market distortions and local indeterminacy a general approach we provide a methodology to study the role of market distortions on the emergence of indeterminacy and bifurcations it consists in introducing general specifications for the elasticities of the crucial functions defining the aggregate equilibrium dynamics of the model this allows us to study how market distortions influence the range of values for the elasticity of input substitution under which local indeterminacy and bifurcations occur highlighting the main channels and classes of distortions responsible for indeterminacy most of the specific market imperfections considered in the related literature are particular cases of our framework comparing them we obtain several equivalence results in terms of local dynamic properties applying this methodology to the woodford 30 framework we find that distortions in the capital market per se do not play a major role we further show that for empirically plausible values of elasticity of substitution between inputs indeterminacy requires a minimal degree of distortions this degree seems to be high under output market distortions while with labor market distortions the required degree is empirically plausible

a bayesian evaluation of an efficiency wage model with indeterminacy this paper provides a quantitative assessment of a general equilibrium economy with non walrasian labour markets indeterminacy in the economy does not require production externalities or increasin

indeterminacy and sunspots with constant returns recently there has been a renewed interest in the possibility of indeterminacy and sunspots or alternatively put in the existence of a continuum of equilibria that arises in dynamic economies with some market imperfections much of the research in this area has been concerned with the empirical plausibility of indeterminacy in markets with external effects or with monopolistic competition and which exhibit some degree of increasing returns while the early results on indeterminacy relied on relatively large increasing returns and high markups more recently benhabib and farmer 1996a showed that indeterminacy can also occur in two sector models with small sector specific external effects and very mild increasing returns

on the minimum degree of returns to scale in sunspot models of the business cycle abstract bennett and farmer j econ theory 93 2000 118 claim that the degree of increasing returns to scale required for indeterminacy in a single sector growth model can be lowered by allowing for preferences that are non separable in consumption and leisure in this paper i show that the example they give violates concavity in a more general setup which does not impose specific functional forms on utility i prove that there are no concave utility functions compatible with indeterminacy if the elasticity of scale is lower than the inverse of the labor share in production

endogenous business cycles with financial frictions this paper uncovers a series of belief shocks that drive the u s economy from both financial markets data and a financial accelerator model with self fulfiling prophecies indeterminacy in the eco

capacity utilization under increasing returns to scale abstract this paper overcomes an important objection against the empirical relevance of the benhabib farmer model as a potential account of actual business cycle fluctuations this is attributable to an elasticity effect and a returns to scale effect of capacity utilization these effects are closely related to the empirical puzzles that capital appears to play an insignificant role in explaining cyclical movements in output and that the estimated labor elasticity appears to be larger than labor s share due to these effects multiple equilibria and persistent fluctuations can easily occur in a growth model for externalities mild enough so that the aggregate labor demand curve is downward sloping analyses show that the propagation mechanism generated by capacity utilization under mild increasing returns is capable of explaining the periodic patterns of u s business cycles documented by watson journal of economic literature classification numbers e32 e22 c52

sunspots and the business cycle in a finance constrained economy abstract this paper examines the cyclical properties of a finance constrained economy populated by two classes of households with heterogeneous preferences and featuring social increasing returns to scale the model exhibits indeterminacy for externalities mild enough so that the labor demand curve is downward sloping furthermore simulation results show that endogenous fluctuations driven by expectations are quantitatively relevant in opposition to standard real business cycles and sunspot models with single type of households our finance constrained economy reveals to be able to mimic both an acyclical pattern of the real wage and strong procyclical movements of aggregate consumption journal of economic literature classification numbers e2 e32

a test for parameter homogeneity in co2panel ekc estimations this paper casts doubt on empirical results based on panel estimations of an inverted u relationship between per capita gdp and pollution using a new dataset for oecd countries on carbon dioxide emissions for the period 1960 1997 we find that the crucial assumption of homogeneity across countries is problematic decisively rejected are model specifications that feature even weaker homogeneity assumptions than are commonly used furthermore our results challenge the existence of an overall environmental kuznets curve for carbon dioxide emissions

indeterminacy and increasing returns abstract we investigate properties of the one sector growth model with increasing returns under two organizational structures capable of reconciling the existence of aggregate increasing returns with competitive behavior by firms the first involves input externalities the second involves monopolistic competition we show for parameters in close accord with recent literature on real business cycles that the model displays an indeterminate steady state that can be exploited to generate a model of business fluctuations driven by self fulfilling beliefs in our first class of models growth is generated by exogenous increases in factor productivity in the second class the marginal product of capital is large enough for endogenous growth journal of economic literature classification numbers e00 e3 o40

is there an environmental kuznets curve for deforestation abstract this paper examines the relationship between deforestation and gross domestic product gdp per capita in particular whether an inverted u relationship indicative of worsening then improving deforestation exists between them we note that previous work has used models with restrictive assumptions and recommend a more flexible random coefficients specification which allows for a greater degree of cross country heterogeneity empirical results using data for 76 developing countries between 1961 1992 suggest that the inverted u shaped relationship observed in other studies does not appear to be an empirical regularity with our less restrictive specification statistical tests indicate that this specification is supported by the data we argue that such results are not surprising in view of the wide diversity of physical and social characteristics that exist across countries

the interaction of population growth and environmental quality an important question for policy is whether holding constant per capita income and other relevant factors population pressures have a significant effect upon environmental degradation the authors examine the effect of population pressures upon deforestation in 64 developing countries in an attempt to provide relevant empirical findings data on deforestation were drawn from the food and agriculture organizations production yearbook results suggest that a relationship exists between per capita income and deforestation and that for africa rural population density shifts the relationship upward the increase in the rate of deforestation levels off as income increases the rate of growth in per capita income also has a significant negative impact upon deforestation although the magnitude of the effect is small the authors close in stressing that reducing the rate of population growth is not necessarily the best way to reduce the rate of deforestation deforestation in developing countries is really a problem of market failure since property rights are often neither defined nor enforced there is essentially no private cost of deforestation with no long term stake in the land people have no incentive to use land efficiently this situation must be addressed in conjunction with the problems of poverty and population growth

linking analyses and environmental kuznets curves for aggregated material flows in the eu abstract the relationship between economy and environmental impacts has been an essential topic in the discussion on environmental problems for a long time from the 1990s this relationship has gained a position in environmental policy as well de coupling the use of natural resources from economic growth has been set as one of the policy goals in the sixth environmental action programme by the european commission in the scientific discussion the concept of environmental kuznets curve deals closely with the de coupling or de linking phenomenon aggregated material flows on the other hand have often been considered as a macro level proxy of environmental degradation different methods or approaches have been designed for sustainability or carrying capacity evaluation as well the objective of this article is i to discuss the possibilities and limitations of using environmental and economic indicators in the sustainability analysis at the macro level ii to present a theoretical framework for the linking analysis including a classification of the degrees of de linking re linking environmental impacts from to economic growth and iii to give an empirical example by using indicators of direct material flows as a proxy of environmental degradation and by applying the framework into the european union and its 15 member countries the results show that the trend in the european union is a weak de linking of material flows from economic growth during the years 1980 2000 in other words material intensity of the economy has generally decreased due to increased efficiency but the absolute amount of material use has increased although at a lower rate of increase than economic growth on the other hand there is a quite large variation between different eu member countries however absolute decrease in the use of materials cannot be found as a continuous trend between the years 1980 and 2000 in any of the studied eu member countries

looking through the dataquadrate characterizing the human environment relationship through economic hedonic ecological and demographic measures abstract this paper introduces the concept of plotting four dimensional data in two dimensions without loss of information namely the dataquadrate concept here objects are represented as quadrates instead of points in a practical 4 axis cartesian coordinate system this procedure helps us imagine and analyze complex relations where four different non negative variables influence processes this tool is of high utility for analyzing specific human environment issues here we analyze a monetary measure gross domestic product gdp a hedonic measure subjective wellbeing a limiting measure ecological footprint and a demographic measure human population our system adds new insights to the de growth debate discussed in a journal of cleaner production special issue vol 18 2010 and systematically illuminates lots of confusing paradoxes such as the downward sloping part of the environmental kuznets curve the jevons paradox and the easterlin paradox in this paper all these phenomena are analyzed for the usa and for china in 1990 and in 2007 by utilizing such methodology when mitigating environmental problems we are not limited to negative restrictive messages but are enabled to create new strategic ways of problem solving about how to optimize the human celestial footprint the ratio of human wellbeing to human environmental load

indeterminacy home production and the business cycle a calibrated analysis abstract in this paper i present a business cycle model with one market sector that produces a standard good and another that produces a non market or home good the model can have multiple equilibria and therefore cycles driven only by self fulfilling expectations with low externalities to market production in particular an upward sloping aggregate labor demand as e g in farmer and guo j economic theory 63 1994 42 72 is not required for indeterminacy the effect of technology shocks is also studied in all cases the time series that are generated have properties that are comparable to the real us postwar series

unemployment and the business cycle abstract this paper presents a dynamic general equilibrium model where labor effort is imperfectly observable and there is unemployment in equilibrium in contrast to shirking models in the efficiency wage literature detected shirkers are not dismissed instead they face a monetary punishment because they forgo an increase in their compensation estimated versions of the model can generate the high variation in employment and low variation of real wages observed over the business cycle and are consistent with existing qualitative evidence about the responses of the economy to fiscal policy shocks

agricultural distortions in sub saharan africa trade and welfare indicators 1961 to 2004 for decades agricultural price and trade policies in sub saharan africa have hampered farmers contributions to economic growth and poverty reduction although there has been much policy reform over the past two decades the injections of agricultural development funding together with ongoing regional and global trade negotiations have brought distortionary policies under the spotlight once again a key question asked of those policies is how much are they still reducing national economic welfare and trade economy wide models are able to address that question but they are not available for many poor countries even where they are typically they apply to just one particular previous year and so are unable to provide trends in effects over time this paper provides a partial equilibrium alternative to economy wide modeling by drawing on a modification of so called trade restrictiveness indexes to provide theoretically precise indicators of the trade and welfare effects of agricultural policy distortions to producer and consumer prices over the past half century the authors generate time series of country level indexes as well as africa wide aggregates they also provide annual commodity market indexes for the region and a sense of the relative importance of the key policy instruments used

prices technology development and the rebound effect abstract energy efficiency is the critical parameter for policies that aim at reducing energy consumption while maintaining or even boosting economic growth the two main options to influence energy efficiency are changes in relative prices i e raising the price of energy through economic instruments or to introduce new technologies which increase the productivity of each unit of energy this paper is based on the notion that in an equilibrium economy the marginal economic productivity is identical for all factors i e energy labour knowledge and capital from this premise two main conclusions can be drawn first any change in price or technology will have an impact on the whole economy by creating feedbacks through the substitution of factors of production and goods as well as increased wealth second the two policy approaches changing relative prices and technology development are not opposite to each other they are the two faces of the same reality and should be developed and promoted simultaneously and consistently

searching for a kuznets curve in environmental efficiency using kernel estimation abstract the paper constructs environmental efficiency indexes for a sample consisting of high and low income countries using nonparametric production frontier techniques and then establishes an environmental kuznets relationship for environmental efficiency by nadaraya watson kernel estimation methodology

price and income elasticities of residential water demand a meta analysis this article presents a meta analysis of variations in price and income elasticities of residential water demand meta analysis constitutes an adequate tool to synthesize research results by means of an analysis of the variation in empirical estimates reported in the literature we link the variation in estimated elasticities to differences in theoretical microeconomic choice approaches differences in spatial and temporal dynamics as well as differences in research design of the underlying studies the occurrence of increasing or decreasing block rate systems turns out to be important with respect to price elasticities the use of the discrete continuous choice approach is relevant in explaining observed differences

unemployment and indeterminacy abstract using an efficiency wage model we examine the relationship between indeterminacy and unemployment insurance it is shown that the less unemployment insurance is the more likely equilibrium is to be indeterminate equilibrium can be indeterminate even without externalities or increasing returns which makes a sharp contrast to the recent literature on indeterminacy our result is based on the fact that the no shirking condition with marginal utility of wealth kept constant is downward sloping when income insurance is not perfect

water use and economic growth reconsidering the environmental kuznets curve relationship abstract predictions of national and global water use have been criticized for being inaccurate and for not taking into consideration economic development of the little research that does address water use as a function of economic development results are inconsistent but much claims to find clear evidence of an environmental kuznets curves ekc or inverted u type relationship this research attempts to elucidate the relationship between income growth and freshwater use by a evaluating a variety of cross sectional and panel datasets on water withdrawals and consumptive use b employing both traditional least squares and non parametric regression analysis the latter of which offers the advantage of not assuming a given functional form c testing both per capita and total water use and d comparing water withdrawals to consumptive use the research finds some support for the existence of an ekc but results are highly dependent on choice of datasets and statistical technique results are also sector specific and ekc curves prove to be poor indicators of individual country behavior as such the study points to limitations of ekcs in terms of water use policy and planning

the environmental kuznets curve does one size fit all abstract this paper uses a new panel data set on state level sulfur dioxide and nitrogen oxide emissions from 1929 1994 to test the appropriateness of the one size fits all reduced form regression approach commonly used in the environmental kuznets curve literature empirical results provide initial evidence that an inverted u shape characterizes the relationship between per capita emissions and per capita incomes at the state level parameter estimates suggest however that previous studies which restrict cross sections to undergo identical experiences over time may be presenting statistically biased results

real business cycles and the animal spirits hypothesis abstract we calibrate a quantitative equilibrium macroeconomic model with an aggregate technology that is subject to increasing returns and show that this model may display fluctuations at business cycle frequencies even when there are no shocks to the fundamentals of the economy these fluctuations are due to the self fulfilling beliefs of investors which we call animal spirits we compare the impulse response functions predicted by our model and by two other more standard models with a four variable vector autoregression on u s data our animal spirits economy is the most successful of the three at matching broad features of the dynamic responses in the data journal of economic literature classification numbers e00 e3 e32