by 66 percent adding an earmarking feature was only helpful when funds were put toward emergencies or for individuals that are frequently taxed by friends and relatives group based savings and credit schemes had very large effects

bank mergers and crime the real and social effects of credit market competition using a unique sample of commercial loans and mergers between large banks we provide micro level within county evidence linking credit conditions to economic development and find a spillover effect on crime neighborhoods that experience more bank mergers are subject to higher interest rates diminished local construction lower prices an influx of poorer households and higher property crime in subsequent years the elasticity of property crime with respect to merger induced banking concentration is 0 18 we show that these results are not likely due to reverse causation and confirm the central findings using state branching deregulation to instrument for bank competition we examine the real and social impact of local credit competition by documenting a link between the competitiveness of the local banking market credit conditions urban development and crime several recent studies peek and rosengren 2000 cetorelli and gambera 2001 klein peek and rosengren 2002 and burgess and pande 2003 tie credit market imperfections to diminished real economic activity and growth other studies connect the economic environment to property crime freeman 1999 levitt 2001 raphael and winter ebmer 2001 and nilsson 2004 it is reasonable to hypothesize therefore that reductions in bank competition may lead to economic decline and subsequently increases in property crime we empirically investigate the effects of bank consolidation and increased market power on credit availability and real activity using a unique sample of commercial loans and mergers between large banks in the 1990s we provide micro level evidence that garmaise is from the ucla anderson school and moskowitz is from the graduate school of business university of chicago and nber we have benefited from the suggestions and comments of tony bernardo marianne bertrand phillip bond doug diamond mark duggan eugene fama

another look at the role of the industrial structure of markets for international diversification strategies abstract this paper re examines the extent to which gains from international diversification are due to differences in industrial structure across countries recent papers by roll 1992 journal of finance 47 3 42 and heston and rouwenhorst 1994 journal of financial economics 36 3 27 investigate this issue and find conflicting evidence using a new database the dow jones world stock index with coverage in 25 countries and over 66 industry classifications we decompose comprehensively both country and industrial sources of variation we confirm that little of the variation in country index returns can be explained by their industrial composition we also uncover differences in the proportion of variation in industry index returns that is captured by country and industry factors and discuss the implications for global diversification strategies

regional growth and finance in europe is there a quality effect of bank efficiency abstract in this study we test whether regional growth in 11 european countries depends on financial development and suggest the use of cost and profit efficiency estimates as quality measures of financial institutions contrary to the usual quantitative proxies of financial development the quality of financial institutions is measured in this study as the relative ability of banks to intermediate funds an improvement in bank efficiency spurs five times more regional growth then an identical increase in credit does more credit provided by efficient banks exerts an independent growth effect in addition to direct quantity and quality channel effects

the labor market effects of sex and race discrimination laws westudytheeffectsofstatesexandracediscriminationlawsthatwerepassedprior to federal antidiscrimination legislation state sex discrimination laws targeted discrimination in pay only because an equal pay constraint raises the relative price of female labor we would expect the relative employment of females to decline we find robust evidence that state equal pay laws for women reduced relative employment of both black women and white women we also find some evidence of positive effects of race discrimination laws on earnings of blacks relative to whites although no evidence of employment effects jel j15 j16 j18 j23 i introduction public policies to narrow the gaps in labor market outcomes between men and women and between whites and minorities have a long and controversial history two pieces of federal legislation stand out as perhaps the most significant such policies the first was the equal pay act of 1963 which requires equal pay for equal work noting some exceptions but explicitly prohibiting a worker s sex as one of them the second was title vii of the civilrightsactof1964 makingitillegaltodiscriminate in hiring discharge compensation and so on on the basis of race color religion sex or national origin two other important landmarks in the evolution of these policies at the federal level were amendments to title vii embodied in the equal employment opportunity act eeoa of 1972 which expanded coverage and increased the enforcement powers of the equal employment opportunity commission eeoc and executive orders 10925 1961 11246 1965 and 11375 1967 which laid the groundwork for affirmative action although the phrase has its origins in title vii 1

the real costs of credit access evidence from the payday lending market using geographic differences in the availability of payday loans i estimate the real effects of credit access among low income households payday loans are small high interest rate loans that constitute the marginal source of credit for many high risk borrowers i find no evidence that payday loans alleviate economic hardship to the contrary loan access leads to increased difficulty paying mortgage rent and utilities bills the empirical design isolates variation in loan access that is uninfluenced by lenders location decisions and state regulatory decisions two factors that might otherwise correlate with economic hardship measures further analysis of differences in loan availability over time and across income groups rules out a number of alternative explanations for the estimated effects counter to the view that improving credit access facilitates important expenditures the results suggest that for some low income households the debt service burden imposed by borrowing inhibits their ability to pay important bills copyright 2011 oxford university press

local financial development and household welfare in vietnam evidence from a panel survey we examine the impact of local financial development on household welfare in vietnam we employ household level panel data for the periods 2007 2008 2010 and 2013 covering three provinces and mea

three decades of italian comparative advantages he structure of italian exports its characteristics its changes over time its causes and implications in terms of income and growth employment and fragility with respect to domestic and international shocks has been the issue around which at least three generations of italian economists have discussed and disagreed over the last 30 years if one has to attribute to one single cause the origin of this multi faceted debate that very cause would be the perplexity associated with the evidence of italy being on the one hand a large industrialised country with per capita income comparable to the top high income oecd members world bank 2004 and on the other hand being characterised by an export composition where traditional low skilled labour intensive sectors oecd 2001 and peneder 2003 such as textiles wearing apparel leather products furniture and footwear still play a relevant role this anomaly in the italian trade structure with respect to one of its fellow members of the g7 and its high level of persistence is what makes of italy a case in the international trading system this paper describes the primary feature giving rise to this debate the italian export composition and its evolution over time the analysis makes use of the revealed comparative advantage rca index associated with the name of bela balassa and through non parametric statistical techniques estimates the empirical the author is very grateful to miur prin pie 2003 and jetro for the financial support and to giancarlo spagnolo for his encouragement discussions with matteo bugamelli giuliano conti davide castellani sergio de nardis paolo guerrieri fabrizio onida and lucia tajoli are gratefully acknowledged the author thanks riccardo faini for sharing his work on the topic and lucia piscitello for making her districts taxonomy available he also benefited from the comments of two anonymous referees that largely influenced the restructuring of the paper many of the arguments of this paper come from the inspiring discussions the author had over the years with massimo tamberi all remaining errors and omissions are the author s own responsibility the data sets and the rscript used in the paper can be downloaded from the webpage http www economiamc org debenedictis

women empowerment and economic development women empowerment and economic development are closely related in one direction development alone can play a major role in driving down inequality between men and women in the other direction empowering women may benefit development does this imply that pushing just one of these two levers would set a virtuous circle in motion this paper reviews the literature on both sides of the empowerment development nexus and argues that the interrelationships are probably too weak to be self sustaining and that continuous policy commitment to equality for its own sake may be needed to bring about equality between men and women

personal bankruptcy and credit supply and demand this paper examines how personal bankruptcy and bankruptcy exemptions affect the supply and demand for credit while generous state level bankruptcy exemptions are probably viewed by most policy makers as benefiting less well off borrowers our results using data from the 1983 survey of consumer finances suggest that they increase the amount of credit held by high asset households and reduce the availability and amount of credit to low asset households conditioning on observable characteristics thus bankruptcy exemptions redistribute credit toward borrowers with high assets interest rates on automobile loans for low asset households also appear to be higher in high exemption states

regulation and preemptive technology adoption two rival firms must decide if and when to adopt a new technology knowing how adoption costs decline over time and how profit flows vary with adoption patterns in many cases price and entry regulations beneficially slow technology adoption by making preemption strategies less attractive in some cases these regulations can so discourage a firm from preemption as to change the order in which firms adopt new technologies speeding one firm s adoption date and slowing the other s in the context of a particular scenario for cable and telephone companies adoption of new fiber optic technologies the case for lifting the cross ownership ban depends on the extent to which telephone companies are able to implement a superior technology reregulation of cable companies strengthens this case

firm productivity innovation and financial development acknowledgment we are grateful to christopher kilby saul lizondo chris papageorgiou the strategy policy and review departments low income countries group the africa department s macro modeling debt and growth network and two anonymous referees for useful comments and suggestions kersting gratefully acknowledges financial support by the center for global leadership at the villanova school of business 1 introductioneconomists still struggle to explain the large differences in output per worker across countries the view that these differences are mostly the result of variations in investment rates has now largely been abandoned as cross country evidence suggests that total factor productivity tfp rather than capital accumulation accounts for observed per capita income differences hall and jones 1999 the largely unexplained cross country differences in tfp led to prescott s 1998 call for a theory of tfp in response barriers to innovation imitation and adoption e g parente and prescott 2000 and institutions e g acemoglu and johnson 2005 have often been offered as explanations for low tfp in poorer countries the global crisis and the resulting uncertainty have reinforced concerns about growth prospects in many low income countries after a decade of almost universally solid growth performance the medium term outlook for many low income countries appears increasingly uncertain at the same time the growth potential in many countries with low tfp remains dim even beyond the full conclusion of this crisis if tfp drives growth its determinants are the key to development prospects in low income countries some country specific direct determinants of tfp geography history or institutions such as the prevalent legal system are fixed or slow moving and the degree to which policy can influence these conditions is limited others such as innovation or the level of financial development can respond to both foreign and domestic forces external shocks globalization or government policy in this view tfp is not primarily the result of the endowment of a country but instead a direct result of purposeful actions by economic agents and as such can be influenced by policy innovation activity leads to technological progress in two distinct ways purposeful research and development can result in the invention of completely new products and processes this kind of innovative activity moves the global technological frontier and still mainly occurs in developed countries however innovation also consists of the adoption and adaptation of existing technology which can close the gap between countries converging toward the global technological frontier and those on the leading edge pushing the world frontier innovation shares a strong connection with the provision of financial services invention and adoption of technology are costly and risky activities which require financing it is therefore natural to study the impact of a country s financial development on tfp via the innovation channel 1in this article we follow that agenda in two separate steps i how do firm specific actions in particular innovation affect firm productivity ii what is the role of a country s level of development both financial and general in facilitating higher productivity using firm level data taken from the enterprise surveys covering over 14 000 firms in 63 countries we first establish a connection between a firm s innovative activities and its productivity we control for country industry and firm specific factors the countries in our data include low middle and high income countries while the firms span all sizes with a focus on small and medium sized enterprises sme innovation is defined broadly as the introduction of new production processes or product lines so that it includes the adaptation of existing technology we find that other things being equal firms that have introduced a new process or product are more productive

social preferences google answers abstract we analyse pricing effort and tipping decisions at the online service google answers users set a price for the answer to their question ex ante and they can additionally tip the researcher who provided the answer ex post a positive wage effort relationship is frequently found in laboratory gift exchange games yet field evidence for reciprocity in two stage settings wage effort is mixed our field data confirms lab findings for the three stage design wage effort bonus tipping is motivated by reciprocity but also by reputation concerns among frequent users moreover researchers seem to adjust their effort based on the user s previous tipping behaviour an efficient sorting takes place when sufficient tip history is available in addition we analyse how tipping is adopted when the behavioural default is not to tip and suggest estimates for reciprocal and selfish strategic and myopic user types

monetary stimulation bank relationship and innovation evidence from china using china s four trillion yuan stimulus package of 2008 4 trillion plan as an exogenous shock we find that monetary stimulation could benefit the real economy to some extent specifically compared with propensity score matched control firms firms more likely affected by the stimulus plan e g bank connected firms are granted with 18 to 24 more patents afterwards further evidence shows that the effect of monetary stimulation is more pronounced in firms with financial constraints in firms located in regions with lower house price growth and in firms with better corporate governance finally monetary stimulation also increases r d expenditure leaving innovation efficiency unaffected

income distribution and macroeconomics this paper analyzes the role of wealth distribution in macroeconomics through investment in human capital it is shown that in the presence of credit markets imperfections and indivisibilities in investment in human capital the initial distribution of wealth affects aggregate output and investment both in the short and in the long run as there are multiple steady states this paper therefore provides an additional explanation for the persistent differences in per capita output across countries furthermore the paper shows that cross country differences in macroeconomic adjustment to aggregate shocks can be attributed among other factors to differences in wealth and income distribution across countries

what constrains financial inclusion for women evidence from indian micro data summary the role and relevance of gender in financial inclusion has been an evolving area of research in recent times although there are several cross country studies on this aspect few within country studies have addressed this issue in a comprehensive manner in this context exploiting disaggregated household level data for india we analyze the interface between gender and finance more specifically we examine whether gender matters for financial inclusion and if so what are the possible factors that influence this relationship our findings suggest significant disparity in both the access to as well as the use of finance by gender on average female headed households are 8 less likely to access formal finance and 6 more likely to access informal finance as compared to households that are headed by males after taking into account other relevant household and state level characteristics that are important in explaining financial access by households similar evidence carries over to the use of finance households headed by female use 20 less cash loans as compared to male headed households subsequently we investigate the possible channels which impede financial inclusion for female headed households our analysis highlights that for female headed households education and wages are more relevant in explaining the access to finance whereas political and social factors are much more germane in explaining the use of finance

the impact of regional financial depth on outbound cross border mergers and acquisitions abstract drawing on china s experience this study examines the role of source province credit conditions and its interplay with host country financial openness in determining the intensity of cross border mergers and acquisitions m as we first show that improved credit conditions in source provinces of china measured by the number of newly established bank branches boost the volume and frequency of their firms cross border m as the effect is stronger for deals where cash is mainly used as the payment method then we identify a complementary effect between the financial openness in host countries and the improved financial depth in source regions more importantly by defining the members of china s the belt and road initiative as countries with higher political openness to china we find that acquirers in china especially the firms affiliated to central government are more political oriented than market oriented when choosing target countries additionally we show that acquirers facing lower political uncertainty from source province benefit more from the enhanced bank access

historical antisemitism ethnic specialization and financial development historically european jews have specialized in financial services while being the victims of antisemitism we find that the present day demand for finance is lower in german counties where historical antisemitism was higher compared to otherwise similar counties households in counties with high historical antisemitism have similar saving rates but invest less in stocks hold lower saving deposits and are less likely to get a mortgage to finance homeownership after controlling for wealth and a rich set of current and historical covariates present day antisemitism and supply side forces do not fully explain the results households in counties where historical antisemitism was higher distrust the financial sector more a potential cultural externality of historical antisemitism that reduces wealth accumulation in the long run

financial development and pathways of growth state branching and deposit insurance laws in the united states 1900 1940 abstract this paper studies the effect of state level banking regulation on financial development and on components of state level growth in the united states from 1900 to 1940 we use these banking laws to assess the findings of a large recent literature that has argued that financial development contributes to economic growth we contend that the institutional mechanism leading to financial development is important in determining its consequences and that some types of financial development can even retard economic growth for the united states from 1900 to 1940 we argue that the financial expansion induced by expanded bank branching accelerated the mechanization of agriculture and spurred growth in manufacturing in contrast financial expansions induced by state deposit insurance had negative consequences for both the agricultural and manufacturing sectors

does local financial development matter we study the effects of differences in local financial development within an integrated financial market we construct a new indicator of financial development by estimating a regional effect on the probability that ceteris paribus a household is shut off from the credit market by using this indicator we find that financial development enhances the probability an individual starts his own business favors entry of new firms increases competition and promotes growth as predicted by theory these effects are weaker for larger firms which can more easily raise funds outside of the local area these effects are present even when we instrument our indicator with the structure of the local banking markets in 1936 which because of regulatory reasons affected the supply of credit in the following 50 years overall the results suggest local financial development is an important determinant of the economic success of an area even in an environment where there are no frictions to capital movements

asset prices and exchange rates in this paper we study the implications of introducing demand shocks and trade in goods into an otherwise standard international asset pricing model trade in goods gives rise to an additional channel of international propagation through the terms of trade absent in traditional single good asset pricing models the inclusion of demand shocks helps overturn many unrealistic implications of existing international flnance models in which productivity shocks are the sole source of uncertainty our model generates a rich set of implications on how stock bond and foreign exchange markets co move we solve the model in closed form which yields a system of equations that can be readily estimated empirically our estimation validates the main predictions of the theory

bank competition and firm creation we investigate the effects of competition in the financial sector on the creation of firms in the nonfinancial sector explicitly allowing for heterogeneous effects across borrowers characterized by different degrees of asymmetric information we find evidence of a bell shaped relationship between bank competition and firm creation in addition consistently with theories arguing that competition may reduce the availability of credit to informationally opaque firms we find that bank competition results less favorable to the emergence of new firms in industrial sectors where informational asymmetries are more important

is microcredit a blessing for the poor a meta analysis examining development outcomes and contextual considerations abstract increasing efforts aim at economic development and the reduction of poverty in developing countries through microcredit enabled entrepreneurship following the award of the nobel peace prize to prof yunus microcredit lending has risen to prominence and the volume of microcredit loans has increased substantially however theory on the outcomes of this financing form is controversial furthermore the academic community lacks conclusive empirical evidence about the impact of such programs primary empirical studies report fragmented and to a large extent contradictory results in this meta analysis we empirically synthesize a total of 545 quantitative empirical findings from 90 studies conducted to date our findings reveal a positive impact of microcredit on key development outcomes at the level of the client entrepreneurs additionally we scrutinize how the development context influences the effectiveness of microcredit and find that microcredit generally has a greater impact in more challenging contexts with our findings we contribute to research on the nexus of entrepreneurship and economic development and offer recommendations for practitioners and academics working on this promising frontier

banks regional development disparity and growth evidence from turkey in this paper we analyse the impact of credits provided by banks on provincial growth in turkey where state owned banks have an implicit role of reducing disparity by allocating loans in underdeveloped regions that are ignored by private banks we find a paradoxical effect of state owned banks on regional development their credits contribute significantly to the growth of more developed provinces whereas they fail to encourage the well being of less developed provinces on the other hand credits provided by private banks in general positively impact the per capita real gross domestic product gdp in both developed and less developed provinces contrary to their purpose of existence our results suggest that state owned banks did not reduce economic disparity among turkish provinces in the trade off between growth and income disparity our results suggest that state owned banks should improve their lending behaviour especially in the less developed regions in order to broaden their development role to the whole economy copyright the author 2009 published by oxford university press on behalf of the cambridge political economy society all rights reserved oxford university press

poolability and the finance growth nexus a cautionary note abstract the present contribution tests whether countries can be pooled when studying the finance growth nexus overall our results point toward a pragmatic positive answer though considerable heterogeneity is present among developing countries

business cycles and the relationship between concentration and price cost margins using a newly constructed panel data base we examine changes in price cost margins in 284 manufacturing industries between 1958 and 1981 a key finding is a dramatic narrowing of the spread between the margins of concentrated and unconcentrated industries over this period we provide evidence that this narrowing is a result of the greater sensitivity of price cost margins in more concentrated industries to demand fluctuations this finding is robust to the inclusion of other industry variables and to measures of import competition the results indicate that cross sectional estimates of the concentration margins relationship are likely to be both biased and misleading

the role of social capital in financial development to identify the effect of social capital on financial development we exploit social capital differences within italy in high social capital areas households are more likely to use checks invest less in cash and more in stock have higher access to institutional credit and make less use of informal credit the effect of social capital is stronger where legal enforcement is weaker and among less educated people these results are not driven by omitted environmental variables since we show that the behavior of movers is still affected by the level of social capital of the province where they were born

law finance and firm growth we investigate how differences in legal and financial systems affect firms use of external financing to fund growth we show that in countries whose legal systems score high on an efficiency index a greater proportion of firms use long term external financing an active though not necessarily large stock market and a large banking sector are also associated with externally financed firm growth the increased reliance on external financing occurs in part because established firms in countries with well functioning institutions have lower profit rates government subsidies to industry do not increase the proportion of firms relying on external financing the corporate finance literature suggests that market imperfections caused by conflicts of interest and informational asymmetries between corporate insiders and investors constrain firms in their ability to fund investment projects the magnitude of these imperfections depends in part on the effectiveness of the legal and financial systems because these systems differ across countries the literature implies that there should exist systematic cross country differences in firms ability to obtain external capital to finance investment in this paper we examine whether the underdevelopment of legal and financial systems does prevent firms in some countries from investing in potentially profitable growth opportunities in particular we focus on the use of long term debt or external equity to fund growth see our earlier work demirgut kunt and maksimovic 1996a which compares firms financial structures in developed and developing countries and finds the greatest difference to be in the provision of long term credit we estimate a financial planning model to obtain the maximum growth rate that each firm in our thirty country sample could attain without access to long term financing we then compare these predicted growth rates to growth rates realized by firms in countries with differing degrees of development in their legal and financial systems our approach enables us to identify specific characteristics of the legal and financial systems that are associated with long term financing of firm growth thus we provide a micro level test of the hypoth

interest rates and convergence across italian regions dow s montagnoli a and napolitano o interest rates and convergence across italian regions regional studies the purpose of this paper is to investigate the evidence for economic convergence across italian regions using trends in interest rate spreads and premia as indicators of regional credit conditions the results indicate the presence of persistent interest rate differentials and thus an absence of convergence across the twenty political regions but a high degree of convergence is observed within the four macroeconomic areas dow s montagnoli a and napolitano o 20 dow s montagnoli a et napolitano o les taux d interet et la convergence a travers les regions italiennes regional studies a partir des tendances des marges d interet sur les credits et des primes sur les taux d interet comme indicateurs des conditions de credit regionales cet article cherch

financial development exchange rate regimes and the feldstein horioka puzzle evidence from the mena region this article investigates whether the feldstein and horioka 1980 argument on domestic saving investment relationship is supported by the data of the countries in the middle east and north africa region when financial development levels and exchange rate regimes are taken into account to this end we employ both the auroregressive distributed lag bounds cointegration test and panel mean group procedures the results support the view that a successful international financial integration requires compatible levels of financial intermediation the evidence also suggests that saving investment cointegration is not invariant to exchange rate regimes

how important are banks for development national banks in the united states 1870 1900 abstract do banks matter for growth and if so how this paper examines the effects of national banks in the united states from 1870 to 1900 i use the discontinuity in entry caused by a large minimum size requirement to identify the effects of banking for the counties on the margin between getting a bank and not gaining a bank increased production per person by 10 national banks in rural areas improved agriculture over manufacturing moving counties toward geographic comparative advantage since these banks made few long term loans the evidence suggests that the provision of working capital and liquidity matters for growth

rural women s access to credit market imperfections and intrahousehold dynamics summary credit rationing studies carried out at the household level and based on responses from male heads of households present an incomplete and biased assessment of who is likely to be constrained why they are constrained and what is the extent of the constraints they ignore possibly conflictive intrahousehold dynamics and assume that imperfections in rural financial markets are gender neutral this paper addresses both issues theoretically and empirically the semi cooperative household model developed for this analysis formalizes the conditions under which spouses and particularly women s individual access to credit can be affected by their own position in the financial market as well as by intrahousehold dynamics these notions are then explored empirically using husbands and wives individual perceptions of their access to credit in rural paraguay the most significant empirical findings of the paper are that i compared to men women are more likely to be credit constrained ii women s rationing status responds to a different set of factors than men s and iii husbands may choose not to intermediate capital to their wives even when they are able to do so results from this exercise provide empirically sound support for the assumptions underlying women targeted credit programs

what can explain the apparent lack of international consumption risk sharing recent research in international business cycles finds that international consumption comovements do not match the risk sharing predictions of standard complete markets models in this paper i ask whether two different types of explanations can help explain this result 1 nonseparabilities between tradables and nontradable leisure or goods and 2 the effects of capital market restrictions on consumption risk sharing i find that risk sharing cannot be resolved by either explanation alone however when i allow for both nonseparabilities and certain market restrictions risk sharing among unrestricted countries cannot be rejected this evidence suggests that a combination of these two effects may be necessary to explain consumption risk sharing across countries

informed lending and security design we examine the role of security design when lenders make inefficient accept or reject decisions after screening projects lenders may be either too conservative in which case they reject positive npv projects or too aggressive in which case they accept negative npv projects in the first case the uniquely optimal security is debt in the second case it is levered equity in equilibrium profitable projects that are relatively likely to break even are financed with debt while less profitable projects are financed with equity highly profitable projects are financed by uninformed arm slength lenders professional lenders have specialized expertise in screening projects unlike the typical entrepreneur to whom they lend they have been exposed to a wide variety of projects in the past professional lenders have experienced loan officers and analysts who know precisely what information is relevant how to treat soft information such as management quality and how to weigh the various pieces of information in making a forecast of the project s cash flows and default risk this paper examines how securities should be optimally designed when lenders make inefficient accept or reject decisions after screening projects in our model screening generates an informative albeit private signal about the project s profitability high signals indicate a positive net present value npv and low signals indicate a negative npv where the project s npv is increasing

consumption and real exchange rates in dynamic economies with non traded goods abstract we examine the possibility that non traded goods may account for several striking features of international macroeconomic data large persistent deviations from purchasing power parity small correlations of aggregate consumption fluctuations across countries and substantial international real interest rate differentials a dynamic exchange economy is used to show that non traded goods in principle can account for each of these phenomena in the theory there is a close relation between fluctuations in consumption ratios and those in bilateral real exchange rates but we find little evidence for this relation in time series data for eight oecd countries

capital structure decisions during a firm s life cycle the study reported here examines the financing choices of small and medium sized firms i e those most vulnerable to information and incentive problems through the lens of the business life cycle we argue that the controversy in the empirical literature regarding the determinants of capital structure decisions is based on a failure to take into account the different degrees of information opacity and consequently firms characteristics and needs at specific stages of their life cycles the results show that in a bank oriented country firms tend to adopt specific financing strategies and a different hierarchy of financial decision making as they progress through the phases of their business life cycle contrary to conventional wisdom debt is shown to be fundamental to business activities in the early stages representing the first choice by contrast in the maturity stage firms re balance their capital structure gradually substituting debt for internal capital and for firms that have consolidated their business the pecking order theory shows a high degree of application this financial life cycle pattern seems to be homogeneous for different industries and consistent over time

bridging the gap the design of bank loan contracts and distance how do the distance constraints faced by lenders in acquiring borrower information affect the design of bank loan contracts theoretical studies posit that greater information asymmetry leads to the allocation of stronger ex ante decision rights to the lender the uninformed party consistent with this hypothesis we find that upon inception contracts tend to be more restrictive when firms seek loans from remote lenders this finding is robust to potential endogeneity bias and simultaneity of various loan terms overall we establish a strong informational link between distance and loan contract design

the effect of foreign bank presence on firm entry and exit in transition economies abstract this study investigates the impact of foreign bank penetration on firm entry in central and eastern europe acquisition of domestic banks by foreign investors has lowered rates of firm creation decreased the average size of entrants and increased firm exit in industries with greater informational opacity while entry of greenfield foreign banks appears to have spurred firm creation and exit we modify the view in earlier studies that informational opacity equates with firm size defining opacity in terms of technological characteristics for a given industry we find the economic significance of foreign bank entry is larger for opaque industries than industries with large shares of small firms the study provides evidence of increased credit constraints for start ups in central and eastern europe which is consistent with the theoretical proposition that the presence of foreign banks exacerbates informational asymmetries

local financial development and the trade credit policy of italian smes we investigate the relation between local financial development and trade credit in an integrated financial market our results suggest that trade credit complements the formal finance of small and medium sized enterprises smes at the local level provincial banking development in italy increases the provision of trade credit by smes and stimulates the redistribution of loans via trade credit however cooperative banking reduces the use of trade credit at the local level evidence shows that lower levels of provincial banking development are linked with a stronger decline in trade credit at the start of the global financial crisis we also find that smes in provinces with industrial districts use more trade credit our results confirm that local differences in banking development and the trade credit policy of smes within countries matter adding to earlier findings that the provision of trade credit is complementary to the development of financial institutions at the country level

is financial inclusion good for bank stability international evidence abstract financial inclusion has become an important public policy priority following the recent global financial crisis yet we know very little of how it impacts soundness of the providers of financial services using an international sample of 2635 banks in 86 countries over the period 2004 12 we find that higher level of financial inclusion contributes to greater bank stability the positive association is particularly pronounced with those banks that have higher customer deposit funding share and lower marginal costs of providing banking services and also with those that operate in countries with stronger institutional quality the results are robust to instrumental variables analysis controlling for bank fixed effects alternative measures of financial inclusion among several other robustness tests our results highlight that the importance of ensuring inclusive financial system is not only a development goal but also an issue that should be prioritised by banks as such a policy drive is good for their stability

access to finance in sub saharan africa is there a gender gap we show the existence of an unconditional gender gap in sub saharan africa however when key observable characteristics of the enterprises or individuals are taken into account the gender gap disappears in the case of enterprises we explain our finding with differences in key characteristics and a potential selection bias in the case of individuals the lower use of formal financial services by women can be explained by gender gaps in other dimensions related to the use of financial services such as their lower level of income and education and by their household and employment status

infrastructure finance and industrial takeoff in england that financial matters did not constrain industrial takeoff in the uk is generally accepted in the historical literature in contrast contemporary empirical analyses have found evidence that financial development can be a causal determinant of economic growth we look to reconcile these findings by concentrating on a particular aspect of industrializing uk where inefficiencies in finance could have had bite the finance of physical infrastructures we document the historical record and develop the importance of spatial disaggregation and spillovers in both technological and financial development we develop a simple model that captures the nature of infrastructure finance within a theory of endogenous growth where financial costs are endogenous we argue that the conception of the finance growth nexus as a largely static aggregative phenomenon misses out a good deal of complexity and we relate that complexity to a number of implications for regulation of both financial systems and the emergence of infrastructures

presidential address does finance benefit society academics view of the benefits of finance vastly exceeds societal perception this dissonance is at least partly explained by an underappreciation by academia of how without proper rules finance can easily degenerate into a rent seeking activity i outline what finance academics can do from a research point of view and from an educational point of view to promote good finance and minimize the bad

a theory of dissimilarity between stochastic discount factors this paper proposes a measure of dissimilarity between stochastic discount factors sdfs in different economies the sdfs are made comparable using the respective bond prices as the numeraire the

mafia and public spending evidence on the fiscal multiplier from a quasi experiment a law issued to combat political corruption and mafia infiltration of city councils in italy has resulted in episodes of large unanticipated temporary contractions in local public spending using these episodes as instruments we estimate the output multiplier of spending cuts at provincial level controlling for national monetary and fiscal policy and holding the tax burden of local residents constant to be 1 5 assuming that lagged spending is exogenous to current output brings the estimate of the overall multiplier up to 1 9 these results suggest that local spending adjustment may be quite consequential for local activity jel d72 e62 h71 k42 the widespread resort to fiscal stimulus at the onset of the global crisis and more recently the emerging need to consolidate deficits in response to rising fiscal imbalances have revitalized the empirical debate on the transmission of fiscal policy the multiplier while the literature has mostly focused on aggregate effects at a national level several recent contributions reviewed below have called attention to the local dimension this shift in focus is motivated by specific policy questions combined with the opportunity to exploit institutional information to address econometric issues in identification 1

local financial development and growth using a unique sample of net domestic product data for districts in india i investigate the connection between banking sector development human capital and economic growth at the sub national level using disaggregate data avoids many of the omitted variable problems that plague cross country studies of the finance growth connection and facilitates an instrumentation strategy the findings show that the growth of many districts in india is financially constrained due to lack of banking sector development and that the relationship between finance and growth may be non linear for the districts in the sample moving from the 75th percentile of credit net domestic product to the 25th percentile implies an average loss of 4 percent in growth over the 1990s this indicates that the gains from increased banking sector outreach may be large the analysis shows that human capital deepening can reduce the effect of the financial constraint and help decouple growth from financial development in a district at the 25th literacy percentile the implied growth loss due to a constrained banking sector is twice as large as in a district at the 75th literacy percentile thus higher levels of human capital may activate alternative growth and production channels that are less finance intensive

long lasting bank relationships and growth of firms a puzzling but consistent result in the empirical literature on banking is that firms with close bank ties do not grow faster than bank independent firms in this paper we reconsider the link between relationship lending and firm growth distinguishing firms by size and expansion contraction conditions the idea is that the beneficial effects of relationship lending on information asymmetries can be compensated by other negative capture risk and externality effects which make relational banks reluctant to support long term growth projects of client firms and that the strength of these compensating effects varies with firm size and health status we explore the influence of long lasting bank relationships on employment and asset growth of a large sample of italian firms the main finding is that relationship lending hampers the efforts of small firms to increase their size while it mitigates the negative growth of troubled medium large enterprises

internet job search and unemployment durations after decades of stability the technologies used by workers to locate new jobs began to change rapidly with the diffusion of internet access in the late 1990 s which types of persons incorporated the internet into their job search strategy and did searching for work on line help these workers find new jobs faster we address these questions using measures of internet job search derived from the december 1998 and august 2000 cps computer and internet supplements matched with job search outcomes from subsequent cps files we find that internet searchers are positively selected on observables but negatively selected on unobservables a beneficial unemployment duration reducing causal effect of internet job search is consistent with our estimates only if negative selection on unobservables is especially strong in other words only if the population of on line resumes is strongly adversely selected

firm growth and liquidity constraints evidence from the manufacturing and service sectors in italy abstractwe use a large firm level panel data set to analyse the relevance of liquidity constraints on firm growth in italy in most european countries mainstream financial institutions are scantly able to provide affordable credit facilities to small firms thus these firms are forced to finance their growth almost exclusively through retained earnings we estimate a dynamic version of gibrat law incorporating cash flow as a measure of financial constraints for two different size classes within small and medium size enterprises and for several industries in manufacturing and service sectors the findings show that in general small manufacturing firms have higher growth cash flow sensitivities with respect to medium firms conversely our results highlight for the services a significant heterogeneity in the impact of liquidity constraints on firm growth in particular the sensitivity of growth rates to the cash flow appears relatively high for small firms belonging to knowledge intensive business

using asset prices to measure the persistence of the marginal utility of wealth we derive a lower bound for the volatility of the permanent component of investors marginal utility of wealth or more generally asset pricing kernels the bound is based on return properties of long term zero coupon bonds risk free bonds and other risky securities we find the permanent component of the pricing kernel to be very volatile its volatility is about at least as large as the volatility of the stochastic discount factor a related measure for the transitory component suggest it to be considerably less important we also show that for many cases where the pricing kernel is a function of consumption innovations to consumption need to have permanent effects

bank privatization finance and growth abstract this paper examines whether privatizing state owned banks improves finance and economic growth to do so we exploit regional banking variations in russia induced by the idiosyncratic creation of specialized banks in the last years of the soviet union 1988 91 that were subsequently privatized starting in 1999 private banks including surviving spetsbanks emerged as an important source of external finance for private firms and households we document that the regional concentration of spetsbanks in the early years of the russian federation is orthogonal to economic fundamentals that are related to growth after the emergence of bank finance results indicate that while privatized banking increased lending significantly it did not increase economic growth however privatization did increase growth when banks retained fewer political connections and when regional property rights were better protected highlighting the importance of both factors

a theory of trickle down growth and development this paper develops a model of growth and income inequalities in the presence of imperfect capital markets and it analyses the trickle down effect of capital accumulation moral hazard with limited wealth constraints on the part of the borrowers is the source of both capital market imperfections and the emergence of persistent income inequalities three main conclusions are obtained from this model first when the rate of capital accumulation is sufficiently high the economy converges to a unique invariant wealth distribution second even though the trickle down mechanism can lead to a unique steady state distribution under laissez faire there is room for government intervention in particular redistribution of wealth from rich lenders to poor and middle class borrowers improves the production efficiency of the economy both because it brings about greater equality of opportunity and also because it accelerates the trickle down process third the process of capital accumulation initially has the effect of widening inequalities but in later stages it reduces them in other words this model can generate a kuznets curve

short long and spatial dynamics of informal employment di caro p and nicotra g short long and spatial dynamics of informal employment regional studies this paper analyses regional shadow labour markets cross regional migration flows are introduced in a stochastic two sector model used to study the effects of regional interactions on informality empirical results show that informal activities across italian regions are driven by the inefficient provision of public goods and high taxes regional connections are found to be significant place specific reactions of informal employment to national shocks in the official economy are investigated finding that the informal sector can act as a complement to or a substitute for formal activities the summary of the results and policy conclusions are then discussed

household inequality entrepreneurial dynamism and corporate financing economic theories provide conflicting hypotheses on how wealth inequality affects entrepreneurial dynamism to empirically investigate its impact we construct local measures of household wealth inequality based on financial rents home equity and 1880 farmland we identify its effects on entrepreneurship by instrumenting it with land distribution under the 1862 homestead act or us states removal of death taxes wealth inequality decreases firm entry and exit and the proportion of high tech businesses across metropolitan statistical areas there is also less redistribution into public goods supportive of entrepreneurship such as schooling and the judiciary income per capita consequently grows more slowly

local financial development and firm performance evidence from morocco abstract combining data from the moroccan census of manufacturing enterprises with information from a commune survey we test whether firm expansion is affected by local financial development our findings are consistent with this hypothesis local bank availability is robustly associated with faster growth for small and medium size firms in sectors with growth opportunities with a lower likelihood of firm exit and a higher likelihood of investment regarding the channel the evidence suggests that over the study period access to credit was used by pre existing moroccan firms to mobilize investment funds with some evidence that they were partly used towards reducing labor costs

do rural banks matter evidence from the indian social banking experiment lack of access to finance is often cited as a key reason why poor people remain poor this paper uses data on the indian rural branch expansion program to provide empirial evidence on this issue between 1977 and 1990 the indian central bank mandated that a commercial bank can open a branch in a location with one or more bank branches only if it opens four in locations with no bank branches we show that between 1977 and 1990 this rule caused banks to open relatively more rural branches in indian states with lower initial financial development the reverse is true outside this period we exploit this fact to identify the impact of opening a rural bank on poverty and output our estimates suggest that the indian rural branch expansion program significantly lowered rural poverty and increased non agricultural output

beyond arbitrage good deal asset price bounds in incomplete markets one often wants to value a risky payoff by reference to prices of other assets rather than by exploiting full fledged economic models however this approach breaks down if one cannot find a perfect replicating portfolio we impose weak economic restriction to derive usefully tight bounds on asset prices in this situation the bounds assume that investors would want to buy assets with high sharpe ratios good deals as well as pure arbitrage opportunities we show how to calculate the price bounds in one period multiperiod and continuous time contexts we show that the multiperiod problem can be solved recursively as a sequence of one period problems we calculate bounds in option pricing examples including infrequent trading and an option written on a nontraded event and we use the bounds to explore the economic significance of option pricing predictions we find that much variation in s p 500 index option prices over time and across strike prices fits within the bounds

financial development and economic growth views and agenda this critique argues that the preponderance of theoretical reasoning and empirical evidence suggests a positive first order relationship between financial development and economic growth the body of work would push even most skeptics toward the belief that the development of financial markets and institutions is a critical and inextricable part of the growth process and away from the view that the financial system is an inconsequential sideshow responding passively to economic growth many gaps remain however and the paper highlights areas in acute need of additional research

finance and the sources of growth the authors evaluate whether the level of development in the banking sector exerts a causal impact on economic growth and its sources total factor productivity growth physical capital accumulation and private saving they use 1 a pure cross country instrumental variable estimator to extract the exogenous component of banking development and 2 a new panel technique that controls for country specific effects and endogeneity they find that banks do exert a large causal impact on total factor productivity growth which feeds through to overall gdp gross domestic product growth the long run links between banking development and both capital growth and private savings are more tenuous

the political economy of financial regulation evidence from u s state usury laws in the 19th century financial regulation was as hotly debated a political issue in the 19th century as it is today we study the political economy of state usury laws in 19th century america exploiting the wide variation in regulation enforcement and economic conditions across states and time we find that usury laws when binding reduce credit and economic activity especially for smaller firms we examine the motives of regulation and find that usury laws coincide with other economic and political policies favoring wealthy political incumbents particularly when they have more voting power the evidence suggests financial regulation is driven by private interests capturing rents from others rather than public interests protecting the underserved we examine the motives and consequences of financial regulation to better understand the implications of regulation for financial development and economic growth while the current global financial crisis has reinvigorated the debate on financial regulation s effects and motives there is a long history of financial regulation and development we can examine to shed light on these issues specifically we study the political economy of financial regulation and its consequences through the lens of usury laws in 19th century america usury laws are arguably the oldest form of financial regulation mentioned in both the bible and the koran and dating back to ancient rome having long been

bank office outreach structure and performance in regional banking markets burgstaller j bank office outreach structure and performance in regional banking markets regional studies this paper studies bank penetration market structure and banking conduct across austrian districts neither differences in market concentration nor in the activity of out of market banks can explain the regional dispersion of interest rates bank profitability and efficiency a higher bank density is connected to more competition and lower mark ups and indicates more efficient banking markets as well as efficiency is the main determinant of bank profits and competition seems to be mildly indicative of stronger regional growth the preservation of a fair regional bank outreach appears to be an important policy target burgstaller j burgstaller j le rayon d action des guichets ban

investment cash flow sensitivities credit rationing and financing constraints in small and medium sized firms the controversy on whether investment cash flow sensitivity is a good indicator of financing constraints is still unsolved we apply a comprehensive approach by cross validating our analysis with both balance sheet and qualitative data on self declared credit rationing and financing constraints on a sample of mainly small and medium sized firms our qualitative information shows that self declared credit rationing is weakly related to both traditional a priori factors such as firm size age and location and lenders rational decisions taken on the basis of their credit risk models we use the qualitative information on firms which were denied additional credit to provide evidence relevant to the investment cash flow sensitivity debate the evidence shows that self declared credit rationing significantly discriminates between firms which possess or not such sensitivity while a priori criteria do not the same result does not apply when we consider the wider group of financially constrained firms which do not seem to have a higher investment cash flow sensitivity supporting the more recent empirical evidence in this direction