the dynamics of individuals fat consumption consumers are increasingly aware of the link between their lifestyle choices and the risk of noncommunicable diseases a dynamic approach incorporating this linkage in food demand is developed where consumers maximize utility over time by choosing fat intake to control their cumulative fat level the resulting dynamic indirect utility function and household data on meat fish and dairy consumption are used to estimate a censored demand system results show that consumers consciously adjust but not instantaneously their cumulative fat level highly educated households have a faster rate of adjustment of cumulative fat when cumulative fat level increases consumers shift to dairy or white meat from red meat products

a dynamic approach to the environmental kuznets curve hypothesis abstract the environmental kuznets curve ekc hypothesis states that pollution levels increase as a country develops but begin to decrease as rising incomes pass beyond a turning point in ekc analyses the relationship between environmental degradation and income is usually expressed as a quadratic function with the turning point occurring at a maximum pollution level other explanatory variables have been included in these models but income regularly has had the most significant effect on indicators of environmental quality one variable consistently omitted in these relationships is the price of energy this paper analyzes previous models to illustrate the importance of prices in these models and then includes prices in an econometric ekc framework testing energy income and co2 income relationships these long run price income models find that income is no longer the most relevant indicator of environmental quality or energy demand indeed we find no significant evidence for the existence of an ekc within the range of current incomes for energy in the presence of price and trade variables

the efficacy of information policy a review of archon fung mary graham and david weil s full disclosure the perils and promise of transparency the economics of information has identified an important role for government to correct situations where competition is not sufficient to reveal valuable information to consumers archon fung mary graham and david weil s full disclosure the perils and promise of transparency provides a thorough discussion of government mandated disclosure policies i use their book to frame an empirical assessment of whether these and other information policies have significantly reduced the costs to consumers created by imperfect information my conclusion which calls for more research is that government information policies have amounted to weak solutions in search of a problem

the effect of physician advice on alcohol consumption count regression with an endogenous treatment effect although there are encouraging trends alcohol abuse continues to be a significant public health problem econometric studies of alcohol demand have yielded a great deal of information for alcohol abuse prevention policy these studies suggest that higher alcohol taxes and stricter drunk driving policies can reduce heavy drinking and drunk driving in this paper we explore the role physician advice plays in the campaign to prevent alcohol related problems compared to alcohol taxation physician advice is a more precisely targeted intervention that does not impose extra costs on responsible drinkers compared to the resource costs of arresting processing and punishing drunk drivers physician advice may be a lower cost intervention to provide a basis for alcohol policy analysis we use an alcohol demand framework to test whether physician provided information about the adverse consequences of alcohol abuse shifts demand to more moderate levels there are three aspects of our alcohol demand model that complicate the estimation 1 the dependent variable is non negative it is a count variable number of drinks consumed 2 a non trivial number of sample observations have zero values for the dependent variable and 3 because the data we use is non experimental the treatment variable indicating receipt of advice from a physician may be endogenous we implement an estimation method that is specifically designed to deal with these three complicating factors our results show that advice has a substantial and significant impact on alcohol consumption by males with hypertension and that failing to account for the endogeneity of advice masks this result copyright 2001 john wiley sons ltd

the economics of tropical deforestation and land use an introduction to the special issue this paper both introduces the special issue on the economics of tropical deforestation and land use and conducts a synthesis crosscountry analysis of tropical agricultural land expansion agricultural development is the main factor determining land expansion but institutional factors have an important influence income effects vary from region to region and do not always display an ekc relationship the case studies comprising this special issue provide further case study insights into tropical deforestation and land use through spatial analysis of locational factors cge modeling of policy scenarios assessing external market impacts on land clearing and modelling state interventions and taxation

the effect of asymmetries on optimal hedge ratios there is widespread evidence that the volatility of stock returns displays an asymmetric response to good and bad news this article considers the impact of asymmetry on time varying hedges for financial futures an asymmetric model that allows forecasts of cash and futures return volatility to respond differently to positive and negative return innovations gives superior in sample hedging performance however the simpler symmetric model is not inferior in a hold out sample a method for evaluating the models in a modern risk management framework is presented highlighting the importance of allowing optimal hedge ratios to be both time varying and asymmetric

bivariate garch estimation of the optimal commodity futures hedge six different commodities are examined using daily data over two futures contract periods cash and futures prices for all six commodities are found to be well described as martingales with near integrated garch innovations bivariate garch models of cash and futures prices are estimated for the same six commodities the optimal hedge ratio ohr is then calculated as a ratio of the conditional covariance between cash and futures to the conditional variance of futures the estimated ohrs reveal that the standard assumption of a time invariant ohr is inappropriate for each commodity the estimated ohr path appears non stationary which has important implications for hedging strategies

confronting the environmental kuznets curve t he environmental kuznets curve posits an inverted u relationship between pollution and economic development kuznets s name was apparently attached to the curve by grossman and krueger 1993 who noted its resemblance to kuznets s inverted u relationship between income inequality and development in the first stage of industrialization pollution in the environmental kuznets curve world grows rapidly because people are more interested in jobs and income than clean air and water communities are too poor to pay for abatement and environmental regulation is correspondingly weak the balance shifts as income rises leading industrial sectors become cleaner people value the environment more highly and regulatory institutions become more effective along the curve pollution levels off in the middle income range and then falls toward pre industrial levels in wealthy societies the environmental kuznets curve model has elicited conflicting reactions from researchers and policymakers applied econometricians have generally accepted the basic tenets of the model and focused on measuring its parameters their regressions typically fitted to cross sectional observations across countries or regions suggest that air and water pollution increase with development until per capita income reaches a range of 5000 to 8000 when income rises beyond that level pollution starts to decline as shown in the conventional ekc line in figure 1 in developing countries some policymakers have interpreted such results as conveying a message about priorities grow first then clean up numerous critics have challenged the conventional environmental kuznets curve both as a representation of what actually happens in the development process and as a policy prescription some pessimistic critics argue that crosssectional evidence for the environmental kuznets curve is nothing more than a

predicting the effects of sugar sweetened beverage taxes on food and beverage demand in a large demand system a censored exact affine stone index incomplete demand system is estimated for 23 packaged foods and beverages and a numeraire good instrumental variables are used to control for endogenous prices a half cent per ounce increase in sugar sweetened beverage prices is predicted to reduce total calories from the 23 foods and beverages but increase sodium and fat intakes as a result of product substitution the predicted decline in calories is larger for low income households than for high income households although welfare loss is also higher for low income households neglecting price endogeneity or estimating a conditional demand model significantly overestimates the calorie reduction

environmental and social degradation as the engine of economic growth abstract in this paper a commonly owned resource an environmental or social asset and a private good are substitutes in consumption the households can buy the private good on the market while the resource is available for free the resource is renewable but its ability to regenerate declines with the level of aggregate production each single firm producing the private good has only a negligible impact on the resource but the impact caused by the entire population of firms is considerable in the face of a decrease in the stock of the resource households are induced to increase their participation in market activities in order to raise their income and buy more private goods hence each household contributes to a further increase in aggregate production thus causing additional damage to the resource s ability to regenerate and feeding the growth process given the presence of negative externalities multiple equilibrium paths are possible in this situation social conventions may guide individuals to coordinate expectations and behavior toward a particular steady state one can speculate that the dominance of cultural values favorable to a lifestyle based on a mix of high consumption and hard work leads the economy to converge on a pareto inferior steady state

the effect of standardized information on firm survival and marketing strategies we argue that standardized information disclosure information using a common format and uniform metrics creates asymmetric opportunities for firms which affects their strategies and survival we test our predictions using a longitudinal quasi experimental field study involving the nutrition labeling and education act of 1990 nlea and we focus on firm market share within a category as a key asymmetry findings indicate that in general the nlea had no effect on firm responses however when accounting for firm differences we observe that the nlea led to 1 an increase in small share firm exits and 2 a greater increase in distribution for large share firms no concurrent increase in price by large share firms following the nlea was observed we conclude by discussing the implications of these effects for firm strategy the design of public policy and theories regarding the impact of information on markets

economic growth and emissions reconsidering the empirical basis of environmental kuznets curves abstract recent empirical research indicates that certain types of emissions follow an inverted u or environmental kuznets curve ekc as income grows this regularity has been interpreted as a possible de linking of economic growth and patterns of certain pollutants for developed economies in this paper the empirical basis of this result is investigated by considering some statistical particularities of the various ekc studies performed it is argued that the inverted u relationship between income and emissions estimated from panel data need not hold for specific individual countries over time based on insights from intensity of use analysis in resource economics an alternative growth model is specified and estimated for three types of emissions co2 nox and so2 in four countries netherlands uk usa and western germany it is found that the time patterns of these emissions correlate positively with economic growth and that emission reductions may have been achieved as a result of structural and technological changes in the economy sustainable growth is defined as the rate of economic growth that does not lead to growth in emissions its rate is calculated for each type of emission and country based on estimated parameter values the resulting indicators reflect a balance between the positive influence of growth and negative influence of structural change and technological progress on emission levels

economic growth and environmental degradation the environmental kuznets curve and sustainable development abstract in this paper we critically examine the concept of the environmental kuznets curve ekc it proposes that there is an inverted u shape relation between environmental degradation and income per capita so that eventually growth reduces the environmental impact of economic activity the concept is dependent on a model of the economy in which there is no feedback from the quality of the environment to production possibilities and in which trade has a neutral effect on environmental degradation the actual violation of these assumptions gives rise to fundamental problems in estimating the parameters of an ekc the paper identifies other econometric problems with estimates of the ekc and reviews a number of empirical studies the inference from some such ekc estimates that further development will reduce environmental degradation is dependent on the assumption that world per capita income is normally distributed when in fact median income is far below mean income we carry out simulations combining ekc estimates from the literature with world bank forecasts for economic growth for individual countries aggregating over countries to derive the global impact within the horizon of the bank s forecast 2025 global emissions of so 2 continue to increase forest loss stabilizes before the end of the period but tropical deforestation continues at a constant rate throughout the period

happiness and health two paradoxes abstract this paper aims to establish systematic relationships between the two rapidly growing research streams on the socio economic determinants of happiness and health although they have been pursued quite independently by different communities of researchers empirical evidence points to very similar underlying causal mechanisms in particular in both cases per capita income seems to play a major role only up to a very low threshold beyond which relative income and other relational factors become crucial for happiness and health on the basis of these structural analogies we argue that a process of cross fertilisation between these two research streams would contribute to their development by clarifying the relationship between happiness health and their determinants finally we observe that the two literatures have converging policy implications measures meant to reduce poverty and inequality and invest in social and environmental capital may improve both health and happiness of the individuals

buen vivir living well in ecuador community and environmental satisfaction without household material prosperity article i nfo this paper provides a quantitative approach to assessing whether the subjective wellbeing swb of ecuadorian people is dependent on income and employment or on more distinctive features relating to buen vivirethos the latter are reflected in the indigenous buen vivir ideology based mainly on relations with the community the environment and food sovereignty the empirical analysis shows that both buen vivir features and factors such as income and unemployment status are significant in the models explaining swb accordingly economic policies should take into account the buen vivir ethos that seems to be important for the swb of the ecuadorian people this supports the conservationist political position which focuses on protecting the environ ment and people s traditional livelihoods rather than the extractive view which regards people s welfare as merely dependent on income 2014 published by elsevier b v 1 in this paper we use the expressions buen vivir ethos buen vivir philosophy buen vivir ideologyorbuen vivirfeatures to refer to this original buen vivir that has grown from indigenous traditions harmonious coexistence with nature power sharing relationships and collective rights sense of community and local and primary production of food in a community s own territory for self consumption a compilation of texts on buen vivirphi losophy in the indigenous tradition can be found in hidalgo capitan et al 2014

economic growth and atmospheric pollution in spain discussing the environmental kuznets curve hypothesis abstract the environmental kuznets curve ekc hypothesis posits an inverted u relationship between environmental pressure and per capita income recent research has examined this hypothesis for different pollutants in different countries despite certain empirical evidence showing that some specific environmental pressures have diminished in developed countries the hypothesis could not be generalized to the global relationship between economy and environment at all in this article we contribute to this debate analyzing the trends of annual emission flux of six atmospheric pollutants in spain the study presents evidence that there is not any correlation between higher income level and smaller emissions except for so2 whose evolution might be compatible with the ekc hypothesis the authors argue that the relationship between income level and diverse types of emissions depends on many factors thus it cannot be thought that economic growth by itself will solve environmental problems

are there limits to growth a simple theoretical model of pollution is developed that generates an inverted u shape relationship between per capita income and environmental quality this model is then used to study long run growth the same inverted u shape is shown to appear in time series and the prospects for sustained growth are shown to hinge on whether increasingly strict environmental regulation is compatible with a constant rate of return on capital implementation is also studied tax and voucher schemes are shown to have an advantage over direct regulation because they provide the correct incentives for capital accumulation copyright 1998 by economics department of the university of pennsylvania and the osaka university institute of social and economic research association

effects of income inequality on population health new evidence from the european community household panel this study provides new evidence in order to explore the relationship between income inequality and health in the european union countries using new data from the european community household panel echp a variety of different specifications were tried using diverse dependent variables such as life expectancy at birth and child mortality the results show new support to the influence of income inequality on health indicators using aggregate data and panel techniques

a markov regime switching approach for hedging energy commodities abstract this paper estimates constant and dynamic hedge ratios in the new york mercantile exchange oil futures markets and examines their hedging performance we also introduce a markov regime switching vector error correction model with garch error structure this specification links the concept of disequilibrium with that of uncertainty as measured by the conditional second moments across high and low volatility regimes overall in and out of sample tests indicate that state dependent hedge ratios are able to provide significant reduction in portfolio risk

inequality and mortality long run evidence from a panel of countries we investigate whether changes in economic inequality affect mortality in rich countries to answer this question we use a new source of data on income inequality tax data on the share of pretax income going to the richest 10 of the population in australia canada france germany ireland the netherlands new zealand spain sweden switzerland the uk and the us between 1903 and 2003 although this measure is not a good proxy for inequality within the bottom half of the income distribution it is a good proxy for changes in the top half of the distribution and for the gini coefficient in the absence of country and year fixed effects the income share of the top decile is negatively related to life expectancy and positively related to infant mortality however in our preferred fixed effects specification these relationships are weak statistically insignificant and likely to change their sign nor do our data suggest that changes in the income share of the richest 10 affect homicide or suicide rates

getting consumers to eat more whole grains the role of policy information and food manufacturers the 2005 dietary guidelines were unique because they offered quantitative recommendations for consumption of whole grains this case study examines the hypothesis that the changed recommendations were responsible for the recent increase in retail sales and consumption of whole grain food products we find that release of the dietary guidelines and related media attention did increase availability and sales of whole grain foods a large impact on consumption occurred through reformulation of existing products induced by competition among food suppliers this study reveals the key role product reformulation plays in inter firm competition and in realization of dietary changes recommended by public

can information costs affect consumer choice nutritional labels in a supermarket experiment this paper investigates whether information costs under currently regulated nutritional labeling prevent consumers from making healthier food choices we implement five nutritional shelf label treatments in a market level experiment these labels reduce information costs by highlighting and summarizing information available on the nutritional facts panel following a difference in differences and synthetic control method approach we analyze weekly store level scanner data for microwave popcorn purchases from treatment and control stores our results suggest that consumer purchases are affected by information costs implemented low calorie and no trans fat labels increase sales in contrast implemented low fat labels decrease sales suggesting that consumer response is also influenced by consumers taste perceptions a combination of these claims into one label treatment increases information costs and does not affect sales significantly

reassessing the environmental kuznets curve for co2 emissions a robustness exercise the number of studies seeking to empirically characterize the reduced form relationship between a country economic growth and the quantity of pollutants produced in the process has recently increased significantly in several cases researchers have found evidence pointing to an inverted u benvironmental kuznetsq curve in the case of co2 however the evidence is at best mixed in this paper we reconsider that evidence by assessing how robust it is when the analysis is conducted in a different parametric setup and when using alternative emissions data from the international energy agency relative to the literature our contribution can be viewed as a robustness exercise in these two respects the econometric results lead to two conclusions firstly published evidence on the ekc does not appear to depend upon the source of the data at least as far as carbon dioxide is concerned secondly when an alternative functional form is employed there is evidence of an inverted u pattern for the group of oecd countries with reasonable turning point regardless of the data set employed not so for non oecd countries as the ekc is basically increasing slowly concave according to the iea data and more bellshaped in the case of cdiac data d 2005 elsevier b v all rights reserved

income distribution and development some stylized facts in recent years the relationship between income distribution and the process of development has come under increasing scrutiny much of the debate has focused on the hypothesis originally advanced by simon kuznets that the secular behavior of inequality follows an inverted u shaped pattern with inequality first increasing and then decreasing with development this hypothesis has become so much a part of the conventional wisdom on this subject that it has generated considerable skepticism about the welfare implications of the development process indeed on some interpretations developing countries face the grim prospect not just of increasing relative inequality but also of declining absolute incomes for the lower income groups

models of quality adjusted life years when health varies over time survey and analysis quality adjusted life year qaly models are widely used for economic evaluation in the health care sector in the first part of the paper we establish an overview of qaly models where health varies over time and provide a theo retical analysis of model identification and parameter estimation from time trade off tto and standard gamble sg scores we investigate deterministic and probabilistic models and consider five different families of discounting functions in all the second part of the paper discusses four issues recurrently debated in the literature this discussion includes questioning the sg method as the gold standard for estimation of the health state index re examining the role of the constant proportional trade off condition revisiting the problem of double dis counting of qalys and suggesting that it is not a matter of choosing between tto and sg procedures as the combination of these two can be used to disen tangle risk aversion from discounting we find that caution must be taken when drawing conclusions from models with chronic health states to situations where health varies over time one notable difference is that in the former case risk aversion may be indistinguishable from discounting models of quality adjusted life years qalys are widely used as health related quality of life measures for economic evaluation in the health care sector in its simplest form the qaly approach assumes that the utility of a profile of health states over time may be estimated by adding the values of the constituent health states in the health profile in more sophisticated models health events occurring in the future may be discounted or risk adjusted

information and advertising the case of fat consumption in the united states the role of information in markets has become a mainstay of the economics literature theoretical work has focused on the market effects of asymmetric information and costly search incentives for voluntary disclosure contracting and other market and policy solutions to information issues see michael katz 1989 and joseph stiglitz 1989 for recent reviews and on how consumers ability to use information could affect market outcomes as in the recent work on information cascades e g sushil bikhchandani et al 1992 the empirical literature testing informational theories is more limited in large part because the key variable of interest information is so difficult to measure most of the literature relies on indirect tests usually based on regulatory differences as in the study of state restrictions on advertising for eyeglasses lee benham 1972 or on new information or public education campaigns typified by the studies of smoking see w kip viscusi 1992 for a recent summary other studies examine cross sectional differences in behavior in an effort to assess whether human capital or other individual or household differences are important in explaining responses to evolving information this paper follows these traditions specifically this study examines changes in fat and saturated fat consumption in the united states as information spread connecting these lipids to heart disease and cancer risks 1 the study examines changes in consumption during two regulatory regimes the years 1977 1985 when government and general information sources continued their efforts to educate the public about the links between fats and disease risks and when producers were free to label these characteristics on food packages and in advertising and the years 1985 1990 when the regulatory ban was lifted that prohibited producers from explaining the reasons why consumers should be interested in the content of foods this controversial regulatory change allowed the use of so called health claims in labeling and advertising subject to the normal deception rules for all advertising and labeling claims 2 comparison of these two periods allows us to provide evidence on whether and how consumers reacted to the general flow of information prior to 1985 and whether advertising appears to have added information to the market or as many critics believe provided deceptive or sufficiently incomplete information to undermine public education efforts

income inequality and pollution a reassessment of the environmental kuznets curve abstract improvements in some measures of air and water quality can accompany rising per capita income as illustrated by the so called environmental kuznets curve for pollution variables which show such a relationship we hypothesize that a more equitable distribution of power contributes to these outcomes by enhancing the influence on policy of those who bear the costs of pollution relative to the influence of those who benefit from pollution generating activities an empirical analysis of international variations in seven indicators of air and water quality supports this hypothesis literacy political rights and civil liberties are found to have particularly strong effects on environmental quality in low income countries

sudden changes in variance and time varying hedge ratios abstract this paper analyzes the influence of sudden changes in the unconditional volatility on the estimation and forecast of volatility and its impact on futures hedging strategies we employ several multivariate garch models to estimate the optimal hedge ratios for the spanish stock market including in each one some well known patterns that may affect volatility forecasts asymmetry and sudden changes the main empirical results show that more complex models including sudden changes in volatility outperform the simpler models in hedging effectiveness both with in sample and out of sample analysis however the evidence is stronger when the loss distribution tail is used as a measure for the effectiveness value at risk var and expected shortfall es suggesting that traditional measures based on the variance of the hedged portfolio should be used with caution

taking the u out of kuznets a comprehensive analysis of the ekc and environmental degradation unlike most environmental kuznets curve ekc studies which focus on narrow measures of pollution as proxies for environmental quality we test the validity of the ekc using the ecological footprint ef a more comprehensive measure of environmental degradation we find no empirical evidence of an ekc relationship between the ef and economic development and only limited support for such a relationship among the components of the ef in addition we discover that energy is largely responsible for the lack of an ekc relationship and that energy consumption levels would have to be cut by over 50 in order for a statistically significant ekc relationship to emerge from the data overall these results suggest that growth alone will not lead to sustainable development

economics food choices and nutrition abstract our goal in this paper is to examine the role and influence of economic factors defined rather broadly on consumer food choices and hence nutritional outcomes we attempt to do this in a non technical fashion we examine the role of prices especially as they relate to the affordability of food in the united states and as a policy lever income is analyzed as a driving force behind changes in eating habits in particular increasing the demand for convenience the role of time constraints as well as time preference are examined as links to healthy eating habits and as forces behind current trends in eating patterns information and knowledge are given prominent play as counter balances to economic forces driving eating habits we conclude with and examination into maternal nutrition knowledge and children s dietary quality

persistence in variance structural change and the garch model this article examines the persistence of the variance as measured by the generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity garch model in stock return data in particular we investigate the extent to which persistence in variance may be overstated because of the existence of and failure to take account of deterministic structural shifts in the model both an analysis of daily stock return data and a monte carlo simulation experiment confirm the hypothesis that garch measures of persistence in variance are sensitive to this type of model misspecification