balancing terrorism and natural disasters defensive strategy with endogenous attacker effort in this paper we apply game theory to identify equilibrium strategies for both attacker and defender in a fully endogenous model of resource allocation for countering terrorism and natural disasters the key features of our model include balancing protection from terrorism and natural disasters and describing the attacker choice by a continuous level of effort rather than a discrete choice i e attack or not interestingly in a sequential game increased defensive investment can lead an attacker to either increase his level of effort to help compensate for the reduced probability of damage from an attack or decrease his level of effort because attacking has become less profitable this can either reduce or increase the effectiveness of investments in protection from intentional attack and can therefore affect the relative desirability of investing in protection from natural disasters

how can market mechanisms for forest environmental services help the poor preliminary lessons from latin america summary market mechanisms for forest environmental services are a new approach for conservation but there is also an increasing interest in the derived developmental benefits of these mechanisms we first propose a conceptual framework for future research on the livelihood impacts of environmental service markets we then review eight latin american case studies on carbon sequestration and watershed protection market initiatives finding positive local income effects in most cases more land tenure security and socioinstitutional strengthening in some cases but some negative effects also we recommend pro poor policy measures such as reducing smallholders transaction costs and removing inappropriate access restrictions

is biodiversity friendly coffee financially viable an analysis of five different coffee production systems in western el salvador abstract the current trend for reducing shade cover in coffee plantations in northern latin america has prompted concern among conservationists because of its potential implications for the loss of biodiversity to help reverse such a trend a project has been launched to promote biodiversity friendly cultural practices in coffee plantations and the marketing of certified biodiversity friendly coffee this paper examines the financial feasibility of investing in the certification criteria for a biodiversity friendly coffee in farms with different production systems in western el salvador models were developed to estimate net present values and risks associated with the investment for five hypothetical but typical coffee farms 1 traditional polyculture 2 commercial polyculture 3 technified shade less than 1200 m elevation 4 technified shade greater than 1200 m elevation and 5 unshaded monoculture to invest in the biodiversity friendly certification criteria was financially viable in all farms the unshaded monoculture farm type was the most profitable case and the farm under traditional polyculture was the only risk free capital requirements for the investment are low though they increase as shade cover in the farm becomes reduced small cash poor farmers will need assistance to make the up front expenditures required to have the farm certified incentives for certified biodiversity friendly coffee plantations such as tax relief payment for environmental services and soft credits could help make the investment more attractive

on the value of exposure and secrecy of defense system first mover advantage vs robustness abstract it is commonly accepted in the literature that when facing with a strategic terrorist the government can be better off by manipulating the terrorist s target selection with exposing her defense levels and thus moving first however the impact of terrorist s private information may significantly affect such government s first mover advantage which has not been extensively studied in the literature to explore the impact of asymmetry in terrorist s attributes between government and terrorist on defense equilibrium we propose a model in which the government chooses between disclosure sequential game and secrecy simultaneous game of her defense system our analysis shows that the government s first mover advantage in a sequential game is considerable only when both government and terrorist share relatively similar valuation of targets in contrast we interestingly find that the government no longer benefits from the first mover advantage by exposing her defense levels when the degree of divergence between government and terrorist valuation of targets is high this is due to the robustness of defense system under secrecy in the sense that all targets should be defended in equilibrium irrespective of how the terrorist valuation of targets is different to government we identify two phenomena that lead to this result first when the terrorist holds a significantly higher valuation of targets than the government s belief the government may waste her budget in a sequential game by over investing on the high valued targets second when the terrorist holds a significantly lower valuation of targets the government may incur a higher expected damage in a sequential game because of not defending the low valued targets finally we believe that this paper provides some novel insights to homeland security resource allocation problems

the taking of land when should compensation be paid the analysis focuses on the question of whether the payment of compensation for land taken by eminent domain is efficient when the taking decision is independent of land use zero compensation is efficient but full compensation is not when the project decision is no longer independent of land use and can be affected by investor decisions neither compensation rule is generally efficient because of the moral hazard problem with risk averse consumers and risk neutral firms the previous conclusions remain essentially unchanged however when the project decision rule involves a budgetary fiscal illusion additional compensation may be necessary to correct the incentives facing the project decision maker

economic factors in farmer adoption of agroforestry patterns observed in western kenya abstract a study of agroforestry adoption by 3 000 project participants in siaya and south nyanza districts in kenya supports three hypotheses 1 1 historical increases in tree domestication and management intensity are responses to declining supply of uncultivated tree resources increased subsistence and commercial demand for tree products and perceived risks of ecological degradation adoption of agroforestry is most likely where consistent with economic incentives for land use change 2 2 high variability in individual farmers tree growing strategies reflects differences in resources and livelihood strategies and household level returns to agroforestry relative to alternative options for meeting specific objectives 3 3 farmers reduce risks associated with new agroforestry practices through incremental adoption and adaptation and cost and risk reducing modifications in technology design

can financial incentives change farmers motivations an agrarian system approach to development pathways at the nicaraguan agricultural frontier abstract this article offers a conceptual methodological approach to assess how new institutional frameworks such as pes payments for ecosystem services interact with motivations for land use change at the individual and collective level increasing empirical evidence suggests that the effects of payments on inducing long term behavioural change can vary substantially depending on how they are integrated in territorial dynamics we show how individual motivation is the result of collective societal pathways that generate particular opportunities and constraints as well as guiding ideas and habits that work within these pathways through an illustrative case study at the agricultural frontier in nicaragua we show how an agrarian system approach offers a more nuanced understanding of the dynamic interactions on the ground and allows us to better connect farmers individual motivations to collective development pathways in that territory our case study also demonstrates how a local pes intervention is unlikely to lastingly alter the production system logic of farmers or stimulate long term pro environmental behaviour unless accompanied by other types of policies

modeling secrecy and deception in a multiple period attacker defender signaling game abstract in this paper we apply game theory to model strategies of secrecy and deception in a multiple period attacker defender resource allocation and signaling game with incomplete information at each period we allow one of the three possible types of defender signals truthful disclosure secrecy and deception we also allow two types of information updating the attacker updates his knowledge about the defender type after observing the defender s signals and also after observing the result of a contest if one occurs in any given time period our multiple period model provides insights into the balance between capital and expense for defensive investments and the effects of defender private information such as defense effectiveness target valuations and costs and also shows that defenders can achieve more cost effective security through secrecy and deception possibly lasting more than one period in a multiple period game this paper helps to fill a significant gap in the literature in particular to our knowledge no past work has studied defender secrecy and deception in a multiple period game moreover we believe that the solution approach developed and applied in this paper would prove useful in other types of multiple period games

multi objective stackelberg game model for water supply networks against interdictions with incomplete information abstract water supply networks are infrastructures pivotal to economic development and living standards of which the increasing complexity and interdependencies have brought challenges for the protection and enhancement of water supplies we address the problem on how to defend water supply networks with hydraulic characteristics against an interdictor by building a multi objective stackelberg game model with incomplete information in this model the defender and the interdictor both considered as rational players choose a subset of network components to defend or interdict based on their payoffs the defender with incomplete information on the interdictor s efforts initiates to trade off the two objectives of maximizing the expected network satisfaction rate and of minimizing defense efforts whereas the interdictor with no information on network operational capacity follows to trade off the objectives of minimizing the expected network efficiency and of minimizing interdiction efforts the algorithm of determining the final optimal defense strategies is presented which consists of three steps 1 develop the strategy sets by the assessments of network vulnerability and resilience 2 analyze the equilibrium through a nested heuristic genetic algorithm and 3 determine the final optimal defense strategy based on the minimax regret approach a case study of d town water supply network demonstrates the practical significance of the proposed approach furthermore the impacts of the incomplete information are analyzed to provide suggestions on the defense strategy making

agricultural policy market barriers and deforestation the case of mexico s southern yucatan summary this paper examines the linkages between agricultural policies and deforestation in a development frontier of southern mexico focusing on support programs targeted at buffering farmers from structural reforms we argue that local barriers to market participation condition the responsiveness of farmers to program incentives thereby constituting a key channel through which agricultural policies impact the environment an econometric model parameterizes the influence of two programs procampo and alianza para el campo on cultivation consistent with an economic environment characterized by market barriers results suggest that program support even when decoupled from production decisions significantly determines land use and deforestation

victimization rent seeking and just compensation when should government compensate citizens for harm inflicted by public policy in practice all public policy is harmful to somebody even when it is beneficial to society as a whole the common view in the legal profession is that a fuzzy but serviceable line can be drawn between taking which should be compensated and the proper exercise of the policy power where no compensation is warranted recently this view has been challenged by some authors who argue that harm to victims of socially advantageous public policy should never be compensated and by others who argue that compensation is almost always warranted the latter would go so far as to proscribe all redistribution of income as a taking from the well to do this paper is a defense of the common view against both challenges the key to the problem is the distinction between unalterable risk and the risk of victimization of citizens by the government giving rise to rent seeking and a general disorganization of society

critical infrastructure protection using secrecy a discrete simultaneous game abstract in this research critical infrastructure protection against intentional attacks is modeled as a discrete simultaneous game between the protector and the attacker to model the situation that both players keep the information of their resource allocation secret we prove that keeping the information regarding protection strategies secret can obtain a better effect of critical infrastructure protection than truthfully disclosing it solving a game theoretic problem even in the case of two players has been known to be intractable to deal with this complexity after proving that pure strategy nash equilibrium solutions do not exist for the proposed simultaneous game a new approach is proposed to identify its mixed strategy nash equilibrium solution

payments for agrobiodiversity conservation services for sustained on farm utilization of plant and animal genetic resources abstract this paper discusses the potential application of payment for ecosystem services like schemes to tackle market failures associated with the public good characteristics of agrobiodiversity conservation services so called payments for agrobiodiversity conservation services pacs would increase the private benefits from utilizing local plant and animal genetic resources on farm through voluntary reward mechanisms so as to sustain their on farm conservation theoretical and applied insights about pacs are discussed and attention drawn to some of the challenges to be overcome in implementing pacs in particular these relate to the identification of potential buyers the complex institutional setting in which pacs might operate and the articulation of a meaningful conservation goal based on a safe minimum standard approach the latter is urgently needed so as to ensure that additional agrobiodiversity services are generated relative to a fixed pricing approach pacs schemes that seek to overcome information asymmetries through the use of conservation auctions may be associated with significant efficiency gains however potential trade offs between ecological effectiveness economic efficiency and social equity considerations need to be carefully evaluated

conflict and rent seeking success functions ratio vs difference models of relative success the rent seeking competitions studied by economists fall within a much broader category of conflict interactions that also includes military combats election campaigns industrial disputes lawsuits and sibling rivalries in the rent seeking literature each party s success pi which can be interpreted either as the probability of victory or as the proportion of the prize won has usually been taken to be a function of the ratio of the respective resource commitments alternatively however pi may instead be a function of the difference between the parties commitments to the contest the contest success function csf for the difference from is a logistic curve in which as is consistent with military experience increasing returns apply up to an inflection point at equal resource commitments a crucial flaw of the traditional ratio model is that neither onesided submission nor two sided peace between the parties can ever occur as a cournot equilibrium in contrast both of these outcomes are entirely consistent with a model in which success is a function of the difference between the parties resource commitments

can payments for environmental services help reduce poverty an exploration of the issues and the evidence to date from latin america summary this paper examines the main ways in which payments for environmental services pes might affect poverty pes may reduce poverty mainly by making payments to poor natural resource managers in upper watersheds the extent of the impact depends on how many pes participants are in fact poor on the poors ability to participate and on the amounts paid although pes programs are not designed for poverty reduction there can be important synergies when program design is well thought out and local conditions are favorable possible adverse effects can occur where property rights are insecure or if pes programs encourage less labor intensive practices 2004 elsevier ltd all rights reserved

governance land and distribution a discussion on the political economy of community based conservation abstract the effectiveness of community based conservation cbc has been under discussion through the review of cbc initiatives in developing countries we contribute to the debate by analysing how players influence different factors that determine the outcomes of cbc we highlight several points first the promise of benefits has been overshadowed by constraints on the extraction of natural resources along with the use of governmental schemes to extract partially the rents from cbc which has left little to share inside the communities second cbc design and implementation has often overlooked the asymmetries of power within the community and at the individual level which has produced unequal access to the design decision making and outcomes of this activity third while the elites have had a determinant role in shaping the governance of cbc external agents promotion of cbc has tended to reproduce the existent negotiating power at the community local and national levels fourth land contestation plays a key role in the dynamics of relationship and conflict between the governments corporate interests and the communities finally cbc adaptation to new scenarios depends critically on the process of community empowerment and the building of networks with external agents

towards a unified scheme for environmental and social protection learning from pes and cct experiences in developing countries environmental protection and poverty alleviation in the developing world are usually heralded as joint objectives however these two goals are often associated with different sectoral policy instruments while so called payments for environmental services pes are increasingly being promoted for environmental protection poverty alleviation is increasingly addressed by conditional cash transfers cct program these instruments although aimed to achieve distinct objectives have a number of similarities and challenges in their design and implementation phases this paper elaborates on these similarities and develops a unifying generic framework that is used to discuss the extent to which both approaches could be unified

the design of rent seeking competitions committees preliminary and final contests the paper examines the common practice in multi contest rent seeking competitions where finalists are selected based on rent seekers efforts in a preliminary contest we find that for any single contest design rent seeking expenditures could be reduced by introducing a preliminary contest if the marginal returns to rent seeking effort in the preliminary contest is sufficiently low in addition to other reasons the paper argues that this may explain why such multi contest designs are common we argue that rent seeking expenditure in the preliminary stage represents the cost of reducing the number of contestants we also find that the practice of setting a higher quality standard in the final contest than the quality standard in the preliminary contest reduces rent seeking waste we derive an expression for the optimal number of finalists under certain conditions we find that the optimal number of finalists is directly proportional or equal to the square root of the number of potential contestants finally we show that whether rent seeking expenditures rise or fall when the rent is awarded by a committee instead of a single administrator depends on the sensitivity of the committee relative to that of the single administrator

a dynamic approach to pes pricing and finance for interlinked ecosystem services watershed conservation and groundwater management a theory of payment for ecosystem services pes pricing consistent with dynamic efficiency and sustainable income requires optimized shadow prices since ecosystem services are generally interdependent this requires joint optimization across multiple resource stocks we develop such a theory in the context of watershed conservation and groundwater extraction the optimal program can be implemented with a decentralized system of ecosystem payments to private watershed landowners financed by efficiency prices of groundwater set by a public utility the theory is extended to cases where land is publicly owned conservation instruments exhibit non convexities on private land or the size of a conservation project is exogenous in these cases conservation investment can be financed from benefit taxation of groundwater consumers while volumetric conservation surcharges induce inefficient water use a dynamic lump sum tax finances investment without distorting incentives since the optimal level of conservation is generated as long as payments are correct at the margin any surplus can be returned to consumers through appropriate block pricing the present value gain in consumer surplus generated by the conservation induced reduction in groundwater scarcity serves as a lower bound to the benefits of conservation without explicit measurement of other benefits such as recreation biodiversity and cultural values

geographical targeting for poverty alleviation an introduction to the special issue in the face of rising public deficits and shrinking public resources geographical targeting may be a viable way to allocate resources for poverty alleviation in developing countries efficiency can be increased and leakage to the non poor reduced substantially by targeting increasingly smaller areas this article and more generally the symposium on geographical targeting for poverty alleviation proposes several techniques for augmenting data to produce more detailed poverty maps it focuses on practical considerations in the design of geographically targeted poverty alleviation programs in particular it assesses the advantages and disadvantages of geographical targeting and describes how geographic information systems can be applied to improve poverty mapping

how accurate is food for work self targeting in the presence of imperfect factor markets evidence from ethiopia effective targeting of transfers is a key issue in public policy to combat poverty much faith is presently placed in self targeting mechanisms such as public employment schemes supported by food for work transfers where targeting errors have been observed these are usually attributed to mismanagement of key operational details such as the project s wage rate using a unique data set from rural ethiopia we demonstrate that targeting errors may also have structural causes in some low income countries we hypothesise that imperfect factor markets generate a predictable dispersion across households in reservation wage rates that breaks down the unconditionally positive relation between income and shadow wages on which the theory of self targeting public employment programmes rests our results confirm that the inaccuracy of ffw targeting stems from the fact that in rural ethiopia higher income households are endowed with more labour per unit of land or animal due to poor factor markets in land and liv

ecosystem services concepts and approaches in conservation just a rhetorical tool many commentators have raised questions about the recent focus on ecosystem services es concepts in conservation but little empirical analysis exists we present a novel empirical analysis using interviews and q methodology to examine how conservation practitioners and organisations are interpreting and using es concepts and associated approaches we find that these concepts are being adopted for instrumental imperatives to broaden constituencies and with an expectation of extending funding sources we uncover concerns within conservation that the utilitarian emphases of es concepts may compromise the ability to make non utilitarian arguments for nature in the future in relation to changing practice we examine shifts in partnerships and funding where es ideas provide a shared language about flows of value apparently accelerating the integration of conservation and the private sector whilst many respondents noted the significance of shifts related to es ideas some attempted to play these down presenting their organisation s adoption of these ideas as just a rhetorical tool however we argue that the adoption of es concepts cannot be presented as solely rhetorical given that these increasingly underpin and inform planning tools and policy instruments

globalization forest resurgence and environmental politics in el salvador summary globalization is often viewed as a driver of deforestation but there are contexts where it promotes forest recovery this is the case in el salvador in spite of population densities in excess of 200 people per km2 the country which has been seen as a malthusian parable of population and ecological catastrophe is now increasingly wooded this reflects the impacts of globalization new flows of labor capital commodities and ideas which profoundly affected the rural economy as well as local processes such as civil war which constrained the agricultural frontier structural adjustment policies and agrarian reform

reconciling theory and practice an alternative conceptual framework for understanding payments for environmental services article i nfo this article provides an alternative and novel theoretical approach to the conceptualization and analysis of payments for environmental services pes we devote special emphasis to institutional and political economy issues which have been somewhat neglected in the literature on pes we argue that the coasean and pure market approach dominating the conceptualization of pes in the literature cannot be easily generalized and implemented in practice by contrast taking into account complexities related to uncertainty distributional issues social embeddedness and power relations permits acknowledging the variety of contexts and institutional settings in which pes operate the alternative approach presented in this introductory article to the special section may be more appealing to pes practitioners since while avoiding restrictive and prescriptive standpoints it allows some key sources of complexities they usually deal with on the ground to be more easily understood

reprint of ecosystem services concepts and approaches in conservation just a rhetorical tool abstract many commentators have raised questions about the recent focus on ecosystem services es concepts in conservation but little empirical analysis exists we present a novel empirical analysis using interviews and q methodology to examine how conservation practitioners and organisations are interpreting and using es concepts and associated approaches we find that these concepts are being adopted for instrumental imperatives to broaden constituencies and with an expectation of extending funding sources we uncover concerns within conservation that the utilitarian emphases of es concepts may compromise the ability to make non utilitarian arguments for nature in the future in relation to changing practice we examine shifts in partnerships and funding where es ideas provide a shared language about flows of value apparently accelerating the integration of conservation and the private sector whilst many respondents noted the significance of shifts related to es ideas some attempted to play these down presenting their organisation s adoption of these ideas as just a rhetorical tool however we argue that the adoption of es concepts cannot be presented as solely rhetorical given that these increasingly underpin and inform planning tools and policy instruments