social class family background and intergenerational mobility abstract this research examines the various approaches taken by economists and sociologists for analyzing intergenerational mobility social mobility models based on social classes arising from an occupational classification scheme are analysed a test for the statistical validity of classification schemes is proposed and tested using danish sample survey data that was first collected in 1976 and augmented in 2000 this is referred to as a homogeneity test and is a likelihood ratio test of a set of linear restrictions which define social classes for denmark it is shown that this test fails for an erikson goldthorpe classification system raising doubts about the statistical validity of occupational classification systems in general we also estimate regression models of occupational earnings household earnings and educational attainment using family background variables as covariates controlling for unobservables measurement error and simultaneous equation bias in these models homogeneity tests are also rejected we conclude from these results that the individual s family background has a small but significant impact on lifetime chances which is not captured by the erikson goldthorpe classification scheme

intergenerational economic mobility in the united states 1940 to 2000 we estimate trends in intergenerational economic mobility by matching men in the census to synthetic parents in the prior generation we find that mobility increased from 1950 to 1980 but has declined sharply since 1980 while our estimator places greater weight on location effects than the standard intergenerational coefficient the size of the bias appears to be small our preferred results suggest that earnings are regressing to the mean more slowly now than at any time since world war ii causing economic differences between families to become more persistent however current rates of positional mobility appear historically normal

income inequality and health lessons from a refugee residential assignment program this paper examines the effect of income inequality on health for a group of particularly disadvantaged individuals refugees our analysis draws on longitudinal hospitalization records coupled with a settlement policy where swedish authorities assigned newly arrived refugees to their first area of residence the policy was implemented in a way that provides a source of plausibly random variation in initial location the results reveal no statistically significant effect of income inequality on the risk of being hospitalized this finding holds also for most population subgroups and when separating between different types of diagnoses our estimates are precise enough to rule out large effects of income inequality on health

when strong ties are strong networks and youth labour market entry the conditions under which young workers find their first real post graduation jobs are important for their future careers and insufficiently documented given their potential importance for young workers welfare to study these conditions and in particular the role played by social ties we use a swedish population wide linked employer employee data set of graduates from all levels of schooling that includes detailed information on family ties neighbourhoods schools class composition and parents and children s employers over a period covering years with both high and low unemployment together with measures of firm performance we find that strong social ties parents are an important determinant for where young workers find their first job the effects are larger if the graduate s position is weak low education bad grades during high unemployment years and when information on potential openings are likely to be scarce on the hiring side by contrast the effects are larger if the parent s position is strong long tenure high wage and if the parent s plant is more productive the youths appear to benefit from the use of strong social ties through faster access to jobs and by better labour market outcomes as measured a few years after entry in particular workers finding their entry jobs through strong social ties are considerably more likely to remain in this job while experiencing better wage growth than other entrants in the same plant firms also appear to benefit from these wage costs relative to comparable entrants starting at a lower base they also benefit on the parents side parents wage growth drops dramatically exactly at the entry of one of their children in the plant although this is a moment when firm profits tend to be growing indeed the firm side benefits appear large enough for at least small firms to increase job creation at the entry level in years when a child of one of their employees graduates

endogenous market structures in international trade natura facit saltum abstract almost all of the large literature on international trade with imperfect competition assumes exogenous market structures the purpose of this paper is to develop a simple model that generates alternative market structures as nash equilibria for different parameterizations of the basic model equilibrium market structure is a function of the underlying technology familiar configurations such as a duopoly competing in exports or a single multinational producing in both markets arise as special cases small tax policy changes can produce large welfare effects as the equilibrium market structure shifts implying discontinuous jumps in prices quantities and profits

the intergenerational causal effect of tax evasion evidence from the commuter tax allowance in austria does tax evasion run in the family to answer this question we study the case of the commuter tax allowance in austria this allowance is designed as a step function of the distance between the residence and the workplace creating sharp discontinuities at each bracket threshold the distance to these brackets is a strong determinant of compliance since it corresponds to the probability of detection the match of different administrative data sources allows us to observe actual compliance behavior at the individual level across two generations to identify the intergenerational causal effect in tax evasion behavior we use the paternal distance to bracket as an instrumental variable for paternal compliance we find that paternal noncompliance increases children s non compliance by about 20 percent

does increasing women s schooling raise the schooling of the next generation the positive cross sectional relationship between the schooling of mothers and their children is substantially biased upward due to correlations between schooling and heritable ability as well as assortative mating an increase in the schooling of women would not have beneficial effects in terms of the schooling of children increased maternal schooling leads to reduced home time for mothers anticipating the consequences of investing in women s schooling requires attention to the role that schooling plays in the marriage market as well as to opportunities in the labor market for women

intergenerational earnings mobility and equality of opportunity in south africa summary the paper estimates the degree of intergenerational earnings persistence in south africa using microdata from the national income dynamics study nids the paper finds that intergenerational earnings mobility in south africa is low moreover a limited set of inherited circumstances explains a significant fraction of earnings inequality among male adults in particular race is shown to play a significant role the evidence provided for south africa is consistent with the hypothesis that low levels of intergenerational mobility and equality of opportunity are characteristic of high inequality emerging economies

book to market components future security returns and errors in expected future earnings this study investigates whether the ability of book to market to predict returns derives from systematic errors in the market s expectation of future earnings we extend beaver and ryan 1996 2000 by decomposing book to market into a more persistent bias component and a delayed recognition lag component we find that both components are related to analyst expectations of future earnings but the lag component is the dominant factor across all forecast horizons similarly we find that the lag component explains most of the inverse relation between book to market and future returns given that lag is constructed by regressing book to market ratios on lagged price changes our results are consistent with the lag component capturing systematic stock price reversals we find that the components have unique relations with subsequent earnings forecast revisions and controlling for these relations substantially mitigates the components ability to predict returns our component level analysis provides insight into how expected future earnings summarized in book to market ratios help to explain this market anomaly

unequal societies income distribution and the social contract this paper develops a theory of inequality and the social contract aiming to explain how countries with similar economic and political fundamentals can sustain such different systems of social insurance fiscal redistribution and education finance as those of the united states and western europe with imperfect credit and insurance markets some redistributive policies can improve ex ante welfare and this implies that their political support tends to decrease with inequality conversely with credit constraints lower redistribution translates into more persistent inequality hence the potential for multiple steady states with mutually reinforcing high inequality and low redistribution or vice versa

intergenerational income mobility in permanent and separated families abstract we focus on the father definition in studies of intergenerational income mobility the association between sons income and their biological fathers income is weaker the less they lived together we also find weaker associations for nonbiological fathers than for biological

the information content of earnings and prices a simultaneous equations approach abstract the price earnings relation can be characterized as a system of simultaneous equations earnings and prices can behave as if they are both endogenously determined because they are jointly affected by information that is difficult to specify explicitly specification tests provide evidence that both earnings changes and price changes are endogenous the price and earnings coefficients increase from ols to joint estimation and under a restrictive set of assumptions provide increasingly similar estimates of the permanent component of earnings the evidence is consistent with the contention that a portion of the single equation bias can be mitigated via joint estimation

self recruitment in the legal profession we argue that lawyers sons follow in their parents footsteps because the occupation lends itself to low cost transfer of relevant skills and knowledge from one generation to the next especially in the context of the family law practice analysis of project talent data reveals that knowledge about the law is transmitted from lawyers to their children and that this transmitted knowledge is a significant factor in a son s decision to follow in his father s legal footsteps second generation lawyers who receive these human capital transfers experience greater earnings than lawyers who have not received such transfers

social contacts and occupational choice social contacts help workers to find jobs but those jobs need not be in the occupations where workers are most productive hence social contacts can generate mismatch between a worker s occupational choice and his comparative productive advantage thus economies with dense social networks can exhibit apparently low labor force quality and as a result low returns to firms investment and depressed aggregate productivity we employ us and european data for the 1990 s to test the key prediction that social contacts distort workers occupational choices in a direction that reduces their apparent productivity we find that the use of social contacts helps find jobs one to two months sooner but leads to individual wage discounts of 5 to 7 and produces negative externalities on aggregate productivity

information asymmetry and international strategic alliances abstract this paper examines how information asymmetry affects cross border strategic alliance formation by us firms over the period 2000 2008 we construct a measure information costs based on both geographical distance and the proportion of worldwide gdp the partner s home country represents consistent with our expectations we find an inverse association between information costs and cross border strategic alliances when considering the proportion of alliances formed with publicly quoted overseas partners we find this is unaffected by the level of information costs but rather the level of stock market development tax rate and general economic conditions information costs are however significantly negatively related to alliances with overseas private organizations our results offer clear support for the on going importance of information asymmetry in corporate decision making

regression toward mediocrity in economic stature this paper provides estimates of the correlation in lifetime earnings between fathers and sons intergenerational data from the national longitudinal survey are used earlier studies conducted for the united states report elasticities of children s earnings with respect to parent s earnings of 0 2 or less suggesting extensive integenerational mobility these estimates however are biased downward by error contaminated measures of lifetime economic status estimates presented in this paper correct for the problem of measurement error and find the intergenerational correlation in income to be on the order of 0 4 this suggests considerably less intergenerational mobility than previously believed jel j62

intergenerational income mobility in the united states social scientists and policy analysts have long expressed concern about the extent of intergenerational income mobility in the united states but remarkably little empirical evidence is available the few existing estimates of the intergenerational correlation in income have been biased downward by measurement error unrepresentative samples or both new estimates based on intergenerational data from the panel study of income dynamics imply that the intergenerational correlation in long run income is at least 0 4 indicating dramatically less mobility than suggested by earlier research copyright 1992 by american economic association

job information networks neighborhood effects and inequality this paper explores the theoretical and empirical literature to examine the use by different social groups of informal sources of information provided by friends relatives and acquaintances during job search and its consequences for the job market it also addresses the role of network structure and size the resource endowments of contacts and nature of the links between contacts to explain differences in the effects of job information networks in doing so the paper also turns to the sociology literature on job information networks and provides an economic perspective on such sociological concepts as strong versus weak ties inbreeding distance from structural holes etc the paper distinguishes between models of exogenous job information networks that is where individuals obtain job related information through a given social structure and endogenous job information networks which are social networks that result from individuals uncoordinated actions the paper pays special attention to such issues as physical and social proximity and sharing of information and discusses them in the context of the recent social interactions and neighborhood effects literature finally the paper outlines a model that integrates job information networks where interactions occur in business cycle frequencies with the dynamics of human capital formation which include the joint effects of parental community and neighborhood human capital and are set in life cycle frequencies for the purpose of organizing suggestions for future research and examining earned income inequality

intergenerational earnings mobility in norway levels and trends using longitudinal data for norwegian children born in 1950 1955 1960 and 1965 we find a relatively high degree of earnings mobility there is no tendency toward decreasing mobility over the cohorts conditioning on the position in the earnings distribution the analysis indicates quite high mobility in the middle of the distribution and somewhat more persistence at the top and bottom this approach also reveals increased mobility over time for sons but a less clear picture for daughters

a model of accrual measurement with implications for the evolution of the book to market ratio this paper constructs a model of accrual measurement and tests its implications for the evolution of the book to market ratio the model captures the intuition that book value is untimely or smoothed relative to market value so that movements in market value have relatively high variance and low predictability compared with movements in book value empirical tests of the model use lagged market value changes to forecast the mean reversion of the book to market ratio this paper complements recent research investigating the role of book to market ratios in security analysis accounting theorists e g edwards and bell 1961 and feltham and ohlson 1995 have long recognized the critical role of book to market ratios as predictors of abnormal earnings in earnings based valuation models tests of such valuation models e g ou and penman 1993 confront the practical problem of determining the horizon beyond which abnormal earnings are expected to be zero the model in this paper implies that this horizon is determined by the remaining useful life of assets and that the expected path of abnormal earnings over this horizon reflects the pattern of expiration of the useful lives of assets in place

do friends and relatives really help in getting a good job informal contacts are extensively used by both firms and workers to find jobs and fill vacancies the common wisdom in the economic literature is that jobs created through this channel are of better quality and pay higher wages than jobs created through formal methods this paper explores the empirical evidence for european countries using the european community household panel echp and discovers a large cross country as well as cross industry variation in the wage differentials between jobs found through informal and formal methods across countries and industries wage premiums and wage penalties to finding jobs through personal contacts are equally frequent this paper argues that such variation can be explained by looking at firms recruitment strategies in labour markets where employers invest largely in formal recruitment activities matches created through this channel are likely to be of average better quality than those created through informal networks a simple theoretical model is used to show that employers invest more in recruitment for high productivity jobs and for positions that require considerable training the empirical predictions of the theory are successfully tested using industry level data on recruitment costs

with a little help from my friends quality of social networks job finding and job match quality this paper studies the effect of network quality on job finding and job match quality using longitudinal data and a direct measure of network quality which is based on the employment of friendship ties various identification strategies provide robust evidence that a higher number of employed contacts increases the job finding rate network quality also increases wages for high skilled workers forming networks with non familial contacts instead for low skilled workers more employed familial contacts lead to a negative but not significant effect on wages these findings reconcile previous mixed evidence of network effects on wages indicating heterogeneity by skill level and relationship type

people i know job search and social networks we assess the strength of information spillovers relating unemployment duration of workers displaced by firm closures to their former colleagues current employment status displaced specific networks are recovered from a 20 year panel of matched employer employee data spillovers are identified by comparing performances of codisplaced workers a one standard deviation increase in the network employment rate reduces unemployment duration by about 8 the effect is magnified if contacts recently searched for a job and if their current employer is spatially and technologically closer to the displaced worker stronger ties and lower competition for information favor reemployment several indirect tests exclude other interaction mechanisms

intergenerational mobility in the very long run florence 1427 2011 we examine intergenerational mobility in the very long run across generations that are six centuries apart we exploit a unique dataset containing detailed information at the individual level for all people living in the italian city of florence in 1427 these individuals have been associated using their surnames with their pseudo descendants living in florence in 2011 we find that earnings elasticity is about 0 04 much higher than predicted by traditional models of intergenerational mobility we also find an even stronger role for real wealth inheritance and evidence of persistence in belonging to certain elite professions our results are confirmed when we account for the quality of the pseudo links and when we address the potential selectivity bias due to the differential survival rates across surnames we argue that the quasi immobility of pre industrial society and the positional advantages in the access to certain professions might explain in part the long lasting effects of ancestors socioeconomic status

economic interpretations of intergenerational correlations science itself for example see galton s 1869 study of the eminence of relatives or his 1889 analysis of the heights of parents and children but extensive use of economic theory to interpret these correlations is much more recent using basic economic concepts such as supply demand investment incentives missing markets and so on theorists hope to explain how and why status is correlated across generations economic theory might provide a unified treatment of a variety of socioeconomic indicators such as earnings income occupation or wealth or it might predict how taxes subsidies and economic regulation affect intergenerational mobility and the operation of markets however while the subject matter earnings consumption wealth occupa tion is clearly interesting to economists it could nonetheless be the case that beyond basic questions of measurement economic theory has not improved our understanding of intergenerational mobility goldberger 1989 is quite explicit in this contention by emphasizing the distinction between genes and environment and by using statistical theory as its main analytical tool the paper by samuel bowles and herbert gintis in this issue implicitly concurs with goldberger we take this challenge very seriously what characterizes an economic approach to mobility while biologists and bowles and gintis distinguish endowments and investments by their source genetic versus environmental factors one focus of economic theorists is motiva

in the name of the son and the daughter intergenerational mobility in the united states 1850 1940 this paper estimates historical intergenerational elasticities between fathers and children of both sexes in the united states using a novel empirical strategy the key insight of our approach is that the information about socioeconomic status conveyed by first names can be used to create pseudo links across generations we find that both father son and father daughter elasticities were flat during the nineteenth century increased sharply between 1900 and 1920 and declined slightly thereafter we discuss the role of regional disparities in economic development trends in inequality and returns to human capital and the marriage market in explaining these patterns jel d63 j12 j16 j24 j62 n31 n32 the degree to which economic status is passed along generations is key to under standing differences across societies and over time in the extent of inequality a low degree of intergenerational mobility can undermine the notion of equality of opportunity and may lead to persistent inequality recent research reveals that today intergenerational mobility in the united states is lower than in most other developed countries corak 2013 this finding stands in contrast with the national ethos of the united states as the land of unlimited opportunity was this view ever justified in this paper we provide a new perspective on the evolution of intergenerational mobility in the united states in the late nineteenth and early twentieth centuries we extend the existing literature by looking at the intergenerational elasticity in economic status between fathers and children of both sexes focusing only on father son cor relations may miss part of the picture daughters should be included if we want to know how the average well being of a generation correlates with that of their parents

informal job search and black youth unemployment in this paper i analyze how young black and white unemployed jobseekers use various methods of search and the employment outcomes which result from their use the focus is on distinguishing informal search methods i e friends and relatives or direct application without referral from more formal ones in analyzing racial differences the results show that the two informal methods of search account for about 90 of the difference in employment probabilities between white and black youth this also accounts for 57 71 of the difference in unemployment rates between the two furthermore most of these results reflect differences in the ability of these methods to generate job offers as opposed to differences in search effort or job acceptance rates however our ability to explain these differences through personal family and household characteristics was generally quite limited this abstract was borrowed from another version of this item

inheritance and wealth inequality evidence from population registers we use new population wide register data on inheritances and wealth in sweden to estimate the causal impact of inheritances on wealth inequality we find that inheritances reduce relative wealth inequality e g the gini coefficient falls by 5 10 percent but that absolute dispersion increases examining different parts of the wealth distribution we find that the top decile s wealth share decreases substantially whereas the wealth share of the bottom half increases from a negative to a positive share in essence wealthier heirs inherit larger amounts but less wealthy heirs inherit more relative to their pre inheritance wealth we also find that post inheritance behavioral adjustments mitigate the equalizing effect of inheritances because less wealthy heirs consume larger shares of their inheritances moreover we find that the swedish inheritance tax reduced the equalizing inheritance effect but that the redistribution of tax revenues could reverse this result finally we show that inheritances increase wealth mobility

fair value disclosures by bank holding companies abstract this paper examines the value relevance of fair value data disclosed under sfas 107 by banks for 1992 and 1993 collectively the evidence suggests differences between fair and book values of financial instruments are associated with market to book ratios however fair value disclosures for financial instruments other than securities are value relevant only in limited settings in addition only in 1992 are fair value variables associated with market to book ratios after incorporating existing historical cost information further analysis suggests the weaker 1993 results are not necessarily due to increased measurement error in fair value numbers

intergenerational mobility new evidence from consumption data the intergenerational persistence of consumption describes the extent to which children inherit the living standards of their parents evidence on this parameter is scarce due to limited data on the joint consumption of parents and children this paper identifies parents who participated in the danish expenditure survey links them to their children through population wide danish registries and estimates the intergenerational elasticity of consumption in denmark the results suggest that consistent with intergenerational consumption smoothing the persistence of consumption across generations is higher than the persistence of earnings and income

intergenerational persistence of earnings the role of early and college education recent empirical evidence from the united states indicates a high degree of persistence in earnings across generations designing effective public policies to increase social mobility requires identifying and measuring the major sources of persistence and inequality in earnings we provide a quantitative model of intergenerational human capital transmission that focuses on three sources innate ability early education and college education we find that approximately one half of the intergenerational correlation in earnings is accounted for by parental investment in education in particular early education we show that these results have important implications for education policy

the informational content of surnames the evolution of intergenerational mobility and assortative mating we propose a new methodology for measuring intergenerational mobility in economic well being our method is based on the joint distribution of surnames and economic outcomes it circumvents the need for intergenerational panel data a long standing stumbling block for understanding mobility it does so by using cross sectional data alongside a calibrated structural model to recover the traditional intergenerational elasticity measures our main idea is simple if inheritance is important for economic outcomes then rare surnames should predict economic outcomes in the cross section this is because rare surnames are indicative of familial linkages if the number of rare surnames is small this approach will not work however rare surnames are abundant in the highly skewed nature of surname distributions from most western societies we develop a model that articulates this idea and shows that the more important is inheritance the more informative will be surnames this result is robust to a variety of different assumptions about fertility and mating we apply our method using the 2001 census from catalonia a large region of spain we use educational attainment as a proxy for overall economic well being a calibration exercise results in an estimate of the intergenerational correlation of educational attainment of 0 60 we also find evidence suggesting that mobility has decreased among the different generations of the 20th century a complementary analysis based on sibling correlations confirms our results and provides a robustness check on our method our model and our data allow us to examine one possible explanation for the observed decrease in mobility we find that the degree of assortative mating has increased over time overall we argue that our method has promise because it can tap the vast mines of census data that are available in a heretofore unexploited manner

do parental networks pay off linking children s labor market outcomes to their parents friends this paper examines whether children are better off if their parents have stronger social networks using data on high school friendships of parents we analyze whether the number and characteristics of friends affect the labor market outcomes of children while parental friendships formed in high school appear long lasting we find no significant impact on their children s occupational choices and earnings prospects these results do not change when we account for network endogeneity network persistency and network measurement error only when children enter the labor market we find that friends of parents have a marginally significant but small influence on the occupational choice of children

ethnic enclaves and the economic success of immigrants evidence from a natural experiment recent immigrants tend to locate in ethnic enclaves within metropolitan areas the economic consequence of living in such enclaves is still an unresolved issue we use an immigrant policy initiative in sweden when government authorities distributed refugee immigrants across locales in a way that may be considered exogenous this policy initiative provides a unique natural experiment which allows us to estimate the causal effect on labor market outcomes of living in enclaves we find substantive evidence of sorting across locations when sorting is taken into account living in enclaves improves labor market outcomes for instance the earnings gain associated with a standard deviation increase in ethnic concentration is in the order of four to five percent

like godfather like son exploring the intergenerational nature of crime sons daughters with criminal fathers have 2 06 2 66 times higher odds of having a criminal conviction than those with noncriminal fathers one additional paternal sentence increases sons daug

the impact of conservatism on management earnings forecasts abstract we investigate the empirical relation between a firm s accounting conservatism and management s issuance of quantitative earnings forecasts using three measures of conservatism from prior literature along with two aggregate measures we find a negative association between conservatism and the frequency specificity and timeliness of management forecasts the results are robust to estimating the regression in changes using firm fixed effects and using a two stage instrumental variables approach overall these results suggest that accounting conservatism acts as a substitute for management forecasts by decreasing information asymmetry in the market and reducing potential litigation through the timely reporting of bad news

correlating social mobility and economic outcomes we apply a novel measure of intergenerational mobility im developed by guell rodr guez mora and telmer 2014 to a rich combination of italian data allowing us to produce comparable measures of im of income for 103 italian provinces we then exploit the large heterogeneity across italian provinces in terms of economic and social outcomes to explore how im correlates with a variety of outcomes we nd that i higher im is positively associated with a variety of good economic outcomes such as higher value added per capita higher employment lower unemployment higher schooling and higher openness and ii that also within italy the the great gatsby curve exists in provinces in which mobility is lower cross sectional income inequality is larger we nally explore the correlation between im and several socio political outcomes such as crime and life expectancy but we do not nd any clear systematic relationship on this respect

stratification social networks in the labour market and intergenerational mobility young individuals taking the locational choices made by their altruistic parents as given decide whether or not to acquire skills the use of location specific word of mouth communication in the transmission of information about skilled job opportunities implies that the local social environment partly determines an individual s expected returns to education stratified equilibria when they exist are characterised by low intergenerational social mobility and inefficient use of talent in addition the equilibrium responses to factors that generally encourage education may in stratified outcomes be highly asymmetric across socio economic groups non stratified equilibria are likely to be destabilised by measures that encourage education

identification of endogenous social effects the reflection problem this paper examines the reflection problem that arises when a researcher observing the distribution of behaviour in a population tries to infer whether the average behaviour in some group influences the behaviour of the individuals that comprise the group it is found that inference is not possible unless the researcher has prior information specifying the compisition of reference groups if this information is available the prospects for inference depend critically on the population relationship between the variables defining reference groups and those directly affecting outcomes inference is difficult to implossible if these variables are functionally dependent or are statistically independent the prospects are better if the variables defining reference groups and those directly affecting outcomes are moderately related in the population

r d cooperation and product market competition abstract i derive equilibria that is self enforcing agreements for firms that cooperate in improving their product and compete in marketing it i am particularly interested in the interaction between rd ii product improvement is a function of the effort by each firm iii firms cannot observe each other s effort iv firms market the product by simultaneously setting prices the analysis reveals some surprising results i find that in some cases although monopoly prices can be sustained in equilibrium optimal equilibria call for firms to set lower than monopoly prices in the short run thus providing the right incentives for investment in r d under a different set of assumptions i find that it is optimal to reduce r d effort below the efficient level as a means to sustain short run collusion in prices even though efficient r d effort could be achieved in equilibrium

preferences for redistribution in the land of opportunities this paper explores how individual preferences for redistribution depend on future income prospects in addition to estimating the impact of individuals socioeconomic background and of their subjective perceptions of future mobility we employ panel data to construct dobjectivet measures of expected gains and losses from redistribution for different categories of individuals we find that such measures have considerable explanatory power and perform better than dgeneral mobilityt indexes we also find that preferences for redistribution respond to individual beliefs on what determines one s position in the social ladder ceteris paribus people who believe that the american society offers equal opportunities are more averse to redistribution d 2004 published by elsevier b v

search method use by unemployed youth this article presents a search model which shows that search method choices should be related to their costs and expected productivities as well as to nonwage income and wage offer distributions the empirical evidence then shows that the most frequently used search methods i e friends and relatives and direct applications without referral are also the most productive in generating offers and acceptances the number of methods used is affected by factors that presumably reflect opportunities as well as income sources and needs specific methods are chosen in a manner that generates positive average effects on outcomes for those using them

biases and lags in book value and their effects on the ability of the book to market ratio to predict book return on equity in this paper we distinguish two sources of variation in the book to market ratio bias and lags in book value hereafter bias and lags with different implications for the book to market ratio s ability to predict future book return on equity specifically we hypothesize and find that the bias component of the book to market ratio has a more persistent cross sectional association with future book return on equity than does the lag component this investigation is motivated both by the central role of expectations of book return on equity in the discounted residual in come valuation model e g see feltham and ohlson 1995 and by prior empirical research that finds that the book to market ratio is correlated with future book return on equity e g see fama and french 1992 1995 penman 1992 and bernard 1994

cross border mergers and strategic alliances this paper develops a model with distribution costs to study firm cooperation in forming strategic alliances and mergers under different types of foreign market entry modes that is export or foreign direct investment fdi under both export and fdi we find that cross border alliances mergers dominate domestic alliances mergers and cross border alliances and mergers are preferred to independence if and only if distribution cost is high under export cross border alliances are chosen in equilibrium if distribution cost is high under fdi and with high distribution cost cross border alliances mergers are chosen in equilibrium if plant setup cost is low high

unequal but fluid social mobility in chile in comparative perspective a major finding in comparative mobility research is the high similarity across countries and the lack of association between mobility and other national attributes with one exception higher inequality seems to be associated with lower mobility evidence for the mobility inequality link is however inconclusive largely because most mobility studies have been conducted in advanced countries with relatively similar levels of inequality this article introduces chile to the comparative project as the 10th most unequal country in the world chile is an adjudicative case if high inequality results in lower mobility chile should be significantly more rigid than its industrialized peers this hypothesis is disproved by the analysis despite vast economic inequality chile is as fluid if not more so than the much more equal industrialized nations furthermore there is no evidence of a decline in mobility as the result of the increase in inequality during the market oriented transformation of the country

school tracking and intergenerational income mobility evidence from the finnish comprehensive school reform abstract this paper estimates the effect of a major education reform on intergenerational income mobility the finnish comprehensive school reform of 1972 1977 replaced the old two track school system with a uniform nine year comprehensive school and shifted the selection of students to vocational and academic tracks from age 11 to age 16 we estimate the effect of this reform on the intergenerational income elasticity using a representative sample of males born between 1960 and 1966 the identification strategy relies on a differences in differences approach and exploits the fact that the reform was implemented gradually across the country during a six year period the results indicate that the reform reduced the intergenerational income elasticity by 23 from the pre reform elasticity of 0 30 to post reform elasticity of 0 23

social networks employee selection and labor market outcomes we provide a direct empirical test of montgomery s 1991 notion that firms hire workers through social ties of productive employees as these workers know others with high unobserved productivity we focus on coworker networks and show that firms recruit workers with better military draft test scores but shorter schooling when hiring previous colleagues of current employees suggesting that firms use these networks to attract workers with better qualities in hard to observe dimensions incumbent workers abilities predict the incidence abilities and wages of linked entrants these results suggest that firms rely on the ability density of the studied networks when setting entry wages

relative valuation roles of equity book value and net income as a function of financial health abstract this study tests predictions that pricing multiples on and incremental explanatory power of equity book value net income increase decrease as financial health decreases tests using a sample of 396 bankrupt firms and tests using a larger pooled sample both yield inferences consistent with predictions findings are robust to inclusion of controls for industry size return on equity and volatility of equity returns equity book value and net income multiples and incremental explanatory power vary predictably across three illustrative industries selected based on the likely extent of unrecognized intangible assets

strategic alliances as stackelberg cartels concept and equilibrium alliance structure abstract this paper analyzes incentives of oligopolistic firms to form strategic alliances and the effects of the endogenously derived alliance structure on product market competition a three stage game is considered in the first stage firms decide about forming strategic alliances in the second stage each alliance designs a strategic contract and in the third stage alliance members and outsiders compete in the product market it is shown how contractual terms about transfer prices and profit sharing in a production joint venture for an intermediate product may serve as an appropriate commitment device profits of alliance members and outsiders under different alliance structures are then determined based on this profit structure the alliance formation process is analyzed in a linear cournot oligopoly with at most five firms only one alliance forms and industry output is reduced with more than five firms an alliance structure with at least two alliances results if an equilibrium of the alliance formation game exists and in this case competition is enhanced

bequest motives a comparison of sweden and the united states this paper reviews four well known theoretical models of private bequest behavior notes their differing implications for public policy and discusses a way of empirically dis criminating among them then it implements the test with micro data from sweden lls and the u s psid the so called altruistic or dynastic model which among the four models has perhaps the most wide ranging implications for policy receives some support the sign pattern is as the model predicts while the magnitude is much smaller than the altruistic theory implies there is evidence of a potential complication due to a dependence of children s education on parents financial status in the case of the u s 2001 elsevier science b v all rights reserved

the political economy of intergenerational income mobility the intergenerational elasticity of income is considered one of the best measures of the degree to which a society gives equal opportunity to its members while much research has been devoted to measuring this reduced form parameter less is known about its underlying structural determinants using a model with exogenous talent endowments endogenous parental investment in children and endogenous redistributive institutions we identify the structural parameters that govern the intergenerational elasticity of income the model clarifies how the interaction between private and collective decisions determines the equilibrium level of social mobility two societies with similar economic and biological fundamentals may have vastly different degrees of intergenerational mobility depending on their political institutions we offer empirical evidence in line with the predictions of the model we conclude that international comparisons of intergenerational elasticity of income are not particularly informative about fairness without taking into account differences in politico economic institutions jel e24 j62 j68 p16