barriers to knowledge seeking within mnc teams which differences matter most do international or non international differences between members matter most for multinational corporation mnc teams we consider two types of international differences arising from geographic locations and national origins and two types of non international differences arising from structural affiliations and demographic attributes examining the barriers to knowledge seeking between mnc team members we argue that whether international or non international differences create greater barriers depends on whether they are position based or person based using the social relations model to analyze 13 616 dyadic interactions among 2090 members of 289 teams in a large mnc we find that for both international and non international differences those that are position based i e geographic and structural differences created greater barriers than those that are person based i e nationality and demographic differences in addition familiarity from a prior team reduced the barriers created by international and non international differences that are position based more than those that are person based we discuss the implications of our study for understanding the micro foundations of knowledge flows in mncs

going the distance the pros and cons of expanding employees global knowledge reach while some scholars have suggested mnes to be superior to markets for managing knowledge across geographically distant boundaries how they actually accomplish this has not been fully considered we address this void by developing and testing a model that highlights the critical role of organizational incentives in enhancing employees internal search and use of knowledge data from 166 knowledge intensive projects support our argument that in contrast to process based incentives that influence more local search outcome based incentives motivate employee teams to reach well beyond their immediate location which in turn enhances performance at the same time we demonstrate that expanded reach also increases the likelihood of accessing more codifiable knowledge which can hurt performance our model examines the contradictory and previously unknown effects of global knowledge reach

modelling the fiscal reaction functions of the gips based on state varying thresholds we introduce non linear fiscal reaction functions with endogenously estimated state varying thresholds to capture the behaviour of fiscal policy authorities during good and bad times these thresholds vary with the level of debt the economic cycle and a financial pressure index

signaling fiscal regime sustainability abstract this paper proposes a signaling model that offers a new perspective on why governments deviate from optimal tax smoothing and delay debt stabilization in our model dependable but not fully credible governments have an incentive to tighten the fiscal regime when the signaling effect on credit ratings is larger that is when a sufficiently large stock of debt has been accumulated at this point they may deviate from tax smoothing not to be mimicked by weak governments we show that a testable prediction of our model is that primary balances and debt stocks are complementary inputs in the credit rating function and we successfully test it on italian irish belgian and danish data

does right or left matter cabinets credibility and fiscal adjustments abstract this paper tests the widely held assumption that left wing cabinets favor higher public spending and examines whether cabinet ideology affects the persistence of major fiscal adjustments in a panel of large fiscal adjustments in oecd countries during the last 40 years we find evidence that left wing and right wing cabinets are partisan the left tends to reduce the deficit by raising tax revenues while the right relies mostly on spending cuts our testable hypothesis is that cabinets can signal commitment by undertaking fiscal adjustments in ways that are not favored by their constituencies in other words the left gains credibility when it cuts spending while the right becomes more credible when it increases tax revenues probit estimates of the determinants of persistence in fiscal adjustments confirm that spending cuts by the left and tax increases by the right are associated with persistent adjustments the effect is significant for cuts in public spending public consumption wage or nonwage increases in total revenues direct taxes on businesses and other taxes we test for the role of several other determinants of persistence confirming that coalition and majority cabinets are associated with less persistence while periods of high or rising levels of indebtedness favor persistence the estimates of the impact of ideology and other variables on gdp and its components show that it is the size of the spending cut rather than cabinet ideology that is most important

how do budget deficits and economic growth affect reelection prospects evidence from a large panel of countries conventional wisdom is that good economic conditions and expansionary fiscal policy help incumbents get reelected but this has not been tested in a large cross section of countries we test these arguments in a sample of 74 countries over the period 1960 2003 we find no evidence that deficits help reelection in any group of countries developed and less developed new and old democracies countries with different government or electoral systems and countries with different levels of democracy in developed countries and in old democracies election year deficits actually reduce the probability that a leader is reelected with similar although smaller negative electoral effects of deficits in the earlier years of an incumbent s term in office higher growth rates of real gdp per capita raise the probability of reelection only in the less developed countries and in new democracies but voters are affected by growth over the leader s term in office rather than in the election year itself and apparently only by growth not attributed to global growth low inflation is rewarded by voters only in the developed countries the effects we find are not only statistically significant but also quite substantial quantitatively we also suggest how the absence of a positive electoral effect of deficits can be consistent with the political deficit cycle found in new democracies

military spending and stochastic growth abstract this study examines capital accumulation military spending arms accumulation and output growth in a stochastic endogenous growth model the analysis shows that higher lower growth in foreign military spending leads to faster slower economic growth in the home country if the home country s intertemporal substitution elasticity in consumption is smaller larger but more volatility in foreign military spending can lead to higher economic growth in the home country when its intertemporal substitution elasticity is large in addition shocks to output production may stimulate economic growth

stickiness and the adaptation of organizational practices in cross border knowledge transfers the reuse of organizational practices in multiple locations is a fundamental way in which mncs leverage knowledge to seek competitive advantage scholars approaching the issue of adaptation from both a market and an institutional perspective argue that in order to achieve fit with the local environment some degree of adaptation is advisable and the need for adaptation increases as the institutional distance between source and recipient locations increases however arguments to date have examined the effect of adaptation primarily on a subsidiary s long term performance a necessary precursor is to understand the effect of adaptation on the transfer process itself as transfer difficulty or stickiness may preclude the reuse of an organizational practice in the first place in this paper we explore how the adaptation of organizational practices affects the stickiness of cross border transfers we use structural equation modeling to analyze data from 122 internal transfers of best practice contrary to expectation we find that adaptation significantly increases rather than decreases the stickiness of cross border knowledge transfer

effects of fiscal contractions the importance of preceding exchange rate movements we examine the importance of exchange rate and money supply movements for the macroeconomic outcome of fiscal contractions and find i contractions associated with a favorable macroeconomic outcome have been preceded by significantly higher real depreciations as compared to contractions associated with a less favorable macroeconomic outcome and ii contractions preceded by real depreciations improve expectations about future income and generate higher private consumption growth we discuss policy implications for countries both outside and inside the emu

expansionary fiscal contractions evidence from panel data we examine the ability of the expansionary fiscal contraction efc hypothesis to explain the performance of oecd economies during fiscal crises we find some limited evidence in its favour if public consumption is reduced in response to a fiscal crisis as defined by a high level of debt private consumption does seem to increase however the size of the effect is smaller than that typically found in other studies furthermore the increase in private consumption is usually not sufficient to offset the direct effect of a reduction in public consumption on output fiscal contractions are not literally expansionary

threshold effects in the u s budget deficit i introduction there has been an ongoing debate on whether the u s fiscal policy is sustainable in the long run in addressing this issue a number of studies have examined whether the u s public finances are compatible with the government s intertemporal solvency constraint hamilton and flavin 1986 trehan and walsh 1988 hakkio and rush 1991 among others the requirement of budget processes to be sustainable implies effectively that ponzi games are ruled out as a viable option of government finance in other words further new borrowing cannot be used indefinitely as a method of financing interest payments on existing debt therefore the solvency constraint requires that any changes in taxes and government spending are followed by adjustment in future taxation and or spending that equals to the original change in present value this solvency constraint imposes testable restrictions on the time series properties of key fiscal aggregates in this article we present new evidence on this ongoing solvency debate utilizing an empirical framework that allows us to test whether there have been threshold effects in the u s deficit unlike existing empirical studies that focus only on the identification of regime shifts in u s fiscal policy we also offer an explanation and provide evidence as to why these regime shifts might occur specifically we argue that for fiscal authorities to be able to meet the solvency constraint they would intervene through deficit cuts only when the government budget deficit becomes very large therefore we expect a mean reverting dynamic behavior for deficits only when they are above some threshold value we test for this hypothesis using the threshold unit root empirical methodology recently developed by caner and hansen 2001 the article is organized as follows section ii reviews the empirical evidence section iii describes the empirical methodology and section iv presents the empirical results which are analyzed and interpreted section v summarizes and concludes ii intertemporal solvency condition empirical underpinnings one strand of the empirical literature focuses on the stationarity of the stock of public debt uctum and wickens 1997 deal with stochastic interest rates and primary surpluses that are allowed to be either exogenous or endogenous to the stock of public debt they show that a necessary and sufficient condition for the intertemporal solvency condition to hold is a stationary discounted stock of public debt another strand of the empirical literature has concentrated on the dynamics of the undiscounted inclusive of interest deficit or alternatively on the long run relationship between government spending and tax revenues trehan and walsh 1988 show that government spending inclusive of interest payments and government revenues should be cointegrated with a cointegrating vector equal to 1 1 they present evidence that supports this restriction hakkio and rush 1991 point out that a necessary condition for intertemporal solvency is the existence of cointegration between government expenditure inclusive of interest payments and government revenues with a cointegrating vector equal to 1 beta and 0 quintos 1995 expands on hakkio and rush 1991 and shows that cointegration is not necessary for the intertemporal balance condition to hold specifically she distinguishes between a weak and a strong sustainability condition the former implies that the government solvency holds but the undiscounted debt process is exploding at a rate that is less than the growth rate of the economy although this case is consistent with deficit sustainability it is inconsistent with the ability of the government to market its debt in the long run especially if the focus is on the debt to gross national product gnp or on the debt per capita see also hakkio and rush 1991 in contrast strong sustainability implies that the undiscounted public debt is finite in the long run

fiscal adjustments and their effects during the transition to the emu the transition phase to emu hasbeen accompanied by considerable monetaryand fiscal consolidation efforts in the eu this paper analyses this consolidationprocess and its effects on economicactivity in the eu it is tested to what extent fiscal retrenchment efforts havedepressed or stimulated private spending inthe case of the latter non keynesian effectsdominate the traditional keynesianexpenditure effects of government spending taxation and transfer payments

mnc knowledge transfer subsidiary absorptive capacity and hrm based on a sample of 169 subsidiaries of multinational corporations mncs operating in the usa russia and finland this paper investigates the relationship between mnc subsidiary human resource management hrm practices absorptive capacity and knowledge transfer first we examine the relationship between the application of specific hrm practices and the level of the absorptive capacity second we suggest that absorptive capacity should be conceptualized as being comprised of both employees ability and motivation further results indicate that both ability and motivation absorptive capacity are needed to facilitate the transfer of knowledge from other parts of the mnc

managing the mne subsidiary advancing a multi level and dynamic research agenda abstract multinational enterprise mne subsidiaries abroad are important organizations in their own rights they typically hold some of the mne s most critical resources and operate at the forefront of complex international environments in this review we identify and organize theoretical and empirical research on subsidiary management based on over 600 articles in leading academic journals we develop a conceptual framework that integrates complementary streams of theoretical and empirical research with the subsidiary as its focal unit of analysis in particular we review six lines of research on subsidiary scope practices knowledge management engagement with local market and nonmarket actors performance and individuals within subsidiaries we highlight theoretical perspectives that have contributed to and been advanced by research on mne subsidiaries based on the review we explore future research agendas linking the contemporary research themes with two main thrusts first subsidiary management is a multi level phenomenon that would benefit from more microfoundational research second subsidiary management operates at key interfaces of technology paradigm shifts and of disruptions in the political and institutional environment research into the dynamics of subsidiary management would thus enhance our understanding of international business in a volatile global economy

knowledge sharing and social interaction within mnes social interaction between managers from different units of a multinational enterprise mne has been shown to be an important factor stimulating intra mne knowledge sharing face to face social interactions form a communication channel particularly conducive to the transfer of tacit non codified knowledge but intensive social interaction also provides opportunities for social construction of knowledge in a learning dialogue the first explanation sender receiver makes us expect social interaction to moderate positively the effects of the factors giving rise to knowledge flows in the first place such as differences in capabilities between mne subsidiaries the second perspective social learning also grants an independent effect to social interaction as a main factor stimulating intra mne knowledge flows we formulate hypotheses based on both perspectives and test these on data from 169 mne subsidiaries our findings show a considerable main effect of social interaction on all intra mne knowledge flows confirming the expectations based on the social learning model interaction effects based on the predictions of the sender receiver model are only partly confirmed these findings suggest that future research should devote more attention to the social constitution of mne knowledge

tales of fiscal adjustment fiscal adjustments why they can be expansionary this paper examines the evidence on fiscal adjustments in oecd countries from the early 1960s to today the results shed light on the recently observed phenomenon of fiscal tightening that produces non keynesian expansionary effects one interpretation is that a serious fiscal tightening increases demand wealth rises when future tax burdens decline and when interest rates decline credibility is restored and inflation or default risks abate both consumption and investment rise for this effect to produce an expansion the tightening must be sizeable and occur after a period of stress when the budget is quickly deteriorating and public debt is building up another interpretation emphasizes the supply side typically a fiscal consolidation based on tax increases is short lived to be long lasting it must include cuts in public employment transfers and government wages to be politically possible such a policy must be supported by trade unions these measures result in more efficient labour markets and boost the supply side based both on statistical evidence and on a detailed analysis of ten cases of major fiscal adjustment this article provides cautious support to the supply side view without denying a more limited role for the demand side channel alberto alesina and silvia ardagna

choosing and reneging on exchange rate regimes we use data on announced and actual exchange rate arrangements to ask which countries follow de facto regimes different from their de iure ones that is do not do what they say our results suggest that countries with poor institutional quality have difficulty in maintaining pegging and abandon it often in contrast many countries with relatively good institutions display fear of floating that is they manage more than announced perhaps to signal their differences from those countries incapable of maintaining promises of monetary stability jel f3 o1

fiscal stimulus in times of high debt reconsidering multipliers and twin deficits we investigate the impact of fiscal stimuli at different levels of the government debt to gdp ratio for a sample of 17 european countries from 1970 to 2010 this is implemented in an interacted panel var framework in which all coefficient parameters are allowed to change continuously with the debt to gdp ratio we find that responses to government spending shocks exhibit strong nonlinear behavior while the overall cumulative effect of a spending shock on real gdp is positive and significant at moderate debt to gdp ratios this effect turns negative as the ratio increases the total cumulative effect on the trade balance as a share of gdp is negative at first but switches sign at higher levels of debt consequently depending on the degree of public indebtedness our results accommodate long run fiscal multipliers that are greater and smaller than one or even negative as well as twin deficit and twin divergence behavior within one sample and time period from a policy perspective these results lend additional support to increased prudence at high public debt ratios because the effectiveness of fiscal stimuli to boost economic activity or resolve external imbalances may not be guaranteed

can government purchases explain the recent u s net export deficits abstract this paper investigates the role of u s government purchases in explaining recent u s net export behavior i develop a two country neoclassical model that emphasizes linkages from government purchases to consumption i compare the model s implications for the movements and co movements of net exports against their data counterparts a parameterization in which government purchases and private consumption are complements and in which expectations of future government purchases are revised downward can account for much of the time path and co movements of net exports i conclude that u s government purchases play some role in explaining recent u s net export behavior

keynes and the confidence faeries budgetary constraints were never the primary object of policy for john maynard keynes they were constraints not objectives however keynes identified the psychological channels through which budgetary discipline and other policy conventions might influence investment he even accepted that in rare circumstances the psychological factors might overwhelm direct policy interventions unfortunately the polarisation of the current debate means traditional keynesians are unlikely to search out this aspect of his work and the confidence faeries are unlikely to read any of keynes s work this article draws attention to this aspect of his work

success and failure of fiscal consolidation in the oecd a multivariate analysis this paper tests five hypotheses explaining the success and failure of fiscal consol idation in a multivariate regression framework these hypotheses concern i the composition of the consolidation programme ii its size and persistence iii the gravity of the debt situation iv the influence of the international macroeconomic environment and v the con tribution of a preceding devaluation to test for composition effects we use cyclically adjusted data although many conclusions of the existing empirical literature are confirmed some do not survive a popular hypothesis that to succeed consolidation should rely on cutting the government wage bill is rejected a new empirical result is that the contribution of a devalu ation to the success of fiscal consolidation depends on the composition of the consolidation programme

the tortuous evolution of the role of culture in ib research what we know what we don t know and where we are headed this paper takes stock of the literature on culture in international business by looking back in terms of evaluating what we know and what we do not know and looking forward by identifying emerging trends and outlining avenues for future research unresolved issues gaps and limitations include 1 narrow conceptualization of culture and fragmented approach to the study of culture 2 failure to adopt a multilevel approach and insufficient attention to level of analysis 3 insufficient attention to context and process 4 failure to adopt a more dynamic view of culture 5 tendency to equate country with culture and failure to explore other national differentiators and 6 western centric approach to the study of culture suggestions on redressing the unresolved issues include 1 broadening the definition of culture and transcending the values based approach to include schemas norms and memes 2 paying more attention to process context by exploring the situation dependent and dynamic nature of culture and 3 entertaining alternative research designs methods such as emic approaches qualitative methods experimental designs neuroscience based methods and replication studies while these may represent a major departure from methodologies popular in our field their use can hopefully help us overcome the fragmented discipline based approach which has contributed to the persistent problems that have plagued the study of culture in ib in the past

investment effects of departures from governmental present value budget balance the paper investigates whether departures from government borrowing constraints affect the relationship between fiscal policy innovations and changes in the investment level break points or apparent departures from present value budget balance are then identified next the investment deficit relationship is examined prior to and following identified break points in an effort to detect potential changes in behaviour the investment deficit relationship is quantified by examining posterior coverage bounds of impulse response functions britain appears to undergo such a break around 1973 data from this country suggest that significantly more crowding out occurred following the identified breaks in contrast data from other comparison countries that do not appear to have experienced breaks indicate stable investment deficit relationships

the confidence effects of fiscal consolidations we explore how fiscal consolidations affect private sector confidence a possible channel for the transmission of fiscal policy that has received particular attention recently as a result of governments embarking on austerity trajectories in the aftermath of the crisis panel regressions based on the annual action based datasets of devries et al 2011 and alesina et al 2014a show that consolidations and in particular their unanticipated components affect confidence negatively to obtain a more accurate picture of how consolidations affect confidence we construct a monthly dataset of consolidation announcements so that we can investigate the confidence effects in real time using an event study the results suggest that consumer confidence falls around announcements of consolidation measures an effect likely driven by revenue based measures moreover these effects are highly relevant for european countries with weak institutional arrangements as measured by the tightness of fiscal rules or budgetary transparency the effects on producer confidence are generally similar but weaker than for consumer confidence long term interest rates as a measure of confidence in the sovereign tend to fall around spending based consolidation announcements we have no evidence that the confidence effects of consolidation announcements are worse in slumps than in booms generally strengthening institutional arrangements may help in mitigating adverse confidence effects of consolidations

non keynesian effects of fiscal policy in oecd economies an empirical study this article explores the hypothesis that the propensity to consume out of income varies in a nonlinear fashion with fiscal variables and in particular with government debt per capita using panel data from 18 organization for economic cooperation and development oecd countries we examine whether there is any empirical evidence to support the hypothesis that households move from non ricardian to ricardian behaviour as government debt reaches high levels and as uncertainty about future taxes increases our results provide support for this hypothesis and also suggest that private and government consumption are complements in the household utility function

knowledge transfer in international acquisitions this paper reports on a multimethod study of knowledge transfer in international acquisitions using questionnaire data we show that the transfer of technological know how is facilitated by communication visits meetings and by time elapsed since acquisition while the transfer of patents is associated with the articulability of the knowledge the size of the acquired unit and the recency of the acquisition using case study data we show that the immediate post acquisition period is characterized by imposed one way transfers of knowledge from the acquirer to the acquired but over time this gives way to high quality reciprocal knowledge transfer

the role of trading frictions in financial markets abstract we develop a dynamic general equilibrium model to analyze the role of trading frictions in over the counter markets in our model agents face idiosyncratic preference shocks and a financial market allows them to rebalance their portfolio composed of money and bonds in response to these shocks we disentangle the effects of search and bargaining on welfare and study each one of them we show that bargaining is generally welfare improving while search frictions are not this is because search frictions do not only affect the demand for the respective assets but also their allocation

control changes in multinational corporations adjusting control approaches in practice the issue of control in multinational corporations mncs is central to international business scholarship however prior literature tends to provide a static perspective offering few theoretical insights on control changes especially the practices that enable control adjustments adopting a practice theory perspective we consider control as in the making whereby adjustments emerge through a social accomplishment constituted and reconstituted as headquarters and subsidiaries engage in a co creating process using a longitudinal case study approach we had the rare opportunity to track and compare an unsuccessful and a successful attempt to adjust control in an mnc over time our main theoretical contribution is a model of adjusting control in mncs that details the practices that enable control changes this model offers theoretical implications for organizational control theory in mncs especially in relation to theorizing the subsidiary contribution in the design of control the reconciliation of raised tensions in headquarters subsidiary relationships and the nature of unintended consequences in the adjustment process our study also contributes to theories on mnc change as it details the construction of an ongoing strategy structure alignment for strategic flexibility

the benefit of crises for economic reforms when expenditures consistently outrun revenue the resulting inflation may have the effect of convincing the public and government that taxes must be raised to finance public investment in the advanced industrial countries income taxation and big spurts in taxation generally have become possible only under the impact of major emergency and crisis mostly in wartime in a number of developing countries in

the impact of government debt on private consumption in oecd countries abstract this paper establishes a non linear relationship between private consumption and government debt in oecd countries with high government debt a fiscal expansion is partly crowded out by a fall in private consumption in contrast in low debt countries private consumption is insensitive to changes in government debt thus fiscal policy is less effective in stabilising business cycle fluctuations at higher levels of government debt

managing knowledge transfer in mncs the impact of headquarters control mechanisms in this paper we explore the impact of organisational mechanisms on inter unit knowledge flows in multinational corporations mncs a comprehensive model based on agency theory and socialisation theory is tested on a sample of 134 finnish and chinese mnc subsidiaries our findings indicate that mncs can influence inter unit knowledge transfer by specifying the objectives of the subsidiary and by utilising corporate socialisation mechanisms however we found no support for the hypothesised impact of management compensation systems and the use of expatriate managers on the extent of knowledge transfers from foreign subsidiaries to other parts of the mnc

managing tacit and explicit knowledge transfer in ijvs the role of relational embeddedness and the impact on performance drawing on organizational learning and economic sociology we address how relational embeddedness between the foreign parent and international joint venture ijv managers influences the type of knowledge i e tacit and explicit transferred to the ijv and how the importance of relational embeddedness varies between young and mature ijvs we also examine the influence of tacit and explicit knowledge on ijv performance our results show the importance that tie strength trust and shared values and systems play in the transfer of tacit knowledge especially for mature ijvs our findings are consistent with uzzi s tenets tacit learning is accumulative assists in explaining explicit knowledge and is enhanced by social embeddedness we also find that the influence of transferred tacit knowledge on ijv performance stems principally from its indirect effect on the learning of explicit knowledge

expansionary fiscal contractions and equilibrium indeterminacy a case study for germany on several occasions the 1980s witnessed non keynesian effects of fiscal contractions most notably cuts in government spending in ireland denmark and germany are known to have coincided with increases in private consumption spending self fulfilling expectations about the effects of stabilization policies may explain these and a diversity of opposing experiences this paper formulates a dynamic stochastic equilibrium model with equilibrium indeterminacy which allows for sunspot fluctuations as well as for systematic consumption effects of government policy in either direction cointegration tests and euler equation estimates suggest that the model is approximately in accord with german data parameter estimates imply that the non keynesian experiences are not due to self fulfilling expectations but to the productivity effects of government provided infrastructure services

searching for non linear effects of fiscal policy evidence from industrial and developing countries several recent studies suggest that the response of national saving to scal policy may be non linear in this paper we use two data sets to search for the circumstances in which such non linear response may arise a sample of oecd countries already used in previous studies and a sample of developing countries using more recent world bank data we nd that in both samples non linear e ects tend to be associated with large and persistent scal impulses in the oecd sample the non linearity of the response is stronger for scal contractions than for expansions an increase in net taxes has no e ect on national saving during large scal contractions while it has a positive e ect in less pronounced contractions high or rapidly growing public debt does not appear to be a good predictor of non linear e ects in the world bank sample of developing countries non linearities in the response national saving to scal policy are not limited to large scal contractions and also tend to occur in periods in which debt is accumulating rapidly regardless of its initial level 2000 elsevier science b v all rights reserved jel classixcation e21 e62 h31

macroeconomic effects of fiscal adjustment a tale of two approaches abstract we investigate the short term effects of fiscal adjustment on economic activity in 20 oecd countries from 1970 to 2009 we compare two approaches the traditional approach based on changes in cyclically adjusted primary balance capb and the narrative approach based on historical records proponents of the latter argue that it captures discretionary fiscal adjustment more accurately than the traditional approach we propose a new definition of capb that takes account of fluctuations in asset prices and reflects idiosyncratic features of fiscal policy in individual countries using this new definition we find that fiscal adjustments always have contractionary effects on economic activity in the short term we find no evidence of expansionary non keynesian fiscal adjustments spending based fiscal adjustments lead to smaller output losses than tax based fiscal adjustment these results are in line with the literature using the narrative approach suggesting that the capb when correctly specified can be used as a measure of fiscal adjustments

fiscal consolidations and heterogeneous expectations abstract we analyze fiscal consolidations using a new keynesian model where agents have heterogeneous expectations and are uncertain about the composition of consolidations we look at spending based and tax based consolidations and analyze their effects separately we find that the effects of consolidations and the output multipliers are sensitive to heterogeneity in expectations before and after implementation of a specific fiscal plan depending on the beliefs about the type of consolidation prior to implementation we show that heterogeneity in expectations may lead to optimism in the economy improving thus the performance of a specific fiscal plan or can work towards the opposite direction leading to pessimism amplifying the contractionary effects of the consolidation in general we find that spending based consolidations last longer and lead to deeper recessions when agents are boundedly rational compared to the rational expectations benchmark while the opposite holds for tax based consolidations

perspective absorbing the concept of absorptive capacity how to realize its potential in the organization field the purpose of this perspective paper is to advance understanding of absorptive capacity its underlying dimensions its multilevel antecedents its impact on firm performance and the contextual factors that affect absorptive capacity twenty years after the cohen and levinthal 1990 paper the field is characterized by a wide array of theoretical perspectives and a wealth of empirical evidence in this paper we first review these underlying theories and empirical studies of absorptive capacity given the size and diversity of the absorptive capacity literature we subsequently map the existing terrain of research through a bibliometric analysis the resulting bibliometric cartography shows the major discrepancies in the organization field namely that 1 most attention so far has been focused on the tangible outcomes of absorptive capacity 2 organizational design and individual level antecedents have been relatively neglected in the absorptive capacity literature and 3 the emergence of absorptive capacity from the actions and interactions of individual organizational and interorganizational antecedents remains unclear building on the bibliometric analysis we develop an integrative model that identifies the multilevel antecedents process dimensions and outcomes of absorptive capacity as well as the contextual factors that affect absorptive capacity we argue that realizing the potential of the absorptive capacity concept requires more research that shows how micro antecedents and macro antecedents influence future outcomes such as competitive advantage innovation and firm performance in particular we identify conceptual gaps that may guide future research to fully exploit the absorptive capacity concept in the organization field and to explore future fruitful extensions of the concept

the fiscal state dependent effects of capital income tax cuts abstract using the post wwii data of u s federal corporate income tax changes within a smooth transition var this paper finds that the output effect of capital income tax cuts is government debt dependent it is less expansionary when debt is high than when it is low to explore the mechanisms that can drive this fiscal state dependent tax effect the paper uses a dsge model with regime switching fiscal policy and finds that a capital income tax cut is stimulative to the extent that it is unlikely to result in a future fiscal adjustment as government debt increases to a sufficiently high level the probability of future fiscal adjustments starts rising and the expansionary effects of a capital income tax cut can diminish substantially whether the expected adjustments are through a policy reversal or a consumption tax increase also a capital income tax cut need not always have large revenue feedback effects as suggested in the literature

transactions cost economics and the multinational enterprise an assessment abstract this paper applies transactions cost principles to the multinational enterprise in order to ascertain its distinctive properties as a mode of economic organization the analysis helps identify just when and where contractual alternatives to the multinational firm are likely to be viable this turns out to depend upon the nature of the technology the regime of appropriability within which the firm operates and the characteristics of the markets in question transactions cost analysis is also extended to the multinational enterprise host country relationship implications for management and public policy are derived

fiscal stabilizations when do they work and why abstract this paper studies the determinants and channels through which fiscal contractions influence the dynamics of the debt to gdp ratio and gdp growth using data from a panel of oecd countries the paper shows that the success of fiscal adjustments in decreasing the debt to gdp ratio depends on the size of the fiscal contraction and less on its composition the rate of growth of output matters too but higher gdp growth does not drive the success of a fiscal stabilization in contrast whether a fiscal adjustment is expansionary depends largely on the composition of the fiscal maneuvre in particular stabilizations implemented by cutting public spending lead to higher gdp growth rates the effects of the composition on growth work mostly through the labor market rather than through agents expectations of future fiscal policy finally the evidence suggests that successful and expansionary fiscal contractions are not the result of accompanying expansionary monetary policy or exchange rate devaluations

when do fiscal consolidations lead to consumption booms lessons from a laboratory experiment according to the expectations channel a fiscal consolidation may give rise to less contractionary or even expansionary effects on consumption despite a decline in current disposable income intuitively people may accumulate a stock of savings in anticipation of the consolidation and may start to reduce their savings to support consumption once it occurs we design a laboratory experiment to study the conditions under which the expectations channel operates our results indicate that fiscal contractions that occur in an unsustainable fiscal environment exert less contractionary effects on consumption which supports the expectations channel we also find that the expectations channel is more pronounced if the fiscal authority can convincingly commit to abstain from tax increases in the future whereas increasing subjects level of awareness by running a transparent policy has only little influence on the outcomes

public debt in brazil sustentability and its implications abstract this paper tests sustainability of brazilian public debt in the period 1991 to 2009 and analyzes implications of requiring that the brazilian fiscal policy be primarily committed to the sustainability of the public debt the retrospective analysis utilizes a set of unit root tests and avoids some of the criticism leveled at previous studies by using data which has not previously been used for this purpose and concludes that the public debt was sustainable in the period we consider the prospective analysis is based on the dsge model proposed by jodi gali et al 2007 calibrated for brazil using the conclusions of the retrospective analysis for the fiscal parameters the scenarios produced with the help of the model show that maintaining the sustainability of the public debt is consistent with the monetary policy of inflation targeting we also conclude that it is possible to reduce interest rates to levels below those prevalent at the end of 2010 simultaneously maintaining the stability of the trajectory of the public debt

international expansion through flexible replication learning from the internationalization experience of ikea business organizations may expand internationally by replicating a part of their value chain such as a sales and marketing format in other countries however little is known regarding how such international replicators build a format for replication or how they can adjust it in order to adapt to local environments and under the impact of new learning to illuminate these issues we draw on a longitudinal in depth study of swedish home furnishing giant ikea involving more than 70 interviews we find that ikea has developed organizational mechanisms that support an ongoing learning process aimed at frequent modification of the format for replication another finding is that ikea treats replication as hierarchical lower level features marketing efforts pricing etc are allowed to vary across ikea stores in response to market based learning while higher level features fundamental values vision etc are replicated in a uniform manner across stores and change only very slowly if at all in response to learning flexible replication we conclude by discussing the factors that influence the approach to replication adopted by an international replicator

fiscal policy profits and investment this paper evaluates the effects of fiscal policy on investment using a panel of oecd countries we find a sizeable negative effect of public spending and in particular of its wage component on profits and on business investment this result is consistent with different theoretical models in which government employment creates wage pressure for the private sector various types of taxes also have negative effects on profits but interestingly the effects of government spending on investment are larger than those of taxes our results can explain the so called non keynesian i e expansionary effects of fiscal adjustments jel e22 e62

fiscal crises and aggregate demand can high public debt reverse the effects of fiscal policy abstract this paper shows how the power of fiscal policy to affect consumption can vary depending on the level of public debt at moderate levels of debt fiscal policy has the traditional keynesian effects current generations of consumers discount future taxes because they may not be alive when taxes are raised or there will be a larger population available to pay the taxes but when debt reaches extreme values current generations of consumers know there is a high probability that they will have to pay extra taxes a fiscal deficit can have a contractionary effect in these situations

searching for threshold effects in the evolution of budget deficits an application to the spanish case abstract in this paper we use recent developments on threshold autoregressive tar models that allow us to derive endogenously threshold effects in the evolution of the spanish budget deficit specifically a mean reverting dynamic behaviour of the budget deficit should be expected once such threshold is reached

hyperinflation and stabilisation cagan revisited using a variant of the cagan model with rational expectations this paper shows that expected stabilisation can result in a budget deficit in excess of the maximum inflation tax a cap on the deficit dampens inflation expectations and raises real balances thus increasing the yield of the inflation tax for any given rate of inflation this study extends the work of drazen and helpman 1990 by including a stochastic budgetary process and using option pricing theory it uses parameter values of the semi elasticity of demand for money to provide estimates of the maximum viable real deficit

the effect of cultural distance on entry mode choice international diversification and mne performance a meta analysis although a growing literature indicates that cultural distance that is differences between national cultures is an important determinant of organizational actions and performance both empirical and theoretical concerns abound in this study the relationships of cultural distance with entry mode choice international diversification and mne performance are examined by meta analyzing data from 66 independent samples with cumulative sample sizes ranging from 2 255 to 24 152 regression results failed to provide statistical evidence of significant relationships between cultural distance and entry mode choice international diversification and mne performance the examination of moderator effects however yielded important results we found a strong negative association between cultural distance and entry mode choice for us based mnes the cultural distance international diversification relationship was negative for high technology industries while it was positive for other industries cultural distance also had a strong positive effect on mne performance for developed country investments a similar strong positive relationship was found between cultural distance and international diversification in studies with more recent samples results of this study indicate that substantial additional research is needed before the role of cultural distance is fully understood

non linear budgetary policies evidence from 150 years of italian public finance we investigate the sustainability of italy s public nances from 1862 to 2012 adopting a non linear perspective speci cally we employ the smooth transition regression approach to explore the scope for non linear scal adjustments of primary surpluses in response to the accumulation of debt the empirical results show the occurrence of a signi cantly positive reaction of primary surpluses to debt when the debt gdp ratio exceeded the trigger value of 110 percent the afterthreshold positive response implies that the path of italy s scal policy is su ciently consistent with the intertemporal budget constraint

the importance of composition of fiscal policy evidence from different exchange rate regimes abstract we study the macroeconomic effects of fiscal policies in an open economy we emphasize two transmission mechanisms the cost channel by which wage government spending and labor taxes raise the real wage firms must pay and the exchange rate channel by which the nominal exchange rate shifts induced by fiscal policy have real effects if some prices and wages are sticky the latter channel implies that changes in wage government spending or in labor taxation should have different effects under flexible than under fixed exchange rates in a 1964 93 panel of oecd countries we find significant evidence for both channels moreover we find that the real product wage and profitability are more responsive than quantities employment and output to fiscal policy innovations

sovereign default risk and state dependent twin deficits abstract this paper analyzes the impact of the government debt to gdp ratio on the correlation of the fiscal balance and the current account above a government debt to gdp ratio of 90 percent the correlation of the two balances decreases by 0 16 in a sample of 12 euro area countries and by 0 17 for greece ireland portugal and spain this paper develops a small open economy model with defaultable government debt and riskless international capital markets to explain the empirical evidence of a state dependent change in the correlation in the model high public debt to gdp ratios raise sovereign risk premia as the default probability increases leading to higher uncertainty about future taxes in this case precautionary savings of households increase and partially compensate current account deficits that result from fiscal deficits the increase in households saving reduces the correlation of the two balances by the same magnitude as documented in the data the model calibrated to greece matches further business cycle moments and the empirical default frequency

variation in the fiscal multiplier with the method of financing evidence across industrial countries government spending has often varied with the business cycle to stimulate the economy and to revive economic conditions however the state of public finances has often necessitated higher borrowing to finance widening fiscal deficits indeed recent austerity packages around the globe have crystalized the importance of fiscal consolidation against the backdrop of rising public debt to shed light on recent debates regarding fiscal multipliers the article estimates variation in these multipliers with the method of financing using annual data for a sample of industrial countries there is a large variation in the effects of expansionary and contractinary government spending shocks on economic variables within and across countries the significant effects of negative government spending shocks fiscal contraction appear more prevalent than those of expansionary shocks on real output growth price inflation and nominal wage inflation consistent with theory s predictions the fiscal multiplier is more lik

search and deliberation in international exchange microfoundations to some macro patterns in this era of globalization how do we explain the home bias unexpectedly large distance effects and lagged adjustment patterns visible in international exchange in this paper i argue that in the real world the identity and reliability of potential exchange partners are seldom the data that most economists take them to be in fact firms confront formidable problems of search and deliberation in these circumstances firms social networks can provide a key recourse yet for historical reasons most firms social networks still tend to be local or national and absent institutional solutions even in the face of apparent cross border economic opportunities firms responses appear overly sticky and lagged i explore these arguments in an empirical study that contrasts multinational and domestic firms trade responses to changes in real exchange rates

a microfoundations approach to transnational capabilities the role of knowledge search in an ever changing world scholars seeking to understand the origin of dynamic capabilities have struggled to articulate specific capabilities and locate their source of variation within the firm we propose that the transnational imperative and a microfoundations approach to knowledge search can help to develop this topic adopting an engaged scholarship approach hypotheses are tested in a global consulting company counter to traditional capabilities arguments we find that drawing from globally dispersed colleagues will more strongly impact local responsiveness than drawing from locals outside the company though both may still be needed efficiency increases when teams draw upon codified knowledge but decreases when they draw upon embedded tacit knowledge finally through continual learning teams can change and re direct the composition of their responsiveness and efficiency activities in ways sensitive to an ever changing world

fiscal stimulus with spending reversals abstract the short run effects of fiscal policy depend not only on current tax and spending choices but also on expectations about future policy adjustment while general equilibrium models typically restrict medium term adjustment to taxation we highlight the importance of government spending dynamics first we provide time series evidence for the united states suggesting that an exogenous increase in government spending prompts a rise in public debt followed over time by a reduction in spending below trend second we show how expected spending reversals alter the short run impact of fiscal policy in a new keynesian model bringing it closer in line with the evidence

nonlinearities and the sustainability of the government s intertemporal budget constraint i introduction fiscal policy sustainability is an important issue for european union eu countries which are subject to some forms of monitoring of their public finances the european stability and growth pact esgp constrains the fiscal policy of member states by limiting their autonomy in creating excessive deficits 1 this because fiscal disequilibria in one state create negative externalities for the other member countries and in the case of european monetary union emu countries can endanger the overall credibility of the euro currency on the other hand given the common monetary policy the correction of idiosyncratic shocks is assigned to the fiscal instrument alone imposing further pressure on the fiscal policy of member countries while the issue of sustainability of the public finances of the eu emu countries has received an increasing attention less attention has been paid to the issue of how the sustainability is achieved that is how budgetary authorities adjust fiscal policies to achieve maintain a sustainable path of public debt focusing on this adjustment by applying linear and nonlinear error correction models is the main purpose of this paper our empirical analysis is based on italy which provides an interesting case as it joined the emu in 1999 in spite of a stock of public debt of around 113 of nominal gdp against the 60 level required by the maastricht treaty and whose public accounts are often under scrutiny for struggling to comply with the esgp 2 as well as for subsequent downgradings of its sovereign debt by the main credit rating agencies 3 in this paper we address three main relevant policy questions first are the italian public finances sustainable second is the process of fiscal adjustment equally shared by changes in revenues and changes in government spending third does fiscal adjustment vary with the sign and magnitude of disequilibria and or with the state of the economy these are important questions for policy making purposes although our methodology is only applied to italy we feel our work should be of definite interest to other european countries and beyond bearing in mind that italy enjoys membership of the g7 economies and accounts for around 17 of eurozone s gdp a better understanding of how its public finances operate in practice is extremely important for monitoring the fiscal health of eurozone countries and minimizing at an early stage possible threats to eurozone s stability as well as limiting any spill over effects to the rest of the world further loans from the european financial stability facility 4 efsf can only meet the approval of policymakers if they feel confident they have a deep understanding of how individual member states pursue their own fiscal policies toward sustainability verifiability and credibility of sustainable fiscal policies would also condition the availability of the european stability mechanism consisting in a permanent bail out fund for eurozone member states bofinger et al 2010 that is expected to become operational from 2013 at the expiry of the efsf at the same time proposals for independent monitoring of public finances of member states as well as stricter sanctions such as the temporary suspension of voting rights for eurozone members that break the region s rules on public finances are put forward by the european central bank trichet 2010 all these recent policy developments confirm the importance of our research in providing a comprehensive framework for empirically testing the sustainability of fiscal policy our proposed approach provides a number of interesting findings the italian government s intertemporal budget constraint ibc is formally respected in spite of the high levels of public debt nevertheless the burden of correcting budgetary disequilibria is entirely carried out via changes in the average tax rate rather than changes in government spending or policy mixes

microfoundations in international management research the case of knowledge sharing in multinational corporations microfoundations have become an important theme in recent macro management research however the international management im field is an exception to this we document the lack of attention on microfoundations in im research by focusing on knowledge sharing a key im research field which we investigate by means of a keyword based literature study of the leading im and general management journals we discuss possible reasons why microfoundations have so far met with less resonance in im research we point to the training and background of im scholars as possible reasons we also highlight the significance that im scholars place on context and structure in explanation these may be seen as contrary to a microfoundations perspective a view that we show is incorrect we end by identifying several microfoundational issues in im research calling for a sustained effort with respect to theory heuristics and empirics

fiscal readjustments in the united states a nonlinear time series analysis we analyze the fiscal adjustment process in the united states using a multivariate threshold vector error regression model the shift from single equation to multivariate setting adds value both in terms of our economic understanding of the fiscal adjustment process and the forecasting performance of nonlinear models we find evidence that fiscal authorities intervene to reduce real per capita deficit only when it reaches a certain threshold and that fiscal adjustment takes place primarily by cutting government expenditure the results of out of sample density forecast and probability forecasts suggest that a shift from a univariate autoregressive model to a multivariate model improves forecast performance

stabilization with exchange rate management stabilization programs in open economies typically consist of two stages in the first stage the rate of currency devaluation is reduced but the fiscal adjustment does not eliminate the fiscal deficit that causes growth of debt and loss of reserves making a future policy change necessary only later at a second stage is this followed by either an abandonment of exchange rate management or by a sufficiently large cut in the fiscal deficit we study how different second stage policy changes affect economic dynamics during the first stage these changes include tax increases budget cuts on traded and nontraded goods and increases in the growth rate of money

cultural differences convergence and crossvergence as explanations of knowledge transfer in international acquisitions in spite of the proliferation of research on cultural differences in international mergers and acquisitions we lack systematic analyses of the impact of cultural factors on knowledge transfer in this paper we argue that both national and organizational cultural differences and cultural integration in the form of cultural convergence and crossvergence affect knowledge transfer in acquisitions we develop specific hypotheses concerning the nature of these effects and test our hypotheses with data on international acquisitions carried out by finnish corporations the analyses performed show that national cultural differences provide great potential for knowledge transfer in international acquisitions furthermore organizational cultural convergence and crossvergence have a significant positive impact on knowledge transfer in particular convergence and crossvergence moderate the impact of national cultural differences on knowledge transfer

searching locally and globally applying daniel levinthal s scholarship to international business daniel a levinthal has made several important contributions to the fields of strategy and management his research has been pivotal in enhancing our understanding of interactions between the internal and external contexts that organizations face as well as the roles of experience search and learning processes despite substantial overlap between the core issues in international business ib and levinthal s work the ib field has yet to fully embrace key tenets of his research we aim to bridge this gap by providing a number of concrete suggestions for areas in which ib research may benefit from levinthal s work and vice versa

multilevel models in international business research multiple level or mixed linear modeling mlm can simultaneously test hypotheses at several levels of analysis usually two or three or control for confounding effects at one level while testing hypotheses at others advances in multi level modeling allow increased precision in quantitative international business ib research and open up new methodological and conceptual possibilities however they create new challenges and they are still not frequently used in ib research in this editorial we outline some key methodological issues for the uses of mlm in ib including criteria sample size and measure equivalence issues we then examine promising directions for future multilevel ib research considering comparative opportunities at nation multiple nation cluster and within nation region levels including large multilevel databases we also consider its promise for mne research about semi globalization interorganizational effects across nations clusters within nations and teams and subsidiaries within mnes

knowledge transfer from international joint ventures to local suppliers in a developing economy using in depth data from 155 pakistani auto components suppliers we study the role of socialization in knowledge transfer from international joint venture assemblers we find that whereas formal socialization mechanisms enhance the comprehension and speed of knowledge transfer to local suppliers informal socialization mechanisms enhance comprehension but not speed building on structural contingency theory we find that having a mechanistic organizational structure among knowledge recipients is an antecedent to formal socialization leading to improved knowledge transfer

trigger points and budget cuts explaining the effects of fiscal austerity we propose and solve an optimizing model which explains counterintuitive effects of fiscal policy in terms of expectations if government spending follows an upward trending stochastic process which the public believes may fall sharply when it reaches specific trigger points then optimizing consumption behavior and simple budget constraint arithmetic imply a nonlinear relationship between private consumption and government spending this theoretical relation is consistent with the experience of several countries jel e62 e21 textbook aggregate demand models suggest simple relationships between the government budget and economic activity a cut in the government deficit for example depressing consumption and output though such models heavily influence the design of stabilization policies their micro foundations are unclear and their sharp predictions are not always consistent with reality in many countries large cuts in government spending carried out as part of stabilization programs have led to expansions rather than contractions in economic activity the absence of simple relationships be