partnerships lemons and efficient trade we analyze the possibility of efficient trade with informationally interdependent valuations and with a dispersed ownership a crucial role is played by the sign of the derivatives that measure how valuation functions depend on others signals if valuations are increasing functions of other agents signals it is more difficult to achieve efficient trade with interdependent values than with private values where the respective derivatives are zero in contrast if valuations are decreasing functions of other agents signals it is easier to achieve efficient trade with interdependent values our results unify and generalize the insights of cramton et al 1987 myerson and satterthwaite 1983 and akerlof 1970

efficient mechanisms for bilateral trading we consider bargaining problems between one buyer and one seller for a single object the seller s valuation and the buyer s valuation for the object are assumed to be independent random variables and each individual s valuation is unknown to the other we characterize the set of allocation mechanisms that are bayesian incentive compatible and individually rational and show the general impossibility of ex post efficient mechanisms without outside subsidies for a wide class of problems we show how to compute mechanisms that maximize expected total gains from trade and mechanisms that can maximize a broker s expected profit journal of economic literature classification number 026

comment on cole the view that small rms face greater problems in obtaining credit thanlarge rms has a long history going back at least as far as the loan relationshipmodels of hodgeman 1961 and wood 1975 and the credit rationing work ofja ee and modigliani 1969 nevertheless there are few studies that provideor analyze direct evidence that credit is rationed with nonprice terms to rms at the macro level most empirical studies of business credit availability use in direct proxies ranging from early studies such as ja ee and modigliani 1969 who gauged availability by the share of small sized loans among all bank loans to more modern models that point to a role of cash ow as a determinant ofinvestment at the micro level empirical studies have indirectly tested forthe existence of credit rationing by assessing the behavior of loan pricing e g berger and udell 1992 1995 testing whether liquidity or cash owhas a greater impact on investment by smaller rms relative to larger rms e g fazzari et al 1988 or investigating whether smaller rms more heavilyuse expensive trade credit during periods of tight credit e g ja ee 1971 pe tersen and rajan 1994 cole 1998 lls a void in the literature on credit availability by testing how rm characteristics a ect a small rm s likelihood of experiencing a loan denialusing a unique cross section data set that provides direct evidence of nonpricecredit rationing this paper nds that preexisting nancial service relationshipswith a lender have a positive e ect on the probability of loan approvals con sistent with prior studies arguing that banks gain information about credit riskfrom monitoring borrower deposit activity e g black 1975 fama 1985 nakamura 1993 in addition results indicate that much of the e ect of

perceived credit constraints in the european union the promotion and support of small and medium sized enterprises smes is an essential component of policies designed to help improve europe s economic performance a crucial issue is whether smes face difficulty obtaining bank loans using pre crisis survey data from 2005 and 2006 for nearly 3 500 smes firms with fewer than 250 employees in the european union eu we investigate the determinants of perceived bank loan accessibility at the firm level and at the country level based on hierarchical multi level binomial logit regressions our findings show that the youngest and smallest smes have the worst perception of access to bank loans the smes in nations with concentrated banking sectors are more positive about loan accessibility in addition a high fraction of foreign owned banks is associated with improved perception of loan accessibility in the eu 15 but not in the eu 10

monetary transmission through bank loans or bank liabilities interest in the transmission of monetary fluctuations to real output has dominated macroeconomics since at least the eighteenth century since then many observers have noted the tendency of a monetary expansion to be followed initially by an expansion of real output and later by an increase in prices while the reason for the long run price change is well understood understanding the short run impact of money on nominal output remains an active unresolved research topic most theoretical models explain the transmission of monetary fluctuations to real output as a consequence of sticky prices or expectations the stickiness is either due to informational imperfections or to contractual rigidities while the policy implications of the two types of stickiness differ both types of model predict a transitory response of real output to a shock in nominal money balances neither the informational imperfection nor the contractual rigidity story is completely compelling and both rely on the central role played by movements in real balances and perceived real interest rates yet for thirty five years following world war ii neither significant movements in the anticipated real rate nor large interest elasticities of spending were apparent despite this the empirical correlation of money and output fluctuations has been found in most time periods and countries consequently the need for alternative explanations of monetary transmission or a credible reverse causation story remains strong

does my contribution to your crowdfunding project matter abstract in this study we consider the dynamics of crowdfunding project support over time we propose that people support crowdfunding projects financially when they believe that their contribution will make an impact because perceptions of impact are positively related to goal proximity we predict that support for a crowdfunding project will increase as the project funding approaches its target goal in addition because motivation decreases after a goal is attained we further predict that crowdfunding contributions will significantly decrease after the target goal is reached we find strong support for these hypotheses from a large scale field study involving kickstarter furthermore we show that several factors related to the expected impact moderate the effects of goal proximity that is the positive effect of goal proximity on project support is accentuated if the project is nearing its funding deadline if the target goal is relatively small or if the project has limited early support

the economics of small business finance the roles of private equity and debt markets in the financial growth cycle abstract this article examines the economics of financing small business in private equity and debt markets firms are viewed through a financial growth cycle paradigm in which different capital structures are optimal at different points in the cycle we show the sources of small business finance and how capital structure varies with firm size and age the interconnectedness of small firm finance is discussed along with the impact of the macroeconomic environment we also analyze a number of research and policy issues review the literature and suggest topics for future research

the incidence of secured debt evidence from the small business community critics claim that theories of secured debt fail to explain the widespread use of collateral because they incorrectly predict when a loan will be secured this paper provides the first rigorous statistical test of the transaction cost models of secured debt data from two samples of over 1 000 small business loans generally support the common set of predictions of these theories the incidence of secured debt is positively related to probability of default loan size loan maturity and marketability of assets changes in the legal and economic environment also alter firms decisions regarding the pledging of collateral

collective choice under dichotomous preferences abstract agents partition deterministic outcomes into good or bad a mechanism selects a lottery over outcomes time shares the probability of a good outcome is the canonical utility the utilitarian mechanism averages over outcomes with largest approval it is efficient strategyproof anonymous and neutral we reach an impossibility if in addition each agent s utility is at least 1 n where n is the number of agents or is at least the fraction of good to feasible outcomes we conjecture that no ex ante efficient and strategyproof mechanism guarantees a strictly positive utility to all agents and prove a weaker statement

profit distribution and compensation structures in publicly and privately funded hybrid venture capital funds abstract policy makers have become increasingly concerned at the lack of risk capital available to new and early stage entrepreneurial ventures as a public response to a perceived market failure several governments have set up programs to channel equity finance to capital constrained but high potential young enterprises critically government support is often directed through the agency of private venture capital funds we examine the profit distribution and compensation structures used in these hybrid public private funds we appraise government policy makers ability to use these structures to improve the expected returns in market failure areas in order to attract private sector investors and professional managers to participate in these funds the results derived from our simulation study suggest that such asymmetric profit sharing models can only resolve relatively modest market failures unless the programs also manage to attract highly competent investors who are able to produce above average gross returns in market failure areas

local incentive compatibility with transfers we consider locally incentive compatible mechanisms with deterministic allocation rules and transfers with quasilinear utility we identify a rich class of type spaces which includes the single peaked type space where local incentive compatibility does not imply incentive compatibility our main result shows that in such type spaces a mechanism is locally incentive compatible and payment only incentive compatible if and only if it is incentive compatible payment only incentive compatibility requires that a mechanism that generates the same allocation at two types must have the same payment at those two types our result works on a class of ordinal type spaces which are generated by considering a set of ordinal preferences over alternatives and then considering all non negative type vectors representing such preferences

simple monetary policy rules and exchange rate uncertainty abstract we analyze the performance and robustness of some common simple rules for monetary policy in a new keynesian open economy model under different assumptions about the exchange rate model adding the exchange rate to an optimized taylor rule that responds to cpi inflation gives only small improvements in terms of economic stability in most model configurations the taylor rule is also slightly more robust to uncertainty about the exchange rate model than are rules that respond to the rate of exchange rate depreciation our results thus indicate that the taylor rule is sufficient to stabilize a small open economy also under exchange rate model uncertainty

incrementality of sme loan guarantees in many countries loan guarantee programs are important elements of government policy with respect to small and medium sized enterprises smes if loan guarantee schemes are to be effective a majority of firms obtaining assistance through such a scheme ought not to be able to obtain financing from existing sources a property known as incrementality or additionality this paper describes a new approach to measuring incrementality this work uses a two stage process to estimate the incrementality of loans made under the terms of the canada small business financing csbf program first a logistic regression based model of loan outcomes essentially a credit scoring model is estimated based on a large representative sample of smes the resulting model was consistent with prior expectations and exhibited high levels of goodness of fit the model was then employed to classify a sample of firms that had received loans under the terms of the loan guarantee scheme incremental loans ought to be classified as turndowns by the model hence the proportion of loan guarantee recipients that the model classified as turndowns is a direct measure of incrementality for the csbf loan guarantee program incrementality was estimated with 95 confidence as 74 8 9 0

crowdfunding and innovation entrepreneurs have started relying on crowdfunding to fund their investments this paper surveys the literature linking crowdfunding with innovation in entrepreneurial firms two distinct areas are discussed first crowdfunding has the potential to foster innovation by offering new sources of capital to innovation driven firms and thereby reduce the funding gap for innovative startups second crowdfunding offers a way for the crowd to participate in the innovation process by providing feedback to the entrepreneur this feedback can take various forms including providing ideas on the development of the product during and after the campaign in the spirit of crowdsourcing and providing valuable information on the future demand for the new product

market structure and discrimination the case of small businesses this paper examines bank market structure to draw inferences concerning the role of discrimination in credit markets for small businesses the authors analyze credit application and denial rates loans outstanding and interest rates across demographic groups this set of variables in combination with information on local bank market structure helps them distinguish among borrower preferences lender tastes and inadequate lender information as likely causes of differences in credit market experiences of small business operators from distinct demographic groups the authors find that white men and women can expect similar treatment in credit markets with some benefits to female owned firms located in concentrated banking markets minorities by contrast fare worse than whites moreover by appealing to becker s 1957 classic theories we find some clear evidence to support the view that prejudicial discrimination is at least partly to blame

project network models with discounted cash flows a guided tour through recent developments abstract the vast majority of the project scheduling methodologies presented in the literature have been developed with the objective of minimizing the project duration subject to precedence and other constraints in doing so the financial aspects of project management are largely ignored recent efforts have taken into account discounted cash flows and have focused on the maximization of the net present value npv of the project as the more appropriate objective in this paper we offer a guided tour through the important recent developments in the expanding field of research on deterministic and stochastic project network models with discounted cash flows subsequent to a close examination of the rationale behind the npv objective we offer a taxonomy of the problems studied in the literature and critically review the major contributions proper attention is given to npv maximization models for the unconstrained scheduling problem with known cash flows optimal and suboptimal scheduling procedures with various types of resource constraints and the problem of determining both the timing and amount of payments

adverse selection without single crossing monotone solutions abstract the single crossing assumption simplifies the analysis of screening models as local incentive compatibility becomes sufficient for global incentive compatibility if single crossing is violated global incentive compatibility constraints have to be taken into account this paper studies monotone solutions in a screening model that allows a one time violation of single crossing the results show that local and non local incentive constraints distort the solution in opposite directions therefore the optimal decision might involve distortions above as well as below the first best decision furthermore the well known no distortion at the top property does not necessarily hold the results show that the decision can even be distorted above first best for all types sufficient conditions for existence strict monotonicity and continuity of the solution are presented a new necessary condition satisfied by such solutions is found an algorithm based on this condition can calculate continuous and strictly monotone solutions

on maximizing the net present value of a project under renewable resource constraints in this paper we study the resource constrained project scheduling problem with discounted cash flows each activity of this resource constrained project scheduling problem has certain resource requirements and a known deterministic cash flow that can be either positive or negative deterministic cash flows are assumed to occur over the duration of the activities progress payments and cash outflows occur at the completion of activities the objective is to schedule the activities subject to a fixed deadline to maximize the net present value subject to the precedence and resource constraints with these features the financial aspects of project management are taken into account we introduce a depth first branch and bound algorithm that makes use of extra precedence relations to resolve a number of resource conflicts and a fast recursive search algorithm for the max npv problem to compute upper bounds the recursive search algorithm exploits the idea that positive cash flows should be scheduled as early as possible while negative cash flows should be scheduled as late as possible within the precedence constraints the procedure has been coded in visual c version 4 0 under windows nt and has been validated on two problem sets

outside enterpreneurial capital this article investigates factors that affect rejection rates in applications for outside finance among different types of investors banks venture capital funds leasing firms factoring firms trade customers and suppliers partners and working shareholders private individuals and other sources taking into account the non randomness in a firm s decision to seek outside finance the data support the traditional pecking order theory further the data indicate that firms seeking capital are typically able to secure their requisite financing from at least one of the different available sources however external finance is often not available in the form that a firm would like this article engages with four interrelated empirical questions first what are the characteristics of privately held entrepreneurial firms that seek external outside finance and what drives the request for capital from the different potential sources of external finance banks venture capitalists private individuals leasing factoring suppliers customers partners working shareholders among other sources second what are the factors that lead to rejection or acceptance of requests for external finance given this non randomness in the types of firms that seek external finance in the spirit of heckman 1976 1979 third as various forms of financing are far from being perfect substitutes are there differences in the ability of firms to obtain capital from the different available sources fourth can firms obtain all of their desired capital from the different available sources even if it is not in the form they would like it is widely recognised that the decision to seek external finance and the type of financing sought is related to information asymmetries faced by investors regarding the entrepreneurial firm s quality see for example jensen and meckling 1976 1 where

crowdfunding and innovation crowdfunding and innovation entrepreneurs have started relying on crowdfunding to fund their investments this paper surveys the literature linking crowdfunding with innovation in entrepreneurial firms two distinct areas are discussed first crowdfunding has the potential to foster innovation by offering new sources of capital to innovation driven firms and thereby reduce the funding gap for innovative startups second crowdfunding offers a way for the crowd to participate in the innovation process by providing feedback to the entrepreneur this feedback can take various forms including providing ideas on the development of the product during and after the campaign in the spirit of crowdsourcing and providing valuable information on the future demand for the new product

access to finance for innovative smes since the financial crisis in the wake of the 2008 financial crisis there has been increased focus on access to finance for small firms research from before the crisis suggested that it was harder for innovative firms to access finance yet no research has considered the differential effect of the crisis on innovative firms this paper addresses this gap using a dataset of over 10 000 uk sme employers we find that innovative firms are more likely to be turned down for finance than other firms and this worsened significantly in the crisis however regressions controlling for a host of firm characteristics show that the worsening in general credit conditions has been more pronounced for non innovative firms with the exception of absolute credit rationing which still remains more severe for innovative firms the results suggest that there are two issues in the financial system the first is a structural problem which restricts access to finance for innovative firms the second is a cyclical problem has been caused by the financial crisis and has impacted relatively more severely on non innovative firms

contemporary topics in finance a collection of literature surveys finance plays a critical function in economies and continues to evolve in practice complemented by research policy and regulation the articles in this special issue provide up to date reviews of contemporary topics in finance unconventional monetary policy implicit bank guarantees and financial fraud are in various ways associated with rethinks stimulated by the global financial crisis the topics of inflation risk premia finance and productivity angel investing venture capital relationship lending and microfinance have benefitted from increased research associated with more data and use in practice the final two topics of crowdfunding and crypto currencies are the products of recent technological developments

what s in a picture evidence of discrimination from prosper com abstract we find evidence of significant racial disparities in a new type of credit market known as peer to peer lending loan listings with blacks in the attached picture are 25 to 35 percent less likely to receive funding than those of whites with similar credit profiles despite the higher average interest rates charged to blacks lenders making such loans earn a lower net return compared to loans made to whites with similar credit profiles because blacks have higher relative default rates these results provide insight into whether the discrimination we find is taste based or statistical

incentive properties for ordinal mechanisms we study three incentive properties for ordinal mechanisms i strategy proofness which requires that no agent gain by misrepresenting his preferences ii adjacent strategy proofness which requires that no agent gain by switching the rankings of two adjacent alternatives and iii mistake monotonicity which requires that the welfare of each agent weakly decrease as he reports increasingly bigger mistakes each of these properties has three versions depending on whether preferences over sure alternatives are extended to preferences over lotteries by the stochastic dominance downward lexicographic or upward lexicographic extension we identify conditions on the preference domain that guarantee the equivalence of these properties the universal domain and the domains of single dipped and single peaked preferences satisfy our conditions

is the growth of small firms constrained by internal finance this paper examines the long standing theory that the growth of small firms is often constrained by the quantity of internal finance under plausible assumptions when financing constraints are binding an additional dollar of internal finance should generate slightly more than an additional dollar of growth in assets this quantitative prediction should not hold for the relatively small number of firms which access external equity we test these predictions with a panel of more than 1 600 small firms and find that the growth of most firms is constrained by internal finance our results have implications for several different research literatures including models of firm growth

bank credit commitments credit rationing and monetary policy when loan needs are uncertain and bankruptcy is costly contracts resembling bank credit commitments dominate ordinary debt contracts the fees charged on commitments reduce bankruptcy risk by smoothing out borrowers loan payments reduced bankruptcy risk entitles borrowers to larger loans thereby reducing the risk of quantity rationing even if commitments reduce rationing risk monetary policy is not necessarily weaker under commitment finance a rise in lenders cost of funds perhaps reflecting a monetary contraction can reduce the expected value of a project more under a commitment than under an ordinary debt contract copyright 1994 by ohio state university press

robust implementation in direct mechanisms a social choice function is robustly implementable if there is a mechanism under which the process of iteratively eliminating strictly dominated messages lead to outcomes that agree with the social choice function for all beliefs at every type profile in an interdependent value environment with single crossing preferences we identify a contraction property on the preferences which together with strict ex post incentive compatibility is sufficient to guarantee robust implementation in the direct mechanism strict ex post incentive compatibility and the contraction property are also necessary for robust implementation in any mechanism including indirect ones the contraction property requires that the interdependence is not too high in a linear signal model the contraction property is equivalent to an interdependence matrix having all eigenvalues smaller than one

the effect of entrepreneurial rhetoric on microlending investment an examination of the warm glow effect microlending provides a valuable alternative to traditional financing for entrepreneurs in impoverished countries drawing from theory on political rhetoric and the concept of warm glow giving we examine characteristics of entrepreneurial narratives that are related to how quickly entrepreneurs receive funding using a sample of 6051 narratives from entrepreneurs in developing countries we demonstrate that narratives higher in language indicating blame and present concern lead to more rapid funding while narratives higher in accomplishment tenacity and variety lead to slower funding our findings suggest that the presentation of investment profiles should be carefully managed to maximize funding likelihood

the role of corruption culture and law in investment fund manager fees this article considers an international sample of venture capital and private equity funds to assess the role of law corruption and culture in setting fund manager fees with better legal conditions fixed fees are lower carried interest fees are higher clawbacks are less likely and share distributions are more likely countries with lower levels of corruption have lower fixed fees and higher performance fees and are less likely to have clawbacks and cash only distributions hofstede s measure of power distance is negatively related to fixed fees and the use of cash only distributions but positively related to performance fees and clawbacks overall the data strongly indicate that corruption culture and legal settings are much more significant in determining fees than fund manager characteristics and or market conditions

covenants and collateral as incentives to monitor although monitoring borrowers is thought to be a major function of financial institutions the presence of other claimants reduces an institutional lender s incentives to do this thus loan contracts must be structured to enhance the lender s incentives to monitor covenants make a loan s effective maturity and the ability to collateralize makes a loan s effective priority contingent on monitoring by the lender thus both covenants and collateral can be motivated as contractual devices that increase a lender s incentive to monitor these results are consistent with a number of stylized facts about the use of covenants and collateral in institutional lending modern finance theory suggests that financial intermediaries such as commercial banks insurance companies and finance companies monitor and control their borrowers on behalf of other investors 1 this article investigates how the loans made by these institutions can be structured so as to best enhance the institutions role as delegated monitors covenants and collateral are common features of loans made by financial institutions but these features are somewhat difficult to justify consider loan covenants clauses in a loan contract that require the borrower to take or refrain from various actions berlin and mester 1992 magee and sridhar 1994 and park 1994 show that by giving institutions the right to renegotiate or call loans when covenants are violated covenants serve as tripwires that enhance the flexibility and efficiency of financial contracting also as documented in smith and warner 1979 control rights from covenants reduce borrower adverse selection or moral hazard nevertheless by allowing institutions to demand repayment based on any information contractible or not

monopoly with incomplete information recent theoretical research on principal agent relationships has emphasized incentive problems that arise when the parties involved are constrained by either asymmetric information or their inability to monitor each other s actions here we concentrate on the former constraint and consider the case of a single principal the monopolist the main contribution is to show that under a separability assumption strong conclusions can be drawn about the nature of optimal incentive schemes although the primary focus is on optimal quantity discounts in a monopolized market the results also shed light on related topics such as optimal income taxation and commodity bundling

benefits of control capital structure and company growth this paper studies the influence of the private benefits of control on the capital structure and the growth of private companies it is argued that companies in which existing owners would lose more control if they expanded have smaller equity increases are more highly levered and grow more slowly the dataset covers 8 964 private uk companies with limited liability for up to 5 years potential loss of control is measured as the difference in the probability of winning a vote for the largest owner before and after a hypothetical equity increase consistent with the private benefits of control the results show that companies with a high potential loss of control do indeed have smaller equity increases use more debt and grow more slowly

introduction funding gaps theoretical and empirical foundations of government policies to plug alleged business funding gaps are highly controversial but rarely subject to wide ranging in depth debate this symposium from major scholars in the field provides a counterbalance topics addressed cover the theory of lending under asymmetric information its implications for overlending relationship lending as a market solution to information asymmetries government emulation of private sector decision making to eliminate underprovision of high tech equity and theoretically based empirical work testing for funding deficiencies in the high tech sector despite the very different and potentially contradictory contributions the result is surprisingly a set of mutually agreed policy conclusions

generic negotiation mechanisms with side payments design analysis and application for decentralized resource constrained multi project scheduling problems abstract negotiation mechanisms have been proven useful for decentralized resource constrained multi project scheduling with self interested parties agents that work together in completing a project the current paper is concerned with such kinds of multi agent problems where each involved party pursues the individual goal of maximizing the discounted cash flow that is connected to its own project activities since the parties assess schedules and proposed changes to solutions in terms of money it is appropriate to utilize money transfers side payments we design and analyze different automated negotiation procedures with side payments for resolving conflicts of interest between two agents and experimentally compare results with negotiation mechanisms without the use of money transfers in principle we consider two generic negotiation approaches firstly an agent may offer tentative payments in order to incentivize the other agent to accept changes to the project schedule within iterative improvement based negotiation processes secondly agents offer or claim money for selecting the final solution from an approximate set of pareto optimal solutions that have been generated by a preceding search process taking account of self interested agents and private preference information we discuss suitable elements of the mechanism with regard to strategic agent behavior we provide insights regarding the effectiveness of different behavioral choices and analyze reasonable strategies of the agents from a prescriptive perspective overall the proposed solution mechanism improves existing results from the literature for the considered kind of problem since the approach is built on general concepts it may be also useful for other applications

the financing of business start ups abstract this article investigates the determinants of capital structure and types of financing used around business start ups utilizing a survey that reduces the confounding effects of survivorship bias in particular the influence of start up size asset structure organization type growth orientation and owners characteristics are examined both in the choice and in the magnitude of finance use the results are consistent with the theoretical models incorporating issues such as information asymmetries agency theory and transaction costs the results also demonstrate linkages among providers of finance maturity of assets and the capital structure of start ups while the results provide insights into business finances near the time of creation some recommendations for future research are discussed

a model of the commercial loan rate this paper explores the theoretical and empirical determinants of the commercial loan rate charged by commercial banks based on a model of financial intermediary behavior which assumes monopolistic competition in asset and liability markets the model incorporates the constraint that banks must maintain at least a minimum quantity of bonds in asset portfolios equations are estimated on a time series basis to explain the behavior of commercial loan rates over the period 1953 to 1980 the evidence appears consistent with the hypothesis that commercial banks operate in a market characterized by imperfect competition and that they explicitly set loan rates the development of large scale econometric models has focused attention on the operation of the commercial loan market because of the importance of commercial loan activity in the transmission of monetary policy moreover it is commonly accepted that the quantity of commercial loans or changes in these loans has an important influence on the holding of free reserves by commercial banks and this implies that the commercial loan market has an effect on the supply of money 2 nevertheless the determinants of commercial loan rates have drawn relatively little analytical attention previous work on the commercial loan market has generally focused on the question of whether this market is characterized by credit rationing 3 most studies assume that the commercial loan market is generally competitive but at times the commercial loan rate does not clear the market the quantity of loans transacted is constrained by the supply function and commercial banks engage in nonprice rationing of customers a corollary of this rationing hypothesis is that events in the deposit market have an important influence on the quantity of commercial loans 4 the purpose of this paper is to explore the determinants of the commercial

when are local incentive constraints sufficient we study the question of whether local incentive constraints are sufficient to imply full incentive compatibility in a variety of mechanism design settings allowing for probabilistic mechanisms we give a unified approach that covers both continuous and discrete type spaces on many common preference domains including any convex domain of cardinal or ordinal preferences single peaked ordinal preferences and successive single crossing ordinal preferences local incentive compatibility suitably defined implies full incentive compatibility on domains of cardinal preferences that satisfy a strong nonconvexity condition local incentive compatibility is not sufficient our sufficiency results hold for dominant strategy and bayesian nash solution concepts and allow for some interdependence in preferences

is the small firms loan guarantee scheme hazardous for banks or helpful to small business loan guarantee schemes are an integral part of sme policy in both developed and developing countries yet little has been done to evaluate such programmes particularly in terms of their ability to correct for capital market imperfections this paper uses individual loan data from some 42 000 uk sflgs backed debt contracts to empirically test the default specification outlined in the seminal credit rationing paper of stiglitz and weiss 1981 the results show that default failure does increase with the banks cost of capital but not with the government premium in addition default appears to be determined by a whole host of other factors not typically considered in the credit rationing literature

specialization versus diversification as a venture capital investment strategy abstract much important work has informed us of rates of return earned by venture capitalists the importance of venture capitalists to the going public process and the criteria venture capitalists use to evaluate deals this paper seeks to add to the literature by testing hypotheses based upon both the finance and strategic management literature regarding certain venture capitalist investment practices venture capitalists seek to control or manage risk driscoll 1974 macmillan siegel and subbanarasimha 1985 financing structure and investment strategy provide several means for venture capitalists to do this tools available to the venture capitalist include portfolio diversification to spread risk across different industries firms or hot cold ipo markets to minimize unsystematic or investment specific risk information sharing networking and specialization can also be used to control unsystematic risk several hypotheses are developed from these conflicting perspectives data used to test the hypotheses are derived from responses to a survey of venture capitalists three hundred surveys were mailed to venture capitalists 98 or 32 7 returned usable responses portfolio diversification is a well known means to control risk exposure by reducing unsystematic or specific risks however bygrave 1987 1988 as well as financial intermediation theorists argues that maintaining a high degree of specialization is useful for controlling risk as well as for gaining access to networks information and deal flow from other venture investors the analyses of this paper build upon bygrave s work we construct more rigorous tests to resolve the conflict between the diversification and information sharing hypotheses our hypothesis tests were usually resolved in favor of the information sharing view for example venture capitalists in the sample that were heavily involved in seed round financing were diversified across fewer numbers of firms and industries further evidence in favor of information sharing is seen in investment patterns across different financing stages diversification would imply maintaining a portfolio of investments across the different investment stages the information sharing specialization view would argue that it is best to stay focused on a single stage or several connected stages the empirical evidence from the sample once again favors the specialization perspective this research provides information of use to venture capitalists as they seek information on how best to control risk to entrepreneurs as they learn of the factors venture capitalists consider in determining their investment strategy and to academicians as such studies provide insight to general industry practice and thus help to form the basis of classroom discussion and future research endeavors

is lack of funds the main obstacle to growth ebrd s experience with small and medium sized businesses in central and eastern europe abstract small and medium sized enterprises smes potentially constitute the most dynamic firms in an emerging economy they are the ones most likely to move into areas of comparative advantage and high value added though they often face economic institutional and legal obstacles obstacles include limited access to working capital and long term credit legal and regulatory restrictions inadequate infrastructure high transaction costs and limited managerial and technical expertise despite the presence of multiple and often interrelated constraints however the widespread belief on which policies to support smes are based is that the lack of finance constitutes the main obstacle to the growth of smes enterprise survey work is the tool generally used to deepen our understanding of constraints affecting smes formation and growth the european bank for reconstruction and development ebrd is no exception in this respect during its early years it drew substantially on a set of enterprise surveys conducted by the world bank between 1991 and 1993 in hungary the czech and slovak federal republic csfr poland and russia investigating the obstacles faced by smes as the volume and geographical spread of its operations increased the ebrd felt the need to design and run its own surveys effectively addressing specific issues encountered in the context of its increasing lending and investment activity in central and eastern europe cee the findings of this analysis confirmed the belief that credit constraints constitute one of the main obstacles to growth of smes and encouraged the ebrd to tailor its financing instruments to the stage of transition of the country in question and the ability of the local financial system to assume key responsibilities this paper analyzes the way in which the ebrd strives to correct this capital market failure in the region in which it operates the fundamental principles on which ebrd policy is based are a preference for reaching the smes via local financial intermediaries a commercial approach to the provision of finance and finally a focus on development of the local financial system as a whole it is still too early to draw conclusions on ebrd activity in the field of smes financing based on other types of indicators than data on volume of signed commitments a large part of the loans is still in the grace period therefore investments are in an early phase and operation performance evaluation reports on this type of operations are still too few aggregate data on volume of ebrd financing through financial intermediaries paint an encouraging picture a 250 increase in the volume of such operations between 1994 and 1997 a nine fold increase in the number of subprojects between 1995 and 1997 and an ever widening geographical spread of activities and decreasing size of subprojects indicate that the experience of the ebrd in financing through financial intermediaries is on the whole positive financing provided to intermediaries is not necessarily always intended nor guaranteed to reach smes it is however guaranteed to create the appropriate financing channels which are necessary to ease the smes liquidity constraint this paper discusses the shortcomings of the financial system in the cee countries it outlines the ebrd policy to support smes and the various instruments employed so far and presents selected case studies to throw light on how good project design can help overcome difficult environments and lower the perception of risk connected to indigenous smes a summary of the findings of the survey work conducted by the ebrd in the region is also presented

strategic voting in agenda controlled committee experiments this paper reports results of committee voting experiments with a fixed agenda that specified a sequence of binary decisions in this particular context the agenda setter can control the ultimate committee decision if it is known whether voting behavior is myopic or strategic subjects initially voted in accordance with myopic voting rules strategic behavior was more prevalent with experience the use of the same induced preferences in successive meetings was more likely to induce strategic voting than the provision of public information concerning the numbers of voters of each preference type copyright 1989 by american economic association

relationship lending under asymmetric information a case of blocked entry abstract a national bank with a low cost of capital can choose to enter a two period credit market and compete with incumbent banks to supply relationship loans to de novo entrepreneurs under short term contracting the terms on loan contracts are determined by market competition in the current period in this setting we find that the second period competitive pressure the national bank exerts on the incumbent banks turns out to give the incumbent banks a first period advantage when trying to attract new clients as a result the low cost bank may be blocked from entering the market

vertical contracting with informational opportunism we consider vertical contracting arrangements between a manufacturer and a retailing network when retailers have private information and the organization is run through bilateral contracts we highlight a new form of informational opportunism arising when the manufacturer manipulates information learned separately in each relationship we characterize the set of allocations robust to such opportunism by means of simple ex post incentive compatibility constraints those constraints limit the manufacturer s ability to use yardstick competition among retailers they simplify contracts and restore a rent efficiency trade off even with correlated information we show that sell out contracts are optimal under a wide range of circumstances

too much investment a problem of asymmetric information this paper shows that under plausible assumptions the inability of lenders to discover all of the relevant characteristics of borrowers results in investment in excess of the socially efficient level raising the rate of interest above the free market level will restore optimality this conflicts with generally held views and is contrasted with the stiglitz weiss model it is shown that the assumptions which yield overinvestment support debt as the equilibrium method of finance however under the stiglitz weiss assumptions used to derive an underinvestment result equity is shown to be the equilibrium method of finance

entrepreneurship as a solution to poverty individuals living in poverty remain a critical issue this special issue focuses on how entrepreneurship can help to solve such poverty rather than viewing those in poverty as a market for goods the solution lies in understanding how to help those living in poverty create their own businesses ultimately entrepreneurship among those in poverty will create a long lasting solution to their poverty herein we initially examine the extant knowledge about entrepreneurship we then examine where future research on this important topic should move finally we introduce the five articles that make up this special issue these five articles came from the initial 71 submissions and enhance our knowledge about entrepreneurship as a pathway to reducing poverty

estimating the euler equation for output new keynesian macroeconomic models have generally emphasized that expectations of future output are a key factor in determining current output the theoretical motivation for such forward looking behavior relies on a straightforward generalization of the well known euler equation for consumption in this paper we use maximum likelihood and generalized method of moments gmm methods to explore the empirical importance of output expectations we find little evidence that rational expectations of future output help determine current output especially after taking into account the small sample bias in gmm

asymmetric monetary policy and the yield curve we discuss the taylor rule near low inflation and interest rates using an additional option like term in the federal reserve s loss function i e the deflation put we extend the classic taylor rule to one with an asymmetric response that is more accommodative when the inflation rate is very low once calibrated this payoff profile gives an exact and easily communicable prescription for federal reserve policy under regimes of low inflation simple models of central bank behavior can produce highly complex yield curve shapes using the usual taylor rule and our proposed extension as building blocks we construct a robust framework for generating realistic yield curves and the evolution of the economy our main focus is the impact on the yield curve and the economy of the deflation put we find that for economies like the u s the deflation put reduces yields for all maturities we also find that in highly leveraged economies such as japan the consequence of an asymmetric deflation fighting policy may result in improved economic conditions but also raises the possibility of higher longterm yields as a consequence

transmission lags and optimal monetary policy abstract the credibility problems of monetary policy are enlarged by transmission lags whenever the welfare criterion consists of arguments with differing transmission lags if as usually argued prices react to monetary policy with a longer lag than output the discretionary bias is substantially increased under a consumer welfare maximizing policy criterion flexible inflation targeting in the prototype new keynesian model money growth targeting can significantly reduce the discretionary bias but is not robust to other specifications of welfare with higher valuation of output stability

a macro finance model of the term structure monetary policy and the economy this paper develops and estimates a macro finance model that combines a canonical affine no arbitrage finance specification of the term structure with standard macroeconomic aggregate relationships for output and inflation from this new empirical formulation we obtain several interesting results 1 the latent term structure factors from finance no arbitrage models appear to have important macroeconomic and monetary policy underpinnings 2 there is no evidence of monetary policy inertia or a slow partial adjustment of the policy interest rate by the federal reserve and 3 both forward looking and backward looking elements play important roles in macroeconomic dynamics

bundling governance mechanisms to efficiently organize small firm loans abstract bank loans are a common source of financing for small firms while scholars have examined specific conditions that affect small firm loan approval and interest rates practical questions remain about how these loans are structured to address characteristically acute challenges from asymmetric information this paper suggests collateral reputation and relationship banking each perform unique exchange organizing tasks and that small firms systematically use them in predictable combinations a multiple discriminant analysis of 796 small firm loans suggests four governance bundles are commonly employed in this setting the implications for managers focus on how loan governance mechanisms are most efficiently bundled together

product design in selection markets insurers choose plan characteristics to sort for profitable consumers in a model with multidimensional types this sorting incentive is proportional to the covariance among marginal consumers between marginal willingness to pay and cost to the insurer standard forms of cost sharing successfully repel costly consumers but reducing plan comprehensiveness instead alienates the risk averse in a perfectly competitive equilibrium the sorting incentive must vanish market power increases insurance quality and welfare nonetheless a competitive equilibrium with positive insurance is possible when insurance value is suciently negatively correlated with cost however in a calibration to handel hendel and whinston 2013 s data equilibrium still fails to exist

evaluation of credit guarantee policy using propensity score matching in this article we evaluate the effect of the credit guarantee policy by comparing a large sample of guaranteed firms and matched non guaranteed firms from 2000 to 2003 the sample firms are compared with respect to growth rates of different performance indicators including productivity sales employment investment r d wage level and the survival of firms in the post crisis period in order to avoid the selectivity problem propensity score matching methodologies are adopted results suggest that credit guarantees influenced significantly firms ability to maintain their size and increase their survival rate but not to increase their r d and investment and hence their growth in productivity moreover due to the adverse selection problem firms with lower productivity were receiving guarantees

discount rates inferred from decisions an experimental study two hundred and four students of economics and finance participated in an intertemporal choice experiment which manipulated three dimensions in a 4 4 4 factorial design scenario postponing a receipt postponing a payment expediting a receipt expediting a payment time delay 0 5 1 2 and 4 years and size of cashflow 40 200 1000 and 5000 individual discount rates were inferred from the responses and then used to test competitively four hypotheses regarding the behavior of discount rates the classical hypothesis asserting that the discount rate is uniform across scenarios time delays and sums of cashflow was flatly rejected a market segmentation approach was found lacking the results support an implicit risk hypothesis according to which delayed consequences are associated with an implicit risk value and an added compensation hypothesis which asserts that individuals require compensation for a change in their financial position

financial structure and the growing small firm theoretical underpinning and current evidence this paper introduces a special issue of small business economics on financing and small firm dynamics it establishes a general underpinning for the analysis of small firm financing over time this appeals to the control theoretic literature and permits the specification of master trajectories of key variables over time like output debt dividend and capital two trajectories for cheap debt and cheap equity respectively illustrate this type of analysis showing how financial structure can vary over time involving phases of growth consolidation and stationarity from this perspective six papers on small firm dynamics and finance are reviewed issues addressed include credit constraints funding shortages wealth as collateral financial structure target income modelling of start up and bank lending during financial liberalisation

solidarity in preference aggregation improving on a status quo abstract working in the arrowian framework we search for preference aggregation rules with desirable solidarity properties in a fixed population setting we formulate two versions of the solidarity axiom welfare dominance under preference replacement although the stronger proves incompatible with efficiency the combination of efficiency and our second version leads to an important class of rules which improve upon a status quo order these rules are also strategy proof which reveals a further connection between solidarity and incentive properties allowing the population to vary we again characterize the status quo rules by efficiency and a different solidarity axiom population monotonicity this extends a similar characterization of a subclass of these rules by bossert and sprumont 2014

crowdfunding and regional entrepreneurial investment an application of the crowdberkeley database abstract crowdfunding platforms enable individuals to solicit small investments donations or loans over the internet from a wide variety of funders they have emerged as a new and potentially important source of funds for entrepreneurial and philanthropic initiatives we build and present three databases for public use including kickstarter kiva and crowdrise and link regional measures of kickstarter to entrepreneurial ventures listed in crunchbase we find that kickstarter projects in a region correlate with increased angel investing activity even after instrumenting with projects that should not be of interest to investors the paper describes scraping tools database schema descriptive statistics dashboards access for research and policy use and general reflections on building open databases for the research community

the latent demand for bank debt characterizing discouraged borrowers concerns that small firms encounter credit constraints are well entrenched in the literature despite widespread empirical evidence that a relatively small proportion of small firms have their loan applications rejected however many firms may be discouraged from applying for fear of rejection these businesses are the focus of this paper based on responses to a large scale postal survey of uk small and medium sized enterprises smes we find that twice as many businesses were discouraged from applying for a bank loan than had their loan request denied more particularly we observe a number of distinguishing characteristics of discouraged borrowers relative to applicants these include strategy sector prior entrepreneurial experience and banking relationships the implications of our findings for policy and future research are briefly discussed

determinants of venture capital firms preferences regarding the industry diversity and geographic scope of their investments abstract competition is intensifying in the venture capital industry in the u s the number of venture capital firms vcfs tripled from 1980 to 1989 supplier power in the form of institutional investors such as pension funds continues to grow foreign venture capital has grown to the extent that commitments to foreign vcfs exceeded domestic commitments in both 1988 and 1989 further alternative sources of financing for entrepreneurs such as individual investors angels corporations and strategic alliances are increasingly viable options vcfs face pressure to seek lower risk investments improve rates of return and provide value to new venture development surprisingly few scholarly studies have begun to investigate the strategies vcfs are aiming to implement in order to deal with this increasing pressure building on the premise that decisions regarding product market scope are a key component of firm strategy hofer and schendel 1978 this study examined 169 domestic vcfs in order to identify factors that might explain variations in preferences regarding the industry diversity and geographic scope of their investments the sample drawn from california massachusetts and texas represented about 27 of all u s based vcfs in 1987 the year in which the data were gathered in terms of the total size of investment portfolio the average for these 169 vcfs was 69 8 million which is statistically indistinguishable from the u s average of 65 million results indicate that 1 vcfs specializing in early stage ventures prefer less industry diversity and narrower geographic scope relative to other vcfs 2 corporate vcfs i e those owned by non financial corporations prefer less industry diversity but broader geographic scope relative to non corporate vcfs 3 larger vcfs prefer greater industry diversity and broader geographic scope than do smaller vcfs and 4 provision of small business investment companies sbic financing by the vcf has no impact on preferences regarding industry diversity but is associated with a preference for narrower geographic scope one implication of these results is that vcfs in the u s are not homogeneous as regards the intended product market scope of their portfolios this in turn holds implications not only for vcfs but also for their suppliers limited partners buyers entrepreneurs and policy makers vcfs can no longer rely on haphazard investment schemes they need to attract investors by virtue of the benefits offered by their portfolio strategy and they need to attract superior investments via offering valueadded services and know how potential investors in venture capital will want to examine for example the impact on risk and return of investing smaller amounts in several vcfs at one extreme versus making one large investment in a very diversified vcf at the other extreme the results of this and other studies suggest that outcomes timing magnitude and riskiness of returns of choosing such alternatives will vary widely and will depend in great part on the strategies of the vcfs involved it will not be possible for investors to make wise choices without a full examination of their own objectives and of the profiles of vcfs entrepreneurs with the most attractive ventures have alternative sources of financing to consider and should weigh the benefits of being financed and supported by various vcfs as part of the vcfs portfolios knowing a vcf s preferences regarding product market scope improves their chances of approaching and selecting the right fit and for those entrepreneurs with a narrower set of options such knowledge may make the difference between receiving and not receiving financing in a timely manner finally policy makers may be able to make use of knowledge of the forces that influence the investment strategies of vcfs presently concerns for policy makers may include the gap in seed capital increased foreign presence in the u s market and the export of promising innovative technology via alliances with foreign firms all of these factors are influenced by the strategies pursued by vcfs as they jockey for position in the increasingly competitive venture capital market

risk aversion and wealth evidence from person to person lending portfolios we estimate risk aversion from investors financial decisions in a person to person lending platform we develop a method that obtains a risk aversion parameter from each portfolio choice since the same individuals invest repeatedly we construct a panel data set that we use to disentangle heterogeneity in attitudes toward risk across investors from the elasticity of risk aversion to changes in wealth we find that wealthier investors are more risk averse in the cross section and that investors become more risk averse after a negative housing wealth shock thus investors exhibit preferences consistent with decreasing relative risk aversion and habit formation data as supplemental material are available at http dx doi org 10 1287 mnsc 2015 2317 this paper was accepted by amit seru finance

partially verifiable information and mechanism design in a principal agent model with adverse selection we study the implementation of social choice functions when the agent s message space is a correspondence which depends on this true characteristic we characterize such correspondence for which the revelation principle is valid returns must not contradict easily observable elements of the taxpayer s lifestyle in this paper we present a model of two person organizations in which these considerations are important we ask whether the restrictions on fallacious statements inherent in the system are sufficient to achieve the goals of the organization we show that the optimal way of eliciting the agent s response may not be to establish incentives for truthtelling in all instances in our model there is one player the agent who observes the state of the economic system another player the principal takes an action based on the information presented to him by the agent this class of models is often referred to as the principal agent problem in the extensive and growing literature on this problem it has always been assumed that the agent could lie to the principal and therefore that he had to be properly motivated to act at least partially in the principal s interest our formal way of modelling the partial verifiability of information is to introduce the restriction that the agent s responses must lie in a set m o that varies with the true state 0 it is assumed that this set always admits the possibility of responding with the true state the way in which the allowable response set varies with the true state is known to the principal in other respects we retain the usual principal agent formalization in particular the principal is the stackelberg leader in this game he can commit himself to choose a collective action as a function of the message transmitted by the agent whether the variation of the message space with the true observation is purely technological or whether it is induced by the severity of potential actions of the principal

information variables for monetary policy in an estimated structural model of the euro area a small scale new keynesian model for the euro area is estimated with maximum likelihood under the assumptions of imperfect information and discretionary monetary policy the estimated parametrization of this widely used dynamic stochastic model unveils the monetary authorities objectives and the information content of two indicator variables monetary aggregates and real unit labour costs the results highlight a significant policy concern about interest rate smoothing and inflation almost no concern for output gap stabilization emerges regarding indicator variables unit labour costs provide information on potential output that is helpful for stabilization policy no useful information role emerges for monetary aggregates

commitment lending under asymmetric information theory and tests on u k startup data u k business startup data is used to examine the role of contract parameters in solving the bank s problem of lending under asymmetric information margins are found to be a direct function of the probability of failure and an inverse function of security for given loan size consistently with collateral being invoked to solve the moral hazard problem business survival is also found to be enhanced by owner equity inputs for given debt again consistent with a requirement for owner financial inputs to enhance unobservable effort security rises along with loan size and survival chances a finding consistent with a a firm loan size effect larger borrowers have lower marginal admin cost to the bank and with b positive borrower self selection better borrowers offer collateral because they are less likely to experience forfeiture observable business characteristics are found to play an important intermediary role in the solution to the moral hazard problem more mature proprietors have more experience business commitment assets for borrowing and the willingness to use them for loan collateral their contract parameters reflect these facts

targeting inflation by forecast feedback rules in small open economies abstract we argue that in practice the inflation targeting strategy can be approximated by the interest rate responding to the unchanged interest rate forecast of inflation a method is developed to derive unchanged interest rate forecasts in forward looking models and evaluate the performance of the policy rule in an optimizing new keynesian model due to monacelli european central bank working paper series 227 estimated on uk data we find that the policy rule is less prone to generate a determinate rational expectations equilibrium if based on an unchanged interest rate compared to the rule consistent forecast both rules approximate the optimal commitment policy if the central bank attaches sufficient weight to inflation as opposed to output gap stabilization the optimal forecast feedback horizon is close to a year and a half and is largely independent of how much the central bank prefers inflation to output gap stability

are business startups debt rationed using a large random sample of u k start ups and a rich data set the paper demonstrates that human capital is the true determinant of survival and that the correlation between financial capital and survival is spurious provision of finance is demand driven with banks supplying funds elastically and business requests governing take up firms self select for funds on the basis of the human capital endowments of the proprietors with better businesses more likely to borrow a reason why others have seemingly identified start up debt gaps may be the failure to test a sufficiently rich empirical model copyright 1996 by royal economic society

random matching under dichotomous preferences we consider bilateral matching problems where each person views those on the other side of the market as either acceptable or unacceptable an acceptable mate is preferred to remaining single and the latter to an unacceptable mate all acceptable mates are welfare wise identical using randomization many efficient and fair matching methods define strategyproof revelation mechanisms randomly selecting a priority ordering of the participants is a simple example equalizing as much as possible the probability of getting an acceptable mate across all participants stands out for its normative and incentives properties the profile of probabilities is lorenz dominant and the revelation mechanism is group strategyproof for each side of the market our results apply to the random assignment problem as well

robustly optimal auctions with unknown resale opportunities the standard revenue maximizing auction discriminates against a priori stronger bidders so as to reduce their information rents we show that such discrimination is no longer optimal when the auction s winner may resell to another bidder and the auctioneer has non bayesian uncertainty about such resale opportunities we identify a worst case resale scenario in which bidders values become publicly known after the auction and losing bidders compete bertrand style to buy the object from the winner with this form of resale misallocation no longer reduces the information rents of the high value bidder as he could still secure the same rents by buying the object in resale under regularity assumptions we show that revenue is maximized by a version of the vickrey auction with bidder specific reserve prices first proposed by ausubel and cramton 2004 the proof of optimality involves constructing lagrange multipliers on a double continuum of binding non local incentive constraints

microlending in emerging economies building a new line of inquiry from the ground up the world s poor may be the last great frontier in international business international microlenders are increasingly tapping into this emerging opportunity by extending small business loans to millions of borrowers however to date there is very limited understanding of this domain from an international business perspective using qualitative case studies developed in guatemala and the dominican republic we probe the causes and consequences of high performance and business failure for microloan recipients the analysis of these cases led to the development of six testable propositions focused on the behavior of borrowers whose loans populate the portfolios of international microlenders our research aims to lay a foundation in international business for future research on microlending

the benefits of lending relationships evidence from small business data this paper empirically examines how ties between a firm and its creditors affect the availability and cost of funds to the firm we analyze data collected in a survey of small firms by the small business administration the primary benefit of building close ties with an institutional creditor is that the availability of financing increases we find smaller effects on the price of credit attempts to widen the circle of relationships by borrowing from multiple lenders increases the price and reduces the availability of credit in sum relationships are valuable and appear to operate more through quantities rather than prices

microfinance subsidies and local externalities we analyse equilibrium borrowers effort and the cost of microcredit loans in the presence of moral hazard project correlation and subsidies under group lending conditions our results show that under the assumption of endogenous effort project correlation has significant effects on borrowers effort only when it is determined by asymmetric positive or negative shocks these findings indicate that the well known negative effect of within group symmetric project correlation on group lending with joint liability disappears once endogenous effort is taken into account we also analyse the effects of subsidised lending and asymmetric correlation on the relative convenience in terms of borrowers effort of the alternative 1 between group lending and individual lending with notional collateral and 2 among three different market structures of the microfinance industry

entrepreneurs optimism and new venture performance a social cognitive perspective previous research indicates that entrepreneurs are generally high in dispositional optimism the tendency to expect positive outcomes even when such expectations are not rationally justified findings of the current study demonstrate a negative relationship between entrepreneurs optimism and the performance revenue and employment growth of their new ventures past experience creating ventures and industry dynamism moderated these effects strengthening the negative relationship between entrepreneurs optimism and venture performance these findings illustrate the benefits of applying a social cognitive perspective toward efforts to understand key aspects of the new venture creation and development process

the investment strategies of publicly sponsored venture capital funds abstract this paper investigates the effects of public ownership on the investment strategy of hybrid vc funds we exploit a unique dataset containing data for all of the venture capital funds in europe that received financial support from the european investment fund eif during the years 1998 2007 the dataset includes 179 vc funds that invested in 2482 companies we find that the level of public ownership shows a weak negative correlation with the likelihood of observing a write off and that a higher public share is associated with a longer duration for the investment the latter effect is more relevant for those investments that generate intermediate financial returns the results are robust to the introduction of controls at the target firm level and for financial market conditions

mechanism design with weaker incentive compatibility constraints abstract we study an adverse selection problem where an agent is able to understate his productivity but not allowed to overstate it the solution to this problem is generally different than the solution to the standard problem where no restriction is made on the statements of the agent we identify a sufficient condition that does not depend on the distribution of types under which these two solutions coincide

a theoretical analysis of optimal financing strategies for different types of capital constrained entrepreneurs in this paper we compare two alternative financing strategies that capital constrained entrepreneurs can adopt they can either wait until they raised enough money to complete their project the more conservative strategy or use limited resources to achieve some intermediate milestone before contacting large outside investors such as venture capitalists the more adventurous strategy we examine how the choice of financing strategy is affected by entrepreneurial types life style serial and pure profit maximizing entrepreneur we show that specific entrepreneurial characteristics may ultimately affect the shape of firms as they may pursue different strategies to achieve similar goals the paper generates a number of empirical predictions on security design the interplay between angel and venture capital finance and the professionalization of the venture capital market c 2006 elsevier inc all rights reserved

housing booms and media coverage this article analyses news media coverage of the housing market building on theories of media influence where word of mouth is the final mechanism of opinion change but media initiate discourse i examine the relationship between news media and the recent uk house price boom over 30 000 articles on the uk housing market from the period 1993 to 2008 are analysed and it is found that media granger caused real house price changes suggesting the media may have influenced opinions on the housing market however media sentiment on the housing market did not change with the secular increase in house prices in the 2000s suggesting that the media did not contribute to the uk s housing boom and may have helped constrain it

executive compensation a modern primer this article studies traditional and modern theories of executive compensation bringing them together under a simple unifying framework accessible to the general interest reader we analyze assignment models of the level of pay and static and dynamic moral hazard models of incentives and compare their predictions to empirical findings we make two broad points first traditional theories find it difficult to explain the data suggesting that compensation results from rent extraction by ceos however more modern shareholder value theories that arguably better capture the ceo setting do deliver predictions consistent with observed practices suggesting that these practices need not be inefficient second seemingly innocuous features of the modeling setup often made for tractability or convenience can lead to significant differences in the model s implications and conclusions on the efficiency of observed practices we close by highlighting apparent inefficiencies in executive compensation and additional directions for future research