measuring program impacts on earnings and employment do unemployment insurance wage reports from employers agree with surveys of individuals this article attempts to determine whether wage records reported by employers to state unemployment insurance ui agencies provide a valid alternative to more costly retrospective sample surveys o

new venture survival ignorance external shocks and risk reduction strategies abstract although scholars have long recognized the increased mortality risk that new ventures face in terms of a liability of newness most of the discussion around this risk has been in terms of the contextual constraints that new ventures face and the difficulties that managers have in overcoming them this emphasis is in part a reflection of the perils of newness but also stems from the retrospective and aggregate perspective taken by researchers although the macro level perspective of new venture mortality has made a significant contribution to our knowledge of mortality risk patterns there has been little interest in identifying how venture managers can address the risks that all new organizations face we argue that in order to make progress in explaining new venture survival a theoretical model is required that uses a more micro level perspective to explain new venture failure and the flip side new venture survival in this paper we develop such a model we establish a definition of mortality risk and argue that the liability of newness is largely dependent on the degree of novelty ignorance associated with a new venture novelty is viewed in three different dimensions viz to the market to the technology of production and to management novelty to the market concerns the degree to which the customers are uncertain about the new venture novelty in production concerns the extent to which the production technology used by the new venture is similar to the technologies in which the production team has experience and knowledge novelty to management concerns the entrepreneurial team s lack of business skills industry specific information and start up experience we argue that mortality risk increases with the degree of novelty in each dimension and with the number of dimensions in which the new venture is novel we propose that the decline in mortality risk occurs as the venture s novelty in each of the three dimensions is eroded by information search and dissemination processes this allows the new firm to become an established business and explains what we term the evolutionary path of mortality novelty and risk decline monotonically after a period of adolescence as ignorance decays over time due to passive learning we also propose that there is a strategic mortality risk path that reflects the impact of positive and negative shocks shocks are exogenous events that alter the overall degree of novelty at a point in time positive shocks decrease overall novelty while negative shocks increase overall novelty and reversals endogenous actions that increase the overall novelty of the new venture at a point in time on the mortality risk of a new venture if the incidence and effects of these disruptions can be managed then venture managers may be able to mitigate the mortality risk for their venture we argue that risk reduction strategies can be employed most of which impact on one or more of the dimensions of mortality risk in order to increase the firm s chances of survival a series of risk reduction strategies are proposed and their impact on the determinants of mortality risk is considered

labor market returns to two and four year college the paper examines labor market returns to a two and four year college education analysis of the 1972 national longitudinal survey of youth observation that the average person who attended a two year college earned about 10 percent more than those without any college education comparison with the wages of those who attended a four year college education

the role of application assistance and information in college decisions results from the h r block fafsa experiment growing concerns about low awareness and take up rates for government support programs like college financial aid have spurred calls to simplify the application process and enhance visibility we present results from a randomized field experiment in which low income individuals receiving tax preparation help were also offered immediate assistance and a streamlined process to complete the free application for federal student aid fafsa for themselves or their children treated participants were also provided with aid estimates that were compared against tuition cost amounts for nearby colleges the combined assistance and information treatment substantially increased fafsa submissions and ultimately the likelihood of college attendance persistence and aid receipt in particular high school seniors whose parents received the treatment were 8 percentage points more likely to have completed two years of college going from 28 to 36 during the first three years following the experiment families who received aid information but no assistance with the fafsa did not experience improved outcomes the findings suggest many other opportunities for using personal assistance to increase participation in programs that require filling out forms to become eligible jel codes i2 h4 j24 copyright 2012 oxford university press

government r d subsidies as a signal for private investors abstract government subsidies for r d are intended to promote projects with high returns to society but too little private returns to be beneficial for private investors this may be caused by spillovers or a low appropriability rate apart from the direct funding of these projects government grants may serve as a signal for good investments for private investors we use a simple signaling model with different types of r d projects to capture this phenomenon the agency has a preference for basic research projects as they promise high expected social returns while banks prefer applied research projects with high private returns in a setup where the subsidy can only be used to distinguish between basic and applied research projects government agency s signal is not very helpful for banks however if the subsidy is accompanied by a quality signal it can lead to increased or better selected private investments

trade offs in the investment decisons of european venture capitalists abstract previous studies of venture capital investment criteria which have tended to utilize traditional likert scaled survey methods have produced some general findings which indicate that the human factor is of utmost importance however virtually all of these studies have been undertaken with u s based venture capitalists in addition the studies have generally been exploratory and have assumed a single hierarchy of decision criteria in all cases and across all venture capitalists we do not accept that this is valid therefore our study tested this assumption by investigating the trade offs made by venture capitalists in europe thirty five investment criteria were identified from the literature and from experts in the field and a questionnaire was developed that required the venture capitalist to make 53 pairwise trade offs with multiple levels seventy three venture capitalists from across europe were interviewed and completed the questionnaire conjoint analysis was used to compute relative rankings and overall rankings were computed to provide some general insight into the overall importance of the various criteria after this cluster analysis was used to identify different decision groupings the trade offs were randomized in the questionnaire but for descriptive purposes fall into the following groupings financial product market strategic competitive fund management team management competence and deal all five management team criteria as opposed to management competence criteria were ranked among the first seven product market criteria appeared to be only moderately important and fund and deal criteria were at the bottom of the rankings overall we conclude that the venture capitalists interviewed would as a group prefer to select an opportunity that offers a good management team and reasonable financial and product market characteristics even if the opportunity does not meet the overall fund and deal requirements it appears quite logically that without the correct management team and a reasonable idea good financials are generally meaningless because they will never be achieved cluster analysis identified three groupings of venture capitalists those primarily concerned with investing nationally those who focus solely upon the deal and those mainstream investors who consistently and instinctively rank the five management team criteria at the top of their list however there was no evident country bias a conclusion that is sustained if the countries are grouped by physical proximity northern versus southern europe or by size of the local venture capital community a surrogate for experience moreover there was no relationship to the scale of the fund the typical round of financing or the apparent network the article concludes by outlining the implications of the study for venture capitalists entrepreneurs and the research community

is protection for sale evidence on the grossman helpman theory of endogenous protection grossman and helpman 1994 present a theory of endogenous protection by explicitly modeling government industry interactions for which mere black box models previously existed they obtain a ramsey pricing type solution to the provision of protection which emphasizes the role of inverse import penetration ratios and import elasticities on the lobbying side the model makes predictions about lobbying competition and lobbying spending according to deadweight costs from protection the model not only makes for richer theory in terms of rigor and elegance but its predictions are directly testable whether the grossman helman model stands up to real world data is investigated in this paper predictions from both the protection side and lobbying side are tested using cross sectional u s nontariff barrier data we also compare the second generation grossman helpman model with a more traditional specification our results call for serious consideration of this model in the political economy literature

research on the motion picture industry state of the art and new directions off the beaten track away from theatrical release the motion picture industry has been subject of extensive academic research over the last decades however most scholars focused on the u s theatrical motion picture market the number of research activities regarding even more profitable release windows such as home video or television has been substantially lower although international distribution is essential for a motion picture project to break even there has been little significant re search on most other markets this paper aims at summarizing the current state of research on the motion picture industry particularly from marketing and management perspective revealing research gaps and proposing recommendations for future research endeavors therefore a three pillar scheme is developed to systemize previous findings research on intraorganizational decision making contractual relationships between national stakeholders and international market competition are differentiated since these insights are mainly derived from u s theatrical exhibition they can hardly be applied to other markets and exhibition windows thus potential research areas are identified to expand knowledge of posttheatrical and international markets

a status based model of market competition this article explores the significance of status processes for generating and reproducing hierarchy among producers in a market it develops a conception of a market as a status order in which each

a role based ecology of technological change this article considers what factors determine whether an innovation becomes a foundation for future technological developments rather than a dea end the authors introduce the concept of the technological niche which includes a focal innovation the innovations on which the focal innovations builds the innovations that build upon the focal innovation and the technological ties among the innovations within the niche using patents and patent citations to measure characteristics of innovation niches within the semiconductor industry the authors show that the size of the niche and the status of the actors within the niche have a positive effect on the likelihood that subsequent innovations will build upon the focal innovation competitive intensity within the niche has a negative effect on this likelihood

firm survival in traded industries does localization moderate the effects of founding team experience prior studies of the impact of founder team industry and start up experience on firm survival have paid little attention to location decisions or cluster effects in this paper we focus on young firms doing business in industries that compete for customers in geographically dispersed markets traded industries we examine whether regional concentrations localization of related industrial firms moderate the effects of founder team industry and start up experience on firm survival the study draws on firm level data from the kauffman firm survey and on county business patterns data from the us census bureau we found that localization negatively moderates the positive effects of founder team prior industry experience on firm survival we did not find significant moderating effects of localization on founder team prior start up experience our findings highlight the importance of accounting for location decisions and cluster effects when evaluating the human capital inputs of founder teams

cultural and other barriers to motion pictures trade i introduction the u s motion picture industry has long dominated world markets but its recent expansion has been especially dramatic hollywood s current share of the world film market has doubled since just 1990 whereas the european film industry is about one ninth the size it was in 1945 in the 1960s foreign films constituted 10 of the u s market by 1986 they made up 7 and today only about three quarters of 1 remarkably the global dominance of american films has evolved despite extensive protectionist efforts by other countries and virtually no barriers to trade by the united states as to other countries we might expect to find much more active effective protectionism against a culturally sensitive product than against generic products and services the characteristics of the product would suggest that the fate of u s motion picture exports would have at least mirrored the decline in american textiles and steel to the contrary the u s motion picture industry has been winning the global ballgame despite three strikes against it protectionism rising real domestic costs and relatively stable real domestic ticket prices we address this quandary of why protectionism fails in a cultural industry where protectionism is expected to succeed we do so first by examining the structure of the u s domestic motion picture industry as it turns out this structure provides a special impetus for exports we next examine the nature of protectionism in a world of soaring demand for films in this setting the american movie is a world product in a different sense than say the automobile the american movie is a world product because its presence is dominant the automobile is a world product mostly because its parts are interchangeable by its nature the american movie appears to have few substitutes even though hollywood can use foreign locales for filming american movies encounter different protectionist strategies in different places the divides fall either side of highly industrialized nations versus less developed nations english speaking versus non english speaking people literate versus less literate people and so on some countries and regions combine fees with subsidies whereas others engage in piracy quantitative or service restrictions few countries have traditional tariffs once we have defined the characteristics of the u s movie industry and foreign strategies of protectionism we can better identify the relevant variables and appropriate models to explain not only industry exports but also the failure of protectionism we end up with a complex gravity iceberg model as a method of estimating u s motion picture exports because of the nature of the industry our approach shares some of the characteristics of earlier studies in which economies of scale and imperfect competition are present although early gravity models have focused on spatial distance some economists have interpreted the effects of distance as possibly nonphysical thus cultural distance applied to a culturally sensitive industry could be a reasonable interpretation for distance effects after using microdata to explore protectionist strategies we then aggregate these data for the formal model ii structure of the u s motion pictures industry why export what determines the structure and size of market for american films movie studios are both producers and distributors though movie studio revenues depend directly on net revenues gross revenues minus total costs the size and extent of the movies market remain tightly linked to gross revenue including domestic box office from the perspective of the studios aggregate market size s is 1 s n summation over i 1 r sub i x sub i where r sub i is gross domestic box office and x sub i is the u s dollar value of exports rentals video tapes of the ith of n movie studios

the labor market returns to community college degrees diplomas and certificates this article provides one of the first rigorous estimations of the labor market returns to community college certificates and diplomas as well as estimations of the returns to the more commonly studied associate s degrees using administrative data from kentucky we estimate panel data models that control for differences among students in precollege earnings and educational aspirations associate s degrees and diplomas have quarterly earnings returns of nearly 2 400 for women and 1 500 for men compared with much smaller returns for certificates there is substantial heterogeneity in returns across fields of study degrees diplomas and for women certificates correspond with higher levels of employment

founder s human capital external investment and the survival of new high technology ventures the effect of founder characteristics in attracting external investment and enhancing survival of new high technology ventures is explored using human capital theory and signalling theory we test the effect of founder characteristics on external investment in and survival of new high technology ventures by tracking a random sample of 193 high technology start ups all participants in the israeli technology incubator program founder s business management expertise and academic status attracted external investment but founder s general technological expertise did not founder s business management expertise and general technological expertise positively affected venture survival but founder s academic status did not possible implications for entrepreneurs investors policy and further research are discussed

the diminishing signaling value of patents between early rounds of venture capital financing a long stream of research has documented the positive effects that patents bring about to emerging firms in high technology industries the general consensus is that patents contribute to firm growth because they confer monopolistic market rights offer protection from competitors increase the negotiating position of patent holders and other benefits what has received relatively less attention in the literature is whether patents act as a signal that attracts investors such as venture capital firms the handful of studies that have addressed that question has not analyzed whether the signaling function of patents decreases after the initial attraction of venture capital as information asymmetries between investors and target firms reduce in this study we hypothesize that patent activity has a signaling value that diminishes once information asymmetries between investors and funded firms lessen to study our proposition we draw upon a longitudinal dataset of more than 580 u s based biotechnology firms to empirically demonstrate that biotechnology firms that have submitted patent applications substantially increase the level of funding they receive for their first round of financing in line with a reduction of information asymmetries once the initial investment has materialized patent applications and granted patents have no effect on the growth of venture capital funds raised during the second round of financing we conclude the study with a discussion of avenues for new research implications for policy makers that consider the usefulness of the current patent system and with insights that can be employed by managers of firms in knowledge intensive areas such as biotechnology

the effects of school spending on educational and economic outcomes evidence from school finance reforms since the coleman report many have questioned whether public school spending affects student outcomes the school finance reforms that began in the early 1970s and accelerated in the 1980s caused dramatic changes to the structure of k 12 education spending in the united states to study the effect of these school finance reform induced changes in public school spending on long run adult outcomes we link school spending and school finance reform data to detailed nationally representative data on children born between 1955 and 1985 and followed through 2011 we use the timing of the passage of court mandated reforms and their associated type of funding formula change as exogenous shifters of school spending and we compare the adult outcomes of cohorts that were differentially exposed to school finance reforms depending on place and year of birth event study and instrumental variable models reveal that a 10 increase in per pupil spending each year for all 12 years of public school leads to 0 31 more completed years of education about 7 higher wages and a 3 2 percentage point reduction in the annual incidence of adult poverty effects are much more pronounced for children from low income families exogenous spending increases were associated with notable improvements in measured school inputs including reductions in student to teacher ratios increases in teacher salaries and longer school years jel codes j10 i20 h7

how important are fixed effects and time trends in estimating returns to schooling evidence from a replication of jacobson lalonde and sullivan 2005 a substantial and rapidly growing literature has developed around estimating earnings gains from 2 year college degrees using administrative data these papers almost universally employ a person level fixed effects strategy to estimate earnings premia net of fixed attributes we note that the seminal piece on which these papers build jacobson lalonde sullivan journal of econometrics 2005 125 1 2 271 304 provides theoretical and empirical evidence for the importance of additionally differencing out individual time trends the subsequent literature has not followed suit through replication we ask whether this matters we show that it does and further that these person level time trends need not be computationally burdensome in large administrative data we recommend them as a unifying econometric standard for future work

contracting signaling and moral hazard a model of entrepreneurs angels and venture capitalists abstract investment by wealthy individuals known as angels in startup firms is quite significant and has taken off in the last few years angels invest in the company at an earlier stage than venture capitalists vcs do this paper examines the relationship between an entrepreneur an angel and a vc from the seed investment made by the angel to the exit stage the study characterizes the equilibrium contracts among the players and provides insights into the related institutional arrangements next the study examines the signaling aspects of the game the paper also analyzes the moral hazard problems of the entrepreneur and the vc it shows that the outcome in a startup firm is not efficient because of the free rider phenomenon

quantile treatment effects of college quality on earnings we use administrative data from texas to estimate how graduating from a state flagship or a community college relative to a nonflagship university affects the distribution of earnings we control for the selection of students across sectors using a rich set of observable ability and background characteristics and find evidence of substantial heterogeneity in the returns to quality returns increase with earnings among ut austin graduates but decline among texas a m graduates for community colleges returns are negative for lower earners but go to zero for higher earners our estimates also point to differences in the distribution of returns by race ethnicity

capital gains taxation and funding for start ups abstract we examine how capital gains taxes affect investment in private start up i e pre ipo firms using data on capital raised in individual funding rounds we estimate the effect of the 2010 sbja which implemented a full exemption from federal capital gains tax on the sale of qualified shares because of the resulting higher expected after tax returns we hypothesize and find evidence consistent with this capital gains tax reduction increasing the amount of investment in start up firms per funding round by about 12 the effect is stronger in start up firms that are likely to have greater administrative capacity we estimate that about one third of the tax benefit is captured by investors

education decisions and labour market outcomes the financial return to a college degree is an increasing concern amid rising tuition costs and stagnant wages using the education longitudinal study of 2002 els 2002 i analyse the effect of po

signaling through private equity placements and its impact on the valuation of biotechnology firms abstract this paper investigates how young publicly held technology firms contend with information asymmetry and the hazards it introduces to acquire the capital necessary for future growth we ascribe to the view that firms issuing private equity signal the marketplace that managers believe their growth opportunities are undervalued consistent with this view we find significant positive abnormal returns to announcements of private equity placements we develop theory suggesting that returns are determined by the timing of previous signals we also argue that the characteristics of the private placement signal specifically whether private equity is bundled with research partnerships influence the strength of the signal our results largely support our expectations

doing more with less innovation input and output in family firms family firms are often portrayed as an important yet conservative form of organization that is reluctant to invest in innovation however simultaneously evidence has shown that family firms are flourishing and in fact constitute many of the world s most innovative firms our study contributes to disentangling this puzzling effect we argue that family firms owing to the family s high level of control over the firm wealth concentration and importance of nonfinancial goals invest less in innovation but have an increased conversion rate of innovation input into output and ultimately a higher innovation output than nonfamily firms empirical evidence from a meta analysis based on 108 primary studies from 42 countries supports our hypotheses we further argue and empirically show that the observed effects are even stronger when the ceo of the family firm is a later generation family member however when the ceo of the family firm is the firm s founder innovation input is higher and contrary to our initial expectations innovation output is lower than that in other firms we further show that the family firm innovation input output relationships depend on country level factors namely the level of minority shareholder protection and the education level of the workforce in the country

the value of human and social capital investments for the business performance of startups we investigate the manifold posed question to what extent does investment in human and social capital besides the effect of talent enhance entrepreneurial performance we distinguish between three different performance measures survival profits and generated employment on the basis of the empirical analysis of a rich dutch longitudinal data set of firm founders we conclude that specific investments indeed affect the three performance measures substantially and significantly specific attention is paid to the unobserved talent bias moreover the effect of the emergence of so called knowledge industries is explored

minimum wage policy and community college enrollment patterns in this article the author studies the effect of the minimum wage on community college enrollment using cross border variation in state minimum wages to address spatial correlation in local labor

career technical education and labor market outcomes evidence from california community colleges career technical education cte programs at community colleges are increasingly seen as an attractive alternative to four year colleges yet little systematic evidence exists on the returns to specific certificates and degrees we estimate returns to cte programs using administrative data from the california community college system linked to earnings records we employ estimation approaches including individual fixed effects and individual specific trends and find average returns to cte certificate and degrees that range from 14 to 45 percent the largest returns are for programs in the healthcare sector estimated returns in non health related programs range from 15 to 23 percent end page 986 abstract from author

does patenting help high tech start ups abstract using data on all high and medium tech start ups in the uk in 2000 this paper assesses the effect associated with a firm s decision to patent on a firm s subsequent growth between 2001 and 2005 we propose a new approach to addressing well known issues challenging identification of any patent effect firm heterogeneity simultaneity between firm performance and patenting and sample selection our findings suggest that patentees have higher asset growth than non patentees of between 8 and 27 per annum 2011 elsevier b v all rights reserved

effects of social capital and power on surviving transformational change the case of initial public offerings we examined how social capital and the power of venture capitalists and founderceos affect ipo firm survival using data from 218 u s initial public offerings conducted in 1992 we found that average management team tenure and an ipo deal s network embeddedness decreased the likelihood of failure during a firm s first five years as a public entity founder ceo presence at the time of an ipo interacted with ceo ownership to decrease the likelihood of failure and ceo ownership and venture capitalist ownership concentration also decreased that likelihood evolutionary perspectives on organizations are often accompanied by the presumption that organizations face an increased risk of failure early in their lives owing to liabilities of newness aldrich 1999 stinchcombe 1965 as organizational goals and patterns of activity become routinized over time increased reliability in performance and accountability for actions taken enhance a firm s survival chances hannan freeman 1984 this process however also generates strong inertial pressures that not only discourage organizational change but also because of the potential for disruption to existing internal and external routines make change hazardous research findings suggest that even in older better established firms significant transformational events during their life cycles can effectively reset the clock and reintroduce risks associated with the liability of newness as firms struggle to adapt strategies internal operational and administrative processes and or external ties and relationships amburgey kelly barnett 1993 thus transformational change in organizational operations decreases efficiency and increases failure rates at least in the short term as resources and attention are diverted from normal routinized operating functions to processes involving adaptation and reorientation haveman 1992

determinants of venture capital firms preferences regarding the industry diversity and geographic scope of their investments abstract competition is intensifying in the venture capital industry in the u s the number of venture capital firms vcfs tripled from 1980 to 1989 supplier power in the form of institutional investors such as pension funds continues to grow foreign venture capital has grown to the extent that commitments to foreign vcfs exceeded domestic commitments in both 1988 and 1989 further alternative sources of financing for entrepreneurs such as individual investors angels corporations and strategic alliances are increasingly viable options vcfs face pressure to seek lower risk investments improve rates of return and provide value to new venture development surprisingly few scholarly studies have begun to investigate the strategies vcfs are aiming to implement in order to deal with this increasing pressure building on the premise that decisions regarding product market scope are a key component of firm strategy hofer and schendel 1978 this study examined 169 domestic vcfs in order to identify factors that might explain variations in preferences regarding the industry diversity and geographic scope of their investments the sample drawn from california massachusetts and texas represented about 27 of all u s based vcfs in 1987 the year in which the data were gathered in terms of the total size of investment portfolio the average for these 169 vcfs was 69 8 million which is statistically indistinguishable from the u s average of 65 million results indicate that 1 vcfs specializing in early stage ventures prefer less industry diversity and narrower geographic scope relative to other vcfs 2 corporate vcfs i e those owned by non financial corporations prefer less industry diversity but broader geographic scope relative to non corporate vcfs 3 larger vcfs prefer greater industry diversity and broader geographic scope than do smaller vcfs and 4 provision of small business investment companies sbic financing by the vcf has no impact on preferences regarding industry diversity but is associated with a preference for narrower geographic scope one implication of these results is that vcfs in the u s are not homogeneous as regards the intended product market scope of their portfolios this in turn holds implications not only for vcfs but also for their suppliers limited partners buyers entrepreneurs and policy makers vcfs can no longer rely on haphazard investment schemes they need to attract investors by virtue of the benefits offered by their portfolio strategy and they need to attract superior investments via offering valueadded services and know how potential investors in venture capital will want to examine for example the impact on risk and return of investing smaller amounts in several vcfs at one extreme versus making one large investment in a very diversified vcf at the other extreme the results of this and other studies suggest that outcomes timing magnitude and riskiness of returns of choosing such alternatives will vary widely and will depend in great part on the strategies of the vcfs involved it will not be possible for investors to make wise choices without a full examination of their own objectives and of the profiles of vcfs entrepreneurs with the most attractive ventures have alternative sources of financing to consider and should weigh the benefits of being financed and supported by various vcfs as part of the vcfs portfolios knowing a vcf s preferences regarding product market scope improves their chances of approaching and selecting the right fit and for those entrepreneurs with a narrower set of options such knowledge may make the difference between receiving and not receiving financing in a timely manner finally policy makers may be able to make use of knowledge of the forces that influence the investment strategies of vcfs presently concerns for policy makers may include the gap in seed capital increased foreign presence in the u s market and the export of promising innovative technology via alliances with foreign firms all of these factors are influenced by the strategies pursued by vcfs as they jockey for position in the increasingly competitive venture capital market

initial human and financial capital as predictors of new venture performance abstract this research seeks to predict the performance of new ventures based on factors that can be observed at the time of start up indicators of initial human and financial capital are considered to determine how they bear upon the probability of three possible performance outcomes 1 failure 2 marginal survival or 3 high growth four categories of initial human and financial capital are examined general human capital represented here by the entrepreneur s education gender and race may reflect the extent to which the entrepreneur has had the opportunity to develop relevant skills and contacts management know how embodied in the entrepreneur or available through advisors or partners reflects management specific skills and knowledge without regard to the kind of business industry specific know how reflects specific experience in similar businesses financial capital is one of the most visible resources it can create a buffer against random shocks and allow the pursuit of more capital intensive strategies which are better protected from imitation the study utilizes a longitudinal study of 1053 new ventures representative of all industry sectors and geographical regions the research departs from most previous studies in considering different measures of performance marginal survival and growth and in considering explicitly whether the factors contributing to marginal survival differ from those contributing to high growth it was found that measures of general human capital influenced both survival and growth except for gender with women owned ventures being less likely to grow but just as likely to survive management know how variables had more limited impact having parents who had owned a business contributed to marginal survival but not to growth number of partners contributed to growth but not to survival management level prior employment in non profit organizations or not having been in the labor force and the use of professional advisors did not have significant effects industry specific know how contributed to both survival and growth amount of initial financial capital also contributed to both the usefulness of the model is enhanced by the fact that the resource variables considered are relatively easy to assess and all can be considered at the time of start up although some of the human capital variables cannot easily be changed the benefits or risks associated with each can be assessed in some cases potential problems can be identified so that plans can be modified to improve prospects overall it appears that using a model based upon the initial human and financial capital of the venture it is possible to predict the performance of new ventures with some degree of confidence

gainfully employed assessing the employment and earnings of for profit college students using administrative data we draw on population level administrative data from the u s department of education and the internal revenue service to quantify the impact of for profit college attendance on the employment and earnings of more than one million students using a matched comparison group difference in differences design we find that certificate seeking students in for profit institutions are 1 5 percentage points less likely to be employed and conditional on employment have 11 percent lower earnings after attendance than students in public institutions these results hold for both men and women and for seven of the top ten fields of study we find that earnings and employment outcomes are particularly poor for students attending for profit colleges that offer the majority of their courses online and for multicampus chains we find that for profit students experience small statistically insignificant gains in annual earnings after attendance compared to a matched end page 342 control group of young individuals who do not attend college a back of the envelope comparison of these earnings gains to average debt burdens suggests that for profit certificate programs do not pay off for the average student abstract from author

social capital and the linkages of high tech companies to the military defense system is there a signaling mechanism this study investigates linkages of new israeli high tech companies to the military and defense system we examine the impact of social capital signaling and learning spillovers on resource acquisition in terms of investments and the financial performance of companies with and without linkages social capital signaling and learning spillovers are examined as they impact individual and organizational resource acquisition and performance of 200 new israeli high tech companies the study contributes to the existing literature of entrepreneurship by suggesting the relevance of knowledge spillovers signaling theory and social capital to the context of the interface between defense and civilian spheres

way station or launching pad unpacking the returns to adult technical education abstract we estimate returns to diplomas and certificates awarded to adult students by public technology centers a niche sector of higher education that elevates occupational and competency based education over transferable credits and traditional degrees technology centers cater to nontraditional students particularly adults seeking part time training in specific skills sub associate credentials arising from tennessee colleges of applied technology increase access to new industries particularly health and industrial mobility explains half of the employment returns to postsecondary diplomas and at least three quarters of the earnings returns to certificates tcat diploma completers earn 707 1034 in additional quarterly earnings over non completers similar to the returns from community college diplomas benefits extend beyond the signal value of completion students who leave without a credential fare significantly better than matched non students with a similar history of earnings

founder ceo succession and the paradox of entrepreneurial success in the last few decades we have developed a substantial body of knowledge about ceo succession however except for some studies of family businesses that lack direct applicability to nonfamily ceo succession the past studies of succession have not examined the very first succession event in a firm when the founder ceo is replaced on a large scale basis the critical differences between later stage succession and founder ceo succession include the higher level of attachment between founder ceos and the firms they create the much larger equity holdings of founder ceos which give them much more control of the firm the fact that many founder ceos remain in the firm even though it is being run by their successors and the fact that nearly all early stage succession events involve outside successors in contrast to later stage succession research which has focused on the insider outsider distinction these differences make it hard to extrapolate from later stage succession findings to founder ceo succession therefore in order to examine founder ceo succession i used field research and grounded theory building to study the factors that should affect founder ceo succession in internet start ups i find that there are two central intertemporal events that may affect founder ceo succession the completion of product development and the raising of each round of financing from outside investors i develop testable hypotheses about how each of these events affect the rate of succession and then test these hypotheses using an event history analysis of a unique dataset containing the succession histories of 202 internet firms my findings point to multiple paradoxes of success in which the founder ceo s success at achieving critical milestones actually causes the chance of founder ceo succession to rise dramatically

the role of human and social capital in growth extending our understanding human capital institutions and social capital are now all recognised as significant factors of growth they have largely been studied separately and although they present sufficient common characteristics to be conceptualised as one main category distinct from physical capital it may still be more important to focus on the links between their specific sub categories direct links with income may be spurious as there appears to be a web of associations between the sub categories which would benefit from further empirical investigation this paper reviews the literature on human capital institutions and social capital extracting three sub categories of human capital human skills capital stock of knowledge and entrepreneurship and two of social capital low and high rationalisation specific areas are then suggested for further empirical study

the market for motion pictures rank revenue and survival i introduction on any given day in every major city there may from 50 to 100 motion pictures playing on theater screens each is unique and its producer hopes it will catch that bit of magic that lights up the screen and the box office yet few achieve this feat and most lead brief unpredictable lives each film competes for screens and audiences during its brief life against a changing array of imperfect and equally unique substitutes how is one to understand this market is there any sense in which this market could be called competitive and how is it organized what institutions and contracts are adapted to this market environment and how do they shape the results we seek to answer some of these questions by examining the relationship between contractual practices and motion picture hazard and survival distributions our modeling is based on a large sample of motion picture revenues and theater bookings during their theatrical runs our detailed sample of motion picture lifetimes is a rare look at this fascinating industry whose unusual and complex features challenge economic theory in interesting ways as smith and smith 1986 506 observe given the interesting characteristics of movies as ideal examples of differentiated products and of the institutional arrangements governing their production and distribution such increased data availability would make this an exceptionally attractive area for applied micro economic research much of the empirical work on the motion picture industry has focused on the attributes of successful movies smith and smith 1986 examined the impact of oscar awards on the cumulative rentals of movies released from the 1950s through the 1970s in more recent work nelson et al undated have quantified the value of an oscar award on movie revenues using a large panel of data and an event study methodology in a somewhat broader empirical study prag and cassavant 1994 examined the determinants of movie revenues and marketing expenditures they found that marketing expenditures and quality are important determinants of a film s success and that production cost star actors and awards are positively related to marketing expenses in the present paper we attempt to account for the dynamic patterns in the data because each film is unique and plays in its own way its life as a commercial product in the theatrical market is hazardous indeed most motion pictures have short and unpredictable lives because audiences must discover what they like and films compete against an ever changing cast of competitors for these reasons it is productive to use evolutionary models of survival and death to model the data 1 we model competition among films in the theatrical market as an evolving rank tournament of survival 2 motion pictures live and die in the box office tournament as they are challenged during their run by a randomly evolving cast of new competitors the challengers come from films previously released and from newly released films the contending films are ranked by film goers and those with high rank survive and are carried over to the next week low ranked films fail and are replaced by new contenders these attributes of the motion picture market contribute to increasing returns and give the box office revenue distribution the distinctive convex shape of a tournament prize distribution 3 the leading products command a disproportionate share of the market and they have longer runs even then a film s rank in the tournament is ephemeral and its life unpredictable in fact of any 10 major theatrical films produced on the average 6 or 7 are unprofitable and 1 will break even vogel 1990 29 ii the motion picture exhibition market once a film is produced it is distributed to theaters who exhibit it for audiences the distributor chooses a release pattern the number and location of theaters in which the film is booked or licensed to play

the demand for and return to education when education outcomes are uncertain this article treats education as a sequential choice that is made under uncertainty a simple model is used to explore the effects of ability high school preparation preferences for schooling the borrowing rate and ex post payoffs to college on the probability of various post secondary college outcomes and the ex ante return to starting college the model motivates an empirical method of accounting for uncertainty about educational outcomes and for nonlinearity in the relationship between years of education and earnings when estimating the expected return to the first year of college

high tech start up firm survival originating from a combined use of internal resources although various streams in the existing literature on the resource based view rbv of the firm argue that firm survival and performance can benefit from a combined use of internal resources relatively limited empirical evidence is provided that supports this argument to fill this gap in the literature in this article we focus on how combinations of internal resources affect the survival chance of technology based start ups by using a unique dataset from a high tech park in beijing china empirical results show that firms interconnected internal resources exert a significant influence on these firms survival chance our findings imply that the survival of new technology based start ups benefits from the synergetic effect of combining resources in detail the data support the hypothesis that the combined use of r d resources internal financial resources and scientifically skilled employees as posited by the rbv has an amplifying effect on the chances to survive of high tech start ups

bringing individuals back in the effects of career experience on new firm founding because of methodological and theoretical obstacles research on organizational foundings has largely focused on societal and population level explanations this paper takes the view that understanding firm foundings also requires linking to individual level processes we suggest that careers are an important mechanism linking individual level processes to firm foundings the firm founding experience of potential founders impacts organizational foundings by influencing expectations of the liability of newness we test our explanation on the set of inventions patented by the massachusetts institute of technology over the period 1980 1996 by examining the effect of inventors career experiences on the likelihood that an invention will be commercialized through the founding of a new organization copyright 2003 oxford university press

the varied economic returns to postsecondary education new evidence from the class of 1972 this paper estimates the returns to postsecondary education using the national longitudinal survey of the class of 1972 with earnings measured at about age 32 the results are based on transcripts rather than self reports about the amount of education allowing postsecondary education to be more precisely described than usual the results confirm the well known returns to b a degrees other credentials associate degrees and certificates for women also lead to higher earnings and wage rates though indirectly these credentials gain individuals access to jobs where they accumulate more experience and on the job training but provide no further advantage once experience and ojt are controlled most individuals who enroll in postsecondary education but fail to complete credentials have no higher earnings than high school graduates the effects of experience high school achievement and family background are familiar the results indicate a fundamental difference between labor markets for college graduates and the sub baccalaureate labor market