x efficiency in australian banking an empirical investigation this paper empirically investigates the x eaciency technical and allocative in australian banks a non parametric method of data envelopment analysis dea has been used to arrive at the eaciency scores banks in this sample were found to have low levels of overall eaciency compared with the banks in the european countries and in the us the results indicate that as a source of overall ineaciency the technical component was more important than the allocative component thus the ineaciency in australian banks can be attributed to wasting of inputs technical ineaciency rather than choosing the incorrect input combinations allocative ineaciency domestic banks were found to be more eacient than foreign owned banks the study has important implications such as guiding the government policy regarding deregulation and mergers since the study pinpoints the sources of ineaciency it would also help banks with strategic planning 2001 elsevier science b v all rights reserved

learning about a new technology pineapple in ghana this paper investigates the role of social learning in the diffusion of a new agri cultural technology in ghana we use unique data on farmers communication patterns to define each individual s information neighborhood conditional on many potentially confounding variables we find evidence that farmers adjust their inputs to align with those of their information neighbors who were surpris ingly successful in previous periods the relationship of these input adjustments to experience further indicates the presence of social learning in addition applying the same method to input choices for another crop of known technol ogy correctly indicates an absence of social learning effects jel d83 013 033 q16

financial firm production of monetary services a generalized symmetric baroett variable profit function approach an alternative monetary production model of financial firms is employed to investigate supply side monetary aggregation financial firms are conceived to produce monetary services as outputs through financial intermediation a new method for testing the existence of consistent monetary output aggregates in financial firms production technology is developed in terms of a multiproduct firm s variable profit function and the method does not require homotheticity of the aggregator function we use a generalized symmetric barnett flexible functional form that specification satisfies global curvature conditions and retains its flexibility under the null hypothesis of weak separability neither of those properties is possessed by other flexible functional forms

estimation of economies of scale in banking using a generalized functional form this paper addresses four issues that arise in the estimation of economies of scale in the commercial banking industry first a common assumption underlying many of the studies of economies of scale in banking is the assumption of a cobb douglas production function with exogenous input prices the use of a cobb douglas production function facilitates the estimation of the output elasticity of cost however there does not appear to be any other reason a priori for such an assumption this paper utilizes a box cox hereafter b c generalized functional form methodology to directly test the assumption of an underlying cobb douglas production function second if the assumption of a cobb douglas production function is inappropriate as a description of the production process of the financial firm estimates of the output elasticity may be biased the sensitivity of the estimates of this elasticity to the choice of functional form can also be examined through the use of a generalized functional form methodology third no general consensus has been reached regarding the appropriate definition of bank output thus a diversity of measures of bank output have been employed in previous estimates of economies of scale in banking the sensitivity of the estimated output elasticity of cost to the selection of several alternative measures of output is examined through the use of the generalized functional form methodology finally the b c estimates of the cost function for commercial banks can be used

banking costs generalized functional forms and estimation of economies of scale and scope recently researchers have claimed that the primitive cobb douglas production technology captures banking cost functions adequately these findings rule out scope economies and u shaped cost curves the rejection of the generalized flexible form postulated by the above authors is a necessary but not a sufficient condition to justify a cobb douglas specification using restricted generalized functional forms the authors find that the composite output cobb douglas specification is an inadequate description of banking cost technology translog specifications with multiple products capture the data best suggesting the presence of both scope and scale economies copyright 1989 by ohio state university press

an index number approach to measuring bank efficiency an application to mergers abstract the current wave of bank mergers has resulted in an interest in the measurement of consequent efficiencies previous studies have generally focused on the measurement of merger induced cost efficiencies in this paper we turn to the production side and examine the change in relative productivity arising from bank mergers after deriving our superlative multilateral productivity index we compute the indexes for our entire sample of banks approximately 2 000 banks in each of the years 1984 1988 and for a cohort of 160 banks that merged in 1986 we find that acquiring banks achieve no gains in efficiency and this finding supports those of other studies on the other hand we find that our acquiring banks are consistently more productive than the sample as a whole by implication if mergers can be generally characterized as the acquisition by a relatively more productive bank of a relatively less productive bank an empirically valid supposition then industry performance should improve as a result of these mergers

unshrouding evidence from bank overdrafts in turkey lower prices produce higher demand or do they a bank s direct marketing to holders of free checking accounts shows that a large discount on 60 apr overdrafts reduces overdraft usage especially when bundled with a discount on debit card or auto debit transactions in contrast messages mentioning overdraft availability without mentioning price increase usage neither change persists long after the messages stop these results do not square easily with classical models of consumer choice and firm competition instead they support behavioral models where consumers underestimate and are inattentive to overdraft costs and firms respond by shrouding overdraft prices in equilibrium this article is protected by copyright all rights reserved

banking technology and the existence of a consistent output aggregate abstract this paper addresses the question of the existence of a consistent output aggregate in banking specific necessary and sufficient conditions for output aggregation are developed and tested in the context of a second order approximation to any arbitrary multi product bank cost function the analysis provides evidence that a composite aggregate measure of output fails to provide a proper representation of banking technology and therefore previous studies that used aggregate output measures may well be subject to specification errors

multiproduct short run hospital cost functions empirical evidence and policy implications from cross section data economists and policymakers have been interested in hospital costs and the structure of hospital technologies for several decades now early interest was focused on the possibility of scale economies which implied increased efficiency for larger hospitals 6 8 12 13 18 20 while more recent interest has been stimulated by the inflationary spiral of hospital costs 1 15 17 22 as hospital costs have risen important policy questions concerning the impact on costs of the hospitals diagnostic case mix the hospitals admitting physicians the hospitals size and the hospitals efficiency have emerged and researchers have attempted to deal with these issues within the context of increasingly complex econometric models 1 2 5 24 27 however in attempting to analyze these important policy issues researchers have been forced to make two major types of compromises on the one hand appropriate data are often not available for estimating a well specified cost function e g information on admitting physicians and diagnostic case mix are often missing so that problems of specification error often plague the econometric results conversely in using imaginative ways to deal with data problems e g weighting in patient and out patient care to form a single index of hospital services 1 27 or estimating separate cost functions for each department in the hospital 2 researchers sometimes place unrealistic and unnecessary constraints on their econometric models the purpose of this study is to analyze the impact of several of the primary hospital characteristics mentioned above on the short run costs of hospitals within a theoretically consistent framework in the following discussion we also develop the theoretical

can megamergers improve bank efficiency abstract this paper uses a fitted multiproduct translog cost function to simulate mergers between pairs of us commercial banks with assets exceeding 1 billion and studies the predicted impact of such mergers on total costs thick frontier analysis reveals that variations in x efficiency dominate scale product mix and branching efficiencies ex ante financial data imply that costs could potentially be reduced in nearly half of the possible mergers except those between banks each larger than 10 billion most cost efficient mergers are across state lines apparently a result of variations in product mix

getting to the top of mind how reminders increase saving we provide evidence from field experiments with three different banks that reminder messages increase commitment attainment for clients who recently opened commitment savings accounts messages that mention both savings goals and financial incentives are particularly effective whereas other content variations such as gain versus loss framing do not have significantly different effects nor do we find evidence that receiving additional late reminders has an additive effect these empirical results do not map neatly into existing models so we provide a simple model where limited attention to exceptional expenses can generate undersaving that is in turn mitigated by reminders data as supplemental material are available at http dx doi org 10 1287 mnsc 2015 2296 this paper was accepted by teck hua ho behavioral economics

correlation neglect in belief formation many information structures generate correlated rather than mutually independent signals the news media being a prime example this article provides experimental evidence that many people neglect the resulting double counting problem in the updating process in consequence beliefs are too sensitive to the ubiquitous telling and re telling of stories and exhibit excessive swings we identify substantial and systematic heterogeneity in the presence of the bias and investigate the underlying mechanisms the evidence points to the paramount importance of complexity in combination with people s problems in identifying and thinking through the correlation even though most participants in principle have the computational skills that are necessary to develop rational beliefs many approach the problem in a wrong way when the environment is moderately complex thus experimentally nudging people s focus towards the correlation and the underlying independent signals has large effects on beliefs

economies of scale and scope in the securities industry abstract economies of scale and scope for the securities industry are estimated for the first time using previously unavailable survey data and employing the translog multiproduct cost function model the results reveal economies of scale for smaller specialized firms and diseconomies of scale for larger more diversified firms economies of scope do not appear to be important in the industry if the glass steagall restrictions are relaxed the results suggest that banks can enter the securities industry with a brokerage division of moderate scale of about 30 million in revenues the five million in new equity required suggests that only banks with assets over 1 billion and over 60 million in capital can enter the industry with a relatively modest investment there are however a substantial number of banks with over 1 billion in assets who can be considered as potential entrants

impact of daylight saving time on the chilean residential consumption abstract since 1970 chile has had a daylight saving time dst policy in order to reduce residential electricity consumption in the country the time change was set for the first time by executive decree in 1970 and since that date it was applied every year without great changes until 2010 since then and to date decrees have been set in order to increase the duration of the dst arguing that there are reasons associated with energy savings that justify the extension of the measure that has been adopted by the authority in recent years in the present study the impact of the application of dst in terms of decreased household electricity consumption is analyzed using two complementary methods one based on a heuristic approach and the other using an econometric model the results indicate that there is indeed a marginally small reduction in residential electricity consumption although these results are not homogeneous throughout the country

how do banks respond to shocks a dynamic model of deposit taking institutions abstract this paper proposes a dynamic model of the optimal choices of a bank that benefits from market power and takes into account the impact of the deposit generation process interbank lending borrowing emerges as a buffer that assists the bank in smoothing intertemporal adjustments in interdependent loan and deposit choices the bank smooths the impact of interest rates shocks on its customers to minimize the adjustments over time of the stocks of deposits and loans it does not however provide insurance against negative shocks of real origin that increase its expected default costs the predictions of the model help to shed light on the available empirical evidence and to analyze some recent developments of the banking industry

measuring economies of diversification a frontier approach the purpose of this article is to improve the statistical analysis of multiproduct firm behavior specifically we are interested in modeling and estimating multiproduct technology focusing on size and product line variation thus we offer a new empirical technique that can be used to directly analyze issues such as subadditivity expansion path subadditivity economies of scope and economies of diversification although applied papers employ a wide variety of theoretical multiproduct cost concepts previous work uses nonfrontier estimation techniques we show how to introduce frontier approaches to multiproduct cost analysis that can be applied to any of these concepts and improve the statistical analysis specifically we introduce an empirical test using frontier techniques that allows for direct measures of economies of diversification at the firm specific level

an empirical analysis of scale and scope economies and technical change in an irish multiproduct banking firm abstract in contrast to most empirical investigations of the efficiency of multiproduct financial institutions which either estimate scale and scope economies with a given state of technology or only analyse technical change in the presence of overall scale economies this study estimates overall scale economies product specific scale economies and scope economies in the presence of both neutral and non neutral technical change also in contrast to most other empirical studies in this area standard errors are computed for all relevant statistics the findings indicate diseconomies of scope overall diseconomies of scale product specific economies are decreasing for investments and increasing for loans in addition to substantial neutral technical change biased technical change is labour and capital saving and deposits using in character

global and local scale characteristics in convex and nonconvex nonparametric technologies a first empirical exploration the purpose of this contribution is to empirically implement and supplement the proposals made by podinovski 2004b to explore the nature of both global and local returns to scale in nonconvex nonparametric technologies in particular we both propose a simplified method to compute the global returns to scale and employ some secondary data sets to investigate the frequency of the special case of global sub constant returns to scale furthermore when determining global returns to scale using both convex and nonconvex technologies we verify how often the resulting information is concordant or conflicting finally besides comparing the fdh and dea evolution of ray average productivity for some typical individual observations we introduce in the literature two original methods for the determination of local returns to scale in nonconvex technologies

maturity intermediation and intertemporal lending policies of financial intermediaries this paper considers the maturity intermediation and intertemporal lending decisions of risk averse financial intermediaries in particular the maturity mismatch problem and the fixed versus variable rate lending decision are modeled when the major source of risk involves uncertain future interest rates the results imply that the strategy of matching the maturity of assets and liabilities is not generally optimal or even minimum risk this is due primarily to the built in hedge that the intermediary has as a result of rolling over short term loans while continuing to finance long term loans intertemporal dependencies between loan demand and costs or both also have an effect on the optimal degree of maturity mismatching and provide one rationale for making loans at rates below current marginal cost

economies of scale and scope in thrift institutions the case of finnish cooperative and savings banks accounting data on operating costs and outputs for cooperative and savings banks in 1983 and 1984 are used to provide empirical evidence on the cost structure of thrift institutions in finland a modified translog cost model is fitted to the data economies of scale and scope are estimated based on the coefficients of the cost model using advances and bills as outputs the results indicate that cost curves for both cooperative banks and savings banks generally tend to be l shaped at the plant level and u shaped at the firm level scope diseconomies are found in the joint production of advances and bills this evidenceindicates that natural monopoly conditions are not present in the finnish thrift industry

the dominance of inefficiencies over scale and product mix economies in banking abstract this study measures and analyzes inefficiencies for all u s banks in 1984 inefficiencies are measured relative to a thick frontier cost function and are found to dominate measured scale and product mix economies most inefficiencies are operational in nature involving the overuse of physical inputs rather than financial involving overpayment of interest also technical inefficiencies proportionate overuse of all inputs dominate allocative inefficiencies improper mix of inputs these results suggest that competitive pressures in banking from deregulation will be focused primarily on banks that do not control costs rather than on those of a particular size or product mix

scale and scope economies in the multi product banking firm abstract the multi product nature of the banking firm is examined utilizing the translog cost function this analysis indicates that contrary to conventional wisdom natural monopoly scale economies and product specific decreasing costs are not robust characterizations of the banking industry there is however evidence that the cost function is characterized by economies of scope the implications of these results are discussed and extensions of this approach suggested

targeting the poor evidence from a field experiment in indonesia the brief summarizes the targeting the poor evidence from a field experiment in indonesia for the period december 2008 january 2009 this paper reports an experiment in 640 indonesian villages on three approaches to target the poor proxy means tests pmt where assets are used to predict consumption community targeting where villagers rank everyone from richest to poorest and a hybrid defining poverty based on ppp 2 per capita consumption community targeting and the hybrid perform somewhat worse in identifying the poor than pmt though not by enough to significantly affect poverty outcomes for a typical program elite capture does not explain these results instead communities appear to apply a different concept of poverty

how does daylight saving time affect electricity demand an answer using aggregate data from a natural experiment in western australia abstract daylight saving time dst affects the lives of more than 1 6 billion people worldwide with energy saving being the original rationale for its implementation this study takes advantage of natural experiment data from september 2006 to march 2013 in western australia in which dst was observed from december 2006 to march 2009 to estimate the effect of dst on electricity demand using the difference in differences dd approach we find that dst has little effect on overall electricity demand and electricity generation costs however it has a strong redistributional effect by reducing electricity demand substantially in the late afternoon and early evening this redistributional effect of dst may be of particular interest for policymakers who are interested in controlling high demand and the short term energy market price

the role of fixed costs and cost complementarities in determining scope economies and the cost of narrow banking proposals narrow banking proposals would separate insured deposits from most types of bank lending using data from large u s banks the authors examine the extent to which narrow banking proposals are likely to result in increased production costs production costs will rise for nonjoint provision of deposit and loan services if there are cost complementarities in producing the two outputs jointly or if joint production enables banks to spread their fixed costs more effectively unlike standard cost function approaches the authors methods allow them to estimate the fixed cost and cost complementarity effects separately they find the net production cost consequences of narrow banking to be negligible copyright 1993 by university of chicago press

multiproduct technology and market structure a recent line of research has exposed some technological determinants of the structure of industries that produce more than one good the analyses of both multiproduct perfect competition and natural monopoly require a generalized notion of average cost and in addition several newly identified technological characteristics pertinent only to joint production this paper provides an overview of these new results and suggests a unifying framework in which the theory can be further developed

implications of rational inattention abstract a constraint that actions can depend on observations only through a communication channel with finite shannon capacity is shown to be able to play a role very similar to that of a signal extraction problem or an adjustment cost in standard control problems the resulting theory looks enough like familiar dynamic rational expectations theories to suggest that it might be useful and practical while the implications for policy are different enough to be interesting

scale economies and cost complementarities in commercial banks on and off balance sheet activities abstract bank off balance sheet obs activities have grown dramatically and have become significantly important especially at large banks we investigate whether failure to incorporate obs products may lead to a misspecification problem models that exclude deposits from the output specification suggest economies of scale which vanish when deposits are included we find that inclusion of obs products has little effect on the scale economies measures with only a few exceptions the results provide no evidence of cost complementarities in joint production the tremendous growth of bank obs activities in the 1980s may be explained by the very small approximately zero pecuniary cost of these activities

scale economies in banking a restructuring and reassessment the issue of scale economies in banking has a rich history most earlier studies report modest operating cost scale economies for small institutions those with less than about 50 million of deposits in 1968 dollars but are unclear where these economies might end if at all unfortunately these studies are limited in four important respects first those that were well specified did not measure the total cost of banking operations but concentrated on estimating scale economies for individual banking functions e g demand deposits separately from commercial loans second an average cost curve that could take a u shape over the full range of banks was not fitted either because larger banks were not included or because of the functional form used cobb douglas consequently the optimum or minimum cost size of a bank or office could not be determined third the variables measuring the costs of branching were misspecified fourth the branch

economies of scale and economies of scope in multiproduct financial institutions a study of british columbia credit unions this paper investigates the production technology facing computerized credit unions in canada a full system of translog cost equations is estimated in order to test for economies of scale economies of scope and other production characteristics in a multiproduct context the regression results indicate that most of the credit unions in our sample experience significant increasing returns to scale as they expand their level of output there is also evidence of cost complementarity or economies of scope in their mortgage and other lending activities as a result legislation which limits the ability of credit unions to grow and diversify will likely raise the operating costs of this important group of financial institutions additional structural tests of the most general translog specification suggest that none of the restrictive production conditions commonly imposed by other researchers using cobb douglas and ces specifications provide a valid representation of credit union technology the results of many earlier studies are therefore open to question this paper presents a number of structural tests of the production technology facing large computerized credit unions in canada a full system of translog cost equations is estimated using detailed cross sectional data on british columbia credit unions the parameter estimates obtained from our multiproduct specification allow us to test for economies of scale economies of scope and factor substitution unlike many earlier studies the present paper introduces the various outputs as separate variables instead of crudely proxying them with a single output measure such as total assets the total number of loans or the number of depositors by explicitly recognizing the multiproduct nature of the intermediation process we are able to address more interesting production questions and remove some of the bias caused by misspecification and measurement error in simpler approaches the flexible translog specification allows us to estimate the sensitivity of costs to proportionate increases in all outputs economies of scale as well as the cost savings firms realize by producing several outputs jointly rather than specializing in the production of one economies of scope the test results reported in the latter part of the paper suggest that increasing returns to scale exist in almost all of the credit unions in our sample though

economies of scale in building societies this paper presents new measurements of economies of scale in the building society industry by estimating a translog total cost function jointly with the derived input cost share equations it differs from previous building society studies by defining total cost to include the interest cost of borrowed funds as well as the operating costs of employing labour and capital services in addition to the usual elasticity three further scale economy measures are developed and estimated input specific economies of scale augmented economies of scale and augmented input specific economies of scale

learning by doing and learning from others human capital and technical change in agriculture household level panel data from a nationally representative sample of rural indian households describing the adoption and profitability of high yielding seed varieties hyvs associated with the green revolution are used to test the implications of a model incorporating learning by doing and learning spillovers the estimates indicate that i imperfect knowledge about the management of the new seeds was a significant barrier to adoption ii this barrier diminished as farmer experience with the new technologies increased iii own experience and neighbors experience with hyvs significantly increased hyv profitability and iv farmers do not fully incorporate the village returns to learning in making adoption decisions

traditional and nontraditional banking an information theoretic approach abstract this paper uses a multiproduct approach to analyze the costs of a sample of large banks where bank outputs are measured to account for the different types of information produced by banks diseconomies of scope are found between traditional banking activities of originating and monitoring loans and nontraditional activities of loan selling and buying this suggests maintaining fire walls between commercial bank functions and investment bank functions after the glass steagall act is repealed will not sacrifice joint production economies it also suggests that arguments for repeal of the act based on the existence of such economies are ill founded

modeling technology adoption in developing countries an analysis of technology adoption decisions by poor farmers is provided some possible empirical models for studying technology adoption are reviewed the issue of theoretical consistency is dealt with in terms of the costs of such consistency measured in data needs and model complexity and the benefits measured in terms of understanding the micro economic foundations of adoption

a study on long run inefficiency levels of a panel dynamic cost frontier under the framework of forward looking rational expectations abstract this paper aims to provide a theoretical underpinning of the dynamic efficiency model pioneered by ahn s c good d h sickles r c 2000 estimation of long run inefficiency levels a dynamic frontier approach econometric reviews 19 461 492 in the context of a quadratic loss function this paper formulates a multi period forward looking rational expectations model on the evolution of the technical inefficiency level which correctly produces a dynamic panel data model the model is illustrated using panel data of 112 french banks encouraging evidence of superiority in favor of the model is reached substantial cost inefficiency prevails in this industry where the constituent banks are characterized as having volatile adjustment speeds toward their long run steady states the sample banks exhibit increasing returns to scale and product mix economies

a sparsity based model of bounded rationality this article defines and analyzes a sparse max operator which is a less than fully attentive and rational version of the traditional max operator the agent builds as economists do a simplified model of the world which is sparse considering only the variables of first order importance his stylized model and his resulting choices both derive from constrained optimization still the sparse max remains tractable to compute moreover the induced outcomes reflect basic psychological forces governing limited attention the sparse max yields a behavioral version of basic chapters of the microeconomics textbook consumer demand and competitive equilibrium i obtain a behavioral version of marshallian and hicksian demand arrow debreu competitive equilibrium the slutsky matrix the edgeworth box roy s identity and so on the slutsky matrix is no longer symmetric nonsalient prices are associated with anomalously small demand elasticities because the consumer exhibits nominal illusion in the edgeworth box the offer curve is a two dimensional surface rather than a one dimensional curve as a result different aggregate price levels correspond to materially distinct competitive equilibria in a similar spirit to a phillips curve the arrow debreu welfare theorems typically do not hold this framework provides a way to assess which parts of basic microeconomics are robust and which are not to the assumption of perfect maximization jel codes d01 d03 d11 d51

the technical efficiency of us banks abstract the paper uses a non parametric frontier approach to measure the technical efficiency of a sample of u s banks the results indicate that these banks could have produced the same level of output with only 70 of the inputs actually used in addition most of this inefficiency is due to pure technical inefficiency wasting inputs rather than scale inefficiency operating at non constant returns to scale finally regression analysis indicates that the technical efficiency of the banks is positively related to size negatively related to product diversity and not at all related to the extent to which branch banking is allowed

banks as multioutput oligopolies an empirical evaluation of the retail and corporate banking markets the distinction between retail and corporate banking markets is of much importance in real life banking organizations the two markets differ with respect to concentration the importance of informational asymmetries and the extent of customer mobility within a standard conjectural variation model estimated on cost efficient banks as well as on the full sample of banks the authors empirically characterize the strategic behavior in each of these markets and also focus on cross market interactions to see whether initial moves in one market affect the equilibrium in the other market they compare their findings to the predictions that would follow from merely considering concentration ratios such as the herfindahl index

product line deregulation and the cost structure of us savings and loan associations recent legislative actions restrict thrift powers which were broadened by deregulatory actions in the early 1980s using nationwide data for savings and loans s ls evidence is found that these restrictions may rise intermediation costs for s ls by limiting their ability to exploit economies of scope between mortgage related and other outputs in addition economies of scale for a wide size range of s ls are found evidence is also found to suggest that insolvent s ls have higher costs for the same level of outputs than solvent s ls

acquisition targets and motives the case of the banking industry findings do not indicate poorly managed firms are more likely to be acquired than well managed firms the analysis uses a sample of 1 046texas banks that existed in 1970 out of which 201 were acqui red during the period 1970 82 a multinomial logit procedure is used to estimate the relationship between the likelihood of acquisition and the characteristics of the target firm and its market additional results suggest that firms with la rge market shares low capital asset ratios and operations in urban areas are r elatively likely to be acquired but not firms with low profits or low growth copyright 1987 by mit press

economies of superscale in commercial banking most previous studies of scale economies in banking have excluded banks larger than 1 billion in assets thus study by contrast estimates cost functions for the 100 largest us commercial banks hedonic terms are incorporated to correct for the aggregated nature of the call report data available for these banks in addition we attempt to quantify the cost benefit of diversification in the model we estimate efficient bank scale to range from 15 billion to 37 billion in total assets a thousandfold increase over some previous findings these results are supported by comparison of actual average costs as well as by casual historical observation and the level of widespread concern over interstate banking our findings suggest some cost incentive or benefit to expansion or consolidation among large regional banks including interstate expansion or consolidation

scale elasticity versus scale efficiency in banking in the early bank cost literature many of the studies found scale elasticities significantly different from unity as a result the authors suggested that changes in industry structure could produce cost savings through increased efficiency recent bank cost studies improved upon previous methodologies by utilizing flexible functional forms accounting for multiproduct production processes estimating scale measures at both the branch and firm level distinguishing between branch and unit bank technologies resulting from regulatory restrictions etc the typical finding from the recent studies is that relatively minor scale economies exist in banking since the scale elasticity measure differs little from a value of unity this reported finding is usually followed by a general statement that banks operate relatively efficiently with respect to the scale of production and that the potential cost gains from exploiting scale advantages via merger or growth activities appear to be relatively minor the implication from the conclusions drawn by the authors of numerous studies is that scale elasticity and scale efficiency are essentially synonymous the derivation of one automatically provides an accurate or approximate value for the other the purpose of this article is to bring attention to a common confusion in the literature between two relatively straightforward concepts scale elasticity and scale efficiency the bank production process is one of the most extensively researched aspects of bank behavior until recently however studies have not typically evaluated scale efficiency instead scale elasticity estimates have been used as a proxy for efficiency and elasticity measures close to 1 0 are taken to imply that scale inefficiency is trivial scale inefficiency is typically assumed to be linearly

location matters daylight saving time and electricity demand the primary rationale for daylight saving time dst has long been energy savings whether it achieves this goal however remains a subject of debate recent studies examining only one location at a time have shown dst to increase decrease or leave overall energy use unchanged rather than concluding the effect is ambiguous this paper is the first to test for heterogeneous regional effects based on differences in natural sun times and societal waking hours using a rich hourly data set and quasi experimental methods applied across canadian provinces this paper rationalizes the differing results finding region specific effects consistent with differences in sun times and waking hours dst increases electricity use in regions with late sunrises and early waking hours

collusion efficiency and pricing behavior evidence from the banking industry this paper examines the validity of competing hypotheses used to explain the observed positive relationship between concentration and profits using price proxies from the banking industry we find that leading secondary firms in a market act as price setters price takers this is true regardless of market concentration we interpret this as evidence of the superior efficiency of leading firms and conclude that the higher profits earned by these firms is due to their superior efficiency and not collusive behavior

filtered social learning knowledge sharing is economically important but also typically incomplete we filter our communication this paper analyzes the consequences of filtering in the model homogeneous agents share knowledge with their peers whenever the private benefits exceed communication costs the welfare implications of this transmission mechanism hinge on whether units of knowledge complement substitute for or are independent of each other both substitutability and complementarity generate externalities cheaper communication eliminates externalities in the former case but not necessarily in the latter complementary basic skills such as numeracy catalyze technology adoption and adoption may be path dependent even when payoffs are certain and independent across agents

comment on scale economies cost efficiencies and technological change in federal reserve payments processing the david hume quotation at the beginning of this paper advises us that payment systems determine as much as any other market institution how smoothly an economy operates however unlike the other papers presented at this conference it is not hume s oil that interests bauer and ferrier but rather how well the machines of payments processing are themselves lubricated the authors estimate cost functions for each of the three payment services produced and sold by federal reserve banks check processing automated clearing house services ach and wire transfers the fedwire based on the parameters of these cost functions the authors construct measures of scale economies cost efficiency and technological progress their results lead them to three fundamental conclusions a significant scale economies suggest that the production of ach and fedwire services should be consolidated into fewer sites within the federal reserve system b ach and fedwire processing sites have reduced costs over time by exploiting technological advances and c divergent expense levels at individual federal reserve check processing ach and wire transfer sites may indicate inefficient operations at these sites

an examination of cost structure and production performance of commercial banks in singapore abstract this paper uses a parametric approach in the framework of a translog cost function and a non parametric approach in the framework of linear programming to examine production performance and cost structure of a sample of singaporean commercial banks the results of the parametric methodology suggest that the average cost curve of these banks is u shaped and there are economies of scale for small and medium size banks further analysis provides evidence of economies of scope for all banks regardless of their size the non parametric results indicate that the singaporean banks could have reduced cost by 43 had they all been overall efficient the sources of this cost inefficiency seem to be caused equally by allocative and technical inefficiencies

a multiproduct cost study of savings and loans this paper investigates the cost structure of savings and loans most studies of financial institutions have failed to take into account the multiproduct nature of these institutions using the multiproduct approach the existence of subadditivity multiproduct global and product specific economies of scale and scope and substitutability between inputs is investigated a translogarithmic cost function is estimated using 1982 data on california savings and loans restrictive functional forms also estimated are rejected standard errors for the statistics calculated are estimated and various statistical tests are conducted previous authors have not calculated standard errors for these statistics no evidence of subadditivity in the industry is found in order to investigate the impact of deregulation on the financial services industry it is necessary to know the cost structure of the industry optimal firm size and product mix can be determined once the structure is known the presence of scale economies would imply that smaller firms or entering firms that operate at a small scale would be at a cost disadvantage compared with larger established firms a finding of economies of scope i e economies of joint production would imply that firms that were specialized would be at a cost disadvantage and that regulations that restrict the outputs a firm is allowed to produce may lead to inefficient production

economies of scale in the us savings and loan industry 1973 83 the question addressed in this research is whether or not there exist economies of scale in the us savings and loan sl b that from 1979 to 1983 the minimum efficient scale for associations declined c that a substantial change has occurred in operating costs and the estimated augmented elasticity

an examination of cost subadditivity and multiproduct production in large u s banks this paper examines the subadditivity of costs for a sample of the largest commercial banks in the u s we introduce into the bank production literature the grid approach developed by evans and heckman 1984 we estimate two models of the bank cost function one where deposits are treated as outputs while in the other deposits are treated as inputs the models are estimated using the commonly used translog and the more flexible miniflex laurent viewed narrowly the findings imply that cost complementarities are not the raison d etre for multiproduct production in the largest commercial banks subadditive costs however are sufficient but not necessary for multiproduct production it is quite possible for multiproduct production to be optimal when output are produced independently levy and haber 1986 and teece 1980 1982 it is only required that inputs be shareable as opposed to joint copyright 1990 by ohio state university press

bank regulation and monetary policy the depository institutions deregulation and monetary control act 1980 and the garn st germain depository institutions act 1982 are the two most significant pieces of bank legislation since the 193os their significance stems from the fact that they have sought to roll back a number of the regulations and restrictions imposed on bank activity and competition in the 1933 80 period among the important provisions of these acts are a gradual elimination of regulation q ceilings on time and savings deposits by march 1986 the amelioration of state imposed usury ceilings on loans the nationwide provision of interest bearing transaction type accounts negotiable order of withdrawal now and super now accounts permission for thritts to expand into bank like products such as commercial and industrial loans consumer loans and credit cards and the development of new types of savings accounts such as mmdas l in addition to legislative deregulation we have also witnessed homemade deregulation as banks have sought to exploit often with great success loopholes in the bank holding

technical change organizational form and the structure of bank production of those technological characteristics related to the nature of competition among firms in an industry or market scale economies and technical change are especially important economies of scale are said to exist when an equiproportional increase in all inputs results in a greater than proportional increase in output or equivalently when an increase in output at constant input prices leads to a less than proportional increase in total costs thus average costs decline as output expands depending upon the extent to which costs decline as output increases regulation of the firms in the industry may be necessary l the literature analyzing scale economies in commercial banking is voluminous the early studies on scale economies in banking include those by benston 1965 1972 greenbaum 1967 murphy 1972 and bell and murphy 1968 more recent studies include those by benston hanweck and humphrey 1982 and clark 1984 2 this literature has established that mild scale economies exist in bank

technical scale and allocative efficiencies in u s banking an empirical investigation a nonparametric frontier approach is used to calculate the overall technical pure technical allocative and scale efficiencies for a sample of 322 independent banks the sample was drawn from the federal deposit insurance corporation tapes on the reports of condition and reports of income call reports for the year 1986 the results indicated a low level of overall efficiency the main source of inefficiency was technical in nature rather than allocative separate efficiency frontiers were constructed to test the effect of branching however the distributions of efficiency measures for branching and non branching banks were not found to be different

self confirming equilibrium rium path of play thus if a self confirming equilibrium occurs repeatedly no player ever observes play that contradicts his beliefs even though beliefs about play at off path information sets need not be correct we characterize the ways in which self confirming equilibria and nash equilibria can differ and provide conditions under which self con firming equilibria correspond to standard solution concepts nash equilibrium and its refinements describe a situation in which i each player s strategy is a best response to his beliefs about the play of his opponents and ii each player s beliefs about the opponents play are exactly correct we propose a new equilibrium concept self confirming equilibrium that weakens condition ii by requiring only that players beliefs are correct along the equilibrium path of play thus each player may have incorrect beliefs about how his opponents would play in contingencies that do not arise when play follows the equilibrium and moreover the beliefs of different players may be wrong in different ways the concept of self confirming equilibrium is motivated by the idea that noncooperative equilibria should be interpreted as the outcome of a learning process in which players revise their beliefs using their observations of previous play suppose that each time the game is played the players observe the actions chosen by their opponents but that players do not observe the actions their opponents would have played at the information sets that were not reached along the path of play then if a self confirming equilibrium occurs repeatedly no player ever observes play that contradicts his beliefs so the equilibrium is self confirming in the weak sense of not being inconsistent with the evidence by analogy with the literature on the bandit problem e g rothschild 1974 one might expect that a non nash self confirming equilibrium can be the outcome of plausible learning processes this point was made by fudenberg and

a model of focusing in economic choice we present a generally applicable theory of focusing based on the hypothesis that a person focuses more on and hence overweights attributes in which her options dier more our model predicts that the decisionmaker is too prone to choose options with concentrated advantages relative to alternatives but maximizes utility when the advantages and disadvantages of alternatives are equally concentrated in intertemporal choice because the relative concentrations of an option s costs and benets can be dierent from the perspective of a single period and the perspective of the entire choice problem the decisionmaker often exhibits a form of time inconsistency she is present biased when the costs of current misbehavior are distributed over many future dates such as in harmful consumption but future biased when the benet of many

does daylight saving time save energy evidence from a natural experiment in indiana abstract we take advantage of a natural experiment in the state of indiana to estimate the effect of daylight saving time dst on residential electricity consumption our main finding is that contrary to the policy s intent dst increases electricity demand the findings are consistent with simulation results that identify a trade off between reducing demand for lighting and increasing demand for heating and cooling we estimate a cost to indiana households of 9 million per year in increased electricity bills we also estimate social costs of increased pollution emissions between 1 7 to 5 5 million per year

changes in the cost of intermediation the case of savings and loans the minimum cost output configuration for a firm may change as the result of a variety of factors including changes in market structure in this paper we test this structural change hypothesis with savings and loan data we find support for the hypothesis that separable constant returns to scale production functions characterize the average savings and loan in our sample in 1983 this is in contrast to the cost complementarities found in 1978 we argue that this result may be the result of regulatory changes that allowed savings and loans to alter their production mix to fully capture the benefits of joint production it seems reasonable to assume that the cost minimizing configuration of a multiproduct firm is potentially subject to nonstationarity during periods of structural change in input and or output markets the late 1970s and early 1980s represent such a period of turbulence for many markets in the financial services industry volatile interest rates combined with technological and regulatory changes may have caused firms in this industry to alter their output mixes in an effort to capture cost complementarities from joint production the purpose of this paper is to test this hypothesis of structural change in the savings and loan industry using both a translog and minflex laurent translog mlt specification of the production function we have chosen to investigate savings and loans s ls during the late 1970s and early 1980s for two reasons first s ls provide an ideal vehicle for testing our hypothesis because they were restricted almost exclusively to mortgages and securities as outputs before the passage of the depository institutions deregulation and monetary control act of 1980 and the garn st germain act of 1982 moreover there were also market changes with respect to both the pricing and mix of inputs i e deposits our second rationale involves the fact that there is a large and growing body of literature in the area of what is now called the

minding small change among small firms in kenya abstract many micro enterprises in kenya have low productivity we focus on one particular business decision which may indicate low productivity keeping enough change on hand to break larger bills this is a surprisingly large problem our estimates suggest that the average firm loses approximately 5 8 of total profits because they do not have enough change we conducted two experiments to shed light on why this happens surveying firms weekly about lost sales thereby increasing the salience of change and explicitly informing firms about lost sales we find that both interventions significantly altered change management and reduced lost sales this largely rules out many potential explanations such as the risk of theft or the costs of holding change being too high one explanation consistent with firms response to the survey and information on their lost sales is that firms were not perfectly attentive to change management prior to the interventions

how high are rates of return to fertilizer evidence from field experiments in kenya the idea that peasant farmers are rational profit maximizers has been a staple of development economics since theodore schultz 1964 it has also been influential in shaping policy for example agricultural experts have stressed the importance of fertilizer use in raising agricultural yields pointing to impressive results on experimental farms and to huge differences in agricultural productivity across countries with different levels of fertilizer use robert evenson and douglas gollin 2003 historically many countries subsidized fertilizer in response but economists have been skeptical of claims that farmers are leaving money on the table noting that fertilizer may not have the same returns on real world farms as on experimental farms that returns to fertilizer may be low for many farmers even if they are high on average tavneet suri 2007 that fertilizer may require complementary inputs or may be risky many countries have withdrawn or scaled back fertilizer psychology and development theory and experimental evidence

mergers and technical efficiency in spanish savings banks a stochastic distance function approach abstract the aim of this paper is to test the temporal variation of technical efficiency of spanish savings banks during the period 1985 1998 furthermore we test whether merged and non merged firms have different levels and temporal patterns of technical efficiency a stochastic output distance function r w shephard theory of cost and production functions princeton university press princeton nj is employed to accommodate multiple output technology the distance function provides the advantage that it does not need information about prices so it can accommodate the multi product nature of the financial sector only using the quantities as data an important point when the assumptions about perfectly competitive markets are unlikely to be met the temporal variation of efficiency is modeled extending the battese and coelli journal of productivity analysis 3 1992 153 169 approach in two ways relaxing the monotonicity of the temporal variation pattern of the efficiency term and allowing for different patterns of efficiency change between merged and non merged firms

evaluating the cost efficiency of the italian banking system what can be learned from the joint application of parametric and non parametric techniques abstract research on bank efficiency has developed in two separate streams econometric studies and data envelopment analysis a linear programming technique these two branches of literature have developed quickly but separately in this paper these two approaches have been tested on a common panel of 270 italian banks and this has suggested the following i econometric and linear programming results do not differ dramatically when based on the same data and conceptual framework ii when differences arise they can be explained by going back to the intrinsic features of the models moreover some findings on italian banks may be of interest also to the international reader i efficiency scores show a high variance ii the banking system is split in two between northern and southern banks iii there is a direct rather than inverse relationship between productive efficiency and asset quality iv the efficiency of italian banks did not increase over the period 1988 1992

returns to scale and input substitution for large u s banks the united states commercial banking industry has experienced significant changes in recent years the recent wave of mergers and the near term prospects of interstate banking suggests that the industry is moving toward much larger average banking organizations rhoades 1985 will a more concentrated banking industry result in lower costs due to scale economies we address this question by examining the cost function for large banks numerous studies of economies of scale in banking exist generally tracing their roots to the classic papers by benston 1965 and bell and murphy 1968 a good review of the most recent studies can be found in clark 1988 the majority of the papers uses samples of smaller banks that is under 1 billion in deposits finding generally that economies of scale are quickly exhausted and that further increases in bank size occur at constant or possibly increasing cost the extrapolation of previous findings for samples of smaller banks to large banks may be problematic especially in the current environment first large banks service a different mix of markets and customers than small banks suggesting that large and small banks probably face different cost structures second the process of deregulation may have rendered the results of prior studies moot since the data pertain to periods before significant deregulation since we

international comparison of bank production characteristics and technological change in this paper we conduct an international comparison of bank production and technological characteristics the comparison is performed using novel evidence on changes in labour demand over the period 1980 89 for banks headquartered in canada france west germany italy japan and the united states the results suggest that there is relatively low substitutability of labour for capital in the production process of these banking organizations significant scale economies were found with regards to the expansion of output and the concomitant increase in labour in addition technological change operated to lower the quantity of inputs needed to produce a given level of outputs and increased the minimum efficient size bank over the sample period many of the production characteristics and technology effects varied significantly across countries these findings imply that intercountry differences in production characteristics and technological change should be explicitly recognized in bank strategic planning

learning through noticing theory and experimental evidence in farming existing learning models attribute failures to learn to a lack of data we model a different barrier given the large number of dimensions one could focus on when using a technology people may fail to learn because they failed to notice important features of the data they possess we conduct a field experiment with seaweed farmers to test a model of learning through noticing we find evidence of a failure to notice on some dimensions farmers do not even know the value of their own input interestingly trials show that these dimensions are the ones that farmers fail to optimize furthermore consistent with the model we find that simply having access to the experimental data does not induce learning instead farmers change behavior only when presented with summaries that highlight the overlooked dimensions we also draw out the implications of learning through noticing for technology adoption agricultural extension and the meaning of human capital we thank andy newman matthew rabin and andrei shleifer for helpful comments as well as seminar participants at the behavioural decision theory conference berkeley bu and harvard mit

branching restrictions and banking costs abstract previous research of banking costs has been limited by the choice of the functional form irregularities in the estimated cost functions and a failure to rigorously examine the difference between banks in branching states and banks in unit banking states this paper addresses these shortcomings banks are modelled as three input three output cost minimizing firms a three equation system is estimated using 1985 functional cost analysis data the findings indicate that banks in unit banking states experience diseconomies of scale banks in branching states experience diseconomies of scale at the bank level but economies of scale at the branch level we also find evidence of economies of scope for branch state banks but not for unit state banks

efficiency effects of horizontal in market bank mergers abstract this study conducts tests to determine whether banks involved in horizontal mergers achieve efficiency improvements relative to other firms the analysis covers 898 bank mergers from 1981 to 1986 efficiency is measured by various expense ratios the results based on ols and logit analysis are robust they indicate that during 1981 1986 horizontal bank mergers did not yield efficiency gains notably the findings are based on the mergers believed to be most likely to result in efficiency gains i e they are horizontal mergers the firms exhibit considerable deposit overlap and the acquiring firms are on average more efficient than the acquired

branch bank operating costs evidence from savings banks in finland empirical findings on branch bank operating costs are presented the analyses examine 1988 data for 646 individual branch offices representing 43 savings banks in finland another sample of 48 unit banks with no branches is collected comparisons of plant scale economics are made using the more traditional approach based on aggregate branch bank data versus individual branch office data moreover effects of the number of branches in the branching organization on individual branch office operating costs are examined finally direct comparisons of branch office versus unit bank operating costs are provided

efficiency in the commercial banking industry a production frontier approach 1990 efficiency in the commercial banking industry a production frontier approach applied economics vol 22 no 4 pp 539 551

testing for expense preference behavior mutual versus stock savings and loans this article investigates expense preference behavior in the savings and loan industry previous studies used an intercept test and in general concluded that managers of mutual s ls exhibit expense preference behavior i derive the necessary and sufficient conditions on cost functions for the intercept test to be valid these restrictions are rejected for the savings and loan industry stock and mutual s ls have different cost structures and both have non cobb douglas production technologies i derive a new more general test for expense preference behavior that does not require the restrictive assumptions of the intercept test the results of this test do not support earlier conclusions of managerial expense preferences

does daylight saving time save electricity evidence from slovakia abstract the european union has recently decided to stop the policy of biannual clock changes in 2021 one reason is that the original rationale for the policy energy savings is not supported by a large portion of recent empirical studies whether the new permanent time will be standard time or the former daylight saving time has not been decided evidence on energy savings from daylight saving time is country specific and each country may choose its own time we examine the effects of the policy in a country for which no studies on daylight saving exist slovakia using hourly data from the 2010 2017 period we apply a difference in differences approach and estimate energy savings to equal 1 of annual electricity consumption alternatively extrapolating the effect from the results of a previous meta analysis on different countries for slovakia we obtain a smaller estimate unlikely to exceed 0 5 moreover our findings suggest that daylight saving time smooths the electricity demand curve

homogeneity restrictions on the translog cost model a note benston hanweck and humphrey bhh 1 first applied the translog cost model to empirical analyses of depository institutions cost characteristics subsequent studies by benston berger hanweck and humphrey bbhh 2 murray and white 7 gilligan and smirlock 4 and gilligan smirlock and marshall gsm 5 have employed this type of flexible form cost function as a regularity condition the translog cost model should be linearly homogenous in all input prices that is given the following translog cost function

deregulation and oligopolistic rivalry in bank deposit markets abstract this paper provides a partial equilibrium analysis of a deregulated market for bank deposits in which banks behave oligopolistically but entry and exit are freely permitted it is demonstrated that the effects of variations in market interest rates reserve requirements and bank cost and demand conditions upon the market quantity of bank deposit money are fundamentally altered if the degree of bank rivalry adjusts endogenously hence banking deregulation may produce significant changes in the relationships between these variables and the stock of deposit money

the structure of technology in a multioutput branch banking firm we formulate and estimate a multioutput bank s cost function amenable for distinguishing between economies of scale and economies of network density we find significant returns to network density especially for smaller banks diseconomies of scale are found for the larger banks whereas the hypothesis of constant returns to scale could not be rejected for the smaller banks