social insurance and occupational mobility this paper studies how insurance from progressive taxation improves the matching of workers to occupations we propose an equilibrium dynamic assignment model to illustrate how social insurance encourages mobility workers experiment to find their best occupational fit in a process filled with uncertainty risk aversion and limited earnings insurance induce workers to remain in unfitting occupations we estimate the model using microdata from the united states and germany higher earnings uncertainty explains the u s higher mobility rate when workers in the united states enjoy germany s higher progressivity mobility rises output and welfare gains are large

the empirical content of the roy model this paper clarifies and extends the classical roy model of self selection and earnings inequality the original roy model based on the assumption that log skills are normally distributed is shown to imply that pursuit of comparative advantage in a free market reduces earnings inequality compared to the earnings distribution that would result if workers were randomly assigned to sectors aggregate log earnings are right skewed even if one sectoral distribution is left skewed most major implications of the log normal roy model survive if differences in skills are log concave however few implications of the model survive if skills are generated from more general distributions we consider the identifiability of the roy model from data on earnings distributions the normal theory version is identifiable without regressors or exclusion restrictions sectoral distributions can be identified knowing only the aggregate earnings distribution for general skill distributions the model is not identified and has no empirical content with sufficient price variation the model can be identified from multimarket data cross sectional variation in regressors can substitute for price variation in restoring empirical content to the roy model

intertemporal labor supply and human capital accumulation we solve and estimate a dynamic model that allows agents to optimally choose their labor hours and consumption and that allows for both human capital accumulation and savings estimation results and simulation exercises indicate that the intertemporal elasticity of substitution is much higher than the conventional estimates and the downward bias comes from the omission of the human capital accumulation effect the human capital accumulation effect renders the life cycle path of the shadow wage relatively flat even though wages increase with age hence a rather flat life cycle labor supply path can be reconciled with a high intertemporal elasticity of substitution

on the dynamics of demand for leisure and the production of health our article develops and estimates a structural model of household health production that jointly determines the demand for leisure and the demand for consumption for elderly males we use a stochastic dynamic programming framework based on the assumption that an individual maximizes lifetime utility subject to budget and time constraints and a health production function by choosing hours of leisure and levels of consumption of health related and health neutral goods and services moreover we use a very comprehensive health index that combines four scales measuring a variety of dimensions in the quality of life the euler equations derived from our model are estimated using data from six biennial panels of the retirement history survey

job matching within and across firms this article proposes a matching model of the labor market in the presence of uncertainty and learning about ability that provides a simple unified framework for analyzing the dynamics of jobs and wages within firms and in the labor market the model allows for different degrees of generality of ability as well as speeds of learning across jobs and firms equilibrium assignments and wages are consistent with a broad range of empirical findings on careers suggest a novel interpretation for well documented patterns and help explain features of careers usually thought difficult to reconcile with the presence of uncertainty and learning

prices vs quantities the effects on technology choice abstract it is well known that price and quantity based regulation approaches provide different investment incentives but usually only the effect on the level of investment is studied in this paper we show that under uncertainty they also lead to the adoption of different technologies due to the disparate risks that a regulated firm is exposed to different regulatory instruments induce different technologies and this effect cannot be compensated by varying the design of the instruments furthermore price based instruments lead to the adoption of a socially suboptimal technology so that the inclusion of technology choice provides a bias in favor of a quantity based regulation compared with weitzman s weitzman m l 1974 prices vs quantities review of economic studies 41 477 491 criterion

comparative advantage learning and sectoral wage determination we develop a model in which a worker s skills determine the worker s current wage and sector the market and the worker are initially uncertain about some of the worker s skills endogenous wage changes and sector mobility occur as labor market participants learn about these unobserved skills we show how the model can be estimated using nonlinear instrumental variables techniques we apply our methodology to study wages and allocation of workers across occupations and industries using individual level panel data from the national longitudinal survey of youth we find that high wage sectors employ high skill workers and offer high returns to workers skills

fees and the efficiency of tradable permit systems an experimental approach the paper presents the results of an economic experiment in which the effects of fees on allocative efficiency of tradable utilization permits e g pollution permits are explored laboratory subjects university students play the roles of firms whose generic product requires a specific input or permits scarcity is exogenously introduced by a fixed supply of tradable production permits three treatments are compared no fee imposed n a fixed tax per permit t and partial retraction of permits and subsequent redistribution by auction a treatments t and a represent two different ways of imposing fees which are designed to be revenue equivalent our results indicate that after controlling for deviation of permit prices from a prediction based on fundamentals fees have an impact on distribution of permits interestingly a fixed tax enhances efficiency compared to the case of no fees while retraction and reallocation by auction tends to reduce efficiency apparently subjects decision making is affected by the imposition of fees but how and to what extent depends on the method used

wage dispersion and decentralization of wage bargaining this article studies how decentralization of wage bargaining from sector to firm level influences wage levels and wage dispersion we use detailed panel data covering a period of decentralization in the danish labor market the decentralization process provides variation in the individual worker s wage setting system that facilitates identification of the effects of decentralization we find a wage premium associated with firm level bargaining relative to sector level bargaining and that the return to skills is higher under the more decentralized wage setting systems using quantile regression we also find that wages are more dispersed under firm level bargaining compared to more centralized wage setting systems

assortative matching with explicit search costs in this paper i analyze a decentralized search and matching economy with transferable utility composed of heterogeneous agents i explore whether becker s assortative matching result generalizes to an economy where agents engage in costly search in an economy with explicit additive search costs complementarities in joint production supermodularity of the joint production function lead to assortative matching this is in contrast to previous literature which had shown that in a search economy with discounting assortative matching may fail even when the joint production function is supermodular

sorting and decentralized price competition we investigate the role of search frictions in markets with price competition and how it leads to sorting of heterogeneous agents there are two aspects of value creation the match value when two agents actually trade and the probability of trading governed by the search technology we show that positive assortative matching obtains when complementarities in the former outweigh complementarities in the latter this happens if and only if the match value function is root supermodular that is its nth root is supermodular where n reflects the elasticity of substitution of the search technology this condition is weaker than the condition required for positive assortative matching in markets with random search

occupations and import competition evidence from denmark i argue that the winners and losers from trade are decided primarily by occupation in addition to fixed adjustment costs workers build up specific human capital over time that is destroyed when they must change occupations i show that ignoring human capital biases estimates of adjustment costs upward by a factor of 3 estimating an occupational choice model of the danish labor market i show that 57 percent of the dispersion in worker outcomes is accounted for by occupations and only 16 percent by sectors finally the model suggests that rising import competition from 1995 2005 reduced lifetime earnings for 5 percent of workers

tax versus emissions trading scheme in the long run in this paper we compare the performance of emission taxes and tradable permits under free market entry when firms face idiosyncratic ex ante cost uncertainty we show that under auctioned permits insufficient entry occurs while under a linear emission tax scheme depending on parameters market entry can be either excessive or insufficient our long run analysis thus contrasts with spulber s 1985 equivalence result and also modifies weitzman s result in favor of an ets in that the superiority of a tax over an ets is not guaranteed even when the weitzman condition favors a tax we also show that an ets is superior to a tax scheme when the entry cost is low and the magnitude of uncertainty asymmetric information and the size of the output market are large

a theory of wage and promotion dynamics inside firms we show that a framework that integrates job assignment human capital acquisition and learning captures several empirical findings concerning wage and promotion dynamics inside firms including the following first real wage decreases are not rare but demotions are second wage increases are serially correlated third promotions are associated with large wage increases fourth wage increases at promotion are small relative to the difference between average wages across levels of the job ladder fifth workers who receive large wage increases early in their stay at one level of the job ladder are promoted quickly to the next

occupational and job mobility in the us we propose a new methodology to measure worker mobility across occupations and jobs in the us building on the limited longitudinal dimension of monthly cps data for the period 1979 2006 we find that about 3 5 of male workers employed in two consecutive months report different three digit occupations this rate is procyclical mildly rising in the 1980s and falling after 1995 we also revise upward current estimates of aggregate job to job mobility since 1994 from 2 7 to 3 2 of employment per month despite extreme similarity of average levels and time series behavior occupational and job mobility are only weakly correlated

a formulation of the earnings function using the concept of occupational investment standard models of income determination specify income to be a function of two variables that measure postschool investment the years of labor market experience and the years of employer tenure this investigation develops a better proxy for general human capital investments by hypothesizing that the intensity of investment varies by occupation and that a proportion of the occupational skills are transferable with occupational change after developing exogenous measures of these features the occupational investment variable is calculated for the young men of the national longitudinal survey empirical work demonstrates that occupational investment is a strong determinant of income far superior to the experience variable

labor supply and taxes a survey i survey the male and female labor supply literatures focusing on implications for effects of wages and taxes for males i describe and contrast results from three basic types of model static models especially those that account for nonlinear taxes life cycle models with savings and life cycle models with both savings and human capital for women more important distinctions are whether models include fixed costs of work and whether they treat demographics like fertility and marriage and human capital as exogenous or endogenous the literature is characterized by considerable controversy over the responsiveness of labor supply to changes in wages and taxes at least for males it is fair to say that most economists believe labor supply elasticities are small but a sizeable minority of studies that i examine obtain large values hence there is no clear consensus on this point in fact a simple average of hicks elasticities across all the studies i examine is 0 30 several simulation studies have shown that such a value is large enough to generate large welfare costs of income taxation for males i conclude that two factors drive many of the differences in results across studies one factor is use of direct vs ratio wage measures with studies that use the former tending to find larger elasticties another factor is the failure of most studies to account for human capital returns to work experience i argue that this may lead to downward bias in elasticity estimates in a model that includes human capital i show how even modest elasticities as conventionally measured can be consistent with large welfare costs of taxation

a theory of career mobility this paper analyzes theoretically and empirically the role and significance of occupational mobility in the labor market focusing on individuals careers it provides additional dimensions to the analysis of investment in human capital wage differences across individuals and the relationships among promotions quits and interfirm occupational mobility it is shown that part of the returns to education is in the form of higher probabilities of occupational upgrading within or across firms given an origin occupation schooling increases the likelihood of occupational upgrading furthermore workers who are not promoted despite a high probability of promotion are more likely to quit

occupational mobility and the distribution of occupational success among young men interpretation of the distribution of occupational success depends crucially on an understanding of the process of mobility if the holders of low paying jobs this year are just as likely as anyone else to hold good jobs next year then the lower tail of the earnings distribution is not a matter of great social concern further if the distribution of success is primarily determined by a random process the prospects for a significant reduction in the inequality of earnings are unfavorable on the other hand high mobility in the short run may conceal systematic stratification of the labor force it may be that the same individuals spend most of their time in the worst jobs if so luck and random events may play a small role in the distribution of well being inequality may be a major issue and the elimination of stratification may hold out the promise of an important reduction in inequality simple tabulation of distributions of success and of mobility among categories of success cannot answer the basic question of the role of stratification in this paper we develop a model and statistical method for studying mobility and relating it to characteristics upon which stratification may be based our study rests on annual interviews conducted from 1966 through 1969 with about 3 000 white males born between 1942 and 1952 1 we find that mobility is closely related to personal characteristics especially intelligence and education men with high iqs and extensive education are more likely to move to high paying jobs and are more likely to remain in them nevertheless random events dominate the distribution of occupational success in the short run our results strongly support the finding of christopher jencks and his collaborators that redistribution of the determinants of earnings would do almost nothing to reduce the observed inequality of annual earnings

learning your comparative advantages we introduce an equilibrium labor market model where workers gradually learn about their unobserved production abilities while engaged in a productive activity occupation workers observe their output and extract information that allows them to make inferences about their unobserved aptitudes because workers are learning about themselves their output informs them not only about their productivity in their current occupation but about their likely productivity in other occupations as well as workers acquire more information they self select into the occupations in which they expect to perform best and their wages increase returns to experience here capture improved job selection by workers as they sort through occupations and learn

on the long run efficiency of auctioned vs free permits abstract when marketable permits affect the entry exit decisions of competitive firms the efficient proportion of auctioned vs free permits depends on the pollutant s nature all permits should be auctioned for global pollutants and some should be free for local pollutants

the extent and cyclicality of career changes evidence for the u k using quarterly data for the u k from 1993 through 2012 we document that the extent of worker reallocation across occupations or industries a career change in the parlance of this paper is high and procyclical this holds true after controlling for workers previous labour market status and for changes in the composition of who gets hired over the business cycle our evidence suggests that a large part of this reallocation reflect excess churning in the labour market we also find that the majority of career changes come with wage increases during the economic expansion wage increases were typically larger for those who change careers than for those who do not during the recession this is not true for career changers who were hired from unemployment our evidence suggests that understanding career changes over the business cycle is important for explaining labour market flows and the cyclicality of wage growth

life cycle labor supply with human capital accumulation a dynamic model of labor supply under uncertainty with endogenous human capital accumulation is developed and estimated using 1968 81 panel study of income dynamics male panel data given a learning by doing technology for human capital investment and a translog utility function structural parameters for preferences and technology are estimated from the orthogonality conditions implied by the euler equations assuming rational expectations the parameter estimates conform to economic theory simulations of the model suggest that the intertemporal labor supply elasticity with endogenous wages will rise over the lifecycle producing different policy implications than typical models with exogenous wages and constant intertemporal elasticities copyright 1989 by economics department of the university of pennsylvania and the osaka university institute of social and economic research association

inter industry mobility and the cyclical upgrading of labor we investigate whether a market clearing model is consistent with industry employment and wage patterns related to the cyclical upgrading of labor we demonstrate that roy s 1951 market clearing

occupational change employer change and the transferability of skills the individual propensity to change occupations has been little analyzed by economists despite its important implications for income growth and market adjustment individual income growth is commonly associated with one form of occupational change that of upward occupational mobility several examples of upward mobility sequences are technician to engineer to manager receptionist to secretary to administrative assistant laborer to operative to craft worker changes in these directions are likely to be accompanied by income growth and conversely downward occupational mobility would decrease income the implicit cause of the income growth associated with upward mobility is the increase in the individual s skills and the return to those skills in other words each of the sequences listed above appears to represent a discontinuous sequence of investments in occupational skills the resulting life cycle profile of investment and income growth is discontinuous and concave similar life cycle profiles would characterize an individual s change of employer or region yet these latter two types of mobility have received much more attention by economists than has occupational change this paper attempts to address this gap by developing a human capital investment model describing the direction and timing of occupational change to place the research described below in perspective one must first ask why there has been so little analysis of occupational change sociologists have long been interested in occupational mobility analyzing it as a means of upward income mobility yet economists have focused on models of occupational choice disregarding occupational change over the life cycle 4 15 these models of occupational choice rely most heavily on the effects of formal schooling thus disregarding the majority of the labor force for whom formal schooling is not a major determinant of either occupational choice or subsequent occupational change two factors may have contributed to the lack of interest in occupational change first the analysis of occupational change has relatively little direct policy relevance as compared to the analysis of labor institutions for example occupational change was last examined in

transaction costs and tradeable permits abstract tradeable permit systems are at the center of current interest and activity in market based reforms of environmental policy because these systems can offer significant advantages over conventional approaches to pollution control unfortunately claims made for their relative cost effectiveness have often been exaggerated transaction costs which may be significant in these markets reduce trading levels and increase abatement costs in some cases equilibrium permit allocations and hence aggregate control costs are sensitive to initial permit distributions providing an efficiency justification for politicians typical focus on initial allocations

the u shapes of occupational mobility using administrative panel data on the entire danish population we document a new set of facts characterizing occupational mobility for most occupations mobility is u shaped and directional not only low but also high wage earners within an occupation have a particularly large probability of leaving their occupation and the low high earners tend to switch to new occupations with lower higher average wages exceptions to this pattern of two sided selection are occupations with steeply rising declining productivity where mainly the lower higher paid workers within this occupation tend to leave the facts conflict with several existing theories that are used to account for endogeneity in occupational choice but it is shown analytically that the patterns are explained consistently within a theory of vertical sorting under absolute advantage that includes learning about workers abilities

learning and life cycle patterns of occupational transitions individuals experience frequent occupational switches during their lifetime and initial worker characteristics are predictive of future patterns of occupational switching we construct a quantitative model of occupational choices with worker learning and occupation specific productivity shocks to match life cycle patterns of occupational transitions and quantify the value of occupational mobility and learning for the average 18 year old worker the value of being able to switch occupations is about 67 months of the maximum wage he or she could earn in the model and the value of a worker learning his or her type is about 32 months of this maximum wage

does unmeasured ability explain inter industry wage differentials this paper provides empirical assessments of the two leading explanations of measured inter industry wage differentials 1 true wage differentials exist across industries and 2 the measured differentials simply reflect unmeasured differences in workers productive abilities first we summarize the existing evidence on the unmeasured ability explanation second we construct a simple model which shows that if matching is important then endogenous job change decisions can create important self selection biases even in first differenced estimates of industry wage differentials third we analyze a sample that approximates the experiment of exogenous job loss we find that i the wage change experienced by a typical industry switcher closely resembles the difference in the relevant industry differentials estimated in a cross section and ii pre displacement industry affiliation plays an important role in post displacement wage determination

emission taxes and tradable permits a comparison of views on long run efficiency we compare three different views on the long runefficiencies of emission taxes which includethresholds inframarginalexemptions and of tradeable emission permitswhere some permits areinitially free the differences are caused bydifferent assumptions aboutwhether thresholds and free permits should besubsidies given only to firmsthat produce or full property rights treatingtax thresholds as well asfree permits as property rights would departfrom the conventional view but would allow greater flexibility in makingeconomic instruments bothefficient and acceptable such flexibilitycould be very important inachieving efficient control of greenhouse gasemissions

occupations and the structure of wage inequality in the united states 1980s to 2000s occupations are central to the stratification systems of industrial countries but they have played little role in empirical attempts to explain the well documented increase in wage inequality that occurred in the united states in the 1980s and 1990s we address this deficiency by assessing occupation level effects on wage inequality using data from the current population survey for 1983 through 2008 we model the mean and variance of wages for each occupation controlling for education and demographic factors at the individual level to test three competing explanations for the increase in wage inequality 1 the growth of between occupation polarization 2 changes in education and labor force composition and 3 residual inequality unaccounted for by occupations and demographic characteristics after correcting for a problem with imputed data that biased kim and sakamoto s 2008 results we find that between occupation changes explain 66 percent of the increase in wage inequality from 1992 to 2008

the effects of health wealth and wages on labour supply and retirement behaviour this paper estimates a life cycle model of labour supply retirement and savings behaviour in which future health status and wages are uncertain individuals face a fixed cost of work and cannot borrow against future labour pension or social security income the method of simulated moments is used to match the life cycle profiles of labour force participation hours worked and assets that are estimated from the data to those that are generated by the model the model establishes that the tax structure of the social security system and pensions are key determinants of the high observed job exit rates at ages 62 and 65 removing the tax wedge embedded in the social security earnings test for individuals aged 65 and older would delay job exit by almost one year by contrast social security benefit levels health and borrowing constraints are less important determinants of job exit at older ages for example reducing social security benefits by 20 would cause workers to delay exit from the labour force by only three months

excess worker reallocation workers face a trade off between macroeconomic and individual incentives to work in different occupations industries namely between search frictions and personal comparative advantages workers endowed with heterogeneous multi dimensional skills search for jobs that require different skill combinations in equilibrium specialized individuals contact few selected types of vacancies where they are likely to be hired those with weak comparative advantages are seldom chosen among competing applicants thus seek any job type in a tight labour market comparative advantages dominate waiting costs offsetting labour mobility across industries occupations excess worker reallocation is lower and matches are more successful consistently with direct and indirect evidence

reallocation patterns across occupations in germany using high quality german administrative data i analyze workers opportunity costs of reallocation across occupations by measuring the additional time spent in unemployment before being hired in a new occupation furthermore i inspect the wage changes after reallocation and find that workers who change occupations through unemployment face wage losses that appear to be persistent over a 5 year horizon

labor supply with job assignment under balanced growth abstract we consider a competitive equilibrium growth model where technological progress is embodied into new jobs which are assigned to workers of different skills in every period workers decide whether to actively participate in the labor market and if so how many hours to work on the job balanced growth requires that the job technology is complementary with the worker s total labor input on the job which is jointly determined by his skill and his working hours since lower skilled workers can supply longer hours we show that the equilibrium features positive assortative matching higher skilled workers are assigned to better jobs only if differences in consumption are small relative to differences in worker skills when the pace of technological progress accelerates wage inequality increases and workers participate less often in the labor market but supply longer hours on the job this mechanism can explain why as male wage inequality has increased in the us labor force participation of male workers of different skills has fallen while their working hours have increased

the effect of income taxation on consumption and labor supply we estimate the incentive effects of income taxation in a life cycle model of consumption and labor supply without intratemporal strong separability we find that consumption and hours worked are direct complements in utility both increase with a compensated increase in the net wage the compensated net wage elasticity is about 0 3 nearly double estimates for u s men from a linear labor supply specification estimated intertemporal elasticities indicate significant intertemporal smoothing of utility the estimated marginal welfare cost of government revenue is 6 20 which is about half the estimated welfare cost when additivity between consumption and leisure is incorrectly imposed

occupational mobility and wage inequality in this article we argue that wage inequality and occupational mobility are intimately related we are motivated by our empirical findings that human capital is occupation specific and that the fraction of workers switching occupations in the u s was as high as 16 a year in the early 1970 s and had increased to 21 by the mid 1990 s we develop a general equilibrium model with occupation specific human capital and heterogeneous experience levels within occupations we find that the model calibrated to match the level of occupational mobility in the 1970 s accounts quite well for the level of within group wage inequality in that period next we find that the model calibrated to match the increase in occupational mobility accounts for over 90 of the increase in wage inequality between the 1970 s and the 1990 s the theory is also quantitatively consistent with the level and increase in the short term variability of earnings copyright wiley blackwell

occupational specificity of human capital we find that returns to occupational tenure are substantial everything else being constant 5 years of occupational tenure are associated with an increase in wages of 12 20 moreover when occupational experience is taken into account tenure with an industry or employer has relatively little importance in accounting for the wage one receives this finding is consistent with human capital being occupation specific

identifying sorting in theory assortative matching between workers and rms provides evidence of the complementarities or substitutes in production the presence of complementarities is important for policies that aim to achieve the optimal allocation of resources for example unemployment insurance we argue that using wage data alone it is virtually impossible to identify whether assortative matching is positive or negative even though we cannot identify the sign of the sorting we can identify the strength i e the magnitude of the cross partial and the associated welfare loss we show rst that the wage for a given worker is non monotonic in the type of his employer this is due to the fact that in a sorting model wages reect the opportunity cost of mismatch we show analytically that this non monotonicity prevents standard rm xed eects to correlate with the true type of the rm we then propose an alternative procedure that measures the strength of sorting in the presence of search frictions knowing the strength of sorting facilitates the measurement of the output loss due to mismatch

providing advice to jobseekers at low cost an experimental study on online advice we develop and evaluate experimentally a novel tool that redesigns the job search process by providing tailored advice at low cost we invited jobseekers to our computer facilities for twelve consecutive weekly sessions to search for real jobs on our web interface for one half instead of relying on their own search criteria we use readily available labour market data to display relevant alternative occupations and associated jobs the data indicate that this broadens the set of jobs they consider and increases their job interviews especially for participants who otherwise search narrowly and have been unemployed for a few months

the costs of occupational mobility an aggregate analysis we estimate the costs of occupational mobility using a novel approach that relies on aggregate flows of workers across occupations rather than on wage data the theoretical underpinnings for this approach are derived from a model of occupation choice that delivers a gravity equation linking worker flows to occupation characteristics and to transition costs which we proxy using task data from the dictionary of occupational titles dot occupation flow data are constructed from the matched monthly current population survey cps between 1994 and 2012 we find that transition costs vary widely across occupations are increasing in task distance the dissimilarity in the mix of tasks performed in the two occupations and are higher for transitions across broad task categories however most of the transition costs are accounted for by general task independent entry costs specific to each destination occupation

health human capital and life cycle labor supply we use new psid data on consumption and health along with information on annual sick time to estimate a structural labor supply model that incorporates a health capital stock with the traditional human capital learning by doing model the estimates show strong evidence of learning by doing as well as strong persistence in health however the estimates reveal that time and money seem to have little effect on health consistent with flat of the curve medicine we find strong evidence that consumption and leisure are direct substitutes in preferences and consumption and leisure are each utility complements with good health

large firms and within firm occupational reallocation abstract this paper considers the equilibrium interaction between within firm and across firm reallocation in the presence of labor market frictions while a sizable literature has investigated frictional labor markets it has ignored within firm mobility nonetheless every year a sizable fraction of workers switch occupations without changing firms employees in large firms can sample from a larger selection and across firm mobility is replaced by within firm mobility bringing together within and across firm reallocation along with labor market frictions naturally accounts for the observed differences in worker flows and wages across firms of different sizes

job matching and occupational choice this paper presents a model of job matching the generalizes the existing literature by allowing for different jobs types or occupations such differences affect the value of job specific experience inducing a career profile where certain types are sampled before others more specifically the analysis shows that it is optimal for the young and inexperienced to gravitate toward jobs exhibiting a certain kind of risk then after deriving the equilibrium job turnover rate for an economy in which people do not switch occupations panel data are used to estimate its underlying parameters the hypothesis that people do not switch occupations is rejected against the alternative that they do thus providing empirical support for the theoretical extension undertaken here

rising occupational and industry mobility in the united states 1968 97 we document and analyze the high level and the substantial increase in worker mobility in the united states over the 1968 97 period at various levels of occupational and industry aggregation this is important in light of the recent findings that human capital of workers is largely occupation or industry specific to control for measurement error in occupation and industry coding we develop a method that utilizes the psid retrospective occupation industry supplemental data files we emphasize the importance of our findings for understanding a number of issues such as the changes in wage inequality aggregate productivity job stability and life cycle earnings profiles

trade inequality and the endogenous sorting ofheterogeneous workers abstract i present a new general equilibrium framework to quantify the effect of international trade on labor market outcomes such as the skill premium and reallocation of workers for a large number of countries worker level comparative advantage based on workers heterogeneous productivities is the key feature of the framework i use household level microdata to quantify key aspects of the model for 32 countries i find that the calibrated decline in trade costs during 2000 2007 increased between educational type inequality in most countries regardless of country level comparative advantages the worker level comparative advantage across sectors and occupations determines both the direction and the magnitude of the effect of trade on labor market outcomes i also find that trade liberalization during 2000 2007 significantly contributed to the decline in manufacturing employment and job polarization in high income countries in addition the model shows that the china effect measured by a decline in trade costs with china and an increase in china s manufacturing productivity during 2000 2007 increased inequality in most countries