the evolving landscape of banking the structure of the financial services industry is in flux liberalization deregulation and advances in information technology have changed the financial landscape dramatically interbank competition has heated up and banks face increasing competition from nonbanking financial institutions and the financial markets the predictability of the industry with low levels of financial innovation little innovation in distribution channels and well defined and rigid institutional structures is gone product innovations new distribution channels and emerging new competitors are in abundance moreover the subprime crisis that has hit the financial sector in 2007 2008 appears to have a major impact on the structure of the industry this article emphasizes the importance of understanding the economics of banking for assessing the changes in the industry in particular we point at relationship banking as a prime source of the banks comparative advantage the proliferation of transaction oriented banking trading and financial market activities does however seriously challenge relationship banking in order to focus on these issues in a rigorous way we will evaluate the key insights from the relationship banking literature including the potential complementarities and conflicts of interest between intermediated relationship banking activities and financial market underwriting securitization etc activities we also address the issue of the optimal conglomeration of bank activities including the empirical evidence on scope and scale economies we analyze the strategic positioning of banks in the currently highly uncertain competitive arena and link this to the theory of the firm and particularly firm boundaries and learning

conglomerate investment under various capital market conditions abstract this paper studies the investment of diversified and focused firms under various capital market conditions when external capital becomes more costly at the aggregate level investment declines in focused firms but remains unchanged in diversified firms this investment advantage enjoyed by diversified firms could attribute to both their easy access to external capital and their ability to substitute internal capital markets for costly external markets consistent with the internal capital market argument our findings show that the investment advantage exists for diversified firms even after we control for their easy access to external markets we also find that the role of internal markets in financing investment is more important for diversified firms that are more financially constrained in external markets finally we find that the segment level investment becomes more efficient in conglomerates internal capital markets under depressed external capital market conditions overall our findings suggest that internal capital allocation functions as a valuable and efficient substitute for diversified firms in a tightened external capital market

does diversification destroy value evidence from the industry shocks does corporate diversification reduce shareholder value since firms endogenously choose to diversify exogenous variation in diversification is necessary to draw inferences about the causal effect we examine changes in the within firm dispersion of industry investment or diversity we find that exogenous changes in diversity due to changes in industry investment are negatively related to firm value thus diversification destroys value consistent with the inefficient internal capital markets hypothesis measurement error does not cause this finding we also find that exogenous changes in industry cash flow diversity are negatively related to firm value r 2002 elsevier science s a all rights reserved jel classification g34

industry classifications and return comovement a company s industry affiliation is commonly used to construct homogeneous stock groupings for portfolio risk management relative valuation and peer group comparisons a variety of industry classification systems have been adopted however creating disagreements as to companies industry assignments this analysis of the global industry classification system gics and fama french system indicates that common movement in returns and operating performance resulting from industry effects is stronger for stocks of large companies than for those of small companies also increasingly fine levels of disaggregation improve discrimination up to six digit gics codes after which the benefits tail off stock groupings based on industry exhibit stronger out of sample homogeneity than groups formed from statistical cluster analysis

the effects of human resource management practices on productivity a study of steel finishing lines the authors investigate the productivity effects of innovative employment practices using data from a sample of thirty six homogeneous steel production lines owned by seventeen companies the productivity regressions demonstrate that lines using a set of innovative work practices which include incentive pay teams flexible job assignments employment security and training achieve substantially higher levels of productivity than do lines with the more traditional approach which includes narrow job definitions strict work rules and hourly pay with close supervision their results are consistent with recent theoretical models which stress the importance of complementarities among work practices

e ztax tax salience and tax rates this paper examines whether the salience of a tax system affects equilibrium tax rates i analyze how tolls change after toll facilities adopt electronic toll collection etc drivers are substantially less aware of tolls paid electronically i estimate that in steady state tolls are 20 to 40 percent higher than they would have been without etc consistent with a salience based explanation for this toll increase i find that under etc driving becomes less elastic with respect to the toll and toll setting becomes less sensitive to the electoral calendar alternative explanations appear unlikely to be able to explain the findings

internal capital markets and the competition for corporate resources this article examines the role of corporate headquarters in allocating scarce resources to competing projects in an internal capital market unlike a bank headquarters has control rights that enable it to engage in winner picking the practice of actively shifting funds from one project to another by doing a good job in the winner picking dimension headquarters can create value even when it cannot help at all to relax overall firm wide credit constraints the model implies that internal capital markets may sometimes function more efficiently when headquarters oversees a small and focused set of projects this article analyzes the process by which internal capital markets channel limited resources to different uses inside a company in so doing it seeks to address two related sets of questions first what is the fundamental economic rationale for creating an internal capital market that is under what circumstances can it make sense to combine several technologically distinct projects under one roof and have them seek funding from corporate headquarters as opposed to setting them up as stand alone companies that each raise external financing on their own second given this rationale what is the optimal size and scope of an internal capital market should headquarters be involved in funding a large number of projects or just a few and should these projects be unrelated to one another or in similar lines of business the answers to both sets of questions flow from the insight that in a credit constrained setting where not all positive npv projects can be financed headquarters can create value by actively reallocating scarce funds across projects for example the cash flow generated by one division s activities may be taken and spent on investment in another division where the returns are higher or alternatively one division s assets may be used as collateral to raise financing that is then diverted to the other division simply put individual projects must compete for the scarce funds and headquarters job is to pick the winners and losers in this competition

revisiting the bright and dark sides of capital flows in business groups prior studies report that the business group structure and the associated intra group capital flows are prone to conflicts of interest between controlling shareholders and minority investors yet business group is a prevalent and stable structure around the globe particularly where capital markets are underdeveloped using data from china this paper empirically studies the trade off between the negative and positive roles played by intra group capital flows and tests the efficiency implications of such trade off we find that from the perspective of the whole group intra group capital flows are most efficient when the groups are least subject to conflicts of interest between controlling shareholders and minority shareholders and when they face strong external financing constraints

how much does country matter an analysis of firms growth options recent international strategy research emphasizes the importance of understanding the effects of geographic location on firms strategies and performance outcomes we contribute to this research by providing empirical evidence that the interplay of country and industry effects matters substantially in explaining the variation in the value of growth options of firms based in different countries our results show that country industry effects are the second largest source of variation following firm effects while industry and country effects are relatively small when considered in their own right that valuable growth options are tied to country and industry interactions has important implications for international strategy research and practice

intertemporal cost allocation and managerial investment incentives a theory explaining the use of economic value added as a performance measure this paper provides a formal analysis of how managerial investment incentives are affected by alternative allocation rules when managerial compensation is based on accounting measures of income that include allocations for investment expenditures the main result is that there exists a unique allocation rule that always induces the manager to choose the efficient investment level the income measure created by this allocation rule is usually referred to as residual income or economic value added

reaching for the stars who pays for talent in innovative industries innovative firms need to hire and motivate highly talented workers this article connects the potential returns to innovation to the structure of compensation for skilled employees we show that the software firms that operate in software sectors with high potential upside gains to innovation pay more to star workers than do other firms that operate in stable markets firms operating in product domains with highly skewed positive returns pay employees more in up front starting salaries and offer higher compensation growth the large estimated effects on earnings are robust to the inclusion of a wide range of controls for worker and firm characteristics

internal equity financing and the performance of multinational subsidiaries in emerging economies we examine the internal equity financing of the multinational subsidiary which retains and reinvests its own earnings internal equity financing is a type of firm specific advantage fsa along with other traditional fsas in innovation research and development brands and management skills it also reflects subsidiary level financial management decision making here we test the contributions of internal equity financing and subsidiary level financial management decision making to subsidiary performance using original survey data from british multinational subsidiaries in six emerging countries in the south east asia region our first finding is that internal equity financing acts as an fsa to improve subsidiary performance our second finding is that over 90 of financing sources including capital investment by the parent firms in the british subsidiaries come from internal funding our third finding is that subsidiary level financial management decision making has a statistically significant positive impact on subsidiary performance our findings advance the theoretical empirical and managerial analysis of subsidiary performance in emerging economies

the value of embedded real options evidence from consumer automobile lease contracts under the common assumption of constant interest rates we show that penalties for early termination of a lease are often structured in such a way that the cancellation option embedded in consumer automotive leases has little value furthermore our estimates drawn from a sample of three popular car models over 1990 to 2000 indicate that the stand alone value of the lease end purchase option is on average about 16 of the market value of underlying used vehicles or about 1 462 per contract finally we examine the sensitivity of our option value estimates to model parameters and default risk recent years have witnessed a dramatic growth in the leasing of automobiles for instance overall industry sales data indicate that about a third of the new vehicles and trucks sold in the united states are leased hendel and lizzeri 2002 and miller 1995 and the federal reserve board survey of family finances reports that the use of leased vehicles by individuals nonbusiness consumers has risen from 2 9 to 5 8 over the 1992 to 2001 period azicorbe kennickell and moore 2003 consumer automobile lease contracts for new cars often include two embedded options that are not associated with a typical debt contract the first is a cancellation option that allows the lessee to terminate the lease early the second is a european call option which gives the lessee the right but not the obligation to purchase the leased used vehicle at the scheduled termination of the lease at a predetermined exercise price both of these options are simple examples of real options because the asset underlying these options is a used car that is a real asset however these options constitute a special case of real options since they are embedded in the lease contract which is a financial credit instrument theoretical analyses of lease contracts show that the cancellation option is quite valuable schallheim and mcconnell 1985 with respect to the purchase option hendel and lizzeri 2002 argue that they can play an important role in

asset price shocks financial constraints and investment evidence from japan this paper examines investment spending of japanese firms around the asset price bubble in the late 1980s and makes three contributions to our understanding of how stock valuations affect investment first corporate investment responds significantly to nonfundamental components of stock valuations during asset price shocks fundamentals matter less clearly the stock market is not a sideshow second the time series variation in the sensitivity of investment to cash flow is affected more by changes in monetary policy than by shifts in collateral values finally asset price shocks primarily affect firms that rely more on bank financing and not necessarily those that use equity markets for financing only the investment of bank dependent firms responds to nonfundamental valuations in addition the cash flow sensitivity of bank dependent firms with large collateral assets decreases when asset prices become inflated but increases dramatically when asset prices collapse and monetary policy tightens

an economic approach to influence activities in organizations members of organizations spend considerable time effort and ingenuity attempting to influence decision makers such influence activities may bring benefits to the organization but they also involve real costs this essay offers an economic rationale for such influence activity as representing rational self interested behavior in the presence of informational asymmetries and an analysis of how the design of the organization s structure and policies should respond to the incentives for attempting influence it is posited that information valuable for the organization s decision making is directly available only to members of the organization who have some personal stake in the decisions these individuals may then have an incentive to try to manipulate the information they develop and provide in order to influence the resulting decisions to their benefits this can be costly both in degrading the quality of decision making and in diverting the attention and effort of the organization s members from more productive activities the organization has three different methods it can employ to discourage excessive influence activities and to encourage more directly productive uses of time and effort it can limit access to decision makers and participation in decision making it can alter its decision making criteria to favor those performing well in productive activities and it can provide direct financial incentives to encourage the desired allocation of effort it is shown that an efficiently designed organization will use such financial incentives only as a last resort instead it will always first alter its decision participation policies and decisionmaking criteria

subjective performance measures in optimal incentive contracts objective measures of performance are seldom perfect in response incentive contracts often include important subjective components that mitigate incentive distortions caused by imperfect objective measures this paper explores the combined use of subjective and objective performance measures in respectively implicit and explicit incentive contracts naturally objective and subjective measures often are substitutes sometimes strikingly so we show that if objective measures are sufficiently close to perfect then no implicit contracts are feasible because the firm s fallback position after reneging on an implicit contract is too attractive we also show however that objective and subjective measures can reinforce each other if objective measures become more accurate then in some circumstances the optimal contract puts more weight on subjective measures because the improved objective measures increase the value of the ongoing relationship and so reduce the firm s incentive to renege we also analyze the use of subjective weights on objective performance measures and provide case study evidence consistent with our analyses

savings in times of demographic change lessons from the german experience pension reforms in many developed countries make individuals shoulder a bigger share of longevity and income risks the desired response is that individuals accumulate private assets for retirement whether this actually takes place is of paramount relevance for scientists and policy makers we take germany as an example twenty years of pension reform have transformed the monolithic german pension system into a multi pillar system formerly generous public pension benefits are gradually being reduced while substantial incentives are granted to occupational and private saving schemes has this transition worked out we survey the reform steps and household s reactions how did individuals adjust their labor market behavior how did private and occupational pension plans take off how do behavioral adjustments vary in the population most germans adapted to the new situation both actual and expected retirement decisions changedand the share of households without supplementary pensions decreased from 73 to 39 in little more than a decade this is a remarkable success nonetheless households with low education low income and less financial education did neither adjust their retirement behavior nor pick up supplementary pension plans and are thus likely to face difficulties in bridging the gap arising in future pension income

psychological frictions and the incomplete take up of social benefits evidence from an irs field experiment we address the role of psychological frictions in the incomplete take up of eitc benefits with an irs field experiment we specifically assess the influence of program confusion informational complexity and stigma by evaluating response to experimental mailings distributed to 35 050 tax filers who failed to claim 26 million despite an initial notice while the mere receipt of the mailing simplification and the heightened salience of benefits led to substantial additional claiming attempts to reduce perceived costs of stigma application and audits did not the study and accompanying surveys suggests that low program awareness understanding and informational complexity contribute to the puzzle of low take up jel c93 d03 h24 m38

diversification diseconomies of scope and vertical contracting evidence from the taxicab industry this paper studies how firms reorganize following diversification proposing that firms use outsourcing or vertical disintegration to manage diseconomies of scope we also consider the origins of scope diseconomies showing how different underlying mechanisms generate contrasting predictions about the link between within firm task heterogeneity and the incentive to outsource following diversification we test these propositions using microdata on taxicab and limousine fleets from the economic census the results show that taxicab firms outsource by shifting the composition of their fleets toward owner operator drivers when they diversify into the limousine business the magnitude of the shift toward driver ownership is larger in less urban markets where the tasks performed by taxicab and limousine drivers are more similar these findings suggest that 1 firms use outsourcing to manage diseconomies of scope at a particular point in the value chain and 2 interagent conflicts can be an important source of scope diseconomies

the wacc fallacy the real effects of using a unique discount rate in this paper we test whether firms properly adjust for risk in their capital budgeting decisions if managers use a single discount rate within firms we expect that conglomerates underinvest overinvest in relatively safe risky divisions we measure division relative risk as the difference between the division s asset beta and a firm wide beta we establish a robust and significant positive relationship between division level investment and division relative risk next we measure the value loss due to this behavior in the context of acquisitions when the bidder s beta is lower than that of the target announcement returns are significantly lower

distributional conflict in organizations abstract hierarchy can function as an instrument to channel influence activities or power struggles in organizations contrary to what has frequently been argued we show that multi divisional organizations may involve lower influence costs than single tier organizations even though they offer more scope for organizational conflict and have more executives that can be influenced these benefits derive from two effects first part of the conflict in multi divisional organizations takes place on the division level where a small number of agents fight over only a fraction of the overall prize second by grouping agents into common divisions multi divisional organizations create free rider problems in rent seeking our model sheds new light on the desirability of divestitures and the transition from the u to the m form by us corporations in the 1920s

is it inefficient investment that causes the diversification discount diversified conglomerates are valued less than matched portfolios of pure play firms recent studies find that this diversification discount results from conglomerates inefficient allocation of capital expenditures across divisions much of this work uses tobin s q as a proxy for investment opportunities therefore hypothesizing that q is a good proxy this paper treats measurement error in q using a measurement error consistent estimator on the sorts regressions in the literature i find no evidence of inefficient allocation of investment the results in the literature appear to be artifacts of measurement error and of the correlation between investment opportunities and liquidity diversif ied conglomerates appear to trade at a discount relative to matched portfolios of pure play firms studies documenting this stylized fact include lang and stulz 1994 berger and ofek 1995 comment and jarrell 1995 and servaes 1996 recent empirical work has sought to find the source of this diversification discount building on the theoretical work in milgrom and roberts 1990 stein 1997 and scharfstein and stein 2000 on the inefficiency of internal capital markets this literature has asked specifically whether diversified firms allocate their capital expenditures inefficiently across divisions the canonical answer has been yes and has been supported by two types of evidence first studies such as lamont 1997 shin and stulz 1998 shin and park 1998 and rajan servaes and zingales 2000 all find that internal capital markets in conglomerates transfer funds across divisions in a suboptimal manner second studies such as berger and ofek and scharfstein 1998 provide evidence suggesting that the divisions of conglomerates do not respond adequately to investment opportunities in comparison to single segment firms however these findings about divisional investment may be an artifact of measurement error most of these studies rely on tobin s q the market value of the capital stock divided by its replacement value as a proxy for investment opportunities and tobin s q is likely to be a poor proxy shin and stulz

natural disasters damage to banks and firm investment this article investigates the effect of banks lending capacity on firms investment to identify exogenous shocks to loan supply we utilize the natural experiment provided by japan s great hanshin awaji earthquake in 1995 using a unique data set that allows us to identify firms and banks in the earthquake affected areas we find that the investment ratio of firms located outside the earthquake affected areas but having a main bank inside the areas was significantly smaller than that of firms located outside the areas and having a main bank outside the areas our findings suggest that loan supply shocks affect firm investment abstract from author

agrarian structure and agricultural practice typology and application to western sudan a typology of models that explain patterns of variation in farm endowments and farm practices and yields shows that insecurity in renting land financing constraints and the absence of insurance generate patterns of factor use quite different from the famous inverse relationship caused by labor supervision problems one might expect to observe positive relationships between wealth and yields village level data from western sudan confirm that such positive relationships are not a theoretical curiosity wealthy farmers have higher levels of output per hectare because they use more labor per hectare insurance and financing constraints appear to be the crucial market failures

how much of the diversification discount can be explained by poor corporate governance we investigate whether the diversification discount occurs partly as an artifact of poor corporate governance in panel data models we find that the discount narrows by 16 to 21 when we add governance variables as regression controls we also estimate heckman selection models that account for the endogeneity of diversification and dynamic panel generalized method of moments models that account for the endogeneity of both diversification and governance we find that the diversification discount persists even with these controls for endogeneity however in selection models the discount disappears entirely when we introduce governance variables in the second stage and in dynamic panel gmm models the discount narrows by 37 when we include governance variables

corporate diversification and credit constraints real effects across the business cycle we study whether differences in access to credit cause focused firms to perform differently from diversified firms in the product market prior work has identified binding credit constraints for bank dependent firms during recessions we assess whether corporate diversification alleviates these constraints we find that during recessions sales growth rates drop more for bank dependent focused firms than for rival segments of bank dependent diversified firms we also find that during recessions inventory growth rates drop more for bank dependent focused firms than for bank dependent diversified firms even after we control for contemporaneous sales growth consistent with a credit constraint explanation we find no difference in the sensitivities to recessions of bank independent focused and bank independent diversified firms jel g30 g31 g32 copyright 2006 oxford university press

the bright side of internal capital markets we examine capital expenditure decisions of discount firms in response to wal mart s entry into their markets before wal mart s entry focused incumbents and discount divisions of diversified incumbents are similar in size geographic dispersion and firm debt levels however discount divisions of diversified firms are significantly more productive after wal mart s entry diversified firms are quicker to either exit the discount business or stay and fight also their capital expenditures are more sensitive to the productivity of their discount business internal capital markets function well as transfers are away from the worsening discount divisions it appears diversified firms make better investment decisions

managerial incentive problems a dynamic perspective the paper studies how a person s concern for a future career may influence his or her incentives to put in effort or make decisions on the job in the model the person s productive abilities are revealed over time through observations of performance there are no explicit output contingent contracts but since the wage in each period is based on expected output and expected output depends on assessed ability an implicit contract links today s performance to future wages an incentive problem arises from the person s ability and desire to influence the learning process and therefore the wage process by taking unobserved actions that affect today s performance the fundamental incongruity in preferences is between the individual s concern for human capital returns and the firm s concern for financial returns the two need be only weakly related it is shown that career motives can be beneficial as well as detrimental depending on how well the two kinds of capital returns are aligned it is well understood by now that informational externalities may place special demands on the organization of economic exchange simple price mediated markets will frequently fail in the presence of asymmetric information in that case more elaborate contractual arrangements have to be used as substitutes for the price system lately considerable effort has been devoted to the analysis of contracting under incomplete information with the objective to understand the range of economic institutions that emerge in response to the failure of the price system the analysis of moral hazard has played a prominent role in this development moral hazard problems arise when for some reason or another transacting parties cannot contract contingent on the delivery of the good for instance in buying labour services it may be that the amount of labour supplied is not directly observable precluding a simple exchange of wage for labour as a partial remedy to this problem an imperfect mutually observed signal about the supply of labour can be used as a proxy in the contract frequently output is taken as such a proxy the drawback is that output is often influenced by other factors than labour input which induce undesirable risk into the contract one is therefore faced with a tradeoff between allocating risk associated with incomplete observability and providing incentives for a proper supply of labour gaining insight into this tradeoff is important not only for understanding contracting in the small e g managerial incentive schemes but also because it is closely related to the fundamental tension between equity and efficiency in the society as a whole while our understanding of moral hazard has advanced a lot in past years it is clear that much work remains an important question that has received little attention until

what will my account really be worth experimental evidence on how retirement income projections affect saving abstract many investment companies have begun providing their defined contribution pension participants with individualized retirement income projections the u s congress is currently considering whether to require them all to do so evidence on the potential impact is scant though a large body of economic research suggests that individuals are not currently making optimal retirement saving decisions through a field experiment we measure how provision of retirement income projections along with enrollment information affects individuals contributions to employer sponsored retirement accounts we find that the intervention boosted annual contributions to employer retirement accounts by 85 equivalent to 3 6 of the average contribution level or 0 15 of average salary relative to those who received no intervention in addition randomly assigned assumptions regarding retirement age investment returns and hypothetical contribution amounts were used to generate the projections and were found to have significant impacts on saving behavior this finding suggests that care is warranted in the design and communication of projections

do retirement savings increase in response to information about retirement and expected pensions how can retirement savings be increased we explore a unique policy change in the context of the german pension system to study this question as of 2005 with a phase in period between 2002 and 2004 the german pension administration started to send out annual letters providing detailed and comprehensible information about the pension system and individual expected public pension payments this reform did not change the level of pensions but only provided information to individuals about their expected pension payments using german tax return data we exploit an age discontinuity to identify the effect of these letters on the behavior of individuals we find an increase in tax deductible private retirement savings and provide evidence that this is not due to a crowding out of other forms of savings we also show that labor earnings i e the most direct way to increase public pensions increase after receiving the letter

affiliated firms and financial support evidence from indian business groups abstract we investigate the functioning of internal capital markets in indian business groups we document that intragroup loans are an important means of transferring cash across group firms and are typically used to support financially weaker firms evidence suggests that an important reason for providing support may be to avoid default by a group firm and consequent negative spillovers to the rest of the group consistent with such spillovers the first bankruptcy in a group is followed by significant drops in external financing investments and profits of other firms in the group and an increase in their bankruptcy probability

internal capital markets and corporate politics in a banking group we analyze proprietary internal capital allocation data from a large retail banking group consisting of member banks and a headquarters organization we find that capital allocations from headquarters compensate for deposit shortfalls on the bank level suggesting that the headquarters offers deposit smoothing to member banks we then analyze how the distribution of influence within the group relates to capital allocations and lending behavior more influential banks are allocated more funds from headquarters and their loan growth is less sensitive to their deposit base the effects of influence are stronger if banks have a greater demand for deposit smoothing

retirement security in an aging population abstract elderly individuals exhibit wide disparities in their sources of income for those in the bottom half of the income distribution social security is the most important source of support program changes would directly affect their well being income from private pensions assets and earnings are relatively more important for higher income elderly individuals who have more diverse income sources the trend from private sector defined benefit to defined contribution pension plans has shifted responsibility for retirement security to individuals a significant subset of the population is unlikely to be able to sustain their standard of living in retirement without higher pre retirement saving

tobin s q and the importance of focus in firm performance using tobin s q as a measure of performance we seek to estimate the relative importance of industry focus and share effects in determining firm performance our methods are analogous to those of richard schmalensee and like him we find that industry effects account for the majority of the explained variance however we also find that firm effects exist in the form of focus effects that is narrowly diversified firms do better than widely diversified firms we interpret this finding as consistent with profit maximization by firms with different factor endowments

migration and technical efficiency in cereal production evidence from burkina faso this article uses a double bootstrap procedure and survey data from burkina faso in a two stage estimation to explore ways in which continental and intercontinental migration determine efficiency in cereal production of rural households findings suggest that continental migration has a positive relation and intercontinental migration no relation with technical efficiency for continental migrant households migration has removed surplus male labor a cause for inefficiency in production intercontinental migration leads to a gender imbalance in the household which cannot be compensated for by investments in farm equipment the failure of intercontinental migration to transform cereal production from traditional to modern is attributed to an imperfect market environment

mines and migrants in south africa between 1971 and 1978 wages of more than one half million nonwhite laborers in the south african mines tripled in real terms in the same period the nonwhites employed in the mines switched from being 62 percent foreign to 62 percent domestic these changes followed a period from 1911 to 1971 during which real wages of black gold miners did not rise and terminated almost a century of reliance on foreign labor reserves for the majority of such labor 2 these dramatic events are examined here in the context of an econometric model of the demand for labor by the south african mining sector from 1946 to 1980 this affords an unusual opportunity to study the demand side of a market for internal and international migrants in a society where racial discrimination is formalized in the apartheid system where powerful mining houses wield potential monopsony power and where political factors in the region are major determinants of economic behavior to comprehend the derived demand for workers in this sector it is essential to outline at least certain aspects of the industry s organization and that of the market for labor this is undertaken in section i section ii develops a stylized model which is then estimated from data described in section iii for the gold diamond coal and other minerals sectors separately in section iv i organization of the mine labor market

land use intensification potential in slash and burn farming through improvements in technical efficiency abstract much attention is being paid to find alternative land use options in slash and burn sab farming or forest fallow based shifting cultivation systems the conservation objective is often twofold that is to discourage farmers from expanding into the forest frontier and to reduce the ecological damage from burning plots options include the total abandonment of forest plots the adoption of productivity increasing green revolution type technologies and the application of modern evergreen agroforestry knowledge this paper evaluates another alternative the intensification of land use by improving technical efficiency in farming this involves the reduction of land clearing while at the same time maintaining crop output levels and the local and traditional low input technology the potential for such land use intensification is empirically assessed with ecological and socioeconomic household data from yucatan mexico the methodology is based on both parametric and nonparametric output and input distance functions in addition the sources of inefficiency are addressed the results of the analysis suggest that on and off farm labour diversification can play a key role to help shifting cultivating households to improve their technical efficiency in farming and thus to help to intensify land use furthermore while the empirical results point towards the positive effect of soil fertility mainly determined by the length of forest fallows on crop output levels farmers appear to overcome the ecological constraint of farming in less fertile soils by being more technically efficient

spin offs divestitures and conglomerate investment we examine whether spin offs or divestitures cause improvements in conglomerate investment efficiency at issue are endogeneity of these restructuring decisions and correct measurement of investment efficiency endogeneity is a problem because the factors that induce firms to spin off or divest divisions may also improve investment efficiency measurement error is a problem because efficiency measures employ tobin s q as a noisy proxy for investment opportunities we find important differences between firms that divest or spin off and a control sample after accounting for these differences and for measurement error in q we find no evidence of improvements in investment efficiency

the role of information for retirement behavior evidence based on the stepwise introduction of the social security statement abstract in 1995 the social security administration started sending out the annual social security statement it contains information about the worker s estimated benefits at the ages 62 65 and 70 i use this unique natural experiment to analyze the retirement and claiming decision making first i find that despite the previous availability of information the statement has a significant impact on workers knowledge about their benefits these findings are consistent with a model where workers need to gather costly information in order to improve their retirement decision second i use this exogenous variation in knowledge to analyze the optimality of workers decisions several findings suggest that workers do not change their retirement behavior i workers do not change their expected age of retirement after receiving the statement ii monthly claiming patterns do not show any change after the introduction of the social security statement iii workers do not become more sensitive to social security incentives after receiving the statement more research is needed to establish whether workers are already behaving optimally but the information contained in the statement is not sufficient to improve their retirement behavior

managerial incentives and capital management the paper shows how career concerns rather than effort aversion can induce a natural incongruity in risk preferences between managers and superiors a model based on learning about managerial talent is developed to study second best contractual remedies we show that the optimal wage contract is an option of the value of the manager s human capital for insurance reasons and that consequently rationing of capital is often required to counterbalance the manager s resulting incentive to overinvest rationing is strictly superior to price decentralization offering one reason for the prevalence of centralized capital budgeting procedures

household food security and child nutrition the interaction of income and gender of household head abstract data from kenya and malawi suggest that food security and preschooler nutritional status are influenced by the interaction of income and gender of the head of household rather than simply one or the other not only is household food security influenced by total household income but the proportion of income controlled by women has a positive and significant influence on household caloric intake households were disaggregated not simply in male and female headed households but female headed households were further disaggregated into de jure legal head of household is a woman and de facto female headed households male head of household is absent more than 50 of the time in both kenya and malawi the de facto female headed households had the lowest income despite this low income preschoolers nutritional status was significantly better than in the higher income male headed and de jure female headed households the ability to improve nutritional status in a low income environment in the de facto female headed households is related to a combination of child feeding practices and other nurturing behavior the findings suggest that interventions that exploit incentives to invest in children can provide more immediate improvements in child health and nutrition where sustained income growth is possible only in the long term

divisional diversity and the conglomerate discount evidence from spinoffs abstract existing literature argues that disparity in investment opportunities within diversified firms can erode firm value we investigate the diversity cost hypothesis of spinoffs by using post spinoff data to 1 reconstruct the diversified firm after the spinoff and assess the aggregate improvement in value and 2 relate any value improvements to changes in diversity we find that improvements in aggregate value depend significantly on changes in both a direct measure of diversity and measures based on industry proxies we conclude that diversification discounts at least partially reflect a value loss due to the diversified nature of the firm itself rather than selection bias or measurement error

rural nonfarm employment and income diversification in colombia abstract using data for rural households from colombia we find that off farm employment contributes a significant share 45 on average to household income but that the importance of off farm income and returns to household labor vary over the income distribution analysis reveals significant gains from specialization but for households able to specialize no systematic differences in returns to labor between farm and nonfarm sources we conclude that in colombia there is no conflict between development of the farm and the nonfarm sector but that to maximize gains from nonfarm development and reduce the scope for undesirable distributional consequences policies enabling households to specialize might be called for

migration and farm technical efficiency evidence from kosovo this article investigates the effect of migration on farm technical efficiency drawing on a large and representative sample of agricultural households in kosovo a two stage estimation procedure is applied a frontier technique to estimate the effect of migration on farm efficiency followed by a propensity score based matching approach to robustly estimate the sample average effect on efficiency for different levels of migration intensity migration is found to have an efficiency decreasing effect which is amplified for better educated workers the observed negative effect of migration on efficiency is evident even at low levels of migration intensity

internal capital markets and firm level compensation incentives for division managers do multidivisional firms structure compensation contracts for division managers to mitigate incentive problems in their internal capital markets i find evidence that compensation and investment incentives are substitutes firms providing a stronger link to firm performance in incentive compensation for division managers also provide weaker investment incentives through the capital budgeting process specifically as the proportion of incentive pay for division managers that is based on firm performance increases division investment is less responsive to division profitability these findings are generally consistent with a model of influence activities by division managers in interdivisional capital allocation decisions

the role of information and social interactions in retirement plan decisions evidence from a randomized experiment this paper analyzes a randomized experiment to shed light on the role of information and social interactions in employees decisions to enroll in a tax deferred account tda retirement plan within a large university the experiment encouraged a random sample of employees in a subset of departments to attend a benee ts information fair organized by the university by promising a monetary reward for attendance the experiment multiplied by more than e ve the attendance rate of these treated individuals relative to controls and tripled that of untreated individuals within departments where some individuals were treated tda enrollment e ve and eleven months after the fair was signie cantly higher in departments where some individuals were treated than in departments where nobody was treated however the effect on tda enrollment is almost as large for individuals in treated departments who did not receive the encouragement as for those who did we provide three interpretations differential treatment effects social network effects and motivational reward effects to account for these results

organizational structure and performance feedback centralization aspirations and termination decisions this study examines the effects of organizational structure and performance feedback on termination decisions in particular product phaseout using quarterly product level data on the major mobile handset manufacturers for the period 2004 2009 we analyze how product level feedback affects product phaseout and how these decisions are conditioned by organizational structure the extent to which decision making is centralized we argue that such structure affects termination in two ways directly through coordination and indirectly by shaping the interpretation of performance feedback our baseline models indicate that as performance increases above aspirations the rate of phaseout decreases we find that as performance declines below aspirations the rate of phaseout decreases but then increases when the product falls below a certain sales threshold we also find evidence that centralization amplifies the feedback effect above aspirations but attenuates it below aspirations this study links two pillars of the carnegie school aspiration levels and hierarchy to explain the complexity of phaseout following perceived success or failure we thereby augment the growing scholarship on performance feedback by considering some important conditional effects imposed by a centralized structure our focus on centralization expands the scope of theory concerning organization design by linking structure and cognition to explain firm behavior especially termination decisions

capital constraints asymmetric information and internal capital markets in banking new evidence a growing literature investigates the role of internal capital markets in mitigating financial constraints faced by the subsidiaries of a conglomerate most studies have relied on indirect tests based on correlations between the cash flows and the investment of the subsidiaries in contrast we avoid the widespread criticisms of such specifications by providing direct tests that focus on the mechanisms through which internal reallocations of funds occur we find that internal capital markets are used by multibank holding companies to mitigate capital constraints faced by individual bank subsidiaries in addition we show that internal capital management within a multibank holding company involves not only the movement of capital to those subsidiaries with a relatively greater need for capital but also the movement of assets loans from less well capitalized to better capitalized subsidiaries by means of loan sales and purchases among the subsidiaries furthermore net loan sales are used to allow efficiency enhancing specialization among bank subsidiaries insofar as those subsidiaries with the best loan origination opportunities are able to focus on loan originations even if they do not have sufficient capital to hold the loans our evidence is consistent with banks affiliated with holding companies more actively participating in loan sales and purchases because by using their internal secondary loan market they are able to avoid the lemons problem faced by stand alone banks

factors affecting the technical efficiency among smallholder farmers in the slash and burn agriculture zone of cameroon abstract this paper estimates technical efficiency among small holder farmers in the slash and burn agriculture zone of cameroon and identifies sources of inefficiency using detailed survey data obtained from 450 farmers over 15 villages throughout 2001 2002 growing season we find that the mean levels of technical efficiency are 77 73 and 75 respectively for groundnut monocrop maize monocrop and maize groundnut farming systems suggesting existence of substantial gains in output and or decreases in cost with available technology and resources the efficiency differences are explained significantly by credit soil fertility social capital distance of the plot from the access road and extension services policy recommendations are drawn from these findings

evidence on the dark side of internal capital markets this article documents differences between the sensitivity of investment of stand alone firms and unrelated segments of conglomerate firms unrelated segments exhibit lower o sensitivity of investment than stand alone firms this fact is driven by unrelated segments of conglomerate firms that tend to invest less than stand alone firms in high s industries this finding is robust to matching on industry year size age and profitability the differences are more pronounced in conglomerates in which top management has small ownership stakes suggesting that agency problems explain the investment behavior

the strategic impact of resource flexibility in business groups we show that in business groups with efficient internal capital markets resources may be channelled to either more or less profitable units depending on the amount of internal resources a group may exit a market in response to increased competition or channel funds to the subsidiary operating in that market this has important implications for the strategic impact of group membership affiliation to a monopolistic subsidiary can make a cash rich poor firm more less vulnerable to entry deterrence also resource flexibility within a group makes subsidiaries reaction functions flatter thus discouraging rivals strategic commitments when entry is accommodated

migrant labor and farm technical efficiency in lesotho abstract the rural economy of lesotho is characterized by dependence on circular labor migration to south african mines and declining agricultural output per capita this paper attempts to improve the understanding of the relationship between circular labor migration and agricultural production by comparing the technical efficiency of farms that supply migrant laborers with that of farms that do not through analysis of the relative technical efficiency of these two farm categories conclusions are drawn concerning the likely impact of changing migration patterns on the agricultural sector

green with envy implications for corporate investment distortions we model agents whose preferences exhibit envy an envious agent s utility increases with what he has and decreases with what others have with this setup we are able to provide a new perspective on the nature of investment distortions with centralized and decentralized capital budgeting systems centralized capital budgeting leads to corporate socialism in investments in multidivisional firms whereas decentralized capital budgeting leads to overinvestment numerous additional testable predictions are also generated

coinsurance effect and bank lines of credit abstract the coinsurance effect hypothesis predicts that firm diversification reduces financial constraints through imperfectly correlated cash flows among segments we empirically test the hypothesis by studying the relation between coinsurance effect and bank lines of credit we find that coinsurance effect is associated with a higher availability of bank lines of credit and that diversified firms hold a higher level of bank lines of credit if they have higher investment opportunities and if they are bank dependent we find that diversified firms hold a higher fraction of corporate liquidity in the form of bank lines of credit due to the coinsurance effect the findings are consistent with the coinsurance effect hypothesis and contribute to the debate on the value consequence of firm diversification by disclosing a specific channel through which firm diversification affects financial constraints

frontier production functions and technical efficiency a survey of empirical applications in agricultural economics abstract the modelling and estimation of frontier production functions has been an important area of econometric research during the last two decades forsund lovell and schmidt 1980 and schmidt 1986 present reviews of the concepts and models involved and cite some of the empirical applications which had appeared to their respective times of publication this paper seeks to update the econometric modelling of frontier production functions associated with the estimation of technical efficiency of individual firms a survey of empirical applications in agricultural economics is an important part of the paper

the impact of stock market information production on internal resource allocation abstract we analyze the resource allocation decision of a manager inside a multidivision firm whose compensation is based on the firm s stock price we find that internal investments exhibit a positive correlation across the firms divisions namely when two single division firms merge the optimal investment level in one division becomes more positively related to the investment level in the other division in addition following a spinoff divisional investments decline increase whenever the separated division has a project with a low high sharpe ratio finally multidivision firms trade at a discount which is larger the more diverse the investment sets of the divisions

a signal jamming theory of predation we propose a new theory ofpredation based on signal jamming in our model the predator s characteristics are common knowledge while the entrant is uncertain of his own future profitability the entrant uses his current profit to decide whether to remain in the market and the predator preys to jam or interfere with this inference problem thus our model differs from those based on reputation effects in which the predator preys to signal information about himself

tax misperceptions and the effect of informational tax nudges on retirement savings despite subjects being informed about tax rules before making saving decisions we find using laboratory experiments that deferred taxation results in after tax pensions that are approximately 25

what drives investment cash flow sensitivity around the world an asset tangibility perspective motivated by ongoing debates on investment cash flow sensitivity icfs and its documented decline and disappearance in the u s we investigate the determinants of icfs using firm level data across 41 countries for the 1993 2013 period we document an important role of asset tangibility in explaining the patterns in icfs asset tangibility affects icfs through two channels investment intensity and cash flow persistence as the share of tangible capital investment and cash flow persistence has fallen in developed economies icfs has declined in contrast as developing economies operate with more tangible capital have higher investment rates and more persistent cash flows their icfs is more stable the results support our explanation of icfs as a reflection of capital investment intensity and income predictability rather than a measure of financial constraints

are internal capital markets efficient using segment information from compustat we find that the investment by a segment of a diversified firm depends on the cash flow of the firm s other segments but significantly less than it depends on its own cash flow the investment by segments of highly diversified firms is less sensitive to their cash flow than the investment of comparable single segment firms the sensitivity of a segment s investment to the cash flow of other segments does not depend on whether its investment opportunities are better than those of the firm s other segments

corporate structure liquidity and investment evidence from japanese industrial groups this paper presents evidence suggesting that information and incentive problems in the capital market affect investment we come to this conclusion by examining two sets of japanese firms the first set has close financial ties to large japanese banks that serve as their primary source of external finance and are likely to be well informed about the firm the second set of firms has weaker links to a main bank and presumably faces greater problems raising capital investment is more sensitive to liquidity for the second set of firms than for the first set the analysis also highlights the role of financial intermediaries in the investment process

evidence on the role of cash flow for investment abstract recent work in macroeconomics argues that imperfections in capital markets may lead to business cycle fluctuations by propagating relatively modest shocks evidence for such a mechanism also known as the financial accelerator consists largely of firm level studies showing that cash flow is an important predictor of investment but this evidence is often viewed with skepticism because cash flow is also a good indicator of investment opportunities in this paper we develop a framework for estimating the extent to which the predictive power of cash flow can be attributed to its role as a fundamental versus its role in alleviating credit frictions for firms with access to commercial paper and bond markets we find that the perfect capital markets model of investment can fully account for the role of cash flow for firms with only limited access to capital markets as indicated by lack of participation in public debt markets however investment appears to be excessively sensitive to fluctuations in cash flow these results thus clarify the role of cash flow in investment equations and provide support for the existence of a financial accelerator

the effects of restrictive south african migrant labor policy on the survival of rural households in southern africa a case study from rural swaziland confronted with high unemployment figures and widespread poverty among the black population one of the priorities of the first postapartheid government of south africa has been to combat poverty among its population by enlarging employment opportunities it is generally accepted that this policy will have a large impact on the number of foreigners called to work in south africa by taking swaziland where data were collected in 1990 as a case study this article investigates the impact on the capacity of swazi rural households to survive if the possibility for international labour migration should become constrained the paper first investigates whether common socioeconomic characteristics can be identified among homesteads whose survival is threatened next it investigates the possibilities and constraints for returning migrants to find employment in swaziland in the final section conclusions are presented on the prospects of swazi rural households to survive without migrant labour to south africa the main finding is that in the short run relatively young households with few working members and a weak economic position in the local rural economy are among the most vulnerable in the long run the survival of most swazi households with migrants in south africa is at stake bibliogr notes ref sum

internal versus external capital markets this paper presents a framework for analyzing the costs and benefits of internal versus external capital allocation we focus pritnarily on comparing an internal capital market with bank lending while both represent centralized forms of financing in the former case the financing is owner provided while in the latter ceise it is not we argue that the ownership aspect of internal capital allocation has three important consequences 1 it leads to more monitoring than bank lending 2 it reduces managers entrepreneurial incentives and 3 it makes it easier to efficiently redeploy the assets of projects that are performing poorly under existing management

market structure internal capital markets and the boundaries of the firm we study how the creation of an internal capital market an icm can invite strategic responses in product markets that in turn shape firm boundaries icms provide ex post resource flexibility but come with ex ante commitment costs alternatively stand alones possess commitment ability but lack flexibility by creating flexibility integration can sometimes deter a rival s entry but commitment problems can also invite predatory capital raising these forces drive different organizational equilibria depending on the integrator s relation to the product market hybrid organizational forms like strategic alliances can sometimes dominate integration by offering some of its benefits with fewer strategic costs this paper develops a theory of the firm in which internal capital markets affect the ability to compete in product markets in our model a firm s decision to operate an internal capital market affects the fund raising behavior of its product market rivals an internal capital market can either scare away rival firms or else induce them to compete more aggressively raising more capital than they otherwise would in equilibrium these strategic interactions determine the boundaries of the firm

a theory of socialistic internal capital markets abstract we develop a model of a two division firm in which the strong division has on average higher quality investment opportunities than the weak division we show that in the presence of agency and information problems optimal effort incentives are less powerful and thus managerial effort is lower in the strong division this leads the firm to bias its project selection policy against the strong division the selection bias is more severe when there is a larger spread in the average quality of investment opportunities between the two divisions

the capital budgeting process incentives and information we study the capital allocation process within firms observed budgeting processes are explained as a response to decentralized information and incentive problems it is shown that these imperfections can result in underinvestment when capital productivity is high and overinvestment when it is low we also investigate how the budgeting process may be expected to vary with firm or division characteristics such as investment opportunities and the technology for information transfer there is general agreement that investment decisions are the most important decisions made by corporations the choice of projects and the level of investment is critical not just for stakeholders of the firm but also for the economic well being of society as a whole it has been alleged that u s firms invest too little and tend to overemphasize short term results for example porter 1992 citing poterba and summers 1992 asserts that u s firms use hurdle rates to evaluate investment projects that are higher than their estimated costs of capital to understand the investment behavior of firms one must consider both the process by which external capital is made available to firms and the process by which internally and externally raised capital is allocated to investment projects within the firm considerable attention has been paid to how firms raise external capital the fundamental insight in this area is the celebrated result of modigliani and miller mm that capital structure is irrelevant in the absence of capital market frictions accordingly in the three decades since their contribution research on how external capital is raised has focused on market frictions including information and incentive problems relatively little research has focused on the internal allocation process and its relationship to the organization of the firm modern finance theory prescribes allocating capital according to the net present value npv rule just as the mm result itself provides no theory of the arrangements under which

active vs passive decisions and crowd out in retirement savings accounts evidence from denmark using 41 million observations on savings for the population of denmark we show that the effects of retirement savings policies on wealth accumulation depend on whether they change savings rates by active or passive choice subsidies for retirement accounts which rely on individuals to take an action to raise savings primarily induce individuals to shift assets from taxable accounts to retirement accounts we estimate that each 1 of government expenditure on subsidies increases total saving by only 1 cent in contrast policies that raise retirement contributions if individuals take no action such as automatic employer contributions to retirement accounts increase wealth accumulation substantially we estimate that approximately 15 of individuals are active savers who respond to tax subsidies primarily by shifting assets across accounts 85 of individuals are passive savers who are unresponsive to subsidies but are instead heavily influenced by automatic contributions made on their behalf active savers tend to be wealthier and more financially sophisticated we conclude that automatic contributions are more effective at increasing savings rates than subsidies for three reasons i subsidies induce relatively few individuals to respond ii they generate substantial crowd out conditional on response and iii they do not increase the savings of passive individuals who are least prepared for retirement jel codes h2 h3

the elasticity of taxable income in the presence of deduction possibilities several recent studies show that the elasticity of taxable income eti is not a sufficient statistic for the welfare costs of taxation due to factors such as tax base shifting this paper provides an additional argument demonstrating the non sufficiency of the eti namely tax deductions building on a theoretical framework which incorporates deductions in a standard optimal tax model we show that the eti is not sufficient for welfare analysis if i deductions generate externalities and if ii deductions are responsive to tax rate changes while the first condition should arguably hold true for the majority of tax deductions we provide an empirical examination of the second condition relying on rich german panel data from administrative tax records we exploit several tax reforms that were implemented in germany between 2001 and 2008 our main estimates indicate an overall eti between 0 54 and 0 68 and an elasticity of deductions with respect to the net of tax rate of about 0 9 these results suggest that the eti is not sufficient to calculate the welfare cost of taxation

bank and nonbank financial intermediation conglomerates trade credit arrangements and banks are all instances of financial intermediation however these institutions differ significantly in the extent to which the projects financed absorb aggregate intermediary risk in whether or not intermediation is carried out by a financial specialist in the type of projects they fund and in the type of claims they issue to investors the paper develops a simple unified model that both accounts for the continued coexistence of these different forms of intermediation and explains why they differ specific applications to conglomerate firms trade credit and banking are discussed conglomerates trade credit arrangements and banks are all instances of financial intermediation in each case the conglomerate headquarters supplier bank obtains funds by selling financial securities while in turn providing funds in exchange for a claim on project cash flows 1 however in spite of the fundamental similarity between these forms of financial intermediation important differences exist between them in particular

should business groups be dismantled the equilibrium costs of efficient internal capital markets abstract we analyze the relationship between conglomerates internal capital markets and the efficiency of economy wide capital allocation and we identify a novel cost of conglomeration that arises from an equilibrium framework because of financial market imperfections engendered by imperfect investor protection conglomerates that engage in winner picking stein 1997 internal capital markets and the competition for corporate resources journal of finance 52 111 133 find it optimal to allocate scarce capital internally to mediocre projects even when other firms in the economy have higher productivity projects that are in need of additional capital this bias for internal capital allocation can decrease allocative efficiency even when conglomerates have efficient internal capital markets because a substantial presence of conglomerates might make it harder for other firms in the economy to raise capital we also argue that the negative externality associated with conglomeration is particularly costly for countries that are at intermediary levels of financial development in such countries a high degree of conglomeration generated for example by the control of the corporate sector by family business groups could decrease the efficiency of the capital market our theory generates novel empirical predictions that cannot be derived in models that ignore the equilibrium effects of conglomerates these predictions are consistent with anecdotal evidence that the presence of business groups in developing countries inhibits the growth of new independent firms because of a lack of finance

a reexamination of the conglomerate merger wave in the 1960s an internal capital markets view one possible explanation for bidding firms earning positive abnormal returns in diversifying acquisitions in the 1960s is that internal capital markets were expected to overcome the information deficiencies of the less developed capital markets examining 392 bidder firms during the 1960s we find the highest bidder returns when financially unconstrained buyers acquire constrained targets this result holds while controlling for merger terms and for different proxies used to classify firms facing costly external financing we also find that bidders generally retain target management suggesting that management may have provided companyspecific operational information while the bidder provided capital budgeting expertise