efficient and durable decision rules with incomplete information we compare six concepts of efficiency for economies with incomplete information depending on the stage at which individuals welfare is evaluated and on whether incentive constraints are recognized an example is shown in which an incentive efficient decision rule may be unanimously rejected by the individuals in the economy we define durable decision rules which can resist such unanimous rejection and show that efficient durable decision rules exist

efficient mechanisms for bilateral trading we consider bargaining problems between one buyer and one seller for a single object the seller s valuation and the buyer s valuation for the object are assumed to be independent random variables and each individual s valuation is unknown to the other we characterize the set of allocation mechanisms that are bayesian incentive compatible and individually rational and show the general impossibility of ex post efficient mechanisms without outside subsidies for a wide class of problems we show how to compute mechanisms that maximize expected total gains from trade and mechanisms that can maximize a broker s expected profit journal of economic literature classification number 026

occupational self selection a human capital approach to sex differences in occupational structure a rich and diverse literature exists concerning the distribution of labor incomes one approach namely that of human capital concentrates on lifetime accumulation paths of earnings capacity units human capital individual variations in human capital imply differences in earnings power thereby yielding strong implications concerning earnings distribution within a population despite its explanatory power the human capital model has been widely criticized one criticism centers on its inability to obtain inferences concerning occupational distribution the purpose of this paper is to alleviate at least some such criticism by applying the hedonic price approach so as to embed occupational choice into the human capital framework the significance is that neoclassical economic theory can be used to obtain implications concerning the determinants of occupational structure excerpt

purchasing power parity in the long run a cointegration approach this paper utilizes cointegration analysis to examine purchasing power parity relationships over a long time horizon the results indicate that the exchange rate is cointegrated strongly with the wholesale price index ratio and somewhat weakly with the consumer price index ratio the cointegrating coefficient between the exchange rate and the price ratio is close to one when cointegration is confirmed the hypothesis that the real exchange rate follows a random walk is rejected in most cases finally a new test for common trends finds no such common trends in exchange rates or price ratios copyright 1990 by ohio state university press

does marriage really make men more productive this paper presents new descriptive evidence regarding marital pay premiums earned by white males longitudinal data indicate that wages rise after marriage and that cross sectional marriage premiums appear to result from a steepening of the earnings profile data from a company personnelfile that includes information on job grades and supervisor performance ratings reveal large marital status pay differences within a narrow range of occupations managers and professionals and environments a single firm married workers tend to be located in higher paying job grades there are very small pay differentials within grades married men receive higher performance ratings than single men as a result they are much more likely to be promoted controlling for rated performance however eliminates the promotion differential sanders korenman is an assistant professor of economics and public affairs at princeton university and is a faculty associate of the office of population research at princeton university and a research affiliate of the national bureau of economic research nber david neumark is an assistant professor of economics at the university of pennsylvania and a research affiliate of the nber korenman wishes to acknowledge the hewlett foundation and the harvard university center for population studies for financial support the authors are grateful to james medofffor making available an extract from the company personnelfile questions regarding data availability should be directed to professor james

deviations from purchasing power parity in the long run this paper demonstrates that deviations from purchasing power parity reveal a remarkable and possibly startling consistency with martingale behavior during both fixed and flexible rate periods for a wide variety of countries and in both monthly and annual data since this pattern appears to be much more general than one would expect on the basis of models founded on international commodity arbitrage the paper proposes an alternative explanation which instead relies on financial arbitrage in bonds as the underlying mechanism this paper will demonstrate that deviations from purchasing power parity ppp reveal a remarkable and possibly startling consistency with martingale behavior during both fixed and flexible exchange rate periods for a wide variety of countries and in both monthly and annual data this pattern appears to be much more general than one would expect on the basis of models founded on international commodity arbitrage the paper therefore proposes an alternative explanation which does not presuppose free trade in goods but which instead relies on financial arbitrage in bonds as the underlying mechanism the major implication of the theory and the results is that ppp is as likely to be violated in the long as in the short run as an empirical matter deviations from ppp can be observed for most currencies at any instant see kravis et al 21 stockman 37 and genberg 15 among others these deviations are typically both cumulative and persistent the real exchange rate can remain on either side of parity for lengthy but variable time intervals of a year or more as a consequence the current consensus shared

work experience earnings and participation evidence from the women and employment survey this paper presents a probit model of labour force participation and a set of earnings equations estimated using data from the 1980 women and employment survey the results of the participation model compare with previous findings and the earnings models give typical results of human capital and job characteristics variables exclusion of the sample selection effect appears to be of importance and a linear piecewise experience variable outperforms the quadratic specification

marriage motherhood and wages we explore several problems in drawing causal inferences from cross sectional relationships between marriage motherhood and wages we find that heterogeneity leads to biased estimates of the direct effects of marriage and motherhood on wages i e effects net of experience and tenure first difference estimates reveal no direct effect of marriage or motherhood on women s wages we also find statistical evidence that experience and tenure may be endogenous variables in wage equations instrumental variables estimates suggest that both ordinary least squares cross sectional and first difference estimates understate the direct negative effect of children on wages

balanced bayesian mechanisms in the transferable utility case a number of authors have identified conditions on beliefs that guarantee the existence of bayesian incentive compatible mechanisms with balanced transfers we present a new easy to interpret condition and we show that it is strictly more general than all the other conditions found in the literature we also study conditions guaranteeing the bayesian implementability of all social decision rules with balanced budget mechanisms

real and nominal effective exchange rates for 22 ldcs 1971 1 1990 4 the international monetary fund constructs and publishes the real and nominal effective exchange rates mostly for developed but not less developed countries this paper employs a method of constructing real and nominal effective exchange rate from the literature to produce quarterly data over the 1971 1990 period for 22 developing nations as an application the stationarity of real effective exchange rates are determined to establish the empirical validity of the purchasing power parity theory ppp the results reveal that ppp fails to hold for most countries

detecting and removing discrimination under equal opportunities policies abstract this paper surveys part of the recent voluminous literature on the economics of discrimination focusing on two key questions first how should discrimination be measured and can in fact unambiguous estimates be derived as the basis for detecting where discrimination is present and setting in train measures to eliminate it second to what extent has the implementation of equal opportunities legislation improved the relative standing of women and minority workers in the labour force this section includes a discussion of the likely effects of recent changes in the law such as the equal value amendment in the uk or the introduction of comparable worth in the usa the survey concludes that our ability to detect discrimination at all precisely is still rudimentary and consequently policy measures are likely to be inefficient for this reason

a folk theorem for bayesian games with commitment the set of all bayesian nash equilibrium payoffs that the players can achieve by making conditional commitments at the interim stage of a bayesian game coincides with the set of all feasible incentive compatible and interim individually rational payoffs of the bayesian game furthermore the various equilibrium payoffs which are achieved by means of different commitment devices are also the equilibrium payoffs of a universal deterministic commitment game

the ex ante incentive compatible core in the absence of wealth effects in a differential information economy with quasi linear utilities monetary transfers facilitate the fulfillment of incentive compatibility constraints the associated ex ante core is generically non empty however we exhibit a wellbehaved exchange economy in which this core is empty even if goods are allocated through random mechanisms

the wages of motherhood better or worse data from two british cohort studies show that women with children have lower wages than childless women we develop an innovative decomposition of this family gap the crude pay gap between mothers and childless women in their thirties was similar in 1978 and 1991 but low pay in part time work became more important in explaining this gap and human capital less so we find that among full time employees women who broke their employment at childbirth were subsequently paid less than childless women in contrast mothers who maintained employment continuity were as well paid as childless women but neither were as well remunerated as men copyright 1999 by oxford university press

work history patterns and the occupational attainment of women one of the main differences between the labour market behaviour of men and women lies in the discontinuity of labour force attachment exhibited by most women over their lifetime largely but not exclusively for the purpose of raising a family these interruptions to their labour market experience constitute an important influence on the labour market position of women and provide a potentially important factor in the explanation of their labour market disadvantate skills are obtained to a considerable extent through labour market experience and may be blunted in periods of absence from the labour force in addition absence from the labour force removes an individual labour market and may thereby reduce the probability of gaining extry to the better jobs on re entry the objectives of this paper are firstly to describe the various work history patterns exhibited by u k women and secondly to quantify the effect of these life cycle factors on the occupational attainment occupational progress and earnings of women the data source is the national training survey nts which provides a unique retrospective longitudinal data set on the work histories of over 50 000 individuals for details see manpower services commission 1976 this abstract was borrowed from another version of this item

efficiency despite mutually payoff relevant private information the finite case individuals have or observe partly private information they independently choose acts possibly including messages the center may also act individuals utilities may depend on all acts and information including others private information are there incentives depending only on public information that make desired behavior a bayesian equilibrium assume incentive payments are separable and fully transferable appropriate incentives exisit either if the center s information depends stochastically however slightly on all relevant private information or if individuals relative valuations of acts however divergent are not too dissimilarly affected by different states of nature more generally one gives necessary and sufficient conditions for existence whenever the strategy profile asks agents to reveal all private knowledge relevant to their beliefs about the center s information

purchasing power parity as a long run relation dickey fuller and stock watson tests of purchasing power parity ppp as a long run proposition are provided within the cointegration framework proposed by granger since different countries use different weights to construct price indices the traditional constraint that the coefficients on the price indices should be unity in the log linear ppp relation is relaxed the absence of a general ppp relation cannot be rejected at most a ppp relation is indicated in five out of fifteen country pairs that are examined even if a long run ppp relation exists it is not found to be useful in predicting future nominal exchange rates which is consistent with efficient speculative markets

econometric testing of purchasing power parity in less developed countries fixed and flexible exchange rate regime experiences we investigate the purchasing power parity ppp hypothesis for 16 less developed countries ldcs from all over the world during their fixed and flexible exchange rate experiences over the period 1957 01 1999 12 the main contribution of this article to the empirical literature on ppp is that our study is the first to consider ppp hypothesis on alternative exchange rate regimes for ldcs the bilateral exchange rates of ldcs and the united states and their respective price levels are considered three different time series methodologies are employed unit root tests engle granger 1987 cointegration technique and johansen multivariate var methodology 1988 the cointegration techniques improve the results which allows the examination of the more frequent long run relationship between relative prices and nominal exchange rates nevertheless using each of econometric techniques we find only a few and a nearly equal evidence in favour of ppp under the alternative regimes in ldcs hence the main conc

the economics of uk teacher supply the graduate s decision the problem of teacher supply in the united kingdom has generated considerable concern recently this paper studies a large cohort of graduates and their decision whether to become teachers or not a full structure model of the individual s decision is estimated which corrects for possible sample selection bias and models endogenously the role of relative earnings the findings provide support for the estimation procedure used and attest to the importance of relative pay in the individual graduate s career decision copyright 1990 by royal economic society

marital status child rearing and earnings differentials in the graduate labour market differential the importance of family role specialisation for the measurement of the residual earnings differential is examined within a sample selection model of participation and earnings the earnings differential between men and women may be divided into that explained by different characteristics and attributes and that due to residual factors one element of this residual may be discrimination although other factors may be incorporated in the unexplained component the residual also incorporates the effects on earnings associated with the production of home goods see polachek ig75 a b these will occur

the family gap for young women in the united states and britain can maternity leave make a difference in the united states and britain there is a family gap between the wages of mothers and other women differential returns to marital and parental status explain 40 50 of the gender gap another 30 40 is explained by women s lower levels of work experience and lower returns to experience taking advantage of quasi experiments in job protected maternity leave in the united states and britain this article finds that women who had leave coverage and returned to work after childbirth received a wage premium that offset the negative wage effects of children

informational size and the incentive compatible coarse core in quasilinear economies abstract in this paper we show that in quasilinear economies the incentive compatible coarse core is non empty if agents are informationally small in the sense of mclean and postlewaite 2002 and the strict core in each state is non empty

incomplete information incentive compatibility and the core abstract we consider an exchange economy in which agents possess private information at the time of engaging in state contingent contracts while communication of private information is permitted the true information state is not verifiable the enforcement of contracts is therefore limited by incentive compatibility constraints we formalize a notion of the core for such an economy our analysis can be viewed as an attempt to incorporate incentive compatibility in the coarse core of r wilson 1978 econometrica46 807 816 or as an attempt to introduce coalitional contracts in the notion of incentive efficiency of b holmstrom and r myerson 1983 econometrica51 1799 1819 while there are some special cases in which the incentive compatible core is non empty our main result shows that is not generally true journal of economic literatureclassification numbers c71 c72 d51

who skims the cream of the italian graduate crop wage employment versus self employment this paper tests whether academic achievement is a significant determinant of employment status in the italian labor market are new entrepreneurs selected from the top or bottom end of the graduate ability distribution is the cream of the graduate crop pulled into self employment by the higher expected earnings or are individuals with lower degree score pushed into entrepreneurship by poor alternatives our data show a strong negative relation between academic achievement and self employment status i e we find skimming of the best graduates into wage and salary work

matching as a tool to decompose wage gaps abstract this paper presents a methodology that uses matching comparisons to explain gender wage differences the approach emphasizes gender differences in the supports of the distributions of observable characteristics and provides insights into the distribution of unexplained gender pay differences this nonparametric alternative to the blinder oaxaca bo decomposition does not require the estimation of earnings equations and divides the gap into four additive elements two of these are analogous to the elements of the bo decomposition but computed only over the common support of the distributions of characteristics while the other two account for differences in the supports

a note on the incentive compatible core abstract we identify particular exchange economies with asymmetric information in which the ex ante incentive compatible core is nonempty provided that coalitions can allocate goods by means of random mechanisms both the use of random mechanisms and the restriction to a specific class of economies are crucial for the result indeed the ex ante incentive compatible core can be empty i in our class of economies if coalitions can only use deterministic mechanisms and ii outside this class even if random mechanisms are allowed journal of economic literature classification numbers c71 d82 d51

incentives and the existence of pareto optimal revelation mechanisms abstract from the characterization of strongly and bayesian incentive compatible paretooptimal mechanisms with transferable utilities we derive the following results if there are only two types per individual then a strongly incentive compatible paretooptimal mechanism exists if there are only two individuals with more than three types then there are sets of beliefs open in the class of all beliefs for which no bayesian incentive compatible pareto optimal mechanism exists if there are more than two individuals then the class of beliefs for which such mechanisms exist is open and dense in the class of all beliefs

targeting the real exchange rate theory and evidence abstract this paper presents a theoretical and empirical analysis of policies aimed at setting a more depreciated level of the real exchange rate an intertemporal optimizing model suggests that in the absence of changes in fiscal policy a more depreciated level of the real exchange rate can only be attained temporarily this can be achieved by means of higher inflation and or higher real interest rates depending on the degree of capital mobility evidence for brazil chile and colombia supports the model s prediction that undervalued real exchange rates are associated with higher inflation

arima and cointegration tests of ppp under fixed and flexible exchange rate regimes real exchange rates between the united states and its major trading partners were calculated for the bretton woods and flexible exchange rate periods unit root tests indicate that purchasing power parity performed poorly in both periods tests for cointegration reveal limited instances in which it is possible to estimate the deviations from ppp as an error correcting model the estimated error correcting models indicate that foreign but not u s prices responded to deviations from ppp frenkel s 1981b finding that purchasing power parity ppp worked better during the 1920s than the 1970s caused considerable controversy for example davutyan and pippenger 1985 contend that the socalled collapse of ppp is a result of an increase in the relative importance of real versus monetary shocks they argue that the 1970s as opposed to the 1920s was characterized by real supply shocks and the international coordination of monetary policies the argument is that ppp did not fail rather there was an increase in the volatility of those factors giving rise to deviations from ppp hakkio 1984 reestimated ppp over the 1920s and 1970s using cross country tests i e sure estimates to improve the efficiency of his estimates he was able to support the hypothesis that ppp worked better in the 1970s than in the 1920s on the other hand papers by adler and lehman 1983 dornbusch 1980 frenkel 1981a junge 1985 and krugman 1978 report findings contrary to the ppp hypothesis moreover kenen and rodrik 1986 find that the volatility of real exchange rates has increased throughout the flexible rate period this paper tries to shed some light on the importance and persistence of the observed deviations from purchasing power parity under alternative exchange rate systems while it is interesting to compare ppp in the 1920s versus the 1970s it is equally useful to compare the 1960s versus the 1970s and 1980s if real supply shocks and lack of monetary coordination are characteristic of the latter period ppp should perform better in the 1960s to illustrate the issues involved consider the following econometric model of relative purchasing power

subgame perfect cooperation in an extensive game abstract we propose a new solution concept for games in extensive form that incorporates both cooperation and subgame perfection from its definition and properties the new solution concept named the subgame perfect core is a refinement of the core of an extensive game in the same sense as the set of subgame perfect nash equilibria is a refinement of the set of nash equilibria to further characterize the subgame perfect core we show that each subgame perfect core payoff vector can be implemented as a non cooperative solution as it is a subgame perfect nash equilibrium payoff vector of an extensive form game that is closely related to the original game we also motivate and introduce a related concept of subgame perfect strong nash equilibrium of an extensive game that is coalition proof

the endogeneity of union status an empirical test an unsettled issue in the literature relating to the relative wage effect of unions is the appropriate treatment of union status in a wage determination model in the context of a three equation model determining union membership and union and nonunion sector wage rates this paper presents an instrumental variables iv procedure for estimating the parameters of the wage equations and a test of the exogeneity of union status using the hausman specification test an advantage of our iv procedure in comparison to the widely used inverse mill s ratio procedure is that our procedure is a distribution free estimator whereas the inverse mill s ratio estimator hinges in the assumption that the error term of the choice equation is normally distributed using data for a sample of middle aged white workers we estimate the parameters of the union and nonunion wage equations with both procedures on the key question of the endogeneity of union status the hausman test decisively rejects the null hypothesis of exo

labor market discrimination against hispanic and black men h ispanic american men have lower average wage rates than white non hispanics in 1975 the average white non hispanic male wage earner in the united states earned 5 97 an hour mexican men earned 4 31 72 as much as white non hispanics puerto rican men earned 4 52 76 as much and cuban men earned 5 33 89 as much as white non hispanics by way of comparison black men s average wages in 1975 were 4 65 78 of the white male wage several possible reasons for the hispanics lower wages come to mind among them are age and education geographic location immigration language difficulties and discrimination for example as shown in table 1 mexicans and puerto ricans are younger on average than the white non hispanic population and earnings tend to rise with age hispanics have lower average levels of education than white non hispanics and wages are positively associated with education many mexican americans live in the southwest where prices are relatively low moreover hispanics are more likely to be recent immigrants and to lack fluency in english than white non hispanics and so to be at a disadvantage in the labor market in addition there is a widespread belief that hispanics suffer from employment discrimination and cannot obtain the wages that their human capital would command if they were non hispanic whites how much of the wage differentials described above are due to each of these factors and to other inter group differences in wage related characteristics in particular how much impact does labor market discrimination have on the average hispanic man s wage and how does this compare with discrimination against blacks this paper provides answers to these questions a few other efforts have been made to analyze the relative earnings of hispanic and white nonhispanic men using 1960 and 1970 census data fogel 1966 poston and alvirez 1973 poston alvirez and tienda 1976 long 1977 and gwartney and long 1978 we use more recent data from the 1976 survey of income and education this data set enables us to measure wage rates more accurately and to specify the wage function more completely than does the census unlike previous analysts in estimating the wage function we take account of possible selectivity bias due to the distinction between average wage offers and average observed wages thus we hope to obtain a more accurate and up to date measure of labor market discrimination against hispanic men section ii explains the method used to separate the minority white non hispanic wage differential into the portions due to differences in average characteristics and the portion due to differences in unobserved factors and discrimination taking into account the possibility of selectivity bias in the observed wage sample section iii describes the data used in the study and the specification of the wage equation the breakdown of the observed wage differentials into components due to differences in participation in the wage and salary sector local price levels average characteristics and discrimination are presented in section iv section v summarizes our findings and discusses their implications for efforts to improve the economic situation of hispanics in the united states

entrepreneurial women and men two different species the ability of the self employed to create additional job opportunities is a fundamental concern given the huge increases in public resources targeted at new venture creation in the u k and other countries since 1979 this study initially concentrates on identifying differences in the personal and demographic characteristics of women and men in four potential labour market states namely unemployment waged employment single self employment and job creating self employment it then goes on to consider labour market transitions over a four year period between 1991 and 1995 the key findings are firstly that women entrepreneurs are better educated than their male counterparts and secondly that flows into self employment were considerably higher for men than women furthermore proportionately three times as many male self employed in 1991 had gone on to become job creating self employed by 1995

cooperation in strategic games revisited for two person complete information strategic games with transferable utility all major variable threat bargaining and arbitration solutions coincide this confluence of solutions by luminaries such as nash harsanyi raiffa and selten is more than mere coincidence staying in the class of two person games with transferable unility the article presents a more complete theory that expands their solution specifically it presents 1 a decomposition of a game into cooperative and competitive components 2 an intuitive and computable closed form formula for the solution 3 an axiomatic justification of the solution and 4 a generalization of the solution to games with private signals along with an arbitration scheme that implements it the objective is to restart research on cooperative solutions to strategic games and their applications jel codes c71 c72 c78 copyright 2013 oxford university press

econometric methods and purchasing power parity short and long run ppp this paper defines the different versions of the purchasing power parity and establishes the existing relationships between them in the light of econometric techniques monthly and annual data for real exchange rates are studied through a variance ratio test unlike other authors it is found that there is not explosive behaviour in the real exchange rate when monthly data are used besides stationarity is easily accepted using annual data these results allow to reconcile the two main versions of the purchasing power parity and also explain why trade imbalances are persistent but not permanent

core convergence with asymmetric information we analyze the ex ante incentive compatible core for replicated private information economies we show that any allocation in the core when the economy is replicated sufficiently often is approximately walrasian for the associated arrow debreu economy

how well do theories of job matching explain variations in job satisfaction across education levels evidence for uk graduates using ordered probit estimation technique this paper examines the job satisfaction of recent uk graduates focussing primarily on explaining job satisfaction in terms of individuals matching to jobs with the match depending on reservation returns information sets and job offer rates only limited support can be found for the argument that job matching explains higher job satisfaction in addition stylizing graduates as a peer group who form satisfaction levels based on their rankings relative to each other we examine whether or not education quality which raises peer group status and increases the job offer rate is systematically related to job satisfaction the results broadly support the hypothesis that job satisfaction is neutral across graduates of different education qualities however our specification tests indicate that ordered probit estimation may not be fully appropriate for identifying the characteristics of those with high job satisfaction

informational size and incentive compatibility we examine a general equilibrium model with asymmetrically informed agents the presence of asymmetric information generally presents a conflict between incentive com patibility and pareto efficiency we present a notion of informational size and show that the conflict between incentive compatibility and efficiency can be made arbitrarily small if agents are of sufficiently small informational size the incompatibility of pareto efficiency and incentive compatibility is a central theme in economics and game theory the issues associated with this incompatibility are particularly important in the design of resource allocation mechanisms in the presence of asymmetrically informed agents where the need to acquire information from agents in order to compute efficient outcomes and the incentives agents have to misrepresent that information for personal gain come into conflict despite a large literature that focuses on these issues there has been little work aimed at understanding those situations in which informational asymmetries are quantitatively important virtually every transaction is characterized by some asymmetry of information any investor who buys or sells a share of stock generally knows something rel evant to the value of the share that is not known to the person on the other side of the transaction in order to focus on more salient aspects of the problem many models rightly ignore the incentive problems associated with informa tional asymmetries in the belief that for the problem at hand agents are infor mationally small however few researchers have investigated the circumstances under which an analysis that ignores these incentive problems will yield results similar to those obtained when these problems are fully accounted for in this paper we study a class of mechanism design problems our goal is to formalize informational size in a way that when agents are informationally small 1 early versions of this paper circulated under the titles informational smallness and pareto effi ciency and informational smallness and incentive compatibility we thank jacques cremer dean foster andreu mas colell stephen morris david schmeidler and particularly faruk gul for help ful conversations and rajiv vohra for a very careful reading we also thank the numerous partici pants in seminars at which this paper was presented for helpful comments we also thank an editor and the referees for very helpful comments and thank ichiro obara for pointing out an error in an earlier version postlewaite gratefully acknowledges support from the national science foundation

virtual utility and the core for games with incomplete information abstract the core is extended to games with incomplete information the feasible set is characterized by incentive compatible mechanisms blocking is organized at the interim stage by an incentive compatible mediation plan membership of the blocking coalition itself may be determined randomly by the blocking mediator nonemptiness of an interim fine core is proven for games with a balanced structure independent types and sidepayments an offer of severance payments may be needed to inhibit blocking core allocations are characterized in terms of virtual utility scales that generalize the weighted utility scales of the inner core mechanisms that achieve core allocations are coalitionally durable

purchasing power parity an analysis based on the evolutionary spectrum the bulk of the literature on the empirical validation of the purchasing power parity ppp has been based on cointegration although on rare occasions band spectrum analysis has also been used the former is tied down to the use of notional time in the analysis of systems away from equilibrium and the latter is circumscribed by the slutzky yule effect both these drawbacks are sought to be remedied in the present paper which seeks to bring to bear upon the ppp a new approach derived from the concept of a time varying spectrum both absolute and relative versions of the doctrine are tested for ten advanced economies over the post 1973 period uniform rejection of the ppp occurs with the us as base but with centring on the dm the evidence seems to be supportive of the ppp in its relative version for three european countries

an empirical examination of long run purchasing power parity using cointegration techniques this paper presents an empirical analysis of long run purchasing power parity ppp for five major exchange rates using recently developed econometric techniques on the cointegration of economic time series our empirical results are extremely unfavourable to the ppp hypothesis as a long run equilibrium condition even with an allowance made for measurement error and or tranportation costs in particular we are unable to reject the hypothesis of non cointegration of the exchange rate and relative prices for any of the countries concerned far from finding a stable long run proportionality between exchange rates and relative prices our results therefore suggest that they tend to drift apart without bound

informational size incentive compatibility and the core of a game with incomplete information we study the ex ante incentive compatible core and provide conditions under which the ex ante incentive compatible core is nonempty when agents are informationally small in the sense of mclean and postlewaite 2002a econometrica 70 2421 2453