foreign direct investment and the dark side of decentralization countries differ in their government architecture some countries are characterized by a high degree of concentration of fiscal administrative judicial executive and lawmaking powers whereas others have decentralized many functions and responsibilities of government to different jurisdictions and various levels of government the cross country differences in the organization of government are also not static but have been subject to substantial change in many countries the co existence of different organizational patterns of government has created an important debate regarding the determinants of particular government structures as well as questions regarding the optimality of different forms of organization

borrowing constraints and complex dynamics in an olg framework abstract in this paper we model an olg economy a la kiyotaki and moore whose novel feature is the role of money as a store of value and of bequest as a source of funds to be invested in landholding the dynamics generated by the model are generally characterized by irregular cyclical trajectories and under special configuration of the parameters a strange attractor appears in this setting an expansionary monetary policy may have a stabilizing role due to the interaction between money holding and the accumulation of borrowers net worth

non radial cost luenberger productivity indicator abstract this study decomposes cost inefficiency into technical and allocative components in a more general way based on the directional russell measure drm of fukuyama and weber 2009 with the allocative component being completely clear of technical inefficiency based on this decomposition we develop a cost oriented productivity indicator the cost luenberger productivity indicator cl which completely embraces the concept of cost minimization and provides four sources of productivity change technical efficiency change the change in allocative efficiency the shift of technology and the effect of input price change to illustrate the above decompositions of cost inefficiency and productivity change and to investigate whether the establishment of a financial holding company fhc offers a bank greater operating efficiency and an improvement in productivity change this study employs data on taiwan s banking industry covering the period 2006 2012

the determinants of private saving in india abstract this paper examines the determinants of private saving in the process of economic development in the light of the indian experience it is found that the saving rate rises with both the level and the rate of growth of disposable income the real interest rate on bank deposits has a significant positive impact but the magnitude of the impact is modest public saving seems to crowd out private saving but less than proportionately furthermore the spread of banking facilities in the economy and the inflation rate have a positive impact and changes in the external terms of trade a negative impact on private saving

false prophet or genuine savior assessing the effects of economic openness on sustainable development 1980 99 while many herald globalization the increasing interconnectedness of national economies to be associated with rising standards of living across the globe others fear its effects on sustainability antiglobalization forces and environ mentalists view these developments as a threat to the welfare of future generations because of profligate and excessive current consumption this study is the first to estimate the effects of dependence on trade foreign direct investment fdi and an index of economic freedom on the world bank s measure of sustainability the gen uine savings rate which measures the rate at which investment in the total stock of manufactured human and natural capital exceeds its depreciation contrary to pessi mists fears our indicators of economic openness show positive effects on sustain ability results that are robust to sample size testing procedure and several alternative specifications the results support those who suggest that distorted economies tend to be both inefficient and damaging to future generations if increasing trade fdi and economic freedom are hallmarks of globalization then worries about its effects on future well being are misplaced

money supply announcements and interest rates does monetary policy matter abstract most current explanations of the effect of money supply announcements on the rate of interest center on central bank policy this paper analyzes a flexible price macroeconomic model where present and future monetary policy have no influence on either interest rates or real output but monetary data signal information about real economic activity which influences both short and long term real rates of interest the magnitude of the interest rate response is shown to depend on the difference in the income elasticities of currency and deposit demand and the relative size of monetary and real disturbances to the economy

interest rate reforms financial deepening and economic growth in cameroon an empirical investigation the impact of interest rate reforms on financial deepening and growth in cameroon is examined we employ five proxies of financial deepening against deposit rate a proxy for interest rate reforms the impact of interest rate reforms on financial deepening is sensitive to the proxy used for financial deepening the impact is almost negative and significant for all the indicators except for the ratio of broad money to gross domestic product where it is positive and significant in the first lag this means that financial repression helps improve broad money and hinders the development of the other indicators of financial development in cameroon

determinants of private savings behaviour in turkey this study investigates the effects on private saving rates of a number of policy and non policy variables the analysis covers the period 1968 1994 the empirical private saving model for turkey is estimated the findings support the hypothesis that private saving rates have strong inertia the evidence indicates that government saving does not tend to crowd out private savings and the ricardian equivalence does not hold strictly income level has a positive impact on private saving rate and growth rate of income is not statistically significant from a policy point of view financial depth and development measures in turkey suggest that countries with deeper financial systems tend to have higher private saving rates private credit and real interest rates try to capture the severity of the borrowing constraints and the degree of financial repression for turkey moreover the negative impact of life expectancy rate lends support to the life cycle hypothesis the precautionary motive for saving is suppor

pandemics of the poor and banking stability we first develop a theoretical model that shows that the likelihood of a collapse of the banking industry of a developing country increases as the joint prevalence of large pandemics such as aids and malaria increases we also show that the optimal bank reserves increase as the prevalence increases in the empirical part of the paper we consider a large dataset of developing countries and we exhibit a causality effect from combined prevalence to deposit turnover as well as causality effect from an increase of combined prevalence to an increase in bank reserves those empirical facts therefore support our theoretical findings

habit formation in consumption and its implications for monetary policy models this paper explores a monetary policy model with habit formation for consumers in which consumers utility depends in part on current consumption relative to past consumption the empirical tests developed in the paper show that one can reject the hypothesis of no habit formation with tremendous condence largely because the habit formation model captures the gradual hump shaped response of real spending to various shocks the paper then embeds the habit consumption specication in a monetary policy model and nds that the responses of both spending and inflation to monetary policy actions are signicantly improved by this modication jel d12 e52 e43

labor market consequences of poor attitude and low self esteem in youth in a recent national survey that asked employers to rank the importance of particular applicant traits for nonsupervisory and production positions applicant s attitude was the only trait that was reported to be very important in fact academic performance years of schooling completed teachers recommendations and industry based credentials certifying applicant skills all ranked lower bowles et al 2000 a second independent survey of employers in holzer and wissoker 2000 also suggests that more weight is placed on a good attitude than on basic skills among new hires of low skilled workers in this article i assess the role of pre labor market attitude and self esteem in explaining disparities observed in the labor market experiences of a sample of high school graduates the apparent importance employers ascribe to attitude and self esteem gives clear reason to expect that such a relationship exists i demonstrate that such survey responses are corroborated by real economic consequences for those with poor attitude and self esteem using longitudinal data on a 1972 cohort of high school graduates i show that high school students who reveal negative attitudes and self esteem subsequently attain fewer years of postsecondary education relative to their high school cohort are less likely to be employed 14 years following high school and where working for pay earn less accounting directly for the labor force participation decision i also document a higher incidence of unemployment among these individuals furthermore i find evidence that negative attitudes and self esteem are associated with jobs later in life that require the individual to spend time working with things as opposed to people for example and that those who exhibit poor pre labor market attitude and self esteem are subsequently more closely supervised at work and given less discretion in their daily activities all told attitude and self esteem in youth are shown to have important and long lasting economic implications in the following section i briefly discuss related literatures specifically two areas of the literature are considered the effect of joblessness on self esteem and the relationship between other noncognitive skills or worker attributes and labor market outcomes section ii then introduces the data and methods used in investigating the relationships in question empirical results are reported in section iii and are followed by some discussion and concluding remarks i previous literature this article is closely related to two areas of existing literature first there exists a small body of literature that documents a relationship between labor market activity and self esteem however this literature has heretofore focused more on the damage of joblessness to an individual s perception of self worth than on the direction of causality considered here for example goldsmith et al 1995 1996a find relationships between contemporaneous joblessness and self esteem and historic joblessness and subsequent self esteem respectively arguably the causality between attitudes and jobless spells is not clearly in one direction or the other in this article i contribute clear evidence of the reverse causation causation running from attitude and self esteem to future labor market outcomes second there is a growing body of literature on the importance of noncognitive skills in wage determination this literature suggests that measures of aggression and withdrawal osborne 1999 individual motivation goldsmith et al 2000 behavioral problems in high school cawley et al 2001 one s locus of control or outlook on life goldsmith et al 1997b osborne 1999 bertrand and mullainathan 2001 coleman and deleire 2003 and mental health bartel and taubman 1979 1986 frank and gertler 1991 mullahy and sindelar 1993 each have predictive power with respect to wages that employer surveys suggest that attitude is highly valued alone leads one to anticipate that attitude be related to earnings

productivity growth in large us commercial banks the initial post deregulation experience abstract we explore productivity growth for a group of 201 large us commercial banks over the initial post deregulation period from 1984 to 1990 using data envelopment analysis dea we measure productivity growth using malmquist productivity indexes and isolate the contributions of technical change technical efficiency change and scale change to productivity growth we find overall productivity growth at the rate of about 4 5 per year on average but productivity declined by 7 61 between 1984 and 1985 and by 0 33 between 1988 and 1989 our second stage panel regressions reveal that larger asset size and specialization of product mix associate with higher productivity growth while higher equity to assets associates with lower productivity growth

macroeconomic adjustment and the history of crises in open economies abstract this paper investigates the impact of the history of crises on macroeconomic performance we first study the impact of past banking crises on the probability of a future banking crisis we do not detect a learning process from past banking crises countries that have already experienced one banking crisis generally have a higher likelihood of experiencing another crisis and the depth of the crisis does not appear to be affected by the previous historical experience with crisis events evidence also suggests that in middle income countries higher de jure capital account openness is associated with lower likelihood of a banking crisis a lower ratio of non performing loans during the crisis and higher levels of forgone output in the crisis aftermath in contrast we find that past crisis experience has a significant impact on savings when facing considerable political risk the past does seem to matter countries with more people who were exposed over their lifetime to larger disasters will tend to save more this association however does not hold for countries with more stable political systems

price formation on the marseille fish market evidence from a network analysis abstract the empirical analysis of fish markets always reveals strong price dispersion for homogeneous or very similar goods the problem is how to explain this price dispersion on a market where there is no evident arbitrage explanations proposed by different authors include differences in organization the characteristics of the good and the influences of social interactions between buyers and sellers in line with the last of these three approaches we consider the fish market of marseille as a seller seller network we start by examining the influence of market interactions through a static and then a dynamic econometric model we then analyze the role of the seller s position in the network we bring to light a surprising paradox in that the sellers who share the most buyers with competitors i e the most central sellers charge the highest prices

deviations between china s and international gold price role of fundamentals contagion and financial shocks china has been the world s largest gold producer since 2007 and the world s largest gold consumer since 2013 however despite it being the second largest exchange traded market in the world gold

a new data set measuring income inequality this article presents a new data set on inequality in the distribution of income the authors explain the criteria they applied in selecting data on gini coefficients and on individual quintile groups income shares comparison of the new data set with existing compilations reveals that the data assembled here represent an improvement in quality and a significant expansion in coverage although differences in the definition of the underlying data might still affect inter temporal and international comparability based on this new data set the authors do not find a systematic link between growth and changes in aggregate inequality they do find a strong positive relationship between growth and reduction of poverty

indian bank efficiency and productivity changes with undesirable outputs a disaggregated approach the objective of this study is to examine technical efficiency and productivity growth in the indian banking sector over the period from 2004 to 2011 we apply an innovative methodological approach introduced by chen et al 2011 and barros et al 2012 who use a weighted russell directional distance model to measure technical inefficiency we further modify and extend that model to measure tfp change with npls we find that the inefficiency levels are significantly different among the three ownership structure of banks in india foreign banks have strong market position in india and they pull the production frontier in a more efficient direction spbs and domestic private banks show considerably higher inefficiency we conclude that the restructuring policy applied in the late 1990s and early 2000s by the indian government has not had a long lasting effect

malmquist indices of productivity growth during the deregulation of norwegian banking 1980 89 productivity growth during the deregulation of the norwegian banking industry is studied within the framework of data envelopment analysis which explicitly allows for multiple outputs introducing malmquist indices for productivity growth total growth can be decomposed into frontier growth and change in each bank s distance to the frontier both the total growth index and its components can be consistently chained over time we find productivity regress at the average bank prior to the deregulation but rapid growth when deregulation took place deregulation also led to less dispersion of productivity levels within the industry

the effects of reform on china s bank structure and performance abstract this paper investigates the relationship between market structure and performance in china s banking system from 1985 to 2002 a period when this sector was subject to gradual but notable reform using panel data estimation techniques both the market power and efficient structure hypotheses are tested in addition the model is extended to consider issues such as the impact of bank size ownership and whether the big four banks enjoy a quiet life on average x efficiency declined significantly and most banks were operating below scale efficient levels estimation of the structure performance models lends some support to the relative market power hypothesis in the early period the reforms had little impact on the structure of china s banking sector though the joint stock banks became relatively more x efficient there was no evidence to support the quiet life hypothesis probably because strict interest rate controls prevented the state banks from earning monopoly profits thus the ongoing liberalisation of interest rates should be accompanied by reduced concentration overall to improve competitive structure new policies should be directed at encouraging market entry and increasing the market share of the most efficient banks

a comparison of saving rates microdata evidence from seventeen latin american and caribbean countries using microdata on expenditure and income for seventeen latin american and caribbean countries this paper presents stylized facts on saving behavior by age education income and place of residence counterfactual saving rates are computed by imposing the saving behavior the population distribution or the income distribution of two benchmark economies the united states and korea the results suggest that the difference in national saving rates between latin america and caribbean and the benchmark economies can mainly be attributed to differences in saving behavior of the population and to a lesser extent to differences in the distribution of the population by education levels other demographic or income distribution differences are not quantitatively important as explanations of saving rates

are reserve requirements relevant for economic stabilization abstract the level of the required reserve ratio and the payment of interest on required reserves are irrelevant for economic stability 1 when the central bank appropriately adjusts its interest elasticity of supply of reserves or currency to offset changes in the required reserve ratio or in the interest rate paid on required reserves or 2 when economic agents form their price level expectations rationally conditional on the current interest rate

efficiency and productivity growth in the banking industry of central and eastern europe abstract we employ the directional technology distance function and provide estimates of bank efficiency and productivity change across central and eastern european cee countries and across banks with different ownership status for the period 1998 2003 our results demonstrate the strong links of competition and concentration with bank efficiency they also show that productivity for the whole region initially declined but has improved more recently with further progress on institutional and structural reforms input biased technical change has been consistently positive throughout the entire period suggesting that the reforms have induced favorable changes in relative input prices and input mix however we find evidence of diverging trends in productivity growth patterns across banking industries and that foreign banks outperform domestic private and state owned banks both in terms of efficiency and productivity gains overall we find that productivity change in cee is driven by technological change rather than efficiency change

institutions and savings in developing and emerging economies domestic savings are an important prerequisite for capital formation and growth in this paper we analyze a new channel through which institutions influence aggregate savings and economic development whereas research in the field of savings decisions concentrates largely on the level of the individual the literature on institutions and growth as well as on aggregate savings formation focuses on the aggregate national level first we develop a framework that brings together both lines of reasoning arguing that institutions may influence the individual savings decision as well as national savings in aggregate this potential for institutional quality to influence economic performance has been neglected so far second we build upon the empirical literature on aggregate savings formation and provide results supporting our hypothesis that better economic institutions drive aggregate savings formation upwards by contrast we do not find such effects in the case of the political environment our findings are robust when checked against a number of changes in explanatory variables estimation methods and the treatment of instruments

international evidence on how income inequality and credit market imperfections affect private saving rates abstract this paper empirically examines the hypothesis that income distribution exerts an independent effect on private saving rates across countries and tests particular channels for income inequality to affect private saving rates cross sectional and panel regression results show that inequality has a robust positive effect on private saving rates that depends on financial market development and credit available to the private sector the paper thus identifies credit market imperfections as the likely reason for the inequality private saving link the data provide no evidence supporting a subsistence channel for inequality to affect private saving as suggested by nonhomothetic utility functions

the sources of bank productivity growth in china during 2002 2009 a disaggregation view this study investigates the sources of bank productivity growth in china over the period 2002 2009 in order to perform this research we propose an advanced index input slack based productivity index isp a model that disaggregates total factor productivity growth into each input productivity change funds capital and employees are chosen as the inputs whereas loans and other earning assets are outputs in this study our results show that technological gains transcend the efficiency regressions and result in total factor productivity growth more specifically technical progress in capital productivity reveals the dominant force behind the total factor technical change and productivity improvement in addition this paper uses these disaggregation terms to find out the competitive advantages and disadvantages of input usages for each chinese bank these findings indicate that the isp index provides more insights than traditional total factor productivity indices

a comprehensive analysis of the effects of risk measures on bank efficiency evidence from emerging asian countries this study investigates the role of risk in determining the cost efficiency of international banks in eight emerging asian countries researchers of this paper consider three distinct risk aspects under a total of eight risk measures credit risk operational risk and market risk we apply a heteroscedastic stochastic frontier model to estimate bank cost efficiency in our analysis additionally this study analyzes the marginal effects of all risk measures on the inefficiency effect in order to explore a more detailed relationship between risks and efficiency the empirical results indicate that the risk measures represent significant effects on both the level and variability of bank efficiency we also find that these effects vary across countries and over time

the cost of corruption in the italian solid waste industry the article investigates the link between corruption and efficiency using a rich micro level data set on solid waste collection activities in 529 italian municipalities observed over the years 2004 2006 to test the impact of corruption on cost efficiency we estimate a latent class stochastic frontier model accounting for technological heterogeneity across units the results of our estimates show that corruption significantly increases inefficiency a finding that is robust to the inclusion of alternative local corruption indicators and other control variables such as geographical demographic and political factors finally we find that the impact of corruption tends to be greater in the southern regions of the country and in those municipalities that are less involved in recycling activities

geometric representation of the mean variance skewness portfolio frontier based upon the shortage function the literature suggests that investors prefer portfolios based on mean variance and skewness rather than portfolios based on mean variance mv criteria solely furthermore a small variety of methods have been proposed to determine meanvariance skewness mvs optimal portfolios recently the shortage function has been introduced as a measure of e ciency allowing to characterize mvs optimal portfolios using non parametric mathematical programming tools while tracing the mv portfolio frontier has become trivial the geometric representation of the mvs frontier is an open challenge a hitherto unnoticed advantage of the shortage function is that it allows to geometrically represent the mvs portfolio frontier the purpose of this contribution is to systematically develop geometric representations of the mvs portfolio frontier using the shortage function and related approaches

bias corrected estimation of panel vector autoregressions we derive a bias corrected least squares estimator for panel vector autoregressions with fixed effects the estimator is straightforward to implement and is asymptotically unbiased under asymptotics where the number of time series observations and the number of cross sectional observations grow at the same rate this makes the estimator particularly well suited for most macroeconomic data sets

a nonparametric approach for assessing productivity dynamics of large u s banks the 1980s marked an era of substantial change for the us commercial banking industry an issue of considerable interest to banking analysts and economists alike is whether the intensified competitive pressure generated by deregulation and notable financial innovations enhanced productivity to investigate the response to these changes the non parametric malmquist index is used to evaluate productivity dynamics a statistically significant productivity surge found between 1983 and 1984 is followed by productivity regress the next period post 1985 sustained productivity progress is observed for the remainder of the decade productivity movements are primarily attributable to technological changes rather than scale changes or convergence to the production frontier

efficient estimation with panel data when instruments are predetermined an empirical comparison of moment condition estimators i examine the empirical performance of instrumental variables estimators with predetermined instruments in an application to life cycle labor supply under uncertainty the estimators studied are two stage least squares generalized method of moments gmm forward filter independently weighted gmm and split sample instrumental variables i compare the bias efficiency trade off for the estimators using bootstrap algorithms suggested by freedman and by brown and newey results indicate that the downward bias in gmm is quite severe as the number of moment conditions expands outweighing the gains in efficiency the forward filter estimator however has lower bias and is more efficient than two stage least squares

the international monetary system in the last and next 20 years the last two decades have seen far reaching changes in the structure of the international monetary system europe moved from the european monetary system to the euro china adopted a dollar peg and then moved to a basket band and crawl in 2005 emerging markets passed through a series of crises leading some to adopt regimes of greater exchange rate flexibility and others to rethink the pace of capital account liberalization interpreting these developments is no easy task some observers conclude that recent trends are confirmation of the bipolar view that intermediate exchange rate arrangements are disappearing while members of the fear of floating school conclude precisely the opposite we show that the two views can be reconciled if one distinguishes countries by their stage of economic and financial development among the advanced countries intermediate regimes have essentially disappeared this supports the bipolar view for the group of countries for which it was first developed within this subgroup the dominant movement has been toward hard pegs reflecting monetary unification in europe while emerging markets have also seen a decline in the prevalence of intermediate arrangements these regimes still account for more than a third of the relevant subsample here the majority of the evacuees have moved to floats rather than fixes reflecting the absence of emu like arrangements in other parts of the world among developing countries the prevalence of intermediate regimes has again declined but less dramatically where these regimes accounted for two thirds of the developing country subsample in 1990 they account for a bit more than half of that subsample today as with emerging markets the majority of those abandoning the middle have moved to floats rather than hard pegs the gradual nature of these trends does not suggest that intermediate regimes will disappear outside the advanced countries anytime soon barry eichengreen and raul razo garcia

debt crises and risk sharing the role of markets versus sovereigns debt crises and risk sharing role of markets versus sovereigns using a variance decomposition of shocks to gross domestic product gdp we quantify the role of international factor income international transfers and saving in achieving risk sharing during the recent european crisis we focus on the subperiods 1990 2007 2008 2009 and 2010 and consider separately the european countries hit by the sovereign debt crisis in 2010 we decompose risk sharing from saving into contributions from government and private saving and show that fiscal austerity programs played an important role in hindering risk sharing during the sovereign debt crisis

on the impact of demographic change on economic growth and poverty abstract changing population age structures are shaping the trajectories of development in many countries bringing opportunities and challenges while aging has been a matter of concern for upper middle and high income economies rapid population growth is set to continue in the poorest countries over the coming decades at the same time these countries will see sustained increases in the working age shares of their population and these shifts have the potential to boost growth and reduce poverty this paper describes the main mechanisms through which demographic change may affect economic outcomes and estimates the association between changes in the share of working age population with per capita growth and poverty rate an increase in the working age population share and a reduction in the child dependency ratio are found to be associated with an increase in gross domestic product per capita growth with similarly positive effects on poverty reduction

has latin america s post reform growth been disappointing after years of poor economic performance many latin american countries undertook ambitious programs of macroeconomic stabilization and structural reform in recent years this change in policy created high expectations for the region and some observers have questioned whether actual growth outcomes have lived up to these expectations the authors offer evidence that the response of economic growth to reforms in latin america has not been disappointing because of their significant policy changes and despite a global slowdown latin america did well to return to its historic growth rate of 2 percent per capita in 1990 93 latin america has responded to changes in policy variables as would have been predicted by the experience of other times and places those earlier experiences are summarized by a panel regression spanning many countries and multi year periods from 1960 to 1993 to get consistent estimates of the parameters linking growth and policy variables the authors use a dynamic panel methodology that both controls for unobserved time and country specific effects and accounts for the likely internal dynamism of the explanatory variables

why are latin america s savings rates so low an international comparative analysis abstract this paper presents a theoretical and empirical assessment of the determinants of savings rates with special emphasis on latin american savings rates the study is based on international comparisons using data from 36 countries for 1970 1992 a distinction is made between private and public savings the later are endogenously determined by economic and political variables per capita income growth is the most important determinant of private and public savings public savings are lower in countries with higher political instability public savings crowd out private savings but less than proportionately low latin american savings are due to the magnitudes of their determinants rather than structural differences

bank reserves and financial stability a stochastic financial model is developed which derives the reserve levels on financial assets which minimize price level fluctuations it is shown that these levels of reserves are a function of the structure of unanticipated shocks to asset demands and are in general quite different from the levels which minimize the fluctuations of either the nominal or real value of these assets application of the model to currency and demand deposits in the u s a suggest that the price stabilizing reserve ratio on demand deposits is approximately one half of the 12 currently mandated by the monetary control act of 1980 required reserves on deposits at financial institutions have two major economic aspects first reserves may be regarded as a tax on bank liabilities if the rate of return on reserves measured either explicitly or implicitly is less than the market rate of interest secondly reserves may be considered an important monetary instrument for controlling the value of monetary aggregates and ultimately such variables as prices interest rates and income 1 unfortunately there appears to be little agreement among economists either as to the optimal level of reserves or to the criteria for setting such reserves in order to achieve macroeconomic stability friedman 3 had formerly advocated 100 percent reserves on both time and demand deposits but recently 4 has claimed that uniformity of reserves on transactions balances is far more important than the level at which they are imposed 2 at the other end of the spectrum carson 1 has advocated abolishing required reserves on all deposits while poole and lieberman 11 have urged elimination of reserves on time deposits only if m1 is accepted as the money stock definition this paper develops a macroeconomic model where it is demonstrated that the levels of reserves which minimize the fluctuations of such ultimate economic variables as prices are in general quite different from those which stabilize various monetary aggregates these reserve levels which minimize price level fluctuations are determined primarily from the covariance structure of unanticipated disturbances influencing financial assets empirical estimation of asset disturbances for the united states suggests that these stabilizing levels of reserves on demand deposit are lower than those scheduled to prevail under the monetary control act of 1980

what drives private saving around the world the authors investigate the policy and non policy factors behind saving disparities using a large panel data set and an encompassing approach including several relevant determinants of private saving they extend the literature in several dimensions by 1 using the largest data set on aggregate saving assembled to date 2 using panel instrumental variable techniques to correct for endogeneity and heterogeneity 3 performing robustness checks on changes in estimation procedures data samples and model specification their main empirical findings a private saving rates show considerable inertia are highly serially correlated even after controlling for other relevant factors b private sector rates rise with the level and growth rate of real per capita income so policies that spur development are in indirect but effective way to raise private saving rates c predictions of the life cycle hypothesis are supported in that dependency ratios generally have a negative effect on private saving rates d the precautionary motive for saving is supported by the finding that inflation conventionally taken as a summary measure of macroeconomic volatility has a positive impact on private saving holding other facts constant e fiscal policy is a moderately effective tool for raising national saving f the direct effect of financial liberalization are largely detrimental to private saving rates greater availability of credit reduces the private saving rate financial depth and higher real interest rates do not increase saving