modeling farm level crop insurance demand with panel data a random effects binomial probit model is applied to data for a panel of kansas wheat farms to examine multiple peril crop insurance demand a theoretical model is developed which suggests inclusion of the moments of both market return and the return to insurance empirical results indicate that the first and second moments of both market return and the returns to insurance are significant the price elasticity of demand is estimated to be 0 65 preseason weather variables when included in the models were not found to be significant failing to support the hypothesis of intertemporal adverse selection

uniqueness of market equilibrium on a network a peak load pricing approach abstract in this paper we establish conditions under which uniqueness of market equilibrium is obtained in a setup where prior to trading of electricity transmission capacities between different market regions are fixed in our setup firms facing fluctuating demand decide on the size and location of production facilities they make production decisions constrained by the invested capacities taking into account that market prices partially reflect scarce transmission capacities between the different market zones for this type of peak load pricing model on a network we state general conditions for existence and uniqueness of the market equilibrium and provide a characterization of equilibrium investment and production the presented analysis covers the cases of perfect competition and monopoly the case of strategic firms is approximated by a conjectural variations approach our result is a prerequisite for analyzing regulatory policy options with computational multilevel equilibrium models since uniqueness of the equilibrium at lower levels is of key importance when solving these models thus our paper contributes to an evolving strand of literature that analyzes regulatory policy based on computational multilevel equilibrium models and aims at taking into account individual objectives of various agents among them not only generators and customers but also e g the regulator deciding on network expansion

evidence on corporate hedging policy this paper provides empirical evidence on the determinants of corporate hedging decisions the paper examines the evidence in light of currently mandated financial reporting require ments and in particular the constraints placed on anticipatory hedging data on hedging are obtained from 1992 annual reports for a sample of 3 022 firms out of the 771 firms classified as hedgers 543 firms disclose information in their annual reports on their hedging activities the remaining 228 firms report use of derivatives but no information on hedging activities based on the evidence i draw the following conclusions with respect to the models of hedging evidence is inconsistent with financial distress cost models evidence is mixed with respect to contracting cost capital market imperfections and tax based models and evidence uniformly supports the hypothesis that hedging activities exhibit economies of scale

an expected indemnity approach to the measurement of moral hazard in crop insurance a definition of moral hazard in multiple peril crop insurance is proposed that focuses on expected indemnities rather than input use five years of production and insurance data for a panel of kansas wheat farms is used to empirically test for this type of moral hazard results suggest that moral hazard affects multiple peril crop insurance indemnities in poor production years but that no significant moral hazard occurs in years when growing conditions are favorable

input demand under yield and revenue insurance previous studies disagree on the effects of insurance on fertilizer application rates the effect of increased fertilizer on the probability of low yields primarily determines whether fertilizer and insurance are substitutes or complements we estimate conditional distributions of corn yields to determine if the technical relationship between yields and fertilizer supports the hypothesis that insurance increases optimal application rates our results indicate no support for this hypothesis at all nitrogen fertilizer rates and reasonable levels of risk aversion nitrogen fertilizer and insurance are substitutes suggesting that those who purchase insurance are likely to decrease nitrogen fertilizer applications

do residential customers respond to hourly prices evidence from a dynamic pricing experiment this paper uses the results of a dynamic pricing experiment for households in the district of columbia to determine whether the reduction in demand associated with an hourly price signal is economically different from the demand reduction associated with an equivalent price signal that is four times longer in duration for both regular and all electric customers the percentage demand reduction associated with a given percentage increase in the hourly price is approximately equal to the percentage demand reduction associated with the same percentage price increase of a much longer duration

modeling conditional yield densities given the increasing interest in agricultural risk many have sought improved methods to characterize conditional crop yield densities while most have postulated the beta as a flexible alternative to the normal others have chosen nonparametric methods unfortunately yield data tends not to be sufficiently abundant to invalidate many reasonable parametric models this is problematic because conclusions from economic analyses which require estimated conditional yield densities tend not to be invariant to the modeling assumption we propose a semiparametric estimator that because of its theoretical properties and our simulation results enables one to empirically proceed with a higher degree of confidence copyright 2003 oxford university press

acreage decisions under risk the case of corn and soybeans an acreage supply response model is developed under expected utility maximization the resulting framework is used to specify and estimate a system of risk responsive acreage equations for corn and soybeans in the united states particular attention is given to the truncation effects of government price supports on the distribution of corn and soybean prices also a wealth variable is included in the acreage equations the empirical results indicate that risk and wealth variables play an important role in cornsoybean acreage decisions the analysis also shows that cross commodity risk reduction is important in acreage allocation decisions

off farm work decisions of farm couples estimating structural simultaneous equations with ordered categorical dependent variables we estimate a full system of structural farm and off farm labor supply equations of farm couples as a set of simultaneous equations with categorical dependent variables in a first step the reduced form is estimated by ordered probit with unknown thresholds then the identified structural coefficients are recovered from the reduced form coefficients through minimum distance estimation using census data from israel we find that for men a one hour increase in farm labor supply causes a one hour decrease in off farm labor supply but not for women this could not have been found without estimating structural coefficients

pricing and capital allocation in catastrophe insurance abstract this paper studies multi line pricing and capital allocation by insurance companies when solvency matters to consumers capital is costly to hold and the average loss is uncertain in this environment product quality concerns lead firms to diversify across markets and charge high prices for risk that threatens company solvency even if the risk is unrelated to other asset risk price differences across markets are traced to differences in capital required at the margin to maintain solvency finally the paper shows that capital costs have significant effects on catastrophe insurance markets because of high marginal capital requirements

a century of research on agricultural markets this article provides a perspective on major innovations in research on agricultural markets over the past century we review research on market structure and performance vertical coordination arrangements and institutions for producer collective action contributions to empirical modeling of agricultural price determination and marketing margins are also evaluated as are innovations in research on spatial market relationships and the role of storage finally we discuss contributions to understanding market information systems and the functioning of market based mechanisms for agri

insuring eggs in baskets the vast majority of crop and revenue insurance policies sold in the united states are single crop policies that insure against low yields or low revenues for each crop grown on a particular farm this practice of insuring one crop at a time runs counter to the traditional risk management practice of diversifying across several enterprises to avoid putting all of ones eggs in a single basket this paper examines the construction of whole farm crop revenue insurance programs to include livestock the whole farm insurance product covers crop revenues from corn and soybeans and livestock revenues from hog production the results show that at coverage levels of 95 percent or lower the fair insurance premiums for this product on a well diversified iowa hog farm are far lower than the fair premiums for the corn crop alone on the same farm the calculation of premium rates for the whole farm insurance product is derived from a method for imposing correlations first proposed by iman and conover in 1982

revenue insurance purchase decisions of farmers the objective of this study is to evaluate farm household and financial characteristics of cash grain farmers decisions of whether to purchase revenue insurance using farm level data these characteristics were identified by estimating a logit model of revenue insurance purchase decisions by farm operators results indicate that farm operators with the ability to self insure through accumulation of sufficient wealth reserves measured in terms of the ratio of debts to assets operators with off farm income and participation in production and marketing contracts are more likely to pursue these strategies as a substitute for federal revenue insurance programmes further study finds that older and wealthy cash grain farmers are less likely to buy revenue insurance

the impacts of multiperil crop insurance on indonesian rice farmers and production this article analyzes the effect of multiperil crop insurance policy for risk averse indonesian rice farmers located in tuban and gresik regencies of the east java province based on the model comparative static analysis of a change in policy variables coverage levels and premium subsidies on input use through the coupling wealth and insurance effects are presented the comparative static results are largely ambiguous and left as empirical questions consequently the model is numerically simulated to quantify the effects of different coverage levels and subsidy rates on input use expected net insurance payments and certainty equivalents the empirical analysis shows that mpci crop insurance results in a decline in expected yield for coverage levels above about 82 5 for both regencies furthermore higher subsidy rates amplify the reduction in input use and yield therefore incomplete coverage with relatively low premium subsidies is the best policy to minimize the impact on input use and yield however from the farmers perspective the optimal policy combination results from the highest coverage level and subsidy which offer the largest expected net insurance payments and certainty equivalent

on the determinants of corporate hedging finance theory indicates that hedging increases firm value by reducing expected taxes expected costs of financial distress or other agency costs this paper provides evidence on these hypotheses using survey data on firm s use of forwards futures swaps and options combined with computstat data on firm characteristics of 169 firms in the sample 104 firms use hedging instruments in 1986 the data suggest that firms which hedge face more convex tax functions have less coverage of fixed claims are larger have more growth options in their investment opportunity set and employ fewer hedging substitutes

the impact of water price uncertainty on the adoption of precision irrigation systems we examine whether a firm is more or less likely to adopt precision technology when input prices are stochastic the results are important to determining whether programs and contracts that reduce input price uncertainty may deter the adoption of conservation practices an economic model of the technology adoption decision shows that the net effect of input price risk is ambiguous and depends on several factors including the shutdown effect the mean price effect the precision expansion effect and the risk aversion effect an empirical implementation of the model relies on data on water price and irrigation technology adoption observed in a california irrigation district over the period 1999 2002 the results show that a stable input price increases the adoption of precision technology but the impact depends on crop choice and land quality characteristics

an empirical analysis of the demand for multiple peril crop insurance knowledge of factors affecting farmer purchases of crop insurance is essential for evaluating the soundness and profitability of crop insurance programs despite this importance the demand for crop insurance has received limited empirical attention the present paper reports on an empirical assessment of the demand for crop insurance by iowa corn producers adverse selection in the insured pool suggests that producers with differing levels of loss risk have different demand elasticities loss risk is included in the empirical analysis and is found to influence the elasticity of demand results show average demand elasticities of about 0 32 for relative insured acres and 0 73 for liability per planted acre implications for the actuarial soundness of the industry are provided

impacts of federal crop insurance on land use and environmental quality this article integrates economic and biophysical models to assess how federal crop revenue insurance programs affect land use cropping systems and environmental quality in the u s corn belt region the empirical framework includes econometric models that predict land conversion and crop choices at the parcel level based on expectation and variance of crop revenues land quality climate conditions and physical characteristics at each site the predictions are then combined with site specific environmental production functions to determine the effect of revenue insurance on nitrate runoff and leaching soil water and wind erosion and carbon sequestration results suggest that federal crop insurance has on average a small effect on conversions of non cropland to cropland and somewhat more significant impacts on crop choice and crop rotation these changes in cropping systems have on average small impacts on agricultural pollution

crop insurance acreage decisions and nonpoint source pollution the redirection of farm policy in the 1996 farm bill has generated much interest in seeking environmentally friendly and economically viable ways to protect farm income agricultural insurance has been suggested as such an instrument this article estimates the effect of crop insurance on crop mix and the resulting change in chemical use in the central nebraska basin providing corn insurance will shift land from hay and pasture to corn which will increase chemical use at the extensive margin this extensive margin effect dominates the effect of crop insurance on the application rate leading to an increase in total chemical use

a natural resource theory of u s crop insurance contract choice a large variety of subsidized crop insurance products are available to u s crop growers distinct and perhaps puzzling patterns in the choices of insurance products and coverage levels can be discerned where production conditions are better and yields are less risky then a higher insurance coverage levels are chosen and b revenue insurance is preferred over yield insurance also c the extent of preference for revenue insurance is stronger in more productive areas assuming as many do that growers seek to maximize subsidy transfers point a can be explained by the interaction between yield technology and natural resource endowments points b and c can be explained by location in conjunction with the natural hedge and a contract design bias in how revenue insurance guarantees are computed empirical study of risk management agency data on corn soybean and wheat yields and insurance contract choices lend support to our model inferences

the demand for multiple peril crop insurance evidence from montana wheat farms an econometric analysis of the demand for multiple peril crop insurance is carried out for a sample of 370 montana wheat farms the study is the first to model the farm s participation and coverage level decisions separately through heckman two stage estimation procedures these decisions are shown to be determined in different ways in addition farms with positive expected returns from insurance make coverage level decisions in different ways from farms with negative expected returns these differences indicate that adverse selection effects limit the efficacy of across the board premium rate increases as mechanisms for reducing loss ratios

price analysis risk assessment and insurance for organic crops the agricultural risk protection act of 2000 recognized organic farming as a good farming practice making federal crop insurance coverage available for organiccrops and taking into account the idiosyncrasies of the organic production system inaddition to the production risks covered for conventional producers organic farmerswho sign up for coverage are compensated for production losses from damage due toinsects disease and or weeds however the incorporation of organic production intothe crop insurance rating structure has been limited organic producers are charged anarbitrary 5 premium surcharge over conventional crop insurance the actuarialfairness of this premium is at least questionable in addition in the case of crop failure organic farmers receive compensation based on the prices of conventionally producedcrops thus price premiums that organic producers are able to obtain in the market arenot compensated for under the current insurance policy structure the food conservation and energy act of 2008 which amends part of thefederal crop insurance act was written to investigate some of these claims requiringthe u s department of agriculture to examine the currently offered federal cropinsurance coverage for organic crops as described in the organic policy provisions of theact title xii such provisions established the need to review among other things theunderwriting risk and loss experience of organic crops determine whether significant consistent or systematic variations in loss history exist between organic and nonorganicproduction and modify the coverage for organic crops in accordance with the results here we present the major findings of three analyses we performed on keyelements of the insurance of organic crops prices yields and revenue in an effort tocontribute to the design of an organic crop insurance policy that covers organicproducers according to their idiosyncratic risks

risk management determinants affecting firms values in the gold mining industry new empirical results abstract the goal of this article is to isolate the significant determinants that affect the decision of non financial firms to hedge their risks our application is for the north american gold mining industry the random variable considered is the selling price of an ounce of gold we show that several factors related to maximizing the firm s value significantly affect the decision to hedge the price of gold

investment incentives for flexible demand options under different market designs abstract this paper analyzes investment incentives for flexible manufacturing facilities under different market designs we propose a multi stage equilibrium model incorporating endogenous determination of generation capacity investment network expansion and redispatch based on the model introduced by grimm et al 2016 including flexibilization of industrial electricity consumption the model allows to investigate incentives for flexibilization and the impact of flexible industrial electricity consumers on the system an application to the german electricity market reveals that flexible industrial electricity consumption can be profitable for firms if the share of flexible electricity consumers is high price fluctuations are mitigated which lowers the individual cost savings from demand flexibility comparing different market designs positive impacts of flexible electricity demand on the system are observed in both the system optimum and the market equilibrium in scenarios with flexible industrial electricity consumption welfare is considerably higher than in those without this is due to lower electricity costs of industrial consumers but more importantly due to less investment in conventional power generation as well as a reduced transmission network expansion however a comparison of nodal and uniform pricing underlines the importance of regional price signals with respect to an efficient allocation of flexible industrial demand

an empirical analysis of acreage effects of participation in the federal crop insurance program the extent to which crop insurance programs have resulted in additional land being brought into production has been a topic of considerable debate we consider multiequation structural models of acreage response insurance participation crp enrollment and input usage our analysis focuses on corn and soybean production in the corn belt and wheat and barley production in the upper great plains our results confirm that increased participation in insurance programs provokes statistically significant acreage responses in some cases though the response is very modest in every case in the most extreme cases 30 decreases in premiums as a result of increased subsidies provoke acreage increases ranging from 0 2 to 1 1 a number of policy simulations involving increases in premium subsidies are considered

adverse selection in crop insurance actuarial and asymmetric information incentives adverse selection is often blamed for crop insurance indemnities exceeding premiums plus subsidies however nationwide empirical evidence has been lacking or based on inadequate county level data this article uses nationwide farm level data on corn and soybeans to decompose incentives for participation in u s multiple peril crop insurance into a risk aversion incentive the conventional justification for insurance an actuarial or subsidy incentive reflecting government subsidization and an asymmetric information incentive which reflects farmers information advantage results show that the risk aversion incentive is small farmers participate in crop insurance primarily to receive the subsidy or because of adverse selection possibilities

the poultry market demand stability and industry structure the stability of the demand for poultry meat and specification issues in its estimation are explored the analysis concludes that the demand for poultry meat shifted out in the early 1970s at the same time the demand relationship between poultry and pork changed from substitution to independence a second conclusion is that poultry price is predetermined for demand in annual u s data while quantity is not a predetermined price suggests several market structures exogeneity tests are performed to distinguish among them the results are consistent with a competitive constant returns to scale industry facing elastic factor supplies

effects of crop insurance premium subsidies on crop acreage crop insurance premium subsidies affect patterns of crop acreage for two reasons first holding insurance coverage constant premium subsidies directly increase expected profit which encourages more acreage of insured crops direct profit effect second premium subsidies encourage farms to increase crop insurance coverage with more insurance coverage farms obtain more subsidies and farm revenue becomes less variable as indemnities offset revenue shortfalls so acreage of insured crops likely increases indirect coverage effect by exploiting exogenous policy changes and using approximately 180 000 county crop year observations we estimate the sum of these two effects of premium subsidies on the pattern of u s acreage across seven major field crops we estimate that a 10 increase in the premium subsidy causes a 0 43 increase in the acreage of a crop in a county holding the premium subsidy of its competing crop constant taking into account the small share of premium subsidies in expected crop revenue this subsidy impact is analogous to an own subsidy acreage elasticity of 1 24 which exceeds own price acreage elasticity estimates in the literature one explanation for the larger acreage response to premium subsidies is that insurance causes an indirect coverage effect in addition to a direct profit effect

the economics of urban afforestation insights from an integrated bioeconomic health model abstract urban afforestation programs are starting to act on the growing body of evidence that nature and greenspace are important determinants of well being however there are a lack of credible investigations into the long term returns on investment of afforestation inclusive of positive and negative externalities project related costs and dynamic environmental feedbacks using the new york city forest canopy as an example our integrated bioeconomic health model illustrates that investments in afforestation produce per planted tree net benefits that are significantly lower than previous similarly comparable estimates 12 vs 172 and are nonlinear in canopy size we also show that a reduction in urban air quality such as those that may be produced by changes in national air quality policies and enforcement can be mitigated through increased investment in urban afforestation our results have significant public policy implications for urban environmental quality initiatives

forest loss and economic inequality in the solomon islands using small area estimation to link environmental change to welfare outcomes abstract to study welfare effects of environmental change data from household surveys may be linked to remote sensing data using spatial aggregation to link risks ecological fallacy since surveys are usually representative for areas larger than the spatial scale of decision making units this paper uses survey to census imputation to estimate welfare indicators for small areas to study the effect of deforestation on subsequent inequality in the rural solomon islands this country depends on logging for almost half of foreign exchange and one sixth of government revenue and most forested land remains under customary ownership a sharp increase in log exports to seven times the sustainable yield and a major shift in export destinations as other countries withdrew from the tropical log trade represents an exogenous shock that helps to identify effects of deforestation on inequality rather than the reverse relationship a standard deviation increase in the rate of forest loss over 2000 to 2012 raises the gini index of inequality in 2013 by one third of a standard deviation mean incomes and poverty rates are also higher implying that deforestation makes some households richer while others become poorer these precisely estimated effects would be obscured using more spatially aggregated data

the influence of direct payments on farmers hail insurance decisions we analyze determinants of hail insurance use of swiss farmers using fadn panel data covering the period 1990 2009 mixed effect logistic regression models are estimated to identify the most important farm and farmer characteristics that trigger insurance use in addition information on local hail risk is taken into account in these models it shows that larger farms with specialization in crop production and with larger local hail risks are more likely to adopt the hail insurance moreover insurance users are usually older and better educated since the early 1990s swiss agricultural policy has reduced price support and introduced general and ecological direct payments this has led to a much higher importance of direct payments for farmers incomes our analysis shows that this development has contributed to decreasing hail insurance adoption rates in switzerland over the period considered our results indicate that the larger the share of direct payments for total farm revenue the less attractive is insurance as a risk management strategy for farmers this interdependency should be explicitly considered by agricultural policy in the design of support mechanisms

rate making for farm level crop insurance implications for adverse selection this research identifies two problems in the new federal crop insurance that may cause adverse selection a the relationship between rate making and expected yields for individual farmers and b the bias introduced in coverage protection when trends are not used to establish expected yields a theoretical investigation using the normality assumption demonstrates the potential severity of these problems and empirical results from farm level data lend further support as crop insurance changes to individualized methods of protection these issues will be particularly important for developing rates

nonparametric estimation of crop insurance rates revisited with the crop insurance program becoming the cornerstone of u s agricultural policy recovering accurate rates is of paramount interest lack of yield data presents by far the most fundamental obstacle to recovery of accurate rates thisarticle employsnew methodology to estimate conditional yield densities and derive the insurance rates in our application we find the nonparametric kernel density estimator requires an additional twenty six years of yield data to estimate the shape of the conditional yield dens itiesasaccurately asthe recently developed empirical bayesnonparametric kernel density estimator such methodological improvements can significantly aid in ameliorating the data problem recovering accurate premium ratesis paramount to the actuarial soundness of the crop insurance program a program which hasgained prominence in the overall u s agricultural policy agenda the 1996 federal agricultural improvement and reform fair act signaled a new policy environment under which farmerswould be s to market forces under this policy regime crop insurance remains in some respects one of the only government subsidized income stabilizing mechanisms available to agricultural producers in addition it appears that current political forcesare in the proces sof fashioning crop insurance as the cornerstone of u s agricultural policy consider the 1999 state of the union address in which the president stated

does forest loss increase human disease evidence from nigeria it is estimated that about one quarter of the global disease burden in terms of healthy life years lost and about one quarter of all premature deaths can be attributed to modifiable environmental factors pruss ustun and corvalan 2006 three infectious diseases diarrhea respiratory infections and malaria account for the largest absolute burden in developing countries with children facing the greatest impacts there is a growing body of evidence demonstrating the health burden of air and water pollution as well as important productivity and income effects see for example reviews of the literature in pattanayak and pfaff 2009 and greenstone and jack 2016 studies that focus on the impacts of natural resource degradation are fewer notably garg 2016 provides the first causal estimates of the impact of sustained forest cover on reduced malarial incidence in indonesia demonstrating a large and previously understudied cost of forest cover loss in this paper we extend this new literature on the health impacts of environmental degradation by estimating the causal impact of forest loss on infectious disease incidence in young children using temporal and spatial variation in the last decade in nigeria our estimation strategy involves geolinking a new high resolution dataset of global forest change to child level health data from the nigeria demographic and health surveys from 2008 and 2013 we find that forest loss significantly increases the incidence of malaria though it does not affect the incidence of diarrhea and respiratory diseases the impact of forest loss on malaria is large one standard deviation of forest loss increases malaria incidence by around 4 5 percent in children under five and the dynamic pattern of the impact suggests a temporary ecological disturbance consistent with findings in garg 2016 and the tropical medicine literature

further toward a theory of agricultural insurance the economic theory of contracts is applied to agricultural insurance to show that given full information pareto optimal insurance contracts are actuarially fair provide full coverage and differ for each individual the information problems of moral hazard and adverse selection prevent pareto optimality from being attained several second best solutions to these problems are applied to agricultural insurance it is shown that information collection and the application of contract design principles are second best solutions which may achieve the benefits of insurance at less cost than the current practice of public subsidies in theory agricultural insurance is an efficient risk sharing mechanism in practice however agricultural insurance has been a costly means of transferring risk from farmers to governments and or other insurers to induce farmers to participate in agricultural insurance governments have borne significant subsidy costs hazell pomareda and valdes p 295 in a recent study ahsan ali and kurian aak concluded that public subsidies are necessary to make agricultural insurance viable they also showed that insurance will increase output relative to a case with no insurance thus insurance is beneficial particularly in less developed countries where increasing food supplies is a policy goal for this reason they concluded that public subsidization of insurance also is desirable their conclusions are derived from a simplified model of production with one output and one input in this article we consider a more general production model with multiple inputs and outputs we show that aak s conclusion about the benefits of insurance may not hold depending on the nature of the inputs and outputs as defined by the production function carl h nelson is an assistant professor of agricultural economics

actuarial fairness of crop insurance rates with constant rate relativities increased availability and demand for low deductible crop insurance policies have increased focus on crop insurance rating methods actuarial fairness cannot be achieved if constant multiplicative factors are used to determine how premiums change as coverage levels increase a comparison of premium rates generated by the factors used by the two most popular crop insurance products with those generated by a standard yield distribution shows that the popular insurance products overcharge for low deductible policies in most counties this overpricing may explain why large premium subsidies were required to induce farmers to move from low deductible to high deductible policies beginning in 2001 crop insurance is by far the most popular risk management tool used by the u s crop producers in 2003 the u s crop insurance program insured more than 200 million acres representing more than 37 billion in value with total premium of over 3 14 billion the two most popular crop insurance products are actual production history aph which provides insurance against low yields and crop revenue coverage crc which is a revenue insurance product both of these products offer coverage in 5 increments from 65 to 85 of expected yield or revenue beginning with the 2001 crop year congress greatly increased subsidy levels to induce producers to purchase more insurance coverage producers responded as expected for example only 2 3 of kansas wheat was insured at levels in excess of 65 in 1998 this proportion rose to 71 6 in 2003 this policy change has increased focus on the methods used by the risk management agency rma of usda to set insurance rates at higher coverage levels aph premium rates are calculated by multiplying the premium rate at the 75 coverage level by a rate

ex post moral hazard in prevented planting this article analyzes the existence of moral hazard in prevented planting pp in the united states the pp provision is defined as the failure to plant an insured crop by the final planting date due to adverse events if the farmer decides not to plant a crop the farmer receives a pp indemnity late planting lp is an option for farmers to plant a crop while maintaining crop insurance after the final planting date crop insurance may alter farmers behavior in selecting pp or lp and could increase the likelihood of pp claims even though farmers can choose lp this study finds evidence that a farmer with higher insurance coverage tends to choose pp more often ex post moral hazard spatial panel models attest to the existence of the ex post moral hazard in pp empirically empirical results show that the pp ratio has a positive relationship with insurance coverage in the case of corn production

transmission and generation investment in electricity markets the effects of market splitting and network fee regimes abstract we propose an equilibrium model that allows to analyze the long run impact of the electricity market design on transmission line expansion by the regulator and investment in generation capacity by private firms in liberalized electricity markets the model incorporates investment decisions of the transmission system operator and private firms in expectation of an energy only market and cost based redispatch in different specifications we consider the cases of one vs multiple price zones market splitting and analyze different approaches to recover network cost in particular lump sum generation capacity based and energy based fees in order to compare the outcomes of our multilevel market model with a first best benchmark we also solve the corresponding integrated planner problem using two test networks we illustrate that energy only markets can lead to suboptimal locational decisions for generation capacity and thus imply excessive network expansion market splitting heals these problems only partially these results are valid for all considered types of network tariffs although investment slightly differs across those regimes

insurability and moral hazard in agricultural insurance markets pareto optimal and constrained pareto optimal all risk insurance contracts are studied conditions required for emergence of competitive insurance markets are isolated and discussed full insurance contracts are shown to be dominated by contracts involving coinsurance and deductibles if insurers are pseudo risk averse the effect of moral hazard on all risk agricultural insurance indemnity schedules is examined results for indemnity schedules under moral hazard and constant absolute risk aversion show that providing farmers with the incentives to take appropriate actions may imply lower deductibles in the presence of moral hazard than in the absence of moral hazard

the allocation of catastrophe risk the potential losses from catastrophes have led financial researchers to address the following questions 1 to what extent is catastrophe risk being shared insured and is the allocation of catastrophe risk consistent with notions of optimal risk sharing 2 if not what market imperfections hinder the efficient allocation of catastrophe risk and 3 are there government policies or private market solutions that could lead to a more efficient allocation of catastrophe risk this paper summarizes the research that has been conducted on these questions 2002 elsevier science b v all rights reserved

crop insurance policies and purchases in france while many crop insurance systems have been reformed around the world few academic researches have addressed the determinants of the decision on crop insurance at the farm s micro level in this article both the financial and the agricultural literature lead to the identification of many rationales for the crop insurance decision using data from the period 2003 2006 on a representative survey of french farms fadn rica we investigate the different factors that incite farmers to insure against crop risk we emphasize that the highest risk farms are more likely to have insurance and this decision is positively related to the past amount of claims insurance is subscribed by larger farms because insurance appears too expensive for smaller farms which are indeed naturally less diversified interestingly financial variables such as capital structure or return on investment do not significantly determine the insurance decision

integration scenarios of demand response into electricity markets load shifting financial savings and policy implications abstract demand response allows for the management of demand side resources in real time i e shifting electricity demand according to fluctuating supply when integrated into electricity markets demand response can be used for load shifting and as a replacement for both control reserve and balancing energy these three usage scenarios are compared based on historic german data from 2011 to determine that load shifting provides the highest benefit its annual financial savings accumulate to 3 110 m for both households and the service sector this equals to relative savings of 2 83 compared to a scenario without load shifting to improve demand response integration the proposed model suggests policy implications reducing bid sizes delivery periods and the time lag between market transactions and delivery dates in electricity markets

interactions between agricultural and environmental policies a conceptual framework agricultural policy has a well documented impact on farmers production decisions and those decisions land water and agricultural chemical use may in turn affect the environment there is a public perception that existing agricultural policies are linked to agricultural pollution as exemplified by the conclusions of the recent national research council report alternative agriculture 1989 there is only limited theoretical or empirical research addressing these linkages however this paper develops a conceptual framework that can be used to analyze the interactions between agricultural and environmental policies and pollution this framework integrates physical and economic models at a disaggregate level necessary to capture the heterogeneity of the physical environment and the economic behavior of farmers following e hochman and d zilberman 1978 the disaggregate units can be statistically aggregated to a level useful for policy analysis agricultural and environmental policies can be categorized according to their effects on the intensive and extensive margins combining the different policy instruments with the microeconomic heterogeneity we find that existing agricultural and environmental policies can have either positive or negative effects of nonpoint source pollution to infer an aggregate effect requires data that do not currently exist our framework provides a basis for empirical investigations of these effects given adequate data moreover we find that agricultural policy instruments can be used to mitigate pollution if used appropriately