learning from own and others previous experience the contribution of the venture capital firm to the likelihood of a portfolio company s trade sale the objective of this paper is to examine to what extent different venture capital firms contribute to the likelihood that the portfolio company in which they invested will realize a trade sale we use arguments from learning theory to hypothesize the relationship between vicarious experiential and congenital learning of the venture capital vc firm and the trade sale hazard of its portfolio companies based on our analysis of 206 vc backed uk start ups we find that both trade sale experience of the vc and learning from syndicate partners with trade sale experience significantly increase the trade sale hazard the routines and procedures learned from experienced syndicate partners complement experience accumulated through trial and error congenital trade sale experience of the investment managers on the contrary has no significant influence on the acquisition hazard

mutual forbearance and competition among security analysts research in industrial organization and strategic management has shown that rivals competing with each other in multiple markets are more willing to show each other mutual forbearance i e compete less aggressively within their spheres of influence i e the markets in which each firm dominates sell side equity analysts typically cover multiple stocks in common with their rivals we examine the impact of this multipoint contact for mutual forbearance on two key dimensions of competition among security analysts forecast accuracy and information leadership issuing earnings forecasts or stock recommendations that influence rival analysts we find that multipoint contact is associated with analysts exerting greater information leadership on stocks within their own spheres of influence we also find greater forbearance related to information leadership under regulation fair disclosure reg fd in contrast multipoint contact was not associated with greater forecast accuracy on stocks within analysts

hrm practices r d expenditure and innovative investment evidence from the uk s 1990 workplace industrial relations survey wirs uk labour flexibility is often portrayed as necessary for an innovative economy using evidence from the uk s 1990 workplace industrial relations survey we investigate the relationships between firms human resource management practices and innovation our results suggest that low road hrm practices short term contracts etc are negatively correlated with investment in r d and new technology high road work practices high commitment organization and other systems are positively correlated with investment in r d and new technology copyright 1999 by oxford university press

business group affiliation and firm search behavior in india responsiveness and focus of attention this paper investigates the effects of organizational form on problemistic search we contrast how indian firms affiliated with business groups and unaffiliated firms evaluate performance and react by adjusting their internal technology search and external market search we propose that compared with unaffiliated firms business group affiliated bg affiliated firms are more externally oriented in setting aspiration levels and more likely to respond to low performance in the market domain we find support for an external orientation of bg affiliated firms and find that group affiliation determines the responsiveness to performance feedback in different search domains the findings suggest a need to add considerations of organizational form and governance to the theory of organizational search

more labour market flexibility for more innovation evidence from employer employee linked micro data this paper examines labour market flexibility in various definitions and its impact on innovation the results demonstrate that the relationship strongly depends on the type of innovation as well as the predominant innovation regime in which a company operates thereby labour market flexibility does not influence innovation in an entrepreneurial innovation regime characterised by high competition low market entry barriers and generally available knowledge that might explain why the silicon valley has been successful despite of having a labour market with a strong strong hire and fire mentality in contrast labour market flexibility significantly reduces the likelihood of innovation in a routinised innovation regime with leading innovators and high entry barriers similar to the us automobile industry and steel districts that did not succeed these findings emphasise that the currently discussed structural labour market reforms might hamper innovation as technological change still requires a level of security and stability

us europe differences in technology driven growth quantifying the role of education abstract european economic growth has been weak compared to the us since the 1980s in previous work krueger and kumar 2003 nber working paper no 9410 we argued that the european focus on specialized vocational education might have been effective during the 1960s and 1970s but resulted in a growth gap relative to the us during the subsequent information age when new technologies emerged more rapidly in this paper we extend our framework to assess the quantitative importance of education policy when compared to labor market rigidity and product market regulation other policy differences more commonly suggested to be responsible for us europe differences a decomposition exercise using a calibrated version of our model assigns a major role to education policy in explaining us europe growth differences

a time series analysis of representative agent models of consumption andleisure choice under uncertainty this paper investigates empirically a model of aggregate consumption and leisure decisions in which utility from goods and leisure is nontime separable the nonseparability of preferences accommodates intertemporal substitution or complementarity of leisure and thereby affects the comovements in aggregate compensation and hours worked these cross relations are examined empirically using postwar monthly u s data on quantities real wages and the real return on the one month treasury bill the estimated values of the parameters governing preferences differ significantly from the values assumed in several studies of real business models several possible explanations of these discrepancies are discussed

the performance of us corporations 1981 1994 this study decomposes the performance of us public firms between 1981 and 1994 into year industry corporate focus and firm effects performance is measured by tobin s q accounting profitability and a hybrid measure the results show that firm effects were more important to performance than industry effects although industry effects had a large permanent component corporate focus was not important the stylized facts suggest that competitive advantages that is differences between direct competitors in the same industry were at least as important as industry influences on performance industry influences were more predictable and sustainable than competitive advantages however

reassessing patent propensity evidence from a dataset of r d awards 1977 2004 it is well known that not all innovations are patented but the exact volume of innovative activities undertaken outside the coverage of patent protection and relatedly the actual propensity to patent an innovation in different contexts remain to a major degree a matter of speculation this paper presents an exploratory study comparing systematically patented and unpatented innovations over the period 1977 2004 across industrial sectors the main data source is the r d 100 awards competition organized by the journal research and development since 1963 the magazine has been awarding this prize to the 100 most technologically significant new products available for sale or licensing in the year preceding the judgments we match the products winners of the r d 100 awards competition with uspto patents and we examine the variation of patent propensity across different contexts industries geographical areas and organizations finally we compare our findings with previous assessments of patent propensity based on several sources of data

sources procedures and microeconomic effects of innovation fabio arcangeli paul david frank engelman christopher freeman massimo moggi richard nelson luigi orsenigo nathan rosenberg michele salvati g n von tunzelman two anonymous referees and the participants at the meeting of the committee on distribution growth and technical progress of the italian national research council cnr rome november 16 1985 have helped with various redraftings a particularly grateful acknowledgment is for the insightful and patient help of moses abramovitz this work has been undertaken at the science policy research unit spru university of sussex as part of the research program of the designated research centre sponsored by the economic and social research council esrc earlier support to the research that led to this paper by the italian national research council cnr is also gratefully acknowledged the statistical research has been undertaken with the assistance of stephano brioschi ilaria fornari and giovannu prennushi

asset stock accumulation and sustainability of competitive advantage given incomplete factor markets appropriate time paths of flow variables must be chosen to build required stocks of assets that is critical resources are accumulated rather than acquired in strategic factor markets barney barney j 1986 strategic factor markets expectations luck and business strategy management sci october 1231 1241 sustainability of a firm s asset position hinges on how easily assets can be substituted or imitated imitability is linked to the characteristics of the asset accumulation process time compression diseconomies asset mass efficiencies inter connectedness asset erosion and causal ambiguity

place space and geographical exposure foreign subsidiary survival in conflict zones this study focuses on the role of geography in foreign subsidiary survival in host countries afflicted by political conflict we argue that survival is a function of exposure to conflicts and depends on the characteristics of place the conflict zone and space geographic concentration and dispersion of other home country firms the roles of place and space are explored using street level analysis of geographic information systems data for 670 japanese multinational enterprises mne subsidiaries in 25 conflict afflicted host countries over 1987 2006 through dynamic modeling of conflict zones as stretchable and shrinkable places relative to subsidiary locations we develop a means of characterizing a foreign subsidiary s exposure to multiple threats in its geographic domain our results show that greater exposure to geographically defined threats in both a static and a dynamic sense reduces the likelihood of mne survival the findings indicate moreover that both concentration and dispersion with other firms affect survival however the effects depend on where the firm is spatially located whether the firm is in a conflict zone and with whom home country peers or sister subsidiaries

consumption leisure choice with habit formation abstract in an intertemporal consumption leisure choice model with wage uncertainty and habit forming consumption we have shown that consumption and leisure do move in opposite directions consistent with the observed pro cyclicy of aggregate hours worked

firm scope experience historic multimarket contact with partners centrality and the relationship between structural holes and performance this study investigates characteristics that affect the relationship between firms positions in a network of collaborative ties with other firms and their performance firms located in similarly structured networks rich in structural holes may obtain different performance results depending on their 1 capacity to absorb heterogeneous information 2 ability to protect against partner noncooperation and 3 bargaining power in this paper i argue that firms with a wide scope of experience have superior absorptive capacity for dealing with heterogeneous information hence such firms will be able to extract performance improvements from network positions rich in structural holes furthermore firms with a high level of historic multimarket contact mmc with their partners are able to reduce the risks of partner noncooperation hence augmenting their performance compared to firms in open networks that do not enjoy mmc with their own partners finally firms of low centrality in the industry s network of alliances will extract performance benefits from enhancing bargaining power as a result of exploiting brokerage opportunities in open networks these arguments are corroborated in a study of relationships formed among investment banks advising on the merger and acquisition transactions in the united kingdom between 1992 and 2001

back to basics behavioral theory and internationalization international business ib scholars over reliance on a select few theories leaves our understanding of firm internationalization incomplete the behavioral theory of the firm btf can offer new insights and can be used to model a broad range of firm actions we focus on the three basic btf components problemistic search learning by doing and vicarious learning these components help us understand why firm behaviors are more dynamic and heterogeneous than other theories allow btf with its emphasis on how firms assess performance according to aspiration levels selectively learn and update routines and selectively incorporate the learning of others is better suited to examine the diversity and change increasingly observed in internationalization decisions we explain why scholars should move beyond dynamizing static theories and show btf s applicability to behaviors involving change such as multi mode market entries and market re entries btf also helps examine the decision to internationalize in the first place nascent firm internationalization location choices international market adaptation and headquarter subsidiary relationships we encourage ib scholars to use theories that can handle the complexity increasingly associated with modern firm growth and propose btf as a promising starting point

opportunities incentives and the collective patterns of technological change in a few pages in the introductory article for this debate vernon ruttan succeeds in the unlikely task of flagging many issues at the core of the economic interpretation of technological change and by doing so he implicitly addresses also a few sensitive spots for the economic discipline at large here i will not attempt to provide any thorough view of what i consider the achievements and limitations of the current state of the art see however freeman i 994 for a critical survey which i largely share rather i shall put forward a series of remarks which hopefully could be seen as part of a much wider and still largely unexplored research programme as a premise just note that some form of attention to technology related phenomena has spread over the last 20 30 years from small enclaves of heterodox economists and economic historians to become an important concern even for quite mainstream theories of e g the firm industrial organisation macroeconomics trade growth etc from patent races all the way to new trade and new growth theories and even real business cycle macro models technical change has drawn a consideration which is less by default than it was say in robert solow s original growth models orjoe bain s barriers to entry views on industrial structures and in parallel empirical studies at the levels of specific technologies firms sectors and countries have boomed for overviews cf dosi i988 nelson i993 freeman i982 i 994 cohen i 995 and granstrand i 994 among others so at least in this sense those decreasing returns to the economics of technical change suggested by ruttan do not seem to have set in however ruttan s paper raises also substantive questions about the relative success of three interpretative perspectives which he calls induced evolutionary and path dependent in the following i shall argue that an evolutionary perspective broadly defined can easily accommodate both inducement effects and path dependent patterns of technical change let me start from what i consider the major building blocks of an

labor market regulation the diversity of knowledge and skill and national innovation performance abstract the diversity of knowledge and skill is an important element of a national system of innovation we propose a theory of how certain labor market institutions affect diversity and through that route affect levels of innovation specifically unemployment protection up encourages diversity by reducing the risk burden of a broad range of learning or human capital investment for that reason up fosters innovation employment protection ep reduces the risk burden of a much narrower range of learning for this reason it will not enhance diversity to the extent up does and it may actually depress overall diversity and innovation our approach differs from previous research on labor market insurance and skill formation much of which has dealt with a distinction between general and specific skills and which has treated the effects of up and ep as similar estimating the effects of up and ep on patenting for 25 oecd countries over 24 years we find a positive effect from up a negative effect from ep and evidence that the up effect is mediated by diversity of skill

will a second mouse get the cheese learning from early entrants failures in a foreign market we examine the conditions that can facilitate or hinder the effectiveness with which a new entrant learns from the failures of prior entrants by analyzing the experiences of 822 japanese subsidiaries in china founded between 1979 and 2000 our conceptual arguments and empirical findings demonstrate that learning from the failure experiences of prior entrants increases a new entrant s survival chances when entering china further we find that the value of this learning is less effective when there is a greater level of heterogeneity in the causes of these failures however this learning is more effective when a new entrant s parent firm has ownership ties with investors who had ventures that failed previously in china

sectoral patterns of technical change towards a taxonomy and a theory abstract the purpose of the paper is to describe and explain sectoral patterns of technical change as revealed by data on about 2000 significant innovations in britain since 1945 most technological knowledge turns out not to be information that is generally applicable and easily reproducible but specific to firms and applications cumulative in development and varied amongst sectors in source and direction innovating firms principally in electronics and chemicals are relatively big and they develop innovations over a wide range of specific product groups within their principal sector but relatively few outside firms principally in mechanical and instrument engineering are relatively small and specialised and they exist in symbiosis with large firms in scale intensive sectors like metal manufacture and vehicles who make a significant contribution to their own process technology in textile firms on the other hand most process innovations come from suppliers these characteristics and variations can be classified in a three part taxonomy based on firms 1 supplier dominated 2 production intensive 3 science based they can be explained by sources of technology requirements of users and possibilities for appropriation this explanation has implications for our understanding of the sources and directions of technical change firms diversification behaviour the dynamic relationship between technology and industrial structure and the formation of technological skills and advantages at the level of the firm the region and the country

cultural differences mne learning abilities and the effect of experience on subsidiary mortality in a dissimilar culture evidence from korean mnes in a departure from prior studies presuming a beneficial experience effect in foreign direct investment fdi the present paper examines the conditions under which fdi experience may actually harm subsequent subsidiaries we argue that multinational enterprises mnes may draw erroneous inferences and learn incorrectly from their early expansions when new to a dissimilar culture because their learning abilities are eroded by cultural differences we posit that the characteristics of an mne s international expansion including scope pace rhythm and entry mode moderate this negative experience effect by influencing the mne s learning ability in foreign cultures using a data set of fdis by south korean mnes between 1990 and 2006 we find a positive relationship between subsidiary mortality and experience when an mne has a low level of experience in a dissimilar culture this relationship is weaker if the mne s prior fdi has been dispersed across different cultures is stronger if it expanded internationally at a fast pace and becomes negative once the mne has accumulated a high level of experience in the host culture we conclude that when expanding into dissimilar cultures mnes must establish mechanisms to mitigate incorrect learning and reexamine the correctness of inferences drawn from past experience before applying them

inward technology transfer and competitiveness the role of national innovation systems this paper examines the role of national innovation systems in the inward transfer of technology that has underpinned the transformation of japan and other east asian economies since 1945 the economies that have benefited most from inward technology transfer have national innovation systems that have strengthened their national absorptive capacity this capacity relies primarily on investments in scientific and technical training and on economic policies that enforce competition among domestic firms the particular channels for inward technology transfer the identity of any strategic industries targeted for public intervention and the overall level of a nation s trade restrictions are ail of secondary importance a central theme of global economic change during the postwar period has been the application in less developed countries of technologies developed within economically advanced regions this phenomenon underpinned the post 1945 transformation of japan and other east asian economies and influenced the reconstruction of western european economies after world war ii the application of externally developed technologies within latecomer economies is hardly unique to the postwar period however samuel slater s introduction of british textile manufacturing is but one example of inward technology transfer in the nineteenth century us economy and david 1992 traces the origins of patent monopolies to efforts by medieval european city states and nations to attract experts in industrial arts to practice their craft within these jurisdictions both international technology flows and government efforts to influence them for national competitive advantage thus have ample historical precedent several characteristics nevertheless distinguish the post 1945 era from earlier historical periods the influence of international technology transfer on national economic development has increased as the postwar development of such economies as taiwan and south korea has relied much less on natural resource endowments than nineteenth

the convergence of profits in the long run inter firm and inter industry comparisons this paper considers the extent to which the short run dynamic behavior and long run equilibrium levels of profitability differ among firms within the same industry movements in profits are modeled in terms of firm specific deviations from average industry profits and industry specific deviations from economy wide average returns applied to a sample of 217 large u k firms 1951 77 the results suggest that considerable heterogeneities exist within most industries that is most firms profitability experience differs considerably from those of their closest rivals copyright 1987 by blackwell publishing ltd

learning from age difference interorganizational learning and survival in japanese foreign subsidiaries this paper extends research on experiential learning of foreign subsidiaries by exploring the temporal conditions under which a foreign subsidiary can benefit from the experience of its sister subsidiaries building upon organizational evolution and learning literature we propose that differences in entry timing among sister subsidiaries provide structural conditions that bound the opportunities for inter subsidiary learning we argue that different entry cohorts of sister subsidiaries are beneficial to a focal subsidiary as they provide non redundant complementary experience from their different operational stages and ignite the motivation to learn our empirical analysis of japanese foreign subsidiaries provides strong evidence that survival is enhanced by the experience of different entry cohorts of sister subsidiaries but not by that of similar cohorts qualitative evidence also shows that multiple channels of experience exchange across sister subsidiaries lead to actual learning we further show that the survival benefit derived from different cohorts is contingent on the level of environmental change as well as on the level of experience of the focal subsidiary and its parent firm our research highlights the importance of temporal heterogeneity in the internationalization process and offers implications for the temporal strategy of multinational companies

the profitability concentration relation market power or efficiency industrial economists have been studying the relationship between profitability and concentration using cross industry samples for many years now however as sometimes happens once it appeared that some consensus had been achieved with few exceptions market concentration and industry profitability are positively correlated peltzman i977 p 229 people began to question the interpretation of those results in particular demsetz e g i973 i974 and others suggested that rather than concentration market power leading to higher prices and profits the causal direction in fact ran from greater efficiency to both higher profits and incidentally to higher concentration our purpose here is to subject these conflicting hypotheses to cross industry empirical test using u k data in order to do this we first develop a model which is sufficiently general to allow for both alternative explanations of a positive concentration profitability correlation in the light of this model we then examine the implications for the within industry relation between market share and firm level profitability more specifically we explore demsetz s claim that the empirical form of this relationship should signal which of the alternative hypotheses is consistent with the between industry profitability concentration correlation our model suggests that in certain special circumstances this claim is partly justified in that it should be possible to assess the relative strengths of the market power and efficiency effects from the within industry relation more generally however factors such as product differentiation and scale economies may seriously impair the information content of the relation with at least a strong suspicion that the estimates will tend to exaggerate the evidence in favour of the efficiency hypothesis in the event our results tend to confirm that for most industries the within industry data offer little conclusive support for either hypothesis but for a not insignificant minority of industries the evidence suggests some support for the view that both efficiency and market power are at work simultaneously our model is detailed in section ii and estimated on u k data in section iii after which we offer a few comments in section iv first however we drovide a backcloth to the later analysis

how europe s economies learn a comparison of work organization and innovation mode for the eu 15 this article explores the link between the organization of work and innovation by developing national aggregate indicators for the eu member states of organizational forms and innovation modes how firms innovate the organizational indicators are constructed from the third european survey of working conditions results for 8081 salaried employees in 2000 the innovation mode indicators are calculated using the results of the third community innovation survey cis 3 for innovation activities between 1998 and 2000 the analysis shows that in nations where work is organized to support high levels of discretion in solving complex problems firms tend to be more active in terms of innovations developed through their in house creative efforts in countries where learning and problem solving on the job are more constrained and little discretion is left to the employee firms tend to engage in a supplier dominated innovation strategy their technological renewal depends more on the absorption of innovations developed elsewhere these patterns remain when we divide the economies into manufacturing and services the results suggest that in order to understand national systems of innovation it is necessary to bring the mode of organization of work into the analysis early conceptions of national innovation systems were built upon an analysis of interactive learning between producers and users now the analysis needs to be founded also on an understanding of how people interact and learn at the workplace in different national economies the results also suggest that european policy efforts to improve innovation performance as part of the revised lisbon strategy would benefit from a stronger focus on the diffusion of innovative forms of work organization a step in this direction would be to develop indicators of work organization that could be directly linked to innovation performance

general education vocational education and labor market outcomes over the life cycle policy proposals promoting vocational education focus on the school to work transition but with technological change gains in youth employment may be offset by less adaptability and diminished employment later in life to test for this tradeoff we employ a difference in differences approach that compares employment rates across different ages for people with general and vocational education using microdata for 11 countries from ials we find strong and robust support for such a tradeoff especially in countries emphasizing apprenticeship programs german microcensus data and austrian administrative data confirm the results for within occupational group analysis and for exogenous variation from plant closures respectively

when national innovation system meet varieties of capitalism arguments on labour qualifications on the skill types and scientific knowledge needed for radical and incremental product innovations the literatures on varieties of capitalism voc and national innovation systems nis propose very similar arguments about how firms require different types of labour qualifications to pursue strategies of radical product innovation rpi incremental product innovation ipi and product imitation pi respectively despite their similar lines of reasoning however the voc scholars are concerned with the skill profiles of a firm s entire workforce whereas the nis proponents focus on the knowledge base of scientists given that both literatures have developed without explicitly taking the arguments of the neighbouring discipline into account it is thus unclear whether they explain the same or different phenomena furthermore both literatures propose firm level arguments but test them on the basis of macro rather than micro level indicators this paper therefore asks first does micro level evidence support the voc and nis arguments that particular types of employee skills and knowledge backgrounds of scientists are needed for different competitive strategies and if so do rpi ipi and pi firms need to employ scientists in combination with a workforce having the respective qualifications or is it sufficient if scientists or employees alone are adequately qualified quantitative analyses indicate that a particular mix of scientific knowledge combined with employee skills facilitate rpi ipi and pi strategies the article thus concludes that despite their similar reasoning the voc and the nis literatures indeed describe different phenomena without being aware of the synergies created whenever adequate employee and scientific qualifications are hired together

specialization and size of technological activities in industrial countries the analysis of patent data abstract the determinants and direction of the technological specialization of advanced countries are investigated in this paper using patent counts and citations as technology indicators during the 1980s international patenting increased more rapidly than the resources devoted to r d indicating a globalization of technology markets paralleled by a growing degree of sectoral specialization of countries innovative activities a clear cut inverse relationship between countries technological size measured by cumulative r d expenditure and degree of specialization has been found only large countries can afford to spread their activities across most technological fields while small and medium sized countries are to some extent forced to specialize in more narrow niches some methodological aspects in the use of patenting as an internationally comparable indicator are also discussed considerable differences emerged between patent specialization profiles in the internal and in external markets firms tend to protect their internal market through patenting also in fields where they do not excel at the international level leading to a smoother specialization profile

an econometric analysis of fluctuations in aggregate labor supply and demand the paper contains a simple equilibrium model of the labor market the supply function allows for intertemporal substitution in response to real wage fluctuations and the demand function allows for adjustment costs on employment the supply and demand functions both solve quadratic partial adjustment problems driven by rational expectations about future real wages the market equilibrium also solves a partial adjustment problem driven by rational expectations about future preference and technology shocks two related issues are emphasized the identification of dynamic labor supply and demand functions and the theoretical interpretation of serial correlation in employment and real wages when the supply and demand shocks are assumed to be ar 1 processes which are not causally related the model delivers a simple structure for the equilibrium process for employment and real wages which is a restricted var 2 this simple structure facilitates the interpretation of summary statistics on the time series properties of observed employment and real wage series the supply and demand functions can both be locally identified using only employment and real wage data an illustrative application is presented using u s manufacturing data for the period 1948 1971

intertemporal preferences and labor supply in this paper the authors examine whether nonseparable preference structures ar e important in characterizing life cycle labor supply using longitud inal data on prime age males from the panel study of income dynamics they estimate a model of life cycle leisure and consumption under un certainty in which intertemporal preferences are allowed to be nonsep arable in leisure the model tests several alternative specifications considered in the literature they investigate the robustness of the ir findings to certain forms of population heterogeneity and types of model misspecification across alternative specifications the autho rs find that the standard assumption of intertemporally separable pre ferences for leisure is not consistent with the data copyright 1988 by the econometric society

technology systems and technology policy in an evolutionary framework the central purpose of this paper is to outline an evolutionary theory of technology policy and to connect it with the emerging literature on national systems of innovation any understanding of technology policy must be based on a clear understanding of the nature of technology and the important differences between science and technology technology can be treated in terms of knowledge skills and artifacts and in each case there are different variety generating mechanisms different selection processes and different institutional structures for policy purposes the degree of connection between these different dimensions of technology is at the core of technology policy c 1995 academic press inc copyright 1995 by oxford university press

human capital risk and economic growth this paper develops a tractable incomplete markets model of economic growth in which households invest in risk free physical capital and risky human capital the paper shows that a reduction in uninsurable idiosyncratic labor income risk decreases physical capital investment but increases human capital investment growth and welfare a quantitative analysis based on a calibrated version of the model reveals that these effects are substantial and of the same order of magnitude as the effects of distortionary income taxation the analysis further suggests that government sponsored severance payments to displaced workers increase growth and welfare even if these payments have to be e nanced through distortionary income taxation

excess sensitivity and asymmetries in consumption an empirical investigation most empirical studies on liquidity constraints classify a consumer as being constrained on the basis of a single indicator such as the asset to income ratio in this analysis the authors model the probability that a consumer faces liquidity constraints as a function of multiple social and economic factors this probability function is estimated simultaneously with the degree of excess sensitivity of consumption to income in a switching regressions framework the switching regressions apply optimal weights to the densities for the euler equations in the two states and are less susceptible to sample misclassification our results based on data from the cex confirm that liquidity constrained consumers are excessively sensitive to variables already known to economic agents however there is also evidence that the unconstrained consumers exhibit behavior that is inconsistent with the theoretical predictions further analysis suggests that such behavior could be explained by time non separable preferences copyright 1997 by ohio state university press

a great wall of patents what is behind china s recent patent explosion abstract china s patent surge documented in this paper is seemingly paradoxical given the country s weak record of protecting intellectual property rights using a firm level data set that spans the population of china s large and medium size industrial enterprises this paper explores the factors that account for china s rising patent activity while the intensification of research and development in the chinese economy tracks with patenting activity it explains only a fraction of the patent explosion the growth of foreign direct investment in china is prompting chinese firms to file for more patent applications amendments to the patent law that favor patent holders and ownership reform that has clarified the assignment of property rights also emerge as significant sources of china s patent boom these results are robust to alternative estimation strategies that account for over dispersion in the patent counts data and firm heterogeneity

little innovation many jobs an econometric analysis of the italian labour productivity crisis during the past twenty years italy has realized changes in labour legislation leading to a decentralization of wage bargaining and increased flexibility in labour relations both these factors have helped to curb wage growth and to enhance employment growth but have also led to a crisis in italian labour productivity growth our estimates among 3 000 firms show that firms with high shares of flexible workers a high labour turnover and lower costs of labour relative to capital experienced significantly lower rates of labour productivity growth our findings raise doubts about the mainstream call for flexibilisation of european labour markets we argue hat the italian shift towards a low productive and labour intensive growth path is problematic gainst the background of an ageing population

the evolution of intraindustry firm heterogeneity insights from a process study in this study we propose a process framework for understanding the evolution of intraindustry firm heterogeneity drawing on a longitudinal study of the development of the cellular telephone servi

labour supply with habit formation abstract in a model with habit forming labour supply we show that standard myopic utility maximisation of a person weakly addicted to a harmful habit is consistent with empirical results on labour supply

the national system of innovation in historical perspective contrary to some recent work on so called globalisation this paper argues that national and regional systems of innovation remain an essential domain of economic analysis their importance derives from the networks of relationships which are necessary for any firm to innovate whilst external international connections are certainly of growing importance the influence of the national education system industrial relations technical and scientific institutions government policies cul tural traditions and many other national institutions is fundamental the historical examples of germany japan and the former ussr illustrate this point as well as the more recent contrast between east asian and latin american countries introduction the national system of friedrich list according to this author s recollections the first person to use the expression national system of innovation was bengt ake lundvall and he is also the editor of a highly original and thought provoking book 1992 on this subject however as he and his colleagues would be the first to agree and as lundvall himself points out the idea actually goes back at least to friedrich list s conception of the national system of political economy 1841 which might just as well have been called the national system of innovation the main concern of list was with the problem of germany overtaking england and for underdeveloped countries as germany then was in relation to england he advocated not only protection of infant industries but a broad range of policies designed to accelerate or to make possible industrialisation and economic growth most of these policies were concerned with learning about new technology and applying it the racialist and colonialist overtones of the book were in strong contrast to the inter nationalist cosmopolitan approach of the classical free trade economists and list s belief that holland and denmark should join the german bund and acquire german nationality because of their descent and whole character reads somewhat strangely in the european community of today nevertheless despite these unattractive features of his outlook he clearly anticipated many contemporary theories after reviewing the changing ideas of economists about development in the years since the second world war the world bank 1991 concludes that it is intangible investment in knowledge accumulation which is decisive rather than physical capital investment as was at one time believed pages 33 35 the report cites the new growth theory

industry differences in the persistence of firm specific returns some firms such as kellogg nestle hewlett packard and boeing have consistently earned significantly higher returns than their immediate competitors why do intraindustry rents persist for these firms competition typically erodes these rents as evidenced by the strong convergence of firm profitability to the industry mean illustrated in figure 1 i claim that the persistence of these firmspecific rents depends at least partly on industry economic structure similar to richard e caves and michael e porter s 1977 mobility barriers so the rents are more persistent in some industries than others in this paper i test which of the theoretical industry factors are significant to support my claim i also show that the persistence of abnormal returns differs widely and systematically across industries for example an industry with highly persistent profitability differences is the american automobile industry in the 1970 s as illustrated by figure 2 which graphs differences in returns on assets roa s over time throughout the 1970 s general motors maintained a persistent significant profitability advantage over ford while ford held a persistent advantage over chrysler this situation did change later but it is still true that during the 1970 s there was no apparent convergence of profitability differences among the big three auto makers a comparison of figures 1 and 2 suggests that the economy wide result of figure 1 is merely an average over very different industries with convergence rates ranging from almost zero as in automobiles in the 1970 s to very rapid my methods for estimating persistence of above average returns improve on previous studies in several ways first i only consider the persistence of returns around the industry mean the persistence of this intra industry or firm specific rent rather than total rent has not been previously investigated yet the factors affecting firm specific rents need not be the same as those affecting industry rents second i estimate persistence in several ways finally i use a wider range of explanatory variables than earlier studies this study is structured as follows section i explains the concept of persistent firmspecific rents later sections specify the empirical model and estimate persistence by industry section ii theoretically relate industry factors to these varying persistence estimates section iii discuss cross sectional regression estimates section iv and provide conclusions section v

the deterrence effects of vicarious punishments on corporate financial fraud this study extends the research on corporate financial fraud by developing a new perspective on the deterrence effects of vicarious punishments premised on social learning theory we posit that firms vicariously learn about punishments from their peers by picking up modeling cues environmental cues and social cues in the inhibitive learning process thus being deterred from committing future fraudulence using a matched sample of 604 observations of chinese listed firms between 2002 and 2008 our findings show that an observing firm is deterred from committing fraud if the peers in its industry are caught and punished we further find that such deterrence effects are subject to how the observing firm evaluates the possibility of being caught and the likelihood it will be punished the same way if it violates similar prohibitions in particular inhibitive learning effects are positively moderated by punishments of prominent firms and model observer similarity but negatively attenuated by the development of the legal system our study sheds light on the corporate fraud literature by illuminating the indirect inhibitive learning process from vicarious punishments and identifying the conditions for differential learning deterrence outcomes of the observing firms

sectoral systems of innovation and production the concept sectoral system of innovation and production provides a multidimensional integrated and dynamic view of sectors it is proposed that a sectoral system is a set of products and the set of agents carrying out market and non market interactions for the creation production and sale of those products a sectoral systems has a specific knowledge base technologies inputs and demand agents are individuals and organizations at various levels of aggregation they interact through processes of communication exchange co operation competition and command and these interactions are shaped by institutions a sectoral system undergoes change and transformation through the co evolution of its various elements 2002 elsevier science b v all rights reserved

do organizations have to change to learn examining the effects of technological change and learning from failures in the natural gas distribution industry failures contain valuable information however organizations vary at learning from them i ask whether failures prompt organizations to make technological investments and whether these investments help boost performance beyond improvements gained through direct organizational learning i test hypotheses on natural gas distributors to determine whether they enhance their performance by learning directly by recognizing failures as prompts to invest in safer technologies or through a combination results suggest that distributors learn directly though firms which also invest in related technologies are able to gain some additional benefits copyright 2010 the author 2010 published by oxford university press on behalf of associazione icc all rights reserved oxford university press

organizational incentives and organizational mortality despite a long tradition of research on organizational mortality organizational theorists have not examined the effect of incentive contracting on firm survival this paper fills this gap by examining the effect of incentive contracting on the survival of u s business format franchise systems over the period 1984 1996 the paper finds empirical support for several hypotheses derived from efficient contracting theory in general large firms that adopt policies which screen agents signal quality and control agents free riding are more likely to survive than large firms which do not adopt these policies

sustained competitive advantage temporal dynamics and the incidence and persistence of superior economic performance competitive advantage is a key concept in strategic management research for a number of reasons not the least of which is that an avowed consequence of its attainment is held to be superior economic performance however few prior empirical studies have directly and systematically documented the incidence or prevalence of persistent superior economic performance the research reported here is based on empirical studies of a large number of industry samples for which longitudinal data were stratified by levels of performance using a new methodology and then analyzed in terms of their dynamics this new stratification technique was used in lieu of autoregressive methods employed in prior studies of performance persistence to allow for a true outlier analysis because persistent superior economic performance both has been argued theoretically and found empirically to be rare detailed results from a sample of 6 772 firms in 40 industries over 25 years are presented to illustrate the findings that 1 while some firms do exhibit superior economic performance 2 only a very small minority do so and 3 the phenomenon very rarely persists for long time frames these results while not providing direct support for a particular extant strategic management or economic theory concerning firm performance are most consonant with the resource based view of the firm and have implications for significant aspects of other received strategic management and economic theories

is flexible labour good for innovation evidence from firm level data whether the use of flexible workers is damaging to innovation or not depends on the dominant innovation regime in a sector in sectors with a routinised innovation regime high shares of low paid temporary workers have a negative impact on the probability that firms invest in r d in sectors that tend towards a garage business regime however flexibility has no impact the two innovation regimes differ in the nature of their knowledge base reliance on generally available knowledge or dependence on a firm s historically accumulated knowledge base innovation in the latter regime benefits from longer job durations our results are consistent with findings in macro level studies that coordinated market economies with rigid labour markets have higher labour productivity gains than liberalised market economies

technological pre adaptation speciation and emergence of new technologies how corning invented and developed fiber optics this article investigates how established firms innovate and even initiate new technological trajectories we build on and expand the notion of technological speciation to describe how a new technology emerges when a firm leverages its technological knowledge into a new application domain current research on technological speciation does not investigate how firms accumulate the technological knowledge which they eventually redeploy into different domains nor does it clarify the precise role of luck historical accidents and foresight strategy in shaping the overall process this requires a finer grained investigation of the microprocesses and evolutionary forces underlying the dynamics of technological speciation to this end we use a longitudinal case study of corning s invention and development of fiber optics technology we focus less on testing theory and more on describing a phenomenon to generate new theoretical insight

panic and panacea brain drain and science and technology human capital policy abstract brain drain the diffusion of skilled human capital particularly scientific and technical human capital sthc from home to host country is of concern to many nations traditional brain drain control policies target the human capital embodied in a skilled individual based on a case study of brain drain panic in new zealand in 2000 this paper explores new stimulation brain drain policy approaches including building research excellence and exploiting the diaspora that take into account the situated and networked nature of sthc diaspora policies imply a reframing of national sthc no longer circumscribed by geographic boundaries but by national affiliation

collusion versus differential efficiency testing alternative hypotheses the predictions of collusion and efficiency based static equilibrium explanations of interindustry profitability differences are formally developed and tested using appropriate econometric techniques with intraindustry data on seventy u s internal revenue service minor manufacturing industries in 1963 and 1972 none of the explanations has much explanatory power the 1963 data are consistent with collusion based models while the 1972 data are inconsistent with all non null hypotheses considered patterns of profitability are sharply different in the two years in complex ways apparently unrelated to cyclical forces or the phase ii price controls implications of these results are discussed copyright 1987 by blackwell publishing ltd

experience imitation and the sequence of foreign entry wholly owned and joint venture manufacturing by south korean firms and business groups in china 1987 1995 the evolution of foreign entry in the form of joint ventures and wholly owned manufacturing operations is examined as a staged process shaped by experience and imitation dynamics at the firm group and industry levels of analysis the expansion of south korean firms into china between 1987 and 1995 lends support to the staged view of foreign entry over time technology intensive firms are more likely to abandon joint venture entry modes owing to contractual hazards firms in the same business group are found to imitate each other s choice of joint ventures and wholly owned plants firms in the same industry mimic each other s choice of wholly owned plants though not of joint ventures

firm and country level trade offs and contingencies in the evaluation of foreign investment the semiconductor industry 1994 2002 this paper examines the joint impact of firm and country level factors on the international plant location decisions of semiconductor firms from 1994 2002 we find that these factors interact to influence the location decisions of firms investing abroad in a given host country firms with more advanced technological capabilities are more likely to make investments in countries with greater technological sophistication but not in politically hazardous countries where they face greater expropriation hazards firms with less advanced technology are more willing to accept a trade off between country level political hazards and technological sophistication firms also trade off own versus other firm experience as sources of critical knowledge regarding the foreign investment environment

opportunity and constraint organizations learning from the operating and competitive experience of industries organizational learning is central to a number of strategic theories recent arguments however identify risks associated with learning from own experience in the form of overattention to the short term and local conditions the experience of the industry may offer opportunities for organizational learning that the experience of the organization does not because industry experience is more varied and not tied to the path dependent history of any one organization we investigate the influence of own experience and of two types of industry experience on the failure rates of u s hotel chains the two types of industry experience are operating experience which is a discounted sum of the units operated by u s hotel chains in the history of the industry and competitive experience which is a discounted sum of the number of failures of u s hotel chains in the history of the industry we find that a organizations initially benefit from their own experience but are harmed in the long run b generalist organizations are more weakly affected by their own experience than specialists c organizations benefit from their industry s operating experience accumulated both before and after the organization s entry and d organizations benefit from their industry s competitive experience but only after the organization s entry 1997 by john wiley sons ltd

the growing importance of social skills in the labor market the labor market increasingly rewards social skills between 1980 and 2012 jobs requiring high levels of social interaction grew by nearly 12 percentage points as a share of the u s labor force math intensive but less social jobs including many stem occupations shrank by 3 3 percentage points over the same period employment and wage growth were particularly strong for jobs requiring high levels of both math skill and social skills to understand these patterns i develop a model of team production where workers trade tasks to exploit their comparative advantage in the model social skills reduce coordination costs allowing workers to specialize and work together more efficiently the model generates predictions about sorting and the relative returns to skill across occupations which i investigate using data from the nlsy79 and the nlsy97 using a comparable set of skill measures and covariates across survey waves i find that the labor market return to social skills was much greater in the 2000s than in the mid 1980s and 1990s

organizational learning and systems of labor market regulation in europe this article establishes a link between international differences in the organization of work and modes of regulation of labor markets within europe the article operates with four forms of work organization discretionary learning lean production taylorism and simple or traditional through a factor analysis three dimensions of national labor market systems flexible security passive security and job support are defined using a multi level logistic regression model that takes into account both characteristics of individuals and of national labor market systems it is shown that there is a significant positive correlation between flexible security and the prevalence of discretionary learning on this basis we point to an extension of flexible security in europe s labor markets as an adequate response to the current crisis

random walks and sustained competitive advantage strategy is concerned with sustained interfirm profitability differences observations of such sustained differences are often attributed to unobserved systematic a priori differences in firm characteristics this paper shows that sustained interfirm profitability differences may be very likely even if there are no a priori differences among firms as a result of the phenomenon of long leads in random walks even a random resource accumulation process is likely to produce persistent resource heterogeneity and sustained interfirm profitability differences a cournot model in which costs follow a random walk shows that such a process could produce evidence of substantial persistence of profitability the results suggest that persistent profitability does not necessarily provide strong evidence for systematic a priori differences among firms nevertheless since the phenomenon of long leads is highly unrepresentative of intuitive notions of random sequences such evidence may still be persuasive

the dynamics of company profits an international comparison 1 profits and the process of competition dennis c mueller 2 modelling persistent profitability paul a geroski 3 the persistence of profits in the united states dennis c mueller 4 the persistence of profits in us manufacturing industries ioannis kessides 5 the persistence of profitability in canada r shyam khemani and d m shapiro 6 persistence of corporate profits in the federal republic of germany joachim schwalbach and talat mahmood 7 the persistence of profits in france frederic jenny and andre paul weber 8 the persistence of profits in japan hiroyuki odagiri and hideki yamawaki 9 the persistence of profits in the uk john cubbin and paul a geroski 10 the persistence of profits international comparison hiroyuki odagiri and hideki yamawaki 11 the persistence of profits in perspective paul a geroski and dennis c mueller