distributed energy infrastructure paradigm community microgrids in a new institutional economics context abstract this paper provides a theoretical framework based on new institutional economics nie concepts to guide the development of community microgrids given limited application thus far of such energy systems this paper also draws on empirical studies and experiences from the planning and development of other public community infrastructure and utility services in the development of this framework it links an efficient ownership and governance structure with transactional characteristics such as asset idiosyncrasy frequency and uncertainty defined in section 3 1 the key role of the customers and the microgrid service provider and more specifically their bilateral monopoly relationship and its effects on the choice of institutional structure is highlighted the paper examines the optimum conditions for public private or hybrid financial ownership and for unified or network governance through long term contracting this allows ex ante investment uncertainty and ex post appropriation risks to be efficiently managed the analysis suggests that long term contract completeness future demand for electricity and level of uncertainty are the determining factors in the selection of institutional structure this has significant real world implications for the communities seeking to achieve electricity self sufficiency and environmental benefits through community microgrids service providers and other private or public actors

do r d tax credits work evidence from a panel of countries 1979 1997 this paper examines the impact of fiscal incentives on the level of r d investment an econometric model of r d investment is estimated using a new panel of data on tax changes and r d spending in nine oecd countries over a 19 year period 1979 1997 we find evidence that tax incentives are effective in increasing r d intensity this is true even after allowing for permanent country specific characteristics world macro shocks and other policy influences we estimate that a 10 fall in the cost of r d stimulates just over a 1 rise in the level of r d in the short run and just under a 10 rise in r d in the long run

short sales are almost instantaneously bad news evidence from the australian stock exchange this paper investigates the market reaction to short sales on an intraday basis in a market setting where short sales are transparent immediately following execution we find a mean reassessment of stock value following short sales of up to 0 20 percent with adverse information impounded within fifteen minutes or twenty trades short sales executed near the end of the financial year and those related to arbitrage and hedging activities are associated with a smaller price reaction trades near information events precipitate larger price reactions the evidence is generally weaker for short sales executed using limit orders relative to market orders this article analyzes the intraday price behavior surrounding short sales executed using market and limit orders within a transparent setting a number of recent studies have focused on daily or monthly stock price behavior surrounding short selling activity in u s markets e g senchack and starks 1993 figlewski and webb 1993 conrad 1994 hanley and seyhun 1994 asquith and meulbroek 1996 and dechow et al 1997 this research has been motivated by the continued interest of market regulators i n short selling activity and the controversy surrounding the desirability restrictions and disclosure requirements related to short selling see janvey 1992 and ramsay 1993 in particular several studies such as that by figlewski and webb 1993 have examined the relationship between short positions and subsequent abnormal returns without finding a strong relationship asquith and meulbroek 1996 in contrast focus on firms with large short positions and find a strong and consistent relationship dechow et al 1997 find a correlation between short selling strategies and strategies based on fundamental analysis these results are consistent with short sellers being able to identify

can multinational enterprises light up developing countries evidences from the access to electricity in sub saharan africa summary this paper examines the role that multinational enterprises mnes and foreign direct investments fdi can have in enhancing the access to electricity for local communities in developing countries based on the quality of home and host institutions access to electricity is a marker for development but it is far from being universal in developing countries the shortage of electricity is mainly the consequence of inability of governments in planning financing and developing necessary electricity infrastructure in this context investments from other actors can be essential particularly we focus on the role of fdi and mnes we claim that when mnes invest in developing countries they are incentivized to solve the lack of electricity infrastructure mainly for two reasons to guarantee their business activities and to gain legitimacy with their local stakeholders in addition we argue that mnes and fdi from institutionally underdeveloped countries will be more prone to develop infrastructure for the provision of electricity to local population as generally they suffer from a negative stereotype for this study we rely on 1 547 observations composed of pairs of 83 home countries and 15 host countries in sub saharan africa observed from 2005 to 2011 due to the nature of the database we adopt panel data techniques i e system gmm and corrected least square dummy variable estimators we find that fdi promotes access to electricity in developing countries with weak institutions and this is more likely true when fdi come from institutionally underdeveloped countries these results are far from obvious as they controvert common idea among institutional scholars that a regulatory authority is essential in the provision of infrastructure in conclusion with this paper we partially rehabilitate the image of mnes investing in developing countries by demonstrating that under certain conditions they could contribute to energy poverty alleviation of local population

a new tailored scheme for the support of renewable energies in developing countries abstract historically the promotion of renewable energy technologies in isolated areas has involved international donors or governments subsidising the initial capital investment this paper proposes an alternative support mechanism for remote villages based on the generation of renewable electricity this communication presents an evaluation of the renewable energy premium tariff rpt scheme a locally adapted variation of the feed in tariff tailored for decentralised grids of developing countries the rpt scheme stimulates the deployment of renewable energy technologies by paying for renewable electricity generated a good quality performance is secured since the support is given based on the electricity produced by renewables not for the initial capital investment the mechanism has been designed to provide a cost effective scheme for the introduction of renewable energy technologies to remote villages to provide sustainable and affordable electricity to local users to make renewable energy projects attractive to policy makers and concurrently decrease financial risk to attract private sector investment

short sale constraints divergence of opinion and asset values evidence from the laboratory the overvaluation hypothesis miller 1977 predicts that a stocks are overvalued when there are short selling restrictions and that b the overvaluation is increasing in the degree of divergence of opinion we design an experiment that allows us to test these predictions in the laboratory our results support the hypothesis that prices are higher in the presence of short selling constraints the overvaluation does not depend on the degree of divergence of opinion

bubbles crashes and endogenous expectations in experimental spot asset markets1 spot asset trading is studied in an environment in which all investors receive the same dividend from a known probability distribution at the end of each of t 15 or 30 trading periods fourteen of twenty two experiments exhibit price bubbles followed by crashes relative to intrinsic dividend value when traders are experienced this reduces but does not eliminate the probability of a bubble the regression of changes in mean price on lagged excess bids number of bids minus the number of offers in the previous period p pt a f b 1 o l supports the hypothesis that a e d the one period expected value of the dividend and that f 0 where excess bids is a surrogate measure of excess demand arising from homegrown capital gains losses expectations thus when bt 1 o goes to zero we have convergence to rational expectations in the sense of fama 1970 that arbitrage becomes unprofitable the observed bubble phenomenon can also be interpreted as a form of temporary myopia tirole 1982 from which agents learn that capital gains expectations are only temporarily sustainable ultimately inducing common expectations or priors tirole 1982 four of twenty six experiments all using experienced subjects yield outcomes that appear to the chart s eye to converge early to rational expectations although even in these cases we get 0 and small price fluctuations of a few cents that invite scalping

electricity planning and implementation in sub saharan africa a systematic review abstract universal electricity access is an important development objective and the focus of a number of key global un initiatives while robust electricity planning is widely believed to be a prerequisite for effective electrification to date no comprehensive overview of electricity planning research has been undertaken on sub saharan africa the world region with the lowest access rates this paper reviews quantitative and qualitative electricity planning and related implementation research considering each of the 49 sub saharan african countries the four regional power pools and the sub continent as a whole applying a broad understanding of electricity planning and a practical limit of 20 reviewed articles per country and region 306 relevant peer reviewed journal articles are included in this review a general classification scheme is introduced that classifies the planning literature along the addressed value chain depth number of different analysed criteria and number of evaluated decision alternatives the literature is found to be strongly clustered in a few countries with less than 5 identified relevant articles in 36 of the 49 countries the total amount of articles per year is clearly increasing over time addressing technology choice operation distribution and implementation analyses although including different high level criteria in analysing electricity systems is common the literature is only starting to use formalised multi criteria decision making mcdm tools the review indicates that 63 of relevant articles favour renewable energy technologies for their given problems frequently mentioned success factors for electrification in sub saharan africa include adequate policy design sufficient finance and favourable political conditions while considerable regional and methodological literature gaps are apparent the literature in this review identifies a rich and fruitful ground for future research to fill these gaps

rural electricity in the philippines planning issues abstract the government of the philippines is committed to reducing the country s dependence on imported oil an element in its plan to accomplish this goal is the generation of electricity using indigenous energy sources wood biomass hydro geothermal and coal wood fired generation in the philippines has drawn worldwide attention from other developing countries interested in embarking on similar programmes this investigation reveals the difficulties inherent in implementing such a programme primary concerns include the institutional issues in the generation and distribution of power by the national power corporation npc the national electrification administration nea the rural electric cooperatives recs and the tree farmer associations tfas the influence of demand patterns on the financial viability of rural electric cooperatives and the influence of low load factors small size and remote locations on the cost of dendro thermal power plants the conclusions s should be of interest to other countries interested in pursuing similar programmes

rural electrification in developing countries abstract rural electrification programmes take up significant proportions of energy investment expenditures in developing economies conventional economic criteria for judging investments are not always thought appropriate for rural electrification because of the largely non quantifiable benefits that are thought to ensue including its bias towards helping the poor its catalytic role in stimulating rural development its role in reducing the adverse consequences of rural urban migration and the enabling of improved literacy rates and its general contribution to political stability this paper looks at each of these benefits in turn and asks what evidence there is to substantiate them the paper argues that conventional rate of return criteria should play a stronger role in determining rural electrification expenditures and that some of the non monetary benefits appear neither to be widespread nor as strong as supporters of rural electricity suggest while rural electrification is nonetheless important in the development process it is more usefully integrated into wider rural energy development schemes

solar feed in tariffs examining fair and reasonable retail rates using cost avoidance estimates abstract growing solar photovoltaic pv electricity systems in geographically diverse regions presents a complex policy problem for governments during 2013 16 the queensland government in australia examined establishing a fair and reasonable retail feed in tariff fit policy noting it regulates state retail electricity consumption prices a combined cost avoidance and stakeholder analysis was applied to show that determination of a fair and reasonable fit for all stakeholders while aspirational is difficult to achieve typically agreement on a fair tariff rate will depend on stakeholders relative position in energy supply chains service providers retailers suppliers customers advocates and interpretations of fairness that can be shaped by competition in the supply area also increases in financial benefits to pv customers might be considered unreasonable by non pv customers and retailers that experience increases in electricity prices and operating costs importantly the application of a retail fit in regional and isolated areas requires careful energy policy design taking account of network losses remote and isolated customer metering cost effective network control technologies and diesel generator operating limits the study also observed that shifting funding of fit schemes from electricity distributors to competitive retailers will likely have negative consequences for retail fit offerings and pv customer servicing

how effective are fiscal incentives for r d a review of the evidence this paper surveys the econometric evidence on the effectiveness of fiscal incentives for r d we describe the effects of tax systems in oecd countries on the user cost of r d the current position changes over time and across different firms in different countries we describe and criticize the methodologies used to evaluate the effect of the tax system on

opportunity costs in buying and short selling do they really matter abstract the experimental results of the paper reveal that people do not take into consideration opportunity costs or opportunity profits when buying and short selling lottery tickets these results are inconsistent with basic economic and finance theories

from linear fuel switching to multiple cooking strategies a critique and alternative to the energy ladder model abstract promoting sustainable development requires evaluating the technical and policy options that will facilitate the adoption and use of energy efficient and less polluting cooking stoves and practices the transition from traditional to modern fuels and devices has been explained by the energy ladder model that suggests that with increasing affluence a progression is expected from traditional biomass fuels to more advanced and less polluting fuels in this paper we evaluate the energy ladder model utilizing data from a four year 1992 96 case study of a village in mexico and from a large scale survey from four states of mexico we show that an alternate multiple fuel model of stove and fuel management based on the observed pattern of household accumulation of energy options rather than the simple progression depicted in the traditional energy ladder scenario more accurately depicts cooking fuel use patterns in rural households the multiple fuel model integrates four factors demonstrated to be essential in household decision making under conditions of resource scarcity or uncertainty a economics of fuel and stove type and access conditions to fuels b technical characteristics of cookstoves and cooking practices c cultural preferences and d health impacts this model also allows better estimates of the expected fuelwood demand and indoor air pollution in rural households

the role for low carbon electrification technologies in poverty reduction and climate change strategies a focus on renewable energy mini grids with case studies in nepal peru and kenya abstract as a potential poverty reduction and climate change strategy this paper considers the advantages and disadvantages of using renewable energy technologies for rural electrification in developing countries although each case must be considered independently given a reliable fuel source renewable energy mini grids powered by biomass gasifiers or micro hydro plants appear to be the favoured option due to their lower levelised costs provision of ac power potential to provide a 24 h service and ability to host larger capacity systems that can power a wide range of electricity uses sustainability indicators are applied to three case studies in order to explore the extent to which sustainable welfare benefits can be created by renewable energy mini grids policy work should focus on raising awareness about renewable energy mini grids improving institutional technical and regulatory frameworks and developing innovative financing mechanisms to encourage private sector investments establishing joint technology and community engagement training centres should also be encouraged

sustainable energy planning leapfrogging the energy poverty gap in africa abstract the present paper introduces the results of a spatial economic analysis that identifies the least cost rural electrification options that can bring the persistent energy poverty to an end in sub saharan africa the rationale behind the analysis is that the applicable energy technologies have gone through fundamental changes and these have profound effects on the competitiveness of the various options the least cost distributed generation options are calculated for each geographical location for mini hydro off grid pv and diesel generators options and it is compared to the electricity grid extension the methodology presented in this manuscript organises the scarcely available energy related local and regional geo information into comprehensible maps the set of tools presented and the results based on those analyses can support decision and policy makers to plan for the least cost rural electrification options while also adapting to the most effective way to reduce energy poverty this can help in the national rural electrification plans by delineating which communities cannot be reached by existing grid without excessive extension costs and gives the alternative distributed generation option

financing low carbon energy access in africa modern energy access in africa is critical to meeting a wide range of developmental challenges including poverty reduction and the millennium development goals mdgs despite having a huge amount and variety of energy resources modern energy access in the continent is abysmal especially sub saharan africa only about 31 of the sub saharan african population have access to electricity while traditional biomass energy accounts for over 80 of energy consumption in many sub saharan african countries with energy use per capita among the lowest in the world there is no doubt that africa will need to increase its energy consumption to drive economic growth and human development africa also faces a severe threat from global climate change with vulnerabilities in several key areas or sectors in the continent including agriculture water supply energy etc low carbon development provides opportunities for african countries to improve and expand access to modern energy services while also building low emission and climate resilient economies however access to finance from different sources will be critical in achieving these objectives this paper sets out to explore the financial instruments available for low carbon energy access in africa including the opportunities markets and risks in low carbon energy investments in the continent

adaptation of feed in tariff for remote mini grids tanzania as an illustrative case abstract following the successful feed in tariffs fits system worldwide few countries have implemented fits explicitly tailored for off grid or mini grid systems this study takes an integrated approach to examine the feasibility of an off grid feed in tariff off fit for existing and new remote mini grids in tanzania using a combination of geographical analysis technical economic and institutional assessments based on detailed modelling of two community off grid cases i pv diesel and ii mini hydro we identify least cost rural electrification options that make solar and mini hydro energy competitive with diesel generators and potential effect of the support scheme on rural electrification plans in the first case we illustrate where the off fit complements diesel generation of an existing mini grid pv diesel in the second case mini hydro we illustrate conditions where the off fit policy brings mini hydro generation to non electrified communities and sells renewable electricity directly to new customers currently tanzania has standardized power purchase spp rates which target generators connected to the national grid and distribution systems of mini grids or isolated grids we found for the off fit tariff the total amount needed to support the same number of customers by solar and hydro mini grids versus diesel would be of 31 5 million us or a premium of 0 11 us kwh to the present current spps tariff of 0 24 us kwh for pv we also found that a technology specific fit tariff would be most suitable to attract national and international investors by providing a rate of return that compensates the risk of the investment the overall support is comparable to the 36 million us that the government currently subsidizes and allocates to diesel mini grids in country and this shows the potential for a long term renewable energy strategy for mini grid areas

rural electrification in the developing world abstract rural electrification does not cause development electricity is a derived demand occurring only when an area has reached a certain economic level this has important consequences for the choice of areas for electrification rural electrification subsidies are generally excessive and tariffs need to be greatly increased renewable energy sources should be analysed on the same technical and economic basis as conventional supply systems particular care is required when considering photovoltaic systems for pre electrification community management may provide a means of electricity supply for some villages but the key questions are likely to be institutional and managerial rather than technical

community based electric micro grids can contribute to rural development evidence from kenya summary in this paper we clarify the mechanisms through which rural electrification can contribute to rural development through a detailed case study analysis of a community based electric micro grid in rural kenya we demonstrate that access to electricity enables the use of electric equipment and tools by small and micro enterprises resulting in significant improvement in productivity per worker 100 200 depending on the task at hand and in a corresponding growth in income levels in the order of 20 70 depending on the product made access to electricity simultaneously enables and improves the delivery of social and business services from a wide range of village level infrastructure e g schools markets and water pumps while improving the productivity of agricultural activities we find that increased productivity and growth in revenues within the context of better delivery of social and business support services contribute to achieving higher social and economic benefits for rural communities we also demonstrate that when local electricity users have an ability to charge and enforce cost reflective tariffs and when electricity consumption is closely linked to productive uses that generate incomes cost recovery is feasible 2008 elsevier ltd all rights reserved

short selling constraints as cause for price distortions an experimental study in this paper we explore the influence of the possibility to short stocks and or borrow money in laboratory markets a key innovation of our study is that subjects can simultaneously trade two risky assets on two double auction markets allowing us to differentiate between assets with relatively high versus low capitalization divergence of opinions is created by providing each trader with noisy information on the intrinsic values of both assets we find that when borrowing money or shorting stocks is restricted prices are systematically distorted specifically stocks with high low capitalization are traded at lower higher prices than their fundamental value lifting the restrictions leads to more efficient prices and more liquidity thereby also lowering volatility and bid ask spreads

short sales constraints and price discovery evidence from the hong kong market short sales practices in the hong kong stock market are unique in that only stocks on a list of designated securities can be sold short by analyzing the price effects following the addition of individual stocks to the list we find that short sales constraints tend to cause stock overvaluation and that the overvaluation effect is more dramatic for individual stocks for which wider dispersion of investor opinions exists these findings are consistent with miller s 1977 intuition and other optimism models we also document higher volatility and less positive skewness of individual stock returns when short sales are allowed the question of how short sales impact capital markets is highly controversial with short sale regulations varying widely across countries and capital markets 1 although short selling has been carried out for years in major financial markets around the world its effects on market efficiency especially on pricing efficiency remain of interest to financial researchers miller 1977 theorizes that in the presence of short sales constraints security prices tend to reflect a more optimistic valuation than the average opinion of potential investors and thus tend to be upward biased this overvaluation argument is based on two conditions 1 a security s short sales are either prohibited or costly and 2 investors have heterogeneous beliefs or information about the security s value the underlying intuition is quite straightforward pessimistic investors are forced to sit out of the market when short sales are not available and thus some negative information is not reflected in prices enabling enthusiastic buyers to bid prices above the level that average investors perceive as fair this argument has significant implications for market efficiency theories since one of the major functions of capital markets is price discovery indeed an efficient market should be a market in which prices always

the effect of short selling on bubbles and crashes in experimental spot asset markets a series of experiments illustrate that relaxing short selling constraints lowers prices in experimental asset markets but does not induce prices to track fundamentals we argue that prices in experimental asset markets are influenced by restrictions on short selling capacity and limits on the cash available for purchases restrictions on short sales in the form of cash reserve requirements and quantity limits on short positions behave in a similar manner a simulation model based on delong et al 1990 generates average price patterns that are similar to the observed data asset market bubbles are persistent deviations of prices from fundamentals to the extent that bubbles exist they can influence investment levels and the allocation of capital and thereby have considerable economic effects in recognition of their potential importance the question of the existence and pervasiveness of bubbles has been a focus of extensive empirical investigation see e g shiller 1981 blanchard and watson 1982 diba and grossman 1988 and west 1988 these studies yield mixed results regarding the empirical relevance of bubble phenomena one source of the differences in conclusions may be that because the fundamental value of the assets cannot be observed tests of the presence of bubbles are joint tests with the particular specification of the process guiding the evolution of fundamentals also being tested the availability of short selling is widely believed to make bubble formation less likely one rationale for such a belief is the notion that the cause of asset market bubbles is a constraint on the ability of traders to speculate on future downward price movements see e g miller 1977 jarrow 1980 diamond and verrecchia 1987 or figlewski and webb 1993 in the absence of short sales traders may sell only the shares in their portfolios the availability of short sales relaxes this constraint in this paper we study empirically the effect of allowing short sales on both the incidence and magnitude of market bubbles we choose a setting in which the fundamental value of the asset is clearly and unambiguously defined and known at all times and bubbles typically occur namely we use the experimental environment that smith suchanek and williams 1988 introduce while

connective power solar electrification and social change in kenya summary market based rural electrification with solar energy is increasingly common in developing countries this article revolves around three main claims about solar electrification in kenya s unsubsidized market 1 the benefits of solar electrification are captured primarily by the rural middle class 2 solar electricity plays a modest role in supporting economically productive and education related activities but connective applications such as television radio and cellular telephone charging often receive a higher priority 3 solar electrification is more closely tied to increased television use the expansion of markets more rural urban communication and other processes that increase rural urban connectivity than to poverty alleviation sustainable development or the appropriate technology movement

enabling private sector investment in microgrid based rural electrification in developing countries a review access to electricity is widely recognized as an important factor for economic and social development low rates of access particularly in remote rural areas in regions such as sub saharan africa south asia and southeast asia have led developing nations and international organizations to set ambitious goals to expand the reach of electricity decentralized solutions such as microgrids have been proposed as cost effective solutions to reaching communities located far from central grid infrastructure lack of capital from public and donor sources has severely impeded achieving access goals leading to calls for greater private sector participation in electrification activities however due to the high level of risk associated with decentralized electrification projects in low income areas marginal expected returns on investment and a lack of clear and effective public policy the private sector has not shown significant interest in participating in such projects the purpose of this paper is to review barriers to private sector participation in decentralized electrification projects and to identify solutions that have been implemented and proposed to overcome these barriers the barriers discussed include unsecure revenue streams inability to finance projects and long term project risks such as grid encroachment the range of interventions and business models reviewed include methods to secure reliable demand subsidy models risk guarantees and different revenue models this paper does not include an analysis of the effectiveness of the different interventions described future research should evaluate the relative costs and benefits of these interventions in order to provide robust policy guidance to decision makers in developing countries

scaling up finance for off grid renewable energy the role of aggregation and spatial diversification in derisking investments in mini grids for rural electrification in india abstract today about 1 1 billion people lack access to electricity worldwide it is estimated that annual investments of 48 billion usd are required to meet the target of the sustainable development goals of providing universal electricity access by 2030 the need for private investments to meet this target is evident but small scale electrification projects are often unattractive for private investors due to unfavourable risk return profiles and small investment volumes both issues can potentially be addressed by aggregating projects into diversified portfolios an approach commonly used by investors in several contexts but little investigated in the context of rural electrification this paper addresses the question of how spatial diversity in a portfolio can be used to reduce investment risks and increase investment volumes through a mixed method approach involving three steps i identification and classification of investment risks for renewable energy mini grid projects ii qualitative analysis of the correlations between investment risks for different projects through interviews and iii quantitative estimation of the cost of capital and derisking effects of spatial diversification strategies for an experimental portfolio in india we discuss the implications for policymakers in promoting and facilitating the ability of private sector investors to aggregate small scale electrification investments

the need for improved financial reporting of a developing country energy utility abstract some consideration has been given to regulatory and institutional reforms to facilitate sustainable development in electricity usage in papua new guinea but little attention has been paid to bringing about full compliance of financial reporting expectations of the country s main energy utility examining documentary evidence of the audit reports of the auditor general s office of papua new guinea this study considers the financial reporting compliance of png power for the period 2007 2013 and the means by which compliant reporting may be improved the results of the study reveal that the financial statements of png power are late and receive disclaimers of opinion from the auditor general s office which suggest that png power s stakeholders are not receiving accurate and reliable financial information to make informed decisions about sustainable development of electricity usage and planning in papua new guinea the study reveals that it would take little resources to improve png power s reporting which in turn could enhance national energy policy decision making and energy utility accountability

efficiency and the bear short sales and markets around the world we analyze cross sectional and time series information from 46 equity markets around the world to consider whether short sales restrictions affect the efficiency of the market and the distributional characteristics of returns to individual stocks and market indices we find some evidence that prices incorporate negative information faster in countries where short sales are allowed and practiced a common conjecture by regulators is that short sales restrictions can reduce the relative severity of a market panic we find strong evidence that in markets where short selling is either prohibited or not practiced market returns display significantly less negative skewness

how much information is incorporated in financial asset prices experimental evidence we propose a new estimation method and use experimental data from multiple double auction experiments in the literature to directly estimate how much information is incorporated in financial market prices we find that public information is almost completely reflected in prices but that surprisingly little private information less than 50 is incorporated in prices our estimates therefore suggest that while semi strong informational efficiency is consistent with the data financial market prices may be very far from strong form efficiency we compare our estimates with beliefs of economists surveyed at the econometric society meetings and find that economists and finance researchers alike expect market prices to reflect considerably more private information than what we estimated

short interest explanations and tests cross sectional and time series tests are performed to explain levels and changes in short interest explanatory variables and tests are chosen based on tax arbitrage and speculative reasons for going short short interest is found to follow a seasonal pattern that is weakly consistent with tax based trading stocks with high betas and the existence of convertible securities or options tend to have higher levels of short interest which is con sistent with arbitrage efforts for firms with traded options there is a positive association between the month to month changes in option open interest and short interest prior months returns and changes in short interest are positively related but there is no rela tionship between changes in short interest and returns in the subsequent month

rural electrification policy and institutional linkages some of the problems that have besieged rural electrification in most developing countries include inadequate policies weak institutional frameworks and limited financing in the last two decades governments in developing countries have been making various efforts both at the policy level and in financing to facilitate increased levels of rural electrification however the introduction of market based reforms in the power sector in the last decade has affected the institutional and financing arrangements for rural electrification the reforms have also affected the rate of electrification and affordability of electricity there is need therefore to establish the extent to which the reforms have affected access and affordability of electricity in rural areas and to develop appropriate policy and the supporting institutional structures to align rural electrification with reformed power sectors it is cardinal to establish how privatised and commercialised power companies in a reformed power sector could contribute to rural electrification and the role of governments and government agents in facilitating expanded access to electricity in rural areas

financing off grid sustainable energy access for the poor this paper examines the role of public instruments in promoting private finance to achieve off grid sustainable energy access renewable energy technologies are increasingly becoming the cheapest solutions for off grid energy access the dramatic uptake of mobile phones in developing countries shows how quickly decentralized services can develop on a commercial basis under the right conditions and raises the prospect that private finance could also drive decentralized energy access for the poor indeed there are already a number of instances of clean energy solutions such as solar portable lights household biogas units or solar home systems that have managed to scale up through leveraging private finance however the experience gained from first generation market development projects show that in almost all cases significant public resources have been necessary to increase the affordability of clean energy technologies provide access to financing for the poor and remove non economic barriers such public interventions may be funded by international public finance domestic budgets and carbon finance despite mounting fiscal constraints facing governments worldwide the emergence of new sources of climate finance and the political momentum in support of energy subsidy reforms as well as new programming modalities offer opportunities to leverage additional resources to achieve universal energy access by 2030

options short sale constraints and market efficiency a new perspective this paper undertakes a new investigation of the potential for options to mitigate short sale constraints i find that option introduction alleviates 79 of the price adjustment efficiency disparity between short sale constrained and unconstrained stocks in relation to negative news no significant improvement in adjustment efficiency is found in response to positive information these results are robust to controls for endogeneity biases associated with the option introduction selection process further i find evidence that post option improvement in efficiency is similar in relation to private and public information this suggests that short sale constraint effects stem at least in part from an irrational optimism bias or another behavioral source as suggested theoretically by miller 1977 collectively these results suggest that options act as an effective substitute to short sales significantly contributing to the informational efficiency of the market

short selling and the wta wtp gap abstract the experimental results of the current paper reveal positive relations between short selling bidding prices and the wta wtp gap this result may be explained by the status quo bias

institutional barriers to a perfect policy a case study of the senegalese rural electrification plan abstract this paper investigates the political and institutional factors that have influenced the success of the senegalese rural electrification action plan plan d action senegalais d electrification rurale paser paser is of interest because its innovative design attracted extensive offers of finance from donors and independent power providers however it has had limited effect on electrification levels this paper examines paser s progress and problems in detail with the aim of informing rural electrification policy internationally an extensive literature review was combined with 26 semi structured stakeholder interviews to produce a snapshot of the plan s status after its first decade of operation paser s experiences are compared with other reform based rural electrification initiatives across sub saharan africa paser has faced significant institutional and political barriers with delays arising from organisational opposition inconsistent ministerial support protracted consultations and the inherent challenges of implementing an innovative policy framework in a country with limited institutional capacity the development of human and institutional capacity has been compromised by inconsistent political commitment such experiences mirror those of electrification initiatives across sub saharan africa whilst paser s successes in garnering external support and fundraising are noteworthy and won praise from early reviews in terms of delivery the plan has failed to resolve common institutional barriers

access to electricity in small island developing states of the pacific issues and challenges abstract energy poverty is widespread in small island developing states sids of the pacific it is estimated that 70 percent of pacific islander households do not have access to electricity which is equivalent to access rates in sub saharan africa and slightly below the average for low income countries pacific sids face unique challenges in expanding access to electricity given that their populations are spread across tens of thousands of islands governments and development partners in pacific sids continue to prioritise development of electricity grids as is evident in ongoing subsidisation of grid based power consumption and the establishment of ambitious grid based renewable energy targets this paper argues that traditional approaches to rural electrification which prioritise grid extension are not suited to the pacific islands region increased funding should be directed by both governments and development partners towards rural electrification especially in off grid areas where isolated systems are more appropriate institutional reform is also important regulatory reform is needed for power utilities to extend electricity grids into rural areas institutional arrangements that facilitate the sustainable operation and maintenance of off grid systems also need to be established past donor and government funded off grid rural electrification projects have rarely been sustainable alternative approaches involving payment of output based subsidies to energy service companies are worth exploring although will only succeed where sound regulatory arrangements are in place

do r d tax credits work evidence from an international panel of countries 1979 1994 this paper examines the impact of fiscal incentives on the level of rd and just under a 10 per cent rise in r d in the long run

towards understanding the benefits and challenges of smart micro grid for electricity supply system in nigeria the poor state of electricity supply system in nigeria is threatening the welfare and security of life and properties of millions of individuals with adverse economic consequences for the country the inadequacy of the national grid especially the inability of the electricity generation capacity to match increasing demand in the country has led to increasing agitation for increased penetration of renewable energy sources ress into the electricity supply mix while great attention has been focused on the potential of ress for electricity generation in the country little or no attention has been given to the application of smart micro grid sm g technologies to the ageing nigeria grid infrastructures and electrification of the rural areas the aim of this paper is to bring into focus the benefits and challenges of enabling sm g in the electricity supply system in nigeria sm g will bring benefits to the electricity stakeholders in form of improvements in reliability efficiency economics environment security and safety the paper gives an overview and reviews the current state of the electricity supply system in the country it discusses the sm g concepts and associated technologies and highlights how they can help address the electricity problems in the country the challenges of applying these concepts in nigeria context are also discussed enabling sm g in the country will not only lead to improvement in the quality efficiency and reliability of the electricity grid but also promote the provision of electricity supply to the remote rural areas using ress

the prospects for local private investment in tanzania s rural electrification abstract the aim of this paper is to investigate whether local investors are capable of establishing and managing power sector enterprises in tanzania the paper then examines the extent to which this capability could be harnessed to enhance rural electrification especially of the poor the data used were obtained from interviews of power sector stakeholders three major conclusions arise from the findings first it seems that substantial local ownership is possible in small power enterprises but is limited in the larger ones second available evidence suggests that the terms and conditions of local financial institutions are major constraining factors on the ability of local investors to mobilise finance locally third it appears that on the overall technical managerial and professional capabilities needed to set up operate and manage independent power production ipp and independent power distribution ipd enterprises exist locally

options short sales and market completeness this paper presents empirical evidence that trading in options contributes to both transactional and informational efficiency of the stock market by reducing the effect of constraints on short sales the significantly higher average level of short interest exhibited by optionable stocks supports the argument that options facilitate short selling we also find significant effects on option prices related to the short interest in the underlying stock we then present evidence that options also increase information efficiency earlier work that is replicated and extended here has suggested that short sale constraints cause stock prices to underweight negative information options appear to reduce that effect

globalization and the connection of remote communities a review of household effects and their biodiversity implications abstract the remote regions of the world provide refuge to a disproportionate amount of the earth s biodiversity as globalization continues isolated human communities in these regions are increasingly connected to global market migration and technology networks we review the diffuse literature on the household effects of changing market access migration and technology adoption in remote regions and implications for native biodiversity market access affects biodiversity in remote communities through changes in household economics and social networks migration either to or from remote settlements affects biodiversity through changes in population remittances human capital and social networks finally we consider effects due to production public infrastructure and information and communication technologies there is much ambiguity surrounding these causal pathways and thus we also examine the roles of various ecological household community and institutional mediating factors in determining the impacts of global connection finally we explore the limitations of our current knowledge and research practices and propose directions for future work to address key uncertainties in theory and evidence as well as weaknesses in methodological approaches we recommend a broad and interdisciplinary mode of inquiry as the best means toward clarifying globalization s impacts on human settlements and the biodiversity harbored in the earth s remaining remote regions

access and affordability of electricity in developing countries summary a key objective of developing countries is to provide affordable access to modern energy services in order to support economic and social development the paper presents a number of arguments for why and in which way energy access and affordability can play a key role in national development programs and in achieving the millennium development goals approaches for measuring accessibility and affordability are presented drawing on case studies of bangladesh brazil and south africa countries with different rates of electrification affordability of using electricity is examined in relation to the energy expenditure burden for households and time consumption conclusions focus on lessons learned and recommendations for implementing policies instruments and regulatory measures to tackle the challenge of affordability

enabling mini grid development in rural india summary rural electrification rates in india lag behind government goals in part due to the inability of distribution companies discoms to fund central grid expansion in the absence of central grid electrification mini grids offer significant potential for an immediate pathway toward rural electrification and the attendant gains in economic growth and productivity yet private investment in mini grids has been virtually absent in india using a comprehensive life cycle cost analysis we find that mini grids based on solar pv power and storage are more economical than incumbent energy services available to households without central grid connection under current law a prospective entrepreneur in india does not require a license or certification in order to build a mini grid and subsequently provide electricity services in the area covered by said installation conversely there is no legal or regulatory framework that specifies what is to happen if the central grid were to be extended to an area that is already covered by a mini grid we report detailed survey evidence from interviews with entrepreneurs analysts and policymakers whose assessments converge on the same point mini grid investments would be jeopardized in the event of central grid extension precisely because discoms would by regulatory order provide electricity services at highly subsidized rates well below their full economic cost our fieldwork suggests that the threat of central grid extension is a gateway barrier preventing mini grid development in india the issues associated with the gateway barrier have common elements with the so called holdup problem as identified in the economics of organizations there have been two recent federal policy guidelines and one actual state level policy addressing the regulatory status of mini grids we examine the effectiveness of these policies proposals in terms of an entrepreneur s willingness to develop mini grids in the future

uk industrial policy old tunes on new instruments this paper discusses the current labour government s industrial policy as most recently reflected in its document on manufacturing strategy in the context of industrial policy in the uk over the last 50 years and the form that it has taken elsewhere in europe it concludes that the thematic priorities for uk industrial policy in the 1960s international competitiveness innovation competition and skills continue to be the key themes of uk policy today the paper presents data that illustrate the gaps that exist in key indicators of performance between the uk and its main economic competitors the difference between the 1960s and the 2000s is that there are new instruments of policy two areas in particular are focused on competition policy and technology policy and an attempt is made to assess the likely effectiveness of these new instruments the paper concludes that the international evidence base for these new approaches is reasonably robust but that it is still too soon to tell if they are having the hoped for impact on the performance of the uk economy copyright 2002 oxford university press