banking crises and short and medium term output losses in emerging and developing countries the role of structural and policy variables summary the aim of this paper is to assess the dynamic impact of banking crises on output for a panel of developing economies using an unbalanced panel of 159 countries from 1970 to 2006 the paper shows that banking crises produce significant output losses output losses are larger for relatively richer economies characterized by a higher level of financial deepening and larger current account imbalances flexible exchange rates fiscal and monetary policy and liquidity support policies have been found to attenuate the effect of the crises

keep or return managing ordering and return policies in start up companies abstract start up companies are considered an important factor in the success of a nation s economy we are interested in the decisions for long term survival of these firms when they have considerable cash restrictions in this paper we analyse several inventory control models to manage inventory purchasing and return policies the markov decision models are formulated for both established companies that look at maximising average profit and start up companies that look at maximising their long term survival probability we contrast both objectives and present properties of the policies and the survival probabilities we find that start up companies may need to be riskier if the return price is very low but there is a period where a start up firm becomes more cautious than an established company and there is a point as it accumulates capital where it starts behaving as an established firm we compare the various models and give conditions under which their policies are equivalent

volume flexibility and capacity investment under demand uncertainty the paper considers optimal capacity investment decisions under uncertainty taking a real options approach concerning the production decision we study a flexible and an inflexible scenario the flexible firm can costlessly adjust production over time with the capacity level as the upper bound while the inflexible firm fixes production at capacity level from the moment of investment onwards we find that the flexible firm invests in higher capacity than the inflexible firm where the capacity difference increases with uncertainty for the flexible firm the initial capacity utilization rate can be quite low especially when investment costs are concave and the economic environment is uncertain as to the timing of the investment there are two contrary effects first the flexible firm has an incentive to invest earlier because flexibility raises the project value second the flexible firm has an incentive to invest later because costs are larger due to the higher capacity level the latter effect dominates in highly uncertain economic environments our model being dynamic enables us to derive the at first sight counterintuitive result that an increase in capacity holding cost raises the capacity level the firm invests in

capacity investment under postponement strategies market competition and demand uncertainty we consider duopoly models where firms make decisions on capacity production and price under demand uncertainty capacity and price decisions are made respectively ex ante and ex post demand realizations the interplay between the timings of demand realization and production decision endows firms with different capabilities flexible firms can postpone production decisions until the actual demand curve is observed but inflexible firms cannot under general demand structures and cost functions we characterize the equilibrium for a symmetric duopoly and establish the strategic equivalence of price and quantity competitions when firms are flexible we investigate the stochastic order properties of capacity and profit and show that they both increase for a flexible firm when the market is more volatile we find that flexibility allows a firm to increase investment in capacity and earn a higher profit while benefiting customers by keeping the price in a narrower range strategic equivalence implies that

what makes growth sustained abstract we identify structural breaks in economic growth in 140 countries and use these to define growth spells periods of high growth preceded by an upbreak and ending either with a downbreak or with the end of the sample growth spells tend to be shorter in african and latin american countries than elsewhere we find evidence that growth duration is positively related to the degree of equality of the income distribution democratic institutions export orientation with higher propensities to export manufactures greater openness to fdi and avoidance of exchange rate overvaluation favorable for duration and macroeconomic stability

mexico s experiments with bank privatization and liberalization 1991 2003 during the 1990s mexico conducted two experiments with its banking system in the first experiment 1991 96 it privatized the banks this experiment took place with weak institutions to enforce contract rights it also took place without institutions that encourage prudent behavior by bankers the result was reckless behavior by banks and a collapse of the banking system in the second experiment 1997 2003 mexico reformed many of the institutions that promoted bank monitoring and it opened up the industry to foreign investment it was less successful however in reforming the institutions that promote the enforcement of contract rights the result was that bankers behaved prudently but prudent behavior in the context of weak contract rights implies that banks are reluctant to extend credit to firms and households

a model for integrated analysis of generation capacity expansion and financial planning this paper discusses the need for an integrated analysis of investment and financing decisions in the context of electricity generation capacity addition planning the traditional mathematical programming model for investment planning and its potential enhancement to encompass financing decisions in a unified framework have been discussed the integrated investment finance model for a power system is formulated the model is implemented for a well known investment planning case study and the various investment financing interactions have been discussed the results indicate that the interaction of financing and investment decisions could be very significant and needs to be accounted for in capacity planning optimization exercises this is particularly relevant for utilities in a competitive environment

when credit bites back using data on 14 advanced countries between 1870 and 2008 we document two key facts of the modern business cycle relative to typical recessions financial crisis recessions are costlier and more credit intensive expansions tend to be followed by deeper recessions in financial crises or otherwise and slower recoveries we use local projection methods to condition on a broad set of macro economic controls to study how past credit accumulation impacts key macro economic variables such as output investment lending interest rates and inflation the facts that we uncover lend support to the idea that financial factors play an important role in the modern business cycle

stochastic capacity investment and flexible vs dedicated technology choice in imperfect capital markets this paper analyzes the impact of endogenous credit terms under capital market imperfections in a capacity investment setting we model a monopolist firm that decides on its technology choice flexible versus dedicated and capacity level under demand uncertainty differing from the majority of the stochastic capacity investment literature we assume that the firm is budget constrained and can relax its budget constraint by borrowing from a creditor the creditor offers technology specific loan contracts to the firm after which the firm makes its technology choice and subsequent decisions capital market imperfections impose financing frictions on the firm our analysis contributes to the capacity investment literature by extending the theory of stochastic capacity investment and flexible versus dedicated technology choice to understand the impact of capital market imperfections and by analyzing the impact of demand uncertainty variability and correlation on the operational decisions and the performance of the firm under different capital market conditions we demonstrate that the endogenous nature of credit terms in imperfect capital markets may modify or reverse conclusions concerning capacity investment and technology choice obtained under the perfect market assumption and we explain why the theory developed in this paper suggests some rules of thumb for the strategic management of the capacity and technology choice in imperfect capital markets this paper was accepted by john birge focused issue editor

the great mortgaging housing finance crises and business cycles this paper unveils a new resource for macroeconomic research a long run dataset covering disaggregated bank credit for 17 advanced economies since 1870 the new data show that the share of mortgages on banks balance sheets doubled in the course of the twentieth century driven by a sharp rise of mortgage lending to households household debt to asset ratios have risen substantially in many countries financial stability risks have been increasingly linked to real estate lending booms which are typically followed by deeper recessions and slower recoveries housing finance has come to play a central role in the modern macroeconomy

a comparison of milestone based and buyout options contracts for coordinating r d partnerships we analyze optimal contractual arrangements in a bilateral research and development r d partnership between a risk averse provider that conducts early stage research followed by a regulatory verification stage and a risk neutral client that performs late stage development activities including production distribution and marketing the problem is formulated as a sequential investment game with the client as the principal where the investments are observable but not verifiable the model captures the inherent incentive alignment problems of double sided moral hazard risk aversion and holdup we compare the efficacy of milestone based options contracts and buyout options contracts from the client s perspective and identify conditions under which they attain the first best outcome for the client we find that milestone based options contracts always attain the first best outcome for the client when the provider has some bargaining power in renegotiation and identify their applicability to different r

endogenous timing in duopoly games stackelberg or cournot equilibria abstract simultaneous versus sequential play is studied in an extended game in a preplay stage players decide whether to select actions in the basic game at the first opportunity or to wait until observing their rivals first period actions in one extended game players first decide when to select actions without committing to actions in the basic game the equilibrium has a simultaneous play subgame unless payoffs in a sequential play subgame pareto dominate those payoffs in another extended game deciding to select at the first turn requires committing to an action both sequential play outcomes are the equilibria only in undominated strategies

the impact of budget constraints on flexible vs dedicated technology choice this paper studies the flexible versus dedicated technology choice and capacity investment decisions of a multiproduct firm under demand uncertainty in the presence of budget constraints the firm operates under a capital budget for financing the capacity investment and an operating budget which is uncertain in the capacity investment stage for financing the production we investigate how the tightening of the capital budget and a lower financial flexibility in the production stage the likelihood of having a sufficient operating budget shape the optimal technology choice we find that the dominant regime is one where dedicated technology should be adopted for a larger investment cost range and thus is the best response to the tighter capital budget whereas flexible technology is the best response to lower financial flexibility we identify the key roles that the capacity intensity the ratio of unit capacity cost to total unit capacity and production cost of each technology and the pooling value

the case for restricting fiscal policy discretion this paper studies the effects of discretionary fiscal policy on output volatility and economic growth using data for 91 countries we isolate three empirical regularities 1 governments that use fiscal policy aggressively induce significant macroeconomic instability 2 the volatility of output caused by discretionary fiscal policy lowers economic growth by more than 0 8 percentage points for every percentage point increase in volatility 3 prudent use of fiscal policy is explained to a large extent by the presence of political constraints and other political and institutional variables the evidence in the paper supports arguments for constraining discretion by imposing institutional restrictions on governments as a way to reduce output volatility and increase the rate of economic growth

the effect of payment schemes on inventory decisions the role of mental accounting does the payment scheme have an effect on inventory decisions in the newsvendor problem keeping the net profit structure constant we examine three payment schemes that can be interpreted as the newsvendor s order being financed by the newsvendor herself scheme o by the supplier through delayed order payment scheme s and by the customer through advanced revenue scheme c in a laboratory study we find that inventory quantities exhibit a consistent decreasing pattern in the order of schemes o s and c with the order quantities of scheme s being close to the expected profit maximizing solution these observations are inconsistent with the expected profit maximizing model contradict what a regular or hyperbolic time discounting model would predict and cannot be explained by the loss aversion model instead they are consistent with a model that underweights the order time payments which can be explained by the prospective accounting theory in the mental accounting literature a second study shows that the results hold even if all physical payments are conducted at the same time suggesting that the framing of the payment scheme is sufficient to induce the prospective accounting behavior we further validate the robustness of our model under different profit conditions our findings contribute to the understanding of the psychological processes involved in newsvendor decisions and have implications for supply chain financing and contract design this paper was accepted by christian terwiesch operations management

aftermath of banking crises effects on real and monetary variables abstract this paper models the effects of a banking crisis and in particular distinguishes between a short term crisis such as a banking panic and a longer term crisis such as a banking insolvency using an optimizing framework it shows that depositors shift from deposits into cash in both types of crises which results in an increase in the interest rates on deposits and loans and a contraction in output and consumption however when the crisis is resolved in a finite time period there is an intertemporal substitution of consumption and consumption is postponed until the crisis is resolved this in turn results in a further decline in the demand for money availability of credit and output

what explains the speed of recovery from banking crises abstract while a large body of research has explored the causes and effects of banking crises less is known about what determines recovery from banking crises despite large variations in post crisis performances across countries in order to identify local and global factors that determine the length of recovery i e the time it takes until countries reach their pre crisis level of per capita gdp this exploratory paper employs event history analysis on 138 incidents of banking crises between 1970 and 2012 regarding domestic factors the simultaneous occurrence of currency crises large financial sectors overvalued currencies and large primary deficits are associated with later recovery whereas higher debt to gdp ratios or inflation levels do not exhibit a negative effect on post crisis performances regarding external factors a low growth of world trade as well as indicators of uncertainty in financial markets are correlated with later recovery global interest rate shocks are particularly harmful for the speed of recovery among middle income countries with a strong reliance on external capital the results are similar when using the length of recessions as an alternative indicator of post crisis performances

should start up companies be cautious inventory policies which maximise survival probabilities new start up companies which are considered to be a vital ingredient in a successful economy have a different objective than established companies they want to maximise their chance of long term survival we examine the implications for their operating decisions of this different criterion by considering an abstraction of the inventory problem faced by a start up manufacturing company the problem is modelled under two criteria as a markov decision process the characteristics of the optimal policies under the two criteria are compared it is shown that although the start up company should be more conservative in its component purchasing strategy than if it were a well established company it should not be too conservative nor is its strategy monotone in the amount of capital it has available the models are extended to allow for interest on investment and inflation

worldwide economic recoveries from financial crises through the decades abstract the profiles of economic recoveries after a financial crisis are identified through a self organizing map covering 104 countries during 1973 2017 first and surprisingly only 55 of the 276 events belong to the usual v u l classification new s shaped bounce back recoveries d oomed ones and double dip m occur in 23 18 and 4 of the cases respectively second the frequencies of profiles vary with the crisis type countries development and location and over time third unlike government spending supporting domestic credit liquidity foreign trade or else the exchange rate after the crisis may help activity bounce back

how bad are twins output costs of currency and banking crises we investigate the output effects of banking and currency crises in emerging markets focusing on whether twin crises entail especially large losses recent literature emphasizes the costs of financial crises and suggests that twin crises are particularly damaging to the real economy using a panel data set for 1975 97 we find that currency banking crises are very costly reducing output by about 5 8 8 10 over a 2 4 year period the cumulative loss of both types of crises is therefore very large we do not find however additional feedbacks or interactive effects associated with twin crises further damaging the economy

pre ipo operational and financial decisions many owners of growing privately held firms make operational and financial decisions in an effort to maximize the expected present value of the proceeds from an initial public offering ipo we ask what is the right time to make an ipo and how should operational and financial decisions be coordinated to increase the likelihood of a successful ipo financial and operational decisions in this problem are linked because adequate financial capital is crucial for operational decisions to be feasible and operational decisions affect the firm s access to financial resources the ipo event is treated as a stopping time in an infinite horizon discounted markov decision process unlike traditional stopping time models at every stage the model includes other decisions such as production sales and loan size the results include 1 characterization of an optimal capacity expansion policy 2 sufficient conditions for a monotone threshold rule to yield an optimal ipo decision and 3 algorithmic implications of results in 1 and 2

the impact of lead time on capital investments abstract we study equilibrium investment strategies of firms competing in stochastic dynamic market settings and facing two types of investment structures investment with significant lead time or time to build and investment without or minor lead time we investigate how investment behavior changes when investment is subject to time to build versus when it is not we characterize equilibrium investment strategies under several information structures and compare results to the social optimum we offer some new results the model predicts that controlling for demand and production and investment costs investments and outputs can be higher in progressive industries which often exhibit time to build than in fast paced industries where time to build is insignificant furthermore for both investment types investment with or without time to build we offer a novel equilibrium in which firms incrementally invest this behavior is driven by demand uncertainty and capacity constraints also expected outputs are lower than cournot outputs as firms face uncertainty moreover the amount of uncertainty has different effects over investment types

focusing the financial flow of supply chains an empirical investigation of financial supply chain management the objective of this paper is to establish a theoretical foundation for financial supply chain management fscm in order to strengthen managerial decisions concerning financial flows in supply chains although such decisions are made frequently and partial aspects of fscm are already understood in business practice empirical knowledge about fscm is in its early stages the study provides fundamental information derived from eight case studies based on 40 interviews the analysis extends previous studies of the interface between operations management and finance by i contributing to a mid range theory of fscm by exploring two distinct but not exclusive fscm categories their antecedents and performance effects ii empirically deriving a testable framework for fscm iii relating fscm to established theories in the field of scm and iv basing the analysis on transaction cost economics managerial insights reveal that weak working capital causes firms to focus on fscm more specifically the study identifies two fscm categories pre shipment fscm before invoice release and post shipment fscm after invoice release managers can improve upstream supply chain working capital with pre shipment fscm whereas post shipment fscm strengthens the buying firm s working capital position based on transaction cost economics we analyze how these improvements stem from risk reductions which are more effective if firms are integrated internally and externally

returns policy new model introduction and consumer welfare abstract this paper investigates how economic outcomes differ for new model introduction between two extreme contracts outright sales contract and returns policy contract with full credit under the outright sales contract we show that the retailer s incentive to introduce a new model can lead to a reduction of consumer welfare when the retailer is moderately risk averse the primary conclusion from this study is that the returns policy contract resolves this conflict between firms and consumers and that the supply chain introduces the new model only when consumer surplus from the new model is higher than that from the old model

the macroeconomic effects of fiscal rules in the us states abstract fiscal policy restrictions are often criticized for limiting the ability of governments to react to business cycle fluctuations and consequently the adoption of quantitative restrictions is viewed as inevitably leading to increased macroeconomic volatility in this paper we use data from 48 us states to investigate how budget rules affect fiscal policy outcomes our key findings are that 1 strict budgetary restrictions lead to lower policy volatility i e less aggressive use of discretion in conducting fiscal policy and 2 fiscal restrictions reduce the responsiveness of fiscal policy to output shocks these two results should have opposite effects on output volatility while less discretion should reduce volatility less responsiveness of fiscal policy might amplify business cycles we provide empirical support for the first effect restrictions by reducing discretion in fiscal policy can reduce macroeconomic volatility

inside the crisis an empirical analysis of banking systems in distress much of the substantial literature on banking crises focuses on early warning indicators the authors look at what happens to the economy and the banking sector after a banking crisis breaks out much of the theory of banking crises assigns a central role to depositor runs with vulnerability to runs viewed as a basic characteristic of banks as financial intermediaries but banking systems can be financially distressed even when depositors do not withdraw their deposits if other bank creditors rush for the exit or if banks become insolvent are contemporary banking crises characterized by large declines in deposits the authors find that contemporary banking crises are not accompanied by declines in aggregate bank deposits and credit does not fall relative to output but the growth of both deposits and credit does slow down substantially output recovery begins the second year after the crisis and is not led by a resumption of credit growth instead banks including the stronger banks reallocate their asset portfolio away from loans this suggests that protecting deposits during a banking crisis may not be enough to protect bank credit as lack of usable collateral and poor borrower creditworthiness discourage banks from lending however protecting bank credit may not be a priority right after a crisis as the real economy can rebound without it at least while there is substantial under used capacity

corporate philanthropy in the united kingdom the increasing demands placed on private welfare services and calls for business to fulfil its social responsibilities have heightened interest in corporate charitable donations in the united kingdom adjustments to the corporation tax system have been made to encourage companies to give more the article outlines the legal and fiscal background to company giving examines its magnitude and reports on a survey of company practice

corporate contributions altruistic or for profit existing literature has focused on three rationales for corporate philanthropy through the firm giving corporate statesmanship and profit motivated giving the profit motivation argument was exa

the real output losses associated with modern banking crises this study investigates the real output losses associated with modern banking crises we find a remarkable diversity of experience in a number of instances banking crises have not been associated with any significant reduction in the growth of real per capita gdp often this has been the case in mature and developed economies on the other hand estimated output losses are extremely large for some other countriesnamounting to several years of lost gdp interestingly such large losses can be associated with banking crises that were designated as non systemic our sample mean and median output loss estimates are also big for the average sample country the estimated present discounted value of crisis related output losses is bounded between 63 and 302 of real per capita gdp in the last year before the crisis onset average loss estimates are this large primarily because we find evidence that post crisis economic slowdowns often persist long after the crisis is officially over such delayed costs have been largely overlooked in previous empirical work and resultantly our loss estimates are much larger than those that have appeared elsewhere

a new database on the structure and development of the financial sector this article introduces a new database of indicators of financial structure and financial development across countries and over time the database is unique in that it combines a wide variety of indicators that measure the size activity and efficiency of financial intermediaries and markets it improves on previous efforts by presenting data on the public share of commercial banks introducing indicators of the size and activity of nonbank financial institutions and constructing measures of the size of bond and primary equity markets this article introduces a new database the first to provide comprehensive measures of the development structure and performance of the financial sector this database is the first to define and construct indicators of the size and activity of nonbank financial intermediaries such as insurance companies pension funds and non deposit money banks it is also the first to include indicators of the size of primary equity markets and primary and secondary bond markets in constructing the database authors carefully deflate measures and match stock and flow variables

imperfect duties and corporate philanthropy a kantian approach nonprofit organizations play a crucial role in society unfortunately many such organizations are chronically underfunded and struggle to meet their objectives these facts have significant implications for corporate philanthropy and kant s notion of imperfect duties under the concept of imperfect duties businesses would have wide discretion regarding which charities receive donations how much money to give and when such donations take place a perceived problem with imperfect duties is that they can lead to moral laxity that is a failure on the part of businesses to fulfill their financial obligations to nonprofit organizations this article argues the problem of moral laxity rests on a misinterpretation of kantian ethics and therefore is really not a problem at all as such we argue corporate philanthropy while an imperfect duty should be interpreted more akin to perfect duties and as a consequence moral laxity does not arise for those corporations committed to acting on the basis of the moral law more specifically firms have duty based obligations on the basis of benevolence and as good corporate citizens to help fund non profit organizations

costs of banking system instability some empirical evidence abstract this paper assesses the cross country stylised facts on empirical measures of the losses incurred during periods of banking crises we first consider the direct resolution costs to the government and then the broader costs to the welfare of the economy proxied by losses in gdp we find that the cumulative output losses incurred during crisis periods are large roughly 15 20 on average of annual gdp in contrast to previous research we also find that output losses incurred during crises in developed countries are as high or higher on average than those in emerging market economies moreover output losses during crisis periods in developed countries also appear to be significantly larger 10 15 than in neighbouring countries that did not at the time experience severe banking problems in emerging market economies by contrast banking crises appear to be costly only when accompanied by a currency crisis these results seem robust to allowing for macroeconomic conditions at the outset of crisis in particular low and declining output growth that have also contributed to future output losses during crises episodes

the strategic perils of delayed differentiation the value of delayed differentiation also known as postponement for a monopolist has been extensively studied in the operations literature we analyze the case of imperfectly competitive markets with demand uncertainty wherein the choice of supply chain configuration i e early or delayed differentiation is endogenous to the competing firms we characterize firms choices in equilibrium and analyze the effects of these choices on quantities sold profits consumer surplus and welfare we demonstrate that purely strategic considerations not previously identified in the literature play a pivotal role in determining the value of delayed differentiation in the face of either entry threats or competition these strategic effects can significantly diminish the value of delayed differentiation in fact under plausible conditions these effects dominate the traditional risk pooling benefits associated with delayed differentiation in which case early differentiation is the dominant strategy for firms even under cost parity with delayed differentiation we extend the main model to study the effects of alternate market structures asymmetric markets and inventory holdback our results in particular that for a broad range of parameter values early differentiation is a dominant strategy even under cost parity with delayed differentiation are robust to these relaxations

supply chain contract design under financial constraints and bankruptcy costs we study contract design and coordination of a supply chain with one supplier and one retailer both of which are capital constrained and in need of short term financing for their operations competitively priced bank loans are available and the failure of loan repayment leads to bankruptcy where default costs may include variable proportional to the firm s sales and fixed costs without default costs it is known that simple contracts e g revenue sharing buyback and quantity discount can coordinate and allocate profits arbitrarily in the chain with only variable default costs buyback contracts remain coordinating and equivalent to revenue sharing contracts but are pareto dominated by revenue sharing contracts when fixed default costs are present thus for general bankruptcy costs contracts without buyback terms are of most interest quantity discount contracts fail to coordinate the supply chain since a necessary condition for coordination is to proportionally reallocate debt obligations w

customer power strategic investment and the failure of leading firms why might firms be regarded as astutely managed at one point yet subsequently lose their positions of industry leadership when faced with technological change we present a model grounded in a study of the world disk drive industry that charts the process through which the demands of a firm s customers shape the allocation of resources in technological innovation a model that links theories of resource dependence and resource allocation we show that established firms led the industry in developing technologies of every sort even radical ones whenever the technologies addressed existing customers needs the same firms failed to develop simpler technologies that initially were only useful in emerging markets because impetus coalesces behind and resources are allocated to programs targeting powerful customers projects targeted at technologies for which no customers yet exist languish for lack of impetus and resources because the rate of technical progress can exceed the performance demanded in a market technologies which initially can only be used in emerging markets later can invade mainstream ones carrying entrant firms to victory over established companies

how costly are debt crises the aim of this paper is to assess the short and medium term impact of debt crises on gdp using an unbalanced panel of 154 countries from 1970 to 2008 the paper shows that debt crises produce significant and long lasting output losses reducing output by about 10 percent after 8 years the results also suggest that debt crises tend to be more detrimental than banking and currency crises the significance of the results is robust to different specifications identification and endogeneity checks and datasets

the management nexus of imperfect duty kantian views of virtuous relations reasoned discourse and due diligence a nexus of imperfect duty defined as positive commitments that have practical limits describes business behavior toward building affable and virtuous relations maintaining reasoned social discourse and performing the due diligence necessary for making knowledgeable business decisions a theory of the development and extent of the limits of these imperfect managerial duties is presented here a theory that in part explains the activities and personnel included under the firm s umbrella as a result the nexus of imperfect duty is shown to complement the perfect duty based nexus of contracts theory of the firm the existence of flexible trade offs involving these duties trade offs limited by contractual arrangements whether explicit or implicit is shown to be one of the advantages of imperfect duty for developing business relations

why stakeholder and stockholder theories are not necessarily contradictory a knightian insight the normative foundations of the investor centered model of corporate governance represented in mainstream economics by the nexus of contracts view of the firm have come under attack mainly by proponents of normative stakeholder theory we argue that the nexusof contracts view is static and limited due to its assumption of price output certainty we attempt a synthesis of the nexus of contracts and the knightian views which provides novel insights into the normative adequacy of the investor centered firm implications for scholarship and management practice follow from our discussion

game theoretic models of mixed oligopoly abstract in this paper we review various models that have been proposed for the study of mixed oligopoly that is markets in which private and public firm compete on equal basis using only market instruments

optimal financing mode selection for a capital constrained retailer under an implicit bankruptcy cost abstract in the context of the capital constrained newsvendor problem under an implicit bankruptcy cost we explore how such a cost affects a capital constrained retailer s financing mode selection decision between bank credit financing bcf and trade credit financing tcf we first study the problem in a single credit channel where the retailer can choose only one of the two financing modes we find that the retailer prefers tcf to bcf only when the tcf interest rate tcf ir is lower than a threshold and the dominant area of tcf expands with increasing bankruptcy cost we then study the problem in a dual credit channel where the retailer can choose a portfolio comprising bcf and tcf and examine two repayment sequences i e repaying bcf first and vice versa we propose two approaches to solve the problems we find that if bcf is repaid first as the tcf ir increases from zero the retailer first chooses only tcf then a portfolio comprising bcf and tcf and finally only bcf on the other hand if tcf is repaid first the retailer always chooses the single credit channel bcf or tcf if the tcf ir is not greater than a threshold or the bankruptcy cost is higher than a threshold otherwise a portfolio comprising bcf and tcf or only bcf finally we conduct numerical experiments to verify our main theoretical findings and examine the effects of the retailer s internal capital endowment on its financing mode selection decision showing that a wealthier retailer is more likely to prefer bcf to tcf

have economic fluctuations been dampened a look at evidence outside the united states abstract until recently economists of all beliefs took it for granted that the severity of economic fluctuations had decreased sharply following world war ii recent work has challenged this view this study attempts to shed light on whether there was a true reduction in the severity of economic fluctuations by examining the experience of six european countries with one exception these countries did not experience a substantial reduction in the severity of the business cycle

competition through capacity investment under asymmetric existing capacities and costs this paper discusses the way that different operational characteristics including existing capacity scale economies and production policy have an important influence on the capacity outcomes when firms compete in the market place we formulate a game theoretical model where each firm has an existing capacity and faces both fixed and variable costs in purchasing additional capacity specifically the firms simultaneously or sequentially make their expansion decisions and then simultaneously decide their production decisions with these outputs being capacity constrained we also compare our results with cases where production has to match capacity by characterizing the firms capacity and production choices in equilibrium our analysis shows that the operational factors play a crucial role in determining what happens the modeling and analysis in the paper gives insight into the way that the ability to use less production capacity than has been built will undermine the commitment value of existing capacity if a commitment to full production is not possible sinking operational costs can enable a firm to keep some preemptive advantage we also show that the existence of fixed costs can introduce cases where there are either no pure strategy equilibrium or multiple equilibria the managerial implications of our analysis are noted in the discussion our central contribution in this paper is the innovative integration of the strategic analysis of capacity expansion and well known s s policy in operations and supply chain theory

mixed oligopoly equilibria when firms objectives are endogenous abstract we study a vertically differentiated market where two firms simultaneously choose the quality and price of the good they sell and where consumers may also care for the average quality of the goods supplied firms are composed of two factions whose objectives differ one is maximizing profit while the other maximizes revenues the equilibrium concept we model called firm unanimity nash equilibrium fune corresponds to the nash equilibrium between firms when there is efficient bargaining between the two factions inside both firms we first show that such equilibria are inefficient with both firms underproviding quality we then assume that the government takes a participation in one firm which introduces a third faction bent on welfare maximization in that firm we study the characteristics of equilibria as a function of the bargaining weight of the welfare maximizing faction we show that equilibrium welfare increases with this bargaining weight especially if consumers care a lot for the average quality of the goods provided

capacity investment timing by start ups and established firms in new markets we analyze the competitive capacity investment timing decisions of both established firms and start ups entering new markets which have a high degree of demand uncertainty firms may invest in capacity early when uncertainty is high or late when uncertainty has been resolved possibly at different costs established firms choose an investment timing and capacity level to maximize expected profits whereas start ups make those choices to maximize the probability of survival when a start up competes against an established firm we find that when demand uncertainty is high and costs do not decline too severely over time the start up takes a leadership role and invests first in capacity whereas the established firm follows by contrast when two established firms compete in an otherwise identical game both firms invest late we conclude that the threat of firm failure significantly impacts the dynamics of competition involving start ups this paper was accepted by yossi aviv operations management

recovery from financial crises evidence from 100 episodes we examine the evolution of real per capita gdp around 100 systemic banking crises part of the costs of these crises owes to the protracted nature of recovery on average it takes about eight years to reach the pre crisis level of income the median is about 6 years five to six years after the onset of crisis only germany and the us out of 12 systemic cases have reached their 2007 2008 peak in real income forty three percent of the 100 episodes recorded double dips post war business cycles are not the relevant comparator for the recent crises in advanced economies

shareholder theory and kant s duty of beneficence this article draws on the moral philosophy of immanuel kant to explore whether a corporate duty of beneficence to non shareholders is consistent with the orthodox shareholder theory of the firm it examines the ethical framework of milton friedman s argument and asks whether it necessarily rules out the well being of non shareholders as a corporate objective the article examines kant s distinction between duties of right and duties of virtue the latter including the duty of beneficence and investigates their consistency with the shareholder theory the article concludes that it is possible within the ethical framework of shareholder theory for managers to pursue directly the happiness of non shareholders furthermore shareholders have a duty to hold management to account for the moral consequences of the firm s activities on non shareholding stakeholders

optimal entry timing in markets with social influence firms routinely face the challenging decision of whether to enter a new market where a firm s strong presence in an existing market has a positive influence the leverage effect on product adoption in the new market but the reciprocal social influence on the existing market is negative the backlash effect in this paper we show that a firm s optimal entry strategy in this situation cannot be characterized by the familiar now or never or now or at maturity strategies proposed in the literature we show that a strong leverage effect does not necessarily provide the justification for a firm to enter a new market and neither should a strong backlash effect necessarily deter a firm from embracing a new market the optimal strategy is predicated on a judicious trade off between the three factors of leverage backlash and patience thus an astute manager can always find the opportune time to enter the new market if she takes into account the dynamic and recursive nature of cross market interaction effects where leverage enhances the backlash but backlash weakens the leverage in a nonlinear dynamic fashion we illustrate that firms stand to benefit from explicit considerations of these effects in deciding whether and when to enter a new market furthermore we explore how the optimal time of entry into the new market relates to the time of peak sales for the existing market demonstrating that depending on the interactive effects of leverage and backlash entry could be optimal either before or after peak sales in the existing market

entry deterrence by timing rather than overinvestment in a strategic real options framework this paper examines a dynamic incumbent entrant framework with stochastic evolution of the inverse demand in which both the optimal timing of the investments and the capacity choices are explicitly considered we find that the incumbent invests earlier than the entrant and that entry deterrence is achieved through timing rather than through overinvestment this is because the incumbent invests earlier and in a smaller amount compared to a scenario without potential entry if on the other hand the size of the investment is exogenously given the investment order changes and the entrant invests before the incumbent does

price versus production postponement capacity and competition this article presents a comparative analysis of possible postponement strategies in a two stage decision model where firms make three decisions capacity investment production inventory quantity and price typically investments are made while the demand curve is uncertain the strategies differ in the timing of the operational decisions relative to the realization of uncertainty we show how competition uncertainty and the timing of operational decisions influence the strategic investment decision of the firm and its value in contrast to production postponement price postponement makes the investment and production inventory decisions relatively insensitive to uncertainty this suggests that managers can make optimal capacity decisions by deterministic reasoning if they have some price flexibility under price postponement additional postponement of production has relatively small incremental value therefore it may be worthwhile to consider flexible ex post pricing before production postponement reengineering while more postponement increases firm value it is counterintuitive that this also makes the optimal capacity decision more sensitive to uncertainty we highlight the different impact of more timely information which leads to higher investment and inventories and of reduced demand uncertainty which decreases investment and inventories our analysis suggests appropriateness conditions for simple make to stock and make to order strategies we also present technical sufficiency and uniqueness conditions under price postponement these results extend to oligopolistic and perfect competition for which pure equilibria are derived interestingly the relative value of operational postponement techniques seems to increase as the industry becomes more competitive

larger crises cost more impact of banking sector instability on output growth we propose a method for calculating the macroeconomic costs of banking crises that controls for the downward impact of recessions on banking activity in contrast to earlier research we estimate the cost of crises based on the size of banking crises the extent of a crisis is measured using banking sector aggregates the results based on our method and data from over 100 banking crises suggest that the size of a crisis matters for economic growth lower credit deposit and money growth during crises cause gdp growth to decline

aggressive tax avoidance by managers of multinational companies as a violation of their moral duty to obey the law a kantian rationale managers of multinational companies often favour an aggressive tax avoidance strategy that pushes the legal limits onto the advantage of shareholders and the disadvantage of the spirit of democratically legitimized tax laws the public and media debate whether such aggressive behaviour is immoral aggressive tax avoidance is a subset of the aggressive legal interpretations potentially observable in all fields which places little weight on the will of a democratically legitimized legislation a thorough ethical analysis based on the deontological approach of kant demonstrates that aggressive tax avoidance as a special case of operating on the edge of legal boundaries is potentially immoral applying the kantian contradiction of conception or will test shows that this maxim might not be conceived or willed as a general law of nature if all natural or legal persons aggressively interpret laws on all subjects and in every imaginable situation then central principles of the system of law we all rely upon would be severely compromised therefore aggressive tax avoidance by managers of multinational companies may violate the managers moral duty to obey not only the letter but also the intention or spirit of the law the validity of the argumentation depends critically on the formulation and interpretation of the respective maxims and on assumptions about the legal system preserving central elements of kantian philosophy the article demonstrates the complexity of a philosophical argumentation which tries to justify the moral intuitions that underpin the common negative evaluation of aggressive legal strategies in business

risk propensity and firm performance a study of the petroleum exploration industry this paper explores the differences in observed risk propensity among petroleum firms and their impact on firm performance in this work we 1 develop a decision theoretic model which measures a firm s risk propensity in the form of an implied utility function 2 investigate changes in corporate risk propensity with respect to changes in firm size and 3 examine the relationships between firms risk propensities and alternative dimensions of economic performance including ex post risk and return measures we also develop a new risk propensity measure the risk tolerance ratio rtr which controls for firm size and allows firms to be differentiated in terms of relative risk propensity the motivation for this work is managerial concerns regarding appropriate risk taking behavior and the effect of risky choice on firm performance this methodology has importance business strategy implications in that we are able to make strong inferences about causal relationships between ex ante risk taking and performance our findings are compelling in that corporate risk propensity seems to matter and that decisions about corporate risk policy have a significant impact on the petroleum firm s economic performance

asymmetric information and the new theory of the firm financial constraints and risk behavior this paper summarizes recent developments in the theory of the firm that have arisen in examining the implications of imperfect information it shows that a wide range of these models have similar implications for the likely reaction of firms to external environmental and policy changes two significant implications are 1 that firms behave as if they are risk averse individuals maximizing a utility function of terminal wealth profitability even when the risks involved are unsystematic and 2 in many circumstances because this utility function is likely to be characterized by decreasing absolute risk aversion firms are likely to respond significantly and positively to changes in cash flow and profitability together these two phenomena are able to account for a wide range of firm behaviors that have been empirically observed both formally and informally and that are difficult to explain in terms of the traditional theory of the firm furthermore the responses of such firms to policy interventions are likely to differ significantly from those of neoclassical firms this abstract was borrowed from another version of this item

saving the banks the political economy of bailouts how much leeway did governments have in designing bank bailouts and deciding on the height of intervention during the 2007 2009 financial crisis by analyzing the variety of bailouts in europe and north america we will show that the strategies governments use to cope with the instability of financial markets does not depend on economic conditions alone rather they take root in the institutional and political setting of each country and vary in particular according to the different types of business government relations banks were able to entertain with public decision makers still crony capitalism accounts overstate the role of bank lobbying with four case studies of the irish danish british and french bank bailout we show that countries with close one on one relationships between policy makers and bank management tended to develop unbalanced bailout packages while countries where banks negotiated collectively developed solutions with a greater burden sharing from private institutions

why do corporations give to charity this paper explores whether corporate contributions should be tax dedu ctible within the more general context of an examination of the profi t and utility maximization motives driving contributions the theoret ical section develops a formal structural model of the contributions process illustrates comparative statics and derives a set of empiri cally testable hypotheses using a new source of firm data the empir ical results indicate that profit maximization is an important motive driving contributions this finding supports the current tax deducti ble status of contributions up to a seldom encoun tered ceiling and favors a reform that allows firms to treat contributions as ordinary business expenses copyright 1988 by the university of chicago

a social contract account for csr as an extended model of corporate governance i rational bargaining and justification this essay seeks to give a contractarian foundation to the concept of corporate social responsibility csr meant as an extended model of corporate governance of the firm it focuses on justification according to the contractarian point of view leaving compliance and implementation problems to a related article sacconi 2004b forthcoming in the journal of business ethics it begins by providing a definition of csr as an extended model of corporate governance based on the fiduciary duties owed to all the firm s stakeholders then by establishing the basic context of incompleteness of contracts and abuse of authority it analyses how the extended view of corporate governance arises directly from criticism of the contemporary neo institutional economic theory of the firm thereafter an application of the theory of bargaining games is used to deduce the structure of a multi stakeholder firm on the basis of the idea of a constitutional contract which satisfies basic requirements of impartial justification and accordance with intuitions of social justice this is a sequential model of constitutional bargaining whereby a constitution is first chosen and then a post constitutional coalition game is played on the basis of the unique solution given to each step in the bargaining model the quest for a prescriptive theory of governance and strategic management is accomplished so that i am able to define an objective function for the firm consistent with the idea of csr finally a contractarian potential explanation for the emergence of the multi fiduciary firm is provided

bankruptcy costs and the theory of oligopoly this paper examines the relationship between financial decisions and output decisions in oligopolistic markets assuming a duopoly market structure in which financial decisions and output decisions follow in sequence the authors analyze how bankrupt cy costs which are incurred when the firm is unable to meet current debt obligations affect the firm s behavior in output markets with fixed bankruptcy costs firms have an incentive to increase output le vels if they take on more debt proportional bankruptcy costs lead to a u shaped relationship between output and debt foresighted owners of firms are led to take into account the strategic output effects of financial structure when considering an optimal financial structure for the firm

evaluating stakeholder theory this paper is the third in a series of four that is directed at understanding and assessing stakeholder theory for the purposes of business ethics it addresses the suitability and viability of the theory rejecting objections of a moral and efficiency sort based respectively on claims about property rights and the economic superiority of the alternative stockholder approach but accepting that implementation problems require limiting both the number of groupings admitted to stakeholder status and the degree of responsibility towards them the conclusion looks forward to the construction of a suitably limited version of the stakeholder approach in a fourth paper drawing upon this one and the previous two

endogenous leadership in a new market in this article i analyze strategic investment under uncertainty in a new market where firms face a tradeoff between commitment and flexibility the model predicts asymmetric equilibria under fairly general conditions even though firms are ex ante identical and have symmetric opportunities to enter the market in equilibrium one firm commits to early investment and the other firm follows a wait and see strategy in the ex post outcome firms end up with asymmetric sizes if the market profitability turns out close to or lower than expected firms end up in symmetric position if the market turns out highly profitable if uncertainty is small the model yields approximately stackelberg outcomes