access to markets and rural poverty evidence from household consumption in china abstract this paper presents evidence on the effects of access to domestic and international markets on per capita consumption of households using data from rural china the econometric analysis uses alternative identification schemes to address the potential endogeneity of access to markets we use straight line distances to coastline and navigable river along with the topography of the intervening counties as sources of exogeneous variations we also use identification through heteroskedasticity which does not rely on standard exclusion restrictions the results from alternative identification schemes show that better access to both domestic and international markets has positive effects on per capita consumption the domestic market effect is significantly larger in magnitude and there is complementarity between the access to domestic and international markets

energy consumption and economic growth in south africa reexamined a nonparametric testing apporach this paper is an effort to investigate claims concerning granger causality relationship from energy consumption to economic growth in south africa we adopt a nonparametric bootstrap method to reassess evidence supporting granger causality and unravel findings of long run unidirectional causality running from energy consumption to economic growth this implies that energy conservation policies will negatively impact economic growth in south africa in addition the results of this study have implications on co2 emissions in south africa given that coal accounts for about 72 of energy this suggests that energy use would have a long run effect of raising the country s co2 emission levels hence there might be a need to develop a more balanced energy structure which will include higher share of renewable energy a further monte carlo experiment performed reveals that asymptotic granger causality test suffers size distortion problem for south african data these findings provide support for use of a bootstrap methodology and also imply that the results presented in this study are likely to be more reliable

on electricity consumption and economic growth in china abstract the invention and application of the electric power technology triggered the second industrial revolution in human history which marked the human society entered the age of electricity electricity provides the sustainable power for economic and social development with the rapid development of economy the electricity consumption is also increasing the increase of electricity consumption has further promoted the progress of the industrial economy in order to achieve the goal of improving the level of economic development while reducing energy consumption it is necessary to reveal the relationship between electricity consumption and economic growth this study is an extensive overview of the literature surrounding this topic in this paper we focus on the relationship between electricity consumption and economic growth in china we first analyze the general situation of china s electricity consumption and economic development then we explore the relationship between china s electricity consumption and economic growth from three dimensions i e the time dimension the regional dimension and the industrial dimension finally we study the key issues in the research of the relationship between electricity consumption and economic growth including variable selection model construction and results discussion this work suggests that the nature of the nexus in china should and can be explored from a wider perspective by developing a suitable integrated methodological framework

chile the unbearable burden of inequality summary chile has been cited as a successful case of development relatively fast economic growth over almost two decades has been accompanied by a significant reduction in absolute poverty however persistent economic growth and a mostly pro poor structure of public expenditures have not been sufficient to reduce inequality in one of the most unequal countries in the world we show that the key factors explaining this persistent inequality have been a low level of fiscal expenditures caused by low tax revenues that have not permitted enough public investment in human capital and knowledge generation and diffusion

consumption in developing countries tests for liquidity constraints and finite horizons adjustment programs in developing countries emphasize the importance of reducing fiscal deficits in order to improve aggregate saving and investment performance recent theoretical analyses associated with the ricardian equivalence proposition however suggest that changes in the level of public sector saving may be offset by a change in private saving the empirical relevance of this proposition depends among other things on the length of consumers horizons and on the extent to which households are liquidity constrained empirical tests of a consumption model for a sample of developing economies do not support the equivalence propositions owing to the prevalence of liquidity constraints copyright 1989 by mit press

land tenure arrangements and rural urban migration in china summary obstacles to internal migration in china contribute to inefficiency inequality and land degradation academic and policy debate has primarily focused on discrimination against rural migrants on arrival in urban areas meanwhile barriers to migration out of rural areas have received less attention this paper examines the role of incomplete rural property rights in the migration decisions of rural households we examine the relationship between tenure insecurity and restrictions on land rentals and participation in outside labor markets the results indicate that tenure insecurity reduces migration this relationship is particularly pronounced on forest land which has implications for the conservation of recently replanted forest areas

the relationship between gdp and electricity consumption in 10 asian countries the purpose of this study is to estimate the relationships between gdp and electricity consumption in 10 newly industrializing and developing asian countries using both single data sets and panel data procedures the empirical results from single data set indicate that the causality directions in the 10 asian countries are mixed while there is a uni directional short run causality running from economic growth to electricity consumption and a bi directional long run causality between electricity consumption and economic growth if the panel data procedure is implemented these empirical findings imply that electricity conservation policies through both rationalizing the electricity supply efficiency improvement to avoid the wastage of electricity and managing demand side to reduce the electricity consumption without affecting the end user benefits could be initiated without adverse effect on economic growth the findings on the long run relationship indicate that a sufficiently large supply of electricity can ensure that a higher level of economic growth

effects of renewable energy sector development on electricity consumption growth nexus in the european union abstract the aim of this study is to assess the effect of renewable energy sector development on the relationships between electricity consumption and economic growth in the european union countries in the period between 1995 and 2015 a panel vector autoregressive model is used for testing granger causality and estimating impulse response functions the results indicate that the relationships between economic growth and electricity consumption depend on the level of renewable energy sector development the greater the share of the renewable energy sector in the economy is the more noticeable the mutual dependence between the economic growth and renewable electricity consumption is in countries with relatively well developed renewable energy sectors renewable electricity consumption boosts the economy and vice versa in the remaining countries economic growth and electricity consumption are independent empirical findings suggest that policymakers should develop strategies to implement clean energy policy aimed at stimulating the development of the renewable energy sector to support economic growth

how urban segregation distorts chinese migrants consumption summary this paper provides a new explanation for china s low consumption to gdp ratio by highlighting the constraints of the household registration system hukou on china s household consumption our baseline results show that the consumption of migrants is 16 20 lower than that of local urban residents we further find evidence suggesting that caused by hukou restrictions migrants save more for precautionary purposes have lower expectation of permanent income and consume much less durable goods because of high mobility moreover we have found no evidence that the consumption heterogeneity can be explained by migration effects culture or other forms of household heterogeneity as both the number and income level of migrants are rising quickly the constraining effects of hukou on household consumption is increasing 2014 elsevier ltd all rights reserved

electricity supply employment and real gdp in india evidence from cointegration and granger causality tests abstract this study probes nexus between electricity supply employment and real gdp for india within a multivariate framework using autoregressive distributed lag ardl bounds testing approach of cointegration long run equilibrium relationship has been established among these variables for the time span 1970 71 to 2005 06 the study further establishes long and short run granger causality running from real gdp and electricity supply to employment without any feedback effect thus growth in real gdp and electricity supply are responsible for the high level of employment in india the absence of causality running from electricity supply to real gdp implies that electricity demand and supply side measures can be adopted to reduce the wastage of electricity which would not affect future economic growth of india

the relationship between economic growth and electricity consumption from renewable and non renewable sources a study of turkey abstract the main objective of this study is to analyze the short and long run estimates as well as the causality relationships between economic growth gr electricity consumption from renewable sources relc and electricity consumption from non renewable sources nrelc for turkey in a multivariate model wherein capital k and labor l are included as additional variables using the autoregressive distributed lag ardl approach to cointegration the johansen cointegration test and the gregory hansen cointegration test with structural break we show that gr relc nrelc k and l are cointegrated although nrelc has a long run positive effect on gr the long run estimate of relc is negative but insignificant at 5 level of significance the granger causality test based on the vector error correction model reveals the evidence of neutrality hypothesis between relc and gr and between nrelc and gr in turkey in the short run in addition the granger causality runs from relc nrelc k and l to gr as well as from gr relc k and l to nrelc in the long run which supports the existence of growth hypothesis between relc and gr and feedback hypothesis between nrelc and gr in the long run it is advised that policy makers in the turkish government should continue to reduce the share of electricity consumption from renewable sources and encourage the usage of electricity from non renewable sources to have sustainable long run growth rates it is also essential to promote the investment projects to increase the efficiency of electricity generation from non renewable sources

inside china s cities institutional barriers and opportunities for urban migrants one of the most glaring legacies of 20thcentury chinese socialism is a sharp and widened divide between china s urban and rural areas china s widened urban rural divide arose from a socialist industrialization process which created a hastened heavy industrial base at the expense of its rural population china s vast rural population not only endured a standard of living far below that in the urban sector they were also denied access to many social welfare benefits and social mobility opportunities martin king whyte 1996 this urban rural gap in social and economic wellbeing together with a massive reservoir of rural surplus labor and an acute shortage of consumer goods formed the driving forces for china s change of migration control policy and for the rapid increase of rural migrants in chinese cities though the exact number of migrants is still hard to ascertain due to both a lack of consensus in the definition of migrant and the absence of an authoritative national survey migrants prominent presence in chinese cities is hardly disputable in china s largest cities for instance it is often quoted that at least one out of every five persons is a migrant and most likely a migrant from rural areas in shanghai the number of migrants rose tenfold in one decade from 0 26 million in 1981 to 2 81 million in 1993 the percentage of local residents who were migrants correspondingly rose from less than 5 percent in the early 1980 s to 21 7 percent in 1993 changming sun 1997 in beijing the number of migrants was 3 29 million in 1994 compared to a locally registered population of 10 63 million for the whole municipality and 6 million for its city districts dangsheng ji et al 1996 p 95 in city districts one out of every three persons in beijing is a temporary migrant from elsewhere most of these recorded migrants are also genuine migrants not short term visitors more than 60 percent had stayed for more than half of a year and only 17 percent had been in beijing for less than one month three quarters of all the surveyed migrant population listed business or employment as their purpose of stay ji et al 1996 pp 96 97 rural migrants account for over threequarters of all migrants in large chinese cities in shanghai for instance a survey in 1995 found that 88 1 percent of all migrants had their place of household registration in the countryside wang and zuo 1997 similarly in beijing where one expects to see a higher circulation of urban to urban migrants close to 80 percent of migrants surveyed in late 1994 were peasants before moving into beijing xiuhualiu 1996 p 112

electricity consumption real gdp causality nexus evidence from a bootstrapped causality test for 30 oecd countries the goal of this paper is to examine any causal effects between electricity consumption and real gdp for 30 oecd countries we use a bootstrapped causality testing approach and unravel evidence in favour of electricity consumption causing real gdp in australia iceland italy the slovak republic the czech republic korea portugal and the uk the implication is that electricity conservation policies will negatively impact real gdp in these countries however for the rest of the 22 countries our findings suggest that electricity conversation policies will not affect real gdp

interprovincial migration and the stringency of energy policy in china the authors thank eni s p a icf international shell international limited and the french development agency afd founding sponsors of the china energy and climate project we also gratefully acknowledge the support of the energy information administration at the u s department of energy we are also thankful for support provided by the ministry of science and technology of china the national development and reform commission and rio tinto china we further gratefully acknowledge the financial suppo rt for this work provided by the mit joint program on the science and policy of global change through a consortium of industrial sponsors and federal grants this work is also supported by the doe integrated assessment grant de fg02 94er61937

causal independence between energy consumption and economic growth in liberia evidence from a non parametric bootstrapped causality test abstract this contribution investigates causal interdependence between energy consumption and economic growth in liberia and proposes application of a bootstrap methodology to better reflect causality employment is incorporated as additional variable the study demonstrates evidence of distinct bidirectional granger causality between energy consumption and economic growth additionally the results show that employment in liberia granger causes economic growth and apply irrespective of the short run or long run evidence from a monte carlo experiment reveals that the asymptotic granger causality test suffers size distortion problem for liberian data suggesting that the bootstrap technique employed in this study is more appropriate given the empirical results implications are that energy expansion policies like energy subsidy or low energy tariff for instance would be necessary to cope with demand exerted as a result of economic growth in liberia furthermore liberia might have the performance of its employment generation on the economy partly determined by adequate energy therefore it seems fully justified that a quick shift towards energy production based on clean energy sources may significantly slow down economic growth in liberia hence the government s target to implement a long term strategy to make liberia a carbon neutral country and eventually less carbon dependent by 2050 is understandable

the impact of electricity supply on economic growth in sri lanka abstract yang energy econ 22 2000 309 has found a bi directional causal relationship between gross domestic product and electricity consumption in taiwan roc this study applies yang s model to examine the impact of electricity supply on economic growth in sri lanka morimoto and hope an extended cba model of hydro projects in sri lanka 2001 have found that the expected increase in economic output due to increased electricity supply parameter eo plays a crucial role in their cost benefit analysis model this study shows that the application of yang s regression analysis is one possible approach to estimate a better range for the parameter eo the estimated figure is that an extra output of rs 88 000 137 000 us1120 1740 for every 1 mw h increase in electricity supply

the dynamics of electricity demand in pakistan a panel cointegration analysis abstract this paper examines the dynamics of electricity demand in pakistan at the aggregate and sectoral levels over the period 1978 2012 panel cointegration test and fully modified ordinary least squares method is employed to determine the long run relationship between electricity consumption real income real price of electricity and domestic price of non energy products the results reveal that electricity demand is more responsive to changes in income than changes in prices at the aggregate and disaggregate levels short run and long run income elasticities are positive and statistically significant supporting the conservation hypothesis it appears from the results that long run price elasticities are negative and significant at the aggregate level and for the agriculture commercial residential sectors and public utilities the short run price elasticities are significant but low in magnitude which implies that changes in electricity price exert minimal effect on the electricity consumption in pakistan the domestic price of non energy products is positive and significant for aggregate sample in the short run the domestic price of non energy products exert significant negative positive impact on electricity demand in the agriculture industrial sectors the results thus provide important information to the agents operating in the electricity market regarding the income and pricing policies and helps in planning the future strategy of electricity demand management

electricity consumption and economic growth in seven south american countries abstract this paper attempts to investigate the causal relationship between electricity consumption and economic growth among seven south american countries namely argentina brazil chile columbia ecuador peru and venezuela using widely accepted time series techniques for the period 1975 2006 the results indicate that the causal nexus between electricity consumption and economic growth varies across countries there is a unidirectional short run causality from electricity consumption to real gdp for argentina brazil chile columbia and ecuador this means that an increase in electricity consumption directly affects economic growth in those countries in venezuela there is a bidirectional causality between electricity consumption and economic growth this implies that an increase in electricity consumption directly affects economic growth and that economic growth also stimulates further electricity consumption in that country however no causal relationships exist in peru the documented evidence from seven south american countries can provide useful information for each government with regard to energy and growth policy

energy consumption and gdp causality relationship in g 7 countries and emerging markets abstract the causality relationship between energy consumption and income is a well studied topic in energy economics this paper studies the time series properties of energy consumption and gdp and reexamines the causality relationship between the two series in the top 10 emerging markets excluding china due to lack of data and g 7 countries we discover bi directional causality in argentina causality running from gdp to energy consumption in italy and korea and from energy consumption to gdp in turkey france germany and japan hence energy conservation may harm economic growth in the last four countries

exploring the depth of energy penetration in economic advancement perspective of bangladesh abstract developing countries consume a tiny share of world commercial energy this tempts policymakers in developing countries to sort out ways to increase commercial energy demand so that their invaluable resources are best utilized country like bangladesh may fall in trap if quickly declining and immensely valuable energy is wasted in unsustainable growth this urges for better use of its scarce resources for sustainable growth in this paper we aim to identify how energy consumption in bangladesh is related to various growth indicators like national income financial development industrialization and urbanization in the long run in search of a right path for sustainable development in this study we try to assess the relationship among energy consumption financial development economic growth industrialization and urbanization from 1980 to 2010 a number of cointegration techniques are employed to examine whether there is a long run relationship besides these we also employed augmented granger causality test to examine the causality if presents this study finds that financial development economic growth industrialization and urbanization have positive impact on energy consumption in short run but industrialization has no impact in the long run our causality test ensures that the above mentioned variables granger cause energy consumption for sustainable growth industrialization should be given priority as future consumption of energy in industrial sector will be greater than any other sector this future demand can only be fulfilled by injecting more and more renewable energy through solar wind and other technology as nonrenewable energy are declining quickly

natural gas consumption and economic growth nexus panel data analysis for gcc countries abstract this study investigates the relationship between natural gas energy consumption and economic growth by including trade openness total labor force and gross fixed capital formation as a major determinants of gdp growth within the multivariate framework model in gulf cooperation council gcc countries a panel gdp model is constructed taking the period of 1980 2012 the result revealed that natural gas energy consumption is cointegrated with gdp growth in the investigated countries in addition based on the panel dynamic ordinary least square dols and the fully modified ordinary least square fmols this study concluded that the natural gas energy consumption affects the gcc s countries gdp growth positively in the long run furthermore the results from the granger causality test revealed bidirectional causality between natural gas energy consumption and gdp growth which confirms the feedback hypothesis from the outcome of this research a number of policy implications were provided for the gcc countries

electricity consumption and economic growth in the gcc countries panel data analysis applying recent advances in panel data analysis we investigate the relationship between electricity consumption and economic growth in the gcc countries using annual data from 1975 to 2012 within a framework which takes into consideration dynamics heterogeneity and cross sectional dependence in the panel we show that the results obtained from using the pmge demeaned pmg amg mge and dfe models indicate a long run equilibrium relationship between electricity consumption and economic growth in order to determine the appropriate model and decide the preferred estimator the hausman test was performed the pmge model emerged as the most efficient of the three estimators also the results obtained revealed a bi directional causality between economic growth and electricity consumption in these countries which supports the feedback hypothesis as a result this implies that if these countries adopt or implement any energy or electricity conservation policies this may have a negative impact on its economic growth

electricity consumption employment and real income in australia evidence from multivariate granger causality tests this paper examines the relationship between electricity consumption employment and real income in australia within a cointegration and causality framework we find that electricity consumption employment and real income are cointegrated and that in the long run employment and real income granger cause electricity consumption while in the short run there is weak unidirectional granger causality running from income to electricity consumption and from income to employment

the approach to realizing the potential of emissions reduction in china an implication from data envelopment analysis abstract by proposing a three hierarchy meta frontier data envelopment analysis dea this paper first decomposes co 2 emissions efficiency and the potential for emissions reduction into the following three components structural technical and management based on these components we then conduct an empirical analysis of china s total factor co 2 emissions efficiency its potential for co 2 emissions reduction and its corresponding implementation path the results show that co 2 emissions efficiency in mainland china is relatively low because of structural inefficiency technical inefficiency and management inefficiency the chinese government is expected to realize a large quantity of co 2 emissions reduction potential nearly 40 of the current total co 2 emissions through adjusting the industrial structure narrowing the technology gap among regions promoting the reform of marketization and strengthening environmental regulation the causes of co 2 emissions inefficiency and the distribution of potential reductions in emissions show a distinct spatial difference characteristic therefore this paper also formulates emissions reduction strategies for china s 30 provinces according to their specific situations noting the direction of the industrial structure adjustment and the path to improving co 2 emissions efficiency

causality relationship between electricity consumption and gdp in bangladesh in this paper we examine the causal relationship between the per capita electricity consumption and the per capita gdp for bangladesh using cointegration and vector error correction model our results show that there is unidirectional causality from per capita gdp to per capita electricity consumption however the per capita electricity consumption does not cause per capita gdp in case of bangladesh the finding has significant implications from the point of view of energy conservation emission reduction and economic development

residential electricity demand dynamics in turkey abstract this article provides fresh empirical evidences for the income and price elasticies of the residential energy demand both in the short run and long run for turkey over the period 1968 2005 using the bounds testing procedure to cointegration the computed elasticities of income and price are consistent with the previous studies and as expected the long run elasticities are greater than the short run elasticities an augmented form of granger causality analysis is implemented among residential electricity income price and urbanization in the long run causality runs interactively through the error correction term from income price and urbanization to residential energy but the short run causality tests are inconclusive the parameter stability of the short run as well as long run coefficients in the residential energy demand function are tested the results of these tests display a stable pattern

integrating real options analysis with long term electricity market models abstract in liberalized electricity markets the investment postponement option is deemed decisive for understanding the addition of new generating capacity basically it refers to the possibility for investors to postpone projects for a period while waiting for the arrival of new and better information about the market evolution when such development involves major uncertainties the generation business becomes riskier and the investors wait and see behavior might limit the timely addition of new power plants in that sense the literature provides solid empirical evidence about the occurrence of construction cycles in the deregulated electricity industry however the strategic flexibility inherent to the option to defer new power plants has not yet been rigorously incorporated to investment signals in existing market models therefore this paper proposes a novel methodology to assess the long term development of liberalized power markets based on a more realistic approach for valuing generation investments the work is based on a stochastic dynamic market model built upon system dynamics simulation approach the decision making framework considers that the addition of new capacity is driven by the economic value of the strategic flexibility associated with deferring investments under uncertainties thus the value of the postponement option is quantified in monetary terms through real options analysis simulations confirm the cyclical behavior of the energy only market in the long run as suggested by the empirical evidence found in the literature in addition sensitivity analysis regarding some relevant exogenous variables depicts an even more fluctuating evolution of the capacity due to the combination of strong demand growth rates with large volatilities finally the model validity is assessed through a formal procedure according to the scope of system dynamics modeling approach

electricity and growth nexus dynamics in singapore fresh insights based on wavelet approach abstract this study examines the empirical relationship of electricity generation egen and economic growth ipi in singapore by using the flexible properties of the wavelet approach this innovative technique allows the decomposition of time series across time scales in this study we used continuous wavelet transform cross wavelet and wavelet coherence ratios to investigate the relationship between egen and ipi by using the monthly data from 1983 1 to 2016 1 results of autoregressive distributed lag and johansen juselius cointegration tests show that there is a significant long run relationship the mentioned variables in singapore furthermore results indicate that there is a unidirectional causal relationship running from egen to ipi in the long run while a bidirectional causal interplays are depicted between the of egen on ipi in medium run thus it can be recommended that government needs to increase electricity generation and further providing and nurturing the expansion of electricity supply in country which will ultimately benefits the economic growth

electricity consumption and economic growth a time series experience for 17 african countries abstract while the availability of electricity by itself is not a panacea for the economic and social problems facing africa the supply of electricity is nevertheless believed to be a necessary requirement for africa s economic and social development this paper tests the long run and causal relationship between electricity consumption per capita and real gross domestic product gdp per capita for 17 african countries for the period 1971 2001 using a newly developed cointegration test proposed by pesaran et al 2001 and using a modified version of the granger causality test due to toda and yamamoto 1995 the advantage of using these two approaches is that they both avoid the pre testing bias associated with conventional unit root and cointegration tests the empirical evidence shows that there was a long run relationship between electricity consumption per capita and real gdp per capita for only 9 countries and granger causality for only 12 countries for 6 countries there was a positive uni directional causality running from real gdp per capita to electricity consumption per capita an opposite causality for 3 countries and bi directional causality for the remaining 3 countries the result should however be interpreted with care as electricity consumption accounts for less than 4 of total energy consumption in africa and only grid supplied electricity is taken into account

the electricity consumption versus economic growth of the polish economy abstract the aim of this contribution is an investigation of causal interdependences between electricity consumption and gdp in poland our research was conducted for total electricity consumption as well as for the industrial consumption of electricity in order to reflect the causality between gdp and electricity consumption properly we performed our investigations in a three dimensional framework with employment chosen as an additional variable we used reliable quarterly data from the period q1 2000 q4 2009 in order to check the stability of the causalities the investigations were performed on two samples a full sample and a pre crisis i e q1 2000 q3 2008 subsample we applied both traditional methods and some recently developed econometric tools we found feedback between total electricity consumption and gdp as well as between total electricity consumption and employment we also found unidirectional causality running from industrial electricity consumption to employment and no direct causal links between industrial electricity consumption and gdp in addition all these findings were in general not seriously affected by the financial and economic crises of 2008 a significant exception is the causal effect of industrial electricity consumption on employment which was more pronounced after the crisis of 2008

regional energy efficiency carbon emission performance and technology gaps in china a meta frontier non radial directional distance function analysis abstract at present china is the largest primary energy consumer and carbon emitter in the world meantime china is a large transitional economy with significant regional gaps against such backgrounds the calculated results of energy and carbon performance indicators may be biased without considering heterogeneity across regions to this end after incorporating region heterogeneity this paper provides detailed information regarding energy efficiency carbon emission performance and the potential of carbon emission reductions from regional perspectives which may be important and useful for policy makers our main findings are as follows firstly there is significant group heterogeneity across regions in china in terms of energy efficiency and carbon emission performance secondly there are no considerable differences between total factor and single factor performance indices since there is limited substitutability between energy inputs and other production inputs finally significant carbon emission reductions can be made by catching up for regions with low energy efficiency and carbon emission performance looking ahead the chinese government should adopt measures to promote improvements in terms of energy efficiency and carbon emission performance in the short term

social identity and inequality the impact of china s hukou system abstract we conduct an experimental study to investigate the causal impact of social identity on individuals performance under incentives we focus on china s household registration hukou system which favors urban residents and discriminates against rural residents in resource allocation our results show that making individuals hukou identity salient significantly reduces the performance of rural migrant students relative to their local urban counterparts on an incentivized cognitive task and consequently significantly lowers their relative ranking in the earnings distribution under the piece rate regime however the impact of hukou identity salience is insignificant in the tournament regime suggesting that its negative effect on migrant students performance may be mitigated when competition is introduced the results demonstrate the impact of institutionally imposed social identity on individuals economic performance and potentially on inequality

efficiency and distributional implications of global restrictions on labour mobility calculations and policy implications abstract in this paper a procedure for calculating the annual efficiency gains from various alternative changes in existing global immigration restrictions is presented along with an evaluation of impacts of wage rate changes on non migrating labour a simple methodology uses data on u s dollar gnp capita across countries to infer differences in the marginal productivity of labour both between countries and across major world trading areas two key assumptions used are that the worldwide labour supply is fixed and full employment occurs in all regions differences occuring in labour s marginal product across regions are assumed to arise because of barriers to inward mobility of labour in high wage countries when these are removed labour reallocates and efficiency gains occur while the calculations are based on contentious assumptions a striking feature is the size of the annual worldwide gains in some cases annual gains can easily exceed existing worldwide gnp generated in the presence of labour mobility restrictions while all gains do not accrue to ldc s the size of the gains nonetheless suggests that this issue may be much more important to these countries than other issues raised thus far in the north south debate the losses to labour already employed in high wage countries dramatize the incentives for labour unions in the developed world to oppose liberalization

electricity consumption and economic growth in china cointegration and co feature analysis abstract this paper applies the cointegration theory to examine the causal relationship between electricity consumption and real gdp gross demostic product for china during 1978 2004 our estimation results indicate that real gdp and electricity consumption for china are cointegrated and there is only unidirectional granger causality running from electricity consumption to real gdp but not the vice versa then hodrick prescott hp filter is applied to decompose the trend and fluctuation component of the gdp and electricity consumption series the estimation results indicate that there is cointegration between not only the trend components but also the cyclical components of the two series which implies that the granger causality is probably related with the business cycle the estimation results are of policy implication to the development of electric sector in china

electricity consumption and economic growth in china abstract this paper applies the error correction model to examine the causal relationship between electricity consumption and real gdp for china during 1971 2000 our estimation results indicate that real gdp and electricity consumption for china are cointegrated and there is unidirectional granger causality running from electricity consumption to real gdp but not vice versa in order to overcome the constraints on electricity consumption the chinese government has to speed up the nation wide interconnection of power networks to upgrade urban and rural distribution grids and to accelerate rural electrification

a note on the causal relationship between energy and gdp in taiwan abstract this paper re examines the causality between energy consumption and gdp by using updated taiwan data for the period 1954 1997 as a secondary contribution we investigate the causal relationship between gdp and the aggregate as well as several disaggregate categories of energy consumption including coal oil natural gas and electricity applying granger s technique we find bidirectional causality between total energy consumption and gdp we find further that different directions of cause exist between gdp and various kinds of energy consumption

a note on the electricity growth nexus in lao pdr abstract this paper investigates the relationship between electricity consumption and economic growth in laos by applying the ardl bounds testing approach to cointegration and granger causality tests our results confirm the existence of a long run relationship between electricity consumption and economic growth in addition we found unidirectional causality running from economic growth to electricity consumption in the long run supporting the conservation hypothesis

electricity consumption growth nexus evidence from panel data for transition countries abstract this paper investigates the long run relationship and causality issues between electricity consumption and economic growth in 15 transition countries albania belarus bulgaria czech republic estonia latvia lithuania macedonia moldova poland romania russian federation serbia slovak republic and ukraine by using the pedroni panel cointegration method for the 1990 2006 period results suggest that the pedroni panel cointegration tests do not confirm a long term equilibrium relationship between electricity consumption per capita and real gdp per capita moreover since no cointegration was found error correction mechanisms plus causality tests cannot be run for further steps in the long term to investigate the causality between electricity consumption and economic growth overall it can be said that the electricity consumption related policies have no effect or relation on the level of real output in the long run for these countries as a conclusion the literature has conflicting results and there is no consensus either on the existence or the direction of causality between electricity consumption and economic growth thus the findings of this study have important policy implications and it shows that this issue still deserves further attention in future research

where did all the remittances go understanding the impact of remittances on consumption patterns in rural china we focus on the impact of migrants remittances on consumption patterns in china using a large homogenous sample of rural households surveyed in 2001 and 2004 we find that remittances are spent on nonhousing consumption expenditures at the margin virtually dollar for dollar when we instrument remittances and local employed earnings using proxies of social networks our findings are robust to intra household division of labour and to fixed effect for the county in which the respondents are registered these results imply that rural households largely take remittances as permanent income and are consistent with the prevalence of circular and repeat migration in china

the nexus between carbon emissions energy consumption and economic growth in middle east countries a panel data analysis abstract the environmental kuznets curve ekc hypothesis assumes that there is an inverted u shaped relationship between environmental degradation and income per capita in other words as a country grows it is assumed that its environmental quality improves in this study we aim to test the ekc hypothesis for 12 middle east countries during the period 1990 2008 by employing recently developed panel data methods our results provide evidence contrary to the ekc hypothesis we found evidence favorable to the u shaped ekc for 5 middle east countries whereas an inverted u shaped curve was identified for only 3 middle east countries furthermore there appear to be no causal links between income and co 2 emissions for the other 4 countries regarding the direction of causality there appears to be a unidirectional causality from economic growth to energy consumption in the short run in the long run however the unidirectional causality chain runs from energy consumption and economic growth to co 2 emissions we also suggest some crucial policy implications depending on these results

energy intensity developments in 40 major economies structural change or technology improvement this study analyzes energy intensity trends and drivers in 40 major economies using the wiod database a novel harmonized and consistent dataset of input output table time series accompanied by environmental satellite data we use logarithmic mean divisia index decomposition to 1 study trends in global energy intensity between 1995 and 2007 2 attribute efficiency changes to either changes in technology or changes in the structure of the economy and 3 highlight sectoral and regional differences we first show that heterogeneity within each sector across countries is high these general trends within the sectors are dominated by large economies first and foremost the united states in most cases heterogeneity is lower within each country across the different sectors regarding changes of energy intensity at the country level improvements between 1995 and 2007 are largely attributable to technological change while structural change is less important in most countries notable exceptions are japan the united states australia taiwan mexico and brazil where a change in the industry mix was the main driver behind the observed energy intensity reduction

the real real price of nonrenewable resources copper 1870 2000 over the past 40 years economists have devoted considerable effort to estimating long run trends in real commodity prices the results indicate that the real prices for many commodities have fallen suggesting to the surprise of many that resource scarcity is declining over time almost all of this work however uses the u s producer price index or other standard price deflators which recent research shows overestimate inflation for several reasons this article examines copper prices with adjusted deflators designed to eliminate this bias it finds that the trend over time which is significantly downward when no adjustment is made to the deflator displays no tendency in either direction or is significantly upward depending on the magnitude of the deflator adjustment employed these findings suggest that real resources prices provide less support than widely assumed for the hypothesis that resources are becoming more available or less scarce over time

energy consumption and economic growth new evidence from meta analysis abstract the causal relationships between energy consumption and economic growth have given rise to much discussion but remain controversial alternative data sets based on different time spans countries energy policies and econometric approaches result in diverse outcomes a meta analysis using a multinomial logit model with 174 samples governing the relationships between gdp and energy consumption is applied here to investigate the major factors that affect these controversial outcomes the empirical results have demonstrated how the time spans subject selections including gdp and energy consumption econometric models and tools for greenhouse gases emission reduction characteristics significantly affect these controversial outcomes

energy consumption and gdp causality a three step analysis for emerging european countries abstract the established european targets should play a leading role in the complex economic process of energy consumption and the emerging countries have to consider their implications for adjusting the energy policies at national level this paper develops investigations on the causality relationship between energy consumption and gdp in the context of emerging european countries covering the period 1980 2013 this research covers the limits identified by previous researchers by detailing the energy consumption by sources and by referring to five emerging countries in europe unlike most of the previous studies it has a double approach long and short run bidirectional relationships a detailed analysis on the impact of economic growth on the energy consumption by country is conducted in order to contribute to the enrichment of the research field towards this objective a three step analysis is performed stationarity cointegration and causality tests are considered the empirical study shows mixed results there is a balance in confirming conservation growth and neutrality hypotheses in some specific cases results imply that energy consumption and economic growth are jointly determined however a comparative analysis for different significance levels draws attention on the differences in judgment of results for this type of studies discussions on the results in terms of causality are conducted in order to identify future trends for research

should governments stop subsidies to private goods evidence from rural latin america abstract this paper empirically documents the effects of subsidizing private goods to the detriment of the government s supply of public goods we use a new data set from the rural sector in fifteen latin american countries over the period 1985 2001 collected using a methodology that allows us to separate government subsidies to private goods from expenditures in the provision of public goods the econometric evidence shows that the government s decision to subsidize either private or public goods has dramatic consequences for economic development reducing the share of subsidies to private goods or equivalently increasing the share of public goods in the government s budget has ceteris paribus a large and significant positive impact on rural per capita income reduces certain undesirable environmental effects associated with output expansion and contributes to poverty reduction

cointegration and causality between electricity consumption and gdp empirical evidence from malawi abstract the granger causality gc and error correction ecm techniques were applied on 1970 1999 data for malawi to examine cointegration and causality between electricity consumption kwh and respectively overall gdp agricultural gdp agdp and non agricultural gdp ngdp cointegration was established between kwh and respectively gdp and ngdp but not with agdp the gc results detect bi directional causality between kwh and gdp suggesting that kwh and gdp are jointly determined but one way causality running from ngdp to kwh the ecm results detect causality running one way from gdp also from ngdp to kwh suggesting that a permanent rise in gdp may cause a permanent growth in electricity consumption

the causal relationship between electricity consumption and economic growth in the asean countries abstract this paper investigates the causal relationship between electricity consumption and economic growth among the association of south east asian nations asean 4 members namely indonesia malaysia singapore and thailand using modern time series techniques for the period 1971 2002 the results indicate that there is a bi directional causality between electricity consumption and economic growth in malaysia and singapore this means that an increase in electricity consumption directly affects economic growth and that economic growth also stimulates further electricity consumption in the two countries however uni directional causality runs from economic growth to electricity consumption in indonesia and thailand without any feedback effect thus electricity conservation policies can be initiated without deteriorating economic side effects in the two countries

electricity consumption and economic growth bounds and causality analyses of opec members this paper investigates the relationship between electricity consumption and economic growth for opec members the bounds test yields evidence of a long run relationship between electricity consumption and economic growth for all opec members causality results suggest that economic growth is dependent on electricity consumption in five countries less dependent in three countries and independent in three countries because these countries do not necessarily share similar political and economic traits no single universal policy implication can be inferred from the results the disparities across these causality results therefore stress the importance of formulating causality explanations while taking into account the particularities of individual countries rather than blindly applying the conventional interpretations

electricity consumption and economic growth evidence from korea abstract this paper investigates the short and long run causality issues between electricity consumption and economic growth in korea by using the co integration and error correction models it employs annual data covering the period 1970 2002 the overall results show that there exists bi directional causality between electricity consumption and economic growth this means that an increase in electricity consumption directly affects economic growth and that economic growth also stimulates further electricity consumption

a new statistic and practical guidelines for nonparametric granger causality testing abstract in this paper we introduce a new nonparametric test for granger non causality which avoids the over rejection observed in the frequently used test proposed by hiemstra and jones 1994 testing for linear and nonlinear granger causality in the stock price volume relation journal of finance 49 1639 1664 after illustrating the problem by showing that rejection probabilities under the null hypothesis may tend to one as the sample size increases we study the reason behind this phenomenon analytically it turns out that the hiemstra jones test for the null of granger non causality which can be rephrased in terms of conditional independence of two vectors x and z given a third vector y is sensitive to variations in the conditional distributions of x and z that may be present under the null to overcome this problem we replace the global test statistic by an average of local conditional dependence measures by letting the bandwidth tend to zero at appropriate rates the variations in the conditional distributions are accounted for automatically based on asymptotic theory we formulate practical guidelines for choosing the bandwidth depending on the sample size we conclude with an application to historical returns and trading volumes of the standard and poor s index which indicates that the evidence for volume granger causing returns is weaker than suggested by the hiemstra jones test

testing for linear and nonlinear granger causality in the stock price volume relation linear and nonlinear granger causality tests are used to examine the dynamic relation between daily dow jones stock returns and percentage changes in new york stock exchange trading volume we find evidence of significant bidirectional nonlinear causality between returns and volume we also examine whether the nonlinear causality from volume to returns can be explained by volume serving as a proxy for information flow in the stochastic process generating stock return variance as suggested by clark s 1973 latent common factor model after controlling for volatility persistence in returns we continue to find evidence of nonlinear causality from volume to returns

energy consumption and economic growth in the light of meeting the targets of energy policy in the eu the bootstrap panel granger causality approach abstract the aim of the paper is to assess linkages between energy consumption and economic growth in the light of compliance with the eu energy policy targets stated in the climate and energy package for 2020 in the european union member states in the period 1993 2011 the study is divided into two main stages during the first one using cluster analysis methods four groups of countries which met three energy policy targets stated in the package at similar levels were identified during the second stage the bootstrap granger panel causality approach proposed by konya 2006 was used to verify the hypothesis of causality between energy consumption and economic growth in the countries from four groups created in the previous step the global financial crisis was also taken into account the results obtained reveal that the level of compliance with energy policy targets influences linkages between energy consumption and economic growth the results indicate causal relations in the group of countries with the greatest reduction of greenhouse gas emissions the highest reduction of energy intensity and the highest share of renewable energy consumption in total energy consumption in the remaining groups the results mostly confirm the neutrality hypothesis

electricity consumption and economic growth evidence from turkey abstract this study investigates the causal relationship between electricity consumption and real gdp in turkey during the period of 1950 2000 both of the series were found to be a stationary process around a structural break by the zivot and andrews test thus two different methodologies have been employed to test the granger non causality the dolado lutkepohl test using the vars in levels and the standard granger causality test using the detrended data both tests have yielded a strong evidence for unidirectional causality running from the electricity consumption to the income this implies that the supply of electricity is vitally important to meet the growing electricity consumption hence to sustain the economic growth in turkey

income inequality in the people s republic of china trends determinants and proposed remedies the issue of income inequality in the people s republic of china prc has attracted world wide attention leading to a sizable literature this paper attempts to provide a nonexhaustive literature review of the prc s inequality trends and determinants and suggested government interventions it discusses profiles of income inequality along three dimensions interhousehold disparity regional divides and urban rural gaps this is followed by an exploration of the driving forces behind rising inequality including the notorious hukou system policy biases location or geographic factors globalization and education finally the paper summarizes and proposes government interventions for containing or reducing income inequality in the prc important areas for future research are also suggested in the final section of the paper

energy consumption employment output and temporal causality evidence from taiwan based on cointegration and error correction modelling techniques in this study a cointegration analysis and a vector autoregressive model var are used to examine the causal relationships among energy consumption employment and output for taiwan over the period january 1982 to november 1997 johansen 1988 and johansen and juselius 1990 cointegration test result indicates these three variables are cointegrated with one cointegrating vector the results from granger causality tests based on vector error correction models vecm suggest bidirectional grange causality for employment output and employment energy consumption but only unidirectional causality running from energy consumption to output furthermore the impulse responses and variance decompositions are also incorporated into the analysis the results from impulsive response and variance decomposition analysis tell similar stories energy consumption appears to have led to output growth in taiwan over this period the policy implication of this finding is that energy conservation will restrain the outpu

electricity consumption and economic growth a cross country analysis abstract electricity has been the foundation of economic growth and constitutes one of the vital infra structural inputs in socio economic development the world faces a surge in demand for electricity that is driven by such powerful forces as population growth extensive urbanization industrialization and the rise in the standard of living this paper attempts to ascertain whether there is a systematic relationship between electricity consumption and economic growth to this end we use a large set of data that spans 88 countries during the period 1975 2004 a statistically significant inverted u shaped relationship between per capita consumption of electricity and per capita income is detected nevertheless by using a purchasing power parity that is much higher than the per capita income of all the countries in the world the level of per capita income is estimated at the peak point of per capita electricity consumption to be 61 379 in 2000 constant international dollars moreover we segment the sample into organization for economic cooperation and development oecd countries and non oecd countries and separately analyze the developed and developing countries the separate estimation shows that even though the peak income is higher than the average per capita income a statistically significant inverted u shaped relationship is found in oecd and developed countries but not in non oecd and developing countries

will carbon motivated border tax adjustments function as a threat abstract due to large incremental carbon emissions china might become an important target country of cbta carbon motivated border tax adjustments to levy cbta could reduce china s emissions meanwhile china s emissions reduction could also be achieved by china s climate policies termed as cbta emissions equivalent policies this paper contributes to the discussion on cbta by comparing the potential regional effects of cbta and cbta emissions equivalent policies the main findings are as follows 1 cbta and cbta emissions equivalent policies would result in relocations of outputs across regions and countries affect the structure of economy and contribute to world s emissions reduction 2 there would be significant differences in the regional effects between cbta and cbta emissions equivalent policies 3 compared to carbon tax cbta would be a costly and inefficient policy instrument to reduce emissions but could function as an effective coercion strategy 4 these policies would result in competitiveness issue and rebound effects wherein different countries would be affected differently china is a large economy and energy consumer with high openness to international trade looking ahead the chinese government should consider the potential interactions between china and other economies when designing tax reforms

a structural var analysis of electricity consumption and real gdp evidence from the g7 countries in this paper we depart from the literature on electricity consumption real gdp in that for the first time we examine the reaction of real gdp to shocks in electricity consumption to achieve this goal we use the structural vector autoregressive svar model and examine the impact of electricity consumption shocks on real gdp for the g7 countries we find that except for the usa electricity consumption has a statistically significant positive impact on real gdp over short horizons this finding implies that except for the usa electricity conservation policies will hurt real gdp in the g7 countries

the policy roots of socioeconomic stagnation and environmental implosion latin america 1950 2000 abstract the persistence of growth and its equity and environmental effects heavily depend on the composition of asset investments physical human and natural capital are the key assets behind the development process market failures tend to affect the accumulation of such assets asymmetrically leading to underinvestment in human and natural capital public policy in latin america has generally exacerbated such market failures by promoting physical capital investments using massive public subsidies instead of relying on the expansion of public and semipublic assets that complement physical capital the result economic stagnation deep social inequities and environmental destruction

leaving the countryside rural to urban migration decisions in china this paper employs a simple theoretical model of labor allocation within rural households given existing land arrangements in an attempt to explain why rural chinese do not fully participate in labor migration it first explores the mechanisms by which individual household and community characteristics affect the migration decision empirical results are then presented to substantiate the derived hypotheses the paper further explores the question of whether the migration decision is permanent by analyzing the responses of household consumption to income from migration excerpt

urbanization and urban systems in the people s republic of china research findings and policy recommendations this paper provides a literature review on urbanization in the people s republic of china prc research findings indicate that the prc s urbanization is incomplete its level of urbanization lags behind its industrialization and development status and while there are too many small cities the large cities are not large enough this is mainly because of the institutional constraints exerted by the hukou and land systems on labor mobility which have led to segregation efficiency loss distortion in the urban system and adverse impacts on equity as discussed in this study major policy recommendations are offered for removing the distortions and steering the prc s urbanization onto an efficient and equitable path

the higher educational transformation of china and its global implications higher educational transformation of china this paper discusses the major transformation of higher education that has been under way in china since 1999 and evaluates its potential global implications reflecting china s commitment to continued high growth this transformation focuses on major new resource commitments to tertiary education and significant changes in organisational form all of these changes have already had large impacts on china s higher educational system and are beginning to be felt by the global educational structure this focus on tertiary education differentiates the chinese case from other countries who earlier at similar stages of development instead stressed primary and secondary education

the higher educational transformation of china and its global implications this chapter documents the major transformation of higher education that has been underway in china since 1999 and evaluates its potential global impacts this has involved major new resource commitments to tertiary education and significant changes in organizational form reflecting china s commitment to continued high growth through quality upgrading and the production of ideas and intellectual property as set out in both the tenth 2001 2005 and eleventh 2006 2010 five year plans the number of undergraduate and graduate students in china has been growing at approximately 20 per year since 1999 and the total number of graduates at all levels of higher education in china has increased by more than a factor of six in the last decade entering class sizes and total student enrolments have risen fast too approximately quintupling prior to 1999 increases in these areas were much smaller much of the increased spending is focussed on elite universities and new academic contracts differ sharply from earlier ones which lacked tenure and often used annual publication quotas

electricity use and economic development abstract a study of the relationship between electricity use and economic development in over one hundred countries constituting over 99 of the global economy has been undertaken correlations between electricity consumption capita and gdp capita have been analysed and compared with those between total primary energy supply capita and gdp capita a supporting analysis has correlated the proportion of energy used in the form electricity the e e ratio with gdp capita the general conclusions of this research are that wealthy countries have a stronger correlation between electricity use and wealth creation than do poor countries and that for the global economy as a whole there is a stronger correlation between electricity use and wealth creation than there is between total energy use and wealth the study also shows that in wealthy countries the increase in wealth over time correlates with an increase in the e e ratio the results imply that the energy ratio toe should be replaced by the electricity ratio kwh as a development indicator and more precisely by the e e ratio kwh toe

interprovincial disparities in china output and consumption 1952 1987 the flood of economic information from china in recent years has permitted reassessment of the chinese model of development and the extent to which china s own development experience has conformed to it the prevailing consensus of the 1970s concerning the substance of the model itself typically characterized in terms of the chinese leadership s objectives and priorities and its strategy for pursuing them has stood up quite well the same cannot be said about past appraisals of the extent to which china s economic reality has been reshaped to accord with the model s prescriptions one of the most widely remarked elements of the chinese model is the high priority assigned to regional objectives and more specifically to balance in the distribution of productive capacity and equity in the distribution of income and hence consumption during the maoist era i e prior to 1979 the central government pursued regional objectives through such measures as interregional transfers of investment resources effected via the planning system subsidization of health and education expenditures in poor regions and attempts to maintain a safety net of state relief effected largely via control of grain surpluses in short there is little doubt that prior to 1979 the chinese leadership placed an unusually high value on the spread of modern growth and the improvements in welfare associated with it and persistently acted to limit the emergence or widening of interregional disparities although china s post mao leaders have shown greater concern with efficiency and with the potential trade offs between efficiency and such goals as balance and equity their continuation of many redistributive policies indicates that they have not abandoned regional objectives but how successful has china been in achieving these objectives

the electricity consumption and gdp nexus for the fiji islands fiji is a small open island economy dependent on energy for its growth and development hence the relationship between energy consumption and economic growth is crucial for fiji s development in this paper we investigate the nexus between electricity consumption and economic growth for fiji within a multivariate framework through including the labour force variable we use the bounds testing approach to cointegration and find that electricity consumption gdp and labour force are only cointegrated when gdp is the endogenous variable we use the granger causality f test and find that in the long run causality runs from electricity consumption and labour force to gdp implying that fiji is an energy dependent country and thus energy conservation policies will have an adverse effect on fiji s economic growth

the evolution of the housing market and its socioeconomic impacts in the post reform people s republic of china a survey of the literature the development of the housing market in the people s republic of china is not only a major component of chinese economic growth but also has wide ranging influential impacts on chinese society a burgeoning number of papers have examined the housing market in the postreform people s republic of china from various perspectives this paper aims to provide a thorough survey of the key literature in the field and then supply a complete picture of the dynamics of the housing market in the people s republic of china to assess the functional efficiency of this nascent market we pay particular attention to the literature that is related to the academic debate over the chinese housing bubble issue the structure and operation of the housing market is another major concern in this paper finally we summarize the key insights of the literature that we surveyed note research gaps in the literature and discuss further research directions in this field

moving off the farm land institutions to facilitate structural transformation and agricultural productivity growth in china agriculture has made major contributions to china s economic growth and poverty reduction but the literature has rarely focused on the institutional factors that might underpin such structural transformation and productivity this paper aims to fill that gap drawing on an 8 year panel of 1 200 households in six key provinces it explores the impact of government land reallocations and formal land use certificates on agricultural productivity growth as well as the likelihood of households to exit from agriculture or send family members to the non farm sector it finds that land tenure insecurity measured by the history of past land reallocations discourages households from quitting agriculture the recognition of land rights through formal certificates encourages the temporary migration of rural labor both factors have a large impact on productivity at about 30 percent each mainly by encouraging market based land transfers a sustained increase in non agricultural opportunities will likely reinforce the importance of secure land tenure which is a precondition for successful structural transformation and continued economic attractiveness of rural areas

a literature survey on energy growth nexus abstract this paper provides a survey of the recent progress in the literature of energy consumption economic growth and electricity consumption economic growth causality nexus the survey highlights that most empirical studies focus on either testing the role of energy electricity in stimulating economic growth or examining the direction of causality between these two variables although the positive role of energy on growth has become a stylized fact there are some methodological reservations about the results from these empirical studies a general observation from these studies is that the literature produced conflicting results and there is no consensus neither on the existence nor on the direction of causality between energy consumption electricity consumption and economic growth as a policy implication to avoid from conflicting and unreliable results the authors may use the autoregressive distributed lags bounds test two regime threshold co integration models panel data approach and multivariate models including new variables such as real gross fixed capital formation labor force carbon dioxide emissions population exchange rates interest rates etc thus the authors should focus more on the new approaches and perspectives rather than by employing usual methods based on a set of common variables for different countries and different intervals of time

a numerical simulation analysis of hukou labour mobility restrictions in china abstract we use numerical simulation methods to analyze the hukou system of permanent registration in china which many believe has supported growing relative inequality over the last 20 years by restraining labour migration both between the countryside and urban areas and between regions and cities our aim is to inject economic modelling into the debate on sources of inequality in china which thus far has been largely statistical we first use a model with homogeneous labour in which wage inequality across various geographical divides in china is supported solely by quantity based migration restrictions urban rural areas rich poor regions eastern central and western non coastal zones eastern and central western development zones eastern central western zones more disaggregated 6 regional classifications and an all 31 provincial classification we calibrate this model to base case data and when we remove migration restrictions all wage and most income inequality disappears results from this model structure points to a significant role for hukou restrictions in supporting inequality in china we then present a further model extension in which urban house price rises retard rural urban migration the impacts of removing hukou restrictions on migration are smaller but are still significant finally we modify the model to capture labour productivity differences across regions calibrating the modified model to estimates of both national and regional gini coefficients removal of migration barriers is again inequality improving but less so

economic reform and interprovincial inequalities in china abstract this note is an attempt to explore two issues 1 the trend of interprovincial inequality in the post 1978 reform era in china and 2 the factors behind the dynamics of interprovincial inequality using recently released provincial gross domestic product gdp data we have shown that interprovincial inequality decreased in the fast half of the 1980s but started to increase in the second half of the 1980s to understand the impact of sectoral reforms on interprovincial inequality the overall inequality in provincial per capita gdp is decomposed into the contributions by the primary secondary and tertiary sectors it seems that the trend of interprovincial inequality has been largely induced by the reforms of the industrial sector which make up a large share of the secondary sector in addition national income data from the socialist national accounting system are used to identify the impact of interprovincial resource flows on interprovincial inequalities the findings seem to suggest a relative decline in the role of redistributive budgetary transfers