reaction or interaction spatial process identification in multi tiered government structures abstract this paper models horizontal and vertical fiscal externalities in a multi tiered structure of government and implements maximum likelihood and instrumental variables estimation techniques to identify the source of spatial dependence in english local government expenditures the results show that when vertical fiscal externalities among upper tier county authority and lower tier district authority expenditures are explicitly taken into account the estimated magnitude of inter district fiscal interactions is substantially reduced the observed positive spatial autocorrelation among district expenditures can consequently be attributed to a large extent to common reaction to county fiscal policies rather than to actual strategic interaction

performance rating and yardstick competition in social service provision abstract this paper investigates whether national evaluation of decentralised government performance tends by lessening local information spill overs to reduce the scope for local performance comparisons and consequently to lower the extent of spatial auto correlation among local government expenditures it analyses local government expenditures on personal social services in the uk before and after the introduction of a national performance assessment system sspr social services performance rating that would attribute a rating to each local authority the empirical evidence is consistent with the hypothesis that the sspr has reduced local yardstick competition

who gains from capital market integration tax competition between unionized and non unionized countries the welfare effects of capital market integration are examined under a model of tax competition with two asymmetric countries the asymmetry is expressed through the labour market one country has a perfect labour market whereas the other country s labour market is unionized our results indicate that the welfare effects of capital market integration differ depending on whether governments are active or passive in attracting capital in the absence of active governments capital market integration benefits the country with a competitive labour market whereas it harms the unionized country capital market integration benefits both countries if governments are active and compete for mobile capital using taxes subsidies

decentralization and intra country transfers in the great recession the case of the european union empirical evidence is found supporting the assignment of the redistribution function to the central government viewing the great recession or recessions in general as a shock it is found that a

accounting for the decline in afdc caseloads welfare reform or the economy we use state level monthly panel data to assess the relative contributions of the macroeconomy and welfare reform in accounting for the 1993 96 decline in aid to families with dependent children afdc caseloads our results suggest that the decline in per capita afdc caseloads is attributable largely to the economic conditions in states and not to waivers from federal welfare policies nationwide we attribute 66 percent of the decline to the macroeconomy however we do find substantial heterogeneity in the impact and timing of alternative waivers on afdc caseloads states with waivers impacting parental responsibilities experienced greater caseload declines than states with waivers that made work more attractive overall our model predicts that had it not been for the influence of economic factors welfare reform would not have led to any decrease in aggregate caseloads

testing the taxmimicking versus expenditure spill over hypotheses using english data spatial interaction among local governments in tax setting and public spending decisions is receiving increasing attention in the applied public economics literature spatial interaction models rely on the presence of an externality from local budget making in traditional public finance models external effects originate either from interjurisdictional resource flows due to tax competition for a mobile base or from local public expenditure spill overs into neighbouring jurisdictions however the recent political agency yardstick competition literature has stressed the role of informational externalities between neighbouring jurisdictions and predicted tax mimicry at the local level the actual relevance of the above hypotheses clearly needs to be assessed empirically in this paper an attempt is made at discriminating between alternative sources of local fiscal interaction by using data on the english municipal authorities budgets while both public spending levels and local property tax rates ex

federal grants and yardstick competition abstract citizens may see a government which wins a grant in competition with other states as especially effective and may therefore want it to increase spending similarly a voter who sees that a neighboring jurisdiction got a grant which his jurisdiction did not may think poorly of the ability of local officials and therefore reduce his demand for local spending data on spending by states in the united states show these effects

demand for sport this article reviews international literature on the demand for professional sport the first part presents a conceptual framework for understanding the sources and determinants of the demand for professional sporting contests the second part reviews empirical evidence on key determinants of attendance at sporting events and on other sources of demand such as broadcasting sponsorship and merchandising the review concludes that there is still much to be learned about demand for professional sport and that there are no simple lessons to be drawn from existing literature but important messages do emerge from studies of demand for attendance with regard to effects of uncertainty of outcome quality of contest and quality of viewing copyright 2003 oxford university press

spatial patterns in local taxation tax mimicking or error mimicking this paper tests for mimicry in local tax setting by using a panel data set of the english non metropolitan districts in the 1980s when property tax rate variability across districts was highest the results confirm the presence of large and significant spatial interactions among districts even after allowing for district specific and time effects a district appears to be significantly affected by its neighbours policies a 10 increase in the local property tax rate of a district s neighbours leads to an increase of 4 5 in its own property tax rate on the other hand the absence of correlation in tax rates between lower tier district authorities and upper tier county authorities suggests that the spatial pattern in district tax rates is not simply driven by spatially auto correlated shocks

the effects of the macroeconomy and welfare reform on food stamp caseloads since 1994 there has been an unprecedented decline in the number of people receiving food stamp benefits from a record high of 27 5 million in 1994 the number of food stamp recipients fell over 30 to 18 0 million by mid 1999 during this period the united states has experienced the third longest economic expansion of the twentieth century this has resulted in a dramatic growth of new jobs and the lowest unemployment rate in a generation simultaneously the welfare system has undergone a major transformation beginning in the early 1990s when many states made changes to their welfare programs through federal waivers from aid to families with dependent children afdc requirements the personal responsibility and work opportunity reconciliation act of 1996 prwora furthered these changes by replacing afdc where states contributions were matched by the federal government with a block grant program called temporary assistance for needy families tanf prwora introduced new rules on tanf recipients such as terminal time limits work requirements and personal responsibility measures it also directly changed the food stamp program by ending the eligibility of some recipients and reducing average benefit levels at the same time innovative changes in the delivery of food stamp benefits have been taking place with the introduction of electronic benefit trans

student participation in sporting activities given that many universities spend large sum of money supplying sports facilities for student use comparatively little is known about the factors that influence the quantity of student sporting participation this article presents evidence which suggests that the quantity of student sports participation is negatively related to the number of hours they work while augmenting social capital and sports literacy are found to enhance their sports participation universities need to target their investment in sporting facilities to meet students demands and not simply to increase the range of sports facilities available to students

the demand for standing and seated viewing accommodation in the english football league using match attendance data collected from a postal survey of football league clubs separate demand equations are estimated for standing and seated viewing accommodation some significant differences between attendance patterns for the two types of accommodation are identified current form the championship significance of the match and a geographical distance variable are found to be important determinants of standing attendance while the club s historical record is of particular importance for seated attendance the paper also discusses the implications of the results in view of the current moves towards the conversion of stadia to all seated accommodation

migration and income redistribution responsibilities this study examines whether afdc benefits determine or discourage state to state migration flows in the united states a pooled cross section time series model is developed to estimate afdc benefits in a state and recipients and whether benefits in one state affect benefits in other states a second model using data from the 1980 census and the panel study of income dynamics estimates migration of afdc recipients and the level of benefits in in migration and out migration states both models indicate that small but statistically significant amounts of migration occur which may be quite important but only in the long run movers although small in number are much more likely to move to a state with higher benefits states perceive this migration as important indicating that states should have less control and the federal government more control over income redistribution

do states play welfare games abstract this paper uses a panel of state level annual data from 1983 to 1994 for each of the contiguous united states and the district of columbia to explore the degree to which states simultaneously set welfare benefits using instrumental variables estimation we find substantial empirical evidence that is supportive of the notion of welfare competition furthermore we find that state responses to neighbor benefit decreases tend to be significantly larger in magnitude as their responses to neighbor benefit increases our results therefore have potential implications for public policy in the wake of the increased decentralization of welfare policy associated with the welfare reform of 1996

spillover effects in local public spending abstractthis paper investigated the fiscal interactions between italian municipalities over the period 2001 11 and found a positive horizontal interdependence in spending decisions the results are robust to different specifications of the spatial neighbours and are confirmed by a natural experiment an earthquake in the abruzzo region of italy in 2009 that creates an exogenous variation in the neighbours spending furthermore there is no evidence of yardstick competition when one considers political effects while a negative relationship is found between spatial interaction and the size of the municipality thus it can be concluded that spillover effects drive the strategic interactions in spending decisions

entry and exit patterns of toxic firms we pair an establishment level dataset from texas with public information available in the toxics release inventory tri to evaluate the standing of dirty industries in texas census tracts with a focus on environmental justice concerns the share of nonwhite residents in a tract is positively correlated with the number of tri reporting firms and an inverse u shaped relationship characterizes the number of tri reporting firms and a tract s median income even after controlling for factor prices and other covariates which might drive firm location decisions entrants that report to the tri are more likely to locate in areas with a higher share of nonwhite residents firms that report to the tri are also more likely to enter areas with a low share college graduates in contrast the number of entrants from industries which do not have tri reporters is negatively related to the percent of nonwhite residents in a tract firms in these non reporting industries are also more likely to enter areas with a high share of college graduates polluters appear to agglomerate raising concerns about both chemical releases being concentrated in certain tracts and also affecting nonwhite dense areas disproportionately the strength of these effects often depend on an urban rural classification with rural areas experiencing the most pronounced concerns moreover tri reporting firms are less likely to exit the market relative to their peers which operate in the same industry but do not need to file tri reports suggesting releases may affect a region in the long run

the spillover effects of state spending abstract this paper estimates the extent to which state spending is influenced by the spending of neighboring states examining several different metrics of neighborliness in order to better identify the channels for interstate spillovers it improves on previous studies by taking advantage of exogenous shocks to state medical spending to abstract from correlated local conditions and by allowing for spatial autocorrelation focusing on mandated increases in medical spending the analysis shows that each dollar of state spending causes spending in neighboring states to increase by almost 90 cents the most predictive measure of neighborliness is the degree of population mobility between states suggesting that rational concerns about adverse migration may drive the interdependence of state spending policy

budget spillovers and fiscal policy interdependence evidence from the states abstract this paper formalizes and tests the notion that states expenditures depend on the spending of similarly situated states we find that even after allowing for fixed state effects year effects and common random shocks among neighbors a state government s level of per capita expenditure is positively and significantly affected by the expenditure levels of its neighbors ceteris paribus a one dollar increase in a state s neighbors expenditures increases its own expenditure by over 70 cents

the demand for rugby league evidence from causality tests during the last few years there has been an upsurge of interest in the determinants of the demand for professional team sports typically traditional demand estimation techniques are used to examine the determinants of attendance this paper attempts to show that the use of these techniques may be misleading existing studies implicitly or explicitly assume a direction of causality econometric estimation techniques are then applied to examine this direction of causality however no account is taken of possible spurious regression and time series properties of the data are not fully explored these omissions may have led to faulty policy recommendations in attempting to rectify traditional approaches this study will examine the time series properties of rugby league attendence and success prior to engaging in estimation

assistance to the poor in a federal system abstract this paper explores the roles of different levels of government in assisting the poor using a model incorporating utility interdependence the paper first presents some theoretical results indicating how levels of poor relief vary with the extent of mobility of the poor under both centralized and decentralized systems of support it then provides a survey of the empirical work on migration of the poor along with a brief historical discussion of the experience under the english poor laws the concluding section turns to normative issues and contends that mobility of the poor is a basic source of inefficiency in wholly decentralized systems of support this inefficiency along with certain other equity considerations establishes a role for the central government in assistance to the poor

our fans in the north the demand for british rugby league this paper reports the results of estimating a single equation model of an attendance function for british rugby league over the seasons 1982 83 to 1990 91 the data are panel data covering virtually every team which played in the two division league over the nine year time period diagnostic tests indicate that the appropriate model is a semilog random effects model where the dependent variable is league attendance weighted by population the major results are as follows there are significant positive relationships between league attendance and various measures of team success although the direction of causality is moot team quality as proxied by the two divisions and the economic quality of team location as proxied by the unemployment rate but there is no discernible relationship between league attendance and either success in nonleague trophy competitions or measures of exceptional player quality

a model of welfare competition with evidence from afdc in this paper we test empirically for strategic behavior among the states using the cash support program aid to families with dependent children afdc to motivate the empirical work we adapt wildasin s model of income redistribution 1991 american economic review 81 757 773 to a model of interjurisdictional welfare competition although welfare competition may be generated from different frameworks we choose wildasin s model to illustrate how welfare benefit interdependence is genereated in the context of welfare migration we estimate a representative reaction function for afdc using both cross sections and pooled cross section data after controlling for other determinants of afdc benefit levels and for spatial error autocorrelation we find evidence showing competition 2000 academic press

do local government fiscal spillovers exist evidence from counties municipalities and school districts abstract numerous theories posit that the fiscal decisions of one jurisdiction influence the fiscal decisions of its neighbors the main contribution of this paper is to address empirical difficulties in testing for spillovers using a regression discontinuity design on a newly collected dataset i utilize close elections from this large dataset of local referenda in ohio to isolate the effect of exogenous increases in taxation and spending of one jurisdiction on neighbors fiscal decisions for all jurisdictional types and referenda revenue sources bonds income property and sales tax there is no evidence of spillovers and relatively small effects can be ruled out

local fiscal competition an application to sales taxation with multiple federations abstract local sales tax rates influence the location of retail activity this paper develops a theory and empirical identification strategy for studying sales tax competition with multiple federations as exemplified by multiple counties each containing several cities in addition to strategic interactions with nearby cities and a city s own county city tax rates are influenced by the tax rates of neighboring counties cities react heterogeneously to own county sales tax rates depending on distance to the county border using data on the driving time to county borders and a comprehensive cross section of local sales tax rates i exploit variation in proximity to county borders to identify vertical fiscal competition cities located near county borders react more intensely to their county s tax rate in comparison to towns at the interior an increase in the neighboring county tax rate raises city tax rates in nearby counties

fiscal decentralization and the size of government a european country empirical analysis this article is an original contribution to the understanding of the relationship between fiscal decentralization and government size using a panel data set of the eu 15 countries we analyse the effect of decentralization on aggregate national and subnational government sizes by separating the long run effects of decentralization from its short run dynamics in the long run tax autonomy reduces central expenditure but increases and to a greater extent subnational public expenditure leading to higher aggregate public expenditure we find also that vertical imbalances tend to increase the sizes of subnational national and aggregate governments

using geographic information systems to study interstate competition scholars have proposed two distinct explanations for why policies diffuse across american states 1 policymakers learn by observing the experiences of nearby states and 2 states seek a competitive economic advantage over other states the most common empirical approach for studying interstate influence is modeling an indicator of a state s policy choice as a function of its neighbors policies with each neighbor weighted equally this can appropriately specify one form of learning model but it does not adequately test for interstate competition when a policy diffuses due to competition states responses to other states vary depending on the size and location of specific populations we illustrate with two substantive applications how geographic information systems gis can be used to test for interstate competition we find that lottery adoptions diffuse due to competition rather than to learning but find no evidence of competition in state choices about welfare benefits our empirical approach can also be applied to competition among nations and local jurisdictions

monopoly deregulation in the presence of tullock activities we give the condition for a welfare improving monopoly deregulation when the decision making process cannot be insulated from tullock activities and players are risk neutral

testing for strategic interaction among local governments the case of growth controls this paper helps to fill a gap in the public economics literature by providing empirical evidence on strategic interaction among local governments using the methodology of case et al journal of public economics 52 285 307 1993 the paper focuses on the adoption of growth control measures by cities in california and looks for evidence of policy interdependence in these choices the data are drawn from an elaborate survey of growth control practices in california cities conducted by glickfeld and levine regional growth local reaction lincoln institute of land policy cambridge ma 1992 the survey results are used to compute an index of the stringency of growth controls in each city which serves as the dependent variable for the study

in search of yardstick competition a spatial analysis of italian municipality property tax setting this paper uses italian local government data to test for fiscal interaction arising from yardstick competition to discriminate yardstick competition from competing theories of strategic interaction we account for the incentives and constraints generated by the electoral system in particular for the presence of term limits and the size of the majorities supporting the mayors estimation of a local property tax setting equation uncovers positive spatial auto correlation in local tax rates of jurisdictions where the mayors run for re election in uncertain contests while interaction is absent where either mayors face a term limit or are backed by large majorities

decentralized welfare will there be underprovision abstract this paper develops an asymmetric nash equilibrium model of welfare provision by states when the benefit payment is a local public good and a fixed population of welfare recipients distributes itself between states with logistic migration function the model shows that state size is an important demand shifter across states because it alters the supply elasticity of recipients the model provides estimates of how the degree of benefit under provision varies with this migration elasticity other demand instruments such as taxpayer resources and generosity likewise generate positive correlation between benefits and recipients while supply shifters generate negative correlation between benefits and recipients the model s predictions are closely matched empirically when examining the reduced form impact of these instruments on the pattern of welfare benefits and recipients across states using these impacts to assign the instruments to either supply or demand sides of the model it is possible to estimate the model s structural elasticities these turn out to be high enough so that simulated solutions to the model generate considerable welfare underprovision and thus raise concern about a race to the bottom with decentralized control over afdc

government spending and the distribution of economic growth in the united states total government spending and especially government social spending has increased greatly over the last 50 years what effect this has had on economic growth is a subject of intense debate among politicians policymakers and economists however there has been less attention paid to the distributional effects of government spending even though economic inequality has grown greatly over the last generation and much social spending is at least indirectly intended to reduce inequality the effects of government social spending in the united states on growth in family income at deciles of the income distribution were estimated the results suggested that social spending but not non social spending was likely to increase growth in family income per capita measured over 10 year intervals the largest effects of social spending were for deciles below the median income at no point in the distribution does social spending have a negative effect

competition for migrants in a federation tax or transfer competition this paper provides an analysis of competition for migrants competing in taxes transfers renders migration flows less more elastic with respect to changes in fiscal policy jurisdictions with aligned preferences i e jurisdictions that maximize the interest of the same type of households either mobile or immobile households prefer to reduce the competitive pressure and compete in taxes jurisdictions with distinct preferences on the other hand prefer to expose themselves to more competitive pressure and compete in transfers this paper offers insights into the optimal use and design of transfers and helps interpret existing empirical evidence

is there a race to the bottom in the setting of welfare benefit levels evidence from a policy intervention abstract in this paper we investigate whether local governments react on the welfare benefit levels in neighboring jurisdictions when setting their own benefit levels we solve the simultaneity problem arising from the welfare game by utilizing a policy intervention more specifically we use a centrally geared exogenous placement of a highly welfare prone group refugees among swedish municipalities as an instrument the iv estimates indicate that there exists a race to the bottom and that the effect is economically as well as statistically significant if the neighboring municipalities decrease their welfare benefit level by 100 sek a municipality decreases its benefit level with approximately 41 sek this result is robust to several alternative model specifications

does welfare policy affect residential choices an empirical investigation accounting for policy endogeneity abstract this paper studies how changes in welfare policy affect welfare recipients residential choices although several empirical studies have stressed that welfare policy may affect residential choices of welfare recipients few studies have simultaneously taken into account that residential choices of welfare recipients are also likely to affect welfare policy this paper utilizes a policy reform to address this policy endogeneity the results show that welfare policy exerts a substantial effect on residential choices of welfare recipients

impact of league restructuring on team sport attendances the case of rugby league an econometric analysis of attendances at rugby footbal league matches in england over the period 1966 1990 is presented the major finding is that the move from one to two leagues in 1973 had a substantial impact on attendances teams in the upper league experienced greater attendances ceteris paribuswhilst those in the lower league had reduced attendances

misaligned incentives and the scale of incarceration in the united states abstract the incarceration rate has increased substantially in the united states between the 1980s and the 2000s in this paper i explore an institutional explanation for this growth the fact that costs of incarceration are not fully internalized typically prison is paid for at the state level but county employees such as judges prosecutors or probation officers determine time spent in custody i exploit a natural experiment that shifted the cost burden of juvenile incarceration from state to counties keeping overall costs and responsibilities unchanged this resulted in a stark drop in incarceration and no increase in arrests suggesting an over use of prison when costs are not internalized the large magnitude of the change suggests that misaligned incentives in criminal justice may be a significant contributor to the current levels of incarceration in the united states

incumbent behavior vote seeking tax setting and yardstick competition this paper develops a model of the political economy of tax setting in a multijurisdictional world where voters choices and incumbent behavior are determined simultaneously voters are assumed to make comparisons between jurisdictions to overcome political agency problems this forces incumbents into a yardstick competition in which they care about what other incumbents are doing we provide a theoretical framework and empirical evidence using u s state data from 1960 to 1988 the results are encouraging to the view that vote seeking and tax setting are tied together through the nexus of yardstick competition

decentralized redistribution in a laboratory federation abstract the idea of laboratory federalism provides a strong argument in favor of fiscal decentralization it views autonomous jurisdictions in a federation as laboratories where new policies can be tested at low risk for the entire system if successful these policies will spread out by imitation otherwise they will be discarded studying this idea in a dynamic setting of fiscal competition we show that due to externalities between jurisdictions policies that appear successful and are therefore mimicked do not necessarily enhance welfare and vice versa specifically in the classical framework of decentralized rich to poor income redistribution with labor mobility the long run outcome entails a complete breakdown of redistribution with zero subsidies to the poor everywhere

public spending interactions and local politics empirical evidence from french municipalities this paper aims at testing whether there exist spending interactions between french municipalities by estimating a dynamic panel data model our results suggest that there are some interactions between neighbouring municipalities as regards primary and investment expenditures a positive relationship between municipalities wage bill and un employment rates is likely to stress a rise of temporary employment in those municipalities that suffer from social troubles further the estimation results show that these interdepen dences also exist between cities whose mayors have the same partisan affiliation finally our results confirm the opportunistic behaviour of local governments which increase all categories of public spending in pre electoral periods

location and survival in the national hockey league a model of professional sport franchises is introduced and used to explore the locational and other determi nants of profitability particular attention is paid to the effect of location on attendance market power and long run team quality whe n estimated using data for the national hockey league in 1977 78 the model indicates that location has an effect on each of these and tha t their combined effect on profitability is effective in explaining p rior and subsequent decisions concerning league expansion and franchi se relocation a number of other matters are also addressed includin g league arguments for antitrust exemption and league policies to res trict expansion copyright 1988 by blackwell publishing ltd

games the states don t play welfare benefits and the theory of fiscal federalism fiscal federalism theory predicts that states will behave strategically in welfare programs because voter demand for welfare is sensitive to tax price while the tax price itself changes because of welfare induced migration this paper tests these propositions on afdc in the united states for a panel from 1982 88 using new models for the determination of the recipiency ratio the tax price and composite neighbors the data do not support any substantial tax price elasticity of demand for welfare estimates of migration effects on tax price are found to be sensitive to specification copyright 1995 by mit press

extensive or intensive generosity the price and income effects of federal grants knowing the responsiveness of state spending to federal subsidies along different dimensions allows for the optimal design of joint federal state programs welfare is an important case in point states have the ability to choose both the extent of welfare eligibility and the intensity of benefits provided through the program this paper estimates the sensitivity of state spending to separate federal subsidies for increasing benefits and for increasing recipients because the federal match rate schedule changed several times during the early years that i study i am able to estimate elasticities in a way that is not biased by the endogenous relationship between income spending and federal contributions i find that state behavior is quite sensitive to these federal subsidies and much more sensitive than a simple ols regression would imply a 10 increase in the cost of benefits causes a 3 8 decrease in benefit amounts whereas a 10 increase in the cost of recipients causes a 2 8 decrease in the numb

on going south the economics of survival and relocation of small market nhl franchises in canada this paper considers the issue of team viability and professional franchise relocation a problem common to all major sports leagues in north america specifically using the national hockey league in the 1990s as the analytical vehicle the proposition that the viability of canadian small market franchises smf is in doubt because of a combination of inadequate revenue due to the quality of their locations and escalating salary cost is examined using game by game data for the 1989 90 season revenue costs and profits by team were estimated and it was concluded that canadian smf are indeed an endangered species several alternatives which might rectify the problem are considered revenue sharing salary caps public subsidy but none are as attractive or as realistic as relocating south to us cities the behaviour of smf in the 1990s is consistent with this prognosis

attendance demand and core support evidence from limited overs cricket in this paper we construct and estimate a model for match attendances in english one day limited overs league cricket our dataset separates pay at gate spectators from club members enabling us to distinguish between the attendance decisions of casual spectators and those of the potentially more committed core supporters in addition to providing a more direct analysis of the relatively underdeveloped issue of core support we also investigate variability within the core apart from providing further evidence regarding demand determination in professional team sports we consider some specific policy implications particular to the peculiar sport of cricket

welfare reform and the race to the bottom theory and evidence economists have argued that welfare migration leads to a race to the bottom in the choice of welfare benefits although a system of federal matching grants can remedy this problem the recent welfare reform law replaced the existing matching grant structure with block grants a policy change that appears undesirable to judge whether this critique of welfare reform is justified this paper evaluates the evidence in favor of a race to the bottom after explaining the theoretical effects of welfare migration the paper surveys the empirical evidence on the occurrence of such migration concluding that the evidence is mixed the discussion also considers recent empirical tests for strategic interaction which show that benefit levels in nearby states affect a given state s benefit choice the most plausible source of such interaction is a concern about welfare migration which leads policymakers to look at benefits in neighboring states when making their own choices judging that the evidence appears consistent with the existence of a race to the bottom the paper concludes that the demise of matching grants may be undesirable from a policy perspective