the determinants of chinese visitors to australia a dynamic demand analysis although china has progressively become an important inbound tourism market for australia its demand elasticities have been little studied to date this study examines the determinants of chinese visitors to australia using a dynamic time series estimator interesting findings include a high income elasticity as a source of the continuous doubledigit growth rates in chinese arrivals that australia has experienced over the past two decades together with relatively high total trip price elasticities for both short run and long run a trend of chinese outbound to australia is also identified from a policy perspective the results confirm that keeping a low cost of visiting australia both ground and travel costs is a good strategy to secure greater numbers of chinese tourists

the dutch disease effects on tourism the case of australia industries in an economy are inter dependent on each other however the relationship among them is not always positive the recent mining boom in australia has adversely affected many other non mining related industries including tourism through the effects of resource constraints and a strong appreciation of the exchange rate this paper examines in detail the mining boom effects on tourism in specific markets such as those for inter state intra state and inbound tourism through the movement of price indexes of each market across states and territories in australia furthermore while negative impacts on tourism are consistent with the traditional dutch disease theory this paper also highlights an important point to policy makers that strategic planning for investment in accommodation and aviation can have positive impacts on tourism during and after the boom has passed

learning from failure towards an evolutionary model of collaborative ventures this paper reports on a longitudinal case study of the interaction between two partners to a failed international joint venture we develop a model of the collaboration process in partnership and alliances based on earlier work by ring and van de ven 1994 and by doz 1996 we employ a series of events that occurred in the course of the relationship as the unit of analysis in order to trace the interactions between the partners and to explicate the impact that external shocks have on their perceptions of efficiency and equity the impact of these events as well as the responses they elicit on the quality of the relationship and vice versa are also considered we find that the partners assessments cause them to either engage in renegotiation of the terms of the contract or to modify their behavior unilaterally in an attempt to restore balance to the relationship the process feeds back until a new mutual understanding of equity is restored or else the relationship deteriorates gradually until a point when the venture is dissolved we conclude that positive feedback loops are critical in the evolutionary process that relationship quality is both an outcome and a mediating variable and that procedural issues are critical from the start in fostering a climate for positive reinforcement and the building of mutual trust and confidence in the relationship

towards an attention based view of the firm the central argument is that firm behavior is the result of how firms channel and distribute the attention of their decision makers what decision makers do depends on what issues and answers they focus their attention on what issues and answers they focus on depends on the specific situation and on how the firm s rules resources and relationships distribute various issues answers and decision makers into specific communications and procedures the paper develops these theoretical principles into a model of firm behavior and presents its implications for explaining firm behavior and adaptation 1997 by john wiley sons ltd

breaking up a research consortium inter firm r d collaborations through contractual arrangements have become increasingly popular but in many cases they are broken up without any joint discovery we provide a rationale for the breakup date in r d collaboration agreements more specifically we consider a research consortium initiated by a firm a with a firm b b has private information about whether it is committed to the project or a free rider we show that under fairly general conditions a breakup date in the contract is a second best optimal screening device for firm a to screen out free riders with the additional constraint of renegotiation proofness a can only partially screen out free riders entry by some free riders makes sure that a does not have an incentive to renegotiate the contract ex post we also propose empirical strategies for identifying the three likely causes of a breakup date adverse selection moral hazard and project non viability

applying and advancing internalization theory the multinational enterprise in the twenty first century internalization theory has provided a resilient analytical framework that explicitly or implicitly underlines much of international business scholarship internalization theory is not a monolithic body of knowledge instead it has devolved into several streams each of which focuses on the interests of particular epistemic communities while also acting as a more generic organizing framework for those more broadly interested in its application to real world challenges following a review of the various streams we trace the frontiers of current research of the broader internalization framework and identify emerging themes raised by the papers in the special issue these include transaction cost considerations in the bundling and recombination of assets across diverse contexts the growing relevance of quasi internalization the theoretical challenges of bounded rationality for internalization theory and the increasing disconnect between ownership control and responsibility these developments point to new research frontiers for scholars looking to apply or advance internalization theory

from hybrids to hierarchies shareholder wealth effects of joint venture partner buyouts this study examines the parent firm performance implications of joint venture jv partner buyouts which involve the conversion of a hybrid governance structure to an internal unit within the firm s hierarchy transaction cost theory as developed and applied in the international literature and market entry research is extended to the post entry investment setting to isolate sources of value creation or dissipation from the governance changes effected by jv partner buyouts the evidence complements recent research on jv longevity and its determinants copyright 2001 john wiley sons ltd

termination outcomes of research alliances abstract we draw upon evolutionary economics and transaction cost economics to examine how alliance experience accumulation at the parent firm level and alliance features at the transaction level jointly and interactively shape the favorability of research alliances termination outcomes fifteen percent of the terminated alliances we examined were successful 34 were failures and 51 experienced an intermediate outcome in the form of contract expiration or unilateral withdrawal by a partner we find that the effect of partner specific experience on the favorability of termination outcomes is greater for non equity alliances than for equity structures affording stronger formal governance mechanisms other forms of experience such as general alliance experience or prior alliances in the same technological area as the focal agreement have no such favorable consequences for alliance termination the findings also indicate that alliance complexity adversely influences firms termination outcomes in alliances we therefore find evidence in partial support of both evolutionary and transaction cost based arguments for the explanation of termination outcomes in research alliances

use of minority and 50 50 joint ventures by united states multinationals during the 1970s the interaction of host country policies corporate strategies this article examines geographical sectoral and corporate trends in the use of minority and 50 50 joint ventures by u s multinational manufacturing and mining firms in less developed countries ldcs during the 1970s it is based primarily on data found in the harvard multinational enterprise data base as updated through the mid 1970s and supplemented with corporate performance data for the 1975 1980 period from a new international competitive analysis ica database developed with support from the general electric foundation

r d cooperation and failures in innovation projects empirical evidence from french cis data the second french community innovation survey cis indicates that 14 of rd collaborating firms had to abandon or delay their innovation projects due to difficulties in their partnerships an outcome which we term cooperation failures controlling for sample selection on the cooperation decision our estimates show that firms collaborating with competitors and public research organizations pros especially when they are foreign are more likely to delay or stop an innovation project because of difficulties encountered in their rd partnerships more surprisingly firms collaborating with their suppliers also face a higher risk of cooperation failures at least for pros firms can reduce the risk of cooperation failures through previous experiences in partnerships larger firms and group subsidiaries are less likely to face cooperation failures and so do firms in industries with a strong appropriability regime

the stability of joint ventures reciprocity and competitive rivalry the focus of the following empirical analysis is the influence of reciprocity and long term relationships on the stability of joint ventures these cooperative incentives are offset by industry structural conditions which may promote competitive rivalry among the partners to separate these effects on joint venture survival the hypothesized relationships are proxied by variables drawn from industry and questionnaire data and estimated under a hazard model specification a theoretical implication of the findings is to suggest a shift of attention from the transaction to the economic relationship as the unit of analysis copyright 1989 by blackwell publishing ltd

do firms learn to create value the case of alliances we investigate whether firms learn to manage interfirm alliances as experience accumulates we use contract specific experience measures in a data set of over 2000 joint ventures and licensing agreements and value creation measures derived from the abnormal stock returns surrounding alliance announcements learning effects are identified from the effects of unobserved heterogeneity in alliance capabilities we find evidence of large learning effects in managing joint ventures but no such evidence for licensing contracts the effects of learning on value creation are strongest for research joint ventures and weakest for marketing joint ventures these results are consistent with the view that learning effects are more important in situations characterized by greater contractual ambiguity copyright 2000 john wiley sons ltd

incumbents use of pre entry alliances before expansion into new technical subfields of an industry industry incumbents frequently delay entry into emerging technical subfields fearing product cannibalization and uncertain investment and enter only after technical and market uncertainties have subsided we predict that many incumbents particularly stronger firms will participate in alliances with other firms before their standalone entry the alliances will be used to realize part of the value of specialized assets and to gain information about the emerging products and markets we support the predictions with evidence from the us market of the medical diagnostic imaging industry

the dynamics of learning alliances competition cooperation and relative scope we show how the tension between cooperation and competition affects the dynamics of learning alliances private benefits and common benefits differ in the incentives that they create for investment in learning the competitive aspects of alliances are most severe when a firm s ratio of private to common benefits is high we introduce a measure relative scope of a firm in an alliance to show that the opportunity set of each firm outside an alliance crucially impacts its behavior within the alliance finally we suggest why firms might deviate from the theoretically optimal behavior patterns 1998 john wiley sons ltd

the impact of sovereign risk on the market valuation of u s bank equities abstract this paper tests whether the august 1982 advent of the latin american debt crisis affected the implicit value of commercial bank loans to major latin american debtors and hence the value of equities in contrast to previous studies the analysis provides an explicit derivation of the theoretical impact of such an effect uses a more efficient pooled cross sectional time series estimating technique addresses the question of whether ex ante required returns on bank equities also were affected and compares the estimates to the behavior of the direct market for latin american bonds the results imply that the crisis did cause significant debt discounting as well as an increase in required returns however unlike the bond market most of this equity effect was delayed 6 9 months

organizational learning and diversification employing concepts of lateral and longitudinal learning we examined the dissolution of 462 expansions of dutch firms both acquisitions and new ventures we interpreted the endurance of an expansi

on the contractual governance of research collaborations allocating control and intellectual property rights in the shadow of potential termination abstract this paper investigates the governance design problem of a large company that wants to engage a small and cashless firm into a research collaboration this analysis reflects the frequently observed collaborations between pharma companies and biotechs and an actual research contract is assessed to link theory to practice the governance form refers to the allocation of control rights over the research process and property rights over research output s as determined by the initial contract yet this contract is incomplete the parties negotiate at a later stage from bargaining positions that depend on the initial choice of the governance but they also contemplate the possibility that the collaboration will be terminated by means of a simple model that captures the core aspects of the contractual environment i answer a key research question how should governance be designed in the shadow of potential termination to provide the research firm with the incentives to invest in the collaboration first it is in the company s interest to choose a governance form that eliminates the possibility of termination and stabilizes the collaboration whenever possible second if the collaboration cannot be stabilized the company faces a trade off between reducing the probability of termination and providing incentives which is ultimately resolved by making the collaboration highly unstable third property rights and control are substitutes in the governance design if the company collects more property rights it must relinquish more control rights

the penn square bank failure effect on commercial bank security returns a note abstract in this paper we apply standard event methodology to test the effect of the penn square bank failure on the daily returns of three groups of bank holding companies during the 75 day event period upstream banks which had penn square loan participations faced nearly continual declines in daily returns banks in the same economic region followed a pattern of less severe but continuously declining returns while returns for banks outside the region were not significantly affected we conclude that the market viewed the penn square failure as an isolated event which did not significantly affect banks away from regional economic influences

ownership patterns of u s joint ventures abroad and the liberalization of foreign government regulations in the 1980s evidence from the benchmark surveys data from the benchmark surveys of the commerce department show the beginning of a global liberalization in government restrictions on foreign equity in the 1980s this was manifested in a small but unmistakable across the board reduction in the share of 50 50 and minority affiliates out of all u s affiliates in a country across countries there remains a huge variation in this proportion and the second part of the paper seeks to statistically explain this variation in a cross sectional regression analysis

the reaction of bank stock prices to the international debt crisis abstract in this paper we develop a cross sectional regression approach to estimate the impact of foreign loan exposure on the pricing of u s bank stocks a new approach is required because news about foreign loan problems may arrive incremently over time rather than reaching the market on a few specific dates the way earnings and dividend announcements do consistent with this interpretation we find that foreign loan exposure had a significant impact on the pricing of u s bank stocks during the years 1982 and 1983 but that the stock prices adjusted continually over the two year period rather than jumping on a few particular days

when competition eclipses cooperation an event history analysis of joint venture failure why do so many joint ventures fail despite the fact that their success is the exception rather than the rule the literature on why joint venture performance has been so poor remains fragmentary we address this issue adopting a transaction cost economics perspective and modeling joint ventures as governance structures that blend the advantages and drawbacks of both markets and hierarchies using a data base on electronics industry ventures and event history analysis we identify several predictors of joint venture failure and test for their influences a key finding is that the presence of competition between joint venture partners outside of the agreement significantly impairs chances for the operation s chance of survival we also find clear evidence that the failure rate of joint ventures is nonmonotonic rising to a peak in the middle term and then declining finally we compare and contrast predictors of terminations due to failure to those due to acquisition of the joint venture by one of its partners our overall conclusions highlight implications for strategic choice theory building and the management of joint ventures

the bumpy road of technology partnerships understanding causes and consequences of partnership mal functioning abstract research on technological partnerships has traditionally sought explanation of their high failure rates in partner characteristics and relationship features this study introduces the notion of a bumpy road in technology partnerships which refers to undesired outcomes such as partnership mal functioning and instability to the degree to which innovation activities are hampered we explain how firm level strategies can reduce the probability of a bumpy road in partnerships we also assess the impact of this bumpy road on innovative performance we find that firms that excel in diversification of external activities in terms of different types of partners perform best moreover a persistent product oriented innovation strategy geared at developing new products new markets or higher product quality will yield more stable partnership outcomes our results confirm that engagement in partnerships is beneficial for innovative performance however firms that experienced a bumpy road in their technological partnerships have to pay a price in terms of a negative effect on their innovative performance

booming sector and de industrialisation in a small open economy this paper presents a theoretical analysis of the dutch disease the phenomenon whereby a boom in one traded goods sector squeezes porfitability in other traded goods sectors both by directly bi

learning from competing partners outcomes and durations of scale and link alliances in europe north america and asia this paper investigates the outcomes and durations of strategic alliances among competing firms using alliance outcomes as indicators of learning by partner firms we show that alliance outcomes vary systematically across link and scale alliances link alliances are interfirm partnerships to which partners contribute different capabilities while scale alliances are partnerships to which partners contribute similar capabilities we find that partners are more likely to reorganize or take over link alliances than scale alliances by contrast scale alliances are more likely to continue without material changes the two types of alliances are equally likely to shut down at similar ages these results support the view that link alliances lead to greater levels of learning and capability acquisition between the partners than do scale alliances copyright 2000 john wiley sons ltd

measuring performance of international joint ventures international joint ventures ijvs are increasing in frequency and strategic importance however efforts to identify variables associated with ijv performance have been constrained by disagreements regarding the comparability and reliability of alternative performance measures and methods this study tests several hypotheses regarding the reliability and comparability of a range of objective and subjective measures of ijv performance as well as evaluating the relative utility of different data collection approaches

environmental risks and joint venture sharing arrangements multinational enterprises mnes have responded to the open door policies of socialist countries in recent years by investing in their economies through joint ventures mnes must formulate their investment strategies to control and manage the environmental risks peculiar to a traditional centrally planned economy cpe in which contextual and transactional environments are blurred joint venture sharing arrangements may be structured to control exposures to uncertainties and to align the interests of transactional parties mostly state owned enterprises to those of the venture this study tests the hypothesis that a foreign investor s share in a joint venture in a cpe is inversely correlated with 1 the amount of uncertainties and risks and 2 the external dependency of the venture on the contextual and transactional relationships of the host country the hypothesis is supported by empirical evidence from data on american joint ventures in china

learning dynamics in research alliances a panel data analysis the aim of this paper is to empirically test the determinants of research joint ventures rjvs group dynamics we develop a model based on learning and transaction cost theories which represent the benefits and costs of rjv participation respectively according to our framework firms at each period in time weigh the benefits against the costs of being an rjv member rjv dynamics can then be interpreted as a consequence of this evolving trade off over time we look at entry turbulence and exit in rjvs that have been set up under the us national cooperative research act which allows for certain antitrust exemptions in order to stimulate firms to co operate in r d accounting for unobserved project characteristics and controlling for inter rjv interactions and industry effects the tobit panel regressions show the importance of group and time features for an rjvs evolution we further identify an average rjvs long term equilibrium size and assess its determining factors ours is a first attempt to produce robust stylized facts about co operational short and long term dynamics a neglected dimension in research co operations but an important element in understanding how collaborative learning works