technology adoption under production uncertainty theory and application to irrigation technology we propose a theoretical framework to analyze the conditions under which a farmer facing production uncertainty due to a possible water shortage and incomplete information will adopt a more efficient irrigation technology a reduced form of this model is empirically estimated using a sample of 265 farms located in crete greece the empirical results suggest that farmers choose to adopt the new technology in order to hedge against production risk in addition we show that the farmer s human capital also plays a significant role in the decision to adopt modern more efficient irrigation equipment

meta paradigm change and the theory of the firm many seemingly unrelated debates on the theory of the firm are in fact part of a single deeper transformation of the social sciences as the foundational assumptions of 20th century social science have slowly been shown by science to be false new sub paradigms have emerged which cumulatively drop i theoretical assumptions about markets to explain firms ii epistemological assumptions about knowledge to explain diversity and iii metaphysical assumptions about causality to explain technical change debates occur across each of these levels

influence costs and capital structure this paper analyzes the role of capital structure in the presence of intrafirm influence activities the hierarchical structure of large organizations inevitably generates attempts by members to influence the distributive consequences of organizational decisions in corporations for example top management can reallocate or eliminate quasi rents earned by their employees while at the same time they must rely on these employees to provide them with information vital to their decision making this creates the opportunity for lower level managers to influence top management s discretionary decisions as a result divisional managers may attempt to inflate the corporate perception of their relative contributions to the firm or to take actions that make the elimination of their rents more costly for the firm this incentive to influence is especially acute when managers fear losing their jobs for example in the event of a divestiture since the firm s capital structure can affect future divestiture decisions it can be chosen to reduce or increase the divisional managers incentives to influence top management s decisions the control of influence activities arises at the expense of restrictions on future divestiture decisions hence there emerges an optimal capital structure that trades off the costs of influence activities against the costs of making poor divestiture decisions the findings suggest that capital structure can also be chosen to control influence activities that arise under less extreme motivations we identify several key factors that determine the optimal capital structure the top management s prior assessment of the likelihood that it will be optimal to divest a specific division the costs of influence activities to the firm and to the divisional managers and the difference in the valuation of the division s assets in the current firm and under alternative uses

sustainability in light of competitiveness abstract there is cause for concern that many current practices in the strategic use of advanced manufacturing technologies are unsustainable since they lead to increased resource consumption in the aggregate this article examines the ways the current generation of production technologies structure the formation and growth of product markets and explains why firms driven to stay competitive are adopting manufacturing strategies based on reducing the time it takes to develop and manufacture new products as experience in the use of advanced manufacturing technologies has accumulated distinctive patterns in market organization have emerged which in turn cause more firms to adopt these technologies in effect the markets and productions systems have co evolved faster product cycles presage new product variants and faster product obsolescence linked to intensified customers needs this interdependency of market needs and the strategic use of manufacturing technologies has significance for drafting sustainable consumption policy

observability and the payback criterion among the enigmas of corporate finance theory that have received little attention is the puzzling use of the payback method as a capital budgeting tool although the payback method has many drawbacks it is widely used in industry see klammer 1972 fremgren 1973 schall sundem and geijsback 1978 1 gordon 1955 attempted to explain this anomaly by observing that the inverse of the payback period is an approximation for the internal rate of return but as sarnat and levy 1969 point out the accuracy of the approximation depends on the life of the project and its irr for low values of irr the inverse of payback is a very poor approximation moreover it is difficult to believe that corporations that use complex and sophisticated technologies need a rule of thumb to approximate something as simple to compute as the irr in fact empirical evidence shows that most firms compute both the irr and the payback period see schall the payback criterion continues to be widely used in industry although there is little support for it among the academicians this paper attempts to find an economic rationale for it by using an incentive model with asymmetric information it argues that when the managers possess private information regarding projects selected for implementation it is in their interest to choose ceteris paribus projects that pay back faster since manager s wages depend on output because their productivity is unknown by choosing projects that pay back fast they hope to improve their reputations i wish to thank milton harris and an anonymous referee for their helpful suggestions while i retain the responsibility for any remaining errors 1 it has been found that payback is rarely used as a primary capital budgeting method it is used as a secondary criterion to a discounted cash flow method such as npv net present value or irr internal rate of return

mergers acquisitions and innovation performance in the telecommunications equipment industry the worldwide telecommunications equipment industry has experienced an enormous number of mergers and acquisitions m a this article examines the innovation determinants of m a activity a

the relationships between science technologies and their industrial exploitation an illustration through the myths and realities of the so called european paradox abstract this paper discusses first the properties of scientific and technological knowledge and the institutions supporting its generation and its economic applications the evidence supports the broad interpretation that we call the stanford yale sussex synthesis second such patterns yield important implications with respect to the so called european paradox i e the conjecture that eu countries play a leading global role in terms of top level scientific output but lag behind in the ability of converting this strength into wealth generating innovations some descriptive evidence shows that contrary to the paradox conjecture europe s weaknesses reside both in its system of scientific research and in a relatively weak industry the final part of the paper identifies a few normative implications much less emphasis should be put on various types of networking and much more on policy measures aimed at strengthening both frontier research and european corporate actors

agreements between firms and the technological life cycle model evidence from information technologies abstract contrarily to most previous contributions which have addressed the issue of cooperative agreements essentially in a perspective of comparative statics in this paper a model is proposed that relies on the technological trajectory notion suggested by evolutionary theories and emphasizes the relevance of the technological and market dynamics in explaining why and to what extent firms have recourse to agreements in particular it is claimed that the propensity of firms towards collaborative ventures and the characteristics of the cooperation depend upon the phase of the technological life cycle of the industry branch in which the cooperation takes place based on a cross sectional analysis of 45 industry branches in the information technology industrial system the paper also provides empirical evidence supporting the argument that the propensity towards agreements and the nature of the agreements concluded do change during the technological life cycle to this end it takes advantage of the arpa database developed at the polytechnic of milan and containing detailed information on over 2 000 agreements concluded in the 1980 1986 period all over the world in the semiconductor data processing and telecommunications industries

sources procedures and microeconomic effects of innovation fabio arcangeli paul david frank engelman christopher freeman massimo moggi richard nelson luigi orsenigo nathan rosenberg michele salvati g n von tunzelman two anonymous referees and the participants at the meeting of the committee on distribution growth and technical progress of the italian national research council cnr rome november 16 1985 have helped with various redraftings a particularly grateful acknowledgment is for the insightful and patient help of moses abramovitz this work has been undertaken at the science policy research unit spru university of sussex as part of the research program of the designated research centre sponsored by the economic and social research council esrc earlier support to the research that led to this paper by the italian national research council cnr is also gratefully acknowledged the statistical research has been undertaken with the assistance of stephano brioschi ilaria fornari and giovannu prennushi

the reaper and the scanner indivisibility led incremental innovations and the adoption of new technologies widespread adoption of a new capital embodied technology requires a continu ous flow of incremental innovations a few of them address the key problem of indivisibility by making renting the new machine a viable alternative to buying it or by dividing it up into modular elements such incremental innovations differ from the learning by doing effects usually considered by diffusion models and greatly affect the structure of the adopting industry the case for keeping them in due account is made by revisiting paul david s classic paper on the mccormick reaper by criticising the subsequent evolution of threshold models of adoption and by summarising my own findings on the diffusion of electronic pre press devices

are innovations relevant for consumers in the hospitality industry a hedonic approach for cuban hotels abstract this paper evaluates the impact of innovative activity in the hotel industry on the willingness to pay by consumers to this end we estimate a hedonic price function where innovation is identified indirectly through certain attributes that previous literature has linked with hotel innovativeness the test is performed on a representative sample of cuban hotels considering a large number of attributes of hotels and rooms to solve the usual problems of collinearity a million alternative models are estimated by choosing the variables included in a random manner and obtaining the final coefficients by means of an internal meta analysis the results are completed with a variance decomposition analysis the results highlight the importance of the attributes linked to innovation and internationalization on the determination of room prices in cuban hotels membership of international hotel chains high quality offers diversified rooms and adaptability to specific needs of each client

innovation diversity and diffusion a self organisation model a number of features of innovation diffusion are identified appropriability diversity expectations selection learning and spillover externalities a dynamic model is formul ated to embed the diffusion question into a more general framework of disequilibrium competition the model incorporates distinct vintage structures reflecting a change in technological trajectory learning by using a nd expectations driven investment rules of thumb simulation studies reveal robust quasi logistic curves but a complicated pattern of net market share gains and losses uncertainty regarding the rationality of early or late adoption it is argued ensures that the requisite behavioral variety is present to generate these diffusion patterns copyright 1988 by royal economic society

is western europe losing the technological race abstract using a variety of indicators this paper compares technological levels in japan the usa and w europe there is no justification for assuming general european technological backwardness whilst it lags in electronics and since 1975 has had a relatively slow rate of growth of innovative activities it also has sectors of strength chemicals machinery production engineering and countries whose relative commitments of resources to innovative activities are at least equal and sometimes superior to those of japan and the usa frg sweden switzerland its main policy challenges are to increase the rate of growth of innovative activities in lagging countries and to ensure pervasive applications of information technology similarly there is no convincing evidence that w europe is relatively backward in converting technology into economically efficient innovations some policy problems are significant in all three regions skill shortages whilst others are in the usa and w europe short term planning horizons of top management particular european problems are the effects of social legislation on worker flexibility and mobility of national regulations on intra european competition and of slow rates of growth of output on the growth of innovative activities japan and the usa have their problems with the latter continuously under challenge from the former and increasingly specialised in defence and raw materials related technologies

a composite indicator of a firm s innovativeness an empirical analysis based on survey data for swiss manufacturing abstract most empirical studies on innovative activity are based on a single or a very small number of indicator s a procedure not appropriate in view of the complexity of the innovation process therefore in a perspective of ranking firms or industries according to their innovation intensity we develop a composite measure of a firm s innovativeness by using factor analysis of a whole set of innovation variables the resulting aggregate indicator is based on the extraction of two factors depicting the technical and the market dimension in the case of product innovations for new production techniques the two factors refer to the input and output side of the generation of innovations the overall measure is superior to any single innovation variable as shown by canonical correlations which make use of an empirically validated model of innovation behaviour the composite indicator yields economically plausible results at the firm e g innovation patterns and industry levels e g sensible similarities and differences of ranking according to the aggregate measure and r d intensity respectively provided similar indicators and methods are used for several countries a composite indicator may be useful for international comparisons

a theory of acquisition markets mergers versus tender offers and golden parachutes we develop a model of the acquisition market in which the acquirer has a choice between two takeover mechanisms mergers and tender offers a merger is modeled as a bargaining game between the acquiring and target firms whereas a tender offer is modeled as an auction in which bidders arrive sequentially and compete for the target at any stage of the bargaining game the acquiring firm can stop negotiating and make a tender offer in equilibrium there is a unique level of synergy gains below which the acquiring firm makes only a merger attempt as it expects to lose in the competition resulting from a tender offer for synergy gains above this level tender offers can occur however to get tender offers target shareholders must give their managers golden parachutes that give higher payoffs in tender offers than in mergers article published by oxford university press on behalf of the society for financial studies in its journal the review of financial studies

loss aversion and managerial decisions evidence from major league baseball i introduction and motivation previous research indicates that management changes are important events for organizations partly because they lead to reversals of poor prior decisions 1 however this research begs the question of why it may be necessary to replace the manager in order to bring about such changes in this article we test for evidence of loss aversion and distinguish between loss aversion and agency costs as explanations for why managers hang on to poorly performing assets or employees they were instrumental in acquiring or hiring the study contributes to the literature on managerial decisions and to the sports economics literature it may be necessary to replace managers if their investment decisions are affected by loss aversion as aronson wilson and akert 2010 point out avoiding admission of mistakes is a common human trait once we have committed time or energy to a cause it seems to be nearly impossible to convince us that the cause is unworthy psychological aversion to admitting mistakes is related to loss aversion and reflects a cognitive bias the manager fails to see the problem or discounts negative experience as non representative agency costs provide an alternative explanation for why it may be necessary to replace managers to rectify prior mistakes agency costs arise when an agent e g a manager acts in his her own interest but not in the interest of the principal e g the firm owner in the presence of asymmetric information managers may have incentives to disguise or conceal poor decisions to avoid negative consequences such as reduced marketability as a manager demotion or termination this concern with career and reputation can lead to overlooking inefficiencies including asset underperformance and overpayment for the underperforming assets using three decades of data on managerial and player turnover in major league baseball mlb we 1 estimate the tendency of incumbent managers to hold on to low performing players rather than divest them 2 test the hypothesis that new managers unwind the mistakes of previous managers and 3 distinguish between loss aversion and agency costs as alternative explanations for retention of poor performing players our empirical analysis focuses on poor performing players who were hired by previous managers this is because either loss aversion or agency cost may have induced the prior manager to hang onto poor performing players new managers can be expected to move quickly to address these types of problems hence we can use new manager retention decisions to determine if the decisions are affected by whether or not the poor performer was hired by a previous manager failure of the acquiring manager to divest poor performing players could be consistent with either the manager s aversion to loss a cognitive bias or the manager s unwillingness to admit mistakes agency costs in the form of career concerns to distinguish between these we follow the career concerns literature and reason that experienced managers are less likely to suffer reputational harm if they terminate poor performers whom they hired loss aversion in contrast does not suggest a relationship between managerial experience and failure to terminate poor performers there are several advantages to using baseball data for this study the empirical design holds industry and competitive conditions constant and allows us to directly observe the performance of acquired assets players and how managers react to their performance once it is revealed we are able to identify the manager who made the acquisition decision and can measure the performance of individual players we also observe the player retention decisions of the subsequent manager the manager who did not acquire the player hence we can evaluate how the acquiring manager s behavior differs from that of the manager who inherits poor performing players some who were acquired by the prior manager and others who were hired by even earlier managers

strategic timing of adoption of new technologies under uncertainty abstract in this paper we introduce experience effects into a duopoly game of timing of adoption of new technologies which exhibit exogenous technological progress departing from the existing literature with this model we obtain continuous and downward sloping reaction functions we find that a higher level of uncertainty increases the extent of dispersion between the equilibrium timings of adoption furthermore we find that the equilibrium timings are even more dispersed when the leader takes the follower s reaction into account when firm roles are made endogenous we find that if there is an incentive to lead follow the equilibrium timings are more less dispersed finally we show that it is possible for collusive adoption to improve welfare

information capacity and innovation adoption researchers of innovation adoption and diffusion often have tested the hypothesis that firms with greater capacities to gather and evaluate information should adopt sooner however the data generally do not support this hypothesis a theoretical model of innovation adoption under uncertainty is developed to show that greater information capacity implies not only faster learning which tends to reduce the expected delay until adoption but also a more stringent adoption criterion which tends to increase the expected delay the resulting ambiguity provides an explanation for the lack of empirical support for this hypothesis

the corporation competition and the invisible hand few would disagree that adam smith s invisible hand theorem is the heart of the economist s weltanschauung ask whether trade barriers should be lowered the spread of multinational corporations restrained oil prices deregulated cartels dissolved or more fundamentally whether a market based capitalist system is economically superior to a state run socialist system and economists almost certainly will begin to answer the question by trying to apply the theorem every student knows that the theorem depends on the assumption of atomistic competition which in turn assumes that the system is decentralized and that no competitor is large relatively to others there is another crucial assumption however that is often ignored and usually underemphasized namely that all competition is price competition in reality one of the most distinctive features of capitalism one that is most often raised in lay discussions of its merits and demerits is the prevalence of other forms of competition such as competition in research development and advertising competition to obtain and hold monopoly and competition for corporate growth these various forms of non price competition we shall aim to show are not clearly analogous with the theory of price competition more non price competition rather than less is not necessarily pareto optimal self evidently the production side of a market economy is decentralized only to a limited degree i e to the level of a decision making unit composed of more than one human such a unit playing neuron to the invisible hand is typically called a firm it is in fact a team rather than remaining small firms are in practice composed of any number of individuals from a handful on to half a million some

adoption and diffusion of an innovation of uncertain profitability the argument has frequently been made that the pattern of diffusion associated with most new innovations will typically have certain characteristics a diffusion curve for an innovation is usually defined as the proportion of its potential users who have already adopted as a function of time measured from the first adoption many empirical studies by both economists and other social scientists have shown that diffusion curves nearly always have two distinct characteristics i they are s shaped the proportion adopted is an increasing function of time which is initially convex but eventually becomes concave and ii they tend to be right hand skewed the inflection point occurs at a time corresponding to a proportion adopted which is less than one half so that the function is concave over the greatest amount of time in fact this skewing is occasionally severe enough to make the diffusion curve appear concave everywhere the focus of most empirical studies of innovation diffusion has centered on identification of either the major determinants of the speed of diffusion or the characteristics of firms which determine how long they delay adoption the seminal contributions are griliches 6 study of hybrid corn and mansfield s 121 study of 12 industrial innovations these studies and most of the similar ones following conclude that diffusion is faster for innovations with higher profitability and that large firms tend to be the earliest adopters some studies e g mansfield 121 herregat 71 have attempted to ascertain

the disciplinary role of takeovers this paper presents a theory of the disciplinary role of takeovers based on an explicit model of managerial incentive problems stemming from asymmetric information it is argued that an informed raider can reduce incentive problems by making managerial compensation more sensitive to information unavailable to shareholders the paper also highlights the importance of specifying the source of contractual inefficiencies when analyzing the effect of takeovers on incentives

r d appropriability opportunity and market structure new evidence on some schumpeterian hypotheses one of the largest bodies of literature in the field of industrial organization is devoted to the interpretation and testing of several hypotheses advanced by joseph schumpeter 1950 concerning innovation and industrial market structure one set of hypotheses focuses on the role of firm size as a determinant of r d spending and the rate of technological advance another set focuses on the effect of market concentration on r d and technological advance in this paper we reexamine the latter set of hypotheses at the industry level using new data on r d appropriability and technological opportunity collected by levin et al 1984 in a survey of r d executives in 130 industries

innovation waves self organized criticality and technological convergence abstract the purpose of this paper is to investigate the evolutionary process of imitation and innovation as a process of searching in a given neighbourhood of firms the spreading of information through neighbourhoods allows firms to acquire knowledge leading to innovation waves followed by imitation as firms attempt to glean information on best practise techniques whilst innovators are temporarily allowed to reap quasi rents the imitative band wagon effect drives the profit rate down to its normal level productivity growth lowers the prices of sectors involved in the process of technological advance causing obsolescence and creative destruction in a schumpeterian sense

delegating the decision making authority to terminate a sequential project abstract this paper considers a two stage project which requires investments to be made by different agents who have career concerns at each stage the principal needs to decide whether the project should be continued or not after the first stage outcome is realized the principal can either keep the decision making authority regarding the termination policy or else delegate it to one of the agents with career concerns the first stage agent always wants to continue the project in which case the sunk cost fallacy occurs on the contrary the second stage agent may prefer to stop it voluntarily to protect his reputation therefore when the career concerns are strong the principal should delegate the authority to the second stage agent if an early termination of the project is also the best policy for the principal while if the career concerns are weak the principal should keep the authority

managerial career concerns and investments in information we extend the implicit incentives literature by analyzing how career concerns affect a riskneutral manager s decision about how much to learn about a project before investing in it the manager has unknown ability that determines the probability with which a good project is available so the market updates ability assessments from project outcomes while project choice is efficient in equilibrium an unobservable investment in the precision of project evaluation allows the manager to control the probabilities of future reputational states this distorts his investment in precision above first best when project payoffs can be observed only on accepted projects

the market for interfirm asset sales partial sell offs and total liquidations abstract we investigate the valuation consequences of voluntary proposals to sell part or all of a corporation s assets for partial sell offs successful sellers and buyers reap statistically significant abnormal returns of 1 66 and 0 83 respectively unsuccessful sellers realize gains at the bid announcement of 1 41 that are lost at the offer termination in contrast proposals to liquidate the firm are associated with significant average abnormal returns of 12 24 we interpret these findings as evidence that asset sales are associated with the movement of resources to higher valued uses rather than as evidence of market mispricing before the divestiture announcements

the influence of market demand upon innovation a critical review of some recent empirical studies abstract a number of recent empirical studies of technical change at the level of the individual firm have concluded that market demand is the dominant influence upon the innovation process calling forth innovations in market economies the pace of innovation in the private sector heavily influences the growth of national output and productivity and these studies and their conclusions have therefore received much attention having been extensively quoted in discussions of appropriate government policy for the encouragement of innovation this paper reviews a number of these studies and concludes that their findings and the interpretations of their findings in the secondary literature are seriously flawed and in many cases invalid the proposition that market demand governs the innovation process is by no means conclusively demonstrated in these studies and they are therefore inadequate and inappropriate guides for the formulation of policy most of the studies examined employ a working definition of demand factors which is so broad as to embrace a range of possible influences upon innovation which should more properly be classified elsewhere the concept of demand utilized in these studies bears little resemblance to the more restrictive and precise definition of market demand found in economics in addition the phenomena analyzed in these studies are a very heterogeneous lot the studies do not address identical empirical questions and their findings are as a result neither uniform nor unambiguous both demand and supply side influences are crucial to understanding the innovation process and it is the exclusive preoccupation with only one set of these forces which is criticized in this paper some implications of the criticism for government policy toward innovation are discussed in the conclusion

escalation errors and the sunk cost effect an explanation based on reputation and information asymmetries this paper is concerned with explaining a paradox of human behavior consider the following example a department manager makes a large investment in new production equipment and soon after learns of different equipment that could perform the same operations at lower cost incremental analysis favors switching but the manager refuses saying he does not want to waste the investment already made such real world examples have been extensively documented and studied by social scientists see thaler 1980 and staw 1981 in these examples the decision maker having commited to a course of action subsequently discovers new information that indicates that continuing the earlier commitment would likely result in worse consequences than switching in spite of this he clings to and even escalates his earlier

managerial reputation and divisional sell offs a model and empirical test abstract this paper presents a reputation model of divestiture activity that yields a sharp cross sectional implication for event studies of sell off announcements a decision to divest a division that is known to be successful conveys good news about the division in contrast a decision to divest a division that is known for underperformance conveys no news about the division we test these hypotheses on a sample of sell off announcements for which we find stories in the wall street journal unambiguously characterizing the division being sold as either a winner or a loser the stock price reaction to the sell off of losers is indistinguishable from zero while the stock price reaction to the sell off of winners is a statistically significant 2 5 these results are strengthened when we expand the sample to include divisions whose profitability was announced in the company s annual report for this expanded sample the average stock price reaction to the announcements of sell offs of losers remains indistinguishable from zero while returns from the sell offs of winners average a highly significant 3 4

information and profitability estimates modelling the firm s decision to adopt a new technology this paper uses a response surface based on catastrophe theory to examine the interaction of information and profitability estimates on the firm s adoption of a new technology or innovation as such the paper builds on the conceptual ideas behind mccardle s 1985 work an illustrative example using simulated data is presented to indicate how one might operationalize the key constructs for the purpose of estimating the model

in defence of the linear model an essay this essay discusses the strength and weaknesses of the so called linear model lm of innovation it is a reaction to the habit of criticising it as over simplistic mechanistic or simply blatantly wrong we argue that while some criticisms are of course well grounded many others are instead based on loose interpretations and unwarranted assumptions in order to separate the wheat from the chaff this essay first presents a comprehensive description of the linear model and differentiates it from the caricature many refer to second we discuss the main criticisms put forward and argue that many of them are not at all destructive but can be easily accepted within a refined version of the lm third we discuss the policy implications often derived or said to derive from the lm to argue that the lm itself is distinctively policy neutral other assumptions have to be added to justify alternative policy implications

the voyage of the beagle into innovation explorations on heterogeneity selection and sectors the aim of the paper is to assess heterogeneity of the innovation process using exploratory factor analysis on micro data from the third community innovation survey in 13 countries we identify four patterns that can be interpreted as research user external and production ingredients of innovation all too often it is assumed that how firm innovate can be represented by differences across sectors and or countries to put this proposition under scrutiny we partition variability of the factors scores into components identified by these higher levels sectors and countries matter to a certain extent but far more of the variance is given by heterogeneity among firms within both of them however groups of firms produced by cluster analysis account for much higher share of the variance which indicates that the most relevant stratification of the data cuts across the established sectoral and national boundaries we discuss implications of these findings for understanding of selection in evolutionary economics and for the literature on innovation systems

firm technological trajectory as a driver of eco innovation in young small and medium sized enterprises abstract few studies have focused on green innovation in young small and medium sized enterprises instead research tends to focus on large companies with formal research and development departments studying the influence of the firm s current technological strategy as well as the regulatory framework as a key driver of eco innovation this paper proposes that the combination of a firm s technological trajectory and its current research and development strategy are key determinants of eco innovation the authors investigate these relationships with panel data on 212 young firms in spain analysing their innovation strategy and behaviour during their first 10 years of activity the results show that the firms cluster into four technological trajectories but only market oriented innovators engage significantly more in eco innovation these firms are characterized by a high use of formal appropriability mechanisms market opportunity recognition arising from cooperation and high knowledge cumulativeness this paper sheds light on whether and the extent to which a firm s technological trajectory is a driver of eco innovation it confirms that firms that search for opportunities and have a continuous collaboration with market players are more prone to develop eco innovations additionally it shows that path dependence occurs in the development of eco innovations in that a highly developed innovation capacity leads to additional green innovation in the future the findings indicate that young small firms need to develop innovation capabilities that also enable them to adopt advanced technology before striving to become greener the paper concludes that policies designed to stimulate cooperative networking with other market players an upgrading of technological capabilities and the adoption of new technologies are all desirable because they contribute to improving the environmental impact of firms innovations

the adoption of interrelated innovations a human capital approach a hstract this paper develops a model of the decision to adopt interrelated innovations emphasizing the role of innovative ability and a measure of the economic incentive to be informed about innovations education experience and the availability of information are hypothesized to be measurable dimensions of innovative ability the results from fitting univariate conditional and joint logistic models suggest that innovative ability contributes significantly to explaining the adoption of new technology but does not explain its diffusion the results also indicate that the diffusion of previously available innovations depends on the introduction and adoption of interrelated current innovations

innovation firm size and growth in a centralized organization the optimal innovation firm size and growth are derived for a centrally controlled firm in which only the entrepreneur evaluates and restores current projects or evaluates and adopts new projects current projects are subject to failure due to entry and possible obsolescence while new projects may not be successful the optimal allocation of attention implies bounds on firm size and that the rate of innovation depends not only on monopoly profits firm size and technological opportunity but also on the probability of obsolescence the effects of monopoly power and firm size on innovation also depend on the degree of obsolescence

a review of innovation research in tourism abstract over the past two decades there has been increasing focus on the topic of innovation in tourism this article reviews the research contributions various categories of innovation product process managerial marketing and institutional are addressed important determinants of innovation are acknowledged including the role of entrepreneurship technology push and the existence of territorial industry clusters representation of knowledge is also identified as a critical factor for both the occurrence and nature of innovations the review reveals that there is still only limited systematic and comparable empirical evidence of the level of innovative activities and their impacts and wider implications for destinations and national economies an agenda for future research is emerging suggesting that there is quest for both formal quantification and for qualitative studies of the foundations processes implications and policies of innovation in tourism

information and economic analysis a perspective ten years ago i delivered a paper before this group with the title information and economic analysis i chose the title deliberately i did not call the subject on which i was speaking the economics of information because to do so would have been to suggest that my topic like the economics of agriculture or the economics of industry or the economics of labour represented another branch of specialisation within economics i wanted to suggest that informational considerations were in fact central to the analysis of a wide variety of phenomena that they constituted a central part of the foundations of economic analysis at the time though economists had long paid lip service to the importance of information there was little formal literature the last decade has seen a burgeoning of the literature it has become to the late 7o s and early 8o s what growth theory was to the early 6o s and it has been greeted with some of the same scepticism there seems to be a myriad ofspecial cases and few general principles the little examples are often contrasted unfavourably with the generality of general equilibrium theory what have we learned have diminishing returns set in are there fruitful directions for future research and if so what are they these are the questions which i wish to address here the work of the past decade has made i think a fundamental and lasting contribution to economic analysis the contributions have been both negative and positive we have learned that much of what we believed before is of only limited validity that the traditional competitive equilibrium analysis though having the superficial appearance of generality in terms of superscripts and subscripts is indeed not very general the theory is not robust to slight alterations in the informational assumptions it is but a special and not very plausible example among the possible set of informational assumptions which can be employed to characterise an economy at the same time the theory has been able to provide insights into phenomena about which the traditional model had nothing to say or which seemed inconsistent or inexplicable within the competitive paradigm it has provided some of the micro foundations for macro economics it has provided the basis of a new theory of the firm of a new new welfare economics and of a theory of economic organisation including a comparison of economic

is demand pulled innovation equally important in different groups of firms previous empirical literature has tested the demand pull hypothesis and found that innovation may be driven by output using a balanced panel of 216 italian manufacturing firms 1995 2000 and checking for the path dependent nature of r d we find a role of sales in inducing r d however the demand pull effect plays a varying role for different sub samples of firms exporting firms liquidity constrained firms not subsidised firms and those not heading a group seem to be sensitive to sales in deciding r d these results have been obtained using a least squares dummy variable corrected estimator a recent panel data technique suitable for small samples

do short term objectives lead to under or overinvestment in long term projects we examine managerial investment decisions in the presence of imperfect information and short term managerial objectives prior research has argued that such an environment induces managers to underinvest in long run projects we show that short term objectives and imperfect information may also lead to overinvestment and we identify how the direction of the distortion depends upon the type of informational imperfection present when investors cannot observe the level of investment in the long run project suboptimal investment will be induced when investors can observe investment but not its productivity however overinvestment will occur there has been in recent years substantial public debate on the question of whether the long run investment decisions of the managers of publicly traded companies may be distorted by market pressures recent work by economists has tried to identify the potential source and nature of such distortions research has naturally focused on situations that are characterized by i short term managerial objectives the managers are concerned not only with the firm s long run stock price but also with the firm s short run stock price due to incentive schemes or the fear of losing control and ii imperfect information the market has less information than the firm s managers about the firm s long run projects the results of this research have indicated that in some situations short term objectives and imperfect information may lead to underinvestment in long run projects this paper seeks to extend prior work on the effects of short term objectives and imperfect information on long run investment decisions we demonstrate that imperfect information together with an emphasis on a firm s short run valuation may lead not only to underinvestment but also to overinvestment in long run projects the direction of the distortion depends

industrial policy changes and firm level technological capability development evidence from northern brazil summary much has been written about the impacts of the policy changes of the 1990s on industrial performance particularly in latin america most of the studies are based on aggregated analyses that argue for or against such reforms in the policy regime this study offers an alternative view to this debate based on a longitudinal empirical scrutiny of technological capability development in 46 local and foreign firms from three sectors in northern brazil there were inter sector and inter firm variations in terms of the manner and rate of capability development for specific technical functions overall the patterns of firm level capability development exhibited a positive response to the structural reforms but such responses were not a mere consequence of trade openness a combination of government policy foreign competition and intra firm capability building efforts proved essential for speeding up capability development in some of the sampled firms thus policies for accelerating industrial technological capability development in a developing area such as the one examined here would involve not only macro level incentives and competition but very importantly measures that facilitate intra firm capability building efforts

imitation costs and patents an empirical study it has long been recognised that the costs of imitating new products have an important effect on the incentives for innovation in a market economy as arrow i962 and others have pointed out if firms can imitate an innovation at a cost that is substantially below the cost to the innovator of developing the innovation there may be little or no incentive for the innovator to carry out the innovation in their discussions of the innovation process economists frequently have called attention to the major role played by the costs of imitation but there has been little or no attempt to measure these costs to test various hypotheses concerning the factors influencing them or to estimate their effects in this paper we report some findings of what seems to be the first study of this topic in addition we present data regarding the effects of patents on imitation costs and on the rate of innovation

the bright and dark side of staging investment performance and the varying motivations of private equity firms previous papers that examined investment decisions by private equity funds are divided on whether staging has a positive or negative effect on returns we believe these opposing views can be reconciled by studying when staging is used during the life of the investment relationship we find that staging has a positive effect on investment returns in the beginning of the investment relationship consistent with the notion that staging helps mitigate information asymmetry however staging appears to be negatively associated with returns when used prior to the exit decision our unique dataset allows us to measure these intertemporal effects precisely

convergence to symmetry in dynamic strategic models of r d the undiscounted case abstract will r d increase or decrease the asymmetry between firms over time we examine this issue in the context of a dynamic alternate move duopoly model of non cooperative r d the asymmetry we consider is with respect to the initial stocks of technological knowledge which provides one firm a greater potential for current and future profits in the product market utilizing a value loss process constructed from the optimality equation of dynamic programming we show that for the undiscounted case the asymmetry between the firms disappears over time we obtain this convergence to symmetry result by imparting a temporal character to r d through the notion that r d investment cannot be changed instantaneously by allowing research externalities complementarity or substitutability between own and appropriated r d and either increasing decreasing or constant returns to scale in the production of technical knowledge from own and rival r d

the r d performance through time of young high technology firms methodology and an illustration abstract this paper summarizes the pilot stage of a microeconomic study of the innovation performance through time of young high technology israeli firms it reports some results for a successful firm designing producing and selling electronic instruments and systems the paper begins by surveying some of the difficulties surrounding the collection and organization of data on r d projects one of them concerns the definition of the unit for analysis the r d project three criteria are suggested for dividing the stream for innovative activities into r d projects and these are applied to group the tens of products accessories and systems included in the analysis into nine projects the paper subsequently defines a measure of direct project performance or profitability estimate discounted operating profits per unit of fixed costs and provides estimates based on r d and sales data for the products of each project the final sections analyze the variation of project profitability through time the increasing profitability observed across generations of a product class is attributed to the adaptability of the firm to changes in the environment particularly to the availability of new technology which requires the swift design and sale of more complex products the qualitative history of the various projects suggests that this adaptability is due to a large extent to the skills infrastructure and reputation of the firm accumulated from prior projects i e that the indirect profitability of the latter is high some estimates of the indirect profitability of early projects are presented a comparison of the spin off mechanisms observed in the firm analyzed with those observed in firms of other industries is also undertaken

information acquisition and the adoption of new technology the profitability of a new technology is rarely known with certainty at its announcement date consequently prior to making an adoption decision it behooves the firm considering the adoption of this innovation to reduce the level of uncertainty associated with its profitability the firm accomplishes this by sequentially gathering information updating its prior estimate of profitability in a bayesian manner quantifying the uncertainty regarding the innovation permits application of dynamic programming techniques criteria are derived which tell the firm when to stop collecting information and make the adoption decision it will be shown that it is optimal for the firm to continue to collect information until its estimate of profitability crosses one of two thresholds upon crossing the upper threshold the firm adopts the technology whereas the firm rejects the technology if the lower threshold is crossed the model predicts that even the manager who behaves optimally will occasionally adopt unprofitable technologies and reject profitable ones

managerial legacies entrenchment and strategic inertia this paper argues that the legacy potential of a firm s strategy is an important deter minant of ceo compensation turnover and strategy change a legacy makes ceo replacement expensive because firm performance can only partially be attributed to a newly employed manager boards may therefore optimally allow an incumbent to be entrenched moreover when a firm changes strategy it is optimal to change the ceo because the incumbent has a vested interest in seeing the new strategy fail even though ceos have no specific skills in our model legacy issues can explain the empirical association between ceo and strategy change this paper proposes a model of ceo replacement and puts forward a novel determinant for turnover decisions the legacy potential of a firm s strategy we mean by this the extent to which a manager s decisions affect future firm cash flows potentially beyond the manager s own tenure the replacement of a ceo is arguably one of the most important decisions a firm takes yet the theoretical and empirical finance literature has relatively little to say about the firm and manager specific characteristics that lead to one manager being fired and replaced by another as brickley 2003 points out the only variable that predicts turnover empirically is poor firm performance but it has little pre dictive power theoretical papers on managerial turnover tend to reduce ceo successions to a sequence of static interactions see below for more details as such they do not distinguish between a ceo who is hired and can start a fresh project or one who is constrained in this choice because he inherits a prede cessor s long term strategy our paper focuses on this latter phenomenon and investigates turnover decisions when strategy choices have a legacy potential the fact that a dynamic link exists between a ceo and his predecessor is probably more recognized in the accounting literature than in finance pourciau both authors are from the toulouse school of economics and the institut d administration des

demand dynamics with socially evolving preferences in this work we first identify a few stylized facts concerning microconsumption acts second building on them we develop a simple model of boundedly rational consumers who endogenously evolve their preferences via both innovation and social imitation third we explore some statistical properties of the demand patterns generated by the model which despite its simplicity are surprisingly in line with the empirical evidence these results we suggest bring encouraging support to microfoundations of demand theory based on cognitive and behavioral foundations more in tune with the psychological and sociological evidence based on heterogeneous agents who are much less rational and much more social than in standard theory and who collectively discover along the way what they like within a growing universe of available commodities

small firms social capital and the enhancement of business performance through innovation programmes the paper explores the extent to which social capital is advantageous to small and medium enterprise sme growth social capital is a communal property involving civic engagement associational membership high trust reliability and reciprocity in social networks it is capable of being identified in social political and economic contexts often associated with strong communities however not all strong communities exert the effects of social capital in respect of business activities this paper assesses government programmes to promote collaboration amongst smes for improving innovation capacity by increasing social capital through networking it shows that for a sizeable proportion of programme funded firms in denmark ireland and wales u k social capital building was associated with enhanced business knowledge and innovation performance of particular importance was the opportunity afforded to firms for linkage with external innovation networks and the build up of embeddedness or the institutional basis for the enhancement of social capital as a consequence of discovering the advantages of social capital over a third of respondents planned to continue to develop it in future in many cases funding such activities privately rather than calling on the public purse

the political economy of international trade enduring puzzles and an agenda for inquiry a similar set of concepts has been central to the literatures on the formation of trade policy coalitions and the new economics of institutions the political and economic consequences of the degree to which assets are specific to a particular economic activity in this survey the authors take the necessary first step of summarizing the main findings of these two literatures and then suggest ways in which the issue might be joined in addition to providing a more coherent understanding of the findings of these two literatures and some new directions for them the authors show that many puzzles remain in the field of trade politics puzzles for which there are no appealing answers or where there are answers no strong evidence in support of them this essay then in addition to being a theoretical review of the literature puts forward an agenda for future study of international trade politics

optimal timing of technology adoption abstract in a dynamic programming framework this paper investigates the optimal timing of technology adoption by a competitive firm when technology choice is irreversible and the firm faces a stochastic innovation process with uncertainties about both the speed of the arrival and the degree of improvement of new technologies a numerical example illustrates how the optimal timing decision is affected by changes in parameter values reflecting market conditions the firm s initial technological attributes and the characteristics of the stochastic innovation process some of these effects turn out to be in sharp contrast to common intuition contrasting the optimal decision rule derived here with the rule obtained under the net present value shows that the former implies a slower pace of adoption than implied by the latter the optimal decision rule is generalized for the case of multiple technology switches and it is shown that for all the switching decisions except the last one the optimal rule satisfies the net present value criterion

basic research inside the firm lessons from an in depth case study abstract the economic analysis of basic research in firms has been a growing concern but only a few attempts have been made to understand the realities which characterize the implementation of this activity in an in depth case study this paper considers the organisational specificities of basic research inside the firm and emphasizes the strategic role of human resources it shows that the process of innovation which was seen in the 1970s as a stock of information to be managed became during the 1980s a sequential learning process which covers a variety of different but complementary organizational designs in the basic research unit on this basis some analytical implications for technology and innovation processes are suggested as the production process is a sequential learning process an innovative firm strategy is defined as one which is able to balance short and long terms requirements with regard to profitability this appears as an out of equilibrium problem where the crucial determinant is the organizational design chosen by the firm in order to generate and implement new learning and skills

corporate takeovers the efficiency arguments in recent years the tender offer takeover has been praised and damned with a ferocity suggesting that the survival of capitalism is at stake the truth as in most disputes with substantial metaphysical content is more prosaic some takeovers enhance economic efficiency some degrade it and the balance of effects though not fully known is most likely a close one in this essay i try to lay bare the debate s foundations and bring it back to earth with an injection of evidence

sectoral systems of innovation and production the concept sectoral system of innovation and production provides a multidimensional integrated and dynamic view of sectors it is proposed that a sectoral system is a set of products and the set of agents carrying out market and non market interactions for the creation production and sale of those products a sectoral systems has a specific knowledge base technologies inputs and demand agents are individuals and organizations at various levels of aggregation they interact through processes of communication exchange co operation competition and command and these interactions are shaped by institutions a sectoral system undergoes change and transformation through the co evolution of its various elements 2002 elsevier science b v all rights reserved

economic history and the modern economist in this book nine economists and economic historians express their concern for the present state of economics and its development in the future from a variety of different approaches these scholars reassert the importance of economic history in the training of economists and urge that this perspective should not be lost in the future

on the diffusion of new technology a game theoretic approach this paper is an attempt at a rigorous albeit not exceedingly general analysis of the diffusion of new technology in particular consider an industry composed of two firms each using the current best practice technology the firms are assumed to be operating at nash equilibrium output levels generating a market price given demand and profit allocations when a cost reducing innovation is announced each firm must determine when if ever to adopt it based in part upon the discounted cost of implementing the new technology and in part upon the behavior of the rival firm if either firm adopts before the other it can expect to make substantial profits at the expense of the other firm on the other hand the discounted sum of purchase price and adjustment costs may decline with the lengthening of the adjustment period as various quasi fixed factors become more easily variable therefore although waiting costs the firm more in terms of foregone profits it may save money on the cost of purchasing the new technology thus the firm must weigh the costs and benefits of delaying adoption as well as take account of its rival s strategic behavior

asset specificity and the political behavior of firms lobbying for subsidies in norway previous research into endogenous trade policy has described extensively the political incentives of firms with specific assets but no studies have shown directly that firms behave as predicted we adopt insights from transaction costs economics to develop measures of asset specificity and to investigate how variation in these measures affects the political behavior of firms in particular we examine the lobbying choices of norwegian firms in the 1980s given available subsidy funds from norway s oil boom and some government decisions in the 1970s firms with more specific assets faced potentially greater losses from adjusting to new activities in the face of competitive pressures and thus had greater incentives to lobby for subsidies to protect themselves joint contacting of parliament and government on behalf of firm interests by representatives of both management and labor should be particularly likely where firms had specific assets data analysis shows that asset specificity as indicated by r d intensity and job immobility predicts joint contacting independently of plausible alternative explanatory variables like firm size and export orientation

does cheaper faster or better imply sooner in the timing of innovation decisions a common myth conception based upon the notion of increasing returns to scale in r d activity is that large firms account for a disproportionate share of innovations in this paper we consider three types of informational returns to scale cheaper faster and better and examine the impact of each on the timing of the firm s innovation decision contrary to popular conception the decision is made later when information is cheaper and the change in timing is unsignable in the case of faster arrival of information only more accurate better information leads to earlier decisions

the significance of sell off profitability in explaining the market reaction to divestiture announcements abstract previous research on asset sales has emphasized the divestment motivation and the use of the proceeds from the sale as determinants of selling firm value gains in contrast this paper explores the extent to which the relevant information necessary to evaluate sell offs is embodied in the profitability of the sale i e the price received by the seller over the value in use of the divested assets where the latter is a function of past operating earnings and book value our empirical results show that sell off profitability is substantially more significant in explaining the market reaction to divestiture announcements than the previous literature has suggested we provide strong evidence of a positive relation between selling firm abnormal returns during sell off announcements and profit on the sale which remains significant after controlling for the motivation behind the sell off the use of the proceeds from the sale and the presence of agency costs of managerial discretion we conclude that sell off profitability explains a major portion of selling firm abnormal returns and is one of the most significant determinants of the market reaction to divestiture announcements

multiplant firms and innovation adoption and diffusion 1 introductionone empirical regularity associated with the adoption of new technology is that large firms tend to adopt sooner than small firms e g see davies 1979 mansfield 1968 mansfield et al 1982 stoneman 1983 1995 or hoppe 2002 the usual explanation of course is that large firms expect a greater return from adoption than small firms however large firms do not always adopt first as can be seen from the diffusion of several new processes in the u s steel industry the basic oxygen furnace and continuous casting adams and mueller 1982 and thin slab casting ghemawat 1993 1995 this article develops a new theoretical model of innovation adoption and diffusion that explains why large firms tend to adopt first but admits conditions under which small firms adopt first the analysis focuses on the adoption of an innovation of uncertain profitability when a firm s size is measured by the number of plants it operates as is well known one reason for operating multiple plants is production costs that are increasing at the margin another reason is the existence of economies of multiplant operations cost savings that result solely from the operation of multiple plants theoretical and empirical support for these economies is mixed theoretically the operation of multiple plants can allow savings in nonproduction costs such as transportation distribution and inventory it can also allow economies of massed reserves cost savings associated with retaining proportionately fewer spare parts backup machines and repair persons in reserve information sharing between plants can reduce production and adoption costs however multiplant operation can also result in greater information costs van zandt and radner 2001 show that because information processing takes time computational constraints limit the amount of information that can be used in reaching a decision this informational crowding out effect can result in decreasing returns to size or diseconomies of multiplant operation in a seminal wide ranging study scherer et al 1975 find little empirical evidence in support of multiplant economies moreover when these economies do exist they involve savings in nonproduction costs more recently in their comparative study of the performance of light water nuclear reactor power plants in the united states and france lester and mccabe 1993 do find empirical support for production cost savings due to information sharing about learning by doing between plants in his study of the adoption of thin slab casting in the steel industry ghemawat 1995 1997 finds that nucor achieved cost savings due to information sharing between plants regarding both construction and production costs however he attributes these multiplant economies to specific aspects of nucor s organizational structure and observes that other steel firms with different organizational structures did not achieve these same cost savings given these conflicting results the analysis in this article assumes that if there are multiplant economies they take the form of savings in nonproduction costs in this case a large firm need not have a greater incentive to adopt first its increase in profit from the adoption of a success in all its plants is certainly greater however the existence of nonproduction cost economies can reduce the incentive of a large firm to adopt first suppose there are two firms a large firm with two plants and a small firm with one plant also suppose that when the innovation is first installed in a plant the adopter must shut down that plant for a finite amount of time in order to learn if the innovation is a success or not this shut down time can be considered as an experimental period during which the firm trains workers produces and tests prototypes attempts to overcome any problems associated with the use of the new technology or makes any necessary changes in its existing organization

towards an economic theory of the multiproduct firm this paper outlines a theory of the multiproduct firm important building blocks include excess capacity and its creation market imperfections and the peculiarities of organizational knowledge including its fungible and taut character a framework is adopted in which profit seeking firms are seen to diversify in order to avoid the high transactions costs associated with using various markets to trade the services of various specialized assets neoclassical explanations of the multiproduct firm are shown to be seriously deficient

why hang on to losers divestitures and takeovers we study the divestiture decisions of managers who care about their reputations managers divestiture and investment decisions are publicly observable but managers privately observe signals with respect to the future payoff distribution of investments they have initiated we establish that in equilibrium there is too little divestiture these inefficiencies create the opportunity for wealth enhancing divestiture motivated takeovers a key result is that only managers of targets with middle of the road asset specificity should consider the takeover threat credible these findings suggest that uniqueness of assets is an important determinant of both agency costs and takeover activity our analysis leads to several empirical predictions overwhelming empirical evidence has documented large gains in shareholder wealth that arise from takeovers jarrell brickley and netter 1988 and jensen and ruback 1983 the source of these gains has remained elusive however although takeovers are followed by some infusion of new managerial talent we have not witnessed the kind of profound post takeover restructuring of the productive activities of target firms that would readily justify the documented wealth gains a commonly observed post takeover initiative is divestiture of some of the target s lines of business bhide 1989 and bhagat shleifer and vishny 1990 what is puzzling is that if the gains from takeovers stem from the anticipation of such divestitures then why were these divestitures not undertaken by the target firm s management in the first place the purpose of this paper is to provide a possible answer to this question our focus is on the divergence in incentives between managers and shareholders with respect to divestitures of ongoing projects we show that managers might rationally decide to hang on to projects that should be divested in

random walks and sustained competitive advantage strategy is concerned with sustained interfirm profitability differences observations of such sustained differences are often attributed to unobserved systematic a priori differences in firm characteristics this paper shows that sustained interfirm profitability differences may be very likely even if there are no a priori differences among firms as a result of the phenomenon of long leads in random walks even a random resource accumulation process is likely to produce persistent resource heterogeneity and sustained interfirm profitability differences a cournot model in which costs follow a random walk shows that such a process could produce evidence of substantial persistence of profitability the results suggest that persistent profitability does not necessarily provide strong evidence for systematic a priori differences among firms nevertheless since the phenomenon of long leads is highly unrepresentative of intuitive notions of random sequences such evidence may still be persuasive

product innovation and the decision to invest in fixed capital assets evidence from an sme survey in six european union member states abstract this work explores the relationship between product innovation and the decision to invest in fixed capital assets among a sample of smes in six european union countries located in both peripheral and more central areas we find that the presence of product innovation reduces the probability to invest a firm s size exerts a direct inverted u shape effect on the probability to invest and an indirect effect through the linear effect of size on the probability to innovate the gap in the probability to invest between innovative and non innovative firms increases with size

alternative mechanisms for corporate control we examine performance and management characteristics of fortune 500 firms experiencing one of three types of control change internally precipitated management turnover hostile takeover and friendly takeover we find that firms experiencing internally precipitated management turnover perform poorly relative to other firms in their industries but are not concentrated in poorly performing industries in contrast targets of hostile takeovers are concentrated in troubled industries there is also weaker evidence that hostile takeover targets underperform their industry peers we interpret this evidence as consistent with the idea that the board of directors is capable of firing managers whose leadership leads to poor performance relative to industry but that an external challenge in the form of a hostile takeover is often required when the whole industry is in decline the evidence also indicates that firms run by a member of the founding family are less likely to experience either internally precipitated top management turnover or a hostile takeover on the other hand firms whose top management team is dominated by a single relatively young top executive while lacking in internal discipline are more likely to experience a hostile takeover this abstract was borrowed from another version of this item this abstract was borrowed from another version of this item

managerial incentives and capital management the paper shows how career concerns rather than effort aversion can induce a natural incongruity in risk preferences between managers and superiors a model based on learning about managerial talent is developed to study second best contractual remedies we show that the optimal wage contract is an option of the value of the manager s human capital for insurance reasons and that consequently rationing of capital is often required to counterbalance the manager s resulting incentive to overinvest rationing is strictly superior to price decentralization offering one reason for the prevalence of centralized capital budgeting procedures

technological cooperative agreements and firm s r d intensity a note on causality relations abstract in this paper we apply a recently proposed model of vector autoregression for panel data to analyse the granger causality relationship between a firm s intramural r d intensity and technological cooperative agreements the analysis relies on a sample composed of 95 major us european and japanese firms in the semiconductor data processing and telecommunications industries observed during the period 1980 1986 decisions on interfirm technological collaborations are shown to cause a la granger decisions on internal r d investments and vice versa we thus suggest that in contrast with the methodological approaches followed by previous empirical works firms decisions concerning both intramural innovative effort and technological cooperation are endogenous and have to be jointly studied through a simultaneous two equation structural model

crossing the innovation threshold through mergers and acquisitions firms are resorting more and more to mergers and acquisitions m a to bridge the gap between where they are and where they would like to be in relation to innovation and performance this paper investigates whether involvement in m a triggers distinct patterns of innovative behaviour across firms and whether this effect is conditional on firm size the analysis combines data from four waves of the community innovation survey cis and the business register of dutch manufacturing firms we observe that m as influence the probability that firms will begin innovation activities or persist with them and these effects vary at different points in the firm size distribution in particular by using m a firms are able to persist with the innovation efforts and output over time and this effect is especially strong for large firms for small firms m a help them to cross the innovation threshold increasing the probability of the transition from a non innovator to an active innovator however the m a effect does not mitigate the tendency of small firms to be occasional innovators

the effect of voluntary sell off announcements on shareholder wealth sell off activities arise when a firm sells part of its assets e g a segment a division etc but continues to exist in essentially the same form this study investigates the effect of voluntary sell offs on stock returns from a sample of over 1000 sell off events first public announcements the evidence shows that both sellers and buyers earn significant positive excess returns from these transactions the excess returns earned by buyers are smaller than those earned by sellers there is also evidence that sell off announcements are preceded by a period of significant negative returns for the sellers which suggests that the sellers on average performed poorly prior to their sell off activities substantial research has been undertaken in recent years on mergers acquisitions tender offers capital structure changes and other financial planning topics this research has considerably expanded our knowledge about the association of these decisions with the welfare of the stockholders involved in these transactions selling a portion of the firm s assets is another important financial planning decision 2 this paper investigates the effect of voluntary sell off announcements on shareholder wealth a sell off is defined as selling part of a firm s assets e g a segment a division etc while the firm continues to exist in essentially the same form as that prior to the sell off this study does not examine the effects of involuntary ordered by the government sell offs and other similar activities such as spin offs leveraged buy outs liquidations reorganizations etc 3