common trends the government s budget constraint and revenue smoothing abstract the requirement that the government s budget be balanced in present value terms is shown to be equivalent to the condition that government expenditures inclusive of interest tax receipts and seignorage be cointegrated the condition is in fact stronger requiring that the deficit inclusive of interest be stationary stationarity of the net of interest deficit is neither necessary nor sufficient for intertemporal budget balance however it does have implications for barro s tax smoothing hypothesis data for the period 1890 1986 are consistent with intertemporal budget balance but not with tax smoothing

perspective from gaussian to paretian thinking causes and implications of power laws in organizations although normal distributions and related current quantitative methods are still relevant for some organizational research the growing ubiquity of power laws signifies that pareto rank frequency distributions fractals and underlying scale free theories are increasingly pervasive and valid characterizations of organizational dynamics when they apply researchers ignoring power law effects risk drawing false conclusions and promulgating useless advice to practitioners this is because what is important to most managers are the extremes they face not the averages we show that power laws are pervasive in the organizational world and present 15 scale free theories that apply to organizations next we discuss research implications embedded in pareto rank frequency distributions and draw statistical and methodological implications

getting there exploring the role of expectations and preproduction delays in processes of organizational founding because of preproduction delays environmental conditions at founding cannot explain organization building decisions taken earlier as a consequence environmental conditions at founding cannot explain organizational founding future levels of resource availability may be estimated but not directly observed by potential entrepreneurs at the time at which they decide to enter preproduction in this paper we take these considerations as our starting point to build a dynamic feedback model of organization founding according to the model organizational founding is driven by expectations that entrepreneurs form about future levels of resources and only indirectly by current levels of population density we explore the behavior of the model under a variety of experimental conditions we show that the qualitative behavior of the model is consistent with studies that have linked the duration of preproduction stage with fluctuations in density during population maturity our simulation analyses sustains three main conclusions first historical trajectories of organizational populations that are consistent with empirical observations may be produced by mechanisms that are not directly dependent on density second alternative hypotheses about how expectations are formed produce qualitatively different historical trajectories of density third fluctuations in numbers of organizations are linked to specific aspects of individual organization building decisions

momentum investment strategies portfolio performance and herding a study of mutual fund behavior this study analyzes the extent to which mutual funds purchase stocks based on their past returns as well as their tendency to exhibit herding behavior i e buying and selling the same stocks at the same time the authors find that 77 percent of the mutual funds were momentum investors buying stocks that were past winners however most did not systematically sell past losers on average funds that invested on momentum realized significantly better performance than other funds the authors also find relatively weak evidence that funds tended to buy and sell the same stocks at the same time copyright 1995 by american economic association

is the budget deficit too large yes specifically we find that recent spending and taxing policies of the government if continued violate the government s intertemporal budget constraint as a result government spending must be reduced and or tax revenues must be increased these conclusions are based on tests of whether government spending and revenue are cointegrated in addition to examining real spending and revenue we also normalize these variables by real gnp and population for a growing economy these normalized measures are perhaps more pertinent we also test and find support for the hypothesis that deficits have become a problem only in recent years

u s deficits since world war i the tax smoothing theory suggests that deficits would respond particularly to recession temporarily high government spending and anticipated inflation my empirical estimates indicate that a relation of this type is reasonably stable in the u s since at least 1916 in particular the statistical evidence does not support the idea that there has been a shift toward a fiscal policy that generates either more real public debt on average or that generates larger deficits in response to recessions further the deficits for 1982 3 and popular projections formed in 1984 for 1984 5 are consistent with the previous structure the high values of these deficits reflect the customary response to substantial recession interacting with big government and to expected inflation

income redistribution and local tax progressivity a reconsideration this paper investigates and clarifies the relation between global tax progressivity as measured by musgrave and thin s effective progression and pointwise local progression as measured by the elasticity of after tax income with respect to pre tax income residual progression liu s 1985 vigorous defence of the global measure of effective progression is shown to rest upon an erroneous proposition of jakobsson 1976 a counter example is presented demonstrating that the link between residual progression and lorenz domination is much weaker than the work of liu and jakobsson suggests redistribution des revenus et mesure ponctuelle de la progressivite de l imp6t un re examen ce memoire examine et clarifie les rapports entre la progressivite globale de l impot telle que mesuree par l indice de progression effective de musgrave et thin et la progressivite ponctuelle de l imp6t telle que mesuree par l elasticite du revenu apres impot par rapport au revenu avant impot la progression residuelle on montre que la vigoureuse defense de liu 1985 de la mesure globale de progression effective est batie sur une proposition erronnee de jakobsson 1976 un exemple montre bien que le lien entre la progression residuelle et la domination au sens de lorenz est bien plus faible que ne le suggerent les travaux de liu et jakobsson

dividend policy and earnings a study of short and long term causality this research examines whether earnings per share eps and dividends per share dps exhibit a short and long causality the data employed in this study consist of quarterly eps and dps for 28 of the djia companies obtained from bloomberg over a recent 10 year period the companies under investigation all have eps and dps data available over the period studied dividends are generally paid out of earnings the amount and timing of the dividend paid is a function of the respective company s dividend policy therefore the epst can be expressed in terms of the dpst as follows epst dpst where is a nonnegative constant the equation suggests that there is a linear relationship between the epst and the dpst the results of this study indicate that bi directional causality exists for some of the companies

corporate entrepreneurship strategy extending the integrative framework through the lens of complexity science whereas our understanding of corporate entrepreneurship ce and corporate entrepreneurship strategy ces continues to expand there has been little theoretical development to support the most extensive framework to date the integrative model of ces as proposed by ireland et al entrep theory pract 33 1 19 46 2009 according to the model ces is built upon the three foundational elements of an entrepreneurial strategic vision a pro entrepreneurship organizational architecture and entrepreneurial processes and behaviors as exhibited throughout the organization ireland et al 2009 p 38 the purpose of this study is to present a broad overarching theory complexity science to examine the key elements and propositions of the ces model complexity science founded on assumptions of interdependent heterogeneous agents and nonlinear interactions as well as non deterministic and potentially extreme outcomes offers established multi level concepts theoretical boundary conditions and methodological guidance for scholars to build and test future studies on ce and ces though our complexity perspective draws extensively from conceptual work on complex adaptive systems and agent based models we ground our arguments on the empirical ubiquity of power law distributions in all constructs and levels of analysis within the ces model we conclude with a detailed research agenda as well as a prescriptive discussion related to theory development quantitative analysis and practical applications to guide future studies on ce

the ineffectiveness of entrepreneurship policy is policy formulation to blame entrepreneurship policy has been criticised for its lack of effectiveness some scholars such as scott shane in this journal have argued that it is bad public policy but this simply begs the question why the legislative process should generate bad policy to answer this question this study examines the uk s enterprise policy process in the 2009 2010 period it suggests that a key factor for the ineffectiveness of policy is how it is formulated this stage in the policy process is seldom visible to those outside of government departments and has been largely ignored by prior research the application of institutional theory provides a detailed theoretical understanding of the actors and the process by which enterprise policy is formulated we find that by opening up the black box of enterprise policy formulation the process is dominated by powerful actors who govern the process with their interests

a comparison of two new measures of tax progressivity recently n c kakwani i977 and daniel suits i977 independently and simultaneously developed new measures of the degree of tax progression both measures are related to the gini ratio of income inequality and are distinct from conventional elasticity measures of progressivity in that each yields a summary statistic while standard elasticity measures of progressivity vary as the tax base changes in this paper we briefly describe the measures identify their important characteristics and establish the analytical relation between them empirical calculations of the progressivity of the u s income tax system for the period i 962 76 reveal that the two measures display different magnitudes of change in progressivity more importantly in three out of fourteen years the measures moved in opposite directions

long run limits on the us federal debt abstract this letter distinguishes three nested long run constraints on the u s federal debt tests and rejects the strongest of the three and illustrates how hazardous it is to base inference regarding unit roots on misspecified test regressions

beyond gaussian averages redirecting international business and management research toward extreme events and power laws practicing managers live in a world of extremes but international business and management research is based on gaussian statistics that rule out such extremes on occasion positive feedback processes among interactive data points cause extreme events characterized by power laws they seem ubiquitous we list 80 kinds of them half each among natural and social phenomena we use imposed tension and per bak s self organized criticality to argue that pareto based science and statistics based on interdependence positive feedback scalability nearly infinite variance and emphasizing extremes should parallel the traditional dominance of gaussian statistics based on independent data points finite variance and emphasizing averages we question quantitative journal publications depending on gaussian statistics the cost is inaccurate science and irrelevance to practitioners in conclusion no statistical findings should be accepted into business studies if they gain significance via some assumption device by which extreme events and nearly infinite variance are ignored accordingly we suggest redirecting international business studies and management research in general

legitimating first organizing activities and the survival of new ventures abstract the process by which firm founders create new organizations is of considerable interest to evolutionary theorists and entrepreneurship researchers this article tracks the life histories of 223 swedish new ventures started between january and september 1998 by a random sample of firm founders we explore the effect of legitimating activities on the hazard of disbanding and the transition to other firm organizing activities during their first 30 months of life we find that undertaking activities to generate legitimacy reduces the hazard of venture disbanding and facilitates the transition to other organizing activities

panel studies of new venture creation a methods focused review and suggestions for future research longitudinal panel studies of large random samples of business start ups captured at the pre operational stage allow researchers to address core issues for entrepreneurship research namely the processes of creation of new business ventures as well as their antecedents and outcomes here we perform a methods orientated review of all 83 journal articles that have used this type of data set our purpose being to assist users of current data sets as well as designers of new projects in making the best use of this innovative research approach our review reveals a number of methods issues that are largely particular to this type of research we conclude that amidst exemplary contributions much of the reviewed research has not adequately managed these methods challenges nor has it made use of the full potential of this new research approach specifically we identify and suggest remedies for context specific and interrelated methods challenges relating to sample definition choice of level of analysis operationalization and conceptualization use of longitudinal data and dealing with various types of problematic heterogeneity in addition we note that future research can make further strides towards full utilization of the advantages of the research approach through better matching from either direction between theories and the phenomena captured in the data and by addressing some under explored research questions for which the approach may be particularly fruitful

arbitrage cointegration and testing the unbiasedness hypothesis in financial markets we use a no arbitrage cost of carry asset pricing model to show that the existence of coin tegration between spot and forward futures prices depends on the time series properties of the cost of carry we argue that the conditions for cointegration are more likely to hold in currency markets than in commodity markets explaining many of the empirical results in the literature we also use this model to demonstrate why the forward rate forecast error the basis and the forward premium are serially correlated and to develop econometric tests ofthe unbiasedness hypothesis sometimes called the simple efficiency hypothesis in various financial markets the unbiasedness hypothesis is so prevalent in the finance liter ature that many tests for it have been developed we examine four of the common tests and and use our cointegration results to demonstrate why each of these tests should reject the null hypothesis of unbiasedness we find strong support for our hypothesis in the existing empirical literature

threshold models of interpersonal effects in consumer demand abstract whether one buys may be determined in part by how many others have when the correlation is positive we refer to bandwagon effects and when negative reverse bandwagons we construct demand schedules in the presence of such effects and with simple assumptions about supply investigate the existence of and approach to equilibrium stable price quantity equilibria exist but for many plausible parameter values equilibria are asymptotically unstable and system trajectories consist of cycles that can move with slight parameter changes via successive bifurcations into what has been called chaotic dynamics essentially indistinguishable from random noise these conditions occur despite assumptions of erfect information profit maximizing firms and utility maximizing individuals

new directions in entrepreneurship research with the kauffman firm survey data is a fundamental impediment to a better understanding of the multifaceted process of new firm creation with better data we can form a better understanding of the causes constraints and outcomes associated with the decision to launch a new business towards this end the kauffman foundation commissioned an eight wave panel of businesses that were formed in 2004 chronicling a single cohort s evolution from birth through important business milestones this issue of small business economics focuses on papers that use the kauffman firm survey to examine new research questions in entrepreneurship articles in this issue analyze new research topics in entrepreneurship as well as shed light on enduring questions in the literature

the persistence and dynamics of new venture growth extensive research has suggested that new ventures growth rates lack persistence however existing studies tend not to differentiate between positive and negative growth rates or examine their respective persistence and dynamics building on performance feedback theory we show that positive and negative growth rates exhibit different dynamics over time especially negative growth rates are less likely to persist and more likely to reverse than positive ones furthermore firm size and team size influence the persistence or the lack of thereof of both positive and negative growth rates specifically new ventures that are smaller as well as those managed by larger teams are more likely to maintain positive growth and reverse negative growth relative to their respective counterparts overall this study suggests that positive and negative growth rates differ in their persistence and that new ventures can shape the dynamics of both positive and negative growth

chains of cooperation threshold effects in collective action granovetter s threshold model of collective action shows how each new participant triggers others until the chain reaction reaches a gap in the distribution of thresholds hence outcomes depend on the network of social ties that channel the chain reactions however structural analysis is encumbered by the assumption that thresholds derive from changing marginal returns on investments in public goods a learning theoretic specification imposes less stringent assumptions about the rationality of the actors and is much better suited to a structural analysis computer simulations suggest that threshold effects may be the key to solving the coordination problem when individual choices are contingent on participation by others this interdependence facilitates the coordination of contributions needed to shift the bistable system from a noncooperative equilibrium to a cooperative one further simulations with low density networks show that these chain reactions require bridges that link socially distant actors supporting granovetter s case for the strength of weak ties

performance persistence of pension fund managers previous work on u k pension funds found only slight evidence of fund manager persistence but survivorship bias in the construction of these data samples may have disguised true persistence using a large sample of pension funds over the period 1983 97 in which there is less survivorship bias we find strong evidence of persistence in abnormal returns generated by fund managers over 1 year time horizons but weaker evidence over longer horizons even when an allowance is made for momentum in stock returns we find pension fund managers exhibit performance persistence

the rise and fall of small worlds exploring the dynamics of social structure this paper explores the interplay between social structure and economic action by examining some of the evolutionary dynamics of an emergent network that coalesces into a small world system the study highlights the small world system s evolutionary dynamics at both the macro level of the network and the micro level of an individual actor this dual analytical lens helps establish that in competitive and information intensive settings a small world system could be a highly dynamic structure that follows an inverted u shaped evolutionary pattern wherein an increase in the small worldliness of the system is followed by its later decline as a result of three factors 1 the recursive relationship between the evolving social structure and individual actors formation of bridging ties which eventually homogenizes the information space and decreases actors propensity to form bridging ties creating a globally separated network 2 self containment of the small world network or increasing homogenization of the social system which makes the small world less accepting of and less attractive to new actors thereby limiting formation of bridging ties to outside clusters and 3 fragmentation of the small world network or the small world system s inability to retain current clusters the study uses data on interorganizational tie formation in the global computer industry in the period from 1996 to 2005 to test the hypothesized relationships

power law distributions in entrepreneurship implications for theory and research a long held assumption in entrepreneurship research is that normal i e gaussian distributions characterize variables of interest for both theory and practice we challenge this assumption by examining more than 12 000 nascent young and hyper growth firms results reveal that variables which play central roles in resource cognition action and environment based entrepreneurship theories exhibit highly skewed power law distributions where a few outliers account for a disproportionate amount of the distribution s total output our results call for the development of new theory to explain and predict the mechanisms that generate these distributions and the outliers therein we offer a research agenda including a description of non traditional methodological approaches to answer this call

survivorship bias and attrition effects in measures of performance persistence we simulate standard tests of performance persistence using alternative returngenerating processes survival criteria and test methodologies when survival depends on performance over several periods survivorship bias induces spurious reversals despite the presence of cross sectional heteroskedasticity in performance look ahead biased methodologies and missing nal returns typical of u s mutual fund datasets can also materially a ect persistence measures our results reinforce previous ndings that u s mutual fund performance is truly persistent when fund performance is truly persistent fund attrition a ects persistence measures even when the sample includes all nonsurvivor returns we also examine the speci cation and power of the various persistence tests 1999 elsevier science s a all rights reserved

hot hands in mutual funds short run persistence of relative performance 1974 1988 the relative performance of no load growth oriented mutual funds persists in the near term with the strongest evidence for a one year evaluation horizon portfolios of recent poor performers do significantly worse than standard benchmarks those of recent top performers do better though not significantly so the difference in risk adjusted performance between the top and bottom octile portfolios is six to eight percent per year these results are not attributable to known anomalies or survivorship bias investigations with a different previously used data set and with some post 1988 data confirm the finding of persistence

an essay on the origins of entrepreneurial opportunity in this article we apply a process of logical inference to draw conclusions about the origins of entrepreneurial opportunity from existing conversations in the field of strategic management we equate the execution of a competitive strategy as described in the strategic management literature to the exploitation of an entrepreneurial opportunity as described in the entrepreneurship literature given this assumption we survey five extant theories of strategy in an attempt to categorize and describe the circumstances that define how and with what consequence entrepreneurial opportunity exploitation results in future opportunity given this review we characterize the outcomes of strategy execution as a function of the match between strategy and environment in an effort to extend and refine holcombe s holcombe randall 2003 review of austrian economics16 1 25 43 position that entrepreneurial opportunity is born of prior entrepreneurial action let your hook always be cast in the pool where you least expect it there will be a fish ovid a d 17

personal income tax progressivity and output volatility evidence from oecd countries this paper investigates empirically the effect of personal income tax progressivity on output volatility using macro data from a sample of oecd countries over the period 1982 2009 our measure of progressivity is based on the difference between the marginal and the average personal income tax rate for the average production worker we find supportive empirical evidence for the hypothesis that higher personal income tax progressivity leads to lower output volatility this effect comes in addition to the stabilizing impact of government size and it is equally important in economic terms all other factors constant countries with more progressive personal income tax systems seem to benefit from stronger automatic stabilizers

u s federal indebtedness and the conduct of fiscal policy abstract this paper examines whether the conduct of u s fiscal policy since the 1920s has been influenced by constraints on the accumulated stock of outstanding federal debt the evidence is affirmative during most of the inter and post war period policy in effect stabilized the federal debt relative to gnp but after 1981 large debt and debt service costs failed to produce deficit reductions consistent with the pattern of previous decades

lorenz domination and global tax progressivity the paper clarifies the concept of global progressivity as opposed to pointwise progressivity and proposes a summary measure for global progressivity on the basis of lorenz domination as a ranking criterion for income distributions by extending the work of musgrave and thin 1948 and jakobsson 1976 other ad hoc summary measures for global progressivity are evaluated from both a positive and a normative viewpoint domination selon le critere de lorenz et progressivite globale de la fiscalite ce memoire clarifie le concept de progressivite globale par opposition au concept de progressivite ponctuelle et propose une mesure sommaire de progressivite globale fondee sur la domination selon le critere de lorenz ce critere pour la comparaison de distributions de revenus est developpe en prolongeant certains travaux de musgrave et thin 1948 et de jakobsson 1976 l auteur examine aussi de fa on critique d autres mesures sommaires de progressivite globale dans une optique normative et positive

which ties matter when the contingent effects of interorganizational partnerships on ipo success this paper investigates the contingent value of interorganizational relationships at the time of a young firm s initial public offering ipo we compare the signaling value to young firms of having ties with two types of interorganizational partnerships endorsement relationships such as those with venture capital firms and investment banks and strategic alliance partnerships we propose that under different equity market conditions potential investors in an issuing firm attend to different types of uncertainty attention to these different types of uncertainty affects investors perceptions of the relative value of a young firm s different kinds of endorsements and partnerships and hence ipo success results from a sample of young biotechnology firms show that ties to prominent venture capital firms are particularly beneficial to ipo success during cold markets while ties to prominent investment banks are particularly beneficial to ipo success during hot markets a firm s strategic alliances with major pharmaceutical health care firms did not have such contingent effects implications for understanding the contingent value of interorganizational ties are discussed copyright 2003 john wiley sons ltd

initial human and financial capital as predictors of new venture performance abstract this research seeks to predict the performance of new ventures based on factors that can be observed at the time of start up indicators of initial human and financial capital are considered to determine how they bear upon the probability of three possible performance outcomes 1 failure 2 marginal survival or 3 high growth four categories of initial human and financial capital are examined general human capital represented here by the entrepreneur s education gender and race may reflect the extent to which the entrepreneur has had the opportunity to develop relevant skills and contacts management know how embodied in the entrepreneur or available through advisors or partners reflects management specific skills and knowledge without regard to the kind of business industry specific know how reflects specific experience in similar businesses financial capital is one of the most visible resources it can create a buffer against random shocks and allow the pursuit of more capital intensive strategies which are better protected from imitation the study utilizes a longitudinal study of 1053 new ventures representative of all industry sectors and geographical regions the research departs from most previous studies in considering different measures of performance marginal survival and growth and in considering explicitly whether the factors contributing to marginal survival differ from those contributing to high growth it was found that measures of general human capital influenced both survival and growth except for gender with women owned ventures being less likely to grow but just as likely to survive management know how variables had more limited impact having parents who had owned a business contributed to marginal survival but not to growth number of partners contributed to growth but not to survival management level prior employment in non profit organizations or not having been in the labor force and the use of professional advisors did not have significant effects industry specific know how contributed to both survival and growth amount of initial financial capital also contributed to both the usefulness of the model is enhanced by the fact that the resource variables considered are relatively easy to assess and all can be considered at the time of start up although some of the human capital variables cannot easily be changed the benefits or risks associated with each can be assessed in some cases potential problems can be identified so that plans can be modified to improve prospects overall it appears that using a model based upon the initial human and financial capital of the venture it is possible to predict the performance of new ventures with some degree of confidence

asset allocation dynamics and pension fund performance using a data set on more than 300 u k pension funds asset holdings this article provides a systematic investigation of the performance of managed portfolios across multiple asset classes we find evidence of slow mean reversion in the funds portfolio weights toward a common time varying strategic asset allocation we also find surprisingly little cross sectional variation in the average ex post returns arising from the strategic asset allocation market timing and security selection decisions of the fund managers strategic asset allocation accounts for most of the time series variation in portfolio returns while market timing and asset selection appear to have been far less important copyright 1999 by university of chicago press

some calculations of lifetime tax incidence this paper reports a set of lifetime tax incidence calculations using a life cycle simulation model for canada due to davies 1979a 1982 a repeatedly stated qualification to annual calculations in the empirical tax incidence literature is that it would be more satisfactory to make calculations on a lifetime basis even though it is acknowledged that lifetime tax incidence could well differ from annual it is widely believed that data and other difficulties make such calculations next to impossible indeed the widespread acceptance of the data problems of lifetime calculations seems also to have inhibited speculation about how lifetime tax incidence might differ from annual as a result redistributive tax policy judgments continue to be based on annual incidence calculations in spite of the reservations many have about their usefulness our paper is intended to reorient discussion towards lifetime tax incidence by providing some initial null hypotheses about the shape of lifetime tax profiles our main finding is that under the standard competitive assumptions common in the incidence literature lifetime and annual incidence calculations both produce mild progression in tax rates across household deciles ignoring the bottom decile in the annual calculation while the income tax is less progressive in lifetime than in annual calculations other taxes are for the most part less regressive also lifetime incidence calculations are much more robust to alternative shifting assumptions than annual calculations in the lifetime context key distributions such as earnings transfer payments and consumption are less heavily concentrated in particular percentiles of the population than is true in annual data as a result changing the allocative series for any particular tax does not have the large effect on incidence results found in annual calculations each component of the tax system is allocated to households grouped by lifetime income using particular distributive series following a procedure similar to that employed in annual incidence calculations for example richard musgrave et al 1974 joseph pechman and benjamin okner 1974 edgar browning and william johnson 1979 w irwin gillespie 1980 in the process we are able to compare lifetime and annual incidence calculations using the same data set in both lifetime and annual calculations we allocate five groups of taxes among households using distributive series which come partly from the 1971 statistics canada survey of consumer finances scf and partly from our life cycle simulation model the scf data are used to construct synthetic longitudinal lifetime profiles of earnings and transfer payments for a sample of 500 households the latter are assigned inheritances by simulating patterns of mortality and bequest these data are then used in the life cycle model to generate lifetime consumption profiles and bequests the earnings transfer and inheritance data plus the model output provide the distributive series on which alternative incidence calculations are based while the incidence calculations presented in this paper use canadian data results would likely be similar for the united states

unit roots tests evidence from the foreign exchange futures market in this paper tests are conducted for the presence of unit roots in the autoregression representation of foreign exchange currency futures price series the results obtained from five different currency futures over the 1977 1983 period suggestthat foreign currency futures rates have autoregressive representations with a singleunit root i e borderline nonstationarity in view of this result it appears thatthe process generating the natural logarithm of foreign currency futures rates may well be approximated by random walks

asset specificity and behavioral uncertainty as moderators of the sales growth employment growth relationship in emerging ventures sales growth and employment growth are the two most widely used growth indicators for new ventures yet sales growth and employment growth are not interchangeable measures of new venture growth rather they are related but somewhat independent constructs that respond differently to a variety of criteria most of the literature treats this as a methodological technicality however sales growth with or without accompanying employment growth has very different implications for managers and policy makers a better understanding of what drives these different growth metrics has the potential to lead to better decision making to improve that understanding we apply transaction cost economics reasoning to predict when sales growth will be or will not be accompanied by employment growth our results indicate that our predictions are borne out consistently in resource constrained contexts but not in resource munificent contexts