the dynamic effects of government spending policies in a two sector endogenous growth model this paper investigates the impact of government spending policies in a two sector model of endogenous growth endogenous growth arises because all factors of production physical and human capital are reproducible both temporary and permanent government spending shocks are examined the model implies that a permanent lump sum financed increase in government spending raises the long run growth rate this occurs because the negative wealth effects of a spending increase will increase labor supply on the other hand an income tax or wage tax financed rise in government spending reduces the growth rate the output effects of a temporary increase in government spending may be greater or less than a permanent increase in spending copyright 1995 by ohio state university press

increasing the capital income tax may lead to faster growth this paper shows that under rather mild conditions higher capital income taxes lead to faster growth in an overlapping generations economy with endogenous growth government expenditures are financed with labor income taxes as well as capital income taxes since capital income accrues to the old taxing it reliefs the tax burden on the young and leaves them with more income out of which to save we argue that savings are sufficiently interest inelastic so that higher savings and therefore higher growth result the basic argument is not seriously challenged by a grandfather clause for initial capital or by the old receiving some labor income as well the reasoning is similar to feldstein 1978 auerbach 1979 and in particular jones and manuelli 1992 but in contrast to the conventional wisdom about the effect of capital income taxation as say in lucas 1990

on the optimality of the nordic system of dual income taxation abstract in recent years the nordic countries have introduced a so called dual income tax which combines a proportional tax on capital income with progressive taxation of labour income the paper argues that this asymmetric treatment of the two types of income can be defended on pure efficiency grounds because the progressivity of the labour income tax serves to reduce the private return to human capital investment thereby offsetting the tendency of a proportional comprehensive income tax to discriminate in favour of such investment the analysis is based on an overlapping generations model of a small open economy where consumers face a trade off between investment in human capital and investment in non human capital extended versions of the model allow for liquidity constraints and an endogenous labour leisure choice

education overlapping generations and the existence of equilibrium abstract we describe a simple aggregative model the essential features of which are that individuals are mortal overlapping generations and can invest in their own training human capital it is shown by example that if expectations are rational then there may be a unique steady state but no competitive path starting away from the steady state

uniqueness and indeterminacy on the dynamics of endogenous growth abstract in this paper we study the dynamics of endogenous growth both in the model of lucas and in a generalization that incorporates a labor leisure choice we characterize the regions of the parameter space that give rise to unique equilibria as well as the regions that yield a continuum of equilibria with positive growth rates we find that such multiple equilibria exist for empirically very plausible parameters in particular when the lucas model is modified to incorporate endogenous labor journal of economic literature numbers e00 e3 o40

macroeconomic consequences of farm support policies agricultural protectionism is a basic factor underlying the u s trade deficit third world debt and global underemployment yet despite the seriousness of the problem and attention given to it by many researchers little progress has been made in formulating and implementing policies to deal with it the scholars and experts here assembled present for the first time a quantification and analysis of the impact upon the world economy of reduction or elimination of agricultural protectionism they question why give the magnitude of the problem inferior policies endure despite the weight of evidence that they have failed the answer they derive is that there is no general understanding of the true cost of the failure and therefore it is necessary to initiate reform from outside agricultural circles

the economic cost of the cap revisited this paper reports estimates of the domestic economic cost of the common agricultural policy cap from computable general equilibrium simulations which incorporate imperfect competition in the non primary sectors as well as explicit modelling of agricultural protection imperfect competition is characterised to include hierarchical preferences addressing the notion of varietal diversity as an important decision variable in consumer behaviour results indicate that repeal of the cap would reduce varietal diversity in food processing in the eu causing utility losses however these would be countered by positive varietal effects in other sectors and by strong allocative effects the net cost of the cap to the eu is estimated at 0 2 of gross domestic product gdp for an individual member state the cost can be considerably larger as with the uk where the estimate is above 0 5 of gdp

factor income taxation in a horizontal innovation model we consider the optimal factor income taxation in a standard r d model with technical change represented by an increase in the variety of intermediate goods in the model there are externalities both to working and to saving due to market power by firms incomplete appropriability of the benefits of inventions and the cost of economic activity in terms of public expenditures redistributing the tax burden from labor to capital will increase employment but in most cases reduce the rate of growth with conflicting effects on the deadweight loss from the externalities under plausible calibrations of the model the optimal tax rate on capital will be sizable

growth effects of flat rate taxes recent estimates of the potential growth effects of tax reform vary wildly ranging from zero to eight percentage points using an endogenous growth model we assess which model features and parameter values are important for determining the quantitative impact of tax reform we find that the critical parameters are factor shares depreciation rates the elasticity of intertemporal substitution and the elasticity of labor supply the elasticities of substitution in production on the other hand are relatively unimportant the quantitative estimates in several recent papers are compared with each other and with some of the evidence from u s experience we find that robert lucas s conclusion that tax reform would have little or no effect on the u s growth rate is theoretically robust and consistent with the evidence

fiscal federalism and economic growth this paper uses an endogenous growth model with overlapping generations to explore the connection between fiscal federalism and economic growth the analysis shows that federalism which allows public good levels to be tailored to suit the differing demands of young and old consumers who live in different jurisdictions increases the incentive to save this stronger incentive in turn leads to an increase in investment in human capital and a byproduct of this higher investment is faster economic growth

progressive taxes equity and human capital accumulation in an endogenous growth model with overlapping generations abstract this paper explores the trade off between efficiency and intra and intergenerational equity in an endogenous growth model of an open economy with overlapping generations and human capital accumulation we demonstrate that progressive taxes hurt long run growth and exacerbate distortions associated with intergenerational spillovers however by raising saving these taxes strengthen the net foreign asset position

reform of the european union s common agricultural policy how to reach gatt compatibility abstract this paper studies the reform of the european union s common agricultural policy cap it examines three questions 1 1 do current reforms meet the targets specified in the uruguay round agreement 2 2 what additional reforms are needed to make cap gatt compatible and 3 3 does cap reform alleviate the eu s budgetary problem to investigate these issues we use a six region 13 sector computable general equilibrium model with explicitly modeled policies we find that cap reform worsens the eu s budgetary situation and does not meet the gatt targets we quantify support price reductions and quota increases needed to reach the targets

the effect of taxation on human capital this study finds a significant negative effect of proportional income taxation on human capital of the few earlier studies to address this issue most suggested a negligible effect of taxation on investment in human capital this earlier conclusion is shown to be incorrect by using a model that is more general in several respects than the models used previously

on the taxation of human and physical capital in models of endogenous growth abstract this paper studies the effects of factor income taxation and of subsidies to human capital accumulation in models of endogenous growth it examines in particular how these effects depend on the specification of the leisure activity and on the technology and tax treatment of the sector producing human capital it shows that the negative effects of factor income taxes on economic growth are stronger when the human capital sector is a market good under these circumstances a subsidy to human capital accumulation can offset the direct growth effects of labor taxation making it akin to a consumption tax the paper then briefly discusses the normative implications of the analysis for the optimal taxation of factor incomes

taxation and long run growth abstract a number of recent papers have investigated the growth effects of tax reforms in the context of neoclassical growth models with human capital growth effects were found to be large but highly sensitive to parameter choices this paper shows that growth effects are smaller and much less sensitive in models that generate realistic life cycle behavior which requires that households are finitely lived but generations may be altruistically linked and face diminishing point in time returns in human capital accumulation reasonable upper bounds for growth effects in such models are less than one third of some values reported in the literature

the economics of schooling production and efficiency in public schools n recent years public and professional interest in schools has been heightened by a spate of reports many of them critical of current school policy these policy documents have added to persistent and long standing concerns about the cost effectiveness and fairness of the current school structure and have made schooling once again a serious public issue as in the past however any renewed interest in education is likely to be short lived doomed to dissipate as frustration over the inability of policy to improve school practice sets in this frustration about school policy relates directly to knowledge about the educational production process and in turn to underlying research on schools although the educational process has been extensively researched clear policy prescriptions flowing from this research have been difficult to derive 2 there exists however a consistency to the research findings that does have an immediate application to school policy schools differ dramatically in quality

tax structure and growth in a model with human capital abstract the effect of the tax structure on the long run growth rate of income and consumption is analyzed where tax structure refers to the mix of taxes on physical and human capital which satisfy an exogenously given government budget constraint the factor used intensively in the consumption good sector relative to the capital goods sector as a whole is taxed more highly in a growth maximizing tax structure an endogenous labor supply the tax treatment of depreciation and the effect of replacing the income tax with a consumption tax are all considered

factor income taxation and growth under asymmetric information abstract this paper studies the growth effects of factor income taxation on capital and labor in an endogenous growth model with overlapping generations capital accumulation in our model takes place through credit financed investments in a market with asymmetric information between lenders and borrowers we show that in the presence of asymmetric information capital income taxation worsens the adverse selection problem in the credit market which in turn introduces an additional adverse effect on growth in so doing our analysis provides a new argument in favor of a lower higher capital labor income taxation in funding public expenditures

on the optimal taxation of capital income abstract we show that in models in which labor services are supplied jointly with human capital the chamley and judd result on zero capital income taxation in the limit extends to labor taxes as long as accumulation technologies are constant returns to scale moreover for a class of widely used preferences consumption taxes are zero in the limit as well however we show by the construction of two examples that these results no longer hold for certains types of restrictions on tax rates or if there are profits generated journal of economic literatureclassification numbers e62 h21

optimal taxation and spending in general competitive growth models abstract we find that the optimal long run tax on capital income is zero even if the capital stock does not converge to a steady state nor to a steady state growth rate the optimal tax on human capital is also zero if human capital is not a final good but the long run wage tax is not generally zero we argue that consumption tax proposals such as the flat tax are not consumption taxes and are biased against human capital

new developments in applied general equilibrium analysis 1 introduction john piggott 2 hidden challenges in recent applied general equilibrium exercises john whalley 3 the measurement of waste and welfare in applied general equilibrium models erwin diewert 4 sensitivity analysis for linearized computable general equilibrium models adrian pagan and john shannon 5 the european economic community general equilibrium computations and the economic implications of membership john spencer 6 economic interdependence in the pacific basin a general equilibrium approach glenn harrison and larry kimbell 7 regional impacts of tariffs in canada preliminary results from a small dimensional numerical general equilibrium model richard jones john whalley and randall wigle 8 agricultural protection and market insulation policies applications of a dynamic multisectoral model tony chisholm and rodney tyers 9 a general equilibrium model of taxation that uses micro unit data with an application to the impact of instituting a flat rate income tax joel slemrod 10 consumption taxes foresight and welfare a computable general equilibrium analysis charles ballard and larry goulder 11 special purpose versions of a general purpose multisectoral model tax issues and the australian wine industry tony meagher brian parmenter russel rimmer and ken clements 12 general equilibrium analysis of economic policy dale jorgenson and daniel slesnick 13 the welfare cost of interest rate ceilings in developing countries a general equilibrium approach hasan imam 14 general equilibrium with price rigidities trien nguyen 15 short run macroeconomic closure in applied general equilibrium modelling experience from orani and agenda for further research russel cooper keith mclaren and alan powell 16 new developments in the application of general equilibrium models to economic history john james

taxation and growth with overlapping generations abstract this paper examines the growth effects of wage and interest income taxation in an endogenous growth model which is characterized by diminishing point in time returns in human capital producing technology and overlapping generations of two period lived individuals we show that the greater the long term learning time of individuals the more individuals inherit human capital from the previous generation we demonstrate that a flat rate wage tax stimulates economic growth while interest income taxation does not necessarily foster such growth intergenerational redistribution induces individuals to change both physical and human capital accumulation affecting the growth rate through changes in factor prices

practical policy evaluation abstract in the wake of the lucas 1976 the study of appropriate macroeconomic policy has largely focused on the comparison of different regimes rules in practice few policymakers are faced with making those kinds of choices i examine the problem of a policymaker making but one in a sequence of similar decisions my main result is that the policymaker s optimal response to the current state can be found by applying regression methods to past macroeconomic data i argue that macroeconomic policy evaluation intended to be of practical value should rely less on putatively structural macroeconomic models and more on regression based approaches

fiscal federalism decentralization and economic growth a meta analysis the theoretical literature on fiscal federalism has identified several channels through which government decentralization could affect economic growth much of the literature focuses on the efficiency aspects of a decentralized provision of public services but decentralization may also increase growth by raising the ability of the political system to innovate and carry out reforms in contrast some authors argue that decentralization increases corruption and government inefficiency and thus may diminish growth given this theoretical ambiguity several studies have attempted to identify the effect of decentralization on economic growth empirically over the last two decades we review and conduct a meta analysis of this empirical literature based on our analysis we point out open questions and discuss possible ways to answer them jel h77 043 c52 i introduction building on various theoretical contributions an empirical literature analyzing the effect of fiscal decentralization on economic growth has emerged since the 1990s the relevant studies vary as to whether they use cross sectional time series or panel data as to whether they rely on cross country or single country samples and they vary in estimation methods decentralization measures and sample composition given the size and heterogeneity of the empirical literature it is useful to review the individual studies and summarize their main findings conducting a comprehensive search we identify 31 published and unpublished studies on the effect of fiscal decentralization on economic growth each of these studies estimates several models resulting in over 400 individual estimates while we first review these studies in a traditional manner our main aim is to analyze these estimates quantitatively specifically the main contribution of this article is to offer a meta analysis of the empirical findings on fiscal decentralization and economic growth a meta analysis is a useful methodology in our context as it is difficult to obtain clear cut conclusions with only a traditional survey of empirical literature the individual studies vary substantially in their characteristics and correspondingly in the findings they report by conducting a meta analysis however we can identify how the idiosyncratic characteristics of a particular study relate to its findings the meta analysis approach thus addresses model uncertainty with regard to each individual estimate in addition it can also serve as a partial response to the methodological critique of empirical research on fiscal decentralization by rodden 2004 as it helps to clarify the quantitative effects of different decentralization measures and estimation techniques finally as meta analytical techniques are rarely used in economics we also aim at contributing to the further establishment of this methodology stanley 2001 2008 the next section briefly discusses the various theoretical arguments as to why fiscal decentralization may affect economic growth we then provide a short traditional survey of the empirical studies in section iii we review this literature more systematically and quantitatively in section iv in section v we report the results of meta regressions and discuss how the idiosyncratic characteristics of a given study are related to its specific findings finally section vi provides a discussion of the results and some conclusions ii how could fiscal federalism affect economic growth theoretical approaches within the framework of the solow swan model solow 1956 swan 1956 fiscal federalism may be associated with a different level of efficiency in governance than unitary systems leading to a different value of solow s a the level of technology a regime change toward federalism would then be associated with temporarily different growth rates and eventually different levels of income but not with persistent growth differences

aid growth and devolution summary this paper examines whether the degree of fiscal decentralization in aid receiving countries matters in explaining aid effectiveness the decentralization theorem predicts that the devolution of powers should increase aid effectiveness since local decision makers are better informed about local needs thereby decentralization may also have reverse effects e g through coordination problems excessive regulation administrative costs and local capture we use panel data for up to 60 countries and find that aid contributes to economic growth in centralized developing economies whereas it is less effective or even harmful in decentralized countries the cases of indonesia the philippines and uganda support our findings our results imply that donor countries should carefully consider how the two development instruments foreign aid and decentralization interact

factor shares in olg models of growth abstract in standard infinite horizon optimizing models of balanced growth aggregate savings are positively related to private rates of return on investment or for a given technology to the share of accumulated factors of production in aggregate income a relationship of opposite sign may however obtain in overlapping generations olg models where higher rates of return on older agents wealth imply lower disposable income for young laborers with high saving propensity this paper explores such issues in the context of a continuous time olg model deriving simple parametric restrictions conductive to results of either type and discussing how infinite horizon results may carry over to olg settings

externalities and dynamics in models of learning or doing this paper analyzes the dynamics of general equilibrium models with externalities in human capital accumulation which extends that of uzawa lucas multiple balanced growth paths with different growth rates and a continuum of equilibria with a unique balanced growth path may exist in general endowment shocks can be followed by higher or lower growth rates a simple necessary and sufficient condition which depends only on the physical production technology is established for a positive impact of physical capital on productivity growth under the same condition a sudden removal of capital income taxation lowers welfare copyright 1993 by economics department of the university of pennsylvania and the osaka university institute of social and economic research association

analysis of a two sector model of endogenous growth with capital income taxation this paper addresses a two sector model of endogenous growth in which one sector produces final goods and the other produces new human capital both sectors employ human as well as physical capital under constant returns to scale technologies unlike existing studies of this type of model that have mostly concentrated on steady state analysis or on numerical simulations of calibrated models this paper presents an analytical argument concerning the dynamic behavior of the growth path and the effects of capital income taxation in and out of the steady growth equilibrium it is demonstrated that the dynamic behavior of the economy and some policy effects depend heavily upon the magnitude of factor intensity used in each production sector copyright 1996 by economics department of the university of pennsylvania and the osaka university institute of social and economic research association