the spatial and temporal diffusion of house prices in the uk abstract this paper provides a method for the analysis of the spatial and temporal diffusion of shocks in a dynamic system we use changes in real house prices within the uk economy at the level of regions to illustrate its use adjustment to shocks involves both a region specific and a spatial effect shocks to a dominant region london are propagated contemporaneously and spatially to other regions they in turn impact on other regions with a delay we allow for lagged effects to echo back to the dominant region london in turn is influenced by international developments through its link to new york and other financial centers it is shown that new york house prices have a direct effect on london house prices we analyse the effect of shocks using generalised spatio temporal impulse responses these highlight the diffusion of shocks both over time as with the conventional impulse responses and over space

a note on price perception in water demand models a household s decision to acquire price knowledge is endogenous in the demand for utility services and may affect elasticities and consumption levels a simultaneous equation model with endogenous switching is developed to evaluate the effects of price

the effect of land use regulation on housing and land prices abstract this paper investigates the effects of land use regulation restrictiveness on house and vacant land prices in contrast to prior studies the index of restrictiveness is treated as an endogenous variable and estimated effects are allowed to vary by market setting using data on more than 100 florida cities greater regulation restrictiveness is found to increase house price and decrease land price evidence is also provided showing that more restrictiveness increases the size of newly constructed homes

explaining the spatial variation in housing prices an economic geography approach housing prices vary geographically even between neighbouring municipalities local differences can be attributed to differences in socio economic variables and real estate characteristics this article argues that one should additionally take into account the geographical location of municipalities in particular housing prices are affected by distance and travel time to important economic centres offering jobs and extensive services following the economic geography literature we develop a model showing the explicit impact of geographical barriers on housing prices as such we distinguish ourselves from the existing literature on the dynamics of housing prices since geographical elements are fairly constant over time we estimate our model on municipality level housing prices for all 589 belgian municipalities in 2001 we also differentiate between the two main regions of belgium flanders and wallonia our empirical results confirm expectations geographical barriers have significantly negative eff

mutual holding companies evidence of conflicts of interest through disparate dividends abstract the mutual holding company mhc structure establishes a dual class stock that creates a unique opportunity to transfer wealth from thrift depositor owners to new minority shareholders through the disparate payment of dividends we show that mhcs are priced higher than comparable non mhcs and dividend policy is a significant component of this valuation we also show that mhc thrifts pay significantly higher dividends than non mhc thrifts and that an office of thrift supervision ots ruling reducing the potential for disparate dividends between the two classes of shareholders resulted in lower dividends these results have policy implications of special significance given that the ots reversed its position in 2000 and because of the current controversy over the use of the mhc structure in the financial service industry

signalling by direct disclosure under asymmetric information abstract in this paper an informational asymmetry exists between investors and the issuer of an initial public offering about the value of the security to avoid market failure a solution is proposed in which the issuer makes a disclosure about firm value that is verified by an investment banker the investment banker enters into a contingent contract with investors which imposes a penalty if the ex post observable cash flow indicates fraudulent disclosure a bivariate signalling model is formulated and solved and testable implications are derived from comparative statics analysis

capital gains tax rates and the cost of capital for small business evidence from the ipo market abstract we examine the issue prices of small initial public offerings around the 1993 tax law change that reduced the capital gains tax on qualified small business stock we compare the actual issue price of new stock with a benchmark price that is not affected by the change in capital gains tax we find that after controlling for ipo underpricing the issue prices of qualifying small business stock after the tax rate change are significantly higher than the issue prices before the change a control sample of nonqualifying firms shows no significant difference in issue prices

local public expenditures and housing prices this paper estimates a hedonic price model which makes it possible to determine how the price of a unit varies with the set of attributes it possesses in the spanish housing market concretely and by means of capitalisation hedonic price models can be used as an instrument to capture how local public expenditures influence housing prices and by extension how homeowners can indirectly receive benefit from local public investment using individual data for dwellings from the city of barcelona spain for the period 1998 2001 it is found that local policies aimed at enhancing the quality of life or the location specific characteristic of the city of barcelona have a positive impact on housing values

signalling and the pricing of new issues this paper develops a signalling model with two signals two attributes and a continuum of signal levels and attribute types to explain new issue underpricing both the fraction of the new issue retained by the issuer and its offering price convey to investors the unobservable intrinsic value of the firm and the variance of its cash flows many of the model s comparative statics results are novel empirically testable and consistent with the existing empirical evidence on new issues in particular the degree of underpricing which can be inferred from observable variables is positively related to the firm s post issue share price

signalling by underwriter retention rate in the ipo market underwriters in taiwan have to purchase 10 25 of shares offered in initial public offerings ipos for their own accounts we present a signalling model showing that the underwriter retention rate can serve as a signal of firm value to investors because underwriters are investors as well this mechanism can reduce information asymmetry between issuers and investors the model shows that when underwriters retain more proportion of ipo shares in equilibrium the initial return is greater and the subscription success rate is lower we further test the propositions using 616 ipo firms in taiwan for the period 1998 2004 overall the empirical results support the propositions developed from the signalling model

the effects of expected transport improvements on housing prices improvements in transport were commonly found to have a positive effect on the price of housing as the construction of infrastructure often lasts for years it is plausible to assume that investors will take expected improvements into consideration when pricing and trading neighbourhood properties however there have been few investigations of such effects this paper is an empirical study of whether premiums were paid for the expected benefits offered by a new tunnel before its completion the results showed that there were positive price expectation effects well before the completion of the tunnel the expectation effects allow the government to finance infrastructure projects by selling land in the affected districts in advance

price knowledge in household demand for utility services a household s decision to acquire price knowledge is endogenous in the demand for utility services and may affect elasticities and consumption levels a simultaneous equation model with endogenous switching is developed to evaluate the effects of price knowledge and other sources of heterogeneity results indicate informed households were more responsive to average and marginal price signals informed households also use less water but this is due to heterogeneity rather than price knowledge controlling for heterogeneity price knowledge actually increases monthly water usage the implications of accounting for differences in price knowledge in utility demand modeling and demand management policy are discussed

booms and busts consumption house prices and expectations over much of the past 25 years house price and consumption growth have been closely synchronized three main hypotheses for this have been proposed increases in house prices raise household wealth and so their consumption house price growth reduces credit constraints by increasing the collateral available to homeowners and house prices and consumption are together influenced by common factors using microeconomic data we find that the relationship between house prices and consumption is stronger for younger than older households contradicting the wealth channel we suggest that common causality has been the most important factor linking house prices and consumption

signaling and the valuation of unseasoned new issues a comment in the march 1982 issue of this journal david downes and robert heinkel 1 present an empirical examination of the role of signaling in the valuation of initial public offerings of common stock for a large sample of unseasoned new issues they examine the leland pyle 2 signaling hypothesis that firm value should be positively related to the fraction of equity retained by the original shareholders downes and heinkel conclude that the data are consistent with the leland pyle signaling hypothesis in this comment i present a more complete test of the leland pyle signaling model i also present two alternative explanations for the positive empirical relation between firm value and insider holdings which i label the agency hypothesis and the wealth effect hypothesis i find that the testable implications of the agency hypothesis are supported while the evidence is ambiguous with respect to the testable implications of the wealth effect and signaling hypotheses

new issues on the u k unlisted securities market the ability of entrepreneurs to signal firm value the present paper investigates whether small firm entrepreneurs are able to signal the value of their firms to potential investors when seeking a listing on the u k unlisted securities market usm the signals considered are the percentage of equity retained by the original entrepreneurs the net proceeds raised by an issue the choice of advising agents to an issue the disclosure of an earnings forecast and the level of underpricing of the new issue in addition the possible interactions between the individual signals are considered and included in the analysis the results of the empirical analysis suggest that firm value is positively and significantly related to the percentage of retained equity and the net proceeds raised thus suggesting therefore that stock markets will invest at higher values ceteris paribus if entrepreneurs indicate confidence in their enterprises via levels of equity retention and the funds they intend to invest in future projects

interurban house price gradient effect of urban hierarchy distance on house prices this paper applies a general spatial equilibrium model to investigate the effect that distance within the urban hierarchy can have on interurban house prices our spatial model predicts a negative

signalling and the valuation of unseasoned new issues revisited this paper provides further empirical evidence on the relation between entrepreneurial ownership retention and the initial value of unseasoned common shares a canadian data set is employed to estimate the various empirical specifications used in previous studies and to examine additional variables suggested by recent developments in the theoretical literature the estimation is carried out using a more general procedure to correct for heteroskedasticity in contrast to previous findings the entrepreneurial ownership reten tion signal does not possess statistical significance in any ofthe models examined

empirical assessment of the impact of auditor quality on the valuation of new issues abstract this paper reports empirical tests of an hypothesized positive relation between audit quality and firm specific risk that is predicted by datar feltham and hughes 1991 theoretical analysis of auditor choice when firms go public three types of proxies for ex ante firm specific risk are used to test this relation regression coefficients that theory relates to the firm specific risk ex ante proxies available from prospecti and ex post variances in returns results from the first are moderately consistent with our hypothesis while those from the latter two are either mixed or contrary

the residential water demand effect of increasing block rate water budgets we investigate the effect of introducing a fiscally neutral increasing block rate water budget price structure on residential water demand we estimate that demand was reduced by around 17 although the reduction was achieved gradually over more than three years as intermediate steps we derive estimates of price and income elasticities that rely only on longitudinal variability we investigate how different subpopulations responded to the pricing change and find evidence that marginal rather than average prices may be driving consumption we also derive alternative rate structures that might have been implemented and assess their estimated demand effects

valuing school quality better transport and lower crime evidence from house prices housing prices within urban areas exhibit highly localized variation that cannot be explained solely by differences in the physical attributes of dwellings we consider the role of local amenities and disamenities in generating price variation within urban areas focusing on three highly policy relevant urban issues transport accessibility school quality and crime our survey of the recent empirical literature highlights what is known and what is not known on these issues and considers the relevance and reliability of this evidence for policy design and evaluation although there are serious empirical challenges we argue that research on housing values based on careful research designs can offer credible estimates of the social value of place specific attributes and amenities

comparing residential water demand estimates under decreasing and increasing block rates using household data using a new model formulation and data from a sample of colorado utilities we investigated the price specification controversy marginal price versus average revenue when estimating residential water demand the improved statistical fit using average

modeling regional house prices we develop a panel model for regional house prices for which both the cross section and the time series dimension is large the model allows for stochastic trends cointegration cross equation correlations and most importantly latent class clustering of regions class membership is fully data driven and based on the average growth rates of house prices and the relationship of house prices with economic growth we apply the model to quarterly data for the netherlands the results suggest that there is convincing evidence for the existence of two distinct clusters of regions with pronounced differences in house price dynamics

why has house price dispersion gone up we calibrate a dynamic general equilibrium island model to investigate the 30 year increase in the level of house prices and their dispersion across u s metropolitan areas the model is based on two main assumptions households o w in and out metropolitan areas in response to local productivity shocks and the housing supply cannot adjust instantly because of technological and regulatory constraints the calibration reveals that the observed tightening of housing supply regulation cannot quantitatively account for the rise in the level and dispersion of house prices in equilibrium workers o w out of tightly regulated towards less regulated metropolitan areas undoing most of the price impact of local supply restrictions in contrast the observed increase in wage dispersion across metropolitan areas does create the observed increase in the level and dispersion of house prices workers o w towards exceptionally productive metropolitan areas and drive house prices up the calibration also suggests that the welfare eects of housing supply regulation are large when wages become more dispersed

bank lending and initial public offerings abstract in this paper we test the hypothesis that banking relations are a signal about firm value we argue that bank processing of asymmetric information and external monitoring of corporate activities reduce the ex ante uncertainty of investors about firm value we demonstrate that the existence of bank debt and or lines of credit lowers the expected initial return associated with initial public offerings the empirical results are robust with respect to the inclusion of variables which reflect other mechanisms that can ameliorate ex ante uncertainty our work adds to the body of evidence that supports the hypothesis that intermediaries provide valuable asset services to corporate borrowers

household responses to increased water rates during the california drought this paper explores the use of fixed effects and maximum likelihood techniques to es timate household responses to water price in creases during the california drought estimates are based on bimonthly meter readings from 599 single family households in the alameda county water district over the period 1982 1992 before and after the introduction of a steeply increasing block rate price structure i find that household and monthly fixed effects models are not success ful in modeling water demand with these data however maximum likelihood models that ex plicitly consider the household s response to the rate structure result in plausible estimates of wa ter demand jel q25

are price strategies effective in managing demand of high residential water users abstractencouraging water use efficiency and water conservation is one of the primary goals of water utility companies nationwide this study estimates price elasticity of residential water demand to measure the responsiveness of water use to price changes particularly for high water users household level water use data for high residential water users from central florida were analysed using 3 stage least square 3sls estimated price elasticity ranges between 0 07 and 0 14 this price elasticity estimate is below most of the estimates reported in the literature in absolute value the results imply that for price strategies to be effective in managing water demand of high residential water users a significant price increase would be needed overall this study highlights the importance of designing water conservation policies tailored to specific groups of customers and the importance of using these strategies effectively and fairly for different customer groups

the relationship between ownership financing decisions and firm performance a signaling model we develop a signaling model to show how adverse selection and moral hazard interact to determine a firm s ownership structure and financing and investment decisions endogenously testable implications are derived regarding the relationship between insider ownership performance measures such as tobin s q ratio and elements of financial structure such as the debt equity ratio

the effects of a new subway line on housing prices in metropolitan toronto an analysis by means of using the estimation results of a modal choice model and the hedonic price regressions model is conducted in order to identify the effects of a subway line in toronto on the values of housing units the modal choice model is used for the estimation of the direct benefits from the improvement in transportation and the hedonic price equations for the identification of subway effects on housing prices empirical results indicate that the direct savings in commuting costs have been capitalized into housing values

on the price of land and the value of amenities a house represents not only a bundle of structural characteristics but also a set of location specific characteristics adding locational coordinates and site area to other house characteristics makes it possible to estimate a land rent surface as well as thle hedonic prices attached to local patterns of land use and other neighbourhood characteristics one can then estimate how the value of such location specific characteristics are capitalized into land prices this analysis illustrated with estimates based on data from two british towns has a number of wider implications it generates a more parsimonious method of estimating amenity values it also reveals likely systematic biases produced by conventional hedonic studies which exclude land and location finally it clarifies the conceptual definition of land and suggests that monocentric models can perform well despite recent criticism

measuring the diffusion of housing prices across space and over time how fast and how long and to what magnitude does a change in housing prices in one region affect its neighbors in this paper i apply a time series technique for measuring impulse response functions from local projections to a spatial autoregressive model of housing prices for a dynamic panel of california counties the data reveal that the diffusion of regional housing prices across space lasts up to two and half years this result and the econometric techniques employed should be of interest not only to housing and regional economists but to a variety of applied econometricians as well copyright 2009 john wiley sons ltd