gentrification and failing schools the unintended consequences of school choice under nclb we examine the housing market and residential mobility changes that occur soon after a title 1 school fails to achieve adequate yearly progress ayp in charlotte north carolina students within attendance zones of failing schools are given priority in lotteries for oversubscribed schools potentially increasing the attractiveness of living in a failing school attendance zone we find that housing prices home buyer income and the probability of attending a nonassigned school increase in the highest quality neighborhoods within failing school attendance zones our results are driven largely by the behavior of new residents

information school choice and academic achievement evidence from two experiments we examine a natural experiment and a field experiment that provided direct information on school test scores to lower income families in a public school choice plan receiving information significantly increases the fraction of parents choosing higher performing schools parents with high scoring alternatives nearby were more likely to choose nonguaranteed schools with higher test scores using random variation from each experiment we find that attending a higher scoring school increases student test scores the results imply that school choice will most effectively increase academic achievement for disadvantaged students when parents have easy access to test score information and good options from which to choose

why voluntary export restraints are voluntary the paper presents an analysis of the effect upon an oligopolistic equilibrium of introducing a voluntary export restraint ver upon an importing firm a ver set at the free trade level of imports is shown to raise the profits of all firms within the industry the result follows as the imposition of a ver upon a free trade nash price competition forces the domestic firm to become an industry price leader the ver raises industry prices by facilitating collusion and lowers consumer welfare pourquoi les restrictions volontaires d 1 exportation sont volontaires ce memoire presente une analyse des effets de l introduction de restrictions volontaires a l exportation rve sur une entreprise qui importe dans un monde en equilibre oligopolistique on montre que l introduction de rve approximant le niveau des importations en regime de libre echange devrait augmenter les profits de toutes les entreprises dans l industrie cela decoule du fait que l imposition de rve sur un univers de concurrence par les prix a la nash en regime de libre echange force l entreprise domestique a devenir le leader en prix l introduction de rve augmente le niveau des prix de l industrie en facilitant la collusion et de ce fait reduit le niveau de bien etre des consomrnateurs

buying their votes a study of local tax price discrimination i introduction financial support for public schools in developed countries has recently been declining as governments face increasing pressure to balance their budgets by reducing expenditures on public services public school revenues may be particularly vulnerable in countries where elderly residents will compose a rising share of the population while the percent of united states residents over the age of 65 was 12 4 in 2000 the u s census bureau 2008 predicts this will rise to 16 3 by 2020 and 20 7 by 2050 recent growth in the upper middle aged population ages 55 64 has occurred throughout the united states and if current trends continue communities with the largest growth in the elderly share ages 65 and over over the next 30 years will experience this growth primarily due to aging in place rather than residential migration frey 2007 the typical school district will thus have an increasing share of adults who do not consume public schooling services this trend could have two important implications for school districts 1 decreased political support for school expenditures and 2 a greater tax base per student due to a reduction in the relative size of the school aged population if the former effect dominates the latter then local district revenues per student will decline this dynamic would be consistent with prior u s trends figlio and fletcher 2012 find that most of the within metropolitan area variation in suburbs age distributions in 1980 and 1990 can be traced back to these suburbs age distributions when adults settled there in earlier decades those authors simulate the shares of elderly adults residing in various suburbs based on the aging in place of early residents and their simulated elderly shares are negatively correlated with suburban school expenditures state or federal governments could potentially alter this dynamic by subsidizing local property tax reductions that are targeted toward elderly homeowners elderly homeowners receiving these reductions might support higher levels of local public school spending because they can maintain high property values at a relatively low cost in other words elderly homeowners preferred level of local tax revenues may be sensitive to their marginal local tax price the change in their tax payments required to increase local school district revenues by one dollar by influencing elderly homeowners preferred local tax rates targeted tax price reductions may shift the identity of the local median voter and thus moderate how changes in demographics affect local public revenue this article is the first to empirically examine whether targeted tax price reductions moderate the impact of age demographics on local government revenues prior studies examined how the aging in place of local populations affects public school revenues figlio and fletcher 2012 harris evans and schwab 2001 ladd and murray 2001 and this article tests whether there is important within sample heterogeneity in these effects using similar methods as these prior studies the empirical models below isolate the exogenous component of changes in local age demographics by using lagged population shares as instrumental variables predicting future age demographics to test for heterogeneous effects i assembled a longitudinal data set concerning states property tax reduction policies for elderly homeowners the results confirm earlier studies findings that exogenous increases in the fraction of elderly residents ages 65 and over on average decrease tax revenues in u s school districts however state financed reductions in elderly homeowners marginal local tax prices significantly reduce the negative effect of the local elderly population share this negative effect is only large in communities not offering any targeted local tax price reductions to elderly homeowners significant differences in the effects of the elderly share across state policy regimes are robust to several alternative empirical specifications including comparisons of school districts that are located near each other on opposite sides of state borders

school finance reform assessing general equilibrium effects abstract in 1994 the state of michigan implemented one of the most comprehensive school finance reforms undertaken to date in any of the states understanding the effects of the reform is thus of value in informing other potential reform initiatives in addition the reform and associated changes in the economic environment provide an opportunity to assess whether a simple general equilibrium model can be of value in framing the study of such reform initiatives in this paper we present and use such a model to derive predictions about the effects of the reform on housing prices and neighborhood demographic compositions broadly our analysis implies that the effects of the reform and changes in the economic environment are likely to have been reflected primarily in housing prices and only modestly on neighborhood demographics we find that evidence for the detroit metropolitan area from the decade encompassing the reform is largely consistent with the predictions of the model

network externalities discrete demand shifts and submarginal cost pricing the introduction of a new product often causes a massive discrete demand shift to the new product this study demonstrates that if a large scale demand shift to a new product is accompanied by network externalities it may result in submarginal cost pricing by which the seller sets its price below the marginal cost this finding casts new light on dumping and safeguard issues in the real world jel classification d42 externalites de reseaux deplacements discrets de la demande et tarification en deca du cout marginal l introduction d un nouveau produit engendre souvent un deplacement massif discret de la demande vers le nouveau produit cette etude montre que si un tel deplacement de la demande est accompagne d externalites de reseaux il peut s ensuivre une tarification en deca du cout marginal ou le vendeur fixe son prix en dessous du cout marginal ce resultat jette une lumiere nouvelle sur les problemes de dumping et de protection dans le monde reel

house prices and the provision of local public services capitalization under school choice programs abstract while the theoretical public finance literature argues that house prices should be influenced by the demand for local public services there is little direct evidence concerning changes in house prices when these services are altered previous empirical studies have relied on cross sectional identification of the relationship between house prices and variables that may proxy for the perceived quality of local public services this paper instead examines a policy change the adoption of a public school choice program to identify the capitalization effects associated with the diminished importance of school district boundaries using data from inter district choice in minnesota i find that residential properties appreciate significantly in school districts where students are able to transfer to preferred school districts whereas residential property values decline in districts that accept transfer students these general equilibrium effects also influence school districts local property tax revenues mitigating the incentive for schools to improve in order to attract or retain students

voluntary export restraints and expectations an analysis of export quotas in oligopolistic markets the frequency of export quotas imposed as voluntary export restraints has been increasing this tends to create the expectation that similar export quotas will be imposed in the future even if free trade is allowed now the author analyzes the effect of such an expectation he demonstrates that if a quota is expected to be imposed on foreign exporting firms it intensifies the exporting firms competition in the prequota period this offsets the protection which the export quota as a voluntary export restraint will provide for domestic import competing firms in the future quota period copyright 1989 by economics department of the university of pennsylvania and the osaka university institute of social and economic research association

competition between private and public schools vouchers and peer group effects a theoretical and computational model with tax financed tuition free public schools and competitive tuition financed private schools is developed students differ by ability and income achievement depends on own ability and on peers abilities equilibrium has a strict hierarchy of school qualities and two dimensional student sorting with stratification by ability and income in private schools high ability low income students receive tuition discounts while low ability high income students pay tuition premia tuition vouchers increase the relative size of the private sector and the extent of student sorting and benefit high ability students relative to low ability students

why do households without children support local public schools linking house price capitalization to school spending while residents receive similar benefits from many local government programs only about one third of all households have children in public schools we argue that capitalization of school spending into house prices can encourage even childless residents to support spending on schools we identify a proxy for the extent of capitalization the supply of land available for new development and show that towns in massachusetts with little undeveloped land have larger changes in house prices in response to a plausibly exogenous spending shock towns with little available land also spend more on schools we extend these results using data from school districts in 46 states showing that per pupil spending is positively related to the percentage of developed land this positive correlation persists only in districts where the median resident is a homeowner and is stronger in districts with more elderly residents who do not use school services and have a shorter expected duration in their home our findings support models in which capitalization encourages the provision of durable local public goods and provides an additional reason why some elderly support local school spending

competition between private and public schools testing stratification and pricing predictions abstract when there are peer effects in education private schools have an incentive to vary tuition to attract relatively able students epple and romano american economic review 88 1 1998 33 develop a general equilibrium model characterizing equilibrium pricing and student selection into schools when peer effects are present the model predicts that competition will lead private schools to give tuition discounts to more able students and that this will give rise to an equilibrium exhibiting stratification by income and ability between the public and private sectors and to a hierarchy of schools within the private sector the model also yields a variety of comparative static predictions the predictions of the model are tested in this paper using a unique data set assembled by figlio and stone research in labor economics 1999 115 tests of equilibrium predictions of the model reveal that the propensity to attend private school increases with both income and ability and among private schools the propensity to attend the highest tuition schools rises with both income and ability within private schools tuition declines with student ability with a substantial number of even high income households paying little or no tuition the correlation between income and ability is greater in public than private schools tests of comparative static predictions of the model reveal that both income and ability become stronger predictors of private school attendance as public school expenditure falls income becomes increasingly important in determining placement in the private school hierarchy as public school expenditure falls discounts to ability in the lowest quality private school decline as public school expenditure rises while discounts to ability in the highest quality private school are little affected by changes in public school expenditure expenditure in private schools rises as expenditure in public schools increases these empirical results are consistent with the predictions of the theoretical model

anticipatory effects of voluntary export restraints a study of home video cassette recorders market 1978 86 abstract this paper investigates the impact of voluntary export restraints vers at the pre implementation stage when exporters have a good prospect for the vers distinctive features of the vcr market in 1978 86 provide a testable hypothesis to analyze the effect of the ec japan vers which were implemented in the fiscal years of 1983 85 the paper finds consistent evidence that the vers affected firms pricing behavior in the u s market prior to the ver period as a result of japanese exporters anticipation of the vers

educational vouchers and cream skimming educational vouchers and cream skimming epple and romano 1998 show equilibrium provision of education by public and private schools has the latter skim off the wealthiest and most able students and universal vouchers lead to further cream skimming here we study voucher design that injects private school competition and increases technical efficiencies without cream skimming conditioning vouchers on student ability without restriction on participating schools policies fails to affect significantly cream skimming however by adding restrictions like tuition constraints such vouchers can reap the benefits of school competition without increased stratification this is accomplished while allowing voluntary participation in the voucher system and without tax increases

trade restrictions as facilitating practices abstract the effect of quantitative restrictions in oligopolistic markets is shown to depend on whether imports are substitutes or complements for domestic products in the former case they have profound effects even when set at free trade levels because they impede the ability of the foreign firm to compete in the domestic market thereby acting to facilitate collusion and raise prices and profits for this reason tariffs and quotas are fundamentally non equivalent with substitute goods when goods are complements a voluntary export restriction ver at the free trade level has no effect and tariffs and quotas are equivalent

vers and expectations extensions and evidence this paper analyses the effects of an expected future voluntary export restraint on the level of firms current exports to a market the traditional result that current exports increase is shown to depend on the degree of collusion in the exporting industry and the anticipated restrictiveness of the ver the former relationship is tested by reference to the effect of ec import surveillance on its imports surveillance is argued to indicate an increased probability of a ver in the future and it is found that while competitive industries respond to it by increasing exports to the ec less competitive ones curtail exports this constitutes one of the few empirical tests of the strategic part of strategic trade policy

mobility targeting and private school vouchers simulations are derived from a three district model of low middle and highincome school districts calibrated to new york data with housing stocks that vary within and across districts in this model it is demonstrated that school district targeted vouchers are similar in their impact to nontargeted vouchers but vastly different from vouchers targeted to low income households furthermore strong migration effects are shown to significantly improve the likely equity consequences of voucher programs jel 122 128 h73 persistent frustration with the perceived low quality of public education exacerbated by concerns over the inherently unequal levels of public school quality across school districts has caused policy makers courts and researchers to investigate modifications and alternatives to the current public school system one idea that has received increasing academic and public attention is that of private school vouchers with proponents arguing that the competitive pressures of voucher programs would cause improvements in the efficiency of the publicschool system while at the same time addressing equity concerns if vouchers can be targeted to low income households or low income school districts but aside from a few limited experiments in some u s cities our experience with vouchers in the united states remains virtually nonexistent this limits the amount of information researchers can derive from standard empirical analysis in that it forces them to rely on only current nonvoucher induced differences in competition despite important suggestive results such work may not anticipate all the impacts from a large scale policy such as the voucher policies currently under discussion at the same time theoretical models of school finance are also limited in that they often either focus on only one particular aspect of the general equilibrium school finance problem or they are too rich and complex to yield crisp predictions

tiebout choice and universal school vouchers abstract this paper examines who is likely to gain and who is likely to lose under a universal voucher program following epple and romano d epple r e romano competition between private and public schools vouchers and peer group effects american economic review 88 1998 33 62 d epple r e romano neighborhood schools choice and the distribution of educational benefits in c m hoxby ed the economics of school choice the univ of chicago press chicago 2003 pp 227 286 and nechyba t j nechyba mobility targeting and private school vouchers american economic review 90 2000 130 146 t j nechyba introducing school choice into multidistrict public school systems in c m hoxby ed the economics of school choice the univ of chicago press chicago 2003 pp 145 194 we focus on the idea that gains and losses under a universal voucher depend on two effects changes in peer group composition and changes in housing values we show that the direction and magnitude of each of these effects hinge critically on market structure i e the amount of school choice that already exists in the public sector in markets with little or no tiebout choice potential changes in peer group composition create an incentive for high socioeconomic ses households to vote for the voucher and for low ses households to vote against voucher in contrast in markets with significant tiebout choice potential changes in housing values create an incentive for high ses households to vote against the voucher and for low ses households to vote for the voucher using data on vote outcomes from california s 2000 voucher initiative we find evidence consistent with those predictions

the impact of school choice on student outcomes an analysis of the chicago public schools we explore the impact of school choice on student outcomes in the context of open enrollment within the chicago public schools cps roughly half of the students opt out of their assigned high school to attend a different cps school and these students are much more likely than those who remain in their assigned schools to graduate to determine the source of this apparent benefit we compare outcomes across i similar students with differential access to schooling options and ii travelers and non travelers within the same school the results suggest that other than for students who select career academies the observed cross sectional benefits are likely spurious

choice of ontario high schools and student sorting by ability to what extent can offering more choice in schooling lead to cream skimming or the sorting of students by ability i study whether increased choice leads to student sorting by ability into high schools in the greater toronto area on average 41 of students opt out of the high school to which they would normally be assigned based on their residence students are more likely to opt out in areas where accessibility to other schools is greatest due to population density and explicit open enrolment policies while students of higher ability are generally more likely to opt out an interaction term between school choice and ability is insignificant suggesting that increased choice does not have differential impacts by student ability findings are robust to changes in assumptions about instrument exogeneity

strategic trade practices in the presence of a ver the authors investigate the choice of competing exporters to move simultaneously or sequentially when a voluntary export restraint has introduced both asymmetry and uncertainty amongst them a restrained and an unrestrained exporter choose price strategically under the threat of a voluntary export restraint on the latter given the choice firms adopt a sequential move strategy but which leads and which follows depends upon the threat of the second voluntary export restraint the restricted firm thus sells its full quota even if this threat is low copyright 1992 by economics department of the university of pennsylvania and the osaka university institute of social and economic research association

voluntary export restraints as protection policy the u s beef case there are several well known implications of international trade theory which are relevant to our study with a tariff an importing country s welfare can improve only if the excess supply curve is upward sloping under the large country assumption bhagwati has shown that a quota used by an importer can be equivalent to a tariff and mintz has contrasted features of tariffs quotas and vers empirical work has focused largely on the effects of tariffs and equivalent quotas generally exporting countries lose from such trade barriers in contrast we find that exporting countries gain and importing countries lose with a ver we also contrast the gains and losses of vers in the case of frozen boneless beef to an optimal tariff and optimal export tax the theoretical implications of vers for beef exporters were first recognized by freebairn and gruen

voluntary import expansions and voluntary export restraints in an oligopoly model with capacity constraints in a three country generalization of the kreps scheinkman 1983 duopoly model with price competition and capacity constraints the author analyzes the effects of discriminatory voluntary import expansions and voluntary export restraints on equilibrium capacity and pricing decisions voluntary export restraints are shown to be bad for the exporting country contradicting recent results in the literature by r harris 1985 and k krishna 1989 voluntary import expansions are shown to decrease competition cases are analyzed where voluntary import expansions may actually lead to import contraction or to increases in efficiency in the home country

capitalization and the voucher an analysis of precinct returns from california s proposition 174 abstract in 1993 californians voted on a school voucher initiative we hypothesize that homeowners in good school districts understood the voucher to be a threat to their property values and thus voted against it precinct returns from los angeles county confirm this hypothesis we also examine an alternative hypothesis explaining the relationship between school quality and precinct returns according to the alternative voters perceived the initiative to be a referendum on public school quality to distinguish between the two hypotheses we compare the voting patterns of homeowners and renters the comparison does not favor one hypothesis over the other

mobility housing markets and schools estimating the effects of inter district choice programs abstract in theoretical models of residential sorting a household s location decision is closely linked to its demand for local public services such as schooling since school choice programs weaken the link between residential location and schooling options they have the potential to affect both property values and residential location choices results derived from computable general equilibrium models suggest these effects could be large but there is limited empirical evidence concerning whether they actually occur this paper develops and tests predictions concerning the impact of inter district choice programs on housing values and residential location decisions our empirical results strongly confirm our theoretical predictions and the findings of the computable general equilibrium literature after their states adopt inter district choice programs districts with desirable nearby out of district schooling options experience relatively large increases in housing values residential income and population density

dumping as a signal of innovation in the r d intensive industries where technologies change rapidly an innovative foreign firm may need to export greater than normal quantities to signal the level of the new technology it possesses we find that such actions lead to sales below cost if the foreign firm has a relatively poor reputation for innovation has a sufficiently high discount factor or possesses a new technology that significantly cuts its cost we also show that antidumping reduces the costs of signaling benefits the home firm and may raise the profit to the foreign firm in the pre duty period

which school attributes matter the influence of school district performance and demographic composition on property values abstract increasing levels of segregation in american schools raises the question do home buyers pay for test scores or demographic composition this paper uses connecticut panel data spanning eleven years from 1994 to 2004 to ascertain the relationship between property values and school district attributes such as student test scores and the racial and ethnic composition of the student body town and census tract fixed effects are included to control for neighborhood unobservables the effect of changes in school district attributes is also examined over a decade long time frame in order to focus on the effect of long run changes which are more likely to be capitalized into prices the study finds strong evidence that increases in percent hispanic have a negative effect on housing prices in connecticut but mixed evidence concerning the impact of test scores on property values student test scores also appear to have increased in importance for explaining housing prices in recent years while the importance of percent hispanic has declined finally the study finds that estimates of property tax capitalization increase substantially when the analysis focuses on long run changes

capitalization and community size abstract studies often show taxes and public services capitalized into house prices but no one has tested whether the rate of capitalization depends on community size the theoretical model of w h hoyt 1999 regional science and urban economics 29 155 171 predicts that capitalization occurs but that the rate of capitalization is weaker in large communities hoyt s model is tested empirically using a house price hedonic framework the tax capitalization results are less clear but the school quality and crime results firmly support the model s predictions using both school districts and municipalities to measure communities larger communities weaken the rate of capitalization

school finance spatial income segregation and the nature of communities in a general equilibrium model that links school and housing markets a purely public school system regardless of the degree of centralization results in substantially more spatial income segregation than a purely private system however the combination of a public system with a private school market yields the least residential segregation as housing price distortions from the capitalization of the public system generate incentives for middle and high income private school attendees to live with lower income public school attendees the impact of vouchers and the sensitivity of results to alternative school production models is also investigated

political economy of the inequality in school spending abstract this paper employs data from 45 states between 1972 and 1992 to investigate the basic forces affecting school resource inequality within a state we consider a wide range of determinants of inequality including voter preferences the tax and political structure within the state and the legal standing of education within the state constitution we find that state constitutional language regarding equity affects the degree of school spending equality in the state as does the political environment in the state and factors associated with the benefits and costs of tiebout sorting into school districts

the capitalization of education finance reforms abstract the education finance reforms encouraged by state court rulings over the past 25 years have led to increased state aid and educational spending in poorer school districts this empirical study addresses whether these new resources were capitalized into the housing values and residential rents within those districts estimations based on district level census data indicate that the new educational expenditures generated by the court mandates substantially increased median housing values and residential rents this tiebout response implies that court mandated finance reforms increased the perceived quality of the poorer school districts in reform states however the existence and magnitude of this response also implies that these reforms had unintended distributional consequences for example these results indicate that for some the redistributive impact of education finance reform may have been sharply attenuated by the increased cost of residing in the districts that received new educational re

the effects of inflation and income taxes on interest rates some new evidence this paper reexamines the empirical relation between inflation and interest rates concentrating on the tax effect proposed by darby and feldstein using the random walk intercept model relative responses of taxable yields and tax exempt yields to expected infla tion are estimated the results show that for the sample period 1953 1982 the nominal yields on treasury bills rise at a rate greater than one for one with expected inflation while the nominal yields on default free municipal bonds rise approximately one for one with expected inflation thus the tax adjusted fisher hypothesis by darby and feldstein is empirically supported the components of treasury bills are also extracted and their variances are compared it is shown that variation of expected inflation is not overwhelmingly larger than that of the after tax real rate therefore on an after tax basis changes in the real rate explain a substantial portion of changes in the nominal rate of interest

voluntary export restraints antidumping procedure and domestic politics a voluntary export restraint ver is preferred to a tariff by a government concerned about electoral returns when the influence of industry profits is large relative to the losses to consumers from higher prices if the foreign firm is uncertain of these pressures the antidumping code facilitates the complete transfer of the relevant information and generates a ver rather than a tariff in equilibrium the choice across instruments is determined by the political attributes domestic and foreign profits rise with the antidumping generated ver and the ver lowers the volume of trade by more than the expected duty copyright 1996 by american economic association