rational heuristics expectations and behaviors in evolving economies with heterogeneous interacting agents we analyze the individual and macroeconomic impacts of heterogeneous expectations and action rules within an agent based model populated by heterogeneous interacting firms agents have to cope with a complex evolving economy characterized by deep uncertainty resulting from technical change imperfect information coordination hurdles and structural breaks in these circumstances we find that neither individual nor macroeconomic dynamics improve when agents replace myopic expectations with less naive learning rules our results suggest that fast and frugal robust heuristics may not be a second best option but rather rational responses in complex and changing macroeconomic environments jel c63 d8 e32 e6 o4

the role of american depositary receipts in the development of emerging equity markets this paper finds that the growth and expansion of u s cross listings by firms from emerging markets around the world facilitated an expansion of cross border equity flows and overall development of their stock markets during the 1990s however these benefits have negative spillover effects the capitalization and turnover ratios of local market firms that do not pursue overseas listings decline as u s cross listings in the form of american depositary receipts adrs increase in size and scope we investigate various possible sources of these negative spillovers and offer new evidence that the growth of adrs neither facilitates nor hinders local market development but represent an outcome of poorly functioning local markets policy implications are discussed

business cycles and long run growth in this survey we discuss the effect of macroeconomic fluctuations on long run growth from both a theoretical and empirical perspective we emphasize the opportunity cost approach which states that firms will intertemporally substitute productivity enhancing activities for regular production activity during recessions we provide aggregate evidence in favor of the opportunity cost approach copyright 1997 by oxford university press

the market reaction to international cross listings evidence from depositary receipts abstract this paper examines the stock price impact of international dual listings the sample consists of 181 firms from 35 countries that instituted their first depositary receipt program over the period 1985 1995 the market reaction to a depositary receipt program is larger in magnitude and more pervasive than previously reported the stock price reaction is related to choice of exchange geographical location i e emerging or developed markets and avenues for raising equity capital i e public versus private offerings

the impact of foreign board membership on firm value abstract this study examines the effect of foreign anglo american board membership on corporate performance measured in terms of firm value tobin s q using a sample of firms with headquarters in norway or sweden the study indicates a significantly higher value for firms that have outsider anglo american board member s after a variety of firm specific and corporate governance related factors have been controlled for we argue that this superior performance reflects the fact that these companies have successfully broken away from a partly segmented domestic capital market by importing an anglo american corporate governance system such an import signals a willingness on the part of the firm to expose itself to improved corporate governance and enhances its reputation in the financial market

asset pricing and dual listing on foreign capital markets a note international capital flows can be hampered by a variety of barriers such as transaction costs information costs and legal restrictions these barriers can be severe enough to produce segmentation of capital markets along national borders thereby producing incentives for firms to adopt financial policies that can effectively reduce the associated negative effects according to stapleton and subrahmanyam 6 p 313 dual listing of the firm s securities on foreign capital markets is one such policy 1 however adoption of this policy will bring forth asset pricing adjustments the purpose of this note is to provide and analyze a closed form solution to the equilibrium asset pricing problem that arises in this situation 2 once the solution is obtained comparative statics are provided 3 the model presented assumes that one of the domestic securities is dually listed on a foreign capital market while none of the foreign securities is dually listed on the domestic capital market this scenario often characterizes the initial stages of capital market integration in which a country with relatively scarce capital or a relatively underdeveloped capital market allows a small number of domestic securities or a fund of domestic securities to be listed on a foreign capital market while simultaneously forbidding its citizens to invest in foreign securities this point can be illustrated by the emergence of a variety of country funds in the u s capital market such as the japan fund in the 1960 s the

the impact of financial liberalization on capital structure adjustment in pakistan a doubly censored modelling abstractthe purpose of the study is to explain adjustment rate towards target capital structure of pakistani nonfinancial listed firms and to investigate the impact of financial liberalization fl on capital structure adjustment rate we control for the unobserved heterogeneity and the fractional nature of adjustment rate by applying an unbiased dynamic panel fractional estimator on an unbalanced panel data of pakistani nonfinancial firms listed during 1972 2010 we find that these firms adjust at an annual rate of 24 51 to reach their capital structure targets we argue that in order to optimize the benefits of fl the government should strengthen financial as well as judicial institutions to enforce the creditors rights that will enable access to more options to pakistani firms to raise cheaper external financing

the role of american depositary receipts in the development of emerging markets using a sample of 28 stock markets this chapter presents an empirical exploration of the effect of american depositary receipts adrs on emerging market development we examine the role of adrs on three aspects of market development openness defined as the degree of market transparency and reliability liquidity a measure of market activity and growth which attempts to measure the market s ability to foster the formation of new enterprises and encourage economic growth the preliminary evidence from the study is mixed adrs are instrumental in increasing openness but negatively impact both liquidity and the ability of the local market to foster economic growth also the effect of large firms listing adrs is detrimental to the development of the local market

on the effects of barriers to international investment a simple model is presented in which it is costly for domestic investors to hold foreign assets the implications of the model for the composition of optimal portfolios at home and abroad are derived it is shown that all foreign assets with a beta larger than some beta plot on either one of two security market lines some foreign assets with a beta smaller than are not held by domestic investors even if their expected return is increased slightly while it is obviously not true that asset markets are completely segmented between countries there is evidence of barriers to international investment although reality seems to lie in that grey area between complete segmentation and no segmentation at all most international asset pricing models are concerned with the extreme case of no barriers to international investment no effort seems to have been made to study the effect on portfolio choice of such barriers which make it costly to hold foreign securities as opposed to domestic securities but which do not in general render international diversification so onerous that investors avoid foreign securities completely casual empiricism suggests that models without barriers to international investment should be suspect those models cannot explain why it appears that in every country investors on average hold more domestic securities than would be required if they held the world market portfolio 2 this paper constructs a model of international asset pricing in which there is a cost associated with holding either long or short risky foreign securities for the sake of simplicity in most of the paper we assume that while domestic investors face barriers to international investment foreign investors face no such barriers it turns out that nothing significant is lost with such an assumption the main conclusions of this paper for the case in which foreign investors face no barriers to international investment are 1 in the presence of barriers to international investment some risky foreign

international evidence on the historical properties of business cycles we contrast properties of real quantities with those of price levels and stocks of money for ten countries over the last century although the magnitude of output fluctuations has varied across countries and periods relations among real quantities have been remarkably uniform properties of price levels however exhibit striking differences between periods inflation rates are more persistent after world war ii than before and price level fluctuations are typically procyclical before world war ii and countercyclical afterward fluctuations in money are less highly correlated with output in the postwar period but are no more persistent than in earlier periods jel e32 e31

ipo underpricing and international corporate governance it is well established that a link exists between a country s legal system and the size liquidity and value of its capital markets we study how differences in country level governance affect the underpricing of initial public offerings ipos examining 4462 ipos across 29 countries from 2000 to 2004 we find the surprising result that underpricing is higher in countries with corporate governance that strengthens the position of investors relative to insiders we conjecture that when countries give outsiders more influence ipo issuers underprice more to generate excess demand for the offer which in turn leads to greater ownership dispersion and reduces outsiders incentives to monitor the behavior of corporate insiders in other words underpricing is a cost that insiders pay to maintain control in countries with legal systems designed to empower outsiders consistent with this control motivation for underpricing we find that underpricing has a negative association with post ipo outside blockholdings and a positive association with private control benefits in addition firms whose insiders are entrenched either by majority ownership or by dual class structures do not underprice more in countries with better governance in these firms the ownership structure protects managers from outside influence eliminating the incentive to increase outside ownership dispersion through underpricing

the use of foreign currency derivatives corporate governance and firm value around the world abstract this paper examines the impact of currency derivatives on firm value using a broad sample of firms from thirty nine countries with significant exchange rate exposure derivatives can be used for managers self interest for hedging or for speculative purposes we hypothesize that investors can appeal to a firm s internal firm level and external country level corporate governance to draw inferences on a firm s motive behind the use of derivatives since well governed firms are more likely to use derivatives to hedge rather than to speculate or pursue managers self interest consistent with this explanation we find strong evidence that the use of currency derivatives for firms that have strong internal firm level or external country level governance is associated with a significant value premium

insider trading and the valuation of international strategic alliances in emerging stock markets because stock markets in emerging economies are relatively new under regulated and often segmented investors responses to public announcements by firms in these economies may differ from responses in developed economies stock markets we draw on the institutional and corporate governance literatures to explain investor reactions to announcements of international strategic alliances isas between foreign and emerging market firms we argue that emerging economies stock markets positively value isas however information leakages due to weak regulatory environments siphon off the good news before the isa announcement date the level of state ownership of publicly traded firms and the nationality of foreign partners both affect the size and timing of market reactions

internationalization and the evolution of corporate valuation by documenting the evolution of tobin s q before during and after firms internationalize the authors provide evidence on the bonding segmentation and market timing theories of internationalization using new data on 9 096 firms across 74 countries over the period 1989 2000 they find that tobin s q does not rise after internationalization even relative to firms that do not internationalize instead q rises significantly before internationalization and during the internationalization year but then q falls sharply in the year after internationalization quickly relinquishing the increases of the previous years to account for these dynamics the authors show that market capitalization rises before internationalization and remains high while corporate assets increase during internationalization the evidence supports models stressing that financial internationalization facilitates corporate expansion but challenges models stressing that internationalization produces an enduring effect on q by bonding firms to a better corporate governance system

price transmission foreign exchange rate risks and global diversification of adrs the purposes of this article are to reinvestigate how returns of major american depository receipts adrs from different countries are related to the underlying stock returns and to identify the determinants of adr risk premiums we use different types of error correcting terms in vector error correction models to examine information flows between adrs and the underlying foreign stocks general method of moments estimation of conditional international asset pricing model of dumas and solnik 1995 is applied to investigate adr return premiums we find that stock returns are more affected by disequilibrium between adr and stock prices in an inefficient way for us investors foreign exchange rate risk premiums and world market risk premium beyond us index are priced in adrs returns ex ante surprisingly it is shown that the exchange rate of new taiwan dollar and the interest rates of brazil and taiwan play important roles in determining adr risk premiums across countries

detrending stylized facts and the business cycle the stylized facts of macroeconomic time series can be presented by fitting structural time series models within this framework we analyse the consequences of the widely used detrending technique popularised by hodrick and prescott 1980 it is shown that mechanical detrending based on the hodrick prescott filter can lead investigators to report spurious cyclical behaviour and this point is illustrated with empirical examples structural time series models also allow investigators to deal explicitly with seasonal and irregular movements that may distort estimated cyclical components finally the structural framework provides a basis for exposing the limitations of arima methodology and models based on a deterministic trend with a single break

globalization and the value of us listing revisiting canadian evidence abstract as capital markets become integrated the value of foreign listing and consequently the number of foreign listings should be expected to decline the dramatic surge in foreign listings on us stock exchanges in recent years suggests that motivations and value of listing may also be changing as markets become increasingly globalized we explore this issue by comparing both short and long run valuation effects of canadian listings in the us in pre and post 1990 periods we document that the positive price and liquidity effects for canadian stocks surrounding us listing have declined over time the analysis of long run performance however shows that canadian firms list in the us after a strong market performance but underperform canadian market indexes by 13 30 over the three years after the listing in both pre and post 1990 periods further the determinants of long run performance appear to be significantly different from that in the short run our evidence suggests that valuation effects of us listing may be driven by several factors including liquidity and industry factors that vary cross sectionally and over time

integration vs segmentation in the canadian stock market this paper examines the issue of integration versus segmentation of the canadian equity market relative to a global north american market we compare the international and domestic versions of the capm and find that integration or the mean variance efficiency of the global market index is rejected by the data segmentation is the preferred model based on a maximum likelihood procedure correcting for thin trading we further divide the sample into securities that are interlisted in canada and the u s and those that are not integration is rejected for both groups which indicates that the source of segmentation can be traced to legal barriers based on the nationality of issuing firms empirical studies of international capital markets have left the issue of segmentation versus integration largely unresolved yet the question of national or international pricing of assets has crucial implications for financial decisions if national stock markets are segmented then international portfolios should display superior risk adjusted performance because some of the priced domestic systematic risk is diversifiable also with segmentation many irrelevance propositions for corporate financial strategy break down home firms face optimal hedging decisions as well as optimal foreign versus home borrowing decisions finally criteria for capital budgeting decisions will be quite different under national and international pricing the purpose of this paper is to shed some light on this integration versus segmentation question for the canadian equity market vis a vis a global north american market in this paper integration is defined2 as a situation where investors earn the same risk adjusted expected return on similar financial instruments in different national markets the key problem of course is the pricing

productivity growth and the structure of the business cycle abstract over the recent years opportunity cost oc models of growth have argued that recessions are times when firms engage in productivity improving activities because of intertemporal substitu tion this paper tests whether this approach is correct the technique used to disentangle the trend from the cycle is semi structural vector autoregression the results are mildly supportive of the oc theory there tends to be a negative impact of demand shocks on productivity both in the short run and in the long run and the short run impact is stronger in those countries where fluctuations are more transitory however there is no significant response of r d to demand shocks

the ability of global stock exchange mechanisms to mitigate home bias evidence from euronext this paper examines the effects on equity home bias of two mechanisms adopted by euronext when it was formed by the merger of four european countries stock exchanges in 2002 the two structural mechanisms are the integration of trading platforms across the four predecessor exchanges and the creation of named segments of the integrated exchange on which firms could voluntarily list by precommitting to enhanced disclosure and transparency employing a difference in differences research design using other european union companies as a control group we document that the integration of the euronext market was associated with a reduction in home bias for firms listed on the named segments of the euronext exchange but not for the nonsegment euronext firms our results suggest that the reduction in transaction costs from the integration of the trading platforms did not make the nonsegment euronext firms more attractive to the specific investors for whom the transaction costs were reduced on the other hand the decrease in information costs due to the precommitments to enhanced transparency made the segment firms more attractive to all categories of foreign investors consistent with the information costs hypothesis this paper was accepted by mary barth accounting

changing risk exposures of cross listed firms and market integration abstract a standard finding is that risk exposures of companies that cross list tend to increase against the market in which they list a change typically associated with a decline in the cost of capital however this finding is predicated on the assumption that the home and foreign market co movements are stable over time by contrast another common finding is that risk exposures across market indices have increased over time due to international market integration in this paper i ask whether the firm level findings for changing risk exposures are due to the more general changes in market co movements indeed for a panel of cross listed firms in the u s i find that 72 do not find evidence of breaks in their relationships beyond those derived from their home markets this finding suggests that the apparent increase in risk exposures for cross listed firms arises from general market integration trends moreover the remaining 28 of firms tend to have significant breaks after cross listing be younger and have home markets with lower government regulation

global and local information asymmetries illiquidity and sec rule 144a regulation s the case of indian gdrs abstract between 1992 and 1997 indian firms were the most frequent issuers of equity backed global depositary receipts gdrs governed by the sec s rule 144a and regulation s they also accounted for the highest dollar volume home market stock price responses to these issues are consistent with the hypotheses that gdrs enable firms to resolve two forms of information asymmetry 1 an asymmetry between issuing firms and international investors that results from market segmentation and 2 an asymmetry between indian firms and home market investors that resembles asymmetries that help explain abnormal returns in equity private placements by us firms our evidence suggests that gdr issuance can increase investors recognition of underlying shares even if there are no liquidity enhancements and even if disclosure requirements are not as demanding as those imposed on foreign firms whose depositary receipts trade in public us markets

the impact of cross listing in the united states on the precision of public and private information our study explores the source of improvement in the information environment from cross listing shares on us stock exchanges are the improvements from cross listing in the united states achieved more through public or private information channels while we find evidence that us cross listing is significantly associated with improvements in both public and private information precision the association is stronger between cross listing and improvements in private information precision this suggests that the improvement in the information environment for cross listed firms is largely due to analysts expending more effort on firm specific information discovery as opposed to broader improvements in overall public disclosure this research should influence international business scholars that improvements in the information environment do not occur solely through public information channels they also occur through investors private information search activities

cross border trading as a mechanism for implicit capital flight adrs and the argentine crisis abstract cross listed shares may confound government efforts to control capital outflows by providing a legal means through which investors can transfer their wealth outside the country we study the recent experience of investors who while subject to capital controls were able to purchase cross listed shares using local currency convert them into dollar denominated shares re sell them abroad and deposit the dollar proceeds in foreign bank accounts capital controls drive a wedge between the price of local shares and their corresponding cross listed shares this wedge provides an implicit devaluation forecast and the market s valuation of capital control circumvention

growing through cycles the neoclassical growth model focuses on factor accumulation as an engine of growth while the neo schumpetarian growth model stresses innovation this paper argues that these two views of growth may capture different phases of a single growth experience in the model presented below the balanced growth path is unstable and the economy achieves sustainable growth through cycles under an empirically plausible condition perpetually moving back and forth between two phases one phase is characterized by higher output growth higher investment no innovation and a competitive market structure the other phase is characterized by lower output growth lower investment high innovation and a more monopolistic market structure both investment and innovation are essential in sustaining growth indefinitely and yet they move in an asynchronized way only one of them appears to play a dominant role in each phase the economy grows faster along the cycles than along the unstable balanced growth path

cross border listings and price discovery evidence from u s listed canadian stocks we examine the contribution of cross listings to price discovery for a sample of canadian stocks listed on both the toronto stock exchange tse and a u s exchange we nd that priceson the tse and u s exchange are cointegrated and mutually adjusting the u s share of price discovery ranges from 0 2 percent to 98 2 percent with an average of 38 1 percent the u s share is directly related to the u s share of trading and to the ratio of proportions of informative tradeson the u s exchange and the tse and inversely related to the ratio of bid ask spreads with the enhanced globalization of nancial markets the number of non u s rms cross listing shares on a u s exchange has substantially increased attracting non u s listings is now a top priority of the u s stock exchanges at the end of 2000 420 non u s rmswere listed on the new york stock exchange nyse the number of foreign rmslisted on nasdaq waseven higher the popularity of international cross listings has prompted many academic studies on the topic 1 most of these studies focus on the bene ts of international cross listings including the reduced cost of capital and the enhanced liquidity of a rm s stock studiessuch asalexander eun and janakiramanan 1987 1988 and foerster and karolyi 1993 suggest that the cost of capital declines because the portion of the risk premium that compensates for cross border investment barriers dissipates miller 1999 and foerster and karolyi 1999 propose increased investor recognition as another possible explanation several studies examine changes in trading volume and costs due to international cross listing foerster and karolyi 1998 nd that the bid ask spreads in canada decrease after the cross listing of canadian stocks in the united states domowitz glen and madhavan 1998 suggest that the impact of cross listing is complex and depends on the degree of quote transparency that is the extent to which price information is observable in the two markets smith and so anos 1997 examine if cross listing is a zerosum game with increased trading in the united states being oiset by reduced

the effect of market segmentation and illiquidity on asset prices evidence from exchange listings this article documents the effect on share value of listing on the new york stock exchange and reports the results of a joint test of merton s 1987 investor recognition factor and amihud and mendelson s 1986 liquidity factor as explanations of the change in share value we find that during the 1980s stocks earned abnormal returns of 5 percent in response to the listing announcement and that listing is associated with an increase in the number of shareholders and a reduction in bid ask spreads cross sectional regressions provide support for both investor recognition and liquidity as sources of value from exchange listing the effect on share value of listing on the new york stock exchange nyse by over the counter otc stocks has been the focus of empirical investigation by scholars and practitioners for at least 50 years the consensus conclusion is that an nyse listing is or at least has been associated with a significant increase in share price streetlore has historically attributed this increase in value to the increased investor recognition that is believed to accompany listing on a major exchange until recently this investor recognition explanation has lacked a rigorous analytical foundation merton 1987 fills this void with a model of capital market equilibrium with incomplete information to develop his model merton adopts most of the assumptions of the original sharpe lintner mossin capital asset pricing model capm but relaxes the assumption of equal information across investors he further assumes that investors invest only in the those securities of which they are aware 2 with this modification to the original capm framework merton derives a model in which expected returns increase with systematic risk firm specific risk and relative market value and decrease

the growing gap in life expectancy using the future elderly model to estimate implications for social security and medicare across the industrialized world health and mortality gradients by education and income have generally been steepening crimmins and saito 2001 meara richards and cutler 2008 goldman and smith 2011 the leading explanations for the increased gaps in life expectancy involve differential trends in smoking diet and exercise stress chronic disease management and access to health care less well known however is the impact these trends will have on public programs and their progressivity especially social security and medicare to fill this gap this paper uses the future elderly model fem a microsimulation model of health and economic outcomes for older americans to estimate the effects of steeper mortality gradients on the progressivity of social security and medicare benefits

changes in systematic risk following global equity issuance abstract this paper examines changes in systematic risk following global equity issues by us firms models of market segmentation show that if international capital markets are not fully integrated and demand curves for securities are downward sloping firms issue equity at higher prices by issuing in multiple markets compared to issuance on a single domestic market this would imply a reduction in the firm s cost of capital and an increase in firm value using a sample of global equity offers during 1986 1993 we find that us firms that issue equity abroad experience a decline in systematic risk subsequent to issuance after controlling for size volume and leverage effects we find that this decline in systematic risk is larger in magnitude for global compared to a control sample of domestic equity issues the larger the proportion of the offer sold abroad and the larger the increase in trading volume the bigger the decline in systematic risk using a two factor global risk model we find that while firms issuing equity abroad experience a decline in the domestic component of systematic risk the foreign component increases overall however the net effect is a decline in the cost of capital

the geography of equity listing why do companies list abroad this paper documents aggregate trends in the foreign listings of companies and analyzes their distinctive prelisting characteristics and postlisting performance in 1986 1997 many european companies listed abroad mainly on u s exchanges while the number of u s companies listed in europe decreased european companies that cross list tend to be large and recently privatized firms and expand their foreign sales after listing abroad they differ sharply depending on where they cross list the u s exchanges attract high tech and export oriented companies that expand rapidly without significant leveraging companies cross listing within europe do not grow unusually fast and increase their leverage after cross listing foreign listings are becoming an increasingly important strategic issue for companies and stock exchanges alike as companies become global in their product market and investment strategies direct access to foreign capital markets via an equity listing can yield important benefits at the same time the international integration of capital markets has led to unprecedented levels of competition among stock exchanges in this competitive struggle the winners are the exchanges that manage to attract more foreign listings and the attendant trading volume and business opportunities despite the importance of these issues still little is known about which exchanges succeed in capturing more listings from abroad and why this question is intimately related to a second issue namely which advantages companies expect to get from a foreign listing securing cheap equity capital for new investment allowing controlling shareholders to divest on a liquid market preparing for foreign acquisitions or simply enhancing the compa

asset pricing in partially segmented markets evidence from the finnish market this paper analyzes asset pricing in a partially segmented market where citizens of a small country are allowed to hold only their domestic securities whereas the rest of the investors foreigners are essentially allowed to hold all securities in this market setting it may occur that the citizens of the small country are willing to pay less for their domestic securities than are the foreign investors the paper derives equilibrium required rates of return for different investors in this market setting which perfectly occurred in finland and tests this equilibrium model using data from the finnish stock market empirical results are consistent with the hypotheses derived from the model several studies see e g solnik 1974a and grauer and hakansson 1987 have shown that investors should diversify internationally as by so doing they can reduce the risk of their portfolio without lowering the expected return this implies that if the citizens of a certain country are by legal restrictions prohibited from holding foreign securities they may require a higher rate of return on the domestic securities than the foreign investors do this may happen because the domestic investors cannot diversify away the specific country risk in the same way that the foreign investors can thus if we could observe the prices which the foreign and domestic investors are willing to pay for these domestic securities we would expect them to differ because of this diversification effect the finnish law prohibited finnish investors from investing in foreign securities until 1986 while simultaneously allowing foreign investors to own up to 20 of the shares of any finnish company moreover since 1984 the helsinki stock exchange hse has separately quoted the prices for the unrestricted shares which can be owned both by foreign and domestic investors and for the restricted shares owned solely by domestic investors thus the market setting depicted in the previous paragraph occurred perfectly in finland during the years 1984 and 1985 in this paper our objective is to develop and test an asset pricing model which takes into account the legal restrictions in the finnish stock market in section i we specify the market structure in the finnish stock market in more detail by explaining the relevant legal restrictions affecting the market we also present some descriptive statistics on the prices of the restricted and the unrestricted on

r d expenditure in g7 countries and the implications for endogenous fluctuations and growth abstract the literature on endogenous growth cycles predicts countercyclical r d expenditure aggregate r d expenditure in g7 countries from 1973 to 2000 tends to be procyclical implications for future theoretical research are discussed

the anglo american financial influence on ceo compensation in non anglo american firms this study examines the impact of anglo american financial markets on ceo compensation starting from a sample of norwegian and swedish listed firms we analyse this effect as manifested in the capital market anglo american cross listing and in the market for corporate control anglo american board membership these effects are analysed together with the geographically broader effect of the product and service market internationalisation of the firm we conclude that all three effects contribute positively to the level of ceo compensation we argue that the higher ceo compensation found in firms exposed to anglo american financial influence as compared with firms not subject to such influence reflects institutional contagion the demand for and supply of viable ceo candidates and a pay premium for increased risk of dismissal

discussion of adrs analysts and accuracy does cross listing in the united states improve a firm s information environment and increase market value lang lins and miller 2002 investigate the relation between cross listing in the united states and information intermediation by analysts the results suggest that cross listing in the united states increases analyst following and forecast accuracy and that both variables are associated with tobin s q these findings are interesting and advance the cross listing literature in several ways this discussion raises two issues first i highlight that the sources of cross listing effects are not obvious and are difficult to disentangle to illustrate this point i replicate the analysis using cross listed canadian firms for which mandated disclosures are held constant thus if disclosure effects are important for documented cross listing effects i expect to find no relation in the canadian sample the findings for forecast accuracy are consistent with this hypothesis however analyst following continues to be significantly higher for cross listed canadian firms these findings suggest that the sources of cross listing effects differ for analyst coverage and forecast accuracy second i discuss the link between analyst variables firm value and cost of capital as they are only tenuously related i draw attention to some unresolved questions and areas for future research

growing through cycles in an infinitely lived agent economy abstract this paper extends the analysis of k matsuyama econometrica67 1999 335 347 to the case of an infinitely lived representative agent economy the economy grows endogenously through endogenous fluctuations perpetually moving back and forth between two phases in one phase there is no innovation the market structure is competitive and the economy grows solely by capital accumulation in the other phase new goods are introduced and the market structure is monopolistic in the long run both investment and innovation grow at the same rate but the economy alternates between the periods of high investment and the periods of higher innovation journal of economic literature classification numbers e32 o11

more international evidence on the historical properties of business cycles this paper establishes stylized facts about business cycles in the late 19th century using spectral analysis techniques which allow an intuitive description and analysis of cyclical structure in economic fluctuations analysis of industrial production data for 13 countries permits the following generalizations in the advanced north atlantic economies a fairly regular long cycle with a periodicity of 7 10 years is identified in all countries this component explains a substantial fraction of overall variation in industrial production there is some evidence of a less regular less powerful short cycle of 3 5 years duration in peripheral economies experience is varied but it is more often the short cycle that exercises greater influence the long cycle component is shown to be highly correlated among the core economies much less so between core and peripheral economies and least of all among peripheral economies the long cycle is more highly correlated among countries with important trading ties and those on a metallic monetary standard throughout the period

optimal saving under poisson uncertainty abstract this paper studies optimal saving and investment behaviour of a household that can either invest in a riskless or a risky saving technology when risk results from a poisson process the focus is on behaviour of households in a general equilibrium setup poisson processes are introduced since they allow us to understand and model endogenous cycles jointly with long run growth it turns out that a very simple intuitive and tractable characterization of equilibrium is possible journal of economic literature classification numbers c61 o33 o41

does home bias affect firm value evidence from holdings of mutual funds worldwide this study finds strong evidence that home bias affects firm valuation at both country and firm levels at the country level increasing the bias of domestic investors toward home equity lowers the market valuation of home equity at the firm level firm value increases as the compositions of local equities held by domestic and foreign investors tend toward the firms global market capitalization weights but decreases as their weights deviate from global weights overall the evidence is consistent with the optimal global risk sharing hypothesis that the greater risk sharing between domestic and foreign investors in international capital markets reduces the cost of capital and hence enhances market valuation

the effects of market segmentation and investor recognition on asset prices evidence from foreign stocks listing in the united states non u s firms cross listing shares on u s exchanges as american depositary receipts earn cumulative abnormal returns of 19 percent during the year before listing and an additional 1 20 percent during the listing week but incur a loss of 14 percent during the year following listing we show how these unusual share price changes are robust to changing market risk exposures and are related to an expansion of the shareholder base and to the amount of capital raised at the time of listing our tests provide support for the market segmentation hypothesis and merton s 1987 investor recognition hypothesis the globalization of u s capital markets has accelerated dramatically in the past decade increasing numbers of companies from overseas have chosen to either raise capital through global equity issues or prepare for future capital raising by way of cross listings on u s exchanges as of 1997 about 1 300 non u s companies have listed their shares for trading on the new york stock exchange nyse the american exchange amex the national association of securities dealers automation quotation nasdaq system or

does the bonding effect matter in a more integrated capital market world abstract this paper examines the bonding effect of cross listing before and after the stock market liberalization reforms in china consistent with the bonding hypothesis we find that chinese firms with foreign listings attain higher valuations than firms without foreign listings we also find that they manage earnings less than comparable purely domestic listed firms and have more informative stock prices further investigation indicates that the divergence in earnings quality between cross listed and non cross listed firms shrinks dramatically after the chinese stock market liberalization reforms in 2001 and 2002 overall the results suggest that the bonding effect is mitigated in an increasingly integrated capital market world

the economic determinants of technology shocks in a real business cycle model abstract creative destruction due to new technologies causes both long run growth and short run business fluctuations new technologies push the economy on a higher productivity level but also imply partial obsolescence of old production units obsolescence induces an adjustment period during which growth rates gradually fall at some endogenously determined point research for the next technology starts once the new technology is discovered a technology shock occurs and the next cycle starts this is shown in a continuous time rbc model with risk averse agents where savings can be used for financing deterministic capital accumulation and stochastic r d for new technologies

an analysis of the wealth effects of japanese offshore dollar denominated convertible and warrant bond issues offshore dollar denominated equity linked issues were a more important source of funds for japanese companies during the 1980s than domestic equity and straight debt issues combined using a sample of japanese equity linked offshore issues from 1977 to 1989 we find that the announcement of these issues is accompanied by a significant positive abnormal return this contrasts with evidence that u s equity linked issues have a significant negative stock price reaction we provide an explanation for the difference in stock price reactions between u s and japanese issues that is based on the greater influence on managers security issue decisions of long term investors and banks in japan than in the u s

the dual listing of austrian companies in vienna and frankfurt dependence analysis international capital flows can be hampered by a variety of barriers such as transaction costs information costs and legal restrictions the solution in this situation can be dual listing the framework of the research presented here assumes that domestic securities are dually listed on a foreign capital market while none of the foreign securities is dually listed on the domestic capital market this paper is concerned with a dependence analysis of the log levels and returns of austrian stocks listed in frankfurt and vienna the important issue is dynamic linear and non linear causality between log levels returns of prices and the indices atx and dax in this context the important directions of causality are found along with the level of relations of the selected types of causality

innovative activity over the business cycle this paper examines cyclical patterns of innovative activity in the united kingdom over the period 1948 83 innovative activity turns out to have many of the properties of a random walk but does show a tendency to cluster during booms there is clear evidence of a long term secular relation between the level of innovative activity and the level of economic activity although this may have changed in the 1980s finally the data provide no reason for thinking that these clusters of innovation cause cyclic variations in economic activity but variations in economic activity do granger cause changes in innovative activity copyright 1995 by royal economic society

animal spirits through creative destruction we show how a schumpeterian process of creative destruction can induce rational herd behavior by entrepreneurs across diverse sectors as if fueled by animal spirits consequently a multisector economy in which productivity improvements are made by independent profit seeking entrepreneurs exhibits regular booms slowdowns and downturns as part of the long run growth process our cyclical equilibrium has higher average growth but lower welfare than the corresponding acyclical one we show how a negative relationship can emerge between volatility and growth across cycling economies and assess the extent to which our model matches several features of actual business cycles

modelling round the clock price discovery for cross listed stocks using state space methods u s trading in non u s stocks has grown dramatically around the clock these stocks trade in the home market in the u s market and potentially in both markets simultaneously we develop a general methodology based on a state space model to study 24 hour price discovery in a multiple markets setting as opposed to the standard variance ratio approach this model deals naturally with 1 simultaneous quotes in an overlap 2 missing observations in a nonoverlap 3 noise due to transitory microstructure effects and 4 contemporaneous correlation in returns due to market wide factors we apply our model to dutch stocks cross listed in the united states our findings suggest a minor role for the new york stock exchange in price discovery for dutch shares in spite of its nontrivial and growing market share

the accumulation of wealth and the cyclical generation of new technologies a search theoretic approach in this paper sustained technological progress results from the feedback between technical change and the accumulation of wealth the production technology is affected by a productivity factor which ensues from research and development the research and development process is described as a sequential search problem in which optimal decisions depend on current levels of wealth and technology the resulting growth path displays invention cycles a discovery of a significant technological improvement at the end of a search phase is followed by periods of growth without search eventually sufficient wealth is accumulated research and development resumes and a new cycle begins copyright 1996 by economics department of the university of pennsylvania and the osaka university institute of social and economic research association