mimicking portfolios and exact arbitrage pricing we characterize the sets of mimicking positions with returns that can serve in place of factors in an exact k factor arbitrage pricing relation for a set of n assets all of the sets are k dimensional nonsingular linear transformations of each other we interpret three examples of such transformations and discuss empirical considerations we provide conditions under which the mimicking positions can be expressed as portfolios and we characterize the relation between mimicking portfolios and the minimumvariance frontier

debt leases taxes and the endogeneity of corporate tax status we provide evidence that corporate tax status is endogenous to financing decisions which induces a spurious relation between measures of financial policy and many commonly used tax proxies using a forward looking estimate of before financing corporate marginal tax rates we document a negative relation between operating leases and tax rates and a positive relation between debt levels and tax rates this is the first unambiguous evidence supporting the hypothesis that low tax rate firms lease more and have lower debt levels than high tax rate firms many theories of capital structure imply that all else equal the incentive to use debt financing increases with a firm s marginal tax rate due to the tax deductibility of interest expense e g modigliani and miller 1963 deangelo and masulis 1980 conversely leasing models generally predict that firms with low marginal tax rates employ relatively more leases than do firms with high marginal tax rates the logic behind the leasinlg prediction is that leases allow for the transfer of tax shields from firms that cannot fully utilize the associated tax deduction lessees to firms that can lessors e g myers dill and bautista 1976 smith and wakeman 1985 ross westerfield and jaffe 1996 despite these straightforward predictions empirically testing for tax effects is difficult because a spurious relation exists between the financing decision and many commonly used tax proxies specifically both interest expense and lease payments are tax deductible thus a firm that finances its operations with debt or leases reduces its taxable income potentially lowering its expected marginal tax rate if not properly addressed this endogeneity of the tax rate can bias an experiment in favor of finding a negative

labor unemployment risk and corporate financing decisions this paper examines the impact of labor unemployment risk on corporate financing decisions theory suggests that firms choose conservative financial policies partly as a means of mitigating worker exposure to unemployment risk using changes in state unemployment insurance benefit laws as a source of variation in the costs borne by workers during layoff spells we explore the connection between unemployment risk and the corporate financing decisions of public firms in the united states we find that increases in legally mandated unemployment benefits lead to increases in corporate leverage the impact of reduced unemployment risk on financial policy is especially strong for firms that have greater layoff separation rates labor intensity and financing constraints the estimated premium required to compensate workers for unemployment risk due to financial distress is about 57 basis points of firm value for a bbb rated firm these findings suggest that labor market frictions have a significant impact on corporate financing decisions

duration and risk of unemployment in argentina abstract after a decade of structural reforms unemployment rates have tripled in argentina this paper is concerned with the measurement of unemployment risk and its distribution we show the importance of considering re incidence in the measurement of unemployment risk and develop a methodology to do that our estimates for argentina show that though the typical unemployment spell is short once re incidence is taken into account unemployment risk is high has risen substantially in the last decade and is shared very unequally in the labor force this counters the established view that unemployment is a small risk short duration phenomenon which arises when re incidence is not considered

bankruptcy risk and optimal capital structure this study finds shortcomings in empirical tests of the capital structure irrelevance hypothesis the alternative hypothesis is that firms choose value maximizing mixes of debt and equity on account of bankruptcy costs and the tax deductibility of interest payments based upon the cross sectional implications of the tax shelter bankruptcy cost hypothesis an alternative test of the irrelevance hypothesis is performed the test examines the relationship between failure rates and leverage ratios for 36 lines of business the results are inconsistent with the irrelevance hypothesis in their landmark paper modigliani and miller 26 demonstrate that under certain assumptions the market value of a firm is independent of its capital structure these assumptions include the absence of taxes transactions costs and bankruptcy costs recently miller 24 has argued that the introduction of corporate and personal taxes does not alter the capital structure irrelevance result in the absence of bankruptcy costs 1 the inclusion of bankruptcy costs generally considered in conjunction with the tax deductibility of interest payments has led others to conclude that capital structure will affect the value of the firm 2 in this case value maximizing firms may choose optimal capital structures consisting of both debt and equity there have been numerous attempts to discriminate empirically between the miller irrelevance mi hypothesis and the tax shelter bankruptcy cost ts bc hypothesis several are discussed in section i of this paper there it is argued that studies attempting to measure directly the effect of changes in capital structure on firm values are subject to serious complications and are unable to discriminate between the mi and ts bc hypotheses other studies focus on cross sectional implications of the mi and ts bc hypotheses the cross sectional tests are based on the assertion that bankruptcy costs may tend to induce firms with greater business risk to include less debt in their capital structures whereas the mi hypothesis does not predict such a relationship unfortunately the existence of positive bankruptcy costs is not sufficient to ensure that the ts bc hypothesis will predict the inverse relation

equilibrium asset pricing with epstein zin and loss averse investors abstract we study multi period equilibrium asset pricing in an economy with epstein zin ez agents whose preferences for consumption are represented by recursive utility and with loss averse la agents who derive additional utility of gains and losses and are averse to losses we propose an equilibrium gain loss ratio for stocks and show that the la agents are more less risk averse than the ez agents if their degree of loss aversion is higher lower than this ratio when all the agents have unitary relative risk aversion degree and elasticity of intertemporal substitution we prove the existence and uniqueness of the equilibrium and the market dominance of the ez agents in the long run finally we extend our results to the case in which the la agents use probability weighting in their evaluation of gains and losses

when does it take a nixon to go to china substantial policy changes like market oriented reforms by populist parties and steps towards peace by hawks are sometimes implemented by unlikely parties to account for such episodes this paper develops a framework in which incumbent politicians have better information about the state of the world than voters the incumbent is unable to credibly transmit all this information since voters are also imperfectly informed about his ideology the paper identifies conditions under which an incumbent party s electoral prospects increase the more atypical the policy it proposes popular support for a policy or its credibility depends on the policymaker policy pair copyright 1998 by american economic association

the debt equity choice when firms adjust their capital structures they tend to move toward a target debt ratio that is consistent with theories based on tradeoffs between the costs and benefits of debt in contrast to previous empirical work out tests explicitly account for the fact that firms may face impediments to movements toward their target ratio and that the target ratio may change over time as the firm s profitability and stock price change a separate analysis of the size of the issue and repurchase transactions suggests that the deviation between the actual and the target ratios plays a more important role in the repurchase decision than in the issuance decision

asset stock accumulation and sustainability of competitive advantage given incomplete factor markets appropriate time paths of flow variables must be chosen to build required stocks of assets that is critical resources are accumulated rather than acquired in strategic factor markets barney barney j 1986 strategic factor markets expectations luck and business strategy management sci october 1231 1241 sustainability of a firm s asset position hinges on how easily assets can be substituted or imitated imitability is linked to the characteristics of the asset accumulation process time compression diseconomies asset mass efficiencies inter connectedness asset erosion and causal ambiguity

compensating outside directors with stock the impact on non primary stakeholders two obvious trends in corporate governance include broadening board accountability beyond shareholders interests and paying outside directors with equity compensation stock and stock options by integrating common agency and instrumental stakeholder theories we examine the effect of stock compensation on secondary stakeholders and a firm s participation in social issues two areas where interests are less aligned with shareholder value consistent with our predictions we found that while stock compensation may be an effective way to align directors goals to those of shareholders it has adverse effects on important non shareholder constituencies in the company s operating environment

tax avoidance cost of debt and shareholder activism evidence from korea abstract this paper examines the impact of tax avoidance on the cost of debt and its interaction effect with shareholder activism using korean firms i find a negative relationship between tax avoidance and the cost of debt supporting the trade off theory further tests reveal that the negative relationship becomes stronger when the level of institutional ownership is high it becomes even stronger after 1998 when the shareholder rights of institutional investors were strengthened it suggests that the managerial opportunism theory has an additional explanation for tax avoidance activities my findings indicate that tax avoidance reduces the cost of debt through trade offs and creates a managerial rent diversion which is mitigated in firms with larger institutional holdings

human capital bankruptcy and capital structure we derive a firm s optimal capital structure and managerial compensation contract when employees are averse to bearing their own human capital risk while equity holders can diversify this risk away in the presence of corporate taxes our model delivers optimal debt levels consistent with those observed in practice it also makes a number of predictions for the cross sectional distribution of firm leverage consistent with existing empirical evidence it implies persistent idiosyncratic dierences in leverage across firms an important new empirical prediction of the model is that ceteris paribus firms with more leverage should pay higher wages

control rights and capital structure an empirical investigation we show that incentive conflicts between firms and their creditors have a large impact on corporate debt policy net debt issuing activity experiences a sharp and persistent decline following debt covenant violations when creditors use their acceleration and termination rights to increase interest rates and reduce the availability of credit the effect of creditor actions on debt policy is strongest when the borrower s alternative sources of finance are costly in addition despite the less favorable terms offered by existing creditors borrowers rarely switch lenders following a violation a fundamental question in financial economics is how do firms choose their financial policies extant empirical research on this question has focused primarily on the presence of taxes and bankruptcy costs e g scott 1976 information asymmetry e g myers and majluf 1984 and more recently market timing behavior e g baker and wurgler 2002 however beginning with jensen and meckling 1976 a large body of theoretical research examines how incentive conflicts between managers and external investors affect corporate financial policies in particular theoretical research on financial contracting shows that in the presence of incentive conflicts optimal debt contracts will allocate certain rights to creditors after negative performance in order to help firms secure financing ex ante e g aghion and bolton 1992 and dewatripont and tirole

shareholder value stakeholder management and social issues what s the bottom line we test the relationship between shareholder value stakeholder management and social issue participation building better relations with primary stakeholders like employees customers suppliers and communities could lead to increased shareholder wealth by helping firms develop intangible valuable assets which can be sources of competitive advantage on the other hand using corporate resources for social issues not related to primary stakeholders may not create value for shareholders we test these propositions with data from s p 500 firms and find evidence that stakeholder management leads to improved shareholder value while social issue participation is negatively associated with shareholder value copyright 2001 john wiley sons ltd

determinants of target capital structure the case of dual debt and equity issues abstract we examine whether market and operating performance affect corporate financing behavior because they are related to target leverage our focus on firms that issue both debt and equity enhances our ability to draw inferences consistent with dynamic trade off theories dual issuers offset the deviation from the target resulting from accumulation of earnings and losses our results also imply that high market to book firms have low target debt ratios on the other hand consistent with market timing high stock returns increase the probability of equity issuance but have no effect on target leverage

the electoral consequences of the washington consensus this paper assesses how electoral outcomes in both presidential and legislative elections in latin america have been affected by the adoption of economic policies that seek to improve macroeconomic stability and facilitate the functioning of markets the database includes 17 latin american countries for the period 1985 2002 and a total of 66 presidential and 81 legislative elections the set of testable hypotheses is derived from a review of the literature and is structured around the hypothesis of economic voting it is found that i the incumbent s party is rewarded for reductions in the rate of inflation and to a lesser extent for increases in the rate of growth ii the more fragmented or ideologically polarized the party system the higher the electoral rewards of reducing the inflation rate or raising the economic growth rate iii voters care not only about economic outcomes but also about some of the policies adopted while the electorate seems blind to macroeconomic policies such as fiscal or exchange rate policies it is averse to pro market policies irrespective of their effects on growth or inflation and iv the electorate is more tolerant of pro market reforms when the incumbent s party has a more market oriented ideology these results suggest that reforming parties have paid a hefty price for the adoption of pro market reforms except when such reforms have been undertaken in conjunction with stabilization policies in high inflation economies

new ways of looking at old issues inequality and growth abstract the paper uses new cross country data on income and asset land distribution to show that i there is a strong negative relationship between initial inequality in the asset distribution and long term growth ii inequality reduces income growth for the poor but not for the rich and iii available longitudinal data provide little support for the kuznets hypothesis policies that increase aggregate investment and facilitate acquisition of assets by the poor might thus be doubly beneficial for growth and poverty reduction

the effect of myopia and loss aversion on risk taking an experimental test myopic loss aversion is the combination of a greater sensitivity to losses than to gains and a tendency to evaluate outcomes frequently two implications of myopic loss aversion are tested experimentally 1 investors who display myopic loss aversion will be more willing to accept risks if they evaluate their investments less often 2 if all payoffs are increased enough to eliminate losses investors will accept more risk in a task in which investors learn from experience both predictions are supported the investors who got the most frequent feedback and thus the most information took the least risk and earned the least money language en

employee well being firm leverage and bankruptcy risk employees of liquidating firms are likely to lose income and non pecuniary benefits of working for the firm which makes bankruptcy costly for employees this paper examines whether firms take these costs into account when deciding on the optimal amount of leverage we find that firms with leading track records in employee well being significantly reduce the probability of bankruptcy by operating with lower debt ratios moreover we observe that firms with better employee track records have better credit ratings even when we control for differences in firm leverage

the effect of capital structure on a firm s liquidation decision abstract a firm s liquidation can impose costs on its customers workers and suppliers an agency relationship between these individuals and the firm exists in that the liquidation decision controlled by the firm as the agent affects other individuals the customers workers and suppliers as principals the analysis in this paper suggests that capital structure can control the incentive conflict problem of this relationship by serving as a pre positioning or bonding mechanism appropriate selection of capital structure assures that incentives are aligned so that the firm implements the ex ante value maximizing liquidation policy

markowitz with regret abstract providing a framework to integrate regret as an additional decision criterion in markowitz s model of portfolio selection we propose two different views on regret an investor might feel regret with respect to the ex post best alternative either in terms of return or in terms of preference value under both views regret can be captured by adjusting the vector of expected returns or alternatively by adjusting the return covariance matrix retaining the tractability of the markowitz model the regret model however has very different implications for how asset characteristics affect optimal portfolios while the impact of the skewness of an asset is strengthened the impact of the variance shrinks moreover we show for a variety of real portfolios that the effects of regret on optimal portfolio weights and the ex ante return distribution are large

liquidation costs and capital structure abstract we investigate the relation between liquidation costs of assets and composition of capital structure for firms that reorganized under chapter 11 of the bankruptcy code firms with high liquidation costs emerge from chapter 11 with relatively low debt ratios the debt of these firms is more likely to be public and unsecured and to have less restrictive covenant terms these firms are also more likely to raise new equity capital assets with high liquidation costs thus lead firms to choose capital structures that make financial distress less likely

interest rates and credit risk this paper explores the effects of shifts in interest rates on corporate leverage and default we develop a dynamic model in which the relationship between firms and their outside financiers is affected by a moral hazard problem and entrepreneurs initial wealth is scarce the link between leverage and default risk comes from the lower incentives of overindebted entrepreneurs to guarantee firm survival the need to finance new investment with outside funding pushes firms leverage ratio above some state contingent target towards which they gradually adjust through earnings retention the dynamic response of leverage and default to interest rate rises and cuts is both asymmetric and heterogeneously distributed across firms both rises and cuts increase the aggregate default rate in the short run however a higher interest rate reduces firms target leverage and hence produces lower default rates in the longer run this helps rationalize some evidence regarding the risk taking channel of monetary policy

debt and the marginal tax rate abstract do taxes affect corporate debt policy this paper tests whether the incremental use of debt is positively related to simulated firm specific marginal tax rates that account for net operating losses investment tax credits and the alternative minimum tax the simulated marginal tax rates exhibit substantial variation due to the dynamics of the tax code tax regime shifts business cycle effects and the progressive nature of the statutory tax schedule using annual data from more than 10 000 firms for the years 1980 1992 i provide evidence which indicates that high tax rate firms issue more debt than their low tax rate counterparts

are firms underleveraged an examination of the effect of leverage on default probabilities a commonly held view in corporate finance is that firms are less leveraged than they should be given the potentially large tax benefits of debt in this paper i study the effect of firms leverage on default probabilities as represented by the firms ratings using an instrumental variable approach i find that the leverage s effect on ratings is three times stronger than it is if the endogeneity of leverage is ignored this stronger effect results in a higher impact of leverage on the ex ante costs of financial distress which can offset the current estimates of the tax benefits of debt

exploring the curvature of the relationship between hrm csr and corporate financial performance this article contributes to the general literature on the relationship between corporate social performance and corporate financial performance as well as to the emerging hrm csr literature by exploring the curvature of the relationship between hrm csp and cfp we advance conceptual arguments in favor of an inverted u shaped relationship our results demonstrate a significant quadratic relationship between hrm csp and cfp we provide evidence that this relationship is not linear or s shaped but rather inverted u shaped

on the existence of an optimal capital structure theory and evidence one of the most contentious issues in the theory of finance during the past quarter century has been the theory of capital structure the geneses of this controversy were the seminal contributions by modigliani and miller 18 19 the general academic view by the mid 1970s although not a consensus was that the optimal capital structure involves balancing the tax advantage of debt against the present value of bankruptcy costs no sooner did this general view become prevalent in the profession than miller 16 presented a new challenge by showing that under certain conditions the tax advantage of debt financing at the firm level is exactly offset by the tax disadvantage of debt at the personal level since then there has developed a burgeoning theoretical literature attempting to reconcile miller s model with the balancing theory of optimal capital structure e g deangelo and masulis 5 kim 12 and modigliani 17 the general result of this work is that if there are significant leverage related costs such as bankruptcy costs agency costs of debt and loss of non debt tax shields and if the income from equity is untaxed then the marginal bondholder s tax rate will be less than the corporate rate and there will be a positive net tax advantage to corporate debt financing the firm s optimal capital structure will involve the trade off between the tax advantage of debt and various leverage related costs the upshot of these extensions of miller s model is the recognition that the existence of an optimal capital structure is essentially an empirical issue as to whether or not the various leverage related costs are economically significant enough to influence the costs of corporate borrowing the miller model and its theoretical extensions have inspired several timeseries studies which provide evidence on the existence of leverage related costs trczinka 28 reports that from examining differences in average yields between taxable corporate bonds and tax exempt municipal bonds one cannot reject the miller hypothesis that the marginal bondholder s tax rate is not different from the corporate tax rate however trczinka is careful to point out that this finding does not necessarily imply that there is no tax advantage of corporate debt if the personal tax rate on equity is positive indeed buser and hess 1 using a longer time series of data and more sophisticated econometric techniques estimate that the average effective personal tax rate on equity is statistically positive and is not of a trivial magnitude more importantly they document evidence that is consistent with the existence of significant leverage related costs in the economy

a model of the political economy of the united states we develop and test a model of joint determination of economic growth and national election results in the united states the formal model which combines developments in the rational choice analysis of the behavior of economic agents and voters leads to a system of equations in which the dependent variables are the growth rate and the vote shares in presidential and congressional elections our estimates support the theoretical claims that growth responds to unanticipated policy shifts and that voters use both on year and midterm elections to balance the two parties on the other hand we find no support for rational retrospective voting we do reconfirm in a fully simultaneous framework the naive retrospective voting literature s finding that the economy has a strong effect on presidential voting we find congressional elections unaffected by the economy except as transmitted by presidential coattails

have the tax benefits of debt been overestimated abstract we re examine the claim that many corporations are underleveraged in that they fail to take full advantage of debt tax shields we show prior results suggesting underleverage stems from biased estimates of tax benefits from interest deductions we develop improved estimates of marginal tax rates using a non parametric procedure that produces more accurate estimates of the distribution of future taxable income we show that additional debt would provide firms with much smaller tax benefits than previously thought and when expected distress costs and difficult to measure non debt tax shields are also considered it appears plausible that most firms have tax efficient capital structures

the effects of top management team integrative complexity and decentralized decision making on corporate social performance we examine the influence of top management teams tmts integrative complexity and decentralization of decision making on corporate social performance we argue that both factors increase tmt ability to gather information on and attend to stakeholder needs thereby yielding higher corporate social performance we further predict that decentralization moderates the relationship between integrative complexity and corporate social performance in such a way that the relationship is stronger under conditions of centralization using a q sort methodology which translates complex qualitative observations into quantitative metrics we examined integrative complexity and decentralization in 61 fortune 500 firms and found support for our predictions in the wake of numerous corporate scandals corporate social performance has garnered much attention from business practitioners and academics alike corporate social performance refers to a business organization s configuration of principles of social responsibility processes of social responsiveness and policies programs and observable outcomes as they relate to the firm s societal relationships wood 1991 693 the dominant perspective taken in evaluating a firm s corporate social performance is the stakeholder approach according to which firms act in a socially responsible manner when they take the interests of multiple stakeholders e g customers employees into account mcguire dow argheyd 2003 ruf muralidhar brown janney paul 2001

the roles of stakeholder support and procedure oriented management on asset recovery abstract as the management of returned products is fast becoming a business trend caused by pressure for compliance asset recovery is increasingly viewed as a fertile area for firms to reduce cost and improve quality environmental management is a viable approach for chinese manufacturers to respond to the escalating international quest for conserving the environment to tackle the problem of rising raw material costs and to improve product quality by analyzing returned products to reach the goals of cost reduction and product quality improvement manufacturers need to understand how asset recovery can be leveraged through procedure based practices and stakeholder support to enhance performance product type characterized by different levels of demand uncertainty and time to market may affect the outcomes of asset recovery adoption and should also be taken into account drawing on the environmental management and business logistics literature we provide empirical insights on asset recovery adoption using survey data collected from export oriented chinese manufacturers we find that asset recovery and stakeholder support are complementary in strengthening manufacturers financial performance regardless of product type in addition the performance impact of asset recovery can be substantial when manufacturers environmental management practices are less procedural allowing flexibility in the logistics management of product flows

discrete time behavioral portfolio selection under cumulative prospect theory we formulate and study three multi period behavioral portfolio selection models under cumulative prospect theory i s shaped utility maximization without probability weighting in a market with one risky asset ii s shaped utility maximization without probability weighting in a market with multiple risky assets which follow a joint elliptical distribution and iii s shaped utility maximization with inverse s shaped probability weighting in a market with one risky asset for the first two time consistent models we identify the well posedness conditions and derive the semi analytical optimal policies for the third time inconsistent model we assume that the investor is aware of the time inconsistency but is unable to commit to his initial plan of action then we reformulate the model into an intrapersonal game model and derive the semi analytical subgame perfect nash equilibrium time consistent policy under well posedness condition all the three policies take a piecewise linear feedback form our analysis of the three models not only partially explains the well documented phenomena of non participation puzzle and horizon effect but also extends the two fund separation theorem into multi period s shaped utility setting and pushes forward the study on time inconsistency issue incurred by probability weighting

self coordination in time inconsistent stochastic decision problems a planner doer game framework abstract time inconsistency has been a thorny issue in many economic and financial decision making problems especially when risk measures are involved in performance criteria we develop in this paper a two tier planner doer game framework with self coordination by aligning the global interest of the planner and the local interests of the doers by applying suitable penalty functions a degree of internal harmony measured quantitatively by the expected cost of self coordination can be achieved by the self coordination policy we establish an axiom system for modified preferences under which the self coordination policy can be obtained by solving a corresponding optimization problem we then apply our game framework successfully in dynamic mean variance portfolio selection

the close but adversarial model of supplier relations in the u s auto industry while cooperative buyer supplier relations are an important source of sustainable competitive advantage noncooperative behavior persists widely this paper tests a model incorporating noncooperative behavior within a context of formal commitment using data from the u s auto industry this close but adversarial model appears to be reasonably well supported by the data suggesting that even within professed cooperative buyer supplier relationships adversarial behavior persists in contrast a small but significant minority of the relationships were found to be characterized by high levels of trust as well as informal commitment the results suggest specific strategies for developing cooperative supplier relations 1998 john wiley sons ltd

the construct validity of the kinder lydenberg domini social performance ratings data carroll 1991 encouraged researchers in social issues management sim to continue to measure corporate social performance csp from a variety of different perspectives utilizing a variety of different measures in addition wolfe and aupperle 1991 and others have asserted that there is no single best way to measure csp and that multiple measures and perspectives help develop the field however pfeffer 1993 suggest that a lack of consistent measurement has constrained organization studies and by implication the field of social issues management in its development as a field it may be in the best interest of social issues management researchers to try to development a common body of measures and data recently kinder lydenberg and domini co kld a social choice investment advisory firm has made available their social performance database the kld data have potential to become a widely accepted set of csp measures the purpose of this paper is to present a construct validity study comparing the kld data to other measures of csp

human capital capital structure and employee pay an empirical analysis abstract we test the predictions of titman 1984 and berk stanton and zechner 2010 by examining the effect of leverage on labor costs leverage has a significantly positive impact on cash equity based and total compensation of chief executive officers ceos compensation of new ceos hired from outside the firm is positively related to prior year firm leverage in addition leverage has a positive and significant impact on average employee pay the incremental total labor expenses associated with an increase in leverage are large enough to offset the incremental tax benefits of debt the empirical evidence supports the theoretical prediction that labor costs limit the use of debt

dynamic portfolio choice and asset pricing with narrow framing and probability weighting this paper shows that the framework proposed by barberis and huang 2009 to incorporate narrow framing and loss aversion into dynamic models of portfolio choice and asset pricing can be extended to also account for probability weighting and for a value function that is convex on losses and concave on gains we show that the addition of probability weighting and a convex concave value function reinforces previous applications of narrow framing and cumulative prospect theory to understanding the stock market non participation puzzle and the equity premium puzzle moreover we show that a convex concave value function generates new wealth effects that are consistent with empirical observations on stock market participation

proxies for the corporate marginal tax rate abstract this paper focuses on how best to measure the corporate marginal tax rate which is an important input into financial analysis of the cost of capital financing policy corporate hedging and corporate reorganizations the results indicate that the simulated tax rate used by shevlin 1990 and graham 1996 although difficult to calculate is the best available proxy for the true marginal tax rate if the simulated rate is unavailable an easy to calculate trichotomous variable or the statutory marginal tax rate which captures the progressivity in the tax schedule are reasonable alternatives better than most commonly used tax variables

monetary policy and long run systemic risk taking as an extension to the literature on the risk taking channel of monetary policy this paper studies the existence of a systemic risk taking channel srtc in the eurozone through an original macroeconomic perspective based on causality measures because the srtc is effective after an incubation period we make a distinction between short and long term causality following the methodology proposed by dufour and taamouti 2010 we find that causality from monetary policy to systemic risk while not significant in the very short term robustly represents 75 to 100 of the total dependence between the two variables in the long run reverse causality is rejected systemic risk did not influence the policy of the european central bank before the global financial crisis however central banks must be aware that a too loose monetary policy stance may be conducive to a build up of systemic risk

redistributive promises and the adoption of economic reform this paper analyzes the relationship between economic reform and the democratic process to ask the following question does the likelihood of adoption of an economic reform increase with an increase in the efficiency benefits from that reform a priori we might expect that this likelihood should increase monotonically for two reasons first economic reform results in an increase in the size of the national pie if the government has the ability to make compensatory tax transfers an increase in each citizen s income is possible second a larger economic reform results in a greater number of winners this might also be expected to reinforce the political support for economic reform so we should expect a reform with greater efficiency benefits to a larger population to have a greater chance of adoption by the government however in this paper we show that this intuition is mistaken in particular we demonstrate that there exists a certain non monotonicity between the distribution of winners from economic reform and the probability of its adoption an increase in the number of winners may lower rather than increase the likelihood of adoption of economic reform in particular even though reforms that benefit a minority or an overwhelming majority are adopted reforms that benefit a smaller majority are not adopted

do firms hedge in response to tax incentives there are two tax incentives for corporations to hedge to increase debt capacity and interest tax deductions and to reduce expected tax liability if the tax function is convex we test whether these incentives affect the extent of corporate hedging with derivatives using an explicit measure of tax function convexity we find no evidence that firms hedge in response to tax convexity our analysis does however indicate that firms hedge to increase debt capacity with increased tax benefits averaging 1 1 percent of firm value our results also indicate that firms hedge because of expected financial distress costs and firm size an increasing number of corporations use financial derivatives each year the international swaps and derivatives association reports that the notional value of outstanding otc swap contracts increased from 11 3 trillion in 1994 to more than 60 trillion by mid 2000 http 00www isda org this is interesting because financial theory tells us that corporate risk management enhances value only in the presence of costly market imperfections a number of empirical studies examine derivative holdings to identify which of the proposed theoretical incentives and imperfections lead to corporate hedging our paper adds to the hedging literature by testing whether corporations respond to two tax related incentives to hedge the incentive to reduce volatility thereby increasing debt capacity and the tax benefits of debt and the incentive to reduce expected tax liabilities by reducing the volatility of taxable income we also use a refined dependent variable to measure net

dynamic trading with reference point adaptation and loss aversion we formalize the reference point adaptation process by relating it to a way people perceive prior gains and losses we then develop a dynamic trading model with reference point adaptation and loss aversion and derive its semi analytical solution the derived optimal stock holding has an asymmetric v shaped form with respect to prior outcomes and the related sensitivities are directly determined by the sensitivities of reference point shifts with respect to the outcomes we also find that the effects of reference point adaptation can be used to shed light on some well documented trading patterns e g house money break even and disposition effects

indirect costs of financial distress in durable goods industries the case of auto manufacturers financial distress can disrupt a durable goods producer s provision of complementary goods and services such as warranties spare parts and maintenance this reduces consumers demand for the core product causing indirect costs of financial distress we test this hypothesis in the market for used cars sold at wholesale auctions an increase in a manufacturer s credit default swaps significantly decreases the prices of its cars at auction especially cars with longer expected service lives our estimates imply substantial indirect costs of financial distress for car manufacturers these costs have occasionally even exceeded the tax savings benefits for general motors and ford the author 2013 published by oxford university press on behalf of the society for financial studies all rights reserved for permissions please e mail journals permissions oup com oxford university press

the financial and operating performance of newly privatized firms evidence from developing countries this paper examines the change in the financial and operating performance of 79 companies from 21 developing countries that experienced full or partial privatization during the period from 1980 to 1992 we use accounting performance measures adjusted for market effects in addition to unadjusted accounting performance measures both unadjusted and market adjusted results show significant increases in profitability operating efficiency capital investment spending output employment level and dividends we also find a decline in leverage following privatization but this change is significant only for unadjusted leverage ratios our results are generally robust when we partition our data into various subsamples

environmental corporate social responsibility and financial performance disentangling direct and indirect effects abstract this paper assesses the impact of environmental corporate social responsibility ecsr on corporate financial performance cfp measured by roa and tobin s q we show that the relationship between firms return on assets roa and ecsr strengths and concerns is negative and statistically significant we also show that firms tobin q and ecsr strengths and concerns are negatively correlated in a statistically significant way however accounting for the interaction between firms environmental efforts and r d yields a different perspective while the direct impact of ecsr on cfp is still negative the interaction of ecsr and r d has a positive and significant impact on it ecsr strengths and concerns harm cfp since they are perceived as a potential cost however this csr activity fosters r d efforts of firms which generates additional value indirect effect

a model of casino gambling we show that prospect theory offers a rich theory of casino gambling one that captures several features of actual gambling behavior first we demonstrate that for a wide range of preference parameter values a prospect theory agent would be willing to gamble in a casino even if the casino offers only bets with no skewness and with zero or negative expected value second we show that the probability weighting embedded in prospect theory leads to a plausible time inconsistency at the moment he enters a casino the agent plans to follow one particular gambling strategy but after he starts playing he wants to switch to a different strategy the model therefore predicts heterogeneity in gambling behavior how a gambler behaves depends on whether he is aware of the time inconsistency and if he is aware of it on whether he can commit in advance to his initial plan of action this paper was accepted by brad barber teck ho and terrance odean special issue editors

an exogeneity test for a simultaneous equation tobit model with an application to labor supply a test of weak exogeneity in the simultaneous equation tobit model is proposed and illustrated using a female labour supply model estimated using cross section data the test statistic can be simply output from any standard tobit maximum likelihood package and is asymptotically efficient the procedure provides consistent estimators for the simultaneous tobit model whose asymptotic covariance matrix is a simple extension of the usual tobit formula we also provide the lagrange multiplier test of weak exogeneity this abstract was borrowed from another version of this item

on the determinants of corporate hedging finance theory indicates that hedging increases firm value by reducing expected taxes expected costs of financial distress or other agency costs this paper provides evidence on these hypotheses using survey data on firm s use of forwards futures swaps and options combined with computstat data on firm characteristics of 169 firms in the sample 104 firms use hedging instruments in 1986 the data suggest that firms which hedge face more convex tax functions have less coverage of fixed claims are larger have more growth options in their investment opportunity set and employ fewer hedging substitutes

the corporate social performance financial performance link strategic managers are consistently faced with the decision of how to allocate scarce corporate resources in an environment that is placing more and more pressures on them recent scholarship in strategic management suggests that many of these pressures come directly from sources associated with social issues in management rather than traditional arenas of strategic management using a greatly improved source of data on corporate social performance this paper reports the results of a rigorous study of the empirical linkages between financial and social performance corporate social performance csp is found to be positively associated with prior financial performance supporting the theory that slack resource availability and csp are positively related csp is also found to be positively associated with future financial performance supporting the theory that good management and csp are positively related 1997 by john wiley sons ltd