can oil prices forecast exchange rates an empirical analysis of the relationship between commodity prices and exchange rates we show the existence of a very short term relationship at the daily frequency between changes in the price of a country s major commodity export and changes in its nominal exchange rate the relationship appears to be robust and to hold when we use contemporaneous realized commodity price changes in our regression however when we use lagged commodity price changes the predictive ability is ephemeral mostly appearing after instabilities have been appropriately taken into account

better together signaling interactions in new venture pursuit of initial external capital after new ventures have exhausted the limited financial resources of founders family and friends they often pursue initial external capital to secure investment entrepreneurs can signal about

revised feed in tariff for solar photovoltaic in the united kingdom a cloudy future ahead abstract the united kingdom uk started implementing a national feed in tariff fit mechanism on the 1 april 2010 which included specific payment tariffs for solar photovoltaic pv installations however a revised fit rate has been put in place starting from 1 april 2012 applicable to any installations with an eligibility date of on or after 3 march 2012 this paper presents first an overview of solar pv installation in the uk this followed by a general concept of the fit in the uk before analyzing the financial impact of the new fit rate on the consumers similar financial analysis is conducted with selected countries in europe the financial analysis investigates the total profit the average rate of return and the payback period it is found that the new fit rate generates very low profit minimum rate of return and a longer payback period suggesting a downward trend of solar pv uptake in the future

informal risk capital in sweden and some international comparisons abstract in many countries there seems to be a shortage of risk capital i e equity or equity linked capital for entrepreneurial ventures seeking external capital as a consequence many entrepreneurial ventures are undercapitalized with a high loan capital burden there is some evidence from the u sa that informal investors provide an essential source of equity capital to entrepreneurial ventures however our knowledge about the informal risk capital markets is dominated by research from the u s a and there are few studies carried out in other countries this study represents the first description of the informal risk capital market in sweden the aim of the study is also to compare the characteristics of informal investors in sweden with those in the u sa and the u k information from 52 informal investors is used for the description of the informal risk capital market in sweden an international comparison is made by using the results of studies by gaston 1989 on informal investors in the u sa and mason et al 1991 on the informal risk capital market in the u k what about the informal risk capital market in sweden traditionally the tax system in sweden has not stimulated private wealth accumulation and there has been a tradition to seek formal institutional solutions to solve the problems faced by entrepreneurial ventures however in recent years there has been a growing interest in the potential role of informal investors to fill the equity capital gap for entrepreneurial ventures today there seems to be an informal risk capital market in sweden even if it is not very large in terms of investor demographics investment activity portfolio characteristics and the relationship between the informal investor and the portfolio firm the informal investors in sweden can be characterized in the following way they are predominantly male and they are financially well off one main characteristic is that they are very experienced entrepreneurs and it can be assumed that the majority of the informal investors have made their fortunes through a cash in of their businesses the informal investors in sweden seem to be frequent investors and their acceptance rate is rather high furthermore they seem to be rather careful in their evaluation of new investment opportunities and also invest large amounts of money in their informal investments the informal investors seem to make their investments in established firms and in more low tech industry sectors therefore they only partly seem to play a role infilling the equity capital gap for entrepreneurial ventures the informal investors relationship to their portfolio firms can be characterized as active but they are not involved to any large extent in daily operations the most common way of organizing the relationship is by way of active work on the board and by providing consulting help when needed what are the similarities and differences between informal investors in the u k the u s a and sweden this study shows that there are some similarities for example informal investors are predominantly male with an entrepreneurial background financially well off and they identify investment opportunities from friends and business associates on the other hand there seem to be some important differences for example informal investors in the u k and sweden seem to be older than those in the u s a furthermore informal investors in sweden invest a higher proportion of their wealth in informal investments compared to their counterparts in the u s a and the u k in terms of investment activities informal investors in the u k can be characterized as less sophisticated and ad hoc investors and they seldom make investments with other informal investors on the other hand informal investors in the u s a and sweden seem to be more professional in their investment activities i e they make many serious evaluations of new investment opportunities and they put rather large emphasis on the evaluation in terms of portfolio characteristics informal investors in sweden seem to take the lowest risks in their investment portfolios compared to their counterparts in the u s a and the u k finally informal investors in the u k the u s a and sweden work differently in relationship to their portfolio firms in the u k the relationship can be characterized as passive i e their involvement in the portfolio firms daily operations is usually rather low on the contrary the informal investors in the u s a work very actively in their portfolio firms the analysis shows that there seem to be two extreme categories of informal investors one extreme is represented by many of the informal investors in the u k they can be characterized as infrequent and less sophisticated investors who invest small amounts of money and work as rather passive investors the other extreme is represented by informal investors in the u s a they seem to be more professional and active in their informal investments informal investors in sweden show some similarities with their u s counter parts but they work less actively in the portfolio firms than do informal investors in the u s a the differences between the characteristics of informal investors in the u k the u s a and sweden are of course attributable to differences in contextual factors such as investment climate entrepreneurial traditions fiscal regimes regulatory environment and wealth distribution this implies that it may be difficult to copy measures to stimulate the informal risk capital market from one country to another

do exchange rates respond asymmetrically to shocks in the crude oil market abstract the paper argues that exchange rates respond asymmetrically to different shocks to the crude oil market we apply kilian s 2009 methodology to disentangle shocks to the crude oil market into distinct demand and supply shocks and examine the response of the u s real and nominal trade weighted u s dollar exchange rate indexes as well as six other bilateral exchange rates to these shocks our analysis indicates that oil supply shocks have no significant effects on exchange rates while global aggregate demand and oil specific demand shocks lead to depreciations we further show that exchange rates respond asymmetrically to shocks in the crude market depending on whether the shocks are large versus small or positive versus negative

the extreme value in crude oil and us dollar markets abstract this study constructs a flexible range based volatility model by considering extreme value information to explore the volatility and dependence structures between the oil price and the us dollar exchange rate an asset allocation strategy is implemented to evaluate the economic value and confirm the efficiency of this model the empirical results indicate that the use of extreme value information can not only enhance the explanatory power of volatility structures but also sort out the asymmetric volatility effect in the oil market besides investors can obtain extra benefits of between 72 and 713 annualized basis points by incorporating extreme value information into their asset allocation strategies less risk averse investors can generate higher benefits the empirical results have potentially important implications for asset allocation and risk management

financing high technology startups in belgium an explorative study the results of an explorative study on the financing of 18 high technology belgian startups are reported on a counts basis the most important sources of financing at the startup are the entrepreneurs and the banks but the sources that provide the largest amounts of funds are the venture capital companies and private investors private investors and venture capitalists have a complementary role with the former investing mostly at the startup and the latter financing the early growth the role of the government universities and other companies is limited

the impact of oil shocks on exchange rates a markov switching approach abstract this paper uses markov switching models to investigate the impact of oil shocks on real exchange rates for a sample of oil exporting and oil importing countries this is an important topic to study because an oil shock can affect a country s terms of trade which can affect its competitiveness we detect significant exchange rate appreciation pressures in oil exporting economies after oil demand shocks we find limited evidence that oil supply shocks affect exchange rates global economic demand shocks affect exchange rates in both oil exporting and importing countries though there is no systematic pattern of appreciating and depreciating real exchange rates the results lend support to the presence of regime switching for the effects of oil shocks on real exchange rates

the nexus between oil price and russia s real exchange rate better paths via unconditional vs conditional analysis abstract instead of analyzing the causality between two time series unconditional analysis as it is usually done the present study deals with the nexus between oil price and russia s real exchange rate conditioning upon potential control variables at well specified horizons and on a frequency by frequency basis this research accounts also for the possible transient linkages and signal discontinuities a major finding of this paper is deeply suggestive of a sharp causality running from oil price to real exchange rate in lower frequencies this implies that russia should better tackle with turbulence triggered by oil price and continue to reduce its energy dependency via drastic and proactive measures the economic and fiscal initiatives of putin administration may help to cope with sudden shocks to lessen the great oil dependence and to build confidence needed for economic recovery while our research does not say much about the routes through which oil price may affect differently real exchange rate it clearly indicates the presence of short term relationship conditional to gdp government expenditures terms of trade and productivity differential the conditional analysis and signal detection appear as meaningful exercises to find new insights into the focal issue

who bankrolls high tech entrepreneurs abstract where do new technology based firms ntbfs raise outside equity capital to answer that question financial histories were collected from 284 technology based firms founded in new england between 1975 and 1986 financial histories included the year of each round of financing the source the amount and the stage of the financing the 284 firms represented 27 of 1 073 new england ntbfs founded between 1975 and 1986 contained in corptech s corporate technology database one hundred seven 38 were launched with no outside equity investors one hundred seventy seven firms 62 raised 671 million in 445 rounds of equity financing private individuals excluding the founding management team and their relatives were the most common source of equity capital providing 177 rounds of financing for 124 firms ninety firms raised equity from venture capital funds in 173 rounds of financing fewer than 40 firms raised capital from any other single source nonfinancial corporations public stock offerings and other the sample firms raised 76 million from private individuals but almost five times that amount 370 million from venture capital funds public stock offerings accounted for 122 million for all investors the size of a round of financing tended to increase with the stage of the financing overall a typical round of individual investor financing was under 500 000 a typical round of financing from venture capital funds was between 1 million and 3 million public stock offerings typically exceeded 4 million seed and start up financing accounted for 60 of the rounds and 54 of the dollars provided by private individuals as compared to 28 of the rounds and 20 of the dollars provided by venture capital funds the most significant outcome of this research is the conclusion that private individuals and venture capital funds play complementary rather than competing roles in the financing of ntbfs this complementary relationship has two dimensions size and stage at all stages venture capital funds tend to invest substantially more dollars per round than do private individuals second compared to a significantly higher propensity to invest at the seed and start up stages than other investors private investors appear to have longer exit horizons and less risk aversion in fact private individuals provided the seed capital that launched the majority of ntbfs in the sample

competitive auction mechanisms for the promotion renewable energy technologies the case of the 50 mw photovoltaics projects in cyprus abstract there are a range of policy frameworks and support mechanisms to promote the penetration of renewable energy technologies into the energy mix assembled by the governments and regulatory bodies around the world the three dominant and most common support schemes that have also been implemented within the eu and proven successful in the past include the competitive auctions the feed in tariff scheme fit and tradable green certificates tgcs this study reviews the use of the competitive auction mechanism for the promotion of power generation from renewable energy technologies the process of the specific policy instrument as well as its pros and cons are introduced successful and failed case studies from countries that have already incorporated this mechanism into their renewable energy technologies development policies are also presented among these cases is the cyprus auction procurement for the licensing of 50 mw of photovoltaic power plants conducted in january 2013 which is thoroughly elaborated in this paper the timeline of the bids is presented and the auction winner strategy is tracked and examined a discussion is also presented on the feasibility of the awarded projects eventually the entire auction procurement procedure is evaluated to expose the defects of the mechanism and to offer some recommendations for the viability of the process

nonlinear causality between crude oil price and exchange rate a comparative study of china and india while several studies have examined the linear causal relationship between oil prices and exchange rates little is known about the nonlinear causality between these two variables the present paper tries to fill this research gap in the context of india and china by applying the hiemstra and jones 1994 nonlinear granger causality test to the var residuals the study finds a significant bi directional nonlinear granger causality between oil prices and exchange rates in both countries the findings suggest that the nonlinearity of oil price influences the exchange rate irrespective of the exchange rate regimes further to check robustness the persistence in the variance of oil price and exchange rate is taken into account using a garch 1 1 model while the results consistently hold in the case of india with respect to china a unidirectional causality runs from exchange rate to oil price however the oil price in china does not granger cause exchange rate

the financing of business start ups abstract this article investigates the determinants of capital structure and types of financing used around business start ups utilizing a survey that reduces the confounding effects of survivorship bias in particular the influence of start up size asset structure organization type growth orientation and owners characteristics are examined both in the choice and in the magnitude of finance use the results are consistent with the theoretical models incorporating issues such as information asymmetries agency theory and transaction costs the results also demonstrate linkages among providers of finance maturity of assets and the capital structure of start ups while the results provide insights into business finances near the time of creation some recommendations for future research are discussed

design of an economically efficient feed in tariff structure for renewable energy development abstract evidence suggests albeit tentatively that feed in tariffs fits are more effective than alternative support schemes in promoting renewable energy technologies rets fits provide long term financial stability for investors in rets which at the prevailing market price of electricity are not currently cost efficient enough to compete with traditional fossil fuel technologies on the other hand if not properly designed fits can be economically inefficient as is widely regarded to have been the case under the public utility regulatory policies act of 1978 purpa under purpa too high a guaranteed price led to the creation of so called purpa machines poorly performing generating units that could survive financially only because of heavy subsidies that came at the expense of retail customers similarly because of their adverse impacts on retail electricity rates german fits have been subject to increasing political pressure from utilities and customers in this paper we propose an innovative two part fit consisting of both a capacity payment and a market based energy payment which can be used to meet the renewables policy goals of regulators our two part tariff design draws on the strengths of traditional fits relies on market mechanisms is easy to implement and avoids the problems caused by distorting wholesale energy markets through above market energy payments the approach is modeled on forward capacity market designs that have been recently implemented by several regional transmission organizations in the usa to address needs for new generating capacity to ensure system reliability

the size of the informal venture capital market in the united kingdom despite its undoubted importance to the financing of entrepreneurial ventures there are few reliable measures of the size of the informal venture capital market this paper reviews three methods used to generate such estimates market based approaches firm based approaches and the capture recapture approach and develops an alternative approach that is based on scaling up from the visible segment of this market represented by business angel networks this methodology is applied to provide the first formal estimate of the size of the informal venture capital market in the united kingdom informal venture capital investment is shown to broadly equate to the amount of institutional venture capital provided to start up and early stage ventures reflecting the smaller average size of investments in the informal venture capital market however eight times as many businesses raise finance from business angels than from institutional venture capital funds

angel financing and public policy an overview abstract within the past few years public efforts have sought to encourage individual or angel investors this article provides an overview of the motivations for these efforts it assesses the underlying challenges that the financing of young growth firms pose the ways that specialized financial intermediaries address them and the rationales for public efforts to encourage angel investors the final section raises a set of questions about the practical implementation of these efforts

a new statistic and practical guidelines for nonparametric granger causality testing abstract in this paper we introduce a new nonparametric test for granger non causality which avoids the over rejection observed in the frequently used test proposed by hiemstra and jones 1994 testing for linear and nonlinear granger causality in the stock price volume relation journal of finance 49 1639 1664 after illustrating the problem by showing that rejection probabilities under the null hypothesis may tend to one as the sample size increases we study the reason behind this phenomenon analytically it turns out that the hiemstra jones test for the null of granger non causality which can be rephrased in terms of conditional independence of two vectors x and z given a third vector y is sensitive to variations in the conditional distributions of x and z that may be present under the null to overcome this problem we replace the global test statistic by an average of local conditional dependence measures by letting the bandwidth tend to zero at appropriate rates the variations in the conditional distributions are accounted for automatically based on asymptotic theory we formulate practical guidelines for choosing the bandwidth depending on the sample size we conclude with an application to historical returns and trading volumes of the standard and poor s index which indicates that the evidence for volume granger causing returns is weaker than suggested by the hiemstra jones test

when bureaucrats meet entrepreneurs the design of effective public venture capital programmes recently public efforts to finance small high technology firms have proliferated we review the motivations for these efforts and make some preliminary observations about their design we explore the underlying challenges that the financing of young growth firms poses the ways that specialised financial intermediaries address them and the rationales for public efforts to finance these companies the final section makes a set of observations about the ways in which the structure of these efforts can most effectively complement private sector activity a frequent fault in programme design is the presumption that technological criteria can be divorced from business considerations when evaluating firms the federal government has played an active role in financing new firms particularly in high technology industries since the soviet union s launch of the sputnik satellite in recent years european and asian nations and many us states have adopted similar initiatives while these programmes precise structures have differed the efforts have been predicated on two shared assumptions i that the private sector provides insufficient capital to new firms and ii that the government either can identify investments which will ultimately yield high social and or private returns or can encourage financial intermediaries to do so in contrast to other government interventions designed to boost economic growth such as privatisation programmes these claims have received little scrutiny by economists the neglect of these questions is unfortunate while the sums of money involved are modest relative to public expenditures on defence procurement or retiree benefits these programmes are very substantial when compared to contemporaneous private investments in new firms government programmes in this arena have been divided between those efforts that directly fund entrepreneurial firms and those that encourage or subsidise the development of outside investors in this paper i will focus on public venture capital initiatives programmes that make equity or equity like investments in young firms or encourage other intermediaries to make such investments in some such programmes such as the advanced technology program and the small business innovation research programmes discussed below the funds are provided as a contract or outright grant while these efforts have proliferated a consensus as to how to structure these programmes remains elusive while the design of regulatory agencies has been extensively studied from a theoretical and empirical perspective little work has

testing for linear and nonlinear granger causality in the stock price volume relation linear and nonlinear granger causality tests are used to examine the dynamic relation between daily dow jones stock returns and percentage changes in new york stock exchange trading volume we find evidence of significant bidirectional nonlinear causality between returns and volume we also examine whether the nonlinear causality from volume to returns can be explained by volume serving as a proxy for information flow in the stochastic process generating stock return variance as suggested by clark s 1973 latent common factor model after controlling for volatility persistence in returns we continue to find evidence of nonlinear causality from volume to returns

interaction between oil and us dollar exchange rate nonlinear causality time varying influence and structural breaks in volatility abstractthis article examines the nonlinear granger causality and time varying influence between crude oil prices and the us dollar usd exchange rate using the hiemstra and jones hp test the diks and panchenko dp test and the time varying parameter structural vector autoregression model by applying the iterated cumulative sums of squares icss algorithm and the dcc garch model the effects of structural breaks in volatility of the two markets are also investigated the empirical analysis indicates that first crude oil prices are the nonlinear granger cause of the usd exchange rate but not vice versa second the usd exchange rate exerts a stronger and more stable negative influence on crude oil prices in the short term and the influence gradually weakens after 2012 finally ignoring structural breaks can increase the negative volatility correlation between the oil and usd exchange rate markets which is particularly remarkable during the financial crisis

impact of oil price shocks on output inflation and the real exchange rate evidence from selected asean countries this article analyses the impact of oil price shocks on real output inflation and the real exchange rate in thailand malaysia singapore the philippines and indonesia asean 5 using a structural var model the cointegration tests indicate that the macroeconomic variables of these countries are cointegrated and share common trends in the long run the impulse response functions reveal that oil price fluctuations do not impact the asean 5 economies in the long run and much of its effect is absorbed within five to six quarters the variance decomposition results further assert that with a few exceptions oil price shocks do not explain a significant variation in any of the variables under consideration we also identify a very unique pattern of response to oil price fluctuations between malaysia and singapore and between the philippines and thailand the pairs exhibit a high degree of similarity in their responses they do not share any commonalities across the group

new resources and new ideas private equity for small businesses abstract private equity for rapidly growing small business is raised primarily from the organized venture capital market and the informal market comprised of high net worth individuals or angel investors we discuss commercially and publicly available data on private equity the research findings of studies that use these data and some of the more important questions that the available data have been unable to address

real exchanges rates commodity prices and structural factors in developing countries this paper provides new empirical evidence about the relationship that may exist between real exchange rates and commodity prices in developing countries that are specialized in the export of a main primary commodity it investigates how structural factors like the exchange rate regime the degree of financial and trade openness the degree of export concentration and the type of the commodity exports affect the strength of the commodity price real exchange rate dependence

modelling systemic risk and dependence structure between the prices of crude oil and exchange rates in brics economies evidence using quantile coherency and ngcovar approaches abstract in this study we examine the dependence structure and systemic risk between return series of the prices of crude oil and the brics exchange rates to us using the quantile coherency methods of barunik and kley 2015 and the nonparametric conditional value at risk granger causality test hereafter ngcovar of diks and wolski 2018 over the period 2005 2017 further we use the hiemstra and jones 1994 hereafter hj and diks and panchenko 2005 hereafter dp tests for comparison purposes our findings indicate that all countries reveal significant negative dependence in the long run dynamics between oil prices and brazilian indian and south african currencies hj and dp tests suggest that lagged crude oil prices have predictive power for the brazilian and russian exchange rates furthermore a robust unidirectional lagged dependence exists from the brazilian exchange rate to crude oil prices concerning the chinese indian and south african currencies we find no contagion effects from to those countries to the oil market for russia there is limited evidence of contagion effects these findings provide insights for regulators and international investors

oil prices and exchange rates the quotations show a sharply divergent pattern in the response of the foreign exchange market to announcements of oil price increases during the first oil shock news about oil price rises led to a strengthening of the dollar whereas during the i979 surge of oil prices the reverse was generally true when the news was not so bad as feared the dollar fell back in i974 but rose in i979 in 1980 the pattern shifted once again back to dollar appreciation is there a rational fundamental explanation for the behaviour of the foreign exchange market or is it a matter of traders responding to what other traders arbitrarily think it is difficult to resolve this question but some insight can be provided through an analytical examination of the relationship between oil price increases and exchange rates the paper begins with a theoretical framework for analysing the relation between oil prices and exchange rates and then uses the theory to explain the behaviour of the foreign exchange market

angels and non angels are there differences abstract the market for informal venture capital is an elusive and nearly invisible source of financing for entrepreneurial ventures this market consists of a diverse set of high net worth individuals business angels who invest a portion of their assets in high risk high return entrepreneurial ventures the emerging consensus of the characteristics of the individual investor is that of a well educated middle aged individual with considerable business experience and a substantial net worth these informal investors appear to prefer investing in the early start up stage of the venture and if given a choice prefer that their investments be located close to home one consequence of this consensus is the tendency to assume that the traits of these business angels are as tightly clustered around the norm as are the traits of venture capital funds they are not in terms of their competence in the many areas of venture investing these individual investors range from the successful cashed out entrepreneur on the one hand to individuals with little or no experience with venture investing on the other at the same time little is known about the characteristics of high net worth individuals who never ventured where angels dare to tread or about these non angels propensity to join the fold thus this study seeks to fill the void by examining the characteristics of high net worth individuals regardless of their investment history or their interest in venture investing an analysis of the data reveals three groups of high net worth individuals business angels with experience investing in entrepreneurial ventures interested potential investors with no venture investment history but who express a desire to enter the venture investment market and uninterested potential investors who under no circumstances would consider investing in entrepreneurial ventures as part of their investment strategy business angels and potential investors both the interested and non interested segment share similar views about the economic significance of the entrepreneur and the difficulty in securing the equity capital for development of the venture as the issues move from the general to the specific divergence in investment attitudes takes place among the two groups but this divergence is in terms of magnitude or intensity rather than in contrasting or opposing views of the process the potential investor tends to view investing in entrepreneurial ventures on a smaller scale than the active investor especially in terms of the dollar amount committed to any one investment while the business angel is more interested than the potential investor across all stages of financing the interest for both groups increases as the type of financing progresses from the seed stage to expansion financing in contrast the potential investor is more likely to seek diversification as a motivation for venture investing than their angel counterparts the potential investor pool is segmented into those potential investors who appear willing to take on the role of business angels and those individuals who have no desire to participate in the venture market for the interested group to increase their interest in providing venture capital these potential investors want assistance in monitoring the performance of the venture investment followed by assistance in pricing and structuring both of these resources relate more to the technical aspects of venture investing and indicate that these are the areas where the potential investor is least likely to have expertise other resources such as finding and evaluating the investment opportunity appear to represent less of a stimulus for the potential investor in many respects interested potential investors act like business angels across several dimensions both consider the later stages of the development of the venture as the preferred stage to invest the business angel and interested potential investor prefer investments to be located relatively close to their primary residence and share similar views on the amount of the investment portfolio to allocate to venture investing where the interested potential investor and business angel clearly differ is on the scale of the commitment and the motivation for investing the potential investor will commit a smaller dollar amount to any one venture is more inclined to participate with other investors and is more apt to see venture investing as a diversification strategy than is the seasoned business angel

business angel networks and the development of the informal venture capital market in the u k is there still a role for the public sector business angel networks bans provide a channel of communication between private venture capital investors business angels and entrepreneurs seeking risk capital most operate locally on a not for profit basis with their costs underwritten by the public sector however the recent establishment of bans by private sector organisations in the u k has led to a questioning of the government s continuing role in the financing of bans this paper demonstrates that there are significant differences between public sector and other not for profit bans and private sector commercially oriented bans in terms of the investments that they facilitate private sector bans are primarily involved with larger later stage deals whereas investments made through not for profit bans are generally smaller involve start ups and other early stage businesses and are local the emergence of private sector bans has therefore not eliminated the need for public sector support for locally oriented networks

is it worth it the rates of return from informal venture capital investments despite growing interest in venture capital there is a paucity of information on the rate of return to these investments and the limited research that is available refers almost entirely to portfolio returns for venture capital funds the investment returns to business angels have been virtually ignored this paper provides the first attempt to analyse the returns to informal venture capital investment using data on 128 exited investments from a survey of 127 business angel investors in the uk the paper finds that the distribution of returns is highly skewed with 34 of exits at a total loss 13 at a partial loss or break even but with 23 showing an irr of 50 or above trade sales are the main way in which business angels harvest their investments the median time to exit for successful investments was 4 years large investments large deal sizes involving multiple coinvestors and management buyouts mbos were most likely to be high performing investments

on the intraday dynamics of oil price and exchange rate what can we learn from china and india abstract the main aim of this paper is to investigate the volatility determinants of crude oil and foreign exchange markets and jump spillover between them we consider currencies of two major oil importing countries india and china over the sample period of january 1 2013 to october 31 2019 we find evidence of positive return spillover from the oil to the foreign exchange market however there is a lack of return spillover in the other direction oil jumps appear to have a negative impact on exchange rate conditional volatility and the latter responds asymmetrically to disentangled positive and negative oil price jumps we also report disentangled exchange rate jumps significant impact on conditional oil price volatility these results however are asymmetric based on the nature of jumps and alternative oil price series finally we do not find evidence of co jump between the oil and foreign exchange markets these results have important implications for investors and policymakers