globalization and the great u turn income inequality trends in 16 oecd countries the debate on the resurgence of income inequality in some advanced industrial societies has often focused on the impact of an increasingly integrated world economy typified by growing capital mobility heightened international competition and an increase in migration this study represents one of the first systematic cross national examinations of the role of globalization in the inequality u turn results indicate on the one hand that total inequality variation is principally affected by the percentage of the labor force in agriculture followed by the institutional factors union density and decommodification and only then by globalization on the other hand longitudinal variation in inequality while still dominated by the percentage of the labor force in agriculture is also principally affected by aspects of globalization such as southern import penetration and direct investment outflow and to a lesser extent by migration in other words globalization explains the longitudinal trend of inc

fire sales and the financial accelerator abstract during financial turmoil increases in risk lead to higher default foreclosure and fire sales this paper introduces a costly liquidation process for foreclosed collateral and pro cyclical recovery rates in a dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model of the financial accelerator links between endogenous recovery rates risk premia and default risk generate a liquidity spiral magnifying financial accelerator effects we illustrate how collateral liquidation and monetary policy alter the real impact of financial shocks operating through macro financial linkages and the way a government subsidy on collateral liquidity and required liquidity buffers can help dampen the liquidity spiral by shoring up recovery rates

risky business the decline of defined benefit pensions and firms shifting of risk since the early 1980s employment in the united states has undergone significant transformation as the large corporations that once safeguarded employees with stable jobs and rewards for loyalty have replaced these employment relationships with ones based on cost containment and flexibility one important consequence of these developments is that firms have abdicated their role as a critical risk bearer in society although evidence suggests that firms have increasingly shifted market risks onto their workforce to date there have been few detailed analyses exploring what factors have driven this phenomenon this study adds to our understanding of why firms have transferred risk to their employees by examining the decline of a highly institutionalized practice wherein large u s firms used to bear retirement risk the defined benefit db pension plan through a detailed analysis i show that variance in the presence power and interests of shareholders and employees at the firm level differentially affect a firm s willingness to shift the risk of retirement onto its workers specifically i demonstrate empirically that different types of shareholders have differential effects on a firm s retirement practices suggesting that the changing equity ownership structure of large u s firms has played a key role in how risk is allocated between workers and firms declines in employee power have also played a role because firm levels of unionization positively affect rates of db participation for both unionized and nonunionized workers

private equity jobs and productivity private equity critics claim that leveraged buyouts bring huge job losses and few gains in operating performance to evaluate these claims we construct and analyze a new dataset that covers us buyouts from 1980 to 2005 we track 3 200 target firms and their 150 000 establishments before and after acquisition comparing to controls defined by industry size age and prior growth buyouts lead to modest net job losses but large increases in gross job creation and destruction buyouts also bring tfp gains at target firms mainly through accelerated exit of less productive establishments and greater entry of highly productive ones jel d24 g24 g32

bankruptcy costs liability dollarization and vulnerability to sudden stops abstract countries with intermediate levels of institutional quality suffer larger output contractions following sudden stops of capital inflows than less developed nations however countries with strong institutions seldom experience significant falls in output after capital flow reversals we reconcile these two observations using a calibrated dsge model that extends the financial accelerator framework developed in bernanke gertler and gilchrist 1999 the model captures financial market institutional quality with creditors ability to recover assets from bankrupt firms bankruptcy costs affect vulnerability to sudden stops directly but also indirectly by affecting the degree of liability dollarization simulations reveal an inverted u shaped relationship between bankruptcy costs and the output loss following sudden stops

the rise of the super rich power resources taxes financial markets and the dynamics of the top 1 percent 1949 to 2008 the income share of the super rich in the united states has grown rapidly since the early 1980s after a period of postwar stability what factors drove this change in this study we investigate the institutional policy and economic shifts that may explain rising income concentration we use single equation error correction models to estimate the long and short run effects of politics policy and economic factors on pretax top income shares between 1949 and 2008 we find that the rise of the super rich is the result of rightward shifts in congress the decline of labor unions lower tax rates on high incomes increased trade openness and asset bubbles in stock and real estate markets

export composition and growth of selected low income african countries evidence from time series data this paper examines the hypothesis that economic growth is linked to export composition with the use of time series data for some low income african countries on the basis of the regression results the study supports the hypothesis of a positive linkage between the growth of non fuel primary exports and growth however the results cast some doubt on the significance of the positive contribution of the manufactured exports sector to the growth process of the low income african countries

export led growth and structural change evidence from malaysia many studies have tried to establish the causal link between export expansion and economic growth this contribution is to recognize that structural changes will change the sources of growth and this will affect the export growth relationship a country case study approach is used focusing on malaysia a country with one of the world s highest sustained growth rates and a long history of commodity trade we use var analysis of malaysian quarterly trade and gdp growth from 1965 to 1996 trade data are disaggregated into primary and manufactures exports and causality tests are applied to the entire period as well as two subperiods 150 the 1965 1501980 period when policy emphasis was on import substitution and the 1981 1501996 period when policies favoured export led growth statistical tests confirm export led growth for the full period and for the period to 1980 but tests on the 1981 1501996 period show growth causing exports primary exports had a stronger direct impact on economic growth than manufactu

the rise of finance and firm employment dynamics this article sheds light on the ongoing employment stagnation in the united states by investigating the links between the rise of finance and firm employment dynamics during the 1982 2005 period i argue that the rise of finance marginalized the role of labor in revenue generating and sharing processes which led to employment stagnation among the largest nonfinancial firms in the united states evidence suggests that increasing investment in financial assets depresses the workforce size the growing dependence on debt reprioritizes the order of distribution heightening the need for workforce reduction the increasing rewards for shareholders generate a downsize and distribute spiral in which labor expense becomes a primary target of cost cutting strategies further analysis indicates that production and service workers are more vulnerable to shifts associated with the rise of finance than managers and professionals

compensation benchmarking leapfrogs and the surge in executive pay scholars frequently argue whether the sharp rise in chief executive officer ceo pay in recent years is efficient or is a consequence of rent extraction because of the failure of corporate governance in individual firms this article argues that governance failure must be conceptualized at the market rather than the firm level because excessive pay increases for even relatively few ceos a year spread to other firms through the cognitively and rhetorically constructed compensation networks of peer groups which are used in the benchmarking process to negotiate the compensation of ceos counterfactual simulation based on standard and poor s execucomp data demonstrates that the effects of ceo leapfrogging potentially explain a considerable fraction of the overall upward movement of executive compensation since the early 1990s

new evidence on the export led growth nexus a case study of malaysia this paper revisits the highly debated export led growth hypothesis in a number of different ways using malaysia as a case study first the hypothesis is tested in terms of labour and total factor productivity growth as a potential channel via which exports can affect or be affected by gdp growth considering the impact of imports on gdp and productivity growth serves a similar purpose in addition gdp is trade adjusted to avoid the double counting problem arising from the national income identity second the relationships are examined using the relatively recent toda and yamamoto 1995 causality tests these results have major implications and are necessary to reassess the effectiveness of trade policy as a strategy for economic development 2007 the author journal compilation

here a chief there a chief the rise of the cfo in the american firm this article examines the rise of the chief financial officer cfo position among american firms during the period 1963 2000 building on event history models of cfo adoptions among a sample of some 400 large corporations this analysis documents two stages in the diffusion of the cfo model that occurred prior to its ultimate embodiment of the shareholder value ideal the cfo function originated as part of the conglomerate ideal to handle the funding of diversifying acquisitions in response to an ambiguous regulatory change in accounting rules in 1979 which threatened to reduce reported earnings further at a time when corporate earnings already were under great strain corporate leaders and finance professionals reconstructed the cfo as a solution the cfo s popularity quickly surged as a result and the role kept expanding in the following years to focus on managing shareholders and stock prices

financialization and u s income inequality 1970 2008 focusing on u s nonfinance industries we examine the connection between financialization and rising income inequality we argue that the increasing reliance on earnings realized through financial channels decoupled the generation of surplus from production strengthening owners and elite workers negotiating power relative to other workers the result was an incremental exclusion of the general workforce from revenue generating and compensation setting processes using time series cross section data at the industry level we find that increasing dependence on financial income in the long run is associated with reducing labor s share of income increasing top executives share of compensation and increasing earnings dispersion among workers net of conventional explanations such as deunionization globalization technological change and capital investment the effects of financialization on all three dimensions of income inequality are substantial our counterfactual analysis suggests that financial

exports investments and economic development of pre accession countries of the european union an empirical investigation of bulgaria and romania this paper attempts to analyse the relationship between exports investments and economic development in two pre accession countries of the european union bulgaria and romania for investigation of this relationship a multivariate autoregressive var model is used the results of cointegration analysis showed that there is one cointegrated vector among exports investments and economic growth for the two countries granger causality tests based on error correction models ecm indicated that there is a strong granger causal relation between economic growth and exports as well as between investments and exports for the two countries in addition economic development and capital accumulation in an economy seem to have just as much of an influence on exports as exports have on capital accumulation and economic development

habit formation in consumption and its implications for monetary policy models this paper explores a monetary policy model with habit formation for consumers in which consumers utility depends in part on current consumption relative to past consumption the empirical tests developed in the paper show that one can reject the hypothesis of no habit formation with tremendous condence largely because the habit formation model captures the gradual hump shaped response of real spending to various shocks the paper then embeds the habit consumption specication in a monetary policy model and nds that the responses of both spending and inflation to monetary policy actions are signicantly improved by this modication jel d12 e52 e43

sudden stops banking crises and investment collapses in emerging markets abstract we evaluate whether financial openness leaves emerging market economies vulnerable to the adverse effects of capital reversals sudden stops on domestic investment we investigate this claim in a broad sample of emerging markets during the period 1976 2002 if the banking sector does not experience a systemic crisis sudden stop events fail to have a significant impact on investment bank crises on the other hand have a significant negative effect on investment even in the absence of a contemporaneous sudden stop crisis we also find that openness to capital flows worsens the adverse impact of banking crises on investment our results provide statistical support for the policy view that a strong banking sector which can withstand the negative fallout of capital flight is essential for countries that open their economies to international financial flows

the polarization of the u s labor market this paper analyzes a marked change in the evolution of the u s wage structure over the past fifteen years divergent trends in upper tail 90 50 and lower tail 50 10 wage inequality we document that wage inequality in the top half of distribution has displayed an unchecked and rather smooth secular rise for the last 25 years since 1980 wage inequality in the bottom half of the distribution also grew rapidly from 1979 to 1987 but it has ceased growing and for some measures actually narrowed since the late 1980s furthermore we find that occupational employment growth shifted from monotonically increasing in wages education in the 1980s to a pattern of more rapid growth in jobs at the top and bottom relative to the middles of the wage education distribution in the 1990s we characterize these patterns as the u201cpolarization u201d of the u s labor market with employment polarizing into high wage and low wage jobs at the expense of middle wage work we show how a model of computerization in which computers most strongly complement the non routine abstract cognitive tasks of high wage jobs directly substitute for the routine tasks found in many traditional middle wage jobs and may have little direct impact on non routine manual tasks in relatively low wage jobs can help explain the observed polarization of the u s labor market this abstract was borrowed from another version of this item

financialisation and capital accumulation in the non financial corporate sector a theoretical and empirical investigation on the us economy 1973 2003 recent research has explored the growing financialization process in the u s and other advanced economies the term is a catch all phrase used to denote important changes in the structure of non financial corporations balance sheets including the growth of income from financial subsidiaries and investment as well as growth in the transfer of earnings to financial markets in the forms of interest payments dividend payments and stock buybacks this paper seeks to empirically explore the relationship between financialization in the u s economy and real investment at the firm level using data from a sample of non financial corporations from 1973 to 2003 i find a negative relationship between real investment and financialization first increased financial investment and increased financial profit opportunities may have crowded out real investment by changing the incentives of firm managers and directing funds away from real investment second increased payments to the financial markets may have impeded real investment by decreasing available internal funds shortening the planning horizons of the firm management and increasing uncertainty these two channels can help explain the negative relationship i find between investment and financialization

financial intermediation business failures and real business cycles in this paper a general equilibrium business cycle model is construct ed that when subjected to real disturbances mimics observed qualita tive comovements among real output money business failures risk pr emia intermediary loans and prices in contrast monetary disturban ces generate cycles that have several inconsistencies with empirical evidence thus providing support for real business cycle theory at th e expense of monetary theories of the business cycle financial inter mediation arises endogenously in the model and intermediation matters for business cycle behavior a credit supply mechanism acts in tande m with an intertemporal substitution effect in propagating stochastic disturbances copyright 1987 by university of chicago press

offshoring bias in u s manufacturing in this paper we show that the substitution of imported for domestically produced goods and services often known as offshoring can lead to overestimates of u s productivity growth and value added we explore how the measurement of productivity and value added in manufacturing has been affected by the dramatic rise in imports of manufactured goods which more than doubled from 1997 to 2007 we argue that analogous to the widely discussed problem of outlet substitution bias in the literature on the consumer price index the price declines associated with the shift to low cost foreign suppliers are generally not captured in existing price indexes just as the cpi fails to capture fully the lower prices for consumers due to the entry and expansion of big box retailers like wal mart import price indexes and the intermediate input price indexes based on them do not capture the price drops associated with a shift to new low cost suppliers in china and other developing countries as a result the real growth of imported inputs has been understated and if input growth is understated it follows that the growth in multifactor productivity and real value added in the manufacturing sector have been overstated we estimate that average annual multifactor productivity growth in manufacturing was overstated by 0 1 to 0 2 percentage point and real value added growth by 0 2 to 0 5 percentage point from 1997 to 2007 moreover this bias may have accounted for a fifth to a half of the growth in real value added in manufacturing output excluding the computer and electronics industry

unions norms and the rise in u s wage inequality from 1973 to 2007 private sector union membership in the united states declined from 34 to 8 percent for men and from 16 to 6 percent for women during this period inequality in hourly wages increased by over 40 percent we report a decomposition relating rising inequality to the union wage distribution s shrinking weight we argue that unions helped institutionalize norms of equity reducing the dispersion of nonunion wages in highly unionized regions and industries accounting for unions effect on union and nonunion wages suggests that the decline of organized labor explains a fifth to a third of the growth in inequality an effect comparable to the growing stratification of wages by education

currency crashes in emerging markets an empirical treatment we use a panel of annual data for over 100 developing countries from 1971 through 1992 to characterize currency crashes we define a currency crash as a large change of the nominal exchange rate that is also a substantial increase in the rate of change of nominal depreciation we examine the composition of the debt as well as its level and a variety of other macroeconomic factors external and foreign crashes tend to occur when output growth is low the growth of domestic credit is high and the level of foreign interest rates are high a low ratio of fdi to debt is consistently associated with a high likelihood of a crash

autoregressive modelling and money income causality detection abstract a step wise procedure based on granger s concept of causality and abaike s final prediction error criterion is suggested as a practical means to identify the order of lags of each variable in a multivariate autoregressive process the model seems useful because it can serve as a reduced form formulation to avoid imposing often spurious or false restrictions of the model it also provides a reasonably powerful test of causality the idea is applied to u s postwar money and income data it is found that between m1 and gnp a bivariate feedback model fits the data best between m2 and gnp a one way causal model from money to income performs better diagnostic checks applied to our model seem to indicate the adequacy of our approach

on the consequences of sudden stops our analysis shows a number of interesting empirical regularities first when we apply a simple definition of sudden stops we find that they have been a fairly common occurrence at least since the late 1970s second economic performance after a sudden stop can differ dramatically across countries depending on certain country characteristics we show that open economies and those that choose a floating exchange rate regime after a crisis recover fairly quickly from the output contraction that usually comes with the sudden stop whereas countries with liability dollarization recover more slowly these characteristics relate to how the economies adjust exports and imports during the aftermath of a sudden stop open economies that do not show much liability dollarization tend to show higher export growth and less import contraction than highly dollarized economies the paper is organized as follows the next section discusses our definition of sudden stops we then examine the stylized facts associated with sudden stops including their regional coverage and evolution over time a subsequent section proceeds to identify the key factors that explain the nature of the aftermath of a sudden stop in capital flows if sudden stops remain a recurrent feature of emerging market economies in years to come the issue of how to ensure a quick return of growth in the aftermath of a crisis will require attention policy recommendations focused on improving such ex post performance should go hand in hand with traditional prevention measures designed to avoid the crises we elaborate on these conclusions in the final section

financial and legal constraints to growth does firm size matter using a unique firm level survey database covering 54 countries we investigate the effect of financial legal and corruption problems on firms growth rates whether these factors constrain growth depends on firm size it is consistently the smallest firms that are most constrained financial and institutional development weakens the constraining effects of financial legal and corruption obstacles and it is again the small firms that benefit the most there is only a weak relation between firms perception of the quality of the courts in their country and firm growth we also provide evidence that the corruption of bank officials constrains firm growth

exports growth and threshold effects in africa abstract the relationship between openness and growth remains a controversial issue in development economics with many studies focusing on the export growth relationship this paper examines whether the relationship between exports and growth found in large cross section studies also holds in the context of african economies the paper employs threshold regression techniques to examine whether african countries benefit more from exports when they reach a certain level of development or openness our results suggest that there is indeed a positive relationship between exports and growth in africa the threshold regression analysis also suggests that it is not necessary for a country to reach a certain level of development or to have an existing export base for this relationship to hold though it is found that the relationship is stronger for countries that experience higher rates of export growth

revenge of the managers labor cost cutting and the paradoxical resurgence of managerialism in the shareholder value era 1984 to 2001 institutional changes associated with the rise of shareholder value capitalism have had seemingly contradictory effects on managers and managerialism in the united states economy financial critiqu

export composition and the impact of exports on economic growth of developing economies abstract employing an augmented production function framework a number of studies have found that export growth exerts a positive impact on gdp growth in less developed countries ldcs even when capital and labor are controlled for using a similar framework but recognizing the possible heterogeneity of exports the present paper finds for the 1960 1980 period that while the primary export sector exhibits little or no effect on gdp growth in lcds there is a differential positive impact by the manufacturing export sector

causality between exports and economic growth abstract this paper utilizes granger causality tests in investigating the relationship between exports and national income from a consistent data set for 47 developing countries in africa new empirical results as well as suggestions for future research are presented

dollarization of bank deposits causes and consequences abstract this paper assesses the benefits and risks associated with dollarization of bank deposits we provide novel empirical evidence on the determinants of deposit dollarization its role in promoting financial development and on whether dollarization is associated with financial instability we find that a the credibility of macroeconomic policy and the quality of institutions are both key determinants of cross country variations in dollarization b dollarization is likely to promote financial deepening only in a high inflation environment and c financial instability is likely higher in dollarized economies the implications of these findings for financial sector and monetary policies are briefly discussed

causality between export growth and industrial development empirial evidence from the nics abstract this paper investigates the causal relationship between export growth and industrial development in eight newly industrializing countries nics results of sims causality test show that for most of the nics there is a strong bidirectional causality between the growth of exports and industrial development these findings support the export led growth strategy in that expansion in exports not only promote the growth of national income but also lead to structural transformation of the developing countries

exchange rates and monetary policy in emerging market economies this paper investigates the effects of exchange rate regimes and alternative monetary policy rules for an emerging market economy that is subject to a volatile external environment in the form of shocks to world interest rates and the terms of trade in particular we highlight the impact of financial frictions and the degree of exchange rate pass through in determining the relative performance of alternative regimes in stabilizing the economy in the face of external shocks our results are quite sharp when exchange rate pass through is high a policy of non traded goods inflation targeting does best in stabilizing the economy and is better in welfare terms when exchange rate pass through is low however a policy of strict cpi inflation targeting is better in all cases a fixed exchange rate is undesirable in addition financial frictions have no implications for the ranking of alternative policy rules

exports growth and causality in developing countries abstract previous empirical studies have interpreted results in regressions of output variables on export variables as providing support for an export promotion development strategy such an interpretation is questionable since these regressions provide no means of determining the direction of causality this paper performs causality tests between exports and growth for 37 developing countries the results cast considerable doubt on the validity of the export promotion hypothesis

the contribution of agriculture to economic growth some empirical evidence the paper analyzes the contribution of agriculture to economic growth by employing cross section data for the developing and developed countries during 1960 1970 and 1970 1979 it is found that in the context of mr chenery syrquin s model intercountry variation in agricultural growth explains a significant portion of intercountry variation in the industrial non agricultural growth further in the context of an aggregate production function agricultural growth is found to contribute significantly to productivity increases and thus to overall economic growth for the developing countries sample of the 1970 79 period the results show that a one percent increase in agricultural growth leads to approximately four tenths of a percentage point increase in productivity it is also found that export growth contributes positively to productivity growth while the inflation rate contributes negatively

exports growth and causality in ldcs abstract using akaike s optimal lag criterion in a granger causality test the causal relationship between export growth and economic growth and vice versa is re examined for 20 countries it is argued that earlier analyses which ignore optimal lags in granger or sims causality tests suffer from certain shortcomings which are overcome by the present approach the results suggest some support for the export promotion hypothesis especially in the case of well known nics and thus differ from previous applications of granger test which did not adopt an optimum lag criterion and which showed no causality from export growth to economic growth in such cases however they are inconclusive in evaluating competing hypotheses

exports export composition and growth cointegration and causality evidence for malaysia this paper comprehensively tests the export led growth elg hypothesis for malaysia for the period 1955 90 using cointegration and causality testing based on hsiao s synthesis of the granger test and akaike s minimum final prediction error criterion the results provide support for the elg hypothesis aggregate exports granger cause real gdp and non export gdp this relationship is found to be driven by manufactured exports rather than by traditional exports

international capital flows abstract the surge in international asset trade since the early 1990s has lead to renewed interest in models with international portfolio choice we develop the implications of portfolio choice for both gross and net international capital flows in the context of a simple two country dynamic stochastic general equilibrium dsge model we focus on the time variation in portfolio allocation following shocks and resulting capital flows endogenous time variation in expected returns and risk which are the key determinants of portfolio choice affect capital flows in often subtle ways the model is consistent with a broad range of empirical evidence an additional contribution of the paper is to overcome the technical difficulty of solving dsge models with portfolio choice by developing a broadly applicable solution method

financial development and the instability of open economies this paper introduces a framework for analyzing the role of financial factors as a source of instability in small open economies our basic model is a dynamic open economy model with a tradeable good produced with capital and a country specific factor we also assume that firms face credit constraints with the constraint being tighter at a lower level of financial development a basic implication of this model is that economies at an intermediate level of financial development are more unstable than either very developed or very underdeveloped economies this is true both in the sense that temporary shocks have large and persistent effects and also in the sense that these economies can exhibit cycles thus countries that are going through a phase of financial development may become more unstable in the short run similarly full capital account liberalization may destabilize the economy in economies at an intermediate level of financial development phases of growth with capital inflows are followed by collapse with capital outflows on the other hand foreign direct investment does not destabilize

taking time seriously dramatic world change has stimulated interest in research questions about the dynamics of politics we have seen increases in the number of time series data sets and the length of typical time series but three shortcomings are prevalent in published time series analysis first analysts often estimate models without testing restrictions implied by their specification second researchers link the theoretical concept of equilibrium with cointegration and error correction models third analysts often do a poor job of interpreting results the consequences include weak connections between theory and tests biased estimates and incorrect inferences we outline techniques for estimating linear dynamic regressions with stationary data and weakly exogenous regressors we recommend analysts 1 start with general dynamic models and test restrictions before adopting a particular specification and 2 use the wide array of information available from dynamic specifications we illustrate this strategy with data on congressional approval and tax rates across oecd countries

does firm size matter anymore the new economy and firm size wage effects researchers have long known that large firms pay higher wages than small firms for workers with similar measured characteristics however an agreed upon explanation for this firm size wage effect fswe has not been reached recent changes in the economy provide new leverage for testing competing theories for the effect while questions about the existence and nature of the new economy provide new motivation for exploring this topic this study uses the 1988 2003 current population survey and finds that the fswe has declined by about one third over the study period examining the competing explanations for the fswe this study finds that while the sorting of workers by traits unions and industry factors all contribute to some portion of the effect in cross section they fail to explain why it has declined over time market power explanations also fail to find support shifts in organizational structures particularly a decline of internal labor markets appear to best fit the results these findings

cointegration causality and export led growth in portugal 1865 1985 abstract this paper considers the relationship between cointegration and causality and uses tests of cointegration as pre tests for granger tests of causality such methods are utilized on portuguese data 1865 1985 where the export led growth hypothesis is rejected in favour of reverse causality

financialisation and the slowdown of accumulation over the past decades financial investment of non financial businesses has been rising and accumulation of capital goods has been declining the first part of the paper offers a novel theory to explain this phenomenon financialization the shareholder revolution and the development of a market for corporate control have shifted power to shareholders and thus changed management priorities leading to a reduction in the desired growth rate in the second part the link between accumulation and financialization is tested econometrically by means of a time series analysis of aggregate business investment for usa uk france and germany extensive test of robustness are performed for the first three countries evidence that confirms the negative effect of financialization on accumulation is found author s abstract

agricultural exports and economic growth in less developed countries this article examines the contribution of agricultural exports to economic growth in less developed countries ldcs a sources of growth equation is developed from a dual economy model where agricultural and nonagricultural sectors are both divided into export and nonexport subsectors this is then estimated using panel data for 62 ldcs for 1974 1995 results provide evidence that there are significant structural differences in economic growth between low lower middle and upper income ldcs investment in the agricultural export subsector has a statistically identical impact on economic growth as investment in the nonagricultural export subsector the marginal productivities in nonexport subsectors are over 30 lower than those in respective export subsectors from a policy perspective the results suggest that export promotion policies should be balanced

examining the employer size wage premium in the manufacturing retail trade and service industries using employer employee matched data economists have long sought to understand why large employers pay higher wages than small employers despite decades of study and analysis researchers have been unsuccessful in fully accounting for the employersize wage premium one problem has been insufficient data most empirical efforts to examine the size related wage premium rely on worker level data that contain little information about a worker s employer or firm level data that lack information on the characteristics of a firm s workforce although more recent attempts exploit newly developed employer employee matched data kevin t reilly 1995 troske 1999 most matched data sets cover only limited segments of the population thus raising doubt about the generality of the findings in this paper we use the recently created new worker establishment characteristics database nwecd to examine the employer size wage premium unlike other matched data sets the nwecd contains information on workers and employers in all sectors and regions of the econ

the effects of organizational and political embeddedness on financial malfeasance in the largest u s corporations dependence incentives and opportunities this article examines the causes of financial malfeasance in the largest u s corporations between 1995 and 2004 the findings support organizational political embeddedness theory which suggests that differential social structures create dependencies incentives and opportunities to engage in financial malfeasance the historical analysis shows that neoliberal policies enacted between 1986 and 2000 resulted in organizational and political structures that permitted managers to engage in financial malfeasance our quantitative analysis provides three main findings first capital dependence on investors creates incentives to engage in financial malfeasance second managerial strategies to increase shareholder value create incentives to engage in financial malfeasance third the multilayer subsidiary form and the political structure permitting corporate pac contributions create opportunities to engage in financial malfeasance these findings have important implications for public policy the corporate an

exchange rate variability and the export demand for malaysia s semiconductors an empirical study this article examines the effects of exchange rate variability on export demand for semiconductors which is the largest sub sector of electronics industry in malaysia as reported by malaysian industrial development authority mida 2004 the empirical results which are estimated based on the johansen s multivariate cointegration tests and error correction model suggest that there is a unique long run relationship among quantities of export relative price real foreign income and real exchange rate variability the major finding of this article is that the variability of real exchange rate has some effect on semiconductor exports in both the long run and the short run in the light of rapid advances in technology in the global markets for electronics products the findings are useful to policy makers for the design and target of appropriate exchange rate and industrial policies to enhance the export competitiveness of semiconductor industry

how you downsize is who you downsize biased formalization accountability and managerial diversity scholars and pundits argue that women and minorities are more likely to lose their jobs in downsizing because of segregation or outright discrimination in contrast this article explores how the f

excessive dollar debt financial development and underinsurance we propose that the limited financial development of emerging markets is a significant factor behind the large share of dollar denominated external debt present in these markets we show that when financial constraints affect borrowing and lending between domestic agents agents undervalue insuring against an exchange rate depreciation since more of this insurance is present when external debt is denominated in domestic currency rather than in dollars this result implies that domestic agents choose excessive dollar debt we also show that limited financial development reduces the incentives for foreign lenders to enter emerging markets the retarded entry reinforces the underinsurance problem

the mirage of exchange rate regimes for emerging market countries this paper argues that much of the debate on choosing an exchange rate regime misses the boat it begins by discussing the standard theory of choice between exchange rate regimes and then explores the weaknesses in this theory especially when it is applied to emerging market economies it then discusses a range of institutional traits that might predispose a country to favor either fixed or floating rates and then turns to the converse question of whether the choice of exchange rate regime may favor the development of certain desirable institutional traits the conclusion from the analysis is that the choice of exchange rate regime is likely to be of second order importance to the development of good fiscal financial and monetary institutions in producing macroeconomic success in emerging market countries this suggests that less attention should be focused on the general question whether a floating or a fixed exchange rate is preferable and more on these deeper institutional arrangements a focus on institutional reforms rather than on the exchange rate regime may encourage emerging market countries to be healthier and less prone to the crises that we have seen in recent years

dollarization exchange rate regimes and government quality abstract the dollarization of the domestic banking system represents a source of vulnerability for emerging market countries and a debate has emerged over whether the exchange rate regime has an impact on dollarization this paper argues that the regime is far less important than the literature has previously claimed unofficial dollarization results from a lack of faith in the domestic currency which ultimately stems from the belief that the government will not follow policies that promote long run currency stability empirical results indicate that improved government quality reduces unofficial dollarization while the exchange rate regime plays no direct role in promoting dollarization

growing apart the changing firm size wage premium and its inequality consequences wage inequality in the united states has risen dramatically over the past few decades prompting scholars to develop a number of theoretical accounts for the upward trend this study argues that large firms have been a prominent labor market institution that mitigates inequality by compensating their low and middle wage employees with a greater premium than their higher wage counterparts large u s firms reduced overall wage dispersion yet broader changes to employment relations associated with the demise of internal labor markets and the emergence of alternative employment arrangements have undermined large firms role as an equalizing institution using data from the current population survey and the survey of income and program participation we find that in 1989 although all private sector workers benefited from a firm size wage premium the premium was significantly higher for individuals at the lower end and middle of the wage distribution compared to those at the higher end between 1989 and

causal relationship between exports and economic growth some empirical evidence in taiwan japan and the us causal relationships between exports and economic growth are tested for taiwan the us and japan the variables are stationarized the method of hsiao 1979 is employed in finding the direction of causation wald and likelihood ratio tests confirm that exports growth in the us and a feedback causal relationship exists in japan only terms of trade causes economic growth in japan

monetary policy in a financial crisis what are the economic effects of an interest rate cut when an economy is in the midst of a financial crisis under what conditions will a cut stimulate output and employment and raise welfare under what conditions will a cut have the opposite effects we answer these questions in a general class of open economy models where a financial crisis is modeled as a time when collateral constraints are suddenly binding we find that when there are frictions in adjusting the level of output in the traded good sector and in adjusting the rate at which that output can be used in other parts of the economy then a cut in the interest rate is most likely to result in a welfare reducing fall in output and employment when these frictions are absent a cut in the interest rate improves asset positions and promotes a welfare increasing economic expansion

good times bad times postwar labor s share of national income in capitalist democracies this article returns to a classic question of political economy the zero sum conflict between capital and labor over the division of the national income pie a detailed description of labor s shar

workplace compensation practices and the rise in benefit inequality this article aims to explain why inequality in fringe benefits has grown faster than wage inequality over the past four decades we depart from previous income inequality research by studying benef