money and capital abstract the effects of money anticipated inflation on capital formation is a classic issue in macroeconomics previous papers adopt reduced form approaches putting money in the utility function or imposing cash in advance but using otherwise frictionless models we follow instead a literature that tries to be explicit about the frictions making money essential this introduces new elements including a two sector structure with centralized and decentralized markets stochastic trading opportunities and bargaining these elements matter quantitatively and numerical results differ from findings in the reduced form literature the analysis also reduces a gap between microfounded monetary economics and mainstream macro

scarce collateral the term premium and quantitative easing abstract a model of money credit and banking is constructed in which the differential pledgeability of collateral and the scarcity of collateralizable wealth lead to a term premium an upward sloping nominal yield curve purchases of long maturity government debt by the central bank are always a good idea but for unconventional reasons a floor system is preferred to a channel system as a floor system permits welfare improving asset purchases by the central bank

the distribution of money and prices in search equilibrium this article considers a search theoretic model of monetary exchange agents bargain over both the amount of money and the quantity of goods to be exchanged in bilateral meetings determining endogenously the distributions of money and of prices i show that money is neutral if changes in the money supply are accomplished via proportional transfers however within the class of lump sum transfers an increase of the rate of monetary expansion tends to decrease the dispersion of wealth and prices and to improve welfare when inflation is low but when inflation is high enough the opposite effects occur

putting the present value model into practice a comparison of two alternative approaches abstracta key issue around putting the present value model into practice is how to construct the unobserved future expectations of the fundamental variables related to an asset one approach is to fit a vector autoregression var for the fundamental variables and deduce their future expectations from the estimated var an alternative is to directly specify the future expectations as unobserved components uc and use the kalman filter to extract their estimates from the realized data this article examines whether the predictions of the present value model are consistent across the two approaches constructing the var and uc versions of the standard present value model we examine how the two versions compare in identifying the main driver of the us and uk housing markets for the uk the two approaches consistently attribute most variations in the price rent ratio to the expected future risk premium for housing investment for the us however the two approaches deliver considerably different results t

competitive search equilibrium in monetary economies abstract competitive search was recently introduced in monetary economics by rocheteau and wright money in search equilibrium in competitive equilibrium and in competitive search equilibrium econometrica 73 2005 175 203 we extend their work by eliminating the restriction that the fees market makers charge to enter a submarket must be either non negative or identical for buyers and sellers without this restriction buyers pay a positive fee to enter the submarket they visit and nothing else when they meet a seller sellers are remunerated by the market makers from the entry fees collected from the buyers this trading arrangement allows buyers to perfectly predict their expenses so the opportunity cost of holding idle money balances is eliminated

liquidity effects and the monetary transmission mechanism several recent papers provide strong empirical support for the view that an expansionary monetary policy disturbance generates a persistent decrease in interest rates and a persistent increase in output and employment existing quantitative general equilibrium models which allow for capital accumulation are inconsistent with this view there does exist a recently developed class of general equilibrium models which can rationalize the contemporaneous response of interest rates output and employment to a money supply shock however a key shortcoming of these models is that they cannot rationalize persistent liquidity effects this paper discusses the basic frictions and mechanisms underlying this new class of models and investigates one avenue for generating persistence we argue that once a simplified version of the model in christiano and eichenbaum 1991 is modified to allow for extremely small costs of adjusting sectoral flow of funds positive money shocks generate long lasting quantitatively significant liquidity effects as well as persistent increases in aggregate economic activity

money interest rates and exchange rates with endogenously segmented markets we analyze the effects of money injections on interest rates and exchange rates when agents must pay a baumol tobin style fixed cost to exchange bonds and money asset markets are endogenously segmented because this fixed cost leads agents to trade bonds and money infrequently when the government injects money through an open market operation only those agents that are currently trading absorb these injections through their impact on these agents consumption these money injections affect real interest rates and real exchange rates the model generates the observed negative relation between expected inflation and real interest rates as well as persistent liquidity effects in interest rates and volatile and persistent exchange rates

money credit and banking in monetary models where agents are subject to trading shocks there is typically an ex post inefficiency since some agents are holding idle balances while others are cash constrained this problem creates a role for financial intermediaries such as banks who accept nominal deposits and make nominal loans in general financial intermediation improves the allocation the gains in welfare come from the payment of interest on deposits and not from relaxing borrowers liquidity constraints we also demonstrate that when credit rationing occurs increasing the rate of inflation can be welfare improving

price and seller concentration in cement effective oligopoly or misspecified transportation cost abstract a positive correlation between price and seller concentration in cement markets disappears if a different proxy for transportation costs population density is included in the specification

bubbles and self enforcing debt we characterize equilibria with endogenous debt constraints for a general equilibrium economy with limited commitment in which the only consequence of default is losing the ability to borrow in future periods first we show that equilibrium debt limits must satisfy a simple condition that allows agents to exactly roll over existing debt period by period second we provide an equivalence result whereby the resulting set of equilibrium allocations with self enforcing private debt is equivalent to the allocations that are sustained with unbacked public debt or rational bubbles in contrast to the classic result by bulow and rogoff 1989a positive levels of debt are sustainable in our environment because the interest rate is sufficiently low to provide repayment incentives

the distribution of money balances and the nonneutrality of money recent monetary models with explicit microfoundations are made tractable by assuming that agents have access to centralized markets after one round of decentralized trade given quasi linear preferences this makes the distribution of money degenerate which keeps the models simple but precludes the discussion of distributional effects of monetary policy we generalize these models by assuming two rounds of trade before agents can readjust their money holdings to study a range of new distributional effects analytically we show that unexpected symmetric lump sum money injections may increase short run output and welfare whereas asymmetric injections may increase long run output and welfare

inflation output and welfare this paper studies the effects of anticipated inflation on aggregate output and welfare within a search theoretic framework we allow money holders to choose the intensities with which they search for trading partners so inflation affects the frequency of trade as well as the quantity of output produced in each trade we consider the standard pricing mechanism for search models i e ex post bargaining as well as a notion of competitive pricing if prices are bargained over the equilibrium is generically inefficient and an increase in inflation reduces buyers search intensities output and welfare if prices are posted and buyers can direct their search search intensities are increasing with inflation for low inflation rates and decreasing for high inflation rates the friedman rule achieves the first best allocation and inflation always reduces welfare even though it can have a positive effect on output for low inflation rates

some evidence in favor of a monetary rational expectations exchange rate model with imperfect capital substitutability the authors develop and test a monetary rational expectations model of the swiss u s exchange rate two salient features of the model are the assumption that domestic and foreign currency denominated assets are imperfect substitues and that purchasing power parity need not hold the authors fail to reject overidentifying restrictions imposed on the model by the rational expectations hypothesis their point estimates especially for the income elasticity of the demand for money are plausible finally the model outperforms the random walk model established as a benchmark by r a meese and k s rogoff 1983 copyright 1992 by economics department of the university of pennsylvania and the osaka university institute of social and economic research association

a divisible search model of fiat money this paper extends the kiyotaki wright search model of fiat money to allow for divisible money and goods the extension allows me to examine the standard issues in monetary economics such as the neutrality and superneutrality of money by severing the artificial link in the kiyotaki wright model between the money supply and the number of money holders it is shown that money is neutral but not superneutral money growth generates a trading opportunity effect it changes the fraction of different agents in the economy and hence changes the probability with which agents have a successful match in addition money growth has a negative effect on the real money balance that is familiar in walrasian monetary models the balance of the two effects can imply a positive optimal money growth rate

inside and outside money as alternative media of exchange we study a random matching model of money in which a subset of people called bankers have known histories and the rest called nonbankers have unknown histories earlier we showed that if there are no outside assets then an optimal arrangement has bankers issuing objects banknotes that are used in trades involving nonbankers here the same model is used to compare such exclusive use of inside money to the exclusive use of outside money we show that the set of implementable outcomes using outside money is a strict subset of the set using inside money

optimal pricing of payment services abstract payments are increasingly being made with payment cards despite the fact that the cost of clearing a card payment usually exceeds the cost of transferring cash we examine this puzzle through the lens of monetary theory we consider the design of an optimal card based payment system when cash is available as an alternative means of payment we find that a feature akin to the controversial no surcharge rule may be necessary to ensure the viability of the card payment system this rule states that merchants cannot charge a customer who pays by card more than a customer who pays by cash

whither monetary economics i argue that monetary economics should be pursued by applying implementation theory to models which contain explicit frictions that make money essential the argument has two parts first i argue that models in which real balances are assumed to be productive models with money in utility or production functions or with cash in advance constraints contain hidden inconsistencies second i argue that the approach advocated is capable of providing new insights about some of the main issues in monetary economics the effects of monetary shocks the welfare cost of inflation and the roles of inside and outside money

money in search equilibrium in competitive equilibrium and in competitive search equilibrium we compare three market structures for monetary economies bargaining search equilibrium price taking competitive equilibrium and price posting competitive search equilibrium we also extend work on the microfoundations of money by allowing a general matching technology and entry we study how equilibrium and the effects of policy depend on market structure under bargaining trade and entry are both inefficient and inflation implies first order welfare losses under price taking the friedman rule solves the first inefficiency but not the second and inflation may actually improve welfare under posting the friedman rule yields the first best and inflation implies second order welfare losses

money and price dispersion we relax restrictions on the storage technology in a prototypical monetary search model to study price dispersion in this case buyers and sellers enter matches with potentially different willingness to trade across the distribution of possible bilateral matches prices generally will differ even though agents have identical preferences and technologies we provide existence conditions for a particularly simple equilibrium pattern of exchange we prove that in the limiting case where search frictions are eliminated equilibrium prices are uniform we also show that a higher initial money stock can raise the average price level and increase price dispersion

the real bills doctrine versus the quantity theory a reconsideration two competing monetary policy prescriptions are analyzed within the context of overlapping generations models the real bills prescription is for unfettered private intermediation or central bank operations designed to produce the effects of such intermediation the quantity theory prescription in contrast is for restrictions on private intermediation designed to separate money from credit although our models are consistent with quantity theory predictions about money supply and price level behavior under these two policy prescriptions the models imply that the quantity theory prescription is not pareto optimal and the real bills prescription is

money as a mechanism in a bewley economy we study what features an economic environment might possess such that it would be pareto ecient for the exchange of goods in that environment to be conducted on spot markets where those goods trade for money we prove a conjecture that is essentially due to bewley 1980 1983 the gist is that monetary spot trading is nearly ecient ex ante in an environment where very patient agents can accumulate large enough money stocks to be completely self insured we also study examples where a nonmonetary mechanism is preferred ex ante to any monetary mechanism at least when the comparison is restricted to stationary equilibria and where an inflationary monetary mechanism is preferred ex ante to a laissez faire or deflationary monetary mechanism in an environment with impatient agents j e l classification e31 e42

liquidity loanable funds and real activity abstract this paper develops a general equilibrium model of two traditional explanations of the monetary black box linking money and real activity the liquidity effect and the loanable funds effect these effects are modeled with a monetary production economy in which central bank injections of cash are funnelled into the economy through the credit market since only borrowers have direct access to the newly injected cash monetary injections cause nominal interest rates to fall if firms are borrowers then monetary injections also increase current and future real activity

optimal fiscal and monetary policy in an economy without capital abstract this paper is concerned with the structure and time consistency of optimal fiscal and monetary policy in an economy without capital in a dynamic context optimal taxation means distributing tax distortions over time in a welfare maximizing way for a barter economy our main finding is that with debt commitments of sufficiently rich maturity structure an optimal policy if one exists is time consistent in a monetary economy the idea of optimal taxation must be broadened to include an inflation tax and we find that time consistency does not carry over an optimal inflation tax requires commitment by rules in a sense that has no counterpart in the dynamic theory of ordinary excise taxes the reason time consistency fails in a monetary economy is that nominal assets should from a welfare maximizing point of view always be taxed away via an immediate inflation in a kind of capital levy this emerges as a new possibility when money is introduced into an economy without capital

money and dynamic credit arrangements with private information abstract we construct a model with private information in which consumers write dynamic contracts with financial intermediaries a role for money arises due to random limited participation of consumers in the financial market without defection constraints a friedman rule is optimal the mean and variability of wealth tend to fall with inflation in the steady state and the welfare effects of inflation are very small with defection constraints the effects of inflation on the distribution of welfare and consumption are large but the effect on average welfare is still small the relaxation of defection constraints resulting from higher inflation can cause a substantial increase in the real interest rate journal of economic literature classification numbers d8 e4 g2

comment on search money and capital a neoclassical dichotomy by s borag uan aruoba and randall wright before giving my general comments on the paper i think that it would be useful to describe the evolution of monetary search models for those who have not followed recent developments in the literature in this way one has a better sense of the contribution made by aruoba and wright 2003 this issue of jmcb most people are familiar with the basic monetary search model developed by kiyotaki and wright 1989 1993 and for many this may be the extent of their knowledge of money search models in this first generation of models goods and money are indivisible and agents can only hold one unit of goods or money the key contribution of the models was to carefully describe the decentralized trading environment that gives rise to a double coincidence of wants problem and to endogenize the decision to accept money as payment for goods and services in all search models assumptions regarding anonymity of trading histories and imperfect record keeping mean that credit is not feasible thus money is essential for trade i e better allocations can be achieved through the use of money than without it while analyzing the decision to accept money as a medium of exchange does not hinge on indivisibilities or inventory restrictions other questions such as how

anticipated inflation and the capital stock in a cash in advance economy abstract an economy is constructed in which the steady state capital stock is inversely related to the rate of inflation as a result that is directly opposite the usual conclusion

a unified framework for monetary theory and policy analysis search theoretic models of monetary exchange are based on explicit descriptions of the frictions that make money essential however tractable versions of these models typically make strong assumptions that render them ill suited for monetary policy analysis we propose a new framework based on explicit micro foundations within which macro policy can be studied the framework is analytically tractable and easily quantifiable we calibrate the model to standard observations and use it to measure the cost of inflation we find that going from 10 percent to 0 percent inflation is worth between 3 and 5 percent of consumption much higher than previous estimates

the adjustment of prices to monetary shocks when trade is uncertain and sequential trade is both uncertain and sequential money surprises are not neutral because prices at the beginning of the trading process cannot depend on its end in contrast with fixed price models in this paper sellers can change prices during trade in contrast with lucas s article here there is no asymmetry in the information about the money supply the price quoted by individual sellers may adjust slowly to changes in the targeted money supply but the distribution of quoted prices adjusts perfectly to these changes and the real price distribution is independent of the anticipated rate of change in the money supply

interest rates exchange rates and present value models of the current account this paper develops a testable intertemporal model of the current account that allows for variable interest rates and exchange rates these additional variables are channels through which external shocks may influence the domestic current account the restrictions from the theoretical model are subjected to present value tests using quarterly data from three small open economies the paper finds that including the interest rate and exchange rate improves the fit of the intertemporal model over what was found in previous studies the model predictions better replicate the volatility of current account data and better explain historical episodes of current account imbalance

incomplete record keeping and optimal payment arrangements abstract we study a random matching absence of double coincidence environment in which people cannot precommit and in which there are two imperfect ways to keep track of what other people have done in the past money and a public record of all past actions that is updated with an average lag we study how the magnitude of that lag affects the allocations that are optimal from among allocations that are stationary and feasible and that satisfy incentive constraints which arise from the absence of commitment and the imperfect ways of keeping track of what others have done in the past journal of economic literature classification numbers e40 c73 d82

classifying monetary economics fields and methods from past to future we propose a simple yet sufficiently encompassing classification scheme of monetary economics it comprises three fundamental fields and six recent areas that expand within and across these fields the elements of our scheme are not found together and in their mutual relationships in earlier studies of the relevant literature neither is this an attempt to produce a relatively complete systematization our intention in taking stock is not finality or exhaustiveness we rather suggest a viewpoint and a possible ordering of the accumulating knowledge our hope is to stimulate an improved understanding of the evolving nature and internal consistency of monetary economics at large

credit and money in a search model with divisible commodities this paper examines the competition between money and credit in a search model with divisible commodities it is shown that fiat money can be valuable even though it yields a lower rate of return than the coexisting credit the competition between money and credit increases efficiency the monetary equilibrium with credit pareto dominates the monetary equilibrium without credit whenever the two coexist when a credit is repaid with money the competition also bounds the purchasing power of money from below by that of credit and so eliminates the weak inefficient monetary equilibrium found in previous search models with numerical examples three different monetary equilibria are ranked and the properties of the interest rate are examined

sticky prices and costly credit we develop a theory of money and credit as competing payment instruments then put it to work in applications agents use cash and credit because the former latter is subject to the inflation tax transaction costs frictions that make the choice of payment method interesting also imply equilibrium price dispersion we derive closed form solutions for money demand and show how to simultaneously account for the price change facts cash credit shares in micro data and money interest correlations in macro data the effects of inflation on welfare price dispersion and markups are discussed as are nonstationary equilibria with dynamics in the price distribution

money is memory abstract this paper examines the sets of feasible allocations in a large class of economic environments in which commitment is impossible following myerson 8 the standard definition of feasibility is adapted to take account of the lack of commitment the environments feature either memory or money memory is defined as knowledge on the part of an agent of the full histories of all agents with whom he has had direct or indirect contact in the past money is defined as an object that does not enter utility or production functions and is available in fixed supply the main proposition is that any allocation that is feasible in an environment with money is also feasible in the same environment with memory depending on the environment the converse may or may not be true hence from a technological point of view money is equivalent to a primitive form of memory journal of economic literature classification numbers e40 c73 d82

friedman meets hosios efficiency in search models of money this article studies optimal monetary policy in an economy with endogenous search decisions we show that the same frictions that give fiat money a positive value generate an inefficient quantity of goods in each trade and an inefficient number of trades the friedman rule eliminates the first inefficiency and the hosios rule the second a monetary equilibrium attains the social optimum if and only if both rules are satisfied when they cannot be satisfied simultaneously optimal monetary policy achieves only the second best we analyse the conditions under which the second best monetary policy exceeds the friedman rule

the contribution of economic fundamentals to movements in exchange rates starting from the asset pricing approach of engel and west we examine the degree to which fundamentals can explain exchange rate fluctuations we show that it is not possible to obtain sharp inferences about the relative contribution of fundamentals using only data on observed monetary fundamentals money minus output differentials across countries and exchange rates we use additional data on interest rate and price differentials along with the implications of the monetary model of exchange rates to decompose exchange rate fluctuations in general we find that money demand shifts along with observed monetary fundamentals are an important contributor to exchange rate fluctuations

optimal monetary policy distribution efficiency versus production efficiency this paper investigates the trade off between distribution effect and production effect of monetary policy when there exist unobservable idiosyncratic liquidity shocks in the absence of risk sharing arrangements such as a credit market monetary policy serves to provide ex post insurance to smooth consumption specifically issuing interest bearing bonds restores credit transactions on money through bond money exchanges such a policy has a positive distribution effect but the resulting inflation hampers production efficiency it is demonstrated that the trade off between distribution efficiency gain and production efficiency loss would result in net welfare enhancement if consumers are relative risk averse enough politique monetaire optimale efficacite dans la distribution versus efficacite dans la production ce memoire examine la relation d equivalence entre l effet sur la distribution et l effet sur la production de la politique monetaire quand existent des chocs de liquidite idiosyncratiques non observables en l absence d arrangement pour le partage des risques tel qu un marche du credit la politique monetaire sert d assurance ex post pour lisser les variations dans les niveaux de consommation specifiquement emettre des obligations qui paient des interets restore les transactions monetaires de credit via les echanges obligations monnaie une telle politique a un effet positif sur la distribution mais l inflation qui en resulte nuit a l efficacite de la production on montre que la relation d equivalence entre les gains d efficacite dans la distribution et la perte d efficacite dans la production resultent en une amelioration du niveau net de bien etre si les consommateurs ont une aversion suffisamment grande au risque relatif

monetary policy and efficiency in over the counter financial trade we develop a monetary model that incorporates over the counter otc asset trade after agents have made their money holding decisions they receive an idiosyncratic shock that affects their valuation for consumption and hence for the unique liquid asset namely money subsequently agents can choose whether they want to enter the otc market in order to sell assets and thus boost their liquidity or to buy assets and thus provide liquidity to other agents a unique feature of our model is that inflation affects welfare not only through the traditional channel i e through determining equilibrium real balances but also through influencing agents entry decisions in the financial market we use our framework to study the effect of inflation on welfare asset prices and otc trade volume in contrast to most monetary models which predict a negative relationship between inflation and welfare we find that inflation can be welfare improving within a certain range because it mitigates a search externality that agents impose on one another when they make their otc market entry decision

debt constrained asset markets we develop a theory of general equilibrium with endogenous debt limits in the form of individual rationality constraints similar to those in the dynamic consistency literature if an agent defaults on a contract he can be excluded from future contingent claims markets trading and can have his assets seized he cannot be excluded from spot markets trading however and he has some private endowments that cannot be seized all information is publicly held and common knowledge and there is a complete set of contingent claims markets since there is complete information an agent cannot enter into a contract in which he would have an incentive to default in some state in general there is only partial insurance variations in consumption may be imperfectly correlated across agents interest rates may be lower than they would be without constraints and equilibria may be pareto ranked

asset trading mechanisms and expansionary policy abstract previous authors have argued that the otimal monetary policy is contractionary if buyers value consumption substantially more than sellers there is some randomness and informational constraints make asset trading useful we show that there is an incentive compatible expansionary policy that dominates all incentive compatible contractionary policies

on the distribution of money holdings in a random matching model this article studies stationary and nonstationary distributions of money holdings in a random matching model the first part characterizes the stationary distributions of money holdings and derives the optimum quantity of money the second part considers nonstationary distributions of the optimum quantity of money to show that if the production costs are not too large any distribution of the optimum quantity of money converges asymptotically to the uniform distribution