feebates rebates and gas guzzler taxes a study of incentives for increased fuel economy abstract us fuel economy standards have not been changed significantly in 20 years feebates are a market based alternative in which vehicles with fuel consumption rates above a pivot point are charged fees while vehicles below receive rebates by choice of pivot points feebate systems can be made revenue neutral feebates have been analyzed before this study re examines feebates using recent data assesses how the undervaluing of fuel economy by consumers might affect their efficacy tests sensitivity to the cost of fuel economy technology and price elasticities of vehicle demand and adds assessments of gas guzzler taxes or rebates alone a feebate rate of 500 per 0 01 gallon per mile gpm produces a 16 percent increase in fuel economy while a 1000 per 0 01 gpm results in a 29 percent increase even if consumers count only the first 3 years of fuel savings unit sales decline by about 0 5 percent but sales revenues increase because the added value of fuel economy technologies outweighs the decrease in sales in all cases the vast majority of fuel economy increase is due to adoption of fuel economy technologies rather than shifts in sales

new vehicle feebates new vehicle feebate programs encourage improved fleet wide vehicle fuel efficiency yet analyses of these policies have been limited to ad hoc proposals in this paper we exploit an extensive multi year dataset which includes more than 16 million observations to evaluate the welfare implications of a long standing vehicle feebate program in the canadian province of ontario we 1 show that second best optimal feebates can be written as a function of new vehicle pigouvian taxes 2 find that ontario s feebate program was welfare enhancing relative to a no feebate scenario but that a second best optimal benchmark would have yielded additional welfare while reducing fleet wide emissions and 3 find that ontarian consumers responded asymmetrically to fees versus rebates

evolutionary theorizing in economics modern economic analysis oriented toward understanding the workings of economies that make extensive use of markets came into existence with three guiding questions all central in adam smith s 1776 1937 the wealth of nations one question concerned order without any central authority guiding and commanding action how is economic activity coordinated the second question was the challenge of explaining the prevailing constellation of prices inputs and outputs what explains the price of labor and the rent of land the third question addressed the processes of economic progress or development smith and other early economists clearly were impressed by the inventiveness the energy and the growing productivity generated by the evolving market economy how to understand its dynamics the first two questions have defined continuing central concerns of the discipline of economics since they first were posed over two centuries ago when not posed in the context of an economy that is understood as in the process of developing they seem to pull the focus of theorizing toward equilibrium conditions the third question concerned with the processes driving economic progress pulls the theorizing toward an evolutionary orientation the question of economic development has waxed and waned in centrality to the discipline as has the importance of evolutionary theorizing during the first several decades of the twentieth century evolutionary thinking and language was widespread in economics but as one contrasts the economic

annual miles drive used car prices this paper investigates whether the net benefits from owning a vehicle proxied by annual miles driven explain the price declines observed over a vehicle s life we first model the household decision on how much to drive each of its vehicles then we empirically establish that variation in household annual miles across brands explains observed price declines furthermore the effect of vehicle age on annual miles decisions and consequently on market value depends on household characteristics and the composition of the vehicle stock owned

consumer myopia imperfect competition and the energy efficiency gap evidence from the uk refrigerator market abstract the empirical literature on the energy efficiency gap concentrates on demand inefficiencies in the energy using durables markets and finds evidence that consumers underestimate future energy costs when purchasing a new appliance we take a broader view and also consider the impact of imperfect competition using data on the uk refrigerator market 2002 2007 we find that the average energy consumption of appliances sold during this period was only 7 2 higher than what would have been observed under a scenario with a perfectly competitive market and non myopic consumers one reason for this small gap is that market power actually reduces energy use

designing incentive schemes for promoting energy efficient appliances a new methodology and a case study for spain the energy efficiency gap has been high on research and policy agendas for several decades incentive schemes such as subsidies taxes and bonus malus schemes are widely used to promote energy efficient appliances most research however considers instruments in isolation and only rarely in the context of political constraints on instrument use or for alternative policy goals this paper presents a methodology for the optimal design of incentive schemes based on the minimisation of dead weight loss for different policy goals and policy restrictions the use of the methodology is illustrated by designing optimal combinations of taxes and subsidies in spain for three types of appliance dishwashers refrigerators and washing machines the optimal policies are designed subject to different policy goals such as achieving a fixed reduction in emissions or a certain increased market share for efficient appliances and for policy constraints such as budget neutrality the methodology developed here can also be used to evaluate past and current incentive schemes

fiscal policy and co2 emissions of new passenger cars in the eu to what extent have national fiscal policies contributed to the decarbonisation of newly sold passenger cars we construct a simple model that generates predictions regarding the effect of fiscal policies on average hbox co 2 emissions of new cars and then test the model empirically our empirical strategy combines a diverse series of data first we use a large database of vehicle specific taxes in 15 eu countries over 2001 2010 to construct a measure for the vehicle registration and annual road tax levels and separately for the hbox co 2 sensitivity of these taxes we find that for many countries the fiscal policies have become more sensitive to hbox co 2 emissions of new cars we then use these constructed measures to estimate the effect of fiscal policies on the hbox co 2 emissions of the new car fleet the increased hbox co 2 sensitivity of registration taxes have reduced the hbox co 2 emission intensity of the average new car by 1 3 partly through an induced increase of the share of diesel fuelled cars by 6 5 percentage points higher fuel taxes lead to the purchase of more fuel efficient cars but higher diesel fuel taxes also decrease the share of more fuel efficient diesel cars higher annual road taxes have no or an adverse effect

the impact of emissions based taxes on the retirement of used and inefficient vehicles the case of switzerland abstract previous evaluations of emissions based car taxes have estimated their impact on the shares or sales of new vehicles in contrast we ask whether taxes that penalize high emitters induce changes in the retirement of existing and inefficient vehicles we exploit natural experiment conditions in switzerland to analyze the impact of three different bonus malus annual registration fee schemes implemented at the cantonal level in the three schemes the bonus rewards new fuel efficient vehicles the malus is retroactive in canton obwalden i e it is charged on both new and existing high emitting cars but prospective in geneva and ticino we use a difference in difference design within a survival analysis framework to assess direct treatment effects and spillover effects while the bonus malus in obwalden hastens the retirement of existing high emitting vehicles by around 5 the scheme in geneva postpones retirement by some 3 we find no statistically significant effects in ticino these findings have important implications about the desirability of bonus malus schemes and on their design as well as on old car scrappage programs

behavioral environmental economics promises and challenges environmental issues provide a rich ground for identifying the existence and consequences of human limitations in this paper we present a growing literature lying at the interface between behavioral and environmental economics this literature identifies alternative solutions to traditional economic instruments in environmental domains that often work imperfectly but it also faces a set of challenges including the difficulty of computing welfare effects and the identification of a robust environmental policy based on context dependent socio psychological effects we illustrate our critical discussion with two behavioral schemes that have been widely implemented green nudges and corporate environmental responsibility

to rebate or not to rebate fuel economy standards versus feebates we compare the welfare effects in equilibrium of two environmental regulations that aim at increasing the new cars fleet s average fuel efficiency the fuel economy standards and the feebate policies maintaining the same environmental benefit and tax revenue we simulate the implementation of each policy in france and the united states standard type policies have larger negative welfare effects up to 3 2 times those from the feebate effects on manufacturers are heterogeneous some are better of under the standard regulation the addition of a market to trade levels of fuel efficiency dominates the simple standard regulation but not always the feebate we also consider the attribute based standard technological improvements and the equivalence with fuel taxes as extensions

the environmental effect of green taxation the case of the french bonus malus a feebate on the purchase of new cars the bonus malus was introduced in france in 2008 less polluting cars benefited from a price reduction of up to 1 000 euro whereas the most polluting ones were subject to a taxation of 2 600 euro we estimate the impact of this policy on carbon dioxide emissions in the short and long run if the shift towards the classes benefiting from rebates is considerable we estimate the environmental impact of the policy to be negative while feebates may be efficient tools for reducing co2 emissions they should thus be designed carefully to achieve their primary goal

the effects of the corporate average fuel efficiency standards in the us this paper examines the effects of the corporate average fuel economy standards cafe on automobile sales prices and fuel consumption first a discrete choice model of automobile demand and a continuous model of vehicle utilization are estimated using micro data from the consumer expenditure survey for 1984 1990 next the demand side model is combined with a model of oligopoly and product differentiation on the supply side with these elements in place the effects of the cafe regulation are assessed through simulations and compared to the effects of alternative policy instruments such as an increase in gasoline tax

tax incidence with endogenous quality and costly bargaining theory and evidence from hybrid vehicle subsidies abstract endogenous quality and bargaining are important features of many markets but are typically omitted from studies of incidence we develop a model with product upgrades and costly bargaining and find that tax rate pass through only partially characterizes the welfare impact of taxation consumers may respond to a tax or subsidy by changing product quality or by changing their bargaining effort we apply the insights of our theory to the study of subsidies for green goods specifically hybrid electric vehicles in canada we utilize highly detailed transaction data and leverage panel variation in subsidies across provinces for identification our baseline estimate finds that prices rises by 570 for every 1000 increase in the subsidy but this pass through estimate substantially underestimates consumer gains because a majority of this price increase 459 80 is due to increased product quality in the form of additional options and features

the interdependence of the term structure of eurocurrency interest rates abstract this paper investigates the interdependence of the term structure of eurocurrency interest rates our results suggest that when the central banks of switzerland and west germany increased their intervention in foreign exchange markets after the october 1979 monetary policy regime change in the usa a significant relationship developed between short term eurodollar interest rates and long term euromark and swiss eurofranc interest rates common cross country exchange rate expectation errors are exploited to improve the efficiency of the estimates using zellner s seemingly unrelated regressions

balladurette and juppette a discrete analysis of scrapping subsidies this paper studies the effects of subsidies on durable goods markets in particular we focus on a recent policy in france in which the governments of balladur and juppe subsidized the replacement of old cars with new ones to study this policy we construct a dynamic stochastic discrete choice model of car ownership at the household level the resulting decision rules and equilibrium conditions are used to estimate the underlying parameters of the model using aggregate data these policy functions are used to evaluate the short and long run effects of the french policies we find that these policies do stimulate the automobile sector in the short run but through the induced changes in the cross sectional distribution of car ages create the basis for subsequent low activity further while these policies increase government revenues in the short run revenues in the long run are lower relative to a baseline without intervention

dynamics of consumer demand for new durable goods most new consumer durable goods experience rapid prices declines and quality improvements suggesting the importance of modeling dynamics this paper specifies a dynamic model of consumer preferences for new durable goods with persistently heterogeneous consumer tastes rational expectations and repeat purchases over time we estimate the model on the digital camcorder industry using panel data on prices sales and characteristics we find that the 1 year elasticity in response to a transitory industrywide price shock is about 25 percent less than the 1 month elasticity standard cost of living indices overstate welfare gain in later periods due to a changing composition of buyers

automobile externalities and policies this paper discusses the nature and magnitude of externalities associated with automobile use including local and global pollution oil dependence traffic congestion and traffic accidents it then discusses current federal policies affecting these externalities including fuel taxes fuel economy and emissions standards and alternative fuel policies summarizing insofar as possible the welfare effects of those policies finally we discuss emerging pricing policies including congestion tolls and insurance reform and summarize the appropriate combination of policies to address automobile externalities

transport energy demand in andorra assessing private car futures through sensitivity and scenario analysis abstract this paper presents a model which estimates current car fleet energy consumption in andorra and forecasts such consumption as a reference scenario the base year model is built through a bottom up methodology using vehicle registration and technical inspection data the model forecasts energy consumption up to 2050 taking into account the fleet structure the car survival profile trends in activity of the various car categories and the fuel price and income elasticities that affect car stock and total fleet activity it provides an initial estimate of private car energy demand in andorra and charts a baseline scenario that describes a hypothetical future based on historical trends a local sensitivity analysis is conducted to determine the most sensitive input parameters and study the effect of its variability in addition the scenario analysis explores the most uncertain future aspects which can cause important variability in the results with respect to the reference scenario and provides a broad estimate of potential energy savings related to different policy strategies

how to deal with the rebound effect a policy oriented approach policy makers and environmental agencies have echoed concerns brought forward by academics about the need to address the rebound effect for achieving absolute energy and environmental decoupling however such concerns have generally not been translated into tangible policy action the reasons behind this inaction are not fully understood and much remains unknown about the status of the rebound effect issue on the policy agenda and policy pathways available such knowledge gaps may hamper the development of effective policies to address this issue in this paper we examine the extent to and ways in which the rebound effect is considered in policy documents and analyse thirteen specific policy pathways for rebound mitigation the effectiveness of the pathways is scrutinised and conclusions are offered to mitigate rebound effects the main policy conclusions of the paper are that an appropriate policy design and policy mix are key to avoiding undesired outcomes such as the creation of additional rebound effects and environmental trade offs from the discussion economy wide cap and trade systems as well as energy and carbon taxes when designed appropriately emerge as the most effective policies in setting a ceiling for emissions and addressing energy use across the economy

welfare implications of car feebates a simulation analysis vehicle taxation based on emissions is increasingly being adopted worldwide to shift consumer purchases to low carbon cars yet evidence on its effectiveness and economic impact is limited we focus on feebate schemes which impose a fee on high carbon vehicles and give a rebate to low carbon cars we estimate demand for passenger cars in germany and simulate the impact of alternative feebate schemes on emissions consumer welfare public revenues and firm profits we find that revenue neutral feebate schemes are welfare decreasing welfare can only increase with schemes that increase tax revenues at the expense of consumer and producer surplus

product differentiation and oligopoly in international markets the case of the u s automobile industry this paper develops and estimates a model of the u s automobile industry on the demand side a discrete choice model is adopted that is estimated using micro data from the consumer expenditure survey the estimation results are used in conjunction with population weights to derive aggregate demand on the supply side the automobile industry is modelled as an oligopoly with product differentiation equilibrium is characterized by the first order conditions of the profit maximizing firms the estimation results are used in counterfactual simulations to investigate two trade policy issues the effects of the ver and exchange rate pass through

car notches strategic automaker responses to fuel economy policy notches where small changes in behavior lead to large changes in a tax or subsidy gure prominently in many policies but have been rarely examined by economists in this paper we analyze a class of notches associated with policies aimed at improving vehicle fuel economy we provide several pieces of evidence showing that automakers respond to notches in fuel economy policy by precisely manipulating fuel economy ratings so as to just qualify for more favorable treatment we then describe the welfare consequences of this behavior and derive a welfare summary statistic applicable to many contexts