rockets and feathers understanding asymmetric pricing prices rise like rockets but fall like feathers this stylized fact of most markets is con rmed by many empirical studies in this paper i develop a model with competitive rms and rational partially informed consumers where such asymmetric response to costs by rms emerges naturally in contrast to public opinion and past work collusion is not necessary to explain such result using a rich dataset of retail gasoline prices i nd the observed price dispersion pattern to be consistent with the model s prediction

price dispersion and the role of stores in this paper we study price dispersion in the norwegian retail market for 766 products across 4 297 stores over 60 months price dispersion for homogeneous products is significant and persistent with a coefficient of variation of 37 percent for the median product price dispersion differs between product categories and over time store heterogeneity accounts for 30 percent of the observed variation in prices for the median product month and for around 50 percent for the sample as a whole price dispersion is still prevalent after correcting for store heterogeneity

price search and periodic price discounts this paper empirically investigates the interplay between buyer search behavior and firm pricing strategy in a commodity market where many firms compete in price to sell homogeneous products we use the heterogeneity in buyer search cost to rationalize why a firm offers periodic price discounts and enjoys a high profit in such a market an estimation method is proposed to recover the nonparametric distribution of buyer search cost from the price and transaction volume data with both data we show that the search cost distribution can be estimated nonparametrically in a sequential search model and estimation results from a nonsequential search model are robust to the assumption on the maximum number of searches we also show that the commonly observed high low pricing strategy can be an optimal strategy for firms when buyers search for price information sequentially as an empirical application we use the proposed method to estimate the two search models using data on a commodity product sold by a firm

discrete equilibrium price dispersion an explicit solution of an equilibrium model with price setting firms and searching customers makes possible a number of comparativestatics predictions about how cost differences among firms search costs of customers and taxes will affect the mean and variance of the distribution of market prices another implication of the model is that a firm s demand depends on the difference between its price and the average price in the market

using price distributions to estimate search costs we show how the equilibrium restrictions implied by standard search models can be used to estimate search cost distributions using price data alone we consider both sequential and nonsequential search strategies and develop estimation methodologies that exploit equilibrium restrictions to recover estimates of search cost heterogeneity that are theoretically consistent with the search models we illustrate the method using online prices for several economics and statistics textbooks

maximum likelihood estimation of search costs abstract in a recent paper hong and shum 2006 using price distributions to estimate search costs rand journal of economics 37 257 275 present a structural method to estimate search cost distributions we extend their approach to the case of oligopoly and present a new maximum likelihood method to estimate search costs we apply our method to a data set of online prices for different computer memory chips the estimates suggest that the consumer population can be roughly split into two groups which either have quite high or quite low search costs search frictions confer a significant amount of market power to the firms despite more than 20 firms operating in each of the markets we estimate price cost margins to be around 25 the paper also illustrates how the structural method can be employed to simulate the effects of the introduction of a sales tax

search with learning for differentiated products evidence from e commerce this article provides a method to estimate search costs in a differentiated product environment in which consumers are uncertain about the utility distribution consumers learn about the utility distribution by bayesian updating their dirichlet process prior beliefs the model provides expressions for bounds on the search costs that can rationalize observed search and purchasing behavior using individual specific data on web browsing and purchasing behavior for mp3 players sold online we show how to use these bounds to estimate search costs as well as the parameters of the utility distribution our estimates indicate that search costs are sizable we show that ignoring consumer learning while searching can lead to severely biased search cost and elasticity estimates

the dynamics pattern of price dispersion in retail fuel markets abstract this paper empirically investigates the dynamics of price dispersion in retail fuel markets as a response to the corresponding wholesale price changes for this purpose we take advantage of a daily dataset of prices fixed by gas stations in two spanish regions it is consistently found that retail price dispersion is temporarily enlarged as a consequence of wholesale price increases while it is reduced due to decreases the presence of asymmetries in the short run dynamics is also revealed the impact of positive changes in the wholesale price is in the first days of adjustment clearly greater the dynamics pattern could be explained at least in part by the faster response of prices in the stations associated with the two vertically integrated companies that have the largest market share i e repsol and cepsa

patterns of retail price variation we examine retail price variation across a range of goods and regions of the united states we find that the typical grocery product has a regular price and stays at that price at least 50 of the time and that most deviations from that regular price are downward temporary discounts or sales while infrequent account for 20 to 50 of the annual variation in retail prices for most product categories although existing models of retail sales yield predictions consistent with some aspects of the retail pricing distributions all of these models fail to explain other important aspects of retail pricing identified here

smallholder production structure and rural roads in africa the case of nakuru district kenya data from a 1998 survey of farming households in kenya is used to estimate the effects of poor rural road infrastructure and high market access costs on the structure of smallholder farm production simultaneous estimation of cost and input share equations reveals rational responses by farmers to high access costs in the expected continued absence of major investments in rural infrastructure in countries such as kenya the policy challenge is to identify and catalyse institutional innovations that reduce a range of transaction costs increase financial liquidity increase social capital and reduce risk

pass through and consumer search an empirical analysis retail price pass through is one of the most important issues facing manufacturers of consumer packaged goods although retailers tend to pass higher wholesale prices through to consumers quickly and completely they often do not pass on trade promotions currently asymmetric pass through is commonly thought to result from retailers exercise of market power alternatively it may be because of consumer search behavior and retailers competitive response we test this theory using a panel threshold asymmetric error correction model applied to wholesale and retail scanner data for ready to eat cereal for a number of retailers in the los angeles metropolitan market we find that consumer search behavior contributes significantly to imperfect pass through by allowing pass through to depend on market power and consumer search costs we find results that are contrary to the conventional wisdom namely market power causes retail prices to fall quickly and rise slowly whereas consumer search behavior causes retail prices to rise quickly and fall slowly precisely the rockets and feathers phenomenon

duration measures immunization and utility maximization abstract this paper explores the conditions under which a risk averse investor behaves like an immunizer in choosing the maturity structure of a balance sheet the setting is similar to grove s study in that the liabilities are assumed fixed but differs in the assumed evolution of interest rates m a grove on duration and the optimal maturity structure of the balance sheet bell journal of economics and management science 5 1974 696 709 it transpires that the circumstances under which a risk averse investor behave like an immunizer are not as limited as concluded in grove s study the model thus explains the extensive use of immunization by the business community

testing models of consumer search using data on web browsing and purchasing behavior using a large data set on web browsing and purchasing behavior we test to what extent consumers are searching in accordance to various classical search models we nd that the benchmark model of sequential search with a known distributions of prices can be rejected based on the recall patterns we observe in the data moreover we show that even if consumers are initially unaware of the price distribution and have to learn the price distribution observed search behavior for given consumers over time is more consistent with non sequential search than sequential search with learning our

empirical studies of gasoline retailing a guide to the literature abstract this paper surveys the empirical literature on gasoline retailing which has been growing rapidly over the last three decades possibly in response to antitrust and regulatory concerns and increased availability of pricing data studies of both pricing and non price decision variables are considered in general it is found that crude oil prices are the primary driver of national price movements over time however market structure has been identified as playing a role in price dynamics equilibrium selection and price differentials across markets and stations the economic literature emphasizes the importance of heterogeneity across stations and coordination problems faced by retailers several directions for future work are suggested including the development of theory and demand estimation using high frequency station level data

an analysis of the optimal provision of public infrastructure a computational model using mexican data abstract we construct a intertemporal general equilibrium model and use it to examine infrastructure effects on mexican national income we consider three types of infrastructure electricity transportation and communications we then estimate production functions for the 16 major sectors of the economy in which sectoral output depends upon inputs of capital and labor as well as the stocks of the three types of infrastructure we then use these estimates to analyze the optimal level of government spending on the different types of infrastructure despite the fact that the estimated output elasticities with respect to public infrastructure are relatively high increased expenditure on infrastructure has rapidly decreasing benefits some benefits could be achieved by modest increases in capital expenditures although at the cost of significantly higher inflation and real interest rates indeed the increase in real interest rates causes the benefits of enhance infrastructure to be greatly reduced

competitive price discrimination we model firms as supplying utility directly to consumers the equilibrium outcome of competition in utility space depends on the relationship u between profit and average utility per consumer public policy constraints on the deals firms may offer affect equilibrium outcomes via their effect on u f rom this perspective we examine the profit utility and welfare implications of price discrimination policies in an oligopolistic framework we also show that an equilibrium outcome of competitive nonlinear pricing when consumers have private information about their tastes is for firms to offer efficient two part tariffs

search costs and equilibrium price dispersion in auctions a leading explanation for price dispersion in posted price markets is search costs we incorporate this insight into a model of competing second price auctions similar to ebay by doing so we extend the narrow literature on competing auctions to capture price dispersion and grow the already large literature on price dispersion to include auctions we provide evidence on search costs and price dispersion using data collected from ebay identifying search costs by exploiting a discontinuity in the visibility of auctions due to ebay s search tool 1 we thank aaron bodoh creed greg lewis steve tadelis and various seminar participants for helpful comments nate woody for programming assistance and the cornell university institute for social sciences for financial support the views expressed herein are solely those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect those of the u s department of justice 1

price dispersion in the small and in the large evidence from an internet price comparison site this paper examines four million daily price observations for more than 1 000 consumer electronics products on the price comparison site http shopper com we find little support for the notion that prices on the internet are converging to the law of one price in addition observed levels of price dispersion vary systematically with the number of firms listing prices the difference between the two lowest prices the gap averages 23 per cent when two firms list prices and falls to 3 5 per cent in markets where 17 firms list prices these empirical results are an implication of a general clearinghouse model of equilibrium price dispersion

lowering consumer search costs can lead to higher prices we demonstrate that regulations that lower consumer search costs and make them less heterogeneous across consumers can lead to higher prices charged by firms we estimate the distribution of consumer search costs for 366 isolated retail gasoline markets and find that reducing the mean and standard deviation by 20 and 48 respectively leads to price increases in 32 of markets and an average price increase of 5 2 cents per gallon across all markets thus price transparency regulation that results in higher prices may not stem from collusion but from an equilibrium with less consumer search

inflation price dispersion and market structure abstract in this paper we use a novel data set containing prices from bazaars convenience stores and supermarkets in istanbul to re examine the relationship between price dispersion and inflation although existing evidence is mixed we find positive and significant relationships between dispersion on the one hand and lagged dispersion and unexpected product specific inflation on the other we also find evidence that dispersion is initially decreasing in anticipated aggregate inflation but is eventually increasing finally average price duration and dispersion are lowest in the bazaar this is intuitive since menu and search costs should be minimal in that market structure

nonparametric estimation of search costs for differentiated products evidence from medigap this article develops a method to estimate search frictions as well as preference parameters in differentiated product markets search costs are nonparametrically identified which means our method

dynamic price competition in auto insurance brokerage we analyze brazilian data on auto insurance and document that a about 20 of policies are sold without brokerage commission b over 40 are sold at the highest fee allowed and c the remaining contracts are associated with a spread out distribution of fees static models cannot rationalize these findings we develop a dynamic model of price competition with search and switching costs that reproduces them we use the equilibrium structure to estimate the model parameters and infer the brokers expected earnings the frequency that insurees switch brokers and the counterfactual effects of a price ceiling policy

single factor duration models in a discrete general equilibrium framework single factor duration models sfdms for valuing debt securities have gained rapid acceptance by bond practitioners in recent years but slower acceptance by academics in large measure the slower academic acceptance reflects the lack of a rigorously developed underlying economic or financial theoretic base partially as a result some sfdms have undesirable behavioral characteristics foremost among these is that they appear to be inconsistent with accepted general equilibrium conditions this paper has two purposes the first is to construct explicitly the theoretical underpinnings of the model and the second is to develop the conditions under which the model does satisfy general equilibrium conditions this is done in sections i and ii respectively

spatial differentiation and vertical mergers in retail markets for gasoline this paper studies an empirical model of spatial competition applied to gasoline markets the main feature is to specify commuting paths as the locations of consumers in a hotelling style model as a result spatial differentiation depends in an intuitive way on the structure of the road network and the direction of traffic flows the model is estimated using panel data on the quebec city gasoline market and used to evaluate the consequences of a recent vertical merger difference in difference and counterfactual simulation methods are compared and the results to a large extent validate the assumptions of the demand model jel g34 l13 l42 l81 q41 r41

estimation of search frictions in the british electricity market this paper studies consumer search and pricing behaviour in the british domestic electricity market following its opening to competition in 1999 we develop a sequential search model in which an incumbent and an entrant group compete for consumers who nd it costly to obtain information on prices other than from their current supplier we use a large data set on prices and input costs to structurally estimate the model our estimates indicate that consumer search costs must be relatively high in order to rationalize observed pricing patterns we confront our estimates with observed switching behaviour and

measuring the effects of search costs on equilibrium prices and profits abstract this paper assesses the effects of search costs on equilibrium prices and profits using an estimated model of demand and costs in a laundry detergent market i find that some firms profits initially rise and then fall with search costs overall the magnitude and direction of the search costs effects on prices and profits are heterogeneous this is because search costs create conflicting incentives for a firm to reduce prices to attract the attention of searching consumers yet also raise prices to harvest profit from consumers who are unaware of competing products these effects can vary with the relationship between the firms actual prices and the consumers pre search beliefs about prices

on fruitful and futile tests of the relationship between search and price dispersion we exploit cross sectional and temporal differences in search intensity in order to examine the relationship between search costs and price dispersion using a hand collected panel data set from jerusalem s shuk mahane yehuda outdoor market we present empirical evidence that price dispersion increases with the cost of search using several different measures of price dispersion however our interpretation of this finding is sensitive to the search proxy in question we also address several acute difficulties facing empiricists seeking to test theoretical price dispersion models in which consumers are heterogeneous in their search behavior jel l11 l13

search and price dispersion in online grocery markets abstract consumers often purchase multiple products at a time from retailers creating multi product incentives for search in this paper we consider how product variety affects consumer search intensity and the dispersion of prices in multi product retail markets we employ online grocery pricing data from four large retailers in the uk to estimate search costs and equilibrium price dispersion for food products under circumstances where i consumers search for single products and ii consumers search for multiple products at once we compare estimates in each case between a model in which utility increases with product variety and a model in which utility is not a function of variety relative to our preferred specification with variety effects in utility we find estimates of both search cost and search frequency to be biased upwards in single product settings when variety effects are ignored however we find estimates of search costs are biased upwards while search frequency is biased downwards in multi product settings when variety effects in utility are ignored

vertical relationships and competition in retail gasoline markets empirical evidence from contract changes in southern california comment this study examines how much if any of the differences in retail gasoline prices between markets is attributable to differences in the composition of vertical contract types at gasoline stations in each market the purchase of the independent retail gasoline chain thrifty by arco provides a unique opportunity to examine the effects of changes in different vertical contract types on local retail prices this event caused sharp changes in the market share of i fully vertically integrated stations and ii independent stations differentially affecting local markets in the los angeles and san diego metropolitan areas using unique and detailed station level data this study examines how these sharp changes affected local retail prices the detailed data and the research design based on the thrifty station conversions allow for credible estimation of the effects of the market share of independent retailers and vertically integrated retailers on local market prices controlling for any omitted factors at the station level and the city level over time results for the los angeles and san diego metropolitan areas indicate that a decrease in the market share of independent stations has a significant positive impact on local retail price however a change in the market share of refiner owned and operated branded stations does not have a significant impact on local market price these results have important implications as policy makers consider the regulation of vertical contracts as a means to increase competition in gasoline markets the research design and detailed data also allow for inference on the underlying nature of retail gasoline competition

asymmetric price effects of competition when price dispersion is prevalent a relevant question is what happens to the whole distribution of equilibrium prices when the number of firms changes using data from the gasoline market in the netherlands we find first that markets with n competitors have price distributions that first order stochastically dominate the price distributions in markets with n 1 firms second the effect of competition is stronger for the medium to upper percentiles of the price distribution finally consumer gains from competition are larger for relatively well informed consumers to account for these empirical patterns we extend varian s 1980 model by allowing for richer heterogeneity in consumer price information

number of sellers average prices and price dispersion abstract a variety of models provide differing predictions regarding the effect of an increase in the number of competitors in a market seller density on prices and price dispersion we review different approaches to generating equilibrium price dispersion and then empirically estimate the relationship between seller density average product price and price dispersion in the retail gasoline industry using four unique gasoline price data sets controlling for station level characteristics we find that an increase in station density consistently decreases both price levels and price dispersion across four geographical areas

existence and persistence of price dispersion an empirical analysis the hebrew university of jerusalem and nber using a unique data set on store level monthly prices of four homogenous products sold in israel i study the existence and characteristics of the dispersion of prices across stores as well as its persistence over time i find that price dispersion prevails even after controlling for observed and unobserved product heterogeneity moreover intra distribution mobility is significant stores move up and down the cross sectional price distribution thus consumers cannot learn about stores that consistently post low prices as a consequence price dispersion does not disappear and persists over time as predicted by varian s 1980 model of sales

intertemporal output and employment effects of public infrastructure capital evidence from 12 oecd economies this paper utilises an intertemporal optimisation framework to study the effects of public infrastructure capital on output supply and input demands in 12 oecd countries we find that in all 12 countries i public capital has positive long run effects on both output supply and input demands ii its mean short run rates of return are fairly low while the corresponding long run rates are much higher but declining over time these findings underscore important under investment gaps in infrastructure during the 1970s and 1980s these gaps however narrowed down significantly in a few cases completely by the early 1990s

nonsequential search equilibrium with search cost heterogeneity we generalize the model of burdett and judd 1983 to the case where an arbitrary finite number of firms sells a homogeneous good to buyers who have heterogeneous search costs we show that a price dispersed symmetric nash equilibrium always exists numerical results show that the behavior of prices and consumer surplus with respect to the number of firms hinges upon the nature of search cost dispersion when search costs are relatively concentrated entry of firms leads to lower average prices and greater consumer surplus however for relatively dispersed search costs the mean price goes up and consumer surplus may decrease with the number of firms

oligopolistic pricing with sequential consumer search n identical stores compete by choosing prices for a homogeneous good with constant marginal costs consumers search sequentially with perfect recall for the lowest price one class of consumers called shoppers have zero search costs while all other consumers have a positive search cost c there is a unique symmetric nash equilibrium price distribution with the property that it changes smoothly from marginal cost pricing when all consumers are shoppers and or c 0 and monopoly pricing when no consumers are shoppers remarkably as the number of stores increases the nash equilibrium becomes more monopolistic copyright 1989 by american economic association

search frictions and market power in negotiated price markets we provide a framework for empirical analysis of negotiated price markets using mortgage market data and a search and negotiation model we characterize the welfare impact of search frictions and

relationship between spatial agglomeration and hotel prices evidence from business and tourism consumers abstract in this paper we examine the relationship between number of local competitors and both the average and the dispersion of retail prices in urban hotels using a dataset from the metropolitan area of madrid spain by controlling for hotel characteristics and spatial factors we obtained results for each of the days in one week in line with predictions derived from the traditional monopolistic approach empirical results consistently indicate that a greater density of competitors implies a lower average and less dispersion of local prices moreover we found evidence which supports the idea that the effect of local agglomeration on average prices is particularly weaker at weekends this in turn indirectly suggests that within the metropolitan area there is a greater degree of substitution in hotel locations for tourism consumers than for business consumers

taxes cost and demand shifters as determinants in the regional gasoline price formation process evidence from spain abstract this paper examines the pass through of regional tax changes and spot price variations to regional gasoline prices in spain it also analyzes the impact of all major cost and demand shifters that contribute to regional gasoline price formation to address these research issues a reduced form price equation using monthly time series cross sectional tscs data from january 2004 through december 2008 is estimated strong and consistent evidence of full shifting of regional tax changes to regional gasoline prices is found gasoline spot price changes are more than proportionally passed through to retail prices in addition the empirical evidence shows on the one hand that regional gasoline price differences before taxes continue to be quite narrow and on the other hand that there is still a margin for larger gasoline price differences among regions this suggest that traditional practices from the monopoly era i e relatively uniform regional gasoline prices persist after the market has been liberalized which may have been facilitated by the strong and uniform presence of the major spanish based refining companies in the retail sector over the whole country

gasoline price dispersion and consumer search evidence from a natural experiment the vast majority of empirical studies examining the link between consumer search and price dispersion focus on how changes in consumer search impact price dispersion this article does the reverse it examines how a shock to price dispersion impacts consumer search a direct measure of search is used and an exogenous shock to price dispersion is found in a refinery fire that caused decades old retail gasoline price cycles and the nonlinear high frequency price dispersion pattern generated by them to stop identifying effects from this shock the results show a substantial response of consumer search to changes in price dispersion

when do consumers search this paper provides empirical evidence relating search to price movements we measure consumer search directly from traffic statistics for web sites that report gasoline prices we show empirically that consumers search more as prices rise than they do when prices fall asymmetric search patterns have consequences for price behavior our findings indicate that retail margins are squeezed by increased search in addition we show that there is more price dispersion when prices are falling than when prices are either stable or rising our results provide a search based explanation for the rockets and feathers phenomenon of asymmetric price adjustment

are all the good men married uncovering the sources of the marital wage premium a longstanding and yet unsettled question in labor economics is does marriage cause men s wages to rise cross sectional wage studies consistently find that married men earn significantly higher wages than do men who are not currently married however it is well known that inferring causal relationships from crosssectional analysis is inappropriate because of the biases introduced by unobserved heterogeneity as a means of circumventing this problem this paper uses data on identical twins to control for unobserved heterogeneity our estimates suggest that marriage increases men s wages by as much as 27 and that little if any of the cross sectional relationship between marriage and wages is due to selection in addition we find little evidence that the marital wage premium is a consequence of household specialization

semi nonparametric estimation of consumer search costs this paper studies the estimation of the distribution of non sequential search costs we show that the search cost distribution is identified by combining data from multiple markets with common search technology but varying consumer valuations firms costs and numbers of competitors to exploit such data optimally we provide a new method based on semi nonparametric estimation we apply our method to a dataset of online prices for memory chips and find that the search cost density is essentially bimodal such that a large fraction of consumers searches very little whereas a smaller fraction searches a relatively large number of stores copyright c 2012 john wiley sons ltd

supermarket choice and supermarket competition in market equilibrium multi store firms are common in the retailing industry theory suggests that cross elasticities between stores of the same firm enhance market power to evaluate the importance of this effect in the u k supermarket industry we estimate a model of consumer choice and expenditure using three data sources profit margins for each chain a survey of consumer choices and a data set of store characteristics to permit plausible substitution patterns the utility model interacts consumer and store characteristics we measure market power by calculating the effect of merger and demerger on nash equilibrium prices demerger reduces the prices of the largest firms by between 2 and 3 8 depending on local concentration mergers between the largest firms lead to price increases up to 7 4

the role of infrastructure in mexican economic reform this article estimates the relationship between the provision of public infrastructure and private output in sixteen sectors in mexico the sector specific cost functions depend on wages the cost of capital and the nominal values of the stocks of three types of infrastructure electricity transport and communications the article concludes that infrastructure in electricity and communications generally reduces the cost of sectoral production but transportation infrastructure tends to increase costs of sectoral production it appears that mexican public expenditure on electricity and communications has enhanced the productivity of private production but expenditure on transport may actually have had a detrimental effect on private output in addition although in general labor and infrastructure are substitutes in the case of electricity and communications infrastructure capital and infrastructure are complements in the case of transport infrastructure these conclusions are reversed copyright 1995 by oxford university press

price dispersion and competition with differentiated sellers i measure price dispersion among differentiated retail gasoline sellers and study the relationship between dispersion and the local competitive environment significant price dispersion exists even after controlling for differences in station characteristics and price differences between sellers change frequently the extent of price dispersion is related to the density of local competition but this relationship varies significantly depending on the type of seller and the composition of its competitors these findings are consistent with interactions between seller and consumer heterogeneity that are not well understood in the existing price dispersion literature

equilibrium price dispersion in retail markets for prescription drugs this study seeks to establish the empirical importance of price dispersion due to costly consumer search by examining retail prices for prescription drugs posted prices in two geographically distinct markets are shown to vary considerably across pharmacies within the same market even after one controls for variation due to pharmacy differences pharmacy heterogeneity accounts for at most one third of the observed price dispersion the empirical analysis hinges on the observation that consumers incentives to price shop depend on characteristics of the drug therapy cross sectional patterns in price distributions across drugs are consistent with the predictions of a search model prices for repeatedly purchased prescriptions for which the expected benefits of search are highest exhibit significant reductions in both dispersion and price cost margins

an empirical model of search with vertically differentiated products this paper presents a nonsequential search model that allows for vertical product dierentiation in the unique symmetric equilibrium firms with dierent characteristics draw utilities from a common utility distribution because the firms dier in their characteristics this leads to dierent price distributions the model therefore provides a theoretical rationale for explaining price dispersion as a result of quality dierences and search behavior of consumers together using the equilibrium conditions derived from the model it is shown how to estimate search costs by maximum likelihood using only price data a data set on prices from dutch supermarkets reveals that the amount of search has decreased over the sampling period moreover ignoring vertical product dierentiation results in an overestimation of search costs

strategic pricing consumer search and the number of firms discover prices there are three distinct price dispersed equilibria characterized by low moderate and high search intensity the effects of an increase in the number of firms on search behaviour expected prices price dispersion and welfare are sensitive i to the equilibrium consumers search intensity and ii to the status quo number of firms for instance when consumers search with low intensity an increase in the number of firms reduces search does not affect expected price leads to greater price dispersion and reduces welfare in contrast when consumers search with high intensity increased competition results in more search and lower prices when the number of competitors in the market is low to begin with but in less search and higher prices when the number of competitors is large duopoly yields identical expected price and price dispersion but higher welfare than an infinite number of firms a question that has received much attention in economic theory is how the number of competitors and market outcomes are related despite the existence of work showing the contrary see e g satterthwaite 1979 rosenthal 1980 the prediction that emerges from a market where firms interact in a cournot fashion has come to dominate economic thought namely that an increase in the number of competitors leads to larger aggregate production lower market price and improved market performance measured in terms of some social welfare criterion ruffin 1971 this paper challenges the generality of this belief by presenting an oligopoly model with consumer search where the equilibrium expected price may be constant increasing or nonmonotonic in the number of firms we present an economy with two types of consumers consumers who search for prices at no cost fully informed and consumers who must pay a fixed search cost for each price quotation they observe less informed 1 all buyers have the same willingness to pay for the good and buy either a single unit or nothing at all on the supply side of the market there are n firms producing a homogeneous good at constant marginal cost we analyse a one shot simultaneous move game firms set prices and consumers decide how many prices to search for at the same moment in time our model is essentially an oligopolistic version of burdett and judd 1983 where some consumers search costlessly in this model consumers search using a fixed sample size search strategy i e they choose the number of prices to observe before receiving any offer nonsequential search is appealing when consumers find it more advantageous to gather price information quickly morgan and manning 1985 this occurs when the search outcome is observed with delay and delay is costly for instance an mba graduate looking for a job 1 the presence in the model of consumers who search costlessly captures the fact that some people have a

immunization as a maxmin strategy the purpose of this paper is to broaden the analysis of immunization when it is viewed as amaxmin strategy several results are demonstrated which provide a new interpretation of maxmin strategy by using a more general theory of lagrangians we clarify the exact assumptions required for the duration strategy and the maxmin strategy to be equivalent in a world with taxes it is shown that in a world with taxes the immunization strategy requires the portfolio to satisfy a constraint about the bond to be included in addition to the duration constraint

the role of information in retail gasoline price dispersion abstract collecting information on prices is a costly endeavor the cost depends on the relative ease with which those prices can be collected and in many retail gasoline markets there is a substantial divide in the ease of collecting information with regular grade gasoline on one side of the divide and midgrade and premium grade gasoline on the other regular grade prices are prominently displayed on large signboards in front of gasoline stations while the prices of higher octane grades except where required by law are rarely displayed in this article the effects of differential by grade price information on search and gasoline price dispersion are examined a rank reversal test is used to test whether the observed grade specific price dispersion is consistent with search or non search related causes and finding the former a series of tests are presented to test for the effect of price information and other leading hypotheses a significantly concave curvature in the price dispersion coefficients across the three grades supports a price information hypothesis detailed socioeconomic data on consumers spatially matched to the stations they are most likely to patronize shows that income is a secondary factor implications for policy are discussed

is public expenditure productive abstract this paper considers the relationship between aggregate productivity and stock and flow government spending variables the empirical results indicate that i the nonmilitary public capital stock is dramatically more important in determining productivity than is either the flow of nonmilitary or military spending ii military capital bears little relation to productivity and iii a core infrastructure of streets highways airports mass transit sewers water systems etc has most explanatory power for productivity the paper also suggests an important role for the net public capital stock in the productivity slowdown of the last fifteen years

search costs and equilibrium price dispersion in auction markets abstract a leading explanation for price dispersion in posted price markets is search costs we incorporate this insight into a model of competing second price auctions similar to ebay by doing so we extend the narrow literature on competing auctions to capture price dispersion and grow the already large literature on price dispersion to include auctions we provide evidence on search costs and price dispersion using data collected from ebay identifying search costs by exploiting a discontinuity in the visibility of auctions due to ebay s search tool

pricing product diversity and search costs a bertrand chamberlin diamond model we study price competition in the presence of search costs and product differentiation the limit cases of the model are the bertrand paradox the diamond paradox and chamberlinian monopolistic competition market prices rise with search costs and decrease with the number of firms prices may initially fall with the degree of product differentiation because more diversity leads to more search and more competition equilibrium diversity rises with search costs while the optimum level falls so entry is excessive the market failure is most pronounced for low preference for variety and high search costs

a method for strategic asset liability management with an application to the federal home loan bank of new york strategic asset liability management is a primary concern in today s banking environment in this paper we present a methodology to assist in the process of asset liability selection in a stochastic interest rate environment in our approach a quadratic optimizer is embedded in a simulation model and used to generate patterns of dividends market value and duration of capital for randomly generated interest rate scenarios this approach can be used to formulate test and refine asset liability strategies we present results of applying this methodology to data from the federal home loan bank of new york

prominence and consumer search this article examines the implications of prominence in search markets we model prominence by supposing that the prominent firm will be sampled first by all consumers if there are no systematic quality differences among firms we find that the prominent firm will charge a lower price than its less prominent rivals making a firm prominent will typically lead to higher industry profit but lower consumer surplus and welfare the model is extended by introducing heterogeneous product qualities in which case the firm with the highest quality product has the greatest incentive to become prominent and making it prominent will boost industry profit consumer surplus and welfare

immunizing default free bond portfolios with a duration vector dissatisfaction occasionally has been expressed with traditional measures of duration for immunization on conceptual grounds however more elegant duration measures have not been found to be superior to the traditional ones in empirical tests of immunization efficacy under the assumption that the term structure of continuously compounded interest rates can be expressed as a polynomial chambers and carleton 1981 demonstrate that the finite and noninstantaneous return of a default free bond can be expressed as a vector product of a duration vector and a shift vector this study derives immunization strategies from the model and tests them the results of the portfolio tests indicate that the tradi tional duration approach of macaulay provides enhanced immunization relative to matu rity approaches or naive approaches however the duration vector approach produces further improvements

geographical dispersion of consumer search behaviour abstractthis article investigates whether consumer search behaviour differs across zip codes within the u s as an application daily gasoline price data covering virtually all gas stations within the u s are employed to estimate the distribution of search costs in each zip code the results show that there are significant differences across zip codes regarding the expected number of searches achieved before consumers purchase gasoline in order to have a systematic explanation such differences are further connected to geographic demographic and economic conditions of the zip codes in a secondary analysis the corresponding results imply several strategies for gas stations in order to maximize profits markups suggestions follow for policy makers and regulators to reduce redistributive effects of information barriers across locations

product differentiation search costs and competition in the mutual fund industry a case study of s p 500 index funds we investigate the role that non portfolio fund differentiation and information search frictions play in creating two salient features of the mutual fund industry the large number of funds and the sizeable dispersion in fund fees in a case study we find that despite the financial homogeneity of s p 500 index funds this sector exhibits the fund proliferation and fee dispersion observed in the broader industry we show how extra portfolio mechanisms explain these features these mechanisms also suggest an explanation for the puzzling late 1990s shift in sector assets to more expensive and often newly entered funds an influx of highinformation cost novice investors

duration for bonds with default risk abstract does approximating duration estimates by ignoring default risk lead to error in the two major duration applications measuring interest rate price elasticity and immunization we derive a general expression for duration in the presence of default risk based on jonkhart s term structure model on the term structure of interest rates and the risk of default journal of banking and finance 3 253 262 1979 extended to encompass risk aversion the model includes terms for default probabilities and default payoffs in each period as well as for a delay between the occurrence of default and the final default payoff our main conclusion is that practical duration applications involving bonds with default risk must employ duration measures adjusted for default risk

when can you immunize a bond portfolio abstract this paper presents a condition equivalent to the existence of a riskless shadow asset that guarantees a minimum return when the asset prices are convex functions of interest rates or other state variables we apply this lemma to immunize default free and option free coupon bonds and reach three main conclusions first we give a solution to an old puzzle why do simple duration matching portfolios work well in empirical studies of immunization even though they are derived in a model inconsistent with equilibrium and shifts on the term structure of interest rates are not parallel as assumed second we establish a clear distinction between the concepts of immunized and maxmin portfolios third we develop a framework that includes the main results of this literature as special cases next we present a new strategy of immunization that consists in matching duration and minimizing a new linear dispersion measure of immunization risk

hysteresis price acceptance and reference prices the existence of price thresholds in grocery retailing is well documented most authors explain the existence of price thresholds using assimilation contrast theory adaptation level theory or prospect theory however each of these theories is untenable if consumers are believed to behave rationally we offer a theoretical explanation grounded in real options theory rot and economic hysteresis we test the rot hypothesis against three plausible alternatives using a maximum likelihood friction model that we augment for unobserved heterogeneity our findings support the rot hypothesis and suggest that the existence of price thresholds in aggregate data are driven by a common recognition of real option values which do not disappear with the inclusion of consumer heterogeneity

a structural model of the retail market for illicit drugs we estimate a model of illicit drugs markets using data on purchases of crack cocaine buyers are searching for high quality drugs but they determine drugs quality i e their purity only after consuming them hence sellers can rip off first time buyers or can offer higher quality drugs to induce buyers to purchase from them again in equilibrium a distribution of qualities persists the estimated model implies that if drugs were legalized in which case purity could be regulated and hence observable the average purity of drugs would increase by approximately 20 percent and the dispersion would decrease by approximately 80 percent moreover increasing penalties may raise the purity and affordability of the drugs traded by increasing sellers relative profitability of targeting loyal buyers versus first time buyers

information gatekeepers on the internet and the competitiveness of homogeneous product markets we examine the equilibrium interaction between a market for price information controlled by a gatekeeper and the homogenous product market it serves the gatekeeper charges fees to firms that advertise prices on its internet site and to consumers who access the list of advertised prices gatekeeper profits are maximized in an equilibrium where a the product market exhibits price dispersion b access fees are sufficiently low that all consumers subscribe c advertising fees exceed socially optimal levels thus inducing partial firm participation and d advertised prices are below unadvertised prices introducing the market for information has ambiguous social welfare effects

public infrastructure and productivity growth in greek agriculture recent research has focused on the effect of public infrastructure on economic performance in this paper a model of greek agriculture s technology and behaviour is constructed based on the dual cost function framework the model provides a decomposition of productivity growth into the components technical change returns to scale and public infrastructure the empirical estimates indicate that public infrastructure investment provides a significant return to agriculture and augments productivity growth over the period 1960 1995 the impact of public infrastructure on productivity growth in livestock and crop production is found to be positive although it has been declining since the late 1970s these results strongly suggest that a decline in public infrastructure investment can partly explain the observed decline in the productivity growth of greek agriculture in the 1980s

true monopolistic competition as a result of imperfect information the paper restates hart s 1985a 1985b definition of large group monopolistic competition distinguishes it from oligopolistic competition and raises the question of whether there are reasonable circumstances that give rise to true monopolistic competition as defined the purpose is to show that consumers imperfect information may create conditions that will turn an otherwise oligopolistic market into a truly monopolistically competitive one