optimal regulation of deposit taking financial intermediaries abstract this paper analyses the case for special restrictions on the commercial decisions of deposit taking financial intermediaries the existence of asymmetric information between managers of intermediaries and depositors is shown to generate unregulated outcomes where equity capital is underutilised and lending is suboptimally low a form of regulation to correct this market failure is designed the form of regulation is a capital adequacy scheme of the same kind as those used by bank regulators this is an important result because such schemes have lacked a theoretical underpinning even those who have viewed capital requirements as justifiable have assumed that they will reduce the level of intermediation this paper shows that this is not generally the case the ways in which optimal capital adequacy rules differ from the regulations currently used by banking supervisors is also analysed

transmission planning criteria and their application under uncertainty planning criteria are the basis of transmission planning these criteria implicitly embody resolve conflicting objectives e g cost vs reliability quantitative methods are used to set criteria by resolving conflicting objectives once criteria are set they must be applied under uncertainty in future demand generation etc transmission plans are evaluated for hundreds of possible futures risk analysis measures robustness exposure and regret non financial hedges can reduce risk these risk concepts have a rich history but are rarely applied in transmission planning developing criteria and applying them under uncertainty are illustrated by a recent planning study for peru

an engineering economic approach to transmission planning under market and regulatory uncertainties wecc case study we propose a stochastic programming based tool to support adaptive transmission planning under market and regulatory uncertainties we model investments in two stages differentiating between commitments that must be made now and corrective actions that can be undertaken as new information becomes available the objective is to minimize expected transmission and generation costs over the time horizon nonlinear constraints resulting from kirchhoff s voltage law are included we apply the tool to a 240 bus representation of the western electricity coordinating council and model uncertainty using three scenarios with distinct renewable electricity mandates emissions policies and fossil fuel prices we conclude that the cost of ignoring uncertainty the cost of using naive deterministic planning methods relative to explicitly modeling uncertainty is of the same order of magnitude as the cost of first stage transmission investments furthermore we conclude that heuristic rules for constructing transmission plans based on scenario planning can be as suboptimal as deterministic plans

market based transmission expansion planning restructuring and deregulation has exposed transmission planner to new objectives and uncertainties therefore new criteria and approaches are needed for transmission planning in deregulated environments a new market based approach for transmission planning in deregulated environments is presented in this paper the main contribution of this research is i introducing a new probabilistic tool named probabilistic locational marginal prices for computing the probability density functions of nodal prices ii defining new market based criteria for transmission expansion planning in deregulated environments and iii presenting a new approach for transmission expansion planning in deregulated environments using the above tool and criteria the advantages of this approach are i it encourages and facilitates competition among all participants ii it provides nondiscriminatory access to cheap generation for all consumers iii it considers all random and nonrandom power system uncertainties and selects the final plan after risk assessment of all solutions and iv it is value based and considers investment cost operation cost congestion cost load curtailment cost and cost caused by system unreliability the presented approach is applied to ieee 30 bus test system

network planning in unbundled power systems in this paper a new approach for network planning in unbundled power systems is presented the approach takes into account the desires of demand customers power producers system operator network owner s and regulator in network planning competition reliability flexibility of operation transmission expansion cost and environmental impacts are used as planning criteria in order to consider the importance degrees of stakeholders and planning criteria in network planning first importance degrees of stakeholders and planning criteria are determined by a presented new method then importance degrees of stakeholders and planning criteria are aggregated with appropriateness degrees of expansion plans to compute a fuzzy index for measuring the goodness of expansion plans the final plan is selected using the presented fuzzy risk assessment method the approach is applied to an eight bus test system

the decision to establish a foreign bank branch or subsidiary an application of binary classification procedures this paper has two purposes first we model a key decision for inter national banks using data on the foreign direct investment fdi behavior of foreign banks in japan and california second we examine the utility of linear discriminant analysis and maximum likelihood logit analysis as statistical techniques for relating a qualitative dependent variable to a vector of inde pendent variables we apply these techniques to the decision by parent banks as to whether or not to have a subsidiary branch in california japan we treat the deci sion as a binary choice based on a consideration of various relevant factors the population for each of the countries consists of those foreign to the host country banks that already have a presence in the country the research ques tion then becomes given that a foreign bank is in the country does the extent of the parent bank s experience internationally and in the host country affect the probability that it will deepen its presence the choice of statis tical tools by which to examine this question gives rise to our methodological concerns

domestic and international determinants of bank profits foreign banks in australia abstract this paper develops and tests a model that integrates the existing multinational bank literature with the domestic bank profits literature using data for australia this paper demonstrates that an integrated model results in a small increase in explanatory power when compared to models drawn solely from the multinational banking literature the paper finds that profits are a negative function of competitor market share and bank licence status and a positive function of australian size and home gdp growth it is argued that there is incomplete integration between the market segments of domestic and multinational banks due to the first mover advantages of incumbent banks

japanese bank regulation and the activities of u s offices of japanese banks note the impact of regulations on markets especially in the banking sector has long been recognized this note considers the growth of u s activities of japanese banks with special emphasis on the role of japanese banking controls and regulations japanese authorities since world war ii have actively participated in their banking markets resulting in a banking sector that cannot respond freely to market conditions it is suggested here that japanese banks use the united states as an alternative source of funds during periods of tight credit in japan caused by these controls and it is found that during these periods u s activities of japanese banks increase this result emphasizes the importance of considering the international impact of regulations especially in markets with readily transported goods three loan demand equations are estimated to identify the importance of u s funds to japanese banks during periods of tight credit demand the first equation estimates a model of the determinants of demand for commercial and industrial loans from u s offices of japanese banks the customers for these loans cannot be determined from the data available but presumably include a relatively large number of japanese firms operating in both the united states and japan the second equation estimates a model of the demand by japanese banks for funds returned to japan via interbank loans from u s offices of japanese banks the third equation compares the demand for commercial and industrial loans of u s offices of japanese banks to that of u s banks overall the results support significantly the importance of u s offices of japanese banks to the japanese credit market section 1 reviews characteristics of japanese banking that may make u s offices especially attractive and the literature on foreign direct investment and how it relates

deregulation privatization and competition transmission planning under uncertainty competitive markets expose transmission planners to new uncertainties these are handled using a decision analysis approach whose key contribution is quantifying and minimizing risk the method is applied using existing and generally available software tools the result is transmission plan which is robust in the face of uncertainties a study of a major proposed central american interconnection illustrates the problem and the method

the entry and the activity level of foreign banks in italy an analysis of the determinants abstract although the theory of multinational banking has pointed out the importance of local profit opportunities the empirical evidence is still poor and deserves further investigation to this end we analyse entry decisions and activity levels of foreign banks operating in italy between 1983 and 1998 we consider 22 oecd countries 10 of which had at least one bank branch or subsidiary in italy entries and activity levels were related to the degree of economic integration as well as to the financial market features of the home country relative to italy unlike other studies besides economic integration the relative profitability of the banking activity proves to be a significant variable in that it highlights the importance of local market conditions in the past decade increased competition in the italian banking sector has reduced these profit opportunities driving foreign banks towards more innovative sectors of financial intermediation

the economics of planning electricity transmission to accommodate renewables using two stage optimisation to evaluate flexibility and the cost of disregarding uncertainty abstract aggressive development of renewable electricity sources will require significant expansions in transmission infrastructure we present a stochastic two stage optimisation model that captures the multistage nature of transmission planning under uncertainty and use it to evaluate interregional grid reinforcements in great britain gb in our model a proactive transmission planner makes investment decisions in two time periods each time followed by a market response uncertainty is represented by economic technology and regulatory scenarios and first stage investments must be made before it is known which scenario will occur the model allows us to identify expected cost minimising first stage investments as well as estimate the value of information the cost of ignoring uncertainty and the value of flexibility our results show that ignoring risk in planning transmission for renewables has quantifiable economic consequences and that considering uncertainty can yield decisions that have lower expected costs than traditional deterministic planning methods in the gb case the value of information and cost of disregarding uncertainty in transmission planning were of the same order of magnitude approximately 100 m in present worth terms further the best plan under a risk neutral decision criterion can differ from the best under risk aversion finally a traditional sensitivity analysis based robustness analysis also yields different results than the stochastic model although the former s expected cost is not much higher

the growth of us credit unions abstract the growth of us credit unions during the 1990s is investigated empirically using univariate and multivariate cross sectional and panel estimation techniques univariate tests of the law of proportionate effect suggest that in general large credit unions grew faster than their smaller counterparts on average credit unions with above average growth in one period tended to experience below average growth in the next smaller credit unions tended to have more variable growth than large ones while credit unions share a common co operative philosophy they differ in terms of age profile scope for membership growth charter type and financial structure and performance in estimations of a multivariate growth model most of these characteristics are found to have a significant influence on the size growth relationship while large state chartered credit unions grew faster than their smaller counterparts the reverse was true for federally chartered credit unions in general if larger credit unions grew faster than smaller ones they tended to do so for specific reasons because their charters were less restrictive because they were more efficient or because they had a financial structure that was more conducive to growth therefore credit union growth was not random but highly systematic

conflicting objectives and risk in power system planning planning in the 1990s must deal with a wide range of options with conflicting objectives and with uncertainty types of conflict among planning objectives are illustrated and categorized risk is distinguished from uncertainty and both are qualified hedging to reduce risk is demonstrated real examples are drawn from major recent planning studies

determinants of foreign investment of u s advertising agencies this paper investigates the impact of several factors on the foreign investment of u s advertising agencies by using the theories on the determinants of foreign direct investment by manufacturing firms for the two years examined the hypotheses about the impact of host country market size host country geographic proximity firm size firm s international operations experience oligopolistic reaction and presence of home country customers abroad are all confirmed this paper also investigates the impact of oligopolistic reaction among the top ten and the second ten largest agencies and finds a stronger impact for the former

bank capital regulation as an incentive mechanism implications for portfolio choice abstract this paper contrasts the conventional interpretation of prudential capital regulation as a system of ex ante enforcement hard wired with an alternative interpretation as a system of sanctions for ex post violation incentive based under the incentive based interpretation risk weightings affect portfolio choice only when assets are illiquid under both interpretations the medium term impact on portfolio allocation depends upon the relative costs of debt and equity finance viewing enforcement as incentive based suggests there is relatively less need to match risk weightings accurately to portfolio risk

federal deposit insurance regulatory policy and optimal bank capital this paper seeks to explain the combination of explicit and implicit pricing for deposit insurance employed by the fdic essentially the fdic sells two products insurance and regulation to span the product space it must and does set two prices we argue that the need to establish regulatory disincentives to bank risk taking is the heart of the controversy over the adequacy of bank capital and that the ability to close risky banks before exhausting their charter value i e the value of their right to continue in business stands at the center of these disincentives and in front of the fdic s insurance reserves just as a book shouldn t be judged by its cover a government agency shouldn t be judged by the words behind its initials with the fdic federal deposit insurance corporation the agency s name describes only part of its formal operations the fdic is quasi governmental has a regional structure and sells deposit insurance however the initials fail to convey the fdic s critical place in the governmental regulatory structure as the sole federal overseer of the approximately 8900 state chartered commercial banks that have chosen not to belong the federal reserve system reflecting the federal reserve s membership problem the number of these banks is growing year by year besides selling deposit insurance at bargain explicit rates the fdic performs four regulatory functions 1 entry regulation it passes on new banks applications for deposit insurance and on branch and merger proposals as well thereby protecting the value of existing bank charters 2 examination two thirds of fdic employees are concerned with inspecting bank records and supervising managerial activity 3 regulation of deposit rates and conditions for withdrawal by tradition fdic policies on these matters conform entirely with regulations applicable to federal reserve member banks and 4 disposition of failed banks when an insured bank fails the fdic usually chooses not to liquidate it 2

international banks as leaders or followers of international business an historical perspective abstract international banking and international trade have been partners since the beginning of world trade and world finance indeed the distinction between international trade and international finance as two separate functions and institutions is relatively recent banks and business firms are two parts of a world network therefore there is no easy answer to the question as to whether banks follow or lead international business it is probable that where banks are aggressive in building world networks and industries focus on single projects banks lead and industry follows but under the opposite conditions the roles will reverse there is no way to determine which of the two processes is dominant

international lending patterns of u s commercial banks the international lending behavior of the u s commercial banks depends upon economic links between countries much of the difference between the international loan portfolios of u s banks and those of the non u s banks may be explained by the patterns of trade flows and investments by nonfinancial corporations these trade flows and investment patterns explain most of the variations in the bank lending patterns for 70 80 percent of the countries the analysis points to an increasing influence of economic ties on the lending process over time

factors affecting the performance of foreign owned banks in australia a cross sectional study abstract this study extends the existing literature of international banking by constructing a model of foreign intermediaries in australia an unresolved question is establishing those factors that result in banking across borders while a variety of theories attempt to explain international banking empirical tests are sparse mahajan a rangan n zardkoohi a 1996 journal of banking and finance 20 283 306 this study considers if the results to date apply in non us settings foreign bank size was found to be a positive function of bank licence parent size and time in australia and a negative function of australian net interest margins and fees the negative sign on net interest margins and fees is consistent with de young r nolle d 1996 journal of money credit and banking 28 622 636 foreign bank profits were a positive function of australian net interest margins and fees there was limited evidence of defensive expansion this paper concludes that foreign bank size is explained well by the existing theories of international banking but a wider model is appropriate for foreign bank profits

optimal regulation of deposit taking financial intermediaries a correction abstract this paper corrects a paper of david miles published in the european economic review in 1995 reversing some of the conclusions he draws solving his model correctly it turns out that because depositors are unable to monitor the default risk of individual banks moral hazard gives banks an incentive to increase risky lending prudential capital requirements reduce incentives to hold risky loans

convergence in energy consumption per capita among asean countries abstract we test for convergence in energy consumption per capita among asean countries over the period 1971 to 2011 using the panel kpss stationarity test and panel lagrange multiplier lm unit root test the results for the panel stationarity and unit root tests with structural breaks find support for energy convergence in asean

size growth and transnationality among the world s largest banks this essay investigates the relationship between size and growth rate of large international banks and then relates these to the banks degree of transnationality we test two sets of three propositions each the first three propositions are pi that the growth rate of each bank over some period is independent of its size p2 that the variability of growth rates is independent of the banks size and p3 that the banks growth rates in two consecutive periods are independent of each other the second three propositions are p4 that there is no association between size and transnationality p5 that transnationality and growth are independent and p6 that there is no relationship between transnationality and the variability of growth rates the growth referred to is primarily that of assets as a measure of size for the two propositions concerning the variability of growth rates we supplement this measure with one of the market value of the banks equity the results have implications for concentration in internathis paper investigates six propositions relating to gibrat s law of proportionate growth the growth referred to is that of book assets and total market value the results have implications for concentration in international banking and for depositor safety and the social cost of insuring it and provide evidence on economies of scale and on the transnational spread of the industry

transmission switching in expansion planning transmission switching ts is introduced to add flexibility to the transmission and generation capacity expansion planning problem ts could improve the performance of the capacity expansion planning model and reduce the total planning cost the capacity expansion planning problem is decomposed into a master problem and two subproblems the master problem utilizes the candidate set for additional generating unit and transmission capacity investments to find the optimal plan throughout the planning horizon the subproblems use the optimal plan apply transmission switching to relieve any transmission flow violations and calculate the optimal dispatch of generating units the transmission network contingencies are also considered in the subproblems the case studies exhibit the effectiveness of the proposed expansion planning approach

robust optimization for transmission expansion planning minimax cost vs minimax regret due to the long planning horizon transmission expansion planning is typically subjected to a lot of uncertainties including load growth renewable energy penetration policy changes etc in addition deregulation of the power industry and pressure from climate change introduced new sources of uncertainties on the generation side of the system generation expansion and retirement become highly uncertain as well some of the uncertainties do not have probability distributions making it difficult to use stochastic programming techniques like robust optimization that do not require a probability distribution became desirable to address these challenges we study two optimization criteria for the transmission expansion planning problem under the robust optimization paradigm where the maximum cost and maximum regret of the expansion plan over all uncertainties are minimized respectively with these models our objective is to make planning decisions that are robust against all scenarios we use a two layer algorithm to solve the resulting tri level optimization problems then in our case studies we compare the performance of the minimax cost approach and the minimax regret approach under different characterizations of uncertainties

internalization and experience japanese banks international expansion 1980 1998 we use an interdisciplinary approach to investigate multinational banks foreign activities we bridge core concepts from the stages theory of internationalization to internalization theory to extend the literature on the defensive expansion hypothesis unlike the primarily aggregate levels of analysis employed in previous research on multinational banking we utilize a firm level analysis of the internationalization experiences of 21 japanese banks in the period 1980 1998 we find that banks undertake foreign direct investment to secure internalization benefits by following their existing clients and to achieve economies of scale in the application of their intangible assets in international markets the magnitude of these relationships however is contingent upon the level of a bank s experience in the host countries consistent with predictions from internationalization theory we find that the motivations for international expansion can change over time

too much investment a problem of asymmetric information this paper shows that under plausible assumptions the inability of lenders to discover all of the relevant characteristics of borrowers results in investment in excess of the socially efficient level raising the rate of interest above the free market level will restore optimality this conflicts with generally held views and is contrasted with the stiglitz weiss model it is shown that the assumptions which yield overinvestment support debt as the equilibrium method of finance however under the stiglitz weiss assumptions used to derive an underinvestment result equity is shown to be the equilibrium method of finance

deregulation and bank financial policy the standard view that banks can value maximize by exploiting non risk rated deposit insurance ignores the potential loss of a valuable bank charter due to insolvency recognition of this effect changes the bank s optimal financial policy and can induce extreme risk averting as well as risk taking behavior however as the value of the bank charter falls the risk taking strategy is more apt to dominate therefore current deregulation of the banking industry by easing entry and devaluing charters holds the potential for increases in the incidence of insolvency unless offsetting policies are instituted

the law of proportionate effect and oecd bank sectors the paper investigates the growth dynamics of the bank sectors in the oecd area over the period 1985 1994 and examines whether the structural financial reforms of the late 1980s have affected their growth path based on a test of gibrat s law of proportionate effect it is found that the 1985 89 period was characterized by size convergence implying that smaller bank sectors were expanding more rapidly however in the 1990 1994 period the pattern reversed to proportionate growth the analysis of the determinants of bank market growth reveals that macroeconomic growth operational bank efficiency credit quality and capitalization are the main drivers of bank industry growth

flexible transmission expansion planning with uncertainties in an electricity market deregulation of the electric power industry has introduced new uncertainties for market participants and made planning of transmission expansion more difficult more flexible transmission expansion plans are needed to cope with the increased risks in this paper a novel planning approach is proposed to meet the above challenge in our approach the planning process is modeled as a mixed integer nonlinear programming minlp problem so that conflicting objectives can be optimized simultaneously to minimize planning risks our method identifies several scenarios based on statistics and expert knowledge the most flexible expansion plan is selected as the plan that has least adaptation cost the proposed method is tested with the ieee 14 bus system promising results are obtained to demonstrate the effectiveness of our method

does risk aversion affect transmission and generation planning a western north america case study abstract we investigate the effects of risk aversion on optimal transmission and generation expansion planning in a competitive and complete market to do so we formulate a stochastic model that minimizes a weighted average of expected transmission and generation costs and their conditional value at risk cvar we show that the solution of this optimization problem is equivalent to the solution of a perfectly competitive risk averse stackelberg equilibrium in which a risk averse transmission planner maximizes welfare after which risk averse generators maximize profits this model is then applied to a 240 bus representation of the western electricity coordinating council in which we examine the impact of risk aversion on levels and spatial patterns of generation and transmission investment although the impact of risk aversion remains small at an aggregate level state level impacts on generation and transmission investment can be significant which emphasizes the importance of explicit consideration of risk aversion in planning models

the determinants of us banking activity abroad abstract the banking industry provides an excellent example of the internationalization of world business and economic interdependencies across countries analysis of the past growth of international banking operations can also prove useful to banks interested in augmenting their current business or expanding their international coverage and to banks who anticipated future competition in their markets from new or strengthened foreign competitors this study provides the most comprehensive examination of the development of us bank branches in other countries is presented and tested in order to facilitate the understanding of the expansion of international banking

a new strategy for transmission expansion in competitive electricity markets it will be important to develop a transmission network capable of handling future generation and load patterns in a deregulated unbundled and competitive electricity market a new strategy for transmission expansion under a competitive market environment is therefore presented in this paper in the proposed strategy a new transmission planning model is developed to consider a variety of market driven power flow patterns while a decision analysis scheme is incorporated to minimize the risk of the selected plan numerical examples are given to illustrate the potential of the proposed strategy to make a significant contribution to transmission planning in competitive markets

lending by example direct and indirect effects of foreign banks in emerging markets using a novel dataset that allows us to trace the bank relationships of a sample of mostly unlisted firms we explore which borrowers are able to benefit from foreign bank presence in emerging markets our results suggest that the limits to financial integration are less tight than the static picture of firm bank relationships implies even though foreign banks are more likely to engage large and foreign owned firms after an acquisition a bank is 20 less likely to terminate a relationship with a firm if the acquirer is foreign rather than domestic most importantly within a credit market firms appear to have the same access to financial loans and ability to invest whether they borrow from a foreign bank or not while foreign banks benefit all firms by indirectly enhancing credit access

an application of the theory of foreign direct investment to multinational banking in ldcs for assessing the determinants of mnbs expansion into ldcs a model that incorporates both supply and demand factors is constructed a reduced form of the model is tested by using pooled data over the period 1975 1982 for a sample of twenty three ldcs the results of the study indicate that market size the presence of multinational corporations from the home country the extent of economic development and the balance of payments are all significant determinants of the growth of mnbs in ldcs

service multinationals conceptualization measurement and theory the application of mne definitions measurements and theories to international services is still in its infancy despite the considerable size and growth of this sector there are problems in defining classifying measuring comparing and explaining service mnes but they do not require special definitions and theories still research to date suggests 1 delinking the concepts of multinational enterprise and foreign direct investment under certain conditions and 2 qualifying the nature of ownership internalization and location advantages in fdi theory as far as service mnes are concerned

determinants of the performance of japanese financial institutions in australia 1987 1992 this paper constructs a model that attempts to explain the performance of japanese financial institutions in australia in general the model proposed performs well for size measures but comparatively poorly for measures of profitability size as measured by home country equity was found to increase both australian assets and australian profitability institutional features in both australia and japan were found to have their greatest impact upon size measures net interest margin differences were found to have no significant relationship with any performance measure used however the results are not sufficiently conclusive to produce a definitive model to explain the performance of foreign owned banks in australia

concentration and other determinants of bank profitability in europe north america and australia abstract this study reviews the performance of banks in twelve countries or territories in europe north america and australia and examines the internal and external determination of profitability to circumvent some of the difficulties in making comparisons between banks in different countries the concept of value added is introduced results parallel those in domestic u s studies and provide some support for the edwards heggestad mingo hypothesis of risk avoidance by banks with a high degree of market power

does gibrat s law hold evidence from canadian retail and manufacturing firms this paper investigates the validity of gibrat s law holding for firms in manufacturing and retail trade sectors the object is to expand our knowledge of gibrat s law to include non manufacturing firms a unique longitudinal firm level database which contains information on canadian incorporated establishments enables the inter industry comparison the findings of the analysis are that gibrat s law is violated in both manufacturing and retail sectors violations of gibrat s law for both sectors include i growth rates that depend on firm size ii growth variability that depends on firm size and iii a negative persistence of firm growth finally age effects or selection effects are not the causes of these violations