the value of corporate voting rights and control a cross country analysis this paper measures the value of corporate voting rights specifically of the control block of votes in a sample of 661 dual class firms in 18 countries in 1997 a consistent measure across countries is proposed the measure is adjusted for takeover probability block holding costs and dividend and liquidity differences between the share classes the value of controlblock votes varies widely across countries it is close to half of firm market value in south korea andclose to zero in finland the value of control block votes is interpretedas a lower bound for actual private benefits of the controlling shareholder the legal environment law enforcement investor protection takeover regulations andpower concentrating corporate charter provisions explain 68 of the cross country variation in the value of control block votes

mitigating the consequences of a health condition the role of intra and interhousehold assistance the behavior of noncoresident family members motivates much of the literature on consumption smoothing risk sharing and informal networks yet little is known empirically on the topic due to a lack of data simultaneously observing multiple households in an extended family this study utilizes genealogically linked longitudinal data to examine how extended family networks insure against financial risks from severely limiting health conditions we find that nonhealth consumption of unmarried households declines in response to worsening health whereas married households smooth expenditures in a way that is consistent with full insurance families mitigate losses by reallocating home production drawing down home equity holding formal health insurance collecting social security and receiving transfers from noncoresident relatives we illustrate that the costs of health shocks are transmitted throughout family networks and that noncoresident children draw down their assets and consumption when responding to a parent s health decline

productivity and distribution effects of codetermination in an efficient bargaining model codetermination can be regarded as an extreme regulatory intervention of the legislator in the labor market which might affect the efficiency of production and the bargaining power of labor based on a model that covers both efficient bargaining and employment bargaining a simple equation is derived that is suited to empirical testing the empirical test is based on german data and includes years before and after the extension of german codetermination law in 1976 the estimates determine the productivity of labor and relative bargaining power of capital and labor it turns out that codetermination does not affect productivity but leads to a significant increase in workers bargaining power and the distribution of rents

stochastic convenience yield and the pricing of oil contingent claims this paper develops and empirically tests a two factor model for pricing financial and real assets contingent on the price of oil the factors are the spot price of oil and the instantaneous convenience yield the parameters of the model are estimated using weekly oil futures contract prices from january 1984 to november 1988 and the model s performance is assessed out of sample by valuing futures contracts over the period november 1988 to may 1989 finally the model is applied to determine the present values of one barrel of oil deliverable in one to ten years time

a microeconometric test of the theory of exhaustible resources abstract this paper generalizes extant developments of the economic theory of exhaustible resource production derives and extends a halvorsen and smith 1991 quarterly journal of economics 106 123 140 type test of the theory and applies the test to a sample of natural gas resources to facilitate our empirical test we extend the model developed in chermak and patrick 1995 journal of environmental economics and management 28 174 189 to explicitly account for the fact that the extracted resource gross product must be processed to obtain the final saleable product duality theory is used to derive econometric models with which the theory is statistically tested using panel data from 29 natural gas wells shadow prices of the resource stock through time which are generally unobservable but necessary for the test are estimated via the indirect cost function contrary to the extant literature we find inter alia that i at any point in time ceteris paribus the in situ resource price a decreases with gross production and b increases with final production and ii we cannot reject the theory of exhaustible resources i e producer behavior is consistent with the theory

evaluating natural resource investments notwithstanding impressive advances in the theory of finance over the past 2 decades practical procedures for capital budgeting have evolved only slowly the standard technique which has remained unchanged in essentials since it was originally proposed see dean 1951 bierman and smidt 1960 derives from a simple adaptation of the fisher 1907 model of valuation under certainty under this technique expected cash flows from an investment project are discounted at a rate deemed appropriate to their risk and the resulting present value is compared with the cost of the project this standard textbook technique reflects modern theoretical developments only insofar as estimates of the discount rate may be obtained from crude application of single period asset pricing theory but see brennan 1973 bogue and roll 1974 turnbull 1977 constantinides 1978 the inadequacy of this approach to capital budgeting is widely acknowledged although not widely discussed its obvious deficiency is its the evaluation of mining and other natural resource projects is made particularly difficult by the high degree of uncertainty attaching to output prices it is shown that the techniques of continuous time arbitrage and stochastic control theory may be used not only to value such projects but also to determine the optimal policies for developing managing and abandoning them the approach may be adapted to a wide variety of contexts outside the natural resource sector where uncertainty about future project revenues is a paramount concern

management ownership and market valuation an empirical analysis we investigate the relationship between management ownership and market valuation of the firm as measured by tobin s q in a 1980 cross section of 371 fortune 500 firms we find evidence of a significant nonmonotonic relationship tobin s q first increases then declines and finally rises slightly as ownership by the board of directors rises for older firms there is evidence that q is lower when the firm is run by a member of the founding family than when it is run by an officer unrelated to the founder

interest rates and equity extraction during the housing boom credit record panel data from 1999 2010 indicates that the likelihood of home equity extraction borrowing on average about 40 000 against one s home peaked in 2003 when mortgage rates reached historic lows we estimate a 27 percent rise in extraction in response to a 100 basis point rate decline and that house price growth amplifies this relationship differential responses to interest rates and home price appreciation by borrower age and credit score provide new evidence of financial frictions finally equity extractions are associated with higher default risk consistent with the use of borrowed funds for consumption or illiquid investment

valuing mineral reserves when capacity constrains production abstract we add a capacity constraint and heterogeneous reserves to the hotelling valuation principle this produces a more general version of the principle that is more consistent with empirical valuations while retaining the underlying relationship between net price and reserve value

resource curse or not a question of appropriability this thesis presents three self contained essays focusing on empirical questions in growth and development economics each article addresses specific questions on why countries perform differently in particular i analyse the effect of democracy on economic development the relationship between natural resources and growth and the efficiency of foreign development assistance in the first essay democracy consolidation and growth i analyse the effect of democracy on economic growth in this context i argue that an important aspect to consider is how consolidated political systems are put simply i find that it is not only a question of how democratic countries are but also how long they have been democratic in other words economic performance tends to improve with the duration of uninterrupted democracy the performance of autocracies on the other hand tends to deteriorate over time however for newly established political systems there seems to be a cost of being democratic this implies that democracies only bear their fruit after some time the analysis has important policy implications to overcome initial straits international assistance focused on democratic consolidation may be important and a very good investment in fostering long run development the second essay resource curse or not a question of appropriability together with anne boschini and jesper roine is concerned with the relation between natural resources and economic development for most laymen as well as for most economists it would seem reasonable that countries richly endowed in natural resources also benefit from this wealth however a large literature has found a systematic negative effect of natural resource abundance on economic growth we suggest that this so called resource curse is not determined by resource endowments alone but rather by the interaction between the type of resources a country possesses and the quality of institutions in the country this combination of factors determines what we call the appropriability of a resource the concept of appropriability captures the likelihood of natural resources leading to rentseeking corruption or conflicts which in turn will harm economic development our results suggest that if institutions are good enough the curse may be turned into a blessing this may explain why some countries such as norway and botswana tend to benefit from their resources while others such as angola and sierra leone do not the third and final essay of this thesis foreign sectoral aid fungibility growth and poverty reduction is a contribution to the aid efficiency literature which is concerned with the question of whether aid helps or hinders economic development foreign development assistance is often targeted on specific public expenditure sectors if this aid is not used in the sector for which it was granted e g health education it is said to be fungible and donors may end up financing something completely different from what they intended e g military expenditures the major concern about sectoral fungibility is that the alternative use of aid may be less productive or less socially useful however measuring fungibility is not sufficient to determine whether foreign sectoral aid fungibility is actually harmful what is important is how the funds treated as fungible are used the essay starts by obtaining estimates of fungibility for 57 countries the results suggest that sectoral aid is indeed largely treated as fungible by recipient countries next to assess the economic and health effects of fungibility these estimates are incorporated into an empirical model of aid and growth as well as into a model of aid and infant mortality altogether i find no evidence of more fungible sectoral aid leading to worse performance

price scarcity rent and a modified r per cent rule for non renewable resources since hotelling s seminal paper on the optimal depletion of exhaustible resources much has been published yet confusion remains about whether scarcity rent and price increase or decrease as a resource is depleted when costs tend to rise with depletion we show that hotelling s fundamental results of rising scarcity rent and price paths are sustained and that the path of scarcity rent converges on the r per cent rule provided the objective function is concave predictions of non monotonic or declining scarcity rent paths are due to implicit assumptions that lead to a non concave objective function we identify the sources of these non concavities jel classification q30 d90 c60 prix rente de rarete et une regle modifiee du r pourcent pour les ressources non renouvelables malgre la volumineuse litterature specialisee qui a fleuri depuis qu hotelling a ecrit son memoire fondateur sur l epuisement optimal des ressources renouvelables une grande confusion regne toujours quand il faut etablir si la rente de rarete et le prix augmentent ou chutent a proportion que la ressource s epuise quand les couts tendent a croitre avec l epuisement ce memoire montre que les resultats fondamentaux obtenus par hotelling quant aux sentiers de croissance de la rente de rarete et du prix tiennent toujours et que le sentier de croissance de la rente de rarete converge vers la regle du r pourcent pourvu que la fonction objective soit concave les predictions de sentiers de croissance non monotone ou de declin de la rente de rarete presentees dans la litterature specialisee sont attribuables a des postulats implicites qui engendrent une fonction objective non concave les auteurs identifient les sources de ces non concavites

home is where the equity is mortgage refinancing and household consumption applying a permanent income model with exogenous liquidity constraints and mortgage behavior household refinancing when mortgage interest rates are historically high and rising a persistent empirical puzzle is explained using data from the panel study of income dynamics households experiencing an unemployment shock and having limited initial liquid assets to draw upon are shown to have been 25 more likely to refinance 1991 94 on average such liquidity constrained households converted over two thirds of every dollar of equity they removed into current consumption as mortgage rates plummeted 1991 94 producing an estimated expenditure stimulus of at least 28 billion

co determination and innovation this paper examines the effect of the german co determination law of 1976 mitbestg on the innovative activity of german firms co determination applies to firms with 2 000 employees or more data from 1971 1976 and 1981 1990 on 148 firms are used to compare the number of patents granted to co determined firms before and after the introduction of the law several control variables are applied and in particular in order to avoid a possible bias from specific effects of firm size we compare the co determined firms with others before and after 1976 the results do not support the view that co determination slows down technological progress and reduces innovativity

financial aid borrowing constraints and college attendance evidence from structural estimates the idea that borrowing constraints may preclude low income youth from attending college is widespread here i will review some recent work on the importance of borrowing constraints and the impact of financial aid programs i e guaranteed student loans and tuition subsidies designed to counteract them this work suggests that borrowing constraints have little effect on college attendance decisions there is evidence that tuition subsidies play a modest role in reducing inequality in schooling and earnings most inequality however appears to be driven by unequal human capital accumulation prior to college going age empirical work on college attendance decisions has consistently produced two findings i parents income helps predict college attendance even conditional on other observed characteristics of youth and ii the effect of tuition on the probability of college attendance is greater for children from low income families there is some mixed evidence that iii the rate of return to education is higher for low income youth these findings are commonly viewed as strong evidence for borrowing constraints recent work by stephen cameron and james heckman 1998 challenges these findings furthermore other recent work keane and kenneth wolpin 2001 shows that they are compatible with a model in which liquidity constraints have a negligible impact on college attendance rates to understand this work it is useful to consider a very simple discrete choice model of college attendance decisions the model has the following features

competition and cooperation in corporate governance the effects of labor institutions on blockholder effectiveness in 23 european countries we provide an analysis of the costs and benefits of blockholding in europe where it is a dominant but certainly not universal corporate governance strategy for shareholders of publicly listed firms we find that the effectiveness of blockholding is conditioned by the specific labor institutions that distinguish european countries from the rest of the world and that these institutional effects involve both competition and cooperation between blockholders and collective labor interests we also find that relational blockholders are better able to cope with or benefit from these institutional effects than arm s length blockholders empirically we use advanced meta analytic methods on a total sample of 748 569 firm year observations derived from 162 studies covering 23 european countries

the union impact on profits evidence from industry price cost margin data this paper uses industry price cost margin data to estimate the extent to which unions reduce profits estimates allowing for the endogeneity of union status are contrasted with estimates that assume union status is exogenous and not determined in part by either profitability or industry structure endogeneity is found to be an important consideration in estimating the union impact on profits two stage estimates are considerably larger than ols estimates the final section explores the total estimated redistribution from capital to labor in the manufacturing sector an important conclusion is that unions raise prices less than was previously believed

ownership structure speculation and shareholder intervention an institution holding shares in a firm can use information about the firm both for trading speculation and for deciding whether to intervene to improve firm performance intervention increases the value of the institution s existing shareholdings but intervention only increases the institution s trading profits if it enhances the precision of the institution s information relative to that of uninformed traders thus the ability to speculate can increase or decrease institutional intervention we examine key factors that affect the intervention decision the usefulness of short swing provisions and restricted shares in encouraging institutional intervention and implications for ownership structure across different firms institutional investors hold an ever greater fraction of corporate america s equity traditionally these institutions were stock pickers who tried to beat the market through trading if a firm whose stock they held seemed headed for trouble these investors headed for the door the wall street rule more recently some of these institutions have been using the ownership rights attached to their shares to pressure firms to act in the shareholders interest some have even argued that there is a synergy between gathering information for use in trading shares speculation and intelligently pressuring firms to improve performance intervention we argue that these motives can also conflict analyzing these motives allows us to predict which firms are most likely to attract institutional intervention which in turn has crosssectional implications for firm ownership structure recent examples suggest that institutional investors with large stakes sometimes intervene and sometimes follow the wall street rule so that there is indeed a choice to be studied in the early 1990s there was a wave of activism by a variety of large institutional investors among them calpers the california public employees pension fund putnam management a mutual fund manager and j p morgan a bank holding company these institu

do family wealth shocks affect fertility choices evidence from the housing market abstract this paper uses wealth changes driven by housing market variation to estimate the effect of family resources on fertility decisions using data from the panel study of income dynamics we show that a 100 000 increase in housing wealth among home owners causes a 16 to 18 increase in the probability of having a child there is no evidence of an effect of msa level housing price growth on the fertility of renters however we also present evidence that housing wealth growth increases total fertility and that the responsiveness of fertility to housing wealth has increased over time commensurate with the recent housing boom

the effect of liquid housing wealth on college enrollment this article uses short run housing wealth changes to identify the effect of housing wealth on college attendance i find that households used their housing wealth to finance postsecondary enrollment in the 2000s when housing wealth was most liquid each 10 000 in home equity raises college enrollment by 0 7 of a percentage point on average the effect is localized to lower resource families for whom a 10 000 increase in housing wealth increases enrollment by 5 7 percentage points these estimates imply that the recent housing bust could significantly negatively affect college enrollment through reduction in the housing wealth of families with college age children

housing wealth property taxes and labor supply among the elderly we investigate the relationship between housing wealth property taxes and elderly labor supply using longitudinal data from the health and retirement survey spanning the recent boom bust housing cycle when combined with msa specific house price indexes the data provide plausibly exogenous variation in housing wealth identified through within msa renter homeowner comparisons our findings suggest that elderly households respond to variation in housing wealth and property taxes in the predicted opposing directions that wealth influences labor supply to a lesser extent than factors like health and marital status and that the effect of housing wealth on labor supply varies by gender and age

economic effects of codetermination the success of west german scandinavian and japanese economies particularly when compared with lagging productivity and competitiveness of the u s and the u k have focused attention on comparative institutions in labour markets and corporate control declining unions and increasing reliance on competitive market pressures in the angloamerican countries contrast with more state intervention and regulation of the european social market economies as noted by henzler 1992

waking up from the american dream on the experience of young americans during the housing boom of the 2000s we exploit regional variations in house price fluctuations in the united states during the early to mid 2000s to study the impact of the housing boom on young americans choices related to home ownership household formation and fertility we also introduce a novel instrument for changes in house prices based on the predetermined industrial structure of the local economy we find that in regions that experienced large increases in house prices between 2001 and 2006 the youngest households were substantially less likely to purchase residential property to be married and to have a child both in 2006 and in 2011

the nature of credit constraints and human capital we develop a human capital model with borrowing constraints explicitly derived from government student loan gsl programs and private lending under limited commitment the model helps explain the persistent strong positive correlation between ability and schooling in the u s as well as the rising importance of family income for college attendance it also explains the increasing share of undergraduates borrowing the gsl maximum and the rise in student borrowing from private lenders our framework ofiers new insights regarding the interaction of government and private lending as well as the responsiveness of private credit to economic and policy changes

efficiency with endogenous population growth in this paper we generalize the notion of pareto e ciency to make it applicable to environments with endogenous populations two di erent e ciency concepts are proposed p e ciency and a e ciency the two concepts di er in how they treat people that are not born we show how these concepts relate to the notion of pareto e ciency when fertility is

the effect of housing wealth on college choice evidence from the housing boom we use nlsy97 data to examine how home price variation affects the quality of postsecondary schools students attend we find a 10 000 increase in housing wealth increases the likelihood of public flagship university enrollment relative to nonflagship enrollment by 2 0 percent and decreases the relative probability of attending a community college by 1 6 percent these effects are driven by lower income families predominantly by altering student application decisions we also find home price changes affect direct quality measures of institutions students attend furthermore for lower income students each 10 000 increase in home prices leads to a 1 8 percent increase in the likelihood of completing college

booms and busts consumption house prices and expectations over much of the past 25 years house price and consumption growth have been closely synchronized three main hypotheses for this have been proposed increases in house prices raise household wealth and so their consumption house price growth reduces credit constraints by increasing the collateral available to homeowners and house prices and consumption are together influenced by common factors using microeconomic data we find that the relationship between house prices and consumption is stronger for younger than older households contradicting the wealth channel we suggest that common causality has been the most important factor linking house prices and consumption

housing wealth and labor supply evidence from a regression discontinuity design abstract this paper uses the discontinuity in house size generated by chinese housing policies to identify the effect of housing wealth on labor supply the analysis finds a substantial deterrent effect of housing wealth on labor supply much of the housing wealth effect comes from the labor participation decision with the effect on employed workers being ambiguous females young generation and households with high repayment capacity are more responsive to gains in housing wealth

exploration and development of u s oil and gas fields 1955 2002 we study the exploration and development of oil and gas fields in the u s over the period 1955 2002 we make four contributions to explain the economic evolution of the oil and gas industry during this period first we derive a testable model of the dynamics of competitive oil and gas field exploration and development second we show how to empirically distinguish hotelling scarcity effects from effects due to technological change third we test these hypotheses using statewide panel data of exploration and development drilling we find that the time paths of exploration development and total wells drilled are dominated by hotelling scarcity effects finally we offer an explanation for why fixed costs from exploration can make the contracting equilibrium in the mineral rights market efficient

a theory of intergenerational mobility we study the link between market forces cross sectional inequality and intergenerational mobility emphasizing complementarities in the production of human capital we show that wealthy parents i

does parents money matter abstract this paper asks whether parents income per se has a positive impact on children s abilities previous research has established that income is positively correlated across generations this does not prove that parents money matters however since income is presumably correlated with ability this paper estimates the impact of parents income by focusing on income variation due to factors union industry and job loss that arguably represent luck i find that changes in parents income due to luck have a negligible impact on children s human capital for most families although parents money does matter for families whose father has low education

market valuation of employee stock options this study investigates whether investors incorporate the value of a firm s outstanding employee stock options into its stock price i estimate the outstanding options value for a sample of firms for which outstanding fixed options exceed 5 of outstanding common shares in 1988 i find a negative correlation between the value of outstanding options and a firm s share price the correlation is stronger i for the option s intrinsic value than for the option s time value ii for options that are later in their vesting stage than earlier in their vesting stage and iii for large firms than for small firms in addition the fasb s method for calculating compensation expense has no explanatory power in the presence of this paper s calculation of the options value

population growth externalities to childbearing and fertility policy in developing countries government financed family planning programs that assist individual couples to attain their desired number of children are easily justified but government policies that coerce or use financial incentives to influence couples to alter their desired number of children require stronger justification such justification may reside in the externalities to childbearing the costs and benefits of children that are passed on by parents to society externalities to childbearing might include public costs of education health and pensions as well as taxes to be paid by children in the future cost sharing for public goods and social infrastructure over an enlarged tax base the dilution of per capita value of various forms of collective wealth and the reduction of wages and per capita incomes in the future the authors estimated these externalities for a number of developing countries although the net total estimated externality was typically negative it dominated measurement error only when public holdings of natural resources were important public expenditures on health education and pensions financed by proportional taxes led to negative externalities in most developing countries there are many sources of positive and negative externalities and each estimate is uncertain so the total externality is itself highly uncertain and often does not provide a clear case for policies going beyond family planning inclusion of environmental effects might alter this conclusion

cost specification and firm behaviour in a hotelling model of resource extraction in applied resource economics much attention has been focused on the ability of the hotelling model to explain observed firm behavior in this paper a preliminary specification search is performed to determine the appropriate cost function parameterization for the firms in the sample before proceeding to the estimation of the euler equation once a cost function specification is chosen the corresponding euler equation is estimated via the generalization method of moments gmm which allows for better estimates of the euler equations than in previous studies even with the preliminary specification search and the use of gmm estimation the behavior of the panel of fourteen canadian copper mining firms in the data set examined does not seem to be consistent with the basic hotelling model used

internal bargaining labor contracts and a marshallian theory of the firm the theme of this paper is due to alfred marshall who states that nearly the whole income of a business may be regarded as a composite quasi rent divisible among different persons in the business by bargaining supplemented by custom and by notion of fairness and the division of quasi rents entails de facto some sort of profit loss sharing between almost every business and its employees principles of economics 8th ed book vi ch viii sec 10 pp 520 21 marshall emphasizes that a significant portion of composite quasi rent is derived from the organization of business and would be lost if employer employee connections were dissolved in this view bargaining can even be tacit insofar as there is an organizational basis which ensures agreement among the concerned parties consequently internal bargaining models of the firm may be applicable to the analysis of european style codetermination and japanese style labor management also as the relative bargaining strength between labor and management changes such a view of the firm admits as its extrema the organization of a labor managed firm lmf and the textbook case of a profit maximizing firm pmf masahiko aoki 1980 1982 and jan svejnar 1982 have recently explored models of an internal bargaining firm their analyses however consider the firm s long run behavior only under restricted circumstances without market uncertainty the relevance of the internal bargaining approach to profit sharing and labor management would be enhanced if we integrated the firm s short run wage employment policies with its long run plans for the rate of growth and capital labor substitutions this i do by underscoring the firm s organizational basis which is essentially a long term contractual association between workers and management i combine costas azariadis 1975 and martin baily s 1974 apparatus of labor contracting with efficient bargaining to investigate the effect of varying degrees of labor s bargaining power upon the firm s shortand long run policies under uncertainty these results are then contrasted with the empirical findings of collective bargaining for example richard freeman and james medoff 1981 conventional results of lmf models jaroslav vanek 1970 benjamin ward 1958 and the recent macroeconomic approaches to wage employment adjustments ian mcdonald and robert solow 1981

life cycle schooling and dynamic selection bias models and evidence for five cohorts of american males this paper examines an empirical regularity found in many societies that family influences on the probability of transiting from one grade level to the next diminish at higher levels of education we examine the statistical model used to establish the empirical regularity and the intuitive behavioral interpretation often used to rationalize it we show that the implicit economic model assumes myopia the intuitive interpretive model is identified only by imposing arbitrary distributional assumptions onto the data we produce an alternative choice theoretic model with fewer parameters that rationalizes the same data and is not based on arbitrary distributional assumptions

unionization and profitability evidence from the capital market this paper examines the effect of unionization on the profitability of firms abnormal monthly common stock returns for a sample of 253 nyse listed firms are estimated for the month in which the union petitions for an election and for the month in which the national labor relations board certifies the election outcome the results suggest that unionization on average is associated with a reduction in equity value when unions win an election the average loss associated with the unionization drive is 3 8 percent of equity value when unions lose an election there is an average net reduction of 1 3 percent in the equity value of the firm

credit constraints and demand for higher education evidence from financial deregulation abstract we use staggered banking deregulation across states in the united states to examine the impact of the resulting increased credit supply on college enrollment from the 1970s to the early 1990s our research design produces estimates that are not confounded by wealth effects due to changes in income or housing wealth we find that lifting banking restrictions raises college enrollment by about 2 6 percentage points 4 9 we rule out alternative interpretations by examining results for different income groups and bankrupt households we also find similar effects for two year or four year college completion and supporting evidence in household educational borrowing

capital labor and the firm a study of german codetermination under the german corporate governance system of codetermination employees are legally allocated control rights over corporate assets through seats on the supervisory board that is the board of nonexecutive directors the supervisory board oversees the management board the board of executive directors approves or rejects its decisions and appoints its members and sets their salaries we empirically investigate the implications of this sort of labor participation in corporate decision making we find that companies with equal representation of employees and shareholders on the supervisory board trade at a 31 stock market discount as compared with companies where employee representatives fill only one third of the supervisory board seats we show that under equal representation management board compensation provides incentives that are not conducive to furthering shareholders interests possibly because labor maximizes a different objective function than shareholders we document that under equal representation companies have longer payrolls than their one third representation peers have finally we provide evidence that shareholders respond to the allocation of control rights to labor by linking supervisory board compensation to firm performance and by leveraging up the firm jel g32 g34

reproductive externalities and fertility behaviour abstract this article studies reproductive externalities within rural communities in poor countries it is shown that such externalities create a link between household poverty household size and the local natural resource base each of which is viewed as being endogenous the models presented here offer an explanation for the fact that in recent decades large groups of people in various parts of the world have been unable to lift themselves out of acute poverty even while their national economies have on average enjoyed economic growth implications for policy and institutional changes are drawn

university choice the role of expected earnings nonpecuniary outcomes and financial constraints we investigate the determinants of students university choice in pakistan with a focus on monetary returns nonpecuniary factors enjoyed at school and financial constraints to mitigate the iden

house prices wealth effects and labour supply we examine the impact of house prices on labour supply decisions using uk microdata we combine household survey data with local level house price measures and controls for local labour demand our microdata also allow us to control for individual level income expectations we find significant house price effects on labour supply consistent with leisure being a normal good labour supply responses to house prices are concentrated among young married female owners and older owners this finding suggests that house prices affect the decisions of marginal workers in the economy our estimates imply that house prices are economically important in the participation decisions for these workers

efficiency and internal organization works councils in west german firms efficiency voice theory has not explained why highly competent managers cannot maintain effective communication without formal or mandatory institutions of l abor s voice powerful west german works councils are negatively rela ted to productivity in the sample suggesting that the best managers can do better without councils however excessive pressure on worker s should encourage both unionization and councils to gain compensatin g differentials and the simultaneous wls tobit estimates also suppor t this effect general productivity benefits from formal voice organi zation are strongly rejected but evaluating welfare efficiency and causality directly requires data on job satisfaction and managerial ability copyright 1987 by the review of economic studies limited

the effect of legalizing retail marijuana on housing values evidence from colorado does legalizing retail marijuana generate more benefits than costs this paper provides a first step toward addressing that question by measuring the benefits and costs that are capitalized into housing values we exploit the time series and cross sectional variations in the adoption of colorado s municipality retail marijuana laws rmls and examine the effect on housing values with a difference in differences strategy our estimates show that the legalization leads to an average 6 increase in housing values indicating that the capitalized benefits outweigh the costs in addition we find suggestive evidence that this relatively large housing value appreciation is likely due to rmls inducing strong housing demand while having no discernible effect on housing supply finally we show that the effect of rmls is heterogeneous across locations and property types jel k20 r28

on the choice of incentives in firms abstract simple models of individual and group incentives under uncertainty are compared and comparative performance is shown to depend upon various exogenous parameters the incentive effects of profit sharing will thus vary with organizational and other characteristics that may be difficult to observe and attempts to quantify productivity effects that neglect selection bias are likely to be misspecified significant selection effects are found in previously used firm level data and productivity effects of existing profit sharing are found to be much larger than potential effects in firms without sharing arrangements this throws doubt on policies to encourage sharing in isolation

why capital hires labor a bargaining perspective organizational forms often serve as vehicles for the appropriation of quasi rent capitalist firms typically emerge when production requires noncontractible investments in specific physical assets because worker control would divert quasi rents away from ass et owners ex post conversely labor managed firms tend to emerge in niches requiring specialized human capital but general purpose physi cal assets a key result is that capitalist firms can persist in competitive markets even when labor managed firms would yield a larg er total surplus copyright 1993 by american economic association

grand advantage family wealth and grandchildren s educational achievement in sweden we study the role of family wealth for children s educational achievement using novel and unique swedish register data in particular we focus on the relationship between grandparents wealth and their grandchildren s educational achievement doing so allows us to reliably establish the independent role of wealth in contributing to long term inequalities in opportunity we use regression models with rich controls to account for observed socioeconomic characteristics of families cousin fixed effects to net out potentially unobserved grandparental effects and marginal structural models to account for endogenous selection we find substantial associations between grandparents wealth and their grandchildren s grade point averages gpa in the 9th grade that are only partly mediated by the socioeconomic characteristics and wealth of parents our findings indicate that family wealth inequality even in a comparatively egalitarian context like sweden has profound consequences for the distribution of opportunity across multiple generations we posit that our estimates of the long term consequences of wealth inequality may be conservative for nations other than sweden like the united states where family wealth in addition to its insurance and normative functions allows the direct purchase of educational quality and access

the capital gains from trade are not enough evidence from the environmental accounts of venezuela and mexico abstract in principle a country cannot endure negative genuine savings for long periods of time without experiencing declining consumption nevertheless theoreticians envisage two alternatives to explain how an exporter of non renewable natural resources could experience permanent negative genuine savings and still ensure sustainability the first one alleges that the capital gains arising from the expected improvement in the terms of trade would suffice to compensate for the negative savings of the resource exporter the second alternative points at technological change as a way to avoid economic collapse this paper uses the data of venezuela and mexico to empirically test the first of these two hypotheses the results presented here prove that the terms of trade do not suffice to compensate the depletion of oil reserves in these two open economies

house price growth when children are teenagers a path to higher earnings abstract this paper examines whether rising house prices immediately prior to children entering college have an impact on their earnings as adults higher house prices provide homeowners with additional funding to invest in their children s human capital but also raise housing costs the results show that a 1 percentage point increase in house prices when children are 17 years old results in roughly 0 9 percent higher annual income for the children of homeowners and 1 5 percent lower annual income for the children of renters house price appreciation at age 17 also leads to higher college enrollment rates at age 19 and an increased likelihood of attendance at higher ranked post secondary institutions for children of homeowners as well as lower college enrollment rates for children of renters

the impact of housing markets on consumer debt credit report evidence from 1999 to 2012 we estimate the response of consumer debt portfolios to pronounced housing market swings from 1999 to 2012 using equifax sourced credit report data and a variety of identification approaches we find i the extraordinary climb in home equity debt from 2002 to 2006 is an expression of a stable longer term relationship between house price growth and home equity borrowing ii all preboom homeowners and older and prime postboom homeowners demonstrate near dollar for dollar substitution between expensive credit card and cheap home equity debt in response to home equity changes and iii little evidence of substitution between home equity and student loan debt

the effect of child health insurance access on schooling evidence from public insurance expansions although a sizable literature analyzes the effects of public health insurance programs on short run health outcomes little prior work has examined their long term effects we examine the effects of public insurance expansions among children in the 1980s and 1990s on their future educational attainment we find that expanding health insurance coverage for low income children increases the rate of high school and college completion these estimates are robust to only using federal medicaid expansions and mostly are due to expansions that occur when the children are not newborns our results indicate that the long run benefits of public health insurance are substantial

the structure of ownership and the theory of the firm the separation of ownership from control produces a condition where the interests of owner and of ultimate manager may and often do diverge and where many of the checks which formerly operated to limit the use of power disappear in creating these new relationships the quasi public corporation may fairly be said to work a revolution it has divided ownership into nominal ownership and the power formerly joined to it thereby the corporation has changed the nature of profit seeking enterprise 1

inequality in a global perspective the basic story of global inequality in the last three decades has been an overall decline but one which is composed of quite intricate patterns there has been a decline in between country inequality as china and india have grown relative to the us and other rich countries this has been accompanied by an increase in within country inequality but this is itself composed of rising inequality in some countries such as china india and the us and declining inequality in other countries including large economies in latin america section ii of the paper reviews these patterns highlighting country diversity to make the central point that policy matters section iii addresses a normative question what relative weight should be given to within country and between country inequality in making an overall global assessment this section brings on board recent philosophical discourse including on inequality of opportunity in a global frame section iv returns to the policy matters theme and takes up global constraints on national redistribution policy in a globalized world for example a race to the bottom on taxation to attract and keep capital and talent and possible global institutional responses to alleviate these constraints

resource nationalism meets the market political risk and the value of petroleum reserves this paper investigates the effect of resource nationalism on the value of petroleum crude oil and natural gas reserves we develop a framework for treating resource nationalism as political risk and utilize data on reserve transactions from john s herold and political risk ratings from international country risk guide and institutional investor for the period 2000 2006 controlling for other factors that affect reserve value we demonstrate the value destruction of political risk and estimate the political risk discount for 37 countries the paper contributes to both the international business literature and practitioner approaches to political risk analysis in demonstrating use of publicly available market data from real asset transactions to measure the cost of political risk we also show that the discount depends on market conditions the higher expected future petroleum prices are the larger is the discount at any level of political risk this insight adds a new dimension to analysis of political risk which is typically measured and examined without regard to market conditions

studying firm specific effects of regulation with stock market data an application to oil price regulation regulations are often introduced and reformed in response to unanticipated changes in market forces in late 1973 for example opec quadrupled the world price of oil and u s policy makers responded by imposing oil price regulation such events pose a fundamental problem of interpretation for studies that use stock prices to identify the economic effects of regulation what portion of the capital gains or losses experienced by investors in regulated firms is due to regulation and what portion is due to unanticipated economic events to answer these questions we use microeconomic theory to derive hypotheses about how the capital gains and losses created by opec pricing and u s regulatory policies are related to the underlying characteristics of petroleum firms we test the hypotheses by including a model of firm specific abnormal returns in the standard market models of common stock returns earned by investors in petroleum firms the results indicate the u s oil production and refiner access to price controlled crude oil were sources of capital gains and that u s and foreign refining were sources of capital losses

codetermination as a strategic advantage abstract a theoretical model of codetermination is considered where consistent with german institutions firm owners bargain with employees representatives about employment but not about wages a duopoly and a more general oligopolistic situation are analyzed for some range of bargaining power a prisoner s dilemma exists codetermination leads to increased profits if the other firm is a traditional profit maximizer bargaining is the dominant strategy although joint profits would be maximized with unrestricted profit maximization the theory is tested with data from 22 german firms who operate in the same markets over 23 years codetermined firms actually show a different behavior than other companies

information and exhaustible resources a bayesian analysis abstract we develop a continuous time bayesian model of investment in information about an exhaustible resource because of the way that information affects expectations the deterministic hotelling rule turns out to be more appropriate as a description of how resource owners forecast the value of their stocks than as a predictor of observed changes in the resource price a flow of information generates both unanticipated changes in expectations which cause the mean rate of change in the resource price to deviate systematically from the deterministic hotelling rule and reductions in uncertainty which do not affect the hotelling prediction

a test of the hotelling valuation principle time series tests of the hotelling r percent rule for natural resource prices have not been strongly supportive but the tests and the data are subject to serious difficulties we propose here an alternative testing strategy based on another but less widely known implication of the hotelling model we test this implication which we call the hotelling valuation principle by regressing the market values of the reserves of a sample of u s domestic oiland gas producing companies on their estimated hotelling values we find that the estimated hotelling values account for a significant portion of the observed variations in market values and that the hotelling measures are better indicators of the market values of petroleum properties than two widely cited publicly available alternative appraisals

the effect of wage bargains on the stock market value of the firm the author estimates the change in the value of common stock resulting from an unexpected change in collectively bargained labor costs using bargaining unit wage data and nyse stock returns he estimates a dollar for dollar trade off between these variables this result is consistent with stock valuations based on present value maximizing managerial decisions that is the results are consistent with hotelling s lemma the author also finds support for the hypothesis that collective bargains maximize the sum of shareholder and union member wealth that is the results are consistent with strong efficiency in the contracting environment copyright 1989 by american economic association

college tuition and household savings and consumption abstract despite the high cost of college there has been little study of the adequacy of household savings and other resources available to fund college to gauge their adequacy this paper examines households standard of living as they pay for college using the consumer expenditure survey the main finding is that households appear to do a relatively good job smoothing their consumption into the academic year despite large expenses this is consistent with the life cycle theory of saving and consumption there is some evidence of a delayed decline in consumption and of a decline for households with children first beginning college but the magnitudes of these declines are rather small

testing for educational credit constraints using heterogeneity in individual time preferences i develop a model in which individual time discount rates have a larger effect on human capital accumulation when credit constraints are binding impatient individuals obtain less schooling when borrowing constraints limit the ability to finance consumption during school using data from the nlsy79 i show that self reported measures of time preferences have a significantly higher effect on the college attendance decisions of blacks than those of whites and the decisions of low income youths than those of high income youths these results provide new evidence that members of disadvantaged groups obtain lower levels of schooling because they are credit constrained

a hotelling faustmann explanation of the structure of christmas tree prices we examine the relationship between a tree price and a tree age height using a hotelling faustmann type model of optimal plantation management which accounts for the possibility of replanting and biological growth the model predictions are tested using the data on christmas tree prices in north carolina collected in december 1997 the estimates show that in general the rates of change in prices between adjacent age cohorts reflect a competitive equilibrium in the capital market thus supporting the hotelling faustmann paradigm rigorous empirical testing of the basic economic models of optimal natural resource pricing has proven to be difficult the source of the difficulty has been the unavailability of micro level data on either prices or extraction harvest rates for in situ resource stocks 1 for nonrenewable resources hotelling s famous pricing rule has rarely been tested with firm level data stollery s study of the international nickel company of canada supported hotelling s rule and miller and upton s study of oil company values supported a corollary called the hotelling valuation principle most other studies such as halvorsen and smith and farrow have refuted this bedrock of natural resource economics in fact two studies of old growth timber essentially a nonrenewable resource provide some of the most compelling support for the hotelling model berck johnson

born under a lucky star financial aid college completion labor supply and credit constraints financial aid can affect both college enrollment and graduation the effects on graduation can be driven by students being induced to enroll by financial aid students who would have enrolled anyway graduating as a result of the financial aid or both this study isolates the effect of financial aid on the second group by examining a change in aid that did not change enrollment i study a discontinuous change in the amount of aid available to students who meet the age cutoff for financial independence i find that additional aid causes some university seniors to graduate one year earlier abstract from author

structural change in the mortgage market and the propensity to refinance we hypothesize that the intrinsic benefit required to trigger a refinancing has become smaller due to a combination of technological regulatory and structural changes that have made mortgage origination more competitive and more efficient and have raised financial awareness of homeowners to test this hypothesis we estimate an empirical hazard model of loan survival for two subperiods using a database that allows us to carefully control for homeowners credit ratings equity loan size and measurable transaction costs our findings strongly confirm that credit ratings and home equity have significant effects on the refinancing probability in addition we provide evidence that homeowners postpone refinancing in the face of increased interest rate volatility consistent with option value theory finally our results support the hypothesis that structural change in the mortgage market has increased homeowners propensity to refinance

alternative mechanisms for corporate control we examine performance and management characteristics of fortune 500 firms experiencing one of three types of control change internally precipitated management turnover hostile takeover and friendly takeover we find that firms experiencing internally precipitated management turnover perform poorly relative to other firms in their industries but are not concentrated in poorly performing industries in contrast targets of hostile takeovers are concentrated in troubled industries there is also weaker evidence that hostile takeover targets underperform their industry peers we interpret this evidence as consistent with the idea that the board of directors is capable of firing managers whose leadership leads to poor performance relative to industry but that an external challenge in the form of a hostile takeover is often required when the whole industry is in decline the evidence also indicates that firms run by a member of the founding family are less likely to experience either internally precipitated top management turnover or a hostile takeover on the other hand firms whose top management team is dominated by a single relatively young top executive while lacking in internal discipline are more likely to experience a hostile takeover this abstract was borrowed from another version of this item this abstract was borrowed from another version of this item

the effect of the availability of student credit on tuition testing the bennett hypothesis using evidence from a large scale student loan program in brazil we test whether the availability of student loans increases tuition costs the bennet hypothesis starting in 2010 there was a major ramp up in the fies a student loan program funded by the brazilian federal government fies s rules for eligibility produce a marked heterogeneity in the access to funding in different higher education institutions we take advantage of these rules and of an unique dataset with information on tuition costs at the major college level and document two facts using a difference in differences approach we show that relaxing access to student loans caused an increase in tuition fees we also estimate a structural model of demand and show that relaxing credit constraints reduces the demand price elasticity thus the mechanism behind the increase in tuition costs is an increased tuition insensitivity at least in part duarte belafduarte gmail com de mello joaompm insper we are very grateful to hoper educacao for kindly sharing their proprietory data we also thank luis braido leonardo rezende and seminar participants at eaesp fgv for useful comments all errors are ours