co2 emissions energy consumption and economic growth in china a panel data analysis this paper examines the causal relationships between carbon dioxide emissions energy consumption and real economic output using panel cointegration and panel vector error correction modeling techniques based on the panel data for 28 provinces in china over the period 1995 2007 our empirical results show that co2 emissions energy consumption and economic growth have appeared to be cointegrated moreover there exists bidirectional causality between co2 emissions and energy consumption and also between energy consumption and economic growth it has also been found that energy consumption and economic growth are the long run causes for co2 emissions and co2 emissions and economic growth are the long run causes for energy consumption the results indicate that china s co2 emissions will not decrease in a long period of time and reducing co2 emissions may handicap china s economic growth to some degree some policy implications of the empirical results have finally been proposed

assessing income population and technology impacts on co2 emissions in canada where s the ekc abstract this study investigates the macroeconomic forces underlying carbon dioxide co2 emissions from fossil fuel use in canada in keeping with the relevant literature on environmental degradation three forces are expected to influence co2 emissions gross domestic product per capita gdp capita population and technological change while previous work has employed reduced form models that allow for non linear relationships between co2 and gdp capita it has been common practice to assume linear relationships between co2 and the latter two variables this study tests a more flexible model using a five region panel data set in canada over the period 1970 2000 findings indicate that gdp capita is unrelated to co2 that an inverted u shaped relationship exists with population and that a u shaped relationship exists with technology thus technological and population changes are supported over the commonly hypothesized environmental kuznets curve an inverted u shaped relationship between gdp capita and environmental degradation for affecting co2 emissions from fossil fuel use in canada

the middle class collapse and the environment abstract the thesis that unequal societies are harmful to the planet was defended by boyce 1994 in a framework based on the unequal bargaining power between rich and poor our study reinvestigates this theory by removing any reference to power in order to study the conditions under which it can still occur we show that a middle class collapse can aggravate or alleviate the burden on the planet depending on income disparities and weight of upward vs downward mobility moreover the paper shows how an appropriate environmental policy can increase the political acceptability of a social one designed for mitigating the deleterious effects of a middle class collapse through the reduction of ex post income disparities

bounds testing approach to analyzing the environment kuznets curve hypothesis with structural beaks the role of biomass energy consumption in the united states abstract this paper re examines the specification of the environmental kuznets curve ekc for the us economy by accounting for the presence of a major renewable energy source and trade openness over the period 1960 2016 biomass energy consumption and trade openness as well as oil prices are considered as additional determinants of economic growth and consequentially of co 2 emissions the bounds testing approach to cointegration is used to examine the long run relationship between the variables in the presence of structural breaks the causal relationship between the variables is investigated by applying the vecm granger causality test and accommodating structural breaks the results confirm the presence of cointegration between the variables moreover the relationship between economic growth and co 2 emissions is not only inverted u shaped but also n shaped in the presence of structural breaks and biomass biomass energy consumption lowers co 2 emissions exports imports and trade openness are also environment friendly the causality analysis underscores a feedback effect between biomass energy consumption and co 2 emissions economic growth still granger causes co 2 emissions in this new setup

co2 emissions energy consumption and economic growth in bric countries abstract this paper examines dynamic causal relationships between pollutant emissions energy consumption and output for a panel of bric countries over the period 1971 2005 except for russia 1990 2005 in long run equilibrium energy consumption has a positive and statistically significant impact on emissions while real output exhibits the inverted u shape pattern associated with the environmental kuznets curve ekc hypothesis with the threshold income of 5 393 in logarithms in the short term changes in emissions are driven mostly by the error correction term and short term energy consumption shocks as opposed to short term output shocks for each country short term deviations from the long term equilibrium take from 0 770 years russia to 5 848 years brazil to correct the panel causality results indicate there are energy consumption emissions bidirectional strong causality and energy consumption output bidirectional long run causality along with unidirectional both strong and short run causalities from emissions and energy consumption respectively to output overall in order to reduce emissions and not to adversely affect economic growth increasing both energy supply investment and energy efficiency and stepping up energy conservation policies to reduce unnecessary wastage of energy can be initiated for energy dependent bric countries

strategic eurasian natural gas market model for energy security and policy analysis formulation and application to south stream abstract the mathematical formulation of a strategic eurasian natural gas market model is presented the model represents horizontal oligopolistic relationships among producers bilateral market power between producer russia and transit ukraine countries detailed transport constraints and operation decisions over a 20 year time horizon to demonstrate the model s capabilities a financial and market analysis of the proposed south stream gas pipeline from russia via the black sea to south europe is summarized insights obtained include the following first expectations of high demand growth in europe and or transit risks do not justify the construction of the south stream pipeline because under all demand and ukraine transit interruption scenarios the net benefits to the south stream participants are negative the npv ranges from 1 9 billion bn to 7 4 bn second ukraine s perception of high transit market power vis a vis russia may trigger the construction of the otherwise unprofitable south stream project thus under ukraine s high transit market power scenario the npv of south stream ranges between 2 4 bn and 24 5 bn third we find that the south stream investment increases the efficiency of the european gas market under the following conditions i when gas demand in europe grows 2 per year up to 2030 ii when ukraine poses high transit market power or iii under a combination of severe transit risks through ukraine and low demand scenarios in europe it should be noted that the value of south stream to both its project sponsors and the market as a whole is much higher when ukraine exercises transit market power than under the high demand scenario therefore whether ukraine is likely to wield market power is crucial to the success of the south stream project because that is the only scenario in which the project yields both a positive expected npv to its sponsors and the highest value to the market as a whole

the toxic intensity of industrial production global patterns trends and trade policy this paper exploits a newly developed data set to investigate recent changes in the international distribution of industrial pollution in particular the authors examine three issues 1 the relationship between the toxic intensity of industrial production and the level of economic development 2 the impact of oecd environmental regulation on global changes in toxic intensity and 3 the relationship between trade policy and the toxic intensity of industrial production in ldc s 10 refs

carbon dioxide emissions and economic growth panel data evidence from developing countries in this paper we test the environment kuznet s curve ekc hypothesis for 43 developing countries we suggest examining the ekc hypothesis based on the short and long run income elasticities that is if the long run income elasticity is smaller than the short run income elasticity then it is evident that a country has reduced carbon dioxide emissions as its income has increased our empirical analysis based on individual countries suggests that jordan iraq kuwait yemen qatar the uae argentina mexico venezuela algeria kenya nigeria congo ghana and south africa approximately 35 per cent of the sample carbon dioxide emissions have fallen over the long run that is as these economies have grown emissions have fallen since the long run income elasticity is smaller than the short run elasticity we also examine the ekc hypothesis for panels of countries constructed on the basis of regional location using the panel cointegration and the panel long run estimation techniques we find that only for the middle eastern and south asian panels the income elasticity in the long run is smaller than the short run implying that carbon dioxide emission has fallen with a rise in income

an econometric study of co2 emissions energy consumption income and foreign trade in turkey abstract this study attempts to empirically examine the dynamic causal relationships between carbon emissions energy consumption income and foreign trade in the case of turkey using the time series data for the period 1960 2005 this research tests the interrelationship between the variables using the bounds testing to cointegration procedure the bounds test results indicate that there exist two forms of long run relationships between the variables in the case of first form of long run relationship carbon emissions are determined by energy consumption income and foreign trade in the case of second long run relationship income is determined by carbon emissions energy consumption and foreign trade an augmented form of granger causality analysis is conducted amongst the variables the long run relationship of co2 emissions energy consumption income and foreign trade equation is also checked for the parameter stability the empirical results suggest that income is the most significant variable in explaining the carbon emissions in turkey which is followed by energy consumption and foreign trade moreover there exists a stable carbon emissions function the results also provide important policy recommendations

the impacts of gdp trade structure exchange rate and fdi inflows on china s carbon emissions abstract this paper examines the impacts of gdp trade structure exchange rate and fdi foreign direct investment inflows on china s carbon emissions from 1982 to 2016 and verifies the validity of ekc environmental kuznets curve hypothesis for china differentiated from the existing literature which rarely considers services trade and exchange rate this paper uses the proportion of services trade to measure trade structure and exchange rate as one of the independent variables firstly the stability of each variable is tested by adf augmented dickey fuller and np ng perron test then ardl bound test is used to test the cointegration of the variables as it has better properties than traditional cointegration methods and is more suitable for the model in this paper thirdly error correction model is used to analyze the long term and short term dynamic relationship between the variables fourthly the granger causality test based on the var is performed it is found that during the study period ekc hypothesis was valid for china and that whilst the impacts of both services trade and exchange rate on china s carbon emissions were negative the impacts of fdi inflows were positive conclusions and policy implications are provided at the end of the paper

stoking the fires co2 emissions and economic growth abstract we examine the relationship between economic development and carbon dioxide emissions a greenhouse gas central to global warming predictions estimates derived from global panel data suggest a diminishing marginal propensity to emit mpe carbon dioxide as gdp per capita rises despite this global carbon dioxide emissions growth will continue at 1 8 percent per annum for the foreseeable future a result that is not sensitive to average output growth instead emissions growth continues because output and population will grow most rapidly in lower income nations with high mpes this latter feature emphasizes the distributional consequences of policies to reduce emissions

long term changes in co2 emissions in austria and czechoslovakia identifying the drivers of environmental pressures this study presents fossil fuel related co2 emissions in austria and czechoslovakia current czech republic and slovakia for 1830 2000 the drivers of co2 emissions are discussed by investigating the variables of the standard kaya identity for 1920 2000 and conducting a comparative index decomposition analysis proxy data on industrial production and household consumption are analysed to understand the role of the economic structure co2 emissions increased in both countries in the long run czechoslovakia was a stronger emitter of co2 throughout the time period but per capita emissions significantly differed only after world war i when czechoslovakia and austria became independent the difference in co2 emissions increased until the mid 1980s the period of communism in czechoslovakia explained by the energy intensity and the composition effects and higher industrial production in czechoslovakia counterbalancing factors were the income effect and household consumption after the velvet revolution in 1990 czechoslovak co2 emissions decreased and the energy composition effect and industrial production lost importance despite their different political and economic development austria and czechoslovakia reached similar levels of per capita co2 emissions in the late 20th century neither austrian eco efficiency nor czechoslovak restructuring have been effective in reducing co2 emissions to a sustainable level

economic growth and emissions reconsidering the empirical basis of environmental kuznets curves abstract recent empirical research indicates that certain types of emissions follow an inverted u or environmental kuznets curve ekc as income grows this regularity has been interpreted as a possible de linking of economic growth and patterns of certain pollutants for developed economies in this paper the empirical basis of this result is investigated by considering some statistical particularities of the various ekc studies performed it is argued that the inverted u relationship between income and emissions estimated from panel data need not hold for specific individual countries over time based on insights from intensity of use analysis in resource economics an alternative growth model is specified and estimated for three types of emissions co2 nox and so2 in four countries netherlands uk usa and western germany it is found that the time patterns of these emissions correlate positively with economic growth and that emission reductions may have been achieved as a result of structural and technological changes in the economy sustainable growth is defined as the rate of economic growth that does not lead to growth in emissions its rate is calculated for each type of emission and country based on estimated parameter values the resulting indicators reflect a balance between the positive influence of growth and negative influence of structural change and technological progress on emission levels

determinants of co2 emissions in a small open economy abstract the aim of the paper is to explore the relationship between economic development and carbon dioxide co2 emissions for a small open and industrialized country austria we test whether an environmental kuznets curve relationship also holds for a single country rather than concentrating on panel or cross section data for a set of countries a cubic i e n shaped relationship between gdp and co2 emissions is found to fit the data most appropriately for the period 1960 1999 and a structural break is identified in the mid seventies due to the oil price shock furthermore two variables are additionally significant import shares reflecting the well known pollution haven hypothesis and the share of the tertiary service sector of total production gdp accounting for structural changes in the economy emission projections derived from this single country specification support the widely held opinion that significant policy changes are asked for when implementing the kyoto protocol in order to bring about a downturn in future carbon emissions

the transition towards renewable energies physical limits and temporal conditions abstract the perspectives of the depletion of fossil energy resources together with the consequences of climate change have provoked the development of numerous national and pluri national energy policies however there have been few overall studies on the evolution of these resources this paper uses a dynamic model to study the exhaustion patterns of world fossil and nuclear fuels and their possible replacement by renewable energy sources the results show that peak oil will be the first restriction and it will not be easily overcome electric vehicles can produce some interesting savings but they are insufficient to avoid the decline in oil biofuels are even more limited due to the enormous extensions of fertile land they require and their low productivity this shows that overcoming the decline in oil will need much more ambitious policies than the mere substitution of technology if the oil economy relationship does not change substantially world economic growth may be seriously limited or even negative in contrast the production of electrical energy is not such a worrying problem in the short and middle term

overuse of wood based bioenergy in selected sub saharan africa countries review of unconstructive challenges and suggestions excessive wood consumption for energy and over dependence on fossil fuel based energy are fundamental issues of importance regarding the destruction of environmental sanity in this respect international communities are seeking to explore opportunities on how to encourage aggressive deployment of technologies for clean and sustainable development and possibly renewable the kyoto protocol on climate change meeting in 1997 with about 160 countries in attendance has been used as one of the platform of discourse on carbon emissions reduction strategies advocated strategies agreed include increase in renewable energy consumption via modern techniques massive deployment of renewable energy systems on a global scale will ensure a reasonable displacement of oil based energy production which is the main source of anthropogenic greenhouse gases in sub saharan africa limited access to modern energy in the region has stepped up reliance on bioenergy consumption in form of wood fuel and charcoal resulting to attendant effects on human health environment and the biodiversity in general in view of the foregoing this study presents a review on the current situations of unconstructive effects in the overuse of fuel wood and its charcoal derivative for energy consumption in three selected sub saharan african countries nigeria ghana and uganda in conclusion suggestions on how to confront the challenges associated with the over exploitation conditions of fuel wood in the region are put forward the suggestions could be part of the pursuit to increase electricity availability reliability and security with lower level of emissions in the region

economic growth and environmental degradation the environmental kuznets curve and sustainable development abstract in this paper we critically examine the concept of the environmental kuznets curve ekc it proposes that there is an inverted u shape relation between environmental degradation and income per capita so that eventually growth reduces the environmental impact of economic activity the concept is dependent on a model of the economy in which there is no feedback from the quality of the environment to production possibilities and in which trade has a neutral effect on environmental degradation the actual violation of these assumptions gives rise to fundamental problems in estimating the parameters of an ekc the paper identifies other econometric problems with estimates of the ekc and reviews a number of empirical studies the inference from some such ekc estimates that further development will reduce environmental degradation is dependent on the assumption that world per capita income is normally distributed when in fact median income is far below mean income we carry out simulations combining ekc estimates from the literature with world bank forecasts for economic growth for individual countries aggregating over countries to derive the global impact within the horizon of the bank s forecast 2025 global emissions of so 2 continue to increase forest loss stabilizes before the end of the period but tropical deforestation continues at a constant rate throughout the period

environmental kuznets curve for co2 in canada abstract according to the environmental kuznets curve hypothesis the relationship between per capita gdp and per capita pollutant emissions has an inverted u shape this implies that past a certain point economic growth may actually be profitable for environmental quality most studies on this subject are based on estimating fully parametric quadratic or cubic regression models while this is not technically wrong such an approach somewhat lacks flexibility since it may fail to detect the true shape of the relationship if it happens not to be of the specified form we use semiparametric and flexible nonlinear parametric modeling methods in an attempt to provide more robust inferences we find little evidence in favour of the environmental kuznets curve hypothesis our main results could be interpreted as indicating that the oil shock of the 1970s has had an important impact on progress towards less polluting technology and production

energy consumption as a condition for per capita carbon dioxide emission growth the results of a qualitative comparative analysis in the european union abstract the problematic of climatic changes and the respective consequences raises the need to discuss the problem and define measures to control and or reverse them because one of the causes of climatic changes is the emission of greenhouse gases the european union defined the reduction of emissions as a main concern as well as increasing efficiency in the energy sector with the objective of analysing the main conditions affecting the growth of per capita emissions this paper uses a fuzzy set qualitative comparative analysis fsqca based on a sample of data from 2010 to 2014 the conditions evaluated were i gdp growth ii change in the share of gdp relating to private consumption iii change in the share of gdp relating to public consumption iv change in the share of gdp on investment v and energy consumption growth the main drivers contributing to reduced emissions were the crisis and energy consumption evaluation of the main factors affecting emissions growth is the main contribution of this study considering that economic growth is an obvious goal the european union must design measures encouraging investment in more efficient and less pollutant technologies which is also in accordance with oecd sustainability goals

environmental kuznet s curve for india evidence from tests for cointegration with unknown structuralbreaks this study revisits the cointegrating relationship between carbon emission energy use economic activity and trade openness for india using threshold cointegration tests with a view to testing the environmental kuznet s curve hypothesis in the presence of possible regime shift in long run relationship of the variables for the period 1971 to 2008 the article confirms the existence of regime shift or threshold cointegration among the variables and environmental kuznet s curve for india it challenges previous empirical works for india which fail to establish cointegrating relationship among these variables and explains its logical and econometric reasons the study finds that the carbon emission is highly elastic with respect to real per capita income and energy use in india this finding is critical and warns successful design and execution of energy and environmental policy framework which would pave the low carbon sustainable growth path inindia

smallholder wood production and population pressure in east africa evidence of an environmental kuznets curve the incentives for growing fuelwood on small farms are examined using survey data from kenya the analysis finds that tree planting is a competitive activity and that farmers are responsive to incentives to plant trees these incentives vary across households facing different factor availabilities and market opportunities the existence of a persistent fuelwood gap and the notion that population pressure will lead to declining tree cover are not supported by the analysis a simulation model indicates that as land continues to be subdivided tree cover may actually rise a result consistent with other evidence of an environmental kuznets curve

china s energy consumption under the global economic crisis decomposition and sectoral analysis abstract it is now widely recognized that there is a strong relationship between energy consumption and economic growth most countries energy demands declined during the economic depression of 2008 2009 when a worldwide economic crisis occurred as an export oriented economy china suffered a serious exports decline in the course of the crisis however it was found that energy consumption continued to increase against such a background this paper aims to assess and explain the factors causing the growth of energy consumption in china first we will explain the impact of domestic final use and international trade on energy consumption by using decomposition analysis second embodied energy and its variation across sectors are quantified to identify the key sectors contributing to the growth lastly the policy implications for long term energy conservation are discussed the results show that the decline in exports was one of the driving forces for energy consumption reduction in the crisis but that the growth of domestic demand in manufacturing and construction largely stimulated by economic stimulus plans had the opposite effect on energy consumption international trade contributed to decreasing energy consumption of china during and after the crisis because the structure of exports and imports changed in this period

transboundary effects of environmental policy markets and emission leakages abstract one of many explanations for environmental kuznets curves for rich countries can be that dirty production is relocated to economies with laxer abatement regimes if this is caused by national abatement policies environmental stresses are transferred to other countries further the economic costs of national abatement policies can be shared with foreigners to some extent both through a lower demand for imports and losses of market shares for foreign competitors that produce cleaner products we quantify effects internally and abroad of a growth induced unilateral carbon tax policy in a rich open economy we find that the environmental benefits fall and the economic costs rise when a global rather than a national perspective is employed

ekc analysis for studying economic growth and environmental quality a case study in china compared with the extensive research on the relationship between economic growth and environmental quality in developed countries there is a paucity of an empirical research on studying the relation for developing countries based upon the environmental kuznets curve ekc theory this paper develops regression models for investigating the relationship between economic growth and environmental quality in china the ekc analysis based on six pollution indices is illustrated with a case study in jiaxing of zhejiang china

what proportion of renewable energy supplies is needed to initially mitigate co2 emissions in oecd member countries in spite of increasing numbers of countries having established renewable energy development mechanisms for carbon dioxide co2 emissions reduction the co2 emissions problem continues to worsen along with the growth of the world economy this leads us to examine the threshold effect of the proportion of renewable energy supply for co2 emissions reduction by means of the panel threshold regression model ptr economic growth and the price of energy are also both taken into account in the model in measuring the specific influence that each of them has on co2 emissions the empirical panel data encompass all 30 member countries of the oecd and cover a period of about a decade in length from 1996 to 2005 our empirical results provide clear evidence of the existence of a single threshold effect that may be divided into lower and higher regimes based on the specific estimates of the slope coefficients in each regime distinguished we find that a renewable energy supply accounting for at least 8 3889 of total energy supply would mean that co2 emissions would start to be mitigated furthermore real gdp and the cpi of energy are significantly and positively and insignificantly and negatively correlated with co2 emissions respectively these findings lead us to conclude that the authorities ought to enhance the proportion of renewable energy supply to more than 8 3889 of all energy supplied which might help resolve the dilemma between economic growth and co2 emissions realizing the effects of co2 emissions reduction via energy price reforms or the levying of a carbon tax levy may however still remain a puzzle

what is the role of openness for china s aggregate industrial so2 emission a structural analysis based on the divisia decomposition method abstract having observed the weaknesses in previous structural analyses on the role of environmental kuznets curve ekc the author proposes a detailed analysis using a rich data set of provincial level production and so2 emission intensity of 13 industrial sectors the latter represent more than 98 of the total industrial production in each chinese province for the period 1991 2001 through the use of the log mean divisia index decomposition method the variations in province level industrial so2 emissions with regard to the 1990 baseline level are decomposed into the contribution from three components scale composition and technical effects the following analysis seeks to explain how trade openness affects aggregate industrial so2 emission through its impact on the structural determinants for these three components of region specific environmental variations

the nexus between carbon emissions energy consumption and economic growth in middle east countries a panel data analysis abstract the environmental kuznets curve ekc hypothesis assumes that there is an inverted u shaped relationship between environmental degradation and income per capita in other words as a country grows it is assumed that its environmental quality improves in this study we aim to test the ekc hypothesis for 12 middle east countries during the period 1990 2008 by employing recently developed panel data methods our results provide evidence contrary to the ekc hypothesis we found evidence favorable to the u shaped ekc for 5 middle east countries whereas an inverted u shaped curve was identified for only 3 middle east countries furthermore there appear to be no causal links between income and co 2 emissions for the other 4 countries regarding the direction of causality there appears to be a unidirectional causality from economic growth to energy consumption in the short run in the long run however the unidirectional causality chain runs from energy consumption and economic growth to co 2 emissions we also suggest some crucial policy implications depending on these results

participation in gvcs and co2 emissions abstract this paper attempts to explore the determinants of co2 emissions in the context of international trade while there exist studies that examine the roles of horizontal specialization and inter industry trade transactions little previous research attention has been paid to the roles of vertical specialization and intra industry trade transactions in affecting co2 emissions to fill the knowledge gap this study uses the panel data of 62 countries and regions for the period of 1995 2011 to estimate the effect of participation in global value chains gvcs on per capita co2 emissions major findings include 1 the relationship between participation degrees in gvcs and per capita co2 emissions is found to be inversely u shaped at the aggregate economy level and for most individual industries 2 per capita gdp shows an n shaped relationship with per capita co2 emissions and 3 benign drivers of co2 emissions include r d energy conservation and population control it can be concluded that countries with low gdp or gvc participation degrees are expected to experience worsening co2 emissions in the short or even medium run this trend however can be moderated or even reversed with more r d investments

carbon intensity and economic development 1962 1991 a brief exploration of the environmental kuznets curve the relationship between national carbon dioxide emissions intensity co2 emitted per unit of gross domestic product and level of economic development has changed from essentially linear in 1962 to strongly curvilinear in 1991 the inverted u curve reached statistical significance briefly in the early 1970s and increasingly since 1982 this is the result not of groups of countries passing through stages of development but of efficiency improvements in a small number of wealthy countries combined with worse performance in poor and middle income countries the curvilinear relation is deepening and is likely to persist due to constraints on poorer countries in the world economy

economic growth trade and energy implications for the environmental kuznets curve abstract the environmental kuznets curve ekc hypothesis asserts that pollution follows an inverted u path with respect to economic growth the ekc has been explained in terms of structural changes in the composition of economic output and increased environmental regulation at higher income levels while some authors have incorporated the impact of trade policy orientation on the ekc the impact of the actual movement between countries of goods that embody pollution has not been considered this paper attempts to econometrically quantify the effect using pooled cross country and time series data the ekc hypothesis is examined with respect to commercial energy consumption the source of many serious environmental problems it was found that while both industrializing and industrialized countries have added to their energy requirements by exporting manufactured goods the growth has been substantially higher in the former at the same time industrialized countries have been able to reduce their energy requirements by importing manufactured goods exports of manufactured goods by industrialized countries has thus been an important factor in generating the upward sloping portion of the ekc and imports by industrialized countries have contributed to the downward slope

on energy consumption and gdp studies a meta analysis of the last two decades abstract the relationship between energy consumption and gdp growth has been intensely examined in multiple frameworks set by various methods and countries this paper is a meta analysis of 51 studies published in the last two decades with worldwide data since 1949 on the relationship between energy consumption and gdp growth the aim is to systemize some of the factors that cause the variation of results in these studies our results yield evidence that the long run elasticity of gdp growth with respect to energy consumption is not independent of the method employed for cointegration the data type and the inclusion of variables such as the price level or capital in the cointegration equation also 1 increase in capital increases the elasticity of gdp with respect to energy consumption by 0 85

tax reform and retirement saving incentives evidence from the introduction of stakeholder pensions in the uk faced with ageing populations oecd governments are seeking policies to increase individual retirement saving in april 2001 the uk government introduced stakeholder pensions a low cost retirement saving vehicle the reform also changed the structure of tax relieved contribution ceilings increasing their generosity for lower earning individuals we examine the impact of these changes on private pension coverage and on contributions to personal pension accounts using individual level micro data we use a difference in differences strategy and where necessary our estimator is modified to allow for dichotomous outcomes the results suggest that the change to the contribution ceilings affected both coverage rates and contributions to private pensions among lower earnings individuals especially among women and those in couples

does disaggregated co2 emission matter for growth evidence from thirty countries abstract this paper investigates the causal relationship between economic growth and aggregated carbon dioxide co 2 emission as well as economic growth and disaggregated co 2 emission from burning fossil fuel coal oil and natural gas in addition the analysis extends the potential impact on economic growth if countries substitute co 2 emission from dirty energy coal by emission from relatively cleaner energy oil and natural gas the study carries out a panel analysis of 30 countries during 1960 2010 panel unit root tests cointegration techniques and causality tests are used to investigate these relationships using panel var in first differences framework the result indicates that there are feedback relationships in all cases except a unidirectional causality running from economic growth to coal induced co 2 emission utilizing wald test with linear restriction the result also finds that countries will be environmentally benefited if they substitute emission from coal by that of oil and natural gas that is if they substitute coal consumption by oil and natural gas consumption depending on the findings the paper suggests some essential policies

dirty industries patterns of change in industrial countries this article concerns itself with the environmental role of heavily polluting industries since 1970 analysing its development in 11 basic industries as well as electricity production and road transport in 32 industrial countries it argues for a green industrial policy demonstrating that other mitigations of environmental pressure in industrial countries end of pipe treatment relocation to the third world structural change in the industrial sector and even environmentally oriented modernization have so far been unable to solve the problems of dirty industries although some approaches have shown some promise

globalisation and sustainability environmental kuznets curve and the wto abstract economic globalisation is seen by many as a driving force for global economic growth yet opinion is divided about the benefits of this process as highlighted by the wto meeting in seattle in late 1999 proponents of economic globalisation view it as a positive force for environmental improvement and as a major factor increasing the likelihood of sustainable development through its likely boost to global investment these proponents mostly appeal to analysis based on the environmental kuznets curve ekc to support their views about environmental improvement but ekc analysis has significant deficiencies furthermore it is impossible to be confident that the process of economic globalisation will result in sustainable development if weak conditions only are satisfied strong conditions probably need to be satisfied to achieve sustainable development and given current global institutional arrangements these are likely to be violated by the economic globalisation process global political action seems to be needed to avert a deterioration in the global environment and to prevent unsustainability of development this exposition demonstrates the limitations of ekc analysis identifies positive and negative effects of economic globalisation on pollution levels and highlights connections between globalisation and the debate about whether strong or weak conditions are required for sustainable development the article concludes with a short discussion of the position of wto in relation to trade and the environment and the seemingly de facto endorsement of wto of weak conditions for sustainable development it suggests that wto s relative neglect of environmental concerns is no longer politically tenable and needs to be reassessed in the light of recent developments in economic analysis the skew of economic growth e g in favour of developing countries is shown to be extremely important from a global environmental perspective

japan s energy security predicament post fukushima if energy security is defined as the availability of energy at all times in various forms in sufficient quantities and at affordable prices without unacceptable or irreversible impact on the economy and the environment japan is facing an energy security predicament for a country that was already uneasy about energy security the march 11 2011 earthquake and tsunami which caused a nuclear catastrophe in tepco s fukushima daiichi nuclear power plant turned this unease into outright anxiety with the temporary and or permanent closure of many nuclear reactors japan has had to replace lost power tokyo has had no choice but to secure additional fossil fuels a strategy that has negatively affected japan s economy due to rising fuel costs the increase in japan s fossil fuel consumption has also caused a significant increase in greenhouse gas emissions and affected tokyo s commitment to kyoto targets this paper analyzes the consequences of the 2011 nuclear disaster for japan s energy security recognizing that japan s future energy policy choices are constrained and path dependent the paper outlines energy policy recommendations for japan s government

energy consumption and gdp revisited a panel analysis of developed and developing countries this paper applies a new panel data stationarity testing procedure first developed by carrion i silvestre et al 2005 econometrics journal 8 159 175 with panel vars that employ the generalized method of moment techniques in order to re investigate the dynamic interactions between energy consumption per capita lec and real gdp per capita lry in 22 developed and 18 developing countries when multiple breaks in the series are taken into account there is convincing evidence of panel stationarity for lec and lry in both groups the energy crises evidently had a substantive impact on both lec and lry in all sample countries furthermore our panel vars attest to bidirectional causality between lec and lry in developed countries but there is uni directional causality from lry to lec in developing countries finally from the orthogonalized impulse response functions all of the variables in the panel vars have a positive effect on each other but their impact is greater and more persistent in developing countries some important policy implications do emerge

bp statistical review of world energy 2011 multinational corporation bp is now issuing the 60th statistical review which contains data on world energy production and consumption the influence of renewed economic growth in energy consumption is considered the dynamics of individual energy markets crude oil petroleum natural gas is analyzed the prospects for coal hydro and nuclear power as well as the possibility of using renewable energy sources are investigated

politico economic determinants of public debt growth a case study for austria based on a number of economic andparticularly politico economic arguments we examine the reasons for the growth ofthe central government s debt in austriausing time series data for the period 1960 to 1999 starting with an empiricaltest of bohn s theory of sustainability offiscal policy which is based on barro stax smoothing model we extend the model toaccount for several politico economicvariables suggested by public choicetheories keynesian stabilization policyobjectives influences of ideology andpolitical parties the form of governmentand the political business cycle are testedregarding their ability to explain thegrowth of public debt in austria there issome empirical evidence for systematicinfluence of government behavior inaccordance with recent public choicetheories however it seems that the mostimportant influence on austrian fiscalpolicy is the unemployment rate which has asignificant influence on the decisions madeby policy makers concluding we brieflydiscuss the implications of these resultsfor the prospects of reducing public debtin austria in the near future

decoupling co2 emission and economic growth in china is there consistency in estimation results in analyzing environmental kuznets curve china is one of the highest growth economies in the world and it has experienced a significant rise in energy consumption and greenhouse gas emissions in recent decades its economic growth heavily depends on fossil fuels of coal and oil which led to huge amount of greenhouse gas emissions this study logically analyzes the nexus of co2 emissions economic growth and energy consumption by decoupling greenhouse gas emission of co2 and economic growth to provide more conclusive evidence on the phenomenon of the environmental kuznets curve ekc over the period 1970 2015 to achieve the objective of consistency in the estimation results the study applies different estimation techniques such as ardl auto regressive distributed lag model fmols fully modified ordinary least squares dols dynamic ordinary least squares and impulse response and variance decomposition in addition the business as usual inverted u shaped relationship between gdp per capita and an economy related co2 emission is hypothesized the result supports the environmental kuznets curve ekc hypothesis from different techniques the turning point hovers around 744665 the estimation result indicates that china ekc turning point shows some inconsistencies when compared to other turning points obtained from different studies the inconsistency of the ekc turning point is attributed to the sensitivity of the result to different data source variables selection different pollutants and scope of the data although the ekc turning point of this present research differs from other china ekc turning points it gives a clear policy roadmap on the pursuance of long run economic growth in favour of environmental quality besides significance of the turning point lies with the need to explore other structural policies such as articulated demographic and energy policies rather than passively waiting for the arrival of the inflexion point one interesting findings of the analysis is the consistency of the estimation results from the different estimation techniques

exploring the relationship between energy usage segregation and environmental degradation in n 11 countries numerous studies regarding the economic growth environmental pollution link have struggled to determine the effects of various forms of energy consumption on environmental degradation particularly in the context of emerging economies this study examines the environmental kuznets curve ekc for co2 emissions in n 11 countries during 1990 2014 by segregating three forms of energy consumption renewable biomass and non renewable urbanization and trade openness are additional explanatory variables that are used in the empirical framework using the generalized moments method gmm the empirical evidence confirms the presence of an n shaped relationship between economic growth and environmental degradation for n 11 countries this study analyzed the interaction effects among trade openness biomass consumption and economic growth these interactions had a negative impact on co2 emissions levels of n 11 countries suitable policy recommendations have been provided based on the detailed results

economic structure development policy and environmental quality an empirical analysis of environmental kuznets curves with chinese municipal data in many cases the relationship between environmental pollution and economic development can be generally depicted by an inverted u shaped curve or an environmental kuznets curve where pollution increases with income at the beginning and decreases after a certain level of income however what determine the shape of an enviornmental kuznets curve such as the height and the turning point of the curve have not been thoroughly studied a good understanding of the determinants is vitally important to the development community especially for the developing world where income growth is a high priority and yet environmental pollution also needs to be carefully controlled this study analyzes the impacts of economic structure development strategy and environmental regulation on the shape of the environmental kuznets curve with a city level panel dataset obtained from china the results show that economic structure development strategy and environmental regulation can all have important implications on the relationship between environmental environmental quality and economic development but the impacts can be different at different development stages

does foreign direct investment drive environmental degradation in china an empirical study based on air quality index from a spatial perspective abstract a growing literature on the pollution haven hypothesis has surged for decades in this paper we employ a city level data set of 150 chinese cities in 2014 and take spatial spillovers into account by using spatial econometric models to investigate whether foreign capital inflows drive environmental degradation in china the results suggest that foreign direct investment is negatively related to air pollution in china indicating evidence of pollution halo hypothesis moreover foreign direct investment has significant spatial technological spillovers improving air quality in china this study also finds that there is no evidence of an inverted u shaped curve between income and air pollution as income levels increase air quality continues to worsen the development of the tertiary industry is found to have a positive effect on air pollution densely populated cities tend to demand for better environmental quality from the above analysis it follows that policies handles are urgently needed to improve air quality in china

air pollution and dirty industries how and why does the composition of manufacturing output change with economic development this paper examines the impact on air pollution ofchanges in the composition of manufacturing output indeveloped and developing countries pollutionemissions from manufacturing output are estimated ina manner which holds constant the effect of technologyand regulations allowing the impact of compositional changes alone on pollution to beestimated the paper has three main findings 1 theinverted u estimated between per capita income and thepollution intensity of gdp arises due to both thecomposition of manufacturing becoming cleaner and theshare of manufacturing output in gdp falling compositional changes alone are not responsible forthe inverted u between per capita income and percapita emissions 2 changes to the composition ofmanufacturing output are consistent with the pollutionhaven hypothesis however there is clear evidence thatrising per capita incomes are associated with afalling income elasticity of demand for dirty products this fact may explain the compositionalchanges that occur with development 3 in additionto the income elasticity effect the analysis suggeststhat land prices and to a lesser extent the prices oflabour and capital determine the proportion of dirtyindustry within a country s manufacturing sector

the causal factors of international inequality in hbox co _ 2 emissions per capita a regression based inequality decomposition analysis this paper uses the possibilities provided by the regression based inequality decomposition fields in res labor econ 22 1 38 2003 to explore the contribution of different explanatory factors to international inequality in hbox co 2 emissions per capita in contrast to previous emissions inequality decompositions which were based on identity relationships this methodology does not impose any a priori specific relationship thus it allows an assessment of the contribution to inequality of different relevant variables in short the paper appraises the relative contributions of affluence sectoral composition demographic factors and climate the analysis is applied to selected years of the period 1993 2007 the results show the important though decreasing share of the contribution of demographic factors as well as a significant contribution of affluence and sectoral composition

regional differences in the dynamic linkage between co2 emissions sectoral output and economic growth environmental degradation measured by co2 emissions is a significant challenge to sustainable economic development owing to significant differences in the empirical relationship between the economic growth and co2 emissions and policies adopted by different countries to overcome the challenge are not decisive this study aims to generalize our knowledge about the relationship between co2 emissions per capita and economic growth across the world for 1980 2009 periods besides it explores whether the transformation of different economies e g agrarian to industrial and industrial to sophisticated service economy over the past few decades yielded any significant positive impact towards sustainable economic development by reducing the level of co2 emission empirical results suggest that i except for high income countries environmental kuznets curve ekc is a general phenomenon across the world and ii the transformation of different economies towards a service economy has produced more pollution in high income countries and less pollution in low and middle income countries

aspects of governance and hbox co _2 co 2 emissions a non linear panel data analysis the reduction of hbox co 2 emissions has been at the centre of worldwide debates on environmental issues though its inclusion as one of the millennium development goals mdgs by the united nations has changed the focus of relative literature among many one of the world bank s recipes to achieve a higher position toward mdgs has been to undertake reforms for a better governance while the majority of researches focus has been on one single aspect and its relationship with the environment some studies have simultaneously considered two governance dimensions in this paper we focus on the role of several aspects of governance on hbox co 2 emissions this provides us with a chance to explore the possible impacts of all aspects of governance on a more direct measure of emissions that is different to previous researches which have focused on the indirect transmission and considered the maximum of two using the iv method within panel data analysis we show that only one single aspect of governance control of corruption has a negative significant effect on hbox co 2 emissions and its effect has a non linear relationship the non linearity exists in both parametric and nonparametric analysis after controlling for endogeneity

the unexpected challenges of using energy intensity as a policy objective examining the debate over the apec energy intensity goal aims energy intensity energy demand per unit of economic output is one of the most widely used indicators of energy efficiency in energy policy discussions yet its application in real world policymaking can be surprisingly problematical this paper aims to provide guidance to governments and organizations considering using energy intensity as a policy objective scope in 2007 the apec community adopted then in 2011 revised an apec region wide energy intensity improvement goal this paper presents a case study of that experience focusing on three key lessons learned these lessons are not original findings however none of them have received the recognition they deserve and consequently they came as a surprise to many of those involved in apec s policy discussions conclusions the three lessons are as follows 1 energy intensity improvement is happening surprisingly quickly but not quickly enough to meet the world s energy challenges 2 it is difficult to find a definition of energy intensity that can make it suitable for use as an indicator of regional energy efficiency 3 whether the gdp s of individual economies are converted to common currency using market exchange rates or purchasing power parity ppp can dramatically change regional energy intensity improvement calculations

revisiting the environmental kuznets curve hypothesis evidence from the asean 5 countries with structural breaks abstractthis paper tests if the environmental kuznets curve ekc hypothesis exists for asean 5 countries in an annual sample data that covers 1971 2013 by utilizing auto regressive distributed la