price distortions in agriculture and their effects an international comparison the central thesis of this paper is that agricultural pricing policies pursued by developing countries produce effects which are diametrically opposite to those produced by the pricing policies of many developed countries and that the policies of both are costly in terms of global welfare in general the agricultural sector in developing countries is heavily taxed while that in the developed countries receives substantial price protection the effects of agricultural price distortions on output consumption trade and rural employment are estimated for nine countries in addition the effects of price distortions on the distribution of income between producers and consumers on government revenue and foreign exchange and the net social losses of the policies are calculated the results indicate that there are large income transfers and impacts on migration from the rural to the urban sector in developing countries and from the urban to the rural sector in developed economies

distance bank heterogeneity and entry in local banking markets we examine the determinants of entry into italian local banking markets during the period 1991 2002 and build a simple model in which the probability of branching in a new market depends on the features of both the local market and the potential entrant econometric findings show that banks are more likely to expand into those markets that are closest to their pre entry locations large banks are also more able to cope with distance related entry costs than small banks finally banks have become increasingly able to open branches in distant markets due to the advent of information and communication technologies

branching and competition in the european banking industry in this study branching costs and competitiveness of european banks are measured by fitting a monopolistic competition model to a representative sample drawn from nine eec banking industries in the period from 1990 to 1996 in the theoretical model banks decide strategically the size of their branching network anticipating the degree of competition faced on interest rates from the structural equations of the model an econometric test is derived in order to measure branching costs and degree of competition in banking services the empirical analysis captures their changing over time together with the impact of various european directives aiming at deregulating the banking industry furthermore the study shows persistence of segmentation acoss eec banking industries

entry and strategic information display in credit markets in many countries lenders voluntarily provide information about their borrowers to private credit registries a recent world bank survey reveals that the display of a lender s own borrower information is often not reciprocated that is access to these registries does not require the prior provision of proprietary data we argue that incumbent lenders release information about a portion of their profitable borrowers for strategic reasons the reasoning is that the pool of unreleased borrowers becomes characterised by a severe adverse selection problem this prevents the entrants from bidding for all the incumbent s profitable borrowers and reduces their scale of entry

private information deposit interest rates and the stability of the banking system abstract the regulation of deposit interest rates has received little support from economists the same is true for the original rationale for such regulation that bank competition for deposits generates inherent instability in the banking system this paper develops an adverse selection model of banking in which this rationale is correct moreover in this model instability in the banking system can arise despite the presence of a lender of last resort and despite the absence of any need for deposit insurance however in the world described the regulation of deposit interest rates is shown to be an appropriate response to instability in the banking system finally it is argued that adverse selection models of deposit interest rate determination can confront a number of observed phenomena that are not readily explained in other contexts

market power and firm risk a test of the quiet life hypothesis abstract this paper presents an empirical investigation of john r hicks quiet life hypothesis that firms in monopolistic markets will be more risk averse than firms in competitive markets a sample of 6 500 unit banks is used in a multivariate regression analysis to test the relationship between market concentration and overall risk measured by the coefficient of variation as well as certain financial ratios financial data are for the years 1969 1978 test results are consistent with hicks quiet life hypothesis it is also notable that while most structure performance studies in banking have found a quantitatively small effect of structure on performance these results suggest that the effect may be fairly substantial

the role of expectations in adolescent schooling choices do youths respond to economic incentives i introduction over the postwar period the level of education attained by individuals in nations of the organisation for economic co operation and development has increased steadily this is especially true for the united states 1 in 1950 for example the average american aged 25 or older had 9 3 years of education by 2000 this had increased to 12 7 years this increase reflects sizable increases in the rate of high school completion in the cohort aged 16 24 in 1960 more than 27 were counted as high school dropouts by 2001 the proportion of high school dropouts in this age cohort had fallen to 10 7 although the proportion of whites in any given age cohort who graduated high school has exceeded that for african americans over this period this gap narrowed significantly during the 1970s and 1980s and by 2000 had nearly closed 2 observed trends in and patterns of educational attainment human capital accumulation and labor market success are determined by several factors in addition to changes in a wide variety of background factors such as ability motivation race and gender these involve decisions made by governments as reflected in school resources and macroeconomic performance and by parents e g parental education work effort and child care time also relevant are the choices made by adolescents themselves in response to the net economic returns of the options open to them in this article we explore the schooling choices of youths in response to their perception of these returns economic and sociological research on the determinants of the schooling outcomes of youths is extensive and distinguished 3 these studies focus primarily on the family neighborhood and peer group determinants of educational attainments and are largely reduced form in nature the role of youth preferences and the choices made in response to the economic incentives and constraints that young people face have not been systematically explored in these studies hence their results may attribute to background and family characteristics effects properly attributed to differences in youths own choices in response to the incentives that they face 4 in this study we address the role of youths own choice conditioned expectations in understanding their schooling choices by constructing a choice or switching model we emphasize the effect of individual student perceptions regarding the returns associated with graduating from high school versus dropping out while controlling for an extensive set of family and community factors youths are presumed to form their expectations by referring to the outcomes of a slightly older cohort of individuals who have characteristics similar to their own because these expected income returns are choice specific we require estimates of each youth s choice conditioned expected returns taken to be unobserved by the analyst but known by the youth 5 we focus on the high school graduation outcome for three reasons first individuals must complete high school to consider postsecondary schooling options hence the decision to complete high school carries with it an option value benefit 6 second high school completion the first schooling decision over which adolescents have some control plays a crucial role in understanding the declining labor market position of low skilled workers 7 finally our analysis of the high school graduation choice is nested within an extensive economic literature that addresses the determinants of this outcome by focusing on the role of youth s own expectations we have neglected other aspects of a complete analysis of the process of educational attainment for example we presume that our extensive set of family and neighborhood factors are exogenous to the outcome and independent of unobserved factors although we do not explicitly include school characteristics in our estimation our detailed neighborhood and family variables are likely to accurately proxy for neighborhood school quality

a reexamination on the effect of bank competition on bank non performing loans this article examines whether competition in the deposit and loan markets results in a more stable or fragile banking industry following the assumption that deposit and loan competitions are not s

the impact of incarceration on wage mobility and inequality a life course perspective on crime indicates that incarceration can disrupt key life transitions life course analysis ofoccupations finds that earnings mobility depends on stable employment in career jobs these two lines of research thus suggest that incarceration reduces ex inmates access to the steady jobs that usually produce earnings growth among young men consistent with this argument evidence for slow wage growth among ex inmates is provided by analysis of the national longitudinal survey of youth because incarceration is so prevalent one quarter of black non college males in the survey were interviewed between 1979 and 1998 while in prison or jail the effect of imprisonment on individual wages also increases aggregate race and ethnic wage inequality

the origins of intergenerational associations lessons from swedish adoption data we use unique swedish data with information on adopted children s biological and adoptive parents to estimate intergenerational mobility associations in earnings and education we argue that the impact from biological parents captures broad prebirth factors including genes and prenatal environment and the impact from adoptive parents represents broad postbirth factors such as childhood environment we find that both pre and postbirth factors contribute to intergenerational earnings and education transmissions and that prebirth factors are more important for mother s education and less important for father s income we also find some evidence for a positive interaction effect between postbirth environment and prebirth factors

equilibrium loan pricing under the bank client relationship abstract we determine the loan interest rate policy of a lender who is better informed about a client than other potential lenders the informational advantage possessed by the informed lender derives from the durability of information acquired as a result of an extant relationship given heterogeneous potential loan rate offers to the client by competitive lenders and client search costs the incumbent lender s policy of loan interest rate offers is examined we show that the optimal loan rate will exceed the incumbent lender s cost of funds and will exceed the average offer of competing lenders the potential lenders will offer loan rates that are exceeded by their cost of funds implying immediate losses in order to attract the client and to thereby earn expected profits in the future finally we show that the expected remaining duration of a lender client relationship is decreasing in the existing length of the relationship thus clients that have been with a particular lender longer will be more likely to leave and establish a relationship with another lender

macroeconomic implications of deep habits in banking recent empirical evidence shows that price cost margins in the market for bank credit are countercyclical in the u s economy and that this cyclical behavior can be explained in part from the fact that switching banks is costly for customers i e from a borrower hold up effect our goal in this paper is to study the financial accelerator role of these countercyclical margins as a propagation mechanism of macroeconomic shocks to do so we apply the deep habits framework in ravn schmitt grohe and uribe 2006 to financial markets to model this hold up effect within a monopolistically competitive banking industry we are able to reproduce the pattern of price cost margins observed in the data and to show that the real effects of aggregate total factor productivity shocks are larger the stronger the friction implied by borrower hold up also output investment and employment all become more volatile than in a standard model with constant margins in credit markets an empirical contribution of our work is to provide structural estimates of the deep habits parameters for financial markets

non price strategic behavior the case of bank branches abstract we perform an empirical study of banks branching decisions as a strategic non price variable in an oligopolistic setting using panel data of banks from norway we find clear evidence that banks act strategically in their branching decisions taking into consideration the future response from rival banks the analysis is applied to a unique data set which covers the entire banking sector during both pre and post banking crisis periods where very different types of conduct are found in each of these periods both for banks and borrowers moreover we find that a bank specific branch network does not confer externality on other banks as a result branch network affects only market shares but not market size

banking deregulation allocational consequences of relaxing entry barriers abstract we present an equilibrium analysis to predict the long run allocational consequences and risk implications of banking deregulation loan demand and deposit supply functions are derived from primitive assumptions about the preferences of individuals and banks are viewed as differentiated competitors in a spatial context we find that a relaxation of entry barriers into banking improves the welfare of borrowers and savers at the expense of bank stockholders equilibrium loan interest rates fall and equilibrium deposit interest rates rise as banking becomes more competitive despite this the equilibrium debt equity ratios of banks increase as entry barriers are relaxed we also examine the implications of capital standards and find that an increase in the minimum capital requirement benefits borrowers but hurts depositors

life expectancy and human capital investments evidence from maternal mortality declines longer life expectancy should encourage human capital accumulation since a longer time horizon increases the value of investments that pay out over time previous work has been unable to determine the empirical importance of this life expectancy effect due to the difficulty of isolating it from other effects of health on education we examine a sudden drop in maternal mortality risk in sri lanka between 1946 and 1953 which creates a sharp increase in life expectancy for school age girls without contemporaneous effects on health and which also allows for the use of boys as a control group using additional geographic variation we find that the 70 reduction in maternal mortality risk over the sample period increased female life expectancy at age 15 by 4 1 female literacy by 2 5 and female years of education by 4 0 authors

on the performance of differently regulated financial institutions some empirical evidence abstract the paper raises two questions about the industrial economics of banking first why are financial market configurations so different across nations we discuss the theoretical arguments by following the sequence regulation structure performance section 2 second do the differences in regulation and structure matter section 3 provides empirical evidence pertaining to that question throughout the paper we refer to two polar cases of financial systems market m and bank b based systems as for banks we distinguish between specialised and universal banks universal banking is a particular institutional representation of b systems a first empirical test relating macroeconomic growth to financial variables suggests that these variables matter we then test with a set of 88 banks the effects of regulatory and structural variables on the level and variability of bank performance we conclude that universal banks achieve a better risk return trade off due to superior monitoring and information collection capacity

mortality reductions educational attainment and fertility choice this paper develops a model where reductions in mortality are the main force behind economic development the model generates a pattern of changes similar to the demographic transition where gains in life expectancy at birth are followed by reductions in fertility and increases in the rate of human capital accumulation the onset of the transition is characterized by a critical level of life expectancy at birth which marks the movement of the economy from a malthusian equilibrium to an equilibrium with investments in human capital and the possibility of long run growth

dynamic branching and interest rate competition of commercial banks evidence from hungary abstract i supplement previous models of bank competition by incorporating the endogenous branching choices of commercial banks i apply a dynamic structural model of banks branching and interest rate choices to a unique bank level dataset on hungarian commercial banks during 2004 2007 i find that banks charge a premium in interest rates for relative branch network dominance and banks with relatively smaller networks are less likely to close branches i present significant and robust estimates of branch setup costs and scrap values and discuss the potential use of branching restrictions as regulatory tools to alter lending rates and consumer surplus

measuring crack cocaine and its impact numerous social indicators turned negative for blacks in the 1980s and rebounded a decade later we explore whether crack cocaine explains these patterns absent a direct measure we construct a crack prevalence index using multiple proxies our index reproduces spatial and temporal patterns described in ethnographic accounts of the crack epidemic it explains much of the 1980s rise in black youth homicide and more moderate increases in adverse birth outcomes although our index remains high through the 1990s crack s deleterious social impact fades changes over time in behavior crack markets and the user population may have mitigated crack s damaging impacts jel k42 j15 i30

lending relationships and labor market dynamics abstract motivated by a negative link between credit spreads and labor force participation lfp and a positive link between these spreads and unemployment over the business cycle we study the role of lfp as an amplification mechanism of financial shocks in a labor search model with endogenous lfp lending relationships and credit market disruptions amid aggregate productivity and financial shocks that replicate the empirical volatility of lfp and credit spreads the model produces highly volatile unemployment and vacancies countercyclical credit spreads and unemployment and procyclical lfp when we quantitatively match the cyclical behavior of credit spreads the interaction between endogenous lfp and financial shocks gives rise to much sharper vacancy fluctuations and plays a key role in generating quantitatively factual cyclical labor market dynamics

endogenous communication among lenders and entrepreneurial incentives if banks have an informational monopoly about their clients borrowers may curtail their effort level for fear of being exploited via high interest rates in the future banks can correct this incentive problem by committing to share private information with other lenders the fiercer competition triggered by information sharing lowers future interest rates and future profits of banks but provided banks retain an initial informational advantage their current profits are raised by the borrowers higher effort this trade off determines the banks willingness to share information their decision affects credit market competition interest rates volume of lending and social welfare article published by oxford university press on behalf of the society for financial studies in its journal the review of financial studies

deregulation market power and risk behaviour in spanish banks abstract this paper provides empirical evidence on the effects of regulatory changes in the market power of spanish banks it also analyses the response of banks in terms of risk taking behaviour as a result of a reduction in economic profits we find that liberalisation measures have increased competition and eroded banks market power we observe that banks with lower charter values tend to have lower equity assets ratios lower solvency and to experience higher credit risk the last evidence is new in the literature and calls for strengthening regulatory concerns about credit risk management by banks in situations of increased competition

disease and development the effect of life expectancy on economic growth we exploit the major international health improvements from the 1940s to estimate the effect of life expectancy on economic performance we construct predicted mortality using preintervention mortality rates from various diseases and dates of global interventions predicted mortality has a large impact on changes in life expectancy starting in 1940 but no effect before 1940 using predicted mortality as an instrument we find that a 1 percent increase in life expectancy leads to a 1 7 2 percent increase in population life expectancy has a much smaller effect on total gdp however consequently there is no evidence that the large increase in life expectancy raised income per capita

asymmetric information and the structure of the banking industry abstract we analyze the effects of informational asymmetries on the market structure of the banking industry in a multi period model of spatial competition in the process of lending incumbent banks gather proprietary information about their clients acquiring an advantage over potential entrants we show that these informational asymmetries are important determinants of the industry structure and of banks strategic behavior contrary to traditional models of horizontal differentiation the steady state equilibrium is characterized by a finite number of banks even in the absence of exogenous fixed costs in addition less concentrated industry structures may be associated with higher interest rates

mortality risk and human capital investment the impact of hiv aids in sub saharan africa abstract over the past several decades the hiv aids epidemic has dramatically altered patterns of morbidity and mortality in sub saharan africa with potential consequences for human capital investment and economic growth using data from demographic and health surveys for fifteen countries in sub saharan africa i estimate the relationship between regional hiv prevalence and the change in individual human capital investment over time consistent with a simple model of human capital investment incorporating mortality risk i find that areas with higher levels of hiv experienced relatively larger declines in schooling

food pricing policy in developing countries bias against agriculture or for urban consumers price policy discrimination against agricultural producers in order to provide cheap food for urban consumers has been widely cited in development forums as a cause of agricultural stagnation evidence is presented that suggests no consistent pattern of discrimination against producers for a major food commodity wheat however consumer subsidies and trade policies have reduced bread prices to urban consumers in many countries price data from the early 1980s are assembled for thirty one developing countries nominal protection coefficients for producers and consumers at official and corrected exchange rates and wheat fertilizer price ratios are estimated for each country price discrimination against agriculture arising from government policy interventions has been widely cited as a major factor in the poor agricultural performance of many developing countries several important studies published in the last five years have presented evidence ofgovernment policies that decrease prices re ceived by farmers for their produce peterson 1979 1983 analyzed official producer prices during the 1960s from a sample of twenty eight developing countries to show that producer price incentives in developing countries were consistently well below those in industrialized countries during the 1970s the world bank sponsored a series of case studies of agricul tural policy incentives in thailand pakistan egypt and argentina using data up to the mid 1970s which showed that governments of these countries were consistently taxing the agricultural sector through price policy see the authors are economists with cimmyt the international maize and wheat improvement centre based in pakistan and mexico respectively views expressed in this paper are not necessarily those of

comment on bank competition and access to finance international evidence there are two commonly acknowledged albeit conflicting predictions on the effect of banks market power on firms access to credit the structure performance hypothesis asserts that more market power leads to lower supply at higher prices in contrast the information based hypothesis asserts that more market power increases bank lending to informationally opaque borrowers in bank competition and access to finance international evidence beck demirguii kunt and maksimovic 2004 this issue of jmcb henceforth bdm investigate which hypothesis survives empirical scrutiny this is a research question that will never disappoint as the results will be important no matter which hypothesis prevails in the end it is not the first time the question has been addressed in the literature but bdm have made the most comprehensive study on this issue policymakers in developing countries no longer have to rely mostly on results from the u s banking market when they formulate policies for their emerging banking markets they can now learn a lesson from the experience of more than 6000 companies in 74 countries bdm s results suggest that in more concentrated banking markets high market power firms face higher financing obstacles bdm interpret this finding as evidence in support of the structure performance hypothesis and emphasize the negative effects of bank market power in my comments i would like to reinterpret these results emphasizing the positive effects of market power and express some concerns about the method of the paper

financial regulation and financial system architecture in central europe abstract at the beginning of the transition advice to central european countries with respect to how to set up their financial systems was based on models used in western economies this paper analyzes the experiences to set up a financial system in central europe the experience in the first transition years 1990 1996 with financial system architecture shows that changes are slow but that the central european countries tend to catch up more quickly with the western ones in the case of their banking systems than with respect to their stock markets

limited life expectancy human capital and health investments human capital theory predicts that life expectancy will impact human capital attainment we estimate this relationship using variation in life expectancy driven by huntington disease an inherited neurological disorder we compare investments for individuals who have ex ante identical risks of hd but differ in disease realization individuals with the hd mutation complete less education and job training the elasticity of demand for college attendance with respect to life expectancy is around 1 0 we relate this to cross country and over time differences in education we use smoking and cancer screening data to test the corollary that health capital responds to life expectancy

internal capital markets and corporate politics in a banking group we analyze proprietary internal capital allocation data from a large retail banking group consisting of member banks and a headquarters organization we find that capital allocations from headquarters compensate for deposit shortfalls on the bank level suggesting that the headquarters offers deposit smoothing to member banks we then analyze how the distribution of influence within the group relates to capital allocations and lending behavior more influential banks are allocated more funds from headquarters and their loan growth is less sensitive to their deposit base the effects of influence are stronger if banks have a greater demand for deposit smoothing

life expectancy and human capital evidence from the international epidemiological transition exploiting preintervention variation in mortality from various infectious diseases together with the time variation arising from medical breakthroughs in the late 1940s and the 1950s this study examines how a large positive shock to life expectancy influenced the formation of human capital within countries during the second half of the 20th century the results establish that the rise in life expectancy was behind a significant part of the increase in human capital over this period according to the baseline estimate for one additional year of life expectancy years of schooling increase by 0 17 year moreover the evidence suggests that declines in pneumonia mortality are the underlying cause of this finding indicating that improved childhood health increases human capital investments

the strategic analysis of intermediation the importance and the special character of intermediation were recognized as early as in the eighteenth century and have been stressed by many authors afterwards in spite of this long tradition comparatively little work has been done on the details of the economic theory of intermediation instead it was assumed that intermediation can simply be treated like any other economic activity in contrast i will argue that the theory of intermediation requires a specific game theoretic analysis and moreover that many preconceptions that one might have on the basis of standard microeconomic theory are wrong

capital market information and industrial performance the role of west german banks in orthodox theory external capital markets play a dual role supplying various forms of investment finance and disciplining firms which are inefficient or fail to pursue profit goals an extensive literature speaks of the efficiency of external capital markets meaning that firms can make production investment decisions and investors can choose among the securities that represent ownership of firms activities under the assumption that security prices at any time fully reflect all available information fama i970 1 however this concept of efficiency is purely technical it depends critically on what information is available and we know there are problems of appropriability and failure in information markets deriving ultimately from certain peculiarities of information as a commodity arrow i962 thus another growing literature focusses on problems of achieving equilibrium in markets where agents are imperfectly or asymmetrically informed amongst other things this literature shows that informational failures of the kind in question can lead to capital rationing in loan and credit markets and the use of strict collateral requirements as screening devices jaffee and russell i976 stiglitz and weiss i98i cable and turner i983 these may then be expected to affect the efficiency of individual firms and the system as a whole capital shortage implies that some profitable investment opportunities are foregone and production choices may also be distorted by the need to satisfy additional financial constraints contrived to elicit signals of creditworthiness of the firms undertaking them similarly the disciplining role of external capital markets can be impaired by information impactedness williamson i975 and the costs of mobilising and giving effect to shareholders preferences thus in the principal agent framework developed by jensen and meckling i976 and fama i980 the degree of constraint on managerial pursuit of non profit goals as posited by managerial theorists depends on the transactions costs of stock owner intervention the result is an optimal degree of departure from cost minimising profit maximising behaviour determined by the level of transactions costs institutional factors which affect the way information is distributed amongst agents can therefore have an important bearing on allocative and technical efficiency and the west german system of industrial finance provides an in

financial intermediation and delegated monitoring this paper develops a theory of financial intermediation based on minimizing the cost of monitoring information which is useful for resolving incentive problems between borrowers and lenders it presents a characterization of the costs of providing incentives for delegated monitoring by a financial intermediary diversification within an intermediary serves to reduce these costs even in a risk neutral economy the paper presents some more general analysis of the effect of diversification on resolving incentive problems in the environment assumed in the model debt contracts with costly bankruptcy are shown to be optimal the analysis has implications for the portfolio structure and capital structure of intermediaries

the american high school graduation rate trends and levels abstract this paper applies a unified methodology to multiple data sets to estimate both the levels and trends in u s high school graduation rates we establish that a the true rate is substantially lower than widely used measures b it peaked in the early 1970s c majority minority differentials are substantial and have not converged for 35 years d lower post 1970 rates are not solely due to increasing immigrant and minority populations e our findings explain part of the slowdown in college attendance and rising college wage premiums and f widening graduation differentials by gender help explain increasing male female college attendance gaps

concorrencia e performance do setor bancario em um mercado heterogeneo financial markets have become increasingly integrated throughout the world does this mean that local financial institutions are becoming irrelevant we argue that due to the information symmetries involved in credit concession and banks role as monitors the answer is no motivated by empirical evidences that show a great dispersion among brazilian banks interest spreads we have developed an imperfect competition model where the need to monitor loans and the heterogeneity of demand for credit create market niches in which it is possible to systematically charge higher interest rates on credit bank deposits do not need monitoring thus the tendency to more intense competition the difference in the level of competition under which these two services operate can generate an inefficient allocation of resources in the economy particularly harming less developed areas volumes of loans and deposits observed in different brazilian cities and states support the conclusions of the model

nominal and effective protection in the egyptian agricultural sector a multicommodity analysis the estimation of effective protection coefficients is reported for 18 commodities produced in the egyptian agricultural sector both the corden and balassa formula are used attention is focussed on the effects on those estimates of using official and free market exchange rates and of the exclusion and inclusion of the value of by products it is concluded that when the market exchange rate is used egyptian agricultural production faces overall disincentives from the protective structure

how unregulated is the u s labor market the penal system as a labor market institution1 comparative research contrasts the corporatist welfare states of europe with the unregulated u s labor market to explain low rates of u s unemployment in the 1980s and 1990s in contrast this article argues that the u s state made a large and coercive intervention into the labor market through the expansion of the penal system the impact of incarceration on unemployment has two conflicting dynamics in the short run u s incarceration lowers conventional unemployment measures by removing able bodied working age men from labor force counts in the long run social survey data show that incarceration raises unemployment by reducing the job prospects of ex convicts strong u s employment performance in the 1980s and 1990s has thus depended in part on a high and increasing incarceration rate

how large are the effects from changes in family environment a study of korean american adoptees i analyze a new set of data on korean american adoptees who were quasi randomly assigned to adoptive families i find large effects on adoptees education income and health from assignment to parents with more education and from assignment to smaller families parental education and family size are significantly more correlated with adoptee outcomes than are parental income or neighborhood characteristics outcomes such as drinking smoking and the selectivity of college attended are more determined by nurture than is educational attainment using the standard behavioral genetics variance decomposition i find that shared family environment explains 14 percent of the variation in educational attainment 35 percent ofthe variation in college selectivity and 33 percent of the variation in drinking behavior

distance and private information in lending we study the effects of physical distance on the acquisition and use of private information in informationally opaque credit markets using a unique data set of all loan applications by small firms to a large bank we show that borrower proximity facilitates the collection of soft information leading to a trade off in the availability and pricing of credit which is more readily accessible to nearby firms albeit at higher interest rates ceteris paribus analyzing loan rates and firms decision to switch lenders provides further evidence for banks strategic use of private information however distance erodes our lender s ability to collect proprietary intelligence and to carve out local captive markets suggesting that the requisite soft information is primarily local the author 2010 published by oxford university press on behalf of the society for financial studies all rights reserved for permissions please e mail journals permissions oxfordjournals org oxford university press

dominant institutional owners and firm value abstract this research analyzes the impact of control by dominant institutional owners banking institutions and investment funds on firm value the analysis considers the level of voting rights in the hands of the dominant institutional owner and other large shareholders the results reveal a different effect on value depending on whether the dominant institutional investor is a banking institution or an investment fund moreover the results show that the presence of other large shareholders affects firm value when a dominant institutional owner controls the firm

an empirical analysis of comparative advantage in egyptian agriculture egyptian comparative advantage in each of 18 agricultural commodities is assessed for a number of years using both the domestic resource coefficient and net social profitability it is found that egypt enjoys a comparative advantage in most cash crops but a comparative disadvantage in many grains and pulses the results suggest that foreign exchange could be earned more efficiently by altering relative incentives in favour of export oriented crops

banking competition housing prices and macroeconomic stability we develop a macroeconomic model with an imperfectly competitive bank loans market and collateral constraints that tie investors credit capacity to the value of their real estate holdings lending margins are optimally set by banks and have a significant effect on aggregate variables over the long run stronger banking competition increases output by triggering a reallocation of available collateral towards investors in the short run output credit and housing prices are more responsive on impact to shocks in an environment of highly competitive banks also stronger banking competition implies higher lower persistency of credit and output after a monetary credit crunch shock

capital markets and corporate control a study of france germany and the uk this paper examines the relation between capital markets and corporate control in france germany and the uk it compares levels of takeover activity in the three countries and describes the degree to which takeovers are associated with changes in corporate control the paper examines the influence of regulation on forms of corporate ownership and control it compares regulation pertaining to the rights of employees managers and shareholders in the three countries and finds that regulatory rules are related to patterns of ownership and control changes the paper suggests that a fundamental objective of control changes is to correct managerial failure and that takeovers are suited to the correction of particular classes of managerial failure that cannot be readily rectified by contracts thus markets with low levels of takeovers may suffer from a low level of correction of managerial failure however by changing ownership takeovers may give rise to an inability of owners to commit themselves to the long term interests of managers and employees as a consequence financial systems with active takeover markets may be associated with inadequate investment in firm specific assets and an unduly short term investment horizon there is therefore a tradeoff between alternative methods of correcting managerial failure this is particularly important for european countries facing an extension of uk takeover activity to the continent the process is being encouraged by the european commission which aims to harmonize regulation on a uk style takeover code harmonization of regulation may have far reaching consequences for the structure of different countries capital markets and in view of the tradeoff is of uncertain merit

intertemporal diversification in financial intermediation abstract this paper examines the incentive problem between a bank and depositors or deposit insurer limited liability makes risk shifting lucrative we show how intertemporal diversification of lending decisions i e bank s loan portfolio consists of overlapping long term loans and is thus gradually renewed may solve the incentive problem of risk shifting a new or expanding bank sets a high equity level and acquires depositors confidence subsequently it can allow its equity to depreciate to a permanently lower level depositors can control the bank by monitoring equity and realized credit losses ex post they do not have to monitor bank s lending choices ex ante maturity mismatch illiquidity of long term loans and liquidity of deposits is optimal the analysis can be extended more generally to the borrower lender relationship

banking a survey of recent microeconomic theory this paper surveys the recent developments in information economics in so far as they relate to banking and financial intermediation attention is restricted to microeconomic issues banks are seen as institutions that by gathering and processing information can reduce transaction costs and induce more efficient allocations separate sections of the paper deal with the bank borrower relation the bank lender relation competition between banks and the comparison between bank finance and market finance the paper concludes by discussing the implications of the recent theory for the regulation of the banking sector copyright 1994 by oxford university press

commercial lending and distance evidence from community reinvestment act data a number of large banking organizations have substantially broadened the distances at which they are willing to extend commercial loans but there is also evidence to suggest that this has occurred primarily at the high side of the distribution of lending distances in this paper we employ a new source of data to examine the relationship between lending decisions and distance between lender and borrower for that part of the distance distribution where arguably most of the competitive interactions among lenders still occur we report three basic findings 1 distance operates as a deterrent to lending even within areas traditionally defined as local markets 2 distance is more of a deterrent for small banks than for larger organizations even within these areas and 3 for those commercial loans made within areas currently treated by regulators as markets distance has not been declining in importance indeed a preponderance of the evidence suggests that it is becoming if anything more of a factor possible explanations and policy implications are discussed

spatial competition in the banking system localization cross subsidies and the regulation of deposit rates abstract the paper analyses a spatial competition model of the banking sector banks offer two kind of services deposits and credit and can either borrow or lend on the money market we investigate the consequences of the regulation of rates paid on deposits the main conclusions are as follows regulation first increases network size beyond social optimum in the long run it results in lower equilibrium credit rates because of increased competition secondly regulation generates tied sales contracts by which banks propose bundles of credit and deposit services tied sales in turn motivate the introduction of cross subsidies between the two activities the rent levied upon regulated deposits financing lower rates in the credit market finally it is shown that in a regulated environment the effectiveness of monetary policy is reduced in the sense that fluctuations of money market rates are less than fully transmitted in credit rates

privatising multi product banks in october 1983 following a stock market crash the israeli government became the owner of most of the banking system in the country the government is now getting ready to privatize the banks using a simple model of imperfect competition between multiproduct banks the paper evaluates two proposals which have been raised in this context spinning off entire divisions versus splitting the banks into smaller banks the degree of substitutability between banking products e g short and long term credit plays a key role in the analysis implications for banking reform in other countries are briefly discussed copyright 1995 by royal economic society

the independent submarkets model an application to the spanish retail banking market abstract the aim of this paper is to test the predictions of sutton s independent submarkets model with data on the spanish retail banking market the prediction of this model for aggregates of submarkets is that the form of equilibrium outcome must involve some minimal degree of size inequality however within each submarket when three conditions hold the only form of equilibrium outcome will be an extreme fragmented structure to test these predictions firstly i propose methods to identify independent submarkets then i analyze the degree of inequality in bank sizes for markets with different levels of aggregation submarkets regions and national market using concentration by towns data i find that in single submarket towns the degree of inequality of the size among banks is zero moreover multimarket towns with a significant degree of concentration are shown to be formed by a different number of independent submarkets where each bank owns one branch nonetheless when the regional and the national bank markets are considered the degree of inequality in bank sizes becomes high these results are consistent with the predictions of the theoretical model

the white black educational gap stalled progress and the long term consequences of the emergence of crack cocaine markets abstract we propose the rise of crack cocaine markets as a key explanation for the end to the convergence in black white educational outcomes in the united states that began in the mid 1980s after constructing a measure to date the arrival of crack markets in cities and states we show that the decline in educational outcomes for black males begins with the start of the crack epidemic we also show that there are higher murder and incarceration rates after the arrival of crack cocaine and that these are predictive of lower black high school completion rates a result consistent with human capital theory we estimate that effects related to crack markets can account for approximately 40 to 70 of the fall in black male high school completion rates

financial opening deposit insurance and risk in a model of banking competition abstract we study the impact of competition on banks risk taking behavior under different assumptions about deposit insurance and the dissemination of information while financial opening increases banks riskiness a risk based deposit insurance or alternatively the public disclosure of financial information are likely to mitigate this effect moreover the limiting cases of uninsured but fully informed depositors and risk based full deposit insurance yield the same equilibrium risk level although the welfare consequences of increased competition depend on its impact on risk financial opening unambiguously improves welfare as we approach the limiting cases

information sharing in credit markets we present a model with adverse selection where information sharing between lenders arises endogenously lenders incentives to share information about borrowers are positively related to the mobility and heterogeneity of borrowers to the size of the credit market and to advances in information technology such incentives are instead reduced by the fear of competition from potential entrants in addition information sharing increases the volume of lending when adverse selection is so severe that safe borrowers drop out of the market these predictions are supported by international and historical evidence in the context of the consumer credit market a large body of literature on credit markets has shown that asymmetric information may prevent the efficient allocation of lending leading to credit rationing e g jaffee and russell 1976 stiglitz and weiss 1981 or to a wedge between lending and borrowing rates e g king 1986 in this literature informational asymmetries are taken to be exogenous lenders fail to observe some relevant characteristic or action of potential borrowers and have no way of learning about it in some countries however lenders can improve their knowledge about new customers by exchanging information with other lenders through information brokers generally known as credit bureaus the latter collect file and distribute the information voluntarily supplied by their members and operate on the principle of reciprocity lenders who do not provide data are denied access to the bureau s files in other countries instead these institutions do not exist the literature offers no guide to identify the factors that lead to endogenous communication between lenders this paper is an attempt to fill the gap information sharing is important for a number of reasons it may increase the degree of competitiveness within credit markets vives 1990 improve

moneylenders and bankers price increasing subsidies in a monopolistically competitive market abstract in many areas of the world a significant part of the cost of obtaining a good or service is the cost of enforcing the contracts entailed in its provision we present models of markets with endogenous enforcement costs motivated by studies of rural credit markets we show that subsidies may have perverse effects under monopolistic competition increasing prices or inducing exit higher prices interest rates result from the loss of scale economies or from negative externalities among suppliers the models are consistent with the puzzling evidence that infusions of government subsidized formal credit have not improved the terms offered by moneylenders

concentration and other determinants of bank profitability in europe north america and australia abstract this study reviews the performance of banks in twelve countries or territories in europe north america and australia and examines the internal and external determination of profitability to circumvent some of the difficulties in making comparisons between banks in different countries the concept of value added is introduced results parallel those in domestic u s studies and provide some support for the edwards heggestad mingo hypothesis of risk avoidance by banks with a high degree of market power

aids mortality and its effect on the labor market evidence from south africa abstract this paper investigates how hiv aids has impacted the labor market in south africa focusing on its effect on wages and employment this is done by matching individual level data with group specific cumulative aids mortality rates exploiting the panel nature of the data i remove individuals whose productivity is most likely impacted by hiv aids and find evidence that cumulative aids mortality has led to reductions in wages of between 3 and 6 for the african population group black south africans furthermore i also find evidence that the epidemic has lowered employment in south africa this result is concentrated among those with the lowest levels of education and employment although not large in magnitude these effects are widespread across a significant portion of the population contributing to a substantial loss of income throughout the south african economy

an institutional approach to cross national distance cross national distance is a key concept in the field of management previous research has conceptualized and measured cross national differences mostly in terms of dyadic cultural distance and has used the euclidean approach to measuring it in contrast our goal is to disaggregate the construct of distance by proposing a set of multidimensional measures including economic financial political administrative cultural demographic knowledge and global connectedness as well as geographic distance we ground our analysis and choice of empirical dimensions on institutional theories of national business governance and innovation systems in order to overcome the methodological limitations of the euclidean approach we calculate dyadic distances using the mahalanobis method which is scale invariant and takes into consideration the variance covariance matrix we empirically analyze four different foreign expansion choices of us companies to illustrate the importance of disaggregating the distance construct and the usefulness of our distance calculations which we make freely available to managers and scholars

growth distribution and politics we start by arguing that to understand growth differences across countries and time one needs to understand differences in public policies that affect the incentives for productive accumulation of capital human capital or technically useful knowledge and to understand policy differences one needs to understand how political institutions aggregate conflicting interests into public policies we then survey some recent work along these lines which argues that more inequality leads to slower growth next we illustrate some of the basic ideas of this work by help of a simple model of taxation we also present some econometric cross country evidence which is largely supportive of the basic ideas we end by suggestions for further work this abstract was borrowed from another version of this item

competing lending platforms endogenous reputation and fragility in microcredit markets this paper shows that market fragility and mass default can arise in microcredit markets as a result of the strategic interaction between a microlender using a reputation based mechanism and a traditional lender using physical collateral in our model borrowers solve a dynamic programming problem which induces an endogenous equilibrium distribution of reputational capital because the quality of each lender s pool of borrowers is affected by both lenders interest rates lender reaction curves are non monotonic and discontinuous this can result in knife edge equilibria and mass default on the microlender precipitated by minor parametric perturbations fragility is exacerbated by borrower screening and sovereign risk but ameliorated when microlenders have social welfare goals our results highlight the importance of studying the entire credit market rather than microfinance in isolation

longevity and lifetime labor supply evidence and implications conventional wisdom suggests that increased life expectancy had a key role in causing a rise in investment in human capital i incorporate the retirement decision into a version of ben porath s 1967 model and find that a necessary condition for this causal relationship to hold is that increased life expectancy will also increase lifetime labor supply i then show that this condition does not hold for american men born between 1840 and 1970 and for the american population born between 1890 and 1970 the data suggest similar patterns in western europe i end by discussing the implications of my findings for the debate on the fundamental causes of long run growth

multiproduct monopoly commodity bundling and correlation of values through what selling strategy can a multiproduct monopolist maximize his profits when his knowledge about individual consumers preferences is limited one possibility extensively studied in the context of a single good monopoly is to use quantity dependent pricing as a means of discriminating among customers with differing tastes see for example oi 1971 and maskin and riley 1984 an alternative technique for price discrimination first suggested by stigler 1968 and analyzed further by adams and yellen 1976 is for the monopolist to package two or more products in bundles rather than selling them separately through a series of examples adams and yellen illustrate that bundling can serve as a useful price discrimination device even when all consumers willingnesses to pay for each of the goods individually are unaffected by whether they are also consuming the other product a typical example is illustrated in figure i adapted from figure iv in adams and yellen where there are two goods three consumers ab c who consume at most one unit of each good with reservation values for each good that are independent of whether the other good is consumed and zero costs of production there a bundle offered at a price of 100 fully extracts all potential surplus which would be impossible pricing the goods independently unfortunately though these authors do not provide any general characterization of the circumstances in which bundling is actually a multiproduct monopolist s optimal strategy their examples however such as figure i create the impression that the profitable use of bundling

organizational distance and use of collateral for business loans abstract this paper examines the effect of organizational distance i e distance between the headquarters of the bank that grants a loan and the location of the borrower on the use of collateral for business loans by spanish banks on the basis of the recent lender based theory of collateral inderst r mueller h m 2007 a lender based theory of collateral journal of financial economics 84 826 859 we find that for the average borrower the use of collateral is higher for loans granted by local lenders than by distant ones we also show that the difference in the likelihood of collateral in loans granted by local lenders relative to distant lenders is higher among older and larger firms than respectively younger and smaller firms we also find that banks use lending technologies that are different for near and for distant firms in response to organizational diseconomies

loan market equilibrium with difference of opinion and imperfect competition abstract difference of opinion between banks and borrowers influences the competitiveness of loan markets the more optimistic the borrowers the more elastic the demand for loans this reduces lending rates decreases the expected profits of banks and discourages entry by banks

an innovatory package for financial sector reforms in eastern european countries abstract this essay sees reform of the financial sector as the key to successful transition to a market economy the analysis generates the following practical proposals first the central bank should be endowed with strong independence accumulating the deposit insurance supervisory and lender of last resort functions second the central bank should host the payments system and impose gross settlement without credit lines in excess of required reserve balances it should also impose suitable capital requirements for credit exposure third universal banking should be accepted to improve corporate governance and to make a well functioning capital market less necessary fourth to reduce moral hazard and provide maximum flexibility an innovatory multi tier bank licensing is proposed fifth when government cannot borrow from the central bank borrowing will contribute to the development of securities markets whose other two pillars are privatisation and mortgage financing to alleviate the burden on public finance and maximise liquidity perpetuals assorted with suitable calls and puts are proposed

banking regulation and competition with product differentiation abstract the main motivation for prudential regulation is to increase the solvency of the banking sector however it is usually understood that tighter regulation also leads to more concentration and higher spreads thus these prudential measures are seen as implying a trade off between solvency and competition in this paper we argue that this trade off does not necessarily exist we present a model in which tighter capital requirements lead banks to choose a lower degree of product differentiation potentially inducing more intense competition and lower spreads the model is motivated by the recent evolution of the argentine banking sector

finishing high school and starting college do catholic schools make a difference in this paper we consider two measures of the relative effectiveness of public and catholic schools finishing high school and starting college these measures are potentially more important indicators of school quality than standardized test scores in light of the economic consequences of obtaining more education single equation estimates suggest that for the typical student attending a catholic high school raises the probability of finishing high school or entering a four year college by thirteen percentage points in bivariate probit models we find almost no evidence that our single equation estimates are subject to selection bias

banking competition collateral constraints and optimal monetary policy we analyze optimal monetary policy in a model with two distinct financial frictions monopolistically competitive banks that charge endogenous lending spreads and collateral constraints we show that welfare maximization is equivalent to stabilization of four goals inflation output gap the consumption gap between borrowers and savers and a housing gap that measures the distortion in the distribution of the collateralizable asset between both groups collateral constraints create a trade off between stabilization goals following both productivity and financial shocks and relative to strict inflation targeting the optimal policy implies sharper movements in the policy rate aimed primarily at reducing fluctuations in asset prices and hence in borrowers net worth the policy trade offs become amplified as banking competition increases due to the fall in lending spreads and the resulting increase in borrowers leverage

foundations of the structure conduct performance paradigm in banking this paper employs an explicit model of the banking firm to derive formally and thereby assess critically the most commonly tested relationships implied by the structure conduct performance paradigm as it applies to the banking industry these include the relationship between loan rates and market concentration deposit rates and market concentration and bank profitability and market concentration the necessary assumptions and simplifications implicit in past empirical studies are outlined and suggestions for future empirical implementation of the underlying model are presented copyright 1991 by ohio state university press