party systems and electoral volatility in latin america a test of economic institutional and structural explanations three different theoretical explanations are tested for the exceptionally high level of electoral volatility found in contemporary latin america economic voting institutional characteristics of political regimes and party systems and the structure and organization of class cleavages a pooled cross sectional time series regression analysis is conducted on 58 congressional elections and 43 presidential elections in 16 latin american countries during the 1980s and 1990s institutional variables have the most consistent effect on volatility while the influence of economic performance is heavily contingent upon the type of election and whether the dependent variable is operationalized as incumbent vote change or aggregate electoral volatility the results demonstrate that electoral volatility is a function of short term economic perturbations the institutional fragilities of both democratic regimes and party systems and relatively fluid cleavage structures

poverty and environmental degradation in the nicaraguan hillsides abstract this article questions the assumption of poverty as a major cause of environmental degradation examining five environmentally harmful natural resource management practices in the nicaraguan hillsides it shows that the immediate agents of environmental degradation are the nonpoor farmers not the poorest it argues that to analyze the causal links between poverty and environment a distinction between poverty as a state of deprivation and poverty as a relational phenomenon is necessary finally the article warns that the often strategic reference to poverty as the major cause of environmental degradation made by nonpoor and poor farmers may lead to negative environmental impacts

rhetoric on the economy have european parties changed their economic messages abstractthis study analyses the determinants of dispersion of economic issue mentions in european party manifestos we examined three main economic domains governmental control of the economy free market capitalism and support for the welfare state as consequences of globalization forces economic conditions partisanship and electoral turnout employing aggregate level comparative manifesto project cmp data from legislative elections in 15 european countries from 1970 to 2010 we confirm that parties hold a common view of the salience of economic control of the state as a consequence of globalization pressure and economic growth levels partisanship of the cabinets regardless of the political orientation counteracted issue salience concentration in the welfare domain government size favoured dispersion in the free market realm our results do not indicate clear homogenization of parties economic messages in elections over the last 40 years

inter vivos transfers and intergenerational exchange the surge of interest in intergenerational transfers in the past decade has sparked a debate over the motivation for them are transfers given out of altruism or part of an exchange while each motive is probably at work to some extent we know little about whether one motive predominates the question is relevant for issues concerning public income redistribution and inequality in the family but despite its importance empirical evidence about motives is scarce because of limited data we investigate a new data set the national survey of families and households which remedies many of the shortcomings of other data sets containing private transfer information we find that empirical patterns for inter vivos transfers i e transfers between living persons are more consistent with exchange than altruism

demand for collective goods in private nonprofit markets can fundraising expenditures help overcome free rider behavior abstract economic theory ascribes the primary role in the provision of public goods to government this emphasis on government overlooks the role of the not for profit sector in providing collective type goods in this paper we seek to determine the factors influencing charitable contributions to private nonprofit organizations by estimating a demand function for the output of these collective good providers specifically we test the hypothesis that voluntary giving is responsive to conventional market variables such as advertising expenditures price and quality overall the results are strongly supportive

communism federalism and ethnic minorities explaining party competition patterns in eastern europe scholarship on east european politics expects that party competition in the region is determined by various communist legacies juxtaposing state centric authoritarianism to a liberal market economy recent empirical evidence however uncovers significant variance of party competition patterns across east european countries to explain this variance this article argues that an interaction between communist institutional framework and partisan responses to ethnic minorities determines party competition structure in the region while experience with communist federalism determines partisan affinities with ethnic minorities tolerance or support for ethnic minorities leads the political actors associated with those minorities to general socially liberal positions consequently and contrary to received knowledge ethnic politics influence the ideological content of party competition and structure party systems in eastern europe

rules and games this paper reconsiders the relationship between the rules of a game and its outcomes we develop a notion of rule reform that leads to the selection of pareto improved equilibria points we then apply this notion to a series of naturally occurring fishing rules including examples from malaysia india brazil turkey and canada we show that reforming a game is conceptually akin to reforming an economy

growth and chronic poverty evidence from rural communities in ethiopia abstract what keeps some people persistently poor even in the context of relative high growth in this article we explore this question using a 15 year longitudinal data set from ethiopia we compare the findings of an empirical growth model with those derived from a model of the determinants of chronic poverty we ask whether the chronically poor are simply not benefiting in the same way from the same factors that allowed others to escape poverty or whether there are latent factors that leave them behind we find that this chronic poverty is associated with several initial characteristics lack of physical assets education and remoteness in terms of distance to towns or poor roads the chronically poor appear to benefit from some of the drivers of growth such as better roads or extension services in much the same way that the non chronically poor benefit however they appear to have lower growth in this period related to time invariant characteristics and this suggests that they face a conside

economic growth and environmental degradation the environmental kuznets curve and sustainable development abstract in this paper we critically examine the concept of the environmental kuznets curve ekc it proposes that there is an inverted u shape relation between environmental degradation and income per capita so that eventually growth reduces the environmental impact of economic activity the concept is dependent on a model of the economy in which there is no feedback from the quality of the environment to production possibilities and in which trade has a neutral effect on environmental degradation the actual violation of these assumptions gives rise to fundamental problems in estimating the parameters of an ekc the paper identifies other econometric problems with estimates of the ekc and reviews a number of empirical studies the inference from some such ekc estimates that further development will reduce environmental degradation is dependent on the assumption that world per capita income is normally distributed when in fact median income is far below mean income we carry out simulations combining ekc estimates from the literature with world bank forecasts for economic growth for individual countries aggregating over countries to derive the global impact within the horizon of the bank s forecast 2025 global emissions of so 2 continue to increase forest loss stabilizes before the end of the period but tropical deforestation continues at a constant rate throughout the period

intra generational equity and sustainable welfare a time series analysis for the uk and sweden this paper discusses the importance of intra generational equity to sustainable development it outlines a number of methodologies for measuring income inequality in the economy and presents several possible ways of incorporating the impact of distributional effects into measures of welfare in the economy the authors highlight in particular an index developed by atkinson atkinson a b 1970 distributive politics and economic growth q j econ may 465 490 based on the social welfare model this method possesses two main advantages over other methods firstly it is expressed directly in terms of social well being secondly value judgements incorporated into the measure are made explicit through the parameter o which expresses society s degree of aversion to income inequality the paper calculates the value of the atkinson index for two case study countries sweden and the uk between 1950 and 1996 for a central estimate of o0 8 the results show that the welfare loss due to inequalities in the distribution of income varied between 5 and 10 for sweden and between 6 and 14 for the uk with the higher values coming towards the end of the period the paper explores the sensitivity of these results to changes in the value of o for the case of the uk and discusses the relevance of the work to the measurement of sustainable welfare 2000 elsevier science b v all rights reserved

party systems and government stability in central and eastern europe after two decades of parliamentary democracy the countries of central and eastern europe cee have quite different records of government stability at the same time there continues to be turbulent fluctuation within the individual countries to explain this variation the authors draw on characteristics of parties and party systems for 138 governments in 12 cee countries the analysis is structured by two distinct logics that underlie the effect of party related attributes on government survival the logic of internal friction within the government and the logic of external pressure from the opposition the authors argue that in the difficult contexts of postcommunist party systems these two logics do not operate independently of each other instead they suggest that standard theory needs to be revised to account for the interactions of government and opposition characteristics their model of these interactions not only includes standard numeric and ideological variables but also integrates specificities of the postcommunist context the regime divide and the low degree of party system consolidation quantitative and qualitative findings demonstrate that government stability in cee is interactively determined by whole constellations of party attributes

growth inequality and poverty looking beyond averages the evidence is compelling that the poor in developing countries do typically share in the gains from rising aggregate affluence and in the losses from aggregate contraction but how much do poor people share in growth do they gain more in some settings than others do some gain while others lose does pro poor growth mean more or less aggregate growth recent theories and evidence suggest some answers but deeper microeconomic empirical work is needed on growth and distributed change only then will we have a firm basis for identifying the specific policies and programs needed to complement and possibly modify growth oriented policies

consistent estimation of the impact of tax deductibility on the level of charitable contributions when charitable contributions are tax deductible the marginal price of charitable giving in other consumption foregone per dollar of contributions is generally less than unity further if the income tax schedule is a progressive step function the marginal price of contributions is generally a rising step function of the level of contributions the problem of estimating a contributions demand function for individuals is therefore complicated by the spurious correlation between the level of contributions and the observed marginal price we take this econometric problem into account in estimating a contributions demand function using data from the 1972 73 consumer expenditure survey after comparing our results with those of estimation techniques used by other authors we provide evidence on the impacts of alternative tax policies on charitable giving using our estimates of the model parameters

poverty income distribution and policy making this paper deals with the key distributional issues arising from the regulation of the environment and the management of natural resources the paper is divided into a section dealing with poverty and a section dealing with broader income distribution effects although there is much discussion of the linkages of poverty to environmental degradation empirical studies establishing these linkages are few the relationship is critically dependent on the institutional structures in the countries concerned and how they respond to changing environmental pressures on the broader distributional impacts the papers focusses on the analysis of ganiers and losers from environmental regulations the analysis is complex because the direct incidence is not the same as the final incidence much of the work has looked only at the former in addition the political economy of regulation needs to pay greater attention to impacts on key and vulnerable groups more so than can be done by looking at broad income bands

the intra country distributional impact of policies to fight climate change a survey abstract in this paper we present a survey of distributional impact analysis of environmental policies with emphasis on taxes envisaged or implemented to reduce greenhouse gas emissions ghg these policies usually aim at reducing ghg directly or indirectly however they can produce important changes in factor allocation relative prices in specific countries as well as on world markets when adopted by a large number of countries changes in welfare can be important for vulnerable groups of population in developing countries this survey reviews the evidence on the incidence of these policies in the process it shows that the computable general equilibrium cge microsimulation approach has not been fully exploited in the context

policy divergence in multicandidate probabilistic spatial voting existing models of multicandidate spatial competition with probabilistic voting typically predict a high degree of policy convergence yet in actual elections candidates advocate quite divergent sets of policies what accounts for this disparity between theory and empirical observation i introduce two variations on the basic probabilistic vote model which may account for candidate policy divergence 1 a model which incorporates candidate specific variables so that candidates may enjoy nonpolicy related electoral advantages or disadvantages 2 a model which allows nonzero correlations between the random terms associated with voters candidate utilities thereby capturing situations where voters view two or more candidates as similar on nonpolicy grounds i report candidate equilibrium analyses for each model which show far greater policy divergence than exists under the standard probabilistic vote model i then analyze the strategic logic which underlies these results

assessing poverty deforestation links evidence from swat pakistan abstract this paper contributes to the debate on the links between poverty and forestry degradation the view that due to poverty and the meeting of subsistence needs the poor use natural resources more intensively and hence cause them to degrade using the case of the forest rich swat district pakistan the paper addresses the issue empirically historically and institutionally we do not find empirical support for the poverty environment nexus in that the poor and other income groups are equally resource dependent and also show that resource degradation is not associated with poverty our historical and institutional analyses provide alternative explanations for resource degradation selective and rotating ownership patterns starting with the 17th century provided limited incentive for resource conservation it also created tension between de jure and de facto owners that has persisted and is one source of forest degradation ill defined resource rights have also exacerbated the impacts of several other factors contributing to forest degradation which is compounded by poor management corruption and perverse incentives

how economic integration affects party issue emphases the economic dimension has typically been considered the primary dimension of political party competition however parties often rally voters on the basis of non economic issues in this article we argue that integration into global markets and into the european union eu constrains parties abilities to credibly differentiate themselves on economic issues given these constraints and voters awareness of them parties activate other non economic issues along which to compete using data across 49 countries between 1961 and 2010 this study shows that increased economic integration is associated with increased emphasis on non economic issues during election campaigns this effect persists over time and remains robust to a number of alternative explanations and modeling strategies we also explore the proposed causal mechanisms and show that integration is indeed associated with convergence of party positions on economic issues and that all types of parties not just new and niche parties respond to int

understanding how income influences willingness to pay for joint programs a more equitable value measure for the less wealthy the preponderance of evidence from many studies is that less wealthy households are subjected to greater exposure per capita and in aggregate to air pollution water pollution and toxic wastes it also is the case that the less wealthy are provided with a disproportionately low amount of other programs to enhance amenities provided by the natural environment such as recreational resources and high quality esthetic opportunities both quality and quantity however to date no study has quantified the scale of this effect on the less wealthy as compared to their more wealthy counterparts when it comes to policy choices made on the basis of benefits analysis this study provides a new equity adjustment method to measure quantitatively the effect of this inequity in the case of public goods

debt poverty and resource management in a rural smallholder economy this paper develops a model to capture the key features of poverty credit constraints and resource management faced by poor rural households we assume that due to the existence of asymmetric information and moral hazard the household faces an increasing cost of credit as its debt equity ratio rises a household exploiting a natural resource may fall into a poverty trap but only if it is unable to afford the increasing borrowing costs implied by increasing debt to allow it to avoid such a trap or if it discounts future utility so much that a balanced growth path cannot be financed at any level of long run borrowing in contrast along an optimal balanced growth path the household s asset wealth purchased inputs resource stock and consumption increase at the same constant rate however over the long run there may be carrying capacity limits that prevent the resource from improving further the household may then direct its savings to accumulating financial assets and eventually under certain conditions may become a net creditor with resource exploitation becoming a less and less important source of its income

party policy diffusion do parties learn from or emulate parties in other political systems this research develops the argument that parties are more likely to employ the heuristic of learning from and emulating foreign successful incumbent parties spatial econometric analyses of parties election policies from several established democracies robustly confirm that political parties respond to left right policy positions of foreign political parties that have recently governed by showing that parties respond to these foreign incumbent parties this work has significant implications for our understanding of party competition furthermore we contribute to the literature on public policy diffusion as we suggest that political parties are important vehicles through which public policies diffuse

blending top down federalism with bottom up engagement to reduce inequality in ethiopia donors increasingly fund interventions to counteract inequality in developing countries where they fear it can foment instability and undermine nation building efforts to succeed aid relies on the principle of upward accountability to donors but federalism shifts the accountability of subnational officials downward to regional and local voters what happens when aid agencies fund anti inequality programs in federal countries does federalism undermine aid does aid undermine federalism or can the political and fiscal relations that define a federal system resolve the contradiction internally this study explores this paradox via the promotion of basic services program in ethiopia the largest donor financed investment program in the world using an original panel database comprising the universe of ethiopian woredas districts the study finds that horizontal geographic inequality decreased substantially donor financed block grants to woredas increased the availability of primary education and health care services in the bottom 20 percent of woredas weaker evidence from household surveys suggests that vertical inequality across wealth groups within woredas also declined implying that individuals from the poorest households benefit disproportionately from increasing access to and utilization of such services the evidence suggests that by combining strong upward accountability over public investment with extensive citizen engagement on local issues ethiopia s federal system resolves the instrumental dissonance posed by aid funded programs to combat inequality in a federation

on aid growth and good policies this study provides a critical analysis of the growth regressions in burnside and dollar 2000 first we analyse the relationship between aid and government expenditure in a modified neo classical growth model one of the main results of the analysis is that while good policies spur growths they may at the same time reduce the effectiveness of foreign aid second we show that the econometric results in burnside and dollar emphasising the crucial role of interaction between aid and good policies in the growth process are fragile as they are extremely data dependent finally we demonstrate that the burnside and dollar data lend support to the idea that the association between aid and growth can be approximated by decreasing returns to aid this finding conforms well to regression results in other recent studies

right target wrong mechanism agricultural modernization and poverty reduction in uganda summary household consumption surveys suggest that the downward trend in rural poverty indicators recorded in uganda during the 1990s has been reversed since 2000 this paper examines the ugandan government s strategy to reduce rural poverty the plan for modernization of agriculture pma it argues that while there appear few better choices of target for the pma than to improve incomes of the rural poor through increased agricultural productivity emphasis on decentralization as a mechanism for poverty reduction is misplaced in the current political context of uganda the paper considers what alternative mechanisms might better deliver reductions in rural poverty

unpacking logm toward a more general theory of party system density the standard model of political party system density combines two traditions to explain why some countries have more political parties than others one tradition that emphasizes social cleavages and another that emphasizes electoral institutions especially district magnitude despite its considerable success there are several reasons to be less than fully satisfied with the standard model we examine two of these problems associated with the scope of strategic voting and the functional form of the specification used to test the model in doing so we contrast the standard interpretation with an organizational ecology model that accounts for what the standard model did so well but also accounts for important anomalies it ignores we reexamine some of the key analyses that have been used to test the standard model to assess the severity of its limitations and the utility of the rival organizational ecology account

contracting problems and regulation the case of the fishery the inefficiencies of common property fisheries are of continuing concern to economists the early work by scott gordon 1954 and anthony scott 1955 outlined the problem and later studies by james crutchfield and giulio pontecorvo 1969 and frederick bell 1972 provided empirical estimates of the losses that result those studies were followed by the dynamic models of colin clark 1976 and james quirk and vernon smith 1970 of optimal harvest rates and the use of corrective taxes or quotas to achieve them but in spite of a large and growing literature and the persuasiveness of the outlined efficiency criteria most fisheries retain common property aspects with overcapitalization and excessive labor input why those conditions persist and the failure of the regulatory response to them are the issues addressed in this paper we examine a number of fisheries but focus on the texas shrimp industry which is one of the nation s most valuable fisheries for a single species and which shares the common property characteristics observed elsewhere it is considered overcapitalized and catch per unit of effort is falling 2 examination of the fishery reveals the many margins along which rent dissipation occurs and the nature of the regulations necessary for controlling fishing effort to avoid those losses the regulatory environment in texas is complicated by conflict within the fishery between inshore and offshore fishermen the latter assert that bay shrimping reduces the number of shrimp that successfully migrate to the gulf the inshore fishery is highlighted by another issue the recent resettlement of some 30 45 000 vietnamese refugees including many fishermen along the texas coast marine advisory service paul starr their entry has been met by hostility and violence from existing shrimpers who recognize that they are in an environment characterized by the absence of property rights bay shrimpers have lobbied the texas legislature for broad limits on new entrants yet ironically the sale of additional boats by individual shrimpers to the vietnamese has facilitated entry of the refugees into the fishery regulations in the texas shrimp and other fisheries are incomplete leaving many options for rent dissipation uncontrolled because of high contracting costs among fishermen and political factors that mold government actions contracting costs are high among heterogeneous fishermen who vary principally with regard to fishing skill 3 montana state university and texas a m university respectively we benefitted from comments by terry anderson raymond c battalio gardner brown oscar burt micha gisser wade griffin john r moroney anthony d scott peter temin and participants in workshops at texas a m university and the university of washington research assistance was provided by scott barnhart and phil mizzi funding was provided by sea grant texas a m university throughout this paper we use the terms common property and open access interchangeably here the terms describe a situation where no property rights group or individual exist s for the resource 2catch per unit of effort in the inshore texas gulf and federal gulf waters is presented for 1963 77 by w l griffin c g tydlacka and w e grant they show catch per unit of effort generally falling in inshore and offshore waters while catch per unit of effort fluctuates from year to year it falls from approximately 360 kg shrimp per unit of effort to 220 kg from 1963 to 1977 the common property nature of the fishery is reflected in the following statistics since 1975 the number of vessels has grown by 23 percent nelson swartz for fish houses the record of entry is similar between 1970 a d 1977 the number of firms grew from 259 to 287 though during that period many left the industry as others entered the number of fish houses was calculated from license data supplied by the texas parks and wildlife department the record of entry by fish houses suggests that monopsony as discussed by colin clark and gordon munro is absent in the fishery 3there may be minor differences in labor leisure choices and capital but our statistical evidence and discussions with fishermen indicate that catch variations are largely due to skill government regulations in the texas bays restrict capital and our empirical evidence shows boats to be relatively homogeneous

aid allocation and poverty reduction the authors derive a poverty efficient allocation of aid and compare it with actual aid allocations they build the poverty efficient allocation in two stages first they use new world bank ratings of 20 different aspects of national policy to establish the current relationship between aid policies and growth onto that they add a mapping from growth to poverty reduction which reflects the level and distribution of income they compare the effects of using headcount and poverty gap measures of poverty they find the actual allocation of aid to be radically different from the poverty efficient allocation in the efficient allocation for a given of poverty aid tapers in with policy reform in the actual allocation aid tapers out with reform in the efficient allocation aid is targeted disproportionately to countries with severe poverty and adequate polices the type of country where 74 percent of the world s poor live in the actual allocation such countries receive a much smaller share of aid 56 percent than their share of the world s poor with the present allocation aid is effective in sustainably lifting about 30 million people a year out of absolute poverty with a poverty efficient allocation this would increase to about 80 million people even with political constraints introduced to keep allocations for india and china constant poverty reduction would increase to about 60 million reallocating aid is politically difficult but it may be considerably less difficult than quadrupling aid budgets which is what the authors estimate would be necessary to achieve the same impact on poverty reduction with existing aid allocations

subdividing the commons distributional conflict in the transition from collective to individual property rights in kenya s maasailand summary this paper suggests that explanations of property rights transformation need to move beyond models of relative price change and state enforcement to include accounts that accommodate conflict and competition among actors and the possibility that state actors may not provide the enforcement that is often taken for granted the transition from collective to individualized holdings in kenya s maasailand is burdened with politics and procedural problems that can undermine the gains anticipated in that move moreover in semi arid ecological settings individualization results in unstable land holdings necessitating re contracting and reaggregation by individual parcel owners

poverty and resource dependence in rural india abstract previous studies of rural households in developing countries have tended to find that the dependence of these households on common pool resources declines with income our study of households in jhabua india finds a more complex relationship using the share of resource income in total long run or permanent income as our dependence measure which we argue is more appropriate than the short run income based measure commonly used in the literature we find that for households that collect any resources at all dependence exhibits a u shaped relationship with income that is the poorest and richest households depend more on resources than households with intermediate incomes the poorest and richest households are also found to be least likely to collect however indicating that resource use at the income extremes is bimodal either zero or above average moreover the observed trends for resources as a whole are not mirrored in those for individual resources dependence on fuelwood and dung declines with income for example while dependence on fodder and construction wood increases these findings suggest that common pool resources are a productive source of income not just for the poor but also for the rich and that improvements in the stocks of these resources can potentially form the basis of poverty reduction efforts in these economies

policy and the dynamics of political competition informed discussions of political competition by journalists pundits novelists country specialists or indeed practicing politicians usually describe a system in perpetual motion perpetual motion is seen as a normal state of affairs not a manifestation of chaotic instability and it is usually seen as having an endogenous dynamic what the actors do at cycle c of the political process feeds back to affect the entire process at cycle c 1 these informed discussions thus see politics as a complex dynamic system evolving under its own steam a system unlikely to reach steady state in stark contrast mainstream models of political competition are usually static with key model parameters and rules of interaction fixed exogenously although static models do not necessarily imply equilibrium almost invariably the core intellectual approach is to specify a model and solve for equilibrium authors of such models are typically driven by what cederman describes as a metaphysical conviction that equilibria are always out there waiting to be discovered a conviction that can blind the analyst to the possibility of adjustments never settling cederman 1997 34 35 but if common sense tells us party competition is a complex dynamic process then it also tells us party competition may never achieve equilibrium this paper addresses the striking disjuncture between the static nature of most formal models of party competition and the dynamic way in which informed observers who hardly ever talk about politics in terms of equilibrium think about the political process while many theorists would willingly concede in general terms that real political competition is a complex dynamic process the hard question concerns how to model this in a way that is both theoretically tractable and substantively plausible in what follows i set out

inequality growth and democracy the analysis of the relationship between inequality and economic growth in distinct politi coeconomic environments has been one of the central preoccupations of the extensive theoretical and empirical work on growth in the last decade the authors argue that the empirical evidence available to date strongly indicates the relevance of this work for understanding the elusive causal connection between economic development and democracy the state of the literature suggests considerable sophistication in conceptualizing the direct economic effects of inequality and contains critical insights into politically unconstrained policy making aimed at the alleviation of their negative economic impact however the political feasibility of the recommended policy measures and the politically mediated effects of inequality and redistributive policy on growth and on the strength and stability of democratic regimes are understood less well the authors discuss the critical factors influencing these effects and sketch several approaches to creating a comprehensive politicoeconomic account of the interaction between inequality redistributive policy making and political regimes

decentralization and access to social services in colombia decentralization is meant to improve access to public services but relatively few studies examine this question empirically we explore the effects of decentralization on access to health and education in colombia using an original database covering over 95 of colombian municipalities we show that decentralization improved enrollment rates in public schools and access of the poor to public health services in both sectors improving access was driven by the financial contributions of local governments small increases in own shares of spending led to surprisingly large increases in the access of the poor in both sectors our theoretical model implies that where local information dominates productive efficiency elected local governments will provide services better tailored to local needs decentralizing such services should increase their use by the public together theory and empirics imply that decentralization made the colombian state more accountable it provided local officials with the information and incentives they need to allocate resources in a manner responsive to voters needs and improve the impact of public expenditures

school decentralization helping the good get better but leaving the poor behind abstract the decentralization of public services is a major feature of institutional innovation the main argument in support of decentralization is that it brings decisions closer to the people thereby alleviating information asymmetries and improving accountability however decentralization can also degrade service provision in poor communities that lack the ability to voice and defend their preferences in this paper we analyze the average and distributional effects of school decentralization on educational quality in argentina we find that decentralization had an overall positive impact on student test scores the decentralization gains however did not reach the poor thus although bringing decisions closer to the people may help the good get better the already disadvantaged may not receive these benefits

democratization and disintegration in multinational states the breakup of the communist federations one of the challenges presented to democratization theory by the collapse of communist regimes is the need to take into account the impact of ethnonational diversity on the processes of transition this article explores that question in a comparative analysis of the dissolutions of the multinational federations of yugoslavia czechoslovakia and the soviet union it revisits what has been a core although usually unarticulated premise of the democratization literature that the decisions and negotiations that critically shape regime transition occur in a single central political arena a political space common to all actors in contrast to that perspective the strategic political context for transition in multinational states differs both from that in homogeneous states and from that in unitary multinational states in offering multiple arenas of political contestation the implication for democratization in multinational states is that depending on the institutional structure of the state regime change may occur at different rates in different substate political arenas the republics in such a way as to trigger the erosion of central control over the transition where democratization theory has emphasized strategic choice conditioned by the balance of power between regime and opposition actors an accounting of the politics of transition in ethnofederal states must emphasize 1 strategic choices by actors in multiple political arenas and 2 the shifting balance of power between center and republics

the race for property rights economics literature on the evolution of property rights has increasingly emphasized the optimal timing for establishing those rights yoram barzel dale mortensen 2 and partha dasgupta and joseph stiglitz 3 for example have shown that competition among firms for the rents associated with innovative devices and ideas can lead to the dissipation of those rents in the process when property rights and the rents therefrom are up for grabs it is possible for expenditures to establish rights to fully dissipate the rents leaving the efficiency gains from privatization in question 4 before any conclusions about the welfare gains from establishing property rights can be reached attention must be paid to the evolutionary

fiscal decentralization and natural hazard risks at least to some extent due to pressure from international donors many countries have become more fiscally decentralized the underlying premise being that greater decentralization might improve the provision of local public goods and services we test this proposition by determining whether relatively more decentralized countries fare better when natural disasters strike in terms of its effects on the population overall we find evidence supporting our maintained hypothesis though the effect appears much more robust in developing countries

policy positions issue importance and party competition in new democracies this article examines the dynamics of vote redistribution after new party entry in the context of east european democracies contrary to the dominant institutional and sociological approaches the author focuses on the strategic policy choices of the new contestants the author argues that a new party s choice about where to place itself in relation to existing parties and which issues to emphasize can determine its electoral success or failure aggregate and individual level analyses confirm this argument the findings underline the importance of policy based party competition in the region as a broader theoretical contribution the study underscores the relevance of issue importance and not just party issue positions in political competition

understanding declining mobility and inter household transfers among east african pastoralists we model interhousehold transfers between nomadic livestock herders as the state dependent consequence of individuals strategic interdependen ce resulting from the existence of multiple opposing externalities a public good security ext ernality among individuals sharing a social e g ethnic identity in a potentially hostile en vironment creates incentives to band together self interested interhousehold wealth transfers fro m wealthier herders to poorer ones may emerge endogenously within a limited wealth space as a mea ns to motivate accompanying migration by the recipient the distributional reach and size o f the transfer are limited however by a resource appropriation externality related to the use of com mon property grazing lands when this effect dominates it can induce transfers from households who want to relieve grazing pressures caused by others herds our model augments the extant li terature on transfers and is perhaps more consistent with the limited available empirical evi dence on heterogeneous and changing transfers patterns among east african pastoralists the core principles of our model possibly apply more broadly for example to long distance migrants or e ven among foot soldiers in street gangs

poverty and environment in latin america concepts evidence and policy implications abstract who is responsible for the ongoing degradation of natural resources such as agricultural soils rangeland and forests evidence from across latin america suggests that the nonpoor and the poor are both at fault while the poor lack the means to invest in protecting natural resources both the nonpoor and the poor often lack the incentives for good resource stewardship policies for agricultural intensification and livelihood diversification can alleviate poverty and its capacity constraint but incentive policies for good stewardship are critically needed such policies should be targeted to specific environmental problems and tailored to the motivations of rural decision makers

rhetoric and reality in protected area governance institutional change under different conservation discourses in mount elgon national park uganda abstract the approach to governance of protected areas has been in transition over last decades partly driven by evolving policy discourses that shape the ways in which conservation is thought to be delivered the most influential discourses are the fortress approach community conservation and back to the barriers how different discourses translate and are instituted on ground are however complex and disputed inclusive policy strategies in relation to local involvement in developing countries are of particular concern the study analyses how conservation policy discourses have become manifested taking the case of mount elgon national park menp uganda it outlines main conservation policy discourses analyses actor s interests and power relations and further examines how institutions for park governance have evolved and changed according to the different discourses the results indicate that conservation discourses and donor support come and go while menp seems to outlast all the worrying reality is that menp administration strongly influenced by the interplay of path dependent institutional forces rooted in the fortress discourse simply sticks to its guns maintaining the application of law enforcement as key management instruments in its approach to governance especially to local people interactions there is an apparent gap between rhetoric and reality in protected area governance

simultaneous determination of church contributions and church attendance in a standard model of household allocation of time and income church attendance and church contributions are determined simultaneously there are life cycle aspects to both attendance and contributions as azzi and ehrenberg 1975 and ehrenberg 1977 have argued and contributions behavior is affected by tax treatment and by a potential free rider problem as well this paper motivates an econometric specification which recognizes these features and estimates the parameters with a data set of over 2000 protestant church members

allocation of goods by lottery i introduction many goods such as hunting permits oil drilling leases cellular telephone licenses and rights to fishing berths as well as some buds such as the military draft jury duty and who is to be thrown overboard on a sinking life raft are or have been allocated by lotteries in neo classical welfare economics the random distribution of property rights does not affect allocative efficiency as long as transferability is allowed and the transactions costs are non prohibitive lottery allocations however are generally not transferable thus lottery allocations are inefficient since the goods are not ultimately allocated to the users who value them the most a number of authors such as aubert 1959 fienberg 1971 eckhoff 1989 and elster 1989 36 122 have argued that lotteries are chosen as the allocative instrument because it represents a fair or just means of allocating the goods rawls 1971 374 and eckhoff 1989 have noted that where it is impractical to divide the goods equally among those who desire them a lottery serves to satisfy both the requirement that the process be fair and that the allocation problem be resolved relatively costlessly elster 1989 113 however notes that lotteries are not the only fair allocation mechanism for example he points out that in jewish ethics the problem of allocating an indivisible good such as life saving resources is resolved by denying it to everyone even economists would probably prefer a lottery to this resolution the fairness hypothesis has a rich history in the old testament lotteries are deemed a fair way of allocating goods such as the inheritance of land numbers 33 54 lotteries are also used to allocate bads in perhaps the most famous biblical example of use of lots jonah was chosen by lot to be sacrificed to appease god who had brought a storm that threatened to wreck the ship the story goes that the lot selected jonah because he was shirking his duties elsewhere and should not have even been on the vessel jonah 1 6 1 notice that fair here is taken to mean just given this theological foundation it is not surprising that the lottery has seen frequent use in legal history as well one of the most interesting cases occurred in swedish and finnish trials in the 17th and 18th centuries in cases where a man was murdered by a mob lotteries were used to allocate punishment since the law required an eye for an eye no more and no less eckhoff says that if it was impossible to ascertain which of them had dealt the mortal blow the courts determined that one of the responsible parties be sentenced to death and that the person be selected by lottery 1989 19 a similar use of lotteries occurs in military history to deal with cases of mass desertion in roman armies every tenth man was executed decimated and the remainder pardoned in more modern times the lottery has been used in u s law 2 first of course is the use of a lottery to decide who shall sit on a jury a connection between fairness and lotteries however has also appeared in the common law in an 1842 case u s v holmes which has been discussed by fienberg 1971 eckhoff 1989 and elster 1989 a ship sank in a heavy storm and the lone surviving life raft was in grave danger of sinking the crew threw overboard fourteen male passengers in an effort to save the rest when back in port after being rescued a crewman named holmes the only crew member who had not disappeared upon arrival to port was brought to trial for the deaths of the passengers the court ruled that the non essential members of the crew should have been thrown overboard before any passengers and if that was not sufficient then passengers should have been selected by lot which is the fairest mode elster 1989 65 the fact that a human life presumably a large cost was at stake ex post did not affect the decision 3 the environmental economics literature contains a number of references to the social preferences for and benefits of lottery allocations

the participation decision versus the level of participation in an environmental treaty a spatial probit analysis abstract this paper represents treaty participation as a two stage game for which nations first decide whether or not to participate and then they choose their level of participation the resulting subgame perfect equilibrium is used to derive a reduced form equation for estimating and separating the influences of the variables at the two decision stages this spatial probit equation forms the basis for a full information maximum likelihood estimator that accounts for the simultaneity bias associated with public good spillins at both stages when the procedure is applied to the helsinki protocol we find that the strategic influence of a variable may drastically differ depending upon which stage is scrutinized

the economical management of multispecies fisheries resource based theory implicitly assumes that property rights to resources are secure extant property rights theory enables us to relax this assumption to take into account processes where there are struggles in establishing property rights that enhance

a downward spiral research evidence on the relationship between poverty and natural resource degradation abstract many observers have conceptualised the link between rural poverty and environment as a downward spiral with population growth and economic marginalisation leading to environmental degradation recent micro scale empirical research challenges this model showing striking heterogeneity in environmental management by the rural poor their success in adapting to environmental change and the efficacy of policies in influencing outcomes local endowments conditions affecting the adoption of resource conserving technologies and local institutions supportive of the poor are key factors that condition poverty environment interactions and outcomes in relation to agriculture the main strategies to jointly address poverty and environmental improvement are to increase poor people s access to natural resources enhance the productivity of poor people s natural resource assets and involve local people in resolving public natural resource management concerns research is needed to support these strategies particularly to explore poverty environment agriculture interactions develop technologies for poor farmers and partner with local communities for action research on policies and programmes

estimating intergenerational distribution preferences resource management decisions influence not only the output of the economy but also the distribution of utility between groups within the community the theory of cost benefit analysis provides a means of incorporating distributional changes into the decision making calculus through the application of distributional or welfare weights however this practice has not been widely adopted in part due to difficulties in the estimation of distributional weights this paper addresses this problem by using the stated preference method of choice modelling to estimate distributional weights suitable for inclusion in a cost benefit analysis framework the findings of a choice modelling experiment designed to estimate community preferences with respect to intergenerational utility distribution illustrate the potential of this method in addressing distributional issues

empirical regularities in the poverty environment relationship of rural households evidence from zimbabwe abstract analysis of rural households and environmental resources is beset by inadequate data especially in africa using purpose collected panel data from zimbabwe we demonstrate seven empirical regularities in the rural poverty environment relationship most important environmental resources make a significant contribution to average rural incomes poorer households also depend heavily on these resources which contribute c 40 to their incomes richer households however use greater quantities of environmental resources in total finally considerable differentiation exists in the economic characteristics of environmental goods these results demonstrate the considerable economic significance of environmental resources to rural households surveys which ignore them miscalculate rural incomes and welfare

forest dependence and income distribution in a subsistence economy evidence from india abstract we examine an area of northern india where forestry acts to ameliorate the incidence of poverty and destitution though it does not otherwise contribute significantly to the reduction of income inequality the poor would be doubly disadvantaged without common property access to forest products conservation measures entailing curtailment in the right to common access pose a dilemma this issue is explored here

coalitional stability of multi party systems evidence from poland function form game that represents payoffs of electoral coalitions in a multi party system three empirical hypotheses are formulated under the assumption that seat maximizing parties modify coalitional structures to extract gains from coalescing the hypotheses say that party systems under stable voter preferences and electoral law tend to stability with respect to splits and coalescing the partition function is estimated for various coalitional structures for the polish party system with simulation based on district level election results and survey data the estimates show that the polish party system is split stable while the opportunities for gains from coalitions on the right were exhausted between the years of 1993 and 1997 some opportunities for such gains emerged on the left introduction

property rights externalities and resource degradation locating the tragedy abstract resource degradation in the third world is largely driven by the demands of farm households for fuelwood and land for agriculture since resources are often controlled through indigenous systems of property the tragedy of the commons has been used to explain resource degradation as a result private property is suggested as a solution to resource degradation a dynamic model capable of examining household incentives for resource use under private and common property is developed results of the model reject the conventional wisdom that gives rise to the presumed optimality of private individual property in natural resources and the correlated indictment of group management regimes

party competition and european integration in the east and west different structure same causality how does the ideological profile of a political party affect its support or opposition to european integration the authors investigate this question with a new expert data set on party positioning on european integration covering 171 political parties in 23 countries the authors findings are a that basic structures of party competition in the east and west are fundamentally and explicably different and b that although the positions that parties in the east and west take on european integration are substantively different they share a single underlying causality

development aid and climate finance this paper discusses the implications of climate change for official transfers from rich countries the north to poor countries the south when the motivation for transfers is ethical rather than strategic traditional development transfers to increase income and reduce poverty are complemented by new financial flows to reduce greenhouse gas emissions mitigation transfers and become climate resilient adaptation transfers we find that in the absence of barriers to adaptation mitigation or development climate change will make isolated transfers less efficient a large part of their intended effect to increase income reduce emissions or boost climate resilience dissipates as the south reallocates its own resources to achieve the mitigation adaptation and consumption balance it prefers only in the case of least developed countries which are unable to adapt fully due to income constraints will adaptation support lead to more climate resilience in all other cases if the north wishes to change the balance between mitigation adaptation and consumption it should structure its transfers as matching grants which are tied to the south s own level of funding alternatively the north could provide an integrated climate compatible development package that recognizes the combined climate and development requirements of the south if the aim is to increase both mitigation and adaptation in the south development assistance that increases the income level can be an effective measure but only if there is an international agreement and the recipient country is not income constrained if the recipient country is very poor development aid may reduce adaptation effort

poverty and environmental degradation a review and analysis of the nexus abstract there is much controversy surrounding the poverty environmental degradation nexus the predominant school of thought argues that poverty is a major cause of environmental degradation and if policy makers want to address environmental issues then they must first address the poverty problem another school of thought argues that a direct link between poverty and environmental degradation is too simplistic and the nexus is governed by a complex web of factors in this paper a formal structure for analyzing the complex web of factors is formulated and used to review the existing literature on the links between poverty and the degradation of four natural resource sectors the analysis highlights the important role institutional and market failure in encouraging agents from various income groups to exhibit unsustainable activities which in turn forces some of the agents to fall into poverty another important factor is the role of conflicts between different agents income groups in the povertyenvironmental degradation nexus the analysis also highlights the presence of feedback loops between environmental degradation and poverty

aid policies and growth the authors of this paper use a new database on foreign aid to examine the relationships among foreign aid economic policies and growth of per capita gdp in panel growth regressions for 56 developing countries and 6 four year periods 1970 93 they find that the policies that have a great effect on growth are those related to fiscal surplus inflation and trade openness they construct an index for those three policies and have that index interact with foreign aid they have instruments for both aid and aid interacting with policies they find that aid has a positive impact on growth in developing countries with good fiscal monetary and trade policies in the presence of poor policies aid has no positive effect on growth this result is robust in a variety of specifications which include or exclude middle income countries include or exclude outliers and treat policies as exogenous or endogenous they examine the determinants of policy and find no evidence that aid has systematically affected policies either for good or for ill they estimate an aid allocation equation and show that any tendency for aid to reward good policies has been overwhelmed by donors pursuit of their own strategic interests in a counterfactual they reallocate aid reduce the role of donor interests and increasing the importance of policy such a reallocation would have a large positive effect on developing countries growth rates

the private provision of public goods altruism and voluntary giving abstract a unique data set on exact giving by individual households for the support of a rural health care facility is used to examine the determinants of charitable giving including the role of altruism we examine whether a household s decision to give or not give and the amount it gives are influenced in the same or different ways by the household s characteristics and economic circumstances we also examine whether a household s altruistic history affects its current giving decisions

poverty policies and deforestation the case of mexico this study examines the determinants and policy implications of deforestation in mexico and includes a brief review of the relevant empirical literature and a description of the theoretical model land use patterns and socioeconomic and physiogeographic factors are determinants data were obtained from digital maps of land use and soils and the 1990 population and 1991 agricultural censuses a simple 2 period equation formalizes the relationship between deforestation and poverty government policies and local land tenure in period 1 representative producers in municipalities have 4 options in allocating labor time wage generation agricultural production deforestation on land without clear property rights and investment in technology during period 2 the options are to farm on available land and deforested areas or work in the wage sector findings reveal that 1 communal land tenure ownership by the ejido did not increase deforestation 2 pricing that favors maize production which is very land intensive increased deforestation and technical assistance reduced deforestation and 3 poverty was related to higher rates of deforestation prices were the most important immediate factor in unsustainable resource use but other factors had an impact the government policy mix did not support sustainable development reduced subsidies would benefit the environment the government should provide safety nets to increase the level of rural investment and reduce poverty and should improve land productivity with technical inputs trade liberalization and elimination of subsidies should be sensitive to the poors need for real wages

environmental degradation and economic openness in ldcs the poverty linkage the connection between growth economic policies and the environment in developing countries has become a primary concern for economists and policy makers this is because of the fact that environmental degradation in the third world has accelerated dramatically over the last few decades deforestation biomass degradation and air emissions in developing countries are now a serious concern for the industrialized world the world ecological system has been able to tolerate well the almost total elimination of natural forests and biomass as well as the massive generation of air and water pollution by the developed countries but it is not clear that a duplication of this process in the developing world would not induce radical changes could imply significant costs in terms of human lives public health and other investments in the industrialized countries 18 refs

making reform work institutions dispositions and the improving health of bangladesh we examine whether local governance can improve social development empirically using good and bad cases of public health outcomes in bangladesh we explore the institutional underpinnings of service provision digging down beneath the rules of the game to analyze the beliefs understandings and dispositions that drive social behavior changes in deep social attitudes led to improvements in social indicators regional variation in health outcomes is explained by the presence or absence of a dense web of relationships that enmeshed reformers in local systems of authority and legitimacy strengthening their actions and making local society more susceptible to change

political connections and social networks in targeted transfer programs evidence from rural ethiopia abstractdespite increasingly large scale social protection programs in africa we have limited evidence on the local political economy of their allocation we investigate community based processes for food aid allocation and the role of political and social networks using the case of ethiopia in the aftermath of a serious drought in 2002 local political authorities are in charge of food transfers in terms of free food aid or food for work programs we find that although targeting is clearly imperfect free food aid is responsive to need as well as targeted to households with less access to support from relatives or friends we also find a strong correlation with political connections households with close associates in official positions have more than a 12 higher probability of obtaining free food than households that are not well connected this effect is large someone without political connections has the same probability of getting food aid as someone more than twice as rich but with these conne

welfare state retrenchment revisited entitlement cuts public sector restructuring and inegalitarian trends in advanced capitalist societies in recent years it has become commonplace for comparativists to emphasize the resilience of welfare states in advanced capitalist societies and the failure of neoliberal efforts to dismantle the welfare state challenging some tenets of the resilience thesis this article seeks to broaden the discussion of welfare state retrenchment the authors argue that a sharp deceleration of social spending has occurred in most oecd countries since 1980 that welfare states have failed to offset the rise of market generated inequality and insecurity and that welfare programs have become less universalistic they stress the distributive and political consequences of market oriented reforms of the public sector

explaining demand for green electricity using data from all u s utilities abstract green electricity programs enable households to voluntarily contribute to the development of renewable electricity by purchasing green electricity through their local utility using a dataset of all utilities in the united states this paper explores the utility consumer and program characteristics that influence participation levels in green electricity as well as whether a utility chooses to offer a program among other results we find that the key determinants of program participation are the education of the consumer base and the affordability of the green electricity program our results enhance understanding of private provision of environmental public goods and could aid in ex ante evaluations of whether a green electricity program is likely to cover its administrative costs or be a cost effective way of improving environmental quality

the environment and emerging development issues development economics for the most part has failed to recognize renewable environmental resources as economic goods yet the lives of the poor in developing countries are intimately tied to the fate of their local common property resources soil fuel wood water and so on ignoring the loss of common property renewable resources via degradation centralization or privatization in calculations of net national product can mask the destruction of resources available to a country s poor behind the false appearance of a growing national economy this paper describes the difference between the problem of managing local common property resources in developing countries and the problem of protecting the global commons such as the atmosphere and oceans it outlines the calculations that would include the local commons in the national income accounting of capital assets and argues that the interests of those most dependent on the increasingly scarce local commons will be best served by placing control in their hands while the central government provides infrastructure and educational support to control the pollution of the global commons on the other hand the paper sketches a plan in which most countries would have a high incentive to participate a global allocation of limited tradable permits to discharge defined pollutants

modeling charitable giving using a box cox standard tobit model there is a large literature investigating the determinants of charitable giving in particular price and income elasticities we find that many of the most often reported results from this literature rely on a model specification that is inappropriate when applied to recent federal tax file data we develop a standard tobit model with a box cox transformation parameter that nests a number of other specifications the box cox model yields estimates of price elasticities and expected charitable contributions that differ from those obtained using the typical specification additionally we find that the use of sample weights provides potentially important policy insights copyright 1991 by mit press

the habit of giving i introduction habit formation is thought to exert great influence on behavior it has been proffered as a potential answer to questions as disparate as the size of the equity premium abel 1990 optimal purchases of insurance ben arab briys and schlesinger 1996 labor force participation woittiez and kapteyn 1998 the relationship between savings and growth rates carroll overland and well 2000 responsiveness to monetary policy fuhrer 2000 the importance of brand loyalty gupta chintagunta and wittink 1997 and the existence of a gateway effect between alcohol and illegal drug use pacula 1998 yet there is scant discussion in the economics literature about long term habit forming most studies focus on shorter term intertemporal relationships like changes in annual consumption see inter alia naik and moore 1996 dynan 2002 carrasco labeaga and lopez salido 2005 the importance of early influences on later risk taking malmendier and nagel 2007 and motivations for purchasing different goods portolese dias 2004 has been hypothesized yet there is little direct evidence on the long term impact of shocks to behavior early in life particularly in the way that preferences form and evolve one recent exception is the study of bronnenberg dube and gentzkow 2010 who use variation in consumers previous states of residence to show that early exposure to particular brands of package goods affects purchasing behavior decades later charities in particular care about building relationships with their donors and expend a great deal of effort in the pursuit of small gifts with the expectation that they may lead to larger gifts in the future universities seem to be convinced that this strategy is effective and with 8 7 billion raised from alumni in 2008 the stakes are high council for aid to education 2009 the dean of alumni affairs at columbia university stated that it isn t about the dollars and that the purpose of getting young alumni to donate is to create a habit of giving durkin 2005 fundraising professionals agree one consultant explained i would never say that a small gift is not important because it s building that relationship if you don t build those relationships today you may not have their interest when the day comes that they can give those 101 million donations westmoreland 2008 this sentiment was echoed by an expert on senior class giving at the council for advancement and support of education who explained that the goal of these programs is not to raise money but to begin a pattern of behavior ensign 2010 there is scant evidence that this belief is justified while a number of studies have documented a positive correlation between giving when young and giving when older see monks 2003 turner meserve and bowen 2001 this may be driven by a number of factors that have nothing to do with building a relationship this correlation may actually represent spurious state dependence that arises from unobserved heterogeneity like the alumnus s affinity for the school this is contrasted with true state dependence in which a donation in one period affects preferences for donating in a later period while participation rates are a factor in university rankings it seems evident that development officials assume that habit forming in charitable contributions exists and justifies the pursuit of small gifts when alumni are young with the expectation that this will lead to larger gifts in the future these beliefs hinge on the idea that a habit can form by the simple act of making a gift and that the amount given is possibly irrelevant in essence the proponents of this idea believe that giving regularly when young will cause the individual to be in a state of focus for giving when older willing to make a larger gift perhaps because they are accustomed to giving to the charity in each year standard models of habit forming in which the amount given in an earlier period affects a stock variable and the individual incurs disutility from deviating from this level do not account for this phenomenon

when excessive consumption is rational if average cost is everywhere above market demand it is usually argued that the nondiscriminating firm will shut down although the first best outcome may dictate production in this setting it is shown that there is often a nash equilibrium in consumption that will keep the firm producing selfish consumers engage in excessive beyond demand consumption to keep the firm in business and to protect their surpluses this is shown to be true in a simple model with perfect information and also in a more realistic model in which consumers are uncertain about the firm s costs copyright 1991 by american economic association

the performance and competitive effects of school autonomy this paper studies a recent british reform that allowed public high schools to opt out of local authority control and become autonomous schools funded directly by the central government schools seeking autonomy had only to propose and win a majority vote among current parents almost one in three high schools voted on autonomy between 1988 and 1997 and using a version of the regression discontinuity design i find large achievement gains at schools in which the vote barely won compared to schools in which it barely lost despite other reforms that ensured that the british education system was by international standards highly competitive a comparison of schools in the geographic neighborhoods of narrow vote winners and narrow vote losers suggests that these gains did not spill over

inequality and democracy why inequality harms consolidation but does not affect democratization under what conditions do democracies emerge and consolidate recent theories suggest that inequality is among the leading determinants of both democratization and consolidation by contrast this article argues that inequality harms consolidation but has no net effect on democratization the author shows that the existing theories that link inequality to democratization suffer from serious limitations 1 they are useful only for understanding transitions from below and thus do not apply to many other transitions that is those from above 2 even for democratization from below their predictions are unlikely to hold since inequality actually has two opposite effects and 3 they ignore collective action problems which reduces their explanatory power however these objections do not affect the relationship between inequality and consolidation in particular while inequality has two opposite effects on the probability of transition to democracy it unambiguously increases the probability of transition away from democracy this article conducts the most comprehensive empirical test to date of the relationship between inequality and democracy it finds no support for the main democratization theories contrary to what they predict estimation suggests neither a monotonic negative nor an inverted u shaped relationship yet inequality increases the probability of backsliding from democracy to dictatorship

brother can you spare a dime peer pressure in charitable solicitation abstract while the effects of peer pressure in charitable giving have been of considerable interest to social scientists there is little empirical evidence on the magnitude of these effects a correlation between giving or volunteering by one s peers and one s own giving can be driven by self selection into groups common shocks that inspire both the solicitor to ask and the individual to give or social influence using data from a university this paper analyzes whether alumni are more likely to give and give larger amounts when they are solicited by someone with whom they have social ties freshman year roommate assignments and the structure of the university s giving campaigns are used to overcome problems of selection and common shocks social ties play a strong causal role in the decision to donate and the average gift size additionally a solicitor s request is much more effective if he or she shares characteristics such as race with the alumnus being solicited

the population problem theory and evidence this study is concerned with the relationships among population growth poverty and environmental degradation with particular focus on the situation in developing countries the author rejects the concept of a general theory of fertility behavior in favor of an interpretation of these relationships which might be applicable to certain situations in the poorest parts of the indian subcontinent and sub saharan africa such situations include unacceptable risks of maternal death for poor illiterate women and a condemnation to extreme poverty in conditions of the deterioration of local resources and of the environment the author concludes that population growth rates are too high in certain specific areas and that an appropriate policy reaction to such conditions would be to try to change the options that men and women face so that their reasoned choice would be to lower their fertility

an accurate measurement of the crowd out effect income effect and price effect for charitable contributions in the past empirical research on charitable contributions has focused on two issues estimating the income and price elasticities of contributions and estimating the extent to which government funding crowded out private contributions the two fundamental problems in all these studies are the differences in the underlying conceptual models and the use of imperfect data for empirical analysis this paper addresses both of these problems

decentralization fueling the fire or dampening the flames of ethnic conflict and secessionism political decentralization is widely believed to reduce ethnic conflict and secessionism in the world today yet decentralization is more successful in reducing conflict and secessionism in some countries than in others in this article i explore why this difference occurs i demonstrate using a statistical analysis of thirty democracies from 1985 to 2000 that decentralization may decrease ethnic conflict and secessionism directly by bringing the government closer to the people and increasing opportunities to participate in government but that decentralization increases ethnic conflict and secessionism indirectly by encouraging the growth of regional parties regional parties increase ethnic conflict and secessionism by reinforcing ethnic and regional identities producing legislation that favors certain groups over others and mobilizing groups to engage in ethnic conflict and secessionism earlier versions of this article were presented at harvard university and the center for the study of democratic politics at princeton university the author would like to thank sandra alfonso leon james alt micah altman barry friedman shigeo hirano simon hug gary king rose rozaghian tulia falleti and two anonymous reviewers for their very helpful comments

the big push deja vu a review of jeffrey sachs s the end of poverty economic possibilities for our time jeffrey sachs s new book the end of poverty economic possibilities for our time penguin press new york 2005 advocates a big push featuring large increases in aid to finance a package of complementary investments in order to end world poverty these recommendations are remarkably similar to those first made in the 1950s and 1960s in development economics today as then the big push recommendation overlooks the unsolvable information and incentive problems facing any large scale planning exercise a more promising approach would be to design incentives for aid agents to implement interventions piecemeal whenever they deliver large benefits for the poor relative to costs

balancing rural poverty reduction and citizen participation the contradictions of uganda s decentralization program abstract uganda s ambitious decentralization program is analyzed in terms of a dual mode system of local governance under a technocratic mode conditional funding from the center is earmarked for particular programs but with little local participation in contrast the patronage mode is an elaborate system for local bottom up planning but with limited resources which are largely consumed in administrative costs and political emoluments along with the spoils of a committee system controlling contracts and appointments these resources provide the means for building political alliances and loyalty in the absence of a culture of transparency and civic engagement to assure downward accountability it remains to be seen whether decentralization can promote both efficient service delivery and local empowerment simultaneously

property rights regimes and natural resources a conceptual analysis the term common property resource is an example of a term repeatedly used to refer to property owned by a government or by no one it is also used for property owned by a community of resource users such usage leads to confusion in scientific study and policy analysis in this paper we develop a conceptual schema for arraying property rights regimes that distinguishes among diverse bundles of rights ranging from authorized user to claimant to proprietor and to owner we apply this conceptual schema to analyze findings from a variety of empirical settings including the maine lobster industry

second generation fiscal federalism the implications of fiscal incentives abstract first generation fiscal federalism fgff studies the performance of decentralized systems under the assumption of benevolent social planners second generation fiscal federalism sgff studies performance based on the fiscal and political incentives facing subnational officials the paper focuses on three aspects of sgff first it considers the design of intergovernmental transfers while fgff emphasizes correcting vertical and horizontal equity sgff emphasizes the importance of fiscal incentives for producing local economic prosperity sgff extends fgff approaches by showing how non linear transfer systems can produce both equalization and high marginal fiscal incentives to produce local economic growth second the paper raises the fiscal incentive approach showing how different tax systems produce different fiscal incentives for political officials to choose policies third the paper discusses the interaction of democracy and fiscal federalism

support for foreign ownership and integration in eastern europe economic interests ideological commitments and democratic context western models of popular support for economic integration usually stress costs and benefits this article suggests that one cannot ignore the predominance of socialist economic values in east central europe consequently it is argued and supported that a individual level support for foreign ownership is best explained by ideological commitments to market ideals b publics in more economically liberal countries more strongly support the idea of foreign ownership and c citizens who reside in democratic countries which experience greater controversy over foreign ownership are less likely to accept the idea of foreign ownership just as they have a more negative image of the european union theoretically the study documents the limited applicability to eastern europe of western based models practically it helps explain opposition to foreign ownership and more generally increasing controversy over the eu in first wave accession states

economic policy distribution and poverty the nature of disagreements abstract the last 20 years have seen growing areas of agreement on poverty reduction strategies but disagreements on economic policy distribution and poverty seem to have intensified this paper tries to identify the underlying nature of these disagreements related to differences in perspective and framework between finance ministry and civil society tendencies it is argued that the deep divisions one sees can be located in differences in the level of aggregation adopted the time horizon considered and assumptions made on market structure and power mutual understanding could be advanced by further exploration of these differences and the adoption by both sides of the approach of dialogue rather than negotiation

pareto optimal redistribution and private charity abstract when private charity exists and is motivated by utility interdependence a non pareto optimal outcome the free rider problem typically arises nevertheless incremental fiscal redistribution cannot achieve a paretian welfare improvement so long as private charity continues at positive levels donors respond to incremental fiscal redistribution by reducing their voluntary contributions by exactly a dollar for every dollar transferred in this way no net transfer is achieved unless incremental fiscal redistribution is pursued to the point where private contributions have been driven to zero alternatively a net transfer may be achieved by fiscal measures which affect donors marginal incentives to donate