does microfinance reduce rural poverty evidence based on household panel data from northern ethiopia evidence on the long term impacts of microfinance credit is scarce we use a unique four round panel dataset on farm households in northern ethiopia that had access to microfinance observed on two key poverty indicators household consumption and housing improvements fixed effects and random trend models are used to reduce potential selection biases due to time invariant unobserved heterogeneity and individual trends therein results show that borrowing indeed causally increased consumption and housing improvements a flexible specification that takes into account repeated borrowings also suggests that borrowing has cumulative long term effects on these outcomes implying that short term impact estimates may underestimate credit effects

a nonparametric cost approach to scale efficiency starting with farrell fieldhouse 1962 a host of notiparametric models have been developed for calculation of scale efficiency a common property of these models is that they are specified in terms of input output data duality theory has taught us that technological characteristics may be analyzed from either the primal or the dual cost side the purpose of this paper is to introduce a nonparametric dual method of calculating scale efficiency

price indexes inequality and the measurement of world poverty i discuss the measurement of world poverty and inequality with particular attention to the role of purchasing power parity ppp price indexes from the international comparison project global inequality increased with the latest revision of the icp and this reduced the global poverty line relative to the us dollar the recent large increase of nearly half a billion poor people came from an inappropriate updating of the global poverty line not from the icp revisions even so ppp comparisons between widely different countries rest on weak theoretical and empirical foundations i argue for wider use of self reports from international monitoring surveys and for a global poverty line that is truly denominated in us dollars

why are informal loans still a big deal evidence from north east thailand abstractthis article examines the use and benefit of informal loans for different income groups of rural households in north east thailand using a difference in differences estimation approach which is later complemented by propensity score matching the article shows that different household groups profit from informal loans in different ways poor households increase their asset endowment and in particular farming assets whereas rich households food consumption rises especially if households borrow due to a shock by showing that informal loans serve different households for different purposes this article provides an explanation why they still play an important role

does microcredit increase household welfare in the absence of microinsurance summary this study answers the question does a combination of microcredit and microinsurance improve the wellbeing of low income households we examine this challenge through heckman sample selection instrumental variable and treatment effect models the findings indicate that households using microcredit in combination with microinsurance derive significant gains in terms of welfare improvement microcredit may be good but its benefit to the poor is enhanced and sustained if the poverty trapping risks are covered with microinsurance to this extent combining microcredit with microinsurance will empower the poor to make a sustainable exit from poverty

rich and powerful subjective power and welfare in russia abstract does empowerment come hand in hand with higher economic welfare in theory higher income is likely to raise both power and welfare but heterogeneity in other characteristics can either strengthen or weaken the relationship survey data on russian adults indicate that higher individual and household incomes raise both self rated power and economic welfare the individual income effect is primarily direct rather than through higher household income there are diminishing returns to income though income inequality emerges as only a minor factor reducing either aggregate power or welfare at given income the identified covariates have strikingly similar effects on power and economic welfare

microfinance literature a sustainability level perspective survey abstract since the early microcredit programs up to the present microfinance has grown exponentially as it has the academic interest on it as a research subject considering that this sector has impact in terms of sustainability any research in the field requires an analysis with wide criteria which should include the economic environmental social and governance dimensions eesg as well as their interrelationships the objectives of this survey are to investigate the contributions of microfinance sectoral scholarly research to sustainability through a systematic literature review using content analysis method contextualizing the scientific production and studying its terminology according to the eesg criteria and under global reporting initiative framework and finally to identify research gaps and to propose future research paths

hearing the voices of the poor assigning poverty lines on the basis of local perceptions of poverty a quantitative analysis of qualitative data from participatory wealth ranking in rural south africa summary we applied a mixed methods approach to participatory wealth ranking pwr to identify the number of poor households in eight villages of rural south africa and describe how poor they are we generated a household wealth index on the basis of the ranking process and statements made on standard of living descriptions from pwr identified households as very poor poor but a bit better off or doing ok of 9 671 households 3 113 32 2 could be considered very poor or poor the paper presents a novel approach to wealth ranking that generates a rich appraisal of poverty

where is the plus in credit plus the case of chiapas mexico abstractit has become common to try and increase the effectiveness of microfinance programmes by adding supplementary services to the financial product however the added value accruing from this credit plus approach has been little analysed we hypothesise that the extent of added value from credit plus depends on the ability of the credit supplier to cultivate trust or social capital amongst clients applying difference in difference estimation we exploit a natural experiment of two credit plus programmes in mexico the findings suggest that credit plus is not universally effective but that it is at its most effective especially with low income groups where bonding within group social capital exists

does microfinance reduce poverty in bangladesh new evidence from household panel data abstract the study examines whether loans from microfinance institutions mfi reduce poverty in bangladesh drawing upon the nationally representative household panel with four rounds from 1997 to 2004 the effects of general microfinance loans and loans for productive purposes on income food consumption and women s body mass index are estimated overall effects of mfi loans on income and food consumption were positive and the purpose of the loan is important in predicting which household welfare indicator is improved alternative estimation methods confirm a positive impact of mfi loans on food consumption growth which supports the poverty reducing effects of microfinance in bangladesh

estimating consumption deprivation in india using survey data a state level rural urban analysis before and during reform period this paper assesses deprivation in india employing a measure proposed by sitaramam and using consumption data at the household level as cereals constitute a staple food and form a major portion of expenditure on food the deprivation measure considered here is deprivation in cereal consumption the total expenditure at which the engel curve for cereals turns from concave to convex is taken as the cut off to determine the deprived households it is shown that cereal deprivation at the all india level exhibits a declining trend over the period 1987 88 and 1999 2000 in the rural sector while there is little change in the urban sector further this decline in cereal deprivation seems to have been slowing down during the reform period the estimates of deprivation are poorly correlated with the hci and pgi at state level both in rural and urban sectors they however have better temporal correlations with those poverty measures we offer some explanation for these observed differences in alternate deprivation indices the trends in cereal deprivation are accompanied in some cases by a decline in real terms in maximum cereal consumption of each group of consumers whether this is an improvement or otherwise of the living standards of the poor must await further analysis of per capita food consumption in general with an analysis of prices and quantities of various food items it is hoped that this kind of study on deprivation of essential commodities may increase our understanding of poverty and even suggest direct intervention strategies

the role of subsidies in microfinance evidence from the grameen bank the grameen bank of bangladesh has been in the vanguard of the microfinance movement showing the potential to alleviate poverty by providing credit to poor house holds part of this success has been built on subsidies in 1996 for example total subsidies evaluated at the economic opportunity cost of capital amounted to about us 26 30 million the evidence helps to explain why institutions like grameen have not just sprung up on their own as private commercial ventures and it underscores the value of openly addressing the costs and benefits of subsidization the paper also describes recent difficulties in maintaining high repayment rates q 1999 elsevier science b v all rights reserved

the impact of group lending in northeast thailand abstract much of the literature on group lending focuses on its high repayment rates rather than its goal of promoting borrower welfare most studies that attempt to measure the impact of group lending neglect the issues of self selection and endogenous program placement thus leading to biased estimates of impact one reason for this neglect is the lack of data that would allow for identification of impact this paper surmounts these problems by using data from a quasi experiment conducted in northeast thailand in 1995 1996 program participants were identified in six control villages 1 year prior to receiving loans surveys were then conducted of these control members treatment members in eight older program villages and nonmembers in both types of village this survey design allows for straightforward estimation of impact the results indicate that program loans are having little impact although naive estimates of impact that fail to account for self selection and endogenous program placement significantly overestimate impact

the economic consequences of extending the use of fair value accounting in regulatory capital calculations a discussion abstract when the federal reserve following basel iii proposed removing the accumulated other comprehensive income aoci filter that shields regulatory capital from unrealized gains and losses on available for sale afs debt securities it triggered fierce opposition the topic is at the heart of the debate about the role of fair value accounting for financial stability chircop and novotny farkas 2016 investigate banks stock price reaction and investment behavior around news events up to the announcement of the final decision i focus on the question of whether their evidence is sufficiently strong to convince either side in the debate

microfinance and poverty evidence using panel data from bangladesh micro finance supports mainly informal activities that often have low market demand it may be thus hypothesized that the aggregate poverty impact of micro finance in an economy with low economic growth is modest or nonexistent the observed borrower level poverty impact is then a result of income redistribution or short run income generation the author addresses these questions using household level panel data from bangladesh the findings confirm that micro finance benefits the poorest and has sustained impact in reducing poverty among program participants it also has positive spillover impact reducing poverty at the village level but the effect is more pronounced in reducing extreme rather than moderate poverty

who benefits the interactional determinants of microfinance s varied effects abstractsince its emergence as a development tool scholars and practitioners have questioned microfinance s short and long term impacts but have had insufficient empirical evidence to assess them to address this gap this paper draws on mixed method research to assess the effects of microfinance loan and educational services over time it explores why even within the same microfinance institution mfi some borrowers benefit from microfinance services more than others in the short term and examines how this translates into long term impacts the article identifies understudied sources of intra group variation the diversity and choices of borrowers and mfi employees interacting with each other and their broader contexts

robustness of subjective welfare analysis in a poor developing country madagascar 2001 the authors analyze the subjective perceptions of poverty in madagascar in 2001 and their relationship to objective poverty indicators they base their analysis on survey responses to a series of subjective perception questions the authors extend the existing empirical methodology for estimating subjective poverty lines on the basis of categorical consumption adequacy questions based on this methodology they calculate the household specific subjective poverty lines and compare the poverty profiles derived from different subjective welfare questions the results show that the aggregate poverty measures derived from consumption adequacy questions accord quite well with the poverty measures based on objective poverty lines the subjective welfare analysis can be used in poor developing countries for evaluating socioeconomic and distributional impacts of various policy interventions

collective action initiatives to improve marketing performance lessons from farmer groups in tanzania this study aims to examine the extent to which certain characteristics and asset endowments of smallholder farmer groups facilitate collective action initiatives to improve group marketing performance this is approached through an evaluation of a government led programme in tanzania which is attempting to increase smallholder farmers incomes and food security through a market oriented intervention findings suggest that more mature groups with strong internal institutions functioning group activities and a good asset base of natural capital are more likely to improve their market situation gender composition of groups also affects group marketing performance as an enabling factor for male dominated groups structural social capital in the form of membership in other groups and ties to external service providers and cognitive social capital in the form of intra group trust and altruistic behaviour are not significant factors in a group s ability to improve its market situation

measuring poverty using qualitative perceptions of consumption adequacy we show that subjective poverty lines can be derived using simple qualitative assessments of perceived consumption adequacy based on a household survey we implement the method using survey data for jamaica and nepal respondents were asked whether their consumptions of food housing and clothing were adequate for their family s needs the implied poverty lines are robust to alternative methods of dealing with other components of expenditure the aggregate poverty rates accord quite closely with those based on independent objective poverty lines however there are notable differences in the geographic and demographic poverty profiles

microfinance and poverty a macro perspective we test the hypothesis that microfinance reduces poverty at the macro level using cross country and panel data which are constructed by the microfinance information exchange data on microfinance institutions mfis and the world bank data taking account of the endogeneity associated with mfis loans we show that a country with higher mfis gross loan portfolio per capita tends to have lower levels of poverty indices contrary to recent micro evidence our results suggest that microfinance significantly reduces poverty at macro level and thus reinforce the case for channeling funds from development finance institutions and governments of developing countries into mfis

microfinance and poverty in bolivia both in its institutional range and in its penetration of financial markets the microfinance sector in bolivia rivals any in the world and has played a major part in extracting the macro economy from meltdown since the mid 1980s we seek specifically to assess its impact on poverty and do this through small sample surveys on four microfinance institutions two urban and two rural using a range of poverty concepts income generated both through the borrower s enterprise and through the labour market asset holdings and diversity and various measures of vulnerability all the institutions studied had on balance positive impacts on income and asset levels with income impacts correlating negatively with income on account of poor households choosing to invest in low risk low return assets microfinance may however augment vulnerability average debt service ratios of microfinance clients are disturbingly high and if the coping mechanisms used by borrowers fail borrowers may be forced out of the

weakly relative poverty prevailing measures of relative poverty are unchanged when all incomes grow or contract by the same proportion this property stems from seemingly implausible assumptions about the disutility of relative deprivation and the cost of social inclusion the authors propose weakly relative lines that relax these assumptions on calibrating our measures to national poverty lines and survey data we find that half the population of the developing world in 2005 lived in poverty only half of whom were absolutely poor the total number of poor rose over 1981 to 2005 despite falling numbers of absolutely poor with sustained economic growth the incidence of relative poverty became less responsive to further growth the number of relatively poor rose just as the numbers of absolutely poor fell

impact of financial inclusion in low and middle income countries a systematic review of reviews financial inclusion programmes seek to increase access to financial services such as credit savings insurance and money transfers despite a wealth of systematic review evidence the impacts of financial inclusion are inconclusive hence the first systematic review of systematic reviews was undertaken to synthesize the impacts of financial inclusion interventions on economic social gender and behavioural outcomes thirty two systematic reviews were identified the headline finding is that impacts are more likely to be positive than negative but the effects vary and appear not to be transformative in scope or scale as they largely occur in the early stages of the causal chain the effects of financial services on core economic and social poverty indicators are small and inconsistent there is no evidence for meaningful behaviour change outcomes the effects on women s empowerment appear generally positive but they depend upon programme features that are often peripheral to the financial service and cultural and geographical context accessing savings opportunities has small but more consistently positive effects for poor people and bears fewer downside risks for clients than credit the inconsistent quality of the primary evidence base that formed the basis of their syntheses raises concerns about the reliability of the overall findings

poverty time and vagueness integrating the core poverty and chronic poverty frameworks in recent decades there have been considerable steps forward in terms of understanding poverty this paper identifies three meta dimensions of poverty which relate to i depth and severity ii breadth and multidimensionality and iii time and duration the advances that have been made in terms of conceptualising measuring and analysing poverty in each of these areas are briefly considered it is shown that the third and final meta dimension time and duration has been neglected until relatively recently it is argued that time and in particular duration is an important analytical component for understanding the experience of poverty and the processes that create and reduce poverty the final part of the paper suggests a way of integrating time into a unified framework for understanding poverty which can deal with the depth breadth and duration of poverty this involves extending mozaffar qizilbash s poverty and vagueness methodology to include duration

does self help group participation lead to asset creation summary we evaluate the effect of self help group participation on a long term impact parameter namely asset creation indian self help groups shgs are unique in that they are mainly ngo formed microfinance groups but later funded by commercial banks the results reveal that longer membership in shgs positively impacts asset creation robust to various asset specifications with longer participation in shgs members move away from pure agriculture as an income source toward other sources such as livestock income training by ngos positively impacts asset creation but the type of shg linkage per se has no effect

socioeconomic stratification by wealth ranking is it valid abstract this paper validates a rapid rural appraisal wealth ranking technique using standard socioeconomic indicators from a household survey in rural bangladesh key informants stratified 1 637 households into three wealth groups according to a number of broad criteria and a questionnaire was subsequently administered to each household health demographic and economic variables derived from the questionnaire were found to differ significantly according to wealth group analysis supports the construct validity and empirical validity of the wealth ranking technique as a means of stratifying households by socioeconomic status the requirements for external validity as assessed through the comparison of findings with similar studies elsewhere in south asia are also satisfied

microfinance its impact outreach and sustainability summary this symposium brings together recent empirical contributions with respect to a number of related and highly relevant issues on the economics of microfinance in particular the contributions provide answers to the following two main questions 1 does microfinance have an impact on the social and economic situation of the poor in developing nations and 2 are microfinance institutions sustainable in the long term and is there a trade off between sustainability and outreach

poverty and household size the widely held view that larger families tend to be poorer in developing countries has influenced research and policy the scope for size economies in consumption cautions against this view we find that the correlation between poverty and size vanishes in pakistan when the size elasticity of the cost of living is about 0 6 this turns out to be the elasticity implied by a modified version of the food share method of setting scales by contrast some measures of child nutritional status indicate an elasticity of unity consideration of the weight attached to child versus adult welfare may help resolve the non robustness of demographic profiles of poverty excerpt

the price and utility dependence of equivalence scales evidence from indonesia the purpose of this research is to estimate equivalence scales and evaluate their price and utility dependencies to do this we unify two strands of the empirical literature on this topic one that relies on demand data and one that relies on subjective evaluations of wellbeing this way we are able to employ the strengths of both kinds of information equivalence scales are not identified from demand data alone this is because changes in demographics could affect wellbeing directly i e in ways that are not revealed by changes in behavior the demand based literature rules out such effects a priori and restricts parameters that measure them in this paper we do not rely on such restrictions and instead use subjective evaluations of wellbeing as an additional source of information because demand data are highly informative about some of the other parameters of the model its use increases efficiency this becomes critical once we specify complex preference structures that allow for the equivalence scale s dependence on price and utility our model nests the typical models used in the subjective and the demand literature and we are able to test down both kinds we find evidence for direct utility effects this rejects the validity of some of the restrictions applied by the demand literature within the indonesian context we estimate equivalence scales that are of reasonable magnitude and decrease in utility we also find that the scales increase in the food to nonfood price ratio for poor households whereas we do not find price dependence for more affluent households

the impact of short term credit on microenterprises evidence from the fincomun bimbo program in mexico abstract the lack of credit is often mentioned as one of the major constraints facing small businesses we use differences in the phasing in of a new lending program designed to serve clients of the largest snack food company in mexico to identify the impact of credit on outcomes of small retail enterprise in mexico city we find that the loans have positive impacts on the smallest firms but negative impacts on larger firms these results are consistent with hypotheses that smaller firms have higher returns to capital and face greater credit constraints given that the program involved loans given for 4 month terms we find surprisingly large effects on investment in fixed assets

the importance of sample attrition in life cycle labor supply estimation we examine the importance of possible nonrandom attrition to an econometric model of life cycle labor supply using both a wald test comparing attriters to nonattriters and variable addition tests based on formal models of attrition estimates using the panel study of income dynamics show that nonrandom attrition is of little concern when estimating prime age male labor supply because the effect of attrition is absorbed into fixed effects in labor supply the wage measure and instrument set have much larger effects on the estimated labor supply function of prime age men than how one adjusts for panel attrition

impact of microcredit on borrowers expenditures a fuzzy regression discontinuity design approach abstractthis article uses the data from 69 villages in bangladesh to estimate the effect of participation in microcredit programmes on household expenditures a regression discontinuity design rdd is used to identify the credit effect our results show heterogeneous treatment effect on different types of expenditures we show that access to credit reduces per capita expenditure on durable goods such as kitchen equipment furniture repair and maintenance of house and increases the expenditure on per school going child we also show insignificant impact of access to credit on non durable goods and health care recreation and gifts interestingly our results indicate a positive impact of microcredit on village level expenditures

does 25 cents more per day make a difference the impact of livestock transfer and development in rural zambia abstract analyses of the impacts of asset transfer programs often find statistically significant effects on consumption expenditures that are large in percentage terms but small in absolute value this study explores the practical significance of such impacts using the case of a livestock transfer program among impoverished households in zambia as in other studies results show that the asset transfers increased household consumption expenditure and dietary diversity extending previous work this paper examines whether the increase in expenditures has been large enough to trigger changes in consumption patterns or in subjective assessment of poverty status changes in composition of expenditures composition of diet and subjective self assessment of poverty all suggest a growing sense of security and a practically significant change in welfare for treated households as transfers included three different types of animals dairy cows meat goats and draft cattle we are able to discern that the specific nature of the asset transferred influences food security impacts examination of change in the composition of consumption shows substantial effects on poverty and food security starting within six months of livestock transfers persistence of the impact through the next 18 months of our study period indicates that livestock transfers can have a sustained effect on poverty and food security

identifying the poor in developing countries do different definitions matter abstract this paper compares several commonly used definitions of poverty household survey data from cote d ivoire are examined to see whether different definitions choose the same people as poor we find that they often do not choose the same people even though we a priori set all the definitions so that 30 of the population is classified as poor this implies that different definitions of poverty may lead to different policy recommendations which suggests that more attention should be given to the choice of a particular definition of poverty when analyzing the effects of economic policies on the poor

loan loss provisioning rules procyclicality and financial volatility interactions between loan loss provisioning regimes and business cycle fluctuations are studied in a dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model with credit market imperfections with a specific provisioning system provisions are triggered by past due payments with a dynamic system both past due payments and expected losses over the whole business cycle are accounted for and provisions are smoothed over the cycle numerical experiments with a parameterized version of the model show that a dynamic provisioning regime can be highly effective in mitigating procyclicality of the financial system the results also indicate that the combination of a credit gap augmented taylor rule and a dynamic provisioning system with full smoothing may be the most effective way to mitigate real and financial volatility associated with financial shocks

high noon for microfinance impact evaluations re investigating the evidence from bangladesh recently microfinance has come under increasing criticism raising questions of the validity of iconic studies which have justified it such as pitt and khandker chemin applied propensity score matching to the pitt and khandker data finding different impacts but does not disaggregate by gender of borrower we first replicate chemin and extend his analysis in two ways we test the robustness of propensity score matching results to selection on unobservables using sensitivity analysis and we investigate propensity score matching estimates of impacts by gender of borrowers the mainly insignificant impacts of microfinance differ greatly by gender of borrower but are all vulnerable to selection on unobservables we are therefore not convinced that the relationships between microfinance and outcomes are causal with these data

revealed community equivalence scales abstract this paper estimates the equivalence scale revealed by discretionary community allocations of welfare benefits to poor households i apply the proposed approach to a subsidized rice program in indonesia in which villages designated program beneficiaries and estimate the equivalence scale implicit in the beneficiaries they selected i find that the revealed community equivalence scale for this program lies much closer to per capita expenditure than traditional demand based equivalence scales particularly in the poorest communities this suggests that per capita expenditure may be closer to how poor communities actually compare households when allocating aid than previously thought

self rated economic welfare in russia abstract most of those russian adults who feel that they are poor are not classified as such in the poverty statistics and most of those who are classified as poor don t feel that way we study the determinants of peoples perceptions of their economic welfare in an unusually rich socioeconomic survey while income is a highly significant predictor subjective economic welfare is influenced by many other factors including health education employment assets relative income in the area of residence and expectations about future welfare insights are obtained into how objective data should be weighted in assessing economic welfare

microenterprise credit programs deja vu abstract microenterprises in low income countries are the target of an increasing number of credit programs these efforts resemble earlier problematic attempts to assist operators of small farms with credit similarities discussed include target group definition assumptions policies and project justifications authors go on to list a dozen lessons from the experience with small farmer credit that might apply to microenterprise credit efforts authors then conclude that debt is not an effective tool for helping most poor people to enchance their economic conditions be they operators of small farms or microenterprises

estimation and empirical properties of a firm year measure of accounting conservatism we estimate a firm year measure of accounting conservatism examine its empirical properties as a metric and illustrate applications by testing new hypotheses that shed further light on the nature and effects of conservatism the results are consistent with the measure c score capturing variation in conservatism and also predicting asymmetric earnings timeliness at horizons of up to 3 years ahead cross sectional hypothesis tests suggest firms with longer investment cycles higher idiosyncratic uncertainty and higher information asymmetry have higher accounting conservatism event studies suggest increased conservatism is a response to increases in information asymmetry and idiosyncratic uncertainty

microfinance and household poverty reduction new evidence from india the objective of the present study is to examine whether household access to microfinance reduces poverty using national household data from india treatment effects model is employed to estimate the poverty reducing effects of micro finance institutions mfis loans for productive purposes such as investment in agriculture or non farm businesses on household poverty levels these models take into account the endogenous binary treatment effects and sample selection bias associated with access to mfis despite some limitations such as those arising from potential unobservable important determinants of access to mfis significant positive effect of mfi productive loans on multidimensional welfare indicator has been confirmed the significance of treatment effects coefficients has been verified by both tobit and propensity score matching psm models in addition we found that loans for productive purposes were more important for poverty reduction in rural than in urban areas however in urban areas simple access to mfis has larger average poverty reducing effects than the access to loans from mfis for productive purposes this leads to exploring service delivery opportunities that provide an additional avenue to monitor the usage of loans to enhance the outreach

remittances and financial inclusion evidence from el salvador this paper investigates the impact of remittances on financial inclusion this is an important issue given recent studies showing that financial inclusion can have significant beneficial effects on households using household level survey data for el salvador the authors examine the impact of remittances on households use of savings and credit instruments from formal financial institutions they find that although remittances have a positive impact on financial inclusion by promoting the use of deposit accounts they do not have a significant and robust effect on the demand for and use of credit from formal institutions if anything by relaxing credit constraints remittances might reduce the need for external financing from financial institutions while at the same time increasing the demand for savings instruments

evaluating the econometric evaluations of training programs with experimental data this paper takes the results of an employment and training program thatwas run as a field experiment in which the participants were randomlyassigned into a treatment or a control group and compares these results to the estimates that might have been produced by an econometrician who evaluated the program using the same econometric procedures that have been used in the program evaluation literature this comparison shows that many of these econometric procedures fail toreplicate the experimentally determined results and suggests that researchers should be aware of the potential for specification errorsin other nonexperimental evaluations copyright 1986 by american economic association

the mystery of the vanishing benefits an introduction to impact evaluation this article provides an introduction to the concepts and methods of impact evaluation the author provides an intuitive explanation in the context of a concrete application the article takes the form of a short story about a fictional character s on the job training in evaluation ms speedy analyst is an economist in the ministry of finance in the fictional country of labas in the process of figuring out how to evaluate a human resource program targeted to the poor ms analyst learns the strengths and weaknesses of the main methods of ex post impact evaluation

frustrated freedom the effects of agency and wealth on wellbeing in rural mozambique in sen s capability view of poverty wellbeing is threatened by both deficits of wealth and deficits of individual agency sen further predicts that unfreedom or low levels of agency will suppress the wellbeing effects of higher levels of wealth the current paper extends sen s view to include a condition labeled frustrated freedom in which relatively higher levels of agency can heighten the poverty effects of relatively low levels of material wealth applying data from a large scale population study of female heads of household in rural mozambique the paper empirically tests sen s view and the proposed extension as predicted agency is found to moderate the relationship between agency wealth and wellbeing uncovering evidence of both unfreedom and frustrated freedom in the population further research into the complex dynamics of wellbeing and poverty are called for by the authors

microfinance and child mortality microfinance institutions mfis offer targeted opportunities for the poor to generate additional income with a range of financial services including credit insurance savings accounts and money t

financial inclusion gender dimension and economic impact on poor households summary we examine the question in the context of gender dimension what is the evidence of the impact of the financial inclusion programs on poor households represented by women relative to that represented by men by constructing a good counterfactual and comparison group we employ the difference in difference estimator approach with panel least squares and generalized methods of moments using standard errors for a robust analysis we notice that income growth cagr net of inflation effect was 8 40 for women as against 3 97 for men indicating that the gender of participating poor undoubtedly affects the outcomes of these programs

earnings management behaviors under different monitoring mechanisms the case of islamic and conventional banks abstract we investigate the impact of organizational religiosity on the earnings quality of listed banks in the middle east and north africa region we analyze islamic banking institutions which operate within strict religious norms and extended accountability constraints and compare them with their conventional counterparts during 2008 2013 we find that islamic banks are less likely to manage earnings and that they adopt more conservative accounting policies based on these findings we argue that religious norms and moral accountability constraints in these organizations have a significant impact on financial reporting quality and agency costs which have implications for both regulators and market participants

do delays in expected loss recognition affect banks willingness to lend abstract banks can decrease their future capital inadequacy concerns by reducing lending the capital crunch theory predicts that lending is particularly sensitive to regulatory capital constraints during recessions when regulatory capital declines and external financing frictions increase regulators and policy makers argue that the current loan loss provisioning rules magnify this pro cyclicality exploiting variation in the delay in expected loss recognition under the current incurred loss model we find that reductions in lending during recessionary relative to expansionary periods are lower for banks that delay less we also find that smaller delays reduce the recessionary capital crunch effect these results hold across management quality partitions

health and consumption preferences estimating the health state dependence of utility using equivalence scales abstract this paper estimates health state dependence of utility in europe for identification we introduce a new method using insights from the research domain of living standards we estimate how much extra or less income is needed to maintain the same level of material wellbeing after a health shock and we derive a simple relation between this estimate and the health state dependence parameter the results show positive health state dependence this is not driven by medical expenditures and is robust across alternative specifications and health measures interestingly for cognitive limitations we find negative health state dependence presumably resulting from a decreased ability to plan

how robust is a poverty profile comparison of poverty such as when poverty is greatest typically matter far more for policy choices than do aggregate measures of poverty such as how many people are deemed poor the authors examine alternative methods for constructing poverty profiles focusing on their internal consistency and appropriateness for guiding policy none is perfect but some methods appear to be preferable to others when the aim is to inform policies for fighting absolute consumption poverty a case study on indonesia reveals that the country s regional and sectoral poverty profile is highly sensitive to some aspects of measurement but quite robust to others

medium and long term participation in microcredit an evaluation using a new panel dataset from bangladesh the objective of this paper is to estimate the impacts of medium and long term participation in microcredit programs it utilises a new and large panel dataset collected from treatment and control households from 1997 to 2005 the data enables us to identify continuing participants in the program as well as newcomers and leavers we employ different estimation strategies including triple difference and propensity score matching methods to control for selection bias the impact estimates indicate that the benefits from microcredit vary more than proportionately with the duration of participation in a program larger benefits are realized from longer term participation and that the benefits continue to accrue beyond departure from the program the findings indicate the need to observe longer periods of participation to provide a reliable basis for assessing the effectiveness of microcredit lending

coping with flood role of institutions in bangladesh the article examines the coping strategies that rural households adopted during the 1998 flood in bangladesh and assesses its impact on household welfare including coping and vulnerability both vulnerability and poverty have in general declined in bangladesh yet 60 of rural households adopted a coping of one type or another and about half of rural households were both vulnerable as well as found to adopt any coping mechanism during the 1998 flood household level panel data analysis confirms that the flood reduced both consumption and asset and forced many households to adopt some coping mechanisms to mitigate the adverse effects of flood consequently natural disaster such as flooding increases households vulnerability to poverty however post flood bumper crop production and operation of targeted programs such as microfinance helped compensate the losses of flood

a nonparametric approach to expenditure constrained profit maximization a nonparametric approach to expenditure constrained profit maximization is developed a deterministic frontier profit function is constructed with and without expenditure constraints foregone profit is used as dual evidence for the existence of expenditure constraints individual evaluations on performance and expenditure constraints are produced empirical analysis is based on survey data for california rice farms seventeen of the eighty two surveyed farms experience profit loss as a result of expenditure constraints

assessing the welfare effects of microfinance in vietnam empirical results from a quasi experimental survey this article analyses the effects of ngo microfinance programmes on household welfare in vietnam data on 470 households across 25 villages were collected using a quasi experimental survey approach to overcome any self selection bias the sample was designed so that member households of microfinance programmes were compared with non member households with similar characteristics the analysis shows no significant effects of participation in ngo microfinance on household welfare proxied by income and consumption per adult equivalent

income and employment effects of micro credit programmes village level evidence from bangladesh micro credit programmes having made their mark in providing credit and other development services to the poor in a non traditional way are able to make significant changes in a rural economy this article attempts to quantify the village level impacts of the three most important micro credit programmes of bangladesh namely grameen bank bangladesh rural advancement committee brac and bangladesh rural development board s brdb rd 12 project descriptive and econometric analyses show that these programmes have positive impacts on income production and employment particularly in the rural non farm sector also growth in self employment has been achieved at the expense of wage employment which implies an increase in rural wages the article emphasises that an upward shift in the labour demand curve is required for both improved productivity and wage gains on a sustainable basis which can only be supported through a structural transformation of the rural economy

traditional wealth modern goods and demographic behavior in rural senegal summary the study investigates the relationships of demographic indicators fertility mortality marriage education with modern and traditional wealth in rural senegal data were based on rural households interviewed in the 2011 dhs survey an absolute wealth index was computed from a list of 15 modern goods a traditional wealth index was computed from data on land and livestock per capita modern wealth was always associated with modern demographic behavior lower fertility lower mortality higher age at marriage higher level of education whereas traditional wealth was not associated with fertility and mortality and was negatively associated with marriage and education

effects of microcredit and other loans on female empowerment in bangladesh the borrower s gender influences intra household resource allocation this article examines microcredit s effectiveness in empowering women borrowers in rural bangladesh it does so by examining how gender specific borrowing activities influence household expenditures which are either specifically of interest to men or women and by examining the effects of all loans rather than only those provided by microcredit organizations the article uses a quasi experimental design to identify the effects of borrowing by men and women by using an original combination of panel data and instrumental variables on subsamples of the surveyed population it finds that the borrower s gender affects how households allocate their resources to different expenditure items and assets that are valued differently by men and women in all the findings suggest that providing greater credit access to women may improve their household bargaining positions

alternative evidence and views on asymmetric loan loss provisioning abstract based on a linear provision charge off association and v shaped scatterplots of these variables against nonperforming loan changes basu et al 2020 argue that nonperforming loan changes mis measure credit quality and linear provision models are mis specified they conclude that residual asymmetry controlling for charge offs results from loan heterogeneity and the real estate crisis using additions to nonaccruals to measure credit quality we find a linear association with provisions that controlling for charge offs induces misspecification and no evidence of provision asymmetry these results highlight the importance of basing hypotheses and causal models on theoretical underpinnings rather than on plots subject to known fallacies

does microfinance reduce income inequality this study addresses the question whether participation of the poor in microfinance contributes to reducing a country s level of income inequality using data from 70 developing countries we show that higher levels of microfinance participation are indeed associated with a reduction of the income gap between rich and poor people we also show however that the effects of microfinance on reducing income inequality are relatively small the results of this study add to the discussion on the impact of microfinance on poverty by showing that although access to microfinance does seem to improve the relative income position of the poor this improvement is modest which is probably because the use of microfinance is generally small as compared to the size of the economy of the countries in our sample microfinance should therefore not be seen as a panacea for bringing down income inequality in a significant way

the impact of group based credit programs on poor households in bangladesh does the gender of participants matter this paper estimates the impact of participation by gender in the grameen bank and two other group based micro credit programs in bangladesh on labor supply schooling household expenditure and assets the empirical method uses a quasi experimental survey design to correct for the bias from unobserved individual and village level heterogeneity we find that program credit has a larger effect on the behavior of poor households in bangladesh when women are the program participants for example annual household consumption expenditure increases 18 taka for every 100 additional taka borrowed by women from these credit programs compared with 11 taka for men

dollar a day revisited the article presents the first major update of the international 1 a day poverty line proposed in world development report 1990 poverty for measuring absolute poverty by the standards of the world s poorest countries in a new and more representative data set of national poverty lines a marked economic gradient emerges only when consumption per person is above about 2 00 a day at 2005 purchasing power parity below this the average poverty line is 1 25 which is proposed as the new international poverty line the article tests the robustness of this line to alternative estimation methods and explains how it differs from the old 1 a day line

the relation of farm size and government programme benefits an application of data envelopment analysis to policy evaluation data envelopment analysis is used to establish comparisions of maximum profit without and with participation in government progarammes a measure of a farm s ability to survive returns on equity is used to measure the benefit received from participation in government programmes density functions are estimated with kernel density estimation using bootstrap samples and weighted regressions are used to test density estimation using bootstrap samples and weighted regressions are used to test the equality of mean benefits between different size groups the results indicate that almost all farms that could be considered of commercial size receive the same benefit from participation in government programmes

do microfinance institutions benefit from integrating financial and nonfinancial services this article examines the impact of microfinance plus i e coordinated combination of financial and nonfinancial services on the performance of microfinance institutions mfis using a global data set of mfis in 77 countries we find that the provision of nonfinancial services does not harm nor improve mfis financial sustainability and efficiency the results however suggest that the provision of social services is associated with improved loan quality and greater depth of outreach

external support during the transition phase roles for humanitarian aid and development assistance from a village perspective summary development orthodoxy based on macroeconomic theory stresses the importance of physical and human capital accumulation as necessary elements for economic growth growing concern among development practitioners that textbook economic theory and results from formal questionnaires may not converge with the perceptions of the recipients of aid however has lead to an increase in the use of participatory appraisals and related approaches to explore resettled villagers perceptions of aid and its role in reducing poverty the research followed two techniques described in the literature on participatory rural appraisal a a wealth ranking exercise to examine villagers concepts of poverty and the determinants of growth and b semi structured group discussions to explore villagers thoughts on the role of aid what is reassuring from this exercise is the convergence between villagers perceptions of poverty and the role of aid with the implications of the economics literature and the results from administration of a formal household questionnaire

ten years of q squared implications for understanding and explaining poverty summary over the past decade there have been a number of initiatives to promote a more systematic integration of quantitative and qualitative or q squared approaches to poverty analysis in the global south and a large body of literature had emerged the objective of the article is to present a selective review of this empirical work with a view to demonstrate the value it has added for understanding and explaining poverty the evidence strongly suggests that q squared approaches have aided our understanding of the characteristics of the poor and the causes of poverty

geographic poverty traps a micro model of consumption growth in rural china how important are neighbourhood endowments of physical and human capital in explaining diverging fortunes over time for otherwise identical households in a developing rural economy to answer this question we develop an estimable micro model of consumption growth allowing for constraints on factor mobility and externalities whereby geographic capital can influence the productivity of a household s own capital our statistical test has considerable power in detecting geographic effects given that we control for latent heterogeneity in measured consumption growth rates at the micro level we find robust evidence of geographic poverty traps in farm household panel data from post reform rural china our results strengthen the equity and efficiency case for public investment in lagging poor areas in this setting copyright 2002 john wiley sons ltd

measuring microfinance assessing the conflict between practitioners and researchers with evidence from nepal summary what accounts for the discrepancy between microfinance impact claims of development practitioners and the far smaller impacts found in experimental studies we demonstrate in a simple theoretical framework why before and after observations of practitioners overstate microfinance impacts and why estimations in some recent randomized trials understate the average treatment effect on the treated att our empirical study uses a unique data set from eastern nepal to study the impact of microfinance in villages where microfinance did not previously exist we find that approximately three fourths of the apparent impact of microfinance observed by practitioners is an illusion driven by correlated unobservable factors

demystifying nonparticipation in microcredit a population based analysis abstract given the current popularity of microcredit schemes as a means of poverty alleviation their accessibility to the poorest is of obvious concern this paper examines a targeted microcredit program in bangladesh to assess its coverage among the poor and to identify program and client related barriers impeding participation a population survey of over 24 000 households reveals that although three quarters are eligible for microcredit less than one quarter participate rates of participation in microcredit are higher among poorer households multivariate analysis identifies lack of female education small household size and landlessness as risk factors for nonparticipation based on a 7 random sample of this population the implications of these findings for poverty alleviation policies and programs are discussed

microlending in emerging economies building a new line of inquiry from the ground up the world s poor may be the last great frontier in international business international microlenders are increasingly tapping into this emerging opportunity by extending small business loans to millions of borrowers however to date there is very limited understanding of this domain from an international business perspective using qualitative case studies developed in guatemala and the dominican republic we probe the causes and consequences of high performance and business failure for microloan recipients the analysis of these cases led to the development of six testable propositions focused on the behavior of borrowers whose loans populate the portfolios of international microlenders our research aims to lay a foundation in international business for future research on microlending

rethinking the effects of microcredit on household welfare in cambodia abstractthis article analyses the effects of microcredit on household welfare in terms of household expenditure per capita in cambodia with data from the cambodia socio economic survey carried out in 2014 the analysis describes the effects via formal and informal lending sectors accounting for endogenous selection bias arising from unobserved factors and for structural differences between borrowers and non borrowers in terms of expenditure functions the findings suggest that microcredit in both sectors reduces household expenditure

economic impact of a private sector micro financing scheme in south dakota while poverty rates on native american indian reservations are triple the us average small business incubation programs available elsewhere in the us scarcely exist on the native american indian reservations nairs our unique study tests the effects of the lakota fund lf a private sector small business development initiative on the pine ridge reservation in south dakota on the economic development of the nairs our objective is to determine whether the sba like programs loans training and consulting can improve economic conditions the 1980 2006 annual county level shannon co is treatment and todd co is control data are a natural experiment results indicate that the lf inception and duration significantly raised real per capita income rpci suggesting not only the success of the lf but support for the broader notion that privately funded small business initiatives can be used to support economic development of isolated impoverished groups within the us economy

the role of microcredit in older children s nutrition quasi experimental evidence from rural china abstract this article evaluates the causal impact of rural households borrowing through formal microcredit on child nutrition in poor northwest china the analysis exploits the panel data in rural gansu between 2000 and 2004 unobserved differences between borrowers and non borrowers are controlled for in a dynamic fuzzy regression discontinuity design creating a quasi experimental environment for causal inference both anthropometric and micronutrient measures of child nutrition are investigated borrowing formal microcredit improves parent reported health status and weight and alleviates anemia and zinc deficiency all effects nevertheless appear to exist in the short term only

the impact of microcredit on child education quasi experimental evidence from rural china abstractthis article assesses causal effects of formal microcredit on children s educational outcomes by using household panel data 2000 and 2004 in north west rural china the unobservables between borrowers and non borrowers are controlled in static and dynamic regression discontinuity designs the static analysis reveals significant positive impact of microcredit on schooling years in 2000 only and no influence on academic performance for either wave the dynamic analysis shows progressive treatment effects on both longer schooling years and higher average scores formal microcredit improves education in the longer term compared to the short term and hence may help relaxing the grip of educational poverty traps

asymmetric loan loss provision models abstract large net loan charge offs are frequently associated with large decreases in nonperforming loans and large increases in loan loss provisions inducing a v shaped relation between loan loss provisions and nonperforming loan changes failure to model the asymmetry attributable to net loan charge offs can change inferences about the presence of earnings management and the effects of delayed loan loss recognition in prior papers that assumed linearity future researchers should either include net loan charge offs in linear models of loan loss provisions or explicitly model the asymmetry induced by omitting net loan charge offs

does managerial sentiment affect accrual estimates evidence from the banking industry abstract we examine whether managerial sentiment is associated with errors in accrual estimates using public banks we find 1 managerial sentiment is negatively associated with loan loss provision estimates 2 future charge offs per dollar of provision are positively associated with sentiment when the provision is estimated and 3 the effects of sentiment are greater for firms with more uncertain charge offs results are similar for private banks suggesting accrual manipulation related to capital market incentives is unlikely to explain the results although economic fundamentals explain most of the variation in the provision we find sentiment has an incremental and economically meaningful effect