structural change in urban chinese food preferences we undertake a range of tests for structural food preference change in urban china using provincial level panel data from 2002 to 2010 we introduce a time transition function into the generalized quadratic almost ideal demand system gqaids to represent consumer preferences we apply this system to evaluate the demand structure for seven food groups the use of the gqaids specification relaxes many empirical demand system restrictions associated with previous analyses of structural preference change our findings suggest that chinese food preferences are continuing to evolve

structural change in factor substitution in finnish manufacturing the possibility of structural change in finnish factor substitution relations between energy and nonenergy factors is analyzed the standard generalized leontief klemf cost function is modified so that the substitution parameters related to electricity and fuel factors may shift to new levels over time the initial point of transition is 1974 during which the first energy crises took place likelihood ratio tests confirm that there has indeed been a statistically significant change in energy versus nonenergy substitution our estimates imply stronger substitutability for most input pairs after the energy crisis

an assessment of the current structure of food demand in urban china we evaluate the current structure of food demand in urban china by using household expenditure survey data from five provinces two complementary analyses are undertaken first an aggregate analysis based on a fractional logit model is used to examine how households allocate food expenditures across the food at home fah and food away from home fafh categories this is followed by a disaggregated analysis of how households allocated their fah expenditures across 12 commodity categories a quadratic almost ideal demand system quaids is used we find evidence of significant food purchase substitution and complementarity

a theoretical analysis of altruism and decision error in public goods games abstract we formalize an equilibrium model in which altruism and decision error parameters determine the distribution of contributions for linear and quadratic public goods games the equilibrium density is exponential for linear games and normal for quadratic games our model implies i contributions increase with the marginal value of the public good ii total contributions increase with the number of participants iii mean contributions lie between the nash prediction and half the endowment these predictions which are not implied by a nash analysis are consistent with laboratory data maximum likelihood estimates of altruism and error parameters are significant and plausible

subjective performance measures in optimal incentive contracts objective measures of performance are seldom perfect in response incentive contracts often include important subjective components that mitigate incentive distortions caused by imperfect objective measures this paper explores the combined use of subjective and objective performance measures in respectively implicit and explicit incentive contracts naturally objective and subjective measures often are substitutes sometimes strikingly so we show that if objective measures are sufficiently close to perfect then no implicit contracts are feasible because the firm s fallback position after reneging on an implicit contract is too attractive we also show however that objective and subjective measures can reinforce each other if objective measures become more accurate then in some circumstances the optimal contract puts more weight on subjective measures because the improved objective measures increase the value of the ongoing relationship and so reduce the firm s incentive to renege we also analyze the use of subjective weights on objective performance measures and provide case study evidence consistent with our analyses

energy crises and change of technology a production model is formulated for the finnish metal product and machinery industry for studying energy crises related structural changes two models are estimated a partial static equilibrium model where capital is treated as a fixed input in the short run and a dynamic model where adjustment costs of the capital input are taken into account alternative hypotheses of structural change are formulated as gradual parameter shifts the results show that some of the energy related parameters have changed over time also the contributions of parameter changes and variations in the average values of the variables on the changes in the energy demand elasticities are studied the most important effect is the strengthening of the energy saving bias in technical change

the role of cooperation and reciprocity in structuring carbon sequestration contracts in developing countries the reduction of emissions from deforestation and forest degradation redd presents a key opportunity for developing countries to mitigate global warming and to help meet long term global climate objectives however the success of a redd strategy in a post kyoto protocol regime depends primarily on the design and implementation of a financial mechanism that is feasible and effective in providing the right incentives to land holders to manage forests in a sustainable manner that contributes to climate goals optimal redd contracts must not only properly reward agents who reduce emissions from deforestation and degradation dd but also account for technical issues such as permanence and additionality of carbon offsets in many countries national authorities may not have the institutional capacity and the proper technology for measuring the delivery of carbon offsets furthermore contract enforcement becomes complex because the effort and outcomes described in such contracts are difficult for a third party to monitor and verify therefore contracts need to provide sufficient incentives to all parties to participate and perform in the long term i e to be self enforcing however the structure of the contracts may vary depending on the presence of selfish and altruistic agents this paper studies the role of cooperation and reciprocity on the structure of carbon sequestration contracts in the context of developing countries where legal enforcement may be impractical we examine if the optimal structure of self enforcing contracts differs if the paula cordero salas is a ph d candidate and brian roe is the mccormick professor of agricultural marketing and policy aede department the ohio state university this project was supported by the world bank s development research group energy and environment team under the contract a mechanism for reducing emissions from deforestation and degradation redd a framework to design cost effective contracts

what s in a name tony lawson on neoclassical economics and heterodox economics in this article i respond to tony lawson s what is this school called neoclassical economics lawson s paper is provocative because it reformulates neoclassical economics based on veblen s original intent as a mismatch created by recognising the value of an evolutionary approach to the economy whilst remaining over reliant on elements of a taxonomic approach for lawson many heterodox economists may be neoclassical under this description i argue that there is clearly a case to be heard but that the reformulation of the neoclassical raises a number of issues there are issues concerning the specific critique of the current usage of the term neoclassical regarding genealogy and meaning there are specific issues regarding the further development of the new old veblen definition of the neoclassical how clear is the definition in a practical context as a way to identify a neoclassical group based on the commitments of the critique and the definition what does it mean to be more realistic and what is the strategic value of such a provocation for heterodoxy i argue that the combination of these are reasons for more consideration of issues of social ontology not less insofar as the terms of the argument are incomplete and this invites both lawson and those he is criticising to progress the argument particularly on method

relational incentive contracts standard incentive theory models provide a rich framework for studying informational problems but assume that contracts can be perfectly enforced this paper studies the design of self enforced relational contracts i show that optimal contracts often can take a simple stationary form but that self enforcement restricts promised compensation and affects incentive provision with hidden information it may be optimal for an agent to supply the same inefficient effort regardless of cost conditions with moral hazard optimal contracts involve just two levels of compensation this is true even if performance measures are subjective in which case optimal contracts terminate following poor performance jel c73 d82 l14

estimating policy effects on spatial market efficiency an extension to the parity bounds model the standard parity bounds model pbm is extended to allow for dynamic shifts in regime probabilities in response to changes in marketing policy the approach allows estimation of the length of the adjustment period and a statistical test for no policy effects the extended pbm is applied to maize and wheat markets in ethiopia evidence of a dynamic adjustment path is found and grain marketing reforms are found to have improved spatial efficiency in a few markets worsened it in a few others but generally to have had little effect on the spatial efficiency of ethiopian grain markets

demand for beef and chicken products separability and structural change several studies have indicated that the recent shift from beef to poultry in consumption is not entirely caused by changes in rela tive prices or income braschler chavas dahlgran hudson and vertin moschini and meilke frank thurman most studies of structural change have focused on red meat consumption only thurman has looked closely at the poultry market and no one has considered poultry products yet the mix of chicken products marketed changed dramat ically during the last twenty years and should have influenced aggregate meat demand the share of broiler slaughter marketed as whole birds declined from 74 in 1965 to 28 in 1985 while cut up parts and processed chick en products increased from 26 to 72 whole birds are inferior goods and cut up parts and processed chicken are normal goods haidacher et al the shift in chicken prod uct mix away from whole birds should have increased the preference for total chicken in this article two related questions are ad dressed first do consumers allocate expendi tures among meats by animal origin or by product type second does disaggregation of meat into products in a meat demand model give insight into the causes of structural

conservation payments under uncertainty the decision of whether to retain forest or convert to another land use is affected by uncertainty over future land use returns this paper examines the design of conservation payments to landowners under uncertainty payments are either indexed to the returns from deforestation agriculture or to a market value associated with forest nonuse benefits payment size depends on the degree of correlation between payments and agricultural returns and their relative volatility market based payments for reducing emissions from deforestation and degradation redd are simulated for brazilian soybean growers payments indexed to carbon prices are larger than those indexed to international soybean prices

demographic variables in demand analysis in this paper the authors discuss five procedures for incorporating demographic variables into theoretically plausible demand systems translating scaling and the gorman reverse gorman and implicit prais houthakker procedures these five procedures are used to incorporate a single demographic variable the number of children in a household into the generalized ces demand system using household budget data for the united kingdom for the period 1966 1972 excerpt

modeling the pattern of structural change in u s meat demand the hypothesis of structural change in u s meat demand is tested in a four meat almost ideal demand system with parameters following a gradual switching regression model the results support the notion that structural change partly explains the observed u s meat consumption patterns structural change is biased against beef neutral for pork in favor of chicken and fish and it does not affect estimated elasticities the estimated path of structural change implies a rapid transition to a new regime in the mid 1970s although a smooth path cannot be ruled out

the limits of ontological critique from judgmental rationality to justification the cambridge social ontology cso programme s inability to generate a meaningful dialogue with mainstream economics is difficult to understand by mere reference to judgmental rationality and without reference to cso s ideological configuration our paper uses an economie des conventions framework to draw systematic comparisons between cso s ideological configuration and the ideological configurations of mainstream economic theories and practice the resulting analysis helps us to understand not only why cso generated little response from the mainstream but also how cso might renew its critique in ways that might be more likely to produce a response

impact of bse and bird flu on consumers meat demand in japan in this article we investigate the impact of bse and bird flu on consumers meat demand in japan by using the almost ideal demand system the bse and bird flu scares brought about a fall in demand for beef and chicken respectively and an upturn in demand for pork and fishery products which are substitutes for beef and chicken in japan we also find that the bird flu outbreak had no impact on the market share for beef this suggests that bse had a larger impact on consumers meat demand than did bird flu our empirical results also show that bse has had a persistent impact whereas bird flu has not these differences might depend on the characteristics of each disease such as the incubation period cure rate and infection risk

economics as progress the lse approach to econometric modelling and critical realism as programmes for research in the face of claims that economics is increasingly driven merely by fashion this paper draws out certain similarities and differences between two self consciously progressive and developmental research programmes namely the lse approach to econometric modelling and critical realism in economics the argument is that while these two programmes of research share a common point of departure and possess many common elements what at root distinguishes them is their adoption of opposing philosophical orientations the comparison enables both the nature of each programme and the relevance of their common concerns to be more easily appreciated and helps clarify the sort of evidence that would provide a basis for selecting one project over the other copyright 2005 oxford university press

a critical realist interpretation of evolutionary growth theorising the article discusses a critical realist interpretation of evolutionary growth theorising by focusing on some of its basic characteristics the evolutionary ontology is complex differentiated structured systemic open ever changing and radically uncertain its methodology tends to be increasingly based on appreciative theorising retroductive explanations and interdisciplinary analysis after discussing these features the article suggests that critical realism may indeed constitute an important philosophical and methodological foundation for the future development of evolutionary theories of economic growth

access to variety contributes to dietary diversity in china in the canonical consumer demand problem an agent makes a decision about quantities to consume under the assumption that all varieties can be accessed at zero cost in reality the cost of accessing variety may not be zero in this paper we study the effect of variety access cost on the consumption of food variety and its role in explaining regional differences in dietary diversity in china we find that a higher cost of access negatively affects the individual s ability to diversify her diet in terms of both the total counts and the balancing of varieties consumed the primary policy implication of this research is that attempts to create a healthy food environment in china must be differentiated along rural and urban lines in rural communities where consumers have been limited in their ability to diversify food baskets by high electricity and transportation costs infrastructure development and modernization may effectively improve nutritional balance for more urbanized communities where the cost of consuming additional food variety is relatively low food policies might instead focus on interventions that promote healthy eating to mitigate the burden of over nutrition

motivation and markets many workers receive pay based on subjectively assessed performance yet the shirking model of efficiency wages excludes it this paper incorporates such pay with the following results performance pay is more efficient than efficiency wages when the costs of having a job vacant are low and qualified workers in short supply more capital intensive industries pay more than less capital intensive industries as observed in studies of interindustry wages differentials sustaining an efficient outcome requires a social convention similar to the notion of a fair wage the model also makes predictions about the relationship between turnover wages growth and unemployment copyright 1998 by american economic association

non stationarity and the import demand for virgin olive oil in the european union the aim of this study is to analyse the importation of virgin olive oil to european union countries paying special attention to the spanish export contribution the method used is based on the estimation of an imports demand system the novelty of the paper lies not in the modelling approach but in the explicit consideration of the univariate characteristics of series that is included in the analysis since prices are non stationary cointegration among them has been tested results indicate that they are cointegrated and that homogeneity holds as a result relative prices are included in the imports demand system structural change is also considered so as to account for the entrance of both spain and greece into the eu during the period studied results demonstrate the leadership of spain within the eu virgin olive oil market as well as the increasing competitiveness of greek oil

a gradual switching regression model with autocorrelated errors abstract in this note we set up the gradual switching regression model with autocorrelated errors and show the maximum likelihood estimation procedure as an empirical example we examine structural change in the energy demand in japan at the first oil crisis

implicit contracts incentive compatibility and involuntary unemployment this paper considers the enforceability of employment contracts when employees performance cannot be verified in court so that piece rate contracts are not legally enforceable part i shows that there exists a variety of self enforcing implicit contracts modelled as perfect equilibria in a repeated game and characterizes all the wage and performance outcomes that can be implemented implementation requires a strictly positive surplus from employment the form of the contract depending on how this surplus is divided between firm and employee piece rate contracts and contracts with an informally agreed bonus can be made self enforcing but the use of severance pay and bonding does not extend the set of implementable allocations the resulting contracts resemble actual labor contracts more than do the contracts in standard principal agent models part ii analyses market equilibrium with these contracts also modelled as perfect equilibria in a repeated game and shows that many such equilibria exist unfilled vacancies and unemployed workers can co exist despite the existence of contracts that are potentially mutually beneficial for those jobs that are filled any division of the potential surplus is possible so that the market can have at the same time involuntary unemployment and vacancies that are unfilled despite filled jobs earning positive profits as a criterion for selecting equilibria a notion of renegotiation proofness is applied then either all workers are employed or all jobs filled but any division of the potential surplus is still possible the paper explores what further restrictions on beliefs give rise to a walrasian outcome in which all the potential surplus goes to the short side of the market and to an efficiency wage type outcome in which the potential surplus goes to the long side

structural change in the demand for meat economists have long thought that shocks in the economy sometimes lead to permanent changes in behavioral relationships hence supply or demand elasticities estimated from econometric models may change over time the source of such structural change may be technological adoption a shift in consumer preferences or an institutional change one way to handle this problem in linear models is to allow the parameters to change as the situation changes so that the model provides a local approximation of the behavioral relationship this approach is an attractive way to deal with structural change problems econometricians have extended the classical

additionality when redd contracts must be self enforcing this paper examines self enforcing contracts as a financial mechanism for reducing carbon emissions from deforestation and forest degradation when the opportunity cost of the land i e landholder type is private information and is imperfectly correlated over time i e partially persistent types because self enforcement limits the feasible incentives the conservation levels are constrained by the surplus created regardless of the degree of persistence of such opportunity costs across contracting periods a first best self enforcing contract can deliver additional carbon sequestration beyond the business as usual scenario only if the value of forest conservation is sufficiently high otherwise self enforcing contracts can induce some suboptimal level of carbon sequestration the degree of persistence of opportunity costs across periods does not affect the amount of total payments provided in the optimal menu of contracts but greater persistence of opportunity cost types leads to contracts that feature more of the total payment as a bonus in contracts for landholders with a high opportunity cost for their land and more of the total payment as an upfront fixed payment for landholders with a low opportunity cost