beyond gdp the quest for a measure of social welfare this paper critically examines the various approaches to the measurement of individual well being and social welfare that have been considered for the construction of alternatives to gdp special attention is devoted to recent developments in the analysis of sustainability in the study of happiness in the theory of social choice and fair allocation and in the capability approach it is suggested in the conclusion that although convergence toward a consensual approach is not impossible for the moment not one but three alternatives to gdp are worth developing jel i31 e23 e01

social indicators and comparisons of living standards abstract construction of an international index of standards of living incorporating social indicators and economic output typically involves scaling and weighting procedures that lack welfare economic foundations revealed preference axioms can be used to make quality of life comparisons if we can estimate the representative household s production technology for the social indicators this method is applied to comparisons of gross domestic product gdp and life expectancy for 58 countries neither gdp rankings nor the rankings of the human development index hdi are consistent with the partial ordering of revealed preference a method of constructing a utility consistent index incorporating both consumption and life expectancy is suggested

a note on national income in a dynamic economy abstract we review the properties of the static measure of changes in economic welfare national income in a dynamic economy it is possible to establish attractive welfare properties by rather simple arguments and this can be estimated from current data its welfare properties are preferable to those of net national product and comparable to those of the state valuation function

the quantity and quality of life and the evolution of world inequality gdp per capita is usually used to proxy for the quality of life of individuals living in different countries welfare is also affected by quantity of life however as represented by longevity this paper incorporates longevity into an overall assessment of the evolution of cross country inequality and shows that it is quantitatively important the absence of reduction in cross country inequality up to the 1990s documented in previous work is in stark contrast to the reduction in inequality after incorporating gains in longevity throughout the post world war ii period health contributed to reduce significantly welfare inequality across countries this paper derives valuation formulas for infra marginal changes in longevity and computes a full growth rate that incorporates the gains in health experienced by 96 countries for the period between 1960 and 2000 incorporating longevity gains changes traditional results countries starting with lower income tended to grow faster than countries starting with higher income we estimate an average yearly growth in full income of 4 1 percent for the poorest 50 percent of countries in 1960 of which 1 7 percentage points are due to health as opposed to a growth of 2 6 percent for the richest 50 percent of countries of which only 0 4 percentage points are due to health additionally we decompose changes in life expectancy into changes attributable to 13 broad groups of causes of death and three age groups we show that mortality from infectious respiratory and digestive diseases congenital perinatal and ill defined conditions mostly concentrated before age 20 and between ages 20 and 50 is responsible for most of the reduction in life expectancy inequality at the same time the recent effect of aids together with reductions in mortality after age 50 due to nervous system senses organs heart and circulatory diseases contributed to increase health inequality across countries

consumer s surplus as an exact approximation when prices are appropriately deflated a canonical price normalized form is proposed as a generalization of the ordinary consumer s surplus expression commonly used to evaluate changes in economic welfare this familiar looking formula it is proved can be rigorously interpreted as representing the first and second order terms of a taylor series expansion for the equivalent variation or willingness to pay function of a single consumer in principle the lowly consumer s surplus triangle and rectangle methodology can be rigorously defended as an exact approximation to a theoretically meaningful measure as long as prices are appropriately deflated the appropriate price deflator is derived and some implications are discussed

longitudinal studies of human growth and health a review of recent historical research longitudinal studies of health this paper reviews recent literature using stature and weight as measures of human welfare with a particular interest in cliometric or historical research we begin with an overview of anthropometric evidence of living standards and the new but fast growing field of anthropometric history this literature is always implicitly and often explicitly longitudinal in nature we then discuss i systematic empirical research into the relationship between conditions in early life and later life health and mortality and ii historical evidence on the relationship between body mass morbidity and mortality we conclude with a discussion of the importance of historical sources and understandings to health economics and population health

welfare analysis of tax reforms using household data abstract this paper discusses a methodology for calculating the distribution of gains and losses from a policy change using data for a large sample of households estimates are based on the equivalent income function which is money metric utility defined over observable variables this enables calculations to be standardised and a computer program to compute the statistics presented in the paper is available for a general demand system equivalent income is related to measures of deadweight loss and standard errors are computed for each of the welfare measures an application to u k data for 5 895 households is given which simulates a reform that involves eliminating housing subsidies

a general proposition on the design of a neutral business tax abstract a simple and general means of levying a business tax that is neutral in the sense that it does not affect the firm s decisions at the margin is discussed in particular we analyze the effect of a business tax of our design on the investment decision of the firm the well known imputed income and immediate write off methods of levying a neutral business tax are found to be special cases of our general tax design the implication of our results is that a neutral pure profits tax can be levied without the informational difficulties of the imputed income method or the cash flow disadvantages of the immediate write off method

on measuring deprivation and the standard of living in a multidimensional framework on the basis of aggregate data in measuring social deprivation in a multidimensional framework ideally one should first measure each individual s overall deprivation and then aggregate the overall deprivation levels of all individuals however given only aggregate data one is often forced to measure social deprivation in terms of each attribute separately and then to aggregate them so as to get the overall social deprivation this paper shows that it is only under extremely stringent conditions that this procedure would always yield the same result as the conceptually sound procedure referred to earlier a similar difficulty also arises in measuring a society s standard of living

aggregate deadweight loss and money metric social welfare an econometric approach to the measurement of aggregate deadweight loss is proposed that does not require restrictive assumptions about preferences for validity the measure can be interpreted as the loss in allocative efficiency and is independent of the distribution of individual welfare an approach that is pervasive in the literature is to sum the individual measures of deadweight loss and interpret the resulting index as a measure of social welfare the author shows that this approach is invalid unless individual preferences or the social ordering are severely restricted an alternative method of evaluating money metric social welfare that does not require these restrictions is presented copyright 1991 by economics department of the university of pennsylvania and the osaka university institute of social and economic research association

exact and superlative welfare change indicators an exact welfare change indicator is defined to be a known function of the price and quantity data for two periods for a utility maximizing consumer which is exactly equal to the hicksian equivalent variation a welfare change indicator is termed superlative if it is exactly equal to the equivalent variation for an expenditure function which has a second order approximation property the paper exhibits a number of superlative welfare change indicators and also reviews the earlier attempts of hicks and weitzman to obtain equivalent variation measures that had a second order approximation property

the market valuation implications of net periodic pension cost components abstract this paper examines whether market participants implicitly assign different coefficients to pension cost components when determining security prices the major findings are 1 the pension cost components coefficients generally differ from one another as predicted the transition asset amortization coefficient is lower than other pension coefficients and is insignificantly different from zero 2 consistent with the market viewing pension related income streams as less risky the pension coefficients are generally larger than the nonpension coefficients additional specification tests permitting nonpension coefficients to vary with risk tax payer status and industry membership generally support the basic findings although the significance levels are generally higher

fair production and allocation of an excludable nonrival good we study fairness in economies with one private good and one partially excludable nonrival good a social ordering function determines for each profile of preferences an ordering of all conceivable allocations we propose the following free lunch aversion condition if the private good contributions of two agents consuming the same quantity of the nonrival good have opposite signs reducing that gap improves social welfare this condition combined with the more standard requirements of unanimous indifference and responsiveness delivers a form of welfare egalitarianism in which an agent s welfare at an allocation is measured by the quantity of the nonrival good that consumed at no cost would leave her indifferent to the bundle she is assigned

the social cost of living index abstract household cost of living indexes reflect household preferences analogous indexes for groups of households require a corresponding concept of group preferences in this paper i investigate the social cost of living index a group index based on the bergson samuelson social welfare function i first define the index and examine its properties under the assumption that the investigator constructing it expresses his distributional judgments in an explicit bergson samuelson social welfare function i then examine the maximizing society and the independent society two cases in which the index can be constructed from the information contained in the market demand functions in these two cases a laspeyres index i e the fixed weight index based on the reference consumption pattern is an upper bound on the exact social cost of living index in general however the assumptions required to place bounds on the social cost of living index are much more likely to be satisfied than those required to place analogous bounds on a household s cost of living index

estimating consumption economies of scale adult equivalence scales and household bargaining power how much income would a woman living alone require to attain the same standard of living that she would have if she were married what percentage of a married couple s expenditures are controlled by the husband how much money does a couple save on consumption goods by living together versus living apart we propose and estimate a collective model of household behaviour that permits identification and estimation of concepts such as these we model households in terms of the utility functions of its members a bargaining or social welfare function and a consumption technology function we demonstrate generic non parametric identification of the model and hence of a version of adult equivalence scales that we call indifference scales as well as consumption economies of scale the household s resource sharing rule or members bargaining power and other related concepts copyright 2013 oxford university press

does nnp growth indicate welfare improvement abstract we show that instantaneous increases in real nnp over time are an accurate indicator of true dynamic welfare improvements this highlights a connection between the theory of green or comprehensive national income accounting and the theory of real price indices

a democratic measure of household income growth theory and application to the united kingdom this paper develops a price and quantity system of indicators structured round atkinson s concept of inequality aversion a democratic indicator of income growth weighting each household s growth experience equally is shown to result when prais democratic price index is used to deflate the geometric mean of equivalised household income a welfare interpretation of the democratic indicator of income growth is provided and it is shown that with heterogeneous but homothetic preferences the deflator can serve as a common scaling social cost of living index when applied to income as well as to consumption application to united kingdom household data suggests that over the interval 2005 6 2015 6 democratic real equivalised household income grew by 0 20 per cent per annum while the plutocratic equivalent grew by 0 52 per cent per annum

how has the financial crisis affected earnings management a european study the article aims to investigate whether and how in the european union eu the burst of the 2008 financial crisis affected misrepresentation of financial information due to earnings management by analysing a sample of 11 844 firm year observations listed in the eu over the period 2006 2012 an event study methodology allows us to calculate and compare country by country abnormal accruals over the estimation period and over the event period our findings validate our research hypothesis and suggest a decrease of misrepresentation in the large majority of the european countries after the burst of the financial crisis the results take part in the debate in the accounting literature about the change of earnings management over a financial crisis and have several implications for standard setters and regulators that could learn how the common incentives of entities to attract potential investors during a crisis could lead them to provide a high quality financial reporting

improving human development a long run view abstract the pessimistic flavour of the human development reports appears to be in contradiction with their own numbers as developing countries fare comparatively better in human development than in per capita gdp terms this paper attempts to bridge this gap by providing a new improved human development index ihdi informed by welfare economics the ihdi is presented here alongside the united nations development programme s undp hdi for the world and its main regions since the late 19th century social dimensions in the ihdi are derived following kakwani journal of development economics 41 1993 pp 307 336 with a convex achievement function whereas a geometric average is employed to combine its dimensions longevity knowledge and income thus the ihdi does not conceal the gap between rich and poor countries and casts a much less optimistic view than the conventional undp index while it fits with the undp concern for international differences the paper s findings highlight main weaknesses in human development dimensions of present day developing countries

your money or your life green growth policies and welfare in 2050 this paper proposes a simple index of economic progress that weighs in the monetary cost induced by climate change mitigation policies as well as the health benefits arising from the reduction in local air pollution the shadow price of pollution is calculated indirectly through its impact on life expectancy taking into account the health benefits of mitigation policies significantly reduces their monetary cost in china and india as well as in countries with large fossil based energy producing sectors australia canada and the united states

the opportunity criterion consumer sovereignty without the assumption of coherent preferences this paper proposes a formulation of consumer sovereignty for use in normative economics which does not presuppose individuals preferences to be coherent the fundamental intuition that opportunity and responsibility have moral value is formalised as a responsibility criterion for assessing opportunities in an economic system a model of an exchange economy is presented in which rational arbitrageurs compete to make profits by trading with non rational consumers in equilibrium this economy satisfies the responsibility criterion one interpretation of this result is that in a competitive environment the overall effects of money pumps are benign even if individuals preferences are persistently incoherent

fair value accounting effects on banks earnings volatility regulatory capital and value of contractual cash flows abstract we investigate fair value accounting critics assertions by restating earnings and regulatory capital to reflect banks disclosed investment securities fair values we find 1 fair value based earnings are more volatile than historical cost earnings but share prices do not reflect the incremental volatility 2 banks violate regulatory capital requirements more frequently under under fair value than historical cost accounting fair value based violations help predict regulatory capital violations but share prices do not reflect this potential increased regulatory risk only historical cost violations are market information events 3 share prices reflect interest rates changes even though investment securities contractual cash flows are fixed

the electoral dynamics of human development this paper analyses the impact of elections on the dynamics of human development in a panel of 82 countries over the period 1980 2013 the incidence of partisan and political support effects is also taken into account a gmm estimator is employed in the empirical analysis and the results point out to the presence of an electoral cycle in the growth rate of human development majority governments also influence it but no clear evidence is found regarding partisan effects the electoral cycles have proved to be stronger in non oecd countries in countries with less frequent elections with lower levels of income and human development in presidential and non plurality systems and in proportional representation regimes they have also become more intense in this millennium

genuine progress indicator 2 0 pilot accounts for the us maryland and city of baltimore 2012 2014 abstract for over thirty years the genuine progress indicator gpi has been used to evaluate economic performance quantify benefits and costs of growth and predict effects of policy changes on economic wellbeing the popularity and use of the metric is increasing partially in response to new global demands for metrics that go beyond gross domestic product gdp however because the basic gpi accounting protocols have yet to be consistently updated to respond to theoretical critiques new valuation methods and new data sources a proliferation of studies at the global national and sub national level contain widely divergent methodologies because of this gpi practitioners have called for a new consistent framework to guide future gpi studies gpi 2 0 this paper is an attempt to operationalize some of the concepts that have emerged from gpi 2 0 deliberations online and at recent workshops in the form of gpi 2 0 pilot accounts for the us state of maryland and city of baltimore the goal is to demonstrate the feasibility of multi scale gpi accounts that provide a more accurate measure of current economic welfare than gdp and that incorporate new methods and sources of information to replace many of the outdated aspects of the prevailing gpi approach

empirical research on accounting choice abstract we review research from the 1990s that examines the determinants and consequences of accounting choice structuring our analysis around the three types of market imperfections that influence managers choices agency costs information asymmetries and externalities affecting non contracting parties we conclude that research in the 1990s made limited progress in expanding our understanding of accounting choice because of limitations in research design and a focus on replication rather than extension of current knowledge we discuss opportunities for future research recommending the exploration of the economic implications of accounting choice by addressing the three different reasons why accounting matters

on the welfare significance of national product under interest rate uncertainty abstract this paper examines the effects of uncertainty on the relationship between comprehensive nnp and sustainable equivalent consumption it is shown that the classical identity continues to hold in expectations when the discount factor is a stochastic diffusion process taking the form of geometric brownian motion with drift such a result may be useful as a point of departure for classifying the effects that various forms of uncertainty have on the welfare significance of national product

aggregate consumer behavior and the measurement of social welfare this paper describes a new approach to normative economics combining the theory of social choice with econometric modeling of aggregate consumer behavior we first derive a system of aggregate demand functions by exact aggregation over individual demand functions we then construct measures of individual welfare from systems of individual demand functions finally we incorporate these measures into a social welfare function introducing ethical assumptions based on horizontal and vertical equity to illustrate the application of this approach we consider the u s standard of living and its cost over the period 1947 1985 the purpose of this paper is to describe a remarkable convergence that has occurred between economic theory and econometrics over the past decade this conjunction has taken place between the theory of social choice and econometric modeling of aggregate consumer behavior the confluence of these two streams of research has produced a new approach to normative economics this approach has been successfully applied to the evaluation of economic policy the measurement of poverty and inequality and the assessment of the standard of living and its cost a common problem in the modeling of consumer behavior and social choice is the representation of individual preferences in the econometric modeling of aggregate consumer behavior the primary emphasis has been on simplifying aggregate demand functions the most familiar approach to this problem is the model of a representative consumer this model is required to justify applications of the theory of individual consumer behavior to aggregate data on prices and quantities consumed the simplest version of the model is based on identical homothetic preferences for all individuals under identical homothetic preferences aggregate quantities consumed are functions of aggregate expenditure and prices these functions have precisely the same properties as demand functions in the theory of individual consumer behavior the condition of identical homothetic preferences was weakened by gorman 1953 to permit displacements from the origin for individual demand functions gorman showed that a necessary and sufficient condition for aggregate demand functions to depend on aggregate expenditure is that all individu

equality of opportunity theory and measurement during the last third of the twentieth century political philosophers actively debated about the content of distributive justice the ruling ethical view of utilitarianism was challenged by various versions of equality of opportunities economists formulated several ways of modeling these ideas focusing upon how individuals are placed with respect to opportunities for achieving various outcomes and what compensation is due to individuals with truncated opportunities after presenting a review of the main philosophical ideas section 2 we turn to economic models sections 3 and 4 we propose a reformulation of the definition of economic development replacing the utilitarian measure of gdp per capita with a measure of the degree to which opportunities for income acquisition in a nation have been equalized finally we discuss issues that the econometrician faces in measuring inequality of opportunity briefly review the empirical literature section 6 and conclude section 7

a review article the case against the use of the sum of compensating variations in cost benefit analysis this paper presents a case against the use of the sum of compensating varia tions as a cost benefit test we argue that 1 the ethical judginents implied by the test are not defensible 2 positive sums of compensating variations occur without potential pareto improvements resulting in social preference reversals without simultaneous scitovsky re versals 3 when lump sum transfers are feasible a positive sum of compensating variations is necessary but not sufficient for a potential pareto improvement 4 in order to eliminate preference reversals and intransitivities all households must have almost identical quasi homothetic preferences a condition that is not satisfied in real economies

looking through the dataquadrate characterizing the human environment relationship through economic hedonic ecological and demographic measures abstract this paper introduces the concept of plotting four dimensional data in two dimensions without loss of information namely the dataquadrate concept here objects are represented as quadrates instead of points in a practical 4 axis cartesian coordinate system this procedure helps us imagine and analyze complex relations where four different non negative variables influence processes this tool is of high utility for analyzing specific human environment issues here we analyze a monetary measure gross domestic product gdp a hedonic measure subjective wellbeing a limiting measure ecological footprint and a demographic measure human population our system adds new insights to the de growth debate discussed in a journal of cleaner production special issue vol 18 2010 and systematically illuminates lots of confusing paradoxes such as the downward sloping part of the environmental kuznets curve the jevons paradox and the easterlin paradox in this paper all these phenomena are analyzed for the usa and for china in 1990 and in 2007 by utilizing such methodology when mitigating environmental problems we are not limited to negative restrictive messages but are enabled to create new strategic ways of problem solving about how to optimize the human celestial footprint the ratio of human wellbeing to human environmental load

a contribution to the theory of welfare accounting a kind of unified theory is proposed as a dynamic generalization of the standard consumer surplus methodology for evaluating welfare changes the unified theory allows rigorous dynamic welfare comparisons to be inferred between any two economic situations from just knowing current incomes and observing a short run market demand schedule essentially the change in present discounted future utility is exactly captured by the formula difference in current income plus consumer surplus this well known formula is thereby shown to cover a far wider class of welfare comparisons than is customarily treated in the textbook static case

earnings management behaviors under different monitoring mechanisms the case of islamic and conventional banks abstract we investigate the impact of organizational religiosity on the earnings quality of listed banks in the middle east and north africa region we analyze islamic banking institutions which operate within strict religious norms and extended accountability constraints and compare them with their conventional counterparts during 2008 2013 we find that islamic banks are less likely to manage earnings and that they adopt more conservative accounting policies based on these findings we argue that religious norms and moral accountability constraints in these organizations have a significant impact on financial reporting quality and agency costs which have implications for both regulators and market participants

capital adequacy ratio regulations and accounting choices in commercial banks abstract this study examines a commercial bank manager s incentives to reduce regulatory costs imposed when the bank s capital adequacy ratio falls below its regulatory minimum it also tests the general political sensitivity hypothesis that a manager seeks to reduce political costs incurred when revenue is unusually large tests of adjustments to the loan loss provision loan charge offs and securities gains and losses attempt to control for exogenous economic conditions and previous investing decisions results are consistent with hypotheses associating accounting adjustments with capital adequacy ratio guidelines but fail to support the political sensitivity hypothesis

longitudinal studies of human growth and health a review of recent historical research this paper reviews recent literature using stature and weight as measures of human welfare with a particular interest in cliometric or historical research we begin with an overview of anthropometric evidence of living standards and the new but fast growing field of anthropometric history this literature is always implicitly and often explicitly longitudinal in nature we then discuss i systematic empirical research into the relationship between conditions in early life and later life health and mortality and ii historical evidence on the relationship between body mass morbidity and mortality we conclude with a discussion of the importance of historical sources and understandings to health economics and population health

good and bad growth the human development reports abstract the 1996 human development report undp 1996 is about economic growth and human development in keeping with past reports in the series it emphasizes the diversity of country performance in improving human development indicators at given rates of growth this article reviews what the human development reports have said on this topic looking at how well the main messages have been supported by data and analysis and how compelling they are as a basis for public action

the possibility of social choice the subject of social choice includes within its capacious frame various problems with the common feature of relating social judgments and group decisions to the views and interests of the individuals who make up the society or the group some challenges and foundational problems faced by social choice theory as a discipline are discussed social choice theory is a subject in which formal and mathematical techniques have been very extensively used voting based procedures are entirely natural for some kinds of social choice problems such as elections referendums or committee decisions they are however altogether unsuitable for many other problems of social choice impossibility results in social choice theory led by the pioneering work of arrow 1951 have often been interpreted as being thoroughly destructive of the possibility of reasoned and democratic social choice including welfare economics that view is argued against

evaluating projects and assessing sustainable development in imperfect economies we are interested in three related questions 1 how should accounting prices be estimated 2 how should we evaluate policy change in an imperfect economy 3 how can we check whether intergenerational well being will be sustained along a projected economic programme we do not presume that the economy is convex nor do we assume that the government optimizes on behalf of its citizens we show that the same set of accounting prices should be used both for policy evaluation and for assessing whether or not intergenerational welfare along a given economic path will be sustained we also show that a comprehensive measure of wealth computed in terms of the accounting prices can be used as an index for problems 2 and 3 above the remainder of the paper is concerned with rules for estimating the accounting prices of several specific environmental natural resources transacted in a few well known economic institutions

a conceptual exploration and critical inquiry into the theoretical foundation s of economic welfare measures abstract economic welfare measures ewm such as the isew and the gpi are often argued to lack a sound theoretical foundation however we observe that the initial ewm were jointly inspired by hicksian and fisherian income welfare s experiential nature is fisherian inspired whereas seeing the consumption of community capital e g the ecosystem as a cost is hicksian inspired as most scholars do not recognize this double theoretical foundation two distinct welfare interpretations with different time and boundary dimensions are often conflated ewm can be seen as either capturing the benefits and costs experienced or as reflecting the benefits and costs of present economic activities bcpa the former interpretation excludes future costs costs shifted abroad and capital changes as they are not experienced in the present while the latter includes them recent developments reveal that ewm are converging toward the ex post established experiential fisherian foundation formulated by lawn 2003 yet this is not the only way forward as the bcpa view offers an alternative to account for for instance the costs of present activities shifted abroad or to the future whether they are experienced or not to avoid inconsistencies ewm s standardization would greatly benefit from making explicit in future studies which interpretation is taken

beyond gdp an analysis of the socio economic diversity of european regions abstractthis paper aims to analyze the socioeconomic diversity of the european union eu 28 regions from a dynamic perspective for that purpose we combine a series of exploratory space time anal

tax planning regulatory capital planning and financial reporting strategy for commercial banks we test whether banks investment and financing policies can be explained by tax status we document changes in bank holdings of municipal bonds in response to changes in tax rules relating to deductibility of interest expense we also document an association between banks marginal tax rates and their investment and financing decisions which is consistent with the existence of tax clienteles however banks do not sort themselves perfectly into investment and financing clienteles because of adjustment costs we posit specific types of transaction cost impediments to tax planning and document that banks apparently trade off these costs against tax planning benefits article published by oxford university press on behalf of the society for financial studies in its journal the review of financial studies

a non simplistic approach to composite indicators and rankings an illustration by comparing the sustainability of the eu countries composite indicators are very popular despite being affected by several problems that often result in lack of robustness of the rankings involved the aim of this paper is to show that composite indicators can be safely used provided that rankings are built via uncertainty analysis rather than using a single composite for this purpose the approach we follow first combines different normalisation aggregation rules and weighting systems to calculate many different composites and then derives the rankings from the frequency distribution of the rankings of each competitor according to each composite such an approach appears to be a good compromise between the need for a more concise overview when looking at many variables and the loss of relevant information occurring when indicators are aggregated into a single composite indicator to illustrate the approach we rank eu countries in terms of their sustainability

discretionary behavior with respect to allowances for loan losses and the behavior of security prices abstract the study examines the capital market pricing of discretionary and nondiscretionary components of a major accrual in the banking industry the allowance for loan losses the analysis employs a two stage approach in which the allowance account is first decomposed into estimates of its nondiscretionary and discretionary components the second stage evaluates the market s valuation of the estimates of the components evidence suggests that the capital market perceives the allowance to be comprised of two components a nondiscretionary component which is negatively priced and a discretionary component whose incremental pricing coefficient is positive

on the risk of stocks in the long run a familiar proposition is that investing in common stocks is less risky the longer an investor plans to hold them if this proposition were true then the cost of insuring against earning less than the risk free rate of interest should decline as the investment horizon lengthens this paper shows that the opposite is true even if stock returns are mean reverting in the long run the case for young people investing more heavily than older people in stocks cannot therefore rest solely on the long run properties of stock returns for guarantors of money fixed annuities the proposition that stocks in their portfolios are a better hedge the longer the maturity of their obligations is unambiguously wrong

does basel ii affect the market valuation of discretionary loan loss provisions we use a sample of banks from 24 european countries to investigate whether the adoption of the basel ii capital accord in 2008 affects the market valuation of discretionary loan loss provisions dllps although basel ii lowers the incentives of internal ratings based irb banks to recognize income increasing dllps in an opportunistic manner it has no such impact on the remaining banks which adopt the standardized methodology we use this setup in a difference in difference did design where standardized banks act as a control group our evidence supports the three hypotheses that for irb relative to standardized banks basel ii is associated with i less income increasing dllps and ii less income smoothing via dllps which enhances the informational content of dllps about future loan losses and leads to iii higher market valuation of dllps our findings are timely and have policy implications for future regulatory developments in the banking industry

social criteria for evaluating population change an alternative to the blackorby donaldson criterion abstract an ethical objection is raised against the blackorby donaldson criterion of optimum population maximizing the sum total of utilities in excess of some critical level since it may disprefer a social state with more people and with more worthwhile lives however the criterion may serve as a practicably reasonable compromise between maximizing total and average utility nevertheless an alternative compromise the maximization of number dampened total utility is proposed that is free from the above objection

ecological sufficiency individual liberties and distributive justice implications for policy making we investigate the prospects of voluntary ecological sufficiency for environmental and climate policy under the constraints implied by political liberalism we find that freedom of choice restricts sufficiency to rather wealthy societies and that a sufficiency threshold cannot be derived by referring to the poor sufficiency can be in conflict with the demands of social justice i e if the sufficiency threshold is below the social minimum implied by social justice benefits from sufficiency are highly related to individual perceptions such benefits cannot be expressed in a standard preference framework consequently alternative measures of welfare and inequality are required if sufficiency is a significant phenomenon in society standard environmental policies can have a pronounced interaction with voluntary sufficiency i e if quantity regulation is present overall the voluntary notion of sufficiency causes a dilemma as sufficiency is largely a matter of civil society however voluntary sufficiency is expected to make important contributions to the preservation of ecological resources if properly balanced with social and environmental policies and framed by public discursive control

informing climate adaptation a review of the economic costs of natural disasters abstract this paper reviews the empirical literature on the economic impacts of natural disasters to inform both the modeling of potential future climate damages and climate adaptation policy related to extreme events it covers papers that estimate the short and or long run economic impacts of weather related extreme events as well as studies identifying the determinants of the magnitude of those damages including fatalities the paper also reviews the small number of empirical papers on the potential extent of adaptation in response to changing extreme events

revenue recycling and the welfare effects of road pricing the authors explore the interaction between taxes on work related traffic congestion and preexisting distortionary taxes in the labor market a congestion tax raises the overall costs of commuting to work and discourages labor force participation at the margin when revenues are returned in lump sum transfers the resulting efficiency loss in the labor market can be larger that the pigouvian efficiency gains from internalizing the congestion externality by contrast if congestion tax revenues are used to reduce labor taxes the net impact on the labor supply is positive and the efficiency gain in the labor market can raise the overall welfare gains of the congestion tax by as much as 100 percent recycling congestion tax revenues in public transit subsidies produces a positive but smaller impact on the labor supply in short the authors results indicate that the presence of preexisting tax distortions and the form of revenue recycling can crucially affect the size and possibly even the sign of the welfare effect of road pricing schemes the efficiency gains from recycling congestion tax revenues in other tax reductions can amount to several times the pigouvian welfare gains from congestion reduction

the hartwick rule myths and facts we shed light on the hartwick rule for capital accumulation and resource depletion by providing semantic clarifications and investigating the implications and relevance of this rule we extend earlier results by establishing that the hartwick rule does not indicate sustainability and does not require substitutability between man made and naturalcapital we use a new class of simple counterexamples i to obtain the novel finding that a negative value of net investments need not entail that utility is unsustainable and ii to point out deficiencies in the literature

revisiting isew valuation approaches the case of spain including the costs of energy depletion and of climate change abstract this paper develops an index of sustainable economic welfare for spain from 1970 to 2012 and seeks to update valuation approaches to a number of items two approaches have proven particularly controversial over recent decades the costs of energy depletion and of climate change the valuation implications in measuring present welfare have proven problematic as both include future sustainability consequences arising from resource depletion and environmental impacts this study includes a transition cost approach to energy depletion a modified approach to costs of climate change and water pollution and removes the cost of ozone depletion the results illustrate that while gdp per capita increased significantly the isew per capita shows a widening gap household labour contributes strongly but income distribution energy depletion and costs of climate change limit improvement sensitivity analysis shows that accumulating climate change costs and escalating energy depletion costs have significant effects nevertheless the new valuation approaches do not alter conclusions that welfare has shown little improvement the isew provides a useful alternative to current indicators such as gdp subject to awareness of limitations it is a measure of welfare that uses sustainability accounting methods when estimating costs but is not an indicator of whether welfare is actually sustainable

international comparisons of living standards by equivalent incomes we propose a measure of living standards for international comparisons based on gdp per capita the measure incorporates corrections for international flows of income labor risk of unemployment healthy life expectancy household demography and inequalities the method for comparing populations that differ in some non income dimension consists of computing the equivalent variation of income that would make each population indifferent between its current situation and a reference situation with respect to the non income dimension this is applied to 24 oecd countries the obtained ranking of countries differs substantially from the gdp ranking

capabilities as menus a non welfarist basis for qaly evaluation quality adjusted life years qalys are the most widely used measure of health in economic evaluations of health care within a welfarist framework qalys are consistent with people s preferences under stringent assumptions several authors have argued that qalys are a valid measure of health within an extra welfarist framework this paper studies the applicability of qalys within the best known extra welfarist framework sen s capability approach we propose a procedure to value capability sets and provide a foundation for qalys within sen s capability approach we show that under appropriate conditions the ranking of capabilities can be represented locally by a qaly measure and that a willingness to pay for qalys can be defined the validity of qalys as a general measure of health requires the same stringent conditions as in a welfarist framework

does managerial sentiment affect accrual estimates evidence from the banking industry abstract we examine whether managerial sentiment is associated with errors in accrual estimates using public banks we find 1 managerial sentiment is negatively associated with loan loss provision estimates 2 future charge offs per dollar of provision are positively associated with sentiment when the provision is estimated and 3 the effects of sentiment are greater for firms with more uncertain charge offs results are similar for private banks suggesting accrual manipulation related to capital market incentives is unlikely to explain the results although economic fundamentals explain most of the variation in the provision we find sentiment has an incremental and economically meaningful effect