a quantile regression analysis of china s provincial co2 emissions where does the difference lie abstract china is already the largest carbon dioxide emitter in the world this paper adopts provincial panel data from 1990 to 2014 and employs quantile regression model to investigate the influencing factors of china s co 2 emissions the results show that economic growth plays a dominant role in the growth of co 2 emissions due to massive fixed asset investment and export trade the influences of energy intensity on the lower 10th and upper 90th quantile provinces are stronger than those in the 25th 50th quantile provinces because of big differences in r d expenditure and human resources distribution the impact of urbanization increases continuously from the lower 10th quantile provinces to the 10th 25th 25th 50th 50th 75th 75th 90th and upper 90th quantile provinces owing to the differences in r d personnel real estate development and motor vehicle ownership the effect of industrialization on the upper 90th quantile provinces is greater than those on other quantile provinces on account of the differences in the industrial scale and the development of the building industry thus the heterogeneity effects of influencing factors on different quantile provinces should be taken into consideration when discussing the mitigation of co 2 emissions in china

energy consumption gdp nexus heterogeneous panel causality analysis abstract existing studies examining the granger causality relationship between energy consumption and gdp use a panel of countries but implicitly assume that the panels are homogeneous this paper extends the granger causality relationship between energy consumption and gdp by taking into account panel heterogeneity for this purpose we use a large panel of 79 countries for the period 1980 2007 specifically we examine four different causal relationships homogeneous non causality homogeneous causality heterogeneous non causality and heterogeneous causality the results show that roughly seven tenths of the countries exhibit bi directional granger causality two tenths exhibit no granger causality and one tenths exhibit uni directional granger causality

inflation and reputation in many macroeconomic models with rational expectations optimal policy is time inconsistent and therefore announced policy may not be credible this paper models the government s credibility explicitly using kreps and wilson s analysis time consistent optimal government policy emerges as a sequential equilibrium in a repeated game this policy is at least as good as the inconsistent optimal policy and dominates the consistent policy when reputational effects are ignored thus the analysis resolves the problem of specifying a credible optimal policy in such models the results show why attempts to disinflate may lead to recession even with perfectly flexible prices this abstract was borrowed from another version of this item

effects of renewable energy sector development on electricity consumption growth nexus in the european union abstract the aim of this study is to assess the effect of renewable energy sector development on the relationships between electricity consumption and economic growth in the european union countries in the period between 1995 and 2015 a panel vector autoregressive model is used for testing granger causality and estimating impulse response functions the results indicate that the relationships between economic growth and electricity consumption depend on the level of renewable energy sector development the greater the share of the renewable energy sector in the economy is the more noticeable the mutual dependence between the economic growth and renewable electricity consumption is in countries with relatively well developed renewable energy sectors renewable electricity consumption boosts the economy and vice versa in the remaining countries economic growth and electricity consumption are independent empirical findings suggest that policymakers should develop strategies to implement clean energy policy aimed at stimulating the development of the renewable energy sector to support economic growth

credibility debt and unemployment ireland s failed stabilization ireland s disinflation rudiger dornbusch disinflation requires a switch to tough policies if these are fully and immediately reflected in expectations and actual prices there need be little output cost of disinflation this paper analyses the stabilization programme in ireland in the 1980s it may be that ems membership offers a credibility bonus by joining the ems playing by the rules of fixed exchange rates and tying the currency to german price stability a country can achieve a dramatic turnaround in expectations inflation and long interest rates but the evidence shows international disinflation in the 1980s was not limited to ems members the irish example demonstrates a second lesson disinflation and tight money have been accompanied by a serious public debt problem and soaring unemployment unless these problems can be tackled it may become necessary in future to resort once more to inflation and the printing press long interest rates suggest that the bond market does not yet take such fear seriously

on the causal dynamics between emissions nuclear energy renewable energy and economic growth this paper examines the causal relationship between co2 emissions nuclear energy consumption renewable energy consumption and economic growth for a group of 19 developed and developing countries for the period 1984 2007 using a panel error correction model the long run estimates indicate that there is a statistically significant negative association between nuclear energy consumption and emissions but a statistically significant positive relationship between emissions and renewable energy consumption the results from the panel granger causality tests suggest that in the short run nuclear energy consumption plays an important role in reducing co2 emissions whereas renewable energy consumption does not contribute to reductions in emissions this may be due to the lack of adequate storage technology to overcome intermittent supply problems as a result electricity producers have to rely on emission generating energy sources to meet peak load demand

the relationship amongst energy consumption renewable and non renewable and gdp in algeria abstract this study aims to explore economic growth energy consumption nexus in algeria between 1980 and 2012 with cointegration tests we demonstrate the existence of long run link between real gross domestic product real capital and the two categories of energy consumption i e renewable energy per capita and non renewable energy the long run and the short run autoregressive distributed lag ardl estimates indicate that only the non renewable energy sort and capital can contribute to enhancing economic growth whereas renewable energy does not show any significant effect the outcome of causality tests proves a feedback link among non renewable energy consumption and gross domestic product among capital and gross domestic product and among non renewable energy and capital in both short run and long run terms moreover the results reveal a unidirectional link going from renewable energy to economic growth capital and non renewable energy respectively in the long run furthermore the results illustrate the presence of a unidirectional link going from non renewable energy to renewable energy in the short term our outcome suggests that policy makers in algeria should enhance the renewable energy share together with controlling the non renewable one

growth and renewable energy in europe a random effect model with evidence for neutrality hypothesis this is an empirical study on the causal relationship between economic growth and renewable energy for 27 european countries in a multivariate panel framework over the period 1997 2007 using a random effect model and including final energy consumption greenhouse gas emissions and employment as additional independent variables in the model empirical results do not confirm causality between renewable energy consumption and gdp although panel causality tests unfold short run relationships between renewable energy and greenhouse gas emissions and employment the estimated cointegration factor refrains from unity indicating only a weak if any relationship between economic growth and renewable energy consumption in europe suggesting evidence of the neutrality hypothesis which can partly be explained by the uneven and insufficient exploitation of renewable energy sources across europe

ordinary and special regimes of electricity generation in spain how they interact with economic activity abstract the purpose of this paper is to review the literature focused on the energy electricity growth nexus highlighting how the focus has shifted from aggregated energy electricity consumption towards specific energy sources moreover it aims to shed light on the relationships between different energy electricity sources and economic growth empirically the paper focuses on the analysis of interactions between electricity generation in spain under both the special regime sr and the ordinary regime or and their relationship with economic activity data for spain is studied for a time span from january 2003 to january 2016 the toda yamamoto causality test is carried out to check for causality relationships additionally both short and long run effects are assessed by using the ardl bounds test approach overall the results reveal high internal consistency when comparing the ardl results with the causality analysis the substitution effect was detected between or and sr however the negative effect of the sr on economic activity deserves special attention by energy policymakers this paper argues that the main challenge of renewable sources for policymakers is their cost effectiveness

public sector layoffs credibility and the dynamics of inflation in a simple macromodel abstract the impact of public sector layoffs is analyzed in a simple perfect foresight model that incorporates the main elements of the conflict between adjustment and the pursuit of long run efficiency permanent layoffs are normally welfare improving even when they give rise to a lengthy phase of high unemployment the transitional problems are much more acute however when doubts exist about the permanency of the layoffs self fulfilling failure is frequently an equilibrium when it is known that a return of inflation to its previous level will provoke the government to reverse the reform moreover reform may be most difficult to sustain precisely when it promises the greatest benefits

renewable energy consumption and income in emerging economies abstract increased economic growth and demand for energy in emerging economies is creating an opportunity for these countries to increase their usage of renewable energy this paper presents and estimates two empirical models of renewable energy consumption and income for a panel of emerging economies panel cointegration estimates show that increases in real per capita income have a positive and statistically significant impact on per capita renewable energy consumption in the long term a 1 increase in real income per capita increases the consumption of renewable energy per capita in emerging economies by approximately 3 5 long term renewable energy per capita consumption price elasticity estimates are approximately equal to 0 70

economic growth fossil fuel and non fossil consumption a pooled mean group analysis using proxies for capital this study employs a pooled mean group estimator to examine the nexus between economic growth and fossil and non fossil fuel consumption for 53 countries between 1990 and 2012 the global sample was divided into four categories developed exporters developed importers developing exporters and developing importers the purpose of these categories was to observe whether factors unique to these countries influence the relationship between energy consumption and economic growth with the exception of developing importers evidence of bi directional causality between fossil fuel consumption and real gdp across all subsamples is observed this leads to the conclusion that efforts to directly conserve fossil fuels may harm economic growth in terms of non fossil fuel use the results are more diverse bi directional causality between non fossil fuel use and real gdp is found in the long and short run for developed importers bi directional causality only in the long run for developed exporters negative long run causality from real gdp to non fossil fuels for developing exporters and long run causality from non fossil fuel use to real gdp for developing importers these results lead to the conclusion that other factors have been responsible for the progress seen in non fossil fuel use thus it is concluded that economic growth on its own is insufficient to promote clean energy development there is a need for policy makers to create an environment conducive to renewable energy investment

renewable and non renewable energy consumption growth nexus evidence from a panel error correction model abstract unlike previous renewable energy consumption growth studies this study examines the relationship between renewable and non renewable energy consumption and economic growth for 80 countries within a multivariate panel framework over the period 1990 2007 the pedroni 1999 2004 heterogeneous panel cointegration test show a long run equilibrium relationship between real gdp renewable energy consumption non renewable energy consumption real gross fixed capital formation and the labor force with the respective coefficient estimates positive and statistically significant there is little difference in the elasticity estimates with respect to renewable and non renewable energy consumption the results from the panel error correction model reveal bidirectional causality between renewable and non renewable energy consumption and economic growth in both the short and long run also there is bidirectional short run causality between renewable and non renewable energy consumption indicative of substitutability between the two energy sources

extending the sectoral coverage of an international emission trading scheme in a model inspired by the eu emissions trading scheme non cooperative countries allocate their emissions to internationally trading and non trading sectors each country is better off with trading than without and aggregate welfare is maximized with all sectors in the trading scheme we analyze the effects of extending the sectoral coverage of the trading scheme in a two country model with quadratic abatement costs if only the original trading sector is asymmetric between countries the welfare change is always positive and the same in both countries if the original and additional trading sectors are asymmetric one country might lose but there is an aggregate welfare gain if the original trading sector and the non trading sector are asymmetric both countries always gain

the dynamics of optimal gradual stabilizations inflation inertia may be quite tenacious because of the simultaneous interaction between policy actions and inflationary expectations under imperfect credibility this result is particularly relevant for understanding some of the failed efforts to stabilize inflation in south america this article deals with the issue of inertia in the framework of imperfect information about the type of the policymaker and extends the existing models to an infinite horizon because policymakers do not have perfect control of inflation a frivolous stabilizer may deviate from the policies of a serious stabilizer without necessarily being unmasked immediately when the difference in the ability of strong and weak policymakers to control inflation is large unexpected inflation may be persistently negative for quite a while thus causing reduced economic activity and giving the indication that credibility is low if the policymaker persists with the stabilization this pattern gradually disappears as his reputation rises but before this final stage the serious policymaker has to compromise his inflation objective in view of adverse expectation about this type and pay the cost of imperfect credibility

welfare ranking of environmental policies in the presence of capital mobility and cross border pollution we construct a model of two regions with cross border pollution and with inter regional regional capital mobility rcm or international international capital mobility icm capital mobility each region uses emission taxes or intra regionally or inter regionally tradable emission permits to reduce pollution we show that the non cooperative settings of all three instruments are always inefficient relative to their cooperative settings when regions are symmetric then i with rcm the non cooperative setting of intra regionally tradable emissions permits is welfare superior to that of the other two instruments ii with icm the non cooperative settings of intra regionally tradable emission permits and of emission taxes are equivalent and superior to that of inter regionally tradable emission permits and iii with icm the three instruments are equivalent only when cross border pollution is perfect

relationships between oil price shocks and stock market an empirical analysis from china this paper investigates the interactive relationships between oil price shocks and chinese stock market using multivariate vector auto regression oil price shocks do not show statistically significant impact on the real stock returns of most chinese stock market indices except for manufacturing index and some oil companies some important oil price shocks depress oil company stock prices increase in oil volatility may increase the speculations in mining index and petrochemicals index which raise their stock returns both the world oil price shocks and china oil price shocks can explain much more than interest rates for manufacturing index

learning rational expectations in a policy game abstract rational expectations is a maintained assumption in the analysis of economic policy here we examine how two types of learning rational expectations rational and econometric affect the time profile of optimal policy in both cases the government adopts policies which delay convergence to rational expectations there is also a reduction in the inflationary bias in one case permanently in the other temporarily the results also show that reputation effects will be explained by models of learning

fiscal adjustment financial liberalization and the dynamics of inflation some evidence from zambia the liberalization of foreign exchange and domestic asset markets imposes fiscal costs on governments which are net purchasers of foreign currency from the private sector and net borrowers from the financial system fiscal costs increase if liberalization also induces the private sector to reduce domestic money balances in favor of foreign currency and domestic interest bearing assets the substitution out of domestic money reduces seigniorage revenue accruing to government and unless offsetting fiscal adjustment can be made will often lead to accelerating inflation this paper presents a model of inflation and financial liberalization applied to recent stabilization experiences in zambia to illustrate the fiscal and inflationary consequences of financial liberalization implemented prior to the achievement of fiscal balance

structural uncertainty and subsidy removal for economies in transition abstract economies in transition are faced with a high degree of structural uncertainty i e uncertainty about which it is possible to learn through experience we study structural uncertainty s effects on a subsidy removal program subsidy removal causes unemployment but yields fiscal benefits and facilitates private sector growth when the policymaker does not know the speed with which the private sector absorbs the unemployed he will be driven toward a more decisive and therefore more informative policy the model also rationalizes policy reversals and implies that irreversibility constraints and political instability dampen the learning effect making policy more gradualist

renewable energy consumption economic growth and human development index in pakistan evidence form simultaneous equation model abstract the major consumption of energy around the globe is related to human activities however it may be essential to quantify how renewable energy consumption influence process of human development this particular area of research still needs to be explored thus this paper explores the relationship between renewable energy consumption economic growth and human development index for 1990 2014 in pakistan by using two stage least square 2sls method empirical results reveal that renewable energy consumption does not improve the situation of the human development process in pakistan more interestingly higher the income of the country the lower is level of human development in addition the co2 emission is helpful to improve human development index furthermore trade openness discourages human development process in pakistan furthermore causality analysis confirms feedback hypothesis between environmental factor and human development process in the long run path these novel findings would help policymaker and government officials to better understand the role of renewable energy and economic growth in the human development process in pakistan

inflation variability and gradualist monetary policy this paper considers the optimal approach to reducing inflation when the cost of inflation is its conditional variability inflation is stochastically related to money growth with unobservable time varying autonomous and induced components a sharp reduction in money growth provides information about the responsiveness of inflation to money but also induces variability as the economy heads into unknown territory gradual policy is always optimal and the model explains why moderate inflation countries adopt a much more gradual money growth reduction than high inflation countries additionally the analysis sheds light on the more general problem of learning with two unobservable parameters

inflationary rigidities and orthodox stabilization policies lessons from latin america orthodox stabilization programs in latin american countries have been notoriously unsuccessful in combating inflation despite the imposition of stringent cuts in government deficits in most cases inflation came down only slowly and temporarily with concomitant declines in growth and employment the bolivian program one of the only latin american successes is contrasted with those of argentina brazil chile and mexico the problems of dealing with chronic inflation are compared with those of hyperinflationary countries and the influence of price and wage rigidities expectations and credibility is explored the study shows that fiscal restraint is a necessary but not sufficient condition for success and that sound management of nominal variables the exchange rate and money supply are also necessary the critical role of credibility is linked with price and wage rigidities in the chronic inflation countries whereas the unsuitability of hyperinflation is seen to increase the credibility of and thus the potential for successful stabilization programs

energy consumption and gdp causality a three step analysis for emerging european countries abstract the established european targets should play a leading role in the complex economic process of energy consumption and the emerging countries have to consider their implications for adjusting the energy policies at national level this paper develops investigations on the causality relationship between energy consumption and gdp in the context of emerging european countries covering the period 1980 2013 this research covers the limits identified by previous researchers by detailing the energy consumption by sources and by referring to five emerging countries in europe unlike most of the previous studies it has a double approach long and short run bidirectional relationships a detailed analysis on the impact of economic growth on the energy consumption by country is conducted in order to contribute to the enrichment of the research field towards this objective a three step analysis is performed stationarity cointegration and causality tests are considered the empirical study shows mixed results there is a balance in confirming conservation growth and neutrality hypotheses in some specific cases results imply that energy consumption and economic growth are jointly determined however a comparative analysis for different significance levels draws attention on the differences in judgment of results for this type of studies discussions on the results in terms of causality are conducted in order to identify future trends for research

does diversity matter a fresh inquiry into the energy economy and environment nexus the article extends the literature on the nexus among economy environment and energy by incorporating an index of electricity generation diversity in production and emission functions the index i

optimal accommodation by strong policymakers under incomplete information abstract this paper examines the optimal behavior of a policymaker who is able to precommit labelled strong when the public entertains the possibility that he is either strong or weak unable to precommit the main result is that in the presence of doubts about their type it is optimal even for strong policymakers to partially accommodate inflationary expectations this contrasts with vickers 1986 who finds that when strength is conceived in terms of the relative concern for employment the strong policymaker inflates less under incomplete than under full information the paper also provides a theory of endogenous announcements

the impact of economic globalization on renewable energy in the oecd countries abstract this paper analyzes the determinants of renewable energy consumption in the panel data of 30 oecd countries for the period from 1970 to 2015 the unique role is given to the effect of economic globalization on renewable energy we consider several measures of economic globalization and apply different econometric techniques we find the positive impact of the per capita income the per capita carbon dioxide emissions and the real price of oil on renewable energy also a higher level of economic globalization promotes renewable energy and the evidence is robust to the different measures of economic globalization in line with our findings promoting the economic aspects of globalization will enhance renewable energy thus it can suppress the adverse effect of climate change and global warming on living human beings and natural habitats in the long run therefore we need to enhance our knowledge of how globalization promotes renewable energy not only for the oecd countries but also for other developing and developed economies from a policy perspective we suggest that policymakers and governments in oced countries should consider economic globalization as a renewable energy promoting mechanism while designing their energy demand policy for the protection of natural environmental health

renewable energy consumption co2 emissions and oil prices in the g7 countries abstract economic and societal issues related to energy security and global warming is placing greater emphasis on the consumption of renewable energy this paper presents and estimates an empirical model of renewable energy consumption for the g7 countries panel cointegration estimates show that in the long term increases in real gdp per capita and co2 per capita are found to be major drivers behind per capita renewable energy consumption these results are robust across two different panel cointegration estimators oil price increases have a smaller although negative impact on renewable energy consumption deviations from equilibrium are driven mostly by the error correction term as opposed to short term shocks short term deviations from the long term equilibrium take anywhere from between 1 3 years france and 7 3 years japan to correct

oil prices nuclear energy consumption and economic growth new evidence using a heterogeneous panel analysis abstract this paper applies panel data analysis to examine the short run dynamics and long run equilibrium relationships among nuclear energy consumption oil prices oil consumption and economic growth for developed countries covering the period 1971 2006 the panel cointegration results show that in the long run oil prices have a positive impact on nuclear energy consumption suggesting the existence of the substitution relationship between nuclear energy and oil the long run elasticity of nuclear energy with respect to real income is approximately 0 89 and real income has a greater impact on nuclear energy than do oil prices in the long run furthermore the panel causality results find evidence of unidirectional causality running from oil prices and economic growth to nuclear energy consumption in the long run while there is no causality between nuclear energy consumption and economic growth in the short run

determinants of renewable energy development in the eu countries a 20 year perspective abstract the objective of the paper is to identify factors which determine energy policy in the eu countries in the middle of 1990s this objective is achieved in three stages first the changes in the distribution of res in 26 eu countries in the period between 1995 and 2014 are investigated the analysis demonstrates that over the last 20 years the eu countries diversify the res they use which results in substantial changes in their distribution second the distribution of energy sources in 1995 is described as it is assumed that the distribution might be a crucial factor influencing energy policy in each country third several other factors related to energy security environmental concerns economy and politics are considered as potential determinants of renewable energy development two statistical methods of variable selection namely the best subset regression and the lars method reveal that the present in 2014 share of res in the energy mix significantly depends on the condition of the eu countries in the middle of 1990s the distribution of energy sources in 1995 is the crucial determinant of renewable energy development countries without their own fossil fuel sources are the ones which develop renewable energy to the greatest extent other important factors boosting re development include gdp per capita concentration of energy supply swi and the costs of consumption of energy obtained from fossil fuels in relation to gdp

on the credibility of alternative exchange rate regimes abstract most anti inflation plans have used a nominal exchange rate anchor even though many other variables can serve this role the conventional wisdom is that an exchange rate anchor imposes more macroeconomic discipline than other anchors though theory does not yet provide any clear reason why this is so we explain the link between an exchange rate anchor and discipline with a model that assumes that the public can monitor the nominal exchange rate more easily that it can the other variables in our model a barro gordon game of incomplete information with imperfect monitoring we show that serious stabilizers prefer more visible anchors such as the nominal exchange rate we also show that in some circumstances serious stabilizers will choose to fix the exchange rate even when fixed exchange rates have some costs such as diminished capabilities to respond to external shocks

market power and transferable property rights the appeal of using markets as a means of allocating scarce resources stems in large part from the assumption that a market will approximate the competitive ideal when competition is not a foregone conclusion the question naturally arises as to how a firm might manipulate the market to its own advantage this paper analyzes the issue of market power in the context of markets for transferable property rights first a model is developed that explains how a single firm with market power might exercise its influence this is followed by an examination of the model in the context of a particular policy problem the control of particulate sulfates in the los angeles region

renewable energy consumption and economic growth evidence from a panel of oecd countries abstract this study examines the relationship between renewable energy consumption and economic growth for a panel of twenty oecd countries over the period 1985 2005 within a multivariate framework given the relatively short span of the time series data a panel cointegration and error correction model is employed to infer the causal relationship the heterogeneous panel cointegration test reveals a long run equilibrium relationship between real gdp renewable energy consumption real gross fixed capital formation and the labor force with the respective coefficients positive and statistically significant the granger causality results indicate bidirectional causality between renewable energy consumption and economic growth in both the short and long run

the role of renewable energy consumption in economic growth evidence from asymmetric causality abstract this paper investigates the causality among economic growth renewable energy consumption capital and labor for new eu member countries for the period of 1990 2009 by using asymmetric causality test approach and autoregressive distributed lag ardl approach the empirical results support that renewable energy consumption has positive impacts on economic growth for all investigated countries but only for bulgaria estonia poland and slovenia there is statistically significant impact on economic growth has found and also supports neutrality hypothesis for cyprus estonia hungary poland and slovenia while the conservation hypothesis is present for czech republic the fact that there is a causal relationship from economic growth to renewable energy consumption and the growth hypothesis is supported for bulgaria referring to causality from energy consumption to economic growth

high real interest rates in the aftermath of disinflation is it a lack of credibility abstract high real interest rates have been observed in many countries for several months after the adoption of disinflation programs while they may reflect primarily a liquidity crunch high ex post real interest rates can also be explained in terms of an ex post error in inflation expectations that reflects a lack of credibility of the low inflation policy the latter hypothesis is tested using data for argentina israel and mexico during the implementation of the stabilization programs in the mid 1980s

strategic behavior private information and decentralization in the european union emissions trading system in the european union emissions trading system the supply of carbon permits is determined in a decentralized manner by member states alternatively the supply could be determined by an eu central authority we analyze whether decentralization leads to lower total abatement costs under various assumptions about the behavior of member states and the privacy of information about their abatement costs if member states do not behave strategically then decentralization is preferred regardless of whether abatement costs are private information if the member states behave strategically then decentralization may or may not be preferred depending on the degree of uncertainty about abatement cost parameters the variation in emission endowments and the number of member states

what explains the success or failure of structural adjustment programs in the 1980s development assistance shifted largely from financing investments such as roads and dams to promoting policy reform this change came because of a growing awareness that developing countries were held back more by poor policies than by a lack of finance for investment after nearly 20 years experience with policy based or conditional lending there have now been many studies of adjustment lending most of which take a case study approach many conclude that policy based lending works if countries have decided on their own to reform the authors examine a database of 220 world bank supported reform programs to identify why adjustment programs succeed or fail they find that a few political economy variables can successfully predict the outcome of an adjustment loan 75 percent of the time variables under the world bank s control resources devoted to preparation and supervision or number of conditions have no relationship with an adjustment program s success or failure what development agencies must do then is select promising candidates for adjustment support when the candidates is a poor selection devoting more administrative resources or imposing more conditions will not increase the likelihood of successful reform to improve its success rate with adjustment lending the world bank must become more selective and do a better job of understanding which environments are promising for reform and which are not that is likely to lead to fewer adjustment loans unless there is a significant change in the number of promising reformers to become more effective at supporting policy reform the agency must be willing to accept that this may lead to smaller volumes of lending

the relationship between disaggregate energy consumption and industrial production in the united states an ardl approach abstract we re examine the relationship between disaggregate energy consumption and industrial output as well as employment in the united states using the autoregressive distributed lag ardl approach developed by pesaran and pesaran pesaran m h pesaran b 1997 working with microfit 4 0 camfit data ltd cambridge and pesaran shin and smith pesaran m h shin y smith r j 2001 bounds testing approaches to the analysis of level relationships journal of applied econometrics 16 289 326 in particular we focus attention on the following energy consumption variables coal fossil fuels conventional hydroelectric power solar energy wind energy natural gas wood and waste the sample period covers 2001 1 2005 6 our results imply that real output and employment are long run forcing variables for nearly all measures of disaggregate energy consumption

nuclear energy consumption oil prices and economic growth evidence from highly industrialized countries this study utilizes the johansen cointegration technique the granger non causality test of toda and yamamoto 1995 the generalized impulse response function and the generalized forecast error variance decomposition to examine the dynamic interrelationship among nuclear energy consumption real oil price oil consumption and real income in six highly industrialized countries for the period 1965 2008 our empirical results indicate that the relationships between nuclear energy consumption and oil are as substitutes in the u s and canada while they are complementary in france japan and the u k second the long run income elasticity of nuclear energy is larger than one indicating that nuclear energy is a luxury good third the results of the granger causality test find evidence of unidirectional causality running from real income to nuclear energy consumption in japan a bidirectional relationship appears in canada germany and the u k while no causality exists in france and the u s we also find evidence of causality running from real oil price to nuclear energy consumption except for the u s and causality running from oil consumption to nuclear energy consumption in canada japan and the u k suggesting that changes in price and consumption of oil influence nuclear energy consumption finally the results observe transitory initial impacts of innovations in real income and oil consumption on nuclear energy consumption in the long run the impact of real oil price is relatively larger compared with that of real income on nuclear energy consumption in canada germany japan and the u s

regional differences in the dynamic linkage between co2 emissions sectoral output and economic growth environmental degradation measured by co2 emissions is a significant challenge to sustainable economic development owing to significant differences in the empirical relationship between the economic growth and co2 emissions and policies adopted by different countries to overcome the challenge are not decisive this study aims to generalize our knowledge about the relationship between co2 emissions per capita and economic growth across the world for 1980 2009 periods besides it explores whether the transformation of different economies e g agrarian to industrial and industrial to sophisticated service economy over the past few decades yielded any significant positive impact towards sustainable economic development by reducing the level of co2 emission empirical results suggest that i except for high income countries environmental kuznets curve ekc is a general phenomenon across the world and ii the transformation of different economies towards a service economy has produced more pollution in high income countries and less pollution in low and middle income countries

renewable energy consumption and growth in eurasia this study examines the causal relationship between renewable energy consumption and economic growth for 13 countries within eurasia over the period 1992 2007 within a multivariate panel data framework the heterogeneous panel cointegration test reveals a long run equilibrium relationship exists between real gdp renewable energy consumption real gross fixed capital formation and labor force the results from the error correction models indicate bidirectional causality between renewable energy consumption and economic growth in both the short run and long run thus the empirical findings lend support for the feedback hypothesis of the interdependent relationship between renewable energy consumption and economic growth

public sector price increases credibility and welfare abstract this paper examines the dynamics of inflation and unemployment when the government increases public sector prices and wage indexation prevents the labor market from clearing in the short run credible reforms are virtually certain to be immediately deflationary and welfare improving even when the labor market clears very slowly temporary price increases however usually produce higher inflation after a short period of time and often reduce welfare when higher inflation provokes the government to reverse the reform there exist multiple self fulfilling equilibria

a literature survey on energy growth nexus abstract this paper provides a survey of the recent progress in the literature of energy consumption economic growth and electricity consumption economic growth causality nexus the survey highlights that most empirical studies focus on either testing the role of energy electricity in stimulating economic growth or examining the direction of causality between these two variables although the positive role of energy on growth has become a stylized fact there are some methodological reservations about the results from these empirical studies a general observation from these studies is that the literature produced conflicting results and there is no consensus neither on the existence nor on the direction of causality between energy consumption electricity consumption and economic growth as a policy implication to avoid from conflicting and unreliable results the authors may use the autoregressive distributed lags bounds test two regime threshold co integration models panel data approach and multivariate models including new variables such as real gross fixed capital formation labor force carbon dioxide emissions population exchange rates interest rates etc thus the authors should focus more on the new approaches and perspectives rather than by employing usual methods based on a set of common variables for different countries and different intervals of time

the causal relationship between renewable electricity generation and gdp growth a study of energy sources abstract this paper examines the causal relationship between economic growth and electricity generation from renewable sources biomass geothermal hydroelectric solar waste and wind across 20 oecd countries over 1990 to 2008 the results from a commonly used panel error correction model find a a bidirectional relationship between aggregate renewable generation and real gdp b biomass hydroelectricity waste and wind energy exhibit a positive long run relationship with gdp c hydroelectricity and waste generation exhibit a short run positive bidirectional relationship with gdp growth and d biomass hydroelectric and waste electricity generation have the largest impact on real gdp in the long run we extend the analysis to consider the possibility of structural breaks and cross sectional dependence accounting for cross sectional dependence we find that in the short run increases in biomass and waste generation negatively affect gdp while aggregate renewable and hydroelectricity increase gdp energy conservation policies will positively impact gdp if the policies cause decreases in biomass or waste energy but increase hydroelectricity and wind energy