self rewards and personal motivation self administered rewards are ubiquitous they serve as incentives for personal accomplishments and are widely recommended to increase personal motivation we show that in a model with time inconsistent and reference dependent preferences self rewards can be a credible and effective tool to overcome self control problems we also discuss the different types of self rewards the individual can use such as vice goods and virtue goods and analyze which types of goods the individual prefers

estimation of returns to scale using data envelopment analysis a comment banker 1984 introduced the idea that the sum of the intensity variables in the dea activity analysis model can be used to identify returns to scale a counterexample in chang and guh 1991 shows that banker s method may fail this prompted banker and thrall 1992 to develop an alternative approach to estimate scale efficiency using dea seemingly unaware of the work by byrnes fare and grosskopf 1984 fare grosskopf and lovell 1985 1994 and fare and grosskopf 1985 etc on the same topic their new approach is very similar to the methodology originated in these references the purpose of this comment is to make our method known and to contrast it to the banker and thrall 1992 approach

competition and price variation when consumers are loss averse we modify the salop 1979 model of price competition with differentiated products by assuming that consumers are loss averse relative to a reference point given by their recent expectations about the purchase consumers sensitivity to losses in money increases the price responsiveness of demand and hence the intensity of competition at higher relative to lower market prices reducing or eliminating price variation both within and between products when firms face common stochastic costs in any symmetric equilibrium the markup is strictly decreasing in cost even when firms face different cost distributions we identify conditions under which a focal price equilibrium where firms always charge the same focal price exists and conditions under which any equilibrium is focal

computing economies of vertical integration economies of scope and economies of scale using partial frontier nonparametric methods abstract so far in the nonparametric literature only full frontier nonparametric methods have been applied to search for economies of scope and scale particularly the data envelopment analysis method dea however these methods present some drawbacks that might lead to biased results this paper proposes a methodology based on more robust partial frontier nonparametric methods to look for scope and scale economies through this methodology it is possible to assess the robustness of these economies and in particular to assess the influence that extreme data or outliers might have on them the influence of the imposition of convexity on the production set of firms was also investigated this methodology was applied to the water utilities that operated in portugal between 2002 and 2008 there is evidence of economies of vertical integration and economies of scale in drinking water supply utilities and in water and wastewater utilities operating mainly in the retail segment economies of scale were found in water and wastewater utilities operating exclusively in the wholesale and in some of these utilities diseconomies of scope were also found the proposed methodology also allowed us to conclude that the existence of some smaller utilities makes the minimum optimal scales go down

pay reference points and police performance several theories suggest that pay raises below a reference point will reduce job performance final offer arbitration for police unions provides a unique opportunity to examine these theories as the police officers either receive their requested wage or receive a lower one in the months after new jersey police officers lose in arbitration arrest rates and average sentence length decline and crime reports rise relative to when they win these declines in performance are larger when the awarded wage is further from the police union s demand the findings support the idea that considerations of fairness disappointment and more generally reference points affect workplace behavior

self control and the development of work arrangements a significant part of the development experience is the change in the way work is structured to use a historical example the industrial revolution involved workers moving from agriculture to manufacturing from working on their own to working with others in factories and from flexible work hours to rigid work days how are we to understand these changes why did they occur what impacts did they have on labor productivity and possibly growth in answering questions such as these economic theories draw on different assumptions about aggregate production market failures and innovation yet almost all rely on one of two determinants of labor productivity human capital and incentives human capital theories broadly construed emphasize how work arrangements utilize the distribution of human capital and in learning models facilitate its development incentive theories again broadly construed emphasize how workplace arrangements align worker payoffs to minimize moral hazard in this paper we bring together and advance a growing literature on a third feature worker self control individuals may not be able to work as hard as they would like some workplace arrangements may make self control problems more severe while others may ameliorate them below we describe evidence from a field experiment broadly supportive of the selfcontrol perspective we then argue that many work arrangements can be understood differently through this perspective specifically we

individual and collective time consistency this paper reconsiders the strotz pollak problem of consistent planning and argues that a solution to this problem requires a refinement of subgame perfectness such a refinement is offered through an analysis based on greenberg s theory of social situations the properties of this refinement are investigated and illustrated a unifying framework is presented whereby consistent one person planning as a problem of individual time consistency and renegotiation proofness as a problem of collective time consistency are captured through the same general concept

to be consumed with moderation abstract we study the optimal behavior of a hyperbolic discounting agent who has incomplete information about his own preferences and can only learn them through consumption we show that even if moderate current consumption and moderate future consumption always dominates abstinence the agent may optimally decide not to consume as a commitment device against inefficient learning that would lead to future excesses this provides a rationale for why smokers gamblers or compulsive buyers stick to second best personal rules of behavior such as abstinence without invoking standard habit formation arguments we also study how urges modify the strategy of the individual

do dropouts drop out too soon wealth health and happiness from compulsory schooling abstract this paper uses compulsory schooling laws to evaluate high school dropout decisions the main empirical result is that lifetime wealth increases by about 15 with an extra year of compulsory schooling students compelled to stay in school are also less likely to report being in poor health unemployed and unhappy the main conclusion is that high school aversion alone is unlikely to explain why dropouts forgo substantial gains to lifetime wealth the results are more consistent with the possibility that adolescents ignore or heavily discount future consequences when deciding to drop out of school if teenagers are myopic making school compulsory or offering incentives to stay in school may help improve lifetime outcomes

efficiency decomposition and aggregation in network data envelopment analysis abstract network data envelopment analysis dea is extended from conventional dea to explore the internal structure of network production systems so that the efficiencies are measured more appropriately there are two approaches for discussing the relationships between the system and division efficiencies efficiency decomposition and efficiency aggregation this paper develops a relational model from the viewpoint of efficiency decomposition to derive the relationships between the system and division efficiencies for network systems the system efficiency can be decomposed into a weighted average of the division efficiencies adjusted by a factor and the efficiency of the system is less than the weighted average of those of the divisions the major league baseball example that has been discussed in the literature is used to illustrate the idea presented in this paper the results of the efficiency decomposition model are compared to those obtained from an efficiency aggregation model that defines the aggregate efficiency of the divisions to be the system efficiency this system efficiency is found to be very close to a measure contained in the proposed model the proposed model can thus be used for both efficiency decomposition and aggregation

measuring economies of vertical integration in network industries an application to the water sector this paper provides a framework that aims at distinguishing the technological economies of vertical integration from the vertical economies resulting from an inefficient input allocation due to upstream market imperfections to illustrate our analysis we use consistent panel data econometric methods to estimate cost functions on a sample of north american water utilities contrary to what has been found for other network industries electricity and gas for instance we show that the global and technological economies of vertical integration are not significant except for the smallest utilities

the efficiency of the public intervention on the environment evidence based on non parametric and parametric approaches abstract this paper evaluates the efficiency of the allocation of public resources aimed at complying with the european environmental directives a full and partial frontier data envelopment analysis dea is applied to a panel of decision making units i e a set of regions with a specific focus on the air water and biodiversity sectors the malmquist productivity index allows one to analyse regional productivity change while a post dea based upon simar wilson approach allows one to explore the factors that affect the performance overall a specific group of regions outperform for air water intervention while the reverse outcome is obtained for biodiversity the findings also show a rather low technological change especially for biodiversity the post dea indicates that an increase in the tourism and agricultural activity exerts a negative impact on the air water public efficiency while has a positive influence on biodiversity higher education in technical subjects also increases performance

reference dependent consumption plans we develop a rational dynamic model in which people are loss averse over changes in beliefs about present and future consumption because changes in wealth are news about future consumption preferences over money are reference dependent if news resonates more when about imminent consump tion than when about future consumption a decision maker might to generate pleasant surprises overconsume early relative to the optimal committed plan increase immediate consumption following surprise wealth increases and delay decreasing consumption following surprise losses since higher wealth mitigates the effect of bad news people exhibit an unambiguous first order precautionary savings motive

macroeconomic effects of bankruptcy and foreclosure policies i study the implications of two major debt relief policies in the united states the bankruptcy abuse prevention and consumer protection act bapcpa and the home affordable refinance program harp

economies of diversification in the banking industry abstract this paper defines a new measure economies of diversification to examine the cost effect of product line expansion this measure is a special case of expansion path subadditivity and contains economies of scope as a special case a nonparametric frontier technique which isolates the effects of inefficiency and scale is used to measure economies of diversification applied to a set of 468 u s depository institutions operating in 1984 we find slight diseconomies of diversification diseconomies of diversification and inefficiency due to the overutilization of resources are found to be more important determinants of bank costs than is the failure to operate at optimal scale

economies of scope in the health sector the case of portuguese hospitals abstract background economies of scope are defined as the potential cost savings arising from the joint production of two or more outputs rather than their separate production given the importance of the health sector for the community measuring the existence of potential economies of scope contributes to the improvement of this sectors sustainability objective s to identify economies of scope in portuguese hospitals using frontier based methods methods this paper develops 1 a generalized algorithm to obtain locally convex frontiers using the directional order ldo frontier method and 2 a generalized economies of scope based ratio that allows the introduction of any inefficiency source data this paper uses the 2002 2009 dataset for portuguese hospitals concerning the provision of obstetrics gynaecology and paediatrics ogp and psychiatric psy services results considerable economies and diseconomies of scope were found in the portuguese public hospitals a considerable dependence on the production line and on the merger status of the hospital was observed diseconomies of scope were more likely for larger hospitals i e those with more than 6000 inpatient discharges and or 7500 medical appointments per year conclusions even merged hospitals can exploit economies of scope however when they become outsized entities such efforts become more difficult

a scale elasticity measure for directional distance function and its dual theory and dea estimation abstract in this paper we focus on scale elasticity measure based on directional distance function for multi output multi input technologies explore its fundamental properties and show its equivalence with the input oriented and output oriented scale elasticity measures we also establish duality relationship between the scale elasticity measure based on the directional distance function with scale elasticity measure based on the profit function finally we discuss the estimation issues of the scale elasticity based on the directional distance function via the dea estimator

futile attempts at self control we investigate costly yet futile attempts at self control when consumption of a harmful product has a binary breakdown no breakdown nature and individuals tend to underestimate their need for self control considering time inconsistent preferences as well as temptation disutility we show that becoming more sophisticated can decrease welfare and investigate what kind of mistaken beliefs lead to low welfare with time inconsistent preferences being close to perfectly understanding one s preferences but assigning zero probability to true preferences induces the worst outcome jel d03 d11 d91

choice and procrastination author s o donoghue ted rabin matthew abstract recent models of procrastination due to self control problems assume that a procrastinator considers just one option and is unaware of her self control problems we develop a model where a person chooses from a menu of options and is partially aware of her self control problems this menu model replicates earlier results and generates new ones a person might forego completing an attractive option because she plans to complete a more attractive but never to be completed option hence providing a non procrastinator additional options can induce procrastination and a person may procrastinate worse pursuing important goals than unimportant ones

driving forces for consolidation or fragmentation of the us water utility industry a cost function approach with endogenous output abstract this paper empirically analyzes the structure of the us water industry using a multiproduct flexible cost function model with the amount of water delivered to final consumers recognized as endogenous the cross sectional econometric analysis focuses on measures of cost economies in water production and their variation with network characteristics the estimates reveal considerable scale economies in terms of volume particularly for small utilities that tend to have less output density these economies are however counteracted by simultaneous increases in customers and service area size especially for large utilities overall our results indicate that consolidation of small utilities might generate cost efficiencies depending on the concurrent expansion of the network but consolidation of already large utilities without corresponding increases in output density is not likely to be cost effective

optimal choice and beliefs with ex ante savoring and ex post disappointment we propose a new decision criterion under risk in which individuals extract both utility from anticipatory feelings ex ante and disutility from disappointment ex post the decision maker chooses his degree of optimism given that more optimism raises both the utility of ex ante feelings and the risk of disappointment ex post we characterize the optimal beliefs and the preferences under risk generated by this mental process and apply this criterion to a simple portfolio choice insurance problem we show that these preferences are compatible with first degree and second degree stochastic dominance and yield a preference for early resolution of uncertainty furthermore they are consistent with observed violations of the independence axiom such as the preference reversal in the allais paradox and predict that the decision maker takes on less risk compared to an expected utility maximizer our decision criterion can thus help explain the equity premium puzzle and the preference for low deductibles in insurance contracts

self regulation through goal setting goals are an important motivator but little is known about why and how people set them we address this issue in a model based on two stylized facts first goals serve as reference points for performance second present biased preferences create self control problems we show the power and limits of self regulation through goals goals increase an individual s motivation but only up to a certain point furthermore they are painful self disciplining devices thus greater self control problems may result in tougher goals but for a severe present bias goals either lack a motivating force or are too painful to be accepted

strategic ignorance as a self disciplining device we analyse the decision of an agent with time inconsistent preferences to consume a good that exerts an externality on future welfare the extent of the externality is initially unknown but may be learned via a costless sampling procedure we show that when the agent cannot commit to future consumption and learning decisions incomplete learning may occur on a markov perfect equilibrium path of the resulting intra personal game in such a case each agent s incarnation stops learning for some values of the posterior distribution of beliefs and acts under self restricted information this conduct is interpreted as strategic ignorance all equilibria featuring this property strictly pareto dominate the complete learning equilibrium for any posterior distribution of beliefs

reference dependent risk attitudes we use koszegi and rabin s 2006 model of reference dependent utility and an extension of it that applies to decisions with delayed consequences to study preferences over monetary risk because our theory equates the reference point with recent probabilistic beliefs about outcomes it predicts specific ways in which the environment influences attitudes toward modest scale risk it replicates classical prospect theory including the prediction of distaste for insuring losses when exposure to risk is a surprise but implies first order risk aversion when a risk and the possibility of insuring it are anticipated a prior expectation to take on risk decreases aversion to both the anticipated and additional risk for large scale risk the model allows for standard consumption utility to dominate reference dependent gain loss utility generating nearly identical risk aversion across situations

choosing among alternative cost function specifications an application to italian multi utilities abstract the paper investigates the cost properties of a sample of italian utilities providing in combination gas water and electricity services the estimates from a multi product composite cost function rev econ stat 74 1992 221 are compared with the ones coming from other traditional functional forms such as the standard translog st the generalized translog gt and the separable quadratic sq the results show that the composite model provides a better description of data and highlight the presence of global scope and scale economies for the median firm of the sample

goal setting and self control abstract this paper addresses the role of non binding goals to attenuate time inconsistency present biased agents have linear reference dependent preferences and endogenously set a goal that is the reference point they face an infinite horizon optimal stopping problem in continuous time when there is sufficient commitment to expectation based goals goal setting attenuates the present biased agent s tendency to stop too early and may even lead an agent to wait longer than the first best in particular reference dependence is strictly worse for a time consistent agent notably none of the effects of goal setting require loss aversion