nonmonetary effects of the financial crisis in propagation of the great depression this paper examines the effects of the financial crisis of the 1930s onthe path of aggregate output during that period our approach is complementary to that of friedman and schwartz who emphasized the monetary impact of the bank failures we focus on non monetary primarily credit related aspects of the financial sector output link and consider the problems of debtors as well as those of the banking system we argue that the financial disruptions of 1930 33 reduced the efficiency of the credit allocation process and that the resulting higher cost and reduced availability of credit acted to depress aggregate demand evidence suggests that effects of this type can help explain the unusual length and depth of the great depression this abstract was borrowed from another version of this item

the big push natural resource booms and growth a simple application of big push reasoning suggests that natural resource booms can be important catalysts for development in poorer countries in this paper we present evidence from seven latin american countries that natural resource booms are sometimes accompa nied by declining per capita gdp we present a model with natural resources increasing returns in the spirit of big push models and expectations to clarify some of the reasons this may happen q 1999 elsevier science b v all rights reserved

deliberative monetary valuation dmv issues in combining economic and political processes to value environmental change abstract this paper explores and contrasts the different social processes of valuation now appearing as economic means of valuing the environment monetary valuation via stated preference approaches has been criticised for assuming well formed and informed preferences and excluding a range of sustainability concerns such as rights fairness and equity deliberative monetary valuation dmv in small groups is a novel hybrid of economic and political approaches which raises the prospect of a transformative and moralising experience critics of standard contingent valuation approaches have advocated this as offering a way forward however there has been a lack of clarity as to the means of obtaining values the expected outcomes and their role moving to group settings of deliberation raises concepts of social willingness to pay and accept which are distinct from an aggregate of individual value although this does not seem to have been widely recognised a new classification of values is presented appropriate to the literature trying to merge economic and political processes values associated with the individual may be exchange values charitable contributions or fair prices while social values can be speculative expressive or arbitrated the use of dmv is shown to result in different values due to variations in the institutional setting and process of valuation

understanding the cyclical nature of financial intermediation costs intermediation costs i e all noninterest bank expenses are counter cyclical and their changes have significant effects at the country level however the literature is silent on what drives their cyclicality previous studies have examined costs using cross sectional or low frequency data and thus cannot capture dynamic macroeconomic effects across time we fill this gap by examining u s intermediation costs using a quarterly bank level dataset from 1993 through 2012 this data set allows for the separation of microeconomic and macroeconomic factors affecting the cyclicality of costs the analysis shows that house prices are the main driving source of this counter cyclicality because housing is used as collateral a price decline leads banks to increase their operating costs for monitoring screening and litigation costs which cause a credit crunch in the economy

a framework for the practical application of the concepts of critical natural capital and strong sustainability this paper develops a methodology for identifying that natural capital called critical natural capital cnc the maintenance of which is essential for environmental sustainability by consideration of the characteristics of natural capital of the environmental functions that these characteristics enable natural capital to perform and of the importance of these functions to humans and the biosphere it shows how sustainability standards in respect of these environmental functions may be derived the difference between the current situation and these standards is termed the sustainability gap the methodology that emerges from bringing these ideas together into a single analytical framework enables policy makers to identify the extent of current unsustainability the principal causes of it the elements and processes of natural capital the cnc which need to be maintained or restored to close the sustainability gap and the costs of so doing the framework should therefore be of use in identifying priorities and policies for moving towards environmental sustainability

environmental valuation to use or not to use a comparative study of the united states and europe valuation methods have been used for five main purposes in environmental decision making cost benefit analysis cba of projects cba of new regulations natural resource damage assessment environmental costing and environmental accounting the relatively lower importance attached to economic efficiency in environmental decision making in most european countries compared to the u s a both legally and in practice might account for our general finding that there are very few valuation studies in europe which have served as a decisive basis for environmental policy and regulations however with eu s goal to establish environmentally adjusted national accounts and to apply cba to environmental policy and regulations time seems ripe for an increased use of valuation techniques in europe

transferring environmental value estimates issues and alternatives abstract environmental value transfer needs to be understood in the context of scientific information use in general this provides a different perspective upon the reasons why benefit transfer in particular appears so controversial and raises concerns over the limited types of validity testing being undertaken by those supporting such applications as ecosystem services valuation another key issue which we emphasise is the unintentional challenge to standard economic theory raised by the models used to conduct value transfers existing value transfer practice reveals the need for a more inclusive approach if environmental values are to be addressed we argue that there are robust alternative means for including multiple environmental values in decision processes these cannot be dismissed out of hand and analysts should be expanding their understanding of the available approaches which include attitude and norm measures multi criteria analysis and participatory deliberative institutions

trust and cooperation social capital and community resource management social capital is one of the main determinants of community resource management success we use the average amount sent in a trust game as a measure of social capital in five rural villages in india combining these experimental data with household surveys we analyze i how the amount sent is correlated with socio cultural community characteristics ii how social capital affects community resource management and iii to what extent experimental play is consistent with real on farm behavior in terms of providing a semi public good the results are interesting from a policy perspective and provide insight into bridging the gap between lab experiments and the field

social multi criteria evaluation methodological foundations and operational consequences in order to address contemporary issues economics and decision sciences need to expand their empirical relevance by introducing more and more realistic thus more complex assumptions in their models one of the most interesting research directions in the field of public economics is the attempt to introduce political constraints interest groups and collusion effects explicitly j j laffont incentives and political economy 2000 the main argument developed here is the proposal of the concept of social multi criteria evaluation smce as a possible useful framework for the application of social choice to the difficult policy problems of our millennium where as stated by funtowicz and ravetz facts are uncertain values in dispute stakes high and decisions urgent this paper starts from the following main questions 1 why social multi criteria evaluation 2 how should such an approach be developed the foundations of smce are set up by referring to concepts from complex system theory and philosophy such as reflexive complexity post normal science and incommensurability to give some operational guidelines on the application of smce basic questions to be answered are 1 how is it possible to deal with technical incommensurability 2 how can we deal with the issue of social incommensurability to answer these questions using theoretical considerations and lessons learned from real world case studies is the main objective of the present article

do large banks have lower costs new estimates of returns to scale for u s banks this paper presents new fully nonparametric estimates of ray scale and expansion path scale economies for u s banks based on a model of bank costs unlike prior studies that use models with restrictive parametric assumptions or limited samples our methodology uses local polynomial estimators and data on all u s banks over the period 1984 2006 our estimates indicate that as recently as 2006 most u s banks faced increasing returns to scale suggesting that scale economies are a plausible but not necessarily only reason for the growth in average bank size and that the tendency toward increasing scale is likely to continue unless checked by government intervention

sequentially rationalizable choice a sequentially rationalizable choice function is a choice function that can be retrieved by applying sequentially to each choice problem the same xed set of asymmetric binary relations rationales to remove inferior alternatives these con cepts translate into economic language some human choice heuristics studied in psychology and explain cyclical patterns of choice observed in experiments we study some properties of sequential rationalizability and provide a full character ization of choice functions rationalizable by two and three rationales

costly intermediation and consumption smoothing i introduction financial intermediaries play an essential role in economies transferring funds from agents who do not wish to use them immediately to those who do improving the allocation of resources with consequences for efficiency and welfare as hahn 1971 pointed out financial intermediation is not a costless activity it uses real resources such as labor and capital and governments often tax such activity this generates a wedge between the deposit and borrowing rates and consequently implies that households face different interest rates depending on whether they are savers or borrowers we construct a neoclassical growth model with costly intermediation in order to analyze two positive questions 1 what are the quantitative welfare implications of intermediation costs 2 are the welfare effects evenly distributed across individuals with different levels of wealth individuals in our neoclassical growth model face uninsurable idiosyncratic shocks to labor productivity an endogenous borrowing limit and costly intermediation households smooth consumption over time by making deposits at a financial intermediary in good times and running down credit balances or getting loans in bad times intermediation costs generate a wedge between loan and deposit rates with interest payments on loans higher than the return on deposits we assume that financial institutions provide all the intermediation and therefore abstract from direct borrowing and lending between households 1 as in martins da rocha and vailakis 2010 the intermediary has a labor intensive technology maximizes profit is remunerated by the marginal product of labor and takes regulation as given 2 see hahn 1971 diaz gimenez et al 1992 and mehra piguillem and prescott 2011 for similar approaches our goal is to analyze the effects of intermediation costs on agents intertemporal ability to smooth consumption and insure against labor income shocks as a consequence we focus on unsecured consumption loans such as personal loans and credit card debt and abstract from the effects of intermediation costs on entrepreneurship and productivity unsecured consumption loans while only a subset of the total credit market allow us to construct a direct measure of intermediation costs for our quantitative exercise in addition the fraction of unsecured credit over all credit in the data provides another dimension on which we can assess the performance of our model we use our model to measure key statistics of the u s economy including intermediation costs and perform counterfactual experiments reducing intermediation costs leads to two effects first for a given interest rate decreasing borrowing costs expands net borrowers consumption possibility frontiers and even current savers may benefit with positive probability they may need to borrow to smooth consumption in the future due to bad labor productivity shocks second there is an indirect effect lower intermediation costs imply an increase in the demand for loans which raises the interest rate this offsets part of the decrease in borrowing costs and also increases interest income improving savers welfare determining the net impact of these effects requires a quantitative analysis we interpret a reduction in intermediation costs as an improvement in the financial intermediation technology or a reduction in taxes on financial transactions the welfare analysis focuses on stationary equilibria and transitional dynamics the transition is slow and abstracting from it can lead to misleading welfare calculations also mobility in wealth means that comparing for instance the agent with median wealth in two stationary equilibria may not involve the same household we find three main quantitative results first intermediation costs have a large effect on welfare for the u s economy the average aggregate welfare gain of all agents from reducing intermediation costs from 3

capital theory and the measurement of sustainable development an indicator of weak sustainability the measurement of sustainable development is not without considerable difficulties yet this should not detract from the positive advances that can be made in this direction in this paper we present one form that a weak sustainability indicator can take derived from a simple but intuitive savings rule it incorporates the idea that the level of overall capital stock should be non decreasing although subject to qualification at this stage some interesting results emerge from the application of the rule to 18 countries

intra generational equity and sustainable welfare a time series analysis for the uk and sweden this paper discusses the importance of intra generational equity to sustainable development it outlines a number of methodologies for measuring income inequality in the economy and presents several possible ways of incorporating the impact of distributional effects into measures of welfare in the economy the authors highlight in particular an index developed by atkinson atkinson a b 1970 distributive politics and economic growth q j econ may 465 490 based on the social welfare model this method possesses two main advantages over other methods firstly it is expressed directly in terms of social well being secondly value judgements incorporated into the measure are made explicit through the parameter o which expresses society s degree of aversion to income inequality the paper calculates the value of the atkinson index for two case study countries sweden and the uk between 1950 and 1996 for a central estimate of o0 8 the results show that the welfare loss due to inequalities in the distribution of income varied between 5 and 10 for sweden and between 6 and 14 for the uk with the higher values coming towards the end of the period the paper explores the sensitivity of these results to changes in the value of o for the case of the uk and discusses the relevance of the work to the measurement of sustainable welfare 2000 elsevier science b v all rights reserved

the role of social processes for sustainable consumption abstract rethinking the role consumption plays in individual well being and societal development is key for addressing pressing environmental problems we perceive the need to envision consumption as a social activity which requires the active engagement of consumers in order to better enhance their quality of life the paper focuses on the framework of product service systems one particular programme for more sustainable consumption after reviewing the potential benefits and limitations of this programme we explore the opportunities to learn from participatory and community based strategies like lets

costly information acquisition experimental analysis of a boundedly rational model the directed cognition model assumes that agents use partially myopic option value calculations to select their next cognitive operation the current paper tests this model by studying information acquisition in two experiments in the first experiment information acquisition has an explicit financial cost in the second experiment information acquisition is costly because time is scarce the directed cognition model successfully predicts aggregate information acquisition patterns in these experiments when the directed cognition model and the fully rational model make demonstrably different predictions the directed cognition model better matches the laboratory evidence jel d83

the inclusion of social aspects in power planning a b s t r a c t this paper overviews previous research addressing the inclusion of the social dimension of sustainable development on power systems planning consequences of the recent energy policies and strategies are already being felt in developed countries power systems with the integration of rising quotas in renewable energy technologies however while the tools that aid decision making on power planning show that economic and environmental issues are easily quantifiable and thus modeled social concerns have been addressed in a less extensive and more subjective way implying in most cases expert participation on multi criteria decision aid techniques a survey of recent papers providing public perceptions on electricity generation technologies and projects is presented these papers were chosen and reviewed in order to present a representative array of methodologies that are used to assess social acceptance of technologies according to some of the reviewed papers this issue is suggested to be fundamental to increase project success as a conclusion stands the fact that further discussion is still needed in order to achieve solid agreement among experts over what are the positive and the negative drivers to social sustainability otherwise models will not be able to translate reality and improve it under this point of view

natural resources education and economic development economic growth since 1965 has varied inversely with the share of natural capital in national wealth across countries four main channels of transmission from abundant natural resources to stunted economic development are discussed a the dutch disease b rent seeking c overconfidence and d neglect of education public expenditure on education relative to national income expected years of schooling for girls and gross secondary school enrolment are all shown to be inversely related to the share of natural capital in national wealth across countries natural capital appears to crowd out human capital thereby slowing down the pace of economic development

an examination of cost subadditivity and multiproduct production in large u s banks this paper examines the subadditivity of costs for a sample of the largest commercial banks in the u s we introduce into the bank production literature the grid approach developed by evans and heckman 1984 we estimate two models of the bank cost function one where deposits are treated as outputs while in the other deposits are treated as inputs the models are estimated using the commonly used translog and the more flexible miniflex laurent viewed narrowly the findings imply that cost complementarities are not the raison d etre for multiproduct production in the largest commercial banks subadditive costs however are sufficient but not necessary for multiproduct production it is quite possible for multiproduct production to be optimal when output are produced independently levy and haber 1986 and teece 1980 1982 it is only required that inputs be shareable as opposed to joint copyright 1990 by ohio state university press

the cyclical behaviour of fiscal policy evidence from the oecd this paper addresses the topic of cyclicality in scal policy in particular we show that the level of cyclicality varies across spending categories and across oecd countries in line with leading theories of scal cyclicality we show that countries with volatile output and dispersed political power are the most likely to run procyclical scal policies wage government consumption is highlighted as the most important channel by which these variables affect scal cyclicality

the history of ecosystem services in economic theory and practice from early notions to markets and payment schemes article i nfo this paper reviews the historic development of the conceptualization of ecosystem services and examines critical landmarks in economic theory and practice with regard to the incorporation of ecosystem services into markets and payment schemes the review presented here suggests that the trend towards monetization and commodification of ecosystem services is partly the result of a slow move from the original economic conception of nature s benefits as use values in classical economics to their conceptualization in terms of exchange values in neoclassical economics the theory and practice of current ecosystem services science are examined inthelight ofthis historicaldevelopment from thisreview we conclude thatthefocus onmonetary valuation and payment schemes has contributed to attract political support for conservation but also to commodify a growing number of ecosystem services and to reproduce the neoclassical economics paradigm and the market logic to tackle environmental problems

returns to scale and input substitution for large u s banks the united states commercial banking industry has experienced significant changes in recent years the recent wave of mergers and the near term prospects of interstate banking suggests that the industry is moving toward much larger average banking organizations rhoades 1985 will a more concentrated banking industry result in lower costs due to scale economies we address this question by examining the cost function for large banks numerous studies of economies of scale in banking exist generally tracing their roots to the classic papers by benston 1965 and bell and murphy 1968 a good review of the most recent studies can be found in clark 1988 the majority of the papers uses samples of smaller banks that is under 1 billion in deposits finding generally that economies of scale are quickly exhausted and that further increases in bank size occur at constant or possibly increasing cost the extrapolation of previous findings for samples of smaller banks to large banks may be problematic especially in the current environment first large banks service a different mix of markets and customers than small banks suggesting that large and small banks probably face different cost structures second the process of deregulation may have rendered the results of prior studies moot since the data pertain to periods before significant deregulation since we

five capital impact assessment appraisal framework based on theory of sustainable well being abstract this paper sets out to formulate an appraisal approach in context with sustainable development in conventional project appraisal such as energy undertakings most emphasis is placed on financial flows and rate of return on infrastructure investments although current greenhouse gas emissions are estimated to pose large costs on future generations these emissions are generally not estimated as part of the investment cost other public goods may also be omitted because their value is not recognized we review conventional cost benefit assessment and propose a new broader evaluation this new evaluation approach is based on the theory that five capital value types support long term well being rather than economic growth alone the theory states that humans depend on the size of stocks and flows from natural manufactured human social and financial capital we describe the five capitals to illustrate the value categories and outline an approach to evaluate all these in the context of energy development

regulations market structure institutions and the cost of financial intermediation this paper examines the impact of bank regulations market structure and national institutions on bank net interest margins and overhead costs using data on over 1400 banks across 72 countries while controlling for bankspecific characteristics the data indicate that tighter regulations on bank entry and bank activities boost the cost of financial intermediation inflation also exerts a robust positive impact on bank margins and overhead costs while concentration is positively associated with net interest margins this relationship breaksdownwhencontrolling for regulatory impediments to competition and inflation furthermore bank regulations become insignificant when controlling for national indicators of economic freedom or property rights protection while these institutional indicators robustly explain cross bank net interest margins and overhead expenditures thus bank regulations cannot be viewed in isolation they reflect broad national approaches to private property and competition

specifying human capital a review of the measures of the stock of human capital used in empiricalgrowth research including adult literacy rates school enrollmentratios and average years of schooling of the working age population reveals that human capital is mostly poorly proxied the simple use ofthe most common proxy average years of schooling misspecifies therelationship between education and the stock of human capital based onhuman capital theory the specification of human capital is extended toallow for decreasing returns to education and for differences in thequality of a year of education the different specifications give riseto hugely differing measures of the stock of human capital acrosscountries and development accounting results show that misspecifiedhuman capital measures can lead to severe underestimation of thedevelopment effect of human capital

the cyclicality of price cost margins in banking an empirical analysis of its determinants i introduction in this paper we study the cyclical behavior of price cost margins in banking calculated as the difference between the interest rate on loans and deposits using time series quarterly data for the period 1979 2005 in the united states this cyclical behavior of banks price cost margins a key fact about business fluctuations has received little attention before dueker and thornton 1997 find evidence that in cyclical downturns banks opt for a relatively high price cost margin however they focus exclusively on the markup of the bank prime lending rate over the marginal cost of funds for banks mandelman 2006 presents evidence on the cyclicality of margins for a large sample of countries and uses foreign bank penetration to explain the behavior of margins 1 in olivero 2005 aliaga diaz 2006 and aliaga diaz and olivero 2010a we document the countercyclicality of banks price cost margins in the united states in that paper we do so using an atheoretical methodology based on var forecast errors to measure comovement between variables 2 in this paper we build on this atheoretical evidence and take a step further by constructing an empirical model of the determinants of the cyclical behavior of margins here we take a theory based approach to decide on the inclusion of the relevant regressors that belong to this model doing so allows us to contribute to the literature by providing potential explanations for the previously documented countercyclical nature of margins monetary policy and credit risk could be suggested as the main and potentially the only determinants of the cyclical behavior of margins on the one hand the bank lending channel of monetary transmission predicts that the federal funds rate as a monetary policy indicator and margins are directly related therefore if policy rates exhibit a particular cyclical behavior not controlling for monetary policy could bias the estimations on the cyclical behavior of margins on the other hand credit risk is expected to be countercyclical and to raise margins so that default should help explain the countercyclicality of the latter based on these two observations our empirical methodology consists of two steps in a first step we test whether the negative and significant contemporaneous sample correlations between margins and a business cycle indicator are robust to the inclusion of controls related to monetary policy default risk and banking regulation results show it is so that there seems to be other channels through which fluctuations in the economy give rise to the observed countercyclicality of margins in a second step we look for these channels and offer several potential explanations for the observed behavior interest rate risk the economy s financial depth banks liquidity and capitalization and the share of total assets held by large banks all exert a significant impact on the behavior of margins over the business cycle these conclusions are consistent across alternative definitions of the margins and the business cycle indicator our work is linked to two strands of research in macroeconomics first our countercyclicality results are linked to the large literature on countercyclical markups in goods markets and its effects on aggregate demand started by rotemberg and saloner 1986 and rotemberg and woodford 1992 second price cost margins that vary endogenously and countercyclically in response to the state of the economy are a necessary condition for the existence of a financial accelerator as an amplifier of business fluctuations see for example bernanke and gertler 1989 and bernanke gertler and gilchrist 1998 therefore the countercyclical nature of price cost margins that we study here provides empirical support to the large body of literature in macroeconomic theory on this financial accelerator with price cost margins in the market for credit being countercyclical credit becomes more expensive in bad times firms may delay investment and production as a result and recessions may be exacerbated

towards a systemic development approach building on the human scale development paradigm abstract since its inception the scope of inquiry within modern economics has been overall reduced to the chrematistic market centred dimension of the economic process this has been reflected in the very way it shaped the modern idea of development which more and more has been represented in monetary terms to the point of being equated to chrematistic growth altogether this reductionism has been severely criticized for various reasons mostly related to the ignorance of the complex multidimensional social cultural and psychological motives and aspirations of human beings ignoring as well crucial environmental and ecological dimensions within and by means of which the economic process unfolds one fundamental early contribution to the re conceptualization of the economic development process in terms of well being from a systemic perspective came about with the human scale development approach h sd in the 1980s central to this paradigm is a systemic re conceptualization of human needs and an attempt to place this discussion at the centre of the development debate it suggested a recovery of the oikonomy in its original classical meaning as a means for achieving better well being beyond the chrematistics narrow scope this theory presents a very wide outlook for its theoretical and practical applications and in this paper we will try to build on h sd s original contribution we begin this by briefly outlining what can be termed the chrematistic turn within both modern economics theory and practice at the dawn of modern capitalism in the second section the main aspects of the h sd approach are briefly presented and discussed the last sections are devoted to propose some methodological extensions to the original h sd version suggesting innovative ways of enlarging its scope through the development and improvement of its evaluation tools thereby we hope to enhance its application within its traditional context as well as indicating means for applying it to other fields as development policies strategies or eventually appraisal of new technologies

uncertain discount rates in climate policy analysis abstract consequences in the distant future such as those from climate change have little value today when discounted using conventional rates this result contradicts our gut feeling about such problems and often leads to ad hoc application of lower rates for valuations over longer horizons a step facilitated by confusion and disagreement over the correct rate even over short horizons we review the theory and intuition behind the choice of discount rates now and importantly the impact of likely variation in rates in the future correlated changes in future rates imply that the distant future should be discounted at much lower rates than suggested by the current rate thereby raising the value of future consequences regardless of opinions concerning the current rate using historic data to quantity the likely changes and correlation in changes in future rates we find that future valuations rise by a factor of many thousands at horizons of 300 years or more almost doubling the expected present value of climate mitigation benefits relative to constant 4 discounting ironically uncertainty about future rates reduces the ratio of valuations based on alternate choices of the current rate

search and satisficing many everyday decisions are made without full examination of all available options and as a result the best available option may be missed we develop a search theoretic choice experiment to study the impact of incomplete consideration on the quality of choices we find that many decisions can be understood using the satisficing model of herbert simon 1955 most subjects search sequentially stopping when a satisficing level of reservation utility is realized we find that reservation utilities and search order respond systematically to changes in the decision making environment jel d03 d12 d83