the international monetary fund and developing countries a review of the evidence and policy options as its systemic role evaporated with the collapse of the bretton woods system so the international monetary fund imf became drawn into a much more specific role in the context of the balance of payments bop problems that developing countries were encountering at its inception the imf had been seen as having no specific role in developing countries but now it became exclusively these countries that formed its clientele while during the 1970s the imf had continued to make a few relatively large loans to a limited number of industrial countries italy and the united kingdom beyond the mid 1970s industrial countries ceased to draw any resources from it

borrowing from the imf the policy implications of recent empirical research abstract at a time when the future of the international monetary fund is being widely debated a number of relevant and important studies have been published which advance our knowledge of the factors which determine borrowing from the fund there has been little attempt however to put this recent empirical research into context or to extract from it appropriate policy conclusions while dissent remains over some issues there is an emerging consensus on others which provides a firm empirical foundation for policy formulation unfortunately the policy stance adopted by the g7 is in many ways at odds with much of the recent empirical research

the value of operational flexibility in the presence of input and output price uncertainties with oil refining applications refining is indispensable to almost every natural resource based commodity industry it involves a series of complex processes that transform inputs with a wide range of quality characteristics into refined finished products sold to end markets in this paper we take the perspective of a profit maximizing refiner that considers upgrading its existing simple refinery to include intermediate conversion flexibility i e the capability of converting heavy intermediate components to light ones we present a stylized two stage stochastic programming model of a petroleum refinery to investigate the value drivers of conversion flexibility and the impact of input and output market conditions on its economic potential conversion flexibility adds value to refineries by either transforming a nonprofitable situation into a profitable one referred to as purchase benefit or improving profitability of an already profitable situation referred to as unit revenue benefit in a real data calibrated numerical study w

stochastic capacity investment and flexible vs dedicated technology choice in imperfect capital markets this paper analyzes the impact of endogenous credit terms under capital market imperfections in a capacity investment setting we model a monopolist firm that decides on its technology choice flexible versus dedicated and capacity level under demand uncertainty differing from the majority of the stochastic capacity investment literature we assume that the firm is budget constrained and can relax its budget constraint by borrowing from a creditor the creditor offers technology specific loan contracts to the firm after which the firm makes its technology choice and subsequent decisions capital market imperfections impose financing frictions on the firm our analysis contributes to the capacity investment literature by extending the theory of stochastic capacity investment and flexible versus dedicated technology choice to understand the impact of capital market imperfections and by analyzing the impact of demand uncertainty variability and correlation on the operational decisions and the performance of the firm under different capital market conditions we demonstrate that the endogenous nature of credit terms in imperfect capital markets may modify or reverse conclusions concerning capacity investment and technology choice obtained under the perfect market assumption and we explain why the theory developed in this paper suggests some rules of thumb for the strategic management of the capacity and technology choice in imperfect capital markets this paper was accepted by john birge focused issue editor

sourcing flexibility spot trading and procurement contract structure we analyze the structure and pricing of option contracts for an industrial good in the presence of spot trading we combine the analysis of spot trading and buyers disparate private valuations for different suppliers products and we jointly endogenize the determination of three major dimensions in contract design i sales contracts versus options contracts ii flat price versus volume dependent contracts and iii volume discounts versus volume premia we build a model in which a supplier of an industrial good transacts with a manufacturer who uses the supplier s product to produce an end good with an uncertain demand we show that consistent with industry observations volume dependent optimal sales contracts always demonstrate volume discounts i e involve concave pricing however options are more complex agreements and optimal option contracts can involve both volume discounts and volume premia three major contract structures commonly emerge in optimality first if the seller has a high discount rate relative to the buyer and the seller s production costs or the production capacity is low the optimal contracts tend to be flat price sales contracts second when the seller has a relatively high discount rate compared to the buyer but production costs or production capacity are high the optimal contracts are sales contracts with volume discounts third if the buyer s discount rate is high relative to the seller s then the optimal contracts tend to be volume dependent options contracts and can involve both volume discounts and volume premia however when the seller s production capacity is sufficiently low it is possible to observe flat price option contracts furthermore we provide links between production and spot market characteristics contract design and efficiency

home or overseas an analysis of sourcing strategies under competition motivated by the recent backshoring trend this paper studies a sourcing game where competing firms may choose between efficient sourcing e g sourcing from overseas and responsive sourcing e g sourcing from a home country efficient sourcing usually provides a cost advantage whereas responsive sourcing allows a firm to obtain more accurate demand information when making procurement decisions by characterizing the equilibrium outcome we find some interesting results driven by the strategic interaction between the firms first a firm may still use efficient sourcing in equilibrium even when the cost advantage associated with efficient sourcing does not exist this is because the firm can dampen competition by reducing the correlation between its own demand information and the competitor s second a cost hike in efficient sourcing e g the rising labor cost in asia may benefit all the firms in the industry the reason is that the cost hike may alleviate competition by inducing a new equilibrium sourcing structure this paper also sheds some light on the recent backshoring trend first our analysis indicates that more firms will shift from efficient sourcing to responsive sourcing in equilibrium i e backshore if the market size shrinks the demand becomes more volatile or the sourcing costs rise simultaneously second a firm s backshoring behavior reduces the competition on the cost dimension but it also has an ambiguous informational impact on the other firms in the market in particular some firms may benefit from increased correlation of their demand information under cournot competition with substitutable products overall the backshoring behavior can be beneficial to all the firms sticking to their original sourcing strategies under certain conditions this paper was accepted by martin lariviere operations management

the impact of budget constraints on flexible vs dedicated technology choice this paper studies the flexible versus dedicated technology choice and capacity investment decisions of a multiproduct firm under demand uncertainty in the presence of budget constraints the firm operates under a capital budget for financing the capacity investment and an operating budget which is uncertain in the capacity investment stage for financing the production we investigate how the tightening of the capital budget and a lower financial flexibility in the production stage the likelihood of having a sufficient operating budget shape the optimal technology choice we find that the dominant regime is one where dedicated technology should be adopted for a larger investment cost range and thus is the best response to the tighter capital budget whereas flexible technology is the best response to lower financial flexibility we identify the key roles that the capacity intensity the ratio of unit capacity cost to total unit capacity and production cost of each technology and the pooling value

external financing and balance of payments adjustment in developing countries getting a better policy mix there are a number of alternative strategies for dealing with current account balance of payments deficits one is to ignore them altogether on the grounds that they do not matter here the argument is that in the long term the imbalance between domestic investment and savings which the deficit reflects will be automatically corrected and that mindful of this private external finance will be available to cover excess expenditure in the short term net capital inflows will finance short term net inward transfers of real resources if in long run equilibrium there is a close positive correlation between investment and saving across countries net external financing will be merely a cyclical deviation from this

quantification of interdependencies between economic systems and ecosystem services an input output model applied to the seine estuary abstract the aim of this paper is to assess the possible contribution of an input output model towards two of the basic principles of the sustainability strategy of integrated coastal zone management iczm and post normal science according to these principles decision support tools should offer a holistic perspective and handle high uncertainty the difficulties in reaching sustainability are due partly to the prevailing use of narrow system boundary tools that are non holistic consequently they fail to capture important ecosystem services and ignore interdependencies between them to comply with the basic principles our method allows environmental assets to be evaluated in multiple units and integrates results from recent researches in natural sciences both enable coverage of interdependencies between ecosystem services thereby we enlarge input output modelling from the two conventional ecosystem services of sink and provisioning to the most vital ones the supporting services an application to the seine estuary addresses the impacts of maritime transportation infrastructures on nursery habitats for commercial fish the ecosystem services covered are life support and resource provisioning our results show that the restoration of a total of 73 7 km 2 of nursery areas over the period 2004 2015 would result in a stock of sole in 2015 that exceeds the business as usual scenario by 44 2 uncertainty range 35 9 69 9 in spite of high restoration costs the negative macro economic impact is very low however on the sector level a trade off results between nurseries and three economic sectors the quantification of such trade offs in our model is particularly useful to public participation in decision making

flexibility and economic progress we start with a paradox that while its value and the penalties imposed by its absence are casually acknowledged in discussions of economic development there is a near total absence of explicit analytical treatment of the flexibility of economies in the academic literature at the same time there appears a strong prima facie expectation that the flexibility of an economy will strongly influence its long term economic performance and that this attribute is of increasing importance

toward consilience between biology and economics the contribution of ecological economics abstract during its ten year history ecological economics has made a real difference in the way economists look at the natural world and in the way biologists look at the economy in this survey article we examine the contributions to the journal in terms of e o wilson s concept of consilience that is his argument that the methods and assumptions of any field of study should be consistent with the known and accepted facts in other disciplines in particular we examine the contributions of ecological economics to reconciling the economic theory of the consumer and producer with biophysical reality

operationalizing sustainable development dynamic ecological economic models abstract since the mid eighties a vast literature has evolved around the concept of sustainable development it shows a wide support for changes in policy making and decision making for instance to integrate environmental interests in national and international political processes remarkably recommendations of contours and new elements of research methods and policy analysis for sustainable development are rare although this is just as essential as the renewed attention for the political dimension a clear view on how to use and change adequately existing techniques and models for sustainable development will contribute to a more satisfactory operationalization of it this paper examines the implications of ecologically sustainable economic development for integrated dynamic modelling after a concise discussion of sustainable development it is suggested that five concepts are central to it intergenerational equity the regional scale multiple use long term uncertainty and economic ecological integration the discussion of each of these issues is focused on the implications for model elements and uses thereby old ideas are reviewed and new ones are proposed the aim is not to come up with a rigid framework for dealing with sustainable development but rather to suggest which alternatives are available to deal with the central concepts although in a section on economic ecological integration general requirements for dynamic economic ecological models are mentioned explicitly in order to offer a general frame of reference these requirements are fairly general and may be taken up in ensuing discussions of the methodological aspects related to sustainable development the main conclusions are the following we view economic ecological integration in the sense of combining processes instead of one process and a variable to deal with intergenerational equity one may choose objectives various constraints or a combination of both for regional models one may consider various types of conditions on cross boundary flows and external factors of regional processes multiple use can be modelled as an intermediate stage between single resource models with a partial view and complex models with a general view sensitivity probability and scenario analyses can be used to deal partially with the various types of long term uncertainty although this remains difficult for the very important class of unexpected events or catastrophes such surprises can at best be turned into risk by scenario analyses and examination of dynamic behaviour of the system as a whole

trade and the environment from a southern perspective the relationship between free trade and the environment is one of the main issues of contention between environmental and ecological economics environmental economics assumes a positive relationship between free trade economic growth and environmental policies environmental externalities may cause important damage however trade is not to be blamed for this instead the fault lies with policy inadequacies at the national level on the other hand some ecological economists criticise the assumptions of environmental economics especially the immobility of production factors and the positive correlation between income and environmental quality they plead for measures to prevent deterioration of northern environmental standards in a race to the bottom due to ecological dumping from the south in this paper we argue that neither environmental economics nor northern ecological economics take into account the structural conditions determining the international trade system based on some new empirical evidence on material flows we stress the notion of environmental cost shifting if physical and political ecology perspectives are adopted a southern approach to the trade and environment issue may arise 2001 elsevier science b v all rights reserved

supply management in multiproduct firms with fixed proportions technology this paper studies the supply management of a primary input where this input gives rise to multiple products in fixed proportions my objective is twofold first i study fixed proportions technol

multicriteria decision analysis and environmental economics an approximation abstract a multicriteria approach to address basic problems in environmental economics is proposed in this paper the methodology is underpinned by the wellknown multicriteria method called compromise programming together with some recent results relating the compromise sets with the traditional optimisation of the utility functions to illustrate the proposed methodology the following two cases are suggested 1 the reconciliation between economic environmental as well as recreational objectives inherent to the management of an environmental asset such as forestry system and 2 its application to the appraisal of environmental improvements or damages when nonmonetary objectives are involved

integrating long term and short term contracting in beef supply chains this paper analyzes the optimal procurement processing and production decisions of a meat processing company hereafter a packer in a beef supply chain the packer processes fed cattle to produce two beef products program premium boxed beef and commodity boxed beef in fixed proportions but with downward substitution of the premium product for the commodity product the packer can source input fed cattle from a contract market where long term contracts are signed in advance of the required delivery time and from a spot market on the spot day contract prices are taken to be of a general window form linear in the spot price but capped by upper and lower limits on realized contract price our analysis provides managerial insights on the interaction of window contract terms with processing options we show that the packer benefits from a low correlation between the spot price and product market uncertainties and this is independent of the form of the window contract although the expected revenues from processing increase in spot price variability the overall impact on profitability depends on the parameters of the window contract using a calibration based on the report by the gipsa grain inspection packers and stockyards administration 2007 gipsa livestock and meat marketing study vol 3 fed cattle and beef industries report u s department of agriculture washington dc this paper elucidates for the first time the value of long term contracting as a complement to spot sourcing in the beef supply chain our comparative statics results provide some rules of thumb for the packer for the strategic management of the procurement portfolio in particular we show that higher variability higher spot price variability product market variability and correlation increases the profits of the packer but decreases the reliance on the contract market relative to the spot market this paper was accepted by yossi aviv operations management

economies human capital and natural assets human capital concerns are used to structure links between the economy and the environment suggestions for empirical work to explore these structures are provided particular attention is devoted to connections between environmental hazards and influences upon parents decisions to invest in forming children s human capital

imf supported stabilization programs and their critics evidence from the recent experience of egypt abstract the imf supported stabilization and structural adjustment programs implemented by egypt in the 1990s were successful in meeting their objectives and when compared with earlier attempts and the experience of other developing countries the authorities undertook a sharp reduction in the government s overall deficit and its central bank financing allowing for increased credit availability to the private sector within a framework of a rapidly decelerating monetary expansion despite initiating comprehensive market reforms that significantly improved the environment for private investment the response of the private sector has been disappointing it is argued that until institutional regulatory and political constraints are removed egypt will not join the group of high investing and fast growing economies

trade liberalization economic specialization and the environment abstract a great deal has been written and a great deal of debate has raged on the effects of international trade and trade liberalization on the environment given that it is only recently that the general agreement on tariffs and trade has begun to address the interdependence of the international economy and the international environment in a systematic way it is likely that the debate will continue for quite some time it will be argued that the economic case for there being benign environmental consequences associated with trade liberalization is flawed in important ways this is due to statistical empirical and conceptual issues which affect the estimation of such effects moreover it will be argued that despite the intensity of the debate the effects of international trade on the environment have in fact only been addressed in an incidental manner rather the debate has concentrated on factors that may coexist with trade but not on the role of trade itself this has served to obscure the more fundamental environmental effects of trade liberalization through the homogenization and specialization of ecosystems

historical roots for ecological economics biophysical versus allocative approaches abstract a number of economists today are aware that the results of their science are more or less at variance with concrete fact and are alive to the necessity of perfecting it they go wrong rather in their choice of means to that end they try obstinately to get from their science alone the materials they know are needed for a closer approximation to fact whereas they should resort to other sciences and go into them thoroughly not just incidentally for their bearing on the given economic problem until economic science is much farther advanced economic principles are less important to the economists than the reciprocal bearings of the results of economics and the results of the other social sciences many economists are paying no attention to such interrelations for mastery of them is a long and fatiguing task requiring an extensive knowledge of facts whereas anyone with a little imagination a pen and a few reams of paper can relieve himself of a chat on principles pareto 1935 para 2022

pricing the ecosystem and taxing ecosystem services a general equilibrium approach abstract in an integrated dynamic general equilibrium model of the economy and the ecosystem humans and other species compete for land and prey biomass each submodel exhibits a price driven competitive allocation mechanism and the endogenously determined habitat is either openly accessible or privately owned in both scenarios specific corrective taxes or subsidies are needed to internalize ecosystem externalities an open access habitat causes additional inefficiencies through diverging prices for biomass and land in both subsystems values of all ecosystem components are determined in an efficient steady state clarifying the role and the interplay of ecosystem prices and economic prices

dynamic multidimensional assessment of sustainability at the macro level the case of austria abstract this paper explores the issue of sustainability at the macro scale employing multi criteria decision aid mcda methods the incommensurability of values and the essentially multi dimensional and dynamic nature of sustainability challenge the use of composite measurement indices this determined the choice of mcda methods austria was chosen as a case study due to the wide availability of data especially on indicators of strong sustainability the structure of the multi criteria problem comprised the evolution of different sustainability dimensions over time the process for selecting criteria included a critical assessment of institutional sustainability agendas un eu and austrian government and theoretical recommendations after an assessment of mcda methods the naiade method demonstrated the most suitable properties for sustainability assessment the application of this outranking approach was undertaken in three separate settings long term from 1960 to 2003 medium term 1970 1995 and short term 1995 2003 with varying numbers of criteria the response of results to the addition of evaluating criteria and periods was tested the degree of credibility for accepting preference relations was also employed for sensitivity analysis according to the results of long term and medium term assessments especially in the weak sustainability setting sustainable progress is taking place in austria in the short term in the stronger sustainability setting and especially as the number of criteria increases more incomparable periods appear and trends are less determined moreover it is shown how results crucially depend on the methodological choices this is one of the first applications of the multi criteria tools to the dynamic analysis of sustainability at the macro scale

pricing and operational recourse in coproduction systems coproduction systems in which multiple products are produced simultaneously in a single production run are prevalent in many industries such systems typically produce a random quantity of vertically differentiated products this product hierarchy enables the firm to fill demand for a lower quality product by converting a higher quality product in addition to the challenges presented by random yields and multiple products coproduction systems often serve multiple customer classes that differ in their product valuations furthermore the sizes of these classes are uncertain employing a utility maximizing customer model we investigate the production pricing downconversion and allocation decisions in a two class stochastic demand stochastic yield coproduction system for the single class case we establish that downconversion will not occur if prices are set optimally in contrast we show that downconversion can be optimal in the two class case even if prices are set optimally we consider the benefit of postponing certain operational decisions e g the pricing or allocation rule decisions until after uncertainties are resolved we use the term recourse to denote actions taken after uncertainties have been resolved we find that recourse pricing benefits the firm much more than either downconversion or recourse allocation do implying that recourse demand management is more valuable than recourse supply management special cases of our model include the single class and two class random yield newsvendor models