the cost of market versus regulatory discipline in banking1 abstract we present evidence that insured deposit financing shields banks from the full costs of market discipline moody s downgrades indicators of increasing risk are associated with negative abnormal equity returns that are increasing in the bank s reliance on insured deposits moreover banks raise their use of insured deposits following increases in risk these findings cast doubt on the ability of capital market participants to effectively discipline bank behavior within the current regulatory environment more generally our findings highlight the potential for regulation to undermine market discipline in regulated industries

bank spread with uncertain deposit level and risk aversion abstract this paper derives a model of the banking firm under uncertainty and risk aversion the selection of the bank s optimal spread between loan and deposit rates is emphasized the model s results provide some implications for bank asset quality capital regulation and deposit insurance for example it is shown that increases in the level of equity capital tend to increase the bank s spread under dara this implies an improvement in bank asset quality on the other hand as the deposit supply function becomes more volatile the bank s spread narrows which implies a decline in the quality of the bank s assets

calculating and using second order accurate solutions of discrete time dynamic equilibrium models we describe an algorithm for calculating second order approximations to the solutions to nonlinear stochastic rational expectations models the paper also explains methods for using such an approximate solution to generate forecasts simulated time paths for the model and evaluations of expected welfare differences across different versions of a model the paper gives conditions for local validity of the approximation that allow for disturbance distributions with unbounded support and allow for non stationarity of the solution process

retail bank deposits as quasi fixed factors of production neoclassical models of the banking firm for example michael klein 1971 treat all deposit liabilities as fully variable factors of production banks then maximize profits minimize liability costs by equating the marginal costs of all liability types during each period the empirical relevance of these models is difficult to establish because binding deposit rate ceilings regulation q force bank competition for many retail deposits into implicit interest channels that are not readily measured it is therefore noteworthy that during two recent periods when deposit rate ceilings were not binding banks paid retail deposit rates considerably in excess of the rate at which they could borrow via large unregulated certificates of deposit such behavior seems inconsistent with the cost minimization prescribed by neoclassical bank models however if retail deposit accounts are interpreted as quasi fixed gary becker 1962 walter oi 1962 donald parsons 1972 sherwin rosen 1968 inputs to the banking firm these important historical observations can be reconciled with bank profit maximization this paper first describes two historical episodes during which the bank retail deposit rate exceeded the negotiable certificate of deposit rate for substantial periods of time while no profit maximizing cost minimizing bank would pay such a rate differential if retail deposit quantities are costlessly variable interpreting retail deposit accounts as quasi fixed inputs to the bank explains the peculiar rate structures a simple two period model of bank liability selection formalizes the analysis i two puzzling historical episodes

trade policy and mixed enterprises this paper demonstrates that the degree of state ownership affects neither the level of socially optimal activities nor welfare if the government chooses optimal trade policy instruments in the case of rivalry in the home market the optimal import tariff is independent of the degree of state ownership and the optimal production subsidy decreases with state ownership if the optimal tariff is positive for the case of cournot rivalry in a third market the optimal export subsidy increases with state ownership while in the case of bertrand rivalry with differentiated products the optimal export tax increases

monetary union price level convergence and inflation how close is europe to the usa abstract the pattern of price dispersion across european and us cities from 1990 to 2004 is documented there is a striking decline in dispersion for traded goods prices in europe most of which took place prior to the launch of the euro dispersion in the euro area is now quite close to that of the usa this evidence provides useful facts for future work assessing the importance of various developments in europe harmonization of tax rates convergence of incomes and labor costs liberalization of trade and factor markets and increased coherence of monetary policy

bank forward lending in alternative funding environments this paper examines the effects of loan commitments on bank lending behavior in both deposit funding and liability management environments assuming that the bank lends exclusively under commitments and that the number of commitments exercised is uncertain the bank must choose its supply of commitments given this choice the bank becomes a passive lender to commitment holders our focus on forward credit markets sheds new light on the private bankers assertion that they do not directly determine their level of lending but merely accommodate the credit needs of their customers similarly the central banker s claimed inability to control monetary aggregates in the short run becomes understandable in a new context it is shown that the advent of liability management will reduce the volume of loan commitments and the expected size of the bank and of the banking system it is also shown that increased uncertainty regarding borrower takedown behavior diminishes the volume of commitments expected bank and banking system size

a test of the law of one price in retail banking this paper investigates the level and the determinants of retail banking interest rate differences among spanish banks in the period 1989 2003 we find that the interest rates of twenty five different bank loan and deposit products adjust rather rapidly to their long term values in response to external shocks as the relative version of the law of one price predicts but the evidence runs contrary to the absolute version of the law credit risk premium part of the marginal cost of the loans granted by a particular bank is an important source of interest rate dispersion across banks and loan products both before and after spain joined the euro zone therefore differences in credit risk policies across banks must be taken into account when forming expectations about european retail banking integration

product market competition and managerial slack this article analyzes the effect of product market competition on managerial incentives in contrast to hart 1983a i show that competition may actually exacerbate the incentive problem the difference in results derives from our different assumptions about managerial preferences the importance of assumptions about preferences suggests that we do not yet understand the precise mechanism through which competition affects incentives

exchange rate pass through exchange rate volatility and exchange rate disconnect abstract this paper explores the hypothesis that high volatility of real and nominal exchange rates may be due to the fact that local currency pricing eliminates the pass through from changes in exchange rates to consumer prices exchange rates may be highly volatile because in a sense they have little effect on macroeconomic variables the paper shows the ingredients necessary to construct such an explanation for exchange rate volatility in addition to the presence of local currency pricing we need a incomplete international financial markets b a structure of international pricing and product distribution such that wealth effects of exchange rate changes are minimized and c stochastic deviations from uncovered interest rate parity together it is shown that these elements can produce exchange rate volatility that is much higher than shocks to economic fundamentals and disconnected from the rest of the economy in the sense that the volatility of all other macroeconomic aggregates are of the same order as that of fundamentals

stabilization policy and the costs of dollarization this paper compares the welfare costs of business cycles in a dollarized economy to those associated with several alternative monetary regimes belonging to three broad families interest rate feedback rules inflation targeting and money growth rate rules the analysis is conducted within an optimizing model of a small open economy with sticky prices the model is calibrated to the mexican economy and is driven by 3external shocks terms of trade world interest rate and import price inflation we show econometrically that these shocks explain more than 75 of the observed forecasting error variance of mexican output and the mexican real exchange rate at 4 to 16 quarter horizons the welfare comparisons suggest that dollarization is the least successful of the monetary policy rules considered agents are willing to give up more than 2 of their non stochastic steady state consumption to see a policy other than dollarization implemented

how do banks respond to shocks a dynamic model of deposit taking institutions abstract this paper proposes a dynamic model of the optimal choices of a bank that benefits from market power and takes into account the impact of the deposit generation process interbank lending borrowing emerges as a buffer that assists the bank in smoothing intertemporal adjustments in interdependent loan and deposit choices the bank smooths the impact of interest rates shocks on its customers to minimize the adjustments over time of the stocks of deposits and loans it does not however provide insurance against negative shocks of real origin that increase its expected default costs the predictions of the model help to shed light on the available empirical evidence and to analyze some recent developments of the banking industry

monetary policy choices in emerging market economies the case of high productivity growth we develop a general equilibrium model of an emerging market economy where productivity growth differentials between tradable and non tradable sectors result in an equilibrium appreciation of the real exchange rate the so called balassa samuelson effect the paper explores the dynamic properties of this economy and the welfare implications of alternative policy rules we show that the real exchange rate appreciation limits the range of policy rules that with a given probability keep inflation and exchange rate within predetermined numerical targets we also find that the b s effect raises by an order of magnitude the welfare loss associated with policy rules that prescribe active exchange rate management

price stability in open economies this paper studies the conditions under which price stability is the optimal policy in a two country open economy model with imperfect competition and price stickiness special conditions on the levels of country specific distortionary taxation and the intratemporal and intertemporal elasticities of substitution need to be satisfied these restrictions apply to both cooperative and non cooperative settings most importantly we show that cooperative and non cooperative solutions do not coincide despite market completeness and producer currency pricing in this framework our analysis suggests a role for international policy coordination

a note on the risk adjusted price concentration relationship in banking abstract price concentration studies in banking typically find a significant and negative relationship between consumer deposit rates i e prices and market concentration this implies highly concentrated banking markets are bad for depositors it also provides support for the structure conduct performance hypothesis and rejects the efficient structure hypothesis however these studies have focused almost exclusively on supply side control variables and neglected demand side variables when estimating the reduced form price concentration relationship for example previous studies have not included in their analysis bank specific risk variables as measures of cross sectional derived deposit demand we find that when bank specific risk variables are included in the analysis the magnitude of the relationship between deposit rates and market concentration decreases by over 50 we offer an explanation for these results based on the correlation between a bank s risk profile and the structure of the market in which it operates these results suggest that it may be necessary to reconsider the well established assumption that higher market concentration necessarily leads to anticompetitive deposit pricing behavior by commercial banks this has direct implications for the antitrust evaluations of bank merger and acquisition proposals by regulatory agencies and in a more general sense these results suggest that any structure conduct performance based study that does not explicitly consider the possibility of very different risk profiles of the firms analyzed may indeed miss a very important set of explanatory variables and thus the results from those studies may be spurious

market evidence on the effective maturity of bank assets and liabilities the recent years increase in interest rate volatility has intensified concern over the exposure of commercial banks to interest rate or funding risk since the effect of interest rate changes on the equity value of a bank depends on the maturity or duration of the bank s assets and liabilities assessing an individual bank s interest rate risk exposure requires information about the maturity composition of its portfolio it is difficult however to assess a bank s risk exposure from balance sheet data because several important asset and liability items have theoretically ambiguous effective maturities in a frictionless market a security s effective maturity will equal its stated maturity or time to repricing with market imperfections e g depositors transaction or information costs however the equilibrium cost of some deposit items may respond sluggishly or incompletely to market rate changes see hester and pierce 1975 or flannery 1982 such liabilities market values discounted at market rates would therefore fluctuate with the level of interest rates these liabilities are sometimes called core deposits which manifest sticky responses to market rate changes we define an asset or liability s effective maturity as the maturity of a fixed rate perfectly elastically supplied security with the same market value elasticity as the bank balance sheet item under consideration naturally a balance sheet item s effective maturity is the relevant determinant of its contribution to the bank s overall interest rate risk sensitivity

accounting for the east asian crisis a quantitative model of capital outflows in small open economies to what degree can the qualitative and quantitative aspects of the east asian crisis be accounted for within a dynamic general equilibrium model this paper investigates that question using a framework in which the crisis itself is modeled as an exogenous shock to the country risk premium this exercise has empirical discipline because the scale of the shock can be measured by the movement in the reported risk premium we calibrate a quantitative sticky price dynamic general equilibrium model of a small open economy to match the features of three east asian economies thailand korea and malaysia we identify a shock to the country risk premium using published data from international bond markets and identify shortrun monetary policy using observed domestic interest rates we find that the modeled response to the observed increase in external interest rates substantially matches macroeconomic data on prices and quantities at the aggregate and sectoral level however the model has more difficulty explaining the large exchange rate devaluations that occurred in those economies

profit efficiency for spanish savings banks abstract frontier profit efficiency is examined for spanish savings banks over 1986 1991 a period in which the spanish banking has seen considerable deregulation in spain the standard assumption that firms operate in a perfectly competitive output market is unlikely to be met thus we use an alternative profit function specification which allows for market power in the output market profit efficiency is determined using the thick frontier approach and estimated using both alternative and standard profit function specifications to illustrate the effect of different assumptions regarding the competitiveness of the output market estimation of the alternative profit function suggests that the profit inefficiency of spanish savings banks which averaged 28 fell by forty percent between 1986 to 1991 the standard profit function which we believe yields less reliable results generated greater average inefficiency there was no significant shift up or down in the profit frontier itself

new directions for stochastic open economy models the paper develops a simple stochastic new open economy macroeconomic model based on sticky nominal wages explicit solution of the wage setting problem under uncertainty allows one to analyze the effects of the monetary regime on welfare expected output and the expected terms of trade despite the potential interplay between imperfections due to sticky wages and monopoly the optimal monetary policy rule has a closed form solution to motivate our model we show that observed correlations between terms of trade and exchange rates are more consistent with our traditional assumptions about nominal rigidities than with a popular alternative based on local currency pricing 2000 elsevier science b v all rights reserved

classifying exchange rate regimes deeds vs words abstract most of the empirical literature on exchange rate regimes uses the imf de jure classification based on the regime announced by the governments despite the recognized inconsistencies between reported and actual policies in many cases to address this problem we construct a de facto classification based on data on exchange rates and international reserves from all imf reporting countries over the period 1974 2000 which we believe provides a meaningful alternative for future empirical work on the topic the classification sheds new light on several stylized facts previously reported in the literature in particular we find that the de facto pegs have remained stable throughout the last decade although an increasing number of them shy away from an explicit commitment to a fixed regime hidden pegs we confirm the hollowing out hypothesis but show that it does not apply to countries with limited access to capital markets we also find that pure floats are associated with only relatively minor nominal exchange rate volatility and that the recent increase in the number of de jure floats goes hand in hand with an increase in the number of de facto dirty floats fear of floating

the value of risk measuring the service output of u s commercial banks rather than charging direct fees banks often charge implicitly for their services via interest spreads as a result much of bank output has to be estimated indirectly in contrast to current statistical practice dynamic optimizing models of banks argue that compensation for bearing systematic risk is not part of bank output we apply these models and find that between 1997 and 2007 in the u s national accounts on average bank output is overestimated by 21 percent and gdp is overestimated by 0 3 percent moreover compared with current methods our new estimates imply more plausible estimates of the share of capital in income and the return on fixed capital

a study on long run inefficiency levels of a panel dynamic cost frontier under the framework of forward looking rational expectations abstract this paper aims to provide a theoretical underpinning of the dynamic efficiency model pioneered by ahn s c good d h sickles r c 2000 estimation of long run inefficiency levels a dynamic frontier approach econometric reviews 19 461 492 in the context of a quadratic loss function this paper formulates a multi period forward looking rational expectations model on the evolution of the technical inefficiency level which correctly produces a dynamic panel data model the model is illustrated using panel data of 112 french banks encouraging evidence of superiority in favor of the model is reached substantial cost inefficiency prevails in this industry where the constituent banks are characterized as having volatile adjustment speeds toward their long run steady states the sample banks exhibit increasing returns to scale and product mix economies

the banking industry under uncertain monetary policy abstract the optimal loan decisions of banks are shown to be dependent on the banks rational forecast of the future federal funds rate which in turn is related to the policy rule used by the fed consequently a change in the policy of the fed will alter the reduced form model of the banking industry this result brings into question the fed s ability to predict and control the money stock under the procedure adopted by the fed between october 1979 and september 1982

banks as multioutput oligopolies an empirical evaluation of the retail and corporate banking markets the distinction between retail and corporate banking markets is of much importance in real life banking organizations the two markets differ with respect to concentration the importance of informational asymmetries and the extent of customer mobility within a standard conjectural variation model estimated on cost efficient banks as well as on the full sample of banks the authors empirically characterize the strategic behavior in each of these markets and also focus on cross market interactions to see whether initial moves in one market affect the equilibrium in the other market they compare their findings to the predictions that would follow from merely considering concentration ratios such as the herfindahl index

changes in uk monetary policy rules and discretion in practice abstract in october 1992 following sterling s departure from the exchange rate mechanism britain adopted a new framework for monetary policy that comprised two components first an explicit target for inflation and second institutional changes designed to give greater influence to the bank of england by increasing the transparency and openness of the process by which interest rates are set this paper analyses those changes from the perspective of the debate on rules versus discretion and argues that an appropriate design of institutional arrangements can provide incentives for central bankers to pursue the first best state contingent monetary policy

economies of superscale in commercial banking most previous studies of scale economies in banking have excluded banks larger than 1 billion in assets thus study by contrast estimates cost functions for the 100 largest us commercial banks hedonic terms are incorporated to correct for the aggregated nature of the call report data available for these banks in addition we attempt to quantify the cost benefit of diversification in the model we estimate efficient bank scale to range from 15 billion to 37 billion in total assets a thousandfold increase over some previous findings these results are supported by comparison of actual average costs as well as by casual historical observation and the level of widespread concern over interstate banking our findings suggest some cost incentive or benefit to expansion or consolidation among large regional banks including interstate expansion or consolidation

inflation targeting some extensions previous analyses of the implementation of inflation targeting are extended to monetary policy responses to different shocks consequences of model uncertainty and effects of interest rate smoothing and stabilization model uncertainty output stabilization and interest rate stabilization or smoothing all call for a more gradual adjustment of the conditional inflation forecast toward the inflation target the conditional inflation forecast is the natural intermediate target during inflation targeting the optimal way of reacting to shocks is hence to check how they affect the inflation forecast and then take the appropriate action jel classification e42 e52 e58

the organizational cost of protection abstract this paper offers another explanation for the proposition that protection induces slack it employs a model of a hierarchic firm in which the firm s owner cannot observe the cost type or the effort level of his manager a production subsidy by stimulating output may increase the marginal information rents that have to be paid to the manager for higher effort the resulting increase in the firm s marginal cost of effort leads to reduced managerial effort amplifying the intra firm effort distortion if effort is initially below the optimal level and yielding an organizational cost of protection additional to the standard deadweight cost

to innovate or not to innovate incentives and innovation in hierarchies hierarchical organizations often perform poorly in inducing the adoption of innovations the authors examine a principal offering contracts to agents who make unobservable effort and adoption of innovation choices yielding moral hazard who occupy jobs of differing unobserved productivities yielding adverse selection and who engage in a repeated relationship with the principal causing a ratchet effect to arise increasing the rate of adoption of an innovation in such an organization causes the incentive costs of adoption to increase at an increasing rate relatively low rates of adoption may then be a response to the prohibitive incentive costs of higher adoption rates copyright 1990 by american economic association

dynamic monetary control and interest rate stabilization abstract interest rate stabilization results in an instrument shortage that complicates monetary control by introducing strategic considerations into the trading desk s decision problem the paper demonstrates that when expected future open market operations influence current bank and depositor behavior an instrument shortage is necessary and sufficient for the commitment policy to be time inconsistent and for the discretionary policy to be suboptimal i e worse than the commitment policy the moving average component of the commitment policy is of higher order than the discretionary policy under either regime the expected value of the representative bank is increasing in the trading desk s emphasis on interest rate stability

imperfect competition in bank retail markets deposit and loan rate dynamics and incomplete pass through this paper examines determinants of pass through from the market interest rate to bank retail deposit and loan rates a dynamic adjustment cost model with imperfect competition implies that these rates depend on own lagged values and on lagged current and expected future values of the security rate greater competition in retail markets reduces the impact of lagged and expected rates on current retail rates while raising the effect of the current security rate yielding greater pass through these results have important implications for both the specifications used in empirical work and biases introduced into estimates of pass through effects

the exchange rate in a dynamic optimizing business cycle model with nominal rigidities a quantitative investigation this paper studies a quantitative dynamic optimizing business cycle model of a small open economy with staggered price and wage setting the model exhibits exchange rate overshooting in response to money supply shocks the predicted variability of the nominal and especially of the real exchange rate is noticeably higher than in standard real business cycle models with flexible prices and wages a positive domestic money supply shock is predicted to lower the domestic interest rate raise gdp and trigger a depreciation of both the nominal and real exchange rate increases in domestic productivity and in the world interest rate are also predicted to induce a nominal and real exchange rate depreciation 2001 elsevier science b v all rights reserved

comment on what drives bank competition some international evidence the question of bank competition is vitally important for a number of reasons the essential role of bank credit and other financial services as an input in the production of most other goods and services places banks in a unique and influential position such that any allocative inefficiency or other market distortions in banking are almost certain to be felt throughout the economy moreover recent history has provided numerous instances where the textbook paradigm of atomistic competition has proven inadequate as a policy guide for efficient banking either because there are simply too few banks to rely on sheer numbers as a guarantee of vigorous competition as in canada or because of evidence that there can be such a thing as too much competition in banking as suggested by several studies or because of instances where nearly competitive pricing has been observed in markets containing only one or two banks or because conversely substantially noncompetitive pricing has sometimes been deduced in banking products such as credit cardswith thousands of suppliers thus the study of bank competition remains an urgent field of research claessens and laeven 2004 this issue of jmcb make two key contributions here first they extend a proven empirical method to an unprecedentedly large and varied crosscountry sample second they offer the logical and policy relevant additional step of seeking to identify factors associated with variations in measured conduct this step is needed to assess the empirical validity of the traditional structure conductperformance paradigm in their sample and is especially important where that paradigm is found lacking as a predictor of bank conduct indeed although the authors

does organizational form impact pricing asymmetry evidence from nonprofit financial institutions why output prices tend to rise faster in response to input cost increases than they fall in response to input cost decreases is a hotly debated issue in modern economics in this article i contribute to this asymmetric pricing debate by expanding the domain of organizational forms where this question has been investigated more specifically previous research has focused on for profit firms i expand the investigation by focusing on nonprofit organizations credit unions are the nonprofit organization used in my analysis credit unions provide essentially identical types of consumer financial services and products as commercial banks but do so from a very different not for profit orientation however in this study i document similar asymmetric rate setting behavior by credit unions this suggests that pricing asymmetry is likely to be much more widespread as it relates to nonprofit institutions as well as those in the for profit sector

interpreting real exchange rate movements in transition countries abstract real exchange rate movements in the transition economies during the initial transition period were unusually large by the standards of other economies and periods using cross sectional evidence this paper documents how real exchange rates were generally misaligned at the onset of the transition and how most of this misalignment was eliminated over a relatively short period turning to the time series dimension the paper shows that estimates from a consensus type single equation model of the real exchange rate are well behaved and provide a good fit for exchange rate movements in the early transition period the results highlight the role of productivity driven real exchange rate movements that can be interpreted as reflecting both the impact of the structural transformation process on productivity in the tradables sector per se and the effects of changes in tradables versus non tradables productivity furthermore the results show that the relationship between productivity and real exchange rates holds both when productivity is increasing and when it is falling

exchange rates and monetary policy in emerging market economies this paper investigates the effects of exchange rate regimes and alternative monetary policy rules for an emerging market economy that is subject to a volatile external environment in the form of shocks to world interest rates and the terms of trade in particular we highlight the impact of financial frictions and the degree of exchange rate pass through in determining the relative performance of alternative regimes in stabilizing the economy in the face of external shocks our results are quite sharp when exchange rate pass through is high a policy of non traded goods inflation targeting does best in stabilizing the economy and is better in welfare terms when exchange rate pass through is low however a policy of strict cpi inflation targeting is better in all cases a fixed exchange rate is undesirable in addition financial frictions have no implications for the ranking of alternative policy rules

using cost observation to regulate firms the paper emphasizes the use of accounting data in regulatory or procurement contracts when the supplier 1 has superior information about the cost of the project and 2 invests in cost reduction the main result states that under risk neutrality the supplier announces an expected cost and is given an incentive contract linear in cost overruns this optimal contract moves toward a fixed price contract as the announced cost decreases an investment choice is then introduced and the use of a rate of return regulation is studied

bank size collateral and net purchase behavior in the federal funds market empirical evidence differences between large and small banks net purchase behavior in the uncollaterized federal funds and collateralized repurchase agreements markets are documented the larger a bank s asset size the larger ceteris paribus its federal funds purchases the threshold asset size is in the region of 1 billion to 2 5 billion for any size class banks located in major banking centers are more likely to be net federal funds purchasers than are banks located outside money centers in the collateralized repurchases agreements market there appears to be no size of locational discrimination indeed the smallest banks are the largest net purchasers as a fraction of assets of funds on the repurchases agreements market copyright 1989 by the university of chicago

short run cost inefficiency of commercial banks a flexible stochastic frontier approach we adopt the intermediation approach and use a flexible stochastic frontier to examine the cost efficiency of united states commercial banks with total assets in excess of million we find an average overall inefficiency of just under 10 percent a level somewhat lower than found in previous work our analysis of intra industry variation concludes that inefficiency generally rises with bank size further banks that have branching networks either domestic or foreign have higher inefficiency on average but at the same time inefficiency falls as the number of offices in the branch network expands state level data on the ease of serviceing the market competition from savings institutions and the financial sophistication of depositors significantly affect bank inefficiency generally with the expected signs finally our findings suggest that regulatory changes that increase capital requirements may lead to increased bank efficiency in the short run copyright 1994 by ohio state university press

a computational approach to the optimal structure of bank input prices abstract most bank deposits contain an embedded option which permits the depositor to withdraw funds at will demand deposits generally allow costless withdrawal while time deposits often require payment of an early withdrawal penalty managing the risk that depositors will exercise their withdrawal option is an important aspect of input pricing this paper acknowledges the threat of deposit withdrawal and then solves for the optimal structure of bank deposit rates

central bank secrecy interest rates and monetary control we construct a dynamic rational expectations model of the federal funds and deposit market that provides a rationale for central bank secrecy about current monetary aggregate objectives in this analysis the trading desk values secrecy because it reduces the influence of monetary control policy on interest rates we then examine actual u s experience with monetary control and determine that the reserve bias predicted by the model is present in the data from 1978 to 1985 finally we demonstrate that central bank secrecy may not lower the value of commercial banks

financial flexibility and the cost of external finance for u s bank holding companies this paper models a bank with access to two segmented capital markets the market for insured deposits and the market for uninsured claims we illustrate how higher costs of accessing either market leads to lower firm values and a greater incentive to carry liquid assets we test our model on a sample of large banking firms and label banks with relatively lower costs of accessing the two markets as more financially flexible our two key findings are 1 banks with greater financial flexibility have greater value and 2 banks with greater financial flexibility devote a smaller percentage of assets to cash and marketable securities consistent with the notion that financial flexibility reduces the sensitivity of firm profits to internal wealth shocks thus reducing the firm s need to carry financial slack

monetary rules for small open emerging economies abstract this paper develops a variant of the imf s global economic model suitable to analyze macroeconomic dynamics in open economies and uses it to assess the effectiveness of taylor rules and inflation forecast based ifb rules in stabilizing variability in output and inflation our findings suggest that a simple ifb rule that does not rely upon any direct estimates of the equilibrium real interest rate and places a relatively high weight on the inflation forecast may perform better in small open economies than conventional taylor rules

financial consumption and the cost of finance measuring financial efficiency in europe 1950 2007 this paper proposes to assess financial intermediation efficiency in germany france the uk and europe more broadly over the past 60 years i rely on philippon s 2012 methodology which calculates the unit cost of financial intermediation through the ratio of financial consumption measured by financial income to financial output approximated by the sum of outstanding assets intermediated the contribution of this paper is threefold first because financial industry va ignores banks capital income capital gains dividends and interest on securities it is an imperfect measure of the consumption of financial intermediation so long as capital income generates wages and profits to financial intermediaries it is akin to an implicit consumption of financial services using banking income instead of banking va to measure the consumption of banking services i show that the gdp share of finance has increased continuously in germany france the uk and europe as a whole second the unit cost of financial intermediation increased over the past 40 years except in france where overall it stagnated in addition the european unit cost matches the us unit cost calculated by philippon 2012 finally because financial intermediaries deal with nominal stocks and ows and because the unit cost increases during periods of monetary troubles i focus here on nominal rates of interest to explain the evolution of unit cost i show that a rise in nominal rates of interest increases the spread of bank interest so that 1970s and 1980s high unit costs are statistically explained by increases in short term interest rates on the other hand post 1990s high unit cost seems to coincide with the development of new market based activities

retail bank deposit pricing an intertemporal asset pricing approach fundamentally spreads between market and deposit interest rates increase when interest rates rise and decline when rates fall recent empirical studies have found this phenomenon to be related to market concentration static equilibrium models are poorly equipped to explain this behavior in this paper the author applies an intertemporal asset pricing model incorporating bank deposits as a form of money in order to analyze the pricing behavior of a banking sector exercising market power his results extend the theoretical literature on deposit pricing and provide some insights into the behavior of interest rate spreads through time copyright 1995 by ohio state university press

monetary policy in a low pass through environment in a dynamic new keynesian optimizing model we introduce incomplete exchange rate pass through on import prices three results stand out first unlike canonical models with perfect pass through which emphasize a type of isomorphism incomplete pass through renders the analysis of monetary policy of an open economy fundamentally different from the one of a closed economy second productivity driven deviations from the law of one price assume the interpretation of endogenous cost push shocks third the optimal commitment policy relative to discretion entails a smoothing of the deviations from the law of one price and requires more stable nominal and real exchange rates

liability management of financial intermediaries in a dynamic and uncertain perspective this paper examines the effect of rate uncertainty first for the loan rate alone next for both asset and liability rates on the liability funding decisions of a risk neutral intermediary in this model a la pindyck rates evolve according to stochastic processes convex adjustment costs arise from the dichotomy of existing core deposits and new savings balances and the intermediary s cash flow is embedded into capital market theory then we show that the stationary equilibrium obtains at the intersection of the locus of no change in deposit holdings with the isocline of zero change in savings balances loan rate uncertainty alone shifts the savings isocline outward when marginal adjustment costs are rising at an increasing rate but when asset and liability rates are uncertain their impact on the mean intermediation spread core deposit holdings and adjustment costs depends on whether they are correlated or not

does exchange rate control improve inflation targeting in emerging economies abstract we investigate the role of exchange rates in inflation targeting emerging economies we give strong evidence that hybrid inflation targeting frameworks where exchange rate is managed deliver a stronger nominal anchor as they show better resistance to the 2007 2008 inflation shock

ownership structure institutional organization and measured x efficiency efficiency measurement has become a very popular field in applied economics in recent years and with this interest there has been a large intellectual investment in refining the empirical methods available to researchers in the area in this paper we relate these developments to harvey leibenstein s original 1966 insight into the psychological ideas underlying the notion that economic agents may not achieve maximal efficiency in their productive decisions and behavior of course it is always possible to argue that apparent inefficiency only arises from a failure of the observer to realize what it is that is being maximized however we shall evade this easy escape route into nonfalsifiable hypothesizing and instead shall take at face value the fact that too many empirical studies have come up with substantial measures of inefficiency for us to ignore its importance for normative economics