co2 emissions energy consumption and economic growth in china a panel data analysis this paper examines the causal relationships between carbon dioxide emissions energy consumption and real economic output using panel cointegration and panel vector error correction modeling techniques based on the panel data for 28 provinces in china over the period 1995 2007 our empirical results show that co2 emissions energy consumption and economic growth have appeared to be cointegrated moreover there exists bidirectional causality between co2 emissions and energy consumption and also between energy consumption and economic growth it has also been found that energy consumption and economic growth are the long run causes for co2 emissions and co2 emissions and economic growth are the long run causes for energy consumption the results indicate that china s co2 emissions will not decrease in a long period of time and reducing co2 emissions may handicap china s economic growth to some degree some policy implications of the empirical results have finally been proposed

assessing income population and technology impacts on co2 emissions in canada where s the ekc abstract this study investigates the macroeconomic forces underlying carbon dioxide co2 emissions from fossil fuel use in canada in keeping with the relevant literature on environmental degradation three forces are expected to influence co2 emissions gross domestic product per capita gdp capita population and technological change while previous work has employed reduced form models that allow for non linear relationships between co2 and gdp capita it has been common practice to assume linear relationships between co2 and the latter two variables this study tests a more flexible model using a five region panel data set in canada over the period 1970 2000 findings indicate that gdp capita is unrelated to co2 that an inverted u shaped relationship exists with population and that a u shaped relationship exists with technology thus technological and population changes are supported over the commonly hypothesized environmental kuznets curve an inverted u shaped relationship between gdp capita and environmental degradation for affecting co2 emissions from fossil fuel use in canada

how renewable energy consumption lower global co2 emissions evidence from countries with different income levels significant difference in the emission renewables nexus across countries with different income levels is frequently ignored in previous studies to empirically investigate whether the effect of renewable energy consumption on carbon dioxide co2 emissions differs across countries with different income levels the emission growth renewables nexus for a global panel of 120 countries and four income based subpanels over the period 1995 2015 is examined fully considering the potential cross sectional dependence and slope heterogeneity a series of econometric techniques allowing for cross sectional dependence and slope heterogeneity is utilised cross sectional dependence and slope heterogeneity are confirmed for the global panel as well as for all four subpanels only for the global panel high income subpanel and upper middle income subpanel is the environmental kuznets curve ekc hypothesis valid renewable energy consumption has a negative effect on co2 emissions but its effect is not significant the mitigation effect may be obscured by higher economic growth and increasing non renewable energy consumption the global panel and four subpanels provide mixed directionality of causality among the variables suggesting that for various income based subpanels significant differences exist in the effect of renewable energy consumption on co2 emissions especially highlighting in various direct and indirect influencing paths between renewable energy consumption and co2 emissions

questioning the empirical basis of the environmental kuznets curve for co2 new evidence from a panel stationarity test robust to multiple breaks and cross dependence abstract this paper investigates the time series properties of per capita co2 emissions and per capita gdp levels for a sample of 86 countries over the period 1960 2000 for that purpose we employ a state of the art panel stationarity test which incorporates multiple shifts in level and slope thereby controlling for cross sectional dependence through bootstrap methods our analysis renders clear cut evidence that per capita gdp levels are nonstationary for the world as a whole while per capita co2 is found to be regime wise trend stationary the analysis of country groups shows that for africa and asia per capita co2 is best described as nonstationary while per capita gdp appears stationary around a broken trend in addition we find evidence of regime wise trend stationarity in both variables for the country groups consisting of america europe and oceania the results of our analysis carry important implications for the statistical modelling of the environmental kuznets curve for co2 since the differing order of integration in both variables for the world as a whole and for africa and asia calls into question the validity of panel cointegration techniques which assume that both variables are nonstationary and cointegrated with one another cointegration techniques would not be appropriate either for the case of america europe and oceania which are characterised by per capita gdp and co2 emissions being stationary around a broken trend similar conclusions are reached when we analyse country groups based on levels of development failure to properly characterise the time series properties of the data by not controlling for an unknown number of structural breaks and for cross sectional dependence could be responsible for the fragility and lack of robustness surrounding the estimation of environmental kuznets curves

democracy financial openness and global carbon dioxide emissions heterogeneity across existing emission levels summary the determinants of co 2 emissions have attracted many researchers over the past few decades most of studies however ignore the possibility that effect of independent variables on co 2 emissions could vary throughout the co 2 emission distribution we address this issue by applying quantile regression methods we examine whether greater democracy and more financial openness consistently reduce emissions among the most and least emission nations our results show that the effect of democracy on co 2 emissions is heterogeneous across quantiles among the most emissions nations greater democracy appears to reduce emissions but more financial openness does not appear to reduce it

is there a turning point in the relationship between income and energy use and or carbon emissions abstract we analyze the effect of fuel mix model specification and the level of development on the presence and size of a turning point in the relationship between income and energy use and or carbon emissions the results indicate that fuel mix the specification for income and the level of economic development affect conclusions about whether there is a turning point in the relationship between economic activity and energy use and carbon emissions including fuel shares generally reduces the size of a turning point that is estimated from a panel that includes observations from both oecd and non oecd nations but this result varies according to the level of development for oecd nations there is limited support for a turning point in the relationship between income and per capita energy use and or carbon emissions for non oecd nations there is no turning point in the relationship between income and either energy use or carbon emissions instead the relationship is positive together the results indicate that forecasters and policy makers should not depend on a turning point in the relationship between income and energy use or carbon emissions to reduce either

empirical evidence in the analysis of the environmental and energy policies of a series of industrialised nations during the period 1960 1997 using widely employed macroeconomic indicators this article underlines the main implications of the interrelations between the energy problem and that of environmental pollution using the most widely used macroeconomic indicators in the field of policy analysis in fact carbon dioxide co2 emission intensity and energy intensity trends may be used to highlight the most important features of economic development over a given time scale in a variety of different countries the empirical analysis proposed here covering a time span of some 40 years in a number of the most highly industrialised nations seems to be useful if we are to understand the main similarities and differences in the interaction between the energy choices made by different countries and their respective environmental effects moreover by using ppps it has been possible to propose a more detailed cross country analysis for the different international situations

international inequalities in per capita co2 emissions a decomposition methodology by kaya factors in this paper we provide a methodology for decomposing international inequalities in per capita co2 emissions into kaya multiplicative factors and two interaction terms we use the theil index of inequality and show that this decomposition methodology can be extended for analyzing between and within group inequality components we can thus analyze the factors behind inequalities in per capita co2 emissions across countries between groups of countries and within groups of countries the empirical illustration for international data suggests some points firstly international inequality in per capita co2 emissions is mainly attributable to inequalities in per capita income levels which helps to explain its recent reduction while differences in carbon intensity of energy and energy intensity have made a less significant contribution this result is strongly influenced by the performance of china and india secondly the between group inequality component which is the biggest component is also largely explained by the income factor thirdly the within group inequality component increased slightly during the period something mainly due to the change in the income factor and the interaction terms in a few regions

the toxic intensity of industrial production global patterns trends and trade policy this paper exploits a newly developed data set to investigate recent changes in the international distribution of industrial pollution in particular the authors examine three issues 1 the relationship between the toxic intensity of industrial production and the level of economic development 2 the impact of oecd environmental regulation on global changes in toxic intensity and 3 the relationship between trade policy and the toxic intensity of industrial production in ldc s 10 refs

the egyptian farm labor market revisited abstract egyptian evidence loomed large in the old debate between proponents of surplus labor and their neo classical critics the paper uses the recent experience of this labor market to revisit the issues the unprecedented changes engendered by the oil boom basically confirm the neo classical view one may discern the following stylized facts of the egyptian farm labor market 1 both supply and demand for labor are inelastic with respect to the wage 2 real wages are very flexible rising and then falling sharply with international oil prices 3 supply shifts explain these real wage changes 4 these are in turn primarily the outcome of international labor migration 5 regional wage disparities remained roughly constant during the past decade the conclusion draws some implications for poverty alleviation and for the political economy question of how the benefits of the regional oil boom were shared

economic development and co2 emissions a nonparametric panel approach we examine the empirical relation between co2 emissions per capita and gdp per capita during the period 1960 1996 using a panel of 100 countries relying on the nonparametric poolability test of baltagi et al baltagi b h hidalgo j li q 1996 a nonparametric test for poolability using panel data journal of econometrics 75 345 367 we find evidence of structural stability of the relationship we then specify a nonparametric panel data model with country specific effects estimation results show that this relationship is upward sloping nonparametric specification tests do not reject monotonicity but do reject the polynomial functional form which leads to the environmental kuznets curve in several studies

some economics of global warming the greenhouse effect itself is simple enough to understand and is not in any real dispute what is in dispute is its magnitude over the coming century its translation into changes in climates around the globe and the impacts of those climate changes on human welfare and the natural environment these are beyond the professional understanding of any single person the sciences involved are too numerous and diverse demography economics biology and the technology sciences are needed to project emissions atmospheric chemistry oceanography biology and meteorology are needed to translate emissions into climates biology agronomy health sciences economics sociology and glaciology are needed to identify and assess impacts on human societies and natural ecosystems and those are not all there are expert judgments on large pieces of the subject but no single person clothed in this panoply of disciplines has shown up or is likely to this article makes an attempt to forecast the economic and social consequences of global warming due to anthropogenic greenhouse gases and attempting to prevent it

stoking the fires co2 emissions and economic growth abstract we examine the relationship between economic development and carbon dioxide emissions a greenhouse gas central to global warming predictions estimates derived from global panel data suggest a diminishing marginal propensity to emit mpe carbon dioxide as gdp per capita rises despite this global carbon dioxide emissions growth will continue at 1 8 percent per annum for the foreseeable future a result that is not sensitive to average output growth instead emissions growth continues because output and population will grow most rapidly in lower income nations with high mpes this latter feature emphasizes the distributional consequences of policies to reduce emissions

determinants of co2 emissions in a small open economy abstract the aim of the paper is to explore the relationship between economic development and carbon dioxide co2 emissions for a small open and industrialized country austria we test whether an environmental kuznets curve relationship also holds for a single country rather than concentrating on panel or cross section data for a set of countries a cubic i e n shaped relationship between gdp and co2 emissions is found to fit the data most appropriately for the period 1960 1999 and a structural break is identified in the mid seventies due to the oil price shock furthermore two variables are additionally significant import shares reflecting the well known pollution haven hypothesis and the share of the tertiary service sector of total production gdp accounting for structural changes in the economy emission projections derived from this single country specification support the widely held opinion that significant policy changes are asked for when implementing the kyoto protocol in order to bring about a downturn in future carbon emissions

a kuznets curve in environmental efficiency an application on oecd countries the role of the environment is an important issue in policy making andthe accurate assessment of the environmental conditions is vital inthis paper using nonparametric techniques an environmental efficiencyindex is developed for each of the oecd countries these indexes allowone both to do cross section comparisons on the state of each country sproduction process in its treatment of undesirable outputs and also totrace each country s modification of their production processesovertime furthermore in this study we investigate the factorsunderlying societies environmental concerns that eventually lead tochanges in the environmental efficiency the results provide furtherempirical evidence for the environmental kuznets curve hypothesis

effect of growth on the terms of trade some earlier views there seems to be a rather widely held view that the effects of technical change on the terms of trade were first analysed by john stuart mill findlay 1981 p 427 in fact says so quite explicitly mill was the first economist to consider the effects of technical improvements on the terms of trade in similar vein johnson 1963 p 97 had earlier noted that classical analysis of the effects of technical change on trade begins and very nearly ends with j s mill s analysis of the effects of improvements in the methods of production on the terms of trade caves 1960 p 152 and batra 1973 p 128 in referring to earlier writings on this subject mention mill edgeworth and bastable but no one before mill despite the prevalence of this view a number of nineteenth century writers before mill did in fact consider rather briefly the effect of technical changeand or increases in factor supplies on the terms of trade it is the purpose of this note to call attention to some of these earlier contributions regarding the effect of growth on the terms of trade in an attempt to fill a minor gap in the history of trade theory 1 none of these contributions however was on the order of that of mill although at least one and perhaps two of the writers involved anticipated the concept of immiserizing growth which was only latent in mill s analysis 2 mill s analysis it will be recalled first involved the case of a technical improvement in a country creating a new export product which foreigners were assumed to substitute for a commodity that they had previously been producing at home the increased foreign demand according to mill would necessarily turn the terms of trade in favour of the improving country foreigners would benefit from the new product but would pay more for their other imports from that country in the case of an improvement lowering the cost of an existing export product however mill argued that the terms of trade would turn against the improving country and in a proportion greater or less than that of the cost reduction depending on whether the foreign elasticity of demand for the cheapened product was less or greater than unity mill 1848 ii pp 134 8 3 modern analyses of this broad problem dating from the article by hicks 1953 have of course gone much further than mill and have greatly widened the range of theoretical possibilities of the effect of growth on the terms of trade by way of introduction it might be noted that the classical economists in general viewed economic growth as propelled mainly by capital accumulation and population increase with technical change being assigned only a lesser role indeed they never developed a systematic theory of technical change although they discussed many of its aspects for example they debated the

transboundary effects of environmental policy markets and emission leakages abstract one of many explanations for environmental kuznets curves for rich countries can be that dirty production is relocated to economies with laxer abatement regimes if this is caused by national abatement policies environmental stresses are transferred to other countries further the economic costs of national abatement policies can be shared with foreigners to some extent both through a lower demand for imports and losses of market shares for foreign competitors that produce cleaner products we quantify effects internally and abroad of a growth induced unilateral carbon tax policy in a rich open economy we find that the environmental benefits fall and the economic costs rise when a global rather than a national perspective is employed

the environmental kuznets curve semi parametrically revisited this paper re examines the existence of an environmental kuznets curve ekc across countries using a semi parametric regression estimator which places no restrictions on the functional form our results using cross country panel data on sulfur and carbon dioxide strongly suggest that the relationship between wealth and environmental degradation is not bell shaped as suggested by an ekc rather that there is a positive link for the very poorest countries and no clear relationship for richer countries

explaining the relationship between co2 emissions and national income the role of energy consumption i estimate a simultaneous equation system in which gdp and co2 emissions are jointly determined i find that including energy consumption in the regression implies a negative relationship between income and co2 emissions which is contrary to previous findings

the nexus between carbon emissions energy consumption and economic growth in middle east countries a panel data analysis abstract the environmental kuznets curve ekc hypothesis assumes that there is an inverted u shaped relationship between environmental degradation and income per capita in other words as a country grows it is assumed that its environmental quality improves in this study we aim to test the ekc hypothesis for 12 middle east countries during the period 1990 2008 by employing recently developed panel data methods our results provide evidence contrary to the ekc hypothesis we found evidence favorable to the u shaped ekc for 5 middle east countries whereas an inverted u shaped curve was identified for only 3 middle east countries furthermore there appear to be no causal links between income and co 2 emissions for the other 4 countries regarding the direction of causality there appears to be a unidirectional causality from economic growth to energy consumption in the short run in the long run however the unidirectional causality chain runs from energy consumption and economic growth to co 2 emissions we also suggest some crucial policy implications depending on these results

the heterogeneity of carbon kuznets curves for advanced countries comparing homogeneous heterogeneous and shrinkage bayesian estimators we investigate carbon kuznets curves ckc relationships for advanced countries grouped in policy relevant groups north america and oceania south europe north europe by means of various homogeneous heterogeneous and shrinkage bayesian panel estimators we try to provide an answer to the question how sensitive are the ckc estimates to changes in the level of parameters heterogeneity we do find that in coherence with their policy and economic commitment to carbon reductions and environmental market based instruments implementation bell shapes are present only for northern eu which leads the group of advanced countries the other two lag behind we show for the first time that ckc shapes are present if we net out europe of the southern and less developed countries this is coherent with the kuznets paradigm the negative side of the tale is that they characterize a bunch of few countries other advanced countries lag behind and are far from reaching a ckc dynamics heterogeneous and bayesian

are there environmental kuznets curves for us state level co2 emissions abstract the environmental kuznets curve ekc hypothesis argues that the relationship between the pollutant and output is inverted u shaped implying that environmental degradation increases with output during the early stages of economic growth but declines with output after reaching a specified threshold for the first time in the literature on the ekc hypothesis this paper assesses the validity of the hypothesis across 48 us states using the common correlated effects cce estimation procedure by pesaran 2006 which allows us to obtain results in the presence of cointegration in the relationship between carbon emissions and a measure of output and its squared value which captures the inverted u shaped relationship postulated by the ekc hypothesis the panel data approach allows the study individual members of the panel also resulting in efficiency gains that would not be associated with time series approaches based on the small sample size of 51 observations 1960 2010 the findings postulate that the ekc hypothesis holds in only 10 states with the remaining 38 states should be reforming their environmental regulatory policies to prevent environmental degradation coming only at the expense of production and economic growth as for the other 10 states given that a threshold has been achieved higher growth would be accompanied with lower emissions and hence no additional environmental policies are required

income and emission a panel data based cointegration analysis this paper presents the results of an investigation of the causality issue of incomeemission relationship based on time series econometric techniques of unit root test cointegration and related error correction model for a panel data set here the nature of causality between per capita co2 emission pcco2 and per capita gdp pcgdp has been examined using a cross country panel data set covering 88 countries for the period 1960 90 using the panel unit root test procedure of im et al 1997 ips we have found that the hypothesis of unit root i e non stationarity of the time series of pcgdp and pcco2 can not be rejected for individual country groups as both the variables are found to follow i 1 process we next have performed the panel data co integration test and finally we have estimated the ecm for these country groups for which significant income emission cointegration was obtained to explore the nature of dynamics implicit in the given panel data set our findings suggest that there is more or less a bi directional causal relationship between income pcgdp and co2 emission pcco2 for africa central america america as a whole eastern europe western europe europe as a whole and the world as a whole that means the movement of the one variable directly affects the other variable through a feedback system thus the policy makers should be cautious to make proper decision about the control of emission level

revisiting the role of tourism and globalization in environmental degradation in china fresh insights from the quantile ardl approach abstract ascertaining sustainable development is a major issue across the globe and the economic growth pattern achieved is a predominant reason behind this the globalization led economic growth achieved by the emerging economies might not be ecologically sustainable as globalization might not have been utilized as a policy tool moreover a sound policy calls for considering the entire data spectrum for the analysis which is largely ignored in the literature this research contributes to the literature by proffering a policy framework for the emerging economies by analyzing the impact of globalization and tourism on environmental degradation by considering the chinese context as a sample following the quantile autoregressive distributed lag model the impact of economic growth globalization and tourism on greenhouse gas emissions carbon dioxide emissions and the ecological footprint in china over 1978q1 2017q4 are analyzed the results demonstrate that economic growth stimulates environmental degradation while the presence of environmental kuznets curve is also validated moreover tourism has been found to exert positive environmental externalities while globalization exerts negative environmental externalities based on the outcomes of the research a comprehensive policy framework has been suggested following which the chinese economy might be able to attain the objectives of sustainable development goals 7 8 and 13

municipal waste kuznets curves evidence on socio economic drivers and policy effectiveness from the eu waste generation and waste disposal are becoming increasingly prominent in the environmental arena from a policy perspective and in the context of delinking analysis in general waste generation is still increasing proportionally with income and economic and environmental costs associated to landfilling are also increasing this paper provides a comprehensive analysis of waste generation incineration and landfill dynamics based on panel data for the eu25 to assess the effects of different drivers economic structural policy and the eventual differences between western and eastern eu countries we show that for waste generation there is still no waste kuznets curve wkc trend although elasticity to income drivers appears lower than in the past landfill and other policy effects do not seem to provide backward incentives for waste prevention and in terms of landfill and incineration as expected they are respectively decreasing and increasing with policy acting as a strong driver eastern countries appear to be performing generally quite well thus benefiting from eu membership and related policies in terms of environmental performance we can conclude that although absolute delinking is far from being achieved for waste generation there are some first positive signs of an increasing relative delinking for waste generation and robust landfill diversion and varying evidence of a significant role of the eu waste policies implemented in the late 1990s and early 2000s our evidence suggests that if while landfill diversion is currently associated to a delinking partly explained by eu policies waste prevention must be the next objective of waste regulation efforts

a further inquiry into the pollution haven hypothesis and the environmental kuznets curve abstract empirical research on the relationship between economic growth and its impact on the environment often tests the environmental kuznets curve ekc a hypothesis that rising national output leads to increases in pollution emissions until an economy reaches a certain size and decreases thereafter this paper addresses a branch of ekc literature focused on the role international trade plays in shaping this relationship in particular we test the pollution haven hypothesis which posits that emission reductions observed in developed nations are partly the result of shifting dirty production to developing nations with lax environmental standards we estimate ekcs for seven oft studied pollutants and find little evidence that pollution havens play a significant role in shaping the ekc we also find that confidence intervals around ekc turning points are very wide often including values well above the range of the data this leads us to be skeptical of the optimistic view that economic growth naturally leads to improvements in environmental quality

distribution dynamics of co2 emissions this paper uses nonparametric methods to examine the convergence in co2 emissions per capita on a sample of 100 countries for the period 1966 1996 industrial countries show a convergence pattern however there is little evidence of convergence for the whole sample

a consumption based approach to environmental kuznets curves using the ecological footprint indicator recent research suggests that consumption based measures offer an insightful perspective on the debate on the relationship between economic growth and the environment in this article we deepen the