implications of economic interdependence for endogenous wage indexation decisions this paper shows how economic interdependence affects the indexation decisions of atomistic wage setters in an environment in which monetary authorities do not observe stochastic disturbances before making their policy choices if stochastic disturbances are common across countries interdependence has no effect on equilibrium indexation choices in identical countries however if disturbances are country specific numerical simulations show that interdependence is likely to reduce equilibrium indexation choices relative to a small open economy we also show that indexation choices may be either strategic complements or strategic substitutes but that strategic complementarity becomes more likely as the degree of interdependence rises

wage indexation and the time consistency of government policy this paper concerns the role of wage indexation as a mechanism for enabling an economy to achieve outcomes that would not otherwise be time consistent the desirability of indexation depends on the size of real and nominal shocks and on a policymaker s incentives for short run inflation surprises policymakers incentives to utilize wage indexation are examined and it is found that weak policymakers are more likely to choose wage indexation hence in an electoral equilibrium voters may choose a policymaker who cares more about unemployment than inflation but who chooses wage indexation to commit to low inflation copyright 1995 by the editors of the scandinavian journal of economics

wage indexation and discretionary monetary policy since the early 1970 s both academic researchers and policymakers have devoted considerable attention to the macroeconomic effects of wage indexation however these two groups have focused on different effects starting with jo anna gray 1976 and stanley fischer 1977a formal models emphasize the role of indexation in stabilizing or destabilizing output in contrast informal policy discussions usually focus on the allegation that indexation is inflationary e g arthur okun 1971 mario simonsen 1983 eliana cardoso and rudiger dornbusch 1987 to reduce this gap this paper presents a model of the effects of indexation on inflation and asks whether indexation raises economic welfare when these effects are taken into account until recently it was difficult to formalize the argument that indexation is inflationary because economists lacked models of the sources of inflation this paper applies the insight of robert barro and david gordon 1983a that with discretionary policy the employment gains from surprise inflation tempt the monetary authority to create positive trend inflation as stressed by fischer and lawrence summers 1989 policies that reduce the costs of inflation such as indexation cause barro gordon policymakers to choose higher inflation indeed inflation can rise so much that welfare falls despite greater protection against inflation this effect is appealing because it captures the common argument that indexation weakens policymakers will to fight inflation 1 this is not the end of the story however because wage indexation has a second effect it reduces the employment effects of surprise inflation that is unlike most policies to reduce the costs of inflation such as indexation of interest rates wage indexation steepens the phillips curve in the barrogordon model a steeper phillips curve reduces the temptation to inflate and hence reduces equilibrium inflation since indexation has one inflationary effect lower costs of inflation and one anti inflationary effect a steeper phillips curve the net effect appears ambiguous even if the net effect on inflation is determined the welfare effect may remain unclear if inflation rises the welfare loss might or might not be outweighed by the lower cost of a given amount of inflation 2 these ambiguities cannot be resolved with the barro gordon model alone because the phillips curve and the effect of inflation on welfare are ad hoc it is plausible that indexation affects these relations but the relative strengths of the effects are unclear resolving the ambiguities requires a more structural model in which the effects of indexation are derived rather than assumed this paper studies such a model specifically we use a model of staggered wagesetting based on gray 1976 fischer 1977a b and john taylor 1980 the degree of indexation is an explicit parameter and so we can derive its net effects on inflation and welfare section i of this paper presents our basic model and derives equilibrium inflation in

monetary policy in the presence of asymmetric wage indexation we study optimal monetary policy in the presence of asymmetric wage indexation we find that the monetary authorities do not react to small output shocks and that their reaction to large shocks is asymmetric insofar as they absorb positive shocks more than negative ones as a consequence we observe that asymmetric wage indexation can be contractionary it has ambiguous effects on expected inflation and welfare relative to an equivalent symmetric indexation optimal symmetric inflation however always outperforms optimal asymmetric indexation

efficiency analysis of chinese industry a directional distance function approach two efficiency measures of chinese industry were estimated at the provincial level from 1994 to 2002 using a directional output distance function one is a traditional efficiency measure that considers only desirable output while the other considers both desirable and undesirable outputs simultaneously a comparison of the two measures revealed that efficiency levels are biased only if desirable output is considered five coastal provinces municipalities that have attracted a large amount of foreign direct investment are found to be the most efficient when only desirable output is considered and also when both desirable and undesirable outputs are considered however omitting undesirable output tends to lead to an overestimate of industrial efficiency levels in shandong sichuan and hebei provinces we also found that a province s industrial structure has significant effects on its efficiency levels

un cola why have cost of living clauses disappeared from union contracts and will they return 1 introduction one of the major changes in collective bargaining in recent decades has been the gradual elimination of cost of living adjustments colas from union contracts in 1976 61 of union workers covered by major collective bargaining contracts had cola provisions but by the end of 1995 when the u s bureau of labor statistics stopped collecting data on collective bargaining settlements cola coverage had fallen to 22 1 although the decline in cola rates has been studied extensively there is no agreement as to which factors are primarily responsible for this decline one view attributes the elimination of colas or escalator clauses to declines in inflationary uncertainty a second view emphasizes the erosion of union power yet another view focuses on structural shifts in the u s economy previous research has not determined the relative importance of these and other hypotheses another reason to reassess cola determination is that the economy has changed since the early research was completed the bulk of studies to examine cola incidence statistically have relied on sample periods that end in 1982 or earlier 2 since then there have been major changes in union strength inflationary uncertainty and other potential determinants of wage indexation including deregulation of certain industries in addition more than 90 of the decline in cola rates has occurred since 1982 it is worthwhile to determine whether the factors deemed to be important in the early studies are still important we provide a comparison with previous research formally assess the contributions of various factors to the erosion of cola rates and provide insights as to likely changes in cola coverage in the future if inflation picks up and with it inflationary uncertainty 3 will cola rates rise to levels not seen since the 1970s what would be the consequences of a rebound in union power of further economic deregulation of likely industrial and demographic shifts in the economy once the major causes of past changes in cola coverage are understood it becomes possible to project the consequences of changes in key economic variables given the concern in macroeconomics with wage indexation and the linkage between wages and prices gray 1976 fischer 1986 ball and cecchetti 1991 schiller 1997 the extent to which cola coverage responds to economic factors has important implications for the economy underlying the empirical analysis is a pooled cross sectional time series model of cola incidence that accounts for industry fixed effects to estimate the model we assemble a panel data set of cola coverage and an array of characteristics for 32 private sector industries over a 22 year period because cola clauses are multiyear in nature the model also recognizes that the percentage of workers covered by cola clauses in a particular year depends on conditions in both the current year and previous years previewing results we find that the major cause of the decline in cola coverage has been the reduction in inflationary uncertainty second in importance has been the erosion of union power both the percentage of the industry s workforce that is unionized and the estimated union wage premium in the industry are highly significant determinants of cola coverage but because the union wage premium has remained largely intact in most industries changes in the premium are much less important than losses in unionization in explaining the overall decline in cola provisions economic deregulation industrial shifts and an increased presence of women in the workforce have had modest effects on cola rates on the basis of our findings a rebound in inflationary uncertainty to the levels experienced in the 1970s would raise cola coverage by 10 percentage points 2 background for workers in long term contracts colas provide at least partial protection from the consequences of unexpected inflation

inflation inflation uncertainty and relative price dispersion evidence from bivariate garch m models abstract one potential real effect of inflation is its influence on the dispersion of relative prices in the economy menu cost models generally imply that higher trend inflation will increase price dispersion in contrast signal extraction models predict that increased inflation uncertainty will raise relative price dispersion existing empirical studies do not distinguish between these separate hypotheses we constuct a bivariate garch m model of inflation and relative price dispersion to test these differing explanations in a single model and find that inflation uncertainty dominates trend inflation as a predictor of relative price dispersion

wage indexation and time consistency note this note presents a simple model where the decision on the degree of wage indexation is taken by a large agent such as the government the optimal degree of indexing is shown to depend on the variance of real shocks and on the inflations bias of the government due to the incentive to raise employment above the market clearing level wage indexation will be low if real shocks are large and if the government is inflation averse the ability of monetary policy to offset monetary disturbances makes them irrelevant to the determination of the optimal degree of indexing copyright 1994 by ohio state university press

nominal wage flexibility wage indexation and monetary union membership in a monetary union implies stronger incentives for nominal wage flexibility in the form of wage indexation and shorter contract length than non membership this counteracts the stabilisation policy cost of giving up monetary independence but more wage flexibility is only an imperfect substitute for an individual monetary policy it is possible that an increase in wage flexibility is welfare decreasing because of the accompanying rise in price variability the interaction between wage setting and central bank behaviour may result in either multiple equilibria or a unique full indexation equilibrium

environmental efficiency analysis of power industry in china based on an entropy sbm model chinese national natural science fund 71073040 710201139 71273075 humanities and social science fund of the ministry of education 09yjc790061

on the absence of positive wage indexation this paper rationalizes the absence of positive wage indexation in labour contracts that is of indexing provisions that link wage increases to inflation we investigate the equilibrium of a policy game in a stochastic economy in which wage setters and a policy maker interact strategically in order to determine the preferred degree of wage indexation and an optimal stabilization rule respectively our conclusion is that nominal wage rigidity and counterinflationary economic policy represent the best courses of action when price stability is valued and negative responses of contractual wages to price shocks are ruled out under these assumptions moreover the stochastic structure of the economy has no bearing on the optimality of maximal real wage flexibility this paper presents an argument for explaining nominal wage rigidity in labour contracts we investigate the equilibrium of a policy game in a stochastic economy in which wage setters and a policy maker interact strategically in order to determine the preferred degree of wage indexation and an optimal intervention rule respectively our conclusion is that indexing provisions that maximize the flexibility of real wages and counter inflationary economic policy represent the best courses of action for the players in the absence of schemes that create a negative correlation between wage and price movements maximal real wage flexibility is attainable through zero indexation or rigid nominal wages the crucial assumption that drives this result is that some price stability is desirable for the policy maker the introduction of price stability as a goal seems eminently justified from a practical standpoint the federal reserve system s legislative mandate from the federal reserve reform act of 1977 the ongoing debate about the house joint resolution 409 and the delors report which speaks of an unequivocal commitment to maintain price stability as the primary objective of the european system of central banks

the relationship between relative prices and the general price level it is very nearly a truismi amaong neoclassical economists that the public is wont to confuse changes in the general price level with relative price changes correspondingl y one might speak of the independence between the two as one of the central postulates of the neoclassical tradition william stanley jevons was aml ong the first to identify this basic dichotomin economic life as well as to attempt to explain the ordinary citizen s seenming incapacity to understand it

non parametric productivity analysis with undesirable outputs an application to the canadian pulp and paper industry this article extends the chavas cox approach to non parametric analysis by incorporating undesirable outputs to provide a more complete representation of the production technology inner and outer non parametric technology bounds are constructed the methods are illustrated with application to time series data for the canadian pulp and paper industry conventional measures that ignore changes in pollutant outputs underestimate true productivity growth further there is a large gap between estimates generated with reference to inner and outer bounds to the technology suggesting that researchers need to be aware of the limitations of results derived from analyses relying only on dea methods copyright 2001 oxford university press

time consistency indexation and the costs of inflation abstract we examine the effects of indexation measures on inflation costs of inflation and economic welfare within the barro gordon journal of political economy 1983 91 589 610 model the main result is that wage indexation in addition to making the phillips curve steeper also reduces the marginal cost of inflation which is inflationary

ecological total factor energy efficiency of regions in china most existing energy efficiency indices are computed without taking into account undesirable outputs such as co2 and so2 emissions this paper computes the ecological total factor energy efficiency etfee of 30 regions in china for the period 2005 2009 through the slack based model sbm with undesirable outputs we calculate the etfee index by comparing the target energy input obtained from sbm with undesirable outputs to the actual energy input findings show that china s regional etfee still remains a low level of around 0 600 and regional energy efficiency is overestimated by more than 0 100 when not looking at environmental impacts china s regional energy efficiency is extremely unbalanced the east area ranks first with the highest etfee of above 0 700 the northeast and central areas follow and the west area has the lowest etfee of less than 0 500 a monotone increasing relation exists between the area s etfee and china s per capita gdp the truncated regression model shows that the ratio of r d expenditure to gdp and the degree of foreign dependence have positive impacts whereas the ratio of the secondary industry to gdp and the ratio of government subsidies for industrial pollution treatment to gdp have negative effects on the etfee

undesirable outputs in efficiency valuations abstract efficiency measurement is usually based on the assumption that inputs have to be minimized and outputs have to be maximized in a growing number of applications however undesirable outputs are incorporated into the production model which have to be minimized in this paper various approaches for treating such outputs in the framework of data envelopment analysis dea are discussed and the resulting efficient frontiers are compared new radial measures are introduced which assume that any change of the output level will involve both undesirable and desirable outputs

modeling undesirable factors in efficiency evaluation abstract data envelopment analysis dea measures the relative efficiency of decision making units dmus with multiple performance factors which are grouped into outputs and inputs once the efficient frontier is determined inefficient dmus can improve their performance to reach the efficient frontier by either increasing their current output levels or decreasing their current input levels however both desirable good and undesirable bad factors may be present for example if inefficiency exists in production processes where final products are manufactured with a production of wastes and pollutants the outputs of wastes and pollutants are undesirable and should be reduced to improve the performance using the classification invariance property we show that the standard dea model can be used to improve the performance via increasing the desirable outputs and decreasing the undesirable outputs the method can also be applied to situations when some inputs need to be increased to improve the performance the linearity and convexity of dea are preserved through our proposal

multilateral productivity comparisons when some outputs are undesirable a nonparametric approach multilateral productivity comparisons of firms producing multiple outputs some of which are undesirable are obtained by making two modifications to the standard farrell approach to efficiency measurement the restriction that production technology satisfy strong disposability of outputs is relaxed to allow for the fact that undesirable outputs may be freely disposable and the efficiency measures are modified to allow for an asymmetric treatment of desirable and undesirable outputs performance measures that satisfy these requirements are calculated as solutions to programming problems the methodology is applied to a sample of mills producing paper and pollutants

wage indexation employment and inflation price versus productivity indexing is considered in a model of monetary policy with incomplete information and wage bargaining in a perfectly price indexed economy the inflationary bias due to lack of credibility is eliminated however productivity indexing is more appropriate to dampen macroeconomic fluctuations that are caused by real disturbances we show that productivity indexing alone guarantees both price and employment stability provided the government s reputation is good enough and the union s bargaining power is not too strong this reduces the degree of price indexation as the union becomes weaker and the government s reputation improves productivity indexing is desirable with volatile productivity processes and weak unions jel classification e24 e52

inflation and wage indexation in the postwar united states this paper examines the relationship between inflation and wage indexation in the postwar united states using data on the prevalence of cost of living adjustments in major collective bargaining agreements the author finds that increases in inflation precede increases in wage indexation but reductions in inflation do not precede reductions in wage indexation there is virtually no evidence that wage indexation affects inflation copyright 1995 by mit press

how do nominal and real rigidities interact a tale of the second best this paper analyses the importance of real wage rigidities in particular through their interaction with price stickiness for optimal monetary policy in a calibrated small open economy dsge model including oil in production and consumption blanchard and gali 2007a show real rigidities to introduce a trade off between stabilising inflation and the welfare relevant output gap the present paper complements their findings by showing that the welfare cost of real rigidities can be substantial compared to nominal frictions in a typical tale of the second best we also show that in the presence of real wage rigidities price stickiness can be welfare enhancing

the value of technological advance in decarbonizing the u s economy abstract this paper examines the role of technology in managing the costs of a carbon constraint on the u s economy two portfolios of technology are examined one reflects modest investments in climate friendly technologies the other more aggressive development the analysis indicates that the development of a broad range of low to zero carbon emitting technologies can substantially reduce but not eliminate the economic cost of decarbonization by enabling large scale emission reductions on the supply side costly reductions in demand are avoided in particular the emergence of electricity as a low carbon fuel provides a powerful lever for achieving reductions in other sectors of the economy at lower cost while the analysis suggests that there is no free lunch the bill which may indeed be well worth paying can be greatly reduced through an accelerated r d program and successful diffusion of new technology throughout the economy

the benefit of crises for economic reforms when expenditures consistently outrun revenue the resulting inflation may have the effect of convincing the public and government that taxes must be raised to finance public investment in the advanced industrial countries income taxation and big spurts in taxation generally have become possible only under the impact of major emergency and crisis mostly in wartime in a number of developing countries in

the indexation of wages and bonds in brazil this paper analyses the dynamic relationship between the degrees of indexation of wages and public bonds in brazil a simple model is constructed to show that both degrees of indexation are determined simultaneously we apply cointegration techniques and estimate error correction representations to assess the temporal causality between them our results provide empirical support for the existence of simultaneity in the degrees of indexation in brazil in the period 1980 93

the wage price spiral this paper rehabilitates the old wage price spiral it shows that after an increase in aggregate demand the process of adjustment of nominal prices and nominal wages results from attempts by workers to maintain or increase their real wage and by firms to maintain or increase their markups of prices over wages under continuous price and wage setting the process of adjustment would be instantaneous under staggering of price and wage decisions the adjustment takes time the more inflexible real wages and markups are to shifts in demand the higher is the degree of price level inertia and the longer lasting are the effects of aggregate demand on output

operational performance of the bangladesh rural electrification program and its determinants with a focus on political interference abstract this article tries to quantitatively capture the effect of political intervention on the operational performance of the bangladesh rural electrification program rep firstly efficiency changes over the last 15 years of rural electric cooperatives in the rep are examined using data envelopment analysis dea then the critical determinants of the efficiency changes including political indicator are identified with an application of the tobit model results from the dea analysis show the overall efficiency score on a scale of zero to one changes in the 0 856 0 929 range in 15 years with two turnaround points in 1996 and 2001 these are the years that the national elections were held the results also find a gap between the efficient rural electric cooperatives and the inefficient rural electric cooperatives the results of the tobit model imply that political power has a negative impact on efficiency

centralised wage setting inflation contracts and the optimal choice of central banker the paper examines the appropriate design of central banking institutions in an economy in which the nominal wage is set by an inflation averse monopoly union as a positive mark up over its market clearing value the analysis considers both the optimal choice of central banker and the potential role for a linear inflation contract the optimal set of arrangements is a central banker who attaches less significance to inflation than does society combined with an inflation contract where the value of the contract parameter is related to the union s degree of inflationaversion following the important contribution of rogoff 1985 the appointment of a conservative central banker has been widely accepted as a potential albeit partial solution to the time inconsistency problem associated with discretionary policy making in placing a greater weight on inflation than does the government and society as a whole in the setting of monetary policy the central bank s temptation to create inflation surprises is reduced this then leads to a lower inflation rate in equilibrium than would otherwise prevail whilst in rogoff s stochastic framework this reduction in the inflationary bias has to be weighed against an increase in output variability the appropriate choice of central banker ensures a net improvement in welfare an important feature of rogoff s model is the assumption of an atomistic labour market in which nominal wages embodied in single period contracts reflect interaction between agents who hold no market power such a representation of the labour market also characterises most subsequent extensions of rogoff s analysis e g lohmann 1992 and waller 1992 however a number of recent papers in considering the time inconsistency issue have employed the assumption of unionised wage setting assuming either an allencompassing monopoly union or alternatively a number of individual unions each of which has a non negligible impact on macroeconomic variables examples include agell and ysander 1993 bleaney 1996 cubitt 1992 1995 horn and persson 1988 hutchison and walsh 1998 and skott 1997 these contributions have examined the implications of the assumed labour market imperfection from a variety of perspectives but only those of bleaney and skott directly consider its consequences for the appropriate specification of central bank objectives in what follows we explore the significance of unionised wage setting for

externalities from contract length an increase in the length of a firm s labor contract contributes to rigidity in the aggregate price level this increases the variance of aggregate demand but decreases the variance of other firms real wages under certain conditions the net effect is to increase the variance of other firms employment this negative externality implies that the equilibrium contract length in a decentralized economy is greater than the social optimum in other words wages are too rigid copyright 1987 by american economic association

a new keynesian model of policy irrelevance of the developments in macro theory of the last thirty years few have been as far reaching as the introduction of rational expectations in particular to the study of how discretionary use of monetary policy by central bankers affects output and employment by ascribing rational expectations to private agents lucas 11 kydland and prescott 10 barro and gordon 6 alesina and tabellini 1 rogoff 16 and a host of others have demonstrated examples in which agents who understand the motives of the monetary authority will correctly anticipate the monetary authority s actions and render them ineffective in affecting any real variables in these models it is only the innovations in monetary policy which private agents could not forecast that had any real effects systematic use of the tools of monetary policy to achieve an end were ineffective typically these models represented the economy as a reduced form game in which the payoffs to private agents depended on the realizations of actions of the monetary authority agents forecasts of those actions and random shocks imposed by nature it was understood if not always explicitly stated that some general equilibrium model existed whose equilibrium outcomes generated the payoff functions of the game the goal of the monetary authority was to alter the outcome of the game away from the non cooperative equilibrium towards some other outcome which was not consistent with autarkic payoff maximization but superior to the non cooperative outcome each individual agent would maximize his payoff by correctly anticipating the monetary authority s move in the aggregate the result would be that the monetary authority s action would be rendered ineffective

indexation and incomes policy a study of wage adjustment in unionized manufacturing data from nearly 200 collective bargaining units are used to study the frequency of wage change from 1957 to 1978 it is shown that incomes policies during the kennedy johnson and nixon administrations encouraged changes in the length of time between wage adjustments inflation often thought to be responsible for fluctuations in the coverage of indexing provisions is found to play virtually no role the conclusion is that government intervention in the wageprice process aroused fears that the government will intervene again in the future in the presence of this uncertainty the wage adjustment provisions of collective bargaining contracts were changed

productivity growth and environmental regulations accounting for undesirable outputs analysis of china s thirty provincial regions using the malmquist luenberger index this paper employs the malmquist luenberger ml productivity index to evaluate china s growth in total factor productivity tfp incorporating undesirable outputs during the period from 1989 to 2008 the ml productivity index and its components technical and efficiency changes are derived from the directional distance function which gives credit for an increase in good outputs and for reductions in undesirable outputs the average annual ml productivity growth accounting for undesirable outputs is 2 46 whereas the value of the traditional malmquist productivity index is 4 84 showing that the true tfp growth in china is overestimated if undesirable outputs are ignored we explore the strictness in enforcing environmental regulations and its impact on improvements in ml productivity the results show that the enforcement of environmental regulations in china is in general far below the levels achieved in the best performing regions and that the more stringent enforcement of environmental regulations would help to improve ml productivity growth in china

new macroeconomics and credibility analysis this paper gives a general view of the new macroeconomics the new keynesian macroeconomics the real business cycle models and the analysis of credibility of monetary policy an outline of the chief technical features that distinguish the new keynesian and the real business cycle formulations is provided highlighting the specific characteristics that have been reconciled by the recent literature on credibility analysis the point to be illustrated is that the combination of new keynesian market failures and the new classical general equilibrium approach to macroeconomics leads to better microeconomic foundation for the credibility analyses of monetary policy that follow the barro gordon notion of inflation bias of discretionary monetary policy

slacks based efficiency measures for modeling environmental performance we develop two slacks based efficiency measures for modeling environmental performance on the basis of environmental dea technology of the two measures one is a composite index with a higher discriminating power for modeling economic environmental performance and the other can be used to estimate the impacts of environmental regulations we apply the proposed measures to model the co2 emissions of 30 oecd countries from 1998 to 2002 and present the results obtained

the incidence and intensity of wage indexation an empirical analysis variables suggested by theoretical studies of indexation are considered with a view to examining their utility in the context of the decision to index incidence and the desired degree of indexation when escalator clauses are put into effect intensity the tobit model which can address both of these issues suggests that most of the effects of explanatory variables on the regressand occur by modifying the incidence of indexation not its intensity however the tobit model is itself rejected in favour of separate probit and truncated regression investigations of incidence and intensity respectively the results obtained indicate that the standard list of explanatory variables which one thinks of in the context of the theoretical literature as dealing primarily with intensity perform well in explaining incidence but very poorly in accounting for the non limit observations the latter are influenced by bargaining power proxies such as the unemployment rate and union density a very clear trade off be

dea approach for unified efficiency measurement assessment of japanese fossil fuel power generation this study discusses a new dea data envelopment analysis approach to measure the unified operational and environmental efficiency of energy firms it is widely known that they produce not only desirable good outputs e g electricity but also undesirable bad outputs e g co2 as a result of their plant operations the proposed approach incorporates an output separation desirable and undesirable outputs for the performance evaluation of energy firms in addition to the output separation this study separates inputs into energy and non energy inputs consequently the proposed approach incorporates not only the output separation but also the input separation within a computational framework of dea non radial measurement this study compares the proposed approach with other previous dea approaches used for the performance evaluation of energy firms after the methodological comparison this study applies the proposed approach for measuring the unified efficiency of japanese fossil fuel power generation this empirical study confirms that the implementation of kyoto protocol 2005 has not been effective on the unified efficiency of japanese fossil fuel power generation during the observed period 2004 2008 although the empirical result is inconsistent with the current japanese environmental policy under kyoto protocol it contains policy implications for guiding the future direction of japanese environmental policy on the electric power industry