armington elasticities for energy policy modeling evidence from four european countries elasticities of substitution among imports and competing domestic production armington elasticities play an important role in computable general equilibrium cge assessments of energy and climate policy this paper provides estimates of armington elasticities for 15 commodity groups in four european countries since armington elasticities are found to be rather low on average researchers may want to reconsider the device of using high values of armington elasticities in cge models to avoid unrealistic competitiveness effects or emission leakage rates associated with energy or carbon taxes or other forms of energy related regulation estimated elasticities tend to be higher in the case of machinery and other investment goods than in the case of primary products ores and chemicals as well as consumer goods

multi product budget constrained acquisition and pricing with uncertain demand and supplier quantity discounts abstract we consider the joint acquisition and pricing problem where the retailer sells multiple products with uncertain demands and the suppliers provide all unit quantity discounts the problem is to determine the optimal acquisition quantities and selling prices so as to maximize the retailer s expected profit subject to a budget constraint this is the first extension to consider supplier discounts in the constrained multi product newsvendor pricing problem we establish a mixed integer nonlinear programming minlp model to formulate the problem and develop a lagrangian based solution approach computational results for the test problems involving up to thousand products are reported which show that the proposed approach can obtain high quality solutions in a very short time

semi nonparametric estimates of interfuel substitution in u s energy demand abstract this paper focuses on the demand for crude oil natural gas and coal in the united states in the context of two globally flexible functional forms the fourier and the asymptotically ideal model aim estimated subject to full regularity using methods suggested over 20 years ago by gallant and golub gallant a ronald and golub gene h imposing curvature restrictions on flexible functional forms journal of econometrics 26 1984 295 321 and recently used by serletis and shahmoradi serletis a shahmoradi a 2005 semi nonparametric estimates of the demand for money in the united states macroeconomic dynamics 9 542 559 in the monetary demand systems literature we provide a comparison in terms of a full set of elasticities and also a policy perspective using for the first time parameter estimates that are consistent with global regularity

generalized travel cost model and water quality benefits a reconsideration with federal agencies required to conduct benefit cost analyses for each new major regulation analyses of water quality changes are likely to be an increasingly important part of the policymaking process a revised version of the travel cost demand model and illustrations show the importance of these revisions for the model s estimates although the magnitude of the difference in benefit estimates between the original and new versions of the model varies with the specific recreation site selected the findings indicate that the original model generally implied estimated benefits from three to over 30 times as large as the revised model this implies that judgment can play an important role in the definition and use of economic models as well as the need for better information on households recreation decisions and more complete description of recreation site characteristics 15 references 4 tables

separability functional form and regulatory policy in models of interfuel substitution abstract counter intuitive results such as positive own price elasticities have been found in some studies of interfuel substitution this paper examines three possible reasons for this problem first including energy materials in petroleum and coal aggregates is found to contribute to incorrect signs second the mathematical properties of the translog function contribute to concavity violations in contrast the linear logit model of cost shares is found to provide more sensible estimates of own price elasticities across alternative model specifications finally natural gas curtailment policies and environmental regulations are found to be significant factors influencing us industrial fuel demand although omission of these factors does not directly contribute to curvature violations

competitive nonlinear tariffs abstract this paper generalizes the study of nonlinear tariffs i e those depending nonlinearly on the quantity purchased to the case of a symmetric oligopoly competitive equilibria and the corresponding tariffs are analyzed in a cournot framework various equilibria are obtained which depend both upon the number of competing suppliers and the choice of market parameters used to characterize the competitors strategies buyers are classified by type each selecting an optimal consumption level in response to the prevailing tariff the phenomena of buyer self selection found in monopoly nonlinear pricing and the scaling of equilibrium demand elasticity found in cournot models both appear in the results

implicit understandings in channels of distribution formal agreements can be used to achieve coordination among channel members these agreements work by exerting explicit control over the members who make the agreements however implicit understandings can be used as a partial substitute for more formal agreements in this paper we show that implicit understandings can develop as channel members learn about each other s behavior we show that this learning leads to the use of the implicit influence each channel member has over the other s behavior the learning leading to an implicit understanding requires some form of experimentation or historical observation this learning results in an oscillating retail price when only one channel member learns the other s behavior both channel members obtain greater profits than when neither member learns and both channel members obtain less profits than when both members learn however the member who does not learn obtains more profits than the member who learns we also show that implicit understandings r

investigation of stated and revealed preferences for an elk hunting raffle the charter forest experiment at the valles caldera national preserve vcnp in new mexico provides land managers policymakers and researchers a unique opportunity to examine an alternative public land management institution the vcnp mature bull elk permit lottery has been the largest revenue generating recreation program at the preserve since the program s inception in 2002 this paper uses stated and revealed preference ticket purchase data collected through an online survey to estimate a set of ticket demand equations for the purpose of assessing revenue generation access and the willingness to donate to this program

designing a firm s coordinated manufacturing and supply decisions with short product life cycles in this paper we consider a problem of joint coordination between a firm s manufacturing and supply departments the manufacturing department is responsible for meeting random demand of a product with a short life cycle the supply department s responsibility is to provide the sufficient amount of raw materials so that the required production level can be achieved when coordination prevails both departments decisions are jointly made otherwise decisions are made independently without an exchange of information if the random demand exceeds the amount produced a second production run can be expedited at a substantially higher cost our analysis yields insightful results to such a coordination problem between the two departments we provide conditions under which it is desirable to coordinate resulting in a significant increase in expected profit if coordination is optimal then the supply department would purchase additional reserved material for the second run under this scenario we analyze the effects of joint coordination on the expected profit we also find explicit conditions for which joint coordination is not beneficial i e the supply department should only order sufficient material to meet the first production run requirements we provide a detailed set of numerical examples and generate response surfaces indicating the desirability of coordination for different pairs of parameter combinations

pricing and the news vendor problem a review with extensions in the newsvendor problem a decision maker facing random demand for a perishable product decides how much of it to stock for a single selling period this simple problem with its intuitively appealing solution is a crucial building block of stochastic inventory theory which comprises a vast literature focusing on operational efficiency typically in this literature market parameters such as demand and selling price are exogenous however incorporating these factors into the mode l can provide an excellent vehicle for examining how operational problems interact with marketing issues to influence decision making at the firm level in this paper we examine an extension of the newsvendor problem in which stocking quantity and selling price are set simultaneously we provide a comprehensive review that synthesizes existing results for the single period problem and develop additional results to enrich the existing knowledge base we also review and develop insight into a dynamic inventory extension of this problem and motivate the applicability of such models

the value of changes in deer hunting quality a travel cost approach 1988 the value of changes in deer hunting quality a travel cost approach applied economics vol 20 no 4 pp 533 539

the optimality of s s policies for a stochastic inventory problem with proportional and lump sum penalty cost in this paper we consider a single product multi period inventory problem for which the penalty cost consists of two parts a lump sum portion which is independent of the size of the shortage and a portion which is linear in the size of the shortage we show that for all nonincreasing demand density functions the expected total cost function is k convex and hence there is an optimal policy for the n period problem that is s s

assessing energy price induced improvements in efficiency of capital in oecd manufacturing industries to assess how capital stocks adapt to energy price changes it is necessary to account for the impacts on different vintages of capital and to account separately for price induced and autonomous improvements in the energy efficiency of capital stock the results of econometric analysis for five manufacturing industries in 19 oecd countries between 1990 and 2005 indicate that higher energy prices resulted in smaller energy use due to both improved energy efficiency of capital stock and reduced demand for the energy input the investment response to energy prices varied considerably across manufacturing industries being more significant in energy intensive sectors the results of policy simulations indicate that a carbon tax can deliver significant reductions in energy consumption in the medium run with modest declines in energy using capital stock

managing channel profits a channel of distribution consists of different channel members each having his own decision variables however each channel member s decisions do affect the other channel members profits and as a consequence actions a lack of coordination of these decisions can lead to undesirable consequences for example in the simple manufacturer retailer consumer channel uncoordinated and independent channel members decisions over margins result in a higher price paid by the consumer than if those decisions were coordinated in addition the ensuing suboptimal volume leads to lower profits for both the manufacturer and the retailer this paper explores the problems inherent in channel coordination we address the following questions what is the effect of channel coordination what causes a lack of coordination in the channel how difficult is it to achieve channel coordination what mechanisms exist which can achieve channel coordination what are the strengths and weaknesses of these mechanism what is the role of nonprice variables e g manufacturer advertising retailer shelf space in coordination does the lack of coordination affect normative implications from in store experimentation can quantity discounts be a coordination mechanism are some marketing practices actually disguised quantity discounts we review the literature and present a simple formulation illustrating the roots of the coordination problem we then derive the form of the quantity discount schedule that results in optimum channel profits this article was originally published in marketing science volume 2 issue 3 pages 239 272 in 1983

interfuel competition in the industrial sector of seven oecd countries abstract the purpose of this article is to present an analysis of interfuel substitution in the industrial sector of seven major oecd countries the united states canada japan germany france the united kingdom and italy over the 1960 1993 period translog models are used to provide estimates of price elasticities from annual data for each country results outline the weakness of price elasticities and changes in behaviour over the last 35 years and show evidence of asymmetric effects since the collapse of oil prices in 1986 substitution has stopped industrial energy demand and oil consumption have stagnated interfuel substitution is widely induced by events other than relative price changes energy policy political and institutional constraints changes in economic activity characteristics within individual country sectors

a dynamic analysis of interfuel substitution in u s industrial energy demand using data for 1960 92 to analyze interfuel substitution in the u s industrial sector a dynamic linear logit model is shown to provide superior global properties than a comparable dynamic translog model confirming earlier static results by t j considine 1989 the linear logit model provides a direct unbiased estimate of the rate of dynamic adjustment indicating a median response lag of less than two years excluding fuels used for nonenergy purposes yields larger estimates of the price elasticities for coal and oil and indicates generally greater potential for interfuel substitution than when using aggregate data

unconventional energy taxation and interstate welfare an analysis of pennsylvania s severance tax policy abstract natural gas production from unconventional sources has increased over the past decade a significant portion of this increase has come from output in the marcellus region of pennsylvania this output has altered gas markets and repositioned pennsylvania as a major gas exporter it has also put pennsylvania at odds with other states as it is one of a few without a formal severance tax on extractive resources in this paper we combine results from a structural demand model with a two sector trade model to analyze the interstate welfare impacts of pennsylvania s current severance tax proposal our results demonstrate that most of the welfare losses from this proposed policy are likely to be shifted to residents in other states we also demonstrate how fluctuations in gas prices can substantially reduce tax revenue these findings have important implications for both pennsylvania and u s energy policy given the significant rise in energy production from new sources throughout the u s

an approach for developing an optimal discount pricing policy this paper addresses the problem of why and how a seller should develop a discount pricing structure even if such a pricing structure does not alter ultimate demand the situation modeled is most appropriate where the seller s product does not represent a major component of the buyer s final product where the demand for the product is derived or where the price is only one of many factors considered in making a purchase decision a model of buyer reaction to any given pricing scheme is developed to show that there exists a unified pricing policy which motivates the buyer to increase its ordering quantity per order thereby reducing the joint buyer and seller ordering and holding costs as a result the seller is able to reduce its costs while leaving the buyer no worse off and often better off the model is extended to handle variable ordering and shipping costs and situations where the seller faces numerous groups of buyers each having different ordering policies finally a case study is presented explicitly showing how the proposed pricing policy can be applied to the situation of a large seller selling to a number of different buyer groups

a dynamic analysis of interfuel substitution for swedish heating plants abstract this paper estimates a dynamic model of interfuel substitution for swedish heating plants we use the cost share linear logit model developed by considine and mount considine t j mount t d 1984 the use of linear logit models for dynamic input demand systems review of economics and statistics 66 434 443 all estimated own price elasticities are negative and all cross price elasticities are positive the estimated dynamic adjustment rate parameter is small however increasing with the size of the plant and time indicating fast adjustments in the fuel mix when changing relative fuel prices the estimated model is used to illustrate the effects of two different policy changes

understanding carbon lock in abstract this paper narrative argues that industrial economies have been locked into fossil fuel based energy systems through a process of technological and institutional co evolution driven by path dependent increasing returns to scale it is asserted that this condition termed carbon lock in creates persistent market and policy failures that can inhibit the diffusion of carbon saving technologies despite their apparent environmental and economic advantages the notion of a techno institutional complex is introduced to capture the idea that lock in occurs through combined interactions among technological systems and governing institutions while carbon lock in provides a conceptual basis for understanding macro level barriers to the diffusion of carbon saving technologies it also generates questions for standard economic modeling approaches that abstract away technological and institutional evolution in their elaboration the question of escaping carbon lock in is left for a future paper

a carbon tax to reduce co2 emissions in europe abstract this paper examines the effects of introducing a tax on carbon dioxide emissions produced by combustion processes in oecd european countries a sectoral model of energy consumption is constructed to examine energy saving and inter fuel substitution effects induced by the introduction of various carbon taxes the simulation period is 1989 1994 our results provide a mild support to the environmental role of a carbon tax energy saving or inter fuel substitution processes that result from the introduction of environmental taxation stabilize emissions at the 1988 level only in the electricity generation sector and only if high tax rates are assumed 100 ton c by contrast total emissions all sectors and all fuels keep growing and the implementation of a tax of 100 ton c can only reduce the emission growth rate these results would recommend the introduction of several coordinated environmental instruments the last part of the paper compares results concerning oecd europe with those obtained when examining a single country italy the comparison does not seem to be in favour of a uniform carbon tax it rather indicates that environmental policy should be designed taking into account the specific economic situation and technological choices of each single country country specific coordinated environmental policies are to be recommended where international coordination ought to concern environmental targets rather than instruments

valuing non market wildlife commodities an evaluation and comparison of benefits and costs this paper compares the benefits and costs of nature conversation at three sites of special scientific interest benefits are estimated by contigent valuation expressed preferences and also the travel cost method revealed preferences oppurtunity costs are assessed from a financial cost viewpoint and also in terms of shadow prices or social costs results indicate that the valuation of wildlife and nature conservation largely depends upon the frame of reference adopted that social costs are considerably less than financial costs due to the effect of the common agricultural policy that user benefits are considerably less than financial costs and non user benefits must be included to cover even the social costs of nature conservation

fossil fuel producing economies have greater potential for industrial interfuel substitution abstract this study analyzes industrial interfuel substitution in an international context using a large unbalanced panel dataset of 63 countries we find that compared to other countries fossil fuel producing economies have higher short term interfuel substitution elasticities this difference increases further in the long run as fossil fuel producing countries have a considerably longer adjustment of their fuel using capital stock these results imply lower economic cost for policies aimed at climate abatement and more efficient utilization of energy resources in energy intensive economies

major oecd country industrial sector interfuel substitution estimates 1960 1979 abstract a range of static and dynamic translog based expenditure shares models are estimated for non energy producing industrial sectors of the major seven countries of the oecd area sectoral energy volume and fuel efficiency bias variables are shown to be significant over and above individual prices in explaining individual fuel expenditure shares statistically significant own price and cross price elasticities of demand are presented for individual countries with some magnitudes varying considerably across alternative model specifications

eu type carbon regulation and the waterbed effect of green energy promotion abstract this paper studies waterbed effects in a stylized model of carbon regulation in which all countries participate in an emissions trading scheme ets implement national emissions caps on non ets emissions and support green electricity since a change in some country s ets emissions is exactly offset by opposite changes in the other countries ets emissions waterbed effect allocative disturbances in one country affect all other ets countries we analyze the allocative displacement effects on inputs outputs prices and trade that a country say country a triggers at home and in the other ets countries when it unilaterally increases its support of green electricity via raising its feed in tariff ets emissions turn out to decline in country a and to rise in the other countries another remarkable waterbed effect is that country a suffers a welfare loss whereas the other countries are better off country a s welfare loss is larger than it would be if there would be national etss instead of the joint ets if green electricity support takes the form of subsidies on the electricity price instead of feed in tariffs we get another waterbed effect green electricity production increases in country a but declines in the other countries various decarbonization indicators improve in country a but tend to point into the opposite direction in the other countries

incentive effects favor nonconsolidating queues in a service system the principal agent perspective in this paper we study a service network in which an agency is responsible for satisfying a constraint on the expected waiting and service time experienced by customers however the agency does not render the actual service instead it serves to coordinate independently operated facilities the coordinating agency must devise a strategy for allocating compensation and customers to the self interested operators in order to minimize its own costs for a network of two facilities we model the facilities self interested capacity decisions as the solution to a game using this analytical framework we compare two types of customer allocation one from a common queue and one from separate queues our analysis shows that it can be in the best interest of the coordinating agency to adopt a separate queue allocation scheme instead of one based on a common queue although doing so sacrifices risk pooling benefits these can be more than offset by the stronger incentives that are created for the independent facilities

interfuel substitution a meta analysis interfuel substitutability has been of longstanding interest to the energy economics and policy community however no quantitative meta analysis has yet been carried out of this literature this paper fills this gap by analyzing a broad sample of studies of interfuel substitution in the industrial sector manufacturing industry or subindustries or macro economy of a variety of developed and developing economies publication bias is controlled for by including the primary study sample size in the meta regression results for the shadow elasticities of substitution between coal oil gas and electricity for forty six primary studies show that at the level of the industrial sector there are easy substitution possibilities between all the fuel pairs with the exception of gas electricity and coal electricity substitution possibilities seem more constrained at the macro level and less constrained in sub industries estimates also vary across countries publication bias does not seem to be present but model and data specification issues very significantly affect the estimates derived by each individual study estimates from cross section regressions are generally largest fixed effects panel estimates intermediate in magnitude and time series estimates are mostly much smaller econometric research suggests that the fixed effects estimates are likely the best among the existing studies though biased downwards

optimal lot sizing integration policy under learning and rework effects in a manufacturer retailer chain abstract most research in economic manufacturing order quantity management assumes that all products are of perfect quality and are produced at a constant production rate one result of this assumption is that the number of units produced in a given period is constant which is not the case in real life most production systems produce items which are of perfect quality along with some that are of imperfect quality defective items as well as the learning effect affect production and inventory costs thereby shaping the performance of the manufacturer retailer chain the present study uses the nash stackelberg and cooperation games to model an imperfect production system to investigate the combined effects of lot sizing size integration the learning effect imperfect production and the rework process on a manufacturer retailer channel this study also demonstrates the optimal properties of the proposed models develops a search algorithm for obtaining optimal solutions and conducts a numerical study to seek structural and quantitative insights into the structure of the proposed models in addition it analyzes the sensitivity of the solutions in relation to the major parameters

competition and outsourcing with scale economies scale economies are commonplace in operations yet because of analytical challenges relatively little is known about how firms should compete in their presence this paper presents a model of competition between two firms that face scale economies i e each firm s cost per unit of demand is decreasing in demand a general framework is used which incorporates competition between two service providers with price and time sensitive demand a queuing game and competition between two retailers with fixed ordering costs and pricesensitive consumers an economic order quantity game reasonably general conditions are provided under which there exists at most one equilibrium with both firms participating in the market we demonstrate in the context of the queuing game that the lower cost firm in equilibrium may have a higher market share and a higher price an enviable situation we also allow each firm to outsource their production process to a supplier even if the supplier s technology is no better than the firms technology and the supplier is required to establish dedicated capacity so the supplier s scale can be no greater than either firm s scale we show that the firms strictly prefer to outsource we conclude that scale economies provide a strong motivation for outsourcing that has not previously been identified in the literature

marketing production decisions in an industrial channel of distribution this paper presents a model that considers the interface between marketing and production decisions in a channel of distribution of industrial goods comprised of a manufacturer and a distributor the key issue investigated is the nature of the coordination within the channel in light of an unstable pattern of seasonal demand the investigation which focuses on dynamic issues considers production activities such as product delivery and inventory policy and their link to marketing strategies such as pricing policies the focus here is on the dynamic nature of the coordinational aspects of the various policies for example the following questions are addressed what is the distributor s pricing strategy throughout the season what is the nature of the contractual price in the channel under what conditions should the distributor carry no inventory throughout the seasonal period under what conditions should the manufacturer carry no inventory what is the impact of the seasonal parameters and differing h

the use of linear logit models for dynamic input demand systems this paper demonstrates that a linear logit model with appropriate constraints can be used to specify a system of cost share equations that satisfy neoclassical economic conditions unlike many other flexible functional forms the logistic function is particularly well suited for incorporating dynamic adjustment mechanisms the empirical results suggest that the use of static models overstates short run own price elasticities and understates the corresponding long run price effects

strategic upfront marketing channel integration as an entry barrier abstract this paper investigates an organizational design problem concerning whether duopolistic firms competing in a product market should vertically integrate or separate their marketing channels in a dynamic noncooperative game setting previous operational research models have shown that the separation of the marketing channel with the adoption of a two part tariff contract is the dominant strategy compared with integration for each firm if the two firms face retail price competition and thereby constitutes the subgame perfect nash equilibrium spne contrary to this previous insight this paper demonstrates that if exogenous parameters that characterize fixed costs product substitutability and a demand function fall into a specific region marketing channel integration dominates the separation strategy when one of the two firms is the incumbent firm while the other is a potential entrant in other words the well known result in the price setting game can be reversed when we take entry threats into consideration specifically we show that upfront vertical integration of the marketing channel enables the incumbent to deter the entry of the potential competitor and to monopolize the market in the spne this result has operational implications for a firm confronting the threat of potential rivals entering the market in that the firm can use this apparently inferior strategy as a commitment device which creates a virtual entry barrier

singularity and autoregressive disturbances in linear logit models the implications of including autoregressive disturbances in linear logit models of demand systems are explored it is argued that the normality assumption of the error terms is more appropriate in the linear logit model than in a share equation model with additive disturbances commonly found in the literature autoregressive disturbances and their implications for model estimation are discussed in that context both theoretical arguments and empirical evidence are presented in favor of the logit specification given the presence of serial correlation

embodied carbon tariffs in a world where the prospects of a global agreement to control greenhouse gas emissions are bleak the idea of using trade policy as an implicit regulation of foreign emission sources has gained many supporters in countries contemplating unilateral climate policies embodied carbon tariffs tax the direct and indirect carbon emissions embodied in imported goods the appeal seems obvious as oecd countries are on average large net importers of embodied emissions from non oecd countries carbon tariffs could substantially extend the reach of oecd climate policies we investigate this claim by simulating the effects of embodied carbon tariffs with a computable general equilibrium model of global trade and energy use we find that embodied carbon tariffs do effectively reduce carbon leakage however the scope for improvements in the global cost effectiveness of unilateral climate policy is limited the main welfare effect of the tariffs is to shift the burden of oecd climate policy to the developing world

international evidence on aggregate short run and long run interfuel substitution in this paper we build on recent work by serletis et al 2010 in press and report short and long run estimates of aggregate interfuel substitution for a number of oecd and non oecd countries in doing so we use recent pooled intercountry data since 1980 and state of the art advances in microeconometrics including duality theory and flexible functional forms also motivated by the widespread practice in the empirical energy demand literature of ignoring theoretical regularity we estimate our model subject to global curvature but not monotonicity using methods developed by diewert and wales 1987 we provide inference and also a policy perspective using parameter estimates that are consistent with the theoretical regularity conditions of neoclassical microeconomic theory

modeling quantity discounts under general price sensitive demand functions optimal policies and relationships this paper presents models for determining optimal all unit and incremental quantity discount policies and investigates the effect of quantity discounts on increasing demand and ensuring pareto efficient transactions under general price sensitive demand functions the paper develops optimal quantity discount policies investigates their interrelationships and their benefits to both the supplier and the buyer and gains managerial insights for the scenarios of maximizing the supplier s profit and the joint profit we develop simple and efficient solution approaches for determining the all unit and the incremental optimal decision policies for general price sensitive demand functions we have three main findings first with price sensitive demand there are two incentives in offering quantity discounts increasing demand and ensuring pareto efficient transactions in most cases increasing demand dominates in justifying the offering of quantity discounts second using a single lot size associated with all efficient transactions as with the constant demand case does not hold with the price sensitive demand case third the optimal all unit quantity discount policy is equivalent to the optimal incremental quantity discount policy in benefiting both the supplier and the buyer

when should a manufacturer set its direct price and wholesale price in dual channel supply chains abstract applying an observable delay game framework developed in noncooperative game theory we investigate the timing problem concerning when a manufacturer managing dual channel supply chains consisting of a retail channel and a direct channel should post its wholesale price and direct price conventionally operational research models describing dual channel supply chains examine price competition where the retailer and the manufacturer simultaneously determine the retail and direct prices respectively in contrast to this conventional setting our model demonstrates that such simultaneous price competition never arises if the manufacturer and retailer can choose not only the level of the price but also the timing of pricing if the manufacturer sets the direct price after setting the wholesale price to the retailer the retailer accelerates the timing of retail pricing prior to the direct price setting by the manufacturer our findings suggest that the manufacturer should post the direct price before or upon but not after setting the wholesale price for the retailer this upfront posting of the direct price not only constitutes the subgame perfect nash equilibrium of the noncooperative game between channel members but also maximizes the profits for a manufacturer employing multichannel sales strategies

a pooled dynamic analysis of interfuel substitution in industrial energy demand by the g 7 countries a dynamic version of considine s 1990 linear logit model is used to obtain theoretically consistent estimates of long run price elasticities from pooled intercountry data on industrial energy consumption this model also provides a rare direct estimate of the important rate of dynamic adjustment revealing a median lag of ten years the long run demands for oil and coal are the most elastic and the strongest channels for interfuel substitution are between oil and natural gas with no significant evidence of complementarity between fuels

coordinating supply chains with competition capacity allocation in semiconductor manufacturing abstract this paper motivated by the experiences of a major us based semiconductor manufacturer presents an integrated model of incentive problems arising in forecasting and capacity allocation our model involves multiple product managers and multiple manufacturing managers who forecast the means of their respective demand and capacity distributions a central coordinator is responsible for allocating capacities to product lines when these distributions are unknown to the central coordinator and capacity is scarce the managers misrepresent their forecasts a product manager inflates his forecast to gain a greater allocation of the capacity a manufacturing manager deflates his forecast to cover for the uncertainties in production we propose a game theoretic model and design a mechanism a bonus scheme for all managers and an allocation rule to allocate realized capacity to the product managers that elicits truthful reporting by all managers the results herein show that the structure of the truth eliciting bonus schemes is rather simple with easily calculable parameters we also show that large classes of allocation rules including the current allocation practice of the firm are manipulable a bonus is often required for elicitation of truthful information we synthesize the implications of our results for the practitioners

interfuel substitution in the united states in this paper we use the locally flexible translog functional form to investigate the demand for energy and interfuel substitution in the united states and to provide a comparison of our results with most of the existing empirical energy demand literature motivated by the widespread practice of ignoring theoretical regularity we follow barnett s 2002 suggestions and estimate the model subject to theoretical regularity using methods developed by diewert and wales 1987 and ryan and wales 2000 in an attempt to produce inference consistent with neoclassical microeconomic theory moreover we use the most recent data published by the u s energy information administration eia and in addition to investigating interfuel substitution possibilities in total u s energy demand we follow serletis et al 2009 and also examine interfuel substitution possibilities in energy demand by sector moreover we test for weak separability with the objective of discovering the structure of the functional form in total energy demand as well as energy demand by sector

the role of inventory in delivery time competition the paper operationalizes the notion of shortage cost by considering the behavior of customers and competing firms and examines the role of inventory in response time competition we start with a single firm production control model in which customers are characterized by their preferences of price quality and delivery time the optimal production inventory policy and the optimal choice between make to order and make to stock operations are determined in simple newsboy like formulas the basic model is then extended to an n firm market game in which firms compete for orders from the aspect of early delivery one could think of this setting as an oligopoly racing market the analysis shows that competition can breed a demand for produce to stock just as other economic phenomena such as economies of scale uncertainty or seasonality can induce make to stock and that delivery time competition increases the buyer s welfare while decreasing the producer s welfare

an industry equilibrium analysis of downstream vertical integration this paper investigates the effect of product substitutability on nash equilibrium distribution structures in a duopoly where each manufacturer distributes its goods through a single exclusive retailer which may be either a franchised outlet or a factory store static linear demand and cost functions are assumed and a number of rules about players expectations of competitors behavior are examined it is found that for most specifications product substitutability does influence the equilibrium distribution structure for low degrees of substitutability each manufacturer will distribute its product through a company store for more highly competitive goods manufacturers will be more likely to use a decentralized distribution system this article was originally published in marketing science volume 2 issue 2 pages 161 191 in 1983

dynamic interfeed substitution implications for incorporating ethanol byproducts into feedlot rations abstractthis study examines interfeed substitution with a focus on the relationship between distiller s dried grain with solubles ddgs and traditional feed grains the dynamic linear logit model is used for the empirical analysis of interfeed substitution the estimation results reveal that an increase in livestock and poultry outputs reduces the relative shares of corn and soybean meal to ddgs the estimated adjustment rate indicates that the demand for feed grains is responsive in the short run with about 37 of the long run response this study also finds that the demand for corn and soybean meal remains inelastic even in the long run showing the possibilities that livestock and poultry producers face high feed costs in response to an increase in the prices of corn and soybean meal the pressures on feed costs can be alleviated by the substitutable relationship between ddgs and corn but the substitution of ddgs for corn has a potential to provide livestock and poultry with different nutritional con

pricing production scheduling and delivery time competition this paper studies competition between firms that produce goods or services for customers sensitive to delay time firms compete by setting prices and production rates for each type of customer and by choosing scheduling policies the existence of a competitive equilibrium is proved the competitive equilibrium is well defined whether or not a firm can differentiate between customers based upon physical characteristics because each customer has incentive to truthfully reveal its delay cost further insights are derived in two special cases a unique equilibrium exists for each of the cases in the first case firms are differentiated by cost mean processing time and processing time variability but customers are homogeneous the conclusions include that a faster lower variability and lower cost firm always has a larger market share higher capacity utilization and higher profits however this firm may have higher prices and faster delivery time or lower prices and longer delivery time in the second

optimal service speeds in a competitive environment this is a study of the economic behavior of vendors of service in competition a simple model with two competing exponential servers and poisson arrivals is considered each server is free to choose his own service rate at a cost per time unit that is strictly convex and increasing there is a fixed reward to a server for each customer that he serves the model is designed to study one specific aspect of competition namely competition in speed of service as a means for capturing a larger market share in order to maximize long run expected profit per time unit a two person strategic game is formulated and its solutions are characterized depending on the revenue per customer served and on the cost of maintaining service rates the following three situations may arise i a unique symmetric strategic nash equilibrium in which expected waiting time is infinite ii a unique symmetric strategic equilibrium in which expected waiting time is finite and iii several nonsymmetric strategic equilibria with infinite expected waiting time an explicit expression for the market share of each server as a function of the service rates of the two servers is also given

coordinating pricing and production decisions in the presence of price competition abstract in this paper we study the effects of coordinating pricing and production decisions on the improvement of a firm s position in a price competitive environment assuming duopolistic market conditions we use game theoretic concepts and models to analyze two scenarios a firm s marketing and production departments may vertically coordinate their pricing and production quantity decisions and the two firms may horizontally compete for price sensitive random demand the two scenarios include i no coordination and ii coordination in both firms we show that by coordinating their pricing and production decisions competing firms can increase their profitability especially when conditions are unfavourable i e with smaller market sizes higher unit costs and lower unit revenues while it may be intuitive to expect that coordination will outperform non coordination our models provide a means for formalizing and quantifying the differences between the two policies

dynamic factor demands and the effects of energy price shocks a dynamic model is used to understand how sharp changes in energy prices affect investment behavior employment and energy use the authors discuss the theory behind their model selection model specifications estimation methods and data list parameter estimates and elasticities for the selected model and describe the simulations they conclude that 1 the data strongly reject the hypothesis of constant returns to scale within their specification of aggregate production 2 the data indicate adjustment costs on labor are small and 3 their results help reconcile some of the conflicting estimates of energy demand elasticities appearing in recent literature 23 references 3 figures 3 tables

a welfare estimation of beach recreation with aggregate data a single site travel cost recreation demand model for a representative agent visiting a beach is employed that uses an indirect utility function alternative specifications of the expected demand function are estimated with aggregate time series data from a local beach park the estimated parameters are used to compute the value of the consumer surplus the recreational value of the park is expectedly sensitive to the functional form used also own price and income elasticities for various functional forms vary the results from the box cox procedure suggest that the semi log function is the most appropriate for the data used in this study confidence intervals are calculated to deal with the reliability problem of the consumer surplus estimates an alternative algorithm which assumes omitted variable as the source of the error in the demand function is also presented

procuring fast delivery sole sourcing with information asymmetry this paper studies a queuing model in which a buyer sources a good or service from a single supplier chosen from a pool of suppliers the buyer seeks to minimize the sum of her procurement and operating costs the latter of which depends on the suppliers lead time the selected supplier can regulate his lead time but faster lead times are costly although the buyer selects the supplier to source from possibly via an auction and dictates the contractual terms the buyers bargaining power is limited by asymmetric information the buyer only has an estimate of the suppliers costs while the suppliers know their costs precisely we identify a procurement mechanism that minimizes the buyers total cost procurement plus operating this mechanism is not simple it is a numerically derived nonlinear menu of contracts therefore we study several simpler mechanisms e g one that charges a late fee and one that specifies a fixed lead time requirement no menus no nonlinear functions we find that simple mechanisms are nearly optimal generally within 1 of optimal because asymmetric information conveys significant protection to the supplier i e the supplier is able to retain most of the benefit of having a lower cost renegotiation is another concern with the optimal mechanism because it does not minimize the supply chains cost the firms can be both better off if they throw away the contract and start over interestingly we find that the potential gain from renegotiation is relatively small with either the optimal or our simple mechanisms we conclude that our simple mechanisms are quite attractive along all relevant dimensions buyers performance supply chain performance simplicity and robustness to renegotiation

contracting over multiple parameters capacity allocation in semiconductor manufacturing abstract this paper is a generalization of mallik and harker mallik s harker p t 2004 coordinating supply chains with competition capacity allocation in semiconductor manufacturing european journal of operational research 159 330 347 that presented an integrated model of incentive problems arising in forecasting and capacity allocation in that model multiple product managers and multiple manufacturing managers forecast the means of their respective demand and capacity distributions and a central coordinator allocates capacities based on these forecasts a mechanism that elicits truthful information from the managers was the main contribution of that paper the objective of this paper is to generalize our previous results to multiple statistics reporting this work assumes that the central coordinator can ask the managers to report multiple statistics mean and variance for example about their respective distributions we propose a game theoretic model and design a mechanism a bonus scheme and an allocation rule that elicits truthful reporting of all statistics by all managers it turns out that the structure of the optimal bonus schemes are rather simple with easily calculable parameters we also show that a large class of allocation rules are manipulable a bonus is often required for elicitation of truthful information we compare our results of multiple statistics reporting with those from mallik and harker 2004 we also characterize under what conditions the reporting of the extra information is of limited use

a general index of technical change this paper outlines a procedure for estimating a general index of technical change within the context of a quite general production technology specifically when panel data are available for firms in an industry time specific dummies can be combined in a nonlinear estimation procedure to yield a general index of technical change that may be both nonneutral and scale augmenting this approach offers numerous advantages over the traditional time trend representation of technical change for example the general index can serve as the basis for analysis of the determinants of technical change results for a sample of 30 electric utilities over the period 1951 78 show that the productivity decline of the 1970s can be attributed primarily to sulphur oxide restrictions and secularly declining capacity utilization due to rapidly increasing peak load demands

dynamic translog and linear logit models a factor demand analysis of interfuel substitution in us industrial energy demand abstract we compare and contrast two popular dynamic flexible functional forms for cost functions the translog and the logit j bus econ stat 8 1990 347 353 using data on us industrial energy demand from 1960 to 1992 which has been analysed by previous studies energy econ 11 1989 89 94 appl econ 21 1989 931 945 j bus econ stat 13 1995 459 465 we show the crucial role played by different dynamic formulations of the translog in this analysis of factor demands with respect to rates of dynamic adjustment and substitution possibilities we conclude that the poor performance of the dynamic translog relative to the dynamic logit cannot be explained solely by dynamic model mis specification or the inclusion of price unresponsive non energy fuel use data our most robust empirical result is that coal and oil are substitutes

factor substitution and energy productivity fluctuation in china a parametric decomposition analysis abstract technical research on energy productivity can support government officials as they evaluate practical energy policies for the future this study proposed a parametric method to decompose china s energy productivity rate of change into six factors based on a theoretical stochastic frontier analysis the method was applied to conduct an empirical study using inter provincial panel data in china from 1995 to 2012 the results highlighted three key points first the general rate of change in energy productivity was mainly influenced by a steady positive rate of change in technical progress combined with a steady negative rate of change in technical efficiency the core factors causing fluctuations in energy productivity included a positive rate of change in the substitution of capital and energy and a negative rate of change in the substitution of labor and energy second from a geographic perspective provinces with a high rate of change in technical progress experienced a weaker deterioration in technical efficiency however the rate of change in technical efficiency tends to decline as the rate of change in technical progress increases third there is a similar changing trend between the substitution of capital and energy and the substitution of labor and energy

the amenity value of woodland in great britain a comparison of economic estimates forests produce benefits over and above the revenue yielded from timber and other wood based products most important among these may be the recreational benefits for visitors which have been examined in several studies total benefits for residents are perhaps more accurately captured in property values since ceteris paribus the price of a house reflects willingness to pay to live near an environmental amenity such as a forest to gain access to it and also the amenity non use value of the forest in so far as it creates a pleasant landscape however the total non priced value of forestry is not the sum of hpm and itcm benefit estimates recreational benefits will typically be less and will be subsumed in the hpm estimates since the hedonic price is partly induced by the value of recreational access

supplier pricing and lot sizing when demand is price sensitive abstract the problem of co ordination between a vendor and a buyer is formulated as a two person fixed threat bargaining game the vendor decides on his lot size and the price schedule he is to offer to the buyer the buyer decides upon his lot size and the selling price in the market we have characterized pareto efficient solutions and the nash bargaining solution for the problem we have also proposed two pricing schedules for the vendor who is supplying to a large population of buyers the first one is based upon profit sharing the second one resembles the classical all unit quantity discount schedule we have thus provided for the supplier a procedure for setting all unit quantity discount schedule

comparing benefit estimates from travel cost and contingent valuation using confidence intervals for hicksian welfare measures an approach to determining whether benefit estimates derived from the travel cost method and contingent valuation method are statistically different is presented unlike past comparisons compensating variation is estimated for both methods benefit comparisons are made more rigorous by use of confidence intervals which are developed using the same krinsky and robb simulation technique for both valution mothods the techniques are applied to deer hunting in california while point estimates of benefits from both truncated and untruncated adjusted travel cost methods are lower than the contingent valuation method the confidence intervals on the untruncated travel cost method do overlap the contingent valution method benefit estimates

individual travel cost method estimation and benefit assessment with a discrete and possibly grouped dependent variable the trip visit variable in the individual travel cost method is often regarded as discrete furthermore it is often reported in surveys as a grouped variable the number of visits reported falling into one of several classes this paper develops a travel cost model which takes account of discreteness and grouping in both demand and benefit estimation a case study and associated simulations are then reported which indicate the potential extent of bias that may arise from ignoring discreteness grouping in demand and benefit estimation the information loss involved in varying the size of visit classes is also examined

channel coordination and quantity discounts this paper presents a model for analyzing the impact of joint decision policies on channel coordination in a system consisting of a supplier and a group of homogeneous buyers the joint decision policy characterized by the unit selling price and the order quantity is coordinated through quantity discounts and franchise fees both the annual demand rate and the operating cost including the purchase ordering and inventory holding costs depend on the joint decision policy employed this paper contributes by integrating work addressing quantity discounts on inventory and ordering policies and work focusing on the control mechanism provided by quantity discounts in channel coordination it is shown that the optimal all unit quantity discount policy is equivalent to the optimal incremental quantity discount policy in achieving channel coordination furthermore it is shown that quantity discounts alone are not sufficient to guarantee joint profit maximization the analyses of the general models are illustrated by specific analytical results obtained for a given demand function