explaining irrigation technology choices a microparameter approach water price reforms are increasingly being used to encourage improvements in irrigation efficiency through technology adoption a microparameter approach based on field level data is used to assess the effect of economic variables environmental characteristics and institutional variables on irrigation technology choices the results show that water price is not the most important factor governing irrigation technology adoption physical and agronomic characteristics appear to matter more the results demonstrate the importance of using micro level data to determine the effects of asset heterogeneity and crop type on technology adoption the continued growth of urban water demand acted a measure a b 3616 requiring irrigathe recent awareness of environmental and in tion districts in the state to draft best managestream water values and the virtual halt of wa merit practices for the use of irrigation water ter supply development have put increased de including farm level measures such as irrigamands on scarce water supplies in the western tion systems water price reforms are also inunited states recent legislation has called for creasingly used to encourage improvements in increased in stream water flows to enhance wa irrigation efficiency through technology adopter quality and restore wildlife habitat in a hum tion the federal central valley project imber of states especially california because ag provement act requires the u s bureau of recricultural water use accounts for the majority of lamation to adopt increasing block pricing for water consumption in the west growers are water provided to irrigation districts generally forced to bear the burden of reduced the literature on adoption of modern irrigadiversions necessary to enhance in stream tion technology is well established both empiri

on r d timing under uncertainty abstract in this paper we analyze the problem of endogenous r d timing when technological breakthrough and innovation are random events in a dynamic framework which involves the substitution of an exhaustible resource oil for instance by an alternative technology the backstop that provides an everlasting source of energy under fairly general assumptions we characterize the pattern of exploitation of both energy sources and study the effect of uncertain technological breakthrough on the r d timing decision on resource prices and on the pattern of resource use in comparison to the certainty case it is shown that uncertainty consideration might delay the undertaking of r d and might lead to a more rapid resource depletion pattern for a considerable range of r d capital costs while the opposite result the conventional wisdom holds only for some other range

habit formation in consumer preferences evidence from panel data this paper tests for the presence of habit formation using household data a simple model of habit formation implies a condition relating the strength of habits to the evolution of consumption over time when the condition is estimated with food consumption data from the panel study on income dynamics the results yield no evidence of habit formation at the annual frequency this finding is robust to a number of changes in the specification it also holds for several proxies for nondurables and services consumption created by combining psid variables with weights estimated from consumer expenditure survey data

managing the quality of a resource with stock and flow controls abstract we consider a class of problems which we call sfq problems in which both stocks and flows can be controlled to promote the quality of a valued resource such as environmental quality or public infrastructure under the optimal policy periodic restoration of the stock of quality complements positive but variable abatement of the flow of damages when deterioration is more rapid or highly variable or when abatement is more expensive relative to restoration the optimal policy relies relatively more on restoration when deterioration is due to private firms or individuals a flow tax equal to the present value of marginal damages provides efficient incentives for abatement this tax rises at first as quality worsens but eventually falls as restoration nears the revenues raised by such a tax approximates the cost of restoration with the two quantities converging as the variance of flows goes to zero we discuss the implications of the sfq model for a range of real world problems in the environmental arena and for the management of public infrastructure but the lessons are general and we briefly discuss how they apply to private stocks of physical and human capital

the management of fragile resources a long term perspective excessive exploitation diminishes the capacity of natural resources to withstand environmental stress increasing their vulnerability to extreme conditions that may trigger abrupt changes the onset of such events depends on the coincidence of random environmental conditions and the resource state determining its resilience examples include species extinction ecosystem collapse disease outburst and climate change induced calamities the policy response to the catastrophic threat is measured in terms of its effect on the long term behavior of the resource state to that end the l methodology developed originally to study autonomous systems is extended to non autonomous problems involving catastrophic threats

innovation and performance evidence at micro level this empirical study aims to shed light on the link between innovation and economic performance at micro level based on a comprehensive survey among dairy and crop farms in the netherlands we estimate a structural multi stage model to deliver evidence on the effect of engagement and investment in innovation on the production of product process and organizational or marketing innovations as well as on the effect of such innovations on farm level productivity the results suggest various market and farm behaviour related factors to stimulate an increase in innovation engagement and production furthermore the study reveals that indeed a greater innovation investment per unit innovation input leads to a higher probability of producing at least one successful product process and or organizational or marketing innovation innovation output the production of process and organizational or marketing related innovation leads to significant productivity gains various recommendations towards a more effective and efficient innovation policy are finally given

habit formation in consumption and its implications for monetary policy models this paper explores a monetary policy model with habit formation for consumers in which consumers utility depends in part on current consumption relative to past consumption the empirical tests developed in the paper show that one can reject the hypothesis of no habit formation with tremendous condence largely because the habit formation model captures the gradual hump shaped response of real spending to various shocks the paper then embeds the habit consumption specication in a monetary policy model and nds that the responses of both spending and inflation to monetary policy actions are signicantly improved by this modication jel d12 e52 e43

decomposition of productivity growth using distance functions the case of dairy farms in three european countries within an output distance function framework the total factor productivity growth index is decomposed into four components technical change technical and allocative efficiency and scale component we estimate stochastic translog output distance functions using panel data from dairy farms over the period 1991 94 for three european countries germany the netherlands and poland results indicate that the change in the productivity growth index in germany 6 and poland 5 are mainly dictated by the technical change component in contrast the productivity growth index in the netherlands 3 is influenced by allocative efficiency components

the effects of pricing policies on water conservation and drainage a general model of adoption of input conserving technologies by competitive firms is introduced using drip irrigation as an example an environmental regulation such as a drainage effluent charge is shown to influence adoption early adopters are likely to be producers with less efficient fixed assets land of low quality or antiquated capital higher input costs higher water prices or greater depth to groundwater and in more environmentally sensitive regions simulations show that drainage regulations can be expected to play a major role in adoption of more efficient irrigation technologies in california thus conservation may be a key to solving resource scarcity problems and reducing external environmental costs

uncertainty in tax reform the case of an extractive firm abstract since as early as adam smith warnings have been issued concerning the possible harmful effects of uncertainty in tax policy this paper attempts to examine the consequences for an extractive monopolist of i perceived future changes in the probability of tax reform and ii perceived future changes in the firm s expected profitability under the new tax structure the results of this analysis suggest that even the threat of future tax changes can have a significant and lasting impact on the present behavior of extractive firms and the markets in which they operate this arises precisely from the firm s attempt to shift the expected burden or gain in an intertemporally optimal manner moreover while the paper focuses on tax policy the model is amenable to interpretation in the case of potential nationalization or in the case of any regulatory scheme that might modify the firm s future profit function as an example of the latter it has recently been suggested that an atmospheric users charge be levied on the carbon content of fuels as they leave the mine or wellhead the potential impact on extractive firms of this proposed tax on coal oil and gas designed to raise revenues to help reduce emissions as well as the u s budget deficit could be examined with the help of a similar model finally the impact on opec of uncertainty surrounding events in the middle east could similarly be modeled

deregulation as a switch of regime price effects using a modified hotelling rule abstract concern over rising energy prices has led to support for government intervention to regulate the price of domestic non renewable energy resources however us policy makers appear to be looking more towards competition rather than regulation to decide who will provide energy resources and how these will be priced this paper models possible dynamic price effects occasioned by the removal of a regulatory constraint the analysis focuses on a government decision to eliminate binding price ceilings on a non renewable energy substitute when the incumbent resource is monopolistically controlled using deregulation of natural gas as an illustration under certain conditions it is shown that one will get continuity of marginal revenue and a fall in the world price following decontrol the expiration of a patent or a decision to grant mineral rights on federal land in general however the model suggests that both marginal revenue and prices will be discontinuous and that the discontinuity is likely to result in a fall in price

technology and the future bioeconomy new discoveries in life sciences and the challenge of climate change are leading to the emergence of the bioeconomy where basic methods of advanced biology are applied to produce a wide array of products while also improving environmental quality the emergence of the bioeconomy is a continuing evolutionary process of transition from systems of mining nonrenewable resources to farming renewable ones this transition benefits from the modern tools of molecular biology that have expanded the human capacity to breed new organisms and utilize them to increase productivity in agriculture and fisheries as well as produce a wide array of products that were extracted in the past this transition is leading to the integration of the agricultural sector with the energy and mineral sectors the introduction of biotechnology has already improved the productivity of medicine as well as agriculture but in the case of agriculture has encountered resistance and regulatory constraints the evolution of the bioeconomy requires continuous public investment in research and innovation as well as the establishment of a regulatory framework and financial incentives and institutions that would lead to continuous private sector investment in the development and commercialization of new products one of the biggest challenges is the development of a regulatory framework that would control possible human and environmental externalities from new biotechnology products and at the same time not stifle innovation jel classifications q1 q2 q3 q4 q5

a reason for quantity regulation in a variety of situations governments regulate undesirable activities by controlling quantities rather than charging taxes blue laws prohibit all liquor sales on sundays rather than impose higher taxes on that day zoning restrictions limit commercial construction in residential areas rather than charge for nuisance to neighbors anti smoking and anti trust laws restrict rather than tax particular conduct fishing and hunting rules allow hunting during particular time periods rather than tax the catch pollution controls impose limits rather than tax emissions quantity regulations are common in the financial sphere as well in the united states banking regulations for many years prohibited interstate banking as well as ownership of investment banks by commercial banks in many countries commercial banks are limited in the amount of various activities they can pursue such as real estate investments or borrowing in foreign currency in some countries banking laws prohibit all lending to the parties related to the owners of the bank the so called related lending rather than impose liability rules on loans to related parties that are found to be fraudulent or unsafe rafael la porta et al 2000 despite this common practice economists generally prefer taxes and liability rules to quantity controls and property rights rules robert ellickson 1973 louis kaplow and steven shavell 1996 1997 nathaniel keohane et al 1998 as the instrument for reducing undesirable conduct when explaining why quantity regulations are so pervasive they first make the political economy argument that quantity restrictions are favored by incumbent firms that wish to deter entry james buchanan and gordon tullock 1975 but this argument is not general it does not explain such quantity restrictions as blue laws and hunting and fishing regulations which affect all market participants equally some academics also argue that because certain activities such as smoking are seen as morally wrong by the community their level is regulated at zero in other instances however such as pollution and hunting positive but limited levels of activity are allowed inconsistent with the moral argument that the reason for quantity regulation is the special attraction of zero in this paper we present an alternative reason for quantity regulations one from the perspective of a benevolent government we begin with the observation of gary becker and george stigler 1974 that law enforcement is not free but is fundamentally an economic problem throughout human history and throughout the world today there are chronic problems of under enforcement witness the low level of tax compliance in much of the developing world and over enforcement by politically motivated prosecutors or regulators an analysis of pigouvian taxes versus quantity restrictions must recognize that in reality neither policy is free and automatic to enforce in general the choice of policies itself can facilitate or discourage enforcement in two ways first policies can shape the incentives for enforcement second policies can influence the costs of enforcement in our earlier work glaeser and sheifer 2000 glaeser et al 2001 we have focused on incentives and shown that quantity regulations can be used as an optimal instrument to raise the rewards to law enforcers for identifying violations here we focus not on the incentives for the enforcers but on the costs of finding violations these costs are often lower in the case of quantity restrictions we show that even when quantity regulations unlike taxes restrict some socially efficient conduct the reduced costs of identifying violations can enhance enforcement and overall efficiency such reliance of quantity regulation is especially important when private enforcement is crucial as in the case of enforcing department of economics harvard university cambridge ma 02138 we thank the national science foundation for financial support and louis kaplow for extremely helpful comments

the dynamics of spatial pollution the case of phosphorus runoff from agricultural land abstract the paper analyzes based on a land classification system the optimal management of negative production externalities while taking into account the intertemporal and spatial aspects of the problem to incorporate both aspects simultaneously a two stage modeling approach is proposed where the solution of the spatial problem first stage is optimized over time second stage as a result it is possible to relate long run and short run supply and input demand functions attention is given to runoffs from agricultural land leading to the contamination of a water body in particular the one of phosphorus and the eutrophication of lakes the employment of a land classification system supports a full information approach and allows to address the optimal management of mineral fertilizer and manure based on zonal taxes zonal permits and zonal standards which all vary over time

alternative approaches to economic environmental interactions abstract the key questions raised by recent developments in resource and environmental economics have been what useful economic functions does the environment provide and how are these functions affected by the process of economic environmental interaction this paper distinguishes between two different formal approaches to answering these questions the more conventional approach which is concerned with the optimal allocation of economically valuable exhaustible resources and an alternative analysis that considers the trade off between on the one hand environmental quality and on the other resource depletion and waste generation by the economic process to illustrate and extend the latter approach a model is constructed to show how this trade off might lead to continuously declining environmental quality and a future ecological constraint society must therefore optimally allocate output between consumption and services to improve the environment and choose between increased capital accumulation and environmental degradation although strict application of such a model may be limited it has wider implications for the role of technological change and the value of the environment in any system experiencing deteriorating environmental quality

sustainable management of fossil fuels a dynamic stochastic optimization approach with jump diffusion abstract this paper deals with a relevant aspect of energy modeling i e fossil fuels management the issue is faced by using purely operational research techniques which are suitable in this context in particular a dynamic stochastic optimization model is developed to optimally determine use and stock of resources to be employed in consumption and investments in a wide economic sense human and physical capital r d etc it is assumed that a sustainability criterion drives the optimality rules i e decisions are also grounded on the well being of future generations the policymaker maximizes an aggregated intergenerational expected utility under the dilemma of present consumption conservation of natural resources for the future in reference to standard environmental economic theory jump diffusion dynamics for the stock of natural resources and infinite time horizon are assumed extensive numerical experiments complete the analysis and contribute to determine fossil fuels management policies showing that long term investments make the difference for the well being of present and future generations

embargo threats and the management of emergency reserves this paper develops a model of a country that can import oil in normal times but is subject to random trade disruptions to mitigate the effects of these disruptions some of the imported oil is stockpiled there are two kinds of uncertainty involved the date at which an embargo will be imposed is not known in advance and given that an embargo has been imposed the date at which it will end is uncertain optimal behavior is analyzed by means of dynamic programming 13 references

innovation and productivity in developing countries a study of argentine manufacturing firms behavior 1992 2001 abstract following the methodology employed in studies for industrialized countries and using panel data from innovation surveys in argentina with information for 1992 2001 this paper contributes to the nascent literature that analyzes the determinants of innovative inputs and outputs and their impacts on manufacturing firms productivity in developing countries the econometric results show that in house r d and technology acquisition expenditures have positive payoffs in terms of enhanced probability of introducing new products and or processes to the market in turn innovators attain higher productivity levels than non innovators the results also show that large firms have a higher probability of engaging in innovation activities and of becoming innovators

information and exhaustible resources a bayesian analysis abstract we develop a continuous time bayesian model of investment in information about an exhaustible resource because of the way that information affects expectations the deterministic hotelling rule turns out to be more appropriate as a description of how resource owners forecast the value of their stocks than as a predictor of observed changes in the resource price a flow of information generates both unanticipated changes in expectations which cause the mean rate of change in the resource price to deviate systematically from the deterministic hotelling rule and reductions in uncertainty which do not affect the hotelling prediction

optimal saving policy for exhaustible resource economies abstract the paper examines the optimal saving policy for a small exhaustible resource exporting economy ere that has an exhaustible asset and a reproducible capital stock it shows that both in magnitude and time profile the optimal saving policy for an ere sharply differs from a that of a nonextractive economy and b that derived from the conventional models of growth with exhaustible resources these differences arise from the specific economic features that distinguish the small resource exporting developing economies both from other developing economies and from mature industrial ones for a wide range of plausible parameter values comparisons of computed optimal saving paths with actual savings rates of selected eres suggest substantial deficiencies in their savings rates

animal breeding and productivity growth of dairy farms we introduce genetic based technical change into a malmquist productivity index and measure the growth in productivity caused by bovine breeding because breeding is likely to affect milk quality we adjust milk quantities for quality differences we use panel data on icelandic dairy farms from 1997 to 2006 to estimate an input distance function the malmquist productivity index shows that the average productivity growth rate is 1 6 scale effects are the most important source of this growth but 19 of the productivity growth rate is due to breeding if quality differences are ignored the average productivity growth rate is reduced by 83

water pricing policies public decision making and farmers response implications for water policy abstract the problems caused by water scarcity demand important changes in the criteria and objectives of water policies the agricultural sector in spain consumes up to 80 of all available hydric resources and the need to increase the efficiency of current uses of water in the agricultural sector is at the core of the country s national water policy one alternative would be to resort to water pricing policies with the aim of providing incentives to save water consumption although it would inflict a certain degree of income losses to the farmers and raise the revenue collected by the water authorities the objective of this research is to analyze the effect caused by the application of different water pricing policies on water demand farmers income and the revenue collected by the government agency to undertake this analysis a dynamic mathematical programming model has been built that simulates farmers behavior and their response to different water pricing scenarios empirical application of the model has been carried out in several irrigation districts in spain covering varied farm regions and river basins results show that the effects of alternative pricing policies for irrigation water are strongly dependent on regional structural and institutional conditions and that changing policies produce distinct consequences within the same region and water district thus equivalent water charges would create widespread effects on water savings farm income and collected government revenue across regions and districts

equilibrium valuation of natural resources the purpose of this paper is to provide a theoretical investigation of equilibrium spot and futures price behavior in a nonrenewable commodity market the underlying commodity is nonrenewable in the sense that the reserve level of the commodity is expected to decline over time in the absence of successful discoveries of additional reserves i wish to understand how the nonrenewable nature of the commodity influences the intertemporal extraction of the commodity equilibrium spot price behavior and the prices of derivative assets traded on the nonrenewable commodity there is considerable disagreement among economists whether resources are exhaustible in the sense of resource constraints becoming binding on our society in the foreseeable future some economists have argued that natural resources are being depleted at

joint management of emission abatement and technological innovation for stock externalities we investigate how emission abatement and technological innovation provide different solutions to reduce pollutant emissions in the case of a stock externality emission abatement leads to a smooth and continuous adjustment of emissions conversely technological innovation has to be interpreted as an option on a less polluted environment and can justify the use of a pollution threshold above which it is optimal to start a research and development programme for a less polluting technology it is shown that technological innovation interferes with the traditional emission abatement approach the optimal abatement level is logically lowered once the less polluting technology is available nevertheless a temporary increase in emissions is optimal during the research and development period the usual pigouvian tax system proves to remain an efficient corrective instrument a numerical application to the greenhouse effect is provided

livestock emissions regulation with unknown damages and strategic technology adoption livestock emissions have been identified as a contributor to greenhouse gas build up yet have remained unregulated in the us a game theoretic model in the style of tarui and polasky 2005 was analysed where the dairy industry strategically chooses to abate air emissions with technology adoption and herd size decisions while a regulator chooses a tax rate on emissions to satisfy the desires of competing interest groups this model allows the effects of potential air emission regulation on the dairy industry to be evaluated results demonstrate that dairy farms react to the increased cost of air regulation by decreasing herd size rather than investing in air emission abatement technology in the short run this suggests that incentives may need to be put in place to induce adoption in emissions abatement technology at the livestock level in the long run

the gains from differentiated policies to control stock pollution when producers are heterogeneous we derive optimal input taxes to control stock pollution problems generated by heterogeneous agents the taxes vary over time and in response to differences of asset quality and technology choice we also derive second best policies and compare them to the efficient policy and also among themselves different policies will affect the timing for when and the extent to which conservation technologies are adopted a numerical example based on the california drainage problem shows significant efficiency gains from the optimal policy compared to no intervention but much of the gains are lost with second best interventions the gains from optimal policies do not always increase with the degree of heterogeneity copyright 2008 oxford university press

market structure and resource extraction under uncertainty this paper compares the rate of extraction of a natural resource under alternative market structures when there is uncertainty about the date of discovery of a substitute or about the date of discovery of a new deposit the analysis shows that imperfectly competitive market structures are excessively conservationist for any value of the initial stock of the natural resource the price is higher than in competitive equilibrium and therefore higher than the socially optimal level but markets with limited competition may have a higher price than markets with pure monopoly the same monopolist controlling the natural resource and its substitute in particular we find that the highest prices are associated with nash quantity setting duopolists the next highest prices occur in markets in which the monopolist controls the resource but the substitute is competitively produced the pure monopolist sets his price lower than this while the market in which a monopolist controls the substitute but the resource is competitvely owned is still lower

the costs of uncoordinated regulation patents encourage firms to undertake research and development by protecting innovator revenues from competition controls on pollution of the environment are intended to close the gap between the private and social costs of natural resource use this paper examines the incentives that are created by the interaction of these two separate pieces of regulation a model is developed that shows how an incumbent patent holding firm can take advantage of environmental regulation to exclude rivals from her market

dynamic incentives of environmental regulations the effects of alternative policy instruments on technology diffusion abstract we develop a framework for comparing empirically the effects of alternative environmental policy instruments on the diffusion of new technology market based and command and control approaches can he quantitatively compared by estimating the economic penalty that firms through their actions reveal to be associated with violation of standards in the context of concerns about global climate change we empirically examine the likely effects of pigouvian taxes technology adoption subsidies and technology standards we employ state level data on the diffusion of thermal insulation in new home construction comparing the effects of energy prices insulation cost and building codes

the effect of agricultural policies on land use and environmental quality in this paper i consider the environmental quality gains that may be achieved by reducing agricultural income supports a new methodology is developed to estimate land use shares in an application to wisconsin milk price support reductions result in shifts of marginal agricultural land to forest reducing soil erosion and providing off site water quality improvements the environmental benefits are estimated to be at least as large as the decreased welfare burden on consumers and taxpayers indicating a central role for environmental quality considerations in motivating policy reforms and a more efficient means of achieving the environmental quality goals of land retirement programs

optimal combination of pollution prevention and abatement policies the case of agricultural drainage the adoption of pollution prevention and abatement practices is examined in the context of a model of exhaustible resource use with a backstop technology for the sake of concreteness the paper focuses on the problem of water logging caused by the subsurface accumulation of agricultural drainwater in modelling this problem a region s underground capacity to store drainwater is considered an exhaustible resource while the installation of subsurface drainage is viewed as the corresponding backstop technology or abatement practice the exhaustible resource is typically over exploited due to common access problems which forces a suboptimally fast adoption of the abatement practice conservationist irrigation technologies such as drip and sprinkler systems tend to reduce drainwater generation and their adoption could increase social welfare by delaying the abatement stage public policies are suggested to increase the adoption of such conservationist technologies data from california is used to illustrate the results and to demonstrate the efficacy of the model for policy purposes while the setting used for the analysis in this paper is quite specific i e water logging the same general modelling ideas may be applied to many other problems of environmental degradation

models of resource markets and the explanation of resource price behaviour abstract much of the recent theoretical work in resource economics has been aimed at relaxing the stringent simplifying assumptions of the basic hotelling model in an attempt to better explain observed resource price behaviour this paper surveys the characteristics of exhaustible resource markets that are likely to be important for the development of successful positive models in particular we discuss exploration and its relationship to production and market price the effects of various forms of uncertainty on price behaviour and for some resources the treatment of durability finally we address the question of whether producer behaviour can properly be viewed as that of dynamic optimization this paper should be seen as an attempt to stimulate discussion over research directions and priorities in resource economics

a martingale characterization of the price of a nonrenewable resource with decisions involving uncertainty abstract this paper presents a general model of nonrenewable resource consumption and exploration decisions involving uncertainty about the time of occurrence of an event such as exhaustion stock discovery or a substitute development the resulting price process is characterized in terms of necessary and sufficient conditions under which the price is expected to rise at a rate equal to greater than or less than the discount rate the general model is illustrated and the price process and the optimal decisions are characterized by examining the three types of uncertainty indicated above

r d capital rate of return on r d investment and spillover of r d in japanese manufacturing industries the effect of r 50d on productivity growth in japanese manufacturing industries is examined using more accurate firm r 50d expenditure data than widely used data based on financial statements series of r 50d capital are constructed then rate of return on r 50d investment is estimated in addition the impact of other industries r 50d on the productivity growth of an industry is also estimated an attempt is made to determine the effect of electronics technology upon the productivity growth of other industries through the transaction of the intermediate electronics goods with improved quality and through the diffusion of the new technological knowledge discovered japanese technology trade 1977 1981 copyright 1989 by mit press

the pre industrial energy crisis and resource scarcity as a source of transition the historical british timber famine of the 18th century is re examined in the light of contemporary concerns about transitions in energy use the alternatives of scarcity induced and opportunity led transition are considered in relation to the economics of sustainable fuel timber production for industrial uses the paper finds that the production of timber was an economically sustainable use of land and that observations of timber shortages may have therefore either been claims made by interests favouring the use of coal or the consequence of abandonment of fuel timber cultivation in favour of coal use the longer term sustainability of domestic uk sources for industrial timber fuel timber is shown to be problematic the consequences of the alternative views of the timber famine for contemporary policies attempting to promote transition to low carbon or sustainable energy use are examined in particular if the present is an echo of the past opportunity rather than crisis may be the more powerful lever of change

innovation and integration in the agri food industry abstract we deal with the link between innovation and market structure using the empirical example of the danish agri food industry vertical integration may resolve hold up problems and here we test for the importance of vertical integration and networks on innovation we further examine the effects of network relationships on innovation behaviour we use data from an extensive survey of 444 danish firms over two years 2000 and 2005 to estimate a bootstrapped zero inflated poisson regression model the first and most significant result is that organization matters further we find that vertical integration as well as contractual arrangements are significant determinants for firms innovation behaviour the direction of integration is important as well also economies of size seem to play an important role similarly the export orientation of the firm is a significant determinant of innovation whereas the sector the firm is operating in is not significant for its innovation behaviour

anticipation of future consumption a monetary perspective we adapt the monetary model sidrauski 1967 to study the hypothesis of anticipation of future consumption we assume that anticipation of future consumption affects an agent s instantaneous utility and that all effects of future consumption on current well being are captured by the stock of future consumption monetary policy effectiveness is thereby reduced and a zero nominal lower interest rate and thus the friedman rule is destabilizing given this we can derive a just stable equilibrium nominal interest rate with matching definitions for inflation and monetary growth we demonstrate that these implied lower bounds match their historical analogues well

technology as an agricultural pollution control policy in this paper we consider the market level impacts of factor augmenting innovations designed to reduce the use of fertilizers and pesticides first within the context of a simple two factor model and then through a simulation model of the u s corn market in both models the impacts depend on the output demand elasticity and input substitution elasticities the principal conclusion of the simulation analysis is that the potential for new techniques to reduce the use of agricultural chemicals is limited capital augmenting innovations would actually raise fertilizer and pesticide usage land augmenting innovations would also tend to increase pesticide usage

control of accumulating stock pollution by heterogeneous producers abstract this paper presents a framework to determine optimal resource allocation over time for the production of a good by heterogeneous producers who generate a stock externality we analyze the optimal intertemporal and quality specific combination of abatement strategies at the source source abatement given by a change in the intensity intensive margin of production and in the chosen technology extensive margin and or removal of existing pollution stock stock abatement the results show how the specifications of the production and the emission functions affect technology adoption and the design of the optimal intertemporal combination of source and stock abatement strategies moreover the paper shows that regulation at the intensive margin cannot be considered as a substitute for a regulation at the extensive margin the paper employs the so called two stage solution approach for solving the resulting quality distributed intertemporal optimal control problem

policy for the adoption of new environmental monitoring technologies to manage stock externalities abstract with the development of modern information technologies relying on nanotechnologies and remote sensing a number of systems can be envisaged that allow for monitoring of the negative externalities generated by producers consumers or travelers road pricing schemes or individual emission meters for automobiles are two examples we analyze a dynamic model of stock pollution when the regulator has incomplete information on emissions generated by heterogeneous agents our contribution is to explicitly study a decentralized policy for adoption of monitoring equipment over time we determine the second best tax rates the pattern of monitoring technology adoption and identify conditions for the voluntary diffusion of monitoring technologies over time simulations show the welfare gains compared to alternative policies

monopoly extraction of a nonrenewable resource facing capacity constrained renewable competition abstract this paper studies monopoly extraction of a nonrenewable resource with the presence of a competitively supplied capacity constrained renewable substitute the monopolist staves off the renewable supply when the latter becomes competitive and then lets the resource price jump up

innovation and productivity across four european countries nber working paper seriesinnovation and productivity across four european countriesrachel griffithelena huergojacques mairessebettina petersworking paper 12722http www nber org papers w12722national bureau of economic research1050 massachusetts avenuecambridge ma 02138december 2006we would like to thank laura abramovsky manuel arellano rupert harrison jordi jaumandreu elizabeth kremp pierre mohnen helen simpson the analysis contained in this paper was fundedby the european commission the esrc and esf under grant res 000 23 0901 and the advancedinstitute of management research aim all errors and omissions remain the responsibility of theauthors the views expressed herein are those of the author s and do not necessarily reflect the viewsof the national bureau of economic research 2006 by rachel griffith elena huergo jacques mairesse and bettina peters all rights reserved short sections of text not to exceed two paragraphs may be quoted without explicit permission providedthat full credit including notice is given to the source

natural resource economics and conservation contributions of agricultural economics and agricultural economists research by agricultural economists on natural resources has been distinguished by an interdisciplinary emphasis and a dynamic perspective it has recognized technological and institutional constraints has been oriented toward solving concrete resource management and policy problems and has emphasized empirical and quantitative analysis agricultural economists have introduced methods for evaluating natural resource conservation efforts for predicting adoption of resource conservation technologies and for designing efficient and sustainable resource management policies they have identified ways of improving land management and preventing land degradation proposed reforms of institutions governing water allocation and water quality and introduced policies for balancing environmental and efficiency considerations in the management of pests biodiversity and livestock diseases their research has had substantial impacts on the formulation of resource conservation policies

optimal transition to backstop substitutes for nonrenewable resources abstract we analyze the optimal transition from a primary nonrenewable resource to a backstop substitute for a class of problems characterized by the property that the backstop cost decreases continuously as learning from r d efforts accumulates to increase the knowledge base the transition policy consists of the r d process and of the time profiles of the primary and backstop resource supply rates we find that the optimal r d process follows a most rapid approach path mrap the knowledge process associated with r d should approach some endogenously derived target process as rapidly as possible and proceed along it thereafter thus if the initial knowledge level is sufficiently low and the cost structure justifies r d activities the r d efforts should be initiated without delay at the highest affordable rate and slow down later on this pattern contrasts previous findings that typically recommend a single humped r d process with a possible initial delay

organic farming in scandinavia productivity and market exit abstract this paper attempts to quantitatively measure the change in the productivity of danish organic farming in recent years based on a translog production frontier framework the technical and scale efficiency at farm level is analysed by following a time trends as well as a general index model specification further this study tries to analyse the significance of subsidies for promoting long term growth in organic production by estimating a bootstrapped bivariate probit model with respect to factors influencing the probability of organic market exit the results revealed significant differences in the organic farms technical efficiencies no significant total factor productivity growth and even a slightly negative rate of technical change in the period investigated evidence has been found for a positive relationship between subsidy payments and an increase in farm efficiency technology improvements and a decreasing probability of organic market exit which was also confirmed for off farm income

a reduced form model for dynamic efficiency measurement application to dairy farms in germany and the netherlands the stochastic distance function model is extended to allow for the inefficiency component of the error term to be autocorrelated as implied by a dynamic model of firm behavior the autocorrelation parameter can then be interpreted as a measure of the persistence of inefficiency the model is viewed from a state space perspective and kalman filtering techniques are proposed for estimation the model is applied to two panels of dairy farms from germany and the netherlands the results suggest a very high degree of persistence of inefficiency through time

extraction of a resource with a substitute for some of its uses important resources e g oil may be used for several purposes there may exist good substitutes for such a resource in some of its uses but no substitute in other uses the price and extraction paths for the resource are analysed for several market structures some of these paths differ substantially from the corresponding paths for the case of no substitute and for the case of a substitute for all the resource s uses in particular a jump in the resource price may occur l extraction d une ressource quand il existe un substitut pour certains des usages qu on peut en faire certaines ressources importantes comme 1 huile par exemple peuvent etre utilisees a plusieurs fins dans certains cas il se peut qu il existe des substituts pour certains usages qu on peut en faire alors que dans d autres cas il n existe pas de substituts l auteur examine la tarification et les diverse strategies d extraction dans des structure de marches differentes certaines de ces strategies d extraction different substantiellement de celles qui auraient ete utilisees soit dans le cas oiu aucun substitut n existe soit dans le cas ou substitut existe pour tous les usages qu on peut faire de la ressource en particulier on peut observer un saut dans le prix de la ressource

scarcity growth and r d abstract the limits to economic growth due to resource scarcity can be alleviated only by the development of backstop substitutes this paper combines resource based economic growth with r d to reduce the cost of backstop technologies characterizing the entire dynamics of optimal growth and r d processes we find that an economy s growth prospects depend on its type as determined by its production technology and learning ability and by its knowledge capital endowment a wide variety of growth patterns emerges ranging from cases in which an economy that without r d eventually stagnates converges to a steady state is diverted by r d onto a path of sustained growth to cases in which r d is not warranted resource scarcity is shown to encourage r d due to the increased reliance on the backstop technology

the transition to a new inflation rate in models with habit formation abstract the money in utility model is re considered to allow for habit forming preferences in which habits develop over instantaneous utility from consumption and real money holdings an increase in the inflation rate does not affect the steady state level of capital or consumption but reduces the steady state levels of real money holdings and habits the model has important off steady state dynamics

knowledge capital and performance heterogeneity a firm level innovation study this paper is an empirical analysis of knowledge capital and performance heterogeneity at the firm level we apply new econometric methods to extensive data on innovation and innovative activities

causality between dairy farm size and productivity the direction of causality between dairy farm size and productivity is examined for each state using multivariate granger causality tests the results only partially support the view that technological change has caused increases in dairy farm size the direction of causality appears to be more from size to productivity changes in productivity and average herd size appear driven by price changes

scale economies and inefficiency of u s dairy farms this study employs data drawn from the 2000 agricultural resource management survey a u s department of agriculture sponsored farmers survey the article estimates returns to scale relationships across dairy farms of different sizes and across different regions incorporating variables hypothesized to influence farm performance results point to significant scale economies in u s dairy farms and underscore the importance of taking account of inefficiency when estimating scale economies contrary to previous research the preferred cost function specification does not show a region of decreasing returns to scale this finding helps explain why the average size of dairy farms has been increasing

the dynamics of agricultural biotechnology adoption lessons from series rbst use in wisconsin 1994 2001 this article exploits panel data from wisconsin dairy farmers to examine the dynamics of recombinant bovine somatotropin rbst adoption and to identify the characteristics that distinguish among nonadopters disadopters and early and late adopters panel methods are used to control for omitted variables and endogenous regressors that call into question coefficient estimates derived from cross section adoption models the results however confirm previous findings that larger farms with complementary feeding technologies are more likely to adopt rbst nonadopters appear quite unlikely to become adopters and rbst adoption will remain at rather moderate levels in wisconsin

are renewable energy policies climate friendly the role of capacity constraints and market power abstract this paper studies the impacts of renewable energy support policies on energy prices fossil fuel supply and thus carbon emissions from fossil fuels such supports are climate friendly if the renewables are already competitive against fossil fuels but if the renewables are not yet competitive the climate change impacts are often ambiguous and are sensitive to capacity constraints of renewables production and to the fossil fuel market structure if the renewables do not have capacity constraints then the subsidies are subject to the green paradox under perfect competition but might be climate friendly under monopoly supports for capacity constrained renewables under perfect competition lead to more current fossil fuel supply but delay fossil fuel exhaustion time and these effects are reversed under monopoly our results highlight the importance of considering the long term effects on fossil fuel supply as well as capacity constraints and market power in designing renewable energy policies and evaluating their carbon footprints

cost effectiveness of alternative green payment policies for conservation technology adoption with heterogeneous land quality this paper quantitatively analyses the cost effectiveness of alternative green payment policies designed to achieve a targeted level of pollution control by heterogeneous microunits these green payment policies include cost share subsidies that share the fixed costs of adoption of a conservation technology and or input reduction subsidies to reduce the use of a polluting input the paper shows that unlike a pollution tax that achieves abatement through three mechanisms a negative extensive margin effect a negative intensive margin effect and a technology switching effect a cost share subsidy and an input reduction subsidy are much more restricted in the types of incentives they provide for conservation of polluting inputs and adoption of a conservation technology to control pollution moreover they may lead to varying levels of expansion of land under production costs of abatement with alternative policies and implications for production and government payments are compared using a simulation model for controlling drainage from irrigated cotton production in california with drip irrigation as a conservation technology

incentives precision technology and environmental protection abstract this paper calls for a reevaluation of the pollution problem in order to devise efficient strategies for its control it contends that a fundamental cause of pollution is inefficiency in input use during the production process this inefficiency manifests itself as input waste and polluting residues precision technologies can increase the effectiveness of inputs used in production and reduce pollution generation despite their potential economic and ecological benefits adoption of precision technologies has been slow this paper presents a conceptual framework to identify and analyze the specific factors that affect their diffusion among microunits these include various heterogeneous characteristics of microunits prices which do not reflect the relevant scarcities due to distortionary regulatory policies and lack of institutional mechanisms for efficient allocation of inputs and outputs it rationalizes the observed variations in the appropriate choice of technology across microunits and argues for the need to broaden the range of incentive based instruments for environmental protection beyond pollution taxes

spatial heterogeneity and the choice of instruments to control nonpoint pollution because it is difficult to monitor emissions and to implement differentialtaxes and standards uniform taxes and standards on agricultural chemicaluse are often proposed and used to control nonpoint source pollution thisarticle analyzes the relative efficiency of these uniform instruments in thepresence of spatial heterogeneity we show that the relative slopes of themarginal pollution cost and marginal profit of chemical use are only one ofthe factors that affect the relative efficiency other factors includecorrelation between marginal pollution costs and marginal profits and theslope and variability of marginal profits in addition a uniform tax mayresult in some farmers not using the chemical and a uniform standard mayhave no effect on low input land we show empirically that the presence ofcorner solutions can reverse a conventional finding of tax or standardsuperiority based on the relative slop rule

research needs and challenges in the few system coupling economic models with agronomic hydrologic and bioenergy models for sustainable food energy and water systems on october 12 13 a workshop funded by the national science foundation was held at iowa state university in ames iowa with a goal of identifying research needs related to coupled economic and biophysical models within the few system approximately 80 people attended the workshop with about half representing the social sciences primarily economics and the rest from the physical and natural sciences the focus and attendees were chosen so that findings would be particularly relevant to sbe research needs while taking into account the critical connectivity needed between social sciences and other disciplines we have identified several major gaps in existing scientific knowledge that present substantial impediments to understanding the few system we especially recommend research in these areas as a priority for future funding 1 economic models of decision making in coupled systems deliberate human activity has been the dominant factor driving environmental and land use changes for hundreds of years while economists have made great strides in modeling and understanding these choices the coupled systems modeling literature with some important exceptions has not reflected these contributions several paths forward seem fruitful first baseline economic models that assume rationality can be used much more widely than they are currently moreover the current generation of iams that include rational agents have emphasized partial equilibrium studies appropriate for smaller systems to allow this approach to be used to study larger systems the potential for and consequences of general equilibrium effects should be studied as well second it is important to address shortcomings in these models of economic decision making valuable improvements could be gained from developing coupled models that draw insights from behavioral economics many decision makers deviate systematically from actions that would be predicted by strict rationality but very few iams incorporate this behavior potentially leading to inaccurate predictions about the effects of policies and regulations improved models of human adaptation and induced technological change can also be incorporated into coupled models particularly for medium to long run models decisions about adaptation and technological change will have substantial effects on the conclusions and policy implications but more compelling methods for incorporating these changes into modeling are sorely needed in addition some economic decisions are intrinsically dynamic yet few coupled models explicitly incorporate dynamic models economic models that address uncertainty in decision making are also underutilized in coupled models of the few system 2 coupling models across disciplines despite much recent progress established models for one component of the few system often cannot currently produce outcomes that can be used as inputs for models of other components this misalignment makes integrated modeling difficult and is especially apparent in linking models of natural phenomena with models of economic decision making economic agents typically act to maximize a form of utility or welfare that is not directly linked to physical processes and they typically require probabilistic forecasts as an input to their decision making that many models in the natural sciences cannot directly produce we believe that an especially promising approach is the development of bridge models that convert outputs from one model into inputs for another such models can be viewed as application specific reduced form distillations of a richer and more realistic underlying model ideally these bridge models would be developed in collaborative research projects involving economists statisticians and disciplinary specialists and would contribute to improved understanding in the scientific discipline as well 3 model validation and comparison there is little clarity on how models should be evaluated and compared to each other both within individual disciplines and as components of larger iams this challenge makes larger integrated modeling exercises extremely difficult some potential ways to advance are by developing statistical criteria that measure model performance along the dimensions suitable for inclusion in an iam as well as infrastructure and procedures to facilitate model comparisons focusing on the models out of sample distributional forecasting performance as well as that of the iam overall is especially promising and of particular importance moreover applications of iams tend to estimate the effect of hypothetical future policy actions but there have been very few studies that have used these models to estimate the effect of past policy actions these exercises should be encouraged they offer a well understood test bed for the iams and also contribute to fundamental scientific knowledge through better understanding of the episode in question the retrospective nature of this form of analysis also presents the opportunity to combine reduced form estimation strategies with the iams as an additional method of validation

optimal timing of technology adoption abstract in a dynamic programming framework this paper investigates the optimal timing of technology adoption by a competitive firm when technology choice is irreversible and the firm faces a stochastic innovation process with uncertainties about both the speed of the arrival and the degree of improvement of new technologies a numerical example illustrates how the optimal timing decision is affected by changes in parameter values reflecting market conditions the firm s initial technological attributes and the characteristics of the stochastic innovation process some of these effects turn out to be in sharp contrast to common intuition contrasting the optimal decision rule derived here with the rule obtained under the net present value shows that the former implies a slower pace of adoption than implied by the latter the optimal decision rule is generalized for the case of multiple technology switches and it is shown that for all the switching decisions except the last one the optimal rule satisfies the net present value criterion

innovation and natural resources a dynamic game with uncertainty we analyze a dynamic game between a resource exporting country and an importing country that is seeking to invent a substitute technology the time of innovation is an uncertain function of the importer s r d efforts which cannot be committed in advance the game has a unique equilibrium in markov strategies the importer s r d efforts grow over time the exporter s output often decreases with time before innovation occurs but strategic factors imply that the opposite can happen the output path is characterized by a simple modification of hotelling s rule to account for uncertainty and strategic behavior

energy transition under irreversibility a two sector approach in this paper we analyze the optimal energy transition of a two sector economy energy and final goods with exhaustible oil reserves a renewable source of energy and a pollution threat the latter corresponds to a pollution threshold above which a part of the capital is lost following flooding for instance we show that the optimal energy transition path may correspond to a corner regime in which the economy starts using both resources then crosses the pollution threshold and therefore loses a part of its capital at the end the sole adoption of the renewable energy is optimal only in the long run this result is in line with the asymptotic energy transition arguments stating that the transition to clean energy may happen only in the long run we also show that economy reduces the use of energy resource as long as the productivity of capital and energy services is high therefore public policies should promote investments in energy innovation that targets productive sector home appliances and buildings and helps to save both money and energy we extend the present model to allow for additional investment in energy saving technologies our main results show that this additional investment favours the energy transition in the sense that it increases the time within which the economy may experience the catastrophe and the welfare of the society for policy implications economic instruments such as taxes on dirty energy subsidies on clean energy or incentives for energy saving technologies need to be implemented in order to promote the energy transition this is particularly important for developing countries that mostly rely on polluting energy resources and are the most vulnerable to climate change but those economic instruments should be carefully designed in line with the asymptotic energy transition result

market structure and resource depletion a contribution to the theory of intertemporal monopolistic competition a the theory of resource extraction in the model we present there exists a produced substitute to the natural resource the primary question with which we are concerned is the interaction of the resource and its substitute the model we present can thus be thought as providing a link between rent and production based price theories one of the general results in the earlier literature on resource extraction is that deposits with lower extraction costs will be exploited first the analysis

resource pricing and technological innovations under oligopoly a theoretical exploration this article presents a non technical survey of some recent theoretical analyses of the pricing of exhaustible natural resources and the incentives for developing resource substitutes under oligopoly and looks in perspective at what appear to be the central considerations among the main conclusions that are presented are those that bear on the pace of r d activity the phenomenon of sleeping patents oligopolistic pricing before and after the resource substituting invention the timing of innovation and the transition from one resource base to another it concludes with an analysis of a national r d policy for a resource importing country

a microeconometric test of the theory of exhaustible resources abstract this paper generalizes extant developments of the economic theory of exhaustible resource production derives and extends a halvorsen and smith 1991 quarterly journal of economics 106 123 140 type test of the theory and applies the test to a sample of natural gas resources to facilitate our empirical test we extend the model developed in chermak and patrick 1995 journal of environmental economics and management 28 174 189 to explicitly account for the fact that the extracted resource gross product must be processed to obtain the final saleable product duality theory is used to derive econometric models with which the theory is statistically tested using panel data from 29 natural gas wells shadow prices of the resource stock through time which are generally unobservable but necessary for the test are estimated via the indirect cost function contrary to the extant literature we find inter alia that i at any point in time ceteris paribus the in situ resource price a decreases with gross production and b increases with final production and ii we cannot reject the theory of exhaustible resources i e producer behavior is consistent with the theory

option values to conservation and agricultural price policy application to terrace construction in kenya policy reforms to liberalize agricultural markets in developing countries are likely to influence both the level and the variability of prices while considerable attention has been given to the impact of changes in price level on soil and water conservation there has been relatively little analysis of the role of price variability in conservation decisions we present a model of investment under uncertainty to analyze the effect of both level and variability of prices on the decision to invest in conservation the model is applied to adoption of fanya juu terraces in eastern kenya

general equilibrium effects of green technological progress this paper demonstrates that technological progress in production of renewable energy can influence the extraction path of fossil fuels indirectly by a change in the equilibrium interest rate we show in a simple model that the indirect effect can be so strong that first period or even aggregate extraction levels rise with green technological progress contrary to popular expectations

deregulation endogenous expectations and the evolution of industry structure this analysis of deregulation as a government directed switch of regime from monopoly to competition treats the incumbent producer as a monopolist who anticipates that deregulation will occur at some future date and result in the deployment of substitutes producing a competitive environment the results suggest that the ceiling for the rise in world gas prices will fall capping any domestic price rise the model indicates that any drop in world prices will be moderated by an incumbent producer e g opec who uses market variables like price to improve his forecast of competitive entry when the incumbent recognizes that higher monopoly prices raise the probability of entry the resulting monopoly path of prices will lie closer to the postulated path of initial competitive prices resulting in a less substantial drop in price when the switch of regime actually occurs 27 references

habit formation in a monetary growth model abstract this paper introduces the hypothesis of habit formation in consumption in the sidrauski am econ rev papers proc 57 1967 534 model a number of results are derived 1 as in the sidrauski model money is superneutral and the friedman rule still provides the optimal quantity of money 2 the demand for money in this model is greater than in the sidrauski model 3 the money demand reflects the habit persistence related to past consumption and the rate of time preference and it is more sensitive to changes in inflation and nominal interest rates than the sidrauski model

the impact of r d investment on productivity new evidence using linked r d lrd data the impact of r d investment on productivity new evidence using linked r d lrd data this paper uses confidential census longitudinal microdata to examine the association between r d and productivity for the period 1972 1985 these data allow for significant improvements in measurement and model specification yielding more precise estimates of the returns to r d our results confirm the findings of existing studies 1 positive returns to r d investment 2 higher returns to company financed research 3 a productivity premium on basic research these results are robust to adjustments for influential outliers also our evidence suggests that the return to company financed r d is an increasing function of firm size i introduction robert solow s studies in the late 1950s dramatically changed perceptions of the sources of economic growth until this time the commonly held view was that improvements in economic welfare were achieved primarily through the use of more inputs in particular capital input however solow 1957 reported that only 10 percent of the twofold rise in u s per capita output during the years 1909 1949 was due to growth in the capital labor ratio the remainder was attributed to more efficient use of inputs or technological change solow also established a framework for estimating technological change a productivity residual or a measure of changes in output that could not be explained by changes in input use the solow residual in modified form has become virtually synonymous with the measurement of total factor productivity tfp growth jorgenson and griliches 1967 demonstrated that under the assumptions of constant returns to scale and competitive factor pricing changes in total factor productivity measure shifts in a production function rather than treat technological change as exogenous or manna from heaven many economists have explored its determinants r d investment is generally regarded as having a strong impact on productivity growth empirical analysis of the r d productivity connection has often been based on estimation of reduced form equations derived from the r d capital stock model griliches 1979 which extends the solow model to include the stock of technical knowledge or knowledge capital as a factor of production in addition to the standard factors of production physical capital labor intermediate materials and energy if the rate of depreciation of knowledge capital is assumed to be negligible tfp growth dtfp is a function of the intensity of r d investment rdint which is usually measured as the ratio of r d expenditure to sales 1 dtf p sub t alpha beta rdin t sub t u sub t where u sub t is a classical disturbance term the coefficient on r d intensity beta is interpreted as both the marginal product of knowledge capital and the rate of return to r d investment 1 estimates of beta at the company or line of business level are interpreted as measures of the private rate of return to r d or those that accrue to the firm or its investors due to incomplete appropriability or other factors this return may not equal the social return to this activity most empirical studies especially those based on aggregate and sectoral data have found evidence of a strong positive correlation between tfp growth and r d investment however results using firm level data have been mixed the finding that these two variables are uncorrelated is cause for concern because it implies that firms may not be able to earn significant returns on their investment in r d making them less likely to undertake this investment in the future even if it is socially desirable for them to do so we believe that it is important to reestimate this relationship because it is highly likely that existing firm level studies have been based on measures of tfp that are crude imprecise and unrepresentative

optimal pricing of environmental and natural resource use with stock externalities abstract underlying some of the most pressing environmental problems are the interlinked resource and environmental stock externalities with threshold effects using a simple dynamic model it is shown how in the face of such externalities the static market based policy instruments such as pigouvian taxes should be modified it is shown that even if for an initial period there is going to be no pollution stock damage the optimal policy still requires that abatement begins immediately and at increasing rates simulation of the model for the case of fossil fuel burning and the consequent global warming shows that the optimal carbon tax and therefore the optimal control strategy is particularly sensitive to changes in the marginal abatement cost and the level of fossil fuel demand policy simulations contrast the optimal control policy with and estimate the welfare losses from alternative policies deriving from arbitrary tax paths the latter include i a no tax policy ii a constant carbon tax rate iii the european community s proposed carbon tax path and iv a delayed optimal tax path

irrigation technology adoption and gains from water trading under asymmetric information we develop a water allocation and irrigation technology adoption model under the prior appropriation doctrine with asymmetric information among heterogeneous farmers and between farmers and water authorities we find that adverse selection reduces the adoption of modern irrigation technology we also show that even with asymmetric information incentives for water trade exist and lead to additional technology adoption with gains to all parties this suggests that under asymmetric information a thin secondary market improves the allocation of water resources and induces additional adoption of modern irrigation technologies

optimal consumption and the timing of the resolution of uncertainty abstract as is well known consumers want to accumulate precautionary savings in the face of income risks when their marginal utility is convex prudence in this paper we explore the effect of the timing of the resolution of income uncertainty on savings an agent faces uncertainty about his income at date t 2 what is the effect of being informed that the uncertainty will be resolved at date t 1 on the consumption at date t we show that the effect is positive if and only if marginal utility is convex prudence when either the risk free rate is equal to the rate of pure preference for the present or when the utility function is hara the intuition is that an early resolution of uncertainty allows for time diversifying the risk it therefore plays a role similar to a reduction of the income risk whose effect on savings is negative under prudence

water quantity management in a heterogeneous landscape with farsighted farmers agricultural production contributes to many environmental problems in semi arid areas agricultural irrigation causes the so called waterlogging phenomenon this phenomenon is both spatial and dynamic since percolation depends on soil quality summed up in landscape heterogeneity and evolves along time furthermore farmers can be farsighted with respect to their contribution to percolation we study regulation schemes to be implemented to restore the socially optimal spatial and temporal production plan of farmers in such a context we show that both a temporal tax on percolation and a spatio temporal tax on inputs both at the extensive and at the intensive margin are efficient for the restoration of the socially optimal solution furthermore a numerical example demonstrates that the consequences of implementing a fiscal scheme designed for myopic farmers whereas they are farsighted depends on the distribution of soil quality

the effect of natural resources on a sustainable development policy the approach of non sustainable externalities abstract the debate about the importance of non renewable resources for economic development between optimists and pessimists shows that the extensive depletion of non renewable resources particularly oil along with a higher level of consumption could have a significant impact on the economic development of future generations based on this debate this paper proposes criteria under which the depletion of non renewable resources would create excess costs for future generations therefore this paper aims to answer the question what will be the impact of the depletion of non renewable resources on sustainable economic development accordingly a sustainable development policy appears feasible by minimizing non sustainable externalities which derive from future externalities that weigh the benefits from a previous employment of natural resources the research based on qualitative analysis clarifies the reasons for and the extents of taking sustainability into account as well as points to difficulties of implementing policies to time the transition towards a sustainable economic development finally the research shows the implications of this approach for environmental degradation the depletion of non renewable resources and energy production

renewable resource management with a backstop substitute and nonautonomous prices abstract policies for managing a renewable resource in the presence of a backstop substitute are analyzed conditions for renewable and backstop resources to be relevant are discussed the extinction issue the role of myopic decision rules and the optimality of singular arc policies are examined with nonautonomous prices

the diffusion of new agricultural technologies the case of crossbred cow technology in tanzania the recent literature on agricultural technology adoption shows that diffusion of new technologies varies significantly across space and time furthermore puzzles exist about why some seemingly profitable technologies are not adopted especially in livestock production we employ a hazard or duration function to explain diffusion of crossbred cow technology in a unique sample of tanzania farmers a farmer s adoption of crossbred technology depends positively on the proximity of his farm to other users on his schooling and on his access to credit and contact with extension agents

on the ideological foundations of environmental policy abstract this paper is an investigation into the philosophies of science inherent in the development of two schools of thought in environmental economics neoclassical and steady state analysis it attempts to gain clearer insight into the direction of inquiry and the policy options of each by contrasting their perspective metaeconomic structures the sets of first principles shaping theoretical development the ontology of steady state analysis while accepting the general principle of rationality differs from neoclassicism by including the ecological interaction of people with nature as an element of spicies being the cosmology of the two schools differs in the steady statists take the laws of thermodynamics and the principle of biospheric assimilation of first principles questions of absolute scarcity take primacy over the neoclassical focus on problems of relative scarcity in policy analysis consequently steady state theorists view the environment problem in its global dimensions over a longer time continuum the result is that steady state policy prescriptions are not necessarily market bound and may transcend the intstitutional arrangements common in western capitalist societies

innovation and the dynamics of global warming global warming and the carbon cycle are a dynamic system with positive feedbacks fossil fuels are exhaustible resources these two facts mean that innovation in clean energy technology rather than mitigating global warming can lead to a permanently higher temperature path this paper explores the impact of innovation in the simplest model linking the economic theory of exhaustible resources with positive feedback dynamics in the carbon cycle