hedging sudden stops and precautionary contractions abstract even well managed emerging market economies are exposed to significant external risk the bulk of which is financial at a moment s notice these economies may be required to reverse the capital inflows that have supported the preceding boom while capital flows crises are sudden nonlinear events sudden stops their likelihood fluctuates over time the question we address in the paper is how should a country react to these fluctuations depending on the hedging possibilities the country faces the options range from pure self insurance to hedging the sudden stop jump itself in between there is the more likely possibility to hedge the smoother fluctuations in the likelihood of sudden stops the main contribution of the paper is to provide an analytically and empirically tractable model that allows us to characterize and quantify optimal contingent liability management in a variety of scenarios we show with a concrete example that the gains from contingent liability management can easily exceed the equivalent of cutting a country s external liabilities by 10 of gdp

commodity price risk management and fiscal policy in a sovereign default model abstract commodity prices are an important driver of fiscal policy and the business cycle in many developing and emerging market economies we analyze a dynamic stochastic small open economy model of sovereign default featuring endogenous fiscal policy and stochastic commodity revenues the model accounts for a positive correlation of commodity revenues with government expenditures and a negative correlation with tax rates we quantitatively document the extent to which the utilization of different financial hedging instruments by the government contributes to lowering the volatility of different macroeconomic variables and their correlation with commodity revenues an event analysis illustrates how financial hedging instruments moderate fiscal adjustment in response to significant falls in the price of commodities we evaluate the conditional and unconditional welfare gains for the representative household generated by financial derivatives and commodity indexed bonds

macro hedging for commodity exporters abstract this paper uses a dynamic optimization model to quantify the potential welfare gains of hedging against commodity price risk for commodity exporting countries we show that hedging enhances domestic welfare through two channels first by reducing export income volatility and second by reducing the country s need to hold precautionary reserves and improving the country s ability to borrow against future export income under plausible calibrations of the model the second channel may lead to much larger welfare gains amounting to several percentage points of annual consumption

public acceptance for environmental taxes self interest environmental and distributional concerns abstract while strongly recommended by economists it has often been politically difficult to impose taxes on externalities there is a substantial literature on public attitudes towards environmental taxes there has however been few comprehensive attempts to understand attitudes towards environmental taxes the main research question in this paper is which factors influence support for fuel taxation we propose a model of attitudes towards fuel taxation and test this model as well as more specific hypotheses using data from a representative survey of the adult norwegian population our results suggest that support for fuel taxation is best predicted by beliefs about environmental consequences followed by beliefs about consequences to others beliefs about consequences to self self interest is the factor that explains the least variation in support for fuel taxation the academically interesting result that support cannot be well explained without capturing a broad range of motivational factors is also highly policy relevant it implies that there is no magic formula for increasing public support for environmental taxes there are however some issues which can be addressed trust in how well the government spends the revenue and the perception that taxation does very little to change behaviour and thus to reduce environmental problems

the welfare gains from macro insurance against natural disasters abstract this paper uses a dynamic optimization model to estimate the welfare gains that a small open economy can derive from insuring against natural disasters with catastrophe cat bonds we calibrate the model by reference to the risk of earthquakes floods and storms in developing countries we find that the countries most vulnerable to these risks would find it optimal to use cat bonds for insurance if the cost of issuing these bonds were significantly smaller than it is in the data the welfare gains from cat bonds range from small to substantial depending on how insurance affects the country s external borrowing constraint the option of using cat bonds may bring a welfare gain of several percentage points of annual consumption by enhancing the country s ability to borrow these large gains disappear if the country can opportunistically default on its external debt

forward contracts or international buffer stocks a study of their relative efficiencies in stabilising commodity export earnings the commodities debate of the last decade has not been very successful in creating new international agreements but it has led to many advances in the economic theory of stabilisation the early work such as that of massell i969 assumes that complete stabilisation of price is the objective and uses the marshallian measures of surplus to suggest that producers would gain and consumers would lose from price stability the later work such as that of newbery and stiglitz i98i assumes that complete stabilisation of prices is neither feasible nor desirable they show that a reduction in the dispersion of prices is likely to leave producers with lower average earnings while having little significant impact on consumers the question from the producers view point is whether the risk benefits are sufficient to offset this loss of earnings an alternative to collective action by producers would be for each of them individually to make forward contracts this strategy will tend to stabilise earnings mainly to the extent that the contract price fluctuates less from year to year than the actual or spot price since forward prices are likely to be lower than eventual spot prices such forward contracting also leads to lower average earnings

output value risk for commodity producers the uncertain benefits of diversification summary commodity price volatility has long been recognized as a main risk for commodity producers welfare and has led to diversification efforts less noticed has been the importance of commodity correlations and their increase after 2006 in the risk faced by producers to assess their impact we perform an empirical analysis of the market value of commodity producers output in a sample of 56 countries producing 26 commodities we find that diversification and correlations strongly explain output value volatility during 1987 2006 producers effectively specialized in a single commodity had an average output value volatility of 27 0 while producers of three or more commodities had a 12 7 volatility in this period average correlation was 8 and diversification was very effective in the 2007 12 period correlations averaged 26 and output volatilities for specialized and diversified commodities were 30 4 and 19 5 respectively thus reducing the benefit of diversification at a time of macroeconomic distress in 2013 16 output volatilities reverted to levels close to those in 1987 2006 as commodities decorrelated again our findings should be relevant to policy makers embarking in diversification efforts and in the analysis of macroeconomic risk of commodity producers

attitudes towards carbon taxes across europe the role of perceived uncertainty and self interest abstract while using carbon taxes to reduce greenhouse gas emissions may well be effective this has recently proved too unpopular to put into practice in a number of countries yet at a time when governments across the world are preparing their nationally determined contributions to the paris agreement our knowledge of whether and why people oppose these taxes originates from a single or small number of cases drawing on the european social survey n 44 387 this article provides evidence on public attitudes towards increasing taxes on fossil fuels to reduce climate change from 23 countries most of which have never featured in the literature before the results point to a widespread aversion to carbon taxes on the one hand this worsens with the perceived costs of taxes such as the case among consumers who depend highly on energy on the other it improves with political trust and external political efficacy factors that help ease the uncertainty around policy proposals our estimations suggest that the effect of changes in these factors alone would be large enough to reverse the public resistance to carbon taxes in some countries these results are robust to a number of alternative specifications and various checks

macroeconomic uncertainty precautionary saving and the current account abstract the relationship between current account developments and changes in the macroeconomic environment is a key issue in open economy macroeconomics this paper extends the standard intertemporal model of the current account to incorporate the effects of macroeconomic uncertainty on external saving behavior it is shown that the greater the uncertainty in national cash flow defined as output less investment less government consumption the greater will be the incentive for precautionary saving and ceteris paribus the larger the current account surplus empirical support for the model is found using post war quarterly data for the united states japan and the united kingdom as well as a long time series 1919 1990 for the united states

the current account and precautionary savings for exporters of exhaustible resources abstract exporters of exhaustible resources have historically exhibited higher income volatility than other economies suggesting a heightened role for precautionary savings this paper uses a parameterized small open economy model to quantify the role of precautionary savings for exporters of exhaustible resources when the only source of uncertainty is the price of the exhaustible resource the parameterized model fares moderately well at capturing current account balances in both cross section and time series data the results show that the precautionary motive can generate sizable external sector savings the more so the greater the weight of exhaustible resource revenues in future income

the effect of the german and british environmental taxation reforms a simple assessment abstract this article implements a simple econometric approach to assess the effect of the environmental tax reforms introduced in germany and the uk despite the very simple econometric approach adopted in this paper in the case of the energy demand our results do not differ markedly from those obtained from complicated multi sectoral econometric models in the case of the labour demand our results differ from the estimates obtained from econometric models where the employment level is not directly influenced by the energy price on the other hand our results are more similar to those obtained from models where the level of employment is directly influenced by the energy price confirming the findings of bosquet 2000 environmental tax reform does it work a survey of the empirical evidence ecological economics 34 19 32 and oecd 2004 environment and employment an assessment working party on national environmental policy oecd paris we conclude that environmental tax reforms can deliver substantial reductions in energy consumption while having small effects on the level of employment effect which can be positive depending on the size of the reduction in the labour costs and the value of cross price elasticities

financial instruments for consumption smoothing by commodity dependent exporters given the substantial instability in all primary commodity markets one would expect countries that depend on a single primary export for most of their foreign earnings to experience especially sharp fluctuations in export earnings and their underlying wealth to the extent that these fluctuations affect consumption they are costly and we would expect such countries to seek ways of managing these fluctuations and reducing their costs in many countries the nature of the resource endowment and its comparative advantage rule out production diversification as a significant near term strategy and we assume it away here in addition we rule out diversification via exchange of equity investments with foreigners in this paper we consider the cost of export risk and show the potential contribution of commodity bonds in this context we show that in theory appropriate commodity bonds can in fact achieve optimal smoothing of i i d export price disturbances if that is what countries really want or need commodity bonds c bonds are bonds whose principal repayment and perhaps dividend payments may be made in units of physical commodity or the terminal value of some appropriate futures contract typically the bond buyer has the option to receive the nominal face value or the commodity bundle in the finance literature studies of the pricing of c bonds schwartz carr priovolos do not distinguish bonds issued by foreign governments from private corporate bond issues however the literature on foreign borrowing recognizes that the distinction is crucial sovereign borrowing and default prevention

saving and liquidity constraints this paper is concerned with the theory of saving when consumers are not permitted to borrow and with the ability of such a theory to account for some of the stylized facts of saving behavior the models presented in the paper seem to account for important aspects of reality that are not explained by traditional life cycle models copyright 1991 by the econometric society

energy and climate hand in hand financing res e support with carbon revenues abstract in italy the cost of support for renewable electricity res e is largely recovered through the a3 surcharge which weighs heavily on electricity bills using household survey data we show the a3 surcharge is markedly regressive carbon taxation in the non ets sector is envisaged as a means to reduce co2 emissions cost effectively and generate revenue to lower the a3 surcharge a non ets carbon tax would be less regressive than the a3 surcharge and its cost would be more evenly distributed across households we calculate the revenue of a 20 tco2 non ets carbon tax would have allowed a cut in the a3 surcharge of about 68 in 2011 and 39 in 2012 the impact of the carbon tax plus the reduced a3 surcharge would have been less regressive but the cost higher for most households the restrictions imposed in the simulations mean the results are only appropriate to render first round effects of the reform policy relevance in the vast majority of the eu member states the cost of res e support is largely paid by electricity consumers most often through specific surcharges rising electricity prices are a common concern given the implications for competitiveness and equity the member states facing this issue could conveniently address it through environmental tax reforms consistent with the climate and energy package replacing res e surcharges with carbon taxes in the non ets sector would permit cost effective reduction of co2 emissions while allocating the cost of res e support more equitably the difference in regressivity would stem from the different consumption patterns of home fuels including electricity and motor fuels across income distribution a cross country comparison of energy household budget shares proves the structural nature of this difference between home fuels and motor fuels moreover the notion that electricity consumers should pay for res e support is questioned on the grounds that electricity is a basic necessity good and res e support is a means of providing public goods notably energy security and climate protection

the world economy analysis and prospects the rate of growth for the us has now slipped into the 2 3 range the official figure for 1985 fourth quarter is 2 4 from 6 6 in 1984 growth in the volume of imports has also fallen sharply from almost 23 in 1984 to less than 2 in 1985 although this has been insufficient to prevent further increases in the current account deficit latest trade figures show a record visible trade deficit of 17 4 bn for december 1985

optimal fiscal management of commodity price shocks abstract this paper analyzes how low income countries should optimally respond through fiscal policy to commodity price shocks the model accounts for imperfect access to world capital markets and a variety of externalities associated with public infrastructure including utility benefits a direct complementarity effect with private investment and reduced distribution costs however public capital is also subject to congestion and absorption constraints with the latter affecting the efficiency of infrastructure investment the optimal windfall allocation rule between spending today and asset accumulation is determined so as to minimize a social loss function defined in terms of the volatility of private consumption and either the nonresource primary fiscal balance or a more general index of macroeconomic stability which accounts for the volatility of the real exchange rate

measuring design investment in firms conceptual foundations and exploratory uk survey abstract the importance of design to company and national performance has been widely discussed with a number of studies investigating the value or impact of design on performance however none of these studies has measured design investment as an input against which performance can be compared as yet there is no established way in which design investment might be measured without such a method we cannot develop a reliable picture akin to that for r d spending on the impact of design spending on company performance this paper presents a conceptual framework for the measurement of design investment and applies this framework in a survey of uk firms the framework describes design as being part of the creation and commercialization of new products and services the survey highlights some surprising patterns of design spend in the reported sample and demonstrates the viability of the underpinning framework a revised framework is proposed that situates design investment in the context of r d the model has implications for policy makers trying to understand the role and scale of design in the private sector for managers wishing to optimize their design investments and for academics seeking to measure the value of design

intangible capital aspects of advertising and r d expenditures twenty years have passed since economists first emphasized the intangible capital aspects of advertising according to this view consumers tend to forget brands and continuous advertising is needed to maintain a given rate of sales thus advertising expenditures can be viewed as a capital good that depreciates over time and needs maintenance and repair 22 p 197 more recently weiss 25 among others has suggested that research and development r d costs might also be capitalized as such expenditures yield benefits mainly in the future 25 p 421 unfortunately most analyses of the intangible capital issue have been limited to advertising largely because no comprehensive data on r d were available until quite recently however important recent theoretical contributions on the topic and improvements in data availability now make it possible more completely to consider the intangible capital aspects of both advertising and r d expenditures here the intangible capital issue is investigated through use of a market valuation model in this approach significant future intangible capital effects of advertising and r d are suggested to the extent that current expenditures have significant effects on the market value of the firm given positive market value influences individual coefficient estimates can be used to estimate both the total stock of intangible capital as well as average annual depreciation rates for advertising and r d while these depreciation rate estimates are interfirm averages and undoubtedly err in individual instances they can be quite useful in indicating the general magnitude of corporate profit and tax misstatement due to current reporting and tax policies in section i below various articles closely related to this study are reviewed section ii develops a valuation model embodying intangible capital considerations the data are discussed in section iii and estimation results are presented in section iv and finally conclusions and implications for public policy are discussed in section v

environmental regulation and technology transfers this paper analyzes the situation in which a national government introduces environmental regulations within the framework of an international duopoly with environmental regulations an environmental tax imposed by the government in the home country can induce a foreign firm with advanced abatement technology to license it to a domestic firm without this technology furthermore when the domestic firm s production technology is less efficient than that of the foreign firm the foreign firm may freely reveal its technology to the domestic firm these improvements through the voluntary transfer of technology imply that environmental regulations have positive impacts on innovation resume reglementation environnementale et transferts de technologie ce texte analyse le cas d un gouvernement national qui etablit des reglementations environnementales dans le cadre d un duopole international avec reglementations environnementales le gouvernement national impose une taxe environnementale au plan domestique qui peut induire une firme etrangere qui dispose d une technologie avancee qui reduit l impact environnemental a vendre une licence permettant d utiliser cette technologie a une firme domestique qui ne l a pas de plus quand la technologie de production de la firme domestique est moins efficace que celle de la firme etrangere la firme etrangere peut reveler sa technologie a la firme domestique ces ameliorations a travers les transferts volontaires de technologie impliquent que les reglementations environnementales ont des impacts positifs sur l innovation

commodity agreements and commodity markets lessons from tin in what follows we study the history of the tin market over the period i982 5 important questions this exercise will help to answer are was the collapse of the tin market a failure of the buffer stock operation and was it inevitable was the activity of the buffer stock a commodity market manipulation was there a deficiency in the drafting of the tin agreement was there a failure of commodity market regulation more generally while it has long been recognised that stabilisation schemes are vulnerable to speculative attacks the interconection between buffer stock managements and futures markets has not been explored in this sense our historical analysis will

history and social responses to environmental tax reform in the united kingdom abstract this paper gives a short history of fuel taxation and the climate change levy in the uk the research described was based around the use of interviews and focus groups to inform the assessment of social responses to etr policies and the development of improved designs for them interviews were conducted with selected policy makers and companies focus groups were conducted with quota samples of the general public the research shows that the problem that etr faces in terms of public acceptance is not so much outright hostility to environmental taxation as conceptual problems with the design similar conceptual problems were also found in the interviews with business people these can be summarised as lack of trust about use of the revenues difficulty in understanding the purpose of a tax shift and a desire for incentives for good behaviour as well as perceived penalties for bad behaviour

public acceptability of personal carbon trading and carbon tax abstract climate change is one of the greatest challenges confronting the international community requiring action to achieve deep cuts in carbon emissions the implementation of potentially uncomfortable but necessary policy measures is though critically dependent upon public acceptability this paper reports a novel application of stated preference techniques to explore the influence of key design attributes on the acceptability of a personal carbon trading scheme in isolation and when compared to a carbon tax illustrative forecasts from the models developed indicate the importance of design attributes especially the basis of the initial permit allocation for personal carbon trading and the use to which revenues are put for carbon tax results indicate that the best scheme designs could be acceptable to a majority of respondents

a rural myth sources and implications of the perceived unfairness of carbon taxes in rural communities abstract since british columbia s carbon tax was implemented in 2008 local interest groups and municipal politicians have claimed that the tax places an unfair burden on rural communities we investigate the sources of this perception of unfairness and its implications for policymaking we examine the distributive effects of british columbia s carbon tax using a computable general equilibrium model of the canadian economy we find that the rural population would indeed have experienced a disproportionate burden had the carbon tax been introduced without redistributive measures but that the revenue recycling program introduced in parallel with the tax was sufficient to balance the inequity hence the northern and rural homeowner benefit program a transfer program introduced later in response to public protests was unnecessary additionally analysis of polling data shows that the new program failed to increase support for the carbon tax in rural communities despite making these households better off on average than households in large urban centers we therefore conclude that this ongoing opposition is based on a rural myth policymakers should carefully investigate distributive impacts of carbon policies and address evidential inequities yet before overcompensating groups that still feel disadvantaged policymakers should address the myth of unfairness at its source

innovations new market instruments any measure of the volume of financial innovation would register an explosion in the last ten years for example the swap market has grown from zero to hundreds of billions of dollars in this period the number of traded financial futures contracts has increased from a handful to nearly one hundred the explosion is one of both scale and variety even the british government now issues gilts with non standard coupon rates and conversion features apparently tailored to a whole range of specialised clienteles

a choice experiment on fuel taxation and earmarking in norway abstract pigouvian taxes are efficient but unpopular among voters and hence often politically infeasible earmarking of revenues has been widely reported to increase public support for taxes but earmarking is generally not the most efficient use of the revenues this trade off between efficiency and political feasibility is the motivation for our primary research objective to quantify the effect of earmarking on support for fuel tax rises our secondary research objective is to investigate why earmarking increases support using data from a representative sample of the norwegian voter population n 1147 we estimate models of voter preferences for fuel taxes using logistic regression models our results show that in the absence of earmarking the majority of voters would like to reduce fuel taxes but earmarking the revenues for environmental measures has a substantial effect on voter support for fuel tax increases garnering a majority for increases of up to 15 above present levels further analysis indicates that a prime reason why earmarking for environmental measures is popular is that it increases the perceived environmental effectiveness of the tax and hence its legitimacy as an environmental rather than a fiscal policy instrument

policy v individual heterogeneity in the benefits of climate change mitigation evidence from a stated preference survey abstract we use stated preference methods to investigate the public s preferences for decarbonization policies we ask three research questions first does the willingness to pay wtp for each ton of co2 emissions reductions depend on the policies and on individual characteristics of the respondents second how extensive is the variation associated with these factors third what factors affect support for or opposition to a carbon tax based on the responses to discrete choice experiments from a sample of italians we find that the wtp per ton of co2 ranges between zero and 230 the variation associated with the policy instrument is approximately of the same order of magnitude as that associated with individual characteristics of the respondents

pollution tax heuristics an empirical study of willingness to pay higher gasoline taxes economists widely agree that in concept pollution taxes are the most cost effective means of reducing pollution with the advent of monitoring and enforcement technologies the case for pollution taxation is generally getting stronger on the merits despite widespread agreement among economists however pollution taxes remain unpopular especially in north america some oppose pollution taxes because of a suspicion that government would misspend the tax proceeds while others oppose pollution taxes because they would impose economic hardships upon certain individuals groups or industries and there is no pollution tax more pathologically hated as the gasoline tax this is unfortunate from an economic perspective as a gasoline tax is easy to implement and is a reasonable pigouvian tax scaling proportionately with the harms of consumption surprisingly there is a dearth of theory explaining this cleave between economists and virtually everybody else drawing on behavioralist literatures this paper introduces several theories as to why people and governments so vehemently oppose pollution taxes using the example of gasoline taxes we provide some empirical evidence for these theories we also show that revenue recycling the use of tax proceeds to reduce other taxes is an effective means of reducing opposition to gasoline taxes

the demand for earmarking results from a focus group study abstract environmental taxes might be efficient but plans to impose new taxes are often met with fierce public resistance in order to design environmental taxes that are both efficient and acceptable to the public so that they can be politically feasible it is important to understand public attitudes towards environmental taxes we conduct a focus group study in norway to extend the current knowledge on this issue we find less general resistance to taxation as a policy instrument and seemingly more trust in government than what has been reported in similar studies from other countries the participants are however very skeptical and do not see the point of using the revenues from an environmental tax to reduce other taxes such as the payroll tax instead they express a very strong preference for earmarking the revenues for environmental purposes they also call for more information about environmental taxes in particular on how the revenues are spent providing more information including what the revenues are spent on irrespective of whether they are earmarked or not would seem to provide a relatively cheap and possibly effective way to increase the public acceptability of new or increased environmental taxes

macro policy responses to natural resource windfalls and the crash in commodity prices policy prescriptions for managing natural resource windfalls are based on the permanent income hypothesis none of the windfall is invested at home and saving in an intergenerational swf is dictated by smoothing consumption across different generations furthermore with dutch disease effects the optimal response is to intertemporally smooth the real exchange rate smooth public and private consumption and limit sharp fluctuations in the intersectoral allocation of production factors we show that these prescriptions need to be modified for the following reasons first to cope with volatile commodity prices precautionary buffers should be put in a stabilisation fund second with imperfect access to capital markets the windfall must be used to curb capital scarcity invest domestically and bring consumption forward third with real wage rigidity consumption must also be brought forward to mitigate transient unemployment fourth the real exchange rate has to temporarily appreciate to signal the need to invest in the domestic economy to gradually improve the ability to absorb the extra spending from the windfall fifth with finite lives the timing of handing back the windfall to the private sector matters and consumption and the real exchange rate will be volatile finally with nominal wage rigidity we show that a taylor rule is a better short run response to a crash in commodity prices than a nominal exchange rate peg

the management of risk in developing country finance the commencement of the international debt cri sis is normally linked to the mexican statement of non payment in august 1982 over the seven years of the crisis the costs have been well documented cornia et al 1987 however after numerous plans and proposals little consensus has emeiged amongst creditors on the appropriate solution strat egy let alone between the creditor and debtor countries indeed the discussions following the latest debt proposals of the us treasury secretary nicholas brady have highlighted the many areas of controversy rather than provided a coherent solu tion to a better functioning financing system 1

on the welfare cost of economic fluctuations in developing countries macroeconomic fluctuations are much stronger in developing countries than in the united states yet while a large literature debates the welfare cost of economic fluctuations in the united states it remains an open question how large that cost is in developing countries using several models we provide such a measure we find that the welfare cost of consumption volatility per se is far from trivial and averages a substantial multiple of the corresponding u s estimate moreover in many poor countries the welfare gain from eliminating volatility may in fact exceed the welfare gain from an additional percentage point of growth forever

market influence on the low carbon energy refurbishment of existing multi residential buildings abstract this paper explores the relationship between the energy market the political and regulatory context and energy design decisions for existing multi residential buildings to determine what form the energy market landscape would take if tailored to encourage low carbon solutions the links between market dynamics government strategies and building designs are mapped to understand the steps that achieve carbon reduction from building operation this is achieved using a model that takes financial and energy components with market and design variables to provide net present cost and annual carbon outputs the financial component applies discounted cash flow analysis over the building lifespan with discount rates reflecting contractual characteristics the carbon component uses standard assessment procedure sap 2005 a scenario approach is adopted to test alternative strategies selected to encourage low carbon solutions in two residential and two office designs the results show that the forward assumption of energy price escalation is the most influential factor on energy investment together with the expected differentiation between the escalation of gas and electricity prices using this and other influencing factors the research reveals trends and strategies that will achieve mainstream application of energy efficiency and microgeneration technologies and reduce carbon emissions in the existing multi residential sector

securitization and commodity contingency in international lending the largest component of ldc debt in private hands is in the form of general obligation bank loans it is widely acknowledged that these problems would be lessened if this general obligation debt could be in whole or in part securitized i e if it could be traded in more or less standard form on liquid secondary markets in the same way as are developed country bonds securitization would provide market valuations of existing debt and would allow debtor countries to raise new

investigating a neglected part of schumpeter s creative army what drives new to the market innovation in micro enterprises schumpeterian arguments related to creative destruction place small entrepreneurial firms at the centre of the innovation process the exclusion of micro enterprises with less than 10 employees from most innovation surveys means however that we know relatively little about innovation among this group of firms here using new survey data on a thousand micro enterprises we explore the determinants of new to the market innovation the basis for the schumpeterian creative destruction cd process our results provide strong support for the interactive nature of micro enterprise innovation and suggest the potential value of a model of interactive creative destruction icd contrary to some other recent evidence market based and supplier based collaboration both prove important for new to the market innovation our results suggest the importance of micro enterprises as sources of new to the market innovation and the potential value of including such firms in future innovation studies