decision specific experience in foreign ownership and establishment strategies evidence from japanese firms in this paper we examine the importance of decision specific experience for a multinational firm s foreign ownership structure and establishment mode decisions a unique procedure to measure the decision specific experience construct is developed based on data for the period 1969 1991 we find strong empirical evidence from experiences of japanese firms to support the hypotheses that firms tend to select ownership structures and establishment modes based on their experiences with similar ownership structures and establishment modes in the past

the entry mode choice of mnes an evolutionary approach abstract the literature on foreign direct investment fdi has recently analysed the nature of the firm s entry mode choice in a foreign market particularly the choice between a joint venture and a wholly owned subsidiary the paper aims at providing further empirical evidence on the influence of some key variables in explaining it the theoretical framework relates to the resource based view of the firm and to the more recent competence based theory it focuses on the concept of the firm as a collection of productive resources and assets built through internal learning processes in the form of evolutionary experimentation the inability of the firm to build internally all the needed knowledge and competencies forces it to acquire them outside influencing the growth strategy of the firm as resources and complementary assets are spread out the firm has to deal with constraints which become more crucial when the firm enters into unfamiliar markets and areas of activity in particular when deciding about the entry mode on foreign markets the firm has to face transaction costs concerning actors and potential partners and their opportunism and costs related to the need for acquiring information about new institutional environments and their working according to this view the resort to co operative solutions and joint ventures allows firms to reduce costs and uncertainty related to foreign markets and rises if technological opportunities tacit skills and competencies constitute an important source of competitive advantage for the firm an empirical analysis with reference to a representative sample of fdi undertaken by italian firms in mining and manufacturing industries over the period 1986 1993 has been developed in order to test the hypotheses

the effects of macroeconomic news on high frequency exchange rate behavior this paper studies the high frequency reaction of the dem usd exchange rate to publicly announced macroeconomic information emanating from germany and the u s by us ing data sampled at a five minute frequency we are able to identify significant impacts of most announcements on the exchange rate change in the 15 minutes post announcement although the significance of these effects decreases rapidly as the interval over which the post announcement change in exchange rates is increased the direction of the exchange rate response conforms in general with a reaction function interpretation whereby reac tions to macroeconomic news are driven by the likely operations of monetary authorities in domestic money markets further we detect influences of german monetary policy deci sions on the reaction of the exchange rate and also differences between u s and german announcements in the exchange rate reaction time pattern i introduction this paper studies the high frequency reaction of the dem usd exchange rate to macroeconomic information emanating from germany and the u s specif ically we utilize exchange rate data covering the period 1 1 92 to 31 12 94 sam pled at a five minute frequency to investigate how the major monthly macroe conomic releases from these two countries impact the dem usd the infor mation contained in announcements over this three year period is extracted via a set of market expectation series supplied by money market services interna tional mms 1 our analysis improves on previous work in this area in two main respects first our study is conducted using very high frequency data whereas most earlier work has used exchange rate data sampled at a frequency of a number of hours or more this allows us to construct a very precise characterization of

wholly owned subsidiary versus technology licensing in the worldwide chemical industry this paper empirically analyzes the determinants of the choice between wholly owned subsidiary and technology licensing as a strategy for expansion abroad we use a new and comprehensive database on worldwide plant level investments in the chemical industry during the 1981 1991 period we find that both cultural distance and the presence of other potential licensors favor the use of licensing as a strategy for expanding abroad whereas prior experience favors the choice of wholly owned subsidiary an implication of this study is that competition in the market for technology can foster the international diffusion of technology through the use of arm s length agreements

nationality and subsidiary ownership patterns in multinational corporations this paper examines the notion that the multinational s nationality influences its foreign subsidiary ownership decisions it identifies theoretically meaningful constructs to represent nationality and examines under carefully controlled conditions their influence on subsidiary ownership preferences in american and european multinationals the paper concludes that there are indeed significant differences in ownership preferences among various nationalities that can be explained using cultural as well as economic variables but that these differences may become weaker in larger multinationals

choice of foreign market entry mode impact of ownership location and internalization factors firms interested in servicing foreign markets face a difficult decision with regards to the choice of an entry mode the options available to a firm include exporting licensing joint venture and sole venture several factors that determine the choice of a specific foreign market entry mode have been identified in previous literature these factors can be classified into three categories ownership advantages of a firm location advantages of a market and internalization advantages of integrating transactions this study examines the independent and joint influences of these factors on the choice of an entry mode multinomial logistic regression model is employed to test the hypothesized effects

how mncs choose entry modes and form alliances the china experience this study examine two dimensions of firms foreign market entry strategy mode of entry and formation of alliances based on the existing literature we propose a model that describes how host country home country and industry specific factors affect foreign firms decisions on how they enter the market and whether they will enter with a partner firm or not the model also describes how operation related factors i e the location and the level of local government affect these decisions seven major hypotheses were tested using a longitudinal sample of 2 998 foreign business activities in china between 1979 and 1993 our sample consists of foreign investing firms from the u s europe japan and other asian countries by choosing china as a host country the study offers insights into how firms of different regional groups adapted their strategies to a changing host environment

ceo successor characteristics and the choice of foreign market entry mode an empirical study based on the upper echelons theory this study of 126 ceo successions and 271 foreign market entry events examines the relationships between successor ceo characteristics and choice of entry mode results indicate that ceo position tenure throughput functional background and international experience are associated with full control entry modes additionally these relationships were observed in the subgroup of high performing firms but not in the low performing subgroup

the boundaries of multinational enterprises and the theory of international trade this paper begins with a review of empirical evidence on multinational firms conceptual underpinnings of a theory are developed relying in particular on the notion of knowledge capital as a mobile joint input into geographically separated production facilities this idea is embedded in a simple two country general equilibrium model that supports multinational production in equilibrium under conditions consistent with the empirical evidence the final section examines internalization and shows why certain properties of knowledge capital also imply a preference for transferring technologies internally within the firm rather than through arm s length markets

the short run dynamics of the price adjustment to new information we examine how prices in interest rate and foreign exchange futures markets adjust to the new information contained in scheduled macroeconomic news releases in the very short run using 10 second returns and tick by tick data we find that prices adjust in a series of numerous small but rapid price changes that begin within 10 seconds of the news release and are basically completed within 40 seconds of the release there is some evidence that prices overreact in the first 40 seconds but that this is corrected in the second or third minute after the release while volatility tends to be higher than normal just before the news release there is no evidence of information leakage in our analysis we correct for the biases created by bid ask spreads and tick by tick data

equity ownership in international joint ventures the impact of source country factors this study examines the impact of four source country factors on the equity ownership in international joint ventures ijvs these factors are exchange rate cost of borrowing export capability and management orientation based on a sample of 8 078 ijvs in china this study shows that equity ownership tends to be higher for parent firms from a source country with strong currency low cost of borrowing strong export capability and high uncertainty avoidance

patent protection imitation and the mode of technology transfer abstract this paper analyzes a model in which a firm endowed with a new technology can choose between exports licensing and direct investment as entry modes in a foreign market i endogenize the vintage of the transferred technology and allow for imitation by the licensee subsidiary production and exports circumvent imitation but involve higher costs for the innovating firm the firm can strategically use the vintage of the technology to deter imitation by the licensee as a result transfers to affiliates might be of later vintage than technologies sold to outsiders through modification of the imitation costs the host country s system of patent protection influences the mode of technology transfers which in turn affects the welfare of the recipient economy

how markets process information news releases and volatility we examine the impact of scheduled macroeconomic news announcements on interest rate and foreign exchange futures markets we find these announcements are responsible for most of the observed time of day and day of the week volatility patterns in these markets while the bulk of the price adjustment to a major announcement occurs within the first minute volatility remains substantially higher than normal for roughly fifteen minutes and slightly elevated for several hours nonetheless these subsequent price adjustments are basically independent of the first minute s return we identify those announcements with the greatest impact on these markets we examine the impact on interest rate and foreign exchange markets of scheduled macroeconomic news releases such as the employment report the consumer price index cpi and the producer price index ppi many market participants believe that such announcements have a major impact on financial markets indeed a small industry devoted to predicting the figures to be released in upcoming releases has evolved in recent years with the exception of the weekly money supply figures however the impact of such announcements on financial markets has received scant attention 1 this is doubly surprising given the considerable research interest in market volatility since these news releases are a potential source of much of this volatility consider for instance figure 1 as shown there prices in interest rate and foreign exchange futures markets are much more volatile between 8 30 and 8 35 a m eastern time et than during any other five minute trading period including

transaction cost determinants and ownership based entry mode choice a meta analytical review entry mode choice is a critical ingredient of international entry strategies and has been voluminously examined in the field the findings however are very mixed especially with respect to transaction cost related factors in determining the ownership based entry mode choice this study conducted a meta analysis to quantitatively summarize the literature and empirically generalize more conclusive findings based on the 106 effect sizes of 38 empirical studies the meta analysis shows that the findings of the existing studies are moderated to varying degrees by both study setting factors and statistical artifacts although the combined overall effects of transaction cost based determinants are consistent with the predictions of transaction cost economics we extensively discuss the implications of meta analytical results especially moderating effects of location country of origin industry type and statistical artifacts highlight the measurement adequacy equivalence and multidimensionality of transaction cost determinants and present our suggestions to improve theoretical inquiries and empirical verifications on entry mode choice

risk aversion uncertain information and market efficiency abstract this paper develops and tests the uncertain information hypothesis as a means of explaining the response of rational risk averse investors to the arrival of unanticipated information the theory predicts that following news of a dramatic financial event both the risk and expected return of the affected companies increase systematically and that prices react more strongly to bad news than good an empirical investigation of over 9000 marketwide and firm specific events produces results consistent with these predictions we conclude that the market reacts to uncertain information in an efficient if not instantaneous manner

is the relationship between inward fdi and spillover effects linear an empirical examination of the case of china this paper finds evidence for the coexistence within chinese manufacturing industry of both curvilinear and linear relationships between inward foreign direct investment fdi and the productivity of locally owned enterprises loes this complexity of spillover effects challenges the laissez faire view that all inward fdi into all types of domestic industry is equally valuable in terms of productivity spillover benefits our findings suggest that inward fdi into china leads either to spillovers that decline beyond a critical point or to effects that continue linearly depending on the ownership of foreign investors and the technological characteristics of the industry concerned our analysis yields original insights into the complex pattern of spillover effects from fdi into china and deeper understanding of its possible causes

fdi by firms from newly industrialised economies in emerging markets corporate governance entry mode and location previous studies emphasise that the foreign direct investment fdi strategies of firms from newly industrialised economies nies are different from the fdi strategies of firms from developed economies it has also been shown that nie firms are often controlled by founding families who make key strategic decisions and that they rely heavily on network linkages when developing their fdi strategies what is less clear however is how the corporate governance factors in nies the risk preferences of the main shareholder constituencies and the network based business culture affect the decision to undertake fdi in emerging markets this paper explores the entry mode and location choices of firms from an asian nie taiwan in an emerging market the people s republic of china it shows that the choice of equity stake in an affiliate depends upon the extent of family and institutional share ownerships in the parent company high commitment entry is found to be positively associated with the affiliate being located in areas with strong economic cultural and historic links with the parent company furthermore the entry mode and location decisions appear to be interrelated with the parent s equity stake in the affiliate depending inter alia upon the location within china and the favoured location depending inter alia upon the equity stake

linking fdi motivation and host economy productivity effects conceptual and empirical analysis we develop a taxonomy that relates foreign direct investment fdi motivation technology and cost based to its anticipated effects on host countries domestic productivity we then empirically examine the effects of fdi into the united kingdom on domestic productivity and find that different types of fdi have markedly different productivity spillover effects which are consistent with the conceptual analysis the uk gains substantially only from inward fdi motivated by a strong technology based ownership advantage as theory predicts inward fdi motivated by technology sourcing considerations leads to no productivity spillovers

the effect of cultural distance on entry mode choice international diversification and mne performance a meta analysis although a growing literature indicates that cultural distance that is differences between national cultures is an important determinant of organizational actions and performance both empirical and theoretical concerns abound in this study the relationships of cultural distance with entry mode choice international diversification and mne performance are examined by meta analyzing data from 66 independent samples with cumulative sample sizes ranging from 2 255 to 24 152 regression results failed to provide statistical evidence of significant relationships between cultural distance and entry mode choice international diversification and mne performance the examination of moderator effects however yielded important results we found a strong negative association between cultural distance and entry mode choice for us based mnes the cultural distance international diversification relationship was negative for high technology industries while it was positive for other industries cultural distance also had a strong positive effect on mne performance for developed country investments a similar strong positive relationship was found between cultural distance and international diversification in studies with more recent samples results of this study indicate that substantial additional research is needed before the role of cultural distance is fully understood

feedback traders and stock return autocorrelations evidence from a century of daily data the authors investigate whether the degree of autocorrelation shown by high frequency stock returns changes with volatility this may result from nontrading effects feedback trading strategies or variable risk aversion the authors results indicate that when volatility is low daily and hourly stock returns exhibit positive autocorrelation but when it is high returns exhibit negative serial correlation they also find an important asymmetry negative serial correlation is more likely after price declines this is consistent with price declines being more likely to induce positive feedback trading the authors also find no significant relation between margin requirements and the autocorrelation of returns copyright 1992 by royal economic society

knowledge acquisition from foreign parents in international joint ventures an empirical examination in the hungarian context in this paper we examine organizational characteristics structural mechanisms and contextual factors that influence knowledge acquisition from the foreign parent in international joint ventures ijvs we in turn relate assessments of knowledge acquisition to ijv performance the data come from a survey of ijvs in the hungarian context where learning and knowledge acquisition from the foreign parent is thought to be particularly critical adaptation mechanisms such as capacity to learn articulated goals and structural mechanisms such as the provision of training technology and managerial assistance by foreign parents all were positively associated with the degree to which ijvs reported acquiring knowledge from their foreign parents we also found limited support for the belief that cultural conflicts can impede knowledge acquisition but only for two party joint ventures with 50 50 equity arrangements we also looked at the relationship between knowledge acquisition and different dimensions for evaluating ijv performance the relationship between knowledge acquisition and performance was significant for all indicators of performance through knowledge acquisition from the foreign parent and the organizational characteristics hypothesized to enhance ijv knowledge acquisition affected assessments of some dimensions of performance more than others our findings contribute to advancing knowledge about the relationship between organizational characteristics and organizational knowledge acquisition in ijvs as well as the relationships between knowledge acquisition and different dimensions of ijv performance

effects of us interest rates and news on the daily interest rates of a highly indebted emerging economy evidence from turkey it has been widely demonstrated that asset prices react sensitively to macroeconomic news releases both in the industrialized countries and emerging markets however there are contradicting results on the effects of changes in interest rates of industrialized countries on asset prices of emerging markets in heavily indebted economies in addition to these factors political news and announcements from international institutions that may increase or decrease concerns about debt sustainability can affect asset prices as well this potential notwithstanding there has been relatively limited empirical work on the effects of such variables the objective of this study is to quantify the impact of all of these factors on interest rates of a highly indebted emerging economy using daily post crisis data of the turkish economy we show that both good and bad political news international monetary fund announcements and european union related news significantly affected secondary market government securities yi

accounting for sources of fdi technology spillovers evidence from china using a set of panel data of 11 324 firms in china from 1996 to 1999 the paper finds that positive technology spillovers from fies to domestic firms occur through tangible assets rather than intangible assets through domestically consumed products rather than exported products through traditional products rather than new products and through fies employing unskilled workers rather than fies employing skilled workers fies are found to generate negative spillovers through exports and through employment of skilled workers

financial structure and economic activity a recent development in economic science is the attempt to integrate monetary theory with the theory of general economic equilibrium this work takes as its starting point the idea that money cannot have value in standard general equilibrium models in these too much trade can be accomplished in centralized markets see robert clower 1969 1971 frank hahn 1973 or neil wallace 1980 thus to decentralize or break up the structure either exchange must be made costly or there must be restrictions on who can trade with whom and thus such choicetheoretic models offer the intriguing possibility that real and monetary phenomena can be understood as intimately related this paper continues in the relatively brief choice theoretic tradition motivated by real and monetary phenomena associated economic development and growth 1 to be noted first is simon kuznets seminal work on national income 1971 in a cross section study of fifty seven countries in 1958 kuznets shows that the share of the agricultural sector including forestry fishing and hunting in gross domestic product is inversely correlated with gross domestic product per capita the share of the industrial sector including transportation and communication is closely and positively associated with per capita product the share of the service sector tends to be positively but weakly associated with per capita product but the share of banking insurance and real estate shows a striking rise as one shifts from lowto higher income countries moreover the evidence suggests that the ratio of industrial prices to agricultural prices is perhaps lower the higher is per capita income though the evidence on relative prices for the service sector is inconsistent turning to long time series for thirteen developed and four less developed countries kuznets finds dramatic evidence for a decline of the agricultural sector and a rise in the industrial sector with per capita income at least in developed countries again results for the service sector are mixed but canada france and the united states are positive exceptions the share of a transport communication subsector rises quite consistently turning next to shares of sectors in the labor force kuznets finds both on a cross sectional and secular basis that all the above movements are at least mirrored and in many cases amplified in particular both components of the share of the service sector services and commerce rise substantially with gross domestic product per capita 2 to be noted second is the extensive work of raymond goldsmith on financial structure and financial intermediation for the united states goldsmith 1958 finds that the activity of intermediaries as measured by their share in national assets in tangible assets and in all claims has shown a substantial rise from 1860 to 1952 similarly goldsmith 1969 finds that the ratio of financial institutions assets to gross national product rises substantially from 1860 to 1963 in both developed and less developed countries including switzerland great britain the united states japan argentina and india related the number of households with savings accounts the number with life insurance policies and the number with stock ownership expressed as percents of the population are all low for less developed countries relative to developed countries and professor of economics carnegie mellon university graduate school of industrial administration schenley park pittsburgh pa 15213 this paper was motivated by a conversation with thomas sargent and has been aided by helpful comments from robert barro robert e lucas jr dan peled kenneth singleton and neil wallace financial support from the national science foundation the alfred p sloan foundation and the peterkin symposium on foundations of monetary policy and government finance at rice university and research assistance from pramerudee townsend are all gratefully acknowledged i alone assume full responsibility for any errors and for the views expressed here

a tale of three countries italian spanish and swiss manufacturing operations in china in this paper the choice of joint venture versus wholly foreign owned enterprise wfoe made by italian spanish and swiss multinationals in china as shaped by the risk of dissipation of intangible assets is investigated probit estimates based on an entirely new firm level dataset constructed by the author show that wfoe is more likely to emerge when know how easily spills over namely for firms endowed with more intangible assets or belonging to high tech sectors in line with the theoretical expectations

is bad news cause of asymmetric volatility response a note this article uses a direct test of the impact of economic news on stock volatility the main interest is to test whether the asymmetric response of volatility can be due to the effect of bad news to do this this study takes items of news into account as exogenous variables the analysis is divided into two stages each of which uses different items of news as exogenous variables additional to the information provided by the residuals the first stage uses more exhaustively classified information whereas the second considers daily information as a global sign this study finds that bad news is responsible for most of the observed asymmetric behaviour of variance further this study detects that the gjr model adequately captures the impact of bad news when traders are not ready to carry out a time consuming analysis of the information

institutional cultural and transaction cost influences on entry mode choice and performance in this study we examine foreign market entry mode choice and firm performance for a sample of european union firms examining both financial and non financial performance measures we attempt to determine if firms that select their entry mode based on transaction cost institutional context and cultural context variables perform better than firms that make other mode choices we found that mode choice did matter firms whose mode choice could be predicted by the extended transaction cost model performed significantly better on both financial and non financial measures than did firms whose mode choice could not be predicted by the extended transaction cost model implications for future research are discussed

an economic model of international joint venture strategy the strategic choice between joint ventures licensing agreements and mergers is analysed using eight key factors suggested by internalisation theory the model explains the increasing role of international joint ventures in the 1980s in terms of the accelerating pace of technological innovation and the globalisation of markets it offers a range of predictions about the formation of joint ventures within industries across industries across locations and over time it exploits a powerful modelling technique that has many other applications in international business strategy

experience imitation and the sequence of foreign entry wholly owned and joint venture manufacturing by south korean firms and business groups in china 1987 1995 the evolution of foreign entry in the form of joint ventures and wholly owned manufacturing operations is examined as a staged process shaped by experience and imitation dynamics at the firm group and industry levels of analysis the expansion of south korean firms into china between 1987 and 1995 lends support to the staged view of foreign entry over time technology intensive firms are more likely to abandon joint venture entry modes owing to contractual hazards firms in the same business group are found to imitate each other s choice of joint ventures and wholly owned plants firms in the same industry mimic each other s choice of wholly owned plants though not of joint ventures

contracts intellectual property rights and multinational investment in developing countries abstract the policy debate between multinational firms favoring strong contract law and host country governments who often oppose such protection motivates the paper local agents managers learn the multinational s technology and can defect to start a rival firm contract enforcement including binding the multinational itself makes the multinational better off outcomes for the host country are more complex depending on mode switches induced by enforcement if enforcement induces the multinational to switch from exporting to local production welfare improves if local production was occurring anyway enforcement may result in the loss of rents to local agents and lower welfare

modes of foreign entry a transaction cost analysis and propositions a frontier issue in international marketing is the appropriate choice of entry mode in foreign markets the objective of this paper is to offer a transaction cost framework for investigating the entry mode decision this framework provides 1 a theoretical basis for systematically interrelating the literature into propositions 2 propositions about interactions which resolve the apparently contradictory arguments advanced to date specifically the paper illustrates the feasibility of clustering 17 entry modes into the degree of control the mode provides the entrant proposes that the most appropriate i e most efficient entry mode is a function of the tradeoff between control and the cost of resource commitment advances testable propositions delimiting the circumstances under which each mode maximizes long term efficiency

the hierarchical model of market entry modes in this study we propose and test a hierarchical model of market entry modes entry modes can first be viewed as equity based versus non equity based within equity based modes the choice is between wholly owned operations and equity joint ventures while within non equity based modes the choice is between contractual agreements and export empirically we demonstrate that there are factors that exert substantial influences at the equity versus non equity level but rather weak influences at the lower level of choice hierarchy the empirical results are based on a sample of over 10 000 foreign entry activities into china between 1979 to 1998 the findings provide supportive evidence for the hierarchical model of market entry modes

licensing versus direct investment implications for economic growth we develop a symmetric two country model of foreign direct investment fdi that captures the internalization decision and its implications for both the rate and magnitude of innovations when mode choice licensing versus fdi is fixed a subsidy to multinational production increases the rate but decreases the size of innovations when mode can switch the rate and size of innovations both increase provided the subsidy is not too large although innovation size decreases for industries where firms already were choosing fdi innovation size increases for industries where firms switch from licensing to fdi because multinationals choose larger innovations than licensors 2002 elsevier science b v all rights reserved