crisis or opportunity economic degrowth for social equity and ecological sustainability introduction to this special issue abstract this article reviews the burgeoning emerging literature on sustainable degrowth this is defined as an equitable downscaling of production and consumption that increases human well being and enhances ecological conditions at the local and global level in the short and long term the paradigmatic propositions of degrowth are that economic growth is not sustainable and that human progress without economic growth is possible degrowth proponents come from diverse origins some are critics of market globalization new technologies or the imposition of western models of development in the rest of the world all criticize gdp accounting though they propose often different social and ecological indicators degrowth theorists and practitioners support an extension of human relations instead of market relations demand a deepening of democracy defend ecosystems and propose a more equal distribution of wealth we distinguish between depression i e unplanned degrowth within a growth regime and sustainable degrowth a voluntary smooth and equitable transition to a regime of lower production and consumption the question we ask is how positive would degrowth be if instead of being imposed by an economic crisis it would actually be a democratic collective decision a project with the ambition of getting closer to ecological sustainability and socio environmental justice worldwide most articles in this issue were originally presented at the april 2008 conference in paris on economic degrowth for ecological sustainability and social equity this conference brought the word degrowth and the concepts around it into an international academic setting articles of this special issue are summarized in this introductory article hueting d alessandro and colleagues van den bergh kerschner spangenberg and alcott discuss whether current growth patterns are un sustainable and offer different perspectives on what degrowth might mean and whether and under what conditions it might be desirable matthey and hamilton focus on social dynamics and the obstacles and opportunities for voluntary social action towards degrowth lietaert and cattaneo with gavalda offer a down to earth empirical discussion of two practical living experiments cohousing and squats highlighting the obstacles for scaling up such alternatives finally van griethuysen explains why growth is an imperative in modern market economies raising also the question whether degrowth is possible without radical institutional changes

does economic recession reduce material use empirical evidence based on 157 economies worldwide abstract the research on economic recession has been more focused on the interactions between macroeconomic and financial variables however whether material use has been affected during the recession period has remained under explored in order to fill up this gap this study investigates the relationship between material use and economic recession as well as other socio economic drivers by using the material flow analysis and the system generalized method of moments for 157 economies worldwide during 1980 2011 results show that economic recession poses significant and negative impact on domestic material consumption at 1 level illustrating its role as a determinant factor on material mitigation by dividing the research sample into extractive and non extractive economies as well as high mid and low income groups we again confirmed the significant negative correlations as expected no significant sign is found between recession and physical trade balance besides other drivers such as population gross domestic production gdp per capita and technological variables also exert marked effects at different situations this research work provides an empirical study on how recession and other factors affect material use at various scenarios which have essential implications for understanding material flow dynamics in different economic cycles

can we use the energy intensity indicator to study decoupling in modern economies abstract the economic energy intensity of a country defined as the ratio between the energy consumed and the gross domestic product of a country is a widely adopted indicator of economic performance often applied to sustainability analysis the usefulness of this indicator has been challenged on the basis of the fact that the two variables making up this ratio are correlated this implies that when considered in isolation each one of these two variables energy consumption p c and gdp p c maps on to typologies of socio economic systems e g developed countries vs less developed countries however calculating their ratio produces an indicator which does not map on to any meaningful typology of economic system a number without an external referent this paper checks the validity of this criticism by looking at the economic energy intensity eei of 133 countries over the period 1960 2009 two approaches are used for this task 1 an analysis at a given point in time year 2009 after excluding countries with real gdp p c

credit risk in european banks the bright side of the internal ratings based approach abstract this paper investigates the accuracy of internal rating based irb models in measuring credit risk we contribute to the growing debate on the current prudential regulatory framework by investigating the use of validated irb models in promoting efficient risk management practices our empirical analysis is based on a novel panel data set of 177 western european banks observed from 2008 to 2015 in the aftermath of the financial and economic crisis we find that irb banks were able to curb the increase in credit risk driven by the macroeconomic slowdown better than banks under the standardized approach this suggests that the introduction of the internal ratings based approach by basel ii has promoted the adoption of stronger risk management practices among banks as meant by the regulators

does speed kill lending booms and their consequences in croatia abstract recent research connects lending booms with increased risks of banking and currency crisis another strand of literature connects financial deepening with long term growth together these findings pose dilemmas for policymakers in the case of croatia we find that rapid loan growth increased the probability of credit quality deterioration and stimulated current account and foreign debt problems conventional monetary tightening was not very effective due to capital inflows unconventional measures such as capital controls also had limited effectiveness we propose limiting negative impacts by pro active monetary policy more restrictive fiscal policy and increased capital requirements for fast growing banks rather than measures to prevent lending booms ex ante

developing countries and the gains from regionalism links between trade and farm policy reforms in mexico we use a multi country computable general equilibrium cge model with agricultural policy details to simulate the effects of north american free trade agreement nafta we find that mexico gains from nafta only when it also removes domestic distortions in agriculture in that case agriculture can generate allocative efficiency gains large enough to offset the terms of trade losses that arise because mexico has higher initial tariffs than its nafta partners when an rta forces a developing country to reform its domestic distortions that are linked to trade restrictions it becomes a building block toward multilateralism

the threat of rent extraction in a resource constrained future abstract ecological economists aim to transform our economic institutions so that society can flourish within planetary boundaries the central message of this article is that private rent extraction forms a key barrier to the realisation of that goal i define rent as an economic reward which is sustained through control of assets that cannot be quickly and widely replicated and which exceeds proportionate compensation for the labour of the recipient i argue that unless we close opportunities for rent extraction and socialise unavoidable rents our governments will be compelled to pursue output growth regardless of its environmental consequences in order to prevent spiralling inequality and unemployment the positive proposition in this article is that the concept of rent can help us to identify and build democratic support for the institutional transformations necessary to prepare for a resource constrained future measures to reduce and redistribute rentier power could be emancipatory for the poorest in society whilst making more feasible many proposals that have been advocated already in this journal including reduced working hours and resource caps by contrast if environmental protections are introduced before opportunities for private rent extraction are closed we could see intensified rent seeking asset price bubbles poverty and economic insecurity

societal metabolism working hours and degrowth a comment on sorman and giampietro can we choose whether to degrow sorman and giampetro in this special issue argue that degrowth can only be forced upon us it will never be the outcome of voluntary or collective choice in this commentary i argue instead that although sooner or later we will have to degrow because of bio physical limitations we still have a choice of how to do it constructing a positive vision of degrowth as an inspirational political project that mobilizes citizens increases the likelihood of a prosperous way down i agree with the authors that in an energy scarce world we will have to work more to maintain the same level of material affluence but i contend that under conceivable conditions we might be equally happy with less work less energy and less material affluence a multi scalar analysis of societal metabolism is essential for the evaluation of degrowth policies and trajectories however unlike what sorman and giampietro suggest there is nothing in existing metabolic analyses that suggests that a prosperous degrowth trajectory is a priori impossible

framing the future of fracking discursive lock in or energy degrowth in the netherlands abstract hydraulic fracturing is a technology developed to improve and increase the production of natural gas in many countries including the netherlands it has caused environmental controversies in these controversies futurity framing may open up debates for alternative paradigms such as degrowth which is the pursuing of collective and deliberative downscaled production of natural resources and less consumption for convivial living based on a frame analysis it is demonstrated that opponents and proponents of fracking have envisaged pessimistic energy futures either to promote or devaluate fracking technology in addition the results show that dominant technological enthusiasm has enabled the introduction of degrowth technology which are downscaled decentralized and renewable energy technologies degrowth technology framing may provide a means of access for more radical degrowth thinking in the energy debates this empirical finding also indicates that the degrowth paradigm could include controversies as entry points for creating support for degrowth thinking

early birds late risers and sleeping beauties bank credit growth to the private sector in central and eastern europe and in the balkans abstract following a period of privatization and restructuring commercial banks in central and eastern europe and more recently in the balkans have expanded rapidly their lending to the private sector this paper studies whether these developments are consistent with a process of convergence and structural financial deepening by estimating an equilibrium level of the bank credit to gdp ratio it concluded that while there is no clear evidence that the recent increases in bank credit ratios is inconsistent with financial deepening policy makers will have to evaluate carefully its implications for macroeconomic developments and financial stability

towards sustainable de growth medical survey data as predictors for estimation of niche market value gluten free beer market case abstract big brewing companies often look for sustainable resource and energy management rather than for minimization of negative social impact or maximization of positive ones that s why sustainable degrowth in production sounds like nightmare to them several activities on market such as demand for product personalization force manufacturers response but few niche markets with huge personalization potential are still underestimated by big producers to bridge the gap between company profits and sustainable de growth the useful tools for niche market value estimation which could help in investments decision making have been worked out the medical data reports were used to assess the socio demographic characteristic of customer of gluten free beer this market is still in its starting phase as big producers are not especially interested in beer products which require significant investments in production process a celiac disease cd is chronic inflammatory enteropathy induced with presence of gluten its prevalence is estimated as 1 100 which suggest that 1 person per 100 absolutely can t drink typical barley wheat beer the equations for calculation model were elaborated based on medical reports of cd occurrence in poland and then in europe total population and adult population data in 2013 eurostat the bart haas report of beer production in 2013 and average prices of gluten free beers manufactured and sold in europe the final formulas of beer production increase and the value of gluten free beer market have been elaborated results reveal that almost 6 5 million of adult people in europe must comply with gluten free diet value of gluten free beer market in europe is estimated as 3 3 billion eur annual for average price 3 eur for 0 5 l introduction of gluten free beer into market will increase production by at least 0 1 up to even 1 it is a value in range of 0 55 5 5 million hectolitres per year

discretionary accounting and the behavior of japanese banks under financial duress abstract this paper investigates utilization of discretionary accounting practices in the context of international bank regulation under the basle accord specifically we explore implications of earnings management as a means of regulatory capital arbitrage by japanese banks during a period of financial duress 1989 1996 using a sample of 607 pooled time series and cross sectional observations we find evidence that japanese banks lending was capital constrained and that banks set gains on securities sales and loan loss provisions in such a way as to smooth reported income and replenish regulatory capital our results support the hypothesis that the form of earnings management examined may have been instrumental in enabling some japanese banks to comply with international capital regulation we contend that this behavior is otherwise inexplicable on the basis of significant informational tax or economic motivations

degrowth energy democracy technology and social ecological relations discussing a localised energy system in vaxjo sweden this paper offers a combined theoretical and empirical assessment of energy democracy and degrowth in relation to the case study of a city s municipally owned energy company in sweden energy democracy is a fairly new concept and is a normative proposal that aims at articulating prospects for reduction of consumption resource efficiency use of renewable sources of energy and community empowerment though degrowth and energy democracy have similar goals and orientation a combined analysis of both normative proposals remains underdeveloped the focus on energy democracy serves us to articulate a deeper discussion on how technology energy use and sustainability challenges interplay with definitions and meanings of degrowth vis a vis processes of capital accumulation empirically we use the case of a municipality based project of energy extraction and distribution in sweden to discuss degrowth and energy democracy perspectives in this context theoretically we develop insights from critical theories of technology a main conclusion of the paper is that prospects for energy democracy and degrowth are limited in the energy project approached in the paper as it is based on the use of forest resources a contested resource in the area and also because this project assumes the development of economic processes oriented towards economic growth within the framework of capital accumulation

environment versus growth a criticism of degrowth and a plea for a growth in recent debates on environmental problems and policies the strategy of degrowth has appeared as an alternative to the paradigm of economic growth this new notion is critically evaluated by considering five common interpretations of it one conclusion is that these multiple interpretations make it an ambiguous and rather confusing concept another is that degrowth may not be an effective let alone an efficient strategy to reduce environmental pressure it is subsequently argued that a growth i e being indifferent about growth is a more logical social aim to substitute for the current goal of economic growth given that gdp per capita is a very imperfect indicator of social welfare in addition focusing ex ante on public policy is considered to be a strategy which ultimately is more likely to obtain the necessary democratic political support than an ex ante explicit degrowth strategy in line with this a policy package is proposed which consists of six elements some of which relate to concerns raised by degrowth supporters

dynamic governance of clean energy markets how technical innovation could accelerate climate policies abstract this article explores the governmental means to accelerate technical progress in climate protection it is based on selected best practice cases in which the diffusion of low carbon technologies has been accelerated by ambitious policies the empirical cases involve not just renewable energies but also energy efficiency the latter being considered more difficult in terms of governance the examples are taken from advanced oecd countries as well as from emerging economies this article will explore which factors have caused this dynamic development the conclusion reached will show that the interaction of positive feedback mechanisms which has already been described as virtuous cycle provides only a plausible theoretical explanation if the policy cycle is added to the market cycle and the innovation cycle climate policy should not only define ambitious targets but also address all three feedback mechanisms

nonlinear dynamics in discretionary accruals an analysis of bank loan loss provisions abstract several studies have analyzed discretionary accruals to address earnings smoothing behaviors in the banking industry we argue that the characteristic link between accruals and earnings may be nonlinear since both the incentives to manipulate income and the practical way to do so depend partially on the relative size of earnings given a sample of 15 268 us banks over the period 1996 2011 the main results in this paper suggest that depending on the size of earnings bank managers tend to engage in earnings decreasing strategies when earnings are negative big bath use earnings increasing strategies when earnings are positive and use provisions as a smoothing device when earnings are positive and substantial cookie jar accounting this evidence which cannot be explained by the earnings smoothing hypothesis is consistent with the compensation theory neglecting nonlinear patterns in the econometric modeling of these accruals may lead to misleading conclusions regarding the characteristic strategies used in earnings management

community renewable energy at a crossroads a think piece on degrowth technology and the democratization of the german energy system abstract degrowth activists and scholars have questioned society s current levels of material throughput and energy use the energy sector is at the core of any modern economy and germany serves as an international showcase for the transition of a large industrialized economy to a low carbon energy system diverse actors organizational models and technologies have contributed to the initiation of germany s energy transition through a wide range of community renewable energy projects the think piece investigates how far these diverse actors embrace the aims of the degrowth movement it also provides a critical account of on the ground realities through six hypotheses and contrasts them with claims made by the degrowth movement it is suggested that community renewable energy projects are at a crossroads while many projects have familiarized thousands of people with alternative economic models there is little evidence of a general change in attitudes towards technology consumption or equity in conclusion a major effort is needed to open initiatives to less affluent actors oppose recent trends of commodification and prevent community renewable energy projects from being engrossed by the dominant political and economic system

non performing loans moral hazard and regulation of the chinese commercial banking system abstract non performing loans npls represent a major obstacle to the development of banking sector one of the key objectives of the banking sector reforms in china has therefore been to reduce the high level of npls to do so chinese regulatory authorities have injected significant capital into the banking system and scrutinized npls since 2003 this paper examines the impact of npls on bank behavior in china using a threshold panel regression model and a dataset covering 60 city commercial banks 16 state owned banks and joint stock banks and 11 rural commercial banks during 2006 2012 we test whether lending decisions of chinese banks exhibit moral hazard the results support the moral hazard hypothesis suggesting that an increase in the npls ratio raises riskier lending potentially causing further deterioration of the loan quality and financial system instability policy implications of findings are evaluated

empirical evidence of risk shifting in financially distressed firms this paper provides evidence of risk shifting behavior in the investment decisions of financially distressed firms using a real options framework i show that shareholders risk shifting incentives can reverse the expected negative relation between volatility and investment i test two hypotheses that are consistent with risk shifting behavior i volatility has a positive effect on distressed firms investment ii investments of distressed firms generate less value during times of high uncertainty empirical evidence using 40 years of data supports both hypotheses i further evaluate the effect of various firm characteristics on risk shifting and estimate the costs of the investment distortion

local currencies for purposive degrowth a quality check of some proposals for changing money as usual this article provides a quality check of the degrowth movement s proposal of local currencies as tools for advancing socially equitable and ecologically sustainable degrowth the article draws comprehensively upon mainly english language academic research about four widespread local currency types lets time banks hour currencies and convertible local currencies clcs to assess their performance with respect to four degrowth related criteria community building advancement of alternative values in economic exchange facilitation of alternative livelihoods and eco localization lets have been found to support alternative livelihoods under quite uncommon conditions and contribute indirectly to eco localization by moderately facilitating informal resale repair and sharing of commercially produced goods although their burdensome management and confinement to small memberships limit their usefulness time banks help expand social networks and are best at reaching the socially excluded however they are confined to unskilled personal services and dependent on grant funding hour currencies do not stand out with regard to any criteria but may have a minor capacity to promote local purchasing clcs are best at attracting local businesses but no significant evidence of their said capacity to localize supply chains has surfaced as yet and their business friendly design works to the detriment of other criteria in sum existing research provides a very weak basis for advocating local currencies as tools for purposive degrowth local currencies are here categorized as two utopian socialist approaches the behind society s back variety of lets and hour currencies and the appeal to elites variety of time banks and clcs marx and engels s critiques of these approaches remain valid successful monetary systems require resources that are not available behind society s back notably the power to levy taxes and designate by which means they can be paid local currencies that appeal for elite support without mass popular backing have shaken off most radical connotations and are vulnerable to changing policy agendas given the present historical conjuncture of popular outrage against the banking sector this paper argues that the degrowth movement would improve its chances of contributing to purposive degrowth by prioritizing government centred ecological reform of the monetary system over local currencies

domestic distortions and international trade in this paper we develop techniques for measuring the trade policy equivalent of domestic distortions using a distance function approach our measure the trade restrictiveness index is shown to equal the uniform tariff which is welfare equivalent to a given pattern of domestic taxes and subsidies we extend the index to incorporate taxes in markets for nontraded goods and factors of production and illustrate its operationality with an application to liberalisation in mexican agriculture we conclude that our index has considerable potential in empirical work and as an aid to trade negotiators it is widely appreciated that government policies of a purely domestic nature can have major implications for a country s international trade to give just one example such implications were widely discussed in the context of the recent gatt round in which u s negotiators insisted that intra ec agricultural policy should be viewed as trade distorting however analysts and negotiators have not hitherto had access to a conceptual framework which would allow the trade effects of domestic policies to be measured in a consistent way in this paper we propose such a framework and show how it may be implemented empirically of course other attempts have been made to quantify the overall distortionary effects of domestic policies these have involved constructing empirically based indexes such as producer or consumer subsidy equivalents 2 however such measures have no theoretical foundation moreover since they use the shares of different sectors in production or consumption as weights they are likely to be systematically biased for example sectors whose output levels are reduced by high taxation are assigned low weights whereas their true weights should be higher by contrast we show below that our approach is based firmly on welfare economics and correctly uses marginal rather than average production and consumption shares as weights the approach we propose draws on recent work by two of the authors anderson and neary 1990 1992b which dealt with trade distortions only that work developed a scalar index the trade restrictiveness index or tri which equals the equiproportionate rate of trade restriction which is equivalent in welfare terms to

bank ownership privatization and performance evidence from a transition country abstract this paper combines the static effect of ownership and the dynamic effect of privatization on bank performance in china over 1995 2010 reporting a significantly higher performance by private intermediaries joint stock commercial banks and city commercial banks relative to state owned commercial banks however publicly traded banks subject to multiple monitoring and vetting in capital markets perform better regardless of ownership status the privatization of banks has improved performance with respect to revenue inflow and efficiency gains in the short or long run initial public offerings the positive long run effect is more relevant and significant for banking institutions with minority foreign ownership moreover this paper innovatively estimates interest income efficiency and non interest income efficiency at the same time the results suggest that chinese banks are much more efficient in generating interest income than raising non interest revenue although the latter aspect has improved significantly during the sample period

technology appropriation in a de growing economy this article proposes a concept of technology appropriation as a means of ideological repurposing of technology in a de growing economy its economic and institutional foundations are set forth using an endogenous theory of economic development in the spirit of marx schumpeter and veblen technological and institutional change lead interdependently to the emergence of socio technical complexes which are subject to ideological appropriation these complexes are analyzed as actor networks from an ontological perspective and exemplified using special cases in the information and communication technologies icts the approach contributes to synthesizing critical political economy with actor network theory technology appropriation is elaborated as a means of repurposing existing technologies in terms of recombination with an emphasis on the strategy of habilitation this political economic strategy delivers new insights for a solidary mode of economic reproduction in a low carbon de growing economy

why ecological economics needs to return to its roots the biophysical foundation of socio economic systems abstract ecological economics was formally established in 1989 with the ambitious vision of developing a new economic paradigm embedding the social and economic systems in the biophysical world ecological economics had its roots in the biophysical understanding of economics that pioneers of the field georgescu roegen 1971 odum 1971 daly 1977 jansson 1984 martinez alier 1987 and others developed while studying the thermodynamic bedrocks shared by natural and social systems subsequently however ecological economics has explicitly but controversially adopted a big umbrella approach to methodological pluralism focusing more on topics such as valuing nature and its functions rather than attempting to understand and quantify the biophysical roots of economic activities biophysical economics was established in response to these concerns focusing more on developing analyses and models of the transformations of nature to generate wealth and approached mostly from an energy and material flows perspective the present paper argues that to achieve its original vision ecological economics must return to its biophysical roots collaboration between the two fields will help the next generation of thinkers to address the socio ecological challenges of the 21st century requiring an energy transformation called for by aspirations such as the green new deal and the un sustainable development goals

on the theory of piecemeal tariff reform the case of pure imported intermediate inputs what is the effect of a tariff reduction that applies only to a subset of commodities subject to tariffs this important question was addressed systematically for the first time by james meade 1955 ch 13 in his classic work trade and welfare after a careful analysis meade concluded t here is more likely to be a gain in economic welfare if the rate of duty is high on the primary imports which will come in in increased volume and is low on the secondary imports which will come in in reduced volume p 208 this result was proved formally by trent j bertrand and jaroslav vanek 1971 who demonstrated that in a small open economy if the highest tariff rate is reduced to the next highest one welfare will rise provided the import demand for the good with the highest tariff exhibits gross substitutability with respect to all other goods 2 subsequently following a different strand of the literature as exemplified in john green 1961 tatsuo hatta 1973 1977 and peter lloyd 1974 independently proved similar results in terms of hicksian substitutability 3 in deriving their results bertrand and vanek allowed for the use of final goods as intermediate inputs i e interindustry flows 4 however neither they nor the subsequent writers including hatta and lloyd allowed for the existence of pure imported intermediate inputs that are not produced domestically therefore a natural question is whether the piecemeal policy prescription derived by them remains valid in the presence of pure imported intermediates this question is particularly important for developing countries for two reasons first by far the bulk of the imports of developing countries are intermediate and capital goods according to the world bank during the period 1975 1985 50 percent of developing countries imports were accounted for by intermediate inputs and an additional 30 percent were capital goods a sizable proportion of both capital and intermediate goods are neither produced nor directly consumed in these countries second the meade bertrand vanekhatta lloyd result has been the cornerstone of trade policy reform in many developing countries especially during the last decade in most countries trade reform has been based on the so called concertina approach under which the highest tariffs are reduced to the next highest ones and then to the next highest ones and so on thus lopez professor department of agricultural and resource economics university of maryland college park md 20742 and consultant trade policy division world bank 1818 h street n w washington dc 20433 panagariya senior economist trade policy division world bank 1818 h street n w washington dc 20433 and professor department of economics university of maryland college park md 20742 the findings interpretations and conclusions in this paper are entirely those of the authors they do not necessarily represent the views of the world bank its executive directors or the countries they represent the authors are indebted to two referees and tatsuo hatta for valuable comments on an earlier draft iin this quotation primary imports refers to the goods on which tariffs are reduced while secondary imports refers to other importables subject to tariffs 2robert lipsey and kelvin lancaster 1956 had proved the basic result of bertrand and vanek in a one factor three good model with a cobb douglas utility function 3more recently takashi fukushima 1979 has proved the validity of the hatta lloyd result when the highest tariff is shared by several commodities while rodney falvey 1988 has done the same in the presence of quantitative restrictions on imports 4although hatta 1973 1977 did not allow explicitly for interindustry flows his results can also be shown to be valid in the presence of such flows

why are we growth addicted the hard way towards degrowth in the involutionary western development path abstract by questioning the origins of the inertia facing the degrowth movement this contribution identifies property as the constitutive institution of capitalism and property expansion as the dominant socioeconomic process leading world societies to economic path dependence techno institutional lock in and eco social impasse demonstrating why and how property based economic rationality subordinates ecological and social considerations to capitalist requirements this paper stresses both the need for an inversion in the hierarchy of social norms and the systemic opposition to such an inversion which emanates from the capitalist industrial expansion the text also brings to light some disregarded processes underlying the current economic crisis by pointing out the institutional and technological locked in situation into which the western development path has led our societies

the economics of degrowth economic degrowth is ecologically desirable and possibly inevitable but under what conditions can it become socially sustainable how can we have full employment and economic stability without growth what will happen to public spending and to public debt how would production be organised in a degrowing economy and under what plausible socio political conditions could such grand changes happen standard economic theories and models ignore these questions for them economic growth is an axiomatic necessity this article reviews recent contributions in the economics of degrowth and identifies research avenues for ecological economists

the wellbeing consumption paradox happiness health income and carbon emissions in growing versus non growing economies abstract we investigate the relationships between carbon intensive consumption and two dimensions of human wellbeing physical health and happiness for 120 countries over the 2005 2015 period long term 10 year relationships are analysed to re assess the happiness income paradox i e easterlin paradox which states that changes in national income and happiness are correlated in the short term but not in the long term we broaden the scope of easterlin s analysis in two novel ways first the evidence for a health income paradox is explored second a parallel analysis using national consumption based carbon footprints instead of income is conducted to explore complementary relationships with both of the wellbeing indicators we show that countries with declining per capita consumption measured in terms of either gross domestic product gdp or carbon footprint have significant reductions in average happiness in contrast countries with growing per capita consumption have no significant change in happiness there is no relationship between changes in per capita consumption and health irrespective of whether gdp or carbon footprint is growing or not these findings apply to rich and poor countries alike and are robust to the inclusion of other social indicators such as social support and autonomy we find that happiness is less sensitive to declines in carbon footprint than declines in gdp thus lending support to calls for decoupling carbon emissions from economic growth however observed decoupling trends are insufficient to meet climate targets if the 2 target is to be met without a decline in wellbeing then either decoupling must be vastly improved or happiness levels must be made less sensitive to declining consumption

who bears the cost of agricultural support in oecd countries this paper provides quantitative estimates of the impact of removing agricultural support in both oecd and developing countries in partial and general equilibrium frameworks the results show that agricultural support in oecd countries is highly distortionary and tariffs have a larger distortionary impact than subsidies removal of agricultural support would likely raise the international prices of food resulting in an increase in the cost of food for many net food importing countries although the size of the increase is generally small the results also show that most of the benefits from removing agricultural support accrue to the countries that liberalise

challenges in assessing public opinion on economic growth versus environment considering european and us data abstract the enduring scientific debate about economic growth versus the environment has recently received new impetus nonetheless there is virtually unanimous support for growth in politics this may partly be due to an assumed social consensus about the desirability of growth here we examine public perceptions relevant to the growth debate by using data from a large number of representative surveys conducted in europe and the us the main findings are i a relative majority of respondents seem to believe that economic growth and environmental protection are compatible even though a fraction of the population might have unstable opinions ii when people have to choose environmental protection is prioritized in most surveys and countries and iii the public has limited factual knowledge of relevant concepts and data such as the meaning of economic growth and past gdp growth rates these findings are discussed and further qualified we highlight the importance of methodological aspects such as question wording and format in the interpretation of the results and draw implications for political debate and future research on economic growth and the environment

degrowth business framework implications for sustainable development abstract recent years have seen a revival in growth scepticism yet degrowth in relation to the macroeconomic level has received almost exclusive attention this resulted in a lack of literature on how post growth and specifically degrowth visions of economy could be implemented including from the perspective of firms and other organisations this paper focuses on degrowth literature and fields of knowledge which share a similar or sympathetic perspective regarding the undesirability of economic growth and desirability of living within planetary boundaries while pursuing wellbeing it then applies degrowth vision to firms and identifies potential elements of a business for a degrowth economy here referred to as a degrowth business these elements comprise a degrowth business framework the framework is centred around the following groups 1 environment 2 people and non humans and 3 deviation from profit maximisation imperative it aims to contribute to an emerging discussion on what firms should be like for a degrowth economy and society to be possible

who gets credit the behavior of bureaucrats and state banks in allocating credit to chinese state owned enterprises abstract using a sample of chinese state owned enterprises spanning 1980 to 1994 we investigate the factors that determine the sources of finance for firm level fixed investment including retained earnings bank finance and government transfers direct government transfers were not significantly associated with profitability throughout the period in contrast bank finance was positively linked to both profitability and some types of reform reforms that enabled managers to self select and thus expose themselves and their employees to greater risk were positively associated with acquiring bank finance the association between bank finance and profitability weakened in the 1990s as banks increasingly assumed bailout responsibility

degrowth taking stock and reviewing an emerging academic paradigm degrowth has evolved within a decade from an activist movement into a multi disciplinary academic paradigm however an overview taking stock of the peer refereed degrowth literature is yet missing here we review 91 articles that were published between 2006 and 2015 we find that the academic degrowth discourse occupies a small but expanding niche at the intersection of social and applied environmental sciences the discourse is shaped by authors from high income mainly mediterranean countries until 2012 articles largely constitute conceptual essays endorsed by normative claims more recently degrowth has branched out into modelling empirical assessments and the study of concrete implementations authors tend to agree in that economic growth cannot be sustained ad infinitum on a resource constraint planet and that degrowth requires far reaching societal change whether degrowth should be considered as a collectively consented choice or an environmentally imposed inevitability constitutes a major debate among degrowth thinkers we argue that the academic discourse could benefit from rigid hypotheses testing through input output modelling material flow analysis life cycle assessments or social surveys by analyzing the potentials for non market value creation and identifying concrete well being benefits the degrowth discourse could receive wider public support and contribute to a paradigmatic change in the social sciences

can degrowth overcome the leakage problem of unilateral climate policy abstract unilateral climate policy suffers from carbon leakage i e the partial offset of the initial emission reduction by increases in other countries different than most typically discussed climate policies degrowth not only aims at reducing the fossil fuel use in an economy but rather besides other social and political goals at a reduction of all factor inputs which may lead to different leakage implications we conduct the first investigation of degrowth in a multi country setting in order to i compare the leakage effects of national pure emission reduction policies to degrowth scenarios ii identify underlying channels by decomposing the implied emission changes into scale composition and technique effects and iii investigate which country characteristics determine degrowth s relative effectiveness to overcome the leakage problem using a structural gravity model we find that degrowth indeed significantly reduces leakage by keeping the sectoral composition of the country more stable and reducing uncommitted countries incentives to shift towards more energy intensive production techniques the higher effectiveness of degrowth in reducing carbon emissions is most pronounced for small and trade open economies with comparatively clean production technologies

banking structure and industrial growth evidence from china abstract the debate on the puzzling relationship between financial development and economic growth in china has remained inconclusive because the effects of banking ownership structure and size structure are highly intertwined in the existing studies this paper addresses this problem by specifying an empirical model to disentangle the two structural effects the analysis uses a data set that includes the banking sector and 28 manufacturing industries across 30 chinese provinces over the period 1999 2007 in order to identify the channel through which banking structure affects industrial growth two interactive variables are constructed to capture the interaction of the prevailing banking structure with labor intensity and the share of non state owned enterprises in each industry respectively the regression results are robust and make the case for the ongoing banking reforms to reduce state ownership and promote small banking institutions

asymmetric effects of the business cycle on bank credit risk abstract prior empirical research on the relation between credit risk and the business cycle has failed to properly investigate the presence of asymmetric effects to fill this gap we examine this relation both at the aggregate and the bank level exploiting a unique dataset on italian banks borrowers default rates we employ threshold regression models that allow to endogenously establish different regimes identified by the thresholds over below which credit risk is more less cyclical we find that not only are the effects of the business cycle on credit risk more pronounced during downturns but cyclicality is also higher for those banks with riskier portfolios

are we entering the age of involuntary degrowth promethean technologies and declining returns of innovation any reflections on an eventual transition towards a degrowth society have to take into account the current crisis in the dominant system and question whether the latter will be able to grow again or not in order for the latter to happen the role played by technological innovation is crucial this paper starts by reconsidering georgescu roegen s definition of promethean techniques and tainter s principle of declining marginal returns with the aim of providing within the common framework of the theory of complex systems a sound theoretical basis for the analysis of the rise and fall of complex societies the main purpose is to verify whether after the last promethean revolution a great wave emerged or not the second part of the paper presents an initial investigation into this hypothesis using total factor productivity growth as an indicator of marginal returns on innovation 1750 2015 despite the limitations implicit in the use of this indicator data show three cycles of innovation corresponding to the first second and third industrial revolutions but of different magnitude and duration in particular the whole cycle that began with the first industrial revolution in england around 1750 reached a peak in the u s in the nineteen thirties and later declined following a trend that basically confirms the great wave hypothesis even recent innovations resulting from the ict revolution however considerable do not seem capable of counteracting this long term trend data on returns on innovation seem therefore to be coherent with evidence provided by research in other fields energy mineral resources agriculture health education and scientific research showing that advanced capitalist societies have entered a phase of declining marginal returns or involuntary degrowth with possible major effects on the system s capacity to maintain its present institutional framework

the uruguay round and welfare in some distorted agricultural economies abstract the uruguay round s induced changes in world agricultural prices will affect the welfare of developing countries the standard terms of trade effect calculation can mislead since the distortion effect operates alongside the terms of trade effect this study of the uruguay round s impact on nine agricultural economies reveals distortion effects which are many times larger than terms of trade effects in three of nine cases the distortion effect reverses the impact of the terms of trade effect in two other cases the distortion effect raises trivial terms of trade effect up to around 1 of national income

sustainability of catch up growth in the extended european union abstract this paper analyses the compatibility of growth and sustainability in the european union eu including a new eu member states from the former soviet bloc eu 10 the extension of eu borders financial and technological support stimulated rapid convergence and decreased the socio economic differences between the old eu 15 and newly accepted eu member states the transition from a command to a market economy resulted in the remarkable increase in resource efficiency and other positive aspects of sustainability along with 1 5 times increased gdp final energy consumption decreased by 20 greenhouse gases emissions by 25 and the emissions of acidifying compounds were halved during the period from the collapse of former soviet bloc to the recent economic crisis however the per capita production and consumption in eu 10 is still approximately half that of eu 15 and further catch up growth should be expected ensuring that economic and social cohesion is not achieved at the expense of increased environmental impact decelerated economic growth is a feature characteristic of mature economies and the gdp growth rate in eu 15 states decreased almost 2 5 times during the last 50 year similar trends are characteristic of other developed countries and market economies have adapted to this trend even with a decelerated growth rate the ecological footprint in developed countries currently exceeds three and more times the allowable limits and almost two thirds of the ecological footprint relates to traditional energy de fossilisation by a greater increase in energy efficiency use of renewable energy and more intense material recovery is the most promising option for reducing the ecological footprint of these countries deceleration of the economic growth rate supplemented by the aforementioned options is a hard but realistic track leading to the reduction of ecological footprint in developed countries to allowable limits without radical de growth in consumption and production that can result in unpredictable and unacceptable consequences

de growth and welfare in an equilibrium model with heterogeneous consumers this paper studies equilibrium growth and voluntary degrowth allowing for heterogeneous and time varying preferences the approach is based on applying a dynamic equilibrium model with externalities in production consumption and leisure preference heterogeneity regarding status competition is modeled by asymmetric consumption externality parameters whereas heterogeneity regarding voluntary simplicity is incorporated by allowing for agent specific restrictions on maximum consumption equilibrium is studied in terms of a balanced growth path bgp numerical examples suggest that degrowth triggered by voluntary simplicity by a subset of consumers less affected by status competition has a positive effect on the aggregate welfare under externalities in consumption and leisure a reduction in status competition increases the aggregate welfare and reduces the equilibrium growth rate simulations suggest that a time varying equilibrium in the heterogeneous preference model with two consumer classes is well approximated by a constant bgp

need entitlement and desert a distributive justice framework for consumption degrowth abstract post growth societies seek socio ecological transformations towards a just and sustainable redistribution and reduced consumption of natural capital there is no one universally just and ecologically sustainable way of fulfilling these redistribution and consumption objectives it depends on the criteria used and their underlying ethical teleology we suggest three distribution criteria borrowed from the foundations of the environmental justice ej movement need entitlement and desert by juxtaposing and problematising the needs entitlements and deserts of nature and society these criteria comprise an ethical framework for consumption degrowth praxis in communities we present arguments for how each distribution criterion fulfils the aims articulated in the degrowth corpus based on these arguments we propose seven justice based community action principles for redistribution under degrowth in our discussion of these derived principles we demonstrate that like ej degrowth seeks consequential as well as deontological justice underscoring their deep complementarity therefore our need entitlement desert framework may serve as a useful guiding frame to include ethical distribution considerations in societies pursuit of post growth futures

the effect of banking system reform on investment cash flow sensitivity evidence from china abstract this study investigates the effect of banking system reform on the investment behavior of chinese listed firms we find that the politically oriented investment problem for state controlled listed companies is mitigated by the reform due to foreign participation in the management of chinese banks the problem of underinvestment in non state controlled listed companies also appears to be alleviated due to an increase of bank loans we include leverage in our analysis and the main findings are robust the results provide evidence that chinese banking system reform has increased the efficiency of resource allocation easing investment distortions in state controlled listed companies and reducing financial constraints in non state controlled listed companies

policy persistence and rent extraction the existing literature has shown that special interest groups can have both growth enhancing and growth retarding effects on an economy in either case it is always assumed that the nature of the special interest groups remains constant over time the hypothesis of this paper is that a dynamic relationship exists between politicians and lobbyists i e that opportunities for rent extraction for special interest groups can evolve over time in the short run politicians may support projects proposed to them by lobbies because they yield clear economic benefits however continued governmental support may imply a cost to society and yield rents to the lobbies a theoretical framework in which established and new lobbies overlap is developed to model a government s incentives to behave in a manner consistent with the hypothesis in this framework voters can still rationally reelect politicians even if the latter support lobbies for an inefficiently long period of time because if they did not then the quality of the pool of new projects would deteriorate

the energetic metabolism of societies and the degrowth paradigm analyzing biophysical constraints and realities the belief that it is possible to have a perpetual economic growth based on fossil energy has been challenged since the 1970s however only in the last decade is this issue re emerging once again because of the predicaments of climate change and peak oil many finally start to perceive that an economic degrowth entailing a downscaling of the current size and pattern of socio economic systems seem unavoidable in this paper we analyze the implications the feasibility and the desirability of possible trajectories of downscaling from an energetic perspective the quantitative analysis is based on the methodological approach of societal metabolism and it provides a dynamic accounting of the profile of energy flows required and consumed by societies in relation the expression of a given set of societal functions this analysis makes it possible to check two types of constraints external constraints supply and sink side limits for the whole and internal constraints the feasibility of energy budget of the various parts of the society expressing the required functions the analysis of the metabolic pattern of a sample of developed countries is used to discuss possible implications of i demographic changes ii the declining supply of net energy sources and iii the effects of the jevons paradox within such an analysis a few assumptions and recipes of the degrowth movement seem problematic i population is and will remain as a relevant variable to be considered ii the proposed reduction in working hours seem to be impractical unless a major catastrophe will reset current civilization to pre industrial standards and iii voluntary reduction of personal energy consumption even if a welcome adjustment alone will not solve the existing problems in the final part of the paper future energetic road maps are questioned within the realm of post normal science can we plan degrowth if we are serious about the need of doing something completely different societies will have to learn how to deliberate under uncertainty within the realms of flexible management and stop planning for either growth or degrowth moreover before suggesting policies it would be wise first to try to understand the option space

an equilibrium framework for the analysis of a degrowth society with asymmetric agents sharing and basic income abstract this paper presents a novel equilibrium framework allowing for asymmetries in the initial wealth allocations labour supplies as well as in the preferences of optimizing agents the framework is applied to study a degrowth society where a subset of agents voluntarily limit their material consumption thereby complying with voluntary simplicity vs at micro level the utility maximization problems of asymmetric agents are formulated and solved for optimal labour supplies new macro level equilibrium solutions accounting for wealth inequality are presented based on different labour supply models the equilibrium welfare is measured using a bernoully nash aggregate an increase in the share of the vs type agents implies a degrowth transition to a lower level of average consumption analysis of the equilibrium framework shows that degrowth whereby average market based consumption falls improves the equilibrium welfare assuming the vs type agents have sufficient resources enabling a reduction in labour supplies sharing collaborative consumption and basic income support welfare increasing degrowth any growing economy can eventually reach the size at which degrowth would improve the welfare simulations suggest that degrowth can also yield a pareto improvement in welfare

credit risk in private debt portfolios default loss severity and average loss rates for a large sample of privately placed bonds are presented and compared with loss experience for publicly issued bonds the chance of very large portfolio losses is estimated and some determinants of such losses are analyzed results show ex ante riskier classes of private debt perform better on average than public debt both diversification and the riskiness of individual portfolio assets influence the bad tail of the portfolio loss distribution private placements are similar to corporate loans in that both are monitored private debt the results are thus relevant to management and securitization of private debt portfolios generally more than half of nonfinancial corporate debt finance is iss ued privately and decisions of the financial intermediaries that invest in such debt depend importantly on its credit risk regulators of such institutions are similarly attentive to portfolio credit risk and it is an important consideration in the design of securitizations of pools of private debt in spite of its importance little is known empirically about private debt credit risk especially ex ante risk as a function of portfolio characteristics many studies have examined the loan portfolio performance of banks thrifts and insurance companies but the ex ante risk characteristics of the portfo

did risk based capital allocate bank credit and cause a credit crunch in the united states this paper examines the reallocation of bank credit from loans to securities in the early 1990s using data on virtually all u s banks from 1979 to 1992 the authors investigate implementation of risk based capital and other regulatory and nonregulatory changes as possible causes of a supply driven credit crunch the main empirical implication of these credit crunch hypotheses that the reallocation of credit would be most associated with low capital high risk banks generally is not consistent with the data much of the reallocation is associated with demand side factors but it is difficult to differentiate cleanly among these factors copyright 1994 by ohio state university press

bank income structure and risk an empirical analysis of european banks the purpose of this paper is to investigate the relationship between bank risk and product diversification in the changing structure of the european banking industry based on a broad set of european banks for the period 1996 2002 our study first shows that banks expanding into non interest income activities present higher risk and higher insolvency risk than banks which mainly supply loans however considering size effects and splitting non interest activities into both trading activities and commission and fee activities we show that the positive link with risk is mostly accurate for small banks and essentially driven by commission and fee activities a higher share of trading activities is never associated with higher risk and for small banks it implies in some cases lower asset and default risks

greasing the wheels of bank lending evidence from private firms in china abstract bribery rather than firm performance largely determines the extent to which private firms access bank credit in china bribery enables an economic outcome whereby firms with better economic performance are awarded larger loans these firms also pay more in terms of bribes although satisfactory firm performance does determine whether firms can access loans it does so only for loans originated by the big four banks for loans originated by smaller banks performance is not essential for firms to secure loan access our evidence sheds light on the surprising finding of earlier studies that chinese banks use commercial logic in their lending practices despite being endowed with a weak institutional framework

agricultural incentives in developing countries measuring the effect of sectoral and economywide policies the impact of sector specific direct and economywide indirect policies on agricultural incentives for 18 developing countries for the period 1975 84 are estimated the direct effect is measured by the proportional difference between the producer price and the border price adjusting for distribution storage transport and other marketing costs the indirect effect has two components 1 the impact of the unsustainable portion of the current account deficit and of industrial protection policies on the real exchange rate and thus on the price of agricultural commodities relative to nonagricultural nontradables and 2 the impact of industrial protection policies on the relative price of agricultural commodities to that of nonagricultural tradable goods the authors found that a in almost all cases the direct effect is equivalent to a tax on exportable goods and to a subsidy for importables b the indirect effect also taxes agriculture and dominates the direct effect and c the direct policies for both importables and exportables stabilize domestic producer prices

assessing the degrowth discourse a review and analysis of academic degrowth policy proposals abstract debates on ecological and social limits to economic growth and new ways to deal with resource scarcity without compromising human well being have re emerged in the last few years central to many of these is a call for a degrowth approach in this paper a framework is developed to support a systematic analysis of degrowth in the academic literature this article attempts to present a clearer notion of what the academic degrowth literature explores by identifying organising and analysing a set of proposals for action retrieved from a selection of articles the framework is applied to classify proposals according to their alignment to ecological economics policy objectives sustainable scale fair distribution and efficient allocation type of approach top down versus bottom up and geographical focus local national or international a total of 128 peer reviewed articles focused on degrowth were reviewed and 54 that include proposals for action were analysed the proposals identified align with three broad goals 1 reduce the environmental impact of human activities 2 redistribute income and wealth both within and between countries and 3 promote the transition from a materialistic to a convivial and participatory society the findings indicate that the majority of degrowth proposals are national top down approaches focusing on government as a major driver of change rather than local bottom up approaches as advocated by many degrowth proponents the most emphasised aspects in the degrowth literature are related to social equity closely followed by environmental sustainability topics such as population growth and the implications of degrowth for developing nations are largely neglected and represent an important area for future research moreover there is a need for a deeper analysis of how degrowth proposals would act in combination

what role for network governance in urban low carbon transitions many cities around the world have taken a pioneering role in tackling climate change and they will be key players in a possible transition to a future low carbon society however cities are at the same time constrained and act in a world of multi level governance where local decision makers are dependent on both higher political levels and other actors in society in this situation network governance has emerged as a promising new mode of governance where cities can increase both the legitimacy and implementation capacity of an ambitious climate agenda in network governance the municipality is a facilitator rather than commander and implementer however there are also some important potential problems with network governance relating to its democratic legitimacy politics increasingly carried out by closed elites and its capacity to lead to radical change networks of established interests tend to preserve status quo the aim of this paper is to critically analyse the role of network governance in urban low carbon transitions the paper builds on original empirical research from the swedish context which is supplemented by experience found in the literature from other cases the paper draws from and merges two different theoretical perspectives on governance network governance and transition governance the literature on network governance asks whether this mode of governance is legitimate and effective while the literature on transition governance explores what governance configurations are needed in order to steer towards a low carbon transition the findings of the paper show that the effects of network governance are mixed both regarding its policy outputs and its democratic legitimacy on the implications of network governance for urban low carbon transitions it is argued that while network governance can contribute to niche developments and innovation at the urban level the elitist character of networks risks maintaining existing unsustainable patterns and defining possible urban futures in too narrow terms

does slow growth lead to rising inequality some theoretical reflections and numerical simulations this paper explores the hypothesis most notably made by french economist thomas piketty that slow growth rates lead to rising inequality if true this hypothesis would pose serious challenges to achieving prosperity without growth or meeting the ambitions of those who call for an intentional slowing down of growth on ecological grounds it would also create problems of social justice in the context of a secular stagnation the paper describes a closed demand driven stock flow consistent model of savings inequality and growth in a macroeconomic framework sigma with exogenous growth and savings rates sigma is used to examine the evolution of inequality in the context of declining economic growth contrary to the general hypothesis we find that inequality does not necessarily increase as growth slows down in fact there are certain conditions under which inequality can be reduced significantly or even eliminated entirely as growth declines the paper discusses the implications of this finding for questions of employment government fiscal policy and the politics of de growth

loan growth and riskiness of banks we investigate whether loan growth affects the riskiness of individual banks in 16 major countries using bankscope data from more than 16 000 individual banks during 1997 2007 we test three hypotheses on the relation between abnormal loan growth and asset risk bank profitability and bank solvency we find that loan growth leads to an increase in loan loss provisions during the subsequent three years to a decrease in relative interest income and to lower capital ratios further analyses show that loan growth also has a negative impact on the risk adjusted interest income these results suggest that loan growth represents an important driver of the riskiness of banks

interactions between trade policies and domestic distortions in a small open developing country abstract this paper reports results from a price taking open economy numerical general equilibrium model of the philippines whose purpose is to explore the ways in which trade policies and other domestic distortions interact in a small open developing economy the trade policies featured in the model include tariffs export taxes and import quotas while the domestic distortions considered are rent seeking and harris todaro labour market dualism results clearly indicate that interactions between trade policies and other domestic distortions are significant and need to be more fully considered in numerical economic policy analyses for developing countries

optimal versus sustainable degrowth policies abstract this paper introduces a natural resource and pollution in a ramsey growth model which relies on the postulates of ecological economics it studies the impact of voluntary degrowth policies on production and welfare the instrument of these policies is a tax on the natural resource these public policies are implemented after the downturn of the households welfare following from the increased pollution two kinds of policies are considered and rely either on an optimality criterion or on an intergenerational equity criterion with respect to the laissez faire case they decrease both production and pollution but increase welfare classes of sustainable degrowth paths characterized by time constant or time increasing tax rates are determined

measuring the restrictiveness of trade policy this article provides an introduction to the trade restrictiveness index tri which equals the uniform tariff that is welfare equivalent to a given pattern of trade protection unlike standard measures of trade restrictiveness the tri has a solid theoretical basis can incorporate both tariffs and quantitative restrictions and can be adapted to construct the trade policy equivalent of domestic distortions the article compares a number of applications and describes procedures for operationalizing the tri on a personal computer the authors conclude that the tri has considerable potential in empirical work