forest incomes and rural livelihoods in chiradzulu district malawi abstract this paper examines forest income among rural dwellers in one of malawi s most densely populated districts chiradzulu 160 households were interviewed in two sites only 20 km apart purposely selected on the basis of access to a forest reserve people are extremely poor with 97 having incomes of less than 1 usd day forest income constitutes around 15 of total income only non farm income 47 and agriculture 28 rank higher the poorest segment depends more on forest income than the least poor group but the medium income group exhibits the highest dependence fuelwood constitutes the major source of such income followed by fodder the incomes mainly support current consumption people with better access to the forest reserve have higher total income forest income and relative forest income as revealed through a gini coefficient analysis forest resources have an important income equalizing effect across rural households a particular group of resource poor farmers 8 1 of sample with little access to agricultural land and a high representation of female heads derives an average of 65 of their income from the forest an important policy lesson is that restricting people s access to forest resources can have substantial effects on household livelihoods and welfare and would serve to increase income inequalities in the area livelihood researchers should now recognize the substantial income from forest resources

the environmental economic impact of woodland a two stage hedonic price model of the amenity value of forestry in britain woodland is an important part of the environment providing economic benefits through its use in commercial timber production and through its value as an amenity as well as providing recreation for visitors woodland is also important to local residents for whom it provides leisure opportunities and a source of aesthetic enjoyment it is well known that the price of a house may reflect a household s willingness to pay to live near an environmental amenity such as a forest and to gain access to it the nature of this relationship may be examined by applying the hedonic price technique an econometric method which investigates house prices and the variation in structural and environment characteristics over space this study uses a two stage hedonic price model to explore the impact of forest type on house price and to estimate the demand for broadleaved woodland for a sample of houses adjacent to forestry commission land

private values of risk tradeoffs at superfund sites housing market evidence on learning about risk this paper incorporates a bayesian learning model into a hedonic framework to estimate the value that residents place on avoiding cancer risks from hazardous waste sites we show that residents are

partial identification of amenity demand functions this paper presents a new hedonic framework for reduced form estimation of the demand for spatially delineated nonmarket amenities we begin from a conventional model of market equilibrium where an amenity is conveyed to homeowners by virtue of their residential location choices different housing markets may have different hedonic price functions due to variation across markets in the joint distribution of preferences income regulations and technology in this setting taste based sorting within and across markets confounds point identification of reduced form descriptions for amenity demand curves however we demonstrate that basic knowledge of the sorting process is sufficient to construct instruments that identify bounds on demand curves bounds on demand curves can be translated into ranges of welfare measures for non marginal changes in amenities we find these ranges to be potentially informative in a demonstrative application to evaluating the benefits of improved lake water clarity in the northeast

identification of strategies to improve goat marketing in the lowlands of ethiopia a hedonic price analysis abstractthis article aims at identifying factors that determine market prices of goats and analyse potential mechanisms by which smallholder goat producers could maximize their benefits data on 35

monte carlo benchmarks for discrete response valuation methods this paper argues that the belief that discrete contingent valuation cv questions yield substantially larger estimates of the mean and the median willingness to pay wtp for nonmarket resources in comparison to open ended cv questions is unfounded monte carlo experiments estimate the factors influencing the performance of wtp estimates based on discrete response models most of the error arises from the specification errors common to the empirical models in the literature these experiments suggest models where wtp is dominated by nonuse or passive use values are likely to have smaller errors than where large use values influence these decisions

the significance of quality differences for the united states and canada wheat trade some insights are provided as to why the united states the fifth largest wheat producer in the world imports a significant amount of wheat from canada after reviewing intra industry trade theory and the relevant empirical constructs an implicit price function of the import demand for wheat focusing on the physical and intrinsic characteristics of wheat is estimated the results are revealing there is a premium for the protein content and the percentage of heat damaged kernels in wheat clearly the fact that wheat is a differentiated commodity possessing a mix of physical and intrinsic characteristics together with price considerations helps to explain why the import of canadian wheat by the united states exists and why this became a significant issue in 1993

is what you see what you get the value of natural landscape views views of natural areas and green space may have value quite apart from access to those lands using 25 years of home sales data from st louis county missouri and modern geographic information system tools to measure views we estimate a hedonic property fixed effects model that captures the effects of changing land cover on house sale prices unlike previous studies our approach minimizes bias from omitted variables and uniquely captures changes over time we find that forest views negatively affect home prices whereas farmland views have positive effects changes in relative scarcity of these land types over time may explain the findings

not the opium of the people income and secularization in a panel of prussian counties the interplay between religion and the economy has occupied social scientists for a long time we construct a unique panel of income and protestant church attendance for 175 prussian counties in 1886 1911 the data reveal a marked decline in church attendance secularization coinciding with increasing income the cross section also shows a negative association between income and church attendance but the association disappears when using the panel structure in first differenced models of the 1886 1911 change counties with larger increases in income did not see significantly larger reductions in church attendance in panel models with county and time fixed effects counties with earlier increases in income than others did not see earlier reductions in church attendance and in panel granger causality tests initial income is not related to lower subsequent church attendance or vice versa these findings cast doubt on causal interpretations of the religion economy nexus during this important phase of secularization in prussia i concepts

divergence in alternative hicksian welfare measures the case of revealed preference for public amenities this paper investigates the divergence between the two hicksian welfare measures of non traded amenity improvement associated with housing first the hicksian surplus measures for amenity changes are analytically developed based on explicit specification of utility structures a hedonic two stage approach is then applied to empirically show that for quantity changes in contrast to hypothetical markets divergence in real market is small the paper also analytically develops expressions for the income and substitution effects and empirically shows that for a given income effect the greater the substitution effect the smaller the divergence between the two measures copyright 2002 john wiley sons ltd

average derivative estimation of hedonic price models conventional parametric techniques for estimatinghedonic price models require a correct functionalform in this paper we side step this parametricshortcoming by estimating a hedonic price model usingaverage derivative estimation ade thissemiparametric approach produces robust estimates ofthe marginal effects without assuming a specificfunctional form a priori in our application ofthe model to a unique data set on korean home prices ade produced estimates consistent with priorexpectations providing initial evidence that themodel may represent a viable alternative when usingthe hedonic approach

paying for quietness the impact of noise on geneva rents using the hedonic approach this paper analyses housing market data to infer the impact of noise on rents in geneva switzerland using three different databases including a geographical information system gis structural accessibility and environmental variables were obtained for a large proportion of apartments rented in geneva the paper is thus in line with the new generation hedonic models which exploit the vast potential of gis to obtain large databases including detailed characteristics of the apartments in addition different and original measures of noise were used in order to assess possible differences of the noise impact on rents while existing studies typically refer to a single noise index this paper assesses the impacts of noise related to all sources but also to airport noise only while existing studies usually refer to road or aircraft noise the results can be summarised as follows first it is shown that the impact of all sources of noise on rents at the level of the whole ca

promise scholarship programs as place making policy evidence from school enrollment and housing prices abstract place based promise scholarship programs which guarantee financial aid for qualifying graduates of a school district have proliferated in recent years using data from multiple sites we compare the evolution of school enrollment and residential real estate prices around program announcement dates within promise eligible and surrounding areas while our estimates indicate that enrollment increased following promise announcements merit based programs generated relative increases in white enrollment housing prices respond strongly in neighborhoods with better primary schools and in the upper half of the housing price distribution we conclude that these programs have important and under studied distributional considerations

market power in a gis based hedonic price model of local farmland markets buyers of farmland are usually interested in parcels for sale that are close to their own farms with a limited number of parcels for sale this may lead to market power in local farmland markets the objective of this paper is to investigate whether market power affects farmland prices hedonic price models are adapted to allow for local market power of either sellers or buyers a distinction is made between rural and urban farmland markets the results provide evidence of market power effects in rural farmland markets however for farmland in urban areas market prices are dominated by speculation effects

the value of water as an urban club good a matching approach to community provided lakes abstract community provided urban lakes located in arid environments provide significant amenities to residents but require large quantities of water to maintain lake levels we use matching techniques to recover the average capitalized value of lakes above the costs of maintenance by comparing transactions in lake communities to observationally similar transactions in surrounding communities we differentiate between adjacent and non adjacent houses to recover heterogeneous treatment effects and allow estimates to vary across communities importantly we consider the role of imperfect matching on spatially and temporally varying unobservable variables in our choice of estimator and the appropriate set of potential control properties our results suggest that the capitalized value of lakes is heterogeneous with a mean estimate of 6500 an acre foot our results provide estimates of the changes in water prices that would make this form of development unprofitable illustrating the linkage between water pricing policy and the water intensity of development

rural income and poverty in a time of radical change in malawi abstract malawi is one of the poorest countries in africa there is widespread though not universal agreement about the shape of poverty in the country and the policy challenge this sets agriculture continues to be the most obvious means to stimulate broad based rural growth and to provide levels of food security and income needed for the majority rural population a longitudinal study over a decade during which radical policy and political changes occurred provides the data and basis for discussing the appropriate policy directions for reducing poverty

printing and protestants an empirical test of the role of printing in the reformation the causes of the protestant reformation have long been debated this paper seeks to revive and econometrically test the theory that the spread of the reformation is linked to the spread of the printing press i test this theory by analyzing data on the spread of the press and the reformation at the city level an econometric analysis that instruments for omitted variable bias with a city s distance from mainz the birthplace of printing suggests that cities with at least one printing press by 1500 were at minimum 29 percentage points more likely to be protestant by 1600

modelling the impact of world bank policy based lending the case of malawi s agricultural sector this article uses a multi market agricultural pricing model to analyse the impact of the world bank s three structural adjustment loans sals to malawi on the smallholder agricultural sector three price policy scenarios are simulated on the model representing zero partial and full compliance with the bank s sal price policy conditionality these scenarios are analysed in terms of their impact on the government budget smallholder real incomes maize production exportable cash crop production and the balance of payments critiques of the bank s programme and the government and bank bargaining strategies are assessed in the light of the modelling results

adopting a new religion the case of protestantism in 16th century germany using a dataset of territories and cities of the holy roman empire in the sixteenth century this article investigates the determinants of adoption and diffusion of protestantism as a state religion a territory s distance to wittenberg the city where martin luther taught is a major determinant of adoption this finding is consistent with a theory of strategic neighbourhood interactions introducing the reformation was a risky enterprise for territorial lords and had higher prospects of success if powerful neighbouring states committed to the new faith the actual spatial and temporal patterns of expansion of protestantism are analysed in a panel dataset

the origins of state capacity property rights taxation and politics economists generally assume that the state has sufficient institutional capacity to support markets and levy taxes this paper develops a framework where policy choices in market regulation and taxation are constrained by past investments in legal and fiscal capacity it studies the economic and political determinants of such investments demonstrating that legal and fiscal capacity are typically complements the results show that among other things common interest public goods such as fighting external wars as well as political stability and inclusive political institutions are conducive to building state capacity some correlations in cross country data are consistent with the theory

heteroscedastic hedonic price model for cattle in the rural markets of central ethiopia this study employs a heteroscedastic hedonic price model to examine the factors that influence cattle prices in the rural markets of central ethiopia the empirical results show that season market location class of cattle body size and age are very important determinants of the cattle price the relative weight of the phenotypic characteristics of the animals is among the highest of all the factors considered these preferences at the farmers and farmer traders levels are the ones that matter most in shaping the diversity of animals kept at farm level and the diversity of cattle genetic resources is quite essential for generating or identifying the best suited breeds of cattle given the livelihood objectives of the target community

do capitalization effects for public goods reveal the public s willingness to pay this article develops a welfare theoretic framework for interpreting evidence on the impacts of public programs on housing markets we extend rosen s hedonic model to explain how housing prices capitalize exogenous shocks to public goods and externalities the model predicts that trading between heterogeneous buyers and sellers will drive a wedge between these capitalization effects and welfare changes we test this hypothesis in the context of changes in measures of school quality in five metropolitan areas results from boundary discontinuity designs suggest that capitalization effects understate parents willingness to pay for public school improvements by as much as 75

medieval universities legal institutions and the commercial revolution we present new data documenting medieval europe s commercial revolution using information on the establishment of markets in germany we use these data to test whether medieval universities played a causal role in expanding economic activity examining the foundation of germany s first universities after 1386 following the papal schism we find that the trend rate of market establishment breaks upward in 1386 and that this break is greatest where the distance to a university shrank most there is no differential pre 1386 trend associated with the reduction in distance to a university and there is no break in trend in 1386 where university proximity did not change these results are robust to estimating a variety of specifications that address concerns about the endogeneity of university location universities provided training in newly rediscovered roman and canon law students with legal training served in positions that reduced the uncertainty of trade in the middle ages we argue that training in the law and the consequent development of legal and administrative institutions was an important channel linking universities and greater economic activity in medieval germany

religious competition and reallocation using novel microdata we document an important unintended consequence of the protestant reformation a reallocation of resources from religious to secular purposes to understand this process we propose a conceptual framework in which the introduction of religious competition shifts political markets where religious authorities provide legitimacy to rulers in exchange for control over resources consistent with our framework religious competition changed the balance of power between secular and religious elites secular authorities acquired enormous amounts of wealth from monasteries closed during the reformation particularly in protestant regions this transfer of resources had significant consequences first it shifted the allocation of upper tail human capital graduates of protestant universities increasingly took secular especially administrative occupations protestant university students increasingly studied secular subjects especially degrees that prepared students for public sector jobs rather than church sector specific theology second it affected the sectoral composition of fixed investment particularly in protestant regions new construction shifted from religious toward secular purposes especially the building of palaces and administrative buildings which reflected the increased wealth and power of secular lords reallocation was not driven by preexisting economic or cultural differences our findings indicate that the reformation played an important causal role in the secularization of the west

labor shortages on small landholdings in malawi implications for policy reforms abstract a simple linear programming model of representative smallholder households is used to investigate the sources of relative scarcity of labor and land in malawi the paradox of on farm labor shortages on small landholdings can be explained by the multiple constraints smallholders face these multiple constraints including lack of finance concerns for food security and others lead to suboptimal allocations of household resources in turn the low returns to labor and land contribute to household food insecurity and a vicious cycle of poverty the findings of the paper provide a clear signal to policymakers and research and extension institutions that these constraints are all linked and addressing one cannot be effective without addressing the others

the impact of agricultural liberalisation on food security in malawi abstract the donor supported structural adjustment programmes have not impacted favourably on livelihoods food security and the general welfare of the poor in malawi this resulted from the prescription of wrong policy packages and limited attention to poverty alleviation policies policies have tended to concentrate on promoting market and price mechanisms less on addressing production constraints and non economic barriers to broad based economic growth there are losers and winners as a result of policy reforms in agricultural produce marketing the losers are mainly the smallholder farmers in the category of net food buyers low income or wage earners in urban and semi urban areas and smallholder farmers in remote areas the winners are smallholder farmers in the category of net food sellers private traders institutional traders and the state marketing agency the paper analyses the impact of pricing policy and market deregulation on the state marketing organisation and on the private marketing system highlighting the lessons to be learned and making recommendations on how to improve the food security situation at the household level

the institutional foundations of religious politics evidence from indonesia this paper explores the foundations of religious influence in politics and society we show that an important islamic institution fostered the entrenchment of islamism at a critical juncture in indonesia the world s largest muslim country in the early 1960s rural elites transferred large amounts of land into waqf inalienable charitable trusts in islamic law to avoid expropriation by the state regions facing a greater threat of expropriation exhibit more prevalent waqf land and islamic institutions endowed as such including mosques and religious schools these endowments provided conservative forces with the capital needed to promote islamist ideology and mobilize against the secular state we identify lasting effects of the transfers on the size of the religious sector electoral support for islamist parties and the adoption of local sharia laws these effects are shaped by greater demand for religion in government but not by greater piety among the electorate waqf assets also impose costs on the local economy particularly in agriculture where these endowments are associated with lower productivity overall our findings shed new light on the origins and consequences of islamism

the market valuation of the fgis grain quality characteristics the issue addressed in this paper is whether the grain quality factors used by the federal grain inspection service in determining the quality grades of wheat exported by the united states including test weight dockage moisture content percentage of foreign material percentage of shrunken and broken kernels and protein content are characteristics that influence the price of wheat for export using shiplot data on the transactions price for hard red winter wheat hard red spring wheat and soft white wheat and the associated quality characteristics covering the period january 1990 to october 1991 and exported to 63 countires the results suggest that only the test weight and the protein content are characteristics consistently valued by the market

on the choice of funtional form for hedonic price functions this study examines how errors in measuring marginal attribute pric es vary with the form of the hedonic price function in simulations consumers with known utility functions bid for houses with given attributes various forms of the hedonic function are estimated using equilibrium housing prices errors in estimating marginal attribute prices are calculated by comparing each consumer s equilibrium marginal bid vector with the gradient of the hedonic function when all attributes are observed linear and quadratic box cox forms produce lowest mean percentage errors however when some attributes are unobserved or are replaced by proxies linear and linear box cox functions perform best copyright 1988 by mit press

which hedonic models can we trust to recover the marginal willingness to pay for environmental amenities abstract the hedonic property value model is among our foremost tools for evaluating the economic consequences of policies that target the supply of local public goods environmental services and urban amenities we design a theoretically consistent and empirically realistic monte carlo study of whether omitted variables seriously undermine the method s ability to accurately identify economic values our results suggest that large gains in accuracy can be realized by moving from the standard linear specifications for the price function to a more flexible framework that uses a combination of spatial fixed effects quasi experimental identification and temporal controls for housing market adjustment

hedonic regressions mis specification and neural networks there is an emerging literature in the field of hedonic regressions which successfully applies flexible functional forms in contrast numerous authors report hedonic regressions with relatively simple functions often with little or no attempt to consider interaction terms and higher level powers such simple functions perform relatively well in spite of good a priori grounds for quite complex interaction effects indeed the studies are characterised by a general indifference to testing these more flexible models even when degrees of freedom permit using detailed scanner data hedonic functions for the uk tv market are estimated and tested for interaction effects for a case study of the market higher level interaction effects are tested for and compare the results with those from a neural network with its property of universal approximation the use of neural networks is particularly novel in this context and some general findings on their suitability emerge

poverty in african households the limits of survey and census representations african poverty statistics depend on household level measurements from survey data making the definition of household of critical importance detailed case studies from tanzania and burkina faso explore 1 understandings of household membership and ambiguities and 2 how well survey definitions capture households as economic units and the implications for household size and responses to and mitigation of poverty we develop an analytic framework of open and closed households open households cope with poverty using flexibility movement and extra household networks but are poorly represented by survey data closed households are likely to be better described by survey data

linking the price of agricultural land to use values and amenities the recent appreciation in agricultural land values across the united states has raised a number of important questions for farmers farmland owners lenders and policy makers while traditional economic theory suggests that farmland values are determined by the discounted stream of expected returns previous research has shown that agricultural land values are actually driven by a complex set of factors this study leverages the unique characteristics of a national land based usda survey on farmland values and cash rents to estimate broad national level determinants of the market value of cropland and pastureland our results support past research findings that indicate farmland values are only partially explained by agricultural returns we find that multiple nonagricultural attributes of farmland also contribute to the market value

u turns and full circles two decades of agricultural reform in malawi 1981 2000 abstract this paper traces the evolution of malawi s agricultural policy over the past two decades during this period the world bank has played a key role in shaping policy reform through its adjustment loans three distinct reform phases can be identified 1981 87 when policy was dominated by the dogmatism of the world bank s pricist and state minimalist policies 1988 94 when a more flexible position was taken by both the bank and the malawi government both of whom acknowledged the structuralist critique of earlier policies and 1994 to the present when the reform process in agriculture became more politicized and a schism developed between the bank and the government this latter period is used to illustrate some of the unresolved policy issues pertaining to similar low income agrarian economies

public goods institutions human capital and growth evidence from german history what are the origins and consequences of the state as a provider of public goods we study public goods provision established through new laws in german cities during the 1500s cities that adopted the laws subsequently began to differentially produce and attract human capital and to grow faster legal change occurred where ideological competition introduced by the protestant reformation interacted with local politics we study plagues that shifted local politics in a narrow period as sources of exogenous variation in public goods institutions and find support for a causal interpretation of the relationship between legal change human capital and growth

exploring seasonal poverty traps the six week window in southern malawi conventional wisdom in malawi holds that seasonal food deficits force smallholders to hire out their labour to buy food during the critical first six weeks after planting thereby reducing maize yields on their own fields and reinforcing poverty this model was tested empirically for the blantyre shire highlands using evidence from a panel survey and household case studies results showed no significant relationship between the supply of hired labour ganyu and the timeliness of weeding for maize and that timely weeding was not a significant determinant of household maize deficits this puzzle is explained by the diversification of the rural economy that has allowed households to develop alternative livelihood strategies to cope with maize deficits livelihood diversity helped poor households avoid the seasonal poverty trap and also helps explain the paradox of why the poorest region in malawi escaped the 2001 2002 famine

peasant household behaviour with missing markets some paradoxes explained a model of peasant household behavior under varying degrees of household specific food and labor market failures is constructed to show that these structural features can explain several well known patterns of peasant response which have often been attributed to peculiar motives presumed specific to peasants the model explains sluggish response to cash crops prices and high instability in perceived food and labor scarcities the key role of manufactured consumer goods prices in stimulating peasants effort in cash crops production the effectiveness of taxation as opposed to incentives in stimulating cash crops production and the key role of technological change in food production to enhance cash crop production results are obtained analytically in the case of one market failure and by numerical simulation with more than one

structural change in malawi since independence consequences of a development strategy based on large scale agriculture abstract this paper investigates the nature of the structural change which has occured in the malawian economy since independence and identifies key policies pursued by the government which it is argued have been decisive in shaping this development the salient feature of structural change is shown to be the rapid growth of large scale agriculture associated with an equally rapid transfer of labour into wage employment and a decline in the importance of peasant production the implications of these changes for living standards and future development and policy are considered

state capacity conflict and development the absence of state capacities to raise revenue and to support markets is a key factor in explaining the persistence of weak states this paper reports on an ongoing project to investigate the incentive to invest in such capacities the paper sets out a simple analytical structure in which state capacities are modeled as forward looking investments by government the approach highlights some determinants of state building including the risk of external or internal conflict the degree of political instability and dependence on natural resources throughout we link these state capacity investments to patterns of development and growth

estimating the demand for the characteristics of housing a hstract estimates of the demand for the characteristics contained in a differentiated product such as housing can be based on hedonic regressions however previous studies have not dealt with several potential problems in such estimation a more appropriate framework for the estimation is provided in this paper also data from a number of cities are used to eliminate the identification problem and the endogeneity of the marginal prices derived from non linear hedonic equations is considered in the estimation the results on own and cross price elasticities expenditure elasticities and the effects of socio economic vafiables accord well with expectations

subdivision vintage and housing prices do home buyers value traditional development new urbanism and traditional neighbourhood development tnd have been championed as solutions to the problems associated with post war suburban sprawl however they have yet to capture a substantial share of the us housing market the market context for tnd is not well understood as the paucity of tnd makes it difficult to study directly this paper takes a novel approach by focusing on the market for traditional development itself defined as subdivisions recorded prior to world war ii in the sprawling tucson arizona msa the results of the hedonic analysis demonstrate that home buyers value the features embodied in traditional development as homes in subdivisions platted before 1940 command premiums over those in their modern counterparts even after carefully controlling for locational and structural characteristics moreover the analysis finds that the premiums have increased through time which suggests growing demand for traditionally designed subdivisions

human capital and industrialization evidence from the age of enlightenment while human capital is a strong predictor of economic development today its importance for the industrial revolution is typically assessed as minor to resolve this puzzling contrast we differentiate average human capital worker skills from upper tail knowledge both theoretically and empirically we build a simple two sector model where worker skills raise the productivity in both agriculture and manufacturing and scientific knowledge affects the entrepreneurial ability to keep up with a rapidly advancing technological frontier the model predicts that the local presence of knowledge elites is unimportant in the pre industrial era but drives growth thereafter worker skills in contrast are not crucial for growth to measure the historical presence of knowledge elites we use city level subscriptions to the famous encyclopedie in mid 18th century france we show that subscriber density is a strong predictor of city growth after 1750 but not before the onset of french industrialization alternative measures of development confirm this pattern soldier height and industrial activity are strongly associated with subscriber density after but not before 1750 literacy on the other hand does not predict growth finally by joining data on british patents with a large french firm survey from 1837 we provide evidence for the mechanism upper tail knowledge raised the productivity in innovative industrial technology

the economic effects of the protestant reformation testing the weber hypothesis in the german lands following max weber many theories have hypothesized that protestantism should have favored economic development with its religious heterogeneity the holy roman empire presents an ideal testing ground for this hypothesis using population figures of 272 cities in the years 1300 1900 i find no effects of protestantism on economic growth the finding is precisely estimated robust to the inclusion of various controls and does not depend on data selection or small sample size denominational differences in fertility behavior and literacy are unlikely to be major confounding factors protestantism has no effect when interacted with other likely determinants of economic development instrumental variables estimates considering the potential endogeneity of religious choice are similar to the ols results

religion and economy religion has a two way interaction with political economy with religion viewed as a dependent variable a central question is how economic development and political institutions affect religious participation and beliefs with religion viewed as an independent variable a key issue is how religiosity affects individual characteristics such as work ethic honesty and thrift and thereby influences economic performance in this paper we sketch previous studies of this two way interaction but focus on our ongoing quantitative research with international data

understanding the amenity impacts of wind development on an international border abstract wind energy developments are often controversial concerns are often raised about negative impacts on local communities including impacts on property values some of these negative impacts may be offset by compensatory payments made by wind developers community involvement in the planning and development process may also reduce negative perceptions associated with wind facilities however if the development is near a border between municipalities states or even countries it is often the case that one or more jurisdictions will not be involved in the process or receive compensation but will nonetheless face some costs or impacts from the development we explore exactly this situation at the border between canada and the united states in the thousand islands region where a wind farm is currently operating on the canadian border island of wolfe island using a parcel level hedonic analysis of property sales transactions we find that properties in new york with a view of and or in close proximity to the turbines significantly depreciated in value after construction of the turbines while no negative impacts were observed on properties in ontario we highlight a number of factors that could contribute to these differences in impacts on property values which may also explain the variation in results that currently exists in the literature

credit program participation and child schooling in rural malawi summary we evaluate the impact of agricultural credit program participation on children s school attendance in rural malawi our paired site sampling survey reveals that credit uptake decreased school attendance by young girl children this finding raises concerns that young girl children are exploited as child labor either at home or in the field when working adults become more involved in income generating activities financed by credit the data however do not show clear evidence for young girls staying at home to do household chores or working in the fields in households that obtained credit but instead find simultaneous occurrence between attending school and taking responsibilities for domestic chores by young children it would appear therefore that credit uptake delays the realization of this concurrence among young girl children and leads to delayed school enrollment

an embarrassment of riches confronting omitted variable bias and multiscale capitalization in hedonic price models abstract many researchers have addressed concerns of omitted variable bias in hedonic price models through the use of spatial fixed effects we argue that this approach does not consider the biases introduced by effects that overlap the zone of capitalization for nonmarket goods we show this bias can dominate the usual omitted variable bias using data on developer provided open space we control for multiscale capitalization and omitted variables simultaneously by extending the hausman taylor estimator where the panel component of the estimator is defined over repeated transactions within neighborhoods rather than the traditional definition following a unique cross sectional unit through time

directional heterogeneity of environmental disamenities the impact of crematory operations on adjacent residential values a hedonic study of residential house sales in rawlins wyoming was conducted to estimate the impact of an environmental shock from a new point source upon adjacent residential property values we use a unique data base of house sale prices and associated house attributes including structural and neighbourhood characteristics and geographic distances and directions from the source of the shock atmospheric emissions from a new crematory our data spans 27 months of house sales 7 months before and 20 months after the startup of crematory operations results indicate that proximity measured both in terms of direction and distance from the crematory imparts a statistically significant negative impact on average house sale prices an increase of 0 3 to 3 6 of average sale price for every one tenth mile increase up to one half mile in distance away from the crematory but depending on direction from the crematory this distance benefit increases somewhat with calendar time only for houses located west of

taste or reputation what drives market prices in the wine industry estimation of a hedonic model for italian premium wines the aim of this article is to provide new evidence on the factors affecting wine prices on both methodological and factual grounds on the methodological ground this study is the first to apply a general box cox transformation within the context of hedonic models which exploit all the variables objective and sensorial characteristics reputation pointed out by previous literature as relevant in driving market prices on the factual ground the article fills the lack of empirical evidence on the issue for italy one of the leading wine producers by using a large data set on two premium quality wines barolo and barbaresco covering the 1995 1998 vintages our results support the evidence obtained using data from other countries showing that sensorial traits the reputation of wines and producers as well as objective variables are all important factors influencing the consumers willingness to pay more importantly by resorting to a nonnested statistical test vuong 1989 we compare two alternative

rural livelihoods and poverty reduction strategies in four african countries this paper compares and contrasts rural livelihoods in uganda kenya tanzania and malawi with a view to informing rural poverty reduction policies within poverty reduction strategy plans prsps low household incomes in rural areas of all countries are associated with low land and livestock holdings high reliance on food crop agriculture and low monetisation of the rural economy these adverse factors are in some instances made more difficult by land sub division at inheritance declining civil security in rural areas deteriorating access to proper agronomic advice and inputs and predatory taxation by decentralised district councils better off households are distinguished by virtuous spirals of accumulation typically involving diverse livestock ownership engagement in non farm self employment and diversity of on farm and non farm income sources lessons for prsps centre on the creation of a facilitating rather than blocking public sector environment for the multiplication of non farm enterprises seeking creative solutions to the spread of technical advice to farmers and examining critically the necessity for and impact of tax revenue collection by district councils on rural incomes and enterprise

was weber wrong a human capital theory of protestant economic history max weber attributed the higher economic prosperity of protestant regions to a protestant work ethic we provide an alternative theory protestant economies prospered because instruction in reading the bible generated the human capital crucial to economic prosperity we test the theory using county level data from late nineteenth century prussia exploiting the initial concentric dispersion of the reformation to use distance to wittenberg as an instrument for protestantism we find that protestantism indeed led to higher economic prosperity but also to better education our results are consistent with protestants higher literacy accounting for most of the gap in economic prosperity

earthquakes religion and transition to self government in italian cities this article presents a unique historical experiment to explore the dynamics of institutional change in the middle ages we have assembled a novel data set where information on political institutions for northern central italian cities between 1000 and 1300 is matched with detailed information on the earthquakes that occurred in the area and period of interest exploiting the panel structure of the data we document that the occurrence of an earthquake retarded institutional transition from autocratic regimes to self government the commune in cities where the political and the religious leaders were the same person episcopal see cities but not in cities where political and religious powers were distinct non episcopal see cities such differential effect holds for destructive seismic episodes and for events that were felt by the population but did not cause any material damage to persons or objects ancillary results show that seismic events provoked a positive and statistically significant differential effect on the construction and further ornamentation of religious buildings between episcopal and non episcopal see cities our findings are consistent with the idea that earthquakes interpreted in the middle ages as manifestation of the will and outrage of god represented a shock to people s religious beliefs and as a consequence enhanced the ability of political religious leaders to restore social order after a crisis relative to the emerging communal institutions this interpretation is supported by historical evidence

state capacity and military conflict powerful centralized states controlling a large share of national income only begin to appear in europe after 1500 we build a model that explains their emergence in response to the increasing importance of money for military success when fiscal resources are not crucial for winning wars the threat of external conflict stifles state building as finance becomes critical internally cohesive states invest in state capacity while divided states rationally drop out of the competition causing divergence we emphasize the role of the military revolution a sequence of technological innovations that transformed armed conflict using data from 374 battles we investigate empirically both the importance of money for military success and patterns of state building in early modern europe the evidence is consistent with the predictions of our model

testing for micro efficiency in the housing market using highly granular transaction level data for the norwegian housing market over the period 2002 2014 we investigate whether excessive prices persist or revert in repeat sales excessiveness in prices is detected by comparing selling prices to predicted prices implied by a hedonic model which includes a rich set of attributes persistence is rejected and there is substantial reversion in excessive prices our results also show little scope for profitable arbitrage by investing in apparently underpriced units we suggest that excessive prices are related to the stochastic arrival of interested purchasers at public showings which we show is nonrepeatable

environmental amenities as a source of market power site specific environmental amenities can provide a source of product differentiating market power using estimates from hedonic price equations and residual demand models our analysis recovers firm specific estimates of price markups as measures of market power and uses these markups to estimate the implied marginal value for access to coastal beaches the application involves rental price and occupancy data for several thousand beach properties along a portion of the north carolina coastline during the 1987 to 1992 rental seasons

zakat islam s missed opportunity to limit predatory taxation one of islam s five canonical pillars is a predictable fixed and mildly progressive tax system called zakat it was meant to finance various causes typical of a pre modern government implicit in the entire transfer system was personal property rights as well as constraints on government two key elements of a liberal order those features could have provided the starting point for broadening political liberties under a state with explicitly restricted functions instead just a few decades after the rise of islam zakat opened the door to arbitrary political rule and material insecurity a major reason is that the quran does not make explicit the underlying principles of governance it simply outlines the specifics of zakat as they related to conditions in seventh century arabia

nonfarm employment agricultural shocks and poverty dynamics evidence from rural uganda this article examines the role of off farm employment in poverty reduction over a short period of time by using panel data from 894 rural ugandan households in 2003 and 2005 taking advantage of the unique off farm labor supply and income data we analyzed how households respond to negative agricultural shocks especially through off farm labor supply and income to mitigate crop income loss our analysis indicates that the flexibility of labor time allocation varies across off farm jobs and that only low skilled and low wage jobs tend to be used to mitigate negative shocks especially among the asset poor

the choice of functional forms for hedonic price equations comment abstract rosen 13 freeman 4 halvorsen and pollakowski 6 and others have stressed that economic theory does not suggest an appropriate functional form for hedonic price functions 1 it consequently is reasonable to try several functional forms and utilize the multiple regression equation with the best performance in this spirit halvorsen and pollakowski 6 recommend using the box cox flexible functional form for hedonic analysis and measuring best performance with a goodness of fit test the box cox methodology has also been adapted in hedonic studies by goodman 5 linneman 10 blomquist and worley 1 and eberts and gronberg 3 2 the box cox is particularly suited for testing functional forms because many familiar forms such as semilog log linear and translog are subsets of the flexible box cox permitting nested hypothesis testing in this note we illustrate that the formal hypothesis testing advantage of the box cox functional form is purchased at the expense of other important goals the goal of most hedonic studies is to estimate the prices of the characteristics to measure the response to changes in the prices and or to predict future expenditures using a best fit criterion to choose functional forms does not necessarily lead to more accurate estimates of characteristic prices in fact the large number of coefficients estimated with the box cox functional form reduces the accuracy of any single coefficient which could lead to poorer estimates of specific prices second because any negative number raised to a noninteger real power is imaginary the traditional box cox functional form is not suited to any data set containing negative numbers third the box cox functional form may be inappropriate for prediction since the mean predicted value of the untransformed dependent variable need not equal the mean of the sample upon which it is estimated the predicted untransformed variable housing value will be biased the predicted untransformed dependent variable may also be imaginary fourth the nonlinear transformation results in complex estimates of slopes and elasticities which are often too cumbersome to use properly we discuss each of these drawbacks and quantify them when possible in the remainder of this note

revolt on the nile economic shocks religion and political power using centuries of nile flood data i document that during deviant nile floods egypt s highest ranking religious authority was less likely to be replaced and relative allocations to religious structures increased these findings are consistent with historical evidence that nile shocks increased this authority s political influence by raising the probability he could coordinate a revolt i find that the available data provide support for this interpretation and weigh against some of the most plausible alternatives for example i show that while nile shocks increased historical references to social unrest deviant floods did not increase a proxy for popular religiosity together the results suggest an increase in the political power of religious leaders during periods of economic downturn publication abstract

adapting to adjustment smallholder livelihood strategies in southern malawi abstract this study uses the sustainable livelihoods framework to analyze changes in livelihood strategies for 50 case study households in the blantyre shire highlands southern malawi during 1990 2000 although evidence from rapid rural appraisal rra suggests that the poor are becoming poorer the majority 56 reported an improvement in their economic status improvement was linked to market liberalization through higher income from crops burley tobacco vegetables grain legumes and microenterprise one quarter of households were worse off downward economic mobility was attributable partly to market liberalization but also to the adverse consequences of widowhood or divorce for female headed households monitoring livelihoods under adjustment requires a pluralist approach that relies not just on rra but also on quantitative methods household case studies and insights from farming systems research

an economic estimate of the effect of a waterside location on property values since the rise of the railway and the later development of road transport the economic value of inland waterways in the uk as freight carriers has steadily declined the reduction in the economic importance of canals has been somewhat offset by their growing popularity as a recreational resource and by the amenity value which they provide to that part of the population living in close proximity to them focussing on two case study areas this paper uses an hedonic price model to estimate the economic benefits which residents gain from a waterside location these benefits may have important policy implications for those bodies who own undeveloped land bordering waterways

green gold burley tobacco smallholder agriculture and poverty alleviation in malawi abstract the abolition in 1990 of the estate monopoly on cultivation of burley tobacco is expected to play an important role in reducing poverty among smallholders in malawi a nationwide survey in 1993 shows that smallholder households cultivating burley also grow more hybrid maize use more fertilizer and are more food secure but resource poor households particularly those headed by women face land and labor constraints on burley adoption burley and hybrid maize increase the demand for hired labor but not enough to absorb the growth in the rural labor force broad based poverty alleviation requires technology and programs targeted at the majority of smallholders with holdings of 0 5 hectares or less