from food availability to nutritional capabilities advancing food security analysis abstract this paper has a threefold objective first it provides a comprehensive review of different approaches to analysing food security second it highlights the added value provided by the capability approach and the human development paradigm third it proposes a methodology to assess food security through this approach our proposal entails three basic steps 1 analysis of food entitlements 2 analysis of nutritional capabilities and 3 analysis of the capability to be food secure in this way we can move beyond income entitlement or livelihood related frameworks and identify the root causes of food insecurity food insecurity can be the result of a lack of education health or other basic capabilities that constitute people s wellbeing this therefore allows situating the study within the broader area of wellbeing and development

can fao s measure of chronic undernourishment be strengthened abstract in its sixth world food survey released at the 1996 world food summit the food and agriculture organization of the united nations fao reported that 841 million people in developing countries are chronically undernourished this number and its country and regional level disaggregations have proved tremendously useful to countless development aid agencies and researchers in the context of a recent wave of new nationally representative household food consumption and expenditure surveys this paper examines the estimation methodology underlying the food insecurity measure which relies on national aggregate measures of food availability and distribution the paper finds that the measure largely reflects national food availabilities and does not adequately capture people s ability to gain access to food the ultimate key to food security the implications for the indicator s use by policy makers in geographical targeting and tracking changes in food insecurity over time are drawn out the paper concludes by arguing that the time has come to review the potential for employing the new household survey data along with new methods to strengthen the empirical foundations of fao s measure

raising primary school enrolment in developing countries the relative importance of supply and demand abstract few policies are as universally accepted as raising primary school enrolment in developing countries but the policy levers for achieving this goal are not straightforward this paper merges household survey data with detailed school supply characteristics from official sources in order to estimate the relative impact of demand and supply side determinants of rural primary school enrolment in mozambique policy simulations based on a set of plausible interventions show that in rural mozambique building more schools or raising adult literacy will have a larger impact on primary school enrolment rates than interventions that raise household income when relative costs are considered adult literacy campaigns are nearly 10 times more cost effective than the income intervention and 1 5 to 2 5 times better than building more schools

weighing what s practical proxy means tests for targeting food subsidies in egypt abstract despite achieving a significant cost reduction over the past two decades the absolute cost of food subsidies in egypt is still high relative to the benefits received by the poor there is scope for better targeting these food subsidies in particular for targeting cooking oil and sugar ration cards both because reforms in this area are perceived to be far less politically sensitive than adjusting subsidy policy for bread and wheat flour and because higher income groups presently receive a significant percentage of the benefits targeting the high subsidy green ration cards to the poor and the low subsidy red ration cards to the nonpoor will require identification of both poor and nonpoor households an international food policy research institute research team in egypt in collaboration with the egyptian ministry of trade and supply developed a proxy means test for targeting ration cards the paper describes the process of moving from the optimal income predicting model to the final model that was both administratively and politically feasible an ex ante evaluation of the levels of accuracy of the proxy means testing model indicates that the model performs quite well in predicting the needy and nonneedy households an effective and full implementation of this targeting method would increase the equity in the ration card food subsidy system and at the same time the total budgetary costs of rationed food subsidies would decline moreover the experience gained under this reform would facilitate targeting future social interventions to reduce and prevent poverty in egypt

the cost of poverty alleviation transfer programs a comparative analysis of three programs in latin america summary a common criticism of antipoverty programs is that the high share of administrative nontransfer costs substantially reduces their effectiveness yet there is surprisingly little rigorous empirical evidence on program costs improved information and a better understanding of the costs of such programs are crucial for effective policymaking this study proposes and implements a replicable methodology for a comparative cost analysis of three similar poverty alleviation programs in latin america and assesses their cost efficiency the findings underscore that any credible assessment of cost efficiency requires a detailed analysis of program cost structures that goes well beyond simply providing aggregate cost information

unraveling the effect of targeted input subsidies on dietary diversity in household consumption and child nutrition the case of malawi abstract malawi s farm input subsidy program fisp has generated significant attention with several studies showing an increase in maize production since the inception of the program in 2005 but stagnating poverty levels in this study i examine whether and how fisp has affected dietary diversity in household food consumption and child nutrition i find that children under the age of five living in households that received a voucher between 2008 and 2013 for the purchase of fertilizer have a statistically significantly higher at the 1 level weight for age weight for length height and body mass index than children living in non recipient households i also find that households having received a voucher consume cereals nuts vegetables meats and fruits more frequently than non recipient households the analysis uses two stage least squares to account for the endogeneity of selection into the fertilizer subsidy program i test the robustness of these results using child fixed effects the results indicate that past studies evaluating fisp failing to account for the positive gains in child nutrition and household food consumption diversity may be underestimating its benefits

the geography and causes of food insecurity in developing countries abstract at the 1996 world food summit 186 countries made a commitment to reduce the number of chronically undernourished people by half by 2015 in order to formulate effective policies for reaching this goal a thorough understanding of the location and causes of food insecurity is needed this paper provides a broad overview of the current character of food insecurity in developing countries focusing on two questions 1 why are they food insecure and 2 why are the food insecure to answer the latter question data from 58 developing countries with high prevalences of food insecurity are employed to examine the relative importance of two of food insecurity s most basic causes national food availability and the inability of people to access food due to poverty using child malnutrition as a proxy along with descriptive controls for non food determinants of malnutrition the paper finds little correlation between national food availabilities and food insecurity the group of countries that exhibit the highest severity of food insecurity are those with high poverty and food dietary energy surpluses consistent with the view that poverty is the most widespread cause of food insecurity in the 1990s the paper concludes by considering the implications of the analysis for appropriate geographical and policy targeting to improve food security for the greatest numbers of people at the fastest pace now and into the 21st century

control and ownership of assets within rural ethiopian households this article investigates how the control and devolution of productive assets are allocated among husband and wife theory predicts that bargaining power within marriage depends on the division of assets upon divorce and on control over assets during marriage using detailed household data from rural ethiopia we show that assets brought to marriage ownership of assets control within marriage and disposition upon death or divorce are only partly related productive resources are controlled by the household head disposition upon death or divorce only loosely depends on individual ownership during marriage but control is associated with larger claims upon divorce assets brought into marriage have little impact on disposition upon death but matter in case of divorce

food security gender and occupational choice among urban low income households this paper examines an adaptive strategy using occupational choice that can be undertaken by household members in urban poor areas to help ensure their access to food our investigation focuses on self employed women and men in 14 predominantly slum communities in bolivia ecuador philippines and thailand results of our empirical analysis show that choice of business is associated with household vulnerability to food insecurity with women in vulnerable households likely to engage in food enterprises the findings suggest that urban low income households can mitigate the risk of food shortage through the selection of an enterprise activity that earns money income and is a direct source of food for consumption

social capital and coping with economic shocks an analysis of stunting of south african children abstract south african households live in an environment characterized by risks and many face a significant probability of experiencing economic losses that threaten their daily subsistence using household panel data that include directly solicited information on economic shocks and employing household fixed effects estimation we explore how well households cope with shocks by examining the effects of shocks on child nutritional status unlike in the idealized village community some households appear unable to insure against risk particularly when others in their communities simultaneously suffer large losses households in communities with more social capital however seem better able to weather shocks

agricultural extension and technology adoption for food security evidence from uganda we evaluate causal impacts of a large scale agricultural extension program for smallholder women farmers on technology adoption and food security in uganda through a regression discontinuity design that exploits an arbitrary distance to branch threshold for village program eligibility we find eligible farmers used better basic cultivation methods achieved improved food security given minimal changes in adoption of relatively expensive inputs we attribute these gains to improved cultivation methods that require low upfront monetary investment farmers also modified their shock coping methods these results highlight the role of information and training in boosting agricultural productivity among poor farmers and indirectly improving food security

are urban poverty and undernutrition growing some newly assembled evidence abstract the population of the developing world is becoming more urban are poverty and undernutrition beginning to relocate to urban areas as well we use survey data on poverty from eight countries and on child undernutrition from 14 countries to address this question using data from the past 15 20 years we find that in a majority of countries the absolute number of poor and undernourished individuals living in urban areas has increased as has the share of overall poverty and undernourishment coming from urban areas given these trends and the current stock of knowledge as to the levels determinants and solutions to urban poverty and undernutrition we argue for more research on these issues

partner selection and venturing success the case of joint ventures with firms in the people s republic of china it has been hypothesized in the international joint venture ijv literature that partner selection affects interpartner fit which in turn influences a synergistic effect on ijv performance this study investigates the relationship between ijv success and the strategic and organizational traits of local partners we address this issue in the context of an emerging economy p r china newly emerging economies have in recent years become major hosts of direct investment by multinational corporations mncs because these rapidly expanding economies characterized by an exploding demand previously stifled by ideologically based government intervention provide tremendous opportunities which mncs can preempt mncs in such economies however face the challenges of structural reform weak market structure poorly specified property rights and institutional uncertainty right local partners can help mncs boost market expansion obtain insightful information mitigate operational risks and provide country specific knowledge the analysis of the data obtained from china suggests that both strategic and organizational traits of local partners are significantly associated with some individual dimensions of ijv performance among strategic traits absorptive capacity product relatedness and market power are favorable to ijvs market and financial outcomes market power and experience significantly reduce ijvs operational uncertainties of organizational traits international experience and organizational collaboration are important for ijvs not only profitability and stability but also local market expansion and export growth organizational form and size influence ijvs local market performance the findings provided by this study can help mncs determine what criteria they should use in opting for local partners and what criteria are vital to their goal accomplishment those investors seeking local market expansion should select those local partners that have rich market experience superior market position high absorptive capacity and related product diversification with the ijvs those seeking profitability and stability should select local firms that have superior international experience longer organizational collaboration and greater market power while mncs should use appropriate strategic and organizational criteria to select local partners the host government or local firms can try to make these traits available to attract more stable and profitable foreign direct investment

measuring food insecurity the frequency and severity of coping strategies abstract defining and interpreting food security and measuring it in reliable valid and cost effective ways have proven to be stubborn problems facing researchers and programs intended to monitor food security risks this paper briefly reviews the conceptual and methodological literature on food insecurity measurment describes a particular method for distinguishing and measuring short term food insecurity at the household level and discusses ways of generalizing the method the method developed enumerates the frequency and severity of strategies relied on by urban households when faced with a short term insufficiency of food this method goes beyond more commonly used measures of caloric consumption to incorporate vulnerability elements of food insecurity as well as the deliberate actions of household decision makers when faced with food insufficiency

quantifying household resilience with high frequency data temporal dynamics and methodological options abstract resilience as a metric is of growing interest to development researchers and practitioners particularly for those whose work concerns the effects of climate change conflict and epidemics the growing need for resilience measurements motivates this research measurements that reflect the complex dynamic features of welfare among populations living in shock prone contexts it presents insights from three measurement approaches to explore the dynamic intra annual effects of shocks on household well being mediated by household characteristics one based on shock persistence one based on the stochastic distribution of well being and one driven by machine learning algorithms and based on predictive power the insights gained from the comparison of measurement approaches offer a fuller understanding of the factors driving resilience than any single approach on its own the paper harnesses a novel data set from the measuring indicators for resilience analysis project which each month tracks shocks and food security indicators for one year in a highly food insecure population in malawi across approaches our study consistently finds that shocks and food insecurity are very persistent and that households living in the flood plains are more resilient when focusing on specific shocks such as illness the gender of the household head matters as well a broader search for predictors of food insecurity using lasso and random forest algorithms uncovers other characteristics that affect resilience such as the distance to drinking water the paper demonstrates how multiple complementary approaches can identify different but overlapping factors related to resilience painting a fuller richer picture it also demonstrates the empirical benefits derived from using high frequency data sets in the study of resilience

the macro dimensions of food security economic growth equitable distribution and food price stability abstract rather than asking how to cope with hunger and famine the question might be how to escape their threat altogether important in this regard is recognizing that agriculture and the rural economy are greatly influenced by policies and outcomes in the rest of the economy strategies include economic growth with unchanging income distribution and growth with redistribution the latter encourages balanced growth to create non farm employment opportunities while investing in rural infrastructure

are women overrepresented among the poor an analysis of poverty in 10 developing countries abstract this paper presents new evidence on the proportion of women in poverty in 10 developing countries it compares poverty measures for males and females and for male and female headed households and investigates the sensitivity of these measures to the use of per capita and per adult equivalent units and different definitions of the poverty line while poverty measures are higher for female headed households and for females the differences are significant in only a fifth to a third of the datasets the contribution of female headed households to aggregate poverty is less than that of females due to the low population share of the former stochastic dominance analysis reveals that differences between male and female headed households and between males and females are often insignificant except for ghana and bangladesh where females are consistently worse off these results suggest that cultural and institutional factors may be responsible for higher poverty among women in these countries our results point to the need to analyze determinants of household income and consumption using multivariate methods and to give greater attention to the processes underlying female headship

the demand for tourism in north east england with special reference to northumbria an empirical analysis abstract this paper examines the trends of tourism in north east england in particular we focus on the area of northumbria to show the potential of tourism for economic development in the region within this analysis we concentrate on the demand for tourism in the region and in particular we are concerned with tourism by uk residents in northumbria domestic tourism the long run relationship between domestic tourism demand and a number of economic factors effecting this demand is considered using the johansen and juselius 1990 1992 multivariate cointegration analysis an error correction model is then proposed for short run forecasting of domestic demand for tourism in northumbria

targeting the poor in mexico an evaluation of the selection of households into progresa abstract in this paper we conduct an evaluation of the targeting method used by health education and nutrition program progresa of mexico to identify beneficiary households we address two key questions a how well does progresa s targeting perform and b how does the program perform in terms of its impact on poverty alleviation relative to other feasible methods and transfer schemes the first question is accomplished by comparing progresa s method to an alternative selection method based on household consumption which is our preferred measure of welfare we employ the concepts of undercoverage and leakage and find that progresa selection method is more effective in identifying the extremely poor localities or households but less so when it comes to distinguishing among localities or households in the middle of the scale to address the second question we compare the potential impact of progresa on poverty alleviation against uniform transfers that involve no targeting at all targeting based on consumption and geographic targeting i e targeting at the locality level rather than at the household level we find that progresa s method of targeting households outperforms uniform coverage and targeting at the locality level in terms of reducing the poverty gap and severity of poverty indices even after taking into account the economic costs of targeting but the closeness of progresa s performance to what could be achieved by geographic targeting alone raises some serious questions about the costs and benefits associated with the practice of household targeting within poor localities

how do indicators of household food insecurity measure up an empirical comparison from ethiopia abstract renewed emphasis on programs and policies aimed at enhancing food security has intensified the search for accurate rapid and consistent indicators measures of food security are urgently required for purposes of early warning assessment of current and prospective status of at risk populations and monitoring and evaluation of specific programs and policies different measures are often used interchangeably without a good idea of which dimensions of food security are captured by which measures resulting in potentially significant misclassification of food insecure populations the objective of this paper is to compare how the most frequently used indicators of food security portray static and dynamic food security among the same sample of rural households in two districts of tigray state northern ethiopia seven food security indicators were assessed the coping strategies index csi the reduced coping strategies index rcsi the household food insecurity and access scale hfias the household hunger scale hhs food consumption score fcs the household dietary diversity scale hdds and a self assessed measure of food security safs these indicators provide very different estimates of the prevalence of food insecurity but are moderately well correlated and depict generally similar food security trends over time we suggest that the differences in prevalence estimates and in some cases the weaker than expected correlation can be explained in three ways first the indicators differ in the underlying aspect of food security they attempt to capture second each indicator is likely only sensitive within a certain severity range of food insecurity and these ranges do not always overlap third categorization of the prevalence of food insecurity is strongly dependent on the choice of cut off points for valid reasons food insecurity has no accepted gold standard metric against which individual indicators can be gauged though without one it is difficult to say which indicator performs best in correctly and reliably identifying food insecure households the implication is that using more than one indicator is advisable and policy makers should be aware of what elements of food insecurity each indicator portrays

famine and household coping strategies abstract households faced with risks to their entitlement to food will plan strategically to minimize their impact the task of doing this will be particularly demanding during famines this paper reviews the evidence on household strategies for coping with famine in africa and identifies some distinctive patterns in these strategies which can be used to examine household objectives at times of crisis the management of resources to meet these objectives and limits to the effectiveness of coping strategies in particular it examines the role of asset management and trade offs between maintaining current food consumption levels and protecting the future income generating capacity of the household

poverty and famines an essay on entitlement and deprivation this book focuses on the causes of starvation in general and famines in particular the traditional analysis of famines is shown to be fundamentally defective and the author develops an alternative analysis

evaluating transfer programmes within a general equilibrium framework we develop a general equilibrium model for evaluating domestically financed transfer programmes and derive analytical expressions which provide a framework for combining results from a computable general equilibrium model with disaggregated household data we separate the welfare impact into three components i e redistribution reallocative and distortionary effects we show how these are subsumed within one parameter the cost of public funds using a mexican programme for illustration we show that substantial welfare gains result from a switch from universal food subsidies to targeted transfers reflecting both the improved targeting efficiency of the latter and the relaxation the trade off between equity and efficiency when designing tax systems in an attempt to maximise the welfare impact of government transfers on lowincome households many governments in both developed and developing countries have moved towards better targeted transfer programmes in developed countries these transfers mostly take the form of cash transfers or tax credits whereas in developing countries they take the form of either cash transfers e g in latin america or infra marginal subsidised food rations e g in south asia l when evaluating the economic impact of such transfers it is useful to separate these into direct and indirect income or welfare effects the direct income effects reflect the design of the programme i e the rules for targeting transfers these are often referred to as first round effects and are captured by partial equilibrium approaches to policy evaluation the indirect effects capture the second round income changes brought about by the impact of cash transfers and their financing on the level and composition of demand and supply most evaluations of social safety net programmes focus on the partial equilibrium evaluation of programme targeting outcomes even those that focus on the indirect impacts tend to concentrate on their efficiency implications with only a very limited analysis of income distribution outcomes and with little attempt to combine both the equity and efficiency dimensions this is all the more limiting given that the central objective of these programmes is to improve income distribution in this paper we focus primarily on the indirect income effects in particular we show how the results from a computable general equilibrium model can be combined with the information available in standard household surveys to

long run money demand function in argentina during 1935 1962 evidence from cointegration and error correction models this paper provides a study of argentina s money demand function during 1935 62 and 1946 62 these priods not only involved several important changes in argentina s economy and banking system but also included high and volatile inflation using cointegration tests and error correction moderlling results shows that even in periods of large variability there exists a stationary long run demand function for real m1 and real m2 in argentina error correction models show that there is biddirectional causality between real money stock m1 and m2 and the rate of inflation in both periods real income is found to be exogenous in all relationships thus results presented in this paper provide merit to cagan s form of money demand function during high inflation periods

demand for money in sri lanka during the post 1977 period a cointegration and error correction analysis this paper investigates the long run demand for money and short run dynamics of the long run money demand function for sri lanka during the post 1977 period while m1 is cointegrated with real income nominal interest rate short term foreign interest rate and real effective exchange rate m2 is not this suggests that monetary authorities should emphasize the narrow definition of money for monetary control the one year fixed deposits rate is cointegrated with m1 indicating the opportunity cost of holding money although the inflation rate is not cointegrated with m1 it seems to be an important determinant of the demand for m1 in the short run results also suggest that the short term foreign interest rate and the exchange rate can have important implications for the effectiveness of monetary policy monetary authorities must consider the response of domestic money demand to these external factors when formulating future monetary policies

social learning neighborhood effects and investment in human capital evidence from green revolution india abstract this paper empirically identifies social learning and neighborhood effects in schooling investments in a new technology regime social learning implies that learning is most efficient when observed heterogeneity in schooling is greatest the estimates of learning investment rule from farm household panel data at the onset of the green revolution in india show that i agents learn about schooling returns from income realizations of their neighbors and ii the speed of learning is high when the variation of schooling is large thus schooling distribution of the parents generation in a community has externalities to schooling investments in children simulations show that the variations in schooling within and across communities generate variations in child enrollment rate and average household income

land fragmentation and food insecurity in ethiopia this paper revisits the economic consequences of land fragmentation taking seriously concerns regarding the exogeneity of fragmentation its measurement and the importance of considering impacts in terms of welfare metrics using data that are well suited to addressing these issues the analysis finds that land fragmentation reduces food insecurity this result is robust to how fragmentation is measured and to how exogeneity concerns are addressed further the paper finds that land fragmentation mitigates the adverse effects of low rainfall on food security this is because households with diverse parcel characteristics can grow a greater variety of crop types

trust membership in groups and household welfare evidence from kwazulu natal south africa unfortunately these two literatures have remained largely unconnected the group and network literature concludes that participation has important economic benefits even when the stated function of the group is noneconomic in most cases however the mechanisms by which groups and networks achieve this are unclear the determinants of trust and participation in groups literature highlights the importance of income and social homogeneity what remains less understood is whether and how trust can be generated for example via participation in groups this article links the empirical literatures referenced above by exploring the relationship between membership in groups and trust specifically using longitudinal data from kwazulu natal province south africa we examine 1 the importance of trust in the decision to join groups 2 the subsequent ability of groups to generate trust and 3 the effect of group membership and trust on a measure of well being per capita household income in addition we disaggregate groups into financial and nonfinancial and we categorize trust in people by agent or actor therefore we can explore whether trust in different kinds of actors is important for participation in different kinds of groups and whether participation in different kinds of groups is important for generating trust in different kinds of actors excerpt

determinants of food security in southern ethiopia at the household level in the early 1980s a paradigm shift occurred in the field of food security following amartya sens 1981 claims that food insecurity is more of a demand concern affecting the poor s access to food than a supply concern affecting availability of food at the national level despite the wide acceptance of sen s thinking many controversies including the relative importance of supply side versus demand side variables in causing and solving food insecurity have remained in academic and policy circles this study develops a recursive household food security model within the framework of consumer demand and production theories following singh et al 1986 and parses out the relative importance of supply side versus demand side variables in determining household food security in southern ethiopia based on results of a test of full reduced model and the magnitude of changes in conditional probabilities of food security we conclude that the supply side variables are more powerful determinants of food security than the demand side variables

the robustness of poverty profiles reconsidered poverty measures and profiles are used increasingly to guide antipoverty policies in low income countries an essential element in these analyses is the specification of a poverty line however there are many different methods for setting poverty lines and different methods can yield strikingly different results with correspondingly different policy implications using recent household survey data from mozambique this paper explores the differences that occur using the most common poverty line methodologies the food energy intake fei and the cost of basic needs cbn methods over different levels of geographic specificity we find that regional and provincial rankings of foster greer and thorbecke poverty indices are not robust to the method of poverty line determination but that the characteristics of the poor are reasonably similar under all methods the fei poverty lines often yield counterintuitive results whereas the family of cbn poverty lines was more robust food consumption patterns of the poor show a high degree of substitution among basic staples from one region to another which is consistent with observed differences in relative food prices indicating that cbn poverty lines that allow for regional variation in the food consumption bundle may be most appropriate in these settings

relating seasonal hunger and prevention and coping strategies a panel analysis of malawian farm households relative to chronic hunger seasonal hunger in rural and urban areas of africa is poorly understood this paper examines the extent and potential correlates of seasonal hunger in malawi using panel data from 2011 2013 we find that both urban and rural households report seasonal hunger in the pre harvest months certain strategies to smooth consumption including crop storage and livestock ownership are associated with fewer months of hunger in addition we find that malawian households that experience seasonal hunger harvest their crops earlier than average a short term coping mechanism that can reduce the crop s yield and nutritional value possibly perpetuating hunger