nonparametric measures of scale and technical change for competitive firms under uncertainty measures of scale elasticity and rate of technical change can be obtained nonparametrically in the sandmo model of competitive firms with nonlinear risk preference responding to output price risk information on risk attitudes is not needed for measurement of scale elasticity because it is observable as the ratio of average to marginal cost as in certainty models the cross section of panel data sets can be used to develop a nonparametric marginal cost measure which permits identification of scale elasticity the technical change measure then follows from the scale measure and the time series portion of the panel data set

fishing effort its testing specification and internal structure in fisheries economics and management abstract the concept of fishing effort is central to fisheries economics and management however effort is an aggregate index of inputs which can be consistently formed only under the condition on production technology of homothetic separability of inputs this paper develops the conditions under which effort can be consistently formed it then provides the first empirical test for effort and jointness in inputs in a fishery by estimating a multiproduct function for the new england otter trawl fleet after not rejecting input output separability and rejecting nonjointness in inputs the construction of a superlative index for effort is demonstrated through estimating a translog production function the implications of effort s internal structure for fisheries management are then considered

scale and productivity measurement under risk the literature on risk and uncertainty gives an important place to studies comparing behavioral and comparative static results obtained under certainty and uncertainty the standard neoclassical theory of the firm however has much more to offer than behavioral results for example the optimizing behavior of the profit seeking firm insures that the degree of the firm s returns to scale can be measured by the ratio of cost to revenue furthermore it is also possible to isolate measures of the rate of technical change for a profit maximizing firm which depend solely upon observed prices and quantities this note demonstrates some of the implications of uncertainty for measuring scale economies and the rate of technical change specifically using a model developed by agnar sandmo 1971 it is demonstrated that under conditions of risk and uncertainty there are generally no measures of the scale elasticity or the rate of technical change which can be derived from observations on prices and quantity without information on either the structure of production or the utility function which underlies sandmo s analy

adjusting input output models for capacity utilization in service industries abstract the input output i o models assume the stability of economic ratios and regional multipliers over the evaluation period for manufacturing sectors constant multipliers within a short term period may present a reasonable picture of the real world production function tourism industry however is composed of a variety of services in which total output and factor inputs are strongly influenced by capacity utilization cu a conceptual model is proposed in this paper which purports that shifts in cu for perishable services will lead to economies of scale in inputs price changes in the final output capacity constraint on domestic supply and substitution between input factors especially between capital and labor these factors simultaneously modify i o ratios and multipliers traditional i o analysis which assumes constant economic ratios and multipliers will therefore lead to biases in tourism impact estimates especially to value added components as it does not reflect the changing costs of operation in response to shifting supply and demand

primal and dual capacity utilization an application to productivity measurement in the u s automobile industry capacity utilization measures have traditionally been constructed as indexes of actual as compared to potential output this potential or capacity output y can be represented within an economic model of the firm as the tangency between the short and long run average cost curves economic theoretical measures of capacity utilization cu can then be characterized as y y where y is the realized level of output these quantity or primal cu measures allow for economic interpretation they provide explicit inference as to how changes in exogenous variables affect cu additional information for analyzing deviations from capacity production can be obtained by assessing the dual cost of the gap in this article the definitions and representations of primal output and dual cost cu measures are formalized within a dynamic model of a monopolistic firm as an illustration of this approach to characterizing cu measures a model is estimated for the u s automobile industry 1959 1980 and primal and dual cu

nonparametric measures of scale economies and capacity utilization an application to u s manufacturing abstract an economic measure of scale efficiency is the ratio of the minimum average cost to the average cost at the actual output level of a firm it is easily measured by the ratio of the total cost of this output under the constant and variable returns to scale assumptions this procedure does not identify the output level where the average cost reaches a minimum this paper proposes a nonparametric method of measuring this output level using dea the relation between this efficient production scale the short run physical capacity output and the most productive scale size mpss is also discussed an empirical application using state level data from u s manufacturing is used to illustrate the procedure the dea findings are further analyzed using a smoothed bootstrap procedure

the determination of foreign banking location abstract in this paper we examine the determinants of foreign bank location we initially present some time series data on the postwar expansion of international banking we show that foreign branching increased very rapidly from about 1960 to the mid 1980s and slowed significantly after 1985 one interpretation of this growth in foreign branching is that it largely paralleled the increase in trade and foreign direct investment although it may also have been encouraged by the improvements in communications and the rapid financial innovation of the 1960s and 1970s to assess the role of trade and foreign direct investment on bank expansion we employ a cross sectional analysis of the pattern of foreign bank offices whereas previous studies have focused on a single parent or host country our study extends the existing literature by analyzing the location of nearly 2000 overseas offices across 37 patent and 82 host countries our results suggest a significant relationship between the pattern of bank location trade and foreign direct investment we define a banking centre as one in which there are more foreign banks than can be explained in terms of real business activity and we show that the usa uk switzerland singapore and indonesia most clearly qualify as banking centres we also provide some evidence for a sample of host countries that the abnormal number of bank offices is related to capital market activities

measuring and assessing capacity utilization in the manufacturing sectors of nine oecd countries following a tradition established by cassels klein and hickman we employ the economic theory of cost and production and define economic capacity output as that output at which short and long run average total cost curves are tangent to one another capacity utilization cu rates are then computed as the ratio of actual to capacity output we implement this framework empirically by specifying and estimating a translog variable cost function for the manufacturing sectors of nine oecd countries we find that by the end of the historical sample the early 1980s pervasive and chronic excess capacity exists while the average cost consequence of excess capacity was relatively modest in the 1960s the burden increased considerably after opec i and after opec ii the premium was as large as 15 of average total costs we also find that electricity and fuel price increases had small impacts on capacity output relative to that from labor or capital finally we adjust conventional measures of multifactor productivity growth for changes in cu and find that the adjusted growth is larger after 1973 than that based on traditional procedures

on the utilisation controversy a theoretical and empirical discussion of the kaleckian model of growth and distribution this paper examines the utilisation controversy around the kaleckian model of growth and distribution we show that the federal reserve data on capacity utilisation which have been used by both sides of this debate are the wrong kind of data for the issue under examination instead a more appropriate measurement can be derived from the data on the average workweek of capital we argue that the long run dynamic adjustment proposed by kaleckian scholars lacks a coherent economic rationale we provide an alternative path towards the endogeneity of the desired utilisation at the micro and macro levels finally we examine the proposed adjustment mechanism econometrically our results verify the endogeneity of the normal utilisation rate

a decomposition of profit loss under output price uncertainty in this paper firm profit loss is decomposed as the sum of two terms related to the output price uncertainty price expectation error and risk preference plus one extra term expressing technical inefficiency we then describe the implementation of our theoretical model in a robust data envelopment analysis dea framework which allows an effective and separate estimation of each term of the decomposition in addition we offer an operational tool to reveal producers risk preferences a 2009 database of french fattening pig farms is used as an illustration our results indicate that risk preference and technical inefficiency are the main sources of profit loss

producer surplus and risk this paper examines the welfare economics of producer behavior under risk aversion hicksian marshallian and money equivalent measures are explored it is found that under decreasing absolute risk aversion compensating variation is less than the ordinary marshallian surplus which is less than the money equivalent measure under constant absolute risk aversion all measures coincide finally bounds on compensating and equivalent variations using ordinary producer surplus in a manner analogous to willige approach in consumer theory under certainty are studied similar results hold mutatis mutandis for input demands

production economics and optimal stock size in a north atlantic fishery this paper contains an analysis of a fishery production function and an empirical analysis of the north sea herring fishery an intertemporal profit function is defined by introducing stock dynamics and the concept of a sole resource manager some new results with respect to the relationship between the optimal stock level and production technology are derived estimates of the optimal stock level for herring are also presented

cost structure and capacity utilisation in multi product industries an application to the basque trawl industry to empirically study production structure and the capacity level at which vessels are harvesting a short run translog cost function is estimated from the estimated parameters two capacity utilisation measures are calculated ray returns to scale and a dual capacity utilisation measure both capacity utilisation measures suggest that there is excess capacity in the basque trawler fleet these measures are also estimated annually and they indicate the same conclusion the basque trawler fleet can therefore gain from increased production levels

domestic and international determinants of bank profits foreign banks in australia abstract this paper develops and tests a model that integrates the existing multinational bank literature with the domestic bank profits literature using data for australia this paper demonstrates that an integrated model results in a small increase in explanatory power when compared to models drawn solely from the multinational banking literature the paper finds that profits are a negative function of competitor market share and bank licence status and a positive function of australian size and home gdp growth it is argued that there is incomplete integration between the market segments of domestic and multinational banks due to the first mover advantages of incumbent banks

the decision to establish a foreign bank branch or subsidiary an application of binary classification procedures this paper has two purposes first we model a key decision for inter national banks using data on the foreign direct investment fdi behavior of foreign banks in japan and california second we examine the utility of linear discriminant analysis and maximum likelihood logit analysis as statistical techniques for relating a qualitative dependent variable to a vector of inde pendent variables we apply these techniques to the decision by parent banks as to whether or not to have a subsidiary branch in california japan we treat the deci sion as a binary choice based on a consideration of various relevant factors the population for each of the countries consists of those foreign to the host country banks that already have a presence in the country the research ques tion then becomes given that a foreign bank is in the country does the extent of the parent bank s experience internationally and in the host country affect the probability that it will deepen its presence the choice of statis tical tools by which to examine this question gives rise to our methodological concerns

resource allocation in a general equilibrium model of production under uncertainty the case of variable supply of labor abstract this paper examines the effects of a marginal change in uncertainty on resource allocation and factor rewards by relaxing the assumption of factor inelasticity we demonstrate that integrating a variable labor supply into batra s two sector uncertainty model can mitigate or reverse many of the earlier results specifically a marginal increase in uncertainty may trigger the resource to move from the certainty sector to the uncertainty sector in the presence of a backward bending labor supply curve

capacity utilization measures underlying economic theory and an alternative approach measures of industrial capacity utilization hereafter cu have been used extensively in helping to explain changes in the rate of investment labor productivity and inflation the cu measures have also been used to obtain indices of capital in use as distinct from capital stock in place a number of alternative measures of cu are periodically calculated and published the 1980 economic report of the president for example contains three series that by the federal reserve board the u s department of commerce bureau of economic analysis and the wharton school of finance other publicly available series are those prepared by mcgraw hill publishing company the u s department of commerce bureau of the census and rinfret boston associates inc although a host of cu measures is publicly available it is not at all clear how one should interpret changes over time in each measure or variations among them a principal reason underlying these interpretation problems is that the crucial link between underlying economic theory and the constructed measure of cu is weak one way in which this issue has manifested itself in the policy domain over the last five years has been with respect to the uncertain effects of dramatic increases in energy prices on capacity output and on cu each of the cu measures noted above is computed in such a way that explicitly ignores any role for energy prices yet several times during the last decade though growth to apparently high rates of cu had taken place investment and average labor productivity were much lower than expected and the rate of price increase much greater in brief during the last decade the explanatory power of alternative cu measures has dropped sharply some have conjectured that post opec energy price increases may have brought about major changes in the u s economy so that old quantitative relationships between measured cu and investment labor productivity and price inflation may have been altered substantially in order to assess effects of changes in pe on cu a re examination of the notion and measurement of cu is needed based on the framework of the economic theory of the firm that is the focus of this paper

comparative performance of short run capacity utilization measures abstract we present parametric estimates for primal and dual capacity utilization and then evaluate their comparative performance empirical findings indicate that alternative capacity utilization ratios depending upon the reference variables are procyclically consistent with each other

on the measurement of capacity utilization capacity utilization is usually defined as the ratio of actual output to the output corresponding to 1 the minimum point on the short run average total cost curve and 2 the point of tangency between the long run average total cost and short run average total cost curves in practice however capacity utilization is often measured as the ratio of actual to the maximum potential output consistent with a given capital stock this paper demonstrates how to estimate the theoretical measures of capacity utilization and examines the correlation between three measures of capacity utilization and the mcgraw hill estimates of capacity utilization using data from a sample of u s privately owned electric utilities for 1961 83 copyright 1989 by blackwell publishing ltd

endogenous fishery management in a stochastic model why do fishery agencies use tacs along with fishing periods this paper seeks to explain the circumstances under which using total allowable catch tac as an instrument to manage a fishery along with fishing periods may be of interest from a regulatory point of view the deterministic analysis by homans and wilen j environ econ manag 32 1 21 1997 and anderson ann oper res 94 231 257 2000 is thus extended to a stochastic scenario where the resource cannot be measured accurately the resulting model is solved numerically to find the optimal control rules in the iberian sardine stock three relevant conclusions can be highlighted from simulations first the greater the uncertainty regarding the state of the stock the lower the probability of the fishery being closed before the end of the fishing period second the use of tacs as a management instrument in fisheries that are already regulated by fishing periods leads to i an increase in the optimal season length and harvests especially for medium and high numbers of licences ii improved biological and economic variables when the fleet is large and iii extinction risk for the resource being eliminated third the regulator would rather select the number of licences than restrict the season length

long run industry equilibrium with uncertainty abstract in this paper we consider the effects of uncertainty on industry equilibrium when firms must commit themselves to production before prices are revealed we show that a an increase in demand uncertainty will i not affect the equilibrium number and size of firms if they are risk neutral ii reduce the equilibrium number of firms if they are risk averse but will have an ambiguous effect on their size b in equilibrium firms operate at capacity if they are risk neutral but at excess capacity if they are risk averse

economies of scale and utilization in the swiss electric power distribution industry economies of scale and utilization in the swiss electricity distribution industry are analysed a translog variable cost function was estimated using panel data for a sample of 39 municipal utilities over the period 1988 1991 economies of both scale and utilization appear to exist in the distribution of electricity both for small medium and large sized utilities thus the empirical evidence suggests sub additivity of the cost function over the relevant range of output for the swiss electricity distribution utilities a necessary condition for a natural monopoly to exist

lechatelier effects for the competitive firm under price uncertainty lechatelier effects confirm the intuition that constrained decisions are not only suboptimal but also restrained in the sense of being less elastic samuelson 1947 introduced this idea into economics and showed that it blends neatly with economic models of decision making under certainty being particularly well suited to the competitive firm as emphasized by silberberg 1971 linearity of the objective function combines with convexity in the constraint imposed by the production technology to yield envelope results at the first order and lechatelier effects at the second as powerful consequences of the maximization hypothesis the envelope results of primary interest in producer theory shephard s lemma for cost functions and hotelling s lemma for profit functions are equality relations reflecting the firstorder stationarity of an optimum lechatelier effects in contrast are inequality relations reflecting the restrained nature of short run responses compared with long run less constrained responses thus the quantities of labor demanded and output supplied are more elastic with respect to wage rate and output price changes in the long run than in the short run these lechatelier predictions pertain to a firm that has fully adjusted to an exogenous set of factor and output prices and thus apply only in the neighborhood of a long run equilibrium configuration for the firm however they apply equally well whether capital and labor are substitute or complementary factors of production milgrom and roberts 1996 have established a global lechatelier principle under the assumption that capital and labor are always substitutes or always complements in production a stipulation that is necessarily true for the infinitesimal changes contemplated in the local lechatelier predictions when the firm makes decisions while facing uncertainty about output price risk preferences influence behavior if the uncertainty cannot be fully diversified through futures contracts or the sale of ownership shares as in the case of closely held family businesses such as some of those

the theory of the firm in long run equilibrium in a recent series of articles economists have investigated the comparative statics of the neoclassical firm in a competitive environment with the specific proviso that output price adjusts in response to changes in factor prices the older theory of the firm such as is found for example in paul samuelson 1947 is deficient in this regard metaphors such as short run have been used to gloss over the inconsistency of holding output price constant in the face of changing costs through changing factor prices in this paper a simple yet thorough analysis of a firm in a competitive industry i e a firm facing zero entry and adjustment cost conditions is given new results pertaining to restrictions on the behavior of such firms are offered also the length and complexity of established results is substantially reduced

industry equilibrium uncertainty and futures markets abstract this paper studies competitive long run industry equilibrium with uncertainty and futures trading we also provide a long run analysis of futures trading instead of the conventional short run analysis it is shown without using a general equilibrium model that given uncertain demand and risk aversion a bias backwardation or contango arises in long run industry equilibrium given risk neutrality such a bias however disappears we find that the occurrence of the bias depends not only on the existence of a risk premium but also on the length of the period considered each risk averse firm operates at a less efficient scale and moreover an expected spot price never accords with marginal cost when the expected spot price is less than marginal cost the risk averse firm can secure profit by selling futures contracts more than the amount of its output in the presence of production supply uncertainty a risk neutral firm operates with excess capacity under additive risk while the firm operates with proper capacity under multiplicative risk the key lies in whether its average cost curve is shifted by production risk

static efficiency decompositions and capacity utilisation integrating economic and technical capacity notions starting from existing static decompositions of overall economic efficiency on nonparametric production and cost frontiers this article proposes more comprehensive decompositions including several cost based notions of capacity utilization furthermore in case prices are lacking we develop additional decompositions of overall technical efficiency integrating a technical concept of capacity utilization these new efficiency decompositions provide a link between short and long run economic analysis and in empirical work avoid conflating inefficiency and differences in capacity utilization an empirical analysis using a monthly panel of chilean hydro electric power plants illustrates the potential of these decomposition proposals

capacity and capacity utilization in common pool resource industries excess capacity poses one of the most pressingproblems that arise when industries exploitcommon pool natural resources it entailsover investment in the capital stock andexcessive use of variable inputs and placesadditional exploitation pressures on theresource stocks confusion persists over theappropriate definition and measurement ofcapacity and capacity utilization for theseindustries but understanding capacity and itsmeasurement is necessary to properly design acapacity management program this paperaddresses these issues by overviewing theconceptual and theoretical bases for capacityand capacity utilization measurement identifying specific problems for common poolresources outlining alternative methodologiesfor their measurement and illustrating the useof these definitions and measurement methods ina fisheries case study

the role of location related factors in u s banking involvement abroad an empirical examination this study examines the role of major location specific advantages in the international branch banking involvement of u s banks using pooled time series 1976 82 cross sectional thirty countries regression analysis this study finds that the u s business presence in foreign country has a strong positive effect on u s branch banking activity in that country in contrast the local market opportunity appears to have no significant effect these results hold for the entire set of countries as well as each of five subsets developed less developed european latin american and asian countries the openness of the host country to the establishment of new foreign bank branches does affect u s branch banking involvement this effect is most pronounced in the less developed countries particularly those in asia

determinants of foreign investment of u s advertising agencies this paper investigates the impact of several factors on the foreign investment of u s advertising agencies by using the theories on the determinants of foreign direct investment by manufacturing firms for the two years examined the hypotheses about the impact of host country market size host country geographic proximity firm size firm s international operations experience oligopolistic reaction and presence of home country customers abroad are all confirmed this paper also investigates the impact of oligopolistic reaction among the top ten and the second ten largest agencies and finds a stronger impact for the former

on sustainability and the economics of survival this paper investigates the implications of sustainability and survival strategies for economic analysis it reviews connections between the approaches used by economists and biological scientists in the study of survival the paper emphasizes the role of irreversibility and uncertainty in the investigation of sustainability issues implications of the results for the analysis of economic behavior are discussed

a foreign expansion model with multi site locations in service industries abstract capital budget constrained foreign expansion model with multi site locations may have far reaching implications for the service sectors this paper aims to present a foreign expansion model with multi site locations which is capable of optimizing the commodity pricing and capital investment policy having found some properties of the model we propose a solution method which consists of the newton raphson method and the technique of piecewise linear approximation the results of proposed model may be beneficial for foreign expansion in services with regard to businesses like fast food steak restaurant cafe shops and so on

the determinants of foreign direct investment in services this paper has two main objectives first to consider country specific determinants that attract services fdi and second to compare the importance of these determinants vis a vis traditional determinants that attract manufacturing fdi using oecd countries as our sample and 1980 to 2003 as our time period we consider the determinants of inward fdi in a panel setting our results provide empirical evidence to support the view that no new theories may be necessary to explain the determinants of services fdi

factors affecting the performance of foreign owned banks in australia a cross sectional study abstract this study extends the existing literature of international banking by constructing a model of foreign intermediaries in australia an unresolved question is establishing those factors that result in banking across borders while a variety of theories attempt to explain international banking empirical tests are sparse mahajan a rangan n zardkoohi a 1996 journal of banking and finance 20 283 306 this study considers if the results to date apply in non us settings foreign bank size was found to be a positive function of bank licence parent size and time in australia and a negative function of australian net interest margins and fees the negative sign on net interest margins and fees is consistent with de young r nolle d 1996 journal of money credit and banking 28 622 636 foreign bank profits were a positive function of australian net interest margins and fees there was limited evidence of defensive expansion this paper concludes that foreign bank size is explained well by the existing theories of international banking but a wider model is appropriate for foreign bank profits

adjustment to production uncertainty and the theory of the firm this paper considers the behavior of the firm which faces uncertainty in its production process but can adjust its output once the uncertainty is resolved ex post adjustment unlike previous treatments involves a marginal cost penalty if more output is required and a lowering of price if too much is produced with ex post adjustment allowed in this fashion it is found that nonlinear risk preferences do not affect the sign of the firm s marginal risk premium at optimum ex ante output the firm will produce less output than under certainty whether it is risk averse risk neutral or prefers risk

competitive industry equilibrium under uncertainty and free entry this paper investigates the properties of industry equilibrium under price uncertainty given free entry and exit for any form of risk averse behavior it is shown that an increase in demand uncertainty as measured by a mean preserving spread increases mean output price and reduces output of firms in long run equilibrium

the performance implications of relationship banking during macroeconomic expansion and contraction a study of japanese banks social relationships and overseas expansion we propose a social perspective emphasizing the opportunities and constraints of bank firm relationships to understand the determinants of relationship banks performance using japanese banks to test our theory using social exchange and role theories we found banks that have strong social relationships performed differently during japan s macroeconomic expansion and contraction cycles however our results indicate that social exchange and role relationships are context specific banks benefited from internationalization during a domestic macroeconomic expansion as a result of their home country social relationships but they were less constrained by the same social relationships in their international operations during a domestic macroeconomic contraction

long run scale adjustments of a perfectly competitive firm and industry an alternative approach the purpose of this note is to use the cost function technique to derive the results of the recent article in this review by c e ferguson and thomas saving hereafter f s our interest lies not so much in the results as in the simplicity and power of the technique itself in contrast to the rather cumbersome conventional apparatus of comparative statics micro theory 1 we shall not therefore discuss in detail the f s interpretations of their results although the technique should give the reader a more intuitive grasp of what is going on following f s we assume that the production function f x is increasing in each input strictly concave and twice continuously differentiable on the positive orthant all equilibrium input vectors are assumed strictly positive we start from the duality between production and cost functions demonstrated by shephard uzawa and mcfadden under our assumptions the production function may be uniquely characterized by its minimum total cost function defined for all p 0 by2 c min ptixi f x q

the opportunity cost of capital and optimal vessel size in the norwegian fishing fleet we test for optimal vessel size in the norwegian fishing fleet using cross section data for the period 1969 73 with the prevailing interest rate defined as the opportunity cost of capital the conrad unger conditions for static optimality in vessel size are rejected for each year however using alternative values of the opportunity cost of capital existing vessel size is shown to be near optimal we conclude that individual transferable catch quotas could be introduced to regulate the fishery allowing for efficient harvesting but imposing minimal restrictions on vessel size

production risk risk aversion and the determination of risk attitudes among spanish rice producers agricultural production is subject to risk and the attitudes of producers toward risk will influence input choices insofar as these affect production risk risk attitudes in turn may be affected by certain socioeconomic characteristics of producers using 2004 survey data from a cross section of 130 spanish rice farms we estimate risk aversion coefficients of farmers and investigate the influence of a series of socioeconomic variables on their risk attitudes our results show that farmers exhibit risk averse behavior and that risk attitudes are related to a series of socioeconomic characteristics in particular the belief that the farm will continue after the producer retires is found to increase the degree of risk aversion while age is found to have nonlinear effects on risk aversion off farm income especially from nonagricultural activities is found to reduce risk aversion neither the educational level of the producer nor the presence of dependents on the household is found to have an effect on risk preferences regarding the production technology we find that land labor and fitosanitary products are risk reducing inputs whereas capital seeds and fertilizer all increase risk

input substitution economies of scale and productivity growth in the us upholstered furniture industry cost factor demand and productivity growth are considered in the upholstered furniture industry over 1958 87 factors are divided into labour capital and materials it is found that all inputs are substitutes in production although substitution elasticities are small factor demand is price inelastic for all inputs the industry operates around minimum average cost productivity growth is small but significant the results indicate that labour will continue to be important in the industry however regional comparative advantage is not related to labour alone the results suggest that policies to attract or retain the industry must consider the low degree of factor substitution

internalization and experience japanese banks international expansion 1980 1998 we use an interdisciplinary approach to investigate multinational banks foreign activities we bridge core concepts from the stages theory of internationalization to internalization theory to extend the literature on the defensive expansion hypothesis unlike the primarily aggregate levels of analysis employed in previous research on multinational banking we utilize a firm level analysis of the internationalization experiences of 21 japanese banks in the period 1980 1998 we find that banks undertake foreign direct investment to secure internalization benefits by following their existing clients and to achieve economies of scale in the application of their intangible assets in international markets the magnitude of these relationships however is contingent upon the level of a bank s experience in the host countries consistent with predictions from internationalization theory we find that the motivations for international expansion can change over time

the quantitative consequences of raising the u s saving rate the authors investigate the consequences of a permanent unphased increase in the u s gross saving rate they find that the sacrifice time the time that elapses until consumption surpasses the value it would have had under the initial saving rate is roughly six years and is insensitive to the percentage increase in the saving rate delta sub s the percentage gain in output at the end of decade the decade gain is roughly 26 of delta sub s while the percentage gain in consumption is roughly 8 of delta sub s the saving rate return the internal rate of return on a permanent increase in the saving rate is roughly 16 and is insensitive to delta sub s copyright 1991 by mit press

the competitive firm with uncertainty in the rate of labor turnover the adoption of more sophisticated production techniques usually requires firms to increase their expenditures on worker training and to pay greater attention to the costs of labor turnover economists are beginning to explicitly incorporate both training expenditures and the rate of labor turnover into the theory of the firm at the same time they are extending the theory of the firm to cases in which the firm faces uncertainty in its environment for example uncertainty in the price of output the prices of inputs or the quantity of output that a given input mix will yield this paper seeks to extend both of these areas of research by first introducing uncertainty in the rate of labor turnover and then examining the consequences of this new form of uncertainty for optimal training expenditures the optimal wage and the optimal level of output at the firm the paper assumes that the firm can increase output by providing workers with more training and can discourage turnover by paying workers a higher wage the quantities of labor and capital that the firm employs are held constant throughout the analysis it is found that the introduction of uncertainty in the rate of labor turnover results in lower optimal expenditures for both training and wages the reduction in training also reduces the level of output per worker at the firm comparative static analysis of ceteris paribus changes in the mean and variance of the labor turnover rate are also performed an increase in the mean of the turnover rate with the variance held constant reduces the wage and the amount of training provided also an increase in the variance of the turnover rate with the mean held constant reduces the wage and the amount of training provided a number of authors have considered models of the competitive firm in which the firm must determine its output level in the presence of uncertainty sandmo 13 batra and ullah 2 hartman 7 ishii 9 ingene and yu 8 flacco 5 and many others consider the behavior of the competitive firm facing uncertainty in its output price blair 3 ratti and ullah 12 stewart 15 perrakis 11 macminn and holtman 10 and many others consider cases in which the firm faces uncertainty in its technology or factor prices in all of these models it is assumed that the firm must make its input and output decisions before the uncertainty is resolved without ex

resource allocation with factor price differentials under price uncertainty the authors adapt the price uncertainty model to examine the implications of four types of marginal changes in price uncertainty changes in commodity price level the variance of price a proportional change in both the mean and the standard deviation of price and an equiproportionate change in the moments the analysis focuses on the effect of price uncertainty on sectoral capital labor ratios factor employment output levels factor rewards and expected profits the stability issue and its meaning for the determinant of the basic system is also discussed 11 references

a composite cost function for multiproduct firms with an application to economies of scope in banking the composite cost function the authors propose combines a quadratic output structure with a log quadratic input price structure and is well suited for examining economies of scope subadditivity and other important properties of multiproduct firms to compare the composite model with an appropriate set of alternative functional forms they develop a parsimonious but general specification that nests the standard translog cost function the generalized translog cost function a separable quadratic cost function and the composite cost function an application to economies of scope in banking confirms the advantages of the composite model copyright 1992 by mit press

a note on the location choice of multinational banks the case of japanese financial institutions abstract there are many studies investigating the location choice of foreign direct investment fdi of us banks nigh et al journal of international business studies 17 1986 59 72 find that the choice does not depend on local banking opportunity this paper examines what factors affect the location choice of japanese multinational financial institutions our results are consistent with previous studies analyzing us banks in that the fdi of the manufacturing industry is an important determinant of the location choice of japanese financial institutions however our results differ from nigh et al in that japanese financial institutions choose their locations at least partially based on the local banking opportunity in the host countries

an examination on the cost efficiency of the banking industry under multiple output prices uncertainty this article formulates a behavioural model of profit maximization which explicitly incorporates both multiple output prices risk and safety first practice this theoretical model is specifically suitable for investigating financial institutions whose output prices frequently encounter a variety of risks such as loan defaults arrears the sample banks are empirically found to be highly risk averse furthermore risk preferences exert little effect on the technical efficiency estimates whereas the same estimates obtained by the standard fixed effect model under certainty tend to be overestimated evidence is found that a specialized bank offering a single product with a larger scale of production will be preferable in an uncertain atmosphere

long run profit functions for multiproduct firms a long run specification of the multiproduct profit function is developed from the restricted profit function the multiproduct restricted profit function and the envelope condition are used to estimate the optimal long run levels of the quasi fixed factor formulas for long run marshallian elasticities of substitution and transformation economies of scope product specific and overall economies of scale and economic measures of capacity utilization are developed for the translog functional form the methodology is illustrated by a case study of the new england otter trawl industry

aggregation of price risk over commodities an economic index number approach this article extends the economic theory of index numbers to the aggregation of price risk over commodities in production superlative indexes of aggregate price risk are related to tornqvist and fisher type output quantity indexes an application to major crops in manitoba illustrates the empirical importance of the analysis

estimation of cost functions in a data poor environment the case of capacity estimation in fisheries fisheries economic analysis is often handicapped by the lack of adequate data to undertake robust econometric analyses in this study a translog cost function was required to estimate the potential direction of adjustment in a uk fleet segment if a new regulatory regime was introduced however the available data were not appropriate for such estimation data envelopment analysis dea was used to modify the data subsequently used in the estimation of the long run cost function the resulting model appears robust and is consistent with economic theory and the supporting evidence produced using dea

the effects of an increase in power rate on energy demand and output price in korean manufacturing sectors in korea price subsidies for industrial power are provided by the government in order to enhance industrial competitiveness and curb inflation however this repeatedly causes electricity shortages in the peak summer and winter seasons because of over consumption forcing a decline in the demand for electricity by raising power rates would thus help prevent a national blackout lowering dependence on foreign energy and reducing co2 emissions cost effectively this paper simulates the effects of a rise in power rate on demand for electricity and output price by estimating a restricted cost function in which the quantity of raw materials is set to its cost minimizing level jointly with an inverse supply relation for the top three electricity intensive manufacturing sectors the empirical results indicate that a 10 increase in electricity rate would result in 8 0 10 1 less demand across all three manufacturing sectors ceteris paribus the impact on output price is of little statistical significance in the basic metals sector while output price on average falls by 0 16 in the tv and communication equipment sector

capacity utilisation and profitability a decomposition of short run profit efficiency the principal aim of this paper is to measure the amount by which the profit of a multi input multi output firm deviates from maximum short run profit and then to decompose this profit gap into components that are of practical use to managers in particular our interest is in the measurement of the contribution of unused capacity along with measures of technical inefficiency and allocative inefficiency in this profit gap we survey existing definitions of capacity and after discussing their shortcomings we propose a new ray economic capacity measure that involves short run profit maximisation with the output mix held constant we go on to describe how the gap between observed profit and maximum profit can be calculated and decomposed using linear programming methods the paper concludes with an empirical illustration involving data on 28 international airline companies the empirical results indicate that these airline companies achieve profit levels which are on average us 815m below potential levels and that 70 of the gap may be attributed to unused capacity

measures of capacity utilization and its determinants a study of indian manufacturing we estimate capacity utilization cu rates in for selected industries in indian manufacturing for the 20 year period 1976 1996 we estimate a generalized leontief variable cost function with capital as a quasi fixed input to derive our cu measures using error component techniques we note substantial variations in cu both across industries and over time in general we find that cu rates were higher in the earlier time period dropped in the mid 80s and started rising again in the early 90s cu rates in our analysis are sensitive to input prices with the sole exception of the price of labor we also confirm the standard result that variations in demand are a significant driving force for variations in cu we find that cu is positively related to the magnitude of labor intensity in production this holds for both between industries and within industries empirical results also indicate that traditional measures of cu such as minimum capital output ratio and peak to peak are not appropriate proxies for

the extension of international credit by us banks a disaggregated analysis 1988 1994 abstract we use simultaneous equation estimation techniques to analyze decisions made by 35 us banks with respect to credit extended domestically and to credit extended within 16 foreign countries 1988 1994 our results indicate that foreign credit extension by us banks follows the commercial expansion of us businesses abroad and is greater in countries with expanding economies they are inconsistent with the notion that banks trade off credit activities undertaken domestically and abroad

on the theory of the competitive firm under uncertainty when initial wealth is random since sandmo s seminal paper on the theory of the competitive firm under output price uncertainty there has been considerable research on this topic 2 5 6 10 11 14 in all these studies it is assumed that in the absence of complete contingent markets output price risk is the only source of uncertainty for the firm however this may not be a realistic assumption in particular as argued by kihlstrom et al 7 it appears reasonable to consider the case where some of the initial wealth of the firm is held in risky assets in that case initial wealth is uncertain and should be modelled as a random variable the objective of this paper is to investigate the introduction of random initial wealth in sandmo s theory of the firm under price uncertainty in sandmo s model a number of important comparative static results e g the conditions under which the supply function is upward sloping 14 69 or under which increased price uncertainty reduces supply 5 depends critically on the sign of a particular expression stated in lemma 2 in ishii 5 while sandmo 14 69 shows this expression is non negative under arrow pratt decreasing absolute risk aversion it can be verified that his proof no longer holds when initial wealth is random therefore the comparative static analysis conducted by sandmo 14 batra and ullah 2 and ishii 5 is no longer valid and gives ambiguous results under initial wealth uncertainty the reason is that the arrow pratt measures of risk aversion 1 12 are too weak for making comparisons in situations where there is more than one source of uncertainty 13 then what can be deduced from the theory of the competitive firm in the realistic case where both initial wealth and output price are uncertain we will show here that meaningful results on the behavior of the competitiv firm under uncertainty can be obtained provided that the arrow pratt measures of risk aversion 1 12 are replaced by the ross measures of risk aversion 13 in particular a comparative static analysis of the production decisions using ross characterization of risk behavior is presented a number of new results are derived on the properties of risk responsive supply and input demand functions under both price and initial wealth uncertainty

the determinants of us banking activity abroad abstract the banking industry provides an excellent example of the internationalization of world business and economic interdependencies across countries analysis of the past growth of international banking operations can also prove useful to banks interested in augmenting their current business or expanding their international coverage and to banks who anticipated future competition in their markets from new or strengthened foreign competitors this study provides the most comprehensive examination of the development of us bank branches in other countries is presented and tested in order to facilitate the understanding of the expansion of international banking

public regulation and the structure of production in multiproduct industries an application to the new england otter trawl industry this article considers the problem of managing multispecies fishing industries as one of regulating the production of individual multiproduct firms the multispecies new england otter trawl industry is examined within this framework empirical results derived from estimating a multiproduct profitfunction indicate that management consistent with the structures ofmultiproduct production and costs would directly regulate inputs little support is provided for applying the traditional bioeconomic model to the fishery studied

the lechatelier principle under production uncertainty under production uncertainty it is shown that the lechatelier principle holds for the derived demand of the ith factor if it is technically complementary competing with the riskincreasing risk reducing quasi fixed input and absolute risk aversion is decreasing in addition the lechatelier principle for the output supply function holds if the quasi fixed factor is an inferior normal and risk increasing risk reducing input and partial risk aversion is increasing

firm entry excess capacity and endogenous productivity abstract we show that sluggish firm entry causes productivity to vary endogenously in response to technology shocks the endogenous productivity effect is caused by incumbent firms utilizing excess capacity as entry adjusts we develop a nonparametric model of endogenous sunk costs and monopolistic competition to show that imperfect competition and dynamic entry are necessary and jointly sufficient conditions for endogenous productivity fluctuations quantitatively we show the endogenous productivity effect is as large as that from a traditional capital utilization effect

the determinants of u s banks international activities abstract this paper develops a model and structural dynamic estimation of bank behavior to map the relationship between u s banks choices of foreign banking activities and bank and foreign market traits this estimation framework is applied to a unique bank level dataset compiled from regulatory sources covering u s banks foreign activities in 83 host markets over the 2003 2013 period bank traits are better able to explain the evolving patterns of foreign banking than host market characteristics after controlling for these traits the post financial crisis period shows a structural shift away from cross border claims towards foreign affiliate activities structural estimates of foreign market entry costs and regulatory attitudes towards risk are derived simulation exercises confirm the strong impact of banks and regulators risk stance on bank profits and portfolio composition

decomposing capacity utilization in data envelopment analysis an application to banks in india abstract this paper briefly reviews the existing methods of capacity utilization in nonparametric framework from economic perspectives and then suggests an alternative in the light of limitations therein in the spirit of work by coelli et al coelli t j grifell tatje e perelman s 2002 capacity utilisation and profitability a decomposition of short run profit efficiency international journal of production economics 79 261 278 we propose two methods radial and non radial to decompose the input based physical technological capacity utilization into various meaningful components viz technical inefficiency ray economic capacity utilization and optimal capacity idleness a case study of indian banking industry is taken as an example to illustrate the potential application of these two methods of decomposition our two broad empirical findings are that first competition created after financial sector reforms generates high efficiency growth and reduces excess capacity second the cost gap of the short run cost from the actual cost is higher for the nationalized banks over the private banks indicating that the former banks though old do not reflect their learning experience in their cost minimizing behavior

cost structure and capacity in the norwegian pelagic fisheries the parameters of the short run cost function are estimated for three vessel types taking part in the norwegian pelagic fisheries purse seine vessels trawlers and coastal vessels the generalized translog functional form is used estimates of returns to scale are calculated and the results indicate that there are substantial economies of scale in all vessel classes it is further investigated whether excess capacity varies with vessel size and age the analysis suggests increased quotas per vessel to avoid rent dissipation with the total allowable catch given the number of participating vessels must be reduced

revenue based capacity utilisation measures and decomposition the case of danish north sea trawlers in fisheries capacity analysis has largely been limited to measuring physical capacity defined as the maximum amount of output that can be produced per unit of time given existing plant and equipment and unrestricted availability of variable inputs an economic measure of capacity can be defined as the maximum revenue attainable for the given fixed inputs using relevant outputs and output prices this paper examines these two approaches to capacity by applying data envelopment analysis to physical and economic input output data for danish north sea trawlers the economic and physical measures are compared and contrasted using correlation analysis an innovative analysis into the composition of possible revenue increments is also presented and reasons for economic inefficiency of vessels are identified

interpretation and measurement of capacity utilization the case of korean manufacturing this paper focuses attention on the conceptual difference between optimal ex ante and actual ex post capacity untilization cu the dynamic version of the efficient output approach to capacity untilization which this paper presents is theoretically superior to other alternative approaches our concept of optimal cu has been applied to estimate cu measures for korean manufacturing we fing that our measure of cu explains the trends and cycles in korean economy rather convincingly and that korean manufacturing has adjusted much more flexibly to market demand shocks than it has to exogenous changes in factor prices from the examination of the determinants of cu we find that while wages and material prices have positive effects on cu energy prices and capital stock have nagative effects the study also implies that overambitious government incentive policies to stimulate investment may have an adverse effect on capacity utilization

the influence of hymer s dissertation on the theory of foreign derect investment the great contribution of stephen hymer s seminal dissertation 1960 was to escape from the intellectual straightjacket of neoclassical type trade and financial theory and move us towards an analysis of the multinational enterprise mne based upon industrial organization theory the magnitude of this breakthrough can be put into perspective by considering the state of the art when hymer wrote twenty five years ago in 1960 the prevailing explanation of international capital movements relied exclusively upon a neoclassical financial theory of portfolio flows in this frictionless world of perfect competition with no transaction costs capital moves in response to changes in interest rate or profit differentials see carl iversen 1936 according to this arbitrage theory capital is assumed to be transacted between independent buyers and sellers that is there is no role for the mne at the time there was no separate theory of foreign direct investment fdi the work did not even ask the question of why is there fdi despite the evidence of sectoral cross investments and the existence of large mnes with intra industry trade if anything the early work on fdi focused upon the where of investment in a particular nation or industry for example dunning 1958 was chiefly interested in explaining u s fdi in britain there was little interest in understanding the reasons for the mne or the nature of its operations the pioneering conceptual insight of hymer was to break out of the arid mold of international trade and investment theory and focus attention upon the mne per se this permits us to treat fdi as a modality by which firms extend their territorial horizons abroad the unique feature of fdi is a mechanism by which the mne maintains control over productive activities outside its national boundaries that is fdi means international production in this view fdi is more than a process by which assets or claims are exchanged internationally see robert aliber 1970 1983 hymer s great insight was in focusing attention upon the mne as the institution for international production rather than international exchange until hymer articulated the process of fdi as an international extension of industrial organization theory it was not possible to understand why the mne transfers intermediate products such as knowledge or technology among its units across different nations while still retaining property rights over such assets today it is widely recognized that the theory of fdi i e international production is primarily about the transfer of nonfinancial and ownershipspecific intangible assets by the mne which needs to appropriate and control the rate of use of its internalized advantage s see rugman 1981 david teece 1981 1982 richard caves 1982 and mark casson 1983 in this paper we first acknowledge hymer s contribution to the theory of fdi and then move on to reinterpret his dissertation in the light of the modern theory of the mne we tdiscussants raymond vernon harvard university robert z aliber university of chicago paul streeten boston university

substitution possibilities for unpriced natural resources restricted cost functions for the canadian metal mining industry a bstract the effects of resource depletion on economic growth depend critically on the elasticities of substitution between non renewable natural resources and reproducible inputs estimation of the elasticities of substitution for natural resources has been hindered by the absence of data on their prices which results from the prevalence of vertical integration in natural resource industries in this paper we use the theory of restricted cost functions to develop a general procedure for estimating substitution possibilities for unpriced inputs estimation of the model with data for the canadian metal mining industry indicates that the elasticities of substitution for the natural resource metallic ore are equal to unity

concentration and other determinants of bank profitability in europe north america and australia abstract this study reviews the performance of banks in twelve countries or territories in europe north america and australia and examines the internal and external determination of profitability to circumvent some of the difficulties in making comparisons between banks in different countries the concept of value added is introduced results parallel those in domestic u s studies and provide some support for the edwards heggestad mingo hypothesis of risk avoidance by banks with a high degree of market power

constant returns to scale and competitive equilibrium under uncertainty abstract this paper considers the implications of the assumption of constant returns to scale in expected utility maximizing models of the competitive firm or industry in which markets for risk are absent under widely used assumptions about risk preferences it is shown that with constant returns to scale average profits are more than necessary to cover the implicit costs of risk bearing when the free entry of identical firms is possible this assumption about technology is shown to be incompatible with the assumption that entrepreneurs are risk averse

interrelated factor demands for manufacturing a dynamic translog cost function approach abstract in this paper we report the results of estimating a joint model for labour capital and energy using the transcendental logarithmic cost function of christensen jorgenson and lau 1973 this allows us to determine both the own price and cross elasticities of substitution between labour capital and energy we combine a model of factor shares with a dynamic adjustment process for each factor we also impose on the cross equation restrictions necessary to provide additivity homogeneity and symmetry since the covariance matrix in systems of share relationships is singular we follow the suggestions of anderson and blundell 1982 and employ a mullivariate error corrrection model the results suggest that additivity symmetry and homogeneity restrictions do hold and that there are short run increasing returns to scale

the globalization of service multinationals in the triad regions japan western europe and north america in this study we empirically investigate the determinants of foreign direct investment of service multinationals based in the triad regions japan western europe and north america foreign investment decisions of 168 of the largest service firms in nine service industries over the period 1976 1986 are analyzed and hypotheses that are developed based on findings of manufacturing fdi and studies of single service industries are tested using a logistic regression model the applicability of the mne fdi theories to service mnes is tested empirically over a broad range of mne home countries and service industries differences in the international behavior of service mnes based in different countries are uncovered and analyzed

competitive production and increases in risk the theory of the firm is a monumental achievement of neoclassical economics without this engine of analysis it would be difficult if not impossible to comprehend the pricing output and input decisions of firms as they respond to routine events like the imposition of a tax the opening of a new market a technical innovation and a sudden shortage of a key factor of production it is remarkable that this theory has been successful in explaining behavior that to a large extent is motivated by both profit and risk when the theory itself has only explicitly considered the profit motive this is not the place to dwell on the evolution of economic theory it suffices to note that there are many important economic phenomena that the purely deterministic theory does not explain the purpose of this note is to elucidate the way in which risk influences the output decisions of riskaverse entrepreneurs and the number of riskneutral firms in a competitive industry in both cases the predicted behavior differs from that of the deterministic theory in our study we shall restrict attention to the behavior of firms in a single period 2 setting the firm has no control over price and because storage makes no sense simply sells all of its output at the going price the source of uncertainty is the requirement that the firm produce before price is known where the price is a random variable with a known probability distribution the firm chooses output to maximize its expected utility it is well known that in the presence of uncertainty the optimal output of the risk averse firm is less than that of the riskneutral firm moreover increases in risk aversion in the sense of arrow and john pratt lead to further diminutions in output on the other hand for a fixed degree of risk aversion the change in output induced by a mean preserving increase in risk depends on the shape of the cost curve as well as the sign of the third derivative of the utility function u and the sign of the second derivative of qu q next competitive industry behavior under uncertainty is analyzed in order to isolate the effect of uncertainty firms are assumed to be risk neutral we show that both the optimal number of firms in the industry and excess capacity increase as industry output becomes riskier results like this are important for probabilistic economics for it would be unfortunate if the vitality of the stochastic theory of the firm relied solely on the controversial assumption of risk aversion 3

capacity utilization and its determinants for a container shipping line theory and evidence under utilization of fleet capacity appears to be a long lasting issue in the container shipping industry also there are some difficulties unsolved while measuring the ratio of capacity utilization cu of a container shipping line from the perspective of an engineering approach the slots capacity installed is the most popular way to represent the capacity output since the slots capacity installed lacks theoretical support this study adopts an economics model to find the capacity output of a shipping line further the derived cu ratio identifies the realized utilization of fleet capacity for a shipping line focused on the three largest container shipping lines in taiwan this article shows that their fleet capacity are totally under utilized and the movement patterns of cu ratios are approximately identical in addition the variations of cu ratios also suggest that the enactment of ocean shipping reform act has contributed a positive effect on the capacity utilization of a container shipping line