willingness to pay for stochastic improvements of future risk under different risk aversion abstract within a general intertemporal decision making framework this work shows one individual with more k th degree k 2 n ross risk aversion always chooses more current paying to improve his future payoff distribution when such stochastic improvement satisfies the n th degree mean preserving stochastic dominance moreover when stochastic improvement of the future payoff distribution is not mean preserving the notions of linearly quadratically restricted more ross risk aversion proposed by eeckhoudt liu and meyer 2017 can help provide a clear cut comparative statics analysis

new results on the relationship among risk aversion prudence and temperance abstract this note studies the relationships between different aspects of agent s preferences toward risk we show that under the assumptions of non satiation and bounded marginal utility prudence implies risk aversion imprudence implies risk loving and that temperance implies prudence intemperance implies imprudence the implications of these results for comparing risks in the cases of increase in risk increase in downside risk and increase in outer risk are discussed

is the entropy law relevant to the economics of natural resource scarcity abstract nicholas georgescu roegen and herman daly have argued that the entropy law imposes an absolute resource scarcity which cannot be overcome with technological change exploration or substitution on the contrary this paper argues that their critique is fundamentally flawed the pessimistic scenario requires a concept of materials entropy which is highly problematic materials entropy cannot be defined independently of technology and it is impossible to aggregate over different types of materials to meaningfully talk about available versus unavailable matter in the aggregate failing a concept of materials entropy the critique fails since the earth is not closed with respect to energy

eco thermodynamics economics and the second law the laws of physics especially the first and second laws of thermodynamics have significant implications for economic theory the major implications of the first law conservation of mass energy are straightforward and have been discussed at length elsewhere in brief raw material inputs to economic processes are not consumed having been extracted from the environment in the first place they eventually return to the environment as wastes the economic implications of the second law entropy law are far more subtle there is considerable literature initiated by the work of georgescu roegen on the supposed constraints on economic growth imposed by the fact that economic processes utilize low entropy raw materials fossil fuels and high grade metal ores and discard high entropy wastes however as a practical matter the flux of available low entropy energy exergy from the sun is extremely large and certainly adequate to sustain economic activity in the solar system indefinitely even though fossil fuel and metal ore stocks may eventually be exhausted it is argued in this paper that the real economic significance of the second law lies in the fact that exergy is i not conserved and ii is a useful common measure of resource quality as well as quantity applicable to both materials and energy thus exergy can be used to measure and compare resource inputs and outputs including wastes and losses this is potentially important in itself moreover since exergy is not conserved it is truly consumed i e used up in economic processes hence exergy is no less a factor of production than labor or capital this fact has strong implications for economic growth theory especially with regard to assessing the role of technical progress

redistribution income and voting a model that reconciles the positive association between income and voting found in cross sectional studies with the negative correlation between income and turnout over time is developed voting is modeled as a group rational activity voter turnout rates in the united states for the 1948 1960 1968 and 1980 elections are used to test the model voter turnout is found first to fall and then to rise as families move up the income distribution voter turnout also rises as real wages fall as educational attainment increases as elections become closer and as poll taxes and literacy tests are removed

optimal self protection in two periods on the role of endogenous saving self protection is a costly investment to reduce the probability of loss this paper studies optimal self protection in a two period model with endogenous saving in a setting with a binary loss we show that prudence is negatively associated with the optimal level of self protection consistent with results obtained in single period models we provide intuition for this finding with the help of a recent approach based on stochastic dominance furthermore we determine the effect of interest rate risk on optimal self protection and study a model in which a decision maker engages in advance effort to increase the probability of facing a better risky situation all our results suggest that the understanding of advance self protection crucially hinges on whether the decision maker also uses saving to optimize intertemporal consumption utility if so the fact that self protection expenditures are upfront turns out to be irrelevant

risk and precautionary saving in two person households the existing literature on precautionary saving is based almost entirely on the assumption that the household acts as if it consisted of a single individual decision taker in reality saving decisions are typically taken by two person households this paper examines the implications of this observation for the existence of precautionary saving and shows that the assumption that the individual utility functions satisfy the conditions for precautionary saving to exist can imply that the household exhibits precautionary saving but only under strong assumptions on the type of risk change being considered

credit rationing or entrepreneurial risk aversion a comment cressy 2000 argues that the positive correlation between assets and the rate of business startups is due to dara preferences we show however that the required property is prudence and prudence is consistent with dara iara or cara

a reexamination of the role of thermodynamics for environmental economics abstract as the discussion about the role of thermodynamics in environmental economics has not led to a conclusion yet a more fundamental approach seems to be necessary which also takes into consideration the relationship between economics and the natural sciences in general to this end value theory is chosen as a starting point because it is the centerpiece of every economic theory it is shown that neoclassical environmental economics suffers from serious deficiencies because of its value concept heedlessly copied from classical mechanics thermodynamics can be expected to be helpful to redress these defects because the economy can be thought of as a dissipative structure dependent on its environment the obvious way to integrate thermodynamics consists in the formulation of thermodynamic constraints to complement neoclassical environmental economics but this approach remains unsatisfactory because the neoclassical mechanical hardcore is incompatible with the entropy law and its implications evidently the neoclassical paradigm and its value concept have to be given up but the alternative of the energy theory of value must be rejected because its determinism cannot be reconciled with the richness of human behaviour as thermodynamic analogies offer no solution either there is a dilemma between the necessity and the apparent impossibility of adequately integrating thermodynamic concepts it turns out that a normative inconsistency is responsible which is due to the demand for intergenerational justice therefore the integration of thermodynamics into environmental economics hinges on a meta economic value decision if sustainability is adopted as the guiding principle the insights of thermodynamics call for a macro economic environmental policy setting absolute limits to the economy but this macro policy is incompatible with neoclassical economics so that a social reconstruction of economics based on a social theory of value becomes necessary in sum thermodynamics is important for environmental economics besides fulfilling a general heuristic function it also fulfils a decisive conceptual and an analytical function insofar as it helps to justify sustainability and to operationalize macro economic environmental policy

ranking contingent monitoring systems this paper seeks to provide a ranking of information systems in a setting of contingent monitoring control strategies that make the acquisition of additional information conditional on observing certain outcomes largely elude the existing ranking criteria we show that this happens because contingent monitoring involves more than the classical trade off between risk sharing and incentives it also requires a balancing of incentives and downside risk we then develop a refinement of the most common information system orderings that conveys this feature this allows us to reinterpret and generalize some of the literature s key results concerning for instance auditing policies with independent or with correlated signals and monitoring systems where the precision of an added signal is endogenous

on the productive value of biodiversity the paper investigates the value of biodiversity as it relates to the productive value of services provided by an ecosystem the value of biodiversity is linked with a deterioration in the functioning of the ecosystem the analysis examines how the value of an ecosystem can be greater than the sum of its parts first we propose a general measure of the productive value of biodiversity the measure involves an experiment that divides the ecosystem into sub systems that are less diverse keeping aggregate resources constant second the value of biodiversity is decomposed into four components reflecting the role of complementarity scale convexity and catalytic effects this provides new and useful information on the sources determinants and dynamics of biodiversity value

skewness preference risk aversion and the precedence relations on stochastic changes this paper provides a general choice theoretic characterization of the trade off between risk and skewness whose importance in understanding risk taking behavior is well documented in empirical studies the condition under which the prudence measure kimball 1990 characterizes the strength of an individual s downside risk aversion against his own risk aversion is identified and interpreted in a unifying framework based on the concept of one stochastic dominant change preceding another and that of the desirability of a stochastic change the framework is also shown to be useful for a better understanding of the arrow pratt measure the stronger ross measure and the coincidence of the characterizations of downside risk aversion and prudence as well as the relationship between stochastic dominances of different degrees

fighting corruption to precommit or not we consider a differential game with a corrupt government and civil society as its players we characterize open loop and feedback nash equilibria and find that whereas it is in the best interest of the government not to commit to a repression policy civil society is better off precommitting to fight corruption

is the entropy law relevant to the economics of natural resource scarcity comment abstract jeffrey t young s critique of the work of nicholas georgescu roegen and herman e daly questions the relevance of the entropy law for economic analysis and provides a concise faithful summary of the positions of georgescu roegen and daly along the way however young produces an alternative model of natural resource depletion that is based upon questionable interpretations of the laws of thermodynamics in particular young s claim that natural resource economics can be divided into conservation law orientations and entropy law orientations and his claim that the entropy law pertains to energy but not to matter seem unsupportable from a scientific view

easter island historical anecdote or warning for the future two standard solutions for the malthusian trap involve institutional reforms and technological progress using easter island as an example we investigate the hypothetical role that technological progress and population management reform might have played in preventing the collapse of the island s civilization the model includes a composite manufactured good and a composite harvested renewable resource fertility is assumed to rise with per capita income the resource s carrying capacity and intrinsic growth rate as well as labor s harvesting productivity are subject to technological progress fertility is subject to population management reform the model yields a system of two simultaneous nonlinear non autonomous differential equations we first study the system s steady states the system is then parameterized for easter island and its comparative dynamics are investigated in simulations we find that technological progress can generate large fluctuations in population renewable resources and per capita utility sometimes resulting in system collapse with high fertility rates the population and the resource vanish none of the simulations investigated here exhibit a constantly growing per capita utility over time finally we evaluate the applicability of these results to contemporary societies 2000 elsevier science b v all rights reserved

monotonicity of asset price toward higher changes in risk abstract this note gives the conditions on preferences to guarantee the monotonicity of asset prices when the payoffs of the risky asset change in the sense of the n th stochastic dominance and with an n th degree increase in risk those conditions are expressed in terms of the sign of the successive derivatives of the utility function coupled with the relative risk aversion of higher orders less than their benchmark values

tailored to the extremes quantile regression for index based insurance contract design a new approach for weather index based insurance design based on quantile regression qr to condition the yield index dependency is developed and compared to standard regression technique three conceptual different risk measures i e expected utility expected shortfall and a spectral risk measure are used to evaluate the risk reducing properties of these contracts our findings show that qr is much more powerful in establishing the yield index dependency and lead for all risk measures to a higher risk reduction than the standard technique ordinary least squares ols thus qr leads to a more efficient contract design which is beneficial for both the insurer smaller remaining risk and the insured higher demand and willingness to pay our empirical application is based on a 31 years long time series of wheat yield data from northern kazakhstan

putting risk in its proper place this paper examines preferences toward particular classes of lottery pairs we show how such concepts as prudence and temperance can be fully characterized by a preference relation over these lotteries if preferences are defined in an expected utility framework with differentiable utility the direction of preference for a particular class of lottery pairs is equivalent to signing the nth derivative of the utility function what makes our characterization appealing is its simplicity which seems particularly amenable to experimentation

liability insurance under the negligence rule we analyze the e ciency properties of the negligence rule with liability insurance when the tort feasor s behavior is imperfectly observable both by the insurer and the court e ciency is shown to depend on the extent to which the evidence is informative on the evidentiary standard for nding negligence and on whether insurance contracts can condition directly on the same evidence as used by courts to assess behavior when evidence is not directly contractible the negligence rule with compensatory damages is generally ine cient

the welfare effects of crop biodiversity as an adaptation to climate shocks in kenya abstract this paper investigates the effects of crop biodiversity on farm income and production risk using a large panel dataset of rural households in kenya we consider three different metrics of in situ on farm crop diversification richness evenness and concentration we apply a partial moments based model to test the effects of each strategy on welfare defined as expected crop income variability variance and downside risk skewness our comprehensive econometric approach differentiates climatic shocks weather and climate change the results suggest that the benefits from greater diversification in terms of enhanced land productivity and lower production costs could surpass the foregone benefit from greater efficiency associated with more concentrated production systems crop richness and evenness each reduce exposure to crop income risk especially for more vulnerable farmers who produce below the expected revenue threshold farmers who rely on greater crop specialization on the contrary are more exposed to crop income risk

dynamic rent seeking games the present paper analyses rent seeking games in which competitors for a rent can act and react finitely or infinitely often it argues for an infinite move model as the most appropriate specification of a model of rent seeking dynamic equilibrium analysis of this game suggests that wasteful expenditures in rent seeking competitions are lower than previously studied static simultaneous move games predict journal of economic literature classification numbers d72 c73

alternative approaches to comparative nth degree risk aversion this paper extends the three main approaches to comparative risk aversion the risk premium approach and the probability premium approach of pratt 1964 risk aversion in the small and in the large

asset smoothing consumption smoothing and the reproduction of inequality under risk and subsistence constraints abstract a growing literature asks whether low wealth agents can accumulate assets over time or whether they are trapped in poverty this paper develops a stochastic dynamic programming model with endogenous asset price risk to explore savings and portfolio decisions in a resource poor environment characterized by risk and subsistence constraints optimal portfolio strategies are found to bifurcate despite divisible assets and fully rational agents wealthier agents acquire a higher yielding portfolio and pursue conventional consumption smoothing poorer agents acquire a less remunerative portfolio and pursue asset smoothing rather than consumption smoothing asset based risk coping thus results in positive correlation between initial wealth and portfolio rate of return

risk efficiency and the adoption of modern crop varieties evidence from the philippines efficiency among farmers of less developed countries has been the focus of numerous studies since t w schultz hypothesized that farmers in developing agricultures are poor but efficient 1 a growing body of literature supports schultz s argument that farmers in developing agricultures have low incomes not because they use their resources inefficiently but because they lack the technology and resources they need to realize higher productivity and thus higher incomes a high priority in agricultural development assistance since the 1960s has been the generation of technology that would enable farmers to increase their productivity much research has been devoted to the causes of low agricultural productivity and the longer term productivity gains that may be forthcoming from modern technology but less attention has been devoted to the process of technology adoption by low income farmers as noted in the recent survey of adoption of agricultural innovations by g feder r e just and d zilberman there have been efforts to model adoption in the context of risk but there is a dearth of empirical evidence on the ways that farmers respond over time as a new production technology is introduced in a risky environment 2 in this article we address the empirical analysis of technical efficiency as farmers adopt new production technology taking into account production risk and learning we utilize recently developed efficiency criteria applicable when production is risky and implement these criteria using an approximation to a representative farmer s decision model 3 pooled time series and cross sectional data collected by the international rice research institute are used to investigate the

market justification for policy on small enterprise development the process of liberalization in developing economies and the increasing competition faced by small enterprises raise crucial policy issues on small enterprise development the policy maker in developing economies like india are faced with the option of supporting small enterprises through steps like reserving certain industries or by developing their ability to compete in niche markets enterprise level decisions are also critical for survival of these organisations selecting from these options require an understanding of the advantages that small enterprises have over the large enterprises the advantage of flexibility and responsiveness to consumer needs of small enterprise is expected to result in customer satisfaction in a market with differing consumer needs the hypothesis relates customer satisfaction to market share in a heterogeneous market a field study is carried out among consumers of packaged butter in a state in india the results do not indicate customer satisfaction with lower market share in a heterogeneous market

consistency of higher order risk preferences risk aversion a second order risk preference is a time proven concept in economic models of choice under risk more recently the higher order risk preferences of prudence third order and temperance fourth order also have been shown to be quite important while a majority of the population seems to exhibit both risk aversion and these higher order risk preferences a significant minority does not we show how both risk averse and risk loving behaviors might be generated by a simple type of basic lottery preference for either 1 combining good outcomes with bad ones or 2 combining good with good and bad with bad respectively we further show that this dichotomy is fairly robust at explaining higher order risk attitudes in the laboratory in addition to our own experimental evidence we take a second look at the extant laboratory experiments that measure higher order risk preferences and we find a fair amount of support for this dichotomy our own experiment also is the first to look beyond fourth order risk preferences and we examine risk attitudes at even higher orders

on the microeconomics of food and malnutrition under endogenous discounting abstract this paper explores the microeconomics and dynamics of food and nutrition it examines the linkages between malnutrition and the incentive to invest and accumulate capital the analysis focuses on a dynamic model where preferences about the future depend on nutrition and health situations of malnutrition cover both ends of the spectrum from nutrient deficiency to obesity the model involves preferences that are not time additive and exhibit endogenous discounting this provides a framework to investigate the factors affecting consumption and investment behavior the adverse investment incentives of malnutrition are examined

priority setting in health care and higher order degree change in risk this paper examines how priority setting in health care expenditures is influenced by the presence of uncertainty about the severity of the illness and the effectiveness of medical treatment we provide necessary and sufficient conditions on social preferences under which a social planner will allocate more health care resources to populations at higher risk changes in risk are defined by the concept of stochastic dominance up to order n the shape of the social utility function and an equity weighting function are used to model the inequality aversion of the social planner we show that for higher order risk changes the usual conditions on preferences such as prudence or relative risk aversion are not necessarily required to prioritise health care when there are different levels of uncertainty associated with otherwise similar patient groups

the comparative statics of a competitive industry facing demand uncertainty abstract the comparative statics of a competitive industry under uncertainty with free entry is clarified and extended using the general structure of random demand due to leland 1972 while strong results are obtained for the industry few unambiguous results can be derived for the firm

expo power utility a flexible form for absolute and relative risk aversion a new utility function which i call expo power is proposed that exhibits decreasing constant or increasing absolute risk aversion and decreasing or increasing relative risk aversion depending on parameter values numerical analysis suggests that the expo power function performs well in incorporating these risk preference structures and that arbitrary risk preference specifications may lead to biased risk response estimates

on skewed risks in economic models and experiments many of the most significant risks that people face in their lives are left skewed i e imply large losses with only small probability i characterize skewness in binary risks which are widely applied in both economic models and experiments moreover i provide an explicit re parametrization of binary risks in terms of their first three moments these results allow for the conducting of comparative statics analysis with regard to skewness and provide a useful tool for the calibration of lotteries in experiments i apply them to show that left skewed background risks give rise to a very strong precautionary saving motive and to collect additional laboratory evidence on skewness preference and risk seeking behavior

price level uncertainty saving and labor supply this paper derives the implications for individual saving and labor supply of increased uncertainty about the future price level the framework for the analysis is a two period model in which saving and labor supply are alternative sources of both present disutility and future income the individual is assumed to make simultaneously his saving and labor supply decisions prior to the resolution of the uncertainty about the future price level we find that under theoretically plausible and empirically relevant assumptions about attitudes toward risk an increase in future price level uncertainty increases individual saving and labor supply these results imply that for the economy as a whole increased uncertainty about the future price level increases output and employment while decreasing the real rate of interest the present price level and economic welfare

stronger measures of higher order risk attitudes this paper aims to extend the results by ross 1981 15 and by modica and scarsini 2005 13 to stochastic dominance of degree 4 and over specifically it is shown that ross approach can be extended to any order of risk attitude beyond the generalization proposed by modica and scarsini by means of sth degree increase in risk defined by ekern 1980 8 c 2010 elsevier inc all rights reserved

third degree stochastic dominance here f x and g x are less than cumulative probability distributionis where x is a continuous or discrete random variable representing the outcome of a prospect the closed interval a b is the sample space of both prospects the integral shown in rule 2 and those shown throughout the paper are stieltjes integrals recall that the stieltjes integral fb f x dg x exists if one of the functions f and g is continuous and the other has finite variation in a b let d1 d2 and d3 be three sets of utility functions x d1 is the set containing all utility functions with 4 x and 1 x continuous and 41 x 0 for all xe a b d2 is the set with x 1 x 2 x continuous and q j x 0 02 x o for all xc a b d3 is the set with x 1 x 2 x 3 x continuous and 1 x 04 2 x o o for all xc a b here 1 x denotes the ith derivative of x hadar and russell proved that rule 1 is valid for all cd1 and rutle 2 is valid for all ed2 the authors point out that the set of probability distributions that can be ordered by means of second degree stochastic dominance is in general larger than that which can be ordered by means of first degree stochastic dominance note that in rule 2 they assume that x is not only an increasing function of x but also exhibits weak global risk aversion a condition guaranteed by requiring the second derivative of x to be nonpositive in this paper a condition which will be called third degree stochastic dominance is considered it is based on the following assumption about the form of the utility function x from a normative point of view one expects the risk premium associated with an uncertain prospect to become smaller the greater is the individual s wealth the plausibility and implications of this assumption h ave been explored by john pratt as well as others the risk premium of an uncertain prospect is that amount by which the certainty equivalent of the prospect differs from its expected value in mathematical terms given the prospect f x with expected value a the corresponding risk premium t is obtained by solving the following equation rb

risk lovers and the rent over investment puzzle in this paper we prove existence and uniqueness of equilibrium in a rent seeking contest given a class of heterogeneous risk loving players we explore the role third order risk attitude plays in equilibrium and find that imprudence is sufficient for risk lovers to increase rent seeking investment above the risk neutral outcome moreover we show that rent can be fully dissipated in a standard tullock contest played by a large number of risk lovers

environmental constraints and sigmoid utility implications for value risk sensitivity and social status abstract friedman and savage journal of political economy 4 1948 279 proposed sigmoid utility theory to model the relationship between social class and risk sensitivity their proposal has not been explicitly modeled to allow for full testing of the concept we argue that sigmoid utility arises naturally from boundary conditions imposed by finite environmental resources that engender competition we also present a sigmoid formulation and examine its empirical warrant by considering economic data from anthropological historical and sociological cases studies standard risk sensitivity measures such as arrow pratt and downside risk aversion provide expectations for which individuals are most risk prone insights from prospect theory indicate under what conditions sigmoid utility may be most useful we consider the implications of environmental constraint in the context of the sigmoid model as an explanation for the nature of political turmoil during the collapse of maya civilization ca ad 850 we consider the role lack of constraint played in the american revolution and we explore how sigmoid utility can enrich our understanding of contemporary american voting behavior

risk aversion and the propensities for self insurance and self protection for a risk averse individual the methods for reducing the expected financial impact of a loss include reducing the severity of any loss that occurs self insurance and reducing the probability of the occurrence of a loss self protection the literature on this topic has pointed to several anomalies whereby the use of self protection and self insurance yield quite unsimilar results for example ehrlich and becker 5 show that self insurance is always a substitute for market insurance an insurance company s indemnifying a loss whereas self protection and market insurance might be complements dionne and eeckhoudt 4 show that a more risk averse consumer would always invest more in self insurance activities but not necessarily more in self protection activities they argue 4 42 that this result is counterintuitive and provides an exception to the widely accepted result that increased risk aversion reduces risky activities ehrlich and becker 5 639 argue that the incentive to self protect is not so dependent on attitude towards risk both of the above papers seem to take for granted that self protection activities reduce the riskiness of the final wealth distribution however as we argue below this is not the case if riskiness is defined as in rothschild and stiglitz 14 even if we use the variance as our risk measure we do not always reduce risk via self protection dionne and eeckhoudt suggest that these results might not be robust enough to extend to models that incorporate random initial wealth risk and state dependent preferences we show that the model seems to be very robust we also explain why self protection is not at all an exception to the long standing result of arrow 1 whereby more risk averse individuals undertake a lower

stochastic dominance and expected utility survey and analysis while stochastic dominance has been employed in various forms as early as 1932 it has only been since 1969 1970 that the notion has been developed and extensively employed in the area of economics finance agriculture statistics marketing and operations research in this survey the first second and third order stochastic dominance rules are discussed with an emphasis on the development in the area since the 1980s

georgescu roegen daly versus solow stiglitz revisited there are two key issues which are not fullyelaborated in the papers in a recent special issueof ecological economics the contribution ofnicholas georgescu roegen vol 22 no 3 1997 i the operational meaning of substitutionin production function and ii the effect of tech nological improvement on resource utilization inthis piece we examine these two issues based on i georgescu roegen s conceptualization of pro duction process and ii jevons paradox neoclassical production functions whether forindividual rms or the aggregate economy as sume that any factor can always be substituted forany other factor except the cases of xed coef cients and or the existence of limitational factors the implication or entailment of this assumptionis that an increase in the input of any factoralways yields an increase in output this is thebasis for solow s contention that t he world can in effect get along without natural resources solow 1974 however those neoclassical economists adopt ing the substitution assumption have not paid dueattention to the essential distinction between ows quantities of materials qualitatively trans formed in the process and funds agents trans forming a given set of in ows into a given set ofout ows in the material production process georgescu roegen 1971 neglecting this dis tinction results in a systematic indifference to thebiophysical foundation of economic activities infact according to georgescu roegen 1990 fordesigning a blueprint of a factory process anexpert has to consider a set of three relationships i the normal rate of output

on crop biodiversity risk exposure and food security in the highlands of ethiopia this paper investigates the effects of crop genetic diversity on farm productivity and production risk in the highlands of ethiopia using a moment based approach the analysis uses a stochastic production function capturing mean variance and skewness effects welfare implications of diversity are evaluated using a certainty equivalent measured as expected income minus a risk premium reflecting the cost of risk we find that the effect of diversity on skewness dominates its effect on variance meaning that diversity reduces the cost of risk the analysis also shows that the beneficial effects of diversity

an investigation of marketing practice by firm size abstract in a review of the state of knowledge at the marketing entrepreneurship interface muzyka and hills 1993 posed the following question just how well do existing marketing models and the traditional marketing paradigm fit the environment behavior and processes found in entrepreneurial organizations this is a particularly important issue to consider given that small firm practices have historically been assessed in the context of existing marketing models models based on large firm practices perhaps not surprisingly small firm marketing practices have generally been criticized as non traditional informal short term and non strategic however given that the marketing discipline is undergoing a transformation with new paradigms of thought emerging for example relationship marketing is it now appropriate to assess small firm practices in the context of a broader more contemporary perspective this research examines the relevance of the traditional marketing paradigm to smaller firms in terms of market planning the type of marketing practiced and the use of performance measures smaller firm practices are compared with those of larger firms in the context of a framework that integrates both the transactional and relational schools of marketing thought thus both traditional and emerging paradigms are considered three hypotheses are examined using a self administered survey designed to collect quantitative and qualitative data pertaining to the firm s various marketing practices and processes the sample consists of 302 firms reflecting two similar sub samples of managers attending part time executive programs in new zealand n 192 and canada n 110 these managers represent firms of varying size age growth rate use of technology and industry sector analysis was controlled for each of these variables with firm size being the primary unit of analysis the results show that in certain areas marketing practices differ between smaller and larger firms for example size related differences are reflected in the approach to market planning where smaller firms are found to be more informal than larger firms smaller firms also use fewer ways to measure market performance than larger firms at the same time the findings also indicate that small firm marketing practices are similar to those of larger firms in many ways with both transactional and relational marketing relevant across firm size for example similarities can be identified in the intent of marketing decisions the expected duration of customer relationships the nature of customer contact and where firms invest marketing resources the results show that both types of firms practice aspects of the traditional transaction view of marketing and also emphasize the development and management of personal relationships with individual customers and efforts to position the firm in a net of various market relationships these latter practices reflect the more contemporary relational marketing paradigm overall this study enriches our understanding of marketing practices by viewing them in the context of a contemporary framework by taking a more modern and integrated view of marketing the study also provides greater realism to our appreciation of issues at the marketing entrepreneurship interface on one hand it confirms that the traditional models related to market planning and performance measurement are not fully evidenced in the practices of smaller firms these results clearly support the mainstream entrepreneurship literature on the other hand the study also shows aspects of the traditional paradigm do fit the environment behaviors and processes found in entrepreneurial organizations more importantly however the findings show that to understand and assess small firm practices we must move beyond the traditional marketing paradigm to appreciate a broader more modern perspective in doing so we find evidence that the types of marketing practiced by smaller and larger firms are not in fact fundamentally different in terms of practical implications for managers of smaller firms investment time personal effort and financial resources should be placed in both individual relationships and the development of the firm s position in a network of firms as the firm grows this understanding of relational marketing will serve the firm well given managers in larger firms report a perceived need to improve their skills in this area the traditional view of marketing is also relevant to smaller firms by learning how to competently manage the areas of product price promotion and distribution in a manner appropriate to the smaller firm the organization can develop a base on which to develop customer relationships and also the capacity to compete as a larger organization with regards to planning and performance measurement a number of implications can also be drawn for example smaller firms are more informal than larger firms in terms of their market planning as managers in these firms seem to want to improve their planning processes it might be suggested that this in fact be done however since this study does not link planning to market performance it is inappropriate to suggest that smaller firms should become more formal as their informality may well be an inherent characteristic of an entrepreneurial organization and not necessarily a weakness in terms of performance measurement the results of the study show that smaller firms tend to rely primarily on financial indicators thus managers should be aware of the risk of being myopic and seek to capitalize on their close market contact by better use of customer feedback they might also learn from the more holistic approach taken by larger firms managers should however question the relevance of market performance measures in the context of their specific firm and it s environment and not simply adopt formal large firm tools without due consideration

measuring stochastic technology the case of tulare milk production the flexible moment based approach to production analysis is used to measure the stochastic structure of large scale dairy production in tulare county california this approach is flexible because it does not impose restrictions on the relationships between decision variables and the moments of the probability distribution of output the parameter estimates support the hypothesis that second and third moments are functions of inputs and indicate that capital intensive dairies are riskier the implied behavior of a risk averse dairy manager changed markedly when the effects of inputs on the skewness of the output distribution were included in a decision model

asymmetric price risk an econometric analysis of aggregate sow farrowings 1973 86 aggregate sow farrowing response to price risk is estimated where price risk is defined as the difference between expected price at decision time and realized price at acquisition or selling time asymmetric unfavorable deviations and symmetric favorable and unfavorable deviations forms of price risk are estimated utilizing cash and futures prices statistical results suggest that an asymmetric form of risk analysis is preferred to a symmetric form for both cash and futures markets

the impact of prudence on optimal prevention revisited this paper re examines the link between absolute prudence and self protection activities we show that the level of efiort chosen by an agent with positive and decreasing absolute prudence is larger than the optimal efiort chosen by a risk neutral agent if the degree of absolute prudence is less than a threshold that is utility independent and empirically veriflable we explain this threshold by a trade ofi between the variation of the variance and the level of the third moment of the loss distribution we also discuss our result in terms of skewness our contribution extends the model of eeckhoudt and gollier 2005

tax rate uncertainty factor supplies and welfare uncertainty about prospective changes in tax rates may increase factor supplies and hence the tax base permitting a reduction in tax rates that could result in a net increase in welfare under empirically relevant assumptions about attitudes towards risk we find that when an individual exclusively saves or works the tax base rises in response to greater tax rate uncertainty so that welfare could indeed increase however when an individual both saves and works the supply of the randomly taxed factor declines with increased uncertainty implying that tax revenue and welfare decrease when the nonrandom tax rate is sufficiently low

risk preferences production risk and firm heterogeneity a new technique is proposed for deriving the risk preference function under production risk and expected utility of profit maximization the derivation depends on neither a specific parametric form of the utility function nor any distribution of the error term representing production risk the proposed risk preference function is flexible enough to test different types of risk behavior and symmetry of the output distribution furthermore our production risk specification allows for inputs with positive and negative marginal risk the econometric model accommodates production risk risk preferences and firm heterogeneity simultaneously norwegian salmon farming data are used as an application

skewness preference and portfolio choice one of the virtues of parameter preference models presented in general form in rubinstein 23 is their empirical content applied models of financial theory rely heavily on the mean variance mv version of parameter preference as spelled out in samuelson 25 mv models are adequate with compact distributions of returns and when portfolio decisions are made frequently so that the risk parameter becomes sufficiently small

substituting one risk increase for another a method for measuring risk aversion abstract this paper defines the rate of substitution of one stochastic change to a random variable for another it then focuses on the case where one of these changes is an nth degree risk increase and the other is an mth degree risk increase where n m 1 the paper shows that the rate of substitution for these two risk increases can be used to provide a broader definition and two additional characterizations of the nth degree ross more risk averse partial order the implications for local intensity measures of nth degree risk aversion are also examined the analysis organizes the existing results as well as generates new ones

greater downside risk aversion in the large abstract in this paper we advance a definition of greater downside risk aversion that applies to both large and small changes in risk preference and thereby complements the results for small changes reported previously we show that a downside risk averse transformation of a utility function results in a function that is more downside risk averse in the same manner that a risk averse transformation increases risk aversion our demonstration is conducted first by using the compensated approach introduced by diamond and stiglitz p diamond j stiglitz increases in risk and in risk aversion j econ theory 8 1974 337 360 and then by using an adaptation of the risk premium approach taken by pratt j pratt risk aversion in the small and in the large econometrica 32 1964 122 136

nonstructural risk attitude estimation this paper presents an econometric approach to risk attitude estimation that does not require joint estimation of the structure of the firm s technology and input decision rules the nonstructural approach replaces optimal input choice with the assumption that farmers optimally manage their portfolios of productive activities by thus shifting the focus from the detailed production decisions of the farm manager to the net returns of the whole farm operation the modeling problem is simplified the nonstructural approach is used to estimate risk attitudes in three indian villages the results are compared to previous experimental and econometric estimates from the same villages

testing for prudence and skewness seeking numerous theoretical predictions such as precautionary saving or preventive behavior have been derived for prudent decision makers further prudence can be characterized as downside risk aversion and plays a key role in preference for skewness we use a simple experimental method to test for prudence and skewness preference in the laboratory and compare the two to this end we introduce a novel graphical representation of compound lotteries that is easily accessible to subjects and test it for robustness using a factorial design prudence is observed on the aggregate and individual level we find that prudence does not boil down to skewness seeking we further provide some theoretical explanations for this result this paper was accepted by peter wakker decision analysis

experiential learning competitive selection and downside risk a new perspective on managerial risk taking it is part of managerial wisdom that managers need to take risks in order to succeed this is in stark contrast to the prominent agent based theories of experiential learning and competitive selection that are known to be biased against risky alternatives in the long run how can the positive managerial view on risk taking prevail given these results qualitative surveys of managers suggest risks to be acceptable if their outcome distribution meets certain criteria we argue in this paper that these criteria are widely congruent with low downside risk using a novel simulation design we analyze the effects of experiential learning and competitive selection on downside risk preferences in an ecology of agents in the long run experiential learning implies weak downside risk seeking whereas competitive selection leads to strong downside risk aversion furthermore competitive selection leads to the prevalence of outcome distributions with low downside risk in an ecology even if they have a significantly higher level of total risk than comparable distributions with more downside risk we draw implications for empirical studies on managerial behavior the online appendix is available at https doi org 10 1287 orsc 2017 1149

do risk lovers invest in self protection we show that there is a class of risk lovers who optimally choose a positive level of self protection investment in most cases a risk lover increases his self protection investment as he becomes less downside risk averse

cultivating trust norms institutions and the implications of scale we study the co evolution of honesty norms and institutions new trading opportunities require institutional changes to be realised since the initial vulnerability of institutions to opportunistic behaviour leads to the deterioration of norms we show how an escape from opportunism requires that institutional improvements outpace norm deterioration a key prediction emerges larger economies are more likely to evolve to steady states with strong honesty norms but need not have better institutions this prediction is tested using a cross section of countries population has a significant positive relationship with trust even when controlling for standard trust determinants and institutional quality

modelling small business growth and profitability this paper develops a simple structural model relating small business performance to firms market position and the characteristics of their owner managers attention focuses on two questions what determines firms choice of business strategy and how does strategy choice change subsequent business performance taking into account both relationships the paper examines the links between the performance of a large group of irish small businesses over the 1993 94 period and their market and owner managers characteristics in 1991 the analysis suggests three main empirical results first firms turnover growth and return on assets are only weakly related in the short term above average growth rates are therefore no guarantor of high profitability moreover a number of characteristics of firms market position and their owner managers are found to have the opposite effects on profitability and growth rates secondly our data provides no evidence of the persistence of turnover growth rates above or below the average above average profit rates were also found to persist only in the very short term thirdly small firm performance is shown to depend strongly on strategy choice with turnover growth being particularly strategy dependent this highlights the importance for small firms of making the correct strategy choices a point emphasised by the negative profitability and growth effects of some strategy choices one strategy choice that had positive effects on both profitability and growth was the development of new export markets

stochastic dominance analysis without the independence axiom we characterize the consistency of a large class of nonexpected utility preferences including mean variance preferences and prospect theory preferences with stochastic orders for example stochastic dominances of different degrees our characterization rests on a novel decision theoretic result that provides a behavioral interpretation of the set of all derivatives of the functional representing the decision maker s preferences as an illustration we consider in some detail prospect theory and choice acclimating preferences two popular models of reference dependence under risk and we show the incompatibility of loss aversion with prudence this paper was accepted by james smith decision analysis

the story of the moment risk averse cypriot farmers respond to drought management this article illustrates the importance of estimating risk preferences when evaluating water policy using agricultural production data from the kiti region of cyprus we estimate farmers risk preferences a la antle journal of business and economic statistics 1 192 201 1983 american journal of agricultural economics 69 509 22 1987 and show sensitivity to higher order moments of profit such as skewness we show that farmers in the kiti region are risk averse with risk premiums in the region of 20 of expected profit we use these estimates to analyse the impact of a water quota from the perspective of three policy makers who differ only in their understanding of farmers risk preferences we show in the case of kiti that policy makers who model risk preferences incorrectly that is either a assume risk neutrality or b ignore down side risk wrongly predict the magnitude and direction of input responses and therefore the magnitude of welfare changes this highlights the importance of accomm

carrying capacity in agriculture global and regional issues abstract much of the debate over world agricultural futures centers on the issue of yield growth optimists in the field base their analyses on a technology and input driven rate of increase in yields which they argue has outpaced population growth and will continue to do so leaving a margin for steady increase in per capita incomes those who are sometimes classified as pessimists we prefer the term ecological realists see practical limits to global and regional carrying capacity in agriculture and maintain that the world is close to or may even have passed these limits projections for world agriculture in the first half of the twenty first century vary widely largely depending on assumptions on yield growth we investigate the pattern of yield growth for major cereal crops and present evidence that the growth pattern is logistic not exponential this pattern is consistent with ecological limits on soil fertility water availability and nutrient uptake projections for supply and demand in the twenty first century based on a logistic rather than an exponential model of yield growth imply that the world is indeed close to carrying capacity in agriculture and that specific resource and ecological constraints are of particular importance at the regional level a supply side strategy of increased production has already led to serious problems of soil degradation and water overdraft as well as other ecosystem stresses this implies that demand side issues of population policy and efficiency in consumption are crucial to the development of a sustainable agricultural system

the dynamics of lobbying a differential game this paper presents a dynamic model on lobbying the interactions between two competing lobbies who attempt to influence regulations and legislation are modelled as a differential game we consider for this game first a time consistent and then a subgame perfect equilibrium in linear markov strategies the subgame perfect equilibrium lowers considerably lobbying activity and expenses this provides a partial explanation of the puzzle that rent seeking expenses are often small compared with the prize sought

changes in risk and the demand for saving abstract how does risk affect saving empirical work typically examines the effects of detectible differences in risk within the data how these differences affect saving in theoretical models depends on the metric one uses for risk for labor income risk second degree increases in risk require prudence to induce increased saving demand however prudence is not necessary for first degree risk increases and not sufficient for higher degree risk increases for increases in interest rate risk a precautionary effect and a substitution effect need to be compared this paper provides necessary and sufficient conditions on preferences for an n th degree change in risk to increase saving

conditional coskewness in stock and bond markets time series evidence in the context of a three moment intertemporal capital asset pricing model specification we characterize conditional coskewness between stock and bond excess returns using a bivariate regime switching model we find that both conditional u s stock coskewness the relation between stock return and bond volatility and bond coskewness the relation between bond return and stock volatility command statistically and economically significant negative ex ante risk premiums the impacts of stock and bond coskewness on the conditional stock and bond premiums are quite robust to various model specifications and various sample periods and also hold in another major developed country the united kingdom the findings also carry important implications for portfolio management